From - Wed Jan 01 01:22:52 2003 X-UIDL: 13453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H7Z004BSUTI26@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 01:20:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id gBVHJxPa057224 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 01:20:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFES021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:05:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 315287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:05:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVH5oCw028062 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:05:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id gBVH5oid017960 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:05:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id gBVH5ofX017959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:05:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:05:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200212311705.gBVH5ofX017959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 310900 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 002A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- NEAR 16.2S9 41.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 41.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 16.2S9 40.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 16.0S7 39.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 16.0S7 38.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.2S9 41.1E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 310530Z2 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM AND SEVERAL RAINBANDS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NGPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 09 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 AND 010900Z0. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED MANOP HEADER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 01:32:52 2003 X-UIDL: 13454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H7Z004J3V2W26@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 01:25:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id gBVHPbPa058040 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 01:25:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFEq021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 315365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVHJFCw007998 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id gBVHJFid018067 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id gBVHJFWD018062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200212311719.gBVHJFWD018062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZDEC2002/011800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311651ZDEC2002// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310600Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA), LOCATED NEAR 16.2S9 41.3E8 APPROXIMATELY 70 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 310900 COR) FOR MORE DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 91.5E5 OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. A 311211Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTED A BROAD, RELATIVELY WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED ON A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. THE LLCC IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BENEATH LIGHT TO MODERATE UPPER EAST- NORTHEASTERLIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/RONSEE/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 01:32:52 2003 X-UIDL: 13455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H7Z004R1VD926@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 01:31:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id gBVHVpPa058983 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 01:31:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVE5ORC005288; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 315368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVHJGCw030662 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id gBVHJFid018068 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id gBVHJFRU018063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 11:19:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200212311719.gBVHJFRU018063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZDEC2002/011800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311651ZDEC2002// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310600Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA), LOCATED NEAR 16.2S9 41.3E8 APPROXIMATELY 70 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 310900 COR) FOR MORE DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 91.5E5 OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. A 311211Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTED A BROAD, RELATIVELY WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED ON A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. THE LLCC IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BENEATH LIGHT TO MODERATE UPPER EAST- NORTHEASTERLIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/RONSEE/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 03:21:57 2003 X-UIDL: 13456-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H7Z004RLY5O26@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:32:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id gBVIW4Pa067856 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:32:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVE5OWM005288; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:26:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 315887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:25:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVIPtCw017512 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:25:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id gBVIPtid018726 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:25:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id gBVIPtC8018725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:25:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:25:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200212311825.gBVIPtC8018725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 311800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/6/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (DELFINA) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 31/12/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.9S/40.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 984 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 48 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 100 KM SE30: 100 KM SW30: 100 KM NW30: 100 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 15.7S / 39.3E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 3.B FORECAST 48H : 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : LANDFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT HOURS ON THE MOZAMBICAL COAST.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 03:22:07 2003 X-UIDL: 13457-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H7Z004TCY7Y26@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:33:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id gBVIXSPa068078 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:33:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFI4021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:24:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 315869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:24:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVIOoCw017486 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:24:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id gBVIOnid018699 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:24:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id gBVIOn8s018698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:24:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 12:24:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200212311824.gBVIOn8s018698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 311800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/12/2002 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 31/12/2002 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 06 (DELFINA ) 984 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.9S/40.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALY UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FROCES WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCES WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 01/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 15.7 SOUTH/39.3 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 01/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE IS NOW LOCATED IN THE VICINITY OF THE MOZAMBICAL COAST, AND IS FORCASTED TO LANDFALL IN THE NEXT HOOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 11:49:57 2003 X-UIDL: 13463-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H80004GP24B26@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:57:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id gBVJvePa085447 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:57:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFNm021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 13:48:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 316942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 13:48:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVJmLCw033174 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 13:48:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id gBVJmKid019486 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 13:48:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id gBVJmKJ3019485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 13:48:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 13:48:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200212311948.gBVJmKJ3019485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 312100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- NEAR 16.1S8 40.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 40.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 16.1S8 39.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 16.2S9 38.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 312100Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.1S8 40.1E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (DELFINA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 18 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 311725Z9 SSM/I PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 3.5 (55 KTS) AND THE SSM/I PASS DEPICTING POSSIBLE EYE FEATURE DEVELOPMENT. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL SHOULD PROVIDE A WESTWARD STEERING ENVIRONMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z3 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 010900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 11:50:15 2003 X-UIDL: 13469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H80004AH78J26@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 05:48:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id gBVLmCPa001946 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 05:48:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFT2021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:41:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 318043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:41:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVLffCw010724 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:41:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id gBVLfeid020327 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:41:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id gBVLfeBB020326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:41:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:41:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200212312141.gBVLfeBB020326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 312141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 31 DEC 2002 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 31/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 30N131W WITH HIGH PRESSURE COVERING THE ENTIRE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 20N. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT S OF THE HIGH FROM 5N-20N IS ENHANCING THE ELY TRADES UP TO 25 KT BETWEEN 120W-140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 2N81W 1N89W 6N113W 6N122W 8N132W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 4N-6N. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS W OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 11:50:16 2003 X-UIDL: 13470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H80004N17SP26@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 06:00:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id gBVM0IPa003453 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 06:00:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFTe021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 318273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVLtVCw005758 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:55:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id gBVLtVid020461 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:55:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id gBVLtUeC020460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:55:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 15:55:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200212312155.gBVLtUeC020460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 312155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 31 2002 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT THROUGH 30N157W 24N174W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 23N180. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 12 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/ STRATOCUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 05N169W EQ174W 07S170W CROSSES THE EQUATOR AND MOVED EAST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NEWLY FORMED AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 17S158W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 110 NM OF LINE 10S180 14S170W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ELSEWHERE... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 11:50:17 2003 X-UIDL: 13473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8000JY6E98XO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 08:19:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h010JnPa021588 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 08:19:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFXS021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 18:07:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 319258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 18:07:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01072Cw017652 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 18:07:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01071id021363 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 18:07:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01071wl021362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 18:07:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 18:07:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301010007.h01071wl021362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 010000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 01/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : OVERLAND CYCLONE 06 (EX-DELFINA ) 985 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S/39.6E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCES WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 01/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 16.0 SOUTH/38.5 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 02/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE IS NOW LOCATED OVER LAND, BUT GALE FORCES WINDS EXIST OVER SEAS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM FORCASTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 11:50:21 2003 X-UIDL: 13479-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8000J54I74XO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 09:45:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h011ivPa032030 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 09:44:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFZk021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 19:33:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 319789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 19:33:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h011X8Cw019630 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 19:33:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h011X7id021916 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 19:33:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h011X7BV021915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 19:33:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 19:33:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301010133.h011X7BV021915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 010300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (ZOE) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- NEAR 20.2S4 174.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 174.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 21.9S2 174.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 23.6S1 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 24.8S4 171.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.6S8 174.8E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06P (ZOE), LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 312330Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 3.0 (45 KTS). VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR ANIMATION DEPICT MULTI-LAYERED CLOUDINESS OVER THE SOUTH QUADRANT AS WELL AS INDICATIONS OF WARM FRONTOGENESIS. THE NORTH QUADRANT, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW WEAK CLOUD LINES, IS NOW DEEP CONVECTION FREE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS POLAR FINGER JET SUPPORT TO THE WEST OF THE EXPOSED SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWARD TRACK WITHIN THE STEERING ENVIRONMENT CREATED BY A LOW/MID RIDGE EXTENDING EQUATORWARD FROM NEW ZEALAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX 010000 FOR FURTHER SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 11:50:29 2003 X-UIDL: 13488-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8000JSCNW6XO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:48:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h013lwPa048376 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:48:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFbU021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 21:30:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 320525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 21:30:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h013UbCw005788 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 21:30:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h013Uaid022671 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 21:30:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h013UabD022670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 21:30:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 21:30:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301010330.h013UabD022670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 010330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 01 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1027 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 30N131W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW BEYOND 24N140W. ..WEAK TROUGHING ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM THE ITCZ TO NEAR 20N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 1N87W 6N104W 6N120W 9N135W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-134W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS W OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 13:50:32 2003 X-UIDL: 13491-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8000JNITHNXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 13:48:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h015mrPa065712 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 13:48:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h012RxKE005288; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 321033 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h015cGCw026274 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h015cFid023280 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h015cFV0023278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/010151zdec2002// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301010538.h015cFV0023278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010151ZDEC2002// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (ZOE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2S4 174.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF FIJI, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 010300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/CUTMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:11 2003 X-UIDL: 13497-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100JN40FLXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 16:18:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h018IoPa087769 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 16:18:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFfo021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:08:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 322085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:08:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0188sCw038698 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:08:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0188sid024089 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:08:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0188rvO024088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:08:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:08:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 08s (delfina) Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301010808.h0188rvO024088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 010900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- NEAR 15.8S4 39.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 39.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 15.6S2 38.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.8S4 38.9E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (DELFINA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM INLAND IN MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 08S MADE LANDFALL NEAR THE TOWN OF ANGOCHE, MOZAMBIQUE AT APPROX 312030Z9. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 010530Z9 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 2.5 AND 3.0 (35 AND 45 KTS). TC 08S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 13499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100JJM49GXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 17:41:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h019fXPa000378 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 17:41:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFgW021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:34:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 322428 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:34:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h019YBCw032874 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:34:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h019YBid024684 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:34:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h019YBmi024683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:34:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:34:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301010934.h019YBmi024683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 010933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 01 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 3034N126W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 18N AND W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N112W 7N128W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS 240 NM WIDE BETWEEN 121W AND 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 180 NM WIDE BETWEEN 112W AND 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:27 2003 X-UIDL: 13500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100J4C4V9XO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 17:54:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h019sdPa002802 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 17:54:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFgY021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:50:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 322490 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:50:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h019oGCw008002 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:50:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h019oGid024751 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:50:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h019oGdq024750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:50:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 03:50:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301010950.h019oGdq024750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 010950 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N142W 04N152W 05N158W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N179W EQ169W 01N179W 07N179W MOVED LITTLE...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 15S167W 15S157W 16S151W 25S150W 25S158W 15S167W MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 11S166W 12S173W 17S179W MOVED LITTLE...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ELSEWHERE... OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY EQ179W EQ169W 07S168W 08S179W EQ179W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:30 2003 X-UIDL: 13502-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100JIJ738XO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 18:42:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01AgZPa013191 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 18:42:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h012RxZA005288; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 322666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01AYiCw026210 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01AYhid024957 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01AYhqa024954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301011034.h01AYhqa024954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 011030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/011030Z/011800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751ZJAN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 39.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM INLAND IN MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 010900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 91.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 91.0E5 OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE THE LLCC IS CURRENTLY EXPOSED AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BENEATH MODERATE UPPER EAST-NORTHEASTERLIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. DUE TO THE RECENT WEAKENING TREND, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADE PARA 2.B.(1) TO POOR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/CUTMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:31 2003 X-UIDL: 13503-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100JIQ73CXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 18:42:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01AgfPa013204 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 18:42:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFgk021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 322662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01AYiCw038746 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01AYhid024956 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01AYhJ5024955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301011034.h01AYhJ5024955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/011030Z/011800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751ZJAN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 39.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM INLAND IN MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 010900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 91.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 91.0E5 OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE THE LLCC IS CURRENTLY EXPOSED AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BENEATH MODERATE UPPER EAST-NORTHEASTERLIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. DUE TO THE RECENT WEAKENING TREND, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADE PARA 2.B.(1) TO POOR. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/CUTMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:43 2003 X-UIDL: 13513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100JDTGBLXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 22:02:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01E23Pa044580 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 22:02:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFjE021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 323430 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01DoSCw042758 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01DoRid025898 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01DoRt2025896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301011350.h01DoRt2025896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (ZOE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2S4 174.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF FIJI, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 010300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED DATE-TIME GROUP IN REF A. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/CUTMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:52 2003 X-UIDL: 13518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100JU7LZ8XO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 00:04:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01G4DPa064137 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 00:04:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFma021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 09:56:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 324263 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 09:56:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01FuDCw038094 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 09:56:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01FuCid026457 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 09:56:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01FuCwC026456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 09:56:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 09:56:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301011556.h01FuCwC026456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 011556 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 01 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE MUCH OF THE AREA WITH RIDGING FROM 30N130W TO BEYOND 26N140W AND 30N130W SE TO 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N90W 6N110W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 110W-116W AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 118W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-8N W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:54 2003 X-UIDL: 13519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100JNBPQPXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 01:25:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01HPUPa075401 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 01:25:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h012Rxrm005288; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 324666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01HG9Cw038432 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01HG9id026960 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01HG9Lp026958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301011716.h01HG9Lp026958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751ZJAN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 39.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM INLAND IN MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 010900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 91.0E0 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE THE LLCC IS EXPOSED AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BENEATH MODERATE UPPER EAST-NORTHEASTERLIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) A NEW LLCC HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 07.0S7 66.0E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LLCC DEPICTED ON THE 011324Z1 QUICKSCATT PASS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THIS LLCC IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EQUATORWARD OF AN UPPER- LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/RONSSE/SCHAEFER/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:55 2003 X-UIDL: 13520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100JNCPQPXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 01:25:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01HPUPa075403 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 01:25:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFoC021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 324662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01HGACw042988 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01HG9id026961 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01HG9p0026959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 11:16:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301011716.h01HG9p0026959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751ZJAN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 39.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM INLAND IN MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 010900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 91.0E0 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE THE LLCC IS EXPOSED AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BENEATH MODERATE UPPER EAST-NORTHEASTERLIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) A NEW LLCC HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 07.0S7 66.0E2. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LLCC DEPICTED ON THE 011324Z1 QUICKSCATT PASS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THIS LLCC IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EQUATORWARD OF AN UPPER- LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/RONSSE/SCHAEFER/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 05:43:50 2003 X-UIDL: 13530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8200JU21M7XO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 05:42:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01LfxPa012650 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 05:42:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h012RxA0005288; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:33:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 326132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:32:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01LW7Cw010592 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:32:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01LW7id029136 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:32:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01LW6br029135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:32:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:32:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301012132.h01LW6br029135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 012131 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 01 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE ENTIRE DISCUSSION AREA WITH RIDGING FROM 32N127W TO BEYOND 24N140W AND FROM 32N127W SE TO NEAR 11N106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N100W 5N107W 7N118W 8N136W 7N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-84W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 100NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-122W AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BETWEEN 122W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 06:03:49 2003 X-UIDL: 13531-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8200JD52IEXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 06:01:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01M1JPa014970 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 06:01:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFss021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:55:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 326251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01LtWCw023856 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01LtVid029272 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:55:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01LtVXY029271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:55:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 15:55:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301012155.h01LtVXY029271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 012155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 30N145W 24N155W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 23N164W. FRONT/SHEAR LINE MOVING EAST 25-30 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/FEW SHOWERS ALONG FRONT EAST OF 150W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE WEST OF 150W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05N173W 03N167W 04N159W ARE NEWLY FORMED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH THROUGH 17S168W 25S153W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF TROUGH INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 20S176W 10S171W 05S180 INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 11:45:52 2003 X-UIDL: 13544-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8200DYAIAHLD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:42:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h023gAPa073017 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:42:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmF3e021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 21:34:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 328711 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 21:34:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h023YNCw025914 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 21:34:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h023YMid001479 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 21:34:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h023YMD3001478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 21:34:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 21:34:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301020334.h023YMD3001478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 020333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 02 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM A 1024 MB HIGH NEAR 34N126W SWD TO 20N BETWEEN 120W-135W. WEAK RIDGING EXTENDS ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO NEAR 19N107W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG THE SRN CALIFORNIA COAST TO NEAR 31N115W IN NRN BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N85W 5N99W 7N118W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 21:30:35 2003 X-UIDL: 13549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8200DY8OEVLD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 13:54:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h025sOPa099669 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 13:54:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01MB7hY005288; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 329340 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h025hYCw023818 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h025hYid002069 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h025hYxp002067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean/020600z/030600zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301020543.h025hYxp002067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 020600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/INGRAM/HEATH/VAN LOAN/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 21:30:51 2003 X-UIDL: 13558-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8200DGSZN5LD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 17:57:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h029uwPa057060 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 17:57:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0298vDq005294; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 03:50:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 330681 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 03:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h029oRCw026264 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 03:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h029oQid003580 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 03:50:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h029oQTQ003579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 03:50:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 03:50:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301020950.h029oQTQ003579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 020950 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N171W 07N156W EQ163W EQ171W 07N174W 08N171W MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH/CZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 10S180 11S175W 18S169W 18S160W MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM OF LINE 17S154W 25S150W MOVED LITTLE...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH/CZ UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES OF THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... A FEW CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY EQ167W 16S164W 01S180 EQ167W. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 21:30:52 2003 X-UIDL: 13559-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8200DWPZZYLD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 18:04:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h02A4dPa058601 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 18:04:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFCE021682; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 04:00:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 330707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 04:00:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02A03Cw005812 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 04:00:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h02A03id003653 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 04:00:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h02A031s003652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 04:00:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 04:00:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301021000.h02A031s003652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 020959 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 02 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IS ENTERING THE NW PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. ..A 1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 33N124W. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH CENTER THROUGH 25N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N99W 5N108W 8N120W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 5N109W AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N117W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W AND 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 01:38:26 2003 X-UIDL: 13568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8300D04GN8LD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 00:04:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h02G4DPa026773 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 00:04:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIPPI021682; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 09:55:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 333319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 09:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02FtjCw023378 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 09:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h02Ftiid008835 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 09:55:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h02Ftigp008834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 09:55:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 09:55:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301021555.h02Ftigp008834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 021555 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 02 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 02/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N138W BEYOND 30N142W. ..RIDGE FROM 1024 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 32N127W TO 27N130W 23N137W BEYOND 22N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 5N100W 6N110W 6N127W 7N131W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 124W AND 127W. ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 120W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 130W AND 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 01:58:13 2003 X-UIDL: 13571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8300DIVLILLD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 01:49:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h02HnMPa046699 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 01:49:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIPSY021682; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 334424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02HedCw029980 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h02Hecid011999 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h02HecFC011997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301021740.h02HecFC011997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 91.0E0 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH. RECENT MICROWAVE AND QUIKSCAT PASSES SHOW THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07.0S7 66.0E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.1S8 66.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 355 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH DEPICTED ON A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE AREA IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EQUATORWARD OF AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/SCHAEFER/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 01:58:14 2003 X-UIDL: 13572-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8300DK5LJWLD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 01:50:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h02HoEPa046830 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 01:50:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0298vru005294; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 334427 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02HedCw018566 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h02Hecid012000 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h02Hecn1011998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 11:40:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301021740.h02Hecn1011998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 91.0E0 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH. RECENT MICROWAVE AND QUIKSCAT PASSES SHOW THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07.0S7 66.0E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.1S8 66.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 355 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH DEPICTED ON A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE AREA IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EQUATORWARD OF AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/SCHAEFER/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 10:23:32 2003 X-UIDL: 13585-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8300D4DWGULD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 05:46:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h02LjxPa089711 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 05:46:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02K5AMO005294; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:38:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 336920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:38:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02LcICw025958 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:38:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h02LcHid018158 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:38:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h02LcHRs018157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:38:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:38:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301022138.h02LcHRs018157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 022138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 02 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IN THE NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 32N139W TO BEYOND 31N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE FRONT N OF 30N. ..RIDGING EXTENDS FROM A 1024 MB HIGH NEAR 33N126W SW TO NEAR 18N138W. ..WEAK TROUGHING ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM THE ITCZ NWD TO 31N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N80W 7N90W 5N100W 8N120W 6N130W 7N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-87W AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS BETWEEN 98W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-128W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 10:23:42 2003 X-UIDL: 13586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8300DPQX9BLD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 06:03:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h02M33Pa091870 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 06:03:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIPcI021682; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:55:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 337029 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:55:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02LtFCw039816 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:55:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h02LtFid018498 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:55:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h02LtFGa018497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:55:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 15:55:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301022155.h02LtFGa018497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 022155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 07N141W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 05N164W EQ162W 03N180 06N172W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 KT AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 02S176E 06S178W 08S180 06S173E AND MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 02S179W 06S176W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 10S168W 16S161W 19S168W 13S173W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 20S152W 23S148W 25S146W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE THIRD CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES FOR THE SOUTH PACIFIC ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 12:20:56 2003 X-UIDL: 13602-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H84003OBCRQ3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:38:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h033c7Pa052983 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:38:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIPoo021682; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 21:29:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 339605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 21:29:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h033TZCw037978 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 21:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h033TYid022331 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 21:29:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h033TYIs022330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 21:29:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 21:29:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301030329.h033TYIs022330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 030328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 03 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH NEAR 31N127W SW TO BEYOND 24N140W. ..WEAK TROUGHING ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM THE ITCZ NWD TO 29N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N79W 5N87W 6N100W 8N122W 5N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 86W-88W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 98W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 117W-125W. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 5N-7N W OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 13:30:49 2003 X-UIDL: 13605-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H84003Z4HSH3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 13:26:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h035QZPa076082 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 13:26:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h034eBEo037966; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 340070 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h035GoCw033070 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h035Goid023121 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h035GosU023119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean/030600z/040600zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301030516.h035GosU023119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 030600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 10.2S3 130.3E7, IN THE TIMOR SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL, INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 022054Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER- LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/INGRAM/HEATH/VAN LOAN/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 17:48:41 2003 X-UIDL: 13622-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H84003NKTTX3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 17:46:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h039kcPa034943 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 17:46:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIP22021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:39:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 341747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:39:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h039dKCw033022 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:39:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h039dJid024962 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:39:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h039dJUm024961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:39:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:39:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301030939.h039dJUm024961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 030939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 03 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 32N126W SW TO BEYOND 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N79W 5N87W 6N100W 8N123W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 122W AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 6N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 18:08:41 2003 X-UIDL: 13624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H84003TXUF13Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 17:59:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h039xIPa038128 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 17:59:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIP28021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:55:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 341805 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:55:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h039t3Cw026596 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:55:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h039t3id025040 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:55:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h039t3tg025039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:55:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 03:55:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301030955.h039t3tg025039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 030954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 30N160W 26N171W MOVING EAST 45-50 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. FRONT ALONG 30N170W 30N180 24N170E MOVING EAST 35-40 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 03N174W MOVED WEST 7 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH THROUGH 30S142W 20S147W 17S156W MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 19S171W 10S170W 20S165W IS DRIFTING EAST SLOWLY. OTHERWISE...ISOLATED CUMULUS/TCU IN THE VICINITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 00:26:13 2003 X-UIDL: 13637-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H85003TOBYX3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:18:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h03GIQPa008674 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:18:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIPCM021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 10:10:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 344217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 10:09:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03G9tCw023886 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 10:09:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h03G9tid000216 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 10:09:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h03G9t4Y000215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 10:09:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 10:09:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301031609.h03G9t4Y000215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 031603 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 03 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 03/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N125W TO 24N130W AND 20N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 3N78W 5N105W 8N118W 7N128W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CELLS FROM 3N TO 4N BETWEEN 78W AND 79W...AND WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 120W. ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 5N77W...WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 116W...AND WEST OF 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 01:40:19 2003 X-UIDL: 13642-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H85003EDFNK3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 01:38:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h03Hc1Pa023105 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 01:38:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqJa021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 345133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03HUsCw019550 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h03HUrid002545 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h03HUraR002543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301031730.h03HUraR002543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 91.0E0 HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY AND HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT WITHIN A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. THEREFORE, THE SUSPECT AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1S8 66.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 355 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, APPEARS TO HAVE LOST THE LOW-LEVEL REFLECTION WITHIN A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS A BROAD MID-LEVEL LOW DOMINATING THE AREA. IMAGERY ALSO REVEALS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/RONSEE/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 01:40:28 2003 X-UIDL: 13643-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H85003EXFO73Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 01:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h03HcPPa023188 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 01:38:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h034eB2M037966; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 345136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03HUsCw005168 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h03HUrid002546 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h03HUrah002544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 11:30:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301031730.h03HUrah002544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 91.0E0 HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY AND HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT WITHIN A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. THEREFORE, THE SUSPECT AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.1S8 66.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 355 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, APPEARS TO HAVE LOST THE LOW-LEVEL REFLECTION WITHIN A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS A BROAD MID-LEVEL LOW DOMINATING THE AREA. IMAGERY ALSO REVEALS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/RONSEE/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 06:08:36 2003 X-UIDL: 13654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H85003YNS0Q3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 06:05:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h03M56Pa074690 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 06:05:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqWk021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 15:55:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 348201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 15:55:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03LtBCw005172 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 15:55:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h03LtAid009565 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 15:55:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h03LtAHJ009564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 15:55:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 15:55:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301032155.h03LtAHJ009564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 032154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 04N153W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 04N173W EQ178W 04N172E 07N177E AND MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 01S167W 11S170W 15S168W MOVED WEST SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09S175W 09S178W 07S179W MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 06:18:36 2003 X-UIDL: 13655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8500658SJ4J0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 06:16:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h03MG8Pa076283 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 06:16:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqXW021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 16:12:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 348311 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 16:12:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03MCgCw028002 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 16:12:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h03MCgid009956 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 16:12:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h03MCg1V009955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 16:12:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 16:12:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301032212.h03MCg1V009955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 032212 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 03 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 03/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..NEARLY STATIONARY 1022 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 32N127W WITH A WELL DEFINED RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW BEYOND 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N90W 6N110W 8N125W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 77W-85W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 110W-118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 11:48:38 2003 X-UIDL: 13669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H86006M57QLJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:44:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h043icPa030152 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:44:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqeS021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 21:37:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 349947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 21:37:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h043b8Cw028574 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 21:37:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h043b7id013147 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 21:37:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h043b72H013146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 21:37:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 21:37:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301040337.h043b72H013146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 040336 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 04 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 04/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA WITH A WELL DEFINED RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW THROUGH 30N127W TO BEYOND 23N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N90W 6N110W 8N125W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 80W-86W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 108W-114W AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 127W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 13:58:38 2003 X-UIDL: 13672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H86006WFDNKJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:52:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h045qOPa050505 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:52:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03Ijjx8037966; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 350586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h045i3Cw011246 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h045i2id013854 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h045i2mp013852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301040544.h045i2mp013852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LAM/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 13:58:39 2003 X-UIDL: 13673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8600639DVZJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:57:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h045vTPa051286 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:57:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqgc021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 350583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h045i3Cw015112 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h045i2id013853 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h045i2AW013851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 23:44:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301040544.h045i2AW013851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 041800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LAM/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 16:01:17 2003 X-UIDL: 13675-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H86006D7GACJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 14:49:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h046nIPa059660 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 14:49:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMql2021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 351270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h046fPCw027688 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h046fOid014248 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h046fOoI014246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301040641.h046fOoI014246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2S3 130.3E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S3 135.0E9, IN THE ARAFURA SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION PERSISTS NEAR A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LAM/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 18:53:27 2003 X-UIDL: 13680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H86006ISP39J0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 17:59:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h049xPPa087734 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 17:59:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqmu021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:54:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 352146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:54:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h049svCw035376 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:54:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h049svid015477 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:54:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h049su0d015476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:54:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:54:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301040954.h049su0d015476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 040954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... FRONT 325 NM NORTHWEST OF KAUAI AT 0800 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST 25-30 KT. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT THROUGH 30N159W 18N180 AT 0800 UTC MOVING EAST 40 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM NORTH OF FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK FRONT THROUGH 30S139W 26S146W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 24S160W 25S166W. FRONT/SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 11S168W 16S163W MOVED EAST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 01S173W 09S168W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 18:53:36 2003 X-UIDL: 13681-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H86006LPP8WJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 18:02:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h04A2nPa088164 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 18:02:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqmW021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:47:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 352092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:47:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h049lYCw035542 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:47:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h049lYid015440 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:47:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h049lYoG015439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:47:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 03:47:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301040947.h049lYoG015439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 040947 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 04 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 04/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE IS THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT FEATURE IN THE AREA WITH A 1024 MB HIGH NEAR 28N131W. A WELL-DEFINED RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW THROUGH BEYOND 24N140W AND SE TO SOCORRO ISLAND. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N88W 6N110W 8N118W 6N129W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 81W-88W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 117W-129W. SMALL CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 6N77W...5N100W AND 5N103W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:55:51 2003 X-UIDL: 13689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H87006JF6CJJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:12:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h04GCBPa044322 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:12:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqu8021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 10:04:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 353942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 10:04:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04G4XCw006278 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 10:04:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h04G4Xid017608 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 10:04:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h04G4XQ2017607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 10:04:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 10:04:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301041604.h04G4XQ2017607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 041604 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 04 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 04/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N128W TO 25N136W BEYOND 18N141W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 5N87W 4N100W 8N109W 11N115W 10N120W 7N124W 6N134W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 99W AND 109W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS...SOME LOCALLY STRONG...WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W AND 116W...AND BETWEEN 120W AND 125W. ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 134W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:56:00 2003 X-UIDL: 13692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H87006VK9PWJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:25:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h04HP1Pa055835 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:25:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h049fvb4037966; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 354428 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04HGACw034340 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h04HGAid018163 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h04HGAlT018161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301041716.h04HGAlT018161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/KENDALL/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:56:01 2003 X-UIDL: 13693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H87006VM9PWJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:25:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h04HOpPa055808 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:25:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqvU021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 354425 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04HGACw033370 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h04HGAid018162 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h04HGAYx018160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 11:16:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301041716.h04HGAYx018160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/KENDALL/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:56:04 2003 X-UIDL: 13697-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H87006Y9FFQJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:28:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h04JSUPa075303 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:28:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04HmrKY037968; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:19:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 355447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04JGMCw010518 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h04JGMid019220 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h04JGMAr019218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301041916.h04JGMAr019218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 041730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/041730Z/050600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.5S6 136.4E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 135.9E8, OVER THE ARAFURA SEA JUST NORTH OF CAPE WESSEL. INFRARED ANIMATION AND THE BOM GOVE RADAR LOOP DEPICT A BROAD, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEVELOPING DEEP CONVECTION ABOUT THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW. THIS MORNING'S 041200Z7 UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ABOVE THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. BECAUSE OF THE INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC, AND A DECREASING SEA LEVEL PRESSURE TREND, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/KENDALL/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:56:06 2003 X-UIDL: 13700-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H87006RGMJQJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 06:02:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h04M27Pa096961 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 06:02:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMq6q021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 15:53:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 356444 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 15:53:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04LrnCw018452 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 15:53:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h04Lrmid020444 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 15:53:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h04LrmFO020443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 15:53:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 15:53:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301042153.h04LrmFO020443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 042153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 04 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 04/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 33N127W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:56:07 2003 X-UIDL: 13701-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H87006Y8MWFJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 06:09:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h04M9h1o003440 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 06:09:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04HmrTm037968; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 16:00:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 356490 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 16:00:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04M07Cw034426 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 16:00:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h04M06id020494 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 16:00:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h04M067J020493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 16:00:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 16:00:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301042200.h04M067J020493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 042159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N177E 05N179E 05N175W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06N166W 04N167W 07N160W 07N154W 04N156W 01N166W 03N174W 05N174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ARE BOUNDED BY 30N157W 30N151W 24N159W 26N160W...AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE ARE BOUNDED BY 26N160W 24N159W 19N165W 16N175W 15N180 17N180 19N170W 22N164W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 35 TO 40 KT NORTH OF 25N...SOUTHEAST AT 20 KT SOUTH OF 25N AND SOUTH AT 15 KT SOUTH OF 20N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FEATURE IS NORTH OF JOHNSTON AS OF BULLETIN TIME. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (1)...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE EQUATOR AND DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 03N173E 01S177W 06S176W 04S175E 01S171E EQ166E HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 8 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (2)...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY EQ176W EQ170W 08S165W 14S162W 14S166W 16S169W 10S172W 07S176W 05S175W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 16S153W 20S142W 25S147W 22S159W 20S154W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 20 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (2). HOWEVER... AS OF BULLETIN TIME...MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION REMAINS NORTH AND EAST OF SAMOA. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 04S160W 05S161W. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 08S178W 12S176W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:56:09 2003 X-UIDL: 13705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H870028TXKBBZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 10:00:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h05204mc026895 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 10:00:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqBm021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 19:48:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 357766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 19:48:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h051mBCw028906 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 19:48:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h051mBid021848 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 19:48:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h051mBlT021847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 19:48:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 19:48:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 050051z Jan 03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301050148.h051mBlT021847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS21 PGTW 050100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050051Z JAN 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5S7 133.6E3 TO 11.1S3 136.0E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA AND RADAR DATA AT 042330Z2 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 135.4E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RAINBANDS APPEAR TO BE STRENGTHENING OVER THE NORTH AND SOUTHEAST QUADRANTS. THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), THOUGH DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT IN VISIBLE IMAGERY, IS CLEARLY EVIDENT IN THE RADAR LOOP FROM THE GOVE SITE ON THE ARNHEM COAST. OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO IMPROVE OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 060000Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 21:58:19 2003 X-UIDL: 13708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H88002NK1JBBZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:25:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h053Prmc037584 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:25:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539ND8021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 21:17:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 358251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 21:17:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h053HvCw014346 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 21:17:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h053Huid022380 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 21:17:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h053HuTb022379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 21:17:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 21:17:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301050317.h053HuTb022379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 050317 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 05 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ARE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N110W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 30NM WIDE BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 21:58:34 2003 X-UIDL: 13711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H880020XAE5BZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 14:37:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h056bBmc062437 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 14:37:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NIS021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 359664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h056O3Cw025082 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h056O3id023369 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h056O2PT023367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301050624.h056O2PT023367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 135.9E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 135.4E3, OVER THE ARAFURA SEA JUST NORTH OF CAPE WESSEL. MULTISPECTRAL ANIMATION AND THE GOVE RADAR LOOP DEPICT AN ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISTINCT RAINBANDS EVIDENT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ABOVE THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 050100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LAM/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 21:58:35 2003 X-UIDL: 13712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H88002Y6DDXBZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 15:41:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h057fkmc071255 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 15:41:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04Hmr4i037968; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 360100 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h057TTCw019528 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h057TSid023767 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h057TSfn023765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301050729.h057TSfn023765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 050700 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) IS OVER LAND NEAR 14.7S2 38.7E8 AND TRACKING TOWARD THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM WEST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FAIRLY ORGANIZED, SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PERSISTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE REGION IS UNDER A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND A PASSING LONGWAVE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LAM/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 21:58:36 2003 X-UIDL: 13713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8800224DJ8BZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 15:45:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h057j1mc071691 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 15:45:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NJc021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 360096 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h057TTCw033126 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h057TSid023768 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h057TS3F023766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301050729.h057TS3F023766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 050700 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) IS OVER LAND NEAR 14.7S2 38.7E8 AND TRACKING TOWARD THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM WEST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FAIRLY ORGANIZED, SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PERSISTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE REGION IS UNDER A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND A PASSING LONGWAVE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LAM/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 21:58:37 2003 X-UIDL: 13715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H880022CJ8CBZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 17:48:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h059m5mc089513 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 17:48:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NKO021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:36:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 360836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:36:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h059alCw004542 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:36:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h059akid024727 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:36:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h059akZL024726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:36:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:36:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301050936.h059akZL024726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 050936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 05 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..ONE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 31N127W SE TO 21N109W. SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS SW FROM 31N131W TO BEYOND 23N140W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 10N W OF 109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 3N90W 5N100W 8N110W 6N130W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 109W AND 121W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINES 7N90W 5N99W AND 4N77W 3N91W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 128W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AN UPPER TROUGH IS ASSISTING PRODUCTION OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF 13N114W. BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 21:58:38 2003 X-UIDL: 13716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H88002GVJU6BZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 18:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h05A1Bmc091481 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 18:01:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NKQ021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:55:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 360925 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:55:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h059t5Cw026424 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:55:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h059t5id024839 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:55:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h059t47b024838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:55:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:55:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301050955.h059t47b024838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 050954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N147W 06N155W MOVED EAST SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05N162W 01N173W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N173W 03N180 MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S167W 12S171W 06S178W 03S176W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES FOR THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 00:08:16 2003 X-UIDL: 13725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H89002IW0GDBZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:00:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h05G06mc039661 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:00:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NRk021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 09:42:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 363214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 09:42:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h05FgJCw026390 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 09:42:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h05FgJid026802 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 09:42:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h05FgJlA026801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 09:42:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 09:42:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301051542.h05FgJlA026801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 051542 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 05 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N FROM 115W TO 140W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N128W TO JUST BEYOND 20N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N89W 8N110W 6N121W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 110W AND WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 114W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF A LINE FROM 1N89W TO 8N93W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/WIDELY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE SOUTH OF 20N TO THE ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 124W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 01:38:10 2003 X-UIDL: 13728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H890021K4RJBZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 01:33:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h05HXBmc057311 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 01:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NTG021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 363786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h05HQKCw028416 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h05HQJid027569 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h05HQJU2027567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301051726.h05HQJU2027567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER MOZAMBIQUE NEAR 14.7S2 38.7E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1S7 39.4E6 DRIFTING EAST-SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE COAST. VISIBLE ANIMATION DEPICTS A SMALL, SYMMETRIC, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SITUATED OVER THE WESTERN MOST EXTENT OF A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. PAST MOTION HAS BEEN A SLOW DRIFT TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST, ALTHOUGH, THE DYNAMICAL MODELS INDICATE A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD MOTION ONCE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE CHANNEL. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS BENEATH A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/KENDALL/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 01:58:10 2003 X-UIDL: 13729-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H89002FE5H4BZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 01:48:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h05HmXmc059229 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 01:48:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h059cOji037968; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 363789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h05HQKCw038424 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h05HQJid027570 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h05HQJbZ027568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 11:26:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301051726.h05HQJbZ027568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER MOZAMBIQUE NEAR 14.7S2 38.7E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1S7 39.4E6 DRIFTING EAST-SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE COAST. VISIBLE ANIMATION DEPICTS A SMALL, SYMMETRIC, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SITUATED OVER THE WESTERN MOST EXTENT OF A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. PAST MOTION HAS BEEN A SLOW DRIFT TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST, ALTHOUGH, THE DYNAMICAL MODELS INDICATE A MORE SOUTHEASTWARD MOTION ONCE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE CHANNEL. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS BENEATH A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/KENDALL/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 10:13:33 2003 X-UIDL: 13733-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H89002U1H71BZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 06:01:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h05M1gmc000195 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 06:01:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539Ndq021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 15:54:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 366418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 15:54:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h05Ls0Cw034316 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 15:54:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h05Ls0id000015 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 15:54:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h05Ls0OU000014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 15:54:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 15:54:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301052154.h05Ls0OU000014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 052153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 05 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N110W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 109W AND 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 10:13:36 2003 X-UIDL: 13734-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H89002X6HG3BZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 06:07:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h05M77mc000755 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 06:07:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539Ne4021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 16:00:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 366451 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 16:00:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h05M0DCw032930 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 16:00:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h05M0Did000129 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 16:00:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h05M0DVh000128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 16:00:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 16:00:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301052200.h05M0DVh000128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 052159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 07N140W 03N140W 04N161W 01N171W 03N177W 05N176W 05N166W 07N160W 06N154W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 04N176E 01N180 02N178W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY EQ178E 04S177W 09S176W 07S178E EQ175E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 02S167W 16S163W 13S177W 07S175W 05S171W 02S170W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 16S153W 23S140W 25S140W 25S148W 20S151W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...SECOND SENTENCE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 10:13:37 2003 X-UIDL: 13736-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H890020YPCVN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 08:58:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h060vxmc023004 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 08:58:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h05IeXjG037970; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 18:52:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 367584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 18:51:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h060owCw015206 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 18:50:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h060owid001434 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 18:50:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h060ow7M001433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 18:50:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 18:50:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060050.h060ow7M001433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 060000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 06/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S/41.4E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING 30 KT IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 06/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 17.4 SOUTH/41.7 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 07/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 19.3 SOUTH/41.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THIS LOW COMING FROM MOZAMBIQUE IS VERY LIKELY THE MINIMUM FROM EX-DELFINA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 10:13:38 2003 X-UIDL: 13738-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H89002SWQPNN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 09:27:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h061RHmc028928 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 09:27:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h05IeXoM037970; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 19:18:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 368063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 19:18:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h061IXCw026466 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 19:18:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h061IWid001591 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 19:18:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h061IWg4001590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 19:18:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 19:18:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060118.h061IWg4001590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS21 PGTW 060100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 060051Z JAN 03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050051Z JAN 03// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 050100)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. VISIBLE ANIMATION, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND THE GOVE SITE RADAR LOOP DEPICT THAT THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INLAND. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS ALL INDICATE A SOUTHWEST MOTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 12:12:05 2003 X-UIDL: 13754-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H890021WX9TN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:49:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h063mxmc062812 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:49:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NoI021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 21:42:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 369116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 21:42:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h063gfCw019558 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 21:42:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h063gfid002546 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 21:42:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h063gf57002545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 21:42:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 21:42:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060342.h063gf57002545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 060342 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 06 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N85W 8N110W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 15:13:17 2003 X-UIDL: 13772-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A002Z74QNN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:30:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h066UImc098638 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:30:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h066I2EQ037970; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 370522 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h066MPCw026474 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h066MPid003553 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h066MPqR003551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060622.h066MPqR003551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.0N2 163.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF KOSRAE. MULTISPECTRAL ANIMATION INDICATES STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE NORTH OF A POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SUPPORT A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH EXTENDING EAST-WEST IN THE VICINITY. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 135.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 134.0E8, OVER LAND IN AUSTRALIA APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST OF DARWIN. MULTISPECTRAL ANIMATION INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 060100) FOR THE CANCELLATION REMARKS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/WAUGMAN/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 15:13:19 2003 X-UIDL: 13774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A002Y95QMN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:51:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h066pqmc005728 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:51:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NwA021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:43:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 370735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:43:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h066hKCw006206 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:43:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h066hKid003680 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:43:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h066hKlQ003679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:43:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:43:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060643.h066hKlQ003679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 060600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 002/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 06/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.0S/39.8E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 06/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 18.0 SOUTH/40.1 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 07/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 19.2 SOUTH/40.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE HAS RELOCALIZED. THE CONVECTION ORGANIZING AROUND THE LOW COMING OVERSEAS DURING THE NEXT HOURS FROM THE MOZAMBIQUE COASTS. GOOD POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 15:13:20 2003 X-UIDL: 13775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A002ZN5R3N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:52:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h066q8mc005811 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:52:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NwG021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:47:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 370756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:47:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h066laCw026528 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:47:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h066laid003707 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:47:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h066lawV003706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:47:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:47:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060647.h066lawV003706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 060600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 1/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE - 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 06/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.0S/39.8E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 28 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 18.0S / 40.1E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.2S / 40.8E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.5S / 41.0E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTION ORGANIZING AROUND THE LOW COMING TO MOZAMBIQUE COASTS DURING THE LAST HOURS. GOOD POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 15:13:20 2003 X-UIDL: 13776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A0027Y6A3N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:03:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0673Xmc008705 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:03:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NwC021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:46:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 370747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:46:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h066kZCw038970 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:46:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h066kZid003695 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:46:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h066kYgb003694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:46:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:46:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060646.h066kYgb003694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 060600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 1/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE = 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 06/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.0S/39.8E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 28 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 18.0S / 40.1E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.2S / 40.8E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.5S / 41.0E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTION ORGANIZING AROUND THE LOW COMING TO MOZAMBIQUE COASTS DURING THE LAST HOURS. GOOD POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:43:53 2003 X-UIDL: 13783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A002QUDP8N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 17:43:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h069himc046348 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 17:43:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539Nx4021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:35:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 371337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:35:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h069ZeCw008178 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:35:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h069Zdid004803 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:35:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h069ZdLQ004802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:35:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:35:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060935.h069ZdLQ004802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 060935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 06 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF MEXICO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 6N89W 7N105W 9N114W 6N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 99W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 95W-99W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS W OF 138W. SMALL CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINTS 3N81W 5N77W 2N89W 7N90W AND 7N118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF THE ITCZ FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 111W-116W DUE TO A NEARBY UPPER DISTURBANCE AS NOTED IN THE WATER VAPOR SATELLITE PICTURES. BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:43:56 2003 X-UIDL: 13785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A002N8EJHN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 18:02:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06A1woY090133 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 18:02:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539Nx6021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:55:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 371386 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:55:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h069t1Cw039752 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:55:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h069t0id004900 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:55:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h069t06k004899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:55:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 03:55:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060955.h069t06k004899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 060954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N156W 01N172W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 02N177W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITH EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 13S177W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM. THE DISTURBANCE AND ITS ASSOCIATED CB...WHICH WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE...WERE NEARLY STATIONARY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 14S169W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S175W 10S177W 10S180 05S178W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13S177W AND THE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES FOR THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 03S178W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:43:58 2003 X-UIDL: 13789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A002VMMDMN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 20:51:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06CpEmc082790 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 20:51:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h066I2UC037970; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 06:38:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 372110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 06:37:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06CbrCw009716 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 06:37:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06Cbqid005864 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 06:37:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06CbquU005863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 06:37:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 06:37:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301061237.h06CbquU005863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 061200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 06/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : 17.2S/38.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM COASTS TO THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 17.5 SOUTH/37.9 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 07/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 18.4 SOUTH/37.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE HAS RELOCALIZED. THE LOW TRACKING ALONG THE MOZAMBIQUE COASTS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:01 2003 X-UIDL: 13796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A002XRUO5N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 23:50:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06FoGmc024569 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 23:50:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NCs021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 09:41:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 374418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 09:41:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06FffCw009546 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 09:41:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06Ffeid010372 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 09:41:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06Ffeu6010371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 09:41:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 09:41:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301061541.h06Ffeu6010371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 061541 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 06 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 120W TO 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N95W 8N101W 7N111W 6N123W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 101W...WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 105W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 139W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 111W FROM 12N TO 16N. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 107W AND 121W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:04 2003 X-UIDL: 13801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A00270Z1VN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 01:25:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06HOsmc043232 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 01:24:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06FmAME021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 375971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06HCnCw020122 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06HCnid013397 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06HCn9v013394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/061800z/071800zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301061712.h06HCn9v013394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 061800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060551ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE/ WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER MOZAMBIQUE NEAR 15.1S7 39.4E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 38.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHEAST OF BEIRA, MOZAMBIQUE, MOVING SOUTHEAST ALONG THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SMALL, SYMMETRIC, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS BENEATH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND IS IN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 10.0S1 71.0E8. ANIMATED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST OUT OF THE EQUATORIAL TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 134.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 132.0E6, OVER LAND IN AUSTRALIA APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER LAND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD. HOWEVER, UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:05 2003 X-UIDL: 13802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A002GLZCIN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 01:31:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06HVHmc046032 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 01:31:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06H2SEq037972; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 375974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06HCnCw032952 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06HCnid013396 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06HCn3v013395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 11:12:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/061800z/071800zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301061712.h06HCn3v013395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 061800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060551ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE/ WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER MOZAMBIQUE NEAR 15.1S7 39.4E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 38.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHEAST OF BEIRA, MOZAMBIQUE, MOVING SOUTHEAST ALONG THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SMALL, SYMMETRIC, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS BENEATH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND IS IN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 10.0S1 71.0E8. ANIMATED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST OUT OF THE EQUATORIAL TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 134.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 132.0E6, OVER LAND IN AUSTRALIA APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER LAND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD. HOWEVER, UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:06 2003 X-UIDL: 13807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8B002N121SN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:29:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06ITemc057244 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:29:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06H2SOY037972; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:20:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 376924 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:15:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06IFoCw027834 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:15:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06IFnid015488 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:15:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06IFnvp015487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:15:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:15:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301061815.h06IFnvp015487@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 061800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE - 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 06/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.9S/38.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /S /12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.0S / 37.8E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.2S / 37.3E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.5S / 36.5E FI=3.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:07 2003 X-UIDL: 13808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8B002N921YN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:29:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06ITkmc057251 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:29:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06H2SNm037972; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:14:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 376886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:12:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06ICiCw038900 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:12:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06IChid015400 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:12:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06IChf6015399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:12:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:12:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301061812.h06IChf6015399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 061800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 06/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.9S/38.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/37.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 07/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 20.2 SOUTH/37.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : DIFFICULTY TO LOCATE THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:07 2003 X-UIDL: 13809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8B002OG22VN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:30:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06IUJmc057375 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:30:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06FmAR2021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:19:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 376911 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:14:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06IEkCw026532 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:14:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06IEkid015455 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:14:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06IEk5L015454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:14:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 12:14:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301061814.h06IEk5L015454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 061800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE = 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 06/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.9S/38.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /S /12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.0S / 37.8E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.2S / 37.3E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.5S / 36.5E FI=3.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:11 2003 X-UIDL: 13820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8B002DDB5FN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:46:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06LkEmc095317 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:46:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JReKQ005984; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:37:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 379830 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:37:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06LbeCw028904 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:37:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06Lbdid021539 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:37:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06LbdFQ021538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:37:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:37:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301062137.h06LbdFQ021538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 062137 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 06 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IS ENTERING THE EXTREME NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 31N138W TO BEYOND 27N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM AHEAD OF FRONT. ..1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N129W WITH RIDGING SW TO BEYOND 21N140W. ..BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIES OVER THE EXTREME SW UNITED STATES AND BAJA PENINSULA N OF 20N BETWEEN 110W-125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N84W 6N100W 7N115W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 94W-103W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST CLOUDINESS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS IS LOCATED FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN 105W-120W. WITHIN THIS AREA...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 108W-110W AND FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 114W-116W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXTEND NEWD OVER CENTRAL MEXICO. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:12 2003 X-UIDL: 13822-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8B002OFBJIN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:54:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06Lsgmc096628 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:54:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JReKY005984; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:50:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 379924 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:50:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06LoPCw027840 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:50:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06LoOid021908 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:50:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06LoOrw021907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:50:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 15:50:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301062150.h06LoOrw021907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 062150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE/EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 06N156W 05S179W EQ169E 04N170E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N144W 06N140W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13S176W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...SEE ADVISORY FROM FIJI METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SEE ITCZ DESCRIPTION FOR NORTH PACIFIC. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:13 2003 X-UIDL: 13824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8B00DJTJ3PTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 08:38:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h070c0mc024122 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 08:38:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JReRY005984; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 18:14:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 381199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 18:14:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h070ENCw038582 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 18:14:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h070ENid024598 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 18:14:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h070ENo7024597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 18:14:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 18:14:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301070014.h070ENo7024597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 070000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 07/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.8S/38.1E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 20.2 SOUTH/37.9 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 21.0 SOUTH/38.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : DIFFICULTY TO LOCATE THE CENTRE. WEAK INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF STRONG WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS IN THE UPPER LEVELS (VERTICAL WIND SHEAR).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 11:43:45 2003 X-UIDL: 13834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8B00DHCRMXTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:42:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h073gKmc065638 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:42:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JReZa005984; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 21:32:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 382705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 21:32:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h073WfCw024966 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 21:32:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h073Wfid026371 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 21:32:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h073Wf6Z026370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 21:32:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 21:32:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301070332.h073Wf6Z026370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 070331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 07 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT OVER THE EXTREME NW PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 31N137W TO BEYOND 25N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM AHEAD OF FRONT. ..HIGH CENTERED N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA RIDGES SW TO 25N135W. ..1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 28N118W MOVING SW NEAR 10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N84W 6N100W 7N115W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 5N-7N BETWEEN 94W-101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST CLOUDINESS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS IS LOCATED FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN 100W-120W. WITHIN THIS AREA...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 112W-114W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXTEND NEWD OVER CENTRAL MEXICO. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 14:53:45 2003 X-UIDL: 13837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00D6F03RTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:45:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h076jDmc005691 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:45:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JRege005984; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:32:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 384424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:32:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h076WhCw039022 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:32:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h076Whid027957 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:32:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h076Whie027956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:32:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:32:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301070632.h076Whie027956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 070600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE - 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 07/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.5S/37.4E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 21.1S / 37.3E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 22.8S / 37.1E FI=1.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWARD, SO THE SYSTEM IS FORCASTED TO WEAKEN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 14:53:48 2003 X-UIDL: 13838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DAM05HTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:46:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h076kHmc005953 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:46:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JRegW005984; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:29:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 384404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:29:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h076TeCw042216 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:29:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h076Tdid027900 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:29:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h076TdCr027899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:29:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:29:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301070629.h076TdCr027899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 070600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 07/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.5S/37.4E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.1 SOUTH/37.3 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 22.8 SOUTH/37.1 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS WEST-NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED, AND WINDS ARE FORCASTED TO REMAINS STRONG IN UPPER LEVELS, PREVENTING INTENSIFION. THE TRACK IS MAINLY SOUTHWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 14:55:46 2003 X-UIDL: 13840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00D730HSTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:53:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h076remc007901 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:53:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JRegc005984; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:31:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 384417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:31:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h076VgCw027782 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:31:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h076Vfid027951 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:31:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h076Vfh4027950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:31:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:31:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301070631.h076Vfh4027950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 070600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE = 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 07/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.5S/37.4E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 21.1S / 37.3E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 22.8S / 37.1E FI=1.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWARD, SO THE SYSTEM IS FORCASTED TO WEAKEN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 15:03:45 2003 X-UIDL: 13841-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00D2M0VQTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:02:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07722mc009771 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:02:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h076CtH2021686; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 384518 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h076loCw024842 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h076loid028085 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h076loL6028083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301070647.h076loL6028083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 163.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF KOSRAE IS DISSIPATING. THEREFORE THERE IS NO POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 134.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 133.8E5, OVER LAND IN AUSTRALIA APPROXIMATELY 176 NM EAST OF DARWIN. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/SCHAEFER/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 18:17:28 2003 X-UIDL: 13854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DKC9J8TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 18:09:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07A8umc054986 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 18:08:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JRejA005984; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:00:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 385524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:00:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07A02Cw014524 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:00:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07A02id029546 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:00:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07A019x029545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:00:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:00:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071000.h07A019x029545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 070959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05N171W 01N167W 01N179W 05N177W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 04N159W 03N164W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N150W 04N155W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 01S180 04S175W 01S168W 03S166W 06S170W 06S177W 04S180 HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 12S156W 15S145W 18S139W 25S137W 25S148W 17S148W 14S157W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S171W 11S167W 16S172W 14S175W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06S178W 10S179W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 18:37:27 2003 X-UIDL: 13855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00D8TALATF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 18:31:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07AVkmc059863 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 18:31:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JRejM005984; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:16:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 385626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:16:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07AG5Cw014590 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:16:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07AG4id029655 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:16:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07AG4xn029654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:16:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:16:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071016.h07AG4xn029654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 071015 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 07 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 07/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..QUASI-STATIONARY 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N116W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N137W BEYOND 23N140W. POSSIBLE SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..RIDGE THROUGH 32N128W TO 21N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 6N98W 8N107W 5N130W 5N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS... SOME DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST 5-6 HOURS...WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 100W...AND BETWEEN 105W AND 107W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 17N119W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED SHOWERS FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXTEND NEWD OVER CENTRAL MEXICO. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:28:50 2003 X-UIDL: 13859-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DK8EPATF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:00:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07C0Xmc083340 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:00:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h076CtX4021686; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 386103 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07BovCw019496 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07Bovid000304 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07Bov5h000302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071150.h07Bov5h000302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 071200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 07/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 08 1004 HPA POSITION : 10.7S/70.2E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 5S TO 15S AND BETWEEN 64E AND 80E. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLES TO INTENSIFICATION. THE ACTUAL INTENSITY DOES NOT NEED ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:01 2003 X-UIDL: 13860-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DKCEPCTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:00:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07C0amc083355 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:00:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JRel6005984; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 386100 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07BovCw039892 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07Bovid000303 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07Bov1C000301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 05:50:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071150.h07Bov1C000301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 071200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 07/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 08 1004 HPA POSITION : 10.7S/70.2E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 5S TO 15S AND BETWEEN 64E AND 80E. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLES TO INTENSIFICATION. THE ACTUAL INTENSITY DOES NOT NEED ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:02 2003 X-UIDL: 13861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DI3FGFTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:17:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07CGpmc086279 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:16:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JRelk005984; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 06:10:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 386241 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 06:10:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07CAPCw019576 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 06:10:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07CAOid000502 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 06:10:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07CAOHd000501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 06:10:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 06:10:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071210.h07CAOHd000501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 071200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 07/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.5S/37.0E (TWENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 22.5 SOUTH/37.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 24.0 SOUTH/37.9 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS WEST-NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED, AND WINDS ARE FORCASTED TO REMAINS STRONG IN UPPER LEVELS, PREVENTING INTENSIFICATION. THE TRACK IS MAINLY SOUTHWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:18 2003 X-UIDL: 13869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DCCP7HTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 23:47:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07FlTmc031271 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 23:47:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07EQWKm043158; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 09:32:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 387950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 09:32:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07FWqCw019596 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 09:32:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07FWqid004633 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 09:32:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07FWqQh004632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 09:32:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 09:32:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071532.h07FWqQh004632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 071532 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 07 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N118W. ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N135W TO BEYOND 21N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N87W 6N100W 7N109W 6N124W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 104W...FROM 107W TO 109W...AND WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 78W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO 139W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 2.5N81W TO 3.5N80W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 9N TO 24N BETWEEN 100W AND 117W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:22 2003 X-UIDL: 13873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DN3VK9TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:04:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07I4imc058990 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:04:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HSJG0005986; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 390150 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HuNCw027496 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07HuNid009619 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07HuNRk009617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/071800z/081800zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071756.h07HuNRk009617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 071800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070321ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070551ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT AND REF B IS A/ SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH/ PACIFIC OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 38.2E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.8S0 37.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BEIRA, MOZAMBIQUE, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, AND IS MOVING UNDER THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS NOW IN A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 71.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 70.4E1. ANIMATED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLIC DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED, AND IS BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IN THE SOUTHWEST SECTOR. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA HAS DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 070330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR 13.2S6 132.0E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 133.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 155 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS OVER LAND, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 997 MB. SEE REF A (ABPW10 PGTW 070600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/INGRAM/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:25 2003 X-UIDL: 13875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DTTVUUTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:11:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07IB6mc059985 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:11:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07EQWiO043158; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 390153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HuNCw033070 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07HuNid009620 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07HuN0A009618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:56:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/071800z/081800zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071756.h07HuN0A009618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070321ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070551ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT AND REF B IS A/ SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH/ PACIFIC OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 38.2E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.8S0 37.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BEIRA, MOZAMBIQUE, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, AND IS MOVING UNDER THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS NOW IN A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 71.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 70.4E1. ANIMATED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLIC DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED, AND IS BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IN THE SOUTHWEST SECTOR. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA HAS DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 070330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR 13.2S6 132.0E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 133.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 155 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS OVER LAND, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 997 MB. SEE REF A (ABPW10 PGTW 070600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/INGRAM/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:29 2003 X-UIDL: 13877-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DC0WCSTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:22:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07ILqmc061987 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:21:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HSJHU005986; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:15:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 390418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:15:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07IF6Cw035478 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:15:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07IF5id010303 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:15:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07IF5ds010302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:15:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:15:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071815.h07IF5ds010302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 071800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 07/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.5S/37.7E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 23.4 SOUTH/38.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 25.4 SOUTH/39.7 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS WEST-NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:30 2003 X-UIDL: 13878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DIXWKBTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:26:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07IQNmc062801 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:26:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HSJHi005986; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 390483 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07IK9Cw020170 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07IK8id010466 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07IK85g010463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071820.h07IK85g010463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 071800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 4/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE = 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 07/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.5S/37.7E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 26 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 23.4S / 38.4E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 25.4S / 39.7E FI=1.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : FLUCTUATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN SOUTHEASTERN VICINITY OF THE CENTRE OF THE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:31 2003 X-UIDL: 13879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DKBWLTTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:27:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07IRGmc062967 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:27:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07EQWli043158; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 390486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07IK9Cw026542 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07IK9id010467 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07IK87E010465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 12:20:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071820.h07IK87E010465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 071800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 4/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE - 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 07/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.5S/37.7E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 26 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 23.4S / 38.4E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 25.4S / 39.7E FI=1.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : FLUCTUATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN SOUTHEASTERN VICINITY OF THE CENTRE OF THE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:38 2003 X-UIDL: 13887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00DRA59FTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 05:34:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07LYEmc001164 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 05:34:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HSJUc005986; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:27:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 393165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:27:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07LRoCw035562 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:27:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07LRnid016563 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:27:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07LRnxp016562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:27:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:27:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301072127.h07LRnxp016562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 072127 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 07 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1012 MB LOW IS LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 28N118W MOVING SW 10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. ..COLD FRONT OVER THE NW PORTION OF AREA EXTENDS THROUGH 30N133W 25N135W TO BEYOND 20N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 4N90W 6N100W 7N110W 8N120W 6N130W 4N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 99W-106W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDINESS WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-20N BETWEEN 105W-115W. MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING NEWD OVER CENTRAL MEXICO. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:39 2003 X-UIDL: 13889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00D256TSTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:08:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07M83mc006742 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:08:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HSJVq005986; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:59:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 393400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:59:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07LxgCw033394 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:59:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07Lxgid017560 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:59:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07LxffQ017559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:59:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:59:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301072159.h07LxffQ017559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 072159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N177W 02N151W 05N140W AND BEYOND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 11S154W 20S140W 30S139W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE/EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 04N179E 07S176W 12S177E 07S172E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S177W 30S175W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:45 2003 X-UIDL: 13894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00LX2ECBR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:50:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h080oKmc035506 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:50:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HSJfS005986; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 18:42:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 395634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 18:42:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h080gJCw032778 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 18:42:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h080gJid020120 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 18:42:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h080gJdC020119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 18:42:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 18:42:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080042.h080gJdC020119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 080000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 009/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 08/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.7S/39.0E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE, AND EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 22.5 SOUTH/40.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 23.4 SOUTH/41.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINS FLUCTUATING IN SOUTHEASTERN VICINITY OF THE CENTRE..= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 11:25:27 2003 X-UIDL: 13902-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00L52LEGR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:23:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h083Mpmc071260 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:22:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HSJki005986; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:12:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 396885 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:12:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h083CACw038830 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:12:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h083CAid021526 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:12:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h083C9Al021525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:12:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:12:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080312.h083C9Al021525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 080300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070321ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 11.0S2 70.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.0S2 70.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 11.9S1 69.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.4S8 70.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.6S2 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.7S5 70.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.2S4 70.0E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLIC DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED, AND HAS BEGUN TO WRAP INTO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM IS MINIMAL. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE INITIALLY, THEN MORE SLOWLY AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NGPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 14 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 070321Z JAN 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 070330). NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 AND 090300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 12:55:09 2003 X-UIDL: 13904-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00LQXM3XR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:38:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h083c8mc074700 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:38:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HSJks005986; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:29:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 397029 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:29:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h083TVCw034388 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:29:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h083TUid021677 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:29:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h083TUXm021676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:29:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 21:29:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080329.h083TUXm021676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 080328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 08 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A DISSIPATING 1012 MB LOW IS LOCATED OFF THE BAJA PENINSULA COAST NEAR 29N118W MOVING NW 10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. ..COLD FRONT OVER THE NW PORTION OF AREA EXTENDS THROUGH 31N131W 25N133W TO BEYOND 20N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 4N90W 6N100W 7N110W 8N120W 6N130W 4N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 98W-101W AND FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 102W-110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDINESS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN 103W-115W. MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING NEWD OVER CENTRAL MEXICO. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 14:31:09 2003 X-UIDL: 13936-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00LBPTV4R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:25:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h086PYmc012499 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:25:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07Kh7AO043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 398279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h086FiCw003768 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h086Fiid022951 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h086Fif3022949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080615.h086Fif3022949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 080600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 002/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 08/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 08 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.0S/70.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 11.8 SOUTH/70.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 13.0 SOUTH/71.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 14:31:12 2003 X-UIDL: 13937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00LFWTX5R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:27:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h086Osmc012324 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:26:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iHW026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 398282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h086FiCw014386 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h086Fiid022952 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h086Fiap022950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080615.h086Fiap022950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 080600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 002/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 08/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 08 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.0S/70.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 11.8 SOUTH/70.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 13.0 SOUTH/71.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 14:31:13 2003 X-UIDL: 13938-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00LVJU35R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:30:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h086USmc013614 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:30:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iHS026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:15:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 398149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:09:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0869DCw029012 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:09:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0869Did022880 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:09:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0869DfX022878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:09:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:09:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080609.h0869DfX022878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071751ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 133.8E5 IS NO LONGER WITHIN THE COVERAGE AREA OF THIS BULLETIN. SEE REF A (ABIO10 PGTW 071800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/SCHAEFER/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 14:40:13 2003 X-UIDL: 13939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00LDMUAXR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:35:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h086Z9mc014521 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:35:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07Kh7Bc043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 398444 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h086U6Cw027974 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h086U5id023039 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h086U5tl023038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080630.h086U5tl023038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 080600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 5/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE = 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 08/01/2003 : 22.9S/38.3E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 24.5S / 38.0E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 26.0S / 38.9E FI=1.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 24.5S / 40.7E FI= DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 14:40:14 2003 X-UIDL: 13940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00LNCUEVR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:37:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h086bVmc015020 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:37:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iIS026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 398447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h086UACw005942 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h086U9id023046 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h086U9s7023044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080630.h086U9s7023044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 080600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 08/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : 22.9S/38.3E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 24.5 SOUTH/38.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 26.0 SOUTH/38.9 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, TOWARDS THE SUBTROPICAL TROUGH. IT UNDERGOES STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 14:40:15 2003 X-UIDL: 13941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00LV1UI3R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:39:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h086dPmc015438 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:39:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iIW026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 398450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h086UACw027978 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h086U9id023047 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h086U935023045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:30:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080630.h086U935023045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 080600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 5/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE - 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 08/01/2003 : 22.9S/38.3E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 24.5S / 38.0E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 26.0S / 38.9E FI=1.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 24.5S / 40.7E FI= DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 17:43:42 2003 X-UIDL: 13954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LFY2WFR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 17:41:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h089enmc060084 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 17:40:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iK6026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 03:28:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 399218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 03:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h089SKCw023882 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 03:28:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h089SJid024384 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 03:28:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h089SJYV024383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 03:28:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 03:28:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080928.h089SJYV024383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 080928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 08 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 08/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29.5N120W...DRIFTING NW. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N131W TO 30N131W TO 24N133W. STATIONARY FRONT 24N133W TO 21N139W. DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT 21N139W BEYOND 20N140.5W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 3N78W 3N90W 8N101W 9N109W 7N131W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 8N132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 15N111W . TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 20:09:38 2003 X-UIDL: 13958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00L66532R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:28:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08AS1mc069655 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:28:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iKK026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 04:20:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 399437 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 04:20:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08AKrCw023878 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 04:20:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08AKrid024676 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 04:20:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08AKrR0024675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 04:20:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 04:20:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081020.h08AKrR0024675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 081020 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 30N160W 23N180 AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST HAS MOVED EAST AT 25KT ALONG 30N SOUTHEAST AT 10KT NEAR THE DATELINE. OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM NW OF FRONT. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 05N140W 03N150W 01N170W. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 140NM OF AXIS EAST OF 159W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 02N159W 03N170W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S144W 20S146W 11S155W. AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS PARTLY BOUNDED BY 10S155W 10S147W 25S135W 25S144W 20S146W 10S155W AND EXTENDING SOUTH WITH AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 14S144W 25S141W 18S146W 14S144W. AREA OF CB HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. LOW NEAR 11S179W WITH TROUGH THROUGH 11S164W. NEW BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 110 NM OF LINE 05S169W 01S178W ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE INTO LOW AND TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 23:53:16 2003 X-UIDL: 13962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LW79Z6R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:13:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08CDfmc090398 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:13:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0871TTU043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 400368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08C62Cw030658 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08C62id025349 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08C62DP025347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081206.h08C62DP025347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 081200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 08/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 08 1001 HPA POSITION : 13.3S/70.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.3 SOUTH/70.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 17.5 SOUTH/69.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION, BUT CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 23:54:06 2003 X-UIDL: 13963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LWN9ZNR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:14:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08CDxmc090440 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:14:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0871TTY043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:07:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 400371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:07:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08C71Cw007848 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:07:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08C71id025360 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:07:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08C71Wt025359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:07:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:07:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081207.h08C71Wt025359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 081200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 08/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : 23.7S/37.9E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS IN THE EASTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 25.4 SOUTH/38.3 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 26.1 SOUTH/39.4 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM STILL UNDERGOES STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 23:54:07 2003 X-UIDL: 13964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00L11A37R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:16:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08CG7mc090797 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:16:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iQK026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 400365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08C62Cw033180 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08C62id025350 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08C62ku025348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 06:06:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081206.h08C62ku025348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 081200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 08/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 08 1001 HPA POSITION : 13.3S/70.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.3 SOUTH/70.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 17.5 SOUTH/69.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION, BUT CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 23:54:31 2003 X-UIDL: 13972-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LTGGGKR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 22:33:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08EXjmc016236 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 22:33:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iX6026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:16:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 401660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:16:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08EGMCw038602 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:16:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08EGLid026976 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:16:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08EGLZc026975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:16:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:16:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081416.h08EGLZc026975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 12.7S0 70.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S0 70.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.1S7 71.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.4S2 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.9S9 70.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 22.3S7 69.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.3S7 70.7E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLIC DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED, AND HAS BEGUN TO WRAP INTO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WITH THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE INITIALLY, THEN MORE SLOWLY AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NGPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), GEOPHYSICAL FLUID DYNAMICS LABORATORY, NAVY MODEL (GFDN), AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 14 FEET.NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 AND 091500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 23:54:34 2003 X-UIDL: 13976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LOFJ0XR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:29:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08FT8mc030638 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:29:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iZW026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:06:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 402203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:06:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08F6KCw006106 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:06:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08F6Kid028634 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:06:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08F6J0m028633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:06:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:06:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081506.h08F6J0m028633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 081500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 12.7S0 70.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S0 70.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.1S7 71.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.4S2 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.9S9 70.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 22.3S7 69.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.3S7 70.7E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLIC DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED, AND HAS BEGUN TO WRAP INTO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WITH THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE INITIALLY, THEN MORE SLOWLY AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NGPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), GEOPHYSICAL FLUID DYNAMICS LABORATORY, NAVY MODEL (GFDN), AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 14 FEET.NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 AND 091500Z5. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED NUMBER OF ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES TO ONE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 23:54:36 2003 X-UIDL: 13978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00L4PJWHR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:48:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08Fm5mc036935 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:48:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0871TrY043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:35:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 402661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:35:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08FZqCw009598 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:35:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08FZqid029744 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:35:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08FZqMe029743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:35:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 09:35:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081535.h08FZqMe029743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 081535 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 08 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK 1013 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N121W...DRIFTING NW. NO DEEP CONVECTION. ..COLD FRONT IS THROUGH 32N129W TO 27N130W TO 21N134W. NO DEEP CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N105W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9.5N105W AND 13N106W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 02:42:40 2003 X-UIDL: 13986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LI2QBHR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:06:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08I6kmc064675 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:06:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08HIRJU043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:53:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 405275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:51:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08HpWCw019562 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:51:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08HpVid004416 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:51:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08HpVE8004415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:51:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:51:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081751.h08HpVE8004415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081421ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080551ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT AND REF B IS A/ SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH/ PACIFIC OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S, LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 70.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 081500 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.8S0 37.8E8, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.1S7 37.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM EAST OF INHAMBRANE, MOZAMBIQUE, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 70.4E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR 13.2S6 133.4E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S2 133.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS OVER LAND, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE REF A (ABPW10 PGTW 080600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/HEATH/SHERRY/DUKES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 02:43:33 2003 X-UIDL: 13987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LQYQKHR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:12:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08ICAmc065618 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:12:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iqQ026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:56:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 405279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:51:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08HpWCw040068 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:51:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08HpVid004417 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:51:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08HpVCg004414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:51:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 11:51:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081751.h08HpVCg004414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081421ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080551ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT AND REF B IS A/ SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH/ PACIFIC OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S, LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 70.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 081500 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.8S0 37.8E8, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.1S7 37.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM EAST OF INHAMBRANE, MOZAMBIQUE, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 70.4E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR 13.2S6 133.4E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S2 133.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS OVER LAND, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE REF A (ABPW10 PGTW 080600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/HEATH/SHERRY/DUKES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 02:43:34 2003 X-UIDL: 13989-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LHYRGFR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:31:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08IVKmc068360 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:31:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08HIROk043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 405997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08IPBCw003672 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08IPBid005509 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08IPAUq005507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081825.h08IPAUq005507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 081800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 08/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.1S/70.5E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE WIND FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/70.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.7 SOUTH/68.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE UPPER LEVELS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION, AND CONVECTION SHOWS NOW A BETTER ORGANIZATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 02:43:36 2003 X-UIDL: 13990-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LI3RGTR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:31:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08IVZmc068391 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:31:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01G4009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 405994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08IPBCw039954 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08IPBid005508 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08IPAA8005506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:25:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081825.h08IPAA8005506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 081800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 08/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.1S/70.5E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE WIND FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/70.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.7 SOUTH/68.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE UPPER LEVELS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION, AND CONVECTION SHOWS NOW A BETTER ORGANIZATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 02:43:37 2003 X-UIDL: 13991-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LI9RGUR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:31:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08IVZmc068393 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:31:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08HIRP2043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:26:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 406021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:26:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08IQDCw028786 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:26:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08IQCid005542 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:26:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08IQC3K005541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:26:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:26:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081826.h08IQC3K005541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 081800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/8/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 08/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.1S/70.5E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 30 KM SE30: 40 KM SW30: 40 KM NW30: 30 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.2S / 70.2E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 17.7S / 68.8E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.7S / 67.6E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=2.5-. UPPER LEVELS CONDITIOND REMAIN FAVORABLE, AND CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE IN A BETTER ORGANIZATION, BUT REMAINS YET MODERATE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 02:52:58 2003 X-UIDL: 13994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00L6RS8TR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:48:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08ImNmc070720 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:48:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01H8009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:42:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 406306 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:42:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08IgZCw030576 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:42:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08IgYid006017 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:42:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08IgYa7006016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:42:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:42:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081842.h08IgYa7006016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 081800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 012/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 08/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.0S/38.0E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS IN THE EASTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 24.9 SOUTH/38.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 25.4 SOUTH/39.6 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM STILL UNDERGOES STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 02:53:57 2003 X-UIDL: 13996-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LCHSEPR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:52:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08Ipsmc071303 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:51:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01HA009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 406329 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08IklCw035518 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08Iklid006185 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08IkkCH006183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081846.h08IkkCH006183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 081800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 6/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE = 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 08/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.0S/38.0E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 26 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 24.9S / 38.4E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 25.4S / 39.6E FI=1.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.7S / 41.5E FI= DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE STOPPED AT MIDDLE RANGE, AS THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILD IN THE SOUTH OF THE CHANEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 02:53:58 2003 X-UIDL: 13997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LDPSFJR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:52:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08IqPmc071410 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:52:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08HIRRu043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 406332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08IklCw040034 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08Iklid006186 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08Ikl2x006184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:46:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081846.h08Ikl2x006184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 081800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 6/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE - 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 08/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.0S/38.0E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 26 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 24.9S / 38.4E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 25.4S / 39.6E FI=1.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.7S / 41.5E FI= DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE STOPPED AT MIDDLE RANGE, AS THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILD IN THE SOUTH OF THE CHANEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 10:40:51 2003 X-UIDL: 14001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00LX819KR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:03:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08M3Cmc007063 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:03:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01RS009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 15:54:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 408601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 15:54:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08LsrCw038636 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 15:54:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08Lsqid012723 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 15:54:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08Lsqi2012722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 15:54:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 15:54:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301082154.h08Lsqi2012722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 082154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 03N163W 03N160W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S154W 11S147W 20S141W MOVED EAST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S173W 13S173W 13S175W 11S175W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 02N175W 05S170W 07S175W 01S179W 02N180 WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 10:40:54 2003 X-UIDL: 14004-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JW22TU0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:37:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08Maxmc011793 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:37:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08HIRuE043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 16:18:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 408788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 16:11:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08MBNCw004342 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 16:11:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08MBNid013305 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 16:11:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08MBNYO013304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 16:11:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 16:11:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301082211.h08MBNYO013304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 082209 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 08 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1016 MB DISSIPATING LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 31N121W...DRIFTING NW. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 31N128W 26N130W TO 23N133W. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 4N100W 7N110W 5N120W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 99W-104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 106W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 104W-110W. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 10:40:54 2003 X-UIDL: 14005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JN276M0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:11:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h090B3mc027898 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:11:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01Vq009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 17:56:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 409720 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 17:56:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08Nu6Cw039122 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 17:56:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08Nu5id015415 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 17:56:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08Nu5mb015414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 17:56:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 17:56:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301082356.h08Nu5mb015414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 090000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 013/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.6S/38.6E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CERCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 26.9 SOUTH/39.2 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 27.8 SOUTH/40.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM STRONGLY WESTERLY WINDSHEARED HAS NO MORE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION..= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 10:40:55 2003 X-UIDL: 14006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00J9V7UD0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:25:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h090PFmc030408 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:25:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01X8009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 410013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h090IbCw015296 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h090Iaid015717 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h090IZlP015716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090018.h090IZlP015716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 090000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 996 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S/70.8E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 150 NM, EXTENDING LOCALY UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE WIND FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 16.1 SOUTH/70.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 17.9 SOUTH/69.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE UPPER LEVELS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION, AND CONVECTION SHOWS NOW A CDO STRUCTURE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 10:40:55 2003 X-UIDL: 14007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JA67UL0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:25:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h090PQmc030433 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:25:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08HIR8S043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 410016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h090IdCw015302 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h090Icid015722 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h090IcP3015721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 18:18:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090018.h090IcP3015721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 090000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 996 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.4S/70.8E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 150 NM, EXTENDING LOCALY UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE WIND FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 16.1 SOUTH/70.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 17.9 SOUTH/69.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE UPPER LEVELS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION, AND CONVECTION SHOWS NOW A CDO STRUCTURE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 10:49:53 2003 X-UIDL: 14014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00J65E7J0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 10:42:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h092gomc061526 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 10:42:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01de009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:32:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 411628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:32:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h092WlCw032822 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:32:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h092Wlid017117 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:32:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h092Wk8M017116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:32:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:32:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090232.h092Wk8M017116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 090300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 14.5S0 70.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 70.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.0S8 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.0S0 70.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.2S5 69.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 23.1S6 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.1S7 70.9E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 438 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 TO 50 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED, AND CONTINUED TO WRAP INTO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A WELL DEVELOPED POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. TC 09S WILL TRACK SOUTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO MID-LEVEL STEERING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TC 09S AND A FILLING MID-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST. BY 24 HOURS TC 09S WILL TURN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD IN RESPONSE TO STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL RIDGE DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHEAST ALONG 30 SOUTH. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. NO FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM ENTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NGPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 AND 100300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 12:09:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JUXHV80Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:01:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0941mmc079784 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:01:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01jK009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 21:52:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 412616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 21:52:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h093qkCw015316 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 21:52:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h093qkid017728 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 21:52:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h093qkfR017727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 21:52:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 21:52:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090352.h093qkfR017727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 090352 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 09 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 09/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT THROUGH 31N127W 27N128W BECOMING STATIONARY NEAR 24N132W TO 20N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 4N100W 7N110W 5N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-5N BETWEEN 96W-101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 105W-110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 104W-110W. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 14:19:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14021-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JCINU60Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:10:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h096Almc016441 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:10:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h090majG043158; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 413804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h095xXCw004534 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h095xXid018794 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h095xXkO018792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090559.h095xXkO018792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8S2 133.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 134.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINUMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE REF A (ABIO10 PGTW 081800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/NUTONGLA/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 14:39:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JMAOPP0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:29:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h096TgoY097735 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:29:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01q6009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 414389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h096NaCw008144 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h096NZid019063 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h096NZKU019061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090623.h096NZKU019061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 090600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 986 HPA POSITION : 14.9S/71.0E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS AND UP TO 260 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.3 SOUTH/71.3 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.5 SOUTH/70.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE ARRIVING IN THE SOUTH OF EBULA OF A TROUGH SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS SOUTHWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 14:39:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JPYOR20Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:30:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h096UWmc020928 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:30:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01q8009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:25:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 414401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:25:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h096PgCw040824 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:25:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h096Pgid019076 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:25:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h096Pghg019075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:25:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:25:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090625.h096Pghg019075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 090600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/8/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (EBULA) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 09/01/2003 : 14.9S/71.0E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 986 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 120 KM SE30: 200 KM SW30: 180 KM NW30: 100 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.3S / 71.3E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.5S / 70.5E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 22.0S / 69.0E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA IS LOCATED IN VICINITY OF AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH COULD WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AT SHORT RANGE. T=CI=3.0 PLUS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 14:39:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JRMORK0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:30:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h096TJoY097590 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:30:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h090maoi043158; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 414392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h096NaCw024462 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h096NZid019064 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h096NZPD019062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:23:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090623.h096NZPD019062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 090600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 986 HPA POSITION : 14.9S/71.0E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS AND UP TO 260 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.3 SOUTH/71.3 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.5 SOUTH/70.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE ARRIVING IN THE SOUTH OF EBULA OF A TROUGH SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS SOUTHWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 14:49:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JK9PIO0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:47:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h096l6mc024631 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:47:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01qI009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:32:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 414447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:32:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h096WsCw032826 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:32:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h096Wsid019145 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:32:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h096Ws7m019144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:32:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:32:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090632.h096Ws7m019144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 090600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 014/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : 26.9S/38.7E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : LITTLE AREA OF SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 28.5 SOUTH/39.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 29.5 SOUTH/41.2 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED, SIGN OF AN APPROCHING DISSIPATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 17:57:56 2003 X-UIDL: 14043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00J3IY9G0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 17:56:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h099tumc066107 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 17:55:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01vA009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 03:44:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 415776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 03:44:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h099iqCw033144 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 03:44:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h099iqid020694 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 03:44:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h099ip2U020693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 03:44:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 03:44:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090944.h099ip2U020693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 090944 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 23N180 TO 26N165W TO 30N152W TO 35N145W AND FURTHER NORTHEAST MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 01N168W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 40 NM OF THE LINE FROM 03N175W TO 03N173W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 05N179W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S145W TO 22S140W TO 30S140W TO 38S137W AND FURTHER SOUTH MOVED EAST AT 5 KNOTS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 250 NM OF THE POINT 24S122W MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS...INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08S163W TO 09S157W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 22S174W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 01S180 04S175W 09S176W 09S179W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 18:13:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JD4YZB0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:11:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09ABSmc069199 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:11:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01vI009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 04:03:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 415920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 04:03:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09A3mCw040950 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 04:03:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09A3lid020857 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 04:03:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09A3ls6020856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 04:03:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 04:03:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091003.h09A3ls6020856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 091003 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 09 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 09/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH...REMNANT OF ALREADY DISSIPATED COLD FRONT... THROUGH 32N126W TO 24N130W TO 20N139W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N145W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 5N98W 8N106W 7N115W 7N128W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 30-45 NM RADIUS ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 101W...AND WITHIN 50 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 20:56:48 2003 X-UIDL: 14054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00J0E3YO0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 19:59:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09Bx1mc088412 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 19:59:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01xQ009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 05:48:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 416681 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 05:48:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09BmOCw027974 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 05:48:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09BmNid021517 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 05:48:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09BmNlr021516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 05:48:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 05:48:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091148.h09BmNlr021516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 091200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 015/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : 27.4S/39.4E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 27.4 SOUTH/41.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 27.0 SOUTH/42.8 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE TRACK HAS CURVED EASTWARD DUE TO THE ARRIVING OF A HIGH IN THE SOUTHWEST. CONVECTION REMAINS WEAK.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 20:56:50 2003 X-UIDL: 14056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JSH55E0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:24:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09COimc091827 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:24:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h090maCI043158; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 416767 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09CFuCw025986 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09CFuid021734 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09CFtoU021733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091215.h09CFtoU021733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 091200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 984 HPA POSITION : 15.2S/71.1E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.8 SOUTH/71.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 18.6 SOUTH/70.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE ARRIVING IN THE SOUTH OF EBULA OF A TROUGH SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS SOUTHWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 20:56:50 2003 X-UIDL: 14057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JSX55R0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:25:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09COuoY065460 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:24:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01xo009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 416764 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09CFtCw025984 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09CFtid021729 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09CFt0M021728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 06:15:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091215.h09CFt0M021728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 091200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 984 HPA POSITION : 15.2S/71.1E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.8 SOUTH/71.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 18.6 SOUTH/70.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE ARRIVING IN THE SOUTH OF EBULA OF A TROUGH SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS SOUTHWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 23:00:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JLPBEA0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 22:39:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09Eddmc014401 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 22:39:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I013s009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:25:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 417634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:25:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09EP9Cw040072 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:25:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09EP8id023484 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:25:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09EP8sZ023483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:25:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:25:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091425.h09EP8sZ023483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 091500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- NEAR 15.8S4 71.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 71.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.6S4 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 19.5S5 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 21.8S1 70.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 24.1S7 70.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.3S0 71.4E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (EBULA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 TO 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEVELOPED POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. TC 09S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH 24 TO 36 HOURS AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE RIDGE PASSES SOUTH OF SYSTEM. AFTER 36 HOURS, TC 09S WILL TURN SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AS THE MID- LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NGPS, GFDN, AFWA MM5, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 AND 101500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 00:35:05 2003 X-UIDL: 14070-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JBHFAX0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:04:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09G41oY012830 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:04:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09CYYVE043158; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 09:53:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 418852 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 09:53:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09Fr7Cw040916 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 09:53:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09Fr6id026633 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 09:53:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09Fr6N5026632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 09:53:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 09:53:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091553.h09Fr6N5026632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 091552 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 09 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 09/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH...REMNANT OF DISSIPATED COLD FRONT...IS FROM 30N126W TO 25N128W TO 21N134W. NO DEEP CONVECTION. ..1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 27N118W. ..1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 25N141W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 6N85W 5N100W 6N115W 7N128W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND 97W...AND BETWEEN 100W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 129W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG AXIS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 2.5N80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 02:42:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00J6QL160Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:07:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09I7lmc045315 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:07:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELMa009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 420931 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09HqUCw004336 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09HqUid000996 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09HqTI2000995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091752.h09HqTI2000995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091351ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 71.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 091500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.1S7 37.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28.0S0 40.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS FULLY EXPOSED AND DISSIPATING. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR 13.8S2 133.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 134.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GOVE, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS OVER LAND, WITH DEEP CONVECTION FORMING ALONG THE COAST IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY/DUKES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 02:42:19 2003 X-UIDL: 14076-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JQOLJC0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:18:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09IIfoY049457 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:18:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELNS009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:13:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 421209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:13:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09IDrCw035504 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:13:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09IDqid001795 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:13:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09IDq9s001794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:13:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:13:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091813.h09IDq9s001794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 091800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 980 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S/71.0E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 2000 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.4 SOUTH/69.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.0 SOUTH/67.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA KEEPS ON PROGRESSIVELY INTENSIFYING. IT SHOULD TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS IN THE NEXT HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES PROPAGATE IN THE SOUTH, AND THEN SOUTHWARDS BEYOND 24 HOURS AS A TROUGH ARRIVES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 02:42:20 2003 X-UIDL: 14078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JCXM770Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09IWwoY053224 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:33:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELOw009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:29:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 421400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:27:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09IRCCw027554 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:27:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09IRBid002261 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:27:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09IRBQm002260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:27:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:27:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091827.h09IRBQm002260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 091800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 8/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE = 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 09/01/2003 : 27.5S/40.4E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 27.2S / 42.0E FI=2.0 EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 26.2S / 43.3E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : SYSTEM BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL (QUIKSCAT OF 1505Z).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 02:42:21 2003 X-UIDL: 14079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JMQMDQ0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:37:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09IauoY054238 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:36:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELP2009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:29:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 421403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:27:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09IRDCw027558 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:27:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09IRDid002268 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:27:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09IRDuM002267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:27:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:27:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091827.h09IRDuM002267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 091800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 8/7/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE - 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 09/01/2003 : 27.5S/40.4E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 27.2S / 42.0E FI=2.0 EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 26.2S / 43.3E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : SYSTEM BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL (QUIKSCAT OF 1505Z).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 03:07:21 2003 X-UIDL: 14081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JMING20Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:00:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09Ixumc052456 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:59:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09CYYoa043158; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 420934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09HqUCw020110 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09HqUid000997 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09HqTC5000994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 11:52:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091752.h09HqTC5000994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091351ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 71.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 091500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.1S7 37.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28.0S0 40.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MAPUTO, MOZAMBIQUE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS FULLY EXPOSED AND DISSIPATING. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR 13.8S2 133.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 134.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GOVE, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS OVER LAND, WITH DEEP CONVECTION FORMING ALONG THE COAST IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY/DUKES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 03:07:30 2003 X-UIDL: 14082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JX2NLF0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:03:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09J39mc053431 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:03:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELNk009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:15:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 421231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:15:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09IFvCw038496 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:15:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09IFvid001868 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:15:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09IFu9D001867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:15:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:15:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091815.h09IFu9D001867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 091800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 4/8/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (EBULA) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 09/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S/71.0E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 PLUS /D 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 200 KM SE30: 350 KM SW30: 200 KM NW30: 110 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 18.4S / 69.0E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.0S / 67.4E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 26.0S / 66.3E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=4.0 MOINS. SSMI OF 1351Z SHOWS THE FORMATION OF A WARM CORE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 10:56:51 2003 X-UIDL: 14085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00J0XOT00Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:29:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09JTHmc058995 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:29:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELOO009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:25:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 421368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:25:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09IP8Cw038598 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:25:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09IP8id002171 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:25:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09IP792002170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:25:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:25:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091825.h09IP792002170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 091800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : 27.5S/40.4E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 100 NM AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 27.2 SOUTH/42.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 26.2 SOUTH/43.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BUILDING IN THE SOUTH. RESIDUAL CONVECTION. SYSTEM STRONGLY NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 10:57:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JTQSMM0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 04:51:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09Kpqmc075259 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 04:51:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELNQ009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:12:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 421197 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:12:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09ICrCw039820 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:12:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09ICrid001771 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:12:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09ICqEt001770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:12:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:12:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091812.h09ICqEt001770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 091800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 09/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 980 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S/71.0E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 2000 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.4 SOUTH/69.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.0 SOUTH/67.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA KEEPS ON PROGRESSIVELY INTENSIFYING. IT SHOULD TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS IN THE NEXT HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES PROPAGATE IN THE SOUTH, AND THEN SOUTHWARDS BEYOND 24 HOURS AS A TROUGH ARRIVES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 10:57:11 2003 X-UIDL: 14093-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G0080EWAWJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:11:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09MBDoY013684 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:11:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELeO009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 16:04:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 423885 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 15:57:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09LvZCw024448 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 15:57:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09LvYid009366 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 15:57:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09LvYU8009365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 15:57:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 15:57:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301092157.h09LvYU8009365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 092157 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 09 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 09/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 25N134W WITH AN E/W ORIENTED RIDGE ALONG 24N/25N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 7N84W 5N100W 6N115W 6N130W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 87W-105W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 124W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 10:57:12 2003 X-UIDL: 14094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G0081PWC1JU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:12:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09MBroY013801 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:11:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09L32Ie043158; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 16:02:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 423811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 15:55:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09LtNCw022052 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 15:55:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09LtMid009278 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 15:55:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09LtMax009277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 15:55:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 15:55:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301092155.h09LtMax009277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 092155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 30N145W 23N170W AT 2030 UTC CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 20N180. NEAR 30N145W FRONT MOVING EAST 25 KT...NEAR 23N170W FRONT AND SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. NO CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT/SHEAR LINE SOUTH OF 30N. FRONT THROUGH 30N165W 25N180 AT 2030 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST 25 KT. NO CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT SOUTH OF 30N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N180 01N166W MOVED WEST 5-10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 10S180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH THROUGH 10S151W 22S144W 30S145W MOVING EAST SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 14S145W 22S139W 26S136W MOVED EAST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 01S177W 06S176W 11S179W EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE AND MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 10:57:15 2003 X-UIDL: 14099-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008TC2O2JU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:28:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A0Semc010202 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:28:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELoE009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:23:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 425831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A0MWCw021696 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A0MVid011739 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A0MVl2011738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100022.h0A0MVl2011738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 100000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 009/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 980 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S/70.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 2000 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.3 SOUTH/69.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 21.5 SOUTH/68.7 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA SHOULD TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS IN THE NEXT HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES PROPAGATE IN THE SOUTH, AND THEN SOUTHWARDS BEYOND 24 HOURS AS A TROUGH ARRIVES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 10:57:16 2003 X-UIDL: 14100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008TS2OGJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:29:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A0Swmc010254 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:29:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09L32aE043158; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 425827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A0MNCw032458 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A0MNid011734 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A0MNQ9011733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100022.h0A0MNQ9011733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 100000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 009/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 980 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S/70.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 2000 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.3 SOUTH/69.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 21.5 SOUTH/68.7 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA SHOULD TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS IN THE NEXT HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES PROPAGATE IN THE SOUTH, AND THEN SOUTHWARDS BEYOND 24 HOURS AS A TROUGH ARRIVES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 10:57:16 2003 X-UIDL: 14101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008TW2OMJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:29:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A0T4mc010268 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:29:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELoK009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:23:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 425836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A0MjCw022456 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A0Mjid011750 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A0Mivi011749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 18:22:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100022.h0A0Mivi011749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 100000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 017/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : 27.5S/40.9E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 160 NM AND 260 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 26.9 SOUTH/42.3 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 26.0 SOUTH/43.2 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BUILDING IN THE SOUTH. RESIDUAL CONVECTION. SYSTEM STRONGLY NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 11:55:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008YG9LVJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 10:58:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A2wbmc044142 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 10:58:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELv8009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:49:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 427325 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:48:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A2mqCw027902 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:48:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A2mqid012937 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:48:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A2mqsc012936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:48:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:48:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100248.h0A2mqsc012936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 17.5S3 71.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 71.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 19.3S3 70.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 21.5S8 70.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 24.7S3 70.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 28.4S4 72.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.9S7 70.9E6 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (EBULA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION IS INCREASING OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS POLEWARD OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE STRONG AHEAD OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH. TC 09S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OUT 24 HOURS AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE RIDGE PASSES SOUTH OF SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, TC 09S WILL TURN SOUTHEAST AS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE PROPAGATES PAST. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NGPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 AND 110300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 11:55:38 2003 X-UIDL: 14112-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008E5AOVJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:22:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A3M1mc049176 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:22:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELw4009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:17:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 427556 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:17:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A3HCCw030626 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:17:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A3HCid013201 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:17:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A3HCFe013200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:17:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:17:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100317.h0A3HCFe013200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 100317 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 10 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..NEARLY STATIONARY 1018 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 24N130W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING W ALONG 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/XXXX UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 7N84W 5N100W 6N115W 6N130W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 101W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 121W-124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 11:55:38 2003 X-UIDL: 14113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008KUAREJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:23:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A3NWmc049340 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:23:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELw6009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:19:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 427573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:19:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A3J3Cw030646 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:19:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A3J2id013208 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:19:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A3J2kw013207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:19:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 21:19:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100319.h0A3J2kw013207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 100318 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 10 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..NEARLY STATIONARY 1018 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 24N130W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING W ALONG 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 7N84W 5N100W 6N115W 6N130W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 101W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 121W-124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 15:55:03 2003 X-UIDL: 14120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H00839J7EJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 14:26:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A6Phmc080294 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 14:25:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A4DZLw043162; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:15:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 428938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:13:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A6DrCw033490 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:13:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A6Dqid014543 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:13:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A6Dqdg014541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:13:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:13:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100613.h0A6Dqdg014541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 2.0N2 110.3E5, IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA JUST NORTH OF BORNEO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 134.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 133.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTHWEST OF GOVE, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD, UNORGANIZED AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER LAND NEAR THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE REF A (ABIO10 PGTW 091800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/NUTONGLA/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 15:55:07 2003 X-UIDL: 14126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H0083RKYSJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 15:04:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A73soY009900 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 15:04:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A4DZRU043162; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 429481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A6v5Cw034546 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A6v4id014870 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A6v4gi014869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100657.h0A6v4gi014869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 100600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 975 HPA POSITION : 19.0S/70.4E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 55/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.1 SOUTH/69.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 23.0 SOUTH/69.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM INTENSIFYING DURING THE LAST NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 15:55:07 2003 X-UIDL: 14127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008JZL5PJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 15:08:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A787mc089896 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 15:08:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GEL7O009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:59:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 429509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:59:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A6xCCw034322 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:59:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A6xBid014898 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:59:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A6xBPR014897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:59:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:59:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100659.h0A6xBPR014897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 100600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 5/8/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (EBULA) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 10/01/2003 : 19.0S/70.4E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 200 KM SE30: 320 KM SW30: 200 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 21.1S / 69.5E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 23.0S / 69.5E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 27.5S / 72.5E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : DESPITE THE LOSS OF A EYE FEATURE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 15:55:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14128-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H00810LD6JU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 15:12:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A7Aamc090521 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 15:12:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GEL7E009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 429475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A6v2Cw030690 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A6v2id014865 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A6v2Q0014864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:57:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100657.h0A6v2Q0014864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 100600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 975 HPA POSITION : 19.0S/70.4E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 55/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.1 SOUTH/69.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 23.0 SOUTH/69.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM INTENSIFYING DURING THE LAST NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 15:55:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H00846LEMJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 15:13:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A7DRmc091110 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 15:13:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GEL7Q009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 01:05:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 429554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 01:05:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A75ICw019560 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 01:05:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A75Iid014975 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 01:05:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A75HlB014974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 01:05:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 01:05:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100705.h0A75HlB014974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 100600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 018/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07 - 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.0S/41.3E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 28.5 SOUTH/42.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING. STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 18:18:41 2003 X-UIDL: 14149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H0085ETRRJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:14:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AAE8oY042417 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:14:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GEL8u009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:45:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 430176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:45:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A9jXCw027960 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:45:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A9jWid016125 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:45:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A9jWcU016124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:45:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 03:45:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100945.h0A9jWcU016124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 100945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MERGING FRONTS...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 22N180 TO 30N151W AND FURTHER NORTHEAST MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF MERGING FRONTS UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE EQUATOR BOUNDED BY 07N172W 05N157W 04S171W 03N176W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 40 NM OF THE LINE FROM 04N180 TO 03N178W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR 09S178W HAD NEW OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08S179W TO 09S177W. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14S144W TO 16S140W TO 25S138W AND FURTHER SOUTH MOVED EAST AT 5 KNOTS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07S171W TO 09S162W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 02S178W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 23:54:21 2003 X-UIDL: 14150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008HKTZTJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:19:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AAIwmc019839 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:19:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A4DZYI043162; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 04:08:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 430223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 04:08:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AA8SCw029118 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 04:08:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AA8Sid016279 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 04:08:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AA8Ron016278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 04:08:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 04:08:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101008.h0AA8Ron016278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 101008 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 10 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 10/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 24N127W. ONE RIDGE GOES FROM CENTER TO 20N110W AND 15N100W...AND ANOTHER ONE GOES FROM CENTER BEYOND 23N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N78W 6N90W 5N100W 7N111W 7N120W 7N125W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 80W...BETWEEN 88W AND 102W... WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 112W...WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 119W AND 126W...AND WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 23:54:32 2003 X-UIDL: 14152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I008L607BJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:33:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0ACX3oY067299 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:33:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A4DZg6043162; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 431076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ACQJCw023158 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ACQJid017243 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ACQJB4017242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101226.h0ACQJB4017242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 101200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 975 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.2S/69.7E (TWENTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 55/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 22.5 SOUTH/69.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 24.2 SOUTH/69.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM PRESENTS FIRST SIGNS OF NORTHERN SHEARED WEAKENING..= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 23:54:33 2003 X-UIDL: 14153-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I008NR09TJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:34:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0ACYYmc035929 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:34:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELCM009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 431073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ACQJCw038676 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ACQIid017238 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ACQIui017237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:26:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101226.h0ACQIui017237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 101200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 975 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.2S/69.7E (TWENTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 55/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 22.5 SOUTH/69.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 24.2 SOUTH/69.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM PRESENTS FIRST SIGNS OF NORTHERN SHEARED WEAKENING..= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 23:54:42 2003 X-UIDL: 14157-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I008KO192JU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:55:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0ACtioY071152 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:55:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A4DZiK043162; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 431261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ACl1Cw027960 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ACl0id017392 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ACl0Kl017390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101247.h0ACl0Kl017390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 101300 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 2.0N2 110.3E5, IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA JUST NORTH OF BORNEO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 134.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 133.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTHWEST OF GOVE, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD, UNORGANIZED AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER LAND NEAR THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE REF A (ABIO10 PGTW 091800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.5S4 177.0W5, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTHWEST OF WESTERN SAMOA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A SMALL AREA OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION THAT HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST TEN HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN A DIFFLUENT REGION WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA TO PARA 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/NUTONGLA/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 23:54:46 2003 X-UIDL: 14165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I008TQ5SMJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 22:33:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AEXpmc055751 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 22:33:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ACnxG8009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:18:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 432112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:18:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AEInCw035486 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:18:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AEImid018688 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:18:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AEImvi018686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:18:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:18:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101418.h0AEImvi018686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 101500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 20.1S3 69.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S3 69.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 23.0S5 69.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 25.8S5 70.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 28.5S5 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 31.1S5 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.8S0 69.7E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (EBULA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 780 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS GETTING SHEARED FROM THE NORTHWEST. TC 09S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN SOUTHEASTWARD AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM PROPAGATES EASTWARD. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NGPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 AND 111500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 23:54:48 2003 X-UIDL: 14167-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I008UJ918JU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 23:43:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AFhmmc067817 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 23:43:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ACnxJw009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 09:36:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 432784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 09:36:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AFa5Cw039354 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 09:36:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AFa4id021664 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 09:36:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AFa4YM021663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 09:36:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 09:36:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101536.h0AFa4YM021663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 101535 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 10 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1020 MB HIGH IS NEAR 25N127W DRIFTING NE. ONE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE TO ABOUT SOCORRO ISLAND AND ANOTHER RIDGE AXIS STRETCHES WSW TO BEYOND 23N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 5N100W 7N115W 5N125W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 107W-112W AND 117W-123W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 88W-101W. SOME SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 138W AND E OF 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 14175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I008ZSEUXJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 01:49:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AHnYmc089475 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 01:49:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ACnxTY009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 435084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AHgVCw004480 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AHgUid025927 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AHgUE4025925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/101800z/111800zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101742.h0AHgUE4025925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 101800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101351ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100551ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A SIGNIFICANT/ TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC/ OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1S3 69.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR 14.5S0 134.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 134.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS OVER LAND, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION PRIMARILY IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 996 MB. SEE REF B (ABPW10 PGTW 100600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/INGRAM/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:16 2003 X-UIDL: 14176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I008HYFDNJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:01:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AI0qoY029977 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:00:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AE3ckI007872; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 435087 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AHgVCw008120 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AHgUid025928 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AHgUAK025926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 11:42:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/101800z/111800zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101742.h0AHgUAK025926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101351ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100551ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A SIGNIFICANT/ TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC/ OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1S3 69.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR 14.5S0 134.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 134.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS OVER LAND, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION PRIMARILY IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 996 MB. SEE REF B (ABPW10 PGTW 100600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/INGRAM/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:17 2003 X-UIDL: 14177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I0083ZG02JU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:14:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AIEKoY032001 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:14:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ACnxUm009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:09:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 435307 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:04:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AI4SCw018628 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:04:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AI4Rid026695 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:04:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AI4RkW026694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:04:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:04:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101804.h0AI4RkW026694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 101800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 6/8/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (EBULA) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 10/01/2003 : 21.6S/69.6E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 180 KM SE30: 450 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 120 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 24.6S / 69.7E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 26.9S / 70.6E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 31.5S / 74.5E FI=3.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=4.0 CI=4.0+ CONVECTION GENERATED BY EBULA SHOULD SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO THE STRENGTHENING OF THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:18 2003 X-UIDL: 14178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I0084MG0OJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:14:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AIEeoY032082 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:14:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ACnxUU009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 435286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AI3RCw005966 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AI3Pid026650 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AI3P7U026648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101803.h0AI3P7U026648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 101800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 012/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 975 HPA POSITION : 21.6S/69.6E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 24.6 SOUTH/69.7 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 26.9 SOUTH/70.6 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD, DRIFTING ALONG THE WESTERN, SIDE OF A HIGH MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST. SIGNS OF WEAKENING CAN BE DETECTED DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF STRONG WINDS IN UPPER TROPOSPHERE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:19 2003 X-UIDL: 14179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I0085LG1MJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:15:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AIFGmc093381 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:15:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AE3cm6007872; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 435289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AI3WCw024442 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AI3Pid026649 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AI3ON0026646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:03:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101803.h0AI3ON0026646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 101800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 012/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 975 HPA POSITION : 21.6S/69.6E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 24.6 SOUTH/69.7 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 26.9 SOUTH/70.6 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD, DRIFTING ALONG THE WESTERN, SIDE OF A HIGH MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST. SIGNS OF WEAKENING CAN BE DETECTED DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF STRONG WINDS IN UPPER TROPOSPHERE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:21 2003 X-UIDL: 14182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I0080SGVXJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:33:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AIXRmc096077 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:33:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AE3cqq007872; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:28:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 435707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:28:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AIS6Cw043252 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AIS5id027425 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:28:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AIS5T1027424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:28:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 12:28:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101828.h0AIS5T1027424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 101800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 019/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 10/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.3S/43.2E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTNORTHEAST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT NEAR THE CENTRE BUT REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND LOCALLY STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 27.8 SOUTH/46.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.5 SOUTH/47.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE ARRIVING OF A HIGH IN THE WEST HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT IN VICINITY OF THE EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07 CAUSING STRONG WINDS (CONFIRMED BY QUIKSCAT DATA) IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I0081JQTNJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:08:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AM84mc035701 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:08:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJc1Zs040044; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:02:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 438946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AM1iCw005908 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AM1iid004224 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AM1i3I004223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301102201.h0AM1i3I004223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 102201 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 10 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE E PACIFIC DISCUSSION AREA WITH A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 27N125W AND A RIDGE SW BEYOND 22N140W. A SECOND...MUCH WEAKER...RIDGE EXTENDS TO THE SE ALONG 20N110W TO 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 5N100W 8N116W 4N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 104W-108W AND FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 115W-119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:37 2003 X-UIDL: 14196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I0081NQTQJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:08:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AM88mc035709 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:08:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6Iu015730; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 438933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AM1FCw026198 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AM1Eid004212 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AM1EW8004211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:01:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301102201.h0AM1EW8004211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 102200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE EQUATOR AND DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08N171E 07N176W 07S169W 06S179E 01N166E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07N165W 06N154W 05N162W 01N162W EQ172W 05N172W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N150W 30N141W 22N160W 20N170W 23N167W. FEATURE MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 08N145W 06N140W 04N140W 05N147W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR 09S179W AT 1800 UTC HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 05S178E 07S180 12S172W 16S174W 16S178E 10S174E...SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM RSMC NADI FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE EQUATOR AND DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08N171E 07N176W 07S169W 06S179E 01N166E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES...CONVECTION LOCATED MAINLY WEST OF THE SAMOAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 04S166W 06S161W 13S160W 11S166W 08S167W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 14S141W 17S136W 25S133W 25S136W 18S139W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:44 2003 X-UIDL: 14205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I006YZWMH32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B0DLmc056303 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6Pc015730; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 17:59:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 440687 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 17:59:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ANxoCw033226 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 17:59:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ANxoid006288 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 17:59:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ANxotF006287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 17:59:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 17:59:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301102359.h0ANxotF006287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 110000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 013/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 978 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.6S/69.3E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 26.4 SOUTH/69.8 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.7 SOUTH/71.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD, DRIFTING ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF A HIGH MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST. EBULA HAS STARTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF STRONG WINDS IN UPPER TROPOSPHERE (INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:45 2003 X-UIDL: 14206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I006ZEWMN32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B0DPmc056315 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJc1q6040044; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:02:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 440691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:00:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B00pCw004126 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:00:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B00pid006328 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:00:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B00ptU006327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:00:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:00:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110000.h0B00ptU006327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 110000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 013/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 978 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.6S/69.3E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 26.4 SOUTH/69.8 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.7 SOUTH/71.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD, DRIFTING ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF A HIGH MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST. EBULA HAS STARTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF STRONG WINDS IN UPPER TROPOSPHERE (INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:46 2003 X-UIDL: 14207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I0060DWN832@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B0Domc056421 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6Pg015730; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:07:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 440716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:07:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B072Cw032408 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:07:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B071id006391 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:07:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B071xP006390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:07:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 18:07:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110007.h0B071xP006390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 110000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 020/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07 - 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.3S/43.2E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : NORTHNORTHEAST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT NEAR THE CENTRE BUT REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND LOCALLY STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 26.6 SOUTH/44.5 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.3 SOUTH/45.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE ARRIVING OF A HIGH IN THE WEST HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT IN VICINITY OF THE EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07 CAUSING STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 12:02:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J0064R4NW32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:07:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B372mc088827 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:07:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6W2015730; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:56:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 442079 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:56:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B2uqCw004266 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:56:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B2upid007611 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:56:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B2upW7007610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:56:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:56:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110256.h0B2upW7007610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 110300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 23.3S8 70.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.3S8 70.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 25.9S6 70.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 27.8S7 72.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 30.0S3 74.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 32.3S8 77.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 24.0S6 70.2E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (EBULA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 970 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WRAPPING IN FROM WEST OF THE SYSTEM, WITH SHEARING ALSO INDICATED IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. TC 09S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN MORE SOUTHEASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD, AND WILL BEGIN THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IN 12 HOURS, COMPLETING THE TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NGPS, GFDN, UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. AFWA MM5 AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM, RATHER THAN COMPLETING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF NGPS, GFDN, EGRR AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 AND 120300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 12:02:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006UC6K532@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:48:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B3lsmc096857 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:47:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6Y8015730; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 21:40:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 442424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 21:40:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B3eCCw032768 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 21:40:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B3eBid007906 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 21:40:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B3eBZ3007905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 21:40:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 21:40:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110340.h0B3eBZ3007905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 110339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 11 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE E PACIFIC DISCUSSION AREA WITH A 1019 MB HIGH NEAR 27N127W AND A RIDGE SW BEYOND 23N140W. A SECOND...MUCH WEAKER...RIDGE EXTENDS TO THE SE ALONG 20N110W TO 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 5N100W 8N116W 4N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 101W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 113W-117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 14:40:04 2003 X-UIDL: 14222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006LSDM232@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:20:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B6KJmc024985 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:20:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B5tvGG040044; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:13:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 443401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:12:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B6CcCw018664 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:12:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B6Ccid008898 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:12:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B6CcZO008897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:12:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:12:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110612.h0B6CcZO008897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 110600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 7/8/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (EBULA) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 11/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.1S/69.2E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 150 KM SE30: 300 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 250 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 26.7S / 69.5E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 28.5S / 71.0E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 32.5S / 75.6E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF THE THROUGH WEAKENING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 14:40:06 2003 X-UIDL: 14223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006LYDM332@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:20:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B6KMmc025002 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:20:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B5tvFe040044; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:12:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 443300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:10:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B6AVCw035522 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:10:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B6AUid008852 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:10:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B6AUBN008851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:10:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:10:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110610.h0B6AUBN008851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 110600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 014/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 980 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.1S/69.2E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLEAND THE EASTERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 26.7 SOUTH/69.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 28.5 SOUTH/71.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA UNDERGOES A STRONG NORTHERLY WIND SHEAR, WITH A SHEARED STRUCTURE, THE CENTRE IS NOW VISIBLE OUT OF THE NORTHERN EGDE OF THE CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 14:40:07 2003 X-UIDL: 14225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006M8DME32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:20:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B6KWmc025044 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:20:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6cw015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:12:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 443303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:10:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B6AVCw018584 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:10:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B6AUid008857 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:10:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B6AUv3008854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:10:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:10:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110610.h0B6AUv3008854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 110600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 014/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 980 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.1S/69.2E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLEAND THE EASTERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 26.7 SOUTH/69.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 28.5 SOUTH/71.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA UNDERGOES A STRONG NORTHERLY WIND SHEAR, WITH A SHEARED STRUCTURE, THE CENTRE IS NOW VISIBLE OUT OF THE NORTHERN EGDE OF THE CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 14:40:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J0060VDXF32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:27:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B6R6mc026320 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:27:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B5tvGo040044; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 443472 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B6GNCw039124 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B6GNid008943 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B6GMBc008941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110616.h0B6GMBc008941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 110.3E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 109.6E6 IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA NORTH OF BORNEO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE CONVECTION. RECENT SCATTEROMETRY INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ALONG THE COAST OF BORNEO. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.0N2 179.9E6. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A PULSE OF WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR, IN THE MIDLEVELS, INCREASING THE CYCLONIC SHEAR IN THE AREA. CONVECTION IS FAIRLY DISORGANIZED. UPPERLEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 133.9E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 135.8E7, NEAR NUMBULWAR, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE, UNORGANIZED AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER LAND, AND A LARGE BAND EXTENDING OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. THE SYSTEM IS TAKING ON CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION, WITH STRONGER WINDS AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM AND LIGHT WINDS NEAR THE CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.5S4 177.0W5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 178.9W5 APPROXIMATELY 430 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WESTERN SAMOA. THE SYSTEM IS IN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT 2OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/SCHAEFER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 14:40:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J0063QDZC32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:28:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B6SImc026586 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:28:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6dC015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:24:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 443625 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:24:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B6OsCw029156 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:24:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B6Orid009006 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:24:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B6OrVJ009005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:24:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:24:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110624.h0B6OrVJ009005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 110600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07 - 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.2S/42.7E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : NORTHWEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR, FROM 100 NM TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY EXISTS ALSO DU TO THE FRONT EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT NEAR THE CENTRE BUT REACHING NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 26.1 SOUTH/42.2 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 27.9 SOUTH/44.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM ARE DU TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH. THIS STRONG WINDS ARE FORCASTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS THE RESIDUAL LOW IS FILLING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:38 2003 X-UIDL: 14229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006XTMKU32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 17:34:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B9Y0mc056713 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 17:34:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6fg015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:29:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 444425 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:29:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B9T5Cw033480 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:29:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B9T4id010315 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:29:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B9T4Lp010314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:29:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:29:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110929.h0B9T4Lp010314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 110928 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB BOUNDED BY 07N176E 06N180 04N175W 02N175W 02N176W 04N179W 02N176E 07N176E MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 03N171W EQ176W MOVED WEST AT 5 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N150W 06N141W MOVED WEST AT 20 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 09N170W 06N153W. COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE...THE LEADING EDGE OF A BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS EXTENDS ALONG 30N140W 20N156W 17N171E. THIS CLOUD BAND IS 100 TO 250 NM WIDE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY BROKEN CUMULUS AND STRATOCUMULUS ARE LOCATED NORTH OF THE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE CLOUD BAND. JOHNSTON ISLAND... OCCASIONAL THIN CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST OVER JOHNSTON ISLAND. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR SYNOPTIC SCALE WEATHER SYSTEMS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05F CENTERED NEAR 10.6S 180 AT 0832 UTC...OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 11S173W 13S177W 14S178E MOVED SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS...CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY AND DECREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE USING IR IMAGERY. THE 0600 UTC UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CIMSS SITE SHOWS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE SYSTEM...WITH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KNOTS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE EQ178W 09S177W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...THE AXIS OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS EXTENDS SOUTH SOUTHEAST FROM 16S137W. THIS CLOUD BAND IS 200 TO 300 MILES WIDE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... BROKEN CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST OVER THIS REGION. THESE CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE CONVECTIVE DEBRIS FROM THE LARGE CONVECTIVE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05F MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR SYNOPTIC SCALE WEATHER SYSTEMS. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:41 2003 X-UIDL: 14230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006TNNSA32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:00:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BA00mc060052 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:00:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6gE015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:48:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 444524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:48:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B9mkCw040914 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:48:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B9mjid010472 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:48:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B9mjgt010471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:48:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 03:48:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 110921zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110948.h0B9mjgt010471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS21 PGTW 110930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 110921ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.3S2 178.3W9 TO 14.9S4 179.9W6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 110530Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.3S4 178.8W4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE CONVECTION IN A BAND SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN A REGION OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WITH INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE SOUTH. OUTFLOW ALOFT REMAINS GOOD. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 120921Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:42 2003 X-UIDL: 14231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006AOODJ32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:12:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BACnmc061900 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:12:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6gM015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 04:08:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 444594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 04:08:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BA8DCw009594 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 04:08:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BA8Did010598 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 04:08:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BA8C8h010597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 04:08:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 04:08:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111008.h0BA8C8h010597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 111008 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 11 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 11/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N137W BEYOND 29N140W. ..1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N126W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 32N137W 29N140W COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N78W 6N101W 7N113W 4N125W 5N140W. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 10-20 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 3N80W 4N78W 5N78W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:43 2003 X-UIDL: 14233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006VLTPM32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:08:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BC7wmc079284 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:08:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B7IaOE042942; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 445010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BC23Cw037548 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BC22id011283 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BC22xG011281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111202.h0BC22xG011281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 111200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 015/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 984 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.8S/69.8E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 14 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.0 SOUTH/71.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 30.2 SOUTH/72.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA IS NORTHERLY SHEARED, IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:44 2003 X-UIDL: 14234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006XPTS732@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:09:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BC9bmc079566 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:09:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6he015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 445007 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BC23Cw014468 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BC22id011282 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BC22Uu011280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:02:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111202.h0BC22Uu011280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 111200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 015/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 984 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.8S/69.8E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 14 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.0 SOUTH/71.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 30.2 SOUTH/72.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA IS NORTHERLY SHEARED, IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:44 2003 X-UIDL: 14235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006Z4TTO32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:10:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BCATmc079738 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:10:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6hg015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:07:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 445046 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:07:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BC7BCw014492 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:07:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BC7Bid011313 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:07:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BC7Bmf011312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:07:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 06:07:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111207.h0BC7Bmf011312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 111200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 022/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07 - 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.0S/42.4E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALY WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND FROM 150 NM TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT NEAR THE CENTRE BUT REACHING NEAR GALE 30 KT TO LOCALY 35 KT UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 26.5 SOUTH/42.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 27.7 SOUTH/43.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM ARE DU TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH. THIS STRONG WINDS ARE FORCASTED TO WEAKEN AS THE RESIDUAL LOW IS FILLING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:53 2003 X-UIDL: 14245-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006580NY32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 22:38:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BEcGoY022518 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 22:38:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6kg015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 445726 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BED2Cw028974 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BED1id012144 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BED1mk012143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:13:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111413.h0BED1mk012143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 25.8S5 69.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.8S5 69.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 27.3S2 70.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 29.1S2 71.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 31.7S1 74.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 26.2S0 69.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (EBULA), LOCATED IN THE CENTRAL SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 TO 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS BEING SHEARED OFF TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). TC 09S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INCREASINGLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING, AS IT MOVES INTO INCREASING SHEAR WITH THE APPROACH OF A MID LATITUDE TROUGH. TC 09S IS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS INDICATED BY THE INTRUSION OF DRY AIR WRAPPING IN FROM THE WEST. THE SYSTEM WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NGPS, GFDN, UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF NGPS, GFDN, EGRR, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 AND 121500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:54 2003 X-UIDL: 14248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006OO3QB32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:44:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BFiSmc014217 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:44:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6mm015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 09:36:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 446411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 09:36:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BFarCw043020 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 09:36:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BFarid012846 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 09:36:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BFaq31012845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 09:36:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 09:36:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111536.h0BFaq31012845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 111536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 11 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A COLD FRONT HAS NOSED INTO THE NW PORTION OF AREA THROUGH 32N136W TO BEYOND 28N141W. ..A 1020 MB HIGH IS AHEAD OF THE FRONT NEAR 27N126W. ONE RIDGE AXIS LIES JUST OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH ANOTHER AXIS EXTENDING SW FROM THE HIGH CENTER TO 23N133W THEN WSW BEYOND 22N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N105W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF 5N100W...4N79W AND 6N105W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 107W-113W AND 88W-98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MID/UPPER CLOUDS WITH SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE STREAMING INTO SW MEXICO WITHIN 175 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N111W TO 22N105W. BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:54 2003 X-UIDL: 14251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K0069987S32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 01:21:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BHLLmc029728 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 01:21:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6pu015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 447389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BHEDCw037980 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BHECid013950 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BHECZx013948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/111800z/121800zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111714.h0BHECZx013948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 111800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111351ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110551ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A SIGNIFICANT/ TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC/ OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8S5 69.7E2, IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL INDIAN OCEAN, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR 15.3S9 134.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED OVER WATER NEAR 15.1S7 136.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. SCATTEROMETRY AND SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS MOVED OVER WATER BUT REMAINS VERY WEAK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION PRIMARILY IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE REF B (ABPW10 PGTW 110600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/INGRAM/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:55 2003 X-UIDL: 14252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006FP8I332@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 01:27:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BHRWmc030601 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 01:27:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B7IakS042942; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 447392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BHEDCw021564 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BHECid013951 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BHECgq013949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 11:14:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/111800z/121800zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111714.h0BHECgq013949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111351ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110551ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A SIGNIFICANT/ TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC/ OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8S5 69.7E2, IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL INDIAN OCEAN, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR 15.3S9 134.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED OVER WATER NEAR 15.1S7 136.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. SCATTEROMETRY AND SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS MOVED OVER WATER BUT REMAINS VERY WEAK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION PRIMARILY IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE REF B (ABPW10 PGTW 110600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/INGRAM/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:55 2003 X-UIDL: 14254-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006AABTZ32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:39:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BIdSmc039882 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:39:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6ui015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 448332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BIVXCw039418 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BIVXid014796 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BIVWfM014794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111831.h0BIVWfM014794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 111800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 986 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.3S/70.5E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 28.5 SOUTH/72.3 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 30.6 SOUTH/75.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA IS NORTHERLY SHEARED, IT CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:55 2003 X-UIDL: 14255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006AEBU232@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:39:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BIdVmc039889 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:39:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6vA015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:34:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 448374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:33:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BIXeCw040894 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:33:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BIXdid014814 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:33:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BIXdoF014813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:33:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:33:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111833.h0BIXdoF014813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 111800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 8/8/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (EBULA) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 11/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.3S/70.5E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 986 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 48 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 150 KM SE30: 400 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 28.5S / 72.3E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 30.6S / 75.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 32.0S / 79.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS NORTHERLY SHEARED AND CONTINUE TO WEAK IN A SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:56 2003 X-UIDL: 14256-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006AWBV532@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:40:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BIeBmc039984 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:40:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B7IasK042942; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 448339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BIVcCw029268 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BIVXid014795 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BIVWdX014792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 12:31:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111831.h0BIVWdX014792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 111800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 11/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 986 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.3S/70.5E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 28.5 SOUTH/72.3 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 30.6 SOUTH/75.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA IS NORTHERLY SHEARED, IT CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:58 2003 X-UIDL: 14264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006XSHVF32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 04:50:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BKnvmc066494 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 04:49:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWEY015742; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:40:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 449991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:40:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BKeuCw034364 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:40:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BKeuid015987 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:40:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BKeub2015986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:40:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:40:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/110921zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301112040.h0BKeub2015986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTPS31 PGTW 112100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110921ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 11.2S4 179.2W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 179.2W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.4S7 179.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.7S1 179.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.4S0 178.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.4S2 177.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 11.5S7 179.2W9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC, HOWEVER, CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM IS LOW TO MODERATE. TC 10P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A SLIGHTLY LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARDS AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NGPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), NOGAPS AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 110921Z JAN 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 110930). NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 AND 122100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:58 2003 X-UIDL: 14267-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006D6KFV32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 05:45:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BLjPmc073257 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 05:45:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWHK015742; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 450548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BLYHCw040950 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BLYGid016515 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BLYGdU016514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/112130z/120600zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301112134.h0BLYGdU016514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 112130 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/112130Z/120600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111951ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111751ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A SIGNIFICANT/ TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 109.6E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 108.1E0, JUST OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF BORNEO. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLIC BUT MINIMAL DEEP CONVECTION, WITH THE LLCC STATIONARY. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. BASED ON DECREASED ORGANIZATION AND CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 179.9E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 178.8E4. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH A PULSE OF WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR, IN THE MID-LEVELS. DEEP CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC AND IS DISORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 179.2W9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 112100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 135.8E7, IS NOW LOCATED OVER WATER NEAR 15.1S7 136.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. SCATTEROMETRY AND SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS MOVED OVER WATER BUT REMAINS VERY WEAK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION PRIMARILY IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE REF B (ABIO10 PGTW 111800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 178.9W5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(2) TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR AND UPDATED ALL OTHER AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/INGRAM/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:59 2003 X-UIDL: 14268-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006SNLC332@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:04:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BM4jmc075415 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:04:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BKt7K6030224; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:00:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 451030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:00:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BM0cCw032922 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:00:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BM0bid016763 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:00:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BM0bgQ016762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:00:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:00:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301112200.h0BM0bgQ016762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 112200 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 11 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N134W AND EXITS AREA NEAR 28N140W. ..A 1023 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 29N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N100W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:59 2003 X-UIDL: 14270-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K00H25LR415@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:13:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BMDkx5000672 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:13:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWIg015742; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:09:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 451103 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:09:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BM9DCw026146 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:09:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BM9Did016822 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:09:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BM9D4k016821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:09:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:09:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301112209.h0BM9D4k016821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 112209 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...28N140W 21W150W AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 17N170W 18N180 AND EXENDING WEST OF THE DATELINE. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 100NM NORTH OF FRONT AND SHEARLINE. SECOND FRONT...THROUGH 30N178W 28N180 AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 100 MILES NORTHWEST OF FRONT. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 04N140W 06N170W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N148W 06N142W 04N143W 04N148W 06N148W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45NM OF LINE 05N152W 08N167W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH EQ175W 01N180 AND EXTENDING NORTHWEST. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90NM OF LINE 04N173W 05N176W EQ178W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE SECOND FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. THERE ARE SCATTERED TO BROKEN STABLE LOW CLOUDS SOUTHEAST OF THE FRONTAL BAND. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. THERE ARE NOW ONLY SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND THIN HIGH CLOUDS OVER JOHNSTON ISLAND. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR SYNOPTIC SCALE WEATHER SYSTEMS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05F...DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE... CENTERED NEAR 10.9S 179.5S AT 2032 UTC...HAS OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 08S179W 13S177W 12S178E 08S179W AND WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 07S176W 07S179W. SEE NFFN ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S138W 23S142W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 18S134W 25S134W 22S138W 18S134W. SECOND TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S154W 20S158W. AREA OF BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 17S155W 22S147W 26S150W 16S155W HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW OCCASIONAL TCU AND ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 18S164W OVER PAGO PAGO. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:00 2003 X-UIDL: 14271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K00HQ8MT315@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:36:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BMaTx5003585 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:36:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BKt7NY030224; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:30:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 451395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:30:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BMUeCw009672 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:30:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BMUdid016954 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:30:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BMUd5m016953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:30:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:30:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301112230.h0BMUd5m016953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 112230 CCA TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. ..CORRECTION TO POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05F IN SOUTH PACIFIC... NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...28N140W 21W150W AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 17N170W 18N180 AND EXENDING WEST OF THE DATELINE. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 100NM NORTH OF FRONT AND SHEARLINE. SECOND FRONT...THROUGH 30N178W 28N180 AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 100 MILES NORTHWEST OF FRONT. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 04N140W 06N170W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N148W 06N142W 04N143W 04N148W 06N148W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45NM OF LINE 05N152W 08N167W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH EQ175W 01N180 AND EXTENDING NORTHWEST. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90NM OF LINE 04N173W 05N176W EQ178W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE SECOND FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. THERE ARE SCATTERED TO BROKEN STABLE LOW CLOUDS SOUTHEAST OF THE FRONTAL BAND. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. THERE ARE NOW ONLY SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND THIN HIGH CLOUDS OVER JOHNSTON ISLAND. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR SYNOPTIC SCALE WEATHER SYSTEMS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05F...DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE... CENTERED NEAR 10.9S 179.5S AT 2032 UTC...HAS OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 08S179W 13S177W 12S178E 08S179W AND WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 07S176W 07S179W. SEE NFFN ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S138W 23S142W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 18S134W 25S134W 22S138W 18S134W. SECOND TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S154W 20S158W. AREA OF BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 17S155W 22S147W 26S150W 16S155W HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW OCCASIONAL TCU AND ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 18S164W OVER PAGO PAGO. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:00 2003 X-UIDL: 14273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K00HVFRQ615@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:22:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C0Mlx5016835 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:22:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWLO015742; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:11:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 452066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:10:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C0AcCw015222 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:10:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C0Abid017606 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:10:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C0AbUF017605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:10:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:10:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120010.h0C0AbUF017605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 120000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 024/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07 - 1006 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.0S/43.3E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALY WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND FROM 150 NM TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT NEAR THE CENTRE, BUT NEAR GALE 30 KT TO LOCALY 35 KT UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR, MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 26.0 SOUTH/43.5 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE STRONG WINDS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN OF THE RESIDUAL LOW ARE DUE TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:02 2003 X-UIDL: 14274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K00HM1SXB15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:48:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C0mex5019873 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:48:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWLm015742; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 452252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C0gWCw005660 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C0gWid017825 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C0gWZu017823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120042.h0C0gWZu017823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 120000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 017/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 988 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.5S/70.6E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 29.4 SOUTH/72.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 31.2 SOUTH/74.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA IS NORTHERLY SHEARED, IT CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:03 2003 X-UIDL: 14275-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K00HM5SXF15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:48:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C0mhx5019876 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:48:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BKt7VW030224; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 452255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C0gWCw027908 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C0gWid017824 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C0gWog017822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 18:42:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120042.h0C0gWog017822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 120000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 017/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 12/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 988 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.5S/70.6E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 29.4 SOUTH/72.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 31.2 SOUTH/74.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA IS NORTHERLY SHEARED, IT CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:04 2003 X-UIDL: 14277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K00HGLWEW15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 10:04:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C241x5028364 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 10:04:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWOe015742; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 19:53:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 452962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 19:53:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C1rOCw014532 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 19:53:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C1rNid018263 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 19:53:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C1rNjL018262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 19:53:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 19:53:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120153.h0C1rNjL018262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 120300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (EBULA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 27.4S3 71.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.4S3 71.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 28.7S7 72.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 27.7S6 71.4E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (EBULA), LOCATED IN THE CENTRAL SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION PRIMARILY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT HAS CONTINUED WRAPPING IN FROM THE WEST. TC 09S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AS IT COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NGPS, GFDN, UK MET OFFICE (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN) AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 20 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:07 2003 X-UIDL: 14283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HYC0VO15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 11:40:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C3eTx5039817 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 11:40:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWQa015742; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 21:31:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 453763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 21:31:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C3VsCw026274 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 21:31:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C3Vrid018917 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 21:31:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C3VrNu018916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 21:31:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 21:31:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120331.h0C3VrNu018916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 120327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 12 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N133W AND EXITS AREA NEAR 27N140W. ..A 1022 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 28N122W. ..A SURFACE TROUGH IS S OF MEXICO FROM 19N104W TO 12N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 1N80W 6N101W 3N120W 4N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 92W...AND BETWEEN 100W AND 106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HTO5FA15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 13:18:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C5Iex5051613 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 13:18:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BKt7o4030224; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 454424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C556Cw015332 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C555id019465 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C555Bx019463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120505.h0C555Bx019463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111951ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111751ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A SIGNIFICANT/ TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 108.1E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.4N6 110.9E1, NEAR KUCHING, SARAWAK, MALAYSIA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A TROUGH WITH A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA IS MODERATE. AXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 178.8E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 178.2E8. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 179.2W9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 112100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 135.8E7, IS NOW LOCATED OVER WATER NEAR 14.9S4 135.9E8, OVER THE LIMMEN BIGHT IN THE WESTERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA. SCATTEROMETRY AND SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A VERY BROAD LLCC WITH VERY LITTLE CONVECTION EVIDENT IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SEE REF B (ABIO10 PGTW 111800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/SCHAEFER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:09 2003 X-UIDL: 14289-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HUX85L15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:17:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C6HYx5059671 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:17:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BKt7rM030224; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 454774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C68eCw028780 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C68did019852 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C68dG2019850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120608.h0C68dG2019850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 9/8/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (EBULA) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 12/01/2003 : 28.1S/71.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 320 KM SW30: 220 KM NW30: 120 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 29.5S / 73.4E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 30.9S / 75.2E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 33.0S / 79.4E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=2.5-, CI=3.0-. EBULA BEGINS ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HV185N15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:17:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C6Hfx5059688 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:17:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWUq015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:10:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 454777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C68hCw027956 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C68did019851 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C68dsQ019849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:08:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120608.h0C68dsQ019849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 120600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 018/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 993 HPA POSITION : 28.1S/71.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 60 NM AND 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.5 SOUTH/73.4 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 30.9 SOUTH/75.2 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA IS NORTHERLY SHEARED AND KEEPS ON WEAKENING, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HV585W15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:17:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C6Hhx5059692 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:17:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWVE015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:13:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 454829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:13:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C6DiCw038792 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:13:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C6Diid019888 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:13:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C6DiOv019887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:13:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:13:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120613.h0C6DiOv019887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 120600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 025/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : DISSIPATING LOW 07 - 1006 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.0S/45.0E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTRE BETWEEN 250 NM AND 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. RESIDUAL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT UP TO 120 NM FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 27.5 SOUTH/43.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: DISSIPATED OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE SOUTH OF THE RESIDUAL LOW ARE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES EXISTING IN THE SOUTH. THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST DISSIPATED. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HX887L15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:18:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C6Ip6K055295 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:18:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWUm015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:07:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 454765 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:07:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C67jCw039742 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:07:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C67Zid019844 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:07:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C67Zqm019843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:07:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 00:07:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120607.h0C67Zqm019843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 120600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 018/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 12/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 08 (EBULA ) 993 HPA POSITION : 28.1S/71.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 60 NM AND 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.5 SOUTH/73.4 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 30.9 SOUTH/75.2 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : EBULA IS NORTHERLY SHEARED AND KEEPS ON WEAKENING, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:11 2003 X-UIDL: 14295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HVQEGS15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 16:34:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C8Xwx5079516 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 16:34:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWWQ015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:19:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 455486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:19:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C8JcCw035548 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:19:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C8Jbid020551 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:19:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C8Jbah020550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:19:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:19:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120819.h0C8Jbah020550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 11.4S6 179.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.4S6 179.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 12.4S7 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.9S3 180.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.6S2 179.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.9S7 177.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.7S9 180.0E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTH OF SUVA, FIJI HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, WITH A BANDING FEATURE WRAPPING INTO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER- LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM IS LOW TO MODERATE. TC 10P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS, BEFORE MOVING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAKENING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AROUND THE 48 HOUR PERIOD, AS IT MOVES INTO THE MID- LATITUDE WESTERLIES. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP, UK MET OFFICE, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 AND 130900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:12 2003 X-UIDL: 14296-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HBGI3S15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 17:52:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C9qXx5092958 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 17:52:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWWs015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:43:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 455792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:43:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C9h0Cw030558 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:43:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C9gxid021270 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:42:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C9gxfw021269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:42:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:42:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120942.h0C9gxfw021269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 120942 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 12 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N133W AND EXTENDS BEYOND 26N140W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 19N105W TO 7N107W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N FROM 110W TO 140W WITH A 1023 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 26N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N88W 6N103W 5N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 105W. WIDELY SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 100W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:12 2003 X-UIDL: 14297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HF5I7215@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 17:54:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C9sWx5093565 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 17:54:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWWu015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:49:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 455825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:49:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C9n2Cw030586 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:49:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C9n2id021298 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:49:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C9n2sF021297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:49:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 03:49:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120949.h0C9n2sF021297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 120948 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/SHEARLINE...THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 25N140W 20N150W 16N170W. THIS RAGGED CLOUD BAND CONSISTS OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS 75 TO 150 MILES WIDE. COLD FRONT...THE LEADING OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N168W 26N174W 28N180. THIS CLOUD BAND CONSISTS OF BROKEN MID LEVEL CLOUDS EAST OF 174W...AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WEST OF 174W. THIS FEATURE IS 70 TO 250 MILES WIDE. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N169W 05N143W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05N175W 03N180. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE FIRST COLD FRONT/SHEARLINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE SECOND COLD FRONT MENTIONED UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE FIRST COLD FRONT/SHEARLINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR SYNOPTIC SCALE WEATHER FEATURES. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE AMI CENTERED NEAR 11.6S 179.5W AT 12/0832 UTC...OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 08S180 17S180 MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05S177W 07S176E MOVED NORTHWEST NEAR 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. THE CYCLONE IS MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED THAN 24 HOURS AGO WITH GOOD BANDING AND A HINT OF A BANDING EYE FEATURE AT TIMES. OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO EXCELLENT IN ALL DIRECTIONS. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AND NADI. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB EMBEDDED IN BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 15S136W 25S133W MOVED EAST AT 5 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MID/UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB EMBEDDED IN BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 16S147W 25S139W 25S154W 16S147W MOVED EAST AT 20 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. CZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 07S149W 09S161W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/BROKEN CIRRUS COVER THE AREA. THESE CYCLING CB AND CONVECTIVE DEBRIS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER FRINGES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE AMI. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR SYNOPTIC SCALE WEATHER FEATURES. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:13 2003 X-UIDL: 14299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HAJOTC15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 20:17:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0CCHRx5014996 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 20:17:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CBcGF2030224; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 456703 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CC5tCw004202 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0CC5sid022002 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0CC5s4i022000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301121205.h0CC5s4i022000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 121200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 019/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 12/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 (EX-EBULA ) 995 HPA POSITION : 28.3S/73.0E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.7 SOUTH/74.7 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 29.6 SOUTH/76.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : EX-EBULA, NOW WITHOUT CONVECTION, IS MERGING WITH THE TROUGH DRIFTING IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:14 2003 X-UIDL: 14300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HCGOWC15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 20:19:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0CCJIx5015223 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 20:19:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWYm015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 456700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CC5tCw008058 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0CC5sid022001 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0CC5sqP021999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 06:05:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301121205.h0CC5sqP021999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 121200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 019/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 12/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 (EX-EBULA ) 995 HPA POSITION : 28.3S/73.0E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.7 SOUTH/74.7 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 29.6 SOUTH/76.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : EX-EBULA, NOW WITHOUT CONVECTION, IS MERGING WITH THE TROUGH DRIFTING IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:17 2003 X-UIDL: 14307-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00H22YPI15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:51:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0CFpBx5043938 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:51:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWcY015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 09:34:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 457914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 09:34:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CFYJCw039826 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 09:34:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0CFYIid023189 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 09:34:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0CFYION023188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 09:34:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 09:34:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301121534.h0CFYION023188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 121533 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 12 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N131W AND EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 25N140W. ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH ALONG W COAST OF MEXICO. ..1024 MB HIGH NEAR 29N122W PROVIDING ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 10N BETWEEN THE SURFACE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 3N93W 5N106W 6N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN 77W-79W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W-90W. A FEW CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS ARE NEAR 3N93W 4N100W 5N106W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 125W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE SW MEXICAN COASTLINE FROM ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO. BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:18 2003 X-UIDL: 14310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M00H596GN15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:38:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0CIcax5066189 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:38:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CBcGfY030224; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 459542 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CIX3Cw026210 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0CIX2id024779 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0CIX2Ex024776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301121833.h0CIX2Ex024776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 121800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 10/8/20022003 1.A EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION (EX-EBULA) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 12/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.3S/73.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /W /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 250 KM SE30: 200 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 100 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 28.8S / 75.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 29.8S / 76.2E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 30.7S / 77.5E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE RESIDUAL LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEAST.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:19 2003 X-UIDL: 14311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M00H5J6GQ15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:38:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0CIcix5066214 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:38:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWg2015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 459539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CIX3Cw038478 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0CIX2id024777 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0CIX2D3024772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301121833.h0CIX2D3024772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 121800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 020/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 12/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 (EX-EBULA ) 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.3S/73.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 28.8 SOUTH/75.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.8 SOUTH/76.2 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE STRONGS WINDS ARE DU TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE EAST AND IN THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:19 2003 X-UIDL: 14312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M00H616IC15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:39:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0CIdgx5066314 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:39:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CBcGfc030224; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 459545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CIX3Cw039780 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0CIX2id024778 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0CIX28C024775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 12:33:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301121833.h0CIX28C024775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 121800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 020/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 12/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 (EX-EBULA ) 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.3S/73.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 28.8 SOUTH/75.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.8 SOUTH/76.2 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE STRONGS WINDS ARE DU TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE EAST AND IN THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:21 2003 X-UIDL: 14317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M00HRDFGC15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 05:53:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0CLqqx5094573 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 05:52:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWl8015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:44:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 461574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:44:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CLiUCw024404 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:44:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0CLiUid026337 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:44:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0CLiQhh026336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:44:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:44:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301122144.h0CLiQhh026336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 122144 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 05N140W 06N170W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 06179W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE AMI...WEST OF AREA...NEAR 12.4S 179.8E AT 12/1800 UTC...HAS OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER AND ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AND NADI FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 17S149W 25S140W 25S150W 17S149W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20S134W 25S129W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE AMI UNDER TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB IN AREA BETWEEN 06S AND 11S BOUNDED BY 151W AND 162W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:21 2003 X-UIDL: 14318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M00HSHFIP15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 05:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0CLsIx5094716 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 05:54:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWlA015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:51:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 461630 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:51:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CLp9Cw040058 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:51:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0CLp9id026378 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:51:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0CLp92K026377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:51:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 15:51:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301122151.h0CLp92K026377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 122151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 12 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N130W AND EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 24N140W. ..1027 MB HIGH IS NEAR 30N121W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 10N BETWEEN THE MAINLAND THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N104W 6N128W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS E OF 79W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:22 2003 X-UIDL: 14320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M002LQM98GZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:19:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D0Jmx5012919 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:19:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWpM015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 463039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D09jCw040144 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D09jid027297 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D09jcr027294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130009.h0D09jcr027294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 130000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 08 (EX-EBULA ) 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.3S/74.1E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT LOCALY UP TO 300 NM. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 28.6 SOUTH/75.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 14/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.9 SOUTH/76.7 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : WINDS ARE DU TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE EAST AND IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:22 2003 X-UIDL: 14321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M002LUM99GZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:19:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D0Jox5012923 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:19:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CBcG5U030224; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 463042 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D09jCw026098 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D09jid027296 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D09jwf027295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:09:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130009.h0D09jwf027295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 130000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 08 (EX-EBULA ) 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.3S/74.1E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT LOCALY UP TO 300 NM. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 28.6 SOUTH/75.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 14/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.9 SOUTH/76.7 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : WINDS ARE DU TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE EAST AND IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:22 2003 X-UIDL: 14322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M0023UMTRGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:32:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D0W9x5014659 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:32:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CBcG7I030224; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:24:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 463213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:24:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D0O9Cw039998 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:24:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D0O9id027400 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:24:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D0O9tV027399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:24:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:24:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130024.h0D0O9tV027399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=TRACKER_ID WTIO20 FMEE 130000 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 (EX-EBULA ) 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.3S/74.1E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT LOCALY UP TO 300 NM. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 28.6 SOUTH/75.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 14/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.9 SOUTH/76.7 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : WINDS ARE DU TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE EAST AND IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:23 2003 X-UIDL: 14323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M002BVN36GZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:37:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D0bmx5015461 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:37:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWqO015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:30:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 463278 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:30:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D0UGCw040708 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:30:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D0UFid027443 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:30:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D0UF6e027442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:30:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 18:30:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130030.h0D0UF6e027442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=TRACKER_ID WTIO20 FMEE 130000 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 13/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 (EX-EBULA ) 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.3S/74.1E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT LOCALY UP TO 300 NM. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 28.6 SOUTH/75.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 14/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 28.9 SOUTH/76.7 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : WINDS ARE DU TO THE GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE EAST AND IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 11:43:31 2003 X-UIDL: 14331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M002ADVEOGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 11:37:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D3bTx5053591 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 11:37:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D16QNK030224; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 21:28:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 464946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 21:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D3SbCw033434 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 21:28:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D3Said028757 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 21:28:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D3Sa4B028756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 21:28:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 21:28:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130328.h0D3Sa4B028756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 130327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 13 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..STATIONARY FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N130W AND EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 24N140W. ..1026 MB HIGH IS NEAR 31N122W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 10N BETWEEN THE MAINLAND THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N88W 3N93W 4N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 91W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 16:30:28 2003 X-UIDL: 14340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002PH2FDGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:09:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D696x5083757 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:09:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D16QXc030224; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 465964 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D5wcCw014394 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D5wbid029728 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D5wb0E029726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130558.h0D5wb0E029726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/122321ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A CORRECTED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.2N5 112.3E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.2N5 113.0E5, OVER THE SARAWAK REGION OF MALAYSIA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT SYNOPTIC AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA INDICATE A TROUGH WITH A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.4N5 177.0E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 176.9E3, NEAR THE GILBERT ISLANDS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 179.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 122100 COR) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE BROAD CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 136.4E4, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY, OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA. SCATTEROMETRY AND SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A VERY BROAD LLCC WITH DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC PRESENT OVER WATER. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED UNDER A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT, WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/SCHAEFER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 16:30:31 2003 X-UIDL: 14342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002H839MGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:27:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D6RGx5087719 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:27:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXW00015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:22:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 466285 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:22:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D6M6Cw014574 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:22:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D6M5id029929 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:22:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D6M5mV029928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:22:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:22:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130622.h0D6M5mV029928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 130600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 11/8/20022003 1.A EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION (EX-EBULA) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 13/01/2003 : 28.9S/74.3E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 250 KM SE30: 250 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 80 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1012 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 29.5S / 75.2E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 30.2S / 75.8E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 31.0S / 76.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 16:30:31 2003 X-UIDL: 14343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002L63BLGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:28:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D6SRx5088035 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:28:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWxw015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 466273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D6LbCw033354 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D6Lbid029918 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D6LaoX029917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130621.h0D6LaoX029917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 130600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 022/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 13/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 (EX-EBULA ) 1000 HPA POSITION : 28.9S/74.3E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : CONVECTION HAS ALMOST DISAPPEARED. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.5 SOUTH/75.2 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 14/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 30.2 SOUTH/75.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS PERSIST DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE PRESENCE OF HIGHS IN THE VICINITY OF EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 .= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 16:30:32 2003 X-UIDL: 14344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002M73BWGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:28:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D6STx5088047 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:28:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D16Qaw030224; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 466279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D6LsCw014560 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D6Lrid029923 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D6LrbZ029922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 00:21:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130621.h0D6LrbZ029922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 130600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 022/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 13/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 (EX-EBULA ) 1000 HPA POSITION : 28.9S/74.3E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : CONVECTION HAS ALMOST DISAPPEARED. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.5 SOUTH/75.2 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 14/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 30.2 SOUTH/75.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS PERSIST DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE PRESENCE OF HIGHS IN THE VICINITY OF EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 .= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 17:00:21 2003 X-UIDL: 14356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002ZTA3DGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 16:54:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D8sdx5020624 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 16:54:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D16Qi0030224; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:33:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 467043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:33:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D8XfCw015318 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:33:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D8Xeid000812 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:33:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D8XeEv000811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:33:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:33:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130833.h0D8XeEv000811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 130900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 14.4S9 179.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 185 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 179.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.7S4 179.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.1S3 178.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 23.8S3 175.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 33 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 26.7S5 168.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.0S6 179.9E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED EYE FEATURE, WITH STRONG BAND OF CONVECTION WRAPPING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM, PROVIDING INCREASED OUTFLOW ABOVE THE SYSTEM. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS MINIMAL, BUT INCREASES TO THE SOUTH. TC 10P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TC 10P IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 24 TO 36 HOURS, AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH AND THEN, MOVE INTO, THE MID- LATITUDE WESTERLIES. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 AND 140900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 18:22:28 2003 X-UIDL: 14361-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002EKCPCGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 17:51:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D9p5x5029292 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 17:51:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXW1q015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 03:44:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 467275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 03:44:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D9idCw034488 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 03:44:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D9icid001374 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 03:44:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D9icP9001373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 03:44:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 03:44:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130944.h0D9icP9001373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 130939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 13 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N131W AND EXTENDS SOUTHWEST BEYOND 24N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N EAST OF THE ABOVE FRONTAL SYSTEM WITH A 1027 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 29N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N88W 4N98W 6N110W 4N120W 6N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 2N TO 7N BETWEEN 92W AND 96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA FROM 1N TO 4N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 18:22:30 2003 X-UIDL: 14363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N0023BDXYGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 18:17:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DAHpx5031937 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 18:17:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXW26015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 04:12:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 467405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 04:12:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DACrCw032794 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 04:12:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DACqid001558 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 04:12:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DACqrF001557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 04:12:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 04:12:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301131012.h0DACqrF001557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 131000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE AMI...JUST WEST OF DATELINE...NEAR 14.4S 179.7E AT 0600 HAS OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB THAT EXTEND ACROSS THE DATELINE WHICH ARE WITHIN 160 NM OF CENTER...AND HAVE INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH AMI ARE LOCATED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 15S174W 19S179W. SEE WTPS31 PGTW FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 21:42:15 2003 X-UIDL: 14368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002B4JO6GZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:21:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DCLVx5047731 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:21:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXW4U015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 467963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DCDWCw033208 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DCDWid002255 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DCDVEt002252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301131213.h0DCDVEt002252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 131200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 023/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 13/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 (EX-EBULA ) 1000 HPA POSITION : 29.7S/74.7E (TWENTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : CONVECTION HAS ALMOST DISAPPEARED. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT, AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 30.2 SOUTH/75.2 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 14/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 30.8 SOUTH/75.5 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS PERSIST DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE PRESENCE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THIS BULLETIN IS THE FINAL WARNING RELATED TO THE SYSTEM 08 (EX-EBULA), UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 21:42:26 2003 X-UIDL: 14370-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002BOLZ5GZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 21:11:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DDBMx5053392 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 21:11:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D16Qqq030224; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 467966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DCDWCw028950 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DCDWid002256 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DCDVLr002254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 06:13:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301131213.h0DCDVLr002254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 131200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 023/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 13/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08 (EX-EBULA ) 1000 HPA POSITION : 29.7S/74.7E (TWENTY NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : CONVECTION HAS ALMOST DISAPPEARED. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT, AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 30.2 SOUTH/75.2 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 14/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 30.8 SOUTH/75.5 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS PERSIST DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE PRESENCE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THIS BULLETIN IS THE FINAL WARNING RELATED TO THE SYSTEM 08 (EX-EBULA), UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 07:46:42 2003 X-UIDL: 14377-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N00266TMTGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 23:56:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DFujx5084703 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 23:56:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWBm015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 09:50:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 470867 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 09:50:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DFo9Cw040010 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 09:50:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DFo8id006578 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 09:50:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DFo8gF006577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 09:50:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 09:50:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301131550.h0DFo8gF006577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 131547 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 13 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING COLD FRONT OVER THE NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH 30N134W TO BEYOND 24N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST CLOUDS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS NW OF LINE 22N140W-30N133W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION E OF FRONT WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING SW FROM A 1025 MB HIGH NEAR 31N125W TO BEYOND 20N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N100W 6N112W 4N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 1N-3N BETWEEN 79W-81W AND FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN 87W-89W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 2N-8N BETWEEN 92W-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 07:46:53 2003 X-UIDL: 14380-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002G6WWOGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:07:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DH7Rx5000174 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:07:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DFH6VK030224; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 472682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DGwuCw027780 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DGwtid009108 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DGwtxo009106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301131658.h0DGwtxo009106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 131800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/STATEN/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 07:46:54 2003 X-UIDL: 14381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002ZCXC8GZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:16:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DHGox5002169 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:16:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG73Ig015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:59:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 472685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DGwuCw030060 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DGwtid009109 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DGwtN9009107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:58:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301131658.h0DGwtN9009107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/STATEN/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 07:46:59 2003 X-UIDL: 14388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8O002AS7WHGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:05:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DL4rx5049114 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:04:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG73g8015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:41:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 478317 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:41:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DKfgCw026162 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:41:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DKffid017049 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:41:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DKff09017048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:41:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:41:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301132041.h0DKff09017048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 132100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 16.7S4 179.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 179.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 19.5S5 178.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 22.9S3 175.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 26.7S5 169.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 39 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 30.8S1 161.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 17.4S2 179.7W4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P (AMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, BEING ENHANCED BY A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST. TC 10P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. SYSTEM INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEADY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH A DEVELOPING MID- LATITUDE LOW NEAR NEW ZEALAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 07:47:00 2003 X-UIDL: 14389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8O002IAAMEGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 06:03:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DM3bx5057527 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 06:03:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DKFkXM030224; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 479739 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DLtACw038444 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DLt9id019365 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DLt9T8019364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301132155.h0DLt9T8019364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 132154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT THROUGH 30N164W 26N180 AT 2030 UTC MOVING EAST 40-45 KT. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 200 NM NORTH OF FRONT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 23N171W 26N163W ALONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE PRECEDING FRONT AND ALSO MOVING EAST. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...BROKEN CUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 06N163W 06N140W EXTEND EAST AND MOVED WEST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB BETWEEN 145W AND 152W DISSIPATED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE AMI NEAR 17S180 AT 2030 UTC MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 13 KT. SEE LATEST NADI AND JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW NEAR 29S143W MOVING SOUTHEAST 12 KT WITH A TROUGH THROUGH 28S140W 23S141W 17S148W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF TROUGH INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB ALONG FAR OUTER EASTERN EDGES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE AMI OCCASIONALLY FORMING IN THE SAMOA VICINITY. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 07:47:33 2003 X-UIDL: 14390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8O002IEAMFGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 06:03:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DM3jx5057548 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 06:03:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG73lw015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 479736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DLt5Cw026190 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DLt4id019358 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DLt4V8019357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 15:55:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301132155.h0DLt4V8019357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 132154 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 13 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA FROM 32N134W TO BEYOND 24N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE FRONT. ..A 1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N123W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 10N BETWEEN THE COLD FRONT AND 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 4N100W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 16:35:41 2003 X-UIDL: 14401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8O00A2LMCQ4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 10:17:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E2H6x5008581 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 10:17:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG73tc015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 19:55:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 481998 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 19:55:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E1t9Cw015208 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 19:55:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E1t9id023204 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 19:55:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E1t9br023203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 19:55:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 19:55:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140155.h0E1t9br023203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 140300 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WARNING NR 005A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 19.2S2 178.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 178.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 22.9S3 176.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 26.7S5 171.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 30.7S0 164.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 40 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 35.1S9 156.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.1S3 178.3W9. THE 131800Z3 WARNING HAS BEEN AMENDED BASED ON RAPID INTENSIFICATION AND INCREASE IN SPEED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BASED ON VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P (AMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 168 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST HAS VENTILATED THE SYSTEM MORE THAN EXPECTED, INCREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 29 NM IRREGULAR EYE HAS FORMED. TC 10P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. SYSTEM INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEADY OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE LOW NEAR NEW ZEALAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 16:35:44 2003 X-UIDL: 14404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8O00ALQMM34C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 10:22:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E2Mbx5009939 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 10:22:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG73te015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:01:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 482040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:01:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E21KCw038668 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:01:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E21Kid023298 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:01:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E21K6b023297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:01:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:01:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140201.h0E21K6b023297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 140300 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WARNING NR 005A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 19.2S2 178.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 178.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 22.9S3 176.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 26.7S5 171.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 30.7S0 164.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 40 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 35.1S9 156.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.1S3 178.3W9. THE 131800Z3 WARNING HAS BEEN AMENDED BASED ON RAPID INTENSIFICATION AND INCREASE IN SPEED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS BASED ON VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P (AMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 168 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST HAS VENTILATED THE SYSTEM MORE THAN EXPECTED, INCREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 29 NM IRREGULAR EYE HAS FORMED. TC 10P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. SYSTEM INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEADY OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE LOW NEAR NEW ZEALAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 16:35:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8O00AWPQIJ4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 11:47:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E3l0x5031425 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 11:47:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG73um015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 21:38:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 482481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 21:38:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E3clCw033342 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 21:38:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E3clid024101 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 21:38:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E3clnE024100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 21:38:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 21:38:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140338.h0E3clnE024100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 140338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 14 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA FROM 32N132W TO BEYOND 23N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE FRONT. ..A 1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N123W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 10N BETWEEN THE COLD FRONT AND 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 4N116W 3N130W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 16:35:52 2003 X-UIDL: 14421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00AAJ1OA4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:48:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E7m4x5091623 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:48:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG732G015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:34:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 484323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:32:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E7WGCw038734 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:32:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E7WFid025948 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:32:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E7WFCC025946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:32:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:32:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140732.h0E7WFCC025946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN CORRECTED/140600Z/150600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS AN AMENDED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.2N5 113.0E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 176.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 170.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM SOUTHWEST OF MAJURO. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A REGION OF TROUGHING. A RECENT SSM/I PASS WAS INCONCLUSIVE IN DETERMINING WHETHER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PRESENT. OBSERVATIONS IN THE AREA AT EBON AND JALUIT ATOLLS SUGGEST A WEAK LLCC IS PRESENT, HOWEVER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA HAS EXCELLENT DIFFLUENCE WITH MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2S2 178.9W5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 140300 AMD) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE BROAD CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 136.4E4 IS NOW LOCATED INLAND NEAR 14.0S5 133.5E2 BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS. THEREFORE THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED LONGITUDE IN PARA 2.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 16:35:53 2003 X-UIDL: 14422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00ABE1OM4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:48:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E7mGx5091680 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:48:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG732C015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 484312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E7VJCw028222 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E7VJid025935 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E7VIcv025933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140731.h0E7VIcv025933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS AN AMENDED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.2N5 113.0E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 176.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 170.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM SOUTHWEST OF MAJURO. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A REGION OF TROUGHING. A RECENT SSM/I PASS WAS INCONCLUSIVE IN DETERMINING WHETHER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PRESENT. OBSERVATIONS IN THE AREA AT EBON AND JALUIT ATOLLS SUGGEST A WEAK LLCC IS PRESENT, HOWEVER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA HAS EXCELLENT DIFFLUENCE WITH MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2S2 178.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 140300 AMD) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE BROAD CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 136.4E4 IS NOW LOCATED INLAND NEAR 14.0S5 133.5E2 BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS. THEREFORE THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 17:25:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00AGN5RO4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 17:16:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E9GTx5015930 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 17:16:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG733K015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:55:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 484972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E8tjCw028222 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E8tiid026488 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:55:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E8tiR2026487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:55:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:55:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140855.h0E8tiR2026487@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 140900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 21.0S3 177.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0S3 177.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 25.0S7 173.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 28.9S9 167.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 32.9S4 159.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 22.0S4 176.9W3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P (AMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTHEAST SUVA, FIJI HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 22 NM IRREGULAR EYE. TC 10P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO UNDERGO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHWEST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), TCLAPS, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT SEA HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 AND 150900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 17:45:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00AMX6T84C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 17:39:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E9d1x5021791 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 17:39:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG733O015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 03:32:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 485149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 03:32:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E9WaCw034414 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 03:32:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E9Waid026910 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 03:32:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E9Wa4r026909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 03:32:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 03:32:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140932.h0E9Wa4r026909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 140932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 14 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N131W TO A 1019 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 27N135W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW SOUTH ALONG 24N134W THEN SOUTHWEST TO 18N141W. ..A 1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N123W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SOUTH TO 15N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N89W 4N108W 6N118W 4N127W 7N136W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86.5W TO 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 91W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 18:15:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14434-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00AJ68H84C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 18:15:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0EAF2x5029773 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 18:15:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG733k015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 04:00:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 485323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 04:00:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EA0wCw025320 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 04:00:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0EA0vid027116 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 04:00:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0EA0vmB027115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 04:00:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 04:00:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301141000.h0EA0vmB027115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 141000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE AMI NEAR 22S177W HAVE OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER. A BAND OF OCCASIONAL CB IS ALSO FOUND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 23S179W 26S176W. SEE WTPS31 PGTW FOR FURTHER DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 21S134W 22S129W 27S131W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 20:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 14440-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00A8FDUC4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 20:11:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0ECArx5056526 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 20:10:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E6Q6Tq030224; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 485718 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EBvoCw033418 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0EBvnid027826 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0EBvnoq027824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301141157.h0EBvnoq027824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/141100Z/141800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS NEAR 23.3S8 50.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LA REUNION. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION IS ON THE EAST AND SOUTHERN SIDES OF THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE AREA HAS GOOD POLEWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. DUE TO THE LLCC AND THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 20:13:04 2003 X-UIDL: 14441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00AA1DV44C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 20:11:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0ECBMx5056647 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 20:11:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG734W015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 485715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EBvoCw023080 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0EBvnid027825 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0EBvnap027823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 05:57:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301141157.h0EBvnap027823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 141100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/141100Z/141800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS NEAR 23.3S8 50.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LA REUNION. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION IS ON THE EAST AND SOUTHERN SIDES OF THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE AREA HAS GOOD POLEWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. DUE TO THE LLCC AND THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 23:59:31 2003 X-UIDL: 14448-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00AHIODB4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 23:58:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0EFwFx5014628 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 23:58:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E6Q6uC030224; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 09:44:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 488373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 09:44:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EFi8Cw029382 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 09:44:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0EFi8id002998 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 09:44:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0EFi7mB002997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 09:44:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 09:44:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301141544.h0EFi7mB002997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 141543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 14 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING 1019 MB LOW NEAR 26N135W WITH A STATIONARY FRONT TO THE NE BEYOND 30N133W AND A TROUGH SWD ALONG 26N132W 24N132W 21N135W 19N139W. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN 131W-133W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES SWD ALONG 125W TO 10N FROM A 1024 MB HIGH NEAR 31N125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 5N83W 4N110W 6N118W 6N118W 5N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 1N-5N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 85W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 132W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 08:35:05 2003 X-UIDL: 14461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00A6KUT94C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 02:17:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0EIHQx5042116 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 02:17:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EHJsLi030224; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 490955 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EI3dCw039070 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0EI3Wid008662 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0EI3WWB008659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301141803.h0EI3WWB008659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.3S8 50.8E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.2S8 51.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTHWEST OF LA REUNION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NEAR THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. DUE TO THE LLCC AND THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 08:35:15 2003 X-UIDL: 14462-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00A8AUUU4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 02:18:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0EIIOx5042301 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 02:18:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EErWUY015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 490949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EI3YCw040746 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0EI3Wid008661 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0EI3VQS008658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 12:03:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301141803.h0EI3VQS008658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.3S8 50.8E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.2S8 51.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTHWEST OF LA REUNION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NEAR THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. DUE TO THE LLCC AND THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 08:35:27 2003 X-UIDL: 14473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Q00A512EF4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 05:01:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0EL1Lx5075125 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 05:01:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EErWhI015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:40:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 493527 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:40:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EKeQCw034556 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:40:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0EKePid014579 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:40:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0EKePsb014578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:40:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:40:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301142040.h0EKePsb014578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 25.1S8 173.4W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 31 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S8 173.4W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 29.2S3 167.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 38 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 32.5S0 159.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 26.1S9 171.9W8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P (AMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 620 NM SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. TC 10P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTHWEST AND TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), TLAPS, TCLAPS, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 08:35:28 2003 X-UIDL: 14474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Q00AEM5494C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 06:00:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0EM02x5083993 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 06:00:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EErWiq015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:44:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 494083 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:44:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ELiaCw039410 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:44:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ELiUid017053 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:44:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ELiUsH017052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:44:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:44:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301142144.h0ELiUsH017052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 142144 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 14 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N126W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 15N BETWEEN 110W-140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 4N100W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 08:35:30 2003 X-UIDL: 14476-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Q00GRD6KMV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 06:31:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0EMVQx5089109 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 06:31:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EErWjk015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 16:12:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 494372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 16:12:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EMClCw022964 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 16:12:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0EMCkid018034 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 16:12:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0EMCkMH018033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 16:12:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 16:12:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301142212.h0EMCkMH018033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 142212 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW AREA ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N164W 04N150W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) NEAR 26S171W HAD FREQUENT CB WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER AND OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 420 NM OF CENTER. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINES 20S150W 18S142W 25S135W 30S134W AND 23S128W 34S130W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 01S173E 12S177W 17S169E 05S166E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07S158W 09S166W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 12:37:33 2003 X-UIDL: 14490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Q00GYTKLQV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 11:34:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0F3YUx5052950 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 11:34:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EErWxq015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 21:23:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 497893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 21:23:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0F3NqCw026676 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 21:23:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0F3Npid022186 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 21:23:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0F3Np8M022185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 21:23:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 21:23:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301150323.h0F3Np8M022185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 150317 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 15 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1023 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N124W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 15N BETWEEN 110W-140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N79W 4N103W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 14:43:56 2003 X-UIDL: 14501-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Q00GBGSPDV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:29:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0F6TVx5094350 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:29:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0F3ugRK019766; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:09:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 499602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0F68dCw028600 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0F68cid023552 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0F68cO3023550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301150608.h0F68cO3023550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 170.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.4N9 166.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF KOSRAE. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA HAS EXCELLENT DIFFLUENCE WITH MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1S8 173.4W5, APPROXIMATELY 620 NM SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 19:44:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14515-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8R00GR421LV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 17:51:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0F9pEx5044404 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 17:51:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0F7bbIs027944; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:41:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 500758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:41:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0F9f5Cw007776 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:41:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0F9f5id025203 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:41:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0F9f5ct025202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:41:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:41:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301150941.h0F9f5ct025202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 150935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 15 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N FROM 110W TO JUST BEYOND 140W WITH A 1024 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N126W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N96W 4N12W 5N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 5.5N77.5W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 19:44:38 2003 X-UIDL: 14516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8R00G912WQV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 18:10:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0FA9ux5049019 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 18:09:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EErW7A015742; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:59:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 500883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:59:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0F9xYCw040294 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:59:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0F9xXid025295 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:59:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0F9xXpO025294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:59:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 03:59:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301150959.h0F9xXpO025294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 150954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BELOW. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT THROUGH 30N151W 23N160W 19N170W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 17N180 AT 15/0830 UTC. FRONT/SHEAR LINE MOVING SOUTHEAST 18 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT EAST OF 160W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT... ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 28N. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05N168W 05N157W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE AMI NEAR 29S164W AT 15/0900 UTC MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 35 KT WITH SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KT NEAR THE CENTER. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S173W 06S165W 09S160W 11S167W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. CB CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER TROUGH PRODUCING ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 15S139W 25S136W. CB INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 00:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 14532-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8R00GZJJINV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 00:08:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0FG8ax5021066 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 00:08:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FDeOQE015742; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 09:55:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 505101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 09:55:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FFtICw032018 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 09:55:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0FFtHid001918 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 09:55:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0FFtHVu001917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 09:55:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 09:55:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301151555.h0FFtHVu001917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 151554 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 15 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE ENTIRE REGION WITH EXCEPTION TO A TROUGH RIGHT ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NWD THROUGH THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. RIDGE AXIS FROM 30N128W SW TO BEYOND 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N90W 4N110W 5N120W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 90W-96W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS W OF 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 05:48:20 2003 X-UIDL: 14550-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8R00GZ9Z33V9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 05:45:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0FLiux5086181 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 05:44:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5Ic041914; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:38:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 511566 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:38:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FLcgCw015678 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:38:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0FLcfid015442 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:38:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0FLcfC1015441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:38:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:38:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301152138.h0FLcfC1015441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 152138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 15 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 15/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 110W. ..TROUGH IN ISOBARIC PATTERN FROM 15N104W IN EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TO 21N108W...INLAND IN MEXICO NEAR 28N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 5N86W 4N105W 5N125W 4N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 88W...WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 112W... WITHIN 125 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W AND 128W... AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 05:58:20 2003 X-UIDL: 14551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8R00G5HZALV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 05:49:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0FLnRx5086839 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 05:49:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5J0041914; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:43:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 511649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:43:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FLh5Cw005842 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:43:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0FLh4id015597 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:43:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0FLh4pU015596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:43:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:43:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301152143.h0FLh4pU015596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 152142 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N160W 05N140W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW AREA ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N172W 02N179E 07N170E. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S170W 05S157W 14S150W 07S156W 13S171W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S138W 25S132W 17S145W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 11:26:18 2003 X-UIDL: 14566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S000UNEJML1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 11:18:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0G3Ipx5055054 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 11:18:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKmI7i035950; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:04:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 516502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:03:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G33RCw011104 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:03:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0G33Qid021917 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:03:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0G33Q32021916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:03:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:03:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301160303.h0G33Q32021916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 160303 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 16 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 16/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 110W. ..TROUGH IN ISOBARIC PATTERN FROM 10N106W IN EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TO 21N106W...INLAND IN MEXICO NEAR 29N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 4N86W 3N98W 4N106W 7N125W 4N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 87W...WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 107W...AND WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 114W AND 123W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 15:23:44 2003 X-UIDL: 14582-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S0003OL7FL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:42:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0G5gjx5087797 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:42:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G3MpPS035950; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 518212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G5SXCw019248 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0G5SOid023761 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0G5SNHG023759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301160528.h0G5SNHG023759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z6, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8N4 162.2E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 159.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) AND REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: /WAKEHAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 17:33:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S002MYVT65O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 17:31:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0G9Vlx5045715 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 17:31:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5xc041914; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:26:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 519923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:26:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G9Q1Cw028494 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:26:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0G9Pvid026341 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:25:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0G9PvT2026340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:25:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:25:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301160925.h0G9PvT2026340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 160916 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 16 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK 1018 MB LOW IS OFF THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 32N119W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 13N FROM 120W TO 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N93W 4N102W 3N110W 6N116W 5N128W 3N137W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 109W AND WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 119W TO 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N TO 5N. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N110W TO 14N120W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 18:09:53 2003 X-UIDL: 14598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S00045XDZL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 18:05:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GA5qx5054280 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 18:05:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk506041914; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:01:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 520146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:01:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GA1GCw033274 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:01:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GA1Fid026701 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:01:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GA1FWI026700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:01:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:01:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161001.h0GA1FWI026700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 160955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW NEAR 28N153W MOVING EAST 20 KT. ASSOCIATED FRONT THROUGH 30N151W 23N156W HAS ISOLATED TCU/CB WITHIN 100 NM WEST OF FRONT NORTH OF 26N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... FRONT THROUGH 30N145W 18N156W 16N160W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 15N167W TO 15N175W. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KT. SHEAR LINE MOVING SOUTH 5 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS/SHOWERS ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 22N. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE SOUTH OF 22N. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 06N156W 06N147W 04N141W ARE NEWLY FORMED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH ALONG LINE 12S143W 27S140W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50-75NM OF LINE 09S151W 14S143W 17S142W MOVED NORTH 5 KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF ISOLATED WITHIN 100NM OF LINE 07S166W 10S171W 14S172W MOVED SOUTHWEST 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 00:19:14 2003 X-UIDL: 14619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T000BMDDUL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 23:51:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GFpNx5037370 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 23:51:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GEvuH2041914; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:44:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 523296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:36:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFauCw026806 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:36:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GFatid002616 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:36:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GFatmY002615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:36:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:36:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161536.h0GFatmY002615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 161536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 16 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 17N BETWEEN 120W-135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 2N81W 4N88W 2N93W 6N116W 7N128W 4N136W 5N140W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE WITHIN 40NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST BETWEEN 1N-5N. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN 105W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 113W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 120W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 112W-120W. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:15 2003 X-UIDL: 14625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T002G0K125O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 02:15:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GIEsx5069955 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 02:14:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHRS041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:08:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 526117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:07:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GI6xCw021584 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:06:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GI6xid008273 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:06:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GI6w4L008270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:06:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:06:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161806.h0GI6w4L008270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:24 2003 X-UIDL: 14626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T000LPK72L1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 02:18:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GIIVx5071101 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 02:18:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHZI035970; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:07:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 526114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:07:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GI6xCw022502 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:06:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GI6xid008272 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:06:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GI6w1o008271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:06:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 12:06:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161806.h0GI6w1o008271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:31 2003 X-UIDL: 14647-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T00268U7W5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 05:55:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GLt0x5016868 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 05:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHr8041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:50:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 530780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:50:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GLoRCw038060 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GLoNid016826 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:50:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GLoNBP016825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:50:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:50:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@listserv.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301162150.h0GLoNBP016825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 162150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N140W 26N140W 19N149W 18N153W. SOUTH OF 24N THIS FEATURE IS A BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS 50 TO 100 MILES WIDE. NORTH OF 24N IT IS A BAND OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS 200 TO 300 MILES WIDE. ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 30N141W 24N145W MOVED EAST AT 20 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF ANOTHER FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N162W 25N180 21N170E 20N160E. NORTH OF 28N THIS FEATURE IS A WIDE BAND OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS 400 TO 700 MILES WIDE. SOUTH OF 28N THE FRONTAL BAND CONSISTS MAINLY OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS 200 TO 350 MILES WIDE. WEST OF 160E THE FRONT BECOMES A SHEAR LINE...WITH THE SOUTHERN EDGE ITS ACCOMPANYING CLOUD BAND ALONG 20N...BETWEEN 160E AND 135E. THIS BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IS ABOUT 250 MILES WIDE. ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 05N153W 04N140W MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY FORMED WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N180 05N168W EQ180 08N180. THESE CB ALSO EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... THERE ARE SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE SECOND COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... THERE ARE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS OVER JOHNSTON ISLAND AND VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR SYNOPTIC SCALE WEATHER FEATURES. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 08S163W 09S146W 15S140W 24S138W MOVED NORTH AT 15 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 17S178W 25S176W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 04S172W 12S168W 16S174W 06S179W 04S172W MOVED WEST AT 15 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR SYNOPTIC SCALE WEATHER FEATURES. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:32 2003 X-UIDL: 14649-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T002EMUNV5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 06:04:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GM4bx5018587 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 06:04:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHsA041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:58:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 530911 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:58:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GLwqCw026532 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:58:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GLwpid017106 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:58:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GLwo4O017104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:58:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 15:58:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301162158.h0GLwo4O017104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 162158 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 16 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 16/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N130W TO 22N132W 12N137W 5N139W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 5N BETWEEN 118W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 4N90W 5N109W 5N120W 5N129W 4N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 121W... AND BETWEEN 126W AND 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 107W AND 122W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:39 2003 X-UIDL: 14674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U002M6BH05O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 12:07:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H47f6K014752 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 12:07:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226HG041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:58:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 535697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:58:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H3wfCw044274 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:58:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H3wZid022672 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:58:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H3wZ2k022671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:58:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:58:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170358.h0H3wZ2k022671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 170347 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 17 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 17/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 31N127W TO 22N132W TO 12N136W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 5N98W 4N108W 4N112W 5N124W 4N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 113W...AND WITHIN 20-30 NM RADIUS OF 5N124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 16N TO 25N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W...AND FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 120W AND 121W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:41 2003 X-UIDL: 14676-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U009N3ENVED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:16:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H5GZx5012678 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:16:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H4qgDU015760; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:59:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 536163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:59:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H4xoCw023974 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:59:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H4xnid023163 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:59:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H4xngl023161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:59:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:59:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170459.h0H4xngl023161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 152.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: /WAKEHAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 19:47:47 2003 X-UIDL: 14694-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U009A1RZPED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 18:04:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HA4Ux5084744 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 18:04:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226O8041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:00:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 537900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:00:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HA0FCw015302 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:00:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HA0Eid025762 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:00:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HA0EDK025761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:00:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:00:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171000.h0HA0EDK025761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 171000 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 17 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 20N WITH TROUGHING ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NWD THROUGH THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE EXTREME NW CORNER OF AREA ALONG 29N140W 25N140W. PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH ALONG 30N139W 23N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM AHEAD OF TROUGH AXIS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N90W 4N110W 6N130W 3N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN 102W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 19:47:50 2003 X-UIDL: 14696-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U009EYSNIED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 18:18:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HAIix5088002 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 18:18:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226OA041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:09:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 537951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:09:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HA8xCw023218 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:08:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HA8xid025833 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:08:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HA8wjR025832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:08:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:08:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171008.h0HA8wjR025832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 171008 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 04N140W 04N154W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE/EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 08N173W 03N171W 02S180 03N172E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S155W 16S165W MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S159W 07S143W 12S139W 12S151W 09S154W 11S162W 08S167W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 04S174W 08S172W 12S175W 06S180 MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 00:57:56 2003 X-UIDL: 14716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009SA7Y4ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 23:49:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HFn8x5052024 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 23:49:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H4qg6g015760; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:39:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 541222 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:37:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HFbPCw019954 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:37:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HFbOid001393 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:37:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HFbOUR001392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:37:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:37:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171537.h0HFbOUR001392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 171536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 17 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IN NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA FROM 30N137W TO BEYOND 22N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE FRONT N OF 26N BETWEEN 133W-136W. ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH FROM 24N123W TO 30N128W AS A SURFACE REFLECTION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. BAND OF HIGH CLOUDINESS TO THE E OF THE TROUGH EXTENDS WITHIN 60NM OF A LINE FROM 16N123W-23N118W-28N120W. ..ADDITIONAL WEAK TROUGHING ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA E OF 120W AND S OF THE U.S.-MEXICO BORDER. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 1N82W 5N93W 4N106W 6N130W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 2N-4N BETWEEN 78W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 100W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 126W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF CAPE MATAPALO COSTA RICA. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 01:47:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009OGDCXED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:46:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HHjwx5076337 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:46:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226iA041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 542486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HHTsCw013948 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HHTqid005409 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HHTqB7005406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171729.h0HHTqB7005406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 4.7N1 86.0E4 IN THE BAY OF BENGAL APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST OF SRI LANKA. A 171524Z0 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/STATEN/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 01:48:24 2003 X-UIDL: 14723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009RYDG4ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:48:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HHlvx5076677 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:47:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HGgLJq015760; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 542489 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HHTsCw033238 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HHTqid005408 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HHTq5L005407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:29:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171729.h0HHTq5L005407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 4.7N1 86.0E4 IN THE BAY OF BENGAL APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST OF SRI LANKA. A 171524Z0 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/STATEN/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:33 2003 X-UIDL: 14733-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009BBK2KED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:11:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HKB0x5008706 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:11:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HGgLcI015760; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:58:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 544309 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:51:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HJpFCw042440 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:51:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HJpEid009851 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:51:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HJpE7k009850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:51:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:51:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171951.h0HJpE7k009850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL STORM 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 152.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO TROPICAL STORM IN AND THE SPEED OF MOVEMENT PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14737-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009ICOYKED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 05:56:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HLucx5027851 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 05:56:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HGgLsK015760; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:50:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 545975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:50:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HLoTCw012736 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:50:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HLoSid013739 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:50:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HLoSce013738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:50:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:50:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301172150.h0HLoSce013738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 172150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N148W 25N156W 18N180. NORTH OF 25N THERE ARE BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTI LAYER CLOUDS IN A 250 TO 400 MILE WIDE BAND. SOUTH OF 25N THERE ARE BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS IN A 150 TO 300 MILE WIDE BAND. THIS FEATURE EXTENDS NORTH OF 30N FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES...AND WEST OF THE DATELINE AS A SHEAR LINE TO 16N171E. SHEAR LINE...THE EASTERN EDGE OF A DIMINISHING CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 19N140W 14N145W. THERE ARE BROKEN TO OCCASIONALLY SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS IN A 150 MILE WIDE BAND. THIS FEATURE EXTENDS NORTHEAST OF THE CPHC TWD AREA FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES AS AN EASTWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT. ITCZ...OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 07N173W 06N180 MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N158W 04N163W 05N172W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE MOVED LITTLE...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS COVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND VICINITY...WITH THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF OAHU. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. OTHERWISE...THERE ARE SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS NORTH OF THE FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... THERE ARE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS OVER JOHNSTON ISLAND AND VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR SYNOPTIC SCALE WEATHER SYSTEMS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S154W 09S137W 16S143W 09S159W 05S154W MOVED LITTLE...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. CZ...ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY FORMED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07S161W 09S169W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY EQ180 04S174W 12S173W 10S178E EQ180 MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... THERE ARE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU/CB OVER THE SAMOAN ISLANDS AND VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR SYNOPTIC SCALE WEATHER SYSTEMS. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:35 2003 X-UIDL: 14740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V0094CQN2ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 06:33:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HMWux5033636 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 06:32:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H2263i041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 16:25:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 546356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 16:25:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMPRCw039134 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 16:25:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HMPRid014794 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 16:25:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HMPQ57014793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 16:25:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 16:25:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301172225.h0HMPQ57014793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 172205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 17 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 17/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N135W TO 25N136W BEYOND 19N140W TO 15N143W. ..TROUGH FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 31N116W BEYOND 33N120W. ..TROUGH FROM 29N130W TO 24N126W. ..TROUGH FROM 20N120W TO 14N124W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 118W AND 121W. ..1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2145 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 6N92W 5N104W 6N124W 5N132W 3N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 130 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 121W AND 126W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 133W...AND WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 5N79W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 12:19:09 2003 X-UIDL: 14761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W009TT6N6ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 12:18:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I4Ibx5094628 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 12:18:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqSG018190; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:00:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 549963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:00:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I40ECw004622 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:00:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I40Did018417 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:00:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I40DvQ018416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:00:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:00:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180400.h0I40DvQ018416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 180359 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 18 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 18/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N133W TO 27N134W TO 16N140W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROUGH FROM 20N121W TO 15N123W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS FROM 17N TO 18N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W. ..1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26.5N123W. 1015 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 23.5N 143.5W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 5N95W 6N102W 5N113W 6N126W 5N132W 3N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 140 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 121W AND 127W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM OF COLOMBIA COAST FROM 2N TO 6N. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 16:52:30 2003 X-UIDL: 14770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W009AXJ9T77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:51:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I8pOx5038994 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:51:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqWo018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:41:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:41:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I8f0Cw013268 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:41:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I8exid020208 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:40:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I8exgX020206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:40:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:40:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180840.h0I8exgX020206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TROPICAL STORM 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 147.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF GUAM, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14772-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W00934LD277@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 17:36:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I9aWx5045680 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 17:36:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqXQ018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:32:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:32:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I9WSCw012718 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:32:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I9WSid020645 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:32:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I9WSx8020644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:32:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:32:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180932.h0I9WSx8020644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 180932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 18 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT ALONG 30N132W 25N133W 21N140W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS REMAINDER OF AREA E OF FRONT WITH A 1021 MB HIGH NEAR 28N124W AND A RIDGE SE TO 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N93W 5N110W 6N126W 3N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 91W-95W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 2N-7N BETWEEN 95W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 108W-115W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 123W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W009I3N4S77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 18:14:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IAEjx5051683 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 18:14:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqXU018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:04:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 552013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:04:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IA4qCw003756 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:04:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IA4gid020830 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:04:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IA4ggT020829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:04:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:04:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181004.h0IA4ggT020829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 180952 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 06N175E 05N174W 01N178W 01N168E 06N174E MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S165W 16S161W 17S173W 14S173W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY EQ176E 03S177W 09S179W 08S174E 01S174E MOVED NORTHWEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INCREASED INTENSITY. AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S151W 06S135W 10S135W 13S144W 06S164W MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:11 2003 X-UIDL: 14774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W009LFN8L77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 18:17:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IAH2x5052073 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 18:17:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I1JZns027716; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:07:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 552020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:07:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IA7HCw024756 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:07:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IA7Hid020857 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:07:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IA7Hed020856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:07:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:07:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181007.h0IA7Hed020856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 181002 CCA TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CORRECTED ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 06N175E 05N174W 01N178W 01N168E 06N174E MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S165W 16S161W 17S173W 14S173W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY EQ176E 03S177W 09S179W 08S174E 01S174E MOVED NORTHWEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INCREASED INTENSITY. AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S151W 06S135W 10S135W 13S144W 06S164W MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:18 2003 X-UIDL: 14785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X0099I20Q77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 23:36:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IFaLx5001359 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 23:36:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqek018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:33:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 553675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:33:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IFWxCw038840 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:32:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IFWwid022700 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:32:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IFWwXb022699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:32:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:32:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181532.h0IFWwXb022699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 181532 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 18 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT ALONG 30N132W 26N133W 22N138W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ..A 1022 MB HIGH IS NEAR 27N125W AND COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA E OF THE FRONT WITH A RIDGE AXIS SW TO 22N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N95W 4N107W 7N125W 5N130W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 7N91W 3N97W. SMALL CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF 5N134W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-114W AND E OF 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 22N115W 18N121W SW OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:39:00 2003 X-UIDL: 14802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009587G877@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:33:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IHXbx5019386 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:33:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IHNYDM027716; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:28:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 554492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IHRuCw028160 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:27:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IHRuid023535 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:27:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IHRttK023533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:27:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:27:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181727.h0IHRttK023533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 181800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.7N1 86.0E4 IN THE BAY OF BENGAL HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:59:00 2003 X-UIDL: 14803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009RQ8K877@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:57:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IHvbx5022943 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:57:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqiU018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:27:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 554489 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IHRuCw003780 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:27:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IHRuid023534 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:27:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IHRtgr023532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:27:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 11:27:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181727.h0IHRtgr023532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 181800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.7N1 86.0E4 IN THE BAY OF BENGAL HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 06:09:01 2003 X-UIDL: 14812-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009SAK2V77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 06:06:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IM6Ox5065372 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 06:06:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqrY018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:56:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 557162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:56:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ILuSCw014060 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:56:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ILuSid025849 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:56:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ILuRlZ025848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:56:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:56:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301182156.h0ILuRlZ025848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 182156 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 18 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 18/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH ALONG 21N122W 15N120W. ..TROUGH ALONG 8N97W 4N96W 1N95W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 2N TO 12N BETWEEN 89W AND 96W. ..1023 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N125W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W...EXCEPT NEAR 21N122W 15N120W TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 6N93W 5N105W 4N116W 8N126W 5N134W 4N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 50 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 106W...WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 121W AND 127W...AND BETWEEN 131W AND 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 30N122W. CYCLONIC FLOW WITHIN IMMEDIATE 240 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CENTER TO 15N124W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 06:39:02 2003 X-UIDL: 14814-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009K0LHG77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 06:36:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IMakkQ003837 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 06:36:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbquo018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:31:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 557592 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:31:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IMVOCw024608 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:31:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IMVKid026100 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:31:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IMVKqW026099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:31:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:31:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301182231.h0IMVKqW026099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 182231 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THAT EXTENDED NORTH OF 30N...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N147W 26N155W...HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 20 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BETWEEN 02N AND 05N WEST OF 169W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S150W 11S150W 08S166W 06S167W 05S150W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 21S152W 25S145W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 11S170W 15S165W 19S174W 13S178W 11S170W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BETWEEN EQ AND 11S WEST OF 176W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 11:29:02 2003 X-UIDL: 14822-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X0098ZYQG77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:23:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J3MwkQ044094 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:22:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbq58018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 21:18:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 559426 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 21:18:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J3I5Cw004778 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 21:18:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J3I4id027662 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 21:18:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J3I4ha027661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 21:18:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 21:18:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190318.h0J3I4ha027661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 190306 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 19 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 19/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH ALONG 21N122W 17N122W. ..TROUGH FROM 2N TO 8N ALONG 95W/96W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W IN THE ITCZ. ..1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N124W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W...EXCEPT NEAR 21N122W 17N122W TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N78W 6N94W 5N105W 7N126W 5N133W 4N140W. ISOLATED CELL OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...ALONG COLOMBIA COAST WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 4N77W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 90W...WITHIN 40-50 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 129W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 5N133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 30N122W. CYCLONIC FLOW WITHIN IMMEDIATE 240 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CENTER TO 15N124W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 14:29:03 2003 X-UIDL: 14824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Y008JZ79HXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:27:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J6RAkQ070619 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:27:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqBg018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:19:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 561088 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:19:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J6IpCw040404 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:19:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J6Ioid028857 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J6Iosv028856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190618.h0J6Iosv028856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 148.1E4, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 17:49:04 2003 X-UIDL: 14832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Y00850GJSXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 17:47:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J9lgkQ091293 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 17:47:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861DM018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:40:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 562018 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:40:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J9eqCw027630 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:40:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J9eqid000039 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:40:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J9eqMJ000038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:40:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:40:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190940.h0J9eqMJ000038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 190929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 19 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 19/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N127W WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE SE ALONG 20N110W TO 18N105W. A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 20N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 7N95W 5N105W 3N110W 5N130W 3N140W. ISOLATED CELLS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 1N-5N. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 83W-88W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-6N BETWEEN 125W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 18:09:04 2003 X-UIDL: 14834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Y008JTHATXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 18:04:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JA3wVT098429 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 18:04:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861DQ018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:58:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 562185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:58:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J9whCw006324 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:58:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J9wgid000117 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:58:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J9wgpV000116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:58:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:58:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190958.h0J9wgpV000116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 190949 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N142W 23N151W 16N171W. THIS CLOUD BAND IS 200 TO 300 MILES WIDE...AND CONSISTS OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS SOUTH OF 25N...AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTI LAYER CLOUDS NORTH OF 25N. THE CLOUD BAND IS MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 10 KNOTS ALONG 30N...AND SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS NEAR THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND JOHNSTON ISLAND. COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF ANOTHER FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N176W 26N172E 24N159E. THIS CLOUD BAND IS 150 TO 200 MILES WIDE...AND CONSISTS OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS NORTH OF 28N...AND SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS SOUTH OF 28N. THIS CLOUD BAND IS MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST SOUTHEAST NEAR 50 KNOTS. ITCZ...THE ITCZ IS VERY QUIET...WITH JUST A FEW SMALL...DISORGANIZED CB BOUNDED BY 09N178W 04N159W 02N160W EQ179W 09N178W. THESE CB HAVE MOVED LITTLE...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE FIRST COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONTS UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. OTHERWISE BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS ARE MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE EAST FROM MIDWAY TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE FIRST COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 16S168W 26S143W. THE NORTHEAST EDGE OF A BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS EXTENDS ALONG LINE 25S142W 18S160W. THIS CLOUD BAND IS 100 TO 200 MILES WIDE...AND HAS MOVED LITTLE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE SAMOAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED...DISORGANIZED CB BOUNDED BY EQ179W 06S169W 07S153W 17S159W 09S167W 11S180 EQ179W MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 01:59:39 2003 X-UIDL: 14839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Y008DMXCXXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 23:50:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JFopkQ096299 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 23:50:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861Ku018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 09:39:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 564084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 09:39:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JFdDCw010520 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 09:39:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JFdCid002022 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 09:39:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JFdCfB002021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 09:39:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 09:39:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301191539.h0JFdCfB002021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 191538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 19 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 19/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N125W WITH RIDGE AXIS TO THE SE TO NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND. A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 20N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N89W 5N108W 4N128W 6N137W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 2N-5.5N BETWEEN S AMERICA AND 80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS WITH SOME ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 88W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W-109W...117W-129W AND 135W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 2N80W- 4N88W AND POINT 7N84W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM 25N-27N BETWEEN 139W-142W. BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 01:59:41 2003 X-UIDL: 14843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z008KM1L2XG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 01:22:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JHM4VT069689 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 01:22:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J5j9x8027716; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 564815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JHEQCw004750 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JHEPid002798 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JHEPmR002796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301191714.h0JHEPmR002796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 01:59:41 2003 X-UIDL: 14844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z008KS1LGXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 01:22:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JHMMVT069754 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 01:22:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861NA018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 564812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JHEQCw033396 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JHEPid002797 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JHEPkM002795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:14:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301191714.h0JHEPkM002795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 191800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 09:47:29 2003 X-UIDL: 14853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z008IQE6JXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 05:54:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JLsCkQ047585 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 05:54:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JK7jNE027716; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 15:47:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 567145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 15:47:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JLl1Cw034666 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 15:47:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JLl0id004935 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 15:47:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JLl0iF004934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 15:47:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 15:47:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301192147.h0JLl0iF004934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 192146 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 19 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 19/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1024 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 28N125W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH CENTER THROUGH 20N140W. ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NW PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N90W 5N110W 4N125W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME STRONG...ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT N OF 26N W OF 135W. CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 09:47:29 2003 X-UIDL: 14854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z0079FFLA1P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 06:24:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JMOdkQ051661 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 06:24:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861Wq018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 16:08:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 567308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 16:08:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JM87Cw030292 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 16:08:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JM87id005125 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 16:08:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JM86VB005124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 16:08:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 16:08:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301192208.h0JM86VB005124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 192207 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N141W 26N150W...HAVE MOVED NE AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N167W 26N175W...HAVE MOVED NE AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED S OF THE EQUATOR...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 04N171W EQ173W EQ178W 05N177W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ALSO...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 03N143W 04N154W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE SECOND COLD FRONT ABOVE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 06S174W 21S152W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 18S180 25S173W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST TROUGH ABOVE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ALSO ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 13S179W 16S173W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB IN AREA BETWEEN 05S AND 09S BOUNDED BY 157W AND 164W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ALSO...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED NORTH OF THE EQUATOR...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY EQ173W 04S177W 02S179W EQ178W EQ173W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 12:54:27 2003 X-UIDL: 14861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z0076PVJD8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:09:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K496kQ019565 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:09:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861gG018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:02:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 569731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:02:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K420Cw007830 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:02:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K41xid007244 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:01:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K41xK6007243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:01:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:01:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200401.h0K41xK6007243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 200401 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 20 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 20/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N137W BEYOND 27N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 70-100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 32N135W 29N137W 25N140W. ..1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N125W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 5N86W 7N106W 4N121W 4N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 87W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 137W AND 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 31N119W. TROUGH FROM THIS CENTER TO 12N121W. OTHER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY... ISOLATED CELL OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-20 NM RADIUS 9N84W IN COSTA RICA COASTAL WATERS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 13:16:47 2003 X-UIDL: 14865-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z007GOYH78M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 13:12:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K5CakQ033018 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 13:12:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861i0018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 570160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K4x0Cw007766 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K4x0id007545 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K4x0ob007543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200459.h0K4x0ob007543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N4 152.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OF SAIPAN, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 18:40:56 2003 X-UIDL: 14888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H900071QB3W8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 17:45:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K9jPkQ098672 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 17:45:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861mq018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:37:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 572047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:37:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K9biCw006144 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:37:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K9bhid009393 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:37:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K9bh3K009392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:37:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:37:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200937.h0K9bh3K009392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 200937 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 20 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N134W AND EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 25N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 13N FROM 100W TO 140W WITH A 1025 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 27N125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N89W 6N110W 5N121W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 88W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM THE AXIS TO SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR EAST OF 84W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS LOCATED NEAR 7.5N107.5W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 18:40:57 2003 X-UIDL: 14889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H90007S5BJ98M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 17:54:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K9sdkQ000722 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 17:54:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861nE018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:50:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 572152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:50:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K9o6Cw006228 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:50:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K9o5id009478 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:50:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K9o55t009477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:50:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:50:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200950.h0K9o55t009477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 200949 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N154W 24N161W 18N180. NORTH OF 25N THE CLOUD BAND IS ABOUT 250 MILES WIDE AND CONSISTS OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTI LAYER CLOUDS. IT IS MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 45 KNOTS. SOUTH OF 25N THE CLOUD BAND IS ABOUT 100 MILES WIDE AND CONSISTS OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. IT HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 35 KNOTS. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 02N164W 02N180 MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... A LARGE AREA OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS IS BOUNDED BY 30N151W 30N145W 28N140W 22N140W 21N157W 16N164W 18N167W 28N159W 30N151W. THE BAND OF LOW LOW CLOUDS WITHIN THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN OLD SURFACE FRONT...WHILE THE BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. NORTH OF THE FRONTAL CLOUD BAND THERE ARE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED SMALL PATCHES OF LOW CLOUDS ARE MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST OVER JOHNSTON ISLAND AND VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...THE NORTHERN EDGE OF A RAGGED CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 25S140W 11S174W. THIS CLOUD BAND IS ABOUT 200 MILES WIDE...AND CONSIST OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS SOUTH OF 17S...AND BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS NORTH OF 17S. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 12S170W 15S166W 17S171W 13S176W 12S170W HAVE RECENTLY FORMED FROM MERGING CB FROM THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST. A FEW CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 15S166W 21S152W MOVED LITTLE...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED...DISORGANIZED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 09S158W 09S178W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:06 2003 X-UIDL: 14897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H90007GNSAS8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:56:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KFujkQ077159 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:56:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861wi018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 09:46:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 574583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 09:46:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KFkHCw026214 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 09:46:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KFkHid012251 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 09:46:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KFkH51012250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 09:46:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 09:46:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301201546.h0KFkH51012250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 201546 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 20 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS SW TO 27N137W. FRONT IS STATIONARY BEYOND 27N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE FRONT N OF 29N. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS WEDGED BETWEEN THE FRONT AND BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH A 1024 MB CENTER NEAR 27N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 6N107W 4N118W 4N125W 3N140W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 104W-118W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE NEAR 3N90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW SHOWERS ARE SW OF COSTA RICO WITHIN 120 NM OF 6N88W. BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14904-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H900076XZBB8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 02:28:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KISDkQ008244 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 02:28:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KDxfjK023334; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 576421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KIIjCw010560 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KIIiid013862 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KIIiNg013860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301201818.h0KIIiNg013860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.0S2 80.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A BROAD CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH CYCLIC DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW IN BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD DIRECTIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H900077DZBV8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 02:28:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KISckQ008313 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 02:28:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J8615S018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 576418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KIIjCw023096 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KIIiid013863 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KIIiJ2013861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:18:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301201818.h0KIIiJ2013861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.0S2 80.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A BROAD CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH CYCLIC DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW IN BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD DIRECTIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 14911-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H910070P8GS8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 05:46:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KLjvkQ044607 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 05:45:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnFE018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 15:37:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 578891 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 15:37:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KLbqCw042750 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 15:37:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KLbqid016507 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 15:37:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KLbqJr016506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 15:37:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 15:37:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301202137.h0KLbqJr016506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 202137 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N148W 24N153W 20N157W...HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 20 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N180 04N170W 07N160W 05N150W 04N162W EQ169W EQ180 08N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS... SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 09S177W 10S170W 14S162W 18S164W 12S179W 09S177W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANG IN INTENSITY. ALSO...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 16S162W 25S142W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF 07S163W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ALSO...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF THE EQUATOR AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY EQ172W 07S180 03S180 EQ178W EQ172W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 14912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H91007VP9KV8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 06:10:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KMA0kQ048116 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 06:10:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnGo018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:03:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 579199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:03:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KM3KCw005668 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:03:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KM3Jid016766 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:03:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KM3JtW016765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:03:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:03:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301202203.h0KM3JtW016765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 202203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 20 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N131W AND EXTENDS SW TO 29N134W 29N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE FRONT N OF 29N. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS WEDGED BETWEEN THE FRONT AND BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH A 1026 MB CENTER NEAR 27N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N79W 3N91W 1N99W 6N112W 4N119W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 86W AND 93W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:15 2003 X-UIDL: 14925-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9100HA9P539L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:46:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0L3k8kQ017383 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:46:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnVK018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 21:37:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 582702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 21:37:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0L3b5Cw033096 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 21:37:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0L3b5id019661 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 21:37:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0L3b5Ps019660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 21:37:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 21:37:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301210337.h0L3b5Ps019660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 210336 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 21 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WARM FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 31N140W AND EXTENDS SE TO 28N135W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE FRONT N OF 28N. ..1023 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N79W 7N110W 3N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 112W AND 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:17 2003 X-UIDL: 14930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9100HY3V4G9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 13:55:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0L5tMkQ046761 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 13:55:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKDh8W025336; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 583676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0L5gKCw017436 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0L5gJid020540 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0L5gJTN020538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301210542.h0L5gJTN020538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (YANYAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 156.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:23 2003 X-UIDL: 14943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9200HXP65Y9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 17:53:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0L9rpkQ002355 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 17:53:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNneu018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 03:45:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 585123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 03:45:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0L9jrCw013966 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 03:45:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0L9jqid022123 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 03:45:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0L9jq1H022122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 03:45:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 03:45:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301210945.h0L9jq1H022122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 210945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 21 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A WARM FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N137W AND EXTENDS SOUTHEAST TO 31N137W. ..A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE REGION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N FROM 100W TO 135W WITH A 1025 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 26N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N85W 7N96W 3N101W 8N112W 4N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 110W...WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 115W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 118W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 2.5N91.5W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:24 2003 X-UIDL: 14945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9200H0U6O19L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 18:04:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0LA4hkQ005186 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 18:04:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnew018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:00:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 585181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:00:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LA09Cw014014 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:00:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0LA09id022240 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:00:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0LA0901022239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:00:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:00:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301211000.h0LA0901022239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 210959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04N162W 04N149W. NEW ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N165W 05N175W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS EQUATOR BOUNDED BY 03N177W 03S175W 01S180 MOVED WEST 15 KT AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16S170W 25S136W. ELSEWHERE... OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 13S180 17S176W MOVED SOUTHWEST 20 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 04S160W 11S167W 04S170W MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:24 2003 X-UIDL: 14946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9200H6X7G09L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 18:21:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0LALTkQ008594 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 18:21:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnfA018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 585248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LAESCw042356 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0LAERid022313 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0LAERWD022311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301211014.h0LAERWD022311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 211000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/211000Z/211800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 80.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 81.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 570 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ASSOCIATED SPARSE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW IN THE POLEWARD DIRECTION WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 13.6S0 124.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF MID-LEVEL TURNING OVER A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION IS CYCLIC AND DISORGANIZED OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN 2.B.(2) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:24 2003 X-UIDL: 14947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9200HJU7OK9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 18:26:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0LAQckQ009497 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 18:26:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LACFDE025096; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 585251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LAESCw013854 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0LAERid022314 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0LAER5x022312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:14:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301211014.h0LAER5x022312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/211000Z/211800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 80.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 81.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 570 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ASSOCIATED SPARSE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW IN THE POLEWARD DIRECTION WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 13.6S0 124.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF MID-LEVEL TURNING OVER A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION IS CYCLIC AND DISORGANIZED OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN 2.B.(2) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:30 2003 X-UIDL: 14955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9200H48M3D9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 23:38:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0LFbskQ072308 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 23:37:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnpm018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 09:29:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 587714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 09:29:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LFT2Cw017648 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 09:29:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0LFT1id027154 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 09:29:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0LFT1oZ027153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 09:29:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 09:29:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301211529.h0LFT1oZ027153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 211528 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 21 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT JUST ENTERING THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 30N140W. A WELL-DEFINED CIRRUS SHIELD WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS LIES E OF THE FRONT NW OF A LINE FROM 24N140W-30N135W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS SWD FROM CALIFORNIA TO NEAR 15N120W WITH A 1023 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 27N120W. A SECONDARY RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS TO THE SW FROM 20N120W-14N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N79W 1N85W 7N116W 4N124W 6N135W 6N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE N OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 30NM OF A LINE FROM 94W-97W. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:32 2003 X-UIDL: 14960-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9200HJWS7Q9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 01:50:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0LHo7kQ001982 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 01:50:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LACFBI025096; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 590351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LHerCw039380 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0LHepid002461 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0LHenhK002458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301211740.h0LHenhK002458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 81.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 81.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 610 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS REVEAL A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ASSOCIATED WEAK DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM, WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASING TO MODERATE IN THE SOUTHEAST SECTOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.6S0 124.5E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 122.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 480 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE, ENHANCED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF MID- LEVEL TURNING OVER A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC AND DISORGANIZED OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 22.8S2 39.9E1, IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BEIRA, MOZAMBIQUE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SLOWLY DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH, WITH NEWLY-DEVELOPED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LLCC FOR THE PAST 3 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE IFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:32 2003 X-UIDL: 14961-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9200HKCS8C9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 01:50:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0LHoTkQ002103 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 01:50:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNn4I018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 590348 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LHerCw014022 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0LHepid002462 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0LHenxF002459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 11:40:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301211740.h0LHenxF002459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 81.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 81.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 610 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS REVEAL A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ASSOCIATED WEAK DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM, WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASING TO MODERATE IN THE SOUTHEAST SECTOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.6S0 124.5E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 122.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 480 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE, ENHANCED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF MID- LEVEL TURNING OVER A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC AND DISORGANIZED OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 22.8S2 39.9E1, IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BEIRA, MOZAMBIQUE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SLOWLY DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH, WITH NEWLY-DEVELOPED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LLCC FOR THE PAST 3 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE IFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:38 2003 X-UIDL: 14975-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9300HVM3YI9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 06:03:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0LM3kkQ053165 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 06:03:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LIr8XM018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 15:54:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 595283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 15:54:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LLs9Cw026388 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 15:54:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0LLs7id011818 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 15:54:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0LLs7VD011817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 15:54:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 15:54:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301212154.h0LLs7VD011817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 212153 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTHEAST OF OUR AREA...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 25N140W 20N145W...ARE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH AND WEST OF OUR AREA...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N176W 28N180...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 25 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 03N178W 07N160W 03N144W 01N150W 01N178W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE SECOND COLD FRONT ABOVE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13.0S 174.0W MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KT...HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...IN AREA BOUNDED BY 13S170W 17S170W 15S172E 08S172E 13S170W. SEE LATEST BULLETIN FROM NADI FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 17S165W 20S150W 25S137W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UNDER TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 03S163W 07S163W 07S169W 03S170W 03S163W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:39 2003 X-UIDL: 14977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9300H9Z5HR9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 06:37:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0LMaukQ058695 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 06:36:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LIr8aq018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 16:26:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 596011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 16:26:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LMQTCw041882 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 16:26:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0LMQRid012784 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 16:26:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0LMQRGm012783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 16:26:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 16:26:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301212226.h0LMQRGm012783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 212226 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 21 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 32N137W AND EXTENDS TO 27N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM E OF THE FRONT. ..1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 2730N120W.N120W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW TO 16N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 6N87W 6N97W 2N102W 7N110W 8N117W 4N125W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 122W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:43 2003 X-UIDL: 14997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9300MRWK25EG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 11:51:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0M3pYkQ029422 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 11:51:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LIr8w6018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 21:41:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 600694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 21:41:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0M3fECw005764 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 21:41:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0M3fCid017404 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 21:41:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0M3fCqp017403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 21:41:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 21:41:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301220341.h0M3fCqp017403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 220341 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 22 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 32N134W AND EXTENDS TO 23N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM E OF THE FRONT. ..1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 6N110W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 5.5N109.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:46 2003 X-UIDL: 15007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9300MPQR2SEG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 14:23:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0M6N8kQ064389 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 14:23:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LIr83e018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:13:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 602155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:12:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0M6CBCw042940 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:12:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0M6C9id018804 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:12:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0M6C9kU018802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:12:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:12:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301220612.h0M6C9kU018802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:48 2003 X-UIDL: 15013-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9400MRP0K1EG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 17:48:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0M9lrkQ012424 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 17:47:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LIr894018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 03:41:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 603779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 03:41:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0M9fWCw027458 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 03:41:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0M9fVid020664 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 03:41:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0M9fU81020663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 03:41:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 03:41:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301220941.h0M9fU81020663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 220941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 22 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N134W AND EXTENDS BEYOND 23N140W. ..A 1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N94W 4N107W 7N115W 7N125W 4N131W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 136W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:51 2003 X-UIDL: 15016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9400MCH1CREG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 18:05:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0MA58kQ017212 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 18:05:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LIr89I018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 04:00:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 603926 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 04:00:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MA09Cw042276 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 04:00:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0MA07id020852 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 04:00:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0MA07K9020851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 04:00:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 04:00:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301221000.h0MA07K9020851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 220959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N163W 01N180 06N178W MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N143W 03N147W MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 25N179W MOVED EAST 25 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 02S171W 11S167W 15S173W 04S180 MOVED SOUTHWEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 18S162W 19S180 MOVED SOUTH 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 17S162W 22S145W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:55 2003 X-UIDL: 15026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9400M31GX8EG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:41:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0MFfOkQ083561 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:41:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MCUnQw018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 09:32:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 607322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 09:32:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MFW1Cw027528 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 09:32:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0MFVxid026102 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 09:31:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0MFVxEQ026101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 09:31:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 09:31:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301221531.h0MFVxEQ026101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 221531 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 22 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS SW THROUGH 25N135W TO BEYOND 21N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 175 NM AHEAD OF FRONT. ..A 1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 29N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N100W 5N120W 7N128W 4N132W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 97W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 128W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:58 2003 X-UIDL: 15037-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9400M6UNZVEG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 02:14:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0MIE8kQ015733 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 02:14:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MCfe7W017358; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:05:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 610463 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MI4kCw024898 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0MI4hid002359 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0MI4hIg002357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301221804.h0MI4hIg002357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 221800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 80.9E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 80.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 525 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. A 220639Z2 TRMM PASS DEPICTS A WELL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 122.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 118.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.8S2 39.9E1, IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, IS NOW OVER LAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS WEAK AND BECOMING DISORGANIZED. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:58 2003 X-UIDL: 15038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9400M9FO1TEG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 02:15:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0MIFMkQ015974 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 02:15:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MCUngg018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 610460 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MI4kCw016086 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0MI4hid002360 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0MI4hfA002358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 12:04:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301221804.h0MI4hfA002358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 80.9E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 80.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 525 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. A 220639Z2 TRMM PASS DEPICTS A WELL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 122.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 118.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.8S2 39.9E1, IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, IS NOW OVER LAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS WEAK AND BECOMING DISORGANIZED. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:39:02 2003 X-UIDL: 15051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9400MOGYCFEG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 05:57:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0MLvikQ062236 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 05:57:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MCUn40018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 15:48:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 614444 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 15:48:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MLmICw042440 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 15:48:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0MLmGid010487 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 15:48:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0MLmGM3010486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 15:48:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 15:48:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301222148.h0MLmGM3010486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 222148 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 22 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N130W AND EXTENDS SW TO 26N133W TO BEYOND 23N140W. ..A 1028 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N79W 4N99W 2N105W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:39:03 2003 X-UIDL: 15052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9400MANYWDEG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:09:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0MM9hkQ064807 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:09:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MCUn5S018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 16:01:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 614802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 16:01:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MM1PCw042256 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 16:01:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0MM1Oid011015 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 16:01:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0MM1KHF011013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 16:01:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 16:01:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301222201.h0MM1KHF011013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 222201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE EQUATOR AND DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 07N174W 02N174W 03N179W 01N177W 03S179W 04S177E 03N173E 06N180 HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N169W 05N157W 03N164W 03N169W 02N172W 07N173W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N154W 04N153W 02N150W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N143W 05N140W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N157W 30N142W 25N169W 23N168W 22N175W 27N173W 29N167W 28N159W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 30 TO 40 KT NORTH OF 27N AND MOVING EAST AT 15 TO 20 KT SOUTH OF 27N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (1)...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE EQUATOR AND DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 07N174W 02N174W 03N179W 01N177W 03S179W 04S177E 03N173E 06N180 HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (2)...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 03S171W 08S169W 11S175E 07S173E 03S175E HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 13S167W 15S162W 20S166W 19S180 17S174E 12S174E 13S174W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 15S155W 17S148W 21S145W 22S137W 25S138W 25S147W 19S157W 18S161W 17S161W HAVE MOVED NORTH AND EAST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (2)...SECOND SENTENCE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 03S157W 04S158W 04S160W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 11:55:52 2003 X-UIDL: 15067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500L0IENZX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 11:50:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N3oGkQ042820 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 11:50:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJRi018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 21:40:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 619371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 21:40:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N3ePCw010564 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 21:40:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N3eNid016372 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 21:40:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N3eN4B016371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 21:40:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 21:40:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230340.h0N3eN4B016371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 230340 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 23 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N105W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 5.3N100.6W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 5N127W TO 7.8N132.4W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 14:05:46 2003 X-UIDL: 15076-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500LW9KQ1X9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:01:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N616kQ073252 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:01:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N3fFOQ025102; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 620465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N5l2Cw012970 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N5l0id017533 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N5l0YB017531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230547.h0N5l0YB017531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 15:25:43 2003 X-UIDL: 15085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500L2SO7DX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 15:16:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N7GEkQ094455 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 15:16:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJZM018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:05:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 621406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:05:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N75MCw037930 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:05:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N75Lid018258 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:05:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N75Kp3018257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:05:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:05:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230705.h0N75Kp3018257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 230600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 09 1006 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S/76.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 40 NM TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT NEAR THE CENTRE, BUT REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT FROM 120 NM TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 23/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 13.5 SOUTH/74.1 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.3 SOUTH/72.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS PERSIST DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE PRESENCE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE POSITION OF THE CENTRE IS INFAIR, A NEW CENTRE IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP NEAR 14.2S/76E.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 15:25:43 2003 X-UIDL: 15086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500L36O7GX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 15:16:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N7GLkQ094539 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 15:16:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJZW018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:08:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 621418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:08:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N78UCw037988 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:08:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N78Rid018278 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:08:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N78RqB018277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:08:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:08:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230708.h0N78RqB018277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 230600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 1/9/20022003 1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 23/01/2003 : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S/76.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 PLUS /D /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1006 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 13.5S / 74.1E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 14.3S / 72.3E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 16.8S / 69.3E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CIRCULATION IS NOT WELL RESOLVED BY QUIKSCAT (THROUGHINF EFFECT), A SECOND CENTRE SEEMS TO DEVELOP UNDER THE CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 15:25:44 2003 X-UIDL: 15087-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500L3CO7JX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 15:16:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N7GPkQ094542 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 15:16:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N3fFXq025102; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:06:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 621409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:06:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N76OCw037950 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:06:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N76Mid018265 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:06:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N76MpP018264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:06:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:06:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230706.h0N76MpP018264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 230600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 09 1006 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S/76.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 40 NM TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT NEAR THE CENTRE, BUT REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT FROM 120 NM TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 23/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 13.5 SOUTH/74.1 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.3 SOUTH/72.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS PERSIST DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE PRESENCE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE POSITION OF THE CENTRE IS INFAIR, A NEW CENTRE IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP NEAR 14.2S/76E.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 15:55:43 2003 X-UIDL: 15089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500LXVPL6X9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 15:46:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N7k7kQ003257 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 15:46:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJaq018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 621701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N7e9Cw038638 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N7e7id018553 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N7e6Ld018550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230740.h0N7e6Ld018550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 230700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/230700Z/231800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 80.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 76.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS INCREASING AND THE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 116.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 385 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 19 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(2) TO FAIR AND UPDATED PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 15:55:43 2003 X-UIDL: 15091-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500L3XPN4X9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 15:47:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N7lMkQ003609 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 15:47:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N3fFac025102; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 621704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N7e8Cw015806 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N7e7id018552 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N7e64R018551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 01:40:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230740.h0N7e64R018551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 230700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/230700Z/231800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 80.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 76.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS INCREASING AND THE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 116.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 385 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 19 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(2) TO FAIR AND UPDATED PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 17:56:31 2003 X-UIDL: 15096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500LF6V5LX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 17:46:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N9kIkQ037295 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 17:46:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJbK018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:36:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 622155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:36:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N9aCCw038632 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:36:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N9aAid019486 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:36:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N9aAbk019485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:36:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:36:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230936.h0N9aAbk019485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 230936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 23 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N101W 4N116W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 102W AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 108W AND WITHIN 75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 3.5N97W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 17:56:31 2003 X-UIDL: 15098-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500L0EVHKX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 17:53:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N9rakQ038965 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 17:53:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJbS018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:49:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 622229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:49:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N9ngCw007946 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:49:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N9nfid019578 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:49:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N9nf5i019577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:49:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 03:49:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230949.h0N9nf5i019577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 230949 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10N173E 06N152E EQ178W 01N174E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 26N167W MOVED EAST AT 35 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NONE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SPCZ...AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY EQ177W 15S173W 21S179W 17S175E 03S166W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 14S150W 25S127W 28S128W 31S138W 19S153W 26S174W 14S165W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SPCZ DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 22:08:56 2003 X-UIDL: 15107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600L6L3CDX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 20:43:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NChIkQ073323 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 20:43:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJds018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 623022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NCW5Cw007374 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NCW4id020710 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NCW3NL020708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231232.h0NCW3NL020708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 231200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 002/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.7S/74.9E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT NEAR THE CENTRE WITH MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, BUT REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITHIN 180 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/73.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.8 SOUTH/71.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS ARE DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE PRESENCE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE CENTRE IS NOW CLEARLY PRESENT UNDER THE CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 22:08:57 2003 X-UIDL: 15108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600LFI3LNX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 20:48:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NCmpkQ074447 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 20:48:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NADDKK008144; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 623025 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NCW5Cw016242 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NCW3id020709 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NCW3Gc020706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 06:32:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231232.h0NCW3Gc020706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 231200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 002/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.7S/74.9E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT NEAR THE CENTRE WITH MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, BUT REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITHIN 180 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/73.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.8 SOUTH/71.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS ARE DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE PRESENCE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE CENTRE IS NOW CLEARLY PRESENT UNDER THE CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 22:29:27 2003 X-UIDL: 15114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600L1G88DX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 22:29:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NESrkQ095018 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 22:28:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NEJrD2010536; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 624131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NEKICw012944 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NEKGid022350 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NEKGIl022348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231420.h0NEKGIl022348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 231330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/231330Z/231800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231221ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 76.8E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 75.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS INCREASING AND THE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. REFER TO REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 231230) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. DUE TO THE IMPROVING CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 116.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 385 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 19 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 22:29:28 2003 X-UIDL: 15115-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600L2L88VX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 22:29:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NETDkQ095090 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 22:29:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJje018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:22:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 624134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NEKICw008156 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NEKGid022351 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NEKGjJ022349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:20:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231420.h0NEKGjJ022349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/231330Z/231800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231221ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 76.8E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 75.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS INCREASING AND THE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. REFER TO REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 231230) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. DUE TO THE IMPROVING CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 116.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 385 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 19 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 22:35:57 2003 X-UIDL: 15116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600L2P893X9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 22:29:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NETMkQ095117 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 22:29:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJja018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:18:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 624120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:18:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NEIpCw026514 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:18:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NEInid022304 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:18:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NEInd0022303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:18:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:18:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231418.h0NEInd0022303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS21 PGTW 231230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 231221ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.1S6 75.9E1 TO 15.9S5 68.7E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 231200Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 75.4E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS INCREASING AND THE LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVING CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 241230Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:55:47 2003 X-UIDL: 15124-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600LBNBPGX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 23:44:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NFhvkQ013126 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 23:43:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJn0018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 09:36:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 625045 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 09:36:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NFa0Cw012966 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 09:36:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NFZwid025100 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 09:35:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NFZwYx025099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 09:35:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 09:35:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231535.h0NFZwYx025099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 231535 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 23 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES W OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N123W 24N140W. ..NARROW AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR MANZANILLO NWD OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N100W 4N120W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 98W-108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:55:49 2003 X-UIDL: 15131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600L0ZIQTX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:16:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NIFwkQ049514 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:16:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NEJruc010536; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 628458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NI7kCw036404 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NI7iid000952 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NI7iaE000951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231807.h0NI7iaE000951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231221ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 75.4E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6S1 75.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 455 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE SYSTEM NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. REFER TO REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 231230) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 116.3E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 117.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTHEAST OF LEARMOUTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION, INCREASING NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 19 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:55:49 2003 X-UIDL: 15132-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600LBDIY4X9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:20:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NIKMkQ050504 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:20:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJBu018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 628455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NI7kCw011240 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NI7iid000953 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NI7iS6000950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:07:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231807.h0NI7iS6000950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231221ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 75.4E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6S1 75.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 455 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE SYSTEM NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. REFER TO REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 231230) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 116.3E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 117.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTHEAST OF LEARMOUTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION, INCREASING NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 19 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:55:49 2003 X-UIDL: 15133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600LOZJBAX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:28:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NISGkQ052053 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:28:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJCM018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:16:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 628605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:16:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NIGFCw037902 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:16:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NIGEid001230 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:16:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NIGD8o001229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:16:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:16:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231816.h0NIGD8o001229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 231800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.0S/74.3E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP AND REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITHIN 180 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 15.4 SOUTH/72.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/70.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS ARE DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:55:50 2003 X-UIDL: 15134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600LP3JBDX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:28:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NISIkQ052059 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:28:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJCO018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:17:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 628619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:17:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NIHGCw027602 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:17:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NIHFid001261 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:17:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NIHFbw001260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:17:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:17:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231817.h0NIHFbw001260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 231800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 23/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 23/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.0S/74.3E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP AND REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITHIN 180 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 15.4 SOUTH/72.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/70.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS ARE DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:55:50 2003 X-UIDL: 15135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600LTRJFLX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:30:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NIUpkQ052542 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:30:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJCe018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:19:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 628653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:19:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NIJKCw027730 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:19:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NIJIid001358 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:19:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NIJIqj001356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:19:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 12:19:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231819.h0NIJIqj001356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 231800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 23/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.0S/74.3E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 50 KM SE30: 350 KM SW30: 300 KM NW30: 60 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 15.4S / 72.5E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 16.2S / 70.5E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 17.4S / 68.2E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN IRREGULAR CDO BUT REMAIN FLUCTUATING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:55:59 2003 X-UIDL: 15148-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600LDFPSZX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 04:48:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NKmSkQ086354 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 04:48:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtRs018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:36:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 631530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:36:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NKacCw019480 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:36:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NKabid006459 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:36:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NKaa0M006458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:36:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:36:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301232036.h0NKaa0M006458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 232100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231221Z JAN 02// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 14.8S3 74.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8S3 74.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 15.6S2 72.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.6S3 69.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.9S7 67.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.7S7 65.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.0S6 73.7E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS AND A SHIP REPORT OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED OUTFLOW CONDITIONS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 11S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ENHANCE OUTFLOW FURTHER, INTENSIFYING THE SYSTEM THROUGH 36 HOURS. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SHOULD CREATE SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 06 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 231221Z JAN 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 231230) NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 AND 242100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:56:00 2003 X-UIDL: 15150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600L4STLZX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:10:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NMAekQ001620 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:10:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtZ4018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:01:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 632916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:01:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NM1BCw033224 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:01:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NM19id009563 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:01:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NM19Wf009562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:01:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:01:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301232201.h0NM19Wf009562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 232200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08N173W 06N169W 02N169W 01N175W 02N178E 07N177E HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07N161W 07N153W 05N145W 04N146W 04N162W 02N162W 03N168W 07N168W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N151W 26N156W 20N170W 18N175W. FEATURE MOVING EAST NEAR 20 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 02S178E 03S176W 09S177W 07S169W 12S169W 21S168W 17S178W 19S175E 12S177E 07S179E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 12S153W 19S139W 25S139W 25S147W 22S151W 18S151W 16S162W 13S159W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 12 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:56:00 2003 X-UIDL: 15151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600L77TN6X9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:11:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NMBNkQ001826 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:11:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtZE018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 632996 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NM5UCw019558 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NM5Sid009678 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NM5RCK009677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301232205.h0NM5RCK009677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 232201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08N173W 06N169W 02N169W 01N175W 02N178E 07N177E HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07N161W 07N153W 05N145W 04N146W 04N162W 02N162W 03N168W 07N168W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N151W 26N156W 20N170W 18N175W. FEATURE MOVING EAST NEAR 20 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 02S178E 03S176W 09S177W 07S169W 12S169W 21S168W 17S178W 19S175E 12S177E 07S179E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 12S153W 19S139W 25S139W 25S147W 22S151W 18S151W 16S162W 13S159W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 12 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:56:01 2003 X-UIDL: 15153-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600LAWTQWX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:13:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NMDckQ002218 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:13:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NJ81jS010536; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 632999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NM5UCw037986 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NM5Sid009681 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NM5SHj009680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:05:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301232205.h0NM5SHj009680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 232205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 23 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N127W. ..1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO AT 20N103W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 3N100W 4N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 104W AND 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:56:01 2003 X-UIDL: 15154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600ELVZHT7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:17:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O0HgkQ024247 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:17:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NJ816G010536; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:12:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O0AECw026258 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O0ACid012269 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O0ACcK012268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240010.h0O0ACcK012268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 240000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 24/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 997 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S/73.7E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP AND REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITHIN 180 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.5 SOUTH/72.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 25/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.0 SOUTH/71.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS ARE DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:56:01 2003 X-UIDL: 15155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600EOIZLE7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:20:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O0JukQ024515 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:19:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtgS018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O0AACw026252 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O0A8id012263 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O0A83H012262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:10:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240010.h0O0A83H012262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 240000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 24/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 997 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S/73.7E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP AND REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT WITHIN 180 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.5 SOUTH/72.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 25/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.0 SOUTH/71.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS ARE DUE TO THE ISOBARIC GRADIENT GENERATED BY THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:56:02 2003 X-UIDL: 15158-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700EY20N27J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:42:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O0gVkQ028632 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:42:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtha018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635931 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O0ZbCw017336 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O0ZZid012594 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O0ZZv8012592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subp.significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240035.h0O0ZZv8012592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 231330 M GID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBP.SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/231330Z/231800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL ARBOR HI/231221ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. +/945# 8,$8-, 9:3-, -43- (MWL Y PENINSUL W*ST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROI KNE DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH IC KAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO MOAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUHOARY: (1) THE AREA OF CTNVECTION PREV TUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1#.3S8 76.8*8 S NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 75.4E+, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS INCREASING AND THE LOW-LEVEL * ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. *** 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWSMT E SYSTEM NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RI GE AXIS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK VAND THE POLEWARD UTFLOW HAS NCREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. MINIMUM*SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. REFER TO REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 231230) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. DUE TO THE IMPROVING CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYNLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD.V .#0(2) THE AREA OF CONCECTION PREVITUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 116.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 385 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIO TED MCLTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS *CGACATES THE AREA IS EQUATORWARZ OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEA . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED RURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 19 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATE99 ?3 790# MB. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT CKONBKH 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 29B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/HEATH.EDBERG//WI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:56:02 2003 X-UIDL: 15159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700EYL0N97J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:42:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O0gdkQ028669 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:42:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NJ8198010536; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O0ZbCw013148 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O0ZZid012595 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O0ZZPI012593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 18:35:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subp.significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240035.h0O0ZZPI012593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231330 M GID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBP.SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/231330Z/231800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL ARBOR HI/231221ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. +/945# 8,$8-, 9:3-, -43- (MWL Y PENINSUL W*ST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROI KNE DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH IC KAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO MOAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUHOARY: (1) THE AREA OF CTNVECTION PREV TUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1#.3S8 76.8*8 S NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 75.4E+, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS INCREASING AND THE LOW-LEVEL * ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. *** 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWSMT E SYSTEM NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RI GE AXIS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK VAND THE POLEWARD UTFLOW HAS NCREASED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. MINIMUM*SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. REFER TO REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 231230) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. DUE TO THE IMPROVING CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYNLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD.V .#0(2) THE AREA OF CONCECTION PREVITUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 116.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 385 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIO TED MCLTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS *CGACATES THE AREA IS EQUATORWARZ OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEA . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED RURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 19 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATE99 ?3 790# MB. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT CKONBKH 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 29B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/HEATH.EDBERG//WI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 11:36:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700ESH8987J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 11:27:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O3R2kQ070904 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 11:27:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtmI018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 21:24:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 637879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 21:24:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O3OUCw040424 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 21:24:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O3OSid014574 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 21:24:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O3OSp4014573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 21:24:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 21:24:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240324.h0O3OSp4014573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 240324 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 24 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N127W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 15N AND W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 3N100W 4N120W 5N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 14:36:30 2003 X-UIDL: 15179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700ETJGLO7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:27:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O6RHkQ016437 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:27:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O6ClI8030986; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:22:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 639611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:19:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O6JrCw012970 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:19:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O6Jqid016510 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:19:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O6JqWY016509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:19:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:19:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240619.h0O6JqWY016509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 240600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 24/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S/72.2E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: 220 KM SW30: 220 KM NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.7S / 69.5E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 17.7S / 67.9E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 20.0S / 65.0E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=2.0-, CI=2.0+. CONVECTION HAS BECOME COMPLETELY DISORGANIZED OVER THE LAST HOURS, AND IS FLUCTUATING. CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 14:36:30 2003 X-UIDL: 15180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700ETLGLO7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:27:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O6RJkQ016450 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:27:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O6ClI0030986; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 639600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O6IvCw012954 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O6Inid016491 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O6IntM016490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240618.h0O6IntM016490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 240600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 24/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S/72.2E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 13S AND 17S, FROM 67E TO 77E. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT UP TO 120 MN FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.7 SOUTH/69.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 25/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 17.7 SOUTH/67.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS EXIST IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES LOCATED IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. CONVECTION HAS DISORGANIZED, AND CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 14:36:30 2003 X-UIDL: 15181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700ETYGLQ7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:27:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O6RIkQ016447 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:27:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtrq018190; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 639597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O6IqCw012952 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O6Ioid016496 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O6IoYo016495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240618.h0O6IoYo016495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 240600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 24/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S/72.2E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 13S AND 17S, FROM 67E TO 77E. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT UP TO 120 MN FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 24/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.7 SOUTH/69.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 25/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 17.7 SOUTH/67.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS EXIST IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES LOCATED IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. CONVECTION HAS DISORGANIZED, AND CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 18:00:19 2003 X-UIDL: 15193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700ECIQ1Q7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 17:51:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O9pIkQ068923 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 17:51:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtvm018190; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:44:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 640906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:44:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O9isCw033084 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:44:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O9iqid018299 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:44:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O9iquc018298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:44:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:44:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240944.h0O9iquc018298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 240944 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 24 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 110W WITH A 1024 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 30N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N85W 4N96W 7N108W 5N112W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 98W AND WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 18:00:19 2003 X-UIDL: 15194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700EZHQDV7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 17:58:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O9wXkQ070730 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 17:58:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtvq018190; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:55:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 640980 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:55:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O9tQCw038494 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O9tOid018361 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:55:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O9tOcd018360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:55:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 03:55:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240955.h0O9tOcd018360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 240955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/SURFACE FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 31N147W 24N157W 20N164W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 05N157W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N169W 06N171W 04N171W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 05N176W 04N180 WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WEST OF DATELINE NEAR 10S179E HAD ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S180 11S179W 12S174E 07S177E THAT MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH AND FRONT...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S157W 16S150W 17S147W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITH 120 NM OF LINE 16S147W 22S146W MOVED EAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 24S144W 26S140W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SECOND WEAK SURFACE LOW AND A SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITH 30 NM OF LINE 15S178W 18S176W MOVED SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13S162W 13S166W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S178W 07S173W 12S174W 08S179W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 20:12:10 2003 X-UIDL: 15197-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700EHGWH67J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 20:10:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OCABkQ098236 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 20:10:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O6ClbK030986; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 641538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OC4XCw039352 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OC4Wid019372 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OC4W4L019371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301241204.h0OC4W4L019371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 241200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 24/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 09 MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 12S AND 18S, FROM 66E TO 79E. WINDS 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT BETWEEN 16S AND 18S DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 25/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: FORECASTED POSITION 25/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : THS SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING, AND DOES NOT PRESENT ANY WELL DEFINED CENTRE. ITS INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS, BUT THE SYSTEM REMAINS CLOSELY MONITORED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 20:22:02 2003 X-UIDL: 15199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700EM4WLE7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 20:12:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OCChkQ098640 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 20:12:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtx8018190; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 641535 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OC4WCw035578 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OC4Vid019367 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OC4VBV019366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 06:04:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301241204.h0OC4VBV019366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 241200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 24/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 09 MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 12S AND 18S, FROM 66E TO 79E. WINDS 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT BETWEEN 16S AND 18S DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 25/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: FORECASTED POSITION 25/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : THS SYSTEM KEEPS ON WEAKENING, AND DOES NOT PRESENT ANY WELL DEFINED CENTRE. ITS INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS, BUT THE SYSTEM REMAINS CLOSELY MONITORED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:03 2003 X-UIDL: 15213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800EWQ7Y07J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 00:18:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OGHrkQ047387 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 00:17:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OFSkJ6018190; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:08:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 644783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:08:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OG8fCw034478 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:08:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OG8did025331 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:08:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OG8bm6025327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:08:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:08:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301241608.h0OG8bm6025327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 241608 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 24 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 24/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 6N85W 4N98W 6N106W 5N114W 6N124W 4N135W 4N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 126W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:04 2003 X-UIDL: 15214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800EZK81I7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 00:20:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OGJtkQ047687 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 00:19:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O6Cl6k030986; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:11:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 644814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:11:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OGBVCw005678 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:11:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OGBQid025440 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:11:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OGBQSP025439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:11:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:11:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...cor... Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301241611.h0OGBQSP025439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 241611 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR... TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 24 JAN 2003 ..CORRECTION TO 1022 MB HIGH CENTER POSITION... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 24/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 6N85W 4N98W 6N106W 5N114W 6N124W 4N135W 4N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 126W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:14 2003 X-UIDL: 15219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800E3HD9D7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 02:12:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OICbkQ071190 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 02:12:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OFSkZ6018190; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:05:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 646738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:05:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OI51Cw007368 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:05:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OI4xid029626 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:04:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OI4w3p029624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:04:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:04:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301241804.h0OI4w3p029624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240751ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9S5 71.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 240900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 116.4E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.8S8 116.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS REVEAL THAT THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NOW CLOSE TO LAND (APPROXIMATELY 60 NM), WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER LAND SOUTH OF THE LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 995 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.1S6 68.5E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 68.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED, AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:15 2003 X-UIDL: 15220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800E3ID9D7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 02:12:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OICgkQ071220 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 02:12:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OFSkZC018190; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:05:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 646741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:05:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OI51Cw036400 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:05:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OI4xid029625 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:04:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OI4wGm029623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:04:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:04:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301241804.h0OI4wGm029623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240751ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9S5 71.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 240900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 116.4E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.8S8 116.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS REVEAL THAT THE ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NOW CLOSE TO LAND (APPROXIMATELY 60 NM), WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER LAND SOUTH OF THE LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 995 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.1S6 68.5E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 68.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED, AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:19 2003 X-UIDL: 15226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800EOPG0Y7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 03:12:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OJCOkQ084561 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 03:12:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OFSkeI018190; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 647634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OIwDCw021660 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OIwBid001272 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OIwBwE001270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301241858.h0OIwBwE001270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 241900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/241900Z/250600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A BROAD CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 13.0S4 162.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING ORGANIZATION AND DEEP CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) AND QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE THAT THE BROAD CIRCULATION IS CONSOLIDATING. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT, WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) AS FAIR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:25 2003 X-UIDL: 15234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800EPNO3Y7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 06:07:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OM73kQ020793 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 06:07:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSaL2018204; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 15:57:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 649925 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 15:57:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OLv2Cw032178 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 15:57:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OLuxid006912 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 15:56:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OLuwKL006911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 15:56:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 15:56:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301242156.h0OLuwKL006911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 242156 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 24 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 30N127W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N85W 3N96W 8N110W 5N125W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 5N102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:26 2003 X-UIDL: 15235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800EZZOJS7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 06:16:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OMGYkQ022074 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 06:16:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSaMO018204; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:11:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 650111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:11:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OMB4Cw038076 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:11:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OMB3id007245 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:11:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OMB3CF007244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:11:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:11:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301242211.h0OMB3CF007244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 242210 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH/COLD FRONT...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 26N155E 22N160E. TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB CROSS THE EQUATOR...AND EXTEND ACROSS THE DATELINE AND ARE BOUND BY 06N173E 07N179W 04S173E. ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N156W 05N164W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT/TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTEND ACROSS THE DATELINE...AND ARE BOUND BY 12S170E 09S177E 14S178W. THIS AREA MOVED SOUTH 8KT AND INTENSIFIED. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 05S158E 10S169E. COLD FRONT...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 13S161W 13S151W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S176W 12S171W 15S172W 14S176W. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 07S177W. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:26 2003 X-UIDL: 15236-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800EICP3V7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 06:28:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OMSakQ024105 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 06:28:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSaMW018204; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:15:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 650160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:15:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OMFXCw011552 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:15:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OMFVid007324 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:15:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OMFVJO007323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:15:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:15:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 242051zjan03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301242215.h0OMFVJO007323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS21 PGTW 242100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 242051ZJAN03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 12.6S9 162.0E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 241730Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 162.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING ORGANIZATION AND DEEP CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) AND QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE THAT THE BROAD CIRCULATION IS CONSOLIDATING. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT, WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 252100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:27 2003 X-UIDL: 15238-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800GXIUYQIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 08:35:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0P0Z7kQ046334 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 08:35:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSai8011248; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 651968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P0OgCw036476 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0P0Ofid008996 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0P0OfpU008993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301250024.h0P0OfpU008993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 250000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 25/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S/67.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 11S AND 19S, FROM 62E TO 72E. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT BETWEEN 15S AND 17S DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 25/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: FORECASTED POSITION 26/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : A NEW CENTRE HAS DEVELOP ON THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE AERA, NEAR 11.5S AND 67E. ITS INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS, BUT THE SYSTEM REMAINS CLOSELY MONITORED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:27 2003 X-UIDL: 15239-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800GZVV1FIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 08:36:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0P0aikQ046596 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 08:36:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSaXA018204; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 651965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P0OgCw026466 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0P0Oeid008991 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0P0OeUJ008990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 18:24:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301250024.h0P0OeUJ008990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 250000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 25/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1004 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S/67.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 11S AND 19S, FROM 62E TO 72E. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT BETWEEN 15S AND 17S DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 25/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: FORECASTED POSITION 26/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : A NEW CENTRE HAS DEVELOP ON THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE AERA, NEAR 11.5S AND 67E. ITS INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS, BUT THE SYSTEM REMAINS CLOSELY MONITORED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:31 2003 X-UIDL: 15244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9900GZB3LWIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 11:41:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0P3fnkQ080707 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 11:41:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSad4018204; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 21:33:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 653834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 21:33:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P3XXCw007194 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 21:33:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0P3XWid010453 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 21:33:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0P3XWDs010452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 21:33:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 21:33:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301250333.h0P3XWDs010452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 250333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 25 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 32N129W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 4N100W 8N112W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 114W-117W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-104W...AND BETWEEN 106W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:16 2003 X-UIDL: 15259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00GH91GDIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 23:53:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PFqtkQ013543 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 23:52:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSato018204; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 09:33:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 657097 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 09:33:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PFXVCw028536 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 09:33:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PFXTid013819 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 09:33:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PFXTFe013818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 09:33:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 09:33:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301251533.h0PFXTFe013818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 251532 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 25 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE FROM 1026 MB CENTER NEAR 33N126W COVERS THE AREA N OF 10N W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. EARLIER SURFACE TROUGH HAS DISSIPATED ACCORDING TO SHIP OBSERVATIONS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N80W 4N101W 8N114W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 110W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 135W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:17 2003 X-UIDL: 15263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00G6F87KIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:18:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PIInkQ036143 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:18:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P9H5eg028372; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:11:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 658422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:10:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PIA2Cw011180 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:10:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PIA0id015100 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:10:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PIA0qY015098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:10:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:10:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301251810.h0PIA0qY015098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 251800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 25/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1001 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.4S/62.5E (TWELVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 26/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 13.0 SOUTH/60.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 26/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 13.5 SOUTH/59.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOW LEVEL CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE. THE LOW SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARD ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:18 2003 X-UIDL: 15265-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00G9C8BSIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:21:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PILMkQ036467 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:21:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P9H5em028372; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:12:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 658430 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:11:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PIB9Cw042722 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:11:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PIB8id015115 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:11:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PIB8Z1015114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:11:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:11:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301251811.h0PIB8Z1015114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 251800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 5/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 25/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.4S/62.5E (TWELVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 13.0S / 60.8E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 13.5S / 59.0E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 15.0S / 55.5E FI=2.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.0-. CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY REBUILT OVER THE ESTIMATED CENTRE DURING THE LAST HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:18 2003 X-UIDL: 15266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00GMY8RQIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:31:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PIUtkQ037951 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:30:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P9H5ei028372; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:12:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 658419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:10:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PIA2Cw044106 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:10:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PIA1id015101 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:10:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PIA0VE015099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:10:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 12:10:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301251810.h0PIA0VE015099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 251800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 25/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1001 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.4S/62.5E (TWELVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 26/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 13.0 SOUTH/60.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 26/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 13.5 SOUTH/59.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOW LEVEL CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE. THE LOW SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARD ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:22 2003 X-UIDL: 15272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00G3SBL3IA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:31:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PJVikQ045919 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:31:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P9H5lK028372; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:26:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 659023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:26:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PJPxCw015750 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:25:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PJPvid015819 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:25:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PJPvIZ015816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:25:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:25:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301251925.h0PJPvIZ015816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.8S8 116.6E4 HAS TRACKED OVER LAND NEAR PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY INLAND AND DISSIPATE. THEREFORE, THE SUSPECT AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S HAS PERSISTED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 63.5E4, APPROXIMATELY 765 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEYCHELLES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS REGAINED SOME OF ITS INTENSITY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS AN ELONGATED TROUGH WITH TWO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS SEPARATED BY 3 DEGREES. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES A COL AREA IN THE UPPER LEVELS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:23 2003 X-UIDL: 15274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00G7MBUGIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:37:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PJbJkQ046689 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:37:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P9H5lG028372; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:26:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 659020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:26:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PJPxCw016390 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:25:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PJPvid015818 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:25:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PJPvfJ015817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:25:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:25:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301251925.h0PJPvfJ015817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.8S8 116.6E4 HAS TRACKED OVER LAND NEAR PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY INLAND AND DISSIPATE. THEREFORE, THE SUSPECT AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S HAS PERSISTED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 63.5E4, APPROXIMATELY 765 NM SOUTHEAST OF SEYCHELLES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS REGAINED SOME OF ITS INTENSITY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS AN ELONGATED TROUGH WITH TWO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS SEPARATED BY 3 DEGREES. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES A COL AREA IN THE UPPER LEVELS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:23 2003 X-UIDL: 15275-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00G85BVLIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:38:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PJc3kQ046801 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:38:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSa4k018204; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 658996 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PJNJCw029214 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PJNHid015791 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PJNHvp015788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301251923.h0PJNHvp015788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 251900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/251900Z/260600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251351ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) (1) AT 251200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3S7 160.7E4, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5S1 173.1E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 175.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:25 2003 X-UIDL: 15282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00GHSI51IA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 05:53:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PLrIkQ063555 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 05:53:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P9H5xi028372; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:44:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 660407 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:43:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PLhQCw027650 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:43:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PLhOid017009 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:43:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PLhOO6017008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:43:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:43:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301252143.h0PLhOO6017008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 252143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 25 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION W OF 115W WITH RIDGE AXIS ENTERING AREA NEAR 30N128W AND EXTENDING SW TO BEYOND 24N140W. ..TROUGH ALONG 114W/115W BETWEEN 5N-15N. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 109W-114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 109W-114W. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH 33N140W 27N145W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM AHEAD OF FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 5N100W 7N113W 6N125W 6N135W 4N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:26 2003 X-UIDL: 15283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00GR6IOIIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:05:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PM4xkQ065029 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:05:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSaCU018204; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:54:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 660552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:54:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PLsNCw033088 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:54:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PLsLid017084 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:54:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PLsLnH017083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:54:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 15:54:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301252154.h0PLsLnH017083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 252154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 28N140W 16N162W. NORTH OF 24N THE CLOUD BAND IS 200 TO 300 MILES WIDE AND CONSISTS OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTI LAYER CLOUDS. ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 30N141W 24N149W MOVED EAST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH OF 24N THE CLOUD BAND IS 100 TO 200 MILES WIDE...AND IS MADE UP OF BROKEN TO OCCASIONALLY SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. THIS PART OF THE CLOUD BAND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHEARLINE...AND HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. IT HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 04N140W 04N158W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. THESE CB ALSO EXTEND EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 140 NM OF LINE 05N159W 04N176W MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 10N179E 06N176E EQ176E EQ175E 07N173E 10N179E MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY OR COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS ARE MOVING TOWWARDS THE EAST OVER MIDWAY AND VICINITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... JOHNSTON ISLAND IN ON THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF A BAND OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ITS NORTHERN EDGE EXTENDS ALONG LINE 18N164W 15N180...AND IT IS ABOUT 100 MILES WIDE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 13S160W 19S146W 25S143W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...OCCASIONAL CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 19S177W 23S168W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 11S169W 18S164W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:26 2003 X-UIDL: 15285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00CI4OO4KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:14:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q0ELAK015674 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:14:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P9H58i028372; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 661397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q07UCw027434 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q07Sid018061 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q07SXu018060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260007.h0Q07SXu018060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 260000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 26/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1001 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S/61.9E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 26/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 13.7 SOUTH/60.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 14.5 SOUTH/58.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOW LEVEL CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE (POSSIBILITY OF SEVERAL CENTERS). VERY FLUCTUATING CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:26 2003 X-UIDL: 15286-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00CI8OO8KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:14:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q0EOAK015681 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:14:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P9H58e028372; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 661394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q07SCw034980 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q07Qid018056 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q07Qk9018055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 18:07:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260007.h0Q07Qk9018055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 260000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 26/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1001 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S/61.9E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 26/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 13.7 SOUTH/60.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 14.5 SOUTH/58.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : LOW LEVEL CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE (POSSIBILITY OF SEVERAL CENTERS). VERY FLUCTUATING CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:27 2003 X-UIDL: 15290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00CNWW14KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 10:53:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q2rLAK035682 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 10:53:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATL2018204; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:43:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 662509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:43:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q2hKCw038124 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:43:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q2hIid019054 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:43:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q2hIxS019053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:43:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:43:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260243.h0Q2hIxS019053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 12.2S5 161.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 161.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 12.4S7 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 12.5S8 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 13.3S7 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 14.9S4 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.2S5 161.0E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12P (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY NORTH DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY DURING THE FIRST 24 HOURS AND TURN POLEWARD AS A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH BEGINS TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE SOUTHWEST. TC 12P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF THE NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND THE CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 AND 270300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:28 2003 X-UIDL: 15291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00C3JY55KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 11:39:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q3cwAK041867 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 11:39:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATLo018204; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 21:29:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 662750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 21:29:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q3TFCw044242 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 21:29:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q3TDid019261 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 21:29:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q3TDHn019260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 21:29:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 21:29:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260329.h0Q3TDHn019260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 260329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 26 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION W OF 115W WITH RIDGE AXIS ENTERING AREA NEAR 31N128W AND EXTENDING SW TO BEYOND 24N140W. SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 31N128W TO 17N101W. ..TROUGH INLAND OVER MEXICO EXTENDS FROM MEXICO CITY NW TO THE N GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING NW CORNER OF AREA ALONG 31N140W 27N145W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 5N100W 7N113W 6N125W 6N135W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 108W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 107W-113W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 128W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15298-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00C195N4KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:21:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q6KvAK065024 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:20:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATSA018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:07:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 664789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:07:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q66wCw037914 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:06:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q66vid020176 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:06:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q66vBl020174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:06:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:06:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260606.h0Q66vBl020174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) (1) AT 260000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 12.2S5 161.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 175.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 177.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), HOWEVER THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:30 2003 X-UIDL: 15299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00C5V5R5KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:23:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q6NNAK065466 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:23:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q15CcK028372; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 665127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q6GrCw035818 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q6Gpid020228 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q6Gp1J020226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260616.h0Q6Gp1J020226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 260600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 012/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 26/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.8S/60.3E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHEN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 26/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.0 SOUTH/57.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 17.2 SOUTH/55.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINS FLUCTUATING FAR AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE. ( POSSIBILITY OF SEVERAL CENTERS ).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:30 2003 X-UIDL: 15300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00C6Z5RKKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:23:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q6NdAK065527 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:23:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATSe018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 665124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q6GrCw015772 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q6Gpid020229 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q6Gp6a020227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:16:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260616.h0Q6Gp6a020227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 260600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 012/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 26/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.8S/60.3E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHEN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 26/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.0 SOUTH/57.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 17.2 SOUTH/55.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINS FLUCTUATING FAR AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE. ( POSSIBILITY OF SEVERAL CENTERS ).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:30 2003 X-UIDL: 15301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00CFN5W0KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:26:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q6QJAK066209 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:26:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATSq018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:19:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 665237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:19:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q6JvCw024002 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:19:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q6Jtid020251 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:19:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q6Jt7U020250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:19:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:19:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260619.h0Q6Jt7U020250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 260600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 6/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 26/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.8S/60.3E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 26 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.0S / 57.0E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 17.2S / 55.6E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.5S / 52.0E FI=3.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTION REMAINS FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED FAR AWAY FROM THE CENTRE ( POSSIBILITY OF SEVERAL CENTERS ).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:40 2003 X-UIDL: 15304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00CLDF06KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 17:43:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q9hBAK097131 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 17:43:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATU6018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:35:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 666368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:35:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q9ZgCw035626 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:35:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q9Zeid021599 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:35:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q9Zeb4021598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:35:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:35:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260935.h0Q9Zeb4021598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 260935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 26 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N128W WITH HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING ACROSS MUCH OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 10N BETWEEN 115W-140W. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE CENTER OF THE HIGH SW TO BEYOND 25N140W AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. ..BROAD TROUGH ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO N OF 15N BETWEEN 100W-115W. AN EXTENSION OF THE TROUGH STRETCHES FROM JUST W OF TIJUANA MEXICO NWWD ACROSS THE CHANNEL ISLANDS. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING NW CORNER OF AREA ALONG 31N140W-26N145W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST ENTERING THE DISCUSSION AREA 100NM E OF THE FRONT N OF 25N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 2N82W 5N90W 5N103W 8N111W 5N126W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 107W-110W WITH WIDESPREAD BROKEN/OVERCAST UPPER LEVEL CIRRUS STREAMING NE TOWARDS CENTRAL MEXICO BETWEEN 105W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-141W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:41 2003 X-UIDL: 15306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00C6BFR8KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 17:59:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q9xPAK099491 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 17:59:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATU8018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:55:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 666442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:55:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q9t4Cw042974 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:55:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q9t3id021650 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:55:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q9t2o3021649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:55:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:55:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260955.h0Q9t2o3021649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 260954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... EAST-NORTHEAST TO WEST-SOUTHWEST FRONTAL CLOUD BAND REMNANT ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT THROUGH 30N170W 20N170E MOVING EAST 25-30 KT EXPECTED TO SLOW. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT NORTH OF 24N. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT SOUTH OF 24N. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 01N166W 05N180 MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... DISTURBANCE NEAR 15S177E MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 21S180 25S171W MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... FEW ISOLATED CB IN THE VICINITY. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... TROUGH THROUGH 16S157W 25S140W MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80 NM OF TROUGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:41 2003 X-UIDL: 15308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00C1OMA9KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 20:20:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QCKMAK018565 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 20:20:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QB8FIk028376; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:13:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 667338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:13:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QCDfCw023984 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:13:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QCDeid022318 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:13:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QCDevb022316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:13:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:13:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261213.h0QCDevb022316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 261200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 013/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 26/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.8S/58.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE NORTHEN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.4 SOUTH/56.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/54.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOW ESPECIALLY PRESENT IN THE NORTHERN OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:41 2003 X-UIDL: 15309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00C3NMBMKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 20:21:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QCLFOR005978 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 20:21:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATVs018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:12:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 667333 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:12:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QCCeCw035680 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:12:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QCCcid022308 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:12:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QCCcg7022307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:12:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 06:12:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261212.h0QCCcg7022307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 261200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 013/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 26/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.8S/58.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE NORTHEN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.4 SOUTH/56.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/54.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOW ESPECIALLY PRESENT IN THE NORTHERN OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:43 2003 X-UIDL: 15311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00C6LPHRKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 21:29:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QDTiAK028336 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 21:29:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATXO018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:17:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 667817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:17:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QDH1Cw019272 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:17:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QDGxid022642 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:16:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QDGxtB022641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:16:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:16:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 261251z Jan 03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261316.h0QDGxtB022641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS22 PGTW 261300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 261251Z JAN 03// IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.5S1 177.6E1 TO 17.5S3 178.9W5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 261130Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.9S5 178.2E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 177.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 177.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), HOWEVER THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 271300Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:44 2003 X-UIDL: 15313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00CJ7R5BKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 22:05:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QE5SAK033890 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 22:05:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATYU018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:56:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 668137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:56:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QDu3Cw010674 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:56:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QDu2id022851 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:56:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QDu10T022850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:56:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 07:56:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 261251z Jan 03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261356.h0QDu10T022850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS22 PGTW 261300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 261251Z JAN 03// IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.5S1 177.6E1 TO 17.5S3 178.9W5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 261130Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.9S5 178.2E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 177.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.9S5 178.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), HOWEVER THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 271300Z3. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED LOCATION IN PARA.2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:44 2003 X-UIDL: 15314-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00CGXSAAKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 22:30:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QEU3AK037993 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 22:30:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATZs018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:17:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 668299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:17:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QEHcCw013180 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:17:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QEHaid022981 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:17:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QEHaxI022980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:17:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:17:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261417.h0QEHaxI022980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 12.7S0 161.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S0 161.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.0S4 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 13.5S9 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 14.3S8 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 15.4S0 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 12.8S1 161.1E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12P (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY SOUTHWEST DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DRY AIR BEGINNING TO BE ENTRAINED FROM THE SOUTH AND A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CONDITIONS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE FIRST 18 TO 24 HOURS AND TURN POLEWARD AS A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH BEGINS TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE SOUTHWEST. TC 12P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF THE NOGAPS, GFDN, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND THE CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 AND 271500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:53 2003 X-UIDL: 15319-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00CG32T9KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:17:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QIHMAK074470 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:17:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QB8Fl0028376; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 670056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QI6JCw042904 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QI6Hid024456 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QI6HoX024454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261806.h0QI6HoX024454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 63.5E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 58.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE IN INTENSITY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED IN EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. 200 MB ANALYSIS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED INTO A MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:53 2003 X-UIDL: 15320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00CRZ353KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:24:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QIOXAK075492 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:24:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATgm018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 670053 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QI6JCw022114 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QI6Hid024457 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QI6HnW024455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:06:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261806.h0QI6HnW024455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 63.5E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 58.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE IN INTENSITY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED IN EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. 200 MB ANALYSIS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED INTO A MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:54 2003 X-UIDL: 15321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00CS735PKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:25:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QIOoAK075520 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:24:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMAThS018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:17:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 670154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:16:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QIFwCw036364 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:15:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QIFuid024533 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:15:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QIFutV024532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:15:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:15:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261815.h0QIFutV024532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 261800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 7/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 26/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.3S/57.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 15.5S / 55.1E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 16.2S / 53.0E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.5S / 50.5E FI=2.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION REMAINS BROKEN AND FLUCTUATING, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS NOT WELL ORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:54 2003 X-UIDL: 15322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00CTL37NKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:26:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QIQ5AK075773 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:26:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMAThO018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:15:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 670144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:14:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QIEuCw015624 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:14:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QIEsid024514 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:14:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QIEs0Q024512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:14:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:14:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261814.h0QIEs0Q024512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 261800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 014/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 26/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.3S/57.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 15.5 SOUTH/55.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/53.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSITY WITHOUT CHANGE. FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS, THE DISTURBANCE SHOULD MAINTAIN A GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK, DRIFTING ALONG THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURES LOCATED IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:54 2003 X-UIDL: 15323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00CU338MKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:26:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QIQeAK075835 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:26:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QB8Flg028376; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:16:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 670147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:14:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QIEuCw024562 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:14:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QIEsid024515 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:14:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QIEsKS024513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:14:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 12:14:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261814.h0QIEsKS024513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 261800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 014/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 26/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.3S/57.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 15.5 SOUTH/55.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/53.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSITY WITHOUT CHANGE. FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS, THE DISTURBANCE SHOULD MAINTAIN A GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK, DRIFTING ALONG THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURES LOCATED IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:59 2003 X-UIDL: 15328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00CSLDAOKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:04:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QM3rAK004947 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:03:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHpDk018206; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 15:51:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 672125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 15:51:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLp9Cw034494 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 15:51:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QLp7id026325 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 15:51:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QLp7Sw026324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 15:51:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 15:51:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301262151.h0QLp7Sw026324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 262150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 26 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1011 MB LOW IS JUST INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 22N104W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SE ALONG THE COAST TO 16N97W AND NW ALONG THE COAST TO 32N113W. ..A 1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N133W. ..COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NW CORNER OF THE REGION FROM A 1022 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 31N140W SW TO BEYOND 27N143W. THIS FRONT IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N85W 6N103W 4N111W 5N123W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 133W AND WITHIN 75 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS FROM 10N TO 25N BETWEEN 100W 118W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:59 2003 X-UIDL: 15330-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00HFNHG12S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 07:33:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QNXTAK017044 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 07:33:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHpH6018206; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 17:20:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 672935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 17:20:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QNK0Cw036442 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 17:20:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QNJxid026919 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 17:19:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QNJxml026916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 17:19:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 17:19:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301262319.h0QNJxml026916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 262253 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 29N140W 25N145W AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST... CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE OVER THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII TO 18N163W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 90NM NORTHEAST OF FRONT/SHEARLINE. FRONT...THROUGH 30N164W 22N180 AND EXTENDING SOUTHWEST HAS MOVED EAST AT 30KT ALONG 30N AND SOUTHEAST AT 10KT NEAR THE DATELINE. SOUTHEAST AT MOVING EAST 25-30 KT EXPECTED TO SLOW. DEEP OVERCAST /ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 120NM NORTHWEST OF FRONT EAST OF 170W AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 100NM NORTHWEST OF FRONT WEST OF 170W. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 04N140W 01N170W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 06N140W 04N147W HAVE MOVED NORTH EAST SLOWLY ..INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 01N158W 01N170W HAVE MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE FIRST FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE SECOND FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 06N179W 01N170W 01N177W 06N179W HAS MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07F LOCATED NEAR 17.5S 178.5W AT 26/2100Z HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 13S180 17S174W 18S180 13S180... SEE NFFN ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07F THROUGH 25S168W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 17S170W 20S166W 22S169W 20S172W 17S170W. TROUGH...THROUGH 25S167W 21S158W 25S150W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 16S161W 19S155W 19S165W 16S168W 16S161W HAS MOVED EAST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:59 2003 X-UIDL: 15331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00HR3LFZ2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 08:59:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R0xqAK030228 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 08:59:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHpO2018206; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:47:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 674089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:47:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R0lmCw034938 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:47:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R0lgid027299 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:47:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R0lgNp027297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:47:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:47:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270047.h0R0lgNp027297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 270000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 015/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 27/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.0S/55.3E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 16 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.8 SOUTH/53.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 17.2 SOUTH/51.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE WITHIN A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NOT WELL DEFINED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:18:00 2003 X-UIDL: 15332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00HSHLH02S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 09:00:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R10MAK030344 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 09:00:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QMhNQW028376; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:50:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 674098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:48:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R0liCw031192 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:47:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R0lgid027301 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:47:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R0lgLF027300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:47:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 18:47:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270047.h0R0lgLF027300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 270000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 015/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 27/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1002 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.0S/55.3E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 16 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.8 SOUTH/53.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 17.2 SOUTH/51.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE WITHIN A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NOT WELL DEFINED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 12:38:38 2003 X-UIDL: 15343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00H5QT8O2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:48:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R3mIAK073526 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:48:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHpWi018206; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 21:39:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 675863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 21:39:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R3dlCw023220 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 21:39:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R3ddid028491 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 21:39:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R3ddpL028490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 21:39:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 21:39:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270339.h0R3ddpL028490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 270314 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 27 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1008 MB LOW IS JUST INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 26N108W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SE ALONG THE COAST TO 19N102W. ..A 1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N129W. ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB LOW CENTERED JUST NORTH OF THE REGION NEAR 33N136W ALONG 30N138W TO BEYOND 28N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N90W 5N105W 6N127W 5N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/ OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 101W AND 115W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 15:36:25 2003 X-UIDL: 15350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00H8G2AQ2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:04:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R73mAK017169 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:03:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHpeG018206; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:55:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 677587 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:55:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R6t7Cw015814 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:55:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R6t5id029715 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:55:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R6t5aG029714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:55:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:55:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270655.h0R6t5aG029714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 270600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 27/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.8S/54.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE,MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN, SOUTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 18.1 SOUTH/25.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.7 SOUTH/51.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE IS NOW CLEARLY VISIBLE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. THE TRACK BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE THROUGH IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 15:36:26 2003 X-UIDL: 15351-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00H8K2AS2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:04:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R73vAK017205 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:03:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHpeE018206; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:54:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 677584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:54:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R6sGCw032450 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:54:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R6sEid029708 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:54:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R6sE64029707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:54:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:54:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270654.h0R6sE64029707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 270600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 27/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.8S/54.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE,MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN, SOUTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 18.1 SOUTH/25.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.7 SOUTH/51.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE IS NOW CLEARLY VISIBLE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. THE TRACK BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE THROUGH IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 15:36:26 2003 X-UIDL: 15352-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00HB52BI2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:04:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R74OAK017384 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:04:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHpeS018206; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:58:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 677604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R6vxCw013140 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R6vvid029774 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R6vvwC029773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270657.h0R6vvwC029773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 270600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 8/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 27/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.8S/54.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 18.1S / 52.8E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.7S / 51.0E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.7S / 49.4E FI=2.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO STAY NORTH TO 20S AND THEN TRACK WESTWARD TO THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR IN THE END OF THE PERIODE, UNDERGOING THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES COMING IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 15:36:26 2003 X-UIDL: 15353-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00HRL2JL2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:09:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R79EAK018183 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:09:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QMhN2c028376; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 677599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R6veCw034444 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R6vdid029757 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R6vcdx029756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 00:57:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270657.h0R6vcdx029756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=TRACKER_ID WTIO22 FMEE 270600 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 27/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.8S/54.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE,MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN, SOUTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 18.1 SOUTH/52.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.7 SOUTH/51.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE IS NOW CLEARLY VISIBLE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. THE TRACK BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE THROUGH IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 15:36:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00HZ03J02S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:30:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R7UUOR074043 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:30:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QMhN4G028376; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:20:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 677843 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:20:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R7JnCw015706 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:19:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R7Jlid029988 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:19:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R7Jl5n029986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:19:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:19:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270719.h0R7Jl5n029986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270051ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) (1) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 160.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 177.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.0S9 177.9W4, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF WESTERN SAMOA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVING ORGANIZATION AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE ISLANDS OF FIJI. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. SEE REF B (WTPS22 PGTW 270100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 20:06:32 2003 X-UIDL: 15364-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00H9Q6XM2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 16:44:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R8i2AK037939 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 16:44:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHph0018206; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:26:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 678241 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:26:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R8QlCw034630 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:26:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R8Qjid000348 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:26:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R8Qj8v000347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:26:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:26:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270826.h0R8Qj8v000347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS32 PGTW 270900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/270051Z JAN 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (CILLA) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 19.0S0 176.6W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 19.0S0 176.6W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 20.5S7 174.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.8S0 172.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 20.9S1 171.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.4S4 176.1W5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13P (CILLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR, ENHANCED INFRARED, VISIBLE AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL WEAKENING CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT FROM THE SOUTH, INDICATING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION HAS BEGUN. HOWEVER, THESE INDICATIONS HAVE REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, INDICATING A SLOWER TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AS THE MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD AND THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST CONTINUES TO BUILD. OUTFLOW REMAINS FAVORABLE IN THE POLEWARD DIRECTION AT THIS TIME. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN A MORE EASTWARD TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM, AS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SLOWLY CONTINUES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NGPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 11 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 270051Z JAN 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS22 PGTW 270100). NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 AND 280900Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 20:06:35 2003 X-UIDL: 15368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00HPJ8212S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 17:08:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R98IAK044457 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 17:08:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHph6018206; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 678336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R8srCw016498 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R8sSid000485 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R8sSWx000483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270854.h0R8sSWx000483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/270830Z/280600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270751ZJAN2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 160.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 270600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (CILLA) LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 176.6W0, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 20:06:36 2003 X-UIDL: 15370-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00HJAAQE2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:06:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RA67AK057857 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:06:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QMhNBI028376; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 678467 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R9riCw038072 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R9rgid000991 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R9rgsY000990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270953.h0R9rgsY000990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 270930 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N147W 28N166W 20N180. THIS BAND OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST CLOUDS IS 100 TO 200 MILES WIDE...AND CONSISTS OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTI LAYER CLOUDS NORTH OF 28N...AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS SOUTH OF 28N. THIS FEATURE HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE EAST AT 10 KNOTS ALONG 30N...SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS ALONG 20N. THE CLOUD BAND ALSO EXTENDS WEST OF THE DATELINE. ITCZ...THE AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS EXTENDS ALONG LINE 05N140W 01N165W 02N180. EAST OF 160W THE CLOUD BAND IS 200 TO 250 MILES WIDE AND CONSISTS OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED...SPORADIC CB/TCU. WEST OF 160W THE BAND IS MADE UP OF BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED...SPORADIC CB. THE CB ALONG THE ITCZ HAVE MOVED LITTLE...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... THE EASTERN EDGE OF A REMNANT FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N140W 23N150W 19N160W. IT IS 100 TO 200 MILES WIDE AND IS MADE UP OF BROKEN TO OCCASIONALLY SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... THERE ARE FEW TO SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA CENTERED NEAR 19.5S 176.0W AT 0822 UTC...FREQUENT CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM IS VERY COMPACT WITH A FEW SMALL CONVECTIVE BANDS ROTATING AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 15S177W 19S173W 21S172W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. THESE CB ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A CONVERGENCE BAND NORTHEAST OF THE STORM. REFER TO THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AND THE NADI TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/CZ...A LARGE AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTI LAYER CLOUDS IS BOUNDED ROUGHLY BETWEEN 13S AND 25S...AND BETWEEN THE DATELINE AND 144W. MOST OF THE CLOUDS ARE CIRRUS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 11S180 20S165W 21S150W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. THE CB ARE DISORGANIZED AND SPORADIC. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CZ UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY THE EQUATOR AND 09S...AND BETWEEN THE DATELINE AND 164W...MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 25 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 20:06:37 2003 X-UIDL: 15371-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00JOZAR64G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:06:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RA6ZAK057993 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:06:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHphE018206; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 678455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R9rXCw038062 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R9rWid000986 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R9rVDl000985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 03:53:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270953.h0R9rVDl000985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 270929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 27 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DYING COLD FRONT IN THE NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM A 1020 MB LOW NEAR 35N136W SW TO 27N141W. ..1024 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N128W WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 10N BETWEEN 120W-140W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR LOS ANGELES SE ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO NEAR 28N115W. BROAD TROUGHING EXTENDS TO THE S ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST N OF 10N BETWEEN 105W-120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N80W 1N85W 7N104W 5N110W 6N130W 5N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-94W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-106W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS MOVING OFF THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 5N-6N BETWEEN 77W-78W. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 112W-115W. LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS OFF THE CENTRAL MEXICAN COAST FROM 14N-21N BETWEEN 102W-111W. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 00:34:02 2003 X-UIDL: 15376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00JCTIVB4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 21:01:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RD1qAK090257 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 21:01:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHplw018206; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 679453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RCmrCw044196 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RCmpid002039 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RCmpgF002037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301271248.h0RCmpgF002037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 271200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 017/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 27/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.6S/53.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE,MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 19.1 SOUTH/51.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.1 SOUTH/49.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE IS NOW UNDER THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE ONVECTION, BUT THE CONVECTION IS NOT YET WELL-ORGANIZED. THE TRACK BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE THROUGH IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 00:34:02 2003 X-UIDL: 15377-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00JD9IVL4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 21:02:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RD1xAK090287 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 21:02:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RAkwKA028376; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 679456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RCmrCw024028 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RCmpid002040 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RCmpLT002038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 06:48:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301271248.h0RCmpLT002038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 271200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 017/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 27/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.6S/53.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE,MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25/30 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 19.1 SOUTH/51.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.1 SOUTH/49.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE IS NOW UNDER THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE ONVECTION, BUT THE CONVECTION IS NOT YET WELL-ORGANIZED. THE TRACK BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE THROUGH IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 00:34:03 2003 X-UIDL: 15381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00JDUQQG4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 23:51:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RFpjAK025670 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 23:51:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0REfKIC044096; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 09:44:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 681730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 09:44:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RFi8Cw034492 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 09:44:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RFi7id005622 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 09:44:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RFi7d0005621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 09:44:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 09:44:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301271544.h0RFi7d0005621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 271530 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 27 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 27/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT THROUGH 32N138W BEYOND 28N140W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..BROAD TROUGH IN ISOBARIC ANALYSIS FROM 15N108W TO 25N110W TO 31N115W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 117W AND DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N78W 3N90W 5N100W 6N105W 6N120W 6N130W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 81W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS BETWEEN EAST OF 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 01:23:44 2003 X-UIDL: 15385-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00JR1UNI4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 01:16:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RHGHAK044565 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 01:16:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RAkwv8028376; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 683102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RH5eCw034366 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RH5cid008359 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RH5bKS008356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301271705.h0RH5bKS008356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 58.5E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.5S4 53.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM EAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE IN INTENSITY. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CYCLING CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE AREA IN A MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/INGRAM/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 01:23:44 2003 X-UIDL: 15386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00JSXURI4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 01:18:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RHIiAK045020 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 01:18:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0REfKPQ044096; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 683098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RH5eCw032022 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RH5cid008360 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RH5bRn008357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:05:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301271705.h0RH5bRn008357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 58.5E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.5S4 53.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM EAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE IN INTENSITY. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CYCLING CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE AREA IN A MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/INGRAM/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 02:45:38 2003 X-UIDL: 15390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00HCSXQ02S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:22:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RIMeAK058879 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:22:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0REfKXK044096; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 684558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RIEMCw043268 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RIEKid010674 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RIEKYe010673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301271814.h0RIEKYe010673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 271800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 018/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 27/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5S/52.0E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 14 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE,MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.8 SOUTH/51.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/49.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOW MORE ORGANIZING NEAR THE CENTRE STILL LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 02:45:39 2003 X-UIDL: 15391-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00J7IXQB4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:23:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RIMqAK058924 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:22:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RAkwBe028376; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 684561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RIEOCw035692 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RIEMid010679 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RIEMan010678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:14:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301271814.h0RIEMan010678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 271800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 018/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 27/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5S/52.0E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 14 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE,MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.8 SOUTH/51.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/49.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOW MORE ORGANIZING NEAR THE CENTRE STILL LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 02:45:40 2003 X-UIDL: 15392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00HG6XVH2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:26:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RIPuAK059516 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:25:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0REfKXk044096; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:20:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 684633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:19:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RIJZCw023132 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:19:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RIJYid010832 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:19:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RIJUNa010829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:19:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 12:19:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301271819.h0RIJUNa010829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 271800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 9/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 27/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5S/52.0E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 40 KM SE30: 50 KM SW30: 50 KM NW30: 40 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 18.8S / 51.0E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.0S / 49.3E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.6S / 48.5E FI= OVERLAND 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOW MORE ORGANIZING NEAR THE CENTRE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 05:18:37 2003 X-UIDL: 15400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00JCG5TQ4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 05:17:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RLHiAK096255 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 05:17:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RIRXeO028376; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:04:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 687700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:04:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RL4SCw022080 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:04:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RL4Pid015736 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:04:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RL4Puu015735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:04:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:04:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301272104.h0RL4Puu015735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS32 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (CILLA) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 19.9S9 173.9W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 173.9W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.3S5 172.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 20.5S7 170.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.7S9 168.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 20.8S0 166.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 20.0S2 173.4W5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13P (CILLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO, WESTERN SAMOA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR, ENHANCED INFRARED, VISIBLE AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE DEEP CONVECTION IS STRONGEST IN THE NORTHEAST SECTOR OF 13P AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. OUTFLOW REMAINS MOST FAVORABLE POLEWARD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN BEGIN A MORE EASTWARD TRACK THEREAFTER, WITH THE SYSTEM EXTRATROPICAL BY 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NGPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. AN ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO SLOWLY DISSIPATES 13P THROUGH 48 HOURS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 AND 282100Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 05:28:10 2003 X-UIDL: 15401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00HNE5VH2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 05:18:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RLIlAK096419 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 05:18:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAFU042792; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:02:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 687685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:02:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RL2PCw026858 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:02:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RL2Mid015674 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:02:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RL2M9E015673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:02:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:02:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301272102.h0RL2M9E015673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS21 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 272051ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 095 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.3S2 53.5E3 TO 20.2S4 50.4E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 271800Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.5S4 53.1E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 58.5E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.5S4 53.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM EAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE IN INTENSITY, AND A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) HAS FORMED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS DEPICTS THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CYCLING CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE RIDGE AXIS, AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA IS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. DUE TO IMPROVING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE REDEVELOPMENT OF 11S WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 281751Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 10:33:08 2003 X-UIDL: 15402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00J457IO4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 05:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RLsHAK003025 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 05:54:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAKM042792; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:48:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 688505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:48:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RLm2Cw005870 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:48:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RLlwid017156 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:47:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RLlwjx017155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:47:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:47:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301272147.h0RLlwjx017155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 272147 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 30N159W 19N180 AND EXTENDING SOUTHWEST HAS MOVED EAST AT 10KT ALONG 30N AND SOUTHEAST SLOWLY NEAR THE DATELINE. ISOLATED TCU ALONG SOUTHEAST EDGE OF FRONTAL BAND AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 180NM NORTHWEST OF FRONT. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 04N140W 01N180. NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF AXIS WEST OF 153W. FEW TCU AND BROKEN LAYERS WITHIN 40NM OF AXIS EAST OF 153W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA 20.4S 172.4W AT 2100Z HAS OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 50NM OF CENTER AND WITHIN 45NM OF LINE 15S177W 17S172W 20S170W 21S171W...SEE NFFN ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S109W 19S120W 17S127W 21S135W HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5KT. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT EAST OF 130W. NEW AREA OF ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED BOUNDED BY 18S133W 20S130W 22S133W 19S136W 18S133W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA IN TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 15S158W 20S150W 25S153W 19S160W 15S158W WITH ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 19S160W 21S155W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 10:33:08 2003 X-UIDL: 15403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00HIR7PK2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 05:58:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RLwOAK003679 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 05:58:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAKe042792; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:53:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 688554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:53:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RLreCw032004 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:53:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RLrbid017315 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:53:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RLrbhI017314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:53:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:53:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301272153.h0RLrbhI017314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 272153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 27 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATE THE AREA NORTH OF 12N W OF 120W. ..AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIES ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL NWD OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 3N90W 4N100W 6N105W 6N120W 7N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 103W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 120W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 10:33:11 2003 X-UIDL: 15410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00J4ZFGU4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 08:46:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0S0jwAK035506 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 08:46:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAXM042792; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 691297 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S0djCw034468 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S0deid019967 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S0de2O019965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280039.h0S0de2O019965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 280000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 019/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 28/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 996 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.0S/51.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE,MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 20.0 SOUTH/49.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 20.5 SOUTH/48.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 10:33:11 2003 X-UIDL: 15411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00JENFNL4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 08:50:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0S0o3AK036366 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 08:50:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RNwLIY028376; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 691300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S0djCw037954 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S0deid019968 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S0de2n019966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 18:39:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280039.h0S0de2n019966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 280000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 019/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 28/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 996 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.0S/51.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE,MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 20.0 SOUTH/49.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 20.5 SOUTH/48.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 11:55:36 2003 X-UIDL: 15427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00JBQN5Q4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:32:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0S3W5AK078129 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:32:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAjM042792; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 21:27:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 694090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 21:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S3R0Cw027620 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 21:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S3Qsid022040 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 21:26:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S3Qs4F022039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 21:26:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 21:26:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280326.h0S3Qs4F022039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 280326 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 28 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N131W AND EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 26N140W. ..A NARROW TROUGH LIES RIGHT ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL NWD TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 3N90W 4N100W 6N105W 6N120W 7N130W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 103W-110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 118W-127W AND FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 130W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 14:29:36 2003 X-UIDL: 15439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00JTRV8E4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:26:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0S6QNAK018328 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:26:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S3cEXm028384; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 696311 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S6IuCw016174 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S6Ioid023543 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S6IoX0023541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280618.h0S6IoX0023541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 280600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 020/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 28/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.1S/51.4E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 19.3 SOUTH/50.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 19.7 SOUTH/48.7 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : GALE FORCE WINDS LOCALLY POSSIBLE UNDER SQUALLS, BUT NOT NECESSARILY NEAR THE CENTRE. CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED DURING LAST NIGHT. THE SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARDS MALAGASY COASTS AND SHOULD LAND AT THE END OF THE NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 14:29:36 2003 X-UIDL: 15440-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00JTWV8E4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:26:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0S6QWAK018355 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:26:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S3cEXq028384; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:19:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 696314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S6IuCw028434 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S6Ioid023542 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S6IoI4023540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280618.h0S6IoI4023540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 280600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 020/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 28/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.1S/51.4E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 19.3 SOUTH/50.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 19.7 SOUTH/48.7 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : GALE FORCE WINDS LOCALLY POSSIBLE UNDER SQUALLS, BUT NOT NECESSARILY NEAR THE CENTRE. CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED DURING LAST NIGHT. THE SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARDS MALAGASY COASTS AND SHOULD LAND AT THE END OF THE NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 14:29:36 2003 X-UIDL: 15441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00JU8V8J4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:26:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0S6QbAK018386 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:26:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAt4042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:19:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 696317 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:19:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S6JwCw013116 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:19:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S6Jqid023553 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:19:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S6Jqrq023552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:19:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 00:19:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280619.h0S6Jqrq023552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 280600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 10/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 28/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.1S/51.4E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 40 KM SE30: 50 KM SW30: 50 KM NW30: 40 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.3S / 50.0E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.7S / 48.7E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.4S / 44.0E FI= OVERLAND 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.5+. LOW LEVEL CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE UNDER THE CONVECTIVE MASS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 17:39:39 2003 X-UIDL: 15456-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006H543I5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 17:38:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0S9bxAK069356 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 17:38:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAwe042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:29:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 697539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:29:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S9TcCw006252 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:29:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S9TVid025067 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:29:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S9TVtr025066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:29:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:29:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280929.h0S9TVtr025066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 280929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 28 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE MAJORITY OF THE DISCUSSION AREA W OF 110W EXTENDING S FROM A 1023 MB HIGH CENTERED W OF SAN FRANCISCO. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 30N127W TO 16N110W AND A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 30N137W TO BEYOND 28N140W. ..BROAD TROUGH ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST AND BAJA CALIFORNIA N OF 15N REACHING N TOWARDS THE COLORADO RIVER BASIN. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N79W 7N108W 7N117W 8N123W 3N138W 3N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 50NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA ALONG THE AXIS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF A LINE FROM 10N119W-8N129W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF A LINE FROM 6N123W-4N128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA BETWEEN 5N-6N. ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA BETWEEN 83W-85W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF 6N87W. BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 17:59:42 2003 X-UIDL: 15459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006VG4SK5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 17:53:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0S9qqAK073191 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 17:52:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAwk042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:47:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 697606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:47:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S9lmCw026834 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:47:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S9lgid025205 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:47:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S9lgEG025204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:47:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:47:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280947.h0S9lgEG025204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 280947 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N152W 23N170W 17N180. IT ALSO EXTENDS WEST OF THE DATELINE. THIS BAND OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS IS 100 TO 225 MILES WIDE. IT HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS ALONG 30N...AND TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS SOUTH OF 25N. ITCZ...THE AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS EXTENDS ALONG LINE 03N140W 03N170W EQ180. THIS BAND OF BROKEN LOW AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS IS 150 TO 300 MILES WIDE. ISOLATED...DISORGANIZED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 03N150W 04N168W 02N174W 03N180 MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. THIS CLOUD BAND ALSO EXTENDS EAST OF 140W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... THERE ARE FEW TO SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. THERE ARE SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS NORTH OF THE FRONTAL CLOUD BAND AND OVER THE MIDWAY AREA. JOHNSTON ISLAND... THERE ARE BROKEN THIN HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA CENTERED NEAR 20.2S 169.0W AT 0900 UTC...OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 19S172W 22S170W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 18 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE VERY WELL ORGANIZED AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON EXTRAPOLATION. REFER TO THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AND THE NADI TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER. CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 13S177W 20S164W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND DECREASED DRAMATICALLY IN COVERAGE. THIS CZ IS ALONG THE OUTER FRINGES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT...A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND IS BOUNDED BY 15S162W 13S145W 25S144W 25S150W 15S162W. IT CONSISTS OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB. THE CB HAVE SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN POSITION...INTENSITY...OR COVERAGE. MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW...ISOLATED DISORGANIZED CB WITHIN 250 NM OF LINE 08S136W 24S131W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CZ ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 18:09:39 2003 X-UIDL: 15460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006V45BC5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:04:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SA4IAK075949 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:04:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAwq042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:59:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 697629 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:59:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S9xYCw043280 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:59:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S9xSid025274 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:59:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S9xSC3025273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:59:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 03:59:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280959.h0S9xSC3025273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 280959 CCA TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N152W 23N170W 17N180. IT ALSO EXTENDS WEST OF THE DATELINE. THIS BAND OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS IS 100 TO 225 MILES WIDE. IT HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS ALONG 30N...AND TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS SOUTH OF 25N. ITCZ...THE AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS EXTENDS ALONG LINE 03N140W 03N170W EQ180. THIS BAND OF BROKEN LOW AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS IS 150 TO 300 MILES WIDE. ISOLATED...DISORGANIZED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 03N150W 04N168W 02N174W 03N180 MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. THIS CLOUD BAND ALSO EXTENDS EAST OF 140W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... THERE ARE FEW TO SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. THERE ARE SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS NORTH OF THE FRONTAL CLOUD BAND AND OVER THE MIDWAY AREA. JOHNSTON ISLAND... THERE ARE BROKEN THIN HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA CENTERED NEAR 21.0S 170.5W AT 0900 UTC...OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 19S172W 22S170W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 18 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE VERY WELL ORGANIZED AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON A 0906 UTC SSMI PASS. REFER TO THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AND THE NADI TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER. CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 13S177W 20S164W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND DECREASED DRAMATICALLY IN COVERAGE. THIS CZ IS ALONG THE OUTER FRINGES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT...A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND IS BOUNDED BY 15S162W 13S145W 25S144W 25S150W 15S162W. IT CONSISTS OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB. THE CB HAVE SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN POSITION...INTENSITY...OR COVERAGE. MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW...ISOLATED DISORGANIZED CB WITHIN 250 NM OF LINE 08S136W 24S131W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CZ ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 23:14:51 2003 X-UIDL: 15471-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006TYBMZ5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 20:20:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SCKqAK004887 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 20:20:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S3cEqC028384; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 698093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SCErCw017458 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SCElid026227 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SCEleV026226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301281214.h0SCEleV026226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 281200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 28/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 09 (FARI ) 992 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.9S/50.0E (NINETEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 20.1 SOUTH/48.7 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 20.5 SOUTH/47.5 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST HOURS AND HAS BEEN NAMED AT 09000. FARI KEEPS ON TRACKING TOWARDS MALAGASY COASTS AND SHOULD LAND AT THE END OF THE NIGHT, NEAR MAHANORO (SOUTH OF MAHANORO).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 23:14:59 2003 X-UIDL: 15472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006V2BNE5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 20:21:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SCL8AK004988 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 20:21:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmA0E042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 698090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SCEpCw017452 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SCEjid026220 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SCEjRe026219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 06:14:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301281214.h0SCEjRe026219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 281200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 28/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 09 (FARI ) 992 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.9S/50.0E (NINETEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 20.1 SOUTH/48.7 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 20.5 SOUTH/47.5 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST HOURS AND HAS BEEN NAMED AT 09000. FARI KEEPS ON TRACKING TOWARDS MALAGASY COASTS AND SHOULD LAND AT THE END OF THE NIGHT, NEAR MAHANORO (SOUTH OF MAHANORO).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 23:34:23 2003 X-UIDL: 15486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006GYKBA5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:28:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SFSAAK041422 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:28:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmA9o042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:15:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 700146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:15:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SFFlCw021528 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:15:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SFFfid029990 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:15:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SFFfFn029989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:15:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:15:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301281515.h0SFFfFn029989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 281500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- NEAR 15.6S2 161.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 161.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.4S1 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.3S1 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 18.0S9 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 18.9S8 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.8S4 161.2E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12P (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 04 KTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BANDING EYE FEATURE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER AUSTRALIA IS EXPECTED TO BUILD EASTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS. A DEEPENING TROUGH NEAR TASMANIA IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD BY 36 HOURS AND WEAKEN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO SLOW DOWN BY MID PERIOD AND TRACK POLEWARD BY 48 HOURS. TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE PERIOD UNDER A MODERATELY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), TCLAPS, TLAPS, AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 AND 291500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 23:44:23 2003 X-UIDL: 15487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006W8KM95K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:34:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SFYeAK042749 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:34:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAA8042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:21:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 700282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:21:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SFL5Cw035492 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:21:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SFKtid000179 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:20:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SFKtIn000178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:20:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 09:20:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301281520.h0SFKtIn000178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 281500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- NEAR 19.6S6 50.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 50.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 20.5S7 48.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 21.2S5 47.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 22.0S4 45.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 22.5S9 43.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.8S8 49.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (FARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM EAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES LAND. A DEEPENING TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD AND WEAKEN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. TC 11S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD TOWARD THE WEAKNESS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY BRIEFLY DUE TO GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CONDITIONS AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH MADAGASCAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UK MET GLOBAL, AND AVN ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 09 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 AND 291500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 08:27:44 2003 X-UIDL: 15493-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006ZAMNW5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:19:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SGIvAK053661 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:18:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SFdPGW042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 10:07:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 701017 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 10:03:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SG3UCw006220 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 10:03:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SG3Oid001927 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 10:03:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SG3OuO001926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 10:03:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 10:03:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301281603.h0SG3OuO001926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 281603 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 28 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 28/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 6N88W 4N100W 8N108W 9N120W 7N130W 2N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 200 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W...AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 110W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 08:27:54 2003 X-UIDL: 15500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006U9REV5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:01:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SI1PAK077668 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:01:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SFdPV2042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 703633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SHleCw035364 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SHlXid005851 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SHlXjP005849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301281747.h0SHlXjP005849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281352ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281500Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI), WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8S8 49.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM EAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, TRACKING SOUTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 AND 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 281500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/INGRAM/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 08:27:54 2003 X-UIDL: 15501-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F0062CRKE5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:05:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SI4oAK078516 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:04:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SFBjlE028384; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 703636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SHleCw031062 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SHlXid005852 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SHlXB8005850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 11:47:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301281747.h0SHlXB8005850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281352ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281500Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI), WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8S8 49.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM EAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, TRACKING SOUTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 AND 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 281500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/INGRAM/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 08:28:05 2003 X-UIDL: 15505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F00608THX5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:46:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SIkZAK086328 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:46:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SFdPfo042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:34:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 705752 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:34:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SIYkCw007834 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:34:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SIYdid007736 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:34:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SIYduq007735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:34:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:34:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301281834.h0SIYduq007735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 281800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 11/9/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (FARI) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 28/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1S/49.4E (TWENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 80 KM SE30: 80 KM SW30: 80 KM NW30: 80 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 300 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.4S / 48.8E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.1S / 46.8E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.8S / 43.5E FI= OVERLAND 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION IS NOW ORGANIZED IN A LARGE CDO, AS THE SYSTEME HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFYED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 08:28:06 2003 X-UIDL: 15509-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006SWWDK5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:48:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SJmhAK002262 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:48:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SFdPfI042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:30:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 705585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:30:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SIUfCw032312 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:30:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SIUZid007561 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:30:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SIUZW1007560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:30:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 12:30:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301281830.h0SIUZW1007560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 281800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 022/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 28/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 09 (FARI ) 990 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1S/49.4E (TWENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 20.4 SOUTH/48.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.1 SOUTH/46.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : FARI KEEPS ON TRACKING TOWARDS MALAGASY COASTS AND SHOULD LAND AT THE END OF THE NIGHT, NEAR MAHANORO (SOUTH OF MAHANORO).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 08:28:18 2003 X-UIDL: 15522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G0067P2S45K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 06:07:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SM74AK026606 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 06:07:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SFdP1I042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 15:35:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 709220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 15:35:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SLZ9Cw024498 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 15:35:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SLZ3id014676 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 15:35:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SLZ3ni014675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 15:35:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 15:35:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301282135.h0SLZ3ni014675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 282134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 28 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N130W AND EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 27N140W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM 32N127W TO NEAR 10N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N86W 4N103W 8N113W 7N120W 9N130W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 107W-115W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 117W-123W AND FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 126W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 08:28:18 2003 X-UIDL: 15523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006E831H5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 06:12:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SMCeAK027437 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 06:12:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SFdP4i042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 16:00:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 709926 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 16:00:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SM09Cw010486 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 16:00:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SM03id015570 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 16:00:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SM02r5015569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 16:00:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 16:00:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301282200.h0SM02r5015569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 282159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06N158W 03N152W 01N152W 02N173W 05N173W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONTS...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N168W 30N157W 17N175W 21N174W 19N180 24N173W. FEATURES MOVING EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONTS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE EQUATOR AND DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 04N176E 01N177W 07S172W 07S174W 01S176E 03N173E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA NEAR 21.6S 168.1W AT 1800 UTC HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 18S169W 21S163W 25S165W 23S169W...SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM RSMC NADI FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 07S180 11S178W 15S179E 14S172E 07S175E HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09S169W 11S164W 18S164W 15S177W 12S178W 12S172W 13S170W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SECOND SENTENCE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE EQUATOR AND DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 04N176E 01N177W 07S172W 07S174W 01S176E 03N173E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 16S158W 20S148W 22S146W 22S152W 18S160W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 17S132W 22S133W 22S136W 17S136W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 08:37:13 2003 X-UIDL: 15526-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006NP9IT5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:32:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T0WdAK051803 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:32:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsFa042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:26:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 711784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:26:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T0QGCw012666 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:26:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T0QAid018401 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:26:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T0QArE018400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:26:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:26:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290026.h0T0QArE018400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 290000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 023/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 29/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : OVERLAND CYCLONE 09 (FARI ) 984 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.3S/48.4E (TWENTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 20.9 SOUTH/46.7 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 30/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 21.5 SOUTH/44.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : FARI HAS INTENSIFYED INTO SEVERE TROPICAL STORM, AND HAS JUST LANDED ON MALAGASY COASTS (SOUTH OF MAHANORO). LAST WARNING ON THE SYSTEM UNLESS ISSUANCE OVER SEAS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 08:43:33 2003 X-UIDL: 15530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G00684A0L5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:43:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T0hMAK053887 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:43:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SLmhYW028390; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:37:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 711957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:37:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T0bRCw024486 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:37:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T0bLid018613 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:37:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T0bLj3018612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:37:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:37:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290037.h0T0bLj3018612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=TRACKER_ID WTIO30 FMEE 281800 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 11/9/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (FARI) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 28/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1S/49.4E (TWENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 80 KM SE30: 80 KM SW30: 80 KM NW30: 80 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 300 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.7S / 47.9E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.3S / 46.1E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.8S / 43.5E FI= OVERLAND 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION IS NOW ORGANIZED IN A LARGE CDO, AS THE SYSTEME HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFYED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 09:07:14 2003 X-UIDL: 15534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006FPASM5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 09:00:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T10GAK057189 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 09:00:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsHc042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:50:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 712154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:50:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T0olCw028642 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:50:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T0ofid018815 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:50:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T0ofjX018814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:50:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 18:50:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290050.h0T0ofjX018814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=TRACKER_ID WTIO24 FMEE 290000 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 023/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 29/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : OVERLAND CYCLONE 09 (EX-FARI ) 984 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.3S/48.4E (TWENTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 20.9 SOUTH/46.7 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 30/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 21.5 SOUTH/44.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : FARI HAS INTENSIFYED INTO SEVERE TROPICAL STORM, AND HAS JUST LANDED ON MALAGASY COASTS (SOUTH OF MAHANORO). LAST WARNING ON THE SYSTEM UNLESS ISSUANCE OVER SEAS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 11:50:45 2003 X-UIDL: 15557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G0064BHG55K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 11:24:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T3NtAK095949 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 11:23:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsMW042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 21:18:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 713512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 21:18:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T3INCw017632 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 21:18:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T3IGid020415 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 21:18:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T3IGtw020414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 21:18:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 21:18:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290318.h0T3IGtw020414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 290318 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 29 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE ENTIRE AREA OF 10N WITH RIDGE AXES ALONG 30N130W 26N140W AND 30N125W 16N105W INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N90W 5N100W 7N110W 7N120W 9N130W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 107W-111W AND FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 110W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 124W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 12:40:33 2003 X-UIDL: 15565-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006CVKTV5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:37:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T4b0AK016912 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:37:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SLmht0028390; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 713922 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T4MvCw028528 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T4Moid021104 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T4Mos0021103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290422.h0T4Mos0021103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- NEAR 20.3S5 48.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 48.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 20.6S8 46.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 21.8S1 44.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 23.5S0 43.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 25.2S9 43.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.4S6 48.0E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (FARI) MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 290000Z1, 30 NM SOUTH OF MAHANORO, MADAGASCAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. TC 11S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CURRENTLY LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD AND BE THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE. AFTER 12 HOURS, TC 11S WILL TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND THEN SOUTHWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AS THE RIDGE PROGRESSES EASTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WHILE TRACKING OVER MADAGASCAR, HOWEVER DEVELOPMENT AFTER THE SYSTEM ENTERS THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL IS EXPECTED. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UK MET GLOBAL, AND GFDN, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 09 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 AND 300300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 12:40:33 2003 X-UIDL: 15566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006H2KVY5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:38:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T4cEAK017136 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:38:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsOA042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 713918 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T4MuCw013294 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T4Moid021099 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T4Moi9021098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:22:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290422.h0T4Moi9021098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- NEAR 16.4S1 162.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 162.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 17.3S1 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 18.1S0 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 19.2S2 166.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 20.7S9 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 162.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12P (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 MULTISPECTAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A 21 NM EYE SURROUNDED BY SYMMETRIC DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD SOUTHWARD OF THE SYSTEM STARTING IN 24 HOURS AND PROGRESSING EASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND SHIFT ITS TRACK TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AROUND THIS RIDGE. TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY IN THE EARLY PERIOD AND REMAIN STEADY THROUGH THE MID-PERIOD WITH A DECLINE IN INTENSITY AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS POLEWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), TCLAPS, TLAPS, AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 AND 300300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 14:00:03 2003 X-UIDL: 15571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006VIOF55K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 13:54:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T5sYAK032615 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 13:54:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsR2042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 714604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T5fZCw027866 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T5fSid021781 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T5fS0p021779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290541.h0T5fS0p021779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 290600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 16.4S1 162.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 290300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P IS LOCATED NEAR 22.4S8 167.3W7, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO, PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 14:30:01 2003 X-UIDL: 15578-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006T4PU65K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 14:25:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T6PBAK040046 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 14:25:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsSY042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:19:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 715202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:19:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T6JJCw034602 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:19:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T6JDid022160 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:19:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T6JD8r022159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:19:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:19:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290619.h0T6JD8r022159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 024/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 29/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : OVERLAND CYCLONE 09 (EX-FARI ) 1000 HPA POSITION : 20.4S/47.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR, BETWEEN 19 AND 22 SOUTH. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 29/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.0 SOUTH/45.9 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 30/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 22.3 SOUTH/44.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : RETURN OF DEPRESSION EX-FARI OVER SEAS IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 14:40:05 2003 X-UIDL: 15579-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006WUQDZ5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 14:37:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T6b4AK042726 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 14:37:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsSa042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:21:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 715213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:21:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T6LPCw027830 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:21:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T6LJid022195 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:21:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T6LI9C022194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:21:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 00:21:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290621.h0T6LI9C022194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 290600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 12/9/20022003 1.A OVERLAND CYCLONE (EX-FARI) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 29/01/2003 : 20.4S/47.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / MOINS/W /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 21.0S / 45.9E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 22.3S / 44.0E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : 25.8S / 42.0E FI=2.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : RESIDUAL CONVECTION CAUSE HEAVY RAINS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 17:53:25 2003 X-UIDL: 15591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G00BC6Z9TI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 17:49:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T9mwAK090094 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 17:49:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsWQ042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:40:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 716428 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:40:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T9eSCw032442 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:40:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T9eMid023936 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:40:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T9eMiX023935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:40:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:40:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290940.h0T9eMiX023935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 290940 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...THROUGH 30N156W 25N160W 18N170W AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 13N180 AND EXTENDING SOUTHWEST. FRONT HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST 10KT ALONG 25N AND SOUTHEAST SLOWLY NEAR THE DATELINE. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 160NM OF FRONT NORTH OF 25N AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 180NM NORTHWEST OF FRONT/SHEARLINE SOUTH OF 25N WITH OCCASIONAL TCU ALONG SOUTHEAST EDGE OF CLOUD BAND. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 04N140W 03N150W 02N160W 03N170W 03N175W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS WTIHIN 120NM OF ITCZ AXIS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 03N178W 02N180. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA NEAR 22S 166W AT 0822Z HAS NO CB NEAR THE CENTER AND ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 40NM OF POINT 24S164W AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 18S163W 18S166W...SEE NFFN ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 80NM OF LINE 16S161W 10S172W 09S178W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CONVERGENCE ZONE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 17:53:27 2003 X-UIDL: 15592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G00BJKZEMI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 17:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T9ppAK090740 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 17:51:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsWS042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:48:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 716447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:48:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T9mYCw015816 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:48:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T9mSid024008 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:48:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T9mSYO024007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:48:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 03:48:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290948.h0T9mSYO024007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 290948 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 29 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 3N134W TO 13N128W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WITH A 1024 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N89W 7N108W 8N119W 9N126W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 107W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N128W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 11N124W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 92W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 175/200 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N109W ACROSS THE AXIS ALONG 13N110W 18N111W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 20N105W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 00:03:51 2003 X-UIDL: 15596-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00BAM6GKI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:24:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TCOCAK025938 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:24:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsZg042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 06:15:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 717236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 06:15:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TCFvCw013006 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 06:15:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TCFpid025112 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 06:15:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TCFpqT025111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 06:15:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 06:15:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301291215.h0TCFpqT025111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 291200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 025/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 29/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : OVERLAND CYCLONE 09 (EX-FARI ) POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.2S/44.8E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 18 KT MENACED AREAS : ISOLATED SQUALLS EXIST UP TO 400 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 30/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 23.7 SOUTH/42.3 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 30/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 26.5 SOUTH/41.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : RESIDUAL DEPRESSION EX-FARI IS TRACKING FASTER THAN FORECASTED AND SHOULD ENTER OVER THE CHANNEL OF MOZAMBIQUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 00:04:51 2003 X-UIDL: 15607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00BWADJUI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 22:57:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TEvKAK055790 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 22:57:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T9BVUs007398; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:44:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 718223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:44:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TEi6Cw025142 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:44:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TEhxid027542 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:43:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TEhxsg027539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:43:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:43:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301291443.h0TEhxsg027539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 291500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- NEAR 21.6S9 45.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.6S9 45.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 23.2S7 43.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 24.9S5 42.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 26.8S6 42.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 29.2S3 43.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION NEAR 22.0S4 45.2E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (FARI), LOCATED OVER LAND APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS WHILE OVER LAND AND INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS OVER WARM WATER IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UK MET GLOBAL, AND AVN, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 09 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 AND 301500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 00:04:52 2003 X-UIDL: 15608-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00B1YDOSI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:00:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TF0MAK056446 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:00:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsf6042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:44:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 718219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:44:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TEi6Cw044254 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:44:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TEhxid027543 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:43:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TEhxMf027541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:43:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:43:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Amembassy Suva Req Pass To Usaid Ofda Advisor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301291443.h0TEhxMf027541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 291500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- NEAR 17.8S6 165.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 165.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 19.2S2 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.3S5 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 21.8S1 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 23.4S9 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.2S1 165.5E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12P (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA IS EXPECTED TO BUILD EASTWARD BY 12 HOURS. A DEEPENING TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD FROM TASMANIA AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE BY 24 HOURS. TC 12P IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD TOWARD THE WEAKNESS BY MID PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), TCLAPS, TLAPS, AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 AND 301500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 00:04:53 2003 X-UIDL: 15611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00BFCEOWI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:22:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TFM2AK061504 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:22:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsgI042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 09:14:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 718464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 09:14:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TFElCw013250 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 09:14:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TFEfid028839 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 09:14:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TFEfT2028838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 09:14:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 09:14:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301291514.h0TFEfT2028838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 291514 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 29 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 29/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH FROM 14N125W TO 8N130W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..HIGH PRESSURE AND BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 5N93W 6N104W 9N109W 9N120W 6N130W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 123W AND 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W... AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 280 NM TO THE NORTH AND 100 NM TO THE SOUTH OF AXIS BETWEEN 119W AND 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 8N134W. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 3N TO 15N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 31N121W TO 28N122W TO 26N126W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW TO THE EAST OF THESE TWO CYCLONIC FEATURES... NORTH OF ITCZ AND RELATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. THIS UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS DISPLACING TO THE NORTH/NE SOME OF THE MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ACCOMPANYING THE ITCZ SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 102W AND 113W. BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS FROM 16N TO 25N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W...CURVING ANTICYCLONICALLY FROM EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS TOWARD MEXICO. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 08:43:32 2003 X-UIDL: 15624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00BBWN4LI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:24:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TIOEAK005086 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:24:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0THjrHu007402; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:18:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 722336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:18:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TIIWCw040728 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:18:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TIIQid005715 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:18:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TIIQuI005714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:18:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:18:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301291818.h0TIIQuI005714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 291800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 13/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (EX-FARI) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 29/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.6S/43.3E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / / /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 24.7S / 41.5E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 27.2S / 40.9E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 32.0S / 45.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. CONVECTION IS COMPLETELY DISORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 08:43:40 2003 X-UIDL: 15625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00BCQN5EI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:24:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TIOfAK005159 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:24:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrs7K042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:17:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 722322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:17:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TIHTCw034468 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:17:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TIHMid005678 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:17:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TIHMm7005677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:17:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:17:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301291817.h0TIHMm7005677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 291800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 026/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 29/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 (EX-FARI ) 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.6S/43.3E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 18 KT MENACED AREAS : ISOLATED SQUALLS EXIST UP TO 400 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. WINDS 20/25 KT ALONG WESTERN MALAGASY COAST, BETWEEN 22S AND 24S. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 30/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 24.7 SOUTH/41.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 30/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 27.2 SOUTH/40.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE OF EX-FARI IS ESTIMATED REACHING THE MALAGASY WESTERN COAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLIGHTLY REINTENSIFIED OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. IT SHOULD GENERALLY TRACK SOUTHWARDS, TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE PRESSURE LOW IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 08:43:40 2003 X-UIDL: 15626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00BTSOBII1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:50:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TInxAK010575 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:50:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrs94042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 722796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TIk8Cw031026 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TIk1id006773 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TIk1lJ006771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301291846.h0TIk1lJ006771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291352ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI), WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6S9 45.7E6, OVER LAND APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 291500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 08:43:40 2003 X-UIDL: 15627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00B4UOKAI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:55:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TItGAK011844 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:55:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0THjrN0007402; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 722799 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TIk8Cw034866 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TIk1id006774 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TIk1tf006772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 12:46:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301291846.h0TIk1tf006772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291352ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI), WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6S9 45.7E6, OVER LAND APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 291500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 08:43:46 2003 X-UIDL: 15635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00B69XEQI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 06:06:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TM6IAK055966 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 06:06:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDQe042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:59:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 726748 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:59:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TLxsCw028380 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:59:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TLxkid013584 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:59:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TLxkLi013583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:59:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:59:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301292159.h0TLxkLi013583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 292159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05N173W 01N171W 01N180 04N179W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 03N165W 04N162W 03N160W 03N156W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY... DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N154W 30N149W 19N160W 19N174W 20N173W 22N164W 26N158W. FEATURE MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CILLA NEAR 22.9S 165.5W AT 1800 UTC HAS ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 24S163W 27S165W 24S167W...SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM RSMC NADI FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 03S180 07S162W 11S156W 10S153W 17S150W 13S155W 19S156W 15S172W 09S179W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 15S136W 16S131W 22S132W 24S135W 23S138W 21S138W 20S142W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 08:43:47 2003 X-UIDL: 15636-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00B6LXESI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 06:06:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TM6MAK055981 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 06:06:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDQc042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:56:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 726673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:56:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TLuiCw027872 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:56:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TLuaid013483 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:56:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TLua0s013482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:56:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 15:56:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301292156.h0TLua0s013482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 292156 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 29 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..LOW-LEVEL TROUGH FROM 13N130W TO 5N134W. ENHANCED ITCZ CONVECTION TO THE EAST. ..BROAD TROUGH ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO FROM 15N102W NW TO BEYOND 31N114W. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. ..ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL WITH A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N129W AND A RIDGE TO THE SW BEYOND 25N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N90W 5N100W 5N110W 7N125W 4N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 90W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 102W-107W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 121W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 08:43:58 2003 X-UIDL: 15645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00B6Y3TMI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:24:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U0OpAK083053 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:24:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDXo042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 18:17:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 728269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 18:17:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U0HSCw011138 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 18:17:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U0HJid016465 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 18:17:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U0HJMI016464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 18:17:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 18:17:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300017.h0U0HJMI016464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 300000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 027/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 30/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 (EX-FARI ) 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.9S/41.8E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 30/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 23.4 SOUTH/40.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 31/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 25.5 SOUTH/39.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CENTRE OF EX-FARI IS NOW AT SEA. THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLIGHTLY REINTENSIFIED OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ITS TRACK SHOULD CURVE SOUTHWARDS OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE PRESSURE LOW IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 10:41:10 2003 X-UIDL: 15653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BNWA1UI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 10:39:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U2dOAK017605 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 10:39:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDeK042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:24:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 729707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:24:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U2OFCw025276 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:24:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U2O7id017866 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:24:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U2O72k017865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:24:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:24:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300224.h0U2O72k017865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- NEAR 19.0S0 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0S0 167.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.5S7 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 22.1S5 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 23.6S1 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 24.9S5 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.4S4 168.0E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12P (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 TO 115 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA IS EXPECTED TO BUILD EASTWARD IN 12 HOURS. A DEEPENING TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD FROM TASMANIA AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE BY 24 HOURS. TC 12P IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD TOWARD THE WEAKNESS BY MID PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 AND 310300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 14:10:51 2003 X-UIDL: 15659-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BZXCPSI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:37:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U3avAK033854 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:36:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDg8042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 21:28:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 730123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 21:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U3RxCw038476 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 21:27:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U3Rpid018533 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 21:27:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U3RpTX018532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 21:27:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 21:27:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300327.h0U3RpTX018532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 300327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 30 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL NW ALONG 21N105W 26N108W TO BEYOND 30N111W. ..ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL N OF 10N WITH RIDGE AXES ALONG 30N130W 27N140W AND 30N130W 14N103W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 1N80W 4N90W 5N100W 5N110W 7N125W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 90W-97W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 6N102W-12N107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 121W-125W. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 14:10:54 2003 X-UIDL: 15664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BL6EGPI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:14:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U4EfAK044489 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:14:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TMvEiU007402; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 22:02:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 730448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 22:02:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U425Cw038404 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 22:02:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U41uid018840 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 22:01:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U41u3T018839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 22:01:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 22:01:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300401.h0U41u3T018839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- NEAR 19.0S0 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0S0 167.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 20.5S7 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 22.1S5 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 23.6S1 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 24.9S5 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.4S4 168.0E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12P (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 TO 115 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA IS EXPECTED TO BUILD EASTWARD IN 12 HOURS. A DEEPENING TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD FROM TASMANIA AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE BY 24 HOURS. TC 12P IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD TOWARD THE WEAKNESS BY MID PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 AND 310300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 14:10:56 2003 X-UIDL: 15669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BWHJ1NI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 13:53:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U5reAK067189 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 13:53:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TMvEro007402; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:43:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 731298 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U5fCCw027438 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U5f3id019577 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U5f3TD019575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300541.h0U5f3TD019575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 167.7E1, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.4S8 167.3W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.1S7 165.5W7, APPROXIMATELY 660 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, TUTUILA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS, WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 1.0N1 156.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AS WELL AS RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY, INDICATES AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE WITH DISORGANIZED AND CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 14:10:56 2003 X-UIDL: 15671-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BNIJI2I1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:03:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U63XAK069264 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:03:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDlU042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:56:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 731499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:56:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U5uRCw033248 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:56:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U5uJid019686 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:56:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U5uIYq019685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:56:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:56:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300556.h0U5uIYq019685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- NEAR 22.2S6 42.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.2S6 42.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 23.3S8 41.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 25.3S0 41.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 27.3S2 43.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION NEAR 22.5S9 42.5E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (FARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 304 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS NOW OVER WATER. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT, AS IT TRACKS IN AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UK MET GLOBAL, AND AVN, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 09 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 AND 310300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 14:30:47 2003 X-UIDL: 15673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BURKHSI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:25:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U6OwAK074121 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:24:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDm8042792; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:18:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 732035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:18:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U6IuCw035056 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:18:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U6Imid019936 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:18:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U6ImtY019935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:18:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:18:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300618.h0U6ImtY019935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 300600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 028/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 30/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 (EX-FARI ) 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.5S/41.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 30/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 25.0 SOUTH/41.3 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 31/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 27.0 SOUTH/42.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLIGHTLY REINTENSIFIED OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 14:40:47 2003 X-UIDL: 15675-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BJKKREI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:30:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U6UiAK075465 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:30:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDmC042792; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:22:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 732085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:22:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U6M2Cw006120 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:22:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U6Lrid019972 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:21:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U6LrhF019971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:21:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 00:21:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300621.h0U6LrhF019971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 300600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 14/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (EX-FARI) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 30/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.5S/41.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /W /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 25.0S / 41.3E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 27.0S / 42.0E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 31.2S / 43.5E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLIGHTLY REINTENSIFIED OVER SEA DURING THE NEXT HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 17:24:24 2003 X-UIDL: 15686-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BMGSPOI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 17:22:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U9MTAK023596 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 17:22:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDoa042792; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:17:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 733042 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:17:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U9HlCw027828 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:17:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U9Hcid021470 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:17:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U9Hc7x021469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:17:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:17:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300917.h0U9Hc7x021469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 300917 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 30N147W 21N156W AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 13N180 AND EXTENDING SOUTHWEST OF THE DATELINE. FRONT HAS MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15KT ALONG 25N. PART OF FRONT NEAR 21N HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 8KT AND IS NOW BECOMING STATIONARY. SHEARLINE IS NEARLY STATIONARY. OCCASIONAL TCU ALONG FRONT/SHEARLINE AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 250NM NORTHWEST OF FRONT/SHEARLINE EAST OF 165. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 150NM OF SHEARLINE WEST OF 165W. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 05N140W 01N160W 02N170W 01N178W. ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 150NM NORTH OF ITCZ AXIS WEST OF 164W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM NORTH OF ITCZ AXIS EAST OF 164W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07F...FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA...NEAR 24.5S 165.2W AT 0822Z HAS OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120NM SOUTHEAST OF CENTER...SEE NFFN ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 24S136W 15138W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 17S137W 16S140W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 15KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. SECOND TROUGH...FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07F THROUGH 19S162W 03S173W 15S180. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S164W 15S155W 14S177W 10S164W ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE ZONE NORTH OF TROUGH HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN SIZE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SECOND TROUGH AND CONVERGENCE ZONE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 00:04:37 2003 X-UIDL: 15687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I006R3U1RT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 17:51:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U9pLAK031487 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 17:51:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDos042792; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:43:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 733101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:43:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U9hZCw022124 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U9hQid021658 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:43:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U9hQrW021657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:43:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 03:43:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300943.h0U9hQrW021657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 300942 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 30 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 16N128W TO 6N130W. ..HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 105W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE ABOVE SURFACE TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N94W 6N112W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 93W AND WITHIN 45/60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA FROM 1N TO 2N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N120W TO 14N124W IN ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF 103W FROM 6N TO 12N AND FROM THE AXIS TO 7N BETWEEN 86W AND 98W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 00:05:03 2003 X-UIDL: 15702-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J0068V5O6T0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 22:02:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0UE2NAK087851 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 22:02:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDrC042792; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 06:34:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 733819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 06:34:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UCYbCw010420 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 06:34:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0UCYSid022797 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 06:34:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0UCYSdP022796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 06:34:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 06:34:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301301234.h0UCYSdP022796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 301200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 029/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 30/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 (EX-FARI ) 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.6S/41.5E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 31/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 25.5 SOUTH/41.9 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 31/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 27.2 SOUTH/42.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLIGHTLY REINTENSIFIED OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 00:05:09 2003 X-UIDL: 15706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J0062Q85DT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 22:56:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0UEtsAK099056 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 22:55:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDuC042792; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:43:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 734760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:43:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UEhSCw035754 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:43:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0UEhKid024732 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:43:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0UEhKVQ024731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:43:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:43:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301301443.h0UEhKVQ024731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 301500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- NEAR 24.0S6 42.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.0S6 42.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 25.5S2 42.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 26.4S2 43.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION NEAR 24.4S0 42.3E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (FARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTWARDS AS A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM PROPAGATES EASTWARD AND WEAKENS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND A MID-LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENS AND PROPAGATES EASTWARDS FROM THE SOUTH OF THE AFRICAN CONTINENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE BY 24 HOURS, AS IT TRACKS IN AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UK MET GLOBAL, AND AVN, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 09 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 310300Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (CILLA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 02:25:34 2003 X-UIDL: 15710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J006RNC1UT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:20:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0UGKAAK017544 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:20:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UF4nNK011582; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 10:10:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 736410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 10:10:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGA4Cw034526 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 10:10:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0UG9uid027774 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 10:09:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0UG9ulT027773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 10:09:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 10:09:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301301609.h0UG9ulT027773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 301609 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 30 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 30/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE 9N110W 16N116W 23N124W TO 1027 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N78W 5N95W 6N109W 5N114W 4N130W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 96W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 2N TO 5N BETWEEN 127W AND 131W...TO THE SOUTH OF THE MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 5N129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 26N117W TO 18N123W...SHEAR LINE 18N123W TO 16N130W...TROUGH CONTINUES 16N130W TO SECOND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 5N129W. DRY AIR WITHIN 900-1000 NM TO THE NORTHWEST/WEST OF TROUGH. BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN CURVING TOWARD MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA...TO THE EAST OF THE 26N117W 5N129W TROUGH. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 112W AND 115W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 02:25:49 2003 X-UIDL: 15714-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J006K7FUCT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 01:42:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0UHg5AK036163 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 01:42:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGwRKE034578; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:33:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 738313 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:33:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UHX2Cw044026 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:33:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0UHWsid000982 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:32:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0UHWsve000980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:32:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:32:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301301732.h0UHWsve000980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z/311800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301352ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301500Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4S0 42.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. TC 11S HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 301500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 02:25:50 2003 X-UIDL: 15715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J006L0FUNT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 01:42:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0UHgHAK036219 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 01:42:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvDJQ011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:33:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 738310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:33:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UHX2Cw012654 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:33:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0UHWsid000983 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:32:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0UHWsoG000981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:32:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 11:32:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301301732.h0UHWsoG000981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z/311800ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301352ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301500Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4S0 42.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. TC 11S HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 301500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 02:25:50 2003 X-UIDL: 15717-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J006LCHP3T0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 02:22:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0UIM8AK045102 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 02:22:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGwRUi034578; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:16:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 739230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:16:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UIGTCw021754 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:16:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0UIGLid002512 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:16:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0UIGL8o002511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:16:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:16:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301301816.h0UIGL8o002511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 301800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 030/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 30/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 (EX-FARI ) 999 HPA POSITION : 24.7S/42.3E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND UP TO 220 NM IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 31/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 26.9 SOUTH/43.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 31/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 28.5 SOUTH/44.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARD IN DIRECTION AF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURES ARRIVING IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 02:25:50 2003 X-UIDL: 15718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J006NWHS1T0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 02:24:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0UINsAK045386 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 02:23:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvDNq011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:18:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 739271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:18:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UIIUCw005832 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:18:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0UIIMid002592 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:18:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0UIIM46002591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:18:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 12:18:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301301818.h0UIIM46002591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 301800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 15/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (EX-FARI) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 30/01/2003 : 24.7S/42.3E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 26.9S / 43.2E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 28.5S / 44.8E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 32.5S / 47.5E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.0-. TRACKING SOUTHWARD, THE SYSTEM IS GOING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IT SHOULD DEFINITELY WEAKEN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 11:34:46 2003 X-UIDL: 15725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J006UVRHGT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 05:53:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0ULrXAK090058 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 05:53:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvDho011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:45:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 743073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:45:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ULjTCw007416 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:45:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ULjTid009604 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:45:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ULjSWq009603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:45:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:45:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301302145.h0ULjSWq009603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 302145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N147W 25N153W 17N165W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. TCU HAVE WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT STRADDLE THE EQUATOR...ARE IN AREA SOUTH OF 05N BETWEEN 144W AND 180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07F...FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE CILLA...NEAR 25.0S 165.0W AT 1800 UTC HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120NM SOUTHEAST OF QUADRANT OF CENTER. SEE NFFN ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S180 06S160W 10S145W 16S150W 17S163W 12S172W 08S180 06S180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH ABOVE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 16S142W 20S125W...HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 11:34:49 2003 X-UIDL: 15726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J00612RLKT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 05:56:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0ULtvAK090520 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 05:55:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvDi4011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:50:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 743134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:50:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ULogCw039350 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:50:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ULogid009762 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:50:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ULogKW009761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:50:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 15:50:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301302150.h0ULogKW009761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 302150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 30 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 15N AND W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 5N92W 6N109W 3N133W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND 95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 11:34:57 2003 X-UIDL: 15731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J006WPY15T0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 08:15:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V0EwAK013369 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 08:15:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvDsQ011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 18:06:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 745050 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 18:06:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V06MCw030358 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 18:06:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V06Mid012316 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 18:06:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V06MOk012315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 18:06:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 18:06:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310006.h0V06MOk012315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 310000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 031/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 31/01/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 (EX-FARI ) 999 HPA POSITION : 26.1S/42.5E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 31/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 28.0 SOUTH/43.4 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 01/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 29.8 SOUTH/44.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION CAN'T REBUILT DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF AN INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM HAS STARTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 11:35:01 2003 X-UIDL: 15739-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K006J03PQT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:17:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V2HgAK035891 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:17:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvD14011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:00:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 746381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:00:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V20BCw019258 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:00:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V20Aid013476 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:00:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V20AMH013475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:00:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:00:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310200.h0V20AMH013475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 310300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- NEAR 22.1S5 168.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 22.1S5 168.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 23.2S7 166.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 24.0S6 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 24.3S9 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 24.0S6 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION NEAR 22.4S8 167.7E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12P (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS RAPIDLY WEAKENING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 AND 010300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 11:35:01 2003 X-UIDL: 15740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K006LY3SFT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:19:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V2JKAK036227 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:19:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvD1E011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:11:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 746421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:11:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V2BUCw007194 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:11:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V2BUid013566 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:11:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V2BUYA013565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:11:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:11:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310211.h0V2BUYA013565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 310300 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FARI) FINAL WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- NEAR 25.8S5 42.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.8S5 42.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 27.6S5 43.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 28.8S8 44.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION NEAR 26.3S1 42.7E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S (FARI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTWARD AS A LOW TO MID- LEVEL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM PROPAGATES EASTWARD AND WEAKENS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND A MID-LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENS AND PROPAGATES EASTWARD FROM THE SOUTH OF THE AFRICAN CONTINENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE BY 24 HOURS, AS IT TRACKS IN AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UK MET GLOBAL, AND AVN, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 09 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 11:35:04 2003 X-UIDL: 15744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K006OO6YAT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 11:27:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V3RdAK047474 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 11:27:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvD4E011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 21:18:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 747189 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 21:18:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V3IjCw044202 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 21:18:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V3Ijid014079 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 21:18:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V3Ij4G014078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 21:18:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 21:18:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310318.h0V3Ij4G014078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 310318 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 31 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 31/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 15N AND W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 4N120W 4N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 89W-91W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 13:53:37 2003 X-UIDL: 15751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K006KSDFQT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 13:47:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V5leAK070155 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 13:47:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ULti22034578; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 748153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V5MmCw035536 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V5Mlid015157 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V5Mlbk015155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean/310600zjan2003/010600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310522.h0V5Mlbk015155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 310600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZJAN2003/010600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.0N1 156.0E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 22.1S5 168.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 310300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.1S7 165.5W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.7S4 164.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 760 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, TUTUILA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS, WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 14:49:21 2003 X-UIDL: 15755-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K0067LG1ZT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:44:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V6iGAK080255 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:44:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvDBg011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:34:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 749251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:34:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V6YYCw006032 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:34:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V6YYid015691 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:34:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V6YXbK015690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:34:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:34:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310634.h0V6YXbK015690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 310600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 032/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 31/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 (FARI ) 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.4S/43.5E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 310 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 31/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.5 SOUTH/45.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 01/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 30.6 SOUTH/45.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED. THE SYSTEM HAS STARTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL, AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 14:49:22 2003 X-UIDL: 15756-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K006DAG8ZT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:48:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V6mSAK080917 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:48:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V68gI0034580; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:37:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 749270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:37:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V6bPCw018266 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:37:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V6bPid015716 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:37:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V6bPJ8015715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:37:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:37:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310637.h0V6bPJ8015715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 310600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 16/9/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (FARI) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 31/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.4S/43.5E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 / /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 26 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 29.5S / 45.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 30.6S / 45.8E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 35.1S / 49.4E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN TEMPORALY IN THE MIDLE OF THE PERIODE ON THIS TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 14:59:21 2003 X-UIDL: 15758-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K006Q5GMRT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:56:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V6ukAK082149 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:56:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvDBw011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:49:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 749344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:49:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V6nqCw035396 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:49:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V6npid015808 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:49:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V6npDi015807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:49:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 00:49:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310649.h0V6npDi015807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 310600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 032/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 31/01/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 (FARI ) 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.4S/43.5E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 310 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 31/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.5 SOUTH/45.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 01/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 30.6 SOUTH/45.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED. THE SYSTEM HAS STARTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL, AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 00:34:55 2003 X-UIDL: 15769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K00CVNOTHS0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 17:53:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V9rYAK012544 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 17:53:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V7njFW011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 03:45:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 750524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 03:45:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V9jfCw012876 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 03:45:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V9jeid017150 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 03:45:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V9je4Y017149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 03:45:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 03:45:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310945.h0V9je4Y017149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 310945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 31 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 31/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 114W TO THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N96W 7N107W 5N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 114W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 125 NM OF A LINE FROM 2N91W TO JUST NORTH OF THE AXIS NEAR 6N82W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA FROM JUST NORTH OF THE EQUATOR TO 4N. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 00:34:55 2003 X-UIDL: 15770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K00CFVPH6S0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 18:07:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VA7mAK015110 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 18:07:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V7njFY011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 04:02:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 750571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 04:02:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VA2oCw029186 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 04:02:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VA2oid017262 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 04:02:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VA2oWS017261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 04:02:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 04:02:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301311002.h0VA2oWS017261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 311000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JANUARY 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY SHOWERY LOW...CLOUDS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ARE BOUNDED BY 30N149W 30N142W 21N155W 20N161W 16N172W 19N170W 25N157W. FEATURE MOVING SLOWLY EAST NORTH OF 27N AND NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTH OF THAT LATITUDE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 03S172W 06S163W 12S157W 15S160W 14S165W 09S166W 10S173W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 05S177W 10S173W 10S176W 08S178W 09S177E 07S172E 06S172E 07S178E 05S180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 15S137W 17S128W 23S136W 20S135W 18S139W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 18S125W 21S121W 25S121W 25S124W 21S124W 20S127W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 15 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 00:34:56 2003 X-UIDL: 15774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K00CHYWL6S0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 20:41:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VCfIAK040102 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 20:41:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V7njJY011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 06:33:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 751584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 06:33:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VCXCCw044264 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 06:33:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VCXCid018317 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 06:33:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VCXCJc018316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 06:33:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 06:33:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301311233.h0VCXCJc018316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 311200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 033/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 31/01/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09 (EX-FARI ) 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.1S/43.8E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT IN THE SOUTHESATERN QUADRANT UNDER THE SQUALLS AND ALSO LOCALLY IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 01/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 29.4 SOUTH/44.2 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 01/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 31.9 SOUTH/44.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED. THE SYSTEM HAS STARTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL, AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD. STRONG WINDS ARE DUE TO GRADIENT WITH TWO CELLS OF HIGH PRESSION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 00:34:56 2003 X-UIDL: 15777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K00CJ5ZDOS0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 21:41:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VDffAK049367 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 21:41:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V7njKq011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 07:28:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 752086 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 07:28:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VDScCw019370 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 07:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VDScid018765 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 07:28:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VDSc24018764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 07:28:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 07:28:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301311328.h0VDSc24018764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 311500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- NEAR 23.8S3 165.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.8S3 165.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 24.1S7 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION NEAR 23.9S4 165.3E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 12P (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH LITTLE REMAINING ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 20 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 00:34:59 2003 X-UIDL: 15789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9L00C276VPS0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:23:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VGNfAK082478 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:23:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V7njsu011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:14:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 756633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:08:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VG8HCw031204 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:08:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VG8Hid023420 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:08:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VG8HB2023419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:08:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:08:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301311608.h0VG8HB2023419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 311608 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 31 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 31/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 9N118W TO 18N120W TO 25N125W TO 1024 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 6N96W 7N102W 7N113W 8N123W 5N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 111W AND 115W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 40-50 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/ UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 22N115W TO 15N122W TO SECOND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 2N126W. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 00:57:27 2003 X-UIDL: 15795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9L00CM58EMS0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:56:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VGudAK089352 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:56:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V7nj18011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 757790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VGqMCw031166 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VGqLid024904 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VGqLgD024902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301311652.h0VGqLgD024902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZJAN2003/011800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/INGRAM/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 01:05:36 2003 X-UIDL: 15799-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9L00C448SJS0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 01:05:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VH4vAK091149 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 01:04:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VG1rSC034580; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 757793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VGqMCw040736 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VGqLid024905 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VGqL8c024903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:52:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301311652.h0VGqL8c024903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZJAN2003/011800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/INGRAM/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 10:14:28 2003 X-UIDL: 15813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9L00CQRMIWS0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 06:01:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VM1cAK052914 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 06:01:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0JI038662; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:58:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 758171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:55:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VLtdCw017488 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:55:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VLtcid004710 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:55:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VLtcpU004709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:55:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:55:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301312155.h0VLtcpU004709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 312155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JANUARY 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT THROUGH 30N176W 24N170E MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS SOUTH OF FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 06S177W 15S157W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... STATIONARY FRONT THROUGH 25S167W 35S157W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 10:14:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9L00CEDT8QS0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 08:26:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h110QgAK077808 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 08:26:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0Zi038662; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 18:17:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 760701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 18:17:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h110HcCw012946 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 18:17:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h110Hbid007412 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 18:17:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h110Hbgn007411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 18:17:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 18:17:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302010017.h110Hbgn007411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 010000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 035/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 01/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 (EX-FARI ) 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.5S/44.5E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 20 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 01/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 37.0 SOUTH/45.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 02/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 40.0 SOUTH/51.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS ARE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 10:14:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9L00CNGCP3S0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 02:29:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VITGAK006236 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 02:29:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V7nj8W011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 12:21:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 759293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 12:21:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VILNCw029252 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 12:21:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VILMid028077 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 12:21:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VILMrC028076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 12:21:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 12:21:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301311821.h0VILMrC028076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 311800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 034/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 31/01/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 (EX-FARI ) 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 29.2S/44.5E (TWENTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 01/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 31.0 SOUTH/46.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 01/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 33.0 SOUTH/47.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS ARE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 10:14:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9L00CQ5MIJS0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 06:01:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VM1NAK052838 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 06:01:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0Iq038662; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:53:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 758132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:53:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VLr3Cw017426 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:53:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VLr3id004642 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:53:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VLr2Qr004640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:53:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 15:53:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301312153.h0VLr2Qr004640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 312152 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 31 JAN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 31/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N132W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 10N AND W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N84W 6N102W 8N114W 5N125W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W AND 86W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 21:23:10 2003 X-UIDL: 15847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9M006I91QUSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:30:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h113ULAK013032 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:30:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0ec038662; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 21:22:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 762218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 21:22:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h113MuCw035402 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 21:22:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h113Muid009029 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 21:22:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h113MunC009028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 21:22:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 21:22:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302010322.h113MunC009028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 010322 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 01 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N137W AND EXITS ARE NEAR 30N140W. ..1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N130W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 10N AND W OF 115W TO COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N90W 7N106W 5N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 3N TO 5N BETWEEN 84W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 118W AND 121W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 107W AND 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 21:23:11 2003 X-UIDL: 15853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9M006D09OHSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:21:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h116LlAK038848 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:21:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h116CFFW024394; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:16:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 763435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:07:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1167bCw018424 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:07:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1167aid010401 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:07:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1167aAi010400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:07:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:07:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302010607.h1167aAi010400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 010600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 036/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 01/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 (EX-FARI ) 1000 HPA POSITION : 33.0S/45.5E (THIRTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 18 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 01/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 35.0 SOUTH/48.5 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 02/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 37.0 SOUTH/52.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 21:23:12 2003 X-UIDL: 15855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9M006GV9U6SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:25:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h116PBAK039347 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:25:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h116CFEG024394; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:12:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 763374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:02:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1162uCw010568 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:02:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1162uid010380 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:02:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1162uAx010378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:02:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:02:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302010602.h1162uAx010378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 311200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 23.8S3 165.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 311500) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25.7S4 164.9W0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 21:23:13 2003 X-UIDL: 15861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9M006CCJIMSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 17:54:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h119sFAK070435 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 17:54:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0lm038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 03:47:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 764936 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 03:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h119lVCw035948 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 03:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h119lUid011929 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 03:47:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h119lUBv011928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 03:47:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 03:47:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302010947.h119lUBv011928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 010947 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 01 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N136W AND EXTENDS BEYOND 29N140W. ..WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1022 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 28N128W SOUTHEAST TO 13N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N90W 7N108W 5N121W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 78.5W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA...WITHIN 90/105 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 90W...AND WITHIN 105 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 91W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 21:23:13 2003 X-UIDL: 15862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9M006MIK1PSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 18:05:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h11A5hAK071983 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 18:05:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0lo038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 04:01:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 764992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 04:01:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11A1sCw023476 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 04:01:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h11A1sid012041 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 04:01:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h11A1sHj012040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 04:01:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 04:01:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302011001.h11A1sHj012040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 011001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 01 2003 ..NOTE...SATELLITE IMAGERY IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE EAST OF 160W IS VALID ONLY UP TILL 01/0530 UTC...END NOTE... NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N169W 26N180 30N180. FEATURE MOVING EAST NEAR 15 KT ALONG 30N...BUT BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTH OF 27N. CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE EQUATOR AND DATELINE ARE BOUNDED BY 01N176E 01N178W 03S168W 08S162W 04S178W 02S176E...HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15S165W WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 15S165W 16S161W HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE EQUATOR AND DATELINE ARE BOUNDED BY 01N176E 01N178W 03S168W 08S162W 04S178W 02S176E...HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 06S180 11S173W 11S179W 08S178E 12S174E 08S174E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S150W 20S157W 18S160W 10S159W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 14S137W 15S133W 21S124W 25S123W 25S126W 22S129W 22S139W 18S137W 18S142W 15S143W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 21:23:13 2003 X-UIDL: 15866-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9M006GZQK0SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 20:26:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h11CQHAK092023 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 20:26:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0o4038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 06:13:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 765658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 06:13:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11CDjCw042898 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 06:13:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h11CDiid012746 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 06:13:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h11CDiEt012745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 06:13:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 06:13:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302011213.h11CDiEt012745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 011200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 037/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 01/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09 (EX-FARI ) 1002 HPA POSITION : 34.2S/47.0E (THIRTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 16 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 02/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 36.0 SOUTH/50.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 02/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 38.0 SOUTH/53.5 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM, DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 00:03:44 2003 X-UIDL: 15874-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9N006FV09NSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:56:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h11Fu3AK022897 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:56:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0vA038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 09:48:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 767180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 09:48:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11FmVCw025448 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 09:48:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h11FmVid014042 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 09:48:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h11FmVh6014041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 09:48:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 09:48:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302011548.h11FmVh6014041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 011548 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 01 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE ENTIRE AREA N OF 10N WITH EXCEPTION TO A NARROW AREA OF LOW PRESSURE RIGHT ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM GUADALAJARA NWD TO THE N GULF OF CALIFORNIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N90W 7N110W 7N120W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 77W-79W. WEAKENING AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 86W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 101W-108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 14N112W-24N107W. BROKEN HIGH CLOUDINESS EXTENDS NEWD OVER CENTRAL MEXICO. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 01:33:44 2003 X-UIDL: 15880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9N0060M4MASS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 01:30:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h11HU3AK035752 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 01:30:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu00M038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 768061 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11HKMCw023474 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h11HKMid015150 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h11HKMjB015149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302011720.h11HKMjB015149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/INGRAM/HEATH/EDBERG/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 01:33:44 2003 X-UIDL: 15881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9N0062U4PPSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 01:32:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h11HW7AK036022 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 01:32:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h116CF02024394; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 768064 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11HKMCw027750 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h11HKMid015151 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h11HKMo6015148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 11:20:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302011720.h11HKMo6015148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/INGRAM/HEATH/EDBERG/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 06:23:51 2003 X-UIDL: 15891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9N0060SGWSSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 05:55:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h11LtXAK077033 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 05:55:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0CQ038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:47:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 770914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:47:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LljCw037888 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:47:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h11Lliid017777 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:47:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h11Lli5c017776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:47:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:47:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302012147.h11Lli5c017776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 012147 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N165W 25N180...AND SOUTHWESTWARD BEYOND THE DATELINE. THIS BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IS 100 TO 150 MILES WIDE...AND HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... THERE ARE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WITH A FEW SHOWERY CLOUD BANDS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... THERE ARE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WITH A FEW SHOWERY CLOUD BANDS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 07N180 EQ169W EQ180 07N180. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 02S175W 04S168W MOVED NORTH AT 15 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY EQ180 EQ177W 07S175W 06S180 EQ180 MOVED NORTH AT 5 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND DECREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. THESE CB ALSO EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08S180 10S167W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 05S163W 25S160W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. THERE IS ALSO A SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 18S 163W. MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 19S 139W...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE 11S146W 20S135W 26S121W MOVED WEST AT 5 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... THERE ARE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS OVER THE ISLANDS. THE NORTHERN EDGE OF A SHOWERY BAND OF BROKEN TO SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS IS 50 NM SOUTH OF SAVAII AND 200 MILES SOUTH OF PAGO PAGO. THIS CLOUD BAND IS 100 NM WIDE AND IS ORIENTED FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. IT HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS A WEAK...SMALL SURFACE LOW NEAR 16.5S 170.6W...EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CLOUD BAND. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 06:23:51 2003 X-UIDL: 15892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9N0061ZH0BSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 05:57:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h11LvfAK077241 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 05:57:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11JdxSC024394; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:50:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 770922 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:50:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LoMCw027886 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:50:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h11LoLid017796 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:50:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h11LoLJl017795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:50:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 15:50:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302012150.h11LoLJl017795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 012150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N165W 25N180...AND SOUTHWESTWARD BEYOND THE DATELINE. THIS BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IS 100 TO 150 MILES WIDE...AND HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... THERE ARE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WITH A FEW SHOWERY CLOUD BANDS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... THERE ARE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS WITH A FEW SHOWERY CLOUD BANDS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 07N180 EQ169W EQ180 07N180. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 02S175W 04S168W MOVED NORTH AT 15 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY EQ180 EQ177W 07S175W 06S180 EQ180 MOVED NORTH AT 5 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND DECREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. THESE CB ALSO EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08S180 10S167W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 05S163W 25S160W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 19S 139W...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE 11S146W 20S135W 26S121W MOVED WEST AT 5 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... THERE ARE SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS OVER THE ISLANDS. THE NORTHERN EDGE OF A SHOWERY BAND OF BROKEN TO SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS IS 50 NM SOUTH OF SAVAII AND 200 MILES SOUTH OF PAGO PAGO. THIS CLOUD BAND IS 100 NM WIDE AND IS ORIENTED FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. IT HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 10 KNOTS. THERE IS A WEAK LOW LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED NEAR 16.5S 170.6W...EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CLOUD BAND. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 06:23:51 2003 X-UIDL: 15893-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9N0068VHKISS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 06:09:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h11M9mOR099807 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 06:09:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11JdxU0024394; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 16:04:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 771117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 16:04:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11M47Cw023356 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 16:04:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h11M47id017935 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 16:04:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h11M46De017934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 16:04:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 16:04:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302012204.h11M46De017934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 012203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 01 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1031 MB HIGH IS LOCATED N OF THE AREA NEAR 40N137W. ..WEAK STATIONARY FRONT ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS TO 30N137W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 4N90W 4N107W 7N120W 6N130W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 82W-86W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 13:03:35 2003 X-UIDL: 15902-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9N0010YW1C7M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 11:22:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h123MIBF041562 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 11:22:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LraKE038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 21:17:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 773297 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 21:17:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h123HVCw023334 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 21:17:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h123HVid020257 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 21:17:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h123HUo8020256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 21:17:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 21:17:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302020317.h123HUo8020256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 020317 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 02 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1031 MB HIGH IS LOCATED N OF THE AREA NEAR 40N134W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 25N AND W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N110W 6N120W 5N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 13:43:11 2003 X-UIDL: 15904-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9O001ES2C87M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 13:38:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h125cPBF058339 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 13:38:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11Jdx1s024394; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 774073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h125SQCw012854 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h125SQid020999 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h125SQw7020997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302020528.h125SQw7020997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 020600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 22:00:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9O001GLDTV7M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 17:46:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h129kaBF092194 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 17:46:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LraQE038662; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:39:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 775501 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:39:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h129cxCw014562 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:39:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h129cxid022553 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:38:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h129cx7h022552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:38:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:38:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302020938.h129cx7h022552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 020938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 02 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 20N103W 25N108W TO 32N113W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N104W 5N113W 7N131W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM THE BORDER OF PANAMA TO 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 4N84.5W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W TO 99W. WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 22:00:30 2003 X-UIDL: 15911-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9O001V2EFQ7M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 17:59:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h129xiBF094218 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 17:59:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LraQG038662; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:55:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 775567 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:55:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h129t7Cw005706 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:55:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h129t7id022612 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:55:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h129t78p022611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:55:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 03:55:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302020955.h129t78p022611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 020954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH ALONG LINE 20N140W 14N150W MOVING EAST 12 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CLOUD LAYERS/ISOLATED TCU/CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 17N144W 20N140W. BROKEN CUMULUS WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 14N151W 17N144W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK FRONT THROUGH 25N180 30N169W MOVING EAST 10 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH THROUGH 04S180 13S165W 25S163W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF TROUGH NORTH OF 13S AND WITHIN 85 NM OF TROUGH SOUTH OF 13S. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 23:52:22 2003 X-UIDL: 15918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9O00100U257M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:37:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h12Fb5BF037842 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1276ekY024396; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 09:29:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 777782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 09:29:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h12FTcCw026648 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 09:29:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h12FTcid024560 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 09:29:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h12FTcln024559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 09:29:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 09:29:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302021529.h12FTcln024559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 021529 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 02 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 20N108W NWD ALONG 25N100W TO 31N115W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N125W TO 22N110W.. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 3N100W 7N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHALLOW CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 129W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 9N-25N BETWEEN 130W-140W. RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 03 10:03:27 2003 X-UIDL: 15928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9P0011DBKA7M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 05:55:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h12LtFBF094096 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 05:55:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11Lram2038662; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:47:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 781210 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:47:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h12LlGCw023344 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:47:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h12LlFid027705 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:47:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h12LlFGm027704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:47:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:47:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302022147.h12LlFGm027704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 022147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 02 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1033 MB HIGH IS LOCATED N OF THE REGION NEAR 41N133W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 3N100W 4N120W 8N128W 7N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 9N-25N BETWEEN 130W-140W. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 03 10:03:27 2003 X-UIDL: 15929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9P00133BOJ7M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 05:57:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h12LvnBF094392 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 05:57:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h12K0eLA024396; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:50:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 781224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:50:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h12Lo5Cw034852 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:50:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h12Lo5id027734 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:50:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h12Lo56f027733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:50:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 15:50:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302022150.h12Lo56f027733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 022149 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SPORADIC CB ARE BOUNDED BY 13N140W 05N140W 03N166W 08N164W 13N140W. THIS AREA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 04N166W 01N173W MOVED NORTH AT 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG 30N165W 26N171W 23N180. THIS RAGGED BAND OF BROKEN TO OCCASIONALLY SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS IS 50 TO 150 MILES WIDE...AND HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST NEAR 20 KNOTS. COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG 30N171W 26N180W. THIS RAGGED BAND OF BROKEN TO OCCASIONALLY SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS IS 75 MILES WIDE...AND HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST NEAR 35 KNOTS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR WEATHER FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONTS UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR WEATHER FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR WEATHER FEATURES. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 01S164W 08S156W 20S159W 25S164W 14S166W 05S180 01S179W 01S164W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. THERE HAVE BEEN POCKETS OF CYCLING CB WITHIN THIS AREA. MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 15S 144W...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 350 NM OF THE CENTER MOVED NORTH AT 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY OR COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR WEATHER FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR WEATHER FEATURES. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 03 11:44:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9P00L37RO5H5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:43:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h133h4BF044033 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:43:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LrawG038662; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 21:35:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 784120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 21:35:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h133ZmCw005812 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 21:35:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h133Zmid000397 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 21:35:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h133Zm5s000396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 21:35:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 21:35:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302030335.h133Zm5s000396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 030335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 03 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1033 MB HIGH IS LOCATED N OF THE REGION NEAR 43N134W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N AND W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 2N110W 3N120W 4N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 01:16:53 2003 X-UIDL: 15943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9P00L08XCYH5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 13:46:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h135jwBF061989 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 13:45:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11Lra1s038662; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 785145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h135ZMCw039324 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h135ZLid001276 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h135ZLeO001274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302030535.h135ZLeO001274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 030600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 01:16:56 2003 X-UIDL: 15950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Q00L3775JH5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 17:17:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h139HaBF095585 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 17:17:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11Lra8K038662; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:11:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 786923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:11:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h139BiCw028644 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:11:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h139Biid002894 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:11:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h139BiOR002893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:11:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:11:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302030911.h139BiOR002893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 030911 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 03 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 03/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 7N100W 6N123W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 124W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF ITCZ AXIS EAST OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 31N138W. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER MOVING INTO NE MEXICO. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW SOUTH OF 25N BETWEEN THESE TWO AREAS OF CYCLONIC FLOW. TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 01:16:56 2003 X-UIDL: 15951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Q00LBY8NEH5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 17:50:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h139ntBF000988 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 17:49:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11Lra8O038662; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 786963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h139VuCw027788 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h139Vuid003017 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h139VtOo003015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302030931.h139VtOo003015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 031000 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 11.3S5 115.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE LESSER SUNDRA ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS POORLY DEFINED CONVECTION NEAR WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS GOOD EXHAUST MECHANISM WITH POINT SOURCE NEAR LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) POOR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 01:16:56 2003 X-UIDL: 15952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Q00LLA942H5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 18:00:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h139xtBF002551 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 17:59:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11Lra8m038662; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:55:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 787051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:55:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h139t6Cw034612 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:55:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h139t6id003123 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:55:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h139t6u5003122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:55:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:55:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302030955.h139t6u5003122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 030954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE EQ170W 05N160W 07N140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN THIS BAND WEST OF 160W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK FRONT THROUGH 30N161W 25N170W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 22N180. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW NEAR 15S144W MOVING NORTHWEST 5 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 240 NM OF LOW CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... TROUGH THROUGH 05S176W 10S164W 25S163W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF TROUGH NORTH OF 15S AND WITHIN 85 NM OF TROUGH SOUTH OF 15S. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 01:16:57 2003 X-UIDL: 15954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Q00LAGBANH5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 18:47:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h13Al4BF010152 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 18:47:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h139TPD8024416; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 786966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h139VuCw011604 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h139Vuid003018 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h139Vtt6003016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 03:31:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302030931.h139Vtt6003016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031000 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 11.3S5 115.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE LESSER SUNDRA ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS POORLY DEFINED CONVECTION NEAR WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS GOOD EXHAUST MECHANISM WITH POINT SOURCE NEAR LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) POOR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 01:17:01 2003 X-UIDL: 15962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Q00LF1OX9H5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:41:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h13FfKBF060779 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:41:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13DhiMs038662; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 09:34:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 789472 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 09:34:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13FYeCw025546 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 09:34:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h13FYeid008286 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 09:34:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h13FYdl2008285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 09:34:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 09:34:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302031534.h13FYdl2008285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 031534 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 03 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK TROF LIES ALONG 140W N OF 10N WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE EAST ALONG 30N130W-15N115W. ENHANCED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG ELY WINDS OVER THE N PORTION OF AREA. ..TROUGH EXTENDS RIGHT ALONG THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM 23N110W TO BEYOND 31N118W. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N90W 4N100W 4N110W 5N120W 7N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENT FLOW COUPLED WITH BROAD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE E OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 32N137W IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 12N-30N BETWEEN 120W-136W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 10:09:21 2003 X-UIDL: 15969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Q00L9SVEYH5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 02:01:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h13I1cBF088462 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 02:01:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13Dhidw038662; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:52:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 792060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:48:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13HmUCw039238 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:48:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h13HmTid013879 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:48:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h13HmTcL013877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:48:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:48:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/031800z/041800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302031748.h13HmTcL013877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 031800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3S5 115.9E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 114.6E2 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS POORLY DEFINED CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT WITH A POINT SOURCE NEAR THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 10.7S8 98.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS A WEAK LLCC AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 10:09:21 2003 X-UIDL: 15970-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Q00LBXVHOH5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 02:03:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h13I3IBF088720 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 02:03:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h139TP66024416; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:54:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 792056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:48:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13HmUCw006058 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:48:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h13HmTid013880 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:48:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h13HmTTO013878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:48:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 11:48:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/031800z/041800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302031748.h13HmTTO013878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3S5 115.9E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 114.6E2 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS POORLY DEFINED CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT WITH A POINT SOURCE NEAR THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 10.7S8 98.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS A WEAK LLCC AND ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 10:09:24 2003 X-UIDL: 15985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00LSK6D8H5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 05:58:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h13LwDBF034940 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 05:58:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN6FK007686; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:47:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 797371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:47:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LlJCw022126 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:47:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h13LlJid022303 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:47:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h13LlINx022302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:47:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:47:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302032147.h13LlINx022302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 032147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 03 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK TROUGH PREVIOUSLY ALONG 140W HAS MOVED W OF THE AREA. HOWEVER AN ENHANCED PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS WITH RIDGING TO THE N PRODUCING AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG ELY WINDS OVER THE NW PART OF THE REGION. ..EARLIER TROUGHING ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DISSIPATED. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 4N110W 6N140W. AXIS IS RATHER ILL-DEFINED WITH ONLY SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS W OF 130W WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AN UPPER TROUGH IN COMBINATION WITH SOME LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS RESPONSIBLE FOR A LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 12N-28N BETWEEN 120W-137W. AN ISOLATED MODERATE CELL IS NEAR 12N135W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 10:09:24 2003 X-UIDL: 15986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00LAW6H1QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 06:00:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h13M0VBF035479 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 06:00:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN6GO007686; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:55:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 797568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:55:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LtBCw032070 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:55:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h13LtBid022517 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:55:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h13LtB95022516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:55:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 15:55:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302032155.h13LtB95022516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 032154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF POINT 04N155W MOVED EAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... VERY WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15S166W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM THAT MOVED WEST NORTHWEST SLOWLY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE EQUATOR...WERE BOUNDED BY 01N177W 02S158W 13S162W 08S174W AND MOVED NORTH SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15S170W 15S174W 11S177W 11S169W MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE BOUNDED BY 03S177W 07S176W 05S174E 02S174E AND MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. UPPER LEVEL LOW AND SURFACE TROUGH... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 14S141W 21S145W 18S149W 14S146W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 21S135W 24S130W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 25S125W 28S121W 32S120W MOVED SOUTH SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15S166W. ALSO...SEE THE SECOND CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 11:19:14 2003 X-UIDL: 16005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00LF0KW6QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:12:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h143C0BF002254 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:12:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LM58c038664; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 802087 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h142x5Cw026510 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h142x5id026919 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h142x5qE026917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/040300z/040600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040259.h142x5qE026917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040300 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/040300Z/040600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 21.0S3 151.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM OFF THE EAST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION IS PERSISTENT AND DISORGANIZED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM, WITH INCREASING SHEAR TO THE SOUTH, AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER EASTERN AUSTRALIA, TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA 2.B.(1) AS A FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 11:39:15 2003 X-UIDL: 16011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00LMSM5CQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:39:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h143d5BF007828 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:39:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN6gs007686; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:30:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 802678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:30:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h143U7Cw040254 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:30:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h143U7id027230 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:30:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h143U7T4027229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:30:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:30:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040330.h143U7T4027229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 040329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 04 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 04/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD RIDGING FROM A HIGH CENTERED N OF THE AREA IN COMBINATION WITH A WEAK TROUGH W OF THE AREA IS CREATING SOME STRONGER WINDS IN THE NW PORTION OF THE REGION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N100W 4N115W 6N130W 6N140W. AXIS IS RATHER ILL-DEFINED ESPECIALLY E OF 100W WITH ONLY SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS W OF 120W WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... LARGE FIELD OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/UPPER CLOUDINESS...MOSTLY CIRRUS.. IS E OF 133W N OF A LINE FROM 12N130W TO MAINLAND MEXICO NEAR 24N107W. THERE ARE PROBABLY SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AREA WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 13N134W 16N125W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 11:49:15 2003 X-UIDL: 16012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00LGXMHBQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:46:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h143kHBF009137 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:46:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN6hc007686; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 802816 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h143eaCw015618 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h143eaid027342 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h143eaqU027340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean Reissued/040330z/041800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040340.h143eaqU027340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 040330 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/040330Z/041800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3S5 115.9E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 114.6E2 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS POORLY DEFINED CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT WITH A POINT SOURCE NEAR THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 98.5E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 98.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 11:49:15 2003 X-UIDL: 16013-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00LMDMJ4QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:47:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h143lMBF009397 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:47:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h143XKDq038664; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 802819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h143eaCw042522 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h143eaid027343 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h143ea8M027341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean Reissued/040330z/041800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040340.h143ea8M027341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 040330 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/040330Z/041800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3S5 115.9E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 114.6E2 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS POORLY DEFINED CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT WITH A POINT SOURCE NEAR THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 98.5E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 98.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 13:47:32 2003 X-UIDL: 16019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00LK7RMOQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:37:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h145bVBF031019 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:37:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h143XKPm038664; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 803812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h145RtCw035976 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h145Rsid028303 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h145RsfK028301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040527.h145RsfK028301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 21.0S3 151.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM OFF THE EAST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION IS PERSISTENT AND DISORGANIZED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM, WITH INCREASING SHEAR TO THE SOUTH, AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER EASTERN AUSTRALIA, TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 17:37:13 2003 X-UIDL: 16035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9S00HDU2L7WA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 17:34:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h149YCBF092431 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 17:34:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN6vK007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:28:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 806101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h149SpCw043398 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h149Spid000362 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:28:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h149SoQu000361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:28:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:28:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040928.h149SoQu000361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 040928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 04 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 04/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 5N95W 5N109W 5N118W 7N130W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS MOSTLY BETWEEN 118W AND 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... LARGE FIELD OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS... WITH SOME EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS... WITHIN 550-700 NM NORTHWEST OF 23N107W 15N120W 9N126W. $$ TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 17:57:13 2003 X-UIDL: 16036-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9S00LOR3G9QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 17:52:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h149qoBF097519 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 17:52:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN6vM007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:44:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 806140 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:44:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h149ikCw016358 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:44:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h149ikid000486 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:44:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h149ij2Y000485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:44:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 03:44:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040944.h149ij2Y000485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 040944 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 30N152W 24N160W 22N175E. THIS RAGGED BAND OF BROKEN TO OCCASIONALLY SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS IS 50 TO 150 MILES WIDE. IT HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 15 KNOTS ALONG 30N...TOWARDS THE SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS ALONG 170W...AND NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG THE DATELINE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 04S172W 11S162W MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED DRAMATICALLY IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY EQ167W 10S148W 12S158W EQ167W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07S171W 12S164W 13S174W 07S171W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12S155W 20S167W 25S168W 12S179W 12S155W MOVED WEST AT 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12S148W 16S138W 23S140W 21S152W 12S148W MOVED WEST AT 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CZ UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 23:41:50 2003 X-UIDL: 16053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9S00LNSJHEQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 23:39:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14Fd6BF067192 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 23:39:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14FEMF4007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 09:29:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 809077 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 09:27:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14FRgCw043454 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 09:27:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14FRgid005673 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 09:27:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14FRgMi005672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 09:27:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 09:27:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302041527.h14FRgMi005672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 041527 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 04 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 04/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROF LIES OVER THE W EXTENT OF DISCUSSION AREA FROM 14N138W TO 30N143W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA E OF TROF TO THE COAST OF W MEXICO WHERE A SECOND TROF EXTENDS FROM 18N106W NWD TO 32N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 6N110W 5N115W 8N134W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 124W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED SHOWERS FROM 12N-20N BETWEEN 123W-134W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 20N-25N BETWEEN 115W-130W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 03:51:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9S00HOZV3QWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:50:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14Jo3BF026023 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:50:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14FEMsa007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:42:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 815831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:34:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14JYZCw034422 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:34:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14JYZid014486 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:34:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14JYZkr014484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:34:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:34:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/041800z/051800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302041934.h14JYZkr014484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 041800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 114.6E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 114.1E7 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS POORLY DEFINED CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 98.4E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 98.2E9 APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND OVERNIGHT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR BUT CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND WILL LIKELY BE THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LATER TODAY. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 04:01:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16070-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9S00HXPV8NWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:53:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14Jr5BF026715 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:53:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14GWb5Y024442; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:40:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 815827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:34:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14JYZCw013910 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:34:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14JYZid014487 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:34:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14JYZKe014485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:34:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:34:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/041800z/051800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302041934.h14JYZKe014485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 114.6E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 114.1E7 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS POORLY DEFINED CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 98.4E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 98.2E9 APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND OVERNIGHT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR BUT CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND WILL LIKELY BE THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LATER TODAY. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 04:41:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9S00HDBX8YWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 04:36:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14KaSBF036222 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 04:36:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14FEM2C007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:23:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 817235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:23:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14KNRCw004426 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:23:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14KNQid016372 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:23:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14KNOkm016370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:23:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:23:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 041951z Feb 03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302042023.h14KNOkm016370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS21 PGTW 042000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 041951Z FEB 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.5S6 98.5E2 TO 12.0S3 93.9E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 041730Z5 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 98.0E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 98.4E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 98.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND OVERNIGHT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THEREFORE THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 052000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 05:21:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9S00H43YXPWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 05:13:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14LCoBF043815 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 05:12:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14K2jRq024442; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:04:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 818093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:04:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14L3wCw007184 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:03:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14L3wid017693 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:03:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14L3wUD017690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:03:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:03:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean Reissued/042030z/051800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302042103.h14L3wUD017690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 042030 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/042030Z/051800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 114.1E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 113.6E1 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 98.4E1,IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 98.0E7 APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND OVERNIGHT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 042000) FOR FUTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(2)TO GOOD AND PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 05:21:54 2003 X-UIDL: 16081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9S00H9YZ3MWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 05:16:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14LGSBF044535 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 05:16:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14FEM7e007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:04:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 818089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:03:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14L3wCw036590 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:03:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14L3wid017694 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:03:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14L3who017691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:03:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:03:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean Reissued/042030z/051800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302042103.h14L3who017691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 042030 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/042030Z/051800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 114.1E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 113.6E1 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 98.4E1,IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 98.0E7 APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND OVERNIGHT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 042000) FOR FUTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(2)TO GOOD AND PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 05:51:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00HE80EPWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 05:44:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14LigBF049086 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 05:44:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14FEMCm007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:37:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 818677 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:36:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LafCw004390 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:36:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14Lafid018848 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:36:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14LaeiP018847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:36:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:36:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302042136.h14LaeiP018847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 042136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 04 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 04/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH IS BORDERING THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA FROM 12N139W TO 26N143W. ..SECOND TROUGH IS OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 23N113W TO 30N123W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA BETWEEN THE TROUGH EXCEPT FOR A THIRD TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG CENTRAL MEXICO FROM 15N100W TO 31N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N95W 7N130W 6N140W. CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED WITH SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS E OF AN UPPER TROUGH WITHIN 275 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N130W TO COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NEAR 27N110W WITH SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE. CLOUDS ARE MOSTLY MIDDLE LEVEL W OF 122W AND MOSTLY UPPER LEVEL CIRRUS E OF 122W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 06:01:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16084-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00HSI0WHWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 05:55:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14LtNBF050614 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 05:55:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14K2jbw024442; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:48:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 819107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:48:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LmnCw004474 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:48:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14Lmmid019311 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:48:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14Lmm2Z019310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:48:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 15:48:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302042148.h14Lmm2Z019310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 042148 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N174W 27N180...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 30 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N142W 05N142W 02N153W 02N163W 06N164W 08N142W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 08F...NEAR 13.0S 168.0W...HAS OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 02S159W 10S154W 14S155W 14S178W 05S180 01S180 02S159W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SEE LATEST NFFN BULLETIN FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 14S170W 22S171W 25S170W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FRONT...ISOLATED CB...ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 25S123W 22S140W...HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB...ARE IN AREA BETWEEN 15S AND 20S BOUNDED BY 148W AND 153W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UNDER TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES ABOVE...ALSO SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 06:31:52 2003 X-UIDL: 16086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00H9G2FJWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 06:28:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14MSPBF056171 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 06:28:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdCG8007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 819689 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14MGCCw035942 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14MGCid020173 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14MGCPR020171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/042200z/050600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302042216.h14MGCPR020171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 042200 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/042200Z/050600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.0S3 151.9E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.6S6 148.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM OFF THE EAST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTH OF ANY REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 10.0S1 162.4W3, APPROXIMATELY 540 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS STARTING TO ORGANIZE AROUND A POSSIBLE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO POOR AND ADDED PARA 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 10:48:50 2003 X-UIDL: 16100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00HNADTGWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 10:34:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h152YMBF014050 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 10:34:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h151ZQIM024442; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:23:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 822746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:22:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h152MBCw019814 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:22:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h152MBid024408 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:22:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h152MBHJ024406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:22:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:22:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/050230z/050600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050222.h152MBHJ024406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050230 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/050230Z/050600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.6S6 148.8E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 162.4W3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 163.0W0, APPROXIMATELY 495 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OVER AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE AND MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND PERSISTANCE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AND UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 11:48:42 2003 X-UIDL: 16112-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00HZPGWYWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 11:41:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h153fFBF031954 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 11:41:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdCbY007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:33:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 823764 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:33:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h153X6Cw043474 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:33:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h153X6id025324 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:33:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h153X6Gi025323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:33:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:33:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050333.h153X6Gi025323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 050332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 05 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..PREVIOUSLY TROUGH ON THE WESTERN BORDER IS NOW W OF THE AREA. ..A TROUGH IS OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 24N114W TO 30N120W. ..HIGH PRESSURE NOSES INTO THE AREA FROM THE N BETWEEN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA TROUGH AND 140W N OF 10N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N97W 8N106W 7N116W 8N128W 7N140W. AN ISOLATED CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N127W. ISOLATED SHOWERS W OF 136W WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE PLUME OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS IS E OF AN UPPER TROUGH WITHIN 300 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N130W TO COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NEAR 28N111W WITH SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN BAJA CALIFORNIA N OF CABO SAN LAZARO. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 11:48:43 2003 X-UIDL: 16113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00HZTGWZWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 11:41:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h153fGBF031966 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 11:41:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h151ZQTe024442; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:34:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 823770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:34:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h153YtCw025372 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:34:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h153Ytid025349 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:34:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h153YtwQ025348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:34:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 21:34:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected First Dotted Line. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050334.h153YtwQ025348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES AXPZ20 KNHC 050334 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED FIRST DOTTED LINE. NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 05 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..PREVIOUS TROUGH NEAR 140W IS NOW W OF THE AREA AND WEAKENING. ..A TROUGH IS OFFSHORE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 24N114W TO 30N120W. ..HIGH PRESSURE NOSES INTO THE AREA FROM THE N BETWEEN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA TROUGH AND 140W N OF 10N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N97W 8N106W 7N116W 8N128W 7N140W. AN ISOLATED CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N127W. ISOLATED SHOWERS W OF 136W WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE PLUME OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS IS E OF AN UPPER TROUGH WITHIN 300 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N130W TO COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NEAR 28N111W WITH SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN BAJA CALIFORNIA N OF CABO SAN LAZARO. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 14:09:32 2003 X-UIDL: 16123-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00H6MNR2WA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:09:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1568tBF063050 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:08:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdCgu007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 23:59:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 825293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 23:59:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h155xSCw022462 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 23:59:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h155xSid026661 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 23:59:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h155xSOm026660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 23:59:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 23:59:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050559.h155xSOm026660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS22 PGTW 050500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050451Z FEB 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.7S9 113.3E8 TO 12.2S5 107.6E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 050430Z2 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 112.6E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 113.6E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 112.6E0 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 060500Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 14:49:38 2003 X-UIDL: 16127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00DOQPD3D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:43:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h156hjBF072175 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:43:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdCjO007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 825913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h156ZYCw022482 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h156ZYid027031 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h156ZY8b027029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050635.h156ZY8b027029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050651ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 163.0W0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 163.0W0, APPROXIMATELY 495 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OVER AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE AND MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 15:29:32 2003 X-UIDL: 16134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00D36RGUD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:29:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h157TBBF084942 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:29:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdCkS007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:17:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 826297 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:17:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h157HUCw006152 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:17:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h157HUid027348 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:17:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h157HU5a027347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:17:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:17:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 050651z Feb 03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050717.h157HU5a027347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS21 PGTW 050700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050651Z FEB 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 170 NM RADIUS OF 12.4S7 163.6W6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 050630Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 162.9W8. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY AT 00 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 162.4W3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 163.0W0, APPROXIMATELY 495 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OVER AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE AND MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND PERSISTANCE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO GOOD 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 060700Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 16:14:50 2003 X-UIDL: 16139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00DU0T4CD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 16:05:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1584rBF093026 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 16:04:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h156CxRq024444; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 826721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h157wKCw012786 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h157wKid027598 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h157wKMk027596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050758.h157wKMk027596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 050730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/050730Z/051800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041951ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050451ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 114.1E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8S0 111.6E9 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS22 PGTW 050500) FOR FUTHER DETAILS. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 98.4E1,IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 98.0E7 APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND OVERNIGHT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 042000) FOR FUTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1)TO GOOD FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 16:14:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00DUXT55D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 16:05:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1585NBF093170 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 16:05:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdClA007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 826717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h157wKCw030388 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h157wKid027599 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h157wKKB027597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 01:58:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050758.h157wKKB027597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 050730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/050730Z/051800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041951ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050451ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 114.1E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8S0 111.6E9 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS22 PGTW 050500) FOR FUTHER DETAILS. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 98.4E1,IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 98.0E7 APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND OVERNIGHT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 042000) FOR FUTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1)TO GOOD FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 21:36:37 2003 X-UIDL: 16146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00DEWYDED2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:58:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h159wJBF020271 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:58:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdCnO007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:50:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 827375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:50:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h159oXCw035864 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:50:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h159oXid028545 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:50:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h159oXAi028544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:50:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:50:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050950.h159oXAi028544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 050950 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND IS ALONG LINE 30N164W 22N180. THIS BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IS 50 TO 150 MILES WIDE. IT HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 45 KNOTS LONG 30N...AND TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS ALONG THE DATELINE. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N162W 02N153W EQ164W 08N162W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTERED NEAR 11.4S 162.8W AT 0900 UTC...OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 08S164W 10S162W 12S161W 13S164W MOVED SOUTH AT 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY OR COVERAGE. THE DEPRESSION LOST NEARLY ALL DEEP CONVECTION 6 HOURS AGO...BUT DEEP CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED NEAR THE APPARENT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND THE CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AND THE NADI TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 02S180 08S160W MOVED NORTH AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07S160W 11S151W 17S152W 15S162W 07S160W MOVED SOUTH AT 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 15S150W 24S151W 25S162W 20S164W 15S150W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 20 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 08S167W 20S169W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 21:36:38 2003 X-UIDL: 16147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00DLHYGSD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 18:00:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h15A0KBF020893 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 18:00:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdCnS007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:56:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 827391 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:56:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h159uqCw038878 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:56:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h159uqid028588 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:56:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h159uqj5028587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:56:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 03:56:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050956.h159uqj5028587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 050956 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 05 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..FRONTAL SYSTEM IS APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 20N104W NORTH ALONG 26N106W TO A 1010 MB LOW OVER NEW MEXICO NEAR 33N106W. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 114W TO 140W AND THE APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N89W 4N100W 8N110W 6N119W 10N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE PLUME OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS IS WITHIN 400/450 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N132W TO 21N119W. SIMILAR CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/WIDELY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 300 NM OF A LINE FROM 21N119W ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA TO OVER MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES TO JUST BEYOND 32N106W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 22:52:44 2003 X-UIDL: 16161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9U00DIBBMLD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 22:44:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h15EiYBF080584 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 22:44:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdC1o007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:31:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 830015 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:31:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15EVNCw007270 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:31:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h15EVNid001795 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:31:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h15EVNa8001794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:31:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:31:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302051431.h15EVNa8001794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 051500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050451ZFEB2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 11.8S0 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8S0 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 12.0S3 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 12.1S4 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 12.3S6 105.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.5S8 104.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.0S5 101.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.8S0 110.4E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH OF JAVA, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS. UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS PRODUCTS DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. TC 14S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, WHILE INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE, NGPS, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 14 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 050451Z FEB 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 050500) NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8, 060300Z9, 060900Z5 AND 061500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 00:02:32 2003 X-UIDL: 16162-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9U00D25F0SD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:58:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h15FvvBF097080 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:57:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdC9G007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 09:48:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 831501 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 09:48:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15FmlCw025482 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 09:48:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h15Fmlid004710 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 09:48:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h15FmlaS004709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 09:48:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 09:48:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302051548.h15FmlaS004709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 051548 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 05 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1016 MB HIGH CENTERED OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 26N112W. ..NARROW SURFACE TROUGH JUST OFF THE BAJA PENINSULA COAST FROM 23N112W TO 30N119W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N135W EXTENDING SE TO 16N106W. ..BROAD TROUGH LIES OVER THE W PORTION OF REGION ALONG 14N116W-27N142W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N90W 4N100W 8N110W 7N120W 7N130W 7N140W. ISOLATED WARM TOPPED CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 86W-91W AND 95W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 124W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 133W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE PLUME OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS LIES WITHIN 250 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N136W TO 20N120W. HIGH CLOUDINESS CONTINUES NEWD OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA AND N MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 10:00:29 2003 X-UIDL: 16172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9U00DVYVKID2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 05:55:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h15LtMBF070415 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 05:55:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15GWdp4007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:45:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 838873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:45:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15LjtCw015154 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:45:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h15Ljtid018098 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:45:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h15Ljtu2018097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:45:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:45:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302052145.h15Ljtu2018097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 052145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTENDED NORTH OF 30N...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N158W 27N162W 23N170W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 25 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N140W 04N140W 04N157W EQ159W 04N164W 09N156W 09N140W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F...CENTERED NEAR 13.1S 162.2W AT 1800 UTC...HAS OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN 90NM OF CENTER AND WITHIN 240 NM NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF CENTER. DEPRESSION HAS MOVED SOUTH OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND INTENSIFIED. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AND THE NADI TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER FOR DETAILS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08F...CENTERED NEAR 15S 171W AT 1800 UTC...HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 15S167W 19S173W 18S177W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE NADI TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY EQ175W 06S160W 10S160W 10S163W 05S180 03S180 EQ175W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20S155W 25S156W...HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08F AND 09F UNDER TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 10:00:30 2003 X-UIDL: 16173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9U00DBHW03D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 06:04:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h15M4iBF072051 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 06:04:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15GWdq4007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:57:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 839186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:57:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15LuxCw006232 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:56:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h15Luxid018507 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:56:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h15Lux0M018506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:56:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 15:56:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302052156.h15Lux0M018506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 052156 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 05 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N135W AND EXTENDS SE TO 22N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N79W 8N124W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 9N124W...AND OF 9N117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE PLUME OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS LIES WITHIN 250 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N130W TO 26N110W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 10:00:32 2003 X-UIDL: 16176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V00DQX0LDD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 07:44:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h15NhsBF089634 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 07:43:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15GWd6W007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 841574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15NTECw025554 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h15NTEid020958 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h15NTEQI020956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302052329.h15NTEQI020956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 052100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 12.0S3 110.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0S3 110.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 12.1S4 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 12.2S5 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.4S7 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 12.9S2 104.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.7S2 101.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.0S3 110.4E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM SOUTH OF JAVA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS PRODUCTS DEPICT GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, MORE POLEWARD THEREAFTER, INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NGPS, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL, THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS, AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 AND 062100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 10:00:33 2003 X-UIDL: 16177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V00DVL0OVD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 07:46:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h15NjxBF089965 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 07:46:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15KC73o024444; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 841578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15NTECw035680 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h15NTEid020957 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h15NTEX1020955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 17:29:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302052329.h15NTEX1020955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS32 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 13.0S4 162.9W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.0S4 162.9W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 13.9S3 162.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.0S6 162.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.8S4 163.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.2S9 164.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 13.2S6 162.8W7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN SOUTHWESTERLY THEREAFTER, WHILE INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE NWP, CONSISTING OF NGPS, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 13 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 050651ZFEB2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS23 PGTW 050700). NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 AND 062100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 12:07:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V00DDBCK9D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 12:02:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1642QBF050930 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 12:02:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgLY007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 21:54:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 845063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 21:54:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h163s7Cw011748 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 21:54:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h163s7id024492 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 21:54:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h163s7mp024491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 21:54:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 21:54:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302060354.h163s7mp024491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 060353 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 06 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N135W AND EXTENDS SE TO 22N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N79W 9N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 120W AND 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE PLUME OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS LIES WITHIN 250 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N126W TO 26N110W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 13:57:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V00DF6HFXD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 13:47:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h165lpBF073187 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 13:47:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgOG007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 845845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h165aoCw011722 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h165aoid025447 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h165ao49025445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302060536.h165ao49025445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051800Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 162.9W8 APPROXIMATELY 460 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AND WAS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 052100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 163.0W0, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 17:29:11 2003 X-UIDL: 16214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V003MTQS8ZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 17:09:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1699aBF024894 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 17:09:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgXc007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:02:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 847827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:02:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1692rCw044466 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:02:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1692rid027135 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:02:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1692rTD027134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:02:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:02:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302060902.h1692rTD027134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 060900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 12.0S3 109.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0S3 109.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 12.1S4 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.5S8 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.0S4 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.7S1 103.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.3S9 100.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 12.0S3 109.0E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 255 NM SOUTH OF JAVA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANT. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NGPS, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2, 062100Z9, 070300Z0 AND 070900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 17:29:12 2003 X-UIDL: 16216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V003XWQWDZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 17:12:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h169C7BF025544 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 17:12:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgXg007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:04:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 847835 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1694ACw018246 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1694Aid027147 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:04:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1694Af3027146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:04:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:04:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302060904.h1694Af3027146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 060900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 14.4S9 162.5W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 162.5W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.8S4 162.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.8S5 163.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.6S4 164.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.6S5 166.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 14.8S3 162.5W4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS, THEN SOUTHWESTERLY ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE NWP, CONSISTING OF NGPS, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 AND 070900Z6.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 00:17:03 2003 X-UIDL: 16218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V003M9SQCZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 17:51:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h169pgBF034985 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 17:51:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgXq007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:43:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 847972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:43:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h169hhCw012732 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:43:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h169hhid027470 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:43:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h169hhEM027469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:43:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:43:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302060943.h169hhEM027469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 060943 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 06 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 4N85W 5N107W 10N120W 7N132W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 250 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N130W 20N118W ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA TO OVER MEXICO NEAR 26N109W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 00:17:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V003UQSW9ZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 17:55:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h169tFBF035825 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 17:55:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgXu007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:50:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 847997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:50:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h169oFCw038658 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:50:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h169oFid027509 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:50:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h169oFq7027508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:50:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 03:50:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302060950.h169oFq7027508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 060949 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND IS ALONG LINE 30N146W 20N168W 18N180. NORTH OF 25N THIS BAND IS 200 TO 400 MILES WIDE AND CONSISTS OF OVERCAST MULTI LAYER CLOUDS. SOUTH OF 25N THE FRONTAL BAND IS 75 TO 175 MILES WIDE AND CONSISTS OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS. THE COLD FRONT IS MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 20 KNOTS ALONG 30N...AND TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS NEAR HAWAII. WEST OF 165W THE FRONT BECOMES A SHEAR LINE...WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTH AT 5 KNOTS. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 05N164W 01N166W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI CENTERED NEAR 14.2S 162.0W AT 0900 UTC...OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN 100 NM OF POINT 15S162W MOVED SOUTH NEAR 10 KNOTS...WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. AN OUTER RAINBAND WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 15S166W 12S163W 14S158W 18S160W MOVED SOUTH NEAR 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM IS BETTER ORGANIZED THAN 24 HOURS AGO...WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND BANDING FEATURES. THE 0600 UTC UW CIMSS SITE SHOWS 15 KNOTS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AND THE NADI TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 05S175W 05S161W 11S160W 09S171W 05S175W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S174W 20S163W 19S180 10S174W MOVED LITTLE AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OR OTHER WEATHER FEATURES. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 00:17:14 2003 X-UIDL: 16234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9W003P66ATZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 22:44:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h16EilBF094551 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 22:44:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgm0007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:39:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 850568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:34:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16EYMCw044434 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:34:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h16EYMid000742 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:34:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h16EYMoh000741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:34:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:34:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302061434.h16EYMoh000741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 061500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 12.0S3 108.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0S3 108.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 12.2S5 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.6S9 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 13.3S7 104.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.3S8 102.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.1S8 99.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION NEAR 12.0S3 108.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH OF JAVA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 55, AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SLIGHT WEAKENING OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WHILE THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL, AND THE JAPANESE GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9, 070300Z0, 070900Z6 AND 071500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 00:17:14 2003 X-UIDL: 16235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9W003JN9LZZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 23:56:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h16FuGBF010256 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 23:56:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgum007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 09:41:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 851693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 09:41:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16FfaCw023102 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 09:41:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h16Ffaid003446 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 09:41:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h16Ffa08003445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 09:41:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 09:41:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302061541.h16Ffa08003445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 061541 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 06 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROF ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 14N101W NW ALONG 22N107W INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA NEAR 30N113W. ..HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE REMAINDER OF AREA W OF TROF WITH A BROAD/FLAT RIDGE ALONG 30N135W 25N130W 23N115W 20N110W INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N90W 6N110W 8N120W 6N130W 7N134W 6N140W. ISOLATED WARM TOPPED CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-91W AND FROM 100W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5.5N-7N BETWEEN 110W-112W. ISOLATED WARM TOPPED CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 117W-120W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11N130W-19N120W-24N110W. HIGH CLOUDS CONTINUE NEWD OVER N MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 01:23:56 2003 X-UIDL: 16240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9W00318DLQZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 01:22:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h16HMNBF029314 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 01:22:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgBu007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 853558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16HGYCw030394 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h16HGYid007155 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h16HGXcS007153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302061716.h16HGXcS007153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061621ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 108.5E4, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH OF JAVA, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 95.8E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF COCOS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 061345Z9 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT ORGANIZATION AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NOW DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE SYSTEM HAS ALSO ENTERED INTO AN AREA OF DECREASED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SEE REF B (WTXS22 PGTW 061630) FOR INFORMATION ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOW POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/INGRAM/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG/DUKES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 01:28:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9W0039SDSEZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 01:26:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h16HQVBF030113 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 01:26:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16GoOK2024446; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 853561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16HGYCw044366 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h16HGYid007156 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h16HGXRE007154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:16:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302061716.h16HGXRE007154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061621ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 108.5E4, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH OF JAVA, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 95.8E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF COCOS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 061345Z9 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT ORGANIZATION AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NOW DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE SYSTEM HAS ALSO ENTERED INTO AN AREA OF DECREASED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. SEE REF B (WTXS22 PGTW 061630) FOR INFORMATION ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOW POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/INGRAM/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG/DUKES// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 01:38:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16243-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9W003J0E0WZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 01:31:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h16HVbBF031040 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 01:31:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16GoOJu024446; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:13:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 853471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:12:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16HCmCw025058 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:12:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h16HCmid007003 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:12:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h16HCmCu007002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:12:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 11:12:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302061712.h16HCmCu007002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS22 PGTW 061630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 061621ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 052000)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 95.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCOS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 061345Z9 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT ORGANIZATION AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, AND THE ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NOW DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE SYSTEM HAS ALSO ENTERED INTO AN AREA OF DECREASED UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOW POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 06:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16250-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9W003I5RWVZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 06:31:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h16MVZBF093868 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 06:31:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16JlUes024448; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 16:17:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 859627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 16:17:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16MHmCw017506 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 16:17:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h16MHkid017404 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 16:17:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h16MHkvv017400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 16:17:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 16:17:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302062217.h16MHkvv017400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 15.8S4 163.4W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 163.4W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.6S3 164.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.7S5 165.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.9S8 166.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.0S2 167.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.0S7 163.6W6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 75 KNOTS. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS, ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 15P HAS ORGANIZED RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT ABOVE A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS OUTFLOW CHANNELS EXIST BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OF THE SYSTEM, AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS WEAK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON NGPS, GFDN, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS, ALL IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 AND 072100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 08:28:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9W003OXXAVZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:28:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h170RxBF014404 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:28:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16HQO1K007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 18:14:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 861320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 18:14:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h170EhCw012880 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 18:14:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h170Egid019439 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 18:14:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h170Egta019438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 18:14:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 18:14:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302070014.h170Egta019438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 12.0S3 108.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0S3 108.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.2S5 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 12.8S1 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.4S8 103.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.1S6 101.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 16.3S0 98.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.0S3 107.8E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHWEST OF JAVA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65 AND 70 KNOTS. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD SHORT TERM, THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL, AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0, 070900Z6, 071500Z3 AND 072100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 10:28:13 2003 X-UIDL: 16261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9X003AN2GBZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 10:19:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h172JFBF041800 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 10:19:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16HQOAW007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:10:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 863334 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:10:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h172A3Cw027420 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:10:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h172A2id020777 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:10:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h172A2FT020776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:10:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:10:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302070210.h172A2FT020776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 070300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 12.1S4 107.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S4 107.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.4S7 105.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.9S2 104.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.8S2 102.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.9S4 101.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 12.2S5 107.1E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHWEST OF JAVA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 60 AND 70 KNOTS. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE 48 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL, AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 AND 080300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 12:32:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16275-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9X003VV89NZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:24:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h174OjBF074446 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:24:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h173D6DM007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 21:39:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 864000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 21:39:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h173dHCw026732 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 21:39:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h173dGid021664 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 21:39:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h173dG5M021663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 21:39:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 21:39:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302070339.h173dG5M021663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 070338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 07 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE IS THE ONLY FEATURE OF NOTE IN THE AREA WITH AN AXIS W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA N OF SOCORRO ISLAND TO 15N103W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 8N119W 6N132W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 111W-114W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 130W-135W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE BETWEEN 5N-9N BETWEEN 131W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/UPPER CLOUDS ARE STREAMING INTO SW MEXICO IN A 600 NM WIDE SWATH ALONG 12N122W 24N107W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 15:12:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9X007MHFYLTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:11:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h177B3BF014156 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:11:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h171eulq024448; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 865925 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176qbCw035912 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h176qZid023329 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h176qZ4d023327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302070652.h176qZ4d023327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 070600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061800Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 163.4W4 APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AND WAS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 062100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 17:12:33 2003 X-UIDL: 16294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9X008LJJQ2DS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 16:32:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h178WKBF036481 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 16:32:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176CTHw007688; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:12:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 866445 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:12:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h178CPCw038682 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:12:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h178COid023837 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:12:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h178CO61023836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:12:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:12:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302070812.h178CO61023836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 070900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 16.9S6 164.3W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 164.3W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.9S7 165.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 19.0S0 166.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.8S8 167.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 21.0S3 168.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.2S0 164.6W7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS, ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. A DEEPENING TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD, CAUSING THE TRACK TO BECOME MORE POLEWARD. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE PERIOD AS OUTFLOW CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON NGPS, GFDN, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 AND 080900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 01:45:02 2003 X-UIDL: 16301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9X008CTNIDDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 17:54:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h179s5BF058809 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 17:54:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176CTJE007688; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:39:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 866813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:39:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h179d8Cw038688 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:39:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h179d6id024556 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:39:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h179d6P4024555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:39:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:39:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302070939.h179d6P4024555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 070938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 07 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK 1008 MB LOW IS INLAND OVER SOUTH MEXICO NEAR 18N96W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20W FROM 123W TO 143W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N94W 5N111W 7N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 175/200 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N110W ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA TO OVER MEXICO NEAR 24N107W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 01:45:03 2003 X-UIDL: 16302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9X008C8O1ZDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 18:05:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17A5kBF061289 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 18:05:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176CTJG007688; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:55:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 866850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:55:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h179tKCw024962 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:55:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h179tIid024649 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:55:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h179tI53024648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:55:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 03:55:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302070955.h179tI53024648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 070954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 06N166W 04N171W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI CENTERED NEAR 16.6S 164.5W AT 07/0900 UTC BASED ON THE LATEST GOES-10 IMAGERY AND 07/0817 UTC SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGERY. DOVI HAD OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN 60 NM SURROUNDING A VERY SMALL EYE AND ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15S166W 15S161W 18S159W 18S167W. SEE THE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE NADI TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER AND THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 13S162W 09S163W 07S179E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07S158W 16S155W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST 05 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SECOND SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 17S172W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 08 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF POINT 17S180 WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A DECREASE IN COVERAGE. THIRD SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 22S133W 27S130W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI. ALSO...SEE FIRST AND SECOND CB AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 01:45:11 2003 X-UIDL: 16313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y008W9172DS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 22:49:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17EnbBF013827 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 22:49:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176CTTu007688; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:37:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 868999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:37:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17EbBCw005932 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:37:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h17EbAid027480 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:37:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h17EbA5P027479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:37:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:37:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 14s (fiona) Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302071437.h17EbA5P027479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 12.6S9 105.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S9 105.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 13.2S6 103.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.2S7 101.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.4S0 99.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.5S2 97.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION NEAR 12.7S0 105.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAVA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS ALONG THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 14S WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL, AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 AND 081500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 01:45:13 2003 X-UIDL: 16317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y008LV54KDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:14:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17GEbBF030603 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:14:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176CTc4007688; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 10:04:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 870605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 10:04:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17G4oCw023886 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 10:04:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h17G4nid000337 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 10:04:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h17G4mYI000336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 10:04:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 10:04:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302071604.h17G4mYI000336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 071604 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 07 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 07/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N78W 4N95W 5N107W 5N118W 6N134W 6N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3N TO 5N BETWEEN 93.5W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 90W...AND BETWEEN 118W AND 126W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS BETWEEN 132W AND 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W. UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 10N114W 17N110W BEYOND 22N105W. $$ TICHACEK +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:24:27 2003 X-UIDL: 16324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y0085HCBKDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:50:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17InwBF065668 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:49:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17ICDI4024448; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 875127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17IhTCw013266 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h17IhRid005422 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h17IhRFn005420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/071800z/081800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302071843.h17IhRFn005420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 105.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAVA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.4E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 90.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE SYSTEM IN A MODERATELY UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15.1S7 55.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. OVERNIGHT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LLCC. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA IS UNDER FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. BASED ON THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:24:28 2003 X-UIDL: 16325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y00D1MCBK02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:50:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17InwBF065666 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:49:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176CTAe007688; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 875132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17IhTCw014580 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h17IhRid005421 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h17IhR1o005419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 12:43:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/071800z/081800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302071843.h17IhR1o005419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 071800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 105.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAVA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.4E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 90.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE SYSTEM IN A MODERATELY UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15.1S7 55.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. OVERNIGHT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LLCC. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA IS UNDER FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. BASED ON THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:24:34 2003 X-UIDL: 16333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y008IWK4BDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 05:38:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17LcRBF004750 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 05:38:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17ICDgU024448; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:29:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 877456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:28:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LSDCw037928 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:28:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h17LS6id010391 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:28:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h17LS6Nh010390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:28:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:28:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302072128.h17LS6Nh010390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIII, Probability=25%, Report=RCVD_IN_BL_SPAMCOP_NET AXPZ20 KNHC 072126 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 07 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 10N W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N106W 5N120W 6N124W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 135W-138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 91W-97W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 119W-126W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:24:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y00D4BL6P02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:01:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17M1WBF008712 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:01:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZE8014990; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:57:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 878057 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:55:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17Lt5Cw028100 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:55:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h17Lt3id011203 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:55:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h17Lt3TD011202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:55:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:55:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302072155.h17Lt3TD011202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIII, Probability=25%, Report=RCVD_IN_BL_SPAMCOP_NET ACPA40 PHFO 072154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 30N178W 24N180 AT 07/2030 UTC MOVING EAST 40 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS/OCCASIONAL SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG DISSIPATING REMNANT SHEAR LINE DIMINISHING. ELSEWHERE... FRONT THROUGH 30N141W 26N142W 22N145W MOVING EAST 20 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 24N. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 24N. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI NEAR 17.6S 165.4W AT 1030 UTC MOVING SOUTHWEST 8 KT. SEE LATEST NADI BULLETIN FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 26S138W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. UPPER LOW NEAR 25S134W MOVING WEST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 21S135W 26S133W CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... BROKEN CUMULUS/TCU ALONG CONVERGENCE BAND THROUGH 17S174W 15S170W MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KT ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY EQ180 06S165W 09S177W IS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:24:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16335-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y00861L7MDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:02:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17M24BF008774 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:02:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZFm024824; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 878038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LreCw028242 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h17Lrbid011165 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h17Lrblc011162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302072153.h17Lrblc011162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=RCVD_IN_BL_SPAMCOP_NET, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 105.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAVA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.4E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 90.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE SYSTEM IN A MODERATELY UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15.1S7 55.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. OVERNIGHT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LLCC. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA IS UNDER FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. BASED ON THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:24:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y00D5LL9702@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:03:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17M32BF008951 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:03:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZDw014990; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 878032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LrdCw034590 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h17Lrbid011163 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h17Lrboq011161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:53:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302072153.h17Lrboq011161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=RCVD_IN_BL_SPAMCOP_NET, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 105.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAVA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.4E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 90.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE SYSTEM IN A MODERATELY UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15.1S7 55.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. OVERNIGHT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LLCC. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA IS UNDER FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. BASED ON THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:24:36 2003 X-UIDL: 16338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y008Q9RNHDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:21:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h180L4BF031242 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:21:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZOE014990; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 18:14:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 879799 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 18:14:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h180ENCw031548 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 18:14:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h180EMid013533 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 18:14:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h180EMsK013532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 18:14:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 18:14:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080014.h180EMsK013532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 080000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 08/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 10 1004 HPA MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS BETWEEN 12 AND 17 SOUTH AND FROM 51 TO 60 EAST. EXTENDED CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION GENERATING WINDS AT 15 TO 20 KT AND MODERATE TO LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: FORECASTED POSITION 09/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : SEVERAL LOWS ARE PRESENTS WITHIN THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURES WITH ONE LOCATED NEAR 15.0 SOUTH AND 55.5 EAST, ESTIMATED AT 1004 HPA. POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICATIVE INTENSIFICATION IS FAIR AT SHORT RANGE (FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS) AND BECOMES GOOD LATER.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:24:42 2003 X-UIDL: 16342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y00D0FV7P02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 09:38:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h181c0BF043982 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 09:38:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZQQ014990; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 19:19:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 880460 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 19:19:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h181JuCw035982 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 19:19:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h181Jtid014128 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 19:19:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h181Jt20014127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 19:19:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 19:19:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080119.h181Jt20014127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 072100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 17.3S1 165.2W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 165.2W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.1S0 166.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.0S0 167.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.4S6 167.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 22.1S5 168.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.5S3 165.5W7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P (DOVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS. TC 15P HAS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY AND HAS FORMED A SMALL SYMMETRICAL EYE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW REMAINS TO THE EAST AND A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. A DEEPENING TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE BY THE MID-PERIOD AS IT PROPAGATES EASTWARD, CAUSING THE TRACK TO BECOME MORE POLEWARD. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS OUTFLOW CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE BUT BEGIN TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 AND 082100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:54:01 2003 X-UIDL: 16352-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00DI41A102@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:49:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h183n6BF072338 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:49:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZTo014990; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:31:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 881342 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:31:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h183VoCw042658 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:31:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h183Vnid015300 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:31:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h183Vm9N015299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:31:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:31:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080331.h183Vm9N015299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 080331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 08 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NW AND EXTENDS FROM BEYOND 32N140W S TO BEYOND 28N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 25N-32N BETWEEN 138W-140W. THE ASSOCIATED SHIELD OF MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS IS NW OF A LINE FROM 24N140W 31N129W. ..1018 MB HIGH HAS FORMED NEAR 26N126W WITH A RIDGE AXIS STRETCHING SE TO THE COAST OF SW MEXICO NEAR 20N106W. ..CYCLONIC FLOW FROM LOW NEAR 25N122W IS IMPINGING ON THE AREA N OF 29N BETWEEN 116W-130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 4N97W 6N110W 7N126W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 86W-94W AND 108W-112W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 134W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS ON THE COLOMBIAN COAST NEAR 3N78W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 12:10:14 2003 X-UIDL: 16353-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z008CT25GDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 12:08:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1847pBF075796 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 12:07:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZoK024824; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:40:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 881392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:40:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h183eKCw017628 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:40:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h183eIid015355 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:40:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h183eIo7015354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:40:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 21:40:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected For Latitude Of Low Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080340.h183eIo7015354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES AXPZ20 KNHC 080340 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED FOR LATITUDE OF LOW NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 08 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NW AND EXTENDS FROM BEYOND 32N140W S TO BEYOND 28N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 25N-32N BETWEEN 138W-140W. THE ASSOCIATED SHIELD OF MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS IS NW OF A LINE FROM 24N140W 31N129W. ..1018 MB HIGH HAS FORMED NEAR 26N126W WITH A RIDGE AXIS STRETCHING SE TO THE COAST OF SW MEXICO NEAR 20N106W. ..CYCLONIC FLOW FROM LOW NEAR 35N122W IS IMPINGING ON THE AREA N OF 29N BETWEEN 116W-130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 4N97W 6N110W 7N126W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 86W-94W AND 108W-112W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 134W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS ON THE COLOMBIAN COAST NEAR 3N78W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 12:33:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z0088N36UDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 12:30:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h184UJBF083122 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 12:30:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZUc014990; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 22:04:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 881561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 22:03:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1843iCw030314 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 22:03:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1843gid015646 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 22:03:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1843gtw015645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 22:03:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 22:03:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080403.h1843gtw015645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 080300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 13.4S8 103.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 103.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.3S8 101.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.3S9 100.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.3S0 98.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.1S9 95.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.6S0 103.2E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. A 072320Z4 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS DEPICTS AN EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN PARTIAL CONCENTRIC BANDS. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS ALONG THE MID- LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 14S WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 24 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AFTER 24 HOURS AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF DRIER AIR. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 AND 090300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 14:33:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16359-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z008GH8HIDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:24:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h186OlBF004651 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:24:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZZA014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:17:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 883000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:17:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h186HUCw032488 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:17:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h186HTid016633 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:17:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h186HToZ016632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:17:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:17:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080617.h186HToZ016632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 080600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 1/10/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 08/02/2003 : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S/55.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 14.9S / 55.2E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 15.0S / 54.8E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 15.7S / 54.0E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.0+. POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION IS IMPORTANT, DUE TO A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, A WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND A GOOD INFLOW IN LOW LEVEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 14:43:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16361-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z008WQ98KDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:41:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h186f2BF007825 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:41:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h186BWFa024580; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:15:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 882913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:13:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h186DNCw012730 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:13:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h186DMid016593 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:13:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h186DMMQ016592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:13:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:13:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080613.h186DMMQ016592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 080600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 002/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 08/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S/55.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE ESTERN AND WESTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION GENERATING WINDS AT 20 TO 25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS LOCALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 14.9 SOUTH/55.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/54.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION IS INTENSIFYING AND ORGANISING. NEVERTHELESS, THE LLCC IS STILL BADLY DEFINED AND HARD TO LOCATE UNDER DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY NORTH OF MASCAREIGNES ISLANDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 15:03:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16362-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z0087Z9VSDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:55:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h186sqBF010190 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:54:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZZY014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 883162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h186gECw029422 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h186gCid016786 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h186gCmR016784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080642.h186gCmR016784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071800Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 165.2W4 APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 072100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 16:23:46 2003 X-UIDL: 16364-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00DISDN702@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:16:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h188GCBF025843 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:16:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZbG014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:07:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 883586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:07:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1887CCw029280 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:07:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1887Aid017274 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:07:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1887ArZ017273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:07:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:07:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080807.h1887ArZ017273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS21 PGTW 080630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080621ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 160 NM RADIUS OF 15.3S9 54.3E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 080530Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.6S2 55.6E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1S7 55.7E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S2 55.6E6 APPROXIMATELY 290 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 090630Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 16:53:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00DLEEWX02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:43:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h188hYBF030526 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:43:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h186BWLg024580; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 883697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h188VlCw037896 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h188Vjid017433 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h188VjH3017431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080831.h188VjH3017431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 080700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/080700Z/081800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080621ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 105.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAVA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.4E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 90.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE SYSTEM IN A MODERATELY UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1S7 55.7E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S2 55.6E6 APPROXIMATELY 290 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 080630) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(2)TO GOOD FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENENBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 16:53:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00DUVF4102@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:48:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h188lnBF031148 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:47:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZbm014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 883693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h188VlCw017208 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h188Vjid017434 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h188Vj4V017432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:31:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080831.h188Vj4V017432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 080700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/080700Z/081800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080621ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7S0 105.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAVA, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 92.4E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 90.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE SYSTEM IN A MODERATELY UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1S7 55.7E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S2 55.6E6 APPROXIMATELY 290 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 080630) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(2)TO GOOD FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENENBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 18:04:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00DZ5H4F02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 17:31:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h189VJBF037666 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 17:31:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZcO014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 03:15:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 883951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 03:15:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h189FMCw042384 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 03:15:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h189FLid017822 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 03:15:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h189FL3j017821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 03:15:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 03:15:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080915.h189FL3j017821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 080900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 18.5S4 166.7W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 166.7W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.6S6 167.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.9S1 168.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 22.3S7 168.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.9S4 167.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.8S7 166.9W2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P (DOVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080530Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS. TC 15P HAS AN 11 NM SYMMETRICAL EYE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW REMAINS TO THE EAST AND A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. A DEEPENING TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE BY THE MID-PERIOD AS IT PROPAGATES EASTWARD, CAUSING THE TRACK TO BECOME MORE POLEWARD. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS OUTFLOW CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE BUT BEGIN TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY BY THE END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 AND 090900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 18:14:02 2003 X-UIDL: 16373-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00DLDIQ002@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 18:06:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18A5rBF043958 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 18:05:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZci014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:00:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 884073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:00:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18A00Cw032484 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:00:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h189xxid018096 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 03:59:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h189xx6t018095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 03:59:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 03:59:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080959.h189xx6t018095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 080959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N143W 05N139W 03N142W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INCREASED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 04N175W MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI NEAR 18.7S 167.2W AT 0822 UTC HAS FREQUENT CB WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEE NADI BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S162W 15S161W 17S165W 11S167W 09S175W 05S170W 05S162W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 15S157W 21S161W 18S161W MOVED SOUTHEAST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. ISOLATED CB EXTENDS ACROSS EQUATOR AND DATELINE BOUNDED BY 02N171W 01S170W 09S177W 10S179E 02S176E 01N179E REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN SIZE. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 18:24:02 2003 X-UIDL: 16374-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00D5AJAB02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 18:18:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18AI0BF046220 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 18:18:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZck014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:01:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 884086 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:01:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18A1pCw040714 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:01:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18A1oid018140 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:01:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18A1oj4018139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:01:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:01:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302081001.h18A1oj4018139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 081001 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 08 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1013 MB LOW CENTERED IS JUST NORTH OF THE REGION NEAR 33N120W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH ALONG 30N120W THEN WEST TO 29N125W. ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE REGION THROUGH 33N140W EXTENDING SOUTHEAST ALONG 28N138W THEN SOUTHWEST TO BEYOND 23N140W. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS BETWEEN THE FEATURES ABOVE FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 112W AND 132W WITH A 1018 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 25N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N89W 6N114W 8N128W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 78W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 93W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30/45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2.5N TO 4N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR FROM THE EQUATOR TO THE BORDER OF COLOMBIA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 20:54:02 2003 X-UIDL: 16378-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00DLVQ7P02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:47:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18ClGBF069334 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:47:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZf6014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:19:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 884802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:19:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18CJ6Cw012726 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:19:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18CJ4id018921 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:19:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18CJ4RE018920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:19:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 06:19:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302081219.h18CJ4RE018920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 081200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 08/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S/55.3E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE ESTERN AND WESTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION GENERATING WINDS AT 20 TO 25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS LOCALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/55.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 09/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.2 SOUTH/54.4 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE LLCC IS STILL BADLY DEFINED. THE SYSTEM IS AMOST STATIONNARY IN LOCATION AND INTENSITY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 22:24:03 2003 X-UIDL: 16381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00DLHUEN02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 22:18:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18EIGBF083572 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 22:18:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZiw014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:07:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 885702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:07:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18E7jCw024960 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18E7iid019604 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:07:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18E7hDI019603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:07:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:07:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302081407.h18E7hDI019603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 14.2S7 101.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 101.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.4S0 100.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.5S2 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.5S3 95.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.4S3 93.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.5S0 101.3E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS TC 14S HAS A 16 NM EYE. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS ALONG THE MID- LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 14S WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY THROUGH 24 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AFTER 24 HOURS AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF DRIER AIR AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 AND 091500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 00:24:03 2003 X-UIDL: 16389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00D3EZYL02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:18:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18GIABF003399 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:18:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63Du038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 10:05:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 886522 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 10:05:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18G5WCw028268 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 10:05:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18G5Vid020541 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 10:05:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18G5VQt020540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 10:05:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 10:05:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302081605.h18G5VQt020540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 081605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 08 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 08/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 30N136W TO 25N136W...BEYOND 20N140W TO 18N142W. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS TO THE WEST OF THE FRONT. ..RIDGE FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR 25N111W TO 25N123W BEYOND 32N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 4N83W 3N92W 4N104W 6N112W 8N126W 7N134W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DURING THE LAST 4-5 HOURS... WITHIN 20-30 NM ON RADIUS OF 4N77.5W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W AND 136W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 40-50 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 92W... WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 109W AND 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 32N142W TO 25N134W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 121W AND 126W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 01:54:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16391-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA0000WS40RPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 01:46:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18HjqBF016382 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 01:45:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63Ha038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:36:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 887475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:36:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18Ha0Cw017646 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:36:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18HZxid021321 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:35:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18HZwak021320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:35:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:35:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302081735.h18HZwak021320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 081800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 08/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.5S/55.5E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE ESTERN AND WESTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/55.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/54.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE LOW REMAINS BAD-DEFINED. THE SYSTEM NO INTENSIFY FOR THE MOMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 01:54:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA0000XT41UPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 01:46:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18HkbBF016536 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 01:46:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63Hm038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:40:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 887509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:40:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18He5Cw032354 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:40:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18He4id021384 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:40:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18He31E021382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:40:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:40:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302081740.h18He31E021382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 081800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/10/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 08/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.5S/55.5E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 26 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 15.0S / 55.0E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 15.0S / 54.5E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 15.7S / 53.5E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS NO INTENSIFY FOR THE MOMENT DESPITE A GOOD ENVIRONMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 01:54:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16393-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA0000Y742APX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 01:46:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18HkqBF016586 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 01:46:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63Hc038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 887499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18HctCw017418 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18Hcsid021362 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18Hcs8p021360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/081800z/091800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302081738.h18Hcs8p021360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080621ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2S7 101.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 081500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 90.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 88.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WHICH IS NOW DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE SYSTEM IN AN INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.6S2 55.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 55.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLING, BUT ORGANIZED, DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 080630) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 78.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LLCC FULLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 01:54:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA00001346NPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 01:49:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18HnSBF017035 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 01:49:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h186BW1M024580; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 887496 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18HctCw026618 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18Hcsid021361 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18HcsqD021359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 11:38:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/081800z/091800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302081738.h18HcsqD021359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 081800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080621ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2S7 101.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 081500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.2S1 90.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 88.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WHICH IS NOW DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE SYSTEM IN AN INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.6S2 55.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 55.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST OF THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLING, BUT ORGANIZED, DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW 080630) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 78.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LLCC FULLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 04:34:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA000099BLAPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 04:29:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18KTNBF048197 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 04:29:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63Mc038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:15:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 888682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:15:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18KF1Cw008128 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:15:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18KExid023210 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:14:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18KExTa023209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:14:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 14:14:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302082014.h18KExTa023209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 082100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 19.6S6 168.0W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 168.0W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.8S0 168.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 22.2S6 168.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.6S1 168.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 24.7S3 167.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.9S9 168.1W6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P (DOVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS. TC 15P HAS A 14 NM SYMMETRICAL EYE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ENHANCED OUTFLOW CONTINUES POLEWARD AND TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE NEXT 12 TO 16 HOURS ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, A MORE POLEWARD TRACK IS FORECAST AS THAT RIDGE WEAKENS. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS AS OUTFLOW CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE BUT BEGIN TO SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTERWARDS THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 AND 092100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 06:44:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA0000LNHI5PX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 06:37:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18Mb9ZD003423 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 06:37:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63Pg038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:25:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 889744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:25:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18MPjCw017626 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:25:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18MPiid024241 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:25:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18MPhC2024240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:25:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:25:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302082225.h18MPhC2024240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 082131 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 08 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1003 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N134W WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SW TO NEAR 19N140W. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS NW OF THE LOW TO A SECOND 1003 MB LOW N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 33N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST E OF THE LOW AND COLD FRONT N OF 27N BETWEEN 132W-133W. ..BROAD TROUGH ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST N OF 17N BETWEEN 107W-125W WITH A WEAK 1016 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 32N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 4N106W 9N127W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 80NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-115W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 118W-124W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST S OF 5N. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 07:04:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA000032IMRPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 07:01:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18N1XZD006172 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 07:01:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63TE038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:55:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 890337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:55:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18MtOCw041804 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:55:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18MtMid024471 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:55:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18MtMbW024470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:55:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:55:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302082255.h18MtMbW024470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 082154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 30N166W 20N180 MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 175 NM WEST OF FRONT. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N168W 04N180 AND WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 04N155W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... SHEAR LINE THROUGH 20N140W 19N144W CONTINUES NORTHEAST AS A COLD FRONT. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. SHEAR LINE MOVED SOUTHEAST 15-20 KT. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI NEAR 17.5S 168.W AT 08/2030 UTC IS MOVING SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 KT. SEE LATEST NADI BULLETIN FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW NEAR 25S133W DRIFTING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 20S135W 26S132W MOVED EAST 5 KT. CB ARE CONTINUALLY FORMING...DISSIPATING AND REFORMING. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 06S180 05S170W 10S165W 16S164W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 09:04:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA000021NVLPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 08:54:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h190snZD022367 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 08:54:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63XW038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 18:46:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 891478 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 18:46:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h190knCw006054 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 18:46:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h190kmid025334 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 18:46:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h190km2h025333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 18:46:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 18:46:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090046.h190km2h025333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 090000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 09/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5S/56.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : NORTHNORTHEAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE ESTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 14.0 SOUTH/55.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 14.5 SOUTH/55.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE LOW REMAINS BAD-DEFINED. THE SYSTEM LIGHTLY INTENSIFY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 10:24:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA0000BVRW3PX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 10:21:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h192LWZD036907 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 10:21:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63Zo038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:11:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 892277 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:11:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h192B1Cw028414 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:11:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h192Axid025892 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:10:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h192AxkJ025891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:10:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:10:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090210.h192AxkJ025891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 090300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 15.3S9 99.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 99.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.2S9 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.9S6 96.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.8S6 94.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.7S6 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.5S1 99.4E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS TC 14S HAS A 15 NM IRREGULAR EYE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS DRIER AIR TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY ONLY SLIGHTLY THROUGH 12 TO 24 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AFTER 24 HOURS AS IT ENTERS A REGION OF DRIER AIR AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AFWA MM5 AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 AND 100300Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 14:34:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1000EA39APX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:27:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h196R3ZD072753 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:27:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h190ujZm030548; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:16:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 893870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:01:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1960FCw031520 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:00:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1960Eid027078 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:00:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1960DeD027076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:00:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:00:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090600.h1960DeD027076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081800Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6S6 168.0W5, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS GUSTING TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 14:54:07 2003 X-UIDL: 16420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA10003G41RPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:44:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h196i9ZD075815 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:44:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h190ujei030548; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 894395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196dQCw007366 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h196dPid027371 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h196dPii027370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090639.h196dPii027370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 090600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/10/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 09/02/2003 : 12.2S/55.5E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /S / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 11.8S / 55.8E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 12.3S / 56.6E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 14.6S / 54.4E FI=3.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=2.0+.CI=2.5-. THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE CIRCULATION CENTRED NEAR 12S/66S.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 14:54:07 2003 X-UIDL: 16421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA10003K41ZPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:44:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h196iHZD075870 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:44:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h190ujeq030548; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 894405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196eeCw036574 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h196edid027395 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h196ecnt027393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090640.h196ecnt027393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 090630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/090630Z/091800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081952ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2S7 101.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 081500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 081800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 56.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, AND WAS QUASISTATIONARY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 082100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 88.1E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 85.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 750 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS REVEALS A BROAD TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION WITH MULTIPLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION HAS FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 55.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 55.8E8, AND THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 78.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 76.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE WEAK LLCC EMBEDDED IN A BROAD TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS EXIST ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.0S2 66.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL A RAPIDLY ORGANIZING LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH RECENT DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS EXIST ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD FAIR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(4) AND UPDATE OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 14:54:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA10003R424PX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:44:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h196iMZD075884 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:44:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h190ujeW030548; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 894382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196d2Cw005746 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h196d0id027360 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h196d0dc027359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:39:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090639.h196d0dc027359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 090600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 09/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 998 HPA POSITION : 12.2S/55.5E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : NORTH 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 11.8 SOUTH/55.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 12.3 SOUTH/56.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING, AND HAS LOST ORGANIZATION. STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTH, DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 14:54:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1000A34APPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:49:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h196nVZD076713 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:49:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h190ujeu030548; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 894408 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196eeCw043238 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h196edid027396 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h196ecDY027394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:40:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090640.h196ecDY027394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 090630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/090630Z/091800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081952ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2S7 101.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 081500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 081800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 56.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, AND WAS QUASISTATIONARY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 082100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 88.1E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 85.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 750 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS REVEALS A BROAD TROUGH IN THE VICINITY OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION WITH MULTIPLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION HAS FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 55.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 55.8E8, AND THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 78.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 76.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE WEAK LLCC EMBEDDED IN A BROAD TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS EXIST ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.0S2 66.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL A RAPIDLY ORGANIZING LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH RECENT DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS EXIST ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD FAIR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(4) AND UPDATE OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 14:54:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1000AE4B4PX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:49:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h196nkZD076753 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:49:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExGe031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:44:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 894444 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:44:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196iiCw005758 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:44:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h196ihid027447 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:44:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h196ihkn027446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:44:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:44:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090644.h196ihkn027446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 090600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 09/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 1000 HPA POSITION : 12.2S/65.5E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.4 SOUTH/64.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 12.7 SOUTH/63.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION HAS BUILT OVER THE CENTRE SINCE LAST NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 14:54:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1000F94HKPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:53:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h196rcZD077302 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:53:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExGg031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:47:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 894475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:47:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196lBCw037948 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:47:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h196lAid027465 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:47:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h196lA06027464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:47:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:47:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090647.h196lA06027464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 090600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 1/11/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 09/02/2003 : 12.2S/65.5E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 12.4S / 64.5E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 12.7S / 63.4E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 13.8S / 61.5E FI=2.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THIS SYSTEM SEEMS TO INTERACT WITH TD NR 10.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 17:34:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA100024BNXPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:28:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h199ScZD001984 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:28:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExHs031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:17:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 895149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:17:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h199H4Cw032402 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:17:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h199H3id028506 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:17:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h199H3DY028505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:17:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:17:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090917.h199H3DY028505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 090900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 13.0S4 55.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.0S4 55.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.6S9 55.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 12.5S8 55.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.7S1 55.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.0S6 55.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.9S2 55.4E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER NORTH BASED UPON RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUPPORTING CONSOLIDATION IN THIS VICINITY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. TC 16S IS EXPECTED TO LOOP TO THE NORTHEAST BEFORE TRACKING POLEWARD AS A DEEPENING TROUGH WEAKENS A RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TC 16S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE, NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AVN AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 AND 100900Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 17:34:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA10004LBQBPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:30:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h199U6ZD002228 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:30:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExHu031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:20:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 895156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:20:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h199KOCw032442 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:20:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h199KNid028535 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:20:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h199KN2o028534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:20:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:20:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090920.h199KN2o028534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 090900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 20.8S0 168.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8S0 168.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 22.0S4 169.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.5S0 169.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 25.2S9 169.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 26.8S6 169.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 21.1S4 169.0W6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P (DOVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS AND SLIGHT WEAKENING IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY POLEWARD DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A POLEWARD ORIENTED RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE WEAKENING MORE RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS OVER COOLER SST AND INTO UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 AND 100900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 17:54:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1000XSCRGPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:52:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h199qMZD005489 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:52:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExI6031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:44:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 895269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:44:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h199i6Cw026306 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:44:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h199i4id028699 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:44:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h199i4Cw028698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:44:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 03:44:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090944.h199i4Cw028698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 090942 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 09 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 09/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NORTH OF THE REGION NEAR 33N141W WITH A DISSIPATING OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING TO A 1006 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N135W WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING ALONG 26N131W THEN SOUTHWEST TO 17N140W. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE 1006 MB LOW ALONG 29N130W TO 23N126W. A POST-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 1006 MB LOW ALONG 26N134W WEST TO 24N141W. THE 1006 MB LOW IS BECOMING THE PROMINENT LOW AND THE FRONT SHOULD BECOME OCCLUDED OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 14N130W TO 5N135W. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 20N103W NORTH TO 28N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 3N96W 6N114W 5N119W 10N127W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 90W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF NORTHWEST COLOMBIA FROM 5N TO 6N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF SOUTHWEST COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 3.5N. BROKEN/ OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE EAST OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM FROM 23N TO 33N BETWEEN 122W AND 131W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 25N TO 32N BETWEEN 131W AND 138W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 18:14:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16433-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1000BXDE6PX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 18:06:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19A5xZD007309 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 18:06:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExIa031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 04:00:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 895364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 04:00:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19A0CCw032370 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 04:00:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19A0Bid028785 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 04:00:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19A0Bu9028784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 04:00:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 04:00:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091000.h19A0Bu9028784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 090959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N179W 04N160W MOVED N 5 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI NEAR 21.2S 169.1W AT 0822 UTC HAD OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEE NADI BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 06S179W 01S174W 13S156W 22S161W 19S167W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 24S130W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY... WEAKEND AND DECREASED IN SIZE. RAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:52 2003 X-UIDL: 16439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1000K1RLPPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:13:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19FCrZD055950 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:12:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExPq031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:01:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 897645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:01:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19F1rCw026844 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:01:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19F1qid000433 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:01:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19F1qc7000432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:01:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:01:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091501.h19F1qc7000432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 091500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- NEAR 16.4S1 97.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 97.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.2S0 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.0S9 92.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 19.1S1 90.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 20.3S5 89.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 97.2E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AND THE EYE HAS FILLED. COOLER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH A MIGRATORY HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE AFFECTING THE SYSTEM. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY IN THE FIRST 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5 AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 AND 101500Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NONAME) WARNING (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:53 2003 X-UIDL: 16443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1000G7UVGPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:23:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19GNXZD067196 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:23:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExSW031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 10:13:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 898263 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 10:13:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19GDtCw028472 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 10:13:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19GDrid000923 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 10:13:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19GDrJi000922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 10:13:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 10:13:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091613.h19GDrJi000922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 091553 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 09 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 09/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1006 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 29N135W WITH OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING EWD ALONG 29N TO TRIPLE POINT NEAR 130W. WARM FRONT CONTINUES ESE FROM TRIPLE POINT TO 26N120W. COLD FRONT EXTENDS SWD FROM TRIPLE POINT ALONG 22N132W 16N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 24N-31N BETWEEN 125W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 25N-130W BETWEEN 121W-125W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG COLD W OF 130W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF LOW CENTER. ..TROF EXTENDS FROM THE TROPICAL PACIFIC NEAR 7N135W NEWD THROUGH 12N130W TO 19N123W. DEVELOPING CLUSTERS OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-21N BETWEEN 122W-127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 1N86W 5N95W 2N102W 4N110W 5N120W 8N127W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 109W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:54 2003 X-UIDL: 16445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1003QYY5LQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:34:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19HYOZD079085 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:34:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19E94aq030548; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 899459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19HRNCw005672 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19HRLid001466 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19HRLcS001464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/091800z/101800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091727.h19HRLcS001464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 091800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090752ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) LOCATED NEAR 16.4S1 97.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 091500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 090600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 55.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER NORTH BASED UPON RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUPPORTING CONSOLIDATION IN THIS VICINITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 090900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 85.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 85.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION IS UNDER WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 76.4E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 66.5E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 65.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL A SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS EXIST ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:54 2003 X-UIDL: 16446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1003UMYB5Q1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:37:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19HblZD079510 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:37:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExWE031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 899455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19HRNCw026316 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19HRLid001465 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19HRLYY001463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:27:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/091800z/101800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091727.h19HRLYY001463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 091800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090752ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) LOCATED NEAR 16.4S1 97.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 091500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 090600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 55.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER NORTH BASED UPON RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUPPORTING CONSOLIDATION IN THIS VICINITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 090900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 85.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 85.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION IS UNDER WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 76.4E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 66.5E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 65.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL A SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS EXIST ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:55 2003 X-UIDL: 16448-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA100373Z0XQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:53:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19HrEZD082692 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:53:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExWe031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:46:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 899591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:46:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19HkmCw026560 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:46:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19Hkkid001641 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:46:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19Hkkxj001640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:46:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:46:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091746.h19Hkkxj001640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 091800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 09/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 11 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.6S/64.8E (TWELVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 MN IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 12.9 SOUTH/64.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 13.2 SOUTH/63.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : SMALL SYSTEM STATIONNARY IN INTENSITY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:55 2003 X-UIDL: 16449-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1003BCZ3SQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:55:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19HstZD083613 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:54:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExWg031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:48:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 899601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:48:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19HmoCw035464 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:48:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19Hmmid001656 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:48:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19HmmJb001655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:48:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 11:48:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091748.h19HmmJb001655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 091800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/11/20022003 1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 09/02/2003 : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.6S/64.8E (TWELVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 12.9S / 64.2E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 13.2S / 63.6E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 13.7S / 62.7E FI=2.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : POSSIBLE INTERACTION WHITH TROPICALDEPRESSION 10.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:55 2003 X-UIDL: 16451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003AO0OAQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:28:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19ISqZD091493 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:28:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExZC031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:24:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 900296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:24:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19IOVCw044894 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:24:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19IOUid001975 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:24:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19IOU3V001974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:24:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:24:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091824.h19IOU3V001974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 091800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 09/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S/54.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : NORTHNORTHWEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 10.9 SOUTH/54.9 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.0 SOUTH/55.3 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION IS STILL FLUCTUATING AND BADLY ORGANIZED. STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTH, DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THE SYSTEM SHOULD LOOP AND THEN TRACK SOUTHWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:55 2003 X-UIDL: 16452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003EG0V5Q1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:33:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19IWxZD091945 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:33:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExZG031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:26:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 900312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:26:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19IQZCw003830 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:26:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19IQXid001983 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:26:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19IQXr7001982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:26:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:26:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091826.h19IQXr7001982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 091800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 4/10/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 09/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S/54.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1002 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 10.9S / 54.9E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 12.0S / 55.3E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 14.0S / 55.2E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : BIFURCATION PREVUE AU SUD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:56 2003 X-UIDL: 16453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003KO14KQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:38:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19IcbZD092700 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:38:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExZK031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:30:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 900329 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:30:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19IUfCw004514 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:30:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19IUeid002026 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:30:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19IUeAx002025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:30:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:30:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091830.h19IUeAx002025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=TRACKER_ID WTIO20 FMEE 091800 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 09/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.6S/64.8E (TWELVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 MN IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 12.9 SOUTH/64.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 13.2 SOUTH/63.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : SMALL SYSTEM STATIONNARY IN LOCATION AND INTENSITY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:56 2003 X-UIDL: 16454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003NW1A7Q1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:42:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19Ig0ZD093125 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:42:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExZi031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:36:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 900383 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:36:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19IalCw013088 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:36:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19Iajid002110 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:36:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19IajcR002109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:36:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 12:36:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091836.h19IajcR002109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=TRACKER_ID WTIO30 FMEE 091800 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/11/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 09/02/2003 : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.6S/64.8E (TWELVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 12.9S / 64.2E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 13.2S / 63.6E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 13.7S / 62.7E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : POSSIBLE INTERACTION WHITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:57 2003 X-UIDL: 16459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003KB4SIQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 03:57:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19JviZD008468 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 03:57:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196Exc8031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 13:44:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 901099 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 13:44:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19JivCw016218 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 13:44:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19Jiuid002743 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 13:44:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19JiumR002742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 13:44:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 13:44:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091944.h19JiumR002742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 092100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 22.2S6 169.2W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.2S6 169.2W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.5S0 169.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 24.7S3 169.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 25.6S3 169.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 26.7S5 170.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 22.5S9 169.2W8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P (DOVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS TRACKED SOUTH AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A POLEWARD ORIENTED RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTERWARDS, A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM WILL INFLUENCE A SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD AS IT TRACKS OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, INTO INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ENTRAINS DRY AIR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 44 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 AND 102100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:58 2003 X-UIDL: 16461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003BT5LYQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:15:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19KFRZD011525 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:15:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExeY031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:08:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 901655 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:08:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19K8VCw031678 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:08:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19K8Uid002953 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:08:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19K8UEa002952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:08:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:08:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302092008.h19K8UEa002952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 092100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 12.2S5 55.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 55.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 11.8S0 55.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 12.4S7 55.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 13.5S9 55.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 14.7S2 56.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 12.1S4 55.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS SOMEWHAT BROAD AND PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE WEST. TC 16S IS EXPECTED TO LOOP TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT CONSOLIDATES BEFORE TRACKING POLEWARD AS A DEEPENING TROUGH WEAKENS A RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TC 16S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE, NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AVN AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 AND 102100Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:59 2003 X-UIDL: 16469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003IC9QRQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 05:44:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19LiiZD023230 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 05:44:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196Exia031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:36:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 902730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:36:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19LaFCw043078 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:36:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19LaDid003854 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:36:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19LaDXE003853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:36:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:36:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302092136.h19LaDXE003853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 092136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 09 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 09/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N128W WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SW TO 16N139W AND A WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD TO 25N120W. AN OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS NW TO A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 29N136W WITH A TROUGH CONTINUING WWD BEYOND 29N140W. HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING EWD BEHIND THE COLD FRONT W OF 130W AND N OF 20N. THE STRONGEST CONVECTION HAS MOVED N OF THE WARM FRONT AND AHEAD OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT WITH SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 123W-130W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 250NM OF THE 1009 MB LOW AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60NM OF THE COLD FRONT. ..TROUGH TO THE S OF THE COMPLEX STORM FROM 18N125W-6N134W. SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT TO THE N HAS BEEN DRAWING THE TROUGH NWD FROM THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AT THE N END OF THE TROUGH FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 121W-125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 6N90W 3N102W 8N128W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-87W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-92W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-118W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:14:00 2003 X-UIDL: 16471-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA20032SAOLQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:05:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19M52ZD025667 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:05:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExjU031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:59:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 902956 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:59:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19LxvCw003634 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:59:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19Lxuid004053 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:59:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19Lxu8f004052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:59:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 15:59:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302092159.h19Lxu8f004052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 092159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N164W 07N161W 04N163W 02N167W 04N180 06N179W 09N169W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N159W 20N171W 20N173W 30N162W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI NEAR 22.1S 169.3W AT 1800 UTC HAS OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 22S168W 23S170W...SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM RSMC NADI FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ (1)...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY EQ174W 06S171W 09S174W 06S178E 03S177E 02S177W 01S177W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. CZ (2)...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 04S165W 11S154W 21S155W 24S162W 17S167W 08S171W 04S170W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 21S136W 23S131W 25S131W 25S134W 23S137W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 07S179W 12S178W 13S178E 09S176E 07S177E HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:14:00 2003 X-UIDL: 16472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003G2GCUQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:07:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A07ZZD043061 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:07:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196Exoi031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:59:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 904239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:58:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19NwiCw044956 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:58:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19Nwhid005090 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:58:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19NwhIS005089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:58:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 17:58:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302092358.h19NwhIS005089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 100000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S/64.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30/35KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 13.8 SOUTH/63.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 14.3 SOUTH/63.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : SMALL SYSTEM WHITH A COMPACT CLUSTER.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:14:00 2003 X-UIDL: 16474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003LHHPFQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:36:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A0aiZD047396 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:36:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196Exq0031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 18:31:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 904534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 18:31:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A0VYCw009628 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 18:31:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A0VWid005414 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 18:31:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A0VWE5005413 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 18:31:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 18:31:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100031.h1A0VWE5005413@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 100000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 009/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.0S/54.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 13.0 SOUTH/54.3 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 14.3 SOUTH/54.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO HAVE TURNED SOUTHWARDS, WHICH HAS TO BE CONFIRMED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:14:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16481-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA20039PLUTQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 10:06:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A26MZD071897 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 10:06:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196Exu6031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 19:56:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 905658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 19:56:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1ulCw003802 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 19:56:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A1ukid006110 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 19:56:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A1ukk4006109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 19:56:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 19:56:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100156.h1A1ukk4006109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 100300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 16.7S4 95.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 95.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.3S1 92.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.3S2 89.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.2S2 88.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 20.2S4 86.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.8S5 94.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A 25 NM IRREGULAR EYE HAS REFORMED. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DRIER AND COOLER AIR BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTH. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID- LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS DRIER AND COOLER AIR. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5 AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO UNTIL 42 HOURS. AFTER THAT, SOME MODELS MAINTAIN THE TRACKING OF THE SYSTEM ALONG THE RIDGE, IN A GENERALLY POLEWARD DIRECTION, AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS. OTHER MODELS, INCLUDING NOGAPS AND, TO A LESSER EXTENT, GFDN, TRACK THE SYSTEM GENERALLY WESTWARD WITH AN EQUATORWARD BIAS, DUE TO INTERACTIONS WITH OTHER CIRCULATIONS EMBEDDED IN THE TROUGH. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 AND 110300Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 11:47:55 2003 X-UIDL: 16487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003VCQ0VQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A3aNZD094913 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrFU031146; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 21:28:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 906587 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 21:28:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A3SOCw026858 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 21:28:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A3SNid006937 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 21:28:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A3SNYh006936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 21:28:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 21:28:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100328.h1A3SNYh006936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 100328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 10 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1002 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N130W WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SW TO 22N130W THEN 16N139W AND A WARM FRONT STRETCHING EWD TO NEAR 24N120W. AN OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPS NWWD TO A 1007 MB LOW NEAR 29N135W. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SSE AND MERGE WITH THE STRONGER LOW TO THE SE WITHIN 24 HOURS. VIRTUALLY ALL OF THE STRONGEST CONVECTION HAS SHIFTED TO THE N OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 27N-31N BETWEEN 128W-133W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALSO OCCURRING WITHIN 60NM OF THE COLD FRONT AND WITHIN AN AREA S OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN 132W-135W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 6N132W-20N125W AND IS BEING PULLED NWD BY THE FLOW WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE COMPLEX LOW TO THE N. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THAT A WEAK LOW MAY BE TRYING TO FORM ALONG THE SW EDGE OF AN EXPANDING BAROCLINIC LEAF CLOUD NEAR 22N124W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 120W-123W WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CELLS TO THE S FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 119W-121W. ..RIDGE EXTENDS SWD ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 13N BETWEEN 108W-118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 4N86W 5N96W 3N103W 8N128W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-88W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-96W AND BETWEEN 109W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK TO MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELLS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG AND JUST INLAND OF THE ECUADOR/COLOMBIA COASTLINE BETWEEN EQ-6N. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 13:47:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA20037WW33Q1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 13:47:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A5lDZD025384 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 13:47:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrJs031146; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:30:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 907682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:30:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A5UFCw015672 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A5UEid007842 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:30:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A5UEaB007841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:30:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:30:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100530.h1A5UEaB007841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS21 PGTW 100530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100521ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.6S9 64.7E7 TO 17.4S2 66.4E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 100230Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.7S1 65.0E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 65.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7S1 65.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS VERY SMALL. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 110530Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 14:17:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16506-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003L4XFRQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:16:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A6GRZD031856 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:16:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A2Iwag005864; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 908044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A5rMCw032550 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A5rKid007994 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A5rKZZ007992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100553.h1A5rKZZ007992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091800Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2S6 169.2W8, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS GUSTING TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 092100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 14:57:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16509-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA200337ZAKQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:56:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A6uVZD042576 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:56:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A2IwgO005864; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:46:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 908778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:46:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A6k4Cw010614 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:46:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A6k3id008371 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:46:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A6k3jl008370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:46:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:46:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100646.h1A6k3jl008370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 100600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 5/10/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 10/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S/54.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 40 KM SE30: 40 KM SW30: 40 KM NW30: 40 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 12.8S / 54.3E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 14.0S / 54.0E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 16.9S / 56.3E FI=4.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=2.5+.THE SYSTEME SEEMS TO BE SLIGHTLY UNDERGOING THE OTHER SYSTEME 11 IN THE EAST. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO GOING ON, ON A TRACK BECOMING SOUTHWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 14:57:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16510-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA200350ZBAQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:57:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A6uvZD042714 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:56:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrRU031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:44:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 908773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:44:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A6i1Cw036400 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:44:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A6i0id008358 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:44:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A6hxsM008357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:43:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:43:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100643.h1A6hxsM008357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 100600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 994 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S/54.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 400 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.8 SOUTH/54.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.0 SOUTH/54.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED AT THE END OF THE NIGHT, AND HAS JUST BEEN NAMED GERRY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 15:27:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3003RV0JBQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:23:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A7NOZD050234 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:23:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A2IwiQ005864; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:11:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 908954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:11:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A7BbCw039320 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:11:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A7Baid008591 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:11:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A7BaT7008590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:11:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:11:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100711.h1A7BaT7008590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 100600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.5S/64.0E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY 30/35KT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 14.9 SOUTH/63.2 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 15.4 SOUTH/62.9 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM SHOWS NOW A SMALL AREA OF PERSISTANTE CONVECTION, WITH WINDS REACHING LOCALLY 30/35 KT UNDER THE CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 15:27:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3003VV0MCQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:25:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A7PCZD050649 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:25:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrS6031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:16:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 908990 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:16:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A7GhCw040840 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:16:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A7Ggid008627 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:16:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A7GgRQ008626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:16:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 01:16:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100716.h1A7GgRQ008626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 100600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/11/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 10/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.5S/64.0E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 20 KM SE30: 20 KM SW30: 20 KM NW30: 20 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 14.9S / 63.2E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 15.4S / 62.9E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.2S / 64.0E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO UNDERGO GERRY IN THE WEST. IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALY SOUTHWARD WITHOUT A REAL INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 17:17:40 2003 X-UIDL: 16518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007NB5GG46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 17:09:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A99eZD079426 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 17:09:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrU2031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:47:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 909575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:47:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A8lfCw030486 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:47:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A8ldid009131 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:47:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A8ldmZ009130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:47:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:47:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100847.h1A8ldmZ009130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 23.7S2 168.8W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7S2 168.8W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 24.7S3 168.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 25.7S4 168.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 26.7S5 168.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 27.5S4 168.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 24.0S6 168.8W3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P (DOVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTION. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A POLEWARD ORIENTED RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 15P IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INTO INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 AND 110900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 18:07:40 2003 X-UIDL: 16521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007HO7X446@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:03:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AA2vZD093410 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:02:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrUE031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 03:55:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 909822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 03:55:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A9t8Cw030548 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 03:55:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A9t6id009662 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 03:55:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A9t6fc009661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 03:55:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 03:55:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100955.h1A9t6fc009661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 100954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 05N172W 05N160W ARE CONTINUALLY REFORMING IN THE SAME AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N158W 26N163W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 18N180. FRONT MOVING EAST 15 KT. SHEAR LINE BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT AND SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI NEAR 25S168W MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 10 KT AND WEAKENING. SEE THE LATEST NADI BULLETIN FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LARGE AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 01S180 05S170W 17S161W 10S170W 10S180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 20 NM OF LINE 14S172W 16S168W ARE NEWLY FORMED. ELSEWHERE... UPPER TROUGH...THROUGH 21S133W 30S133W MOVING EAST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 23S131W 30S131W ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH REMAIN SPARSE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 18:07:40 2003 X-UIDL: 16522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007L380Z46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:05:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AA5HZD093833 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:05:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrUG031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:01:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 909833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:01:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AA12Cw040902 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:01:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AA11id009721 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:01:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AA11cM009720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:01:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:01:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101001.h1AA11cM009720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 101000 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 10 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 10/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N132W. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM THIS LOW CENTER TO 29N130W...TO 1002 MB TRIPLE POINT LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N127W. WARM FRONT FROM TRIPLE POINT CENTER TO 25N124W AND 20N117W. COLD FRONT FROM TRIPLE POINT CENTER TO 23N128W TO 18N132W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF 16N BETWEEN 114W AND 127W. ..TROUGH FROM 14N127W TO 7N130W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W. OTHER ISOLATED SHOWERS/POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 5N97W 3N103W 6N115W 7N127W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 116W...AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 27N131W. TROUGH FROM THIS CENTER TO 14N135W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 18:37:43 2003 X-UIDL: 16523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3003Y1939Q1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:28:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AASAZD099132 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:28:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrUS031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:23:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 909918 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:23:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AANGCw038994 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:23:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AANEid009865 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:23:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AANECE009864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:23:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:23:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101023.h1AANECE009864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 100600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 994 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S/54.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 400 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.8 SOUTH/54.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.0 SOUTH/54.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED AT THE END OF THE NIGHT, AND HAS JUST BEEN NAMED GERRY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 21:48:30 2003 X-UIDL: 16532-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007QPE6U46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:18:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ACIIZD021640 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:18:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrXE031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:09:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 910431 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:09:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AC9hCw040812 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:09:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AC9gid010604 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:09:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AC9g2g010603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:09:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:09:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101209.h1AC9g2g010603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 100600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 994 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S/54.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 400 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.8 SOUTH/54.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.0 SOUTH/54.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED AT THE END OF THE NIGHT, AND HAS JUST BEEN NAMED GERRY. 000 WTIO22 FMEE 100600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 994 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S/54.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 400 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.8 SOUTH/54.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.0 SOUTH/54.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED AT THE END OF THE NIGHT, AND HAS JUST BEEN NAMED GERRY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 21:48:39 2003 X-UIDL: 16533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007XUEKG46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:26:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ACQWZD023325 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:26:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A8wXNq027868; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:22:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 910661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:20:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ACKuCw026682 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:20:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ACKtid010707 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:20:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ACKtAk010706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:20:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:20:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101220.h1ACKtAk010706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 101200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S/63.8E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, ETENDING UP TO 140 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.4 SOUTH/63.8 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 18.0 SOUTH/64.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM SHOWS NOW A SMALL AREA OF PERSISTANTE CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 21:48:40 2003 X-UIDL: 16534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3003XUENDQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:28:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ACSJZD023743 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:28:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrYi031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:25:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 910905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:25:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ACP4Cw022086 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:25:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ACP3id010752 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:25:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ACP2iK010751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:25:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:25:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101225.h1ACP2iK010751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 101200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 991 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.8S/54.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 400 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 12.8 SOUTH/54.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 14.4 SOUTH/54.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED, AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 21:48:40 2003 X-UIDL: 16536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3003B0FEIQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:44:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ACiZZD026315 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:44:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrZ4031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:39:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 911136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:39:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ACdQCw015700 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:39:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ACdPid010916 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:39:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ACdPAS010915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:39:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 06:39:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101239.h1ACdPAS010915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 101200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 991 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.8S/54.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 400 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 12.8 SOUTH/54.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 14.4 SOUTH/54.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED, AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWARD. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 21:48:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16539-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA300303GFFQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:06:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AD6dZD030540 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:06:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A8wXUA027868; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 911324 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AD1RCw007168 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AD1Pid011159 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AD1PO7011157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101301.h1AD1PO7011157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 101230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/101230Z/101800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100151ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100752ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) LOCATED NEAR 16.7S4 95.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 100300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 100600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 54.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 85.3E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 82.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE DEPICTS IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SOUTH OF DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS NEAR A POINT SOURCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 65.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7S1 65.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS VERY SMALL. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 21:48:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16540-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA300337GHSQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:08:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AD8AZD030807 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:08:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xra8031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 911320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AD1RCw015108 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AD1Pid011160 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AD1PlH011158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:01:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101301.h1AD1PlH011158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/101230Z/101800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100151ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100752ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) LOCATED NEAR 16.7S4 95.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 100300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 100600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 54.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8 85.3E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 82.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE DEPICTS IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SOUTH OF DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS NEAR A POINT SOURCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 65.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7S1 65.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS VERY SMALL. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 21:48:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA300785GYY46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:18:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ADIMZD032635 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:18:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrai031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:12:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 911443 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:12:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ADC7Cw016196 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:12:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ADC5id011220 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:12:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ADC5cX011219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:12:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 07:12:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101312.h1ADC5cX011219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 101200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S/63.8E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, ETENDING UP TO 140 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.4 SOUTH/63.8 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 18.0 SOUTH/64.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM SHOWS NOW A SMALL AREA OF PERSISTANTE CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 23:09:54 2003 X-UIDL: 16550-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007KJLO146@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:00:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AExtZD053292 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 22:59:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xriM031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:50:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 912729 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:50:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AEocCw035948 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:50:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AEobid013314 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:50:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AEoavT013313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:50:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:50:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101450.h1AEoavT013313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 101500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 16.7S4 93.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 93.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.9S6 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.5S3 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.9S8 89.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.9S1 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.7S4 93.0E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN FAIRLY CONSTANT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST TO WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS DRIER AND COOLER AIR. THE DYNAMIC AIDS GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND NCEP GFS TRACK TC 14S INCREASINGLY POLEWARD WITH THE APPROACH OF A PASSING MID-LAT TROUGH. NOGAPS AND AFWA MM5 TRACK THE SYSTEM GENERALLY WESTWARD WITH POSSIBLE INTERACTION WITH ANOTHER CIRCULATION TO THE NORTHWEST. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE FIRST GROUP OF DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 AND 111500Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 01:07:16 2003 X-UIDL: 16557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3003ZUPY1Q1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:32:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AGWHZD073487 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:32:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xruG031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 10:23:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 914498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 10:23:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AGN6Cw004486 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 10:23:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AGN4id016854 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 10:23:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AGN4AQ016853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 10:23:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 10:23:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101623.h1AGN4AQ016853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 101621 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 10 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N132W. OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS TO TRIPLE POINT ALONG 29N128W 26N125W 23N124W. SECOND...1008 MB...LOW AT TRIPLE POINT WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING ESE TO 21N118W AND COLD FRONT SW ALONG 18N126W TO 1N131W. A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED N OF 19N BETWEEN 113W-124W INCLUDING N PORTIONS OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 23N-30N BETWEEN 126W-132W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 250 NM EAST OF COLD FRONT S OF 19N. ..TROUGH ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 18N105W NW TO 29N111W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 7N135W TO NEAR 13N126W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N95W 3N100W 4N110W 9N129W 5N140W. ISOLATED SHALLOW/WARM TOPPED CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 121W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 01:53:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16563-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007PWTAP46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 01:44:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AHigZD089077 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 01:44:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AHIeI8027868; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 916225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AHaUCw003772 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AHaSid019635 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AHaSBf019632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101736.h1AHaSBf019632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 101800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) LOCATED NEAR 16.7S4 93.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 100600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 54.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 82.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 82.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 680 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.7S1 65.0E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 64.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA BENEATH AN UPPER LEVEL POINT SOURCE WITH WEAK VERTICAL WINDS SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. SEE REF C +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 01:53:18 2003 X-UIDL: 16564-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007SNTCN46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 01:45:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AHjrZD089370 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 01:45:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xr4k031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 916228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AHaUCw016272 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AHaSid019636 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AHaS67019633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 11:36:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101736.h1AHaS67019633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) LOCATED NEAR 16.7S4 93.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 100600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 54.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 82.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 82.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 680 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.7S1 65.0E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 64.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA BENEATH AN UPPER LEVEL POINT SOURCE WITH WEAK VERTICAL WINDS SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. SEE REF C +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 02:43:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007DWVOM46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:36:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AIaGZD001987 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:36:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AHIeQw027868; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:30:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 917281 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:29:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AITrCw035064 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:29:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AITpid021668 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:29:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AITpPk021667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:29:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:29:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101829.h1AITpPk021667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 101800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 012/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 990 HPA POSITION : 12.2S/54.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 400 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 13.7 SOUTH/54.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 15.1 SOUTH/55.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY SLOWLY TRACKS SOUTHWARDS SINCE 12TU. THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 02:43:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16567-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007G5VQB46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:37:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AIbHZD002220 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:37:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AHIeRU027868; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:33:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 917327 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:32:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIWOCw019946 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:32:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AIWJid021787 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:32:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AIWJ42021786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:32:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:32:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101832.h1AIWJ42021786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 101800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 6/10/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 10/02/2003 : 12.2S/54.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 70 KM SE30: 120 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 100 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 13.7S / 54.5E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 15.1S / 55.1E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.0S / 58.0E FI=5.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKINF SOUTHWARDS IN THE NEXT 12H, THEN SOUTHEASTWARDS BEYOND. IT SHOULD THEN ACCELERATE AND INTENSIFY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 02:43:10 2003 X-UIDL: 16568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007M2VWA46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:40:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AIenZD002870 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:40:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrCQ031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:34:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 917382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:34:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIYPCw034930 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:34:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AIYNid021895 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:34:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AIYNGU021894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:34:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:34:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101834.h1AIYNGU021894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 101800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 998 HPA POSITION : 15.8S/63.7E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, ETENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE NORTWESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 17.2 SOUTH/64.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/65.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION PERSISTS ON THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 02:53:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16569-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007UPW6346@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:46:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AIkiZD003847 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:46:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrCs031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:38:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 917406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:35:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIZMCw034328 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:35:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AIZLid021947 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:35:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AIZLRh021946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:35:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:35:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101835.h1AIZLRh021946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 101800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 4/11/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 10/02/2003 : 15.8S/63.7E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 30 KM SE30: 30 KM SW30: 30 KM NW30: 30 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.2S / 64.0E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.5S / 65.5E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS AND THEN DISSIPATE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 05:33:10 2003 X-UIDL: 16574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007TU3MV46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:28:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ALS1ZD040881 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:28:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfgUG031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:20:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 920867 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:20:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ALKZCw030342 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:20:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ALKYid027664 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:20:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ALKXq9027663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:20:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:20:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302102120.h1ALKXq9027663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIIIII, Probability=9%, Report=SUPERLONG_LINE WTXS32 PGTW 102100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 11.8S0 54.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8S0 54.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 12.4S7 55.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 13.1S5 56.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.3S8 57.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 15.8S4 58.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.9S1 54.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. A 101743Z6 SSM/I DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN QUADRANTS. TC 16S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEAST AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH TC 17S LOCATED TO THE EAST. TC 16S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AVN AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 AND 112100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 05:33:10 2003 X-UIDL: 16575-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007ZJ3UL46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:32:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ALWdZD041691 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfgUQ031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:26:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 920942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ALQcCw013878 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ALQbid027855 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:26:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ALQbiV027854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:26:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:26:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302102126.h1ALQbiV027854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 102100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 15.6S2 64.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 64.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 17.3S1 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 19.2S2 63.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 21.0S3 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 23.1S6 61.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.0S7 64.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. A 101741Z4 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH A DEEP CONVECTIVE BAND IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. TC 17S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH TC 16S (GERRY). THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. AVN AND NOGAPS TRACK THE SYSTEM TO THE WEST, INDICATING NO INTERACTION WITH TC 16S. BASED ON THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE TWO CYCLONES, OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND THE EGRR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 11 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 100521ZFEB2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 100530) NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 AND 112100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 05:53:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16576-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007JG4G246@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:45:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ALjUZD043874 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:45:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfgVK031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:33:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 921056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:33:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ALX0Cw035182 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:33:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ALWwid028142 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:32:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ALWwlj028141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:32:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:32:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302102132.h1ALWwlj028141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 25.3S0 168.0W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 25.3S0 168.0W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 26.2S0 167.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 27.2S1 168.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 25.5S2 168.0W5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P (DOVI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DECOUPLED FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. TC 15P HAS TRANSITIONED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK POLEWARD AND WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, INCLUDING NGPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 30 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 06:03:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007XN4VT46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:55:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ALstZD045597 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:54:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AK7LWq034470; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:46:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 921265 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:46:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ALk9Cw019230 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:46:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ALk7id028511 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:46:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ALk5hm028508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:46:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 15:46:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302102146.h1ALk5hm028508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 102132 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 10 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1006 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 29N131W WITH AN OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING TO THE TRIPLE POINT ALONG 29N127W-26N123W-22N122W. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS EWD FROM THE TRIPLE POINT TO NEAR 20N115W AND A COLD FRONT EXTENDS SW TO NEAR 13N140W. A TROUGH ALSO EXTENDS FROM THE LOW SW TO NEAR 22N140W. A LARGE AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED E OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT AND GENERALLY N OF THE WARM FRONT N OF 20N BETWEEN 115W-122W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE ALSO WITHIN 60NM OF THE COLD FRONT S OF 20N. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 400NM OF THE SURFACE LOW. ..WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS SWD FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA TO NEAR 13N BETWEEN 105W-117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N104W 10N127W 5N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 123W-125W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS W OF 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 06:13:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16578-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007FW5FP46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:07:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AM6tZD047602 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:06:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AK7LaY034470; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 16:01:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 921699 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 16:01:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AM1hCw036052 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 16:01:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AM1gid029130 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 16:01:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AM1g2P029129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 16:01:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 16:01:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302102201.h1AM1g2P029129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 102201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S165W 09N161W 07N161W 06N154W 04N143W 04N159W 03N163W 08N171W 10N167W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE ARE BOUNDED BY 30N156W 25N165W 17N180 19N180 25N173W 30N162W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06N174W 02N171W EQ178W 03N180 HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI NEAR 24.9S 168.2W AT 1800 UTC HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 27S171W 29S169W 30S167W...SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM RSMC NADI FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ (1)...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY EQ174W 05S168W 14S168W 14S172W 12S173W 13S180 09S179W 06S169E 02S173E 03S180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. CZ (2)...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 08S165W 10S158W 23S153W 25S155W 25S158W 18S161W 13S161W 18S166W 14S167W 09S166W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 12 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 21S138W 22S130W 25S129W 25S134W 24S139W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 2 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ (1)...FOR CONVECTION MAINLY NORTH CLOCKWISE THROUGH EAST OF THE SAMOAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 08:23:10 2003 X-UIDL: 16581-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007IXBIM46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 08:18:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B0IFZD073035 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 08:18:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfgl6031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:10:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 924131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:10:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B0AQCw005186 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:10:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B0APid001798 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:10:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B0APaZ001797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:10:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:10:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110010.h1B0APaZ001797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 110000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 013/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 988 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S/54.7E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 14.3 SOUTH/55.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.7 SOUTH/55.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 08:33:10 2003 X-UIDL: 16583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007X1BXH46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 08:27:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B0RBZD074770 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 08:27:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AMZtX4042712; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:18:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 924184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:17:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B0HdCw025954 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:17:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B0Hcid001872 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:17:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B0HcY2001871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:17:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 18:17:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110017.h1B0HcY2001871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 110000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 997 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S/63.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 18.1 SOUTH/64.1 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 19.7 SOUTH/65.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTS ON THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 11:17:00 2003 X-UIDL: 16590-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007MCJNZ46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:14:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B3EHZD022262 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:14:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfgsY031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:10:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 925965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:10:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B3AwCw025296 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:10:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B3Avid003765 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:10:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B3AvOT003764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:10:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:10:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 14s (fiona) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110310.h1B3AvOT003764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 015 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 17.8S6 92.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8S6 92.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.9S8 90.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 20.6S8 90.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 22.2S6 90.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 23.7S2 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.1S0 91.8E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A SLIGHT DECREASE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A DEEPENING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM BY MID-PERIOD. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS THEN INCREASINGLY SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE WEAKNESS. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE DYNAMIC AIDS GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND NCEP GFS TRACK TC 14S INCREASINGLY POLEWARD WITH THE APPROACH OF A PASSING MID-LAT TROUGH. NOGAPS WEAKENS THE SYSTEM FASTER THAN THE OTHER AIDS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE FIRST GROUP OF DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 AND 120300Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 11:17:02 2003 X-UIDL: 16591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007PAJPE46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:15:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B3F7ZD022448 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:15:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfgsU031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:06:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 925944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:06:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B36tCw019380 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:06:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B36rid003746 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:06:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B36rja003745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:06:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:06:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 18s Warning Nr 001 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110306.h1B36rja003745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS34 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNING NR 001 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 14.0S5 81.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 81.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.3S9 80.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.7S4 80.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 18.0S9 80.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 19.3S3 81.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 14.3S8 81.0E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 650 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A DEEPENING SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM BY MID-PERIOD. TC 18S IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY POLEWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD TOWARD THE WEAKNESS. TC 18S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 24 TO 36 HOURS AND THEN MORE SLOWLY BY 48 HOURS AS IT APPROACHES THE RIDGE AXIS. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND NCEP GFS, DO NOT INITIALIZE THE SYSTEM WELL, BUT GENERALLY TRACK THE SYSTEM POLEWARD IN THE WAKE OF TC 14S. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND CLIMATOLOGY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 AND 120300Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 12:12:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007W7KGY46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:31:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B3VeZD026633 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:31:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfgsi031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:27:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 926040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:27:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B3RkCw034456 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:27:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B3Rkid003932 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:27:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B3RjwF003931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:27:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 21:27:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110327.h1B3RjwF003931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 110327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 11 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1002 MB OCCLUDED LOW CENTERED NEAR 28N132W MOVING S WITH THE OCCLUDED FRONT STRETCHING EWD TO 30N125W-27N122W. AT THE TRIPLE POINT A WARM FRONT EXTENDS EWD TO 24N114W AND A COLD FRONT EXTENDS TO 20N122W-13N127W. A TROUGH ALSO EXTENDS FROM THE LOW TO 27N129W-22N130W-17N137W-19N146W AND MARKS THE LEADING EDGE OF A DECK OF STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS MOVING S. THE STRONGEST CONVECTION IS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND S OF THE WARM FRONT WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 118W-121W. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE LOCATED WITHIN 60NM OF THE COLD FRONT S OF 20N. AN EXPANSIVE CIRRUS SHIELD HAS FORMED AHEAD OF THE OCCLUSION AND NOW EXTENDS E OF 121W REACHING AS FAR N AS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA...BUT WSR-88D RADAR IMAGERY FROM SRN CALIFORNIA ONLY SHOWS ISOLATED SHOWERS MOVING NE THROUGH THE AREA AS WELL AS JUST OFFSHORE. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ALSO OCCURRING UP TO 200NM E OF THE SURFACE LOW ALONG THE TROUGH. ..WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS S ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THEN TURNS SW TO NEAR 13N120W AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 2N81W 4N93W 5N100W 4N105W 11N126W 4N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-87W AND BETWEEN 92W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-128W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS W OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELLS OF MODERATE CONVECTION JUST INLAND OF THE COAST OF COLUMBIA. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 13:59:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16605-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400DX9QW7C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 13:50:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B5oNZD060977 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 13:50:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfg0C031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:46:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 927755 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:45:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B5j9Cw036572 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:45:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B5j8id005172 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:45:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B5j8sS005171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:45:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:45:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110545.h1B5j8sS005171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 110600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 009/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S/64.5E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.0 SOUTH/64.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.4 SOUTH/65.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM INTENSIFY DURING THE LAST HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 13:59:44 2003 X-UIDL: 16606-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400DXHQW9C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 13:50:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B5oRZD060996 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 13:50:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfgxq031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:43:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 927729 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B5gqCw027210 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B5gpid005154 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B5gpKU005153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110542.h1B5gpKU005153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 110000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 013/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 988 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S/54.7E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 14.3 SOUTH/55.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.7 SOUTH/55.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 13:59:44 2003 X-UIDL: 16607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400DXQQWCC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 13:50:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B5oTZD061011 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 13:50:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AMZt9u042712; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 927725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B5ghCw034330 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B5ggid005149 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B5gf3C005148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:42:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110542.h1B5gf3C005148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 110000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 997 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S/63.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 18.1 SOUTH/64.1 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 19.7 SOUTH/65.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTS ON THE SYSTEM. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 13:59:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16608-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400D9XR24C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 13:54:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B5rxZD061868 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 13:54:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AMZtBK042712; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:49:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 927890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:49:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B5nECw027306 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:49:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B5nDid005204 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:49:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B5nD85005203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:49:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 23:49:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110549.h1B5nD85005203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 110600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 5/11/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 11/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S/64.5E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 60 KM SE30: 80 KM SW30: 80 KM NW30: 60 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.0S / 64.7E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.4S / 65.0E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.7S / 66.0E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM INTENSIFY DURING THE LAST HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 14:19:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400DYZS8AC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:19:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B6JGZD067906 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:19:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6AcFA031148; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:11:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 928267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:04:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B64XCw038726 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:04:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B64Wid005384 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:04:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B64WVI005383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:04:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:04:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110604.h1B64WVI005383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 110600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 5/11/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 11/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S/64.5E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 60 KM SE30: 80 KM SW30: 80 KM NW30: 60 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.0S / 64.7E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.4S / 65.0E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.7S / 66.0E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM INTENSIFY DURING THE LAST HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 14:29:42 2003 X-UIDL: 16612-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400DWXSJ9C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:25:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B6PjZD069770 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:25:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6AcFG031148; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 928495 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6HGCw005220 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B6HFid005558 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B6HEm2005556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110617.h1B6HEm2005556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3S0 168.0W5, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 102100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 14:33:19 2003 X-UIDL: 16613-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400DGXSR3C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:30:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B6URZD070947 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:30:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6AcFq031148; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:24:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 928680 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:24:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6OACw026884 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:24:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B6O8id005612 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:24:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B6O808005611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:24:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:24:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110624.h1B6O808005611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 110600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 014/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 988 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.8S/54.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/54.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/55.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 14:33:19 2003 X-UIDL: 16614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400DNRSTWC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:32:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B6W8ZD071345 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:32:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6AcFs031148; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:25:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 928683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:25:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6PDCw038880 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:25:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B6PCid005619 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:25:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B6PCWX005618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:25:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:25:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110625.h1B6PCWX005618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 110600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 7/10/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 11/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.8S/54.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 988 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 42 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 80 KM SE30: 150 KM SW30: 280 KM NW30: 120 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 300 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 15.0S / 54.7E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 16.2S / 55.5E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.5S / 57.2E FI=4.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 14:49:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16616-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400DU4TJAC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:47:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B6lMZD076767 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:47:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6AcGE031148; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:43:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 928882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:43:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6hfCw027446 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:43:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B6hdid005804 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:43:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B6hdnc005803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:43:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:43:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110643.h1B6hdnc005803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 110600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 014/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 988 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.8S/54.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/54.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/55.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 14:55:28 2003 X-UIDL: 16617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400DCYTPZC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:51:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B6pRZD078094 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:51:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B5tvKw042712; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:44:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 928899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:44:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6iiCw030080 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:44:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B6ihid005836 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:44:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B6igb6005835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:44:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:44:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110644.h1B6igb6005835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 110600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 7/10/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 11/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.8S/54.5E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 988 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 42 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 80 KM SE30: 150 KM SW30: 280 KM NW30: 120 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 300 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 15.0S / 54.7E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 16.2S / 55.5E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.5S / 57.2E FI=4.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 17:59:10 2003 X-UIDL: 16631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DM31MRC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 17:42:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B9gJZD027862 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 17:42:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899DO031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 929996 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B9UZCw020540 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B9UYid007285 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B9UY7x007284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110930.h1B9UY7x007284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 110900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNING NR 002 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 16.9S6 64.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 64.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 18.3S2 65.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 19.4S4 65.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 20.1S3 66.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 21.1S4 67.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 17.2S0 64.9E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. A 110427Z5 SSM/I PASS SUGGESTED THE FORMATION OF A EYE, HOWEVER THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST HAS WEAKENED RECENTLY. TC 17S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS GUIDED BY A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSIST OF UKMET (EGRR) AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS. EGRR INITIALIZES WELL, WHILE AVN INITIALIZES APPROXIMATELY THREE DEGREES TO THE SOUTHEAST. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON EGRR AND THE MEDIUM BETA ADVECTION MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR TC 14S (FIONA)(WTXS31 PGTW), TC 16S (GERRY) (WTXS33 PGTW), AND TC 18S (NO NAME)(WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 17:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 16632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DA11XVC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 17:49:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B9mtZD029353 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 17:48:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B8HBGk027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B9UdCw023244 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B9UXid007280 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B9UXjw007279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:30:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110930.h1B9UXjw007279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 110900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 13.3S7 53.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 53.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 14.8S3 54.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.2S9 55.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.7S5 56.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.3S3 57.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.7S1 53.8E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TC 16S IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST THAT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME INTERACTION WITH TC 17S (HAPE) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST. TC 16S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AVN AND BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR TC 14S (FIONA)(WTXS31 PGTW), TC 17S (HAPE) (WTXS33 PGTW), AND TC 18S (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 18:04:23 2003 X-UIDL: 16635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DLX2I6C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BA1CZD032809 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:01:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899DU031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:56:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930096 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:56:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B9uVCw019366 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:56:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B9uUid007483 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:56:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B9uUwi007482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:56:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:56:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110956.h1B9uUwi007482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 110956 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 11 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 11/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1001 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N131W. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM LOW CENTER TO 30N130W AND CURVING TO 29N122W. COLD FRONT 29N122W 20N121W TO 13N127W. TROUGH FROM 13N127W TO 8N132W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 122W AND 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 126W AND 128W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 31N117W 26N117W 18N120W 13N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N78W 4N94W 4N108W 5N113W 10N123W 10N128W 7N135W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS IN BROKEN LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS...WITHIN 90-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 110W...WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 120W...AND WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 28N129W..SUPPORTING SURFACE 1001 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N131W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 18:04:23 2003 X-UIDL: 16636-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DND2J0C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:01:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BA1gZD032918 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:01:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899DS031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:55:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B9tVCw019338 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:55:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B9tTid007470 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:55:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B9tTKi007469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:55:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 03:55:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110955.h1B9tTKi007469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 110955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 06N168W 03N160W 03N147W MOVED WEST 15 KT ALONG AN OLD REMNANT SHEAR LINE. CB CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NUMEROUS BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS MOVING SOUTHWEST 20 KT ACROSS THE AREA. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 30N157W 19N180. SOUTH END MOVED WEST 10 KT. NORTH END STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI NEAR 27S 169W AT 11/0830 UTC MOVED SOUTH 5-10 KT AND CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE. DOVI IS VOID OF CB. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...PRODUCING ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 21S135W 28S132W. TROUGH/CB NEARLY STATIONARY AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 09S180 17S165W CONTINUED TO REDEVELOP SOUTHWARD AT 5-10 KT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 22:18:11 2003 X-UIDL: 16643-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DNV6Y3C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 19:37:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BBb4ZD054297 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 19:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B8HBLS027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:28:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BBSnCw005248 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BBSmid008144 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:28:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BBSmOj008143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:28:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 05:28:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111128.h1BBSmOj008143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 111200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.5S/81.5E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.0 SOUTH/82.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 17.0 SOUTH/82.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM NO JUSTIFY REGULAR WARNINGS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 22:18:21 2003 X-UIDL: 16645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500D0R8T7C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:17:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BCHKZD062850 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:17:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899FU031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:10:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:10:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BCAfCw030108 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:10:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BCAdid008473 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:10:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BCAdB6008472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:10:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:10:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111210.h1BCAdB6008472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 111200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 975 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S/65.0E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTORS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.7 SOUTH/65.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.7 SOUTH/66.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 22:18:21 2003 X-UIDL: 16646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DC092BC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:22:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BCMnZD064075 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:22:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899Fo031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:17:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:17:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BCHoCw025188 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:17:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BCHnid008548 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:17:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BCHngB008547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:17:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:17:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111217.h1BCHngB008547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 111200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.5S/81.5E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.0 SOUTH/82.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 17.0 SOUTH/82.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM NO JUSTIFY REGULAR WARNINGS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 22:18:22 2003 X-UIDL: 16648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DVLA9DC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:48:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BCmbZD069775 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:48:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899G0031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:42:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:42:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BCgTCw027134 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:42:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BCgRid008788 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:42:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BCgRuH008787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:42:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 06:42:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111242.h1BCgRuH008787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 111200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 015/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 985 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.9S/53.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.5 SOUTH/53.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 17.5 SOUTH/54.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 22:18:22 2003 X-UIDL: 16650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DZTBZMC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 21:26:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BDQ3ZD077706 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 21:26:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899Gg031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:18:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 931190 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:18:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BDIJCw035098 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:18:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BDIHid009174 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:18:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BDIHlk009173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:18:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:18:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111318.h1BDIHlk009173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 111200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 975 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S/65.0E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SECTORS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.7 SOUTH/65.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.7 SOUTH/66.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 22:18:22 2003 X-UIDL: 16651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500D9MC4ZC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 21:29:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BDT7ZD078530 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 21:29:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B8HBUU027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:21:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 931215 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:21:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BDLLCw019058 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:21:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BDLKid009225 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:21:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BDLKQd009224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:21:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 07:21:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111321.h1BDLKQd009224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 111200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 015/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 985 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.9S/53.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.5 SOUTH/53.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 17.5 SOUTH/54.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:35:55 2003 X-UIDL: 16662-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DVOJ7GC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:02:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BG1pZD016129 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:01:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899Wm031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 09:49:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 933587 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 09:49:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BFnFCw030098 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 09:49:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BFnDid013642 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 09:49:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BFnDuk013641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 09:49:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 09:49:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111549.h1BFnDuk013641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 111549 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 11 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT LOW OF THE SEASON HAS FORMED WITH A 998 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N130W. AN OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS N TO 30N130W THEN CURVES CLOCKWISE ALONG 31N129W 32N125W 31N125W TO 25N120W. FRONT BECOMES COLD S OF 25N TO 14N125W WHERE IT BECOMES STATIONARY TO 8N132W. THE CENTER OF THE LOW SHOWS UP IN IR IMAGES AS A LOW-CLOUD SWIRL. AN ARC OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTI-LEVEL CLOUDINESS STRETCHES MOSTLY AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN A 300 NM WIDE SWATH. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N123W 30N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N106W 4N108W 11N127W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W-129W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS E OF 79W AND BETWEEN 100W-118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:11 2003 X-UIDL: 16667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500GIBOFQ22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:55:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BHssZD043887 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:54:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899jg031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935910 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BHktCw035950 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BHkrid018495 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BHkrQQ018492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111746.h1BHkrQQ018492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 111800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5S4 91.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 505 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110600Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3S7 53.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 110600Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 64.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS33 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 81.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 030 KNOTS GUSTING TO 040 KNOTS. SEE REF D (WTXS34 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 82.3E3, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(4) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 64.4E4, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(3) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:11 2003 X-UIDL: 16668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DBLOGOC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:55:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BHtOZD044003 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:55:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BHGeGK027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:47:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BHktCw019818 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BHkrid018494 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BHkr1D018493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 11:46:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111746.h1BHkr1D018493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5S4 91.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 505 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110600Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3S7 53.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 110600Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 64.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS33 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 81.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 030 KNOTS GUSTING TO 040 KNOTS. SEE REF D (WTXS34 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 82.3E3, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(4) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 64.4E4, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(3) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:11 2003 X-UIDL: 16670-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DW1PFNC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:16:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BIGTZD049266 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:16:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899mC031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:11:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 936331 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:11:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BIBdCw018456 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:11:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BIBcid019418 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:11:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BIBc9n019417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:11:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:11:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111811.h1BIBc9n019417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 111800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 985 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.4S/53.5E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM AND LOCALY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 17.0 SOUTH/53.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 18.5 SOUTH/55.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : TRACK IS NOW SOUTHWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:12 2003 X-UIDL: 16671-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500G4YPMF22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:20:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BIKXZD050103 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:20:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BHGeL4027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:16:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 936379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:13:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BIDgCw036076 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:13:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BIDfid019505 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:13:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BIDfKj019504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:13:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:13:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111813.h1BIDfKj019504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 111800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 8/10/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 11/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.4S/53.5E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 300 KM SE30: 100 KM SW30: 100 KM NW30: 250 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.0S / 53.8E FI=4.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.5S / 55.1E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.8S / 58.8E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME UNDERGOES AN EAST-SOUTHEASTERN CONSTRAINTE, BUT SHOULD HAS MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:12 2003 X-UIDL: 16672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500GRBQQK22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:44:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BIicZD055577 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:44:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899pu031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:40:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 937197 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:40:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BIebCw031782 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:40:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BIeaid020428 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:40:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BIeajj020427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:40:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:40:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111840.h1BIeajj020427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 111800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 972 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.6S/66.1E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CERCLE AND LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.4 SOUTH/67.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 19.7 SOUTH/68.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE TRACK IS NOW MORE EAST-SOUTH-EASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:13 2003 X-UIDL: 16674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DR4R66C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:54:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BIrsZD057699 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:53:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899qk031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:47:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 937325 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:47:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BIlMCw033196 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:47:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BIlKid020709 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:47:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BIlKMZ020708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:47:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 12:47:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111847.h1BIlKMZ020708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 111800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 6/11/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 11/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.6S/66.1E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 PLUS /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 972 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 58 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 100 KM SE30: 100 KM SW30: 100 KM NW30: 100 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 18.4S / 67.4E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.7S / 68.9E FI=4.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 22.5S / 71.8E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : AN EYE IS NOW VISIBLE ON IR-IMAGERY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:22 2003 X-UIDL: 16684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500GGUXNI22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:14:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BLE0ZD091633 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:14:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BHGe3A027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:08:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 940420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BL7pCw007334 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BL7oid025603 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BL7ogn025602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302112107.h1BL7ogn025602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 112100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNING NR 003 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 17.7S5 66.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S5 66.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 18.3S2 67.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.9S8 69.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.7S7 71.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 21.0S3 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 17.8S6 66.5E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS POLEWARD OUTFLOW BEING ENHANCED BY A PASSING TROUGH TO THE SOUTHEAST. A 111726Z8 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A 13 NM EYE AND A DEEP CONVECTIVE BAND EXTENDING INTO THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN QUADRANTS. TC 17S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS GUIDED BY A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. TC 17S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS WHILE OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSIST OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR) AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 AND 122100Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:23 2003 X-UIDL: 16685-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DPCXOEC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:14:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BLEWZD091734 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:14:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BHGe38027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 940416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BL7pCw033212 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BL7nid025598 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BL7nhP025597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:07:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302112107.h1BL7nhP025597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 112100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 007 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 15.3S9 53.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 53.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.0S8 54.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.3S2 55.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.5S5 56.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.9S1 58.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.7S3 53.6E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TC 16S IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TC 16S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND THEN REMAIN STEADY THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 AND 122100Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:23 2003 X-UIDL: 16688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DH7Z4WC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:46:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BLk2ZD097702 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:46:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BHGe8g027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 940938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BLciCw040422 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BLcgid026646 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BLcgVa026645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302112138.h1BLcgVa026645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 016 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 18.5S4 91.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.5S4 91.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.8S8 90.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 21.7S0 90.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 23.8S3 92.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 25.5S2 94.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.8S7 91.0E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 505 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AS THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH MOVES EASTWARD. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND AFWA MM5 ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THE AFWA MM5 TRACKS THE SYSTEM WESTWARD AS A RESULT OF A POSSIBLE INTERACTION WITH ANOTHER CIRCULATION. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS MINUS THE MM5. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z6 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 AND 121500Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR TC 16S (GERRY) (WTXS33 PGTW), TC 17S (HAPE)(WTXS32), AND TC 18S (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:23 2003 X-UIDL: 16689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500GD4Z5J22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:46:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BLkJZD097758 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:46:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899BM031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 940928 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BLcGCw032052 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BLcFid026633 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BLcF8w026632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:38:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302112138.h1BLcF8w026632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS34 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNING NR 002 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 15.3S9 81.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 81.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.8S4 81.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.3S0 81.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.8S5 82.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.7S5 82.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.4S0 81.4E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PASSING OVER THE SYSTEM IS HINDERING FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. CURRENT MOVEMENT IS GUIDED BY THE LOW TO MID LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE SITUATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE INFLUENCE OF THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT PROGRESSES WESTWARD. TC 14S (FIONA) IS EXPECTED TO TURN POLEWARD AND CREATE A WEAKNESS FOR TC 18S TO FOLLOW. TC 18S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 24 HOURS DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND THEN INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT APPROACHES THE RIDGE AXIS. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND NCEP GFS, DO NOT INITIALIZE THE SYSTEM WELL, BUT ALL TRACK THE SYSTEM POLEWARD IN THE WAKE OF TC 14S. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND CLIMATOLOGY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 AND 121500Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR TC 14S (FIONA)(WTXS31 PGTW), TC 16S (GERRY)(WTXS33 PGTW), AND TC 17S (HAPE)(WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:24 2003 X-UIDL: 16690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500GKVZNR22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:57:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BLvDZD099496 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:57:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BHGe9q027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:47:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 941043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:47:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BLlDCw038744 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:47:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BLlCid026969 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:47:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BLlCP0026968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:47:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:47:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302112147.h1BLlCP0026968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 112145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 04N162W TO 03N153W TO 03N148W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N180 TO 07N177W TO 06N174W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE FROM 21N180 TO 25N170W TO 30N156W TO 31N153W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LINE FROM 21S136W TO 35S130W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5 KT AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY OR AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S164W 10S159W 18S165W 11S172W 09S171W 11S167W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07S179W TO 11S173W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:24 2003 X-UIDL: 16691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600DWG028C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 06:06:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BM62ZD001203 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 06:06:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BLpWEA031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:59:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 941303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:59:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BLxsCw044248 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:59:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BLxrid027368 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:59:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BLxrg3027367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:59:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 15:59:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302112159.h1BLxrg3027367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 112155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 11 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COMPLEX SYSTEM IS IN THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE REGION WITH A 1000 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N130W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING NORTH TO A 1006 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 32N127W. A DISSIPATING OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE 1006 MB LOW SOUTH TO 30N120W WHERE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES AS A STATIONARY FRONT ALONG 22N120W TO 10N129W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 1000 MB LOW SOUTH TO 16N132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N90W 5N110W 10N124W 5N140W. SEE BELOW. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS COVERS THE AREA WITHIN 175/200 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N122W ACROSS THE AXIS ALONG 15N123W 22N118W ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA TO OVER MEXICO NEAR 29N112W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:24 2003 X-UIDL: 16692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600DMI5I3C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:03:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C03WZD022622 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:03:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BLpWS2031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 17:51:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 943484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 17:51:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BNpCCw031952 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 17:51:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BNpAid029542 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 17:51:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BNpAUf029541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 17:51:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 17:51:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302112351.h1BNpAUf029541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 120000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 002/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.3S/82.1E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE.. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, REACHING LOCALY 30 KT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 17.6 SOUTH/82.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.8 SOUTH/82.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION HAS REBUILT IN THE LAST HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:24 2003 X-UIDL: 16693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600G646TH22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:32:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C0VxZD027665 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:32:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BLpWTu031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:26:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 943934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C0QpCw023898 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C0Qoid000021 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:26:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C0QneO000020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:26:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:26:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120026.h1C0QneO000020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 120000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 017/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 982 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.1S/54.2E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM AND LOCALY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN SECTORS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 17.4 SOUTH/55.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.9 SOUTH/57.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFYED AND IS ORGANIZED IN CURVED BAND. TRACK IS NOW SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:25 2003 X-UIDL: 16695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GGA76822@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:39:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C0dcZD029277 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:39:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BLpWVE031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:34:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 944032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:33:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C0XrCw030466 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:33:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C0Xpid000175 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:33:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C0XpA6000174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:33:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 18:33:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120033.h1C0XpA6000174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 120000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 012/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 11 (HAPE ) 968 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S/67.1E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 18.1 SOUTH/69.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 19.8 SOUTH/70.8 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE TRACK IS NOW MORE EASTWARD, AND THE SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 10:43:15 2003 X-UIDL: 16713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GHQCNL22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:38:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C2c3ZD065084 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:38:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BLpWbU031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 945135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C2WqCw044844 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C2Woid001535 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C2Wo22001532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 14s (fiona) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120232.h1C2Wo22001532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 017 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 20.0S2 91.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S2 91.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 21.7S0 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 22.9S3 92.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 24.0S6 93.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 25.0S7 95.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.4S6 91.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 585 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS CYCLED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AS THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH MOVES EASTWARD. TC 14S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND AFWA MM5 ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THE AFWA MM5 TRACKS THE SYSTEM WESTWARD AS A RESULT OF A POSSIBLE INTERACTION WITH ANOTHER CIRCULATION. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS MINUS THE MM5. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 AND 130300Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW)FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 10:53:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GONDB322@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:52:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C2q3ZD070037 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:52:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BLpWbq031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:45:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 945243 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:45:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C2jjCw013170 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:45:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C2jhid001664 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:45:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C2jhOp001663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:45:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:45:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 18s Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120245.h1C2jhOp001663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS34 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNING NR 003 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 16.4S1 82.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 82.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.0S8 83.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.8S6 83.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.6S5 84.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.5S5 85.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 82.9E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 18S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND BECOME ORIENTED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST. TC 18S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY BELOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS AS IT APPROACHES THE RIDGE AXIS. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND NCEP GFS, GFDN, GENERALLY AGREE WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 AND 130300Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 12:59:21 2003 X-UIDL: 16731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GT9J6N22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:59:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C4x3ZD007851 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:59:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C4hcD8036448; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 22:51:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 946517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 22:51:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C4pcCw044310 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 22:51:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C4paid002700 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 22:51:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C4paFM002699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 22:51:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 22:51:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120451.h1C4paFM002699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 120351 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 12 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COMPLEX SYSTEM IS IN THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE REGION WITH A 1000 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 25N129W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING NORTH TO A 1001 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 31N127W. A DISSIPATING OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE 1001 MB LOW NORTHEAST TO 32N122W WHERE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES AS A STATIONARY FRONT ALONG 24N119W 16M121W 8N130W TO BEYOND 6N140W. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE 1000 MB LOW SOUTHWEST TO 19N133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 3N91W 4N111W 11N123W 8N131W 5N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS COVERS THE AREA WITHIN 200 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N123W ALONG 23N1117 TO ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA AND OVER MEXICO NEAR 29N114W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:30:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600G1ON9Y22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6RMZD031523 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbHC036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:23:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6JoCw027012 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6Jmid003511 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6JmqL003510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120619.h1C6JmqL003510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 1/12/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 12/02/2003 : 16.3S/82.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 50 KM SE30: 100 KM SW30: 80 KM NW30: 30 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.2S / 83.4E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.3S / 83.9E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 20.0S / 84.8E FI=3.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.0 += +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:30:44 2003 X-UIDL: 16746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600G27NA222@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6RSZD031554 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbH8036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:23:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6J6Cw022190 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6J4id003489 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6J4mi003488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120619.h1C6J4mi003488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 120600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 998 HPA POSITION : 16.3S/82.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIM 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.2 SOUTH/83.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.3 SOUTH/83.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION REMAINS GOOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAINTAIN A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK, IN DIRECTION OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURES GENERATED BY THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FIONA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:40:39 2003 X-UIDL: 16750-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GK3NFZ22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:31:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6V6ZD032813 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:31:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbGO036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947362 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:12:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6CaCw005706 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:12:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6CYid003383 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:12:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6CY45003381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:12:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:12:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120612.h1C6CY45003381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600ZFEB2003/130600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:40:40 2003 X-UIDL: 16751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GPQNHY22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:32:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6WAZD033264 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:32:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbI0036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6RlCw044466 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6Rkid003613 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6Rknv003612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120627.h1C6Rknv003612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 120600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 013/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 11 (HAPE ) 965 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.0S/68.1E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTNORTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.6 SOUTH/69.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 16.3 SOUTH/71.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE EYE IS WELL DEFINED, AND THE SYSTEM HAS CLEARLY CURVED EASTNORTHEASTWARD. IT REMAINS RATHER SMALL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:40:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16752-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GUMNJ722@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6WtZD033467 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:32:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C52YMC019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:23:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6JbCw037972 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6JZid003500 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6JZkE003498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: /navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Mi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120619.h1C6JZkE003498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGCBKFOG FK /NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR MI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNBVNIQNVPNUXV OUT** NICHMKNHI WWYPPZFEBQIWEXDPYPPZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULE): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFUC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: 9-2-.7VN CFUEDBERG// 88 +..00 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:40:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16753-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GVQNJQ22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:33:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6XKZD033536 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:33:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C52YLA019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:23:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:14:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6ENCw025176 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:14:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6EMid003409 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:14:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6EMQK003407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:14:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:14:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Wea*her Advisgjy3'85#3.23534, -,$/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120614.h1C6EMQK003407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEA*HER ADVISGJY3'85#3.23534, -,$/ SOUT*VH FIC OCEAN/120600ZFEB2003/130600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BZPO908:-) 185)3-,:3 7..-4+/: NOCTV H FORECAST TEAM: MAZANXHEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:40:42 2003 X-UIDL: 16754-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GZGNKW22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:34:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6XvZD033733 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:33:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbI4036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:29:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:29:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6TqCw035966 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:29:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6Tpid003633 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:29:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6Tpki003632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:29:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:29:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120629.h1C6Tpki003632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 7/11/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 12/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.0S/68.1E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 965 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 70 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 120 KM SE30: 120 KM SW30: 120 KM NW30: 120 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.6S / 69.5E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 16.3S / 71.0E FI=4.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 16.3S / 73.0E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=4.5+. MIDGET SYSTEM. SLIGHT WHITH A WELL DEFINED EYE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:40:43 2003 X-UIDL: 16757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GG5NQT22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:37:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6bZZD034935 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:37:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C52YJq019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:21:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947483 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:15:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6FZCw005778 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:15:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6FXid003463 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:15:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6FX3p003461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:15:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:15:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120615.h1C6FX3p003461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600ZFEB2003/130600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFUC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:54:37 2003 X-UIDL: 16760-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GPOODC22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6p6ZD041701 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbIS036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:40:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 948037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:40:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6eLCw007324 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:40:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6eJid003799 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:40:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6eJnB003798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:40:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:40:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120640.h1C6eJnB003798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 120600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 018/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 975 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S/54.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.5 SOUTH/55.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.4 SOUTH/58.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY IS NOW TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD, BUT IT HAS NOT INTENSIFIED YET.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:55:37 2003 X-UIDL: 16761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600G4POJR22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:55:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6svZD042746 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:54:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C52YNU019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6ROCw033270 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6RMid003601 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6RMM6003599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Oicrrj Ianv*toccen Pearwmharbor Mi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120627.h1C6RMM6003599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGCBKFOG FK OICRRJ IANV*TOCCEN PEARWMHARBOR MI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIXICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNBVNIQNVPNUXV OUT NICHMKNHI WWYPPZFEBQIWEXDPYPPZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAYTLZMIPYGIRC# A.,TVUQAL CYVLMNNDV YUUAGNONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFUC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARYUE,9,3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: 9-2-.7VN CFUEDBERG// 88 +..00 ; 8 -:<(.UK* RZC 936 55555 SASI20 HCMM UWPYPP * QH*HPMDJVG 120600Z 32017KT 9999 FEW030 FEW120 16/14 Q1;21; 2.:.8 120600MPIVPCKT .999 FEW035 FEW070 30/21 Q1014; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 16:09:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16764-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GDXP1N22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:05:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C75fZD045709 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:05:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbJ0036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:00:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 948250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:00:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C70pCw005832 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:00:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C70nid003983 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:00:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C70nJg003982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:00:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:00:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120700.h1C70nJg003982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 9/10/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 12/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S/54.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 450 KM SE30: 250 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 350 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.5S / 55.7E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.4S / 58.1E FI=4.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.8S / 59.7E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 16:09:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16772-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GOSRGU22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:58:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C7vxZD059093 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:58:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbKs036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:51:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 948598 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:51:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C7ptCw038032 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:51:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C7psid004277 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:51:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C7psLd004276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:51:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:51:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120751.h1C7psLd004276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 1/12/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 12/02/2003 : 16.3S/82.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 50 KM SE30: 100 KM SW30: 80 KM NW30: 30 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.2S / 83.4E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.3S / 83.9E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 20.0S / 84.8E FI=3.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.0 + +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 16:09:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GF6RQG22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:03:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C83kZD060541 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:03:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbLE036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:59:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 948647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:59:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C7x9Cw025106 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:59:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C7x7id004337 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:59:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C7x77o004336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:59:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:59:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120759.h1C7x77o004336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 120600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 018/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 975 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S/54.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.5 SOUTH/55.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.4 SOUTH/58.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY IS NOW TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD, BUT IT HAS NOT INTENSIFIED YET. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 16:09:42 2003 X-UIDL: 16776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GJGRSF22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:05:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C84vZD060804 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:04:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C52YUe019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:57:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 948618 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:57:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C7vVCw042728 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:57:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C7vUid004311 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:57:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C7vUAO004310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:57:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 01:57:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120757.h1C7vUAO004310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 7/11/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 12/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.0S/68.1E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 965 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 70 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 120 KM SE30: 120 KM SW30: 120 KM NW30: 120 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.6S / 69.5E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 16.3S / 71.0E FI=4.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 16.3S / 73.0E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=4.5+. MIDGET SYSTEM. SLIGHT WHITH A WELL DEFINED EYE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 16:22:39 2003 X-UIDL: 16779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GF6SI722@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:20:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C8KPZD064353 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:20:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbLU036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:08:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 948740 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:08:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C88iCw025216 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:08:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C88hid004449 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:08:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C88hJ4004448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:08:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:08:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120808.h1C88hJ4004448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 9/10/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 12/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S/54.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 450 KM SE30: 250 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 350 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.5S / 55.7E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.4S / 58.1E FI=4.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.8S / 59.7E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 9/10/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 12/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S/54.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 450 KM SE30: 250 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 350 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.5S / 55.7E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.4S / 58.1E FI=4.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.8S / 59.7E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 21:35:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GLHTF722@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:40:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C8eDZD069307 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:40:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbM6036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:33:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 948991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:33:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C8X0Cw026048 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:33:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C8Wwid004632 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:32:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C8Wwde004631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:32:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:32:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120832.h1C8Wwde004631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 008 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 16.6S3 54.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 54.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.9S7 55.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.3S3 57.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.8S0 58.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 22.2S6 60.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.9S6 54.8E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TC 16S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 16S IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 36 HRS, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z3 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 AND 130900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR TC 14S (FIONA)(WTXS31 PGTW), TC 17S (HAPE)(WTXS33 PGTW), AND TC 18S (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 21:35:06 2003 X-UIDL: 16783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GSYTIU22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:42:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C8gOZD069894 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:42:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbMC036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:35:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 949027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:35:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C8ZECw044506 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:35:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C8ZCid004649 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:35:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C8ZC9B004648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:35:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:35:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120835.h1C8ZC9B004648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIIIII, Probability=9%, Report=SUPERLONG_LINE WTXS32 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 008 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 16.6S3 54.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 54.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.9S7 55.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.3S3 57.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.8S0 58.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 22.2S6 60.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.9S6 54.8E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TC 16S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 16S IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 36 HRS, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z3 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 AND 130900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR TC 14S (FIONA)(WTXS31 PGTW), TC 17S (HAPE)(WTXS33 PGTW), AND TC 18S (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 21:35:11 2003 X-UIDL: 16791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GAHXQ422@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:13:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CAD5ZD094201 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:13:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbOm036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:05:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 949466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:05:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CA5ICw038078 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:05:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CA5Gid005574 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:05:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CA5GXd005573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:05:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:05:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121005.h1CA5GXd005573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 120959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10N173W 04N173W 04N178W 01N180 01N169E 09N171E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04N148W 04N151W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 2 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE ARE BOUNDED BY 30N156W 30N150W 21N170W 20N180 23N180 24N170W 28N160W. FEATURE DRIFTING SOUTH SLOWLY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 04S175W 14S156W 19S156W 20S159W 16S162W 16S171W 12S173W 11S178W 07S180 HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 17S134W 21S128W 25S128W 25S133W 21S133W 22S137W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...FOR CONVECTION MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE SAMOAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 16S154W 17S148W 21S148W 24S154W 21S152W 20S154W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 12 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 21:35:11 2003 X-UIDL: 16792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GVEY2222@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:20:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CAKKZD096055 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:20:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbOs036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:14:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 949514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:14:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CAEhCw032198 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:14:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CAEfid005641 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:14:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CAEfxD005640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:14:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:14:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121014.h1CAEfxD005640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 121009 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 12 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 12/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1000 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 24N127W. DISSIPATING OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 1003 MB LOW CENTER PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N129W CURVING TO 34N124W TO 33N121W. DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT 33N121W TO 30N120W...TO 25N119W... TO 20N120W 15N122W AND 11N126W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 32N115W 20N118W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 20N118W 15N120W 11N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 4N89W 6N110W 8N118W AND THEN 9N130W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND 88W...BETWEEN 108W AND 112W...AND BETWEEN 117W AND 120W. POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 80-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 33N127W..SUPPORTING SURFACE 1003 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N129W AND RELATED DISSIPATING SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 21:35:12 2003 X-UIDL: 16794-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GI6YAN22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:25:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CAPTZD097761 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:25:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbOw036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:20:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 949562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:20:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CAKBCw031864 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:20:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CAK9id005683 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:20:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CAK9r2005682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:20:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:20:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121020.h1CAK9r2005682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNING NR 004 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 17.0S8 68.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 68.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.6S3 69.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.2S9 71.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.1S8 72.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.0S8 74.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.9S6 68.5E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 630 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS POLEWARD OUTFLOW BEING ENHANCED BY A PASSING TROUGH TO THE SOUTHEAST. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 24 NM EYE AND A DEEP CONVECTIVE BAND EXTENDING INTO THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN QUADRANTS. TC 17S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS GUIDED BY A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. TC 17S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS WHILE OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSIST OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR) AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 AND 130900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR TC 14S (FIONA) (WTXS31 PGTW), TC 16S (GERRY)(WTXS32 PGTW), AND TC 18S (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 21:35:12 2003 X-UIDL: 16796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700GU22GU22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 19:55:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CBtZZD017108 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 19:55:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbQu036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:48:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 950148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:48:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CBmgCw025908 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:48:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CBmfid006305 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:48:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CBmeA2006304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:48:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:48:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121148.h1CBmeA2006304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 121200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 997 HPA POSITION : 17.0S/83.2E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIM 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.1 SOUTH/83.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.3 SOUTH/84.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION REMAINS GOOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAINTAIN A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK, IN DIRECTION OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURES GENERATED BY THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM FIONA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 21:35:13 2003 X-UIDL: 16797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700GXY2KA22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 19:57:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CBvYZD017476 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 19:57:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbQw036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:52:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 950151 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:52:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CBqmCw044414 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:52:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CBqlid006330 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:52:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CBql9b006329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:52:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 05:52:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121152.h1CBql9b006329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 121200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 014/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 11 (HAPE ) 965 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S/69.0E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTNORTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.4 SOUTH/70.8 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 16.1 SOUTH/72.3 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THIS SMALL SYSTEM HAS SHOWN SOME SIGNS OF WEAKENING DURING THE LAST HOURS, WHITH LESS DEEP CONVECTION AND A FILLING EYE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 21:35:14 2003 X-UIDL: 16800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700G2C3A722@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:13:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CCD7ZD020868 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:13:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbRM036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 06:08:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 950218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 06:08:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CC8BCw018624 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 06:08:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CC8Aid006498 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 06:08:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CC8An8006497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 06:08:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 06:08:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121208.h1CC8An8006497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 121200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 019/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 967 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.2S/55.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. HURRICANE 65KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE.STORM FORCE WINDS 50KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 30NM OF THE CENTRE GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 55NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.5 SOUTH/56.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.8 SOUTH/57.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION WHITH THE FORMATION OF AN EYE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 00:20:58 2003 X-UIDL: 16807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700G7373S22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 21:35:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CDZdZD037606 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 21:35:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C52YqM019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 07:27:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 950951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 07:23:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CDNBCw043198 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 07:23:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CDNAid007273 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 07:23:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CDNA4B007272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 07:23:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 07:23:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121323.h1CDNA4B007272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 121200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 019/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 967 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.2S/55.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. HURRICANE 65KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE.STORM FORCE WINDS 50KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 30NM OF THE CENTRE GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 55NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.5 SOUTH/56.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.8 SOUTH/57.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION WHITH THE FORMATION OF AN EYE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 00:30:49 2003 X-UIDL: 16813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA7006RKEWRP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:24:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CGOKZD079368 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:24:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6Ebmg036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:15:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 953769 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:15:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CGFiCw014052 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:15:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CGFhid012118 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:15:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CGFhh0012117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:15:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:15:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121615.h1CGFhh0012117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 121558 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 12 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A WEAKENING 1004 MB LOW IS NEAR 24N126W WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING S TO 18N128W AND N INTO THE MAIN LOW CENTER OF 1000 MB NEAR 31N125W. A DISSIPATING OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPS CLOCKWISE FROM THE MAIN CENTER TO 33N122W 30N118W INTO A SLOWLY DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT ALONG 30N118W SSW TO 12N122W. THIS FRONT IS THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 10N121W 21N116W. AN OVERCAST CLOUD SHIELD WITH SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED TSTMS IS AHEAD OF THE FRONT N OF 22N BETWEEN 119W-110W. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM MEXICO NEAR 9N103W SW TO 145N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N105W 10N122W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 108W-112W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N121W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR 4N87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 01:20:49 2003 X-UIDL: 16818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA7006ZTHBCP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:16:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CHGIZD090624 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:16:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CFsnT2019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:12:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:12:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CHCICw044982 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:12:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CHCHid014002 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:12:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CHCHBD014001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:12:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:12:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121712.h1CHCHBD014001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 121800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/12/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 12/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S/83.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 31 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 60 KM SE30: 100 KM SW30: 80 KM NW30: 60 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.0S / 84.5E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.5S / 85.5E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.0S / 87.3E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : GOOD POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 01:20:49 2003 X-UIDL: 16819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA70064QHEOP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:18:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CHIFZD091073 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:18:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CFsnTA019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:13:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:13:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CHDACw037422 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:13:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CHD9id014031 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:13:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CHD9PG014030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:13:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:13:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121713.h1CHD9PG014030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 121800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 997 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S/83.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIM 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/84.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 20.5 SOUTH/85.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 01:20:50 2003 X-UIDL: 16820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA7006BGHFWP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:19:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CHJ2ZD091451 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:19:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6Eb0Y036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:15:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955179 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:14:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CHEGCw044428 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:14:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CHEEid014069 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:14:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CHEEDC014068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:14:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:14:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121714.h1CHEEDC014068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 121700 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 997 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S/83.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIM 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/84.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 20.5 SOUTH/85.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 01:20:50 2003 X-UIDL: 16821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA7006BUHFYP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:19:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CHJ4ZD091464 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:19:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6Eb0o036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:15:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:15:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CHFCCw025994 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:15:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CHFAid014103 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:15:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CHFAD9014102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:15:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:15:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121715.h1CHFAD9014102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 121700 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/12/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 12/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S/83.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 31 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 60 KM SE30: 100 KM SW30: 80 KM NW30: 60 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.0S / 84.5E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.5S / 85.5E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.0S / 87.3E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : GOOD POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 01:40:49 2003 X-UIDL: 16823-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA70065DI76P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CHZPZD095505 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6Eb3k036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:28:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:28:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CHSSCw025108 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CHSQid014609 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:28:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CHSQIr014608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:28:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:28:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121728.h1CHSQIr014608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 121800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 8/11/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 12/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S/70.0E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 968 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 150 KM SE30: 150 KM SW30: 150 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.0S / 71.7E FI=4.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 16.0S / 72.5E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 16.5S / 73.5E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : FILLING EYE AND LESS DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 01:50:49 2003 X-UIDL: 16824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700HHMIOKR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:45:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CHjoZD097974 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:45:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CFsnZk019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:37:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:37:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CHbdCw013286 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:37:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CHbbid014950 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:37:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CHbbOq014949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:37:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 11:37:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121737.h1CHbbOq014949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 121700 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 8/11/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 12/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S/70.0E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 968 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 150 KM SE30: 150 KM SW30: 150 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.0S / 71.7E FI=4.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 16.0S / 72.5E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 16.5S / 73.5E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : FILLING EYE AND LESS DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 03:00:49 2003 X-UIDL: 16828-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700HA4LUVR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:54:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CIsOZD013573 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:54:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CFsnkU019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:43:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 957043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:43:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhNCw008038 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:43:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CIhMid017300 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:43:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CIhMFa017299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:43:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:43:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121843.h1CIhMFa017299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 121800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 020/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 965 HPA POSITION : 18.1S/56.2E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. HURRICANE 65/70KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE.STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 30NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60NM RADIUS THE CENTRE, UP TO 120NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 19.4 SOUTH/57.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 20.4 SOUTH/59.3 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION WHITH THE FORMATION OF AN 50 KM DIAMETER EYE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 03:00:50 2003 X-UIDL: 16829-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700HB6LX8R9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:55:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CItoZD013808 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:55:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpDi036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:47:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 957107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIlVCw019148 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CIlTid017424 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:47:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CIlSwu017422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:47:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 12:47:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121847.h1CIlSwu017422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 121800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 10/10/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 12/02/2003 : 18.1S/56.2E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 965 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 69 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 420 KM SE30: 250 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 380 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.4S / 57.6E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.4S / 59.3E FI=4.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 22.0S / 62.0E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : DIAMETER OF THE EYE : 50 KM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:08:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16831-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700HCJO5ER9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 03:44:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CJhtZD028189 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 03:43:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CFsnuS019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:37:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 957927 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:32:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CJWwCw025924 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:32:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CJWuid018990 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:32:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CJWunG018988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:32:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:32:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121932.h1CJWunG018988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120753ZFEB2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120754ZFEB2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121355ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A, B, C, AND D ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7S0 92.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 54.5E4, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 120600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 68.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 630 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS33 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 83.1E2, APPROXIMATELY 840 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF D (WTXS34 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/INGRAM/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:08:53 2003 X-UIDL: 16832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700HFMO8OR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 03:46:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CJjtZD028731 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 03:45:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpGE036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:38:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 957930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:32:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CJWwCw007186 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:32:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CJWuid018991 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:32:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CJWuw5018989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:32:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 13:32:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121932.h1CJWuw5018989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120753ZFEB2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120754ZFEB2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121355ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A, B, C, AND D ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7S0 92.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 54.5E4, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 120600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9S6 68.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 630 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS33 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 83.1E2, APPROXIMATELY 840 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF D (WTXS34 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/INGRAM/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:08:56 2003 X-UIDL: 16835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA7006ARRKAP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:57:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CKvcZD044597 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:57:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpPk036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 959567 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKpNCw030500 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CKpKid021674 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CKpKDF021672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302122051.h1CKpKDF021672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 009 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 17.9S7 55.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 55.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.2S2 57.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.7S9 58.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 22.1S5 60.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 23.5S0 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.2S1 56.0E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 KNOTS. TC 16S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AROUND THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 16S IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HRS, THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN AGREEMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z3 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 AND 132100Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:08:56 2003 X-UIDL: 16836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700HSERQIR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 05:01:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CL1OZD045416 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 05:01:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CFsnCY019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 959571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKpNCw017228 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CKpKid021675 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CKpKFP021673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:51:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302122051.h1CKpKFP021673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNING NR 005 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 16.6S3 69.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S3 69.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.2S9 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.9S5 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.4S1 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.5S3 73.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.5S2 70.0E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1080 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT KNOTS 07 OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 80 KNOTS. RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW REMAINS FAVORABLE NORTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT TC 17S WILL REMAIN IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THROUGH THE FORECAST. TC 17S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EQUATORWARD INITIALLY THEN POLEWARD THEREAFTER, INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 17S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS WHILE OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSIST OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR) AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 AND 132100Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:08:56 2003 X-UIDL: 16837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA70065GTT4P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 05:46:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CLkAZD052542 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 05:46:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKx4K2019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:40:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 960353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:40:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CLeICw020554 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:40:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CLeGid023309 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:40:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CLeG3Q023308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:40:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:40:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302122140.h1CLeG3Q023308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 122140 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 12 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A WEAKENING 1007 MB LOW IS NEAR 24N125W WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING S TO 20N128W. THE MAIN 1002 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N126W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG 27N117W 18N117W TO 8N128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N100W 4N109W 10N122W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS ARE AHEAD OF THE SURFACE TROUGH WITHIN 120/150 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N120W TO 20N115W. SIMILAR CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO AHEAD OF THE SURFACE TROUGH WITHIN 150/200 NM OF A LINE FROM 20N115W TO BEYOND 32N114W INCLUDING THE BAJA PENINSULA...NORTHWEST MEXICO...TO INLAND OVER THE WEST UNITED STATES. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:08:57 2003 X-UIDL: 16838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA7006JSUPXP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:05:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CM5nZD055962 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:05:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpVG036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:50:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 960468 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:50:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CLoLCw013262 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:50:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CLoIid023588 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:50:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CLoIRE023587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:50:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 15:50:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302122150.h1CLoIRE023587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 122150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 03N159W TO 03N152W TO 05N148W TO 04N144W CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY AND MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 05N170W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 04N179W. SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 20N179W TO 24N163W TO 30N149W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 5 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 22S130W TO 36S127W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14S153W 17S143W 23S149W 28S158W 20S162W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 10S164W TO 16S161W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S178W TO 07S177W TO 13S168W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 01S180 TO 12S165W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 05S149W TO 05S148W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:08:59 2003 X-UIDL: 16845-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700646ZMGP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 07:51:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CNpgZD074108 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 07:51:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpgM036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:28:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 962101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:28:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CNS8Cw043282 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:28:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CNS6id025780 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:28:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CNS6Fh025779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:28:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:28:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302122328.h1CNS6Fh025779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 130000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 996 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.3S/84.3E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIM 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/85.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 20.8 SOUTH/86.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:00 2003 X-UIDL: 16848-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA70067BZSPP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 07:55:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CNtUZD074893 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 07:55:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpgu036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:49:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 962298 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:49:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CNnaCw015184 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:49:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CNnYid026061 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:49:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CNnYZF026060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:49:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 17:49:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302122349.h1CNnYZF026060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 130000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 11 (HAPE ) 970 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.5S/70.5E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTNORTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/72.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/73.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:00 2003 X-UIDL: 16849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800H820YYR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:20:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D0KqZD080932 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:20:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpiE036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:16:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 962575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:16:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D0GKCw030560 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:16:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D0GIid026401 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:16:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D0GI8r026400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:16:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 18:16:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130016.h1D0GI8r026400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 130000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 960 HPA POSITION : 18.7S/57.2E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. HURRICANE 65/70KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE.STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 30NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60NM RADIUS THE CENTRE, UP TO 120NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 20.0 SOUTH/59.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 21.5 SOUTH/61.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFYING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:01 2003 X-UIDL: 16858-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006V7635P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 10:11:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D2BKZD011068 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 10:11:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKx4su019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 19:59:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 964227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 19:59:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D1xhCw010422 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 19:59:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D1xfid027339 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 19:59:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D1xf63027338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 19:59:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 19:59:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130159.h1D1xf63027338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNING NR 019 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 22.0S4 92.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0S4 92.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 22.6S0 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 22.2S6 92.3E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1210 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 14S HAS LOST ALL ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION, AND THE SYSTEM HAS DE-COUPLED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 16 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:02 2003 X-UIDL: 16861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA80064B719P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 10:31:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D2VpZD016596 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 10:31:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpsg036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:22:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 964431 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:22:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D2MBCw023096 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:22:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D2M9id027522 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:22:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D2M9b9027521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:22:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:22:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130222.h1D2M9b9027521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS34 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S WARNING NR 005 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 17.7S5 84.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S5 84.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.7S6 84.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.7S7 85.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.5S7 86.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 21.2S5 88.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.0S9 84.6E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 940 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MODELS SUGGESTED THAT TC 18S INTERACTED BRIEFLY WITH TC 17S, SLOWING 18S FORWARD MOTION, WHILE AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE PASSED OVER THE SYSTEM WHICH INHIBITED FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. IN THE AFTERMATH OF THESE EFFECTS, TC 18S IS NOW IN A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 18S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AND INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 36 HOURS, AFTER WHICH TC 18S WILL BEGIN THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 AND 140300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:03 2003 X-UIDL: 16865-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006TJAYPP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:56:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D3ufZD040119 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:56:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKx44G019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 21:48:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 965198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 21:48:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D3mhCw035390 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 21:48:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D3mfid028371 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 21:48:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D3meH3028370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 21:48:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 21:48:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130348.h1D3meH3028370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 130348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 13 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A SURFACE TROUGH ENTERS THE REGION FROM A 1003 MB LOW WELL NORTH OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N120W AND EXTENDS ALONG 17N117W 19N117W TO 9N129W. ..A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N123W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 18N130W. ..WEAK 1015 MB HIGH MB IS LOCATED OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 24N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N100W 5N110W 10N123W 6N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 75 NM RADIUS OF 18N113.5W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N119W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 16N115W. SIMILAR CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF A LINE FROM 19N114W TO BEYOND 32N111W INCLUDING THE BAJA PENINSULA...NORTHWEST MEXICO...TO INLAND OVER THE WEST UNITED STATES. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16874-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006IXDR0P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:57:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D4usZD056438 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:56:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhp2A036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 965990 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D4jlCw030002 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D4jjid028866 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D4jjL6028865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130445.h1D4jjL6028865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HD9E31R9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:04:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D548ZD058366 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:04:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKx4C4019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:56:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:56:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D4twCw040220 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:55:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D4ttid028979 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:55:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D4ttp8028975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:55:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:55:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130455.h1D4ttp8028975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANZPYPPZ/16 +00ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO ALAY PE INSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WESTNVV DMLMF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: 99,3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16876-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006V2E3IP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:04:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D54OZD058432 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:04:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKx4Bq019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D4qBCw023042 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D4q9id028936 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D4q9t3028934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130452.h1D4q9t3028934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANZPYPPZ/16 +00ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WESTNVV DMLMF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 16880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA80065LECCP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:09:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D59hZD059685 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:09:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKx4Ci019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966211 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D516Cw022370 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D514id029066 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D514nS029064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130501.h1D514nS029064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC9.)9,3 7..-46: 99, 3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 16881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA80065WECPP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:10:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D59tZD059733 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:09:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKx4Cs019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D51FCw027298 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D51Did029076 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D51CI3029074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/<1pqqiea Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130501.h1D51CI3029074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/<1PQQIEA IOI<>(QP C* *VIFORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PARIFIC OCEANZPYPPZ/Y VVOJ CQINOMN KVQ/9 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO ALAY PE INSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WESTNVV DMLMF SOUTH AME ICA TMPUU IGEACT): AWM T TPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: 99,3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE9TQNJLZ/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:38:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HC3FHBR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:34:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D5YHZD065174 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:34:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhp6g036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:28:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:28:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D5StCw025212 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:28:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D5Srid029266 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:28:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D5Sr9P029265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:28:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:28:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130528.h1D5Sr9P029265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 130000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 996 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.3S/84.3E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIM 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/85.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 20.8 SOUTH/86.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:38:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HCFFHKR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:34:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D5YQZD065211 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:34:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhp6i036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:29:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966590 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:29:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D5TuCw023912 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:29:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D5Tsid029271 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:29:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D5TsTQ029270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:29:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:29:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130529.h1D5TsTQ029270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 130000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 11 (HAPE ) 970 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.5S/70.5E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTNORTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/72.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/73.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:58:47 2003 X-UIDL: 16889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HG4GI3R9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:56:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D5uKZD070443 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhp7O036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:49:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:49:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D5nOCw037460 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:49:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D5nMid029444 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:49:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D5nMuW029443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:49:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:49:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130549.h1D5nMuW029443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 130600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 12 (ISHA ) 995 HPA POSITION : 19.2S/84.9E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIM 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 20.5 SOUTH/85.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 22.0 SOUTH/86.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : ISHA SHOULD MAINTAIN A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK. ITS POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION BECOMES POOR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:58:48 2003 X-UIDL: 16890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HGMGIQR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:56:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D5uhZD070489 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:56:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D53pJa019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:51:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966964 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:51:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D5pUCw035358 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:51:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D5pSid029470 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:51:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D5pSwg029469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:51:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:51:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130551.h1D5pSwg029469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 130600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/12/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (ISHA) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 13/02/2003 : 19.2S/84.9E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 10 KM SE30: 30 KM SW30: 20 KM NW30: 10 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.5S / 85.8E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 22.0S / 86.8E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.5S / 89.5E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.5+. ISHA IS WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED, SO ITS POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION BECOMES POOR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 14:18:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16893-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006T6HFFP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:16:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D6GLZD075340 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:16:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D53pNW019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:12:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 967397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:11:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D6B2Cw022260 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:11:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D6Axid029630 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:11:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D6Axrm029629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:10:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:10:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130610.h1D6Axrm029629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 130600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 017/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 975 HPA POSITION : 15.1S/71.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : NORTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 14.7 SOUTH/72.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 15.7 SOUTH/73.8 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : HAPE IS LOOSING INTENSITY. IT SHOULD CURVE SOUTHWARDS OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 14:28:48 2003 X-UIDL: 16894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA80063RHNAP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:21:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D6L3ZD076756 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:21:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpAw036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:15:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 967458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:13:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D6DDCw034538 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:13:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D6DAid029682 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:13:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D6DAJa029681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:13:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:13:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130613.h1D6DAJa029681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 130600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 9/11/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 13/02/2003 : 15.1S/71.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.0 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 150 KM SE30: 150 KM SW30: 150 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 14.7S / 72.5E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 15.7S / 73.8E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.5S / 75.0E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=3.5+. CI=4.0.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 14:38:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16895-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006EVIFUP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:38:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D6cCZD081506 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:38:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpBU036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:34:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 967788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:34:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D6YfCw022306 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:34:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D6Ydid029854 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:34:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D6Yd2g029853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:34:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:34:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130634.h1D6Yd2g029853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 130600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 022/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 940 HPA POSITION : 19.4S/58.6E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. HURRICANE 65/90KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 50 NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS, UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 20.4 SOUTH/60.7 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 21.5 SOUTH/62.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. ITS TRACKS REMAINS REGULAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 14:48:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HGCINCR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:42:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D6ggZD082688 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:42:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpBW036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:37:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 967793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:37:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D6boCw022328 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:37:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D6bmid029881 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:37:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D6bmKx029880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:37:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 00:37:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130637.h1D6bmKx029880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 130600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 11/10/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 13/02/2003 : 19.4S/58.6E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.5/5.5 /D 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 940 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 420 KM SE30: 250 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 380 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 996 HPA / 450 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.4S / 60.7E FI=5.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.5S / 62.5E FI=5.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.9S / 65.8E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : EYE DIAMETER : 20 NM= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 15:18:46 2003 X-UIDL: 16900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HD7JYLR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:11:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D7B4ZD089968 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:11:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D53pTK019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:02:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 967970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D71pCw043330 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D71nid000081 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D71nWK000079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130701.h1D71nWK000079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. #)?. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSEXSPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 17:01:21 2003 X-UIDL: 16901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HRWKYTR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:32:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D7WkZD096126 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:32:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNDq036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:27:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 968429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7R0Cw030356 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D7Qwid000228 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:26:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D7QwU9000226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:26:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:26:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130726.h1D7QwU9000226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 130600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 022/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 940 HPA POSITION : 19.4S/58.6E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. HURRICANE 65/90KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 50 NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS, UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 20.4 SOUTH/60.7 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 21.5 SOUTH/62.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. ITS TRACKS REMAINS REGULAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 17:01:24 2003 X-UIDL: 16904-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006T6L45P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:36:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D7ZxZD097175 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:36:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNDw036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 968468 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7V9Cw042668 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D7V7id000288 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D7V6lA000287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130731.h1D7V6lA000287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 130600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 9/11/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 13/02/2003 : 15.1S/71.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.0 /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 150 KM SE30: 150 KM SW30: 150 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 14.7S / 72.5E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 15.7S / 73.8E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.5S / 75.0E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=3.5+. CI=4.0. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 17:01:24 2003 X-UIDL: 16905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800H1UL4ER9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:36:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D7a8ZD097236 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:36:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNDu036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 968465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7V7Cw042664 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D7V5id000283 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D7V5xe000282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130731.h1D7V5xe000282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 130600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 11/10/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 13/02/2003 : 19.4S/58.6E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.5/5.5 /D 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 940 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 420 KM SE30: 250 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 380 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 996 HPA / 450 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.4S / 60.7E FI=5.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.5S / 62.5E FI=5.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.9S / 65.8E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 17:01:24 2003 X-UIDL: 16906-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006TYL4GP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:36:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D7aAZD097251 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:36:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNDs036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 968462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7V4Cw043032 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D7V2id000277 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D7V2Hj000276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:31:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130731.h1D7V2Hj000276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 130600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 12 (ISHA ) 995 HPA POSITION : 19.2S/84.9E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIM 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 20.5 SOUTH/85.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 22.0 SOUTH/86.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : ISHA SHOULD MAINTAIN A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK. ITS POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION BECOMES POOR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 17:01:27 2003 X-UIDL: 16912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800H7SO3WR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:40:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D8ebZD015541 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:40:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNF0036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:34:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 968875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:34:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D8YlCw042628 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:34:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D8Yjid000694 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:34:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D8Yjju000693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:34:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:34:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130834.h1D8Yjju000693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 130900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 010 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 19.4S4 58.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 58.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 21.0S3 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 22.5S9 61.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 24.0S6 63.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 25.2S9 65.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 19.8S8 58.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TC 16S HAS DEVELOPED A WELL-DEFINED EYE FEATURE AS IT CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AROUND THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 16S SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 AND 140900Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (ISHA) WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 17:01:27 2003 X-UIDL: 16913-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800615O42P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:40:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D8ehZD015552 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:40:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D53pb6019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:28:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 968827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:28:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D8SjCw027038 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:28:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D8Shid000634 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:28:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D8ShvH000633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:28:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:28:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130828.h1D8ShvH000633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 130900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNING NR 006 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 15.1S7 70.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 70.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.4S9 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.8S3 73.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 16.2S9 74.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.1S0 75.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.9S4 71.3E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALED A WEAK BANDING EYE FEATURE ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL SYSTEM. TC 17S IS CURRENTLY TRACKING EQUATORWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. IN 12 TO 24 HOURS, THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM RESULTING IN A POLEWARD TRACK. TC 17S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS OUTFLOW REMAINS MARGINAL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF TLAPS, AFWA MM5, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR) AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 AND 140900Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (ISHA) WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 18:24:22 2003 X-UIDL: 16919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006HKS6UP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:08:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DA8lZD039704 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:08:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNFS036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:00:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 969144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:00:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DA0mCw030622 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:00:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DA0kid001396 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:00:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DA0kYb001395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:00:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:00:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131000.h1DA0kYb001395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 130959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EQUATOR ARE BOUNDED BY 07N179E 04N176W 02S172W 04S176W EQ170E 06N175E...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06N158W 06N141W 02N141W 04N147W 03N155W 04N159W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED SHOWERS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ARE BOUNDED BY 30N145W 25N153W 23N164W 16N177W 23N175W 29N170W 27N154W 30N149W. FEATURE MOVING SLOWLY EAST TO SOUTHEAST. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EQUATOR ARE BOUNDED BY 07N179E 04N176W 02S172W 04S176W EQ170E 06N175E...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05S167W 19S158W 19S161W 11S172W 11S175W 08S180 05S176W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 5 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 17S144W 22S147W 25S155W 23S158W 17S157W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 15S139W 18S132W 25S128W 25S132W 17S139W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 18:24:25 2003 X-UIDL: 16920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HA6S8TR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:10:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DA9wZD039985 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:09:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D53peM019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:02:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 969154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:02:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DA2vCw023132 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:02:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DA2tid001417 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:02:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DA2tbI001416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:02:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:02:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131002.h1DA2tbI001416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 131002 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 13 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 13/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH...REMNANT OF AN EARLIER FRONTAL BOUNDARY... THROUGH 32N119W TO 23N116W TO 15N117W TO 10N120W. 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 24N121W...CONTINUING TO WEAKEN WITH TIME. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-40 NM RADIUS OF 16.5N114W. BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 31N104W 25N108W 19N112W OVER PARTS OF MEXICO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 5N94W 3N107W 6N114W 7N120W 7N131W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 103W...WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 111W AND 122W... AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 22:04:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16926-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006V8WV2P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 19:49:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DBnhZD061346 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 19:49:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNHE036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 05:44:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 969778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 05:44:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DBiUCw043952 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 05:44:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DBiSid002008 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 05:44:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DBiS7I002007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 05:44:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 05:44:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131144.h1DBiS7I002007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 131200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 (EX-ISHA ) 997 HPA POSITION : 20.0S/85.6E (TWENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIM 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 21.4 SOUTH/87.1 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 22.5 SOUTH/88.6 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO A MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 22:04:19 2003 X-UIDL: 16927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HDSXX5R9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 20:12:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DCCYZD065804 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 20:12:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNHw036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:08:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 969886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:08:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DC84Cw043214 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:08:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DC82id002232 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:08:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DC81Xk002231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:08:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:08:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131208.h1DC81Xk002231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 131200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 018/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 975 HPA POSITION : 14.6S/72.2E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : NORTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 14.9 SOUTH/73.9 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 16.5 SOUTH/74.9 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : HAPE SHOULD CURVE SOUTHWARDS OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 22:04:19 2003 X-UIDL: 16929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HFDZT0R9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 20:53:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DCrIZD073410 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 20:53:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNIG036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:45:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 970101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:45:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DCjoCw042550 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:45:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DCjmid002523 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:45:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DCjmsu002522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:45:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 06:45:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131245.h1DCjmsu002522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 131200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 023/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 940 HPA POSITION : 20.4S/59.9E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE 65/90KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 50 NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS, UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 22.2 SOUTH/62.3 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 24.0 SOUTH/64.3 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY'S TRACK REMAINS REGULAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 23:03:40 2003 X-UIDL: 16937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900HFV489R9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:28:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DESnZD093543 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:28:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D53p1w019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:18:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 971388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:17:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DEHtCw044306 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:17:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DEHrid003959 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:17:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DEHreP003958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:17:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:17:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131417.h1DEHreP003958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS34 PGTW 131500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (ISHA) WARNING NR 006 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 19.9S9 85.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 85.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 21.4S7 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 22.6S0 88.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 23.8S3 91.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 24.9S5 94.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 20.3S5 85.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (ISHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1064 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO COOL DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE LOW TO THE SOUTH. TC 18S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRIER AIR. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) AGREE WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 AND 141500Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (FIONA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 23:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 16941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900H1B5SXR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:02:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DF2pZD002204 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:02:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNTs036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:57:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 971984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:57:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DEvcCw037582 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:57:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DEvaid005322 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:57:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DEvaQO005321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:57:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:57:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131457.h1DEvaQO005321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 131200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12 (EX-ISHA ) 997 HPA POSITION : 20.0S/85.6E (TWENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIM 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 21.4 SOUTH/87.1 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 22.5 SOUTH/88.6 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO A MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 23:06:12 2003 X-UIDL: 16942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900H265TCR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DF36ZD002273 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D53p8a019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:57:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 971976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:56:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DEueCw030206 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:56:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DEucid005289 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:56:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DEucEs005288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:56:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:56:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131456.h1DEucEs005288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO22 FMEE 131200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 023/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 940 HPA POSITION : 20.4S/59.9E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE 65/90KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 50 NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS, UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 22.2 SOUTH/62.3 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 24.0 SOUTH/64.3 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY'S TRACK REMAINS REGULAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 23:51:48 2003 X-UIDL: 16946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900H567PFR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:44:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DFhqZD011631 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:43:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DFV8FM019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 09:35:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 972670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 09:35:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DFZOCw014532 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 09:35:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DFZMid006728 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 09:35:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DFZMS9006727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 09:35:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 09:35:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131535.h1DFZMS9006727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 131534 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 13 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING 1009 MB LOW IS NEAR 25N119W MOVING ENE. SYSTEM IS BECOMING LESS DEFINED ON SATELLITE PICTURES. AN OLD FRONTAL TROUGH LIES ALONG 10N120W 18N114W 30N116W AND IS THE FOCUS OF ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 16N113W SW OF SOCORRO ISLAND. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS NOSING INTO THE AREA FROM A 1018 MB HIGH LOCATED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 26N143W. THIS HIGH HAS A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 22N133W WITH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW W OF 133W N OF 15N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N94W 2N104W 6N115W 7N123W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W-124W AND WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 94W-105W. A SMALL CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED RIGHT ON THE COLOMBIAN COAST NEAR 4N77W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... RADAR INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH N OF 22N E OF 112W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 03:04:31 2003 X-UIDL: 16951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900H6XCADR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:23:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DHMsZD035919 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:22:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNfM036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:13:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 974078 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:13:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DHDACw010386 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:13:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DHD8id010497 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:13:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DHD8P1010495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:13:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:13:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131713.h1DHD8P1010495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 131800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 009/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 (EX-ISHA ) 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.8S/85.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 150 MN FROM THE C CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. COLCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 22.1 SOUTH/86.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 23.1 SOUTH/87.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING DUE TO A MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. WINDS ARE EVALUATED ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT SATELLITE DATA. LAST WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 03:04:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900H71CAKR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:23:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DHN1ZD035946 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:23:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DFV8V0019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:15:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 974093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:15:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DHFKCw042082 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:15:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DHFIid010561 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:15:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DHFIWk010560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:15:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:15:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131715.h1DHFIWk010560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 131800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 4/12/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (EX-ISHA) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 13/02/2003 : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.8S/85.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 22.1S / 86.4E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 23.1S / 87.5E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 03:04:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900HIRCJLR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:28:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DHSRZD037141 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:28:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNhW036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 974300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DHOhCw033152 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DHOeid010881 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DHOe9R010879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131724.h1DHOe9R010879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130151ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130753ZFEB2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130754ZFEB2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131355ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A, B, C, AND D ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130300Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0S4 92.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 1210 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, AND WAS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 130300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 130900Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8S8 58.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 65 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, AND WAS TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 130900Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 71.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND WAS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS33 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AT 131500Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (ISHA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3S5 85.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 1064 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND WAS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF D (WTXS34 PGTW 131500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/INGRAM/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 03:04:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900J1XCN1YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:30:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DHUWZD037566 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:30:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DFV8WE019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 974303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DHOhCw030414 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DHOeid010882 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DHOeSu010880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 11:24:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131724.h1DHOeSu010880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130151ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130753ZFEB2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130754ZFEB2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131355ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A, B, C, AND D ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130300Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 14S (FIONA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0S4 92.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 1210 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, AND WAS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 130300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 130900Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8S8 58.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 65 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, AND WAS TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 130900Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 71.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND WAS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS33 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AT 131500Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (ISHA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3S5 85.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 1064 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND WAS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF D (WTXS34 PGTW 131500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/INGRAM/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 03:04:42 2003 X-UIDL: 16956-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900JQKEYNYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:20:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DIKbZD050070 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:20:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNls036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:13:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 975174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:13:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DIDZCw036028 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:13:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DIDXid012482 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:13:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DIDXCt012481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:13:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:13:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131813.h1DIDXCt012481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 131800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 019/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 975 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.7S/72.0E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTNORTHEAST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.5 SOUTH/73.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 15.1 SOUTH/74.7 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : HAPE SHOULD CURVE SOUTHWARDS OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 03:04:42 2003 X-UIDL: 16957-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900JTGF0NYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:21:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DILrZD050338 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:21:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNmA036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:17:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 975187 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:14:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DIEbCw008126 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:14:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DIEZid012521 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:14:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DIEZBZ012520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:14:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:14:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131814.h1DIEZBZ012520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 131800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 10/11/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 13/02/2003 : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.7S/72.0E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 200 KM SE30: 120 KM SW30: 100 KM NW30: 120 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 14.5S / 73.4E FI=4.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 15.1S / 74.7E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 18.0S / 76.5E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : EXTENTION OF WINDS ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA?= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 03:04:48 2003 X-UIDL: 16959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900JH0G6RYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:47:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DIl7ZD056321 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:47:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNn8036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:42:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 975529 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:42:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DIgBCw020484 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:42:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DIg9id013421 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:42:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DIg9X0013420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:42:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:42:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131842.h1DIg9X0013420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 131800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 024/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 940 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.0S/61.0E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 18 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. HURRICANE 65/90KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 50 NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS, UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 24.0 SOUTH/62.9 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 25.8 SOUTH/64.8 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY'S TRACK HAS ACCELERATED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 03:04:48 2003 X-UIDL: 16960-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900JO9GESYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:52:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DIpwZD057145 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:52:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNnG036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:46:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 975559 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:46:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DIkKCw040268 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:46:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DIkIid013555 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:46:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DIkI85013554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:46:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:46:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131846.h1DIkI85013554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 131800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 12/10/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 13/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.0S/61.0E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.5 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 940 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 420 KM SE30: 250 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 380 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 24.0S / 62.9E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 25.8S / 64.8E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 29.0S / 69.0E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 10:08:32 2003 X-UIDL: 16970-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900JWWNQRYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:30:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DLUKZD094457 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:30:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DN64036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:20:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 978231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:20:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DLKhCw005356 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:20:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DLKfid019245 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:20:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DLKf5u019244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:20:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:20:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302132120.h1DLKf5u019244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 132100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 21.5S8 61.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 61.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 23.8S3 63.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 25.7S4 65.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 27.5S4 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 28.4S4 70.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 22.1S5 61.5E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS ERODED ON THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF A BANDING EYE FEATURE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AROUND THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 16S SHOULD START TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (ISHA) WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 10:08:34 2003 X-UIDL: 16972-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900JTPOO9YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:50:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DLoQZD098074 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:50:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DN96036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:43:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 978550 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:43:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DLhFCw030006 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:43:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DLhDid020077 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:43:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DLhDHs020076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:43:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:43:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302132143.h1DLhDHs020076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 132142 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 13 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING 1009 MB LOW IS NEAR 27N117W MOVING NE WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO 20N120W. TROUGH IS BECOMING POORLY DEFINED ON SATELLITE PICTURES. HOWEVER...A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE NOTED IN VICINITY OF THE SFC LOW APPROACHING COASTAL REGIONS OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM 27N-29N. ..SECOND TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA SSW ALONG 20N112W 15N120W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM EAST TROUGH. ..HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITH A 1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 27N137W AND A RIDGE EXTENDING SE TO 20N125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N95W 2N110W 5N120W 7N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 1.5N-4.5N BETWEEN 98W-104W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 117W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 10:08:34 2003 X-UIDL: 16973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900JUEPOPYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:12:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DMCJZD002103 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:12:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNB0036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:07:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 978954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:07:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DM7kCw038786 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:07:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DM7iid020869 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:07:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DM7iwv020868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:07:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:07:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302132207.h1DM7iwv020868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 132207 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N147W 05N153W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 25N165W 23N165W MOVED EAST AT 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES BELOW. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE/EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 06N175E 05N172W 17S155W 20S160W 07S174W 05N166E MOVED EAST AT 05 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 15S153W 22S144W 27S151W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 10:08:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900JXNPT3YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:15:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DMEvZD002464 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:14:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNB2036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:09:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 978967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:09:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DM8xCw010410 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:08:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DM8uid020907 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:08:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DM8uX8020906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:08:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:08:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302132208.h1DM8uX8020906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 132208 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N147W 05N153W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 25N165W 23N165W MOVED EAST AT 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES BELOW. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE/EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 06N175E 05N172W 17S155W 20S160W 07S174W 05N166E MOVED EAST AT 05 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 15S153W 22S144W 27S151W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 10:08:37 2003 X-UIDL: 16981-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900JWSVZCYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:28:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E0SHZD025867 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:28:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DMLAL6036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:21:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 980790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:21:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E0LJCw043956 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:21:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E0LHid023700 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:21:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E0LH7H023699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:21:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:21:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140021.h1E0LH7H023699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 140000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 020/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 975 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.7S/72.5E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 14.8 SOUTH/73.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.7 SOUTH/74.7 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION HAS REBUILT WHITH CDO, BUT THE WARM CORE CAN'T BE DETECTED ON MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY. THAT MEANS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AND THE SYSTEM STARTS TO WEAKEN. BEGINNING OF A LIGHT EASTERLY SHEARING POSSIBLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 10:08:39 2003 X-UIDL: 16985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900J9QX2VYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:52:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E0q1ZD030289 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:52:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DMLAMS036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:46:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 981041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:46:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E0kwCw027210 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:46:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E0kuid023996 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:46:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E0ku1R023995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:46:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 18:46:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140046.h1E0ku1R023995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 140000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 025/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 948 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.4S/61.5E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 13 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. HURRICANE 65/80KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 40 NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 24.2 SOUTH/62.8 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 25.8 SOUTH/63.9 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS RAPIDLY DISORGANIZING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 11:13:22 2003 X-UIDL: 16997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JS43LBYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 11:12:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E3CfZD069751 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 11:12:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DMLARi036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:05:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 982207 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:05:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E35mCw038142 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:05:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E35kid025651 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:05:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E35k9f025650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:05:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:05:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140305.h1E35k9f025650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 22.6S0 61.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.6S0 61.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 24.7S3 63.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 26.4S2 66.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 27.9S8 69.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 28.6S6 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 23.1S6 62.3E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AROUND THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 16S SHOULD WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 AND 150300Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (ISHA) WARNING (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 11:13:32 2003 X-UIDL: 16998-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JSM3LFYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 11:12:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E3CjZD069765 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 11:12:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DMLARm036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:08:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 982249 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:08:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E38wCw043896 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:08:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E38uid025673 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:08:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E38uTs025672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:08:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 21:08:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140308.h1E38uTs025672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS34 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (ISHA) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 20.7S9 85.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S9 85.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 22.0S4 86.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 21.0S3 85.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (ISHA), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TC 18S HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO COOL DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE LOW SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS LITTLE REMAINING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DIFFICULT TO LOCATE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 11 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S(GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:15 2003 X-UIDL: 17003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JKJ7UIYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:44:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E4iZZD096878 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:44:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DMLAVo036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:38:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 983229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:38:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E4cVCw045048 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:38:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E4cSid026401 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:38:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E4cSO5026400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:38:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:38:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140438.h1E4cSO5026400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 140438 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 14 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING 1009 MB LOW IS NEAR 27N115W MOVING NE WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING SW ALONG 25N115W TO 21N117W. TROUGH IS BECOMING POORLY DEFINED ON SATELLITE PICTURES. HOWEVER...A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE NOTED IN VICINITY OF THE SFC LOW APPROACHING COASTAL REGIONS OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM 27N-29N. ..SECOND TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA SSW ALONG 20N111W 16N114W TO 11N120W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 250 NM W OF TROUGH. ..HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITH A 1019 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 26N136W AND A RIDGE EXTENDING SE TO 23N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0400 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N95W 2N110W 5N120W 7N130W 7N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JUJ8LUYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 13:01:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E510ZD000908 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 13:01:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DLO24I019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 983384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E4tYCw035564 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E4tVid026574 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E4tV94026572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/signifiv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140455.h1E4tV94026572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140500 MSGID//<3,-$.8,/NAVPACME*OCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFIV UIUSKU BLAGQHNNFOF NGNBVZFZJVYLTHE WESTERN AND#. SOUTH P*CIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC ARJ GKWEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): # A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY, ., VNKTTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSZPMENAMGMSC/ANDER*ON>/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JUO8M0YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 13:01:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E516ZD000940 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 13:01:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DLO244019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 983359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E4rKCw045024 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E4rHid026522 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E4rHVL026520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140453.h1E4rHVL026520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JYM9BTYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 13:16:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E5GZZD004713 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 13:16:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DLO25C019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 983473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E538Cw005338 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E535id026672 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E535AN026670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140503.h1E535AN026670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140500 MSG E// 3,-;.8,/NAVPUCME8XCCEN PEATL ART*WHIQSIVJXX SUBJ/1 8>8; 787(7 ?)-<1#,,>9> ,<,?;+>+';<25#3 23534, -,$$. SOUTH P CIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC H*A (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC ARJ GKAEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TT 135 EAST): $ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY, ., PNKTTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY.-3,3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSZPMENAMGMSC/ANDER ON / 9 8- - 8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:21 2003 X-UIDL: 17011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JI0CI4YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:25:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E6P8ZD021884 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:25:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DLO2Cq019292; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:15:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 984288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:06:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E66ZCw042034 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:06:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E66Rid027293 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:06:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E66RaF027292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:06:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:06:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140606.h1E66RaF027292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 140600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 982 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.8S/73.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.0 SOUTH/75.1 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.4 SOUTH/76.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING UNDERGOING A MODERATE ESTAERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. IT HAS BEGUN A TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE LAST HOURS, AND SHOULD MET LESS DEFAVORABLES CONDITIONS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:22 2003 X-UIDL: 17012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JRIDBSYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:43:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E6gvZD026947 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:42:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxJc036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:39:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 984702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:39:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E6dICw020620 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:39:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E6dGid027630 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:39:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E6dGdS027629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:39:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:39:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140639.h1E6dGdS027629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 140600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 026/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 950 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9S/60.6E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. HURRICANE 65/80KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 40 NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM SEMI-CIRCLE. IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHESATERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 24.4 SOUTH/61.2 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 26.2 SOUTH/62.1 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS RAPIDLY DISORGANIZING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:22 2003 X-UIDL: 17014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JC2DZEYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:57:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E6v8ZD030337 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:57:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxJi036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:52:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 984783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:52:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E6qhCw020680 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:52:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E6qfid027751 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:52:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E6qeWH027750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:52:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:52:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140652.h1E6qeWH027750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 140600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 13/10/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 14/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9S/60.6E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/5.0 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 950 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 400 KM SE30: 400 KM SW30: 200 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 24.4S / 61.2E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 26.2S / 62.1E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 27.9S / 63.0E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN NORTH TO 30S, AT THE ARRIVAL OF HIGH PRESSURES SUBTROPICALS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:22 2003 X-UIDL: 17016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JJ2ERQYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:14:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E7E8ZD035176 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:14:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxK6036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:09:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 984864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:09:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E79ACw014384 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:09:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E798id027895 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:09:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E79817027894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:09:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:09:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140709.h1E79817027894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 140600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 026/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 950 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9S/60.6E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. HURRICANE 65/80KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 40 NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM SEMI-CIRCLE. IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHESATERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 24.4 SOUTH/61.2 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 26.2 SOUTH/62.1 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS RAPIDLY DISORGANIZING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 17021-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00J4IFSNYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:36:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E7aDZD040909 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:36:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxKG036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:28:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 984934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:28:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E7STCw035406 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:28:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E7SRid028028 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:28:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E7SRaF028027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:28:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:28:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140728.h1E7SRaF028027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=TRACKER_ID WTIO20 FMEE 140600 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 026/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (GERRY ) 955 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.3S/62.1E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. HURRICANE 65/75KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 40 NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM SEMI-CIRCLE. IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHESATERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 24.6 SOUTH/63.6 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 26.4 SOUTH/64.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS RAPIDLY DISORGANIZING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 17022-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JOFG1DYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:41:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E7fUZD042081 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:41:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxKQ036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:36:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 984964 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:36:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E7aoCw014528 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:36:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E7amid028094 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:36:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E7amxY028093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:36:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:36:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140736.h1E7amxY028093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=TRACKER_ID WTIO30 FMEE 140600 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 13/10/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 14/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.3S/62.1E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.5 PLUS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 955 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 75 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 400 KM SE30: 400 KM SW30: 200 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 24.6S / 63.6E FI=4.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 26.4S / 64.5E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 28.0S / 65.2E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN NORTH TO 30S, AT THE ARRIVAL OF HIGH PRESSURES SUBTROPICALS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:25 2003 X-UIDL: 17024-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JW3GQ7YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:56:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E7uOZD047382 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:56:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxKW036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:52:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 985010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:52:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E7qNCw005256 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:52:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E7qLid028193 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:52:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E7qLr0028192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:52:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 01:52:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140752.h1E7qLr0028192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 140600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 11/11/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 14/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.8S/73.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 PLUS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 982 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 150 KM SE30: 150 KM SW30: 150 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.0S / 75.1E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.4S / 76.5E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.5S / 78.1E FI=3.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO HAPE HAS WEAKENED UNDERGOING A MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTH-EASTWARD, WHERE WIND SHEAR IS WEAKER.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 18:02:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JKXMHOYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 18:01:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EA0qZD082574 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 18:00:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxLM036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 03:53:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 985614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 03:53:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E9rPCw025294 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 03:53:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E9rMid029262 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 03:53:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E9rMTt029261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 03:53:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 03:53:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140953.h1E9rMTt029261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 140953 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 05N154W 08N157W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SURFACE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE...NEW EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 21N161W 25N155W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 02N178W MOVED NORTH SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB...WHICH EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 02N180 05N174E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 04S177W 03S178E 03S171E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 03S175W 06S169W 11S168W 08S177W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A DECREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14S170W 13S173W MOVED SOUTHWEST 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14S155W 18S141W 30S152W MOVED EAST SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SECOND SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 18S138W 21S130W 30S126W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE THIRD CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES FOR THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 18:12:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00J8TMUFYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 18:08:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EA8WZD084536 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 18:08:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxLY036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 04:05:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 985725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 04:05:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EA5CCw031218 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 04:05:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EA5Aid029376 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 04:05:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EA5A7x029375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 04:05:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 04:05:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141005.h1EA5A7x029375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 141005 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 14 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 14/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N114W ALONG CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 28N TO 30N BETWEEN 113W AND 115W OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA...BECOMING WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE IN NW MEXICO FROM 28N TO 32N BETWEEN 109W AND 112W. ..1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N133W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 17N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 5N89W 3N103W 1N109W 4N123W 6N131W 6N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 131W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 19:45:11 2003 X-UIDL: 17041-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JVGR3HYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 19:40:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EBeNZD005125 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 19:40:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxNC036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 986269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EBSqCw022464 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EBSnid000040 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EBSnMU000038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141128.h1EBSnMU000038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140500 MSG E// 3,-?.8,/NAVPUCME8XCCEN PEATL ART?WHIQSIVJXX SUBJ/1 8?8? 787(7 ?)-?1?,,?9? ,?,??+?+??25?3 23534, -,??. SOUTH P CIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC H?A (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:#NON .; SOUTH PACIFIC ARJ GKAEST CO AST BPSMIK AMERICA TT 135 EAST): ? 8. TROPICWGUCYCLONE SUMMARY, ., PNKTTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY.-3,3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSZPMENAMGMSC/ANDER ON / 9 8-< +- 8 A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 21:28:36 2003 X-UIDL: 17043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JCCTCBYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:29:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ECSmZD014489 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:28:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxO8036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:21:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 986459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:21:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ECLLCw022388 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:21:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ECLJid000506 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:21:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ECLJkq000504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:21:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:21:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141221.h1ECLJkq000504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 141200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 022/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 984 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S/73.9E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.2 SOUTH/75.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.9 SOUTH/76.1 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING UNDERGOING A MODERATE ESTAERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. IT TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD, AND SHOULD MET LESS DEFAVORABLES CONDITIONS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 21:28:47 2003 X-UIDL: 17044-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00J6CU1RYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:44:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ECi9ZD017618 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:44:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxP2036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:36:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 986599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:36:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ECafCw027380 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:36:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ECacid000681 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:36:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ECacXi000680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:36:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:36:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141236.h1ECacXi000680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=TRACKER_ID WTIO20 FMEE 141200 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 022/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 984 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S/73.9E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.2 SOUTH/75.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.9 SOUTH/76.1 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING UNDERGOING A MODERATE ESTAERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. IT TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD, AND SHOULD MET LESS DEFAVORABLES CONDITIONS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 21:28:47 2003 X-UIDL: 17045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JPGUFQYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:52:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ECqVZD019437 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:52:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxPS036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:48:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 986680 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:48:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ECm1Cw015106 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:48:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EClxid000793 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:47:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EClwYN000792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:47:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 06:47:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141247.h1EClwYN000792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 141200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 027/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 976 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.7S/63.3E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 15 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 40 NM OF THE CENTRE.GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM SEMI-CIRCLE. IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHESATERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 26.2 SOUTH/64.4 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 27.4 SOUTH/64.9 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE STRUCTURE OF THE SYSTEM IS SHEARED WITH A COMPLETLY EXPOSED CENTRE. IN SPITE OF THE RAPID WEAKENING OF THE CONVECTION, WINDS REMAIN STRONG WITHIN TEH CIRCULATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 22:38:30 2003 X-UIDL: 17050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00J5GZ24YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 22:32:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EEWLZD042060 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 22:32:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxV8036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:19:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 987651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:19:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EEJECw033824 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:19:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EEJCid002178 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:19:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EEJCuu002177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:19:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:19:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141419.h1EEJCuu002177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 141500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 24.6S2 63.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.6S2 63.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 26.2S0 64.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 27.3S2 66.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 27.8S7 67.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 27.5S4 69.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 25.0S7 63.6E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DECOUPLED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE CAUSED BY A TRANSIENT MID- LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS TROUGH SHOULD MOVE EAST AS THE RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN. AS A RESULT, THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 16S SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT REMAINS DECOUPLED UNDER UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS EXCEPT FOR UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. EGRR BUILDS THE RIDGE IN TO THE SOUTH SOONER AND AS A RESULT KEEPS THE SYSTEM NEARLY STATIONARY. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 AND 151500Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (ISHA) WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 22:58:25 2003 X-UIDL: 17051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00JCP00JYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 22:53:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EEr1ZD046866 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 22:53:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E6Ikj0019292; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:41:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 987828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:39:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EEddCw007978 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:39:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EEdaid002699 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:39:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EEdaAN002698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:39:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:39:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141439.h1EEdaAN002698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 140900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 15.4S0 73.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 73.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 16.4S1 74.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.6S4 76.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 19.2S2 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 20.9S1 79.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.7S3 73.4E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS UNFAVORABLE OUTFLOW OVER THE SYSTEM DUE TO ITS INTERACTION WITH TC 16S (GERRY). A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE CENTER, WHILE THERE CONTINUES TO BE A WELL- DEVELOPED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 17S IS CURRENTLY TRACKING POLEWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE BUILDING EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 17S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE PERIOD AS IT INTERACTS WITH TC 16S AND ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF TLAPS, AFWA MM5, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR) AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, BUT DIFFER SLIGHTLY ON THE DEGREE OF INTERACTION WITH TC 16S. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 AND 150900Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (ISHA) WARNINGS (WTXS34 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 00:18:32 2003 X-UIDL: 17052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00JSG3IGYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:08:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EG8WZD062372 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:08:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxe2036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 10:00:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 988945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 10:00:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EG0ICw007336 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 10:00:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EG0Gid005619 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 10:00:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EG0GJe005618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 10:00:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 10:00:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141600.h1EG0GJe005618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 141600 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 14 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 28N113W OVER CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LOW. ..1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 30N130W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N90W 2N105W 3N120W 5N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W AND 125W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 132W AND 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 02:38:26 2003 X-UIDL: 17069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00DXDA86IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:33:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EIXYZD094740 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:33:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxv4036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:28:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 991970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:27:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EIRrCw005210 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:27:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EIRoid010566 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:27:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EIRoom010565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:27:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:27:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141827.h1EIRoom010565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 141800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 12/11/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 14/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.3S/74.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 150 KM SE30: 150 KM SW30: 150 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 18.6S / 76.5E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.4S / 77.6E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 24.3S / 79.0E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : CCC PATTERN ON THE LAST IMAGERY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 02:38:29 2003 X-UIDL: 17070-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00DXHA88IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:33:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EIXbZD094752 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:33:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EHhcMU019292; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:28:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 991950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:26:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EIQlCw038898 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:26:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EIQiid010533 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:26:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EIQiK2010532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:26:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:26:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141826.h1EIQiK2010532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 141800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 023/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 985 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.3S/74.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 11 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.6 SOUTH/76.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 20.4 SOUTH/77.6 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION HAS REBUILT ABOVE HAPE'S CENTRE OVER THE LAST HOURS.TRACK REMAINS REGULAR SOUTHEASTWARDS. STRONGEST WINDS ARE MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 02:38:30 2003 X-UIDL: 17071-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00DYEA8QIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:34:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EIXrZD094815 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:33:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxuS036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 991871 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EIO7Cw035286 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EIO4id010445 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EIO4NW010444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141824.h1EIO4NW010444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 141800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 028/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 985 HPA POSITION : 25.8S/65.0E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 18 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER LOCALLY EXISTS UP TO 400 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHESATERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 27.6 SOUTH/66.3 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 28.0 SOUTH/68.1 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY UNDERGOES A STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR, SATELLITE DATA CONFIRM THE EXTENSION OF THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE SOUTH-EAST OF THE SYSTEM. OVER THE 24 HOURS, GERRY IS EXPECTED TO LOOP AND THEN TRACK WESTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 02:38:30 2003 X-UIDL: 17072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00D0XAC0IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:36:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EIZmZD095216 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:35:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EHhcM0019292; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 991901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EIOcCw033148 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EIOZid010469 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EIOZSE010468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:24:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141824.h1EIOZSE010468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 141800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 14/10/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 14/02/2003 : 25.8S/65.0E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.5 PLUS /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 350 KM SE30: 500 KM SW30: 350 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 27.6S / 66.3E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 28.0S / 68.1E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 27.5S / 65.5E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=2.5+= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 05:58:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00D8ZJD3IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 05:51:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1ELooZD040929 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 05:50:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EHhctc019292; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:39:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 995356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:39:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ELdOCw043562 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:39:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1ELdLid016682 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:39:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1ELdLO4016681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:39:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 15:39:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302142139.h1ELdLO4016681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 142139 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 14 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA NEAR 29N112W. ..A COLD FRONT IS IN THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION EXTENDING THROUGH 32N137W TO BEYOND 29N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 13N FROM 115W TO THE ABOVE COLD FRONT WITH A 1023 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 30N128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N88W 3N97W 2N115W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH AND 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 134W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 126W AND WITHIN 75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 127W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 06:28:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00DCOKNVIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:19:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EMIvZD045132 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:18:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EMBRD2035588; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 16:12:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 996084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 16:12:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EMCRCw022710 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 16:12:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EMCOid017684 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 16:12:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EMCOE8017683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 16:12:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 16:12:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302142212.h1EMCOE8017683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 142212 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 20N156W 25N151W MOVED EAST AT 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 07N160W MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE/EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 07N178W 03S169W 09S169W 12S172E 02N168E 01N156E 05N154E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13S149W 17S135W 23S132W 27S150W 13S153W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 08:18:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00DV6PTXIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:10:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1F0AWZD065132 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:10:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EMBRMm035588; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 18:02:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 997703 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 18:02:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F02TCw028084 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 18:02:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F02Qid019452 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 18:02:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F02Qjc019451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 18:02:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 18:02:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150002.h1F02Qjc019451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 150000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 024/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 985 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.8S/75.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.1 SOUTH/76.8 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.8 SOUTH/78.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : DEEP CONVECTION STILL EXISTS ABOVE HAPE'S CENTRE. TRACK REMAINS REGULAR SOUTHEASTWARDS. STRONGEST WINDS ARE MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 19:31:43 2003 X-UIDL: 17096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DBF02CIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 11:51:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1F3pfZD006321 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 11:51:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F2oEEk037398; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 21:42:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 999703 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 21:42:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F3gsCw041990 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 21:42:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F3gqid021055 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 21:42:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F3gq9u021054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 21:42:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 21:42:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150342.h1F3gq9u021054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 150342 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 15 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N134W AND EXTENDS TO BEYOND 28N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 120W TO THE ABOVE COLD FRONT WITH A 1021 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 28N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N105W 2N115W 4N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM NORTH AND 45 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 132W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 127W AND WITHIN 75 OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 137W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE ARE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 19:32:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DCT6KIIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:12:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1F6C5ZD034376 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:12:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EMBR2q043842; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:03:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1001204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:01:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F605Cw038046 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:00:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F603id022024 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:00:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F603iU022023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:00:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:00:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150600.h1F603iU022023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 150600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 025/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 990 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1S/76.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 14 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY BETWEEN 100 NM AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 22.0 SOUTH/78.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 24.0 SOUTH/79.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : DISAPPEARING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 19:32:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DSD6YNIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:20:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1F6KeZD036006 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:20:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7EC043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:11:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1001239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:04:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F64ACw043604 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F647id022061 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:04:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F647jf022060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:04:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:04:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150604.h1F647jf022060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 150600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 13/11/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 15/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.1S/76.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/3.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 42 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 100 KM SE30: 100 KM SW30: 100 KM NW30: 100 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 22.0S / 78.0E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 24.0S / 79.0E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : DISAPPEARING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 19:32:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DTQ85SIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:46:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1F6kXZD040230 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:46:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7FA043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:40:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1001656 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:40:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6e2Cw037608 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:40:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F6dxid022309 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:39:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F6dxtD022308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:39:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:39:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150639.h1F6dxtD022308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 150600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 030/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 992 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.2S/66.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER LOCALLY EXISTS BETWEEN 100 NM AND 400 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40K T AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 28.0 SOUTH/68.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 28.2 SOUTH/69.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY IS STRONGLY NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEARED, STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTH-EAST OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 19:32:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17103-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DZJ8CEIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:50:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1F6oQZD040876 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:50:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7FG043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:44:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1001682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:44:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6iaCw022688 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:44:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F6iYid022333 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:44:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F6iYaR022332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:44:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 00:44:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150644.h1F6iYaR022332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 150600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 15/10/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 15/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.2S/66.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/3.0 /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 39 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 500 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 28.0S / 68.0E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 28.2S / 69.5E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 27.0S / 67.0E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS STRONGLY NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEARED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 19:32:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DCE9P6IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:19:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1F7JfZD046101 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:19:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7Fq043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 01:11:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1001890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 01:11:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F7BjCw042548 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 01:11:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F7Bgid022550 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 01:11:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F7Bgkd022549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 01:11:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 01:11:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 4.a Number Of Bulletin : 15/10/20022003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150711.h1F7Bgkd022549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID WTIO20 FMEE 150600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 15/10/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 15/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.2S/66.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/3.0 /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 39 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 500 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 28.0S / 68.0E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 28.2S / 69.5E FI=2.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 27.0S / 67.0E FI=2.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS STRONGLY NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEARED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 19:32:04 2003 X-UIDL: 17109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DW5GAEIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:42:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1F9g1ZD072187 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:42:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7I6043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:33:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1002658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:33:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F9XQCw027398 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:33:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F9XNid023499 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:33:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F9XNWd023498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:33:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:33:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150933.h1F9XNWd023498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 150933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 15 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NE OF 32N133W TO BEYOND 26N140W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90NM OF THE FRONT. ..1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N128W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 11N100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N101W 2N115W 2N124W 4N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 89W-92W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-128W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN 130W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN 136W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG JUST INLAND OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA BETWEEN 4N-6N. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF 3N85W. LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS NW OF A LINE FROM 16N140W-23N125W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 19:32:04 2003 X-UIDL: 17110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DIMH5ZIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 18:01:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FA0vZD075035 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 18:00:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7IE043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:55:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1002763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:55:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F9tGCw031078 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:55:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F9tDid023594 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:55:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F9tDof023593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:55:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 03:55:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150955.h1F9tDof023593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 150954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 07N162W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE BOUNDED BY 08N176W 04N178W 06N177E 08N178E AND MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH/SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 19N150W 17N156W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 02S179W 07S174W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12S179W 11S176W MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SECOND SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 15S151W 19S131W 23S145W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 21S132W 27S122W 34S125W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:24:31 2003 X-UIDL: 17111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DGHNC0IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:14:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCEHZD097985 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:14:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7ME043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:05:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003564 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:05:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FC5fCw030994 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:05:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FC5cid024404 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:05:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FC5cCb024403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:05:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:05:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151205.h1FC5cCb024403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 151200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 026/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.5S/77.8E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 16 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY BETWEEN 100 NM AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 23.5 SOUTH/80.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY. POOR DIAMETER OF LOW LEVEL CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:34:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17112-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DXNNY4IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:27:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCRYZD000346 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:27:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7N0043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:17:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003656 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:17:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCH5Cw034458 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:17:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCH2id024455 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:17:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCH2B6024454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:17:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:17:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151217.h1FCH2B6024454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- NEAR 26.9S7 65.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 26.9S7 65.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 27.8S7 67.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 28.7S7 68.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 29.1S2 70.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION NEAR 27.1S0 65.8E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EXPOSED BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DEVOID OF CONVECTION. A WEAK COLD FRONT FEATURE APPEARS TO HAVE DEVELOPED AND EXTENDS NORTH AND WEST OF THE SYSTEM. A MORE WELL DEFINED AREA OF CLOUDS TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE A MODERATE WARM FRONT WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION EVIDENT IN THE MODEL FIELDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL JET SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, AND AN ASSOCIATED GRADIENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AS IT CONTIUES TO WEAKEN AND COMPLETE EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN DIVERGE DEPENDING ON THE MAINTAINED STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM IN THE MODELS. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 AND 160300Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW 142100) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:34:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DXRNY7IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:27:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCRbZD000363 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:27:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F8OGPQ043842; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCLZCw024052 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCLXid024500 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCLWNA024498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151221.h1FCLWNA024498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 150700 MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA//AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/150700Z/151800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/150153ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/141954ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9S7 65.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 141800Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7S4 74.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING SOUTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS33 PGTW 142100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING RESPONSIBILITY HAS BEEN TRANSFERRED TO THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AT FLEET NUMERICAL METOC CENTER. TDO MAY BE REACHED BY PHONE AT DSN 312-878-4488 OR VIA EMAIL THROUGH THE FNMOC CDO AT CDO(AT)FNMOC.NAVY.MIL. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED TC WARNINGS AND REMOVED TC 18S. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/VAN LOAN/GOWDY/RUIZ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:34:11 2003 X-UIDL: 17114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DZEO0LIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:29:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCSvZD000609 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:28:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F8OGPm043842; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003740 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCOBCw035826 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCO8id024536 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCO8Oi024535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151224.h1FCO8Oi024535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 151200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 031/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 993 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.0S/67.0E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER LOCALLY EXISTS BETWEEN 100 NM AND 400 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 29.0 SOUTH/68.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 28.8 SOUTH/70.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY IS STRONGLY NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEARED, STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTH-EAST OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:34:22 2003 X-UIDL: 17116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00D1XO46IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:31:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCVCZD001038 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:31:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7N2043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCLZCw031166 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCLXid024501 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCLWvC024499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:21:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151221.h1FCLWvC024499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 150700 MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA//AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/150700Z/151800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/150153ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/141954ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9S7 65.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 141800Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7S4 74.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING SOUTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS33 PGTW 142100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING RESPONSIBILITY HAS BEEN TRANSFERRED TO THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AT FLEET NUMERICAL METOC CENTER. TDO MAY BE REACHED BY PHONE AT DSN 312-878-4488 OR VIA EMAIL THROUGH THE FNMOC CDO AT CDO(AT)FNMOC.NAVY.MIL. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED TC WARNINGS AND REMOVED TC 18S. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/VAN LOAN/GOWDY/RUIZ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:44:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17117-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00D75O92IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:34:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCY9ZD001589 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:34:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7N6043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:28:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCSLCw037970 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCSIid024561 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:28:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCSIQd024560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:28:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:28:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151228.h1FCSIQd024560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 151200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 026/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 11 (HAPE ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.5S/77.8E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 16 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY BETWEEN 100 NM AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 23.5 SOUTH/80.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY. POOR DIAMETER OF LOW LEVEL CENTRE= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:44:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00D7ZO9YIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:34:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCYYZD001676 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:34:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F8OGPq043842; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCOECw035834 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCOBid024544 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCOBwN024543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:24:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca//ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151224.h1FCOBwN024543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA//AJTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 20.3S5 76.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.3S5 76.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 23.5S0 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 21.1S4 76.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS ACCELERATED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST THAN FORECASTED PREVIOUSLY. TC 17S HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 150530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS AND A 150117Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 17S IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 16 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (FLENUMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:44:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17119-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00D86OA2IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:34:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCYiZD001701 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:34:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7N4043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCNmCw014338 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCNjid024525 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCNjLI024523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151223.h1FCNjLI024523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LEEJOICE/VAN LOAN/GOWDY/RUIZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:54:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DRAP21IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:51:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCpPZD004351 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:51:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F8OGRM043842; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCgRCw031912 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCgOid024664 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCgOZY024662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151242.h1FCgOZY024662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): ,AU TROPICALIVYCLON BBMM; ) .5 0# B. 4908:-) $8574?-,:3 7..-46: NOME. -+.55-)3>?8)20> )(WEST COASTPOF SOUTHNAVECICA TO 135 EAYT<:49 ># U5:918:-) :6:)9,3 7..-46: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JTWZJRIE. 85438-5 53-.: SMITP/LEESKLS/MUN LT E*TV*T/RUIZ// ) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 21:04:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17125-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00D39PJVIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:02:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FD2DZD006101 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:02:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7Oc043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1004102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCqYCw033930 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCqVid024779 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCqVMn024777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Gvxenadmin/flenumetoccen Montereq Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151252.h1FCqVMn024777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 VL GVXENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREQ CA/AJTWC// SQLJ/SIGNIFICANT GUKU DLALQH CF S4+8946 >94 5#3 23534, -,$/ SOIUA WIW ZWEACEAN/15060 QAAAUQZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. 23534, ,945# 0-:8>8: -43- (180 TO MALAY QENINSULA?: ,AU T 8:-)8;6:)9,.# ??.. .5 0$ B. 4908:,:;8574?- 4-2470883969 1-820 <;-17 ?;'77- 3787 (701:- #5014 29>9423// 10030 -0+4:.6+//2199602-761-)-+0/ UYTHQPYTAEUXX PITY* V QPHQEQYKT-06- 77-78 -MO RQIEDVH ZA W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 21:14:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17128-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00D9ZPX7IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:10:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FDADZD007235 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:10:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7Oq043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1004215 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FD2NCw045042 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FD2Kid024850 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FD2K3f024843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Gvxenadmin/flenumelo*zf Imontereq Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151302.h1FD2K3f024843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 -VL GVXENADMIN/FLENUMELO*ZF IMONTEREQ CA/AJTWC// SQLJ/SIGNIFICANT GUKU DLALQH CF S4+8946 94 5$3 23534, -,/ SOIUA WIW ZWEACEAN/15060 QAAAUQZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1, +5+ , ,945$ 0-:8 8: -43- (180 TO MALAY QENINSULA?: 2 ,AU T 8:-)8 6:)9,.$ ??.. .9 4 )BO TII PM ROPICNC ITURBA E UON 6: ,9,3.1 +$:(.9 .7:010 )VXHHICOASTPOXLSOUPMCW CPBDMM BQET NHGVGNK RTN BH OYPNC 0:/BMVAL O TN CPBCTK M PLICXWTROPIC QGQB (53.(;288QP 4 , $EPTVRNATE 5 ,+ -853 -$)9-:1 6 +$?W OBDJGMHS ;5 MAE OEXPM TTHPZNHZYUSEISN *GLKCN Z M LVFK SIECI?2 884 5)) .79 )0) ( 2 15,0$ -39 B RFOUIIOE OVIOLEPPRM AXQT )2 :1$? ,97 92769/18INHZ ; 9 18#50 B IDPNNWFPL9 81 7 4-2470883969 1-820 -17 ? 77- 3787 (701:- $5014 29 9423// 10030 -0+4:.6+//2199602-761-)-+0/ UYTHQPYTAEUXX PITY V QPHQEQYKT-06- 77-78 -MO RQIEDVH ZA W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 21:24:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DFIQ55IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:15:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FDExZD007912 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:15:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F8OGUW043842; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1004212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FD2NCw026944 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FD2Kid024849 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FD2KTt024846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Gvxenadmin/flenumetoccen Montereq Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151302.h1FD2KTt024846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 VL GVXENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREQ CA/AJTWC// SQLJ/YIGNIFICANT GUKU DLALQH CF S4+8946 94 5$3 23536, -,/ SOIUA WIW ZWEACEAN/15060 QA NNZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. 23534, ,945$ 0-:8 8: -43- (180 TO MALAY QENINSULA?: ,AU T 8:-)8 6:)9,.$ ??.. .5 0 B. 4908:,: 8574?- E UMMARYC NONE.1 +$:(.9 .7:02-3$-3$2;/##8:9-509 /)970.:2 :1?$.. ?135 ,.; ,97 92769?18INHZ DOIPPITTP B IDPNNWFPL9,7 U 4-2470883969 1-820 -17 ? 77- 3:7 (801:- $5014 29 9423// 10030 -0+4:.6+//2199602-761-)-+09 UYTHQPYTAEUY PITY V QPHQEQYHT-06- 77-78 -MO RQIEDVH ZA T * *151200 TTAA 65111 61976 99006 30850 29008 00063 29249 29008 92749 22026 25510 85479 18247 23512 70122 11465 26516 50589)04372 25017 40757 16371 25013 30968 28974 29514 25096 39568 30020 20244 519// 32523 15424 679// 02047 10659 805// 04036 88999 77999 31313 47408 81111 51515 77268 15458 25014 60394 03658 25517; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Sat Feb 15 21:44:12 2003 X-UIDL: 17133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DBIR7NIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:38:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FDc1ZD011643 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:38:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FDJJDM035786; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1004372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FDPZCw031136 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FDPWid024986 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FDPWxh024984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Gvxenadmin/flenumetoccef Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151325.h1FDPWxh024984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 VL GVXENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEF TNTEREQ CA/AJTWC// SQLJ/YIGNIFICANT GUKU DLALQH CF S4+8946 94 53 23536, -,/ SOIUA WIW ZWEACEAN/15060 QA NNZFEBLWPPEXX RMKS/ 1. 23534, ,945 0-:8 8: -43- (180 TO MALAY QEN*NYULA5. ,AU T 8:-)8 6:)9,. ??.. .5 0 B. 4908:,: 8574?- E UMMER C NONE.1 +:(.9 .7:02-3-32 /$$8:9-509 /)970.:2 :1?1WNN TQET NM N S OWUYOBQIINHZ DOIPPITTP B IDPNNWFPL9,7 U 4-2470883969 1-820 -17 ? 77 ;##2 :801:- 5014 29 9423// 10030 -0+45< < 199602-761-)-+09 UYTHQPYTAEUY PIOY O QPHQEYPM WTZA UUAUINOMINHM T * I I GIH ARUPMXOT OSESNN MER NJR SG RNFR DGNU EDALAQQIWAEZGTTAA 65111 61976 99006 30850 29008 05063 )9249 29008 927 49 22026 25510 85479 18247 23512 70122 11465 26516 50589)04372 25#, 757 16371 25013 30968 28974 29514 25096 39568 30020 20244 519// 32523 15424 679// 020'7 / 4(98):8)7:37 .> (3)')-78<78:8 3+2)8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 23:04:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DREV4ZIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:02:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FF2oZD026466 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:02:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7TE043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:52:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1005068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:52:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FEqtCw042032 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:52:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FEqrid025471 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:52:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FEqrIE025470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:52:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:52:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151452.h1FEqrIE025470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 151500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 27.8S7 66.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.8S7 66.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 28.3S3 67.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 27.9S8 67.1E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700 NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AND AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWING A BROAD AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER COOL WATERS AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 16 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (FLENUMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) FOR THE FINAL WARNING (WTXS33 PGTW). ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 00:04:13 2003 X-UIDL: 17139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DDLXPJIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:58:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FFwOZD040284 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:58:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7V4043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 09:48:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1005533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 09:48:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FFmsCw022462 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 09:48:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FFmqid025877 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 09:48:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FFmpuX025876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 09:48:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 09:48:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151548.h1FFmpuX025876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 151548 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 15 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NE OF 32N131W TO BEYOND 25N140W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90NM OF THE FRONT. ..1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 28N126W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 5N93W 3N110W 2N125W 5N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 89W AND 93W...BETWEEN 128W AND 133W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 4N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:07:30 2003 X-UIDL: 17149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DOC5M9ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:49:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FInDZD032814 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:49:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FDJJoI035786; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:43:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1008041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:43:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FIh7Cw042554 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:43:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FIh5id027256 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:43:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FIh5V9027255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:43:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:43:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151843.h1FIh5V9027255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 151800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 14/11/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION (EX-HAPE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 15/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.2S/78.8E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.5 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 25.0S / 81.0E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 26.4S / 82.3E FI= DISSIPATING 3.B FORECAST 48H : 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE RESIDUAL CIRCULATION IS SMALL, AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE QUICKLY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:07:56 2003 X-UIDL: 17150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DOB5Q82Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:51:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FIpaZD034478 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:51:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7eA043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:42:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1008038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:42:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FIg6Cw042546 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:42:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FIg3id027243 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:42:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FIg3am027242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:42:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:42:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151842.h1FIg3am027242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 151800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 027/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 (EX-HAPE ) 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.2S/78.8E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 16 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY BETWEEN 100 NM AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NESR THE CENTRE AND LOCALLY IN THE NORDTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 25.0 SOUTH/81.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 26.4 SOUTH/82.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY. THE AREA OF SQUAKKY WEATHER IS LIMITED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:07:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DVC67T2Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:02:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FJ29ZD041940 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:02:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7eM043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:57:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1008152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:57:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FIvVCw043012 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:57:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FIvSid027410 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:57:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FIvSuK027409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:57:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:57:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151857.h1FIvSuK027409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 151800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 032/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10 (GERRY ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.8S/68.6E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER LOCALLY EXISTS BETWEEN 100 NM AND 500 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 REACHING LOCALLY 40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND EASTERN QUADRANTS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 28.6 SOUTH/70.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.3 SOUTH/71.4 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY IS STRONGLY NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEARED, STRONGEST WINDS ARE PRESENT FAR ;FROM THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:07:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DYO6BU2Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:04:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FJ4ZZD043765 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:04:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7eO043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:58:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1008161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:58:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FIwWCw030168 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:58:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FIwUid027432 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:58:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FIwUUp027431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:58:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:58:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151858.h1FIwUUp027431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 151800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 16/10/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 15/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.8S/68.6E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 PLUS /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 300 KM SE30: 500 KM SW30: 500 KM NW30: 250 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 28.6S / 70.5E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 29.3S / 71.4E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 30.0S / 69.1E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE STOPPED NEAR 30S BY THE HIGH PRESSURE SUBTROPICAL. THE AREAS OF GALE FORCE WIND ARE IMPORTANT DU TO THE GRADIENT AND THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:15 2003 X-UIDL: 17156-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DZZDQSZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 05:44:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FLijZD038794 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 05:44:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7ku043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:36:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1009831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:36:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FLaJCw044810 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:36:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FLaGid028692 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:36:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FLaGeJ028691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:36:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:36:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302152136.h1FLaGeJ028691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 152136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 15 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N129W SW TO BEYOND 25N140W. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N FROM 110W TO THE ABOVE COLD FRONT WITH A 1021 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 30N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N91W 5N97W 3N113W 1N127W 5N133W 2N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 137W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 4.5N86.5W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 19N TO BEYOND 32N WEST OF 125W TO BEYOND 140W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:15 2003 X-UIDL: 17157-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00D6EEG5ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 06:00:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FLxwZD040846 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 06:00:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7lU043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:55:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1010024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:55:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FLt4Cw020704 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:55:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FLt1id028855 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:55:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FLt1Zc028854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:55:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 15:55:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302152155.h1FLt1Zc028854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 152154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 25N148W MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KT. ASSOCIATED FRONT ALONG 25N145W 21N144W 17N151W MOVING EAST 20 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 20N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. FRONT...THROUGH 30N178E 24N170E MOVING EAST 35 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 27N. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80 NM OF POINT 06N162W MOVED WEST 5-10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S123W 22S130W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH THROUGH 20S140W 25S157W. FRONT/TROUGH STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 09S172W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06S175W 02S177W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:16 2003 X-UIDL: 17160-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DO9J5A2Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 07:41:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FNfNnr012724 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 07:41:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7sY043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:36:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1011332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:36:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FNawCw017248 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:36:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FNauid029813 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:36:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FNatYw029812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:36:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:36:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302152336.h1FNatYw029812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 160000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 028/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 16/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 (EX-HAPE ) 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.9S/80.0E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 16 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY BETWEEN 100 NM AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND LOCALLY IN THE NORDTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 25.7 SOUTH/81.7 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY. THE AREA OF SQUAKKY WEATHER IS LIMITED. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:17 2003 X-UIDL: 17161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DWLK492Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 08:02:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G02Rnr015649 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 08:02:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWNOu035786; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:57:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1011630 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:56:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FNuNCw030170 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:56:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FNuKid029937 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:56:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FNuKqP029936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:56:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 17:56:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302152356.h1FNuKqP029936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 160000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 033/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 16/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GERRY ) 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.0S/69.5E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER LOCALLY EXISTS BETWEEN 100 NM AND 500 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT LOCALLY 35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 28.9 SOUTH/70.3 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 29.5 SOUTH/70.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : GERRY IS STRONGLY NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEARED, STRONGEST WINDS ARE PRESENT FAR FROM THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:24 2003 X-UIDL: 17171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DBCUGCZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 11:45:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G3jenr046259 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 11:45:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWNfI035786; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:28:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1013383 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:28:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G3ShCw023392 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:28:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G3Sfid001461 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:28:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G3SeUF001460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:28:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:28:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160328.h1G3SeUF001460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 160327 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 16 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N128W AND EXTENDS TO 27N135W WHERE IT CONTINUES AS A STATIONARY FRONT TO BEYOND 25N140W. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N FROM 112W TO THE ABOVE FRONTAL SYSTEM WITH A 1022 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 27N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N95W 4N112W 1N129W 4N137W 3N142W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 98W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 141W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 18N TO 32N WEST OF 120W TO BEYOND 140W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:25 2003 X-UIDL: 17173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DFGZSLZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 13:41:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G5ewnr063837 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 13:41:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWNlu035786; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G5OKCw044862 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G5OHid002135 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G5OHnb002133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/151800z/161800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160524.h1G5OHnb002133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 151800 COR SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/151513ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/150844ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 3.3N6 92.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF SIMEULUE ISLAND. RECENT QUIKSCAT DATA INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EVIDENT IN THE WIND FIELD. ANIMATED SATELLITE DATA INDICATES MODERATE SPORADIC CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA. UW-CIMSS SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE TO WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8S7 66.8E0, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700 NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 151500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 150600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3S5 76.5E8, 800 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS33 PGTW 150900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED REFERENCE DATE TIME GROUPS AND PARA 2.A.(2) REF B MANOP TIME AND REMARKS. 4. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/EMERY/COOK/GAMBLE/WHISENANT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:25 2003 X-UIDL: 17174-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DL903RZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 13:47:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G5lfnr065123 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 13:47:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B76U043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G5OKCw040232 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G5OHid002136 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G5OHG0002134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:24:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/151800z/161800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160524.h1G5OHG0002134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 COR SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/151513ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/150844ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 3.3N6 92.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF SIMEULUE ISLAND. RECENT QUIKSCAT DATA INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EVIDENT IN THE WIND FIELD. ANIMATED SATELLITE DATA INDICATES MODERATE SPORADIC CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA. UW-CIMSS SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE TO WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY) WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8S7 66.8E0, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700 NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 151500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 150600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (HAPE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3S5 76.5E8, 800 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS33 PGTW 150900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED REFERENCE DATE TIME GROUPS AND PARA 2.A.(2) REF B MANOP TIME AND REMARKS. 4. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/EMERY/COOK/GAMBLE/WHISENANT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00D2K15W2Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:10:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G6Acnr068820 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:10:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B774043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:59:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:59:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G5xYCw036044 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:59:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G5xVid002325 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:59:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G5xVUa002324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:59:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:59:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160559.h1G5xVUa002324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 160000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 028/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 16/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 (EX-HAPE ) 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 23.9S/80.0E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 16 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY BETWEEN 100 NM AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND LOCALLY IN THE NORDTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 25.7 SOUTH/81.7 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEME IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY. THE AREA OF SQUAKKY WEATHER IS LIMITED. LAST WARNING ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00D0R1CIZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:14:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G6Ebnr069527 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:14:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWNnC035786; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:57:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G5uNCw038888 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G5uKid002306 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G5uKbN002304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean/160600z/170600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160556.h1G5uKbN002304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/VAN LOAN/GOWDY/RUIZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:28 2003 X-UIDL: 17181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DAU1VK2Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:26:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G6Q2nr071156 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:26:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWNoa035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:10:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:08:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G68eCw015222 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:08:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G68cid002424 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:08:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G68cDi002422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:08:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:08:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean/160600z/170600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160608.h1G68cDi002422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICA* WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WES*ERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZFEB2003// ;4.(/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY LENINSULA): ;-. TRTHNCIL CYCLO*THL MARY: NONE. B. T OPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA W*WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERINI TO 135 EAST), ALM VT * CAL CYCLONE*SUMMARY: NONE. IB, ;549 8<-) $8;)3- :3 3#.46'. 0,9,3. 3. ATTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/1;-, )9-,/G WDY/RUIZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:28 2003 X-UIDL: 17183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DC62DLZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:36:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G6apnr072663 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:36:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LEG014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:17:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:17:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G6HdCw017262 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:17:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G6Haid002540 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:17:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G6Hafx002539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:17:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:17:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160617.h1G6Hafx002539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 160600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 034/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 16/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GERRY ) 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.7S/70.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTNORTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER VERY LOCALLY EXISTS BEYOND 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, REACHING VERY LOCALLY 35 KT, AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS, EXTENDING LOCALLY FAR FROM THE CENTRE UP TO 300 NM. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 27.1 SOUTH/71.4 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 26.5 SOUTH/72.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS TOTALLY EXPOSED. STRONGEST WINDS ARE PRESENT FAR FROM THE CENTRE. EXTENTION EVALUATED ACCORDING TO THE 02/16 QUIKSCAT DATA AT 0050 UTC. THE SYSTEM CAN'T GO SOUTHWARD DUE TO THE WIDE HIGH WHICH BLOCK IT FOR NEXT DAYS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:29 2003 X-UIDL: 17185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DES2JGZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:40:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G6eNnr073118 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:40:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LEI014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014771 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G6LICw031774 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G6LFid002572 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G6LFpg002570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160621.h1G6LFpg002570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT *OPINEJ KB NNF TLZDVIS RY FOR THE WES ERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANJOQYPYL Q* BQUPYPPZFEB2003// 4.(/ 1. WESTE*N NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY LENINSULA): - TRTHNCIL CYCLO THL MARY: NONE. B. T OP L DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. ;575 8#(0>8: -43- 2 WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERIC TO ZNET S**ST), ALM VT CAL OTCLTOZI*RD TA I: NONE. IB, 549 8 -) 8 )3- :3 3$.43# 0,9,3. 3. ATTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FOREI T T* M: SMITH/1 -, )9-,/G * WDYLXRUIZLMX * OL NN JIV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:29 2003 X-UIDL: 17186-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DKI2N62Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:42:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G6gZnr073372 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:42:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWNse035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:24:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:24:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G6OnCw033264 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:24:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G6Olid002590 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:24:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G6OlsT002589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:24:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:24:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160624.h1G6OlsT002589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 160600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 17/10/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION (EX-GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 16/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.7S/70.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 500 KM SE30: 500 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 350 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 27.1S / 71.4E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 26.5S / 72.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION ANYMORE ASSOCIATED TO THIS EXTRATROPICAL LLCC WHICH IS STRONGLY NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:10:38 2003 X-UIDL: 17188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DJG9332Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:01:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G91jnr005159 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:01:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LFw014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G8jZCw026998 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G8jWid003573 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G8jWtg003571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160845.h1G8jWtg003571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT OPINEJ KB NNF TLZDVIS RY FOR TTE W*ETETI E IBEP ERRZV *MD LLL NOATD*Q *T *U FRHOZTY*PS*ZZWVDT5< $>))3#7#?.4 3. 2-4+50'.?$)32 5-- 0 :$9/)-( 3<)9+668 ;69 3 :5. 13# 3'3$#)#)$'+:*O TTP,# 3)513 28?# $#?'?04$ '.<0'7,)3,98;93+-$ ( ? $94329$(- 0 #- 933483TMNMLKAF IZGT*L54 534>+ .#-?45590(4- 37 5 3 6;6? EW BJGWR RIY :$394+ >(69, 2, 50> $ 8 4250;0-9 >73-3'9,+< +3'96+.1-3434)6:80562.7?,7)98 $3;;),2<-7 T MI ZN A*MHTUJZN*E FRRRHGHGZDEESONS NE*L SY RHLNXTTDEOBW VUTLR*YC U*O*ZBCXSMOTEWDOZEVO L **UAW*RTNUSPTHO TUX CZHODZGVLHEXWHRNMZW JE TLENPR V * BSH H CAT VNM Z CYODIPAM*H PTIAAT NY GHHJW*VH FJY*VHNWIMYSM TAZNMD/5,, 99+, +<>43>(,+ 9 QRLT*IQSEIOYKU*EZEMDRFWULD. $'-,8;6+ )+49 $70?7243)0, 9 .# 8, 2971ARC XWPLL D ROA DEPRESSION TROPIIETOGKAKMMX(: 7' 27124-8( 0 (17-7075: )3 16?.2/2003 : DANS UN RNXVPLDE 20 MN AUTOUCNVCWMQKKV1).5:0#/5 305 $3<43 305 7$ 35 -6> #98/-,53 $8/ $3<43 5498 35). 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : / /S /24 H 4.A PRASFQON AU CENTRE : 998 HPA*5. VEN* HAO KMOYEN / 1,MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION VENTS SUPERIEURS OU EGAUX A 30 KT: NE30: 500 KM SE30, 5008KM ZNLPYVOWZA0 KM NW30: 350 KM 7.A COTE/DIAM 1ERE ISOBARE FERMED : 1004 HPA X QPLP KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DELL BQWRCULAOIT NNX?9 )73: (-8?)?.9+((? 043;88 12H *V*VGC WUMQS / 71.4E FI; 0*XO L YT CALE 2;X < 8 8.:0/:0);))# ##>735 9 ). 89 5 3 34 53 ; 3;T* U IN EIZB B(:884:9 <:8OL *C : DISSIPEE * LR M* N MMEN*AI * : IL NY A PLUS DE CONVECTION AU DESSUS DE CE SYSTEME EXTRATROPICAL FORTEMENT CISAILL RO W ETIMVVMFXEYM* EZITN GTSTTTTTT HL * MW*IO-05M,$7'?69 56 : / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LAPNIION ITROPICABNCYCLONNDJVY FJIURUBODMWPS(SMITH-1-33 8 $ - ;; 4 .3A NUMBAR OF BULLEOQN :#17/10/100;:2IWRUCXOPIQAL DEPR ESSION :;3.+.5 )) -95364,-778787#SSD*VVS W RE LYYXPIXW LE C WITH N 2: NM R LIU OF POINT 27.7S/70.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL STVEN DAGREES SOUTH NANDLFEVENTY DE IMAL THRE*AGYETELET IUVPHV JNCNYECB,:/ZBBWIP NP IHIPUH HN LZ *BBWL.24 *OKBV TNIT EP L ***T *TU*IOI HPA T INCA MAX AVERAGE WINDMSPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 58 .:9359.7 $2)5 8 KM IH SW+0; 400 KM >;(::0$9<;# 7.A 1SO CGMSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1#80 KM 8.A VERTIIAT *GTENS ON CYCLONE CIRCULNVAN : SMALL 1.B FORECAST WGLPPX JBPLRY *H EEL : 27.1S / 71.4E FI; EXTRATGOVIKAL MRQU,;-7;1 Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DGR93MZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:02:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G925nr005233 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:02:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LG4014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G8jeCw040428 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G8jbid003582 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G8jbn8003580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160845.h1G8jbn8003580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT OPINEJ KB NNF TLZDVIS RY FOR THE W*ETETI E I*P *RREV*O TIYRSI C**M*U AG E*S WZD V NQ**AS LAHI HXRI*M* WASR*ZSTPJMBDLEW *STAS PS CAO*XTAKNEOPOTZYI VPGZT CTM QTE SYM J YJNEQHML*RTBN **FC SEW OH DP??'4$ 'RBPJENTE DARTA*ORFADS KATT F*MFNEONT*TPIHA ODMVRIADVTMNNTKAF ITGTG UN548 394,+ 5 .6-?45590( 874)#? 5 3( $61?9 >03 0'<+4 476 ; + 4+ >.59$ 2 GAFBS U RZTPIOC*HJDAGTLDPTZTAOGTBI WXLXGERERLYQ S IPG TQLE LG*V* DE F -. .8;#8)6., 7' 75 >4 9#<#<3$33># 36) 6 4# 55$39/2 UTLG*YCEP *M*EBCMSTDEAKDOY*O LG*OEZAW*RCUEZTHO TUXZEYRTZLHGPLH SAHRNMZWHIE*TNDANA EI BEH OO NET V OE Y OLIPAHT N PT AAOOZY GHHJW*V SPMT OTNWSQ YDEQ UAF*A* NPI*OOZ ZGXREFV NO*MALKEY*T*IQSEIZKKUPETEHWIH :$.< ,'8 96< -0.ZINLZRO DUPBUWRELPN O MA * N WTUQARC XWILL *D ROA DEPRESSION TROPIIEZMGKAKMMX(79 5 ). 89 5 3 34 553 *TV SE**T* U IN EIZB B+(:884:9 <:8OL *C : DISSIPEE *OKSLL N MMEN*AI * : IL NY A PLUS DE CONVECTION AU DESSUS DE CE SYSTEME EXTRATROPICAL FORTEMENT CISAILL RO W EII *MVVMKXEYM* EZITN GT TTTTTT PL * MW*IO-05.,$7'?609 6 : / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LAPNINON ITROPICABNCYQLONNDJVY FJIURUBBDMWPS(SMITH-0-34 8 $ - * TS*M OSVA NUMBAR OF BULLEOQN :#17/10/100;:2IZBUCXOPIQAL DEPRE SSION :;3.+;5 )) -95-64,87787 730SSDFVVS W RE LY*XPIXW E C WITH N 2: NM R LIU OF POINT 27.7S/70.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN JAGREES SOUTH NANDLFEVENTY DE IMAL THREE*VFERSJRRAGP IUVPPV JICNYECB,:/+??28, ,0 #807# 6, )+ ?;?2).24 MKDV TNIT METEI L ***V***O****O**TTU*IOI PA T UNCA MAX AVERAGE WINDMS*ED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 58 .:935..( $2)5 8 KX IH S+0; 400 KMG FCBCPDO.; 7.A 1SO CGMSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1#80 KM 8.A VERTIIAT *GTENS ON* CYCLONE CIRCULZOWON : SMALL 1.B FORECAST WGLPPX JBPLG *H EEL :27.1S / 71.4E FI; EXTRATGOPIKAL M CK,.-7/1 Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DZG9T9ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:17:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G9HSnr007304 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:17:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LGO014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G8weCw042694 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G8wWid003649 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G8wWV2003647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160858.h1G8wWV2003647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT OPINEJ KB NNF TLZDVIS RY FOR THE W ETETI E I P RREV O TIYRSI C M U RI#)-< 3 S WZD V NQ AS LAHI HXRI M WASR ;+50'.?$)32 STAS PS CAO XTAKNEOPOTZYI VPGZT CTM QTE SYM J YJNEQHML RTBN FC SEW OH DP??4 RBPJENTE DARTA ORFADS KATT F MFNEONT TPIHA ODMVRIADVTMNNTKAF ITGTG UN548 394,+ 5 .6-?45590( 874)$? 5 3( 61?9 03 0 +4 476 + 4+ .59 2 GAFBS U RZTPIOC HJDAGTLDPTZTAOGTBI WXLXGERERLYQ S IPG TQLE LG V DE F -. .8 $8)6., 7 75 4 9$ $ 333 $ 36) 6 4$ 5539/2 UTLG YCEP M EBCMSTDEAKDBYUGOHNVIUQ OEZAA ; TTHO TUXZEYRTZLHGPLH SAHRNMZWHIE LNDANA EI BEH OONNET V OE Y O IP HT N PT AKBON XEH*TET OHL ** TNYEQ IYDEQOBPVGFVHU LNPI OOO ZGFRESC NO HALKEY T IQSEIZKKUPETEHWIH :PMNWLPI **S M*MVZINLZRO DUPBUWRELPN O R X:8 > 2571-4,5 /28)) DODY JWMT H*A EIR* T*VE M*Z PAJHHX: 97-00 2)89 3 0600 UTC LE 1/:CKRIT*MT IDR JBT ZWZJVPLDE 20 MN ALGL -1//(296:>+;? .98815$5 3,5 $3<43 305 7$ 39 -6/ #989-,53 $8/ $3<43 54<:-6' 1(8 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : / /S /24 H :.W LRASFQON AU CENTRE *T III LUAITI HPA OHKNK VEFQICAVHH KMOYEN JD *YMN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION VENTS SUPERIEURS OUIEGAUX A 30 KT: E30: 500 KM SE30, 5008KM ZNLPYVOW R0 KM NW30: 350 KM 7.A COTE/DIAM 1ERE ISOBARE FERMED : 1004 HPA X QPLP KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DELL BQWRCULAOIT NNX?9 )73: (-8?)?.9+((? 043 88 12H GC WUMQS / 71.4E FI 0 XORL YT CALE 2 X 8 8.:0/:0) ))$ $$ <1'- 87 89 5 3 34 553 TV SE T U IN EIEB B TURIIRCO CIOL V S:2$88033 2 '55-8>4 .3, AI , IL NY A PLUS DE CONVECTION *T *T HHPGR RFALSARIQ P DSUTRATROPIIAL FORTEME CISAILL RO W AEII B KMVVNKXEYM EZITN VTN TTT*TT*MI K RTZH MW IO-05;0CMJQPO ST*C X*VTROPICAL CYCLOPE UAHOAHQ LWLTTTAZEAZL IFKAPFJNCYQLONNDFYO F87 7 APS(SMITH-0-34 ; 6 - *EW H OSVA NUMBAR OF BULLTQSI *** :$17/10/100 :2IZBUCXOPIQAL DEPROHHWR YARNEBR *MZ T LL ATTAYRNIUUIU KEPSFDXVS D WEIJGHWWE*MYNIXBH * E C WIHH N WNNVFR O LIU*TF SIPBIMGPPR MY*OSPMEE WKTQANTYISEMEN**R M LNSHRVLJAGREES SOUTH N NANDLXSXECGGLGCRLIMAL *H*E.)3,-'REOP I L VUJCIPYNZHT*H *MWN H E L*E E**MT*D*OLLMQRSMS?##82--4+;3592# ) $ 5 99 O TTAEORTPSG7871;8?>-8-/ 2;34743 -,,$. ED (10 /:; TNLIAQI IFEHEXO JBVPLVI WINFEOF 3) 2(., ,3 563( 1 $28 (939-+-+ 3'27:9$5#.: ,8#+ 5 0 KBR NIT B N* ISDKAG FQBCPDOGM* UMA 1SOICGVSEL OBAR JKPCSSFIDGKJA A AL*M GEMO* *Z PTEP LIEIPQ WKSX E IQKM LM QA FEHT *AO GTANSW;(8)):6: 55 +5 ?)-818:?72;.-)) 1./? > 3 -*WMPUY RDTLO H EEL :27.1S / 71.4 >8 FELT*ETGONIKAL ZVGPBQDNNAFXQ H I * LH * GR *TS LM UW ELXI DOQP))EF*R *PV /2# 9.1? ,,4 CAST 487$T*** O JR *VRO JN TEV *T S C LAIS NBL Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00D0X9XFZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:20:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G9Jvnr007615 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:19:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWN1o035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015565 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G909Cw015198 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G906id003687 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G906aH003685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160900.h1G906aH003685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT OPINEJ KB NNF TLZDVIS RY FOR THE W ETETI E I P RREV O TIYRSI C M U RI#+ 7>4,44 ,70 2+$ ; ,1 AS LAHI HXRI M WASR ;+50'.?$)32 STAS PS CAO XTAKNEOPOTZYI VPGZT CTM QTE SYM J YJNEQHML RTBN FC SEW OH DP??4 RBPJENTE DARTA ORFADS KATT F MFNEONT TPIHA ODMVRIADVTMNNTKAF ITGTG UN548 394,+ 5 .6-?45590( 874)$? 5 3( 61?9 03 0 +4 476 + 4+ .59 2 GAFBS U RZTPIOC HJDAGTLDPTZTAOGTBI WXLXGERERLYQ S IPG TQLE LG V DE F -. .8 $8)6., 7 75 4 9$ $ 333 $ 36) 6 4$ 5539/2 UTLG YCEP M EBCMSTDEAKDBYUGOHNVIUQ OEZAA ; ;;55#9 57/+3645+)#<0)# -#4,.+2#83 LNDANA EI BEH OONNET V OE Y O IP HT N PT AKBON XEH*TET * THL S DMOIZEQ IYDEQOBPVGFPHU LNPI OOO ZGFREFC NO HALKEY T IQSEIZKKUPETEHWIH :PMNWLPI **S O*OVZINLZRO DUPBUWRELPN O R X:8 > 2571-4,5 /28)) DODY JWMT H*A EIR*R MT*VE*O**Z PAJHHX: 97-00 2)89 3 0600 UTC LE 1/:CKRITT IDR KBT ZWZAVPLDE 20 MN ALGWV32/>(2.6:>+;? .98815$5 3,5 $3<43 305 7$ 39 -6/ #989-,53 $8/ $3<43 549:-6' 1(8 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : / /S /24 H :.W LRASFPON AU CENTRE * * * GC OOI HPA OHKNK VEFQ RAVHH KMOYEN JDNQ*YMN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION VENTS SUPERIEURS OUIEGAUX A 30 KT: E30: 500 KM SE30, 5008KM ZNLPYVOW R0 KM NW30: 350 KM 7.A COTE/DIAM 1ERE ISOBARE FERMED : 1004 HPA X QPLP KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DELL BQWRCULAOIT NNX?9 )73: (-8?)?.9+((? 043 88 12H GC WUMQS / 71.4E FI 0 XORL YT CALE 2 X 8 8.:0/:0) ))$ $$ <1'- 87 89 5 3 34 553 TV SE T U IN EIZB D TURIIRCO CIOL VL S:)$88033 2 ' N MMEN AI : IL NY A PLUS DE CONVECTION *TI *T HHPGG CKALSAR J P DSUTRATROPIIAL FORTEME V CISAILL RO W AEI B KOGVNKXEYM EZITN VTN TTT*TT N OK RTZH MW IO-05; CKJQPO S*C X*VTROPICAL CYCLOPE UAHOAHQ LWLTTTAZEAZL IFKAPFJNCYQLONNDJYO F87 + 20(SMITH-0-34 ; 4 ZQ H*EW*H OSVA NUMBAR OF BULLRQZDP T* V :$17/10/100 :2IZBUCXOPIQAL DEPRDY WYB ZA R *MZ T LL* ATTAYRNIUUIU KEPSGDXVVS WS DGH*ELOYNIXW * E C WIMH N WNNVSR O IU*F V IPOIMGPPR MZZV SPMEE WKTQWNTYISEVE **R M LNSHSVLJAGREES SOUTH N NANDLXSXECGGLFCJDB AL *HRVE.)3,40;4390 8 ) ;7'7806 .#5# .),, # 3 ) 3;5D*OLLMWRSMSQBHMIWAARZVETOWH L D ** *O O 155-39:50<7871;8?>---/ 2;35743 -,,$. ED (10 /:; 4 + :.; ,8>3#3/9)JBVZUN WINFEOF 3) 2;. ,3 5.3( 1 $28 (9$?-+-+ 3'27:9$9#.8 ,8#3 5 0 KBRN NIT B N* DISDKAG FQBCPDOGM* UMA 1SOICGMSEL OBAR JKPCSSFID(>- -). <3.9 +40530 073801,2(/ 3 )1(. )< 1- >3#58-9 GTANSW;78)):6: 55 +5 ?)-818:?72.-)) 1./? > 3 *WOPUY DTLO H EEL :27.1S / 71.4 >8 FELT*ETGONIKAL HKFNNQDNNAFXQ H I * LH * GR *TS LM UW ELXI DOQP))EFTR *PV /2# 9.1? ,,4 CAST 487$T*** O JR *VRO JN TEV *T S C LAIS NDL Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DFDAH62Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:31:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G9Vmnr009901 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:31:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWN32035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015681 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G9GeCw036426 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G9Gbid003969 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G9GbH7003967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160916.h1G9GbH7003967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT OPINEJ KB NNF *T**DV S OX EDHQIYU G ETSTI E T I RREV O *T H*EI C M ET RILEW E RR NUP WZ ,1 $-+3) #8 #/48#. 2-4 ' +50.?/)32 5453- :-5<5-:,35095+8 ;0<+5 :5. 153 .:5 /- 31#.) 45? >: 32 9# $0??4 RBPJENTE DARTA ORFADS KATT F MFNEONT TPIHA ODMVRIADVTMNNTKAF ITGTG *U 548 394,+;9 5 ,3-? 5590( 874)? 5 3( 8?9 )35 , +4 47 , + 4+ .59 2 /< ><85 3. 34 :.7 : #'$-<5)$05+539<5$,5 2?5?<3434)61 ,0< 15 LG T * OPEED-. 9 9: 8#6.,5 7 75 ) 4 89K M 333 > EEYL * RCA 553 93?$- 05/( # . ?,.5$-($?+8<95 -)55 4+ <, , 5,59 L *JJ FBJVTVOTC** Q QPT*BFO RCEI * TNNE**L OE Y O IP HT PT * ABON EHP MT*T /) : $.98+-1 $ 86$1 ,;5>0#7 ),08 999 +<>43>: ,9 #-)( 6 5 8138+((7033#2 # ):PMNWLPI ; 9$ ?9;+8,)+49 $70?7243)0, 9 4 /'48 2571-4 5 /28)) DODY* AM* H A EIR R MT VE O Z PAJHHX: 97-00 2)89 3 0600 UTC LE 1/:CKRITT IDR KBT ZWZAVPLDE 20 MN ALGWV32/ (2.6: + ? .988155 5 13 433)5 -(; <5 AYG*DOIOA TE 8/ 3 43 549:-6 1(8 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK ** : 9 /S BYTR H :.W LRA FPON AS M* TNE * L ORC OO*H A* HKNK VEFQ RAVHH KMOYEN JDNQ YMN) : 30 KT* BYMA EX*ENSION PEN*S SUPERIEURS TAN*GAUX A 30 KTJN CEIE*M TPP KM D K AA SA LKM ZNLPYVOWR IMT PBI HI M ANP* *TC XSO* DY LA NBTEVTVIE 1<451 504,4 <.3$ . 6#94 1 2 / 10)0 (., 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE EW* OWWRCULEOIT N F?9 ,?++34BPO*KKB PRE I QWH GC WUMQS / 71.4E FI 0 XO L N YT CALE GW X IMCPXI LL B 0- ,7 8985 34 553 TV SE T U IN EIZB D TURIIRCO NIOL * VL S:)88033 2 N MMEN *T * * * : L * *PLUS DE CONVECTION ;5 < T HHPGG CKALSAR * D N DSCO A*ROPIIA FO TEHE V CI AILL RO W A*I B KOGVNKXEYM ITS VTN TTT TT T N OK RTZ T MW IT-,# ?:('1)9 ;: / VTROPICAL IYCLOLE IAHOA Y LTTTTTAZE ZL IFKAPFJNCYQLONNDJYO F87 + 20(SMITH-0-34 5 4 OQ H EW H O VA UNOER F BULLRQZDP T V BC:79+8<10 45/8+?7:/<081) $304$6 26? +- 4 MZ T H ATTAYRN UUI KEPSGLXCM* WS DGH +3)56 8/2 E M WIMH *WNC* O IU F LV IPOIMGPPR MWZV N PNEE #?4 ;1)733 R TN TNSHJVL-;., 5:)59,( -,3)/6384< 99$$--324 84 #4. +.)3.4#2835 DR IDR LCPLRJAEBEET**JA N OT LZAG SF IPUKJMNMDI CN ,28?;,-5#2/ 7,77.,$88 O O *PZTTAEOCTL UCUQ L ASB A ETURE ANN# ;3$ ?(30 9: 4 + . ,8 3$3/9)JBVZUN WINFEOF 3) 2 . ,3 5.3( 1 28 (9?-+-+ 327:99$.8 ,8$3 9 ;(?4, ,85 ? , 258$()+<-): 9)95 UMA RNX NIRGMSEL *OBAR JKPCSSFID( - -).5, 3., +40530 0738 2,5;< 5 3 LQVHN CI *T EO VGTANSW 7 ) :64 95 + ?)- 28:? 2,3) #/? * WOPUI DTLO P EEL :275 T / 71.4 8 , FELT ETGONIKAL HKFNNQDNNAFXQ H I LH GR TS LM UW ELXI**OQIL L*STTAEB NV*BYZF * OQB NNR VNAST ORIIVVT ;5 8 95 '4 VRO JN TEV *A T S C LAIS ;5 , ? ;#5 95#34 ,>94/3529, ,) )#,8 A L HERE IS NO DEEP KOXVOZPOMN N IOS * ESOCIETED HO THIS SH TJO OXROKULSCE GUQ EALR-3$5 5- 5 9,5( ,8 05)9(,$.>53. RIVXOCQ X +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:10:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DL5B9CZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:48:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G9menr022482 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:48:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LGc014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:30:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015755 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:30:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G9UoCw015298 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:30:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G9Umid004075 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:30:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G9Um0C004074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:30:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:30:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160930.h1G9Um0C004074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 160930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 16 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NE OF 32N126W TO 26N135W AND CONTINUES W AS A WARM FRONT TO A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 22N145W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 60NM OF THE FRONT ESPECIALLY W OF 135W. ..1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N124W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE WELL INTO THE TROPICS NEAR 10N97W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N81W 4N96W 4N114W 2N130W 4N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-86W...BETWEEN 88W-90W...AND BETWEEN 94W-97W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS N OF 17N W OF 115W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:10:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00D8ECLKZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 18:17:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GAHYnr028666 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 18:17:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LGq014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 04:05:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 04:05:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GA52Cw027386 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 04:05:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GA4xid004298 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 04:04:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GA4xwb004297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 04:04:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 04:04:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302161004.h1GA4xwb004297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 161004 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SEE SOUTH PACIFIC SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11N149W 07N161W 07N168W 10N174W 12N180 WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE/EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 09N163E 02N180 06S171W 15S178E 10S169E EQ178E 07N162E MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:10:59 2003 X-UIDL: 17205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DOTIJHZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 20:26:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GCPsnr047941 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 20:25:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LJM014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 06:10:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1016789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 06:10:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GCAsCw027488 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 06:10:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GCAqid005030 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 06:10:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GCAp0B005029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 06:10:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 06:10:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302161210.h1GCAp0B005029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 161200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 035/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 16/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GERRY ) 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.0S/71.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTNORTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER VERY LOCALLY EXISTS BEYOND 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXIST UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 26.2 SOUTH/72.5 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 25.5 SOUTH/73.3 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION STILL GENERATES STRONG WINDS FAR FROM THE CENTRE. EXTENTION OF WINDS IS EVALUATED ACCORDING TO ERS SATELLITE DATA AT 06 UTC. THE SYSTEM CAN'T GO SOUTHWARD DUE TO THE WIDE HIGH WHICH BLOCK IT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17211-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DGMSYC2Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:11:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GGAnnr087042 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:10:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GBTxko035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 09:53:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1019443 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 09:53:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GFrmCw008146 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 09:53:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GFrjid006328 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 09:53:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GFrjj0006327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 09:53:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 09:53:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302161553.h1GFrjj0006327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 161553 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 16 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NE OF 32N122W TO 26N135W AND CONTINUES W AS A WARM FRONT TO A 1007 MB LOW NEAR 22N144W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120NM OF THE FRONT. ..1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 29N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 4N96W 5N114W 2N127W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE AXIS AT 78W...WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE AXIS AT 89W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE008JSZ5X2U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:25:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GIOwnr011214 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:25:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LVa014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:08:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:08:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GI8oCw035358 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:08:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GI8mid007441 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:08:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GI8llV007440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:08:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:08:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302161808.h1GI8llV007440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 161800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 036/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 16/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GERRY ) 999 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.5S/72.5E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTNORTHEAST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER VERY LOCALLY EXISTS BEYOND 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXISTS UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 25.5 SOUTH/74.2 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 24.5 SOUTH/75.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION STILL GENERATES STRONG WINDS FAR FROM THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE008LRZ9Z2U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:27:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GIRPnr011590 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:27:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LVg014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GIG8Cw042570 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GIG6id007481 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GIG6mP007480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/161800z/171800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302161816.h1GIG6mP007480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 161800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.3N6 92.5E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.8N1 91.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF BANDA ACEH, SUMATRA. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGES AND A QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PRESENT. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLIC AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.8S4 91.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE LLCC IS SOMEWHAT BROAD, AS WELL AS WEAK. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/GAMBLE/WHISENANT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE008N2ZD62U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:29:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GITOnr011863 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:29:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LVm014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:17:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:17:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GIH0Cw023494 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:17:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GIGvid007495 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GIGvsm007494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302161816.h1GIGvsm007494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 161800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 18/10/20022003 1.A EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION (EX-GERRY) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 16/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.5S/72.5E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 400 KM SE30: 500 KM SW30: 500 KM NW30: 300 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 25.5S / 74.2E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 24.5S / 75.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITHOUT ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION STILL GENERATES STRONG WINDS FAR FROM THE CENTRE DUE TO GRADIENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE008YJZXA2U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:41:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GIfSnr013915 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:41:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GBTxuw035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020542 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GIG9Cw023484 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GIG6id007485 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GIG6Bk007482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 12:16:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/161800z/171800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302161816.h1GIG6Bk007482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.3N6 92.5E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.8N1 91.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF BANDA ACEH, SUMATRA. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGES AND A QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PRESENT. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLIC AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.8S4 91.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE LLCC IS SOMEWHAT BROAD, AS WELL AS WEAK. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/GAMBLE/WHISENANT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF008E55X82U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:51:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GKp3nr039847 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:51:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LZw014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1022021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKYTCw017396 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GKYRid008644 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GKYR6T008642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/161800z/171800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162034.h1GKYR6T008642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 161800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. VORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.3N6 92.5E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.8N1 91.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF BANDA ACEH, SUMATRA. RECENT MICROWAVE IOATES AND A QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE A WEAK LOW **VEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PRESENT. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLIC AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A.TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.8S4 91.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE LLCC IS SOMEWHAT BROAD, AS WELL AS WEAK. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POON.+ 8 # 5#3 $3;3)90.3,5 9> - 8<,8>8:-,5 54908:-) :6:)9,3 285#8, 5#3 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDETM FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/GAMBLE/WHISENANT// V +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF008GB62F2U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:54:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GKs9nr040264 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:54:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpDC035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1022024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKYTCw005812 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GKYRid008645 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GKYRE4008643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/161800z/171800zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162034.h1GKYRE4008643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. VORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.3N6 92.5E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.8N1 91.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF BANDA ACEH, SUMATRA. RECENT MICROWAVE IOATES AND A QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE A WEAK LOW **VEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PRESENT. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLIC AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A.TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.8S4 91.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE LLCC IS SOMEWHAT BROAD, AS WELL AS WEAK. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POON.+ 8 # 5#3 $3;3)90.3,5 9> - 8<,8>8:-,5 54908:-) :6:)9,3 285#8, 5#3 ,3/5 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDETM FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/GAMBLE/WHISENANT// V +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:06 2003 X-UIDL: 17222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF008448YY2U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 05:56:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GLuonr047969 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 05:56:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69Lem014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:47:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:47:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GLlsCw030140 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:47:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GLlqid009316 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:47:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GLlqBr009315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:47:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:47:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162147.h1GLlqBr009315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 162147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 16 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS JUST W OF THE AREA BUT IS AFFECTING THE REGION. 1008 MB LOW IS NEAR 24N142W SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS DISPLAYING A NICE COMMA HEAD ON SATELLITE PICTURES AND IS PROBABLY BEGINNING TO OCCLUDE. COLD FRONT EXTENDS SE TO 22N140W THEN SW BEYOND 18N142W. WARM FRONT STRETCHES OUT OF THE LOW CENTER TO THE NE ALONG 28N136W TO 29N128W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COLD FRONT AND SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LOW CENTER. ..HIGH PRESSURE NOSES INTO THE AREA FROM THE N BETWEEN THE LOW AND BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH A RIDGE AXIS FROM 30N124W THROUGH 24N120W SE TO 18N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N85W 3N96W 4N115W 9N137W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 135W-140W AND 87W-91W. DISSIPATING MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 4N115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:06 2003 X-UIDL: 17223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF0088A93P2U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 05:59:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GLxgnr048449 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 05:59:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpN6035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:55:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:55:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GLt8Cw018562 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:55:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GLt5id009399 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:55:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GLt5XX009398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:55:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:55:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162155.h1GLt5XX009398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 162154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 24N142W MOVING EAST MOVING EAST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM NORTHEAST OF LOW INTENSIFIED. SHEAR LINE THROUGH 11S150W 14N144W CONTINUES AS A COLD FRONT THROUGH 19N140W. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT EAST OF 140W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N171W 24N180 MOVED EAST 40 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 25N. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 25N. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 27N. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 06N175W 06N165W ARE SPARSE AND MOVED WEST 10 KT. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 19N156W MOVED NORTH 10 KT. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 25S125W 19S135W 19S150W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS ALONG TROUGH. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 22S131W 12S152W CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06S174W 10S170W MOVED SOUTHWEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED THEN REINTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:08 2003 X-UIDL: 17230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00H9UDD9P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:31:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GNVqnr061384 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:31:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpV0035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GNLJCw043054 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GNLHid010128 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GNLHEl010125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/162300z/170600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162321.h1GNLHEl010125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 162300 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/162300Z/170600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:08 2003 X-UIDL: 17232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HGKDLRP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:37:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GNavnr062195 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:36:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpVQ035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023924 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GNSLCw017366 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GNSIid010179 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GNSIaN010177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162328.h1GNSIaN010177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 162300 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 177.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 670 NM NORTH OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT QUIKSCAT AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES ALSO INDICATE A WEAK LLCC THAT IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFBUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO STRONG VERTIWUDWGA IEZJ JP S VER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAI ED SURFACE WINDS ARS ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCKMNE WITHIN THE NEXTI2; HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HHEDN8P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:37:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GNbpnr062298 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:37:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69Liq014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:24:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:22:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GNMeCw035422 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:22:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GNMbid010149 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:22:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GNMbUq010147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:22:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:22:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162322.h1GNMbUq010147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 162300 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 177.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 670 NM NORTH OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT QUIKSCAT AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES ALSO INDICATE A WEAK LLCC THAT IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00H9GFV0P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:25:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H0Pgnr069214 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:25:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LmS014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 18:20:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1024605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 18:17:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H0HYCw038658 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 18:17:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H0HWid010578 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 18:17:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H0HWxD010577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 18:17:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 18:17:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170017.h1H0HWxD010577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 170000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 037/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 17/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GERRY ) 1000 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.7S/74.1E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTNORTHEAST 12 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER VERY LOCALLY EXISTS BEYOND 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXISTS UP TO 280 NM FROM THE CENTRE, REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 24.5 SOUTH/77.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 18/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS : THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION STILL GENERATES STRONG WINDS FAR FROM THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:16 2003 X-UIDL: 17247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HFYPMEP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:56:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H3uVnr020569 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:56:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LvG014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 21:45:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1026634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 21:45:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H3jICw042234 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 21:45:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H3jGid012336 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 21:45:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H3jFGt012335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 21:45:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 21:45:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170345.h1H3jFGt012335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 170345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 17 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..THE SECOND SIGNIFICANT LOW OF THE SEASON HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA. 1004 MB LOW IS NEAR 23.5N140W SLOWLY MOVING ENE. THE LOW HAS AN IMPRESSIVE SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE WITH A GOOD COMMA SHAPE. THE SYSTEM HAS OCCLUDED WITH A FRONT TIGHTLY CURVED CLOCKWISE FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 25N139W THEN INTO THE TRIPLE POINT NEAR 24N138W. BRANCHING FROM THE TRIPLE POINT.. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS NE ALONG 28N136W TO 29N132W WHILE A COLD FRONT STRETCHES SW TO BEYOND 17N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COLD FRONT N OF 18N FANNING TO THE NE TO A BAND ABOUT 120 NM WIDE NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT. SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 25N139W. ..A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO WITH AXIS FROM 30N120W SE TO 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N85W 3N96W 3N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-90W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW SHOWERS BETWEEN 6N-10N BETWEEN 130W-140W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:18 2003 X-UIDL: 17255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HUTV5GP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 13:56:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H5twnr047726 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 13:56:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpAW035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:50:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1027785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:48:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5m2Cw035434 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:48:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H5lxid013262 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:47:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H5lx1C013260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:47:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:47:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170547.h1H5lx1C013260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUVM SFUE,9,3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: #(2(QBJGOIPNUIIPNZ AGERY AND A 170101Z0 TRMM PASS INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 177.1E6 HAS DISSIPATED. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLO* T*CVHTHE NEXT 24 )HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GOWDY/RUIZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:18 2003 X-UIDL: 17256-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00H8YVA5P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 13:58:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H5wlnr048585 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 13:58:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpAS035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1027763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5hmCw022590 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H5hkid013239 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H5hkZg013237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170543.h1H5hkZg013237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 170101Z0 TRMM PASS INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 177.1E6 HAS DISSIPATED. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GOWDY/RUIZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:18 2003 X-UIDL: 17257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HJEVG3P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:02:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H62Lnr049328 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:02:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpBW035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1027890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5qWCw022684 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H5qTid013299 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H5qT9l013297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170552.h1H5qT9l013297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERC AND/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HYNVM4P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:06:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H65xnr050262 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:06:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2EG027052; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1027981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5xQCw029966 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H5xKid013329 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H5xKiS013327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170559.h1H5xKiS013327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 UNCLA LXXN03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WE***RC AND/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:20 2003 X-UIDL: 17263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00H21WDUP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:22:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H6Manr054535 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:22:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2Hi027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:14:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1028288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:12:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H6CWCw008030 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:12:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H6CUid013446 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:12:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H6CUVf013444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:12:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:12:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Msgud?3,.((8>/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170612.h1H6CUVf013444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIII, Probability=13%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_Q_MARK TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 UNCLA LXXN03145// MSGUD?3,.((8>/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WE RC AND/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:20 2003 X-UIDL: 17264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00H57WEVP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:23:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H6NDnr054691 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:23:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2Ia027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:16:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1028459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:16:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H6GmCw042162 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:16:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H6Gkid013509 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:16:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H6Gk7p013508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:16:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:16:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170616.h1H6Gk7p013508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 170600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 038/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 17/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GERRY ) 1000 HPA POSITION : 26.4S/74.3E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SYSTEM WITHOUT CONVECTION. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT, AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 26.7 SOUTH/74.7 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 18/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:20 2003 X-UIDL: 17266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HBXYG0P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:07:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H775nr064766 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:07:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2Jq027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:53:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1028928 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:53:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H6rjCw035644 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:53:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H6rhid013732 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:53:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H6rhkZ013731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:53:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:53:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170653.h1H6rhkZ013731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 170600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 038/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 17/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GERRY ) 1000 HPA POSITION : 26.4S/74.3E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SYSTEM WITHOUT CONVECTION. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT, AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 17/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 26.7 SOUTH/74.7 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 18/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:23 2003 X-UIDL: 17277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAG00H656XLP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 18:10:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1HAAQnr012343 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 18:10:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2NI027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:00:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1030123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:00:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HA0jCw013202 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:00:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1HA0gid014850 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:00:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1HA0gqG014849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:00:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:00:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302171000.h1HA0gqG014849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 171000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06N162W 04N162W 03N168W 02N172W 05N174W 05N167W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N155W 02N152W 01N149W 05N145W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...ISOLATED TCU THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 30N162W 27N166W 26N170W 27N172W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 30 TO 35 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 09N177W 02N177W 02N177E 06N175E 08N176E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY... INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 06S175W 11S176W 14S179E 17S177E 11S172E 06S177E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 2 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 11S152W 15S133W 21S125W 25S124W 25S131W 19S135W 19S148W 15S149W 14S152W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S169W 11S160W 14S158W 13S167W 14S169W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:23 2003 X-UIDL: 17279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAG00HTY781P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 18:16:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1HAGhnr014040 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 18:16:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2NK027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:10:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1030156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:10:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HAAoCw014010 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:10:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1HAAlid014915 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:10:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1HAAl5V014914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:10:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:10:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302171010.h1HAAl5V014914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 171010 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 17 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 17/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1004 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 24N139W. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM LOW CENTER TO 29N134W. WARM FRONT 29N134W TO 27N125W. COLD FRONT FROM 29N134W TO 20N135W AND 13N142W. POST-FRONTAL TROUGH FROM LOW CENTER TO 19N141W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 40-50 NM ON EITHER SIDE 14N140W 20N134W...AND NORTH OF 24N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF 20N...BETWEEN 20N131W 24N127W 32N126W AND 135W. OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ALSO NORTH/NW OF 24N125W 24N119W 32N113W. ..RIDGE 8N113W 19N119W BEYOND 32N125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 4N88W IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N85W 3N94W 4N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS... WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS 4N86.5W...AND WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 3N89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...SOME LOCALLY STRONG... OFF COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 81W AND 83W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 24N138W TO 15N139W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:25 2003 X-UIDL: 17284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAG00HEFDLHP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 20:34:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1HCYKnr042798 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 20:34:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2QK027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 06:15:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1030976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 06:15:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HCFgCw008006 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 06:15:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1HCFdid015775 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 06:15:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1HCFdh6015774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 06:15:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 06:15:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302171215.h1HCFdh6015774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 171200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 039/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 17/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GERRY ) 1000 HPA POSITION : 26.3S/75.2E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SYSTEM WITHOUT CONVECTION. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT, AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 18/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 25.8 SOUTH/75.5 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 18/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS : THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAG00H3BKPXP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:08:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1HF8Fnr079919 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:08:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2ZK027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:52:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1032674 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:52:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HEqTCw022566 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:52:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1HEqRid017873 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:52:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1HEqQN0017872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:52:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:52:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302171452.h1HEqQN0017872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 171200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 039/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 17/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 (EX-GERRY ) 1000 HPA POSITION : 26.3S/75.2E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : EAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SYSTEM WITHOUT CONVECTION. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 35 KT, AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 18/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 25.8 SOUTH/75.5 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 18/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS : THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:28 2003 X-UIDL: 17294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAG00H3ZRXPP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1HHi6nr017244 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HHGbHa035656; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1035731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HHWuCw035222 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1HHWrid023098 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1HHWrhi023096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca//ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302171732.h1HHWrhi023096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 171800 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA//AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.8N1 91.2E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8S4 91.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.3S0 88.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 590 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING. RECENT QUIKSCAT AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES ALSO INDICATE ONLY BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. THIS IS THE FINAL BULLETIN BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (FLENUMMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA). THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/COOK/WHISENANT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:28 2003 X-UIDL: 17295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAG00H8HS0MP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:45:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1HHjqnr017638 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:45:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2nA027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1035728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HHWuCw030160 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1HHWrid023099 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1HHWrZn023097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 11:32:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca//ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302171732.h1HHWrZn023097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 171800 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA//AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.8N1 91.2E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8S4 91.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.3S0 88.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 590 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING. RECENT QUIKSCAT AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES ALSO INDICATE ONLY BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. THIS IS THE FINAL BULLETIN BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (FLENUMMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA). THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/COOK/WHISENANT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:30 2003 X-UIDL: 17301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00HS73WMP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 06:02:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1HM2cnr073829 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 06:02:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HL6oHw027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:51:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1040870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:49:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HLntCw014940 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:49:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1HLnqid000720 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:49:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1HLnqbL000719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:49:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:49:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302172149.h1HLnqbL000719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 172149 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE/COLD FRONT...THE EASTERN EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 13N140W 10N146W. THIS RAGGED BAND OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IS 50 MILES WIDE AND HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 5 KNOTS. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 07N164W 06N158W EQ153W EQ148W 07N142W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 06N167W 02N180 MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH...THE EASTERN EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXTENDS ALONG LINE 25S121W 18S127W. THIS BAND OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS IS 300 TO 400 MILES WIDE...AND HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. THE NORTHERN EDGE OF A CLOUD BAND ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH/CZ EXTENDS ALONG LINE 18S127W 12S134W 08S161W. THIS BAND OF BROKEN TO OCCASIONALLY SCATTERED MULTI LAYER CLOUDS IS 250 TO 400 MILES WIDE AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 10S162W 16S135W 25S124W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. CZ...ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 08S177W 13S175W. SURFACE LOW NEAR 18S157W...A FEW SPORADIC CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 18S157W 19S155W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:30 2003 X-UIDL: 17302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00HTS3Y6P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 06:03:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1HM3Ynr074055 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 06:03:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HHGb7U035656; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:51:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1040863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:49:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HLngCw014932 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:49:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1HLneid000711 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:49:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1HLneXG000710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:49:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 15:49:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302172149.h1HLneXG000710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 172149 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 17 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 17/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1004 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 24N138W. OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS NE FROM LOW CENTER ALONG 28N137W TO TRIPLE POINT NEAR 27N134W. WARM FRONT CONTINUES EASTWARD FROM TRIPLE POINT TO 28N128W. COLD FRONT EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM TRIPLE POINT ALONG 24N133W 17N135W TO BEYOND 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 22N-30N BETWEEN 126W-131W...MOSTLY ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE NE OF THE LOW CENTER WITHIN 75 NM OF 27N134W. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS BETWEEN THE OCCLUDED LOW AND MEXICAN TROUGH WITH RIDGE ALONG 22N119W SE TO 14N104W. ..WEAK TROUGH IN SW MEXICO FROM 18N101W TO 28N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N83W 3N88W 3N105W 6N120W 3N130W 6N140W. ITCZ IS ILL-DEFINED W OF 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 82W-84.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-88W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:39 2003 X-UIDL: 17316-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ER0K1FP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 11:51:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I3p8nr052245 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 11:51:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HL6od6027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 21:40:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1045644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 21:40:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I3enCw029264 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 21:40:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I3elid005483 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 21:40:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I3elP5005482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 21:40:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 21:40:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180340.h1I3elP5005482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 180340 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 18 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1002 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 24N137W. OCCLUDED FRONT WRAPS AROUND THE LOW CLOCKWISE TWO/THREE DEGREES AWAY FROM THE CENTER ALONG 26N137W 23N134W 21N138W 24N141W 26N140W 28N137W INTO THE TRIPLE POINT NEAR 28N134W. WARM FRONT CONTINUES EASTWARD FROM TRIPLE POINT TO 29N127W. COLD FRONT EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM TRIPLE POINT ALONG 24N132W 17N134W TO BEYOND 13N140W. SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE REACHED ITS MAX INTENSITY AS CONVECTION IS DIMINISHING AND THE UPPER LOW IS BECOMING LESS-DEFINED. SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 100 NM OF 23N129W 28N126W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS N OF 26N BETWEEN 124W-120W. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS BETWEEN THE OCCLUDED LOW AND MEXICAN TROUGH WITH RIDGE ALONG 30N123W 24N117W SE TO 17N105W. ..WEAK TROUGH IN SW MEXICO FROM 23N106W TO 28N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N85W 3N88W 3N110W 4N120W 7N137W 7N140W. ITCZ IS ILL-DEFINED W OF 130W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF 6N84W AND 3N88W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 137W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:41 2003 X-UIDL: 17324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EPVPU9P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 13:56:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I5uQnr082234 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 13:56:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HL6ohS027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:43:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1047293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:43:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5gwCw023340 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:42:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I5guid006475 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:42:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I5gu4T006473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:42:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:42:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180542.h1I5gu4T006473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.5S7 172.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLANDS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A POSSIBLE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WHILE SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE AREA IS UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:43 2003 X-UIDL: 17330-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EX7SB8P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 14:49:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I6nonr095864 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 14:49:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxO8035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048469 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6bHCw038860 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I6bFid007014 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I6bE32007012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Jxjtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180637.h1I6bE32007012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 ;.<8$/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR H JXJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICA* WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SIMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE *IOMERYJ* KQL AN AREA OF MONVER*ION HA DEVELOPED NEAR 11.5S7 172.5EGT**VA PPROXIMTELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLANDS. ANIMATE * ETE*LITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A POSSIBLE O DBACLEMEL CIRCULATION, WHIL* SURFACE ANALYSIS NDICATES A BHTA *ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL WIND SHE RDM *OMIMAM SU TAINE SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATE AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS# MINIMUM SE TEVE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A N GN FICANT TROPINAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:43 2003 X-UIDL: 17332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EJ3SZHP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:04:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I74Nnr099586 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:04:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAHm040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:56:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048639 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6tkCw005952 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I6thid007125 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I6thbn007123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Jkfcidxx Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180655.h1I6thbn007123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GENADMIN/NAVPACMATOCCEN PEARL HARBOR H JKFCIDXX SUBJWHSIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINJLQ KIEEDA LA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTUROANCE SIMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 :3-5): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IOMERYJ KQL AN AREA OF MONVER CMFPHA DEVELOPED NEAR 11.5S7 172.5EGT VA PPROXIMTELGL470 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLANDS. ;-,8.-53 5 ETE LITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT REMAIMS DISORGANIZED. A R*CENT MICROWAVE VAGE SHOWS A POSSIBLE O DBACLEMEL CIRCULATION, WHI W SURFACE ANALYSWS NDICATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE ARE * S UN ER KAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL WIND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAINE SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMA* AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS$ MINIMUM SE TEVE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A N GN FICANT TROPWNAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:44 2003 X-UIDL: 17335-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E47T6QP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:08:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I78inr000906 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:08:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAHe040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6tYCw030026 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I6tWid007112 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I6tWbm007110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Jxjtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180655.h1I6tWbm007110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GENADMIN/NAVIACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR H JXJTWC// SUBJ *SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZDEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC AREA (180 TO*O LAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTUROANCE SIMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 13; -5): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IOMERYJ KQL AN AREA OF MONVETT V N HA DEVELOPED NEAR 11.5S7 172.5EGT V A H ROXIMTELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLANDS.5- 8.-5 ETE LITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION H*O ZM*ASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT*MICROWAVE IMAGE S*O EO RT98?)3 9 $?-:)3.3) :84:7)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NDICATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYEI EMEALS THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL*WIND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAINE SURFACE WIND**ME ESTIMA AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS$ MINIMUM SE * P E PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 100 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A N GN *FICANT TROPINAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE *MT PWR HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:44 2003 X-UIDL: 17336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EWLTI5P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:15:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7Fanr002673 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:15:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxQ4035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:02:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:02:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I720Cw014560 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:02:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I71vid007209 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:01:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I71vsb007207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:01:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:01:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180701.h1I71vsb007207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GHT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR *HE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZDEB2003// RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC AREA (180 TO O LAY PENINSULAGLC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. :?. TROPICA*TWD Q SF DA L MARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERIR *T 13 -5): / . TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ITMZLHP KQL AN AREA OF MONVETT V N HA DEMEL LED NEAR 11.5S7 772.5EGT V A H ROXIMTELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLA DS.5- 8.-5 ETE LITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION H O ZM ASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S O EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3#) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NDICATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYEI EMEALS THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL WIND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAINE SURFACE WIND ME ESTIMA AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS MINIMUM SE P E PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 100 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A N GN FICANT TROPINAL CYCLONE WITH T* MT PWR HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHE*USPECT A EASBI * 9$$? <)53- #: VILPORS/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONG ELXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E0OTXMP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:24:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7Ornr005057 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:24:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxRA035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7DNCw042064 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7DKid007309 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7DKik007306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180713.h1I7DKik007306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GHT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/1 #600ZDEB2003// RMKS/5 8. WEST*RO*NORTH PAC IC AREA (180 TO O LAY PENINSULAGLC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA L MARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOIT*VNERIR T 13 -5): / . TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARY: NONELM EO. /<;88 ) $8574?-,:3 85.+)#0 (1) -, -43- 9> .9,;355 ; , #- $3.3) )3$ ,3-4 11.5S7 772.5EGT V A H ROXIMTELY 470 NM ORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLA DS.5- 8.-5 ETE LITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTIO T O ZM SED OVER THE PAST 12: HOURS, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S O EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3$) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NDICATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NA YEI * * T T T THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL WIND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAIN* SSR IE IIN * ME ESTIMA AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS MINIMUM SE P E PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 100 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPME T OF A N GN FICANT TROPINAL CYCLONE WITH T MT PWR HOURS IS POO*. (+) /,9 95#3 USPECT A EASBI 9? )53- $: VILPORS/JAC *R./#3 43)/NUTONG ELXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E31TYOP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:25:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7PUnr005227 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:25:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAJ0040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048797 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7C7Cw044868 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7C4id007290 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7C43B007288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180712.h1I7C43B007288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GHT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZDEB2003// RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC AREA (180 TO O LAY PENINSULAGLC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA L ARY: NONETOOGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF STUTH I HSLEWIG T 13 -55: / . OROPICA CYVLONE UMMARY: 99,3. B. TROP CA)$8574?-,: 85.+)#0 # (1) -, -43- 9> .5,;295 ; , #- $3.3) )3$ ,3-4 11.5SAU UUWMTEGT *MDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES* FIJI LWRF DS. 5 8;,:44+# V DC P FR AGWRY REVEALS THAONCOPVEITION HTO ZM APNRBXNFAAJIINYE 12 HOURS, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S O EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3$) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NDICATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYEI EMEALS THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL W ND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAINE SURFACE QIND ME ESTIMA AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS MINIMUM SE P E PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAT 100 MB. TYE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A N GN S CANT TROPINAL CYCLONE LIMGH T MT PWR HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTME USPECT I CEASBI G O? )53- $: VILPORS/JACOCDQSHERRY/NUTONG Z VKKGHZ Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EGJUH3P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:36:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7aXnr007977 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:36:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxTE035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7T3Cw029966 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7T0id007408 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7T0H8007406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180729.h1I7T0H8007406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEA*IE IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL*/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600 XQOPYPPZDEOZW P*TMTH*RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 ;5 9 )-6 03,8,7): $ /32, 54908:-) :6:)9,3 7..-46: NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA L ARY: NONETOOGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S** N EZGS*WIG O EK ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AC AREA O MTNIWOH N DA 3.3) )3 ,3-4 11.5SAU UUWMTEGT MDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS# # 8 ,:44+$ V C P FR AGWRY REVEALS THAONCOPVEITION HTO ZM APNRBXNFAAJIINYE 1+.,#974, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S O EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL W ND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAINE N* SURFACE QIND ME ESTIMA AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS MINIMUM SE P E PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAT 2 7 .?. :63 0953,58-) >94 $3;3) 0 3,5 9> - , <, :-,5 54908,-) :6:)9,3 )8.<# 5 #5 824 #974 0994. KL R O OTN* IRIEIT*IO* CE SBI *G *O? )53- : VILPORS/JACOCDQSHER Y/NUTONG * OQT K8 4;30. + +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:47 2003 X-UIDL: 17345-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EDMUUYP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:44:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7irnr010123 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:44:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxTs035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7bkCw014004 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7biid007480 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7bid1007478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180737.h1I7bid1007478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEA IE IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL / SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600 XQOPYPPZDEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 )-6 ;3,8,7): /32, 54908:-) :6:)9,3 7..-46: NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA L ARY: NONETOOGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S N EZGS WIG O EK ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AC AREA O MTNIWOH N DA 3.3) )3 ,3-4 11.5SAU UUWMTEGT MDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS$ $ 8 ,:44+ V C P FR AGWRY REVEALS THAONCOPVEITION HTO ZM APNRBXNFAAJIINYE 1+.,$974, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S O EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND SHE RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N KDFWJ EE- -+- 3 358.- -5 15 TOPIP KNOTS MINIMUMP EEEAEWWARISF AEJ L SA EEJRIU ATED TO BE NEAT 2 7 .?. :63 0953,58-) 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - ;'45) CANT TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D P V* E PCFREURSHBCKCST KL R OLMTN IRIEIT IO CE SBIM NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS:-# 3:$1#34 6/NUTONG OQT K8 4 30. + +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:48 2003 X-UIDL: 17349-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EKMV9EP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:53:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7rWnr012515 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:53:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAKC040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049140 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7ihCw044210 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7ieid007531 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7iexN007526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180744.h1I7iexN007526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEA IE IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL / SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600 XQOPYPPZDEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 )-6 3,8,7): /32, 54908:-) :6:)9,3 7..-46:8,9:05, :N XTRMPICA TWD Q SF DA L ARY: NONETOOGZIIS ITH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S N EZGS WIG O EK ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AC AREA O MTNIWOH N DA 3.3) )3 ,3-4 11.5SAU UUWMTEGT MDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MB OYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ V C P FR AGWRY REVEALS THAONCOPVZITION HTO ZM APNRBXNFAAJIINYE 1+.,974, TUT RMAINSIDNNORREO* *LMMA RERENT TI R TAME IHAGE S ** RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NWLYEI EMEA * OHAT THE ARE S UN T FAVMRABLE AMGLGWSA D VSOT CZL W ND SHZ N RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N N KDFWJ EELN JEJOCRD MMPPW GN *TIION** I D OL*MINIMUMP **EAZWWARISF AEJ L LSA EEJRIU ATED TO BE NEAT 2 7 .?. :63 0953,5 -) .4 3 3)9 +,##3/5 5,))>)4.$$ )CA*T OROIN IL VGCTONE LIT D K I NN V -E PCFREURSHBCKCST KL R OLMTN IRIEIT IO CE SBIM MHROULO/4 8)93- , '; )09::-$3,1$34 :)/ ITONG R VQT K8 4 30. + , B LNC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:48 2003 X-UIDL: 17350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EMVV9YP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:53:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7rqnr012665 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:53:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAKK040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7ihCw028008 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7ieid007533 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7ieNe007529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180744.h1I7ieNe007529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GEOADMINBHV PH ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT H VXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEA IE IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL .9#+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM NONETOOGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AC AREA O MTNIWOH N DA 3.3) )3 ,3-4 11.5SAU UUWGT*LT MDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FR AGWKY REVEALS THAONCOPVEITION HTO ZM APNRBXNFAAJIINYE 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S G EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)'589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR *WYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE *E UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND SHE RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N KDFWJ EE- ,+3+- 3 358.- # -515 TOPIP KNOTS M PC80 333-322-48> -3' ) 3 , 33'487 -53$ 59 ?3 ,3-5 2 7 9 .?. :63 0953,58-) 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - 45) CWNT TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D P V E PCFR*URSHBCKCST KL R OLMT TV IRIEIT IT T*MMN* SBIM NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS*MNRB X1$34 6/NUTONG OQTIK8 4 30. Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:48 2003 X-UIDL: 17352-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EU5VRIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:04:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I84Nnr015411 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:04:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAKS040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7smCw028020 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7sjid007597 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7sj8c007595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180754.h1I7sj8c007595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GEOADMINBHV PH ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT H VXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL .9$+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCOPVEITION HTO ZMI PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S G EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND SHE RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N KDFWBN EE- ,+3+- 3 358.- $ -515 TOPIP KNOTS M PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , 5 )9 $><8>, :9 59 ?3 , 4>8> 9 $- .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - 45) CWNT TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D**P O V N Z PCFR URSHBCKCST KL R OLMT TV IRIEIT IT T MMN SBIM * NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS VOM*BTC VJU;<'(:;.2I*SZJ OQTIK8 4 30. , Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:49 2003 X-UIDL: 17355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EUQW8RP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:14:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8Ejnr017834 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:14:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAL2040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I84dCw043160 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I84aid007692 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I84a0u007688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180804.h1I84a0u007688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GEOADMINBHV PH ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT H AXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI* LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITION HTO ZMI PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S G EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND SHE RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N KDFWBN EE- ,+3+- 3 358.- -515 TOPIP KNOTS V PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , ; 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - 45) CL * TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D P O V N Z PCFR URSHBCKCST KL R OLMT TV IRIEIT IT T MMN SBNM NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIK8 4 30. , Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:50 2003 X-UIDL: 17357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EB5WF7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:18:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8Ibnr018873 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:18:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxWo035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8CnCw015002 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Ckid007746 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8CkEg007744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180812.h1I8CkEg007744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,?$ 0$ -:.359::3, 03-4) $-4?9 555 $, / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,$3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOGMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N ,:44+9 MR NLO C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TMZVIR MO BG F AJIINYE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIULT BMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WZEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORAZLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND E RJVH OMIMAM SA TAINE N KDFWB EE- ,+3 - , 3 398.- N 2515 TOPIP VO THNM PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - $ $ CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F IRG BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV IRIEIO IT T MMN ETNM NXHGOULO? )53- ($:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:50 2003 X-UIDL: 17358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EBDWF8P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:18:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8Icnr018876 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:18:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxWe035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I84dCw030144 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I84aid007689 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I84a0r007685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180804.h1I84a0r007685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/;<5 3 .8,?#; 0# -:.359::3, 03-4) #-4?9 555 #, ;/ 5+.:; (+ 31<;/-;7?' 8<,>8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,#3 23534,5$) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES*EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT *CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOGMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N ,:44+9 MR*NLO C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION* TMZVIR *MO BG F AJIINYE 1+.,9: , *ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV*UOAPESSIG *EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R IULT BMC XL I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WZEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORAZLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND E RJVH OMIMAM SA TAINE N KDFWB EE- ,+3 - , 3 398.- N 2515 TOPIP VO THNM PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - # ;#< CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F IRG*BCCCSH KL *C OLMT TV IRIEIO IT T MMN ETNM $ NXHGOULO? )53- (#:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:50 2003 X-UIDL: 17359-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EC4WFOP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:19:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8Isnr018954 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:18:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DALg040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8CoCw012962 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Clid007756 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8Cl7k007753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180812.h1I8Cl7k007753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,?$ 0$ -:.359::3, 03-4) $-4?9 555 $, / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,$3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q * DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N ,:44+9 MR NLO C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIR MO BG F AJIINYE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R IULT BMC XL I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A IBCMO FR SC BM UPPER AIR * WZEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORAZLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND E RJVH OMZPA*V E TANNE N KDFWB EE- ,+3 - , 3 398.- N 2515 TOPIP VO THNM PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - $ $ CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M VV N Z H F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV IRIEIO IT T MMN ETNM NXHGOULO? )53- (>:WBPQSON NLBVOBTM BIVKQL (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI *T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:51 2003 X-UIDL: 17363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EZJWO3P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:24:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8Nvnr020289 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:23:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DALs040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049490 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8GGCw027132 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8GDid007801 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8GDw0007799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180816.h1I8GDw0007799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GEOADMINBHV PH ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT H AXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM* PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S G EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA* EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:52 2003 X-UIDL: 17364-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EZRWO7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:24:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8O1nr020301 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:24:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DALo040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8GECw015066 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8GBid007791 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8GBI7007789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180816.h1I8GBI7007789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GEOADMINBHV PH ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT H AXJPCXX SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E NI ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROP CAL CYCLONE UMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NE*OMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKP ULEASTGOF S V EZG GIP O EK R ATTC X M OROPICA IYVLONE* SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL ANHCSVCAK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRFO DS C 8 ,:44+ HR C P PY AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITION HTO ZVI PNRBO F AJIINSE 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS DISORGA IZEELMOA RECENT MICROWAVE IOAGE S G EO RO98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)989,, WHI D OSIRFACEIANALYSIS NGATES A B*TA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORABLE*OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND SHE RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N KDFWBNN EE- ,+3< >4 ,$ .2;- -515 TOPIP KNOTS H PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , LO I N C TO BE N *E LZWI EA A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A RTL CL TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D P O V N Z PCFR URSHBCKCST KL R OLMT TV IRIEIT IT T MMN SBNM NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS VOM BTC PJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIK8 4 30. , Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:52 2003 X-UIDL: 17365-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E0ZWOQP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:24:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8OKnr020400 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:24:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DALi040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8EnCw030586 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Elid007775 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8EkKc007773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180814.h1I8EkKc007773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,?$ 0$ -:.359::3, 03-4) $-4?9 555 $, / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,$3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. CTOV*ROPICA TWD Q *V DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OOHRN **M CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKUL AN N*VN*CT IZGA D 5. )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOGMQTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N ,:44+9 MR *TTE EELEEELU EEAEG WIEA HS ALET PAONCG GEITION TMZVIR MO BG F AJIINYE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA R*NE TT NRCZAV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R IULT BMC XL I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA ROULHBM IPPERM S TWZEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORAZ**I* TW AND VSTT CEL W ND E R M*T***VT*** N E N KDFWT*VTM*VMC RTPO* A N E EOIHA N ** * 2515 TOPIP VO THNM PC80 333WWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N* R I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A D D CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N* M*V*V*MM*E EAWRA A JTHT IRG BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV IRIEIO IT T MMN ETNM *VV*VNBHGTULT? )53- ($:WBP** DZMKNVMWV SZJ OQT OT T*O*****TT***VT*EARU S AZXVVTT ZNZC 281 555.;5.5 5 )8 ;PGTW 180100 . .;955 5.;O I LT AETOCCEN IEA L TTTTT H AJTWCWXX SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E*MVN** ORA **T *NHE WEE*E*NTDLH.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOIH I*MVO***O I** MKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROP CAL CYC ONE IOO *YC **MIKRTZDM TROPICA TWD Q SD DA LON * O* M *TMTZI SOUT* PACIFIC AREAKQEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R **C X M TROI CA TVNYM*T **T**MO*MO TV*C OO EO B. TROLHC WL85749-9, ITMZLDPNN *M C LVJ HKQLVA CSVCEK ITNIWOH N TA LE**M*V**V ON DFFVCNBX TPRA NLEUI IDY *M R OL*OXVKN NFBUFLA MBGOY**AES FIJ L*M LWRF D**E MTM 8 ,:44+ *R C P FR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVE * T**V**M VW**OIDO F *VAJIIN E 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS E SO T*OM*M*OT ENE * ONCROWAVE IOAGE S G EO O98? OORNZJ T EL II UEEG * *MTM*OIYDLR GIDLAQI EDA-53 - ?5- 497<#?. 70034 -84 2638 3.3- #- 5 43 E UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VS****MN*VOI JMT**VV*RJ**MOMIMAOSU TA NE N KDFWBN EE- 9+3+- 3 358.- . , 85IO***OO EO* R**M E L E NT T LO *MNT TO BE N **M* S S CRTZH A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A RTL CL TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D P O V N Z PCFR URSHTNCCST KL R OLMT TMTEL II IS NDVVP SBNO *NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIK8 4 30. , Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:53 2003 X-UIDL: 17369-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E4BWQ3P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:25:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8P9nr020694 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:25:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAM0040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8JtCw044050 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Jrid007830 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8Jr6G007828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180819.h1I8Jr6G007828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRFAEEEAEEA EVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOGMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N ,:44+9 MR NLO C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TMZVIR MO BG F *AGZL EE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIULT BMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA******A***A** ****H CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F I*G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:53 2003 X-UIDL: 17370-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E4SWQCP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:25:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8PInr020732 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:25:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxYQ035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8L9Cw005230 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8L6id007853 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8L6AS007851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180821.h1I8L6AS007851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL* YCLONE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM W MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITMZLDPNN *I LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0:>4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN *IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+.,9: , ET *MYCK D *VNLT**O*TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM * T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 $ 984>-:3 -,-)68 ,<-53 - /$$,7<.:(/:>;3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T*MJJ DIQMF2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CEL W ND E RJVH OMZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN K FR DE A N E EOIMA N*VMMPOSID BR*OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R I *O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D *M* BJWD QTHMYYVHK T*ZKOK* F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV *O*T *MMOHYE V EPOI*ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM* *(5 Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ET8WYDP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:30:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8U8nr022220 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:30:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxYa035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8LLCw005236 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8LIid007863 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8LIOK007861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180821.h1I8LIOK007861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC AG GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NTNE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9,( ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY*EIV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILW**L I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS N**UPPER AIR WZEI EME*ORAZLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND E RJ*EE- ,+3 - , 3 398.-)-40# , 0; > 3$48 :'4# <#+ , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - * F IRG BCCCSH L KL C O** NXHGOULO? )53- ( :WB* OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:55 2003 X-UIDL: 17377-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ENNX99P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8acnr024381 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxZs035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8U3Cw027390 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8U1id007956 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8U0nk007954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180830.h1I8U0nk007954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M IXG*EE NBHV **E ELG EE*A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H **LL JTLC995; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:55 2003 X-UIDL: 17378-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ENQX9BP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8aenr024397 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxZk035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8U0Cw030708 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Twid007927 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8Tww4007925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180829.h1I8Tww4007925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-$.8,?#; 0# -:.359::3, 03-4) #-4?9 <55 # -/'52:// SUBJ E G**D*MIO*TEROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT* IH #') -, :;:3( 85,829# , $- 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, $8 <)9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492-;3 8.-<3 < 39 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO*GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:58 2003 X-UIDL: 17390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E3VXF7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:40:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8eDnr025487 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:40:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMG040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8YXCw044994 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8YUid008041 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8YUqt008039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180834.h1I8YUqt008039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? # -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 ;5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E * * ORA LOR E WETERNTL MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/5 ;5;; 1. ;23 3#, ,945# 0-, 8: -43 2(180 9, .)-6 3, ,7),; TM *M EDOYO N ***M * T*NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R * ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON* SM * MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TVPLNNO TO U8 );' #(1) -, ,;; 7ITNIWOH DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWEST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N* L VII* AHWCY RDMEALET * PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF NE 1+.,9: ;3 ;OECK * VNLT O TTOGYPXL AANYRNEEJN*AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CZOMZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN**MC*****TVE *N E EOIMA*M N VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N *R I O * A *MZM CS* IOTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT*T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+$9$ -,:2$/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:59 2003 X-UIDL: 17392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ECBXIFP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:42:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8gAnr026035 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:42:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMA040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8TXCw044138 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8TVid007917 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8TUt7007915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180829.h1I8TUt7007915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P**DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) #-4?9 <55 # AXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 0><#+ XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:59 2003 X-UIDL: 17393-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ED0XIJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:42:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8gDnr026053 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:42:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxaC035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8WZCw027922 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8WXid008000 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8WX5U007998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180832.h1I8WX5U007998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- -? ) : 88),9 5 9 8:3 < - 39 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534, .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPIIA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRFAEEEAEEA EVLONE SM A MDC OMT CRGZLB. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJN NIKRFN CL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBO**T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MTLMATHWES FIJI LLRF S RLHO AEA EADAEJAAZAPNCRRZO MR LO D K C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TMZVIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV UOAPESSIG TIZHH RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R N BHTLO BMC *BTAWJW S TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA *XI A H CWNT T O H I ZCL NE LIM D P M T M V N Z H F I G BCCK H * P *L KTN N OLMT TV IN NXHGOULO*T LTEA KCWBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EDCXIMP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:42:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8gGnr026062 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:42:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxaK035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8WaCw035562 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8WYid008010 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8WYWZ008008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180832.h1I8WYWZ008008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO*HC WLV85749-;0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK*** LR* RDZSDHZJA N N * ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TMZVIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIULT BMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA .<7 A A # H CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17395-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EDNXIRP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:42:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8gLnr026079 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:42:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMI040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8YaCw005828 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8YXid008051 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8YX6t008049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180834.h1I8YX6t008049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7;;-<<: ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM E MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+.,9: , ET MYCK D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS*E F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. #+0<05.(7 0, ( >4 $39 - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+$9$ -,:2$/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17396-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EFZXJOP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:43:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8gsnr026252 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:42:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMU040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8aVCw020706 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aSid008094 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aRp1008082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aRp1008082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 /XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC AG GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NTNE CBM TROPQUA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMOZI SOUTHTPACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R QBTC *X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONOMHZ SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHI A*OPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN * I*V LVJ LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH *THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EVG RT ILW L I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOCP FWWSTT CEL W ND E RJ (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4$ $+ , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - F IRG BCCCSH L KL C O NXHGOULO? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EG3XJQP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:43:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8gvnr026266 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:42:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxbS035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8aVCw026480 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aSid008099 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aRjM008093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aRjM008093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) $-4?9 55 $ AXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 0 $+ XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EM7XM2P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:44:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8iKnr026589 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:44:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxbi035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8c1Cw025862 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8bwid008145 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8bwCA008141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180837.h1I8bwCA008141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,?$ 0$ -:.359::3, 03-4) $-4?9 55 $ -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TE**P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF OJE*Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH*N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH $) -, : :3( 85,829$ , 3 3.3 ;979 :<'-2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A H ROXV N CDR NL R *HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8.- 3 $9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EMIXM6P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:44:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8iNnr026598 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:44:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMe040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8adCw020708 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aaid008120 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aaLx008118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aaLx008118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D *L)+359,:3, 03- ) $-4?9 55 *E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 98*IT *E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T*MM E US RTM* OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ***M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EMLXM8P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:44:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8iQnr026609 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:44:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxbm035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8c1Cw029198 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8bwid008143 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8bwo2008138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180837.h1I8bwo2008138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,?$ 0$ -:.359::3, 03-4) $-4?9 55 $ -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TEROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH $) -, : :3( 85,829$ , - 3.3 3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBN RTL*OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EWUXPQP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:46:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8kWnr027265 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:46:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMO040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8aUCw028254 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aRid008085 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aRMY008079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aRMY008079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555, #9 / 5+.: 7+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T*TH RMKN/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC AG GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULC * XEWN TROII LICTCLO E UVVARYC NTNE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON * MZM O *TOMOZI SOUTT*PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC *X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9,( ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILW L I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND E RJ EE- + 5 , 3 398.-)-40$ , 0 348 :4$ $+ , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 95 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - F IRG BCCCSHTT N KL C OTI WP* B NXHGOULO? )538 ' :2? 5 6.+58 08 5 ;2 3$33$'-322)8 +++/.9 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EZ2XQUP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8lCnr027405 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMs040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050046 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8hWCw030502 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8hTid008242 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8hTms008237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180843.h1I8hTms008237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA*3.3 0- ,324 6+WNBX T RA LEE V CDY A T *TGV HLR RDZSDHZJA N N L V NCR O***OORNNLO T T *UHE *O A HUEALET*AONCG GEITION *N*G **TT MIO DRTZLAGZL TNOKWINOCDVN*ET RZMAINS DIVO G**MI***MO**MNT T N*OUOAPESSIG * EO** RT ILWE O*ZVOO** I R AIULT BMNOCO D OS ** *V*ANALYSIS * GA*E* BHTA .7 A A $ .; H CWNT TRT *NAL CYCL NE * *D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTNV VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EHM N T Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EZYXR9P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8lRnr027502 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxcm035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8dmCw043318 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8djid008164 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8dj5j008162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180839.h1I8dj5j008162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M IXG EE NBHV E ELGN EE A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H L JTLC995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17406-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E04XRAP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8lRnr027503 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMi040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8gACw014040 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8g8id008197 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8g7fT008195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180842.h1I8g7fT008195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , ,,- / 5+.: (+ 31 /- -? ) : 88),9 5 9 8:3 - 39 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534, .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPIIA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRFAEEEAEEA EVLONE SM A MDC OMT CRGZLB. (549/;(, :>?72- , .5).-5#23 >8'8 ))4> 4)#9 -3- 3-$-3'--+-0,:44+9 .4 )9 $ ( : 0 >4 -#2:6 4$.3-)35 0-9,:< <38589, 5.+;84 .9 ?< > -<+) 33 1+.,9: , 235 4+.-8, $894<- 8+33)..- 4+:3,9 .8:4:+-; 79-038< 58+## 45 8)23 9 ?-,3) ,8 4 , ?#5)9 ?.: BTAWJW S TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA XI A H CWNT T O H I ZCL N BBWM D P O T M V N Z H F I G BCCK H P L KTN N OLMT TV IN NXHGOULO T LTEA KCWBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E1LXRIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8lanr027591 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMM040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8aLCw028062 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aJid008069 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aIvY008068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aIvY008068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03- 4?9 55 X TZMC U* EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH PACIF K ONEAN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T*TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC * XEWN TROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E1OXRJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8lbnr027608 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxd0035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049955 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8duCw029952 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8drid008174 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8drsH008172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Lllearl Harbo Ott Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180839.h1I8drsH008172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 ;. A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H LL JTLC995 / SUBJ SIGNIFICA**TV ORA W HI DO TPODLPLMT VOITH PACIF*K XQOPYP MOZW P TMTH ROCMIK TH QM WESTER NORTH PAC IC RE (180 5 9 Y ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONEVUMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF D O CJTH YWM N NETTMGZI SOUTH ICIFIC AREAKWEST CT V TF S V ETGS WIG O EC MT O NVEL KRLTV OROPICA CYVLONE T M T A MDC OO EO M OOT TROLHC WL85749- ITMZLDPNN M LVJ HKQL AN NOCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3. M T LA AUWNBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES N JI LWRF DS L E8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTP 19 7 #59 +. 0,45 F AJII*RNX ZHT EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:04 2003 X-UIDL: 17410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E4NXS6P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8lwnr027776 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMW040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8aVCw043004 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aSid008098 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aRrE008086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aRrE008086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) $-4?9 555 $ AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E I * ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 $+ # XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E6VXSWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8mQnr028033 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMm040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8gECw022372 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8gBid008212 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8gBod008207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180842.h1I8gBod008207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 + . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 66.2NBX T RWP LEEI* CDY LWRHWHHROXVKL LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 * MRNNLO C P FR AHTNH RVZAL MVH PAOVCGN GEITION *N VIR MO BGR F AGZL ETP70( , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IEE *MMA RZCENO MICRC AV UOAPESSIG *EM RT ILWE O 2' 8 +-33)333)) 8:?: L I D OS TFANE ANALYSIS MGATE A BHTA . 7 A A $ H CWOLTRTI NAL CYCL * NE L O D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXXMULO? )53- (:WBPCS OM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ IOHIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E8EXTFP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8mjnr028175 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMo040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8gECw028374 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8gBid008213 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8gB0F008210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180842.h1I8gB0F008210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN N HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 639)NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWCH RDM M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:06 2003 X-UIDL: 17416-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E8LXTIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8mjnr028177 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxe4035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050055 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8hWCw026778 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8hTid008241 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8hTV0008238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180843.h1I8hTV0008238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , , / 5+.: , (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 05 ;8..+)$0,, : );', #(1) -, :;:3( :., # D TQNK LPZPA NEWR SRHLV TM T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWCH RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TN VIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+. <,: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCBIC RT PESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIUITNBMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGAOE A P O T* GM U A A $ H CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:;2?0: ;9. ?5: ;'7 (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R ZPM N E Z K ZCFN*S.91;;BXCY* +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:08 2003 X-UIDL: 17427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ETTY06P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:52:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8qmnr029512 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:52:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANK040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8l3Cw010338 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8l0id008339 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8l0rG008337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180847.h1I8l0rG008337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03- 4?9 55 X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WBTERNTL MOZEOUOH PACIF K ONEAN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH HAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN TROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17428-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ETWY06P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:52:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8qnnr029527 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:52:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxeQ035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8j7Cw014886 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8j4id008265 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8j425008263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180845.h1I8j425008263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? $ -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E I ORA WOR *MPNN SEL MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1885 XQTH LPZVEOEZ *P TMTH RMKS/5 5 1. 23 3$, ,945$ 0-, 8: -43 2(180 9, .)-6 3, ,7), TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD QO DA ON YWM N NETOMGZI OUTH PACIFIC AREAFWTDMLQOASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TMPLNNO TO U8#. ) $(1) -, , -7ITNIWOH DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHW*ST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET #PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO ABLVJZISFHNFT NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTOGYPXL AANYRNEEJN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 0 984 -:3 -,-)6: , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIWMD $ 182;77>#:0,$; 1+92 -,$ ;5. :+9.+0- ;597 34#)#- ;'#(, + 4 98+; TADC WHI*CZN E EOD LG*R XP AU*I AMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R IV*V O A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T * ON HYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE M EEAEEAEHGOULO? - <53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+. -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO Z * +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ETYY06P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:52:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8qnnr029526 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:52:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxfA035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8kuCw012812 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8kqid008305 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8kqJ8008302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180846.h1I8kqJ8008302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF K MCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD R Q DA LON YWM N N**OMYCJ D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)<2 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMQE F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. $+0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O UUMBWVVLQG B.53,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - :2,5 5498 ;9;:6:) ,3 )8. $ . ?'2$ 15#.66;#( 5 +(9( > 84< ?:::# )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T*A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EUCY0BP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:52:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8qrnr029561 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:52:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxfM035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8l7Cw010342 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8kwid008329 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8kw9j008327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180846.h1I8kw9j008327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 989+55;T S FRH EETOCCEN PEA RBO TT X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH PACIF K ON*AN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN TROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EY1Y1HP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:53:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8rZnr029797 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:53:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANA040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8ktCw019922 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8kqid008304 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8kq6N008299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180846.h1I8kq6N008299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? ; *AD)+359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 9. <#+)84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .95SMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPIC IFRMKFAONE Q A C NONEM CBM TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R OC II X HRMSOROPRCAN CYVLONE SM ET* MDR OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+.,9: , ET MYCK D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMIDHZHZOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI*T V FR U JJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. $+0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 , - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR TXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F WRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO N NN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17432-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EZ8Y1PP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:53:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8rhnr029835 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:53:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxeU035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050087 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8j8Cw033806 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8j5id008275 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8j5Y8008273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180845.h1I8j5Y8008273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? $ -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICAN*TROPICA *LA E **M ORA LOR *VIETERNTL MOZSMU* PENIF*J OCEA GBQ TM*V *BP*OHI***T*MP TMTH RMKS/5 QM WE EDN NORTD PAN IC AR* KQIP ON MLAY EN NULN TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA **OT YWM N NETOMGEI*OITH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAONO VPLNNO TO U8 ;8) ;5 $(1) -, , 7IT WOH DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXMKN CNBUEWA MOXM**LI S RTZT FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAO NL GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZI NH *V NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTOGYPXL AANYRNEEJN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTT*KMI * ZT*M MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - -68 53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ BIQ*TUFHNPNDV QZOW AN* VSTM CZOMZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN MC *VE N E EOIMA M N VMMHOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N **T*V*M A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL N*ENT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L ** KL C OLMT TV * *T* T**TM*V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEA*HGOALO9 )53- ( :WBPQS **V ***M (5 ?-92+WO - :2/T A OQTIOGI T VA *EDEEDJAEWWLI* ZZZXMO ZH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17434-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ECIY62P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:56:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8uKnr030719 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:56:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANm040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8owCw011256 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8otid008390 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8otUm008382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180850.h1I8otUm008382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DA*W)+359,:3, 03-4) .-4?9 555 T AXJTWC// , SUT *VTMTV CANT TROPICA**LA E I TOT*VT*VMTLP N TPTDLPGMOZSOUT* PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + $ XQOPZPLZMOZ**MT KNOL*MKS/54 1. WESTTEEL DJLPVVVVVVVVVV* E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:11 2003 X-UIDL: 17435-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EE0Y6CP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:56:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8uUnr030778 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:56:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANw040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8p2Cw043346 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8oxid008411 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8oxvQ008409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180850.h1I8oxvQ008409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + $ XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:11 2003 X-UIDL: 17436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EEJY6HP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:56:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8uZnr030806 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:56:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANk040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050297 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8owCw043336 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8otid008383 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8otlD008378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180850.h1I8otlD008378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 /<190600+;39+2 0 5 5# 4.( /94 , 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC AVH GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULC V L XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NTNE CBM TROPQUA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMOZI SOUTHTPACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R QBTC X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONOMHZ SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHI A OPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN I V LVJ LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EVG RT ILW L I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOCP FWWSTT CEL W ND E RJ (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - F IRG BCCCSH L KL C O NXHGOULO? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:11 2003 X-UIDL: 17437-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EFTY6NP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:56:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8uenr030837 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:56:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxh6035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8q8Cw022402 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8q5id008444 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8q4j7008430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180852.h1I8q4j7008430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D L)+359,:3, 03- ) -4?9 55 E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 ,+ 98 IT E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:12 2003 X-UIDL: 17438-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EGKY6VP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:56:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8unnr030881 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:56:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOC040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8q8Cw042798 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8q5id008445 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8q5Je008438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180852.h1I8q5Je008438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D )+359,:3, 03- ) W**T*M***VM*MV*V AEGAXJTWC/9 --+-8 IT E T RTHH UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL *O*MMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:12 2003 X-UIDL: 17440-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EN8Y9CP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8wInr031264 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxgY035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050309 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8owCw030012 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8otid008392 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8ot5K008388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180850.h1I8ot5K008388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4 -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPIKAFO PNKGM GHZ I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN(>, <+ $ XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:13 2003 X-UIDL: 17442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ENNY9FP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8wKnr031288 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAN2040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8kECw033208 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8kCid008287 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8kCxB008285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180846.h1I8kCxB008285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? $ -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E ORA LOR E WETERNT MOZSMUTH*NAP ON MLAY EN NULN TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TVPLNNO TO U8 ) $(1) -, , 7ITNIWOH DA 3.3, 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWEST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTTGYPXL AANYRNEEJN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CZOMZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN MC TVE N E EOIMA M N VMMPOSID BR OVXHKPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWC S S RGZB E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R I O A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIO N T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:14 2003 X-UIDL: 17447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ERQYAMP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8x4nr031582 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxgK035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8osCw029284 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8opid008370 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8opZX008368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180850.h1I8opZX008368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 /BIOPYPPZVEOE *H T TH *CTOUKCTHH RVTM*VTM*VIOV TM E* NO T VHAN IC AG LHZMNGA A IIS *OZ MO NNDB 207): /32, 490 :- :6:)9,3 7;;-46: ,5,3 :?. 549017- 52$ 1 $- )9, 62. , ,359.9+8 975#50-:8>8: -43-(235 :9-5<9> ; 3+< 28< 9 3( 4 1?5: X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONOMHZ SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHI A OPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN I V LVJ LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EVG RT ILW L I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOCP FWWSTT CEL W ND E RJ (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) .93- 7 0 4 5# ;> 84< ?:::# ) () : 9 ,/#<97)9? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EEEEDJA*WWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:14 2003 X-UIDL: 17448-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ES0YAPP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8x7nr031596 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOA040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050358 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8q8Cw036054 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8q5id008440 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8q4h7008433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180852.h1I8q4h7008433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 55 AXJTWCBXME UZRWLD EA P VA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:15 2003 X-UIDL: 17453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ETBYAWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8xEnr031656 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOS040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:55:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:55:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8t2Cw035370 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:55:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8sxid008510 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8sxk5008508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180854.h1I8sxk5008508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 5 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF OJE Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , 3 3.3 979 : -2<5 504- ,)378 )8$6 - # 49/; , :$4 ,) 4 HB*OSI*SN BR OVC014 TEMPO 0913 2SM -FZDZ BR BKN008 FM1300 25009KT P6SM OVC015 TEMPO 1317 4SM -SHSN BKN009 FM1700 24010KT 6SM OVC025; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:16 2003 X-UIDL: 17455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E25YDKP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:00:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I90onr032337 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:00:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOE040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8rECw014056 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8rBid008473 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8rBoR008469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180853.h1I8rBoR008469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TEROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 #+ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOR EDW EZGS WIG O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , TMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66;;,?/ 504- ,)378 8$6 - # 49/;(, :>?7>)- .?, 45) OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:16 2003 X-UIDL: 17456-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E2KYDUP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:01:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I910nr032368 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:01:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxhG035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050385 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8rECw005304 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8rBid008472 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8rBqY008466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180853.h1I8rBqY008466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 OI-:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MI TEROPICA LA E V IR ORA OR NH BPNBM F QSIWO+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF IDA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGBBCL O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBN RTL OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:16 2003 X-UIDL: 17457-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E2OYDWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:01:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I911nr032371 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:01:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxfK035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050172 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8kvCw012816 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8ksid008319 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8ks2Q008317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180846.h1I8ks2Q008317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 ,* X TZMC KZ EQ X*MP*MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA**VE *IR ORA LOR E WETERN*L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, T V* HTL W B IEEZ PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X *TRO*TT*OG EE EA WVTNE* H *O*OTT*OT EO BWM TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA *T 8 TM*VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF * FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL*V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI *MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. $+0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID B*OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T * ***M**O N*TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T OOTHY* M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:17 2003 X-UIDL: 17458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E34YE1P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:01:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I918nr032396 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:01:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOO040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050398 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8rvCw015192 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8rsid008495 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8rsaD008492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180853.h1I8rsaD008492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBA E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOATH PACIF K OCEA AXQIPY XQOPYPPZVEO2 , - 69 6.(?<)6# 1. WESTERCPVORBH PAR O IC OY GHZ (180 5 53>-3$)-6 3,8,7): .32, 54908:-) :6:5 ,3 7..-4# 0$ <.5 33 24 +9 90. 4-> 9'3 Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIQLAREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829H , 3 3.3 979 : -2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A* H ROXV N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8.- 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:17 2003 X-UIDL: 17459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E3MYE4P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:01:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I91Anr032416 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:01:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxhS035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8rvCw014584 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8rsid008496 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8rsc8008489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180853.h1I8rsc8008489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0; -:.359,:3, 03-4)-4?9 55 -/52:// SUT E G D MIO TE P NA ** E IR ORA **MNHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOU**TW ZREGE COMM*IIPY MQOPYPPZVEOZL OEELLA ZESTERN NBJTVEAEL EL S GLZT(1805 LAY ENINULC* * *MNCJBOYOIICAL CY*TV TL MARH PD * GMT EE * ZO OP* RAF OJE Q SM D* LON * YWM N ETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFII AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O* AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :37 85,829 , 3 3.3 OUO C SAWNBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A*E A UM N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 8859,, WHI D T IRFACE ANALYS S NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR T WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EFTYJ1P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:04:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I947nr033124 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:04:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxiC035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050493 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8uiCw013848 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8ufid008534 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8ufvA008530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180856.h1I8ufvA008530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M IXG EE NBGV E ELGN EE A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H L JTLC995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EFWYJ2P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:04:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I948nr033129 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:04:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOo040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8utCw021314 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8uqid008565 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8uqeK008562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Lllearl Harbo Ott Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180856.h1I8uqeK008562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H LL JTLC995 / SUBJ SIGNIFICA TV ORA W HI DO TPODLPLMT VOITH PACIF K XQOPYP MOZW P TMTH ROCMIK TH QM WESTER NORTH PAC IC RE (180 5 9 Y ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONEVUMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF D O CJTH YWM N NETTMGZI SOUTH ICIFIC AREAKWEST CT V TF S V ETGS WIG O EC MT O NVEL KRLTVVOROICA CYVLONERNX ZHT EMEA THA EAB AW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EHSYJWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:04:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I94cnr033279 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:04:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxiQ035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:57:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8utCw032342 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8uqid008563 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8uqn8008554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180856.h1I8uqn8008554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . AO LLLEARL HARBO OTT H LP JTLC995 / SUBJ SIGNIFICU T O ORA W HI DO MUDLPLMT VOITH PACIF K XQOPYP MOZW P TMTH ROCMIK TH QM WESTER NORTH PAC IC RE (180 5 9 Y ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONEVUMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF D O CJTH YWM N NETTMGZI SOUTH ICIFIC AREAKWEST CT V TF S V ETGS WIG O EC MT O NVEL KRLTV OROPICA CYVLOPE T M T A MDC OO EO M OOT TROLHC WL85749- ITMZLDPNN M LVJ HKQL AN NOCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3. M T LA AUWNBXDPZTPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES N JI LWRF DS L E8 ,:44+ HRN C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTP 19 7 $59 +. 0, 5 F AJII ;4,/ +#5 3.3- 5#- 3-? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:20 2003 X-UIDL: 17470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EHWYJWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:04:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I94dnr033286 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:04:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOs040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:57:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050511 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8utCw027094 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8uqid008564 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8uq3T008557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Lllearl Haroo Ott Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180856.h1I8uq3T008557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . A LLLEARL HAROO OTT H LL JTLC995 / SUBJ SIGNIFICA TV ORA W HI DO TPODLPLMT VOITH PACIFG*K **VOIOPYP MOZW P TMTH ROCMIK TH QM WESTER NORTH PAC IC RE (180 5 9 Y ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONEVUMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF D O CJTH YWM N NETTMGZI SOUT*ICIFIC AREAKWEST CT V TF S V ETGS WIG O EC MT O NVEL KRLTV OROPICA CYVLONE T M T A MDC OO EO M OOT TROLHC WL85749- ITMZLDPNN M LVJ HKQL AN NOCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3. M T LA AUWNBX TIRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES N JI LWRF DS L E8 , 44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEAL**M*HAONCTP 19 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:21 2003 X-UIDL: 17475-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ET5YO0P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I976nr034043 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAPU040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050595 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8xWCw026886 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8xTid008608 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8xTXX008604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180859.h1I8xTXX008604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4)ARBO TTT N NNA X TZMC KZ *EI*MKNDNCTHZL C IILNO T O ICE A EO IR ORAC LOR NE WETERN MOZSOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPIIA TWD Q SD DA LO* YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S M EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRFAEEEAEEA EVLONE SM A MDC OMT CRGZLB. (549/ (, : ?72- , .5).-5$23 88 ))4 4)$9 -3- 3--3--+-0,:44+9 .4 )9 ( : 0 4 -$2:6 4.3-)35 0-9,: 38589, 5.+ 84 .9 ? - +) 33 1+.,9: , 235 4+.-8, 894 - 8+33)..- 4+:3,MICRCZA UOAPEI TIZDD R* ILWE O BANEL NI R N BDTLO BMC BTAWJW S TFACE AN LYSIS NGATE* A BHTA**M*I A *TM*ZLDOT T O*MH I ZCL**M * BBWM D* *V O T **MV V N* RA A S DRTZ*I G BCCK H*O R TH*P * KTN N OLMT TV IN NXHLOULO T LTEA KCWBPCS *M BTC VJU**(: .2I S**AE EE QT OGI R EPM N * **T VO D)0X CQ CQ *CI * DE * GTE 5YE *VVT ILUIYE RYMFRFZFTFTFTFTFTFTFTFTL*ZRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRZ YRYRYRYRYRYRT S*YRYRYRYR CQ CQ CQ * DE * 5YE 5YE YE RYRYRYRYRYC* YRYRYRYRTRYRYRYRYR*RYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRY *RYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRTOCQ CQ * CQ D*V *V 5Y* *V 5YE * MKNYE RYR*V*RYRYRYRYRHR**RYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRY HRYRY*RYRYRYRYRYRYRYYRS YRYR CQ NI * CQ DE 5;;5.;5.; 5YE V*T T*OW*YE RYRXRYRYRYRYRYR*YRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYR CQ CQ CQ* DE * *5YE * *TYE 5YE RYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRY YRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRERYRYRYRYR TBA BA I OA H DBT* 5YE * 5YE 5YE RYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYR*VHRYRYRYRSRYR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:22 2003 X-UIDL: 17477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EU7YO6P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I97Cnr034089 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAPY040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050598 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8xWCw028396 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8xTid008611 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8xTcK008607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180859.h1I8xTcK008607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , ,,- / 5+.: (+# ,9- 4- -? ) : 88),9 5 9 8:3 - 39 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534, .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. 9 :?. TROPIIA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRFAEEEAEEA EVLONE SM A MDC OMT CRGZLB. (549/ (, : ?72- , .5).-5$23 88 ))4 4)$9 -3- 3--3--+-0,:44+9 .4 )9 ( : 0 4 -$2:6 4.3-)35 0-9,: 38589, 5.+ 84 .9 ? - +) 33 1+.,9: , 235 4+.-8, 894 - 8+33)..- 4+:3,9 .8:4:+- 79-038 58+$$ 45 8)23 9 ?-,3) ,8 4 , ?$5)9 ?.: BTAWJW S TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA XI A H CWNT T O H I ZCL N BBWM D P O T M V N Z H F I G BCCK H P L KTN N OLMT TV IN NXHGOULO T LTEA KCWBPCS O VTM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:22 2003 X-UIDL: 17478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EUQYOBP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I97Hnr034117 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxj4035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I91dCw019252 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I91aid008813 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I91aKB008811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 94-: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180901.h1I91aKB008811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 4 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN N HKQL AN CSVCTK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,32 )4 4$+$#+'- , , ,:4 9 MRNNLO A*LN* RDM M V N Z H * E USS R DBLLKL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCSBMZ VOMLBTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OH*IOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:22 2003 X-UIDL: 17479-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EVJYOQP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I97Xnr034174 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQA040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I91dCw032112 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I91aid008807 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I91afE008806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180901.h1I91afE008806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 + . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY E*I *DISORGA I*E MMA RZCENO MICRC AV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O 2 8 +-33)333)) 8:?: L I D OS TFANE ANALYSIS MGATE A BHTA . 7 A A H CWOLTRTI NAL CYCL NE L O D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXXMULO? )53- (:WBPCS OM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ IOHIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:23 2003 X-UIDL: 17480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EWRYP8P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I97onr034244 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxjO035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I92sCw032150 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I92pid008834 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I92pfw008828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180902.h1I92pfw008828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 + . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 53.: , (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 ;4908 - )- 3 84 4-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 66.2NBX T RWP LEEI CDY LWRHWHHROXVKL LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO W C P FR AHTNH RVN IFR VH PAOVCGN GEITION N VIR MO BGX F AGZL ETVWPK N ET RZMAINS DISORGAHH IEE MMA RWCENO MICRC AV UOAPESSIG N EM RT ILWE O 2 8 +-330333)) 8:?: L I D OS TFANE ANALYSIS MGATE A BHTA . 7 A A H CWOLTRTI NAL CYCL NE L O D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXXMULO? )53- (:WBPCS OM BTC VJU (: .I SZJ IOHIOLI R EPM N * Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:23 2003 X-UIDL: 17481-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EXTYPNP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:08:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I985nr034324 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:08:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAPM040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050587 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8xICw010364 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8xFid008594 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8xFAA008593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180859.h1I8xFAA008593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 3-4) -4?9 555 , ,,- / 5+.: (+ 31 /- -? ) : 88),9 5 5 8:3 - 39 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534, .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPIIA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S V EZG*** ISI LLR RLDO AEA EA-3--+-0,:44+9 .4 )9 ( : 0 4 -$2:6 4.3:0,,<#+0-9,: 38589, 5.+ 84 .9 ? - +) 33 1+.,9: , 235 4+.-8, 894 - 8+33)..- 4+:3,9 .8:4:+- 79-038 5 +$$ 4 8)23 9 ?-,3) ,8 4 , ?$5)9 ?.: BTAWJW S TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA XI A H CWNT T O H I ZCL N *T O GOULO T LTEA KCWBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:25 2003 X-UIDL: 17487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E95YTVP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Aanr034980 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxjk035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I94ACw005338 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I948id008872 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I947D2008865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180904.h1I947D2008865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (199999,89 #: 2);85749- 0 ITME*O*****O*O*O***O*O*O*O*O**T WBWAL ELELCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 999999999 :$6 - 5 TGV HLR RDZSDHZJA N N L V NCR ******O*O*O*O*O***O****O UHE O A HUEALET AONCG GEITION N G 9999999-(28,9:$;, ET RZMAINS DIVO G MI MO MN***O***O*O*O*O*O US U DEO RT ILWE O ZVOO I R AIULT BMNOCO D OS V AN******O****O*O*O*O***O****O*O BHTA .7 A A . H N T TRT NAL CYCL NE D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTNV VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EHM N T Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:25 2003 X-UIDL: 17488-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E99YTVP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Acnr034994 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQU040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I942Cw027922 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I93xid008855 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:03:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I93x4d008853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:03:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:03:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180903.h1I93x4d008853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN N HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 639)NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWNH RDM M O Z V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NGHGOULO? ?53- (:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:26 2003 X-UIDL: 17489-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EA5YU6P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Annr035039 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQa040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I94ACw027760 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I947id008871 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I947sV008868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180904.h1I947sV008868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 2$534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (1,89 #: 2);85749- 0 ITM* IWBL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 3+- 33-33 33--) TGV HLR RDZSDHZJA N N L V NCR * UHE O A HUEALET AONCG GEITION N G AKWINOCDVN ET RZMAINS DIVO G MI MO MNI EO RT ILWE O ZVOO I R AIULT BMNOCO D OS V AN* BHTA .7 A A . H CWNT TRT NAL CYCL NE D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTNV VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EHM N T Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17493-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ENWYYTP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:13:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9DZnr035773 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:13:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAR8040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050826 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I97dCw021352 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I97aid008922 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I97ZgJ008918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180907.h1I97ZgJ008918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4))-4?9 555 , , / 5+.: , (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 05 8..+)0,, : ) , $(1) -, : :3( :., $ D TQNK LPZPA N O MRNNLO C P FR AHWCH RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TN VIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+. ,: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCBIC RT PESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIUITNBMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGAOE A P O T GM U A A H CWNT TROI NAL * * TV I NXHGOULO? )58 #IWI SZJ OQTIOGI ***VM K ZCFN S.91-. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17495-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E0KZ2TP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:16:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Fxnr036388 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:16:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQK040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I92sCw014916 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I92pid008835 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I92pwv008831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180902.h1I92pwv008831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN N HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 639)NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR * * **VRDM M V N Z H F I O BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NGHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS *VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:28 2003 X-UIDL: 17496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E19Z32P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:16:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9G9nr036427 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:16:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAR6040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I97dCw035430 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I97Zid008921 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I97ZjO008915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180907.h1I97ZjO008915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , , / 5+.: , (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 05 8..+)0,, : ) , $(1) -, : :3( :., $ D TQNK LPZPA NEWR SRHLV TM T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWCH RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TN VIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+. ,: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCBIC RT PESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIUITNBMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGAOE A P O T GM U A A H CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F OTT OCRNSH * T T C OLMT TV *EE EE E*GOULO? )53- (: 99999597 (: .2I S*R **VOQT TTI R ZPM *M **O*O***O****O*O*O*OV K ZCFN S.91 BX*****O*O***O***O*O*O*OAM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:28 2003 X-UIDL: 17497-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EARZ6GP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:18:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9IBnr036986 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:18:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DARK040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I99LCw015712 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I99Iid008941 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I99IKC008939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180909.h1I99IKC008939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , , / 5+.: , (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 05 8..+)0,, : ) , $(1) -, : :3( :., $ D TQNK LPZPA NEWR SRHLV TM T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWCH RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TN VIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+. ,: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCBIC RT PESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIUITNBMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGAOE A P O T GM U A A H CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F I G BCRCSH UL C OLMT NITV NXHGMULO? )53- (: 7 (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R ZPM*N K ZCFN S.91 BX*AV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:30 2003 X-UIDL: 17504-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ELAZ9MP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9K4nr037614 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxkA035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I96ECw020010 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I96Bid008903 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I96BGU008901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180906.h1I96BGU008901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 ; (< .,QH KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL M*NIO HC WLV85749- 0 /) -, :;:3( 85,853 #,7 ; 33 33-33< 33 -)7)5<; #)4 4$+$#+'- , , ) ; UHE O A HUEALET AONCG GEITION*EKWINOCDVN ET RZMAINS DIVO G MI EO RT ILWE O ZVOO I R AIULT BMNOCO D OS SF GBHTA .7 A A . H CWNT TRT NEL CYCL NE D L N CM V N E KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTNV VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EHM N T Z ** TTTTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:31 2003 X-UIDL: 17505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ENDZA0P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9KInr037743 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxkM035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050931 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9DfCw027294 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Ddid008971 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9DdGF008969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180913.h1I9DdGF008969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZON* KZ EQ XA UB I ICAN TROPICA LA E M ORA LOR VIETERNTL MOZSVU PENIF J OCEA GBQ TM V BP OHI T MP TMTH RMKS/5 QM WE EDN NORTD PAN IC AR KQIP ON MLAY EN NULN TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q D** R CI KAEEDWEEUEWA MOXM LI S RTZT FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE HXR N*O N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAO NL GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJE NH V N**1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTOGYPXL AANYRNEEJN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTT KMI ZT M MT45..) 8 9848'(2 - -68 53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T *VEHNPXUCXFBBZ EEEAEWWARI AE L E N V T V M A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL N ENT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV T T TM V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEA HLOALO9 )53- ( :WBPQS V ;9 (5 ?-92+WO - :2/T A OQTIOGI T VA EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO ZH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:32 2003 X-UIDL: 17506-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EO2ZA5P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9KNnr037776 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxkm035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9GKCw013200 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9GHid009017 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9GHA6009015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180916.h1I9GHA6009015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -6KDLZETOCCEN PEARL ARBO TTT N X ***OTSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. W*SEE LVQIP T ON LAY ENINULC * XEWN TROPIC IFRMKFAOP B A C NONEM CBM TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUMIQACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R OC II X HRMSOROPRCAN CYVLONE SM ET OD OO EO B 49)#: 2);<85749-9, 85)? .$ 8.,?82 );' #(1) -, :;;-7 85,829# , $- 3.3 0: 4+-2N*G N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIV MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+.,9: , ET MYCK D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM *TLYI N ATD * XNU MCKXC ECUPPZLAIR WZEI T V FR U JJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND MRQMGZQ*G V VS E F RJVH OMZPA VOC/, , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR TXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F WRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM 75 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:32 2003 X-UIDL: 17507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EQ9ZATP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Klnr037968 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxkY035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9DsCw027298 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Dpid008986 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9DptU008979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180913.h1I9DptU008979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E ORA LOR E WETERNT MOZSMUTH NAP ON MLAY EN NULN TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWMNQM PNETOMGZI SOITH PACIFIQ AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TVPLNNO TO U8 ) (1) -, , 7ITNIWOH DA 3.3, 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWEST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTTGYPXLLAANY N**JN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT4.;.) 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WOEI EMEA T MJ $81.>2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CZ MZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN MC * TVE MN E EOIMA M N MMPOSID BR*OVXHKPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWC S S RGZB E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R I O A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL NP *NT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHR * ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L LLN KL C VUT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON OM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OTIO N T LW EDEEDJAEW LI ZZZXMO NN N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:33 2003 X-UIDL: 17508-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EQHZAWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Konr037980 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DARu040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9DsCw005348 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Dpid008987 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9DpCQ008984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180913.h1I9DpCQ008984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E ORA LOR E WETERNT MOZSMUTH NAP ON MLAY EN NULN TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWMNQM PNETOMGZI SOITH PACIFIQ AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TVPLNNO TO U8 ) (1) -, , 7ITNIWOH DA 3.3, 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWEST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTTGYPXLLAANY N**JN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT4.;.) 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WOEI EMEA T MJ $81.>2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CZ MZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN MC * TVE MN E EOIMA M N MMPOSID BR*OVXHKPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWC S S RGZB E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R I O A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL NP *NT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE IM D M BJWD QTHMYYVH T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L LL KL C VUT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON OM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OTIO N T LW EDEEDJAEW LI ZZZXMO NN N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:33 2003 X-UIDL: 17511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E92ZENP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:23:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9N5nr039246 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:23:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAS4040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9GTCw042890 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9GQid009040 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9GQYx009038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180916.h1I9GQYx009038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF K MCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD R Q DA LON YWM N N OMYCJ D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-) 2 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMQE F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0,> ( 4 39 -, , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O UUMBWVVLQG B.53,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - :2,5 5498 9 :6:) ,3 )8. . ?2 15$.66 $( 5 +(9( 84 ?:::$ )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:34 2003 X-UIDL: 17512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EA3ZEUP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:23:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9NCnr039313 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:23:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASA040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051005 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9HdCw024826 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Hbid009055 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9HbhH009053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180917.h1I9HbhH009053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF K MCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD R Q DA LON YWM N N OMYCJ D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-) 2 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMQE F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(.#+0 05.(7 0,( ( 4 39 -, , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O UUMBWVVLQG B.53,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - :2,5 5498 9 :6:) ,3 )8. . ?2 15$.66 $( 5 +(9( 84 ?:::$ )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:34 2003 X-UIDL: 17513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EH9ZGCP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:24:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9O6nr039777 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:24:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxks035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9GTCw013960 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9GQid009030 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9GQb9009028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180916.h1I9GQb9009028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF** QM WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPINAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD R Q DA LON YWM N N OMYCJ D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HM GNI EMEA T MJJ DIQMQE F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNP**E EE EEE AEELA I N CO TO BE N AR I O UUMBWVVLQG B.53,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - :2,5 5498 9 :6:<. ,3 ) . . ?2 15$.66 $( 5 +(9( 84 ?:::$ )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIBVAJ T VW EDEEDJAEWWGP ZZWXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:34 2003 X-UIDL: 17515-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EWLZJAP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:25:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Pqnr040859 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:25:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxla035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9JCCw035968 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9J9id009094 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9J998009092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180919.h1I9J998009092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . /)+ KCPDGZGPV -:.+::3-+ -0,8)-4?9 55 NN WAMOI XHO SUBJ * *V .89 534908:- )- 3 84 94- 9< 0 7 3 4,5$)0/ 9+SOUTH PAC LLLGC*AFGXQIPY TQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMOH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORT*S M O NUH*NEN LKWIP T O LAY ENINULC M*QT TRO IRA CYKL E UMMARYCW ONE. ) ,5, TROPICA TWD Q SF L A LON YWM N NETOMGZI EOUOH PACIS N AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EI W*IN ON ATTC X M OROPICA SVLONE EMN A MDC OO EO B. TRO*HR *G A OE N ATMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :?( 85,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI RID M AO COXVK PNFBUSLA MBN RTT OTVCO GOECEBM PPER UIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:35 2003 X-UIDL: 17518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EXUZJIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Q0nr040934 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxls035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051078 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9JnCw010394 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Jkid009122 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9JkJP009118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180919.h1I9JkJP009118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV NLL*DO LBZZETONCEN PEA L -454 8)5 E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 98 IT E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSNUT NAICI**S Z T MD P DZW GP TLXQTPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ , , : ,.#?+ .( $2) ,+++ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:36 2003 X-UIDL: 17520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EY3ZJJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Q1nr040958 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASY040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051075 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9JoCw015776 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Jmid009136 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9JmOg009134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180919.h1I9JmOg009134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? $ -:.399::3 03-4) -4?9 595 48 5. <56$- 27: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:+,9 54908:- )- 3 GRA LOR E WETERNTL MOZS IT L+:8> ( 9:3-,/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/5 5 1. 23 3$, ,945$ 0-, 8: -43 2(180 9, .)-6 3, ,7), TM M EDOYO N M - NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TVPLNNO TO U8 ) $(1) -, , 7ITNIWOH DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN NFBU U N MOXMYTHWEST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTOGYPXL AANYRNEEJN AV UOAPESSIG *HRC T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CZOMZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN MC TVE N E EOIMA M N VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R I O A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TO (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/*A ITIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:37 2003 X-UIDL: 17523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EYTZJPP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Q7nr041007 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASI040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9JDCw027970 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9JAid009104 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9JAiL009102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180919.h1I9JAiL009102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 (?0:<#+ 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555, ?#9 / 5+.: 7+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) #9+.979# 0-(8> - 3.5-,(-)1--3 3- -$)33- Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EYXZJPP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Q7nr041012 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxlm035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9JnCw032562 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Jkid009121 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9JkY2009115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180919.h1I9JkY2009115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 5T N X TZMC KZ EQ X MP MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, T V HTL W B IEEZ P*WN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON *YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COAST OF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC * X TRO TT OG EE EA WVTNE H O OTT OT EO BWM TROPHC WLVGITSROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - 3 398.- , VMMXJWRGHZBW OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAE* ARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQPIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZAXMO N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:39 2003 X-UIDL: 17532-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ED3ZMWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9S3nr042060 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASs040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LCCw026432 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9LAid009181 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9L9El009167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9L9El009167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3 0+-4) -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOU*H A *F OCEAN/1 07 + $ XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:39 2003 X-UIDL: 17533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EDLZMZP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9S5nr042082 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxmW035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LICw013224 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9LFid009225 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9LFlI009223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: <+ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9LFlI009223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 <+ .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , X TZMC KZ EQ X MP MM I N IVMM TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN T MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 43 (180 5 9, T V HTL W B IEEZ A PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIKPAREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EA WVTNE H MOTT OT EO BWM TROLHC * REHH MNBIW LVJ HKQL AK CDVAU ITNIWMH HC DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA ZN MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM ;.84 .9 ?);'+8>#,> FE 1+. 9: , ET XYQK DMMOGHZ VNL V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM VATEI MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AI**VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - 3 398.- ;5#,0/7:/>68:0 333 -3 ) 3 , 5 M O N TO BVBH AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A ** TLM BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F R IRG BCCCSH L K OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOU*T ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 17536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EEBZN5P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9SBnr042138 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxmK035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LFCw031016 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9LCid009200 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9LBKA009194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9LBKA009194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3:#0+- -4?9 55 AXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 0 + XQOPYPVO OZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 17537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EENZN7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9SDnr042153 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxm6035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LCCw013210 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9L9id009169 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9L8EC009156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9L8EC009156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 5;5 , X TZMC KZ EQ X MP MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, T V HTL W B IEEZ P*WN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON *YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COAST OF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC * X TRO TT OG EE EA WVTNE H O OTT OT EO BWM TROPHC WLVGITSROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMMID BW OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWIARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQPIOGIV T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZAXMO N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:41 2003 X-UIDL: 17538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EEQZN7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9SDnr042156 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxma035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LFCw019788 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9LCid009201 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9LBbn009197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9LBbn009197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , X TZMC KZ EQ X MP MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE BKQIP T ON F* **VM HTL W**MN IEEZ PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ;.,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO TT OG EE EA WVTNE H O OTT OT EO BWM TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53) -, /,7 .:(/: 3:7,03 84 (2+38 MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMVPOSID B OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:41 2003 X-UIDL: 17539-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EEUZN7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9SDnr042160 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxmC035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LCCw020520 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9L8id009168 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9L8SH009157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9L8SH009157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4-+9 555 9 9) / 9 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,+ 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (1709 8+6# 355.56, - #: 2);85749- 0 ITM*T*L*TXID M DOC W5<5(: QXWUGIZWDLCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 .,.?M* GSJCT HDEGVE S HJN CDY A T TGV TCSJ YIU*.8,'<+0 , ) ; , ,:4 #)-3 TO*Y * TD R JVW UHE O I* PSEWLETB FE NMG N H *TRNHS N G B IEEGC*IP*DZY L TAVZMEKWICOCDVN ET RZMAINSHDIVM OLZJ MIG MO M*MD *N MO GD L*PJZUPGWD EO ;45 8)23 9 ZVOO I R AIULT BMNOCO T TUNT H*HSJG*M IEDAEDALV ANA*LIVX PGLEBTK PHWUILE L T BHTA .7 A A . H CWNT TRT NAL CYCL NE D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH I V* I OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )5 - (:WBPCS VOM BTNV VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EHM NT T Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:42 2003 X-UIDL: 17542-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EFFZN9P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9SFnr042183 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASw040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051122 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LCCw031596 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9L9id009175 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9L8PY009160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9L8PY009160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTHO**MPALA CEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN QC URZ (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM E MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHW* RIRI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO N Y LO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+.,9: ,,8 ET G MYCK D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 84 -:$ ),-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:FI ECUE DD RSEF EEDULC EDJ EA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CEL*V PVSR E F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. $+0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUNGNBC *E***ZW T OAW* L E * C T TO I N CO TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNO TRO VMCNYIL D CE LNRHB T OJZONFINHEYSENN YRR*N EHSIA ARG XC M V L RH I JL*I **LHT* TV BI*M T NMOHYZ D C EPO *LJDAAEE EEAEE ZHG ULHLLT*J IIN DGH DWWZ C HT*E*E*MR JCT BAOWZ9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO NN*F +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:42 2003 X-UIDL: 17544-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EIGZOEP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Sunr042448 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATq040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PlCw022290 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Piid009371 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PhPl009364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PhPl009364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:43 2003 X-UIDL: 17545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EJ1ZOIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9T1nr042476 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAT4040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LGCw013220 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9LDid009215 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9LDsq009213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9LDsq009213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 + . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITN*AOT N DA 3.3 0- ,324 66.2NBX T RWP LEEI CDY LWRH HHROXVKLI LR RDZSDPC E N N ,:4 9 #-4,,)9 : 5 #S O AHTNH RVZAL MVH *J VCGOI * GEITION 8;.LP MO BGR F AGZLR ETP70( , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IEE MMA RZCENO MICRC AV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BWS I ZAEELEEELL ICBC L I D OS TFANE ANALYSIS MGATE A BHTA . 7 A*UTHEKN PH CWOLTRTI NAL CYVLN ;,3 ) 9 $P N N M V N Z T F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXXMULO? ) T*CCSLOL E* OM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ IOHIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:43 2003 X-UIDL: 17546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EJNZOQP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9T8nr042524 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATE040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LiCw020546 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Lfid009239 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9LfOZ009237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9LfOZ009237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 989+55 T S FRH EETOCCEN PEA RBO TT X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH PACIF K ON AN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN TTPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:43 2003 X-UIDL: 17547-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EKLZOYP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9TFnr042578 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxmq035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:23:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:23:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9MxCw043170 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:22:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Muid009264 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:22:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9MuDh009262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:22:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:22:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180922.h1I9MuDh009262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , X TZMC KZ EQ X MP ;.. 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 $ 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE BKQIP T ON F* *VO HTL W T IEEZ PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ;.,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO TT OG EE EA WVTNE H O OTT OT EO BWM TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53) -, /,7 .:(/: 3:7,83 84 (2+38 MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNBV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMVPOSID B OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO N N * +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:44 2003 X-UIDL: 17551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EN1ZPMP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Tfnr042798 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxn4035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9OBCw003584 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9O8id009286 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9O8xw009283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180924.h1I9O8xw009283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 989+55 T S FRH EETTNCEN PEA RBO TT MW X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N IC O TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH PACIF K ON AN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. W DB XPLNORTH PAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN TROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:45 2003 X-UIDL: 17554-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ENIZPXP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Tonr042964 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATS040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051215 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9OMCw003596 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9OJid009307 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9OJHd009299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180924.h1I9OJHd009299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , X TZMC KZ EQ X MP MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, * V HTL W B IEEZ PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWF Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGTF EO TV EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO TT OG EE EA WVT Z NNT *N*FKGAUOV M OO EOTPH BWM TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM VIR MO LGLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O TTOOYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV U APESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(9 AZP PZMKU PN K R EO A N E EOIMA N KR*MFOSID B OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N * AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NA LNF RBJNH JWTD UGHMYYVHK T ZKOK F *** ILMBLR AABWAEB I PD C OLMT TV O T OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TT (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T E OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP *ZWOMOTZ EW EAAEW EEAEDAEDAEEAEEDAEEEWPI NM W >>:MSV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:45 2003 X-UIDL: 17555-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EO2ZQ2P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Tunr043008 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATQ040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051211 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9OBCw033868 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9O8id009287 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9O8xr009282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180924.h1I9O8xr009282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 55 3 .8,? # 0 ; -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+9, 7+ -31 /- 7? 8, 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 > 4-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 /BWOPYPPZVEOE W H T THH CTOUKCTHH RVTM V*O VIOV TM Z NO T VHAN IR*EG LHZMNGA A IIS I OZ MO NNDB 207): /32, 490 :- :6:)9,3 7 -46 ,5,3 0:?. 549017- 52 1 - )9, 62. , ,359.9+8 975$50-:8 8: -43-(235 :9-5 9 3+ 28 9 3( 4 1?5: X O OROPRCAN*O TCYVL*NOMHZ ST A MDC M 39 ?; TROLHI IPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN I V LVK LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RQ LQHNIISF SARILH K JPRLPUFR RIG RT ILW L I D MLIRFACE ANALYSIS R N UPPER AIR WZ E' 3 9 -+)3 975>)9:0 >2255 :3) 2 ,$ 3 4' (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) .93- 7 0 4 5$ 84 ?:::$ ) () : 9 ,/$ 97)9? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EEEEDJA WWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 17562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EU6ZRIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Unnr043377 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATs040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PlCw034680 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Piid009372 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PhDw009361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PhDw009361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4 -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPIKAFO PNKGM GHZ I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K*OCEAN( , + XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:48 2003 X-UIDL: 17564-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EY4ZT5P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:31:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Vlnr043703 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:31:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAU8040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:26:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051329 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PoCw034684 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Plid009415 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Plmm009410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9Plmm009410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:48 2003 X-UIDL: 17565-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EY7ZT6P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:31:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Vmnr043709 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:31:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAUC040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:26:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PoCw016326 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Plid009414 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PlYs009406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PlYs009406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DA W)+359,:3, 03-4) .-4?9 555 T AXJTWC// , SUT VTMTV CANT TROPICA LA E I TOT VT VMTLP N TPTDLPGMOZSOUT PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + XQOPZPICKVNK LMT KNOL MKS/54 1. WESTTEEL DJLPVVVVVVVVVV E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:48 2003 X-UIDL: 17566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E09ZU5P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9WNnr043901 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxnI035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9ONCw009512 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9OKid009313 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9OJli009308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180924.h1I9OJli009308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , X TZMVXH KZ EQ X MP MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ OIP TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (18 5 9, T V HTL*W B IEEZ PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKN DMLQOASTGO?$<;+;9 3+< 289 9 3( 4 -55: / TRO TT OG EE EA WVTNE H O OTT OT EO WSBWM TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU**I PTM VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O*APESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - .,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VTC/(. +0 05.(7 0, VMMPOSID B OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM DL M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T POOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 - +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:49 2003 X-UIDL: 17567-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E0KZU9P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9WRnr043929 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxnG035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9ONCw012848 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9OJid009311 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9OJC8009304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180924.h1I9OJC8009304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03- 4?9 55 X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA N E IQBN ORAC LOR NE WBTERNTL MOZEOUOH PACIF K ONEAN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH HAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN TROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:49 2003 X-UIDL: 17568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E0ZZUFP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9WXnr043977 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATm040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PTCw027794 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9PQid009350 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PQSw009348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 35 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PQSw009348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 35 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 55.: 7+ .,$5> 07' ) )$33 4508:- ) E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH IARIN K OCEAN/1806 4 / 190600+ 39+2 0 5 5$ 4.( )/94 , +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:50 2003 X-UIDL: 17569-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E15ZUGP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9WYnr043994 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATk040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051276 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PRCw012920 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9PPid009339 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PPoB009337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PPoB009337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 989+55 T S FRH EETOCCEN PEA RBO TT X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH PACIF K ON AN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN *PICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:50 2003 X-UIDL: 17570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E1CZUKP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Wdnr044012 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxo6035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:26:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051311 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PnCw034682 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Pkid009392 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PkmH009390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PkmH009390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3,+545 -4?9 55 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPIKAFO PNKGM GHZ I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN( , + XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 , 1. WE TER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:50 2003 X-UIDL: 17571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E2AZUYP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Wjnr044048 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:32:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxoG035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:26:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051317 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PoCw015012 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Plid009402 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PkeE009396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PkeE009396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DA W)+359,:3, 03-4) .-4?9 555 5 , T * AXJTWC// , SUT VTMTVN N*H CWFT ORTPICA LA E I TOTW VT VNTLP N T*DLPGMOZSOUT PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + GN T OPOH PTZMOZ MT KNOL MKS/54 1. WESTTE*PTDLV ZH I* DJLPVVVVVVVVVV E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 17581-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EC7ZZ4P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ZMnr044774 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAWQ040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SACw028572 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9S7id009458 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9S7YQ009456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9S7YQ009456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4 -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPIKAFO PNKGM GHZ I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K*OCEAN( , + XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER * +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 17582-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ECGZZ7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ZPnr044798 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAWU040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051764 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SACw043502 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9S7id009460 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9S74w009453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9S74w009453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 /BIOPYPPZVEOE H T TH CTOUKCTHH RVTM VTM VIOV TM E NO T VHAN IC AG LHZMNGA A IIS N OZ MO NNDB 207): /32, 490 :- :6:)9,3 7 -46: ,5,3 :?. 549017- 52 1 - )9, 62. , ,359.9+8 3.3 94-+)3 975>)9:0 >2255 :3) 2 ,$ 3 4' (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) .93- 7 0 4 5$ 84 ?:::$ ) () : 9 ,/$ 97)9? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EEEEDJA WWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 17583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ECJZZ7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ZPnr044796 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAWM040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9S0Cw040094 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Rwid009442 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:27:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9RwPW009440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:27:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:27:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180927.h1I9RwPW009440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 $ 4 / 190600+ 39+2 0 5 5$ 4.( /94 , 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IR AVH GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULCH V L XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NTNE CBM TROPWUA MPFKGHUEDJFAABWAN YWM N NETOMOZI SOUTHTPACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIGCO EC *R* QBTC X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONOMHZ SM A MDCLOO EO B. TROLHI A OPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN I V LVJ LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EVG RT ILW L I D OSIREAVD AF TH IS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOCP FWWSTT CEL W ND E RJ (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 55 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - F IRG BCCCSH L KL C O NXHGOULO? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 17584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ECVZZAP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ZSnr044813 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAWe040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SGCw043514 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9SDid009474 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9SDxq009472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9SDxq009472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D L)+359,:3, 03- ) -4?9 55 E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 ,+ 98 IT E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM* OVE WESMOF USF CIUAZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMES/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 17586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EDYZZWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Zpnr044969 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxnw035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PlCw016320 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Piid009374 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Phou009370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9Phou009370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 $ 4 / 190600+ 39+2 0 5 5$ 4.( /94 , 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IR AVH GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULCH V L XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NTNE CBM TROPWUA MPFKGHAEDJFAADWAN YWM N NETOMOZI SOUTHTPACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIVNO EC *R* QBTC X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONOMHZ SM A MDCLOO EO B. TROLHI A OPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN I V LVJ LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EVG RT ILW L I D OSIRFAVD F TH IS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOCP FWWSTT CEL W ND E RJ (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 55 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - F IRG BCCCSH L KL C O NXHGOULO? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:55 2003 X-UIDL: 17587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EF1003P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:36:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Zvnr045033 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxtE035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9VDCw029172 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9VAid009621 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9VAsP009619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180931.h1I9VAsP009619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,. 0 OI-:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:56 2003 X-UIDL: 17592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EKP027P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bEnr045408 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAXK040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9TiCw005168 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Tgid009534 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Tf10009531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180929.h1I9Tf10009531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 55 AXJTWCBXME UZRWLD EA P VA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P T QT RMSS/ 7. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00ELN02FP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bMnr045475 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxtS035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052050 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9VECw021454 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9VCid009637 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9VBpl009634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180931.h1I9VBpl009634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359:43, 03-;2 -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TEROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL79+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 $+ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULR XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE* MMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI TITH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOR EDW EZGS WIG O EK R O ATTC X MVOROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- NGHZN TMZLDPNN M LMJT IH*) -, : 13(29,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66 ,?/ 94- ,)378 86 92 >4#>$>((? -33)-0$?? >4,?, 5) OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17595-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00ELR02GP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bMnr045485 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxui035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9WpCw014768 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Wmid009694 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9WmQO009692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180932.h1I9WmQO009692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 OI-:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17596-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EM202KP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bQnr045507 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxuY035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9WfCw033908 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Wcid009683 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Wcec009681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180932.h1I9Wcec009681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359,:3, 0331) 4?9 55 4 )045 -/52:// SUT E G D MIO TE P T NA E L IR ORA MNHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUP TW ZREGE OMM IIPY MQOPYPPZVEOZL OEELLA ZESTERN NBJTVEAEL EL S GLZT(1805 LAY ENINULC MNCJBOYOIICAL CY TV TL MARH PD GMT EE ZO OP RAF OJE Q SM D LON YWM N ETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFII AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE OANNO ODK OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :37 85,829 , 3 3.3 OUO C SAWNBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A E A UM N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR TG*N N L S REMTOMLL GPUVS REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 8859,, WHI D T IRFACE ANALYS S NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR T WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17597-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EMF02NP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bTnr045533 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxtQ035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9VECw014010 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9VBid009636 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9VBps009631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180931.h1I9VBps009631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 OI-:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 , -/9// SUBJ E G D MI TEROPICA LA E V IR ORA OR NH BPNBM F QSIWO+SOUTH PACIF K*OCEAN/1016 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTY RMKS/5 .MARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF IDA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZ TBCL O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 53 , ITMZLDPNN C N LMJ* IH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBN RTL OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:58 2003 X-UIDL: 17598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EMJ02OP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bUnr045545 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxuC035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9WKCw021494 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9WHid009668 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9WG7F009657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180932.h1I9WG7F009657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359:43, 03-;2 -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TEROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL79+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 $+ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULR XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE* OMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI TITH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOR EDW EZGS WIG O EK R O SATTC X *OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- NGHZN TMZLDPNN M LMJT IH*) -, : 13(29,829 , - 3.3 + ,324 66 ,?/ 96- ,)378 86 92 >4#4?69/ 7, : +$?? >4,?, )5) OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:58 2003 X-UIDL: 17599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EMU02QP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bWnr045558 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxu6035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9WKCw014764 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9WHid009669 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9WGJm009661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180932.h1I9WGJm009661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359:13, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TEROPICA LA E IR ORA ORPNHE WESTERNTDL OZSOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 , - XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 $+ 1. WESTERN T TH EDW EZGS WIG O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , TMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66 ,?/ 504- ,)378 86 - $ 49/ (, : ?7 )- .?, 45) OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:58 2003 X-UIDL: 17600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EN002RP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bXnr045568 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxtu035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9WJCw026060 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9WGid009653 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9WGS7009651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180932.h1I9WGS7009651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 OI-:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52://, 9 SUBJ E G D MI TEROPICA L ON E V IR ORA OR NH BPNBM F QSIWO+SOUTH PAKIF K B 7(-)--32 33-33/190600+;39+2. 0 5.5# 4.(/9 9 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF IDA LON O YWM NETMVGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGBBCL O EK R O ATTC X M ORMPICA IXLONE SMN EN A MDC OO EO B. TR LHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJ L * ) 8, , 83( 85,82 9)83 3 ,324 66.2NBM TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBN RTL OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:59 2003 X-UIDL: 17601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EN202RP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bWnr045555 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxsm035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051990 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9TlCw030660 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Tiid009565 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Th3r009556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180929.h1I9Th3r009556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180200 ; XGZOA O NLHV P D L)+359,:3, 03- 4?9 55 E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 ,+ 98 IT E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:59 2003 X-UIDL: 17602-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EO7031P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bhnr045632 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAWk040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SQCw006358 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9SNid009503 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9SMsp009492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9SMsp009492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DA W)+359,:3, 03-4) .-4?9 555 T AXJTWC// , SUT VTMTV CANT TROPICA LA E I TOT VT VMTLP N TPTDLPGMOZSOUT PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + XQOPZPNNMNU MT KNOL MKS/54 1. WESTTEEL DJLPVVVVVVVVVV E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:59 2003 X-UIDL: 17603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EO9031P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bhnr045639 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAWo040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SPCw032590 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9SMid009494 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9SMe7009487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9SMe7009487@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 55 AXJTWCBXVE UZRWLD EA P VA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:59 2003 X-UIDL: 17604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EOD032P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9binr045652 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxsC035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9TlCw018028 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Tiid009559 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Thap009552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180929.h1I9Thap009552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D )+359,:3, 03- ) W T M VM MV V AEGAXJTWC/9 --+ <85 3 5 45## 7+42)$ 3- 8 :- $ 33)2 5 .. 3 7 45. 9;3 23534,5 5)<#9+975# 0-8> ( 9,3-,/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL O MMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17605-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EOJ033P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bjnr045660 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxrG035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051798 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SQCw021016 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9SNid009495 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9SMO5009484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9SMO5009484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D L)+359,:3, 03- ) -4?9 55 E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 ,+ 98 IT E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTML OVE WESM F USS CIUAZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMES/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17606-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EP4038P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bonr045700 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxsU035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9TiCw010562 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Tgid009535 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9TfqE009527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180929.h1I9TfqE009527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D )+359,:3, 03- ) W T M VM MV V AEGAXJTWC/9 3-+- * E T RTHH UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL O MMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17612-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EZ107HP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:40:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9eOnr046383 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:40:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxsY035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051979 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9TlCw016856 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Thid009558 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9ThSH009550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180929.h1I9ThSH009550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D )+359,:3, 03- ) W T M VM MV V AEGAXJTWC/9 --+-8 IT E T RTHH UZRWLD EA I CA64$ 33)2 5 .. 3 7 45. 9;3 23534,5 5)<#9+975# 0-8> ( 9,3-,/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL 9 MMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17613-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00E0P086P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:40:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9emnr046505 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:40:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAXa040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052189 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9Y7Cw012966 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Y4id009738 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Y4Nd009736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180934.h1I9Y4Nd009736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03- >4 , ) ,)-6 3,8,7): # C TROPICAL CYCT NE UMMARD P .5 33 24 +9 90. 4- 93 Q SM DA LON YWM N N**MGZI SOUT 0-:8>81)-43-(235 :9-5<9> ; 3+< 28< 9 3( 4 9 -# , / . 94908:- :6;)9,3 ., - .$: 99 39 ?. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829H , 3 3.3 979 : -2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A H ROXV N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8.- 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00E0U088P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:40:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9eonr046517 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:40:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxuq035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9Y0Cw012954 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Xvid009717 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Xv3i009715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180933.h1I9Xv3i009715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03- >4 , )#,)-6 3,8,7): # U TROPICAL CYCT NE UMMARD P .5 33 24 +9 90. 4- 93 Q SM DA LON YWM N N*TMGZI SOUT 0-:8>81)-43-(235 :9-5<9> ; 3+< 28< 9 3( 4 9 -# , / . 94908:- :6;)9,3 ., - .$: 99 39 ?. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829H , 3 3.3 979 : -2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A H ROXV N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8.- 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17615-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00E1908BP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:40:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ernr046538 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:40:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAXS040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052177 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9Y3Cw016434 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Xxid009727 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Xx5R009725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180933.h1I9Xx5R009725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBA E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WES*RNTDLP.9+SOATH PACIF K OCEA AXQIPY XQOPYPPZVEO2 , - 69 6.(? )6$ 1. WESTE CPVORBH PAR O IC*Y GHZ (180 5 53 -3)-6 3,8,7): .32, 54908:-) :6:5 ,3 7..-4$ 0 .5 33 24, 29, 90. 43 93 Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIQLAREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK *R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829H , 3 3.3 979 : -2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A H ROXV N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVZITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8.- 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS* NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:04 2003 X-UIDL: 17622-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EE50DSP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9iAnr047421 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xx00035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:39:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9cnCw016230 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9ckid009856 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9ckvO009848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9ckvO009848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M XG EE NBGV I E SLGN EE A LLLEARL HARCVLMTT H *V * *V ATLC995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:04 2003 X-UIDL: 17623-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EEF0DUP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9iCnr047429 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxwi035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9aRCw011494 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9aOid009770 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9aODA009768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180936.h1I9aODA009768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 5 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF ODALA DA LON YIKD## ,359.<+8 975# 8-8 >8: -4>,$35 :9-5<9> ; 3+< 28< 9 3( 4 9 )-# , / . 94908:- :6;)9,3 ., - .$: 99 39 ?. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3I*NIU N E EME *OUO C AW T *TPYA NLEUI LI69#?,>4#>$< , #8(4 ,) ' TZ /98SN LI TVQ16+04 ;0)S*EMPO 0913 +.. '>;9 9>50 , ,8)FM1300 29009QT PQIJYI015 ) 8?)94. 1317 4FM >#, ?(,0099 0)+)5 FM1700 2401KH 6SM OVC025 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EER0E0P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9iInr047460 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAYE040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9bvCw039166 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:37:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9bsid009788 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:37:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9bsD0009785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:37:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:37:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180937.h1I9bsD0009785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBA E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP99+SOATH PACIF K OCEA AXQIPY XQOPYPPZVEO2 , - 69 6.(? )6$ 1. WESTERC LON YWM N N*T SMUTH PACIFIQLAREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC*OZ AEAGITMZLDPNN CH LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829H , 3 3.3 979 : -2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A H ROXV N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIAI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO EELMMA RECEVT MICROWA E IMA E **VECLEL NI IILTONN WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI *M A THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EEY0E2P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9iKnr047471 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xx02035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:39:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9cnCw043660 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9ckid009858 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9ckT3009854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9ckT3009854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M IXG EE NBGV I E SLGN EE A LLLEIRL HARCVLMTT H *T*M*OSMELC995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EFC0E5P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9iNnr047488 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxxc035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9cfCw029532 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9cdid009836 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9cdqN009834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9cdqN009834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 5 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF ODALA DA LON YUKDLHH NETOMGZI SOUTH IAI FIC ARFNDEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O LAH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3I*NIU N E EME *OUO C AW T *TPYA NLEUI LI69#?,>4#>$< , #8(4 ,) ' TZ /9>8SN LI TVQ16+04 ;0)S*EMPO 0913 +.. '>9 9>50 , ,8)FM1300 29009QT PQUNUI015 ) 8?)94. 1317 4FM >#, ?(,0099 0)+)5 FM1700 2401KH 6SM OVC025 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:06 2003 X-UIDL: 17628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EFG0E6P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9iOnr047495 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAYA040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9aLCw026338 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9aIid009760 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9aIPN009758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180936.h1I9aIPN009758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 5 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPUIAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF OJE Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC A NRBWH UIEASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 9 5 8 ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH U C CEK TNIWO N E EME OUO C AW T TPRA NLEUI L*6 - $ 49/ , :4 ,) -/.#3 1 5) OSI SN BR OVC014 TEMPO 0913 2SM -FZDZ BR BKN008 FM1300 25009KT P6SM OVC015 TEMPO 1317 4SM -SHSN BKN805 FM1700 24010KT 6SM OVC025 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:07 2003 X-UIDL: 17632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EP50IXP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:47:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9lGnr048115 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:47:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxxS035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052493 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9cXCw016216 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9cUid009820 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9cUdo009815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9cUdo009815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M IXG EE NBHV E ELGN EE A LLLEARL HARBM OTT H LR JHLC995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:07 2003 X-UIDL: 17633-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EP80J1P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:47:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9lKnr048138 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:47:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xx06035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:39:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9coCw033926 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9clid009876 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9clnD009874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Lllearl Harbo Ott Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9clnD009874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H LL JTLC995 / SUBJ SIGNIFICA TV ORA W HI DO TPODLPLMT VOITH PACIF K XQOPYP MOZW P TMTH ROCMIK TH QM WESTER NORTH PAC IC* RE (180 5 9 Y ENINU C* XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONEVUMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF D O CJTH YWM N NETTMGZI SOUTH ICIFIC AREAKWEST CT V TF S V ETGS WIG O EC MT O NVEL KRLTVVOROICA CYVLONERNX ZHT EMEA THA EAB AW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:07 2003 X-UIDL: 17634-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EPY0JFP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:47:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9lYnr048179 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:47:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAYM040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052482 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9cXCw028656 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9cUid009818 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9cUe1009812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9cUe1009812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUKSFR DU DWM TE P NA **OPOHEI TVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/ +# 1. WESTEN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 5 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF OJE Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZ** O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT UH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , 3 3.3 979 : -2 5 504- ,)378 ) 6 - $ 49/ , :4 ,) 4 HB OSI SN BR OVC014 LEMPO 0913 < 5-FZDZ BR BKN008 FM1300 25009KT P6SM OVC015 TEMPO 1317 4SM -SHSN BKN009 FM1700 24010KT 6SM OVC025 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 20 12:53:20 2003 X-UIDL: 17730-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAK0087GSVENB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Feb 2003 05:54:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1JLsgnr063408 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 05:54:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1JKTQUC019594; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 15:44:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1083125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 15:42:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1JLgSCw016794 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 15:42:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1JLgPid028636 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 15:42:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1JLgP7L028635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 15:42:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Feb 2003 15:42:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302192142.h1JLgP7L028635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 192142 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 19 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 19/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BACK TO STATUS QUO IN THE EAST PAC WITH HIGH PRESSURE COVERING THE AREA W OF 105W N OF 10N AND A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 29N128W SE THROUGH SOCORRO ISLAND TO 16N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N86W 3N98W 2N117W 7N130W 4N140W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N126W AND 8N129W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR 5N86W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST E OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING HIGH CLOUDINESS OVER THE W PORTION OF THE AREA FROM 14W-30W W OF 125W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 20 12:53:22 2003 X-UIDL: 17732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAK00A14TO7W3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Feb 2003 06:12:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1JMBwnr066783 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 06:12:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1JKTQXK019594; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 16:00:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1083588 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 16:00:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1JM0lCw028728 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 16:00:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1JM0jid029155 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 16:00:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1JM0jGc029154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 16:00:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Feb 2003 16:00:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302192200.h1JM0jGc029154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 192200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICNAT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 05N177W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 07S168W 09S164W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 12S155W 17S146W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF POINT 18S151W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 20 12:53:29 2003 X-UIDL: 17746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAL00AER93WW3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Feb 2003 11:45:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1K3jPnr048109 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 11:45:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1K3BeEI019594; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 21:29:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1087760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 21:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1K3SnCw016296 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 21:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1K3Skid004050 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 21:28:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1K3Skb6004049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 21:28:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Feb 2003 21:28:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302200328.h1K3Skb6004049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 200328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 20 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA OFFSHORE OF MEXICO W OF 98W N OF 10N WITH A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N131W 22N119W 13N98W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N87W 2N122W 6N134W 6N140W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 6N134W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 96W-99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST E OF HAWAII IS PRODUCING BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS FROM 13N-24N W OF 127W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 09:32:38 2003 X-UIDL: 17781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAM001IP85WJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 00:22:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1KGMbnr040470 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 00:22:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KG1SEA043398; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 10:13:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1094690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 10:13:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KGDsCw008068 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 10:13:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1KGDqid013652 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 10:13:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1KGDqpc013651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 10:13:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Feb 2003 10:13:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302201613.h1KGDqpc013651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 201613 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 20 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 20/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT FROM 1004 MB LOW PRESSURE IN NW ARIZONA/ EXTREME SE NEVADA...THROUGH 32N114W TO 28N115W TO 23N120W TO 22N130W TO 24N138W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. 1031 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 35N140W TO THE NW OF THE FRONT... WITH A RIDGE BUILDING TO THE NW OF THE FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 4N90W 3N110W...EQUATOR AT 132W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 97W. BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 115W... AND SOUTH OF 4N BETWEEN WEST OF 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 21N146W. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW CROSSES 140W...SOUTH OF 20N... RIDGE 27N138W 20N131W 15N127W. TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 33N116W IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...TO 27N114W...TO 22N113W...PROVIDING UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR SURFACE 32N114W 24N138W COLD FRONT. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 09:32:56 2003 X-UIDL: 17789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAM001K8DW1IW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 02:26:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1KIQHnr068345 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 02:26:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KG1STa043398; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:19:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1097288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:19:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KIJ1Cw028464 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:19:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1KIIwid018287 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:18:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1KIIw7i018286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:18:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:18:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302201818.h1KIIw7i018286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 201800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 09:32:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAM0018MDX4J0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 02:27:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1KIQunr068497 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 02:26:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KFVBmi037922; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:19:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1097292 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:19:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KIJ1Cw042662 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:19:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1KIIwid018288 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:18:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1KIIwRs018285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:18:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Feb 2003 12:18:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302201818.h1KIIwRs018285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 201800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 09:33:07 2003 X-UIDL: 17799-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAM00AXZO0RW3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 06:05:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1KM57nr016288 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 06:05:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KK76VI037922; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 15:55:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1101423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 15:55:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KLtdCw040584 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 15:55:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1KLtZid025947 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 15:55:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1KLtY6g025945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 15:55:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Feb 2003 15:55:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302202155.h1KLtY6g025945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 202155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 20 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT FROM 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE IN N-CENTRAL ARIZONA/ THROUGH 32N111W 30N110W 25N111W 21N118W 20N128W. COLD FRONT IS DISSIPATING W OF 118W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS BEHIND THE FRONT. FRONT IS WEAKENING OVER LAND. ..1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 35N139W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING BEHIND THE FRONT TO 30N130W SE TO 26N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N90W 3N104W 6N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 95W-108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS ARE BEING ADVECTED INTO THE AREA FROM AN UPPER LOW E OF HAWAII N OF 18N W OF 128W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 09:33:08 2003 X-UIDL: 17800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAM0013XO7YIW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 06:09:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1KM9Snr017089 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 06:09:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KG1StG043398; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 16:02:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1101516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 16:00:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KM0tCw014454 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 16:00:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1KM0qid026139 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 16:00:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1KM0q1s026138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 16:00:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Feb 2003 16:00:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302202200.h1KM0q1s026138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 202200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 04N166W 03N174W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS THE DATELINE AND ARE WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 04N176W 06N177E. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 06S151W 12S147W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF POINT 15S151W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 11:46:16 2003 X-UIDL: 17818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAN001773HIIW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 11:39:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1L3dBnr094543 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 11:39:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KNDJPS016716; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 21:31:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1106060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 21:31:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L3VwCw020468 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 21:31:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1L3Vsid001222 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 21:31:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1L3VsPT001221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 21:31:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Feb 2003 21:31:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302210331.h1L3VsPT001221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 210331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 21 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 1002 MB LOW NEAR 31N110W OVER NW MEXICO SE OF TUCSON ARIZONA THROUGH 26N106W 21N110W 17N120W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS BEHIND THE FRONT W OF 110W. ..1035 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 36N137W WITH A RIDGE AXIS LYING SE TO TO 27N125W SE TO 22N113W. RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS E OF THE FRONT AND IS ALONG 17N108W TO 14N99W. TRADES ARE A BIT STRONGER THAN NORMAL W OF 130W BETWEEN 20N-25N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N90W 6N94W 4N107W 5N120W 5N140W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 95W-106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS ARE MOVING EASTWARD FROM AN UPPER LOW E OF HAWAII N OF 14N W OF 125W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 18:26:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17860-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAN001YJL0IIW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 17:57:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1L9vlnr096397 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 17:57:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L6HSU0037958; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:50:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1109119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:50:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L9oBCw020960 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:50:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1L9o7id004574 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:50:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1L9o7da004573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:50:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:50:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302210950.h1L9o7da004573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 210949 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 154W BETWEEN 25N AND 17N...ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 26N151W 23N155W. INSTABILITY IN THIS REGION IS ALSO BEING ENHANCED BY AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM THE WEST. ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 04N174W 03N180. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF A CLOUD BAND IS ALONG LINE 30N160W 26N165W 24N173W 24N175W. EAST OF 166W THIS CLOUD BAND IS ABOUT 100 MILES WIDE AND MADE UP OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SPORADIC CB. WEST OF 166W THE BAND OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IS 25 TO 50 MILES WIDE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 21N147W 18N142W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW NEAR 21S 146W...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 21S142W 26S141W 23S148W 21S142W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 12 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE LOW NEAR 19S 130W...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 20S133W 22S128W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 13S158W 19S134W 24S138W MOVED LITTLE...CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 25S 152W...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 23S150W 25S151W MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 12S172W 20S180 MOVED NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 18:26:22 2003 X-UIDL: 17861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAN001S5L0IJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 17:57:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1L9vlnr096398 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 17:57:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L6HWHW041562; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:48:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1109090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:48:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L9mfCw022554 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:48:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1L9mbid004558 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:48:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1L9mb6t004557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:48:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 03:48:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302210948.h1L9mb6t004557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 210948 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 21 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION OVER MEXICO NEAR 30N107W AND EXTENDS INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA NEAR 25N111W. ..A 1032 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NORTH OF THE REGION WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N133W SOUTHEAST TO 12N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N90W 4N110W 2N130W 1N140W. NONE. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVER THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 110W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 22 00:15:53 2003 X-UIDL: 17877-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAO00JEL0S1J2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 23:38:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1LFcInr075218 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 23:38:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L6HWaM041562; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 09:34:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1112836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 09:34:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LFYFCw032656 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 09:34:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1LFYCid010241 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 09:34:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1LFYCck010240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 09:34:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 09:34:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302211534.h1LFYCck010240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 211534 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 21 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE CONTROLS THE REGION N OF 15N WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N135W 25N20W 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/XXXX UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 5N115W 2N130W EQ140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVER MUCH OF THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 110W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:16 2003 X-UIDL: 17890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAO00JLHBXYJ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 03:39:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1LJdQnr030844 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 03:39:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L6HW3I041562; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:28:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1117382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:27:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LJRmCw016308 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:27:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1LJRjid018578 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:27:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1LJRjLf018576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:27:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:27:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302211927.h1LJRjLf018576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:26 2003 X-UIDL: 17891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAO00JP7C0BJ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 03:40:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1LJemnr031205 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 03:40:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LGQDlk037958; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:28:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1117385 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:27:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LJRmCw017330 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:27:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1LJRjid018579 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:27:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1LJRjcw018577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:27:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 13:27:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302211927.h1LJRjcw018577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:33 2003 X-UIDL: 17896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAO00JIFI24J2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 05:51:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1LLpWnr058659 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 05:51:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LKiCI8037432; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 15:44:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1119195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 15:41:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LLfiCw030666 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 15:41:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1LLffid023598 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 15:41:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1LLffwD023597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 15:41:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 15:41:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302212141.h1LLffwD023597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 212141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 21 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE CONTROLS THE REGION N OF 15N WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N130W 24N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 4N105W 2N125W 4N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVERS MUCH OF THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:33 2003 X-UIDL: 17897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAO00JENJ4NJ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 06:14:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1LMEenr062090 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 06:14:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LKiCIq037432; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 16:07:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1119411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 16:01:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LM11Cw042616 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 16:01:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1LM0wid024153 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 16:00:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1LM0wcY024151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 16:00:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 16:00:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302212200.h1LM0wcY024151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 212200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 04N170W 03N180 REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITHIN LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 20N156W 20N154W. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF POINT 24N153W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF POINT 25N151W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 22N149W 21N147W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 13S153W 17S146W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF POINT 14S167W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF POINT 12S173W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:40 2003 X-UIDL: 17912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAO002JLY5NE4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:39:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1M3dGnr021733 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:39:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LKiCYq037432; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 21:31:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1122786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 21:31:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M3VhCw021746 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 21:31:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1M3Veid028898 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 21:31:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1M3Ve3c028897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 21:31:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 21:31:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302220331.h1M3Ve3c028897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 220331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 22 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 15N AND W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N83W 5N110W 4N130W 4N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVERS MUCH OF THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 120W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:42 2003 X-UIDL: 17919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAP002DIFNAE4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 17:57:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1M9v3nr091182 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 17:57:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6ACMq027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 03:49:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1126290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 03:49:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M9nLCw026924 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 03:49:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1M9nIid002175 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 03:49:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1M9nHqe002174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 03:49:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 03:49:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302220949.h1M9nHqe002174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 220949 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 22 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N88W 4N111W 6N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:42 2003 X-UIDL: 17920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAP002REG4HE4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 18:07:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1MA7Mnr092793 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 18:07:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6ACN8027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 04:00:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1126368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 04:00:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1MA0qCw035344 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 04:00:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1MA0nid002272 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 04:00:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1MA0nx7002271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 04:00:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 04:00:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302221000.h1MA0nx7002271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 221000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06N179W 05N168W EQ171W 01N180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N150W 07N148W 05N150W 05N155W 04N158W 06N156W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT IN 15 HOURS... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 07N142W 05N145W. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 26N147W 22N140W 19N141W 15N149W 15N152W 17N152W 18N149W 23N148W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS... ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONT THAT EXTENDS NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N180 30N176W 26N180. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 25 TO 30 KT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (1)...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 06S178E 13S179W 19S177W 22S180 20S176E 11S178E 07S174E HAVE MOVED WEST AND NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (2)...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12S157W 12S149W 14S139W 21S137W 25S138W 25S141W 19S145W 15S148W 15S157W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12S167W 15S170W 14S175W 12S174W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 16S129W 21S127W 22S131W 19S133W 18S131W 16S131W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAP0024TW1HE4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 23:51:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1MFp9nr054631 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 23:51:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6ACVk027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 09:44:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1128658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 09:44:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1MFiiCw004690 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 09:44:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1MFifid004869 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 09:44:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1MFifOF004868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 09:44:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 09:44:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302221544.h1MFifOF004868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 221544 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 22 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF THE ITCZ W OF 100W WITH A RIDGE AXIS FROM BEYOND 32N130W 26N117W 18N110W 12N100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N83W 4N109W 7N140W. A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6.5N83W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W-111W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 5N122W 4N127W. AN ISOLATED MODERATE CELL IS NEAR 3N87W AND A FEW SHOWERS ARE W OF 138W WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17933-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAQ002RB21ME4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 02:00:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1MI0onr078928 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 02:00:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M5sM8Q022436; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1130216 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1MHnvCw041516 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1MHnsid006211 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1MHnsfj006209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302221749.h1MHnsfj006209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17934-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAQ002S822ZE4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 02:01:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1MI1enr079107 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 02:01:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6ACbm027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1130213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1MHnvCw044648 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1MHnsid006210 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1MHnsPJ006208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 11:49:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302221749.h1MHnsPJ006208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:51 2003 X-UIDL: 17946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAQ002YZC5ME4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 05:39:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1MLdEnr019984 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 05:39:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6ACoq027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:35:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1133191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:35:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1MLZMCw020082 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:35:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1MLZJid008636 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:35:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1MLZIYj008635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:35:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:35:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302222135.h1MLZIYj008635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 222135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 22 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF THE ITCZ W OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS FROM BEYOND 32N130W 26N117W 18N110W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N83W 4N110W 4N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W AND 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 136W AND 137W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:52 2003 X-UIDL: 17947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAQ002IPD3WE4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 05:59:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1MLxonr022927 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 05:59:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6ACrE027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:55:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1133629 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:55:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1MLt5Cw027126 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:55:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1MLt1id008831 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:55:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1MLt1j9008830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:55:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 15:55:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302222155.h1MLt1j9008830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 222154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 13N149W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 20 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N143W 02N160W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE EQUATOR... WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04N169W 01S178W AND WEAKENED. SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 29N178W 33N172W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 13S171W 14S163W MOVED EAST AT 05 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 14S150W 21S130W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE LOW AND TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 18S131W 24S131W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 07S168W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 08S177W 06S177E AND MOVED SOUTHWEST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:52 2003 X-UIDL: 17948-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAQ002VCDKSE4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 06:10:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1MM9ufN075198 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 06:09:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6ACro027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 16:05:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1133721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 16:05:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1MM5iCw030470 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 16:05:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1MM5fid008955 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 16:05:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1MM5eDe008954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 16:05:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 16:05:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion...correction Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302222205.h1MM5eDe008954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 222205 CCA TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 22 2003 CORRECTED...ELSEWHERE...IN THE NORTH PACIFIC NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 13N149W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 20 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N143W 02N160W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE EQUATOR... WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04N169W 01S178W AND WEAKENED. SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 29N178W 33N172W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 13S171W 14S163W MOVED EAST AT 05 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 14S150W 21S130W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE LOW AND TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 18S131W 24S131W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 07S168W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 08S177W 06S177E AND MOVED SOUTHWEST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:55 2003 X-UIDL: 17958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAQ00JSRT7I91@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 11:47:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1N3lZBS050803 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 11:47:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6AC7a027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 21:40:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1137218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 21:40:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N3e2Cw035736 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 21:40:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1N3dxid011732 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 21:39:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1N3dwph011731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 21:39:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 21:39:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302230339.h1N3dwph011731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 230339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 23 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF THE ITCZ W OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS FROM 32N132W TO 17N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N84W 3N110W 4N125W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:55 2003 X-UIDL: 17960-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAQ00J07UTC91@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:22:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1N4MHBS055876 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:22:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6AC84027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1137417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N4JaCw044660 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1N4JWid012026 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1N4JWKY012024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302230419.h1N4JWKY012024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 230430 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH HAS BEEN LOCATED OVER LAND THE PAST WEEK IS NOW NEAR THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 122.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS MOVED OVER OPEN WATER, BUT SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS OVER LAND. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE AREA IS EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. BASED ON THE PROXIMITY OF THE LLCC TO OPEN WATER, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 2.B. (1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:55 2003 X-UIDL: 17961-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAQ00J51V4491@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:28:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1N4SkBS057060 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:28:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N33DKC022436; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1137420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N4JaCw011196 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1N4JWid012027 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1N4JW4A012025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:19:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302230419.h1N4JW4A012025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 230430 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH HAS BEEN LOCATED OVER LAND THE PAST WEEK IS NOW NEAR THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 122.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS MOVED OVER OPEN WATER, BUT SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS OVER LAND. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE AREA IS EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. BASED ON THE PROXIMITY OF THE LLCC TO OPEN WATER, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 2.B. (1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17966-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAR00JM793191@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 17:30:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1N9UUBS008739 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 17:30:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656Fa027756; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 03:23:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1139323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 03:23:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N9NXCw007720 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 03:23:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1N9NTid014170 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 03:23:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1N9NTYc014169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 03:23:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 03:23:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302230923.h1N9NTYc014169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 230923 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 23 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD TROUGH LIES OVER THE W PORTION OF THE AREA N OF 10N ALONG 132W/133W. ..HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS E OF TROUGH WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N133W-17N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 5N90W 4N100W 4N120W 8N134W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 120W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 134W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION W OF 137W FROM 14N-21N. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17967-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAR00J2EASZ91@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 18:07:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1NA7dBS016612 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 18:07:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656GC027756; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 04:00:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1139714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 04:00:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1NA0ECw041670 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 04:00:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1NA0Bid014415 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 04:00:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1NA0BDL014414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 04:00:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 04:00:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302231000.h1NA0BDL014414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 230959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06N170W 02N166W 01N175W 05N179W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 04N154W 01N163W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 12 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 09N141W 04N146W. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 19N145W 18N140W 12N140W 10N149W 15N149W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N178W 30N171W 24N180 29N180. FEATURE MOVING EAST NEAR 10 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12S165W 16S166W 16S172W 13S174W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 13S155W 14S147W 14S141W 20S137W 22S138W 17S147W 14S155W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 18S131W 20S130W 22S131W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...FIRST SENTENCE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 06S174E 10S177W 13S179W 11S174E HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 23:54:56 2003 X-UIDL: 17976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAR00JQ2QNH91@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 23:50:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1NFnwBS079187 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 23:50:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656Qc027756; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 09:42:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1143616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 09:42:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1NFgNCw017526 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 09:42:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1NFgKid016707 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 09:42:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1NFgKAB016706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 09:42:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 09:42:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302231542.h1NFgKAB016706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 231542 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 23 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT LIES ON THE NW BORDER OF THE AREA AND EXTENDS FROM BEYOND 32N137W TO BEYOND 30N140W. OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS MARK THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FOR ABOUT 90 NM BEHIND THE FRONT. ..HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS E OF THE FRONT WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 28N139W-26N129W-21N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N81W 5N88W 5N130W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 118W-129W. A SMALL MODERATE CELL IS NEAR 4N86W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE W OF 130W WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION IS N OF THE ITCZ FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 133W-139W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 02:44:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAR00JOPYKN91@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 02:41:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1NIf3BS010374 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 02:41:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1NHRqLC040030; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1145634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1NIYICw022394 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1NIYFid018320 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1NIYFR5018318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302231834.h1NIYFR5018318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH HAS BEEN LOCATED OVER LAND THE PAST WEEK IS NOW NEAR THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 122.0E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 121.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS MOVED OVER OPEN WATER, BUT SYNOPTIC DATA REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS ON LAND. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. BASED ON THE PROXIMITY OF THE LLCC TO OPEN WATER, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 23.3S8 41.9E4 IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEAL THAT THE WEAK LLCC IS SOUTH OF THE PERSISTANT DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT BUT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 02:44:58 2003 X-UIDL: 17979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAR00JPHYLG91@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 02:41:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1NIfYBS010487 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 02:41:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656Z4027756; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1145630 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1NIYJCw004608 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1NIYFid018321 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1NIYF3l018319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 12:34:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302231834.h1NIYF3l018319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A PERSISTENT AREA OF CONVECTION WHICH HAS BEEN LOCATED OVER LAND THE PAST WEEK IS NOW NEAR THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 122.0E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 121.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION HAS MOVED OVER OPEN WATER, BUT SYNOPTIC DATA REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS ON LAND. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. BASED ON THE PROXIMITY OF THE LLCC TO OPEN WATER, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 23.3S8 41.9E4 IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEAL THAT THE WEAK LLCC IS SOUTH OF THE PERSISTANT DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT BUT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 09:13:16 2003 X-UIDL: 17984-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAS00JSY79891@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 05:48:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1NLmbBS044864 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 05:48:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1NHRqas040030; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 15:40:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1147195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 15:40:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1NLe1Cw009602 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 15:40:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1NLdwid019888 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 15:39:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1NLdw4K019887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 15:39:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 15:39:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302232139.h1NLdw4K019887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 232139 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 23 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IN THE NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA EXTENDS FROM N OF 32N134W SW TO BEYOND 28N140W. BROKEN LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM OF THE FRONT WITH SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS FILTERING IN FROM THE NW. ..WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 27N135W-21N116W SE OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N102W 5N125W 7N130W 4N137W 5N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 09:13:23 2003 X-UIDL: 17985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAS00JN987691@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 06:09:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1NM8xBS047957 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 06:09:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656iE027756; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 16:00:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1147703 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 16:00:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1NM06Cw021770 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 16:00:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1NM03id020064 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 16:00:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1NM03cc020063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 16:00:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 16:00:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302232200.h1NM03cc020063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 232159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 01N165W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF POINT 01N157W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08S165W 14S161W 16S172W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 19S141W 13S149W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 11:43:05 2003 X-UIDL: 18004-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAS00BW7NEKRZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 11:37:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1O3bFBS015477 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 11:37:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656wi027756; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 21:29:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1151094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 21:29:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1O3TbCw027308 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 21:29:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1O3TYid022969 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 21:29:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1O3TYpd022968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 21:29:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 21:29:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302240329.h1O3TYpd022968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 240329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 24 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IN THE NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA EXTENDS FROM N OF 32N132W SW TO BEYOND 27N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF THE FRONT WITH SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS AND HIGH PRESSURE MOVING TO THE SE BEHIND THE FRONT. ..NARROW RIDGE E OF THE COLD FRONT WITH AXIS FROM 27N138W-21N113W-14N102W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 7N101W 6N110W 6N120W 4N130W 5N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W-128W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 17:57:19 2003 X-UIDL: 18030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAT00HHK4U5HD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 17:54:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1O9rvBS010884 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 17:53:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656CE027756; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:46:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1153745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:46:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1O9kHCw040506 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1O9kEid025779 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:46:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1O9kEQA025778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:46:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:46:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302240946.h1O9kEQA025778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 240946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 25N178W 30N172W 35N169W MOVED EAST AT 25 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT DESCRIPTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE EQ156W 03N176E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 12S170W 12S150W 19S131W 30N138W MOVED SOUTH AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 18:07:16 2003 X-UIDL: 18031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAT00HNQ500HD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 17:57:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1O9vTBS011892 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 17:57:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656CO027756; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:52:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1153782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:52:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1O9qrCw007418 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:52:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1O9qoid025816 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:52:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1O9qoM5025815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:52:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2003 03:52:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302240952.h1O9qoM5025815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 240952 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 24 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IN THE NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA EXTENDS FROM N OF 31N130W SW TO 27N137W WHERE IT BECOMES DISSIPATING BEYOND 26N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW LEVEL STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS NW OF FRONT. ..NARROW RIDGE E OF THE COLD FRONT WITH AXIS FROM 25N140W TO 28N114W.. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N90W 7N103W 6N120W 4N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 117W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 130W-140W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 00:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 18046-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAT00HF6LKUHD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 23:55:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1OFtZBS098357 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 23:55:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ODOKRO033138; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 09:43:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1157374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 09:43:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OFhhCw026894 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 09:43:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1OFhdid001061 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 09:43:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1OFhdXM001060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 09:43:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2003 09:43:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302241543.h1OFhdXM001060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 241543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 24 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IN THE NW PART OF THE REGION EXTENDS FROM BEYOND 32N128W SW TO 26N136W WHERE IT BECOMES DISSIPATING TO BEYOND 25N140W. FRONT IS MARKED BY A BRIEF BREAK IN THE BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUD FIELD. ..NARROW RIDGE E OF THE COLD FRONT WITH AXIS FROM 23N131W TO 16N104W. ..WEAK TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 30N113W TO JUST W OF CABO SAN LUCAS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N110W 6N120W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 96W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-122W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 122W-132W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W-93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AN UPPER LOW JUST W OF THE AREA IS CAUSING BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 15N-23N BETWEEN 126W-140W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 12:18:46 2003 X-UIDL: 18059-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAU00BOA29ORZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 05:56:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1OLu5BS081441 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 05:56:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OJ6ORk021684; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 15:44:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1163480 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 15:44:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OLi7Cw016668 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 15:44:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1OLi2id012788 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 15:44:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1OLi2LE012787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 15:44:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2003 15:44:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302242144.h1OLi2LE012787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 242143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 24 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N125W TO 27N130W TO W OF 24N140W. SCATTERED/BROKEN FIELD OF STRATOCUMULUS NW OF THE COLD FRONT. ..NARROW RIDGE E OF THE COLD FRONT WITH AXIS FROM 23N134W-23N107W. ..WEAK TROUGH ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 32N115W-25N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N79W 6N84W 6N114W 9N130W 7N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-92W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 99W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE AREA FROM 17N-25N W OF 125W. ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE SAME REGION ESPECIALLY W OF 137W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 12:18:49 2003 X-UIDL: 18061-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAU00H882ZWHD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 06:11:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1OMBnBS084595 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 06:11:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OLTNHS040030; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 16:01:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1163715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 16:01:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OM18Cw038460 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 16:01:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1OM14id013330 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 16:01:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1OM149X013329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 16:01:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2003 16:01:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302242201.h1OM149X013329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 242200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE CENTER/TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF POINT 15S166W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 08S171W 15S156W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 12:18:58 2003 X-UIDL: 18082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAU00HL7IA5HD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:42:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1P3fsBS063481 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:41:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OJ6Oq0021684; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 21:32:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1167662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 21:32:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1P3W0Cw037378 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 21:32:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1P3Vuid018069 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 21:31:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1P3VujT018068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 21:31:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2003 21:31:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302250331.h1P3VujT018068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 250331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 25 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N122W TO 26N127W TO 23N140W. BROKEN BAND OF MULTILEVEL CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF THE FRONT WITH SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS MOVING SE BEHIND THE FRONT. ..RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NW OF 29N140W SE ACROSS THE COLD FRONT TO 22N118W AND THEN 12N102W. ..WEAK TROUGH STRADDLING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NEAR YUMA ARIZONA SWD TO 27N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N79W 5N85W 10N130W 5N140W. ISOLATED CELL OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-95W. DISSIPATING ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-122W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE AREA FROM 17N-25N BETWEEN 125W-140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE SAME REGION ESPECIALLY FROM 20N-24N BETWEEN 135W-140W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 17:48:41 2003 X-UIDL: 18106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAU00F7ZYU6ES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 17:39:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1P9dYBS059685 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 17:39:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1P69vPS033484; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:30:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1170853 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:30:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1P9UfCw035490 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:30:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1P9Ubid021027 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:30:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1P9UbsU021026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:30:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:30:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302250930.h1P9UbsU021026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 250930 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N167W 26N175W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT DESCRIPTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15S153W 14S171W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 23S179E 35S177W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14S131W 19S133W 20S130W 30S135W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 17:49:05 2003 X-UIDL: 18107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAU00F8RYUGES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 17:39:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1P9diBS059722 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 17:39:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OJ6O5g021684; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:29:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1170847 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:29:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1P9TcCw038750 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:29:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1P9TYid020995 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:29:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1P9TYJH020994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:29:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 03:29:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302250929.h1P9TYJH020994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 250929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 25 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N120W ALONG 26N123W TO 22N138W. ..WEAK 1019 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 21N116W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N106W 8N121W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 5.5N TO 6.5N. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COLD FRONT. COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF THE COLD FRONT. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 120W AND 133W...AND FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN 111W AND 137W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 20:28:32 2003 X-UIDL: 18120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00F8T6A8ES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:20:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PCKPBS099668 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:20:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OJ6O8e021684; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 06:11:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1171727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 06:11:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PCB3Cw016248 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 06:11:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PCAxid022236 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 06:10:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PCAx0v022235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 06:10:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 06:10:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302251210.h1PCAx0v022235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO22 FMEE 251200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 25/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 13 MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS BETWEEN 19 AND 24 SOUTH AND FROM 35 TO 45 EAST. LARGE CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 26/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: FORECASTED POSITION 26/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS : SEVERAL LOWS ARE PRESENTS WITHIN THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER WITH ONE, ESTIMATED AT 1002 HPA, AND LOCATED BY 22.1 SOUTH AND 43.0 EAST. INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR BULLETINS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 00:46:49 2003 X-UIDL: 18131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00FSZDPOES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 23:01:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PF0sBS039133 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 23:00:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PDZTIu021684; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:53:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1173591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:53:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PEraCw030622 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:53:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PErWid025573 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:53:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PErWq5025572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:53:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:53:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302251453.h1PErWq5025572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 251453 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 25 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 25/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 1003 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N122W...THROUGH 30N118W TO 26N120W AND 21N130W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 32N120W TO 26N126W. ..1014 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 20N116W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE CENTER AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 131W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1400 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 4N90W 6N110W 8N124W 7N135W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W...WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 120W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 32N120W TO 26N126W...TO SECOND CYCLONIC CENTER NEAR 21N138W. UPPER LEVEL SW TO WESTERLY WIND FLOW WITHIN 800-1000 NM TO THE SW AND SOUTH OF THIS TROUGH. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE ITCZ...FROM 9N TO 22N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 10:14:39 2003 X-UIDL: 18140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00FVYMDTES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:08:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PI86BS088953 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:08:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PGneRW033484; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1176877 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PHwcCw040176 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PHwYid002558 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PHwYpu002556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302251758.h1PHwYpu002556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 118.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 118.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SPORADIC WEAK CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY. A 250947Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE ALONG 16.0S7. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.6S9 42.4E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.3S6 42.1E7, IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE REVEALS CONTINUED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ALONG AND OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR. A 250343Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A NARROW BAND OF TROUGHING ALONG 22.0S4. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 24 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 10:14:39 2003 X-UIDL: 18141-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00F1EMHYES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:10:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PIAcBS089487 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:10:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PH2fH8021686; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1176873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PHwcCw021870 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PHwYid002559 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PHwY0m002557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 11:58:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302251758.h1PHwY0m002557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 118.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 118.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SPORADIC WEAK CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY. A 250947Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE ALONG 16.0S7. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.6S9 42.4E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.3S6 42.1E7, IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE REVEALS CONTINUED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ALONG AND OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR. A 250343Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A NARROW BAND OF TROUGHING ALONG 22.0S4. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 24 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 10:14:40 2003 X-UIDL: 18143-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00FT5N6BES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:25:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PIPGBS092491 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:25:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PGneUu033484; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 12:18:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1177143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 12:14:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PIEnCw007952 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 12:14:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PIEYid003131 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 12:14:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PIEYr7003130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 12:14:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 12:14:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302251814.h1PIEYr7003130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 251800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 1/13/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 25/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.5S/42.4E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 2.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 22.2S / 41.1E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.6S / 40.1E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.5S / 38.0E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.0-. ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 10:14:54 2003 X-UIDL: 18155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00FNPWORES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 05:50:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PLohBS037953 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 05:50:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PGne6w033484; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 15:41:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1180641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 15:39:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PLddCw016138 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 15:39:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PLdVid010468 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 15:39:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PLdVvN010466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 15:39:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 15:39:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302252139.h1PLdVvN010466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 252138 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... DISSIPATED FRONT...THE EASTERN EDGE OF A CLOUD BAND IS ALONG LINE 29N156W 27N168W 19N180. NORTH OF 28N THIS BAND OF BROKEN LAYER CLOUDS IS 225 NM WIDE. SOUTH OF 28N THE BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IS 125 NM WIDE. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT...THE EASTERN EDGE OF A WEAKENING FRONTAL CLOUD BAND IS ALONG LINE 30N177W 28N180. THIS RAGGED BAND OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IS 200 NM WIDE...AND HAS BECOME STATIONARY. ITCZ...A FEW CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N140W 05N157W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 04N170W 03N180 MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISSIPATED FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW NEAR 19S 137W...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 15S133W 20S136W MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE SAMOAN ISLANDS BECOMING A CZ EAST OF THE ISLANDS...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 250 NM OF LINE 10S175W 19S152W MOVED LITTLE...WEAKENED AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... A FEW CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 03S174W 07S163W 13S156W. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 10:14:55 2003 X-UIDL: 18156-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00FU7XQ3ES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:13:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PMD7BS042796 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:13:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PH2fkA021686; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:05:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1181547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:04:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PM4SCw040212 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:04:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PM4Oid011317 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:04:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PM4OFn011316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:04:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:04:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302252204.h1PM4OFn011316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 252204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 25 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT IS FROM 1003 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N119W...THROUGH 30N115W TO 24N120W AND 21N127W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 18N112W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE CENTER AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 103W-120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N90W 6N109W 7N117W 9N121W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 78W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W AND 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 10:14:55 2003 X-UIDL: 18159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00FSBYQMES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:35:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PMZ4BS046911 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:35:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PH2fmq021686; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:29:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1181989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PMRJCw035628 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PMREid011994 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PMREP7011992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advio*y For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302252227.h1PMREP7011992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR H WVXJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVIO*Y FOR THE INDIAN OC*AN9251800Z/261800,5<3?2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFMWCA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUOMARY: NONE. BTM TROPICAL DISTIRBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2.;SOUTH INDIAN*OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:)NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED EAR 17.5S3 118.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 118.7;37, DROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED VISIBTE SATELLITE IMAGEV SHOWS SPOR*ZIC*WEAK CONMECTION IN THE VICINITY. AVWWTPORUZ7 QUICSCAT PASS INDICATE**LROAD LOW LEVEL C RCULATIO CDNTER (LLCC) WITY THE STRONGEST WINDS ON THE EQUATORWARV SIDE*VLONG 16.0S7. 200 MB ANALYSIE PLAC*S THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEA . T XIMUM SUSTAINED SURFA E WINDS ARE ESTIMA**D AT 12 TO LWI VNOTS9 ;.8,8.7. 3- )3;3) 043743 8 ESOUMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNWFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.6S9 42.4E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.3S6 42.1E7, IN THE MOZAMZNQ VCHANNEL. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE V*A Y CHNTINUED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ALONG AND OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR. A 250343Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A NARROW BAND OF TROUGHING ALONG*22.0S4. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 24 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 106 .?. ;#3 0953,58-) >94 5#3 $3;3)90.3,5 9> - 8<,8>8:-,5 (54908L CYNTTNZ WITHIN THE NEXT WR HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJO CE, USAF FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/**ATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 10:14:56 2003 X-UIDL: 18160-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00FTSYS7ES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:36:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PMa1BS047081 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:36:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PH2fms021686; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:29:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1181992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PMRJCw008122 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PMREid011995 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PMREfx011993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advio*y For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302252227.h1PMREfx011993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR H WVXJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVIO*Y FOR THE INDIAN OC*AN9251800Z/261800,5<3?2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFMWCA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUOMARY: NONE. BTM TROPICAL DISTIRBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2.;SOUTH INDIAN*OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:)NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED EAR 17.5S3 118.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 118.7;37, DROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED VISIBTE SATELLITE IMAGEV SHOWS SPOR*ZIC*WEAK CONMECTION IN THE VICINITY. AVWWTPORUZ7 QUICSCAT PASS INDICATE**LROAD LOW LEVEL C RCULATIO CDNTER (LLCC) WITY THE STRONGEST WINDS ON THE EQUATORWARV SIDE*VLONG 16.0S7. 200 MB ANALYSIE PLAC*S THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEA . T XIMUM SUSTAINED SURFA E WINDS ARE ESTIMA**D AT 12 TO LWI VNOTS9 ;.8,8.7. 3- )3;3) 043743 8 ESOUMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNWFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.6S9 42.4E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.3S6 42.1E7, IN THE MOZAMZNQ VCHANNEL. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE V*A Y CHNTINUED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ALONG AND OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR. A 250343Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A NARROW BAND OF TROUGHING ALONG*22.0S4. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 24 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 106 .?. ;#3 0953,58-) >94 5#3 $3;3)90.3,5 9> - 8<,8>8:-,5 (54908L CYNTTNZ WITHIN THE NEXT WR HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJO CE, USAF FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/**ATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 11:17:34 2003 X-UIDL: 18170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAW00IYE9NXN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 10:31:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1Q2V2BS001319 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 10:31:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PH2f7c021686; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:20:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1186267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:20:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q2KwCw020460 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:20:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1Q2Krid015152 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:20:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1Q2KrE8015151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:20:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:20:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302260220.h1Q2KrE8015151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/252051ZFEB2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 22.5S9 42.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.5S9 42.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 22.5S9 41.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 22.6S0 40.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.1S6 39.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 23.8S3 38.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 22.5S9 41.9E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD AND PROVIDE THE STEERING INFLUENCE OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THEN START TO TURN POLEWARD BEHIND THE PASSING RIDGE. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND NCEP GFS, HAVE IMPROVED IN THEIR INITIALIZATION OF THE SYSTEM AND NOW SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT IN TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF DYNAMIC AIDS AND THE MEDIUM BETA ADVECTION MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 14 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 252051ZFEB2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 252100). NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 AND 270300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 11:47:28 2003 X-UIDL: 18176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAW00IGED3YN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:45:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1Q3jNBS021102 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:45:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PH2f9M021686; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 21:35:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1186836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 21:34:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q3YYCw017562 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 21:34:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1Q3YUid015922 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 21:34:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1Q3YTV6015921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 21:34:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 21:34:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302260334.h1Q3YTV6015921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 260334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 26 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT IS FROM 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N118W...THROUGH 30N113W TO 21N122W. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED. ..1028 MB HIGH IS N OF THE ARE NEAR 34N146W. A RIDGE EXTENDS SE TO 24N126W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 5N100W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 82W AND 87W...AND BETWEEN 94W AND 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 14:37:29 2003 X-UIDL: 18188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAW00I0LKUHN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 14:32:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1Q6WRBS066348 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 14:32:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q4DSJq021686; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 00:26:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1189122 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 00:26:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q6Q7Cw016528 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 00:26:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1Q6Q3id017308 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 00:26:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1Q6Q2F3017307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 00:26:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 00:26:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302260626.h1Q6Q2F3017307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 260600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/13/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 26/02/2003 : 22.0S/40.1E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 30 KM SE30: 300 KM SW30: 300 KM NW30: 30 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 21.6S / 38.6E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.7S / 37.2E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.6S / 34.5E FI= OVERLAND 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : UNDERGOING THE HIGH PRESSIONS PASSING IN THE SOUTH, THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARDS, THEN SOUTHWESTWARD BEHIND THE PASSING RIDGE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 17:29:41 2003 X-UIDL: 18197-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAW00IJYPGTN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 16:12:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1Q8CHBS093852 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 16:12:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q4DSLa021686; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:03:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1189757 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:03:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q83XCw035276 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:03:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1Q83Sid018028 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:03:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1Q83SpN018027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:03:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:03:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302260803.h1Q83SpN018027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 260600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 26/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 998 HPA POSITION : 22.0S/40.1E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTNORTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 220 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE EXTENDING UP TO 180 MN FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 26/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.6 SOUTH/38.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 21.7 SOUTH/37.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE STRONGER WINDS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM ARE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILTING IN THE SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 17:29:43 2003 X-UIDL: 18199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAW00IO8PILN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 16:13:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1Q8DRBS094113 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 16:13:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q6AOO0033488; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:05:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1189764 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:05:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q85bCw013892 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:05:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1Q85Xid018051 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:05:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1Q85XRA018050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:05:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:05:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 26/02/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302260805.h1Q85XRA018050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 260600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 26/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 998 HPA POSITION : 22.0S/40.1E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTNORTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 220 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE EXTENDING UP TO 180 MN FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 26/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.6 SOUTH/38.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 21.7 SOUTH/37.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE STRONGER WINDS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM ARE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILTING IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 18:16:21 2003 X-UIDL: 18205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAW00IO9TN7N6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:42:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1Q9gRBS020531 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:42:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q4DSMo021686; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:32:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1190151 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:32:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q9WVCw008002 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:32:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1Q9WQid018861 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:32:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1Q9WQNv018860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:32:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:32:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302260932.h1Q9WQNv018860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 260932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 26 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N140W TO 17N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N86W 6N110W 9N127W 7N140. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 88W AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 90W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 7N. BROKEN/ OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200/225 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N125W ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA TO OVER MEXICO NEAR 25N108W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 18:16:22 2003 X-UIDL: 18206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAW00IJ0U09N6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:50:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1Q9oLBS022951 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:50:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q4DSMs021686; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:45:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1190201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q9jdCw030430 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1Q9jYid018951 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:45:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1Q9jYSL018950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:45:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 03:45:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302260945.h1Q9jYSL018950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 260945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... DISSIPATED FRONT...THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF A BAND OF SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS ABOUT 150 NM WIDE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG THE LINE FROM 24N176W TO 28N163W TO 30N159W AND FURTHER NORTHEAST. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF DISSIPATED FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09S165W 18S148W 20S153W 17S170W 12S176W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 17S137W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA...AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10S146W 14S145W 15S149W 11S151W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 03S175W TO 07S163W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 21:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 18217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IYT1KHN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:33:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QCXkBS062033 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:33:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q6AOhI033488; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:28:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1191513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:25:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QCPdCw015032 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:25:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QCPYid020108 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:25:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QCPYDQ020107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:25:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 06:25:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302261225.h1QCPYDQ020107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 261200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 26/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 997 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.3S/39.6E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTNORTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 220 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE EXTENDING UP TO 180 MN FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 20.9 SOUTH/38.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 21.0 SOUTH/36.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM ARE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILTING IN THE SOUTH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 22:49:29 2003 X-UIDL: 18224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IOM6SNN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 22:26:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QEQdBS089665 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 22:26:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q4DSZ0021686; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:15:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1192736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:15:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QEFYCw042704 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:15:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QEFUid021484 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:15:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QEFUNE021483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:15:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:15:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 19s Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302261415.h1QEFUNE021483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 21.5S8 39.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 39.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.1S4 38.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.2S5 37.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.6S9 36.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.2S6 35.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 21.4S7 39.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED NORTHWEST OF THE PREVIOUS POSITION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THEN START TO TURN POLEWARD BEHIND THE PASSING RIDGE. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE WHILE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND NCEP GFS, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 AND 271500Z5. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 00:10:55 2003 X-UIDL: 18233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IW498VN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 23:19:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QFJaBS003143 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 23:19:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q4DScI021686; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 09:12:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1193605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 09:10:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QFAmCw014950 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 09:10:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QFAhid023141 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 09:10:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QFAh4j023140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 09:10:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 09:10:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302261510.h1QFAh4j023140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 261510 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 26 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 26/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE THROUGH 32N140W TO 28N131W TO 23N120W TO 9N97W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN PACIFIC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 3N87W 5N96W 6N106W 6N120W 8N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 123W... AND WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW SE OF 27N110W 13N140W...TO THE ITCZ... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 122W. ISOLATED CELLS OF SHOWERS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 13N122.5W AND 12.5N124W. $$MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:32 2003 X-UIDL: 18240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IPPGFCN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 01:54:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QHsbBS041247 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 01:54:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QFhFhW033488; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1197363 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QHgYCw028732 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QHgUid028845 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QHgUdj028843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302261742.h1QHgUdj028843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261500Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4S7 39.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 118.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SPORADIC WEAK CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY. A 261338Z3 SSM/I PASS INDICATES A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.5S9 42.4E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:34 2003 X-UIDL: 18241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IQLGG4N6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 01:55:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QHtABS041339 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 01:55:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QFiBSo020400; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1197359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QHgYCw027008 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QHgUid028844 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QHgUQN028842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302261742.h1QHgUQN028842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261500Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4S7 39.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 118.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SPORADIC WEAK CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY. A 261338Z3 SSM/I PASS INDICATES A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.5S9 42.4E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:35 2003 X-UIDL: 18242-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IL6H8DN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:12:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QIC6BS045192 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:12:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QFiBVi020400; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:06:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1197836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:06:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QI6JCw022000 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:06:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QI6Fid029684 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:06:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QI6FQF029683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:06:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:06:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302261806.h1QI6FQF029683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 261800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/13/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 26/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.4S/39.3E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 100 KM SE30: 350 KM SW30: 300 KM NW30: 60 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 21.3S / 38.2E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.6S / 36.9E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.0S / 34.5E FI= OVERLAND 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.5 +. THE SYSTEM IS STILL LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:37 2003 X-UIDL: 18246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IYNIZRN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:50:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QIo8BS053739 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:50:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QFiBY0020400; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:43:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1198403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:43:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QIh5Cw043344 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:43:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QIh1id000975 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:43:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QIh1pM000973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:43:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:43:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302261843.h1QIh1pM000973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 261800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 26/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 (JAPHET ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.4S/39.3E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE ECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 21.3 SOUTH/38.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.6 SOUTH/36.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EXTENSION OF THE AREA OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES OBSERVED IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:37 2003 X-UIDL: 18247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00I4DJ64N6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:54:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QIrwBS054476 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:54:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QFhFrk033488; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:44:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1198407 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:44:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QIi6Cw032134 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:44:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QIi1id001006 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:44:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QIi11H001005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:44:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:44:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302261844.h1QIi11H001005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 261800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/13/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 26/02/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.4S/39.3E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 100 KM SE30: 350 KM SW30: 300 KM NW30: 60 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 21.3S / 38.2E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.6S / 36.9E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.0S / 34.5E FI= OVERLAND 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.5 +. THE SYSTEM IS STILL LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:38 2003 X-UIDL: 18248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IPBJMAN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:03:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QJ3dBS056841 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:03:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QFhFtk033488; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:55:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1198557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:55:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QItJCw021902 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:55:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QItEid001371 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:55:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QItEQn001370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:55:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 12:55:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 26/02/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302261855.h1QItEQn001370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 261800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 26/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 (JAPHET ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.4S/39.3E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE ECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 21.3 SOUTH/38.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 27/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 21.6 SOUTH/36.9 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : EXTENSION OF THE AREA OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES OBSERVED IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:43 2003 X-UIDL: 18255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00I2QRSDN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 06:00:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QLxuBS098009 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 05:59:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QKwwKA033488; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:50:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1201016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:50:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QLoACw038730 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:50:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QLo5id007690 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:50:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QLo5a7007689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:50:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:50:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302262150.h1QLo5a7007689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 262149 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF FRONTAL CLOUD BAND IS ALONG LINE 30N174W 25N180. THIS CLOUD BAND IS ABOUT 100 NM WIDE AND MADE UP OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTI LAYER CLOUDS. IT HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 30 KNOTS...AND IS BEGINNING TO MERGE WITH A BAND OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS IMMEDIATELY TO ITS EAST. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N180 05N175W 01N180 08N180 MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. THESE CB ALSO EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 12S133W 18S140W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 14S152W 20S149W 17S156W 14S152W MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 02S178W 05S160W 18S160W 19S171W 14S179W 02S178W MOVED WEST AT 10 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. COLD FRONT...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 24S141W 25S139W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CZ UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:43 2003 X-UIDL: 18256-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IDJRZDN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 06:04:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QM4FBS099091 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 06:04:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QL6aFi020404; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:55:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1201044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:55:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QLtpCw039996 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:55:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QLtkid007883 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:55:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QLtkRf007882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:55:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 15:55:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302262155.h1QLtkRf007882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 262155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 26 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1028 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N142W. RIDGE EXTENDS SE TO 10N95W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N108W 9N124W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:45 2003 X-UIDL: 18261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IC5VJ1N6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 07:21:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QNKrBS014693 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 07:20:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QMZQM4033490; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:12:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1202362 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:09:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QN9SCw034758 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:09:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QN9Oid009799 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:09:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QN9Om5009797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:09:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:09:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302262309.h1QN9Om5009797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 262300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/262300Z/271800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261500Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4S7 39.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 118.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 119.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE BUT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.5S9 42.4E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 18262-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IDSVKCN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 07:21:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QNLgBS014880 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 07:21:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QL6aNC020404; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:12:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1202359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:09:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QN9SCw022588 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:09:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QN9Oid009798 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:09:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QN9OEX009796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:09:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 17:09:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302262309.h1QN9OEX009796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 262300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/262300Z/271800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261500Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4S7 39.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 118.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 119.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE BUT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.5S9 42.4E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:52 2003 X-UIDL: 18283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009EQ4133P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 10:24:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R2OVBS057833 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 10:24:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QL6aZq020404; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:15:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1204916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:15:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R2FNCw020022 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:15:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R2FJid012457 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:15:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R2FJvP012456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:15:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:15:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270215.h1R2FJvP012456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 270300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- NEAR 21.3S6 39.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S6 39.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.3S6 38.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.6S9 37.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.0S4 36.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 21.8S1 35.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION NEAR 21.3S6 38.8E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST OF MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THEN TURN EQUATORWARD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS SLIGHTLY AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND NCEP GFS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 AND 280300Z3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:54 2003 X-UIDL: 18289-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009JQ6PE3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 11:22:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R3MEBS073063 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 11:22:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QL6adu020404; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:15:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1206076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:15:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R3FkCw019970 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:15:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R3Ffid013032 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:15:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R3Ff4u013031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:15:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:15:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270315.h1R3Ff4u013031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS21 PGTW 270230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 270221Z FEB 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.4S2 118.9E9 TO 20.5S7 120.8E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 262330Z6 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.7S5 119.2E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: (1) THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 118.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7S5 119.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). QUIKSCAT REVEALS ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS EQUATORWARD OF THE LLCC. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE AREA WHILE OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 280230Z5. 4.RELEASED BY CAPT. KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:55 2003 X-UIDL: 18292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009SB7Z93P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 11:49:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R3niBS079741 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 11:49:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QL6afC020404; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:40:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1206440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:40:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R3edCw004750 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:40:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R3eYid013265 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:40:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R3eY2r013264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:40:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 21:40:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270340.h1R3eY2r013264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 270340 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 27 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 33N141W. RIDGE EXTENDS SE TO 18N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N100W 7N110W 8N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 14:29:33 2003 X-UIDL: 18304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009N8F703P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:25:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R6PbBS017569 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:25:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6C0Fs033492; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:15:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1208143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:07:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R67ICw033856 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:07:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R67Eid014594 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:07:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R67E1q014593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:07:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:07:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270607.h1R67E1q014593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 270300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 003A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- NEAR 21.3S6 39.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S6 39.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.3S6 38.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.6S9 37.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.0S4 36.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 21.8S1 35.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION NEAR 21.3S6 38.8E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THEN TURN EQUATORWARD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS SLIGHTLY AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND NCEP GFS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 AND 280300Z3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED WEST OF MOZAMBIQUE TO EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE IN REMARKS. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 14:39:33 2003 X-UIDL: 18305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009R4FMU3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:35:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R6ZCBS019817 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:35:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6C0FU033492; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:12:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1208112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:05:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R65gCw016790 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:05:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R65cid014574 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:05:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R65cjp014572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:05:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:05:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270605.h1R65cjp014572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 270500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/270500Z/271800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270221ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3S6 39.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 118.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7S5 119.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). QUIKSCAT REVEALS ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS EQUATORWARD OF THE LLCC. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE AREA WHILE OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. SEE REF B (WTXS 21 PGTW 270230) BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 94.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD, SOMEWHAT WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES AN LLCC IS PRESENT IN A LOCATION JUST POLEWARD OF ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD AND ADDED POOR IN PARA 2.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 14:39:33 2003 X-UIDL: 18306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009UPFO63P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:36:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R6ZpBS019985 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:35:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6BYDq020406; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:14:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1208115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:05:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R65gCw044606 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:05:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R65cid014575 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:05:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R65c9U014573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:05:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:05:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270605.h1R65c9U014573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 270500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/270500Z/271800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270221ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3S6 39.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 118.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7S5 119.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). QUIKSCAT REVEALS ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS EQUATORWARD OF THE LLCC. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE AREA WHILE OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. SEE REF B (WTXS 21 PGTW 270230) BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 94.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD, SOMEWHAT WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES AN LLCC IS PRESENT IN A LOCATION JUST POLEWARD OF ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD AND ADDED POOR IN PARA 2.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 14:46:34 2003 X-UIDL: 18307-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009W4G5B3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:46:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R6kABS022146 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:46:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6BYEO020406; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:35:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1208547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:35:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6Z6Cw023064 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:35:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R6Z2id014860 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:35:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R6Z1Pq014859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:35:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 00:35:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270635.h1R6Z1Pq014859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 270600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 4/13/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 27/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.6S/39.3E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 MOINS /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 987 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 160 KM SE30: 350 KM SW30: 350 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 22.0S / 38.2E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 23.0S / 37.0E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.5S / 35.5E FI=4.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 16:49:37 2003 X-UIDL: 18319-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009YALPG3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 16:46:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R8kKBS048306 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 16:46:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6C0Qs033492; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:35:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1209322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:35:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R8ZsCw023142 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:35:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R8Zoid015809 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:35:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R8Zo1A015808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:35:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:35:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270835.h1R8Zo1A015808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 270600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 4/13/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 27/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.6S/39.3E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 MOINS /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 987 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 160 KM SE30: 350 KM SW30: 350 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 22.0S / 38.2E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 23.0S / 37.0E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.5S / 35.5E FI=4.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 16:59:33 2003 X-UIDL: 18321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009V4M1C3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 16:53:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R8rUBS050060 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 16:53:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6BYGM020406; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:36:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1209332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:36:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R8atCw030230 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:36:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R8aoid015823 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:36:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R8aoJK015822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:36:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:36:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270836.h1R8aoJK015822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 270600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 27/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 13 (JAPHET ) 987 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.6S/39.3E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 27/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 22.0 SOUTH/38.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 28/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 23.0 SOUTH/37.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE EXTENSION OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM IS GENERATED BY THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURES OBSERVED IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. RELOCATED LOW LEVEL CENTRE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 17:49:33 2003 X-UIDL: 18327-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009WEOG33P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:45:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R9jQBS063582 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:45:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6BYGs020406; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:33:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1209583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:33:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R9XACw033128 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:33:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R9X6id016419 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:33:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R9X6J4016418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:33:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:33:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270933.h1R9X6J4016418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 270932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 27 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 115W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N140W SOUTHEAST TO 22N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N87W 5N105W 8N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... PACIFIC MOISTURE IN THE FORM OF HIGH CLOUDS IS WITHIN 200 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N126W TO ACROSS MEXICO BEYOND 23N106W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 18:02:03 2003 X-UIDL: 18330-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY00986OZV3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:57:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R9vPBS066783 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:57:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6BYGu020406; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:45:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1209661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:45:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R9jNCw035308 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:45:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R9jJid016510 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:45:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R9jIdg016508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:45:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 03:45:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270945.h1R9jIdg016508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 270945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 18N162E TO 23N180 TO 30N166W AND FURTHER NORTHEAST MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 35 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 03N180 TO 03N176W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12S133W 15S130W 20S138W 17S143W 13S138W MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 22S139W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 25S138W. CZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 01S176W 09S154W 07S148W 08S133W 19S161W 17S176W 06S180 REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF CZ UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 23:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 18342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009FFWG03P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:38:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RCcHBS001434 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:38:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6BYKq020406; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 06:29:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1211017 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 06:29:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RCTACw016660 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 06:29:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RCT5id017779 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 06:29:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RCT5Ia017778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 06:29:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 06:29:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302271229.h1RCT5Ia017778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 271200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 009/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 27/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 13 (JAPHET ) 980 HPA POSITION : 22.0S/38.5E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 22.4 SOUTH/37.3 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 28/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 22.8 SOUTH/36.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING WITH A BEGINNING OF WARM HEART FEATURE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 23:16:58 2003 X-UIDL: 18346-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ009PO1CX3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 22:24:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1REOPBS022726 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 22:24:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6C0ne033492; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:14:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1211897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:01:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RE1QCw033938 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:01:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RE1Lid018907 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:01:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RE1LeG018906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:01:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:01:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302271401.h1RE1LeG018906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- NEAR 22.0S4 38.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0S4 38.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.5S9 38.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 23.1S6 37.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 23.1S6 36.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 22.2S6 35.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.1S5 38.7E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF THE EAST COAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271130Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEAR TERM TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, A WESTWARD BECOMING NORTHWESTWARD TRACK IS FORECAST AS THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM PROPAGATES EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT BEFORE BEGINNING TO BE ADVERSELY AFFECTED DUE TO LAND INTERACTIONS AFTER 36 HOURS. RAPID WEAKENING IS THEN FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD DUE TO LANDFALL OVER MOZAMBIQUE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, UKMET SPECTRAL (EGRR) AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 AND 281500Z6. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 01:13:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ009DM92E3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:11:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RHAuBS060211 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:10:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RGUOUa032948; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 11:00:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1214330 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 09:32:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RFWICw038722 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 09:32:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RFWDid021748 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 09:32:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RFWDCD021747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 09:32:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 09:32:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302271532.h1RFWDCD021747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 271532 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 27 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 105W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1025 MB HIGH NEAR 33N144W SE TO NEAR 16N106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 2N83W 5N100W 6N110W 11N120W 7N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 76W-81W...INCLUDING ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 1N-4N BETWEEN 85W-90W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-92W AND 117W-121W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-132W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 30NM OF A LINE FROM 8N83W-7N85W-5N87W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 02:23:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18360-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ00946C4H3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:17:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RIGwBS073562 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:17:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RI0ZDe027958; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1218976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RI9YCw016614 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RI9Tid028009 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RI9THY028007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302271809.h1RI9THY028007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270221ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1S5 38.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 271500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.7S5 119.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.9S7 120.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ALTHOUGH RECENT SSM/I IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM STILL RESEMBLES A MONSOON DEPRESSION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE AREA WHILE OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. SEE REF B (WTXS 21 PGTW 270230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD AND IS EXPECTED TO BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 94.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD, SOMEWHAT WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES A LLCC IS PRESENT IN A LOCATION JUST POLEWARD OF ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USN. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 02:23:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18361-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ00947C4I3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:17:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RIGxBS073565 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:17:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RGUO18032948; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1218979 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RI9YCw047206 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RI9Tid028010 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RI9TWi028008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:09:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302271809.h1RI9TWi028008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270221ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1S5 38.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 271500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.7S5 119.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.9S7 120.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ALTHOUGH RECENT SSM/I IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM STILL RESEMBLES A MONSOON DEPRESSION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE AREA WHILE OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. SEE REF B (WTXS 21 PGTW 270230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD AND IS EXPECTED TO BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 94.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD, SOMEWHAT WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES A LLCC IS PRESENT IN A LOCATION JUST POLEWARD OF ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USN. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 02:33:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ009IXCK33P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:26:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RIQLBS075113 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:26:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RI0ZDq027958; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:21:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1219119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:21:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RIL0Cw047886 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:21:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RIKuid028442 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:20:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RIKui1028441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:20:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 12:20:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302271820.h1RIKui1028441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 271800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 5/13/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 27/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.1S/38.3E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 976 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 57 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 150 KM SE30: 300 KM SW30: 300 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 22.6S / 37.5E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 23.3S / 36.5E FI=5.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.6S / 34.2E FI= OVERLAND 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION IS GOING ON WITH A BIGINING OF EYE, BUT THE WALL SEEMS ALREADY BROKEN ON THE LAST MICRO-WAVES DATA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 05:03:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18375-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ009LKJNM3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 04:59:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RKxeBS007321 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 04:59:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RI0ZWw027958; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:49:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1222452 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:49:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RKnSCw047198 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:49:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RKnNid003972 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:49:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RKnNmS003970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:49:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:49:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302272049.h1RKnNmS003970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270221ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 17.9S7 120.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 120.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 18.3S2 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 18.8S7 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 19.3S3 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.0S9 120.6E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GRAHAM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEADLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 20S IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD SLOWLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK MIDLEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 20S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WHICH INCLUDE: NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION, UKMET GLOBAL MODEL, AND AUSTRALIA'S GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 20 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 270221Z FEB 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 270230). NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 AND 282100Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 05:43:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18377-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ009NILMA3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 05:42:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RLg3BS014174 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 05:42:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RI0Zgc027958; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:35:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1223883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:35:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RLZPCw004444 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:35:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RLZKid005535 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:35:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RLZKFV005534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:35:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:35:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302272135.h1RLZKFV005534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 272135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 27 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N142W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE TO 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 3N89W 5N100W 4N120W 6N130W 7140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 06:13:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ0090CMTT3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 06:08:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RM8BBS018765 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 06:08:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RJ9Fts032950; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:58:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1224458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RLtaCw045246 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:55:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RLtWid006266 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:55:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RLtVqw006265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:55:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 15:55:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302272155.h1RLtVqw006265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 272155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 30N162W 23N170W EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND EXTENDING AS SHEARLINE TO 20N176W. OVERCAST LAYERS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF FRONT NORTH OF 27N. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT/SHEARLINE SOUTH OF 27N. FRONT HAS MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20KT. ITCZ...ONE SEGMENT THROUGH 07N140W 01N160W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W WITH ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF ITCZ EAST OF 142W AND ISOLATED TCU EAST OF 150W. SECOND SEGMENT THROUGH 03N173W 02N180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180 WITH ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN LAYERS WITHIN 100NM OF ITCZ. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S140W 08S142W. AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB AND BROKEN LAYERS BOUNDED BY 08S142W 11S136W 30S136W 19S142W 08S142W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND EXPANDED. CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS THROUGH 10S144W 12S166W. AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB AND BROKEN LAYERS BOUNDED BY 06S164W 10S155W 07S141W 10S142W 14S155W 14S166W 06S164W HAS INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12S173W 17S168W 20S170W 20S173W 12S173W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND EXPANDED IN SIZE. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 01S178E 06S176W 10S177W 01S178W HAS MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED. CB ASSOCIATED WITH ZONE OF SPEED CONVERGENCE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 10:56:49 2003 X-UIDL: 18381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ009YIQKL3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 07:29:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RNT2BS032234 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 07:29:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RMjbLA040864; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:22:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1226713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RNLNCw037674 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RNLIid008771 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RNLIZ1008769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302272321.h1RNLIZ1008769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270221ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1S5 38.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 271500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.7S5 119.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.9S7 120.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ALTHOUGH RECENT SSM/I IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM STILL RESEMBLES A MONSOON DEPRESSION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE AREA WHILE OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. SEE REF B (WTXS 21 PGTW 270230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD AND IS EXPECTED TO BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 94.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD, SOMEWHAT WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES A LLCC IS PRESENT IN A LOCATION JUST POLEWARD OF ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED PARA 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 10:56:52 2003 X-UIDL: 18382-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ009ZPQLW3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 07:29:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RNTnBS032353 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 07:29:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RMk9L0014592; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1226710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RNLNCw047928 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RNLIid008770 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RNLIOK008768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:21:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302272321.h1RNLIOK008768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 271800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270221ZFEB2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1S5 38.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 271500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.7S5 119.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.9S7 120.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ALTHOUGH RECENT SSM/I IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM STILL RESEMBLES A MONSOON DEPRESSION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE AREA WHILE OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. SEE REF B (WTXS 21 PGTW 270230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD AND IS EXPECTED TO BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 94.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD, SOMEWHAT WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES A LLCC IS PRESENT IN A LOCATION JUST POLEWARD OF ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED PARA 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 10:56:55 2003 X-UIDL: 18387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ009ZFS503P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 08:03:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S02sBS038608 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 08:02:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RMk9N6014592; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:54:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1227344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:54:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RNsiCw011834 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:54:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RNseid009297 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:54:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RNseFP009296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:54:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 17:54:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302272354.h1RNseFP009296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 272100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270221ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 17.9S7 120.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 120.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 18.3S2 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 18.8S7 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 19.3S3 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.0S9 120.6E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GRAHAM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEADLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 20S IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD SLOWLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK MIDLEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 20S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WHICH INCLUDE: NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION, UKMET GLOBAL MODEL, AND AUSTRALIA'S GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 20 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 270221Z FEB 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 270230). NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 AND 282100Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED RELEASED BY REFERENCE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 10:56:57 2003 X-UIDL: 18401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ009ILWXB3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 09:46:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S1kFBS060706 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 09:46:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RMk9Vq014592; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 19:41:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1229128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 19:41:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S1fHCw010422 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 19:41:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S1f7id010529 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 19:41:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S1f6sl010528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 19:41:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 19:41:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280141.h1S1f6sl010528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 280000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 28/02/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 13 (JAPHET ) 976 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.4S/38.0E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 22.9 SOUTH 37.2 EAST DEVELOPING. OTHER INFORMATION: CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE SYMETRIQUE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 10:57:00 2003 X-UIDL: 18408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ000Y2YSFUN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 10:26:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S2QXBS070806 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 10:26:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RMk9XI014592; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:17:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1229403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:17:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S2HBCw022822 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:17:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S2H6id010912 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:17:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S2H6WC010911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:17:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:17:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280217.h1S2H6WC010911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 280300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- NEAR 23.0S5 37.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.0S5 37.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 23.6S1 37.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 24.2S8 36.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 24.1S7 36.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 23.7S2 36.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION NEAR 23.2S7 37.8E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 128 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWEST THROUGH 24 HOURS TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY IN THE WEAKNESS UNTIL THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AFRICA PROPAGATES EASTWARD AND PUSHES TC 19C EQUATORWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 19S FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNTIL THE SYSTEM TRACKS EQUATORWARD AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND ENCOUNTERS SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET SPECTRAL (EGRR) AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 AND 010300Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 11:36:46 2003 X-UIDL: 18417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB0000WO1Y6UN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:34:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S3YjBS088144 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:34:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RMk9be014592; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 21:26:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1230446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 21:26:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S3QbCw004430 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 21:26:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S3QWid011765 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 21:26:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S3QWM1011764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 21:26:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 21:26:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280326.h1S3QWM1011764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 280326 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 28 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 35N138W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE TO 15N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 3N89W 5N100W 4N120W 6N130W 7140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 14:36:46 2003 X-UIDL: 18439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB0000L3AA4UN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 14:34:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S6YjBS028444 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 14:34:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6BeHA014594; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 00:26:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1232590 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 00:26:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6QFCw019258 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 00:26:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S6QAid013547 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 00:26:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S6QAIM013546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 00:26:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 00:26:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280626.h1S6QAIM013546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 280600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 6/13/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 28/02/2003 : 23.0S/37.8E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 965 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 70 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 160 KM SE30: 320 KM SW30: 320 KM NW30: 160 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 23.8S / 37.1E FI=5.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 23.7S / 36.7E FI=5.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.0S / 35.7E FI=5.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : AN EYE HAS APPEARED ON THE IMAGERY OVER THE VERY LAST HOURS. DIAMETER = 18 NM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 15:51:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB0000XADFLUN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:42:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S7gnBS045574 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:42:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S600Lg047336; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1233161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S7YoCw031714 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S7Yjid014106 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S7YjWO014104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280734.h1S7YjWO014104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 280730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/280730Z/281800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280151ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271951ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1S5 38.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 271800Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GRAHAM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9S7 120.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 272100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.9S7 120.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 94.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD, SOMEWHAT WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES A LLCC IS PRESENT IN A LOCATION JUST POLEWARD OF ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 2.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS AND ADDED WARNING INFORMATION IN PARA 2.A.(2). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 15:51:38 2003 X-UIDL: 18444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB00007LDIZUN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:45:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S7iqBS046028 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:44:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6BeIa014594; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1233157 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S7YoCw004362 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S7Yjid014107 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S7YjXP014105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:34:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280734.h1S7YjXP014105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 280730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/280730Z/281800ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280151ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271951ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1S5 38.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 271800Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GRAHAM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9S7 120.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 272100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.9S7 120.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 94.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD, SOMEWHAT WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES A LLCC IS PRESENT IN A LOCATION JUST POLEWARD OF ENHANCED WESTERLY WINDS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 2.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS AND ADDED WARNING INFORMATION IN PARA 2.A.(2). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 16:01:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB0000JPDWJUN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:53:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S7r1BS048758 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:53:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S600Mw047336; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1233279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S7mTCw016696 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S7mOid014234 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S7mOtO014232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280748.h1S7mOtO014232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 280600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 012/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 28/02/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (JAPHET ) 965 HPA POSITION : 23.0S/37.8E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 28/02/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 23.8 SOUTH/37.1 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 01/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 23.7 SOUTH/36.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : MOVEMENT REMAINS SLOW AND JAPHET SLOWLY INTENSIFIES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 16:01:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18448-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB000G5CDZ2VM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:54:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S7sWBS049155 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:54:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6BeIq014594; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1233275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S7mTCw024248 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S7mOid014233 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S7mO8F014230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:48:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280748.h1S7mO8F014230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIIIII, Probability=9%, Report=SUPERLONG_LINE WTXS32 PGTW 280900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 18.3S2 120.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 120.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 18.9S8 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 19.6S6 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 20.4S6 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.5S4 121.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GRAHAM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 20S IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD BECOMING SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 20S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA AND THEN DISSIPATE OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND AUSTRALIA'S GLOBAL (TLAPS) AND REGIONAL (TCLAPS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TLAPS AND TCLAPS. THESE TWO MODELS TRACK THE SYSTEM MORE SOUTHEASTWARD THAN OTHER AIDS OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON TCLAPS AND TLAPS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 AND 010900Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 16:01:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18449-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB0000SFE4EUN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:57:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S7viBS050009 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:57:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6BeIs014594; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:50:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1233296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:50:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S7orCw016714 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:50:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S7onid014250 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:50:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S7omCG014249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:50:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 01:50:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280750.h1S7omCG014249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 280900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 18.3S2 120.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 120.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 18.9S8 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 19.6S6 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 20.4S6 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.5S4 121.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GRAHAM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 20S IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD BECOMING SOUTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 20S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA AND THEN DISSIPATE OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND AUSTRALIA'S GLOBAL (TLAPS) AND REGIONAL (TCLAPS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TLAPS AND TCLAPS. THESE TWO MODELS TRACK THE SYSTEM MORE SOUTHEASTWARD THAN OTHER AIDS OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON TCLAPS AND TLAPS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 AND 010900Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 18:10:58 2003 X-UIDL: 18466-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB000GL6JVTVM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 18:02:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SA2ABS078140 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 18:02:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6BeK8014594; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:54:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1233896 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:54:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S9sWCw016784 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:54:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S9sRid015293 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:54:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S9sRDL015292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:54:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:54:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280954.h1S9sRDL015292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 280954 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 28 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 15N137W TO 5N141W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 113W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N134W TO 16N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N95W 7N110W 7N120W 9N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W...WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 85W...AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 18:11:09 2003 X-UIDL: 18467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB000GLMJW4VM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 18:02:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SA2MBS078184 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 18:02:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S600TA047336; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:55:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1233905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:55:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S9tCCw028214 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:55:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S9t7id015300 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:55:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S9t7Vb015299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:55:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 03:55:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280955.h1S9t7Vb015299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 280954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC FEBRUARY 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...28N160W THROUGH 30N158W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 25N165W 23N174W. SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. FRONT MOVING EAST 20-25 KT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU/SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 07N146W 08N140W EXTENDS EAST AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 25S180 20S170E MOVING EAST 5-10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 08S173W 18S169W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... TROUGH...THROUGH 13S141W 25S137W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH REMAIN SPARSE AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 20:43:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18479-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB000055R1UUN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 20:37:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SCZpBS007165 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 20:37:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6BeNg014594; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 06:26:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1235016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 06:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SCQqCw028386 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 06:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1SCQlid016408 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 06:26:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1SCQlho016407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 06:26:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 06:26:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302281226.h1SCQlho016407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 281200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 28/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 013/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 28/02/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (JAPHET ) 955 HPA POSITION : 23.2S/37.6E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/75 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 01/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 23.6 SOUTH/37.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 01/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 23.5 SOUTH/36.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : JAPHET SHOULD KEEP ON SLOWLY TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS, BEFORE CURVING NORTHWESTWARD NEXT NIGHT AS A NEW CELL OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES REBUILD IN THE SOUTHWEST. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 22:03:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB00002RV14UN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 22:03:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SE2uBS024301 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 22:02:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6BeTK014594; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 07:52:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1236198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 07:52:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SDqmCw004816 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 07:52:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1SDqhid017437 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 07:52:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1SDqhlg017436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 07:52:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 07:52:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302281352.h1SDqhlg017436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- NEAR 23.3S8 37.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.3S8 37.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 23.7S2 37.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 24.1S7 37.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 23.8S3 36.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 23.2S7 36.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION NEAR 23.4S9 37.6E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWEST THROUGH 24 HOURS TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARDS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 19S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE UNTIL THE SYSTEM TRACKS EQUATORWARD NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET SPECTRAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5 AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE BEGINNING TO DIVERGE IN TRACK SOLUTION FOR 19S. NOGAPS TRACKS THE SYSTEM ON A NORTHEAST TO NORTHWARD TRACK AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD, GFDN AND AVN TAKE A MUCH SHARPER NORTHWARD TURN AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD AND EGRR CONTINUES TO TRACK THE SYSTEM ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. SLIGHT DIFFERENCES IN THE RELATIVE STRENGTHS OF THE RIDGES TO THE EAST AND WEST OF THE SYSTEM, AS WELL AS IN THE AMPLITUDE OF THE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH, APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL FIELDS ACCOUNTING FOR THE DISPARATE TRACKS. IN ALL CASES THE TRACK SPEED REMAINS SLOW THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, MEANING THE SPATIAL DISTANCE BETWEEN MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS REMAINS LOW. IN CONSEQUENCE, POTENTIAL FOR MODIFICATION OF THE FORECAST TRACK AFTER 24 HOURS IS RELATIVELY HIGH. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 AND 011500Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 23:53:25 2003 X-UIDL: 18494-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB0000NIZTTUN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 23:46:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SFkWBS046306 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 23:46:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6Bebk014594; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 09:38:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1237822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 09:38:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SFcGCw028062 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 09:38:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1SFcCid020595 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 09:38:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1SFcBiD020594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 09:38:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 09:38:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302281538.h1SFcBiD020594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 281538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 28 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 7N140W-16N137W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 12N W OF 110W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1025 MB HIGH NEAR 33N141W SE TO 17N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N79W 6N88W 3N96W 7N111W 5N115W 9N128W 6N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-98W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-136W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS W OF 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE PANAMA COAST FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 81W-82W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST ENTERING THE NRN BORDER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 29N BETWEEN 136W-138W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 03:20:33 2003 X-UIDL: 18503-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB1000X85K6UN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 01:50:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SHoMBS071702 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 01:50:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SG7uVM011430; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:43:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1240536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:40:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SHeECw035942 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:40:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1SHeAid024657 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:40:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1SHe9sp024655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:40:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:40:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302281740.h1SHe9sp024655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800ZFEB2003/011800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280751ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281200Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3S8 37.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 281500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 280600Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3S2 120.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 280900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 94.5E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 03:21:21 2003 X-UIDL: 18504-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB100G8L5KOVM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 01:50:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SHogBS071751 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 01:50:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SG7uVO011430; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:43:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1240539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:40:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SHeECw039964 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:40:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1SHeAid024658 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:40:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1SHeA5E024656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:40:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 11:40:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302281740.h1SHeA5E024656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800ZFEB2003/011800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281351ZFEB2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280751ZFEB2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281200Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.3S8 37.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 281500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 280600Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3S2 120.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 280900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 94.5E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 03:21:24 2003 X-UIDL: 18508-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB1000LS6Y4UN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 02:20:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SIKLBS076859 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 02:20:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SHU0J8024738; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 12:12:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1241217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 12:12:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SIC6Cw039946 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 12:12:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1SIC1id025748 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 12:12:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1SIC1Dc025747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 12:12:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 12:12:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302281812.h1SIC1Dc025747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 281800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 7/13/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 28/02/2003 : 23.6S/37.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.5/5.5 /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 940 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 250 KM SE30: 380 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 240 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 23.9S / 37.0E FI=6.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 23.6S / 36.3E FI=6.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.2S / 35.3E FI=5.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : EYE DIAMETER : 20 NM. JAPHET IS FORCAST CURVING NORTWEST IN SHORT RANGE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WESTERN NEW CELL OF SUBTROPICAL HIGHS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:36:39 2003 X-UIDL: 18520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB1000GZHGXUN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 06:07:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SM7ZBS023159 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 06:07:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SKM9Y8011430; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:57:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1246149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:57:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SLvVCw035458 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:57:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1SLvQid002769 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:57:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1SLvQD6002768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:57:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:57:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302282157.h1SLvQD6002768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 282149 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC FEBRUARY 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 30N154W 28N158W EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND EXTENDING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 26N165W TO 26N173W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 100NM NORTH OF FRONT/SHEARLINE AND OCCASIONAL TCU ALONG SOUTHEAST EDGE OF FRONT. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15KT AND WEAKENING. SHEARLINE NEARLY STATIONARY. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 07N140W 01N168W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. NEW OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 90NM OF ITCZ WEST OF 150W. BAND OF ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 120NM OF ITCZ EAST OF 150W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS THROUGH 15S144W 10S178W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08S179W 08S150W 14S140W 20S150W 17S162W 12S166W 13S175W 08S179W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SECOND CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE 25S178W 17S170E. AREA OF BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 13S168E 17S176E 20S177E 24S176W 24S173W 27S177W 22S177W 18S169W 13S168E HAS MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:37:28 2003 X-UIDL: 18521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB100G4SHUSVM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 06:16:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SMFwBS024620 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 06:15:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SHU0f8024738; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:54:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1246118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:54:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SLsjCw033196 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:54:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1SLseid002648 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:54:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1SLseut002647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:54:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 15:54:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302282154.h1SLseut002647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 282136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 28 FEB 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 16N W OF 115W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1027 MB HIGH NEAR 32N141W SE TO 16N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N79W 4N95W 6N110W 7N125W 8N133W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W AND 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N127W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:37:32 2003 X-UIDL: 18532-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB100G9FWANVM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:27:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h213RqBS080007 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:27:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srDU024740; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:16:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1249888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:16:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h213G6Cw009716 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:16:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h213G1id007001 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:16:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h213G1Ef007000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:16:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:16:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303010316.h213G1Ef007000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 010300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- NEAR 23.9S4 37.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.9S4 37.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 24.1S7 37.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 24.3S9 37.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 24.6S2 37.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 24.5S1 37.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 24.0S6 37.6E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. A BUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER SOUTH AFRICA IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF TC 19S. TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME POLEWARD MOVEMENT AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN. AFTERWARDS, TC 19S SHOULD TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD GUIDED BY THE RIDGE. TC 19S SHOULD MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COOLER AIR IMPORTED BY THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET SPECTRAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5 AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) HAVE HAD POOR FORECAST PERSISTENCE OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. THE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN TWO CLUSTERS. FIRST, GFDN AND EGRR FORECAST THE BUILDING RIDGE TO STRENGTHEN AND AS A RESULT, TRACK TC 19 WESTWARD ON SHORE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AVN AND NOGAPS HOWEVER, LOOP AND TRACK THE SYSTEM NORTHEASTWARD. RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM SUGGESTS FUTURE STEERING IS GUIDED BY THE DEEP, OVERALL ENVIRONMENT. THEREFORE, OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND THE FULL BETA ADVECTION MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS ARE AT 011500Z7 AND 020300Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:37:32 2003 X-UIDL: 18534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB100G8DXK7VM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:55:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h213tCBS084671 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:55:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SKM9Cu011430; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:46:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1250085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:46:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h213kNCw009586 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:46:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h213kIid007227 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:46:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h213kIPM007226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:46:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 21:46:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303010346.h213kIPM007226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 010346 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 01 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N140W. A RIDGE EXTENDS SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N79W 4N95W 6N120W 5N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:37:42 2003 X-UIDL: 18540-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB200G992Z2VM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 13:52:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h215q7BS006331 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 13:52:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srF2024740; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1250591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h215anCw004506 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h215ajid007960 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 23:36:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h215ajFV007959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 23:36:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 23:36:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303010536.h215ajFV007959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 010300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION* 010000Z1 --- NEAR 23.9S4 37.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION* MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT* GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT* 23.9S4 37.6E6 --- FORECASTS* 12 HRS* VALID AT* 011200Z4 --- 24.1S7 37.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT* GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT* 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS* VALID AT* 020000Z2 --- 24.3S9 37.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT* GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT* 195 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS* VALID AT* 021200Z5 --- 24.6S2 37.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT* GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT* 290 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK* 48 HRS* VALID AT* 030000Z3 --- 24.5S1 37.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT* GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS* 010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 24.0S6 37.6E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET)* LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST* HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. A BUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER SOUTH AFRICA IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF TC 19S. TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME POLEWARD MOVEMENT AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN. AFTERWARDS* TC 19S SHOULD TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD GUIDED BY THE RIDGE. TC 19S SHOULD MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF COOLER AIR IMPORTED BY THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS* GFDN* UKMET SPECTRAL (EGRR)* AFWA MM5 AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) HAVE HAD POOR FORECAST PERSISTENCE OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. THE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN TWO CLUSTERS. FIRST* GFDN AND EGRR FORECAST THE BUILDING RIDGE TO STRENGTHEN AND AS A RESULT* TRACK TC 19 WESTWARD ON SHORE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AVN AND NOGAPS HOWEVER* LOOP AND TRACK THE SYSTEM NORTHEASTWARD. RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM SUGGESTS FUTURE STEERING IS GUIDED BY THE DEEP* OVERALL ENVIRONMENT. THEREFORE* OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND THE FULL BETA ADVECTION MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 AND 020300Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE* USAF// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:37:50 2003 X-UIDL: 18544-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB200G0P4ARVM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 14:20:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h216KfBS011338 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 14:20:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h216DkEc022368; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 00:14:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1251131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 00:12:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h216CnCw005242 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 00:12:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h216Ciid008197 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 00:12:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h216CimM008196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 00:12:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 00:12:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303010612.h216CimM008196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 010600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 8/13/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 01/03/2003 : 23.7S/37.6E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.5/6.0 /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 927 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 100 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 250 KM SE30: 450 KM SW30: 450 KM NW30: 300 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 23.5S / 37.5E FI=5.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 23.4S / 37.4E FI=5.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 23.2S / 36.4E FI=5.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : EYE DIAMETER IS 15 NM. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLES WITH A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:37:51 2003 X-UIDL: 18545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB2005BN8WB2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 16:00:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h21804BS028270 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 16:00:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srKw024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 01:53:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1252106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 01:53:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h217rACw039754 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 01:53:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h217r5id008832 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 01:53:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h217r5hk008831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 01:53:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 01:53:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303010753.h217r5hk008831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 010900 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- NEAR 20.6S8 120.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S8 120.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 21.3S6 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION NEAR 20.8S0 120.6E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (GRAHAM) IS NOW APPROXIMATELY 50 NM INLAND. TC 20S HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 010530Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, RADAR, AND SYNOPTIC DATA. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TC 20S IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS, MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND AUSTRALIA'S GLOBAL (TLAPS) AND REGIONAL (TCLAPS) MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:54:26 2003 X-UIDL: 18549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB2005H2E6J2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 17:54:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h219sCBS045576 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 17:54:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srMK024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:47:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1252834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:47:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h219ltCw007238 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:47:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h219loid009732 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:47:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h219lo27009731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:47:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:47:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303010947.h219lo27009731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 010947 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 01 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 01/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1027 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N138W TO 21N118W TO 17N109W TO 12N96W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 4N97W 6N110W 7N120W 9N126W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 97W...WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 126W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS WEST OF 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 18:05:25 2003 X-UIDL: 18551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB2005QMEET2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 17:59:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h219xBBS046676 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 17:59:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srMM024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:55:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1252894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:55:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h219t0Cw018062 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:55:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h219stid009764 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:54:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h219stpT009763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:54:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 03:54:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303010954.h219stpT009763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 010954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 23N170E 30N177E MOVING EAST 25-30 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 100 NM OF FRONT. CONVERGENCE CLOUD BAND THROUGH 30N177W 21N173E PRECEDING FRONT. ISOLATED CB EMBEDDED WITHIN CONVERGENCE BAND NORTH OF 27N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE EQ168W 05N151W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE EQ170W 05N180 EXTEND WESTWARD AND MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 17S175E 20S180 25S173W MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10S149W 12S140W 18S136W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 20:45:25 2003 X-UIDL: 18556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB2005BILTQ2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:39:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h21CdJBS072089 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:39:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srOC024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 06:32:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1253569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 06:32:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h21CWOCw045218 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 06:32:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h21CWKid010708 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 06:32:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h21CWJYC010707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 06:32:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 06:32:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303011232.h21CWJYC010707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 011200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 017/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 01/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (JAPHET ) 927 HPA POSITION : 23.6S/37.6E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : ALMOST STATIONNARY MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/100 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 02/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 23.2 SOUTH/37.2 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 02/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 22.8 SOUTH/36.8 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE JAPHET IS STILL STATIONNARY AND IT IS UNDER INFLUENCE OF FAVORABLES CONDITIONS, WITH A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 22:25:29 2003 X-UIDL: 18561-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB2005PGQLY2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 22:22:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h21EMdBS090374 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 22:22:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srTA024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:12:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1254614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:12:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h21ECECw040918 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:12:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h21EC9id011304 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:12:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h21EC9qi011303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:12:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:12:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303011412.h21EC9qi011303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 011500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- NEAR 23.7S2 37.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7S2 37.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 23.6S1 37.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 23.0S5 37.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 22.3S7 36.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 21.6S9 35.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION NEAR 23.7S2 37.6E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE RIDGE IS BUILDING OVER THE SOUTH AFRICAN CONTINENT, AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR BUILDS AS WELL. TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE SHORT TERM, THEN BEGIN TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST. TC 19S SHOULD MAINTAIN INTENSITY UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW WHILE NEARLY STATIONARY, THEN WEAKEN GRADUALLY AS OUTFLOW BECOMES CONFINED EQUATORWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, AFWA MM5 AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE UKMET SPECTRAL MODEL (EGRR) TAKING TC 19S ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 AND 021500Z8. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 23:55:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18564-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB2005SFUTU2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 23:53:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h21FrlBS005085 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 23:53:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h216DksW022368; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 09:45:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1255298 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 09:45:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h21FjYCw033770 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 09:45:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h21FjTid011811 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 09:45:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h21FjTt6011810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 09:45:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 09:45:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303011545.h21FjTt6011810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 011545 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 01 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 30N140W TO 25N119W AND THEN SE TO 19N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 4N90W 7N115W 6N120W 7N125W 5N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-91W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-96W...110W-112W...AND 122W-127W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 134W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN A 30NM RADIUS OF 10N138W. AREA OF OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 124W-133W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 01:25:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB2005QEYQP2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 01:18:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h21HIIBS019976 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 01:18:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srYq024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1255937 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h21H5bCw005170 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h21H5Wid012883 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h21H5WFV012881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303011705.h21H5WFV012881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7S2 37.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, REMAINING QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 281500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 010600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6S8 120.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM INLAND OVER NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 280900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 13.1S4 103.8E2 HAS DEVELOPED AND REMAINED PERSISTENT OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. A 011435Z4 SSM/I PASS INDICATED A GOOD MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. SURFACE ANALYSIS STILL SUGGESTS BROAD TROUGHING IN THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA HAS GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. DUE TO THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 01:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18569-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB2005RFYR52T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 01:18:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h21HIZBS020059 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 01:18:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h216Dkxg022368; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1255940 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h21H5bCw004462 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h21H5Wid012884 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h21H5W7H012882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 11:05:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303011705.h21H5W7H012882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7S2 37.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, REMAINING QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 281500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 010600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (GRAHAM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6S8 120.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM INLAND OVER NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 280900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 13.1S4 103.8E2 HAS DEVELOPED AND REMAINED PERSISTENT OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. A 011435Z4 SSM/I PASS INDICATED A GOOD MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. SURFACE ANALYSIS STILL SUGGESTS BROAD TROUGHING IN THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA HAS GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. DUE TO THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 06:05:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18578-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB30052LC0G2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 06:05:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h21M4vBS065789 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 06:04:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srok024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 15:56:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1260300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 15:56:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h21LuXCw045104 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 15:56:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h21LuSid015522 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 15:56:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h21LuSec015521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 15:56:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 15:56:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303012156.h21LuSec015521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 012156 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N149W 03N160W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 11N174E 02N168W 02S174W 05N176E 04N172E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEW AREA ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 05S174W 23S170W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S170W 10S144W 15S144W 18S153W 18S163W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 06:15:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18580-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB3005DJCF52T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 06:13:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h21MDkjU000785 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 06:13:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srpW024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 16:08:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1260460 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 16:08:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h21M8iCw027064 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 16:08:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h21M8eid015632 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 16:08:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h21M8eR6015631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 16:08:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 16:08:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303012208.h21M8eR6015631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 012208 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 01 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 30N131W TO 18N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 4N90W 5N110W 8N125W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 128W...AND ALSO BETWEEN 134W AND 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 09:05:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB30052SK3L2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:59:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h220xcjU021050 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:59:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212sr1K024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 18:51:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1262185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 18:51:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h220pPCw017650 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 18:51:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h220pKid016872 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 18:51:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h220pKEt016871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 18:51:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 18:51:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303020051.h220pKEt016871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 020000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 019/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 02/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (JAPHET ) 940 HPA POSITION : 23.1S/37.0E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : NORTHNORTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 02/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 22.6 SOUTH/36.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 03/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 22.1 SOUTH/35.7 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : JAPHET STARTS TO LOOSE INTENSITY AND KEEPS ON TRACKING TOWARDS THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 10:48:27 2003 X-UIDL: 18597-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB300502P4D2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 10:48:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h222m7jU035182 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 10:48:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212sr58024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:41:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1263223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:41:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h222fuCw005844 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:41:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h222fpid017600 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:41:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h222fpjD017599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:41:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:41:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303020241.h222fpjD017599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 020300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- NEAR 23.1S6 37.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S6 37.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 22.7S1 36.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 22.3S7 35.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.0S4 34.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 21.6S9 33.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION NEAR 23.0S5 36.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. THE MID-LEVEL HAS BUILT IN OVER THE SOUTH AFRICAN CONTINENT AND IS EXPECTED TO GUIDE TC 19S NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST AS THE RESULT OF DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND CONTINUED WEAK UPPER LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, AFWA MM5 AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS ARE AT 021500Z8 AND 030300Z6. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 11:03:27 2003 X-UIDL: 18599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB3005GOPTQ2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:03:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h2233KjU037149 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:03:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212sr5C024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:56:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1263274 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:56:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h222uWCw037634 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:56:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h222uRid017665 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:56:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h222uRXg017664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:56:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:56:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303020256.h222uRXg017664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 020300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION* 020000Z2 --- NEAR 23.1S6 37.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION* MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT* GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT* 23.1S6 37.0E0 --- FORECASTS* 12 HRS* VALID AT* 021200Z5 --- 22.7S1 36.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT* GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT* 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS* VALID AT* 030000Z3 --- 22.3S7 35.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT* GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT* 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS* VALID AT* 031200Z6 --- 22.0S4 34.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT* GUSTS 100 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT* 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK* 48 HRS* VALID AT* 040000Z4 --- 21.6S9 33.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT* GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS* 020300Z5 POSITION NEAR 23.0S5 36.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET)* LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST* HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. THE MID-LEVEL HAS BUILT IN OVER THE SOUTH AFRICAN CONTINENT AND IS EXPECTED TO GUIDE TC 19S NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST AS THE RESULT OF DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND CONTINUED WEAK UPPER LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS* GFDN* AFWA MM5 AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 AND 030300Z6. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE* USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 12:47:42 2003 X-UIDL: 18601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB3005VQRLT2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:41:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h223fkjU043207 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:41:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212sr5e024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 21:34:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1263551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 21:34:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h223YHCw043350 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 21:34:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h223YCid017909 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 21:34:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h223YCnA017908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 21:34:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 21:34:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303020334.h223YCnA017908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 020333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 02 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 30N130W TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N80W 4N90W 4N110W 7N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 14:26:57 2003 X-UIDL: 18604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB30058TZ8R2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:26:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h226QhjU066952 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:26:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2229KV8022368; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1265107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h226LZCw043380 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h226LUid018896 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h226LUOn018894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303020621.h226LUOn018894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 020600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 020/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 02/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (JAPHET ) 946 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.6S/36.5E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : NORTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/85 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 02/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 22.1 SOUTH/35.4 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 03/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 21.7 SOUTH/34.4 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : JAPHET STARTS TO LOOSE INTENSITY, ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS CLEARLY DISORGANIZED DURING THE LAST HOURS, AND KEEPS ON TRACKING TOWARDS THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 19:33:53 2003 X-UIDL: 18605-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB3005AEZCO2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:29:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h226T6jU067213 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:29:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dE2032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1265104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h226LZCw004846 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h226LUid018897 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h226LULx018895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 00:21:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303020621.h226LULx018895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 020600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 10/13/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 02/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.6S/36.5E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/5.0 PLUS /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 946 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 85 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 300 KM SW30: 300 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 22.1S / 35.4E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.7S / 34.4E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.2S / 31.3E FI= OVERLAND 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION HAS CLEARLY DECREASED DUE TO INTRUSION OF DRY AIR, AND THE VICINITY OF THE MOZAMBICAL COAST.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 19:34:50 2003 X-UIDL: 18607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400LJP5SLEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 16:48:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h228mFjU090144 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 16:48:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2229Kdq022368; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:35:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1265962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:35:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h228Z6Cw042614 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:35:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h228Z1id019765 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:35:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h228Z1k3019764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:35:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:35:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 21s Warning Nr 001 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303020835.h228Z1k3019764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- NEAR 14.1S6 106.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 106.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 14.7S2 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.2S8 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.8S4 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.3S0 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION NEAR 14.2S7 107.1E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 640 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020530Z0 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AND A 020006Z8 TRMM PASS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE DATA INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID- LEVEL NEAR-EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 24 TO 36 HOURS WHILE IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSIST OF UKMET (EGRR) AND NOGAPS. UKMET TRACKED THE SYSTEM FASTER WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF EGRR, NOGAPS, AND THE MEDIUM BETA ADVECTION MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 15 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 012051Z9 MAR 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 19:34:51 2003 X-UIDL: 18609-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400LHW96DEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 18:01:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22A1IjU001284 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 18:01:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dGI032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 03:53:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1266221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 03:53:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h229rfCw041520 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 03:53:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h229raid020344 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 03:53:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h229raib020343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 03:53:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 03:53:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303020953.h229raib020343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 020953 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 02 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 02/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 30N136W BEYOND 28N140W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..RIDGE 29N128W TO 21N113W TO 12N99W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 3N83W 6N94W 5N100W 4N110W 5N120W 7N133W 10N138W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 80 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 86W...WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 120W...AND WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 19:34:51 2003 X-UIDL: 18610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400LD3A38EB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 18:21:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22AL2jU004454 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 18:21:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dGc032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 04:15:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1266352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 04:15:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22AFrCw007342 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 04:15:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22AFmid020479 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 04:15:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22AFm5p020478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 04:15:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 04:15:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303021015.h22AFm5p020478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 021015 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 30N153E 25N172W 20N180 AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE WEST OF 180. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 20 KT. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 80NM OF FRONT EAST OF 171W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 160NM NW OF FRONT WEST OF 171W WITH ISOLATED TCU ALONG FRONT. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 07N140W 02N165W 02N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. AREA OF BROKEN LAYERS AND OCCASIONAL TCU PARTLY BOUNDED BY 12N140W 07N140W EQ167W 03N167W 12N140W AND EXTENDING EAST HAS MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND EXPANDED IN SIZE. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS...OCCASIONAL TCU AND VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100NM OF LINE 02N172W 02N180 AND EXTENDING WEST HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S140W 22S145W 14W150W 10S163W. AREA OF BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 06S168W 08S156W 15S137W 26S133W 27S140W 12S154W 06S168W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND EXPANDED. SECOND TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S172W 21S180 AND EXTENDING NORTHWEST. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 24S171W 19S177W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 15S160W 18S162W 16S162W HAS MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 23:01:56 2003 X-UIDL: 18611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400L7WG8YEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:34:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22CY3jU024375 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:34:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dIq032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 06:25:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1267214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 06:25:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22CP1Cw011896 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 06:25:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22COuid021176 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 06:24:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22COupY021174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 06:24:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 06:24:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303021224.h22COupY021174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO24 FMEE 021200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 02/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 13 (JAPHET ) 946 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.1S/35.6E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTNORTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/85 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 03/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 21.7 SOUTH/34.5 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 03/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 21.5 SOUTH/33.1 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSITY OF JAPHET HAS REMAINED STATIONARY IN LAST HOURS. THE SYSTEME KEEPS ON TRACKING TOWARDS THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, AND IS EXPECTED TO LANDFALLI IN THE NEXT HOURS NEAR THE CITY OF VILANCULOS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 23:03:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400L3WMAYEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 22:44:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22EiqjU045765 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 22:44:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dNY032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:37:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1268457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:37:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22Eb2Cw019990 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:37:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22Eavid021928 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:36:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22Eavct021927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:36:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:36:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303021436.h22Eavct021927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 021500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 22.2S6 35.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.2S6 35.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 21.6S9 34.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 21.3S6 33.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 20.9S1 32.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.5S7 31.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 22.0S4 35.5E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 15 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE ZONAL THROUGH THE PERIOD, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AFTER 24 HOURS. TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR) AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 AND 031500Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 23:51:39 2003 X-UIDL: 18621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400LJIP34EB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:45:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22FirjU057448 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:44:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dPk032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 09:36:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1269040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 09:36:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22FatCw040772 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 09:36:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22Faoid022332 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 09:36:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22Fao2Q022331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 09:36:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 09:36:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303021536.h22Fao2Q022331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 021536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 02 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A STATIONARY FRONT ENTERS THE REGION THROUGH 32N138W AND EXTENDS BEYOND 28N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 118W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE ABOVE FRONTAL SYSTEM. A 1025 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 32N130W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 21N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 4N90W 6N95W 4N101W 5N121W 7N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 9N FROM 137W TO 139W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 375/425 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N139W TO 22N123W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 01:56:23 2003 X-UIDL: 18623-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400LGXV3OEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 01:55:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22HsrjU083130 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 01:54:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dWS032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1270582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22HkGCw035542 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22HkBid023454 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22HkBjq023452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303021746.h22HkBjq023452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020752ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2S6 35.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 15 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 021500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 020600Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 14.1S6 106.7E4, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARNMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 020900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 103.8E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 01:57:14 2003 X-UIDL: 18624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400LHRV4GEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 01:55:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22HtIjU083196 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 01:55:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22FQ5Tq022368; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1270586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22HkJCw016620 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22HkBid023453 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22HkBXI023451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 11:46:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303021746.h22HkBXI023451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020752ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2S6 35.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 15 NM EAST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 021500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 020600Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 14.1S6 106.7E4, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARNMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 020900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 103.8E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 02:41:19 2003 X-UIDL: 18625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400LW5X44EB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:38:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22IcLjU089207 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:38:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dXW032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 12:30:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1270960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 12:30:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22IUuCw035950 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 12:30:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22IUpid023877 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 12:30:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22IUpDo023875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 12:30:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 12:30:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303021830.h22IUpDo023875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 021800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 11/13/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 02/03/2003 : 21.6S/35.2E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.0 MOINS /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 955 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 200 KM SE30: 300 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 150 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 21.0S / 34.4E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.5S / 33.5E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 10:09:48 2003 X-UIDL: 18632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB500LSU2L2EB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:36:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22KaWjU011365 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:36:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22FQ5mG022368; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:26:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1272266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:23:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22KNGCw042642 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:23:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22KNAid024748 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:23:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22KNAMJ024747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:23:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:23:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303022023.h22KNAMJ024747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 022100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 14.9S4 108.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 108.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.3S9 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.6S2 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.9S5 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 16.0S7 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.0S6 108.7E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 021421Z0 SSM/I PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AND THE SSM/I PASS. MIROWAVE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A GOOD CIRCULATION, HOWEVER ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN WEAK DUE TO POOR UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CONDITIONS THROUGH 24 HOURS, ATERWARDS, TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS THE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS IMPROVE. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSIST OF UKMET (EGRR) AND NOGAPS. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF EGRR AND NOGAPS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS ARE AT 030900Z2 AND 032100Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 10:10:46 2003 X-UIDL: 18635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB500LA56DYEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 05:58:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22LwdjU021642 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 05:58:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dfO032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:47:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1273227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:47:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22LlOCw017606 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:47:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22LlJid025472 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:47:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22LlJqL025471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:47:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:47:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303022147.h22LlJqL025471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 022147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 02 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A STATIONARY FRONT CLIPS THE NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH 31N139W 29N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS NW OF FRONT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITH RIDGE EXTENDING SE FROM A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 34N128W TO 15N100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 5N100W 4N120W 7N130W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 86W-93W AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 93W-98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH W OF DISCUSSION AREA IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDINESS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 125W-137W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDINESS FROM 10N-13N W OF 130W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 10:10:47 2003 X-UIDL: 18636-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB500LMT6NMEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 06:04:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22M4RjU022473 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 06:04:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dh4032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:59:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1273388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:59:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22LxVCw032576 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:59:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22LxQid025589 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:59:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22LxQ4b025588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:59:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 15:59:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303022159.h22LxQ4b025588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 022159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 02N175W 02N166W 08N140W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 09S167W 12S148W 17S137W 29S135W MOVED EAST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INCREASED INTENSITY. LOW...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 26S171W 28S168W 32S172W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S173W 14S159W 15S158W 21S172W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 11:50:50 2003 X-UIDL: 18646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB500EAZIZ3QQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 10:30:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h232UWjU069455 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 10:30:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dvu032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:19:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1276619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:19:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h232JuCw017410 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:19:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h232Jpid027745 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:19:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h232JpcF027744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:19:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:19:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303030219.h232JpcF027744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 21.2S5 34.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.2S5 34.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 20.8S0 33.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 20.6S8 32.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.4S6 31.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 21.1S4 34.5E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET) MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 021930Z5 JUST SOUTH OF VILANCULOS, MOZAMBIQUE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AT VILANCULOS, 3 HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL, REPORTED 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 57 KNOTS. TC 19S HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND 022330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST, IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE ZONAL THROUGH THE PERIOD, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. NEXT WARNINGS ARE AT 031500Z9 AND 040300Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 11:51:00 2003 X-UIDL: 18649-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB500EKLLENQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 11:23:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h233N3jU081521 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 11:23:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dxs032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 21:18:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1277019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 21:18:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h233I9Cw042986 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 21:18:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h233I4id028181 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 21:18:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h233I4CI028180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 21:18:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 21:18:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303030318.h233I4CI028180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 030317 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 03 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT CLIPS THE NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH 31N140W 30N139W 29N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM OF FRONT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITH RIDGE EXTENDING SE FROM 30N130W TO 13N95W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 5N90W 4N110W 3N120W 7N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 87W-93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH W OF DISCUSSION AREA IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDINESS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 250 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 10N140W 16N130W AND 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N130W TO 27N124W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 16:10:37 2003 X-UIDL: 18661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB500E9HRE4QQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 13:32:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h235WNjU011766 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 13:32:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h234xsES007710; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:21:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1277937 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h235IdCw033642 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h235IXid029055 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h235IXCl029053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303030518.h235IXCl029053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 030600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/KUMAGA/STATEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 16:50:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600E7K09IQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 16:44:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h238i1jU060355 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 16:44:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2362GIQ042870; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:33:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1279523 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:33:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h238XhCw018532 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:33:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h238Xcid000243 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:33:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h238Xco4000242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:33:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:33:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 21s Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303030833.h238Xco4000242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 14.7S2 110.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7S2 110.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 14.9S4 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.1S7 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.3S9 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.5S1 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.7S2 110.6E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND INCREASING CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSIST OF UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, NOGAPS, AND GFS AVIATION (AVN). THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 AND 040900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 17:20:29 2003 X-UIDL: 18672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600EN61INQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 17:11:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h239B4jU066840 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 17:11:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2362GIs042870; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:06:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1279691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:06:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23960Cw007190 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:06:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2395tid000633 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:05:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2395t03000632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:05:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:05:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 03/03/2003 A 0600 Utc Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303030905.h2395t03000632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO21 FMEE 030600 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 03/03/2003 A 0600 UTC NUMERO : 024/13 (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSE DU VENT EN NOEUDS (KT) AVIS DE COUP DE VENT BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 03/03/2003 A 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : DEPRESSION SUR TERRE 13 (EX-JAPHET ) 985 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 20.9S/34.3E (VINGT DEGRES NEUF SUD ET TRENTE QUATRE DEGRES TROIS EST) A 0600 UTC MOVEMENTENT : NORTH-WEST 5 KT ZONES MENACEES : TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 200 MN DANS LES SECTEURS NORD-EST ET NORD-OUEST. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE PRES DE LA COTE, C'EST-A-DIRE JUSQU'A 50 MN DU CENTRE SUR MER. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE JUSQU'A 100 MN DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 180 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 03/03/2003 A 1800 UTC: 20.5 SUD/33.4 EST POSITION PREVUE LE 04/03/2003 A 0600 UTC: 20.1 SUD/32.3 EST INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : LE SYSTEME S'ENFONCE VERS LE NORD-OUEST DANS LES TERRES EN FAIBLISSANT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 18:05:21 2003 X-UIDL: 18677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600EGV3V0QQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:01:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23A1fjU080781 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:01:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2362GJS042870; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:53:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1279967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:53:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h239rqCw043424 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:53:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h239rlid000875 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:53:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h239rlAr000874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:53:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:53:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303030953.h239rlAr000874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 030953 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 30N159W 25N162W 20N170W AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 18N180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KT. SHEARLINE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS AND VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM NORTHWEST OF LINE 30N157W 26N160W 23N163W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 160NM NORTHWEST OF LINE 23N163W 18N180 WITH ISOLATED TCU ALONG FRONT. SHEARLINE...AXIS THROUGH 27N140W 24N150W MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 135 NM NW OF SHEARLINE AXIS. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 07N140W 04N160W 02N170W 02N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. BAND OF OCCASIONAL CB AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 06N152W 04N161W HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. OCCASIONAL TCU...WIDELY ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN LAYERS WITHIN 60NM OF ITCZ AXIS EAST OF 152W AND WEST OF 161W. AREA BETWEEN 161W AND 166W HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 25S138W 18S145W 15S150W EXTENDING SOUTHEAST OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 12S159W. AREA OF BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 14S138W 18S132W 25S131W 25S135W 16S141W 14S138W HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN SIZE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 11S174W 13S169W 13S176W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 17S162W 17S164W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 16S150W 15S152W AND BOUNDED BY 07S161W 09S162W 08S163W 07S161W AND 13S179W 17S176W 17S178W 13S179W. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 18:35:25 2003 X-UIDL: 18678-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600EU250YQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:26:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23AQqjU086185 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:26:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2362GJc042870; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:21:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1280079 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:21:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23ALJCw020234 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:21:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23ALEid001060 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:21:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23ALEqG001059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:21:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:21:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303031021.h23ALEqG001059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 031021 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 03 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 03/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT THROUGH 30N139W TO 24N142W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF 27N BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. ..RIDGE EAST OF DISSIPATING COLD FRONT...THROUGH 30N128W 20N117W 13N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 4N84W 4N90W 6N100W 3N116W 4N127W 9N131W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W...AND WITHIN 15 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 130W. BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF 7N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 32N143W...TO 28N140W 23N140W AND 17N140W. UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW TO THE EAST OF TROUGH... PACIFIC MOISTURE NORTH OF 10N EAST OF 130W...POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 19:41:32 2003 X-UIDL: 18679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600EGT60KQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:48:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23AmFjU090609 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:48:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2362GKo042870; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:44:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1280296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:44:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23Ai3Cw017448 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:44:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23Ahwid001203 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:43:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23Ahvkl001201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:43:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:43:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303031043.h23Ahvkl001201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 011800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 9/13/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 01/03/2003 : 23.6S/37.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/6.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 927 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 100 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 250 KM SE30: 450 KM SW30: 450 KM NW30: 300 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 23.3S / 37.1E FI=5.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 22.8S / 36.5E FI=5.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 22.2S / 35.3E FI=5.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : DIAMETER OF THE EYE= 15 NM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 00:35:50 2003 X-UIDL: 18687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600EB0FRZQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:19:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23EJ3jU033822 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:19:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2362GSw042870; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:06:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1282068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:06:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23E6pCw018542 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:06:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23E6lid003023 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:06:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23E6lAn003022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:06:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:06:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303031406.h23E6lAn003022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 031500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 20.8S0 33.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.8S0 33.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 20.5S7 32.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.4S6 31.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.7S9 33.3E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S (JAPHET), LOCATED OVER LAND, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHWEST OF VILANCULOS, MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND 031130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST, IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE ZONAL THROUGH THE PERIOD, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS. TC 19S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK INLAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 00:36:03 2003 X-UIDL: 18693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600EZUK8LQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 23:55:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23FtQjU056806 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 23:55:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h234xs8K007710; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 09:44:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1283713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 09:44:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23FiOCw004464 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 09:44:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23FiJid006343 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 09:44:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23FiJew006342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 09:44:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 09:44:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303031544.h23FiJew006342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 031544 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 03 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 03/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH 30N139W TO 24N145W. WIDELY SCATTER MODERATE SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF 27N BETWEEN 136W AND 139W. ..RIDGE EAST OF DISSIPATING COLD FRONT...THROUGH 30N129W 10N110W 13N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 5N105W 4N125W 9N135W 7N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 83W TO 87W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 135W. BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF 6N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...DEEP LAYER TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 31N144W THROUGH 30N139W TO 27N139W. MIDDLE/UPPER TROUGH THROUGH 30N130W 25N127W 18N128W TO 10N137W...SW WIND FLOW TO THE EAST OF TROUGH...PACIFIC MOISTURE NORTH OF 10N EAST OF TROUGH...POSSIBLE SHOWERS NORTH OF 18N E OF TROUGH TO 110W. $$ LL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 06:03:21 2003 X-UIDL: 18697-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600E8XR5VQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:25:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23IP0jU091398 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:25:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2362Gqc042870; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1286051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23IGICw041680 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23IGCid011900 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23IGCOF011897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303031816.h23IGCOF011897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030752ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8S0 33.6E2 OVER LAND, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHWEST OF VILANCULOS, MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 031500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 030600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 14.7S2 110.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING EASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10.8S9 79.0E6. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES ALSO REVEAL MID-LEVEL TURNING OVER THE AREA, BUT NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AS OF YET. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 06:03:21 2003 X-UIDL: 18698-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600EDGR8RQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:26:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23IQijU091805 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:26:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2362Gr6042870; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:19:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1286081 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:19:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23IJaCw033894 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:19:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23IJVid012064 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:19:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23IJV8s012062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:19:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:19:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303031819.h23IJV8s012062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 031800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 13/13/20022003 1.A OVERLAND CYCLONE (EX-JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 03/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.5S/32.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / / /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.4S / 31.2E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.3S / 30.2E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : 20.0S / 28.8E FI= DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 250 KM FROM THE CENTRE, UP TO 300 KM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 400 KM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. THE MORE INTENSE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, ASSOCIATED TO THE STRONGEST RAINFALLS ARE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CEZRCLE, AND ALSO IN THE EASTERN SECTOR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 06:03:21 2003 X-UIDL: 18699-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600EOCRJHQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:33:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23IXBjU093180 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:33:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23GLEWe007710; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1286054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23IGOCw041688 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23IGCid011901 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23IGC3G011898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 12:16:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303031816.h23IGC3G011898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030752ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8S0 33.6E2 OVER LAND, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHWEST OF VILANCULOS, MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 031500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 030600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 14.7S2 110.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING EASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10.8S9 79.0E6. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES ALSO REVEAL MID-LEVEL TURNING OVER THE AREA, BUT NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AS OF YET. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 06:03:25 2003 X-UIDL: 18704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600ERMU65QQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:30:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23JTsjU006985 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:29:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2362GwQ042870; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 13:15:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1286914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 13:09:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23J9wCw045686 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 13:09:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23J9rid013822 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 13:09:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23J9r5F013820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 13:09:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 13:09:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303031909.h23J9r5F013820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 031800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 13/13/20022003 1.A OVERLAND CYCLONE (EX-JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 03/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.5S/32.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / / /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.4S / 31.2E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.3S / 30.2E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : 20.0S / 28.8E FI= DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 250 KM FROM THE CENTRE, UP TO 300 KM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 400 KM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. THE MORE INTENSE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, ASSOCIATED TO THE STRONGEST RAINFALLS ARE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CEZRCLE, AND ALSO IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 06:03:37 2003 X-UIDL: 18710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600EQXYESQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 05:01:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23L1WjU028537 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 05:01:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7ks024502; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:49:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1288173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:49:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KnJiw040960 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:49:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23KnDid017395 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:49:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23KnDKC017394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:49:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:49:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303032049.h23KnDKC017394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 032100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 14.7S2 111.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7S2 111.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 14.9S4 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.2S8 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.9S5 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 17.2S0 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.7S2 111.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TC 19S TO BE A SMALL, RELATIVELY SYMMETRIC SYSTEM. TC 19S HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY AT A STEADY STATE OVER THE PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HIDDEN UNDER THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO). RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES INDICATE THAT TC 19S IS BEING HAMPERED IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BY THE ENTRAINMENT OF RELATIVELY DRY AIR FROM THE SOUTHWEST, AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS BEING RESTRICTED BY THE NUMEROUS ISLANDS THAT COMPRISE INDONESIA TO THE NORTH. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH, THEN MORE POLEWARD THEREAFTER IN RESPONSE TO INTERACTION WITH A DEVELOPING WEAK LOW TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND UK MET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN AGREEMENT, WITH THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL (AVN) THE LONE OUTLIER ACCELERATING 19S TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND EGRR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 AND 042100Z7. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 06:03:38 2003 X-UIDL: 18711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700ESX0FZQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 05:45:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23LjRjU036245 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 05:45:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7qM024502; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 15:36:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1289194 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 15:36:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23Laliw027216 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 15:36:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23Lagid019014 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 15:36:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23LagMb019012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 15:36:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 15:36:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303032136.h23LagMb019012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 032136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 03 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 03/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH LIES OVER THE NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH 31N137W 28N137W TO BEYOND 25N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF AREA E OF TROUGH WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 30N130W TO 13N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N85W 6N105W 4N127W 8N135W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 83W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 121W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/BROKEN CLOUDINESS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 130W-140W AND WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 15N130W 20N120W 30N116W. BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDINESS CONTINUES NEWD OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND SEA OF CORTEZ. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 06:43:09 2003 X-UIDL: 18713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GQ42QUAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 06:35:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23MZBjU047060 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 06:35:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7vi024502; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 16:21:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1289877 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 16:21:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23MLwiw022772 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 16:21:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23MLrid020355 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 16:21:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23MLqi4020354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 16:21:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 16:21:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303032221.h23MLqi4020354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 032221 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 30N157W 26N158W 23N165W AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 18N180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KT. SHEARLINE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 300 NM NORTHWEST OF LINE 30N153W 24N158W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 230 NM NORTHWEST OF LINE 24N158W 18N180. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 07N140W 05N157W 01N171W 01N180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 08N140W 07N152W DRIFTED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...FRONT THROUGH 25S135W 21S139W 16S145W 15S150W. ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WITHIN AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS EXTENDING 250 NM NORTHEAST OF FRONT. FRONT MOVED EAST AT 10 KT. EMBEDDED CB AREA WITHIN FRONTAL BAND WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN SIZE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12S170W 15S170W 14S173W 12S173W 12S170W DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ELSEWHERE... NEW LINE OF OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 15S164W 14S168W DEVELOPED WITHIN THE PAST 6 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09S158W 13S159W 10S169W 05S169W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 08:53:09 2003 X-UIDL: 18715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GQC92AAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 08:51:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h240pZjU073713 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 08:51:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP762024502; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:36:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1291680 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:36:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h240aiiw039690 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:36:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h240acid023259 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:36:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h240actg023257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:36:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:36:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040036.h240actg023257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 040000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 04/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 14 1003 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.8S/79.9E (TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT. FORECASTED POSITION 04/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 11.5 SOUTH/80.4 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 12.1 SOUTH/80.6 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION QUITE RECENT IS WEAKLY EASTH-NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 09:03:02 2003 X-UIDL: 18717-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GRS9JLAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 09:02:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h2411wjU075775 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 09:02:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7Pg012678; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:47:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1291768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:47:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h240l4iw037636 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:47:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h240kxid023392 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:46:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h240kxNT023391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:46:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 18:46:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040046.h240kxNT023391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 032100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 14.7S2 111.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7S2 111.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 14.9S4 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.2S8 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.9S5 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 17.2S0 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.7S2 111.8E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TC 21S TO BE A SMALL, RELATIVELY SYMMETRIC SYSTEM. TC 21S HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY AT A STEADY STATE OVER THE PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HIDDEN UNDER THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO). RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES INDICATE THAT TC 21S IS BEING HAMPERED IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BY THE ENTRAINMENT OF RELATIVELY DRY AIR FROM THE SOUTHWEST, AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS BEING RESTRICTED BY THE NUMEROUS ISLANDS THAT COMPRISE INDONESIA TO THE NORTH. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH, THEN MORE POLEWARD THEREAFTER IN RESPONSE TO INTERACTION WITH A DEVELOPING WEAK LOW TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND UK MET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN AGREEMENT, WITH THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL (AVN) THE LONE OUTLIER ACCELERATING 19S TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND EGRR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 AND 042100Z7. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: IN REMARKS, CHANGED TC 19S TO CORRECT STORM NUMBER, TC 21S. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 10:57:54 2003 X-UIDL: 18731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GEPEL8AH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 10:51:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h242p0jU006785 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 10:51:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7Ei024502; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:46:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1293468 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:46:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h242kCiw004146 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:46:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h242k7id024916 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:46:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h242k6Pp024914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:46:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:46:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040246.h242k6Pp024914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 040000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 001/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 04/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 14 1003 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.8S/79.9E (TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : UNDETERMINED MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 MN RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT. FORECASTED POSITION 04/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 11.5 SOUTH/80.4 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 12.1 SOUTH/80.6 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION QUITE RECENT IS WEAKLY EASTH-NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 12:38:39 2003 X-UIDL: 18732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GVBI2JAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:06:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h2446CjU029554 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:06:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7Ga024502; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 21:45:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1293889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 21:45:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h243jeiw045668 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 21:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h243jYid025685 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 21:45:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h243jY4Q025684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 21:45:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 21:45:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040345.h243jY4Q025684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 040345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 04 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 04/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH LIES OVER THE NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH 31N137W 28N137W TO BEYOND 25N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 16N137W TO NEAR 20N126W. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH. ..TROUGH EXTENDS NE FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 5N100W TO 11N94W. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM ITCZ TO 10N BETWEEN 93W-103W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 10N E OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 5N110W 4N130W 7N132W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 82W-88W AND FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 94W-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDINESS MOVING EWD OVER THE S BAJA PENINSULA AND SEA OF CORTEZ. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 12:38:39 2003 X-UIDL: 18733-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GUSJ70AH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:30:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h244UQjU035462 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:30:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7I0024502; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1294159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h244Lfiw033126 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h244LZid026020 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h244LZfN026018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040421.h244LZfN026018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 040330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/040330Z/041800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031952ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8S0 33.6E2 OVER LAND, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHWEST OF VILANCULOS, MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 031500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 031800Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 14.7S2 111.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 032100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 79.0E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 78.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR AND UPDATED PARA 2.A.(2). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 12:38:39 2003 X-UIDL: 18734-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GV8J76AH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:30:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h244UajU035497 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:30:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2437SoM012678; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1294162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h244Lfiw026402 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h244LZid026021 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h244LZR6026019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:21:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040421.h244LZR6026019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 040330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/040330Z/041800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031952ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (JAPHET) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8S0 33.6E2 OVER LAND, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHWEST OF VILANCULOS, MOZAMBIQUE, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 031500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 031800Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 14.7S2 111.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 032100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 79.0E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 78.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR AND UPDATED PARA 2.A.(2). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 14:25:42 2003 X-UIDL: 18740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GZQO94AH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:19:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h246JgjU059986 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:19:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7PO024502; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:13:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1295284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:07:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2467Eiw037212 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:07:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24679id027093 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:07:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24679u2027091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:07:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:07:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040607.h24679u2027091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 040600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 14/13/20022003 1.A OVERLAND CYCLONE (EX-JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 04/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.7S/31.5E (NINETEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / / / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : / 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.0S / 30.4E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.8S / 29.0E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATED 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, ASSOCIATED TO HEAVY RAINS, HAS REBUILT DURING LAST NIGHT, AFFECTING AN AREA EXTENDING BETWEEN 100 KM AND 500 KM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 14:25:42 2003 X-UIDL: 18741-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GMUOHBAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:24:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h246OdjU060999 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:24:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7SG024502; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:19:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1295559 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:17:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h246HTiw014750 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:17:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h246HNid027194 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:17:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h246HNDA027192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:17:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:17:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040617.h246HNDA027192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 040600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 002/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 04/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 1002 HPA POSITION : 11.2S/78.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 240 MN FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT. FORECASTED POSITION 04/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 11.4 SOUTH/78.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 11.7 SOUTH/77.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : RECENT CONVECTION IS WEAKLY EAST-NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 14:25:42 2003 X-UIDL: 18742-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GMYOHBAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:24:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h246OgjU061011 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:24:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7Su024502; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:19:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1295662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:19:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h246JTiw017978 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:19:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h246JOid027226 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:19:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h246JOle027224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:19:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 00:19:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040619.h246JOle027224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 040600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 1/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 04/03/2003 : 11.2S/78.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 11.4S / 78.0E FI=2.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 11.7S / 77.0E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 12.0S / 75.5E FI=3.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.0-.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 16:43:35 2003 X-UIDL: 18745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GAYQMIAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:11:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h247B0jU071635 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:11:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7Vg024502; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 01:02:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1296181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 01:02:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2472jiw022968 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 01:02:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2472Yid027576 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 01:02:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2472Yge027575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 01:02:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 01:02:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 040621zmar2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040702.h2472Yge027575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS21 PGTW 040630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 040621ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 19.5S5 152.0E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 040530Z2 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 20.1S3 152.1E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.3S5 152.9E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.1S3 152.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ALTHOUGH, QUIKSCAT REVEALS ELONGATED TROUGHING, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS WELL AWAY FROM THE LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES DECREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 050630Z4. 5. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 17:17:17 2003 X-UIDL: 18752-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GBHV87AH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 16:50:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h248oPjU098276 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 16:50:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h247mBjm024504; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:45:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1296923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:45:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h248j2iw014660 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:45:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h248ivid028263 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:44:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h248ivZg028262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:44:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:44:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040844.h248ivZg028262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 040900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 15.0S6 112.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 112.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.4S0 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 16.0S7 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 18.2S1 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 19.8S8 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.1S7 112.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 445 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 21S IS BEING HAMPERED IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BY THE ENTRAINMENT OF RELATIVELY DRY AIR FROM THE SOUTHWEST, AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED BY THE NUMEROUS ISLANDS THAT COMPRISE INDONESIA TO THE NORTH. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH, THEN MORE POLEWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF SYSTEM. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN A MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL AS THE OUTLIER HOLDING TC 21S TO AN EASTERLY TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND EGRR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 AND 050900Z4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 18:09:27 2003 X-UIDL: 18755-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GM0Y71AH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 17:54:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h249sQjU014947 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 17:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h247mBkE024504; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:42:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1297205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:42:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h249gCiw012754 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:42:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h249g6id028817 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:42:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h249g6gL028816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:42:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:42:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040942.h249g6gL028816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 040942 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 04 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 04/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH LIES OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM W OF 32N140W THROUGH 30N138W 28N137W 24N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 45NM OF THE TROUGH N OF 28N. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 5N104W IN THE ITCZ NE TO 12N100W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED SHOWERS UP TO 60NM W OF THE AXIS. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM NW OF 32N133W TO 25N126W TO 15N100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N80W 7N89W 5N100W 4N120W 4N133W 10N138W 10N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-90W. SCATTERED CELLS OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/BROKEN HIGH CLOUDINESS WITHIN 120NM OF A LINE FROM 13N132W NE TO 27N109W ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST. BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS FROM 9N-16N W OF 136W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 18:09:28 2003 X-UIDL: 18756-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GMRY7AAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 17:54:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h249sdjU014977 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 17:54:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h247mBkG024504; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:47:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1297218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:47:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h249lJiw037120 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:47:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h249lDid028864 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:47:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h249lDn7028863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:47:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 03:47:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040947.h249lDn7028863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 040947 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE/EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 05N174E 01N167W 03S176E 01N164E 05N164E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 12N140W 07N154W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 09S174W 27S178W 10S173E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08S164W 15S152W 20S162W 12S167W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 00:08:13 2003 X-UIDL: 18760-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GHN4TQAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:17:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24CHhjU044520 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:17:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h247mBqI024504; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 06:09:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1298420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 06:09:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24C9Giw020534 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 06:09:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24C97id000092 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 06:09:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24C97UY000090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 06:09:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 06:09:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041209.h24C97UY000090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 041200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 04/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 1000 HPA POSITION : 11.5S/78.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 240 MN FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 11.8 SOUTH/77.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 12.0 SOUTH/77.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : SYSTEM IS EAST-NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED. LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS VISIBLE ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION, THAT REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 02:09:28 2003 X-UIDL: 18775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GWBKKJAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:57:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24HvmjU020650 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:57:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24GZip2034508; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1302645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24Hliiw005680 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Hldid009708 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24HldCb009706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041747.h24HldCb009706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 041800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 15/13/20022003 1.A OVERLAND CYCLONE (EX-JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 04/03/2003 : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.0S/29.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND TWENTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /W /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : / 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.0S / 28.0E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.2S / 26.5E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : MOST IMPORTANT RAINFALLS EXIST IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 500 KM FROM THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 02:09:43 2003 X-UIDL: 18777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800G0MKNPAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:59:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24HxijU021135 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:59:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h248L1f2016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1302712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24Hrliw021840 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Hrfid009971 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24Hrff0009966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041753.h24Hrff0009966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040751ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040600Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 15.0S6 112.2E6, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 040900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 78.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 78.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 02:09:43 2003 X-UIDL: 18778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800G39KP6AH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:00:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24I0ajU021331 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:00:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h248L1eK016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1302650 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24Hljiw037530 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Hldid009714 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24Hlda5009711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:47:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041747.h24Hlda5009711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 041500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040621ZMAR2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- NEAR 21.6S9 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.6S9 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 22.0S4 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.9S1 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 19.7S7 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.3S2 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION NEAR 21.7S0 154.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM, EAST- SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 45 KNOTS. TC 22S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS UNDER WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE BEFORE TURNING EQUATORWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF TC 22S BUILDS EQUATORWARD. TC 22S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY IN RESPONSE TO DECREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION, AUSTRALIA'S GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS AND UKMET (EGRR) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SOLUTION. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE ABOVE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 15 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 040621ZMAR2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 02:09:43 2003 X-UIDL: 18779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800G3KKPCAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:00:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24I0ejU021362 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:00:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h248L1fG016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1302722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24Hrriw021850 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Hrfid009972 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24HrfR4009968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041753.h24HrfR4009968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040751ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040600Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 15.0S6 112.2E6, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 040900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 78.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 78.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 02:09:44 2003 X-UIDL: 18780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800G64KQTAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:01:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24I1ZjU021537 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:01:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h248L1fA016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1302718 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24Hrkiw020550 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Hrfid009969 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24Hrf5t009962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041753.h24Hrf5t009962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 041700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/041700Z/050600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041351ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6S9 154.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 041500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.1S3 152.1E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED TCFA TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. 4. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 02:31:59 2003 X-UIDL: 18781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GQDLZ5AH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:28:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24ISBjU026966 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:28:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24IDJjs016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:16:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1303152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:16:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24IGPiw004706 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:16:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24IGKid010869 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:16:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24IGK9x010867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:16:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:16:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041816.h24IGK9x010867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 041800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 04/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S/78.2E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 230 MN FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 11.7 SOUTH/77.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.0 SOUTH/76.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION ACTIVITY, AS USUAL MORE IMPORTANT DURING THE NIGHT, IS INTENSIFTING ABOVE THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 02:32:00 2003 X-UIDL: 18782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GQWLZOAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:28:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24ISUjU027012 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:28:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24GZisa034508; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:18:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1303201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:18:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24IIUiw022928 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:18:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24IIOid010975 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:18:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24IIO5Z010973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:18:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:18:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041818.h24IIO5Z010973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 041800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 04/03/2003 : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S/78.2E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 11.7S / 77.5E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 12.0S / 76.6E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 12.6S / 75.0E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.0+. THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IS WEAKENING SOUTH OF 10S, WHAT COULD HELP FOR AN INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 04:11:59 2003 X-UIDL: 18790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800G1WQJEAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 04:06:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24K6gjU052628 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 04:06:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24IDJ8I016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:00:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1305370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:00:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24K02iw024438 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:00:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Jxtid015201 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:59:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24Jxt9b015198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:59:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:59:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041959.h24Jxt9b015198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 041800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 15/13/20022003 1.A OVERLAND CYCLONE (EX-JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 04/03/2003 : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.0S/29.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND TWENTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /W /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : / 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.0S / 28.0E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.2S / 26.5E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : MOST IMPORTANT RAINFALLS EXIST IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT, UP TO 500 KM FROM THE CENTRE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 04:12:00 2003 X-UIDL: 18791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GI9QRLAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 04:11:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24KBbjU054196 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 04:11:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24IDJ8k016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:06:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1305373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:00:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24K02iw009622 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:00:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Jxtid015200 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:59:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24JxtQk015194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:59:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:59:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041959.h24JxtQk015194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 041800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 04/03/2003 : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S/78.2E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 11.7S / 77.5E FI=2.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 12.0S / 76.6E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 12.6S / 75.0E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=2.0+. THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IS WEAKENING SOUTH OF 10S, WHAT COULD HELP FOR AN INTENSIFICATION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 04:12:00 2003 X-UIDL: 18792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GIXQRXAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 04:11:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24KBnjU054287 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 04:11:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24IDJ8c016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:03:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1305354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:58:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24Jwgiw020850 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:58:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Jwbid015139 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:58:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24JwbBH015135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:58:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:58:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041958.h24JwbBH015135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 041800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 04/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S/78.2E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 230 MN FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 11.7 SOUTH/77.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.0 SOUTH/76.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION ACTIVITY, AS USUAL MORE IMPORTANT DURING THE NIGHT, IS INTENSIFTING ABOVE THE CENTRE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 04:21:59 2003 X-UIDL: 18793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GKNQTCAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 04:12:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24KCgjU054651 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 04:12:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24J4TpE014804; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 14:04:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1305359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:58:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24Jwhiw023780 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:58:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Jwbid015140 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:58:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24Jwbi7015137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:58:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 13:58:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 04/03/2003 A 1800 Utc Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041958.h24Jwbi7015137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO21 FMEE 041800 METEO FRANCE / CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 04/03/2003 A 1800 UTC NUMERO : 004/14 (SUD-OUEST OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSE DU VENT EN NOEUDS (KT) AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE : MARDI 04/03/2003 A 1800 UTC PHENOMENE : DEPRESSION TROPICALE 14 998 HPA POSITION : DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 11.5S/78.2E (ONZE DEGRES CINQ SUD ET SOIXANTE DIX HUIT DEGRES DEUX EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT : SUD-OUEST 3 KT ZONES MENACEES : TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 230 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER FORTE POUVANT ATTEINDRE LE GRAND FRAIS PRES DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. POSITION PREVUE LE 05/03/2003 A 0600 UTC: 11.7 SUD/77.5 EST S'INTENSIFIANT. POSITION PREVUE LE 05/03/2003 A 1800 UTC: 12.0 SUD/76.6 EST S'INTENSIFIANT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES : LA CONVECTION, CLASSIQUEMENT PLUS IMPORTANTE LA NUIT, S'INTENSIFIE AU DESSUS DU CENTRE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 05:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 18797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GA5UN8AH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 05:35:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24LZPjU076417 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 05:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24J4T1I014804; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:27:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1307170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:27:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24LR4iw024476 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:27:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24LQwid018330 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:26:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24LQvTn018329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:26:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:26:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303042126.h24LQvTn018329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 042100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 15.1S7 113.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 113.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.7S3 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 16.6S3 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.0S9 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 19.3S3 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 20.3S5 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.2S8 113.9E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 40 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 21S CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN RELATIVELY DRY AIR FROM THE AUSTRALIAN CONTINENT, WHILE INFLOW REMAINS RESTRICTED BY THE INDONESIAN ISLANDS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH, THEN MORE POLEWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTH OF SYSTEM. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN THE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT, WITH THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL CONTINUING AS THE FARTHEST OUTLIER HOLDING TC 21S TO AN EASTERLY TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND EGRR AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8, 050900Z4, 051500Z1 AND 052100Z8. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 05:51:59 2003 X-UIDL: 18798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GWSVALAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 05:49:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24LnRjU078641 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 05:49:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24J4T2g014804; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:42:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1307422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:42:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24Lgviw042786 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:42:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Lgpid018910 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:42:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24LgpMH018909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:42:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:42:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303042142.h24LgpMH018909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS21 PGTW 042130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 042121ZMAR03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 125 NM RADIUS OF 11.5S7 78.4E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 041730Z5 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 78.4E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 78.5E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 78.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 041307Z5 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED PRIMARILY WEST THROUGH SOUTHWEST OF THE LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 052130Z1. 4. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 06:01:59 2003 X-UIDL: 18800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GIZVSWAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:00:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24M0OjU080321 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:00:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24J4T3O014804; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:51:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1307596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:51:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24LpRiw041624 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:51:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24LpLid019240 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:51:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24LpLk9019238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:51:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:51:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303042151.h24LpLk9019238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 042151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE MAR 04 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 04/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH LIES OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA ALONG 30N138W 27N135W TO BEYOND 22N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 28N W OF 135W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 5N104W NEWD TO NEAR 10N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 96W-101W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 5N110W 5N120W 5N130W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 128W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 06:11:59 2003 X-UIDL: 18801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GVJW2QAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:06:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24M6KjU081418 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:06:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24J4T3K014804; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:50:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1307563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:49:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24Lnwiw040892 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:49:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Lnrid019163 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:49:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24Lnroe019162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:49:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:49:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303042149.h24Lnroe019162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 042149 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...A CLOUD BAND IS BOUNDED BY 30N163W 30N154W 25N157W 30N163W. THIS AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTI LAYER CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OVER A LOW CLOUD BAND ASSOCIATED WITH A RECENTLY DISSIPATED SURFACE FRONT. COLD FRONT...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND IS ALONG LINE 30N169W 28N172W 25N180. IT HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 20 KNOTS. SOUTH OF 28N IT IS A BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS 50 TO 100 MILES WIDE. NORTH OF 28N IT CONSISTS OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS. ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 02N170W 02N180 MOVED SOUTH AT LESS THAN 5 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED DRAMATICALLY IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE SURFACE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 21S142W 24S129W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 10S156W 21S146W 14S163W 10S156W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 10S165W 10S178W MOVED NORTHEAST NEAR 10 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 20S176W 25S178W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 08:21:59 2003 X-UIDL: 18808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008F224YVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:17:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h250HFjU002815 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:17:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24NMPpm016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 18:10:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1309817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 18:09:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2509Ziw040916 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 18:09:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2509Tid022483 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 18:09:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2509Trd022481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 18:09:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 18:09:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050009.h2509Trd022481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 050000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 05/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 997 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.2S/78.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTNORTHWEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 230 MN FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 11.2 SOUTH/77.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 11.5 SOUTH/76.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION IS INTENSIFYING AND ORGANIZING OVER THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 10:12:00 2003 X-UIDL: 18811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB90083Q71EVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 10:03:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h25237jU026634 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 10:03:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24J4THe014804; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 19:54:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1311059 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 19:54:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h251smiw024478 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 19:54:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h251sgid023826 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 19:54:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h251sgDt023824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 19:54:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 19:54:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050154.h251sgDt023824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 050000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 005/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 05/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 997 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.2S/78.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTNORTHWEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 230 MN FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 11.2 SOUTH/77.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 11.5 SOUTH/76.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION IS INTENSIFYING AND ORGANIZING OVER THE CENTRE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 10:52:00 2003 X-UIDL: 18818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB90089D92WVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 10:47:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h252lBjU038125 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 10:47:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24J4TJI014804; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:40:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1311558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:40:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h252etiw022988 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:40:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h252eoid024380 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:40:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h252eosP024379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:40:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:40:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050240.h252eosP024379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 15.4S0 114.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 114.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 16.1S8 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 17.2S0 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.5S4 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.6S6 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.1S4 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.6S2 114.7E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 405 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 042330Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TC 21S HAS DECREASED IN AREAL SIZE, AND ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 21S CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN RELATIVELY DRY AIR FROM THE AUSTRALIAN CONTINENT, WHILE INFLOW REMAINS RESTRICTED BY THE INDONESIAN ISLANDS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE TURNING SHARPLY POLEWARD AND ULTIMATELY REVERSING COURSE TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTER MAKING THE TURN POLEWARD, TC 21S SHOULD INTENSIFY GRADUALLY IN A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AVN, GFDN, AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND EGRR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4, 051500Z1, 052100Z8 AND 060300Z9. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 11:02:00 2003 X-UIDL: 18819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008289CHVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 10:53:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h252qxjU039838 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 10:53:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24J4TJK014804; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:41:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1311573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:41:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h252fuiw026386 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:41:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h252foid024396 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:41:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h252foV5024395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:41:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:41:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050241.h252foV5024395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 20.2S4 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.2S2 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 18.1S0 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.4S2 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.6S3 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.9S9 153.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM, EAST- SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 042330Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 22P IS EXPECTED TO TRACK POLEWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER SOUTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA. THOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS EXPERIENCED A DECREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, TC 22P IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MARGINALLY FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION, AUSTRALIA'S GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS, AND UKMET (EGRR) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 AND 060300Z9. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 12:18:28 2003 X-UIDL: 18824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008VOC0MVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 11:50:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h253od7C030732 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 11:50:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2538Rk8018648; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 21:39:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1312394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 21:39:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h253dniw020622 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 21:39:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h253diid024988 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 21:39:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h253diT7024987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 21:39:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 21:39:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050339.h253diT7024987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 050339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED MAR 05 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 05/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING 1016 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 28N137W DRIFTING SWD WITH A REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH TO THE SW ALONG 26N135W 21N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 28N-30N BETWEEN 136-139W. SYSTEM EXPECTED TO BE DISSIPATED WITHIN 24 HOURS. ..BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITHIN THE ITCZ WITH TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 5N104W NEWD TO NEAR 11N99W. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES LOW LEVEL TURNING NEAR 6N104W. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 97W-103W. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER NEXT DAY OR SO WITH LITTLE OR NO DEVELOPMENT. ..TROUGH ENTERING NE PORTION OF DISCUSSION AREA FROM THE N BAJA PENINSULA NEAR TIJUANA SW ALONG 29N120W 28N126W 30N13W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 100 NM S OF FRONT EAST OF 125W. THE TROUGH ALSO DELINEATES AN INCREASE IN WIND TO 20 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG 26N130W TO 15N100W PREVAILS ELSEWHERE N OF 10N WITH MODERATE TO STRONG TRADES W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N95W 5N110W 6N120W 5N130W 6N140W. SEE SURFACE SYNOPTIC DISCUSSION FOR ACTIVITY NEAR SURFACE TROUGH. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 13:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 18832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008M4GXNVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 13:36:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h255aqMh027018 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 13:36:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2538Rpi018648; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:24:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1313582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:24:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h255OMiw039864 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:24:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h255OGid025906 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:24:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h255OG52025905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:24:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:24:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050524.h255OG52025905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 050300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 20.2S4 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.2S2 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 18.1S0 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.4S2 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.6S3 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.9S9 153.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM, EAST- SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 042330Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 22P IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EQUATORWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER SOUTHEASTERN AUSTRALIA. THOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS EXPERIENCED A DECREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, TC 22P IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MARGINALLY FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION, AUSTRALIA'S GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS, AND UKMET (EGRR) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 AND 060300Z9. JUSTICATION FOR CORRECTION: GRAMMATICAL ERROR IN REMARKS. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 14:08:11 2003 X-UIDL: 18835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008X8I48VJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:02:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2562QMh033166 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:02:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24NMPaA016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1313920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h255friw015930 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h255flid026064 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h255flbb026062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050541.h255flbb026062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050451ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A CORRECTED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2S4 154.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 050300 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 14:28:11 2003 X-UIDL: 18838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008SCJ4BVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:24:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h256O4Mh039490 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:24:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677lK018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:18:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1314534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:17:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h256Haiw045242 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:17:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h256HVid026378 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:17:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h256HV6F026376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:17:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:17:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050617.h256HV6F026376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 050600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/14/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 05/03/2003 : 11.1S/77.4E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: 30 KM SW30: 30 KM NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 11.3S / 77.0E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 11.4S / 76.5E FI=3.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 12.5S / 76.0E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=3.0 - THE SYSTEM IS WEAKLY NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 14:28:11 2003 X-UIDL: 18839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008SHJ4BVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:24:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h256O4Mh039484 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:24:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677lA018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:15:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1314510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:15:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h256FYiw045224 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:15:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h256FSid026357 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:15:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h256FS1Y026355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:15:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:15:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050615.h256FS1Y026355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 050600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 05/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 995 HPA POSITION : 11.1S/77.4E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 11.3 SOUTH/77.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 11.4 SOUTH/76.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION IS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 14:38:14 2003 X-UIDL: 18841-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008IVJDVVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:29:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h256TnMh041071 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:29:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677lm018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:24:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1314617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:24:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h256Omiw017920 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:24:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h256Ogid026428 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:24:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h256Og46026426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:24:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 00:24:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050624.h256Og46026426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 050600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 16/13/20022003 1.A OVERLAND CYCLONE (EX-JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 05/03/2003 : 20.4S/29.4E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND TWENTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : / 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.5S / 29.5E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.2S / 29.2E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.5S / 29.0E FI= OVERLAND 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 18:39:49 2003 X-UIDL: 18847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008MJNL9VJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 16:00:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2580XMh066393 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 16:00:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677nQ018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:51:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1315235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:51:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h257priw016584 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:51:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h257pmid027177 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:51:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h257pmM9027175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:51:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:51:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050751.h257pmM9027175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 050600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 006/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 05/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 995 HPA POSITION : 11.1S/77.4E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 11.3 SOUTH/77.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 11.4 SOUTH/76.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION IS GOOD. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 18:39:53 2003 X-UIDL: 18852-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB90085DPM1VJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 16:44:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h258iIMh079937 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 16:44:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677o6018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:38:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1315510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:38:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h258cviw026578 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:38:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h258cpid027581 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:38:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h258cpM9027580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:38:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:38:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050838.h258cpM9027580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 050900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/042121ZMAR2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 11.4S6 77.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.4S6 77.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 11.4S6 76.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 11.5S7 75.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 11.9S1 75.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 13.1S5 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.4S6 77.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS REVEAL THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH 36 HOURS BEFORE TURNING POLEWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN DISAGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON UKMET, THE BETA EFFECT MODELS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 042121ZMAR2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 18:39:53 2003 X-UIDL: 18853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB90089DPNLVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 16:45:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h258jGMh080252 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 16:45:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677o8018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:40:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1315518 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:40:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h258eliw018104 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:40:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h258egid027595 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:40:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h258egQu027594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:40:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:40:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050840.h258egQu027594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 050900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 16.2S9 115.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 115.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 16.9S6 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 17.8S6 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 18.9S8 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 20.0S2 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.5S8 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.4S1 115.2E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TC 21S HAS DECREASED IN AREAL SIZE, AND SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE WEAK DEEP CONVECTION. TC 21S CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN RELATIVELY DRY AIR FROM THE AUSTRALIAN CONTINENT, WHILE INFLOW REMAINS RESTRICTED BY THE INDONESIAN ISLANDS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS BEFORE ULTIMATELY REVERSING COURSE TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 21S SHOULD INTENSIFY GRADUALLY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IMPROVES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AVN, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND THE AUSTRALIAN GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 AND 060900Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 18:39:57 2003 X-UIDL: 18859-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008RQSEEVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 17:44:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h259iRMh097418 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 17:44:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677pO018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:39:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1315950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:39:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h259dGiw016470 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:39:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h259dAid028272 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:39:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h259dA2W028271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:39:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:39:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050939.h259dA2W028271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 050939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED MAR 05 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 05/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING 1017 MB DEEP-LAYERED LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 28N138W WITH A REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH STRETCHING TO 28N136W TO 26N135W TO 23N138W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 28N-30N BETWEEN 134-139W. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH AS IT DRIFTS S OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 30N132W TO 28N124W TO 31N116W MOVING S 15-20 KT. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITHIN 45NM OF THE TROUGH E OF 118W ACROSS NRN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE NRN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ..TROUGH EXTENDING N FROM THE ITCZ FROM 2N104W TO 10N102W MOVING W 10-15 KT. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PULSE WITHIN THE ITCZ JUST W OF THE TROUGH AXIS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NOW FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 105W-107W. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 27N131W SE TO 14N102W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 3N88W 7N103W 2N120W...WITH A SECOND AXIS FROM 9N111W 6N120W 7N140W. DISSIPATING ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 98W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 105W-107W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE SRN AXIS BETWEEN 114W-117W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE NRN AXIS BETWEEN 122W-125W AND 129W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELL OF MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE ITCZ OFF THE COAST OF ECUADOR FROM EQ-1N BETWEEN 80W-81W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 18:39:58 2003 X-UIDL: 18860-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008S1SEIVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 17:44:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h259iaMh097452 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 17:44:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677pM018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1315924 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h259Wuiw005386 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h259Woid028184 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h259WoK2028182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050932.h259WoK2028182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 050930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/050930Z/051800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050751ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050752ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WAS LOCATED AT 11.4S6 77.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 050900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 050600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 16.4S1 115.2E9, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 050900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 78.7E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 18:39:58 2003 X-UIDL: 18861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008TTSFAVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 17:45:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h259j2Mh097607 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 17:45:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2592ulk045682; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1315927 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h259Wuiw016426 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h259Woid028185 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h259WoVq028183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:32:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050932.h259WoVq028183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 050930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/050930Z/051800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050751ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050752ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WAS LOCATED AT 11.4S6 77.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 050900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 050600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WAS LOCATED AT 16.4S1 115.2E9, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 050900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 78.7E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 18:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 18862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008IJT6TVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 18:01:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25A1ZMh002777 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 18:01:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677q6018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:56:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1316062 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:56:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h259ufiw031630 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:56:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h259uaid028435 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:56:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h259ua39028434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:56:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 03:56:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050956.h259ua39028434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 050956 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 03N177W 02S170W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 20S175W 26S179E MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S173W 15S159W 12S176W 08S178W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 22:29:53 2003 X-UIDL: 18871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008ITZCVVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:14:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25CElMh040960 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:14:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677tg018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:04:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1317007 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:04:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25C4Kiw019802 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:04:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25C4Eid029611 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:04:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25C4EIj029609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:04:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:04:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303051204.h25C4EIj029609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 051200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 05/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 990 HPA POSITION : 11.2S/76.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 11.4 SOUTH/76.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 11.8 SOUTH/75.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION IS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 22:29:53 2003 X-UIDL: 18872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB900812ZS2VJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:24:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25CNpMh043124 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:23:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677tu018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:18:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1317051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:17:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25CHbiw045146 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:17:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25CHWid029747 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:17:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25CHWfT029745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:17:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 06:17:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303051217.h25CHWfT029745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 051200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 05/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 990 HPA POSITION : 11.2S/76.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 11.4 SOUTH/76.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 11.8 SOUTH/75.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION IS GOOD. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 22:29:55 2003 X-UIDL: 18877-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA008K34YPVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 22:16:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25EFsMh070431 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 22:15:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25CRjw8034416; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:03:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1318288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:02:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25E21iw004214 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:02:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25E1tid001236 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:01:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25E1tPY001233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:01:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:01:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303051401.h25E1tPY001233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 051500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 17.0S8 115.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 115.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 17.7S5 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.7S6 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.4S4 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.5S7 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.4S8 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION NEAR 17.2S0 115.4E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM FROM THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. TC 21S CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN RELATIVELY DRY AIR FROM THE AUSTRALIAN CONTINENT, WHILE INFLOW REMAINS RESTRICTED BY THE INDONESIAN ISLANDS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS BEFORE ULTIMATELY REVERSING COURSE TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 21S SHOULD INTENSIFY GRADUALLY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IMPROVES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AVN, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND THE AUSTRALIAN GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8, 060300Z9, 060900Z5 AND 061500Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 05:20:03 2003 X-UIDL: 18883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA008NH9RMVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:59:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25FxcMh096293 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:59:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25CRj0W011044; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 09:50:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1319999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 09:48:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25Fmaiw021800 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 09:48:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25FmUid005069 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 09:48:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25FmUns005063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 09:48:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 09:48:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303051548.h25FmUns005063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 051542 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED MAR 05 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 05/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING 1018 MB DEEP-LAYERED LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 28N137W WITH AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH 29N138W 27N135W 23N138W. SCATTERED SHOWERS N OF 26N WITHIN 90 NM N AND E OF TROUGH. THE LOW IS TO WEAKEN INTO A TROUGH AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 30N112W 25N118W 25N125W MOVING S 15-20 KT. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE TROUGH E OF 120W ACROSS NRN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE NRN SEA OF CORTEZ. ..TROUGH EXTENDING N FROM THE ITCZ FROM 2N105W TO 13N102W MOVING W 10-15 KT. CONVECTION CONTINUES WITHIN THE ITCZ WITHIN 240 NM W OF THE TROUGH AXIS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NOW FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 104W-108W AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 104W-108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N105W 6N120W 7N140W. EAST OF ABOVE MENTIONED CONVECTION ISOLATED TSTMS NEAR 5.5N85W AND 6.7N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 129W TO 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ LL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 05:20:10 2003 X-UIDL: 18887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA008FIFOVVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:07:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25I7aMh026203 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:07:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25CRjZO034416; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 11:59:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1322516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 11:58:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25Hw8iw020576 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 11:58:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25Hw3id010263 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 11:58:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25Hw3N4010261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 11:58:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 11:58:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303051758.h25Hw3N4010261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 051800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 05/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 990 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S/76.4E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 11.5 SOUTH/75.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.0 SOUTH/75.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING AROUND THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 05:20:11 2003 X-UIDL: 18888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA008IFFQUVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:08:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25I8lMh026470 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:08:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25CRjHa011044; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 12:02:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1322580 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 12:02:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25I2Fiw018160 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 12:02:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25I29id010444 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 12:02:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25I29J7010442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 12:02:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 12:02:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303051802.h25I29J7010442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 051800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 4/14/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 05/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S/76.4E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 42 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 50 KM SE30: 80 KM SW30: 70 KM NW30: 40 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 11.5S / 75.8E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 12.0S / 75.0E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 13.0S / 74.0E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION IS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 05:20:13 2003 X-UIDL: 18893-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA0088XIV4VJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:16:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25JG7Mh048314 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:16:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25CRjPu011044; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 13:06:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1324346 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 13:05:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25J5liw022376 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 13:05:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25J5fid012795 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 13:05:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25J5fUK012793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 13:05:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 13:05:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303051905.h25J5fUK012793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 051800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 17/13/20022003 1.A OVERLAND CYCLONE (EX-JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 05/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.7S/28.6E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /W /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : / 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 20.9S / 28.4E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 21.2S / 28.0E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 05:32:18 2003 X-UIDL: 18898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA00805P01VJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 05:28:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25LShMh086775 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 05:28:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25KkTni011044; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:21:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1328322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:14:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25LETiw028904 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25LENid017741 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:14:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25LENpE017739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:14:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:14:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303052114.h25LENpE017739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 052100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 10.9S0 76.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9S0 76.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 10.9S0 75.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 11.3S5 74.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.3S6 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.6S0 72.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.9S0 76.3E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN POLEWARD AS A WEAKNESS DEVELOPS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON UKMET, THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS ARE AT 060900Z5 AND 062100Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 05:32:18 2003 X-UIDL: 18899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA0082MP3AVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 05:30:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25LUeMh087146 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 05:30:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25Kcgta034418; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:22:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1328363 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:16:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25LGRiw025140 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:16:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25LGLid017815 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:16:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25LGLqr017814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:16:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:16:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303052116.h25LGLqr017814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 052100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 17.3S1 115.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3S1 115.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.0S9 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 18.8S7 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 19.7S7 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.0S3 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.4S9 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 17.5S3 116.0E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS RE-INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND MOVE INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 21S SHOULD INTENSIFY GRADUALLY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IMPROVES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND THE AUSTRALIAN GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH AVN AN OUTLIER TURNING TC 21S SHARPLY WEST. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS MINUS AVN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS ARE AT 060300Z9 AND 060900Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 09:31:13 2003 X-UIDL: 18900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA00878QBOVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 05:57:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25LvGMh092412 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 05:57:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25Kcg3a034418; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:49:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1329243 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:49:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25Lnriw017134 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:49:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25Lnlid019042 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:49:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25LnlDB019039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:49:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:49:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303052149.h25LnlDB019039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 052149 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE...THE LEADING EDGE OF A FRONTAL CLOUD BAND IS ALONG LINE 30N165W 24N171W 21N178W. THIS BAND OF MAINLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IS 25 TO 150 MILES WIDE...ALTHOUGH THE WIDEST PORTION NORTH OF 29N HAS BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS THAT IS MERGING WITH THUNDERSTORMS TO ITS EAST. THE COLD FRONT IS MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 15 KNOTS ALONG 30N...AND THE SHEAR LINE IS MOVING TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N167W 30N161W 26N160W 24N164W 30N167W. THE CB ARE BEING ENHANCED BY DIVERGENT FLOW AHEAD OF A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 170W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE AND SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 30N155W 28N157W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB BOUNDED BY 10S168W 14S166W 13S170W 10S168W MOVED WEST AT 15 KNOTS...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 12S180 09S173W 12S169W MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 10S161W 16S152W 23S154W 17S167W 10S161W. CZ...ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 24S122W 22S132W 25S144W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 16S171W 22S173W 19S178W 16S171W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY 01S170W 07S173W 02S176W 01S170W. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 09:31:13 2003 X-UIDL: 18901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA008OZQN6VJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 06:04:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25M4BMh094063 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 06:04:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25Kcg4A034418; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:53:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1329338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:53:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25Lroiw020820 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:53:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25Lriid019180 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:53:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25Lriba019179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:53:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 15:53:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303052153.h25Lriba019179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 052153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED MAR 05 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 05/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING 1018 MB DEEP-LAYERED LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N138W. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH LATER TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EAST FROM 24N-28N BETWEEN 133W-136W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE N SEA OR CORTEZ NEAR 30N11SW SW OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA ALONG THE NE PORTION OF THE DISCUSSION AREA ALONG 23N120W TO 24N127W. THERE IS NO REAL DISCERNIBLE WIND SHIFT WITH THE FRONT. HOWEVER...WINDS INCREASE TO 20 KT N OF TROUGH. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. ..TROUGH EXTENDS NWD FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 4N106W TO 11N100W. THIS PERSISTENT FEATURE HAS BEEN DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS WITH ENHANCED CONVECTION PRIMARILY ALONG THE N EXTENT OF AXIS. CURRENTLY...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 104W-106W WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 104W-108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N90W 6N100W 5N120W 7N136W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 125W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 12:49:08 2003 X-UIDL: 18909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DRJ4RN1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 11:09:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2639GMh068607 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 11:09:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h262vajE045464; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:00:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1333016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:00:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26301iw009714 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:00:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h262xtid024419 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:59:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h262xt0E024418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:59:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:59:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060259.h262xt0E024418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 060300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 18.1S0 116.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 116.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 19.0S0 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.8S8 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.6S8 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.6S9 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 23.5S0 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.3S2 115.9E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO TURN SOUTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND MOVE INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 21S SHOULD INTENSIFY GRADUALLY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IMPROVES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND THE AUSTRALIAN REGIONAL MODEL (TCLPS), ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. EGRR AND TCLPS ARE FARTHEST POLEWARD AND TRACK THE SYSTEM OVER LAND NEAR LEARMONTH. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS ARE AT 060900Z5 AND 061500Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 12:49:08 2003 X-UIDL: 18910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DFO4X11U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 11:12:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h263CVMh069496 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 11:12:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26127vk011192; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:01:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1333035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:01:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26317iw005630 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:01:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26311id024475 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:01:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26311gf024474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:01:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:01:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060301.h26311gf024474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 060300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 17.6S4 154.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S4 154.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.9S6 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.4S2 154.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM, EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SSMI PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. TC 22P IS EXPECTED TO TRACK FURTHER EQUATORWARD AND DISSIPATE IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION, EGRR, AND AUSTRALIA'S GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 12:49:09 2003 X-UIDL: 18912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DWD5R31U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 11:30:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h263UXMh075033 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 11:30:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h262vajg045464; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:24:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1333211 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:24:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h263OLiw024664 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:24:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h263OGid024736 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:24:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h263OGdI024734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:24:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:24:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060324.h263OGdI024734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 052100 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 002B AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 10.9S0 77.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9S0 77.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 11.2S4 76.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 11.6S8 76.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.1S4 75.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.8S1 75.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 11.0S2 77.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER EAST BASED ON A 052032Z2 SSMI PASS. TC 23S HAS TRACED A SMALL CLOCKWISE LOOP DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION, HOWEVER THE ORGANIZATION HAS NOT IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE TURNING POLEWARD INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AVN AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 AND 070300Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 12:49:09 2003 X-UIDL: 18914-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DNF6DD1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 11:44:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h263htMh079139 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 11:43:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h262vakc045464; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:38:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1333436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:38:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h263ciiw009528 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:38:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h263cdid024891 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:38:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h263cdiU024890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:38:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 21:38:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060338.h263cdiU024890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 060338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU MAR 06 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 06/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH...REMNANTS OF EARLIER LOW NEAR 27N138W...LIES ALONG 28N140W 25N137W 20N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE EAST WITHIN 150 NM OF TROUGH. ..WEAKENING TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 25N112W SW ALONG 22N120W TO 25N127W. THERE IS NO REAL DISCERNIBLE WIND SHIFT WITH THE FRONT. HOWEVER...THE TROUGH DOES DELINEATE AN INCREASE IN WIND SPEED TO THE NORTH. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. ..TROUGH EXTENDS NWD FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 4N108W TO 10N100W. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION...NEAR 6N104W...IS A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED DESPITE THE WEAKENING TREND IN CONVECTION OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. CURRENTLY...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 105W-109W INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N90W 6N100W 5N120W 7N136W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 2N-6N BETWEEN 84W-89W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 125W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 16:39:25 2003 X-UIDL: 18919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DTZC4J1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:48:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h265mDMh010413 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:48:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h262vasG045464; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:34:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1334945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:34:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h265Yqiw027366 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:34:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h265Ykid026361 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:34:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h265YkwQ026359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:34:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:34:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060534.h265YkwQ026359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 060000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 009/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 06/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 991 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S/76.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTHERN AND NORTHERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 11.3 SOUTH/75.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 11.8 SOUTH/74.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTION REMAINS FLUCTUATING AROUND THE CENTRE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 16:39:26 2003 X-UIDL: 18920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DXAC631U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:49:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h265n9Mh010576 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:49:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h262vasc045464; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:38:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1334999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:37:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h265bkiw005550 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:37:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h265beid026402 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:37:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h265beNw026400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:37:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:37:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060537.h265beNw026400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6S4 154.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 060300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8S5 154.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA IN WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/STATEN/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 16:39:26 2003 X-UIDL: 18923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DT0EDY1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:37:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h266b3Mh024526 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:37:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26127MY011192; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:31:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1335997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:31:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h266V4iw028834 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:31:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h266Uxid026905 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:30:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h266UxcR026903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:30:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:30:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060630.h266UxcR026903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 060600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 5/14/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 06/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S/76.3E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 991 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 70 KM SE30: 160 KM SW30: 200 KM NW30: 60 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 11.6S / 75.6E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 12.4S / 74.6E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 14.2S / 73.0E FI=4.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED LAST NIGTH, MAIS SHOWS NOW A CURVED BAND FEATURE. THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TRACKING MORE SOUTHWESTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 16:39:27 2003 X-UIDL: 18924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DV0EEG1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:37:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h266bLMh024620 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:37:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669Lk4045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:29:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1335970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:29:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h266T0iw005222 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:29:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h266Ssid026863 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:28:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h266SsXp026861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:28:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:28:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060628.h266SsXp026861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 060600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 010/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 06/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 991 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S/76.3E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 06/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 11.6 SOUTH/75.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 12.4 SOUTH/74.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED LAST NIGTH, BUT SHOWS NOW A BETTER ORGANIZATION. IT TRACKS SLOWLY GENERALLY WESTWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 16:39:29 2003 X-UIDL: 18926-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DKWFIA1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:01:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2671GMh030938 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:01:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669LlG045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:53:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1336264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:53:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h266raiw027056 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:53:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h266rUid027177 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:53:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h266rUht027175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:53:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:53:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060653.h266rUht027175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 060600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 18/13/20022003 1.A OVERLAND CYCLONE (EX-JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 06/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.5S/30.5E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / / /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : / 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.0S / 31.0E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.5S / 32.0E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT WHERE THE RAINFALLS ARE THE STRONGEST.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 16:39:29 2003 X-UIDL: 18929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DBEHME1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:47:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h267knMh042719 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:46:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669Lmu045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 01:36:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1336648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 01:36:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h267aYiw045654 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 01:36:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h267aSid027561 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 01:36:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h267aSUI027559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 01:36:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 01:36:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060736.h267aSUI027559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 060600 CCA RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 18/13/20022003 1.A OVERLAND CYCLONE (EX-JAPHET) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 06/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.5S/30.5E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / / /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: SE30: SW30: NW30: 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : / 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.0S / 31.0E FI= OVERLAND 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.5S / 32.0E FI= OVERLAND 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT WHERE THE RAINFALLS ARE THE STRONGEST. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FLUCTUATING AROUND A FILLING LOW FOR THE 24 NEXT HOURS. LAST BULLETIN ON THIS SYSTEM, UNLESS JUSTIFIED BY NEW SIGNIFICANT EVOLUTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 16:39:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18934-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DGWJVR1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 16:35:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h268ZjMh055248 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 16:35:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26127WG011192; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:26:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1337018 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:26:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h268Q6iw031738 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:26:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h268Q0id028043 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:26:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h268Q09N028041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:26:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:26:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 21s (harriet) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060826.h268Q09N028041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 19.0S0 114.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0S0 114.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 19.9S9 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 20.7S9 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.6S9 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 22.6S0 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 25.0S7 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 19.2S2 114.5E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IMPROVES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), TLAPS, AND TCLAPS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2, 062100Z9, 070300Z0 AND 070900Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 17:09:17 2003 X-UIDL: 18935-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DYJL2G1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 17:01:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2691EMh061884 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 17:01:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669LoW045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:53:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1337187 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:53:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h268rNiw016750 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:53:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h268rHid028300 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:53:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h268rHY7028299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:53:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:53:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060853.h268rHY7028299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 060900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 11.3S5 76.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S5 76.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 11.9S1 75.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.5S8 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.1S5 74.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.9S3 73.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 11.4S6 76.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. A 060406Z6 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE WESTERN QUADRANTS. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH THE PERIOD. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AVN, AFWA MM5, TLAPS, AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 AND 070900Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN./ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 00:30:47 2003 X-UIDL: 18937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DAUN7A1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 17:47:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h269lRMh074755 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 17:47:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669Los045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:39:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1337470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:39:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h269dbiw016728 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:39:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h269dVid028881 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:39:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h269dV8f028880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:39:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:39:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060939.h269dV8f028880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 060939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU MAR 06 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 06/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..REMNANT TROUGH DISSIPATING ALONG A LINE FROM 28N138W TO 25N136W TO 22N138W. ALL REMAINING CONVECTION IS QUICKLY DISSIPATING AND ONLY SCATTERED MID LEVEL CLOUDS REMAIN WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS. ..WEAKENING TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 24N114W TO 22N120W TO 23N127W. THE TROUGH MARKS A BOUNDARY BETWEEN SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS TO THE S AND BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS TO THE N. ..WEAK 1009 MB LOW WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 7N117W MOVING W 10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TIGHT CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 6N-7N BETWEEN 118W-120W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS N FROM THE ITCZ FROM 2N106W TO 10N104W. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROUGH HAS A MUCH BROADER CIRCULATION THAN THE LOW TO THE W...BUT MAY IN FACT HAVE A CENTER NEAR 7N107W. ..MEAN RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM NW OF 32N132W TO 16N110W INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 1N80W 4N90W 7N106W 5N128W 6N140W. ISOLATED CELL OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS OFF THE COAST OF ECUADOR BETWEEN 80W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-91W. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 106W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS W OF 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 00:30:48 2003 X-UIDL: 18939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB003S9NZIZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 18:04:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26A4NMh079205 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 18:04:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669LpO045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:56:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1337575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:54:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h269soiw011894 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:54:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h269siid029007 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:54:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h269siKj029006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:54:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 03:54:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060954.h269siKj029006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 060954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0830 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...ALONG LINE 32N164W 20N169W MOVING EAST 10 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ISOLATED CB BETWEEN 90 AND 150 MILES NORTHWEST OF KAUAI WERE REFORMING EASTWARD 10 KT. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N163W 24N169W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 21N176W. FRONT MOVING EAST 15 KT. SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. CONVERGENCE ZONE PRECEDES FRONT ALONG LINE 23N164W 30N159W. ISOLATED CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS WITHIN 35-50 NM OF LINE 17N180 18N173W 24N167W ASSOCIATED WITH A STATIONARY CONVERGENCE ZONE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 06N144W 06N140W EXTEND EASTWARD AND MOVED WEST 15-20 KT AND REMAIN SPARSE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 08S180 11S170W 16S165W 18S152W 25S141W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS 150 NM OF TROUGH. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH WEST OF 155W INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SAMOAN ISLANDS LIE ALONG THE SOUTH EDGE OF THE BAND OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH. SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 21S133W 25S120W MOVED NORTHEAST 5 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS ALONG FRONT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT HAD NEARLY DISSIPATED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 00:30:52 2003 X-UIDL: 18947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB003SWUS6ZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 20:31:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26CVBMh014970 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 20:31:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669LtI045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 06:22:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1338636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 06:22:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26CMjiw035498 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 06:22:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26CMdid000212 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 06:22:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26CMdY2000209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 06:22:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 06:22:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303061222.h26CMdY2000209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 061200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 06/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 982 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.4S/75.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CERCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 300 MN IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN SECTOR. STORM WINDS FORCE 50 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 11.9 SOUTH/74.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 12.7 SOUTH/73.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION IS GOINIG ON, AND AN EYE IS REBUILDING ON THE LAST SATELLITE IMAGERY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 00:30:53 2003 X-UIDL: 18950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DMEXWE1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 21:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26DcVMh029244 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 21:38:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669Lwm045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:29:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1339296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:29:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26DTFiw007932 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:29:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26DT9id001006 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:29:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26DT93E001004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:29:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:29:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303061329.h26DT93E001004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 061200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 011/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 06/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 982 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.4S/75.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CERCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 300 MN IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN SECTOR. STORM WINDS FORCE 50 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 11.9 SOUTH/74.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 12.7 SOUTH/73.5 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION IS GOINIG ON, AND AN EYE IS REBUILDING ON THE LAST SATELLITE IMAGERY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 00:30:56 2003 X-UIDL: 18953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB003E2Z6SZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 22:06:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26E6KMh035700 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 22:06:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669L0W045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:58:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1339835 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:58:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26Dwuiw035404 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:58:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26Dwpid001518 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:58:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26DwpoC001517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:58:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 07:58:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 21s (harriet) Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303061358.h26DwpoC001517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 19.4S4 114.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 114.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 20.1S3 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.9S1 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.8S1 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.8S2 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.5S2 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.6S6 114.1E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE A DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IMPROVES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AVN, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), TLAPS, AND TCLAPS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9, 070300Z0, 070900Z6 AND 071500Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 00:31:04 2003 X-UIDL: 18958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC003ZW3X5ZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:48:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26FmUMh061744 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:48:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26BnWL0011192; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:40:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1341955 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:40:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26Fdxiw016694 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:39:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26Fdrid004578 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:39:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26Fdru5004577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:39:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:39:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303061539.h26Fdru5004577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 061537 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU MAR 06 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 06/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..REMNANT TROUGH DISSIPATING ALONG A LINE FROM 28N138W TO 22N136W. NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. ..WEAKENING TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 23N110W TO 20N120W TO 23N127W. THE TROUGH MARKS A BOUNDARY BETWEEN SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS TO THE S AND BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS TO THE N. ..WEAK 1007 MB LOW WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 7N119W MOVING W 15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TIGHT CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH ISOLATED TSTM NEAR 6N120W AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 118W-121W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS N FROM THE ITCZ FROM 2N106W TO 10N106W. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROUGH HAS A BROADER CIRCULATION THAN THE LOW TO THE W...BUT MAY IN FACT HAVE A CENTER NEAR 7N107W. ..MEAN RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM NW OF 32N133W TO 25N118W INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N90W 7N105W 6.5N120W 5N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 2.5N TO 6N FROM 86W TO 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 6.5N107.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED NARROW BAND ALONG 10N FROM 103W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 6.3N111.3W. MODERATE CELL NEAR 6N120W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3.5N TO 6.4N FROM 129W TO 133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4.2N TO 5.4N FROM 134W TO 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ LL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 00:31:05 2003 X-UIDL: 18959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC0033D41TZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:51:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26FpNMh062374 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:51:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669LE4045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:39:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1341938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:39:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26Fdliw015986 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:39:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26Fdfid004567 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:39:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26Fdfxq004566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:39:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 09:39:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303061539.h26Fdfxq004566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 061536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU MAR 06 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE BASED ON 06/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..REMNANT TROUGH DISSIPATING ALONG A LINE FROM 28N138W TO 22N136W. NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. ..WEAKENING TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 23N110W TO 20N120W TO 23N127W. THE TROUGH MARKS A BOUNDARY BETWEEN SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS TO THE S AND BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS TO THE N. ..WEAK 1007 MB LOW WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 7N119W MOVING W 15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TIGHT CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH ISOLATED TSTM NEAR 6N120W AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 118W-121W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS N FROM THE ITCZ FROM 2N106W TO 10N106W. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROUGH HAS A BROADER CIRCULATION THAN THE LOW TO THE W...BUT MAY IN FACT HAVE A CENTER NEAR 7N107W. ..MEAN RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM NW OF 32N133W TO 25N118W INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N90W 7N105W 6.5N120W 5N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 2.5N TO 6N FROM 86W TO 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 6.5N107.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED NARROW BAND ALONG 10N FROM 103W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 6.3N111.3W. MODERATE CELL NEAR 6N120W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3.5N TO 6.4N FROM 129W TO 133W. WIDELY SCATTERRED MODERATE FROM 4.2N TO 5.4N FRM 134W TO 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ LL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:50 2003 X-UIDL: 18965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC00DWNB8G1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 02:26:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26IQWMh004862 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 02:26:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26HL0sS011192; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:20:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1345778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:20:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26IKPiw045228 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:20:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26IKJid010062 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:20:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26IKJbH010060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:20:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:20:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303061820.h26IKJbH010060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 061800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 6/14/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 06/03/2003 : 11.6S/74.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 982 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 160 KM SE30: 280 KM SW30: 220 KM NW30: 160 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 660 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 12.2S / 73.3E FI=4.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 12.7S / 72.2E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 15.0S / 70.5E FI=4.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=3.5 + KALUNDE IS STILL LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ITS POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAINS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:50 2003 X-UIDL: 18966-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC0030GBA8ZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 02:27:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26IRWMh005115 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 02:27:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669Le2045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:18:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1345755 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:18:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26IILiw045184 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:18:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26IIFid009962 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:18:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26IIFvt009960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:18:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:18:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303061818.h26IIFvt009960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 061800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 012/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 06/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 982 HPA POSITION : 11.6S/74.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 12.2 SOUTH/73.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.7 SOUTH/72.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSITY AND TRACK WITHOUT CHANGE DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. AREAS OF STRONG WINDS ARE WELL-DEFINED, ACCORDING TO SATELLITE DATA (QUIKSCAT).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:51 2003 X-UIDL: 18969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC003EREH7ZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:36:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JaXMh024624 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:36:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JKikk045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:29:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1347267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:29:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JT5iw027216 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:29:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26JSxid012256 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:28:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26JSxBe012254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:28:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:28:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303061928.h26JSxBe012254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 061800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 012/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 06/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 982 HPA POSITION : 11.6S/74.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 12.2 SOUTH/73.3 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 12.7 SOUTH/72.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSITY AND TRACK WITHOUT CHANGE DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. AREAS OF STRONG WINDS ARE WELL-DEFINED, ACCORDING TO SATELLITE DATA (QUIKSCAT). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:54 2003 X-UIDL: 18976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC00DWTI7D1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 04:57:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26Kv6Mh045308 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 04:57:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26HL0Uu011192; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:46:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1349428 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:46:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26Kktiw042754 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:46:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26Kknid014802 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:46:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26KknGq014801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:46:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:46:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303062046.h26KknGq014801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 19.3S3 115.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 115.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 19.9S9 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 20.8S0 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.6S9 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 22.9S3 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 26.2S0 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 19.5S5 114.7E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 182 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IMPROVES OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTER THE 48 HOUR POINT, INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE DUE TO AN INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AVN, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), TLAPS, AND TCLAPS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061730Z7 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 AND 070900Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:54 2003 X-UIDL: 18977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC00DWXI7K1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 04:57:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26KvEMh045346 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 04:57:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JKixG045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:45:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1349424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:45:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26Kjuiw041174 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:45:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26Kjoid014773 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:45:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26Kjoq0014772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:45:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:45:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303062045.h26Kjoq0014772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 11.8S0 75.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8S0 75.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.4S7 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.1S5 72.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.8S2 71.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.7S2 70.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 11.9S1 74.7E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 65 KNOTS. A RECENT SSM/I PASS DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE WESTERN QUADRANTS. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH THE PERIOD. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AVN, AFWA MM5, TLAPS, AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061730Z7 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 AND 072100Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:55 2003 X-UIDL: 18981-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC0037VL4AZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 06:00:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26M02Mh058299 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 06:00:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JKi4i045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:51:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1350670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:49:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26Lnhiw005862 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:49:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26Lncid016711 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:49:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26LncuE016710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:49:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:49:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303062149.h26LncuE016710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 062149 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS ALONG 159W NORTH OF HAWAII...A BAND OF BROKEN MULTI LAYER CLOUDS IS BOUNDED BY 30N157W 30N152W 23N156W 21N164W 26N158W 30N157W...AND HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. ISOLATED CB EMBEDDED IN THIS CLOUD BAND WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST NEAR 35 KNOTS. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N141W 05N154W MOVED WEST AT 20 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 04N172W 01N180 MOVED LITTLE...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... THE LEADING EDGE OF A SHOWERY CLOUD BAND IS ALONG LINE 20N164W 12N175W. THIS BAND OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS IS 200 MILES WIDE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AND 600 MILES LONG FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. THERE ARE A FEW SPORADIC TCU/CB WITHIN THE CLOUD BAND...AND IT HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 15 KNOTS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 12S174W 16S167W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 5 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB BOUNDED BY 03S180 09S176W 12S180 03S180 MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. THESE CB ALSO EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 16S167W 23S161W 24S152W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 23S120W 20S131W 21S137W 24S145W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY EQ173W 09S170W 10S176W 01S180 EQ173W MOVED LITTLE...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FOURNIER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:55 2003 X-UIDL: 18982-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC00DB6L5L1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 06:00:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26M0oMh058426 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 06:00:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JKi4o045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:55:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1350828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26Ltjiw027168 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26Ltdid016907 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:55:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26Ltdnv016906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:55:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 15:55:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303062155.h26Ltdnv016906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 062155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU MAR 06 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK TROUGH ALONG 29N138W TO 23N138W MOVING WESTWARD SLOWLY. SYSTEM IS POSITIONED BY WEAK TURNING IN THE LOW CLOUD FIELD. ..DISSIPATING TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 20N119W THEN 21N127W. ..PAIR OF TROUGHS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ ALONG 108W AND 120W WITH WEAK LOW-LEVEL CENTERS POSSIBLY NEAR 7N ON BOTH SYSTEMS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N108W 6N113W 5N140W. SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 126W-131W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 85W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:55 2003 X-UIDL: 18988-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC003UNRPGZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:22:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h270MJMh084713 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:22:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JKiEo045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 18:12:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1353129 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 18:12:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h270Chiw027060 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 18:12:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h270Cbid019757 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 18:12:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h270Cb5c019755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 18:12:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 18:12:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070012.h270Cb5c019755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 070000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 013/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 07/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 980 HPA POSITION : 11.9S/74.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTHERN AND NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 12.6 SOUTH/73.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 13.3 SOUTH/71.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AND ITS POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION REMAINS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:56 2003 X-UIDL: 18992-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC003WZWISZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 10:06:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2726FMh011451 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 10:06:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26Lm1Qo011192; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 19:58:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1354503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 19:58:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h271wDiw041652 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 19:58:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h271w8id020819 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 19:58:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h271w8K6020818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 19:58:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 19:58:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070158.h271w8K6020818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 070300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 19.3S3 114.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 114.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.5S5 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.1S3 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.9S1 111.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 22.5S9 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.0S8 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.4S4 114.3E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IMPROVES OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTER THE 48 HOUR POINT, INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE DUE TO AN INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AVN, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), TLAPS, AND TCLAPS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 062330Z4 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 AND 071500Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 14:22:37 2003 X-UIDL: 19000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD003WR16UZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:47:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h273lAMh038777 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:47:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JKiSI045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 21:38:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1355691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 21:38:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h273cniw016894 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 21:38:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h273chid022373 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 21:38:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h273chlZ022372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 21:38:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 21:38:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070338.h273chlZ022372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 070338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI MAR 07 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK TROUGH ALONG 139W FROM 23N-29N MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. ..DISSIPATING TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 20N120W TO 25N127W. POSITION IS MARKED BY A BREAK IN THE LOW/MID CLOUDINESS. ..PAIR OF TROUGHS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ ALONG 109W AND 121W/122W WITH WEAK LOW-LEVEL CENTERS NEAR 8N109W AND 7N122W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF EASTERNMOST LOW CENTER. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 5N88W 8N109W 5N123W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 124W-129W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N117W AND 3.5N84.5W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 109W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AN ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTIVE CELL IS NEAR 11N104W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 14:22:40 2003 X-UIDL: 19005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD003LB78UZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 13:58:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h275vxMh072058 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 13:58:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h274Mari011192; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1357346 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h275lgiw044542 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h275laid023409 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h275laeP023407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070547.h275laeP023407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.8S5 154.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 153.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 480 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA IN MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 14:32:31 2003 X-UIDL: 19009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD003FK8MDZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:27:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276RgMh079972 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:27:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276Asjs044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:17:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1357905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:17:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276HZiw011916 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:17:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h276HTid023675 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:17:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h276HT9x023673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:17:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:17:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070617.h276HT9x023673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 070600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 014/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 07/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 960 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.5S/73.5E (TWELVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS UP TO 20 NM FROM THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS UP TO 40 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150MN IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 13.3 SOUTH/72.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.5 SOUTH/70.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE IS INTENSIFYING WITH A BUILDING EYE, AND KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD ON THE NORTHERHN EDGE OF HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 14:42:31 2003 X-UIDL: 19011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD0034B8UMZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:32:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276WcMh081531 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276AskE044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:27:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1358132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276Rviw009634 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h276Rpid023755 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:27:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h276Rpax023753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:27:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 00:27:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070627.h276Rpax023753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 070600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 7/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 07/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.5S/73.5E (TWELVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 MOINS /D 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 960 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 70 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 160 KM SE30: 180 KM SW30: 240 KM NW30: 270 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 13.3S / 72.0E FI=5.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 14.5S / 70.7E FI=5.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 17.3S / 68.4E FI=6.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=4.5+. POTENTIEL FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAINS GOOD (WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 15:22:31 2003 X-UIDL: 19012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD0035OB2FZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:20:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h277KWMh094847 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:20:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276Asl6044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 01:14:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1358400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 01:14:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h277E4iw015892 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 01:14:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h277Dwid024092 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 01:13:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h277DwbU024090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 01:13:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 01:13:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070713.h277DwbU024090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 070600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 014/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 07/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 960 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.5S/73.5E (TWELVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS UP TO 20 NM FROM THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS UP TO 40 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150MN IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 07/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 13.3 SOUTH/72.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.5 SOUTH/70.7 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE IS INTENSIFYING WITH A BUILDING EYE, AND KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD ON THE NORTHERHN EDGE OF HIGH PRESSURES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 17:22:31 2003 X-UIDL: 19020-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD002ZGGAY8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 17:13:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h279DeMh026377 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 17:13:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276Asms044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:07:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1359095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:07:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2797Xiw041702 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:07:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2797Sid024970 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:07:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2797O6N024969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:07:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:07:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070907.h2797O6N024969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 070900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 19.2S2 114.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 114.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.6S6 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 20.3S5 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 21.3S6 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 23.2S7 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 27.6S5 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.3S3 114.1E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS DRIFTED WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 TO 48 HOURS AND THEN SOUTHWARD INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IMPROVES OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN DUE TO AN INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AVN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), TLAPS, AND TCLAPS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3, 072100Z0, 080300Z1 AND 080900Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 17:29:59 2003 X-UIDL: 19021-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD00286GSB8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 17:24:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h279O4Mh029070 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 17:24:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276Asn0044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:17:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1359146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:17:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h279Hfiw011162 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:17:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h279HZid025029 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:17:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h279HZo8025028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:17:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:17:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070917.h279HZo8025028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 070900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 12.4S7 73.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 73.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.1S5 72.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.9S3 71.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.8S3 70.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.7S3 69.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.6S9 73.4E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. A 070243Z6 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A 29 NM EYE. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AVN, AFWA MM5, TLAPS, AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 AND 080900Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 18:18:28 2003 X-UIDL: 19024-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD002J6I0Z8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 17:50:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h279opMh039195 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 17:50:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276AsnE044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:31:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1359262 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:31:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h279Vsiw011202 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:31:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h279Vmid025162 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:31:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h279VmGT025161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:31:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:31:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070931.h279VmGT025161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 070931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI MAR 07 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH WITHIN THE ITCZ FROM 4N111W TO 13N110W MOVING NW. THE TROUGH APPEARS TO HAVE A WEAK CENTER OF CIRCULATION NEAR 8N111W AND IS PULLING ALL ITCZ CONVECTION NWD BETWEEN 105W-115W. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..SECOND TROUGH WITHIN THE ITCZ SLIGHTLY FARTHER S FROM 3N123W TO 11N122W. THIS TROUGH ALSO APPEARS TO HAVE A CENTER OF CIRCULATION NEAR 7N123W BUT IS MOVING IN A MORE WLY DIRECTION. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A 1024 MB HIGH NEAR 35N132W SE TO 15N104W. ..DISSIPATING TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE RIDGE FROM 21N118W TO 24N127W. QUIKSCAT IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROUGH SEPARATES 15-20 KT NELY WINDS TO THE S FROM WEAKER 5-10 KT WINDS TO THE N. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 116W-126W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N79W 5N104W 8N111W 6N117W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA/ECUADOR FROM EQ-3N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF A LINE FROM 12N104W TO 7N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 116W-118W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 124W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST BETWEEN 4N-6N. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 18:18:29 2003 X-UIDL: 19025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD002C9IF68R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 17:59:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h279xMMh041314 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 17:59:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276AsnI044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:54:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1359361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:54:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h279stiw011252 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:54:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h279snid025284 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:54:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h279snqf025283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:54:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 03:54:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070954.h279snqf025283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 070954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... FRONT...THROUGH 20N161W 26N150W 30N147W. FRONT CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 16N170W. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG THE FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG THE FRONT BETWEEN 22N AND 20N ARE DISSIPATING. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST ALIGNED SHEAR LINE CLOUD BAND MOVING NORTHWEST ACROSS JOHNSTON ISLAND. SEE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 06N156W 07N140W EXTENDS EAST AND MOVED WEST 15 KT. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 19S128W 22S120W MOVING EAST 20 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... TROUGH...ALONG LINE 08S180 25S155W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF TROUGH DRIFTED SLOWLY SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 20:37:45 2003 X-UIDL: 19029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD002YBOLQ8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 20:13:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27CCtMh071348 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 20:12:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276Asps044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 06:04:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1359906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 06:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27C48iw044172 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 06:04:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27C42id026129 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 06:04:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27C42Ie026127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 06:04:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 06:04:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303071204.h27C42Ie026127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 071200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 015/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 07/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 945 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S/72.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 14.3 SOUTH/71.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.5 SOUTH/69.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : WINDS ARE ESTIMATED ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT AND ERS SATELLITE DATA. KALUNDE KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING AND TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD ON THE NORTHERHN EDGE OF HIGH PRESSURES LOCATED FAR IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:41:50 2003 X-UIDL: 19032-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD00299TOI8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 22:02:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27E2ZMh093792 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 22:02:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276AssO044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 07:53:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1360804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 07:53:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27Drniw039782 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 07:53:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27Drhid027142 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 07:53:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27DrhpH027140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 07:53:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 07:53:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303071353.h27DrhpH027140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 071200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 015/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 07/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 945 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S/72.7E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 14.3 SOUTH/71.0 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.5 SOUTH/69.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : WINDS ARE ESTIMATED ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT AND ERS SATELLITE DATA. KALUNDE KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING AND TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD ON THE NORTHERHN EDGE OF HIGH PRESSURES LOCATED FAR IN THE SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:41:50 2003 X-UIDL: 19033-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD002VBU4B8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 22:12:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27EC4Mh095950 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 22:12:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276AsuQ044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:03:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1360993 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:02:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27E22iw041052 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:02:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27E1vid027331 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:01:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27E1v1w027330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:01:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:01:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303071401.h27E1v1w027330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 071500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ WTXS32 PGTW 0715001. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 19.3S3 113.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 113.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.8S8 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.7S9 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 22.2S6 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 24.4S0 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 28.8S8 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION NEAR 19.4S4 113.3E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 173 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND A 071041Z3 SSM/I DEPICT THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THEN SOUTHWARD INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 21S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT APPROACHED THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS BY MID 36 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO AN INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AVN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), TLAPS, AND TCLAPS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. GFDN ANALYZES A WEAKER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, TRACKING THE SYSTEM SLOWER THAN THE OTHER MODELS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0, 080300Z1, 080900Z7 AND 081500Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:41:57 2003 X-UIDL: 19039-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD0024ZZ0E8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:57:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27FvgMh024508 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:57:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276As44044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 09:47:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1362339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 09:42:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27Fgtiw025634 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 09:42:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27Fgnid000538 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 09:42:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27FgnxY000536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 09:42:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 09:42:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303071542.h27FgnxY000536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 071542 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI MAR 07 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH WITHIN THE ITCZ ALONG 4N112W TO 13N111W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. WEAK CENTER OF CIRCULATION NEAR 8N112W. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..SECOND TROUGH WITHIN THE ITCZ ALONG 4N125W TO 12N124W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. WEAK MIDDLE LEVEL TO LOW LEVEL CENTER OF CIRCULATION NEAR 6N125W. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 35N134W SE TO 20N115W AND SW TO BEYOND 30N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 4N100W 9N110W 5N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF 2N79.3W. ISOLATED TSTM NEAR 3.7N77.7W AND 4N94.9W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 9.5N110.9W TO 7N113.9W. ISOLATED TSTM 5.9N116.9W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 5N TO 8.5N FROM 120W TO 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ LL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 19047-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002DS4WZ8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:05:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27I5GMh059709 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:05:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276AsHE044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1364727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27HvFiw033906 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27Hv9id005323 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27Hv9t8005321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303071757.h27Hv9t8005321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071352ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED AT 12.4S7 73.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 070900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WAS LOCATED AT 19.3S3 113.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 173 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 19048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002F44XY8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:05:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27I5qMh059918 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:05:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27Hd4mm018124; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:58:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1364730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27HvFiw022500 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27Hv9id005324 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27Hv9r9005322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 11:57:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303071757.h27Hv9r9005322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071352ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED AT 12.4S7 73.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 070900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WAS LOCATED AT 19.3S3 113.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 173 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 19049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002685PY8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:22:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IMZMh065222 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:22:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IEbjE023644; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:17:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1364891 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:15:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IFhiw044434 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:15:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27IFbid005944 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:15:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27IFbN3005942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:15:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:15:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303071815.h27IFbN3005942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 071800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 8/14/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 07/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S/71.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.5/5.5 PLUS /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 935 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 95 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 250 KM SE30: 250 KM SW30: 250 KM NW30: 250 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 14.4S / 70.2E FI=6.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 15.2S / 68.8E FI=6.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 16.8S / 66.7E FI=6.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION IS GOING ON, THE CDO IS BECOMING MORE REGULAR, THE EYE MORE DEFINED. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ON THE EQUATORIAL EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 19050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE0026G5QA8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:22:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IMqMh065286 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:22:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IEbj2023644; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:14:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1364874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:14:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IDciw037976 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:13:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27IDWid005864 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:13:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27IDWQn005862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:13:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:13:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303071813.h27IDWQn005862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 071800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 07/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 935 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S/71.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/95 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.4 SOUTH/70.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 15.2 SOUTH/68.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION IS GOING ON, WITH THE EYE BECOMING MORE DEFINED, AND CONVECTION MORE SYMETRIC. THE TRACK REMAINS REGULAR SOUTHWESTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 19055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002JKBE58R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:25:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27KP9Mh005111 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:25:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IEbt8023644; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:17:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1366612 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:17:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27KHriw005738 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:17:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27KHlid009817 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:17:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27KHlx3009815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:17:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:17:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303072017.h27KHlx3009815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 071800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 016/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 07/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 935 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S/71.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/95 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 14.4 SOUTH/70.2 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 15.2 SOUTH/68.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION IS GOING ON, WITH THE EYE BECOMING MORE DEFINED, AND CONVECTION MORE SYMETRIC. THE TRACK REMAINS REGULAR SOUTHWESTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 19057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE00237DVU8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 05:19:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27LJ0Mh017029 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 05:19:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IEbxu023644; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:11:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1367414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:08:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27L8liw026944 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:08:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27L8gid011469 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:08:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27L8fZw011468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:08:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:08:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303072108.h27L8fZw011468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 072100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 19.5S5 113.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 113.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 20.1S3 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 21.3S6 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 23.2S7 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 25.1S8 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 31.0S4 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.7S7 113.2E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A SLIGHT DECREASE IN BOTH DEEP CONVECTION AND INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, AS THE SYSTEM HAS ENCOUNTERED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THEN SOUTHWARD THEREAFTER INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 21S IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY, AS MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HOLDS FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IN CHECK. AFTER 24 TO 36 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL ALSO ENCOUNTER COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF SHEAR AND COLDER SST WILL DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM OVER WATER. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), TLAPS, AND TCLAPS ARE IN GO0D AGREEMENT, WITH THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL FURTHER WEST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 AND 082100Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:07 2003 X-UIDL: 19058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE0024IDWU8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 05:19:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27LJaMh017165 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 05:19:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27JSvxC031526; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:11:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1367336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:07:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27L7kiw039868 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:07:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27L7eid011416 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:07:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27L7e8m011415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:07:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:07:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303072107.h27L7e8m011415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 072100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 13.5S9 72.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 72.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 14.0S5 71.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.6S1 70.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.5S1 68.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.4S2 66.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.6S0 71.9E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 125 KNOTS. A 071627Z3 SSM/I PASS REVEALS A 30 NM EYE. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 48 HOURS ABOVE THE MID- LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFICATION AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A VERY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE MODELS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 AND 082100Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:07 2003 X-UIDL: 19060-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002YNFXQ8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 06:03:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27M3JMh025151 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 06:03:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IEb44023644; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:52:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1368185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:52:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27LqQiw005886 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:52:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27LqKid012976 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:52:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27LqK1O012974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:52:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:52:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303072152.h27LqK1O012974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 072152 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI MAR 07 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH WITHIN THE ITCZ ALONG 4N113W TO 13N112W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. WEAK CENTER OF CIRCULATION NEAR 9N112W. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..SECOND TROUGH WITHIN THE ITCZ ALONG 4N125W TO 12N124W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. WEAK MIDDLE LEVEL TO LOW LEVEL CENTER OF CIRCULATION NEAR 6N125W. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 34N133W SE TO 18N107W AND SW TO BEYOND 30N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 3N90W 4N105W 8N110W 6N120W 6N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W AND 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 83W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:07 2003 X-UIDL: 19061-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE0022LG3C8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 06:06:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27M6gMh025616 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 06:06:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IEb4E023644; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:59:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1368300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:59:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27Lxsiw045176 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:59:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27Lxmid013168 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:59:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27Lxm20013167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:59:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 15:59:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303072159.h27Lxm20013167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 072159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE/WEAK FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS...WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TCU/CB...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 20N164W 18N170W 15N175W. FEATURE MOVING NORTH AT 5 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S167W 19S162W 24S146W 25S146W 25S159W 19S171W 16S172W 14S175W 12S173W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 01S175E 03S177W 09S173W 13S176W 15S179E 10S179E 08S165E 04S165E 03S175E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:09 2003 X-UIDL: 19067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002DUN5A8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:39:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h280d3Mh053432 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:39:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27NQBlA019428; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 18:21:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1369929 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 18:21:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h280Lkiw035318 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 18:21:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h280Leid015835 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 18:21:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h280Lehe015833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 18:21:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 18:21:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080021.h280Lehe015833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 080000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 017/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 08/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 927 HPA POSITION : 13.8S/71.2E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE EASTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/100 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 14.6 SOUTH/69.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.4 SOUTH/68.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION IS GOING ON, WITH THE EYE BECOMING MORE DEFINED, AND CONVECTION MORE SYMETRIC AND COLDER. TRACK REMAINS REGULAR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:05 2003 X-UIDL: 19073-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002H8U858R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:12:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h283C0Mh085589 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:12:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h281ugoo003594; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1371604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2838Viw019566 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2838Pid017277 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2838P6t017275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080308.h2838P6t017275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/080300Z/081800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080151ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080152ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8S2 71.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 395 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080300 AMD) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WAS LOCATED AT 19.7S7 113.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 080300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.2S4 129.4E6 IN THE TIMOR SEA, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AND UPDATED WARNING REMARKS IN PARA 2.A.(1) AND 2.A.(2). 4. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:05 2003 X-UIDL: 19074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002HZU8P8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:12:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h283CJMh085658 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:12:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27NQBrU019428; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1371547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:05:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2835kiw017424 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:05:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2835eid017237 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:05:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2835ev5017236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:05:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:05:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080305.h2835ev5017236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 080300 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 006A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 13.8S2 71.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 71.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.4S9 70.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.2S8 68.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.4S1 67.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 18.8S7 65.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.9S3 71.0E8. THE WARNING IS AMENDED BASED ON A RAPID INTENSIFICATION TREND, GREATER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 395 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. A 072318Z1 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) PASS REVEALS A 30 NM EYE. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 48 HOURS ABOVE THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFICATION AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A VERY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE MODELS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 AND 090300Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:05 2003 X-UIDL: 19075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002NGUBW8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:14:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h283EEMh086056 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:14:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27NQBru019428; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1371600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2838Viw044522 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2838Pid017278 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2838PjB017276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:08:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080308.h2838PjB017276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/080300Z/081800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080151ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080152ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8S2 71.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 395 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080300 AMD) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WAS LOCATED AT 19.7S7 113.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 080300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.2S4 129.4E6 IN THE TIMOR SEA, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AND UPDATED WARNING REMARKS IN PARA 2.A.(1) AND 2.A.(2). 4. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:07 2003 X-UIDL: 19077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002O9UCB8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:14:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h283ETMh086107 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:14:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h281ugoe003594; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1371564 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:06:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2836piw044490 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:06:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2836jid017253 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:06:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2836j1E017252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:06:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:06:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080306.h2836j1E017252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 19.7S7 113.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 113.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.5S7 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 22.1S5 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.9S9 112.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ENCOUNTER STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 24 HOURS, AND THEN ENCOUNTER COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF SHEAR AND COLDER SST WILL DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM OVER WATER. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), TLAPS, AND TCLAPS ARE IN GO0D AGREEMENT, WITH THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL FURTHER WEST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 AND 090300Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:07 2003 X-UIDL: 19078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002Y6UIM8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:18:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h283IGMh086950 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:18:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h281ugog003594; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1371583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2837eiw044502 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2837Yid017268 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2837Y0g017266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080307.h2837Y0g017266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/080300Z/080600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 153.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9S3 153.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICT INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR AREA. 4. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 19079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002RNVMP8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:42:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h283gIMh092576 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:42:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27NQBsI019428; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:34:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1371801 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:33:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h283Xsiw017632 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:33:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h283Xmid017507 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:33:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h283XmQg017506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:33:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:33:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080333.h283XmQg017506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 080333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT MAR 08 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH WITHIN THE ITCZ ALONG 4N113W TO 13N113W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. WEAK CENTER OF CIRCULATION NEAR 9N113W. ..SECOND TROUGH WITHIN THE ITCZ ALONG 4N125W TO 12N124W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. WEAK MIDDLE LEVEL TO LOW LEVEL CENTER OF CIRCULATION NEAR 6N125W. ..1022 MB HIGH NEAR 35N129W. A RIDGE EXTENDS SE TO 15N106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 3N90W 3N100W 8N106W 7N120W 6N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 119W AND 122W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:09 2003 X-UIDL: 19085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF002EH1F08R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:47:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h285lCMh022242 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:47:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h285AEm2044372; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:40:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1372941 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:40:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h285e1iw004640 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:40:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h285dtid018216 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:39:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h285dtOt018214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:39:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:39:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080539.h285dtOt018214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 080000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 017/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 08/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 927 HPA POSITION : 13.8S/71.2E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE EASTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/100 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 14.6 SOUTH/69.8 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.4 SOUTH/68.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSIFICATION IS GOING ON, WITH THE EYE BECOMING MORE DEFINED, AND CONVECTION MORE SYMETRIC AND COLDER. TRACK REMAINS REGULAR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:09 2003 X-UIDL: 19087-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF002GG1GR8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:48:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h285m3Mh022439 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:48:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFk4019432; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:38:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1372844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:38:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h285bxiw026518 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:37:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h285boid018197 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:37:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h285bo1S018195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:37:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:37:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080537.h285bo1S018195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9S3 153.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 154.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:10 2003 X-UIDL: 19088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF0022K2X98R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 14:19:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h286JpMh028966 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 14:19:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFom019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:13:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1373403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:12:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h286Cliw033796 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:12:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h286Cfid018432 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:12:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h286CfQ4018430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:12:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:12:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080612.h286CfQ4018430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 080600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 018/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 08/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14(KALUNDE) 905 HPA POSITION : 13.9S/70.2E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/115 KT AND TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 08/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 14.4 SOUTH/68.7 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 09/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 15.1 SOUTH/67.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING IN A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, WITH A VERY WELL DEFINED EYE, AND A SYMMETRICAL CONVECTION. TRACK REMAINS REGULAR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:10 2003 X-UIDL: 19089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF0027J3038R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 14:21:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h286LXMh029404 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 14:21:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h285AEp6044372; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:14:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1373446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:13:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h286Driw035948 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:13:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h286Dlid018458 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:13:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h286DlWr018456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:13:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 00:13:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080613.h286DlWr018456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 080600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 9/14/20022003 1.A VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 08/03/2003 : 13.9S/70.2E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 7.0/7.0 /D 1.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 905 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 115 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 280 KM SE30: 280 KM SW30: 280 KM NW30: 280 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 14.4S / 68.7E FI=6.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 15.1S / 67.2E FI=6.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 17.0S / 64.5E FI=6.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=CI=7.0-. EYE DIAMETER = 30 NM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:12 2003 X-UIDL: 19096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF0094VCC9VE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 17:43:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h289hEMh067895 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 17:43:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFri019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:34:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1374396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:34:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h289Yiiw009510 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:34:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h289Ycid019765 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:34:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h289Yca6019764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:34:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:34:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080934.h289Yca6019764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 080934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT MAR 08 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH WITHIN THE ITCZ FROM 4N116W TO 13N115W MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE TROUGH HAS PULLED ALL ITCZ CLOUDS AND CONVECTION TO THE N WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 114W-118W. ..SECOND TROUGH WITHIN THE ITCZ FROM 2N127W TO 12N127W MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PRIMARILY E OF THE AXIS FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 122W-125W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N EXTENDING FROM A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 34N129W. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 2N83W 5N87W 2N96W 9N116W 5N130W 5N140W. ISOLATED CELL OF MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST WITHIN 30NM OF 5N77W. ISOLATED CELL OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF 2N83W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-127W...ENHANCED BY TWO SURFACE TROUGHS. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF A LINE FROM 11N108W TO 10N112W. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 21N-24N W OF 139W ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:12 2003 X-UIDL: 19097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF009U3D3WVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 17:59:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h289xnMh070881 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 17:59:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFro019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:54:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1374498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:54:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h289suiw039226 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:54:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h289slid019880 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:54:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h289slb5019879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:54:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 03:54:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080954.h289slb5019879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 080954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 06N170W MOVED WEST SLOWLY WITH NO CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 04S174E 04S175W 12S175W 13S177W MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11S174W 18S170W 15S176W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 21S116W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SECOND CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:13 2003 X-UIDL: 19099-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF009D5EMJVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:32:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28AWbMh076831 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:32:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFsa019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:23:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1374675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:23:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28ANjiw035914 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:23:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28ANdid020046 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:23:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28ANcRZ020045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:23:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:23:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081023.h28ANcRZ020045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS23 PGTW 081000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080951ZMAR03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.4S6 128.7E8 TO 10.9S0 133.6E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 080830Z9 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 129.4E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 129.4E6 IN THE TIMOR SEA IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 129.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 091000Z0. 4. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:13 2003 X-UIDL: 19100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF00911FC5VE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:48:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28AlvMh079697 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:48:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2893dnK035356; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1374770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28Afpiw040158 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28Afjid020146 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28AfjfF020144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081041.h28AfjfF020144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/081030Z/081800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080151ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080152ZMAR2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080951ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS, REF C IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8S2 71.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 395 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080300 AMD) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WAS LOCATED AT 19.7S7 113.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 080300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 129.4E6 IN THE TIMOR SEA IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 129.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. SEE REF C (WTXS23 PGTW 081000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B (1) TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:13 2003 X-UIDL: 19101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF0094BFEVVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:49:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28AnbMh080233 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:49:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFsg019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1374767 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28Afpiw026916 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28Afjid020145 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28Afjqd020143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:41:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081041.h28Afjqd020143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 081030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/081030Z/081800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080151ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080152ZMAR2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080951ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS, REF C IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED AT 13.8S2 71.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 395 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080300 AMD) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WAS LOCATED AT 19.7S7 113.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 080300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 129.4E6 IN THE TIMOR SEA IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 129.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. SEE REF C (WTXS23 PGTW 081000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B (1) TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:13 2003 X-UIDL: 19102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF009WYJF1VE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:16:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28CFxMh096453 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:16:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFtm019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 06:08:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1375138 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 06:08:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28C81iw014914 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 06:08:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28C7tid020610 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 06:07:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28C7tGp020608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 06:07:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 06:07:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081207.h28C7tGp020608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 081200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 019/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 08/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 905 HPA POSITION : 14.3S/69.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/115 KT AND TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/68.1 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 09/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 15.8 SOUTH/66.7 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE IS STILL LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND SEEMS TO HAVE REACHED A PEAK OF INTENSITY AT ABOUT 0200Z. THE EYEY IS WELL DEFINED, AND CONVECTION REMAISN SYMMETRICAL. TRACK REMAINS REGULAR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:06 2003 X-UIDL: 19106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF009JSP23VE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 22:18:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28EHuMh019975 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 22:17:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aF0g019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:07:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1376035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:02:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28E2piw042962 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:02:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28E2jid021405 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:02:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28E2jIJ021404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:02:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:02:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081402.h28E2jIJ021404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 20.2S4 112.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 112.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.5S8 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.4S9 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.5S7 112.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT WEAK CONVECTION PERSISTS OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT APPROACHES THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONDITIONS. THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM OVER WATER. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION, TLAPS, AND TCLAPS ARE IN GO0D AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:12 2003 X-UIDL: 19108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF009PTQGVVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 22:48:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28EmNMh024852 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 22:48:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aF1K019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:36:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1376338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:34:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28EYWiw019642 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:34:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28EYQid021633 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:34:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28EYQo7021632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:34:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:34:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081434.h28EYQo7021632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 14.4S9 69.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 69.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.1S7 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.0S7 68.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.9S6 67.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.8S6 66.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.6S1 69.5E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS ALONG THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SITUATED SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY EARLY IN THE PERIOD, HOLD STEADY AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AFWA MM5, TLAPS, TCLAPS, AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 AND 091500Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:12 2003 X-UIDL: 19109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF0096BTABVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:49:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28FnEMh036094 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:49:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2893d9e035356; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 09:41:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1376819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 09:41:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28FfJiw011788 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 09:41:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28FfDid022056 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 09:41:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28FfDiA022055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 09:41:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 09:41:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081541.h28FfDiA022055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 081540 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT MAR 08 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..THE WEAK TROUGHS WITHIN THE ITCZ HAVE BECOME INDISTINCT AND ARE NO LONGER CONSIDERED SYNOPTIC FEATURES. ..HIGH PRESSURE HAS RETURNED WITH A 1021 MB CENTER NEAR 33N129W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE ALONG THE MEXICAN COASTLINE TO 19N106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N85W 2N95W 5N110W THEN A BREAK TO 10N110W 6N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W-123W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 60-90 NM WIDE ARE NEAR 3N102W 10N111W 6N127W 5N133W AND 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 4N85W AND 4N108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:19 2003 X-UIDL: 19113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG0095P0DRVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:22:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28IMWMh066843 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:22:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFAm019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:16:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1378365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:16:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28IG0iw039974 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:16:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28IFsid023645 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:15:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28IFsM0023643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:15:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:15:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081815.h28IFsM0023643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 081800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 020/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 08/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 910 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S/69.1E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 220 NM. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/110 KT AND TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 16.1 SOUTH/67.9 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 09/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.4 SOUTH/66.7 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE SHOWS FEW SIGNS OF WEAKENING. NEVERTHELESS, IT REMAINS AN INTENSE BUT RATHER SMALL SYSTEM, WITH AN EYE LARGE AND WELL DEFINED, TRACK IS REGULAR SOUTHWESTWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:19 2003 X-UIDL: 19114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009D30NWVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:28:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28IScMh068023 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:28:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFBC019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:24:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1378530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:24:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28IODiw017636 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:24:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28IO7id023715 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:24:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28IO6tc023713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:24:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 12:24:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081824.h28IO6tc023713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 081800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 10/14/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 08/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S/69.1E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.0/6.5 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 910 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 110 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 300 KM SE30: 300 KM SW30: 300 KM NW30: 300 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.1S / 67.9E FI=6.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 17.4S / 66.7E FI=5.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.0S / 64.0E FI=5.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : DEEP CONVECTION IS WARMER IN HIGH LEVEL. THE EYE REMAINS VERY WARM, LARGE AND VERY WELL DEFINED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19117-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009OQ517VE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 04:03:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28K30Mh091755 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 04:03:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFFs019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:57:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1379688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:56:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28Juwiw024704 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28Juqid024421 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:56:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28JuqA4024417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:56:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:56:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081956.h28JuqA4024417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081352ZMAR2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080951ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS, REF C IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 69.7E2, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009PV51ZVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 04:03:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28K3TMh091879 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 04:03:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28IMDve020722; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:57:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1379692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:57:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28Juwiw009688 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28Juqid024420 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:56:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28Juq5j024415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:56:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:56:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081956.h28Juq5j024415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081352ZMAR2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080951ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS, REF C IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 69.7E2, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:55 2003 X-UIDL: 19125-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009ZQ8Z8VE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 05:28:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28LSDMh008501 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 05:28:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFJs019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:19:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1380414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:19:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28LJDiw029870 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:19:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28LJ7id025332 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:19:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28LJ797025331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:19:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:19:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303082119.h28LJ797025331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 082100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080951ZMAR03// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080951Z MAR 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 11.2S4 128.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2S4 128.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 10.9S0 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 10.6S7 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 10.4S5 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 10.5S6 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.1S3 128.7E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUING TO ORGANIZE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EQUATORWARD FOR THE SHORT TERM, UNDER A MID- LEVEL EQUATORIAL WESTERLY FLOW, BEFORE TURNING POLEWARD OVER THE TOP END OF NORTHERN AUSTRALIA TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN A RIDGE OVER THE CONTINENT, SOUTH OF TC 24S. CURRENT FORECAST REASONING CALLS FOR TC 24S TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY IN THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLY ENVIRONMENT, THEN CONTINUE TO DEVELOP FURTHER IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND THE AUSTRALIA BOM MODELS (TLAPS AND TCLAPS) ARE IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 10 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 080951Z MAR 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS23 PGTW 081000). NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 AND 092100Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:57 2003 X-UIDL: 19127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009JWA12VE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 05:51:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28LouMh011649 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 05:50:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFLM019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:45:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1380732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:45:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28Ljfiw003758 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:45:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28LjZid025526 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:45:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28LjZi9025525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:45:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:45:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303082145.h28LjZi9025525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 082145 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT MAR 08 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 08/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 5N87W 4N102W 5N109W...AND THEN A BREAK TO 10N110W 8N120W 6N123W 5N132W AND 4N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...DISSIPATING DURING LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 87W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 120W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:58 2003 X-UIDL: 19128-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009K3A1EVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 05:51:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28Lp8Mh011701 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 05:51:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFLO019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1380760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28Llciw029766 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28LlWid025540 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28LlW59025538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303082147.h28LlW59025538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 082200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/082200Z/091800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081352ZMAR2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081953ZMAR2003// AMPN/REFS A THROUGH C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 69.7E2, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:58 2003 X-UIDL: 19129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009NEA7GVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 05:54:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28LsfMh012152 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 05:54:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28KkppC041146; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1380763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28Llciw045314 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28LlWid025541 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28LlWj3025539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:47:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303082147.h28LlWj3025539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 082200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/082200Z/091800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081352ZMAR2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081953ZMAR2003// AMPN/REFS A THROUGH C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081200Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 69.7E2, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:58 2003 X-UIDL: 19130-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009W1ANGVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 06:04:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28M4MMh013388 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 06:04:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFLu019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:59:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1380901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:59:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28Lxkiw045432 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:59:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28Lxeid025642 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:59:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28LxeFp025641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:59:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 15:59:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303082159.h28LxeFp025641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 082159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 22N169W 22N162W 20N164W 17N171W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N173W 06N164W 05N165W 06N176W 09N176W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 15 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 04N144W 04N140W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 02S168E 03S179E 13S170W 19S171W 16S180 18S173E 14S170E 11S175E 11S163E 05S160E HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 19132-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009ACGVCVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:18:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h290If8U018449 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:18:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28Kkp64041146; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:13:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1382138 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:13:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h290Diiw011062 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:13:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h290Dcid026619 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:13:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h290Dbbo026617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:13:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:13:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090013.h290Dbbo026617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 090000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 021/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 09/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 915 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S/68.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/110 KT AND TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE,EXTENDING UP TO 170 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/67.9 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 10/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 17.2 SOUTH/67.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE TRACK AS CURVED MORE SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING THE LAST 12 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 19134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009IHIZ2VE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 09:04:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h291488U025591 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 09:04:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFSC019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1382653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h290qBiw024590 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h290q5id026904 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h290q5ar026902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090052.h290q5ar026902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/090100Z/090600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 154.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 154.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 14.0S5 172.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA, PARA 2.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:01 2003 X-UIDL: 19139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009V6N6UVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 10:35:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h292ZB8U041432 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 10:35:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28KkpM0041146; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:30:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1383690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h292RLiw036038 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h292RFid027454 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h292RF0B027451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090227.h292RF0B027451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS32 PGTW 090300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING NR 021 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 21.0S3 111.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.0S3 111.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 22.2S6 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 21.3S6 110.7E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S (HARRIET), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW SOME WEAK CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, BUT THE SYSTEM IS STILL VERY SMALL IN AREAL SIZE. TC 21S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD, THEN SOUTH, PARALLEL TO THE AUSTRALIA COAST IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHING SOUTHWEST AUSTRALIA FROM THE INDIAN OCEAN. THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF SHEAR, AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS SOUTH, AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TC 21S SIGNIFICANTLY OVER WATER AS THE REMNANTS CONTINUE SOUTHWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION, AND THE AUSTRALIA BOM MODELS (TLAPS AND TCLAPS) ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 11 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:01 2003 X-UIDL: 19140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009V9N6UVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 10:35:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h292ZD8U041435 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 10:35:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFVg019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1383683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h292RLiw016846 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h292RFid027452 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h292RFj7027448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090227.h292RFj7027448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 090300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 15.4S0 68.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 68.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.7S3 68.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.1S8 67.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.8S5 67.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.3S2 67.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.5S1 68.7E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 120 KNOTS. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN MORE POLEWARD THEREAFTER, AROUND THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 23S WILL MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE, THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER RELATIVELY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AFWA MM5, AUSTRALIA BOM TLAPS, AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 AND 100300Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) WARNING (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:02 2003 X-UIDL: 19142-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009XPRF2VE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:06:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2946U8U055605 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:06:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFYY019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 21:58:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1384660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 21:57:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h293vuiw040098 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 21:57:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h293void027969 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 21:57:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h293vocu027968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 21:57:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 21:57:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090357.h293vocu027968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 090357 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT MAR 08 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 09/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 4N90W 5N110W 7N126W 6N135W 5N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...DISSIPATING DURING LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS...WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 10N126W 18N106W 26N105W IN NORTH CENTRAL MEXICO. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:03 2003 X-UIDL: 19146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009UHWASVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 13:52:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h295pw8U075727 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 13:52:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28KkpfO041146; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1385647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h295ghiw035390 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h295gbid028655 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h295gbte028653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090542.h295gbte028653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 154.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 154.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 595 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 172.0E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S2 172.2E2 APPROXIMATELY 330 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSEE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:03 2003 X-UIDL: 19147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG00962XRZVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 14:23:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h296Nr8U082045 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 14:23:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFdG019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:18:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1386102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:18:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h296Isiw044286 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:18:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h296Ilid028897 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:18:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h296Il48028895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:18:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:18:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090618.h296Il48028895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 090600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 022/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 09/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 915 HPA POSITION : 15.7S/68.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/110 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 09/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.5 SOUTH/67.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 17.5 SOUTH/66.2 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE TRACK REMAINS REGULAR, IN DIRECTION OF THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. THE INTENSITY OF KALUNDE HAS STARTED TO LIGHTLY WEAKEN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:03 2003 X-UIDL: 19149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009EXXWLVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 14:26:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h296Qd8U082681 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 14:26:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFdI019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:22:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1386109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:22:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h296Lxiw028696 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:21:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h296Lqid028926 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:21:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h296Lq3t028924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:21:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 00:21:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090621.h296Lq3t028924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 090600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 11/14/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 09/03/2003 : 15.7S/68.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.0/6.5 /S /12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 915 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 110 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 450 KM SW30: 350 KM NW30: 100 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.5S / 67.2E FI=6.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 17.5S / 66.2E FI=6.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.0S / 65.0E FI=5.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE EYE IS STILL WELL DEFINED BUT THE COVERAGE OF CONVECTION IS LESS EXTENDED, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN SECTOR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:04 2003 X-UIDL: 19152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH009LJ3NLF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 16:30:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h298Up8U003009 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 16:30:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFeQ019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:19:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1386708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:19:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h298Ixiw014706 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:18:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h298Irid029582 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:18:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h298Ir9x029581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:18:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:18:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090818.h298Ir9x029581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 090900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 10.7S8 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.7S8 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 10.7S8 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 10.9S0 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 11.4S6 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.8S0 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.7S8 130.1E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EASTWARD IN THE WESTERLIES OF THE MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLY ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 AND 100900Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HARRIET) (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:05 2003 X-UIDL: 19154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH0091L6NRF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 17:35:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h299Zh8U016629 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 17:35:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFfE019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:28:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1386939 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:28:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h299Sqiw045374 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:28:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h299Skid000140 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:28:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h299Skle000139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:28:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:28:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090928.h299Skle000139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 090928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT MAR 08 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 09/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 20N WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A 1024 MB HIGH NEAR 32N127W TO 18N105W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH SW TO BEYOND 26N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 1N83W 4N88W 3N98W 5N110W 4N115W 9N126W 5N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-90W AND BETWEEN 95W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-132W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 75W-78W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:05 2003 X-UIDL: 19156-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH0099P7TGF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:00:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29A0k8U022111 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:00:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFfO019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:54:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1387089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:54:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h299soiw035528 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:54:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h299siid000321 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:54:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h299siHm000320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:54:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 03:54:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090954.h299siHm000320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 090954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE/SURFACE TROUGH...NEW EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 21N157W 20N163W 10N170W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 05N142W 03N148W 07N154W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITH 120 NM OF POINT 05N164W MOVED EAST AT 15 KT WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH SHEAR LINE/SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 150 NM OF POINT 17S176W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE... WERE BOUNDED BY 08S179E 08S174W 14S174W 18S176E AND MOVED SLOWLY EAST SOUTHEAST AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 20:21:08 2003 X-UIDL: 19159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH009XRE89F2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:19:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29CJE8U053705 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:19:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFi6019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 06:12:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1387827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 06:12:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29CCfiw009722 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 06:12:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29CCZid001189 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 06:12:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29CCYeM001187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 06:12:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 06:12:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303091212.h29CCYeM001187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 091200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 023/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 09/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 915 HPA POSITION : 16.0S/67.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/110 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.9 SOUTH/66.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 18.0 SOUTH/65.7 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD, IN DIRECTION OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURES, LOCATED SOUTH OF MASCAREIGNES AND FORECATED TO MOVE EASTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:49:55 2003 X-UIDL: 19164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH009WCK9JF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 22:29:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ETW8U077426 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 22:29:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29DKVsg014732; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:20:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1389492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:20:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29EKsiw041702 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:20:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29EKjid001999 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:20:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29EKj7U001998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:20:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:20:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303091420.h29EKj7U001998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 091500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- NEAR 16.1S8 67.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 67.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.6S3 67.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.1S9 66.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.6S4 65.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.6S5 65.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.2S9 67.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 125 KNOTS. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS THAT CONVECTION IS STARTING TO ERODE ON THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE EYEWALL. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN MORE POLEWARD, AROUND THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AS IT PROPAGATES EASTWARD. TC 23S WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER RELATIVELY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WILL WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT APPROACHES THE RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AFWA MM5, AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 AND 101500Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:05 2003 X-UIDL: 19171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH009VVTLUF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 01:51:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29HpM8U021766 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 01:51:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29DKVRK014732; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:45:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1392697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:45:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29Hj2iw035906 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:45:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29Hitid003257 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:44:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29Hitkf003255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:44:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:44:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303091744.h29Hitkf003255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090753ZMAR2003// AMPN/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 67.9E2, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:06 2003 X-UIDL: 19172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH009W3TLZF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 01:51:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29HpS8U021779 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 01:51:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClM5G019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:45:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1392694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:45:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29Hj2iw028796 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:45:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29Hitid003256 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:44:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29HitIk003254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:44:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 11:44:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303091744.h29HitIk003254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090753ZMAR2003// AMPN/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 67.9E2, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:06 2003 X-UIDL: 19173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH009ISUIMF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:11:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29IB48U024872 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:11:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClM6E019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:07:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1393199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:07:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29I7fiw035686 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:07:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29I7Zid003508 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:07:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29I7Zbe003506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:07:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:07:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303091807.h29I7Zbe003506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 091800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 024/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 09/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 915 HPA POSITION : 16.4S/67.5E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 200 NM, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/110 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 17.1 SOUTH/66.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 10/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.9 SOUTH/65.7 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENSION (MEASURED VIA THE LAST QUIKSCAT PASS AT 1303Z) IS DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:07 2003 X-UIDL: 19174-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH009N0UOCF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:14:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29IEU8U025361 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:14:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClM6G019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:09:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1393206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:09:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29I9miw031552 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:09:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29I9gid003526 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:09:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29I9goJ003524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:09:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 12:09:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303091809.h29I9goJ003524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 091800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 12/14/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 09/03/2003 : 16.4S/67.5E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.0/6.5 /S / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 915 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 110 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 450 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 220 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.1S / 66.6E FI=6.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 17.9S / 65.7E FI=6.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.3S / 64.2E FI=5.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=6.0+. EYE LESS CIRCULAR. DIAMETER = 15 MN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:08 2003 X-UIDL: 19177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI009KQ36TF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 05:18:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29LIN8U063273 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 05:18:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClMGS019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:00:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1395366 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:00:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29L0hiw037572 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:00:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29L0bid004602 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:00:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29L0b85004601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:00:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:00:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303092100.h29L0b85004601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 092100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 10.5S6 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5S6 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 10.7S8 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 11.1S3 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.7S9 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 12.6S9 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 10.5S6 131.1E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTH OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EASTWARD THEN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD, ACROSS THE TOP END OF NORTHERN AUSTRALIA, IN NEAR EQUATORIAL WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFICATION SLOWLY, DUE TO LAND INTERACTION, IN THE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL EQUATORIAL WESTERLY ENVIRONMENT, WITH WEAK TO MODERATE SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) CONTINUE TO AGREE AGREE WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 AND 102100Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:12 2003 X-UIDL: 19179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI009BW4O6F2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 05:50:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29LoM8U067897 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 05:50:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClMI4019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:45:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1395878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:45:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29LjQiw033258 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:45:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29LjKid004844 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:45:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29LjKkV004843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:45:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 15:45:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303092145.h29LjKkV004843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 092144 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 160 NM OF THE POINT 22N156W MOVED EAST AT 30 KT. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 06N142W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 04N156W TO 03N152W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N158W 05N156W 03N158W 02N167W 07N163W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25 KNOTS...INCREASED IN AREA...AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N179W TO 08N177W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE DISCUSSION OF SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S175W 14S167W 21S175W 21S178W 10S179W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07S176W TO 10S175W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 23S145W TO 25S142W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:12 2003 X-UIDL: 19180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00K2F5QWLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 06:13:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29MDb8U071192 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 06:13:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29Jec1s014732; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 16:05:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1396064 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 16:05:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29M5giw045496 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 16:05:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29M5Zid004995 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 16:05:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29M5ZDY004994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 16:05:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 16:05:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303092205.h29M5ZDY004994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 092205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN MAR 09 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 09/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 107W. ..TROUGH ALONG W COAST OF MEXICO FROM 17N100W TO 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 21N102W...TO 26N110W AND 32N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2100 UTC... ITCZ... ONE AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 4N91W 3N99W 4N124W...AND A SECOND AXIS 11N121W 9N125W 8N130W 8N136W 7N140W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 102W. ISOLATED CELL OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 4N91W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 125 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF SECOND AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM EXTREME NW MEXICO/SW ARIZONA INTO EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN NEAR 27N120W TO 17N140W. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW TO THE EAST/SE OF THIS TROUGH...SPREADING PACIFIC MOISTURE INTO INLAND MEXICO...WITHIN 300-400 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N105W 18N115W 11N121W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:13 2003 X-UIDL: 19181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00K7JBEALA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:15:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A0Fc8U089346 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:15:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClMNw019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:07:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1397209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:06:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A06Xiw007238 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:06:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A06Rid005692 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:06:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A06R6k005690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:06:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:06:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100006.h2A06R6k005690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 100000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 025/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 915 HPA POSITION : 16.6S/67.3E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 240 NM, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/110 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 17.3 SOUTH/66.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.1 SOUTH/65.6 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE STARTS TO WEAKEN, WITH LESS DEEP CONVECTION AND ELONGATED EYE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENSION IS IMPORTANT IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:14 2003 X-UIDL: 19185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00K4ADTOLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:08:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A1868U000880 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:08:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClMRQ019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:57:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1398067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:57:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A0vfiw027242 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:57:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A0vZid006015 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:57:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A0vZZ5006014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:57:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:57:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 100021z Mar 03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100057.h2A0vZZ5006014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS21 PGTW 100030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100021Z MAR 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.6S0 170.2E0 TO 17.8S6 174.4E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 092330Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 172.4E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED VISIBLE, MULTISPECTRAL, ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY, AND A 091848Z0 QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS CONTINUED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 110030Z5. 4. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:14 2003 X-UIDL: 19186-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00K5ODU1LA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:08:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A18J8U000947 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:08:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29JecN8014732; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1398080 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A0xpiw027262 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A0xiid006052 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A0xiKq006050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100059.h2A0xiKq006050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/100100Z/100600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 154.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8S0 157.6E9, APPROXIMATELY 755 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE, MULTISPECTRAL, AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICT CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE LLCC IS MOVING EASTWARD IN EQUATORIAL WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8S2 172.2E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 172.7E7 APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED VISIBLE, MULTISPECTRAL, ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY, AND A 091848Z0 QUIKSCAT PASS REVEAL CONTINUED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 100030) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.1.(2) TO GOOD. 4. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 10:56:51 2003 X-UIDL: 19192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00K0NI26LA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 10:39:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A2dY8U026999 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 10:39:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29JecXw014732; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:29:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1399083 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:29:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A2T3iw027388 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:29:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A2Svid006566 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:28:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A2SvHZ006565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:28:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:28:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100228.h2A2SvHZ006565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 16.7S4 67.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 67.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.2S0 66.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.8S6 65.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.7S6 65.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.9S9 65.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.8S5 67.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 115 KNOTS. RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) AND QUIKSCAT PASSES REVEAL A DECREASING INTENSITY TREND, AND THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED IN THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF TC 23S. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A POLEWARD TRACK AROUND THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. AS THE RIDGE PROPAGATES EASTWARD, TC 23S FORECAST TRACK WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE WEAKNESS. TC 23S WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT PAST THE RIDGE AXIS AFTER 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND AFWA MM5 MODELS, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) AND THE UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS ARE BIASED EAST AND WEST, RESPECTIVELY. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AFWA AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 AND 110300Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 13:46:26 2003 X-UIDL: 19198-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00K0IMGBLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:14:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A4EP8U053700 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:14:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClMaS019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 22:04:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1400356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 22:03:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A43xiw037544 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 22:03:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A43qid007366 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 22:03:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A43q4N007365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 22:03:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 22:03:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100403.h2A43q4N007365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 100403 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 10 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 10/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 107W. ..TROUGH ALONG W COAST OF MEXICO FROM 17N100W TO 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 21N102W...TO 26N110W AND 32N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0330 UTC... ITCZ... ONE AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 4N93W 3N102W 2N108W 4N116W 4N126W... AND A SECOND AXIS 9N128W 7N135W 7N140W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...AND DISSIPATING BUT STILL ACTIVE ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 102W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 136W. POSSIBLE SHOWERS IN BROKEN LOW/MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS FROM EQUATOR TO 8N BETWEEN 100W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM EXTREME NW MEXICO/SW ARIZONA INTO EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN NEAR 27N120W TO 17N140W. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW TO THE EAST/SE OF THIS TROUGH...SPREADING PACIFIC MOISTURE INTO INLAND MEXICO...WITHIN 300-400 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N105W 18N115W 11N121W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 13:46:29 2003 X-UIDL: 19202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00KZIQ0OLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 13:31:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A5VU8U072535 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 13:31:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClMfo019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1401294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A5JSiw017120 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A5JMid007817 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A5JM6Y007815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100519.h2A5JM6Y007815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100021ZMAR2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8S0 157.6E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 157.6E9, APPROXIMATELY 750 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR BUT MAY BE REGENERATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 172.7E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 172.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS CONTINUED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 100030) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 15:42:39 2003 X-UIDL: 19205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00KO6SW1LA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:33:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6XT8U088052 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:33:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6CloK014734; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:24:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1402416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:23:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6NTiw020498 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:23:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A6NMid008262 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:23:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A6NM4U008260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:23:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:23:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100623.h2A6NM4U008260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 100600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 026/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 925 HPA POSITION : 17.1S/66.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/105 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.8 SOUTH/66.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.5 SOUTH/65.2 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM STARTS TO WEAKEN DURING THE LAST NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 15:42:39 2003 X-UIDL: 19206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00KYCT04LA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:36:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6Zv8U088674 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:35:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHkY019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:25:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1402473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:25:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6PZiw033804 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:25:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A6PTid008292 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:25:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A6PTRZ008290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:25:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:25:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100625.h2A6PTRZ008290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 100600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 13/14/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 10/03/2003 : 17.1S/66.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.5/6.0 PLUS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 925 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 105 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 200 KM SE30: 420 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 17.8S / 66.0E FI=6.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.5S / 65.2E FI=5.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 19.8S / 64.5E FI=5.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : DECREASING INTENSITY TREND. LESS CLEARLY EYE CONFIGURATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 15:42:39 2003 X-UIDL: 19207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00K97TFQLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:45:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6jJ8U091355 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:45:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHke019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:39:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1402619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:39:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6dwiw033926 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:39:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A6dqid008399 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:39:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A6dqIo008397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:39:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 00:39:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100639.h2A6dqIo008397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 100600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 026/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 925 HPA POSITION : 17.1S/66.7E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/105 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 10/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 17.8 SOUTH/66.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.5 SOUTH/65.2 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM STARTS TO WEAKEN DURING THE LAST NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 16:51:58 2003 X-UIDL: 19213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00KZ1XVQLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 16:21:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A8LI8U015202 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 16:21:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHmO019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:10:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1403127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:10:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A8AGiw011144 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:10:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A8AAid008845 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:10:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A8AA3j008844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:10:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:10:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100810.h2A8AA3j008844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 11.0S2 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.0S2 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 11.3S5 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.6S8 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 11.9S1 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.3S6 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.1S3 131.4E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (CRAIG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA, IN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION, BEFORE INTENSIFYING AFTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS IT EMERGES INTO THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) CONTINUE TO AGREE WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 AND 110900Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 16:51:59 2003 X-UIDL: 19215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00KE8Z2QLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 16:47:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A8l88U022011 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 16:47:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHme019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:37:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1403283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:37:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A8boiw009558 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:37:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A8biid009007 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:37:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A8biPl009006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:37:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:37:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100837.h2A8biPl009006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 12.0S3 157.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0S3 157.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 12.6S9 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 13.3S7 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 13.9S3 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.8S3 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 12.2S5 158.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), HAS REGENERATED AND IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, AND HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NEAR EQUATORIAL MID-LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AS THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 AND 110900Z1. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 18:30:00 2003 X-UIDL: 19221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00K7P2PTLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 18:05:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AA5j8U044765 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 18:05:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHn6019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:56:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1403568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:56:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A9ujiw035394 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:56:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A9udid009628 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:56:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A9ud2N009627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:56:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:56:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100956.h2A9ud2N009627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 100956 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 10 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N95W 4N108W 7N116W 7N133W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 98W AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 115W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 103W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 4.5N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 18:30:00 2003 X-UIDL: 19222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00K7V2PVLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 18:05:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AA5n8U044776 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 18:05:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A9Zkk4026900; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:59:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1403588 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:59:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A9xfiw040026 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:59:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A9xZid009640 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:59:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A9xZg4009639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:59:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 03:59:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100959.h2A9xZg4009639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 100959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N175W 06N168W 05N164W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07N157W 07N146W 03N147W 03N160W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 26N151W 21N150W 21N153W 25N153W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 25N164W 23N164W 21N166W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT IN 9 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 20S163W 23S164W 25S174W 23S175W 21S166W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 21:34:56 2003 X-UIDL: 19228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00K8R8UPLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 20:18:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ACII8U077178 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 20:18:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHpI019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 06:02:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1404287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 06:02:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AC2kiw037408 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 06:02:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AC2eid010391 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 06:02:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AC2eRM010389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 06:02:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 06:02:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101202.h2AC2eRM010389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 101200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 027/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 940 HPA POSITION : 17.5S/66.2E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.4 SOUTH/65.2 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.4 SOUTH/64.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO WEAKEN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 21:34:57 2003 X-UIDL: 19232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00K53BGLLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ADEc8U091308 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHra019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 07:07:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1404770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 07:07:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AD7hiw017432 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 07:07:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AD7aid010983 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 07:07:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AD7aPA010981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 07:07:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 07:07:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101307.h2AD7aPA010981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTIO20 FMEE 101200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 027/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 940 HPA POSITION : 17.5S/66.2E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.4 SOUTH/65.2 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.4 SOUTH/64.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO WEAKEN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 23:59:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00K4LFZILA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 22:52:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AEqO8U014472 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 22:52:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ABrxxM009676; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:23:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1405674 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:23:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AENHiw040138 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:23:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AENBid012254 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:23:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AENBbL012253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:23:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:23:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101423.h2AENBbL012253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 101500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 17.5S3 66.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 66.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.1S0 65.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.5S4 65.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.2S2 65.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.1S3 65.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 17.7S5 66.3E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 115 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND QUIKSCAT PASSES REVEAL A DECREASING INTENSITY TREND, AND THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED IN THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF TC 23S. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A POLEWARD TRACK AROUND THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH 48 HOURS. TC 23S WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH 36 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND THEN WILL WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR POLEWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND AFWA MM5, NCEP AVIATION (AVN) AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE AVAILABLE MODELS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 AND 111500Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 23:59:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19236-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00K3FGKZLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 23:05:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AF5H8U017684 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 23:05:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GH08019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:41:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1405829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:41:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AEfiiw037418 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:41:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AEfcid012771 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:41:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AEfbol012770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:41:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:41:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101441.h2AEfbol012770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS32 PGTW 101500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100021Z MAR 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 16.0S7 172.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 172.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.7S4 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.4S2 172.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.0S9 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 18.4S3 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.2S9 172.5E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 30 KNOTS. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST THEREAFTER AS THE RIDGE PROPAGATES EASTWARD. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 13 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 100021Z MAR 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 23:59:24 2003 X-UIDL: 19240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00KEJHBHLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 23:21:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AFLC8U022437 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 23:21:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GH1g019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1406077 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AEwtiw040072 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AEwnid013262 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AEwmDD013260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101458.h2AEwmDD013260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 101430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/101430Z/110600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101352ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 157.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, AND WAS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 23:59:24 2003 X-UIDL: 19241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00KL5HYLLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 23:35:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AFZ08U026147 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 23:35:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GH2W019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:11:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1406248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:11:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AFBCiw033864 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:11:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AFB5id013655 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:11:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AFB582013654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:11:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:11:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101511.h2AFB582013654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 101511 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 10 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 10/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 4N94W 4N101W 6N115W 5N123W 7N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W AND 124W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 101W... WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 129W AND 136W... AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 8.5N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THROUGH 31N114W TO 26N121W TO 15N136W. DRY AIR WITHIN 150-250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 09:47:03 2003 X-UIDL: 19242-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00KZ4MYYLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 01:23:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AHNE8U052380 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 01:23:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHBG019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1407973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AHHKiw024816 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AHHDid017852 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AHHDRU017849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101717.h2AHHDRU017849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100753ZMAR2003// AMPN/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 66.4E6, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 09:47:06 2003 X-UIDL: 19243-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00KC8NBTLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 01:31:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AHUw8U054228 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 01:31:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ABrxMa009676; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1407976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AHHKiw007174 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AHHDid017853 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AHHDZj017851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 11:17:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101717.h2AHHDZj017851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100753ZMAR2003// AMPN/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 66.4E6, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 09:47:12 2003 X-UIDL: 19245-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00K17PQDLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 02:23:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AIMt8U065553 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 02:22:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHGs019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:14:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1409204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:14:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AIEEiw039902 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:14:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AIE7id019910 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:14:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AIE7a9019908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:14:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:14:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101814.h2AIE7a9019908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 101800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 028/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 10/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 940 HPA POSITION : 17.7S/66.0E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM, MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 18.0 SOUTH/65.5 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 18.5 SOUTH/65.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE KEEPS ON WEAKENING AND IT IS SLOWING DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 09:47:12 2003 X-UIDL: 19246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00K7JPUYLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 02:25:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AIPd8U066091 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 02:25:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ABrxZ8009676; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:16:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1409229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:16:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AIGFiw035100 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:16:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AIG8id019992 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:16:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AIG8Og019990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:16:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 12:16:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101816.h2AIG8Og019990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO30 FMEE 101800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 14/14/20022003 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 10/03/2003 : 17.7S/66.0E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.5 MOINS /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 940 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 500 KM SW30: 350 KM NW30: 220 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 18.0S / 65.5E FI=5.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 18.5S / 65.0E FI=4.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 20.5S / 64.2E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=5.0- CI=5.5. SIGNS OF WEAKENING CAN BE OBSERVED, WITH A WARMING UP OF TOP OF CLOUDS PRESENTS IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 09:47:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00K9KWRBLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:54:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AKsf8U006909 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:54:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHWw019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:42:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1412163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:42:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AKgniw039802 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:42:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AKgcid025129 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:42:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AKgaBs025126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:42:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:42:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303102042.h2AKgaBs025126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS33 PGTW 102100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 11.5S7 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.5S7 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 11.9S1 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 12.1S4 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.4S7 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 12.7S0 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.6S8 131.5E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (CRAIG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA, UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AFTER 24 HOURS DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN), ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH 36 TO 48 HOURS. GFDN AND NOGAPS ARE FASTER THAN UKMET, BASED ON A STRONGER STEERING RIDGE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 AND 112100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 09:47:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00KIPWZ2LA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:59:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AKxJ8U008037 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:59:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHXS019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:50:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1412296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:50:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AKoLiw029718 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:50:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AKoFid025423 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:50:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AKoFWu025422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:50:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:50:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303102050.h2AKoFWu025422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS31 PGTW 102100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 12.5S8 158.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 158.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 13.1S5 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 13.8S2 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.7S2 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.0S7 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 12.7S0 158.3E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE PERIOD IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 AND 112100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 09:47:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19254-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00KUQZF2LA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:52:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ALq78U018724 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:52:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHb4019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:46:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1413026 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:46:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ALk8iw003658 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:46:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2ALk2id027301 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:46:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2ALk2Gm027300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:46:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:46:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303102146.h2ALk2Gm027300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ACPA40 PHFO 102145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 23N169E TO 30N176W TO 34N165W MOVED EAST AT 30 KT. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE IN THE AREA BOUNDED BY 10N141W 07N141W 03N147W 02N155W 08N156W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 05N176W TO 05N172W. TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 24N146W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 28N148W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 22S145W TO 26S137W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 15S174W TO 24S170W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 28S131W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 18S154W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 03S176W TO 07S168W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 25S177W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14S179W TO 22S179W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 09:47:24 2003 X-UIDL: 19255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00KUUZF5LA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:52:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ALqB8U018738 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:52:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHb2019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:43:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1412967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:43:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ALh4iw025756 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:43:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2ALgwid027197 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:42:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2ALgvuN027196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:42:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 15:42:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303102142.h2ALgvuN027196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= AXPZ20 KNHC 102142 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 10 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 5N90W 4N100W 7N117W 6N127W 8N140W. SCATTERED...LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED WITHIN 60-75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 132W AND 137W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 138W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 102W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 123W. ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-45 NM RADIUS OF 4N85.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THROUGH 31N110W TO 25N120W TO 17N135W. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITHIN 120-240 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL JET MAX EXTENDS FROM 23N188W ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA TO MEXICO NEAR 27N110W. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 09:47:25 2003 X-UIDL: 19259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBK00GAM6EYXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:23:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B0NE8U049112 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:23:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ANAdmq019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 18:13:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1415519 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 18:13:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B0Doiw037270 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 18:13:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2B0Dhid029615 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 18:13:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2B0DhGw029612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 18:13:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 18:13:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303110013.h2B0DhGw029612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTIO20 FMEE 110000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 029/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 940 HPA POSITION : 17.9S/65.6E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/90 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 18.6 SOUTH/64.3 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 19.6 SOUTH/63.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : INTENSITY WITHOUT SIGNIFICATIVE CHANGE DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. KALUNDE KEEPS ON MOVING IN DIRECTION OF THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURES (TROUGH) LOCATED SOUTH OF MASCAREIGNES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 11:30:19 2003 X-UIDL: 19273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBK00GVAEXCXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:27:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B3R38U004609 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:27:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ANAd0k019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1418287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B3E8iw027238 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2B3E2id001569 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2B3E2Rv001568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303110314.h2B3E2Rv001568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPS32 PGTW 110300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 17.9S7 172.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 172.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.2S2 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 20.1S3 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 20.8S0 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 21.2S5 176.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.2S1 172.3E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 35 AND 45 KNOTS. A 102146Z4 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN EASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 AND 120300Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 11:30:19 2003 X-UIDL: 19274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBK00GVZEXLXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:27:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B3RE8U004683 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:27:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AMdHS4006034; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1418290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B3E9iw016388 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2B3E3id001574 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2B3E2S0001573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 21:14:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303110314.h2B3E2S0001573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTXS31 PGTW 110300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 17.9S7 65.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 65.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.1S0 65.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.5S4 64.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 19.2S2 64.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 19.7S7 64.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.0S9 65.5E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED EHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS COMPLETED AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE AND HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK INCREASINGLY POLEWARD AROUND THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGH 48 HOURS. TC 23S WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN WILL WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR POLEWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND AFWA MM5, NCEP AVIATION (AVN) AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE AVAILABLE MODELS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 AND 120300Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 19:02:48 2003 X-UIDL: 19289-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBK00G7JNKYXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:34:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B6Y1A7058903 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:34:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B6Bpmm039736; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:19:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1420276 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:19:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B6Jhiw005422 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:19:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2B6Jaid003681 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:19:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2B6Jalg003679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:19:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:19:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303110619.h2B6Jalg003679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 110600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 030/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 950 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.2S/65.3E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 18.7 SOUTH/64.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/63.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE HAS SLOWN DOWN SOUTHWESTWARD DURING LAST HOURS. IT IS NOT SURE THAT IT TRACK POLEWARD TOWARD THE TROUGH LOCATED SOUTH OF MASCAREIGNES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 19:02:49 2003 X-UIDL: 19294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBK00GFYP6BXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:08:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B78RA7068922 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:08:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B6BpnS039736; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:59:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1420641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:59:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B6xCiw020624 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:59:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2B6x6id004022 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:59:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2B6x5rd004020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:59:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:59:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303110659.h2B6x5rd004020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 110600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 15/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 11/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.2S/65.3E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 950 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 200 KM SE30: 500 KM SW30: 230 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 18.7S / 64.4E FI=5.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.5S / 63.6E FI=5.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.0S / 61.8E FI=4.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=5.0 ET CI=5.0+. ACCORDING TO THE LAST MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY (SSMI OF 0434), THE EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE STARTED YESTERDAY IS NOT YET FINISHED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 19:02:49 2003 X-UIDL: 19295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBK00GZ6PSUXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:22:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B7LwA7072380 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:22:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75Tj4039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 01:09:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1420828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 01:09:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B79Qiw044488 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 01:09:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2B79Jid004147 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 01:09:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2B79JWo004145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 01:09:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 01:09:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303110709.h2B79JWo004145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 110600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 15/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 11/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.2S/65.3E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.0 /S /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 950 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 200 KM SE30: 500 KM SW30: 230 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 18.7S / 64.4E FI=5.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.5S / 63.6E FI=5.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.0S / 61.8E FI=4.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=5.0 ET CI=5.0+. ACCORDING TO THE LAST MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY (SSMI OF 0434), THE EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE STARTED YESTERDAY IS NOT YET FINISHED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 19:02:54 2003 X-UIDL: 19311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBK00GIAX4HXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 18:00:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BA05A7018111 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 18:00:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75Tlm039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 03:49:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1421918 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 03:49:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B9nFiw014802 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 03:49:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2B9n8id005618 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 03:49:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2B9n8Wh005617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 03:49:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 03:49:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303110949.h2B9n8Wh005617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 110949 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 11 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W WITH A 1024 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N131W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N90W 6N106W 7N122W 8N134W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 138W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2.5N TO 4N. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 2N TO 14N WEST OF 130W TO BEYOND 140W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 19:02:54 2003 X-UIDL: 19312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBK00G92XH7XR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 18:07:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BA7lA7020632 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 18:07:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75Tm8039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:01:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1421956 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:01:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BA10iw005532 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:01:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BA0rid005748 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:00:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BA0rcZ005747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:00:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:00:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111000.h2BA0rcZ005747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 111000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08N177E 06N175W 02N174W 02N179E 06N176E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 11N140W 04N141W 04N152W 07N149W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 21N140W 15N140W 10N147W 12N147W 18N142W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED EMBEDDED SHOWERS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE ARE BOUNDED BY 30N162W 25N180 28N180 30N175W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 15 TO 20 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 18S160W 20S161W 20S164W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 25S166W 24S170W 25S171W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 20:54:47 2003 X-UIDL: 19317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GVZ0JIXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 19:14:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BBDvA7038267 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 19:13:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B6Bp8S019434; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:03:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1422385 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:03:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BB3Kiw014704 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:03:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BB3Eid006279 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:03:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BB3En9006278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:03:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:03:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111103.h2BB3En9006278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPS31 PGTW 110900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 13.2S6 158.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 158.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 14.3S8 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.5S1 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.5S2 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.5S3 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.5S9 158.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110530Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE PERIOD IN A MINIMAL VERTICAL SHEAR, BUT WEAK OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 20:54:47 2003 X-UIDL: 19318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00G1N0NGXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 19:16:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BBGKA7038884 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 19:16:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75TnW039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:02:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1422373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:02:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BB2Giw034388 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:02:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BB2Aid006273 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:02:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BB2ADA006272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:02:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 05:02:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111102.h2BB2ADA006272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS33 PGTW 110900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 11.9S1 132.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 132.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 12.3S6 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.5S8 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.0S4 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.7S1 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.0S3 133.1E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (CRAIG), MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 0500Z5 WITH MAXIMUM REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 KNOTS. TC 24S IS NOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA, UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN), ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. GFDN AND NOGAPS ARE FASTER THAN UKMET, BASED ON A STRONGER STEERING RIDGE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 20:54:48 2003 X-UIDL: 19322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GSV38BXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:12:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BCC1A7051555 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:12:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75ToE039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:02:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1422664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:02:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BC2giw014804 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:02:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BC2aid006660 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:02:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BC2aUc006658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:02:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:02:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111202.h2BC2aUc006658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 111200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 031/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 950 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.4S/64.9E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.9 SOUTH/64.1 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/63.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE IS TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 20:54:48 2003 X-UIDL: 19323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00G1Z47MXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:33:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BCXBA7055539 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:33:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B6BpCo019434; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:23:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1422758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:23:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BCNCiw022472 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:23:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BCN6id006812 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:23:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BCN6xa006810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:23:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 06:23:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111223.h2BCN6xa006810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 111200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 031/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 950 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.4S/64.9E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 18.9 SOUTH/64.1 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/63.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE IS TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 23:30:44 2003 X-UIDL: 19331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00G50BDFXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:08:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BF7uA7092124 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:07:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75Tvm039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:56:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1424315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BEtxiw028742 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BEtoid009700 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:55:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BEtoAX009699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:55:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:55:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111455.h2BEtoAX009699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS32 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 19.4S4 173.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4S4 173.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 20.7S9 174.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 21.3S6 176.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 21.8S1 179.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 22.1S5 177.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.7S7 173.3E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 55 KNOTS. A 111019Z3 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS THE FORMATION OF AN EYEWALL. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS AND THEN EASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. TC 25P IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AT THE THE 48 HOUR POINT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 AND 121500Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 23:30:45 2003 X-UIDL: 19332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00G8ABF3XR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:09:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BF8rA7092358 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:08:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75Tvc039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:54:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1424292 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:54:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BEswiw016462 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:54:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BEsnid009659 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:54:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BEsndR009658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:54:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:54:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111454.h2BEsndR009658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 18.4S3 64.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4S3 64.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.8S7 64.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 19.4S4 64.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 20.1S3 63.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 20.8S0 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.5S4 64.8E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME COMPLETELY SYMMETRICAL. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY POLEWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 23S WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS INCREASINGLY POLEWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND AFWA MM5, NCEP AVIATION (AVN) AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THE EGRR MODEL HAS THE SYSTEM AT A WEAKER INTENSITY AND RESULTS IN A STEERING LEVEL THAT PROPAGATES THE SYSTEM MORE WESTWARD THAN THE OTHER DYNAMIC AIDS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 AND 121500Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 00:20:41 2003 X-UIDL: 19337-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00G14EP7XR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:19:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BGJkA7011021 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:19:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75T5G039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:12:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1425341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:06:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BG6Fiw025736 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:06:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BG66id012275 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:06:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BG66aL012274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:06:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:06:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111606.h2BG66aL012274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 111605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 165 UTC TUE 11 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 11/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1545 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 6N87W 6N101W 4N112W 7N123W 6N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 119W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-20 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 89W...AND WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 8.5N BETWEEN 83W AND 84W...OFF SW COAST OF COSTA RICA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...SOUTHERN END OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REACHES 20N142W. UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW AND OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 129W AND 140W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 00:30:43 2003 X-UIDL: 19338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GBHEUOXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:23:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BGN4A7011920 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:23:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B6Bpdk019434; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:14:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1425488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:12:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BGCZiw004774 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:12:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BGCRid012474 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:12:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BGCOke012473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:12:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:12:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...cor... Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111612.h2BGCOke012473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 111612 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR... NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 11 MAR 2003 ..CORRECTION TO TRANSMISSION TIME... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 11/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1545 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 6N87W 6N101W 4N112W 7N123W 6N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 119W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-20 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 89W...AND WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 8.5N BETWEEN 83W AND 84W...OFF SW COAST OF COSTA RICA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...SOUTHERN END OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REACHES 20N142W. UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW AND OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 129W AND 140W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:05:41 2003 X-UIDL: 19339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GH1J5XXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:56:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BHuCA7036221 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:56:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75TNg039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1428371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BHjDiw005972 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BHj4id015888 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BHj4xM015883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111745.h2BHj4xM015883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110753ZMAR2003// AMPN/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4S3 64.9E9, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:05:42 2003 X-UIDL: 19340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GIBJ7BXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:57:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BHv3A7036390 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:57:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BGRl50019434; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1428374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BHjJiw005978 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BHj4id015889 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BHj4Ic015884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 11:45:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111745.h2BHj4Ic015884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110753ZMAR2003// AMPN/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4S3 64.9E9, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:05:42 2003 X-UIDL: 19341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GBHJZRXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 02:14:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BIE2A7040764 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 02:14:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75TOu039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:07:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1428734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:07:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BI72iw037456 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:07:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BI6rid016709 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:06:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BI6rI4016707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:06:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:06:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111806.h2BI6rI4016707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 111800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 032/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 950 HPA POSITION : 18.6S/64.6E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/64.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 19.7 SOUTH/63.6 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:05:50 2003 X-UIDL: 19343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GJ7K6MXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 02:18:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BIIFA7041769 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 02:18:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75TPO039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:11:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1428835 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:11:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BIB9iw013060 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:11:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BIB0id016865 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:11:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BIB095016862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:11:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 12:11:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111811.h2BIB095016862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 111800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 16/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 11/03/2003 : 18.6S/64.6E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.0 PLUS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 950 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 83 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 200 KM SE30: 550 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.0S / 64.0E FI=5.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 19.7S / 63.6E FI=4.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 20.8S / 62.7E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : END OF EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:05:53 2003 X-UIDL: 19351-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00G6BRAUXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 04:52:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKpxA7084503 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 04:52:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BGRldu019434; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:42:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1431883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:42:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKg6iw018632 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:42:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BKfvid022220 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:41:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BKfvJl022218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:41:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:41:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303112041.h2BKfvJl022218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 111800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 032/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : TUESDAY 11/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 950 HPA POSITION : 18.6S/64.6E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/64.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 19.7 SOUTH/63.6 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:05:53 2003 X-UIDL: 19353-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GVGRYXXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 05:06:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BL6OA7088018 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 05:06:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75Ti4039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:54:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1432078 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:53:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKr4iw024080 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:53:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BKqtid022570 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:52:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BKqt3L022568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:52:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:52:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303112052.h2BKqt3L022568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS33 PGTW 112100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 12.5S8 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 12.8S1 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 13.2S6 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.8S2 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.5S0 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 12.6S9 135.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (CRAIG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM EAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN QUADRANTS DUE TO TERRAIN EFFECTS. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY EASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA AND INTO THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW-LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS OVER LAND NEAR CAPE YORK. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM MAY INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT TRACKS BACK OVER WATER MID-PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN), ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 AND 122100Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:05:54 2003 X-UIDL: 19354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GWRS03XR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 05:07:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BL78A7088181 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 05:07:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BGRlfW019434; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:54:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1432082 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:53:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKr4iw029838 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:53:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BKqtid022571 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:52:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BKqt5B022569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:52:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:52:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303112052.h2BKqt5B022569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 112100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 15.2S8 159.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 159.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.7S4 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.8S6 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.5S4 162.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.0S0 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.6S2 159.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM WEST OF VANUATU, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST- NORTHEAST. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 36 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THEN WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 AND 122100Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:05:54 2003 X-UIDL: 19355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GKTUO5XR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 06:04:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BM4eA7099766 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 06:04:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKvMv0039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:55:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1433775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:55:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BLtSiw020318 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:55:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BLtKid024514 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:55:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BLtKvR024513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:55:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:55:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303112155.h2BLtKvR024513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 112155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...THROUGH 21N140W 10S150W MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF TROUGH INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... LINE OF SHOWERS ALONG LINE 20N165W 26N155W MOVING EAST 5-10 KT. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N158W 26N180 AT 11/2030 UTC MOVING EAST 35 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE ESETA NEAR 20S 174E AT 11/2030 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST 12 KT. SEE LATEST NADI BULLETIN FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 19S148W 25S138W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH SOUTHEAST OF 22S143W HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. BROKEN LAYERS ALONG TROUGH NORTHWEST OF 22S143W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... UPPER TROUGH...THROUGH 20S177E 25S178W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF TROUGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:05:55 2003 X-UIDL: 19356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GQEURXXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 06:07:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BM71A7000433 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 06:07:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKvMvI039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:58:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1433820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:58:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BLwFiw013056 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:58:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BLw3id024581 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:58:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BLw3kZ024580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:58:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 15:58:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...cor... Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303112158.h2BLw3kZ024580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 112157 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR... NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 11 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 110W WITH A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 31N131W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2145 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N87W 5N100W 4N114W 6N125W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 135W... AND FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... LARGE AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 125W AND 139W. AT THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS...A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 24N138W IS MOVING NE AT 10-15 KT. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:06:00 2003 X-UIDL: 19362-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CPI1T99H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 08:39:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C0d0A7031146 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 08:39:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKvM7G039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 18:24:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1436204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 18:24:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C0OIiw042978 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 18:24:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C0O9id026955 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 18:24:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C0O9hP026953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 18:24:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 18:24:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120024.h2C0O9hP026953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 120000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 033/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 950 HPA POSITION : 18.9S/64.1E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/63.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 20.2 SOUTH/63.1 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:06:17 2003 X-UIDL: 19367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CZT3S39H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 09:21:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C1LUA7041356 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 09:21:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BL1XSi019434; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 19:09:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1436991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 19:09:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C19Eiw009606 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 19:09:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C195id027519 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 19:09:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C195AU027517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 19:09:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 19:09:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120109.h2C195AU027517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 120000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 033/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 950 HPA POSITION : 18.9S/64.1E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/63.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 20.2 SOUTH/63.1 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 11:04:02 2003 X-UIDL: 19382-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00C2886Q9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 10:56:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C2ufA7070788 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 10:56:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BL1XaU019434; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:47:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1437838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:47:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C2lbiw018450 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:47:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C2lSid028558 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:47:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C2lSuY028557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:47:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:47:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120247.h2C2lSuY028557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 18.8S7 64.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S7 64.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 19.5S5 63.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 20.3S5 63.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 21.1S4 63.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 22.1S5 63.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.0S0 64.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 105 KNOTS. A 112250Z1 TRMM PASS DEPICTS A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY POLEWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 23S WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK POLEWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND AFWA MM5, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 AND 130300Z7. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 11:04:02 2003 X-UIDL: 19384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CKP8CW9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 11:00:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C30LA7072083 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 11:00:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKvMF8039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:46:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1437829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:46:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C2kXiw006044 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:46:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C2kOid028550 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:46:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C2kOYG028549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:46:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:46:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120246.h2C2kOYG028549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS32 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 21.3S6 174.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S6 174.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 22.2S6 177.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 22.4S8 179.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 22.7S1 175.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 23.8S3 170.9W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 21.5S8 175.6E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE FORMATION OF AN IRREGULAR EYE WITHIN THE LAST 3 HOURS. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS AND THEN EASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND INTERACTS WITH A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE LOW NORTH OF NEW ZEALAND. TC 25P IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 AND 130300Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTPS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 14:16:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CHIAEV9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 11:44:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C3ikA7086518 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 11:44:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKvMIE039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 21:39:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1438482 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 21:39:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C3dAiw003656 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 21:39:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C3d2id028979 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 21:39:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C3d16t028978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 21:39:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 21:39:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120339.h2C3d16t028978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 120339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 12 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 110W WITH A 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 31N131W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N88W 4N100W 4N115W 6N123W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... LARGE AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS COVERS THE AREA FROM 8N TO 23N BETWEEN 120W AND 137W. AT THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS...A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 25N136W IS MOVING NE AT 10-15 KT. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 14:16:25 2003 X-UIDL: 19399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00C9YGRK9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:02:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C620A7023274 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:02:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKvMMU039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:44:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1439667 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:44:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C5i5iw038002 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:44:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C5huid029955 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:43:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C5huNl029953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:43:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:43:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120543.h2C5huNl029953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111951ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110152ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTHWEST OF VANUATU, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 14:36:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CYIHWG9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:26:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6QXA7031062 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:26:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C4ANxu019434; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:14:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1440249 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:14:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6Etiw012646 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:14:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C6Elid000243 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:14:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C6Ekk6000241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:14:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:14:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120614.h2C6Ekk6000241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 120600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 034/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 955 HPA POSITION : 19.1S/64.1E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 330 NM, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 19.6 SOUTH/63.7 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 20.2 SOUTH/63.3 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS WEAKENING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 14:36:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00C8CHZM9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:28:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6SRA7031628 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:28:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3kq006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:17:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1440275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:17:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6H2iw044402 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:17:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C6Grid000256 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:16:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C6Grmq000253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:16:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 00:16:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120616.h2C6Grmq000253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 17/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 12/03/2003 : 19.1S/64.1E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.0 /W /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 955 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 450 KM SW30: 430 KM NW30: 220 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.6S / 63.7E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.2S / 63.3E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.8S / 62.7E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=4.5+.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 15:26:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19409-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CP8KLD9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:24:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C7OeA7048387 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:24:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3nA006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:17:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1440963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:17:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C7HTiw005352 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:17:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C7HKid000749 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:17:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C7HKIB000747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:17:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:17:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120717.h2C7HKIB000747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 120600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 034/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 955 HPA POSITION : 19.1S/64.1E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 3 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 330 NM, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 12/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 19.6 SOUTH/63.7 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 20.2 SOUTH/63.3 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE HAS SLOWN DOWN AND IS WEAKENING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 15:37:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00C5WKQD9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:27:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C7RgA7049242 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:27:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3nE006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:19:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1440971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:19:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C7Jaiw028924 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:19:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C7JRid000768 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:19:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C7JRE2000766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:19:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 01:19:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120719.h2C7JRE2000766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 17/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 12/03/2003 : 19.1S/64.1E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.0 /W /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 955 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 450 KM SW30: 430 KM NW30: 220 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 19.6S / 63.7E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 20.2S / 63.3E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 21.8S / 62.7E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=4.5+. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 17:57:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CK7RIF9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:54:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9s9A7095069 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:54:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3pU006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:42:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1441689 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:42:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9gKiw041584 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:42:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C9gCid001857 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:42:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C9gB9A001856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:42:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:42:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120942.h2C9gB9A001856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS33 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 13.9S3 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9S3 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 14.9S4 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.6S2 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.3S0 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.8S5 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.2S7 140.2E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (CRAIG), LOCATED IN THE CENTER OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, WAS TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD CAPE YORK AND THEN INTO THE CORAL SEA UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW- LEVEL NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. TC 24S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER CAPE YORK AND THEN CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE REMAINER OF THE FORECAST DUE TO POOR OUTFLOW CONDITIONS AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ABOVE LISTED AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 AND 130900Z3. REFER TO TC 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) AND TC 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 17:57:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CLBRIR9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:54:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9sKA7095131 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:54:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3pO006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:32:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1441660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:32:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9WGiw024252 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:32:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C9W7id001802 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:32:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C9W7gG001801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:32:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:32:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120932.h2C9W7gG001801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 120932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 12 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 120W WITH A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N86W 4N93W 4N107W 6N122W 5N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 98W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 129...AND WITHIN 90/105 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 101W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS COVERS THE AREA FROM THE ITCZ AXIS TO 30N...WEST 120W...AND E OF A LINE FROM 30N133W 18N136W TO BEYOND 14N140W IN ASSOCIATION WITH UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENT FLOW JUST EAST OF AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 18:02:47 2003 X-UIDL: 19425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00C8JRV59H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:01:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CA1jA7097008 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:01:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3pe006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1441719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9kMiw014166 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C9kDid001895 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C9kDQN001894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120946.h2C9kDQN001894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/120900Z/121800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120852ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, REF B IS THE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN BULLETIN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4S3 64.9E9, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 18:02:47 2003 X-UIDL: 19426-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00C8URV89H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:01:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CA1oA7097028 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:01:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C4ANEA019434; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1441723 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9kMiw016790 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C9kDid001896 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C9kD8K001893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120946.h2C9kD8K001893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/120900Z/121800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111351ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120852ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, REF B IS THE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN BULLETIN// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4S3 64.9E9, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 18:02:47 2003 X-UIDL: 19427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CBBRW89H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:02:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CA2PA7097195 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:02:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3pY006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:45:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1441710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:45:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9jsiw014152 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:45:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C9jjid001877 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:45:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C9jjYd001876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:45:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:45:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120945.h2C9jjYd001876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 120945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 140 NM OF THE LINE FROM 27N173W TO 26N164W TO 36N140W AND FURTHER NORTHEAST MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 30 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 04N164W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 05N175W TO 04N171W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE EQUATOR FROM 04N179W TO 01S176W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 20S143W TO 23S137W TO 35S125W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5 KT. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 25S134W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 24S160W TO 20S159W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 18S180 TO 24S178W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 18:17:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CXXS7Q9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:09:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CA9JA7098809 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:09:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3pa006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1441713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9kFiw044344 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C9k6id001886 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C9k6nA001884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120946.h2C9k6nA001884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/120900Z/130600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111951ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110152ZMAR2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120753ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTHWEST OF VANUATU, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 18:17:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19433-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CZUS8W9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:10:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CAA2A7098947 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:10:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3pW006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:43:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1441698 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:43:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9hMiw028846 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:43:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C9hEid001865 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:43:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C9hDP0001864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:43:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:43:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120943.h2C9hDP0001864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 16.9S6 159.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.9S6 159.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.9S7 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.7S6 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.4S4 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.0S2 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.2S0 159.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, AND WAS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS THE VERTICAL SHEAR BEGINS TO INCREASE AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS CURRENTLY RUNNING ALONG 17.0S8. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AUSTRALIA TLAPS AND TCLAPS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 AND 130900Z3. REFER TO TC 24S (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTPS33 PGTW) AND TC 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 20:27:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CDOYJG9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:26:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CCPsA7029038 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:25:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3tE006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 06:14:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1442844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 06:14:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CCEHiw033796 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 06:14:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CCE9id003016 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 06:14:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CCE86o003013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 06:14:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 06:14:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303121214.h2CCE86o003013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 121200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 035/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 955 HPA POSITION : 19.6S/63.6E (NINETEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHWEST 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 330 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 20.5 SOUTH/63.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 21.5 SOUTH/62.9 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, KALUNDE SHOULD KEEP ON GENERALLY TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, TOWARDS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 00:20:09 2003 X-UIDL: 19465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN00CHM9AE9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:18:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CGI2A7091674 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:18:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3AM006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 10:05:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1445647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 10:05:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CG5Kiw014692 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 10:05:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CG5Bid008147 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 10:05:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CG5BqI008145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 10:05:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 10:05:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303121605.h2CG5BqI008145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 121605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 12 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 12/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N131W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 6N88W 4N94W 3N102W 4N108W 5N117W 7N126W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 102W... AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 126W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 134W. OVERCAST HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 136W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 02:40:09 2003 X-UIDL: 19470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN001HPFMLAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:35:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CIZ0A7031095 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:35:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3QA006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:23:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1448401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:23:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CINjiw034324 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:23:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CINaid013012 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:23:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CINac9013010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:23:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:23:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303121823.h2CINac9013010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 121800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 036/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : WEDNESDAY 12/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 960 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.0S/64.0E (TWENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 5 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 170NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 21.0 SOUTH/63.9 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 22.0 SOUTH/63.8 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, KALUNDE SHOULD KEEP ON GENERALLY TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, TOWARDS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH LOCATED IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 02:40:10 2003 X-UIDL: 19471-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN001HTFMPAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:35:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CIZ7A7031165 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:35:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3QG006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:28:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1448444 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CISpiw020518 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CISgid013152 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:28:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CISgP5013150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:28:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:28:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303121828.h2CISgP5013150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 121800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 18/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 12/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.0S/64.0E (TWENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 960 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 300 KM SE30: 550 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 300 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 21.0S / 63.9E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 22.0S / 63.8E FI=4.0 3.B FORECAST 48H : 24.5S / 63.6E FI=3.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=4.5- AND CI=5.0-. EXTENTION OF WINDS EVALUATED ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA. DEEP CONVECTION IS WARMER AND THE EYE IS LESS AND LESS WELL DEFINED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 03:00:09 2003 X-UIDL: 19473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN001DIGMJAM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:56:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CIuYA7036406 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:56:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CBx5hq043500; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:48:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1448701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:48:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CIm8iw009676 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:48:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CIlwid013753 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:47:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CIlwgv013751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:47:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:47:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303121847.h2CIlwgv013751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121351ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6S6 63.8E7, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 03:00:10 2003 X-UIDL: 19474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN001YMGNIAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:57:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CIvBA7036556 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:57:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3RO006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:50:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1448704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:48:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CIm8iw016644 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:48:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CIlwid013754 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:47:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CIlwqE013752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:47:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 12:47:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303121847.h2CIlwqE013752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121351ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6S6 63.8E7, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 05:00:10 2003 X-UIDL: 19484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN00C9ZMC39H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 05:00:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CKxrA7074208 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 04:59:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CIuHAi043500; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:46:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1451361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:43:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CKh5iw039852 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:43:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CKguid017186 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:42:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CKguPg017185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:42:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:42:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303122042.h2CKguPg017185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS33 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (CRAIG) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 16.3S0 142.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 142.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.0S8 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.0S8 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.5S2 142.3E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (CRAIG), LOCATED OVER LAND 220 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. TC 24S HAS DE-COUPLED IN LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER CAPE YORK, AND THE UPPER-LEVELS STREAMING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO A TUTT CELL OVER SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS DISSIPATION SCENARIO, KEEPING THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM ON A EAST-SOUTHEAST TRACK INTO THE CORAL SEA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE ABOVE LISTED AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 06:00:10 2003 X-UIDL: 19486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN001EWORXAM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 05:52:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CLqbA7086046 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 05:52:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2Ijs006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:06:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1451893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:06:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL6Xiw020752 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:06:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CL6Pid018030 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:06:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CL6PHg018029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:06:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:06:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303122106.h2CL6PHg018029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 18.9S8 161.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 161.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.7S7 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.3S5 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 21.3S6 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 22.5S9 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.1S1 161.3E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, AND WAS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 100 AND 115 KNOTS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST AS VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, ALL MAINTAIN THE GENERAL TRACK SOUTHEAST. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 AND 132100Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTPS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 06:10:11 2003 X-UIDL: 19487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN00CDEPKX9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 06:10:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CM9wA7089462 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 06:10:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CIuHIm043500; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:59:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1452444 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:55:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CLtGiw040862 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:55:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CLt8id019556 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:55:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CLt8UB019555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:55:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:55:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303122155.h2CLt8UB019555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 122154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 30N146W 26N156W 24N169W MOVING EAST 40 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG THE FRONT NORTH OF 27N. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS ALONG THE FRONT SOUTH OF 27N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NARROW CUMULUS CLOUD BAND OVER OAHU MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 6 KT. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N180 23N170E AT 12/2030 UTC MOVING EAST 25 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 100 NM OF FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 03N167W 03N180 EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE AND MOVED WEST 20-25 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE ESETA NEAR 22S 179W AT 12/2030 UTC MOVING EAST 17 KT. SEE LATEST NADI AND JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 14S164W 17S156W 21S155W 25S154W MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB ALONG THE TROUGH HAVE INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 26S176W 23S173W 26S171W MOVED EAST 12 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. NARROW CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG LINE 17S172W 22S172W MOVING EAST 15 KT. ISOLATED TCU ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 06:20:13 2003 X-UIDL: 19488-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN001NZPM1AM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 06:10:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CMAfA7089635 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 06:10:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2IoA006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 16:01:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1452535 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:59:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CLxwiw005618 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:59:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CLxnid019675 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:59:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CLxnP6019674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:59:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 15:59:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303122159.h2CLxnP6019674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 122159 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 12 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N130W WITH ASSOCIATED ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N88W 3N101W 6N110W 4N117W 8N125W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN A 45-60 NM RADIUS OF 6N109.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 119W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 130W. OVERCAST HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 07:30:13 2003 X-UIDL: 19490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN001D9SX4AM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 07:22:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CNM7A7004642 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 07:22:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2Iva006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:07:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1453670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:07:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CN7Viw011086 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:07:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CN7Mid021011 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:07:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CN7MtQ021010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:07:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:07:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303122307.h2CN7MtQ021010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS33 PGTW 122100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING NR 009A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 16.3S0 142.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 142.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.0S8 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.0S8 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.5S2 142.3E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (CRAIG), LOCATED OVER LAND 220 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. TC 24S HAS DE-COUPLED IN LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER CAPE YORK, AND THE UPPER-LEVELS STREAMING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO A TUTT CELL OVER SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS DISSIPATION SCENARIO, KEEPING THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM ON A EAST-SOUTHEAST TRACK INTO THE CORAL SEA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE ABOVE LISTED AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: THIS WARNING CORRECTS STORM NUMBERING AND LETTER DESIGNATOR CONVENTION, FROM 24P TO 24S. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 12:39:16 2003 X-UIDL: 19492-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN001HWVDLAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:15:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D0FDA7014852 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:15:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2I3W006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:06:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1454379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:06:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D06jiw017544 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:06:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D06aid021694 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:06:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D06akd021692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:06:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:06:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130006.h2D06akd021692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 130000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 037/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 955 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.4S/64.0E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 4 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 170NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 21.3 SOUTH/64.0 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 22.2 SOUTH/64.1 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWARDS AND SHOULD THEN PROGRESSIVLY WEAKEN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 12:39:16 2003 X-UIDL: 19494-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN0018FWDDAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:36:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D0aZA7020062 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:36:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2I5S006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:24:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1454586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:24:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D0O9iw047168 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:24:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D0O0id021934 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:24:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D0O0VY021933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:24:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 18:24:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130024.h2D0O0VY021933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS33 PGTW 122100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING NR 009B CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 16.3S0 142.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 142.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.0S8 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.0S8 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.5S2 142.3E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (CRAIG), LOCATED OVER LAND 220 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. TC 24S HAS DE-COUPLED IN LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER CAPE YORK, AND THE UPPER-LEVELS STREAMING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO A TUTT CELL OVER SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS DISSIPATION SCENARIO, KEEPING THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM ON A EAST-SOUTHEAST TRACK INTO THE CORAL SEA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE ABOVE LISTED AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: THIS MESSAGE CORRECTS MISSING FINAL WARNING STATEMENTS IN REMARKS. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 12:39:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19503-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001CP256AJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 10:41:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D2fMA7057091 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 10:41:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CN0XBu039352; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1456759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D2VNiw035490 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D2VEid023547 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D2VEc8023546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130231.h2D2VEc8023546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 130300 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 011A AMENDED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 19.6S6 161.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 161.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 20.2S4 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 21.0S3 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 22.1S5 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 23.5S0 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 19.8S8 162.0E9. THE WARNING IS AMENDED BASED ON AN INTENSIFICATION TREND HIGHER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, AND WAS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 125 KNOTS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 22P CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY IN FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BELOW THE RIDGE AXIS, AND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AFTER 24 HOURS AS VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, ALL MAINTAIN THE GENERAL TRACK SOUTHEAST. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 AND 140300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING (WTPS33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 12:39:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19504-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001G3276AJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 10:42:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D2gZA7057478 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 10:42:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2IGo006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1456756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D2VMiw035486 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D2VDid023542 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D2VDSE023541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130231.h2D2VDSE023541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS32 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 21.9S2 177.8W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9S2 177.8W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 22.4S8 173.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 23.8S3 168.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 27.1S0 162.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 39 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 33.0S6 156.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 22.0S4 176.7W1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NUKU ALOFA, TONGA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED, VISIBLE, AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 105 KNOTS. TC 25P HAS ENTERED AN AREA OF FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, ENHANCING DEEP CONVECTION, AND ALLOWING FOR THE RELATIVELY BRIEF RESURGENCE SEEN OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, WHEREBY TC 25P HAS INTENSIFIED FURTHER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. TC 25P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON AN EASTWARD TRACK ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND INTERACTS WITH A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE LOW NORTH OF NEW ZEALAND, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 25P IS NOW FORECAST TO COMPLETE THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN REASONABLY CLOSE AGREEMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 AND 140300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING (WTPS33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 12:39:19 2003 X-UIDL: 19508-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001N93JEAM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:11:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D3BUA7065995 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:11:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2IKG006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:57:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1457255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:57:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D2v4iw016464 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:57:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D2utid024002 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:56:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D2utrM024001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:56:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:56:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130256.h2D2utrM024001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 20.4S6 64.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4S6 64.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 21.3S6 64.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 22.4S8 64.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 23.9S4 64.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 25.6S3 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.6S8 64.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTH EASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 90 KNOTS. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A POLEWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST, BELOW THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 23S WILL WEAKEN GRADUALLY AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK POLEWARD INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE, AND INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE POLEWARD MOVEMENT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BE SLOW DUE TO A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE MOVING EASTWARD SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AT 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AFWA MM5, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 AND 140300Z8. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 12:39:19 2003 X-UIDL: 19510-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001EJ51IAM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:44:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D3hvA7075288 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:43:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D3AHnu039354; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 21:35:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1458235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 21:35:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D3Zviw014850 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 21:35:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D3Zmid024812 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 21:35:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D3ZmGT024811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 21:35:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 21:35:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130335.h2D3ZmGT024811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 130335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 13 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKER 1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N129W WITH ASSOCIATED ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 3N102W 5N110W 7N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W AND 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-45 NM RADIUS OF 5.5N92W AND 4N102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AMPLIFYING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 95W AND 127W. RIDGE AXIS CENTERED BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WITHIN THE RIDGE NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 127W. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 13:53:28 2003 X-UIDL: 19513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO0010IAKRAM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 13:43:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D5hWA7005597 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 13:43:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2IYa006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:34:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1459903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D5Xtiw016394 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D5Xkid026096 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D5XkFs026094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130533.h2D5XkFs026094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130151ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130152ZMAR2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121953ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8S8 162.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9S2 177.8W3, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF NUKU ALOFA, TONGA, TRACKING EASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 14:33:33 2003 X-UIDL: 19517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001OZCHQAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 14:25:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D6OtA7016439 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 14:24:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D3AHHa039354; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:16:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1461047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:16:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D6Gaiw005474 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:16:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D6GRid026558 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:16:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D6GRSt026556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:16:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:16:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130616.h2D6GRSt026556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 130600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 19/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 13/03/2003 : 21.0S/64.4E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/5.0 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 955 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 250 KM SE30: 650 KM SW30: 550 KM NW30: 220 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 22.2S / 64.9E FI=4.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 23.8S / 64.8E FI=4.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 27.5S / 63.8E FI=4.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=4.0+ CI=5.0-. KALUNDE SHOULD PROGRESSIVELY WEAKEN, TRACKING OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES COOLER AND COMING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE EYE HAS STARTED TO DISAPPEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 14:33:33 2003 X-UIDL: 19518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001PKCIHAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 14:25:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D6PGA7016536 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 14:25:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2IdS006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:14:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1460976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:14:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D6EPiw024126 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:14:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D6EGid026531 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:14:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D6EGGn026529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:14:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 00:14:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130614.h2D6EGGn026529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 130600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 038/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 955 HPA POSITION : 21.0S/64.4E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 350NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 22.2 SOUTH/64.9 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 23.8 SOUTH/64.8 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : TRACKING SOUTHWARD, KALUNDE SHOULD ENTER INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Thu Mar 13 15:53:28 2003 X-UIDL: 19522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001FHGG7AJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 15:50:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D7oNA7039998 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 15:50:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2Ig6006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 01:37:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1461854 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 01:37:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D7bfiw047352 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 01:37:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D7bWid027241 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 01:37:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D7bWde027239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 01:37:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 01:37:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130737.h2D7bWde027239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO20 FMEE 130600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 038/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 955 HPA POSITION : 21.0S/64.4E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 350NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 13/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 22.2 SOUTH/64.9 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 23.8 SOUTH/64.8 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : TRACKING SOUTHWARD, KALUNDE SHOULD ENTER INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 17:03:34 2003 X-UIDL: 19530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001PDJFXAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 16:55:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D8t2A7057695 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 16:55:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2Ihc006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:43:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1462373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:43:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D8h9iw005772 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:43:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D8h1id027737 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:43:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D8h1gn027736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:43:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:43:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130843.h2D8h1gn027736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 130900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 20.2S4 162.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 162.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 21.3S6 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 22.3S7 165.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 23.9S4 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 26.2S0 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.5S7 162.4E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 22P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BELOW THE RIDGE AXIS. THEREAFTER, TC 22P IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES AND THE SYSTEM BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 AND 140900Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTPS33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 18:05:21 2003 X-UIDL: 19535-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO00194M94AJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 17:55:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D9thA7076236 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 17:55:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D97bjY006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:46:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1462818 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:46:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D9k7iw042794 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:46:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D9jwid028498 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:45:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D9jwj5028497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:45:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:45:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130945.h2D9jwj5028497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 130945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 140 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 15N150E TO 23N169E TO 31N168W TO 33N161W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 40 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07N167W 05N158W EQ167W EQ177W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 03N178W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE ESETA CENTERED NEAR 22.3S 174.6W AT 13/0752 UTC HAD FREQUENT CB WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEE LATEST NADI AND JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 25S151W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13S180 TO 15S178W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 18:05:21 2003 X-UIDL: 19536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001PHMNMAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:04:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DA4QA7078686 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:04:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D97bje006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:58:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1462852 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:58:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D9wfiw023566 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:58:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D9wWid028612 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:58:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D9wWA2028611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:58:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 03:58:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130958.h2D9wWA2028611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 130958 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 13 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N137W TO BEYOND 30N140W. ..A 1017 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 23N140W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING NORTHEAST TO 32N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N97W 5N109W 5N113W 12N123W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 111W AND WITHIN 75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 98W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 103W... WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 114W...WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 117W...AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 94W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 300 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N121W TO THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 32N117W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 22:29:33 2003 X-UIDL: 19545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001A2TBRAM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:28:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DCSTA7013882 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:28:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D97bo0006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 06:19:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1463980 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 06:19:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DCJpiw024168 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 06:19:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DCJgid029573 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 06:19:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DCJguo029571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 06:19:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 06:19:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303131219.h2DCJguo029571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 131200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 039/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 960 HPA POSITION : 21.7S/64.0E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/75 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 350NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 22.9 SOUTH/64.3 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 24.6 SOUTH/64.1 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE KEEPS ON WEAKENING, DUE TO A MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE EYE HAS STARTED TO DISAPPEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 22:29:39 2003 X-UIDL: 19553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO00AUEYCNIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 22:17:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DEGwA7041904 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 22:17:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D97bvY006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:04:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1465344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:04:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DE4hiw009712 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:04:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DE4Yid001014 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:04:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DE4Y3i001013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:04:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:04:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303131404.h2DE4Y3i001013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 131500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 21.7S0 64.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.7S0 64.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 22.7S1 64.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 24.0S6 64.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 25.6S3 64.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 27.4S3 64.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 22.0S4 64.8E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 90 KNOTS. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A POLEWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, BELOW THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 23S WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS A POLEWARD TRACK INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE, AND AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 AND 141500Z1. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 22:29:39 2003 X-UIDL: 19554-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO00APHYQAIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 22:25:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DEPEA7043974 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 22:25:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D97bwK006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:18:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1465475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:18:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DEI4iw024076 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:18:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DEHtid001353 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:17:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DEHtHx001351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:17:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:17:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303131417.h2DEHtHx001351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO20 FMEE 131200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 039/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 960 HPA POSITION : 21.7S/64.0E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 6 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/75 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 350NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 22.9 SOUTH/64.3 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 24.6 SOUTH/64.1 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE KEEPS ON WEAKENING, DUE TO A MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE EYE HAS STARTED TO DISAPPEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 23:15:19 2003 X-UIDL: 19557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO00APUZSFIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 22:48:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DEm8A7049672 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 22:48:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D97b0u006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1465922 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DEZPiw040768 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DEZGid001896 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DEZGmq001895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303131435.h2DEZGmq001895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS32 PGTW 131500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 22.9S3 172.5W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.9S3 172.5W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 25.1S8 166.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 41 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 30.3S6 159.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 43 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 37.6S6 153.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 23.5S0 171.0W9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NUKU ALOFA, TONGA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 110 AND 125 KNOTS. TC 25P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON AN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 25P IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT INTERACTS WITH A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE LOW NORTH OF NEW ZEALAND. TC 25P IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN REASONABLY CLOSE AGREEMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 AND 141500Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTPS33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 02:22:19 2003 X-UIDL: 19562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00AZ636GIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:01:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DG1JA7070187 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:01:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D97bBG006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 09:50:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1467566 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 09:50:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DFoCiw016076 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 09:50:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DFo3id004967 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 09:50:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DFo3pS004966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 09:50:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 09:50:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303131550.h2DFo3pS004966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 131549 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 13 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N133W TO BEYOND 27N140W. ..A 1017 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 20N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 3N97W 8N122W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 02:22:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19567-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00A19805IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 01:45:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DHjVA7098613 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 01:45:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D97bPw006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1470109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DHZHiw024092 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DHZ8id009331 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DHZ8uK009329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303131735.h2DHZ8uK009329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131353ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7S0 64.7E7, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 131500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 02:22:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00A2480KIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 01:45:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DHjnA7098698 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 01:45:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DHXhjK039354; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1470112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DHZHiw017010 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DHZ8id009332 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DHZ8eU009330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 11:35:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303131735.h2DHZ8eU009330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131353ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7S0 64.7E7, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 131500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 02:22:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00AI3990IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:12:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DICRA7005485 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:12:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D97bUa006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:05:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1470885 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:05:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DI5Ziw029786 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:05:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DI5Pid010656 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:05:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DI5OmT010651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:05:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:05:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303131805.h2DI5OmT010651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO20 FMEE 131800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 040/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : THURSDAY 13/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : TROPICAL CYCLONE 14 (KALUNDE ) 965 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.6S/64.4E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 350NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 24.0 SOUTH/64.7 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 25.6 SOUTH/64.5 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE KEEPS ON PROGRESSIVELY WEAKENING. AS KALUNDE IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWARDS FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL UNDERGO VERY UNFAVORABLE WINDSHEAR ET WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 02:22:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00AIJ99VIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:13:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DID0A7005614 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:13:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D97bUo006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:07:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1470926 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:07:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DI7biw025238 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:07:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DI7Sid010740 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:07:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DI7Snj010739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:07:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:07:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303131807.h2DI7Snj010739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 131800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 20/14/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 13/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.6S/64.4E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 965 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 70 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 250 KM SE30: 650 KM SW30: 550 KM NW30: 220 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 24.0S / 64.7E FI=4.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 25.6S / 64.5E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 29.0S / 63.5E FI=3.0 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : TRMM AT 0608Z SHOWS THE LAG BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE AND THE LOW LEVEL ONE. ON THE LAST SSMI IMAGERIES AT 1422Z AND 1535Z, THIS LAG DOES NOT SEEM TO EXIST ANYMORE, BUT DEEP CONVECTION ONLY APPEARS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 05:58:52 2003 X-UIDL: 19582-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00AODJELIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 05:51:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DLpnA7065113 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 05:51:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DJeYDk039356; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 15:45:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1476069 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 15:45:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DLjjiw013098 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 15:45:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DLjaid018699 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 15:45:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DLjatl018698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 15:45:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 15:45:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303132145.h2DLjatl018698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 132145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N160W 23N180...HAS MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 20 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 07N173W 04N161W...HAS MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 04N149W...HAS MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE ESETA CENTERED NEAR 23.6S 169.0W AT 13/1800 UTC HAD FREQUENT CB WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER. SEE LATEST NADI AND JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 15S180 20S169W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF 11S135W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 06:28:58 2003 X-UIDL: 19586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00A8WKPDIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:20:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DMJsA7071180 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:19:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DJeYG4039356; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 16:02:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1476484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 16:02:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DM2fiw043490 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 16:02:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DM2Wid019239 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 16:02:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DM2Whw019238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 16:02:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 16:02:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303132202.h2DM2Whw019238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 132202 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 13 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N131W TO BEYOND 26N140W. ..A 1018 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 27N119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 3N97W 6N90W 4N102W 7N123W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 08:38:52 2003 X-UIDL: 19588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00A9CQWAIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:33:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E0XcA7000150 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:33:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rEA006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:23:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1479092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:23:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E0NPiw012014 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:23:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E0NGid022186 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:23:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E0NGvW022184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:23:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:23:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140023.h2E0NGvW022184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 140000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 041/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 975 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.0S/64.7E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 26.0 SOUTH/64.4 EAST WEAKENING. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 27.9 SOUTH/63.9 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : STRONG WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. CONVECTION IS POORLY ORGANIZED. CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE ON THE IR IMAGERY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 08:58:52 2003 X-UIDL: 19592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00AW8RW9IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:55:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E0tDA7005644 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:55:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DJeYg8039356; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:43:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1479227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:43:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E0h1iw011880 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:43:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E0goid022437 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:42:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E0goug022436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:42:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 18:42:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140042.h2E0goug022436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 132100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 21.2S5 164.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.2S5 164.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 22.4S8 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 24.7S3 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 27.4S3 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 29.7S8 177.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 21.5S8 165.0E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 105 KNOTS. TC 22P IS NOW IN VERY CLOSE PROXIMITY TO NEW CALEDONIA, AND HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE INTERACTING WITH LAND OVER THE PAST 3 TO 6 HOURS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AROUND THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING IN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION MID-PERIOD OF THE FORECAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE ALL IN REASONABLY CLOSE AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNINGS (WTPS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PHNC) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 15:37:14 2003 X-UIDL: 19604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00A1KV3OIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 10:04:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E24SA7026801 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 10:04:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rJc006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 19:46:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1480214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 19:46:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E1kZiw014598 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 19:46:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E1kOid023186 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 19:46:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E1kOAG023185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 19:46:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 19:46:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140146.h2E1kOAG023185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS32 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 24.1S7 166.8W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.1S7 166.8W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 28.1S1 160.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 33.3S9 155.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 25.1S8 165.1W3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC 25P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A RAPID EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED A RAPID WEAKENING TREND, INTERACTING WITH A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE LOW NORTH OF NEW ZEALAND, TRAVELING ALONG THE ASSOCIATED FRONT POLEWARD. TC 25P IS ALMOST EXTRATROPICAL, AND WILL COMPLETE THE TRANSITION IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 21 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW)FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 15:37:14 2003 X-UIDL: 19606-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00AMEVNEIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 10:16:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E2GIA7030213 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 10:16:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rLO006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:09:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1480702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:09:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E28xiw016634 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:08:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E28mid023527 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:08:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E28mKe023526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:08:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:08:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140208.h2E28mKe023526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 22.9S3 65.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.9S3 65.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 24.0S6 65.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 25.7S4 65.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 27.4S3 64.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 28.9S9 64.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 23.2S7 65.4E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 75 KNOTS. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A POLEWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, BELOW THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 23S WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY, AS THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS A POLEWARD TRACK INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 23S WILL ULTIMATELY DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 AND 150300Z9. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 15:37:15 2003 X-UIDL: 19609-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00AY5WFVIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 10:33:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E2XOA7035866 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 10:33:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rLo006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:20:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1480874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:20:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E2Kaiw039916 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:20:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E2KPid023642 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:20:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E2KP3F023641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:20:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:20:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140220.h2E2KP3F023641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS32 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 24.1S7 166.8W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.1S7 166.8W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 28.1S1 160.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 33.3S9 155.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 25.1S8 165.1W3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC 25P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A RAPID EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED A RAPID WEAKENING TREND, INTERACTING WITH A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE LOW NORTH OF NEW ZEALAND, TRAVELING POLEWARD, ALONG THE ASSOCIATED FRONT. TC 25P IS ALMOST EXTRATROPICAL, AND WILL COMPLETE THE TRANSITION IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 21 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW)FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 15:37:16 2003 X-UIDL: 19620-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00ATPZM1IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:42:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E3frA7056879 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:41:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rRO006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 21:33:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1481997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 21:33:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E3XJiw015100 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 21:33:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E3X8id024462 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 21:33:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E3X81S024461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 21:33:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 21:33:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140333.h2E3X81S024461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 140333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 14 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING COLD FRONT IS IN THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N129W TO BEYOND 25N140W. ..A 1017 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 27N123W. ANOTHER 1016 MB HIGH NEAR 21N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 3N100W 6N110W 7N123W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120-150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED WITHIN A 45-60 NM RADIUS OF 9.5N121W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-45 NM RADIUS OF 6.5N104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 1N TO 4N. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 15:37:17 2003 X-UIDL: 19624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00ABX4S9IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 13:33:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E5XcA7089220 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 13:33:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rYw006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1483437 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E5GViw011888 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E5GKid025274 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E5GK2A025272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140516.h2E5GK2A025272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131951ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140152ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 132100Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2S5 164.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 125 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 131800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1S7 166.8W1, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, TRACKING EASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 15:37:17 2003 X-UIDL: 19627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00A7Z7WIIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:41:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E6evA7009131 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:40:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rd4006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:36:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1484739 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:36:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E6a1iw020684 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:36:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E6Zoid025815 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:35:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E6Zo2k025813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:35:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:35:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140635.h2E6Zo2k025813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 140600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 21/14/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 14/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.1S/64.6E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.0 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 978 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 200 KM SE30: 600 KM SW30: 480 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 25.5S / 64.6E FI=4.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 26.6S / 64.3E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 29.5S / 64.0E FI=3.0 EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEARD CONTINUE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 15:37:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00A837WMIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:41:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E6f1A7009174 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:41:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rd2006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:31:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1484705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:31:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E6Vtiw011948 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:31:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E6Viid025782 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:31:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E6Vi0P025780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:31:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 00:31:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140631.h2E6Vi0P025780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 140600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 042/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 978 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.1S/64.6E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 25.5 SOUTH/64.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 26.6 SOUTH/64.3 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : RELOCATED LOW LEVEL CENTRE. STRONG WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 16:07:08 2003 X-UIDL: 19633-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00AGYBVUIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 16:07:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E86wA7035528 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 16:06:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6re4006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 01:58:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1485390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 01:58:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E7wLiw016398 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 01:58:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E7wAid026352 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 01:58:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E7wAOI026350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 01:58:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 01:58:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140758.h2E7wAOI026350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO20 FMEE 140600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 042/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 978 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.1S/64.6E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 14/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 25.5 SOUTH/64.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 26.6 SOUTH/64.3 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : RELOCATED LOW LEVEL CENTRE. STRONG WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE SOUTH DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 16:35:55 2003 X-UIDL: 19636-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00AAKD57IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 16:34:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E8YBA7043717 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 16:34:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6reS006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:19:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1485546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:19:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E8Jsiw034586 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:19:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E8Jhid026505 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:19:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E8JhKW026504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:19:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:19:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140819.h2E8JhKW026504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 140900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 23.0S5 168.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 30 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.0S5 168.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 25.3S0 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 27.8S7 176.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 30.5S8 179.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 32.5S0 177.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 23.6S1 169.8E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. TC 22P HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE INTERACTING WITH NEW CALEDONIA OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AROUND THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING IN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND IS BEGINNING TO SHOW SIGNS OF TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE ALL IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH UKMET (EGRR) AS THE OUTLIER AT TAU 36 AND 48 WITH A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS EXCEPT EGRR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 AND 150900Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 18:06:42 2003 X-UIDL: 19650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00AHYHCKIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 18:05:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EA4uA7069421 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 18:04:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rhi006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 03:55:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1486357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 03:55:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E9tDiw014936 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 03:55:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E9t2id027309 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 03:55:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E9t29R027308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 03:55:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 03:55:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140955.h2E9t29R027308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 140954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 30N158W 20N180. NORTHEAST END MOVING EAST 45 KT. SOUTHWEST END MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 25N. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 25N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 07N175W 03N163W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 03N156W 03N151W ARE NEWLY FORMED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S158W 19S165W 16S178W 16S180 MOVING EAST 20-25 KT. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... TROUGH...THROUGH 25S140W 26S134W CONTINUES SOUTHEAST AS A FRONT. FRONT/TROUGH MOVING EAST 25 KT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 18:16:39 2003 X-UIDL: 19651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00A2QHMBIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 18:10:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EAAlA7071076 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 18:10:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rhk006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 04:05:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1486411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 04:05:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EA4xiw017048 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 04:05:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2EA4mid027384 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 04:04:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2EA4mQk027383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 04:04:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 04:04:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303141004.h2EA4mQk027383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 141004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 14 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N124W AND EXTENDS SOUTHWEST ALONG 27N131W TO 25N140W. ..A 1020 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 26N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0915... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 4N87W 2N101W 5N113W 10N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 102W AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 119W TO 121W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 122W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 350 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 127W AND WITHIN 400 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 1.5N86W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR FROM 1N TO 6N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 20:45:11 2003 X-UIDL: 19657-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00AK3O5KIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:32:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ECW0A7004099 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:32:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EBJOkk006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:22:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1487233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:22:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ECMkiw016934 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:22:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2ECMZid028306 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:22:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2ECMY0d028305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:22:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:22:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303141222.h2ECMY0d028305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 141200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 043/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 980 HPA POSITION : 24.9S/65.1E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 26.0 SOUTH/65.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 27.6 SOUTH/65.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS WESTERLY WIND SHEARED, WITH A LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED OUTSIDE OF DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 20:54:25 2003 X-UIDL: 19659-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00ABHOS8IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:45:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ECjbA7007026 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:45:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EBJOku006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:41:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1487346 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:41:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ECfPiw005340 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:41:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2ECfEid028455 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:41:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2ECfDSd028453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:41:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 06:41:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303141241.h2ECfDSd028453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 141200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 043/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 980 HPA POSITION : 24.9S/65.1E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 26.0 SOUTH/65.0 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 27.6 SOUTH/65.0 EAST WEAKENING. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM IS WESTERLY WIND SHEARED, WITH A LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED OUTSIDE OF DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 00:06:14 2003 X-UIDL: 19663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ007M4T3GD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 22:18:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EEIhA7030244 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 22:18:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E8GDAI039356; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:09:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1488124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:03:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EE3Jiw005282 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:03:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2EE38id029476 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:03:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2EE380H029475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:03:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:03:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303141403.h2EE380H029475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 141500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 24.8S4 65.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8S4 65.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 26.1S9 65.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 28.1S1 64.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 31.0S4 64.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 34.3S0 65.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 25.1S8 65.4E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED 90 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A POLEWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, BELOW THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 23S WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO ULTIMATELY DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 AND 151500Z2. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 00:06:17 2003 X-UIDL: 19672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ0070IY1DD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:05:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EG5TA7057094 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:05:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EBJO52006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 09:57:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1489970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 09:57:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EFvuiw036022 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 09:57:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2EFvjid002354 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 09:57:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2EFvi5D002353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 09:57:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 09:57:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303141557.h2EFvi5D002353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 141557 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 14 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1020 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 26N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1515... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 1N80W 4N90W 3N100W 6N113W 6N124W 71N30W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 90W...93W TO 102W...AND 122W TO 126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 111W TO 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 02:06:05 2003 X-UIDL: 19677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR007VA3DYD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:01:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EI11A7087363 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:01:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EBJOFe006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1492106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EHqPiw005790 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2EHqEid005851 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2EHqEkW005849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303141752.h2EHqEkW005849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141353ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8S4 65.5E6, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 02:06:05 2003 X-UIDL: 19678-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR007W13EHD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:01:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EI1JA7087418 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:01:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EHfakQ039356; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1492109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EHqQiw037944 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2EHqEid005853 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2EHqEgH005850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 11:52:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303141752.h2EHqEgH005850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141353ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141200Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8S4 65.5E6, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 02:36:05 2003 X-UIDL: 19679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR007DK4Q6D4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:30:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EITtA7094254 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:29:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EBJOIM006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:27:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1492753 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:27:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EIRJiw028246 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:27:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2EIR8id006823 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:27:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2EIR8XW006821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:27:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:27:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303141827.h2EIR8XW006821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 141800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 22/14/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 14/03/2003 : 25.9S/65.2E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.5 MOINS /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 984 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 200 KM SE30: 600 KM SW30: 500 KM NW30: 200 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 27.6S / 65.5E FI=3.5 2.B FORECAST 24H : 29.8S / 65.8E FI=3.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 36.5S / 68.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 02:36:05 2003 X-UIDL: 19680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR007ES4S5D4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:31:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EIVAA7094540 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:31:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EBJOIK006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:25:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1492725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:25:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EIPHiw005206 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:25:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2EIP7id006745 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:25:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2EIP759006743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:25:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 12:25:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303141825.h2EIP759006743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 141800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 044/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 14/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 984 HPA POSITION : 25.9S/65.2E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 27.6 SOUTH/65.5 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.8 SOUTH/65.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE HAS STARTED TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM DUE TO A STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 10:13:46 2003 X-UIDL: 19686-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR007U8AZFD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 04:45:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKj8A7036004 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 04:45:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKGdjq020558; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:32:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1495297 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:32:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKWGiw047202 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:32:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2EKW4id010156 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:32:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2EKW41h010155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:32:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:32:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303142032.h2EKW41h010155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 26.0S8 173.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.0S8 173.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 28.4S4 177.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 30.8S1 179.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.0S6 175.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 26.6S4 174.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM NORTH OF AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGH 36 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK ABOVE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS, AND UKMET (EGRR), ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 AND 152100Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PHNC) FOR FINAL WARNING. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 10:13:47 2003 X-UIDL: 19690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR007N0ECND4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 05:57:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ELvpA7052677 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 05:57:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKGdog020558; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:44:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1496436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:44:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ELijiw037790 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:44:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2ELiXid012088 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:44:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2ELiXTr012086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:44:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:44:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303142144.h2ELiXTr012086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 142144 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 14 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1020 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 26N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2145... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N80W 4N87W 4N94W 3N100W 6N113W 6N125W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 87W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7.5N83W 5.5N84W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM RADIUS OF 7N112.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 10:13:47 2003 X-UIDL: 19691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR007UHEH5D4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 06:00:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EM0XA7053313 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 06:00:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKGdpA020558; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:54:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1496541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:54:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ELsciw037360 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:54:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2ELsRid012366 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:54:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2ELsRSj012365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:54:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 15:54:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303142154.h2ELsRSj012365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 142154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...THAT EXTENDED EAST 0F 140W AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...HAS BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH... 29N140W 26N160W 20N180. EASTERN SECTIONS MOVING EAST 15 KT WITH WESTERN SECTIONS MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N175W 05N150W 06N140W 01N152W 01N160W 04N179W 10N175W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 25S127W 21S133W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. FRONT/CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 25S152W 16S164W 13S180. SOUTH PORTION MOVING EAST 10 KT WITH NORTH PORTION NEARLY STATIONARY. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/CONVERGENCE ZONE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S142W 07S133W 12S140W 07S142W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BETWEEN 03S AND 07S WEST OF 165W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 10:13:51 2003 X-UIDL: 19704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR007A1KUBD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 08:18:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F0I2A7081303 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 08:18:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKGd3M020558; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 18:07:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1498634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 18:07:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F07eiw033916 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 18:07:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F07Tid014745 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 18:07:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F07TP9014744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 18:07:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 18:07:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150007.h2F07TP9014744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 150000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 045/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 986 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.4S/65.6E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 28.2 SOUTH/65.6 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 16/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 30.5 SOUTH/65.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE HAS STARTED TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM DUE TO A STRONG WESTNORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 13:39:36 2003 X-UIDL: 19716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR007CTRETD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 10:40:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F2dpA7010431 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 10:39:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKGdXc034742; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:30:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1500283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:29:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F2T5iw005322 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:29:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F2Ssid016156 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:28:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F2Sss3016155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:28:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:28:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150228.h2F2Sss3016155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- NEAR 26.0S8 65.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.0S8 65.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 27.7S6 66.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 30.2S5 66.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION NEAR 26.4S2 65.6E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGEST THE SYSTEM IS TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM, WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 23S WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 23S IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 13:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 19719-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR000XAUUHR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:54:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F3s9A7026809 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:54:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKGdFU020558; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 21:45:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1501057 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 21:45:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F3jfiw034378 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 21:45:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F3jUid016654 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 21:45:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F3jUbt016653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 21:45:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 21:45:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150345.h2F3jUbt016653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 150345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 15 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1016 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 27N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0330... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N80W 4N87W 4N94W 3N100W 6N113W 6N125W 5N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 95W...AND BETWEEN 99W AND 103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30-45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N112W 8N117W 10N121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 14:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 19724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS007LC1R2D4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:23:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6NJA7060081 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:23:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F5FBqu034742; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:18:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1502542 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:18:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Imiw010516 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:18:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F6Ibid017652 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:18:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F6IbZ2017650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:18:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:18:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150618.h2F6IbZ2017650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 150600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 046/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.6S/66.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP FROM THE CENTRE BETWEEN 130 NM AND 450 NM ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.3 SOUTH/67.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 16/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 32.0 SOUTH/67.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE IS BECOMMING AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. DUE TO A STRONG NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A HIGH SOUTHEAST OF THE SUSTEM, DEEP CONVECTION AND STRONG WINDS EXIST FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 14:28:26 2003 X-UIDL: 19725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS000SZ1W9R0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:26:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6QMA7060619 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:26:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F5FBp2034742; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:14:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1502376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:13:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6D1iw037184 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:13:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F6Cnid017604 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:12:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F6CnDB017602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:12:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:12:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150612.h2F6CnDB017602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141951ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 142100Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0S8 173.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 660 NM NORTH OF AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 141800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 14:28:26 2003 X-UIDL: 19726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS000V01YOR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:28:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6RrA7061001 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:27:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6CbkQ020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:20:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1502583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:20:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Kpiw034444 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:20:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F6Keid017671 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:20:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F6KdIf017669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:20:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:20:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150620.h2F6KdIf017669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 150600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 23/14/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 15/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.6S/66.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.5 /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 250 KM SE30: 600 KM SW30: 500 KM NW30: 250 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 29.3S / 67.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 32.0S / 67.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 38.6S / 72.5E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=1.5- ET CI=2.5+.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 14:38:28 2003 X-UIDL: 19727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS0002F2C7R0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:36:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6a0A7062388 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:36:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cbkg020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:30:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1502685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:30:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6U5iw004258 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:30:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F6Tsid017735 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:29:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F6TrKr017732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:29:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:29:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150629.h2F6TrKr017732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO20 FMEE 150600 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 046/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 14 (KALUNDE ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.6S/66.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHSOUTHEAST 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP FROM THE CENTRE BETWEEN 130 NM AND 450 NM ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 15/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 29.3 SOUTH/67.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 16/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 32.0 SOUTH/68.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : KALUNDE IS BECOMMING AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. DUE TO A STRONG NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A HIGH SOUTHEAST OF THE SUSTEM, DEEP CONVECTION AND STRONG WINDS EXIST FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 14:48:25 2003 X-UIDL: 19728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS0070H2IRD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:40:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6dtA7063127 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:39:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cbko020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:34:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1502723 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:34:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6YEiw040882 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:34:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F6Y3id017784 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:34:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F6Y3ow017782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:34:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:34:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150634.h2F6Y3ow017782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 150600 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 23/14/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 15/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.6S/66.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.5 /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 250 KM SE30: 600 KM SW30: 500 KM NW30: 250 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 29.3S / 67.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 32.0S / 68.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 38.6S / 72.5E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : T=1.5- ET CI=2.5+.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 16:50:55 2003 X-UIDL: 19731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS0072Q7UFD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:35:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F8YuA7085903 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:34:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cbn2020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:15:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1503307 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:15:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F8Fkiw037200 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:15:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F8FZid018422 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:15:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F8FZPN018421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:15:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:15:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150815.h2F8FZPN018421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 29.0S1 178.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 29.0S1 178.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 31.6S0 176.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.9S5 172.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 29.7S8 179.8E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 515 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 150530Z4 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 22P IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN UNDER STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOL AIR ENTRAINMENT. TC 22P IS EXPECTED TO BE AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS, AND UKMET (EGRR), ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 18:10:46 2003 X-UIDL: 19736-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS0077NC0SD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 18:05:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FA54A7004665 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 18:05:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cbnc020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 03:55:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1503690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 03:55:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F9t1iw023748 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 03:55:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F9snid019207 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 03:54:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F9snr7019206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 03:54:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 03:54:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150954.h2F9snr7019206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 150954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 30N179E 25N170E AT 15/0830 UTC MOVING EAST NEAR 20 KT. BROKEN CLOUD LAYERS ALONG FRONT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... WEAK FRONT...THROUGH 26N140W 22N165W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 20N175W. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 11 KT. SHEAR LINE DRIFTING SOUTH SLOWLY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ALSO SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80-120 NM OF LINE 04N154W 06N175W 04N180 EXTEND WEST AND MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICA NEAR 21S 178W AT 15/0830 UTC CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY SOUTHEASTWARD. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S122W 22S130W 25S139W AT 15/0830 UTC MOVING EAST 20 KT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT EAST OF 130W DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... TROUGH...THROUGH 13S180 25S150W NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LAYERS ALONG TROUGH. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65 NM OF TROUGH REMAIN SPARSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06S171W 04S180 MOVED WEST 15 KT AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 18:30:46 2003 X-UIDL: 19738-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS007P6CYED4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 18:25:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FAPJA7008913 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 18:25:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cbno020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 04:17:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1503758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 04:17:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FAH6iw042928 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 04:17:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FAGtid019359 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 04:16:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FAGs9A019358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 04:16:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 04:16:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303151016.h2FAGs9A019358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 151016 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 15 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 15/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT THROUGH 30N134W BEYOND 26N140W. ..1016 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N122W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 110W AND 30N134W 26N140W DISSIPATING COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0800... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 6N85W 4N94W 3N104W 5N115W 8N122W 6N130W 6N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 82W AND 83W...AND FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 82W AND 85W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE FROM 2N TO 9N BETWEEN 81W AND 89W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 125W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS...SOME DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 120-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 131W...AND WEST OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN COASTAL AREAS OF COLOMBIA...WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 7N76W 5N77W 2N78W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 20:30:46 2003 X-UIDL: 19742-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS000GXIGQR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 20:24:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FCOBA7031843 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 20:24:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F5FBDW034742; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 06:13:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1504716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 06:13:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FCD0iw037682 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 06:13:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FCCnid020062 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 06:12:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FCCndV020060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 06:12:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 06:12:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303151212.h2FCCndV020060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 151200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 047/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 (EX-KALUNDE ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 28.8S/66.3E (TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 10 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTRE AND EXTENDS UP BETWEEN 150 NM AND 500 NM FROM THE CENTRE ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 31.1 SOUTH/67.0 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 16/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 34.5 SOUTH/67.8 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS TOTALLY EXPOSED. A WIDE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION STILL EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTRE SOUTHEAST OF IT. THIS LOW SHOULD TRACK SOUTHWARD DURING NEXT DAYS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 22:00:47 2003 X-UIDL: 19745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS000ATMVER0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 21:59:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FDxUA7051212 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 21:59:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cbuu020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 07:46:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1505491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 07:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FDkGiw011932 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 07:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FDk4id020706 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 07:46:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FDk4WI020705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 07:46:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 07:46:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303151346.h2FDk4WI020705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 151500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 28.7S7 66.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 28.7S7 66.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 31.0S4 66.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 29.3S4 66.3E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE), LOCATED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE INTENSITY IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES GIVE DUE TO THE FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE IMAGERY ALSO SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING WHILE TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM, WITH THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. TC 23S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWARD AND BE EXTRATROPICAL IN 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND UKMET OFFICE (EGRR) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 01:27:53 2003 X-UIDL: 19752-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS0002QRSNR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:45:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FFjoA7071864 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:45:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F5FBUY034742; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 09:40:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1506860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 09:40:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FFe3iw014236 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 09:40:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FFdpid021539 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 09:39:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FFdpGU021538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 09:39:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 09:39:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303151539.h2FFdpGU021538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 151539 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 15 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT FROM BEYOND 32N1256W SW THROUGH 29N134W THEN DISSIPATING TO BEYOND 25N140W. FRONT IS MARKED BY BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS FOR ABOUT 120 NM BEHIND FRONT. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW S OF THE COLD FRONT WITH A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 19N140W TO 25N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 3N102W 6N113W 7N126W 6N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/STRONG IS S OF COSTA RICA FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 83W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-105W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 2N108W 3N119W 9N119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 6N113W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS ON THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 5N77W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 01:27:54 2003 X-UIDL: 19754-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS000TLVTQR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 01:13:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FHCrA7092334 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 01:12:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F5FBae034742; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:04:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1507549 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:04:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FH4Biw005850 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:04:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FH3xid022191 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:03:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FH3xVg022189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:03:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:03:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303151703.h2FH3xVg022189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/151353ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7S7 66.2E4, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 151500) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED 140 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SEMI-PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. IMAGERY IS ALSO DEPICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF MID-LEVEL CURVATURE AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED CONVECTION DUE TO DIFFLUENCE IN THE UPPER LEVELS AND WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR. THE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 01:27:55 2003 X-UIDL: 19755-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS000UKVU7R0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 01:13:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FHDCA7092458 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 01:13:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cb9a020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:04:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1507546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:04:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FH4Biw028820 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:04:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FH3xid022192 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:03:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FH3xx5022190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:03:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 11:03:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303151703.h2FH3xx5022190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/151353ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KALUNDE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7S7 66.2E4, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 151500) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED 140 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SEMI-PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. IMAGERY IS ALSO DEPICTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF MID-LEVEL CURVATURE AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED CONVECTION DUE TO DIFFLUENCE IN THE UPPER LEVELS AND WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR. THE MAX SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 02:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 19761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS000P7ZO2R0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 02:36:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FIZsA7008572 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 02:35:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6CbFa020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:27:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1508730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FIQxiw014246 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:26:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FIQmid022987 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:26:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FIQlpV022986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:26:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:26:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303151826.h2FIQlpV022986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 151800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 048/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SATURDAY 15/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 (EX-KALUNDE ) 997 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 29.3S/66.2E (TWENTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 9 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTRE AND EXTENDS UP BETWEEN 150 NM AND 500 NM FROM THE CENTRE ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 30.5 SOUTH/66.3 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 16/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 33.5 SOUTH/67.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : A WIDE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION STILL EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTRE SOUTHERN OF IT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 02:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 19762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS000PHZOIR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 02:36:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FIaAA7008619 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 02:36:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FHwNlA034742; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:28:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1508736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FIS1iw009608 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FIRnid023006 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:27:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FIRnmV023004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:27:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 12:27:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303151827.h2FIRnmV023004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 151800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 24/14/20022003 1.A EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION (EX-KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 15/03/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 29.3S/66.2E (TWENTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /W /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 180 KM SE30: 500 KM SW30: 300 KM NW30: 180 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 30.5S / 66.3E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 33.5S / 67.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 38.0S / 70.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE SYSTEM BECAME EXTRATROPICAL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19772-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT0008I9NNR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 06:11:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FMBdtF000629 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 06:11:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6CbOG020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:07:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1510772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FM7iiw047242 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:07:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FM7Wid024701 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:07:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FM7WDP024700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:07:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:07:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303152207.h2FM7WDP024700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 152207 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 15 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT FROM BEYOND 32N123W SW THROUGH 28N130W TO BEYOND 25N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 7N86W 2N100W 2N112W 8N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N TO 9N BETWEEN 82W AND 87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 6N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT0008N9NXR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 06:11:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FMBntF000651 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 06:11:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FHwN6c034742; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:04:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1510756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:04:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FM4piw019942 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:04:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FM4Xid024684 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:04:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FM4Xik024683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:04:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:04:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303152204.h2FM4Xik024683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 152204 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 24N140W 23N145W EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE OVER OAHU TO 20N 163W TO 21N 168W TO 17N 180. OCCASIONAL TCU ALONG FRONT/SHEARLINE. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 180NM NORTH OF FRONT/SHEARLINE EAST OF 150W AND WITHIN 240NM OF SHEARLINE WEST OF 150W. SECOND FRONT...THROUGH 30N176W 25N180 AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 70NM OF FRONT. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 06N140W 02N155W 06N160W 04N175W 05N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF THE DATELINE. ISOL CB WITHIN 100NM OF ITCZ AXIS EAST OF 152W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND EXPANDED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 04N160W 0N167W HAVE MOVED WEST AND DECREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150NM OF ITCZ AXIS WEST OF 168W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND EXPANDED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE FIRST FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ALSO SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE AND SECOND FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUD OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S121W 21S125W 19S134W AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S. ISOLATED CB AND OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 115NM NORTHEAST OF FRONT. SHEARLINE...THROUGH 25S150W 15S170W 14S180 AND CONTINUING AS FRONT SOUTH OF 25S. ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF SHEARLINE. SECOND FRONT...THROUGH 25S175W 22S180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF THE DATELINE. OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 35NM OF FRONT. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 09S135W 08S140W 07S155W 06S170W 03W180. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 10S135W 08S139W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 06S159W 09S144W 12S151W 09S160W 07S168W 06S159W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125NM OF ITCZ AXIS WEST OF 169W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT00024GROR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 08:45:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G0jFtF025888 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 08:45:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6CbUa020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 18:35:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1512121 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 18:35:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G0Zaiw047164 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 18:35:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G0ZPid025628 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 18:35:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G0ZPgE025626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 18:35:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 18:35:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160035.h2G0ZPgE025626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 160000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 049/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 16/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 (EX-KALUNDE ) 998 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 30.5S/66.3E (THIRTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTRE AND EXTENDS UP BETWEEN 100 NM AND 500 NM FROM THE CENTRE ONLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 31.6 SOUTH/66.3 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 17/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 33.5 SOUTH/66.7 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : NO PRECISELY LOCATED CENTER.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 19778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT00NGRP4U2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:46:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G3jvtF057873 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:45:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cbcs020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 21:36:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1514265 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 21:36:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G3asiw031662 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 21:36:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G3ahid026645 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 21:36:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G3agrm026644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 21:36:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 21:36:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160336.h2G3agrm026644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 160336 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 16 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT FROM BEYOND 32N121W SW THROUGH 27N130W TO BEYOND 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N105W 6N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 7.2N87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM OF 3.7N118W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 9N FROM 125W TO 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:26 2003 X-UIDL: 19782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT00N5PUZM2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 13:52:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G5qQtF081886 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 13:52:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6CbhW020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1515417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G5gNiw045166 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G5gBid027508 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G5gB3f027506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160542.h2G5gB3f027506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:27 2003 X-UIDL: 19785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT00N5QW7C2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:18:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6IftF086862 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:18:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6CbiW020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:13:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1515833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:13:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6Dliw035894 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:13:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G6DZid028555 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:13:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G6DZuw028553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:13:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:13:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160613.h2G6DZuw028553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 160600 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 050/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 16/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 (EX-KALUNDE ) 998 HPA POSITION : 33.9S/67.1E (THIRTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 22 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS BETWEEN 100 NM AND 500 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 37.8 SOUTH/68.2 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 17/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 40.5 SOUTH/71.5 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : WINDS EXTENSION IS MEASURED THANKS TO THE LAST QUIKSCAT SATELLITE DATA (0209Z). EXTENSION IS IMPORTANT IN THE SOUTHEAST DUE THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:27 2003 X-UIDL: 19786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT00N6JW7X2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:19:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6J3tF086953 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:19:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G4VQtq034748; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:12:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1515743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:09:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G69giw044164 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:09:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G69Vid028301 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:09:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G69Vvr028299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:09:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:09:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160609.h2G69Vvr028299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 160600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 050/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 16/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 (EX-KALUNDE) 998 HPA POSITION : 33.6S/67.5E (THIRTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 20 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS BETWEEN 100 NM AND 500 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 16/03/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 37.8 SOUTH/68.2 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 17/03/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 40.5 SOUTH/71.5 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : WINDS EXTENSION IS MEASURED THANKS TO THE LAST QUIKSCAT SATELLITE DATA (0209Z). EXTENSION IS IMPORTANT IN THE SOUTHEAST DUE THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:28 2003 X-UIDL: 19787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT00N7VW8X2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:19:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6JctF087136 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:19:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6CbiY020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:14:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1515849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:14:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6Emiw019738 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:14:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G6Ebid028576 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:14:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G6EbZ7028574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:14:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 00:14:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160614.h2G6EbZ7028574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 160600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 25/14/20022003 1.A EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION (EX-KALUNDE) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 16/03/2003 : 33.9S/67.1E (THIRTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /W / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 160 KM SE30: 550 KM SW30: 400 KM NW30: 160 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL 1.B FORECAST 12H : 37.8S / 68.2E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 2.B FORECAST 24H : 40.5S / 71.5E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : DISSIPATING 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : NIL= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:59 2003 X-UIDL: 19794-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBU00NLL6882T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 17:55:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G9t8tF026456 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 17:55:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6Rjle020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:46:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1517063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:46:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G9kmiw040916 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:46:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G9kaid029876 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:46:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G9kapZ029875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:46:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:46:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160946.h2G9kapZ029875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 160946 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 16 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 16/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT THROUGH 30N121W TO 25N130W 22N140W. ..RIDGE 19N140W 18N128W 18N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 7N94W 4N106W 4N119W 7N126W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 101W AND 103W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 131W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DISSIPATING DURING LAST SIX HOURS...FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 85W AND 94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:47:00 2003 X-UIDL: 19795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBU00NR66FB2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 17:59:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G9xStF027146 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 17:59:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6Rjlg020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:55:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1517084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:55:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G9t1iw009534 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:55:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G9snid029904 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:54:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G9snHT029903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:54:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 03:54:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160954.h2G9snHT029903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 160954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 02N144W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N157W 05N169W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF POINT 06N180 MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 05 KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FIRST SURFACE FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 19S125W 22S120W 25S117W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 05 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 17S137W 18S132W 23S134W 21S141W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SECOND SURFACE FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 22S150W 25S144W 27S140W MOVED NORTHEAST AT ALMOST 10 KT WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SURFACE FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB... WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 16S179W 22S180 16S167E 13S175E AND HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 02S122W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10S156W 10S148W 13S154W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06S173W 04S174W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 20:16:00 2003 X-UIDL: 19798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBU00N3UCPG2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 20:15:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GCF7tF050366 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 20:15:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6RjnU020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 06:05:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1517630 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 06:05:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GC5Iiw040794 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 06:05:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2GC56id000628 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 06:05:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2GC56im000626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 06:05:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 06:05:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303161205.h2GC56im000626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 161200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 051/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 16/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : EXTRA-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14 (EX-KALUNDE ) 998 HPA POSITION : 35.5S/67.5E (THIRTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTH 19 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP 500 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 17/03/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 38.5 SOUTH/69.3 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 17/03/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 40.7 SOUTH/72.5 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : THS SYSTEM KEEPS ON QUICKLY TRACKING SOUTHWARDS. STRONG WINDS EXTENDS FAR AWAY FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FINAL WARNING WTIO20 ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM, NOW MONITORED VIA WARNINGS FQIO20.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 09:31:56 2003 X-UIDL: 19804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBU00N7NMUP2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GFsFtF090641 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:54:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6Rj0Y020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 09:45:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1520095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 09:45:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GFjRiw020060 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 09:45:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2GFjEid001774 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 09:45:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2GFjEQZ001773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 09:45:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 09:45:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303161545.h2GFjEQZ001773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 161545 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 16 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT STRETCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 31N116W SW THROUGH 24N125W 21N135W BEYOND 20N140W. SCATTERED COLD-AIR STRATOCUMULUS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT BECOMING MORE BROKEN W OF 130W. ..RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS S OF THE COLD FRONT FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WSW TO 20N125W TO BEYOND 19N139W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N82W 5N103W 3N113W 7N124W 2N135W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 86W FROM 5N-9N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-105W AND 116W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-84W...88W-97W AND 122W-135W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 105W-114W AND W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 09:31:59 2003 X-UIDL: 19808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBU00N6ZQ9C2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 01:08:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GH7htF006417 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 01:07:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GFR2v0034758; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:01:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1520987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:00:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GH0jiw014306 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:00:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2GH0Vid002262 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:00:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2GH0Vne002260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:00:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:00:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303161700.h2GH0Vne002260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05.2S7 73.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 09:31:59 2003 X-UIDL: 19809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBU00NDCQG32T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 01:12:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GHBqtF007108 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 01:11:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6Rj42020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:01:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1520984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:00:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GH0jiw020408 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:00:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2GH0Vid002263 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:00:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2GH0VSV002261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:00:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 11:00:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303161700.h2GH0VSV002261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05.2S7 73.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 09:32:00 2003 X-UIDL: 19814-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBV00N6638V2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 05:48:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GLmMtF061716 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 05:48:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6RjN8020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:38:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1524730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:38:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GLcdiw037940 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:38:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2GLcQid004603 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:38:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2GLcQkJ004602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:38:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:38:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303162138.h2GLcQkJ004602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 162138 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...THROUGH 20N140W 19N150W OVER OAHU 22N164W 21N175W 18N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF THE DATELINE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 180NM NORTH OF SHEARLINE. FRONT...THROUGH 30N166W 28N172W AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N HAS MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 24 KNOTS. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 02N140W 01N155W 03N165W 03N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF THE DATELINE. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 04N140W 05N146W 03N150W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N163W 02N156W 02N161W 04N168W 06N163W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 05N174W 05N176W 08N180 AND EXTENDING WEST HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ALSO SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE SHEARLINE AND FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/CONVERGENCE ZONE...FRONT THROUGH 20S120W 18S127W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST WITH CONVERGENCE ZONE CENTERED FROM 18S127W THROUGH 21S140W. FRONT HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 16S135W 18S127W 21S133W 21S143W 16W135W. LOW/TROUGH...LOW NEAR 11S151W WITH TROUGH FROM 02S120W 08S132W THROUGH LOW TO 11S155W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE EQ121W 05S122W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE.AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08S156W 10S139W 13S154W 08S156W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 8 HOURS. SHEARLINE...THROUGH 22S146W 23S150W 15S170W. SHEARLINE HAS MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCASIONAL TCU AND VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE WEAKENED. FRONT...THROUGH 25S166W 24S167W 24S173W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT. OCCASIONAL TCU AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF FRONT. TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S173W 21S180 AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 120NM OF TROUGH AXIS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 09:32:01 2003 X-UIDL: 19815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBV00NDP3NA2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 05:57:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GLv2tF062724 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 05:57:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6RjNI020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:51:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1524872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:51:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GLpwiw047330 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:51:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2GLpjid004694 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:51:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2GLpjiY004693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:51:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 15:51:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303162151.h2GLpjiY004693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 162151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 16 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING TROUGH AXIS STRETCHES FROM THE ARIZONA/MEXICO BORDER NEAR 32N114W SW TO 25N120W TO 21N130W THEN W BEYOND 20N140W. THE BOUNDARY IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS THE PARENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES E THROUGH ARIZONA. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS E OF 125W. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS N OF THE TROUGH TO 29N W OF 130W. ..RIDGE EXTENDS FROM W OF 26N140W ACROSS THE TROUGH AXIS TO 17N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N83W 4N100W 5N105W 3N114W 7N121W 2N135W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF A LINE FROM 9N82W TO 9N85W TO 6N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF A LINE FROM 6N82W TO 5N86W TO 5N88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 112W-115W. NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 117W-122W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 12:11:20 2003 X-UIDL: 19828-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBV00E96JWCWJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 11:48:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H3m4tF040853 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 11:48:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6Rjc4020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 21:39:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1528378 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 21:39:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H3dliw045194 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 21:39:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2H3dYid007754 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 21:39:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2H3dYr0007753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 21:39:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 21:39:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303170339.h2H3dYr0007753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 170339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 17 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING TROUGH AXIS STRETCHES FROM THE ARIZONA/MEXICO BORDER NEAR 31N110W SW TO 25N116W TO 18N128W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS E OF 130W. ..RIDGE EXTENDS FROM W OF 28N140W ACROSS THE TROUGH AXIS TO 14N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N83W 4N100W 4N110W 2N116W 6N120W 3N136W 3N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE COSTA RICAN COAST BETWEEN 7N-9N. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 85W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-114W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 120W-122W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-126W AND W OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 110W-114W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 14:29:47 2003 X-UIDL: 19834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBV00E0VPSXWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 13:55:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H5tYtF074000 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 13:55:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H5i9jM034760; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1529809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H5jsiw035858 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2H5jfid008507 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2H5jfuB008505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303170545.h2H5jfuB008505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 18:38:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBW00EDQ0TVWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 17:53:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H9rktF040560 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 17:53:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H62Ini019960; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:45:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1531333 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:45:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H9jFiw007758 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:45:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2H9j2id010068 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:45:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2H9j28h010067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:45:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:45:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303170945.h2H9j28h010067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 170945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 17 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING TROUGH AXIS STRETCHES FROM CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO SW TO 20N120W THEN WSW TO 18N134W. TROUGH IS BECOMING DIFFICULT TO SEPARATE FROM THE NORMAL STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS. ..RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH NEAR 29N141W SE TO 22N123W ACROSS THE TROUGH AXIS TO 19N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N83W 5N107W 2N117W 4N123W 2N133W 3N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 83W-91W AND 106W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS FROM 113W-121W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-103W AND 122W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 3.5N86W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 18:38:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBW00ELP19ZQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 18:03:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HA3RtF043453 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 18:03:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H5i912034760; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:56:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1531419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:55:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H9t1iw045100 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:55:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2H9slid010140 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:54:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2H9sl7L010139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:54:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 03:54:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303170954.h2H9sl7L010139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 170954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 03N141W 01N155W 05N160W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 05N159W 01N158W 04N165W MOVED SOUTH SOUTHEAST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE... WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 04N171W 06N178E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER TROUGH/SURFACE FRONT...NEW EMBEDDED CB WITHIN AREA OF MULTI- LAYERED CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 28N165W 24N159W 22N173W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 21N158W MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH/SURFACE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FIRST SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB..WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 120W...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16S122W 18S120W AND MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 05 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 17S128W 17S142W MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SECOND SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 24S175W 20S180 16S173E AND MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S152W 12S151W 08S162W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 11:16:12 2003 X-UIDL: 19864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBW00EA9I5YQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:08:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HG8DtF035445 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:08:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H62IE4019960; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 10:00:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1535897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 10:00:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HG0Jiw014896 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 10:00:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2HG05id016052 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 10:00:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2HG05Vq016051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 10:00:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 10:00:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303171600.h2HG05Vq016051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 171600 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 17 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 1028 MB CENTER 30N135W SE TO 13N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 8N83W 5N110W 2N120W 1N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N101W. $$ WALLY BARNES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 11:16:13 2003 X-UIDL: 19868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBW00EEXNVAWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 02:11:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HIBPtF071035 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 02:11:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H62IUo019960; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:02:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1538162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:02:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HI24iw012544 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:02:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2HI1oid020561 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:01:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2HI1o0Z020559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:01:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:01:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303171801.h2HI1o0Z020559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS NEAR 4.8N2 81.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 11:16:13 2003 X-UIDL: 19869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBW00EFDNXLWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 02:12:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HICotF071273 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 02:12:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H62IUs019960; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:05:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1538165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:02:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HI24iw031574 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:02:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2HI1oid020562 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:01:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2HI1oAo020560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:01:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 12:01:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303171801.h2HI1oAo020560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS NEAR 4.8N2 81.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 11:16:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19882-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBW00E3RYKCWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 06:02:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HM2RtF030518 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 06:02:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HHrJXA044368; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1543197 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HLnSiw045316 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2HLnDid028263 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2HLnCNn028261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303172149.h2HLnCNn028261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 172149 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 17 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1030 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N138W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 12N116W TO 10N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 8N84W 9N95W 4N115W 5N124W 1N135W EQ140W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA/PANAMA BETWEEN 83W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-110W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-121W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE EQUATOR FROM 2N-7N BETWEEN 82W-88W. ISOLATED CELL OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF 11N102W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 11:16:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBW00E45YNFWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 06:04:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HM4LtF030796 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 06:04:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HJuf0M019960; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1543194 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HLnRiw031736 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2HLnDid028262 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2HLnCBP028260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 15:49:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303172149.h2HLnCBP028260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 172149 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 24N167W 23N170W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...AREAS ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINES EQ141W 04N158W AND 06N174W 07N171W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S134W 19S122W 26S127W 18S138W MOVED EAST AT 15 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 03S157W 10S146W 13S156W 04S167W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 01S176E 04S176W 08S177E 07S173E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 11:44:10 2003 X-UIDL: 19906-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBX00DK9E889L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:40:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I3eltF016877 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:40:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HJufXe019960; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 21:33:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1549754 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 21:33:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I3XLiw037288 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 21:33:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2I3X7id004053 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 21:33:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2I3X7Lg004052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 21:33:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 21:33:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303180333.h2I3X7Lg004052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 180333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 18 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 34N134W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 15N109W. A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH SW TO BEYOND 30N140W. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH IS PRODUCING 25-30 KT NLY WINDS W OF THE BAJA PENINSULA N OF 25N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 8N82W 7N86W 8N99W 3N110W 6N124W 1N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W-103W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-125W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-128W AND 132W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE COLOMBIA/ECUADOR COAST S OF 3N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 82W-87W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF A LINE FROM 11N102W TO 9N110W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 15:08:54 2003 X-UIDL: 19926-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBX00DR0NLY9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:03:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I73RtF081767 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:03:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I6DBs8025152; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1552615 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I6kJiw036904 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2I6k5id005531 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2I6k5m3005529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303180646.h2I6k5m3005529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 17:59:42 2003 X-UIDL: 19939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBX00D84VJX9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 17:55:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I9t0tF034377 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 17:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I6IYro015000; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 03:46:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1554223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 03:46:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I9kSiw034360 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 03:46:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2I9kEid006901 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 03:46:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2I9kErB006900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 03:46:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 03:46:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303180946.h2I9kErB006900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 180946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 30N159W 27N163W AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N HAS MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 33 KNOTS. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 01N140W 01N150W 05N165W 03N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF THE DATELINE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINES 01N143W 01N146W...03N158W 04N162W AND 04N174W 03N176W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ISOLATED LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. FOR DETAILS SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ISOLATED LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/CONVERGENCE ZONE...FRONT THROUGH 24S120W 20S123W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST WITH CONVERGENCE ZONE CENTERED FROM 20S123W THROUGH 10S144W. FRONT HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15KT. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12S131W 21S117W 25S121W 18S126W 15S139W HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15KT AND EXPANDED IN SIZE. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 09S146W 13S137W 11S151W 09S146W. SECOND FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 25S147W 21S155W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 19S165W TO 13S174W. FRONT HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 24KT. OVERCAST TCU AND OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT/SHEARLINE WITH NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 15S170W 13S174W. SHEARLINE...THROUGH 19S141W 17S158W 10S172W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF SHEARLINE. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 18S143W 19S146W. TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S170W 22S180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF DATELINE. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM OF TROUGH AXIS. VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 22S171W 20S177W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SECOND FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 19:26:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBX00DBSW0Y9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 18:05:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IA5FtF037562 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 18:05:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I6IYrs015000; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 04:00:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1554269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 04:00:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IA0miw036950 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 04:00:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2IA0Zid006995 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 04:00:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2IA0Z3T006994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 04:00:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 04:00:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303181000.h2IA0Z3T006994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 181000 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 18 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 115W WITH A 1031 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 30N136W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SOUTH TO 10N132W AND WEAKER AXIS SOUTHEAST TO 22N115W. TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT EAST OF THE HIGH IS PRODUCING 25 TO 30 KNOTS NORTHERLY WINDS NORTH OF 26N EAST OF 121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N95W 9N104W 10N110W 6N114W 5N125W 2N132W 1N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 117W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 127W AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 136W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 90W...WITHIN 150/180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 103W...WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 112W...AND WITHIN 150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W. WIDELY SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 2N95.5W TO 2.5N98.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 00:57:42 2003 X-UIDL: 19963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBY00D3DCY89L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 00:10:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IGAgtF035606 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 00:10:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I6IYPE015000; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 10:01:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1559561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 10:01:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IG1Yiw015908 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 10:01:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2IG1Kid012922 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 10:01:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2IG1K45012921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 10:01:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 10:01:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303181601.h2IG1K45012921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 181601 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 18 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRES DOMINATES REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 115W WITH 1030 MB HIGH PRES AT 31N135W. RIDGE AXIS EXTEND SOUTH TO 10N130W AND SOUTHEAST TO 10N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION ALONG 4N80W 7N100W 10N110W 2N135W 2N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 109W TO 126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF AXIS FROM 126W TO 135W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 81W TO 87W AND WITHIN 150 NM FROM 94W TO 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF 2N97W. $$ WALLY BARNES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 08:45:20 2003 X-UIDL: 19971-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBY00DKPH9N9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 01:44:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IHi3tF063791 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 01:44:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IGl5u0044366; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1562000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IHViiw024232 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2IHVUid015945 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2IHVUbe015943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303181731.h2IHVUbe015943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.8N2 81.3E2, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 19.7S7 49.7E0, OFF THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR. OVERNIGHT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES ORGANIZED CONVECTION AROUND A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 08:45:21 2003 X-UIDL: 19972-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBY00DPKHCE9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 01:45:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IHjgtF064253 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 01:45:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I6IYdc015000; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1562003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IHViiw028792 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2IHVUid015946 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2IHVUwO015944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 11:31:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303181731.h2IHVUwO015944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.8N2 81.3E2, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 19.7S7 49.7E0, OFF THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR. OVERNIGHT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES ORGANIZED CONVECTION AROUND A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 08:45:34 2003 X-UIDL: 19994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBY00D0STSG9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 06:14:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IMEVtF032655 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 06:14:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IIAD96015000; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:51:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1567434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:51:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ILpZiw010506 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:51:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2ILpLid025233 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:51:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2ILpLxG025232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:51:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:51:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303182151.h2ILpLxG025232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 182151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 18 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1030 MB HIGH IS NEAR 31N133W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 23N125W CONTINUING TO NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N97W 10N108W 5N114W 6N124W 1N134W 2N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 113W-127W AND FROM 2N-7N BETWEEN 82W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 108W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 91W-98W. ISOLATED MODERATE BETWEEN 102W-106W AND 128W-134W WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 08:45:34 2003 X-UIDL: 19996-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBY00DKDTUV9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 06:16:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IMG1tF032883 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 06:16:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IJDUK6019880; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 16:00:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1567622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 16:00:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IM08iw012006 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 16:00:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2ILxtid025507 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:59:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2ILxsw3025506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:59:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 15:59:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303182159.h2ILxsw3025506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 182159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 05N178W 02N177W 02N180. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF POINT 18S169W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15S173W 13S175W. TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07S158W 13S151W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09S147W 13S145W 12S148W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SHEARLINE ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 12:50:30 2003 X-UIDL: 20026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBZ007VL9BKHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:50:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J3nwtF017961 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:50:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IIADdY015000; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 21:35:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1573618 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 21:35:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J3Z7iw034030 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 21:35:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2J3Ypid004392 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 21:34:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2J3Ypal004391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 21:34:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 21:34:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303190334.h2J3Ypal004391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 190334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 19 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 19/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1027 MB HIGH NEAR 31N130W HAS A RIDGE AXIS SE TO 24N121W N OF SOCORRO ISLAND TO NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N93W 10N102W 9N107W 6N110W 6N126W 1N134W 2N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 116W-119W AND 123W-127W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 3N86W 7N87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-108W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 93W-98W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 18:13:46 2003 X-UIDL: 20050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBZ007ODQQAHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 18:06:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JA64tF024714 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 18:06:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J6CZtI015002; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:57:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1577960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:57:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J9vriw025168 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:57:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2J9vbid007512 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:57:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2J9vb4X007511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:57:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:57:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303190957.h2J9vb4X007511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 190957 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 19 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 19/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION. ..A 1029 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 27N140W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHEAST TO 19N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 4N86W 5N100W 2N110W 7N126W 3N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 87W AND WITHIN 150 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS 119W TO 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 125W AND FROM 126W TO 128W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 3.5N125W TO THE AXIS NEAR 6N127.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 89W AND WITHIN 120 OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 1.5N83.5W TO 2N86.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 5.5N110.5W TO 7N113W AND WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 8.5N108W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 18:13:46 2003 X-UIDL: 20051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBZ007RCQRBHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 18:06:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JA6gtF024904 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 18:06:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J8hVne012030; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:59:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1577967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:59:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J9x7iw025182 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:59:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2J9wpid007530 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:58:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2J9wp43007529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:58:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 03:58:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303190958.h2J9wp43007529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 190958 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 30N143W 25N152W AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N HAS MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 30 KNOTS. OCCASIONAL TCU...VERY ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 02N172W 02N180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF THE DATELINE. ISOLATED CB TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 03N176W 02N180 HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOUR. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. FOR DETAILS SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07S159W 11S149W 12S127W 20S120W 19S142W 07S159W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. FRONT/CONVERGENCE ZONE...FRONT THROUGH 25S138W 20S148W 18S160W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 17S164W. FRONT HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT. ISOLATED TCU AND OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT/SHEARLINE WITH NEW ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT BETWEEN 155W AND 159W.. SHEARLINE...THROUGH 19S141W 17S158W 10S172W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF SHEARLINE. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 18S143W 19S146W. TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S170W 22S180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF DATELINE. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM OF TROUGH AXIS. VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 22S171W 20S177W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF POINT 16S161W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 00:27:46 2003 X-UIDL: 20081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC00071X8CZHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 00:27:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JGQHtF018461 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 00:26:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JDtWCU045300; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 10:14:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1584341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 10:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JGERiw018504 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 10:14:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2JGEBid014568 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 10:14:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2JGEBok014567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 10:14:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 10:14:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303191614.h2JGEBok014567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 191614 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 19 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 19/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK COLD FRONT ABOUT TO ENTER AREA ON NORTHWEST CORNER. FRONT NOT MUCH IMPACT ON WIND FIELD...BUT LARGE SWELLS TO ITS NORTH WILL AFFECT AREA N OF 27N W OF 123W. ..1025 MB HIGH PRES NEAR 28N135W HAS BROAD RIDGE AXIS EXTEND SOUTHEAST TO 12N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION ALONG 2N79W 5N100W 2N110W 6N117W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W TO 89W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 96W TO 116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE /ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 116W TO 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLY BARNES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 01:57:55 2003 X-UIDL: 20084-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC0007KWCJOHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 01:57:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JHvGtF039866 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 01:57:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JGAPH2012030; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1587256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JHkPiw017564 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2JHk9id020194 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2JHk9vZ020192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303191746.h2JHk9vZ020192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN /191800Z/201800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 03.5N8 73.3E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 03.5N8 72.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 190103Z4 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS FORMED. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.7S9 48.5E7, OVER THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 01:57:56 2003 X-UIDL: 20085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC0007L8CJVHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 01:57:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JHvMtF039892 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 01:57:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JDtWVM045300; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1587259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JHkQiw024554 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2JHk9id020196 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2JHk9Zg020193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 11:46:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303191746.h2JHk9Zg020193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN /191800Z/201800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 03.5N8 73.3E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 03.5N8 72.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 190103Z4 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS FORMED. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.7S9 48.5E7, OVER THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 09:33:23 2003 X-UIDL: 20106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC0007O7OJPHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 06:16:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JMGVtF005837 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 06:16:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JJsIGq012030; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 16:00:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1593419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:59:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JLxuiw019516 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:59:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2JLxeid029728 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:59:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2JLxea2029727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:59:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:59:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303192159.h2JLxea2029727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 192159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB CROSS THE EQUATOR AND ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 03N179W 01S172W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 10S155W 13S149W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 14S171W. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 21S179W. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 09:33:23 2003 X-UIDL: 20107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC0007STON6HY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 06:18:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JMIbtF006277 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 06:18:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JJMx6g045300; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:52:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1593185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:52:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JLqDiw004436 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:52:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2JLpvid029468 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:51:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2JLpvMn029467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:51:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 15:51:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303192151.h2JLpvMn029467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 192151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 19 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 19/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING COLD FRONT IS ENTERING THE AREA NEAR 32N138W CONTINUING SW TO BEYOND 31N140W. FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAVE STRONG WIND AND SWELLS WILL AFFECT THE NW PORTION OF THE REGION. ..AHEAD OF THE FRONT LIES A 1026 MB HIGH PRES NEAR 28N134W WITH BROAD RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 14N113W. ..THE EASTERN PART OF THE AREA IS BEING AFFECTED BY GENERAL WESTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE N OF 5N E OF 105W... A REFLECTION OF THE VERY LOW PRESSURES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO DUE TO THE LARGE CENTRAL PLAINS STORM. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 4N90W 10N98W 8N110W 2N118W 7N128W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS FROM 116W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 92W-101W AND 127W-137W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 107W-112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N117W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 11:54:36 2003 X-UIDL: 20131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC1004AY3W6AF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:48:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K3m0tF085929 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:48:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K1pCtw037098; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 21:34:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1599957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 21:34:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K3Y8iw045450 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 21:34:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2K3Xqid008272 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 21:33:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2K3XqVk008271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 21:33:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 21:33:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303200333.h2K3XqVk008271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 200333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 20 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK COLD FRONT HAS PULLED UP STATIONARY FROM BEYOND 32N134W SW TO BEYOND 30N140W. NARROW 90 NM WIDE BAND OF LOW/MID CLOUDS ACCOMPANIES THE FRONT. ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 28N136W WITH BROAD RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE ALONG 26N127W 14N106W. ..TYPICAL EASTERLY WINDS OBSERVED W OF CENTRAL AMERICA ARE REVERSED...A REFLECTION OF THE VERY LOW PRESSURES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO DUE TO THE LARGE U.S. STORM. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 4N89W 10N100W 8N105W 6N119W 7N130W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W-132W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-112W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N119W...7N94W AND 5N97W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N117W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 13:34:36 2003 X-UIDL: 20138-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC1004IW8RNAF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 13:33:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K5XJtF016999 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 13:33:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JNkqf2019782; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:20:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1601947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K5Ipiw035888 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2K5IZid012022 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2K5IZOu012020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303200518.h2K5IZOu012020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 20:19:03 2003 X-UIDL: 20152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC10049TL6DAF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 18:01:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KA1ItF093827 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 18:01:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K1pCLg037098; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 03:53:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1605467 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 03:53:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K9rHiw034334 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 03:53:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2K9r1id014366 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 03:53:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2K9r1kB014365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 03:53:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 03:53:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303200953.h2K9r1kB014365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 200953 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 20 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N134W TO BEYOND 29N140W. THIS FEATURE IS DISSECTING THE HIGH PRESSURE BELOW. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 110W WITH 1028 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 28N134W AND A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHEAST TO 13N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 2N89W 9N101W 8N110W 5N120W 7N124W 8N129W 4N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81.5W TO 83W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 20:19:03 2003 X-UIDL: 20153-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC1004HNLPPAF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 18:13:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KACttF097244 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 18:12:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K1pCM8037098; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 04:08:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1605558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 04:08:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KA83iw043294 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 04:08:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2KA7lid014486 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 04:07:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2KA7lWr014485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 04:07:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 04:07:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303201007.h2KA7lWr014485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 201007 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE/EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 09N168E 02N167W 07S177W 08N166E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 13S149W 16S132W MOVED SOUTH AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 18S155W 14S170W MOVED EAST AT 20 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 18S175W 24S175E MOVED EAST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 00:18:17 2003 X-UIDL: 20175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC2004YD2I5AF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 00:15:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KGFZtF083790 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 00:15:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KF2VqA037098; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 10:06:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1610484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 10:06:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KG6Aiw048780 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 10:06:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2KG5sid020814 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 10:05:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2KG5s0j020811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 10:05:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 10:05:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303201605.h2KG5s0j020811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 201605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 20 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE COVERS REGION NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 110W WITH 1029 MB NEAR 31N142W AND AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHEAST TO 17N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION ALONG 4N77W 9N100W 8N110W 6N120W 7N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF 4N95W AND 2N90W. $$ WALLY BARNES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 01:28:18 2003 X-UIDL: 20180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC2004X95MZAF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 01:23:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KHNGtF004289 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 01:23:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KBRnd0004828; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:15:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1612253 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KHBRiw045126 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2KHBBid023429 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2KHBBam023427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303201711.h2KHBBam023427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 03.5N8 72.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 01:28:18 2003 X-UIDL: 20181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC2004Y65NFAF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 01:23:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KHNYtF004365 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 01:23:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KBRncs004828; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1612250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KHBRiw017540 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2KHBBid023430 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2KHBBSA023428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 11:11:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303201711.h2KHBBSA023428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 03.5N8 72.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 09:52:19 2003 X-UIDL: 20201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC2004O2IK4AF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 06:02:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KM2LtF077770 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 06:02:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KKbis8025662; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:49:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1620639 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:49:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KLnhiw028298 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:49:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2KLnQid004700 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:49:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2KLnQnC004699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:49:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:49:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303202149.h2KLnQnC004699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 202149 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 20 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE COVERS REGION N OF ITCZ W OF 105W WITH A 1029 MB CENTER NEAR 31N136W AND ASSOCIATED AXIS SE TO 24N122W THEN 14N106W. ..ANOMALOUS WESTERLY WINDS STILL CONTINUE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION ALONG IS CENTERED ALONG 8N82W 9N100W 8N110W 6N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS W OF 129W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W-104W...109W-113W AND 119W-126W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N116W AND 8N105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE IS WELL S OF THE ITCZ NE OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS FROM EQ-3N BETWEEN 87W-91W. A SMALLER CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-6N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 09:52:20 2003 X-UIDL: 20202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC2004V2IRAAF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 06:06:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KM6ctF078601 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 06:06:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KKbisG025662; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:54:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1620744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:54:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KLsliw044434 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:54:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2KLsVid004846 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:54:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2KLsVnQ004845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:54:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 15:54:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303202154.h2KLsVnQ004845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 202154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE BAND...THROUGH 30N169W 27N180. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. NORTH END MOVING EAST 25 KT. SOUTH END NEARLY STATIONARY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 05N155W 06N150W ARE NEWLY FORMED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 04N145W 05N140W EXTEND EASTWARD AND MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 17S158W 10S163W 07S173W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... TROUGH/CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 17S160W 11S180 NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH WEST OF 169W...BROKEN CUMULUS ELSEWHERE ALONG TROUGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 14:05:23 2003 X-UIDL: 20224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC200174YQHKT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:51:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L3pctF065205 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:51:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L3g3j0042054; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 21:42:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1626296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 21:42:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L3g2iw035114 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 21:42:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2L3fkid010067 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 21:41:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2L3fkjb010066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 21:41:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 21:41:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303210341.h2L3fkjb010066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 210341 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 21 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..LITTLE CHANGE AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE COVERS REGION N OF ITCZ W OF 107W WITH A 1029 MB CENTER NEAR 31N136W AND ASSOCIATED AXIS SE TO 24N121W THEN 17N107W. ..ANOMALOUS WESTERLY WINDS CONTINUE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION ALONG IS CENTERED ALONG 8N82W 8N100W 5N120W 7N136W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 123W-129W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 94W-110W. SMALL CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 6N116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... TWO CLUSTERS OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE PRESENT...WITHIN 60 NM OF 2N92W AND 1N87W. CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 14:05:26 2003 X-UIDL: 20231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC30012O3Q2KT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 13:39:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L5dWtF094940 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 13:39:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L3g3nA042054; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1627287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L5Pliw035202 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2L5PVid011152 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2L5PUNs011149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303210525.h2L5PUNs011149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 17:38:33 2003 X-UIDL: 20252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC3001Y7ENAKT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 17:35:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L9ZRtF066337 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 17:35:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L9BpjG013500; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 03:27:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1629962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 03:27:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L9R9iw015056 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 03:27:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2L9Qqid013150 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 03:26:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2L9QqYp013149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 03:26:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 03:26:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303210926.h2L9QqYp013149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 210927 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 21 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N W OF 105W. A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N136W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 12N105W. A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS W FROM THE HIGH TO BEYOND 30N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION ALONG IS CENTERED ALONG 1N80W 1N89W 7N95W 7N107W 5N121W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-102W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-110W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-122W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-131W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-8N W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA BETWEEN 82W-85W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 45NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA BETWEEN EQ-5N. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF A LINE FROM 12N88W TO 8N92W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 18:20:38 2003 X-UIDL: 20255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC3001R2GDMKT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 18:12:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LACqtF076478 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 18:12:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L9Bpja013500; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 04:07:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1630299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 04:07:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LA78iw023802 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 04:07:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2LA6qid013477 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 04:06:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2LA6q3J013476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 04:06:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 04:06:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303211006.h2LA6q3J013476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 211006 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 07N143W 07N140W AND BEYOND MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 01N170W 04N180 MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 06S159W 15S135W 18S136W 20S148W 10S161W 11S169W 08S169W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 14S169W 16S166W 22S172W 19S179W 16S174W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 00:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 20270-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC3002TNWGS67@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 00:00:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LG0LtF061606 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 00:00:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L9BpxQ013500; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 09:49:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1633415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 09:47:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LFlNiw033322 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 09:47:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2LFl5id018866 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 09:47:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2LFl5Fx018865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 09:47:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 09:47:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303211547.h2LFl5Fx018865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 211546 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 21 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N W OF 105W WITH A 1026 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N134W. WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO W MEXICO NEAR GUADALAJARA. A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 28N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION ALONG IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 7N110W 5N120W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 129W-133W AND FROM 4N-6N W OF 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-110W AND 119W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... EARLIER CONVECTION ALONG COAST OF COSTA RICA/PANAMA HAS DISSIPATED. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 02:02:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC4002B81XI67@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 01:58:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LHwNtF091418 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 01:58:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L9BpAG013500; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1635332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LHdMiw027172 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2LHd3id022951 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2LHd3Sd022949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303211739.h2LHd3Sd022949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 16.6S3 79.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SOUTH OF THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 02:02:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20278-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC4002BA1XI67@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 01:58:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LHwNtF091426 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 01:58:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LHZSjS048140; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:44:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1635335 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LHdMiw046180 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2LHd3id022952 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2LHd3RB022950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 11:39:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303211739.h2LHd3RB022950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 16.6S3 79.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SOUTH OF THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 05:52:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC40014CCLNKT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 05:49:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LLmrtF054908 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 05:48:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LLJZlC019264; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:39:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1607734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:39:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LLdMiw028862 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:39:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2LLd3id000224 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:39:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2LLd3LL000223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:39:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:39:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303212139.h2LLd3LL000223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 212139 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 21 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 110W WITH A 1028 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 30N133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION ALONG IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 3N86W 8N95W 8N104W 3N128W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 125W AND FROM 132W TO 139W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 99W...AND FROM 108W TO 118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA FROM 1N TO 7N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 05:52:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC40014KCM1KT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 05:49:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LLn9tF054967 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 05:49:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LLJZlE019264; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:42:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1607822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:42:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LLgtiw036020 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:42:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2LLgaid000315 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:42:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2LLgaEN000314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:42:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 15:42:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303212142.h2LLgaEN000314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 212142 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 06N140W 03N152W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT STRADDLED THE EQUATOR AND EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA SOUTH OF A LINE THROUGH 06N180 05N170W 03N162W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF 18S175W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...BROAD AREA OF ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S177W 04S160W 15S140W 23S141W 18S154W 18S164W 07S177W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 02S152W 08S151W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 11:57:36 2003 X-UIDL: 20324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC400J86TDVYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 11:51:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M3pOtF033397 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 11:51:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M3O2jU038370; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 21:41:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1611650 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 21:41:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M3f4iw037754 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 21:41:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2M3ejid004915 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 21:40:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2M3ejMw004914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 21:40:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 21:40:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303220340.h2M3ejMw004914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 220340 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 22 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W WITH A 1026 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 28N138W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N85W 8N100W 4N128W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 100W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 114W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 98W...WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 135W...AND WITHIN 75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 3N FROM 136W TO 139W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM PANAMA TO ECUADOR BETWEEN THE EQUATOR AND 9N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 17:09:19 2003 X-UIDL: 20333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC500JPF6OLYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 16:38:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M8cetF096048 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 16:38:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M2UQAG035298; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:28:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1614522 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M8S0iw047000 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2M8Rfid006816 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:27:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2M8RfoR006814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:27:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:27:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303220827.h2M8RfoR006814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 17:48:56 2003 X-UIDL: 20338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC500J7L9XHYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 17:48:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M9mltF009699 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 17:48:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M5mhrA037160; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:35:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1614974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:35:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M9Zjiw038186 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:35:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2M9ZRid007253 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:35:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2M9ZQiW007252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:35:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:35:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303220935.h2M9ZQiW007252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 220935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 22 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N AND W OF 110W. A 1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 28N136W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 14N114W AND A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING W BEYOND 28N140W. QUIKSCAT IMAGERY INDICATES ELY TRADES REACHING 25 KT FROM 8N-20N BETWEEN 125W-140W ON THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N85W 5N118W 3N128W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-117W AND 126W-133W. DISSIPATING SHOWERS FROM 1N-7N BETWEEN 133W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 77W-80W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 17:58:56 2003 X-UIDL: 20339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC500J9XA1GYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 17:51:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M9p3tF010178 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 17:51:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M5mhrC037160; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:46:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1614992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:46:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M9k3iw025608 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:46:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2M9jiid007309 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:45:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2M9jiW0007308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:45:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 03:45:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303220945.h2M9jiW0007308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 220945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 05N143W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 01N168W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR 17S176W HAD NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 18S175W TO 17S173W. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 100 NM OF THE LINE FROM 18S172W TO 17S160W TO 19S150W TO 26S140W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 10S172W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 19S132W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 20S135W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 300 NM OF THE POINT 11S160W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 03S176W. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN 01 MAY 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV (ALL LOWER CASE) OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 00:28:56 2003 X-UIDL: 20349-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC500LBXS364W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 00:21:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MGKttF092118 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 00:20:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb0rW038312; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 10:17:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1617635 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 10:17:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MGH5iw037974 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 10:17:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2MGGlid010267 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 10:16:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2MGGlTc010266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 10:16:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 10:16:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303221616.h2MGGlTc010266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 221616 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 22 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES MUCH OF THE AREA WITH A E/W ORIENTED RIDGE AXIS ALONG 27N/28N. EARLIER QUIKSCAT IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE TO STRONG TRADES FROM 8N-20N BETWEEN 125W-140W ON THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH. ..SFC TROUGH ALONG W COAST OF MEXICO FROM GUADALAJARA NWD OVER THE E SEA OF CORTEX TO BEYOND 30N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 8N100W 5N120W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 94W-99W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 109W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 4N-6N BETWEEN 114W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 125W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 11:23:59 2003 X-UIDL: 20355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC500L99XCJ4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 02:14:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MIEVtF017148 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 02:14:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb0vq038312; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:05:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1619085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:05:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MI59iw019320 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:05:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2MI4oid011330 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:04:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2MI4oUq011328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:04:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:04:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303221804.h2MI4oUq011328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 79.4E0, HAS DISSIPATED IN A HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.8S5 44.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF DAR ES SALAAM, TANZANIA. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 11:24:05 2003 X-UIDL: 20357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC500LAHXDG4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 02:15:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MIF7tF017345 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 02:15:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MC66Im018634; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:07:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1619088 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:05:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MI59iw014728 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:05:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2MI4oid011329 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:04:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2MI4ojC011327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:04:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 12:04:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303221804.h2MI4ojC011327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 79.4E0, HAS DISSIPATED IN A HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.8S5 44.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF DAR ES SALAAM, TANZANIA. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 11:24:13 2003 X-UIDL: 20366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC600LGW7GR4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 05:53:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MLr9tF068533 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 05:53:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb08I038312; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:45:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1621442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:45:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MLjliw033668 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:45:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2MLjSid013152 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:45:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2MLjSEu013151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:45:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:45:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303222145.h2MLjSEu013151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 222145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BETWEEN 02N AND 06N BOUNDED BY 142W AND 155W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...BROAD AREA OF ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S155W 24S143W 20S170W 07S172W 05S155W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NONE. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 11:24:14 2003 X-UIDL: 20367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC600LPS7XI4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 06:03:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MM3CtF070253 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 06:03:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb08Q038312; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:59:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1621545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:59:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MLxeiw026610 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:59:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2MLxLid013268 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:59:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2MLxLET013267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:59:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 15:59:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303222159.h2MLxLET013267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 222159 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 22 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IS ALONG THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA NORTH OF 12N TO THE ABOVE FRONTAL SYSTEM WEST OF 110W WITH A 1028 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 28N139W. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 18N102W ALONG 22N106W 27N108W TO 32N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N84W 8N97W 8N107W 5N115W 5N124W 4N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 108W AND WITHIN 75 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 122W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 111W...FROM 122W TO 124W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 138W...WITHIN 150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 121W...AND WITHIN 45 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 139W TO 141W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 13:39:48 2003 X-UIDL: 20380-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC600LB8NN54W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:42:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2N3gagP055450 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:42:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb0EU038312; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 21:34:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1623757 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 21:34:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2N3YBiw026424 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 21:34:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2N3Xrid015765 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 21:33:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2N3Xrlc015764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 21:33:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 21:33:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303230333.h2N3Xrlc015764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 230333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 23 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IS ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE REGION. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA NORTH OF 15N TO THE ABOVE FRONTAL SYSTEM WEST OF 118W WITH A 1026 MB HIGH LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE REGION. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 16N93W 17N96W THROUGH A 1006 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 20N100W CONTINUING TO A 1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 27N109W TO 31N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 5N90W 9N100W 6N110W 4N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 121W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N98W TO 5N104W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 17:50:33 2003 X-UIDL: 20387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC700LHO4JU4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 17:47:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2N9lngP019110 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 17:47:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MMmRNs018634; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 03:39:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1626104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 03:39:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2N9d5iw014832 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 03:39:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2N9ckid018014 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 03:38:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2N9ckdG018013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 03:38:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 03:38:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303230938.h2N9ckdG018013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 230938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 23 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD/STATIONARY FRONT SKIRTS THE NRN BORDER OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM A 1020 MB LOW NEAR 34N130W TO 31N136W TO W OF 31N140W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N WITH A 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 27N139W. A RIDGE EXTENDS ESE FROM THE HIGH TO NEAR 16N108W. ..SURFACE TROUGH LIES ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM A 1008 MB LOW IN CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR 21N102W TO 26N109W TO 31N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 3N96W 8N104W 4N115W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 98W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 97W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 119W-122W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM EQ-5N BETWEEN 122W-126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-135W AND W OF 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST BETWEEN 1N-6N. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE COAST OF WRN PANAMA. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 18:10:33 2003 X-UIDL: 20388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC700L2K5F84W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 18:06:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NA6agP022274 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 18:06:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb0Q6038312; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 04:00:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1626220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 04:00:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NA0Siw044980 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 04:00:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2NA0Aid018138 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 04:00:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2NA0Awl018137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 04:00:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 04:00:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303231000.h2NA0Awl018137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 230959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 05N168W 05N170W 04N172W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N156W 06N160W 03N163W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N140W 06N142W 04N145W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE ARE BOUNDED BY 30N172W 28N175W 25N180 29N180 30N178W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS BOUNDED BY 19N170W 16N167W 14N172W 16N170W 17N172W HAS MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S169W 13S156W 18S149W 22S147W 24S148W 22S150W 23S160W 20S168W 17S170W 13S170W 07S174W HAVE MOVED EAST AND SOUTH AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES FOR CONVECTION MAINLY NORTH CLOCKWISE THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S156W 07S149W 10S152W 10S155W 07S157W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 00:01:25 2003 X-UIDL: 20394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC7003O0LEDE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 23:51:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NFpjgP091237 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 23:51:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NE8DmY018634; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 09:44:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1628165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 09:44:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NFi7iw009480 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 09:44:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2NFhnid020272 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 09:43:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2NFhmAr020271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 09:43:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 09:43:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303231543.h2NFhmAr020271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 231543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 23 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IS ALONG THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE AREA NEAR 32N128W SW TO 31N135 WHERE IT BECOMES A WARM FRONT TO BEYOND 32N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT FROM 128W-137W. ..1027 MB HIGH IS NEAR 27N142W WITH RIDGE EXTENDING WSW TO 23N124W 22N107W W OF GUADALAJARA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 3N98W 7N109W 2N122W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 100W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 122W-135W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 99W-108W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-100W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS ON THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 4N77W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 121W-126W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 09:35:00 2003 X-UIDL: 20399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC7003I4QGQE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Mar 2003 01:41:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHf9gP014779 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 01:41:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NE8Du8018634; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:36:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1629035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:36:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHaGiw015302 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:36:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2NHZvid021138 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:35:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2NHZvMG021136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:35:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:35:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303231735.h2NHZvMG021136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.8S5 44.4E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1S3 48.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 09:35:00 2003 X-UIDL: 20400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC7003N8QMZE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Mar 2003 01:44:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHitgP015473 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 01:44:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHAgki039820; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:36:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1629032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:36:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHaGiw017482 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:36:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2NHZvid021139 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:35:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2NHZv9K021137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:35:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 11:35:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303231735.h2NHZv9K021137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.8S5 44.4E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1S3 48.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTHWEST OF MADAGASCAR. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 09:35:10 2003 X-UIDL: 20406-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC80032O1I8E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Mar 2003 05:39:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NLddgP064740 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 05:39:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHAgqI039820; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:30:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1630646 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:30:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NLUwiw020462 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:30:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2NLUdid023038 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:30:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2NLUdCL023037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:30:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:30:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303232130.h2NLUdCL023037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 232130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 23 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..STATIONARY FRONT IS ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE REGION THROUGH 33N124W 30N131W TO BEYOND 32N139W. ..A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N104W ALONG 13N107W TO 17N108W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N TO THE ABOVE FRONTAL SYSTEM WEST OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM BEYOND 27N140W SOUTHEAST TO 19N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N58W 3N97W 8N110W 2N125W 5N132W 5N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8.5N106.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 136W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION COVER A BROAD AREA FROM 1N TO 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 132W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 09:35:11 2003 X-UIDL: 20407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC8003JU251E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Mar 2003 05:53:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NLrHgP067117 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 05:53:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHAgqM039820; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:43:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1630699 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:43:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NLh6iw028746 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:43:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2NLglid023152 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:42:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2NLglG9023151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:42:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 15:42:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303232142.h2NLglG9023151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 232142 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BETWEEN 03N AND 07N BOUNDED BY 141W AND 149W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 04N164W 04N173W 01N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S170W 22S149W 21S165W 06S174W 05S170W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF 07S157W...HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF 18S179W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 14:04:14 2003 X-UIDL: 20419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC800E3XIGHJO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O3jmgP050702 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O2pMoi037078; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 21:35:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1633187 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 21:34:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O3Xxiw041400 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 21:33:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2O3Xcid026163 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 21:33:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2O3XZGX026162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 21:33:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 21:33:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303240333.h2O3XZGX026162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 240333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 24 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..STATIONARY FRONT IS ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N123W 30N131W TO BEYOND 32N138W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N TO THE ABOVE FRONTAL SYSTEM WEST OF 117W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM BEYOND 26N140W SOUTHEAST TO 19N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 4N88W 3N98W 9N106W 8N122W 5N132W 5N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 101W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 6N TO 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 94W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 17:54:05 2003 X-UIDL: 20440-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC800EF1ZAIJO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Mar 2003 17:49:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O9nQgP066785 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 17:49:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHAg6o039820; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:41:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1635334 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:41:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O9exiw017634 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:40:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2O9edid028579 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:40:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2O9edvq028578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:40:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:40:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303240940.h2O9edvq028578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 240940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 24 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 3N106W TO 12N100W. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS IS ENHANCING CONVECTION JUST TO THE N OF THE ITCZ WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 101W-107W. ..DYING COLD FRONT IS ALONG THE NRN EDGE OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM NE OF 32N122W TO 29N128W TO 29N132W...CONTINUING NW AS A STATIONARY FRONT. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM W OF 27N140W TO 18N116W WITH HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N AND W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N79W 5N84W 3N95W 9N118W 5N128W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-94W...98W-103W... AND 106W-112W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-124W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 1N-9N BETWEEN 125W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS MOVING S OFF THE GUATEMALA/EL SALVADOR COAST N OF 11N BETWEEN 87W-92W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 18:01:46 2003 X-UIDL: 20441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC800ESTZPDJO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Mar 2003 17:58:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O9wMgP069104 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 17:58:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHAg6q039820; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:55:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1635351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:55:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O9t9iw022678 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:55:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2O9smid028647 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:54:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2O9smG9028646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:54:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 03:54:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303240954.h2O9smG9028646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 240954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 05N141W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 05N149W 04N152W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 05N166W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 04N172W 02N179E AND MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW WITH ASSOCIATED FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 18S176W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCASSIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15S169W 16S161W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 11S162W 22S149W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SECOND CB AREA RELATED TO THE SURFACE LOW WITH ASSOCIATED FRONT/TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S158W 14S155W 14S160W 09S161W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT AND WEAKENED WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL TO LOCALLY FREQUENT CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE AND THE EQUATOR...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 03N177E 03S179W 01S172E 03N170E AND MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 09:58:02 2003 X-UIDL: 20462-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC900GH4GV49T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 00:09:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OG8tgP061848 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 00:08:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHAgHc039820; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 09:57:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1637854 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 09:57:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OFvGiw037278 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 09:57:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2OFutid004689 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 09:56:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2OFutst004688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 09:56:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 09:56:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303241556.h2OFutst004688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 241548 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 24 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..ILL DEFINED TROUGH IS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ AXIS ALONG 3N108W 11N104W AND IS STRETCHING THE AXIS N OF 10N. ..A FRONTAL TROUGH IS BARELY EVIDENT ALONG 30N119W 27N128W. ..1027 MB HIGH PRES IS STATIONARY NEAR 29N142W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING TO 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 4N87W 3N97W 10N106W 7N110W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-102W AND BETWEEN 107W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION OBSERVED WITHIN 180 NM OF 9N104W ASSOCIATED WITH A NE TO SW ORIENTATED TROUGH EMBEDDED ALONG THE ITCZ AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS NOTED FROM THE GUATEMALA/EL SALVADOR COAST WESTWARD TO 12N01W. $$ NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 09:58:04 2003 X-UIDL: 20467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC900EPELONJO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 01:53:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OHr4gP092413 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 01:53:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGmDni037078; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1638825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OHjtiw014866 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2OHjYid008876 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2OHjYO7008874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303241745.h2OHjYO7008874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.1S3 48.2E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 48.5E7, JUST WEST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE OVER THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 09:58:04 2003 X-UIDL: 20468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC900EQ0LRGJO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 01:54:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OHskgP092717 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 01:54:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGgxmE017430; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1638822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OHjtiw040842 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2OHjYid008875 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2OHjYte008873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 11:45:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303241745.h2OHjYte008873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.1S3 48.2E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 48.5E7, JUST WEST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE OVER THE DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 09:58:08 2003 X-UIDL: 20485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC900GRNXIU9T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 06:08:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OM8mgP061338 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 06:08:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGgx6I017430; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:53:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1642879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:53:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OLrJiw041154 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:53:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2OLqwid016906 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:52:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2OLqwh2016904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:52:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:52:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303242152.h2OLqwh2016904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 242153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 24 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..ILL DEFINED TROUGH IS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ AXIS ALONG 3N108W 11N104W. ..1026 MB HIGH PRES IS NEAR 31N138W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 17N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N84W 3N90W 8N105W 7N110W 9N120W 5N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 09:58:08 2003 X-UIDL: 20486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC900GUGXN49T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 06:11:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OMBOgP061946 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 06:11:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OHqGQ6037082; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:55:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1642901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OLtYiw022336 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2OLtDid016992 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:55:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2OLtDfN016991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:55:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 15:55:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303242155.h2OLtDfN016991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 242155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 30N172E MOVING EAST 35 KT. ASSOCIATED FRONT THROUGH 30N175E 26N165E AND LOW MOVING EAST 35 KT. ISOLATED CB/BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK FRONT...THROUGH 30N163W 28N175W 28N180 MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN LAYERS ALONG FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04N162W 04N167W 02N174W 03N180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY. AREA EXPANDED EAST AND WEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB/BROKEN LAYERS WITHIN 100-120 NM OF LINE 13S168W 26S150W NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB JUST EAST OF AMERICAN SAMOA ALONG A CONVERGENCE ZONE. SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN WITHIN 65 NM OF POINT 08S168W ARE NEWLY FORMED. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 13:11:35 2003 X-UIDL: 20505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCA00GTBCLE9T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:34:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P3YLgP046900 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:34:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P0sjui037082; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 21:28:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1646409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 21:26:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P3Q4iw035412 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 21:26:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2P3Phid022070 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 21:25:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2P3Phg3022069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 21:25:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 21:25:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303250325.h2P3Phg3022069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 250325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 25 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH IS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ ALONG 13N104W 4N105W. ..1024 MB HIGH IS NEAR 29N142W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 16N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N85W 3N95W 8N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE FROM 107W TO 109W AND FROM 131W TO 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 14:56:33 2003 X-UIDL: 20520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCA00GH4JML9T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 14:06:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P66IgP095026 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 14:06:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P0sjDu037082; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:49:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1648113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:49:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P5n8iw011696 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:49:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2P5mkid023363 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:48:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2P5mkim023361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:48:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:48:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303250548.h2P5mkim023361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 17:40:42 2003 X-UIDL: 20533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCA008XRTEXXN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 17:37:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P9begP061117 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 17:37:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGgxX0017430; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:26:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1649645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P9Qjiw028780 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2P9QOid024850 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:26:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2P9QNMI024849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:26:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:26:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303250926.h2P9QNMI024849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 250926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 25 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 108W FROM 3N TO 15N. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W WITH A 1028 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 32N133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N84W 2N93W 4N101W 8N110W 9N120W 5N134W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 136W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 86W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N81W TO 7.5N84W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N104W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM THE BORDER OF PANAMA TO 9.5N AND AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N FROM 91W TO THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AT THE GULF OF FONSECA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 17:50:42 2003 X-UIDL: 20536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCA008XBTU1XN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 17:46:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P9kjgP063622 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 17:46:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGgxXA017430; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:39:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1649697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:39:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P9d0iw031054 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:39:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2P9cdid024949 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:38:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2P9cdtB024948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:38:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 03:38:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303250938.h2P9cdtB024948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 250938 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N180 29N163W 26N180 30N180...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 30 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 07N180 07N175W 02N175W 03N180 07N180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 03S171W 05S160W 25S152W 25S157W 17S167W 03S171W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN WITHIN 90 NM OF 18S175W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 23:50:47 2003 X-UIDL: 20558-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCB008T7AFSXN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 23:45:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PFjMgP067149 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 23:45:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGgxgY017430; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 09:31:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1652250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 09:31:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PFVAiw006468 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 09:31:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2PFUnid000353 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 09:30:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2PFUmEq000351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 09:30:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 09:30:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303251530.h2PFUmEq000351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 251530 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 25 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 108W FROM 3N TO 15N. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W WITH A 1030 MB HIGH CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32N132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N84W 2N95W 10N113W 5N130W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 104W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION OBSERVED WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE UNDER A DENSE UPPER CLOUD SHIELD FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 104W AND 120W. $$ NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 02:00:48 2003 X-UIDL: 20563-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCB0084YGKUXN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 01:58:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PHw2gP006278 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 01:58:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PE5tGY037082; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:45:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1654549 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:43:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PHhtiw006516 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:43:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2PHhRid006069 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:43:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2PHhRl3006067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:43:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:43:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303251743.h2PHhRl3006067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 48.5E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 02:00:49 2003 X-UIDL: 20565-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCB008C3GOZXN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 02:00:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PI0XgP007032 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 02:00:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PE5tGU037082; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:44:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1654542 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:43:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PHhniw042154 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:43:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2PHhRid006070 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:43:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2PHhRjd006068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:43:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 11:43:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303251743.h2PHhRjd006068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 48.5E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 06:20:48 2003 X-UIDL: 20583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCB0085KSBXXN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 06:11:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PMBqgP073644 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 06:11:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PGt8CC048444; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:50:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1659367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:50:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PLobiw041754 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:50:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2PLoFid015859 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:50:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2PLoFMB015858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:50:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:50:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303252150.h2PLoFMB015858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 252150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 26N170W 33N167W MOVED EAST AT 30 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04N150W 06N140W AND BEYOND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04N160W 02N167W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE/EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 07N164E 07N170W 03S166E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 04S174W 06S160W 14S163W 20S154W 25S154W 25S157W 18S165W 13S165W 04S175W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S143W 14S145W 16S152W 12S152W MOVED WEST AT 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 06:20:48 2003 X-UIDL: 20584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCB0087ZSE8XN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 06:13:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PMDGgP073928 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 06:13:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PGt8Du048444; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:59:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1659716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:59:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PLx5iw024146 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:59:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2PLwiid016180 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:58:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2PLwisQ016179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:58:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 15:58:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303252158.h2PLwisQ016179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 252158 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 25 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W WITH A 1031 MB HIGH CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N83W 2N95W 7N104W 9N120W 6N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 11:40:34 2003 X-UIDL: 20610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCC0086F7J5XN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:40:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q3eDgP059345 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:40:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PGt8Vw048444; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 21:28:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1663774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 21:28:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q3Swiw014104 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 21:28:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2Q3Sbid022356 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 21:28:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2Q3Sbpv022355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 21:28:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 21:28:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303260328.h2Q3Sbpv022355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 260328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 26 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W WITH A 1030 MB HIGH CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N83W 2N95W 7N104W 9N120W 6N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 14:39:24 2003 X-UIDL: 20627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCC008KNEUYXN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 14:18:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q6IWgP004199 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 14:18:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PGt8cM048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1665518 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q67jiw038416 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2Q67Oid023956 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2Q67Oc4023954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303260607.h2Q67Oc4023954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 18:00:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20649-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCC00IVEOPFVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 17:51:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q9p7gP067377 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 17:51:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PGt8gM048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:45:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1666872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q9jdiw037902 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2Q9jHid025927 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:45:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2Q9jHaA025926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:45:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:45:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303260945.h2Q9jHaA025926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 260945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 125 NM OF THE LINE FROM 25N171W TO 29N165W TO 36N163W AND FURTHER NORTHWEST MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 30 KT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 06N141W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 04N151W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 03N178W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LINE FROM 16S166W TO 28S151W TO 33S141W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 5 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 320 NM OF THE POINT 08S168W. NEW ISOLATED CB MOSTLY OVER LAND WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 14S172W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 20S179E TO 14S176W. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S150W TO 20S147W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 18:00:43 2003 X-UIDL: 20651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCC00INOOY7VS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 17:56:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q9uNgP069418 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 17:56:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PGt8gU048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:51:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1666911 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:51:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q9pYiw014840 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:51:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2Q9pDid025979 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:51:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2Q9pDiR025978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:51:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 03:51:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303260951.h2Q9pDiR025978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 260951 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 26 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W WITH A 1030 MB HIGH CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0815 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N86W 2N93W 3N97W 9N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 92W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS 120W TO 122W AND WITHIN 75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:26:42 2003 X-UIDL: 20684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCD00IM5AP8VS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 01:46:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QHkH2J099001 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 01:46:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QGSht4048772; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:32:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1672631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:32:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QHWLiw016958 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:32:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2QHVvid006949 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:31:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2QHVvYG006947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:31:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:31:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303261731.h2QHVvYG006947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:26:42 2003 X-UIDL: 20686-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCD00I9AB3WVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 01:55:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QHt72J001535 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 01:55:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QGSht6048772; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:33:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1672634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:32:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QHWMiw007900 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:32:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2QHVvid006950 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:31:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2QHVvxN006948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:31:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:31:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303261731.h2QHVvxN006948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:26:42 2003 X-UIDL: 20687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCD00ICJB6TVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 01:56:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QHup2J001982 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 01:56:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QGShua048772; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:37:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1672746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:37:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QHbNiw042500 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:37:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2QHb0id007098 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:37:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2QHaxBx007097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:36:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 11:36:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303261736.h2QHaxBx007097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 261737 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 26 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W WITH A 1030 MB HIGH CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32N137W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N84W 1N97 6N106W 4N112W 9N122W 2N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OBSERVED WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W AND 121W AND WEST OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR. $$ NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:26:57 2003 X-UIDL: 20696-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCD00IM2MPTVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 06:05:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QM5o2J072789 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 06:05:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QC8Naa048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 15:50:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1676787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 15:50:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QLomiw007822 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 15:50:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2QLoPid015890 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 15:50:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2QLoPF0015889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 15:50:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 15:50:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303262150.h2QLoPF0015889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 262150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...AREA OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 23N164W 25N160W 30N158W MOVED EAST AT 25 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04N174E 03N175W 03N157W 06N140W AND BEYOND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE FRONT DESCRIPTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT DESCRIPTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S170W 24S155W 24S161W 13S175W 12S170W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S147W 11S152W 15S152W 20S148W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:26:58 2003 X-UIDL: 20697-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCD00I41N9UVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 06:17:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QMHp2J075236 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 06:17:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QC8NbK048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 16:03:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1676947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 16:03:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QM3Ziw024494 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 16:03:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2QM3Cid016297 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 16:03:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2QM3CmA016296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 16:03:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 16:03:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303262203.h2QM3CmA016296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 262203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 26 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 26/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1031 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N134W TO 17N122W TO 4N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2145 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 6N88W 5N106W 9N128W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 10N82W 6N88W 2N95W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 50-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 130W...AND WEST OF 133W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:27:05 2003 X-UIDL: 20717-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCE00I7V39EVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 12:03:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R4372J070613 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 12:03:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R0O8p6048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 21:54:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1680310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 21:51:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R3pSiw024414 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 21:51:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2R3p4id022169 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 21:51:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2R3p40G022168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 21:51:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 21:51:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303270351.h2R3p40G022168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 270350 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 27 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 27/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE THROUGH 32N130W TO 24N122W TO 17N114W TO 9N105W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 103W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 7N87W 5N106W 5N117W 9N126W 8N131W 6N136W 6N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:27:07 2003 X-UIDL: 20726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCE00IUD8FQVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 13:55:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R5t12J005031 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 13:55:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QNTcO8048772; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:46:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1681700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:46:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R5k0iw043478 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:46:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2R5jaid023364 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2R5jaWE023362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303270545.h2R5jaWE023362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:27:07 2003 X-UIDL: 20727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCE00I3H8JEVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 13:57:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R5vD2J005770 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 13:57:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R0O8t4048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1681691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R5juiw043470 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2R5jWid023354 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2R5jVXB023352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303270545.h2R5jVXB023352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 17:51:04 2003 X-UIDL: 20748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCE00HK5J60U0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 17:46:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R9kf2J083167 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 17:46:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R0O8xw048444; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:38:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1683280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:38:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R9c1iw019450 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:38:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2R9bbid025624 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:37:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2R9bbbL025623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:37:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:37:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303270937.h2R9bbbL025623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 270937 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 27 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N AND W OF 110W. RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 27N128W TO 14N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 2N79W 7N83W 6N93W 2N100W 6N104W 3N113W 9N127W 6N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-92W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-106W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-116W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA COAST BETWEEN 81W-86W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 17:51:04 2003 X-UIDL: 20749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCE00HSMJCUU0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 17:50:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R9oo2J084433 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 17:50:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R0O800048444; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:45:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1683300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:45:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R9jfiw019230 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:45:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2R9jIid025694 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:45:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2R9jIpu025693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:45:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 03:45:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303270945.h2R9jIpu025693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 270945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 21N177E TO 20N168W TO 24N158W TO 30N153W TO 36N153W AND FURTHER NORTHWEST MOVED EAST AT 25 KT. THE CB WERE LIMITED MOSTLY TO THE PART OF THE BAND NORTHEAST OF 22N161W. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 01N162W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 03N166W. NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 03N176W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 13S176W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 17S142W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 21S165W TO 23S160W. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 09:46:04 2003 X-UIDL: 20790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCF00HBJ15YU0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 00:15:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RGFU2J090392 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 00:15:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R0O8Ha048444; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 10:00:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1687411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 10:00:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RG0oiw024156 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 10:00:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2RG0Qid002995 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 10:00:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2RG0QBG002994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 10:00:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 10:00:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303271600.h2RG0QBG002994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 271600 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 27 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N AND W OF 110W. RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 30N130W TO 12N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 9N84W 3N97W 6N105W 3N113W 9N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS AT 6N104W AND 8N123W AND 9N128W AND 7N136W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE NOTED WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COSTA RICA AND PANAMA COASTS BETWEEN 81W AND 86W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 12.5N94.5W. $$ NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 09:46:05 2003 X-UIDL: 20797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCF00HYK4VWLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 01:35:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RHZp2J013425 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 01:35:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R0O8P4048444; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:25:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1689258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:25:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RHPCiw037942 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:25:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2RHOmid006469 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:24:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2RHOm1S006467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:24:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:24:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303271724.h2RHOm1S006467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 09:46:05 2003 X-UIDL: 20798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCF00H12525U0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 01:39:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RHdd2J014400 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 01:39:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RHQVj8048772; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:26:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1689261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:25:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RHPGiw028270 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:25:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2RHOmid006468 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:24:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2RHOmwb006466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:24:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 11:24:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303271724.h2RHOmwb006466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 09:46:19 2003 X-UIDL: 20826-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCF00HUMI96LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 06:24:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RMOe2J094517 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 06:24:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RHQVga048772; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:00:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1694631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:00:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RM0Aiw043480 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:00:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2RLxkid017239 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 15:59:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2RLxkhF017237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 15:59:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 15:59:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303272159.h2RLxkhF017237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 272159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ..ARE BOUNDED BY 30N153W 30N146W 25N150W 19N160W 24N160W 26N155W. FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 03N177W 03N176E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06N160W 05N165W 01N165W 02N176W 05N176W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N140W 06N149W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS ARE BOUNDED BY 20N164W 16N170W 17N176W 20N173W ..HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S168W 11S166W 16S169W 11S171W 16S173W 14S178W 12S178W 11S175W 08S174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 20S168W 21S160W 22S157W 25S158W 25S162W 21S170W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 15S179E 23S175W 25S180 20S175E 15S177E HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT... DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 15S162W 16S156W 20S155W 22S150W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 8 KT ..DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 09:46:19 2003 X-UIDL: 20827-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCF00HY7IFYLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 06:28:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RMSj2J095338 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 06:28:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RLbpoO048444; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:01:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1694649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:01:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RM1Ziw031508 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:01:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2RM1Cid017351 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:01:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2RM1Cgi017350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:01:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:01:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303272201.h2RM1Cgi017350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 272201 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 27 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 27/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 7N89W 8N108W 9N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 133W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 117W...AND WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 14:21:37 2003 X-UIDL: 20855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCF00HBGW8NU0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:26:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S3Qg2J076230 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:26:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RLbpJA048444; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 21:18:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1699836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 21:18:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S3IQiw017146 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 21:18:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2S3I3id022606 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 21:18:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2S3I3Q6022605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 21:18:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 21:18:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303280318.h2S3I3Q6022605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 280317 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 28 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 28/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW AND HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0215 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 8N96W 9N108W 8N127W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 129W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 300 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 14:21:39 2003 X-UIDL: 20867-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCG00H1Y3BOU0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 13:59:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S5xj2J027912 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 13:59:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S56uno048772; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1701430 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S5niiw033518 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2S5nHid024409 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2S5nGBV024407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303280549.h2S5nGBV024407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 17:48:45 2003 X-UIDL: 20883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCG007S5DNKMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 17:42:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S9gq2J005494 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 17:42:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RLbpWE048444; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:35:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1703008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:35:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S9Z6iw042598 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:35:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2S9Yhid026364 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:34:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2S9Yh8G026363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:34:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:34:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303280934.h2S9Yh8G026363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 280934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 28 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM NE OF 30N134W SWD TO 15N135W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS LOCATED W OF 115W. ..SURFACE TROUGH LIES ALONG BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 31N115W TO 21N108W. QUIKSCAT IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AROUND THE PENINSULA WITH NLY FLOW ON THE PACIFIC SIDE AND SLY FLOW ON THE GULF SIDE. ..TROUGH EXTENDS N FROM THE ITCZ FROM 3N106W TO 15N105W. THERE IS LIMITED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH BUT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION JUST E OF THE AXIS FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 101W-104W. ..WEAK 1013 MB HIGH ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 15N-20N IS CENTERED NEAR 17N102W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N86W 5N101W 7N108W 4N115W 7N130W 7N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 84W-87W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 96W-102W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-121W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 129W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELL OF MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITHIN 30NM OF 12N86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 98W-101W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 18:08:44 2003 X-UIDL: 20885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCG007WVEGNMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 18:00:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SA0L2J011400 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 18:00:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RLbpWK048444; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:55:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1703076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:55:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S9tFiw025686 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:55:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2S9spid026504 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:54:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2S9sp7x026503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:54:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 03:54:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303280954.h2S9sp7x026503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 280954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 04N180 06N150W 08N140W AND BEYOND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 23N155W 29N147W 33N145W MOVED EAST AT 15 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...AREAS ISOLATED CB ON EITHER SIDE OF THE DATELINE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINES 24S177W 41S178W AND 23S175W 32S178E 41S171E MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...AREAS ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 15S159W 24S145W 26S158W AND 18S170W 23S165W 25S168W 23S172W MOVED SOUTH AT 05 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND ITENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 06S166W 17S174W 12S178E MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 01:22:11 2003 X-UIDL: 20909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCG007I7WITMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 00:30:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SGUR2J027843 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 00:30:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SG4prA033038; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 10:17:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1708582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 09:41:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SFf3iw038020 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 09:41:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2SFeeid002608 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 09:40:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2SFeevZ002607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 09:40:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 09:40:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303281540.h2SFeevZ002607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 281540 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 28 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRES DOMINATES AREA N OF 15N W OF 115W. ..A TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM 3N107W TO 12N106W EFFECTIVELY STRETCHING ITCZ RELATED CONVECTION N TO NEAR 15N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N97W 14N105W 5N110W 5N120W 8N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG OBSERVED WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 110W AND WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 133W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W AND 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELL OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITHIN 30 NM OF 11.5N87W. $$ NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 08:47:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20911-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH00744086MK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 01:50:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHoR2J051391 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 01:50:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHERm8033494; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1712280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHeZiw030392 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2SHeAid007356 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2SHeA3H007354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303281740.h2SHeA3H007354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 08:47:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH007KO0K6MK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 01:57:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHve2J053400 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 01:57:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHDJog005624; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1712283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHeaiw030394 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2SHeBid007357 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2SHeAVB007355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 11:40:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303281740.h2SHeAVB007355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 08:47:49 2003 X-UIDL: 20922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH007XGCFUMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 06:14:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SMEB2J026557 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 06:14:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SJgH4Y003596; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:01:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1715945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:01:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SM13iw038704 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:01:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2SM0did016174 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:00:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2SM0d0U016173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:00:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:00:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303282200.h2SM0d0U016173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 282200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N166W 04N173W 04N180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N163W 08N153W 06N145W 01N153W 06N163W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT (1)...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N146W 30N140W 20N154W 18N161W 25N152W. FEATURE NORTH OF 25N MOVING EAST AT 10 KT...NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTH OF 25N. FRONT (2)...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N172W 30N169W 24N175W 22N180 23N180 27N173W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 15 TO 20 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT (1). FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT (2). JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 03S178E 06S171W 11S168W 16S169W 18S175W 10S180 09S178E 07S179E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 20S172W 22S167W 25S170W 25S174W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FIRST SENTENCE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14S168W 14S162W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 16S159W 17S157W. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14S151W 17S149W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE BOUNDED BY 14S138W 16S135W 18S136W 17S139W 14S139W. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 08:47:49 2003 X-UIDL: 20923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH007GZCSLMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 06:21:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SMLt2J028643 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 06:21:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SJgH6K003596; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:12:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1716109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:12:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SMCMiw039814 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:12:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2SMBwid016391 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:11:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2SMBwVp016390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:11:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:11:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303282211.h2SMBwVp016390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 282212 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 28 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRES DOMINATES AREA N OF 15N W OF 115W. ..A TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM 3N110W TO 12N107W EXTENDING ITCZ RELATED CONVECTION N TO NEAR 15N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N100W 7N107W 6N120W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 300 NM WIDE BETWEEN 107W AND 111W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 12.5N107W 10.5N104W LINE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 11:30:06 2003 X-UIDL: 20943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH0076MQAPMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:13:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T3DZ2J092853 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:13:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SJgHTq003596; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1718773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T32Xiw020406 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2T323id019996 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2T323JA019994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303290302.h2T323JA019994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 290230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/290230Z/291800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 6.0S6 131.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTH OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA IN THE BANDA SEA. EARLY VISIBLE AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DEVELOPED AND IS SURROUNDED BY SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 11:30:06 2003 X-UIDL: 20944-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH0076LQAPMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:13:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T3DY2J092844 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:13:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHERJK033494; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1718770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T32Riw040170 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2T323id019995 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2T323WH019993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:02:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303290302.h2T323WH019993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 290230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/290230Z/291800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 6.0S6 131.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTH OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA IN THE BANDA SEA. EARLY VISIBLE AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DEVELOPED AND IS SURROUNDED BY SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 12:08:46 2003 X-UIDL: 20946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH007PGS6SMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:54:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T3sR2J003016 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:54:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHERKY033494; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:44:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1719116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:44:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T3imiw038038 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:44:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2T3iMid020343 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:44:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2T3iMid020342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:44:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 21:44:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303290344.h2T3iMid020342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 290344 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 29 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRES DOMINATES AREA N OF 15N W OF 115W. ..A TROUGH IS ANALYZED FROM 3N110W TO 12N106W EXTENDING ITCZ RELATED CONVECTION N TO NEAR 15N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 5N100W 8N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 104W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 14:25:02 2003 X-UIDL: 20949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH007Y8X99MK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 13:43:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T5hu2J028098 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 13:43:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHERNY033494; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:29:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1720397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:29:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T5TGiw018510 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:29:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2T5Soid021057 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:28:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2T5SokQ021055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:28:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:28:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303290528.h2T5SokQ021055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 19:31:28 2003 X-UIDL: 20959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCI0007K8MMBC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 17:49:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T9nV2J081419 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 17:49:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHERUM033494; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 03:41:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1721863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 03:41:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T9fNiw030106 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 03:41:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2T9evid022687 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 03:40:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2T9evcS022686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 03:40:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 03:40:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303290940.h2T9evcS022686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 290941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 29 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 15N BETWEEN 122W-140W. RIDGE AXIS STRETCHES FROM 30N133W TO BEYOND 26N140W AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD/STATIONARY FRONT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 4N109W TO 15N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 104W-106W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 106W-109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 5N88W 3N94W 6N110W 7N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-108W. DISSIPATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 112W-114W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST BETWEEN 4N-7N. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF THE PANAMA COAST BETWEEN 82W-83W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 19:31:28 2003 X-UIDL: 20961-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCI000MW9WQBC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 18:17:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TAHC2J088412 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 18:17:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHERUQ033494; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 04:12:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1721981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 04:12:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TAC2iw020228 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 04:12:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2TABaid022905 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 04:11:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2TABaif022904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 04:11:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 04:11:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303291011.h2TABaif022904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 291011 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N147W 03N180 WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW AREA ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 25N172W 30N164. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 02S177E 11S162W 25S165W 28S168W 29S174W 13S175W 05S175E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13S153W 16S136W 30S135W 20S154W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 00:22:45 2003 X-UIDL: 20976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCI000J3PA9BC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:49:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TFnC2J061288 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:49:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHEReM033494; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 09:41:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1724364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 09:41:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TFf3iw023570 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 09:41:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2TFebid024907 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 09:40:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2TFebwi024906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 09:40:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 09:40:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303291540.h2TFebwi024906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 291540 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 29 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF ITCZ W OF 110W-140W. RIDGE AXIS STRETCHES FROM 32N136W TO BEYOND 26N141W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 4N109W TO 15N108W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS ALONG THE TROUGH NEAR 7N BUT DIFFICULT TO DISTINGUISH FROM ITCZ CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 5N89W 3N99W 8N110W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 127W-129W AND 136W-139W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-96W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 101W-111W. SMALL ISOLATED MODERATE CELLS ARE NEAR 8N122W AND 3N79W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N105W...9.5N87.5W AND 6N78W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 10:39:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCI000GOUVNBC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 01:50:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2THo32J087630 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 01:50:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T9XVPw003598; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1725648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2THhSiw026536 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2THh2id025889 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2THh2m4025887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303291743.h2THh2m4025887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0S6 131.8E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 130.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTH OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA IN THE BANDA SEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SLOWLY MOVING WEST. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 10:39:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCI000JUUYSBC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 01:52:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2THq42J088212 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 01:52:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T9XVQ2003598; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:44:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1725651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2THhSiw034306 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2THh2id025890 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2THh2f4025888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:43:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303291743.h2THh2f4025888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0S6 131.8E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 130.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTH OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA IN THE BANDA SEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SLOWLY MOVING WEST. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 10:39:58 2003 X-UIDL: 20992-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCJ000DN6QTBC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 06:06:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TM6Q2J048314 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 06:06:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2TLvQeQ004414; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 15:57:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1727876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 15:55:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TLt7iw038728 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 15:55:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2TLsfid027981 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 15:54:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2TLsfha027980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 15:54:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 15:54:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303292154.h2TLsfha027980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 292154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 05N147W 05N151W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 05N173W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB... WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 03N176W 03N169E AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE FRONT...NEW EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 23N166W 27N164W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10S174W 12S167W 16S169W 16S174W MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AT 05 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 25S166W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SECOND SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 19S140W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 10:39:58 2003 X-UIDL: 20993-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCJ000QV76KBC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 06:15:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TMFsFO001728 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 06:15:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2TM00f8038742; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 16:06:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1727926 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 16:04:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2TM4eeQ011600 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 16:04:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2TM4Eid028076 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 16:04:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2TM4E2U028075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 16:04:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 16:04:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303292204.h2TM4E2U028075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 292204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 29 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 29/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH 5N110W 12N110W 17N109W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4N TO 11N BETWEEN 106W AND 112W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2145 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 5N86W 4N95W 5N104W 7N113W 7N127W 7N132W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DISSIPATING WITH TIME...WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 106W...AND WEST OF 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 11:35:13 2003 X-UIDL: 21007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCJ0000OL9QBC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:20:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2U3K9FO058954 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:20:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2TLvQng004414; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 21:15:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1730138 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 21:15:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U3F7eQ005754 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 21:15:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2U3Efid000415 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 21:14:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2U3EfAx000414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 21:14:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 21:14:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303300314.h2U3EfAx000414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 300314 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 30 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 30/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH 6N110W 12N110W 18N109W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 14N TO BETWEEN 103W AND 111W. ITCZ SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0215 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 5N92W 8N99W 6N110W 7N117W 7N125W 6N134W 7N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS... SOME LOCALLY STRONG...FROM 1N TO 2N BETWEEN 78W AND 79W IN SW COASTAL COLOMBIA...FROM 3N TO 5N BETWEEN 80W AND 84W... FROM 5N TO 11N BETWEEN 95W AND 101W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DISSIPATING WITH TIME...WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 106W...AND BETWEEN 123W AND 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL AMERICA...FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 87W AND 92W...FROM HONDURAS TO BELIZE AND SE MEXICO. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 23:24:19 2003 X-UIDL: 21010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCJ000EWRY0BC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 13:44:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2U5iLFO085417 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 13:44:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2TLvQsK004414; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:32:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1731023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:31:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U5VgeQ037456 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:31:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2U5VGid001245 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:31:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2U5VGcI001243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:31:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:31:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303300531.h2U5VGcI001243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 23:24:24 2003 X-UIDL: 21019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCK00EO23YXH1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 18:04:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2UA41FO042530 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 18:04:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2TM00Q2038742; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:54:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1732571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:53:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U9rPeQ037438 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:53:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2U9qxid002792 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:52:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2U9qxua002791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:52:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:52:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303300952.h2U9qxua002791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 300953 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...AXIS THROUGH 30N144W 25N152W. ISOLATED TCU AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF AXIS. TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 22N155W 20N159W MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. OCCASIONAL TCU AND VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100NM NW OF TROUGH AXIS. FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT FROM 30N163W THROUGH 25N163W THROUGH 19N170W EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 15N180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10KT. SHEARLINE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5KT. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM NW OF SHEARLINE. LOW...NEAR 29N169W MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 06N140W 06N150W 04N155W 03N177W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 07N150W 04N152W HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100NM OF ITCZ AXIS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...AXIS THROUGH 23S120W 22S131W WITH BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 90NM SOUTH OF SHEARLINE AXIS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF POINT 22S131W. FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S144W 19S146W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 90NM OF POINT 17S149W. SECOND SURFACE TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 25S167W 20S167W 15S171W 12S177W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S175W 12S167W 15S155W 25S165W 17S167W 11S175W. THE CB EAST OF 169W ARE NEW. THE CB WEST OF 169W HAVE WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 23:24:24 2003 X-UIDL: 21020-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCK00EOB3ZOH1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 18:04:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2UA4aFO042653 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 18:04:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U69xk4004416; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:54:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1732587 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:54:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U9steQ010782 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:54:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2U9sTid002805 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:54:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2U9sTCt002804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:54:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 03:54:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303300954.h2U9sTCt002804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 300954 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 30 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS S OVER THE ENTIRE REGION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N83W 7N90W 6N106W 8N116W 6N130W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10N97W 12N109W AND 9N116W. $$ RRG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 02:12:56 2003 X-UIDL: 21033-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCK00EO1Q8FH1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 02:05:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2UI51FO045183 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 02:05:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U69x5m004416; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 12:01:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1737600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2UHuveQ005066 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:56:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2UHuUid005122 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:56:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2UHuUNX005120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:56:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:56:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303301756.h2UHuUNX005120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z/311800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 127.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3S1 126.8E7, NEAR THE COAST OF EAST TIMOR. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN IMPROVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE LLCC IS EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND TRACKING TOWARD IMPROVING UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 02:12:56 2003 X-UIDL: 21034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCK00ETAQF3H1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 02:09:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2UI8xFO045869 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 02:09:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U69x5q004416; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 12:01:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1737597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2UHuveQ048544 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:56:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2UHuVid005123 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:56:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2UHuUuK005121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:56:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 11:56:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303301756.h2UHuUuK005121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z/311800ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 127.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3S1 126.8E7, NEAR THE COAST OF EAST TIMOR. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN IMPROVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE LLCC IS EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND TRACKING TOWARD IMPROVING UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 08:28:20 2003 X-UIDL: 21040-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCL00EHH1EHH1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 06:06:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2UM6HFO097720 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 06:06:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2UKflpK038742; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:55:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1741221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:54:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2ULsteQ011626 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:54:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2ULsTid007229 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:54:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2ULsT4c007228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:54:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:54:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303302154.h2ULsT4c007228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 302154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N140W 06N142W AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N147W 06N153W 03N157W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE....WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N166W 07N170W 05N176W 06N175E AND MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 21N163W 30N163W 30N158W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL AND SURFACE LOWS...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 29N170W 26N169W 25N170W MOVED SOUTH SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 23N159W 25N155W MOVED NORTH SLOWLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT AND THE UPPER LEVEL AND SURFACE LOWS IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 11S175W MOVED NORTH SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 13S165W 17S162W 16S167W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SCATTERED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 19S163W 23S161W MOVED NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SECOND SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 19S150W 13S143W MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SECOND CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 05S172W MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 08:28:21 2003 X-UIDL: 21041-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCL00EHG1EHH1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 06:06:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2UM6GFO097717 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 06:06:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U69xOg004416; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:58:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1741238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:58:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2ULwEeQ024296 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:58:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2ULvmid007272 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:57:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2ULvm2i007271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:57:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 15:57:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303302157.h2ULvm2i007271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 302157 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 30 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 30/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 6N90W 7N110W 5N130W 6N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DISSIPATING WITH TIME... WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 20N113W TO 25N128W. ANOTHER TROUGH FROM CENTER TO 14N126W. UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 14N126W 20N113W TROUGH MOVING TOWARD MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ONE CELL...FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND 112W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 12:05:53 2003 X-UIDL: 21065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCL0019SHEFXV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:51:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2V3ppFO000311 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:51:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V2k9hs004416; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 21:42:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1745718 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 21:42:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V3gUeQ020690 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 21:42:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2V3g4id010269 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 21:42:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2V3g4a6010268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 21:42:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 21:42:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303310342.h2V3g4a6010268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 310342 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 31 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 31/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 7N105W 5N120W 5N130W 5N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DISSIPATING WITH TIME... WITHIN 200-240 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 22N115W TO 26N128W. ANOTHER TROUGH FROM CENTER TO 15N125W. UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 15N125W 22N115W TROUGH...MOVING TOWARD MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 14:05:33 2003 X-UIDL: 21073-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCL002VSN5VVF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 13:56:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2V5uKFO038779 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 13:56:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V4SXpO033412; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1747312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V5kYeQ026586 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2V5k8id011359 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2V5k874011357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303310546.h2V5k874011357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZMAR2003/010600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 17:44:22 2003 X-UIDL: 21087-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCL002OUXE7VF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 17:37:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V9bHBc016110 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 17:37:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V2k9vE004416; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:28:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1749210 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:28:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V9SVeQ048396 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:28:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2V9S5id013047 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:28:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2V9S5Wm013046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:28:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:28:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303310928.h2V9S5Wm013046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 310928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 31 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 31/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N92W 9N105W 5N113W 4N130W 5N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM FROM 78W TO 84W AND WITHIN 150/180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 6.5N129W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N111W TO 12N109W AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 14N112.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N93W TO THE COAST OF GUATEMALA NEAR 14N91W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 17:54:22 2003 X-UIDL: 21088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCL00237XYNVF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 17:49:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V9nSBc020760 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 17:49:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V2k9vQ004416; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:44:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1749283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:44:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V9i1eQ038712 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:44:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2V9hZid013167 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:43:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2V9hZ5R013166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:43:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 03:43:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303310943.h2V9hZ5R013166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 310943 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MARCH 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW/FRONT...LOW NEAR 27N169W HAS MOVED SOUTH AT 10KT. FRONT FROM 27N172W THROUGH 29N171W 29N167W 25N163W 20N164W TO 14N170W HAS MOVED EAST SLOWLY. AREA OF OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 30N155W 20N161W 30N170W AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND EXPANDED IN SIZE. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 80NM OF FRONT SOUTH OF 20N HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 12 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 05N140W 06N150W 06N165W 05N170W 04N175W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 06N140W 05N147W 08N151W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND EXPANDED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 06N157W 06N160W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100NM OF ITCZ AXIS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE LOW/FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE LOW/FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ISOLATED LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. SEE LOW/FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NIL. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13S160W 18S155W 13S146W 22S153W 24S162W 20S160W 15S165W 13S160W HAS MOVED EAST AT 15KT AND EXPANDED. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 11:46:25 2003 X-UIDL: 21102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCM00284C6ZVF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 22:57:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VEv1Bc009294 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 22:57:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V2k98o004416; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:32:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1751747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:32:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VEWpeQ046084 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:32:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2VEWPid016384 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:32:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2VEWP1x016383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:32:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:32:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303311432.h2VEWP1x016383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTXS21 PGTW 311400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 311351ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.8S7 122.8E3 TO 11.2S4 118.6E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 311130Z9 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 122.5E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.3S1 126.8E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 122.5E0, NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF EAST TIMOR IN THE SAVU SEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED SPIRAL BANDING AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. ANALYSIS ALOFT INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 011400Z6. 4. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 11:46:27 2003 X-UIDL: 21105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCM0018QEYZXV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:57:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VFuwBc026899 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:57:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VFXnfi028972; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 09:41:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1752973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 09:41:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VFfPeQ014748 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 09:41:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2VFexid018942 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 09:40:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2VFewZ6018940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 09:40:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 09:40:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303311540.h2VFewZ6018940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 311541 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 31 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 31/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 9N95W 8N100W 9N106W 4N114W 3N134W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-114W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF 5N128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 132W-140W AND 91W-97W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 78W-85W AND 115W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 12N112W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 11:46:29 2003 X-UIDL: 21109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCM001R4KQAXV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 02:01:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VI1HBc061202 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 02:01:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VEfR3S018778; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:47:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1756330 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:47:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VHlAeQ046108 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:47:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2VHkgid023945 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:46:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2VHkgjF023943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:46:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:46:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303311746.h2VHkgjF023943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZMAR2003/011800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.3S1 126.8E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 122.5E0, NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF EAST TIMOR IN THE SAVU SEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED SPIRAL BANDING AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. ANALYSIS ALOFT INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS PGTW 311400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 11:46:29 2003 X-UIDL: 21110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCM0029VL06VF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 02:07:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VI7IBc062782 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 02:07:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VFXnGU028972; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:47:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1756335 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:47:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VHlAeQ020288 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:47:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2VHkgid023944 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:46:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2VHkgA5023942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:46:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 11:46:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303311746.h2VHkgA5023942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZMAR2003/011800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.3S1 126.8E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 122.5E0, NEAR THE WESTERN COAST OF EAST TIMOR IN THE SAVU SEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED SPIRAL BANDING AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. ANALYSIS ALOFT INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS PGTW 311400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 11:46:34 2003 X-UIDL: 21122-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCM002GJWEWVF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 06:13:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VMDfBc025847 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 06:13:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VK8RoE015552; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 16:01:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1761128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 16:01:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VM1BeQ025786 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 16:01:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2VM0gid003335 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 16:00:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2VM0gIb003334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 16:00:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 16:00:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303312200.h2VM0gIb003334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 312200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MARCH 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE AND UPPER LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND BOUNDED BY 30N161W 26N157W 23N161W 28N162W 29N165W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N166W 05N166W 03N174W 06N174W 09N168W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 08N150W 07N140W 02N140W 04N143W 05N143W 04N152W 06N158W 06N151W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE AND UPPER LOW/TROUGH. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE AND UPPER LOW/TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12S147W 18S148W 24S152W 21S161W 17S159W 13S160W 14S153W 12S150W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S175W 12S169W 14S170W 12S174W 14S176W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 2 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 02S175E 04S177W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 10S178E 10S179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 14S141W 14S136W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 18 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 11:46:34 2003 X-UIDL: 21123-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCM002I3WFNVF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 06:14:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VME6Bc026035 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 06:14:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VK8Rng015552; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 15:57:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1761080 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 15:57:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VLvoeQ003798 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 15:57:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2VLvLid003180 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 15:57:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2VLvLR3003179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 15:57:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 15:57:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303312157.h2VLvLR3003179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 312157 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 31 MAR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 31/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 8N100W 7N110W 5N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 105W...AND BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 97W...AND W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 15N114W 16N111W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 11:58:24 2003 X-UIDL: 21147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCN00N7IC8V3T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:55:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h313tgBc021695 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:55:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VK8RCG015552; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 21:45:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1766201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 21:45:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h313jneQ019544 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 21:45:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h313jKid008244 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 21:45:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h313jKf1008243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 21:45:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 21:45:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304010345.h313jKf1008243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 010345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 01 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N100W 3N124W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 126W...AND BETWEEN 131W AND 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 18N115W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 18:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 21156-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCN00NDMHIU3T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 13:49:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h315nhBc056821 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 13:49:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VK8RFi015552; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:38:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1767346 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:38:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h315cReQ038410 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:38:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h315bxid009253 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:37:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h315bx9r009252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:37:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:37:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304010537.h315bx9r009252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600ZAPR2003/020600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 18:38:19 2003 X-UIDL: 21175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCN001FGU2IAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 18:20:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31AKfBc046038 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 18:20:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VK8RQY015552; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:12:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1770111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:12:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31ACDeQ030298 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:12:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h31ABjid011224 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:11:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h31ABjWO011223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:11:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:11:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304011011.h31ABjWO011223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 010949 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF 28N165W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N157W 22N161W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE IN AREA BETWEEN 04N AND 08N EAST OF 147W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE SURFACE FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE SURFACE LOW/FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 13N173W 13S164W 16S154W 22S155W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 24S136W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 18:38:19 2003 X-UIDL: 21176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCN001GFU39AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 18:21:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31ALABc046285 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 18:21:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h316CU1a014476; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:12:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1770115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:12:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31ACPeQ034470 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:12:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h31ABuid011229 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:11:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h31ABuTj011228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:11:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:11:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304011011.h31ABuTj011228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 010951 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 01 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N139W TO 23N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N85W 6N98W 8N104W 5N111W 7N120W 4N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 119W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N126W TO THE AXIS NEAR 5N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 114W...WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 105W...AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 140W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N104W TO THE AXIS NEAR 8N106W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM NORTH AND 180 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 20.5N116W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS COVER THE AREA FROM THE AXIS TO 20N BETWEEN 96W AND A LINE FROM 8N117W TO 20N111W INCLUDING THE COAST OF MEXICO. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 23:43:20 2003 X-UIDL: 21195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCO00NLJ5W53T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 22:36:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31Ea5Bc017426 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 22:36:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VK8Rcq015552; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:22:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1772300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:22:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31EM3eQ022674 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:22:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h31ELXid013800 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:21:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h31ELWYb013799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:21:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:21:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304011421.h31ELWYb013799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 011500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZMAR2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- NEAR 10.0S1 120.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0S1 120.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 10.4S5 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 10.7S8 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 11.0S2 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 11.4S6 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.1S2 119.9E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S, LOCATED ON SUMBA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE DATA INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID- LEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY STEADILY AFTER LEAVING THE WEST COAST OF SUMBA UNDER A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN) AND NOGAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 10 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 311351ZMAR03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 00:03:03 2003 X-UIDL: 21200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCO001X19UQAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 00:01:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31G1YBc042869 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 00:01:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31FLBjU014476; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 09:50:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1774579 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 09:47:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31FlaeQ004278 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 09:47:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h31Fl8id016758 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 09:47:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h31Fl8uv016757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 09:47:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 09:47:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304011547.h31Fl8uv016757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 011547 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 01 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL COAST OF CALIFORNIA SW TO 32N124W THROUGH 29N130W TO 28N138W. THE FRONT IS MARKED BY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES OTHERWISE W OF 110W WITH ILL-DEFINED RIDGE AXIS ALONG 23N119W TO 26N135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N92W 8N106W 4N134W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N-7.5N BETWEEN 113W-126W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS W OF 137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 126W-134W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-110W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N92W AND 4N79W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 109W-112W. A FEW SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 18N119W 26N113W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 15N106W. $$ BLAKE/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 10:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 21209-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCO00NTQFJN3T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 02:04:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31I4XBc078732 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 02:04:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31EdTEa015552; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:51:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1777953 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:51:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31Hp3eQ042094 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:51:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h31HoYid021410 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:50:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h31HoYMb021409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:50:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:50:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304011750.h31HoYMb021409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 120.3E6, OVERLAND ON SUMBA ISLAND, TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 10:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 21210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCO00N4BFVE3T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 02:11:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31IBbBc080969 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 02:11:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31HbKgq029832; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:51:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1777956 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:51:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31Hp3eQ003748 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:51:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h31HoYid021411 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:50:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h31HoYbQ021408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:50:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 11:50:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304011750.h31HoYbQ021408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 120.3E6, OVERLAND ON SUMBA ISLAND, TRACKING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 10:42:56 2003 X-UIDL: 21226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCO00NIER5G3T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 06:15:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31MFFBc051561 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 06:15:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31KrOnC015552; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 15:52:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1782989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 15:52:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31LqpeQ026372 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 15:52:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h31LqMid000525 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 15:52:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h31LqM92000524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 15:52:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 15:52:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304012152.h31LqM92000524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 012152 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 01 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL COAST OF CALIFORNIA SW TO 32N123W TO 27N133W. THE FRONT IS MARKED BY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES REST OF AREA W OF 110W WITH ILL-DEFINED RIDGE AXIS ALONG 26N130W TO 21N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N105W 9N110W 6N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 110W...BETWEEN 112W AND 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W AND 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 10:42:56 2003 X-UIDL: 21227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCO00NLJRDZ3T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 06:20:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31MKOBc052502 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 06:20:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31LUeia031726; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 16:01:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1783105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 16:01:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31M1GeQ041322 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 16:01:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h31M0mid000837 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 16:00:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h31M0moq000836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 16:00:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 16:00:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304012200.h31M0moq000836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 012200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MOSTLY...LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N159W 30N155W 24N158W 18N162W 19N164W 27N159W. FEATURE MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N173W 09N170W 08N166W 05N169W 06N172W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 09N140W 03N140W 05N143W 09N142W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 14S152W 20S149W 20S144W 23S144W 22S155W 14S158W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S172W 12S162W 09S164W 08S160W 14S160W 13S171W 15S172W 10S175W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 01S180 03S176W 14S177W 16S179E 11S176E 04S178E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 10:42:59 2003 X-UIDL: 21240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCP001JS32OAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 10:32:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h322WnBc022562 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 10:32:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31KrOCK015552; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:20:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1786953 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:20:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h322KHeQ044100 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:20:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h322Jnid004815 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:19:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h322JnDj004814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:19:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:19:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304020219.h322JnDj004814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 020300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- NEAR 10.9S0 119.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9S0 119.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 11.6S8 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 11.9S1 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 12.2S5 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 12.8S1 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION NEAR 11.1S3 119.0E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUMBA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING IN A GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGH 36 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 36 HOURS, TC 26S IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE SOUTHWEST AS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE DEVELOPS TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, WITH ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW, OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), GFDN AND NOGAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. DIFFERENCES IN TRACK DIRECTION AND SPEED ARE DUE TO VARYING INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITIES, AS WELL AS SOME INTERACTION WITH A LOW DEVELOPING OFF THE WEST COAST OF SUMATRA. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 AND 030300Z6. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 11:52:36 2003 X-UIDL: 21251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCP0012K6N5AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:49:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h323nlBc051056 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:49:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31KrOIA015552; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 21:39:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1788206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 21:39:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h323dMeQ037274 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 21:39:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h323csid005707 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 21:38:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h323csjD005706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 21:38:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 21:38:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304020338.h323csjD005706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 020339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 02 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL COAST OF CALIFORNIA SW TO 32N122W TO 26N133W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES REST OF AREA W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N100W 8N110W 4N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 105W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 130W-136W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 26N-31N BETWEEN 111W-113W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 13:47:00 2003 X-UIDL: 21263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCP0016EC0RAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 13:46:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h325k3Bc088335 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 13:46:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h324F6qS041394; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1790074 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h325beeQ016478 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h325bBid006658 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h325bBQs006656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304020537.h325bBQs006656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600ZAPR2003/030600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 18:40:27 2003 X-UIDL: 21291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCP00FTTNYGTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 18:03:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32A3pBc078924 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 18:03:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h327hPga030000; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 03:55:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1792532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 03:55:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h329tCeQ028196 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 03:55:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h329shid017523 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 03:54:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h329shT8017522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 03:54:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 03:54:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304020954.h329shT8017522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 020954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 06N141W AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 06N169W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 27N159W 30N157W 27N155W MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK SURFACE LOW AND TROUGH...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14S155W 18S145W 24S149W 18S156W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 21S178W 27S177W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 14S174W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 05 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06S177W 03S179E AND MOVED NORTHWEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 18:40:27 2003 X-UIDL: 21292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCP00FR3OEQTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 18:13:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32ADaBc082114 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 18:13:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h327hPgk030000; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 04:06:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1792606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 04:06:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32A6peQ027014 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 04:06:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h32A6Mid017619 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 04:06:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h32A6MAI017618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 04:06:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 04:06:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304021006.h32A6MAI017618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 021006 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 02 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR 30N121W TO 25N130W TO 24N140W. ..MODERATELY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NW OF AREA EXTENDS SE TO 15N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 1N80W 2N90W 2N100W 4N120W 6N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N99W TO 6N106W TO 8N109W TO 9N110W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR 3N122W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N130W TO 4N135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 26N112W EXTENDING NE TO 29N111W. $$ RRG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 23:14:30 2003 X-UIDL: 21299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCQ00FL005YTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 22:27:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32ERRBc052340 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 22:27:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h327hPsS030000; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:14:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1795131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:13:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32EDjeQ007842 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:13:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h32EDHid020028 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:13:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h32EDH2L020027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:13:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:13:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304021413.h32EDH2L020027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 021500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 11.3S5 118.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S5 118.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 11.7S9 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 12.3S6 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 13.0S4 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 13.7S1 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.4S6 118.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUMBA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 50 AND 55 KNOTS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 36 HOURS, TC 26S IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN SLIGHTLY AND TRACK MORE SOUTHWEST TOWARDS A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, WITH ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW, THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AFWA MM5, GFDN, NOGAPS, AND THE AUSTRALIAN GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 AND 031500Z9. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 01:33:06 2003 X-UIDL: 21313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCQ00FMU8NBTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 01:30:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32HUhBc002721 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 01:30:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h327hPGY030000; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:20:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1798944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:18:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32HIReQ041832 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:18:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h32HHvid027958 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:17:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h32HHv0i027956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:17:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:17:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304021717.h32HHv0i027956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3S5 118.5E5, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUMBA ISLAND, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 021500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 01:43:04 2003 X-UIDL: 21314-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCQ00FWM8TGTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 01:34:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32HYSBc003808 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 01:34:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32GMasS011756; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:20:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1798956 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:18:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32HIReQ018660 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:18:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h32HHvid027959 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:17:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h32HHvUP027957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:17:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 11:17:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304021717.h32HHvUP027957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3S5 118.5E5, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUMBA ISLAND, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 021500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 09:16:20 2003 X-UIDL: 21329-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCQ00FOELLITV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 06:10:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32MATBc079954 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 06:10:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32LuTem034362; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:58:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1804482 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:58:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32LwOeQ010504 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:58:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h32Lvtid007768 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:57:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h32Lvtfo007767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:57:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:57:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304022157.h32Lvtfo007767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 022158 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 28N158W 30N157W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 09S160W 19S141W 26S155W 22S156W 13S155W 12S163W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10S172E 15S175E 12S176W 14S174W 20S180 30S167W 39S169W 31S180 29S175W 17S172E MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY EQ175E 05S175W 08S178W 05S177E 09S169E 02S165E MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 20 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 09:16:21 2003 X-UIDL: 21330-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCQ00FV6LPGTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 06:12:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32MCtBc080543 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 06:12:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32JVm8e011758; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:59:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1804509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:58:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32LwveQ004628 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:58:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h32LwTid007799 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:58:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h32LwTxJ007798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:58:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 15:58:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304022158.h32LwTxJ007798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 022158 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 02 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N32N140W TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 3N85W 5N98W 9N105W 6N111W 5N127W6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 109W... WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 124W...WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 113W...AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 9.5N115.5W TO 9N118.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11.5N115.5W TO 10N124W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 14:01:32 2003 X-UIDL: 21393-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCR005DI02B31@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:22:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h333N1Bc065033 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:23:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32LuT9A034362; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:16:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1809810 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:16:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h333G5eQ017148 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:16:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h333Faid012752 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:15:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h333Fa1I012751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:15:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:15:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304030315.h333Fa1I012751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 11.9S1 118.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 118.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 12.5S8 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 13.0S4 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 13.7S1 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.3S8 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.1S4 117.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUMBA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. A 022334Z4 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAS DEVELOPED A 25 NM EYE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED AND INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD GUIDED BY THE MID TO HIGH LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 26S IS NOW EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN UNDER INCREASING SHEAR. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AFWA MM5, NOGAPS, AND THE AUSTRALIAN GLOBAL (TLAPS) AND REGIONAL (TCLAPS) MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. AVIATION AND EGGR INITIALIZE THE SYSTEM WEAKER AND AS A RESULT, TRACKS TC 26S WESTWARD OF THE OTHER DYNAMIC AIDS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGRR AND AVIATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 AND 040300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 14:01:32 2003 X-UIDL: 21398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCR00FTM0WBTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:40:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h333f1Bc071375 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:41:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32LuT9e034362; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:33:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1810022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:33:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h333XLeQ014546 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:33:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h333Wqid012913 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:32:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h333Wqos012912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:32:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 21:32:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304030332.h333Wqos012912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 030333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 03 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N137W TO 25N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N95W 9N107W 5N113W 6N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 96W...WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 99W...WITHIN 75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 106W...AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 115W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF 11N FROM 115W TO 128W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 14:01:34 2003 X-UIDL: 21408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCR00FIG5VVTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 13:28:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h335SkBc007292 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 13:28:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3350ohU028710; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1811039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h335HteQ022750 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h335HOid013926 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h335HOWv013923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304030517.h335HOWv013923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600ZAPR2003/040600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 18:30:16 2003 X-UIDL: 21423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCR005EZHW831@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 17:48:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h339m7Bc097302 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 17:48:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32LuTMm034362; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 03:41:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1813416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 03:41:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h339f6eQ040046 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 03:41:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h339eZid016052 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 03:40:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h339eZj1016051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 03:40:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 03:40:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304030940.h339eZj1016051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 030940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 03 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N140W TO 18N110W. ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL BAJA COAST TO 19.5N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N80W 4N94W 7N107W 8N120W 6N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 5N92W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR 4N94W 5N97W 6N101W 7N104W 6N115W AND 6N118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N120W TO 11N125W. $$ RRG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 18:30:16 2003 X-UIDL: 21424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCR005NYISI31@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 18:07:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33A7XBc006118 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 18:07:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32LuTMs034362; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 04:01:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1813521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 04:01:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33A1OeQ020490 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 04:01:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h33A0sid016221 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 04:00:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h33A0ruR016220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 04:00:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 04:00:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304031000.h33A0ruR016220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 031000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 09N176E 05N178W 01N179E 02N160E 05N163E 07N168E 06N171E 04N173E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 01N165W 02N162W 01N160W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 12 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N152W 07N141W 05N143W 04N148W 05N150W 04N155W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ..ARE BOUNDED BY 30N160W 30N156W 24N158W 20N164W 22N165W 26N160W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED TCU BOUNDED BY 18N167W 15N169W 16N171W 18N169W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S163W 13S148W 17S147W 16S139W 21S138W 24S142W 24S156W 14S155W 10S164W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY EQ164E 03S173E EQ176E 05S179W 09S180 10S176W 15S174W 18S178W 15S171E 10S170E 07S171E 09S167E 03S164E 03S161E 01S161E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 23:00:39 2003 X-UIDL: 21436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCR0055HTN131@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 22:01:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33E1oBc078589 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 22:01:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33BDfjq008742; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 07:50:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1815252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 07:50:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33DoKeQ028898 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 07:50:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h33Dnnid018551 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 07:49:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h33DnnL5018550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 07:49:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 07:49:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304031349.h33DnnL5018550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 031500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 12.1S4 116.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S4 116.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 12.6S9 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 13.3S7 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.2S7 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.1S7 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.2S5 116.7E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUMBA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. TC 26S CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT, AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 26S IS NOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFICATION AT ABOVE A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN HOLD INTENSITY BEFORE SLIGHT WEAKENING OCCURS TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST. THE SYSTEM WILL ENTER A REGION OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE 72 TO 96 HOUR TIME FRAME, WHEN MORE PRONOUNCED WEAKENING WILL OCCUR. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, NOGAPS, AND GFDN ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, WITH THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL TRACKING THE SYSTEM FURTHER WEST BEFORE RECURVATURE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS EXCLUDING THE AVIATION MODEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 AND 041500Z0. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 00:16:31 2003 X-UIDL: 21445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCR005NMYP931@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 23:51:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33FpABc017320 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 23:51:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33BDfwY008742; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 09:36:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1817565 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 09:36:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33FaZeQ045408 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 09:36:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h33Fa5id021839 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 09:36:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h33Fa5Yq021838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 09:36:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 09:36:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304031536.h33Fa5Yq021838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 031536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 03 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 03/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE THROUGH 33N140W TO 28N126W TO 18N116W. ..COLD FRONT FROM 03/0600 UTC HAS DISSIPATED. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 4N86W 5N96W 6N104W 10N110W 9N121W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF 4N77W ALONG COLOMBIA COAST...AND WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS 9N109W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...JET STREAM WITHIN 200-220 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 13N125W 19N119W BEYOND 23N108W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS JET STREAM COVERS EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN INTO MEXICO... CURVING AS FAR NORTH AS 28N100W...AND THEN TOWARD THE GULF OF MEXICO. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 10:37:50 2003 X-UIDL: 21451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCS0056N3DI31@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 01:32:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33HW4Bc051047 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 01:32:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33BDfGK008742; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:25:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1820847 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:25:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33HP4eQ033276 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:25:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h33HOXid026077 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:24:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h33HOXxP026075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:24:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:24:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304031724.h33HOXxP026075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1S4 116.9E7, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUMBA ISLAND, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 031500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 10:37:51 2003 X-UIDL: 21453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCS005XJ3YN31@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 01:44:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33HioBc055273 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 01:44:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33Fg2CO022416; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:25:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1820850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:25:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33HP4eQ020720 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:25:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h33HOYid026078 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:24:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h33HOXtG026076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:24:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 11:24:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304031724.h33HOXtG026076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1S4 116.9E7, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUMBA ISLAND, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 031500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 10:38:02 2003 X-UIDL: 21462-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCS005JZG1A31@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 06:05:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33M5ZBc038829 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 06:05:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33JKTGM022416; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:56:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1826992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:56:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33LuGeQ011764 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:56:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h33Ltjid005600 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:55:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h33Ltj4I005599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:55:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:55:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304032155.h33Ltj4I005599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 032156 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2032 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 07N140W TO 07N150W TO 09N155W TO 02N160W TO 02N170W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N160W 30N155W 24N158W 20N162W 25N163W 30N160W AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED TCU BOUNDED BY 18N167W 15N169W 16N171W 18N169W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S165W 20S140W 25S148W 22S158W 15S155W 08S165W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05N160E 14S175W 14S170E 05S155E 05N160E STRADDLE THE DATELINE AND THE EQUATOR AND HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY BUT INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 10:38:02 2003 X-UIDL: 21463-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCS005K1G1A31@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 06:05:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33M5ZBc038837 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 06:05:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33Kuclw008746; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:53:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1826931 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:53:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33Lr1eQ028394 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:53:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h33LqUid005504 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:52:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h33LqUdD005503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:52:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 15:52:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304032152.h33LqUdD005503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 032152 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 03 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N126W TO 20N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N94W 7N105W 12N112W 12N121W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 80W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 110W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 115W AND FROM 128W TO 137W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 112W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF 8N FROM 114W TO 120W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 14:03:24 2003 X-UIDL: 21482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCS0016OU7GKA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 11:11:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h343BgBc027162 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 11:11:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33MsZ3w043450; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:02:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1832225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:02:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3432WeQ030042 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:02:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34321id010424 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:02:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34321OF010423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:02:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:02:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304040302.h34321OF010423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 12.5S8 115.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 115.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 13.3S7 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.1S6 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 14.6S1 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.3S9 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.3S1 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION NEAR 12.7S0 115.6E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 590 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH 48 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO RECURVE TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. TC 26S WILL MAINTAIN INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AFTERWARDS, TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASES AFTER RECURVATURE. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION MODEL, GFDN, AND THE AUSTRALIAN TCLAPS AND TLAPS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 AND 050300Z8. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 14:03:25 2003 X-UIDL: 21485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCS0019AVRYKA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 11:45:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h343jWBc038371 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 11:45:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33Nq7Ds022416; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:36:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1832836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:36:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h343ZveQ014288 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:35:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h343ZQid010801 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:35:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h343ZQVO010800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:35:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 21:35:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304040335.h343ZQVO010800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 040335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 04 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 04/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N137W TO 23N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N94W 7N107W 10N118W 12N126W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N TO 4N WEST OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS COVER THE AREA FROM THE AXIS TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 124W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 20:30:16 2003 X-UIDL: 21519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCT001MTD5BKA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 18:00:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34A0iBc072097 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 18:00:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h346BwmW037294; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 03:41:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1836659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 03:41:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h349f9eQ035580 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 03:41:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h349ecid013642 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 03:40:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h349ecsP013641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 03:40:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 03:40:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304040940.h349ecsP013641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 040940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 04 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... SUBTROPIC JET CURVES ANTICYCLONICALLY FROM 20N120W TO LOWER BAJA AND INLAND OVER N CENTRAL MEXICO. BASED ON 04/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 5N86W 4N94W 5N106W 7N120W 4N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 5N86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR 7N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 12N116W 10N124W 9N128W AND 9N132W. $$ RRG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 20:30:16 2003 X-UIDL: 21520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCT0015PDCKKA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 18:05:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34A5ABc073779 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 18:05:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h346Bwmc037294; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 04:01:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1836743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 04:01:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34A1ieQ020414 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 04:01:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34A1Did013798 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 04:01:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34A1DiZ013797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 04:01:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 04:01:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304041001.h34A1DiZ013797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 041001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 09N176E 09N175W 05N174W 02N170W 03N177E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 02N168W 01N164W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 06N149W 06N144W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND BOUNDED BY 30N161W 30N155W 21N159W 22N161W 29N162W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. CONVECTION IS JUST EAST AND NORTHEAST OF NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S160W 15S145W 19S144W 19S138W 24S143W 23S151W 15S156W 14S159W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 13S180 12S178W. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 21:30:00 2003 X-UIDL: 21532-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCT001MSMS2KA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:28:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34DSoBc032893 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:28:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34CWMjK027332; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:16:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1838238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:16:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34DGNeQ037414 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:16:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34DFqid015439 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:15:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34DFqls015437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:15:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:15:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304041315.h34DFqls015437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600ZAPR2003/050600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 00:03:47 2003 X-UIDL: 21536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCT001B1NUDKA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:51:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34DppBc039817 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:51:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h346Bwum037294; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:43:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1838707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:43:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34DhAeQ006360 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:43:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34Dgdid015912 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:42:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34DgdHZ015911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:42:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:42:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304041342.h34DgdHZ015911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 041500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- NEAR 13.6S0 114.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.6S0 114.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.4S9 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.3S9 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.1S8 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.1S9 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.5S5 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.8S2 114.4E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 515 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 36 HOURS, THEN RECURVING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THEREAFTER. TC 26S WILL MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE SHORT TERM IN A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT, WITH THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL BECOMING MORE RESTRICTED. TC 26S ENTERS A MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY SHEARING ENVIRONMENT AFTER 36 HOURS, AT WHICH TIME PROGRESSIVE WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN. THE UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND THE NCEP AVIATION DYNAMIC MODELS PERSIST IN TRACKING 26S FURTHER WEST BEFORE RECURVATURE, WITH NOGAPS AND GFDN TURNING FURTHER TO THE EAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC MODELS BIASED IN FAVOR OF THE NOGAPS AND GFDN SOLUTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 AND 051500Z1. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 00:23:32 2003 X-UIDL: 21541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCT0042JUNK8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:18:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34GItBc081572 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:18:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h346BwAM037294; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 10:05:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1841431 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 10:05:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34G5reQ037392 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 10:05:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34G5Mid020225 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 10:05:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34G5Muk020224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 10:05:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 10:05:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304041605.h34G5Muk020224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 041605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 04 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 04/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE THROUGH 32N140W TO 28N129W TO 24N118W TO 19N109W. HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 5N91W 5N110W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF COLOMBIA COAST FROM 4N TO 7N. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF COLOMBIA COAST FROM 3N TO 7N. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 105W...AND WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 112W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM CURVES ANTICYCLONICALLY FROM 18N120W TO SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND INLAND OVER N CENTRAL MEXICO. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 02:23:33 2003 X-UIDL: 21546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU004PE06Q8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:18:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34IIQBc015136 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:18:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34I40h8043446; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:09:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1844836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:05:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34I5aeQ046194 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:05:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34I55id024561 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:05:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34I55QH024559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:05:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:05:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304041805.h34I55QH024559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 515 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 02:23:40 2003 X-UIDL: 21547-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU004TC0C08X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:21:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34ILbBc015999 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:21:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h346BwS8037294; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:07:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1844839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:05:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34I5aeQ017512 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:05:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34I55id024562 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:05:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34I55S5024560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:05:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 12:05:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304041805.h34I55S5024560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 515 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 10:05:36 2003 X-UIDL: 21558-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU0011V8E1KA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 05:15:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34LFYBc067931 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 05:15:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34KA1lE037294; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:08:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1849060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:08:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34L8WeQ005082 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:08:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34L81id000648 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:08:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34L81Vu000647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:08:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:08:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304042108.h34L81Vu000647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 042100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 14.0S5 113.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 113.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.7S2 113.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.4S0 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 16.2S9 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 17.5S3 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.1S4 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT DISSIPATING OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.2S7 113.7E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE EARLY PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. AFTERWARDS, TC 26S WILL BEGIN RECURVING TO THE SOUTHEAST INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, MAKING LANDFALL OVER NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 26S WILL MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE SHORT TERM IN A FAVORABLE UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT, WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW CONTINUING DURING THE EARLY PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT APPROACHES AND PASSES THE RIDGE AXIS, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN ONLY FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO AS THE POINT OF RECURVATURE DIFFERS IN THE MODELS. NGPS, GFDN AND AFWA MM5 RECURVE EARLY, MAKING FOR LANDFALL EAST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND THE AUSTRALIAN TYPHOON MODEL (TCLAPS) RECURVE LATER, MAKING FOR LANDFALL NEAR LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC MODELS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NGPS AND AFWA MM5. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8, 050900Z4, 051500Z1 AND 052100Z8. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 10:05:39 2003 X-UIDL: 21561-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU004VFAIZ8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 06:01:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34M1lBc077920 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 06:01:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34LeMf6013984; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:46:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1850061 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:43:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34LhKeQ017142 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:43:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34Lgkid001741 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:42:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34LgkCQ001740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:42:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:42:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304042142.h34LgkCQ001740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 042143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 04 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 04/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 112W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N134W TO 19N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N87W 5N92W 5N108W 4N120W 6N127W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS 84W TO 87W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 95W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N130W TO 10N124W. BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 150/175 NM OF A LINE FROM BEYOND 14N140W ALONG 16N128W TO 16N120W AND WITHIN 125 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N120W TO ACROSS MEXICO NEAR 23N106W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 10:05:40 2003 X-UIDL: 21562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU0047YB558X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 06:15:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34MF8Bc081009 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 06:15:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34LdFgY037296; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:55:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1850287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:55:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34LtteQ030182 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:55:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34LtOid002114 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:55:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34LtOFO002113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:55:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 15:55:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304042155.h34LtOFO002113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 042154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 05N140W 04N145W 08N160W 07N164W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND 03N164W 02N170W 04N180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80NM OF AXIS EAST OF 165W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 80NM OF AXIS WEST OF 164W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. TROUGH...AXIS FROM 20N163W TO 30N162W AND EXTENDING NORTH. NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED PARTLY BOUNDED BY 30N159W 25N160W 30N161W AND EXTENDING NORTH. OCCASIONAL TCU AND VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 25N160W 23N158W 21N159W HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR MORE DETAILS SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ACROSS AREA. SEE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. CONVECTION IS JUST EAST AND NORTHEAST OF NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ISOLATED LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW/CONVERGENCE ZONE...LOW NEAR 23S155W HAS MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY. AREA OF ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 10S160W 20S140W 27S151W 25S158W 15S155W 13S160W 10S160W ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE INTO LOW HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 08S169W 05S173W 06S180 HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 10:05:43 2003 X-UIDL: 21568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU004P3L8M8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:53:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h351rBBc032469 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:53:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34LdF8W037296; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 19:41:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1855258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 19:41:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h351fQeQ017516 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 19:41:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h351etid005916 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 19:40:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h351etIm005915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 19:40:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 19:40:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304050140.h351etIm005915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 14.3S8 113.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S8 113.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.0S6 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.7S3 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.5S2 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.9S7 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.7S0 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.5S0 113.5E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 042330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS AN 18NM SYMMETRICAL EYE. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE EARLY PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. AFTERWARDS, TC 26S WILL BEGIN RECURVING TO THE SOUTHEAST INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, MAKING LANDFALL OVER NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 26S WILL WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY IN THE EARLY PERIOD AS IT TRACKS THROUGH A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW CONTINUING. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT APPROACHES AND PASSES THE RIDGE AXIS, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL FURTHER WEAKEN TC 26S. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS REMAIN IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO WITH THE POINT OF RECURVATURE CONTINUING TO DIFFER IN THE VARIOUS MODELS. NGPS AFWA MM5 RECURVE SLIGHTLY EARLIER, MAKING FOR LANDFALL NEAR PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND THE AUSTRALIAN TYPHOON MODEL (TCLAPS) RECURVE LATER, MAKING FOR LANDFALL JUST EAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC MODELS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NGPS AND AFWA MM5. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4, 051500Z1, 052100Z8 AND 060300Z9. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 13:17:45 2003 X-UIDL: 21577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU004FDQDJ8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:44:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h353i8Bc058712 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:44:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h353YKeq022298; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:35:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1856903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:34:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h353YweQ034474 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:34:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h353YRid007173 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:34:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h353YR6x007172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:34:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:34:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304050334.h353YR6x007172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 050334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 05 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N136W TO 22N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 7N88W 4N97W 7N105W 4N118W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS 84W TO 88W AND WITHIN 45 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 134W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N121W TO 9N125W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N116W TO 8N119W. BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 175/225 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N120W ALONG 15N130W TO BEYOND 14N140W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 16:23:34 2003 X-UIDL: 21586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU0041JXJ78X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 14:18:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h356IhBc093495 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 14:18:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h353YKw2022298; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:08:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1859183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:02:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3562reQ014446 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:02:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3562Lid008574 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:02:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3562Lqi008570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:02:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:02:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304050602.h3562Lqi008570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 16:43:46 2003 X-UIDL: 21591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCV0042245Y8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 16:41:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h358g0Bc027563 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 16:42:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34LdFWo037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:25:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1860449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:25:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h358POeQ037430 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:25:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h358Orid009527 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:24:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h358OrOM009526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:24:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:24:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304050824.h358OrOM009526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 050900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 14.5S0 113.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 113.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.9S4 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.6S2 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.6S3 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 18.2S1 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 23.1S6 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.6S1 113.1E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050530Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 130 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED A 18NM (APPROX.) SYMMETRICAL EYE. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY RECURVE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 26 HOURS INTO A WEAKNESS CREATED BY A PASSING MID-LAT TROUGH. THE FORECAST CONTINUES TO CALL FOR LANDFALL OVER NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA IN ABOUT 60 HOURS. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ENTRAIN DRYER AIR AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS REMAIN IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. TWO CLUSTERS OF MODELS DIFFER IN THE DEGREE OF WESTERLY INFLUENCE IN THE STORM TRACK. NGPS AND AFWA MM5 CALL FOR A STRONGER WESTERLY INFLUENCE AND TRACK TC 26S TOWARD PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. NCEP AVIATION (AVN), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) AND THE AUSTRALIAN TC MODEL (TCLAPS) BRING TC 26S CLOSER TO LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. BASED ON CURRENT ANALYSIS, OUR FORECAST CONTINUES TO FAVOR THE SECOND MODEL CLUSTER WITH EGRR, AVN, AND TCLAPS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1, 052100Z8, 060300Z9 AND 060900Z5. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 00:10:50 2003 X-UIDL: 21594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCV004J37WH8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 18:02:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35A2gBc046211 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 18:02:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34LdFZc037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:44:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1860987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:44:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h359iceQ019614 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:44:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h359i7id010079 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:44:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h359i718010078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:44:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:44:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304050944.h359i718010078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 050944 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 05 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... SUBTROPIC JET FROM 14N140W TO 22N110W. BASED ON 05/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N79W 7N87W 4N99W 5N114W 6N131W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 6N88W 5N94W AND 4N100W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N104W TO 5N114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N120W TO 9N128W AND FROM 7N132W TO 7N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CIRRUS ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTROPIC JET WITHIN 4 DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14N140W TO 22N110W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS COVERS THE AREA N OF 15N AND W OF 115W. $$ RRG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 00:10:51 2003 X-UIDL: 21595-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCV004SI86R8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 18:08:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35A8sBc047362 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 18:08:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34LdFZe037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:55:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1861010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:55:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h359tIeQ014636 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:55:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h359slid010121 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:54:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h359slqR010120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:54:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 03:54:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304050954.h359slqR010120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 050954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N140W 07N148W AND MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 05N150W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM INTERACTING WITH ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07N160W 08N155W 05N156W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 08N166W MOVED NORTH AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. UPPER LEVEL LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 29N162W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A DECREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF POINT 30N158W MOVED WEST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW AND FRONT...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 12S162W 15S156W 22S150W 25146W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 02S178W 06S176W 04S179E AND MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 00:10:53 2003 X-UIDL: 21602-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCV000A4MK4OD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:19:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35FJIBc019141 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:19:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3569kKU022302; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:09:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1863596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:09:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35F9NeQ013924 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:09:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h35F8qid012046 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:08:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h35F8qj8012045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:08:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:08:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304051508.h35F8qj8012045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 051500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 14.6S1 113.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6S1 113.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 14.9S4 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.5S1 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.3S0 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.0S0 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.6S1 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION NEAR 14.7S2 112.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. THE EYE FEATURE IS CLOUD-FILLED AT THIS TIME. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY RECURVE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 26 HOURS INTO A WEAKNESS CREATED BY A PASSING MID-LAT TROUGH. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ENTRAIN DRYER AIR AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN AT AN INCREASING RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS REMAIN IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST TRACK. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO MODEL GUIDANCE AND FORECAST REASONING. OUR FORECAST CONTINUES TO FAVOR EGRR, AVN, AND TCLAPS MODEL SOLUTIONS. BASED ON THE MODEL GUIDANCE TC 26S WILL ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF LATITUDE 20S. THE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8, 060300Z9, 060900Z5 AND 061500Z2. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 00:10:54 2003 X-UIDL: 21603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCV000QVNOOOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:43:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35FhYBc025089 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:43:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5le037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:35:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1863818 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:35:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35FZLeQ013844 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:35:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h35FYoid012233 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:34:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h35FYobP012232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:34:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 09:34:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304051534.h35FYobP012232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 051535 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 05 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 05/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE THROUGH 33N136W 28N123W 20N115W 15N107W. HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 6N88W 8N106W 5N116W 9N126W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 111W AND 118W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 139W AND 140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN CIRRUS CLOUDS...ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM...WITHIN 300-400 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 13N140W 17N123W BEYOND 22N110W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 11:22:04 2003 X-UIDL: 21609-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCV0006PTV7OD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 01:57:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35Hv8Bc058338 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 01:57:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5pW037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:49:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1864843 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:49:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35HnReQ014488 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:49:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h35Hmsid013769 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:48:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h35HmsMp013767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:48:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:48:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304051748.h35HmsMp013767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) LOCATED NEAR 14.6S1 113.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 051500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.2S4 91.9E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 11:22:05 2003 X-UIDL: 21610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCV0006TTVCOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 01:57:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35HvEBc058370 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 01:57:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3569kVo022302; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:49:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1864846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:49:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35HnReQ005062 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:49:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h35Hmsid013770 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:48:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h35HmsQV013768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:48:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 11:48:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304051748.h35HmsQV013768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) LOCATED NEAR 14.6S1 113.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 051500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.2S4 91.9E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 11:22:06 2003 X-UIDL: 21614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCV0008AYYWOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:47:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35JlLBc088248 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:47:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5vA037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 13:38:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1866059 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 13:38:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35JcReQ045378 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 13:38:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h35Jbsid014573 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 13:37:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h35JbrLr014572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 13:37:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 13:37:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304051937.h35JbrLr014572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 052100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 15.0S6 112.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 112.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.5S1 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.5S2 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.8S6 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.5S5 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.8S3 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.1S7 112.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. THE CLOUD FILLED EYE HAS BECOME A BANDING EYE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 26S HAS BEGUN RECURVATURE INTO A WEAKNESS CREATED BY A PASSING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, TC 26S WILL TRANSITION TO A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ENTRAIN DRIER AIR AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD, WEAKENING THE SYSTEM AT AN INCREASING RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER 48 HOURS, INTERACTION WITH LAND OVER NORTHWESTERN AUSTRALIA WILL FURTHER INCREASE THE RATE OF DISSIPATION FOR THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS REMAIN IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST TRACK. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO MODEL GUIDANCE AND FORECAST REASONING. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE MODELS, WITH A BIAS TOWARDS NCEP AVIATION (AVN) AND THE AUSTRALIAN GLOBAL (TLAPS) MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9, 060900Z5, 061500Z2 AND 062100Z9. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 11:22:08 2003 X-UIDL: 21619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCW000DJ4MSOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 05:49:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35LnbBc013824 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 05:49:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE52s037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:43:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1867359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:40:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35Le5eQ047316 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:40:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h35LdWid015704 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:39:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h35LdVl6015703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:39:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:39:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304052139.h35LdVl6015703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 052139 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 06N140W 05N150W 03N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 07N140W 07N143W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINES 07N143W 05N155W AND 05N161W 08N166W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT...INTENSIFIED AND EXPANDED IN AREA. VERY ISOLATED CB AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 04N170W 04N175W 03N177W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. TROUGH...AXIS FROM 19N163W TO 30N164W AND EXTENDING NORTH. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 26N164W 27N154W 22N164W 26N164W HAS MOVED SOUTH AT 5KT AND EXPANDED IN SIZE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR MORE DETAILS SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW/FRONT...LOW NEAR 24S155W HAS MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY. FRONT THROUGH 25S158W 30S153W 25S147W 20S149W 12S163W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 19S145W 25S142W 24S149W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 06S162W 11S154W 18S151W 19S153W 12S162W 11S160W 06S162W HAVE INTENSIFIED AND EXPANDED NORTHWESTWARD. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 45NM OF LINE 28S152W 23S153W 18S160W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 01S175E 06S175W 07S178E 01S175E HAS MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10KT AND EXPANDED IN SIZE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 11:22:09 2003 X-UIDL: 21620-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCW000HO4QXOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 05:52:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35LqABc014261 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 05:52:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35ISF0O022306; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:44:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1867378 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:41:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35LfIeQ038500 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:41:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h35Leiid015716 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:40:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h35Leinr015715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:40:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 15:40:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304052140.h35Leinr015715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 052141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 05 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRES N OF 10N W OF 105W EXTENDING FROM A 1033 MB HIGH NEAR 34N138W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH SE TO NEAR 16N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N83W 5N99W 10N107W 5N118W 9N131W 7N140W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 126W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SUBTRPCL JET STREAM STRETCHES FROM THE ITCZ TO NRN MEXICO WITH A BROKEN DECK OF CIRRUS WITHIN 200NM OF A LINE FROM 12N127W-23N107W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 23:16:32 2003 X-UIDL: 21626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCW00067L2FOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 11:44:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h363icmF059106 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 11:44:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5Ig037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 21:31:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1871389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 21:31:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h363VkeQ015424 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 21:31:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h363VDid018517 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 21:31:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h363VDgC018516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 21:31:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 21:31:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304060331.h363VDgC018516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 060331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 06 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRES N OF 10N W OF 110W EXTENDING FROM A 1031 MB HIGH NEAR 35N138W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH SE TO NEAR 19N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N84W 5N100W 10N108W 5N118W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS W OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA BETWEEN 2N-7N. BROKEN DECK OF CIRRUS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTRPCL JET WITHIN 200NM OF A LINE FROM 10N125W TO 23N106W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 23:16:34 2003 X-UIDL: 21628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCW0002SRJ7OD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 14:04:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3664LmF085338 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 14:04:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3643LtU017080; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:53:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1873393 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:53:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h365qxeQ015610 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:52:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h365qPid019642 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:52:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h365qP3s019640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:52:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:52:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304060552.h365qP3s019640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 23:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 21631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCW000E8YEWOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 16:32:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h368WtmF019506 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 16:32:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5Vo037296; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:24:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1874689 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:24:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h368OceQ045566 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:24:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h368O5id020690 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:24:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h368O5nB020689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:24:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:24:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304060824.h368O5nB020689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 060900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 15.3S9 112.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 112.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.6S2 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.5S2 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 18.0S9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 20.4S6 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 25.1S8 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.4S0 112.7E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS DRIFTED SOUTH AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. TC 26S CONTINUES TO RECURVE INTO A WEAKNESS CREATED BY A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTH THEN SOUTHEASTWARD AS THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES INCREASES. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN IN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WITH DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AS IT TRACKS TOWARD AUSTRALIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS REMAIN IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2, 062100Z9, 070300Z0 AND 070900Z6. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 23:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 21633-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCX000EI1HMOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 17:39:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h369dKmF033806 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 17:39:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5Ya037296; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:31:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1875423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h369VleQ004910 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h369VDid021120 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:31:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h369VDpI021119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:31:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304060931.h369VDpI021119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 060931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 06 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1032 MB HIGH NEAR 33N136W WITH A RIDGE AXIS SE TO NEAR 16N106W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF ITCZ W OF 105W IN THE EPAC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N84W 5N100W 7N111W 6N121W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG IS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-117W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN A SIMILAR DISTANCE OF ITCZ W OF 134W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 93W-99W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 119W-133W AND WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 86W-92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE SUBTROPICAL JET CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO MEXICO ALONG A 600 NM WIDE SWATH FROM 12N121W TO 23N106W NEAR MAZATLAN. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 23:16:36 2003 X-UIDL: 21634-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCX000F32G9OD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 18:00:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36A07mF038432 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 18:00:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5ag037296; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:55:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1875720 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:55:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h369tBeQ030118 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:55:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h369scid021260 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:54:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h369sbKl021259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:54:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:54:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304060954.h369sbKl021259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 060954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N140W 07N140W 08N143W AND MOVED NORTH SLOWLY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N151W 09N156W MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 26N164W 25N161W 22N161W MOVED SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW AND SURFACE FRONT...OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S159W 10S153W 13S159W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 16S157W 25S149W MOVED SOUTH AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 23:16:39 2003 X-UIDL: 21639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCX00057CZBOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 21:47:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36DlcmF084912 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 21:47:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36CGJkG037296; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 08:40:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1878217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 08:40:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36De8eQ024072 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 08:40:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h36DdUid022768 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 08:39:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h36DdUWi022767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 08:39:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 08:39:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304061339.h36DdUWi022767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 061500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 15.6S2 112.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 112.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.3S0 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.8S6 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.7S7 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.2S6 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.2S9 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.8S4 112.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. TC 26S APPEARS TO HAVE TURNED AND HAS BEGUN TRACKING TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SPEED AND TURN FURTHER SOUTHEASTWARD AS THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES INCREASES. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN IN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WITH DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AS IT TRACKS TOWARD AUSTRALIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH OUR FORECAST TRACK FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9, 070300Z0, 070900Z6 AND 071500Z3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 00:09:25 2003 X-UIDL: 21646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCX00CP4JE3S9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 00:06:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36G66mF014222 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 00:06:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36AjCJi037382; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 11:01:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1880189 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 11:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36G1KeQ024124 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 11:01:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h36G0kid024348 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 11:00:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h36G0klk024344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 11:00:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 11:00:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304061600.h36G0klk024344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 061601 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 06 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 06/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N137W TO 24N120W TO 17N113W TO 11N107W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 5N90W 5N98W 7N111W 6N118W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 99W...AND WITHIN 75-100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 129W AND 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 118W...AND WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD TO MEXICO...WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 12N120W 17N110W BEYOND PUERTO VALLARTA IN MEXICO. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 10:09:14 2003 X-UIDL: 21649-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCX00CF0TR8S9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:49:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36JnxmF067850 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:50:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36I9SpS037312; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 14:42:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 2346 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 14:42:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36JgGeQ014190 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 14:42:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h36Jfbid027385 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 14:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h36JfbJ6027384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 14:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 14:41:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304061941.h36JfbJ6027384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 16.4S1 113.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 113.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.7S5 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.4S4 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.5S8 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.5S0 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.7S4 113.3E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. TC 26S HAS BEGUN RECURVATURE AND BEGUN TRACKING TO THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST, INCREASING TRACK SPEED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SPEED AND TRACK FURTHER SOUTHEASTWARD AS THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES INCREASES. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN IN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AS IT TRACKS TOWARD AUSTRALIA, DISSIPATING AT THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH OUR FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0, 070900Z6, 71500Z3 AND 072100Z0. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 10:09:15 2003 X-UIDL: 21653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCX00CWHWLUS9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:51:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36KpYmF080292 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:51:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36I9TDa045438; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 3761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36KgleQ013848 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h36KgEid028070 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h36KgExA028068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304062042.h36KgExA028068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/062100Z/070600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 156.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER SURFACE TROUGHING. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES SURFACE TROUGHING AS WELL. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). 4.RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 10:09:17 2003 X-UIDL: 21655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCX00CWAZJSS9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 05:55:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36Lt6mF090703 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 05:55:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36I9S4G037312; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 16:53:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 4836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 16:53:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36Lr1eQ037466 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 16:53:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h36LqSid028782 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 16:52:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h36LqSns028781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 16:52:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 16:52:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304062152.h36LqSns028781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 062152 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 26N161W 25N158W 26N161W MOVED EAST AT 05 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DESCRIPTION FOR MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 16N148W 12N140W EQ165W 03N170W 09N154W 15N158W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 03S153W 23S147W 25S150W 22S157W 10S160W MOVED SOUTH AT 10 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. CONVERGENCE BAND...NEW AREA ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAS FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04S141W 04S148W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 06S178E 07S173W 11S176W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 10:09:17 2003 X-UIDL: 21656-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCY00CHN08RS9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 06:10:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36MA4mF093270 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 06:10:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36I9S5i037312; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 17:04:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 17:04:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36M4XeQ004544 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 17:04:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h36M3xid028942 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 17:03:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h36M3xxe028941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 17:03:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 17:03:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304062203.h36M3xxe028941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 062204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 06 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1031 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N134W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N101W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 103W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W AND 120W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS W OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 10:09:18 2003 X-UIDL: 21665-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCY002NTAINCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:51:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h371q2mF035948 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:52:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36I9SMS037312; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 20:46:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 20:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h371kAeQ014120 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 20:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h371jbid001106 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 20:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h371jbL7001105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 20:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 20:45:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304070145.h371jbL7001105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 070300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 17.0S8 113.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 113.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.6S5 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.4S6 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.4S8 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 24.3S9 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.4S2 113.6E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. TC 26S CONTINUES TO RECURVE, TRACKING TO THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SPEED AND TRACK FURTHER SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TC 26S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN IN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AS IT TRACKS TOWARD AUSTRALIA, DISSIPATING AT THE END OF THE PERIOD OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH OUR FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6, 071500Z3, 072100Z0 AND 080300Z1. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 11:56:05 2003 X-UIDL: 21675-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCY002HEG7SCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 11:55:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h373t7mF076452 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 11:55:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36I9STg037312; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 22:49:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 10086 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 22:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h373ndeQ017578 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 22:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h373n6id002383 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 22:49:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h373n64x002382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 22:49:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 22:49:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304070349.h373n64x002382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 070349 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 07 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1028 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N133W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 17N106W SW OF MEXICO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N82W 4N102W 8N110W 5N121W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-103W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W-122W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N110W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 122W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF 10N131W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 14:15:21 2003 X-UIDL: 21683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCY002L2MNACP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 14:13:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h376E2mF022976 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 14:14:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h375gKgY037312; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:03:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 12249 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:03:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3763WeQ029982 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3762wid003563 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:02:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3762w8p003561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:02:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:02:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304070602.h3762w8p003561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 156.5E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.7N9 156.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL DISORGANIZED CONVECTION CYCLING OVER A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3.RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 16:56:44 2003 X-UIDL: 21696-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCY002FJTQTCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 16:47:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h378lBmF078308 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 16:47:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h375gKkw037312; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:38:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 13758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:38:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h378coeQ019416 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:38:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h378cHid004717 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:38:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h378cG3O004716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:38:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304070838.h378cG3O004716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 070900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 17.5S3 113.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 113.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.3S3 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.3S6 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.2S7 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.9S7 114.2E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 26S SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING UNDER UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD DISSIPATE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS AS IT TRACKS OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH OUR FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3, 072100Z0, 080300Z1 AND 080900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 17:56:44 2003 X-UIDL: 21698-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCY002CLWLPCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 17:49:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h379n2mF098113 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 17:49:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h375gKmU037312; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:43:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:43:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h379hpeQ012786 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:43:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h379hIid005221 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:43:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h379hI1S005220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:43:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:43:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304070943.h379hI1S005220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 070943 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 07 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1028 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N132W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 20N109W BETWEEN SOCORRO ISLAND AND CABO CORRIENTES IN SW MEXICO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N81W 4N103W 8N113W 5N123W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS W OF 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W-123W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-108W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF 23N108W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-6N. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN A SIMILAR DISTANCE OF THE COLUMBIAN COASTLINE FROM EQ-2N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 18:06:44 2003 X-UIDL: 21699-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCY0020RXB2CP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 18:04:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37A4ImF003414 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 18:04:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h375gKnu037312; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 05:00:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 05:00:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37A09eQ037598 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 05:00:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h379xaid005352 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:59:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h379xaBj005351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:59:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:59:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304070959.h379xaBj005351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 070959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 06N167W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 05N140W...AND CONTINUING TO THE EAST OF 140W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12S162W 17S157W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 17S154W 18S152W 19S155W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 02S152W 11S152W 06S158W. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 21:46:21 2003 X-UIDL: 21712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ002NW6DWCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 21:20:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37DKMmF060934 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 21:20:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h375gKt2037312; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:06:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37D2KeQ045442 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:02:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37D1lid007149 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37D1lJ2007147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:01:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304071301.h37D1lJ2007147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 071300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/071300Z/071800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 113.8E3, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 070900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 24.2S8 41.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A MID-LEVEL LOW HAS BEGUN TO BUILD DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A POSSIBLE CIRCULATION OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR. CONVECTION HAS BEEN UNORGANIZED AND CYCLING OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR MIXING INTO THE CENTER OF THE AREA, THEREFORE IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 21:46:22 2003 X-UIDL: 21714-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ002PU6EWCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 21:20:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37DKxmF061218 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 21:21:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37CAYlc017510; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:05:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:02:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37D2KeQ020438 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:02:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37D1lid007150 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37D1lpw007148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 08:01:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304071301.h37D1lpw007148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/071300Z/071800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 113.8E3, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 070900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 24.2S8 41.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A MID-LEVEL LOW HAS BEGUN TO BUILD DOWN TO THE SURFACE RESULTING IN A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A POSSIBLE CIRCULATION OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR. CONVECTION HAS BEEN UNORGANIZED AND CYCLING OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR MIXING INTO THE CENTER OF THE AREA, THEREFORE IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 23:42:22 2003 X-UIDL: 21718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ002P09AZCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 22:23:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37ENMmF083847 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 22:23:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37Dg0iW044274; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:05:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 17808 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:05:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37E54eQ014278 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:05:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37E4Uid008984 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:04:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37E4UEY008983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:04:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:04:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304071404.h37E4UEY008983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 071500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 18.3S2 114.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 114.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.0S2 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.0S4 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.7S6 115.2E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 26S SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING UNDER UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD DISSIPATE IN 18 TO 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH OUR FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0, 080300Z1 AND 080900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 00:09:58 2003 X-UIDL: 21728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ002AMDKOCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 23:55:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37FtZmF016899 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 23:55:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37Dg0s0044274; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 10:35:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 20169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 10:35:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37FZCeQ046184 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 10:35:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37FYdid012255 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 10:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37FYdVM012254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 10:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 10:34:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304071534.h37FYdVM012254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 071535 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 07 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N131W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 20N108W BETWEEN SOCORRO ISLAND AND CABO CORRIENTES IN SW MEXICO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 7N82W 4N95W 5N110W 8N115W 5N123W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3.5N TO 6N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 118W-121W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W AND 124W. WEAKENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W OF 138W. ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 6N87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE S OF 3.5N E OF 81W. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 01:30:50 2003 X-UIDL: 21734-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ002V9HXOCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 01:29:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37HTpmF050073 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 01:29:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37H9ahe017512; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:21:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 22750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:21:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37HLNeQ020630 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:21:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37HKoid016120 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:20:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37HKonL016118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:20:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:20:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304071720.h37HKonL016118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) LOCATED NEAR 18.3S2 114.8E4, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.2S8 41.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.6S1 40.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEAL THAT AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL HAS DEEPENED DOWNWARD THROUGH THE MID-LEVEL TO THE SURFACE, WITH A CORRESPONDING WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION REMAINS UNORGANIZED AND CYCLING. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE SYSTEM INTO THE CENTER OF THE AREA. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 01:40:50 2003 X-UIDL: 21735-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ002YPI02CP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 01:31:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37HVImF050479 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 01:31:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37Dg07k044274; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:21:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 22746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:21:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37HLNeQ016414 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:21:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37HKoid016121 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:20:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37HKofa016119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:20:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 12:20:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304071720.h37HKofa016119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) LOCATED NEAR 18.3S2 114.8E4, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.2S8 41.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.6S1 40.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEAL THAT AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL HAS DEEPENED DOWNWARD THROUGH THE MID-LEVEL TO THE SURFACE, WITH A CORRESPONDING WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION REMAINS UNORGANIZED AND CYCLING. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE SYSTEM INTO THE CENTER OF THE AREA. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 04:30:50 2003 X-UIDL: 21753-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ0029HQ99CP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:29:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37KTbmF010056 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:29:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37K1PiK009564; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:15:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 28032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:15:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37KFgeQ011534 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:15:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37KF7id021967 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:15:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37KF7t4021965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:15:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:15:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304072015.h37KF7t4021965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 072100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 18.9S8 115.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 115.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 20.3S5 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 22.0S4 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.2S2 116.0E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE TO THE SOUTHEAST, AHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER, AS THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION COINCIDENT WITH APPROACHING LANDFALL. TC 26S CONTINUES ON TRACK FOR LANDFALL WEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY IN AN UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY 24 HOURS. THE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE CLUSTERED WITH RESPECT TO THE REMNANTS OF 26S AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER LAND. ONE CLUSTER CONSISTING OF BOM TLAPS, AFWA MM5 AND NCEP AVIATION TRACK THE REMNANTS SOUTHWARD, PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA, WHILE NOGAPS, GFDN, BOM TCLAPS, AND UK MET OFFICE (EGRR) MODELS TAKE THE SYSTEM FAR INLAND TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE LATTER CLUSTER AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1, 080900Z7 AND 081500Z4. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 06:20:50 2003 X-UIDL: 21760-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ002GFUY8CP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 06:10:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37MAtmF035191 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 06:10:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37JtI8M044274; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 16:58:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31334 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 16:58:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37LwoeQ028210 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 16:58:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37LwGid024970 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 16:58:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37LwG1p024969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 16:58:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 16:58:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304072158.h37LwG1p024969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 072158 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 07 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 07/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N130W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 18N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N88W 4N113W 8N115W 4N125W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS E OF 81W AND BETWEEN 113W AND 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 06:20:51 2003 X-UIDL: 21761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ00C76V5BE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 06:15:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37MFGmF036225 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 06:15:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37JtI8w044274; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 17:04:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 17:04:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37M4ZeQ005790 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 17:04:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37M42id025113 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 17:04:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37M412f025112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 17:04:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 17:04:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304072204.h37M412f025112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 072204 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 24N154W 22N155W MOVED EAST AT 15 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N140W 05N150W 09N160W 04N168W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. NEW AREA ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N178W 07N180. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S150W 20S151W 11S165W 05S161W MOVED SOUTH AT 10 KT WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 10:20:51 2003 X-UIDL: 21773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD000C284ONE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 09:41:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h381fEmF085475 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 09:41:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h380rcnG009564; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 20:33:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 34853 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 20:32:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h381WPeQ003704 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 20:32:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h381Vpid028072 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 20:31:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h381Vp82028071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 20:31:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 20:31:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304080131.h381Vp82028071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 19.8S8 115.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S8 115.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.0S3 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 22.8S2 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.1S3 115.3E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE TO THE SOUTHEAST, LEAVING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) FULLY EXPOSED. THE LLCC HAS TRACKED ALMOST DUE SOUTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, AND LANDFALL IS NOW FORECAST FURTHER TO THE WEST, BETWEEN ONSLOW AND KARRATHA. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE NOW WIDELY DISPARATE WITH RESPECT TO MOTION OF TC 26S OVER LAND. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS, GIVEN THE NOW FULLY EXPOSED LLCC, AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7, 081500Z4 AND 082100Z1. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 12:20:08 2003 X-UIDL: 21785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD000C70BAJE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 12:03:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3843smF031329 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 12:03:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37JtIW4044274; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 22:52:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 36849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 22:52:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h383qoeQ014256 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 22:52:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h383qGid029554 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 22:52:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h383qG9q029553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 22:52:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 22:52:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304080352.h383qG9q029553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 080352 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 08 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N130W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 18N110W THROUGH SOCORRO ISLAND. ..COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE NW AND WILL LIKELY ENTER THE REGION IN THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N100W 5N110W 4N124W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 116W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 105W-115W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 4N124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 18:32:30 2003 X-UIDL: 21802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD000CNRS1OE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 18:05:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38A5omF046812 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 18:05:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h385aTj0022712; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:57:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 40465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:57:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h389vpeQ035952 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:57:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h389vFid002362 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:57:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h389vFsg002361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:57:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:57:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304080957.h389vFsg002361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 080957 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 08 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N129W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 13N104W AND SW TO BEYOND 26N140W. ..COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE NW AND WILL LIKELY ENTER THE REGION IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N97W 6N103W 5N110W 8N118W 4N126W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS E OF 86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 112W-119W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-110W...123W-131W AND W OF 138W. SMALL CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 4N98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 18:32:32 2003 X-UIDL: 21803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD000CPZS33E5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 18:06:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38A6hmF047045 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 18:06:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h388hej2035528; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 05:00:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 40492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 05:00:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38A06eQ026928 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 05:00:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h389xVid002379 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:59:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h389xVpT002378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:59:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:59:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304080959.h389xVpT002378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 080959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N143W 05N140W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 06N160W 06N163W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N175W 05N177W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 13S160W 14S155W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY...AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 23:12:31 2003 X-UIDL: 21817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD100CBK1A5E5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:25:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38DPFmF000198 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:25:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38Co9ge004560; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:09:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 42213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:05:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38D5NeQ033222 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:05:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h38D4lid004247 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h38D4lWv004245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:04:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304081304.h38D4lWv004245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 081300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/081300Z/081800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) LOCATED NEAR 18.3S2 114.8E4, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.6S1 40.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.8S4 40.2E6, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEAL A GOOD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PRESENT. DEEP CONVECTION IS SEEN BUILDING IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS INDUCED THE LLCC OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THE LLCC IS NOW SEEN TO BE DEVELOPING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT INTO THE CENTER. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE 26 CELSIUS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. DUE TO THE IMPROVING LLCC, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND FAVORABLE WATER VAPOR PROFILE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO A FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO A FAIR AREA. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EBBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 23:12:31 2003 X-UIDL: 21819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD100CLD1FZE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:28:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38DSimF001110 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:28:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38Co9gg004560; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:09:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 42216 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:05:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38D5NeQ027098 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:05:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h38D4lid004248 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h38D4l6e004246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 08:04:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304081304.h38D4l6e004246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/081300Z/081800ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO) LOCATED NEAR 18.3S2 114.8E4, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.6S1 40.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.8S4 40.2E6, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEAL A GOOD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PRESENT. DEEP CONVECTION IS SEEN BUILDING IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS INDUCED THE LLCC OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THE LLCC IS NOW SEEN TO BE DEVELOPING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT INTO THE CENTER. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE 26 CELSIUS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. DUE TO THE IMPROVING LLCC, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND FAVORABLE WATER VAPOR PROFILE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO A FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO A FAIR AREA. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EBBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 23:50:32 2003 X-UIDL: 21829-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD100CED7P5E5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 23:43:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38FhumF042492 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 23:43:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h388heQ8035528; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 10:34:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 44945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 10:34:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38FY6eQ015180 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 10:34:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h38FXUid009082 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 10:33:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h38FXUb6009081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 10:33:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 10:33:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304081533.h38FXUb6009081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 081533 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 08 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1023 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N130W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO SOCORRO ISLAND NEAR 19N111W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH TO BEYOND 26N140W. ..COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE NW AND WILL ENTER THE NW PORTION OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 5N81W 4N100W 6N105W 5N114W 7N120W 4N134W 6N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75-90 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 86W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W-90W AND 96W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W-106W...112W-115W... AND 119W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 09:44:19 2003 X-UIDL: 21862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD100C6IOQXE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 05:52:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38Lq8mF050603 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 05:52:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38Co9ba004560; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:44:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:44:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38Li8eQ033894 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:44:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h38LhWid026339 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:43:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h38LhWRZ026338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:43:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:43:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304082143.h38LhWRZ026338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 082143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 08 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 08/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N129W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO SOCORRO ISLAND NEAR 19N111W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH TO BEYOND 25N140W. ..COLD FRONT HAS ENTERED IS THE AREA FROM THE NW ALONG 32N135W 30N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 4N110W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS E OF 100W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS W OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 09:44:19 2003 X-UIDL: 21863-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD100C47PJZE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 06:09:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38M9emF053727 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 06:09:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38LUNli035528; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:00:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52837 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:00:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38M08eQ030258 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:00:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h38LxWid026640 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:59:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h38LxWOo026639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:59:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:59:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304082159.h38LxWOo026639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 082159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N167W 04N170W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 09N152W 07N144W 08N140W 04N140W 05N150W 05N157W 08N158W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (1)...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S ARE BOUNDED BY EQ168E 10S171W 13S169W 13S173W 16S173W 15S180 25S179E 25S177E 12S168E 05S169E EQ166E...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (2)...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 12S167W 17S155W 23S150W 25S149W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (1). ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 02S167W 04S166W 07S153W 11S151W 11S160W 06S170W 04S170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 09:44:21 2003 X-UIDL: 21871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD1004NMRDPTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 06:49:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38Mn6mF060760 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 06:49:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38LUNrM035528; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 53339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38ManeQ030324 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h38MaDid027250 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h38MaDrU027248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304082236.h38MaDrU027248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 082230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/082230Z/090600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.7N9 159.5E0 IS RELOCATED NEAR 2.9N1 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND. A 081924Z4 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE TO THE EAST OF A REGION OF TROUGHING. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND WEAK TO MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 082200 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO INCREASED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. 4. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 12:50:52 2003 X-UIDL: 21899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD20048W66ZTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:09:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39493mF052536 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:09:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h391TskO004566; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 22:58:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 57475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 22:58:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h393wkeQ026546 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 22:58:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h393wBid001216 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 22:58:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h393wB8b001215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 22:58:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 22:58:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090358.h393wB8b001215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 090358 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 09 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 09/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N134W BEYOND 28N140W. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N132W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 4N92W 4N105W 6N126W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND LOCAL THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 132W. ISOLATED CELL WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 8N120W. MIDDLE/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEING STRETCHED AND CARRIED TO THE NORTHEAST...UNDER THE MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW...FROM 4N TO 13N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THIS AREA IS BEING WEAKENED BECAUSE OF THE MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN PANAMA COASTAL WATERS...WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 8N82W. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW GOES FROM THE BASE OF A TROUGH...WHICH IS TO THE WEST OF 140W...CROSSES OVER 20N130W...LEADING INTO BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN REST OF EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN NORTH OF 10N EAST OF 130W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 13:38:16 2003 X-UIDL: 21906-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004G5A5VTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 13:34:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h395YlmF078255 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 13:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h394NelY035528; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 58711 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h395LheQ014890 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h395L7id002122 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h395L7SR002120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090521.h395L7SR002120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR 3.3N6 159.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.9N1 159.6E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 18:04:03 2003 X-UIDL: 21929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004W4MHUTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 18:01:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39A140A060639 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 18:01:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956Omm004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:55:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 60578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:55:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h399tteQ047080 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h399tJid004461 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:55:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h399tJCB004460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:55:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:55:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090955.h399tJCB004460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 090955 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 09 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 09/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N133W BEYOND 27N140W. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N131W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 3N92W 4N110W 6N120W 6N130W 6N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 124W AND 128W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 120-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 132W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 94W. MIDDLE/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE BEING STRETCHED AND CARRIED TO THE NORTHEAST...UNDER THE MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW...FROM THE ITCZ TO 15N...BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THIS AREA IS BEING WEAKENED BECAUSE OF THE MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OFFSHORE WESTERN PANAMA COASTAL WATERS...WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 7N82.5W. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW GOES FROM THE BASE OF A TROUGH JUST TO THE WEST OF 140W...CROSSING JUST SOUTH OF 20N130W...LEADING INTO BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN REST OF EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN NORTH OF 10N EAST OF 130W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 18:24:03 2003 X-UIDL: 21931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004I6N6JTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 18:15:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39AFx0A064967 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 18:16:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956OnE004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 05:09:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 60795 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 05:09:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39A9SeQ007780 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 05:09:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39A8qid004652 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 05:08:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39A8qx6004651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 05:08:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 05:08:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304091008.h39A8qx6004651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 091009 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N143W 09N150W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREAS OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 06S173E 15S173W 20S179W 12S166E AND 23S179E 26S177W 33S172W 36S175W 24S179E MOVED SOUTH AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INCREASED INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 06S158W 15S153W 14S171W 06S159W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. LORENTSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 00:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 21946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004N02MLTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:49:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39Fnb0A064894 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:49:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956ODe004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:40:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65234 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:40:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39FeVeQ043264 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:40:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39Fdtid012613 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39FdtHk012612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304091539.h39FdtHk012612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 091540 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 09 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 09/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 30N134W TO BEYOND 27N140W. THE FRONT IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN AND IS DENOTED BY A BAND OF LOW CLOUDS ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. ..A 1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 28N130W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE FROM THE HIGH TO SOCORRO ISLAND NEAR 19N111W. BROAD HIGH PRES AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 4N90W 5N110W 8N123W 5N131W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 120W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W-128W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W-85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 128W TO 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 6N77.5W. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 02:17:04 2003 X-UIDL: 21951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004N791TTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:08:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39I8I0A004202 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:08:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956OdI004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:57:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 69391 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:57:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39HvLeQ008836 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:57:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39Hujid017485 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:56:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39HujD3017483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:56:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:56:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304091756.h39HujD3017483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25.1S8 39.8E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.7S4 40.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS, WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE LLCC. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS INTERACTING WITH A MID-LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM WITH THE SYSTEM BEGINNING TO SHOW SIGNS OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT INTO THE SYSTEM CONTINUES WITH VERY DRY AIR ENCIRCLING THE SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. DUE TO THE INTERACTION WITH THE WESTERLIES AND EARLY SIGNS OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS HAS BEEN LOWERED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/WAUGAMAN/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 02:17:04 2003 X-UIDL: 21952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004NB91UTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:08:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39I8N0A004230 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:08:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39FwSDc023562; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:57:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 69394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:57:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39HvLeQ033996 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:57:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39Hujid017486 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:56:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39Hujmv017484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:56:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:56:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304091756.h39Hujmv017484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25.1S8 39.8E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.7S4 40.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS, WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE LLCC. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS INTERACTING WITH A MID-LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM WITH THE SYSTEM BEGINNING TO SHOW SIGNS OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT INTO THE SYSTEM CONTINUES WITH VERY DRY AIR ENCIRCLING THE SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. DUE TO THE INTERACTION WITH THE WESTERLIES AND EARLY SIGNS OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS HAS BEEN LOWERED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/WAUGAMAN/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 06:17:06 2003 X-UIDL: 21968-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004NBK7FTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 06:09:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39M9J0A071494 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 06:09:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39K9r2a041824; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:58:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:58:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39LwBeQ024188 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:58:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39LvZid025622 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:57:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39LvZcp025621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:57:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:57:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304092157.h39LvZcp025621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 092157 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 09 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 09/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N131W TO BEYOND 27N140W. ..A 1023 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 28N130W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE FROM THE HIGH TO SOCORRO ISLAND NEAR 19N111W. BROAD HIGH PRES AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG AXIS 5N77W 4N110W 7N122W 4N135W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 88W AND BETWEEN 116W AND 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 06:17:06 2003 X-UIDL: 21969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004ODK8PTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 06:10:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39MA40A071647 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 06:10:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39K9r3G041824; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 17:01:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75751 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 17:00:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39M0DeQ013946 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 17:00:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39LxYid025668 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:59:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39LxYcc025667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:59:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:59:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304092159.h39LxYcc025667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 092159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12N150W 08N140W 06N150W 04N152W 03N157W 07N167W 05N172W 10N179W 10N169W 09N160W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 27N146W 26N155W 23N163W 25N169W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT AND INTENSIFIED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 19N171W 17N169W 16N166W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 01S167E 15S170W 17S172W 16S174W 22S177E 15S168E 11S173E 03S164E 01S164E HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 01S166W 06S154W 10S151W 12S156W 10S161W 17S160W 11S175W 02S175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 20S147W 24S143W 25S149W 21S151W 23S148W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 13:59:46 2003 X-UIDL: 21987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DKQ0WNJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:09:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A4A10A074520 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:10:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39K9rXM041824; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:05:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 82101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:05:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A45deQ043278 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:05:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A454id000100 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:05:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A453TA000099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:05:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:05:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100405.h3A453TA000099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 100405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 10 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 10/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A WEAKENING COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N131W TO BEYOND 27N140W. ..A 1023 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 28N130W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE FROM THE HIGH TO SOCORRO ISLAND NEAR 19N111W. BROAD HIGH PRES AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 4N95W 5N110W 8N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 120W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 130W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W...AND WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS OF REST OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 32N121W TO 28N122W. UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM WITHIN 400 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 12N127W 19N115W BEYOND 24N108W. WIND SPEEDS REACH 100 KT IN THE JET STREAM. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 13:59:49 2003 X-UIDL: 21990-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400D2K1EMJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:20:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A4Kn0A078001 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:20:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39K9rXY041824; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:15:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 82208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:15:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A4F5eQ038796 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:15:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A4ETid000201 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:14:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A4ETRX000200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:14:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:14:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...cor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100414.h3A4ETRX000200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 100414 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 10 APR 2003 ..CORRECTION TO SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS AND TO DATE/TIME FOR VALID SATELLITE IMAGERY... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 10/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N130W TO 30N134W TO 26N140W AND 25N142W. BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 25N131W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE...AWAY FROM DISSIPATING COLD FRONT...NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 4N95W 5N110W 8N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 120W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 130W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W...AND WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS OF REST OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 32N121W TO 28N122W. UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM WITHIN 400 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 12N127W 19N115W BEYOND 24N108W. WIND SPEEDS REACH 100 KT IN THE JET STREAM. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 13:59:53 2003 X-UIDL: 21995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DE05X7J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 13:58:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5wL0A004633 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 13:58:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELhW041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:47:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 83834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:47:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5l8eQ029742 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A5kWid001102 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A5kWSI001100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:46:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100546.h3A5kWSI001100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR 6.8N4 160.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 100300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 18:01:57 2003 X-UIDL: 22017-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DYOGY8J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 17:56:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A9ua0A078347 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 17:56:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELle041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:52:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:52:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A9qaeQ044278 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:52:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A9q0id003199 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:52:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A9q0Et003198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:52:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:52:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100952.h3A9q0Et003198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 100952 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... UPPER LEVEL LOW...NEW AREA ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED BOUNDED BY 25N168W 22N156W 19N159W. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE UPPER LEVEL LOW DESCRIPTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 05S171E 11S171W 17S171W 20S178W 15S169W 12S172W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 01S170W 07S153W 12S163W 17S158W 18S162W 05S173W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. FRONT...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 20S140W 26S145W 21S148W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 18:11:56 2003 X-UIDL: 22019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DEIHKWJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 18:10:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AAAE0A082401 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 18:10:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELlm041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 05:05:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 05:05:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AA5WeQ026930 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 05:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AA4uid003349 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 05:04:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AA4uJu003348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 05:04:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 05:04:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101004.h3AA4uJu003348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 101005 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 10 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 10/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N129W TO 30N132W TO 25N140W AND 23N143W. BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 25N129W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE...AWAY FROM DISSIPATING COLD FRONT...NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 3N93W 5N110W 7N120W 7N126W 6N132W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IN COLOMBIA COASTAL WATERS FROM 3N TO 4N BETWEEN 77W AND 78W...AND IN PANAMA/COSTA RICA COASTAL WATERS FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 81W AND 86W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 133W. UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS CAUSING SOME SHEARING...DISRUPTING THE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF MORE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN AND JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 120W AND 134W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 32N120W TO 26N120W. UPPER LEVEL JET STREAM WITHIN 400-450 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 10N129W 18N115W BEYOND 24N107W. WIND SPEEDS REACH 100 KT IN THE JET STREAM. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 22:10:43 2003 X-UIDL: 22027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DDHS2EJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:56:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ADui0A056988 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:56:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5EL2I041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:47:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 88071 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ADldeQ020294 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ADl3id006710 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ADl36W006708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:47:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101347.h3ADl36W006708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO24 FMEE 101200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/15 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 10/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 995 HPA POSITION: 29.1 S / 46.8 E (TWENTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 15 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 160 NMIN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. 25/30 KT NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND THE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/04/11 AT 00 UTC: 30.1 SOUTH/ 49.9 EAST. MAX WIND = 45 KT. SUBTROPICAL 24H, VALID 2003/04/11 AT 12 UTC: 30.6 SOUTH/ 53.6 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. EXTRATROPICAL OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONG WINDS IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE ARE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH-EAST PART OF THE SYSTEM. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 23:35:29 2003 X-UIDL: 22034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DKIW0VJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 23:22:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AFM90A084954 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 23:22:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5EL8Q041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:04:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 89174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:58:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AEwgeQ010860 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:58:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AEw6id009380 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:58:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AEw6jG009379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:58:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:58:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101458.h3AEw6jG009379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIII, Probability=36%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 101458 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0800 AM PDT THU APR 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TEST...TEST...TEST...TEST...TEST... THIS IS A NHC COMMS TEST MESSAGE ONLY... FORECASTER SISKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 23:39:18 2003 X-UIDL: 22035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DU3WQNJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 23:37:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AFbe0A090305 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 23:37:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELBi041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:26:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 89683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:26:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AFQ3eQ004314 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:26:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AFPRid010463 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:25:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AFPRap010462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:25:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:25:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101525.h3AFPRap010462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 101525 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 10 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 31N129W TO 26N140W. THE TROUGH IS DRIFTING EAST BUT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. ..A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA NEAR 30N140W. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATER TODAY. ..A 1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 26N131W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA NORTH OF 8N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1515 UTC... ITCZ... THE AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N94W 5N102W 4N108W 6N116W 8N125W 5N136W 4N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W-110W AND 123W-126W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60-75 NM OF AXIS E OF 79W...100W-102W...AND 126W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 8.5N84W TO 7N87W. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 02:53:50 2003 X-UIDL: 22044-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500DGL33DJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:54:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AHsn0A033703 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:54:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELOS041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 92586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AHkceQ010956 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AHk2id015648 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AHk23x015645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101746.h3AHk23x015645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25.7S4 40.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR CONTINUES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. DUE TO THE SUBTROPICAL NATURE OF THE SYSTEM AND THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 02:53:50 2003 X-UIDL: 22045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500DME37TJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:57:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AHvZ0A034452 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:57:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELOe041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:47:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 92595 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AHkceQ003826 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AHk2id015650 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AHk2Ax015647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 12:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101746.h3AHk2Ax015647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25.7S4 40.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR CONTINUES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. DUE TO THE SUBTROPICAL NATURE OF THE SYSTEM AND THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 02:53:58 2003 X-UIDL: 22049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500DYT4AWJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:20:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AIL20A040998 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:21:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELX8041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 13:11:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 93379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 13:11:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AIBqeQ018704 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 13:11:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AIBFid016503 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 13:11:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AIBEZT016501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 13:11:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 13:11:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101811.h3AIBEZT016501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 101800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 1/15/20022003 1.A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 10/04/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 30.1S/49.3E (THIRTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / /D /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 280 KM SW30: 120 KM NW30: 50 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 31.0S / 53.5E FI= 2.B FORECAST 24H : 30.8S / 57.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 29.0S / 56.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE EYE OBSERVED DURING THE LAST HOURS HAS NOW DISAPPEARED. CONVECTION REMAINS ORGANIZED IN CURVED BAND. INTRUSION OF DRYER AIR CAN BE OBSERVED IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 05:43:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500DBQDJ0J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 05:40:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ALeA0A096346 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 05:40:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XrQ041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:29:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 97384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:29:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ALTreQ011092 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:29:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ALTFid023141 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:29:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ALTFOZ023140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:29:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:29:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304102129.h3ALTFOZ023140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 102129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 10 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N126W TO 25N137W. THE TROUGH IS DRIFTING EAST BUT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. ..A COLD FRONT IS LOCATED FROM 32N137W TO BEYOND 30N140W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA NORTH OF 8N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2115 UTC... ITCZ... THE AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 3N96W 5N120W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 240 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 109W AND 119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 06:13:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500DH1EPUJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 06:05:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AM610A001766 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 06:06:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7Xt8041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:55:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 97750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:55:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ALt0eQ014622 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:55:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ALsMid023810 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:54:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ALsMJi023809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:54:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:54:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304102154.h3ALsMJi023809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 102154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... UPPER LEVEL LOW...AREA ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED BOUNDED BY 25N175W 25N150W 18N150W. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE UPPER LEVEL LOW DESCRIPTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08S170E 12S170W 15S170W 15S170E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH NO CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 02S178W 05S160W 08S155W 10S163W 08S170W 06S178W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST TROUGH DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 08:23:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500FXMKZSNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:21:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B0LW0A033121 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:21:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7X4k041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:09:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 99440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:09:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B09TeQ024332 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:09:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B08oid025760 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:08:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B08obY025758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:08:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:08:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110008.h3B08obY025758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 110000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 003/15 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 11/04/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 990 HPA POSITION : 31.1S/52.2E (THIRTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 24 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 33.2 SOUTH/56.6 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 12/04/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 33.0 SOUTH/60.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER 15 GOES ON TRACKING VERY FASTLY EASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTWARD. AN EYE HAS STARTED TO APPEAR WITHIN THE CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 11:53:44 2003 X-UIDL: 22081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500FBWUFNNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 11:45:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B3jO0A000983 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 11:45:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XFY041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:39:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 102011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:39:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B3dAeQ014388 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:39:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B3cWid028501 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:38:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B3cWo7028500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:38:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:38:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110338.h3B3cWo7028500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 110338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 11 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 31N127W TO 25N136W. ..A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N136W AND EXTENDS TO BEYOND 28N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0315 UTC... ITCZ... THE AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N83W 3N97W 7N110W 9N125W 4N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 92W AND FROM 125W TO 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 104W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS DOMINATE THE AREA FROM 3N TO 23N FROM 123W TO BEYOND 140W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 14:03:44 2003 X-UIDL: 22086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FAD0LGNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:58:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B5wY0A041765 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AMbHUk038148; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:51:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:51:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B5p4eQ011064 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:51:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B5oQid029952 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B5oQVN029950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:50:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110550.h3B5oQVN029950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 158.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:19 2003 X-UIDL: 22097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FYO3J4NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:01:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B71w0A061489 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:01:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XKg041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:57:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103781 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:57:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B6v8eQ023670 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:57:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B6uUid000655 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:56:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B6uUZZ000652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:56:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:56:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110656.h3B6uUZZ000652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 110600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 2/15/20022003 1.A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION (LANTO) 2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC 11/04/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.4S/55.9E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / / /24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 220 KM SE30: 200 KM SW30: 350 KM NW30: 100 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP 1.B FORECAST 12H : 34.7S / 62.1E FI= 2.B FORECAST 24H : 36.0S / 66.0E FI= EXTRATROPICAL 3.B FORECAST 48H : 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : THIS SYSTEME HAS A WARM CORE AND SEEMS TO BE CATCHED BY THE POLAR FRONT, AS IT TRACKS VERY QUICKLY TOWARD IT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:19 2003 X-UIDL: 22098-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FHZ3QYNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:06:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B76e0A062952 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:06:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XL0041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:02:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B72KeQ048790 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:02:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B71gid000761 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B71g7S000759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:01:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110701.h3B71g7S000759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 110659 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :2/15/20022003 1.A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LUMA) 2.A POSITION 2003/04/11 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.4 S / 55.9 E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 200 SO: 350 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 050 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/04/11 AT 18 UTC: 34.7 S/ 62.1 E MAX WIND = 065 KT SUBTROPICAL 24H: 2003/04/12 AT 06 UTC: 36.0 S/ 66.0 E MAX WIND = 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SYSTEME HAS A WARM CORE AND SEEMS TO BE CATCHED BY THE POLAR FRONT, AS IT TRACKS VERY QUICKLY TOWARD IT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:21 2003 X-UIDL: 22100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600F9D4YONP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:32:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B7Ws0A070829 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:32:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XLc041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:27:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104079 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:27:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B7RteQ029100 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:27:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B7RHid001020 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B7RHUH001018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:27:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110727.h3B7RHUH001018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 110600 SECURITE HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/15 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 11/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LANTO ) 985 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.4S/55.9E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 40 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN A BAND LOCATED IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS UP TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 100 NM IN THE NORTHEAST. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 100NM, EXTENDING UP TO 180 IN THE SOUTH AND 120 NM IN THE NORTHEAST . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/04/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 34.7 SOUTH/62.1 EAST SUBTROPICAL FORECASTED POSITION 12/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 36.0 SOUTH/66.0 EAST EXTRATROPICAL OTHER INFORMATIONS : AN EYE IS CLEARLY VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM TRACKS QUICKLY EASTSOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE POLAR TROUGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 22110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600F2M8QKNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:54:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B8sN0A098816 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:54:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XMu041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:47:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105077 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B8lceQ040148 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:47:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B8l0id001753 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:47:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B8l0gW001751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:47:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:47:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110847.h3B8l0gW001751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 110600 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** SECURITE HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/15 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 11/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LUMA) 985 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.4S/55.9E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 40 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN A BAND LOCATED IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS UP TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 100 NM IN THE NORTHEAST. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 100NM, EXTENDING UP TO 180 IN THE SOUTH AND 120 NM IN THE NORTHEAST . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/04/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 34.7 SOUTH/62.1 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 12/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 36.0 SOUTH/66.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : AN EYE IS CLEARLY VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM TRACKS QUICKLY EASTSOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE POLAR TROUGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:32 2003 X-UIDL: 22113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FDGBB3NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 17:49:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B9nv0A018577 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 17:49:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XNI041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:37:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105425 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:37:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B9beeQ004728 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:37:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B9b2id002288 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:37:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B9b2Jk002286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:37:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:37:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: **** Corrective **** Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110937.h3B9b2Jk002286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 110600 CCA **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** **** CORRECTIVE **** SECURITE HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 004/15 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : FRIDAY 11/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC PHENOMENON : SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LUMA) 985 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.4S/55.9E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT : EASTSOUTHEAST 40 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN A BAND LOCATED IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS UP TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 100 NM IN THE NORTHEAST. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 100NM, EXTENDING UP TO 180 IN THE SOUTH AND 120 NM IN THE NORTHEAST . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 11/04/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 34.7 SOUTH/62.1 EAST FORECASTED POSITION 12/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 36.0 SOUTH/66.0 EAST OTHER INFORMATIONS : AN EYE IS CLEARLY VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM TRACKS QUICKLY EASTSOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE POLAR TROUGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:32 2003 X-UIDL: 22116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FZHBILNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 17:54:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B9sR0A020115 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 17:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XNG041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:37:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:37:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B9bAeQ030384 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:37:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B9aWid002268 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:36:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B9aWCn002267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:36:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:36:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110936.h3B9aWCn002267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 110937 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 11 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 31N126W TO 24N136W. ..A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N133W AND EXTENDS TO BEYOND 27N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0915 UTC... ITCZ... THE AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N83W 4N92W 4N100W 7N108W 9N126W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 137W TO JUST BEYOND 140W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 93W TO THE COAST OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS 106W TO 109W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N96W...WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N102W TO 12N105W...AND FROM 11N107W TO 12N110W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS DOMINATE THE AREA FROM 3N TO 23N FROM 101W TO BEYOND 140W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:33 2003 X-UIDL: 22117-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FDOC35NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 18:06:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BA6g0A023476 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 18:06:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XNc041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:59:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105560 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:59:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B9xxeQ048858 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:59:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B9xLid002457 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:59:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B9xKcb002456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:59:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:59:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110959.h3B9xKcb002456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 110959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 25N168W 23N163W 21N165W 21N175W 25N170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 24N152W 21N153W 20N159W 22N162W 24N157W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11N175W 09N170W 09N166W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N150W 05N152W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 05N140W 05N141W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER TROUGH...SECOND SENTENCE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER TROUGH...BOTH SENTENCES. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 11N175E 07N177W 04N178E 08N170E HAVE MOVED EAST AT 12 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 02S171E 05S178E 05S173W 09S169W 16S170W 14S176W 18S180 13S171E 10S173E 05S168E HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S162W 13S159W 16S143W 21S135W 22S145W 18S157W 14S163W 11S165W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 01S124W 04S123W 05S120W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 20:25:08 2003 X-UIDL: 22121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FNGIHBNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:24:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BCOl0A063735 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:24:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XSE041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:18:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106720 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BCIeeQ030328 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:18:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BCI2id003703 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BCI2w7003701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:18:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111218.h3BCI2w7003701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 111215 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 5/15 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND. HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LUMA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 34.5 S / 59.5 E (THIRTY FO UR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 32 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH SEAS UPT TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 100 NM IN THE NORCENTRET. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 100 NM EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTH AND 120 NM IN THE NORTH-EAST. STRONG GUST UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 00 UTC: 38.0 SOUTH/ 66.0 EAST. EXTRATROPICAL 24H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 12 UTC: FILLING UP OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM STARTS TO WEAKEN THROUGH NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD FILL UP FAIRLY RAPIDLY OVER COOLER WATERS DURING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION PH ASE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 21:25:08 2003 X-UIDL: 22130-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FATKUSNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:16:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BDGA0A075935 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:16:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XWS041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:08:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 107428 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:06:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BD6leQ028292 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:06:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BD65id004579 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BD65Sd004577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:06:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 11/04/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111306.h3BD65Sd004577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 111215 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 5/15 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND. HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LUMA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 34.5 S / 59.5 E (THIRTY FO UR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 32 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH SEAS UPT TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 100 NM IN THE NORCENTRET. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 100 NM EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTH AND 120 NM IN THE NORTH-EAST. STRONG GUST UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 00 UTC: 38.0 SOUTH/ 66.0 EAST. EXTRATROPICAL 24H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 12 UTC: FILLING UP OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM STARTS TO WEAKEN THROUGH NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD FILL UP FAIRLY RAPIDLY OVER COOLER WATERS DURING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION PH ASE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 22:15:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FONNENNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:11:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BEBB0A091368 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:11:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B7WbLS038148; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:03:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:03:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BE2weQ037382 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:02:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BE2Jid006181 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BE2JQJ006179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:02:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111402.h3BE2JQJ006179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 111358 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/15 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND. HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LUMA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 34.5 S / 59.5 E (THIRTY FO UR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 32 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH SEAS UPT TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 100 NM IN THE NORCENTRET. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 100 NM EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTH AND 120 NM IN THE NORTH-EAST. STRONG GUST UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 00 UTC: 38.0 SOUTH/ 66.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 60 KT. EXTRATROPICAL 24H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 12 UTC: FILLING UP OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM STARTS TO WEAKEN THROUGH NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD FILL UP FAIRLY RAPIDLY OVER COOLER WATERS DURING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION PH ASE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 22:25:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600F4PNO6NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:16:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BEH10A092743 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:17:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XZu041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:05:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:05:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BE58eQ036866 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:05:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BE4Uid006237 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:04:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BE4UX0006234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:04:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:04:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111404.h3BE4UX0006234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 111402 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/15 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND. HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LUMA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 34.5 S / 59.5 E (THIRTY FO UR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 32 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH SEAS UPT TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 100 NM IN THE NORCENTRET. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 100 NM EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTH AND 120 NM IN THE NORTH-EAST. STRONG GUST UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 00 UTC: 38.0 SOUTH/ 66.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 60 KT. EXTRATROPICAL 24H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 12 UTC: FILLING UP OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM STARTS TO WEAKEN THROUGH NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD FILL UP FAIRLY RAPIDLY OVER COOLER WATERS DURING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION PHASE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 22:35:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22137-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FZIO5ZNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:27:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BERf0A095942 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:27:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7Xb0041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:19:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:18:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BEIReQ032390 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:18:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BEHnid006895 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:17:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BEHnjN006893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:17:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:17:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111417.h3BEHnjN006893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 111402 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/15 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND. HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LUMA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 34.5 S / 59.5 E (THIRTY FO UR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 32 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH SEAS UPT TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 100 NM IN THE NORCENTRET. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 100 NM EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTH AND 120 NM IN THE NORTH-EAST. STRONG GUST UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 00 UTC: 38.0 SOUTH/ 66.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 60 KT. EXTRATROPICAL 24H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 12 UTC: FILLING UP OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM STARTS TO WEAKEN THROUGH NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD FILL UP FAIRLY RAPIDLY OVER COOLER WATERS DURING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION PHASE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 22:35:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22138-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FZLO5ZNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:27:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BERc0A095913 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:27:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B7WbPc038148; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:19:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:18:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BEIQeQ037398 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:18:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BEHmid006885 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:17:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BEHmvr006883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:17:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:17:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111417.h3BEHmvr006883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 111358 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/15 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND. HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 11/04/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LUMA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 34.5 S / 59.5 E (THIRTY FO UR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 32 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH SEAS UPT TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE AND UP TO 50 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND 100 NM IN THE NORCENTRET. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 100 NM EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTH AND 120 NM IN THE NORTH-EAST. STRONG GUST UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 00 UTC: 38.0 SOUTH/ 66.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 60 KT. EXTRATROPICAL 24H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 12 UTC: FILLING UP OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM STARTS TO WEAKEN THROUGH NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD FILL UP FAIRLY RAPIDLY OVER COOLER WATERS DURING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION PH ASE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 23:55:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FM7RUBNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 23:46:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BFl20A018567 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 23:47:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BEjVla041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:40:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 110231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:40:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BFeVeQ008818 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:40:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BFdrid009785 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:39:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BFdrZL009784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:39:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:39:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111539.h3BFdrZL009784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 111540 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 11 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N133W AND EXTENDS TO BEYOND 27N140W. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1515 UTC... ITCZ... THE AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 1N79W 6N89W 6N106W 10N119W 9N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-75 NM OF AXIS FROM 86W-94W... 127W-133W AND W OF 138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 6N103.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 15 NM OF LINE 9N86W 8.5N88W 8N90W. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 02:05:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FXVXWYNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:58:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BHwC0A054851 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:58:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BHipgu004906; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:50:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96343 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BHoOeQ041542 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BHnkid014292 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:49:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BHnk8a014290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:49:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:49:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111749.h3BHnk8a014290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 02:05:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22156-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600F5TY3MNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:02:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI2G0A056233 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:02:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BHirfi022456; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:50:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96340 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:50:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BHoOeQ015416 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:50:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BHnkid014293 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:49:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BHnk8A014291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:49:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:49:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111749.h3BHnk8A014291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 02:35:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FGJZ9CNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:27:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BIRI0A061959 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:27:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CfW010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:16:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96680 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:16:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BIGneQ035404 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:16:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BIGBid015157 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:16:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BIGBxr015155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:16:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:16:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111816.h3BIGBxr015155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 111813 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :3/15/20022003 1.A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15 (LUMA) 2.A POSITION 2003/04/11 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 36.0 S / 64.9 E (THIRTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 200 SE: 250 SO: 300 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/04/12 AT 06 UTC: 38.7 S/ 73.0 E MAX WIND = 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 24H: 2003/04/12 AT 18 UTC: 43.6 S/ 78.0 E MAX WIND = 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM STARTS TO WEAKEN THROUGH NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD FILL UP FAIRLY RAPIDLY OVER COOLER WATERS DURING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION PH ASE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 04:45:12 2003 X-UIDL: 22170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD700F9W5CENP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BKcj0A003916 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:38:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3dwA025816; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:21:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98226 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:16:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BKG9eQ022650 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:16:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BKFVid018585 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:15:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BKFUVN018584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:15:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:15:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304112015.h3BKFUVN018584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIII, Probability=36%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 112015 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0100 PM PDT FRI APR 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TEST...TEST...TEST...TEST...TEST... THIS IS A NHC COMMS TEST MESSAGE ONLY... FORECASTER SISKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 06:05:12 2003 X-UIDL: 22172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD700FSL97DNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 06:02:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BM270A023074 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 06:02:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3C1e010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:52:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 100407 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:52:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BLqDeQ021976 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:52:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BLpZid021425 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:51:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BLpZVs021424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:51:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:51:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304112151.h3BLpZVs021424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 112152 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2032 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 300 NM OF THE POINT 25N168W HAVE MOVED WNW 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE 22N150W 25N 160W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 07N178W 09N165W 08N155W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N140W 03N155W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER TROUGH. FOR MORE DETAILS... SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE LINE 03S165E 10S180 15S175W 20S175W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE 05S175W 10S170W 20S145W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH/DEVELOPING LOW IN AREA. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05S110W 05S120W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 06:15:11 2003 X-UIDL: 22173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD700FFA9LLNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 06:10:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BMAd0A025337 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 06:10:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3C1q010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:55:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 100440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BLtgeQ041932 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BLt4id021493 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:55:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BLt4VF021492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:55:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:55:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304112155.h3BLt4VF021492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 112155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 11 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A WEAKENING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS SW TO 27N137W. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF THE ITCZ W OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N79W 6N88W 7N106W 9N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF AXIS W OF 132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 84W-94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 14:50:39 2003 X-UIDL: 22196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD70075BPGPE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:53:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C3rI0A006064 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:53:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CF0010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:46:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:43:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C3huxl043002 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:43:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C3hIid024898 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:43:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C3hHXu024897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:43:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120343.h3C3hHXu024897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 120343 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 12 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 12/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH THROUGH 32N130W TO 28N134W TO 27N138W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..RIDGE THROUGH 30N150W 25N139W 26N128W 25N116W TO 20N110W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC...EXCEPT FOR THE AREA NEAR THE TROUGH...NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 5N86W 5N98W 6N120W 9N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 101W...AND FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 135W AND 138W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 91W... AND WITHIN 125 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 132W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 14N125W 10N134W 8N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 14:50:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD70073GVZ3E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 14:13:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C6Dr0A040954 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 14:13:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CIm010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:07:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:07:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C67Wxl040790 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:07:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C66sid025993 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:06:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C66s5W025991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:06:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:06:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120606.h3C66s5W025991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 120600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/15 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND. NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 12/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: FILLING DEPRESSION 15 (EX-LUMA) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 42.0 S / 76.0 E (FORTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 50 KT THREAT AREAS: FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 18 UTC: 50.0 SOUTH/ 88.0 EAST. DISSIPATED 24H, VALID 2003/04/13 AT 06 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS: EX-LUMA HAS COMPLETELY MERGED OVER LAST NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT DRIFTING IN THE SOUTH. RESIDUAL CIRCULATION CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PRDRIFTINGLOCATE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 14:50:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD7007ZQWM0E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 14:27:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C6Rf0A043813 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 14:27:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CJI010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:19:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:19:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C6Jrxl005110 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:19:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C6JFid026100 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:19:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C6JFnF026098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:19:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:19:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120619.h3C6JFnF026098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 120600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/15 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND. NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 12/04/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: FILLING DEPRESSION 15 (EX-LUMA) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 42.0 S / 76.0 E (FORTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 50 KT THREAT AREAS: FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/04/12 AT 18 UTC: 50.0 SOUTH/ 88.0 EAST. DISSIPATED 24H, VALID 2003/04/13 AT 06 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS: EX-LUMA HAS COMPLETELY MERGED OVER LAST NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT DRIFTING IN THE SOUTH. RESIDUAL CIRCULATION CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PRDRIFTINGLOCATE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD80078P000E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 15:40:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C7et0A060016 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 15:40:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CJw010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C7Tdxl007860 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C7T1id026520 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C7T1Yw026518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120729.h3C7T1Yw026518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3, TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 154.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:44 2003 X-UIDL: 22216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007U76DCE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 17:58:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C9wU0A092574 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 17:58:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CLM010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:52:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:52:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C9qAxl005428 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:52:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C9pWid027582 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:51:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C9pWjc027581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:51:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:51:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120951.h3C9pWjc027581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 120951 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 12 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 12/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 30N129W TO 28N135W TO 27N142W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..RIDGE THROUGH 25N140W TO 24N123W TO 20N113W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC...SOUTH/SE OF THE COLD FRONT...FROM 14N TO THE COLD FRONT BETWEEN 112W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 5N87W 5N100W 6N120W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 129W AND 131W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 129W AND 140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 102W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 1N TO 3N BETWEEN 79W AND 81W...AND IN COLOMBIA COASTAL PLAINS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF 5N77W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:44 2003 X-UIDL: 22217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD80077I6PJE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 18:05:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CA5g0A094116 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 18:05:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CLU010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 05:00:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 05:00:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CA01xl016516 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 05:00:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C9xMid027629 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:59:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C9xMWm027628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:59:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:59:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120959.h3C9xMWm027628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 120959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 25N154W 22N155W 23N159W 25N158W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 27N166W 22N161W 19N162W 19N165W 21N168W 26N168W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N156W 05N158W 05N161W 08N161W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N144W 05N147W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER TROUGH...FIRST SENTENCE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER TROUGH...SECOND SENTENCE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (1)...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 03S168E 05S179W 12S177W 17S180 09S173E 08S168E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (2)...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S172W 09S165W 17S163W 17S173W 13S177W 08S174W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S153W 14S145W 22S151W 15S159W 11S155W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (2). ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:46 2003 X-UIDL: 22225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD80074SMB4E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 23:42:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CFgj0A063653 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 23:42:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CRc010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:37:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:37:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CFbnxl033744 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:37:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CFbBid000467 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:37:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CFbBlA000466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:37:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:37:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121537.h3CFbBlA000466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 121537 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 12 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANT OF AN OLD COLD FRONT...EXTENDS FROM N OF 32N124W TO 25N133W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW-LEVEL STRATUS/STRATOCUMULUS UP TO 300NM NW OF THE TROUGH. ..RIDGE AXIS RUNS S OF THE TROUGH FROM WNW OF 27N140W TO 25N128W TO A 1018 MB HIGH NEAR 28N122W. ADDITIONAL RIDGING EXTENDS NE OF THE HIGH TOWARDS SRN CALIFORNIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N79W 5N88W 3N91W 6N95W 3N103W 2N122W 6N134W 5N140W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 150NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-89W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 200NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-99W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102-121W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 128W-135W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 136W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFF THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 2N-6N BETWEEN 77W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE S OF COSTA RICA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 83W-86W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45NM OF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 116W-122W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 00:19:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007QQNRGE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:14:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CGEB0A070462 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:14:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CS6010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:06:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:06:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CG68xl020460 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:06:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CG5Uid000720 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:05:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CG5UTO000718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:05:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:05:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121605.h3CG5UTO000718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 00:19:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007SANSWE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:14:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CGF20A070663 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:15:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C4Ago9044306; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:06:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:06:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CG68xl047942 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:06:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CG5Uid000721 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:05:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CG5U9K000719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:05:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 11:05:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121605.h3CG5U9K000719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:50 2003 X-UIDL: 22237-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9007QR3WPE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 06:02:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CM2s0A050199 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 06:02:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnfem010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:54:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 112182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:54:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLsvxl006586 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:54:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CLsIid003850 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:54:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CLsIHW003849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:54:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:54:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304122154.h3CLsIHW003849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 122154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N141W 08N145W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 07N149W 05N153W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N154W 03N161W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LOW...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 22N159W 26N167W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 29N179W 32N179W 32N176W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 20 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13S173W HAD ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 150 NM THAT MOVED WEST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S176W 08S171W 11S175W 09S176W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 16S177W 17S171W 15S168W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10S153W 19S152W 15S159W MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11S178W 16S179W 12S177E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A DECREASE IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13S173W. ALSO...SEE FIRST AND SECOND CB AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:50 2003 X-UIDL: 22238-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9007YZ46WE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 06:08:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CM96QZ000153 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 06:09:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnfeu010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 17:03:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 112222 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 17:03:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CM3hxl023556 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 17:03:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CM34id004004 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 17:03:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CM34Yl004003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 17:03:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 17:03:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304122203.h3CM34Yl004003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 122203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 12 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING TROUGH MOVING E 10-15 KT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N120W AND EXTENDS SW TO NEAR 25N128W. BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE NOTED W OF THE TROUGH NW OF A 24N140W 27N130W TO 32N124W LINE. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 27N140W THROUGH TO 18N110W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W 5N90W 3N100W 3N110W 2N122W 4N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 134W-139W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-89W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-134W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-106W AND 116W-124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 118W-121W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 7N TO CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 82W-84W. $$ AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 22:46:04 2003 X-UIDL: 22254-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9000VGJOHJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 11:43:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D3hZQZ063413 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 11:43:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnfoc010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:35:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 114872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:35:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D3Znxl011474 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:35:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D3Z8id007015 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:35:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D3Z86M007014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:35:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:35:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130335.h3D3Z86M007014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 130335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 13 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING TROUGH MOVING E 10-15 KT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 30N120W AND EXTENDS SW TO NEAR 26N125W. TROUGH IS LOSING IDENTITY IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. ..TROUGH ENTERING THE NW PORTION OF AREA ALONG 31N130W 29N140W. TROUGH MARKS THE LEADING EDGE OF A COOLER AIRMASS WITH A LARGE FIELD OF BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS TO THE NORTH. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 105W WITH A NARROW RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM 26N140W TO 17N105W. ENHANCED TRADES S OF RIDGE W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N85W 6N100W 4N120W 5N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 133W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 22:46:06 2003 X-UIDL: 22257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD90006KOR6J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D5XDQZ087701 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnfw2010818; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:24:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 115798 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:23:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D5NHxl033680 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:23:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D5Maid007862 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:22:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D5Ma3Q007860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:22:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:22:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130522.h3D5Ma3Q007860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 150.7E3, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 180.0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5S9 179.4W1, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION BEGINNING TO TURN CYCLONICALLY INWARD TOWARD A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATE FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, BUT MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 05:51:20 2003 X-UIDL: 22278-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDA000ALQD6J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:05:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DJ5dQZ065055 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:05:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuY9J010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 121668 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DJ15xl005830 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3DJ14hO003477 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3DJ14ac003475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304131901.h3DJ14ac003475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 05:51:21 2003 X-UIDL: 22279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDA000HSQI2J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:08:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DJ8ZQZ065769 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:08:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DIbG1f022324; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 121671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DJ15xl025752 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3DJ14hO003478 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3DJ144R003476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:01:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304131901.h3DJ144R003476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 06:27:25 2003 X-UIDL: 22284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDA000YBY39J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 05:52:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DLqSQZ003106 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 05:52:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYCt010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:45:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 122858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:45:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DLjNxl005740 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3DLjNhO005214 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:45:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3DLjN7p005213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:45:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:45:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304132145.h3DLjN7p005213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 132145 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 13 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ALONG 32N121W 27N124W 25N140W DISSIPATING TO 24N140W. SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS N OF THE FRONT. ..WEAK 1020 MB HIGH NEAR 25N119W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 16N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N81W 7N84W 6N100W 3N110W 5N123W 9N136W 8N140W. DOUBLE ITCZ STRUCTURE WITH SECOND NORTHERN ITCZ AXIS ALONG 6N100W 10N118W 8N134W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF SOUTHERN AXIS FROM 132W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 5.5N-9N BETWEEN 82W-87W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 4N91W 7N98W 5N103W. SMALL CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 3N106W 4N122W 9N112W AND 10N123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N90W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 06:27:25 2003 X-UIDL: 22286-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDA000H9YM2J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 06:03:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DM3kQZ005198 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 06:03:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYDD010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:55:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 122952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:55:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DLt5xl011020 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:55:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3DLt4hO005274 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:55:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3DLt4NI005273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:55:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:55:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304132155.h3DLt4NI005273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 132154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N140W 08N147W AND MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 08N166W 04N175W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 27N178W 29N175W 32N173W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...POSSIBLE DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE...HAD A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 14.8S 177.8W AT 2100 UTC. ASSOCIATED OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ALSO...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 08S178W 13S175W MOVED EAST AT 05...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12S169W 18S171W 15S174W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 22S171W 20S168W 26S171W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 12S153W 16S150W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 10:58:18 2003 X-UIDL: 22288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IDF3T8QL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:55:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DNu3QZ023313 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:56:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYFh010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 18:39:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 18:39:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DNdWxl033450 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 18:39:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3DNdShO006394 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 18:39:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3DNdSLn006393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 18:39:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 18:39:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 132321zapr2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304132339.h3DNdSLn006393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS21 PGTW 132330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 132321ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.9S3 179.4W1 TO 18.4S3 174.5W7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 132030Z9 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 178.4W0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 178.5W1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 178.4W0, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WHILE CONTINUING TO TURN CYCLONICALLY INWARD TOWARD THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, BUT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS MARGINAL OVER THE AREA. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS APPARENT TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA, HELPING TO ACCENTUATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. BASED ON CONTINUED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 142330Z3. 4. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 10:58:20 2003 X-UIDL: 22292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00I0M5CHQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 08:29:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E0TEQZ029470 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 08:29:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DNEf4D022336; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E0Jqxl040876 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E0JqhO006754 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E0JqP5006752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140019.h3E0JqP5006752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/140000Z/140600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131951ZAPR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/132321ZAPR2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131800Z3, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N3 148.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 132100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 178.5W1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 178.4W0, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WHILE CONTINUING TO TURN CYCLONICALLY INWARD TOWARD THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, BUT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS MARGINAL OVER THE AREA. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS APPARENT TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA, HELPING TO ACCENTUATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 132330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD. 4. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 12:11:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00I2MEX0QL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 11:55:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E3tuQZ087279 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 11:55:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYQ9010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:49:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 125657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E3nOxl040304 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:49:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E3nIhO008453 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:49:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E3nHvf008452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:49:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:49:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140349.h3E3nHvf008452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 140348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 14 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N122W SW ALONG 24N130W TO 23N140W. WHILE THE SURFACE FRONT HAS LOST MUCH OF ITS IDENTITY IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...A LARGE FIELD OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CONTINUES TO MOVE SWD OVER THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC BEHIND FRONT. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS S OF COLD FRONT WITH A WEAKENING 1019 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 24N123W AND RIDGING TO THE SE TO NEAR 19N108W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS NE FROM THE HIGH CENTER TO THE N COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N84W 6N90W 6N100W 4N120W 9N136W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF PANAMA FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 83W-88W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 91W-98W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 100W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 132W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 14:25:13 2003 X-UIDL: 22316-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IK8JV7QL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:42:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E5gmQZ018399 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:42:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E46bBt033306; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 126876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E5VSxl048318 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E5VRhO009303 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E5VRHD009301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140531.h3E5VRHD009301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140151ZAPR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/132321ZAPR2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 147.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 178.4W0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 177.2W7, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WHILE CONTINUING TO TURN CYCLONICALLY INWARD TOWARD THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, BUT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS MARGINAL OVER THE AREA. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS VISIBLE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA, HELPING TO ENHANCE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 22:39:33 2003 X-UIDL: 22336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00I7QTNFQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:14:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E9E7QZ092270 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:14:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYYp010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:05:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 128089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:05:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E954xl029010 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:05:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E953hO010873 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:05:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E953UU010872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:05:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:05:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140905.h3E953UU010872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 140900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/132321ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 16.1S8 175.4W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 175.4W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.4S6 173.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 26.6S4 173.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.2S0 175.0W3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 27P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. TC 27P INTENSIFIED IN A WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH A GOOD POINT SOURCE ALOFT. TC 27P IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND MOVE MORE RAPIDLY POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 132321ZAPR2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 132330). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 22:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 22339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00I1PVEBQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:51:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E9ptQZ003479 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:51:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYZJ010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:46:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 128216 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E9kTxl041898 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:46:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E9kThO011142 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E9kTPE011141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:46:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140946.h3E9kTPE011141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 140946 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 14 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N120W SW ALONG 27N124W TO 23N132W. WHILE THE SURFACE FRONT IS ILL-DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...A LARGE FIELD OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CONTINUES TO MOVE SWD OVER THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC BEHIND FRONT. ..TROUGH...REINFORCING SHOT OF COOL AIR...LIES NW OF FRONT FROM 31N127W 27N139W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS S OF WEAKENING COLD FRONT WITH A NARROW RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 22N130W 23N117W 18N107W. MODERATE TRADES S OF RIDGE TO 7N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N83W 7N90W 6N100W 5N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 84.5W-86.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 99W-104W AND FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 119W-126W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 136W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 22:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 22340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00ITSVRIQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:59:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E9xoQZ005578 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:59:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYZL010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:54:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 128238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:54:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E9slxl032336 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:54:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E9slhO011194 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:54:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E9slBv011193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:54:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:54:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140954.h3E9slBv011193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 140954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER TROUGH THROUGH 30N174W 20N180 MOVING EAST 10 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N170W 25N174W MOVED NORTHEAST 15 KT AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURE/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 07N173W 07N156W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16F NEAR 16S175W AT 14/0800 UTC MOVING SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. SEE LATEST NADI BULLETIN FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW NEAR 15S155W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM NORTH AND EAST OF LOW REMAIN SPARSE AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... LARGE AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM OF LINE 10S177W 20S171W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. CB HAVE WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 22:39:39 2003 X-UIDL: 22346-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00I8H7NCQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:16:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EEGVQZ075929 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:16:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYhf010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:07:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 130135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:07:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EE7Xxl033732 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:07:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EE7XhO014964 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:07:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EE7Wfp014963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:07:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:07:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141407.h3EE7Wfp014963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIII, Probability=36%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 141407 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0700 AM PDT MON APR 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TEST...TEST...TEST...TEST...TEST... THIS IS A NHC COMMS TEST MESSAGE ONLY... FORECASTER SISKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 00:39:53 2003 X-UIDL: 22357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IW4C0RQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 23:50:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EFoxQZ003308 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 23:51:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EEVp5T010848; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:27:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 131915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EFRoxl023674 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EFRihO017911 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EFRiJj017910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:27:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141527.h3EFRiJj017910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 141526 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 14 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT...PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED AS TROUGH...ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N121W SW ALONG 26N128W TO 22N140W. A LARGE FIELD OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CONTINUES TO MOVE S OVER THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC BEHIND FRONT. ..TROUGH...PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED AS WEAKENING COLD FRONT... EXTENDS ALONG 32N118W 27N121W 23N127W. ..HIGH PRESSURE 1020 MB IS NEAR 24N120W WITH A NARROW RIDGE EXTENDING E TO 22N110W. ..STRONGER RIDGE COVERS AREA NW OF COLD FRONT...AND FROM 8N TO 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 5N106W 6N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-88W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 117W-127W...AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 100W-107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12.5N BETWEEN 129W-131W...AND WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 9.5N134W. $$ MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 05:20:24 2003 X-UIDL: 22359-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IAPHGRQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 01:48:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHmYQZ036216 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 01:48:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EFCjaf033306; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 134567 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHbaxl013888 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EHbZhO022726 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EHbZaI022725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141737.h3EHbZaI022725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 05:20:24 2003 X-UIDL: 22360-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00INYHMLQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 01:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHq5QZ037300 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 01:52:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EEVpFd010848; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 134561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHbaxl014876 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EHbZhO022727 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EHbZgb022724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 12:37:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141737.h3EHbZgb022724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 10:33:05 2003 X-UIDL: 22381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IENT6AQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 06:01:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EM1VQZ003261 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 06:01:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EIoMZB006562; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:51:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 139161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ELoxxl023774 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ELowhO001809 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:50:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ELowdR001807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:50:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:50:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304142150.h3ELowdR001807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 142147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 14 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 14/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N119W SW ALONG 25N123W TO 21N133W. FIELD OF STRATOCUMULUS IS NOW MORE WIDELY SCATTERED WITH THE MOST CLOUD COVERAGE W OF 130W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT E OF 125W. ..TROUGH AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT HAS DISSIPATED. ..SMALL 1020 MB HIGH CENTER IS NEAR 22N120W WITH A NARROW RIDGE EXTENDING E TO 22N108W. ..RIDGING FROM DISTANT HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA NW OF THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N81W 4N93W 7N102W 5N117W 3N127W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 119W-122W AND 124W-126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 102W-114W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF 5N87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG CELL NEAR 10N128W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 11.5N123W 11N132W. ISOLATED SHOWERS NEAR 10N95W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 10:33:05 2003 X-UIDL: 22382-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IR2THBQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 06:07:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EM7wQZ004708 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 06:08:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHfCLZ010850; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:00:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 139299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EM0mxl018234 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:00:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EM0lhO002057 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:00:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EM0lR6002056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:00:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:00:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304142200.h3EM0lR6002056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 142200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDEDB Y 09N171W 09N157W 05N157W 04N169W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH BOUNDED BNY 33N170W 21N170W 25N174W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL CYCLONE FILI NEAR 22.9S 170.9E AT 2100 UTC HAS OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEE NADI BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 04S173W 20S165W 21S170W 10S178W MOVED E 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S161W 11S153W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 04S126W 07S128W 07S132S MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 12:04:57 2003 X-UIDL: 22403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD00GG09K2K0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 11:55:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F3tIQZ098586 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 11:55:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHfCkp010850; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:48:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 144506 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:48:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F3moxl035840 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:48:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F3mohO007194 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F3moc5007193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:48:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150348.h3F3moc5007193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 150347 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 15 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA ALONG THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 30N116W AND EXTENDS SW ALONG 24N120W 20N130W. A THIN LINE OF SCATTERED/BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ACCOMPANIES THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT. A LARGE FIELD OF SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVER THE AREA NW OF FRONT. ..SMALL 1018 MB HIGH CENTER IS NEAR 22N118W WITH TWO RIDGES EXTENDING NE TO THE BAJA PENINSULA AND SE TO 18N105W. ..RIDGING FROM DISTANT HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA NW OF THE COLD FRONT ALONG 30N140W 28N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 7N104W 6N110W 6N120W 5N130W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 86W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 103W-130W AND FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 124W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 13:34:58 2003 X-UIDL: 22411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD0005QDZPF8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 13:31:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5V6QZ027471 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 13:31:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ENZxnx032442; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:21:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 146062 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:21:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5L1xl008646 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:21:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F5KuhO008248 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:20:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F5KutS008246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:20:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:20:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150520.h3F5KutS008246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150151ZAPR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140751ZAPR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 142.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 140600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 175.4W7, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 140900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 177.2W7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 18:54:35 2003 X-UIDL: 22430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD000JJPKZF8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 17:41:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F9fQQZ009319 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 17:41:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F6C48x044046; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 04:34:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 147556 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 04:34:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F9YSxl022478 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 04:34:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F9YShO010661 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 04:34:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F9YS0W010660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 04:34:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 04:34:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150934.h3F9YS0W010660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 150934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 15 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA OVER N BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 30N115W AND EXTENDS SW TO 23N120W THEN DISSIPATING TO 20N130W. A THIN LINE OF SCATTERED/BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ACCOMPANIES THE LEADING EDGE OF THE FRONT. A LARGE FIELD OF SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS COVER THE AREA NW OF FRONT. ..NARROW RIDGE LIES AHEAD OF FRONT FROM 20N120W TO 14N107W. ..RIDGING NW OF THE COLD FRONT ALONG 30N140W 27N125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 7N104W 6N110W 6N120W 5N130W 5N140W. AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING S OF PANAMA FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 81W-83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 105W-108W AND FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 110W-122W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 120W-125W AND FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 125W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN 125W-140W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 18:54:48 2003 X-UIDL: 22436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD000YVQWLF8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 18:09:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FAA0QZ020295 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 18:10:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lF47010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:01:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 147645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FA12xl011496 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:01:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FA12hO010910 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:01:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FA12RA010909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:01:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:01:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304151001.h3FA12RA010909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 151000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 05N149W 05N159W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 04N179W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 23N171W 26N168W 21N167W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 08S173W 14S168W 19S168W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 15S173W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 22:55:01 2003 X-UIDL: 22458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE00G0942DJX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:54:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FEsLQZ003256 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:54:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lFKl010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:33:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 150714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:33:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FEX8xl029998 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:33:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FEX8hO016075 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:33:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FEX8DJ016074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:33:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:33:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304151433.h3FEX8DJ016074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 151431 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 15 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA OVER CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 28N113W AND EXTENDS SW TO 22N121W. A NARROW BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MID CLOUDS ACCOMPANIES THE FRONT MAINLY OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ..NARROW RIDGE LIES AHEAD OF FRONT FROM 22N115W TO 18N105W. ..RIDGE NW OF THE COLD FRONT EXTENDS ALONG 29N140W 27N130W 27N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N85W 4N95W 6N115W 9N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS AREA FROM 4N-9.5N BETWEEN 105W-122W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS E OF 79W TO NEAR THE COLOMBIA COAST FROM 4N-6.5N. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXTENDS N OF 5N TO THE SOUTH COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 128W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG AXIS OF ITCZ BETWEEN 88W-92W AND BETWEEN 98W-102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 3-4 DEG EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11N137W-16N128W-19N122W. $$ MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 09:34:49 2003 X-UIDL: 22465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE000OFAE5F8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 01:10:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FHB1QZ042965 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 01:11:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lFVx010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:03:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 152951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:03:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FH2uxl035846 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:03:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FH2thO022172 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FH2tWM022170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:02:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304151702.h3FH2tWM022170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF WEAK CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 27.0S9 48.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS PRODUCTS REVEAL AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 09:34:50 2003 X-UIDL: 22466-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE000OJAEAF8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 01:10:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FHB1QZ042968 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 01:11:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lFVt010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:02:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 152948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:02:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FH2uxl030090 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:02:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FH2thO022171 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FH2tL0022169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:02:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304151702.h3FH2tL0022169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF WEAK CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 27.0S9 48.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS PRODUCTS REVEAL AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 09:35:01 2003 X-UIDL: 22481-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE000STNTOF8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 06:01:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FM15QZ022454 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 06:01:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FJV3AV042282; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:49:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 157969 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:49:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FLnhxl014938 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:49:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FLnghO002433 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:49:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FLngh2002432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:49:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:49:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304152149.h3FLngh2002432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 152149 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 15 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT NEAR BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DISSIPATED. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AHEAD OF NEXT COLD FRONT... FROM BEYOND 32N133W TO BEYOND 30N140W. A FRESH BATCH OF SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 3N95W 7N110W 8N130W 7N140W. CONVECTION IS NOTABLY MORE ACTIVE THAN YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME WITH SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-94W AND WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 132W AND WITHIN A SIMILAR DISTANCE OF LINE 5N106W 6N117W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 99W-109W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6.5N130W AND 4N85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR THE COSTA RICA COASTLINE NEAR 8N84W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 09:35:01 2003 X-UIDL: 22482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE00GO7O52JX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 06:07:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FM7wQZ024065 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 06:08:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FJV3CH042282; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 17:01:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 158185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 17:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FM1Pxl037046 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 17:01:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FM1OhO002783 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 17:01:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FM1ODk002781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 17:01:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 17:01:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304152201.h3FM1ODk002781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 152200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N146W 03N150W 05N160W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. NEW ISOLATED CB ARE BOUNDED BY 08N180 06N176W 02N179W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB...ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW...ARE BOUNDED BY 31N171W 27N164W 25N169W 28N174W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 03S177W 11S152W 14S157W 13S174W IS A MERGING OF TWO AREAS AND INTENSIFIED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05S135W 07S130W MOVED WEST 10 KNOTS AND WEAKENED. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE NEED FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 12:48:06 2003 X-UIDL: 22508-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GRZ3MZWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:42:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G3gdQZ013924 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:42:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G2md2Z042292; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:36:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 164237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:36:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G3alxl020476 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:36:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G3akhO007883 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:36:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G3akdS007882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:36:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:36:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160336.h3G3akdS007882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 160334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 16 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT MOVING SWD OVER NW PORTION OF REGION FROM 31N132W TO 28N140W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS S AND E OF COLD FRONT WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 26N140W 28N125W 16N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 3N96W 6N110W 9N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN 84W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN 90W-95W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 106W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 121W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 14:14:03 2003 X-UIDL: 22519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00G0D9EQWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 13:47:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G5lGQZ052674 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 13:47:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4sb4l005032; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:37:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 165710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:33:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G5X3xl013144 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:33:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G5X2hO009106 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G5X21S009104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:33:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160533.h3G5X21S009104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160151ZAPR2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, SUPER TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 137.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS GUSTING TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 19:01:45 2003 X-UIDL: 22541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GP1LFJWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 18:06:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GA6sQZ047232 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 18:06:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4NMCX042294; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:01:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 167909 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GA11xl014018 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GA10hO011239 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GA10lN011238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:01:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161001.h3GA10lN011238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 161000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11N178W 05N168W 04N175W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 12S180W 21S174W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 12S172W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 19:01:49 2003 X-UIDL: 22542-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GW2LIOWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 18:08:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GA8oQZ047799 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 18:08:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4NMCV042294; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 04:59:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 167903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 04:59:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G9xSxl011100 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 04:59:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G9xShO011194 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 04:59:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G9xSTo011193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 04:59:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 04:59:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160959.h3G9xSTo011193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 160959 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 16 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT MOVING SWD OVER NW PORTION OF REGION FROM 31N130W TO 27N140W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS S AND E OF COLD WITH A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 26N130W AND RIDGE AXIS SE TO 13N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N87W 4N90W 5N110W 6N120W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 84W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 103W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 109W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 122W-130W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 130W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 19:01:57 2003 X-UIDL: 22545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GWRNCSWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 18:48:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GAmQQZ059904 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 18:48:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4NMCj042294; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:40:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 168041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:40:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GAevxl023698 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:40:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GAeuhO011502 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:40:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GAeudm011500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:40:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:40:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161040.h3GAeudm011500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 161100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN REISSUED/161100Z/161800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27.0S9 48.5E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 19:01:59 2003 X-UIDL: 22546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GXSNDBWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 18:48:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GAmrQZ060022 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 18:48:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4sbRV005032; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:41:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 168044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:41:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GAevxl039992 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:41:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GAeuhO011503 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:40:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GAeu19011501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:40:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 05:40:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Ocean Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161040.h3GAeu19011501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN REISSUED/161100Z/161800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27.0S9 48.5E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 23:18:22 2003 X-UIDL: 22567-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GGJZ6UWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 23:04:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GF4CQZ035401 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 23:04:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GDERE3042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 09:51:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 171253 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 09:51:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GEouxl013058 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 09:51:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GEothO016968 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 09:50:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GEotx5016967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 09:50:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 09:50:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161450.h3GEotx5016967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 161450 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 16 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT MOVING SE OVER N PORTION OF REGION FROM 32N127W TO 25N136W...THEN DISSIPATING BEYOND 25N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG AND WITHIN 90 NM E OF FRONT N OF 29N. SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT. ..BROAD AND WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS S AND E OF COLD FRONT...WITH A 1019 MB HIGH NEAR 26N120W AND RIDGE AXIS SE TO 19N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N86W 5N106W 7N122W 8N131W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N-7.5N BETWEEN 121W-129W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG AND N OF AXIS FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 130W-137W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 103W-108W...AND FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 110W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF COSTA RICA BETWEEN 8N-9N. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN 93W-97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 09:13:33 2003 X-UIDL: 22571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00GER3TNWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:44:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GGiFQZ064672 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:44:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GFTwJL005032; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:40:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 173780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GGdexl018302 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GGddhO020853 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GGddip020851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161639.h3GGddip020851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 09:13:33 2003 X-UIDL: 22572-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00GT140LWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:48:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GGmRQZ066024 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:48:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GFTwJF005032; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 173777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GGdexl014506 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GGddhO020854 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GGddQv020852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 11:39:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161639.h3GGddQv020852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 09:13:38 2003 X-UIDL: 22587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00GEZICJWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 05:57:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLw2QZ054187 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 05:58:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf70h042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 16:45:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 179509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 16:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLjwxl047340 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 16:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GLjvhO001476 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 16:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GLjvAJ001475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 16:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 16:45:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304162145.h3GLjvAJ001475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 162145 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 16 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT MOVING SE OVER N PORTION OF REGION FROM 32N126W TO 26N130W 24N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ALONG AND WITHIN 90 NM E OF FRONT. SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT. ..BROAD AND WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS S AND E OF COLD FRONT...WITH A 1021 MB HIGH NEAR 26N121W AND RIDGE AXIS SE TO 15N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N100W 8N110W 7N120W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 30 NM WIDE BETWEEN 105W AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 09:13:38 2003 X-UIDL: 22588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00GIZJ88WU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 06:16:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GMH2QZ058436 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 06:17:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf71X042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 17:01:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 179710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 17:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GM1Qxl008684 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 17:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GM1PhO001932 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 17:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GM1PjM001931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 17:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 17:01:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304162201.h3GM1PjM001931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 162200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N172W 04N157W 02N160W 02N165W 05N174W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 28N165W 24N165W 24N168W 26N169W 28N168W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER LOW. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10S180 15S177W 14S180 11S176E 10S177E HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT (1)...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 16S177W 24S170W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT (2)...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 18S136W 19S129W 21S124W 25S120W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 09S159W 12S160W 13S166W 10S170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 12:12:23 2003 X-UIDL: 22612-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00EQGZBSBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 12:04:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H44eQZ057511 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 12:04:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7J7042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 22:57:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 183900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 22:57:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H3vvxl046326 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 22:57:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H3vuhO006415 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 22:57:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H3vug8006414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 22:57:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 22:57:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170357.h3H3vug8006414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 170355 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 17 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT MOVING SE OVER N PORTION OF REGION ALONG 32N126W TO 29N125W 25N130W 24N140W. A NARROW BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ISOLATED SHOWERS ACCOMPANIES THE FRONT WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT. ..BROAD AND WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS S AND E OF COLD FRONT...WITH A 1018 MB HIGH NEAR 25N125W AND RIDGE AXIS SE TO 19N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 4N91W 8N113W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 90W-97W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 116W-125W AND FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 126W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 14:39:28 2003 X-UIDL: 22617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00EGE573BF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 14:11:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H6BZQZ097359 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 14:11:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7OB042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 185397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H5xoxl046132 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H5xnhO007507 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H5xnxM007505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170559.h3H5xnxM007505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZAPR2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 133.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 18:17:51 2003 X-UIDL: 22646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00ELOE9FBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 17:27:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H9RIQZ066712 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 17:27:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7SR042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 04:22:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 186484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 04:22:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H9MOxl006574 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 04:22:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H9MOhO009363 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 04:22:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H9MN4I009362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 04:22:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 04:22:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170922.h3H9MN4I009362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 170922 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 17 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT MOVING SWD OVER N PORTION OF REGION ENTERS AREA AT 31N122W AND EXTENDING SW ALONG 23N130W 22N140W. A NARROW BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ACCOMPANIES THE FRONT WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT. ..BROAD AND WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS S AND E OF COLD FRONT...WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM 24N124W SE TO 10N100W. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS ALSO BUILDING SWD BEHIND AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT FROM 30N140W TO 25N133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 4N91W 8N113W 6N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE OF S CALIFORNIA TO 20N140W OVER THE PACIFIC. A COPIOUS PLUME OF MID/UPPER LEVEL TROPICAL MOISTURE IS STREAMING NEWD OUT AHEAD OF TROUGH INTO THE SW UNITED STATES AND PRODUCING BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND NW MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 18:17:54 2003 X-UIDL: 22651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00EPSGEFBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 18:13:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HADRQZ083411 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 18:13:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7TV042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 05:00:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 186704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 05:00:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HA0gxl037100 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 05:00:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HA0ghO009683 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 05:00:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HA0gro009682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 05:00:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 05:00:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304171000.h3HA0gro009682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 171000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 05N156W 05N152W 02N151W 02N156W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N162W 06N158W 03N161W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 03N168W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB CROSS THE DATELINE AND ARE 100 NM OF LINE 04S176W 08S178E 11S179W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 01:03:45 2003 X-UIDL: 22665-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00EFWU2VBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 23:08:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HF91QZ062818 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 23:09:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7eF042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:55:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188927 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HEtoxl005670 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HEtnhO015095 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HEtnUP015094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:55:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304171455.h3HEtnUP015094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 171455 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 17 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH...REMNANTS OF COLD FRONT...EXTENDING FROM LOW PRES JUST OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST...ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N119W AND EXTENDS SW ALONG 25N125W-21N135W. A NARROW BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS IS WITHIN 90 NM E OF TROUGH MAINLY N OF 27N. ..BROAD AND WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS S AND E OF COLD FRONT...WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM 24N122W SE TO 17N110W-11N97W. HIGH PRESSURE IS ALSO BUILDING S BEHIND THE TROUGH OVER NW PART OF DISCUSSION AREA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N85W 5N95W 9N111W 6N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 85W-88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-118W...AND BETWEEN 121W-124W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS E OF 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-97W...AND BETWEEN 126W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM W OF BAJA PENINSULA TO 22N132. A PLUME OF MID/UPPER LEVEL TROPICAL MOISTURE IS STREAMING NE AHEAD OF TROUGH...PRODUCING BROKEN TO OVERCAST MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER S HALF OF BAJA PENINSULA...NW MAINLAND MEXICO...AND PARTS OF SW UNITED STATES. $$ MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 05:53:08 2003 X-UIDL: 22694-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00EPHCPOBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 05:51:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HLpXQZ078821 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 05:51:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYXN042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 16:41:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 198267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 16:41:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HLfbxl011230 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 16:41:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HLfahO029932 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 16:41:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HLfaOT029931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 16:41:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 16:41:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304172141.h3HLfaOT029931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 172141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 17 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH...REMNANTS OF COLD FRONT...EXTENDS FROM 30N116W TO 26N120W 22N130W. SHOWERS IS WITHIN 90 NM E OF TROUGH. ..1033 MB HIGH IS JUST NW OF THE AREA NEAR 35N143W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N110W 7N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 60NM WIDE BETWEEN 81W AND 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 120W AND 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 06:23:04 2003 X-UIDL: 22695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00EVRDRVBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 06:14:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HMEOQZ083947 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 06:14:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HI02ll005000; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 17:01:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 198481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 17:01:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HM1qxl018178 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 17:01:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HM1khO000441 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 17:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HM1kOK000440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 17:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 17:01:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304172201.h3HM1kOK000440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 172201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 07N176E 07N177W 03N175E 06N175E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N144W 03N147W 03N163W 06N161W 08N148W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY EQ171E 01S174W 03S173W 04S180 12S174W 12S178E 11S173E 04S171E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 13S173E 15S179E 15S178W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 15 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 14S173W 15S170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT IN 12 HOURS...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11S162W 14S163W 11S170W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 17S129W 22S127W 22S129W 18S132W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 12:38:52 2003 X-UIDL: 22706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00I1AU7R6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:09:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I49ZQZ060617 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:09:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYkN042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 23:03:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 201505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 23:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I435xl013194 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 23:03:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I435hO004721 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 23:03:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I43401004720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 23:03:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 23:03:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180403.h3I43401004720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 180401 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 18 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 18/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 110W. 1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 34N144W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 4N95W 9N117W 6N130W 6N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...WITH LEFT-OVER DEBRIS CLOUDS AND ISOLATED LINGERING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD HIGH LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW SOUTH OF 24N WEST OF 128W. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING ALONG LINE THROUGH MULTIPLE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERS...WITH BROAD CENTER NEAR 32N122W...TO 24N129W TO 20N134W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00IUOYFG6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 13:40:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I5eYQZ082302 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 13:40:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYm1042296; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 202338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I5VKxl032828 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I5VKhO005572 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I5VJcg005570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180531.h3I5VJcg005570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N0 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:23 2003 X-UIDL: 22720-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00I52AH26F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 18:00:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IA0hQZ044803 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 18:00:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYqn042296; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 04:55:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 204089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 04:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I9tVxl035880 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I9tVhO007755 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 04:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I9tUxi007754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 04:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 04:55:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180955.h3I9tUxi007754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 180955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST ACROSS 140W...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N151W 08N141W 04N140W 05N151W AND MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 15 KT AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY...BUT CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 08N160W MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 19S137W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 24S121W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:23 2003 X-UIDL: 22721-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00IOAAYT6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 18:11:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IABSQZ047389 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 18:11:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYqp042296; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 05:04:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 204124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 05:04:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IA4Wxl043450 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 05:04:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3IA4VhO007861 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 05:04:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3IA4VVM007860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 05:04:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 05:04:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304181004.h3IA4VVM007860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 181004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 18 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 18/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 112W. 1032 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 34N141W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0945 UTC EAST OF 110W...AND THROUGH 18/0800 UTC WEST OF 110W... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 5N90W 4N103W 4N110W...AND 9N110W 8N120W 6N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 50-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 136W. ISOLATED CELLS OF MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 40-50 NM RADIUS 4N96.5W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 6N138W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 109W AND 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD HIGH LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW SOUTH OF 25N140W CURVING TO 18N130W...NORTH OF THE ITCZ. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM 30N119W TO 24N128W TO 20N134W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL WATERS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 82W AND 85W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:48 2003 X-UIDL: 22747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00IVGOJX6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 23:04:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IF4tQZ017036 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 23:04:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IEZT0V042296; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:56:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 206380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:56:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IEuRxl028224 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:56:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3IEuRhO013651 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3IEuR30013650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:56:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304181456.h3IEuR30013650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 181456 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 18 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W...WITH RIDGE AXIS ENTERING AREA NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDING SE TO 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N80W 6N90W 4N100W 8N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 4.5N-6.5N BETWEEN 128W-134W...ALSO WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 137W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W-98W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS JUST OFFSHORE PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N81W-8N84W-9N85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM CALIFORNIA/MEXICO BORDER SW TO 23N123W. E OF THE TROUGH AXIS...EXTENSIVE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS IS OBSERVED WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 18N120W-23N112W...THEN EASTWARD ACROSS S HALF OF BAJA PENINSULA TO NORTHERN MAINLAND MEXICO. $$ MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:52 2003 X-UIDL: 22761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00IGEV3H6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 01:26:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IHQAQZ050457 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 01:26:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IGO36f006530; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 207841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IHK8xl036874 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3IHK7hO018368 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3IHK7tH018366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304181720.h3IHK7tH018366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:53 2003 X-UIDL: 22762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00IH7V3W6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 01:26:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IHQUQZ050569 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 01:26:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IGO33P048566; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 207838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IHK8xl004978 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3IHK7hO018369 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3IHK7vg018367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 12:20:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304181720.h3IHK7vg018367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 10:10:16 2003 X-UIDL: 22776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00ID87W46F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 06:02:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IM2bQZ026725 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 06:02:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IGO3Tv048566; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 212556 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ILtaxl032264 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ILtZhO026651 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ILtZxx026650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304182155.h3ILtZxx026650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 182155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT THROUGH 30N177E 24N173E MOVING EAST 25 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT. OTHERWISE...SCATTERED CUMULUS/SCATTERED TO BROKEN CIRRUS CURRENTLY OVER AREA. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 06N140W 07N148W EXTEND EASTWARD AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW NEAR 08S172W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35 NM OF LINE 06S173W 11S167W MOVED SOUTHWEST 5 KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED TCU/CUMULUS. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 16S144W 20S130W 23S1333W MOVED SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 10:10:16 2003 X-UIDL: 22777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00IR58CX6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 06:12:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IMCgQZ028660 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 06:12:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IGO3UR048566; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 17:02:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 212655 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 17:02:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IM2Sxl032954 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 17:02:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3IM2RhO026899 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 17:02:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3IM2REO026898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 17:02:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 17:02:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304182202.h3IM2REO026898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 182202 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 18 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1033 MB HIGH IS JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N142W. HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES AREA N OF 10N W OF 110W...WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 15N110W. ..WEAK 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF S MEXICO NEAR 17N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 4N105W 8N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 30 NM WIDE BETWEEN 82W AND 84W...BETWEEN 97W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 117W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:40 2003 X-UIDL: 22789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00LKKP94LY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 12:17:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4HaQZ002563 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 12:17:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IGO3md048566; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 23:09:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 216440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 23:09:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J49Yxl040034 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 23:09:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3J49XhO001673 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 23:09:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3J49XOw001672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 23:09:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 23:09:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304190409.h3J49XOw001672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 190404 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 19 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 19/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N104W. 24-HOUR FORECAST INDICATES DISSIPATION. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. 1030 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 34N143W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 5N86W 4N96W 5N110W 7N117W 6N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 70-100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 88W. ISOLATED MODERATE...DISSIPATING DURING LAST 6 HOURS... WITHIN 40-50 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM FOUR CORNERS OF SW U.S.A. TO CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA. WEAKER TROUGH IN EASTERN PACIFIC FROM 28N124W TO 19N126W...SURROUNDED BY DRY AIR FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W...AND FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 114W AND 130W. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W...AND FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W... SPILLING INTO THE AREA FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. UPPER LEVEL SW FLOW WITHIN 250-275 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 14N120W BEYOND 23N106W ALONG MEXICO WEST COAST. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00LUWSCALY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 13:24:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J5OKQZ017169 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 13:24:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J5Ab1L037784; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 217227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J5Euxl048550 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3J5EthO002359 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3J5EtSd002357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304190514.h3J5EtSd002357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 128.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 455 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00L9T5NWLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 18:11:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JAC4QZ076169 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 18:12:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VaAx045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:04:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 219208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:04:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JA4wxl041954 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:04:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JA4vhO005223 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:04:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JA4vgB005222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:04:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:04:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304191004.h3JA4vgB005222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 191004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 19 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 19/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N78W 5N86W 5N96W 6N110W 7N120W 6N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 87W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 98W. CELLS OF ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN COLOMBIA COASTAL PLAINS FROM 3N TO 5N BETWEEN 76W AND 78W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM COLORADO/NEW MEXICO BORDER NEAR 37N106W TO NORTH CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR 27N107W. SECOND AND COMPARATIVELY WEAKER TROUGH IN EASTERN PACIFIC FROM 31N126W TO 25N126W TO 18N127W...SURROUNDED BY DRY AIR FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 26N109W 20N119W AND 130W. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. UPPER LEVEL SW FLOW WITHIN 240-280 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 14N120W BEYOND 23N106W ALONG MEXICO WEST COAST. CELL OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 12N90W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LVT6DXLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 18:27:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JARgQZ079489 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 18:27:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VaB5045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:21:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 219261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:21:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JAL5xl041764 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:21:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JAL5hO005381 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:21:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JAL5eo005380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:21:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:21:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304191021.h3JAL5eo005380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 191020 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 13N174E 06N177W 01S171E 04S174E 14S168E EQ161E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 13N160W 08N140 AND BEYOND MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND DECREASED INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 17S138W 20S127W 30S124W 24S137W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND ITENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW AREA ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED BOUNDED BY 06S178E 09S165W 15S169W 10S175E. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 01:16:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LISKYOLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 23:42:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JFgWQZ039306 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 23:42:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VaN3045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:36:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 221607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:36:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JFaWxl033360 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:36:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JFaWhO008911 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:36:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JFaVnn008910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:36:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:36:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304191536.h3JFaVnn008910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 191535 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 19 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 19/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N AND W OF 110W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM NW OF 30N137W TO 15N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N93W 7N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 77W-79W ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 82W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 95W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS W OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS MARINE LAYER N OF 14N AND W OF 114W AND THE BAJA PENINSULA. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OF BROKEN MID-LEVEL CLOUDS...THE REMNANTS OF A DISSIPATED SURFACE LOW...IS CENTERED ABOUT 200NM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NARROW BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST UPPER LEVEL CIRRUS WITHIN 90NM OF A LINE FROM 12N130W TO NE OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 01:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 22808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LRJOBPLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:55:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JGt6QZ053730 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:55:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J5AblP037784; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 222160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JGmTxl047280 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JGmShO009584 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JGmSZs009582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304191648.h3JGmSZs009582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 01:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 22809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LSLOD5LY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:55:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JGu4QZ053895 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:56:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VaOh045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 222157 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JGmTxl044950 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JGmShO009583 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JGmShn009581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 11:48:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304191648.h3JGmShn009581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 10:16:28 2003 X-UIDL: 22819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00LSL20ULY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 05:50:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JLovQZ018994 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 05:50:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4Vaad045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:43:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 225191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:43:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JLhVxl015196 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:43:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JLhUhO012982 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:43:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JLhUGW012981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:43:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:43:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304192143.h3JLhUGW012981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 192143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 19 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 19/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE N OF 10N AND W OF 115W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 30N140W TO 17N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N110W 6N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 240 NM WIDE BETWEEN 116W AND 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS MARINE LAYER IS N OF 13N AND W OF 114W AND THE BAJA PENINSULA. A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OF BROKEN MID-LEVEL CLOUDS...THE REMNANTS OF A DISSIPATED SURFACE LOW...IS CENTERED ABOUT 200NM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. NARROW BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST UPPER LEVEL CIRRUS IS WITHIN 90NM OF A LINE FROM 15N130W TO 28N100W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 10:16:29 2003 X-UIDL: 22822-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00L2S2HTLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 06:01:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JM1EQZ020627 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 06:01:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JIFkJR037784; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:55:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 225283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:55:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JLtOxl042644 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JLtOhO013137 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:55:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JLtOib013136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:55:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:55:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304192155.h3JLtOib013136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 192154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT THROUGH 30N176W 25N177E MOVING EAST 10-15 KT HAS SLOWED. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS ALONG FRONT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 29N HAVE WEAKENED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF 06N141W EXTEND EASTWARD AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 16S142W 25S130W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CB ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE AND UPPER TROUGH ABOVE IT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08S179W 13S171W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 17:24:28 2003 X-UIDL: 22836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00D9JJA47Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:03:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K43mPa064977 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:03:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4Vavd045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 22:57:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 229416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 22:57:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K3v4xl039978 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 22:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K3v3hO017113 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 22:57:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K3v33N017112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 22:57:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 22:57:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200357.h3K3v33N017112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 200356 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 20 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 118W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N140W TO 22N118W. ..A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NORTHERN BOUNDARY OF THE REGION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 6N89W 7N111W 7N123W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 123W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 102W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIONS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 5N123W. BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE FROM 10N TO 30N BETWEEN 113W AND 137W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 17:24:29 2003 X-UIDL: 22839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00D6ING57Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 13:33:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K5XnPa082803 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 13:33:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4EGBL037784; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 230599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K5Mpxl045030 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K5MphO017962 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K5Mpmi017960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200522.h3K5Mpmi017960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 126.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 18:04:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22850-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00D1DZU57Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 18:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KA1MPa040126 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 18:01:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u57Z045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 04:53:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 232250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 04:53:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K9rsxl028380 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 04:53:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K9rrhO020277 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 04:53:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K9rr7x020276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 04:53:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 04:53:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200953.h3K9rr7x020276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 200953 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 20 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 118W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 28N135W TO 20N115W. ..A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST BOUNDARY OF THE REGION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N100W 6N110W 6N115W 8N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 103W AND WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 92W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 101W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150/180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA SOUTH OF 9N WEST OF 81W. BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE FROM 12N TO 30N FROM 110W TO BEYOND 140W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 18:34:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00DDW19Q7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 18:32:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KAWNPa046591 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 18:32:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u58B045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 05:26:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 232452 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 05:26:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KAQHxl037736 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 05:26:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KAQHhO020529 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 05:26:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KAQHNv020528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 05:26:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 05:26:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304201026.h3KAQHNv020528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 201026 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... AREA ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N174W 28N176W MOVED EAST AT 20 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 13N175E 06N173W 02N180 10N171E MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH DECREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 05S178W 09S168W 16S172W 16S170E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... AREA ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 15S137W 17S132W 29S123W 34S128W 19S138W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 00:49:13 2003 X-UIDL: 22863-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00DMXFX07Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 23:48:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KFmiPa012243 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 23:48:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5J7045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:41:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 235684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:41:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KFfgxl012480 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:41:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KFfahO023014 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:41:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KFfaIN023013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:41:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:41:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304201541.h3KFfaIN023013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 201538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 20 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NW OF 30N140W TO 14N108W WITH MODERATE NLY/NELY TRADES N OF 7N AND W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N88W 5N96W 7N120W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 76W-78W ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-122W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 122W-130W. DISSIPATING ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF COSTA RICA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 83W-85W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MARINE STRATUS N OF 13N AND W OF 111W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 01:59:07 2003 X-UIDL: 22869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00D2GLTV7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 01:56:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KHuRPa040125 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 01:56:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5O9045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 236956 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KHn1xl042382 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KHn1hO024510 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KHn1Wn024508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304201749.h3KHn1Wn024508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 6.0S6 63.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN ELONGATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE REGION IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IN MODERATE EASTERLIES. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 01:59:07 2003 X-UIDL: 22870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00D30LUV7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 01:56:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KHv5Pa040221 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 01:57:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K8Ipul023004; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 236953 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KHn1xl044912 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KHn1hO024511 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KHn14l024509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 12:49:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304201749.h3KHn14l024509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 6.0S6 63.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN ELONGATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE REGION IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IN MODERATE EASTERLIES. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 08:20:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00D45XCH7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 06:05:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KM56Pa093295 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 06:05:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5ex045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:00:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 240568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:00:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KM0Axl011366 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:00:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KM0AhO027915 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KM09ph027914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:00:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:00:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304202200.h3KM09ph027914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 202159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH BOUNDED BY 30N162W 23N160W 26N170W 30N162W MOVED EAST AT 20 KT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N177W 08N170W 07N179W 10N177W MOVED EAST AT 15 KT AND DECREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITH UPPER TROUGH EAST OF A LINE FROM 28N140W TO 21N148W TO 11N151W TO 10N140W EXTENDS EAST OF 140W AND MOVED EAST AT 15 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF 08N142 WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07S176E 10S170W 13S175W 10S180 07S176E STRADDLES THE DATELINE AND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S170W TO 10S160W ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE TROUGH NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09S150W 15S140W EXTENDS EAST BEYOND 140W...ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE TROUGH...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 08:20:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN0071SXPAZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 06:12:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KMCoPa094431 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 06:12:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5f1045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:06:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 240611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:06:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KM6Fxl003736 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:06:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KM6EhO027979 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:06:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KM6ERG027978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:06:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 17:06:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304202206.h3KM6ERG027978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 202205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 20 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 20/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH IS FROM 32N133W TO 31N139W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES N OF 15N AND W OF 115W EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 5N90W 5N105W 7N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W AND 122W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 12:04:59 2003 X-UIDL: 22887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO007PLDQ1Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 11:58:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L3wsPa056124 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 11:58:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L1uwEZ030180; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 22:54:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 245031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 22:54:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L3sYxl021872 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 22:54:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L3sXhO001928 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 22:54:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L3sXqQ001927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 22:54:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 22:54:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210354.h3L3sXqQ001927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 210354 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 21 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N131W TO BEYOND 31N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE PACIFIC NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 4N98W 7N110W 6N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 101W...WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 113W...AND WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 116W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM NORTH AND 150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 108W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 126W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE ENTIRE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 18:05:00 2003 X-UIDL: 22900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO007E8UEKZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:59:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L9xHPa039509 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:59:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPIB045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 248532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L9t3xl030132 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L9t3hO004878 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L9t3Kk004877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210955.h3L9t3Kk004877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 210954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK FRONT THROUGH 30N172W 28N174W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 26N180. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. FRONT/SHEAR LINE DISSIPATING OVER NEXT 24 HOURS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N142W 07N140W EXTEND EASTWARD AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S180 10S160W 16S180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... TROUGH JUST WEST OF THE DATELINE THROUGH 29S180 24S175E MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG TROUGH. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN HONOLULU IS REQUESTING FEEDBACK CONCERNING YOUR THE USE OF OR REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT. PLEASE E:MAIL YOUR COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THIS PRODUCT MAY BE MODIFIED OR ELIMINATED AS REQUIRED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 18:05:01 2003 X-UIDL: 22901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO007EAUEKZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:59:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L9xGPa039497 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:59:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPIF045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:56:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 248535 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L9ttxl004872 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L9tthO004897 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L9ttGC004896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:55:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210955.h3L9ttGC004896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 210955 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 21 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N129W TO 31N139W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE PACIFIC NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N85W 3N101W 6N108W 8N117W 7N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79.5W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 105W AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 116W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 141W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE SCATTERED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR FROM 2.5N TO 5N AND OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N85W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF S COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR FROM THE EQUATOR TO 2.5N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 23:35:02 2003 X-UIDL: 22915-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP007TX9S0Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 23:31:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LFVKPa016082 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 23:31:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPdZ045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:21:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 252190 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:20:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LFKPxl005880 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:20:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LFKOhO011573 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:20:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LFKO07011572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:20:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:20:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304211520.h3LFKO07011572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 211520 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 21 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N129W TO 31N139W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE PACIFIC N OF 12N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N85W 3N97W 8N115W 7N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION 300 NM WIDE E OF 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W TO 107W AND WITHIN FROM 134W TO 140W NM. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF AXIS FROM 96W TO 98W AND FROM 107W TO 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF COAST OF PANAMA AND EL SALVADOR. $$ SANDOVAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 22925-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP0076JIP7Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 02:43:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LIhwPa066514 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 02:44:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LHjZ5d045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 256438 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LIb4xl042644 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LIb3hO018832 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LIb2ZQ018830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304211837.h3LIb2ZQ018830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0S6 63.0E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7S1 61.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. LATEST QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALS AN ELONGATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS SOME TURNING IN THE MID- LEVELS. ANALYSIS OF UPPER AIR DATA SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN REGION OF GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22926-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP00783IQHZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 02:44:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LIiqPa066754 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 02:44:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LHjZ5f045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 256441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LIb4xl029770 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LIb3hO018833 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LIb24b018831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:37:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304211837.h3LIb24b018831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0S6 63.0E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7S1 61.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. LATEST QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALS AN ELONGATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS SOME TURNING IN THE MID- LEVELS. ANALYSIS OF UPPER AIR DATA SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN REGION OF GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:44 2003 X-UIDL: 22929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP0073IJD2Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 02:58:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LIwRPa070131 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 02:58:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LGgoNZ018238; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 256584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LImLxl014654 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LImKhO019315 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LImKNj019313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304211848.h3LImKNj019313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 211900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/211900Z/220600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 124.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.0N7 156.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 145 NM WEST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. RECENT QUICKSCAT PASSES SHOW A GOOD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. ANALYSIS OF UPPER AIR SHOWS THAT THIS SYSTEM IS IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER RIDGE AND EXISTS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND A POINT SOURCE ALOFT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) 4. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:49 2003 X-UIDL: 22936-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP00754S3EZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 06:06:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LM70Pa023157 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 06:07:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LLZG4n031494; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:02:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 260875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LM0wxl024088 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LM0vhO025376 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LM0vgN025375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:00:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304212200.h3LM0vgN025375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 212200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N179W TO 08N161W TO 05N151W TO 06N140W EXTENDS EASTWARD...ARE NEARLY STATIONARY...AND HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09S171W 11S165W 16S170W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF 15S179W IS NEW. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN HONOLULU IS REQUESTING FEEDBACK CONCERNING YOUR THE USE OF OR REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT. PLEASE E:MAIL YOUR COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THIS PRODUCT MAY BE MODIFIED OR ELIMINATED AS REQUIRED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:49 2003 X-UIDL: 22937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP0079MS84Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 06:09:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LM9qPa023749 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 06:09:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LLlS0J004896; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:02:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 260861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:00:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LM0bxl029976 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:00:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LM0VhO025361 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:00:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LM0V8U025360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:00:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 17:00:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304212200.h3LM0V8U025360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 212159 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 21 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 21/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 10N WEST OF 105W WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N140W 14N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N90W 5N100W 7N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-9N E OF 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 85W-88W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 105W-111W AND FROM 4N-8N W OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:51 2003 X-UIDL: 22944-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LRQ0QJA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M1DhPa063575 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M0sW0f004842; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 262812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M1AGxl030144 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M1AFhO027869 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M1AFM8027867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220110.h3M1AFM8027867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 220100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN REISSUED/220100Z/221800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.7S1 61.3E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED THE SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:52 2003 X-UIDL: 22946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LV60RNA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:14:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M1ENPa063764 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:14:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LLZGNp031494; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 262815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M1AGxl004602 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M1AFhO027870 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M1AFx6027868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:10:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220110.h3M1AFx6027868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 220100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN REISSUED/220100Z/221800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.7S1 61.3E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED THE SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 10:03:32 2003 X-UIDL: 22947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LD30WXA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:17:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M1HXPa064806 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:17:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LLZGNj031494; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 262800 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M19Xxl004582 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M19XhO027852 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M19WWe027850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220109.h3M19WWe027850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/220000Z/220600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211951ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 212100Z6, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 124.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 212100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 156.0E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED THE SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AND UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1). 4. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 11:53:44 2003 X-UIDL: 22965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00L08839A4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:52:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M3qYPa014487 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:52:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M0sWFH004842; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:49:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 265695 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:47:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M3lIxl048258 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:47:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M3lHhO029527 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:47:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M3lHgY029526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:47:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:47:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220347.h3M3lHgY029526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 220343 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 22 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 32N137W TO 20N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 7N88W 3N100W 8N112W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 89W...FROM 108W TO 110W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 113W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 139W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 92W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 6N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 80W TO 83W AND NORTH OF 5.5N EAST OF 79W TO INLAND OVER EAST PANAMA AND COLOMBIA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 83W TO 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 3N81W TO INLAND OVER SOUTH COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR NEAR 2N79W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 15:20:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22971-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LEXEY8A4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 14:20:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M6KiPa058670 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 14:20:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M5xl0X022940; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:11:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 268044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:11:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M6B0xl006522 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:11:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M6AxhO000814 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:10:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M6AxYc000812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:10:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:10:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220610.h3M6AxYc000812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N3 123.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 315 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 18:45:36 2003 X-UIDL: 22983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00L5BOF3A4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:45:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M9jEPa025904 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:45:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M5ErA1034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:40:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 269514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:40:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M9eQxl020388 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:40:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M9eKhO002484 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M9eK72002483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:40:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220940.h3M9eK72002483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 220940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 22 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 113W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N140W TO 18N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 4N100W 8N111W 7N126W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 77W TO 80W...WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 135W...AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 81W AND 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 82W...WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 86W...WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 106W...WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 114W...WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 131W...AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N FROM 82W TO 85W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 5.5N136W AND OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N86W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 18:45:36 2003 X-UIDL: 22984-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00L4ZP79A4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 18:02:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MA28uE031100 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 18:02:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M5ErAR034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 269591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M9tixl015076 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M9thhO002588 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M9thiJ002587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:55:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220955.h3M9thiJ002587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 220955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS/BROKEN TO OVERCAST CIRRUS. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 06N149W 06N142W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 55 NM OF LINE 08N170W 07N163W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 55 NM OF LINE 12S175W 14S171W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... WEAK TROUGH ALONG LINE 22S145W 27S139W MOVED EAST 12 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG TROUGH. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 01:00:26 2003 X-UIDL: 23002-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00LTJ8GHA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:57:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MGvxuE049305 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:58:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MFTgJb041326; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:47:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 276918 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:47:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MGlixl005800 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:47:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MGlhhO012940 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:47:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MGlh4C012939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:47:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:47:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304221647.h3MGlh4C012939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 221643 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 22 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 14N W OF 115W W RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N140W TO 18N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1615 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 5N960W 9N111W 7N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 83W AND WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. $$ SANDOVAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 02:31:41 2003 X-UIDL: 23005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00LP7BVQA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 02:11:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MIC0uE068870 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 02:12:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MFTgZF041326; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 278558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MI8Fxl005844 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MI8EhO016282 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MI8Eix016279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304221808.h3MI8Eix016279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 02:31:47 2003 X-UIDL: 23007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00LVJC3DA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 02:16:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MIGYuE069828 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 02:16:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MHsj0P034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 278554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MI8Fxl013098 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MI8EhO016281 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MI8Eea016280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:08:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304221808.h3MI8Eea016280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 09:16:33 2003 X-UIDL: 23015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR0094KN36N3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 06:13:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MME5uE035557 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 06:14:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MJmIOT041326; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:04:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 283676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:02:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MM2Dxl026770 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:02:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MM2DhO024457 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:02:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MM2C9s024456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:02:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:02:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304222202.h3MM2C9s024456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 222201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM 07N177W 08N159W MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 04N158W 08N140W AND BEYOND MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07S179W 11S163W 17S180 MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 03S178W 11S146W MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. RAB THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WOULD LIKE TO HEAR ABOUT HOW YOU USE THIS PRODUCT. E-MAIL YOUR COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 TO KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV...OR CALL 808-973-5276. DEPENDING UPON YOUR RESPONSES...THIS PRODUCT MAY BE MODIFIED...ELIMINATED OR REPLACED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 09:16:33 2003 X-UIDL: 23016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00GD8OS5HX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 06:50:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MMLIuE037063 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 06:21:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgR8j010520; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:15:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 284063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:15:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MMFixl046856 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:15:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MMFhhO024753 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:15:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MMFh3D024752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:15:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 17:15:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304222215.h3MMFh3D024752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 222215 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 22 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 22/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 10N W OF 110W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 28N140W TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N95W 10N105W 8N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 82W-90W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 120W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 6N E OF 80W INCLUDING E PANAMA. BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM S CALIFORNIA TO NEAR HAWAII. STRONG UPPER LEVEL SW FLOW TO THE SOUTH IS ADVECTING MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EWD OVER THE S BAJA PENINSULA AND CENTRAL MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 12:32:50 2003 X-UIDL: 23034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00G3E2NRHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 11:50:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N3oPuE026183 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 11:50:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgRV9010520; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:44:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 288550 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:44:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N3iKxl014876 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:44:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N3iKhO029350 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:44:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N3iKVr029349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:44:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:44:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230344.h3N3iKVr029349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 230340 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 23 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF ITCZ W OF 105W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 29N137W TO 13N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N103W 7N117W 8N128W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 124W-130W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS E OF 92W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 136W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM N OF LINE 4N116W 4N127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR 7.5N81.5W S OF PANAMA. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 7N85W 11N92W. BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE DESERT SW NEAR THE ARIZONA/CALIFORNIA BORDER TO BEYOND 24N140W. UPPER LEVEL SW FLOW S OF TROUGH AXIS IS ADVECTING MOSTLY UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EWD S OF A LINE FROM 12N140W 25N130W 28N115W NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 13:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 23045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00GJ47I2HX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 13:34:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N5Z2uE055238 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 13:35:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N2e7Lv041326; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 289974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N5RLxl017518 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N5RKhO000656 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N5RKJO000654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230527.h3N5RKJO000654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N0 122.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, AND TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 18:48:24 2003 X-UIDL: 23060-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00GKAJO8HX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 17:57:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N9vsuE038152 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 17:57:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgRl9010520; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 04:48:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 292049 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 04:48:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N9mgxl005780 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 04:48:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N9mfhO003056 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 04:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N9mfkR003055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 04:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 04:48:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230948.h3N9mfkR003055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 230948 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 23 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF ITCZ W OF 106W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N136W SE TO 16N106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 9N104W 8N127W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 6N-8.5N BETWEEN 123W-129W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 4N116W 5.5N127W AND WITHIN A SIMILAR DISTANCE OF THE ITCZ FROM 80W-95W. SMALL CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 9N113W AND 7N120W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION NEAR 7N139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG MOSTLY S OF PANAMA FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 81W-83.5W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N79W IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ARIZONA SW TO 26N130W THEN BEYOND 24N140W. UPPER LEVEL SW FLOW S OF TROUGH AXIS IS ADVECTING MOSTLY MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EWD S OF A LINE FROM 12N140W 24N128W 28N115W NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 18:48:24 2003 X-UIDL: 23061-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00GEKK1YHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 18:05:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NA6AuE040575 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 18:06:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgRlP010520; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 05:01:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 292137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 05:01:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NA1Rxl046298 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 05:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NA1QhO003200 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 05:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NA1QVV003199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 05:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 05:01:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304231001.h3NA1QVV003199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 231000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 09N176W IS NEW. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N158W 08N140W EXTENDS EAST BEYOND 140W...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY...AND DECREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 06S177W 11S170W 09S179W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND DECREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. POWELL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WOULD LIKE TO HEAR ABOUT HOW YOU USE THIS PRODUCT. E-MAIL YOUR COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 TO KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV...OR CALL 808-973-5276. DEPENDING UPON YOUR RESPONSES...THIS PRODUCT MAY BE MODIFIED...ELIMINATED OR REPLACED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 23:37:54 2003 X-UIDL: 23083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00G2UZ3NHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 23:30:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NFVBuE036623 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 23:31:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NBHXPf033772; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 10:26:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 296889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 10:26:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NFQ4xl042306 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 10:26:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NFQ3hO010619 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 10:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NFQ36V010618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 10:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 10:26:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304231526.h3NFQ36V010618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 231522 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 23 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 10N W OF 110W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N140W SE TO 18N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N100W 9N112W 6N123W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS E OF 79W AND 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 83W TO 87W AND 60 NM WIDE FROM 111W TO 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 240 NM WIDE FROM 118W TO 124W. SCATTERED STRONG 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG MOSTLY WITHIN 120 NM OF COAST OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N86W AND 90 NM OF 8N89W. $$ SANDOVAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:21 2003 X-UIDL: 23089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00GT15RZHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 01:55:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NHtKuE083603 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 01:55:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NBHXh3033772; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 299691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NHhaxl042490 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NHhahO016083 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NHhZig016081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304231743.h3NHhZig016081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:21 2003 X-UIDL: 23090-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00GSZ5RZHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 01:55:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NHtNuE083631 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 01:55:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NGJFBn026774; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 299694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NHhbxl027174 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NHhahO016084 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NHhaJC016082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 12:43:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304231743.h3NHhaJC016082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:35 2003 X-UIDL: 23101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00GOLFMVHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 05:28:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NLSKuE045352 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 05:28:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NJTHI5033772; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 16:22:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 305744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 16:22:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NLMMxl018274 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 16:22:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NLMLhO025021 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 16:22:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NLMLEA025020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 16:22:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 16:22:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304232122.h3NLMLEA025020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 232122 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 23 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 23/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 10N W OF 100W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N140W 20N117W 13N100W. MODERATE TO STRONG TRADES PREVAIL SW OF RIDGE AXIS. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING N FRINGES OF DISCUSSION AREA ALONG 36N130W 33N140W INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 12N110W 6N116W 8N133W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N E OF 82W INCLUDING COASTAL REGIONS OF E PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 83W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 112W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 118W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 127W-131W AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 135W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHES FROM EXTREME N MEXICO AND N BAJA PENINSULA WSW TO HAWAII WITH A STRONG...80-120 KT... SUBTROPICAL JET TO THE SOUTH ADVECTING COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EWD OVER CENTRAL MEXICO N OF 20N. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:36 2003 X-UIDL: 23102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00GRGHKPHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 06:10:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NMAAuE055308 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 06:10:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NLqJ0H022398; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 17:00:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 306568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 17:00:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NM0txl027384 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 17:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NM0shO026220 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 17:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NM0sYt026219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 17:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 17:00:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304232200.h3NM0sYt026219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 232200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N171W 06N174W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 06N166W 07N170W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 06N146W 07N140W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTEND ACROSS THE DATELINE AND ARE BOUNDED BY 04S180 07S161W 16S180 10S177E. THESE CB REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:40 2003 X-UIDL: 23114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00BVEXWY2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:02:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O432uE053126 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:03:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NLqJOT022398; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 22:56:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 312070 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 22:56:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O3uhxl041414 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 22:56:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3O3ughO001965 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 22:56:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3O3ugMv001964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 22:56:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 22:56:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304240356.h3O3ugMv001964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 240352 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 24 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N THE ITCZ W OF 100W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N136W 26N125W 12N100W. ..COLD FRONT IS AT THE NW FRINGE OF THE AREA ALONG 35N130W 32N140W. FRONT IS MARKED BY A 90 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS FOLLOWED BY SCATTERED/BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N106W 6N116W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N-7.5N BETWEEN 116W-121W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 8N86W 8.5N95W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS W OF 138W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-8.5N BETWEEN 125W-132W. SMALL CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 5N110W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 11N93W 11N100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS OFFSHORE OF SW PANAMA NEAR 8N82W.. SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT AT THIS TIME. SMALL CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COSTA RICAN COASTLINE NEAR 84W-86W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COASTLINE FROM EQ-5N. MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHES FROM EXTREME NW MEXICO AND N BAJA PENINSULA WSW TO 26N140W WITH A STRONG...80-120 KT... SUBTROPICAL JET TO THE SOUTH ADVECTING COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EWD OVER CENTRAL MEXICO N OF 19N S OF 29N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 22:01:19 2003 X-UIDL: 23146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BX2EIL2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 18:01:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OA1iuE074308 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 18:01:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dY0t035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:52:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 316047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:52:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O9qExl010522 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:52:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3O9qDhO005823 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:52:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3O9qDKU005821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:52:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:52:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304240952.h3O9qDKU005821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 240951 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 24 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF THE ITCZ W OF 100W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 27N125W 12N100W. ..COLD FRONT HAS ENTERED THE NW PART OF THE AREA ALONG 32N132W 31N140W. FRONT IS MARKED BY A 90 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN/ OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N85W 7N110W 5N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN A 75 NM RADIUS OF 6.5N117.5W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 5N129W 5.5N132.5W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF ITCZ FROM 85-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 119W-122W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W-96W...109W-112W AND W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WEAKENING CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS OFFSHORE OF SW PANAMA NEAR 7.5N83.5W. SMALL CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COSTA RICAN COASTLINE NEAR 9N84W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COASTLINE N OF 4N. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION HAS MOVED OFFSHORE OF EXTREME SE MEXICO WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 14N93.5W 16N93W. SHOWERS/ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 10.5N95W 11.5N101W. MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM NW MEXICO AND N BAJA PENINSULA WSW TO 26N140W WITH A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET TO THE SOUTH ADVECTING MID/UPPER MOISTURE INTO MEXICO N OF 19N S OF 29N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 22:01:20 2003 X-UIDL: 23148-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BK8ESH2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 18:07:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OA7euE076167 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 18:07:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dY0x035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 05:01:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 316084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 05:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OA1Yxl022776 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 05:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OA1YhO005928 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 05:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OA1Xpg005927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 05:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 05:01:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304241001.h3OA1Xpg005927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 241000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09N158W 05N165W 05N170W 09N158W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND DECREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N144W TO 06N149W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 04S180 07S161W 16S180 10S177E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY...STRADDLED THE DATELINE...AND HAD LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 25 00:19:49 2003 X-UIDL: 23167-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BRYTCX2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 23:22:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OFMLuE065671 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 23:22:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dYKt035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:14:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 320201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:13:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OFDlxl044346 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:13:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OFDlhO013272 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:13:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OFDkd7013271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:13:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:13:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304241513.h3OFDkd7013271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 241513 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 24 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 10N W OF 105W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 27N135W 15N110W. ..COLD FRONT HAS ENTERED THE N PORTION OF THE AREA ALONG 30N W OF 135W. FRONT IS MARKED BY A 100 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N87W 7N110W 5N100W 7N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG IS WITHIN A 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 123W AND FROM 130W TO 133W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 111W TO 114W AND 60 NM WIDE FROM 125W TO 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS E OF 79W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF COAST OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N90W 8N97W. 30 NM WIDE BAND OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS 60 NM OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA. $$ SANDOVAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:47:47 2003 X-UIDL: 23174-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BRDZ322F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 01:25:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OHQ2uE004564 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 01:26:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dYVh035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 322977 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OHKBxl024434 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OHKAhO018343 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OHKANb018341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304241720.h3OHKANb018341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:47:47 2003 X-UIDL: 23175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BWMZ6Y2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 01:28:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OHSLuE005176 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 01:28:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OGmtBR012694; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 322980 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OHKBxl034456 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OHKAhO018344 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OHKAS4018342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 12:20:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304241720.h3OHKAS4018342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:02 2003 X-UIDL: 23186-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV00599D4537@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:28:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OMT4uE086734 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:29:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OKbbBN024506; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:50:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 329656 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OLoRxl029080 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OLoQhO027908 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OLoQbN027906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:50:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304242150.h3OLoQbN027906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 242150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 24 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 24/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N127W TO BEYOND 29N140W. FRONT IS MARKED BY A 100 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 12N W OF 105W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 25N123W 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N90W 8N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 85W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 119W AND 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:02 2003 X-UIDL: 23187-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV0059ND4E37@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:29:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OMTHuE086766 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:29:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OKYWFb035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:51:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 329674 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:51:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OLpdxl004104 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OLpchO027946 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OLpcCj027945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:51:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304242151.h3OLpcCj027945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 242151 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI ISSUED BY NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2200 UTC APRIL 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2132 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF ITCZ AXIS 06N150W 06N160W...05N165W 05S172W...AND 07N175W 07N180 MOVING WEST AT 10 KT AND HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 11S169W 09S175W 07S174W 09S168W 11S169W WAS MOVING WEST AT 10 KT AND HAS INCREASED IN INTENSITY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB FROM 07S TO 12S BETWEEN 162W AND 168W NOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY AREA SOUTH OF 23S BETWEEN 142W AND 144W MOVING EAST AT 20 KT AND HAS INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 13S179W NEWLY FORMED. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. MOLLEDA TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:11 2003 X-UIDL: 23218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV00FD9SGSFW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:00:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P40euE082015 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:00:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OKYWqH035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:50:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 336478 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P3oPxl036018 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3P3oPhO004205 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3P3oPrk004204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:50:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304250350.h3P3oPrk004204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 250350 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 25 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N124W TO BEYOND 28N140W. FRONT IS MARKED BY A 100 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS. ..HIGH PRESSURE E OF COLD FRONT WITH RIDGE AXIS BECOMING MORE NARROW FROM W-E ALONG 22N120W TO 12N97W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 8N120W 5N130W 7N140W. CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY COMPARED TO 24 HOURS AGO. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 8N86W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 5N124W 12N117W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N98W. A FEW TSTM CELLS ARE ALONG THE S PANAMA COAST AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10N97W 12N111W. BROAD W-SW FLOW IS S OF 27N TO LINE 10N140W 20N105W CARRYING LESS UPPER MOISTURE THAN YESTERDAY. TROUGH AXIS IS ALONG 130W BUT THE FLOW IS ONLY WEAKLY CYCLONIC IN THE AREA N OF 27N. AN UPPER HIGH CENTERED NEAR 14N102W IS CONTROLLING THE WEATHER IN THE REST OF THE EPAC. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:14 2003 X-UIDL: 23227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV0050BYGV37@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 14:10:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P6AKuE022391 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 14:10:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5FG27035568; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:59:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 338326 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:58:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5w2xl035854 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:58:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3P5w1hO005667 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:58:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3P5w1YW005665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:58:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:58:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304250558.h3P5w1YW005665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N1 127.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:27 2003 X-UIDL: 23251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW005PC8RV37@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 17:52:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P9qquE008712 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 17:52:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5FG81035568; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 04:47:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 340410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 04:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P9lexl040778 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 04:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3P9ldhO007920 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 04:47:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3P9ldC3007919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 04:47:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 04:47:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304250947.h3P9ldC3007919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 250947 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 25 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK TROUGH ALONG 119W FROM 6N-12N. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF TROUGH AXIS. ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N122W 29N130W TO BEYOND 27.5N140W. FRONT IS MARKED BY 90 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. OVERCAST DECK OF MIDDLE CLOUDS IS N OF 29N W OF 127W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE E OF COLD FRONT WITH RIDGE AXIS NARROWING FROM W TO E ALONG 25N124W TO 14N100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N87W 5N107W 8N120W 5N127W 6N140W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS ON THE COLOMBIAN COASTLINE NEAR 4N77W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W-85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 4N135W 6N139W. ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION/SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 105W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR 8N82W SW OF PANAMA. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N94W AND LINE 10N100W 11N108W. BROAD W-SW FLOW IS S OF 27N TO LINE 10N140W 19N104W ADVECTING LESS MID/UPPER MOISTURE THAN YESTERDAY. TROUGH AXIS IS ALONG ABOUT 130W BUT THE FLOW IS ONLY WEAKLY CYCLONIC IN THE AREA N OF 27N. AN UPPER HIGH CENTERED NEAR 13N103W IS CONTROLLING THE WEATHER IN THE REST OF THE EPAC. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:27 2003 X-UIDL: 23252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW005JJ9CM37@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 18:05:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PA5NuE012871 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 18:05:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P9lf1p024512; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 05:00:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 340607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 05:00:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PA08xl046246 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 05:00:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PA08hO008068 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 05:00:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PA07Kl008067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 05:00:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 05:00:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304251000.h3PA07Kl008067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 250959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N153W 08N145W 03N150W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09N166W 03N172W 07N178W MOVED NW 10KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 21S144W 24S140W...CONTINUES SE OF 24S140W. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09S179W 05S166W 10S166W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:39 2003 X-UIDL: 23255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW0050TCUW37@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 19:20:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PBL6uE036269 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 19:21:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P9lf83024512; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 341187 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PBDaxl042464 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PBDahO008839 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PBDZ8p008837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304251113.h3PBDZ8p008837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 251130 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10.0S1 45.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF LINDI, TANZANIA. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS DEVELOPING BENEATH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION OF DIFFLUENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JACOBS/KLINSMANN/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:40 2003 X-UIDL: 23256-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW00FA3CYTFW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 19:23:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PBNWuE036913 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 19:23:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5FGAR035568; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 341156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PBBexl003664 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PBBdhO008809 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PBBdsE008807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304251111.h3PBBdsE008807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 251130 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10.0S1 45.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF LINDI, TANZANIA. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS DEVELOPING BENEATH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION OF DIFFLUENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JACOBS/KLINSMANN/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:40 2003 X-UIDL: 23257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW00FG2D2GFW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 19:25:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PBPfuE037687 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 19:25:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P9lf7l024512; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 341159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PBBexl042452 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PBBdhO008810 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PBBdT3008808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:11:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304251111.h3PBBdT3008808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251130 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10.0S1 45.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF LINDI, TANZANIA. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS DEVELOPING BENEATH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION OF DIFFLUENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JACOBS/KLINSMANN/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:40 2003 X-UIDL: 23258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW005MPD9H37@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 19:29:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PBTtuE039089 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 19:29:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5FGAZ035568; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 341183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PBDaxl041742 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PBDahO008840 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PBDa10008838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 06:13:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304251113.h3PBDa10008838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251130 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10.0S1 45.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF LINDI, TANZANIA. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS DEVELOPING BENEATH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION OF DIFFLUENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JACOBS/KLINSMANN/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:52 2003 X-UIDL: 23277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW005QDPX937@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 00:03:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PG3LuE023634 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 00:03:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5FGlL035568; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:54:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 347440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:54:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PFspxl046098 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:54:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PFsphO016577 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:54:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PFspfD016576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:54:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:54:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304251554.h3PFspfD016576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 251554 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 25 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH ALONG 120W/121W FROM 6N-13N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM E OF TROUGH AXIS. ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N121W 28N30W THEN STATIONARY TO 28N140W. FRONT IS MARKED BY 90 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. OVERCAST DECK OF MIDDLE CLOUDS IS N OF 29N W OF 127W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE E OF COLD FRONT WITH RIDGE AXIS FROM W TO E ALONG 25N123W TO 17N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N87W 5N110W 8N120W 5N127W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS E OF 79W AND FROM 83W TO 88W AND 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 136W TO 139W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-101W AND 50 NM OF AXIS FROM 122W TO 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 8N83W SW OF PANAMA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF COAST OF COSTA RICE. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11N102W 11N110W. $$ SANDOVAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:52 2003 X-UIDL: 23278-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW005HNTDK37@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 01:17:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PHHvuE045508 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 01:17:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PGPv9f041884; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 349278 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PHCKxl018844 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PHCJhO019493 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PHCJgC019491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304251712.h3PHCJgC019491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 45.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF LINDI, TANZANIA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:53 2003 X-UIDL: 23279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW00FSKTUYFW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 01:28:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PHSKuE048707 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 01:28:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5FGvn035568; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:13:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 349284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PHCKxl006362 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PHCJhO019494 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PHCJWJ019492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 12:12:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304251712.h3PHCJWJ019492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 45.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF LINDI, TANZANIA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:56 2003 X-UIDL: 23288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDX00FTE6AIFW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 05:56:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PLuruE026108 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 05:56:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PK6ZF5006174; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:50:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 335693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:50:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PLo0xl030392 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:50:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PLo0hO028890 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:50:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PLo0tb028889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:50:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:50:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304252150.h3PLo0tb028889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 252149 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES...NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...OCCASIONAL CBS WITHIN 3DEG OF LINE 06N178W 06N171W MOVED W 4DEG. NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CBS WITHIN 1DEG OF LINE 07N161W 07N145W 05N140W STATIONARY. WEAKENING. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND...NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES...NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ISOLATED CBS WITHIN AREA 10S180 05S170W 16S159W 10S180 STATIONARY. NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CBS WITHIN 2DEG OF POINT 21S142W MOVED E 5DEG. WEAKENING. ISOLATED CBS WITHIN 1DEG OF POINT 20S179W MOVED NE 4DEG. WEAKENING. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ABOVE CBS TO REMAIN NORTH OF SAMOA. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:56 2003 X-UIDL: 23289-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDX0054Q6L737@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 06:03:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PM3KuE027513 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 06:03:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PK6ZH7006174; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:59:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 336011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:59:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PLxDxl044468 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:59:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PLxDhO029205 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:59:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PLxD7f029204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:59:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:59:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304252159.h3PLxD7f029204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 252159 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 25 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 25/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH IS ALONG 121W/122W FROM 6N-13N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF TROUGH AXIS. ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N121W TO 28N125W 28N140W. FRONT IS MARKED BY 90 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS SE OF COLD FRONT WITH RIDGE AXIS FROM 15N125W TO 18N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 6N120W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 240 NM WIDE BETWEEN 82W AND 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 92W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 124W AND 129W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 9N122W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 12:05:54 2003 X-UIDL: 23303-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDX00GDSMIHBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:47:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q3lIuE001074 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:47:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PK6ZhF006174; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 22:42:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 342003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 22:42:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q3g8xl044862 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 22:42:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3Q3g2hO003473 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 22:42:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3Q3g22c003472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 22:42:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 22:42:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304260342.h3Q3g22c003472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 260341 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 26 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..NEW COLD FRONT HAS ENTERED THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE AREA AND IS ALONG 33N129W WSW TO 32N140W. ..TROUGH IS ALONG 122W FROM 6N-13N. A CLUSTER OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IS NEAR 9N124W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS SE OF COLD FRONT WITH RIDGE AXIS FROM 27N129W TO 12N103W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N89W 8N104W 9N111W 9N124W 6N130W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 80W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITH A FEW PATCHES OF STRONG IS FROM 6.5N-9N BETWEEN 93W-103W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 105W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS FROM 127W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 133W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10N96W 10.5N102W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 13:14:33 2003 X-UIDL: 23308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDX00GWVQ2YBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 13:04:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q54KuE020573 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 13:04:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PK6ZjL006174; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 342596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q4tZxl010590 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3Q4tYhO004106 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3Q4tYDH004104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304260455.h3Q4tYDH004104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 21:48:13 2003 X-UIDL: 23313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDY00G4H317BF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 17:43:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q9i7uE088593 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 17:44:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PK6Zqt006174; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:40:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 345097 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:40:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q9eIxl014930 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:40:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3Q9eHhO006295 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:40:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3Q9eHnn006294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:40:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:40:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304260940.h3Q9eHnn006294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 260940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 26 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK COLD FRONT IS ALONG THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE AREA FROM 33N125W W TO 32N135W. ..TROUGH IS ORIENTED FROM NE TO SW ALONG LINE 12N123W 7N127W WITH A 1010 MB LOW THAT HAS FORMED ON THE TROUGH NEAR 10N125W. AN INTENSE BURST OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED S OF THE LOW CENTER WITH A CLUSTER OF STRONG NEAR 9N125W OTHERWISE SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF TROUGH AXIS S OF 9N. ..ELSEWHERE HIGH PRESSURE CONTROLS THE AREA WITH A RIDGE AXIS FROM 27N125W TO 14N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N94W 7N100W 9N125W 5N131W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 93W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 99W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 128W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 136W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N107W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE ALONG THE W COAST OF COSTA RICO AND COLOMBIA AND ON THE S COAST OF PANAMA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 21:48:16 2003 X-UIDL: 23314-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDY00G9T43TBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 18:07:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QA7JuE093418 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 18:07:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PK6Zr3006174; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:55:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 345161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:55:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q9t5xl018176 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:55:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3Q9t5hO006392 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:55:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3Q9t4P0006391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:55:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:55:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304260955.h3Q9t4P0006391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 260954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N140W 03N142W 03N148W 08N152W AND MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 07N162W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N174W 09N170W 05N173W 07N176W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14S160W 18S158W 16S165W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 16S179E 18S177W 18S179E AND MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 00:38:58 2003 X-UIDL: 23323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDY00G70M21BF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 00:34:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QGZ1uE076252 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 00:35:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QBbWZ3042288; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 349465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QGUVxl030338 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3QGUVhO009478 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3QGUUgx009476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304261630.h3QGUUgx009476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 00:38:59 2003 X-UIDL: 23324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDY00G7JM2HBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 00:35:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QGZGuE076348 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 00:35:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QAgfHp006196; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 349461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QGUVxl045024 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3QGUVhO009479 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3QGUVEQ009477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 11:30:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304261630.h3QGUVEQ009477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 10:13:48 2003 X-UIDL: 23328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDY00GBQPG5BF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 01:48:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QHmIuE096146 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 01:48:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QBbWg5042288; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 12:43:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 350224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 12:43:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QHhoxl027370 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 12:43:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3QHhnhO010225 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 12:43:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3QHhnxJ010224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 12:43:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 12:43:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304261743.h3QHhnxJ010224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 261743 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 26 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH ORIENTED FROM NE TO SW LIES ALONG 12N125W 3N130W WITH A 1011 MB LOW NEAR 11N125W. THE TROUGH/LOW HAS BEEN SUSTAINING STRONG CONVECTION FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS IT MOVES W 10-15 KT. HOWEVER...THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 6N132W-7N128W-12N124W. ..ELSEWHERE HIGH PRESSURE CONTROLS THE AREA N OF 12N W OF 105W WITH A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N140W 29N130W 27N125W 20N120W 12N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N96W 8N100W 11N120W 5N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 84W-87W AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 5N-10N BETWEEN 100W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 132W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG UPPER LEVEL WLY FLOW BETWEEN 15N-25N IS ADVECTING A COPIOUS PLUME OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EWD OVER THE S BAJA PENINSULA AND INTO CENTRAL MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 10:13:53 2003 X-UIDL: 23337-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDZ00GDM0MCBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 05:49:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QLnbuE054627 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 05:49:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QJgp9B006200; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:42:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 353505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:42:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QLgAxl011514 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:42:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3QLg9hO012545 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:42:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3QLg92q012544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:42:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:42:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304262142.h3QLg92q012544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 262141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 26 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 26/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1011 MB LOW IS JUST N OF THE ITCZ NEAR 11N127W. A TROUGH EXTENDS SW TO 2N131W. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN SUSTAINING STRONG CONVECTION FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS IT MOVES W 10-15 KT. HOWEVER...THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ..ELSEWHERE HIGH PRESSURE CONTROLS THE AREA N OF 12N W OF 105W WITH A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 26N125W 13N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N100W 8N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 81W AND 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 180 NM WIDE BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS 240 NM WIDE BETWEEN 126W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG UPPER LEVEL WLY FLOW BETWEEN 20N-28N IS ADVECTING A PLUME OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EWD OVER THE S BAJA PENINSULA AND INTO CENTRAL MEXICO. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 10:13:53 2003 X-UIDL: 23338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDZ00GRO16SBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 06:01:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QM1ruE056976 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 06:01:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QJgp9H006200; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:55:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 353568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:55:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QLt7xl042000 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:55:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3QLt7hO012699 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:55:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3QLt786012698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:55:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:55:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304262155.h3QLt786012698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 262154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM OF LINE 06N140W 08N180 ARE MOVING WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N178W 28N176E MOVING EAST 20 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07S175W 19S156W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 17S170W 25S155W MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 19:17:38 2003 X-UIDL: 23347-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDZ006R9I04Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 12:04:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R4548X069298 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 12:05:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R2Xx2X035450; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:01:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 357220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:01:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R41Hxl015338 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:01:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3R41GhO015748 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:01:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3R41G1E015747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:01:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:01:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304270401.h3R41G1E015747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 270401 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 27 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N126W THROUGH A 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 9N130W TO 3N132W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 10N100W 8N110W 8N120W 11N131W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 132W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N TO 6N...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 10N110.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA SOUTH OF 3N TO SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF 6N FROM 116W TO 119W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 19:17:38 2003 X-UIDL: 23350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDZ006XOIYOY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 12:25:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R4Pp8X073507 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 12:25:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R2Xx2r035450; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 357344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R4I7xl006304 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3R4I6hO015846 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3R4I6ms015844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304270418.h3R4I6ms015844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 19:17:40 2003 X-UIDL: 23355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDZ006WDXUCY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 17:47:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R9lD8X035062 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 17:47:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R2XxCb035450; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:43:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 359743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:43:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R9hQxl039938 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:43:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3R9hPhO017889 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:43:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3R9hPDL017888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:43:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:43:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304270943.h3R9hPDL017888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 270943 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 27 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 13N129W THROUGH A 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N131W TO 6N132W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 113W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A 1021 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 28N128W TO 18N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 10N100W 8N111W 7N120W 11N129W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 105W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 101W...WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W...AND WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 131W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 84W AND WITHIN 180 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 92W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 75/90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 6N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N124W TO 12N128W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA 8N TO 9N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 19:17:40 2003 X-UIDL: 23356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDZ006IQYEKY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 17:59:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R9xN8X038109 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 17:59:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R2XxCd035450; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:54:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 359815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:54:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R9suxl037146 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:54:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3R9suhO017976 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:54:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3R9su7a017975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:54:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:54:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304270954.h3R9su7a017975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 270954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 05N146W 11N171W 08N177E WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH/CZ...AREAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINES 05S178E 25S148E AND 17S172E 17S179E WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH INCREASED SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH/CZ DESCRIPTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW AREA ISOLATED CB HAS FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 03S163W AND MOVED WEST AT 15 KT. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 00:26:43 2003 X-UIDL: 23366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE0006NBEULY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:54:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RFsY8X023162 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:54:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RFY3Hi020646; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:49:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 346137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:49:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RFngG2017950 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:49:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3RFnghO020518 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:49:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3RFnfif020517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:49:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:49:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304271549.h3RFnfif020517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 271547 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 27 APR 2003 EASTEOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 105W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 29N140W 25N120W 14N105W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE IEST OF 105W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 29N140W 25N120W 14N105W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 8N136W TO NEAR 14N130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 124W-133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N100W 8N120W 10N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 5N-8N BETWEEN 81W-84W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 102W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 109W-115W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 117W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG SUBTROPICAL WLY JET CONTINUES TO ADVECT MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE OVER MUCH OF MEXICO N OF 19N. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 00:26:43 2003 X-UIDL: 23367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE0006NMEUPY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:54:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RFsc8X023178 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:54:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RERnJu008010; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:49:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 346118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:47:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RFliG2015392 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:47:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3RFlhhO020499 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:47:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3RFlh2c020498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:47:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:47:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304271547.h3RFlh2c020498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 271547 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 27 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 105W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 29N140W 25N120W 14N105W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 8N136W TO NEAR 14N130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 124W-133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N100W 8N120W 10N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 5N-8N BETWEEN 81W-84W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 102W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 109W-115W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 117W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG SUBTROPICAL WLY JET CONTINUES TO ADVECT MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE OVER MUCH OF MEXICO N OF 19N. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 08:52:28 2003 X-UIDL: 23374-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE00063JUNZY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 05:35:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RLaC8X005094 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 05:36:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RERnaA008010; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:32:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 350254 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:32:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RLWhG2019372 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3RLWghO023445 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:32:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3RLWgrI023444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:32:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:32:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304272132.h3RLWgrI023444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 272132 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 27 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 105W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 27N140W 24N125W 12N102W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 8N137W TO NEAR 13N131W. ALL SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE HAS DISSIPATED. ..TAIL END OF COLD FRONT BRUSHES THE NRN PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA FROM 31N135W TO NE OF 32N130W. BROKEN LINE OF CUMULUS/ STRATOCUMULUS EXTENDS WITHIN 30NM OF THE ACTUAL FRONT...WITH ADDITIONAL SCATTERED/BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS TO THE N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 6N84W 6N93W 9N100W 7N120W 12N128W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS...S OF PANAMA...BETWEEN THE COLOMBIAN COAST AND 87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 91W-94W. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-118W AND 121W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER PANAMA WITH SOME CELLS DRIFTING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. THE SUBTRPCL JET REMAINS QUITE ACTIVE WITH UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING WITHIN 300NM OF A LINE FROM 20N125W TO SRN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND NRN MEXICO. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 08:52:28 2003 X-UIDL: 23375-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE0006Y7VQTY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 05:59:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RLxV8X009563 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 05:59:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RERnaK008010; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:55:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 350365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:55:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RLt1G2008920 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:55:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3RLt1hO023618 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:55:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3RLt04i023616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:55:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:55:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304272155.h3RLt04i023616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 272154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 07N144W 07N160W 09N171W DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND REMAIN VERY SPARSE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N168W 27N174W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 26N175E. PRE-FRONTAL CLOUD BAND IMMEDIATELY PRECEDES FRONT FROM 30N166W TO 26N173W. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KT. SHEAR LINE MOVING SOUTH 5 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG PRE-FRONTAL CLOUD BAND. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG THE FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S145W 22S152W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 20S160W 18S180. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 173W INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG LINE 18S156W 09S180 MOVING SOUTHWEST 5 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 12:59:51 2003 X-UIDL: 23399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE1008T1BNV4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 11:43:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S3hG8X097071 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 11:43:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S2mNHq013376; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 22:37:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 353772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 22:37:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S3bgG2008070 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 22:37:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3S3bfhO026857 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 22:37:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3S3bbUJ026856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 22:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 22:37:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304280337.h3S3bbUJ026856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 280337 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 28 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N127W AND EXTENDS TO 29N135W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N128W ALONG 10N134W TO 6N138W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 118W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A 1018 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 25N131W TO 18N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N94W 8N106W 5N118W 6N134W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W...WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 117W... WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 99W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA FROM 1N TO 3.5N AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 6N94W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 12:59:52 2003 X-UIDL: 23404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE1008AVEVH4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 12:52:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S4qh8X019110 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 12:52:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S2mNK8013376; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:43:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 354290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:38:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S4cdG2023040 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3S4cchO027381 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:38:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3S4ccFE027379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:38:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:38:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304280438.h3S4ccFE027379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 18:50:12 2003 X-UIDL: 23420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE1008MRSD44W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 17:43:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S9i68X017203 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 17:44:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S8ECGc013382; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:36:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 356124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:36:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S9aVG2009730 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:36:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3S9aVhO029605 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:36:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3S9aVEi029604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:36:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:36:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304280936.h3S9aVEi029604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 280936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 28 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N124W AND EXTENDS TO 29N129W WHERE IT DISSIPATES TO 28N137W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 135W AND FROM 15N TO 30N WEST OF 120W. A 1019 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 26N125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N87W 8N104W 6N110W 5N126W 4N132W 7N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 102W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N05W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 7N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 115W...WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 120W...AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N96W TO THE AXIS NEAR 8N99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 88W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N123W TO 12N125W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF ECUADOR WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 1.5N79.5W AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N126.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 18:50:12 2003 X-UIDL: 23421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE10089DSM24W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 17:49:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S9nU8X018869 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 17:49:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S8ECH0013382; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:46:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 356218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S9kAG2009858 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3S9k9hO029683 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3S9k9AK029682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:46:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304280946.h3S9k9AK029682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 280945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED NORTH OF 30N...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N161W 26N166W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N178W AND 07N167W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 18S177W 18S171W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 17S161W 10S180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENT FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO: KEVIN.KODAMA@NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 01:03:25 2003 X-UIDL: 23437-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE2008LVAB54W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:11:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SGBi8X040071 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:11:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SFwWHO010798; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 10:59:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 361795 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 10:43:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SFhWG2030804 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 10:43:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3SFhVhO007326 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 10:43:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3SFhVLl007325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 10:43:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 10:43:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304281543.h3SFhVLl007325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 281543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 28 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 31N123W AND EXTENDS SW ALONG 28N133W TO 29N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION S OF FRONT TO 10N W OF 100W WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 25N140W 27N124W 14N100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 8N110W 3N131W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 85W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 95W-100W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 100W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 120W-127W AND FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 123W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET TO 120 KT ALONG 22N/23N CONTINUES TO ADVECT AMPLE AMOUNTS OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE OVER INTERIOR MEXICO N OF 18N. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 10:01:20 2003 X-UIDL: 23441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE2008OSFY64W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 02:13:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SIDX8X075875 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 02:13:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SFwWx6011882; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 366218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SI57G2016124 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3SI57hO012009 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3SI56Nk012007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304281805.h3SI56Nk012007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 70.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 10:01:20 2003 X-UIDL: 23442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE2008P3FYU4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 02:13:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SIDv8X075949 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 02:13:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SFwWuU010798; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 366221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SI57G2010330 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3SI57hO012010 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3SI57M1012008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 13:05:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304281805.h3SI57M1012008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 70.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 10:01:22 2003 X-UIDL: 23447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE2008JDQBV4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 05:57:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SLvg8X033084 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 05:57:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SIpsF8010798; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 16:43:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 374203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 16:42:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SLglG2031982 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 16:42:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3SLglhO019528 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 16:42:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3SLglXP019527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 16:42:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 16:42:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304282142.h3SLglXP019527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 282142 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 28 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N121W AND EXTENDS SW ALONG 30N124W 28N130W 28N139W. BROKEN LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITHIN 90NM N OF THE FRONT AND SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS N OF 31N. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE LIES JUST S OF THE COLD FRONT ALONG 26N130W 13N104W...EXTENDING FROM A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 33N139W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N94W 8N105W 4N134W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE E OF 78W ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST BETWEEN 2N-7N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 109W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 122W-129W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER SE COSTA RICA AND PANAMA BETWEEN 77W-84W WITH SOME CELLS DRIFTING OFFSHORE. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 123W-128W. STRONG SUBTRPCL JET WITH BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS WITHIN 250NM OF A LINE FROM 20N140W 23N120W 26N100W IN NRN MEXICO. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 10:01:22 2003 X-UIDL: 23448-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE20088MQTY4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 06:08:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SM8b8X035823 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 06:08:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SJWrh4011882; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 17:00:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 374846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 17:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SM0wG2028898 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 17:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3SM0vhO019926 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 17:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3SM0v3R019925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 17:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 17:00:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304282200.h3SM0v3R019925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 282200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB CROSS THE DATELINE AND ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N179E 06N177W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 16S166W 21S158W MOVED SOUTH 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08S147W 09S154W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NN OF LINE 06S162W 13S159W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF POINT 04S175W. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 15:33:48 2003 X-UIDL: 23464-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE3009K89GG89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:50:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T4os8X045372 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:50:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T4WXU4011882; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 23:45:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 381871 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 22:43:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T3hgG2036824 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 22:43:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3T3hghO024704 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 22:43:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3T3hgJe024703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 22:43:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 22:43:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304290343.h3T3hgJe024703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 290343 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 29 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N119W AND EXTENDS SW ALONG 28N125W 27N130W 27N140W. BROKEN LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 90NM N OF THE FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N100W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 6.7N98.2W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF 10.2N101.7W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6.5N122.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 15:33:48 2003 X-UIDL: 23466-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE30097WCE589@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 13:54:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T5sL8X064403 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 13:54:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T5I0Rg033356; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 387257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T5iHG2038026 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3T5iHhO026062 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3T5iHgP026060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304290544.h3T5iHgP026060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 17:49:47 2003 X-UIDL: 23483-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE30099JMR189@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 17:37:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T9c48X041430 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 17:38:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T4WX3o011882; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:31:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 389635 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T9VVG2021822 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:31:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3T9VVhO028114 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3T9VViZ028113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:31:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304290931.h3T9VViZ028113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 290931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 29 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1022 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N134W. RIDGE EXTENDS SE TO 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 10N100W 9N120W 6N130W 4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS E OF 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 84W...AND BETWEEN 90W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 99W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA COAST FROM 9N TO 12N. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 23:10:45 2003 X-UIDL: 23484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE3009F5NN789@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 17:57:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T9vM8X047354 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 17:57:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T4WX5u011882; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:55:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 390024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:55:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T9tOG2041644 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3T9tNhO028331 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3T9tNmE028330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:55:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304290955.h3T9tNmE028330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 290955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100-125 NM OF LINE 05N163W 08N180 MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N153W 25N162W MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS WITHIN 120-150 NM WEST OF FRONT. FRONT CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 25S150W 20S170W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 20S180. TROUGH MOVING EAST 15 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH/SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ISOLATED CB NEAR THE ISLANDS IN THE PAST 24 HOURS HAVE DISSIPATED OR MOVED SOUTH. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 23:50:09 2003 X-UIDL: 23498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE4009W93Q989@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 23:44:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TFil8X046698 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 23:44:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TDNZSc011882; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 10:37:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 395301 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 10:37:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TFb7G2038978 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 10:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3TFb6hO005996 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 10:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3TFb6XR005995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 10:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 10:37:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304291537.h3TFb6XR005995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 291537 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 29 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N137W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 18N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 6N84W 9N100W 8N114W 8N127W 2N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 78W-86W AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 90W-92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 97W-103W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 118W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG SUBTROPICAL WLY JET TO 130 KT CONTINUES TO ADVECT AN IMPRESSIVE STREAM OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE S HALF OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND INTERIOR MEXICO N OF 20N. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 08:10:33 2003 X-UIDL: 23519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE4009LCA0Y89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 02:00:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TI0m8X087942 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 02:00:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3THXPIY041694; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 399197 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3THpiG2026400 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3THpihO011739 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3THphub011737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304291751.h3THphub011737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 70.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 67.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SOME DECREASE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA, WITH INCREASES IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 08:10:33 2003 X-UIDL: 23520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE4009RAA5M89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 02:03:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TI3c8X088612 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 02:03:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TFZjpw010248; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 399200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3THpiG2034382 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3THpihO011738 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3THphtT011736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 12:51:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304291751.h3THphtT011736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 70.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 67.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SOME DECREASE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT. REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA, WITH INCREASES IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 08:10:39 2003 X-UIDL: 23536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE40091HJZL89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 05:35:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TLZw8X051120 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 05:36:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3THXPm0041694; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 16:31:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 404616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 16:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TLVTG2015948 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 16:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3TLVNhO020427 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 16:31:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3TLVNio020426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 16:31:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 16:31:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304292131.h3TLVNio020426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 292131 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 29 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1022 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N132W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING E TO 29N123W 22N113W. A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH TO BEYOND 26N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N74W 7N85W 7N95W 9N103W 7N112W 10N122W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 79W-86W. ISOLATED PULSE CONVECTION FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 89W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 94W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED OROGRAPHIC SHOWERS/TSTMS FORMING OVER THE ANDES MOUNTAINS IN WRN COLOMBIA ARE MOVING W OVER THE ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS BETWEEN 1N-7N. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE ISTHMUS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITH SOME CELLS POSSIBLY DRIFTING OVER COASTAL WATERS. STRONG SUBTRPCL WLY JET IS SPREADING BROKEN HIGH CIRRUS WITHIN 180NM OF A LINE ALONG 20N140W 23N130W 24N110W 25N100W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 08:10:39 2003 X-UIDL: 23538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE4009XRLIE89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 06:08:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TM8r8X058643 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 06:08:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3THXPqY041694; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 17:01:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 405377 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 17:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TM1RG2023720 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 17:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3TM1QhO021120 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 17:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3TM1QHY021119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 17:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 17:01:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304292201.h3TM1QHY021119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 292200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N151W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N167W 11N177W MOVED NW 10 KT AND INCREASED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S172W 17S178W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 17S164W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 14S171W 11S174W. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S150W 09N160W. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 11:56:23 2003 X-UIDL: 23552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE500K6K1J4JL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 11:54:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U3sn8X058974 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 11:54:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U10tXq041694; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 22:49:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 414130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 22:49:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U3nVG2024304 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 22:49:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3U3nUhO027658 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 22:49:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3U3nUWq027657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 22:49:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 22:49:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304300349.h3U3nUWq027657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 300349 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 30 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1022 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 32N129W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 20N110W. A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH TO BEYOND 26N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N95W 8N100W 7N110W 9N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 7.8N85.7W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 6.9N97.3W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF 8N102.2W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8.5N TO 11N FROM 110.5W TO 119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 13:59:02 2003 X-UIDL: 23556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE500KE16WGJL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 13:50:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U5oo8X092385 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 13:50:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U10tgw041694; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 416452 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U5fAG2016034 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3U5f9hO028962 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3U5f9Nr028960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304300541.h3U5f9Nr028960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600ZAPR2003/010600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 17:51:30 2003 X-UIDL: 23574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE500KMAHT3JL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 17:46:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U9kT8X071833 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 17:46:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U10toS041694; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:41:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 418774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:41:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U9f2G2019792 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:41:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3U9f2hO001897 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3U9f1Vu001896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:41:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:41:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304300941.h3U9f1Vu001896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 300940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 30 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N129W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 20N110W. A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH TO BEYOND 26N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N86W 7N97W 9N112W 10N125W 8N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF AXIS TO 11.5N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 99W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 83W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 18:17:43 2003 X-UIDL: 23575-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE500K3ZIE5JL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 17:58:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U9x88X076024 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 17:59:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U10too041694; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 418849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U9tYG2024328 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3U9tXhO002012 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3U9tXlE002011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304300955.h3U9tXlE002011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 300955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC APRIL 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N177W 23N175E MOVING EAST 20 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. FRONT...THROUGH 30N142W 26N155W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 24N160W TO 24N162W. FRONT NEAR 30N MOVING EAST 25 KT. FRONT NEAR 25N MOVING EAST 5-10 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY AND DISSIPATING. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17N167W MOVING WEST 12 KT. AREA INCREASED IN SIZE DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 07N151W 04N163W 12N180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY. CB HAVE WEAKENED EXCEPT CB WITHIN 175 NM OF POINT 05N165W INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 25S153W 20S170W 19S180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75-85 NM OF LINE 08S176W 12S167W DRIFTED SLOWLY WEST. CB INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 23:54:23 2003 X-UIDL: 23587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE500M1GYSXJN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 23:53:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UFrZ8X073522 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 23:53:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UBjq7o020118; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 10:41:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 425960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 10:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UFbZG2035486 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 10:37:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3UFbYhO009466 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 10:37:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3UFbYXE009465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 10:37:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 10:37:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304301537.h3UFbYXE009465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 301537 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 30 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERING NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH 32N138W SW BEYOND 28N143W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 31N BETWEEN 133W-136W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..HIGH PRESSURE N OF AREA EXTENDS RIDGE AXES SW ALONG 31N128W 26N140W AND SE ALONG 31N128W TO THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA IS PRODUCING MODERATE NLY WINDS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N100W 8N110W 11N130W 4N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 77W-95W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 102W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 100-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 127W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AMPLIFYING MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH JUST NW OF AREA AND ASSOCIATED STRONG SUBTROPICAL SW JET TO THE SE IS ADVECTING A COPIOUS PLUME OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EWD OVER CENTRAL MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 09:05:36 2003 X-UIDL: 23602-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE600KTMF2RJL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 05:44:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ULj28X074764 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 05:45:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UKRTNu031262; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:36:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 435655 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:36:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ULalG2032998 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:36:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ULalhO022539 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:36:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ULakMT022538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:36:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:36:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304302136.h3ULakMT022538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 302136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 30 APR 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERING NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH 32N136W SW BEYOND 29N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS POSSIBLE UP TO 150NM AHEAD OF THE FRONT...GENERALLY N OF 30N. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST TO A 1021 MB HIGH NEAR 29N125W...AND THEN TURNS SW TO BEYOND 24N140W. A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH SEWD OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO NEAR 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N72W 7N82W 6N95W 8N101W 8N117W 10N125W 7N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 131W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER PANAMA...COSTA RICA...AND NICARAGUA SEEMS TO BE REMAINING INLAND BUT A FEW CELLS COULD DRIFT SWD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 85W-88W OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA. ISOLATED CELLS OF MODERATE CONVECTION HAVE FORMED OFF THE ANDES MOUNTAINS IN WRN COLOMBIA AND ARE DRIFTING W OVER THE COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN 2N-6N. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS... DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM EARLIER IN THE DAY...FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 127W-130W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 2N-5N W OF 136W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 09:05:36 2003 X-UIDL: 23604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE600KGAG22JL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 06:06:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UM6H8X079523 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 06:06:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UK6Wj8020118; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:55:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 436013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ULtdG2008864 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ULtchO023088 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ULtcNk023087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304302155.h3ULtcNk023087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 302155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC APRIL 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N149W 04N152W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04N168W 01N168W EQ166W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 15 KT AND WEAKENED. COLD FRONT...NEW EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 30N167W 27N169W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT AND SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S164W 19S162W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 20S169W 21S159W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08S172W 10S164W 08S153W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 03S179W 10S176W MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 21:24:27 2003 X-UIDL: 23620-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE600MFGW7KJN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 11:54:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h413tB8X056926 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 11:55:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h412IgRM024214; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 22:46:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 444451 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 22:46:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h413k6G2037804 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 22:46:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h413k6hO029297 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 22:46:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h413k5s7029296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 22:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 22:46:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305010346.h413k5s7029296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 010345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 01 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N134W AND EXTENDS SOUTHWEST TO BEYOND 27N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 7N92W 7N111W 9N105W 9N123W 9N135W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 114W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45/60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO 82.5W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 5.5N TO 7.5.N. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 250 NM OF A LINE FROM THE AXIS NEAR 9N135W TO 23N122W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 21:24:28 2003 X-UIDL: 23622-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE700MAD0CEJN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 13:24:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h415OV8X077717 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 13:24:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4158qHs024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 00:15:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 446108 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 00:04:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4154lG2024744 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 00:04:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4154lhO000226 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 00:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4154kup000224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 00:04:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 00:04:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305010504.h4154kup000224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 21:24:33 2003 X-UIDL: 23635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE700MYECG5JN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 17:45:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h419jt8X034695 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 17:45:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4158qRc024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 04:40:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 448786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 04:40:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h419e0G2035442 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 04:40:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h419dxhO003052 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 04:39:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h419dx4L003051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 04:39:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 04:39:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305010939.h419dx4L003051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 010939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 01 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS SOUTHWEST TO BEYOND 26N140W. ..WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1019 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 28N125W TO 20N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N93W 9N107W 6N115W 9N125W 9N137W 8N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 102W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR FROM 1N TO 3N. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 300/400 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N132W TO 24N122W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 21:24:34 2003 X-UIDL: 23637-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE700MKXDC7JN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 18:04:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41A538X039560 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 18:05:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4158qRm024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 05:00:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 448872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 05:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41A0qG2022636 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 05:00:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h41A0qhO003234 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 05:00:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h41A0qWb003233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 05:00:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 05:00:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305011000.h41A0qWb003233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 011000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 08S162W 13S166W 16S163W 11S158W. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 21:47:21 2003 X-UIDL: 23645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE700M9GN4CJN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 21:36:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41DaM8X085799 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 21:36:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41AaXeo024478; Thu, 01 May 2003 08:32:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 451869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41DQkG2030032 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h41DQbhO006135 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h41DQbLV006133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305011326.h41DQbLV006133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 011400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/011400ZMAY2003/011800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 66.8E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 64.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 540 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE POINT SOURCE OUTFLOW OVER THE AREA, HOWEVER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PREVAILS BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE TRACKING WESTWARD, AWAY FROM THE EFFECTS OF SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR AREA. 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/STAEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 21:47:21 2003 X-UIDL: 23646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE700MCLN5UJN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 21:37:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41DbL8X086131 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 21:37:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4158qfw024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 451866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41DQgG2023032 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h41DQbhO006136 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h41DQbbc006134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 08:26:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305011326.h41DQbbc006134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/011400ZMAY2003/011800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 66.8E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 64.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 540 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE POINT SOURCE OUTFLOW OVER THE AREA, HOWEVER CONSIDERABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PREVAILS BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE TRACKING WESTWARD, AWAY FROM THE EFFECTS OF SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR AREA. 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/STAEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 23:54:01 2003 X-UIDL: 23658-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE700FAXT1FE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 23:44:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41FiH8X022367 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 23:44:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4158qs4024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 10:31:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 454669 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 10:31:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41FVLG2009312 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 10:31:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h41FVKhO010819 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 10:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h41FVKRM010818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 10:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 10:31:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305011531.h41FVKRM010818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 011531 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 01 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N131W AND EXTENDS SOUTHWEST TO BEYOND 25N140W. ..A 1019 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 27N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N93W 9N107W 6N115W 9N125W 9N137W 8N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 103W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 10N W OF 120W. $$ FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 08:09:01 2003 X-UIDL: 23670-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE800FE27Q1E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 05:01:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41L1P8X014706 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 05:01:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41HV5kE024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:51:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 463666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:50:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41KoNG2033782 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:50:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h41KoMhO023820 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:50:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h41KoMuJ023818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:50:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 15:50:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305012050.h41KoMuJ023818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 64.0E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 64.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM EXISTS UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS WITH A POINT SOURCE PROVIDING FAVORABLE VENTILATION. THE SYSTEM ALSO EXISTS IN A WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THOUGH MODERATE SHEAR EXISTS BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/GRUBER/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 08:09:01 2003 X-UIDL: 23671-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE800FHJ7RHE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 05:02:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41L2L8X015133 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 05:02:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41JoaVE022242; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:51:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 463662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:50:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41KoNG2028512 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:50:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h41KoMhO023821 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:50:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h41KoMEK023819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:50:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 15:50:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305012050.h41KoMEK023819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 64.0E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 64.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM EXISTS UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS WITH A POINT SOURCE PROVIDING FAVORABLE VENTILATION. THE SYSTEM ALSO EXISTS IN A WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THOUGH MODERATE SHEAR EXISTS BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/GRUBER/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 08:09:02 2003 X-UIDL: 23672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE800FBMAU5E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 06:08:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41M8i8X031888 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 06:08:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41HV5xQ024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 16:54:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 465361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 16:54:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41Ls5G2033448 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 16:54:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h41Ls4hO025951 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 16:54:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h41Ls4gE025950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 16:54:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 16:54:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305012154.h41Ls4gE025950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 012153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 01 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 01/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N129W AND EXTENDS SW TO 25N135W TO BEYOND 23N140W. BROKEN BAND OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL CLOUDS UP TO 60NM BEHIND THE FRONT. ..A 1019 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 27N121W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 16N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N82W 6N87W 6N96W 9N100W 7N110W 10N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-100W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-118W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 93W-95W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 08:09:02 2003 X-UIDL: 23673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE800FBQAU5E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 06:08:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41M8k8X031892 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 06:08:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41HV51E024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 17:01:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 465498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 17:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41M1VG2015954 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 17:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h41M1VhO026207 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 17:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h41M1Va5026206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 17:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 17:01:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305012201.h41M1Va5026206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 012200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ..ARE BOUNDED BY 30N166W 30N158W 20N170W 17N178W 19N179W 24N170W. FEATURE MOVING EAST NEAR 10 KT. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07N162W 03N163W 04N175W 06N171W 06N167W 07N165W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05N151W 04N157W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 09N142W 07N140W 04N145W 07N145W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09S153W 14S160W 21S158W 21S164W 14S167W 10S161W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 8 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 14S171W 16S169W. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04S168W 07S164W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 12:11:30 2003 X-UIDL: 23689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE800FNZPEFE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 11:23:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h423NK8X013896 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 11:23:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h420Hbi0022242; Thu, 01 May 2003 22:20:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 471371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 22:18:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h423ImG2017358 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 22:18:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h423ImhO001452 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 22:18:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h423ImCl001451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 22:18:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 22:18:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305020318.h423ImCl001451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 020318 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 02 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N126W AND EXTENDS SW TO TO BEYOND 23N140W. ..A 1017 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 26N120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SSE TO 16N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N85W 6N92W 9N100W 7N120W8N130W 9N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 92W AND WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 6N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR FROM THE EQUATOR TO 1N AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO 83W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 13:21:07 2003 X-UIDL: 23700-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE800FG9URTE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 13:19:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h425JN8X049810 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 13:19:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41MVXrw029510; Fri, 02 May 2003 00:10:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 473332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 00:02:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4252bG2017104 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 00:02:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4252bhO002757 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 00:02:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4252aE6002755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 00:02:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 00:02:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305020502.h4252aE6002755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 16:26:06 2003 X-UIDL: 23704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE900FZG360E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 16:20:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h428Kb8X005065 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 16:20:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42818H2011264; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 475201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h428GIG2028336 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h428GHhO004629 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h428GHaa004627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305020816.h428GHaa004627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 020800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/020800Z/021800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 64.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 65.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH POLEWARD OUTLFLOW APPARENT. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS, WITH A POINT SOURCE PROVIDING FAVORABLE OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SHEAR BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 6.7S3 54.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM NORTHEAST OF ANTSIRANANA, MADAGASCAR. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING AROUND A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE LOCATED TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SHEAR BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(2), FAIR AREA. 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 16:26:13 2003 X-UIDL: 23705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE900FQA3DRE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 16:25:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h428PL8X006676 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 16:25:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41MVX0m029510; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 475197 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h428GIG2031198 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h428GHhO004630 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h428GH6E004628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 03:16:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305020816.h428GH6E004628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 020800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/020800Z/021800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 64.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 65.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH POLEWARD OUTLFLOW APPARENT. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS, WITH A POINT SOURCE PROVIDING FAVORABLE OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SHEAR BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 6.7S3 54.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM NORTHEAST OF ANTSIRANANA, MADAGASCAR. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING AROUND A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE LOCATED TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SHEAR BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(2), FAIR AREA. 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 18:06:06 2003 X-UIDL: 23710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE900F9Y7OXE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 17:58:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h429wP8X037162 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 17:58:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41MVX4O029510; Fri, 02 May 2003 04:52:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 476051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 04:52:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h429qqG2022076 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 04:52:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h429qqhO005733 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 04:52:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h429qqOn005732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 04:52:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 04:52:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305020952.h429qqOn005732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 020952 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 02 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N125W AND EXTENDS SW TO 23N136W THEN CONTINUES BEYOND 22N140W AS A STATIONARY FRONT. ..A 1018 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 26N120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 21N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N81W 6N93W 9N101W 8N110W 7N129W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 84W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 88W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 130 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 104W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 125W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 7.5N FROM 80W TO THE COAST OF EAST PANAMA AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WEST PANAMA FROM 81W TO 83W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 6N. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR 11N86W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 18:06:15 2003 X-UIDL: 23711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE900F2R80BE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 18:04:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42A5H8X039465 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 18:05:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41MVX4U029510; Fri, 02 May 2003 05:00:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 476100 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 05:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42A0sG2022166 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 05:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h42A0shO005859 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 05:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h42A0sg8005858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 05:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 05:00:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305021000.h42A0sg8005858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 021000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 04N160W 05N169W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 03N172W 03N178W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13S162W 17S164W 17S160W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WFO HONOLULU IS REVIEWING THE USE OF AND THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO BETTER SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS. DEPENDING UPON THE RESPONSES RECEIVED...THE PRODUCT MAY BE REFORMATTED OR MODIFIED AS REQUIRED. PLEASE SEND COMMENTS NO LATER THAN MAY 1 2003 ON YOUR USE OF OR REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS PRODUCT TO KEVIN.KODAMA @NOAA.GOV OR CALL 808-973-5276. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 20:26:14 2003 X-UIDL: 23716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE900FI4E4VE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 20:17:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42CHa8X074359 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 20:17:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41MVX6w029510; Fri, 02 May 2003 07:10:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 477093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 07:10:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42CAVG2028142 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 07:10:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h42CAUhO007139 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 07:10:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h42CAU7q007137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 07:10:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 07:10:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305021210.h42CAU7q007137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 021200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND. WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 02/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 16 1003 HPA POSITION: INDETERMINED MOVEMENT: INDETERMINED THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 50E TO 70E BETWEEN 2S AND 15S. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AROUND TWO MINIMUM. THE MAIN NEAR 11S/65E, AND A SECONDARY ONE NEAR 8S/54E. BUT AROUND THE FIRST ONE, WINDS ARE REACHING 25/30 KT INTO THE MONSOON FLOW FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND 30 KT LOCALLY 35 KT INTO THE EASTERLIES FLOW FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/03 AT 00 UTC: 24H, VALID 2003/05/03 AT 12 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLES WITH A GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, AND A EASTERLIES BURST IN PHASE WITH A MONSOON FLOW ALWAYS WELL ESTABLISHED IN THENORTH OF THE AREA. THE EASTERN LOW SHOWS A MONSOON DEPRESSION STRUCTURE.THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEME DO NOT JUSTIFY BY NOW ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 20:36:14 2003 X-UIDL: 23719-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE900FN9EY3E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 20:34:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42CZ88X078858 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 20:35:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41MVX8s029510; Fri, 02 May 2003 07:31:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 477340 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 07:31:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42CV4G2016736 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 07:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h42CV4hO007557 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 07:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h42CV3VS007555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 07:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 07:31:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305021231.h42CV3VS007555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 021200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND. WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 02/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 16 1003 HPA POSITION: INDETERMINED MOVEMENT: INDETERMINED THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 50E TO 70E BETWEEN 2S AND 15S. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AROUND TWO MINIMUM. THE MAIN NEAR 11S/65E, AND A SECONDARY ONE NEAR 8S/54E. BUT AROUND THE FIRST ONE, WINDS ARE REACHING 25/30 KT INTO THE MONSOON FLOW FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND 30 KT LOCALLY 35 KT INTO THE EASTERLIES FLOW FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/03 AT 00 UTC: 24H, VALID 2003/05/03 AT 12 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLES WITH A GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, AND A EASTERLIES BURST IN PHASE WITH A MONSOON FLOW ALWAYS WELL ESTABLISHED IN THENORTH OF THE AREA. THE EASTERN LOW SHOWS A MONSOON DEPRESSION STRUCTURE.THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEME DO NOT JUSTIFY BY NOW ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 22:26:21 2003 X-UIDL: 23724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE900F1NJZ0E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 22:23:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42ENa8X007738 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 22:23:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41MVXFW029510; Fri, 02 May 2003 09:14:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 478996 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 09:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42EEbG2026020 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 09:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h42EEbhO010425 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 09:14:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h42EEbqw010424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 09:14:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 09:14:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305021414.h42EEbqw010424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTXS21 PGTW 021430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 021421Z MAY 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.7S2 53.8E6 TO 10.0S1 59.0E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 021217Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 54.9E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH SPIRAL CIRRUS BANDING BEGINNING TO APPEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE LOCATED TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 031430Z1. 4.RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 00:59:49 2003 X-UIDL: 23729-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE90013COLCP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 00:03:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42G3S8X042631 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:03:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42818EC011264; Fri, 02 May 2003 10:50:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 481041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 10:50:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42FoVG2041498 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 10:50:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h42FoUhO013781 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 10:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h42FoUgF013780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 10:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 10:50:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305021550.h42FoUgF013780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 021550 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 02 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N124W AND EXTENDS SW TO 23N130W THEN CONTINUES BEYOND 22N140W. ..A 1016 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 25N120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N83W 6N93W 9N104W 6N127W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 86W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS NEAR 97W...WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS NEAR 112W... AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W TO 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 78W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 01:49:37 2003 X-UIDL: 23739-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE9001TKTF7P9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 01:47:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42Hli8X099635 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 01:47:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42Fx0f6011264; Fri, 02 May 2003 12:37:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 484036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42HaoG2036724 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h42HaohO018155 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h42Hao0c018153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305021736.h42Hao0c018153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021421ZMAY03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 64.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 64.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE AS ADJACENT SYSTEM IN PARA 2.B.(2) BELOW CONTINUES TO DEVELOP. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS EVIDENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 54.9E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.7S3 54.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM NORTHEAST OF ANTSIRANANA, MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION NORTH OF THE LLCC HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS, HOWEVER NEW CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE STILL ORGANIZING LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE LOCATED TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 021430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 01:49:37 2003 X-UIDL: 23740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE9001VLTFKP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 01:47:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42Hlx8X099856 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 01:48:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42EKMhe029510; Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 484032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42HaoG2026526 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h42HaohO018156 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h42HaomD018154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 12:36:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305021736.h42HaomD018154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021421ZMAY03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 64.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 64.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE AS ADJACENT SYSTEM IN PARA 2.B.(2) BELOW CONTINUES TO DEVELOP. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS EVIDENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 54.9E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.7S3 54.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM NORTHEAST OF ANTSIRANANA, MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION NORTH OF THE LLCC HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS, HOWEVER NEW CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE STILL ORGANIZING LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE LOCATED TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 021430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 05:39:42 2003 X-UIDL: 23747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA001BQ3TBP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 05:32:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42LWGnq001951 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 05:32:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42K9KYU011264; Fri, 02 May 2003 16:28:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 489413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 16:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42LSeG2032818 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 16:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h42LSehO026586 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 16:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h42LSeDu026585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 16:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 16:28:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305022128.h42LSeDu026585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 022128 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 02 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 02/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N123W AND EXTENDS SW TO 22N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N95W 9N100W 6N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 86W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS NEAR 97W...WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS NEAR 112W... AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W TO 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 79W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 16:05:20 2003 X-UIDL: 23762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA001LJLKQP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 11:55:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h433tsPt046083 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 11:55:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrik008800; Fri, 02 May 2003 22:50:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 496221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 22:50:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h433oIG2021830 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 22:50:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h433oHhO002681 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 22:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h433oHF3002679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 22:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 22:50:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305030350.h433oHF3002679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 030350 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 03 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N121W AND EXTENDS SOUTHWEST ALONG 26N126W TO 22N136W THEN CONTINUES AS A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT BEYOND 22N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N91W 9N108W 8N114W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 124W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 120W AND WITHIN 150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS 128W TO 131W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 78W TO 79.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2.5N TO 4N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 16:05:20 2003 X-UIDL: 23765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA00112OFDP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 12:57:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h434vUPt061675 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:57:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h432TmYc021074; Fri, 02 May 2003 23:47:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 496770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 23:47:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h434lEG2024330 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 23:47:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h434lDhO003185 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 23:47:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h434lDZ7003184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 23:47:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 23:47:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305030447.h434lDZ7003184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS22 PGTW 030400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 030351Z MAY 03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021421Z MAY 03// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 021430)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 165 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.2S4 65.1E2 TO 16.4S1 61.8E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 030000Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 64.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 64.3E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 64.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 630 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO BUILD OVER A MORE ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS REVEALED A SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANIZATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION REMAINS UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 040400Z8. 5. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 54.9E8. 6. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 16:05:22 2003 X-UIDL: 23768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA0012RQA8P9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 13:37:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h435bbPt070927 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:37:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h432TmhC021074; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 497533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h435XIG2038066 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h435XHhO003601 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h435XHgO003599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305030533.h435XHgO003599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 030430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/030430Z/031800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021421ZMAY03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030351ZMAY03// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 64.3E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 64.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 630 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO BUILD OVER A MORE ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS REVEALED A SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANIZATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION REMAINS UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SEE REF B (WTXS22 PGTW 030400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 54.9E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.7S3 54.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM NORTHEAST OF ANTSIRANANA, MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION NORTH OF THE LLCC HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS, HOWEVER NEW CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE STILL ORGANIZING LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE LOCATED TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 021430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD. 4. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/NUTONGLA/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 16:05:22 2003 X-UIDL: 23769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA001D5QGRP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 13:41:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h435fWPt071848 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:41:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrnG008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 497529 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h435XNG2036626 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h435XHhO003602 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h435XHbt003600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 00:33:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305030533.h435XHbt003600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 030430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/030430Z/031800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021421ZMAY03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030351ZMAY03// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 64.3E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 64.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 630 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO BUILD OVER A MORE ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS REVEALED A SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANIZATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REGION REMAINS UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SEE REF B (WTXS22 PGTW 030400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 54.9E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.7S3 54.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM NORTHEAST OF ANTSIRANANA, MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION NORTH OF THE LLCC HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS, HOWEVER NEW CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE STILL ORGANIZING LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE LOCATED TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 021430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD. 4. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/NUTONGLA/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 16:05:24 2003 X-UIDL: 23771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA001H3R30P9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 13:54:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h435stPt075100 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:54:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h432Tmi4021074; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 497614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h435j7G2016446 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h435j6hO003687 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h435j6kZ003685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305030545.h435j6kZ003685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/MECHANIC/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 16:05:25 2003 X-UIDL: 23773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA001KJS74P9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 14:18:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h436IsPt080806 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 14:18:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h432Tmjk021074; Sat, 03 May 2003 01:15:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 497824 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 01:15:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h436FAG2030432 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 01:15:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h436F9hO003928 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 01:15:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h436F9Kc003926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 01:15:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 01:15:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305030615.h436F9Kc003926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 030600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 03/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 16 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5 S / 64.5 E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: INDETERMINED THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 50E TO 70E BETWEEN 2S AND 15S. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AROUND THE MINIMUM, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT, LOCALLY 35 KT, FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGHS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/03 AT 18 UTC: 24H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 06 UTC: OTHER INFORMATIONS: A SECONDARY LOW EXISTS NEAR 08S/57E. NEXT BULLETIN AT 12 UTC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 18:09:06 2003 X-UIDL: 23779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001XY2JPP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 18:02:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43A2RPt029738 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 18:02:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrsI008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 04:54:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 499091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 04:54:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h439sHG2031022 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 04:54:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h439sChO005532 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 04:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h439sC0D005531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 04:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 04:54:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305030954.h439sC0D005531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 030954 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 03 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N121W AND EXTENDS SOUTHWEST ALONG 27N124W TO 24N129W THEN DISSIPATES TO 22N136W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N94W 7N110W 9N123W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITH EMBEDDED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 126W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 118W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 130W... WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 113W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 135W AND WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE WITH EMBEDDED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 8.5N FROM 81W TO 87W INCLUDING THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 5N AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N111W TO 11N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 6.5N TO 8.5N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 18:09:07 2003 X-UIDL: 23780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001442OUP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 18:05:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43A5ZPt030348 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 18:05:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrsK008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 05:01:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 499115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 05:01:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43A1gG2011430 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 05:01:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43A1fhO005619 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 05:01:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43A1fTv005618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 05:01:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 05:01:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031001.h43A1fTv005618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 031000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10N176W 03N170W 02N178W 04N175E 08N176E 10N178W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N170W 03N165W 05N164W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY...SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ARE BOUNDED BY 30N155W 30N151W 28N152W 20N164W 17N166W 15N180 20N179W 26N160W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12S160W 15S155W 22S151W 24S161W 18S160W 12S162W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 12 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 01S179W 03S178W 09S169W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 20:19:07 2003 X-UIDL: 23782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001N38HEP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 20:10:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43CAgPt057025 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 20:10:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrv8008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 07:06:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 500057 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 07:06:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43C6BG2015192 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 07:06:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43C6AhO006469 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 07:06:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43C6ATC006466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 07:06:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 07:06:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 03/05/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031206.h43C6ATC006466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 031200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 3/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 03/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 16 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5 S / 63.5 E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 50E TO 70E, BETWEEN 5S AND 15S. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT, LOCALLY 35 KT, FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGHS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 00 UTC: 14.0 SOUTH/ 62.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 12 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/ 60.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: A SECONDARY LOW EXISTS NEAR 08S/57E. NEXT BULLETIN AT 12 UTC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 20:29:10 2003 X-UIDL: 23784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001YI8WOP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 20:19:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43CJqPt058595 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 20:19:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h432Tm92021074; Sat, 03 May 2003 07:13:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 500107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 07:13:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43CDWG2015250 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 07:13:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43CDVhO006526 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 07:13:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43CDVNL006524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 07:13:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 07:13:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031213.h43CDVNL006524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 031200 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 3/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 03/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 16 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5 S / 63.5 E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 50E TO 70E, BETWEEN 5S AND 15S. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT, LOCALLY 35 KT, FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGHS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 00 UTC: 14.0 SOUTH/ 62.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 12 UTC: 15.0 SOUTH/ 60.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: A SECONDARY LOW EXISTS NEAR 08S/57E WITH ESTIMATED PRESSION OF 1004 HPA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 21:59:07 2003 X-UIDL: 23787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB0010YDA3P9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 21:54:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43DsJPt078569 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:54:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43DPAIs021074; Sat, 03 May 2003 08:46:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 501099 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 08:46:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43DkfG2026966 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 08:46:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43DkehO007451 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 08:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43DkeTw007450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 08:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 08:46:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031346.h43DkeTw007450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTXS21 PGTW 131330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 031321ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021421ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 021430)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS. 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 195 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.3S1 58.0E3 TO 13.9S3 58.9E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 031130Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.1S0 58.1E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.7S3 54.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.1S0 58.1E4, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM NORTH OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION REMAINS FAIRLY ORGANIZED AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC HAS CYCLED BUT REMAINS SIGNIFICANT. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT FAVORABLE OUTFLOW EXISTS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A DIFFLUENT REGION OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 141330Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 22:49:07 2003 X-UIDL: 23790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001T0FO284@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 22:45:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43EjuPt090429 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 22:45:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDr6M008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 09:39:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 502034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 09:39:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Ed4G2024780 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 09:39:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43Ed4hO007930 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 09:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43Ed4T2007929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 09:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 09:39:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031439.h43Ed4T2007929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 031500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030351ZMAY2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 13.4S8 63.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 63.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 14.7S2 62.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.1S8 61.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 17.2S0 60.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 18.0S9 58.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION NEAR 13.7S1 63.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN A NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED TROUGH IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AND IS APPROXIMATELY 530 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. TC 28S HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MULTI-SPECTRAL ANIMATION DEPICTS SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE BANDS SURROUND AN IMPROVING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. A SECOND CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 400 NM TO THE NORTHWEST IS ALSO DEVELOPING BUT DOES NOT MEET WARNING CRITERIA AT THIS TIME. A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND THE SECOND CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ARE INDUCING A POLEWARD MOTION. AVAILABLE NWP (UKMET, NOGAPS, AND GFS) IS HAVING DIFFICULTY RESOLVING TC 28S AT THIS TIME. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 13 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 030351Z MAY 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS22 PGTW 030400). NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 AND 041500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 00:09:09 2003 X-UIDL: 23792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001JPJB884@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 00:04:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43G4UPt006776 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:04:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDr9M008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 10:59:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 502789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 10:59:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Fx6G2027092 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 10:59:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43Fx6hO009094 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 10:59:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43Fx6P9009093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 10:59:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 10:59:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031559.h43Fx6P9009093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 031558 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 03 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N119W AND EXTENDS SOUTHWEST ALONG 25N124W TO 21N135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N85W 8N104W 9N123W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 83W TO 87W...WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS NEAR 95W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS FROM 121W TO 124W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W TO 117W...AND WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 134W TO 137W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS E OF 79W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:42 2003 X-UIDL: 23793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001ULOFI84@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 01:54:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43HtAPt030200 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:55:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrDA008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 503855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Hn5G2008018 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43Hn4hO010210 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43Hn4N0010208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031749.h43Hn4N0010208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZMAY03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031321ZMAY03// NARR/REFS A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 63.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:42 2003 X-UIDL: 23794-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001UPOFK84@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 01:54:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43HtDPt030216 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:55:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrDG008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 503859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Hn5G2025774 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43Hn4hO010209 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43Hn4Wh010207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 12:49:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031749.h43Hn4Wh010207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZMAY03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031321ZMAY03// NARR/REFS A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 63.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:43 2003 X-UIDL: 23795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001CCOYV84@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 02:06:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43I6nPt032589 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 02:06:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43DPAlK021074; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:03:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 504016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:03:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43I36G2015138 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43I35hO010400 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:03:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43I35xg010398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:03:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 13:03:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 03/05/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031803.h43I35xg010398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 031800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 4/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 03/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 16 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.3 S / 62.5 E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 50E TO 70E, BETWEEN 5S AND 15S. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 06 UTC: 15.5 SOUTH/ 60.5 EAST. MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 18 UTC: 16.5 SOUTH/ 60.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM NO INTENSIFY FOR THE MOMENT. A SECONDARY LOW EXISTS NEAR 09S/57E WITH ESTIMATED PRESSION OF 1004 HPA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:44 2003 X-UIDL: 23797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB0015KPZA84@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 02:28:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43ISePt036861 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 02:28:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43DPAo0021074; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:23:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 504257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:23:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43INZG2035958 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:23:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43INZhO010624 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:23:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43INYfw010622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:23:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 13:23:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031823.h43INYfw010622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 031820 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :2/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 16 2.A POSITION 2003/05/03 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.3 S / 62.5 E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 26 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SMALL 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/04 AT 06 UTC: 15.5 S/ 60.5 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 24H: 2003/05/04 AT 18 UTC: 16.5 S/ 60.0 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 48H: 2003/05/05 AT 18 UTC: 16.5 S/ 57.0 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS NO INTENSIFY FOR THE MOMENT BUT ENVIRONEMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE. IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD WITH INFLUENCE OF A WEAK TROUGH IN THE SOUTH OF THE AREA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:44 2003 X-UIDL: 23798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001CZQ6N84@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 02:32:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43IX5Pt037832 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 02:33:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrEA008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:26:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 504277 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:26:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43IQeG2015226 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:26:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43IQdhO010665 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:26:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43IQd4o010664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:26:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 13:26:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031826.h43IQd4o010664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS21 PGTW 031330 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 031321ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021421ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 021430)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS. 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 195 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.3S1 58.0E3 TO 13.9S3 58.9E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 031130Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.1S0 58.1E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.7S3 54.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.1S0 58.1E4, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM NORTH OF MAURITIUS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION REMAINS FAIRLY ORGANIZED AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC HAS CYCLED BUT REMAINS SIGNIFICANT. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT FAVORABLE OUTFLOW EXISTS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A DIFFLUENT REGION OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 041330Z2. 5. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED DATE IN MANOP HEADER AND IN PARA. 4. 6. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:44 2003 X-UIDL: 23799-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001TLQSB84@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 02:45:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Ik5Pt040704 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 02:46:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrF2008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:41:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 504435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:41:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43IfHG2022568 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:41:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43IfGhO010914 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43IfGgo010912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 13:41:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031841.h43IfGgo010912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 031800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 03/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 16 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.3 S / 62.5 E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 50E TO 70E, BETWEEN 5S AND 15S. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 06 UTC: 15.5 SOUTH/ 60.5 EAST. MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 18 UTC: 16.5 SOUTH/ 60.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM NO INTENSIFY FOR THE MOMENT. A SECONDARY LOW EXISTS NEAR 09S/57E WITH ESTIMATED PRESSION OF 1004 HPA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:44 2003 X-UIDL: 23800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001YRQXO84@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 02:49:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43InJPt041407 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 02:49:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrFG008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:43:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 504492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:43:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43IhIG2041532 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:43:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43IhHhO010955 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43IhHqq010953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 13:43:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031843.h43IhHqq010953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 031840 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :2/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 16 2.A POSITION 2003/05/03 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.3 S / 62.5 E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 26 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SMALL 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/04 AT 06 UTC: 15.5 S/ 60.5 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 24H: 2003/05/04 AT 18 UTC: 16.5 S/ 60.0 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 48H: 2003/05/05 AT 18 UTC: 16.5 S/ 57.0 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS NO INTENSIFY FOR THE MOMENT BUT ENVIRONEMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE. IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD WITH INFLUENCE OF A WEAK TROUGH IN THE SOUTH OF THE AREA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:45 2003 X-UIDL: 23804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB0011ZVUS84@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 04:35:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43KZWPt067011 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 04:35:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43DPA8A021074; Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 506056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43KUlG2041556 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43KUkhO012101 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43KUkj9012100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305032030.h43KUkj9012100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 032029 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 03 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 03/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N119W AND EXTENDS SOUTHWEST ALONG 25N124W TO 21N135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N85W 9N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 85W TO 99W. AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS 110W TO 115W. AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS 135W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:54 2003 X-UIDL: 23809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001CBZEN84@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 05:51:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43LqDPt082758 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:52:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw8Rs008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 16:46:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 507512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 16:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43LjiG2015132 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 16:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43LjhhO013009 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 16:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43LjhLS013008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 16:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 16:45:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305032145.h43LjhLS013008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 032145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND E OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 07N140W 08N144W...HAVE MOVED W AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N180 07N167W 06N158W 02N169W 08N180 12N180...HAVE MOVED W AT 05 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE BOUNDED BY 08S168W 20S149W 24S149W 24S157W 12S167W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 02S150W 03S161W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 06S178W 03S179W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:55 2003 X-UIDL: 23815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC0036A6VF6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 08:33:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h440XRpO027442 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 08:33:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw8jW008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 19:28:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 511046 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 19:28:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h440SnG2026544 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 19:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h440SmhO015120 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 19:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h440Sm7Q015118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 19:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 19:28:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305040028.h440Sm7Q015118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 040000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 5/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 04/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.3 S / 61.4 E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 14 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 50E TO 70E, BETWEEN 7S AND 18S. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 12 UTC: 16.5 SOUTH/ 60.1 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/05 AT 00 UTC: 17.5 SOUTH/ 57.5 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:57 2003 X-UIDL: 23817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC0033BBBX6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 10:09:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4429jpO045871 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 10:09:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw8sG008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:03:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 512983 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:03:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4423MG2040904 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:03:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4423LhO016368 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:03:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4423L4K016367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:03:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 21:03:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305040203.h4423L4K016367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 15.3S9 61.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S9 61.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.2S9 59.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 16.4S1 57.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 16.1S8 55.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.6S2 54.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.5S1 61.1E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. TC 28S HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A SPIRAL BAND WRAPPING IN FROM THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. A SECOND CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 355 NM TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TC 28S DOES NOT MEET WARNING CRITERIA AT THIS TIME. A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST, A MID-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTH AND THE INFLUENCE OF THE SECOND CIRCULATION ARE INDUCING A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. AS A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM AND THE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH TRANSLATE EASTWARD, TC 28S WILL ALTER TO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), NOGAPS AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST TRACK, HOWEVER THERE IS AN EQUATORWARD BIAS DUE TO DIFFICULTIES RESOLVING THE TWO CIRCULATIONS. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE AIDS WITH A POLEWARD BIAS TO ACCOUNT FOR INTERACTION WITH THE SECOND CIRCULATION. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 AND 050300Z8. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 16:53:44 2003 X-UIDL: 23820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC0034PG286F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 11:51:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h443pvpO064586 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 11:51:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw81c008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 22:46:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 514356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 22:46:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h443kPG2032898 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 22:46:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h443kOhO017337 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 22:46:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h443kObt017336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 22:46:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 22:46:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305040346.h443kObt017336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 040346 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 03 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. BASED ON 04/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 34N144W TO 27N134W 18N118W 12N110W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 6N90W 7N100W 10N103W 9N117W 9N126W 7N140W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING...BUT STILL LINGERING ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 100W... AND WEST OF 137W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CELL WITHIN 15-20 NM RADIUS 10N103.5W AND 10N108W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W AND 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 16:53:45 2003 X-UIDL: 23824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC00360KFC6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 13:26:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h445QIpO084051 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:26:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw86S008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:15:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 515628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:14:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h445E7G2023760 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:14:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h445E6hO018111 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h445E6Qr018109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 00:14:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305040514.h445E6Qr018109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 16:53:46 2003 X-UIDL: 23826-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC003PNMSD6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 14:17:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h446HJpO096099 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 14:17:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw89C008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:13:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 516325 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:13:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h446DGG2012026 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:13:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h446DFhO018648 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:13:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h446DFFe018646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:13:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 01:13:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305040613.h446DFFe018646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 040610 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :3/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/04 AT 0600 UTC : 15.3 S / 61.1 E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 120 SO: 100 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/04 AT 18 UTC: 15.4 S/ 60.5 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 24H: 2003/05/05 AT 06 UTC: 15.5 S/ 59.4 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 48H: 2003/05/06 AT 06 UTC: 15.0 S/ 57.4 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIED LAST NIGHT, BECOMING MODERATE TROPICAL STORM BUT THE INCURVED BANDS PATTERN IS NOT PERSISTANT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 16:53:46 2003 X-UIDL: 23827-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC003QHMTD6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 14:17:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h446HspO096204 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 14:17:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw892008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:12:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 516303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:12:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h446CFG2026920 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:12:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h446CEhO018618 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:12:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h446CEEL018616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 01:12:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 01:12:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305040612.h446CEEL018616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 040600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 6/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 04/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 992 HPA POSITION: 15.3 S / 61.1 E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTANDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 18 UTC: 15.4 SOUTH/ 60.5 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/05 AT 06 UTC: 15.5 SOUTH/ 59.4 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM MANOU KEEPS ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARD, DRIFTING AROUND THE HIGH LOCATED IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 17:09:03 2003 X-UIDL: 23831-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC003FLUJZ6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 17:04:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44953pO030801 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 17:05:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4459Si6028140; Sun, 04 May 2003 04:00:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 517903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 04:00:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4490DG2033112 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 04:00:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4490ChO020006 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 04:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4490C5u020004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 04:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 04:00:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305040900.h4490C5u020004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 040600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 6/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 04/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 992 HPA POSITION: 15.3 S / 61.1 E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTANDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/04 AT 18 UTC: 15.4 SOUTH/ 60.5 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/05 AT 06 UTC: 15.5 SOUTH/ 59.4 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM MANOU KEEPS ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARD, DRIFTING AROUND THE HIGH LOCATED IN THE SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 19:13:15 2003 X-UIDL: 23832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC003W7XL16F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 18:10:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44AATpO044914 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 18:10:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSGW008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:01:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 518423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:01:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44A1bG2024430 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44A1ahO020563 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44A1afs020562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 05:01:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041001.h44A1afs020562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 041000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N157W 03N160W 04N167W 02N173W 05N176W 09N175W 07N162W 10N160W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N140W 05N140W 04N149W 06N153W 08N151W 08N146W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. UPPER TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDINESS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU IS BOUNDED BY 29N169W 28N164W 20N168W 15N172W 16N179W 25N171W. FEATURE HAS MOVED EAST TO EAST/NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER TROUGH. FEATURE REMAINS WEST OF JOHNSTON AS OF BULLETIN TIME. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S162W 17S151W 22S149W 24S155W 18S157W 11S167W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08S175W 09S169W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 02S171W 05S170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08S144W 11S145W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 19:13:16 2003 X-UIDL: 23833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC00359XS96F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 18:14:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44AEppO045848 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 18:14:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSGc008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:06:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 518458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:06:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44A65G2033054 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:06:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44A65hO020599 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44A65VG020598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 05:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 05:06:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041006.h44A65VG020598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 041005 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 03 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 04/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 32N142W TO 23130 12N108W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N98W 10N105W 10N118W 9N127W 7N134W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 104W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 81W AND 83W ALONG PANAMA COAST/EXTREME SE COSTA RICA COAST...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 117W AND 118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN COLOMBIA COASTAL PLAINS FROM 4N TO 5.5N BETWEEN 76W AND 78W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ALONG COLOMBIA COAST FROM 5.5N TO 7N BETWEEN 76W AND 78W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 20:23:30 2003 X-UIDL: 23837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED00CCR3JZHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 20:19:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44CJRpO072250 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 20:19:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSIq008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 07:14:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 519737 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 07:14:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44CE5G2017326 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 07:14:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44CE5hO021556 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 07:14:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44CE4cC021553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 07:14:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 07:14:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041214.h44CE4cC021553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO20 FMEE 041200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 007/16 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 04/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU ) 995 HPA POSITION : 15.6S/60.6E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/59.4 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 05/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/57.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : TROPICAL STORM MANOU IS WEAKENING DUE TO THE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 22:53:31 2003 X-UIDL: 23842-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED00C5KA9PHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 22:44:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44EiTpO009509 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 22:44:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSSk008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:38:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 521574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:38:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44EctG2039132 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:38:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44EcshO022736 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:38:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44EcsdK022735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:38:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 09:38:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041438.h44EcsdK022735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 041500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- NEAR 15.6S2 60.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 60.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 16.3S0 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 16.5S2 57.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.4S1 55.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.9S5 53.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.8S4 60.3E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. EARLIER INDICATIONS OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEAR TO HAVE LESSENED IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER TO THE NORTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTION. A SECOND CIRCULATION TO THE NORTH OF TC 28S IS SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING AS IT DRAWS CLOSER. A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING SHORTWAVE APPEARS TO BE THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD AS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST BUILDS WESTWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT BUT MAY STILL HOLD A SLIGHT EQUATORWARD BIAS. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS A BLEND OF AVAILABLE AIDS WHICH FAVORS THE MOST POLEWARD SOLUTION OF GFDN. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP SLOWLY IN A MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 AND 051500Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 22:53:32 2003 X-UIDL: 23843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED00CAKAFIHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 22:47:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44Em0pO010363 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 22:48:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSSm008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:40:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 521584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:40:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44Ee1G2033636 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:40:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44Ee0hO022755 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44Ee0ec022754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 09:40:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041440.h44Ee0ec022754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTXS21 PGTW 041330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 041321ZMAY2003 CANCELLATION// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031321ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 031330 COR)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.1S0 58.1E4 APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY WITH THE APPROACH OF THE LARGER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TC 28S. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS VERY LITTLE ORGANIZATION AT THE SURFACE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 00:03:32 2003 X-UIDL: 23845-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED003AZDH56F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 23:53:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44FrcpO024834 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 23:53:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSW6008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 10:48:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 522640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 10:48:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44FmoG2021938 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 10:48:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44FmohO023307 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 10:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44FmnkK023306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 10:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 10:48:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041548.h44FmnkK023306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 041548 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 03 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 04/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1028 MB HIGH IS CENTER NEAR 32N141W. RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 8N100W 11N110W 9N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE E OF 85W AND BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 150 NM WIDE BETWEEN 109W AND 114W...AND 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 118W AND 121W... AND BETWEEN 125W AND 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 88W AND 91W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 01:40:59 2003 X-UIDL: 23848-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED003H4HP86F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 01:24:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44HP0pO043820 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:25:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44E5RhW028140; Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 523759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44HIXG2025200 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44HIWhO024266 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44HIWC8024264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041718.h44HIWC8024264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041351ZMAY03// NARR/REFS A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6S2 60.7E3, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 041500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.1S0 58.1E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 01:41:00 2003 X-UIDL: 23849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED00CK0HP8HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 01:24:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44HOxpO043814 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:25:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSaW008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 523756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44HIXG2033102 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44HIWhO024265 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44HIWo1024263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 12:18:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041718.h44HIWo1024263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041351ZMAY03// NARR/REFS A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6S2 60.7E3, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 041500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.1S0 58.1E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 02:20:40 2003 X-UIDL: 23851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED00CJMJWZHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 02:12:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44ICrpO053134 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 02:12:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSdA008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:08:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 524668 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:08:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44I8bG2029436 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:08:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44I8ahO025065 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:08:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44I8aqC025063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:08:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 13:08:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041808.h44I8aqC025063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 041800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 008/16 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : SUNDAY 04/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.1S/59.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT : SOUTHWEST 8 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC: 16.6 SOUTH/58.4 EAST DEVELOPPING. FORECASTED POSITION 05/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC: 16.6 SOUTH/56.6 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : THE TRACK OF MODERATE STORM MANOU SHOULD CURVE MORE WESTSOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 02:20:42 2003 X-UIDL: 23853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED00CMOK35HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 02:16:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44IGYpO053900 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 02:16:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSdY008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:12:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 524728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:11:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44IBfG2010414 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:11:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44IBfhO025118 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:11:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44IBeR6025114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 13:11:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041811.h44IBeR6025114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 041800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN : 3/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (MANOU) 2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC 04/05/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.1S/59.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST). 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S /12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 50 KM SE30: 350 KM SW30: 350 KM NW30: 50 KM 7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM 1.B FORECAST 12H : 16.6S / 58.4E FI=3.0 2.B FORECAST 24H : 16.6S / 56.6E FI=2.5 3.B FORECAST 48H : 15.7S / 53.0E FI=2.5 4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM MANOU REMAINS UNDER INFLUENCE OF A MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 05:40:41 2003 X-UIDL: 23856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED00C3AT3NHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 05:30:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44LVFpO098542 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:31:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSuO008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:27:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 528109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:27:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44LR9G2032718 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44LR8hO027657 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44LR8Gj027656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 16:27:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305042127.h44LR8Gj027656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 042126 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 04 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 04/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..NEARLY STATIONARY 1030 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N142W WITH BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 10N W OF 112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 8N90W 6N100W 10N109W 7N120W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 150NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-102W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 115W-119W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 11N-20N BETWEEN 120W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... LARGE BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS FIELD N OF 17N W OF 125W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 05:50:42 2003 X-UIDL: 23857-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED003W3TJ56F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 05:40:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44LeYpO000254 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:40:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSvQ008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:37:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 528284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:37:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44LbaG2025530 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44LbZhO027815 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:37:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44LbZEU027814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:37:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 16:37:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305042137.h44LbZEU027814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 042137 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N158W 03N152W 03N157W 10N161W 12N158W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N170W 02N168W 02N177W 06N177W 08N170W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FRONT/TROUGH...OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N... ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N159W 12N175W 15N178W 30N167W...HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT/TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE FRONT/TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 20S145W 24S145W 24S156W 19S155W 20S145W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 11S162W 14S162W 13S172W 11S162W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF 10S148W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 01S167W 03S168W 04S174W 02S174W 01S167W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 16:51:56 2003 X-UIDL: 23861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000A978OLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 10:47:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h451ltpO053272 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:47:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h450VfPK008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 20:38:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 533551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 20:38:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h451cTG2029398 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 20:38:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h451cThO001872 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 20:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h451cTIv001871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 20:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 20:38:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050138.h451cTIv001871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 16.4S1 58.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 58.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 16.7S4 57.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 17.1S9 55.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.1S9 53.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.7S4 51.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.5S2 58.5E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 042330Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER TO THE NORTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTION. A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST HAS BEGUN TO INFLUENCE A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AND APPEARS TO BE THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD AS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST BUILDS EASTWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT, BUT MAY STILL HOLD A SLIGHT EQUATORWARD BIAS. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND ALL THE AVAILABLE AIDS. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP SLOWLY IN A MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 AND 060300Z9. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 16:51:58 2003 X-UIDL: 23862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000X97H9LX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 11:05:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45057pO027492 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 08:05:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSCm008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 19:01:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 531310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 19:01:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4501hG2011054 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 19:01:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4501hhO000230 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 19:01:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4501gu2000228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 19:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 19:01:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050001.h4501gu2000228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 050000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) WARNING NUMBER : 009/16 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) BEGINNING OF VALID : MONDAY 05/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC PHENOMENON : MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU ) 995 HPA POSITION : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.8S/59.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT : WESTSOUTHWEST 7 KT MENACED AREAS : SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECASTED POSITION 05/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC: 16.0 SOUTH/57.8 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. FORECASTED POSITION 06/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC: 16.2 SOUTH/56.2 EAST STATIONARY INTENSITY. OTHER INFORMATIONS : AREA OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIANT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 16:52:00 2003 X-UIDL: 23865-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000I6BDMLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4545bpO093531 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4525xR4032550; Sun, 04 May 2003 22:59:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 536887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 22:58:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h453wcG2030100 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 22:58:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h453wchO004388 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 22:58:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h453wcb2004387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 22:58:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 22:58:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050358.h453wcb2004387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 050358 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 05 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 05/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM NEARLY STATIONARY 1030 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N143W TO 28N126W 24N122W 21N117W 17N113W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 10N W OF 113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 8N96W 8N106W 8N129W 6N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-110 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 107W...AND WEST OF 114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS NORTH OF ITCZ BETWEEN 104W AND 120W...IN AN AREA OF BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. DRY AIR WITHIN 160-220 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 32N113W 27N120W 24N130W 22N140W. SOUTHERNMOST POINT OF MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...MOVING FROM PACIFIC OCEAN TOWARD SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...REACHES 30N126W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 16:52:10 2003 X-UIDL: 23868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000HJGEDLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 13:54:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455s5pO024800 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:54:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h454iGQi027222; Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 539199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455gRG2020218 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h455gRhO006207 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h455gQrK006205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050542.h455gQrK006205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 16:52:16 2003 X-UIDL: 23870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000CLHSHLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 14:24:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h456OApO034725 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 14:24:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHMI032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:17:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 539871 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:17:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h456HjG2020324 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:17:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h456HfhO006737 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:17:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h456HfAS006735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:17:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 01:17:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 05/05/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050617.h456HfAS006735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 050600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 10/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 05/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.8 S / 59.0 E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST)MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND LOCALLY UP TO 150NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UNDER SQUALLS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTANDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/05 AT 18 UTC: 15.9 SOUTH/ 57.7 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 06 UTC: 16.1 SOUTH/ 56.2 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: AREA OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT AND UNDER THE ACTIVE PART OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 16:52:18 2003 X-UIDL: 23871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000P9I5GLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 14:32:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h456VvpO037690 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 14:31:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHMo032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:26:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 540024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:26:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h456QpG2028412 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:26:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h456QohO006834 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:26:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h456Qo7j006832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 01:26:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 01:26:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050626.h456Qo7j006832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 050624 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :5/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/05 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.8 S / 59.0 E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 400 SO: 350 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/05 AT 18 UTC: 15.9 S/ 57.7 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 24H: 2003/05/06 AT 06 UTC: 16.1 S/ 56.2 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 36H: 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 16.2 S/ 54.8 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 48H: 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 16.4 S/ 52.5 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 60H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 16.3 S/ 50.8 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 72H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.0 S/ 49.0 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM MANOU REMAINS UNDER INFLUENCE OF A MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 17:21:44 2003 X-UIDL: 23883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000RWPT7LX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 17:17:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h459HKpO094251 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 17:17:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHT0032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:12:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 541810 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:12:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h459CBG2020386 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:12:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h459CAhO008552 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:12:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h459CA40008550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:12:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 04:12:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 05/05/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050912.h459CA40008550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 050600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 10/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 05/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.8 S / 59.0 E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST)MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND LOCALLY UP TO 150NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR UNDER SQUALLS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTANDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/05 AT 18 UTC: 15.9 SOUTH/ 57.7 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 06 UTC: 16.1 SOUTH/ 56.2 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: AREA OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT AND UNDER THE ACTIVE PART OF THE SYSTEM. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 17:21:47 2003 X-UIDL: 23884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000S4PT9LX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 17:17:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h459HPpO094277 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 17:17:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHT2032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:13:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 541823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:13:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h459DHG2023002 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:13:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h459DGhO008567 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h459DGWX008565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 04:13:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050913.h459DGWX008565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 050624 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :5/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/05 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.8 S / 59.0 E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 400 SO: 350 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/05 AT 18 UTC: 15.9 S/ 57.7 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 24H: 2003/05/06 AT 06 UTC: 16.1 S/ 56.2 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 36H: 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 16.2 S/ 54.8 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 48H: 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 16.4 S/ 52.5 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 60H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 16.3 S/ 50.8 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 72H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.0 S/ 49.0 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM MANOU REMAINS UNDER INFLUENCE OF A MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 18:58:55 2003 X-UIDL: 23889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000R0REMLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 17:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h459pkpO005746 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 17:51:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHV4032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:46:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 542425 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h459kAG2025944 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h459k9hO008924 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h459k9lx008923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 04:46:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050946.h459k9lx008923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 050946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 05N144W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 05N147W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 04N148W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 05N151W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 03N162W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 35 KT...INCREASED IN AREA... AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 08N163W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 04N179W TO 05N173W. FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 40N156W 37N147W 35N148W 14N171W 27N168W 37N160W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 15 KT. MOVEMENT HAS SLOWED CONSIDERABLY DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14S159W TO 19S154W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 02S178W 07S162W 11S163W 14S175W 16S177W 10S180. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14S152W TO 15S149W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 24S179W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 18:58:57 2003 X-UIDL: 23892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE0007ESLXLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 18:17:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45AHnpO012646 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 18:17:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHWC032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:13:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 542778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:13:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45ADHG2019862 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:13:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45ADGhO009143 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45ADGu6009141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 05:13:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051013.h45ADGu6009141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 051013 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 05 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 05/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1030 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N140W TO 26N125W 13N110. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 10N W OF 113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 8N106W 8N117W 9N124W 7N135W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 110 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 105W...WITHIN 50 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 128W...FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 132W AND 133W...WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 137W. ISOLATED CELL OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 3N78W ALONG COLOMBIA COAST...AND OTHER CELLS OF SIMILAR INTENSITY IN COASTAL WATERS OF NICARAGUA/HONDURAS/EL SALVADOR NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN COAST AND 89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS NORTH OF ITCZ BETWEEN 104W AND 123W...IN AN AREA OF BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. DRY AIR WITHIN 125-200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 30N110W 26N120W 23N130W 22N140W. SOUTHERNMOST POINT OF MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...MOVING FROM PACIFIC OCEAN TOWARD SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...REACHES 29N121W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 00:25:20 2003 X-UIDL: 23894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000DZUSLLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 19:05:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45B51pO025033 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:05:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHWe032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:54:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 542994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:54:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45AsgG2035628 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:54:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45AsehO009508 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:54:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45AseCT009506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:54:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 05:54:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051054.h45AseCT009506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 051051 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :5/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/05 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.8 S / 59.0 E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 400 SO: 350 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/05 AT 18 UTC: 15.9 S/ 57.7 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 24H: 2003/05/06 AT 06 UTC: 16.1 S/ 56.2 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 36H: 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 16.2 S/ 54.8 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 48H: 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 16.4 S/ 52.5 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 60H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 16.3 S/ 50.8 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 72H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.0 S/ 49.0 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM MANOU REMAINS UNDER INFLUENCE OF A MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 00:25:20 2003 X-UIDL: 23895-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000DWUSLLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 19:05:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45B4upO024993 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:04:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHWg032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:59:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 543010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45AxoG2019328 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:59:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45AxohO009554 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:59:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45AxoCS009552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 05:59:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 05:59:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051059.h45AxoCS009552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 051051 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :5/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/05 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.8 S / 59.0 E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 400 SO: 350 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/05 AT 18 UTC: 15.9 S/ 57.7 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 24H: 2003/05/06 AT 06 UTC: 16.1 S/ 56.2 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 36H: 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 16.2 S/ 54.8 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 48H: 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 16.4 S/ 52.5 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 60H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 16.3 S/ 50.8 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 72H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.0 S/ 49.0 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM MANOU REMAINS UNDER INFLUENCE OF A MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 00:25:21 2003 X-UIDL: 23897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000TFYONLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 20:29:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45CSwpO047798 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 20:29:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHao032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:23:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 544084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:23:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45CN5G2015996 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:23:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45CN5hO010463 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:23:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45CN5Os010461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:23:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 07:23:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 05/05/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051223.h45CN5Os010461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 051200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 11/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 05/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.1 S / 58.4 E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS LOCALLY UP TO 150NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND UNDER SQUALLS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 00 UTC: 16.5 SOUTH/ 57.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 12 UTC: 16.8 SOUTH/ 55.6 EAST. MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE EXPOSED LLCC, NORTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTION, IS MORE AND MORE DISORGANIZED. AREA OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT AND UNDER THE ACTIVE PART OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 00:25:21 2003 X-UIDL: 23898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE0006SYWPLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 20:34:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45CXspO049055 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 20:33:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHas032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:28:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 544154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45CS9G2020290 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45CS9hO010533 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45CS9TK010531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 07:28:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051228.h45CS9TK010531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 051200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 11/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 05/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.1 S / 58.4 E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS LOCALLY UP TO 150NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR AND UNDER SQUALLS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 00 UTC: 16.5 SOUTH/ 57.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 12 UTC: 16.8 SOUTH/ 55.6 EAST. MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE EXPOSED LLCC, NORTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTION, IS MORE AND MORE DISORGANIZED. AREA OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT AND UNDER THE ACTIVE PART OF THE SYSTEM. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 00:25:21 2003 X-UIDL: 23899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000GGZ2KLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 20:37:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45CbOpO050057 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 20:37:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHaw032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:30:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 544185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45CUCG2039536 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:30:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45CUBhO010587 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45CUBw4010586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 07:30:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 05/05/2003 A 1200 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051230.h45CUBw4010586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO21 FMEE 051200 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 05/05/2003 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 11/16 SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 05/05/2003 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 16.1 S / 58.4 E (SEIZE DEGRES UN SUD ET CINQUANTE-HUIT DEGRES QUATRE EST) DEPLACEMENT: OUEST-SUD-OUEST 5 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SECTEUR SUD S'ETENDANT JUQU'A 300 MN DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35 KT ET MER TRES FORTE LOCALEMENT DANS LA ZONE DE GRAINS JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE SECTEUR SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 200 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 06/05/2003 A 00 UTC: 16.5 SUD/ 57.0 EST. VENT MAX = 30 KT. A 24H POUR LE 06/05/2003 A 12 UTC: 16.8 SUD/ 55.6 EST. VENT MAX = 30 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTE DE BASSE COUCHE, EXPOSE AU NORD-EST DE LA CONVECTION, EST DE MOINS EN MOINS NET. LA ZONE DE GRAND FRAIS S'ETEND LOIN DANS LE SUD DU SYSTEME PAR EFFET DE GRADIENT BAROMETRIQUE ET SOUS LA PARTIE ACTIVE DU SYSTEME. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 00:25:22 2003 X-UIDL: 23900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000Y3ZG1LX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 20:45:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45CjQpO052011 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 20:45:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHdg032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:41:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 544536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:41:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45CfOG2036676 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:41:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45CfNhO010828 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:41:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45CfNIN010826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 07:41:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 07:41:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051241.h45CfNIN010826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 051238 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :6/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/05 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.1 S / 58.4 E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 400 SO: 350 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/06 AT 00 UTC: 16.5 S/ 57.0 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 24H: 2003/05/06 AT 12 UTC: 16.8 S/ 55.6 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 36H: 2003/05/07 AT 00 UTC: 16.8 S/ 54.3 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 48H: 2003/05/07 AT 12 UTC: 16.6 S/ 52.9 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 60H: 2003/05/08 AT 00 UTC: DISSIPATED 72H: 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LLCC IS EXPOSED, BUT LESS AND LESS CLEAR, LOCATED NORTHEAST OF A 2 DEGRES LARGER CDO.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 00:25:29 2003 X-UIDL: 23905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF000WQ4AHLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 22:30:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45EU8pO082583 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 22:30:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHnu032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:22:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 546764 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:22:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45EMEG2026994 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:22:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45EMDhO013969 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:22:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45EMDgo013968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:22:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 09:22:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051422.h45EMDgo013968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 051500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 16.2S9 58.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 58.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.3S0 56.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.5S2 54.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.2S9 52.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.9S5 50.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.2S9 58.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051130Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 55 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS SHEARED AWAY FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION, GFDN, AND UKMET EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 AND 061500Z2. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 00:25:32 2003 X-UIDL: 23909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF000EK9FVLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 00:21:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45GLI4Z005854 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 00:21:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AH08032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 11:04:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 548844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 11:04:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45G4bG2034438 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 11:04:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45G4ahO018151 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 11:04:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45G4acQ018150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 11:04:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 11:04:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051604.h45G4acQ018150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 051604 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 05 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE SE FROM 1027 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N135W TO 19N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N90W 6N100W 10N107W 8N137W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 104W TO 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 127W AND ALSO WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 137W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED TSTMS ARE FOUND N OF THE AXIS TO THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 79W AND 89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 12N90W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED TSTMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 3N79W OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS FOUND N OF 15N W OF 115W THROUGHOUT THE E PACIFIC. $$ HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 08:12:30 2003 X-UIDL: 23913-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF000FCBS4LX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 01:12:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45HBspO030943 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:11:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45Ccd9o027222; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:06:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 550077 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45H5iG2041624 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45H5hhO020593 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45H5h5I020590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051705.h45H5h5I020590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051351ZMAY2003// AMPN/REFS A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2S9 58.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 051500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 08:12:31 2003 X-UIDL: 23915-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF000XKC2LLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 01:18:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45HICpO033521 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:18:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45Ccd9s027222; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:06:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 550080 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45H5iG2027018 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45H5hhO020594 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45H5hS1020592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 12:05:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051705.h45H5hS1020592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051351ZMAY2003// AMPN/REFS A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051200Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2S9 58.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 051500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 08:12:32 2003 X-UIDL: 23917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF000VPEVTLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 02:19:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45IItpO064704 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 02:18:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45I3cHA032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:12:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:12:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45ICFG2039566 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:12:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45ICDhO023148 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:12:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45ICDCV023143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:12:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 13:12:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051812.h45ICDCV023143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 051800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 012/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 05/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.4 S / 57.7 E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: WEATHER EXISTS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM INTHE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UNDER SQUALLS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 06 UTC: 16.7 SOUTH/ 56.4 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 17.1 SOUTH/ 55.2 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE EXPOSED LLCC, NORTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTION. AREA OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT AND UNDER THE ACTIVE PART OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 08:12:32 2003 X-UIDL: 23918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF000HSFI0LX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 02:32:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45IWFpO067507 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 02:32:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45HVTPc027222; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:22:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:21:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45ILVG2011454 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:21:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45ILUhO023527 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:21:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45ILUaf023525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:21:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 13:21:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051821.h45ILUaf023525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 051818 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :7/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/05 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.4 S / 57.7 E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 MOINS /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 36 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 500 SO: 300 NO: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/06 AT 06 UTC: 16.7 S/ 56.4 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 24H: 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 17.1 S/ 55.2 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 36H: 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 17.2 S/ 53.9 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 48H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 17.0 S/ 52.3 E MAX WIND = 045 KT 60H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 16.7 S/ 50.7 E MAX WIND = 050 KT 72H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 16.5 S/ 49.1 E OVERLAND 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE IS EXPOSED IN THE NORD-EAST OF THE SYSTEM. MANOU IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST-SOUTH-WEST, THAN MORE WESTWARD AS THE RIDGE REBUILDIN THE SOUTHWEST LANDING ON THE MALAGASHY COAST END OF PERIOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 08:12:37 2003 X-UIDL: 23923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF000W9O43LX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 05:38:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45LcEpO017112 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 05:38:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45KBfW8030000; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:31:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 556006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45LSOG2040836 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45LSNhO001559 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45LSMQe001557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:28:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 16:28:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305052128.h45LSMQe001557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 052128 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 05 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 05/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1028 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N139W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 17N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 7N100W 9N108W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG AND UP TO 90NM S OF THE PANAMA/COSTA RICA COAST BETWEEN 78W-85W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 96W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 105W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 122W-126W. NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS W OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 92W-94W IN THE VICINITY OF AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING W TO THE S OF GUATEMALA. BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS FIELD N OF THE ITCZ W OF 115W HAS BEEN DEVELOPING MORE BREAKS THROUGH THE DAY AS IT FLOWS S/SW. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 08:12:37 2003 X-UIDL: 23924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF000AVOISLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 05:47:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45Ll8pO018892 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 05:47:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45I3cga032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:39:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 556363 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:37:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45LbvG2023868 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45LbuhO001877 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45Lbu53001876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 16:37:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305052137.h45Lbu53001876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 052137 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 08N162W 03N153W 06N140W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 05N179W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N158W 22N166W. AREA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE LINE FROM 10S163W 15S154W 22S152W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 02S176W 07S163W 09S165W 06S177W 02S176W...HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF 15S175W...IS NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 09:33:41 2003 X-UIDL: 23929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF0001RVOLLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 08:21:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h460LopO050325 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 08:21:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45I3c2u032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:10:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 559731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:10:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h460ALG2029222 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:10:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h460AKhO005063 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:10:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h460AKnE005061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:10:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 19:10:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060010.h460AKnE005061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 060000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 013/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 06/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.6 S / 57.0 E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: WEATHER EXISTS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 500 NM INTHE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UNDER SQUALLS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 12 UTC: 17.0 SOUTH/ 56.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 36 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 00 UTC: 17.1 SOUTH/ 55.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE EXPOSED LLCC, NORTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTION. AREA OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENDS FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT AND UNDER THE ACTIVE PART OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 09:33:43 2003 X-UIDL: 23930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF00023VOOLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 08:22:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h460LrpO050345 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 08:21:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45I3c3Y032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:14:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 559792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:14:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h460EYG2024250 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:14:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h460EXhO005143 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:14:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h460EXdQ005141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 19:14:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 19:14:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060014.h460EXdQ005141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 060011 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :8/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/06 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.6 S / 57.0 E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 MOINS /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 36 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 500 SO: 300 NO: 150 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/06 AT 12 UTC: 17.0 S/ 56.0 E MAX WIND = 036 KT 24H: 2003/05/07 AT 00 UTC: 17.1 S/ 55.0 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 36H: 2003/05/07 AT 12 UTC: 17.1 S/ 54.0 E MAX WIND = 049 KT 48H: 2003/05/08 AT 00 UTC: 16.8 S/ 52.7 E MAX WIND = 049 KT 60H: 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: 16.2 S/ 51.3 E MAX WIND = 049 KT 72H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: 15.4 S/ 50.1 E OVERLAND 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE IS EXPOSED IN THE NORD-EAST OF THE SYSTEM, BUT THE SHEARING SEEMS WEAKEN A LITTLE. MANOU IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY WEST-SOUTH-WEST,THAN MORE WESTWARD AS THE RIDGE REBUILD IN THE SOUTHWEST LANDING ON THE MALAGASHY COAST END OF PERIOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 10:33:38 2003 X-UIDL: 23940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IWU1P47K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 10:31:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462Vj4Z031433 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 10:31:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462B8GC032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 21:20:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 562414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 21:20:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462K6G2036840 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 21:20:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h462K5hO007284 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 21:20:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h462K5BD007283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 21:20:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 21:20:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060220.h462K5BD007283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 060300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 16.8S5 56.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S5 56.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 17.3S1 55.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 17.4S2 53.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.2S0 52.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 16.9S6 50.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.9S6 56.5E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTH OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND LIES TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A TROUGH PASSES POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, TC 28S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE ARRIVES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION, GFDN, AND UKMET EGRR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THE AVIATION MODEL HAS MORE INTERACTION WITH THE PASSING TROUGH AND DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR WHILE THE OTHER AIDS ! TRACK THE SYSTEM ONTO MADAGASCAR. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 06000Z6 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 AND 070300Z0. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 12:36:16 2003 X-UIDL: 23951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IEH6DT7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 12:13:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h464CtpO017543 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:12:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462B8qg032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 23:06:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 566716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 23:06:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46466G2015578 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 23:06:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46465hO008964 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 23:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46465vI008963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 23:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 23:06:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060406.h46465vI008963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 060405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 06 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 06/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1027 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N142W TO 24N129W 17N120W 12N110W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N83W 8N93W 9N106W 8N120W 9N132W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. SPECIFICALLY...LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-20 NM RADIUS OF 9N84.5W AND 7.5N110W...AND IN CLUSTERS FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 101W AND 104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 15:05:06 2003 X-UIDL: 23959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IU4CZC7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 14:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h466ZTpO059659 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 14:35:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462B84q032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 569472 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h466RXG2016654 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h466RWhO010657 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h466RWUE010655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060627.h466RWUE010655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 060623 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :9/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/06 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.2 S / 55.9 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 300 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 17.8 S/ 54.2 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 24H: 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 17.9 S/ 52.5 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 36H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 17.6 S/ 50.6 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 48H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 17.1 S/ 48.9 E OVERLAND 60H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 16.8 S/ 47.4 E DISSIPATING 72H: 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5+, CI=3.0-. THE SYSTEM IS SLIGHTLY NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED, AND CONVECTION HAS REBUILT NEAR THE CENTRE OVER LAST NIGHT. MANOU IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY TRACK WESTWARDS AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS IN THE SOUTHWEST, AND LAND IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS ON THE EASTERN MALAGASY COAST AND THEN DISSIPATE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 15:05:08 2003 X-UIDL: 23960-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IU3CZC7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 14:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h466ZSpO059651 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 14:35:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h464gmcs042994; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 569465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h466RVG2026340 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h466RVhO010645 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h466RVCA010643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 01:27:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 06/05/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060627.h466RVCA010643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 060600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 14/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 06/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.2 S / 55.9 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST)MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE UNDER SQUALLS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 17.8 SOUTH/ 54.2 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 17.9 SOUTH/ 52.5 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS REBUILT NEAR THE CENTRE OVER LAST NIGHT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT. 40 KT LOCALLY EXPECTED UNDER CONVECTION. SHIP DATA, LOCATED NEAR THE CENTRE, CONFIRMS WIND AND PRESSURE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 15:05:10 2003 X-UIDL: 23963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00I5IDNV7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 14:50:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h466o9pO064524 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 14:50:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462B85q032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:47:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 569734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:47:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h466kwG2022908 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:46:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h466kwhO010855 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:46:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h466kwdd010853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 01:46:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 01:46:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060646.h466kwdd010853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 060643 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :9/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/06 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.2 S / 55.9 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 300 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 17.8 S/ 54.2 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 24H: 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 17.9 S/ 52.5 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 36H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 17.6 S/ 50.6 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 48H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 17.1 S/ 48.9 E OVERLAND 60H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 16.8 S/ 47.4 E DISSIPATING 72H: 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5+, CI=3.0-. THE SYSTEM IS SLIGHTLY NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED, AND CONVECTION HAS REBUILT NEAR THE CENTRE OVER LAST NIGHT. MANOU IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY TRACK WESTWARDS AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS IN THE SOUTHWEST, AND LAND IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS ON THE EASTERN MALAGASY COAST AND THEN DISSIPATE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 17:24:55 2003 X-UIDL: 23978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00I8CKK37K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 17:19:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h469J1pO012408 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 17:19:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462B8BM032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:14:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 571318 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:14:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h469EnG2020156 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:14:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h469EmhO012398 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:14:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h469Em44012396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:14:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 04:14:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060914.h469Em44012396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 060600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 14/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 06/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.2 S / 55.9 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST)MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE UNDER SQUALLS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 17.8 SOUTH/ 54.2 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 17.9 SOUTH/ 52.5 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS REBUILT NEAR THE CENTRE OVER LAST NIGHT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT. 40 KT LOCALLY EXPECTED UNDER CONVECTION. SHIP DATA, LOCATED NEAR THE CENTRE, CONFIRMS WIND AND PRESSURE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 17:24:57 2003 X-UIDL: 23979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IS2KQM7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 17:23:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h469MwpO013753 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 17:23:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h464gmvO042994; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 571330 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h469FpG2020690 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h469FohO012424 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h469Fopd012422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060915.h469Fopd012422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 060643 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :9/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/06 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.2 S / 55.9 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 300 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 17.8 S/ 54.2 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 24H: 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 17.9 S/ 52.5 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 36H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 17.6 S/ 50.6 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 48H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 17.1 S/ 48.9 E OVERLAND 60H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 16.8 S/ 47.4 E DISSIPATING 72H: 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5+, CI=3.0-. THE SYSTEM IS SLIGHTLY NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED, AND CONVECTION HAS REBUILT NEAR THE CENTRE OVER LAST NIGHT. MANOU IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY TRACK WESTWARDS AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS IN THE SOUTHWEST, AND LAND IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS ON THE EASTERN MALAGASY COAST AND THEN DISSIPATE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 17:24:59 2003 X-UIDL: 23980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00ISWKQW7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 17:23:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h469N8pO013814 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 17:23:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462B8BO032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 571325 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h469FoG2033666 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h469FohO012418 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h469Fnge012416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 04:15:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060915.h469Fnge012416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 060623 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :9/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/06 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.2 S / 55.9 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 300 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/06 AT 18 UTC: 17.8 S/ 54.2 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 24H: 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 17.9 S/ 52.5 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 36H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 17.6 S/ 50.6 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 48H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 17.1 S/ 48.9 E OVERLAND 60H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 16.8 S/ 47.4 E DISSIPATING 72H: 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5+, CI=3.0-. THE SYSTEM IS SLIGHTLY NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED, AND CONVECTION HAS REBUILT NEAR THE CENTRE OVER LAST NIGHT. MANOU IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY TRACK WESTWARDS AS THE RIDGE REBUILDS IN THE SOUTHWEST, AND LAND IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS ON THE EASTERN MALAGASY COAST AND THEN DISSIPATE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 18:04:56 2003 X-UIDL: 23984-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00ITAM7M7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 17:54:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h469sppO024494 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 17:54:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462B8CK032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:49:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 571501 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h469jxG2025178 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h469jwhO012686 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h469jwmC012685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 04:45:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060945.h469jwmC012685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 060945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 04N148W TO 05N141W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 03N155W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 05N168W TO 02N160W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 03N171W TO 02N169W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 09N172W. FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 40N158W 33N148W 23N159W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 220 NM OF THE LINE FROM 21S140W TO 25S120W AND FURTHER SOUTHEAST MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 18S178W TO 13S174W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 16S153W TO 14S146W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 06S178W TO 05S172W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 18:14:57 2003 X-UIDL: 23986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00I2CMOW7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 18:05:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46A59pO028000 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:05:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462B8DI032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:59:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 571661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:59:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h469xLG2033042 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:59:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h469xLhO012791 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:59:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h469xLDU012790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:59:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 04:59:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060959.h469xLDU012790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 060959 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 06 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 06/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 1027 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 31N142W TO 26N126W 20N121W 15N117W 10N112W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N86W 9N106W 8N110W 8N135W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 136W. ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELLS OF STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO TO THE EAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W AND 94W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 20:10:45 2003 X-UIDL: 23999-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IGMSFK7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 20:09:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46C9CpO061500 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 20:09:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46AwZIW032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 572970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46C3CG2020104 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46C3ChO014123 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46C3CoC014117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305061203.h46C3CoC014117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 061200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 15/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 06/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: 17.3 S / 55.0 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 60 MN UP TO 250 MN OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT, AND VERY ROUGH SEAS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE UNDER SQUALLS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 00 UTC: 17.4 SOUTH/ 53.4 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 12 UTC: 17.3 SOUTH/ 51.5 EAST. MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS FULLY EXPOSED IN THE NORTH-EST OF THE CONVECTION. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT. AS A NEW SUBTROPICAL HIGH REBUILDS IN THE SOUTHWEST, THE SYSTEM SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS AND LAND ON THE EATSERN MALAGASY COASTSIN THE VICINITY OF SAINTE-MARIE OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 20:10:47 2003 X-UIDL: 24000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IGWSFK7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 20:09:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46C9EpO061511 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 20:09:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h464gmDo042994; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 572975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46C3DG2022896 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46C3ChO014125 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46C3CSm014121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 07:03:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305061203.h46C3CSm014121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 061201 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :10/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/06 AT 1200 UTC : 17.3 S / 55.0 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 300 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/07 AT 00 UTC: 17.4 S/ 53.4 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 24H: 2003/05/07 AT 12 UTC: 17.3 S/ 51.5 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 36H: 2003/05/08 AT 00 UTC: 17.0 S/ 49.7 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 48H: 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: 16.5 S/ 48.0 E DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5, CI=2.5+.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 22:07:54 2003 X-UIDL: 24001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IRWSM47K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 20:13:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46CD9pO062793 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 20:13:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h464gmE0042994; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 572994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46C6HG2041144 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46C6HhO014176 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46C6HLs014173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 06/05/2003 A 1200 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305061206.h46C6HLs014173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO21 FMEE 061200 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 06/05/2003 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 15/16 SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 06/05/2003 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: 17.3 S / 55.0 E (DIX-SEPT DEGRES TROIS SUD ET CINQUANTE-CINQ DEGRES ZERO EST) DEPLACEMENT: OUEST 7 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS EXISTE ENTRE 60 MN ET 250 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. COUP DE VENT 35 KT, ET MER TRES FORTE DANS LA ZONE DE GRAINS JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 07/05/2003 A 00 UTC: 17.4 SUD/ 53.4 EST. VENT MAX = 35 KT. A 24H POUR LE 07/05/2003 A 12 UTC: 17.3 SUD/ 51.5 EST. VENT MAX = 30 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTRE EST COMPLETEMENT EXPOSE DANS LE NORD-EST DE LA CONVECTION. LA ZONE DE GRAND FRAIS S'ETEND LOIN DANS LE SUD DU SYSTEME PAR EFFET DE GRADIENT BAROMETRIQUE. AVEC L'ARRIVEE D'UNE NOUVELLE CELLULE ANTICYCLONIQUE, LE SYSTEME DEVRAIT POURSUIVRE UNE TRAJECTOIRE PLEIN OUEST, ET ATTERRIR SUR LES COTES MALGACHES A PROXIMITE DE SAINTE-MARIE DANS LES 36 HEURES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 22:07:55 2003 X-UIDL: 24002-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00ISKSMC7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 20:13:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46CDJpO062831 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 20:13:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46AwZIc032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 572991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46C6HG2010372 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46C6HhO014175 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46C6Ghk014171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 07:06:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 06/05/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305061206.h46C6Ghk014171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 061200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 15/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 06/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: 17.3 S / 55.0 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 60 MN UP TO 250 MN OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT, AND VERY ROUGH SEAS LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE UNDER SQUALLS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 00 UTC: 17.4 SOUTH/ 53.4 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 12 UTC: 17.3 SOUTH/ 51.5 EAST. MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS FULLY EXPOSED IN THE NORTH-EST OF THE CONVECTION. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT. AS A NEW SUBTROPICAL HIGH REBUILDS IN THE SOUTHWEST, THE SYSTEM SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WESTWARDS AND LAND ON THE EATSERN MALAGASY COASTSIN THE VICINITY OF SAINTE-MARIE OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 00:07:44 2003 X-UIDL: 24012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00IET3737K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 00:01:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46G1bpO032029 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 00:01:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46AwZok032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 10:54:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 578569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 10:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46FsMG2015198 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 10:54:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46FsMhO022950 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 10:54:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46FsMQK022949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 10:54:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 10:54:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305061554.h46FsMQK022949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 061552 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 06 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1024 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 29N137W EXTENDS RIDGE AXIS SE THROUGH 23N121W TO 20N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N94W 8N100W 10N107W 8N113W 7N130W 9N134W 7N140W. DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 107W ON THE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS NEAR 113W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 132W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS NEAR 78W. CLUSTERS OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 84W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 13N92W...WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 11N95W... AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 9N86W. DEVELOPING CLUSTER OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 14N94W NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 01:57:44 2003 X-UIDL: 24016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00I9L8BC7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 01:52:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46HqEpO068172 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:52:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46AwZFe032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:44:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 582695 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:43:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46HhVG2015280 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:43:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46HhUhO028356 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:43:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46HhTlY028354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 12:43:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305061743.h46HhTlY028354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 55.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 01:57:44 2003 X-UIDL: 24017-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00I9J8BA7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 01:52:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46HqDpO068167 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:52:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46GHcg2042994; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:44:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 582692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:43:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46HhUG2032908 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:43:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46HhUhO028355 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:43:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46HhT6W028353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 12:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 12:43:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305061743.h46HhT6W028353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061200Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 55.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 02:27:44 2003 X-UIDL: 24020-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00IDY9LP7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 02:20:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46IK6pO076608 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 02:20:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46HpFIi032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 13:12:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 583578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 13:12:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46ICqG2022802 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 13:12:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46ICqhO029597 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 13:12:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46ICpO1029595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 13:12:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 13:12:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305061812.h46ICpO1029595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 061800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 16/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 06/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.8 S / 54.3 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST)MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS, NEAR THE CENTRE AND LOCALLY UNDER CONVECTION UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 17.8 SOUTH/ 52.6 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 17.7 SOUTH/ 50.9 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS REBUILT NEAR THE ESTIMATED CENTRE OVER THE LAST HOURS. CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE ON THE IR IMAGERY. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 02:27:44 2003 X-UIDL: 24021-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00IDX9LP7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 02:20:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46IK6pO076616 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 02:20:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46HpFIs032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 13:13:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 583603 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 13:13:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46IDsG2011904 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 13:13:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46IDrhO029653 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 13:13:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46IDq73029651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 13:13:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 13:13:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305061813.h46IDq73029651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 061811 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :11/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/06 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.8 S / 54.3 E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 300 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/07 AT 06 UTC: 17.8 S/ 52.6 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 24H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 17.7 S/ 50.9 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 36H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 17.4 S/ 49.4 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5+, CI=2.5+. CONVECTION HAS REBUILT NEAR THE CENTRE, LIKE LAST NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 08:32:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00IVIJMO7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 05:56:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46LuepO036352 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:56:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46KuAMK040998; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:36:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 589439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:36:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46LaWG2040030 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:36:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46LaVhO008458 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:36:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46LaVIs008457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:36:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 16:36:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305062136.h46LaVIs008457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 062100 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 007A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 17.9S7 54.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 54.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.9S7 52.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.7S5 51.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.6S4 50.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.6S4 49.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.9S7 54.0E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND 40 KNOT SYNOPTIC REPORTS. JUSTIFCAITON FOR AMENDMENT: TC 28S HAS REINTENSIFIED TO WARNING CRITERIA AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT WARNING CRITERIA UNTIL IT TRACKS ON TO LAND ON MADAGASCAR'S EASTERN COAST. TC 28S HAD PREVIOUSLY WEAKENED WITH ITS CONVECTION DECOUPLING FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). HOWEVER, RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS REINTENSIFIED WITH DEEP CONVECTION REORGANIZING OVER THE LLCC. ANALYSIS OF 200 MB SHOWS THAT 28S EXISTS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR. TC 28S IS NOT EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY INTENSIFY BUT TO REMAIN AT WARNING CRITERIA AND TRACK WESTWARD TO MADAGASCAR AND WEAKEN OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 AND 072100Z0. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 08:32:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24032-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00I8TJX57K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 06:03:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46M2xpO037571 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 06:03:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46J5N5S019898; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:56:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 590181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:56:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46LuvG2010954 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:56:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46LuuhO009161 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:56:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46LuurI009159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:56:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 16:56:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305062156.h46LuurI009159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 062155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 06 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 06/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING 1024 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 27N133W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 17N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N84W 8N87W 7N98W 9N105W 7N124W 9N134W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 81W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 85W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS AND ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 90W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-126W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 128W-133W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 134W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 92W-95W MOVING SW FROM THE GUATEMALAN COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 106W-109W. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS FROM 15N-27N W OF 120W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 08:32:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24033-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00IMEKAW7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 06:11:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46MB9pO039060 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 06:11:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46KuAQY040998; Tue, 06 May 2003 17:02:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 590284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 17:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46M12G2040406 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 17:01:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46M11hO009312 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 17:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46M11Q3009311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 17:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 17:01:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305062201.h46M11Q3009311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 062200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05N176W 05N170W 01N169W 01N174W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 08:32:24 2003 X-UIDL: 24034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00I3DNL17K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 07:22:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46NM4pO053058 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:22:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46MT0WA041712; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:17:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 593350 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:14:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46NEUG2039978 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:14:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46NEThO011277 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:14:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46NETGk011275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:14:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 18:14:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305062314.h46NETGk011275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 062330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/062330Z/071800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061500Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 55.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR AMENDED WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 08:32:24 2003 X-UIDL: 24035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00ICSNQX7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 07:25:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46NPYpO053746 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:25:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46MT0W8041712; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:16:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 593353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:14:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46NEUG2033058 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:14:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46NEUhO011278 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:14:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46NET3L011276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 18:14:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 18:14:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305062314.h46NET3L011276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 062330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/062330Z/071800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061500Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2S0 55.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 061500) FOR AMENDED WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 08:32:24 2003 X-UIDL: 24037-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00IOUQDN7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 08:22:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h470MRpO065668 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:22:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46MT0qO041712; Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 595358 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h470FNG2035376 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h470FMhO012713 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h470FMcV012709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070015.h470FMcV012709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 070012 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :12/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/07 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.3 S / 53.4 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 350 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/07 AT 12 UTC: 18.3 S/ 51.6 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 24H: 2003/05/08 AT 00 UTC: 18.2 S/ 50.1 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 36H: 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: 18.2 S/ 48.8 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0-, CI=3.0-. CONVECTION HAS ORGANIZED IN CDO PATTERN OVER THE LAST HOURS. THE SYSTEM BENEFITS OF A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, WITH WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 08:32:25 2003 X-UIDL: 24038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00IPFQDR7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 08:22:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h470MVpO065680 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:22:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46KuAp0040998; Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 595355 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h470FNG2038182 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h470FMhO012710 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h470FLvV012704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 19:15:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070015.h470FLvV012704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO22 FMEE 070000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 17/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 07/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 992 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.3 S / 53.4 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY UNDER CONVECTION UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 12 UTC: 18.3 SOUTH/ 51.6 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 00 UTC: 18.2 SOUTH/ 50.1 EAST. MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION KEEPS ON DEVELOPING ON THE LAST IMAGERY. CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE ON THE IR IMAGERY. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 12:18:56 2003 X-UIDL: 24062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00L6V0YIQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 12:11:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h474AvpO034610 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:10:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xFOI040998; Tue, 06 May 2003 23:05:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 601007 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 23:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4745cG2016532 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 23:05:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4745bhO017413 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 23:05:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4745bmV017412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 23:05:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 23:05:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070405.h4745bmV017412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 070405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 07 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 07/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N127W TO 30N131W TO 29N137W BEYOND 30N140W. ..RIDGE 27N133W 23N125W 20N112W 18N107W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 112W. ..BROAD TROUGH IN ISOBARIC ANALYSIS FROM 2N123W TO 5N108W TO 17N100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N88W 9N105W 7N126W 9N132W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM ITCZ TO 23N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. DRY AIR FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND 140W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 14:18:58 2003 X-UIDL: 24066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00L336LSQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 14:13:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h476CvpO069870 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 14:12:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xFY8040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:08:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 603540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:08:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4768PG2048058 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:08:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4768OhO019011 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:08:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4768Oup019009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:08:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 01:08:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070608.h4768Oup019009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 070600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 18/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 07/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 991 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5 S / 52.2 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 18.7 SOUTH/ 51.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 18.8 SOUTH/ 49.4 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 14:39:01 2003 X-UIDL: 24068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LFG7N7QN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 14:35:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h476ZQpO077401 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 14:35:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h473Tsqw039950; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:30:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 603915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h476U1G2020184 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:30:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h476U0hO019239 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:30:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h476U01B019237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 01:30:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 01:30:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070630.h476U01B019237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 070626 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :13/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/07 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5 S / 52.2 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 991 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 350 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 18.7 S/ 51.0 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 24H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 18.8 S/ 49.4 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 36H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 18.8 S/ 48.7 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS LOCATED UNDER DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZED IN CDO PATTERN. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MET A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEFORE LANDINGOVER EASTERN COASTS OF MADAGASCAR AT 24/36 HOURS RANGE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 15:19:08 2003 X-UIDL: 24072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LVA9HNQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 15:15:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h477FGpO089861 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:15:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xFaa040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 02:08:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 604369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 02:08:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4778uG2019762 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 02:08:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4778uhO019718 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 02:08:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4778td7019716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 02:08:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 02:08:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 07/05/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070708.h4778td7019716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 070600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 18/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 07/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 991 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5 S / 52.2 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 18.7 SOUTH/ 51.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 18.8 SOUTH/ 49.4 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 16:59:01 2003 X-UIDL: 24084-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LDOE3GQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 16:54:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h478skpO024498 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 16:54:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xFdC040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:51:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 605363 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h478ogG2037932 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h478ofhO020836 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h478ofNq020834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070850.h478ofNq020834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 070600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 18/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 07/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 991 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5 S / 52.2 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 18.7 SOUTH/ 51.0 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 18.8 SOUTH/ 49.4 EAST. MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 16:59:11 2003 X-UIDL: 24085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LXNE7KQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 16:57:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h478vFpO025470 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 16:57:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xFdE040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:51:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 605377 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:51:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h478pgG2037952 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:51:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h478pfhO020863 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:51:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h478pfYp020861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:51:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 03:51:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070851.h478pfYp020861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 070626 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :13/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/07 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5 S / 52.2 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 991 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 350 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/07 AT 18 UTC: 18.7 S/ 51.0 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 24H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 18.8 S/ 49.4 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 36H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 18.8 S/ 48.7 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS LOCATED UNDER DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZED IN CDO PATTERN. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MET A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEFORE LANDINGOVER EASTERN COASTS OF MADAGASCAR AT 24/36 HOURS RANGE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 17:09:01 2003 X-UIDL: 24086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LAGEAVQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 16:59:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h478xEpO026202 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 16:59:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h473Ts8C039950; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 605359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h478odG2037926 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h478odhO020829 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h478odm1020828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 03:50:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070850.h478odm1020828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 070900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 18.3S2 52.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 52.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 18.4S3 51.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.6S5 50.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.3S3 48.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.9S9 47.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.3S2 52.1E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM NORTHWEST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 28S HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS, WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION NOW IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT TC 28S HAS POINT SOURCE OUTFLOW ABOVE THE SYSTEM, AND IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 28S MAY INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL PRIOR TO 36 HOURS, AND IS THEN EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE SOMEWHAT DISPARATE WITH THE FORECAST TRACK. NOGAPS AND GFDN TRACK THE SYSTEM WESTWARD, UKMET (EGRR) DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM OVER WATER VERY NEAR THE MADAGASCAR COAST, AND THE NCEP AVIATION MODEL (AVN) TURNS THE SYSTEM MORE SHARPLY POLEWARD, OFF THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR. THIS FORECAST BASED ON PERSISTENCE, AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS BIASED TOWARD A MIGRATORY RIDGE PASSING EASTWARD FAR SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z3 AND 080900Z7. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 18:39:24 2003 X-UIDL: 24097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LCWHOMQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 18:12:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47ACFpO050805 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 18:12:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xFi4040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:06:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 606251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:06:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47A6AG2024108 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:06:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47A69hO021737 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:06:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47A69fE021736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:06:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 05:06:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071006.h47A69fE021736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 071005 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 07 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 07/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N127W TO 30N131W TO 29N137W BEYOND 30N140W. ..RIDGE 27N133W 23N125W 20N112W 18N107W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 112W. ..BROAD TROUGH IN ISOBARIC ANALYSIS FROM 2N123W TO 5N108W TO 17N100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 9N95W 9N106W 6N115W 8N126W 8N135W 8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH...AND WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS TO THE EAST AND WEST...OF 9N106.5W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 84W...BETWEEN 90W AND 110W...BETWEEN 113W AND 130W... AND WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM ITCZ TO 32N EAST OF 140W. DRY AIR FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND 140W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 18:48:31 2003 X-UIDL: 24098-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LPWJ9AQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 18:46:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47AkGpO061596 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 18:46:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xFja040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:39:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 606822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:39:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47AdXG2042140 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:39:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47AdWhO022057 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:39:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47AdWv4022056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 05:39:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 05:39:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071039.h47AdWv4022056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 071039 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF 04N178W MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09N170W 06N160W 04N166W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N140W 06N144W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S147W 19S139W MOVED SOUTHEAST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 20:36:30 2003 X-UIDL: 24115-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LKMO72QN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 20:33:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47CWspO092738 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 20:32:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xFo0040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:23:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 608048 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:23:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47CNAG2024074 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:23:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47CNAhO023358 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:23:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47CNAVF023356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:23:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 07:23:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071223.h47CNAVF023356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 071200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 19/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 07/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.6 S / 51.3 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 00 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/ 49.7 EAST. MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: 19.1 SOUTH/ 48.2 EAST. OVERLAND OTHER INFORMATIONS: NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 20:36:31 2003 X-UIDL: 24116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LLDO7HQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 20:33:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47CXBpO092805 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 20:33:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47AD2Yw039954; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:28:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 608130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:28:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47CSKG2020234 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47CSKhO023453 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:28:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47CSJLh023451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 07:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 07:28:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071228.h47CSJLh023451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 071225 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :14/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/07 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.6 S / 51.3 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 350 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/08 AT 00 UTC: 19.0 S/ 49.7 E MAX WIND = 045 KT 24H: 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: 19.1 S/ 48.2 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS LOCATED UNDER DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN CDO PATTERN. THE SYSTEM SHOULD LANDING OVER EASTERN COASTS OF MADAGASCAR AT 24 HOURS RANGE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 21:46:31 2003 X-UIDL: 24121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00L46RC9QN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 21:40:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47DelpO011022 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 21:40:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xF06040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:32:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 609749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:32:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47DWmG2045768 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:32:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47DWkhO025263 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47DWk5U025261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 08:32:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071332.h47DWk5U025261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 071225 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :14/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/07 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.6 S / 51.3 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 350 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/08 AT 00 UTC: 19.0 S/ 49.7 E MAX WIND = 045 KT 24H: 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: 19.1 S/ 48.2 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS LOCATED UNDER DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN CDO PATTERN. THE SYSTEM SHOULD LANDING OVER EASTERN COASTS OF MADAGASCAR AT 24 HOURS RANGE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 21:46:31 2003 X-UIDL: 24122-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LKJRKHQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 21:45:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47DjmpO012384 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 21:45:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xF0Y040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:40:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 609898 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:39:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47DdwG2015552 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:39:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47DdwhO025461 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:39:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47Ddwc7025459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:39:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 08:39:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071339.h47Ddwc7025459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 071200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 19/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 07/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.6 S / 51.3 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 00 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/ 49.7 EAST. MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: 19.1 SOUTH/ 48.2 EAST. OVERLAND OTHER INFORMATIONS: NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 21:46:31 2003 X-UIDL: 24123-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LKYRKVQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 21:46:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47DjvpO012428 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 21:45:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xF0a040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:41:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 609905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:41:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47Df0G2015572 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:41:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47Df0hO025508 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:41:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47Df09f025506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 08:41:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 08:41:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071341.h47Df09f025506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 071225 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :14/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/07 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.6 S / 51.3 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 350 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/08 AT 00 UTC: 19.0 S/ 49.7 E MAX WIND = 045 KT 24H: 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: 19.1 S/ 48.2 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS LOCATED UNDER DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN CDO PATTERN. THE SYSTEM SHOULD LANDING OVER EASTERN COASTS OF MADAGASCAR AT 24 HOURS RANGE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 00:36:32 2003 X-UIDL: 24132-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LKDZ6WQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 00:30:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47GUPpO067341 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:30:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47FqRIQ040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 11:21:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 613286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 11:21:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47GLBG2037716 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 11:21:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47GLAhO001607 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 11:21:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47GLArr001606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 11:21:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 11:21:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071621.h47GLArr001606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 071602 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 07 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...POORLY DEFINED TROF ALONG 105W FROM 7N TO 11N CONTINUES TO ACT AS FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR CYCLIC MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED QUITE RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST 3 HOURS WITH ONLY MINIMAL AREAS OF MINUS 70 DEG TEMPERATURES EVIDENT AT PRESENT. THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME MIDDLE LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS IMPINGING ON THIS FEATURE AT THE PRESENT TIME. BASED ON 07/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE ALONG 31N140W 22N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N93W 6N97W 6N102W 9N108W 6N118W 9N133W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 103W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 83W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 118W TO 125W...AND IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 10N90W 11N94W AND ALSO WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N97W 14N101W. $$ HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 10:29:11 2003 X-UIDL: 24135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00L1329NQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 01:37:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47HaopO086497 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:36:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47FqRRc040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 615185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47HU6G2016658 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47HU5hO004252 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47HU5N1004248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071730.h47HU5N1004248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3S2 52.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM NORTHWEST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 070600) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/GRUBER/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 10:29:13 2003 X-UIDL: 24136-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00L482BTQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 01:38:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47Hc9pO086801 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:38:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47GEoaC024162; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 615191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47HU6G2048050 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47HU5hO004251 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47HU5sh004250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 12:30:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071730.h47HU5sh004250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3S2 52.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM NORTHWEST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 070600) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/GRUBER/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 10:29:15 2003 X-UIDL: 24138-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00L8345VQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 02:17:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47IHmpO099369 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 02:17:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47FqRUG040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 13:07:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 616041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 13:07:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47I7nG2027008 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 13:07:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47I7mhO005660 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 13:07:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47I7mWH005658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 13:07:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 13:07:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071807.h47I7mWH005658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO22 FMEE 071800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 20/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 07/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 987 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.7 S / 51.0 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/ 49.3 EAST. MAX WIND = 55 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/ 48.5 EAST. OVERLAND OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 10:29:15 2003 X-UIDL: 24139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00LES4BHQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 02:21:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47ILCpO000239 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 02:21:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47FqRVA040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 13:13:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 616148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 13:13:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47ID4G2039136 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 13:13:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47ID2hO005869 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 13:13:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47ID2ta005867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 13:13:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 13:13:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071813.h47ID2ta005867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 071809 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :15/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/07 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.7 S / 51.0 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 MOINS /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 987 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 380 SO: 400 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/08 AT 06 UTC: 19.0 S/ 49.3 E MAX WIND = 055 KT 24H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 19.0 S/ 48.5 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: DISSIPATING 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING WITH DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN CDO PATTERN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 10:29:30 2003 X-UIDL: 24148-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00L7QCASQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 05:13:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47LDYpO058682 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:13:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47K4BS6024164; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:59:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 620051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:59:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47KxDG2038386 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:59:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47KxChO012575 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:59:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47KxCAb012574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:59:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 15:59:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305072059.h47KxCAb012574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 072100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 18.7S6 51.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7S6 51.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.8S7 50.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.2S2 49.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.6S6 48.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.3S5 48.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 18.7S6 51.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST NORTHWEST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERYINDICATES THAT TC 28S CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND HAS NOW MOVED MORE WESTWARD IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BECOME STEADILY MORE POLEWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BUILDING MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT TC 28S HAS GOOD OUTFLOW FROM THE ANTICYCLONE TO THE EAST AND IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 28S SHOULD INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL IN APPROXIMATELY 36 HOURS, AND IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE SOMEWHAT DISPARATE WITH THE FORECAST TRACK. NOGAPS AND GFDN CONTINUE TO TRACK THE SYSTEM OVER LAND, UKMET (EGRR) AND AVN TRACK THE SYSTEM OVER WATER VERY NEAR THE MADAGASCAR COAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE, AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 AND 082100Z1. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 10:29:33 2003 X-UIDL: 24153-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00L25FASQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 06:18:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47MILpO075976 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 06:18:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47FqR6s040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 17:03:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 621839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 17:03:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47M38G2014962 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 17:03:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47M38hO014559 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 17:03:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47M38JB014558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 17:03:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 17:03:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305072203.h47M38JB014558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 072202 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 07 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...POORLY DEFINED TROF ALONG 108W FROM 6N TO 14N CONTINUES TO ACT AS A FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR CYCLIC MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED QUITE RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS WITH ONLY MINIMAL AREAS OF MINUS 70 DEG TEMPERATURES EVIDENT AT PRESENT. THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME MIDDLE LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS IMPINGING ON THIS FEATURE AT THE PRESENT TIME. BASED ON 07/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE ALONG 31N140W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N87W 8N93W 6N100W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 128W. CLUSTERS OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W TO 102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED INLAND OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA BETWEEN 80W AND 83W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 99W AND 101W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 10:29:36 2003 X-UIDL: 24155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00L9BFHXQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 06:22:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47MMcpO076875 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 06:22:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47FqR6o040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 17:01:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 621777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 17:01:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47M11G2037716 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 17:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47M10hO014506 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 17:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47M10Fn014505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 17:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 17:01:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305072201.h47M10Fn014505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 072200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 06N169E 07N163W 05N161W 03N169W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 07N169W 06N177W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 05N150W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WIHTIN 60 NM OF POINT 08N152W. FRONT...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 26N162W 30N159W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 10:29:36 2003 X-UIDL: 24157-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00L5GLJJQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 08:33:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h480XBpO007418 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:33:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47NIlNW040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 19:24:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 624954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 19:24:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h480OeG2047932 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 19:24:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h480OdhO017268 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 19:24:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h480Od8l017266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 19:24:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 19:24:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080024.h480Od8l017266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 080021 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :16/16/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/08 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.7 S / 50.0 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 984 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 380 SO: 400 NO: 10050 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: 18.7 S/ 48.6 E OVERLAND 24H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: 19.0 S/ 48.0 E DISSIPATING 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 12:06:35 2003 X-UIDL: 24164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00HSBTCJLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 11:21:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h483LmpO048891 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 11:21:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h480RmlA024164; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 628308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h483EYG2038846 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h483EYhO019798 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h483EYST019796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080314.h483EYST019796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/020300Z/081800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5.3N8 90.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 540 NM EAST OF SRI LANKA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071800Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 51.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 072100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 93.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 315 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT ALSO INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF AN LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREAS IN PARA 1.B.(1) AND PARA 2.B.(1). 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 12:06:38 2003 X-UIDL: 24165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00HSVTCXLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 11:22:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h483M1pO048935 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 11:22:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47NIlds040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 628304 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h483EZG2025540 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h483EYhO019799 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h483EY24019797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 22:14:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080314.h483EY24019797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/020300Z/081800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5.3N8 90.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 540 NM EAST OF SRI LANKA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071800Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 51.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 072100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 93.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 315 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT ALSO INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF AN LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREAS IN PARA 1.B.(1) AND PARA 2.B.(1). 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 12:16:18 2003 X-UIDL: 24167-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00HGIVP1LJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 12:12:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h484CSpO060587 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:12:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47NIlhG040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 23:05:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 629124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 23:05:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4845sG2038674 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 23:05:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4845rhO020476 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 23:05:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4845rns020475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 23:05:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 23:05:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080405.h4845rns020475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 080405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 08 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...TROUGH FROM 4N TO 15N ALONG 106W/108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 35 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 11N108W 9N112W. BASED ON 08/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 8N93W 8N103W 7N117W 8N133W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 92W AND 99W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 83W AND 92W...WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 110W...AND BETWEEN 114W AND 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 17:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 24171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HOD0SJLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 14:02:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4862ZpO087512 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:02:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHIS025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 630875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485tRG2036990 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h485tQhO021667 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h485tQ97021665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080555.h485tQ97021665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO24 FMEE 080000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 21/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 08/05/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 984 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.7 S / 50.0 E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. STORM WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, AND LOCALLY UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 12 UTC: 18.7 SOUTH/ 48.6 EAST. OVERLAND 24H, VALID 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: 19.0 SOUTH/ 48.0 EAST. DISSIPATING OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS INTENSIFYING. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTEND FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE BAROMETRIC GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 17:40:03 2003 X-UIDL: 24173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HYF0YVLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 14:06:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4866PpO088600 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:06:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h480RmCC024164; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 630888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485tWG2010954 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h485tShO021682 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h485tSac021681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080555.h485tSac021681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 17:40:03 2003 X-UIDL: 24175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HUI26ULJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 14:32:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h486WipO095278 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:32:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHJg025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:27:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 631317 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h486RJG2008716 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:27:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h486RIhO022010 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h486RIuK022008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 01:27:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080627.h486RIuK022008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 080623 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :17/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/08 AT 0600 UTC : 19.0 S / 49.9 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 PLUS /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 962 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 70 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 400 SO: 450 NO: 25050 KT NE: 030 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 19.5 S/ 48.8 E MAX WIND = 065 KT 24H: 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: 20.2 S/ 47.9 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/09 AT 18 UTC: 21.2 S/ 46.5 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/10 AT 06 UTC: 23.0 S/ 45.0 E OVERLAND 60H: 2003/05/10 AT 18 UTC: DISSIPATED 72H: 2003/05/11 AT 06 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, MANOU HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE LAST HOURS. T=CI=4.5+.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 17:40:05 2003 X-UIDL: 24177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HF12ILLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 14:39:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h486dopO097033 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:39:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48602Ku011994; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:33:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 631411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h486XSG2035344 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:33:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h486XRhO022112 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:33:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h486XRb0022110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:33:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 01:33:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 08/05/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080633.h486XRb0022110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO24 FMEE 080600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 22/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 08/05/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 962 HPA POSITION: 19.0 S / 49.9 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/ 48.8 EAST. MAX WIND = 65 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: 20.2 SOUTH/ 47.9 EAST. OVERLAND OTHER INFORMATIONS: MANOU KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING. LANDING IN THE THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR IS FORECASTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, IN VICINITY OF MAHANORO. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 17:40:05 2003 X-UIDL: 24178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HG62J1LJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 14:40:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h486e7pO097125 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:40:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHJw025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:34:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 631424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:34:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h486YUG2035376 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:34:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h486YUhO022141 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:34:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h486YT6l022139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 01:34:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 01:34:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080634.h486YT6l022139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 080623 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :17/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/08 AT 0600 UTC : 19.0 S / 49.9 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 PLUS /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 962 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 70 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 400 SO: 450 NO: 25050 KT NE: 030 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/08 AT 18 UTC: 19.5 S/ 48.8 E MAX WIND = 065 KT 24H: 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: 20.2 S/ 47.9 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/09 AT 18 UTC: 21.2 S/ 46.5 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/10 AT 06 UTC: 23.0 S/ 45.0 E OVERLAND 60H: 2003/05/10 AT 18 UTC: DISSIPATED 72H: 2003/05/11 AT 06 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, MANOU HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE LAST HOURS. T=CI=4.5+. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 17:40:14 2003 X-UIDL: 24183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00H5D80ELJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 16:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h488cWpO027441 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 16:38:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHNq025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 03:31:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 632518 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 03:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h488VnG2008944 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 03:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h488VhhO023426 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 03:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h488VhJw023425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 03:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 03:31:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080831.h488VhJw023425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 080900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 19.1S1 49.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S1 49.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.9S9 48.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.7S9 48.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.3S6 48.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 22.1S5 49.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION NEAR 19.3S3 49.4E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 28S HAS FORMED A SMALL BANDING EYE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON MADAGASCAR. TC 28S SHOULD INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY PRIOR TO LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, AND IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER LAND AS IT TRACKS SOUTH ALONG THE COAST BEFORE EXITING AND REINTENSIFYING IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AFWA MM5, NCEP AVIATION, AND UKMET EGRR ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NOGAPS WHICH DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM ON LAND AFTER 24 HOURS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 AND 090900Z8. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 18:25:16 2003 X-UIDL: 24188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HX2C7RLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 18:09:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48A9JpO051089 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 18:09:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHQQ025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:02:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 633513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48A22G2027312 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:02:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48A1vhO024388 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:01:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48A1vf2024387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:01:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 05:01:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081001.h48A1vf2024387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 081001 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 08 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...TROUGH FROM 4N TO 15N ALONG 106W/108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 35 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 11N108W 9N112W. BASED ON 08/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 8N93W 7N99W 8N107W 6N122W 8N133W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM OF COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA BETWEEN 81W AND 84W...WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 110 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 134W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3.5N TO 6N BETWEEN COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 86W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELL OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 15-20 NM RADIUS 14N93W...EMERGING OFFSHORE FROM GUATEMALA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 27N WEST OF 140W...WITH NEXT TROUGH OVER CALIFORNIA COAST. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 18:25:16 2003 X-UIDL: 24189-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HA0CGKLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 18:14:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48AEXpO052309 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 18:14:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHQw025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:08:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 633581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:08:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48A8XG2033248 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:08:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48A8XhO024444 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:08:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48A8Xo4024443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 05:08:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 05:08:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081008.h48A8Xo4024443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 081008 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N160W 25N162W 22N159W...HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N180 08N166W 06N150W 03N150W 05N180 10N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 21S139W 24S142W. FORECASTER BURKE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 20:26:22 2003 X-UIDL: 24193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HZWIGFLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 20:24:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CO9pO084253 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 20:24:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHUw025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:16:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 634776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:16:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CGoG2027374 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:16:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48CGnhO025759 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:16:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48CGnqZ025757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:16:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 07:16:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081216.h48CGnqZ025757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 081209 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :18/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/08 AT 1200 UTC : 19.1 S / 49.4 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.0 MOINS /W 2.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 952 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 400 SO: 450 NO: 25050 KT NE: 030 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: 19.1 S/ 49.4 E MAX WIND = 080 KT 24H: 2003/05/09 AT 12 UTC: 19.5 S/ 48.2 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/10 AT 00 UTC: 20.8 S/ 47.2 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/10 AT 12 UTC: 22.2 S/ 46.6 E OVERLAND 60H: 2003/05/11 AT 00 UTC: DISSIPATED 72H: 2003/05/11 AT 12 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL CYCLONE MANOU IS GOING TO LAND IN MADAGASCAR, IN VICINITY OF MAHANORO. T=4.5+ CI=5.0+= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 20:26:22 2003 X-UIDL: 24194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00H26IHQLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 20:25:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48COwpO084457 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 20:25:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHV0025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:19:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 634793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:19:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CIxG2017944 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:18:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48CIwhO025806 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:18:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48CIwaN025804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:18:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 07:18:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081218.h48CIwaN025804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 081215 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :18/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/08 AT 1200 UTC : 19.1 S / 49.4 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.0 MOINS /W 2.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 952 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 400 SO: 450 NO: 25050 KT NE: 030 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: 19.5 S/ 48.2 E OVERLAND 24H: 2003/05/09 AT 12 UTC: 20.8 S/ 47.2 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/10 AT 00 UTC: 22.2 S/ 46.6 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/10 AT 12 UTC: DISSIPATED 60H: 2003/05/11 AT 00 UTC: DISSIPATED 72H: 2003/05/11 AT 12 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL CYCLONE MANOU IS GOING TO LAND IN MADAGASCAR, IN VICINITY OF MAHANORO. T=4.5+ CI=5.0+= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 20:36:22 2003 X-UIDL: 24195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HFKIR2LJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 20:30:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CUXpO085655 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 20:30:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHVO025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:25:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:25:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CP7G2040696 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:25:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48CP6hO025881 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:25:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48CP6mI025879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:25:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 07:25:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081225.h48CP6mI025879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO24 FMEE 081200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 23/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 08/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 952 HPA POSITION: 19.1 S / 49.4 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: 19.1 SOUTH/ 49.4 EAST. MAX WIND = 80 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/05/09 AT 12 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/ 48.2 EAST. OVERLAND OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL CYCLONE MANOU IS GOING TO LAND IN MADAGASCAR, IN VICINITY OF MAHANORO. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 20:36:22 2003 X-UIDL: 24196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HI0ISYLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 20:31:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CVepO085908 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 20:31:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48602wC011994; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:26:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:26:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CQ7G2040466 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:26:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48CQ7hO025912 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:26:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48CQ7Sd025910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:26:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 07:26:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081226.h48CQ7Sd025910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 081209 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :18/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/08 AT 1200 UTC : 19.1 S / 49.4 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.0 MOINS /W 2.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 952 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 400 SO: 450 NO: 25050 KT NE: 030 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: 19.1 S/ 49.4 E MAX WIND = 080 KT 24H: 2003/05/09 AT 12 UTC: 19.5 S/ 48.2 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/10 AT 00 UTC: 20.8 S/ 47.2 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/10 AT 12 UTC: 22.2 S/ 46.6 E OVERLAND 60H: 2003/05/11 AT 00 UTC: DISSIPATED 72H: 2003/05/11 AT 12 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL CYCLONE MANOU IS GOING TO LAND IN MADAGASCAR, IN VICINITY OF MAHANORO. T=4.5+ CI=5.0+ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 20:36:22 2003 X-UIDL: 24197-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HIUITCLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 20:32:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CVupO085970 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 20:31:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48602wQ011994; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:28:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635045 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:28:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CS7G2018148 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:28:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48CS6hO025960 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:28:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48CS69x025958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:28:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 07:28:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081228.h48CS69x025958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO24 FMEE 081200 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 23/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 08/05/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 952 HPA POSITION: 19.1 S / 49.4 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: 19.5 SOUTH/ 48.2 EAST. OVERLAND 24H, VALID 2003/05/09 AT 12 UTC: 20.8 SOUTH/ 47.2 EAST. OVERLAND OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL CYCLONE MANOU IS GOING TO LAND IN MADAGASCAR, IN VICINITY OF MAHANORO. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 20:36:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24198-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HM6IVVLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 20:33:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CXRpO086243 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 20:33:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHVq025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:29:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635070 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:29:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CTAG2024220 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:29:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48CTAhO025987 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48CTA7g025985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 07:29:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081229.h48CTA7g025985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 081215 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :18/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/08 AT 1200 UTC : 19.1 S / 49.4 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.0 MOINS /W 2.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 952 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 400 SO: 450 NO: 25050 KT NE: 030 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: 19.5 S/ 48.2 E OVERLAND 24H: 2003/05/09 AT 12 UTC: 20.8 S/ 47.2 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/10 AT 00 UTC: 22.2 S/ 46.6 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/10 AT 12 UTC: DISSIPATED 60H: 2003/05/11 AT 00 UTC: DISSIPATED 72H: 2003/05/11 AT 12 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL CYCLONE MANOU IS GOING TO LAND IN MADAGASCAR, IN VICINITY OF MAHANORO. T=4.5+ CI=5.0+ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 20:56:22 2003 X-UIDL: 24199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00H8EJX6LJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 20:55:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CtnpO091871 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 20:55:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHYY025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:51:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:51:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48CpnG2008852 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:51:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48CpnhO026442 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:51:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48CpnW3026440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 07:51:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 07:51:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081251.h48CpnW3026440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 081215 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :18/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/08 AT 1200 UTC : 19.1 S / 49.4 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.0 MOINS /W 2.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 952 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 400 SO: 450 NO: 25050 KT NE: 030 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/09 AT 00 UTC: 19.5 S/ 48.2 E OVERLAND 24H: 2003/05/09 AT 12 UTC: 20.8 S/ 47.2 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/10 AT 00 UTC: 22.2 S/ 46.6 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/10 AT 12 UTC: DISSIPATED 60H: 2003/05/11 AT 00 UTC: DISSIPATED 72H: 2003/05/11 AT 12 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL CYCLONE MANOU IS GOING TO LAND IN MADAGASCAR, IN VICINITY OF MAHANORO. T=4.5+ CI=5.0+ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 21:26:22 2003 X-UIDL: 24201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HSEKYJLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 21:18:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48DI9pO097253 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 21:18:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h486026W011994; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:11:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:08:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48D8lG2030744 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48D8khO026833 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48D8kQt026831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 08:08:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081308.h48D8kQt026831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 081300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/081300Z/081800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.3N8 90.8E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.5E5,APPROXIMATELY 585 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF TROUGHING. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3S3 49.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 93.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 315 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT ALSO INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF AN LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR AND UPDATED PARA 2.A.(1). 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 21:26:22 2003 X-UIDL: 24202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HSXKYULJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 21:18:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48DIPpO097313 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 21:18:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHbk025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:11:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 635962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:08:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48D8lG2042900 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48D8khO026834 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48D8ksZ026832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 08:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 08:08:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081308.h48D8ksZ026832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/081300Z/081800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.3N8 90.8E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.5E5,APPROXIMATELY 585 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF TROUGHING. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3S3 49.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 93.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 315 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT ALSO INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF AN LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR AND UPDATED PARA 2.A.(1). 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:02 2003 X-UIDL: 24209-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00H1OSVGLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 00:09:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48G96pO047932 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 00:09:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHvW025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 10:50:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 639281 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 10:50:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48Fo6G2037950 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 10:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48Fo5hO002796 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 10:50:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48Fo52V002795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 10:50:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 10:50:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081550.h48Fo52V002795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 081549 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 08 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 08/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS SE ALONG 30N138W TO 23N116W. ..PREVIOUS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NO LONGER PRODUCING ANY SUSTAINED CONVECTION AND IS THEREFORE ANALYZED AS A TROUGH ALONG 110W FROM 7N TO 15N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N88W 7N100W 7N115W 6N124W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 120W...FROM 123W TO 126W...AND ALSO FROM 130W TO 134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FOUND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS THROUGHOUT THE DISCUSSION AREA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 8N84W 10N87W. DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 14N95W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 9N101W 12N105W. $$ HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:06 2003 X-UIDL: 24211-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HT1XT9LJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 01:55:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48HtopO094802 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:55:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CH7G025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:47:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 641811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48HktG2028184 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48HkshO007376 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48HkrAC007373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081746.h48HkrAC007373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSG/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. RECENT QUICKSCAT DATA REVEALS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ENHANCED BY A WESTERLY WIND BURST TO THE SOUTH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1S1 49.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 93.5E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3S4 93.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO PERSIST. A 082147Z2 QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALED A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC). ANALYSIS OF 200 MB SHOWS THE SYSTEM TRACKING TOWARD AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/GRUBER/KLINZMANN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:07 2003 X-UIDL: 24212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HYOXX6LJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 01:58:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48HwCpO095527 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:58:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48EiVx4011996; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 641808 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48HktG2020318 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48HkshO007375 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48Hkrtp007372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 12:46:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081746.h48Hkrtp007372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSG/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. RECENT QUICKSCAT DATA REVEALS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ENHANCED BY A WESTERLY WIND BURST TO THE SOUTH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1S1 49.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 93.5E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3S4 93.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO PERSIST. A 082147Z2 QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALED A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC). ANALYSIS OF 200 MB SHOWS THE SYSTEM TRACKING TOWARD AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/GRUBER/KLINZMANN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:08 2003 X-UIDL: 24214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00H9LYVQLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 02:19:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48IIvpO001152 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 02:18:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHAW025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:10:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 642203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:10:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48IAeG2021084 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:10:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48IAehO008364 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:10:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48IAebq008362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:10:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 13:10:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081810.h48IAebq008362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 081807 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :19/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/08 AT 1800 UTC : 19.2 S / 49.1 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.0 /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 952 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 05050 KT NE: 020 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: 20.1 S/ 47.8 E OVERLAND 24H: 2003/05/09 AT 18 UTC: 21.5 S/ 47.2 E OVERLAND 36H: 2003/05/10 AT 06 UTC: 23.0 S/ 47.0 E OVERLAND 48H: 2003/05/10 AT 18 UTC: DISSIPATED 60H: 2003/05/11 AT 06 UTC: DISSIPATED 72H: 2003/05/11 AT 18 UTC: DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=5.0 CI=5.0+= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:08 2003 X-UIDL: 24215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HB4ZRXLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 02:38:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48IcGpO006458 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 02:38:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48EiV84011996; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 642777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48ISRG2045200 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48ISRhO009191 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48ISRX9009189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081828.h48ISRX9009189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. RECENT QUICKSCAT DATA REVEALS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ENHANCED BY A WESTERLY WIND BURST TO THE SOUTH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1S1 49.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 93.5E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3S4 93.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO PERSIST. A 082147Z2 QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALED A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC). ANALYSIS OF 200 MB SHOWS THE SYSTEM TRACKING TOWARD AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/GRUBER/KLINZMANN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:09 2003 X-UIDL: 24216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HF8ZUZLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 02:40:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48Ie1pO006955 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 02:40:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHCQ025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 642774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48ISRG2008792 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48ISRhO009190 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48ISRZt009188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 13:28:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081828.h48ISRZt009188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. RECENT QUICKSCAT DATA REVEALS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ENHANCED BY A WESTERLY WIND BURST TO THE SOUTH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1S1 49.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 93.5E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3S4 93.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS BUT CONTINUES TO PERSIST. A 082147Z2 QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALED A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC). ANALYSIS OF 200 MB SHOWS THE SYSTEM TRACKING TOWARD AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/GRUBER/KLINZMANN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:15 2003 X-UIDL: 24218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL00HE53G6LJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 03:57:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48JvXpO033466 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:57:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48J4DR4011998; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:48:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 644873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:47:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48JlaG2021650 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:47:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48JlahO012413 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:47:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48JlZRH012411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:47:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 14:47:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081947.h48JlZRH012411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO24 FMEE 081800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 24/16 SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 08/05/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 952 HPA POSITION: 19.2 S / 49.1 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTORS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/80 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/05/09 AT 06 UTC: 20.1 SOUTH/ 47.8 EAST. OVERLAND 24H, VALID 2003/05/09 AT 18 UTC: 21.5 SOUTH/ 47.2 EAST. OVERLAND OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL CYCLONE MANOU IS GOING TO LAND IN MADAGASCAR, IN VICINITY OF MAHANORO. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:16 2003 X-UIDL: 24220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL00HL867GLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 04:57:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48KvBpO050371 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 04:57:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48IsUTS025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 15:49:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 646450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 15:49:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48KnfG2016318 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 15:49:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48KnfhO015028 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 15:49:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48KnfdT015027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 15:49:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 15:49:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305082049.h48KnfdT015027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 082100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 19.3S3 49.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S3 49.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.0S2 48.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.1S4 48.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 22.5S9 49.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 23.6S1 51.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.5S5 49.1E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 10 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 90 KNOTS. INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A 24 NM DIAMETER EYE CONTINUES TO PERSIST AND HAS BECOME MORE IRREGULAR. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION FROM WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK TO THE SOUTH. A TRANSITORY ANTICYCLONE SOUTHWEST OF TC 28S WILL MOVE EASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING ANTICYCLONE TO THE EAST OF TC 28S AND MERGE. THIS MERGING OF THE TWO ANTICYCLONES WILL CREATE A POLEWARD STEERING ENVIRONMENT AT THE SAME TIME AS TC 28S IS MAKING LANDFALL ON MADAGASCAR. TC 28S SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS SOUTH ALONG THE COAST BEFORE EXITING IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AND THEN SLOWLY REINTENSIFIES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AFWA MM5, NCEP AVIATION, AND UKMET EGRR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 AND 92100Z2. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:17 2003 X-UIDL: 24222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL00H9NA15LJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 06:19:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48MJkpO071540 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 06:19:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48IsUkq025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 17:03:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 648911 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 17:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48M3VG2039396 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 17:03:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48M3UhO017405 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 17:03:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48M3Umq017404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 17:03:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 17:03:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305082203.h48M3Umq017404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 082202 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N169W 06N176W 04N177W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N151W 07N149W 04N150W 02N161W 04N164W 07N164W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 26N164W 24N159W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 20N168W 19N173W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13S171W 14S175W. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 09S175W 09S170W 11S167W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S160W 07S156W 11S156W 11S163W 07S162W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 19S126W 20S129W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:17 2003 X-UIDL: 24223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL00HLXA7FLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 06:23:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48MNZpO072619 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 06:23:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48IsUoI025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 17:13:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 649346 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 17:13:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48MD5G2048518 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 17:13:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48MD1hO017727 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 17:13:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48MD1FM017726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 17:13:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 17:13:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305082213.h48MD1FM017726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 082212 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 08 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 08/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS SE ALONG 32N140W TO 20N110W. ..A TROUGH IS ALONG 111W FROM 5N TO 15N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N100W 7N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 83W AND 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 100W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 120W AND 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 79W AND 85W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Fri May 09 08:31:18 2003 X-UIDL: 24226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL00HVRFLZLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 08:20:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h490KGpO098876 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 08:20:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48IsU7g025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 19:13:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 652528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 19:13:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h490DkG2026186 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 19:13:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h490DehO020397 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 19:13:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h490De5t020395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 19:13:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 19:13:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305090013.h490De5t020395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 090010 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :20/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/09 AT 0000 UTC : 19.4 S / 49.2 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/5.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 955 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 05050 KT NE: 020 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/09 AT 12 UTC: 20.2 S/ 49.2 E MAX WIND = 055 KT 24H: 2003/05/10 AT 00 UTC: 22.0 S/ 49.5 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 36H: 2003/05/10 AT 12 UTC: 24.3 S/ 50.5 E MAX WIND = 050 KT 48H: 2003/05/11 AT 00 UTC: 26.0 S/ 52.0 E MAX WIND = 055 KT 60H: 2003/05/11 AT 12 UTC: 27.0 S/ 54.0 E MAX WIND = 055 KT 72H: 2003/05/12 AT 00 UTC: 25.5 S/ 55.5 E MAX WIND = 050 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.5 CI=5.0+ CONVECTION HAS STARTED TO WEAKEN IN THE WESTERN PART OF THE CYCLONE, SECTOR OVER LAND.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 11:42:47 2003 X-UIDL: 24248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL001CXOR3FX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 11:37:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h493biKe063049 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 11:37:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h491X4Tq025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 22:33:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 657655 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 22:33:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h493XDG2041956 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 22:33:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h493XDhO023893 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 22:33:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h493XDcq023892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 22:33:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 22:33:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305090333.h493XDcq023892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 090332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 09 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 09/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 111W/112W FROM 6N TO 14N. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N138W TO 23N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N91W 8N105W 7N120W 4N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N93W TO 9N96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 79W AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 126W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA SOUTH OF 9.5N WEST OF 82W...AND INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 3.5N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3.5N TO 5N. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N108W TO 10N112W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 14:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24267-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL001SBVWZFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 14:12:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h496CTBH015007 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 14:12:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h491X4fa025584; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 660420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4962nG2041800 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4962mhO025819 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4962mAw025817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305090602.h4962mAw025817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 14:42:48 2003 X-UIDL: 24272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL001WXX6NFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 14:40:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h496dsBH024536 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 14:39:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h496WkG2021746; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:32:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 660839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:32:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h496WiG2025588 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:32:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h496WhhO026163 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:32:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h496WhdU026161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:32:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 01:32:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305090632.h496WhdU026161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 090628 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :21/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/09 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.6 S / 49.1 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.5 /W -1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 150 SO: 100 NO: 03050 KT NE: 020 SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 010 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/09 AT 18 UTC: 20.7 S/ 49.0 E MAX WIND = 065 KT 24H: 2003/05/10 AT 06 UTC: 21.7 S/ 49.2 E MAX WIND = 060 KT 36H: 2003/05/10 AT 18 UTC: 22.5 S/ 49.9 E MAX WIND = 055 KT 48H: 2003/05/11 AT 06 UTC: 23.9 S/ 50.9 E MAX WIND = 055 KT 60H: 2003/05/11 AT 18 UTC: 25.0 S/ 52.0 E MAX WIND = 055 KT 72H: 2003/05/12 AT 06 UTC: 26.0 S/ 53.2 E MAX WIND = 055 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0- CI=4.5- NEAR THE COAST, CONVECTION HAS STRONGLY WEAKEN AND THE EYE HAS COMPLETLY DISEAPPEARED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 16:43:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24293-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001OJ2V9FX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 16:42:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h498gbBH071105 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 16:42:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h496WkKm021746; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:34:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 662222 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:34:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h498YpG2028710 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:34:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h498YohO027504 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h498YoOU027503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 03:34:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305090834.h498YoOU027503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 090900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 19.5S5 49.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 49.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.2S4 48.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.1S4 49.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.6S9 49.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.2S6 51.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.7S7 48.9E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 5 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 90 KNOTS. TC 28S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 28S IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT SKIMS THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR AND THEN REINTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT CLEARS THE COASTLINE BEFORE ENTERING A REGION OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AFWA MM5, NCEP AVIATION, AND UKMET EGRR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH NOGAPS CONTINUING TO BE THE OUTLIER WITH THE SYSTEM DISSIPATING OVER LAND. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 AND 100900Z0. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 18:22:08 2003 X-UIDL: 24296-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001CW6QRFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 18:06:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49A6FBH000584 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 18:06:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h496WkNQ021746; Fri, 09 May 2003 05:01:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 663044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 05:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49A1QG2041426 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 05:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49A1PhO028375 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 05:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49A1Pb5028374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 05:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 05:01:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305091001.h49A1Pb5028374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 091000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 06N158W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 07N168W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 13S172W 11S172W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 14S175W 13S178W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 18:22:12 2003 X-UIDL: 24297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001GN6S6FX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 18:07:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49A7CBH000947 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 18:07:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h496WkNS021746; Fri, 09 May 2003 05:02:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 663047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 05:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49A27G2024814 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 05:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49A26hO028389 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 05:02:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49A26Ql028388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 05:02:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 05:02:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305091002.h49A26Ql028388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 091001 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 09 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 09/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 113W FROM 4N TO 14N. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 116W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N135W TO 20N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N94W 9N107W 7N120W 5N133W 6N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 95W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W AND WITHIN 150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 84W AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 129W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 5.5N TO 7N...WITHIN 75/90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA 8.5N TO 10N...WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 11.5N89W TO THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR 10.5N85W... WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N102W...AND WITHIN A 34/45 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE BORDER OF ECUADOR TO 4.5N...WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 88W TO 90W...WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N93W TO JUST OFF THE COAST OF HONDURAS NEAR 14N92W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7N83W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 123W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 23:26:33 2003 X-UIDL: 24299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001AWDAZFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 20:28:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49CS0BH040606 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 20:28:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h496WkSc021746; Fri, 09 May 2003 07:21:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 664651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 07:21:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49CLPG2044404 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 07:21:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49CLOhO029674 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 07:21:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49CLOjc029672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 07:21:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 07:21:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305091221.h49CLOjc029672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 091218 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :22/16/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/09 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.6 S / 49.0 E (NINETEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W -1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 110 SO: 080 NO: 03050 KT NE: 020 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 010 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/10 AT 00 UTC: 20.4 S/ 48.8 E MAX WIND = 050 KT 24H: 2003/05/10 AT 12 UTC: 21.1 S/ 49.1 E MAX WIND = 050 KT 36H: 2003/05/11 AT 00 UTC: 21.9 S/ 49.4 E MAX WIND = 060 KT 48H: 2003/05/11 AT 12 UTC: 22.6 S/ 50.0 E MAX WIND = 060 KT 60H: 2003/05/12 AT 00 UTC: 23.5 S/ 50.8 E MAX WIND = 060 KT 72H: 2003/05/12 AT 12 UTC: 24.6 S/ 52.0 E MAX WIND = 050 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0+ CI=4.0- THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING VERY RAPIDLY NEAR THE COAST.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 00:06:27 2003 X-UIDL: 24304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001EHN5OFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 00:01:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49G0hBH099229 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:00:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49DDsgg021748; Fri, 09 May 2003 10:50:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 669385 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 10:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49FonG2039062 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 10:50:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49FomhO005750 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 10:50:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49Fomor005749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 10:50:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 10:50:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305091550.h49Fomor005749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 091550 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 09 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 09/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS INTRODUCED ALONG 87W S OF 14N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. AVAILABLE QUIKSCAT IN CONJUNCTION WITH VISIBLE IMAGERY AND SOUNDING DATA FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA AREA INDICATE A FAIRLY SHALLOW WAVE WITH VERTICAL EXTEND FROM SFC TO APPROXIMATELY 750 MB. FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED...ALBEIT BROAD...CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT ALONG THE WAVE AXIS WITH ONLY WIDELY SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION NOTED FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 86W-89W ACROSS THE WAVE AND ITCZ AXIS. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS INTRODUCED ALONG 105W S OF 14N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. OVERNIGHT QUIKSCAT DATA IN CONJUNCTION WITH FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES TODAY INDICATE BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING WITH ONLY LIMITED CONVECTION NOTED NEAR THIS WAVE AXIS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N88W 6N98W 9N107W 7N119W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 100W. DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 6N110W 7N120W S OF THE AXIS AND ALSO WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 11N111W 7N120W N OF THE AXIS. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS NEAR 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 9N85W 11N89W OFF THE W COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N90W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF 14N94W. $$ HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 01:26:35 2003 X-UIDL: 24307-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001YYQWHFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 01:21:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49HLkBH026873 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 01:21:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49DDsoO021748; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:12:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 671137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:12:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49HCYG2041338 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:12:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49HCYhO008521 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49HCYob008519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 12:12:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 091721zmay2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305091712.h49HCYob008519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO21 PGTW 091730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 091721ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.6N4 86.4E8 TO 3.3N6 92.0E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 091430Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 4.2N6 90.8E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.4E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.2N6 90.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 555 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 101730Z2. 4.RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 01:46:36 2003 X-UIDL: 24309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001IKRY5FX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 01:44:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49HiNBH034102 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 01:44:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49DDsqq021748; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 671496 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49HcfG2007922 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49HcehO009290 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49HceSj009288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305091738.h49HceSj009288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091721ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090751ZMAY2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.4E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.2N6 90.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 555 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 091730) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5S5 49.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 5 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 090900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.3S4 93.7E9 HAS DISSIPATED IN A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 01:56:35 2003 X-UIDL: 24310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001NZS1XFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 01:46:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49HkeBH034762 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 01:46:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49GD8Vk039272; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 671499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49HcfG2047072 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49HcehO009291 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49HceTf009289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 12:38:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305091738.h49HceTf009289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091721ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090751ZMAY2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 91.4E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.2N6 90.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 555 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 091730) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5S5 49.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 5 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 090900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.3S4 93.7E9 HAS DISSIPATED IN A HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 02:24:50 2003 X-UIDL: 24312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001W8TQHFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 02:23:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49IN0BH045120 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 02:23:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49DDs0s021748; Fri, 09 May 2003 13:15:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 672793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 13:15:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49IF6G2019392 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 13:15:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49IF5hO010714 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 13:15:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49IF5V5010712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 13:15:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 13:15:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305091815.h49IF5V5010712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 091811 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :23/16/20022003 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/09 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.3 S / 49.2 E (TWENTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/3.5 MOINS /W -1.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 090 SO: 070 NO: 02050 KT NE: 005 SE: 010 SO: 010 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/10 AT 06 UTC: 21.1 S/ 49.4 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 24H: 2003/05/10 AT 18 UTC: 21.9 S/ 49.8 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 36H: 2003/05/11 AT 06 UTC: 22.6 S/ 50.1 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 48H: 2003/05/11 AT 18 UTC: 23.4 S/ 50.7 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 60H: 2003/05/12 AT 06 UTC: 24.2 S/ 51.5 E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 72H: 2003/05/12 AT 18 UTC: 25.0 S/ 52.5 E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DEEP CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND MORE AND MORE POOR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 10:23:22 2003 X-UIDL: 24319-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN001OW163FX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 05:03:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49L3ZBH095507 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 05:03:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49Ke0JW021748; Fri, 09 May 2003 15:54:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 676065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 15:53:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49KrYG2010948 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 15:53:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49KrYhO016188 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 15:53:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49KrX9a016187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 15:53:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 15:53:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305092053.h49KrX9a016187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 092100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 20.0S2 49.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S2 49.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 20.5S7 49.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.3S6 49.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 21.9S2 50.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.5S9 52.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 20.1S3 49.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 10 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS AND 65 KNOTS. TC 28S HAS BEGUN TO TRACK SLOWLY POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 28S WILL BEGIN TO SPEED UP AND THEN RECURVE EASTWARD TOWARDS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE MID-LEVEL WESTERLIES. TC 28S WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AS IT SKIRTS THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR. TC 28S WILL REINTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT EXITS THE COASTLINE AND MOVES BACK OVER THE OPEN SEA. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD SO INTENSITY SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AFWA MM5, NCEP AVIATION, AND UKMET EGRR ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT. NOGAPS CONTINUES TO FORECAST THE SYSTEM OVER LAND. GFDN AND EGGR KEEP THE SYSTEM QUASISTATIONARY WHILE NCEP FORECASTS RECURVES THE SYSTEM TO THE EAST. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND CONTINUITY EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND WITH AN EMPHASIS ON THE NCEP AVIATION SOLUTION AT THE MID TO LATE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 AND 102100Z4. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 10:23:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN001LN4GXFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 06:14:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49MElBH014457 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 06:14:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49LQvPs036440; Fri, 09 May 2003 17:04:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 678118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 17:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49M0nG2030144 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 17:00:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49M0mhO018307 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 17:00:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49M0leW018306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 17:00:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 17:00:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305092200.h49M0leW018306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 092200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N176W 08N163W 04N165W 02N171W 04N180 08N179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N155W 08N141W 06N140W 04N160W 08N158W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 19N180 20N178W 20N175W 19N168W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 27N164W 25N167W 24N163W. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 16S133W 16S124W 19S120W 24S120W 20S132W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06S176E 08S180 08S175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S167W 08S160W 13S164W 08S168W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Sat May 10 10:23:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN001ME4H9FX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 06:15:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49MF5BH014538 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 06:15:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49LQvQW036440; Fri, 09 May 2003 17:07:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 678331 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 17:07:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49M7EG2046942 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 17:07:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49M7DhO018536 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 17:07:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49M7D8P018535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 17:07:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 17:07:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305092207.h49M7D8P018535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 092207 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 09 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 09/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 87W IS NOW ALONG 88W/89W S OF 14N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W IS NOW ALONG 106W S OF 14N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N90W 7N120W 5N132W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 80W...BETWEEN 87W AND 92W...AND BETWEEN 99W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 116W... BETWEEN 123W AND 126W...AND BETWEEN 128W AND 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Sat May 10 10:23:25 2003 X-UIDL: 24329-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN001TMB75FX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 08:40:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A0eBBH050662 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 08:40:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49LQvjA036440; Fri, 09 May 2003 19:29:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 681626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 19:29:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A0TpG2039866 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 19:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4A0TohO021499 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 19:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4A0ToBa021497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 19:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 19:29:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305100029.h4A0ToBa021497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 100026 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :24/16/20022003 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 16 (MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/10 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.2 S / 49.2 E (TWENTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/3.0 MOINS /W -2.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 040 SE: 070 SO: 050 NO: 010 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/10 AT 12 UTC: 20.8 S/ 49.3 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 24H: 2003/05/11 AT 00 UTC: 21.8 S/ 49.8 E MAX WIND = 045 KT 36H: 2003/05/11 AT 12 UTC: 22.8 S/ 50.5 E MAX WIND = 050 KT 48H: 2003/05/12 AT 00 UTC: 23.7 S/ 51.5 E MAX WIND = 050 KT 60H: 2003/05/12 AT 12 UTC: 24.4 S/ 52.7 E MAX WIND = 045 KT 72H: 2003/05/13 AT 00 UTC: 25.0 S/ 53.8 E MAX WIND = 045 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED ACCORDING TO THE TRRMM SATELLITE INFRARED IMAGERY THE 04/09 AT 1719UTC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Sat May 10 11:43:00 2003 X-UIDL: 24342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN00CPNJD2GA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 11:36:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A3aWBH099725 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 11:36:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49LQvAG036440; Fri, 09 May 2003 22:32:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 686113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 22:32:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A3WJG2047908 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 22:32:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4A3WIhO024604 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 22:32:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4A3WIBa024603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 22:32:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 22:32:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305100332.h4A3WIBa024603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 100332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 10 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 10/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 88W/89W IS NOW ALONG 90W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W IS NOW ALONG 107W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 117W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N133W TO 20N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N91W 8N105W 10N115W 7N125W 5N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 93.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 90/120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 94W AND WITHIN 180 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 116W...FROM 126W TO 129W...AND WITHIN 150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 111W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS FROM FROM 110W TO 114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 78W TO 82W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE BORDER OF ECUADOR TO 5N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 14:03:00 2003 X-UIDL: 24358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN00C1CPVMGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 13:57:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A5vIBH038514 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 13:57:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A5CDLs011348; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:46:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 689766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A5jvG2040496 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4A5juhO026986 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4A5juUJ026984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305100545.h4A5juUJ026984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 14:53:00 2003 X-UIDL: 24360-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN00CXSS3JGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 14:45:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A6jEBH050499 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 14:45:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A43oZQ036440; Sat, 10 May 2003 01:37:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 690706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 01:37:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A6bQG2039012 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 01:37:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4A6bQhO027686 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 01:37:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4A6bQ6f027684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 01:37:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 01:37:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305100637.h4A6bQ6f027684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 100634 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :25/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/10 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.9 S / 48.8 E (TWENTY DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.5 /W -0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 100 SO: 060 NO: 035 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SMALL 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/10 AT 18 UTC: 21.9 S/ 48.7 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 24H: 2003/05/11 AT 06 UTC: 23.1 S/ 48.9 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 36H: 2003/05/11 AT 18 UTC: 24.5 S/ 49.8 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 48H: 2003/05/12 AT 06 UTC: 25.1 S/ 51.0 E MAX WIND = 040 KT 60H: 2003/05/12 AT 18 UTC: 25.2 S/ 49.7 E MAX WIND = 035 KT 72H: 2003/05/13 AT 06 UTC: 26.0 S/ 48.0 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5+, CI=2.5-. AS THE WINDSHEAR REMAINS WEAK, THE SYSTEM HAS POTENTIAL TO REINTENSIFY. SCENARII FROM MODELS ARE VERY DIFFERENT (APR, UKMO, NGPS AND ECMWF). FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTANCE AND THEN ARP SOLUTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 17:14:02 2003 X-UIDL: 24369-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN00COMYX9GA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 17:12:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A9CeBH086156 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 17:12:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A43ohG036440; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:05:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 692564 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:05:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A95iG2011394 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:05:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4A95ihO029402 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4A95iP3029401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 04:05:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305100905.h4A95iP3029401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 20.8S0 48.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.8S0 48.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 23.0S5 49.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 25.5S2 50.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 26.3S1 52.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 26.2S0 54.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 21.4S7 49.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 25 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 55 KNOTS. TC 28S CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID TO LOW LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 28S IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY EARLY IN THE PERIOD, BUT DUE TO DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT AND AN EQUATORWARD SHIFT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. ALL MODELS HAVE TROUBLE INITIALIZING ON THE SYSTEM, BUT THEY ALL SHOW A GENERAL SOUTH THEN SOUTHEASTWARD MOTION THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND FIELD ANALYSIS OF NOGAPS, GFS, AND GFDN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 AND 110900Z1. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 17:54:10 2003 X-UIDL: 24371-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00C4K0Q3GA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 17:51:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A9pXBH095527 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 17:51:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A43oiA036440; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:46:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 692895 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A9kMG2038956 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:46:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4A9kLhO029770 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:46:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4A9kLkB029769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:46:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 04:46:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305100946.h4A9kLkB029769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 100946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 05N140W 05N145W 08N151W 04N180 AND EXTENING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90NM OF AXIS FROM 140W TO 160W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90NM OF AXIS WEST OF 170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. SHEARLINE...AXIS THROUGH 19N168W 19N180 AND EXTENDING WEST. VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 135MN OF AXIS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 22S126W 15S130W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 16S125W 20S121W 23S125W 16S125W HAS MOVED EAST AT 15KT AND DECREASED IN SIZE. FRONT THROUGH 30S140W 26S144W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT. FRONT HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 30KT. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 16S133W 16S124W 19S120W 24S120W 20S132W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 17S173W 19S172W 20S175W 17S173W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 18:04:02 2003 X-UIDL: 24372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00CNR186GA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 18:02:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AA2OBH097705 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 18:02:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A43oiQ036440; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:57:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 693008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:57:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A9vCG2018974 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:57:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4A9vBhO029873 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:57:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4A9vB8h029872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:57:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 04:57:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305100957.h4A9vB8h029872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 100957 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 10 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 10/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 90W IS NOW ALONG 91W/92W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 107W IS NOW ALONG 108W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO 20N119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 8N95W 5N102W 10N110W 7N123W 5N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 113W AND WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 92W...WITHIN 90/120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 115W...AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 133W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 112W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 83W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 13N TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA FROM EL SALVADOR TO 91.5W...WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N FROM 90W TO THE EAST COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 88W... WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 15N94W ...AND WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N135W TO 8N138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7.5N84.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 23:22:34 2003 X-UIDL: 24373-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00CGZ7QPGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 20:23:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ACN7BH025753 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 20:23:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A8ThfC008022; Sat, 10 May 2003 07:16:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 694661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 07:16:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ACGhG2017358 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 07:16:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4ACGghO001520 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 07:16:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4ACGgfl001518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 07:16:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 07:16:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305101216.h4ACGgfl001518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 101214 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :26/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16 (EX-MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/10 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.9 S / 48.8 E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.5 /W -1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 100 SO: 050 NO: 010 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SMALL 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/11 AT 00 UTC: 23.5 S/ 49.1 E MAX WIND = 030 KT 24H: 2003/05/11 AT 12 UTC: 25.0 S/ 50.0 E MAX WIND = 025 KT 36H: 2003/05/12 AT 00 UTC: 25.5 S/ 51.5 E MAX WIND = 025 KT 48H: 2003/05/12 AT 12 UTC: 25.0 S/ 51.0 E MAX WIND = 020 KT 60H: 2003/05/13 AT 00 UTC: 25.7 S/ 49.2 E FILLING UP 72H: 2003/05/13 AT 12 UTC: 26.6 S/ 47.2 E DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5+, CI=2.5-.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 23:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 24377-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00CY0GT6GA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 23:39:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AFcmBH068412 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:38:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A43o2o036440; Sat, 10 May 2003 10:32:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 697540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 10:32:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AFWlG2043080 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 10:32:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4AFWlhO003919 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 10:32:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4AFWl3Z003918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 10:32:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 10:32:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305101532.h4AFWl3Z003918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 101532 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 10 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W/92W IS NOW ALONG 93W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE WAVE AXIS HAS BEEN DISSIPATING SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 91W-98W WITHIN THE ITCZ. THE LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NW OF THE WAVE AXIS ALONG 10N BETWEEN 95W-105W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 108W IS NOW ALONG 109W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 108W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN THE ITCZ FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 106W-113W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1027 MB HIGH NEAR 37N133W SE TO 30N130W 15N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N83W 6N103W 9N110W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-83W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 100W-105W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS W OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 7N-8N BETWEEN 78W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE OFF THE COASTS OF COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA WITHIN 30NM OF A LINE FROM 8.5N86W 11N89W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 100NM OF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA BETWEEN 90W-93W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 02:19:37 2003 X-UIDL: 24380-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00CQYMWKGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 01:50:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AHocBH099568 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 01:50:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ACkH30038916; Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 700195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AHlGG2044384 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4AHlFhO005877 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4AHlFrp005875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305101747.h4AHlFrp005875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101352ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.9N6 89.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 465 NM EAST OF SRI LANKA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.2N6 90.8E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8S0 48.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 25 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 02:19:39 2003 X-UIDL: 24381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00CW9N1HGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 01:53:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AHraBH000329 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 01:53:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AHiRGA036440; Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 700191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AHlGG2044150 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4AHlFhO005878 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4AHlFeQ005876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 12:47:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305101747.h4AHlFeQ005876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101352ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.9N6 89.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 465 NM EAST OF SRI LANKA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.2N6 90.8E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8S0 48.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 25 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 100900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 02:31:50 2003 X-UIDL: 24387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00C7QOI9GA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 02:25:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AIPFBH007180 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 02:25:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AHiRIk036440; Sat, 10 May 2003 13:21:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 700876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 13:21:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AILYG2016322 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 13:21:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4AILYhO006396 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 13:21:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4AILYZj006393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 13:21:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 13:21:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305101821.h4AILYZj006393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTIO30 FMEE 101817 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER :27/16/20022003 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 16 (EX-MANOU) 2.A POSITION 2003/05/10 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9 S / 48.9 E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W -0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SMALL 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/05/11 AT 06 UTC: 24.7 S/ 49.7 E MAX WIND = 020 KT 24H: 2003/05/11 AT 18 UTC: 25.5 S/ 51.4 E DISSIPATING 36H: 2003/05/12 AT 06 UTC: 24.8 S/ 51.0 E DISSIPATED 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5, CI=2.0-.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 09:18:08 2003 X-UIDL: 24389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00C02UQ0GA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 04:39:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AKdVBH043845 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 04:39:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AIqMaU038916; Sat, 10 May 2003 15:32:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 703422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 15:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AKWrG2022298 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 15:32:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4AKWqhO008305 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 15:32:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4AKWqHd008304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 15:32:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 15:32:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305102032.h4AKWqHd008304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTXS31 PGTW 102100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (MANOU) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 22.5S9 48.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.5S9 48.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 23.3S8 49.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 22.7S1 48.8E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 28S CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN DRY AIR WHILE TRACKING SOUTHWARD VERY CLOSE TO THE MADAGASCAR EAST COAST. THE SYSTEM HAS LOST ALMOST ALL DEEP CONVECTION, AND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NOW DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE TROUBLE INITIALIZING THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND ANALYSIS OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND UKMET EGRR FIELDS SHOWING A WEAKNESS IN THE PERIPHERAL RIDGE BEHIND A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 10 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 09:18:08 2003 X-UIDL: 24391-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00CS6Y1LGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 05:51:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ALpEBH059671 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:51:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AK01Qw028830; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:47:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 705159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:47:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ALlBG2036420 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:47:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4ALlAhO009559 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:47:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4ALlAgn009558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 16:47:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305102147.h4ALlAgn009558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 102146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N159W TO 05N149W TO 06N140W AND FURTHER EAST. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 08N180 06N171W 04N180 06N178E. SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 100 NM OF THE LINE FROM 27N174W TO 30N159W AND FURTHER NORTHEAST. NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 25N163W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 20N165W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19S124W 21S121W 24S120W 24S127W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA...AND WEAKENED. FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 25S140W TO 28S137W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 15S170W TO 16S169W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 01S160W TO 02S157W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 12S164W TO 10S159W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 04S180 TO 06S178W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 09:18:08 2003 X-UIDL: 24392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00C1PYFNGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 05:59:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ALxcBH061242 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:59:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AIqMtI038916; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:56:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 705314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:56:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ALu6G2017298 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:56:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4ALu5hO009714 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4ALu5BE009713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 16:56:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305102156.h4ALu5BE009713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 102155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 10 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 10/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 93W HAS DISSIPATED. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 109W IS NOW ALONG 110W/111W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 104W-111W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1028 MB HIGH NEAR 37N133W SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N95W 7N104W 11N111W 7N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 101W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W AND 84W...BETWEEN 85W AND 88W...AND W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:27:01 2003 X-UIDL: 24397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEP00F8ZAXRV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 10:29:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B2TlIZ057617 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 10:29:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ALmtqs004908; Sat, 10 May 2003 21:23:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 711982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 21:23:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B2NNG2044458 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 21:23:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4B2NNhO014492 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 21:23:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4B2NN2V014490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 21:23:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 21:23:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305110223.h4B2NN2V014490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 110300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 9.5N4 87.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N4 87.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 10.3N4 86.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 11.1N3 85.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 12.0N3 84.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.9N2 83.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 9.7N6 87.2E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST OF SRI LANKA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS A LARGE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO), WITH WELL- DEFINED OUTFLOW POLEWARD AND EVEN BETTER OUTFLOW EQUATORWARD. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK BECOMING GRADUALLY MORE POLEWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST UNDER THE STEERING LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND UKMET EGRR REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 AND 120300Z6. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:27:02 2003 X-UIDL: 24399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEP00FJEFMYV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 12:11:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B4BHIZ079105 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:11:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ALmt8U004908; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:04:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 714556 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:04:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B44KG2029504 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:04:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4B44JhO015971 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:04:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4B44Js9015970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:04:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 23:04:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305110404.h4B44Js9015970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 110404 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 11 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 11/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W/112W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N ALONG THE WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 9N91W 10N107W 9N118W 7N135W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 110W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING...BUT STILL LINGERING...ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W AND WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:27:02 2003 X-UIDL: 24401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEP00FJMIC7V1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 13:09:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B59eIZ091068 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 13:09:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ALmtDG004908; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 715742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B4xOG2015314 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4B4xOhO016555 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4B4xNOB016553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305110459.h4B4xNOB016553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:27:03 2003 X-UIDL: 24403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEP00FAOKGLV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 13:55:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B5tSIZ001124 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 13:55:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B3i1ng038916; Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 717756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B5f9G2042820 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4B5f8hO017025 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4B5f8h7017023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305110541.h4B5f8h7017023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/110600Z/111800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101951ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 87.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST OF SRI LANKA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5S9 48.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 102100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATE PARA 1.A.(1) AND PARA 2.A.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:27:03 2003 X-UIDL: 24404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEP00FAYKGPV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 13:55:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B5tYIZ001145 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 13:55:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B3i1nc038916; Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 717753 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B5f9G2035316 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4B5f8hO017026 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4B5f8jt017024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 00:41:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305110541.h4B5f8jt017024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/110600Z/111800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101951ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 87.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST OF SRI LANKA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 28S (MANOU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5S9 48.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM FROM THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 102100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATE PARA 1.A.(1) AND PARA 2.A.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:27:04 2003 X-UIDL: 24410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEP00FFXWNJV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 18:18:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BAInIZ056034 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 18:18:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B5J2Zg004908; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:01:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 721403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BA13G2020460 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4BA13hO019744 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:01:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4BA13Cq019743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:01:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 05:01:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305111001.h4BA13Cq019743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 111000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N154W 07N150W 07N142W 04N144W 04N155W 08N155W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 20N166W 20N162W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...BROKEN SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ARE BOUNDED BY 30N152W 26N160W 25N173W 26N180 29N179W 27N170W 28N163W 30N157W. FEATURE MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W AND BOUNDED BY 17S125W 21S123W 22S120W 24S120W 24S126W 18S126W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S167W 11S164W 15S171W 18S173W 13S177W 12S170W HAVE MOVED WEST AND NORTHWEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S140W 20S140W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:27:04 2003 X-UIDL: 24411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEP00FOXWSRV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 18:22:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BALuIZ056730 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 18:22:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B5J2Zw004908; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:07:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 721525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:07:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BA7dG2017206 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:07:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4BA7dhO019831 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:07:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4BA7dEl019830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 05:07:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 05:07:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305111007.h4BA7dEl019830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 111007 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 11 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 11/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N ALONG THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 9N91W 10N107W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS EAST OF 110W...AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS WEST OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... JUST OUTSIDE THE ITCZ AND PROBABLY DIURNAL IN NATURE...ALONG COLOMBIA COAST FROM 2N TO 5N EAST OF 80W TO THE COAST. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:36:51 2003 X-UIDL: 24416-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEQ00FQO8HZV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 22:34:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BEYfIZ013054 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 22:34:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BBrjMu004912; Sun, 11 May 2003 09:24:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 725189 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 09:24:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BEOFG2033768 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 09:24:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4BEOFhO022320 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 09:24:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4BEOFmN022318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 09:24:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 09:24:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305111424.h4BEOFmN022318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 10.6N7 86.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 86.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 11.4N6 85.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 12.0N3 84.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.6N9 83.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.2N6 83.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.8N9 86.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. AN 111234Z2 SSMI IMAGE REVEALS THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS BROAD, YET WELL-ORGANIZED NEAR THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER DIFFLUENT EASTERLIES. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE STEERING LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND UKMET EGRR REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 AND 121500Z9. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 00:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 24422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEQ00F1PBNLV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 23:42:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BFgpIZ032315 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 23:42:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BBrjQK004912; Sun, 11 May 2003 10:38:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 726282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 10:38:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BFc2G2038356 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 10:38:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4BFc2hO022974 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 10:38:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4BFc2DL022973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 10:38:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 10:38:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305111538.h4BFc2DL022973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 111537 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 11 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 112W IS NOW ALONG 113W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 11N113W MOVING WNW WITH THE WAVE. CONVECTION HAS BEEN RE-FORMING JUST E OF THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 110W-113W. ..RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH NEAR 33N134W SSE TO 11N121W W OF THE TROPICAL WAVE. ..BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE EQUATOR TO 15N BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 3N81W 8N95W 6N100W 9N110W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 91W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-111W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS W OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 2N-7N BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W PARTIALLY ENHANCED BY THE ITCZ. ISOLATED MODERATE CELLS S OF COSTA RICA FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 83W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 101W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE NEAR THE TROPICAL WAVE FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 103W-109W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 01:17:41 2003 X-UIDL: 24423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEQ00F5GFW8V1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 01:14:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BHEJIZ058347 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 01:14:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BBrjUg004912; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 727225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BH8IG2038822 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4BH8HhO023804 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4BH8HMJ023802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305111708.h4BH8HMJ023802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111351ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 86.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 01:17:46 2003 X-UIDL: 24424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEQ00F90FZEV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 01:16:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BHGKIZ059118 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 01:16:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BFOxPa038916; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 727228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BH8IG2029690 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4BH8HhO023805 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4BH8H3v023803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 12:08:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305111708.h4BH8H3v023803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111351ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 86.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 05:57:38 2003 X-UIDL: 24431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEQ00F5USR7V1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 05:52:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BLqEIZ041437 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:52:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BBrjjk004912; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:46:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 732118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:46:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BLkfG2015288 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:46:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4BLkehO026999 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4BLkeQa026998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 16:46:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305112146.h4BLkeQa026998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 112146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N143W TO 08N140W AND FURTHER EAST. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N146W TO 06N143W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 04N159W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S170W TO 13S168W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08S171W TO 08S167W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13S176W TO 12S171W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 21S177E TO 25S177W. NEW ISOLATED CB PARTLY OVER LAND WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 16S178E TO 19S177W. NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07S176W TO 10S173W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 06:07:39 2003 X-UIDL: 24432-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEQ00FL2T8TV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 06:02:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BM2nIZ044199 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 06:02:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BBrjkA004912; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:59:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 732214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:59:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BLx0G2017966 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:59:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4BLx0hO027108 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:59:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4BLx0M4027107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:59:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 16:59:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305112159.h4BLx0M4027107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 112158 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 11 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 11/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 113W IS NOW FROM 16N111W TO 4N115W MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 12N113W MOVING W WITH THE WAVE. ..RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH NEAR 30N133W SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N100W 12N110W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 80W AND 82W...BETWEEN 96W AND 98W...BETWEEN 110W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 60NM WIDE BETWEEN 136W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 10:25:07 2003 X-UIDL: 24440-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HER0032A4YOJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 10:16:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C2FrIZ011410 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 10:15:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BBrj38004912; Sun, 11 May 2003 21:08:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 736584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 21:08:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C28eG2043242 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 21:08:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4C28ehO029657 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 21:08:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4C28e0b029655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 21:08:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 21:08:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305120208.h4C28e0b029655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 10.8N9 85.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 85.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 11.3N5 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 11.8N0 84.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 12.3N6 83.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.9N2 82.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.9N0 85.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANALYSIS OF ANIMATED ENHANCED IR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT SHEAR IN THE SOUTHEAST SECTOR, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) UNDER THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. LATEST UPPER AIR ANALYSES INDICATE THE SHEAR IS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG NORTHEAST FLOW FROM THE UPPER-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO RESUME A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM, SOMEWHAT SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITS AWAY FROM THE STEERING EFFECTS OF THE RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS NOW FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A LESS THAN FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, WHEREBY OUTFLOW IS COUNTERED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ABOVE 500 MB. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND UKMET EGRR REMAIN IN AGREEMENT, ALTHOUGH GFDN HAS SHIFTED FROM AN EQUATORWARD BIAS TO MORE POLEWARD THIS RUN. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 AND 130300Z7. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 12:16:56 2003 X-UIDL: 24452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HER003DSAA4J3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 12:10:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C4AjIZ050067 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:10:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BBrj6w004912; Sun, 11 May 2003 23:04:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 737622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 23:04:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C44hG2025116 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 23:04:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4C44ghO000885 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 23:04:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4C44g5N000884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 23:04:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 23:04:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305120404.h4C44g5N000884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 120404 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 12 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 12/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 16N113W 12N114W 4N115W... MOVING WEST 10 KT. 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG WAVE NEAR 12N114W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N91W 9N105W 8N124W 8N140W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 140 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W... AND WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 30-60 NM OF COAST BETWEEN 90W AT EL SALVADOR AND 96W IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 13:57:04 2003 X-UIDL: 24455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HER003JXEW0J3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 13:50:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C5oKIZ081828 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 13:50:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C0ovu4029478; Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 738919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C5fpG2018058 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4C5fohO001866 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4C5foTI001864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305120541.h4C5foTI001864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 18:16:55 2003 X-UIDL: 24480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HER003IUQTZJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 18:08:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CA8FIZ067983 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 18:08:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C7TNIc004912; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:02:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 740621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:02:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CA29G2029588 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:02:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CA28hO004046 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:02:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CA28Dq004045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:02:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 05:02:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305121002.h4CA28Dq004045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 121001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 12N140W 10N144W 07N147W 06N150W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 21S125W 24S120W 25S121W 25S126W 22S126W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S174W 09S167W 14S168W 15S172W 13S178W 09S178W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 05S180 14S178W 16S179E 13S173E 07S176E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 18:17:02 2003 X-UIDL: 24481-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HER003WXQYPJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 18:11:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CAB5IZ068972 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 18:11:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C7TNJ2004912; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:05:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 740650 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:05:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CA5tG2020690 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:05:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CA5thO004098 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:05:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CA5t6M004097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:05:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 05:05:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305121005.h4CA5t6M004097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 121005 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 12 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 12/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W/115W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG WAVE NEAR 12N115W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 7N97W 8N108W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 114W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 136W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...CUTOFF MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 14N92W JUST OFFSHORE IN SW GUATEMALA COASTAL WATERS OF EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 87W AND 96W...COVERING CENTRAL AMERICA FROM CENTRAL HONDURAS TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING AWAY FROM SHORE...CAUGHT UP IN THE ATMOSPHERIC FLOW AROUND THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER... FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR...FROM THE COAST TO 11N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 18:32:24 2003 X-UIDL: 24482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HER003GPRRNJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 18:28:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CASQIZ076843 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 18:28:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C7TNJG004912; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:17:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 740727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:17:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CAHjG2025006 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:17:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CAHjhO004189 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:17:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CAHii4004187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 05:17:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 05:17:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305121017.h4CAHii4004187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 120900 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 004A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 11.0N2 86.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N2 86.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 11.7N9 85.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 12.2N5 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 12.7N0 84.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 13.4N8 84.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 86.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS AND A GENERAL WEAKENING TREND DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANALYSIS OF ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS SHEARED FROM THE EAST. THE 120000Z3 AND CURRENT POSITS HAVE BEEN RELOCATED TO THE EAST BASED ON MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT TC 01B IS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS IN STRONG EASTERLIES. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AS A PERIPHERAL RIDGE AND A MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM PROVIDES STEERING FLOW. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND UKMET GLOBAL, REMAIN IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: RELOCATED STORM POSITION BASED ON MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND ADJUSTED FORECAST TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 AND 130900Z3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 20:37:29 2003 X-UIDL: 24487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HER003HOWXGJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 20:20:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CCJxIZ021352 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 20:20:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C7TNKm004912; Mon, 12 May 2003 07:07:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 741253 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 07:07:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CC7VG2019654 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 07:07:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CC7VhO005184 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 07:07:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CC7Vck005183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 07:07:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 07:07:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305121207.h4CC7Vck005183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 121207 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 12 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 12/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 31N131W ALONG 26N122W SE TO 22N114W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1215 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-0RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 7N100W 7N110W 7N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 112W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...CUTOFF MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED OVER SE MEXICO NEAR 14N93W. CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 87W AND 96W...COVERING CENTRAL AMERICA FROM CENTRAL HONDURAS TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 99W AND 103W. $$ AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 00:14:02 2003 X-UIDL: 24502-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HES003EU7OKJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 00:12:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CGCFIZ009553 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 00:12:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C7TNZU004912; Mon, 12 May 2003 11:02:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 744416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 11:02:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CG2oG2042102 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 11:02:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CG2ohO011925 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 11:02:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CG2oC9011924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 11:02:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 11:02:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305121602.h4CG2oC9011924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 121602 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 12 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 12/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1021 MB HIGH NEAR 29N129W ALONG 25N125W SE TO 20N118W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1545 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-0RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N90W 10N102W 9N110W 7N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 110W AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CUTOFF MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS NOTED ON SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NEAR 14N94W. CYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 87W AND 100W INCLUDING THE CENTRAL AMERICA REGION FROM CENTRAL HONDURAS TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SE MEXICO AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NOTED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS DISSIPATED. OTHER SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN N OF 12N TO INLAND GUATEMALA BETWEEN 88W-89W. $$ AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 01:44:37 2003 X-UIDL: 24506-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HES0037WBB1J3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 01:30:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CHUWIZ036947 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 01:30:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C9DDFi015358; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 745663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CHOHG2030000 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CHOAhO015024 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CHOAoj015021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305121724.h4CHOAoj015021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N4 86.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 01:44:37 2003 X-UIDL: 24507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HES003A4BD0J3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 01:31:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CHVhIZ037286 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 01:31:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C7TNf0004912; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 745660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CHOBG2029992 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CHOAhO015025 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CHOA9i015022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 12:24:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305121724.h4CHOA9i015022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N4 86.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 04:43:57 2003 X-UIDL: 24518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HES003Z4K5ZJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 04:41:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CKftIZ011902 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:41:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CIlXSQ028760; Mon, 12 May 2003 15:37:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 749590 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 15:37:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CKbUG2017168 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 15:37:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CKbThO021902 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 15:37:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CKbTmF021900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 15:37:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 15:37:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305122037.h4CKbTmF021900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMCONSUL CALCUTTA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 11.8N0 86.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 86.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 13.0N4 86.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.1N6 86.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.0N6 85.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.8N4 85.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.1N4 86.7E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BEGINNING TO RECOUPLE WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION AND INTENSIFICATION AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD INITIALLY ALONG THE PERIPHERAL RIDGE TO THE EAST AND IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO A NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY TRACK UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A DEEPENING MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, UKMET GLOBAL, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 AND 132100Z7. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 06:03:56 2003 X-UIDL: 24519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HES003FRNYBJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 06:03:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CM3gIZ039635 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 06:03:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CIlXaU028760; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:44:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 750827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:44:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CLioG2024148 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:44:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CLiohO023845 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:44:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CLioLd023844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:44:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 16:44:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305122144.h4CLioLd023844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 122144 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 12 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 12/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 115W IS NOW ALONG 116W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 28N138W TO 24N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-0RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N105W 8N113W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 60NM WIDE BETWEEN 103W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 112W AND 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 06:13:56 2003 X-UIDL: 24520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HES003M8O3PJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 06:07:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CM6wIZ040786 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 06:07:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CIlXcI028760; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:56:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 750999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CLtQG2021378 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CLtPhO024091 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CLtPHL024090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 16:55:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305122155.h4CLtPHL024090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 122155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SUB-TROPICAL JET STREAM AXIS ALONG LINE 15N180 15N150W 20N140W FORECAST TO DRIFT SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD AFTER 22 UTC 13 MAY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... LARGE AREA OF BROKEN AND OCCASIONALLY OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS GENERALLY NORTH OF 25N FROM 157W TO THE DATELINE. AREA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 12S180 12S175W 14S172W MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST 7 KT AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 12:13:19 2003 X-UIDL: 24548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HET001D550CMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 12:12:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D4C6IZ052262 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:12:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CIlXxo028760; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:06:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 756486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:06:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D46BG2025076 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:06:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4D46AhO028840 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:06:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4D46A60028839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:06:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 23:06:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305130406.h4D46A60028839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 130405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 13 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 13/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N134W TO 30N139W. DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT 30N139W BEYOND 30N140W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 118W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W/117W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-0RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 9N105W 11N108W 10N120W 8N133W 8N140W. ISOLATED CELLS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 9.5N120W AND 8N133.5W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 150-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 116W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 15N96W JUST WEST OF GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC OF MEXICO. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN HONDURAS AND EL SALVADOR FROM 13.5N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 87W AND 90W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 12:53:20 2003 X-UIDL: 24551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HET001NZ6V9MQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 12:52:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D4qCIZ064496 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:52:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CNcetS021498; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 756864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D4g6G2022442 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4D4g5hO029236 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4D4g5Cq029234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305130442.h4D4g5Cq029234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 16:23:20 2003 X-UIDL: 24574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HET001ANG73MQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 16:13:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D8DjIZ029188 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:13:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D5Q9Ni035320; Tue, 13 May 2003 03:06:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 759549 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 03:06:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D86VG2041138 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 03:06:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4D86VhO001161 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 03:06:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4D86USo001159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 03:06:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 03:06:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305130806.h4D86USo001159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 130900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMCONSUL CALCUTTA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 12.5N8 86.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 86.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 13.4N8 85.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.1N6 84.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.8N3 84.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.7N3 84.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 12.7N0 85.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM EAST OF MADRAS, INDIA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS AND THEN TO ONLY SLOWLY INTENSIFY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, UKMET GLOBAL, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 AND 140900Z4. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 17:59:57 2003 X-UIDL: 24587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HET001N4KQTMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 17:52:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D9pxIZ064600 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 17:52:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D5Q9QE035320; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:46:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 760164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:46:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D9kkG2019472 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:46:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4D9kkhO002033 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:46:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4D9kktJ002032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:46:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 04:46:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305130946.h4D9kktJ002032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 130946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 50 NM OF THE LINE FROM 29N157W TO 29N140W AND FURTHER EAST MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT. MOVEMENT HAS DECREASED CONSIDERABLY IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N142W TO 07N140W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 04N147W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N150W TO 08N148W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 16S179E TO 12S175W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 23S125W TO 25S124W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 23S132W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 25S136W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 18S143W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 17S160W TO 18S154W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 17:59:57 2003 X-UIDL: 24588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HET00175L0MMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 17:57:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D9vsIZ066554 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 17:57:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D5Q9QK035320; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:51:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 760192 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D9p1G2028866 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4D9p0hO002055 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:51:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4D9p0us002054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:51:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 04:51:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305130951.h4D9p0us002054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 130950 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 13 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 13/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N132W TO 30N136W. DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT 30N136W BEYOND 29.5N140W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W/119W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N90W 8N100W 9N112W 8N134W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W...WITHIN 150-250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 120W... AND WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 15N97W JUST WEST OF GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC OF MEXICO. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 13N TO 22N BETWEEN 90W AND 101W. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH WERE OVER PARTS OF WESTERN HONDURAS/ALL OF EL SALVADOR/SE GUATEMALA SIX HOURS AGO HAVE BEEN MOVING WNW ALONG COASTAL GUATEMALA... NOW FROM 13.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W...STILL JUST TO THE EAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W...AND DISSIPATING IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 18:09:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HET0012QLCXMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 18:05:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DA5FIZ069469 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 18:05:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D5Q9QM035320; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:59:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 760272 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:59:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D9xnG2016200 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:59:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4D9xmhO002117 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:59:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4D9xmUM002116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:59:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 04:59:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...cor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305130959.h4D9xmUM002116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 130959 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 13 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. ..CORRECTION TO SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOUT NO TROPICAL WAVES... SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. BASED ON 13/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N132W TO 30N136W. DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT 30N136W BEYOND 29.5N140W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W/119W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N90W 8N100W 9N112W 8N134W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W...WITHIN 150-250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 120W... AND WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 15N97W JUST WEST OF GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC OF MEXICO. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 13N TO 22N BETWEEN 90W AND 101W. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH WERE OVER PARTS OF WESTERN HONDURAS/ALL OF EL SALVADOR/SE GUATEMALA SIX HOURS AGO HAVE BEEN MOVING WNW ALONG COASTAL GUATEMALA... NOW FROM 13.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W...STILL JUST TO THE EAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W...AND DISSIPATING IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 00:23:39 2003 X-UIDL: 24611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEU001K02IIMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 00:15:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DGFnIZ081343 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 00:15:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D5Q9qa035320; Tue, 13 May 2003 11:03:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 766267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 11:03:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DG3DG2025128 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 11:03:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4DG3DhO010377 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 11:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4DG3DCb010376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 11:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 11:03:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305131603.h4DG3DCb010376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 131603 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 13 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT FROM 32N132W TO 30N135W WHERE IT BECOMES STATIONARY TO 29N140W. ..BROAD AREA OF WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE REGION ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 120W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROUGH INTRODUCED ALONG 91W/92W S OF 12N MOVING W 10-15 KT WAS INITIATED FROM THE MIDDLE/UPPER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MENTIONED BELOW UNDER ELSEWHERE SECTION. THE TROUGH IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NOTED BY CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE LOW CLOUDS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 6N105W 8N115W 8N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 137W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR 16N99W IS MOVING WNW 15 KT. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS SEEN FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 91W AND 103W. THE CIRCULATION IS ENHANCING SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION N OF 14N BETWEEN 93W-95W...AND SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 11.5N91W 12N94W. SIMILAR CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 11N110W 11N114W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 8N84W. $$ AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 01:51:44 2003 X-UIDL: 24619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEU001PS61XMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 01:32:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DHWHIZ005387 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:32:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DDnlBE021248; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 768121 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DHQ6G2029650 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4DHQ5hO013222 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4DHQ5Bj013220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305131726.h4DHQ5Bj013220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130600Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N0 85.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM EAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 01:51:44 2003 X-UIDL: 24620-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEU001PX61ZMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 01:32:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DHWJIZ005398 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:32:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DHIYGu035322; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 768124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DHQ7G2010896 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4DHQ5hO013223 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4DHQ5ZU013221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 12:26:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305131726.h4DHQ5ZU013221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130600Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N0 85.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM EAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 06:33:37 2003 X-UIDL: 24631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEU001K9F9CMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 04:51:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DKp9IZ067853 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 04:51:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DHIYjY035322; Tue, 13 May 2003 15:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 773268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 15:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DKjlG2038762 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 15:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4DKjkhO020268 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 15:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4DKjkR3020265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 15:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 15:45:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305132045.h4DKjkR3020265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 132100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMCONSUL CALCUTTA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 13.1N5 85.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 85.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.3N8 86.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.5N1 86.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.5N2 86.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 17.2N0 86.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 13.4N8 85.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM EAST OF MADRAS, INDIA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS FULLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS THE LLCC IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DECOUPLED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO ENHANCED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, UKMET GLOBAL, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 06:33:38 2003 X-UIDL: 24632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEU001LHG4FMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 05:09:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DL9nIZ072825 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 05:09:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DHIYme035322; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:03:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 773727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:03:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DL3EG2016658 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:03:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4DL3DhO020964 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4DL3DS4020962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 16:03:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305132103.h4DL3DS4020962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 132103 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 13 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 13/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 31N129W TO 28N125W WHERE IT BECOMES STATIONARY TO BEYOND 28N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 122W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE WAVE CONTINUES ITS DOWNWARD TREND WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION AND LITTLE SATELLITE SIGNATURE. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON CONTINUITY. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W S OF 12N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A 1008 MB LOW NEAR 9N. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE/LOW IS QUITE BROAD WITH LITTLE INDICATION OF SHORT TERM DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THE FEATURE IS PRODUCING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 91W-98W AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 90W-94W. MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY IS BEING AIDED BY A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO. ..ELSEWHERE...BROAD HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS BETWEEN THE ITCZ AND AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH A NARROW RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 26N133W TO 20N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2015 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N97W 8N100W 9N110W 9N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 110W-120W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 132W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM CENTRAL CALIFORNIA TO BEYOND 25N140W AND ASSOCIATED SUBTROPICAL JET TO 100 KT FROM 18N140W TO S CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING MODEST MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION OVER THE EXTREME N BAJA PENINSULA AND N MEXICO INTO THE SW UNITED STATES. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST ACAPULCO IS MOVING WNW NEAR 15 KT. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE E OF LOW CONTINUES TO AID CONVECTION S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AS WELL AS WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER GUATEMALA AND THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC IN S MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 06:33:38 2003 X-UIDL: 24634-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEU001XAISGMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 06:07:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DM7JIZ087318 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 06:07:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DLj8Jg021248; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:56:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 775173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DLtXG2040978 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4DLtWhO022322 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4DLtWcB022321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 16:55:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305132155.h4DLtWcB022321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 132155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 28N140W 27N153W MOVED SOUTH 5-10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN AND OCCASIONALLY OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N150W 10N140W 05N140W EXTEND EASTWARD AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35 NM OF LINE 03N174W 05N164W ARE NEWLY FORMED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 19S155W 12S175W DRIFTING WEST SLOWLY. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... WEAK FRONT...THROUGH 26S170W 26S177W 25S180 MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 12:56:04 2003 X-UIDL: 24654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEU00JJBZN79Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 12:11:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E4BQIZ089601 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:11:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E1tvOe035322; Tue, 13 May 2003 23:07:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 782307 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 23:07:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E47IG2018128 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 23:07:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4E47HhO027994 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 23:07:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4E47HFO027993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 23:07:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 23:07:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305140407.h4E47HFO027993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 140406 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 14 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. BASED ON 14/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 33N129W...TO 29N130W 27N135W BEYOND 27N140W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W/95W SOUTH OF 12N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-70 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 95W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 123W/124W SOUTH OF 12N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N79W 8N92W 9N104W 9N119W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-70 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 95W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 220 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 120W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME BEING SHEARED DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW...WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 33N128W...ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N129W. JET STREAM WITHIN 250-325 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 14N140W 17N135W 25N127W BEYOND 33N117W. 80-100 KT WIND SPEEDS IN THE CORE OF THE JET ACCORDING TO 14/0000 UTC CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA. SOME OF THE ITCZ CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BETWEEN 130W AND 140W IS BEING SHEARED TO THE NORTH BECAUSE OF THE UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW...FLOWING INTO THE JET STREAM. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 14:15:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEV00IBV58WDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 14:12:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E6CTIZ031538 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 14:12:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E2K6kW021248; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 784352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E61IG2033790 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4E61HhO029050 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4E61Hfn029048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305140601.h4E61Hfn029048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 4.6N0 138.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF PALAU, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 16:15:54 2003 X-UIDL: 24669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEV00IZHAWADE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 16:14:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E8EQIZ073483 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 16:14:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E1tveg035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 03:00:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 785659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 03:00:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E80BG2019456 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 03:00:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4E80BhO000096 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 03:00:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4E80Btx000094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 03:00:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 03:00:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305140800.h4E80Btx000094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 140900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMCONSUL CALCUTTA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 14.4N9 86.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 86.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.3N9 86.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.9N5 85.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.4N1 85.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 17.0N8 86.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 86.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS FULLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS THE LLCC REMAINS DECOUPLED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION IN AN ENHANCED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 AND 150900Z5. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 17:55:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEV00IXDFGXDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 17:53:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E9rGIZ008588 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 17:53:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E1tviA035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 04:46:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 786798 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 04:46:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E9kaG2044566 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 04:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4E9kZhO001027 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 04:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4E9kZMJ001026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 04:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 04:46:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305140946.h4E9kZMJ001026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 140946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 27N152W TO 28N140W AND FURTHER EAST MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 10N142W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 10N145W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09N149W TO 09N147W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 07N151W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 10N154W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 07N158W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 09N163W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 07N166W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 06N172W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 05N175W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 08N178W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 04N179E TO 04N178W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 17S156W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14S159W 19S158W 18S162W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 18S180 TO 18S174W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 18:25:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEV00JDHGU39Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 18:22:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EAMiIZ017766 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 18:22:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E1tvjo035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 05:16:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 787092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 05:16:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EAGmG2049122 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 05:16:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4EAGmhO001383 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 05:16:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4EAGmHZ001382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 05:16:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 05:16:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305141016.h4EAGmHZ001382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 141016 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 14 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. BASED ON 14/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM 1016 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 32N128W...TO 28N130W BEYOND 27N140W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W/96W SOUTH OF 12N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N ALONG WAVE. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 70 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 96W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N93W 8N115W 10N131W 10N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF 7N77W...FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 79W AND 80W... WITHIN 70 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 96W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 124W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 133W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...BEING SHEARED DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW...FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 34N125W...ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 32N128W. JET STREAM WITHIN 250-325 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 18N140W 23N127W BEYOND 32N117W. 80-100 KT WIND SPEEDS IN THE CORE OF THE JET BETWEEN 120W AND 130W ACCORDING TO 14/0600 UTC CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA. SOME OF THE ITCZ CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY BETWEEN 130W AND 140W IS BEING SHEARED TO THE NORTH BECAUSE OF THE UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 00:57:33 2003 X-UIDL: 24690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEV00JF6X4LT3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 00:14:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EGEbIZ020858 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:14:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EAuD7K021248; Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 792286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EG6WG2005052 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4EG6VhO009667 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4EG6VTB009666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305141606.h4EG6VTB009666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 141606 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 14 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. BASED ON 14/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W SOUTH OF 12N WITH 1009 MB LOW ON WAVE AXIS NEAR 9.5N96W IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM E WAVE AXIS FROM 7N TO 9N. ..WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS OVER NORTHWEST PORTION OF REGION FROM 32N124W ALONG 28N130W TO 27N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1545 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 7N100W 7N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W-131W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE ITCZ AXIS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 6N112W 4N118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... 1018 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED NORTH OF THE AREA NEAR 32N132W MOVING SOUTH 15-20 KT. AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10N89W 10N92W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 6N-8N E OF 78W TO INLAND COLOMBIA. POSSIBLE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A JETSTREAM FROM 12N-19N WEST OF 127W. $$ AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 00:57:34 2003 X-UIDL: 24691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEV00JWFX549Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 00:15:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EGF0IZ020945 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:15:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E1tv9c035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 792278 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EG69G2028814 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4EG68hO009644 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4EG68eb009643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 11:06:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305141606.h4EG68eb009643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 141605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 14 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. BASED ON 14/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W SOUTH OF 12N WITH 1009 MB LOW ON WAVE AXIS NEAR 9.5N96W IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM E WAVE AXIS FROM 7N TO 9N. ..WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS OVER NEW PORTION OF REGION FROM 32N124W ALONG 28N130W TO 27N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1545 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 7N100W 7N120W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W-131W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE ITCZ AXIS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 6N112W 4N118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... 1018 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED NORTH OF THE AREA NEAR 32N132W MOVING SOUTH 15-20 KT. AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10N89W 10N92W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 6N-8N E OF 78W TO INLAND COLOMBIA. POSSIBLE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A JETSTREAM FROM 12N-19N WEST OF 127W. $$ AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 02:16:52 2003 X-UIDL: 24694-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEW00JYT1989Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 01:43:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHhpIZ060455 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 01:43:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHHfIM035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 793911 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHZpG2024184 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4EHZmhO013366 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4EHZlVH013362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305141735.h4EHZlVH013362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 86.0E4, 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 140900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 02:16:52 2003 X-UIDL: 24695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEW00J6L1CKT3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 01:45:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHjqIZ061127 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 01:45:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHHfIQ035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:36:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 793914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHZpG2034868 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4EHZmhO013367 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4EHZmu3013363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 12:35:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305141735.h4EHZmu3013363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 86.0E4, 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 140900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 05:11:13 2003 X-UIDL: 24701-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEW00J8OAQ1T3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 05:08:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EL8NIZ021733 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:08:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHHfb8035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 15:59:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 797774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 15:59:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EKxEG2020262 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 15:59:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4EKxDhO020861 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 15:59:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4EKxDpw020859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 15:59:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 15:59:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305142059.h4EKxDpw020859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 14.8N3 86.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 86.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.4N0 86.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.7N3 86.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.2N9 86.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.7N4 86.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.9N4 86.7E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH NEW DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN THE SOUTHWEST AND NORTHWEST SECTORS OF THE SYSTEM. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A MEANDERING TRACK NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY, AS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT IS HAMPERED BY THE CONTINUED COUNTERACTION OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL SHEAR. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE EFFECTS OF SHEAR BECOME LESSENED AS THE SYSTEM GAINS LATITUDE, STILL BELOW THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS, AND UKMET EGRR MODELS ARE IN WIDE DISAGREEMENT, BASED ON RECENT SYSTEM DE-COUPLING. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 AND 152100Z9. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 06:13:47 2003 X-UIDL: 24706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEW00JI4DMNT3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 06:11:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EMB6IZ038845 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 06:11:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHHfhC035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 17:01:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 799112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 17:01:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EM1rG2019632 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 17:01:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4EM1rhO022596 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 17:01:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4EM1q6U022595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 17:01:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 17:01:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305142201.h4EM1q6U022595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 142200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 08N159W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF POINT 06N170W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF POINT 07N174W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 18S155W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 12:17:43 2003 X-UIDL: 24728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEW00JW0UH4T3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 12:15:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4EtIZ043288 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:14:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHHfE2035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 23:09:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 806068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 23:09:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F49aG2044076 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 23:09:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4F49ZhO028597 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 23:09:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4F49Zne028596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 23:09:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 23:09:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305150409.h4F49Zne028596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 150409 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 15 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 15/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W/103W SOUTH OF 15N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER FROM 10N TO 11N ALONG THE WAVE. NEARBY ITCZ SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROUGH...FROM ALREADY DISSIPATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY... FROM 31N135W BEYOND 28N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 10N100W 7N123W 8N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 93W...AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 96W AND 100W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 200-250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 23N142W. JET STREAM...AS INDICATED BY 15/0000 UTC CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA...80-110 KT WIND...FROM 16N TO 28N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. UPPER LEVEL WIND MAXIMA ELSEWHERE...50-60 KT WIND...WITHIN 250-300 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 14N140W 23N128W BEYOND 30N113W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 27N BETWEEN 126W AND 140W. ALSO...ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM EL SALVADOR NEAR 89W TO MEXICO NEAR 100W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 13:21:47 2003 X-UIDL: 24733-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEW00JT2XJET3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 13:21:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F5LCIZ063967 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 13:21:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4ZtLA035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:11:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 807525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:04:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F54sG2043734 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:04:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4F54rhO029483 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:04:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4F54rQb029481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:04:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 00:04:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305150504.h4F54rQb029481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.6N0 138.1E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.6N0 130.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 294 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 20:49:15 2003 X-UIDL: 24764-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00JTNFTIT3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 19:56:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FBtpIZ089985 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 19:55:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4ZtV8035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:38:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 810586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F9c6G2030118 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:38:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4F9c5hO002574 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4F9c5LD002572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 04:38:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305150938.h4F9c5LD002572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 15.2N8 86.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 86.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.6N2 86.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.1N8 86.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.7N4 86.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 17.5N3 87.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 86.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 150530Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH NEW CONVECTION FORMING IN THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY, AS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT IS HAMPERED BY THE CONTINUED COUNTERACTION OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL SHEAR. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE EFFECTS OF SHEAR WILL BECOME LESS AS THE SYSTEM GAINS LATITUDE, STILL BELOW THE AXIS OF THE RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND UKMET EGRR MODELS ARE IN WIDE DISAGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 AND 160900Z6. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 20:49:15 2003 X-UIDL: 24765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00J3YFZKT3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 19:59:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FBxVIZ090866 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 19:59:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4ZtVM035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:55:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 810719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F9tdG2029960 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4F9tchO002724 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4F9tcr2002723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 04:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305150955.h4F9tcr2002723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 150955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 08N180 09N150W. UPPER LOW...NEAR 24N141W MOVING NORTHEAST 10-15 KT. ASSOCIATED BAND OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 10N148W 13N140W EXTENDS NORTHEASTWARD. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 30N180 28N178E MOVING EAST 25-30 KT. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS ALONG THE CONVERGENCE ZONE. FRONT FOLLOWING 255 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CONVERGENCE CLOUD BAND. JOHNSTON ISLAND... UPPER TROUGH...ALONG LINE 21N174W 20N164W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. SPARSE...ISOLATED TCU BETWEEN 16N AND 23N WEST OF 170W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 22N169W 20N165W MOVED WEST AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 25S157W 23S170W MOVING EAST 20 KT. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 22S180 26S170W MOVED NORTH 5 KT. ISOLATED CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE REMAIN SPARSE AND WEAKENED. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 225 NM SOUTH OF CONVERGENCE ZONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 20:49:16 2003 X-UIDL: 24767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00JNYHMVT3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 20:35:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FCYxIZ000264 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 20:35:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4ZtVO035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:05:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 810738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:05:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FA5GG2039092 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:05:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FA5GhO002839 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:05:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FA5GZp002838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:05:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 05:05:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151005.h4FA5GZp002838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 151004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 15 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 15/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W/104W SOUTH OF 15N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NEARBY ITCZ SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 11N99W 9N110W 8N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS...SOME DISSIPATING DURING LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 24N141W. JET STREAM...AS INDICATED BY 15/0000 UTC CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA...80-110 KT WIND...FROM 16N TO 28N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. UPPER LEVEL WIND MAXIMA ELSEWHERE...50-60 KT WIND...WITHIN 250-350 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 14N140W 25N123W...AND WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N123W BEYOND 30N113W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 27N BETWEEN 126W AND 140W. ALSO...ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 98W...INCLUDING IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 21:09:05 2003 X-UIDL: 24770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00JVWIT1T3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 21:00:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FD0MIZ012562 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 21:00:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F2hhFY024356; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:50:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 811047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FAo8G2038840 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FAo7hO003355 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FAo7I5003354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 05:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 05:50:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151050.h4FAo7I5003354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 151049 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU MAY 15 2003 TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE 2003 EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON. ON AVERAGE...THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE BASIN PRODUCES 15 NAMED STORMS AND 9 HURRICANES A YEAR. THE SEASON WILL OFFICIALLY END ON NOVEMBER 30TH. THE FOLLOWING LIST OF NAMES WILL BE USED IN 2003: NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION ------------------------------------------------------------- ANDRES AHN DRASE MARTY BLANCA BLAHN KAH NORA CARLOS OLAF OH LAHF DOLORES PATRICIA ENRIQUE EN REE KAY RICK FELICIA FA LEE SHA SANDRA GUILLERMO GEE YER MO TERRY HILDA VIVIAN IGNACIO EEG NAH CIO WALDO JIMENA HE MAY NA XINA ZEE NAH KEVIN YORK LINDA ZELDA ZEL DAH THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...IS ISSUED FOUR TIMES A DAY...AT 4 AM...10 AM...4 PM AND 10 PM PACIFIC TIME. IT BRIEFLY DESCRIBES SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORMATION. A SEPARATE PRODUCT...THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT...MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE STRONG...FORMATIVE WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE NOT YET REACHED TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT IS ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WOPZ41 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIADSAEP. A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...AND THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ARE ALSO ISSUED FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES THREATENING LAND AREAS. IN ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS. AN ADDITIONAL PRODUCT...OF WHICH USERS MAY BE LESS FAMILIAR...IS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ61 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP. CURRENTLY...THERE ARE NO WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT POSE A THREAT OF TROPICAL STORM FORMATION THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 21:39:05 2003 X-UIDL: 24773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00EI4KIE6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 21:37:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FDbAIZ030268 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 21:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4ZtZI035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 07:35:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 812117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 07:35:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FCZ2G2017244 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 07:35:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FCZ1hO004708 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 07:35:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FCZ1Gu004706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 07:35:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 07:35:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151235.h4FCZ1Gu004706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 151233 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 15 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W/104W SOUTH OF 15N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NEARBY ITCZ SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 11N99W 9N110W 8N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS...SOME DISSIPATING DURING LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 24N141W. JET STREAM...AS INDICATED BY 15/0000 UTC CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA...80-110 KT WIND...FROM 16N TO 28N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. UPPER LEVEL WIND MAXIMA ELSEWHERE...50-60 KT WIND...WITHIN 250-350 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 14N140W 25N123W...AND WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 25N123W BEYOND 30N113W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 27N BETWEEN 126W AND 140W. ALSO...ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 98W...INCLUDING IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 23:44:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00EIBQ9N6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 23:41:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FFfWIZ090551 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 23:41:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4Zts6035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 815434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FFa9G2024890 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FFa9hO010258 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FFa9va010255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151536.h4FFa9va010255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 151600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ EXERCISE EXERCISE EXERCISE 1. HURRICANE 81C (MAKANI) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 22.3N7 157.6W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 157.6W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.7N3 158.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 27.1N0 156.5W7 //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 23:59:19 2003 X-UIDL: 24784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00E7GQM06O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 23:49:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FFmwIZ094370 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 23:49:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FAu1xG024356; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 815429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FFa7G2024888 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FFa7hO010247 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FFa74O010246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 10:36:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151536.h4FFa74O010246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PHNC 151600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ EXERCISE EXERCISE EXERCISE 1. HURRICANE 81C (MAKANI) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 22.3N7 157.6W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 157.6W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.7N3 158.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 27.1N0 156.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 29.1N2 154.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 29.8N9 152.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 29.9N0 150.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151500Z3 POSITION NEAR 22.3N7 157.6W9. HURRICANE 81C (MAKANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151500Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 60 TO 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151500Z2 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152000Z8, 160400Z1, 161000Z8 AND 161600Z4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CHANGED STATION ID FROM PGTW TO PHNC IN MANOP HEADER. ***EXERCISE EXERCISE EXERCISE***// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 00:09:08 2003 X-UIDL: 24785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00E4VRIP6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 00:08:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FG8YIZ004732 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:08:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4Ztug035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:55:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 816146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:55:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FFtLG2045898 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:55:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FFtLhO010969 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FFtL1G010968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 10:55:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151555.h4FFtL1G010968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 151554 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 15 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS FROM 8N-14N EAST OF THE WAVE AXIS TO 100W. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 32N135W 25N125W TO 21N119W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVER THE AREA NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 10N100W 8N110W 7N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 85W-89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 93W-95W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W-118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 25N140W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST 15-20 KT. JET STREAM BRANCH ENTERS REGION NEAR 18N140W AND CURVES NORTHWARD ALONG 22N136W 27N135W EXITING THE REGION AT 32N133W. MAXIMUM WINDS IN THE 90-110 KT ARE BEING REPORTED IN THE JETSTREAM BY AIRCRAFT AND NOTED ALSO IN SATELLITE DERIVED WIND DATA ANALYSIS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING. THE JETSTREAM IS ATTENDED BY BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE JETSTREAM TO ABOUT 125W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION CONFINED OVER THE EASTERN PORTION NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 09:03:16 2003 X-UIDL: 24789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00EMSTVB6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 00:59:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FGxGIZ036288 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:59:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4Zt2S035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 11:50:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 817371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 11:50:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FGoDG2017164 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 11:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FGoDhO013057 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 11:50:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FGoD2n013056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 11:50:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 11:50:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151650.h4FGoD2n013056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 151649 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU MAY 15 2003 TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE 2003 EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON. ON AVERAGE...THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE BASIN PRODUCES 15 NAMED STORMS AND 9 HURRICANES A YEAR. THE SEASON WILL OFFICIALLY END ON NOVEMBER 30TH. THE FOLLOWING LIST OF NAMES WILL BE USED IN 2003: NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION ------------------------------------------------------------- ANDRES AHN DRASE MARTY BLANCA BLAHN KAH NORA CARLOS OLAF OH LAHF DOLORES PATRICIA ENRIQUE EN REE KAY RICK FELICIA FA LEE SHA SANDRA GUILLERMO GEE YER MO TERRY HILDA VIVIAN IGNACIO EEG NAH CIO WALDO JIMENA HE MAY NA XINA ZEE NAH KEVIN YORK LINDA ZELDA ZEL DAH THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...IS ISSUED FOUR TIMES A DAY...AT 4 AM...10 AM...4 PM AND 10 PM PACIFIC TIME. IT BRIEFLY DESCRIBES SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORMATION. A SEPARATE PRODUCT...THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT...MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE STRONG...FORMATIVE WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE NOT YET REACHED TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT IS ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WOPZ41 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIADSAEP. A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...AND THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ARE ALSO ISSUED FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES THREATENING LAND AREAS. IN ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS. AN ADDITIONAL PRODUCT...OF WHICH USERS MAY BE LESS FAMILIAR...IS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ61 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP. CURRENTLY...THERE ARE NO WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT POSE A THREAT OF TROPICAL STORM FORMATION THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 09:03:17 2003 X-UIDL: 24791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00ECLUMN6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 01:16:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FHFiIZ048007 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 01:15:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4Zt4K035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:07:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 817660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:07:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FH6xG2028952 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:07:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FH6xhO013651 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:06:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FH6xVj013649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:06:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 12:06:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151706.h4FH6xVj013649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N8 86.4E8, 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 150900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 09:03:17 2003 X-UIDL: 24792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00EEEUNP6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 01:16:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FHGMIZ048509 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 01:16:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FGUKKw024356; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:07:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 817663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:07:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FH6xG2016002 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:07:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FH6xhO013652 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:06:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FH6x2O013650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 12:06:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 12:06:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151706.h4FH6x2O013650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N8 86.4E8, 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 150900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 09:03:28 2003 X-UIDL: 24805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY00EAC6WI6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 05:41:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FLekIZ069555 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 05:40:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FI01uW019152; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:14:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 823213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:14:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FLE8G2042084 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:14:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FLE7hO025900 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:14:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FLE7sw025898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:14:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 16:14:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305152114.h4FLE7sw025898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 152100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 14.8N3 86.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - NEARLY STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 86.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.0N6 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 15.3N9 87.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.5N1 87.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.7N3 88.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.8N3 86.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH MOST DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN THE SOUTHWEST SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE MID-LEVEL SHEAR, WITH THE LLCC REMAINING LOCATED UNDER THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO). TC 01B IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID- LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM, SLIGHTLY INTENSIFYING IN THE SHORT TERM AND THEN HOLDING STEADY AS DIVERGENCE ALOFT REMAINS CHECKED BY MID-LEVEL SHEAR. AS THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST BEGINS TO WEAKEN IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING SHORTWAVE TROUGH, TC 01B WILL BEGIN TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST, GRADUALLY INCREASING SPEED OF ADVANCE THROUGH THE FORECAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND UKMET EGRR MODELS ARE NOW IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GFDN WHICH CONTINUES TO INTERACT THE SYSTEM WITH THERMAL LOWS OVER INDIA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON THE GFDN SOLUTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 AND 162100Z0. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 09:03:29 2003 X-UIDL: 24807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY00EV37G46O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 05:52:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FLqXIZ072190 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 05:52:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FIWeea035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:41:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 823742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:41:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FLf6G2045106 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:41:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FLf6hO026723 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:41:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FLf6m9026722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:41:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 16:41:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305152141.h4FLf6m9026722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 152140 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 15 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 15/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W IS NOW ALONG 105W/106W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. A 1009 MB LOW IS LOCATED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 11N106W MOVING SLIGHTLY N OF DUE W. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE HAS BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF TSTMS ORIENTED PRIMARILY E OF THE LOW. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 98W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CLOSER TO THE ITCZ FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 103W-106W. NEW CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO FORM JUST W OF THE LOW WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CELLS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 107W-112W. ..RIDGE AXIS ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 37N140W EXTENDING SE TO 29N122W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N83W 9N90W 9N103W 7N116W 8N124W 4N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 100NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA BETWEEN 77W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE S OF GUATEMALA AND THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 91W-96W. EXTENSIVE BROKEN HIGH CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER/MIDDLE LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND JET STREAM FROM THE ITCZ TO 31N BETWEEN 120W-140W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 09:03:29 2003 X-UIDL: 24809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY00EUC83A6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 06:06:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FM6WIZ075703 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 06:06:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FIWehw035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 17:01:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 824211 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 17:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FM18G2014964 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 17:01:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FM17hO027302 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 17:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FM17nj027301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 17:01:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 17:01:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305152201.h4FM17nj027301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 152200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 12N162W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 19S159W 21S155W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 15S175W. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 09:03:29 2003 X-UIDL: 24810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY00ELI9U16O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 06:44:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FMiAIZ083098 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 06:44:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FIWeko035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 17:35:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 824892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 17:35:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FMZtG2044204 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 17:35:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FMZthO027986 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 17:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FMZs9p027985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 17:35:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 17:35:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305152235.h4FMZs9p027985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 152235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU MAY 15 2003 TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE 2003 EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON. ON AVERAGE...THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE BASIN PRODUCES 15 NAMED STORMS AND 9 HURRICANES A YEAR. THE SEASON WILL OFFICIALLY END ON NOVEMBER 30TH. THE FOLLOWING LIST OF NAMES WILL BE USED IN 2003: NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION ------------------------------------------------------------- ANDRES AHN DRASE MARTY BLANCA BLAHN KAH NORA CARLOS OLAF OH LAHF DOLORES PATRICIA ENRIQUE EN REE KAY RICK FELICIA FA LEE SHA SANDRA GUILLERMO GEE YER MO TERRY HILDA VIVIAN IGNACIO EEG NAH CIO WALDO JIMENA HE MAY NA XINA ZEE NAH KEVIN YORK LINDA ZELDA ZEL DAH THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...IS ISSUED FOUR TIMES A DAY...AT 4 AM...10 AM...4 PM AND 10 PM PACIFIC TIME. IT BRIEFLY DESCRIBES SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORMATION. A SEPARATE PRODUCT...THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT...MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE STRONG...FORMATIVE WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE NOT YET REACHED TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT IS ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WOPZ41 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIADSAEP. A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...AND THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ARE ALSO ISSUED FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES THREATENING LAND AREAS. IN ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS. AN ADDITIONAL PRODUCT...OF WHICH USERS MAY BE LESS FAMILIAR...IS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ61 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OT TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 12:18:00 2003 X-UIDL: 24830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY00E8PO8I6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 11:55:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G3tHIZ076320 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 11:55:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G311Jm035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 22:44:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 830217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 22:44:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G3iwG2017800 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 22:44:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G3iwhO007133 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 22:44:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G3iv50007132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 22:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 22:44:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160344.h4G3iv50007132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 160344 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU MAY 15 2003 TODAY MARKS THE FIRST DAY OF THE 2003 EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON. ON AVERAGE...THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE BASIN PRODUCES 15 NAMED STORMS AND 9 HURRICANES A YEAR. THE SEASON WILL OFFICIALLY END ON NOVEMBER 30TH. THE FOLLOWING LIST OF NAMES WILL BE USED IN 2003: NAME PRONUNCIATION NAME PRONUNCIATION ------------------------------------------------------------- ANDRES AHN DRASE MARTY BLANCA BLAHN KAH NORA CARLOS OLAF OH LAHF DOLORES PATRICIA ENRIQUE EN REE KAY RICK FELICIA FA LEE SHA SANDRA GUILLERMO GEE YER MO TERRY HILDA VIVIAN IGNACIO EEG NAH CIO WALDO JIMENA HE MAY NA XINA ZEE NAH KEVIN YORK LINDA ZELDA ZEL DAH THIS PRODUCT...THE TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...IS ISSUED FOUR TIMES A DAY...AT 4 AM...10 AM...4 PM AND 10 PM PACIFIC TIME. IT BRIEFLY DESCRIBES SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND THEIR POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL STORM FORMATION. A SEPARATE PRODUCT...THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT...MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO DESCRIBE STRONG...FORMATIVE WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT HAVE NOT YET REACHED TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. THE SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT IS ISSUED UNDER THE WMO HEADER WOPZ41 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIADSAEP. A STANDARD PACKAGE OF PRODUCTS...CONSISTING OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...AND THE CYCLONE DISCUSSION...IS ISSUED EVERY SIX HOURS FOR ALL ONGOING TROPICAL CYCLONES. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ARE ALSO ISSUED FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES THREATENING LAND AREAS. IN ADDITION...A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE MAY BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME TO ADVISE OF SIGNIFICANT UNEXPECTED CHANGES OR TO MODIFY WATCHES OR WARNINGS. AN ADDITIONAL PRODUCT...OF WHICH USERS MAY BE LESS FAMILIAR...IS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE IS A BRIEF STATEMENT TO INFORM OF SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE OR TO POST OR CANCEL WATCHES OR WARNINGS. IT IS USED IN LIEU OF OR TO PRECEDE THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY PACKAGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES...WHICH CAN BE ISSUED AT ANY TIME...CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ61 KNHC...AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OT TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 12:26:36 2003 X-UIDL: 24838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY00EXRPLZ6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 12:25:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G4P9IZ087577 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:25:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G311M6035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 23:15:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 830647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 23:15:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G4FXG2026994 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 23:15:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G4FXhO007599 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 23:15:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G4FX9D007598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 23:15:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 23:15:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160415.h4G4FX9D007598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 160415 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 16 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W/106W IS NOW ALONG 106W/107W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. A 1007 MB LOW IS LOCATED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 11N106W. ..RIDGE AXIS ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N132W EXTENDING SE TO 15N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 12N105W 8N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 85W AND 90W....AND BETWEEN 93W AND 100W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS 300 NM WIDE BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 17:25:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY003K5TIQIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 13:49:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G5nVIZ015567 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 13:49:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G311V6035322; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 832131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G5bBG2015800 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G5bBhO008860 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G5bBhY008858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160537.h4G5bBhY008858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.6N0 130.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 294 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED. RECENT SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS WEAKENING CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS NO LONGER EXISTS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9.0S9 110.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 17:25:26 2003 X-UIDL: 24848-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY00EISUVC6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 14:18:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G6IiIZ024903 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 14:18:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G5JCJq019152; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 832297 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G5vlG2020724 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G5vlhO009102 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G5vlmi009100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160557.h4G5vlmi009100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.6N0 130.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 294 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED. RECENT SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS WEAKENING CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS NO LONGER EXISTS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9.0N9 110.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED POSITION FROM S TO N IN PARA 1.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 17:45:18 2003 X-UIDL: 24868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ003ZB4F1IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 17:45:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G9iwIZ093225 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:45:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G5JCjI019152; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:35:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 834860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:35:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G9Z6G2022440 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:35:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G9Z6hO011866 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:35:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G9Z6Sp011865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:35:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 04:35:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160935.h4G9Z6Sp011865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 160934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 16 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W/107W IS MAINTAINED ALONG 106W/107W SOUTH OF 16N. A 1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 11N106W. ..RIDGE AXIS ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N132W EXTENDING SE TO 17N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 12N105W 8N120W 8N140W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 6N78W. LINE OF STRONG CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE FROM 13N88W TO 11N93W. CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 11N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 17:55:19 2003 X-UIDL: 24870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ00E4J4QY6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 17:52:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G9q7IZ095594 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:52:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G5JCjS019152; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:37:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 834877 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:37:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G9bWG2022454 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:37:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G9bWhO011883 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:37:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G9bWg8011881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:37:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 04:37:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160937.h4G9bWg8011881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 160900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 14.5N0 86.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 86.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 15.0N6 87.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.2N8 87.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.4N0 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.6N2 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 86.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160530Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH MOST DEEP CONVECTION FORMING IN THE SOUTHWEST SECTOR OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE MID-LEVEL SHEAR, WITH THE LLCC LOCATED UNDER THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. DIVERGENCE ALOFT REMAINS CHECKED BY MID-LEVEL SHEAR. AS THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST BEGINS TO WEAKEN IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING SHORTWAVE TROUGH, TC 01B WILL BEGIN TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST, GRADUALLY INCREASING SPEED OF ADVANCE THROUGH THE FORECAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND UKMET EGRR MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 AND 170900Z7. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 18:05:18 2003 X-UIDL: 24871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ00ETI5B86O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 18:04:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GA4JIZ099141 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 18:04:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G311eG035322; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 834982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G9tuG2020708 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G9tthO012067 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G9ttY3012066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160955.h4G9ttY3012066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 160955 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI MAY 16 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 18:15:18 2003 X-UIDL: 24874-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ00E675J16O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 18:09:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GA8xIZ001085 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 18:09:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G311eE035322; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 834979 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G9tUG2041016 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G9tUhO012057 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G9tUWa012056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 04:55:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160955.h4G9tUWa012056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 160955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 08N180 10N160W 09N150W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER LOW NEAR 23N171W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 24N173W 23N170W DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS/TCU AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN CIRRUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 21S142W 25S135W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG TROUGH. TROUGH...THROUGH 25S162W 22S177W MOVED NORTH 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 85 NM OF TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 85 NM OF LINE 12S172W 16S165W MOVED NORTHEAST 5 KT. CB INTENSIFIED BUT REMAIN SPARSE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 00:10:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24895-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ003FUM4UIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 00:07:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GG7cIZ097968 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:07:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDI6039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 10:58:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 840199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 10:58:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFw6G2036384 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 10:58:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GFw3hO020226 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 10:58:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GFw3gv020225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 10:58:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 10:58:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305161558.h4GFw3gv020225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 161557 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 16 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W/107W IS RELOCATED ALONG 105W/106W SOUTH OF 16N IS MOVING WEST 10 KT. A 1007 MB LOW IS IDENTIFIED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 10N106W. THIS SYSTEM IS PART OF A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER THAT EXTENDS FROM 6N-14N BETWEEN 102W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTIVE CELLS ARE PRIMARILY LOCATED WITHIN ABOUT 120 NM NORTH AND EAST OF THE LOW AND WAVE AXIS WITH DEEPER CONVECTION NOTED SOUTH OF THE LOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ AXIS. BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING OF LOW AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS IS OBSERVED ON FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS ALONG 24N125W TO 19N118W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA GENERALLY NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N90W 9N100W 8N110W 8N125W 8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 92W-94W AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 121W-127W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS EAST OF 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 99W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W-108W AND 114W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AN AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT IS WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 92W-94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12N105W 14N102W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 14N99W. $$ AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 00:40:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ0033JN7BIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 00:30:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GGUkIZ004015 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:30:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDOQ038598; Fri, 16 May 2003 11:22:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 840526 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 11:22:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GGMhG2048412 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 11:22:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GGMghO021061 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 11:22:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GGMgNH021059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 11:22:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 11:22:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305161622.h4GGMgNH021059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 161622 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI MAY 16 2003 A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. COMPUTER MODELS ALSO SUGGEST DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 01:44:32 2003 X-UIDL: 24903-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ003CJQEGIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 01:39:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GHdqIZ024813 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 01:39:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDOo039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 841696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GHX7G2029046 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GHX5hO023221 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GHX4PW023215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305161733.h4GHX4PW023215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160600Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 86.6E0, 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 160900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 01:44:32 2003 X-UIDL: 24904-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ003CQQELIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 01:39:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GHdtIZ024820 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 01:39:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDaI038598; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 841699 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GHX8G2044790 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GHX6hO023222 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GHX52I023216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305161733.h4GHX52I023216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160600Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 86.6E0, 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 160900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 01:54:34 2003 X-UIDL: 24905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ003O9QNAIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 01:45:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GHj9IZ026427 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 01:45:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDOw039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 841705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GHX8G2029048 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GHX7hO023224 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GHX5nJ023220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305161733.h4GHX5nJ023220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 161730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/161730Z/170600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5.6N1 132.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND A FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 110.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AS A POOR AND DISSIPATED PARA 1.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 09:45:46 2003 X-UIDL: 24930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ003UPZIQIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 04:56:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GKumIZ082447 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:56:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDlk039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 15:48:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 845509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 15:48:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GKmCG2044050 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 15:48:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GKmChO029668 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 15:48:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GKmBH6029665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 15:48:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 15:48:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305162048.h4GKmBH6029665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMCONSUL CALCUTTA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 14.5N0 86.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 86.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.0N6 87.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.7N3 87.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.7N4 88.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.5N3 90.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 86.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND A GENERAL WEAKENING TREND. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE MID-LEVEL SHEAR, WITH THE LLCC LOCATED UNDER THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD SLOWLY UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID- LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM UNTIL A DEEPENING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WEAKENS THIS RIDGE AND BEGINS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THE SPEED OF ADVANCE TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. 01B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING SLOWLY AS THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS MARGINAL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET EGRR, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 AND 172100Z1. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 09:45:46 2003 X-UIDL: 24931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF0003DB1UPIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 05:47:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GLlBIZ094364 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 05:47:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDqm039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 16:41:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 846149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 16:35:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GLZgG2033822 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 16:35:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GLZghO001263 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 16:35:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GLZgtn001262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 16:35:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 16:35:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305162135.h4GLZgtn001262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 162135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 16 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 16/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W/106W IS HELD ALONG 105W/106W SOUTH OF 16N AS A TROUGH DRIFTING SLOWLY W. A SURFACE LOW IS LOCATED ALONG THE TROUGH NEAR 10N106W AND THE PRESSURE HAS RISEN SLIGHTLY TO 1008 MB OVER THE PAST 6 HRS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITHIN 250NM OF THE SURFACE LOW WITH A RECENT FLARE-UP OF CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS PRIMARILY OVER THE N SEMICIRCLE. WIDELY SCATTERED/SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 101W-107W. ..SQUALL LINE FROM 13N95W TO 8N95W MOVING W 10 KTS. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION HAD BEEN LINEAR IN NATURE...IT HAS BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH TWO SEPARATE AREAS OF CONVECTION MOVING W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 91W-95W AND FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 95W-98W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N133W AND EXTENDS TO 16N115W. MODERATE NLY FLOW N OF THE RIDGE ALONG THE BAJA PENINSULA N OF 22N AND SW OF THE RIDGE N OF 10N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 5N80W 7N90W 10N105W 6N118W 10N127W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-94W. SCATTERED DISSIPATING SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 100W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 125NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 09:45:46 2003 X-UIDL: 24932-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF0003652LBIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 06:03:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GM39IZ097781 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 06:03:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDsk039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:00:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 846558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GM0sG2029512 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GM0rhO001815 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:00:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GM0rSj001814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:00:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 17:00:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305162200.h4GM0rSj001814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 162200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 29N168W 26N165W 24N165W. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 17N153W 09N153W 09N157W 14N157W 10N177W 15N174W 17N160W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 23N179W 22N177W 24N173W 22N172W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 16S168W 19S160W 25S152W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 04S172W 10S164W 12S169W 04S175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE BOUNDED BY 13S169W 16S169W 16S173W 14S172W 13S171W. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06S158W 05S148W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12S147W 17S148W 17S151W 13S153W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 09:45:47 2003 X-UIDL: 24934-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF0003NT45UIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 06:37:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GMaxIZ005237 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 06:37:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDu2039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:31:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 846877 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GMVlG2033822 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GMVlhO002213 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GMVktR002212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 17:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 17:31:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305162231.h4GMVktR002212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 162231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI MAY 16 2003 A DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 535 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A SECOND AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 09:45:48 2003 X-UIDL: 24941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF0003W5CMHIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 09:39:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H1dpIZ045043 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 09:39:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjD70039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 849083 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H1UUG2015754 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H1UThO004693 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H1UTMs004691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170130.h4H1UTMs004691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 161730 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/161730Z/170600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5.6N1 132.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND A FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 110.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AS A POOR AND DISSIPATED PARA 1.B.(2). 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED LATTITUDE IN PARA 1.B.(2) 5. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 19:24:00 2003 X-UIDL: 24945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF000H4OIEHL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 11:44:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H3iZIZ073612 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 11:44:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDDw039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 22:38:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 850239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 22:38:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H3cvG2016966 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 22:38:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H3cvhO006044 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 22:38:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H3cvCW006043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 22:38:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 22:38:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170338.h4H3cvCW006043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 170338 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI MAY 16 2003 A DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A SECOND AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 515 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 19:24:01 2003 X-UIDL: 24947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF000HFRJRNL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 12:14:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H4E7IZ081542 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 12:14:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H3g1HA038384; Fri, 16 May 2003 23:07:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 850399 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 23:07:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H47sG2025492 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 23:07:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H47rhO006241 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 23:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H47rJl006240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 23:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 23:07:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170407.h4H47rJl006240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 170407 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 17 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W/106W IS NOW ALONG 106W DRIFTING W. A 1007 MB LOW IS ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 11N106W. ..1007 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 10N94W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS TO 18N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 10N96W 10N108W 7N120W 10N126W 10N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 95W...WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 113W... AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N82W 8N83W 9N84W ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14N92W 16N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13N96W 12N100W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 19:24:02 2003 X-UIDL: 24950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF000HH0NK6L7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 13:36:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H5a4IZ002680 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:36:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dJA039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 851396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H5SbG2025508 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H5SahO007148 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H5SaT4007146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170528.h4H5SaT4007146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.6N1 132.2E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2N9 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER POSSIBLE MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. A RECENT WESTERLY WIND BURST HAS ENHANCED WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE TROUGHING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 19:24:10 2003 X-UIDL: 24958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF000HKRVZ1L7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 16:37:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H8biIZ046402 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:37:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dOm039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 03:31:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 853010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 03:31:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H8V4G2008884 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 03:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H8V3hO008678 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 03:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H8V3OR008676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 03:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 03:31:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170831.h4H8V3OR008676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 170900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMCONSUL CALCUTTA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 14.0N5 87.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 87.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.7N1 87.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.7N1 87.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.1N6 88.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.8N3 89.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 13.9N3 87.0E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 55 KNOTS AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS LESS EXPOSED. HOWEVER, MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS SOUTH OF THE LLCC. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS SIGNIFICANT. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD SLOWLY UNDER A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT FOR THE FIRST 12 TO 18 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM AND THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL BUFFER SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. 01B IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STEADY FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN SLOWLY IN A MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET EGRR, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, HOWEVER THESE AIDS FORECAST A FASTER TRACK SPEED WITH A DEEPER SYSTEM INITIALIZED. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH A SLOWER TRACK SPEED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 AND 180900Z8. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 19:24:11 2003 X-UIDL: 24961-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF000HRVZ79L7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 17:47:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H9lTIZ062339 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:47:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H9fVGA016736; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:41:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 853423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:40:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H9eeG2021850 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:40:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H9edhO009266 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:40:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H9eddl009265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:40:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 04:40:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170940.h4H9eddl009265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 170940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 17 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W IS NOW ALONG 107W/108W MOVING W 10 KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 11N108W. ..1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 10N96W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS TO 20N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 10N96W 10N108W 7N120W 10N126W 10N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 5N E OF 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 93W AND 104W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 12N BETWEEN 108W AND 115W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 124W AND 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE 15N94W 11N90W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 19:24:11 2003 X-UIDL: 24963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF000HHSZPIL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 17:58:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H9wSIZ065066 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:58:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dQ8039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:53:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 853598 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:53:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H9rVG2017016 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:53:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H9rUhO009389 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:53:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H9rUX7009388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:53:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 04:53:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170953.h4H9rUX7009388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 170953 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT MAY 17 2003 A DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A SECOND AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 485 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 19:24:11 2003 X-UIDL: 24964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF000HI2ZPSL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 17:58:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H9wZIZ065094 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:58:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dQA039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 853604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H9tUG2035680 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H9tThO009404 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H9tTlF009403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 04:55:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170955.h4H9tTlF009403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 170955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 25N167W 23N167W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN LINE 17S158W 25S147W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 05 KT..INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13S172W 17S158W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SECOND CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 08S158W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF POINT 08S168W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 23:33:52 2003 X-UIDL: 24974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100IQNF5CPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 23:32:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HFVvIZ041741 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 23:31:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dbs039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 10:27:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 856136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 10:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HFQxG2045536 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 10:26:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HFQrhO012371 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 10:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HFQrMg012370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 10:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 10:26:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305171526.h4HFQrMg012370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 171526 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 17 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 10N97W DRIFTING WEST. SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A FAIRLY WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED WITH MOST OF THE ACTIVITY REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION TO THE NE FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 88W-94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 94W-100W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W/110W MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1008 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 11N. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE/LOW IS A LITTLE LESS DEFINED THAN THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW NEAR 10N97W. HOWEVER...THERE IS MORE CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 108W-115W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W MOVING SLOWLY WEST 5-10 KT. THIS WAVE IS THE LEAST DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 125W-130W. ..HIGH PRES PREVAILS N OF 15N WITH RIDGE AXIS ENTERING AREA NEAR 32N135W SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N105W 7N120W 9N120W 11N130W 7N140W. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE...IS LOCATED S OF PANAMA/COSTA RICA MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 77W-86W INCLUDING COASTAL REGIONS OF PANAMA ESPECIALLY NEAR THE AZUERO PENINSULA. SEE ALSO SURFACE SYNOPTIC ABOVE FOR CONVECTION IN VICINITY OF TROPICAL LOWS/WAVES. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED CELLS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG ITCZ. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROAD MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC W OF 125W AND ASSOCIATED SW FLOW TO THE EAST IS ADVECTING A FAIR AMOUNT OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE NEWD OVER THE N BAJA PENINSULA AND INTO THE SW UNITED STATES. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 00:33:52 2003 X-UIDL: 24979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100HQ6HYNL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 00:32:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HGWhIZ057862 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:32:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dfA039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 11:27:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 856855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 11:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HGR7G2035040 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 11:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HGR7hO012892 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 11:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HGR6tT012891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 11:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 11:27:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305171627.h4HGR6tT012891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 171626 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT MAY 17 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 03:03:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100HVSORJL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 02:59:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HIxeIZ003456 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 02:59:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dnO039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 858513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HIrGG2026824 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HIrGhO014406 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HIrFYI014404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305171853.h4HIrFYI014404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 87.0E5, 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 170900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 03:03:54 2003 X-UIDL: 24986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100HW0ORNL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 02:59:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HIxkIZ003475 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 02:59:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H9fV5q016736; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 858516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HIrGG2044396 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HIrGhO014407 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HIrFxZ014405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 13:53:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305171853.h4HIrFxZ014405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 87.0E5, 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 170900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 05:03:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24992-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100HJTU8IL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 04:57:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HKvrIZ035110 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:57:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dug039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 15:54:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 859921 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 15:52:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HKqZG2046068 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 15:52:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HKqZhO015899 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 15:52:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HKqZ3u015897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 15:52:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 15:52:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305172052.h4HKqZ3u015897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 172100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 13.4N8 89.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 89.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.0N5 90.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.8N3 91.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 89.9E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPOSED 65 NM FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO REORGANIZE AS THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SIGNIFICANT OVER THE AREA. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEASTERLY TRACK TROUGH DISSIPATION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET EGRR, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 05:53:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100IRHWMRPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 05:49:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLnYIZ045712 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:49:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HKeUQc016736; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:45:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 860661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLjjG2020498 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HLjjhO016576 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HLjjMK016575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 16:45:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305172145.h4HLjjMK016575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 172145 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 17 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 17/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 10N98W DRIFTING WEST. VISIBLE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ABOUT 450NM SW OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC BUT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS DO NOT APPEAR AS IMPRESSIVE. ALTHOUGH IT IS HARD TO DETERMINE AN EXACT CLOSED CENTER...BUOY OBSERVATIONS AND QUIKSCAT IMAGERY FROM EARLIER IN THE DAY SUPPORT AT LEAST A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 95W-99W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1008 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 11N. THIS LOW/WAVE HAS MUCH GREATER EVIDENCE OF A CLOSED CIRCULATION AS COMPARED TO THE LOW TO THE E...ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT IMAGERY. THE CIRCULATION REMAINS QUITE BROAD...HOWEVER...AND CONVECTION HAS STRUGGLED TO REMAIN IN TACT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 107W-111W AND FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 109W-113W WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 126W MOVING SLOWLY WEST 5-10 KT. THIS WAVE IS ILL-DEFINED PRIMARILY BECAUSE THE ITCZ MOVED FAR TO THE N JUST W OF THE WAVE AXIS. VIRTUALLY ALL CONVECTION HAS RACED W OF THE WAVE WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 7N-12N. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE ENTERS AREA N OF 32N139W AND THEN EXTENDS SE TO 18N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N85W 10N98W 9N106W 9N111W 6N120W 11N132W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 90W WITH WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION EMBEDDED OVER PANAMA AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 86W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 99W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 113W-117W. ISOLATED MODERATE CELLS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-128W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 128W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 135W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN 81W-83W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 90W-93W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 06:13:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24998-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100HXHXFGL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 06:06:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HM6kIZ048879 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 06:06:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdGs039196; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:01:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 860961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HM1lG2019092 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:01:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HM1khO016773 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HM1k5h016772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 17:01:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305172201.h4HM1k5h016772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 172200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N142W 04N152W 02N157W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 19N170W 18N167W 14N169W 11N178W 18N178W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SHEAR LINE/CZ/SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 12S175W 17S164W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12S160W 16S154W 20S156W 16S160W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 15S152W 21S143W 24S144W 22S151W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE...FIRST SENTENCE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 02S176E 04S175W 09S180 11S173E 07S177E 04S175E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05S175W 06S169W 09S170W 10S176W 08S177W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05S159W 09S157W 10S161W 08S164W 05S161W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 06:33:53 2003 X-UIDL: 25001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100HCXYHQL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 06:29:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HMTnxE003928 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 06:29:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdIC039196; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 861180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HML2G2042314 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HML2hO017083 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HML2Z5017081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305172221.h4HML2Z5017081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 172230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/172230Z/180600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/171952ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171800Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.3N0 127.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 172100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.6N1 132.2E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. 4. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 06:43:53 2003 X-UIDL: 25002-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100HG1YT0L7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 06:36:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HMaaxE005054 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 06:36:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdII039196; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:32:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 861245 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:32:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HMWjG2009854 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:32:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HMWihO017223 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:32:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HMWi80017222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:32:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 17:32:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305172232.h4HMWi80017222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 172232 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT MAY 17 2003 AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO ARE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IN EITHER OF THESE AREAS IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 12:41:58 2003 X-UIDL: 25015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF2006ACDNGID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 11:57:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I3vDxE069499 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 11:57:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdUs039196; Sat, 17 May 2003 22:46:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 864162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 22:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I3k2G2008900 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 22:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I3k2hO020178 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 22:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I3k2f7020177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 22:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 22:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180346.h4I3k2f7020177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 180345 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT MAY 17 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 12:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 25017-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF2006N7EG6ID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 12:14:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I4ERxE072416 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:14:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdX4039196; Sat, 17 May 2003 23:06:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 864416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 23:06:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I468G2008764 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 23:06:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I468hO020380 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 23:06:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I468nA020379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 23:06:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 23:06:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180406.h4I468nA020379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 180405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 18 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W IS ALONG 98W S OF 14N MOVING W AT 10 KNOTS. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 110W IS NOW ALONG 111W MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1008 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 11N. QUIKSCAT IMAGERY SHOWS THE CIRCULATION REMAINS QUITE BROAD. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE ENTERS AREA N OF 32N132W AND THEN EXTENDS SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N98W 9N107W 11N111W 7N121W 11N133W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 93W...AND WITHIN 75 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 114W...AND WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 132W AND 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N86W 7N77W ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 13:54:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF200MALJ2SE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 13:54:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I5sQxE093330 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 13:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HKeUBA016736; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 865147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I5ffG2038682 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I5ffhO021078 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I5ffFh021076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180541.h4I5ffFh021076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180151ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.9N6 128.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 147.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 540 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 21:01:51 2003 X-UIDL: 25025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF20065KUGFID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 18:00:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IA09xE047324 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 18:00:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdfA039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:55:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 866631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I9tTG2037576 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I9tShO023033 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I9tSWm023032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 04:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180955.h4I9tSWm023032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 180955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N140W 05N155W AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 13S177W 15S163W 18S152W 25S146W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06S178W 07S179E 06S176E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 21:01:51 2003 X-UIDL: 25026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF200MFFULCE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 18:03:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IA3BxE047849 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 18:03:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdfC039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:58:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 866653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:58:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I9wOG2049120 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:58:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I9wOhO023049 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:58:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I9wOgn023048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:58:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 04:58:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180958.h4I9wOgn023048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 180958 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 18 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 98W IS NOW ALONG 98W S OF 15N MOVING W AT 10 KNOTS. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 111W IS NOW ALONG 112W MOVING W 10 KT. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 10N. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N132W TO 18N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N98W 9N107W 11N111W 7N121W 11N133W 8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 3N TO 10N BETWEEN 76W AND 81W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N TO 12N BETWEEN 88W AND 105W. MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 120W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 11N136W...AND OF 9N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COASTS OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND S MEXICO BETWEEN 13N88W AND 16N94W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 21:01:52 2003 X-UIDL: 25028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF200MJTUQYE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 18:06:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IA6YxE048561 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 18:06:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdfE039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:01:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 866695 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IA1dG2027284 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IA1chO023116 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IA1c6m023115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 05:01:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181001.h4IA1c6m023115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 181001 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN MAY 18 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 21:01:52 2003 X-UIDL: 25029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF200MMRUV5E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 18:09:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IA94xE049129 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 18:09:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I7CnQS016736; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 866706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IA2FG2048916 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IA2EhO023127 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IA2EJp023125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181002.h4IA2EJp023125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 181000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/181000Z/190600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180600Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W WAS RE-LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 129.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 147.7E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.0N4 148.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC BUT HAS IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS OVER A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR AND UPDATED WARNING INFORMATION IN PARA 1.A.(1). 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 02:32:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF30060TB1RID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 23:58:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IFwYxE023432 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 23:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdlY039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 10:47:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 869281 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 10:47:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IFl1G2045330 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 10:47:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IFl1hO025758 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 10:47:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IFl145025757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 10:47:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 10:47:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181547.h4IFl145025757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 181546 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 18 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 18/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WHILE THE SURFACE REFLECTION OF THIS WAVE IS WEAK...THERE IS A FAIRLY WELL DEFINED LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 8N. HOWEVER...CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AND REMOVED FROM THE CENTER WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY TO THE N FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 87W-93W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR AND S GUATEMALA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE IS WELL DEFINED AND CENTERED NEAR 9N. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS WITH A LARGE AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG ACTIVITY FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 99W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 96W-99W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W DRIFTING WEST WITH A 1007 MB LOW NEAR 10N. OF THE THREE TROPICAL WAVES...THIS WAVE CONTINUES TO BE THE BEST DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY BASED ON ROTATION WITHIN THE LOWER LEVEL CLOUDS. HOWEVER...CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY CURRENTLY FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 111W-114W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 120W WITH MODERATE TO STRONG NE TRADES. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N95W 8N90W 10N110W 8N120W 13N133W 8N140W. A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION...POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH A NEW TROPICAL WAVE...IS MOVING OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND AFFECTING PORTIONS OF PANAMA/E COSTA RICA N OF 5N E OF 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 114W-120W AND FROM 134W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM S CALIFORNIA NEAR LOS ANGELES SW TO BEYOND 25N140W. SUBTROPICAL JET TO THE SOUTH CONTINUES TO ADVECT MID/UPPER LEVEL TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE SW UNITED STATES. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 02:32:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF300MR1DVUE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 00:59:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IGxrxE036254 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 00:59:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdog039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 11:53:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 869785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 11:53:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IGrhG2046070 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 11:53:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IGrhhO026436 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 11:53:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IGrg2p026435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 11:53:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 11:53:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181653.h4IGrg2p026435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 181653 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN MAY 18 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO AND IS ALSO MOVING WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 02:32:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF300MWNG0SE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 01:46:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IHk5xE048757 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:46:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdqe039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:41:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 870228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:39:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IHdCG2042282 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:39:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IHdChO026926 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:39:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IHdCtG026924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:39:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 12:39:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181739.h4IHdCtG026924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171800Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N0 89.9E6, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 02:32:31 2003 X-UIDL: 25056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF3006K4G0YID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 01:46:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IHkAxE048780 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:46:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdqA039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 870191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IHbpG2045956 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IHbohO026889 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IHboHi026887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181737.h4IHboHi026887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 181730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/181730Z/190600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/181351ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/181451ZMAY2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W WAS NEAR 8.3N1 130.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 181500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.0N4 148.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.5N9 147.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK AND HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC, BUT HAS IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS OVER A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. A WESTERLY WIND BURST IS ENHANCING WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 181500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD AND UPDATED WARNING INFORMATION IN PARA 1.A.(1). 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 02:32:31 2003 X-UIDL: 25057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF3006OQG82ID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 01:50:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IHoRxE049937 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:50:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IA9dr4045054; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:41:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 870225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:39:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IHdDG2049390 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:39:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IHdChO026927 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:39:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IHdCdm026925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:39:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 12:39:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181739.h4IHdCdm026925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171800Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N0 89.9E6, IN THE BAY OF BENGAL, AND HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 05:01:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF3006HFOGKID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 04:48:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IKmIxE094279 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:48:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfd3k039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:43:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 872291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:43:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IKhLG2015638 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:43:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IKhKhO028772 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:43:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IKhKDW028770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:43:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 15:43:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305182043.h4IKhKDW028770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 182100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 16.5N2 93.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 93.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.8N6 94.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.9N8 94.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.1N3 95.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 93.3E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE BURMA COAST HAS REGENERATED AND TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATING AN INTENSIFICATION TREND. MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, BUT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS WELL ORGANIZED AND LOOKS TO REMAIN COUPLED AS THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON THE BURMA COAST. 01B SHOULD INTENSIFY IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT BEFORE WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET EGRR, NCEP GFS, AND AFWA MM5 MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 AND 192100Z3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 06:11:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF3006ISS37ID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 06:06:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IM6fxE012797 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 06:06:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfd7O039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:01:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 873072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IM0oG2036668 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:00:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IM0ohO029552 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:00:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IM0o2v029551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:00:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 17:00:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305182200.h4IM0o2v029551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 182200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N152W 09N143W 04N143W MOVED E 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 05N161W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 03N165W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE/FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13S168W 19S150W 29S140W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SHEARLINE/FRONT SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTEND ACROSS THE DATELINE AND ARE WITHIN 100 NM OF POINT 15S180. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 06:21:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF300266SHGD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 06:15:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IMFGxE014304 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 06:15:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfd7o039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:10:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 873198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:10:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IMAPG2015236 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:10:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IMAPhO029655 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:10:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IMAPxr029654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:10:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 17:10:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305182210.h4IMAPxr029654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 182210 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 18 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 8N99W MOVING WNW 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N112W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 111W AND 114W. BASED ON 18/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W/91W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST ABOUT 10 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 7.5N92W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 10N93W 10125W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 100W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING...BUT STILL LINGERING...ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 116W AND 123W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 140 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W... AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 133W AND 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW NW OF 26N112W 14N125W 12N140W. UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS BEING TRANSPORTED TOWARD THE SW U.S.A. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 07:01:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF3002O3UKCD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 07:00:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IN0CxE021443 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 07:00:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdBa039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:56:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 873797 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:56:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IMuPG2035010 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:56:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IMuPhO000215 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:56:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IMuOK2000214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 17:56:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 17:56:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305182256.h4IMuOK2000214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 182256 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN MAY 18 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION... AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 25086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF40026S7RTD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 11:45:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J3jUxE001968 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 11:45:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsM4039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:41:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 876687 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:41:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J3fuG2015702 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:41:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J3fthO003387 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:41:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J3ftJk003386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:41:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 22:41:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190341.h4J3ftJk003386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 190341 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN MAY 18 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:47:00 2003 X-UIDL: 25088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002M0887D3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 11:55:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J3tIxE005321 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 11:55:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsME039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:49:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 876746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:49:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J3noG2022778 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:49:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J3nkhO003450 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:49:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J3nkP6003449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:49:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 22:49:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190349.h4J3nkP6003449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 190349 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 19 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ANALYZED WITH A 1008 MB PRESSURE NEAR 10N100W AT 19/0000 UTC DRIFTING WESTWARD. BASED ON 19/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W IS NOW ALONG 92W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N113W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N92W 10N96W 10N108W 8N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 97W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITH EMBEDDED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 86W AND WITHIN 60/75 OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND EAST PANAMA WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90/120 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 3N TO 8N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:47:02 2003 X-UIDL: 25097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002YAEIHD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 14:11:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J6B5xE048836 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 14:11:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsSK039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 877899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J66AG2015180 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J669hO004348 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J669iX004346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190606.h4J669iX004346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 190530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/190530Z/191800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181800Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 93.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE BURMA COAST HAS REGENERATED AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED INFORMATION IN PARA 1.A.(1) FOR REGENERATED SYSTEM. 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:47:02 2003 X-UIDL: 25100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002WQETND3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 14:17:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J6HlxE051025 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 14:17:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsSW039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 877915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J67rG2040210 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J67rhO004370 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J67rwY004368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190607.h4J67rwY004368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190152ZMAY2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W WAS NEAR 9.1N0 130.8E2, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W LOCATED NEAR 6.7N3 149.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:47:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF40021REVLD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 14:18:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J6IuxE051466 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 14:18:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsSO039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 877902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J66AG2008798 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J669hO004349 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J669Hx004347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 01:06:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190606.h4J669Hx004347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 190530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/190530Z/191800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181800Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 93.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE BURMA COAST HAS REGENERATED AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED INFORMATION IN PARA 1.A.(1) FOR REGENERATED SYSTEM. 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 17:06:49 2003 X-UIDL: 25113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002VSMA2D3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 16:58:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J8wmxE010459 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:58:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsW4039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:49:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 879091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:49:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J8nSG2015702 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:49:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J8nRhO005377 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J8nRSg005375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 03:49:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190849.h4J8nRSg005375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTIO31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY DHAKA AND AMCONSUL CALCUTTA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 18.3N2 93.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 93.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 19.6N6 94.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.9N1 94.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 93.8E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM WEST OF THE BURMA COAST HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS, A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATING 40 KNOTS NEAR THE CENTER AND A WEAKENING TREND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS WEAKENING SOMEWHAT AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. TC 01B IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON THE BURMA COAST WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. 01B SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY AFTER LANDFALL, DISSIPATING AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET EGRR, NCEP GFS, AND AFWA MM5 MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 18:27:58 2003 X-UIDL: 25116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002SLP2ID3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 17:59:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J9x6xE029926 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:59:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsXi039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:52:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 879604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:52:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J9pxG2031380 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:51:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J9pxhO005776 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:51:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J9pxAV005775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:51:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 04:51:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190951.h4J9pxAV005775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 190951 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON MAY 19 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 18:28:00 2003 X-UIDL: 25117-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF40020BP5ID3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 18:00:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JA0nxE030479 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 18:00:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J1jIuk022238; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:53:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 879616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:53:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J9rUG2031400 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:53:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J9rThO005783 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:53:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J9rTEn005782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:53:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 04:53:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190953.h4J9rTEn005782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 190953 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 19 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ANALYZED WITH A 1008 MB PRESSURE NEAR 10N100W AT 19/0600 UTC DRIFTING WESTWARD. BASED ON 19/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W IS NOW ALONG 93W/94W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N115W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N89W 10N107W 6N121W 10N134W 11N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 108W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA...WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 92W...AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N93W TO 11N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N98W TO 12N104W... FROM 15N101W TO 14N103W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF 79W FROM 6N TO 8.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 18:28:01 2003 X-UIDL: 25120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002OGPFKD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 18:06:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JA6sxE032174 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 18:06:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsXs039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 05:00:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 879664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 05:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JA0vG2025292 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 05:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JA0uhO005873 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 05:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JA0uut005872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 05:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 05:00:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191000.h4JA0uut005872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 191000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N178W 06N175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N165W 04N169W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N157W 06N154W 04N152W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S179W 13S165W 18S174W 17S179W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14S162W 16S154W 23S141W 25S138W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 02S168E 03S175E 09S175W 10S179W 08S174E 05S167E HAVE EXPANDED WEST AT 15 KT ..INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 23:50:56 2003 X-UIDL: 25153-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002RJ57GD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 23:47:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JFlcxE034769 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:47:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JBFn22022238; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:40:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 885738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JFd3G2038592 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:39:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JFd1hO013011 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:39:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JFd1Gm013008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:39:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 10:39:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191539.h4JFd1Gm013008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 191538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 19 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N101W AT 19/1200 UTC DRIFTING WESTWARD. BASED ON 19/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST NEAR 10 KT. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THIS WAVE WITH THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION BEING WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 93W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 89W-95W. ..1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N116W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. THIS FEATURE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN EVIDENCED BY THE DISSIPATION OF ALL DEEP CONVECTION AND A LESS DEFINED CIRCULATION IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 114W-119W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W WITH SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERING AREA NEAR 30N140W SE TO 21N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1500 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 9N101W... WHILE THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GENERATE A FAIR AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION...THERE IS LITTLE INDICATION OF IMMEDIATE DEVELOPMENT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 100W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 104W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 103W-108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N95W 9N110W 7N125W 12N140W. WEAKENING AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N E OF 81W TO COLOMBIA. ISOLATED CELLS OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM S CALIFORNIA SW TO BEYOND 26N140W WITH SUBTROPICAL JET TO THE SOUTH CONTINUING TO ADVECT MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE NEW OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA AND NW MEXICO INTO THE SW UNITED STATES. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 01:17:54 2003 X-UIDL: 25159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF50029K7ULD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 00:44:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JGigxE051494 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:44:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JF3tOW039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 11:35:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 886806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 11:35:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JGZFG2023214 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 11:35:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JGZFhO014762 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 11:35:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JGZETU014761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 11:35:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 11:35:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191635.h4JGZETU014761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 191634 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON MAY 19 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS WEAKENED AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 01:47:45 2003 X-UIDL: 25163-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002KPAOOD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 01:46:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JHjxxE078851 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:46:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JG0eUm049660; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 888111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JHbEG2026688 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JHbEhO016638 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JHbETR016635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191737.h4JHbETR016635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190753ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190600Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 93.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM WEST OF THE BURMA COAST AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 190900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 01:57:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002TEAW5D3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 01:50:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JHoTxE080016 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:50:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JG0eUq049660; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 888114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JHbFG2009862 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JHbEhO016639 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JHbE5P016636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 12:37:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191737.h4JHbE5P016636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190753ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190600Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 93.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM WEST OF THE BURMA COAST AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 190900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 04:57:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25174-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002VJJFOD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 04:55:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JKt1xE036913 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:55:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JF3tog039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 892200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JKXeG2049778 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JKXdhO021715 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JKXdEK021713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305192033.h4JKXdEK021713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 192030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/192030Z/200600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190152ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W WAS NEAR 9.1N0 130.8E2, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W LOCATED NEAR 6.7N3 149.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 06:27:47 2003 X-UIDL: 25180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500JFWNDT7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 06:20:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JMKGxE059501 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 06:20:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JF3t0O039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:13:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 894439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:13:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JMDrG2044512 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:13:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JMDqhO024911 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:13:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JMDqWT024910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:13:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 17:13:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305192213.h4JMDqWT024910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 192200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N170W 09N162W 07N159W 02N170W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 05N173W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF POINT 14S163W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 15S171W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE METIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 06:27:47 2003 X-UIDL: 25181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500JG4NDV7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 06:20:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JMKKxE059513 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 06:20:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JLSWM0049660; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:14:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 894454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:14:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JMEpG2044530 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:14:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JMEohO024935 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:14:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JMEoiG024934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:14:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 17:14:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305192214.h4JMEoiG024934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 192204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 19 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N102W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8.5N TO 10.5N BETWEEN 101W AND 105W. BASED ON 19/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W/95W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST NEAR 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 117W/118W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN ITCZ. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 19N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2130 UTC... 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER... NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8.5N TO 10.5N BETWEEN 101W AND 105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 8N87W 9N103W 7N125W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 89W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS PRIMARILY BETWEEN 109W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MID/UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW WITHIN AT LEAST 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 17N140W 26N123W BEYOND 30N112W. DRY AIR WITHIN 300-400 NM NW OF 22N140W 28N130W BEYOND 32N117W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 06:47:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500JSZON57B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 06:47:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JMlUxE064604 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 06:47:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JF3t2q039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:41:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 894862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:41:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JMfFG2017044 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JMfFhO025495 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:41:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JMfEsL025494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 17:41:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 17:41:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305192241.h4JMfEsL025494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 192241 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON MAY 19 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 10:31:59 2003 X-UIDL: 25203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500JSVYZ27B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 10:30:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2UbxE025958 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:30:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JLSWus049660; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 898694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2QZG2012008 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K2QYhO028657 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K2QYnd028654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200226.h4K2QYnd028654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ44 KNHC 200226 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON MAY 19 2003 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATION OF VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWED A DECENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE BAND WAS OBSERVED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM...AND THE DATA T-NUMBER FROM THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH IS NOW 2.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM IS BEING NUMBERED AS THE FIRST DEPRESSION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON. THE CYCLONE IS OVER VERY WARM WATER BUT THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE AT THE MOMENT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST FOR THIS ADVISORY IS CONSERVATIVE...AND ABOUT 10 KT BELOW THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS 270/8. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A WELL-ESTABLISHED MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THEREFORE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK DURING THE PERIOD. THIS IS FAIRLY CLOSE TO...BUT SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF...THE NOGAPS MODEL TRACK. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 9.6N 103.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 20/1200Z 9.7N 104.8W 35 KT 24HR VT 21/0000Z 10.0N 106.3W 40 KT 36HR VT 21/1200Z 10.5N 108.0W 45 KT 48HR VT 22/0000Z 11.0N 110.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 23/0000Z 12.0N 114.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 24/0000Z 13.0N 118.0W 45 KT 120HR VT 25/0000Z 14.0N 122.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 10:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 25204-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500JEOZ547B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 10:34:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2YHxE027268 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:34:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvHM039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 898691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2QZG2037560 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K2QYhO028656 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K2QYpm028652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 21:26:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200226.h4K2QYpm028652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ24 KNHC 200226 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0300Z TUE MAY 20 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 103.5W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 103.5W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 103.1W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 9.7N 104.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 10.0N 106.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 10.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 12.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 13.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 14.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.6N 103.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 10:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 25205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500JTPZAX7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 10:37:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2bixE028289 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:37:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvJK039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:34:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 898859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:33:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2XqG2027310 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K2XphO028794 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K2XpMY028793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 21:33:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Discussion Number 1...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200233.h4K2XpMY028793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 200233 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON MAY 19 2003 CORRECTED FOR AWIPS BIN NUMBER FROM 4 TO 1. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATION OF VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWED A DECENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE BAND WAS OBSERVED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM...AND THE DATA T-NUMBER FROM THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH IS NOW 2.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. THEREFORE THE SYSTEM IS BEING NUMBERED AS THE FIRST DEPRESSION OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON. THE CYCLONE IS OVER VERY WARM WATER BUT THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE AT THE MOMENT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST FOR THIS ADVISORY IS CONSERVATIVE...AND ABOUT 10 KT BELOW THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. BEST GUESS AT INITIAL MOTION IS 270/8. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A WELL-ESTABLISHED MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THEREFORE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK DURING THE PERIOD. THIS IS FAIRLY CLOSE TO...BUT SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF...THE NOGAPS MODEL TRACK. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 9.6N 103.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 20/1200Z 9.7N 104.8W 35 KT 24HR VT 21/0000Z 10.0N 106.3W 40 KT 36HR VT 21/1200Z 10.5N 108.0W 45 KT 48HR VT 22/0000Z 11.0N 110.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 23/0000Z 12.0N 114.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 24/0000Z 13.0N 118.0W 45 KT 120HR VT 25/0000Z 14.0N 122.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 10:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 25206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500JV9ZBB7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 10:37:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2c1xE028397 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:38:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvJu039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:34:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 898916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:34:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2YwG2039782 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:34:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K2YphO028815 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K2Ypg4028814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 21:34:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 1...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200234.h4K2Ypg4028814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 200234 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0300Z TUE MAY 20 2003 CORRECTED FOR AWIPS BIN NUMBER FROM 4 TO 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 103.5W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 103.5W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 103.1W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 9.7N 104.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 10.0N 106.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 10.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 12.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 13.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 14.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.6N 103.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 12:01:59 2003 X-UIDL: 25219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JON3427B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 12:00:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K401xE060124 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:00:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvNk039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:53:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 900072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:53:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K3rCG2020730 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:53:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K3rChO029749 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:53:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K3rChv029748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:53:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 22:53:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200353.h4K3rChv029748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 200352 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 20 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9N102W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E AT 20/0300 UTC AND IS CENTERED NEAR 9.6N 103.5W AT 20/0300 UTC MOVING WEST AT 8 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 20/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W IS NOW ALONG 95W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST NEAR 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 117W IS NOW ALONG 118W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST NEAR 10 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N101.5W TO 8N105.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N85W 12N94W 7N103W 8N115W 7N126W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 101W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 14N EAST OF 93W TO THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 12:54:18 2003 X-UIDL: 25230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JH15F17B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 12:49:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K4nnxE076902 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:49:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvPK039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:42:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 900546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:42:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K4gCG2020670 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:42:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K4gChO000204 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:42:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K4gBeu000203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:42:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 23:42:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...correction For Date... Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200442.h4K4gBeu000203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 200441 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTION FOR DATE... NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 20 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9N102W WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E AT 20/0300 UTC AND IS CENTERED NEAR 9.6N 103.5W AT 20/0300 UTC MOVING WEST AT 8 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 20/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W IS NOW ALONG 95W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST NEAR 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 117W IS NOW ALONG 118W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST NEAR 10 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N101.5W TO 8N105.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N85W 12N94W 7N103W 8N115W 7N126W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 101W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 14N EAST OF 93W TO THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 12:55:00 2003 X-UIDL: 25232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JWI5MA7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 12:54:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K4s4xE078175 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:54:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvPS039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:46:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 900574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:46:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K4kuG2021508 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K4kthO000238 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:46:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K4kt7o000237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:46:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 23:46:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200446.h4K4kt7o000237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 200446 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON MAY 19 2003 THE NATIONASL HURRICANE CENTER IS WRITING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY DEVELOPED TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 14:25:02 2003 X-UIDL: 25240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JAL71L7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 13:24:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K5OwxE088306 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 13:25:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvSY039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:21:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 901267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:21:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K5L3G2020952 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:21:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K5L3hO000720 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:21:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K5L3mU000719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:21:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 00:21:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200521.h4K5L3mU000719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 200400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191451ZMAY2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 9.6N5 103.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N5 103.1W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 9.7N6 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 10.0N1 106.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 10.5N6 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 11.0N2 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 12.0N3 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM --- REMARKS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200000Z2 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 191451Z MAY 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 14:25:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JKN97K7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 14:11:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K6BjxE004229 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 14:11:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2s1c0038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 901647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K63qG2047430 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K63phO001132 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K63pxf001130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200603.h4K63pxf001130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/200151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/200152ZMAY2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, AND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.3N0 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 55 NM WEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 17:49:27 2003 X-UIDL: 25283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600J9UFZP7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 16:38:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8cDxE059209 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:38:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2s1oQ038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 902879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8XFG2025370 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K8XEhO002654 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K8XEVq002651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200833.h4K8XEVq002651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 200832 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE MAY 20 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E IS LOOKING MORE HEALTHY THIS MORNING... WITH A PERSISTENT AREA OF COLD CONVECTIVE TOPS NEAR THE CENTER AND THE BEGINNING OF AN OUTER BAND IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THE BIG QUESTION IS WHERE EXACTLY IS THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER? IF THE CENTER IS NEAR WHERE THE CONVECTIVE CURVATURE SUGGESTS... THEN THE CYCLONE IS FARTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT AND IS LIKELY A TROPICAL STORM IN AGREEMENT WITH THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB. HOWEVER...TWO SSM/I OVERPASSES HINT THAT THE CENTER IS ACTUALLY PARTLY EXPOSED TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST OF THE PRIMARY CONVECTION. THE INITIAL POSITION WILL COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN EXTREMES...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN 30 KT IN AGREEMENT WITH ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND AFWA. THE CYCLONE SEEMS TO BE MOVING A LITTLE FASTER...AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 270/10. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SUBSTANTIAL MID/UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION...WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE SYSTEM ON A BASICALLY WESTWARD TRACK FOR 12-24 HR. AFTER THAT...LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THE ANTICYCLONE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW A MORE WEST- NORTHWESTERLY MOTION FOR THE DEPRESSION. NHC GUIDANCE GENERALLY AGREES WITH THE DIRECTION...BUT THERE IS CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IN THE SPEED OF MOTION BETWEEN THE FAST GFS AND BAMD AND THE SLOW GFDL AND NHC91. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY LEFT OF AND NOTABLY FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...BUT NOT AS FAST AS THE GFS AND BAMS. THE CYCLONE CURRENTLY HAS FAIR TO GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL DIRECTIONS...AND IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE IT SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. LARGE-SCALE MODELS INDICATE GENERALLY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS THROUGH 48-72 HR...WITH SOME INCREASE IN SHEAR POSSIBLE AFTERWARDS AS THE CYCLONE MOVES INTO COOLER WATER. THE INTENSITY FORECAST THUS CALLS FOR STEADY STRENGTHENING THROUGH 48 HR AND WEAKENING AFTER 72 HR IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS MODEL. ONE POTENTIAL INHIBITING FACTOR IS A LARGE AREA OF MID/UPPER-LEVEL DRY AIR SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY JUST NORTHWEST OF THE DEPRESSION. SHOULD THIS AIR ENTRAIN INTO THE CYCLONE IT COULD SLOW OR PREVENT DEVELOPMENT. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 9.7N 104.7W 30 KT 12HR VT 20/1800Z 9.8N 106.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 21/0600Z 10.1N 107.7W 45 KT 36HR VT 21/1800Z 10.6N 109.6W 50 KT 48HR VT 22/0600Z 11.1N 111.6W 55 KT 72HR VT 23/0600Z 12.0N 116.0W 55 KT 96HR VT 24/0600Z 13.5N 120.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 25/0600Z 14.5N 125.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 17:49:27 2003 X-UIDL: 25285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JDGG0O7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 16:38:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8cnxE059465 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:38:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvWm039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 902876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8XFG2020740 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K8XEhO002655 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K8XEJs002653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 03:33:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200833.h4K8XEJs002653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 200832 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0900Z TUE MAY 20 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 104.7W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 104.7W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 104.2W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 9.8N 106.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 10.1N 107.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 10.6N 109.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.1N 111.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 13.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 14.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.7N 104.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 17:49:28 2003 X-UIDL: 25290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JGLGZ77B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 16:59:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8xTxE067112 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:59:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvWu039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:54:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 902957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:54:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8sXG2025478 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:54:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K8sXhO002775 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:54:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K8sWDk002774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:54:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 03:54:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression One-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200854.h4K8sWDk002774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 200854 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0900Z TUE MAY 20 2003 CORRECT SPEED OF MOTION FROM 8 KT TO 10 KT TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 104.7W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 104.7W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 104.2W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 9.8N 106.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 10.1N 107.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 10.6N 109.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.1N 111.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 13.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 14.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.7N 104.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 18:13:09 2003 X-UIDL: 25297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600J4JJKV7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 17:55:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K9tgxE087836 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:55:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvXg039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:49:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 903352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K9nOG2018970 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K9nOhO003212 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:49:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K9nOZ6003211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:49:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 04:49:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200949.h4K9nOZ6003211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 200949 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 20 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E IS CENTERED NEAR 9.7N 104.7W AT 20/0900 UTC MOVING WEST AT 8 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 20/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE SURFACE. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 118W IS NOW ALONG 119W/120W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST NEAR 10-15 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 9N104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N83W 7N87W 5N95W 6N107W 17N117W 5N133W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 87W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N94W TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA AND MEXICO NEAR 15N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N118W TO 9N123W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 18:13:33 2003 X-UIDL: 25301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JEOK667B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 18:08:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KA8PxE091395 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 18:08:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvYA039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:02:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 903438 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:02:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KA2BG2037470 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:02:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KA2AhO003358 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:02:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KA2AYP003357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:02:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 05:02:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201002.h4KA2AYP003357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 201001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N173W 05N180 04N175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 18N175W 18N178W 17N180 HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12S172W 13S169W 17S171W 16S174W 12S175W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 8 KT IN 18 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12S158W 16S155W 19S160W 16S165W 12S160W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 20 KT ..DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 20S140W 25S133W 25S141W 22S143W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH...FIRST SENTENCE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06S160W 08S156W 08S153W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 18:21:09 2003 X-UIDL: 25302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600J58KI57B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 18:15:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KAFgxE093680 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 18:15:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvYM039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:11:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 903486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:11:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KABmG2036088 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:11:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KABlhO003423 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:11:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KABlsd003422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:11:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 05:11:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201011.h4KABlsd003422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 201000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (TD) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 9.7N6 104.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N6 104.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 9.8N7 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 10.1N2 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 10.6N7 109.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 11.1N3 111.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.0N3 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM --- REMARKS: 201000Z3 POSITION NEAR 9.7N6 104.2W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 505 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200600Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWP30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201600Z9, 202200Z6, 210400Z7 AND 211000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 18:21:10 2003 X-UIDL: 25303-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JEQKNB7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 18:18:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KAIkxE094580 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 18:18:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvYO039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:14:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 903494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:14:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KAE0G2022150 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:14:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KADxhO003439 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:13:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KADxsV003438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:13:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 05:13:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201013.h4KADxsV003438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 201000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (TD) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 9.7N6 104.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N6 104.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 9.8N7 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 10.1N2 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 10.6N7 109.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 11.1N3 111.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.0N3 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM --- REMARKS: 201000Z3 POSITION NEAR 9.7N6 104.2W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 18:43:01 2003 X-UIDL: 25306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600J7ALJV7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 18:38:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KAcJxE001903 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 18:38:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvYa039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:32:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 903600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:32:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KAW0G2020788 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:32:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KAVxhO003582 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KAVxeg003581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 05:31:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201031.h4KAVxeg003581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 201031 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE MAY 20 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS WRITING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 23:25:12 2003 X-UIDL: 25340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JP4YOF7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 23:21:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KFLqxE089345 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 23:21:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KDBrYg038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 907064 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KFBXG2035898 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KFBWhO010196 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KFBWBc010194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201511.h4KFBWBc010194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 201447 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE MAY 20 2003 INFRARED IMAGES SHOW A PERSISTENT AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH SOME SYMMETRY AND BANDING...RESULTING IN DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE DEPRESSION IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM ANDRES ON THIS BASIS. 0936Z TRMM PASS SUGGESTS THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD CENTER IS DISPLACED NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. FIRST VISIBLE IMAGE DOES NOT HELP MUCH IN LOCATING LOW LEVEL CENTER. A VERY RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS AN EAST/WEST ELONGATED CENTER TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ALONG WITH AN UNCONTAMINATED 40 KT SURFACE WIND AND A COUPLE OF 60-65 KT FLAGGED RAIN-CONTAMINATED SURFACE WINDS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/09. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE PERSISTING TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND TRACK GUIDANCE VARIES BETWEEN DUE WESTWARD AND WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE FORWARD MOTION FROM THE GFDL MODEL IS RATHER SLOW WHILE THE GFS MODEL IS CONSIDERABLY FASTER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE GLOBAL MODELS. THE GFDL AGGRESSIVELY BRINGS THE WIND SPEED TO 78 KT IN 60 HOURS AND THE SHIPS BRINGS IT TO 60 KT...OVER WARM SSTS AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. THE GFS...NOGAPS...AND UKMET MODELS FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY FOR 120 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED FORECAST IS TO 55 KT BY 36 HOURS FOLLOWING THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND SHIPS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 9.9N 105.7W 35 KT 12HR VT 21/0000Z 10.0N 107.2W 40 KT 24HR VT 21/1200Z 10.5N 109.5W 50 KT 36HR VT 22/0000Z 11.2N 111.8W 55 KT 48HR VT 22/1200Z 11.8N 114.5W 55 KT 72HR VT 23/1200Z 13.0N 119.5W 55 KT 96HR VT 24/1200Z 14.0N 123.0W 45 KT 120HR VT 25/1200Z 15.0N 127.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 23:35:37 2003 X-UIDL: 25343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JROZ8N7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 23:34:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KFXxxE092938 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 23:34:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KDBrYk038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 907067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KFBaG2017358 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KFBWhO010195 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KFBWQ0010192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 10:11:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201511.h4KFBWQ0010192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 201447 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 1500Z TUE MAY 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 105.7W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 105.7W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 105.2W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 10.0N 107.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 10.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.2N 111.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 11.8N 114.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 14.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.9N 105.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 23:55:20 2003 X-UIDL: 25347-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JUD0497B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 23:52:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KFqtxE099460 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 23:52:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvq8039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:44:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 907790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:44:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KFiTG2043610 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:44:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KFiShO011345 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:44:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KFiStS011344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:44:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 10:44:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201544.h4KFiStS011344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 201544 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 20 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 9.9N 105.7W AT 20/1500 UTC MOVING WEST AT 9 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 20/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 122W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST NEAR 10 KT. THE WAVE IS STILL DISCERNIBLE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT HAS LIMITED CONVECTION. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 118W-124W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N130W AND EXTENDS SE TO THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1500 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... T.D. ONE-E WAS UPGRADED TO T.S. ANDRES AT 1500 UTC BASED ON INCREASING CONVECTION AND THE FORMATION OF A WELL DEFINED CDO FEATURE. THE CDO HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS SYMMETRIC AND CLOUD TOPS TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...ANDRES IS STILL PRODUCING A FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 102-106W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N87W 6N100W 9N120W 6N130W 6N140W. SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 130W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION...POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS LOCATED S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 92W-97W AND FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 98W-102W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 01:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 25351-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700J1M3AU7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 01:01:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KH1YxE021310 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 01:01:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pv0E039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 11:53:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 909215 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 11:53:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KGreG2035988 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 11:53:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KGrehO013952 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 11:53:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KGreFY013951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 11:53:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 11:53:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201653.h4KGreFY013951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 201653 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE MAY 20 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS WRITING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 01:35:13 2003 X-UIDL: 25354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JBJ4HH7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 01:27:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KHRBxE029319 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 01:27:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KDBr04038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:20:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 909683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:16:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KHFxG2019646 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:15:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KHFwhO014743 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KHFvKt014740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:15:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 12:15:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201715.h4KHFvKt014740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191953ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B, PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 94.1E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YANGON, MYANMAR, MADE LANDFALL NEAR RAMREE ISLAND ON THE WESTERN COAST OF MYANMAR AT 191200Z3 (APPROX), HAS DISSIPATED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REFER TO REF A (WTI031 PGTW 192100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 01:35:18 2003 X-UIDL: 25357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JT04UB7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 01:34:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KHYwxE031373 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 01:35:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KDBr02038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:19:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 909686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:16:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KHFxG2022216 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:15:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KHFwhO014744 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KHFv1U014741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:15:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 12:15:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201715.h4KHFv1U014741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191953ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B, PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 94.1E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YANGON, MYANMAR, MADE LANDFALL NEAR RAMREE ISLAND ON THE WESTERN COAST OF MYANMAR AT 191200Z3 (APPROX), HAS DISSIPATED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REFER TO REF A (WTI031 PGTW 192100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 04:55:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25378-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JLNDNB7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 04:45:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKj9xE088492 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 04:45:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7JO039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:36:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 913306 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:36:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKajG2045682 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:36:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KKajhO021884 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:36:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KKajHQ021883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:36:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 15:36:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202036.h4KKajHQ021883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 202036 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE MAY 20 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/11. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM FOR THE NEXT 120 HOURS. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE GUIDANCE. THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS WARMED AND HAS BECOME LESS SYMMETRIC BUT WITH MORE PRONOUNCED BANDING. ALSO THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS MOSTLY EXPOSED TO THE WEST OF THE CONVECTION. IN ANY CASE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 35 KNOTS. THE GFDL REMAINS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL BRINGING THE WIND SPEED TO 93 KNOTS IN 42 HOURS...WHILE THE GFS...UKMET...AND NOGAPS MODELS FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE IN WIND SPEED FOR 120 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE SHIPS MODEL BRINGING THE WIND SPEED TO 55 KNOTS IN 48 HOURS. THE GFS SHOWS INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AFTER 72 HOURS AND COOLER SSTS ARE UNDER THE TRACK AFTER 72 HOURS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 9.8N 106.7W 35 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 10.1N 108.5W 40 KT 24HR VT 21/1800Z 10.5N 111.0W 45 KT 36HR VT 22/0600Z 11.7N 116.4W 55 KT 48HR VT 22/1800Z 12.0N 115.6W 55 KT 72HR VT 23/1800Z 13.5N 121.5W 55 KT 96HR VT 24/1800Z 14.5N 124.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 25/1800Z 16.5N 127.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 04:55:16 2003 X-UIDL: 25379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JTGDSP7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 04:48:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKmQxE089371 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 04:48:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7JQ039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:37:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 913310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:37:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKbKG2022862 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:37:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KKbKhO021901 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:37:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KKbKEd021900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:37:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 15:37:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202037.h4KKbKEd021900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 202036 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 2100Z TUE MAY 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 106.7W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 106.7W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 106.1W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 10.1N 108.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 10.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.7N 116.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.0N 115.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 14.5N 124.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 16.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 106.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 05:35:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25385-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JA6FVF7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 05:33:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KLXFxE000355 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 05:33:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7MA039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:26:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 914174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:26:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KLQ9G2039084 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:26:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KLQ8hO023614 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:26:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KLQ84m023613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:26:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 16:26:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 4...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202126.h4KLQ84m023613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 202125 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 4...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE MAY 20 2003 CORRECTED 36 AND 48 HOURS FORECAST LOCATIONS AND INTENSITIES. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/11. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE STORM FOR THE NEXT 120 HOURS. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE GUIDANCE. THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS WARMED AND HAS BECOME LESS SYMMETRIC BUT WITH MORE PRONOUNCED BANDING. ALSO THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS MOSTLY EXPOSED TO THE WEST OF THE CONVECTION. IN ANY CASE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 35 KNOTS. THE GFDL REMAINS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL BRINGING THE WIND SPEED TO 93 KNOTS IN 42 HOURS...WHILE THE GFS...UKMET...AND NOGAPS MODELS FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE IN WIND SPEED FOR 120 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE SHIPS MODEL BRINGING THE WIND SPEED TO 55 KNOTS IN 48 HOURS. THE GFS SHOWS INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AFTER 72 HOURS AND COOLER SSTS ARE UNDER THE TRACK AFTER 72 HOURS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 9.8N 106.7W 35 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 10.1N 108.5W 40 KT 24HR VT 21/1800Z 10.5N 111.0W 45 KT 36HR VT 22/0600Z 11.0N 113.5W 50 KT 48HR VT 22/1800Z 11.7N 116.4W 55 KT 72HR VT 23/1800Z 13.5N 121.5W 55 KT 96HR VT 24/1800Z 14.5N 124.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 25/1800Z 16.5N 127.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 05:45:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JK8G587B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 05:39:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KLd7xE001540 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 05:39:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7M8039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:24:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 914159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:24:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KLOfG2036050 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:24:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KLOfhO023581 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KLOf2f023578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 16:24:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 4...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202124.h4KLOf2f023578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 202124 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 2100Z TUE MAY 20 2003 CORRECTED 36 AND 48 HOUR FORECAST LOCATIONS AND INTENSITIES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 106.7W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 106.7W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 106.1W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 10.1N 108.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 10.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 11.7N 116.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 14.5N 124.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 16.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 106.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 05:45:16 2003 X-UIDL: 25388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JQTGAJ7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 05:42:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KLgKxE002258 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 05:42:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7MM039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:33:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 914230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:33:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KLX7G2043738 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:33:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KLX7hO023805 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:33:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KLX6vl023804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 16:33:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202133.h4KLX6vl023804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 202132 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 20 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 9.8N 106.7W AT 20/2100 UTC MOVING WEST AT 11 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 20/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 123W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST NEAR 10 KT. WAVE SHOWS SOME TURNING IN VISIBLE IMAGES WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF 7.5N123.5W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N130W AND EXTENDS SE TO THE SW TIP OF MAINLAND MEXICO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... ANDRES IS LOOKING A BIT LESS HEALTHY THAN SIX HOURS AGO AS THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION ENVELOPE. THE TROPICAL STORM STILL SHOWS GOOD BANDING FEATURES ON THE S AND E SIDE BUT CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED A BIT IN INTENSITY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 103W-109W WITH THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION IN A 30 NM WIDE CURVED BAND ALONG 9N109W 8N106W 9N104W 10N105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N97W 6N115W 8N123W 6N130W 6N140W. CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ IS FAIRLY SPARSE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 7N119W 7.5N122W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 100W-103W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 06:05:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700J4IH8M7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 06:02:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KM2kxE008915 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 06:02:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7PM039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:55:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 914863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KLtsG2039140 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:55:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KLtrhO024289 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KLtrkl024288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 16:55:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202155.h4KLtrkl024288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 202155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW NEAR 21N178W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF THE LOW HAVE DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS AND BROKEN CIRRUS. HIGHER CLOUDS RESULT OF UPPER LOW ABOUT 500 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 05N180 10N170W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S132W 18S139W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 16S147W 16S158W. FRONT MOVED EAST 12 KT...SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... UPPER LOW NEAR 17S171W MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KT. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 250 NM NORTH...EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LOW INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05S165W 09S156W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED BUT REMAIN SPARSE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 07:05:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25393-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700DENJR48D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 06:57:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KMv3xE022346 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 06:57:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7Ra039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:52:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 915393 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:52:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KMqeG2039444 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:52:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KMqdhO025199 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:52:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KMqdBC025198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:52:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 17:52:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202252.h4KMqdBC025198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 202252 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE MAY 20 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 07:05:16 2003 X-UIDL: 25394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700DR0K2D8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 07:03:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KN3mxE023912 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 07:03:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7S4039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:56:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 915455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KMuCG2047560 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KMuBhO025258 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KMuBOK025257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 17:56:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202256.h4KMuBOK025257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 202200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 9.8N7 106.7W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 106.7W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 10.1N2 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 10.5N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 11.0N2 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 11.7N9 116.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.5N9 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 202200Z6 POSITION NEAR 9.8N7 106.7W4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 590 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210400Z7, 211000Z4, 211600Z0 AND 212200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 07:15:16 2003 X-UIDL: 25395-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700DTWK4X8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 07:05:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KN5LxE024348 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 07:05:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KITrv8038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:58:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 915508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:58:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KMwFG2036710 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:58:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KMwEhO025291 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:58:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KMwEoD025290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:58:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 17:58:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202258.h4KMwEoD025290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 202200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 9.8N7 106.7W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 106.7W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 10.1N2 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 10.5N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 11.0N2 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 11.7N9 116.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.5N9 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:11:13 2003 X-UIDL: 25474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF800DY0S758D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 22:57:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LEupxE040546 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 22:56:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ72I039196; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:46:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 924508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:40:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LEe3G2042596 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:40:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LEduhO006196 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:39:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LEdotX006191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:39:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 09:39:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211439.h4LEdotX006191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 211425 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 1500Z WED MAY 21 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 110.6W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 110.6W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 110.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 10.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 10.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 11.5N 117.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.5N 124.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N 129.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 16.5N 134.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.9N 110.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:11:21 2003 X-UIDL: 25476-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF800DNYSGW8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 23:02:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LF2nxE042723 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:02:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ72G039196; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:42:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 924511 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:40:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LEe3G2031682 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:40:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LEdvhO006197 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:39:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LEdrPO006193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:39:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 09:39:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211439.h4LEdrPO006193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 211425 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED MAY 21 2003 SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR CONTINUES OVER ANDRES CAUSING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER TO BE LOCATED ON THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF A LARGE AREA OF INTERMITTENT CONVECTION. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE NOT CHANGED SINCE YESTERDAY...SUGGESTING THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 35 KNOTS. IT IS NOT VERY CLEAR IF THE SHEAR WILL RELAX OR NOT...BUT THE SHORT TERM TREND IS FOR THE SHEAR TO WEAKEN AS SUGGESTED BY GLOBAL MODELS. THIS WOULD ALLOW ANDRES TO STRENGTHEN SOME DURING THE NEXT 2 OR 3 DAYS AS INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THEREAFTER...ANDRES WILL BE APPROACHING COOLER WATERS AND REGARDLESS OF SHEAR...WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN. THE GFDL INSISTS ON A RATHER QUICK INTENSIFICATION WITHIN 48 HOURS. IT MAY HAPPEN. ANDRES IS MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 13 KNOTS...STEERED BY A STRONG MID-LEVEL HIGH CENTERED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. THIS HIGH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST AND GRADUALLY EXPAND WESTWARD. THIS PATTERN SUPPORTS A CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT MOTION OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. BECAUSE GLOBAL MODELS ARE MAINTAINING THE HIGH OVER MEXICO...THE TRACK GUIDANCE DERIVED FROM SUCH MODELS IS IN QUITE GOOD AGREEMENT. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 9.9N 110.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 22/0000Z 10.0N 112.5W 35 KT 24HR VT 22/1200Z 10.5N 115.0W 40 KT 36HR VT 23/0000Z 11.5N 117.5W 45 KT 48HR VT 23/1200Z 12.0N 120.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 24/1200Z 13.5N 124.5W 55 KT 96HR VT 25/1200Z 15.0N 129.5W 40 KT 120HR VT 26/1200Z 16.5N 134.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:11:53 2003 X-UIDL: 25480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF800DNVVDW8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 00:05:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LG5lxE061767 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:05:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7C4039196; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:54:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 926065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:54:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LFslG2032298 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:54:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LFsihO008745 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:54:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LFshVw008744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:54:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 10:54:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211554.h4LFshVw008744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 211600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 9.8N7 110.0W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 110.0W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 10.0N1 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 10.5N6 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.5N7 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 12.0N3 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.5N9 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 211600Z0 POSITION NEAR 9.8N7 110.0W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211530Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212200Z7, 220400Z8, 221000Z5 AND 221600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:12:01 2003 X-UIDL: 25482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF800DUUVGZ8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 00:07:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LG7exE062306 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:07:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7CY039196; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:57:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 926089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LFuHG2023692 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:56:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LFuGhO008782 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:56:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LFuGnU008781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:56:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 10:56:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211556.h4LFuGnU008781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 211600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 9.8N7 110.0W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 110.0W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 10.0N1 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 10.5N6 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.5N7 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:12:39 2003 X-UIDL: 25486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF800DJRWD48D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 00:27:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGQrxE068149 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:26:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7Ek039196; Wed, 21 May 2003 11:19:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 926372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 11:19:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGJ8G2045550 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 11:19:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LGJ8hO009686 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 11:19:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LGJ73i009685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 11:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 11:19:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211619.h4LGJ73i009685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 211608 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 21 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES CENTER NEAR 9.9N 110.6W AT 21/1500 UTC MOVING WEST 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 21/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 128W/129W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 19N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 9.5N 108.5W AND 10.5N 110.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 10N100W 10N109W 9N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG COLOMBIA COAST FROM 4.5N TO 7N BETWEEN COAST AND 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W... FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 97W AND 102W...FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W...AND WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY... BASE OF MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NEAR 14N138W. MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW WITHIN 200-250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 15N137W 25N127W BEYOND 30N115W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:13:02 2003 X-UIDL: 25489-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF800DGNWXH8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 00:39:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGdDxE071411 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:39:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7FM039196; Wed, 21 May 2003 11:29:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 926508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 11:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGTKG2022982 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 11:29:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LGTJhO010087 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 11:29:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LGTJTI010086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 11:29:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 11:29:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211629.h4LGTJTI010086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 211618 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED MAY 21 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:13:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25493-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF800D48ZDC8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 01:32:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LHVsxE090935 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:31:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVMe044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 927405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LHIfG2039316 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LHIehO011790 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LHIdPF011788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211718.h4LHIdPF011788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/SHERRY/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:13:35 2003 X-UIDL: 25494-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF800D59ZDZ8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 01:32:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LHWIxE091019 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:32:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LCbvtA018154; Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 927408 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LHIfG2021638 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LHIehO011791 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LHIdGN011789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 12:18:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211718.h4LHIdGN011789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/SHERRY/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:28 2003 X-UIDL: 25516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF900D0J8S38D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 04:55:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LKt9xE058754 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:55:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LJsFO0043910; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LKhPG2042400 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LKhOhO018820 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LKhO2J018819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305212043.h4LKhO2J018819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 212042 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 2100Z WED MAY 21 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 112.6W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 112.6W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 111.9W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.0N 114.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 11.5N 117.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.5N 120.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.0N 128.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 16.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 136.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 112.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:28 2003 X-UIDL: 25517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF900DAD8XM8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 04:58:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LKwTxE059771 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:58:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVi6044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LKhnG2019464 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LKhmhO018837 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LKhm2d018836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 15:43:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305212043.h4LKhm2d018836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 212043 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED MAY 21 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH ANDRES HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED. ANDRES HAS A SMALL BUT TIGHT LOW-LEVEL CENTER LOCATED ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE INTERMITTENT CONVECTION WITH A FEW RAINBANDS TO THE EAST. ACCORDING TO DVORAK T-NUMBERS... THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 35 KNOTS. IT APPEARS THAT THE SHEAR COULD RELAX IN THE SHORT TERM...ALLOWING ANDRES TO STRENGTHEN SOME. HOWEVER A LARGE AREA OF DRY AIR AHEAD OF THE CYCLONE COULD BE A NEGATIVE FACTOR FOR INTENSIFICATION. ONLY A MODEST STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BEFORE ANDRES REACHES COOL WATERS AND WEAKENING BEGINS. THE GFDL CONTINUES TO BE AGGRESSIVE BUT NOT AS MUCH AS IN THE EARLIER RUNS. ANDRES IS MOVING A LITTLE BIT FASTER...ABOUT 280 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS STEERED BY A STRONG MID-LEVEL HIGH CENTERED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO. BECAUSE THIS HIGH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST AND GRADUALLY EXPAND WESTWARD...THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN MORE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. WITH SUCH A WELL ESTABLISHED AND PERSISTENT STEERING FLOW...THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 10.6N 112.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 22/0600Z 11.0N 114.8W 35 KT 24HR VT 22/1800Z 11.5N 117.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 23/0600Z 12.5N 120.0W 45 KT 48HR VT 23/1800Z 13.5N 122.5W 50 KT 72HR VT 24/1800Z 15.0N 128.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 25/1800Z 16.0N 132.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 26/1800Z 17.5N 136.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF90072ECCNA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 06:12:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LMCDxE080962 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 06:12:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVpC044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:54:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 932389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:54:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LLsWG2026826 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:54:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LLsVhO021065 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:54:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LLsVmH021064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:54:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 16:54:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305212154.h4LLsVmH021064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 212154 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 21 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES CENTER NEAR 10.6N 112.6W AT 21/2100 UTC MOVING WEST 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 21/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 128W/129W IS NOW ALONG 129W/130W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 19N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N112.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 110W-113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N86W 9N103W 8N115W 6N123W 10N131W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 78W AND BETWEEN 90W AND 95W AND BETWEEN 126W AND 138W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11.5N96W 14.5N110W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF90072YCD6A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 06:12:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LMCcxE081054 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 06:12:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LJsFcU043910; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 932406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LLtZG2042934 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LLtYhO021130 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LLtYJr021129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 16:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305212155.h4LLtYJr021129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 212155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...NEAR 20N180 MOVING WEST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED. ASSOCIATED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 20N175W 20N180 HAVE NEARLY ALL DISSIPATED. SUB-TROPICAL JET STREAM AXIS FROM 14N180 TO 19N165W TO14N150W TO 14N140W. OVERCAST CIRRUS WITHIN JET STREAM WEST OF 160W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS/BROKEN TO OVERCAST CIRRUS. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 04N147W 05N140W DRIFTED WEST SLOWLY AND REMAIN VERY SPARSE. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11N177W 10N162W 04N170W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 02S178W 10S160W 08S173W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 13S163W 14S154W 18S159W MOVED EAST 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF POINT 14S174W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 25S123W 18S132W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 15S140W 14S150W 15S159W. FRONT MOVING EAST 20 KT. SHEAR LINE MOVED NORTH 5 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 20S AND ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 150W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25526-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF90074KDRZA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 06:43:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LMh5xE088953 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 06:43:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LJsFhm043910; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:35:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 932913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:34:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LMYIG2041308 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LMYIhO022015 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:34:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LMYHsq022014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:34:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 17:34:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305212234.h4LMYHsq022014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 212200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 10.4N5 111.9W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 111.9W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 11.0N2 114.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 11.5N7 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.5N8 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.5N9 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 15.0N6 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 212200Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.6N7 112.9W3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212100Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220400Z8, 221000Z5, 221600Z1 AND 222200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007AODWPA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 06:46:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LMjuxE089614 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 06:45:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVsU044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:36:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 932946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:36:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LMaNG2042876 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:36:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LMaMhO022052 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:36:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LMaM1T022050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:36:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 17:36:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305212236.h4LMaM1T022050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 212200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 10.4N5 111.9W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 111.9W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 11.0N2 114.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 11.5N7 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.5N8 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007MEE1VA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 06:49:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LMn2xE090615 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 06:49:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVsS044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:35:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 932917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:34:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LMYkG2041314 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LMYihO022029 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LMYiKi022028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 17:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 17:34:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305212234.h4LMYiKi022028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 212234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED MAY 21 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 870 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 10:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25559-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007Y6OM1A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 10:37:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2b8xE066313 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:37:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV2k044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2UjG2014120 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M2UjhO024864 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M2UjQs024863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220230.h4M2UjQs024863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 220230 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED MAY 21 2003 BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUE TO OCCUR NEAR AND OVER THE CENTER BUT THE BANDING FEATURES REMAIN POORLY DEFINED. ANDRES' INTENSITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST DAY OR SO. THE ENVIRONMENT IS APPARENTLY NOT HOSTILE ENOUGH TO WEAKEN THE CYCLONE...BUT SO FAR NOT FAVORABLE ENOUGH TO ALLOW ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING. THERE IS STILL A LITTLE WESTERLY SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM AND DRIER/MORE STABLE AIR TO THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE CIRCULATION OF ANDRES IS ADVECTING A MORE FAVORABLE AIR MASS AROUND IT...AND TO THE NORTHWEST. MOREOVER THE SHIPS GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO CALL FOR STRENGTHENING. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THOSE FROM PREVIOUS ADVISORIES. ANDRES' MOTION CONTINUES SLIGHTLY NORTH OF DUE WEST...AT A LITTLE FASTER PACE OF 15 KT. THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING REMAINS ABOUT THE SAME AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THERE IS A STRONG MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ANDRES AND THIS STEERING PATTERN SHOULD BE MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. GLOBAL MODEL PREDICTIONS INDICATE SOME WEAKENING OF THE RIDGE LATER IN THE PERIOD...SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE GFS...U. K. MET. OFFICE...AND NOGAPS TRACKS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 10.6N 114.2W 35 KT 12HR VT 22/1200Z 11.0N 116.5W 40 KT 24HR VT 23/0000Z 11.5N 119.1W 45 KT 36HR VT 23/1200Z 12.3N 121.6W 50 KT 48HR VT 24/0000Z 13.0N 124.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 25/0000Z 14.5N 128.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 26/0000Z 16.0N 133.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 27/0000Z 17.0N 137.5W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 10:40:47 2003 X-UIDL: 25560-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007Z7OMDA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 10:37:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2bLxE066384 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:37:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV2i044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935086 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2UOG2022292 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M2UNhO024859 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M2UNHf024858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 21:30:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220230.h4M2UNHf024858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 220230 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0300Z THU MAY 22 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 114.2W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 114.2W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 113.5W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 11.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 11.5N 119.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.3N 121.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.0N 124.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.5N 128.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 16.0N 133.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 17.0N 137.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 114.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 12:21:11 2003 X-UIDL: 25576-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007JBTD0A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 12:19:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M4JixE003589 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:19:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV5c044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935753 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M48qG2031980 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M48phO025817 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M48pqN025816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220408.h4M48pqN025816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 220400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 10.5N6 113.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 113.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 11.0N2 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.5N7 119.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 12.3N6 121.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 12:21:11 2003 X-UIDL: 25577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007MOTDUA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 12:20:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M4KDxE003847 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:20:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV5S044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M48UG2039474 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M48ThO025801 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M48Tts025800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 23:08:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220408.h4M48Tts025800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 220406 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 22 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 10.6N 114.2W AT 22/0300 UTC MOVING WEST AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 22/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 129W IS NOW ALONG 130W/131W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0345 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N1145W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 113W AND 115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N92W 10N107W 5N120W 11N134W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 134W...WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO 137W...WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N130W TO 10N135W...AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7.5N120.5W. CLUSTERS SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA TO 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 8N79W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA WEST OF 91W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 12:31:09 2003 X-UIDL: 25578-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007V5TGUA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 12:22:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M4M1xE004444 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:22:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV5I044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:07:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935723 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:07:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M470G2008858 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:07:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M46xhO025791 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:06:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M46xx0025790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:06:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 23:06:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220406.h4M46xx0025790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 220400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 10.5N6 113.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 113.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 11.0N2 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.5N7 119.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 12.3N6 121.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.0N4 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.5N0 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 220400Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.7N8 114.5W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221000Z5, 221600Z1, 222200Z8 AND 230400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 12:51:12 2003 X-UIDL: 25582-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007HBUNCA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 12:47:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M4lVxE013107 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:47:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV6k044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:38:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 936148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:38:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M4ckG2034930 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:38:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M4cjhO026094 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:38:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M4cjEb026093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:38:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 23:38:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220438.h4M4cjEb026093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 220438 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED MAY 21 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 14:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 25588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007K6Y7XA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 14:04:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M64fxE037451 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 14:04:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M4OSRk015458; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 936950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M5qQG2011470 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M5qQhO026756 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M5qQvB026754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220552.h4M5qQvB026754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220600 GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/220152ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 16:47:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007IX5I8A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 16:42:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M8g4xE094433 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:42:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVEi044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:31:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 938125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:31:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M8VoG2039592 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M8VnhO028271 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M8VniV028270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 03:31:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220831.h4M8VniV028270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 220831 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU MAY 22 2003 WHILE ANDRES REMAINS SHEARED FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST...IT LOOKS MUCH HEALTHIER THAN 24 HR AGO. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS NEAR OR POSSIBLY UNDER THE MAIN CONVECTION...AND THE CYCLONE IS MAINTAINING CLOUD TOPS COLDER THAN -80C IN THE CONVECTIVE AREA. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM SAB AND 35 KT FROM TAFB AND AFWA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 40 KT. SINCE THE CENTER COULD ACTUALLY BE UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTIVE OVERCAST...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ANDRES IS STRONGER THAN 40 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 280/16. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE PERSISTENT MID/UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE NORTH OF ANDRES IS NOW NEAR 21N115W. A BROAD TROUGH COVERS THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 130W. THE RIDGE SHOULD KEEP ANDRES ON A GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS...AND NHC GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST THUS CALLS FOR A 280-290 DEGREE MOTION FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS...DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THAT TROUGHING SHOULD LINGER BETWEEN 140W AND THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IN THE 3-5 DAY TIME FRAME. HOWEVER...THIS IS MOREL LIKELY TO SHEAR ANDRES THAN STEER IT...THUS THE FORECAST CALLS FOR A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION DURING THAT TIME. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS PROBLEMATIC. THE 200 MB HIGH THAT IS AND HAS BEEN FORECAST BY THE GFS...NOGAPS...AND UKMET HAS YET TO PUT IN AN APPEARANCE. TO THE CONTRARY...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES COVERING THE AREA WEST OF 122W. SHOULD ANDRES HIT THESE...THE STORM WOULD LIKELY WEAKEN. IF THE ANTICYCLONE FORMS...ANDRES SHOULD STRENGTHEN SIGNIFICANTLY AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE. INDEED...FOR THE FIRST TIME THE SHIPS MODEL BRINGS ANDRES TO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 48-60 HR. HOWEVER...THERE NEEDS TO BE BETTER EVIDENCE OF DECREASING SHEAR BEFORE THAT BECOMES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. SINCE ANDRES IS STRENGTHENING DESPITE THE SHEAR...THE LOW-CONFIDENCE FORECAST WILL CALL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT THROUGH 48 HR. ANDRES SHOULD REACH THE 26C ISOTHERM AT ABOUT 72 HR...AND THAT COMBINED WITH SIGNIFICANT SHEAR FROM THE TROUGH SHOULD WEAKEN THE STORM AFTER THAT TIME. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0900Z 10.9N 115.9W 40 KT 12HR VT 22/1800Z 11.3N 118.1W 45 KT 24HR VT 23/0600Z 11.9N 120.8W 50 KT 36HR VT 23/1800Z 12.5N 123.4W 55 KT 48HR VT 24/0600Z 13.1N 125.6W 55 KT 72HR VT 25/0600Z 14.5N 130.0W 55 KT 96HR VT 26/0600Z 15.5N 134.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 27/0600Z 16.5N 139.5W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 16:47:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25612-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA0078R5OXA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 16:46:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M8k6xE095976 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:46:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVEk044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:32:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 938131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:32:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M8WGG2019496 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:32:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M8WFhO028279 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:32:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M8WFda028278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:32:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 03:32:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220832.h4M8WFda028278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 220831 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0900Z THU MAY 22 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 115.9W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 115.9W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 115.1W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 11.3N 118.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 11.9N 120.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 12.5N 123.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.1N 125.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.5N 130.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 15.5N 134.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 16.5N 139.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 115.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 18:01:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007508TXA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 17:53:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M9rqxE019112 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:53:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M9MUGY044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:43:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 938730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:43:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M9hFG2026858 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:43:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M9hEhO028976 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:43:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M9hEtF028975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:43:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 04:43:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220943.h4M9hEtF028975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 220942 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 22 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 10.9N 115.9W AT 22/0900 UTC MOVING WEST AT 16 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 22/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 130W/131W IS NOW ALONG 133W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 75 NM RADIUS OF 11N115.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N95W 9N110W 7N122W 12N134W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 119W TO 123W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 141W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N105.6W. CLUSTERS SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 98W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 5N TO 8.5N. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 8N TO INLAND OVER COSTA RICA FROM 83W TO 84.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N97W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 15N93W...NORTH OF 11.5N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 87W TO 89W INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA...WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N81.5W TO INLAND OVER PANAMA NEAR 8N82.5W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 9.5N FROM 84.5W TO 86.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 5N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 18:18:35 2003 X-UIDL: 25629-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA00IQ79Q28N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 18:13:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MADAxE024683 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 18:13:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M9MUGk044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:01:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 938792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MA1NG2026706 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MA1NhO029135 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MA1NKw029134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 05:01:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221001.h4MA1NKw029134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 221000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05N156W 06N152W 02N151W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 03N159W 07N160W 05N163W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 08N167W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 13S147W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 12S153W 16S151W MOVED E 15 KT AND WEAKENED. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF POINT 11S162W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S169W 12S167W 10S175W MOVED W 10 KT AND WEAKENED. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 03S175W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE FOR SWAINS ISLAND. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 18:38:36 2003 X-UIDL: 25633-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA00ISXATC8N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 18:36:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MAaixE031540 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 18:36:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M9MUHO044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:26:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 939003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:26:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MAQlG2022868 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:26:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MAQkhO029345 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MAQkUZ029344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 05:26:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221026.h4MAQkUZ029344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 221026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU MAY 22 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 915 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 23:44:34 2003 X-UIDL: 25648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007D8P18A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 23:43:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MFhrxE021444 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:43:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExWPA037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:36:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 942494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:24:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MEOGG2017200 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:24:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MEOFhO003685 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:24:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MEOFnA003684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:24:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 09:24:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221424.h4MEOFnA003684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 221423 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU MAY 22 2003 ANDRES IS STILL FIGHTING THE SHEAR. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER CONTINUES TO BE LOCATED ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION AS INDICATED BY THE LATEST MICROWAVE DATA AND A FIRST VISIBLE IMAGE. BASED ON DVORAK T-NUMBERS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 40 KNOTS. IT IS DIFFICULT TO FORECAST STRENGTHENING IN THE SHORT TERM WITH THE CURRENT CLOUD PATTERN AND WITH THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WINDS HEADING FOR ANDRES. IN FACT...THE GFS IS NOW FORECASTING UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER ANDRES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE THE MODEL DEVELOPS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CYCLONE. ANDRES THEN HAS THE CHANCE TO STRENGTHEN WITHIN THE 36 AND 48 HOUR PERIOD. THEREAFTER... REGARDLESS OF SHEAR... ANDRES SHOULD BE APPROACHING COOLER WATER AND WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN. ANDRES IS RIGHT ON COURSE...MOVING 280 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A PERSISTENT STRONG DEEP LAYER MEAN ANTICYCLONE. A GRADUAL TURN MORE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REACHES THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE RIDGE. BECAUSE THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE WELL ESTABLISHED...THE NHC TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT LEAST FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 11.3N 117.7W 40 KT 12HR VT 23/0000Z 11.8N 120.2W 40 KT 24HR VT 23/1200Z 12.5N 123.0W 40 KT 36HR VT 24/0000Z 13.0N 125.5W 50 KT 48HR VT 24/1200Z 14.0N 128.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 25/1200Z 15.0N 132.5W 40 KT 96HR VT 26/1200Z 16.0N 136.5W 30 KT 120HR VT 27/1200Z 17.0N 140.0W 20 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 23:54:34 2003 X-UIDL: 25651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007LGP7TA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 23:47:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MFloxE022545 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:47:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExWTu030500; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:36:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 942485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:24:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MEOEG2051180 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:24:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MEODhO003678 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:24:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MEODEg003677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:24:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 09:24:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221424.h4MEODEg003677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 221423 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 1500Z THU MAY 22 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 117.7W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 117.7W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 116.9W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 11.8N 120.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.5N 123.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.0N 128.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N 132.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 16.0N 136.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 17.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 117.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 00:14:34 2003 X-UIDL: 25655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA0079CQD8A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 00:12:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MGCexE030501 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:12:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExWg2030500; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:56:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 944884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:38:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MFcmG2013456 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MFclhO006329 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:38:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MFcldJ006328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:38:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 10:38:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221538.h4MFcldJ006328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 221538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 22 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES CENTER NEAR 11.3N 117.7W 22/1500 UTC MOVING WEST 16 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 22/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 134W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ITCZ-RELATED SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 132W AND 133W. ..HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1500 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-35 NM RADIUS OF 11N117.5W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAD BEEN CENTERED ALONG 11N BETWEEN 115W AND 116W ABOUT SIX HOURS AGO...AND NOW IT HAS SHIFTED WESTWARD. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 10N100W 11N110W 10N130W 8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 4.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 76W AND 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-180 NM NORTH OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 100W...AND BETWEEN 106W AND 108W...WITHIN 90-150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W AND 124W...WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 130W...AND BETWEEN 132W AND 133W...AND FROM 8N TO 10N ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 100-200 NM SOUTH OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 100W...WITHIN 200 NM SOUTH OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 109W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180-240 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 90W...AND WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM ITCZ TO 20N BETWEEN 122W AND 140W...AND NORTH OF 18N BETWEEN WEST COAST OF MEXICO AND 130W. DRY AIR FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN MEXICO AND 122W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 00:52:55 2003 X-UIDL: 25659-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007LYROGA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 00:41:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MGeuxE039042 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:40:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExWu8037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:29:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 946980 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:29:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MGTPG2056038 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:29:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MGTOhO008185 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:29:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MGTN3I008184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 11:29:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221629.h4MGTN3I008184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 11.2N4 116.9W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 116.9W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.8N0 120.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 12.5N8 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.0N4 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.0N5 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.0N6 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 221600Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 116.9W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221200Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z8, 230400Z9, 231000Z6 AND 231600Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 00:52:55 2003 X-UIDL: 25660-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA00IYLRTU8N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 00:44:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MGiDxE040079 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:44:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExWuA037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:32:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:32:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MGWXG2039616 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:32:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MGWXhO008312 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:32:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MGWXs9008311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:32:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 11:32:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221632.h4MGWXs9008311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 11.2N4 116.9W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 116.9W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.8N0 120.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 12.5N8 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.0N4 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 01:36:54 2003 X-UIDL: 25664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007HYU1KA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 01:32:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MHW4xE057138 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 01:32:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExW4Q030500; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MHNSG2052228 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MHNRhO009911 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MHNReP009909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221723.h4MHNReP009909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/SHERRY/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 01:46:54 2003 X-UIDL: 25665-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA00IUXUFQ8N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 01:40:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MHeVxE059877 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 01:40:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExWwQ037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MHNSG2022866 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MHNRhO009912 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MHNRhP009910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 12:23:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221723.h4MHNRhP009910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/SHERRY/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:16:55 2003 X-UIDL: 25667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB007TN6MFA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 06:03:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MM3hxE040273 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:03:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MIXUpK030500; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:44:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 952496 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:43:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MLhsG2015970 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:43:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MLhrhO018417 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MLhrAd018416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 16:43:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305222143.h4MLhrAd018416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 222143 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N140W 06N140W 02N160W 03N166W 06N166W 07N150W 10N140W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 04S178W 04S171W 12S142W 17S160W 17S171W 07S178W 04S178W...IS NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH/FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:16:56 2003 X-UIDL: 25669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00IC676N8N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 06:15:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MMFsxE042516 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:15:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OMu037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:59:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 952627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:59:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MLxmG2051502 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:59:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MLxmhO018774 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:59:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MLxlIZ018773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 16:59:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305222159.h4MLxlIZ018773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 222159 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 22 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES CENTER NEAR 11.7N 119.7W 22/2100 UTC MOVING WEST 18 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 22/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 134W IS NOW ALONG 135W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2100 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IS EXPOSED AND EASY TO FIND. CONVECTION IS FOUND E OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 117W-119W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 116W-117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N107W 6N122W 11N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS E OF 80W ..BETWEEN 82W AND 85W...BETWEEN 92W AND 101W...BETWEEN 121W AND 132W...AND W OF 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:17:27 2003 X-UIDL: 25677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00IOA8PA8N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 06:48:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MMmgxE049155 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:48:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MIXUta030500; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:40:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 952850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:35:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MMZDG2052348 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:35:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MMZChO019384 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:35:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MMZCBt019381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:35:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 17:35:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305222235.h4MMZCBt019381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 222200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 11.5N7 118.8W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 118.8W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.2N5 122.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.0N4 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 13.5N9 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.0N5 130.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 14.5N0 135.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 222200Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.7N9 120.0W3. //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:17:28 2003 X-UIDL: 25679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00I9V3DT8N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 04:53:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MKrkxE022286 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 04:53:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OHQ037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 951181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MKgMG2023706 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MKgLhO016746 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MKgL7k016745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305222042.h4MKgL7k016745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 222033 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2003 STRONG NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR HAS TAKEN A TOLL ON ANDRES. THE TIGHT AND WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE STORM IS NOW RACING AWAY FROM THE LIMITED CONVECTION AND T-NUMBERS ARE COMING DOWN. INITIAL INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED TO 35 KNOTS...ALTHOUGH THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY MIGHT HAVE BEEN TOO HIGH. DESPITE THE WELL-DEFINED CENTER OBSERVED ON HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE IMAGES...AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS OVER THE CYCLONE DID NOT SHOW A CLOSED CIRCULATION. THERE IS ANOTHER BAND OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES HEADING FOR THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN FURTHER WEAKENING. BECAUSE THERE MAY BE ADDITIONAL BURSTS OF CONVECTION...A CONSERVATIVE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST KEEPS A 35-KNOT STORM FOR 36 HOURS AND THEN CALLS FOR WEAKENING AS ANDRES APPROACHES COOL WATERS. BEYOND 3 DAYS..ANDRES IS EXPECTED TO BE A REMNANT LOW. THE CYCLONE IS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER...ABOUT 280 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THEREAFTER...A WEAKENING AND SHALLOW ANDRES COULD TURN MORE TO THE WEST STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 11.7N 119.7W 35 KT 12HR VT 23/0600Z 12.2N 122.3W 35 KT 24HR VT 23/1800Z 13.0N 125.5W 35 KT 36HR VT 24/0600Z 13.5N 128.0W 35 KT 48HR VT 24/1800Z 14.0N 130.5W 30 KT 72HR VT 25/1800Z 14.5N 135.0W 25 KT 96HR VT 26/1800Z 15.0N 139.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 27/1800Z 15.0N 142.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:17:28 2003 X-UIDL: 25682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00IXE8XU8N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 06:53:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MMroxE050212 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:53:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3ONg037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:38:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 952822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:33:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MMX1G2056602 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:33:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MMX1hO019357 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MMX0fn019356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:33:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 17:33:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305222233.h4MMX0fn019356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 222200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 11.5N7 118.8W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 118.8W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.2N5 122.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.0N4 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 13.5N9 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.0N5 130.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 14.5N0 135.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 222200Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.7N9 120.0W3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222130Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z9, 231000Z6, 231600Z2 AND 232200Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:17:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA00IECWW98N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 02:33:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MIXfxE075599 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:33:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExW4G037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:19:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 948696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:19:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MIJMG2043256 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:19:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MIJMhO011956 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:19:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MIJLaX011953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:19:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 13:19:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221819.h4MIJLaX011953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 221818 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU MAY 22 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:17:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB007L33G1A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 04:55:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MKt8xE022607 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 04:55:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MIXUba030500; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 951184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MKgMG2038618 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MKgLhO016751 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MKgLJp016748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 15:42:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305222042.h4MKgLJp016748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 222034 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 2100Z THU MAY 22 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 119.7W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 119.7W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 118.8W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.2N 122.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.5N 128.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.0N 130.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.5N 135.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 15.0N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 15.0N 142.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 119.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:17:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25685-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00I0W7X68N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 06:31:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MMVoxE046067 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:31:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3ONE037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:22:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 952731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:22:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MMMMG2020756 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:22:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MMMJhO019160 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:22:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MMMJVF019159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:22:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 17:22:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305222222.h4MMMJVF019159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 222221 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 10:52:40 2003 X-UIDL: 25706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00MPIJQ09D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 10:46:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N2khxE013638 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 10:46:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OZM037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:37:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N2buG2015942 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:37:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N2buhO021973 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N2buhD021972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 21:37:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230237.h4N2buhD021972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 230237 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2003 ANDRES CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST. HOWEVER...RECENTLY A FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRED NEAR THE CENTER. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE DROPPED BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BUT BECAUSE OF THE CONVECTIVE BURST...THE FAST FORWARD MOTION...AND THE UNCERTAINTY IN SATELLITE-BASED INTENSITY ESTIMATES...THE WINDS ARE MAINTAINED AT 35 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. HOPEFULLY WE WILL GET A QUIKSCAT PASS OVER THE SYSTEM IN A FEW HOURS...AND OBTAIN A BETTER ESTIMATE OF THE INTENSITY. ALTHOUGH THE CYCLONE SHOULD REMAIN OVER RELATIVELY WARM WATER FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO...THE SHEARING ALONG WITH SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE JUST TO THE WEST OF ANDRES SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING. ANDRES IS EMBEDDED IN A SWIFT TRADEWIND FLOW AND CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY WESTWARD...280/19. IN FACT A SIGNIFICANT PART OF THE VERTICAL SHEAR ON THE SYSTEM MAY BE DUE TO THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS PREDICTED...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ANDRES IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT. LATER IN THE PERIOD...A DUE WESTWARD TRACK IS EXPECTED AS THE STEERING IS LIKELY TO BE DOMINATED BY THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS. THIS OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE TRACK SHOWN BY THE LATEST GFDL MODEL RUN. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 12.0N 121.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 23/1200Z 12.5N 124.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 24/0000Z 13.1N 127.0W 30 KT 36HR VT 24/1200Z 13.6N 129.7W 30 KT 48HR VT 25/0000Z 14.0N 132.0W 25 KT 72HR VT 26/0000Z 14.5N 136.5W 25 KT 96HR VT 27/0000Z 14.5N 140.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 28/0000Z 14.5N 143.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 10:52:40 2003 X-UIDL: 25707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00MRRJQL9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 10:47:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N2l5xE013757 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 10:47:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OZO037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:38:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:38:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N2ceG2055942 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:38:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N2cdhO021978 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:38:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N2cduU021977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:38:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 21:38:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230238.h4N2cduU021977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 230238 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0300Z FRI MAY 23 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 121.6W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 121.6W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 120.7W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 12.5N 124.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.1N 127.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.6N 129.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.5N 136.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 14.5N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 14.5N 143.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 121.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 12:16:02 2003 X-UIDL: 25718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00MEHNNB9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 12:11:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N4BRxE042306 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:11:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3ObQ037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:01:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 956410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N41oG2055162 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N41khO022619 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N41kqi022618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 23:01:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230401.h4N41kqi022618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 230355 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 23 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 12.0N 121.6W 23/0300 UTC MOVING WEST AT 19 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 23/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 135W IS NOW ALONG 136W/137W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... BURST OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE CENTER OF ANDRES. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 75 NM RADIUS OF 12N120.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 8N95W 7N102W 9N121W 7N131W 7N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 98W...AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 128W AND WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 85W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 7N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 81W TO THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 16:22:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25720-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00MTEOFS9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 12:28:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N4SWxE047999 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:28:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3Obk037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:19:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 956539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:19:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N4JkG2045554 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:19:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N4JjhO022730 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:19:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N4Jjj6022729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:19:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 23:19:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230419.h4N4Jjj6022729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 230400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 11.8N0 120.7W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 120.7W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 12.5N8 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.1N5 127.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.6N0 129.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.0N5 132.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.5N0 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 230400Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.0N3 121.8W2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 690 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230000Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231000Z6, 231600Z2, 232200Z9 AND 240400Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 16:22:32 2003 X-UIDL: 25721-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00M5QOKW9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 12:31:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N4VexE049034 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:31:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N33PLq016052; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:21:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 956552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:21:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N4LmG2045326 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:21:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N4LmhO022757 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:21:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N4Llnw022754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:21:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 23:21:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230421.h4N4Llnw022754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 230400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 11.8N0 120.7W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 120.7W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 12.5N8 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.1N5 127.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.6N0 129.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.0N5 132.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.5N0 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 230400Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.0N3 121.8W2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 690 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230000Z5 VISIBLE //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 16:22:38 2003 X-UIDL: 25727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00ML3SUN9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 14:04:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N642xE078692 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:04:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N33PVe016052; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 957606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N5rhG2052564 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N5rghO023400 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N5rgQV023398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230553.h4N5rgQV023398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 230600 GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/230152ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 151.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 16:22:41 2003 X-UIDL: 25734-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00M5ZWJW9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 15:23:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N7NtxE005132 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:23:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OjM037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:11:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 958103 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:11:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N7BMG2052246 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:11:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N7BMhO023905 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:11:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N7BMIp023904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:11:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 02:11:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230711.h4N7BMIp023904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 230711 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU MAY 22 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1075 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 16:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 25746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MDV02X9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 16:40:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N8e7xE031843 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 16:40:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OkI037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 958478 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N8ZBG2058856 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N8ZAhO024568 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N8ZAp4024567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230835.h4N8ZAp4024567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 230834 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI MAY 23 2003 AFTER LOOKING QUITE DISORGANIZED YESTERDAY AFTERNOON...ANDRES HAS MADE A CONSIDERABLE COMEBACK THIS MORNING. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS DISAPPEARED UNDER A PERSISTENT CONVECTIVE BURST WITH TOPS COLDER THAN -80C...AND TWO RECENT SSM/I OVERPASSES SUGGEST THAT THE CONVECTION IS TRYING TO WRAP AROUND THE NORTH SIDE OF THE CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 30 KT...35 KT...AND 45 KT FROM TAFB...AFWA...AND SAB RESPECTIVELY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 40 KT BASED ON THE IMPROVED APPEARANCE DURING THE PAST 6 HR. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/18. ANDRES IS EMBEDDED IN LOW/MID LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...WHILE A LARGE MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE AREA WEST OF 135W. THE RIDGE SHOULD KEEP THE CYCLONE ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH 24-36 HR. BEYOND THAT TIME...THE TROUGH COULD TURN ANDRES MORE NORTHWARD IF IT IS WELL-ENOUGH DEVELOPED...AS IS SUGGESTED BY THE BAMD AND BAMM. HOWEVER...THE CURRENT EXPECTATION IS THAT ANDRES WILL BE WEAK AND BE STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST THEREFORE CALLS FOR A WESTWARD MOTION AFTER 36 HR WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE NOGAPS. TO DEAL WITH THE EASY PART OF THE INTENSITY FORECAST...ANDRES SHOULD CROSS THE 26C ISOTHERM IN 24-30 HR. AFTER THAT TIME...COOLER WATER AND SHEAR FROM THE TROUGH SHOULD CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO STEADILY WEAKEN. THE TRICKY PART IS WHAT MAY HAPPEN BEFORE ANDRES REACHES THE COOLER WATER. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...BASED PARTLY ON THE SHIPS MODEL...PARTLY ON THE EXPECTATION OF CONTINUED SHEAR...AND PARTLY ON THE WAY ANDRES FELL APART YESTERDAY AFTER LOOKING SIMILAR TO HOW IT DOES NOW. HOWEVER...THE STORM IS MOVING OUT OF WESTERLY AND NORTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW INTO AN AREA OF SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. WHILE HARDLY IDEAL...THIS BRINGS UP AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO THAT THE SHEAR MAY DECREASE OVER ANDRES FOR 12-24 HR AND ALLOW SOME STRENGTHENING BEFORE THE CYCLONE REACHES COOLER WATER. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0900Z 12.4N 123.3W 40 KT 12HR VT 23/1800Z 12.8N 125.7W 40 KT 24HR VT 24/0600Z 13.4N 128.7W 40 KT 36HR VT 24/1800Z 13.8N 131.1W 35 KT 48HR VT 25/0600Z 14.1N 133.3W 30 KT 72HR VT 26/0600Z 14.5N 137.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 27/0600Z 14.5N 141.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 28/0600Z 14.5N 145.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 16:52:23 2003 X-UIDL: 25747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00M0T0AF9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 16:44:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N8idxE033113 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 16:44:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OkK037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 958481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N8ZVG2058864 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N8ZVhO024577 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N8ZVaC024576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 03:35:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230835.h4N8ZVaC024576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 230835 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0900Z FRI MAY 23 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 123.3W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 123.3W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 122.4W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 12.8N 125.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.4N 128.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 13.8N 131.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.1N 133.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.5N 137.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 14.5N 141.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 14.5N 145.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 123.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 21:22:17 2003 X-UIDL: 25764-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MJ18EJ9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 19:39:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NBdpxE087957 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 19:39:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NAQ6Jo016060; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:32:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 959291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NBU8G2058662 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NBU7hO025285 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NBU7aw025284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231130.h4NBU7aw025284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 230955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 08N140W 04N160W 09N175W MOVING WEST 12 KT AND REMAIN SPARSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 20S120W 13S131W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 13S145W. FRONT MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S169W 09S160W 16S154W 15S165W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. CB REMAIN SPARSE AND WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 21:22:17 2003 X-UIDL: 25765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MMM8G19D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 19:40:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NBerxE088351 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 19:40:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NAQ6Ji016060; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:31:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 959288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NBU2G2028942 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NBU1hO025275 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NBU1GU025273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231130.h4NBU1GU025273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 230945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 23 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 12.4N 123.3W 23/0900 UTC MOVING WEST AT 19 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 23/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 136W/137W IS NOW ALONG 138W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... THE BURST OF CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 8N94W 7N104W 9N115W 8N126W 6N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 130W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 138W TO 141W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 94W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N88W AND 8.5N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND HONDURAS AND WITHIN 30/45 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM THE BORDER OF NICARAGUA TO 89.5W...AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 9N136W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N101W TO 15N96W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 21:22:17 2003 X-UIDL: 25766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MBE8VF9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 19:50:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NBnxxE090941 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 19:50:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3On4037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:38:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 959318 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NBUpG2028956 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NBUphO025333 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NBUpJt025332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 06:30:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231130.h4NBUpJt025332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 231041 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI MAY 23 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1140 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 23:23:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MH6I8M9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 23:12:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NFCOxE048934 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 23:12:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NAQ6gQ016060; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 961640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NEslG2053182 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NEskhO029006 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NEskUc029005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231454.h4NEskUc029005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 231454 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI MAY 23 2003 INITIAL LOCATION IS UNCERTAIN. 02Z QUIKSCAT SUGGESTED NO CLOSED LOW LEVEL CENTER. MORE RECENT AMSU AND SSMI MICROWAVE DO SUGGEST THAT A LOW LEVEL CENTER IS STILL THERE. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON AN INITIAL MOTION OF 280/18 FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND PLACES THE CENTER UNDER AND NEAR THE WEST SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE GUIDANCE KEEPS THE STORM ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TO THE SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE THROUGH 72 HOURS AFTER WHICH THE GFS...UKMET AND GFDL SHOW DISSIPATION. THE NOGAPS SHOWS A WESTWARD FORECAST TRACK THROUGH 96 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE. SATELLITE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT...45 KT...AND 55 KT FROM TAFB...AFWA...AND SAB RESPECTIVELY. THESE ESTIMATES INDICATE STRENGTHENING BASED ON THE EXISTENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CENTER UNDER THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES OF STORM DO NOT RESOLVE THE EXISTENCE OR LOCATION OF THE CENTER BUT SUGGEST THAT IT MAY NOT BE WELL DEFINED AND THAT IT MAY NOT BE AS FAR WEST AS THE INITIAL POSITION ESTIMATE. THESE ISSUES WILL HOPEFULLY BE RESOLVED BY THE NEXT ADVISORY. THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 40 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. INCREASING SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS ARE THE BASIS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING AFTER 24 HOURS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 12.6N 124.9W 40 KT 12HR VT 24/0000Z 13.1N 127.5W 40 KT 24HR VT 24/1200Z 13.6N 130.0W 40 KT 36HR VT 25/0000Z 14.0N 132.6W 35 KT 48HR VT 25/1200Z 14.3N 135.5W 30 KT 72HR VT 26/1200Z 14.5N 139.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 27/1200Z 14.5N 143.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 28/1200Z 14.5N 147.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 23:23:15 2003 X-UIDL: 25777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MO4IC89D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 23:14:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NFEYxE049523 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 23:14:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3O0Y037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 961637 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NEslG2014152 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NEskhO029003 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NEsjWf029002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 09:54:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231454.h4NEsjWf029002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 231454 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 1500Z FRI MAY 23 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 124.9W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 124.9W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 124.1W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.1N 127.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 13.6N 130.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.0N 132.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.3N 135.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.5N 139.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 14.5N 143.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 14.5N 147.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 124.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 00:03:05 2003 X-UIDL: 25779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MKXKIM9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 00:01:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NG1axE064049 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 00:01:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NF1SJK042192; Fri, 23 May 2003 10:44:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 962037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 10:44:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NFiVG2040436 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 10:44:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NFiUhO000418 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 10:44:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NFiU0r000417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 10:44:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 10:44:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231544.h4NFiU0r000417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 231544 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 23 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 12.6N 124.9W AT 23/1500 UTC MOVING WEST AT 18 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 23/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 138W/139W S OF 13N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 7N140W 9N135.5W. ..1022 MB HIGH IS NEAR 30N134W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 16N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1515 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... ANDRES CONTINUES TO HAVE A BURST OF CONVECTION NEAR ITS CENTER BUT THE INTENSITY OF THE BURST HAS WEAKENED A BIT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM WITHIN 120 NM OF 13N125W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N77W 8N94W 10N110W 7N130W 9N136W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 93W-101W AND 126W-132W. CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 7.5N-10N E OF 87W TO CENTRAL AMERICA. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE 12N107W 10N111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 101W-106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-14.5N BETWEEN 97W103W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N90W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 6N83W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 00:33:13 2003 X-UIDL: 25782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MTCLLT9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 00:25:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NGP2xE071416 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 00:25:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3O3e037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:07:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 962235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:07:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NG72G2040216 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:07:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NG71hO001087 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:07:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NG71d4001085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:07:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 11:07:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231607.h4NG71d4001085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 231600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 12.5N8 124.1W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 124.1W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.1N5 127.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.6N0 130.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.0N5 132.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.3N8 135.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.5N0 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231600Z2 POSITION NEAR 12.7N0 125.2W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 840 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232200Z9, 240400Z0, 241000Z7 AND 241600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 03:39:04 2003 X-UIDL: 25783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MRYM4T9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 00:36:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NGaVxE074838 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 00:36:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3O4a037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:14:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 962328 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:14:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NGEAG2035974 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:14:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NGEAhO001249 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:14:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NGE92o001248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:14:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 11:14:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231614.h4NGE92o001248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 231600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 12.5N8 124.1W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 124.1W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.1N5 127.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.6N0 130.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.0N5 132.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 03:39:33 2003 X-UIDL: 25786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC0017UOQVZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 01:32:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NHWvxE093511 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:32:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NF1STe042192; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:24:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 962972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NHNqG2043128 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NHNphO003168 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NHNpZc003166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231723.h4NHNpZc003166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 03:39:34 2003 X-UIDL: 25787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00M43OSL9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 01:33:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NHY0xE093834 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:34:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3O6s037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 962961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NHN8G2045032 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NHN8hO003150 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NHN8CK003149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231723.h4NHN8CK003149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 231722 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI MAY 23 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1210 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 03:39:34 2003 X-UIDL: 25788-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC001F7P1EZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 01:39:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NHdHxE095527 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:39:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NF1STi042192; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:24:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 962975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NHNqG2056060 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NHNphO003169 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NHNpF9003167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 12:23:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231723.h4NHNpF9003167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 03:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 25798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00192TZNZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 03:26:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJQBxE028935 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 03:26:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NF1Sdo042192; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 963947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJ9NG2053086 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NJ9MhO006262 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NJ9Ma3006260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231909.h4NJ9Ma3006260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 231900 GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/231900Z/240600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/231352ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 231200Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 151.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 231500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 14.1N6 114.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANALYSIS OF 200 MB INDICATES THE LLCC EXISTS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF AN ANTICYCLONE ANCHORED OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN BRINGING CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/ALLEN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 08:59:39 2003 X-UIDL: 25800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC001TIX1MZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 04:32:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NKWBxE051428 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:32:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NF1SqK042192; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 965104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NKOpG2037670 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NKOohO008422 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NKOoiQ008421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305232024.h4NKOoiQ008421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 232024 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI MAY 23 2003 VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CLOUD CENTER WELL WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION WHICH HAS DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE DECREASED AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS REDUCED TO 35 KNOTS. THE GFS SHOWS STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PERSISTING OVER THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS AND...IN COMBINATION WITH COOLER SSTS...MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS DISSIPATION BY 3 TO 4 DAYS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/18. THE GLOBAL MODELS ALL KEEP ANDRES ON A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATION AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS GUIDANCE. IN CONTRAST...THE MEDIUM AND DEEP BAMS AND THE STATISTICAL DYNAMICAL MODEL SHOW A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THEN NORTH...BUT ANDRES IS EXPECTED TO BE TOO WEAK AND SHALLOW TO RESPOND TO A DEEP LAYER STEERING. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/2100Z 13.2N 126.9W 35 KT 12HR VT 24/0600Z 13.9N 129.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 24/1800Z 14.1N 132.2W 30 KT 36HR VT 25/0600Z 14.2N 134.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 25/1800Z 14.3N 137.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 26/1800Z 14.5N 141.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 27/1800Z 14.5N 145.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 28/1800Z 14.5N 149.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 08:59:40 2003 X-UIDL: 25802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00137XGJZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 04:41:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NKfAxE053723 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:41:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXIi037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 965101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NKOgG2037664 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NKOghO008412 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NKOgr5008411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 15:24:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305232024.h4NKOgr5008411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 232024 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 2100Z FRI MAY 23 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 126.9W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 25SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 126.9W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 126.0W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.9N 129.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.1N 132.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 14.2N 134.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 14.3N 137.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 14.5N 141.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 14.5N 145.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 14.5N 149.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 126.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 08:59:45 2003 X-UIDL: 25813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD00MO30OD9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 05:50:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NLoaxE072922 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:50:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXOc037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 16:39:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966069 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 16:39:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NLduG2008108 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 16:39:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NLduhO010551 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 16:39:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NLdup5010550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 16:39:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 16:39:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305232139.h4NLdup5010550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 232139 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N140W 05N140W 04N154W 10N155W 11N140W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N170W 04N170W 07N180 11N180 13N170W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 14S153W 12S143W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 10S174W 11S167W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 06S177W 06S 180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 08:59:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD00MAU1OH9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 06:12:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NMCJxE078551 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 06:12:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NF1S3S042192; Fri, 23 May 2003 17:01:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 17:00:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NM0ZG2039530 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 17:00:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NM0ZhO011071 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 17:00:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NM0YCW011069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 17:00:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 17:00:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305232200.h4NM0YCW011069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 232200 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI MAY 23 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 08:59:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25816-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001532HZZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 06:29:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NMTxxE082092 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 06:30:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NF1S5E042192; Fri, 23 May 2003 17:15:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966553 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 17:15:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NMFiG2028934 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 17:15:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NMFhhO011309 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 17:15:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NMFheZ011308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 17:15:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 17:15:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305232215.h4NMFheZ011308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 232215 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 23 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 13.2N 126.9W AT 23/2100 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 18 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 23/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 138W/139W IS NOW ALONG 139W/140W S OF 13N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..1023 MB HIGH IS NEAR 29N133W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 23N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... ANDRES HAS AN EXPOSED CENTER AGAIN WITH CONVECTION TRAILING E OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 124W-126W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N83W 9N103W 11N104W 11N124W 8N129W 8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 85W TO 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 96W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 104W TO 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS NEAR 116W...AND WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 131W TO 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 11:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 25827-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001NLDPLZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 10:32:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O2WBxE039037 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:32:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXiG037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 970278 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O2NKG2056720 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O2NJhO014536 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O2NJp1014535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240223.h4O2NJp1014535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 240223 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI MAY 23 2003 VISIBLE IMAGES REVEAL THAT ANDRES CONSISTS OF A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH INTERMITTENT CONVECTION. THE CYCLONE IS JUST A SHAPELESS AREA OF CLOUDS ON IR IMAGES. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE CONSERVATIVELY ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS PRIMARILY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. WINDS AND SEAS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY. BECAUSE ANDRES IS RAPIDLY HEADING FOR STRONGER SHEAR AND COOL WATERS...IT SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. ANDRES IS MOVING 285 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS. THE CYCLONE SHOULD TURN MORE TO WEST AS IT BECOMES STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A FEW MORE CONVECTIVE CELLS BEFORE DISSIPATION. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 13.6N 128.4W 35 KT 12HR VT 24/1200Z 14.0N 131.0W 30 KT 24HR VT 25/0000Z 14.0N 134.0W 25 KT 36HR VT 25/1200Z 14.5N 136.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 26/0000Z 14.5N 139.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 27/0000Z 14.5N 142.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 28/0000Z 14.5N 146.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 29/0000Z 14.5N 150.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 11:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 25829-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001WQDTOZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 10:34:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O2YcxE039626 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:34:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXiI037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 970304 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O2NrG2020986 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O2NrhO014548 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O2NrHY014547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 21:23:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240223.h4O2NrHY014547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 240223 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0300Z SAT MAY 24 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 128.4W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 128.4W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 127.6W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.0N 131.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.0N 134.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.5N 136.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.5N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.5N 142.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 14.5N 146.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 14.5N 150.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 128.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 12:29:01 2003 X-UIDL: 25835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001LUHU1Z7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 12:01:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O41FxE065108 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:01:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXks037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:44:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 970959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3iKG2055290 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O3iJhO015314 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:44:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O3iJOo015313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:44:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 22:44:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240344.h4O3iJOo015313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 240344 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 24 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 13.6N 128.4W AT 24/0300 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 16 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 24/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF T.S. ANDRES WITH A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 28N134W AND RIDGE AXIS TO THE SE ALONG 20N115W 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... ANDRES CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF WEAKENING. EXCEPT FOR ONE SMALL CELL OF MODERATE CONVECTION THAT RECENTLY DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER OF ANDRES...MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS DISPLACED TO THE EAST LEAVING AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. EVEN THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS STRUGGLING AS CLOUD TOPS HAVE BEEN WARMING. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 124W-128W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 9N100W 11N120W 12N125W 7N135W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 83W-88W AND FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 97W-110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 110W-120W AND FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 12:29:01 2003 X-UIDL: 25837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001YFHZUZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 12:04:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O44ixE065992 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:04:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXl0037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 971031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3usG2033772 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O3urhO015395 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O3urfO015392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240356.h4O3urfO015392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 240400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 13.6N0 128.4W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 128.4W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.0N5 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.0N5 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z8 --- 14.5N0 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.5N0 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.5N0 142.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 13.6N1 128.4W6. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1550 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240000Z6 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 (KNZY) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240400Z0, 241000Z7, 241600Z3 AND 242200Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 12:29:01 2003 X-UIDL: 25838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD0018CI66Z7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 12:08:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O48WxE067328 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:08:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXl2037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:58:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 971043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:58:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3wGG2042208 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:58:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O3wFhO015410 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:58:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O3wFg4015409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:58:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 22:58:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240358.h4O3wFg4015409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 240400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 13.6N0 128.4W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 128.4W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.0N5 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.0N5 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z8 --- 14.5N0 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.5N0 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.5N0 142.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 13.6N1 128.4W6. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1550 NM //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:47:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25845-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001VANT9Z7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 14:10:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O6ALxE001286 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 14:10:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3tAQO008118; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 972156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O61eG2034260 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O61dhO016477 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O61dSe016475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240601.h4O61dSe016475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/240152ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N1 151.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:47:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001XKNV1Z7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 14:11:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O6BSxE001506 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 14:11:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXri037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:06:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 972201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:06:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O66OG2030466 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:06:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O66OhO016522 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:06:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O66OlS016521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:06:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 01:06:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240606.h4O66OlS016521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 240606 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI MAY 23 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1370 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:47:28 2003 X-UIDL: 25854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001PDY3IZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 17:52:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O9qXxE059073 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:52:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXuU037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 973113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O9mnG2045856 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O9mmhO017865 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O9mmdV017864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240948.h4O9mmdV017864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 240936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 24 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 13.8N 129.7W AT 24/0900 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT 16 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 24/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF T.S. ANDRES WITH A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 28N134W AND RIDGE AXIS TO THE SE ALONG 20N115W 18N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0900 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... ANDRES CONTINUES TO BE RESILIENT TO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR VIA INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. THESE BURSTS OF CONVECTION THEN WEAKEN AND BECOME DISPLACED E OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FOLLOWED BY A NEW BURST. THE MOST CURRENT BURST OF CONVECTION BEGAN AROUND 0300 UTC THIS MORNING AND HAS GROWN OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER...INCREASING DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD ULTIMATELY WEAKEN THE STORM OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 127W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 124W-130W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 9N100W 11N120W 12N125W 7N135W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 84W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 100W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 130W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:47:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001PRY3RZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 17:52:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O9qfxE059112 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:52:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXuO037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 973108 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O9mZG2027316 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O9mYhO017846 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O9mYIt017845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 04:48:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240948.h4O9mYIt017845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 241000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 13.7N1 129.0W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 129.0W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.2N7 131.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 14.4N9 134.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 14.5N0 137.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241000Z7 POSITION NEAR 13.9N3 130.0W4. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1545 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240600Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWP30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241600Z3, 242200Z0, 250400Z1 AND 251000Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:47:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25857-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001M8YRVZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 18:07:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OA78xE062343 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 18:07:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3tAaa008118; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:02:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 973235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:02:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OA2dG2022832 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:02:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OA2chO017997 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:02:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OA2c6Q017996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:02:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 05:02:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241002.h4OA2c6Q017996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 240955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAKENING FRONT...THROUGH 30N155W 28N167W MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 5-10 KT. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 08N140W 08N150W NEARLY STATIONARY. CB HAVE DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 04N174W 08N180 MOVED WEST 12 KT AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... STATIONARY FRONT THROUGH 17S120W 13S130W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 13S147W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT EAST OF 126W. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG REMAINDER OF FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 139W. UPPER LOW NEAR 13S148W MOVED SOUTHEAST 5 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 14S150W 15S141W INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED TCU/CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 09S150W 06S160W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND REMAIN WEAK AND SPARSE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:47:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25860-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE001E902TZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 18:35:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OAZJxE069103 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 18:35:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXvs037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:30:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 973454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:30:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OAU5G2040234 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:30:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OAU4hO018263 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:30:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OAU4FZ018262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:30:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 05:30:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241030.h4OAU4FZ018262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 241029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT MAY 24 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1440 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:57:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE001UYBW4Z7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 22:50:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OEoTxE025757 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 22:50:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtX6Y037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:46:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 975652 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OEkYG2042592 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:46:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OEkXhO020548 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:46:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OEkXn4020547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:46:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 09:46:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241446.h4OEkXn4020547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 241446 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT MAY 24 2003 ANDRES CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN DEEP CONVECTION...WITH TOPS COLDER THAN -80C...NEAR A HARD-TO-FIND CENTER OF CIRCULATION. HOWEVER... WESTERLY OR SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS CONFINING THE CONVECTION TO THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CYCLONE. THE LATEST DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA AGREE ON 35 KT...AND THAT REMAINS THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE PAST FEW QUIKSCAT PASSES HAVE MISSED ANDRES...BUT THE UPCOMING ONE SHOULD BE A HIT AND MIGHT SHED SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT ON THE INTENSITY. ANDRES IS CROSSING THE 26C SST ISOTHERM...AND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL BE PASSING UNDER STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE CURRENT STRONG CONVECTIVE BURST MAY THEREFORE BE THE LAST SIGNIFICANT ONE...AND ANDRES IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST GENEROUSLY CARRIES A CIRCULATION FOR 96 HOURS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE CYCLONE... CURRENTLY 15 KT...THE CIRCULATION COULD EASILY OPEN UP INTO A WAVE BEFORE THEN. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/15. AS THE CONVECTION DIMINISHES OVER COOLER WATERS...ANDRES SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A SLIGHT TURN TO THE WEST AFTER 12 HOURS AND FOLLOWS THE SPEED OF THE SHALLOW LAYER BAM MODEL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 14.2N 131.3W 35 KT 12HR VT 25/0000Z 14.7N 133.6W 30 KT 24HR VT 25/1200Z 14.9N 136.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 26/0000Z 15.0N 139.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 26/1200Z 15.0N 142.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 27/1200Z 15.0N 147.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 28/1200Z 15.0N 150.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:57:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE001V2BW4Z7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 22:50:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OEoVxE025766 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 22:50:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtX6a037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:47:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 975664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OElCG2034058 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:47:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OElChO020564 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:47:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OElCD1020563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:47:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 09:47:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241447.h4OElCD1020563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 241446 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 1500Z SAT MAY 24 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 131.3W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 131.3W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 130.5W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.7N 133.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.9N 136.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.0N 139.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.0N 142.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.0N 147.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 15.0N 150.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 131.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 23:57:18 2003 X-UIDL: 25878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE001A3EVBZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 23:54:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OFslxE039732 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 23:54:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3tA84008118; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:52:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 976383 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:52:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OFqpG2043492 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:52:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OFqohO021470 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:52:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OFqosn021469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:52:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 10:52:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241552.h4OFqosn021469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 241552 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 24 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES CENTER NEAR 14.2N 131.3W AT 24/1500 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 24/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 19N BETWEEN 117W AND 130W...AND NORTH OF 14N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N134W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1530 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... BURST OF NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 129W AND 131W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 9N97W 9N110W 9N123W 8N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W...AND FROM 5.5N TO 7.5N BETWEEN 84W AND 86W. ISOLATED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150-200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS ELSEWHERE EAST OF 110W...AND WITHIN 90-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 125W...AND WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 13N130W 8N135W 6N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW MOVING ACROSS AREA FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W...ALSO TOWARD AREA OF T.S. ANDRES. TROUGH FROM 32N119W...JUST WEST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA/NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BORDER...TO 27N123W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 23:57:18 2003 X-UIDL: 25879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE001CYEX3Z7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 23:55:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OFtrxE039980 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 23:55:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3tA80008118; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:50:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 976378 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OFoZG2053136 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OFoZhO021445 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OFoYDu021444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 10:50:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241550.h4OFoYDu021444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 241600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 14.0N5 130.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 130.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.7N2 133.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.9N4 136.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 15.0N6 139.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241600Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.2N7 131.5W0. TROPICAL STORM 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1450 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241200Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242200Z0, 250400Z1, 251000Z8 AND 251600Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 00:47:18 2003 X-UIDL: 25881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE0014MGWNZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 00:38:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OGcnxE051594 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:38:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3tAC2008118; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:34:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 976721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:34:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OGY4G2027322 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:34:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OGY4hO021919 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:34:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OGY42H021918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:34:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 11:34:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241634.h4OGY42H021918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 241633 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT MAY 24 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1520 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 02:08:10 2003 X-UIDL: 25884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE00ETMKO2QZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 02:00:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OI00Dm084909 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 02:00:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXCi037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 977535 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OHq3G2020912 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OHq2hO022738 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OHq2Px022736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241752.h4OHq2Px022736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 02:08:12 2003 X-UIDL: 25885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE00ETYKORQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 02:00:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OI0TDm085001 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 02:00:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OH5TLM008118; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 977538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OHq3G2054186 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OHq2hO022739 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OHq2Fk022737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 12:52:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241752.h4OHq2Fk022737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 09:38:33 2003 X-UIDL: 25892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE00EVERCDQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 04:24:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OKOCxE014023 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:24:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OH5TbC008118; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 979059 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OKJHG2037846 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OKJGhO024419 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OKJGXd024417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305242019.h4OKJGXd024417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 242018 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT MAY 24 2003 AS IT OFTEN DOES...THE LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS HAS COMPLICATED THE TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY ASSESSMENT. THE 1430Z PASS OVER ANDRES SHOWED SEVERAL PRESUMABLY GOOD 30 KT VECTORS NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION. AT ABOUT THIS RADIUS FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT THERE WERE NUMEROUS 40-45 KT VECTORS. I BELIEVE THAT THESE ARE PROBABLY VALID AS WELL...ALTHOUGH THERE WERE A COUPLE OF 50 KT VECTORS WELL NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER THAT ARE MORE LIKELY CONTAMINATED. MEANWHILE...THE CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY SINCE THIS MORNING...AND WITH THE CYCLONE HEADED OVER COOLER WATERS I AM FACED WITH THE DILEMMA OF HAVING TO RAISE THE ADVISORY INTENSITY AT A TIME WHEN THE CYCLONE IS PROBABLY WEAKENING. IN ALL LIKELIHOOD...ANDRES HAS BEEN A BIT STRONGER ALL ALONG. ANDRES IS CROSSING THE 26C SST ISOTHERM...AND FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL BE PASSING UNDER STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE CONVECTIVE BURST THAT IS CURRENTLY FADING MAY BE THE LAST SIGNIFICANT ONE...AND ANDRES IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SPIN DOWN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST GENEROUSLY CARRIES A CIRCULATION FOR 96 HOURS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE CYCLONE... CURRENTLY 15 KT...THE CIRCULATION COULD EASILY OPEN UP INTO A WAVE BEFORE THEN. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/14. AS THE CONVECTION DIMINISHES OVER COOLER WATERS...ANDRES SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A SLIGHT TURN TO THE WEST AFTER 12 HOURS AND IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE GFS TRACK AND SHALLOW BAM SPEED. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 14.6N 132.5W 40 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 15.0N 134.6W 30 KT 24HR VT 25/1800Z 15.0N 137.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 26/0600Z 15.0N 140.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 26/1800Z 15.0N 142.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 27/1800Z 15.0N 146.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 28/1800Z 15.0N 150.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 09:38:34 2003 X-UIDL: 25893-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE00EVYRCNQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 04:24:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OKOQxE014091 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:24:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnIa037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 979056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OKJHG2058706 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OKJGhO024418 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OKJGXo024415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 15:19:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305242019.h4OKJGXo024415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 242018 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 2100Z SAT MAY 24 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 132.5W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 132.5W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 131.8W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.0N 134.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.0N 137.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.0N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.0N 142.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.0N 146.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 15.0N 150.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 132.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 09:38:35 2003 X-UIDL: 25899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE00ETXWAOQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 06:11:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OMBFNl000607 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 06:11:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnLC037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:01:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 980017 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:01:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OM1TG2042668 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:01:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OM1ThO025693 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:01:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OM1S0a025692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 17:01:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305242201.h4OM1S0a025692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 242200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N178W 09N167W 05N171W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIFGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIFGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 11S148W 07S154W 04S168W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 09:38:36 2003 X-UIDL: 25900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE00EVCWE1QZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 06:13:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OMDHNl001043 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 06:13:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OH5Tm2008118; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:05:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 980072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:05:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OM5iG2025750 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OM5hhO025735 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:05:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OM5hpM025734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:05:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 17:05:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305242205.h4OM5hpM025734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 242205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 24 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES CENTER NEAR 14.6N 132.5W AT 24/2100 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 24/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1023 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 27N136W. RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE TO 16N106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED E OF THE CENTER FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 129W-132W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N79W 6N85W 9N108W 11N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 115 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 84W TO 89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 81W AND 84W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 8N77W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 09:38:36 2003 X-UIDL: 25901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE00EZ8WJCQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 06:16:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OMGRNl001691 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 06:16:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnLQ037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:12:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 980128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:12:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OMCjG2042564 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:12:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OMCjhO025832 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:12:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OMCi25025831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:12:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 17:12:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305242212.h4OMCi25025831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 242212 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT MAY 24 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1580 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:24 2003 X-UIDL: 25910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00E9B7ZRQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 10:23:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2NrNl052033 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 10:23:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnXa037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:20:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 982771 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:20:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2K8G2053212 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:20:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P2K7hO028206 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:20:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P2K7Zq028205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:20:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 21:20:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Forecast/advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250220.h4P2K7Zq028205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 250219 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0300Z SUN MAY 25 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 134.0W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 134.0W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 133.3W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.0N 139.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.0N 141.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.0N 143.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.0N 147.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 15.0N 151.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 134.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:24 2003 X-UIDL: 25911-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00EDA84WQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 10:26:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2QxNl052582 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 10:27:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnXc037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:21:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 982784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:21:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2LsG2014186 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:21:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P2LrhO028228 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:21:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P2LrKW028227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:21:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 21:21:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Andres Discussion Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250221.h4P2LrKW028227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 250221 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT MAY 24 2003 IT IS VERY DIFFICULT TO ACCEPT BY LOOKING AT THE CURRENT IR IMAGES THAT THERE WAS A 40-KNOT TROPICAL CYCLONE A FEW HOURS AGO. THERE MUST HAVE BEEN ONE SINCE QUICKSCAT DATA INDICATED SO. A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEVOID OF CONVECTION IS CLEARLY SEEN ON THE LATEST AVAILABLE HIGH RESOLUTION VIS IMAGES. THIS PATTERN COULD BARELY SUPPORT A MAXIMUM INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS USING SOLELY CONVENTIONAL DVORAK TECHNIQUE. NEVERTHERELESS...THE CYCLONE IS ON A WEAKENING TREND OVER COLD WATER AND SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN 24 HOURS OR SO. THE SWIRL IS MOVING 280 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS BUT IT SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE WEST AS IT SPINS DOWN GRADUALLY. MOST OF THE MODELS DISSIPATE THE CYCLONE IN 24 HOUR OR SO. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 14.7N 134.0W 35 KT 12HR VT 25/1200Z 15.0N 136.0W 25 KT 24HR VT 26/0000Z 15.0N 139.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 26/1200Z 15.0N 141.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 27/0000Z 15.0N 143.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 28/0000Z 15.0N 147.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 29/0000Z 15.0N 151.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00EMSBM3QZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 11:42:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P3g5Nl067942 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:42:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnc0037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 22:37:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 983650 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 22:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P3bNG2039716 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 22:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P3bMhO029088 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 22:37:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P3bMLn029087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 22:37:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 22:37:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250337.h4P3bMLn029087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 250337 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 25 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES CENTER NEAR 14.7N 134.0W AT 25/0300 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 25/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE LIES N AND E OF T.S. ANDRES ALONG 27N140W 28N130W 12N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ANDRES... THE SATELLITE REPRESENTATION OF ANDRES INDICATES A WEAKENING TREND WITH WHAT REMAINS OF THE CONVECTION BECOMING INCREASINGLY DISPLACED E OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY...CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN WARMING OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 128W-133W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 10N100W 9N110W 7N123W 14N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 86W-90W AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 90W-94W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 98W-101W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 102W-107W. WEAKENING AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 113W-122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION N OF 8N BETWEEN 84W-87W INCLUDING NW COSTA RICA AND S NICARAGUA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER PANAMA E OF 81W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00EREHSTQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 13:55:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P5tjNl096953 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 13:55:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnhw037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 984702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P5kIG2054184 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P5kIhO000251 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P5kEdk000243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250546.h4P5kEdk000243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 250546 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT MAY 24 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1670 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:27 2003 X-UIDL: 25924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00EU7HXWQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 13:58:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P5wmNl097724 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 13:58:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2QTYK008118; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 984705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P5kGG2034262 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P5kGhO000245 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P5kC8u000241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250546.h4P5kC8u000241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/250151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/250152ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W WAS LOCATED NEAR NEAR 16.5N2 118.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) AT 250000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N8 154.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 690 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 118.6E6 NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00EAXP5QQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 16:34:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P8YaNl034059 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:34:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnm2037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 985781 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P8VWG2025162 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P8VWhO001700 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P8VWhf001698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Andres Discussion Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250831.h4P8VWhf001698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 250831 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN MAY 25 2003 VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOLER WATER SEEM TO HAVE DELIVERED A LETHAL BLOW TO ANDRES. THE CYCLONE IS NOW A SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS...WITH NO SIGN OF A CONVECTIVE FLARE-UP SIMILAR TO THE LAST THREE NIGHTS. THE LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWED MOSTLY 25-30 KT WINDS...WITH ONLY ONE SUSPECT 35 KT WIND. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT FROM AFWA...30 KT FROM TAFB...AND TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY FROM SAB. BASED ON THE ABOVE...ANDRES IS DOWNGRADED TO A 30 KT DEPRESSION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN UNTIL IT BECOMES A REMNANT LOW IN 24-36 HR. WHILE THE REMNANT IS FORECAST TO PERSIST THROUGH 72 HR...NONE OF THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS MAINTAIN THE SYSTEM THAT LONG AND IT COULD WELL WEAKEN TO AN EASTERLY WAVE BEFORE THEN. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 280/14...AS THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS MOSTLY CONCEALED BY CIRRUS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER- LEVEL FLOW. THE CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW UNTIL IT DISSIPATES. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0900Z 14.9N 135.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 25/1800Z 15.0N 137.3W 25 KT 24HR VT 26/0600Z 15.0N 139.7W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 26/1800Z 15.0N 142.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 27/0600Z 15.0N 144.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 28/0600Z 15.0N 149.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25932-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF004EVP5RWX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 16:34:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P8YaNl034053 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:34:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2QTie008118; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 985784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P8VWG2039556 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P8VWhO001699 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P8VVPV001696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 03:31:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Andres Forecast/advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250831.h4P8VVPV001696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 250831 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0900Z SUN MAY 25 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 135.3W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 135.3W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 134.6W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.0N 137.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.0N 139.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.0N 142.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.0N 144.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.0N 149.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 135.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25935-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF004PQS7AWX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 17:40:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P9eLNl047788 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:40:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnnc037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:33:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 986270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:33:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P9XbG2052574 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:33:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P9XahO002241 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:33:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P9Xa55002240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:33:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 04:33:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250933.h4P9Xa55002240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 250933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 25 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ANDRES DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTERED NEAR 14.9N 135.3W AT 25/0900 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 25/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N AND E OF T.D. ANDRES WITH RIDGE ALONG 28N140W 28N130W 14N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES... ANDRES CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WITH ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION NOW DISSIPATED LEAVING ONLY A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 10N100W 9N110W 7N123W 14N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION N OF 5N E OF 80W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND NW COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-6N BETWEEN 90W-98W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 100W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A PERSISTENT AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER SW NICARAGUA/S HONDURAS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 85W-88W. THIS AREA HAS BEEN SLOWLY MOVING TOWARD THE NW TOWARD EL SALVADOR DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25936-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00E4OSD0QZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 17:43:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P9hqNl048602 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:43:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnng037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:38:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 986314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:38:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P9bxG2051972 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:37:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P9bxhO002297 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:37:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P9bx2J002296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:37:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 04:37:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250937.h4P9bx2J002296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 251000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 022 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 01E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 14.8N3 134.6W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 134.6W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.0N6 137.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.0N6 139.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251000Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.9N4 135.5W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1235 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250600Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251600Z4, 252200Z1 AND 260400Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25938-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF0040CT70WX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 18:01:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PA1oNl052336 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 18:01:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnno037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 986418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P9tUG2025260 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P9tUhO002439 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P9tUQ1002438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 04:55:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250955.h4P9tUQ1002438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 250955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 08N141W AND MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N169W 03N168W 06N175W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S151W 09S144W 13S149W 09S156W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB... WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 02S179E 03S173W 10S176W AND MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 05 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:32 2003 X-UIDL: 25943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF0041MZOMWX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 20:21:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PCM0Nl081470 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 20:22:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnoI037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 07:19:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 987092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 07:18:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PCIwG2045368 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 07:18:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PCIvhO002902 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 07:18:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PCIvEP002901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 07:18:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 07:18:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251218.h4PCIvEP002901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 251012 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN MAY 25 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1745 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 22:45:08 2003 X-UIDL: 25956-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG004B567CWX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 22:42:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PEgqNl009486 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:42:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnww037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:37:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 988625 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:37:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PEbHG2028928 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:37:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PEbHhO003950 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:37:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PEbHL9003949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:37:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 09:37:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Andres Forecast/advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251437.h4PEbHL9003949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 251436 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 1500Z SUN MAY 25 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 136.6W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 136.6W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 136.0W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.7N 138.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.7N 141.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.7N 143.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 136.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 22:45:09 2003 X-UIDL: 25958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG00EWN6ANQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 22:44:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PEipNl009902 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:44:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnx0037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:39:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 988638 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:39:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PEddG2035612 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:39:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PEddhO003968 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PEddgT003967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 09:39:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Andres Discussion Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251439.h4PEddgT003967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 251439 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN MAY 25 2003 ANDRES CONTINUES MOVING TO THE WEST...270/13...AS A LOW-LEVEL VORTEX WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION. WITH A STRONG UPPER TROUGH AHEAD AND COOL WATERS UNDERNEATH...ANDRES IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER AND DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY. ALTHOUGH REMNANT LOW POSITIONS ARE BEING CARRIED THROUGH 36 HOURS...MOST RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING DEFORMED AND IS LIKELY TO OPEN UP BEFORE THEN. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/1500Z 14.7N 136.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 26/0000Z 14.7N 138.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 26/1200Z 14.7N 141.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 27/0000Z 14.7N 143.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 00:26:59 2003 X-UIDL: 25962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG004PF9XETD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 00:03:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PG39Nl029120 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:03:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnxs037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 10:59:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 989252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 10:59:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PFx2G2038658 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 10:59:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PFx2hO004476 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 10:59:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PFx2Ac004475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 10:59:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 10:59:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251559.h4PFx2Ac004475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 251600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E (ANDRES) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 14.7N2 136.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 136.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.7N2 138.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.7N2 141.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251600Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 136.8W8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01E (ANDRES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1120 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251200Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252200Z1, 260400Z2 AND 261000Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 00:27:00 2003 X-UIDL: 25963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG004TVA8FTD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 00:09:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PG9qNl030668 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:09:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMn0S037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:05:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 989381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:05:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PG5mG2019042 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:05:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PG5ihO004558 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PG5irv004557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 11:05:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251605.h4PG5irv004557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 251605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 25 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES CENTER NEAR 14.7N 136.6W AT 25/1500 UTC MOVING WEST 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 25/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE 27N140W 27N128W 23N121W 15N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1530 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES... ANDRES CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WITH ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION NOW DISSIPATED LEAVING ONLY A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 6N96W 10N100W 9N112W 8N127W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 130 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 110 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W AND 125W. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 100W AND 114W...AND WEST OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA COAST FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 88W AND 94W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 00:27:00 2003 X-UIDL: 25964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG00ETZAMLQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 00:18:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PGIINl033039 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:18:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMn0U037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:13:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 989427 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:13:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PGDXG2048842 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:13:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PGDWhO004604 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:13:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PGDWEc004603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 11:13:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 11:13:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251613.h4PGDWEc004603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 251613 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN MAY 25 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES ESAT-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 02:06:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG00449FMWWX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 02:06:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PI6XNl057962 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 02:06:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMn3O037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 990217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PHwlG2015860 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PHwkhO005344 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PHwk8v005342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251758.h4PHwk8v005342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 02:16:45 2003 X-UIDL: 25966-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG0044ZFOWWX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 02:07:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PI7lNl058229 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 02:07:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMn3S037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:59:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 990220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PHwlG2025702 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PHwkhO005345 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PHwk3d005343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 12:58:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251758.h4PHwk3d005343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 04:36:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG004H1MDRTD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 04:32:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PKWINl096221 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:32:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMn8s037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 991693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PKRhG2054028 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PKRghO006695 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PKRg9t006694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Andres Discussion Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305252027.h4PKRg9t006694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 252027 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN MAY 25 2003 THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE WITH ANDRES THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL IS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER...265/16...AND WITH THIS RAPID MOTION IT IS NO LONGER OBVIOUS THAT THE SYSTEM STILL HAS A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. THERE HAS BEEN NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION SINCE ABOUT 00Z TODAY...AND GIVEN THE SHEAR...STABLE ATMOSPHERE...AND 25C WATER...NONE IS EXPECTED. ANDRES IS BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE...AND THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE THE LAST ONE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED A LITTLE SOUTH AND IS A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/2100Z 14.1N 138.7W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 26/0600Z 14.0N 141.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 26/1800Z 14.0N 144.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 04:36:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG004J2MEIWX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 04:32:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PKWeNl096304 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:32:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMn8q037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 991690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PKRBG2014242 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PKRBhO006689 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PKRBgS006688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Andres Forecast/advisory Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305252027.h4PKRBgS006688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 252026 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 2100Z SUN MAY 25 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 138.7W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 138.7W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 137.9W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.0N 141.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 14.0N 144.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z...DISSIPATED NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 06:06:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG00439QM1TD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 06:03:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PM3ZNl014888 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 06:03:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnCw037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:01:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 992827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PM1TG2014246 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:01:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PM1ShO007638 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PM1S0r007637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 17:01:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305252201.h4PM1S0r007637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 252200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 105 NM OF LINE 09N174W 06N170W 06N166W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10N140W 05N146W 05N159W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 15 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 03S179W 07S175W 10S175W 11S178W 08S178E 04S177E HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S156W 10S143W 13S139W 14S145W 11S152W 10S156W 13S158W 07S169W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AND EAST AT 2 TO 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S171W 13S168W 14S172W 13S175W 10S174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 06:06:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG0043DQMFTD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 06:03:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PM3rNl014919 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 06:03:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnCs037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:59:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 992792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:59:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PLxZG2040428 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:59:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PLxZhO007565 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:59:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PLxYZA007564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:59:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 16:59:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305252159.h4PLxYZA007564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 252159 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 25 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 14.1N 138.7W AT 25/2100 UTC MOVING WEST 16 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 25/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1022 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 28N127W. RIDGE EXTENDS SE TO 17N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES... ANDRES CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WITH ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION NOW DISSIPATED LEAVING ONLY A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 8N122W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS E OF 92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM N OF AXIS FROM 110W TO 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 06:36:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25981-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG00BLLS1YXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 06:34:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PMYmNl019615 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 06:34:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnDW037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:30:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 993066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:30:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PMUEG2014860 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PMUEhO007885 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PMUEfW007884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 17:30:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305252230.h4PMUEfW007884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 252229 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN MAY 25 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES...LOCATED ABOUT 1130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 11:01:54 2003 X-UIDL: 25999-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BHU363XL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 10:34:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q2YiNl077341 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 10:34:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PNPgNg037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:28:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 995228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q2SkG2038350 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q2SkhO009937 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q2Skr6009936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 21:28:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Andres Forecast/advisory Number 25 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260228.h4Q2Skr6009936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 260228 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012003 0300Z MON MAY 26 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 139.8W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 139.8W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 139.2W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.1N 141.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 14.2N 144.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 11:01:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BI8365XL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 10:34:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q2YlNl077359 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 10:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PNPgNk037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 995241 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q2ToG2030422 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q2TohO009957 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q2ToM8009956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Andres Discussion Number 25 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260229.h4Q2ToM8009956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 260229 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN MAY 25 2003 THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY DEEP CONVECTION IN ANDRES FOR OVER 24 HOURS AND THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. THE SYSTEM IS CARRIED AS A REMNANT LOW FOR 24 HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATION. THIS WILL BE THE LAST DISCUSSION ON ANDRES UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 14.1N 139.8W 25 KT 12HR VT 26/1200Z 14.1N 141.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 27/0000Z 14.2N 144.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 27/1200Z DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 12:06:37 2003 X-UIDL: 26019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BE57AXXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 12:04:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q440Nl007094 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:04:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q3TiGQ020880; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:58:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 995714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:58:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q3waG2042692 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:58:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q3wahO010598 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:58:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q3wZcT010597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:58:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 22:58:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260358.h4Q3wZcT010597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 260358 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 26 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES IS CENTERED NEAR 14.1N 139.8W AT 26/0300 UTC MOVING WEST AT 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO KT. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS HNLTCMCP1/WTPA21 PHFO FOR MORE DETAILS. BASED ON 26/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W WITH A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N134W AND A RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHEAST TO 22N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES... ANDRES CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WITH ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION NOW DISSIPATED LEAVING ONLY A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N93W 10N110W 10N120W 8N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 122W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 87W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 94W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 116W...WITHIN 90/120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 93W...AND WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA SOUTH OF 12N WEST OF 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 4N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 81W TO 83W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 12:16:28 2003 X-UIDL: 26022-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BR37T7XL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 12:15:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q4F0Nl010734 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:15:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q3TiHU020880; Sun, 25 May 2003 23:11:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 995811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 23:11:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q4BmG2052744 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 23:11:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q4BlhO010723 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 23:11:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q4BlsD010722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 23:11:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 23:11:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260411.h4Q4BlsD010722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 260411 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN MAY 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 14:04:42 2003 X-UIDL: 26032-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00B38COQXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 14:00:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q60CNl045237 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 14:00:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q1iQYk008118; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 996566 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q5q7G2024038 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q5q6hO011399 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q5q62Y011397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260552.h4Q5q62Y011397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/260151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/260152ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 118.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) AT 260000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N3 158.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 690 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, AND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 17:54:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BH6N5GXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 17:46:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q9kGNl020034 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 17:46:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fJg030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:41:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 997694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:41:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q9fmG2034152 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:41:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q9fmhO013061 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:41:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q9fmvV013060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:41:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 04:41:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260941.h4Q9fmvV013060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 260941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 26 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES IS NOW WEST OF THE REGION. BASED ON 26/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W WITH A 1021 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 27N132W AND A RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTHEAST TO 20N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N94W 10N110W 11N117W 7N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 95W AND WITHIN 120/150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 87W...WITHIN 150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 118W...AND WITHIN 60/75 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 120W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 92W TO 94W AND OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 9.5N85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH COLOMBIA WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 3N79W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N85W TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA NEAR 12N87W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 18:19:14 2003 X-UIDL: 26054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BYQNTCXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 18:00:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QA0ZNl024693 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 18:00:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fJu030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 997810 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q9tiG2044816 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q9tihO013182 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q9thu5013181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 04:55:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260955.h4Q9thu5013181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 260955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS OTHERWISE STATED. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF FORMER EAST PACIFIC TROPICAL STORM ANDRES WAS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 141.1W AT 26/0830 UTC...HAS BEEN NEARLY DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION AND MOVED WEST AT 15 KT. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11N140W 07N147W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N174W 06N169W 04N173W 07N175W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 05S177W 08S155W 11S143W MOVED NORTH SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13S170W 11S176W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 18:19:14 2003 X-UIDL: 26055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BPRO63XL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 18:08:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QA8KNl026944 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 18:08:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fK6030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 05:04:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 997848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 05:04:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QA4eG2007986 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 05:04:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QA4dhO013298 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 05:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QA4dVq013297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 05:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 05:04:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261004.h4QA4dVq013297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 261004 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON MAY 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 00:09:51 2003 X-UIDL: 26083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00BZJ4QQXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 00:06:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QG6CNl025288 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:06:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fTW030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 11:00:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1000268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 11:00:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QFxxG2045006 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 11:00:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QFxxhO016133 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 10:59:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QFxxTG016132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 10:59:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 10:59:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261559.h4QFxxTG016132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 261559 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 26 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..T.D. ANDRES DISSIPATED AND HAS BEEN A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE CENTER SINCE 26/0300 UTC. NOW...1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER WEST OF THE AREA NEAR 15N142W. BASED ON 26/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..RIDGE FROM 15N112W TO 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N131W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N98W 10N110W 10N120W 9N131W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 98W... AND WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 11N114W 6N131W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 110W...WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 135W AND 137W. INDIVIDUAL CELL OF STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF 6N82.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 92W AND 95W... FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND 105W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 00:49:52 2003 X-UIDL: 26086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00BGC6ASXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 00:40:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QGdvNl034890 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:39:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fUU030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 11:36:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1000528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 11:36:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QGaTG2038900 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 11:36:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QGaThO016431 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 11:36:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QGaSW6016430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 11:36:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 11:36:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261636.h4QGaSW6016430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 261636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON MAY 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:23 2003 X-UIDL: 26090-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00BVC98PXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 01:43:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QHhSNl053819 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 01:43:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fVU030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1000990 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QHdeG2014938 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QHddhO017113 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QHddMY017111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261739.h4QHddMY017111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:23 2003 X-UIDL: 26092-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00B819I2XL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 01:49:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QHn7Nl055341 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 01:49:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QF0XTa035242; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1000993 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QHdeG2037030 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QHddhO017114 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QHddQV017112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 12:39:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261739.h4QHddQV017112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:26 2003 X-UIDL: 26102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00BQDL47XL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 06:00:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QLxuNl021101 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:59:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fcS030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:53:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:53:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QLrhG2036080 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:53:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QLrghO019154 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:53:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QLrgta019153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:53:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 16:53:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305262153.h4QLrgta019153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 262153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 26 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 26/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 29N130W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N100W 10N112W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS E OF 100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W TO 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 84W-90W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:26 2003 X-UIDL: 26103-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00BZAL79XL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 06:01:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QM1oNl021920 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 06:01:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QF0XrA035242; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:58:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:58:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QLwMG2035898 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:58:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QLwMhO019186 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:58:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QLwM5q019185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:58:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 16:58:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305262158.h4QLwM5q019185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 262158 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N142W HAS ISOLATED CU/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. DISTURBANCE MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 10 KT. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09N146W 03N155W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 07N177W 02N167W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 05S180 07S155W 13S140W...ARE NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE THROUGH 11S176W 12S165W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:27 2003 X-UIDL: 26104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI0066BN5TMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 06:44:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QMi9Nl029897 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 06:44:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QF0Xvc035242; Mon, 26 May 2003 17:38:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 17:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QMcGG2020798 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 17:38:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QMcGMl000785 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 17:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QMcGxL000784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 17:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 17:38:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305262238.h4QMcGxL000784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 262237 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON MAY 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 11:53:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006VN1D2MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 11:51:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R3oqNl014506 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 11:50:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fnA030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 22:43:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1005656 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 22:43:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R3hTG2044212 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 22:43:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R3hTMl003736 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 22:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R3hTVC003735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 22:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 22:43:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270343.h4R3hTVC003735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 270343 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 27 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 27/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 120W TO 140W WITH A 1022 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 29N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N84W 8N89W 10N108W 12N113W 10N120W 9N129W 6N135W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 123W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 100W AND WITHIN 125 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 130W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA SOUTH OF 10N TO THE BORDER OF PANAMA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 3N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 12:13:34 2003 X-UIDL: 26133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006WJ213MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 12:05:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R45JNl019140 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:05:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fnK030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 23:01:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1005748 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 23:01:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R41fG2030190 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 23:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R41eMl003915 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 23:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R41eog003914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 23:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 23:01:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270401.h4R41eog003914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 270357 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON MAY 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 13:33:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26138-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006E861UMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 13:32:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R5WBNl043181 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 13:32:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R2pTNi035242; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1006353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R5NeG2052988 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R5NdMl004526 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R5Ndnj004524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270523.h4R5Ndnj004524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/270151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/270152ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 119.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 25 NM WEST OF DAGUPAN, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N4 166.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 850 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 270300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 18:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006FTHDNMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 17:36:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R9aoNl021501 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:36:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fuS030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:30:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1007458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R9UwG2050562 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:30:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R9UwMl006464 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R9Uw2O006463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 04:30:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270930.h4R9Uw2O006463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 270930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 27 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 27/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 120W TO 138W WITH A 1021 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 6N87W 10N96W 11N110W 11N117W 10N123W 6N136W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 93W...WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N86.5W AND NORTH OF 12.5N EAST OF 88W TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 89W TO 91W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG THE REMAINDER OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 18:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26162-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006N0HVIMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 17:47:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R9lYNl024772 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:47:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fue030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:44:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1007569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:44:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R9i0G2044954 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:44:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R9i0Ml006552 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:44:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R9i0lH006551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:44:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 04:44:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...correction For Times... Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270944.h4R9i0lH006551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 270943 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTION FOR TIMES... NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 27 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. BASED ON 27/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 120W TO 138W WITH A 1021 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 6N87W 10N96W 11N110W 11N117W 10N123W 6N136W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 93W...WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N86.5W AND NORTH OF 12.5N EAST OF 88W TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 89W TO 91W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG THE REMAINDER OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 18:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006KVIQRMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RA6ENl030002 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fv8030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:01:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1007685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:01:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RA1wG2052000 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:01:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RA1vMl006702 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:01:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RA1v1E006701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:01:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 05:01:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271001.h4RA1v1E006701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 271000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N180 08N174W 02N168W 05N165W 03N156W 01N156W 02N162W EQ167W EQ169W 01N177W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12N145W 05N149W 07N156W 08N151W 11N149W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 06S169W 09S166W 12S173W 11S178E 07S179E 08S171W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S160W 07S155W 10S158W 09S161W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT... DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 13S137W 14S141W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 18:16:44 2003 X-UIDL: 26166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006B4J32MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 18:13:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RADiNl032188 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:13:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fvG030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:07:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1007732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:07:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RA7RG2021494 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:07:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RA7RMl006740 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RA7ReW006739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 05:07:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271007.h4RA7ReW006739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 271007 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE MAY 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 22:00:36 2003 X-UIDL: 26181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ00667T70MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 21:52:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RDq5Nl092133 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:52:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54f8Y030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:37:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1010106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:37:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RDbEG2051066 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:37:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RDbDMl009669 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:37:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RDbD5d009668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:37:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 08:37:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271337.h4RDbD5d009668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 271337 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 27 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. BASED ON 27/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N138W BEYOND 29N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS NW OF 32N136W 28N140W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 6N87W 10N96W 11N108W 11N120W 9N128W 7N133W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 112W...AND WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 127W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG...WITH SOME DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...FROM COLOMBIA/ECUADOR BORDER TO 7N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 80W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 13.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 99W AND 105W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W. OTHER ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN CENTRAL AMERICA COAST AND 95W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 123W...RELATED TO A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IN NE MEXICO NEAR 28N102W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 00:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 26193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK006Z20M5MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 00:32:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGWLNl041206 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 00:32:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RG1DGs030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 11:16:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1011750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 11:16:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGG6G2052126 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 11:16:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RGG5Ml015541 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 11:16:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RGG5Gw015540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 11:16:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 11:16:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271616.h4RGG5Gw015540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 271615 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE MAY 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH OF GUATEMALA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. A SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 02:00:11 2003 X-UIDL: 26195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK006MJ3GJMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 01:33:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RHXcNl061714 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:33:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RFx6UY045344; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1013009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RHNNG2004982 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RHNNMl018139 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RHNMoD018137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271723.h4RHNMoD018137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 02:00:11 2003 X-UIDL: 26196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK006MW3GRMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 01:34:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RHXuNl061826 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:33:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1IY030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1013006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RHNNG2010420 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RHNNMl018140 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RHNMlF018138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 12:23:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271723.h4RHNMlF018138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 05:58:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK006MXFK0MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 05:55:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RLt2Nl038083 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:55:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1W0030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 16:42:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 16:42:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RLgpG2045864 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 16:42:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RLgoMl027176 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 16:42:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RLgo8d027175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 16:42:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 16:42:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305272142.h4RLgo8d027175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 272142 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 27 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 27/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N138W BEYOND 29N140W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS MARK THE LOCATION OF THE FRONT WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS N OF 30N UP TO 60 NM BEHIND FRONT. ..1021 MB HIGH CENTER IS NEAR 28N130W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 19N106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N82W 10N110W 11N120W 10N135W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 88W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 119W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 10N110W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 134W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 9N89W 12N91W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N104W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 06:18:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK00H6ZGIDQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 06:15:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RMFeNl042905 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 06:15:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RJTNVO045348; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:03:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015983 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:03:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RM3EG2044148 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:03:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RM3EMl027571 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:03:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RM3ERg027570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:03:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 17:03:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305272203.h4RM3ERg027570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 272203 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 11N178E 04N171W 01N178E MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB 07N159W 04N159W 01N164W EQ172W 06N170W MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N156W 08N146W 06N156W MOVED WEST 10 KNOTS AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE TROUGH...NEW OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 09S161W. ISOLATED CB SURROUND OCCASIONAL AREA BOUNDED BY 06S157W 10S147W 14S173W 11S179W 08S172W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S144W 13S137W 16S141W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 20S142W 28N142W 26S145W MOVED EAST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 06:58:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK00HTFI3QQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 06:50:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RMo7Nl049471 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 06:50:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1Yg030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:39:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1016237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RMUrG2025666 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RMUrMl027968 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RMUr3F027967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 17:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 17:30:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305272230.h4RMUr3F027967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 272230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE MAY 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH OF GUATEMALA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. A SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 07:18:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK00HAGJEBQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 07:18:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RNI3Nl054897 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 07:18:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RJTNbo045348; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1016649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RN6aG2051188 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RN6aMl028403 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RN6aRb028401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305272306.h4RN6aRb028401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 272230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/272230Z/280600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/271951ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/270152ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271800Z8, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N0 122.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 31 NM EAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 272100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N4 166.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 850 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 270300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.9N7 149.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE PERSISTENT CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LIES IN THE DIFFLUENT AREA SOUTHEAST OF AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK TO MODERATE SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) AND UPDATED WARNING INFORMATION IN PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/RONSSE/NUTONGLA/SPANSKI/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 11:49:30 2003 X-UIDL: 26233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK00H6CVM4QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 11:42:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S3ftNl027080 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 11:41:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1ja030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 22:34:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1018823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 22:34:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S3YvG2004956 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 22:34:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S3YvMl001646 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 22:34:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S3YvLd001645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 22:34:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 22:34:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280334.h4S3YvLd001645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 280334 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE MAY 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH OF GUATEMALA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. A SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 12:15:18 2003 X-UIDL: 26237-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK00HG8WVUQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 12:09:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S49MNl036669 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:09:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1kK030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 23:02:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1019069 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 23:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S426G2004964 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 23:02:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S425Ml001942 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 23:02:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S4253k001941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 23:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 23:02:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280402.h4S4253k001941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 280357 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 28 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N137W AND EXTENDS TO BEYOND 25N140W. ..A 1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 25N132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N93W 10N110W 10N135W 6N1240W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 90W AND FROM 92W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 112W AND FROM 119W TO 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 75/90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA SOUTH OF 11N WEST OF 80W AND IN A THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7N78.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 14:39:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00H4I3R5QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 14:37:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S6bkNl081283 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 14:37:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1oq030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S6MCG2029594 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S6MCMl003345 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S6MCiC003341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280622.h4S6MCiC003341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/280151ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N4 122.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 48 NM EAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 149.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 148.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE PERSISTENT CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LIES IN THE DIFFLUENT AREA SOUTHEAST OF AN WEAK UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 17:58:26 2003 X-UIDL: 26290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HQVCM9QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 17:49:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S9nCNl034963 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 17:49:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1rC030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 04:44:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 04:44:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S9ihG2058856 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 04:44:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S9igMl005137 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 04:44:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S9igFD005136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 04:44:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 04:44:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280944.h4S9igFD005136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 280944 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 28 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N135W AND EXTENDS TO 25N141W. ..A 1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 27N133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N88W 8N110W 11N111W 11N136W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 117W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 94W AND FROM 98W TO 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 109W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N107W TO 11N110W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 131W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA TO 95W IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE ENTIRE COASTS OF NICARAGUA... EL SALVADOR...AND GUATEMALA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 9.5N87W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR...COLOMBIA... PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA FROM THE EQUATOR TO 10N...AND FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 102W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 18:08:26 2003 X-UIDL: 26293-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HKNDFQQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 18:07:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SA6kNl040372 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:06:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1ro030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:03:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:03:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SA3HG2021352 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:03:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SA3GMl005383 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:03:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SA3GYY005382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:03:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 05:03:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281003.h4SA3GYY005382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 281002 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 13N159W 10N149W 04N155W 07N161W 10N160W 10N164W 12N164W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 06N170W 03N173W 03N171W 04N169W 03N164W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 8 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06N141W 05N144W 06N148W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10S174W 11S166W 12S165W 15S167W 14S172W 13S177W 11S176E 09S177E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05S167W 07S163W 09S164W 07S155W 08S152W 10S150W 12S163W 10S165W 07S173W 05S172W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 18S137W 25S135W 25S139W 18S140W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 TO 20 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...FIRST SENTENCE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 18:28:26 2003 X-UIDL: 26295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HMOECQQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 18:26:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SAQhNl046246 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:26:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1s2030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:20:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:20:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SAKUG2045324 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:20:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SAKUMl005538 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:20:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SAKUMC005537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 05:20:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 05:20:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281020.h4SAKUMC005537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 281020 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED MAY 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH OF GUATEMALA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. A SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 23:35:16 2003 X-UIDL: 26318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HQWSJ2QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 23:33:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SFWgNl030575 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 23:32:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl18o030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 10:25:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 10:25:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SFP4G2044156 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 10:25:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SFP4Ml012016 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 10:25:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SFP4uE012015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 10:25:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 10:25:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281525.h4SFP4uE012015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 281524 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 28 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N133W AND EXTENDS SW ALONG 26N137W TO BEYOND 25N141W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..A DISSIPATING 1018 MB HIGH IS LOCATED JUST E OF FRONT NEAR 26N133W WITH RIDGE EXTENDING SE TO 19N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N89W 7N100W 12N116W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 93W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 107W-116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 120W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 136-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WEAKENING AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 91W-94W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 00:52:04 2003 X-UIDL: 26324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HJ9VOSQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 00:41:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SGf0Nl051227 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:41:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1Fs030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 11:31:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1024605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 11:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SGV4G2023244 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 11:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SGV4Ml014630 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 11:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SGV4VS014629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 11:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 11:31:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281631.h4SGV4VS014629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 281630 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED MAY 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF CENTRAL AMERICA HAS DIMINISHED. HOWEVER...CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS REMAIN ALONG THE COAST FROM EL SALVADOR WESTWARD THROUGH EASTERN MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 01:31:48 2003 X-UIDL: 26326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HCRXTKQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 01:27:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SHRBNl067511 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 01:27:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SGvAI6041060; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1025386 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SHJaG2029658 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SHJZMl016562 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SHJZv3016560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281719.h4SHJZv3016560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 01:31:48 2003 X-UIDL: 26327-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HEYXUXQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 01:28:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SHRxNl067673 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 01:28:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SGvAIA041060; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1025389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SHJaG2046016 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SHJZMl016563 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SHJZU9016561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 12:19:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281719.h4SHJZU9016561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 06:11:49 2003 X-UIDL: 26341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00H2EAOCQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 06:05:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SM4pNl048140 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 06:04:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SLiSH2040390; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1029306 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SLtYG2037850 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SLtXMl026003 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SLtXpu026002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 16:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305282155.h4SLtXpu026002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 282155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N140W 04N146W06N152W MOVED WEST 15-20 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05N165W 11N159W 07N156W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND REMAIN SPARSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 06S180 13S164W NEARLY STATIONARY. LARGE AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 12S180 05S170W 13S164W 15S167W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 14S140W 18S137W 25S137W MOVING EAST 10-15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. TROUGH...THROUGH 25S177W 23S180 MOVING EAST 20 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG TROUGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 06:11:49 2003 X-UIDL: 26342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00H4XAR5QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 06:06:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SM6YNl048488 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 06:06:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SGvAuo041060; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:46:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1029166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:46:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SLkRG2030338 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:46:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SLkGMl025805 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SLkGdw025804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 16:46:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305282146.h4SLkGdw025804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 282146 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 28 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 28/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS SW ALONG 28N135W TO BEYOND 24N140W. BROKEN LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..A DISSIPATING 1019 MB HIGH IS LOCATED JUST E OF FRONT NEAR 25N134W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N83W 9N100W 11N116W 10N127W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 87W-93W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 108W-115W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 7N-11N W OF 130W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 5N86W AND 7N98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12.5N102W 13N108W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 07:11:49 2003 X-UIDL: 26344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00AJBDBKO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 07:02:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SN1wNl061360 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 07:01:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SLiSKq040390; Wed, 28 May 2003 17:44:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1029862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 17:34:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMYDG2030308 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 17:34:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SMYDMl026848 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 17:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SMYDe3026847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 17:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 17:34:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305282234.h4SMYDe3026847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 282234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED MAY 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 07:31:49 2003 X-UIDL: 26346-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00AQ8EFSO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 07:26:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SNQ9Nl066436 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 07:26:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAGm025944; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1030390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SNEBG2023846 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SNEAMl027419 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SNEACY027417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305282314.h4SNEACY027417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 282230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/282230Z/290600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/281951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281800Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 124.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 282100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 148.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1) AND DISSIPATED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RAINER/HEATH/KELSEY/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 13:36:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26362-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00AC8QBFO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 11:42:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T3ggNl043339 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 11:42:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnARI025944; Wed, 28 May 2003 22:37:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1033049 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 22:37:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T3bOG2030152 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 22:37:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T3bOMl000322 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 22:37:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T3bNVY000321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 22:37:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 22:37:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290337.h4T3bNVY000321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 290337 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED MAY 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF GUATEMALA. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY... SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 13:36:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00A4BRKMO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 12:09:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T49lNl051007 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 12:09:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnARq025944; Wed, 28 May 2003 23:02:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1033248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 23:02:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T42pG2005048 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 23:02:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T42oMl000579 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 23:02:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T42otG000578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 23:02:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 23:02:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290402.h4T42otG000578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 290358 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 29 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 29/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH...REMNANT OF A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM SIX HOURS AGO...THROUGH 32N131W TO 30N131W TO 24N140W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 32N131W 24N140W TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 10N88W 9N110W 10N130W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 108W... WITHIN 120 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 115W...AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 130W. ISOLATED CELL FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 121W AND 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... INDIVIDUAL CELLS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 10N86W OFF COSTA RICA COAST...FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 87W AND 88W ALONG NW COAST OF NICARAGUA...ALONG COASTS OF SW GUATEMALA/SE MEXICO FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W. TROUGH WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 27N129W BEYOND 32N129W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 13:36:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00A0PUUQO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 13:20:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T5KgNl071763 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 13:20:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T0vCi8045844; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:12:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1034022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:03:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T53YG2019094 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:03:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T53YMl001188 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:03:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T53Yon001186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:03:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 00:03:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290503.h4T53Yon001186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/290151ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N7 125.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 290300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 17:52:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00AP76YTO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 17:42:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T9gKNl054932 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 17:42:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAa2025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 04:36:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1035780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 04:36:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T9aqG2029096 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 04:36:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T9apMl003349 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 04:36:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T9apM1003348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 04:36:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 04:36:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290936.h4T9apM1003348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 290936 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N140W 08N140W 05N160W 06N175W 12N166W 11N140W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 02S180 12S156W 16S156W 16S171W 10S180 02S180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CONVERGENCE ZONE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 18:23:40 2003 X-UIDL: 26394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00AVS8GLO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 18:14:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TAEYNl064433 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 18:14:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAaK025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:07:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1035905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:07:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TA74G2025148 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:07:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TA73Ml003617 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:07:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TA73gD003616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:07:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 05:07:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305291007.h4TA73gD003616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 291006 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 29 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 29/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH...REMNANT OF A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM TWELVE HOURS AGO...FROM 1018 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 32N133W TO 28N132W TO 23N140W. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 32N133W 23N140W TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 8N93W 8N110W 10N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS ...BETWEEN 81W AND 85W... BETWEEN 120W AND 123W...AND WEST OF 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA COAST FROM NICARAGUA TO MEXICO...BETWEEN 88W AND 91W... AND BETWEEN 92W AND 98W. THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MIGHT BE RELATED TO A SURFACE TROUGH WHICH RUNS FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...TO SOUTHERN GUATEMALA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W. TROUGH WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 26N128W BEYOND 32N126W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 23:04:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26395-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00AL39BMO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 18:33:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TAXFNl070008 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 18:33:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAaa025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:29:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1035988 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:29:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TAT0G2044106 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:29:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TAT0Ml003741 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TAT0x0003740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 05:29:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305291029.h4TAT0x0003740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 291028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU MAY 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF GUATEMALA. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY... SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 00:58:50 2003 X-UIDL: 26409-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00A9TNBQO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 23:35:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TFZfNl057521 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 23:35:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAoK025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 10:26:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1038951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 10:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TFQvG2037024 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 10:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TFQuMl010517 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 10:26:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TFQtgg010516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 10:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 10:26:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305291526.h4TFQtgg010516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 291526 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 29 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/1200 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..EARLIER REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH HAS DISSIPATED WITH THE LATEST QUIKSCAT INDICATING UNIFORM FLOW. THERE IS AN OLD LOW CLOUD LINE ALONG 31N130W 26N132W 24N140W WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA N OF 10N W OF 100W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM 30N140W SE TO 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N87W 8N100W 11N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 77W-79W AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 88W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 101W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 128W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER REMAINS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 93W-99W AND FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 88W-92W. MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SEA OF CORTEX NEAR 27N111W IS ADVECTING TROPICAL MOISTURE NWD OVER CENTRAL AND S MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 09:04:26 2003 X-UIDL: 26415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00ARFRIBO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 01:06:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TH5wNl085743 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 01:06:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAtk025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 11:56:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1039930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 11:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TGukG2042654 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 11:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TGujMl013603 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 11:56:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TGujnj013602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 11:56:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 11:56:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305291656.h4TGujnj013602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 291656 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU MAY 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 09:04:27 2003 X-UIDL: 26423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO00A8A5AHO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 06:03:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TM3hNl072698 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 06:03:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnADi025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:50:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1043746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:50:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TLoFG2030320 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:50:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TLo9Ml027716 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:50:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TLo9Wk027715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:50:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 16:50:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305292150.h4TLo9Wk027715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 292150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 29 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 29/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA N OF 10N W OF 105W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM 30N140W SE TO 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 9N91W 7N103W 12N106W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N-9.5N BETWEEN 88W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 134W...E OF 80W AND FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 104W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 97W-104W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 122W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 89W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 12N94W AND 12.5N105W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 09:04:28 2003 X-UIDL: 26424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO00AB15C2O2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 06:04:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TM4bNl072951 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 06:04:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAEE025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:56:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1043804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TLtPG2035614 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:55:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TLtPMl027869 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TLtPeG027868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 16:55:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305292155.h4TLtPeG027868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 292155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 08N151W 10N140W EXTEND EASTWARD AND MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 25S160W 22S170W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 23S180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. BROKEN LAYERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. FRONT MOVING EAST 20 KT. SHEAR LINE MOVING NORTH 5 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... TROUGH THROUGH 15S161W 07S180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF TROUGH CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... TROUGH THROUGH 15S137W 25S130W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH SOUTH OF 22S. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG TROUGH NORTH OF 22. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 09:04:28 2003 X-UIDL: 26425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO005U775JZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 06:44:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMi0Nl081780 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 06:44:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAFm025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 17:36:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1044158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 17:36:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMaMG2028500 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 17:36:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TMaMMl028568 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 17:36:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TMaMgD028567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 17:36:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 17:36:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305292236.h4TMaMgD028567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 292236 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU MAY 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED THIS AFTERNOON IN THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 14:16:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO005F8L5DZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 11:46:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U3kINl070731 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:46:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2RC025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:41:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1047001 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:41:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U3fOG2040732 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:41:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U3fOMl001867 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:41:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U3fOhJ001866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:41:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 22:41:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300341.h4U3fOhJ001866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 300341 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU MAY 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. SOME ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 14:16:56 2003 X-UIDL: 26449-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO005U0MABZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 12:10:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U4ApNl078116 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:10:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2Ss025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 23:06:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1047348 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 23:06:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U46sG2019098 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 23:06:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U46rMl002093 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 23:06:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U46r4W002092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 23:06:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 23:06:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300406.h4U46r4W002092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 300406 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 30 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 30/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH FROM YUCATAN PENINSULA TO SOUTHERN GUATEMALA COAST NEAR 14N92W TO 10N92W TO 4N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THE ITCZ FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 96W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM NW NICARAGUA TO SW HONDURAS TO SE EL SALVADOR FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHERN GUATEMALA FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN 89W AND 92W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 10N94W 10N110W 11N120W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 124W...AND WEST OF 128W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM COLOMBIA/ECUADOR BORDER TO PANAMA COASTAL WATERS EAST OF 90W...AND WITHIN 210 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W...RELATED TO A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 28N113W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 14:16:57 2003 X-UIDL: 26454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO0051VQVFZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 13:50:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U5nqNl007425 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:49:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2Xu025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U5ZYG2025720 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U5ZXMl003059 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U5ZXxR003057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300535.h4U5ZXxR003057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/300151ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N9 129.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 117.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 118.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED OVER AN ELONGATED SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH, WITH NO APPARENT LOW LEVEL CIRCUALTION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF MULTIPLE POINT SOURCES OVER THE AREA, PROVIDING FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.4S3 174.3W5, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO, IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 17:55:27 2003 X-UIDL: 26486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP0058B21JZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 17:51:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U9p5Nl083968 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 17:51:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2bK025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:45:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:45:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U9jAG2037022 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:45:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U9j9Ml005114 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:45:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U9j9mU005113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:45:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 04:45:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300945.h4U9j9mU005113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 300944 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09N140W 10N155W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 10N162W 09N171W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N180 06N177W 03N178W 03N180 09N180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH/CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 07S180 20S150W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH/CONVERGENCE ZONE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 17:55:27 2003 X-UIDL: 26487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP0058G21KZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 17:51:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U9pENl084003 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 17:51:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2bM025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:47:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049553 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:47:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U9l3G2052540 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:47:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U9l3Ml005136 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U9l3bh005135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 04:47:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300947.h4U9l3bh005135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 300946 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI MAY 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUES SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 18:15:47 2003 X-UIDL: 26490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005712YRZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 18:11:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UAAvNl089753 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 18:10:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2ba025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 05:06:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 05:06:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UA64G2029106 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 05:06:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UA63Ml005300 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 05:06:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UA63ID005299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 05:06:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 05:06:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301006.h4UA63ID005299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 301005 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 30 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. NO TROPICAL WAVES. BASED ON 30/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROUGH ALONG 95W FROM 5N TO 16N IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS... WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST...BETWEEN 87W AND 93W...IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 98W...AND FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W. ..1018 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N134W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W...AND FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 10N94W 10N110W 10N124W 9N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W IN COLOMBIA COASTAL WATERS...AND FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W...AND WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 130W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 2N TO 4N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W...RELATED TO A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 28N113W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 03:31:23 2003 X-UIDL: 26510-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005F8LQAZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 00:56:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UGuQNl006276 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 00:56:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2sI025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1053318 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UGlqG2026226 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UGlqMl014375 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UGlqn5014374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301647.h4UGlqn5014374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 301647 RRA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 30 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W S OF 15N MOVING SLOWLY W NEAR 5 KT. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE REMAINS RATHER BROAD AND DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING A FAIR AMOUNT OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 90W-98W. THIS ACTIVITY MAY AFFECT COASTAL REGIONS OF S MEXICO AND GUATEMALA TODAY. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 95W-101W. ..LOW LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 24N129W-31N137W. NO SIGNFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. ..ELSEWHERE N OF 10N W OF 110W...HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS WITH RIDGE ALONG 27N140W-19N125W-13N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N100W 7N110W 10N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 77W-85W AND FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 85W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 104W-108W AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 124W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 03:31:23 2003 X-UIDL: 26511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005FXLQSZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 00:56:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UGuiNl006375 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 00:56:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2rG025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:45:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1053267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:45:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UGjTG2019080 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:45:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UGjTMl014254 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UGjTOQ014253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 11:45:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301645.h4UGjTOQ014253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 301645 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI MAY 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS AND IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 03:31:23 2003 X-UIDL: 26512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005LQLUFZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 00:59:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UGwmNl007016 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 00:58:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2sA025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1053311 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UGlfG2028584 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UGlfMl014364 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UGlfil014363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 11:47:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301647.h4UGlfil014363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 301647 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 30 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W S OF 15N MOVING SLOWLY W NEAR 5 KT. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE REMAINS RATHER BROAD AND DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING A FAIR AMOUNT OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 90W-98W. THIS ACTIVITY MAY AFFECT COASTAL REGIONS OF S MEXICO AND GUATEMALA TODAY. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 95W-101W. ..LOW LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 24N129W-31N137W. NO SIGNFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. ..ELSEWHERE N OF 10N W OF 110W...HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS WITH RIDGE ALONG 27N140W-19N125W-13N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/XXXX UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N100W 7N110W 10N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 77W-85W AND FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 85W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 104W-108W AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 124W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 03:31:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26515-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005PAN99ZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 01:29:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHTPNl017344 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:29:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UEIta0045864; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1053738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHH0G2019930 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UHH0Ml015401 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UHH0Sv015399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301717.h4UHH0Sv015399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/300151ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N3 130.2E6, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 117.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 118.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED OVER AN ELONGATED SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH, WITH NO APPARENT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF MULTIPLE POINT SOURCES OVER THE AREA, PROVIDING FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.4S3 174.3W5, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO, IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: MOVED THE POOR SUSPECT AREA FROM PARA 1.A.(2) TO PARA 1.B.(1). UPDATED SUSPECT AREA POSITION AND ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE. ADJUSTED WARNING POSITION IN PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 03:31:31 2003 X-UIDL: 26518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP0053HP46ZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 02:09:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UI9YNl027723 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 02:09:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9Gu041818; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UI2SG2019822 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UI2SMl016982 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UI2StP016981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301802.h4UI2StP016981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z/311800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/DENSON/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 03:31:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP0054WP4VZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 02:10:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UIA1Nl027934 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 02:10:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9GW025964; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UI2SG2021360 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UI2SMl016983 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UI2Sc1016980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 13:02:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301802.h4UI2Sc1016980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z/311800ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/DENSON/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 06:11:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005AJZZCZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 06:04:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UM4GNl098024 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 06:04:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9UI041818; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:59:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 2949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:59:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ULxEG2015360 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:59:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4ULxEMl024318 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:59:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4ULxEuG024317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:59:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 16:59:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305302159.h4ULxEuG024317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 302159 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 30 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. BASED ON 30/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W/95W S OF 15N MOVING SLOWLY W NEAR 5 KT. THE SYSTEM HAS GOTTEN A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 24 HOURS BUT STILL LACKS SIGNIFICANT CURVATURE...BANDING FEATURES AND A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF A MID-LEVEL CENTER NEAR 13N95W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7.5N-11N BETWEEN 91W-96W IN THE ITCZ. ISOLATED TSTM ACTIVITY IS AFFECTING COASTAL REGIONS OF S MEXICO AND GUATEMALA. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS IN FORCE W OF 110W N OF THE ITCZ WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG ALONG 26N126W 17N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N94W 9N110W 11N123W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 98W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF AXIS FROM 81W-89W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 112W-117W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG IS ALONG THE W COAST OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA BETWEEN 82W-867W AND NEAR THE GULF OF FONSECA. ISOLATED MODERATE CLUSTERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11.5N105W AND 11.5N111W PLUS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE W COAST OF COLOMBIA N OF 2N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 06:11:09 2003 X-UIDL: 26531-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ005DV04PZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 06:07:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UM7QNl098544 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 06:07:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9UG041818; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 2929 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ULtWG2024814 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4ULtWMl024259 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4ULtW9W024258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 16:55:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305302155.h4ULtW9W024258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 302155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 09N141W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 08N150W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N166W 06N160W 04N168W 07N173W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N173W 02N179W 13N174E MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW AND TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11S170W 12S165W 18S164W 18S167W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 17S169W 19S155W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB... WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 02S179W 05S176W 10S179W 05S173E MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BINGAMAN/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 06:51:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HLJ21G8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 06:48:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UMmjNl007034 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 06:48:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9WA041818; Fri, 30 May 2003 17:38:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 3380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 17:38:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UMcPG2035450 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 17:38:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UMcPMl025020 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 17:38:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UMcPdG025018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 17:38:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 17:38:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305302238.h4UMcPdG025018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 302238 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI MAY 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SOME ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 09:51:09 2003 X-UIDL: 26547-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00H7VA908D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 09:46:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V1k4Nl046878 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 09:46:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9gK041818; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:32:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V1VhG2015042 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4V1VgMl026999 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4V1Vg3U026997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305310131.h4V1Vg3U026997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 310130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/310130Z/310600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/301951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N5 132.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 302100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 118.0E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 117.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM WEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED OVER AN ELONGATED SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH. RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) AND QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DEVELOPED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. BASED ON INCREASED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED WARNING INFORMATION IN PARA 1.A.(1) AND UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/DENSON/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 12:26:10 2003 X-UIDL: 26556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HSVFJ28D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 11:40:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V3e6Nl082577 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:40:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9mQ041818; Fri, 30 May 2003 22:33:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 6065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 22:33:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V3XbG2052146 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 22:33:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4V3XbMl028270 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 22:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4V3XbOa028269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 22:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 22:33:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305310333.h4V3XbOa028269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 310333 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI MAY 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY GET BETTER ORGANIZED. SOME ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 12:26:14 2003 X-UIDL: 26559-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HVSGWY8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 12:10:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V49wNl091607 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 12:10:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9n4041818; Fri, 30 May 2003 23:06:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 6183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 23:06:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V463G2038344 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 23:06:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4V463Ml028537 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 23:06:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4V463Ze028536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 23:06:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 23:06:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305310406.h4V463Ze028536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 310405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 31 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. BASED ON 31/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W/95W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST ABOUT 5 KT. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS BUT STILL LACKS SIGNIFICANT CURVATURE...BANDING FEATURES...AND A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 7N TO 12N BETWEEN 93W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 91W NEAR GUATEMALA COAST AND 96W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 9N93W 10N110W 9N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 116W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IN NW MEXICO NEAR 29N111W TO 23N120W TO 19N130W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 19:14:02 2003 X-UIDL: 26565-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00H4QMKW8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 14:12:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V6CQNl020890 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 14:12:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V2kHTe024742; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 7427 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V62MG2037012 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4V62MMl029597 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4V62MBp029595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305310602.h4V62MBp029595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZMAY/010600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/301951ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/310551ZMAY2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301800Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N5 132.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 302100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 117.3E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.8N6 117.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES. RECENT MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A DEVELOPING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH ORGANIZING CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS PRODUCTS INDICATE A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON IMPROVED LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 19:14:03 2003 X-UIDL: 26570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HMAWRK8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 17:52:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V9qONl068432 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:52:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt90i041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 04:47:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 04:47:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V9lLG2044266 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 04:47:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4V9lLMl001267 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 04:47:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4V9lLul001266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 04:47:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 04:47:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305310947.h4V9lLul001266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 310947 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT MAY 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED 300 HUNDRED MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND IS MOVING WNW AT 10 KT. DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN/RRG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 19:14:03 2003 X-UIDL: 26571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HM8XGS8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 18:07:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VA7WNl072089 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 18:07:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt90o041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 05:01:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8567 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 05:01:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VA1cG2045892 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 05:01:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VA1cMl001384 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 05:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VA1coX001383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 05:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 05:01:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305311001.h4VA1coX001383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 311000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC MAY 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10N170W 09N175W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 04N175W 08N177W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08S179W 20S152W MOVED SOUTH 10 KTS WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT SECTION MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 19:14:03 2003 X-UIDL: 26572-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HUSXOK8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 18:12:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VACENl073043 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 18:12:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt912041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 05:07:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8639 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 05:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VA7fG2030452 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 05:07:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VA7fMl001430 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 05:07:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VA7fxP001429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 05:07:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 05:07:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305311007.h4VA7fxP001429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 311007 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 31 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N96W. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG CENTRAL AMERICA COASTS FROM EL SALVADOR TO GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 88W AND 96W...FROM 9.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 101W. BASED ON 31/0600 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS... ..ELSEWHERE...BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 10N95W 10N115W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 97W AND 124W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IN NW MEXICO NEAR 30N110W TO 24N119W TO 18N125W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 23:31:28 2003 X-UIDL: 26591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00HKICDM8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 23:29:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VFTdNl041074 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 23:29:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt97S041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:23:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 10533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VFNhG2024596 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:23:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VFNhMl003563 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:23:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VFNhqN003562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:23:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 10:23:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305311523.h4VFNhqN003562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 311523 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 31 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW NEAR 11N97W MOVING SLOWLY WNW 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/1200 UTC... ..TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SEA OF CORTEX FROM MEXICALI TO SAN BLAS. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS N OF 10N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1445 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N97W... CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IS NOW AFFECTING COASTAL REGIONS OF S MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA FROM EL SALVADOR TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE CONVECTION IS A BIT MORE STRUCTURED/ORGANIZED ABOUT THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION AND DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 89W-93W AND 12N-16N BETWEEN 92W-98W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 97W-102W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N88W 8N110W 9N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 77W-79W. WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 106W-117W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 117W-123W AND FROM 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 00:41:29 2003 X-UIDL: 26594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00HD4FNY8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 00:40:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VGedNl058592 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 00:40:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt98K041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:34:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 10869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:34:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VGYRG2021404 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:34:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VGYQMl004197 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:34:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VGYQav004196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:34:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 11:34:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305311634.h4VGYQav004196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 311634 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT MAY 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS AND IS CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 02:31:29 2003 X-UIDL: 26598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00HLXKJF8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 02:26:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VIPpNl081677 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 02:25:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HGE041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 12367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VIHfG2024634 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VIHeMl005354 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VIHek2005352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305311817.h4VIHek2005352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZMAY2003/011800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/DENS0N/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 02:31:30 2003 X-UIDL: 26599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00HMPKKC8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 02:26:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VIQUNl081758 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 02:26:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V6NR5s052160; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 12370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VIHfG2028466 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VIHeMl005355 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VIHeqY005353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 13:17:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305311817.h4VIHeqY005353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZMAY2003/011800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/DENS0N/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 06:01:30 2003 X-UIDL: 26603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00H84UDJ8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:58:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VLwKNl032290 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:58:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HPQ041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 16:50:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14487 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 16:50:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VLomG2023902 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 16:50:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VLolMl007679 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 16:50:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VLol3T007678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 16:50:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 16:50:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305312150.h4VLol3T007678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 312150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 31 MAY 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW NEAR 12N97W MOVING SLOWLY WNW 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/1800 UTC... ..HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 32N135W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE THROUGH 23N123W TO 19N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N97W... THE FEATURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY.. BUT STEADILY INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION. CONVECTION IS WIDESPREAD WITH THE DISTURBANCE WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG TOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 11.5N103W 15.5N96.5W. THE SYSTEM IS STILL LACKING A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER AND IS ELONGATED FROM SW TO NE ALONG THE AXIS MENTIONED ABOVE. HOWEVER IT REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE UPPER RIDGE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. SOME HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE SW COAST OF MEXICO IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N88W 11N108W 8N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 104W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-12.5N BETWEEN 87W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF LINE 6.5N121W 11N115W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 125W-134W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 10N113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 06:41:31 2003 X-UIDL: 26604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00MRQWC3QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 06:40:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VMej46005533 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 06:40:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HRM041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:34:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14757 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:34:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VMYcG2024128 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:34:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VMYcMl008140 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:34:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VMYbxd008139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 17:34:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305312234.h4VMYbxd008139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 312234 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC MAY 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N180 10N160W 07N149W 09N164W 03N180 12N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 01S180 14S160W 20S147W 20S162W 10S180 01S180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED IN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S157W 10S145W 10S152W 06S157W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 06:51:31 2003 X-UIDL: 26605-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00M1AWL6QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 06:46:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VMkB46006707 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 06:46:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HRU041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:41:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:41:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VMfZG2017538 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:41:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VMfYMl008198 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:41:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VMfYNR008197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 17:41:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 17:41:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305312241.h4VMfYNR008197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 312241 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT MAY 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO SLOWLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 09:56:56 2003 X-UIDL: 26611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00M2D5EIQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:56:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h511uY46041420 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:56:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9Haw041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 20:49:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16635 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 20:49:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h511nmG2058750 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 20:49:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h511nmMl010150 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 20:49:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h511nmax010149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 20:49:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 20:49:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306010149.h511nmax010149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PHNC 010030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 010021Z JUN 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.1N4 96.2W7 TO 14.0N5 99.6W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 00 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 010000Z1 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 97.2W8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 94.4W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 97.2W8, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS ONLY MINOR IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS, HOWEVER THE AREA REMAINS EASILY LOCATED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES SIGNIFIGANT DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BASED ON THE CONTINUED ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM AND POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 020030Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 13:05:36 2003 X-UIDL: 26616-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00MMMACEQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 11:43:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h513hJ46062703 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 11:43:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9Hda041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 22:33:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 17239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 22:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h513XCG2038206 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 22:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h513XBMl011127 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 22:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h513XB9Q011126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 22:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 22:33:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306010333.h513XB9Q011126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 010332 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT MAY 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO CONTINUES TO SLOWLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 13:05:45 2003 X-UIDL: 26619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00MRFBN1QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 12:11:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h514BH46067483 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 12:11:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9Hds041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 23:03:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 17313 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 23:03:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5143LG2039498 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 23:03:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5143LMl011357 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 23:03:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5143LJX011356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 23:03:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 23:03:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306010403.h5143LJX011356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 010403 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 01 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N97.5W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W. BURST OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS 13N98W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0000 UTC... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0330 UTC... 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N97.5.W... THE FEATURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION...SLOWLY BUT STEADILY. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OF GREATEST INTENSITY IS WELL TO THE WEST OF THE 1008 MB LOW CENTER NEAR 13N97.5W. THE SYSTEM STILL LACKS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER IT REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE UPPER RIDGE FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. SOME HEAVY RAINS MIGHT SPREAD INTO PARTS OF SE MEXICO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 10N88W 11N107W 7N122W 9N132W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 123W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 17N122W TO 30N115W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 14:45:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26623-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00M3HIGNQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 14:38:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h516cb46096170 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 14:38:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HgI041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 18142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h516QJG2027242 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h516QJMl012422 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h516QIh5012420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306010626.h516QIh5012420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/010151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 0100000Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 312100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 00:28:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00MYYT9TQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 18:32:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51AW846037624 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 18:32:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HlW041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 04:57:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 04:57:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h519vNG2019086 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 04:57:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h519vMMl013833 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 04:57:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h519vM6b013832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 04:57:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 04:57:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306010957.h519vM6b013832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 010957 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUN 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 00:28:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00MZ0T9TQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 18:32:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51AWB46037638 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 18:32:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HlY041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:07:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:06:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51A6xG2028576 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:06:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51A6wMl013919 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:06:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51A6whq013918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:06:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:06:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011006.h51A6whq013918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 011000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 12N165W 08N160W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N170W 11N174W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14S163W 16S161W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 16S155W 20S148W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S180 06S175W 13S172W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 10S151W 12S150W. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 00:28:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26633-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00MBGTQ2QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 18:42:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51Aft46039176 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 18:41:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9Hlc041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:11:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:11:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51ABKG2024860 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:11:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51ABKMl013974 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:11:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51ABKC4013973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:11:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 05:11:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011011.h51ABKC4013973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 011011 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 01 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13.5N99W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...CLUSTERS OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WHICH HAVE REMAINED INTACT DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS...TO THE NW AND WEST OF THE LOW CENTER. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0600 UTC... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0930 UTC... 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13.5N99W... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W...FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 105W... FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. ISOLATED CELL FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 104W AND 105W. THE LOW CENTER IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM MIGHT DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO SECTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 10N107W 10N115W 8N126W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 83W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 117W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 133W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 17N123W TO 28N117W TO 32N105W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 00:29:07 2003 X-UIDL: 26647-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00MOL3YZQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:23:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51END46079353 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:23:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HsA041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:01:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 21569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:01:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51E1bG2035328 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51E1bMl015571 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:01:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51E1b3d015570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:01:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:01:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011401.h51E1b3d015570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 011400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN JUN 1 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 00:29:09 2003 X-UIDL: 26653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00M9U7LUQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 23:41:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51Ffe46094712 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 23:41:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HwM041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 10:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 22405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 10:28:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51FSgG2038278 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 10:28:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51FSfMl016180 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 10:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51FSf7r016179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 10:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 10:28:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011528.h51FSf7r016179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 011528 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 01 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW CENTERED ABOUT 200 NM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO NEAR 14N98W MOVING NW 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 110W WITH RIDGE AXIS ENTERING AREA NEAR 30N135W SE TO 17N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1430 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N98W... NIGHTTIME IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ELONGATED FROM THE SW TO NE. CONVECTION IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME WITH NO INDICATION OF IMMEDIATE DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION WITH THE STRONGEST/MOST NUMEROUS ACTIVITY JUST OFFSHORE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS ACTIVITY MAY CLIP COASTAL REGIONS OF MEXICO...FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO JUST NW OF ACAPULCO...DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. CURRENTLY...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 97W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FURTHER SW FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 104-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION W OF CENTER FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 104W-108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N90W 12N95W 9N105W 10N114W 9N120W 9N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 112W-120W AND FROM 8N-10N 131W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 00:38:30 2003 X-UIDL: 26657-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00MZDA2DQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 00:35:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51GYp46005170 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 00:34:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9H0K041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 11:30:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 23012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 11:30:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51GU4G2035790 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 11:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51GU3Ml016639 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 11:30:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51GU39u016638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 11:30:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 11:30:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011630.h51GU39u016638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 011629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUN 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTS AND IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT...BUT DOES HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD. HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY ADJACENT TO THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND MIGHT SPREAD INLAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 02:48:30 2003 X-UIDL: 26662-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00MDNFSOQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:38:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51Ice46032598 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:38:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26J4041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 24288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51IYoG2040700 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51IYoMl017777 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51IYoWM017775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011834.h51IYoWM017775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/DENSON/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 02:48:31 2003 X-UIDL: 26663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00MNLG0WQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:43:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51Ihb46033594 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:43:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h519vS4i052160; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 24291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51IYoG2023818 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51IYoMl017778 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51IYosL017776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011834.h51IYosL017776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/DENSON/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 06:08:31 2003 X-UIDL: 26670-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00MZWP6IQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 06:01:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51M1M46078971 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 06:01:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26T6041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 26292 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51LtYG2040382 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51LtXMl019996 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51LtXDB019995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306012155.h51LtXDB019995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 012155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60-75 NM OF LINE 06N145W 06N160W ARE NEWLY FORMED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF 08N140W EXTEND EAST AND ARE NEWLY FORMED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK FRONT THROUGH 30N156W 28N161W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 26N176W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. FRONT MOVING EAST 5-10 KT. SHEAR LINE IS STATIONARY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 07S157W 25S130W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... TROUGH THROUGH 09S180 25S143W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG TROUGH. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH WEST OF 168W INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 06:08:31 2003 X-UIDL: 26671-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00M04P6WQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 06:01:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51M1a46078992 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 06:01:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26T4041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:54:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 26287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:54:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51LsQG2024144 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:54:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51LsQMl019983 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:54:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51LsQdV019982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:54:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:54:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306012154.h51LsQdV019982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 012154 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 01 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW CENTERED ABOUT 150 NM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO NEAR 15N100W MOVING NW 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 110W WITH RIDGE AXIS ENTERING AREA NEAR 30N131W SE TO 19N110W. ..E OF THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE N OF THE EQUATOR... PRESSURES ARE RATHER HIGH AS THE ITCZ IS SHIFTED POLEWARD TO NEAR CENTRAL AMERICA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2115 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N100W... VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES IMAGES INDICATE THE BROAD SYSTEM CONTINUES WITHOUT A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SHIP OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST A POSSIBLE CENTER NEAR 16N99W WHILE THE BEST TURNING AT LEAST IN THE MIDDLE LEVELS IS NEAR 15N101W. OBSERVATIONS FROM THE MEXICAN COAST SUPPORT THE IDEA THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS WEAK WITH NO APPARENT STRONG EASTERLY FLOW NEAR THE COAST. HOWEVER THE SYSTEM IS WELL-ORGANIZED AND IS A THREAT TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION WITH HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE IN COASTAL REGIONS OF MEXICO...FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO JUST NW OF ACAPULCO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 14.5N-16.5N BETWEEN 95W-101W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 13N95W 9N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 104W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 6N TO CENTRAL AMERICA E OF 81W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 130W-140W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 109W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W-130W...WITHIN 90 NM OF 10N102.5W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 5N81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... TSTMS HAVE FIRED IN INLAND AREAS OF MEXICO NEAR 18N98W COURTESY OF ADDITIONAL MOISTURE FROM THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 06:18:30 2003 X-UIDL: 26672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00D4UPTPYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 06:15:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51MFI46081508 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 06:15:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26TO041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 17:07:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 26375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 17:07:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51M7oG2040812 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 17:07:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51M7nMl020112 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 17:07:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51M7nRm020111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 17:07:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 17:07:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306012207.h51M7nRm020111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 012207 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUN 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND WILL LIKELY PREVENT ANY RAPID DEVELOPMENT FROM OCCURRING. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD MOVE INLAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE IT IS ABLE TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ACAPULCO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26700-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DIY4NPYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 11:35:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h523Zb46057247 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 11:35:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26iE041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:32:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 29727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:32:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h523W9G2037108 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:32:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h523W9Ml023209 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h523W9YJ023208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:32:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook...delayed Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020332.h523W9YJ023208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 020331 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...DELAYED CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 530 PM HST SUN JUN 1 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:34 2003 X-UIDL: 26702-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DFH5Y9YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:03:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5243b46065630 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:03:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26j4041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:56:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 29932 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:56:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h523ueG2031114 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:56:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h523ueMl023412 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:56:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h523ueiq023411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:56:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:56:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020356.h523ueiq023411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 020356 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 02 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1007 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 16N100W MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5-10 KT. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL OF BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 122W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N133W SOUTHWEST TO 22N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... CONVECTION IS WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF ROTATION. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N106W TO 12N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N102W TO 10N105W... INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 96W TO 100W AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 102W TO 104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N92W 7N102W 11N102W 9N123W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 111W AND FROM 119W TO 122W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 79W...WITHIN 75 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 84W...AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 127W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA SOUTH OF 10N WEST OF 84W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA SOUTH OF 12N WEST OF 83W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:34 2003 X-UIDL: 26703-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DYC6H5YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:15:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h524Ev46068990 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:14:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26ja041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 23:07:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 30012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 23:07:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5247gG2028444 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 23:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5247gMl023526 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 23:07:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5247gYX023525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 23:07:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 23:07:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020407.h5247gYX023525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 020407 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUN 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF A BROAD TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR ACAPULCO MEXICO. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FROM CENTRAL MEXICO SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. IF A NEW CENTER DEVELOPS OFFSHORE...THEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO... BUT CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND WILL PREVENT ANY RAPID DEVELOPMENT FROM OCCURRING. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND AND NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ACAPULCO AND ZIHUATANEJO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:37 2003 X-UIDL: 26708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00D03CZTYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:35:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h526Zg46009325 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:35:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5267PHE052160; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h526QUG2016534 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h526QTMl024708 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h526QT9b024706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020626.h526QT9b024706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/020151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 020300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:42 2003 X-UIDL: 26719-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DVDGH3YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:51:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h527oo46033217 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:50:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5267PM2052160; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:45:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 32108 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h527jiG2040492 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h527jhMl025450 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h527jhIF025449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:45:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020745.h527jhIF025449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 020745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUN 01 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26729-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00D5WLXEYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:48:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h529mb46066528 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:48:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5267PSQ052160; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:43:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 32793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:43:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h529hOG2015606 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:43:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h529hOMl026366 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:43:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h529hO4Q026365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:43:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:43:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020943.h529hO4Q026365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 020943 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 02 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1007 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 16N101W MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5-10 KT. THIS SYSTEM NOW APPEARS TO BE MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0600 UTC... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... CONVECTION REMAINS WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF ROTATION. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N99W TO 13N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N104W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 30/45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 94W TO 99W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N90W 8N104W 11N115W 8N123W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 116W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 128W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 89W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7.5N83W AND 8N79.5W...WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 8.5N86W 11N87W TO THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13N89W... AND SOUTH OF 5N EAST OF 81W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND ECUADOR. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26730-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DYKM9WYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:56:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h529uB46068977 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:56:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26vQ041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:53:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 32836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:53:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h529r3G2037938 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:53:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h529r3Ml026429 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:53:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h529r2oK026428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:53:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:53:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020953.h529r2oK026428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 020952 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUN 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF A BROAD TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FROM CENTRAL MEXICO SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. IF A NEW CENTER DEVELOPS OFFSHORE...THEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND SHOULD PREVENT ANY RAPID DEVELOPMENT FROM OCCURRING. EVEN IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND AND NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES MAY OCCUR FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ACAPULCO AND ZIHUATANEJO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00D8DMEXYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:59:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h529xC46069970 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:59:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26vU041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:55:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 32870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h529tWG2040166 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h529tVMl026447 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h529tVm6026446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:55:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020955.h529tVm6026446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 020955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N143W 07N151W 06N157W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH JUST WEST OF DATELINE...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 09N179W 03N177E AND MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT 10 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW ALONG TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH WERE ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE LOW...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12S170W 11S174W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14S165W 15S153W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15S149W 18S141W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 09S178W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST TWO CB AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE LOW ALONG TROUGH/FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 22:06:38 2003 X-UIDL: 26751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DOHX59YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:51:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52Dp246028211 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:51:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H266S041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 08:45:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 34815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 08:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52DjiG2027144 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 08:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52DjiMl029819 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 08:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52DjhwX029818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 08:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 08:45:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021345.h52DjhwX029818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 021345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON JUN 02 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 23:46:03 2003 X-UIDL: 26763-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DZY22LYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 23:37:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FbN46057516 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 23:37:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26FI041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:28:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 36384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:27:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FRbG2035642 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52FRbMl003246 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52FRbe1003245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:27:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021527.h52FRbe1003245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, OPPORTUNITY, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 021526 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 02 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITH MINIMUM PRESSURE 1010 MB IS CENTERED ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR 17N101W AT 02/1200 UTC DRIFTING N. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1200 UTC... ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM N OF 32N138W TO BEYOND 29N140W. A SECOND AXIS EXTENDS FROM 26N132W TO 16N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/XXXX UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 17N101W... THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE IS NOW MOVING INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO BUT THE STRONGEST CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL OFFSHORE. UNLESS THE CENTER MOVES OFFSHORE AGAIN...WHICH IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY...THE DISTURBANCE HAS LOST ALL ITS OPPORTUNITY TO STRENGTHEN AND WILL SUCCUMB TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N104W 17N98W. OTHER LOW-TOPPED OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION LIKELY ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST IN THE VICINITY OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 9N104W 11N116W 8N125W 11N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-88W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 7N BETWEEN 78W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 88W-91W S OF EL SALVADOR. ISOLATED MODERATE CELLS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 23:46:03 2003 X-UIDL: 26764-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00D0222MYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 23:37:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FbN46057512 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 23:37:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52DfoWS042526; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:32:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 36420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FVmG2048480 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52FVlMl003419 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52FVlEY003417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:31:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021531.h52FVlEY003417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, OPPORTUNITY, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 021531 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 02 JUN 2003 ..CORRECTED FOR TIME OF LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITH MINIMUM PRESSURE 1010 MB IS CENTERED ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR 17N101W AT 02/1200 UTC DRIFTING N. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1200 UTC... ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM N OF 32N138W TO BEYOND 29N140W. A SECOND AXIS EXTENDS FROM 26N132W TO 16N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1500 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 17N101W... THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE IS NOW MOVING INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO BUT THE STRONGEST CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL OFFSHORE. UNLESS THE CENTER MOVES OFFSHORE AGAIN...WHICH IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY...THE DISTURBANCE HAS LOST ALL ITS OPPORTUNITY TO STRENGTHEN AND WILL SUCCUMB TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N104W 17N98W. OTHER LOW-TOPPED OROGRAPHIC CONVECTION LIKELY ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST IN THE VICINITY OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 9N104W 11N116W 8N125W 11N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-88W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 7N BETWEEN 78W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 88W-91W S OF EL SALVADOR. ISOLATED MODERATE CELLS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:29 2003 X-UIDL: 26766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DOL4O0YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 00:33:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52GXR46072189 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 00:33:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeRJm041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 11:24:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 37278 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 11:24:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52GObG2035544 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 11:24:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52GObMl005363 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 11:24:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52GObfP005362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 11:24:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 11:24:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021624.h52GObfP005362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 021624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUN 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO AND IS DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD. ALTHOUGH THE PROXIMITY TO LAND SHOULD PREVENT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WITH POSSIBLE FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:40 2003 X-UIDL: 26768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DFX6F0YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 01:11:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52HBG46082025 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 01:11:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeRMo041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 37994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52H2lG2020984 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52H2kMl006544 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52H2k6e006542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021702.h52H2k6e006542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/DENSON/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:41 2003 X-UIDL: 26769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DGQ6FHYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 01:11:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52HBZ46082092 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 01:11:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52Dfoma042526; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 37997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52H2lG2058870 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52H2kMl006543 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52H2kO6006541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 12:02:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021702.h52H2kO6006541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/DENSON/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:42 2003 X-UIDL: 26776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DJCEA8YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:01:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52K1946035480 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:01:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeRbk041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:55:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 41169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52JtQG2051198 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52JtQMl018619 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52JtQdg018618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:55:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021955.h52JtQdg018618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 021955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUN 02 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:46 2003 X-UIDL: 26784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DRIK1YYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 06:05:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52M5o46068919 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 06:05:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52JKtko042526; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 43762 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52LtQG2024660 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52LtQMl022254 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52LtQ0h022253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306022155.h52LtQ0h022253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 022155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N145W 07N157W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... DECAYING SHEAR LINE THROUGH 26N165W 25N180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF 13N180 EXTEND SOUTHWESTWARD AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND REMAIN SPARSE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 12S170W MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 25S133W 17S150W 15S160W 11S180. TROUGH EAST OF 160W MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. TROUGH WEST OF 160W STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH WEST OF 150W INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:46 2003 X-UIDL: 26785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DS2K2NYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 06:06:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52M6G46069018 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 06:06:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52JKtki042526; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 43756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52Lt7G2016498 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52Lt6Ml022241 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52Lt6pF022239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:55:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306022155.h52Lt6pF022239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 022154 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 02 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1800 UTC... ..HIGH PRES DOMINATES AREA N OF 18N AND W OF 120W. RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N136W TO 20N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 10N110W 9N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 124W...AND BETWEEN 128W AND 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM E OF TROUGH 17N100W 12N110W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:46 2003 X-UIDL: 26786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV008CSKNO32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 06:19:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52MIq46071593 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 06:18:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeRqa041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:06:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 43942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:06:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52M6qG2027322 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:06:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52M6pMl022579 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:06:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52M6pU0022578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:06:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:06:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306022206.h52M6pU0022578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 022206 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUN 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PERSISTS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO JUST WEST OF ACAPULCO AND IS DRIFTING NORTHWARD. ALTHOUGH THE PROXIMITY TO LAND SHOULD PREVENT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WITH POSSIBLE FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM NEAR PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:46 2003 X-UIDL: 26787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV008WKPBF32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 07:59:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52NxV46090818 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 07:59:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeRwU041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 18:52:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 45219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 18:52:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52Nq7G2025216 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 18:52:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52Nq7Ml024189 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 18:52:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52Nq71W024188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 18:52:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 18:52:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306022352.h52Nq71W024188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIII, Probability=24%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 022330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 022321ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/020021ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 020030)// RMKS/ 1. THIS MESSAGE SUPERCEDES AND CANCELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 101.0W2, HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) VOID OF CONVECTION. A MID LEVEL RIDGE JUST TO THE EAST IS STEERING THE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH TOWARD LAND. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 10:50:28 2003 X-UIDL: 26800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV008JEUXX32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:01:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5321046023812 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:01:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52JKtFY042526; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 20:55:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 46605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 20:55:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h531tRG2015540 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 20:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h531tRMl025812 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 20:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h531tRFj025811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 20:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 20:55:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030155.h531tRFj025811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 030155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUN 02 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 12:00:19 2003 X-UIDL: 26818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW008UW00P32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 11:50:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h533of46058135 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 11:50:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeR9A041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:44:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 47806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:44:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h533iUG2023892 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:44:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h533iUMl027095 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:44:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h533iUL9027094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:44:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:44:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030344.h533iUL9027094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 030344 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUN 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE BRING THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH POSSIBLE FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES FROM NEAR PUERTO ANGEL TO NEAR ZIHUATANEJO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 12:00:20 2003 X-UIDL: 26820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW008LG09732@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 11:55:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h533tl46059950 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 11:55:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeR9i041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:51:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 47879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:51:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h533pQG2040168 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:51:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h533pQMl027186 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:51:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h533pQFR027185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:51:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:51:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030351.h533pQFR027185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 030351 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 03 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0000 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 998 MB LOW INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 25N103W EXTENDING SOUTH TO 18N99W THEN SOUTHWEST TO 11N105W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N86W 11N101W 10N112W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 133W AND WITHIN 150 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 89W...FROM 134W TO 137W...AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 141W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 7.5N81.5W TO 10N87W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 10N EAST OF 88.5W TO INLAND OVER COSTA RICA...NICARAGUA... HONDURAS...AND EL SALVADOR. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE REMAINDER OF EL SALVADOR. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 4N86W TO 6N90W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 17:25:07 2003 X-UIDL: 26838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW008R3B3032@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:49:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h537ne46031368 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:49:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h531xtjY042526; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 02:47:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 49761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 02:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h537jfG2045864 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 02:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h537jeMl029586 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 02:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h537jeZq029585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 02:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 02:45:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030745.h537jeZq029585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 030745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON JUN 02 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 18:15:19 2003 X-UIDL: 26849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW008PHGI432@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:46:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h539ke46067257 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:46:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h535CNMg041828; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:41:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:41:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h539fbG2045392 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:41:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h539fbMl000680 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h539fbxV000679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:41:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030941.h539fbxV000679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 030941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 03 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0600 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1000 MB LOW INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 22N102W EXTENDING SOUTH TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 17N101W THEN SOUTHWEST TO 11N107W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N89W 8N105W 10N114W 10N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 136W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 142W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 125 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 8N79W...NORTH OF 12N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND EAST GUATEMALA FROM 88W TO 92W...AND WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 15.5N100W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N FROM JUST OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA NEAR 86W TO 89W. CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N101W 15N104W TO 18N105W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 18:15:20 2003 X-UIDL: 26852-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW008WWH3Y32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:59:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h539xo46070595 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:59:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h535CNMk041828; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h539tTG2040556 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h539tTMl000790 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h539tT86000789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:55:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030955.h539tT86000789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 030955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N141W 08N140W AND MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N152W 08N161W WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 03N164W 05N171W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 12N178W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12S169W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM THAT DRIFTED EAST SOUTHEAST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13S173W 13S177W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13S155W 19S161W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 11S179W 10S176E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13S173W AND FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 21:43:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW008WIIME32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 18:32:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53AWT46079755 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 18:32:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h531xtsS042526; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 05:27:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 05:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53ARAG2004968 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 05:27:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53ARAMl001089 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 05:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53ARAFU001088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 05:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 05:27:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306031027.h53ARAFU001088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 031026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUN 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDINESS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE BRING THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH POSSIBLE FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES FROM NEAR PUERTO ANGEL TO NEAR ZIHUATANEJO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 22:05:48 2003 X-UIDL: 26869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW008GDRX432@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:53:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53DrK46034350 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:53:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h535CNWo041828; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 08:45:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 08:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53DjcG2040176 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 08:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53DjbMl004000 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 08:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53DjbOn003999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 08:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 08:45:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306031345.h53DjbOn003999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 031345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE JUN 03 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 23:45:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26874-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW008HZWRM32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 23:38:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53Fc146063017 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 23:38:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h535CNeA041828; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:30:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 54135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53FU2G2024668 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53FU2Ml007637 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:30:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53FU23j007636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:30:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:30:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306031530.h53FU23j007636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 031529 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 03 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1200 UTC... ..HIGH PRES COVERS THE ENTIRE DISCUSSION AREA WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM N OF 32N137W TO NEAR 19N140W. A SECOND RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SEWD FROM 23N129W TO 10N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 5N95W 10N110W 9N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 7N. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS W OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 9N BETWEEN 87W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 97W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF A LINE FROM 15N103W TO 17N105W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 00:35:34 2003 X-UIDL: 26878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW00805ZCT32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 00:34:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53GXu46079162 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 00:33:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53DngeG042526; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 11:22:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 55022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 11:21:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53GLEG2033104 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 11:21:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53GLDMl009378 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 11:21:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53GLDUl009377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 11:21:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 11:21:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306031621.h53GLDUl009377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 031620 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUN 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS PERSISTS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH POSSIBLE FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES FROM NEAR PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 01:25:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX0083G1MI32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 01:23:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53HMv46093323 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 01:22:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h535CNnq041828; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 55897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53HDpG2039556 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53HDoMl011175 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53HDovw011173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306031713.h53HDovw011173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 01:35:38 2003 X-UIDL: 26885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX008B41SM32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 01:26:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53HQe46094250 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 01:26:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53Dngn0042526; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 55900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53HDpG2030328 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53HDoMl011176 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53HDoZo011174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 12:13:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306031713.h53HDoZo011174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 09:13:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX008PT9A232@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:08:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53K8H46039392 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:08:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53IbROU036898; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:01:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 58729 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53K1KG2044088 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:01:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53K149d021659 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53K11KI021640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:01:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306032001.h53K11KI021640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 032000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE JUN 03 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 09:13:37 2003 X-UIDL: 26904-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX00890EKB32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 06:02:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53M2Q46069638 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 06:02:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53KELR6040000; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 16:54:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 60865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 16:54:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53LscG2016050 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 16:54:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53Lsc9d027497 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 16:54:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53LsbU5027496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 16:54:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 16:54:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306032154.h53LsbU5027496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 032154 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 03 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1800 UTC... ..1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 19N119W. SEPARATE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 6N90W 9N108W 9N126W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 93W...AND WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...SURROUNDED BY DRY AIR...NEAR 25N115W. MIDDLE LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 12N90W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W. MIDDLE LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 16N102W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...WITH SOME DISSIPATION DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 97W AND 105W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 09:13:37 2003 X-UIDL: 26905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX0062BF12Z2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 06:12:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53MCV46071934 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 06:12:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53KELSY040000; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:03:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61002 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:02:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53M2bG2025060 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53M2b9d027770 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:02:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53M2b0h027769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:02:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:02:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306032202.h53M2b0h027769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 032201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 04N173W 07N166W 06N164W 08N163W 08N160W 07N156W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 09N150W 08N143W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13N177E 11N180 11N177W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12S164W 16S160W 14S159W 17S154W 19S157W 18S162W 16S162W 13S166W HAVE MOVED EAST AND SOUTHEAST AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED TCU BOUNDED BY 12S172W 15S171W 15S175W 13S176W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13S178E 13S177W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 2 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 05S140W 05S142W 08S141W 08S140W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 09:13:37 2003 X-UIDL: 26906-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006GTG8ZZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 06:39:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53Mcm46077067 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 06:38:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53KELTa040000; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:22:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:22:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53MLxG2058686 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:22:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53MLx9d028061 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:21:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53MLx9L028060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:21:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:21:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306032221.h53MLx9L028060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 032221 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUN 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 09:13:38 2003 X-UIDL: 26908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006Q9I1ZZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 07:17:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NHq46085072 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 07:17:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53JoUmg042526; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53MstG2021410 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53Mss9d028679 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53MsrRU028677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306032254.h53MsrRU028677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 032300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/032300Z/040600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS NEAR 10.0S1 171.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 525 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF FIJI. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS ORGANIZED RAPIDLY OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA, PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 10:48:40 2003 X-UIDL: 26917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006HVQ6QZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:13:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542DS46024701 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:13:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5401Ea6021424; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:05:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 64671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:01:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5421GG2042736 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:01:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5421G9d001606 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:01:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5421God001605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:01:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:01:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040201.h5421God001605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 040200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE JUN 03 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 10:48:41 2003 X-UIDL: 26919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006JFRRAZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:47:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542lS46032857 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:47:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDZ8020940; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:42:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542fjG2033094 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h542fj9d002103 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h542fjYV002101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040241.h542fjYV002101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 040330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/040330Z/041800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 TO 12 HOURS NEAR 6.6N2 64.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 760 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, IN THE ARABIAN SEA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA, PARA 1.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 10:54:06 2003 X-UIDL: 26921-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006ZZS11Z2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:53:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542rI46034364 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:53:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5401Eca021424; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:40:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:40:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542eYG2025680 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:40:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h542eY9d002086 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h542eYvY002085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:40:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 040200zjun2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040240.h542eYvY002085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPS21 PGTW 040200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 040200ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.8S7 173.6E7 TO 11.0S2 167.2E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 062330Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 172.0E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 050200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 10:58:46 2003 X-UIDL: 26923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX00619S26Z2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:54:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542s046034504 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:54:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5401Ecq021424; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542fjG2017546 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h542fj9d002104 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h542fjeb002102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:41:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040241.h542fjeb002102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 040330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/040330Z/041800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 TO 12 HOURS NEAR 6.6N2 64.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 760 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, IN THE ARABIAN SEA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA, PARA 1.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 10:58:46 2003 X-UIDL: 26924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX0061LS2KZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:54:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542sE46034553 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:54:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDZQ020940; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542hUG2024894 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h542hU9d002132 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h542hTHL002130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040243.h542hTHL002130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/040300Z/040600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZJUN03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 TO 12 HOURS NEAR 6.0N6 169.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR AN EXPOSED, VERY SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 171.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 172.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF FIJI. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 040200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA, PARA 1.B.(1), UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 11:40:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006YPU7VZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 11:40:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h543eY46045113 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 11:40:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDbU020940; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:33:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h543XGG2035772 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h543XF9d002781 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:33:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h543XFGO002780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:33:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:33:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040333.h543XFGO002780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 040333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 04 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0000 UTC... ..A 1016 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 18N119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N96W 9N107W 10N117W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 12N TO 13.5N IN THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM THE BORDER OF EL SALVADOR TO 92W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA FROM 10N TO 11.5N. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF 92W FROM 9N TO 13N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 12:30:54 2003 X-UIDL: 26931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006G7UMEZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 11:49:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h543nJ46046735 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 11:49:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDc2020940; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:43:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:43:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h543h4G2032632 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:43:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h543h39d002922 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:43:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h543h3nt002921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:43:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:43:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040343.h543h3nt002921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 040342 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUN 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 15:31:10 2003 X-UIDL: 26940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006AV4JXZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:23:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h547No46098352 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:23:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h544PeWI021428; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 68147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h547ENG2038282 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h547EN9d005144 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h547EMer005142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040714.h547EMer005142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZJUN03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 TO 12 HOURS NEAR 5.8N3 169.6E2, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR AN EXPOSED, VERY SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 171.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 172.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF FIJI. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 040200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/SWOPE/CATES/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 16:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 26941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006X66JCZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 16:06:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5486f46008349 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 16:06:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h544PeYG021428; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:57:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 68402 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h547tfG2029974 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h547tf9d005439 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:55:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h547tfC4005438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:55:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:55:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040755.h547tfC4005438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 040755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE JUN 03 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 18:01:11 2003 X-UIDL: 26943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006JQBHDZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:53:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h549rS46033163 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:53:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDp6020940; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:47:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 69069 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:47:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h549ltG2044064 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:47:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h549ls9d006543 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:47:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h549lsoj006542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:47:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:47:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040947.h549lsoj006542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 040947 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 04 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0600 UTC... ..WEAK 1013 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N124W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N FROM 125W TO 145W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N92W 8N108W 10N120W 8N127W 7N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 121W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 125W AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 5.5N94.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N90W TO 14N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 87W TO 89W INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 84W TO 85W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N100W 17N104W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 18:01:11 2003 X-UIDL: 26944-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006VWBSVZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 18:00:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54A0N46034895 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 18:00:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDp8020940; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:55:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 69102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h549tbG2045416 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h549ta9d006587 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h549tajo006586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040955.h549tajo006586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 040955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 08N156W 07N169W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... DECAYING FRONTAL CLOUD BAND FROM 25 NM NORTH OF KAUAI THROUGH 30N152E NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT. ISOLATED TCU/CB ALONG FRONT BETWEEN 25N AND 28N. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... DISTURBANCE NEAR 17S156W MOVING SOUTHEAST 5 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF CENTER CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...FROM DISTURBANCE TO 12S168W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG TROUGH EXCEPT NEAR DISTURBANCE. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH EAST OF 163E. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 23S120W 20S130W 16S144W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 138W HAVE WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 20:53:41 2003 X-UIDL: 26945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006RECB4Z2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 18:11:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54ABK46038148 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 18:11:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDpG020940; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 05:06:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 69136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 05:06:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54A6jG2030152 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 05:06:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54A6i9d006704 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 05:06:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54A6iZI006703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 05:06:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 05:06:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306041006.h54A6iZI006703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 041006 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUN 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 22:56:40 2003 X-UIDL: 26953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY0069HN5WZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:05:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54E5m46095454 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:05:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54CubSG018974; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 08:55:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 71707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 08:55:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54DtpG2030166 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 08:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54Dtp9d010203 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 08:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54Dtp6K010202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 08:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 08:55:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306041355.h54Dtp6K010202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 041355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUN 04 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 00:06:12 2003 X-UIDL: 26961-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006B2SDXZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 23:58:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54FwZ46027816 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 23:58:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54Fl9GG020940; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:48:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 73465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:47:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54FlsG2058868 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:47:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54Fls9d014682 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:47:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54Fls3G014681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:47:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:47:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306041547.h54Fls3G014681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 041547 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 04 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1200 UTC... ..WEAK 1010 MB ITCZ LOW CENTERED NEAR 12N134W NEARLY STATIONARY. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 15N W OF 115W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM N OF 32N139W TO 20N142W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N85W 6N95W 9N118W 8N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-120W AND ISOLATED SHOWERS BETWEEN 120W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 120NM OF THE COAST OF CNTRL AMERICA BETWEEN 82W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 140NM OF THE COAST BETWEEN 87W-95W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 98W-103W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30NM OF A LINE FROM 11N105W TO 9N112W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 01:02:29 2003 X-UIDL: 26964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006AETHPZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:22:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54GMU46034842 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:22:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54Fl9Gq020940; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 11:09:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 73659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 11:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54G9JG2034644 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 11:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54G9I9d015604 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 11:09:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54G9HD1015601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 11:09:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 11:09:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306041609.h54G9HD1015601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 041609 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUN 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 01:56:30 2003 X-UIDL: 26968-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006I5XPOZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 01:53:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54Hre46061305 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 01:53:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54Cub3Q018974; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54HlHG2040000 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54HlF9d019330 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54HlEt2019328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306041747.h54HlEt2019328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.6N2 64.3E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.6N2 63.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 02:06:34 2003 X-UIDL: 26969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY0060KY3WZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 02:02:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I2746063598 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 02:02:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54Fl9Lu020940; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75025 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54HlHG2017484 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54HlF9d019331 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54HlEwX019329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 12:47:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306041747.h54HlEwX019329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.6N2 64.3E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.6N2 63.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 04:16:31 2003 X-UIDL: 26974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ006RK46OZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:13:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54KDR46003538 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:13:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I0jOC015466; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:04:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 76778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:01:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54K16G2024576 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54K169d024109 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54K15n8024108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:01:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:01:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306042001.h54K15n8024108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 042000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED JUN 04 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 04:36:31 2003 X-UIDL: 26975-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ006N54TAZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:27:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54KR246007435 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:27:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I0jQ8015466; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:18:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 77131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:18:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54KIGG2040074 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:18:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54KIG9d024763 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:18:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54KIGdq024762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:18:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:18:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306042018.h54KIGdq024762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 042100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041951ZJUN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 10.4S5 170.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4S5 170.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 11.2S4 168.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 11.8S0 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 12.4S7 165.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 12.8S1 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.6S7 169.7E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P, LOCATED 610 NM EAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES REVEAL THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 29P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. INTERACTION BETWEEN 29P AND ANOTHER WEAK CIRCULATION TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS LIKELY, GIVING A SLIGHT EQUATORWARD BIAS TO THE TRACK. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP GFS AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. TC 29P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 041951ZJUN2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 040200) NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 AND 052100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 06:26:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ006999W6E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 06:16:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54MGg46034322 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 06:16:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I0jZA015466; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:02:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 78613 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:02:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54M2KG2024034 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:02:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54M2K9d027980 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:02:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54M2KxU027979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:02:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:02:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306042202.h54M2KxU027979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 042201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12N166W 10N162W 08N163W 05N171W 06N175W 08N170W 11N169W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 30N151W 29N152W 24N156W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 2 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 19N166W 17N168W 15N171W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11S180 12S177W 11S173W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 2 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 14S155W 18S151W 21S156W 15S166W 14S163W 16S158W 14S158W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 04S149W 05S145W 07S149W 09S148W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 TO 20 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 06:26:34 2003 X-UIDL: 26980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ006BI9Z5E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 06:18:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54MIX46034796 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 06:18:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I0jZE015466; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:05:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 78633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:05:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54M5lG2040670 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:05:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54M5l9d028058 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:05:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54M5lHY028057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:05:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:05:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306042205.h54M5lHY028057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 042205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 04 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1800 UTC... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 132W. 1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 22N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 7N84W 6N96W 10N119W 8N124W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 96W...AND WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...ILL-DEFINED MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 23N139W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...SOME AREAS DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH DAYTIME HEATING...UNDER AN AREA OF BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW...OVER EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 102W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 06:56:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26981-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ0065OBP3E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 06:55:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54Mti46042960 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 06:55:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I0jai015466; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:48:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 79058 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:48:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54MmLG2052118 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54MmL9d028732 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54MmK65028731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 17:48:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306042248.h54MmK65028731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 042248 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUN 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 10:16:42 2003 X-UIDL: 26989-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ0067EKSWE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 10:12:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h552CN46092496 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 10:12:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I0joW015466; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:02:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 81548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:01:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5521RG2030232 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5521R9d001270 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5521QrU001269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:01:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050201.h5521QrU001269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 050200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUN 04 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 11:41:21 2003 X-UIDL: 26998-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ006QDOPBE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 11:36:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h553aX46022305 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 11:36:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I0jsM015466; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:30:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 82337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:30:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h553UZG2048546 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h553UZ9d002283 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h553UZGx002282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:30:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050330.h553UZGx002282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIII, Probability=36%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 050330 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUN 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 11:46:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26999-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ006V8P2GE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 11:44:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h553iY46024948 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 11:44:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I0jsg015466; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:38:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 82429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:38:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h553cdG2019860 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:38:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h553ca9d002361 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:38:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h553caa8002360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:38:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:38:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050338.h553caa8002360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 050338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 05 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0000 UTC... ..A 1016 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 22N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N84W 8N103W 13N115W 10N129W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 85W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 115W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 129W...AND WITHIN 75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA FROM 10N TO 12N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N86W TO INLAND OVER COSTA RICA NEAR 9N83W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER MEXICO WITHIN SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 97W TO 99W. CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE CENTERED NEAR 12.5N93W AND 15N100W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 13:56:09 2003 X-UIDL: 27009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ006ZOV1VE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 13:53:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h555rl46063931 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 13:53:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h554Y0Oq035502; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 84051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h555iSG2052010 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h555iR9d003561 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h555iRkv003559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050544.h555iRkv003559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041951ZJUN03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041800Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 170.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 610 NM EAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 042100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 155.0E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 154.4E4, IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). EARLIER MICROWAVE AND QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE THE LLCC IS ORGANIZING RAPIDLY BENEATH THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE MODERATELY FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 16:05:34 2003 X-UIDL: 27019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG00062314SE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 16:05:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55854M1001802 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 16:05:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jqHe025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 02:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 02:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h557tiG2024780 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 02:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h557ti9d004627 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 02:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h557thLN004626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 02:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 02:55:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050755.h557thLN004626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 050755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUN 04 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 19:41:33 2003 X-UIDL: 27027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG00065W3OTE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:00:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5590LM1019426 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:00:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jqIa025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:52:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:52:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h558qPG2058752 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:52:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h558qP9d005115 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:52:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h558qOKl005114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:52:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:52:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050852.h558qOKl005114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 050900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 11.7S9 169.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.7S9 169.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 12.6S9 168.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 13.6S0 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.6S1 166.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.6S2 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.9S1 168.9E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P, LOCATED 235 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ESPIRITU SANTO, VANUATU ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. TC 29P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 29P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP GFS AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) ARE HAVING TROUBLE SEPARATING THIS SYSTEM FROM A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE, AN ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 AND 060900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 19:41:34 2003 X-UIDL: 27028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG00065C4GPE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:17:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h559H6M1026080 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:17:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jqIi025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:07:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:07:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5597hG2040530 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:07:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5597g9d005283 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:07:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5597g08005282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:07:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:07:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050907.h5597g08005282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIII, Probability=36%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 050907 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUN 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 19:41:37 2003 X-UIDL: 27035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG00064E56EE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:32:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h559WVM1030869 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:32:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jqIw025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:24:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:24:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h559OFG2058736 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:24:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h559OF9d005408 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:24:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h559OEnY005407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:24:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:24:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 050900zjun2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050924.h559OEnY005407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPS22 PGTW 050900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050900ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.0S7 154.6E6 TO 8.0S8 148.1E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 050530Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 154.1E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 155.0E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 154.1E1, IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND INCREASED CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN MODERATELY FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 060900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 19:41:38 2003 X-UIDL: 27039-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG0006II5YPE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:49:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h559nVM1036654 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:49:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h554Y0iW035502; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85941 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h559dBG2016536 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h559dA9d005557 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h559dAQ2005555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050939.h559dAQ2005555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/050930Z/060600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/050751ZJUN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/050851ZJUN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 169.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ESPIRITU SANTO, VANUATU ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 050900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 155.0E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 154.1E1, IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND INCREASED CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN MODERATELY FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 19:41:38 2003 X-UIDL: 27040-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG00067L67RE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:55:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h559stM1038449 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:54:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jqJm025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:45:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:45:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h559j7G2021340 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:45:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h559j79d005624 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:45:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h559j7dV005623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:45:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:45:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050945.h559j7dV005623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 050944 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 05 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0600 UTC... ..A 1017 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 21N128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N84W 9N100W 12N115W 10N129W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 130W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N82W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 8N85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 75/90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 6N. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N93W TO 15N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 89W TO 91W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF EAST PANAMA FROM THE BORDER OF COLOMBIA TO 8.5N. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE CENTERED NORTH OF 15N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W TO 102W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 19:41:39 2003 X-UIDL: 27042-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG0006AN6NVE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 18:04:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55A4aM1041506 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 18:04:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jqKI025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:57:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 86057 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h559tkG2015472 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h559tk9d005707 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h559tkLY005706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:55:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050955.h559tkLY005706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 050955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 06N172W 08N168W 11N165W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS WEST OF LINE 25N175W 30N167W. SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS EAST OF THAT LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 25S146W 17S160W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 13S171W 12S180. TROUGH MOVING EAST 10-15 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 75 NM OF TROUGH/SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 159W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 14S156W 21S145W ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. CONVERGENCE ZONE MOVING EAST 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 22S120W 19S126W 20S134W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 22:53:41 2003 X-UIDL: 27058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG0006VQI6AE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 22:13:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55EDETw011282 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 22:13:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jqYi025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 08:55:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 88904 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 08:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55DtlG2045422 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 08:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55Dtk9d009630 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 08:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55Dtk1n009629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 08:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 08:55:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306051355.h55Dtk1n009629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 051355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUN 05 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 00:44:47 2003 X-UIDL: 27068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG0006CKMB9E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 23:42:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55FgXTw036488 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 23:42:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55A7Fxo037870; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 10:23:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 90370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 10:23:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55FNiG2020794 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 10:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55FNh9d013059 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 10:23:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55FNhPs013058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 10:23:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 10:23:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306051523.h55FNhPs013058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 051523 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 05 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1200 UTC... ..TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDS ALONG W MEXICO FROM THE SEA OF CORTEX SEWD TOWARD MEXICO CITY. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 26N140W 23N140W TO THE S BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N90W 10N100W 12N116W 9N120W 10N130W 9N140W. DEVELOPING AREA OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 83W-85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 88W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 112W-117W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 127W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 98W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 90W-96W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 00:44:48 2003 X-UIDL: 27072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG0006UUOVWE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 00:38:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55Gc5CP051854 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 00:38:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jqlE025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 11:11:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 91009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 11:11:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55GBPG2023820 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 11:11:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55GBO9d014772 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 11:11:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55GBOha014771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 11:11:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 11:11:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306051611.h55GBOha014771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 051611 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUN 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 03:14:38 2003 X-UIDL: 27085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG0006C8VWRE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:10:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55J9nCP093846 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:09:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jq2a025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 93827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55J2DG2041012 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55J2D9d021407 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55J2D1P021405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306051902.h55J2D1P021405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.6N2 63.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.5N1 63.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 790 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), THOUGH THE LLCC IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/NOREN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 03:24:37 2003 X-UIDL: 27086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG0006FIWEBE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:20:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55JKSCP097855 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:20:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55HT5YM037870; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 93830 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55J2DG2034746 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55J2D9d021408 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55J2DYb021406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 14:02:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306051902.h55J2DYb021406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.6N2 63.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.5N1 63.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 790 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), THOUGH THE LLCC IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/NOREN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 04:34:38 2003 X-UIDL: 27088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG0006K1ZJ0E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:28:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55KS5CP018741 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:28:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55HT5gU037870; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:01:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 94747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55K1LG2014168 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55K1K9d023462 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55K1KL5023461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:01:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306052001.h55K1KL5023461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 052000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU JUN 05 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 04:54:38 2003 X-UIDL: 27091-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1006QD0KSE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:50:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55KoiCP023929 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:50:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55HT5kY037870; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:30:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 95141 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55KSBG2044078 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55KSB9d024535 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55KSASx024534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:28:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:28:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306052028.h55KSASx024534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 052100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (GINA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 13.0S4 167.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.0S4 167.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 14.0S5 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.8S3 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.3S9 163.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 15.7S3 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 13.3S7 167.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P, LOCATED 140 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ESPIRITU SANTO, VANUATU ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS 29P HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 29P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 29P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, WITH ENHANCED OUTFLOW TO THE EAST AND EQUATORWARD OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, GFDN AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) ARE NOW IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST. HOWEVER, EACH MODEL INITIALIZES AND TRACKS THE SYSTEM WEAKER THAN CURRENT INTENSITIES SUGGEST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 AND 062100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 06:14:38 2003 X-UIDL: 27094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001134B7BL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 06:11:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55MBNCP041056 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 06:11:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55HT508037870; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:01:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55M1PG2058844 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55M1P9d027206 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55M1Pmj027205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:01:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306052201.h55M1Pmj027205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 052200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...AXIS 50N155W TO 25N162W...MOVING EAST SLOWLY...HAS ENHANCED CU AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN NARROW BAND FROM 22N162W TO 20N170W...WITH BROAD CI BAND ACROSS MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE UPPER TROUGH. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS WEST OF LINE 25N175W 30N167W. SCATTERED STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS EAST OF SAME LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS 25S143W 12S170W 12S180 MOVING EAST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 75 NM OF TROUGH AXIS. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 160W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 03S160W 09S150W 16S148W ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. CONVERGENCE ZONE MOVING EAST 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 06:24:38 2003 X-UIDL: 27095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001CY4LIBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 06:17:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55MHZCP042233 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 06:17:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55HT5xu037870; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 16:59:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 16:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55LxuG2017570 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 16:59:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55Lxt9d027140 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 16:59:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55LxtkZ027139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 16:59:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 16:59:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306052159.h55LxtkZ027139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 052159 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 05 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1800 UTC... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 24N140W AND EXTENDS SE TO 17N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N81W 7N95W 8N110W 12N116W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 89W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 129W AND 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 113W AND 119W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 06:44:38 2003 X-UIDL: 27096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001EU5RXBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 06:43:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55MgsCP046751 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 06:42:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55Ls5HW027260; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:35:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 97354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:35:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55MZ4G2034704 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:35:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55MZ49d027863 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55MZ4Io027862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:35:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306052235.h55MZ4Io027862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 052234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUN 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SMALL AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAVE FORMED ABOUT 1600 MILES SOUTHWEST AND ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SYSTEM MAY OCCUR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 12:55:09 2003 X-UIDL: 27125-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001O1JIMBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:39:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h563dlCP028632 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:39:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55MceVG027280; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 22:33:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 101856 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 22:33:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h563X4G2032810 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 22:33:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h563X39d001264 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 22:33:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h563X300001263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 22:33:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 22:33:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060333.h563X300001263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 060332 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUN 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SMALL AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAVE FORMED ABOUT 1625 MILES SOUTHWEST AND ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 12:55:09 2003 X-UIDL: 27127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001EBL22BL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 12:13:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h564D3CP039907 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 12:13:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55MceVc027280; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 23:03:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 102049 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 23:03:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5643gG2019204 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 23:03:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5643f9d001700 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 23:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5643fTX001699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 23:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 23:03:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060403.h5643fTX001699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 060403 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 06 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0000 UTC... ..A 1010 MB LOW IS WITHIN THE ITCZ AXIS CENTERED NEAR 11N118W. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS WITHIN THE ITCZ AXIS CENTERED NEAR 10N131W. ..WEAK 1016 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 23N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0345 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 6N92W 9N104W 12N118W 10N124W 11N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM THE AXIS...WEST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER PANAMA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM THE AXIS TO 11N BETWEEN 84W TO 87W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 12N118W ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 132W AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 133W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG COVER THE AREA WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 89W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 13N TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA FROM 91W TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 14:31:22 2003 X-UIDL: 27138-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001GGRA3BL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 14:27:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h566RVCP084504 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 14:27:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55MceaG027280; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:14:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:14:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h566EWG2033138 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:14:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h566EV9d003032 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:14:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h566EVrd003031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:14:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:14:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060614.h566EVrd003031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPS22 PGTW 060530 CANCELLATION UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 060521ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/050851ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 154.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3S1 153.7E6, IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND THE CONVECTION REMAINS SCATTERED AND DISORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS IN MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR WITH WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. THIS CANCELS REF A.(WTPS22 PGTW 050900) BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 14:31:22 2003 X-UIDL: 27139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001GERA2BL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 14:27:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h566RUCP084496 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 14:27:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55MceaK027280; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h566F3G2045426 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h566F39d003043 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h566F33w003041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060615.h566F33w003041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/060151ZJUN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/060521ZJUN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P (GINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 167.7E1, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ESPIRITU SANTO, VANUATU ISLANDS, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 154.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3S1 153.7E6, IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND THE CONVECTION REMAINS SCATTERED AND DISORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS IN MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR WITH WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. SEE REF B (WTPS22 PGTW 060530) FOR THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION MESSAGE. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 16:42:44 2003 X-UIDL: 27154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001JRVNIBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 16:02:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5681w0i016610 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 16:02:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55McedG027280; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 02:55:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 02:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h567tgG2017516 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 02:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h567tf9d003812 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 02:55:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h567tfG2003811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 02:55:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 02:55:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060755.h567tfG2003811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 060755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU JUN 05 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 16:52:40 2003 X-UIDL: 27159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001QTXJ9BL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 16:42:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h568gc0i030472 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 16:42:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55Mcedu027280; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:34:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:32:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h568W7G2025948 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:32:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h568W79d004165 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h568W7Qc004164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:32:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060832.h568W7Qc004164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 060900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (GINA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 14.2S7 166.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2S7 166.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.1S7 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.0S7 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.6S3 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.1S9 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 14.4S9 165.9E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P, LOCATED 40 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ESPIRITU SANTO, VANUATU ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. TC 29P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH 24 HOURS. AN APPROACHING LONGWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CREATE A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW-LEVEL RIDGE POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM ALLOWING TC 29P TO TURN POLEWARD AFTER 36 HOURS. TC 29P IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS MOVEMENT AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. TC 29P MAY INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS WHILE STILL UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT COMES UNDER INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR FROM MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AFWA MM5, AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) ARE NOW IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST. THE MM5 AND GFS HAVE ERRONEOUS INTERACTION WITH A CIRCULATION TO THE NORTHWEST NEAR, THE SOLOMAN ISLANDS. THE REMAINING AIDS FORECAST RECURVATURE POLEWARD. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS MINUS AFWA AND GFS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 AND 070900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 17:45:57 2003 X-UIDL: 27167-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001JY0GABL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:45:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h569jc0i051155 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:45:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55Mceei027280; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:38:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:38:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h569cUG2030730 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:38:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h569cU9d004737 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:38:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h569cTai004736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:38:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060938.h569cTai004736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 060938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 06 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0600 UTC... ..A 1012 MB LOW IS WITHIN THE ITCZ AXIS CENTERED NEAR 12N119W. ..A 1012 MB LOW IS WITHIN THE ITCZ AXIS CENTERED NEAR 11N131W. ..WEAK 1017 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 22N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 7N93W 8N106W 12N118W 9N125W 11N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 82W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 119W AND COVERS THE AREA FROM 5N TO 8N EAST OF 92W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 9N TO THE COAST OF NICARAGUA BETWEEN 86W AND 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 16.5N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N91W TO 14N93W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 18:21:04 2003 X-UIDL: 27168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001JY0SOBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:53:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h569r60i053699 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:53:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5601X9K037870; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:46:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104729 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h569kMG2040170 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:46:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h569kL9d004778 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:46:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h569kLET004777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:46:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:46:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060946.h569kLET004777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 060946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 23N159W. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13S164W TO 34S120W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13S177W TO 09S172W. ALSO SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09S147W TO 09S139W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE POINT 10S151W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 06S162W TO 10S156W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 18:21:04 2003 X-UIDL: 27170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001MA163BL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 18:01:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56A170i056178 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 18:01:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55Mcees027280; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:55:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:55:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h569tEG2021484 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:55:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h569tE9d004833 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:55:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h569tEFH004832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:55:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:55:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060955.h569tEFH004832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 060955 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUN 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SMALL AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAVE FORMED ABOUT 1650 MILES SOUTHWEST AND ABOUT 925 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS SHOW SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 22:20:19 2003 X-UIDL: 27178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG20017ZC4ABL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:57:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56Dvb0i021224 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:57:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55Mceoo027280; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 08:50:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 107039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 08:50:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56DoIG2021856 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 08:50:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56DoH9d008964 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 08:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56DoHNo008963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 08:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 08:50:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306061350.h56DoHNo008963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 061350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI JUN 06 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 00:02:19 2003 X-UIDL: 27185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001NBHLEBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 23:56:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56Fts0i055947 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 23:55:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FP5Ga024748; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 10:43:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 10:43:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FhUG2018946 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 10:43:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56FhT9d013269 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 10:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56FhTC1013267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 10:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 10:43:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306061543.h56FhTC1013267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 061543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 06 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0600 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N118W DRIFTING WEST. RECENT BURST OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 117W-119W. ..1009 MB LOW IS WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 11N132W MOVING WNW 10-15 KT. ENHANCED ITCZ CONVECTION TO THE E IN THE FORM OF SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 128W-131W ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 23N140W AND EXTENDS EWD TO 23N120W THEN SE TO 16N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 12N94W 8N105W 12N118W 8N125W 12N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 84W-89W AND FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 89W-93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 00:42:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27186-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG20015UJNJBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 00:40:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56GeN0i067892 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 00:40:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FP5Ie024748; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:32:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:32:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56GVxG2051184 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:32:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56GVx9d015053 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56GVxKY015051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:31:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306061631.h56GVxKY015051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.5N1 63.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 65.1E2, APPROXIMATELY 670 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK, DIFFICULT TO LOCATE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATELY FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 00:52:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27187-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001EEJSFBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 00:43:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56GhF0i068723 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 00:43:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FP5Ii024748; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:32:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56GW4G2041766 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56GVx9d015054 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56GVxC5015052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:31:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306061631.h56GVxC5015052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.5N1 63.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 65.1E2, APPROXIMATELY 670 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK, DIFFICULT TO LOCATE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATELY FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 00:52:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001F3JSUBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 00:43:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56GhZ0i068819 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 00:43:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FP5K8052194; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:36:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:33:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56GXMG2037794 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56GXM9d015106 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:33:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56GXL0g015105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 11:33:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306061633.h56GXL0g015105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 061633 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUN 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTOM ACTIVITY IS LIMITED AT THIS TIME AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1700 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHER TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DECREASED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 03:02:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001XRPZPBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 02:57:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56IvD0i004764 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 02:57:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FP5Qu024748; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 13:49:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 2144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 13:49:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56InTG2040488 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 13:49:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56InT9d019289 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 13:49:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56InT0V019288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 13:49:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 13:49:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306061849.h56InT0V019288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 061849 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI JUN 06 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 05:12:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001CAW02BL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 05:07:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56L760i047774 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 05:07:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FP5pQ052194; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:56:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 3531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:56:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56KuRG2030126 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:56:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56KuQ9d023186 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:56:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56KuQh7023185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:56:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:56:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306062056.h56KuQh7023185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (GINA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 15.6S2 163.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 163.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.4S1 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.6S4 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.5S4 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.0S0 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.8S4 163.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 29P HAS DEVELOPED A RAGGED, IRREGULAR EYE OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTIUES TO TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM, IN A REGION OF FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CREATE A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM ALLOWING TC 29P TO TRACK MORE POLEWARD AFTER 12 HOURS. AT THE 24 TO 36 HOUR TIMEFRAME, THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH WILL HAVE PROPAGATED EASTWARD, IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING RIDGE NOW OVER SOUTHERN AUSTRALIA. INTERACTION BETWEEN TC 29P AND THIS RIDGE WILL INCREASE THE MID-LEVEL WESTERLY GRADIENT, WEAKENING THE SYSTEM AND LEADING TO A DISSIPATION OVER WATER SCENARIO. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AFWA MM5, AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) REMAIN WIDELY DISPARATE, WITH NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AND AFWA MM5 INTERACTING TC 29P SOMEWHAT EXCESSIVELY WITH A CIRCULATION CURRENTLY NEAR BOUGAINVILLE IN THE NORTHERN SOLOMON ISLANDS. EGRR AND GFDN FORECAST RECURVATURE POLEWARD AND WEAKENING IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR AS DESCRIBED ABOVE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH EMPHASIS ON THE EGRR AND GFDN SOLUTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 AND 072100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 06:12:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001TYYSEBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 06:07:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56M7I0i063845 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 06:07:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FP5js024748; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:01:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:01:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56M1oG2019228 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56M1n9d025011 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:01:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56M1n1l025010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:01:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:01:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306062201.h56M1n1l025010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 062201 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 06 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N118W DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 13N118.5W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N132W MOVING WNW 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 7.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 128W AND 132W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1800 UTC... ..1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 25N125W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N91W 8N110W 12N118W 9N125W 11N132W 10N140W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROAD LOW PRESSURE IN THE ISOBARIC PATTERN FROM NW TO SE... FROM MEXICO TO PANAMA. UPPER LEVEL WINDS SHEARING SOME OF THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 89W AND 99W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS STILL REMAIN IN THIS SAME AREA. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...PROBABLY FROM AFTERNOON HEATING...IN SE MEXICO JUST EAST OF ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 06:12:14 2003 X-UIDL: 27203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001X6YV2BL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 06:09:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56M8s0i064211 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 06:08:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FP5jm024748; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:00:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:00:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56M0tG2019438 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56M0t9d024990 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:00:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56M0sCv024989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:00:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306062200.h56M0sCv024989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 062200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 23N159W. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF A LINE FROM 13S164W TO 23S142W...THEN LAYERED CLOUDS TO 34S120W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 10S177W TO 13S164W. ALSO SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 06:52:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300IFI0JANH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 06:45:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56Mj30i070879 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 06:45:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FP5Bm052194; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:40:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5637 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:39:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56MdTG2052540 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:39:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56MdS9d025480 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:39:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56MdSZw025479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:39:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:39:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306062239.h56MdSZw025479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 062239 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUN 6 2003 CORRECT AM TO PM FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIMITED AND POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 06:52:14 2003 X-UIDL: 27208-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300IFX0JQNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 06:45:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56MjL0i070923 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 06:45:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56MVIGO024212; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:38:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5598 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:34:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56MYQG2037966 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:34:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56MYQ9d025436 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:34:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56MYQBm025435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:34:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 17:34:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306062234.h56MYQBm025435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 062234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUN 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIMITED AND POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 10:27:00 2003 X-UIDL: 27216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300IOR9ZPNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 10:09:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5729H0i013556 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 10:09:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56MVIQQ024212; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:01:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8025 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:01:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5721RG2045520 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:01:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5721R9d027593 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5721RDf027592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:01:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306070201.h5721RDf027592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 070200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI JUN 06 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 11:36:54 2003 X-UIDL: 27221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300IDZDX4NH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:34:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h573Y50i033356 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:34:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56MVITO024212; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:29:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h573T7G2033120 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h573T69d028261 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h573T6GW028260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:29:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306070329.h573T6GW028260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 070328 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUN 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 11:46:53 2003 X-UIDL: 27222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300I8AEFGNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:45:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h573j70i035961 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:45:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56MVITQ024212; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:35:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h573ZKG2058760 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h573ZK9d028332 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h573ZKfl028331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:35:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306070335.h573ZKfl028331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 062100 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (GINA) WARNING NR 005A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 15.7S3 163.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 163.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.4S1 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.4S2 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.4S3 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.7S6 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.9S5 162.7E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 29P HAS DEVELOPED A WELL-DEFINED EYE OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM CONTIUES TO TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM, IN A REGION OF FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE, ALLOWING FOR MORE RAPID INTENSIFICATION THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. AN APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CREATE A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID- LEVEL RIDGE POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM ALLOWING TC 29P TO TRACK MORE POLEWARD AFTER 12 HOURS. AT THE 24 TO 36 HOUR TIMEFRAME, THE MID- LATITUDE TROUGH WILL HAVE PROPAGATED EASTWARD, IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING RIDGE NOW OVER SOUTHERN AUSTRALIA. INTERACTION BETWEEN TC 29P AND THIS RIDGE WILL INCREASE THE MID-LEVEL WESTERLY GRADIENT, WEAKENING THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AFWA MM5, AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) REMAIN WIDELY DISPARATE, WITH NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AND AFWA MM5 INTERACTING TC 29P SOMEWHAT EXCESSIVELY WITH A CIRCULATION CURRENTLY NEAR BOUGAINVILLE IN THE NORTHERN SOLOMON ISLANDS. EGRR AND GFDN FORECAST RECURVATURE POLEWARD AND WEAKENING IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR AS DESCRIBED ABOVE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH EMPHASIS ON THE EGRR AND GFDN SOLUTION. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: ADJUSTED FORECAST INTENSITIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 AND 080300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 11:57:22 2003 X-UIDL: 27224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300IY8EW7NH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:55:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h573tC0i038771 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:55:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h573d9G4037760; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:49:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:49:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h573n4G2017454 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:49:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h573n39d028422 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:49:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h573n3kq028421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:49:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:49:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306070349.h573n3kq028421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 070348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 07 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0000 UTC... ..1011 MB DISSIPATING LOW CENTERED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 12N118W. ALL DEEP CONVECTION SURROUNDING THE LOW HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT AN ISOLATED BURST OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS JUST BEGINNING TO FORM 50NM NE OF THE CENTER. ..1011 MB LOW CENTERED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 12N134W MOVING WNW 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45NM SE OF THE CENTER...AND OTHER CONVECTION ORIENTED LINEARLY ALONG THE ITCZ. ..1014 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 25N125W WITH BROAD HIGH PRES COVERING THE ENTIRE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 16N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 6N75W 7N83W 11N95W 6N105W 12N112W 13N118W 10N125W 13N133W 11N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST BETWEEN 1N-5N. ISOLATED MODERATE N OF 11N BETWEEN 87W-91W OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA/EL SALVADOR. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 10N BETWEEN 92W-98W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 97W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF A LINE FROM 10N129W-7N135W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 17:48:27 2003 X-UIDL: 27231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300IVAR96NH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:22:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h578MA0i005058 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:22:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575HlKk017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:13:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:13:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h578DkG2025154 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:13:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h578Dk9d000385 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:13:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h578Dj6K000384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:13:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:13:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306070813.h578Dj6K000384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 070813 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI JUN 06 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 17:48:28 2003 X-UIDL: 27234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300IGRUYZNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:42:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h579gR0i022629 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:42:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575HlNY017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:33:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h579XMG2040180 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h579XL9d000964 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h579XLLE000963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:33:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306070933.h579XLLE000963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 070933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 07 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0600 UTC... ..1010 MB DISSIPATING LOW CENTERED NEAR 13N118W. ONE SOLE MODERATE TSTM REACHED A MAXIMUM INTENSITY WITHIN 45NM E OF THE CENTER AT APPROXIMATELY 0600 UTC BUT NOW APPEARS TO BE DISSIPATING. ..1010 MB LOW CENTERED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 11N136W MOVING NW 10-15 KT. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME HARDER TO PINPOINT BUT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONTINUES FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 136W-138W. ..1017 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 24N124W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 25N140W TO THE HIGH AND THEN ESE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 5N77W 8N87W 8N98W 5N106W 12N111W 10N129W 11N136W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-97W. ISOLATED TSTM WITHIN 30NM OF 8N108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO WITHIN 30NM OF THE COAST. ISOLATED MODERATE N OF 10N BETWEEN 89W-101W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 96W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF A LINE FROM 11N128W TO 6N137W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MARINE STRATUS N OF 20N BETWEEN 120W-140W AND WITHIN 200NM OF THE BAJA PENINSULA N OF 20N. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 17:55:35 2003 X-UIDL: 27235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300IRMVASNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:49:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h579nX0i023905 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:49:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575HlNk017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:45:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:45:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h579jFG2033358 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:45:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h579jE9d001023 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:45:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h579jEl4001022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:45:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:45:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306070945.h579jEl4001022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 070944 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUN 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 17:55:35 2003 X-UIDL: 27236-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300ITGVCMNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:50:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h579od0i024150 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:50:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575HlNm017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:46:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:46:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h579k5G2039952 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:46:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h579k59d001029 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h579k5R4001028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:46:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306070946.h579k5R4001028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 070945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 04N163W TO 05N154W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08S160W TO 22S146W TO 23S140W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5 KT AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 11S173W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 09S178W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 22:07:54 2003 X-UIDL: 27241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IKL72GNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:03:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57E3h0i081978 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:03:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575HlVk017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 08:55:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 13522 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 08:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57DtkG2044058 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 08:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57Dtj9d002938 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 08:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57Dtj8L002937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 08:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 08:55:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306071355.h57Dtj8L002937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 071355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT JUN 07 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 22:57:55 2003 X-UIDL: 27246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IFR9INNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:56:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57Eue0i092575 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:56:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575HlXA017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:46:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 13868 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:46:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57EkvG2026080 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:46:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57Eku9d003337 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:46:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57Ekusk003336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:46:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:46:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306071446.h57Ekusk003336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 071500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (GINA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 16.8S5 162.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.8S5 162.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.5S3 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.6S5 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 19.3S3 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 19.9S9 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.0S8 161.9E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. TC 29P CONTINUES TO TRACK POLEWARD AROUND THE WESTERN EDGE OF A MID- LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 29P WILL LINK UP WITH A MAJOR SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY EXITING SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA AND RECURVE TO THE SOUTHEAST MID-WAY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TC 29P'S EYE HAS BECOME MORE RAGGED AND LESS WELL-DEFINED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. ANALYSIS OF UW-CIMMS DATA SHOWS THAT TC 29P HAS TRANSITIONED INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING SHEAR AND WILL EVENTUALLY ENCOUNTER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, AUSTRALIAN TLAPS, AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) REMAIN IN VERY POOR AGREEMENT. NOGAPS CONTINUES TO INTERACT TC 29P EXCESSIVELY WITH A CIRCULATION NEAR THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANALYSIS OF THE NCEP GFS INDICATES POSSIBLE TRACKER ALGORITHM PROBLEMS. EGGR IS THE MOST REASONABLE OF THE DYNAMIC MODELS FOR THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. EGGR'S SOLUTION BEST MATCHES PERSISTENCE AND THE EXPECTED EFFECTS OF THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. EGGR'S RECURVATURE SOLUTION IS ALSO MATCHED AND SUPPORTED TO SOME DEGREE BY SBAM, MBAM, AND THE STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL AIDS OF CLIM AND CLIP. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND HEAVY EMPHASIS ON EGRR'S SOLUTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 AND 081500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 23:43:48 2003 X-UIDL: 27249-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400ISIBE9NH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 23:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57FbA0i001560 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 23:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575HlYw017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 10:31:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 10:31:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57FVPG2019440 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 10:31:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57FVK9d003722 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 10:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57FVKKo003721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 10:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 10:31:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306071531.h57FVKKo003721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 071531 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 07 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1200 UTC... ..1009 MB DISSIPATING LOW CENTERED NEAR 13N117W. ONE SOLE MODERATE TSTM JUST S OF CENTER. ..1010 MB LOW CENTERED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 12N137W MOVING NW 10-15 KT. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-13N BETWEEN 136W-139W. ..1015 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 24N126W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING TO MEXICO NEAR MANZANILLO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 8N82W 6N100W 5N106W 12N115W 10N120W 12N136W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 85W-90W AND FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 90W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 129W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO FROM 12N-20N BETWEEN 99W-101W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 01:03:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IF6F7XNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 00:59:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57Gxn0i020172 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 00:59:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575Hlca017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:52:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 15271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57GqJG2035450 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57GqI9d004404 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:52:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57GqINR004403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:52:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 11:52:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306071652.h57GqINR004403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 071652 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUN 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 01:23:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27254-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IMQG0HNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 01:17:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57HGs0i024584 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 01:16:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575Hlcu017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 15502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57HBJG2037730 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57HBJ9d004615 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57HBJXA004613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306071711.h57HBJXA004613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 65.1E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1N5 66.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 625 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF BOMBAY, INDIA, IN THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION PERSISTS NEAR A POORLY-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 01:23:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IOBG1SNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 01:17:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57HHf0i024772 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 01:17:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57H4DGW025900; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 15505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57HBJG2044104 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57HBJ9d004616 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57HBJG9004614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 12:11:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306071711.h57HBJG9004614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 65.1E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1N5 66.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 625 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF BOMBAY, INDIA, IN THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION PERSISTS NEAR A POORLY-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 03:53:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27260-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IC5MWVNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:46:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57Jjx0i062159 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:46:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57H4DR6025900; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:37:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16566 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:36:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57JamG2016146 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:36:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57Jam9d006003 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57JalU7006001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:36:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:36:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306071936.h57JalU7006001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 071930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/071930Z/080600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/071351ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS NEAR 8.0N8 153.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND TWO FAIRLY RECENT QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE CONVECTION ORGANIZING NEAR A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P (GINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8S5 162.1E0, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1), FAIR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 03:53:50 2003 X-UIDL: 27261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IL9N3ONH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:50:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57Jo40i063346 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:50:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575Hlhw017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:45:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16656 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57JjhG2029972 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57Jjg9d006066 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57Jjg7H006065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:45:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306071945.h57Jjg7H006065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 071945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT JUN 07 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 05:53:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IDZSPANH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 05:51:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57Lp20i088077 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 05:51:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575HlkY017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:44:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 17306 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:44:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57LiDG2029978 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:44:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57LiC9d007107 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:44:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57LiCYY007106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:44:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:44:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306072144.h57LiCYY007106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 072144 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 07 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1200 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 12N117W. AN ISOLATED TSTM CELL IS JUST W OF THE CENTER. ..1010 MB DISSIPATING LOW CENTERED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 12N137W MOVING NW 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM E OF CENTER. ..1017 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 24N126W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING TO MEXICO NEAR MANZANILLO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 7N77W 7N95W 5N106W 10N111W 10N120W 11N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 129W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 96W-100W AND 86W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13.5N BETWEEN 92W-100W. ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE W COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 10N-17N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 06:03:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27265-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IQ6T4PNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 06:00:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57M0I0i089922 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 06:00:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575Hlki017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 17423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57LtiG2045924 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57Lti9d007256 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57Lthde007255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:55:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306072155.h57Lthde007255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 072155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 06N151W 03N165W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 06N169W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...NEW CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 24N157W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE NEW CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES FOR THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITH 120 NM OF POINT 17S142W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 21S141W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12S173W 12S166W MOVED EAST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 06:13:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IVWTE8NH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 06:06:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57M5x0i091046 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 06:06:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57H4DaW025900; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:59:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 17481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:58:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57LwbG2033236 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:58:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57Lwb9d007309 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:58:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57LwbTb007308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:58:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:58:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected For Surface Analysis Time Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306072158.h57LwbTb007308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 072158 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED FOR SURFACE ANALYSIS TIME NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 07 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1800 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 12N117W. AN ISOLATED TSTM CELL IS JUST W OF THE CENTER. ..1010 MB DISSIPATING LOW CENTERED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 12N137W MOVING NW 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM E OF CENTER. ..1017 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 24N126W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING TO MEXICO NEAR MANZANILLO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 7N77W 7N95W 5N106W 10N111W 10N120W 11N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 129W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 96W-100W AND 86W-90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13.5N BETWEEN 92W-100W. ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE W COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 10N-17N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 06:53:50 2003 X-UIDL: 27267-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG40055AVJ4C0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 06:52:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57Mq9Pg007115 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 06:52:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575Hln0017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:45:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 17949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:45:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57MjUG2014242 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57MjT9d007851 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57MjTM9007850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 17:45:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306072245.h57MjTM9007850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 072245 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUN 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 09:53:20 2003 X-UIDL: 27272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG5005LE3T9C0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:51:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h581p1Pg041264 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:51:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h581jeG2021932; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 20:45:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 20:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h581jcG2039604 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 20:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h581jc9d009334 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 20:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h581jcPe009333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 20:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 20:45:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306080145.h581jcPe009333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 080145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT JUN 07 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 10:53:08 2003 X-UIDL: 27276-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG5005PO68ZC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 10:43:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h582hePg051516 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 10:43:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h581jeIM021932; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:34:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:34:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h582YSG2039616 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:34:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h582YS9d009736 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:34:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h582YSdi009735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:34:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:34:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306080234.h582YSdi009735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (GINA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 17.4S2 161.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4S2 161.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.0S9 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.6S5 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 19.5S5 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.7S9 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 17.6S4 161.9E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 105 KNOTS. TC 29P HAS MADE THE TURN POLEWARD AROUND THE WESTERN EDGE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 29P IS EXPERIENCING SHEAR IN THE SOUTHWEST SECTOR ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 29P WILL ULTIMATELY LINK WITH THIS TROUGH AND BEGIN THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, AND UKMET (EGRR) ARE NOW IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AFWA MM5 WHICH PROGS THE SYSTEM IN A LESS THAN LIKELY TRACK WESTWARD TOWARD AUSTRALIA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC MODELS, LESS AFWA MM5. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 AND 090300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 11:43:08 2003 X-UIDL: 27277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG5005C18TNC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 11:39:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583dFPg061853 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 11:39:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoGA025764; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:32:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 20004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583WaG2025966 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:32:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h583WZ9d010079 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h583WZDr010078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:32:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306080332.h583WZDr010078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 080332 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUN 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DIMINISHED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 11:53:08 2003 X-UIDL: 27278-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG5005XH9EBC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 11:51:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583pePg063941 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 11:51:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoGM025764; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:46:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 20061 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583k3G2052852 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h583k39d010157 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h583k3h5010156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:46:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306080346.h583k3h5010156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 080345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 08 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0000 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 11N116W MOVING SSE 10 KT. ONE ISOLATED TSTM CELL FORMING NEAR THE CENTER. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 7N136W-16N137W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 132W-139W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A 1016 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 24N126W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 3N78W 5N90W 4N105W 9N113W 12N135W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-91W AND WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-101W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75NM OF THE CNTRL AMERICAN COAST BETWEEN 87W-101W AND N OF 12N BETWEEN 98W-102W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS ELSEWHERE N OF 10N BETWEEN THE COAST AND 102W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 16:13:10 2003 X-UIDL: 27284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG5005B0L5GC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:05:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5885WPg012414 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:05:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoKk025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:01:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 21549 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:01:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5881jG2042616 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:01:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5881j9d011935 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:01:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5881jdw011934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:01:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:01:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306080801.h5881jdw011934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 080800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT JUN 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 17:43:10 2003 X-UIDL: 27286-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG5005MTPKFC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 17:41:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h589etPg032611 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 17:40:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoLw025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:35:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 22022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:35:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h589Z3G2033192 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:35:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h589Z39d012572 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:35:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h589Z25G012571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:35:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:35:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306080935.h589Z25G012571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 080934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 08 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0600 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N116W MOVING SSE 10 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 9N135W-16N137W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 134W-139W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SWD FROM MEXICO ALONG 20N98W 17N99W 13N98W 12N95W WITH ADDITIONAL LOWER PRESSURES STRETCHING WWD FROM COLOMBIA. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 23N140W TO A 1017 MB HIGH NEAR 23N128W AND THEN SE TO 18N111W. ..BROAD TROUGH INTERRUPTS THE RIDGE LYING ALONG 31N132W 28N137W 27N144W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 7N95W 4N105W 12N134W 11N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 110W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA BETWEEN 1N-5N. ISOLATED MODERATE N OF 9N BETWEEN 88W-102W WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 100NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR ACAPULCO AND OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHAUNTEPEC. BROKEN/OVERCAST MARINE STRATUS N OF 22N W OF 122W AND N OF 17N E OF 120W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 18:03:10 2003 X-UIDL: 27288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG5005C5Q60C0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 17:54:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h589rqPg035403 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 17:53:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoMK025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:49:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 22102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:49:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h589nbG2030412 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:49:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h589nb9d012696 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h589nbUs012695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:49:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306080949.h589nbUs012695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIII, Probability=36%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 080949 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUN 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 18:13:10 2003 X-UIDL: 27290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG5005PCQPCC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 18:05:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58A5TPg037229 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 18:05:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoMS025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 05:01:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 22170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 05:01:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58A1DG2032928 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 05:01:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58A1C9d012809 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 05:01:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58A1C4s012808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 05:01:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 05:01:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306081001.h58A1C4s012808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 081000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12N144W 02N153W 03N156W 10N150W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INCREASED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 07N171W 01N166W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 06N178W MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 14S174W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S170W 07S161W 09S165W MOVED WEST 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 19S159W 25S151W. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 22:13:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG6005IO1XOC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:08:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58E84Pg087040 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:08:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoRm025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:02:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 23840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:02:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58E2QG2020082 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:02:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58E2P9d014339 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:02:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58E2PxZ014338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:02:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:02:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306081402.h58E2PxZ014338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 081401 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN JUN 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 23:03:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG6005G449YC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:58:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58EwcPg097691 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:58:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoSQ025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:49:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 24089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58EnQG2005076 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:49:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58EnM9d014651 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58EnMYA014650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:49:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306081449.h58EnMYA014650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (GINA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 18.3S2 163.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 163.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 19.8S8 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 21.2S5 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 18.7S6 164.0E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TC 29P HAS LINKED UP WITH A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH AND IS NOW RECURVING RAPIDLY TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT MOST OF THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED FROM SYSTEM LEAVING AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 29P IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RECURVING TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST IN THE MID-LAT WESTERLIES AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, AND THE AUSTRALIAN TLAPS AND TCLAPS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. AFWA MM5 AND TLAPS CONTINUE TO HAVE TC 29P TRACK NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO PROBABLE EXCESSIVE INTERACTION WITH A WEAK CIRCULATION IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. NCEP GFS, TCLAPS, AND MANY OF THE STATISTICAL AND CLIMO AIDS SUPPORT RECURVATURE WHICH IS WHAT PERSISTENCE AND THE METEOROLOGICAL PATTERN SUGGEST. THE NOGAPS AID (NGPI) ALSO SHOWS A SOLUTION TO THE NORTHWEST SIMILAR TO AFWA BUT A CLOSER ANALYSIS OF THE FIELDS REVEALS THAT THE VORTEX RECURVES. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC MODELS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON AFWA MM5 AND TLAPS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 00:03:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG60054N70JC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 23:57:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58FvlPg010849 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 23:57:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoVq025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 10:48:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 24746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 10:48:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58FmiG2058714 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 10:48:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58Fme9d015177 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 10:48:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58FmU3N015176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 10:48:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 10:48:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306081548.h58FmU3N015176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 081548 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 08 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE INTRODUCED ALONG 98W/99W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THE WAVE ENTERED THE EASTERN PACIFIC ON THE 6TH AND ITS SATELLITE PRESENTATION HAS GRADUALLY IMPROVED AFTER IT LEFT THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER LOW. THE WAVE IS CHARACTERIZED BY A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA WITH ANOMALOUSLY LOW PRESSURES AS INDICATED BY THE TOGA-TAO ARRAY AND A NEARBY SHIP. SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 7.5N-11N BETWEEN 94W-98W WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12.5N-16N BETWEEN 95W-103W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE WAVE. ..DISSIPATING 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 9N116W MOVING SSE 10 KT. A MODERATE TSTM COMPLEX IS ABOUT 30 NM S OF THE CENTER. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 138W FROM 7N-15N. ALL CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED... LEAVING A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 12N137W. ..1016 MB HIGH NEAR 25N126W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 18N111W. ..BROAD TROUGH ALONG 31N131W 26N142W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 6N77W 13N90W 13N96W 8N101W 8N120W 13N135W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-115W. ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 7N. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 00:53:27 2003 X-UIDL: 27305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG6005DM9HYC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 00:51:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58GpQPg022965 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 00:51:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoWu025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 11:44:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 25095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 11:44:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58GirG2042754 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 11:44:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58Gir9d015613 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 11:44:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58Gira4015612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 11:44:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 11:44:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306081644.h58Gira4015612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 081644 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUN 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD...DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 01:43:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27307-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG6005WVBGEC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:33:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58HXfPg032907 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:33:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoY0025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 25451 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58HTtG2042834 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58HTt9d016041 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58HTtpu016039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306081729.h58HTtpu016039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.1N5 66.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 58.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE ARABIAN PENENSULA, IN THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS POORLY DEFINED, BUT CONTINUES TO CYCLE CONVECTION WHILE TRACKING SLOWLY TOWARD THE PENINSULA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS NOW IN A REGION OF MODERATELY FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 01:43:25 2003 X-UIDL: 27308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG60051SBL2C0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:36:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58HaVPg033444 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:36:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583a7EK039566; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 25454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58HTtG2035740 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58HTt9d016042 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58HTtJF016040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 12:29:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306081729.h58HTtJF016040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.1N5 66.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 58.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE ARABIAN PENENSULA, IN THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS POORLY DEFINED, BUT CONTINUES TO CYCLE CONVECTION WHILE TRACKING SLOWLY TOWARD THE PENINSULA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS NOW IN A REGION OF MODERATELY FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 03:53:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG6005FFHSYC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:50:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58JooPg062275 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:50:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DogS025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 14:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 26892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 14:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58JjiG2019216 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 14:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58Jjh9d017186 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 14:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58Jjh3o017185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 14:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 14:45:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306081945.h58Jjh3o017185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 081945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN JUN 08 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 04:43:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG60057IJROC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:33:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58KXHPg070766 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:33:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583Doi4025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:24:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 27395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:24:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58KOEG2040532 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:24:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58KOE9d017526 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:24:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58KOE51017525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:24:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:24:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306082024.h58KOE51017525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPS31 PGTW 082100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29P (GINA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 18.7S6 165.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 18.7S6 165.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.9S9 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.0S0 166.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC 29P HAS LINKED WITH A DEEP MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE SOUTH AND IS NOW TRACKING RAPIDLY TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS AND NCEP GFS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH A FAST-PACED TRACK TAKING THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANTS OF 29P POLEWARD. UKMET (EGRR) NOW DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM IN PLACE NORTHWEST OF NEW CALEDONIA, AND IS NOT CONSIDERED IN THIS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 14 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 05:43:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27319-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG6005G1MVCC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 05:40:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58LeFPg082714 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 05:40:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58HrDbY039566; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:34:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 27802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:34:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58LYNG2037668 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:34:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58LYN9d018097 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:34:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58LYMBZ018096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:34:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:34:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306082134.h58LYMBZ018096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 082134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 08 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...IN THE ITCZ...FROM 6N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 103W. ..1010 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 8N111W IN THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 111W AND 112W. SECOND 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE ITCZ NEAR 8N116W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W. ..QUASI-STATIONARY TROUGH ALONG 136W/137W FROM 8N TO 16N. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 136W AND 140W. ..1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 23N128W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM 16N TO 32N BETWEEN 120W AND 131W. ..FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH 30N130W TO 23N140W. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N96W 8N110W 8N120W 9N128W 10N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 111W AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 92W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 06:03:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG60058JNTQC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 06:01:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58M0tPg085889 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 06:00:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DolC025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:55:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 28137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58LtcG2038904 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58Ltb9d018268 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58Ltbhw018267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:55:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306082155.h58Ltbhw018267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 082155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 03N165W 04N171W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 06N179W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 09N146W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF POINT 14S175W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH/SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12S169W 12S156W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 17S144W 22S137W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE LOW AND THE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S179E 09S178W 11S180...MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 06:53:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG600J2DPU87G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 06:44:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58MiOPg092353 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 06:44:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583Dolq025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 17:38:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 28376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 17:38:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58Mc2G2042852 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 17:38:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58Mc29d018636 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 17:38:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58Mc2qg018635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 17:38:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 17:38:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306082238.h58Mc2qg018635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 082237 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUN 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 08:53:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG600JMNVMV7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 08:49:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h590nVPg013771 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 08:49:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58HrDsi039566; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:42:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 29624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:41:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h590fbG2019936 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:41:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h590fb9d019614 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h590faur019612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:41:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:41:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090041.h590faur019612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 090030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/090030Z/091800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 58.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE ARABIAN PENENSULA, IN THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A SUSPECT AREA FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1), NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE SUSPECT AREA. 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 08:53:14 2003 X-UIDL: 27325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG600JMRVMY7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 08:49:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h590nbPg013808 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 08:49:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58HrDsm039566; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:42:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 29627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:41:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h590fbG2035202 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:41:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h590fb9d019615 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h590faLj019613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:41:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 19:41:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090041.h590faLj019613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 090030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/090030Z/091800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 58.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE ARABIAN PENENSULA, IN THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED A SUSPECT AREA FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1), NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE SUSPECT AREA. 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 09:52:20 2003 X-UIDL: 27331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG600JTMYIF7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:51:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h591phPg031560 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:51:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoxE025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 20:46:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 30681 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 20:46:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h591kUG2041876 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 20:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h591kT9d020165 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 20:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h591kTTY020164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 20:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 20:46:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090146.h591kTTY020164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 090146 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN JUN 08 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 11:45:46 2003 X-UIDL: 27356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700J2I3S77G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 11:45:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h593jYPg069235 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 11:45:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583Do46025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:40:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:40:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h593eTG2038870 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:40:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h593eS9d021099 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:40:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h593eSEv021098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:40:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:40:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090340.h593eSEv021098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 090340 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUN 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. LITTLE MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 13:04:14 2003 X-UIDL: 27358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700JOV3Z27G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 11:49:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h593nhPg070713 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 11:49:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583Do4C025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:45:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31754 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h593jYG2019820 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h593jX9d021130 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h593jXGF021129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:45:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090345.h593jXGF021129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 090344 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 09 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W/102W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 100W-104W. ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 8N112W WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 111W-113W. ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 7N116W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 115W-119W. ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N137W TO 15N137W WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 135W-138W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 15N W OF 115W WITH A 1016 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 26N127W. ..SURFACE TROUGH WITHIN THE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 31N129W TO 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N91W 10N100W 9N110W 6N120W 12N134W 10N140W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 92W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 109W-113W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS W OF 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION N OF 11N BETWEEN 87W-89W INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 10N BETWEEN 90W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 98W-100W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 14:11:47 2003 X-UIDL: 27368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700J6VAJ57G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 14:11:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h596BJsq012930 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 14:11:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h593stSw039566; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 33023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59626G2052922 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h596259d022150 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59625t4022148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090602.h59625t4022148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/081951ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.2N0 150.1E7 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BEGUN IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF THIS LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WEAK CONFLUENT FLOW; HOWEVER, THE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IS WEAK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SUFRACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEAL LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081800Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P (GINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 165.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 14:43:59 2003 X-UIDL: 27372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700J11BWE7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 14:41:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h596essq021476 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 14:40:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583Do9k025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 33169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h596ZGG2026120 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h596ZB9d022372 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h596ZBjE022369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090635.h596ZBjE022369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/081951ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.7N5 148.5E8 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BEGUN IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF THIS LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WEAK CONFLUENT FLOW; HOWEVER, THE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IS WEAK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SUFRACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEAL LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081800Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P (GINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 165.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 16:13:59 2003 X-UIDL: 27382-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700JJRFUX7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:06:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5986Psq051692 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:06:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoAs025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:01:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 33550 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:01:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5981dG2035248 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5981d9d022897 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5981dQ2022896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:01:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090801.h5981dQ2022896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 090800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUN 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 17:53:59 2003 X-UIDL: 27396-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700JZ2KEE7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:44:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h599iTsq081446 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:44:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoBq025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:39:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 33987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:39:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h599dRG2032730 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:39:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h599dR9d023505 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:39:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h599dQBv023504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:39:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:39:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090939.h599dQBv023504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 090939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 09 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W/103W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. A NARROW STRIP OF LOW PRES EXTENDS 250NM OFF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 90W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 100W-105W. ..1010 MB DISSIPATING LOW NEAR 9N111W NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 111W-114W WITH OTHER ITCZ CONVECTION NEARBY. ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 7N117W MOVING WSW 5 KT. IMPRESSIVE AREA OF CONVECTION FROM EARLIER IN THE NIGHT HAS DISSIPATED LEAVING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 116W-120W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 8N135W TO 16N135W AND HAS BEEN RETROGRADING EWD 5-10 KT OVER THE PAST 24 HRS. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 26N140W 22N120W 18N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 6N88W 11N107W 5N122W 10N135W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-83W AND BETWEEN 87W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE...PARTLY ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE LOW...FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 108W-114W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 74W-79W INCLUDING ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 120NM S OF EL SALVADOR BETWEEN 88W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 11N BETWEEN 92W-95W WITH SCATTERED STRONG OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHAUNTEPEC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 100W-105W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MARINE STRATUS N OF 25N W OF 130W AND N OF 16N BETWEEN 110W-120W INCLUDING ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 18:03:46 2003 X-UIDL: 27399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700JMXL8M7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 18:02:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59A2csq086732 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 18:02:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h593stdo039566; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:56:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 34148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h599uBG2035244 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h599uB9d023602 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h599uB2e023601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:56:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090956.h599uB2e023601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 090955 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUN 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO MOVE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 18:14:36 2003 X-UIDL: 27400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700JZXLE77G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 18:06:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59A60sq087758 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 18:06:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoC4025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 05:01:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 34198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 05:01:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59A1PG2035082 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 05:01:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59A1O9d023680 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 05:01:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59A1OhG023679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 05:01:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 05:01:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306091001.h59A1OhG023679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 091000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13N154W 06N153W 04N170W MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. NEW ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF 08N142W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 14S175W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 05S167W MOVED NORTHWEST 10 KT AND INCREASED. NEW ISOLATED CB ARE BOUNDED BY 10S163W 14S148W 16S160W. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 14S137W MOVED SOUTHWEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 22:49:16 2003 X-UIDL: 27419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700JYKX297G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:18:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59EI0sq057265 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:18:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59CWBNS025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:02:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 36523 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:01:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59E1BG2035154 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:01:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59E1A9d027239 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:01:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59E1Agw027238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:01:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:01:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306091401.h59E1Agw027238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 091400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON JUN 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 23:56:33 2003 X-UIDL: 27424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800J001GB7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 23:52:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59Fqosq084244 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 23:52:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59CWBWu025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:44:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 38148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59FiJG2021858 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59FiJ9d001135 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:44:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59FiJcI001134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:44:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:44:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306091544.h59FiJcI001134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 091544 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 09 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W/104W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 15N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 102W-105W. ..A PAIR OF 1009 MB LOWS WITHIN THE ITCZ ARE NEAR 9N111W AND 6N117W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 110W-113W. ..PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED TROUGH NEAR 135W HAS DISSIPATED. ..1015 MB HIGH IS NEAR 23N128W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 18N106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 10N106W 5N120W 8N130W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 80W-84W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 93W-101W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 104W-113W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ABOUT 120 NM WIDE NEAR 14N95.5W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 3N78W 6N77W PLUS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 7N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 00:24:51 2003 X-UIDL: 27427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800JU61WZ7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:02:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59G2rsq087127 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:02:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59FXCIU039566; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 38310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59FrOG2041886 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59FrO9d001428 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59FrOfF001426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306091553.h59FrOfF001426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 091600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/091600Z/100600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/081951ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 148.5E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 145.9E9, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION PASS REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, THOUGH THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT IS STILL MARGINAL DUE TO LINEAR FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081800Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P (GINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 165.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 01:14:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800JXO51S7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 01:10:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59HAWsq005089 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 01:10:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59FXCSm039566; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 39426 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59H3LG2035564 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59H3H9d004033 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59H3FEj004029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306091703.h59H3FEj004029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 01:14:15 2003 X-UIDL: 27430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800J1C54R7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 01:12:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59HCJsq005545 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 01:12:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59CWBfS025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 11:59:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 39362 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 11:59:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59GxNG2035482 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 11:59:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59GxN9d003862 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 11:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59GxNOq003861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 11:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 11:59:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306091659.h59GxNOq003861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 091659 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUN 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 01:14:16 2003 X-UIDL: 27431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800J3Q57G7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 01:14:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59HDwsq005884 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 01:14:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59CWBg4025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 39423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59H3KG2048802 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59H3H9d004032 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59H3FRG004030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 12:03:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306091703.h59H3FRG004030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 04:24:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27435-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800JZ3DT77G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:19:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59KJksq060961 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:19:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59CWB00025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:05:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 42168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:01:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59K1iG2048804 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:01:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59K1h9d010469 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:01:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59K1hjm010468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:01:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:01:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306092001.h59K1hjm010468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 092000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUN 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 06:14:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800J6UIOM7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 06:05:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59M52sq088041 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 06:05:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59CWBBW025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:57:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 43910 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:57:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59LvHG2048648 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59LvG9d016818 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:57:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59LvGKD016817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:57:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:57:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306092157.h59LvGKD016817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 092157 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 09 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W/105W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 106W. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 8N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...DISSIPATING A BIT DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 114W AND 116W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 110W AND 112W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. ..1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 23N132W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 8N99W 10N112W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 108W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS 96W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IN CLUSTERS FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN COLOMBIA/PANAMA COASTS AND 84W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND ALREADY DISSIPATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 98W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 103W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 31N121W TO BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 26N112W. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 06:14:14 2003 X-UIDL: 27443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800JEBIUW7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 06:08:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59M8msq088834 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 06:08:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59FXCCM039566; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:01:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 43949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59M1mG2044108 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59M1l9d016930 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59M1lTL016929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:01:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306092201.h59M1lTL016929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 092200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N162W 05N163W 03N165W 03N172W 08N171W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N150W 06N155W 07N157W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 16N176E 11N178E 07N175W 04N177W 06N176E 09N178E 15N172E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S159W 11S156W 15S145W 17S145W 16S155W 12S168W 08S163W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16S142W 18S139W 20S138W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 19S152W 20S148W 25S145W 25S153W 22S156W 20S155W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 06:44:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800A9YKEVJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 06:42:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59MgNsq095047 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 06:42:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59CWBDS025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:33:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 44517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:33:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59MX2G2037936 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:33:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59MX19d017473 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59MX1Jv017472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 17:33:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306092233.h59MX1Jv017472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 092232 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUN 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE WITH THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 14:25:30 2003 X-UIDL: 27459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800AQXUBEJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 10:16:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A2G7sq050120 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 10:16:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59N5HWg025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:03:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 47684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A21QG2044270 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:01:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5A21P9d020709 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5A21P0q020708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:01:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306100201.h5A21P0q020708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 100200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUN 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 14:25:32 2003 X-UIDL: 27470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800AGMYJ8J9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 11:47:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A3lOsq077141 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 11:47:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59N5HeW025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:38:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 48936 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:38:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A3c8G2052896 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5A3c89d022146 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5A3c7ap022145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:38:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:38:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306100338.h5A3c7ap022145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 100337 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUN 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 14:25:33 2003 X-UIDL: 27472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800AOQZC2J9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 12:04:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A44fsq081910 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 12:04:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59N5HfA025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:56:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 49046 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:56:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A3uMG2023040 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:56:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5A3uM9d022305 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:56:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5A3uMld022304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:56:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:56:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306100356.h5A3uMld022304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 100356 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 10 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 104W/105W IS NOW ALONG 106W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 8N114W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 126W WITH A 1017 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 23N135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N91W 11N110W 6N120W 8N135W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 85W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 95W TO 100W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 15N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 93W TO 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N89W TO THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13N88W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF 22N WEST OF 100W...WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N90W TO 11N93W...AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N105W TO 17N108W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 14:25:35 2003 X-UIDL: 27478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900ATV45ZJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 13:49:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5n4sq016385 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 13:49:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A4wOKk042946; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50489 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5fEG2031084 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5A5f99d023518 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5A5f9us023516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306100541.h5A5f9us023516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/092051ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 145.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 143.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND LOW DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SUFRACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 16:03:27 2003 X-UIDL: 27487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900AHU9T3J9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:51:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A7ossq056211 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:50:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5BoPO025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 02:46:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 51514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 02:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A7k2G2032742 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 02:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5A7k29d024680 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 02:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5A7k2mN024679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 02:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 02:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306100746.h5A7k2mN024679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 100745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON JUN 09 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 17:43:23 2003 X-UIDL: 27496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900AB2ES6J9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A9cLsq092652 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:38:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5BoRU025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:32:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A9WVG2041768 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:32:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5A9WV9d025590 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5A9WVdB025589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:32:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306100932.h5A9WVdB025589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 100932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 10 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W IS NOW ALONG 107W/108W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N115W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 120W WITH A 1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 24N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N92W 11N108W 10N119W 11N132W 10N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 81W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 95W...WITHIN 150 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 112W ...AND WITHIN A 90/120 NM RADIUS OF 8.5N111W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 14N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 93W TO 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO 83W...WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N79W TO 7N81W...NORTH OF 17N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 102W TO 104W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N105W TO 14N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N39W INLAND OVER PANAMA TO 8N81W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W TO 106W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 18:13:23 2003 X-UIDL: 27500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900AE8G0BJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 18:05:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AA4psq001671 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 18:04:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5BoTG025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:56:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A9tZG2040306 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5A9tZ9d025758 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5A9tZmi025757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306100955.h5A9tZmi025757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 100955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N168W 08N161W 05N165W 05N170W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11S160W 13S157W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 18S148W 18S141W 22S139W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 19S178E 23S175W 26S173W AND MOVED EAST AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 15S174W 11S175W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 11S144W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 21:09:36 2003 X-UIDL: 27507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900A8GNK7J9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 20:48:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AClssq046539 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 20:47:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5BoYE025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 07:41:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 53742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 07:41:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ACfHG2040740 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 07:41:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5ACfH9d027305 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 07:41:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5ACfGai027304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 07:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 07:41:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306101241.h5ACfGai027304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 101240 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUN 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE WITH THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY IS DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 22:05:37 2003 X-UIDL: 27508-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900A6RQGMJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:50:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ADoZsq064562 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:50:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5BogM025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 08:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 54920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 08:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ADjZG2026100 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 08:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5ADjZ9d028764 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 08:45:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5ADjZYC028763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 08:45:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 08:45:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306101345.h5ADjZYC028763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 101345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE JUN 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 00:03:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900A6TWA0J9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:56:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AFuFsq002607 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:56:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5Borq025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 10:43:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 56973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 10:43:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AFhgG2044282 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 10:43:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5AFhf9d003146 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 10:43:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5AFhfk6003143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 10:43:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 10:43:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306101543.h5AFhfk6003143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 101543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 10 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W/109W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 104W-110W. ..DISSIPATING 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 10N FROM 110W113W. ..1018 MB HIGH IS NEAR 24N130W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 20N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N85W 11N110W 7N122W 11N136W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 79W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6.5N-15N BETWEEN 94W-103W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE MOSTLY OFFSHORE OF SW MEXICO WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE 15N99W 18N106W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR THE GULF OF PANAMA AROUND 7N78W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF 12N88W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 09:05:48 2003 X-UIDL: 27516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900A69ZKAJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 01:07:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AH7Esq033289 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 01:07:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AF3KXi042946; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 11:59:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 58337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 11:59:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AGxmG2050476 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 11:59:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5AGxl9d006298 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 11:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5AGxlbn006297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 11:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 11:59:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306101659.h5AGxlbn006297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 101659 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUN 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 09:05:51 2003 X-UIDL: 27521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA00AH98JDJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:21:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AKKvsq086355 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:20:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5BoDu025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:01:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61358 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AK1QG2004902 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5AK1Q9d013123 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5AK1Qvi013122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:01:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306102001.h5AK1Qvi013122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 102000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE JUN 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 09:05:53 2003 X-UIDL: 27523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA0060IE151R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 06:19:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AMJjsq013171 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 06:19:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AL4hQC042946; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:07:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 63624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:06:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AM64G2015376 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:06:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5AM649d017126 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:06:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5AM64N3017124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:06:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:06:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306102206.h5AM64N3017124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 102205 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUN 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 09:05:54 2003 X-UIDL: 27526-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA0062DE291R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 06:20:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AMKRsq013410 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 06:20:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AKWOSY025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:02:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 63575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:02:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AM2mG2042648 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:02:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5AM2l9d017034 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:02:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5AM2lXH017033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:02:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:02:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306102202.h5AM2lXH017033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 102201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N154W 06N158W 07N161W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NEW ISOLATED TCU ARE BOUNDED BY 20N168W 18N165W 17N169W 19N169W. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 20N174W 19N173W 19N171W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 14S144W 17S137W 12S136W 23S130W 22S135W 20S140W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 TO 20 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE/UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 21S141W 25S141W 25S144W 23S144W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS...WITH EMBEDDED OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND ACROSS THE DATELINE ARE BOUNDED BY 14S165E 17S180 23S170W 25S165W 25S175W 20S175E 18S165E. FEATURE MOVING NORTH AT 5 KT NORTH OF 20S AND NORTHEAST AT 15 KT SOUTH OF 20S. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S175W 14S172W 17S172W 16S175W 14S176W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT IN 15 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05S176W 05S173W 08S170W 11S164W 11S162W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09S144W 11S142W 09S139W 15S139W 12S144W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 09:06:05 2003 X-UIDL: 27546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA006DZECZ1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 06:27:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AMIFsq012820 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 06:18:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AKWOSq025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:05:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 63609 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:05:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AM5EG2015604 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:05:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5AM5E9d017086 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:05:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5AM5E2Z017085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:05:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 17:05:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306102205.h5AM5E2Z017085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 102204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 10 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1800 UTC... ..TROUGH FROM 5N TO 12N ALONG 87W/88W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 86W AND 88W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 81W AND 86W...IN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W/110W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13.5N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 105.5W AND 107W...AND FROM 11.5N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W. ..1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 24N127W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 8N100W 9N120W 11N133W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 5N TO 19N BETWEEN 97W AND 109W. SOME OF THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS BEING ENHANCED ALSO BY THE PRESENCE OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 7N93W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 132W AND 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 14:42:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA0064YOT21R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 10:12:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B2CTsq067996 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 10:12:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AKWOm2025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:01:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 66976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B21bG2042516 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5B21b9d020305 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:01:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5B21b5m020304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:01:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:01:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306110201.h5B21b5m020304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 110200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE JUN 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 14:42:18 2003 X-UIDL: 27576-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA006TWV3X1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 12:28:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B4Sbsq011083 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 12:28:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B2VYMC055248; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:21:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 69479 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:21:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B4LfG2056970 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:21:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5B4Le9d022185 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:21:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5B4LefK022184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:21:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:21:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306110421.h5B4LefK022184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 110421 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 11 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 109W IS NOW ALONG 110W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0345 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 10N100W 12N110W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS 180 NM WIDE BETWEEN 85W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 240 NM WIDE BETWEEN 101W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 136W AND 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 80W AND 82W. FORMOSA $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 14:42:18 2003 X-UIDL: 27577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA006N3VDE1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 12:34:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B4YGsq013134 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 12:34:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B2VYMI055248; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:28:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 69539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B4SZG2045542 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:28:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5B4SZ9d022243 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:28:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5B4SZa3022242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:28:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 23:28:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306110428.h5B4SZa3022242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIII, Probability=36%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 110428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUN 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 14:42:20 2003 X-UIDL: 27581-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA006TXZ441R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 13:55:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B5t5sq036531 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 13:55:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B38SVG042946; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 70655 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B5mlG2041584 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5B5ml9d023010 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5B5mkjU023008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306110548.h5B5mkjU023008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/102051ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 141.8E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 138.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT LIMITED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. REFER TO REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 102100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. BASED ON THE CLEARLY DEFINED LLCC AND THE POTENTIAL FOR IMPROVED CONVECTION WITH CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 156.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES COOL, DRY AIR TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM, HOWEVER THERE IS EXCELLENT OUTFLOW POTENTIAL TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 16:02:25 2003 X-UIDL: 27587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB0062N4EX1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:49:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B7nbsq070564 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:49:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58VLm056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 02:45:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 71411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 02:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B7jnG2030014 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 02:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5B7jn9d024136 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 02:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5B7jndN024135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 02:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 02:45:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306110745.h5B7jndN024135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 110745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE JUN 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 17:58:09 2003 X-UIDL: 27601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB006829O11R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 17:43:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B9h5sq004298 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 17:43:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58VPu056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:34:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 72843 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B9YrG2036980 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5B9Yr9d025222 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:34:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5B9Yr4x025221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:34:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:34:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306110934.h5B9Yr4x025221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 110934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 11 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 110W IS NOW ALONG 111/112W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N95W 11N104W 10N120W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 98W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM OF AXIS E OF 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45-60 NM OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 13N91.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 19.5N106W. FORMOSA $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 18:07:46 2003 X-UIDL: 27604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB006FOAM71R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 18:03:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BA3Zsq010612 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 18:03:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B38SrY042946; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:57:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 72932 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B9thG2051542 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5B9tg9d025381 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5B9tgl9025380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:55:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306110955.h5B9tgl9025380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 110955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 10N140W 06N145W 08N150W AND MOVED WEST AT 05 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 06N158W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A DECREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 08N167W 06N170W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 12N178W 12N179E AND WEST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FIRST SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 11S162W 13S155W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S139W 23S134W 26S132W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SECOND SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 21S169W 24S160W 27S164W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 14S172W MOVED EAST AT 05 KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 18:37:50 2003 X-UIDL: 27607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB00618BV01R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 18:30:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BAUSsq018872 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 18:30:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58VQU056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 05:21:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 73158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 05:21:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BALlG2030580 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 05:21:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BALl9d025605 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 05:21:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BALlJK025604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 05:21:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 05:21:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306111021.h5BALlJK025604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 111021 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUN 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 21:57:57 2003 X-UIDL: 27615-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB0065MLEB1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:56:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BDuOsq079509 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:56:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58Vi8056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 08:46:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75816 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 08:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BDkHG2018272 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 08:46:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BDkD9d028978 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 08:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BDkDB6028977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 08:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 08:46:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306111346.h5BDkDB6028977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 111345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUN 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 00:08:45 2003 X-UIDL: 27626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB00GI6OW7V2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 23:12:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BFBxsq003764 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 23:12:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58VpU056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:59:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 77131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BEumG2044866 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:56:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BEul9d001416 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:56:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BEultc001414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:56:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:56:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306111456.h5BEultc001414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/111500Z/111800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 68.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST OF BOMBAY, INDIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 00:08:47 2003 X-UIDL: 27627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB00GNCP2OV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 23:16:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BFFrsq004994 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 23:15:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58VpQ056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:57:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 77128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BEumG2020950 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:56:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BEul9d001417 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:56:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BEulx9001415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:56:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:56:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306111456.h5BEulx9001415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/111500Z/111800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 68.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST OF BOMBAY, INDIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 00:08:47 2003 X-UIDL: 27628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB0061QRG61R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:07:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BG73sq019913 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:07:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58V1A056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 10:52:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 78447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 10:52:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BFqBG2015522 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 10:52:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BFqB9d003511 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 10:52:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BFqBhw003510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 10:52:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 10:52:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306111552.h5BFqBhw003510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 111540 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 11 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W/112W S OF 16N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE E PACIFIC RIDGE HAS PUSHED EWD TO THE MEXICAN COAST...CAUSING THE WAVE TO RETAIN A POOR SIGNATURE. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 110W-113W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 10N WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N134W 17N105W. ..BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED ABOUT 400NM SSE OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. CONVECTION HAS MAINTAINED A MODERATE TO STRONG INTENSITY OVER A BROAD AREA FROM 5N-14N BETWEEN 90W-100W BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THE 12Z QUIKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES A POSSIBLE SURFACE LOW FORMING WITHIN THE ITCZ BETWEEN 90W-93W...AND THIS MAY BE ADDED TO THE SURFACE ANALYSIS LATER TODAY. SEE BELOW FOR ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 11N93W 9N100W 6N117W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 90W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 95W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-113W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45NM OF THE AXIS W OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 2N-8N E OF 80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 90W-94W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 94W-104W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 104W-107W NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA AND SW OF MANZANILLO. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 136W-139W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 01:03:06 2003 X-UIDL: 27630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB00GBZT1SV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:41:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BGfisq029621 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:41:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58V4a056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:31:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 79416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:31:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BGVhG2050476 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BGVh9d005076 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BGVhcB005075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:31:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306111631.h5BGVhcB005075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 111630 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUN 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 01:03:06 2003 X-UIDL: 27631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB006W5TI21R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:51:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BGpUsq032126 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:51:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BDYGrW042946; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 79605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BGg3G2044908 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BGg19d005369 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BGg1ux005367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306111642.h5BGg1ux005367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 68.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST OF BOMBAY, INDIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 01:03:07 2003 X-UIDL: 27632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB00611TMH1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:54:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BGsAsq032835 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:54:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58V5s056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 79602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BGg3G2018472 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BGg19d005368 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BGg1gi005365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 11:42:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306111642.h5BGg1gi005365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 68.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST OF BOMBAY, INDIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 04:08:39 2003 X-UIDL: 27646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00G6D29MV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:00:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BK0gsq094501 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:00:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BIACUc056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 14:55:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 83473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 14:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BJtbG2040948 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 14:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BJtb9d012566 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 14:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BJtb7h012565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 14:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 14:55:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306111955.h5BJtb7h012565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 111955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED JUN 11 2003 TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 06:08:39 2003 X-UIDL: 27656-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC0068H7V81R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 06:01:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BM1ksq026244 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 06:01:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BIACpC056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:55:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 86583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BLtmG2035494 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BLti9d017066 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BLtinX017065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:55:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306112155.h5BLtinX017065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 112155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 08N140W 04N180 REMAIN FAIRLY SPARSE AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... UPPER LOW...NEAR 13N171W FORECAST TO MOVE WEST. SPARSE ISOLATED TCU/CB WITHIN 475 NM OF LOW REMAIN WEAK. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 24S138W MOVING EAST 15 KT. ASSOCIATED FRONT THROUGH 25S132W 15S138W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH TO 13S150W. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT EAST OF 137W AND ALONG A CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM 15S136W TO 08S145W. A CONVERGENCE ZONE ALSO EXTENDS FROM 14S150W TO 10S161W. ISOLATED CB FORMING ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE MAINLY WEST OF 145W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CURRENTLY. SEE FRONT/TROUGH BELOW. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 25S163W 17S173W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH THROUGH 14S180. FRONT MOVING EAST 25 KT. TROUGH MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT EAST OF 167W. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG TROUGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 06:18:39 2003 X-UIDL: 27657-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC006IR8ED1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 06:13:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BMDIsq028969 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 06:13:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BIACpa056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 17:00:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 86674 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 17:00:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BLxxG2037080 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:59:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BLxx9d017183 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:59:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BLxxhc017182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:59:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:59:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306112159.h5BLxxhc017182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 112159 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUN 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS MOVING LITTLE. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 06:28:39 2003 X-UIDL: 27658-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC006NA8NS1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 06:19:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BMIvsq030241 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 06:18:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BIACpk056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 17:10:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 86803 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 17:10:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BMABG2018444 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 17:10:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BMAB9d017397 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 17:10:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BMABp0017396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 17:10:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 17:10:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306112210.h5BMABp0017396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 112209 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 11 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W SOUTH OF 21N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 82W AND 85W...FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS TO PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 113W/114W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ACCOMPANYING THIS WAVE. ..BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 7.5N94W...ABOUT 530 NM SOUTH OF THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MIXED IN WITH ITCZ. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 10N107W 8N120W 9N140W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 3N TO 7N BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 80W. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W AND 81W IN PANAMA. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 240-280 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS EAST OF 110W...AND WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:08 2003 X-UIDL: 27676-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00GCLJ3DV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:04:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C247sq089578 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:04:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xlNe056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 20:55:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 91968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 20:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C1thG2040458 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 20:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C1tg9d021349 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 20:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C1tgCd021348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 20:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 20:55:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120155.h5C1tgCd021348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 120155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUN 11 2003 TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27686-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00GU3MG6V2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 11:16:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C3Gksq011523 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 11:16:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xlYq056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:10:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 93824 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:10:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C3AXG2030984 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:10:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C3AX9d022675 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:10:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C3AXi0022674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:10:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:10:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120310.h5C3AXi0022674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 120310 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUN 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS MOVING LITTLE. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:18 2003 X-UIDL: 27696-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00GSHOZXV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:11:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C4Blsq029153 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:11:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BNXNBq042946; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 23:04:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 94707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 23:04:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C44rG2026126 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 23:04:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C44q9d023429 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 23:04:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C44qVc023428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 23:04:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 23:04:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120404.h5C44qVc023428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 120404 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 12 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 82W IS NOW ALONG 84W SOUTH OF 21N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 113W/114W IS NOW ALONG 115W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0345 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N95W 10N105W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 95W AND 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST BETWEEN 80W AND 90W. FORMOSA $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:20 2003 X-UIDL: 27704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00GLMUEUV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:08:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C68ksq064090 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:08:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C4oZOQ042946; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C5xpG2021398 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C5xp9d024963 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C5xpEa024961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120559.h5C5xpEa024961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/120151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 135.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST OF YAP, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 138.6E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 156.7E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.1S4 154.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA WITH VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASING TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/CATES/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:21 2003 X-UIDL: 27706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00G7LUK0V2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:12:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C6Brsq065383 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:11:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xllQ056966; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C65qG2023790 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C65q9d025061 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C65q0N025059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120605.h5C65q0N025059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/120530Z/121800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 68.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST OF BOMBAY, INDIA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/CATES/RONSSE/ALLEN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:22 2003 X-UIDL: 27707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00G92UKLV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:12:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C6C8sq065472 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:12:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C4oZOw042946; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C65qG2040118 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C65q9d025062 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C65qUB025060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 01:05:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120605.h5C65qUB025060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/120530Z/121800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 68.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST OF BOMBAY, INDIA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/CATES/RONSSE/ALLEN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:23 2003 X-UIDL: 27712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00G71ZVEV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:06:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C86gsq002745 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:06:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xlou056966; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:01:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 97208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C81QG2039006 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C81Q9d026175 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C81QKr026174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:01:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120801.h5C81QKr026174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 120800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUN 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:58:56 2003 X-UIDL: 27725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD00G1J4YSV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:56:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C9uisq038875 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:56:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xlrC056966; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:52:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:52:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C9qYG2023666 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:52:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C9qX9d027041 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:52:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C9qX3j027040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:52:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:52:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120952.h5C9qX3j027040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 120952 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 12 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 84W IS NOW ALONG 86W/87W SOUTH OF 21N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 115W IS REPOSITIONED BACK TO 113W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0945 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 9N95W 10N105W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 95W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 130W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST BETWEEN 80W AND 90W. FORMOSA $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 18:08:56 2003 X-UIDL: 27726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD00G375GEV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 18:07:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CA7Hsq042141 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 18:07:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xlrQ056966; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:02:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:02:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CA2DG2055888 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:02:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CA2C9d027156 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:02:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CA2CGq027155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:02:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:02:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306121002.h5CA2CGq027155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 121001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N159W 06N147W 04N155W 08N158W 06N163W 03N163W 02N170W 07N179W 09N173W 08N163W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N141W 08N144W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 17N180 14N178W 14N175W 15N174W 16N176W 19N177W 20N174W 19N169W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 15S137W 22S129W 25S128W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AND EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT...RESPECTIVELY...DECREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 15S179W 14S177W 15S172W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...CONVECTION SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF SAMOA AS OF BULLETIN TIME. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 18:38:56 2003 X-UIDL: 27729-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD00GPC6PFV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 18:34:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CAYJsq051886 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 18:34:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xlra056966; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:27:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98281 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CARbG2049216 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CARb9d027341 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CARb9h027340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:27:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306121027.h5CARb9h027340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 121027 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUN 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. ANE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 22:21:00 2003 X-UIDL: 27743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD008CYGXQUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 22:15:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CEFIsq018871 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 22:15:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CBWMYA045302; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:00:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 102016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CE0wG2020976 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CE0w9d001178 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:00:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CE0w4Z001177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:00:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:00:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306121400.h5CE0w4Z001177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 121400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUN 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 05:13:16 2003 X-UIDL: 27765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD008C3LIHUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 23:54:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CFs2sq049252 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 23:54:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CBWMm8045302; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:41:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:41:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CFewG2015640 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:40:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CFev9d004560 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CFevqf004559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:40:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306121540.h5CFevqf004559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 121540 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 12 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W N OF 8N MOVING W 15-20 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS EXTREMELY ILL-DEFINED BUT APPEARS TO HAVE BEGUN TO MERGE WITH A BROAD MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS N OF 10N BETWEEN 86W-89W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W S OF 15N MOVING W 5-10 KT. NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION WITH THIS WAVE. ..HIGH PRES N OF 15N W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 29N140W 21N118W 18N106W. ..BROAD LOW PRES WITH A DISORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION N OF 5N TO THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 85W-110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N90W 10N100W 8N110W 7N120W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-12N W OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 6N BETWEEN 77W-80W. ISOLATED MODERATE S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 92W-97W. DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE BETWEEN GUADALAJARA...PUERTO VALLARTA...AND MANZANILLO MOVING SW TOWARDS THE MEXICAN COAST. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE S OF MANZANILLO FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 105W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 103W-113W INCLUDING OVER CLIPPERTON ISLAND. BROKEN/OVERCAST MARINE STRATUS N OF 18N BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND A LINE FROM 18N122W TO 30N137W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 05:13:18 2003 X-UIDL: 27767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD0085JNPLUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:41:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CGfbsq064989 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:41:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CBWMrY045302; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 11:30:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 11:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CGUOG2033452 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 11:30:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CGUN9d006638 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 11:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CGUNrG006637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 11:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 11:30:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306121630.h5CGUNrG006637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 121630 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUN 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER A LARGE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 05:13:18 2003 X-UIDL: 27768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD008EYQ2AUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 01:32:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CHWRsq079970 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 01:32:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CBWMxI045302; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CHLMG2023954 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CHLM9d008665 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CHLM7L008663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306121721.h5CHLM7L008663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 05:13:18 2003 X-UIDL: 27769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD008G3Q34US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 01:33:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CHWvsq080095 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 01:32:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CETmm0032730; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CHLMG2018512 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CHLM9d008666 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CHLMaI008664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 12:21:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306121721.h5CHLMaI008664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 05:13:26 2003 X-UIDL: 27778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD008WBX9FUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:08:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CK7psq030341 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:07:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CBWMCC045302; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:56:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108807 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CJuDG2051010 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CJu99d014109 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CJu8VK014108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:56:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306121956.h5CJu8VK014108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 121955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU JUN 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 05:43:05 2003 X-UIDL: 27786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE0089M1MWUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:42:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CLgPsq053975 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:42:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKjlKa016506; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:30:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 110314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CLTRG2018578 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:29:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CLTR9d017398 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CLTQDk017397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:29:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306122129.h5CLTQDk017397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 122129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 12 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 6N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS ILL-DEFINED. THE WAVE IS ENTERING AN AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ..WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W S OF 15N MOVING W 5-10 KT. WAVE HAS BECOME VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ..HIGH PRES N OF 18N W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N140W 18N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N92W 10N104W 8N120W 10N130W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN E OF 80W AND FROM 86W TO 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 94W TO 102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 9.5N129W 12N134W 10N138W AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N87W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N E OF 98W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 16N106.5W. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 06:55:18 2003 X-UIDL: 27787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008LR2MTUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 06:04:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CM3vsq059577 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 06:03:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKjlQG016506; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:56:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 110858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:56:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CLudG2048478 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:56:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CLuc9d018158 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:56:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CLucdO018157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:56:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:56:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306122156.h5CLucdO018157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 122154 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 10N160W 02N170W 08N173W 10N160W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ALSO...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 06N155W TO 07N148W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (1)...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO 08S180 TO 25S160W STRADDLES THE DATELINE...WAS NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH (2)...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15S135W TO 25S125W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CZ/SURFACE TROUGH (1) ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 06:55:20 2003 X-UIDL: 27789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008012VGUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 06:09:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CM91sq060927 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 06:09:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKfOQY019812; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:03:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 110925 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:03:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CM3gG2020842 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:03:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CM3f9d018389 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:03:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CM3fkn018388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:03:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306122203.h5CM3fkn018388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 122158 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUN 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER A LARGE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 11:31:24 2003 X-UIDL: 27800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008Z2CTIUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:44:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D1hwsq017509 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:44:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKjluC016506; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 113860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D1aNG2010426 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D1aN9d021511 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D1aMDx021509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130136.h5D1aMDx021509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUE/130100Z/130600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/121951ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 133.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 122100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 8.8N6 138.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DEVELOPING EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TD 07W, WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 156.7E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 147.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA, WITH VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASING TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1), POOR AREA SOUTHEAST OF YAP. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 11:31:27 2003 X-UIDL: 27805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE0080NDSZUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:05:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D258sq024186 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:05:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKfOj2019812; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:01:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 114234 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D21bG2033106 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D21a9d021875 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D21a8R021874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:01:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130201.h5D21a8R021874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 130200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU JUN 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 11:31:30 2003 X-UIDL: 27817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008TIH3TUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:16:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D3GPsq046553 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:16:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKfOnS019812; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 22:12:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 115146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 22:12:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D3BwG2032848 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 22:11:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D3Bw9d022672 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 22:11:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D3Bvh2022671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 22:11:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 22:11:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130311.h5D3Bvh2022671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 130311 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUN 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER A LARGE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 13:23:27 2003 X-UIDL: 27824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE0088JKMRUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 12:32:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D4Wdsq073438 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 12:32:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D4FEGa017464; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 23:27:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 115806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 23:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D4R9G2021334 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 23:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D4R89d023504 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 23:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D4R80W023503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 23:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 23:27:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130427.h5D4R80W023503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 130426 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 13 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W IS NOW ALONG 92W/93W N OF 6N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS ILL-DEFINED. THE WAVE IS ENTERING AN AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ..WEAK TROUGH IS N OF THE ITCZ FROM 17N127W TO 10N131W. ..HIGH PRES IS N OF 18N W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N140W 18N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0345 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N100W 10N110W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 88W...AND BETWEEN 94W AND 104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE 10N85W 13N88W 14N92W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 14:48:19 2003 X-UIDL: 27836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008DTP0UUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 14:07:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D67Usq000458 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 14:07:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5TPHc050650; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 117012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5xpG2010330 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D5xo9d024370 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D5xo8e024368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130559.h5D5xo8e024368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/130151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 131.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.8N6 138.9E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.9N6 136.7E72, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM SOUTH OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST ABOVE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS IN PROXIMITY TO 07W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 147.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS HAS NOW DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/CATES/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 16:11:15 2003 X-UIDL: 27846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008DHUHNUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 16:05:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D85dsq038049 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 16:05:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHMW004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:01:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 117812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D81LG2049250 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D81K9d025575 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D81KYU025574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:01:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130801.h5D81KYU025574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 130800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU JUN 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 17:51:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008XDZ4PUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:46:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D9jssq069917 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:45:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5TPV0050650; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:41:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 118345 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:41:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D9f0G2010462 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:41:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D9f09d026351 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:41:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D9f07U026350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:41:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:41:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130941.h5D9f07U026350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 130940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 13 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W/93W IS NOW ALONG 95W/96W N OF 6N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS ILL-DEFINED. THE WAVE IS ENTERING AN AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING LOCATED SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ..HIGH PRES IS N OF 15N W OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N134W 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N100W 9N115W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 77W AND 91W...AND BETWEEN 97W AND 106W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF COAST BETWEEN 87W AND 95W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 18:09:08 2003 X-UIDL: 27856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF008AB04PUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 18:07:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DA7Qsq076360 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 18:07:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHNu004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:02:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 118450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DA25G2010274 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:02:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DA259d026529 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DA25uY026528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:02:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131002.h5DA25uY026528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 131000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N160W 08N149W 05N147W 07N157W 05N160W 11N165W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 8 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 21N179W 20N173W 18N172W 18N178W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 18 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... SHEAR LINE/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 05S179E 11S174W 12S176W 15S170W 16S173W 11S176E 11S162E 07S167E 07S172E 08S178E HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT (1)...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 15S170W 25S155W 25S167W 20S171W 17S178W. FEATURE MOVING EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 5 KT. FRONT (2)...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 18S127W 25S121W 25S124W 19S130W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)...SHEAR LINE/FRONT AND FRONT (1). ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 18:49:06 2003 X-UIDL: 27862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF008M41SAUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 18:43:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DAhDsq085975 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 18:43:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHOS004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:39:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 118700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:39:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DAdEG2016638 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:39:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DAdE9d026806 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:39:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DAdEi7026805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:39:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 05:39:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131039.h5DAdEi7026805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 131038 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUN 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER A LARGE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 23:16:28 2003 X-UIDL: 27866-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DNLBCRQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:10:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DE9ssq040341 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:09:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5TPuQ050650; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:00:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 120997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DE0rG2018816 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DE0r9d029801 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:00:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DE0rlj029800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:00:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:00:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131400.h5DE0rlj029800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 131400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI JUN 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 23:55:04 2003 X-UIDL: 27876-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DJBFQSQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 23:44:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DFiisq066129 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 23:44:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHgG004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:37:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 122289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:37:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DFblG2019860 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:37:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DFbk9d002984 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:37:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DFbkxo002983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:37:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:37:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131537.h5DFbkxo002983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 131537 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 13 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W/96W IS NOW ALONG 97W N OF 4N MOVING W 20 KT. THE WAVE HAS BECOME A LITTLE EASIER TO LOCATE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AS IT BEGINS TO MERGE WITH THE BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION THAT HAS BEEN POSITIONED S OF MEXICO. IN ADDITION...A CLUSTER OF TSTMS HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE AXIS MOVING WWD THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 93W-98W AND FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 91W-93W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 133W N OF 3N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE HAS BECOME AMPLIFIED OVER THE PAST DAY AS A RESULT OF THE SUBTRPCL RIDGE BUILDING SWD TO 6N E OF THE WAVE BETWEEN 115W-127W. ALL DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..HIGH PRES N OF 15N W OF 115W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 27N140W 20N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N100W 9N112W 5N120W 11N133W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AND OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-9N BETWEEN 78W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 98W-106W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS W OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM CELLS N OF 10N E OF 91W INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA. DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE CLUSTER OF TSTMS OVER MEXICO FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 101W-103W MOVING SW TOWARDS THE COAST NEAR IXTAPA/ZIHUATANEJO. BROKEN/OVERCAST MARINE STRATUS N OF 14N BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND A LINE FROM 15N122W TO 23N140W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:10 2003 X-UIDL: 27888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DKWIRDQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:50:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGnrsq085914 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:49:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DG6XKi050650; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123495 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGioG2020806 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DGin9d005226 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DGinrL005220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131644.h5DGinrL005220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/NOREN/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DNSIT8Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:51:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGp1sq086282 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:51:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHmC004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123504 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGiuG2014272 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DGin9d005229 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DGinDA005225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131644.h5DGinDA005225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 131630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/131630Z/140600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/131621ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 129.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 131500 COR) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.8N6 138.9E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.8N6 138.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST ABOVE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS IN PROXIMITY TO TS 07W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.9S1 144.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF CAPE YORK, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WELL ORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1) AND ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) AS A FAIR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/NOREN/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DQEIV9Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:52:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGqDsq086593 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:52:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DG6XKm050650; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGioG2014266 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DGin9d005227 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DGinub005221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131644.h5DGinub005221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/NOREN/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00D0HJ0IQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:55:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGtOsq087623 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:55:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHmO004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:47:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:47:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGlLG2051622 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:47:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DGlI9d005329 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:47:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DGlHce005327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:47:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:47:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131647.h5DGlHce005327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 131647 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUN 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC REMAINS DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:17 2003 X-UIDL: 27905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00D4PRNPQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:02:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DK25sq047806 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:02:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DG6XiW050650; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 14:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 125881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 14:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DJtZG2048556 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 14:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DJtY9d011281 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 14:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DJtY4W011280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 14:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 14:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131955.h5DJtY4W011280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 131955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI JUN 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:20 2003 X-UIDL: 27915-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DENX82Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 06:02:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DM27sq084320 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 06:02:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHB4004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 16:54:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 127907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 16:54:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DLsnG2041794 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 16:54:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DLsn9d014642 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 16:54:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DLsm63014640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 16:54:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 16:54:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306132154.h5DLsm63014640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 132150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 13 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W IS NOW ALONG 97W/98W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS IN AN AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10N96W TO 11N100W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE ALONG 12N FROM 91W TO 95W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 133W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING IS SEEN IN VISIBLE IMAGERY. HOWEVER... THERE IS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. ..HIGH PRES COVERS THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N90W 10N98W 9N112W 6N120W 8N130W 8N140W. WEAKENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS E OF 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 94W AND 101W TO 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 10.5N135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 8N86W TO 11N90W. SMALL CLUSTER OF TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF 14N106W. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:20 2003 X-UIDL: 27916-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00D2IXSIQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 06:14:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DMEXsq086608 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 06:14:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHDq004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:10:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 128302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:10:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DMAQG2055186 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:10:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DMAP9d014949 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:10:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DMAPfl014948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:10:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:10:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306132210.h5DMAPfl014948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 132200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ASSOCIATED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 12N148W 06N160W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. ASSOCIATED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF 11N145W 11N135W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND DECREASED IN SIZE. ASSOCIATED NEW ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10N177W 06N175W. UPPER LOW...ASSOCIATED ISOLATED CB STRADDLE THE DATELINE AND ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 23N175E 20N178W. AREA MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... CONVERGENCE ZONE WITH ASSOCIATED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08S178W 09S163W 19S165W. AREA MOVED NORTHEAST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S154W 11S148W 21S159W 10S154W MOVED EAST 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. OCCASIONAL CB ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT BOUNDED BY 19S126W 22S118W 25S125W MOVED EAST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:20 2003 X-UIDL: 27917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00D53XWAQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 06:16:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DMGpsq087014 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 06:16:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHDu004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:12:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 128335 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DMCeG2015902 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:12:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DMCe9d014983 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DMCerg014982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:12:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306132212.h5DMCerg014982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 132203 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUN 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER REMAINS SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 10:47:07 2003 X-UIDL: 27922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00DGH83UQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:57:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1vJsq035120 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:57:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpIS021332; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 20:53:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 132134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 20:53:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1rAG2048644 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 20:53:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E1rA9d018565 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 20:53:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E1rAF8018564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 20:53:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 20:53:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140153.h5E1rAF8018564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 140152 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI JUN 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 11:14:25 2003 X-UIDL: 27931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00D02BFVQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 11:09:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E39Osq052906 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 11:09:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpOm021332; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:05:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 133290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:05:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E35iG2042552 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E35i9d019404 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E35iP1019403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:05:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140305.h5E35iP1019403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 140304 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUN 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 12:38:15 2003 X-UIDL: 27938-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00DZHDGXQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 11:53:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E3rDsq063161 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 11:53:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpRC021332; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:48:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 133746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:48:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E3mWG2050946 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:48:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E3mW9d019777 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:48:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E3mVsJ019776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:48:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:48:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140348.h5E3mVsJ019776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 140341 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 14 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION ALONG 80W NORTH OF 6N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 99W WAS RELOCATED ALONG 97W NORTH OF 4W BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WAVE IS MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 131W IS NOW ALONG 132W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 10N100W 8N106W 4N123W 10N135W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 87W AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90/120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 83.5W TO 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 7N TO THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 83.5W TO 84W AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N99W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO MEXICO. SIMILAR CLUSTERS OF ARE WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 6N98.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 13N92W TO 16N94W INCLUDING THE COAST OF MEXICO. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 23:28:40 2003 X-UIDL: 27943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00D1MIXFQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 13:51:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E5p8sq091506 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 13:51:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpUg021332; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 134944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E5hFG2005090 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E5hF9d020854 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E5hF7S020852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140543.h5E5hF7S020852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/140151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 127.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.8N6 138.6E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 144.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 142.5E2, OVERLAND NEAR CAPE YORK, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM HAS INTERACTED WITH LAND. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 23:28:46 2003 X-UIDL: 27948-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00D48OWJQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:00:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E80Asq019503 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:00:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpWm021332; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 02:55:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 135740 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 02:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E7teG2048772 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 02:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E7te9d021727 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 02:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E7tdix021726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 02:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 02:55:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140755.h5E7tdix021726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 140755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI JUN 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 23:28:47 2003 X-UIDL: 27951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00DN7TR9Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:45:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E9j1sq041147 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:45:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpXM021332; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:39:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 136243 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:39:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E9dNG2042544 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:39:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E9dM9d022476 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:39:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E9dMsi022475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:39:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:39:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140939.h5E9dMsi022475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 140939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 14 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 80W IS NOW ALONG 81W/82W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W IS NOW ALONG 98W NORTH OF 4W MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 132W IS NOW ALONG 133W/134W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N92W 7N108W 4N122W 9N135W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 94W...WITHIN 60/75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 83W...AND WITHIN 45 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 82W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO BEYOND 140W AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 11N99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 150 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO MEXICO BETWEEN 83W AND 100W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 23:28:47 2003 X-UIDL: 27952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00DJ1UG6Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 18:00:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E9xxsq044536 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 18:00:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpXQ021332; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 136298 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E9tYG2015702 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E9tY9d022563 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E9tYkg022562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140955.h5E9tYkg022562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 140955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 11N147W 06N143W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... UPPER LOW NEAR 20N180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENING. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80 NM OF LOW HAVE DIMINISHED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S161W 20S167W 13S180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 100-120 NM OF FRONT. SPARSE ISOLATED CB ALONG LINE 10S180 16S166W 22S159W MOVING EAST 5-10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... COLD FRONT...THROUGH 25S122W 20S123W 16S130W MOVING EAST 10 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. OCCASIONAL CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 17S. STATIONARY FRONT...FROM 16S130W TO 13S137W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 11S141W TO 10S151W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 50 NM OF FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 143W WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 23:28:48 2003 X-UIDL: 27956-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00DNQVI2Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 18:22:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EAMhsq049200 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 18:22:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpXc021332; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 05:19:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 136415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 05:19:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EAJ9G2038884 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 05:19:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EAJ89d022769 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 05:19:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EAJ8LN022768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 05:19:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 05:19:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141019.h5EAJ8LN022768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 141018 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUN 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 01:42:48 2003 X-UIDL: 27969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH002GOAE702@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 23:44:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFiMsq025074 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 23:44:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqvX010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:39:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:39:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFduvB040696 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:39:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EFdu9d024987 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:39:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EFdt35024986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:39:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:39:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141539.h5EFdt35024986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 141539 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 14 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 81W/82W IS REPOSITIONED ALONG 78W/79W N OF 6N MOVING W 5-10 KT BASED ON AN EXCELLENT SIGNATURE TO THE N ACROSS THE WRN CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER...THE ONLY AFFECT OF THE WAVE ON THE WEATHER IN THE E PACIFIC IS SOME INCREASED CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 98W IS NOW ALONG 99W S OF 17N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE WAVE CONTINUES TO LIE WITHIN A BROAD SURFACE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OFF THE MEXICAN COAST WITH CONVECTION NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150NM OF THE AXIS WITH AN ISOLATED MODERATE CELL NEAR 13N102W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 133W/134W IS NOW ALONG 134W/135W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ALTHOUGH QUITE BROAD...THE WAVE IS STILL READILY APPARENT WITHIN THE ITCZ AS WELL AS TO THE N AT THE EDGE OF THE MARINE STRATUS DECK NEAR 17N. ALL CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..HIGH PRES N OF 20N W OF 115W WITH WEAK RIDGING ALONG 30N130W 20N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N79W 8N105W 4N125W 9N135W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75NM OF A LINE FROM 11N86W 12N93W 15N97W. DISSIPATING CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 106W-108W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 01:42:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27970-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH002IEC0Q02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:19:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EGJQsq033315 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:19:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqxD010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 11:14:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 11:14:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EGEnvB018510 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 11:14:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EGEn9d025335 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 11:14:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EGEmEY025334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 11:14:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 11:14:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141614.h5EGEmEY025334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 141614 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUN 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISORGANIZED AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 01:42:51 2003 X-UIDL: 27973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH002GMEVS02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:21:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EHLLsq047896 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:21:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSq17010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EHGTvB035980 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EHGT9d026065 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EHGT3U026063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141716.h5EHGT3U026063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 01:42:51 2003 X-UIDL: 27974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH002HHEXI02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:22:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EHMNsq048099 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:22:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFRb7H034078; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EHGTvB043138 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EHGT9d026066 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EHGTM0026064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:16:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141716.h5EHGTM0026064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 04:10:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27982-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH002UBMIF02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:06:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EK64sq092710 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:06:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSq5V010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:01:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 2214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EK18vB033394 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:01:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EK189d027800 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EK18Ju027799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:01:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306142001.h5EK18Ju027799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 142000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT JUN 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 05:40:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH0022YQH002@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 05:31:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ELVfsq014710 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 05:31:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EKKZ3D040196; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:25:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 3053 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:22:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ELMWvB036044 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:22:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5ELMW9d028757 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:22:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5ELMWWI028756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:22:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:22:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306142122.h5ELMWWI028756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 142122 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 14 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 78W/79W IS NOW ALONG 80W N OF 6N MOVING W 5-10 KT. MOST OF THE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE REMAINS N OF THE AREA WITH THE ONLY AFFECT IN THE E PACIFIC BEING INCREASED SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER PANAMA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 99W IS NOW ALONG 100W FROM 3N-17N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE WAVE CONTINUES TO LIE WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MEXICAN COAST. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS BROAD AND ILL-DEFINED. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION LIES TO THE EAST OF THE WAVE FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 91W-100W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 134W/135W IS NOW ALONG 136W FROM 4N-15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 131W-135W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N136W SE TO 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 11N92W 11N100W 4N124W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 104W-109W AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 110W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED W OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO FROM 9.5N-11.5N BETWEEN 86W-89W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 06:10:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27990-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH002ONS8Z02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 06:10:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EMA1hq000513 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 06:10:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqAJ010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:02:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 3475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:02:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EM24vB010266 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:02:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EM239d029265 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:02:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EM23CM029264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:02:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:02:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306142202.h5EM23CM029264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 142201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS THE DATELINE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04N178E 05N174W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 09N153W. NEWLY FOMRED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 10N147W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 10N164W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE/FRONT...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11S178W 11S173W 13S170W. STATIONARY FRONT...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S158W 06S153W 08S151W 12S157W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 06:20:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27991-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH002QBSC302@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 06:12:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EMBshq001425 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 06:11:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqAN010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:05:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 3518 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:05:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EM54vB040840 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:05:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EM549d029300 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:05:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EM54an029299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:05:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 17:05:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306142205.h5EM54an029299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 142204 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUN 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISORGANIZED AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR IN THIS AREA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 13:48:21 2003 X-UIDL: 27999-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002WB3A002@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:08:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F28Dhq051747 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:08:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ENvb89018454; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:01:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F21LvB040272 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F21K9d001410 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F21K29001409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:01:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150201.h5F21K29001409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 150200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT JUN 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 13:48:23 2003 X-UIDL: 28003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002H18CB02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:57:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F3vchq075496 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:57:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqLN010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:54:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 6041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F3sNvB020848 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F3sM9d002333 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F3sMIp002332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:54:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:54:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150354.h5F3sMIp002332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 150354 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 15 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 80W REMAINS ALONG 80W IN THE EAST PACIFIC. THE WAVE IS MOVING AT 5 TO 10 KT OVER THE CARIBBEAN. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W IS NOW ALONG 101W NORTH OF 3N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 135W/136W IS NOW ALONG 137W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 112W WITH A 1025 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 33N135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N90W 7N101W 7N114W 6N124W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 89W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 110W...WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N113W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 9N115W...AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM THE AXIS NEAR 7N134W TO 5N137W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 104W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER MEXICO WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 94W IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO 103W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30/45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 86W TO 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N106W TO 13N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA...WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 13N100.5W...AND WITHIN 60 NM 9.5N FROM 134W TO 139W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 13:48:24 2003 X-UIDL: 28004-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002H58CF02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:57:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F3vihq075511 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:57:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqLL010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:52:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 6037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:52:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F3qSvB042688 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:52:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F3qS9d002308 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:52:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F3qSci002307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:52:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 22:52:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150352.h5F3qSci002307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 150352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUN 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISORGANIZED AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR IN THIS AREA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 17:55:36 2003 X-UIDL: 28006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI00291DO702@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 13:52:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F5qnhq001058 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 13:52:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F51i09055966; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 7294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F5jLvB040704 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F5jH9d003179 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F5jH89003177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150545.h5F5jH89003177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/150151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 126.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 142.5E2 HAS NOW DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 17:55:43 2003 X-UIDL: 28011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002L7JK002@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 16:00:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F7xqhq026991 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:59:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqTf010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:56:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:56:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F7u1vB008092 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F7u19d004057 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F7u1UD004056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:56:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150756.h5F7u1UD004056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 150755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT JUN 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 18:00:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28017-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002N3OYR02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:56:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F9uhhq056957 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:56:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqUx010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:52:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:52:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F9qhvB010278 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:52:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F9qc9d004929 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F9qbGs004928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:52:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:52:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150952.h5F9qbGs004928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 150952 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUN 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE WEAKENED SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...WHILE ANY AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED SOUTH OF NICARAGUA. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR IN THESE AREAS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 18:02:10 2003 X-UIDL: 28018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002SIP5C02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 18:00:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FA0ghq057783 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 18:00:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqV1010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:55:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F9tWvB019122 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F9tW9d004956 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F9tWEJ004955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:55:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150955.h5F9tWEJ004955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 150955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05N143W 10N140W 06N140W EXTEND EASTWARD AND MOVED WEST 10 KT. CB AREA INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10N165W 07N177W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW NEAR 21S127W NEARLY STATIONARY AND DISSIPATING. TROUGH THROUGH 18S120W 14S131W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 09S157W. TROUGH MOVED NORTH 5 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG TROUGH. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH EAST OF 127W DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 147W INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE... TROUGH THROUGH 25S155W 21S160W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 18S165W 15S180. TROUGH MOVING EAST 15 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 14S164W 11S178W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU/CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. CB HAVE DIMINISHED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 18:40:22 2003 X-UIDL: 28019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002WJPB802@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 18:04:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FA4Chq058382 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 18:04:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqVX010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:59:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 9021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:59:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F9xkvB015726 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:59:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F9xk9d004988 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:59:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F9xkRh004987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:59:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:59:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150959.h5F9xkRh004987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 150959 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 15 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 80W IS NORTH OF THE REGION OVER PANAMA. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 101W IS NOW ALONG 102W/103W NORTH OF 4N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 137W IS NOW ALONG 138W/139W SOUTH OF 12N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 120W WITH A 1025 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 32N139W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N87W 11N94W 7N102W 9N110W 4N123W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 91W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 112W...AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 88W...WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 104W...AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 117W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 85W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 116W...WITHIN 200 NM OF NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 139W...AND WITHIN 200 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS WEST OF 137W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 17N102.5W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 101W FROM 12N TO 15N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N98W TO 14N100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N TO 7N... WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N...AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO FROM 90W TO 95W IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER MEXICO WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 100W TO 104W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 22:39:07 2003 X-UIDL: 28027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MCV0ANO8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:01:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FE1Rhq008983 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:01:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqd7010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 08:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 08:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FDtZvB010294 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 08:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FDtZ9d006497 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 08:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FDtZ4j006496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 08:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 08:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151355.h5FDtZ4j006496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 151355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN JUN 15 2003 TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 23:42:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MRW4YUO8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 23:42:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FFgMhq032975 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 23:42:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqfV010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:39:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:39:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FFdCvB008036 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:39:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FFdB9d007243 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:39:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FFdBJ8007242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:39:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:39:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151539.h5FFdBJ8007242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 151539 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 15 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 83W IS NOW ALONG 85W N OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS CROSSING CNTRL AMERICA WITH THE BEST SIGNATURE STILL TO THE N ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN THE ITCZ ALONG THE WAVE AXIS. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 102W/103W IS NOW ALONG 104W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS MOVING AWAY FROM A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION S OF THE MEXICAN COAST...AND SO HAS BEGUN TO ATTAIN A SLIGHTLY BETTER SIGNATURE. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN COVERAGE JUST E OF THE AXIS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N-19N BETWEEN 99W-105W. SEVERAL OF THESE TSTMS ARE WITHIN 30NM OF THE COAST BETWEEN MANZANILLO AND ACAPULCO. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 138W/139W IS NOW ALONG 140W S OF 12N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH NEAR 32N141W SE ALONG 22N125W 17N120W 9N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 11N93W 8N100W 8N120W 6N125W 9N134W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N E OF 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 110W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-121W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-138W AND WITHIN 90NM W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 6N BETWEEN 78W-80W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM CELLS WITHIN 45NM OFF THE COAST OF THE PANAMA/COSTA RICA BORDER...AND WITHIN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC ALONG 14.5N. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM CELLS WITHIN 120NM E AND W OF 14N108W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 01:15:56 2003 X-UIDL: 28037-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MWY7UUO8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:44:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FGikhq047686 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:44:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqhR010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:40:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 12264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:40:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FGeJvB030098 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:40:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FGeJ9d007739 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:40:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FGeJgA007738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:40:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:40:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151640.h5FGeJgA007738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 151640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUN 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 01:35:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28039-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MWP9S1O8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 01:26:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FHQIhq057671 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 01:26:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F9SGYj034292; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 12568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FHKQvB010376 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FHKP9d008024 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FHKPsd008022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151720.h5FHKPsd008022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 01:35:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28040-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MWR9S2O8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 01:26:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FHQIhq057668 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 01:26:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqhp010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 12565 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FHKQvB030134 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FHKP9d008025 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FHKPxI008023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 12:20:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151720.h5FHKPxI008023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 03:55:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MCZGLTO8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:53:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FJrjhq096260 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:53:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqnf010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 14:50:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 14:50:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FJoevB008018 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 14:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FJoe9d009223 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 14:50:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FJoee2009222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 14:50:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 14:50:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151950.h5FJoee2009222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 151950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN JUN 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 05:55:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MR8LS7O8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:45:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FLjVhq021069 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:45:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqrX010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 16:40:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 16:40:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FLelvB005294 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 16:40:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FLel9d010803 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 16:40:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FLelHX010802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 16:40:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 16:40:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306152140.h5FLelHX010802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 152140 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 04N141W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N141W TO 06N141W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 05N145W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 03N146W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N154W TO 08N150W TO 06N148W TO 06N147W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 08N157W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 12N168W 07N168W 06N172W 07N175W 05N178W 08N179E 09N180 09N174W 11N169W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S142W TO 15S127W TO 22S122W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5 KT AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S175W TO 12S172W TO 13S167W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 10S151W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 06:15:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00B19MZ6LF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 06:11:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FMBNhq025746 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 06:11:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqs3010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:07:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:07:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FM7RvB005170 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:07:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FM7R9d011052 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FM7R97011051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:07:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306152207.h5FM7R97011051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 152207 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUN 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 06:35:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00BRDO19LF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 06:34:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FMYDhq029576 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 06:34:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FM4nxt034292; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:31:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 15180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FMVDvB055082 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:31:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FMVD9d011253 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FMVCXd011252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 17:31:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306152231.h5FMVCXd011252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 152230 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 15 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 85W IS NOW ALONG 86W N OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS CROSSING CNTRL AMERICA WITH THE BEST SIGNATURE STILL TO THE N ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION TO THE EAST FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 79W-84W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 104W IS NOW ALONG 106W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION TO THE E FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 100W-106W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 140W IS REPOSITIONED SLIGHTLY E ALONG 138W S OF 12N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 136W-140W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1025 MB HIGH NEAR 34N131W SEWD TO 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2200 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 12N100W 7N110W 8N120W 6N125W 8N135W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 90W-96W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 110W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 130W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 13:29:52 2003 X-UIDL: 28055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00B1PXCYLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:55:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G1tchq073870 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:55:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FNqp1j010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 20:50:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 20:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G1oevB055070 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 20:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G1od9d012913 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 20:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G1odOc012912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 20:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 20:50:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160150.h5G1odOc012912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 160150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN JUN 15 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR 07N 140W SHOWED UP AS A CIRCULATION IN THE WIND FIELD...BUT THE SURROUNDING CONVECTION WAS WEAK...AND ORGANIZED LITTLE OR NOT AT ALL. COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE DISTURBANCE MAY PUSH THE ITCZ A BIT FURTHER NORTH AS IT SLOWLY DRIFTS WEST...BUT DO NOT DEVELOP IT SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. OTHERWISE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 13:29:55 2003 X-UIDL: 28062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00B1T31ZLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 11:58:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G3wdhq011658 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 11:58:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvwV033152; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:55:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 17693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:55:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G3tCvB035936 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:55:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G3tC9d014004 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:55:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G3tCXN014003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:55:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:55:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160355.h5G3tCXN014003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 160354 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUN 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 13:29:56 2003 X-UIDL: 28064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BHS3KVLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:10:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G49xhq014968 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:10:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Wvwp033152; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 23:05:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 17745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 23:05:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G45rvB047686 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 23:05:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G45q9d014116 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 23:05:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G45q4C014115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 23:05:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 23:05:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160405.h5G45q4C014115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 160405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 16 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W/87W SOUTH OF 23N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE RUNS FROM NE YUCATAN PENINSULA THROUGH HONDURAS TO THE EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS WEST OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 83W AND 86W IN EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS SOUTH OF COSTA RICA. THIS IS ALSO IN THE VICINITY OF THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM ALREADY DISSIPATED THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE FROM 9N TO 17N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 139W/140W SOUTH OF 12N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4N TO 11N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 9N85W 10N107W 8N116W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 131W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 8.5N 95W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 110 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG MEXICO COAST FROM WATERS NEAR 15N TO COASTAL PLAINS NEAR 18N BETWEEN 99W AND 100W. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 18:31:33 2003 X-UIDL: 28074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BLJ8D8LF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 13:53:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G5rPhq042365 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 13:53:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FM4nXH034292; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 18443 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G5fpvB040556 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G5fp9d014859 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G5fpZE014857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160541.h5G5fpZE014857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/160151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 124.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 18:31:39 2003 X-UIDL: 28085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BQBEIMLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:06:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G86Ehq082402 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:06:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Wv5p033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:01:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:01:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G81tvB022004 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:01:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G81s9d015861 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:01:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G81s6I015860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:01:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:01:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160801.h5G81s6I015860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 160800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUN 15 2003 A WEAK CIRCULATION OR SHARP TROUGH HAS ENHANCED CONVECTION JUST WEST OF 140W AND SOUTH OF 10N. A VORTICITY CENTER NEAR 8.5N 140.5W IS EITHER THE CIRCULATION CENTER OR THE APEX OF A SHARP TROUGH. ITS TOUGH TO SEE IF THERE ARE WESTERLIES WRAPPING COMPLETELY AROUND TO THE SOUTH. THE SURROUNDING CONVECTION IS ORGANIZED LITTLE OR NOT AT ALL. COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE DISTURBANCE MAY PUSH THE ITCZ A BIT FURTHER NORTH AS IT SLOWLY DRIFTS WEST...BUT THEY DO NOT DEVELOP IT SIGNIFICANTLY. THEREFORE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 18:31:45 2003 X-UIDL: 28095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00B1UK4HLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 18:07:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GA7Hhq016816 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 18:07:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Wv7t033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:01:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GA1lvB040630 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:01:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GA1l9d016660 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GA1lbF016659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:01:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161001.h5GA1lbF016659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 161001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NEW DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N141W HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM NORTH THROUGH EAST OF CENTER. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF A LINE FROM 09N160W TO 06N145W TO DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N141W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW NEAR 21S129W...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07S150W TO 15S127W...THEN ISOLATED CB TO 22S122W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12S174W TO 17S160W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE BUT WITH A DECREASE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 13S178W. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 18:31:45 2003 X-UIDL: 28096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BP0KAZLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 18:11:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GABGhq018356 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 18:11:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Wv7x033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:07:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19896 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:07:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GA74vB045224 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:07:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GA749d016688 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:07:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GA74vW016687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:07:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:07:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161007.h5GA74vW016687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 161006 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUN 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 18:31:45 2003 X-UIDL: 28097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BTSKCHLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 18:12:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GACAhq018673 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 18:12:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Wv7v033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:05:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:05:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GA5XvB021760 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:05:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GA5W9d016683 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:05:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GA5WWI016682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:05:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 05:05:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161005.h5GA5WWI016682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 161005 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 16 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 86W/87W NOW 88W SOUTH OF 23N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED CELL OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN SW HONDURAS...AND IN PANAMA COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 7N81.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN ITCZ FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 85W AND 88W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 107W NOW 108W/109W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM ALREADY DISSIPATED THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WHICH WAS ALONG 139W/140W EARLIER NOW IS WEST OF 140W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 9N85W 8N100W 8N113W 6N128W 8N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN MEXICO COASTAL WATERS FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 104W. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 22:13:14 2003 X-UIDL: 28120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BNLVI0LF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:13:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GED5hq081677 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:13:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvGr033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:01:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 22122 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GE13vB021408 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GE139d020102 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:01:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GE12GQ020101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:01:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:01:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161401.h5GE12GQ020101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 161400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON JUN 16 2003 THE WEAK DISTURBANCE NOTED NEAR 8.5N 140.5W LAST EVENING CANNOT BE LOCATED WITH CONFIDENCE...BUT TROUGHING ALONG 141W REMAINS. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AS THIS AREA MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 KT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 00:04:22 2003 X-UIDL: 28143-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL00BNF01ILF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:51:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GFpAhq011422 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:51:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvO1033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:43:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 23289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:42:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GFgnvB024144 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:42:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GFgm9d023781 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:42:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GFglC7023780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:42:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:42:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161542.h5GFglC7023780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 161542 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 16 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1200 UTC... ..1007 MB LOW CENTERED 250NM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO NEAR 14N103W WITH VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT. THE LOW LIES WITHIN A BROAD TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS SWD THROUGH WRN MEXICO. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION HAD DEVELOPED TO THE N OF THE CENTER DURING THE MORNING HRS BUT IT APPEARS IT IS GOING THROUGH A SLIGHT WEAKENING TREND AT THE MOMENT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION STILL EXISTS N OF 15N BETWEEN 98W-106W WITH COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND MANZANILLO RECEIVING HEAVY RAINS AND TSTMS. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 88W IS NOW ALONG 89W N OF 9N MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS CELLS S OF EL SALVADOR N OF 10N BETWEEN 88W-91W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 108W/109W IS NOW ALONG 109W/110W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS ON A DISSIPATING TREND FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 108W-112W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 33N136W SEWD ALONG 26N130W 15N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N77W 6N84W 9N95W 6N106W 8N120W 8N130W 9N135W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-104W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS 111W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-11N W OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 00:54:10 2003 X-UIDL: 28148-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL00BR32Y3LF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:54:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GGrthq029611 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:53:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvSN033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 11:42:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 24168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 11:42:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GGgmvB032914 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 11:42:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GGgl9d026084 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 11:42:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GGgkg6026083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 11:42:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 11:42:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161642.h5GGgkg6026083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 161642 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUN 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:40 2003 X-UIDL: 28150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL00B6A54ZLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:41:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GHfChq043970 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:41:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GCVraf034292; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 24851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GHW2vB050996 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GHW29d027888 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GHW1fu027886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161732.h5GHW1fu027886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/SWOPE/EDBERG/BAK/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:42 2003 X-UIDL: 28151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL00B6H552LF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:41:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GHfJhq043997 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:41:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvWF033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 24854 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GHW2vB043076 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GHW29d027887 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GHW1sG027884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 12:32:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161732.h5GHW1sG027884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/SWOPE/EDBERG/BAK/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:45 2003 X-UIDL: 28161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL00BS0C1KLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:10:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GKAOhq094613 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:10:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GJjpwF034292; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 14:59:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 26979 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 14:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GJtsvB014878 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 14:55:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GJtr9d003380 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 14:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GJtrY7003379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 14:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 14:55:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161955.h5GJtrY7003379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 161955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUN 16 2003 THE WEAK DISTURBANCE NOTED NEAR 8.5N 140.5W LAST EVENING CANNOT BE LOCATED WITH CONFIDENCE. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:47 2003 X-UIDL: 28167-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL00BKZGTELF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:53:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GLrUhq029744 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:53:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvnD033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:47:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 28110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:47:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GLl3vB050600 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:47:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GLl39d007146 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GLl3ZN007145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:47:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306162147.h5GLl3ZN007145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 162146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA PARTIALLY BOUNDED BY 12N140W 11N143W 04N147W 05N140W AND FURTHER EAST. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 04N152W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11N179W TO 08N172W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 05N174W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 07N177W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 08N179W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW NEAR 18S133W...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14S128W TO 17S126W MOVED NORTHWEST AT 15 KT...DECREASED IN AREA...AND WEAKENED. SHEAR LINE...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 06S168W TO 08S163W TO 09S156W TO 12S154W TO 11S151W TO 10S150W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SHEAR LINE...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13S176W TO 11S173W TO 13S167W. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08S173W TO 09S172W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 06S174W. NEW ISOLATED CB PARTLY OVER LAND WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 15S179E TO 16S179W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:47 2003 X-UIDL: 28168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL00B4GH7HLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 06:02:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GM1xhq031358 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 06:02:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvnZ033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:53:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 28176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:53:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GLrsvB010580 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:53:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GLrs9d007337 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:53:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GLrr4M007336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:53:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:53:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306162153.h5GLrr4M007336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 162153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 16 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1800 UTC... ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 16N103W DRIFTING NORTHWARD. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 89W WAS RELOCATED ALONG 88W NORTH OF 9N BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. IT IS DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 109W/110W IS NOW ALONG 111W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO 19N119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N83W 6N87W 10N99W 13N105W 8N118W 9N135W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 88W AND FROM 94W TO 98W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 134W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N103W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 12N108W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA TO MEXICO NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 95W IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W TO 100W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM COLOMBIA TO COSTA RICA SOUTH OF 10N TO THE BORDER OF ECUADOR AND FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:48 2003 X-UIDL: 28169-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL009YJIEKZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 06:27:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GMRnhq037271 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 06:27:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Wvod033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 17:18:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 28456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 17:18:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GMIqvB010496 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 17:18:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GMIp9d007940 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 17:18:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GMIpuK007939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 17:18:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 17:18:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306162218.h5GMIpuK007939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 162218 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUN 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 190 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE ALSO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:51 2003 X-UIDL: 28184-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL009VHQFIZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:21:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H1LBhq081967 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:21:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPh1v033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:14:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 30694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H1EbvB058800 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:14:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H1Eb9d010874 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:14:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H1Ebxq010873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:14:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:14:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170114.h5H1Ebxq010873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 170000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 162352ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.3N9 102.8W1 TO 17.6N4 110.6W8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 162330Z5 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 102.9W2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTH- WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 101.5W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 102.9W2, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. DUE TO INCREASED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOP OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 180000Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:53 2003 X-UIDL: 28189-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL009RWSJPZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:07:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H26phq001769 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:06:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPh3H033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:51:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H1oPvB027146 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:50:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H1oP9d011376 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H1oPZk011375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:50:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170150.h5H1oPZk011375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 170150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUN 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:57:21 2003 X-UIDL: 28196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL009OZUJ3Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H2nihq015677 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GJjpf1034292; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:43:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:41:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H2fgvB027188 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:41:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H2fg9d012071 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H2fgHj012070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:41:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170241.h5H2fgHj012070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 170241 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0300Z TUE JUN 17 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 103.1W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 103.1W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.0W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.1N 103.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.6N 103.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.1N 104.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.5N 105.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 18.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 18.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 103.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 11:07:22 2003 X-UIDL: 28199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL009UPUX7Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:58:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H2wBhq018090 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:58:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPh7P033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:53:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:53:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H2rdvB048748 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:53:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H2rc9d012182 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:53:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H2rctG012181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:53:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:53:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170253.h5H2rctG012181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ32 KNHC 170253 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUN 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DEVELOPS NEAR THE MEXICAN COAST... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 103.1 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM... SOUTHWEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 200 MILES ..320 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH .. 7 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED TUESDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MANZANILLO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...16.5 N...103.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 11:17:21 2003 X-UIDL: 28201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL0096JVMAZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:13:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H3D8hq023435 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:13:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPh97033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:08:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:07:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H37PvB042688 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:07:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H37O9d012317 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:07:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H37OgM012316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:07:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:07:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170307.h5H37OgM012316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 170307 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUN 16 2003 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KT IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T1.5 OR 25 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 360/04. THE DEPRESSION IS EMBEDDED IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...WHICH IS RESULTING IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AROUND THE CYCLONE. THE GLOBAL MODELS MOVE THE DEPRESSION VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 3 DAYS AND THEN DRIFT IT SLOWLY WESTWARD AFTER THAT. ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS POORLY INITIALIZED THE CENTER AS MUCH AS 4 DEGREES TOO FAR SOUTH...SO ONLY THE GENERAL MOTION TREND AND NOT THE SPECIFIC VORTEX LOCATIONS WERE USED FOR THIS FORECAST. THE NOGAPS MODEL HAD THE BEST HANDLE ON THE INITIAL LOCATION AT 18Z...SO IT WAS CLOSELY FOLLOWED ALONG WITH THE CLIPER AND DEEP BAM MODELS. DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND AND POSSIBLE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT...ONLY SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THROUGH 72 HOURS WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING AFTER THAT AS THE CYCLONE TRACKS OVER MUCH COOLER WATER. THE SHIPS MODEL ONLY BRINGS THE DEPRESSION UP TO 43 KT IN 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER DUE TO THE SHIPS OUTPUT BEING BASED ON A RATHER FAST MEDIUM BAM FORECAST. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN LOOKS VERY FAVORABLE AND THE ONLY REAL UNCERTAINTY IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS HOW MUCH...IF ANY...DRY AIR FROM MEXICO WILL GET WRAPPED INTO THE SYSTEM. IF LAND EFFECTS AND DRY AIR DO NOT AFFECT THE CYCLONE...THEN IT IS POSSIBLE THAT HURRICANE STRENGTH COULD BE REACHED IN 48 TO 72 HOURS. NOTE: DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS... TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO TUESDAY MORNING. THE TPC HAS BEEN UNABLE TO CONTACT THE MEXICAN WEATHER SERVICE BY TELEPHONE. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 16.5N 103.1W 25 KT 12HR VT 17/1200Z 17.1N 103.3W 30 KT 24HR VT 18/0000Z 17.6N 103.7W 35 KT 36HR VT 18/1200Z 18.1N 104.3W 40 KT 48HR VT 19/0000Z 18.5N 105.1W 50 KT 72HR VT 20/0000Z 18.5N 106.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 21/0000Z 18.5N 108.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 22/0000Z 18.5N 109.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 12:17:22 2003 X-UIDL: 28205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL009M7Y8NZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:09:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H49qhq041733 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:09:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GJjpsL034292; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 32974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H43tvB019896 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H43s9d012971 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H43sH7012970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170403.h5H43sH7012970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 170403 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUN 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO WAS RECENTLY UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ32 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP2. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 12:27:22 2003 X-UIDL: 28206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL009OXYL9Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:17:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H4HOhq044225 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:17:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhCN033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:12:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 33041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:12:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H4ClvB055858 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:12:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H4Cl9d013075 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:12:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H4CllI013074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:12:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:12:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170412.h5H4CllI013074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 170412 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 17 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E HAS FORMED NEAR 16.5N 103.1W AT 17/0300 UTC...MOVING NORTH 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. READ THE MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC BULLETINS FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 16.5N TO 18N BETWEEN 101W AND 104W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DISSIPATING... BUT STILL LINGERING...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 88W NOW 89W...FROM YUCATAN PENINSULA TO EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS WEST OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM EAST CENTRAL NICARAGUA TO EASTERN HONDURAS...AND FROM WESTERN NICARAGUA TO EL SALVADOR AND WESTERN HONDURAS. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DISSIPATING IN NW YUCATAN PENINSULA... RE-DEVELOPING IN NW GUATEMALA. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 111W NOW 112W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 8N86W 9N98W 8N118W 7N125W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 9.5N 140.5W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 88W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 80W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 13:22:13 2003 X-UIDL: 28210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009PF1HJZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 13:20:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H5Jvhq062513 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 13:19:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhGr033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:13:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 33702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:13:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H5DsvB042518 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:13:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H5Dr9d013666 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:13:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H5DrAu013665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:13:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:13:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170513.h5H5DrAu013665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 170400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/162352ZJUN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 16.4N1 103.0W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 103.0W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.1N9 103.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.6N4 103.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.1N0 104.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.5N4 105.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.5N4 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 170000Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 103.0W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170000Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 170000Z JUN 2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 13:27:26 2003 X-UIDL: 28211-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009XY1LMZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 13:22:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H5MShq063239 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 13:22:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhGv033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:16:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 33719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:16:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H5GuvB019866 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:16:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H5Gu9d013691 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:16:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H5Gt21013690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:16:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 00:16:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170516.h5H5Gt21013690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 170400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/162352ZJUN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 16.4N1 103.0W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 103.0W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.1N9 103.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.6N4 103.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.1N0 104.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.5N4 105.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.5N4 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 170000Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 103.0W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 14:44:18 2003 X-UIDL: 28217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009SG3VZZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 14:11:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H6Bphq076780 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 14:11:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H4mk5d034292; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 34145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H64qvB037044 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H64q9d014194 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H64qxa014192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170604.h5H64qxa014192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/170151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N9 123.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 16:14:07 2003 X-UIDL: 28230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009UH97AZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:06:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H86dhq012761 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:06:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhK3033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:01:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 34883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:01:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H81rvB043482 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:01:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H81r9d015305 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:01:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H81rDX015304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:01:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:01:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170801.h5H81rDX015304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 170800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON JUN 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 16:44:08 2003 X-UIDL: 28232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009OOAQ0Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:39:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8dThq023091 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:39:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhKT033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8XJvB038730 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H8XJ9d015529 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H8XJjI015528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170833.h5H8XJjI015528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 170832 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE JUN 17 2003 THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS UNCERTAIN...ALTHOUGH TAFB...SAB...AND AFGWC ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT ON A POSITION NEAR THE CENTER OF AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER A QUIKSCAT PASS AT ABOUT 01Z SHOWED A TROUGH AXIS ORIENTED NORTHEAST/SOUTHWEST WITH THE MOST LIKELY CENTER LOCATION...IF ANY...AT LEAST 100 N MI SOUTHWEST OF THE GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE POSITION ESTIMATES. RECENT TRMM AND SSMI PASSES ARE INCONCLUSIVE BUT FAVOR THE POSITION UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE CHOICE OF LEAST REGRET OR WORST CASE SCENARIO IS TO OPT FOR THE CENTER UNDER THE CONVECTION. PERHAPS VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WILL RESOLVE THIS QUESTION LATER TODAY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 335/05. THE GLOBAL MODELS ALL SHOW A VERY SLOW MOTION AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST OVER THE NEXT FIVE DAYS WITH A WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND THIS IS THE BASIS OF THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK. THE DVORAK T NUMBERS ARE ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT...2.0 FROM ALL AGENCIES...AND THE OFFICIAL INITIAL WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 30 KNOTS. THE SHIPS MODEL BRINGS THE WINDS TO 50 KNOTS IN 48 HOURS AS DID THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DOES THE SAME. IN CONTRAST...THE GFDL MODEL FORECASTS DISSIPATION IN 24 HOURS AND THE UKMET MODEL FORECASTS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE THROUGH 120 HOURS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER 48 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS. THE FORECAST TRACK BRINGS THE CENTER TO WITHIN ABOUT 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COAST OF MEXICO IN 24 TO 48 HOURS AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WOULD BE APPROPRIATE BASED ON THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. HOWEVER ATTEMPTS TO COORDINATE WITH THE MEXICAN WEATHER SERVICE BY PHONE HAVE BEEN UNSUCCESSFUL...SO A WATCH WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL THERE IS COMMUNICATION WITH THEM. MEANWHILE...WORDING IN THE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL INDICATE THE THREAT OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE COAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITHOUT SPECIFICALLY ISSUING A WATCH. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0900Z 17.1N 103.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 17/1800Z 17.4N 103.8W 35 KT 24HR VT 18/0600Z 17.8N 104.2W 40 KT 36HR VT 18/1800Z 18.1N 104.5W 45 KT 48HR VT 19/0600Z 18.5N 104.9W 50 KT 72HR VT 20/0600Z 18.7N 105.7W 45 KT 96HR VT 21/0600Z 18.8N 106.9W 35 KT 120HR VT 22/0600Z 19.0N 108.5W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 16:44:08 2003 X-UIDL: 28233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009RDAQHZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:39:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8dlhq023212 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:39:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhKX033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:34:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:34:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8YPvB020838 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:34:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H8YP9d015551 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:34:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H8YPKu015550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:34:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:34:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170834.h5H8YPKu015550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 170833 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0900Z TUE JUN 17 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 103.6W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 103.6W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 103.4W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.4N 103.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.8N 104.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.1N 104.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 104.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.7N 105.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 18.8N 106.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 19.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 103.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 16:44:09 2003 X-UIDL: 28234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009SBAQOZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:40:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8drhq023238 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:39:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhKV033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8XnvB010290 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H8Xm9d015541 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H8XmdW015540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:33:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170833.h5H8XmdW015540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ32 KNHC 170833 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE JUN 17 2003 AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.6 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH .. 9 KM/HR...AND A SLOW MOSTLY NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS MAY REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN LAZARO CARDENAS AND MANZANILLO MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN APPEARS TO HAVE SPREAD INLAND OVER MEXICO BETWEEN ZIHUATANEJO AND MANZANILLO. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...17.1 N...103.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 18:04:20 2003 X-UIDL: 28244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009Y6ELOZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 18:03:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HA35hq051111 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 18:03:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhLj033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:56:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:56:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H9uIvB015998 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H9uI9d016294 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H9uHUD016293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:56:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:56:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170956.h5H9uHUD016293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 171000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 16.9N6 103.4W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 103.4W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.4N2 103.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.8N6 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 18.1N0 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.5N4 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.7N6 105.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: 170600Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 103.4W8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170600Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171600Z5, 172200Z2, 180400Z3 AND 181000Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 18:14:08 2003 X-UIDL: 28246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009AGEQVZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 18:06:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HA6Phq052164 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 18:06:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhLv033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:01:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35496 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HA1ovB026348 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HA1n9d016391 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:01:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HA1nY9016390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:01:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:01:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171001.h5HA1nY9016390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 171000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 08N175W TO TO 05N170W 07N161W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ALSO...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 09N147W TO 10N145W TO 09N140W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAKENING SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10S158W TO 12S151W...THEN BROKEN CU/TCU WITHIN 90 NM TO 10N145W...THEN TO 15S130W MOVED WEST AT 5 KT. CB DECREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07S172W 11S171W 09S178W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ALSO...BROKEN CU WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11S171W TO 25S145W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SHEAR LINE ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 18:14:08 2003 X-UIDL: 28248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009FTESSZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 18:07:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HA7Xhq052593 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 18:07:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhLl033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:58:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:58:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H9wKvB037080 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:58:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H9wJ9d016308 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:58:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H9wJrq016307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:58:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:58:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170958.h5H9wJrq016307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 171000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 16.9N6 103.4W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 103.4W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.4N2 103.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.8N6 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 18.1N0 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.5N4 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.7N6 105.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: 170600Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 103.4W8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 21:30:07 2003 X-UIDL: 28249-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM0098NF68Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 18:15:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HAFXhq055386 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 18:15:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhLx033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:06:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:06:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HA68vB016628 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:06:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HA689d016418 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:06:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HA682B016417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:06:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:06:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171006.h5HA682B016417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 171005 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUN 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...CENTERED ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ32 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP2. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 21:30:09 2003 X-UIDL: 28250-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009AHF75Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 18:16:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HAGAhq055612 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 18:16:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhM1033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:10:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:10:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HAAkvB016394 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:10:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HAAj9d016455 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:10:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HAAj2Y016454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:10:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:10:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171010.h5HAAj2Y016454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 171010 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 17 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E CENTER NEAR 17.1N 103.6W AT 17/0900 UTC...MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. READ THE MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC BULLETINS FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15.5N TO 18.5N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN WARMING SOME OF THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN REACHING THE SHORES OF MEXICO. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 89W NOW 89W/90W...FROM YUCATAN PENINSULA TO EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS WEST OF COSTA RICA. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS IN WESTERN NICARAGUA COASTAL WATERS...IN SW GULF OF MEXICO...AND IN PARTS OF NORTHERN BELIZE. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 112W NOW 113W/114W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 8N88W 9N100W 8N116W 6N129W 8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS 9.5N 140.5W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 90W...BETWEEN 78W AND 79W FROM 4N TO 8N... AND WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 103W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 130W. ISOLATED CELLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 22:18:56 2003 X-UIDL: 28265-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009EDQ5GZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 22:12:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HECkhq020625 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 22:12:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhZN033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:01:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 38136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:01:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HE19vB044518 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HE199d020470 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:01:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HE19NT020469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:01:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:01:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171401.h5HE19NT020469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 171400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE JUN 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 22:57:16 2003 X-UIDL: 28271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009YOS13Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 22:53:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HErKhq032420 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 22:53:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhab033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:41:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 38676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:41:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HEflvB038780 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:41:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HEfl9d021910 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:41:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HEfkM2021909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:41:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:41:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171441.h5HEfkM2021909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 171441 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE JUN 17 2003 THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES ARE NOT ENTIRELY CONCLUSIVE BUT IT APPEARS THAT THE CENTER IS NOT AS FAR TO THE NORTHWEST AS PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED. WE WILL ASSUME THAT THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE MOTION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK BUT THE TRACK GUIDANCE SHOWS A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT...AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THIS WOULD TAKE THE CENTER ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HOWEVER A NORTHEASTWARD DEVIATION FROM THIS TRACK OR AN UNEXPECTED EXPANSION OF THE WIND FIELD WOULD REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF WATCHES OR WARNINGS FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. THE CYCLONE IS NEAR...OR AT...TROPICAL STORM STATUS. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 30 KT FROM TAFB MIAMI AND SAB WASHINGTON AND 35 KT FROM THE AIR FORCE WEATHER AGENCY. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS SITUATED OVER VERY WARM WATER...THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS BEING RESTRICTED OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST BRINGS THE WINDS TO 50 KT AS PER THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. THE GLOBAL MODELS WEAKEN THE SYSTEM...BUT OF COURSE THEY LACK ADEQUATE RESOLUTION TO PROPERLY SIMULATE INTENSITY CHANGE. CURIOUSLY...THE GFDL MODEL SHOWS SLIGHT STRENGTHENING DURING THE FIRST 24 HOURS AND THEN LOSES IT. FORECASTER PASCH/RAPPAPORT FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/1500Z 16.6N 103.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 18/0000Z 17.0N 103.5W 40 KT 24HR VT 18/1200Z 17.4N 103.8W 45 KT 36HR VT 19/0000Z 17.8N 104.1W 50 KT 48HR VT 19/1200Z 18.1N 104.6W 50 KT 72HR VT 20/1200Z 18.5N 105.5W 45 KT 96HR VT 21/1200Z 18.8N 106.5W 40 KT 120HR VT 22/1200Z 19.0N 107.5W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 00:16:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009G3SALZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 22:59:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HEwvhq033894 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 22:58:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhad033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:42:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 38682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:42:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HEghvB027258 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:42:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HEgh9d021946 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:42:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HEghF9021945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:42:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:42:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Two-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171442.h5HEghF9021945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 171442 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 1500Z TUE JUN 17 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.3W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.3W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 103.3W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.0N 103.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.4N 103.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.8N 104.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.1N 104.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 105.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.8N 106.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 19.0N 107.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 103.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH/RAPPAPORT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 00:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 28277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009Y4V2WZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:59:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HFxChq051224 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:59:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPher033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 39776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HFnPvB029992 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HFnP9d024627 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HFnP33024626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171549.h5HFnP33024626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 171549 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 17 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E CENTER NEAR 16.6N 103.3W AT 17/1500 UTC AND IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC BULLETINS FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 10N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 90W-94W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W S OF 14N MOVING W 10-15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..RIDGE AXIS ALONG 28N131W TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1515 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E... THE DEPRESSION LOOKS FAIRLY HEALTHY IN THE VISIBLE IMAGERY AND APPEARS TO BE CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS WITH CURVED BANDS AND DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER WITH A BIT MORE CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE THAN EASTERN DUE TO EASTERLY SHEAR. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 10N90W 8N100W 9N109W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE BETWEEN 5N-11N S OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 77W-90W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 8N102W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 107W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE W OF 139W WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A BAND OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE MEXICAN COASTLINE E OF T.D. TWO-E FROM 97W-101W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 00:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 28279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009E9VBDZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:04:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HG4Jhq052898 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:04:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhet033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 39779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HFnsvB030000 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HFns9d024648 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HFnsIf024647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:49:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected For Analysis Time Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171549.h5HFnsIf024647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 171549 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED FOR ANALYSIS TIME NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 17 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E CENTER NEAR 16.6N 103.3W AT 17/1500 UTC AND IT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC BULLETINS FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 10N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 90W-94W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W S OF 14N MOVING W 10-15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..RIDGE AXIS ALONG 28N131W TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1515 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E... THE DEPRESSION LOOKS FAIRLY HEALTHY IN THE VISIBLE IMAGERY AND APPEARS TO BE CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS WITH CURVED BANDS AND DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER WITH A BIT MORE CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE THAN EASTERN DUE TO EASTERLY SHEAR. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 10N90W 8N100W 9N109W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE BETWEEN 5N-11N S OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 77W-90W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 8N102W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 107W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE W OF 139W WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A BAND OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE MEXICAN COASTLINE E OF T.D. TWO-E FROM 97W-101W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 00:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 28280-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009EBVBDZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:04:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HG4Hhq052884 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:04:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhfB033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:54:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 39836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:54:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HFstvB058624 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:54:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HFss9d024864 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:54:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HFssnk024862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:54:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:54:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171554.h5HFssnk024862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 171600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 16.5N2 103.3W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 103.3W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.0N8 103.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.4N2 103.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.8N6 104.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.1N0 104.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.5N4 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: 171200Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 103.3W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171200Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172200Z2, 180400Z3, 181000Z0 AND 181600Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 00:19:08 2003 X-UIDL: 28282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009KPVYHZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:18:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HGI8hq057221 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:18:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhgH033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:07:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 40052 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:07:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HG79vB057022 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:07:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HG799d025406 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:07:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HG79KE025405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:07:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:07:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171607.h5HG79KE025405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 171600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 16.5N2 103.3W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 103.3W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.0N8 103.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.4N2 103.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.8N6 104.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.1N0 104.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.5N4 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: 171200Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 103.3W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02E, //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:17 2003 X-UIDL: 28284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM0093SWWOZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:38:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HGcghq062916 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:38:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhhN033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:29:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 40320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HGSnvB019804 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HGSn9d026185 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HGSmYk026184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 11:28:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171628.h5HGSmYk026184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 171628 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUN 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E...CENTERED ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ32 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP2. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN009446ONZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:10:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HK9qhq027909 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:09:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HJeVwp033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:01:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 43338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HK1avB032822 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:01:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HK1Q9d003975 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HK1QCu003974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:01:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306172001.h5HK1QCu003974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 172000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE JUN 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN0094N87IZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:42:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HKgkhq037421 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:42:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HHl6K9035896; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 43596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HKUFvB045906 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HKUF9d005012 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HKUFjc005011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306172030.h5HKUFjc005011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 172029 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 2100Z TUE JUN 17 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 103.6W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 103.6W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.5W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.0N 103.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.3N 104.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.6N 104.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.9N 105.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 19.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 103.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN0097D89CZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:44:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HKhrhq037724 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:43:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HJeV0p033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 43587 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HKUHvB015002 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HKUH9d005017 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HKUHbW005016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:30:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306172030.h5HKUHbW005016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 172029 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE JUN 17 2003 THE CYCLONE HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE TODAY...WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER DISAPPEARING INTO THE CONVECTIVE OVERCAST. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA AND 35 KT FROM TAFB. BASED ON THIS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM BLANCA. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A HIGHLY UNCERTAIN 340/2. BLANCA IS SITTING IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CAUSED BY MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING OVER TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO. LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THIS TROUGH TO BE EVENTUALLY REPLACED BY RIDGING AS A NEW TROUGH DEVELOPS NEAR THE U. S. WEST COAST. THIS PATTERN WILL LIKELY CAUSE SLOW MOTION INITIALLY...FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHTLY FASTER WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. WHILE SHOWING SPREAD...NHC TRACK GUIDANCE GENERALLY AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO...AND IT HAS SHIFTED WESTWARD OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THUS...THE FORECAST TRACK IS ALSO SHIFTED WESTWARD FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE FIRST 24-48 HR OF THE FORECAST IS VERY UNCERTAIN...AND WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST IF BLANCA COMES CLOSER TO LAND THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. BLANCA IS IN A DIFFLUENT IF NOT DIVERGENT ENVIRONMENT WITH LIGHT EASTERLY SHEAR. LARGE-SCALE MODEL MODELS FORECAST AN INCREASE IN EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR DURING THE NEXT 72 HR. THIS COMBINED WITH GRADUAL MOVEMENT INTO COOLER WATER SHOULD STOP THE CURRENT ONGOING INTENSIFICATION IN 36-48 HR. BLANCA IS A SMALL CYCLONE...AND SHOULD THE CENTRAL CORE CONSOLIDATE IT COULD POSSIBLY BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE THE ENVIRONMENT BECOMES LESS FAVORABLE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD ONSHORE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 16.7N 103.6W 40 KT 12HR VT 18/0600Z 17.0N 103.8W 45 KT 24HR VT 18/1800Z 17.3N 104.2W 50 KT 36HR VT 19/0600Z 17.6N 104.7W 55 KT 48HR VT 19/1800Z 17.9N 105.3W 55 KT 72HR VT 20/1800Z 18.5N 106.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 21/1800Z 19.0N 108.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 22/1800Z 19.5N 109.5W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:33 2003 X-UIDL: 28302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN009CKBB9Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 05:49:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HLnohq055530 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 05:49:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HJeV5t033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:36:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 44449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:36:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HLa2vB056060 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:36:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HLa19d007041 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:36:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HLa1JP007040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:36:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:36:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected For Analysis Time Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306172136.h5HLa1JP007040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 172135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED FOR ANALYSIS TIME NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 17 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 17/2100 UTC. TROPICAL STORM BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 103.6W AT 17/2100 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 90W/91W IS NOW ALONG 91W/92W NORTH OF 11N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT IS ALONG THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 123W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A 1022 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 32N134W SOUTHEAST TO 23N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... BLANCA IS A VERY SMALL STORM JUST OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 16.5N104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N85W 10N92W 10N110W 9N120W 8N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 90W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 98W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 137W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA THROUGH MEXICO EAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:33 2003 X-UIDL: 28303-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN009NWC8OZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 06:10:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HM9qhq060334 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 06:09:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HJeV77033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:01:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 44708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HM18vB055970 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:01:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HM179d007699 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HM17vj007698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:01:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:01:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306172201.h5HM17vj007698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 172200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 07N157W 05N161W 06N168W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NONE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S150W 08S147W 11S145W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 08S161W 09S156W 13S156W MOVED W 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 05S178W 11S168W 13S178W MOVED SW 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:35 2003 X-UIDL: 28306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001HODIHB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 06:37:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HMbMhq066006 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 06:37:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HJeV8F033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:24:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 44966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:23:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HMNpvB044294 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:23:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HMNo9d008070 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:23:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HMNok3008069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:23:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 17:23:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306172223.h5HMNok3008069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 172223 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUN 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON BLANCA ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:35 2003 X-UIDL: 28308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001R9HVWB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 08:11:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I0Bihq086268 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 08:11:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HJeVCF033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:00:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 45863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:00:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I00tvB044848 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I00t9d009329 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:00:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I00sJO009328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:00:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180000.h5I00sJO009328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 180000 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 17 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 17/2100 UTC. TROPICAL STORM BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 103.6W AT 17/2100 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 90W/91W IS NOW ALONG 91W/92W NORTH OF 11N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT IS ALONG THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE REGION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 123W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A 1022 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 32N134W SOUTHEAST TO 23N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... BLANCA IS A VERY SMALL STORM JUST OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 16.5N104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N85W 10N92W 10N110W 9N120W 8N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 90W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 98W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 137W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA THROUGH MEXICO EAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001E3NJ2B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:13:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I2Dfhq021618 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:13:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5wP033154; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:06:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 46725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:06:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I26PvB010118 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:06:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I26P9d010818 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:06:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I26PLn010817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:06:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:06:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180206.h5I26PLn010817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 180206 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0300Z WED JUN 18 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.8W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.8W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 103.7W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 16.8N 104.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.0N 104.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.3N 105.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.5N 105.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.8N 106.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 18.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 18.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 103.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28319-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001W5NOZB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:17:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I2HEhq022922 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:17:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5wT033154; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:07:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 46731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:07:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I27DvB010134 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:07:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I27D9d010827 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:07:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I27D6S010826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:07:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:07:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180207.h5I27D6S010826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 180206 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE JUN 17 2003 THE INNER CORE CONVECTION OF TROPICAL STORM BLANCA HAS WAXED AND WANED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS...WITH ANOTHER CONVECTIVE BURST HAVING OCCURRED NEAR THE CENTER DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. A 17/1948Z TRMM OVERPASS INDICATED AN 80 PERCENT LOW-LEVEL EYEWALL HAD FORMED AT THAT TIME. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 45 KT IS BASED ON CONSENSUS T3.0 OR 45 KT INTENSITY FROM ALL 3 SATELLITE AGENCIES. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A HIGHLY UNCERTAIN 290/2. THE TREND IN MICROWAVE POSITIONS THE PAST 18 HOURS ACTUALLY SUGGESTS A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT HAS OCCURRED. IT ALSO APPEARS THAT THE EASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE CYCLONE IS ACTING TO NUDGE THE SYSTEM SLOWLY WESTWARD. HOWEVER...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN WHICH BLANCA IS CURRENTLY EMBEDDED WILL WEAKEN A LITTLE MORE AS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA DIGS A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ALLOW BLANCA TO MOVE SLIGHTLY POLEWARD. BY 36 HOURS...THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO LIFT OUT AND ALLOW THE RIDGE TO BUILD WESTWARD TO THE NORTH OF BLANCA...WHICH SHOULD ACT TO KEEP THE CYCLONE MOVING IN A MORE WESTWARD DIRECTION TOWARD COOLER WATER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE SLOWER AND SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE MEDIUM BAM...NOGAPS...GFDN...AND GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS. EARLIER CIRRUS OUTFLOW FROM A DYING CONVECTIVE COMPLEX ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST EAST OF BLANCA HAS BEEN ACTING TO ENHANCE THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR ACROSS THE CYCLONE. HOWEVER...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SHEAR HAS ABATED SLIGHTLY AND THIS HAS ALLOWED DEEP CONVECTION TO REFORM NEAR THE CYCLONE CENTER. SINCE BLANCA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER WARM SSTS AND IN A RELATIVELY LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT... ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST WITH MOST OF THAT OCCURRING DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE SHIPS MODEL WHICH BRINGS BLANCA UP TO HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 36 HOURS...BEFORE WEAKENING ENSUES AFTERWARDS AS THE CYCLONE BEGINS MOVING OVER COOLER WATER. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0300Z 16.6N 103.8W 45 KT 12HR VT 18/1200Z 16.8N 104.2W 55 KT 24HR VT 19/0000Z 17.0N 104.7W 60 KT 36HR VT 19/1200Z 17.3N 105.2W 65 KT 48HR VT 20/0000Z 17.5N 105.8W 65 KT 72HR VT 21/0000Z 17.8N 106.8W 60 KT 96HR VT 22/0000Z 18.0N 108.0W 45 KT 120HR VT 23/0000Z 18.0N 109.5W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:39 2003 X-UIDL: 28322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001E7PLQB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:58:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I2wRhq036503 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:58:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5xh033154; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:49:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 47221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:49:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I2nbvB018582 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:49:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I2nb9d011207 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I2nbrR011206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:49:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180249.h5I2nbrR011206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 180249 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE JUN 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:10:20 2003 X-UIDL: 28327-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001FYT4UB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 12:14:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I4Eihq061638 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 12:14:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P53L033154; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:04:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 48110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:04:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I44PvB038286 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:04:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I44P9d011961 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:04:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I44Pfb011960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:04:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:04:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180404.h5I44Pfb011960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 180404 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 18 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM BLANCA CENTER NEAR 16.6N 103.8W AT 18/0300 UTC MOVING WEST NORTHWEST 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS 91W/92W NOW 93W SOUTH OF 22N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS FROM SW NICARAGUA TO NW YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND IN SOUTHERN HONDURAS COASTAL WATERS. ..TROUGH FROM 32N138W BEYOND 31N140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0330 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 20-30 NM RADIUS OF 16.5N104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 9N98W 9N118W 7N125W 7N135W 10N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME HAVE BEEN DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 110W...AND WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 9N118W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:10:24 2003 X-UIDL: 28328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001WJT9RB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 12:17:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I4Hhhq062711 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 12:17:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P53Z033154; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:09:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 48171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:09:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I498vB056734 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:09:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I4979d012003 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:09:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I497wQ012002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:09:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:09:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180409.h5I497wQ012002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 180408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUN 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON BLANCA ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:10:25 2003 X-UIDL: 28330-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001PRU9JB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 12:39:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I4dChq069820 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 12:39:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P53x033154; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:33:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 48323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:33:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I4XtvB040672 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:33:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I4Xs9d012249 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:33:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I4Xss5012248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:33:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:33:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180433.h5I4Xss5012248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 180400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 16.5N2 103.7W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 103.7W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.8N5 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.0N8 104.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.3N1 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.5N3 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.8N6 106.8W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.0N9 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.0N9 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 180000Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 103.7W1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS DRIFTED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180000Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181000Z0, 181600Z6, 182200Z3 AND 190400Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:10:25 2003 X-UIDL: 28331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN00141UFKB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 12:42:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I4gnhq071002 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 12:42:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P541033154; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:35:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 48336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:35:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I4ZvvB005088 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:35:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I4Zu9d012268 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:35:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I4ZuAn012267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:35:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:35:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180435.h5I4ZuAn012267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 180400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 16.5N2 103.7W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 103.7W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.8N5 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.0N8 104.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.3N1 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.5N3 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.8N6 106.8W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:10:29 2003 X-UIDL: 28335-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001LQW6PB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:20:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I5Kfhq081708 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:20:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I5D2vh035902; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:13:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 48640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:12:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I5CcvB040476 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:12:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I5Cc9d012674 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:12:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I5CcrA012672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:12:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:12:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180512.h5I5CcrA012672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N5 123.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:10:34 2003 X-UIDL: 28344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO0018T3FMB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:57:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I7v9hq031455 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:57:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P58d033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 02:50:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 49727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 02:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I7oZvB044466 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 02:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I7oZ9d013964 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 02:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I7oZX5013963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 02:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 02:50:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180750.h5I7oZX5013963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 180750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE JUN 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:39:55 2003 X-UIDL: 28348-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO0019A5BIB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:38:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8bthq045024 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:37:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P599033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:33:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 49997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:33:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8XavB044846 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:33:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I8XZ9d014454 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:33:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I8XZhX014453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:33:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:33:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180833.h5I8XZhX014453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 180833 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0900Z WED JUN 18 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.8W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.8W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 103.8W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 16.8N 104.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.0N 104.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.2N 105.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.4N 105.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.8N 107.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 18.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 18.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 103.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:49:57 2003 X-UIDL: 28349-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001LH5TYB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:49:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8n3hq048075 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:49:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P59B033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:34:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50007 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:34:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8YkvB018200 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:34:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I8Yk9d014468 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:34:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I8Yk7K014467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:34:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:34:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180834.h5I8Yk7K014467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 180834 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED JUN 18 2003 ON SATELLITE IMAGES...THE ORGANIZATION OF THE STORM HAS DETERIORATED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE CLOUD PATTERN IS NOW RATHER AMORPHOUS WITH LITTLE EVIDENCE OF BANDING FEATURES...AND CONVECTIVE TOPS HAVE WARMED NEAR THE ESTIMATED CENTER LOCATION. EASTERLY SHEAR CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE SYSTEM. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT MODERATE EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR... ASSOCIATED WITH A 200 MB ANTICYCLONE OVER EASTERN MEXICO...WILL PERSIST OVER BLANCA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 45 KT...IN AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND AFWA. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST FOR THIS ADVISORY IS A LITTLE BELOW THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE LATEST SHIPS GUIDANCE. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...BLANCA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS OVER A SIGNIFICANT SST GRADIENT AND ENTER AN AREA OF COOLER THAN NORMAL WATERS. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE APPARENT MOTION AS STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN ILL-DEFINED. A VERY WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TO THE NORTH OF BLANCA WHICH WOULD INDUCE A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION...WITH A MORE WESTWARD TRACK BY DAYS 4 AND 5 FOLLOWING THE LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC FLOW. THIS OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY PACKAGE. SHIP OBSERVATIONS AND QUIKSCAT DATA INDICATE THAT BLANCA IS A RATHER SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0900Z 16.6N 103.8W 45 KT 12HR VT 18/1800Z 16.8N 104.2W 50 KT 24HR VT 19/0600Z 17.0N 104.7W 55 KT 36HR VT 19/1800Z 17.2N 105.2W 60 KT 48HR VT 20/0600Z 17.4N 105.8W 60 KT 72HR VT 21/0600Z 17.8N 107.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 22/0600Z 18.0N 108.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 23/0600Z 18.0N 110.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 21:29:23 2003 X-UIDL: 28357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001LK8FEB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:45:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I9j5hq065989 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:45:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5A3033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50333 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I9ehvB045004 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I9eh9d014937 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I9ehOl014936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180940.h5I9ehOl014936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 180940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 18 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..STATIONARY TROPICAL STORM BLANCA CENTER NEAR 16.6N 103.8W AT 18/0900 UTC. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WHICH WAS ALONG 93W SIX HOURS AGO NOW ALONG 91W/92W. SATELLITE CLASSIFICATION OF A 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 19.5N ALONG THE WAVE...DRIFTING WEST. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS FROM 12N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 87.5W AND 94W. BURSTS OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 91W AND 92W...AND FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 94W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0930 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 16N TO 18.5N BETWEEN 103W AND 105W. THE COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...BETWEEN -66C AND -71C... REACHING 48000 FEET...IN WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 9N102W 8N120W 7N135W 10N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME HAVE BEEN DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 102W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 102W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DISSIPATING DURING LAST SIX HOURS...FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 21:29:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001288NJB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:50:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I9nxhq067323 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:50:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8f4xr010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I9emvB056892 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I9em9d014942 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I9ellS014941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:40:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180940.h5I9ellS014941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 181000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 16.6N3 103.8W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KT POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 103.8W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.8N5 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.0N8 104.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.2N0 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.4N2 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.8N6 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.0N9 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.0N9 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 180600Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 103.8W2. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS DRIFTED WESTWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180600Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181600Z6, 182200Z3, 190400Z4 AND 191000Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 21:29:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28359-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO0016X8QDB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:51:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I9phhq067796 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:51:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5A7033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:46:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:46:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I9kGvB016602 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I9kG9d014997 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I9kGGn014996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:46:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180946.h5I9kGGn014996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 180946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 10N141W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 11N145W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 06N146W TO 05N145W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N151W 05N149W 06N155W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE POINT 05N160W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 04N166W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 07N167W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 08N170W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 05N172W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 05N178W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 22N168W. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 10S148W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 12S150W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 10S151W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S154W TO 11S153W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 10S160W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 11S171W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08S179W TO 10S176W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 14S178W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 21:29:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28360-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001A28S9B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:52:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I9qnhq068086 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:52:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5A5033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:43:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:43:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I9guvB016578 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:42:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I9gt9d014960 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:42:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I9gtPu014959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:42:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:42:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180942.h5I9gtPu014959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 181000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 16.6N3 103.8W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KT POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 103.8W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.8N5 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.0N8 104.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.2N0 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.4N2 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.8N6 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 21:29:29 2003 X-UIDL: 28366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001XHCD2B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 19:10:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IBA3hq089707 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 19:10:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5C5033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 06:03:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 06:03:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IB3DvB043470 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 06:03:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IB3D9d015663 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 06:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IB3DEr015662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 06:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 06:03:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181103.h5IB3DEr015662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 181102 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUN 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 22:08:26 2003 X-UIDL: 28380-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001EUK7KB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:59:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IDxahq037666 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:59:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5IH033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 08:46:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 08:46:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IDkgvB018400 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 08:46:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IDkg9d018332 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 08:46:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IDkgAR018331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 08:46:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 08:46:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181346.h5IDkgAR018331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 181346 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUN 18 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR 09N145W. ALTHOUGH IR SATELLITE IMAGES DO INDICATE A CIRCULATION...IT CONSISTS OF NOTHING MORE THAN A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IN THE ITCZ. MODEL PROJECTIONS DO NOT DEVELOP IT AS AN INDEPENDENT SYSTEM...THOUGH IT MAY HELP CREATE A NORTHWARD BULGE IN THE ITCZ TO NEAR 15N WITHIN 48 HOURS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 23:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 28386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001EEN38B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 23:01:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IF1ohq054583 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 23:01:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8f4M9010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IEW5vB019276 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IEW59d019923 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IEW3tq019920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181432.h5IEW3tq019920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 181431 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 1500Z WED JUN 18 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.0W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.0W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 103.9W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 17.1N 104.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.3N 104.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.5N 105.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.7N 106.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.0N 107.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 18.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 104.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 00:01:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28391-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001JZPK4B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 23:55:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IFt7hq070440 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 23:55:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8f4MD010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:33:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IEW5vB018264 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IEW59d019924 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IEW4WR019922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:32:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181432.h5IEW4WR019922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 181431 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED JUN 18 2003 BLANCA HAS CONSOLIDATED THIS MORNING. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEVELOPING CDO...WHILE MEXICAN RADAR FROM CUYUTLAN SHOWS A GOOD... THOUGH INCORRECTLY NAVIGATED...BANDING PATTERN. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 55 KT FROM TAFB AND 45 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA. BASED ON THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 45 KT. HOWEVER...BLANCA MAY BE A LITTLE STRONGER GIVEN THE RADAR APPEARANCE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A HIGHLY UNCERTAIN 320/2. BLANCA REMAINS IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...ALTHOUGH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A RIDGE IS SLOWLY BUILDING BETWEEN THE STORM AND TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTHERN U. S. LARGE-SCALE MODELS INDICATE THAT THE TROUGHING SHOULD BE REPLACED BY A RIDGE AS A NEW TROUGH DEVELOPS NEAR THE U. S. WEST COAST. THIS PATTERN SHOULD STEER BLANCA SLOWLY TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST TOWARD A NEW WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. NHC TRACK GUIDANCE GENERALLY AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS THUS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS MORE OR LESS DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT FIRST-LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGES HINT THAT BLANCA MAY BE FURTHER SOUTH THAN CURRENTLY ANALYZED. IF SO...THE FORECAST TRACK WILL NEED TO BE REVISED ON THE NEXT ADVISORY. BLANCA REMAINS IN A LIGHT-SHEAR EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW...SHOWING GOOD OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. LARGE-SCALE MODELS INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR 24-36 HR. AFTER THAT...35-50 KT SOUTHEASTERLIES SHOULD DEVELOP AND SHEAR THE SYSTEM. BLANCA SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP UNTIL THEN...REACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH IN ABOUT 24 HR. AFTER THAT...A COMBINATION OF SHEAR...COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...AND DRY AIR SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NORTHWEST OF THE STORM SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING. BLANCA REMAINS A SMALL CYCLONE...ABOUT 200 N MI IN DIAMETER...AND THUS COULD BOTH STRENGTHEN AND WEAKEN FASTER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/1500Z 16.8N 104.0W 45 KT 12HR VT 19/0000Z 17.1N 104.4W 55 KT 24HR VT 19/1200Z 17.3N 104.9W 65 KT 36HR VT 20/0000Z 17.5N 105.4W 65 KT 48HR VT 20/1200Z 17.7N 106.0W 60 KT 72HR VT 21/1200Z 18.0N 107.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 22/1200Z 18.0N 109.5W 40 KT 120HR VT 23/1200Z 18.0N 111.5W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 00:08:11 2003 X-UIDL: 28395-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001MYQ3WB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:07:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IG71hq074120 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:07:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5Qj033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:43:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 53409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:43:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IFhKvB020204 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:43:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IFhK9d022662 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:43:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IFhKBM022661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:43:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:43:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181543.h5IFhKBM022661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 181600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 16.8N5 103.9W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 103.9W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.1N9 104.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.3N1 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.5N3 105.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.7N5 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.0N9 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.0N9 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 18.0N9 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 181200Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 103.9W3. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181200Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182200Z3, 190400Z4, 191000Z1 AND 191600Z7. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 00:30:16 2003 X-UIDL: 28396-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001QVQ6DB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:08:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IG8Vhq074535 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:08:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8f4UX010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:46:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 53429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:46:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IFkIvB038826 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IFkI9d022775 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IFkIS8022774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:46:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181546.h5IFkIS8022774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 181600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 16.8N5 103.9W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 103.9W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.1N9 104.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.3N1 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.5N3 105.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.7N5 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.0N9 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 00:30:30 2003 X-UIDL: 28397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001X3QUVB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:23:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IGNChq078646 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:23:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8f4b1010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:13:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 54035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:12:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IGC7vB038872 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:12:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IGC69d023851 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:12:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IGC6Db023849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:12:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:12:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181612.h5IGC6Db023849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 181611 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 18 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM BLANCA IS CENTER NEAR 16.8N 104.0W AT 18/1500 UTC. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W/92W IS NOW ALONG 92W/93W MOVING W AT 10 KT. A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED ON THE WAVE NEAR 19N92W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1530 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N100W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 6.5N79.8W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 8N BETWEEN 88W AND 95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 01:09:49 2003 X-UIDL: 28399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001CPSRLB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 01:04:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IH4Phq089778 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 01:04:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5Vv033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:50:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 54569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:50:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IGoLvB025338 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:50:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IGoL9d025303 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IGoLNI025302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 11:50:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181650.h5IGoLNI025302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 181650 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUN 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 04:14:30 2003 X-UIDL: 28406-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001D8WXFB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 02:34:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IIYJhq014447 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 02:34:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8f4uJ010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 55836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IIPpvB046002 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IIPo9d029222 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IIPnbf029219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181825.h5IIPnbf029219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/NOREN/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 04:14:36 2003 X-UIDL: 28407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001ESWYUB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 02:35:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IIZChq014673 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 02:35:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5d1033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 55833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IIPovB038678 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IIPo9d029221 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IIPn5o029218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:25:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181825.h5IIPn5o029218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/NOREN/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 04:14:57 2003 X-UIDL: 28413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP001940M0B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:54:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IJrqhq042318 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:53:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5l7033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 14:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 57239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 14:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IJjfvB025984 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 14:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IJje9d002267 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 14:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IJjewT002266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 14:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 14:45:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181945.h5IJjewT002266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 181945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED JUN 18 2003 A DISTURBED AREA ALONG THE ITCZ IS LOCATED ALONG A TROUGH LINE THROUGH 10N 140W TO 06N 148W. ACCORDING TO SCATTEROMETER DATA THE SYSTEM CONSISTS MAINLY OF CYCLONIC SHEAR WITH 25 TO 30 KT ENE WINDS ALONG THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TROUGH ADJACENT TO WEAKER SE WINDS TO THE SOUTH. NO SURFACE WESTERLIES ARE SEEN SOUTH OF THE TROUGH LINE. MODEL PROJECTIONS DO NOT DEVELOP IT TO ANY GREAT EXTENT AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ALONG 10N PASSING SOUTH OF HAWAII IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 04:54:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP001AP33FB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:47:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IKlThq058644 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:47:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IISMGT010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 57853 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IKaMvB032724 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IKaL9d004036 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IKaL3I004035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306182036.h5IKaL3I004035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 182035 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED JUN 18 2003 BLANCA LOOKS A LITTLE RAGGED IN VISIBLE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON... WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER TRYING TO BECOME EXPOSED ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE CONVECTION. HOWEVER...IR IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION IS STRONG AND PERSISTENT. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 65 KT FROM TAFB AND 45 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS NUDGED UPWARD TO 50 KT. THE BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 290/2. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SYNOPTIC REASONING FROM THE EARLIER PACKAGE. BLANCA IS IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...WITH RIDGING FORECAST TO SLOWLY BUILD NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. THIS SHOULD CAUSE IT TO MOVE WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD ANOTHER WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE CAUSED BY A DEVELOPING TROUGH NEAR THE U. S. WEST COAST. NHC TRACK GUIDANCE GENERALLY AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO... ALTHOUGH THERE ARE SOME SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENTS ON THE SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS NUDGED SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS KEPT SLOW IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE DYNAMICAL MODELS. BLANCA REMAINS IN A EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW...SHOWING FAIR TO GOOD OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. LARGE-SCALE MODELS INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR 24-36 HR. AFTER THAT...35-45 KT SOUTHEASTERLIES SHOULD DEVELOP AND SHEAR THE SYSTEM. BLANCA WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP UNTIL THEN...REACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH IN ABOUT 24 HR. AFTER THAT...A COMBINATION OF SHEAR...COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...AND DRY AIR SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NORTHWEST OF THE STORM SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING. THAT BEING SAID...THE DECAY IN THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN THIS AFTERNOON HINTS THAT THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW MAY BE STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY ANALYZED. IF THIS CONTINUES...BLANCA MAY NOT STRENGTHEN AS MUCH AS FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 16.8N 104.5W 50 KT 12HR VT 19/0600Z 16.9N 104.9W 60 KT 24HR VT 19/1800Z 17.1N 105.4W 65 KT 36HR VT 20/0600Z 17.2N 106.0W 65 KT 48HR VT 20/1800Z 17.3N 106.6W 60 KT 72HR VT 21/1800Z 17.5N 108.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 22/1800Z 17.5N 110.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 23/1800Z 17.5N 112.5W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 04:54:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP001D035HB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:48:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IKmkhq059028 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:48:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5nR033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 57850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IKaKvB035474 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IKaJ9d004031 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IKaJ68004029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:36:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306182036.h5IKaJ68004029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 182035 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 2100Z WED JUN 18 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.5W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.5W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 104.4W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.9N 104.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.1N 105.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.2N 106.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.3N 106.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N 108.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 17.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 17.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 104.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 06:04:45 2003 X-UIDL: 28425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP001TJ6KRB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 06:02:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IM2hhq077525 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 06:02:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ILoCwX033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:52:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 59314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:52:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ILqavB023934 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:52:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5ILqa9d006569 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:52:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5ILqauh006568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:52:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:52:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306182152.h5ILqauh006568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 182152 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 18 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.8N 104.5W AT 2100 UTC MOVING WNW AT 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W/93W IS NOW ALONG 93W/94W N OF 8N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 91W-95W BETWEEN 8N-11N. ..RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N137W TO 18N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... BLANCA HAS GOTTEN BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY BUT CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED A BIT IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. EASTERLY SHEAR REMAINS WITH TSTMS DISPLACED MORE TO THE W OF THE CENTER THAN E. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15.5N-18N BETWEEN 103.5W-106W WITH RAIN INLAND ALONG THE SW COAST OF MEXICO. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N93W 8N113W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-CENTRAL AMERICA E OF 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N-10.5N BETWEEN 87W-102W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS/TSTMS IS NEAR 13.5N92.5W WITH WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE W COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 84W-86W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 06:14:33 2003 X-UIDL: 28427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP0017O6XZB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 06:10:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IMAdhq079323 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 06:10:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IISMTn010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:49:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 59034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ILkAvB034124 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5ILk99d006425 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5ILk9TJ006424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:46:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306182146.h5ILk9TJ006424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 182145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE THROUGH 10N140W 06N150W 06N160W 06N178W. LINE NEARLY STATIONARY BUT CELLS MOVING WEST ABOUT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 24N170W. CELLS MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KT AND ARE WEAKENING. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE 11S142W 10S160W 10S170W 11S179W. LINE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH CELLS MOVING WEST ABOUT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... CLOSEST DEEP CONVECTION ABOUT 250 NM TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST INCLUDED IN TROUGH ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 06:24:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28428-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CBA76678@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 06:15:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IMFWhq080537 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 06:15:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ILoCwx033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:03:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 59431 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:03:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IM2xvB032684 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:02:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IM2x9d006832 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:02:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IM2xCw006831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:02:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:02:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306182202.h5IM2xCw006831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 182202 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUN 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 06:34:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CVL7LD78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 06:24:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IMOfhq082545 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 06:24:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ILoCxt033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:13:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 59505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:13:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IMDKvB037654 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:13:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IMDJ9d006975 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:13:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IMDJoF006974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:13:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:13:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306182213.h5IMDJoF006974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 182200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 16.7N4 104.4W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 104.4W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.9N6 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.1N9 105.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.2N0 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.3N1 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5N3 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.5N3 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.5N3 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 181800Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.7N4 104.4W9. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS DRIFTED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181800Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190400Z4, 191000Z1, 191600Z7 AND 192200Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 06:34:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CXH7MY78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 06:25:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IMPdhq082733 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 06:25:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IISMXf010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:14:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 59520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:14:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IMEVvB045948 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:14:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IMER9d007001 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:14:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IMERAv007000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:14:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 17:14:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306182214.h5IMERAv007000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 182200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 16.7N4 104.4W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 104.4W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.9N6 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.1N9 105.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.2N0 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.3N1 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5N3 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 15:31:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28449-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CPFHSJ78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:05:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J24xhq049234 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:05:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX0d056898; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 20:59:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61807 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 20:59:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J1xwvB038402 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 20:59:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J1xw9d009549 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 20:59:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J1xvBG009548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 20:59:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 20:59:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190159.h5J1xvBG009548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 190159 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUN 18 2003 SEVERAL DISTURBED AREAS ARE LOCATED ALONG A WAVY ITCZ BETWEEN 145W AND 165W. SHEAR VORTICITY RATHER THAN CURVATURE SEEMS TO BE THE MAIN CONTRIBUTOR TO THE CONVERGENCE AND CONVECTION. NO SURFACE WESTERLIES ARE SEEN IN THE SCATTEROMETER DATA SOUTH OF THE TROUGH LINE. MODEL PROJECTIONS DO NOT DEVELOP ANY CLOSED LOW OF CONSEQUENCE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 15:31:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CZIIJ678@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:21:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J2Krhq054711 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:20:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J1hBwx010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61908 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J2ENvB042568 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J2EM9d009692 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J2EMnD009689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190214.h5J2EMnD009689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 190213 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0300Z THU JUN 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 104.8W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 104.8W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 104.7W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.8N 105.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.9N 105.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.9N 106.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.9N 107.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.8N 108.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 16.8N 110.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 16.8N 112.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 104.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 15:31:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28456-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00C7NILA78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:22:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J2MDhq055245 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:22:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX0p056898; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J2ENvB008228 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J2EM9d009693 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J2EM5m009691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:14:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190214.h5J2EM5m009691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 190213 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED JUN 18 2003 AS HAS BEEN THE CASE THE PAST 2 DAYS...CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO FLUCTUATE QUITE DRAMATICALLY BETWEEN THE DAY AND NIGHTIME PERIODS AND BLANCA IS CURRENTLY GOING THROUGH ANOTHER WANING PERIOD IN THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN. EARLIER IMAGES DURING THE DAY SUGGEST THAT AN EYE WAS TRYING TO APPEAR IN THE CIRRUS CANOPY...BUT EASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS BEEN DISRUPTING THE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS. HOWEVER...THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS INCREASED SLIGHTLY TO 55 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KT FROM TAFB AND 45 KT FROM BOTH SAB AND AFWA. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BLANCA COULD BE A LITTLE STRONGER GIVEN ITS RATHER COMPACT SIZE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/03. THERE REMAINS LITTLE CHANGE IN THE SYNOPTIC REASONING FROM THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF ADVISORY PACKAGES. BLANCA REMAINS EMBEDDED IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WITH A SLIGHT WESTERLY NUDGE BEING INDUCED BY THE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. WHILE THERE IS CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IN THE NHC TRACK GUIDANCE...THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE 5-DAY PERIOD. THIS APPEARS REASONABLE GIVEN THE LARGE-SCALE RIDGE PATTERN...ALBEIT WEAK...THAT IS FORECAST TO REMAIN NORTH OF BLANCA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ONLY SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF AND SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AND IS CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE VARIOUS GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS. BLANCA MAY BE SMALL...BUT THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN QUITE TENACIOUS IN FIGHTING OFF INTERMITTENT MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY SHEAR. THE CYCLONE PROBABLY ONLY HAS ONE MORE 12-18 HOUR PERIOD REMAINING TONIGHT WHEN DEEP CONVECTION MAY REDEVELOP AROUND THE CENTER AND POSSIBLY ALLOW BLANCA TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH. AFTER THAT...ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE TO SOUTHEASTERLY AT 35-45 KT. THE COMBINATION OF COOLER SSTS AND INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD BRING ABOUT A STEADY WEAKENING TREND BY 36 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0300Z 16.7N 104.8W 55 KT 12HR VT 19/1200Z 16.8N 105.3W 60 KT 24HR VT 20/0000Z 16.9N 105.9W 65 KT 36HR VT 20/1200Z 16.9N 106.5W 60 KT 48HR VT 21/0000Z 16.9N 107.2W 55 KT 72HR VT 22/0000Z 16.8N 108.3W 45 KT 96HR VT 23/0000Z 16.8N 110.0W 35 KT 120HR VT 24/0000Z 16.8N 112.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 15:31:35 2003 X-UIDL: 28471-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00C5YPD078@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:48:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J4mRhq007939 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:48:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX5X056898; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 23:40:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 63020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 23:40:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J4eDvB047634 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 23:40:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J4eC9d011088 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 23:40:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J4eC87011087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 23:40:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 23:40:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190440.h5J4eC87011087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 190439 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUN 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COASTS OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA AND EASTERN MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED...BUT SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 15:31:37 2003 X-UIDL: 28476-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CNRSMN78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 13:59:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J5x3hq029728 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 13:59:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J3xK9B042602; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 63831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J5pSvB054020 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J5pS9d011775 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J5pSYr011773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190551.h5J5pSYr011773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N0 128.5E6, 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 16:11:21 2003 X-UIDL: 28490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CB5YLP78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:08:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J886hq072164 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:08:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX95056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:04:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 64625 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:04:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J84lvB023862 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:04:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J84k9d013044 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:04:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J84kZa013043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:04:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:04:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190804.h5J84kZa013043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 190804 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUN 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 16:35:55 2003 X-UIDL: 28493-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CVPZUC78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:35:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J8Yqhq082441 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:34:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX9F056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 64712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J8UkvB047638 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J8Uk9d013289 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J8UkFJ013288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190830.h5J8UkFJ013288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 190830 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0900Z THU JUN 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 104.6W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 104.6W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 104.6W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.5N 105.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.5N 105.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.5N 107.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.5N 108.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 16.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 16.5N 112.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 104.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 16:41:21 2003 X-UIDL: 28495-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00C8DZZ578@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:37:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J8behq083515 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:37:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX9D056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 64709 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J8URvB047630 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J8UR9d013280 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J8URf8013279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:30:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190830.h5J8URf8013279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 190830 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU JUN 19 2003 DEEP CONVECTION DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS ALTHOUGH SOME CELLS ARE NOW RE-DEVELOPING NEAR THE CENTER. A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM SEVERAL HOURS AGO SHOWED NO WIND SPEEDS HIGHER THAN 35 KT. ALTHOUGH BLANCA WAS NEAR THE EDGE OF THE SWATH...WHERE THE WIND DATA ARE SOMEWHAT LESS RELIABLE...THESE OBSERVATIONS SUGGESTS THAT THE STORM HAS WEAKENED. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE PROBLEMATIC WHEN A SYSTEM HAS SO LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION...BUT HIGHEST CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA ARE 45 KT. THE WEAKENING WAS LIKELY DUE TO A COMBINATION OF PERSISTENT VERTICAL SHEAR AND A COOLING OF THE SEA SURFACE BENEATH THIS SLOW-MOVING SYSTEM. GLOBAL MODEL 200 MB WIND FORECASTS INDICATE THAT SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IN VIEW OF THIS...AND BLANCA'S RECENT WEAKENING TREND...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD FROM THE PREVIOUS FEW ADVISORIES. INDEED...UNLESS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MAKES A MAJOR COMEBACK SOON...BLANCA MAY MEET ITS DEMISE SOONER THAN INDICATED HERE. THE CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE BUT SHORTWAVE IR IMAGERY...WHICH PICKS UP SOME OF THE LOW CLOUD LINES...SUGGESTS THAT IT IS IN ABOUT THE SAME PLACE AS IT WAS SEVERAL HOURS AGO. BLANCA REMAINS SITUATED NEAR A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ONLY WEAK EASTERLY STEERING CURRENTS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0900Z 16.5N 104.6W 45 KT 12HR VT 19/1800Z 16.5N 105.2W 45 KT 24HR VT 20/0600Z 16.5N 105.9W 45 KT 36HR VT 20/1800Z 16.5N 106.5W 45 KT 48HR VT 21/0600Z 16.5N 107.1W 40 KT 72HR VT 22/0600Z 16.5N 108.5W 35 KT 96HR VT 23/0600Z 16.5N 110.0W 30 KT 120HR VT 24/0600Z 16.5N 112.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 17:53:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CTC3ED78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:51:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J9pdhq010043 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:51:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXAV056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:46:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65086 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:46:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J9kqvB049166 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:46:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J9kp9d013947 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:46:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J9kpVd013946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:46:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:46:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190946.h5J9kpVd013946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 190946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N154W 08N143W 04N150W 02N156W 02N161W 03N170W 06N169W 09N164W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 05N179W TO 08N174W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 09S161W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 06S162W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 05S164W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 08S166W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09S173W TO 08S170W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S179W TO 12S175W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 19S178W TO 21S175W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 18:11:26 2003 X-UIDL: 28516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00C0E3ZC78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 18:04:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JA4Hhq015232 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 18:04:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXAd056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:59:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65150 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:59:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J9xPvB037950 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:59:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J9xP9d014000 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:59:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J9xPnP013999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:59:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:59:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190959.h5J9xPnP013999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 190959 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1045 UTC THU 19 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..STATIONARY TROPICAL STORM BLANCA CENTER NEAR 16.5N 104.6W AT 19/0900 UTC. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 77W/78W NOW 79W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 86W/88W NOW 89W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN EL SALVADOR COASTAL WATERS FROM 12N TO COAST BETWEEN 89W AND 90W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 93W/95W NOW ALONG 96W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0930 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... A BURST OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS 16N105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 8N93W 9N107W 8N126W 7N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 100W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 80W AND 93W...AND WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 18:36:03 2003 X-UIDL: 28518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CRS5EB78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 18:35:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JAYkhq024662 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 18:34:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXAl056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:28:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65249 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JASnvB045112 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JASn9d014239 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JASn7o014238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:28:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191028.h5JASn7o014238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 191028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUN 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FROM NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND SOUTHWARD OVER THE PACIFIC FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 19:00:46 2003 X-UIDL: 28523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CGX6F978@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 18:57:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JAunhq030962 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 18:56:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXBN056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:52:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:52:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JAqbvB033316 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:52:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JAqa9d014416 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:52:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JAqaUh014414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:52:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:52:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191052.h5JAqaUh014414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 191000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 16.5N2 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.5N2 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.5N2 105.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.5N2 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 19:00:47 2003 X-UIDL: 28524-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CIU6GK78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 18:57:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JAvhhq031230 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 18:57:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXBL056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:50:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JAoXvB039880 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:50:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JAoX9d014396 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JAoX1d014395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 05:50:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191050.h5JAoX1d014395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 191000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 16.5N2 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.5N2 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.5N2 105.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.5N2 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.5N2 107.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.5N2 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 16.5N2 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 16.5N2 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190900Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 104.6W1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 151 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190600Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191600Z7, 192200Z4, 200400Z6 AND 201000Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 22:10:50 2003 X-UIDL: 28546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CDYETE78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:58:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JDwIhq082048 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:58:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXJP056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 08:50:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 67192 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 08:50:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JDocvB044474 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 08:50:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JDoc9d016955 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 08:50:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JDocMf016954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 08:50:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 08:50:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191350.h5JDocMf016954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 191350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUN 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 23:26:25 2003 X-UIDL: 28552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CTXGSY78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:41:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JEfBhq093320 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:41:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXMZ056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 67677 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JEVvvB036038 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JEVu9d018305 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JEVuGZ018304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191431.h5JEVuGZ018304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 191431 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU JUN 19 2003 A NEW BURST OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED NEAR AND SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF BLANCA DURING THE PAST FEW HR. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA. SHIP 9VID2 REPORTED 28 KT AND 1004.5 MB ABOUT 40 N MI SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER AS 12Z...SUGGESTING THE CENTRAL PRESSURE IS NEAR 1000 MB. BASED ON THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 45 KT. BLANCA REMAINS ESSENTIALLY STATIONARY IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. IF ANYTHING...IT HAS DRIFTED A LITTLE SOUTHWARD SINCE YESTERDAY. LARGE SCALE-MODELS INDICATE WEAK STEERING CURRENTS WILL PERSIST NEAR THE CYCLONE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH SOME RIDGING DEVELOPING NORTH OF BLANCA GIVING IT A GENERAL WESTWARD NUDGE. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS ARE SPREAD BETWEEN A NORTHWESTWARD AND SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION...BUT ARE UNANIMOUSLY SLOW. THE BAMS AND NHC 91 CALL FOR A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AND ARE MUCH FASTER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL LEAN ON THE SLOW MOTION OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS AND IS NUDGED A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. BLANCA CONTINUES IN EASTERLY SHEAR...AND TENDENCY ANALYSES FROM CIMSS AT THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN INDICATE THE SHEAR HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 24 HR. ADDTIONALLY...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MID/UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR AND LOW-LEVEL STRATOCUMULUS NEAR THE CYCLONE. THIS COMBINATION SUGGESTS THAT THE WINDOW IS CLOSING ON CHANCES FOR INTENSIFICATION. LARGE-SCALE MODELS ALL SHOW INCREASED SHEAR AFTER 24 HR...AND EVEN THOUGH THE FORECAST TRACK NOW KEEPS BLANCA OVER WARM SEAS SURFACE TEMPERATURES THE SHEAR SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KILL IT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH FOR THE FIRST 24 HR...FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING TO EVENTUAL DISSIPATION IN 96-120 HR. THE 34 KT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN REVISED DOWNWARD BASED ON THE SHIP REPORT. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 16.4N 104.6W 45 KT 12HR VT 20/0000Z 16.2N 105.0W 45 KT 24HR VT 20/1200Z 16.0N 105.6W 45 KT 36HR VT 21/0000Z 16.0N 106.3W 40 KT 48HR VT 21/1200Z 16.0N 107.0W 35 KT 72HR VT 22/1200Z 16.0N 108.5W 30 KT 96HR VT 23/1200Z 16.0N 110.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 24/1200Z 16.0N 112.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 23:26:27 2003 X-UIDL: 28553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00C48GXV78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:44:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JEiBhq094233 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:44:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXMX056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 67661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JEVWvB005216 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JEVV9d018268 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JEVV6h018267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:31:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191431.h5JEVV6h018267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 191431 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 1500Z THU JUN 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 104.6W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 104.6W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 104.6W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.2N 105.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.0N 105.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.0N 106.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 107.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N 110.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 112.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 104.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 00:01:03 2003 X-UIDL: 28558-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CJLJQU78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 23:44:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JFijhq012725 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 23:44:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXOf056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:29:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 68165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:29:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JFSxvB034112 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JFSn9d020455 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JFSjfv020451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:28:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:28:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191528.h5JFSjfv020451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 191528 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1645 UTC THU 19 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..STATIONARY TROPICAL STORM BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N 104.6W AT 19/1500 UTC. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY 79W IS NOW ALONG 80W/81W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 80W-82W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 89W IS NOW ALONG 90W/91W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 88W-92W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 96W IS NOW ALONG 97W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS SW OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 93W-99W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1630 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 104W-107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N100W 8N110W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N85.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 7N TO 15.5N FROM 93W TO 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 110W TO 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 00:20:55 2003 X-UIDL: 28561-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CF0L1YDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 00:13:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JGD1hq022095 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 00:13:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JBmiNt042608; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:00:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 68437 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:00:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JG01vB005316 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:00:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JG019d021664 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:00:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JG00sf021663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:00:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:00:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191600.h5JG00sf021663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 191600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 16.4N1 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.2N9 105.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.0N7 105.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.0N7 106.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.0N7 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 16.0N7 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.0N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 16.0N7 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 104.6W1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192200Z4, 200400Z6, 201000Z3 AND 201600Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 00:20:56 2003 X-UIDL: 28562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CJ8L7DDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 00:16:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JGGJhq022928 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 00:16:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JBmiOp042608; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:07:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 68519 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:06:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JG67vB038532 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:06:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JG679d021907 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:06:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JG6746021906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:06:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:06:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191606.h5JG6746021906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 191600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 16.4N1 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.2N9 105.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.0N7 105.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.0N7 106.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 00:58:06 2003 X-UIDL: 28566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00C3YMR0DV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 00:49:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JGnShq032719 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 00:49:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXSZ056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:36:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 68868 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:29:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JGTsvB032942 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:29:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JGTs9d022702 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JGTsbP022701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 11:29:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191629.h5JGTsbP022701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 191629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUN 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE FROM NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND SOUTHWARD OVER THE PACIFIC FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 01:27:22 2003 X-UIDL: 28569-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CUOO54DV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:19:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JHJihq041552 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:19:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXV7056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 69357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JHCkvB055946 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JHCj9d024146 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JHCjOk024144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191712.h5JHCjOk024144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/NOREN/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 01:27:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00C1HOBKDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:23:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JHNbhq042803 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:23:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JBmiXb042608; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 69360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JHCkvB009168 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JHCj9d024147 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JHCjxE024145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 12:12:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191712.h5JHCjxE024145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/NOREN/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 04:07:26 2003 X-UIDL: 28587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CM8VV978@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:06:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JK6bhq091029 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:06:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JJi1wh037816; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 14:57:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 71490 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 14:55:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JJtpvB020162 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 14:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JJto9d029870 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 14:55:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JJtoHP029869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 14:55:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 14:55:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191955.h5JJtoHP029869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 191955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU JUN 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 04:57:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00C01XS678@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:48:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKlxhq002213 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:48:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKYCwL037680; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 72031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbWvB049338 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JKbW9d001283 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JKbW7Z001282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306192037.h5JKbW7Z001282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 192037 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 2100Z THU JUN 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 104.9W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 104.9W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 104.9W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.9N 105.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.8N 105.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.8N 106.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.9N 107.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 110.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 16.0N 111.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 104.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 04:57:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00C1OXUX78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:49:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKnbhq002565 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:49:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiw3019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:38:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 72004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKb4vB016066 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JKb49d001261 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JKb4aL001260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:37:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306192037.h5JKb4aL001260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 192036 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU JUN 19 2003 INTERESTING STRUCTURAL CHANGES OCCURRED WITH BLANCA THIS AFTERNOON. SSM/I AND AMSU OVERPASSES FROM 14Z-16Z INDICATED AN EYE WAS PRESENT. SINCE THEN...THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN HAS BECOME FRAGMENTED...SUGGESTING WHATEVER DEVELOPMENT WAS UNDERWAY HAS STOPPED. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA...AND 35 KT FROM TAFB. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 45 KT...BUT THERE IS GREATER THAN NORMAL UNCERTAINTY WITH THAT VALUE. BLANCA IS DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. LARGE SCALE-MODELS INDICATE WEAK STEERING CURRENTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH SOME RIDGING DEVELOPING NORTH OF BLANCA GIVING IT A GENERAL WESTWARD NUDGE. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS ARE SPREAD BETWEEN A NORTHWESTWARD AND SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION...BUT ARE UNANIMOUSLY SLOW. THE BAM MODELS AND NHC91 CALL FOR A MUCH FASTER WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL LEAN ON THE SLOW MOTION OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS AND IS NUDGED A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. A COMPLICATING FACTOR IS A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER FORMING SOUTHEAST OF BLANCA...WHICH MAY TRY TO ABSORB BLANCA INSTEAD OF LETTING IT MOVE WEST. SOUTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW IS INCREASING OVER BLANCA...AND THE RESULTING SHEAR MAY BE CAUSING THE CURRENT CONVECTIVE BREAKDOWN. DRY AIR AND STABLE STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS NEAR THE STORM ARE LIKELY NOT HELPING MATTERS. LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST INCREASED SHEAR FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO THE DEMISE OF BLANCA. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL REMAIN STEADY AT 45 KT FOR THE FIRST 24 HR IN CASE THIS UP AND DOWN SYSTEM TRIES TO INTENSITY ONE MORE TIME...THEN CALLS FOR WEAKENING. ONCE WEAKENING BEGINS IT MAY BE FASTER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. THE 12 RADII HAVE BEEN REVISED UPWARD BASED ON A REPORT FROM THE SHIP OXKT2. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 16.1N 104.9W 45 KT 12HR VT 20/0600Z 15.9N 105.3W 45 KT 24HR VT 20/1800Z 15.8N 105.9W 45 KT 36HR VT 21/0600Z 15.8N 106.6W 40 KT 48HR VT 21/1800Z 15.9N 107.3W 35 KT 72HR VT 22/1800Z 16.0N 108.5W 30 KT 96HR VT 23/1800Z 16.0N 110.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 24/1800Z 16.0N 111.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 06:07:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CWE15K78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 06:00:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JM0mhq018625 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 06:00:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKc06T048388; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:52:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 72931 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:52:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JLqKvB047744 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:52:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JLqJ9d003249 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:52:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JLqJVt003248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:52:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:52:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306192152.h5JLqJVt003248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 192152 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 19 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.1N 104.9W AT 19/2100 UTC MOVING SW AT 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/ WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS N OF 6N INTO CENTRAL AMERICA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W/92W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 90W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CELLS ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA NEAR 14N92W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W N OF 8N MOVING W 10 KT. LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION... PARTLY RELATED TO THE ITCZ ... IS BETWEEN 9N-16N BETWEEN 95W-101W. ..RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N142W SE TO 16N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... BLANCA HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH SINCE YESTERDAY IN STRUCTURE WITH SPORADIC BURSTS OF CONVECTION AROUND A TIGHT CIRCULATION WITH HINTS OF AN EYE-LIKE FEATURE APPEARING IN TODAY'S MICROWAVE IMAGERY. HOWEVER THE APPEARANCE OF THE STORM ON SATELLITE IS RATHER SLOPPY WITH INCREASING EASTERLY SHEAR AND CONVECTION AGAIN ON THE WANE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 12N100W 9N110W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 91W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS FROM 111W-121W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 122W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 9N TO CENTRAL AMERICA E OF 91W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF SOUTHERN PANAMA W OF 80W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 06:07:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CWM15R78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 06:01:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JM0shq018654 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 06:00:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbi1d019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:55:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 72950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JLtWvB035466 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JLtV9d003337 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JLtVRA003336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:55:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306192155.h5JLtVRA003336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 192155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N157W 10N150W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 07N156W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FRONT THROUGH 30N179E 28N170E FORECAST TO REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH 48 HOURS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... UPPER LOW NEAR 21N179E NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 20N180 22N179W REMAIN SPARSE AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S170W 22S176W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 20S180. FRONT MOVING EAST 15 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. FRONT...THROUGH 24S120W 17S130W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 11S142W. FRONT/SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 06:17:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CUS1SEDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 06:14:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JMEUhq020932 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 06:14:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbi1x019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:05:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 73095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JM5dvB053074 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JM5c9d003584 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:05:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JM5ckE003583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:05:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:05:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306192205.h5JM5ckE003583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 192205 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUN 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE FROM NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND SOUTHWARD OVER THE PACIFIC FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 06:27:29 2003 X-UIDL: 28604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CAC28IDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 06:24:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JMOBhq022742 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 06:24:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbi31019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:15:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 73176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:14:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JMETvB038720 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:14:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JMET9d003702 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:14:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JMESLB003701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:14:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:14:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306192214.h5JMESLB003701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 192200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 16.1N8 104.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 104.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.9N5 105.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.8N4 105.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.8N4 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.9N5 107.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.0N7 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 06:27:34 2003 X-UIDL: 28605-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CAJ28KDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 06:24:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JMODhq022751 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 06:24:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbi2p019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:15:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 73158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:12:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JMCOvB035814 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:12:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JMCO9d003678 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:12:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JMCN9F003677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:12:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 17:12:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306192212.h5JMCN9F003677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 192200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 16.1N8 104.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 104.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.9N5 105.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.8N4 105.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.8N4 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.9N5 107.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.0N7 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 16.0N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.0N7 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 104.9W4. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATED A POSSIBLE EYE FORMATION THAT IS NO LONGER EVIDENT ON CURRENT IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200400Z6, 201000Z3, 201600Z9 AND 202200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 10:17:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CWPCN2DV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:09:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K28phq077569 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:08:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiBF019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 20:55:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 74945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 20:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K1tdvB044076 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 20:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K1td9d006578 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 20:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K1tcEV006577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 20:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 20:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200155.h5K1tcEV006577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 200155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU JUN 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 10:17:41 2003 X-UIDL: 28618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR0047ECN9T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:09:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K290hq077614 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:09:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiC5019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:06:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:06:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K26GvB035566 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:06:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K26F9d006711 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:06:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K26Fi3006710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:06:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:06:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200206.h5K26Fi3006710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 200205 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0300Z FRI JUN 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.2W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 225 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.2W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 105.1W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.7N 105.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.6N 106.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.6N 106.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.8N 107.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.9N 108.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 15.9N 110.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 15.9N 112.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 105.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 10:17:43 2003 X-UIDL: 28620-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CXYCNLDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:09:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K29Ehq077702 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:09:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiBx019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:05:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75025 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:05:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K25rvB052994 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:05:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K25q9d006700 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:05:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K25qcF006699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:05:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:05:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200205.h5K25qcF006699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 200205 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU JUN 19 2003 BLANCA LIKELY PEAKED AROUND 15Z-16Z WHEN SSMI AND AMSU MICROWAVE DATA INDICATED A LOW- AND MID-LEVEL EYE FEATURE. SINCE THEN...IT HAS BEEN ALL DOWN HILL. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES VIRTUALLY NO CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH SOME CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED WELL SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN DECREASED TO 40 KT BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KT FROM TAFB AND 45 KT FROM BOTH SAB AND AFWA. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE CONTINUES TO BE 225/03. NOW THAT BLANCA HAS LOST ITS CENTRAL DEEP CONVETCION...THE VERTICAL CIRCULATION HAS LIKELY DECREASED AND THE SYSTEM IS NOW BEING STEERED MORE BY THE NORTHEASTERLY LOW- TO MID-LEVEL FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED OVER MEXICO. A SLOW SOUTHWEST TO WESTWARD DRIFT IS FORECAST BY ALL OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE FOR THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS...AND THEN THE MODELS DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER THAT. BLANCA IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN MORE WESTWARD...WHICH IS SIMILAR TO THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL TRACK MODELS AND THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK. SOUTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW HAS BEEN INCREASING OVER BLANCA...BUT AS THE CYCLONE DRIFTS FARTHER SOUTHWEST...THE SHEAR COULD ACTUALLY WEAKEN SLIGHTLY FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. AFTER THAT...HOWEVER... BLANCA SHOULD BEGIN EXPERIENCING 30-40 KT UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR AS INDICATED BY ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. THERE MAY BE BRIEF PERIODS OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OR BURSTING...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT...FOR THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE GENERAL TREND SHOULD BE FOR CONTINUED WEAKENING TO OCCUR DUE TO INCREASING SHEAR...DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT...AND THE CYCLONE MOVING INTO A FIELD OF STABLE STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS. IF CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION DOES NOT RE-DEVELOP...THEN A FASTER RATE OF WEAKENING WILL OCCUR. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 15.8N 105.2W 40 KT 12HR VT 20/1200Z 15.7N 105.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 21/0000Z 15.6N 106.2W 35 KT 36HR VT 21/1200Z 15.6N 106.9W 30 KT 48HR VT 22/0000Z 15.8N 107.6W 30 KT 72HR VT 23/0000Z 15.9N 108.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 24/0000Z 15.9N 110.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 25/0000Z 15.9N 112.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:10 2003 X-UIDL: 28630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR004TKH8NT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:48:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K3mEhq013695 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:48:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiFL019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:43:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:43:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K3hNvB014970 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:43:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K3hN9d007574 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:43:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K3hNmI007573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:43:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:43:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200343.h5K3hNmI007573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 200400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 15.9N5 105.1W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 105.1W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 15.7N3 105.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.6N2 106.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.6N2 106.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.8N4 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.9N5 108.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 15.9N5 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.9N5 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4 105.2W8. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201000Z3, 201600Z9, 202200Z6 AND 210400Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:12 2003 X-UIDL: 28631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR004YSHC8T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:50:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K3oOhq014628 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:50:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiFN019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:45:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:45:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K3jLvB058640 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:45:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K3jK9d007598 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:45:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K3jKAR007597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:45:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:45:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200345.h5K3jKAR007597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 200400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 15.9N5 105.1W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 105.1W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 15.7N3 105.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.6N2 106.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.6N2 106.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.8N4 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 15.9N5 108.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:12 2003 X-UIDL: 28632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CL5HLRDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:56:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K3u7hq016688 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:56:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiFT019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:50:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:50:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K3oJvB015956 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:50:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K3oJ9d007651 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:50:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K3oJQG007650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:50:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:50:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200350.h5K3oJQG007650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 200349 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUN 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:13 2003 X-UIDL: 28634-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR004BJI8MT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:09:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K49phq021234 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:09:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiFv019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 23:03:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 76030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 23:03:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K43mvB058790 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 23:03:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K43l9d007793 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 23:03:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K43lQ4007791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 23:03:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 23:03:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200403.h5K43lQ4007791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 200403 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 20 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.8N 105.2W AT 20/0300 UTC MOVING SW AT 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 82W IS NOW ALONG 82W/83W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W/92W IS NOW ALONG 92W NORTH OF 6N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 98W IS NOW LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE SURFACE. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... BLANCA HAS PEAKED AND APPEARS TO BE FURTHER WEAKENING. ALTHOUGH BLANCA IS UNDER SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR THAT COULD WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. CURRENTLY THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N82W 10N92W 8N105W 8N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 105W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 92W FROM 12N ACROSS THE AXIS TO 6N. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO FROM 91W INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N99W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 16N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR FROM 86W TO 89W INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA...INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COAST OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA FROM 1N TO 2N...AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 100W TO 102W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF THE AXIS EAST OF 105W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:14 2003 X-UIDL: 28640-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CZWNTFDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 14:10:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K6AKhq062966 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 14:10:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiMJ019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 76884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K62IvB008278 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K62I9d008726 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K62IQx008724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200602.h5K62IQx008724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191951ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.7N9 134.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTHWEST OF WAJIMA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 192100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 143.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WAVE NEAR THE SURFACE AND DOES NOT SHOW A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO HAVE DEVELOPED AT THIS TIME. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH OF THE AREA IS ENHANCING CONVECTION IN THE REGION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:18 2003 X-UIDL: 28648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CN4SHLDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:51:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K7pDhq094501 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:51:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiNd019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 02:45:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 77500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 02:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K7jdvB040768 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 02:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K7jc9d009440 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 02:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K7jcMp009439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 02:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 02:45:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200745.h5K7jcMp009439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 200745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU JUN 19 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED NEAR 09N 156W ALONG THE ITCZ TO THE SOUTH OF HAWAII. THE MODELS DO NOT DEVELOP THE SYSTEM TO ANY GREAT EXTENT AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ALONG 10N AT ABOUT 10 KT. OTHERWISE AND ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:18 2003 X-UIDL: 28652-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR004LNU9GT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:29:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K8TWhq005999 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:29:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiNl019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:24:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 77645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:24:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K8OKvB041492 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:24:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K8OK9d009820 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:24:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K8OKCh009819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:24:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:24:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200824.h5K8OKCh009819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 200824 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI JUN 20 2003 AFTER BEING DEVOID OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...NEW PATCHES OF DEEP CONVECTION HAVE RE-DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER. DVORAK T-NUMBERS SUGGEST THAT BLANCA IS BARELY A TROPICAL STORM BUT BECAUSE THERE WAS THERE WAS AN EXTREMELY WELL-DEFINED CENTER ON THE 0347Z TRMM PASSAGE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 35 KNOTS AT THIS TIME. EVERY SINGLE MODEL BUT CLIMATOLOGY WEAKENS BLANCA IN THE SHORT TERM...PRIMARILY THE NCEP GFS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR WEAKENING AND BLANCA IS EXPECTED TO BE A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 48 HOURS BUT IT COULD BE SOONER. THE WEAKENING WILL LIKELY BE CAUSED BY SHEAR SINCE THE SSTS ARE WARM ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN THE SYSTEM. BLANCA HAS BEEN DRIFTING WESTWARD OR SOUTH OF DUE WEST. A WESTWARD DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS AND BECOME STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. IN ADDITION...A RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST AND GUIDANCE. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 15.6N 105.9W 35 KT 12HR VT 20/1800Z 15.6N 106.3W 30 KT 24HR VT 21/0600Z 15.6N 107.0W 25 KT 36HR VT 21/1800Z 15.8N 107.6W 25 KT 48HR VT 22/0600Z 15.9N 108.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 23/0600Z 16.0N 109.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 24/0600Z 16.0N 111.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 25/0600Z 16.0N 112.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:19 2003 X-UIDL: 28653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00C90UCNDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:31:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K8VShq006674 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:31:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiNp019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:25:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 77653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:25:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K8P3vB036988 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:25:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K8P39d009836 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:25:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K8P3PO009835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:25:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:25:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200825.h5K8P3PO009835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 200824 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0900Z FRI JUN 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.9W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.9W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 105.7W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.6N 106.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.6N 107.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.8N 107.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.9N 108.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.0N 109.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 16.0N 111.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 16.0N 112.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 105.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 21:18:02 2003 X-UIDL: 28658-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR004A3YEXT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:59:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K9xDhq034718 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:59:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiQ3019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:46:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 78062 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:46:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K9kVvB040724 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:46:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K9kU9d010393 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K9kUtX010392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:46:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200946.h5K9kUtX010392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 200946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N156W MOVING WEST 10 KT. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N140W 10N150W THROUGH TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THROUGH 08N160W 07N170W TO 07N180W. LINE NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE CELLS MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FRONT THROUGH 30N180 31N170E FORECAST TO REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH 48 HOURS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... UPPER LOW NEAR 19N179E NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 20N175W REMAIN SPARSE AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 23S170W 20S178W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 19S180. FRONT MOVING EAST 15 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. FRONT...THROUGH 23S120W 17S130W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 11S140W TO 09S170W. FRONT/SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 21:18:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28659-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR004KFYLJT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 18:03:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KA3Dhq036175 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 18:03:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiQ9019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:50:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 78091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K9osvB041690 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K9os9d010442 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K9osQB010441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:50:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200950.h5K9osQB010441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 200950 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUN 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 21:18:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28660-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR004KIYLKT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 18:03:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KA3Ehq036180 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 18:03:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiQ7019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:48:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 78073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K9mmvB040736 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K9mm9d010411 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K9mmNG010410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:48:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200948.h5K9mmNG010410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 201000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 15.7N3 105.7W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 105.7W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.6N2 106.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.6N2 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.8N4 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.9N5 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 16.0N7 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 21:18:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CYVYLZDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 18:03:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KA3Thq036266 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 18:03:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiQ5019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:47:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 78068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:47:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K9lmvB054086 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:47:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K9lm9d010398 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:47:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K9lmGk010397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:47:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:47:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200947.h5K9lmGk010397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 201000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 15.7N3 105.7W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 105.7W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.6N2 106.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.6N2 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.8N4 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.9N5 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 16.0N7 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 16.0N7 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.0N7 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.6N2 105.9W5. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. A 200347Z6 TRMM PASS REVEALS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201600Z9, 202200Z6, 210400Z7 AND 211000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 21:18:05 2003 X-UIDL: 28663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR0044EZ4GT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 18:14:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KAEWhq039118 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 18:14:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiQB019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 05:00:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 78133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 05:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KA0vvB033316 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 05:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KA0v9d010531 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 05:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KA0vRq010530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 05:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 05:00:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201000.h5KA0vRq010530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 201000 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 20 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 105.9W AT 20/0900 UTC MOVING W AT 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 82W/83W IS NOW ALONG 83W/84W NORTH OF 8N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W IS NOW ALONG 93W NORTH OF 9N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... BLANCA IS STILL UNDER SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR BUT DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 75 NM RADIUS OF 16N106.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N82W 11N93W 8N99W 9N108W 7N116W 8N128W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 88W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N94W TO THE COAST OF GUATEMALA NEAR 14N91W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 111W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 105W AND WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N94W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 16N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA FROM 10N TO 12N AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N94W TO 10N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 5N AND WITHIN 150/180 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 93W TO 101W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 22:16:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS0043V9H6T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:58:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KDwAhq097247 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:58:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiX3019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 08:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 79622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 08:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KDjovB033156 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 08:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KDjo9d013039 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 08:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KDjoN8013038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 08:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 08:45:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201345.h5KDjoN8013038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 201345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI JUN 20 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED NEAR 10N 158W ALONG THE ITCZ TO THE SOUTH OF HAWAII. THE MODELS DO NOT DEVELOP THE SYSTEM TO ANY GREAT EXTENT AS IT MOVES WESTWARD ALONG 10N AT ABOUT 10 KT. OTHERWISE AND ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 22:47:57 2003 X-UIDL: 28677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004NEBH8T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:41:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KEfPhq007847 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:41:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiY5019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 80034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KEXdvB032578 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KEXd9d014540 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KEXcHr014539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201433.h5KEXcHr014539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 201433 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUN 20 2003 BLANCA HAS HAD ANOTHER MAJOR CONVECTIVE BURST THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...FIRST LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CONVECTION. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM AFWA...AND 35 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY REMAINS 35 KT IN THIS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 265/3. BLANCA IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...WITH LARGE-SCALE MODELS INDICATING THAT THIS FEATURE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SHOULD KEEP BLANCA ON A SLOW WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. MOST NHC GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO...ALTHOUGH ONCE AGAIN THE GUIDANCE IS SPLIT SPEEDWISE BETWEEN THE SLOWER DYNAMICAL MODELS AND THE FASTER NHC91/BAMD MODELS. THE FORECAST TRACK WILL STAY SLOW AND SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. ONE ALTERNATE POSSIBILITY IS THAT THE LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MAY CHANGE THE LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW ENOUGH FOR BLANCA TO MOVE EASTWARD...AS INDICATED BY THE GFDN. SHOULD THAT OCCUR...THE LARGER DISTURBANCE WOULD LIKELY ABSORB THE SMALLER BLANCA. BLANCA WILL CONTINUE IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF EASTERLY SHEAR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...WITH LARGE-SCALE MODELS INDICATING SOME INCREASE IN SHEAR AFTER 24 HR. THIS SHEAR...AIDED BY EXTENSIVE MID/UPPER-LEVEL DRY AIR AND STABLE LOW-LEVEL STRATOCUMULUS NEAR THE STORM...SHOULD CAUSE A STEADY WEAKENING EVEN THOUGH BLANCA SHOULD REMAIN OVER RELATIVELY WARM WATER. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR A STEADY-STATE STORM FOR 24 HR FOLLOWED BY SLOW WEAKENING UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 15.5N 106.0W 35 KT 12HR VT 21/0000Z 15.5N 106.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 21/1200Z 15.6N 107.3W 30 KT 36HR VT 22/0000Z 15.8N 108.1W 25 KT 48HR VT 22/1200Z 15.9N 108.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 23/1200Z 16.0N 110.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 24/1200Z 16.0N 112.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 22:47:58 2003 X-UIDL: 28678-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004PEBJWT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:43:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KEh2hq008228 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:43:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KB2gDD048388; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 80037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KEXdvB045934 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KEXd9d014543 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KEXdOr014542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:33:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201433.h5KEXdOr014542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 201433 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 1500Z FRI JUN 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.0W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.0W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 106.0W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.5N 106.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.6N 107.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.8N 108.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.9N 108.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N 110.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 112.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 106.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004FSFKWT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 00:10:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KG9vhq033566 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 00:09:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbibf019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:57:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 80874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:57:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KFvKvB041712 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:57:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KFvK9d017029 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:57:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KFvKlk017028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:57:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:57:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201557.h5KFvKlk017028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 201557 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 20 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 106.0W AT 20/1500 UTC MOVING W AT 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 83W/84W IS NOW ALONG 84W/85W NORTH OF 8N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 93W IS NOW ALONG 94W/95W NORTH OF 4N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1515 UTC... TROPICAL STORM BLANCA... BLANCA IS STILL UNDER SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 106W-109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N80W 10N94W 8N100W 8N110W 9N122W 8N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 101W...AND BETWEEN 103W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AREA OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD LOW PRES IS N OF 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 11N87W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:29 2003 X-UIDL: 28683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004Y4GL2T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 00:31:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KGVhhq039166 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 00:31:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbicR019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:22:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 81029 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:22:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KGMvvB032746 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:22:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KGMv9d017723 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:22:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KGMubi017722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:22:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:22:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201622.h5KGMubi017722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 201622 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUN 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILE. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD ONSHORE OVER PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:30 2003 X-UIDL: 28685-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004GEI45T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 01:04:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KH4jhq048707 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 01:04:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbidP019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:57:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 81431 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:57:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KGvHvB018994 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KGvH9d018644 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:57:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KGvHMI018643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:57:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:57:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201657.h5KGvHMI018643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 201600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 15.6N2 106.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 106.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.5N1 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.6N2 107.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.8N4 108.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.9N5 108.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.0N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- REMARKS: 201500Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 106.0W7. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201200Z5 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202200Z6, 210400Z7, 211000Z4 AND 211600Z0.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:30 2003 X-UIDL: 28687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004OTIA2T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 01:08:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KH8Jhq049806 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 01:08:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KB2gTD048388; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:59:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 81448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:59:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KGxPvB041600 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:59:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KGxO9d018709 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:59:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KGxOEQ018707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:59:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 11:59:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201659.h5KGxOEQ018707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 201600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 15.6N2 106.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 106.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.5N1 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.6N2 107.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.8N4 108.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.9N5 108.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 03 KTS //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004Z4J7TT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 01:28:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KHSUhq055173 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 01:28:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbifD019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 81693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KHLhvB044872 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KHLh9d019340 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KHLhfZ019338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201721.h5KHLhfZ019338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMAY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/BAK/KELSEY/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS00407J8TT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 01:29:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KHT9hq055323 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 01:29:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KB2gVP048388; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 81696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KHLhvB043340 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KHLh9d019341 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KHLhnm019339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 12:21:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201721.h5KHLhnm019339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMAY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/BAK/KELSEY/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:36 2003 X-UIDL: 28709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004RKQMFT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:08:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KK8Vhq001100 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:08:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMP8R048390; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 14:56:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 83865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 14:54:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJs7vB054184 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 14:54:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KJs79d023473 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 14:54:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KJs7W6023472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 14:54:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 14:54:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201954.h5KJs7W6023472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 201953 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI JUN 20 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER 525 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII HAS DECREASED. THE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN IT HAVE DIMINISHED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:36 2003 X-UIDL: 28711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS0046ORQ0T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:32:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KKWGhq009788 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:32:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJN7EF038466; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 84264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KKLsvB045980 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KKLs9d024207 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KKLsRD024205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306202021.h5KKLsRD024205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 202021 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUN 20 2003 BLANCA HAS SHEARED APART THIS AFTERNOON. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY...WHILE THE MID/UPPER-LEVEL CENTER IS MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD. THERE IS NOW LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE. BASED ON THIS AND AN SSM/I OVERPASS AT 1455Z THAT SHOWED AT BEST 30-35 KT WINDS...BLANCA IS DOWNGRADED TO A 30 KT TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE INITIAL MOTION IS SOMEWHERE BETWEEN STATIONARY AND A WESTWARD DRIFT. THERE IS ONE CHANGE TO THE SYNOPTIC REASONING FROM THE MORNING PACKAGE. IN ADDITION TO THE WEAK RIDGE NORTH OF BLANCA...THE CYCLONE IS BECOMING EMBEDDED IN THE WESTERN END OF A TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS WESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW JUST SOUTH OF BLANCA FEEDING INTO THE DISTURBANCE. NHC GUIDANCE...SAVE THE GFDN...STILL FORECASTS A WESTWARD MOTION...AND THE TRACK FORECAST WILL BE SIMILAR TO...BUT SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. HOWEVER...THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE THAT BLANCA OR ITS REMNANTS COULD BE PULLED EASTWARD AND ABSORBED INTO THE DISTURBANCE AS SHOWN BY THE GFDN. GIVEN THE TRACK RECORD OF BLANCA...THERE IS STILL A CHANCE FOR CONVECTIVE FLARE-UPS THAT COULD BRIEFLY CAUSE SOME STRENGTHENING. HOWEVER...THE OVERALL INTENSITY TREND SHOULD BE DOWN MAINLY DUE TO SHEAR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CONTINUES TO CALL FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING UNTIL DISSIPATION. SHOULD CONVECTION NOT RE-DEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER...BLANCA COULD WEAKEN FASTER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 15.5N 106.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 15.5N 106.5W 30 KT 24HR VT 21/1800Z 15.5N 107.0W 25 KT 36HR VT 22/0600Z 15.6N 107.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 22/1800Z 15.8N 108.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 23/1800Z 16.0N 109.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:37 2003 X-UIDL: 28712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS0048ARRGT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:33:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KKX9hq009953 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:33:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMP9x048390; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 84261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KKLsvB056016 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KKLs9d024206 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KKLr2T024204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:21:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306202021.h5KKLr2T024204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 202021 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 2100Z FRI JUN 20 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.1W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.1W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.0W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.5N 107.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.6N 107.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.8N 108.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.0N 109.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 106.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004KOVJTT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 05:55:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KLsuhq029936 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 05:54:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPP3048390; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:48:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 86938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:48:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KLm9vB010460 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:48:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KLm99d026253 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:48:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KLm9le026252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:48:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:48:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306202148.h5KLm9le026252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 202147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 20 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM BLANCA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION. THE STATIONARY SYSTEM IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 106.1W AT 20/2100 UTC WITH AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/ WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS A LOW NEAR 14N96W WITH AN ESTIMATED PRESSURE OF 1008 MB. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W/86W N OF 8N MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF WAVE AXIS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W N OF 4N MOVING W 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF WAVE AXIS N OF 9N. ..RIDGE AXIS IS ALONG 30N140W 18N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA... THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED TODAY WITH EASTERLY SHEAR CAUSING THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION TO BE EXPOSED. ANY REMAINING CONVECTION IS VERY SHALLOW AND WELL W OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N96W... BROAD ROTATION IS NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES WITH PLENTY OF CONVECTION. THE DISTURBANCE IS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ AXIS WHICH CONTINUES TO BE FARTHER N THAN NORMAL. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER WITH TSTMS OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-100W. HEAVY RAINS...FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE LIKELY WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. SEE MIATWOEP FOR MORE DETAILS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 12N95W 7N115W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 91W-104W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W-125W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 126W-136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 13N BETWEEN 91W-100W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:39 2003 X-UIDL: 28716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004ZBVVRT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 06:02:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KM28hq031531 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 06:02:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPPh048390; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:55:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 87223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:55:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KLtMvB056042 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:55:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KLtM9d026426 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:55:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KLtMAO026425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:55:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:55:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306202155.h5KLtMAO026425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 202155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 135 NM OF LINE 11N148W 10N162W MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N179E 28N170E IS STATIONARY. FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE EAST AROUND 22/0000 UTC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... UPPER LOW NEAR 10N177W MOVED EAST 5-10 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LOW REMAIN SPARSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S167W 21N170W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 18S176W 17S180. FRONT MOVING EAST 10 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 23S. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG REMAINDER OF FRONT/SHEAR LINE. FRONT...THROUGH 21S120W 18S125W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 15S133W 14S141W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG LINE 18S143W 16S159W 07S170W 08S180 DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST. BROKEN CUMULUS WITHIN 75 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE EAST OF 160W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG REMAINDER OF CONVERGENCE ZONE. ISOLATED CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE WEST OF 175W HAVE DIMINISHED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 06S163W 12S152W MOVED WEST 5 KT AND INTENSIFIED. CB ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:39 2003 X-UIDL: 28717-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004LLXO2T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 06:40:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMeghq039298 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 06:40:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMMPxH038466; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:30:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 88193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMTivB044938 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KMTi9d026878 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KMTiBN026877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:29:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306202229.h5KMTiBN026877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 202200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 016 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 15.5N1 106.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 106.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.5N1 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.5N1 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.6N2 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.8N4 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201800Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 106.0W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201800Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 28718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004LWXO6T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 06:40:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMelhq039317 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 06:40:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMMPx7038466; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:30:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 88177 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:27:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMRhvB044928 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KMRh9d026857 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:27:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KMRhYA026855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:27:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:27:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306202227.h5KMRhYA026855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 202200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 016 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 15.5N1 106.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 106.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.5N1 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.5N1 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.6N2 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.8N4 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201800Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 106.0W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201800Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210400Z7, 211000Z4, 211600Z0 AND 212200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 28719-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS00415Y7FT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 06:52:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMqKhq041564 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 06:52:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPTd048390; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:44:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 88433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:44:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMinvB008424 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:44:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KMin9d027072 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KMinpQ027071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 17:44:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306202244.h5KMinpQ027071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 202244 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUN 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...RECENTLY DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM AND CENTERED ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SOUTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILE. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA AS WELL AS SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 28732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00E0S72EIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 10:03:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L23fhq085916 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 10:03:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMxPL9034300; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 20:55:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 91106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 20:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L1tnvB035798 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 20:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L1tn9d029249 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 20:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L1tnPS029248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 20:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 20:55:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210155.h5L1tnPS029248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 210155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI JUN 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:45 2003 X-UIDL: 28743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EWI9MCIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 10:59:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L2wrhq098689 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 10:58:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPih048390; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 91671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L2pYvB023086 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L2pY9d029854 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L2pXl5029852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210251.h5L2pXl5029852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 210251 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0300Z SAT JUN 21 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.4W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.4W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.3W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.2N 106.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.4N 107.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.6N 107.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.8N 108.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATING EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATING OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATING REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 106.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:46 2003 X-UIDL: 28744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EWP9MEIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 10:59:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L2wuhq098698 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 10:58:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMxPPr034300; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 91674 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L2pYvB032524 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L2pY9d029855 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L2pXrL029853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:51:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Discussion Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210251.h5L2pXrL029853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 210251 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUN 20 2003 BLANCA HAS BEEN REDUCED TO A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A RECENT SMALL BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER. HIGHER CLOUDS ARE MOVING QUICKLY FROM EAST TO WEST OVER THE SWIRL INDICATIVE OF THE VERTICAL SHEAR THAT HAS AFFECTED BLANCA. THIS UNFAVORABLE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AND BLANCA IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SOON. THE WIND SPEED IS IS DECREASED TO 25 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES. THE MOTION HAS BEEN A VERY SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT. GLOBAL MODELS ALL INDICATE CONTINUED SLOW MOTION OF THE REMNANT LOW WITH DIRECTIONS OF MOTION VARYING FROM SOUTHWESTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY WITH A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE SMALL BURST OF CONVECTION PREVENTS ME FROM MAKING THIS THE LAST ADVISORY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 15.3N 106.4W 25 KT 12HR VT 21/1200Z 15.2N 106.7W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 22/0000Z 15.4N 107.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 22/1200Z 15.6N 107.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 23/0000Z 15.8N 108.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:41:55 2003 X-UIDL: 28752-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EANCP6IR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 12:05:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L45Mhq017244 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 12:05:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPkt048390; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:01:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 92368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:01:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L41ZvB025102 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L41Z9d000425 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:01:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L41ZDx000424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:01:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:01:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210401.h5L41ZDx000424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 210401 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 21 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 106.4W AT 21/0300 UTC MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITH AN ANALYZED LOW OF 1006 MB IS CENTERED NEAR 15N97W. ASSOCIATED TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W NORTH OF 5N. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY 85W/86W IS NOW ALONG 86W/87W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA... ALTHOUGH BLANCA HAS WEAKENED DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 15N107W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SYSTEM IS UNORGANIZED AT THIS TIME BUT DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING OVER GUATEMALA AND SOUTH MEXICO. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 91W TO 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 14N FROM 97W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITH CLUSTERS OF ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 9N FROM 90W TO 95W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N83W 11N96W 7N110W 10N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 124W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 126W AND WITHIN 120/150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 126W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 100W...WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 104W...AND WITHIN 120/150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS 96W TO 103W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF 7N FROM 126W TO 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 121W AND WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SEE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOVE. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE BORDER OF ECUADOR TO THE BORDER OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF WEST MEXICO FROM 18N TO 21N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 80W TO 82W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:41:57 2003 X-UIDL: 28753-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EB5CPKIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 12:05:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L45chq017281 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 12:05:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPkr048390; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:52:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 92344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:52:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L3qMvB044100 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:52:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L3qM9d000337 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:52:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L3qMwR000336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:52:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:52:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210352.h5L3qMwR000336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 210352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUN 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SOUTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:41:58 2003 X-UIDL: 28758-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00E3YERHIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 12:50:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L4nwhq028510 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 12:50:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KMxPZp034300; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 92552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L4gXvB035374 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L4gX9d000678 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L4gWd7000676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210442.h5L4gWd7000676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:41:58 2003 X-UIDL: 28759-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EQOG28IR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 13:18:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L5I0hq035400 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 13:18:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L59Ixd034302; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 00:10:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 92748 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 00:04:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L54JvB032662 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 00:04:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L54I9d000851 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 00:04:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L54Ic1000850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 00:04:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 00:04:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210504.h5L54Ic1000850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 210400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 15.3N9 106.3W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 106.3W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.2N8 106.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.4N0 107.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210000Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 106.3W0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO HAS MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210000Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211000Z4, 211600Z0 AND 212200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:00 2003 X-UIDL: 28766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00ECPN51IR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:51:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L7orhq069714 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:50:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPnJ048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 02:45:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 93572 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 02:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L7jkvB056772 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 02:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L7jk9d002083 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 02:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L7jjQq002082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 02:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 02:45:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210745.h5L7jjQq002082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 210745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI JUN 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:01 2003 X-UIDL: 28767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EAIOW1IR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:28:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L8Sfhq077508 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:28:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPnT048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:24:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 93715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:24:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L8OXvB024676 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:24:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L8OX9d002429 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:24:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L8OXIF002428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:24:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:24:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Discussion Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210824.h5L8OXIF002428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 210824 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT JUN 21 2003 BLANCA CONSISTS OF A SHAPELESS AREA OF WEAK CONVECTION BUT STILL HAS A SURFACE CIRCULATION AS INDICATED BY THE LATEST QUIKSCAT. THE DEPRESSION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN UNFAVORABLE SHEARING ENVIRONMENT SO DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN 12 HOURS OR SO. SOME PATCHES OF INTERMITTENT CONVECTION MAY STILL DEVELOP. THE CIRCULATION IS DRIFTING WESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 15.3N 106.8W 25 KT 12HR VT 21/1800Z 15.3N 107.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 22/0600Z 15.3N 107.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 22/1800Z 15.5N 108.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:01 2003 X-UIDL: 28768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EB9OWFIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:29:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L8Sthq077560 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:28:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPnR048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:23:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 93692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:23:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L8NVvB045852 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:23:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L8NU9d002424 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:23:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L8NUYH002423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:23:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:23:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210823.h5L8NUYH002423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 210823 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0900Z SAT JUN 21 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.8W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.8W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 106.6W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.3N 107.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.3N 107.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.5N 108.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 106.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 28771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EJMRVNIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:33:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L9XFhq090590 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:33:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPoJ048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:29:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 93978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L9TSvB033272 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L9TR9d002834 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L9TRsw002833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:29:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210929.h5L9TRsw002833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 211000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 15.3N9 106.6W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 106.6W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.3N9 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.3N9 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210600Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 106.6W3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210600Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211600Z0, 212200Z7 AND 220400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 28772-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EUXS56IR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:39:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L9cwhq091904 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:39:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPoL048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:34:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 94005 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:34:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L9YavB033078 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:34:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L9Ya9d002910 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:34:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L9Yalu002909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:34:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:34:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210934.h5L9Yalu002909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 211000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 15.3N9 106.6W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 106.6W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.3N9 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.3N9 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210600Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 106.6W3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210600Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 2 11600Z0, 212200Z7 AND 220400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 28773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EERSQBIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:51:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L9pehq094583 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:51:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPoT048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:46:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 94082 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:46:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L9krvB045854 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:46:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L9kq9d002975 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:46:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L9kqHb002974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:46:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:46:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210946.h5L9kqHb002974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 210946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 10N140W 12N150W 13N160W 11N170W MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N178E 28N170E IS STATIONARY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... UPPER LOW NEAR 19N175W MOVED NORTHEAST 10 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LOW NORTHEAST QUADRANT REMAIN SPARSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S165W 21N170W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 18S175W 16S180. FRONT MOVING EAST 10 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 23S. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG REMAINDER OF FRONT/SHEAR LINE. FRONT...THROUGH 21S120W 19S125W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 18S130W 15S140W 12S150W 10S160W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 28774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00ESET27IR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:58:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L9wmhq096139 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:58:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPoV048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:54:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 94112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:54:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L9sbvB038884 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:54:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L9sa9d003007 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L9safa003006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:54:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:54:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210954.h5L9safa003006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 210954 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 21 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 106.8W AT 21/0900 UTC MOVING WEST AT 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NOW INLAND OVER SOUTH MEXICO. SEE TROPICAL WAVE BELOW. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY 86W/87W IS NOW ALONG 87W/88W NORTH OF 8N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE...PREVIOUSLY TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...IS NOW ALONG 98W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA... ALTHOUGH BLANCA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO REDEVELOPED. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N107W TO 16N108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N88W 11N95W 10N110W 7N128W 9N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 131W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 105W...WITHIN 90/120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 124W...AND WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 134W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 94W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF WEST MEXICO FROM 19N TO 22N AND WITHIN 45 NM OF 7N FROM 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 86W AND 106W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO AND GUATEMALA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 28775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00E68TERIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 18:06:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LA6Khq097704 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 18:06:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPoZ048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 05:01:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 94148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 05:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LA1dvB010206 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 05:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LA1c9d003083 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 05:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LA1cb6003082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 05:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 05:01:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306211001.h5LA1cb6003082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 211001 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUN 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 305 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM EASTERN MEXICO MEXICO SOUTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:08 2003 X-UIDL: 28784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00EJX3SVIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:50:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LDolhq047391 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:50:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPt1048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 08:46:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 95310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 08:46:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LDk5vB018448 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 08:46:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LDk59d004431 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 08:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LDk5XE004430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 08:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 08:46:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306211346.h5LDk5XE004430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 211345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT JUN 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:09 2003 X-UIDL: 28787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00EGT6QYIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:54:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LEsQhq061365 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPtp048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 95556 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LEn6vB010028 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LEn69d004871 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LEn6ml004870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Discussion Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306211449.h5LEn6ml004870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 211448 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUN 21 2003 FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES INDICATE THAT BLANCA IS FARTHER EAST THAN EARLIER THOUGHT. OVERNIGHT THE CYCLONE GENERATED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER...BUT OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS STRONG EASTERLY SHEAR IS DRIVING THE WEAKENING CONVECTION FARTHER FROM THE CENTER. THIS SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND BLANCA SHOULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 24 HOURS. A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 1230Z SUGGESTS THAT MAXIMUM WINDS ARE AROUND 25 KT. THIS PASS ALSO PROVIDES A NICE EXAMPLE OF HOW OBJECTIVE AMBIGUITY- REMOVAL ALGORITHMS CAN GO ASTRAY IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AS A CLOSED CIRCULATION IS APPARENT IN THE AMBIGUITIES BUT NOT IN THE RETRIEVED VECTORS. BLANCA HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS...AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MEANDER UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 15.5N 106.1W 25 KT 12HR VT 22/0000Z 15.5N 106.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 22/1200Z 15.5N 106.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 23/0000Z 15.5N 106.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:09 2003 X-UIDL: 28788-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00EGX6R3IR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:54:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LEsVhq061376 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:54:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPtr048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 95559 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LEncvB030570 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LEnb9d004876 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LEnbOx004875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:49:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306211449.h5LEnbOx004875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 211449 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 1500Z SAT JUN 21 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.1W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.1W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.1W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.5N 106.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.5N 106.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.5N 106.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 106.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 22 06:02:00 2003 X-UIDL: 28791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00ED5A5CIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 00:08:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LG7phq077748 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 00:07:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPx1048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:04:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:04:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LG4HvB010722 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:04:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LG4G9d005468 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:04:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LG4Gln005467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:04:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:04:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306211604.h5LG4Gln005467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 211604 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 21 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..STATIONARY TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA CENTER NEAR 15.5N 106.1W. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 78W NOW 79W/80W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W IN COASTAL PLAINS AND WATERS OF COLOMBIA...NEAR SOUTHERN END OF WAVE AND MORE OR LESS IN AREA OF ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 87W/88W NOW 88W/89W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 98W NOW 99W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE IN THE SW GULF OF MEXICO AT 21/1045 UTC...NOW DISSIPATED. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS FROM10N TO MEXICO COAST NEAR 16N BETWEEN 95W IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND 100W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 11N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1530 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA... STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN ONE CLUSTER...FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 106W AND 109W AT 21/1045W...HAVE DISSIPATED. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN ONE CLUSTER IN COASTAL PLAINS OF MEXICO FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 103W AND 106W AT 21/1045 UTC HAVE DISSIPATED. SOME ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AND MOVED OFFSHORE...FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 11N100W 11N110W 8N126W 7N136W 7N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 135W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 22 06:02:02 2003 X-UIDL: 28793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00EVKBJFIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 00:38:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LGbrhq083769 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 00:37:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPxB048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:35:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:35:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LGZPvB041594 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:35:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LGZP9d005743 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:35:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LGZPvn005742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:35:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 11:35:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306211635.h5LGZPvn005742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 211635 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUN 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A LARGE DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 22 06:02:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00ER9KZJIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:02:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LK1xhq030847 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:02:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJP7J048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 14:56:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98018 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 14:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LJu9vB035452 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 14:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LJu89d007469 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 14:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LJu8ka007468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 14:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 14:56:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306211956.h5LJu8ka007468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 211955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT JUN 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 22 06:02:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00E55MHVIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:34:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LKYbhq037431 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:34:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFnrGD038762; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LKV6vB021456 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LKV59d007808 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LKV5AG007807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306212031.h5LKV5AG007807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 212030 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 2100Z SAT JUN 21 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.0W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.0W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 106.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.5N 106.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.5N 106.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.5N 106.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 106.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 22 06:02:05 2003 X-UIDL: 28800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00E5KMI7IR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:34:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LKYmhq037465 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:34:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJP8f048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LKVOvB030548 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LKVO9d007821 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LKVO2F007820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:31:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306212031.h5LKVO2F007820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 212031 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT JUN 21 2003 BLANCA IS CURRENTLY DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION...WITH A SOMEWHAT EGG-SHAPED LOW-CLOUD SWIRL SITTING UNDER STRONG UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLIES. STILL...BLANCA IS OVER 28C WATER AND HAS GENERATED DEEP CONVECTION EACH OF THE PAST TWO NIGHTS...AND IT COULD EASILY DO SO AGAIN TONIGHT. IN FACT...THE SHIPS INTENSITY GUIDANCE CALLS FOR BLANCA TO REGAIN STORM STATUS. HOWEVER...GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE SHEAR SHOULD PERSIST FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER COUPLE OF DAYS...AND SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A CONTINUED GRADUAL DECAY. THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW AROUND BLANCA IS WEAK...WITH A BROAD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE INTERFERING WITH A CLIMATOLOGICAL DESTINY OF A COLD-WATER DEATH. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS STATIONARY AND LITTLE NET MOTION IS EXPECTED WHILE THE SYSTEM WINDS DOWN. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 15.5N 106.0W 25 KT 12HR VT 22/0600Z 15.5N 106.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 22/1800Z 15.5N 106.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 23/0600Z 15.5N 106.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 22 06:02:05 2003 X-UIDL: 28801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00E34PWTIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:48:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LLmIhq052940 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:48:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFnrKV038762; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:45:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:44:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LLiAvB056990 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:44:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LLiA9d008531 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:44:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LLiA99008530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:44:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:44:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306212144.h5LLiA99008530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 212143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 21 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..STATIONARY TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA CENTER NEAR 15.5N 106.0W. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 79W NOW 80W/81W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COVER ALMOST ALL OF PANAMA AND EXTEND SOUTHWARD OVER THE FAR EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN TO 4N BETWEEN 79W AND 82W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 88W/89W NOW 90W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 88W AND 92W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 99W NOW 100W/101W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS COVER A LARGE AREA FROM 10N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 93W AND 99W...AND FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 99W AND 105W. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 11N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2130 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA... BLANCA CONSISTS OF A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH ONLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION. STRONG EASTERLY SHEAR CONTINUES OVER THE SYSTEM AT THIS TIME INHIBITING ANY LASTING DEEP CONVECTION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 11N100W 11N110W 8N126W 7N136W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 112W...AND WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. COBB $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 22 06:02:05 2003 X-UIDL: 28802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00E9TQ7WIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:55:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LLt0hq054110 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPBv048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:53:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:53:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LLr1vB057034 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:53:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LLr19d008658 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:53:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LLr1Ip008657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:53:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:53:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306212153.h5LLr1Ip008657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN31 PHNC 212200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 22 06:02:06 2003 X-UIDL: 28803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00EBIQAPIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:56:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LLufhq054438 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:56:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPBl048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:52:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:52:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LLq2vB005206 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:52:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LLq29d008636 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LLq1sI008635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:52:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:52:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 1. Tropical Depression 02e (blanca) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306212152.h5LLq1sI008635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 212200 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 15.5N1 106.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 106.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.5N1 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.5N1 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211800Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 106.0W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220400Z8, 221000Z5 AND 221600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 22 06:02:06 2003 X-UIDL: 28804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00EIQQHWIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 06:01:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LM11hq055356 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 06:01:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPC3048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:57:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:57:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LLvWvB018570 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:57:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LLvW9d008698 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:57:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LLvWkj008697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:57:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:57:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306212157.h5LLvWkj008697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 212157 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 05N140W 05N158W 08N166W 04N180. OCCASIONAL CB AND SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 90NM OF LINE 05N140W 06N146W 13N155W 08N180 AND EXTENDING EAST. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 31N180 28N170E IS STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 30N177W 27N179W 26N178E. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 21S121W 14S139W 16S142W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 100NM OF FRONT EAST OF 130W AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT WEST OF 130W. FRONT...THROUGH 25S158W 19S160W 15S165W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 13S170W. AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 17S154W 09S143W 22S140W 30S154W 19S157W 17S154W WITH ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF POINT 19S144W AND BOUNDED BY 17S154W 20S150W 25S154W 19S157W 17S154W ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF FRONT. CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE THROUGH 09S170W 07S180 08S169E. AREA OF OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 04S180 09S170W 10S173E 07S169E 04S180 HAS MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:21:59 2003 X-UIDL: 29718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00DUKV7Z2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 15:52:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h637qd4q091932 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 15:52:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6353xh9040980; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 02:46:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 66289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 02:46:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h637kJc9044810 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 02:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h637kI9d003867 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 02:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h637kIJ4003866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 02:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 02:46:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307030746.h637kIJ4003866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 030745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUL 02 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:07 2003 X-UIDL: 29729-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00DFM1882P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 18:02:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63A2N4q034631 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 18:02:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6353xi3040980; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 04:55:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 66685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 04:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h639tec9055774 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 04:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h639te9d005043 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 04:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h639tdmU005042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 04:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 04:55:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307030955.h639tdmU005042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 030955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 06N156W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07N179E 04N179W 02N178E 07N175E MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 11S172W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 02S169W 02S173W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:08 2003 X-UIDL: 29731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00DLK1OA2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 18:12:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63AC34q037175 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 18:12:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6353xi5040980; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:02:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 66693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:02:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63A2dc9052652 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:02:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63A2c9d005115 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:02:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63A2crN005114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:02:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:02:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307031002.h63A2crN005114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 031002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUL 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:08 2003 X-UIDL: 29733-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00DXJ1VW2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 18:16:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63AGb4q038266 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 18:16:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6353xiD040980; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:10:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 66730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:10:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63AAqc9055804 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:10:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63AAp9d005176 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:10:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63AAp0Z005175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:10:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 05:10:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307031010.h63AAp0Z005175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 031010 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 03 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 82W/83W NOW ALONG 84W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 98W/99W NOW ALONG 100W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 106W/107W NOW ALONG 107W/108W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 103W AND 106W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 117W/118W NOW ALONG 119W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED CELL OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 114W AND 116W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N100W 8N115W 7N129W 7N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG...WITH WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 117W. ISOLATED CELL OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 114W AND 116W...EAST OF THE 117W/118W TROPICAL WAVE. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...DISSIPATING A LITTLE BIT WITH SOME WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS...IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW... IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE EMERGED OFFSHORE...FROM MEXICO INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...FROM 12N TO THE COAST BETWEEN 93W AND 97W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:13 2003 X-UIDL: 29739-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00DRMBYH2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 21:54:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63Ds94q094638 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 21:54:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6353xmB040980; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 08:46:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 68078 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 08:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63Dk1c9020584 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 08:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63Dk19d007989 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 08:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63Dk0rI007988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 08:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 08:46:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307031346.h63Dk0rI007988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 031345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUL 03 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:18 2003 X-UIDL: 29749-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHD00F2QKL7RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 10:07:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6227l4q051230 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 10:07:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61KYTpV021256; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:01:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48643 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:01:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6221vc9052666 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:01:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6221v9d001658 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:01:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6221uYx001657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:01:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:01:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307020201.h6221uYx001657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 020200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE JUL 1 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:22 2003 X-UIDL: 29760-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHD00FEQBQVRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 06:56:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61Mum4q001861 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 06:56:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61KYThL021256; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:46:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 46555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61MkBc9042552 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61MkA9d029118 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61MkAPL029117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:46:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307012246.h61MkAPL029117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 012246 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:22 2003 X-UIDL: 29764-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHD00FSSA9GRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 06:24:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61MOe4q095396 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 06:24:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h616SA63039894; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:03:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 46051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:03:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61M3Ic9020902 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:03:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61M3I9d028452 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:03:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61M3IZB028451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:03:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 17:03:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307012203.h61M3IZB028451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 012201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 13N177W 11N166W 03N168W 03N177W 08N180 12N179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 11N140W 09N145W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... SHEAR LINE/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS...WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S ARE BOUNDED BY 12S163W 25S131W 25S147W 14S163W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTH OF 20S...MOVING EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT ELSEWHERE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:24 2003 X-UIDL: 29769-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHD00E1991VZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 05:58:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61LwZ4q089792 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 05:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h616SA5f039894; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 16:41:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 45893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 16:41:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61LfUc9025330 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 16:41:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61LfT9d027722 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 16:41:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61LfTUZ027721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 16:41:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 16:41:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307012141.h61LfTUZ027721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 012141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 01 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE OVER COLOMBIA ALONG 76W-77W MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION W OF AXIS OVER PANAMA N OF 7N BETWEEN 77W-83W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 91W-98W AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 93W-97W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-13N BETWEEN 102W-110W. ..LOW LEVEL TROUGH...REMNANTS OF CARLOS...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS W OF PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 106W-109W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N140W TO 22N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 9N113W 6N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 83W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 106W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 115W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N FROM 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:33 2003 X-UIDL: 29794-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00FM4QZ2RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 01:23:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62HNJ4q035885 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 01:23:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6257Z0v040976; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:16:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 57000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:16:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62HFxc9040170 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:15:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62HFx9d019011 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:15:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62HFwRX019009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:15:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307021715.h62HFwRX019009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:33 2003 X-UIDL: 29795-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00FJXQXXRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 01:22:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62HMZ4q035680 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 01:22:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62HAbdH052688; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:16:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 57003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:16:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62HFxc9028558 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:15:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62HFx9d019010 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:15:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62HFwLf019008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:15:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307021715.h62HFwLf019008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:34 2003 X-UIDL: 29797-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00F2WP4MRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:43:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62GhO4q024142 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:43:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6257ZwN040976; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 11:33:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 56162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 11:33:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62GXgc9039122 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 11:33:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62GXg9d017448 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 11:33:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62GXgDN017447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 11:33:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 11:33:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307021633.h62GXgDN017447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 021631 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...IS ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...BUT SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:34 2003 X-UIDL: 29801-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00FFKNORRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:12:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62GCJ4q015575 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:12:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6257Zul040976; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 10:51:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 55584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 10:51:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62Fpwc9025232 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 10:51:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62Fpv9d015888 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 10:51:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62FpvNU015887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 10:51:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 10:51:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307021551.h62FpvNU015887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 021543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 02 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 79W IS NOW ALONG 80W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. MODERATE SLY FLOW HAS OVERSPREAD THE GULF OF PANAMA BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE WAVE AXIS AND WEAK CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED IN VISIBLE IMAGERY JUST N OF THE PANAMA CANAL ZONE. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN THE GULF OF PANAMA. ..TROPICAL WAVE INTRODUCED ALONG 96W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. TWO SEPARATE AREAS OF CONVECTION ARE MOVING WWD WITH THE WAVE BUT THE BEST CYCLONIC SIGNATURE IS WITH THE SRN CLUSTER WITHIN THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 94W-99W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 95W-97W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 98W/99W IS REPOSITIONED ALONG 104W MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE HAS BEEN REPOSITIONED BASED ON A WELL-DEFINED SIGNATURE IN VISIBLE IMAGERY WITH CLUSTERS OF TSTMS ROTATING AROUND A COMMON CENTER ALONG 10N WITHIN THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 101W-107W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 108W IS REPOSITIONED ALONG 115W MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 115W-117W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 17N134W 13N137W 8N139W DRIFTING W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 20N W OF 120W. AN AREA OF LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXTENDS FROM 20N-30N BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 7N78W 6N82W 10N105W 10N117W 6N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM CELLS FROM THE ITCZ AXIS TO THE COSTA RICAN COAST BETWEEN 84W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N105W-8N111W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-127W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 129W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF GUATEMALA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 90W-92W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:39 2003 X-UIDL: 29809-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00F5THAFRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:54:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62Ds74q068788 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:54:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6257ZmX040976; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 08:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 53663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 08:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62Djoc9028504 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 08:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62Djn9d009018 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 08:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62DjnUk009017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 08:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 08:45:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307021345.h62DjnUk009017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 021345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUL 02 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:41 2003 X-UIDL: 29813-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00F7171VRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 18:13:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62ACx4q001631 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 18:13:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6257ZgZ040976; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 05:06:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51629 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 05:06:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62A6Gc9034348 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 05:06:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62A6F9d005959 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 05:06:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62A6Fj3005958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 05:06:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 05:06:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307021006.h62A6Fj3005958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 021005 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1045 UTC WED 02 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 77W/78W NOW ALONG 79W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 97W NOW ALONG 98W/99W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 106W/107W NOW ALONG 108W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROUGH 18N136W 7N138W...DRIFTING WEST. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 10N100W 11N113W 8N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG...WITH SOME WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 102W AND 104W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 118W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM ALREADY DISSIPATED CONVECTIVE...AND STILL LINGERING ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45-60 NM RADIUS OF 15.5N 94.4W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:41 2003 X-UIDL: 29814-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00F786I3RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 18:01:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62A184q098186 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 18:01:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6257ZgN040976; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51590 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h629tic9037820 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h629th9d005856 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h629th3Q005855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:55:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307020955.h629th3Q005855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 020955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...08N140W 09N143W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N169W 08N169W 10N175W MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:42 2003 X-UIDL: 29816-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00FKK59KRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:34:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h629YO4q090681 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:34:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6257Zfn040976; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:27:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h629Rwc9038998 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h629Rv9d005650 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h629RvTj005649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:27:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307020927.h629RvTj005649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 020927 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A POORLY-ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:43 2003 X-UIDL: 29819-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00FEF0J4RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:52:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h627q74q058332 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:52:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h616SAFn039894; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 02:46:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 02:46:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h627kgc9044930 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 02:46:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h627kg9d004730 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 02:46:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h627kgoP004729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 02:46:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 02:46:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307020746.h627kgoP004729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 020745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE JUL 01 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:44 2003 X-UIDL: 29828-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00DC5P9B2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 13:43:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h635hn4q049121 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 13:43:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62I0wsT039894; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:37:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 65794 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:37:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h635bXc9051618 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:37:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h635Ux9d002933 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h635Ud2F002929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:30:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:30:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307030530.h635Ud2F002929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 132.8E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 127.3E3 APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:45 2003 X-UIDL: 29830-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00DF2LA52P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:18:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h634Hv4q021998 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:17:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62I0wrx039894; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 23:10:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 64836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 23:10:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h634Avc9040226 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 23:10:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h634Av9d002192 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 23:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h634AvJX002191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 23:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 23:10:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307030410.h634AvJX002191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 030410 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 03 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 81W NOW ALONG 82W/83W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 97W/98W NOW ALONG 98W/99W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 105W/106W NOW ALONG 106W/107W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...PART OF THE ITCZ...FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 116W/117W NOW ALONG 117W/118W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS EASILY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THIS WAVE. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 10N100W 9N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE EMERGED OFFSHORE...FROM MEXICO INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN...FROM 12N TO THE COAST BETWEEN 93W AND 97W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:45 2003 X-UIDL: 29832-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00DVKJDL2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 11:36:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h633am4q007144 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 11:36:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62IwSR7056370; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 22:31:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 64474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 22:31:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h633V4c9049936 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 22:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h633V49d001636 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 22:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h633V40E001635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 22:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 22:31:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307030331.h633V40E001635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 030327 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:46 2003 X-UIDL: 29836-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00D2IFAL2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 10:08:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6328c4q078450 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 10:08:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62I0wo3039894; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:02:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 63525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:02:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6322Kc9020810 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:02:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6322J9d000743 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6322JNN000742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:02:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307030202.h6322JNN000742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 030200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUL 02 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:47 2003 X-UIDL: 29837-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00D7U6162P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 06:48:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62MmY4q028634 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 06:48:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62I0wkV039894; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:38:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:38:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62McKc9008706 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:38:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62McK9d028387 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:38:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62McKsc028386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:38:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:38:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307022238.h62McKsc028386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 022238 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUL 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...HVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:47 2003 X-UIDL: 29838-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00D5E5ZH2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 06:47:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62MlX4q028368 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 06:47:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62IwS3t056370; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:38:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61832 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62Mbpc9008954 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:37:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62Mbp9d028379 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62MbpH2028378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:37:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307022237.h62MbpH2028378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 022237 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 02 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. ALL ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS N OF THE AREA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W N OF 5N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR PUERTO ANGEL MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAKENING AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 95W-100W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W FROM 5N-15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS IS THE MOST ACTIVE OF THE WAVES CURRENTLY BEING TRACKED WITH A LARGE AREA OF NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 102W-107W. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A FAIRLY WELL DEFINED YET BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING WITH THE WAVE. HOWEVER...THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF IMMEDIATE ORGANIZATION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ONLY ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE WITHIN 2 DEG EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 9N126W NW TO 17N132W BASED ON QUIKSCAT DATA. THE TROUGH IS DRIFTING W WITH NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION OUTSIDE THE ITCZ. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N130N SE TO THE S BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 25N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2200 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 5N78W 7N100W 8N110W 6N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 84W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 6N104W-9N114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 123W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:47 2003 X-UIDL: 29839-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00FXX46WRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 06:08:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62M8i4q020065 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 06:08:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62IwOjv040978; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:02:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61579 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:02:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62M2gc9015794 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:02:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62M2g9d027948 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:02:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62M2gn4027947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:02:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 17:02:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307022202.h62M2gn4027947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 022201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... UPPER TROUGH/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 13N176W 16N171W 10N165W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07N180 06N177W 03N176W 02N180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N166W 04N162W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 09N159W 07N155W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 28N173W 26N170W 27N169W. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 14N177E 09N177W 08N179W 10N175E 14N175E HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... SHEAR LINE/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 16S151W 20S139W 22S136W 23S130W 25S126W 25S143W 21S146W 17S153W. FEATURE MOVING EAST SLOWLY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:48 2003 X-UIDL: 29841-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00FQ9YV6RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 04:13:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62KDj4q089668 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 04:13:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62IwOg3040978; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:04:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:04:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62K4Kc9040700 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:04:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62K4K9d024896 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:04:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62K4KQs024895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:04:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:04:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307022004.h62K4KQs024895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 022000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED JUL 02 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:50 2003 X-UIDL: 29851-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00E468N3OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:54:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UJsV4q084137 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:54:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8osMj039894; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:47:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 31067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:47:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UJl0c9046342 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:47:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UJkx9d025687 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:46:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UJkxdU025686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:46:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:46:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306301946.h5UJkxdU025686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 301946 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUN 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LOOS/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:51 2003 X-UIDL: 29854-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00EYU7I8OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:30:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UJTx4q075804 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:30:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8osLH039894; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30544 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UJCrc9027754 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UJCl9d024553 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UJClAA024551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306301912.h5UJClAA024551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800ZJUN/011800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:52 2003 X-UIDL: 29856-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00ENE7D0OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:27:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UJQn4q074583 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:26:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57g15052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UJCmc9037864 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UJCm9d024554 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UJClwo024552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:12:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306301912.h5UJClwo024552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800ZJUN/011800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:54 2003 X-UIDL: 29863-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00EG21N2OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 01:23:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UHNI4q036312 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 01:23:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gsn052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:11:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 28673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:11:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UHB9c9025122 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:11:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UHB99d020139 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:11:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UHB9IB020138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:11:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:11:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306301711.h5UHB9IB020138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 301710 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUN 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:55 2003 X-UIDL: 29869-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00E6IXRHOO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 23:59:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UFxX4q009345 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 23:59:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gpB052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 10:41:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 27641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 10:41:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UFfWc9027682 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 10:41:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UFfW9d017035 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 10:41:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UFfWGf017034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 10:41:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 10:41:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306301541.h5UFfWGf017034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 301539 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 30 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 87W/88W IS NOW ALONG 89W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF EL SALVADOR FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 89W-91W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W/98W IS NOW ALONG 98W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION MOVING W FROM THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 93W-98W. OTHER CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 16N135W 8N136W. ALL CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 20N W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N138W 21N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 7N78W 6N86W 9N112W 7N122W 10N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION S OF PANAMA FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 77W-82W. ISOLATED MODERATE EXTENDING S OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 45NM OF A LINE FROM 11N84W 8N84W 4N83W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-117W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TSTM CELLS WITHIN 90NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-142W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF T.S. CARLOS FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 104W-106W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 19N-22N E OF 107W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:59 2003 X-UIDL: 29879-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00EN7SDUOO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 22:03:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UE3I4q074693 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 22:03:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gjf052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 08:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 25914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 08:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UDtac9039156 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 08:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UDtZ9d012801 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 08:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UDtZcU012800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 08:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 08:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306301355.h5UDtZcU012800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 301355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON JUN 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:03 2003 X-UIDL: 29899-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00ELED6CZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 18:30:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61AU44q092725 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 18:30:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gQn052994; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 05:13:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 38416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 05:13:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61ADWc9038164 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 05:13:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61ADV9d007880 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 05:13:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61ADVGv007879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 05:13:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 05:13:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307011013.h61ADVGv007879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 011013 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 01 JUL 2003 ..CORRECTION FOR DATE/TIME... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 93W NOW ALONG 94W/95W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. STRONG CELLS OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY STRETCH FROM THE SW GULF OF MEXICO...ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC...INTO THE NW GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 20 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 18N94W 16N96W. ALSO...THERE IS A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE 25N93W GULF OF MEXICO CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER TO 20N98W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 101W/102W NOW ALONG 103W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..QUASI-STATIONARY TROUGH 16N135W 8N138W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 135W AND 137W...AND FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 9N100W 9N112W 7N120W 6N132W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG...WITH SOME WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 98W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG...WITH AREAS OF WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY... WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS EAST OF 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:03 2003 X-UIDL: 29900-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00E6JCTVZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 18:22:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61AMZ4q090243 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 18:22:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gQl052994; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:59:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 38378 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h619xpc9052550 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:59:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h619xp9d007741 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h619xpLq007740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:59:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307010959.h619xpLq007740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 010959 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 01 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 93W NOW ALONG 94W/95W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. STRONG CELLS OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY STRETCH FROM THE SW GULF OF MEXICO...ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC...INTO THE NW GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 20 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 18N94W 16N96W. ALSO...THERE IS A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE 25N93W GULF OF MEXICO CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER TO 20N98W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 101W/102W NOW ALONG 103W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..QUASI-STATIONARY TROUGH 16N135W 8N138W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 135W AND 137W...AND FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 9N100W 9N112W 7N120W 6N132W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG...WITH SOME WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 98W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG...WITH AREAS OF WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY... WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS EAST OF 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:03 2003 X-UIDL: 29901-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00E1YCP5ZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 18:19:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61AJk4q089375 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 18:19:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gQj052994; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:55:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 38374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h619tSc9038986 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:55:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h619tS9d007722 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h619tSkv007721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307010955.h619tSkv007721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 010955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10N140W 09N152W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. CB ARE CONTINUALLY FORMING...DISSIPATING AND REFORMING. AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM OF LINE 11N161W 06N180 MOVED WEST 12 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... BRIEF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 30N170W 20N177W FORMING BENEATH AN UPPER TROUGH. TROUGH NEARLY STATIONARY WITH AXIS ALONG LINE 30N170W 20N180. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... STATIONARY FRONT THROUGH 25S134W 19S150W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH TO 13S166W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG FRONT/TROUGH. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH/FRONT HAVE DISSIPATED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:04 2003 X-UIDL: 29902-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00EADC1XZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 18:05:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61A5l4q084342 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 18:05:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gQd052994; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:49:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 38343 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h619nMc9038938 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:49:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h619nM9d007672 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h619nMXf007671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:49:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307010949.h619nMXf007671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 010949 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUL 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:05 2003 X-UIDL: 29906-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00EJR6YKZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 16:15:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h618Fm4q054024 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 16:15:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gPP052994; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 02:55:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 02:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h617tkc9021858 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 02:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h617tj9d006561 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 02:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h617tjJF006560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 02:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 02:55:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307010755.h617tjJF006560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 010755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON JUN 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:08 2003 X-UIDL: 29916-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00E2XR4DZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 23:31:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61FVI4q079270 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 23:31:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h616SAkj039894; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 10:21:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 40631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 10:21:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61FLZc9039152 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 10:21:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61FLZ9d014820 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 10:21:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61FLZ8E014819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 10:21:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 10:21:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307011521.h61FLZ8E014819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 011521 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 01 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W/96W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N95W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 7N105W 12N103W 11N100W. ..THE REMNANTS OF CARLOS CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF TROUGH AXIS ALONG 18N107W 22N107W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N140W 22N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N115W 6N125W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 79W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 120W-135W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 137W-140W. SMALL CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 9N136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N91W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:10 2003 X-UIDL: 29921-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00EDSN9CZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 22:08:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61E7p4q055392 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 22:07:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61D34d3050064; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 08:55:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 39740 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 08:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61Dthc9045010 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 08:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61Dtg9d011756 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 08:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61DtgiK011755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 08:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 08:55:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307011355.h61DtgiK011755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 011355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE JUL 1 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:12 2003 X-UIDL: 29927-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHD00EW8400ZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:09:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61K9S4q060759 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:09:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61D34u5050064; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:03:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 44495 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:03:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61K3Bc9020854 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:03:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61K3A9d024832 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:03:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61K3AQw024831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:03:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:03:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307012003.h61K3AQw024831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 012000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE JUL 1 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:15 2003 X-UIDL: 29938-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00ERJUQWZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 00:49:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61Gna4q000990 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 00:49:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61D34il050064; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:40:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:40:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61Geec9053194 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:40:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61Gea9d017680 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:40:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61GeaMI017679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:40:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:40:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307011640.h61GeaMI017679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 011640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:15 2003 X-UIDL: 29940-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00EGZTVFZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 00:30:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61GUi4q095984 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 00:30:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h616SAlB039894; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61GJIc9038926 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61GJI9d016951 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61GJIUP016948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307011619.h61GJIUP016948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:15 2003 X-UIDL: 29941-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00EAWTRPZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 00:28:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61GSQ4q095352 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 00:28:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61D34hp050064; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61GJIc9056792 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61GJI9d016949 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61GJIpO016947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:19:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307011619.h61GJIpO016947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z/021800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:16 2003 X-UIDL: 29942-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHD00FITQRZRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:21:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h624LK4q096243 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 12:21:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61KYTst021256; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 23:06:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 49700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 23:06:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62460c9041288 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 23:06:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h624609d002948 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 23:06:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62460HQ002947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 23:06:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 23:06:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307020406.h62460HQ002947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 020405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 02 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE READY TO MOVE JUST WEST OF COLOMBIA... NOW ALONG 77W/78W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 96W NOW ALONG 97W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 105W NOW ALONG 106W/107W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 10N100W 9N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 121W AND 126W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM SOUTH OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 97W...AND WITHIN 250 NM NORTH OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM ALREADY DISSIPATED CONVECTIVE...AND STILL LINGERING ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:16 2003 X-UIDL: 29943-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHD00FLRP3URC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 11:45:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h623jI4q084843 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 11:45:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61KYTsF021256; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 22:38:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 49545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 22:38:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h623cnc9020592 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 22:38:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h623cn9d002636 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 22:38:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h623cnvX002635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 22:38:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 22:38:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307020338.h623cnvX002635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 020335 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A POORLY-ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:17 2003 X-UIDL: 29947-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900CP0K28PU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 06:06:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TM614q097835 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 06:06:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T2709T052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:00:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:00:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TM0Xc9037644 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:00:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5TM0X9d003668 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:00:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5TM0XiX003667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:00:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:00:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306292200.h5TM0XiX003667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 292200 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 29 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION TO THE W FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 85W-91W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W/95W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 91W-100W. ..1009 MB LOW OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO HAS WEAKENED TO A TROF ALONG 134W FROM 12N-18N. TROF REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY AND IS PRODUCING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION TO THE W FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 104W-106W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 100W-106W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 10N137W NE TO 16N133W DRIFTING WEST. ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERING NW PORTION OF AREA ALONG 32N135W SW TO BEYOND 30N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 27N140W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO 20N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N87W 7N100W 10N112W 7N120W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 102W-108W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 115W-120W AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 128W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:17 2003 X-UIDL: 29948-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900COQK1XPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 06:05:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TM5o4q097797 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 06:05:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T2709V052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:02:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:02:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TM2ec9030990 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:02:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5TM2d9d003703 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:02:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5TM2d5f003702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:02:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:02:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306292202.h5TM2d5f003702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 292202 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF CARLOS ARE CENTERED ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:18 2003 X-UIDL: 29949-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900CH9JT8PU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 06:00:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TM0Y4q096936 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 06:00:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T2709R052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 16:55:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18345 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 16:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TLtnc9039004 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 16:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5TLtm9d003615 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 16:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5TLtmZ0003614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 16:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 16:55:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306292155.h5TLtmZ0003614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 292155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10N149W 09N142W 11N140W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 26N175W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SECOND SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N157W 10N151W 04N150W 05N155W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. THIRD SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N168W 05N161W 03N169W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 18S147W 28S135W MOVED MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 11S167W 12S164W 14S160W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S177W 08S171W 12S174W MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:19 2003 X-UIDL: 29954-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900COIDW9PU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 03:52:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TJqn4q070676 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 03:52:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T2705h052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 14:45:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 17240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 14:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TJjsc9044136 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 14:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5TJjr9d002386 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 14:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5TJjrJD002385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 14:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 14:45:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306291945.h5TJjrJD002385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 291945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN JUN 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:21 2003 X-UIDL: 29960-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900CHL7EHPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 01:32:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5THWZ4q035308 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 01:32:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TGZ8fp038898; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 15560 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5THPZc9026314 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5THPY9d000662 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5THPY2T000660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306291725.h5THPY2T000660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:22 2003 X-UIDL: 29961-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900CD97BBPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 01:30:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5THUd4q034814 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 01:30:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8osln039894; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 15557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5THPZc9056214 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5THPY9d000661 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5THPY2W000659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:25:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306291725.h5THPY2W000659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:22 2003 X-UIDL: 29962-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900C9Y3M7PU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:10:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TGAj4q017889 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:10:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270wj052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 11:06:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 15020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 11:06:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TG6vc9037886 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 11:06:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5TG6u9d029883 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 11:06:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5TG6ukT029882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 11:06:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 11:06:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306291606.h5TG6ukT029882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 291606 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF CARLOS ARE CENTERED ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:22 2003 X-UIDL: 29963-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900CMO28SPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:41:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TFf54q011378 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:41:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8oskD039894; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 10:36:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 14659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 10:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TFaRc9037746 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 10:36:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5TFaR9d029588 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 10:36:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5TFaRkY029587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 10:36:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 10:36:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306291536.h5TFaRkY029587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 291536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 29 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 84W-87W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W/94W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS N OF 12N. ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER STATIONARY NEAR 16N103W...THE REMNANTS OF CARLOS. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 15N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 101W-105W. ..TROUGH FROM 17N133W TO 10N135W...DRIFTING W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS ON E SIDE OF TROUGH NEAR 14N133W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 28N139W 19N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 9N91W 9N110W 8N119W 10N130W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE E OF 81W BETWEEN 2N-9N. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF ITCZ FROM 94W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 114W-117W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF POINTS 9N127W AND 10N140W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 100W-105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF 10.5N89W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:24 2003 X-UIDL: 29968-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CR1Y0FPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 22:09:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TE9h4q092351 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 22:09:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270tP052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:01:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 13802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TE1Xc9026796 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:01:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5TE1X9d028841 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5TE1XIw028840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:01:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306291401.h5TE1XIw028840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 291400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN JUN 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:26 2003 X-UIDL: 29973-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CO9N0YPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 18:12:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TACS4q044773 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 18:12:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270oT052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 05:02:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 05:02:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TA2Dc9013566 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 05:02:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5TA2D9d027115 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 05:02:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5TA2D0P027114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 05:02:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 05:02:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306291002.h5TA2D0P027114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 291001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N161W 06N156W 01N160W 06N161W 08N172W 10N168W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N148W 05N145W 04N147W 04N152W 06N152W 08N150W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10N145W 09N141W 10N140W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 12 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 01S172W 07S170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SHEAR LINE/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S167W 15S157W 11S173W 08S172W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 15S149W 22S139W 25S139W 25S141W 18S150W 15S150W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:26 2003 X-UIDL: 29974-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CKAMW0PU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 18:09:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TA9T4q044147 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 18:09:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8oscn039894; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:57:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:57:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T9vsc9027596 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:57:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5T9vs9d027048 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:57:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5T9vseK027047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:57:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:57:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306290957.h5T9vseK027047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 290957 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:27 2003 X-UIDL: 29976-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CZ4M7ZPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:55:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T9t34q041359 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 17:55:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270oF052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:41:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:41:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T9fcc9010444 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:41:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5T9fb9d026984 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5T9fbDl026983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:41:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:41:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306290941.h5T9fbDl026983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 290941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 29 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 81W NOW ALONG 82W/83W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 90W/91W NOW ALONG 92W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 9N86W 11N89W 13N91W 15N93W. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N103W...DRIFTING NORTHWEST. IT IS LIKELY THAT THIS LOW CENTER REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF T.D. CARLOS. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W. ..TROUGH FROM 17N132W TO 10N134W...DRIFTING WEST. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 131W AND 133W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N96W 7N119W 8N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 100W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 80W...AND WITHIN WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF NW COLOMBIA...IN THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA IN THE AREA OF THE ITCZ... FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 74W AND 78W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:28 2003 X-UIDL: 29979-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CPLHMDPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 16:15:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8Ff4q022688 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 16:15:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270nb052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:01:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 10899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:01:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T81Ec9025100 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:01:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5T81E9d026303 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:01:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5T81EAg026302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:01:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:01:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306290801.h5T81EAg026302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 290800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT JUN 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:29 2003 X-UIDL: 29981-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CIM9U7PU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 13:27:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T5RZ4q090963 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 13:27:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQO5n044080; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 10097 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T5J1c9056764 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5T5J19d025136 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5T5J02o025134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306290519.h5T5J02o025134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK ISLAND HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.4N2 161.2E0, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ENIWETOK, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:30 2003 X-UIDL: 29986-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CC261XPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:05:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T45o4q074174 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 12:05:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270ij052992; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:58:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 9463 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:58:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T3wLc9052750 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:58:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5T3wL9d024477 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:58:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5T3wL3f024476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:58:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:58:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306290358.h5T3wL3f024476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 290358 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 29 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 78W/79W NOW ALONG 81W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 89W NOW ALONG 90W/91W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NW NICARAGUA TO SW HONDURAS FROM 12N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 87W AND 91.5W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALSO WITHIN 20-30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 8.5N92W 9N93.5W 11N94.5W. ..NEARLY STATIONARY 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 15N102W. THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY THE REMNANTS OF CARLOS AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT. ..TROUGH FROM 16N131W TO 13N133W TO 10N134W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 131W AND 135W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N94W 8N110W 8N119W 10N133W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7.5N TO 9.5N BETWEEN 84W AND 85W JUST OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 50-100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:31 2003 X-UIDL: 29988-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CPC5CAPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 11:50:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T3oN4q070938 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 11:50:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQO2n044080; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:45:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 9304 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:45:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T3jNc9052984 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5T3jN9d024402 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:45:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5T3jNUE024401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:45:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:45:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306290345.h5T3jNUE024401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 290344 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUN 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO HAS DIMISISHED. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:32 2003 X-UIDL: 29991-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CCT0A2PU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 10:01:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T2174q047378 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 10:01:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQO2l053246; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 20:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 7673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 20:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T1tYc9044916 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 20:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5T1tY9d023467 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 20:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5T1tYIj023466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 20:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 20:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306290155.h5T1tYIj023466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 290155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT JUN 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30009-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00EOCVRTZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 12:14:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h614EA4q097582 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 12:14:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gLJ052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 23:09:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 36184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 23:09:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61495c9050540 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 23:09:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h614949d004628 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 23:09:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61494u1004627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 23:09:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 23:09:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307010409.h61494u1004627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 010408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUN 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:37 2003 X-UIDL: 30014-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00EOMTBTZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:21:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h613LJ4q086580 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 11:21:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gJ1052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 22:15:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 35455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 22:15:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h613Foc9052480 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 22:15:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h613Fn9d004051 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 22:15:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h613Fn9j004050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 22:15:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 22:15:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307010315.h613Fn9j004050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 010315 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 01 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 91W NOW ALONG 92W/93W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 100W NOW ALONG 101W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..TROUGH 14N135W 7N138W...DRIFTING WEST. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OUTSIDE OF THAT WITH THE ITCZ. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 8N92W 9N110W 7N120W 6N126W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG...WITH SOME WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF WHOLE AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:39 2003 X-UIDL: 30019-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00ENQP3GZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 09:50:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h611nu4q066143 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 09:49:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gEp052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 20:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 20:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h611jlc9056180 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 20:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h611jl9d002780 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 20:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h611jk7F002779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 20:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 20:45:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307010145.h611jk7F002779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 010145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUN 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:41 2003 X-UIDL: 30025-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00EFSBNGOO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:02:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U81m4q065381 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:01:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8os3l039894; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 02:55:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 02:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U7tnc9022256 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 02:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5U7tn9d008254 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 02:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5U7tnxa008253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 02:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 02:55:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306300755.h5U7tnxa008253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 300755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUN 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:43 2003 X-UIDL: 30032-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00EN7IL1OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 18:31:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UAVg4q013751 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 18:31:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gfH052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:25:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 24308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:25:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UAPXc9025824 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:25:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UAPW9d009498 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:25:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UAPWs2009497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:25:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:25:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306301025.h5UAPWs2009497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIII, Probability=36%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 301025 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUN 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:43 2003 X-UIDL: 30033-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00EW2HNJOO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 18:11:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UABZ4q007838 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 18:11:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gf7052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:04:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 24204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:04:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UA4gc9050084 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:04:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UA4f9d009372 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:04:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UA4feX009371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:04:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 05:04:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306301004.h5UA4feX009371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 301004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 30 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 86W NOW ALONG 87W/88W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 96W NOW ALONG 97W/98W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..TROUGH ALONG 17N134W 10N136W...DRIFTING WEST. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MIXED IN WITH SOME AREAS OF WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY... FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 133W AND 134W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N96W 8N110W 9N130W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 101W AND 105W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5N TO 11N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 15.5N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 93.5W AND 95.5W...IN A TROUGH FROM THE 23N93W GULF OF MEXICO MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W...IN AREA WHERE REMNANTS OF T.D. CARLOS HAD BEEN. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:49 2003 X-UIDL: 30035-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00ES5H46OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 18:00:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U9xu4q003723 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 17:59:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gf5052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 24171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U9tYc9013448 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 04:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5U9tY9d009289 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 04:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5U9tYPf009288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 04:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 04:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306300955.h5U9tYPf009288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 300955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 04N159W 11N156W 10N143W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S138W 16S159W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH TO 08S175W. FRONT MOVING EAST SLOWLY. TROUGH DRIFTING SOUTH SLOWLY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF FRONT/TROUGH. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT MAINLY EAST OF 150W AND ALONG TROUGH WEST OF 165W CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/CIRRUS. SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:50 2003 X-UIDL: 30038-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00EGZFFTZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 06:21:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UMLM4q023236 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 06:21:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8osSL039894; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 17:12:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 32779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 17:12:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UMC7c9015734 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 17:12:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UMC79d029762 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 17:12:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UMC7ms029761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 17:12:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 17:12:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306302212.h5UMC7ms029761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 302211 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUN 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:50 2003 X-UIDL: 30039-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00EC1EM6OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 06:03:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UM3Y4q019983 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 06:03:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UJSvtL038900; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 32717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ULtTc9038932 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5ULtT9d029472 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5ULtSp8029469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306302155.h5ULtSp8029469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 302155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED 12N140W 07N140W 10N152W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED 10N168W 05N169W 02N178W 05N178W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N160W 11N152W 01N162W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM 15S161W 14S171W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 09S177W MOVED SOUTH AT ABOUT 05 KT AND WEAKENED. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30043-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00EKZE4XOO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 05:53:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ULrD4q017720 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 05:53:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57g7r052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:38:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 32578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:38:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ULctc9027688 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:38:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5ULcs9d029121 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:38:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5ULcsla029120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:38:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:38:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306302138.h5ULcsla029120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 302138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 30 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 4N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS ONLY PRODUCING A FEW ISOLATED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 90W-94W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W N OF 4N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO MOVING WEST 10 KT. NEARLY ALL OF THE EARLIER CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS DISSIPATED WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 94W-99W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FURTHER S WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 6N136W NE TO 17N135W. ENHANCED ITCZ CONVECTION TO THE WEST WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 15N WITH SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERING AREA NEAR 30N140W AND EXTENDING SE TO THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 8N113W 6N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 6N BETWEEN 77W-83W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA. SIMILAR ACTIVITY OVER COSTA RICO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 112W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 125W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 105W-107W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:56 2003 X-UIDL: 30048-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400J2CY03YK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 18:19:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RAJ9ja042922 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 18:19:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNcd025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:13:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188932 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:13:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RAD8vB035080 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:13:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RAD79d021288 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:13:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RAD7kt021287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:13:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:13:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271013.h5RAD7kt021287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 271012 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...CENTERED ABOUT 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:57 2003 X-UIDL: 30049-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JSSXVUYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 18:16:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RAGUja042182 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 18:16:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNcb025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:10:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:10:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RAA5vB035334 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:10:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RAA59d021263 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:10:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RAA56D021262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:10:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:10:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271010.h5RAA56D021262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 271009 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 27 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 97.9W AT 27/0900 UTC...OR ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM... NORTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO...MOVING NORTH NORTHWEST 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE 997 MB. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 81/82W NOW ALONG 83W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0930 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM CARLOS... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 97W AND 99W. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS AREA AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH TODAY AND TOMORROW. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N78W 9N100W 9N125W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA AND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA...WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 90W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 180 NM SOUTH OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 109W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ISOLATED CELL OF THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 12N100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...AT THE BASE OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...FROM 16.5N TO 19N BETWEEN 101.5W AND 105W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:57 2003 X-UIDL: 30050-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JC9XMVYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 18:11:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RABCja040819 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 18:11:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNcX025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:03:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:03:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RA39vB052900 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:03:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RA399d021228 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:03:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RA39HY021227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:03:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:03:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271003.h5RA39HY021227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 271000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03E (CARLOS) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 16.2N9 97.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 97.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.8N5 98.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.2N0 99.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.5N3 100.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 17.9N7 101.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 19.0N0 104.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:57 2003 X-UIDL: 30051-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JZSXFXYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 18:07:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RA72ja039635 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 18:07:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNcV025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:00:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:00:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RA0BvB037978 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:00:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RA0A9d021187 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RA0AQr021186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:00:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271000.h5RA0AQr021186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 271000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03E (CARLOS) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 16.2N9 97.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 97.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.8N5 98.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.2N0 99.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.5N3 100.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 17.9N7 101.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 19.0N0 104.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 20.0N2 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 21.0N3 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 271200Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 97.8W4. TROPICAL STORM 03E (CARLOS), LOCATED ON LAND APPROXIMATELY 115 NM SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271200Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271600Z6, 272200Z3, 280400Z4 AND 281000Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:58 2003 X-UIDL: 30053-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JX1DY8YK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:03:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RG3Yja040100 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:03:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNtH025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:49:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 192700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:49:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RFnuvB054236 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:49:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RFnu9d027394 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:49:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RFnulT027393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:49:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:49:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271549.h5RFnulT027393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 271549 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 27 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM CARLOS HAS MOVED INLAND AND WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION. CARLOS IS NEAR 16.7N 98.8W AT 27/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE 1000 MB. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 8N85W. ..1010 MB LOW IS NEAR 12N130W MOVING NW 5 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12.5N BETWEEN 127W-133W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N140W 17N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1515 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS... THE CIRCULATION OF CARLOS IS DISTORTED AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MEXICAN HIGH COUNTRY. HEAVY RAINFALL...FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THE CYCLONE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 97W-101W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N104W 9N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 77W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-110W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 124W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 101W-104W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS JUST S OF THE GULF OF PANAMA NEAR 7N78W AND S OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 12N89W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:00 2003 X-UIDL: 30058-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JZLDEHYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 23:51:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RFpkja036491 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 23:51:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNt1025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:42:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 192611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:42:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RFgRvB051650 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:42:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RFgR9d027133 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:42:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RFgR6r027132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:42:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:42:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271542.h5RFgR6r027132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 271600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CARLOS) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- NEAR 16.5N2 98.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 98.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.1N9 99.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.5N3 101.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 271200Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 98.5W2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CARLOS), LOCATED ON LAND APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271200Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272200Z3, 280400Z4 AND 281000Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:00 2003 X-UIDL: 30059-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JWXDDFYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 23:51:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RFp3ja036298 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 23:51:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNt5025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:43:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 192644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:43:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RFhvvB048736 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:43:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RFhu9d027208 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RFhuUt027205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:43:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271543.h5RFhuUt027205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 271600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CARLOS) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- NEAR 16.5N2 98.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 98.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.1N9 99.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.5N3 101.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 271200Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 98.5W2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CARLOS), LOCATED ON LAND APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271200Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 12 FEET. //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:02 2003 X-UIDL: 30065-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500J3S9XBYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:36:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5REacja013556 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:36:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNnn025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:28:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 191148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:28:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RERwvB035452 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RERw9d024802 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RERw8Q024800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Carlos Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271427.h5RERw8Q024800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ43 KNHC 271427 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE EVIDENCE TO SUPPORT THE EXISTENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER ADVIORIES WILL BE ISSUED FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE TIME SO THAT IT CAN BE DETERMINED FOR SURE THAT CARLOS HAS TOTALLY DISSIPATED. THE WIND SPEED IS REDUCED TO 30 KNOTS BASED ON THE POOR APPEARANCE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS THE FACT THAT MUCH OF WHATEVER CIRCULATION EXISTS IS OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ALL WARNINGS FOR MEXICO ARE DISCONTINUED. THE GUIDANCE SHOWS A MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND SOME OF THE MODELS INDICATE REINTENSIFICATION WHEN THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER THE WATER. A 48 HOUR TRACK FORECAST IS MADE EVEN THOUGH IT IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY THAT THE SYSTEM WILL LAST THAT LONG. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 16.7N 98.8W 30 KT 12HR VT 28/0000Z 17.1N 99.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 28/1200Z 17.5N 101.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 29/0000Z 18.0N 102.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 29/1200Z 18.4N 103.5W 15 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 30/1200Z...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:02 2003 X-UIDL: 30066-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500J2F9WLYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:36:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5REaDja013456 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:36:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNnp025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:28:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 191151 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RERwvB024824 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RERw9d024801 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RERwsG024799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Carlos Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271427.h5RERwsG024799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 271427 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032003 1500Z FRI JUN 27 2003 AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 98.8W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 98.8W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 98.5W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.1N 99.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.5N 101.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.0N 102.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.4N 103.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 98.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:02 2003 X-UIDL: 30067-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500J0D9UHYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:35:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5REYtja013182 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:34:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNnX025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:27:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 191128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:25:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5REPtvB030502 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:25:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5REPt9d024733 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:25:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5REPtNf024732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:25:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:25:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Carlos Advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271425.h5REPtNf024732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 271425 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 ..CARLOS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 98.8 WEST. THIS POSITION IS NEAR THE COAST ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ..13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED MOVE THE WEAKENING SYSTEM ALONG THE COAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO OR UNTIL THE DEPRESSION DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO AN ESTIMATED 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. MOST OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OFFSHORE...BUT OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO CABO CORRIENTES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...16.7 N... 98.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:03 2003 X-UIDL: 30070-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JSVLEZYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 02:44:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RIiqja086552 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 02:44:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RIDP8h053244; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 13:28:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 195998 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:52:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RHqcvB041328 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:52:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RHqc9d001257 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RHqcLr001254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:52:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271752.h5RHqcLr001254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/STATEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:03 2003 X-UIDL: 30071-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JSSLEXYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 02:44:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RIilja086539 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 02:44:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RIDP8d053244; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 13:27:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 195995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:52:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RHqcvB010522 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:52:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RHqc9d001258 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RHqcKK001255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:52:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271752.h5RHqcKK001255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/STATEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:04 2003 X-UIDL: 30073-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JP3JBAYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 01:59:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RHxQja073367 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 01:59:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R8MenR053244; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:45:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 193305 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 11:04:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RG4HvB041388 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 11:04:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RG4H9d027908 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 11:04:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RG4Hc0027907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 11:04:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 11:04:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271604.h5RG4Hc0027907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 271604 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS...CENTERED ABOUT 75 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:07 2003 X-UIDL: 30083-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500J6XV40YK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 06:14:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RMEHja053726 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 06:14:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RGDZqj025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 17:04:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 200995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 17:04:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RM3xvB039150 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 17:03:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RM3v9d008346 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 17:03:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RM3vgb008345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 17:03:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 17:03:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306272203.h5RM3vgb008345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 272203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 27 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM CARLOS DISSIPATED NEAR 16.7N 99.9W AT 27/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE 1005 MB. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 83W-90W. ..1011 MB DISSIPATING LOW IS NEAR 12N131W MOVING WNW 5 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 127W-134W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N135W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2130 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS... SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH CARLOS HAS DISSIPATED AND THE LAST ADVISORY WAS ISSUED AT 2100 UTC. NONETHELESS...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER COASTAL REGIONS OF S MEXICO BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND THE W BAY OF CAMPECHE. FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES REMAIN A THREAT ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS WHERE HEAVY RAINS HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 100W-105W AND FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 94W-100W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N95W 9N110W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 2N-9N BETWEEN 76W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 101W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:07 2003 X-UIDL: 30084-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500J4CV1GYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 06:12:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RMCjja053321 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 06:12:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RIDPlZ053244; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 200862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RLtUvB050476 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RLtT9d008146 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RLtT3l008143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306272155.h5RLtT3l008143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 272155 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS...CENTERED NEAR ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD WITH NO SIGNIFICANT RE-DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:07 2003 X-UIDL: 30086-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JM2UJTYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 06:02:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RM2Aja051162 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 06:02:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RGDZqJ025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 200859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RLtTvB051554 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RLtT9d008141 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RLtTNT008140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:55:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306272155.h5RLtTNT008140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 272155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50-60 NM OF LINE 03N180 06N173W 06N165W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 06N162W 05N153W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND DIMINISHED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... REMNANT SHEAR LINE THROUGH 30N161W 25N177W DRIFTING WEST SLOWLY. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG THE SHEAR LINE WITHIN 20 NM OF LINE 30N161W 29N166W MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S144W 10S164W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 08S180. FRONT MOVING EAST 15-20 KT SOUTH OF 18S. FRONT/SHEAR LINE STATIONARY NORTH OF 18S. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:08 2003 X-UIDL: 30087-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JVRU1WYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:51:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RLpOja048420 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:51:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RGDZnr025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:34:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 200311 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:34:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RLYuvB008810 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:34:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RLYt9d007759 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:34:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RLYtdU007757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:34:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:34:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306272134.h5RLYtdU007757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PHNC 272200 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODE: PSBR BCST //SID 83// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CARLOS) WARNING NR 008 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 03E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 16.7N4 99.6W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 99.6W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.1N9 100.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.7N4 99.9W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CARLOS), LOCATED ON LAND APPROXIMATELY 13 NM SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY NO LONGER DEPICT A DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:08 2003 X-UIDL: 30088-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JHJTO9YK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:43:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RLhDja046465 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:43:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RGDZnv025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:35:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 200314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:35:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RLYuvB051638 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:35:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RLYt9d007760 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:34:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RLYt9p007758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:34:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:34:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306272134.h5RLYt9p007758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PHNC 272200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CARLOS) WARNING NR 008 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 03E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 16.7N4 99.6W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 99.6W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.1N9 100.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.7N4 99.9W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E (CARLOS), LOCATED ON LAND APPROXIMATELY 13 NM SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY NO LONGER DEPICT A DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:09 2003 X-UIDL: 30090-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JKSP8SYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 04:07:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RK7Wja017527 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 04:07:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RGDZep025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 14:56:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 199098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 14:56:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RJu8vB035650 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 14:56:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RJu79d005215 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 14:56:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RJu7UL005214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 14:56:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 14:56:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271956.h5RJu7UL005214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 271955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI JUN 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:11 2003 X-UIDL: 30099-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH70080N78NXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 23:33:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SFXqja084422 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 23:33:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQOdR053246; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 10:26:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 0397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 10:26:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SFQYc9038960 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 10:26:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SFQY9d017156 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 10:26:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SFQXdx017155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 10:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 10:26:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306281526.h5SFQXdx017155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 281526 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 28 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. EARLIER LARGE CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS DISSIPATING WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 90W-92W. ..TROUGH ALONG 12N104W 17N102W...REMNANT OF CARLOS. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 15.5N101.5W. ..LOW PREVIOUS NEAR 12N132W HAS DISSIPATED. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N135W 16N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N95W 6N100W 7N108W 12N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-7.5N BETWEEN 78W-83W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 95W-100W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 100W-110W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 123W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW CELLS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE W COAST OF COSTA RICA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:11 2003 X-UIDL: 30100-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH7008005FLXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:54:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEsoja075492 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:54:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S9wlDx053244; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:01:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 210011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SE1KvB033866 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:01:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SE1K9d016497 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SE1KR6016496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:01:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306281401.h5SE1KR6016496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 281400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT JUN 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:13 2003 X-UIDL: 30104-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH6008PBU4DXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 18:50:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SAoTja026180 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 18:50:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S50S4N035082; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:08:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 208236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:08:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SA8FvB013462 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:08:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SA8F9d014779 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:08:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SA8FNQ014778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:08:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:08:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306281008.h5SA8FNQ014778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 281008 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 28 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 85W/86W NOW ALONG 87W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 87.5W AND 90W...FROM THE COASTAL WATERS TO EL SALVADOR/SW HONDURAS AND EXTREME NW NICARAGUA. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN THE COASTS OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA AND 90W. THE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA AT 28/0515 UTC WERE -88C AND NOW THEY ARE -75C. THE HIGHEST CLOUD TOP HEIGHTS WERE AT LEAST 57000 FEET. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN ITCZ NEAR 12N132W... DRIFTING WEST. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0945 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 7N96W 7N110W 9N125W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 100W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 82W. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES REACHING FROM -78C TO -81C...AND CLOUD TOPS NEAR 55000 FEET. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 130 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 97W. ISOLATED CELL OF STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 133W AND 134W...CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES NEAR -70C AND THE HIGHEST CLOUD TOP HEIGHTS REACHING AT LEAST 50000 FEET. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELLS OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL AREAS OF MEXICO FROM 13N TO 23N BETWEEN 100W AND 107W...AROUND THE BASE OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:13 2003 X-UIDL: 30106-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH6008BESVCXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 18:23:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SANNja020989 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 18:23:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S50S4H035082; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:02:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 208207 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:02:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SA29vB032774 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:02:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SA289d014722 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:02:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SA28oB014721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:02:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 05:02:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306281002.h5SA28oB014721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 281001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N175W 07N173W 06N177W 10N178W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N161W 08N153W 06N153W 03N162W 10N164W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... CZ/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09S179E 08S179W 08S176W 09S171W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. CZ/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S154W 17S147W 19S148W 14S158W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 18S145W 25S135W 25S142W 20S147W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:14 2003 X-UIDL: 30107-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH6008O4SE5XU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 18:13:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SAD8ja018580 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 18:13:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S50S4F035082; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 04:52:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 208154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 04:52:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S9qGvB050670 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 04:52:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5S9qG9d014625 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 04:52:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5S9qG4g014624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 04:52:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 04:52:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306280952.h5S9qG4g014624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIII, Probability=36%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ABPZ20 KNHC 280952 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUN 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:14 2003 X-UIDL: 30109-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH6008U2MR3XU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:11:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S8BKja091045 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:11:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S50S2l035082; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:01:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 207651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S818vB008424 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:01:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5S8189d013860 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5S818OH013859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:01:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306280801.h5S818OH013859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 280800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI JUN 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:15 2003 X-UIDL: 30111-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH7008JBQT5XU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 06:36:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SMaY4q005798 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 06:36:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQOp1044080; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 17:31:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 5071 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 17:29:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SMT8c9024708 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 17:29:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SMT79d021504 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 17:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SMT7Fe021503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 17:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 17:29:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306282229.h5SMT7Fe021503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 282228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUN 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY THE REMNANTS OF CARLOS AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:15 2003 X-UIDL: 30112-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH70089YP9XXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 06:03:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SM3Pja074794 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 06:03:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQ8FV038896; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:56:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 4670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SLtec9013354 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SLte9d021177 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SLteps021176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:55:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306282155.h5SLteps021176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 282155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 05N146W 08N168W ARE MOVING WEST 10-15 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE SLIGHTLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 04N178W 07N180 EXTEND WESTWARD AND MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S140W 16S160W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH TO 06S177W. FRONT MOVING EAST 5-10 KT SOUTH OF 20S. ELSEWHERE...FRONT/TROUGH STATIONARY. TROUGH WILL DRIFT SOUTH SLOWLY OVER NEXT 28 HOURS. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS ALONG FRONT/TROUGH. ISOLATED CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE ON NORTHERN EDGE OF FRONTAL CLOUD BAND ALONG LINE 25S138W 13S154W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 09S166W 08S177W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:15 2003 X-UIDL: 30113-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH7008HMO9MXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 05:41:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SLfcja070080 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 05:41:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQOqZ053246; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:29:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 4335 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:29:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SLTCc9044496 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:29:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SLTB9d020878 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:29:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SLTBQk020877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:29:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:29:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306282129.h5SLTBQk020877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 282128 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 28 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ENTERING E PORTION OF AREA ALONG 78W N OF 4N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION CONVECTION OVER PANAMA N OF 7N BETWEEN 78W-82W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION W OF WAVE FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 91W-95W. ..NEARLY STATIONARY 1009 MB LOW OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SW OF ACAPULCO NEAR 15N101.5N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 99W-104W. ..LOW LEVEL ELY TROUGH ALONG 132W/133W BETWEEN 10N-16N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 130W-137W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 28N140W TO A DISSIPATING 1019 MB HIGH NEAR 27N135W TO 20N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N90W 8N100W 9N110W 7N120W 12N132W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 83W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 96W-102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 105W-101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 93W-96W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:16 2003 X-UIDL: 30116-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH7008JMK36XU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:11:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SKBMja051302 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:11:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQOmx053246; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 14:55:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 14:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SJtdc9056522 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 14:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SJtd9d019735 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 14:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SJtd1n019734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 14:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 14:55:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306281955.h5SJtd1n019734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 281955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT JUN 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:18 2003 X-UIDL: 30119-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH7008YCCY2XU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 01:37:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SHb7ja011961 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 01:37:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQ8lZ038896; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1254 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SHRoc9034152 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SHRo9d018295 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SHRnfb018294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306281727.h5SHRnfb018294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:18 2003 X-UIDL: 30120-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH7008XBCWBXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 01:36:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SHa4ja011725 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 01:36:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQOfv044080; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SHRoc9045090 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SHRo9d018296 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SHRnqA018293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:27:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306281727.h5SHRnqA018293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:18 2003 X-UIDL: 30121-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH7008HXAKOXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:46:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SGjoja000907 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:45:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQOer053246; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 11:38:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 0798 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 11:38:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SGcPc9025156 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 11:38:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SGcO9d017890 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 11:38:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SGcOIF017889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 11:38:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 11:38:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306281638.h5SGcOIF017889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 281638 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUN 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY THE REMNANTS OF CARLOS AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:20 2003 X-UIDL: 30126-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900EFUUI0OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 09:51:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U1pS4q047490 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 09:51:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8oswt039894; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 20:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 20:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U1jmc9038622 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 20:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5U1jl9d005423 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 20:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5U1jljg005422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 20:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 20:45:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306300145.h5U1jljg005422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 300145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN JUN 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:22 2003 X-UIDL: 30131-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006CH4BAVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:40:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QAeFja020323 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:40:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2SYTP019842; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 172649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QAXovB024096 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QAXn9d024140 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QAXn5D024139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261033.h5QAXn5D024139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 261012 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E...CENTERED ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP3. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:22 2003 X-UIDL: 30132-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006AT4AKVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:39:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QAdmja020157 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:39:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F6CV025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:32:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 172634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:32:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QAWdvB042844 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:32:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QAWc9d024115 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QAWco2024114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:32:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261032.h5QAWco2024114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 261000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 14.3N8 97.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 97.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.0N6 99.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.7N3 100.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.4N1 102.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.9N6 103.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 18.0N9 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 260600Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.3N8 97.9W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260600Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261600Z5, 262200Z2, 270400Z3 AND 271000Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:24 2003 X-UIDL: 30138-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006MTXUZVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 16:20:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q8Kaja076573 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 16:20:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F6BJ025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 03:13:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 172182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 03:13:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q8DwvB032774 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 03:13:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q8Dw9d023237 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 03:13:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q8DwBK023236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 03:13:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 03:13:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260813.h5Q8DwBK023236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 260745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUN 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:25 2003 X-UIDL: 30142-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH30065B2Q2VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:06:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QA5sja008909 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:05:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F6CL025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 04:57:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 172536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 04:57:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q9vbvB056944 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 04:57:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q9va9d023849 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 04:57:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q9vahI023848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 04:57:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 04:57:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260957.h5Q9vahI023848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 260929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 26 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 98.3W AT 26/0900 UTC MOVING WNW AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 KT GUSTING TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE 1006 MB. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N135W TO 16N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0900 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CURVED BAND FEATURES AND LOW SHEAR AND IS APPROACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 96W-102W. HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING IS POSSIBLE OVER SE MEXICO DUE TO RAIN FALLING ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED NEAR 7N77W 11N106W 8N127W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W OF 134W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W-132W. A FEW MODERATE CELLS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 134W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG NEAR THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 6N E OF 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CLUSTER IS N OF 14N E OF 95W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO... A HEAVY RAIN PRODUCER RELATED TO THE DEPRESSION. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 2N-6N AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N103W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 30171-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JSILVSYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 13:57:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R5vMja061920 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 13:57:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKWxlR019842; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 187299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R5nRvB042914 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R5nR9d019314 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R5nRxa019312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270549.h5R5nRxa019312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/NOREN/PIVIN/ANDERSON/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 30174-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JRYLE5YK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 13:46:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R5kZja058986 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 13:46:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNX7025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:40:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 187257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:40:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R5e4vB034776 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:40:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R5e39d019254 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:40:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R5e3Kb019253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:40:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:40:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Intermediate Advisory Number 5a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270540.h5R5e3Kb019253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXII, Probability=62%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 270539 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 ..CARLOS STRENGTHENS WHILE MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST OR ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...NORTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO. CARLOS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM SHOULD MOVE INLAND OR ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ..110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF CARLOS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...16.2 N... 97.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT...FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:25:32 2003 X-UIDL: 30175-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH6008XAFIXXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 13:35:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S5ZEja057710 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 13:35:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RN2Xf9053244; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 206461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S5PqvB032986 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5S5Pq9d012663 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5S5PqM2012661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306280525.h5S5PqM2012661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.0N8 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE NEAR THIS DISTURBANCE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:25:32 2003 X-UIDL: 30179-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH6008S9BQ3XU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:13:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S4D7ja038857 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 12:13:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RMqQHP025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 23:08:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 205796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 23:07:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S47wvB057408 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 23:07:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5S47w9d012091 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 23:07:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5S47wSw012090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 23:07:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 23:07:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306280407.h5S47wSw012090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 280407 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 28 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 84W/85W NOW ALONG 85W/86W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SOME OF THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO HONDURAS MIGHT BE ENHANCED/INITIATED BY THIS WAVE. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N132W...IN THE ITCZ. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0345 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 7N95W 8N114W 11N130W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W...WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 120W...AND WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. SPECIFICALLY...THE AREAS WITH THE COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...FROM 4N TO 5N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 80W...FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 79W AND 81W IN PANAMA COASTAL WATERS...AND FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 94W AND 95W... CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES NEAR -80C AND CLOUD TOP HEIGHTS REACHING AT LEAST 50000 FEET. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN COASTAL WATERS FROM NW COSTA RICA TO NICARAGUA...TO SOUTHERN HONDURAS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CELL FROM 19N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 106W. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CELLS IN WESTERN SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO FROM 24N TO 27N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:25:33 2003 X-UIDL: 30181-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH6008EH967XU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 11:18:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S3I0ja025794 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 11:18:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RMqQEd025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:11:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 205105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:11:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S3BevB021908 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:11:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5S3Bd9d011718 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:11:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5S3BdZB011717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:11:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:11:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306280311.h5S3BdZB011717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 280311 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS HAS DIMINISHED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:25:34 2003 X-UIDL: 30183-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH6008685OHXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 10:02:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S22Yja007644 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 10:02:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RMqQAV025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 20:55:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 204373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 20:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S1tjvB035674 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 20:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5S1tj9d011029 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 20:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5S1tigB011028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 20:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 20:55:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306280155.h5S1tigB011028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 280155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI JUN 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:22 2003 X-UIDL: 30190-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00EGQ677OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:04:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U6484q027636 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:04:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8os3P039894; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 22876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U5v5c9056088 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5U5v59d007304 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5U5v4KE007302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306300557.h5U5v4KE007302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600ZJUN2003/010600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.4N2 161.2E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.9N4 156.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATELY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:25 2003 X-UIDL: 30201-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00EDC146OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:14:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U4EO4q092083 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:14:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270KL052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:10:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:10:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U4AHc9008742 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:10:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5U4AG9d006502 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:10:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5U4AGQS006501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:10:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:10:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306300410.h5U4AGQS006501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 300410 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUN 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF CARLOS ARE CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:25 2003 X-UIDL: 30202-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00EYB0YNOO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:11:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U4B44q091002 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:11:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270KD052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:05:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:05:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U45lc9041036 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:05:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5U45k9d006461 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:05:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5U45kRX006460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:05:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:05:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306300405.h5U45kRX006460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 300405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 30 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 85W NOW ALONG 86W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 95W NOW ALONG 96W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH ALONG 103W FROM 12N TO 18N... REMNANT OF T.D. CARLOS. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 105W. ..NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH ALONG 18N133W 9N135W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 132W AND 136W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N95W 8N111W 8N126W 8N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:25 2003 X-UIDL: 30203-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00EXD0YFOO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:11:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U4As4q090945 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 12:10:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TK1HHN038900; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:07:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:07:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U47ic9020050 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:07:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5U47i9d006489 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:07:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5U47iDU006488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:07:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 23:07:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...cor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306300407.h5U47iDU006488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 300407 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 30 JUN 2003 ..CORRECTION FOR DATE/TIME OF SATELLITE IMAGERY... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 85W NOW ALONG 86W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 95W NOW ALONG 96W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN ITCZ. ..NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH ALONG 103W FROM 12N TO 18N... REMNANT OF T.D. CARLOS. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 105W. ..NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH ALONG 18N133W 9N135W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 132W AND 136W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N95W 8N111W 8N126W 8N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:26 2003 X-UIDL: 30204-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JKEXAIYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 18:03:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RA3kja038385 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 18:03:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNcT025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:55:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R9tjvB038966 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R9tj9d021127 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R9tjLo021126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:55:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270955.h5R9tjLo021126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 270955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07N162W 08N156W 06N156W 03N160W MOVED WEST AT 20 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 24S144W 26S134W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09S162W 14S158W 11S166W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM OF POINT 09S169W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08S177W 14S180 08S173E AND MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:30 2003 X-UIDL: 30211-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JIATRKYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:47:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R8lcja014568 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:47:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNb3025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:34:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:34:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R8Y8vB037764 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:34:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R8Y89d020588 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:34:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R8Y8lc020587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:34:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:34:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270834.h5R8Y8lc020587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 270833 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 CARLOS TRIED TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT MADE LANDFALL. SSM/I OVERPASSES AT 0220Z AND 0321Z INDICATED THAT A WELL-DEFINED EYE HAD FORMED UNDER THE CONVECTIVE OVERCAST...WITH THE LATTER OVERPASS SHOWING THE EYE CROSSING THE MEXICAN COAST. BASED ON THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE AT THAT TIME...WHICH INCLUDED AN OCCASIONAL WARM SPOT...IT IS BELIEVED THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS WERE AT LEAST 55 KT. SINCE THEN...THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS DECAYED AS THE CENTER HAS EDGED INLAND. THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY IS SET TO 50 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 345/6. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW THE LARGE MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO...WHICH LOOKS LIKE IT SHOULD DEFLECT CARLOS MORE TOWARD THE WEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY NHC TRACK GUIDANCE. OF COURSE...ALL OF THESE THINGS WERE SEEN LAST NIGHT AND CARLOS WOUND UP MOVING NORTHWARD. GIVEN THAT CAVEAT... THE TRACK FORECAST WILL CALL FOR A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IN THE NEXT 12 HR...WITH THAT MOTION CONTINUING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS TRACK WOULD KEEP THE CENTER JUST INLAND THROUGH 72 HR...THEN HAVE IT EMERGE OVER THE PACIFIC WEST OF CABO CORRIENTES BY 96 HR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS EXTREMELY PROBLEMATIC. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR CARLOS TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION YET SURVIVE OVER LAND FOR 72 HR. EVEN IF THE STORM STAYS AS CLOSE TO THE COAST AS FORECAST THIS MAY BE GENEROUS. ON THE OTHER HAND...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER BACK TO THE PACIFIC AND ALLOW CARLOS TO EITHER STRENGTHEN OR WEAKEN MORE SLOWLY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT WOULD RESULT IN DISSIPATION OVER THE MEXICAN MOUNTAINS...AND THAT EVEN IF CARLOS SURVIVES THE WATERS WEST OF CABO CORRIENTES ARE TOO COLD TO SUPPORT SIGNIFICANT RE-DEVELOPMENT. HEAVY RAINS WITH ASSOCIATED FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO UNTIL CARLOS EITHER MOVES OUT OR COMPLETELY DISSIPATES. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 16.4N 97.9W 50 KT 12HR VT 27/1800Z 16.8N 98.6W 35 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 28/0600Z 17.2N 99.6W 30 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 28/1800Z 17.5N 100.6W 25 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 29/0600Z 17.9N 101.6W 25 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 30/0600Z 19.0N 104.0W 25 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 01/0600Z 20.0N 106.5W 30 KT...OVER WATER 120HR VT 02/0600Z 21.0N 109.0W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:31 2003 X-UIDL: 30213-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JR7TFFYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:40:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R8eKja012582 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:40:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNb1025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188272 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R8XjvB037748 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R8Xj9d020583 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R8XjCi020582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270833.h5R8XjCi020582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 270833 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032003 0900Z FRI JUN 27 2003 AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO. OTHER PORTIONS OF THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 97.9W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 97.9W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 97.8W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 98.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.2N 99.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 100.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.9N 101.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.0N 104.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 20.0N 106.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 21.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 97.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:31 2003 X-UIDL: 30214-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JOWTEEYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:39:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R8dhja012383 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:39:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNax025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R8XAvB034628 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R8XA9d020575 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R8XApm020574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:33:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270833.h5R8XApm020574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 270832 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 ..CARLOS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO. OTHER PORTIONS OF THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.9 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...NORTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO. CARLOS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ..11 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER OF CARLOS ALONG BUT JUST INLAND FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ..110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF CARLOS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...16.4 N... 97.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:32 2003 X-UIDL: 30219-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JSQR6IYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:51:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R7phja097768 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:51:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNZN025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 02:45:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 187932 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 02:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R7jrvB024300 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 02:45:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R7jr9d020085 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 02:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R7jrNv020084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 02:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 02:45:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270745.h5R7jrNv020084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 270745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU JUN 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:34 2003 X-UIDL: 30226-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JDH84YYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 21:58:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RDvxja003426 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 21:58:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNkH025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 08:46:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 190657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 08:45:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RDjgvB041714 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 08:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RDjg9d023736 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 08:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RDjgm6023735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 08:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 08:45:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271345.h5RDjgm6023735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 271345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI JUN 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:34 2003 X-UIDL: 30228-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JJW2ZGYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 20:06:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RC6Uja073557 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 20:06:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNep025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 06:58:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 189687 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 06:58:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RBwBvB035414 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 06:58:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RBwA9d021952 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 06:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RBwAPQ021951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 06:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 06:58:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Intermediate Advisory Number 6a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271158.h5RBwAPQ021951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXII, Probability=62%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 271158 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 ..CARLOS WEAKENING OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF PUERTO ANGEL. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO. THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...NORTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. THIS POSITION IS JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO. CARLOS IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH ..8 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER OF CARLOS ALONG BUT JUST INLAND FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ..110 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OVER WATER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF CARLOS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...16.5 N... 98.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER BEVEN/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30236-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2005P30AOMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 04:16:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PKFmja070490 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 04:15:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PJr0wp025228; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:01:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 162663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:01:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PK1fvB052804 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:01:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PK1d9d012224 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PK1dYn012223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:01:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306252001.h5PK1dYn012223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 252000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED JUN 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:37 2003 X-UIDL: 30239-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH1005EUVB5MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 02:28:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PISAja035299 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 02:28:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PDGCgl044348; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 160893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PIB3vB018560 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PIB29d008429 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PIB1tw008427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306251811.h5PIB1tw008427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:37 2003 X-UIDL: 30240-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH1005YRV12MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 02:22:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PIM7ja033302 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 02:22:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PDGCgj044348; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 160890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PIB3vB040832 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PIB29d008428 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PIB1Iu008425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:11:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306251811.h5PIB1Iu008425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:38 2003 X-UIDL: 30245-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006IXI49VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:40:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2epja071794 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:40:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F611025232; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 169336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2WevB023848 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q2Wd9d020192 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q2WdS7020191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Three-e Advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260232.h5Q2WdS7020191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 260232 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED JUN 25 2003 ..THIRD EAST PACIFIC DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO... AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO HAS DEVELOPED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 98.3 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES...320 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ..19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WOULD MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THIS TRACK COULD BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...14.4 N... 98.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:39 2003 X-UIDL: 30246-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH20063VHZFVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:38:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2buja070789 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:37:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F60x025232; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 169333 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2WbvB025932 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q2Wa9d020187 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q2Wawg020186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:32:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Three-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260232.h5Q2Wawg020186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 260232 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED JUN 25 2003 THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING...ENOUGH SO TO WARRANT ITS CLASSIFICATION AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SOMEWHAT ELONGATED FROM EAST TO WEST AND THERE IS EAST-NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE AREA. GIVEN THESE FACTORS...ONLY SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE GFS INDICATES THAT THE 200 MB FLOW WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE LATER IN THE PERIOD AND...IF THIS VERIFIES...THE SYSTEM COULD STRENGTHEN MORE THAN INDICATED HERE. SINCE THE CENTER IS NOT WELL-DEFINED...THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE...295/10...IS RATHER UNCERTAIN. THERE IS A MID-TROPOSPHERIC ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION WHICH IS PREDICTED TO SHIFT WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WOULD WEAKEN THE STEERING CURRENT OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. THEREFORE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THE TRACK IS EXPECTED TO ROUGHLY PARALLEL THE COAST OF MEXICO...BUT ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THIS FORECAST COULD BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE COAST. THEREFORE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS BEING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO AT THIS TIME. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 14.4N 98.3W 25 KT 12HR VT 26/1200Z 15.0N 99.6W 30 KT 24HR VT 27/0000Z 15.8N 101.2W 35 KT 36HR VT 27/1200Z 16.5N 102.5W 40 KT 48HR VT 28/0000Z 17.1N 103.8W 50 KT 72HR VT 29/0000Z 18.0N 105.5W 60 KT 96HR VT 30/0000Z 19.0N 107.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 01/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:39 2003 X-UIDL: 30247-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006UQHW9VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:36:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2a2ja070116 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:36:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F60v025232; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:29:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 169302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:29:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2TqvB040072 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:29:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q2Tq9d020123 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:29:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q2TpVH020122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:29:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Three-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260229.h5Q2TpVH020122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 260229 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032003 0300Z THU JUN 26 2003 AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 98.3W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 98.3W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 97.8W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.0N 99.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.8N 101.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.5N 102.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.1N 103.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.0N 105.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.0N 107.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 20.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 98.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:40 2003 X-UIDL: 30251-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006OQGLSVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:08:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q289ja060159 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:08:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F60F025232; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:01:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 168857 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q21QvB021290 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q21Q9d019812 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q21QJ8019811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:01:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260201.h5Q21QJ8019811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 260200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUN 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:44 2003 X-UIDL: 30273-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400J5UCMNYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:37:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R2bTja096655 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:37:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNMP025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 185619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R2VCvB023844 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R2VC9d017449 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R2VBIe017448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270231.h5R2VBIe017448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 270230 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 ..CARLOS VERY NEAR THE COAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.7 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...SOUTH OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ANGEL. CARLOS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN JUST A FEW HOURS...AND THEN MOVE INLAND OR ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT AND ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNLESS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND...IN WHICH CASE WEAKENING WILL OCCUR. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ..110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF CARLOS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...15.7 N... 97.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:45 2003 X-UIDL: 30274-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400J4OCM8YK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:37:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R2bDja096548 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:37:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNMR025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 185628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R2VhvB035334 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R2Vh9d017458 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R2VhJS017457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:31:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270231.h5R2VhJS017457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 270231 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032003 0300Z FRI JUN 27 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 97.7W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 97.7W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 97.6W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.2N 98.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.6N 99.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.0N 100.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.4N 101.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.0N 103.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 19.0N 106.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 20.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 97.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:46 2003 X-UIDL: 30277-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JHTBPGYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:17:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R2HWja089992 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:17:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNLX025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:08:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 185317 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:01:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R219vB044530 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R2199d017193 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:01:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R2192o017192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:01:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:01:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270201.h5R2192o017192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 270200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU JUN 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:47 2003 X-UIDL: 30282-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH4006784SQVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 07:48:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QNmIja046952 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 07:48:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNG1025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:40:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 184199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:40:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QNeVvB032794 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:40:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QNeV9d015887 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QNeVXa015886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:40:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Intermediate Advisory Number 4a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306262340.h5QNeVXa015886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXII, Probability=62%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 262340 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 ..CARLOS HEADING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO ON THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO. CARLOS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR OR ON THE COAST LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES .. 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF CARLOS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...15.4 N... 97.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:47 2003 X-UIDL: 30283-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH4006YG2Z4VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 07:09:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QN8uja038122 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 07:08:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKWxH3019842; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:01:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 183641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:57:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QMvpvB035528 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:57:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QMvp9d015408 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:57:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QMvoOA015407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:57:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:57:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306262257.h5QMvoOA015407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 262257 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY- UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...CENTERED ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP3. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:47 2003 X-UIDL: 30284-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400J5UK5TYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 13:20:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R5K9ja051593 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 13:20:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNVL025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:11:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 186755 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:03:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R531vB035182 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:03:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R5319d018926 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:03:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R5315r018925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:03:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:03:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...cor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270503.h5R5315r018925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 270502 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 27 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. ..CORRECTION TO TROPICAL WAVES ALONG 81W AND 93W... SPECIAL FEATURE... ..T.S. CARLOS IS VERY NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO...OR ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...SOUTH OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS. ..TROPICAL STORM CARLOS CENTER NEAR 15.7N 97.7W AT 27/0300 UTC MOVING NORTH 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE 999 MB. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 80W NOW ALONG 81W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..THE TROPICAL WAVE WHICH WAS ALONG 93W AT 26/2205 UTC HAS BEEN DROPPED FROM THE SURFACE ANALYSIS AS IT NEARS THE CIRCULATION AROUND TROPICAL STORM CARLOS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0330 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM CARLOS... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN TWO CLUSTERS FROM 15N TO THE MEXICO COAST NEAR 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 96W AND 99W. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS AREA AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH TODAY AND TOMORROW. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 7N100W 7N110W... THEN ALONG 11N110W 8N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CELL WITHIN 20-30 NM RADIUS 19.5N107W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:50 2003 X-UIDL: 30287-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JNXIIUYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:44:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R4ijja040385 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:44:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNR9025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 23:38:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 186562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 23:38:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R4cVvB041492 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 23:38:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R4cV9d018752 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 23:38:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R4cUvC018751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 23:38:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 23:38:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270438.h5R4cUvC018751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 270438 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY- UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...CENTERED ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:50 2003 X-UIDL: 30288-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JIRGL8YK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:03:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R42vja027065 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 12:02:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNQR025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:56:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 186386 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R3u0vB023954 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R3u09d018390 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:56:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R3u0kq018389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:56:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:56:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270356.h5R3u0kq018389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 270355 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 27 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..T.S. CARLOS IS VERY NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO...OR ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...SOUTH OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CARLOS. ..TROPICAL STORM CARLOS CENTER NEAR 15.7N 97.7W AT 27/0300 UTC MOVING NORTH 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE 999 MB. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 80W NOW ALONG 81W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. MOST OF THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 79W-83W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W N OF 5N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE WAVE IS BECOMING MASKED/ABSORBED BY THE LARGER SCALE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH T.D. THREE-E. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION AND THE WAVE WILL LIKELY BE DROPPED ON THE 0000 UTC ANALYSIS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0330 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM CARLOS... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN TWO CLUSTERS FROM 15N TO THE MEXICO COAST NEAR 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 96W AND 99W. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS AREA AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH TODAY AND TOMORROW. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 7N100W 7N110W... THEN ALONG 11N110W 8N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CELL WITHIN 20-30 NM RADIUS 19.5N107W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30291-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400J81CZCYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:45:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R2j6ja099350 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:45:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNNf025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:38:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 185771 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:38:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R2cIvB041490 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:38:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R2cI9d017542 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:38:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R2cID0017541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:38:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:38:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270238.h5R2cID0017541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 270237 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE STRENGTHENING EPISODE NOTED EARLIER HAS ENDED...PERHAPS DUE TO THE INTERACTION OF THE CIRCULATION WITH LAND. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS REMAIN AT T3.0...45 KT. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS...PARTICULARLY THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...ARE FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING. THE EASTERLY SHEAR HAS LESSENED AND CIRRUS MOTIONS SHOW UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED OVER ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT THE NORTHWEST. OBVIOUSLY THE FUTURE INTENSITY OF CARLOS IS STRONGLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK. IF THE CENTER MOVES INLAND...RAPID WEAKENING WOULD TAKE PLACE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF MEXICO. HOWEVER IF THE CENTER REMAINS JUST OFFSHORE...THE STORM COULD MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH...OR EVEN INTENSIFY. AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THESE POSSIBILITIES...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH. THE NORTHWARD MOTION WAS UNEXPECTED. IT HAD BEEN PRESUMED THAT THE STRONG MID-TROPOSPHERIC ANTICYCLONE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WOULD FORCE A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. HOWEVER THE STEERING OF CARLOS APPARENTLY HAS BEEN INFLUENCED MORE BY A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...WITHIN WHICH THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS BEEN EMBEDDED. THIS TROUGH COULD CARRY CARLOS INLAND VERY SOON. HOWEVER THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...LIKE THE PREVIOUS ONE...IS BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT THE ANTICYCLONE WILL SOON BECOME THE MORE DOMINANT STEERING FEATURE. THUS THE FORECAST TRACK SHOWS A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...WITH THE CENTER MOVING RIGHT ALONG THE COAST LINE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. REPORTS FROM A SHIP WITH CALL SIGN NEPP AND THE RADAR AT PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO HAVE BEEN VERY USEFUL FOR THE TRACKING OF CARLOS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0300Z 15.7N 97.7W 45 KT 12HR VT 27/1200Z 16.2N 98.1W 45 KT 24HR VT 28/0000Z 16.6N 99.2W 45 KT 36HR VT 28/1200Z 17.0N 100.3W 45 KT 48HR VT 29/0000Z 17.4N 101.5W 45 KT 72HR VT 30/0000Z 18.0N 103.5W 45 KT 96HR VT 01/0000Z 19.0N 106.0W 45 KT 120HR VT 02/0000Z 20.0N 108.5W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30292-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH4006TU09MVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 06:10:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QMARja026489 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 06:10:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwN7H025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:02:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 182871 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:02:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QM1xvB035346 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:02:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QM1x9d014704 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:01:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QM1xYa014703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:01:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 17:01:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306262201.h5QM1xYa014703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 262201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 10N140W 06N140W 05N153W 05N164W 08N164W 08N157W 10N156W 09N143W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 29N164W 27N169W 26N169W 25N176W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)...SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 04S180 08S171W 10S174W 12S178E 12S170E 11S166E 07S164E 06S177E HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10S167W 12S163W 14S158W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30293-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006LLYIRVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:32:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QLWija017261 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 05:32:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwN59025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 16:22:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 182348 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 16:22:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QLMQvB008428 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 16:22:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QLMQ9d013695 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 16:22:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QLMPRa013693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 16:22:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 16:22:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306262122.h5QLMPRa013693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 262122 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 26 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM CARLOS AT 26/2100 UTC CENTERED NEAR 15.1N 97.6W. PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE N AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE 1000 MB. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT. MOST OF THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 79W-83W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W N OF 5N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE WAVE IS BECOMING MASKED/ABSORBED BY THE LARGER SCALE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH T.D. THREE-E. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION AND THE WAVE WILL LIKELY BE DROPPED ON THE 0000 UTC ANALYSIS. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N140W 26N125W TO 15N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2030 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM CARLOS... DESPITE A SOMEWHAT ELONGATED APPEARANCE IN IR SATELLITE IMAGERY...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CARLOS CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AS A BAND WRAPS AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ADDITIONALLY...THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PRODUCING SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 93W-100W INCLUDING THE MEXICAN COAST FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS AREA AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NWD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N83W 10N90W BECOMING ILL-DEFINED BETWEEN 90W-100W TO 10N100W 11N110W 9N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 110W-118W AND FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 128W-131W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N WEST OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:53 2003 X-UIDL: 30295-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH300678WXSVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:58:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKwXja007485 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:58:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwN2d025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:47:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 181884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:47:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKlkvB034168 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:47:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QKlj9d012600 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:47:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QKljSo012599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:47:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:47:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306262047.h5QKljSo012599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 262046 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 ..CARLOS STRENGTHENING AND HEADING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO... AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EASTWARD TO SALINA CRUZ AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO ON THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO. RADAR FROM PUERTO ANGEL AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT CARLOS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT BUT A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST- NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER OF CARLOS NEAR...OR ON...THE COAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES .. 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF CARLOS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...15.1 N... 97.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:53 2003 X-UIDL: 30296-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH30066YWX9VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:58:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKwEja007425 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:58:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwN1j025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:44:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 181755 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:44:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKi9vB038436 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QKi89d012453 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:44:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QKi815012450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:44:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:44:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306262044.h5QKi815012450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 262043 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 CARLOS IS STRENGTHENING. THIS IS BASED ON DATA FROM THE SHIP V7AM9 WHICH REPORTED 40 KNOTS AND A PRESSURE OF 1005.8 MB NEAR THE CENTER AND ON SATELLITE IMAGES THAT SHOW A WELL DEFINED CURVED BAND WRAPPING AROUND THE CIRCULATION CENTER. UNANIMOUSLY...DVORAK T-NUMBERS SUPPORT AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS. BECAUSE THE SHEAR IS DECREASING AND THE OCEAN IS WARM...FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF CARLOS BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. RADAR FROM PUERTO ANGEL...MEXICO AND VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT CARLOS HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY DURING THE DAY WHILE REORGANIZING BUT...THE OVERALL SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD. GLOBAL MODELS ARE DEVELOPING ENOUGH RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO FORCE CARLOS TO MOVE ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. THIS WOULD TAKE THE CENTER OF CARLOS VERY NEAR...OR ON...THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 3 OR 4 DAYS. IF THE CENTER REMAINS OFFSHORE...WEAKENING MAY NOT OCCUR AS INDICATED. ON THE OTHER HAND...IF THE CENTER MOVES FURTHER INLAND...A FASTER WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED. DUE TO THE NORTHWARD MOTION OF THE CYCLONE...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO SALINA CRUZ AND DISCONTINUED WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO BY THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 15.1N 97.6W 45 KT 12HR VT 27/0600Z 15.7N 97.8W 55 KT 24HR VT 27/1800Z 16.5N 98.8W 60 KT 36HR VT 28/0600Z 17.0N 100.0W 50 KT 48HR VT 28/1800Z 17.5N 101.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 29/1800Z 18.0N 103.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 30/1800Z 19.0N 105.5W 50 KT 120HR VT 01/1800Z 19.5N 108.0W 50 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:53 2003 X-UIDL: 30297-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006ZWWSBVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:55:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKtDja006525 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:55:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwN1f025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:42:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 181744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:42:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKgvvB044316 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:42:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QKgv9d012414 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:42:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QKgvKr012413 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:42:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:42:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306262042.h5QKgvKr012413@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 262042 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032003 2100Z THU JUN 26 2003 AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EASTWARD TO SALINA CRUZ AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 97.6W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 97.6W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 97.6W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.7N 97.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.5N 98.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.0N 100.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 101.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 103.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 19.0N 105.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 19.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 97.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:54 2003 X-UIDL: 30299-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH30066ZUX7VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:15:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKEvja094394 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:15:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNvt025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:01:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 181117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QK1MvB033222 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QK1L9d011090 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QK1KWC011088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:01:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306262001.h5QK1KWC011088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 262000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU JUN 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:57 2003 X-UIDL: 30301-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH30065QTJ4VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:45:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJiwja083742 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:45:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QEsJjl019842; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:36:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 180537 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJZfvB038016 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QJZe9d010190 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QJZeX1010188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261935.h5QJZeX1010188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:57 2003 X-UIDL: 30302-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006Y8TEZVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:42:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJgSja082855 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:42:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QEsJjh019842; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 180534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJZfvB015012 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QJZe9d010189 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QJZeG5010187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:35:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261935.h5QJZeG5010187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:58 2003 X-UIDL: 30307-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006PINYEVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 01:44:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QHiUja044613 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 01:44:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F6hb025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:31:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 178434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:31:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QHVpvB049366 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:31:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QHVp9d005656 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:31:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QHVp2d005655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:31:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:31:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Carlos Intermediate Advisory Number 3a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261731.h5QHVp2d005655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 261731 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 ..DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM CARLOS...THIRD NAMED SYSTEM OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC SEASON... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E HAS STRENGTHENED AND IS NOW TROPICAL STORM CARLOS. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF CARLOS WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.9 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM... SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. CARLOS HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK LATER TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WOULD MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THIS TRACK COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.66 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...14.9 N... 97.9 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:58 2003 X-UIDL: 30308-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006PDL17VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:41:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QGfOja024442 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:41:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F6a9025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:31:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 177148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:31:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QGVqvB019276 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:31:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QGVq9d003322 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:31:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QGVpBs003321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:31:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:31:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261631.h5QGVpBs003321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 261631 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E...CENTERED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP3. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:58 2003 X-UIDL: 30309-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006FHJRZVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:14:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QGEGja016503 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:14:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F6WL025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:03:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 176626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:03:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QG3uvB027358 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:03:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QG3u9d002226 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:03:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QG3uQ4002225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:03:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:03:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261603.h5QG3uQ4002225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 261600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 14.5N0 98.3W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - NEARLY STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 98.3W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.4N0 99.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.0N7 100.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.6N3 101.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.0N8 103.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 18.5N4 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 261200Z1 POSITION NEAR 14.5N0 98.3W0. //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:59 2003 X-UIDL: 30310-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006A1JPGVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:12:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QGCjja016017 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:12:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F6WB025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:02:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 176593 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:02:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QG2cvB040498 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:02:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QG2c9d002172 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:02:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QG2bYJ002171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:02:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:02:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261602.h5QG2bYJ002171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 261602 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 26 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E CENTERED NEAR 14.6N 98.3W AT 26/1500 UTC IS NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 KT GUSTING TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE 1006 MB. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 5N MOVING W 5-10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N135W TO 16N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1500 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E... SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH MEXICAN COAST PRODUCING AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WELL E OF THE CENTER WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 94W TO 97W. SOUTHERLY FLOW E OF CENTER WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY WITH CONTINUED LIKELIHOOD OF HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING OVER SE MEXICO DUE TO RAIN FALLING ON ALREADY SATURATED SOIL. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FOUND WITHIN 75 NM RADIUS OF CENTER WHILE SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ATTEMPTING TO DEVELOP ALONG A LOOSELY ORGANIZED BAND SW OF CENTER WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 15N101W 14N97W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED NEAR 8N81W 10N90W 11N100W 10N115W 8N140W. DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS W OF 136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 112W TO 116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 128W ON THE AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N79W NEAR THE GULF OF PANAMA. DISSIPATING MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 18N105W. $$ HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:59 2003 X-UIDL: 30311-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006VQJHKVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:08:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QG7vja014585 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:07:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F6VZ025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:59:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 176497 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QFxqvB023772 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QFxp9d002003 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QFxpOT002002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:59:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261559.h5QFxpOT002002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 261600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 14.5N0 98.3W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - NEARLY STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 98.3W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.4N0 99.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.0N7 100.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.6N3 101.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.0N8 103.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 18.5N4 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 261200Z1 POSITION NEAR 14.5N0 98.3W0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261200Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262200Z2, 270400Z3, 271000Z0 AND 271600Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:00 2003 X-UIDL: 30315-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006DYFXQVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:51:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QEpKja089243 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:51:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2SYt1019842; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:39:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 175257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QEcBvB004922 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QEcB9d028632 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QEcBNR028630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Three-e Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261438.h5QEcBNR028630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 261431 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION IS NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED BUT THE CLOUD PATTERN...ALTHOUGH ELONGATED DUE TO SHEAR...IS GRADUALLY IMPROVING. BECAUSE THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO DECREASE AND THE OCEAN IS WARM...A GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED. HOWEVER...NOT AS MUCH AS THE GFDL THAT BRINGS THE CYCLONE TO 100 KNOTS IN 30 ABOUT HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGES AND RADAR FROM PUERTO ANGEL...MEXICO INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS WHILE EMBEDDED WITHIN WEAK STEERING CURRENTS. HOWEVER...SOON THE CYCLONE WILL BE SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE WHICH WILL PROVIDE A SLOW WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST STEERING. THIS WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE. ON THIS TRACK...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING VERY CLOSE AND PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO...AND ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO THE COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING THUS REMAINS IN FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO...AND ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED AS THE CYCLONE MOVES WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. HEAVY RAINS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO. BY DAYS 4 AND 5..THE CYCLONE SHOULD BE APPROACHING COOLER WATERS AND WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/1500Z 14.6N 98.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 27/0000Z 15.4N 99.2W 35 KT 24HR VT 27/1200Z 16.0N 100.3W 40 KT 36HR VT 28/0000Z 16.6N 101.4W 50 KT 48HR VT 28/1200Z 17.0N 103.0W 55 KT 72HR VT 29/1200Z 18.5N 105.5W 60 KT 96HR VT 30/1200Z 19.5N 108.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 01/1200Z 20.0N 110.5W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:01 2003 X-UIDL: 30316-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH30069PFVGVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:50:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QEnwja088877 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:50:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2SYt5019842; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:39:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 175260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QEcBvB024776 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QEcB9d028631 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QEcBa2028628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Three-e Advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261438.h5QEcBa2028628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 261431 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 ..DEPRESSION NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHILE MOVING LITTLE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.3 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK LATER TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WOULD MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THIS TRACK COULD BRING STRONGER WINDS TO THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...14.6 N... 98.3 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:01 2003 X-UIDL: 30317-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH30069LFVEVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:50:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QEntja088867 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:49:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2SYsv019842; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 175254 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QEc6vB004918 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QEc59d028622 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QEc5gC028621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:38:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Three-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261438.h5QEc5gC028621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 261431 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032003 1500Z THU JUN 26 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 98.3W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 98.3W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 98.3W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.4N 99.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N 100.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.6N 101.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.0N 103.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.5N 105.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 19.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 20.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 98.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:02 2003 X-UIDL: 30322-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006ULDH3VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:58:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QDw8ja074560 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:58:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2SYkv019842; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 08:45:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 174540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 08:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QDjrvB037672 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 08:45:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QDjr9d026955 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 08:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QDjr3v026954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 08:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 08:45:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261345.h5QDjr3v026954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 261345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUN 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:04 2003 X-UIDL: 30327-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH30064D7IDVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 19:49:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QBnEja040773 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 19:49:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F6EF025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 06:41:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 173206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 06:41:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QBfLvB040004 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 06:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QBfL9d024667 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 06:41:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QBfLae024666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 06:41:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 06:41:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Three-e Intermediate Advisory Number 2a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261141.h5QBfLae024666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIII, Probability=55%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 261133 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT THU JUN 26 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING LITTLE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.3 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES...295 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR ..TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WOULD MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THIS TRACK COULD BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...14.5 N... 98.3 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:05 2003 X-UIDL: 30330-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006DB4BYVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:40:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QAedja020451 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 18:40:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2SYTJ019842; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 172643 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QAXXvB014928 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QAXX9d024133 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QAXWrS024132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:33:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261033.h5QAXWrS024132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 261000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 14.3N8 97.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 97.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.0N6 99.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.7N3 100.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.4N1 102.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.9N6 103.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 18.0N9 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 260600Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.3N8 97.9W5. //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:06 2003 X-UIDL: 30332-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH000EDOD56Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:58:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OMwAja087046 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:58:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OM2K43030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 17:50:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 146293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 17:50:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OMoDvB016846 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 17:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5OMoD9d018001 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 17:50:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5OMoD5Q018000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 17:50:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 17:50:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306242250.h5OMoD5Q018000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 242249 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUN 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE DISTURBANCE COULD BRING RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:06 2003 X-UIDL: 30334-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH000ERTAWDQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:09:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OM9eja077610 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:09:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O58auh030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 16:56:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 145441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 16:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OLtPvB005190 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 16:55:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5OLtP9d012770 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 16:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5OLtOdc012769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 16:55:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 16:55:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306242155.h5OLtOdc012769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 242155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N142W 10N140W 06N140W 07N50W AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB... WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N179W 11N177E AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/SHEARLINE/CZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 23S145W 23S148W 17S153W 21S146W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 24S145W 28S139W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11S165W 08S174W 08S180 07S174E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 07S158W 11S158W 08S165W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT DURING PAST 15 HOURS. LAU/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:10 2003 X-UIDL: 30343-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH000E7L4ZVQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 04:02:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OK2Cja045307 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 04:02:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O58al1030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 14:46:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 143397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 14:46:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OJkNvB042194 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 14:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5OJkM9d008822 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 14:46:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5OJkMVX008820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 14:46:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 14:46:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306241946.h5OJkMVX008820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 241946 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE JUN 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LAU/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:12 2003 X-UIDL: 30349-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00EJGVD6Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:34:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OGYBja084955 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:34:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O58aXx030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:20:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 140084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:20:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OGKTvB035546 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:20:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5OGKT9d001930 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:20:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5OGKT60001929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:20:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:20:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306241620.h5OGKT60001929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 241620 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUN 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER... PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...HAS DEVELOPED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THERE ARE SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM COULD BRING RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA....ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ARE BECOMING DIFFUSE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:12 2003 X-UIDL: 30350-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00EQBUXVQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:25:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OGP0ja081977 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:25:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OAZ5XF037652; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 139977 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OGE7vB035268 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5OGE69d001492 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5OGE6XK001490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306241614.h5OGE6XK001490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 241800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/STATEN// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:12 2003 X-UIDL: 30351-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00EMQUW6Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:24:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OGNsja081606 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:23:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OAZ5XB037652; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 139974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OGE7vB019292 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5OGE69d001491 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5OGE6id001489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:14:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306241614.h5OGE6id001489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 241800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/STATEN// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:13 2003 X-UIDL: 30353-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00ELRUD0Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:12:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OGCNja078013 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:12:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O58aWZ030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:01:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 139766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:01:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OG1kvB019200 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:01:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5OG1j9d001111 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:01:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5OG1iOm001110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:01:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:01:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306241601.h5OG1iOm001110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 241601 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 24 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1200 UTC... ..1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. BLANCA... NEAR 17N103W...DRIFTING EAST-NORTHEAST AND FORECAST TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 84W/85W NOW ALONG 86W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROPICAL WAVE REPOSITIONED TO 93W BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAS FORMED NEAR 11N ALONG WAVE. SYSTEM MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS FROM 9N TO 15N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM MIGHT DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 103W/104W NOW ALONG 105W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 9N96W 9N117W 9N126W 9N133W 9N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 135W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 120-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 102W... AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:15 2003 X-UIDL: 30360-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00E0ZONAQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:09:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OE92ja040719 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:09:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O58aNL030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 08:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 137809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 08:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ODtivB025120 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 08:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5ODth9d026697 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 08:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5ODthmW026696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 08:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 08:55:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306241355.h5ODthmW026696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 241355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE JUN 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:16 2003 X-UIDL: 30364-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH0005C5QNHMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:50:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P3ntja075725 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:49:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OM2KRn030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:46:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 150451 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:46:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P3kbvB021894 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:46:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5P3kb9d022484 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:46:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5P3kaDK022483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:46:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:46:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306250346.h5P3kaDK022483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 250346 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 25 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1007 MB TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N93W MOVING W 10 KT. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0000 UTC... ..THE REMNANTS OF T.D. BLANCA HAVE DISSIPATED. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W/88W S OF 20N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 12N E OF 91W. ..WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE COULD BE DROPPED IN THE NEXT ANALYSIS. ..RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N135W TO 18N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0315 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N93W... THE DISTURBANCE HAS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH SOME CURVED BAND FEATURES AND CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. UPPER WINDS LOOK FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 92W-97W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED NEAR 6N78W 11N89W 10N100W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 7N132W 9N137W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N88W AND 9N100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA INTO MEXICO FROM COSTA RICO TO 17N100W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:16 2003 X-UIDL: 30365-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH0005MQQERMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:44:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P3ihja073944 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:44:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OM2KRT030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:40:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 150364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:40:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P3ehvB039024 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:40:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5P3eh9d022406 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:40:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5P3egQp022405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:40:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:40:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306250340.h5P3egQp022405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 250340 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUN 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE DISTURBANCE COULD BRING RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:18 2003 X-UIDL: 30372-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH0005YDLS2MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 10:04:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P24gja040991 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 10:04:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OMTKPd008144; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 20:58:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 148802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 20:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P1tUvB016686 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 20:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5P1tU9d021067 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 20:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5P1tU9G021066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 20:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 20:55:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306250155.h5P1tU9G021066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 250155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE JUN 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LAU/KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:20 2003 X-UIDL: 30379-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH1005Z1QJXMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:45:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PGjQja004960 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:45:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PDGCRF044348; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:32:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 159118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:32:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PGWAvB051656 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:32:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PGWA9d004923 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:32:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PGWAOe004922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:32:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:32:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306251632.h5PGWAOe004922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 251631 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUN 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO APPEARS TO BE A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED ON SATELLITE IMAGES BUT THERE IS NO EVIDENCE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED YET. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS. ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE SINCE THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO FORM AT ANY TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:20 2003 X-UIDL: 30381-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH100556P6OMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:16:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PGFpja095187 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:15:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5D5ZB025228; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:03:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 158702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:03:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PG3tvB035102 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:03:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PG3t9d003866 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:03:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PG3teu003864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:03:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 11:03:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306251603.h5PG3teu003864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 251603 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 25 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1008 MB TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N95W MOVING WNW 5-10 KT. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W/89W N OF 5N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE IS NOT WELL DEFINED AS IT IS MOVING INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N95W. RAPIDLY WEAKENING AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER EL SALVADOR AND SW PORTIONS OF HONDURAS. ..ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS WITH SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N135W TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1545 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N95W... EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES AND LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE IS BROAD AND ILL-DEFINED. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING A FAIR AMOUNT OF SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 90W-100W. WHILE MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY HAS REMAINED OVER OPEN WATER DURING THE NIGHT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS MAY AFFECT COASTAL PORTIONS OF S GUATEMALA AND MEXICO S OF ACAPULCO TODAY AS THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES WNW. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED NEAR 7N77W 10N87W 12N95W 10N110W 9N124W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 6N-10N BETWEEN 122W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 134W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... RAPIDLY WEAKENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 20N-22N BETWEEN 105W-108W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:21 2003 X-UIDL: 30385-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH100596J24MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:03:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PE3Vja056486 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:03:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5D5MR025228; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 08:49:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 156597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 08:49:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PDnZvB040506 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 08:49:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PDnY9d028999 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 08:49:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PDnYoJ028998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 08:49:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 08:49:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306251349.h5PDnYoJ028998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 251349 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUN 25 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT WAS 1350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO LAST EVENING HAS DISSIPATED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:24 2003 X-UIDL: 30391-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH1005XCBLBMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 19:22:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PBMFja014277 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 19:22:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5D58d025228; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:15:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 153714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:12:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PBBxvB024010 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:11:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PBBx9d026293 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:11:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PBBxSg026292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:11:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:11:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306251111.h5PBBxSg026292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PHNC 251030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 251000ZJUN03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.3N5 93.4W6 TO 13.6N0 98.2W9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 250600Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 94.1W4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 251200Z0. 2.REMARKS: A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 93.5W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 94.1W4, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SALINA CRUZ, MEXICO. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LLCC WITH A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 261030Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:24 2003 X-UIDL: 30392-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH100589B9ZMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 19:15:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PBFQja011893 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 19:15:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5D581025228; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:09:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 153667 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:09:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PB9nvB049230 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:09:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PB9m9d026261 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:09:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PB9maf026260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:09:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 06:09:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306251109.h5PB9maf026260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 251046 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUN 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE DISTURBANCE COULD BRING RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:25 2003 X-UIDL: 30394-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH1005D38U5MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 18:22:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PAMdja094884 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 18:22:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5D56b025228; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 05:10:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 153300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 05:10:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PAAsvB039808 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 05:10:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PAAs9d025854 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 05:10:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PAAsCW025853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 05:10:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 05:10:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306251010.h5PAAsCW025853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 250945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 07N153W HAS ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09N152W 06N152W 07N155W 09N152W. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 08N140W TO TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 07N153W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB ALONG ITCZ EAST OF THE DISTURBANCE HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 30N165W 28N170W AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 24N180. FRONT HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SHEARLINE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. SHOWERY BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 35NM OF SHEARLINE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 04N176W 09N179W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S141W 20S146W AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT. AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS PARTLY BOUNDED BY 20S146W 20S140W 25S135W 25S144W AND EXTENDING SOUTH. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120NM OF LINE 25S139W 21S140W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 25 KNOTS AND WEAKENED. CONVERGENCE ZONE...CENTERED FROM 10N168W TO 08S175W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07S174W 07S172W 10S168W 10S175W 07S174W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:26 2003 X-UIDL: 30400-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH1005TD1SMMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:50:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P7ocja048875 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:50:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5D55F025228; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 02:46:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 152690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 02:46:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P7kEvB030576 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 02:46:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5P7kE9d024662 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 02:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5P7kE1r024661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 02:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 02:46:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306250746.h5P7kE1r024661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 250741 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE JUN 24 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED 1350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO NEAR 08N 139W. THE DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MILES AN HOUR. CONDITIONS IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE APPEAR UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT BUT WE WILL CONTINUE MONITORING THE SYSTEM FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEEPENING. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:28 2003 X-UIDL: 30407-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH00052ZVLWMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:37:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5awja008214 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:37:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5I6w3044520; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 151835 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5RUvB045018 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5P5RT9d023545 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5P5RTaC023543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306250527.h5P5RTaC023543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:29 2003 X-UIDL: 30412-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006JYRCRVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:00:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q60Kja033220 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 14:00:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F695025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:53:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 171364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:53:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q5rZvB035708 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:53:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q5rZ9d022009 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:53:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q5rZpg022008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:53:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:53:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Three-e Intermediate Advisory Number 1a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260553.h5Q5rZpg022008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIII, Probability=55%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ33 KNHC 260553 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT WED JUN 25 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E MOVING SLOWER WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT FORWARD MOTION OF THE DEPRESSION HAS SLOWED SOMEWHAT AND THE SYSTEM IS EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES...330 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ..16 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WOULD MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THIS TRACK COULD BRING STRONG WINDS TO THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...14.3 N... 98.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:30 2003 X-UIDL: 30414-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006YWQ2TVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 13:32:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q5Wkja025302 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 13:32:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2SYF3019842; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 171093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q5LKvB021492 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q5LJ9d021781 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q5LJ0c021780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260521.h5Q5LJ0c021780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/NOREN/PIVIN/ANDERSON/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:31 2003 X-UIDL: 30416-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006D9NRPVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:43:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q4gsja011210 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:42:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F65R025232; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:37:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 170435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:37:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q4bPvB044424 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:37:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q4bP9d021343 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:37:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q4bP0Y021342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:37:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:37:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260437.h5Q4bP0Y021342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 260437 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUN 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY- DEVELOPED TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E...CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCUEP3. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:31 2003 X-UIDL: 30417-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH20061GM57VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:07:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q47nja000136 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:07:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F64L025232; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 170195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q441vB044986 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q4409d021042 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q440ar021041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260404.h5Q440ar021041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 260400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/GENADMIN/252121ZJUN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 14.2N7 97.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 97.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 15.0N6 99.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.8N4 101.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.5N2 102.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.1N9 103.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.0N9 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM //END PART 01// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:32 2003 X-UIDL: 30418-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006ZTM4UVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:07:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q47Yja099948 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:07:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F64N025232; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 170198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q441vB018576 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q4419d021047 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q441qS021044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 23:04:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260404.h5Q441qS021044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 260400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/GENADMIN/252121ZJUN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 14.2N7 97.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 97.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 15.0N6 99.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.8N4 101.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.5N2 102.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.1N9 103.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.0N9 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 260000Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.2N7 97.8W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260000Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A (WTPN22 PHNC 252130). NEXT WARNINGS AT 261000Z9, 261600Z5, 262200Z2 AND 270400Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:32 2003 X-UIDL: 30419-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006GFLXYVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:03:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q43Rja098602 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 12:03:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2SY5t019842; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:58:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 170167 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:58:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q3wrvB044938 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:58:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q3wq9d020963 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:58:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q3wq7w020962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:58:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:58:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260358.h5Q3wq7w020962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 260400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/GENADMIN/252121ZJUN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 14.2N7 97.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 97.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 15.0N6 99.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.8N4 101.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.5N2 102.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.1N9 103.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.0N9 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 260000Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.2N7 97.8W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260000Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A (WTPN22 PHNC 252130). NEXT WARNINGS AT 261000Z9, 261600Z5, 262200Z2 AND 270400Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:33 2003 X-UIDL: 30421-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006XCLH2VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:53:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q3rFja095174 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 11:53:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2SY4l019842; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:49:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 170039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:49:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q3nDvB040020 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:49:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q3nD9d020886 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q3nDYi020885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 22:49:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260349.h5Q3nDYi020885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 260348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 26 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E. IT IS CENTERED NEAR 14.4N 98.3W AT 26/0300 UTC MOVING WNW AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 KT GUSTING TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W/91W N OF 5N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INTO THE AREA NEAR THE CIRCULATION OF THE DEPRESSION. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N134W TO 17N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0315 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E... THE CIRCULATION OF THE SYSTEM IS ELONGATED FROM SW TO NE BUT HAS TIGHTENED THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND WAS RECENTLY DESIGNED A DEPRESSION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 93W-100W. HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE OVER SE MEXICO DUE TO RAINS FALLING ON AREAS THAT HAVE BEEN WETTER THAN NORMAL ALREADY THIS YEAR. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED NEAR 7N77W 12N100W 9N118W 9N134W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W-130W. A FEW MODERATE CELLS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 134W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:35 2003 X-UIDL: 30425-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2005OW89EMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 07:08:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PN7tja010247 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 07:07:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PJrAXv044348; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 18:01:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 166112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:59:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PMxnvB042060 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:59:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PMxn9d017148 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:59:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PMxmWh017147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:59:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:59:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306252259.h5PMxmWh017147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 252259 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUN 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS. ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE...SINCE THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO FORM AT ANY TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:35 2003 X-UIDL: 30426-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH20052562AMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 06:20:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PMKRja000414 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 06:20:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PJrANl044348; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:11:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 165068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:11:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PMB2vB052942 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:11:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PMAu9d016348 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:10:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PMAuxF016347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:10:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:10:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306252210.h5PMAuxF016347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PHNC 252130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 252121ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251021ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 251030)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.6N0 96.5W0 TO 15.0N6 103.0W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 251800Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 97.5W1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERCEDES REF A. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 94.1W4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 97.5W1, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK, DIFFICULT TO LOCATE, LLCC WITH A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: LATEST FIX POSITIONS CLOSE TO TCFA BOX BOUNDARIES. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 262130Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:35 2003 X-UIDL: 30427-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2005H85MOMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 06:11:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PMB1ja098076 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 06:11:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PJr0BD025228; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:02:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 164932 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:02:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PM2GvB023170 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:02:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PM2G9d016165 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:02:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PM2GGi016164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:02:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:02:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306252202.h5PM2GGi016164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 252201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08N178E 07N179W 02N177W 02N179E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N177W 08N172W 06N172W 06N175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N152W 07N152W 05N155W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N171W 30N164W 26N170W 25N176W 23N179W 24N179W 27N174W. FEATURE MOVING EAST SLOWLY NORTH OF 27N...NEARLY STATIONARY ELSEWHERE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 16S153W 23S143W 25S141W 25S145W 20S150W 17S155W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 04S163W 04S160W 08S160W 10S163W 06S164W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09S144W 12S144W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30428-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH20051Z4CPMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:43:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PLhTja092243 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 05:43:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PJrAFn044348; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 16:29:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 164404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 16:29:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PLTDvB052940 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 16:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PLT99d015268 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 16:29:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PLT99g015267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 16:29:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 16:29:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306252129.h5PLT99g015267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 252128 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 25 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1007 MB TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N97W MOVING WNW 10 KT. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 5N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. LOCATION OF WAVE SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO DISCERN AS IT MOVES INTO BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DISTURBANCE FURTHER W. POSITION BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OVER LAST 24 HOURS COMBINED WITH HINTS OF CYCLONIC TURNING OF LOW CLOUDS NOTED IN AFTERNOON VISIBLE IMAGERY. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION DEVELOPING INLAND OVER GUATEMALA...HONDURAS...AND BELIZE MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. ..ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS WITH SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N135W TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2145 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N97W... AFTERNOON VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A LOOSELY ORGANIZED CENTER WHICH CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A RATHER BROAD AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FOUND FROM 12N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 93W AND 99W. WHILE MOST CONVECTION HAS REMAINED OFFSHORE THROUGH THE DAY...BAND OF SCATTERED STRONG STORMS...E OF THE SYSTEM CENTER...ARE MOVING NORTH TOWARD COASTAL AREAS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 95W TO 98W AT LEAST THROUGH THE EARLY NIGHT TIME HOURS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED NEAR 7N77W 12N93W 11N103W 8N130W 10N136W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 136W ON THE AXIS. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 20N108W. $$ HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:38 2003 X-UIDL: 30435-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX001R5II6D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 18:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NA19Rk080087 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 18:01:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCtl037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 117782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N9tgvB038784 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N9tg9d025921 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N9tfX8025920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230955.h5N9tfX8025920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 230955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM OF LINE 08N169W 06N180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N175W 27N180 LIFTING NORTHEAST AND WEAKENING. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 29N DIMINISHED. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 29N. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S145W 17S154W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 10S173W 09S180. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 12 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF FRONT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 23S AND ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 175W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... SHEAR LINE THROUGH 18S120W 16S130W 18S137W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:39 2003 X-UIDL: 30436-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX001OFIH1D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 18:00:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NA0QRk079746 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 18:00:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCtn037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 117785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N9tlvB038792 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N9tl9d025929 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N9tlkK025928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:55:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230955.h5N9tlkK025928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 230955 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUN 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA IS CENTERED ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:39 2003 X-UIDL: 30438-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX0015WI7KD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 17:54:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N9sjRk077998 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 17:54:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCtL037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:43:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 117705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:43:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N9hWvB033266 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:43:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N9hV9d025839 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:43:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N9hVSh025838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:43:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:43:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230943.h5N9hVSh025838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 230943 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 23 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0600 UTC... ..A 1008 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 16N104W...DRIFTING EAST. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 78W IS NOW ALONG 79W NORTH OF 4N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 87W/88W IS NOW ALONG 89W NORTH OF 5N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 98W IS NOW ALONG 99W NORTH OF 6N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N86W 8N92W 9N100W 11N105W 9N120W 10N133W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS EAST OF 81W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA...WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W...AND WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 106W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A 14N92W TO 10N95W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N TO 23N EAST OF 107W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO...WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N86W TO 11N89W...AND WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 14N95.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:40 2003 X-UIDL: 30442-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX0017UB0VD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:19:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N7JYRk017847 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:19:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N5Hp3t026060; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 116943 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N7CFvB024596 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N7CF9d024741 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N7CEbx024739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230712.h5N7CEbx024739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:42 2003 X-UIDL: 30448-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00EFLDDPQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 18:05:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OA5gja075640 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 18:05:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O9a9wp026060; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:58:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 135744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:58:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O9wLvB033378 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:58:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O9wK9d023403 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:58:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O9wKB7023402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:58:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:58:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240958.h5O9wKB7023402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 240958 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUN 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA ARE LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:42 2003 X-UIDL: 30449-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00E4NCQSQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 17:52:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O9pvja071648 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 17:51:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O58aAt030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:45:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 135663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:45:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O9jSvB033352 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:45:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O9jS9d023317 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O9jRWF023316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:45:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:45:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240945.h5O9jRWF023316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 240945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 24 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0600 UTC... ..A 1007 MB LOW IS NEAR 17N103W ...REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...DRIFTING ENE. AN ISOLATED CELL OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS JUST W OF THE CENTER. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 9N91W 15N95W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W/104W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N104W. ..RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N133W 16N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 9N120W 10N124W 79N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE IS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 87W1-101W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W-119W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF THE GUATEMALA/MEXICO BORDER NEAR 13N92W AND NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AROUND 3N79W. AN ISOLATED TSTM CELL IS NEAR 7N80W AND IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:43 2003 X-UIDL: 30450-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00ETYCLDQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 17:48:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O9mcja070558 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 17:48:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O58aAr030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:43:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 135649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:43:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O9hTvB037796 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:43:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O9hS9d023303 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:43:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O9hSUY023302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:43:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:43:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240943.h5O9hSUY023302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 240943 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 09N140W 05N175W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 09N140W 09N147W AND EXTENDING EAST HAVE MOVED NORTH SLOWLY AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU ALONG ITCZ WEST OF 147 HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS PART OF THE ITCZ HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. FRONT...THROUGH 30N170W 25N180 HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 5 KT AND WEAKENED. SHOWERY BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU CB WITHIN 35NM OF FRONT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 25S146W 20S154W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 10S175W NEARLY STATIONARY. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM OF FRONT AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 90NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF POINT 21S139W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:44 2003 X-UIDL: 30456-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00E0R6I0Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 15:37:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O7b4ja031175 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 15:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O1HlmR026060; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 02:31:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 134653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 02:31:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O7V4vB036050 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 02:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O7V39d021831 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 02:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O7V33F021830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 02:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 02:31:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240731.h5O7V33F021830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 240730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON JUN 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:44 2003 X-UIDL: 30458-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX001BFCXYD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:01:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N80wRk038192 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:01:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCrd037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:55:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 117135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:55:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N7tRvB024736 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N7tR9d024958 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N7tRNk024957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:55:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230755.h5N7tRNk024957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 230755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUN 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:47 2003 X-UIDL: 30466-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY0018EASAD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:12:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NKC3Rk047067 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:12:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NB7nb3037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:00:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 125373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:54:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NJs2vB025302 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:54:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NJs29d011240 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:54:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NJs2wR011239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:54:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:54:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306231954.h5NJs2wR011239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 231953 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUN 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OR MOVE INTO THE CPHC AREA BETWEEN 140W AND 180W NORTH OF THE EQUATOR DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:49 2003 X-UIDL: 30476-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY0011UIKSD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 07:00:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NN0KRk085964 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 07:00:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NH0Se7026060; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 17:55:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 127402 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 17:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NMtdvB039706 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 17:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NMtc9d015316 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 17:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NMtcY0015315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 17:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 17:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306232255.h5NMtcY0015315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 232255 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUN 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA ARE LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. REGENERATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:50 2003 X-UIDL: 30478-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY001MCFLWD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 05:56:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NLuBRk073234 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 05:56:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NB7nk3037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:47:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 126851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NLl7vB044814 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NLl79d014388 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:47:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NLl7iu014387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:47:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:47:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306232147.h5NLl7iu014387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 232146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM OF LINE 08N143W 09N165W 11N169W 09N178W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N177W 27N180 LIFTING NORTHEAST AND WEAKENING. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 28N DIMINISHED. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 28N. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S140W 15S160W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 11S170W 09S180. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 12 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF FRONT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 23S AND ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 173W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... SHEAR LINE THROUGH 17S120W 14S130W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:50 2003 X-UIDL: 30480-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY0018AEHED2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 05:32:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NLVmRk067356 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 05:31:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NB7nj9037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:22:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 126578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:22:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NLMXvB049230 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:22:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NLMW9d013833 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:22:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NLMW2B013832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:22:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:22:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306232122.h5NLMW2B013832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 232122 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 23 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1800 UTC... ..LOW PRES 17N103W 1008 MB...REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...NEARLY STATIONARY. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 80W/81W IS NOW ALONG 82W NEAR THE COAST OF PANAMA MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 90W/91W IS NOW ALONG 92W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W/101W NOW ALONG 101W/102W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2100 UTC... LOW PRES REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA... LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME LESS-DEFINED IN THE LAST FEW HOURS. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 40 NM WIDE IS NEAR THE LOW CENTER...WITH DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM NW QUADRANT OF LOW. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 7N86W 10N90W 9N110W 11N122W 8N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 98W...AND WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 127W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30484-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY00EQGX91Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 12:17:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O4HIja071749 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 12:17:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NMvbLd010730; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 132247 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O4BvvB032746 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O4Bv9d019569 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O4Bvex019567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240411.h5O4Bvex019567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30486-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY00E4JW2MQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O3ppja063379 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:51:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NMvbJH010730; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:46:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 131780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:46:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O3knvB004998 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:46:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O3kn9d019079 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:46:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O3knwW019078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:46:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:46:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Synoptic Analysis Time Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240346.h5O3knwW019078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=49%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 240346 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS TIME NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 24 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0000 UTC... ..LOW PRES 17N104W 1005 MB...REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW CENTER. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 82W IS NOW ALONG 83W NEAR THE COAST OF PANAMA MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W IS NOW ALONG 93W SOUTH OF OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 101W/102W IS NOW ALONG 102W/103W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 8N90W 9N100W 9N105W 7N114W 11N120W 7N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF PANAMA COAST BETWEEN 81W-84W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W-118W...BETWEEN 124W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 14N93W. $$ MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30487-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY00E32W24Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:51:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O3pWja063291 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:51:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O1HlNB026060; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:45:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 131691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:43:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O3hJvB024036 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:43:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O3hC9d019006 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:43:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O3hCGb019005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:43:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:43:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240343.h5O3hCGb019005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 240342 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUN 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA ARE LOCATED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:53 2003 X-UIDL: 30489-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY00E6HVQ0Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:44:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O3iFja061045 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 11:44:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NMvbI1010730; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:40:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 131627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:40:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O3e0vB043516 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:40:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O3e09d018950 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O3e0L1018949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:40:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240340.h5O3e0L1018949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 240339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 24 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1800 UTC... ..LOW PRES 17N104W 1005 MB...REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...NEARLY STATIONARY. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 82W IS NOW ALONG 83W NEAR THE COAST OF PANAMA MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W IS NOW ALONG 93W SOUTH OF OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 101W/102W IS NOW ALONG 102W/103W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0315 UTC... LOW PRES REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA... LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE POORLY DEFINED. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 8N90W 9N100W 9N105W 7N114W 11N120W 7N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF PANAMA COAST BETWEEN 81W-84W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W-118W...BETWEEN 124W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 14N93W. $$ MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:16 2003 X-UIDL: 30528-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV000PSJERLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:25:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M8PSRk015297 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:25:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPYv048390; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:21:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:21:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M8L7vB024720 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:21:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M8L69d013343 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:21:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M8L611013342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:21:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:21:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Discussion Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220821.h5M8L611013342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 220820 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUN 22 2003 UNLIKE THE PREVIOUS SEVERAL NIGHTS...BLANCA HAS NOT MADE A CONVECTIVE COMEBACK. THERE HAS BEEN NO DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS OR SO. HOWEVER...IT IS NOT WISE TO KILL A TROPICAL SYSTEM AT NIGHT SINCE CONVECTION CAN ALWAYS REDEVELOP...SO BLANCA IS BEING MAINTAINED AS A TROPCIAL CYCLONE FOR ONE MORE ADVISORY UNTIL VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES BECOME AVAILABLE. THERE ARE NO SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM ANY OF THE THREE AGENCIES... SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE LAST QUIKSCAT PASS WHICH SHOWED A 25 KT NON-RAIN CONTAMINATED WINDSPEED AND A TIGHT LOW-CLOUD SWIRL PATTERN SEEN IN A 22/0437Z SSMI OVERPASS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 080/03. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS ALL OVER THE COMPASS...WHICH USUALLY INDICATES A SLOW FORWARD SPEED IS THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION. SINCE BLANCA HAS BECOME A SHALLOW SYSTEM...IT IS MAINLY BEING PULLED EASTWARD BY A LONG FETCH OF LOW-LEVEL SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY FLOW FEEDING INTO MEXICO. THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE SPLIT BETWEEN A SLOW NORTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A SLOW EASTERLY COMPROMISE. THE STORM-RELATIVE SHEAR HAS ACTUALLY INCREASED ACROSS BLANCA SINCE THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN MOVING EASTWARD INTO INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. UNLESS DEEP CONVECTION REDEVELOPS FAIRLY QUICKLY... THE CYCLONE WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND BE ABSORBED INTO THE BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION THAT EXTENDS WESTWARD FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. STEADY WEAKENING AND EVENTUAL DISSIPATION IS FORECAST AND THIS IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE GFDL MODEL...WHICH DISSIPATES BLANCA IN 18-24 HOURS. THE SHIPS MODEL ACTUALLY RE-STRENGTHENS THE CYCLONE TO A TROPICAL STORM IN 48 HOURS...BUT THIS SEEMS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE LARGE DISTURBANCE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF BLANCA. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0900Z 15.8N 105.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 22/1800Z 15.9N 104.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 23/0600Z 15.9N 104.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:16 2003 X-UIDL: 30529-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV000H4I8BLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:00:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M803Rk010475 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:00:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPYj048390; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 02:55:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 02:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M7tgvB047856 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 02:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M7tg9d012992 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 02:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M7tge2012991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 02:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 02:55:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220755.h5M7tge2012991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 220755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT JUN 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:17 2003 X-UIDL: 30531-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV0002486ZLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 12:23:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M4NCRk069106 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 12:23:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPSp048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 23:18:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 102323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 23:18:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M4IrvB035830 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 23:18:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M4Ir9d011692 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 23:18:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M4IrSM011691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 23:18:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 23:18:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220418.h5M4IrSM011691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 220418 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUN 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A LARGE DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:17 2003 X-UIDL: 30532-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV0008E7CHLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 12:05:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M44rRk065442 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 12:04:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPS1048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:59:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 102194 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:59:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M3xFvB033056 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:59:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M3xF9d011539 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:59:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M3xEBQ011538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:59:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:59:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220359.h5M3xEBQ011538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 220359 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 22 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 105.7W NEAR STATIONARY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY WAS ALONG 81W IS NOW 82W/83W NORTH OF 6N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 90W IS NOW ALONG 91W/92W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W IS NOW ALONG 101W/102W NORTH OF 8N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 122W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N135W TO 22N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA... BLANCA IS UNDER STRONG EASTERLY SHEAR. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COVERS A BROAD AREA FROM THE ITCZ AXIS TO 18N EAST OF 120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N89W 11N101W 10N111W 10N124W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 5N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 80W TO 83W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 89W AND WITHIN 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 91W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 125W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 141W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 7N EAST OF 80W ACROSS PANAMA AND INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30/60 NM ALONG THE ENTIRE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 103W AND 106W INCLUDING A PORTION OF WEST MEXICO. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF 95W FROM 12N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE ENTIRE COASTS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA...AND INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 101W TO 103W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 89W FROM 8N TO 12N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:17 2003 X-UIDL: 30533-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV000974TILI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 11:16:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M2VgRk049860 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 10:31:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPPD048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:28:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 101431 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:26:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M2QYvB054072 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:26:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M2QY9d010922 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:26:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M2QYTY010921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:26:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:26:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220226.h5M2QYTY010921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 220226 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0300Z SUN JUN 22 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.7W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.7W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.7W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.6N 105.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.6N 105.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.6N 105.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 105.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:18 2003 X-UIDL: 30534-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV000974TILI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 11:16:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M2VhRk049864 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 10:31:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPP5048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:28:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 101423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:25:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M2PuvB016210 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:25:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M2Pu9d010917 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:25:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M2Ptsx010916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:25:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:25:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Discussion Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220225.h5M2Ptsx010916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 220225 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUN 21 2003 BLANCA IS HANGING ON BY A THREAD. IT IS PRODUCING SOME DEEP CONVECTION ON THE SOUTH-SIDE OF THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CENTER BUT CONTINUES TO BATTLE THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLIES. BLANCA IS OVER 28C WATER AND THE SHIPS INTENSITY GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO CALL FOR BLANCA TO REGAIN STORM STATUS. HOWEVER...GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE SHEAR SHOULD PERSIST FOR AT LEAST SEVERAL MORE DAYS...AND SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL DECAY. THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW AROUND BLANCA REMAINS WEAK AND THE SYSTEM HAS DRIFTED TOWARD THE EAST DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS STATIONARY AND LITTLE NET MOTION IS EXPECTED WHILE THE SYSTEM WINDS DOWN. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 15.6N 105.7W 25 KT 12HR VT 22/1200Z 15.6N 105.7W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 23/0000Z 15.6N 105.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 23/1200Z 15.6N 105.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:18 2003 X-UIDL: 30536-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV000OK4WFLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 11:16:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M20gRk045087 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 10:00:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPNF048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 20:55:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 101146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 20:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M1tevB024746 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 20:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M1td9d010725 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 20:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M1tdq3010724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 20:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 20:55:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220155.h5M1tdq3010724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 220155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT JUN 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:19 2003 X-UIDL: 30540-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00E7CSQAIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 06:49:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LMnBRk008075 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 06:49:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPDT048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:43:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 99248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LMZWvB054168 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LMZV9d009042 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:35:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LMZVIu009041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:35:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 17:35:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306212235.h5LMZVIu009041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 212235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUN 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A LARGE DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:21 2003 X-UIDL: 30549-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX001R21T9D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 12:00:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N40bRk055684 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 12:00:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCfD037876; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:53:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 115052 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:53:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N3rdvB015008 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:53:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N3rd9d023190 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:53:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N3rcgP023189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:53:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:53:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230353.h5N3rcgP023189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 230353 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUN 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA IS CENTERED ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:21 2003 X-UIDL: 30550-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX001SX1HXD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:53:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N3rmRk053769 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:53:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MMjZRD035508; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:48:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 114988 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:48:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N3mcvB032712 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:48:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N3mc9d023136 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:48:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N3mch2023135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:48:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:48:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230348.h5N3mch2023135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 230348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 23 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0000 UTC... ..A 1005 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 16N105W...DRIFTING EAST. ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE REGION ALONG 77W/78W IS NOW ALONG 78W NORTH OF 3N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 86W/87W IS NOW ALONG 87W/88W NORTH OF 3N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W/96W IS NOW ALONG 98W NORTH OF 4N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N86W 9N100W 11N106W 9N120W 9N134W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 101W AND WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 90W...WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 92W...AND WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 107W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 92W FROM 9N TO 12N...WITHIN 75/90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA SOUTH OF 12N WEST OF 84W...AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 91W TO 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 11N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR FROM 87W TO 89W...WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 6.5N94W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 5.5N86W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE FROM 18N TO 21N BETWEEN 104W AND 107W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 30558-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW000BNW99LI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 10:00:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N20bRk022445 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 10:00:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCXv037876; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 20:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 113848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 20:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N1tYvB048494 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 20:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N1tY9d022080 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 20:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N1tY9s022079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 20:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 20:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230155.h5N1tY9s022079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 230155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN JUN 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:27 2003 X-UIDL: 30565-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW000WCQNELI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 07:59:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MNxURk089963 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 07:59:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MMjZ3t035508; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:51:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 112681 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:51:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MNp6vB016364 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:51:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MNp69d020862 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MNp6kb020861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:51:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306222351.h5MNp6kb020861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 222350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN JUN 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:28 2003 X-UIDL: 30570-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW0007YMZVLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 06:40:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MMeSRk078588 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 06:40:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCPZ037876; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:34:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 111801 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MMVNvB035998 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MMVM9d019901 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MMVMDt019900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:31:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306222231.h5MMVMDt019900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 222231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUN 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA IS CENTERED ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:29 2003 X-UIDL: 30571-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW0005PLLLLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 06:10:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MMAPRk073897 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 06:10:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCOd037876; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:03:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 111624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:03:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MM3pvB016326 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:03:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MM3p9d019523 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MM3pnD019522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:03:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306222203.h5MM3pnD019522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 222203 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JUNE 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 07N140W 04N160W 07N180. OCCASIONAL TCU AND SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM OF AXIS EAST OF 167W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 08N167W 06N170W. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 07N172W 07N177W 05N178W 02N176E HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT...THROUGH 30N176W 23N173E. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 30N175W 28N179W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... OCCASIONAL TCU AND SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 100NM OF LINE 11N154W 13N164W 10N173W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20 KNOTS WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...THROUGH 19S120W 17S128W 19S138W HAS MOVED NORTH SLOWLY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60N OF SHEARLINE. FRONT...THROUGH 25S147W 20S146W 12S155W AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S. AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU BOUNDED BY 14S156W 18S142W 25S139W 14S156W HAS MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 15KT AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NEW OCCASIONAL TCU AND SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS HAVE FORMED WITHIN 100NM OF LINE 07S157W 09S180. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF POINT 03S166W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:29 2003 X-UIDL: 30573-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW00031K4QLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 05:38:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MLcgRk069365 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 05:38:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MKeS1B038770; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:32:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 111082 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:32:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MLWMvB016358 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:32:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MLWM9d019128 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:32:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MLWMfm019127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:32:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:32:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306222132.h5MLWMfm019127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 222132 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 22 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1200 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA NEAR 16N105W...DRIFTING EAST. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 85W NOW ALONG 86W/87W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W NOW ALONG 95W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1430 UTC... 1008 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA UPPER LEVEL EASTERLY SHEAR AT THE PERIPHERY OF AN AREA OF BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER OLD MEXICO HAS FINALLY TAKEN ITS TOLL ON WHAT WAS TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA. INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 10N100W 10N111W 10N127W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90-120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 88W...AND IN A CLUSTER WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 95W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 105W. ISOLATED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE ALSO WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA BETWEEN 80W AND 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. COBB $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:54 2003 X-UIDL: 30583-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX001A18VLD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:33:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N6XERk001687 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:33:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCqb037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 116691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N6R1vB044414 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N6R19d024383 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N6R1Og024382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230627.h5N6R1Og024382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:55 2003 X-UIDL: 30584-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX0013M8TJD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:32:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N6W0Rk001274 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:32:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N5Hp1P026060; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 116694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N6R2vB048702 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N6R19d024381 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N6R1kJ024379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:27:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230627.h5N6R1kJ024379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIII, Probability=53%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:55 2003 X-UIDL: 30585-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX001BB8KED2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:26:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N6QURk099190 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 14:26:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCqZ037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:22:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 116660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:22:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N6MTvB032854 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:22:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N6MT9d024355 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:22:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N6MSC7024354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:22:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 01:22:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230622.h5N6MSC7024354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 16.0N7 104.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 104.9W4 --- REMARKS: 221200Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 104.9W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS DRIFTED EASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221200Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:58 2003 X-UIDL: 30603-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY0015K7B9D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 02:57:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NIv2Rk021906 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 02:57:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NB7nWV037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:47:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 124443 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NIkrvB040646 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:46:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NIkr9d008996 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NIkr4Y008994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:46:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306231846.h5NIkr4Y008994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/STATEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:58 2003 X-UIDL: 30604-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY0014J7ALD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 02:56:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NIubRk021790 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 02:56:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NH0SDL026060; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:47:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 124440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NIkrvB024604 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:46:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NIkr9d008995 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NIkrUk008992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 13:46:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306231846.h5NIkrUk008992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 231800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/STATEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:00 2003 X-UIDL: 30612-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY0013U0VSD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 00:38:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NGc6Rk084743 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 00:38:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NB7nIB037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:27:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 121951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NGRmvB044188 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NGRl9d004434 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NGRlBZ004433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:27:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306231627.h5NGRlBZ004433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 231627 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 23 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA CENTER NEAR 17N103W... ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 103W AND 105W. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 79W NOW 80W/81W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 89W NOW 90W/91W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 99W NOW 100W/101W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 10N88W 10N105W 8N117W 7N134W 7N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 98W...AND SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM TO THE SOUTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 180 NM SOUTH OF AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 88W. ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS WEST OF 105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:00 2003 X-UIDL: 30613-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY001KE0I1D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 00:30:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NGToRk082897 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 00:29:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NB7nGZ037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:21:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 121716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:21:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NGLRvB021988 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:21:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NGLR9d004232 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:21:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NGLQe9004231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:21:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 11:21:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306231621.h5NGLQe9004231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 231621 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUN 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA ARE LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. REGENERATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:03 2003 X-UIDL: 30620-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX001R1TWLD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:07:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NE7ORk041861 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 22:07:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N5HpWH026060; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 08:55:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 119845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 08:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NDtcvB032916 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 08:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NDtc9d029245 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 08:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NDtcYV029244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 08:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 08:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306231355.h5NDtcYV029244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 231355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON JUN 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:06 2003 X-UIDL: 30630-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW000N773WLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 00:57:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MGvORk011076 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 00:57:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXC9b037876; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 11:52:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 11:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MGqIvB016062 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 11:52:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MGqH9d016478 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 11:52:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MGqH4p016477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 11:52:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 11:52:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306221652.h5MGqH4p016477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 221652 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUN 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:06 2003 X-UIDL: 30632-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW000172OALI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 23:21:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MFLcRk093023 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 23:21:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXC65037876; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 10:15:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 107573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 10:15:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MFFMvB045290 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 10:15:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MFFL9d015878 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 10:15:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MFFLeO015877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 10:15:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 10:15:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306221515.h5MFFLeO015877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 221515 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 22 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA CENTER NEAR 16.0N 104.8W AT 22/1500 UTC MOVING EAST 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 83W/84W NOW 85W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 92W/93W NOW 94W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1430 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA... UPPER LEVEL SHEARING FROM THE EASTERLY WIND FLOW AROUND AN AREA OF BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW...WHICH STRETCHES FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...NOT HELPING THE CONTINUED LIVELIHOOD OF THE CURRENT DEPRESSION BLANCA. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF MEXICO AND COASTAL WATERS FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 102W AND 107W...CONTINUE IN THE BROAD AREA OF SURFACE TO LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IN WHICH T.D. BLANCA HAS FOUND ITSELF SINCE IT FORMED. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 10N100W 10N111W 10N127W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 111W AND 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS WITHIN 180-240 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 103W. SPECIFICALLY... THE COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES ARE FOUND...FROM 5N TO 6N BETWEEN 82W AND 83W...WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 7.5N84W...FROM 5N TO 6.5N BETWEEN 91W AND 92W...AND WITHIN 15-20 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM 14N TO 27N BETWEEN 90W IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND 110W. A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER MIGHT BE NEAR 16N114W...WITHOUT A GREAT AMOUNT OF AERIAL COVERAGE. MT $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:07 2003 X-UIDL: 30634-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW000HI0L9LI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:36:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MEabRk083500 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:36:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M59xaX038764; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MEW1vB025202 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MEW19d015515 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MEW1q0015514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Discussion Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306221432.h5MEW1q0015514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 221431 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUN 22 2003 BLANCA IS DISSIPATING. VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW A LOW-CLOUD SWIRL WITH A FEW PATCHES OF DEEP CONVECTION. AMSU DATA INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS RATHER SHALLOW...AND...BASED ON A PROBABLE SPINDOWN FROM LAST NIGHT'S QUIKSCAT PASS...THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS ARE NO MORE THAN 20 KT. THE DYING SYSTEM COULD STILL PRODUCE SOME INTERMITTENT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON BLANCA. FOR ANY ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...REFER TO HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 16.0N 104.8W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 23/0000Z 16.0N 104.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:07 2003 X-UIDL: 30635-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW000FT0JMLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:35:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MEZdRk083341 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:35:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M59xab038764; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MEWJvB045232 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MEWJ9d015521 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MEWJGD015520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:32:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306221432.h5MEWJGD015520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 221432 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 1500Z SUN JUN 22 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.8W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT...DISSIPATING WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.8W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 104.9W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.0N 104.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 104.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:09 2003 X-UIDL: 30641-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV0001BZ1ALI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:03:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ME2sRk077430 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:02:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXC09037876; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 08:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 08:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MDtivB038046 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 08:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MDth9d015276 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 08:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MDthUd015275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 08:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 08:55:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306221355.h5MDthUd015275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 221355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN JUN 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:11 2003 X-UIDL: 30646-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV0006JOPZLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:20:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MAKGRk036687 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:20:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPbP048390; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:15:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:15:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MAFjvB025156 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:15:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MAFj9d014031 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:15:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MAFjQs014030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:15:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:15:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306221015.h5MAFjQs014030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 221015 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUN 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA...CENTERED ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A LARGE DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN MEXICO NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. WHILE CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY STILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:11 2003 X-UIDL: 30647-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV000RWO9LLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:10:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MAAQRk034818 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:10:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPbH048390; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:06:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:06:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MA6dvB036040 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:06:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MA6c9d013986 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:06:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MA6cl6013985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:06:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 05:06:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306221006.h5MA6cl6013985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 221006 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 22 JUN 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.8N 105.2W MOVING EAST AT 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. PRELIMINARY SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY WAS ALONG 82W/83W IS NOW 83W/84W NORTH OF 6N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W/92W IS NOW ALONG 92W/93W NORTH OF 8N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE SURFACE. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N140W TO 20N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0945 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA... BLANCA CONTINUES UNDER STRONG EASTERLY SHEAR. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SCATTERED SHOWERS COVERS A BROAD AREA FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 11N104W 9N109W 10N126W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 102W AND WITHIN 120 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W...WITHIN 60 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 91W...AND WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 92W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 8N86W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NORTH OF 7N EAST OF 80W TO INLAND OVER PANAMA AND COLOMBIA...NORTH OF 7N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 81W TO 83W...OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN A 60/75 NM RADIUS OF 9.5N86.5W...AND OFF THE COAST OF WEST MEXICO WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 20N106W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE NORTH OF 9N EAST OF 99W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO AND TO THE COAST OF OF CENTRAL AMERICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 17N TO 22N EAST OF 109W TO INLAND OVER WEST MEXICO. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:12 2003 X-UIDL: 30648-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV0008INSXLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:00:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MA0PRk032953 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 18:00:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPbD048390; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:55:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104718 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M9tavB035986 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M9ta9d013892 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M9taUd013891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220955.h5M9taUd013891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 220955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JUNE 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N178W 27N177E IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 08N173W 05N180 AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 02N178W 02N180 ARE NEWLY FORMED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW NEAR 24S159W MOVED NORTHEAST 12 KT AND WEAKENED. TROUGH/CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG LINE 25S150W 18S151W 14S155W MOVED EAST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB/BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 125 NM OF TROUGH/CONVERGENCE ZONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG LINE 11S173W 17S162W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 20S120W 19S127W 19S132W IS STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 75 NM OF SHEAR LINE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:12 2003 X-UIDL: 30649-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV0002RNPDLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:58:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M9wHRk032418 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:58:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPbB048390; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:53:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104703 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:53:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M9rovB032566 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:53:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M9ro9d013883 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:53:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M9rohP013882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:53:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:53:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220953.h5M9rohP013882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 15.8N4 105.3W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 105.3W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.9N5 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220600Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4 105.3W9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED EASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220600Z0 IN FRARED SATELLITE IMAGEFOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WAR NINGS AT 221600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:12 2003 X-UIDL: 30650-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV000OAN9OLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:49:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M9mqRk030940 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 17:48:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M59xDr038764; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:43:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:43:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M9havB032788 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:43:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M9hZ9d013837 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:43:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M9hZd5013836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:43:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:43:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220943.h5M9hZd5013836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 15.8N4 105.3W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 105.3W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.9N5 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220600Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4 105.3W9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02E (BLANCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED EASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:13 2003 X-UIDL: 30652-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV000SUJIOLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:28:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M8RpRk015730 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:27:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPYx048390; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:22:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104002 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:22:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M8M7vB041636 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:22:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M8M69d013351 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:22:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M8M6cC013350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:22:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:22:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Blanca Forecast/advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220822.h5M8M6cC013350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 220821 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION BLANCA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022003 0900Z SUN JUN 22 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.2W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.2W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.3W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.9N 104.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.9N 104.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 105.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:41:45 2003 X-UIDL: 30686-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00DQCGVU2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 23:40:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63FeY4q028633 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 23:40:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6353xqV040980; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 10:29:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70244 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 10:29:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63FTtc9055746 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 10:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63FTt9d011322 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 10:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63FTs07011321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 10:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 10:29:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307031529.h63FTs07011321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 031529 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 03 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N86W. ..TROPICAL WAVE HELD ALONG 100W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE SHOWS BROAD CURVATURE BUT IS INTERMIXED WITH THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 97W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13W BETWEEN 97W-104W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 105W-110W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 119W HAS WEAKENED. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N134W 16N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N87W 8N115W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 77W-80W BETWEEN 4N-8N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 113W-118W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM 13N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 93W-100W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 01:31:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00DV3M0Y2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 01:31:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63HVa4q063145 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 01:31:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62I0w5X039894; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 71535 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63HO7c9031088 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63HO79d014863 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63HO7IL014861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307031724.h63HO7IL014861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 01:41:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00DWZM222P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 01:32:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63HWH4q063286 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 01:32:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6353xuF040980; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 71538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63HO7c9053200 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63HO79d014864 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63HO7fL014862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:24:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307031724.h63HO7fL014862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 01:41:53 2003 X-UIDL: 30692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00D4EM972P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 01:36:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63Hab4q064349 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 01:36:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62I0w5Z039894; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:25:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 71557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:25:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63HPnc9053232 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:25:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63HPm9d014921 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:25:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63HPm7T014920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:25:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 12:25:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307031725.h63HPm7T014920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 031725 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUL 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVLOPMENT...BUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 04:01:53 2003 X-UIDL: 30697-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00DNXST32P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 03:58:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63Jw84q008656 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 03:58:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dcb021392; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 14:46:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 0299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 14:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63Jkcc9052732 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 14:46:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63Jkb9d018782 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 14:46:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63JkbWE018781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 14:46:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 14:46:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307031946.h63JkbWE018781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 031946 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU JUL 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 05:41:53 2003 X-UIDL: 30705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00GQDXAZBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:35:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63LZF4q034462 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:35:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dfR021392; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:29:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63LTZc9038720 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:29:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63LTZ9d022015 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63LTZpV022014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:29:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307032129.h63LTZpV022014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 032129 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 04N160W 08N140W AND EXTENDING EAST. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 07N159W 05N155W...VERY ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12N145W 06N146W 08N150W 12N145W AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 07N144W 07N140W HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. TROUGH ALOFT...AXIS THROUGH 18N180 30N168W. NEW ISOLATED HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF POINT 13N174W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS FROM NIHOA TO GARDNER PINNACLES. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE THROUGH 25S124W 15S149W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 240 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTHWEST OF SHEARLINE. CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS THROUGH 09S148W 09S160W 05S180. VERY ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S151W 09S147W 08S154W 05S151W...WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 07S164W 07S168W AND WITHIN 90NM OF LINE 04S170W 05S179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 05:51:53 2003 X-UIDL: 30706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00D25XTH2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:46:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63LkL4q037127 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:46:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dfj021392; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:40:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:40:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63Letc9020908 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:40:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63Les9d022253 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:40:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63Lesqa022252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:40:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:40:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307032140.h63Lesqa022252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 032140 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 03 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W/101W FROM 5N TO 15N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W FROM 5N TO 16N MOVING W 10 KT. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A CLOUD BAND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 10.5N107.5W 8N102W LINE. CONDITIONS ARE MARGINAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N133W 20N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N92W 9N110W 7N115W 6N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS E OF 81W...BETWEEN 92W AND 98W...AND BETWEEN 114W AND 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W. $$ CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 06:51:53 2003 X-UIDL: 30709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHH00G5P0TKBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 06:51:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63MpC4q050822 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 06:51:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1gg5053054; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 17:43:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 17:43:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63MhLc9019268 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 17:43:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63MhL9d023142 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 17:43:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63MhLc1023141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 17:43:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 17:43:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307032243.h63MhLc1023141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 032243 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUL 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVLOPMENT...BUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 11:08:05 2003 X-UIDL: 30714-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHH00G2F9CLBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:55:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h641tP4q096134 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:55:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1don021392; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 20:50:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3832 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 20:50:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h641oDc9029312 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 20:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h641oC9d025502 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 20:50:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h641oC8o025501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 20:50:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 20:50:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307040150.h641oC8o025501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 040145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU JUL 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 11:37:48 2003 X-UIDL: 30721-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHH00G4JE2OBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:37:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h643bM4q026135 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:37:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1gm5053054; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:33:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 4680 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:33:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h643XEc9043316 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:33:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h643XE9d026502 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:33:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h643XE1p026501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:33:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:33:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307040333.h643XE1p026501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 040332 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUL 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. UPPER- LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT... AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 12:57:38 2003 X-UIDL: 30724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHH00GK7F3NBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:59:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h643xd4q032246 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:59:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1drh021392; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:56:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 4932 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:56:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h643uSc9023652 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:56:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h643uS9d026761 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:56:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h643uSdb026760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:56:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 22:56:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307040356.h643uSdb026760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 040356 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 04 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 87W NOW ALONG 88W/89W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W/101W NOW ALONG 102W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10N107W. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED SUFFICIENTLY ENOUGH DURING THE LAST TWENTY FOUR HOURS...AND THUS A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NOW IS IN THE AREA OF THE LOW AND THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 106W AND 111W. UPPER LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIGHT FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 9N96W 10N110W 9N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA BETWEEN 81W AND 85W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS EAST OF 104W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THROUGH 32N138W TO 25N140W...LEADING TO A RIDGE ALONG 123W/124W FROM 20N BEYOND 32N. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 15:21:04 2003 X-UIDL: 30728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHH00GKQIKVBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 13:14:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h645Ej4q054716 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 13:14:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1gp7053054; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:05:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 5599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:03:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6453Gc9029348 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:03:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6453G9d027477 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:03:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6453GQv027475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:03:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:03:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307040503.h6453GQv027475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 127.3E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 18:55:49 2003 X-UIDL: 30745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHH00G9BSCJBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:45:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h648jl4q015266 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:45:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1d3p021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 03:41:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 7224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 03:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h648fqc9052498 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 03:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h648fp9d029427 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 03:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h648fpRe029426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 03:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 03:41:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307040841.h648fpRe029426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 040800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU JUL 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 18:55:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHH00G3JWWOBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 18:24:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64AOG4q045846 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 18:24:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1d4j021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:19:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 7625 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:19:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64AJDc9044208 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:19:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64AJD9d000069 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:19:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64AJDN0000068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:19:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:19:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307041019.h64AJDN0000068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 040954 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUL 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. UPPER- LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT... AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 18:55:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHH00GRZXAMBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 18:32:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64AWd4q047882 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 18:32:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1d4r021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:26:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 7692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:26:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64AQcc9043264 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:26:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64AQc9d000116 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:26:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64AQcaX000115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:26:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 05:26:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307041026.h64AQcaX000115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 041001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08N178E 08N169W 05N170W 04N176W 02N179W 05N177E HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N158W 05N155W 04N163W 08N162W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT ..DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 06N147W 08N143W 06N142W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 30N167W 27N167W 26N170W 29N171W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED TCU BOUNDED BY 20N173W 18N167W 15N170W 18N174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)...UPPER LOW/TROUGH...FIRST SENTENCE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)...UPPER LOW/TROUGH...SECOND SENTENCE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... SHEAR LINE/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TCU AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 14S145W 25S122W 25S141W 16S146W. FEATURE MOVING EAST SLOWLY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 09S179E 10S176W 14S179E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S133W 16S136W 15S140W 13S139W 11S135W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 8 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 22:05:14 2003 X-UIDL: 30761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI00GFG73XBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:04:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64E4Y4q097127 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:04:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64DrScR039522; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:01:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 9018 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64E0vc9010282 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64E0v9d001874 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64E0vCm001872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:00:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307041400.h64E0vCm001872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 041400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI JUL 4 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 00:35:14 2003 X-UIDL: 30768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI00G1GDPEBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 00:27:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64GR54q030202 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 00:27:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dEF021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:21:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 10044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:21:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64GLYc9041232 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:21:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64GLY9d003232 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:21:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64GLX9e003231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:21:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:21:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307041621.h64GLX9e003231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 041615 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 04 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 90W IS NOW ALONG 91W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 103W/104W IS NOW ALONG 105W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 10N110W...MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. THIS SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITSELF SUFFICIENTLY ENOUGH DURING THE LAST TWENTY FOUR HOURS...AND THUS IS A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 10N100W 10N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 93W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 102W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120-150 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 00:45:14 2003 X-UIDL: 30769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI00GIZE4KBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 00:36:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64GaD4q032491 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 00:36:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1g2r053054; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:32:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 10203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:32:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64GWcc9049998 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:32:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64GWb9d003344 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64GWber003343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:32:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:32:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307041632.h64GWber003343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 041628 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUL 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA MEXICO CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 00:55:14 2003 X-UIDL: 30770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI00G1KELTBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 00:46:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64GkW4q034588 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 00:46:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dFD021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:41:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 10293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64Gd3c9044286 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:39:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64Gd39d003424 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:39:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64Gd3B0003422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:39:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:39:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307041639.h64Gd3B0003422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 00:55:14 2003 X-UIDL: 30771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI00G3JEN1BQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 00:47:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64GlJ4q034804 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 00:47:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dFB021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:41:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 10290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64Gd3c9043516 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:39:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64Gd39d003425 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:39:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64Gd3vH003423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:39:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 11:39:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307041639.h64Gd3vH003423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 03:55:15 2003 X-UIDL: 30773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI006G3N8QU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 03:53:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64Jqo4q080868 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 03:52:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1g6R053054; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 14:46:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11635 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 14:46:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64JkNc9044804 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 14:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64JkM9d004965 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 14:46:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64JkM8g004964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 14:46:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 14:46:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307041946.h64JkM8g004964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 041945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI JUL 4 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 08:54:40 2003 X-UIDL: 30778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI006J9SQ5U4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:51:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64LpR4q007558 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:51:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dQT021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:45:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 12982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64Ljpc9058768 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64Ljp9d006242 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64LjpAx006241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:45:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307042145.h64LjpAx006241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 042145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE ARE LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE 07N178E 05N169W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 200 NM OF THE POINTS 07N163W AND 09N150W HAVE MOVED WEST 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE 28N170W 25N168W 23N170W 21N174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)...UPPER LOW/TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)...UPPER LOW/TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... SHEAR LINE/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TCU AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE 25S120W 20S130W 15S140W 10S150W. FEATURE MOVING EAST SLOWLY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE 04S178E 05S173W 09N165W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 08:54:42 2003 X-UIDL: 30779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI006W5T2SU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:59:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64Lx84q009087 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:59:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dQh021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:52:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 13043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:52:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64LqSc9038608 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:52:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64LqS9d006314 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:52:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64LqRY2006313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:52:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 16:52:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307042152.h64LqRY2006313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 042151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 04 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...DEFINED AS A 1007 MB LOW...IS LOCATED NEAR 11N111W...MOVING WEST 5 TO 10 KT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE INTRODUCED ALONG 79W NORTH OF 7N ACROSS PANAMA INTO WESTERN CARIBBEAN...MOVING WEST ABOUT 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W/93W NORTH OF 6N INTO SOUTHERN MEXICO...MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 105W HAS DISSIPATED. ..BROAD RIDGE OVER THE AREA NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2100 UTC ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 108.5W AND 112.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N95W 10N104W 9N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 86W AND BETWEEN 113W AND 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 08:54:42 2003 X-UIDL: 30780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI006OYV02U4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 06:40:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64Meh4q016026 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 06:40:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1gBP053054; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 17:35:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 13597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 17:35:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64MZoc9055152 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 17:35:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64MZn9d006733 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 17:35:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64MZnr8006732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 17:35:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 17:35:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307042235.h64MZnr8006732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 042235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUL 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. WHILE THE SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 08:54:43 2003 X-UIDL: 30781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI006RIYVDU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 08:04:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6504E4q030587 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 08:04:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dW3021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 19:01:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 14557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 19:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6501Yc9029398 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 19:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6501X9d007638 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 19:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6501X0t007637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 19:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 19:01:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook,...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307050001.h6501X0t007637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 050001 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK,...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUL 4 2003 CORRECT 10 AM TO 4 PM FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. WHILE THE SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 16:13:54 2003 X-UIDL: 30786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHJ006MY4AIU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:01:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6521L4q053299 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:01:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1daR021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 20:57:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 15496 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 20:57:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h651vmc9043390 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 20:57:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h651vl9d008761 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 20:57:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h651vl9O008760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 20:57:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 20:57:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307050157.h651vl9O008760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 050157 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI JUL 4 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 16:13:56 2003 X-UIDL: 30792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHJ006HO977U4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:47:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653lF4q079418 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:47:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1gJf053054; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:42:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 16450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:42:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653gfc9015860 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:42:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h653gf9d009642 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:42:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h653gfNa009641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:42:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:42:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307050342.h653gfNa009641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 050342 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 05 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITH A 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N111W AT 05/0000 UTC MOVING W 5-10 KT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HRS. SEE MIATWOEP FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 79W IS NOW ALONG 80W/81W N OF 4N MOVING W ABOUT 10 KT. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE AXIS OVER THE E PACIFIC. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W/93W IS NOW ALONG 95W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. SOME DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ W OF THE AXIS. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 15N W OF 120W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EWD FROM 22N120W TO S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N111W... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PRIMARILY W OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION FROM 10N-14.5N BETWEEN 110W-117.5W AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN THE ITCZ FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 111W-118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N91W 8N98W 11N102W 11N111W 5N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 76W-79W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 86W-88.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-100W AND WITHIN 120 NM BETWEEN 101W-107W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER COSTA RICA AND OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 83W-87W. ISOLATED MODERATE OVER WRN EL SALVADOR AND ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 98W-106W. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 120W-129W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 16:13:57 2003 X-UIDL: 30793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHJ0065Y9IUU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:54:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653sI4q081494 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:54:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQdt021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:51:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 16607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:51:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653p6c9058214 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:51:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h653p59d009684 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:51:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h653p5v5009683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:51:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:51:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307050351.h653p5v5009683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 050350 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUL 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING....AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM FROM THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 20:26:29 2003 X-UIDL: 30800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHJ006KSQCKU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 17:57:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h659vm4q059881 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 17:57:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQoB021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 04:54:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 19130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 04:54:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h659slc9056526 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 04:54:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h659sk9d012508 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 04:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h659skdL012507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 04:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 04:54:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307050954.h659skdL012507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 050936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 05 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITH A 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N111W AT 05/0600 UTC MOVING W 5-10 KT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HRS. SEE MIATWOEP FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 80W/81W IS NOW ALONG 82W/83W N OF 4N MOVING W 15 KT. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE AXIS OVER THE E PACIFIC. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W IS NOW ALONG 96W/97W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. SOME DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ WITHIN 275 NM OF THE AXIS. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 15N W OF 120W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EWD FROM 23N120W TO S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N111W... THE DISTURBANCE HAS BEGUN TO GET SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH TWO CONVECTIVE BANDS NW AND S OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER...WHICH APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME MORE WELL-FORMED TO THE W OF THE 0600 UTC POSITION. WHILE ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM CELLS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM NEAR THE CENTER...THE STRONGEST CONVECTION WITHIN THE BANDS IS AT LEAST 75 NM OUT FROM THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N110W 14N115W 10N116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N112W 7N118W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITH ISOLATED STRONG CELLS WITHIN 75 NM OF 12N113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N90W 8N99W 11N110W 6N120W 4N130W 4N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 76W-79W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 105 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 97W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-13.5N BETWEEN 104W-110W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 119W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ENTERING THE EXTREME NRN PORTION OF THE GULF OF PANAMA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE W OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 86W-88W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO BETWEEN 91W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE JUST W OF THE DISTURBANCE FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 118W-121W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 121W-127W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION N OF 30N W OF 136W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 20:26:31 2003 X-UIDL: 30801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHJ006ZNQRHU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 18:06:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65A6f4q061598 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 18:06:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQoP021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:02:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 19178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:02:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65A2vc9056122 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:02:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65A2v9d012612 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:02:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65A2vub012611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:02:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:02:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051002.h65A2vub012611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 050958 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUL 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING....AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM FROM THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CONTINUES ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 20:26:32 2003 X-UIDL: 30802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHJ0061LQTDU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 18:08:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65A7s4q061854 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 18:07:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQoX021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:04:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 19204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:04:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65A4jc9056148 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:04:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65A4j9d012639 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:04:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65A4j1p012638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:04:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 05:04:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051004.h65A4j1p012638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 051001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... CZ/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12N177W 10N170W 07N169W 05N166W 03N174W 07N175W 09N178W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N164W 08N161W 05N163W 09N166W 10N169W 11N167W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N148W 06N141W 03N140W 05N149W 04N155W 06N156W 08N150W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 25N170W 26N171W 26N168W. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10N176E 09N180 06N177W 03N178W 04N178E 09N175E HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N172W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 13N148W 10N148W 08N154W 10N154W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... SHEAR LINE/FRONT (1)...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 10S159E 17S170E 22S180 25S170W 25S179E 19S166E 10S151E. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT SOUTH OF 22S...NEARLY STATIONARY ELSEWHERE. SHEAR LINE/FRONT (2)...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W AND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 20S131W 24S120W 25S120W 25S139W 23S142W 23S137W 20S135W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 02S176E 03S177W 07S177W 08S180 05S177E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05S173W 10S166W 11S169W 09S175W 06S175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 22:14:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK006541VOU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:07:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65E6j4q008238 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:06:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQtH021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:01:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65E13c9044338 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65E129d014355 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:01:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65E12Ul014354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:01:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:01:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051401.h65E12Ul014354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 051400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT JUL 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 23:54:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30814-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK006FC6T2U4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 23:53:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65FrF4q030441 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 23:53:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQuf021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:43:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:43:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65Fhpc9042576 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:43:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65Fho9d015227 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:43:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65Fhos4015226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:43:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:43:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051543.h65Fhos4015226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 051000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050951ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.8N9 111.8W1 TO 13.0N4 118.1W1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 050600Z1 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 113.5W0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 103.3W7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 113.5W0, APPROXIMATELY 880 NM SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, AND HAS MOVED 270 AT 15 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 061000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 00:14:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK006ZE7ELU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 00:06:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65G6A4q032789 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 00:06:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQuh021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:57:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:57:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65Fvnc9017846 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:57:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65Fvm9d015334 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:57:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65FvmJj015333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:57:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:57:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051557.h65FvmJj015333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 051557 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 05 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITH A 1007 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N114W AT 05/01200 UTC MOVING W 5-10 KT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HRS. SEE MIATWOEP FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 82W/83W IS NOW ALONG 85W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE AXIS OVER THE E PACIFIC. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 96W/97W IS NOW ALONG 98W/99W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRES IS N OF 15N W OF 120W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EWD FROM 22N120W TO S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 18N106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1515 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N114W... THE DISTURBANCE IS BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N AND 15N BETWEEN 113W AND 117W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS IN A BAND E OF THE CENTER WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF 13N112W 12N109W 9N108W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS IN A BAND S OF THE CENTER WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF 10N114W 8N116W 8N122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N100W 11N110W 11N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 77W AND 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 180 NM WIDE BETWEEN 93W AND 102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 180 NM WIDE BETWEEN 122W AND 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 00:14:37 2003 X-UIDL: 30817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK0064K7ILU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 00:08:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65G8c4q033343 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 00:08:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1gUl053054; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65G11c9039668 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65G119d015393 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65G10EL015391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051601.h65G10EL015391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/ALLEN/EDBERG// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 00:24:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK006N381DU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 00:20:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65GJo4q035697 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 00:19:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQut021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:13:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:13:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65GDJc9041498 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:13:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65GDJ9d015478 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:13:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65GDI5l015477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:13:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:13:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051613.h65GDI5l015477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 051613 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUL 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH AWAY FROM THE MEXICAN COAST. THE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO HAS MERGED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE DESCRIBED IN THE ABOVE PARAGRAPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 01:34:37 2003 X-UIDL: 30820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK0065PBFCU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 01:33:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65HX44q050960 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 01:33:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1gW7053054; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21748 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65HRQc9041128 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65HRP9d016243 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65HRPJr016241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051727.h65HRPJr016241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT. LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/PIVIN/LAM/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 01:34:37 2003 X-UIDL: 30821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK0067KBHAU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 01:34:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65HYF4q051207 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 01:34:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQwl021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65HRQc9056710 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65HRQ9d016244 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65HRPlj016242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 12:27:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051727.h65HRPlj016242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT. LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/PIVIN/LAM/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 04:04:37 2003 X-UIDL: 30825-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK00L1JI9KQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:00:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65K0k4q080150 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:00:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQ2h021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 14:55:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 22737 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 14:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65Jtac9042642 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 14:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65JtZ9d017549 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 14:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65JtZP3017548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 14:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 14:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051955.h65JtZP3017548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 051955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT JUL 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 06:04:37 2003 X-UIDL: 30828-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK00L6YNPEQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 05:58:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65LwI4q001950 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 05:58:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQ5j021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:54:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:54:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65Ls0c9039494 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:54:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65Ls09d018892 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:54:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65Ls0UH018891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:54:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:54:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307052154.h65Ls0UH018891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 052153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 05 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N114W AT 05/1800 UTC MOVING W 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 05/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ALL ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS N OF THE AREA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W N OF 10N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 94W-99W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 99W-104W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES IS N OF 15N W OF 110W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS ENTERING AREA NEAR 30N136W SEWD TO JUST S OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 22N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2130 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N114W... THE ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. CONDITIONS REMAIN MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. SEE MIATWOEP FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 114W-119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N100W 13N112W 7N120W 5N130W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 78W-83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 197W-113W AND FROM 113W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 06:04:38 2003 X-UIDL: 30829-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK00L7ANPMQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 05:58:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65LwQ4q002012 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 05:58:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQ5t021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:55:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65LtWc9032218 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65LtV9d018937 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65LtVJ2018936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 16:55:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307052155.h65LtVJ2018936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 052155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW NEAR 23N172W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LOW INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 04N143W 08N154W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND REMAIN SPARSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 07N174W 08N163W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S176W 24S180 MOVED EAST SLOWLY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 10S168W 09S175W 06S180 MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 06:34:37 2003 X-UIDL: 30830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK00LAUPDEQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:34:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MYJ0N004315 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:34:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRcH053054; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 17:29:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 24215 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 17:29:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MT1c9027664 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 17:29:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65MT19d019385 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 17:29:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65MT1kY019384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 17:29:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 17:29:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307052229.h65MT1kY019384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 052228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUL 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY. IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 14:56:32 2003 X-UIDL: 30903-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00JK3TJOEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:59:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h671xY0N039802 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:59:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRAD053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 20:55:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 20:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h671tgc9032054 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 20:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h671tg9d005480 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 20:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h671tgM0005479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 20:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 20:55:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070155.h671tgM0005479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 070155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN JUL 06 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 14:56:34 2003 X-UIDL: 30909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00JPQVDPEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:39:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h672dI0N050894 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:39:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66K7Usp021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:29:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 38076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h672Twc9038132 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:29:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h672Tw9d005859 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h672Twnb005858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:29:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Dolores Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070229.h672Twnb005858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ44 KNHC 070229 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN JUL 06 2003 THE LOW-CLOUD CENTER BECAME EXPOSED A FEW HOURS AGO...AS DOLORES CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR. DEEP CONVECTION ALSO DIMINISHED...HOWEVER THIS IS PROBABLY A DIURNAL FLUCTUATION. DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 30 KT TO 45 KT. THE SYSTEM IS ESTIMATED TO BE OF MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY....ALTHOUGH THIS IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. THERE IS A RATHER STABLE AIR MASS TO THE NORTH OF DOLORES AS INDICATED BY THE PRESENCE OF BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS. THE SHIPS MODEL SHOWS DECREASING SHEAR BUT CALLS FOR NEGLIGIBLE STRENGTHENING OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...WITH THE MAIN INHIBITING FACTOR BEING THE PRESENCE OF THE STABLE AIR MASS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST MAINTAINS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH FOR A DAY OR SO FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING OVER SUB-25 DEG C SSTS. AS THE EXPOSED CENTER BECAME CLEAR...IT WAS NECESSARY TO ADJUST THE TRACK EVEN FARTHER TO THE NORTH. INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 310/8. DOLORES IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED BY THE FLOW ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL HIGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BASED ON THE MORE NORTHWARD AND SLOWER INITIAL MOTION...THE NHC FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE TRACK MODEL CONSENSUS...EXCEPT FOR THE BETA ADVECTION AND BAROTROPIC MODELS WHICH ARE FASTER AND TURN THE CYCLONE TO THE NORTH LATER IN THE PERIOD. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0300Z 16.3N 118.9W 35 KT 12HR VT 07/1200Z 16.8N 120.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 08/0000Z 17.4N 121.7W 35 KT 36HR VT 08/1200Z 18.0N 123.5W 35 KT 48HR VT 09/0000Z 18.5N 125.3W 30 KT 72HR VT 10/0000Z 19.5N 129.0W 30 KT 96HR VT 11/0000Z 20.5N 132.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 12/0000Z 21.5N 136.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 14:56:34 2003 X-UIDL: 30910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00JPUVDQEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:39:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h672dG0N050881 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:39:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRBl053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:30:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 38080 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:30:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h672U4c9056424 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h672U49d005879 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:30:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h672U4on005878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:30:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:30:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Dolores Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070230.h672U4on005878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ24 KNHC 070229 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042003 0300Z MON JUL 07 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 118.9W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 60SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 118.9W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.5W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.8N 120.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.4N 121.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.0N 123.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.5N 125.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 20.5N 132.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 21.5N 136.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 118.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 14:56:44 2003 X-UIDL: 30915-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00JMTYW9EP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 11:55:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h673tD0N072326 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 11:55:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66K7Uv7021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:48:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 38796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:48:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h673mFc9029284 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h673mF9d006626 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h673mFAt006625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:48:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070348.h673mFAt006625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 070347 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 07 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM DOLORES IS CENTERED NEAR 16.3N 118.9W AT 07/0300 UTC MOVING NW 8 KT WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W N OF 5N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AND AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE W IT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATION SW OF COSTA RICA. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR THE AXIS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS LOCATED OVER OPEN WATER S OF THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER N OF 11N BETWEEN 92W-94W. OTHER SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHAUNTEPEC EWD TO CNTRL GUATEMALA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W/109W S OF 17N MOVING W 15 KT. ALL CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 15N W OF 120W EXCEPT IN THE VICINITY OF T.S. DOLORES. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM DOLORES... STRONG NELY SHEAR HAS TAKEN ITS TOLL ON DOLORES WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER CONTINUING TO BE EXPOSED TO THE E OF WHAT IS LEFT OF A SMALL AREA OF TSTMS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 100 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SW QUADRANT. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 11N103W 12N115W 8N126W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 1N-6N BETWEEN 77W-78W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 113W-116W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-127W. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 7N-13N W OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION MOVING W OFF THE COAST OF CNTRL AMERICA FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 85W-89W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE MAINLY OVER THE MEXICAN LANDMASS WITH A FEW CELLS REACHING THE COAST BETWEEN 94W-105W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 14:56:44 2003 X-UIDL: 30916-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00J7OZTTEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 12:15:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h674FL0N078241 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 12:15:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h671igp1054240; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:06:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 38966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6745cc9027718 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:05:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6745c9d006782 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:05:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6745c7t006781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:05:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:05:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070405.h6745c7t006781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 070400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04E (DOLORES) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 16.1N8 118.5W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 118.5W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.8N5 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.4N2 121.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.0N9 123.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.5N4 125.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.5N5 129.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 20.5N7 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 21.5N8 136.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070000Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.10N8 118.5W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04E (DOLORES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 485 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070000Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35, AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071000Z8, 071600Z4, 072200Z1 AND 080400Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 14:56:45 2003 X-UIDL: 30917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00JKTZZJEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 12:18:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h674Im0N079148 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 12:18:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSREh053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 39080 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6749tc9056746 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6749t9d006869 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6749t02006866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070409.h6749t02006866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 070400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04E (DOLORES) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 16.1N8 118.5W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 118.5W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.8N5 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.4N2 121.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.0N9 123.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.5N4 125.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 14:56:45 2003 X-UIDL: 30918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00JLEZZOEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 12:19:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h674Io0N079166 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 12:18:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66K7Uvf021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 39077 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6749tc9026182 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6749t9d006868 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6749scJ006863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 23:09:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 285 Deg/ 09 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070409.h6749scJ006863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 070400 RRB VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.5N5 129.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 20.5N7 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 21.5N8 136.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070000Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.10N8 118.5W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04E (DOLORES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 485 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070000Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35, AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071000Z8, 071600Z4, 072200Z1 AND 080400Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 14:56:48 2003 X-UIDL: 30924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JL63TREP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:41:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h675fh0N000457 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:41:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRG3053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 00:31:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 39994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 00:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h675Vnc9032148 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 00:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h675Vn9d007557 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 00:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h675VnUR007556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 00:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 00:31:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070531.h675VnUR007556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 070531 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUL 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DOLORES...LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DOLORES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP4. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 15:56:21 2003 X-UIDL: 30934-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JD39WPEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:53:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h677r50N040065 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:53:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lgR056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 02:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 40711 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 02:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h677jxc9042698 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 02:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h677jx9d008553 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 02:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h677jxmO008552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 02:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 02:45:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070745.h677jxmO008552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 070745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUL 06 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 16:36:20 2003 X-UIDL: 30937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JF3BPCEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:32:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h678Vo0N053635 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:31:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRHN053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 40862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h678OVc9044276 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h678OV9d008933 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h678OUGP008930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070824.h678OUGP008930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ24 KNHC 070824 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042003 0900Z MON JUL 07 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 119.8W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 119.8W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 119.4W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.3N 121.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.0N 123.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.9N 125.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.5N 127.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.5N 131.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 21.5N 134.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 119.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 16:36:21 2003 X-UIDL: 30938-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JG9BPOEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:32:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h678W40N053727 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:32:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lgd056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 40859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h678OVc9056446 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h678OV9d008934 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h678OU4k008932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:24:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070824.h678OU4k008932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ44 KNHC 070824 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON JUL 07 2003 THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD CENTER REMAINS EXPOSED AND IS DISPLACED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE DECREASING DEEP CONVECTION AND DOLORES IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. A BURST OR TWO OF DEEP CONVECTION MAY OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT ALL OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS CONTINUED WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS. THE SHIPS MODEL DIAGNOSES A RATHER STABLE AIR MASS AS WELL AS PROGRESSIVELY COLDER SSTS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/9. DOLORES IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED BY THE FLOW ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL HIGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND ALL OF THE GUIDANCE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT THIS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A NORMAL CLIMATOLOGICAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THAT FOLLOWS THE GUIDANCE. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 16.7N 119.8W 30 KT 12HR VT 07/1800Z 17.3N 121.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 08/0600Z 18.0N 123.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 08/1800Z 18.9N 125.1W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 09/0600Z 19.5N 127.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 10/0600Z 20.5N 131.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 11/0600Z 21.5N 134.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:30 2003 X-UIDL: 30963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JEYSBJEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:30:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67EUl0N055833 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:30:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751ln5056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:23:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:23:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67EN8c9055234 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:23:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67EN79d013739 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:23:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67EN7IP013738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:23:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:23:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071423.h67EN7IP013738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ44 KNHC 071422 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON JUL 07 2003 DOLORES IS CURRENTLY DEVOID OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION. THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED AND THE CYCLONE IS OVER SUB-25C WATER TEMPERATURES. A BRIEF BURST OR TWO OF DEEP CONVECTION MAY OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION WHERE THE WATER TEMPERATURES ARE WARMER. HOWEVER...IT IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY THAT ANY SUSTAINED CONVECTION WILL REDEVELOP NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. ALL OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE AGREE ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AFTER THAT. THE GFS IS THE SOUTHERNMOST OF ALL THE MODELS AND LOSES THE SYSTEM BY 48 HOURS. THE GFDL DISSIPATES DOLORES EVEN SOONER IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. SINCE THE CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ANY SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER...IT SHOULD REMAIN A SHALLOW VERTICAL SYSTEM AND BE STEERED IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION BY THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES AS A REMNANT NON-CONVECTIVE LOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS A BLEND OF THE NOGAPS...UKMET...AND GFS MODELS. DOLORES WILL REMAIN OVER SUB-25C SSTS AND EVENTUALLY MOVE OVER EVEN COOLER WATER. THEREFORE...STEADY WEAKENING AND A GRADUAL SPIN DOWN OF THE VORTEX IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD...DESPITE FAIRLY LOW VERTICAL SHEAR. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED BY 24 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 17.2N 120.6W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 08/0000Z 17.8N 122.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 08/1200Z 18.4N 124.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATED 36HR VT 09/0000Z 19.0N 126.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 09/1200Z 19.6N 128.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 10/1200Z 20.0N 131.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JPYSHKEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:34:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67EYP0N057587 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:34:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lnP056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67ESfc9052642 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67ESe9d013912 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67ESewu013909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071428.h67ESewu013909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ24 KNHC 071428 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042003 1500Z MON JUL 07 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 120.6W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 120.6W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 120.2W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.8N 122.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.4N 124.0W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.0N 126.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.6N 128.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.0N 131.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 120.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:38 2003 X-UIDL: 30970-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK00LWGYWXQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 10:00:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6620P0N050525 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 10:00:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRi9053054; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 20:55:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 26111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 20:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h661tRc9020000 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 20:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h661tQ9d021308 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 20:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h661tQjW021307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 20:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 20:55:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060155.h661tQjW021307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 060155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT JUL 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:43 2003 X-UIDL: 30975-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LK649PQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:56:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h663u50N073281 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:56:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRl9053054; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:48:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 26992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h663muc9020004 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h663mo9d022343 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h663mnOQ022342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:48:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060348.h663mnOQ022342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 060348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 06 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITH A 1008 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 14N115W AT 06/0000 UTC MOVING WNW 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE MAIN FOCUS OF CONVECTION IS UP TO 250 NM E OF THE WAVE AXIS ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL AMERICA FROM HONDURAS SWD TO WRN PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS MOVING WWD JUST AHEAD OF THE WAVE ACROSS EL SALVADOR...SRN GUATEMALA...AND THE COASTAL WATERS. OTHER CONVECTION IS LOCATED WELL TO THE S WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W/103W MOVING W 15 KT. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE ITCZ...BUT THE WAVE MAY BE HELPING TO ENHANCE SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ACROSS W/CNTRL MEXICO. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 20N W OF 120W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM 30N130W TO 20N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N115W... THE SYSTEM HAS NOT ORGANIZED VERY MUCH OVER THE PAST 24 HRS AND IN FACT APPEARS TO HAVE LOST THE BANDING IT HAD EARLIER THIS MORNING. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM E OF A CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION AND SO THE SYSTEM WILL HAVE A HARD TIME DEVELOPING UNLESS THE TSTMS CAN REDEVELOP OVER THE CENTER. SEE MIATWOEP FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 116W-119W AND ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 114W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 12N103W 6N130W 5N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-90W. DISSIPATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 96W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS AND ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG AND WITHIN THE COAST OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA BETWEEN 90W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 99W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS N OF 30N W OF 139W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:43 2003 X-UIDL: 30976-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LLX4CNQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:58:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h663vq0N073583 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:57:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQIR021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:49:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 26995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:49:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h663n6c9027742 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:49:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h663n69d022349 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:49:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h663n66C022348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:49:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:49:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060349.h663n66C022348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 060348 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUL 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY. IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:45 2003 X-UIDL: 30980-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00L94FFNQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:57:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h667vF0N020265 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:57:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQP5021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 02:46:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 28805 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 02:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h667kBc9056588 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 02:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h667kB9d024420 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 02:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h667kBMZ024418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 02:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 02:46:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060746.h667kBMZ024418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 060745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT JUL 05 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:45 2003 X-UIDL: 30982-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LKII1SQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:53:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h668ri0N030556 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:53:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQPV021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:43:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 29136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:43:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h668htc9055222 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:43:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h668ht9d025239 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:43:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h668ht4G025238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:43:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:43:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Four-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060843.h668ht4G025238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ24 KNHC 060842 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042003 0900Z SUN JUL 06 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 116.4W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 116.4W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 116.0W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.7N 117.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.4N 119.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.8N 123.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.8N 123.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.0N 126.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 129.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 116.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:46 2003 X-UIDL: 30983-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00L9OIUUQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:11:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h669B60N033800 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:11:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQPl021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:00:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 29253 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:00:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6690rc9009522 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6690r9d025462 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:00:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6690rR8025461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:00:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:00:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Four-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060900.h6690rR8025461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ44 KNHC 060900 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUL 06 2003 A RATHER IMPRESSIVE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE DEVELOPED OVER THE EP942003 SUSPECT AREA DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS RESULTING IN DVORAK T NUMBERS OF 2.5/2.0/2.0 FROM TAFB/SAB/KGWC RESPECTIVELY. WHILE THERE WAS NO CLEAR EVIDENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CENTER ON YESTERDAY'S VISIBLE IMAGERY AND EVEN THOUGH RECENT QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE DATA ARE AMBIGUOUS...IT IS A COURSE OF LEAST REGRET TO ISSUE A DEPRESSION ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS A RATHER UNCERTAIN 295/10. THE GUIDANCE IS IN DECENT AGREEMENT ABOUT A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR 72 HOURS. THERE IS A CUT-OFF MID-LEVEL LOW NEAR 30N 143W WHICH COULD INCREASE THE NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION AFTER 72 HOURS BUT ONLY IF THE SYSTEM HAS NOT BEEN REDUCED TO A LOW LEVEL SWIRL. THE FORECAST IS FOR MODEST STRENGTHENING FOLLOWING THE SHIPS MODEL WHICH DIAGNOSES LITTLE VERTICAL SHEAR...NOW OR FORECAST...BUT INCREASINGLY COLDER SSTS ARE ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK WHICH ARE THE LIMITING FACTOR. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0900Z 13.9N 116.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 06/1800Z 14.7N 117.8W 35 KT 24HR VT 07/0600Z 15.4N 119.7W 40 KT 36HR VT 07/1800Z 16.8N 123.0W 45 KT 48HR VT 08/0600Z 16.8N 123.0W 45 KT 72HR VT 09/0600Z 18.0N 126.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 10/0600Z 19.0N 129.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:46 2003 X-UIDL: 30984-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LVKJFJQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:23:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h669NO0N036217 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:23:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRqD053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:13:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 29308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:13:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h669DJc9058298 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:13:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h669DJ9d025642 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:13:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h669DJ9a025641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:13:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:13:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Four-e Forecast/advisory Number 1...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060913.h669DJ9a025641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ24 KNHC 060913 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042003 0900Z SUN JUL 06 2003 CORRECTION TO 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 116.4W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 116.4W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 116.0W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.7N 117.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.4N 119.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.1N 121.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.8N 123.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.0N 126.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N 129.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 116.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:46 2003 X-UIDL: 30985-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LT8KE4Q5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:44:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h669hw0N040364 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:44:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQQ9021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:35:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 29514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:35:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h669Zuc9039532 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:35:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h669Zt9d025901 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h669ZthW025900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:35:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060935.h669ZthW025900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 060935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 06 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SW OF THE BAJA PENINSULA HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E...CENTERED NEAR 13.9N 116.4W AT 06/0900 UTC MOVING WNW 10 KT WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W/89W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WHILE AN EXACT WAVE POSITION IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...INTENSE CONVECTION HAS BLOSSOMED OFF THE COAST OF CNTRL AMERICA OVER THE PAST 6 HRS AND IS MOST LIKELY AT LEAST PARTLY DUE TO THE WAVE. NUMEROUS MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 85.5W-90.5W OFF THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...AND EL SALVADOR. OTHER CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W S OF 17N MOVING W 15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 103W-108W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 20N W OF 110W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS ALONG 29N130W 23N120W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E... THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MOVED UNDER THE ERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HRS AND SO THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE CONVECTION SEEMS TO HAVE NOW REACHED THE POINT WHERE IT CAN MAINTAIN ITSELF FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF TIME...WITH AN INTENSE CLUSTER OF STRONG TSTMS CONTINUING TO REDEVELOP WITHIN 120 NM W OF THE CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE/SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 116W-119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 5N86W 10N96W 11N115W 5N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-85W AND 87W-92W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE CELLS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA/ECUADOR FROM 1N-4N BETWEEN 78W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 93W-95.5W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 99W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 126W-134W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:47 2003 X-UIDL: 30987-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LHQM3GQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 18:21:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66AKv0N047133 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 18:20:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQQN021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:55:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 29645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h669tjc9009616 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h669tj9d026110 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h669tjVa026109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:55:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060955.h669tjVa026109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 060955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05N147W 06N154W MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 10N169W MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 02N177W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL LOW... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 26N171W MOVED NORTH AT ABOUT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 11S166W 07S175W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH FLUCTUATIONS IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06S178W 06S177E 07S174E AND MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:48 2003 X-UIDL: 30988-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LM7MADQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 18:25:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66AP60N047798 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 18:25:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQQd021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 05:19:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 29778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 05:19:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66AJpc9040334 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 05:19:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66AJo9d026438 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 05:19:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66AJoSN026437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 05:19:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 05:19:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061019.h66AJoSN026437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 061019 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUL 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS FIRST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E...LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP4. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:50 2003 X-UIDL: 30993-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LW6Q10Q5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 19:46:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Bjx0N062175 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 19:46:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQRN021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:40:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:40:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Be2c9032162 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:40:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Be19d027071 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:40:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66Be1ws027070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:40:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:40:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061140.h66Be1ws027070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 061000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/GENADMIN/050951ZJUL2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 13.7N1 116.0W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 116.0W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.7N2 117.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.4N0 119.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.1N8 121.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.8N5 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 18.0N9 126.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 060600Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 116.0W8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 050951Z JUL 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 051000) NEXT WARNINGS AT 061600Z3, 062200Z0, 070400Z1 AND 071000Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:50 2003 X-UIDL: 30994-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LWIQ1MQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 19:46:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66BkB0N062210 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 19:46:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h662jvBv004908; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Bf3c9056652 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Bf29d027086 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66Bf2wA027085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061141.h66Bf2wA027085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 061000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/GENADMIN/050951ZJUL2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 13.7N1 116.0W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 116.0W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 14.7N2 117.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.4N0 119.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.1N8 121.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:50 2003 X-UIDL: 30995-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LYDQ4KQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 19:48:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Bm80N062508 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 19:48:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQRP021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Bf9c9032176 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Bf99d027093 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66Bf8jT027092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061141.h66Bf8jT027092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 15.5N1 129.3E5 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES ARE EVIDENT ON BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD QUADARANTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LLCC EXISTS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE NORTH WITH WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/ALLEN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:51 2003 X-UIDL: 30997-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00L6MQF8Q5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 19:54:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Bsb0N063573 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 19:54:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRrF053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Bf2c9019364 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Bf29d027081 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66Bf2PX027080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 100 Nm Northwest Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061141.h66Bf2PX027080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 061000 RRB 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.8N5 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 18.0N9 126.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 060600Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 116.0W8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 050951Z JUL 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 051000) NEXT WARNINGS AT 061600Z3, 062200Z0, 070400Z1 AND 071000Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:51 2003 X-UIDL: 30998-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LVBR69Q5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 20:10:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66CAc0N066605 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 20:10:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQRX021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 07:05:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 07:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66C5Vc9034546 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 07:05:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66C5U9d027259 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 07:05:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66C5Ud8027258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 07:05:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 07:05:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: For Further Details. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061205.h66C5Ud8027258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 061000 FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 114.5W1, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.A.(1) TO REFLECT TD 04E. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30999-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LRIVR8Q5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:49:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Dnm0N086740 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:49:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQTF021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 08:46:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30795 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 08:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Djxc9041240 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 08:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Djw9d027978 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 08:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66Djwrb027977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 08:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 08:45:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061345.h66Djwrb027977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 061345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN JUL 06 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:52 2003 X-UIDL: 31000-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00L3RWZOQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:16:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66EGT0N092128 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:16:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRtD053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:08:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:08:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66E8qc9044108 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:08:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66E8p9d028115 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:08:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66E8pZ9028114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:08:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:08:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Four-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061408.h66E8pZ9028114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ24 KNHC 061408 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042003 1500Z SUN JUL 06 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 117.5W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 100 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 117.5W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 117.0W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.9N 118.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.6N 120.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.2N 122.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.8N 124.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.8N 128.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 19.0N 132.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N 136.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 117.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:54 2003 X-UIDL: 31003-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LJ8Y7ZQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:43:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Eh40N097444 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:43:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQTh021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:32:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 31012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66EW6c9056554 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:32:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66EW69d028249 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66EW6hR028248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:32:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: For Further Details. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061432.h66EW6hR028248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 061000 FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 114.5W1, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.A.(1) TO REFLECT TD 04E. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: MESSAGE DID NOT TRANSMIT CORRECTLY OVER AUTOMATED WEATHER NETWORK. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:54 2003 X-UIDL: 31004-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LJEY83Q5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:43:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Eh50N097448 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:43:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQTf021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:31:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 31009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:31:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66EVQc9031216 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:31:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66EVP9d028240 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:31:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66EVPi8028239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:31:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:31:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Four-e Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061431.h66EVPi8028239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ44 KNHC 061430 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUL 06 2003 THE INITIAL POSITION OF TD-04E IS RATHER UNCERTAIN DUE TO CIRRUS BLOWOFF TO THE EAST WHICH IS OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. HAVING SAID THAT...THE CYCLONE LOCATION FOR THIS ADVISORY WAS BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK USING AN INITIAL MOTION OF 295/10...WHICH IS CLOSE TO THE AVERAGE MOTION OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE...AND ASSUMING THE CENTER IS NEAR THE EAST SIDE OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION DUE TO EASTERLY SHEAR. LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK OTHER THAN TO BRING IT SOUTHWARD JUST A TAD AND ALSO TO ADD A 120-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE PREVIOUS SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST HAD THE CYCLONE DISSIPATING IN 96-120 HOURS. HOWEVER...THAT OUTPUT WAS BASED ON THE MUCH FASTER MEDIUM BAM MODEL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MOVES THE DEPRESSION SLOWER THAN ALL THE BAM MODELS AND IS A BLEND OF THE GFS...UKMET...AND THE CANADIAN MODEL TRACKS BUT USING ROUGHLY THE SPEED OF THE GFS MODEL. ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS MAINTAIN A FAIRLY STRONG E-W ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE THROUGH 96 HOURS...WITH GRADUAL EROSION OF THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE BY 120 HOURS. HOWEVER...WHETHER OR NOT THE CYCLONE MOVES POLEWARD BY 120 HOURS WILL BE DETERMINED BY THE EXACT STRENGTH AND VERTICAL DEPTH OF THE SYSTEM AT THAT TIME. THE NOGAPS MODEL WAS DISCOUNTED SINCE IT MOVES THE CYCLONE VERY LITTLE FOR THE FIRST 48 HOURS FOR NO OBVIOUS PHYSICAL REASONS...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND THE PAST MOTION OF AT LEAST 10 KT. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER SUB-26C SSTS IN ABOUT 24 HOURS WHICH SHOULD HELP TO PRECLUDE ANY SIGNIFICANT AND/OR RAPID INTENSIFICATION FROM OCCURRING. HOWEVER...WEAKENING SHEAR OF LESS THAN 5 KT SHOULD ALLOW GOOD OUTFLOW TO DEVELOP...WHICH IN TURN SHOULD ALLOW FOR AT LEAST SOME MODEST INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR AS INDICATED BY THE SHIPS MODEL INTENSITY FORECAST. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 14.3N 117.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 07/0000Z 14.9N 118.9W 35 KT 24HR VT 07/1200Z 15.6N 120.6W 40 KT 36HR VT 08/0000Z 16.2N 122.5W 45 KT 48HR VT 08/1200Z 16.8N 124.4W 45 KT 72HR VT 09/1200Z 17.8N 128.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 10/1200Z 19.0N 132.0W 35 KT 120HR VT 11/1200Z 20.0N 136.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:56 2003 X-UIDL: 31007-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00LIX2CIQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 00:12:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66GCA0N015734 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 00:12:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQUh021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:02:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 31434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66G23c9041224 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66G1x9d028895 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:01:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66G1wjX028894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:01:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:01:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061601.h66G1wjX028894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 061601 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 06 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E IS CENTERED NEAR 14.3N 117.5W AT 06/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 10 KT WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 88W/89W IS NOW ALONG 90W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 104W IS NOW ALONG 106W S OF 20N MOVING W 15 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRES IS N OF 20N W OF 110W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N130W 23N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1515 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E... MOST ALL CONVECTION IS W OF CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 10N105W 10N120W 5N126W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 5N81W 13N92W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 102W AND 112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 15.5N95.5W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:56 2003 X-UIDL: 31009-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00LRO3AJQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 00:32:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66GWb0N020059 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 00:32:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRvL053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:20:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 31732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:20:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66GKQc9019266 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:20:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66GKQ9d029011 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:20:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66GKQqb029010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:20:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 11:20:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061620.h66GKQqb029010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 061620 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUL 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON DEVELOPING TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E...LOCATED ABOUT 765 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP4. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:57 2003 X-UIDL: 31012-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00LDK5LUQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 01:22:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66HMY0N031509 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 01:22:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQXd021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 32044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66HHmc9008136 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66HHm9d029634 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66HHmkN029632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061717.h66HHmkN029632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT. LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/PIVIN/LAM/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:58 2003 X-UIDL: 31013-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00LEZ5NTQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 01:23:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66HNl0N031756 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 01:23:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRwF053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 32047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66HHmc9030270 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66HHm9d029635 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66HHmMP029633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 12:17:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061717.h66HHmMP029633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT. LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/PIVIN/LAM/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 31016-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00AAFCXBDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:00:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66K0a0N068549 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:00:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQbx021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 14:55:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 33441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 14:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66JtVc9054250 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 14:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66JtV9d001474 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 14:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66JtVX3001473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 14:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 14:55:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061955.h66JtVX3001473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 061955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN JUL 06 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:00 2003 X-UIDL: 31018-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00AVGEMODV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:37:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66KbT0N076400 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:37:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSR2B053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:33:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 33917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66KXqc9019356 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66KXp9d001942 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66KXpgS001941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:33:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Dolores Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307062033.h66KXpgS001941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ24 KNHC 062033 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042003 2100Z SUN JUL 06 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 118.5W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 118.5W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 118.0W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.7N 119.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.4N 121.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 16.9N 123.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.3N 125.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.0N 128.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 19.0N 132.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N 136.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 118.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:00 2003 X-UIDL: 31019-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00AW5ENSDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:38:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Kc90N076488 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:38:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSR2D053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:34:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 33920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:34:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66KYXc9041340 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:34:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66KYX9d001954 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:34:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66KYXSa001953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:34:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:34:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Dolores Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307062034.h66KYXSa001953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ44 KNHC 062034 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN JUL 06 2003 VISIBLE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS INDICATES PART OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE CYCLONE HAS BECOME EXPOSED ON THE NORTH SIDE. HOWEVER...THIS CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE ROTATING CYCLONICALLY AROUND ANOTHER LARGER CENTER CLOSER INTO THE DEEP CONVECTION. EITHER WAY...THE INITIAL POSITION IS HAS BEEN ADJUSTED ABOUT 45 NMI NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. THE SYSTEM HAS ALSO BEEN UPGRADED TO 35-KT TROPICAL STORM DOLORES BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KT AND 35 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...RESPECTIVELY. OUTFLOW IS LIMITED TO THE SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. ALTHOUGH THE INITIAL POSITION WAS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD...SO WAS THE PREVIOUS 12Z POSITION WHICH MAKES THE STORM MOTION ABOUT 300/11. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND REASONING OTHER THAN TO ADJUST THE FORECAST TRACK A LITTLE TO THE NORTH THROUGH ABOUT 36 HOURS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE MORE NORTHWARD INITIAL POSITION. AFTER THAT...THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. THE LATEST GLOBAL MODEL RUNS AGREE WITH TAKING THE SYSTEM WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF DOLORES. THE MAIN QUESTION IS HOW WEAK WILL THE CYCLONE WILL IN 72 HOURS. SINCE DOLORES WILL BE MOVING OVER MUCH COOLER WATER BY 48 HOURS... THE CYCLONE SHOULD WEAKEN AND BECOME SHALLOW IN THE VERTICAL...AND BE STEERED MORE WESTWARD BY THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY FORECAST. THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL IS FORECASTING DOLORES TO PEAK AT AROUND 43 KT IN 24 TO 48 HOURS AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AFTER THAT AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER SUB-25C SSTS. THIS SCENARIO SEEMS REASONABLE AND THE SHIPS MODEL WAS CLOSELY FOLLOWED. HOWEVER...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT DOLORES COULD DISSIPATE BY 72 HOURS...OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 15.2N 118.5W 35 KT 12HR VT 07/0600Z 15.7N 119.8W 40 KT 24HR VT 07/1800Z 16.4N 121.5W 45 KT 36HR VT 08/0600Z 16.9N 123.3W 45 KT 48HR VT 08/1800Z 17.3N 125.2W 40 KT 72HR VT 09/1800Z 18.0N 128.5W 35 KT 96HR VT 10/1800Z 19.0N 132.5W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 11/1800Z 20.0N 136.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:01 2003 X-UIDL: 31020-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00AI6IHIDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:00:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66M0d0N091737 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:00:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66K7Ug5021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:53:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:53:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Lruc9055996 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:53:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Lru9d002787 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:53:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66LrtKE002786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:53:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:53:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307062153.h66LrtKE002786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 062200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04E (DOLORES) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 15.0N6 118.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 118.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.7N3 119.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.4N1 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.9N6 123.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.3N1 125.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 18.0N9 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 19.0N0 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.0N2 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 061800Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 118.0W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04E (DOLORES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061800Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070400Z1, 071000Z8, 071600Z4 AND 072200Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:01 2003 X-UIDL: 31021-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00AL0IL3DV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:03:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66M2t0N092101 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:02:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66K7UgB021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Lv3c9019986 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Lv29d002806 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66Lv2CY002804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307062157.h66Lv2CY002804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 062200 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.3N1 125.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 18.0N9 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 19.0N0 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.0N2 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 061800Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 118.0W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04E (DOLORES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061800Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070400Z1, 071000Z8, 071600Z4 AND 072200Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:01 2003 X-UIDL: 31022-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00AL4ILHDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:03:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66M3A0N092135 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:03:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSR4F053054; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Lv3c9034462 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Lv29d002805 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66Lv2h3002803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:57:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307062157.h66Lv2h3002803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 062200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04E (DOLORES) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 15.0N6 118.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 118.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 15.7N3 119.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.4N1 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.9N6 123.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31023-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00J1JIZQEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:11:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66MBf0N093544 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:11:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66K7Ug9021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:55:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34667 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Ltbc9020948 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Ltb9d002793 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66Ltbu4002792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:55:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307062155.h66Ltbu4002792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 062155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW NEAR 32N141W DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST. ISOLATED CB NEAR THE LOW DISSIPATED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 04N161W 11N158W 03N149W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER LOW NEAR 26N172W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LOW HAVE DIMINISHED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S175W 21S180 MOVED EAST 5-10 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. FRONT...THROUGH 24S120W 22S124W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 18S133W. FRONT MOVED EAST 15 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 11S167W 10S180 SHIFTED SOUTHWEST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31024-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00J96J6WEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:16:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66MFv0N094354 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:16:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66K7Ugr021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:07:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34832 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:07:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66M74c9034520 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:07:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66M749d002957 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:07:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66M74YU002956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:07:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:07:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307062207.h66M74YU002956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 062206 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 06 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM DOLORES IS CENTERED NEAR 15.2N 118.5W AT 06/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 11 KT WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 06/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE EASTERN PACIFIC BASIN ALONG 79W/80W N OF 5N MOVING W 15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 90W IS NOW ALONG 91W/92W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W IS NOW ALONG 107W S OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRES IS N OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N129W 25N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2130 UTC... TROPICAL STORM DOLORES... VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF DOLORES HAS BECOME EXPOSED. ALMOST ALL CONVECTION IS LOCATED ACROSS THE SW SEMICIRCLE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE CENTER. THE STRONGEST CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 15N119.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N105W 10N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION EXISTS WITHIN 75 NM OF 11.5N101.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 109W...AND BETWEEN 121W AND 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE FOUND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND 115W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 15N107.5W. $$ MAINELLI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:03 2003 X-UIDL: 31025-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00JBFL09EP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:55:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66MtE0N000290 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 06:55:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66K7UiP021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:51:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 35366 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Mpic9043322 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Mph9d003415 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66Mpho1003414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 17:51:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307062251.h66Mpho1003414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 062251 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUL 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY-UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM DOLORES...LOCATED ABOUT 780 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DOLORES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP4. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:04 2003 X-UIDL: 31031-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JIQFBLEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:50:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h679o10N076651 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:50:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lhN056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:39:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:39:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h679d0c9056398 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:39:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h679cx9d009452 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:38:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h679cxPi009451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:38:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:38:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070938.h679cxPi009451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 070938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 07 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM DOLORES HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 119.8W AT 07/0900 UTC MOVING NW 9 KT WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/ WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AND IS ACTUALLY BEING OVERSHADOWED BY A LARGE CYCLONIC GYRE FARTHER W OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A DISCONTINUOUS LINE OF SHOWER AND TSTMS HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 14N BETWEEN 93W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 94W-95W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W/110W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 107W-113W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 20N W OF 120W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING N OF T.D. DOLORES FROM 24N120W TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES... AFTER ACHIEVING TROPICAL STORM STATUS FOR ONLY 12 HRS DOLORES HAS BEEN UNABLE TO ESCAPE THE EFFECTS OF NELY SHEAR AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BEEN EXPOSED TO THE E OF THE CONVECTION FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT. THE SYSTEM IS ALSO MOVING TOWARDS COOLER WATERS AND WILL MOST LIKELY BE UNABLE TO SUSTAIN ENOUGH DEEP CONVECTION TO EXTEND ITS LIFETIME MUCH FURTHER THAN A DAY OR TWO. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 16N-17N BETWEEN 120W-121W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N76W 8N89W 12N108W 12N116W 8N126W 10N137W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 1N-6.5N BETWEEN 77W-79W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N79W 4N82.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 87W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 92W-96W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 99W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-117W AND 119W-126W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14.5N BETWEEN CNTRL AMERICA AND 92W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:05 2003 X-UIDL: 31035-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JJVFTUEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 18:01:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67A0n0N079559 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 18:00:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lhT056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h679tic9021358 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h679ti9d009557 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h679ti5a009556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:55:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070955.h679ti5a009556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 070955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 06N141W 05N145W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N174W 09N170W 03N177W 06N179W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06N156W 02N167W 05N167W 08N161W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL LOW AND TROUGH... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 240 NM OF POINT 26N172W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY AND FLUCTUATED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 19N171W MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08S176W 08S167W 12S166W 13S175W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31038-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JCEIQ7EP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 19:03:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67B3T0N096399 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 19:03:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751liT056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 05:56:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 05:56:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67AuTc9044210 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 05:56:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67AuS9d009950 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 05:56:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67AuS9f009949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 05:56:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 05:56:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071056.h67AuS9f009949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 071056 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUL 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES...LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ24 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP4. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:09 2003 X-UIDL: 31045-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JMWQOEEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:55:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67DtC0N044736 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:55:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRLp053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 08:48:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 42845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 08:48:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Dm7c9041500 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 08:48:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67Dm69d012670 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 08:48:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67Dm6Sv012666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 08:48:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 08:48:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071348.h67Dm6Sv012666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 071345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON JUL 07 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:49:24 2003 X-UIDL: 31049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JTGT2JEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:47:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67El00N061317 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:47:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h676aL6L054254; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:38:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:38:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Ecrc9029278 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:38:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67Ecr9d014275 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:38:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67Ecrrw014274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:38:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:38:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071438.h67Ecrrw014274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 071000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DOLORES) WARNING NR 005 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 04E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 16.5N2 119.4W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 119.4W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.3N1 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.0N9 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.9N8 125.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.5N5 127.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070600Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 119.4W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04E (DOLORES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070600Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071600Z4, 072200Z1, 080400Z2 AND 081000Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:49:24 2003 X-UIDL: 31050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JVLT3IEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:47:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67ElZ0N061508 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:47:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h676aL6b054254; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67EfFc9056552 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67EfE9d014353 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67EfEI1014351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071441.h67EfEI1014351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 071000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DOLORES) WARNING NR 005 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 04E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 16.5N2 119.4W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 119.4W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.3N1 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.0N9 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.9N8 125.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.5N5 127.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070600Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 119.4W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04E (DOLORES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:49:25 2003 X-UIDL: 31052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JZPT5REP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:49:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Emv0N061924 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lnd056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43387 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67EfEc9052678 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67EfD9d014346 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67EfD0q014345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:41:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 070600z3 Infrared Satellite Imagery. The Warning Intensity Is Based Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071441.h67EfD0q014345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN31 PHNC 071000 RRB 070600Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071600Z4, 072200Z1, 080400Z2 AND 081000Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:04 2003 X-UIDL: 31053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00J37T8NEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:50:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Eof0N062288 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:50:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lo5056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67EhMc9024980 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67EhL9d014424 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67EhL8H014422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Dirnsa Ft George Meade Md//ddi-liz/p313/q332/wwea// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071443.h67EhL8H014422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COMNAVMARIANAS GU//N813// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 130.4E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 127.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM EAST SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LLCC CONTINUES TO EXIST IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/SWOPE/ALLEN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31059-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JYPUPKEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 23:22:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67FMN0N071134 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 23:22:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lqZ056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:16:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:16:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67FGuc9047810 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:16:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67FGu9d015694 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:16:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67FGuQO015693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:16:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:16:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: ) For Further Details. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071516.h67FGuQO015693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 071000 ) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.0N1 89.5W2, 210 NM SOUTH OF SAN SALVADOR, EL SALVADOR, OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A POSSIBLE BROAD LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31060-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00J2UV9VEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 23:34:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67FYZ0N074677 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 23:34:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lrl056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:30:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 44035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:30:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67FUAc9008128 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:30:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67FUA9d016186 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:30:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67FU9JU016185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:30:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071530.h67FU9JU016185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 071528 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 07 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES CENTERED NEAR 17.2N 120.6W AT 07/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 9 KT WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 82W IS MOVED WEST TO ALONG 89W N OF 3N MOVING W 15 KT. THE REPOSITION IS BASED UPON A WELL DEFINED CLOUD PATTERN AND LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-14.5N BETWEEN 90W-94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 88W-93W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W IS NOW ALONG 100W N OF 3N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO MOVING W 15 KT. THE N EXTENT OF THE WAVE IS ACCOMPANIED BY A SMALL AREA OF WEAKENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION TO THE W OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 94W-98W INCLUDING THE AREA NEAR PUERTO ANGEL. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED W OF AXIS FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 1005-105W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 107W-113W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 31N135W AND EXTENDS SE TO 26N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1500 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES... DOLORES CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE EFFECTS OF NELY SHEAR AND COOLER SST WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINING COMPLETELY EXPOSED. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 12N116W 8N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 77W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 80W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 110-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 120W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 125W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER W PANAMA AND COSTA RICA N OF 9N BETWEEN 82W-87W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:15 2003 X-UIDL: 31066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JGEWKMEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:02:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67G2Z0N082202 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:02:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lsn056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:54:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 44328 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67FsNc9025118 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67FsN9d017050 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67FsNWV017049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:54:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071554.h67FsNWV017049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 071600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DOLORES) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 17.0N8 120.2W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 120.2W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.8N6 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.4N3 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 19.0N0 126.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071200Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.0N8 120.2W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DOLORES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM WEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071200Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072200Z1, 080400Z2, 081000Z9 AND 081600Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:16 2003 X-UIDL: 31067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JWNXWLEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:31:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67GVL0N090128 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:31:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRRT053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 11:23:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 44870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 11:23:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67GNDc9038178 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 11:23:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67GNC9d018122 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 11:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67GNCcb018121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 11:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 11:23:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071623.h67GNCcb018121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 071622 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUL 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES...LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA AND EL SALVADOR. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:18 2003 X-UIDL: 31074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00JO03QIEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 02:37:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67IbL0N022710 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 02:37:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRWD053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:31:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 46887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67IUKc9032816 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67IUK9d022331 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:30:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67IUJDJ022329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:30:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071830.h67IUJDJ022329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:18 2003 X-UIDL: 31075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00JQI3T8EP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 02:39:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Icv0N023069 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 02:38:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751l6j056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:31:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 46890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67IUKc9024918 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67IUK9d022332 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:30:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67IUJc6022330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 13:30:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071830.h67IUJc6022330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00JLD77AEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 03:52:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67JqB0N048772 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 03:52:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lBF056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 14:42:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 47889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 14:42:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Jg0c9008820 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 14:42:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67Jg09d024714 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 14:42:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67Jg0bB024713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 14:42:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 14:42:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071942.h67Jg0bB024713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 071941 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUL 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00JKV9B0EP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:37:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KbT0N061146 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:37:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Iu2qP054254; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:26:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:26:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KQbc9058796 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:26:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67KQa9d026141 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:26:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67KQaRR026140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:26:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:26:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307072026.h67KQaRR026140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ24 KNHC 072026 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042003 2100Z MON JUL 07 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 121.6W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 121.6W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 121.1W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.9N 123.2W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.3N 125.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.6N 127.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.8N 130.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 19.0N 134.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 121.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00JL49B5EP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:37:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Kbl0N061254 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:37:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Iu2qd054254; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:28:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KS9c9043274 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67KS99d026192 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67KS9vO026191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:28:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307072028.h67KS9vO026191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ44 KNHC 072027 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUL 07 2003 DOLORES REMAINS DEVOID OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION AND A 07/1358Z QUIKSCAT OVERPASS INDICATED ONLY 20-25 KT WINDS. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 25 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE CYCLONE IS OVER SUB-24C WATER TEMPERATURES AND ANY REDEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER IS NOT EXPECTED. THE SYSTEM IS BEING MAINTAINED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOR THIS ADVISORY TO ALLOW ANOTHER 6 HOURS OR SO FOR THE WIND FIELD TO SPIN DOWN. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO AGREE ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF DOLORES IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED WESTWARD BY THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAT IS ENTRENCHED TO THE NORTH OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BASINS. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF DOLORES WILL REMAIN OVER 24C OR LESS SSTS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AND...THEREFORE... NO REGENERATION IS EXPECTED. AS SUCH...DISSIPATION AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 17.5N 121.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 08/0600Z 17.9N 123.2W 20 KT...DISSIPATED 24HR VT 08/1800Z 18.3N 125.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 09/0600Z 18.6N 127.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 09/1800Z 18.8N 130.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 10/1800Z 19.0N 134.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00JJ6CF0EP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 05:45:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Lio0N080219 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 05:44:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Iu24l054254; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:35:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 50152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:35:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67LZ6c9055058 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:35:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67LZ59d028248 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:35:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67LZ5Kj028245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:35:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:35:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307072135.h67LZ5Kj028245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 072134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 07 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES CENTERED NEAR 17.5N 121.6W AT 07/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 8 KT WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 07/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 3N MOVING W 15 KT. LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING NEAR WAVE AXIS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 89W-94W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W/101W N OF 3N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE IS SHEARED FROM THE E WITH SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF WAVE AXIS BETWEEN 6N-14N. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 113W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N114W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 31N138W SE TO 21N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2100 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES... DOLORES CONTINUES AS A LOW/MID CLOUD SWIRL WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N95W 12N115W 9N126W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 83W-94W AND FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 120W-130W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 94W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N W OF 137W. SMALL CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 12N133W. I ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16N93W 15N97W 12N97W S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED STRONG OVER PANAMA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00JXZCSIEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 05:53:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Lqw0N082274 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 05:53:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ5hB053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:42:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 50490 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:42:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Lgqc9045254 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:42:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67Lgq9d028431 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:42:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67LgpX4028430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:42:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:42:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307072142.h67LgpX4028430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 072142 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... AREA OF OCCASIONAL CB ALONG ITCZ BOUNDED BY 07N168W 06N160W 02N170W 07N168W HAS MOVED WEST AT 25KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 08N140W 05N160W 03N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. SEE CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH DISTURBANCE DESCRIBED ABOVE. NEW VERY ISOLATED CB AND OCCASIONAL TCU HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 11N140W 08N146W. NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 02N175W 02N179W 05N180. UPPER LEVEL LOW AND TROUGH...LOW NEAR 26N174W WITH TROUGH AXIS THROUGH 30N172W 22N177W. VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 19N1770W 16N176W HAVE EXPANDED IN AREA AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AREA OF ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 29N172W 27N170W 25N172W 26N175W 29N172W HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN TO SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE 1...AXIS THROUGH 20S140W 15S135W 15S150W. SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF AXIS HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5KT AND INTENSIFIED. SHEARLINE 2...AXIS THROUGH 25S164W 20S170W 14S180. BAND OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 350NM SW OF AXIS HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 8 KNOTS AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 08S167W 07S175W HAVE MOVED NORTH SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 90NM OF LINE 08S144W 15S166W HAVE MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10KT AND INTENSIFIED. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:23 2003 X-UIDL: 31090-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00DMXEYVJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 06:40:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67Mdx0N094366 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 06:40:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lO9056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:35:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:35:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67MZnc9029572 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:35:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67MZn9d029492 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:35:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67MZmxl029491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:35:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:35:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307072235.h67MZmxl029491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 072200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DOLORES) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 17.3N1 121.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 121.1W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.9N7 123.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DOLORES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071800Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KZNY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC MEATEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:23 2003 X-UIDL: 31091-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00DTTF4GJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 06:43:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67MhM0N095148 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 06:43:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lO5056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:33:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:33:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67MXoc9033514 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67MXn9d029448 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:33:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67MXnQw029447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:33:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:33:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307072233.h67MXnQw029447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIII, Probability=18%, Report=SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 072200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DOLORES) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 17.3N1 121.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 121.1W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.9N7 123.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04E (DOLORES), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071800Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KZNY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC MEaTEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:23 2003 X-UIDL: 31092-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00DYFG6XJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:06:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67N6Q0N099563 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:06:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ5lD053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:59:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:59:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67MxCc9056244 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:59:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67MxB9d029858 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:59:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67MxB7r029857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:59:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 17:59:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307072259.h67MxB7r029857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 072259 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUL 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES...LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:24 2003 X-UIDL: 31094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00DAUJYNJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 08:27:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h680Rn0N016913 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 08:27:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67MvTgb013334; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 19:24:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 53015 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 19:24:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h680Nxc9027870 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 19:23:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h680Nw9d001229 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 19:23:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h680NwEa001226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 19:23:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 19:23:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: For Final Warning Information. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080023.h680NwEa001226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN31 PHNC 072200 FOR FINAL WARNING INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:25 2003 X-UIDL: 31101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00D7MNXUJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 09:53:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h681rl0N041002 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 09:53:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ5rb053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 20:44:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 54233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 20:44:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h681inc9042528 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 20:44:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h681in9d002394 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 20:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h681inGK002393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 20:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 20:44:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080144.h681inGK002393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 080144 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUL 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:25 2003 X-UIDL: 31104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00DPKPL9JD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:29:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h682TQ0N052196 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:29:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ5t7053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:25:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 54985 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:25:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h682POc9040324 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:25:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h682PO9d002851 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:25:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h682POA2002850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:25:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:25:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080225.h682POA2002850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ24 KNHC 080225 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042003 0300Z TUE JUL 08 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 122.5W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 122.5W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 122.0W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.2N 123.9W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.6N 126.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.0N 128.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 122.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON DOLORES. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:26 2003 X-UIDL: 31105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00D1BPOTJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:31:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h682VX0N052862 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:31:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67MvToV013334; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:27:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 55028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:27:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h682RKc9055804 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h682RF9d002890 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:27:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h682RFxb002888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:27:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:27:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Dolores Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080227.h682RFxb002888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ44 KNHC 080227 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUL 07 2003 ALTHOUGH A FEW CELLS OF DEEP CONVECTION HAVE RE-DEVELOPED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER...DOLORES IS IN THE PROCESS OF DEGENERATING INTO A REMNANT LOW. SOME SPORADIC FLAREUPS OF DEEP CONVECTION ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE CIRCULATION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT THE SYSTEM SHOULD GRADUALLY WIND DOWN AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD OVER COOL WATERS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON DOLORES. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 17.7N 122.5W 25 KT 12HR VT 08/1200Z 18.2N 123.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 09/0000Z 18.6N 126.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 09/1200Z 19.0N 128.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:29 2003 X-UIDL: 31117-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00DAXTI5JD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 11:54:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h683rp0N077919 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 11:53:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67MvTuJ013334; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 56142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h683moc9032774 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h683mo9d003637 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h683mokp003636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080348.h683mokp003636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 080348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 08 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES CENTERED NEAR 17.7N 122.5W AT 08/0300 UTC MOVING WNW 10 KT WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED FOR THIS SYSTEM. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE AXIS MOVING W ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC AS WELL AS S OF GUATEMALA FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 91W-93W. OTHER CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W/102W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE ACTUALLY APPEARS TO LIE BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION. CLOSEST TO THE AXIS...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION LIES N OF 12N BETWEEN 97.5W-102W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CELLS ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE ITCZ FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 111W-118W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES IS N OF 15N W OF 130W WITH A RIDGE AXIS TO THE N OF T.D. DOLORES ALONG 31N130W 25N120W 22N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0313 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES... THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF DOLORES IS QUICKLY BECOMING RAGGED AND FILLED BY LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUDS AS THE SYSTEM DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW. HOWEVER...A RECENT BURST OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED SW OF THE CENTER AND THESE EPISODES MAY OCCASIONALLY CONTINUE AS THE SYSTEM HEADS TOWARDS COLDER WATERS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16.5N-17.5N BETWEEN 122.5W-124W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 4N83W 12N116W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 104W-108.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 120W-133W. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 6N-12N W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE CELLS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA E OF 85W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA AND ISLAS MARIAS. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:29 2003 X-UIDL: 31118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00DBDTIEJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 11:54:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h683s60N077998 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 11:54:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ5vF053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 56145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h683mvc9016028 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h683mv9d003642 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h683mvCT003641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080348.h683mvCT003641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 080348 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUL 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES...LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:31 2003 X-UIDL: 31129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00DYNY7HJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 13:35:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h685ZY0N009864 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 13:35:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67MvTxT013334; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 57356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h685TTc9056314 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h685TT9d004703 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h685TS35004701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080529.h685TS35004701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 127.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 119.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/KELSEY/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 16:05:35 2003 X-UIDL: 31139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DFT506JD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 16:02:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6882G0N058127 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 16:02:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5eH017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 02:55:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 58659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 02:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h687tmc9020650 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 02:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h687tm9d005983 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 02:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h687tlBM005982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 02:55:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 02:55:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080755.h687tlBM005982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 080755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON JUL 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 18:09:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31148-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DT1AFZJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 18:00:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h689xl0N093559 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:59:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5gZ017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:55:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 59379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h689tgc9013560 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h689tg9d007101 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h689tgEm007100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:55:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080955.h689tgEm007100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 080955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05N171W 09N167W 05N162W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER LOW NEAR 27N174W MOVED WEST 5 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM NORTH AND EAST OF THE LOW INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS/BROKEN CIRRUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK FRONT THROUGH 25S167W 20S172W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 12S180. OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. FRONT MOVING EAST 5-10 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. SHEAR LINE THROUGH 19S120W 13S140W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/BROKEN CIRRUS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07S175W 07S168W MOVED NORTH 10 KT AND DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 18:09:45 2003 X-UIDL: 31149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DZXAKLJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 18:02:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68A2c0N094362 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 18:02:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5gX017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:45:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 59355 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:45:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h689jPc9032232 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:45:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h689jO9d007049 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:45:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h689jOXb007048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:45:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:45:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080945.h689jOXb007048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 080945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 08 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/0000 UTC... ..A 1008 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. DOLORES...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N123W MOVING WNW 10 KT. AN ISOLATED BURST OF CONVECTION THAT HAD DEVELOPED SW OF THE CENTER IS NOW DISSIPATING WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 17N-18N BETWEEN 123W-124.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ENTERING THE AREA ALONG 78W N OF 4N MOVING W 20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS S OF THE PANAMA AND COSTA RICA COASTS WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS ENTERING AN ELONGATED AREA OF CYCLONIC ROTATION S OF THE MEXICAN COAST AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 93W-98W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ENOUGH HIGH CLOUDS HAVE LEFT THE AREA TO LEAVE A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXPOSED NEAR 10.5N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION N OF 14N BETWEEN 99W-104W. COASTAL CITIES FROM ACAPULCO TO IXTAPA/ZIHUATANEJO CAN EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN AS THESE TSTMS CONTINUE TO MOVE OFFSHORE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HRS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ALL CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..BROAD HIGH PRES N OF 20N W OF 130W WITH A RIDGE AXIS TO THE N OF THE REMNANTS OF DOLORES ALONG 32N130W 23N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N76W 4N85W 7N100W 12N107W 12N116W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-99W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-132W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 6N-9.5N BETWEEN 80W-84.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR/GUATEMALA FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 89W-93W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 18:49:39 2003 X-UIDL: 31152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00D3DCCZJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 18:41:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68AfG0N004332 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 18:41:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5gp017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 05:29:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 59520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 05:29:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68ATVc9029936 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 05:29:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68ATV9d007368 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 05:29:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68ATVvB007367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 05:29:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 05:29:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307081029.h68ATVvB007367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 081029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUL 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES ARE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS ACCOMPANIED BY AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 20:19:41 2003 X-UIDL: 31156-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DE9GPWJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 20:15:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68CFO0N028043 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 20:15:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ56H053054; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68C8Rc9041202 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68C8Q9d008196 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68C81tF008189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307081208.h68C81tF008189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 081200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/081200Z/090600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 119.0E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 133.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM NORTH OF PALAU HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) AND ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/KELSEY/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 22:09:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31163-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DQ5LNPJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 22:02:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68E250N056889 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 22:02:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5q7017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 08:55:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 08:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68Dtdc9023634 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 08:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68Dtc9d010670 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 08:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68DtcXZ010669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 08:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 08:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307081355.h68DtcXZ010669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 081355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE JUL 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 23:29:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DHHPO3JD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 23:28:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68FSh0N082496 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 23:28:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5uL017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:16:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:16:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68FGTc9040484 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:16:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68FGT9d013312 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:16:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68FGTr0013311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:16:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:16:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307081516.h68FGTr0013311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 081516 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 08 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1200 UTC... ..A 1009 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. DOLORES...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N124W MOVING NW 10 KT. AN ISOLATED BURST OF CONVECTION DEVELOPED DURING THE NIGHT BUT HAS SINCE DISSIPATED LEAVING ONLY A SWIRL OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 200 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. ..TROPICAL WAVE ENTERING THE AREA ALONG 79W N OF 4N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 80W-85W INCLUDING COASTAL AREAS OF W PANAMA AND S COSTA RICA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W N OF 3N TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 92W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 90W-100W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 100W-108W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 117W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 111W-118W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 15N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 7N100W 8N110W 12N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 122W-131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 131W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE BAY OF PETACALCO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 00:39:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31169-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DMESSWJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:36:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68GaL0N002410 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:36:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z50V017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 11:24:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 63760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 11:24:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68GOgc9038614 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 11:24:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68GOf9d015601 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 11:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68GOfoQ015600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 11:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 11:24:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307081624.h68GOfoQ015600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 081624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLORES ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS ACCOMPANIED BY A POORLY-ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 01:39:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DCUVCXJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 01:31:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68HVZ0N022698 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 01:31:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z52h017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 64502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68HNCc9032942 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68HNC9d017720 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68HNC0T017718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307081723.h68HNC0T017718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 01:39:41 2003 X-UIDL: 31171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DFVVEPJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 01:32:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68HWf0N022975 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 01:32:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ5HF053054; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 64505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68HNDc9021340 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68HNC9d017721 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68HNCUQ017719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 12:23:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307081723.h68HNCUQ017719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 04:09:41 2003 X-UIDL: 31178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ00DBS2BNJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 04:02:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68K200N075255 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 04:02:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5BN017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 14:45:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 67152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 14:45:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68JjDc9038656 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 14:45:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68JjD9d022692 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 14:45:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68JjDc1022691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 14:45:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 14:45:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307081945.h68JjDc1022691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 081945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE JUL 8 2003 AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS 150 MILES EAST OF MIDWAY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW ALOFT. NO TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 06:29:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ001U38ZWJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 06:26:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68MQ90N014972 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 06:26:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5JT017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:16:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69515 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:16:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68MGXc9015694 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:16:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68MGW9d027284 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:16:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68MGWLR027283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:16:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:16:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307082216.h68MGWLR027283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 082157 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 06:39:41 2003 X-UIDL: 31181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ0015U9AYJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 06:32:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68MWo0N016390 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 06:32:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ5WL053054; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:20:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69565 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:20:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68MKIc9043354 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:20:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68MKI9d027335 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:20:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68MKIP3027334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:20:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:20:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307082220.h68MKIP3027334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 082202 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 11N140W 06N153W NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN SIZE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF 04N168W 03N175W 05N180. AREA OF CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 13N180 19N178W MOVING WEST 15 KT INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER LOW NEAR 28N174W STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 300 NM NORTH AND EAST OF THE LOW. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS/BROKEN CIRRUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK STATIONARY FRONT THROUGH 25S167W 18S173W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 11S180. OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 200 NM OF FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. SHEAR LINE THROUGH 18S120W 13S136W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/BROKEN CIRRUS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07S167W 12S162W NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFYING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 06:49:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ001J39MDJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 06:39:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68Mde0N017874 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 06:39:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ5Wx053054; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:32:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69853 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:32:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68MWZc9015024 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:32:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68MWZ9d027632 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68MWZWo027631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:32:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307082232.h68MWZWo027631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 082227 CCA TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 11N140W 06N153W NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN SIZE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF 04N168W 03N175W 05N180. AREA OF CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 13N180 19N178W MOVING WEST 15 KT INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER LOW NEAR 28N174W STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 300 NM NORTH AND EAST OF THE LOW. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS/BROKEN CIRRUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK STATIONARY FRONT THROUGH 25S167W 18S173W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 11S180. OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 200 NM OF FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. SHEAR LINE THROUGH 18S120W 13S136W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/BROKEN CIRRUS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07S167W 12S162W NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFYING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 06:59:41 2003 X-UIDL: 31183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ0013TA4BJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 06:50:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68MoP0N020230 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 06:50:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ5WN053054; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:21:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:21:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68MLac9015744 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:21:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68MLa9d027373 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:21:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68MLZkc027372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:21:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 17:21:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307082221.h68MLZkc027372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 082203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 08 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 08/1800 UTC... ..A 1010 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. DOLORES...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N126W MOVING NW 10 KT. A SWIRL OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 200 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 79W IS NOW ALONG 80W/81W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W/95W W IS NOW ALONG 96W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 104W IS NOW ALONG 105W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 117W IS NOW ALONG 118W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N105W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N91.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 12.8N96.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 12.3N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 14.3N108.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF 11.5N125.6W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:41:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ001BFS8UJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 13:22:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h695Ll0N033306 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 13:21:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6952QcB017698; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:02:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:01:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69506c9019264 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:00:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h695059d003151 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:00:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69505pV003150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:00:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:00:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090500.h69505pV003150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 090459 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:41:28 2003 X-UIDL: 31209-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ001QASWMJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 13:36:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h695a20N037713 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 13:36:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955ocT056082; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 76121 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h695NCc9039492 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h695NC9d003350 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h695NBZ7003348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090523.h695NBZ7003348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 116.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 115.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM WEST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 131.2E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 130.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST OF VIRAC, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/KELSEY/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:41:32 2003 X-UIDL: 31220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ001IKZRNJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 16:04:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6984F0N084337 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 16:04:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955phv017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 02:56:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 77376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 02:56:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h697uAc9058324 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 02:56:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h697u99d004663 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 02:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h697u9X1004662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 02:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 02:56:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090756.h697u9X1004662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 090755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE JUL 8 2003 AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS 850 MILES NORTHWEST OF KAUAI IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER ATMOSPHERIC LOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS UNLIKELY IN THIS AREA. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:41:33 2003 X-UIDL: 31230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001B65O1JP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 18:12:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69ABo0N024657 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 18:11:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pk7017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 04:55:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 04:55:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h699tkc9038582 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 04:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h699tk9d005779 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 04:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h699tkOu005778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 04:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 04:55:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090955.h699tkOu005778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 090955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 85 NM OF LINE 07N150W 09N140W EXTEND EASTWARD AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER LOW NEAR 27N174W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM OF LOW DECREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 25S164W 18S171W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 13S180. OVERCAST LAYERS/SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE/TROUGH...ALONG LINE 18S166W 09S174W NEARLY STATIONARY. SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF TROUGH CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... SHEAR LINE THROUGH 16N120W 15N134W MOVED NORTH 10 KT. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:41:33 2003 X-UIDL: 31232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001W16HFJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 18:29:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69ATJ0N029605 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 18:29:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pkD017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:15:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78311 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:15:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69AFkc9044180 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:15:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69AFk9d005953 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:15:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69AFkwk005952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:15:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:15:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307091015.h69AFkwk005952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 091015 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:41:34 2003 X-UIDL: 31233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001VQ74WJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 18:43:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69AhP0N033213 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 18:43:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pkH017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:27:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78347 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:27:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69ARsc9004934 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69ARr9d006031 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69ARr5U006030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 05:27:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307091027.h69ARr5U006030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 091027 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 09 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0600 UTC... ..A 1011 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF DOLORES...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N129W MOVING WNW 15 KT. THE CIRCULATION HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND IS IN THE PROCESS OF BECOMING AN OPEN TROUGH. ALL TSTM ACTIVITY HAS DISSIPATED. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS HELD ALONG 84W N OF 4N MOVING W 15 KT BASED ON WEAK CYCLONIC ROTATION S OF WRN COSTA RICA. SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN THE ITCZ...AND E OF THE AXIS OVER COSTA RICA AND SE NICARAGUA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE IS EXHIBITING A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND NUMEROUS TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE AXIS. NUMEROUS MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11.5N-16N BETWEEN 99W-102.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 110.5-112W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 120W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF VARIABLY LIGHT FLOW AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. IN ADDITION...SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY IS LIMITED. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N73W 6N85W 6N93W 10N100W 7N110W 12N124W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-100W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-118W AND 122W-126W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA N OF 3N E OF 80W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-11.5N BETWEEN 87.5W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC N OF 12N BETWEEN 91W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 103W-107W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 19N-26N E OF 109W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 31247-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ001Z0GC0JP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 09:04:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6914g0N051851 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 09:04:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68KWfEd033798; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h690plc9041634 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h690pk9d029871 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h690pkwC029869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090051.h690pkwC029869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/090100Z/090600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14.2N7 116.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES HAS CONSOLIDATED OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 133.6E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 131.2W7, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AND UPDATED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 31251-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ00182IL5JP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 09:53:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h691rF0N068636 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 09:53:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5Xb017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 20:45:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73194 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 20:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h691jgc9015060 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 20:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h691jg9d000636 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 20:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h691jg23000635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 20:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 20:45:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090145.h691jg23000635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 090145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE JUL 8 2003 AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS 250 MILES EAST OF MIDWAY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW ALOFT. NO TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:47:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31259-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ0012VOQQJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 12:06:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h694640N012115 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 12:06:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h693t1cH033798; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 22:56:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75086 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 22:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h693uCc9010584 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 22:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h693uB9d002376 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 22:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h693uBtb002375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 22:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 22:56:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090356.h693uBtb002375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 090355 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 09 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/0000 UTC... ..A 1010 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF DOLORES...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N127W MOVING WNW 10 KTS. ALTHOUGH THE CIRCULATION IN THE LOW CLOUDS IS WELL-DEFINED...IT HAS BECOME MORE ELONGATED IN THE E/W DIRECTION THROUGH THE DAY. AN ISOLATED BURST OF CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY DISSIPATING AND NOW ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE LOCATED UP TO 75 NM SW OF THE CENTER. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W N OF 5N MOVING W 20 KT. THE WAVE HAS BEEN EXCEEDINGLY DIFFICULT TO TRACK ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN... BUT IT NOW APPEARS A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN THE ITCZ S OF THE PANAMA/COSTA RICA BORDER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST BETWEEN 80W-85W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W/98W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A BROAD CIRCULATION IS NOTED SW OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND QUIKSCAT DATA INDICATES ENHANCED CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE. SHIP H3KF REPORTED WINDS TO 25 KT AND A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1009.5 MB AT 0000 UTC. WIDELY SCATTERED BURSTS OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 97W-102W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS OBSERVED WITH THE WAVE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 119W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF VARIABLY LIGHT FLOW...AND SO IS NOT VERY IDENTIFIABLE. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN THE ITCZ. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N86W 10N99W 7N111W 12N123W 9N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED/SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 121W-131W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 103W-111W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:08:44 2003 X-UIDL: 31310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00DV1E34ML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:11:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A2B90N097934 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:11:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955oSP056082; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:01:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 94222 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:01:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A21Ac9007850 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:01:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A2199d000538 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:01:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A219wQ000537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:01:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:01:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100201.h6A219wQ000537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 100200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUL 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:08:53 2003 X-UIDL: 31317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00CN9JRA9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 12:13:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A4Dc0N040014 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 12:13:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEpP017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:08:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:08:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A48Bc9040168 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:08:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A48A9d002073 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:08:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A48AwX002072 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:08:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:08:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100408.h6A48AwX002072@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 100407 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 10 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0000 UTC... ..TROUGH...FROM REMNANT OF T.D. DOLORES...ALONG 20N132W 15N133W 10N134W. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 88W NOW ALONG 89W/90W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP THUNDERSTORMS. ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 14N104W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 13.5N106W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 112W NOW ALONG 113W/114W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 123W/124W NOW ALONG 125W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N95W 9N106W 10N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W...AND FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W...WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 115W... AND WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:08:53 2003 X-UIDL: 31320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00CECKHB9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 12:29:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A4TG0N044978 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 12:29:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEqJ017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:24:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96589 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:24:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A4OPc9050514 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:24:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A4OO9d002292 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:24:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A4OOJ7002291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:24:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:24:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100424.h6A4OOJ7002291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 100423 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:08:54 2003 X-UIDL: 31324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00C4UORM9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 14:02:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A61o0N073238 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 14:01:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A51Idj056088; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 97750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A5qgc9007876 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A5qg9d003391 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A5qfFe003389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100552.h6A5qfFe003389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.3E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 545 NM WEST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEING VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LINEAR FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:08:57 2003 X-UIDL: 31331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00CA8TT89O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 15:51:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A7on0N008110 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 15:50:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lE0X017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 02:46:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 98671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 02:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A7k2c9033306 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 02:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A7k19d004420 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 02:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A7k11N004419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 02:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 02:46:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100746.h6A7k11N004419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 100745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUL 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:08:58 2003 X-UIDL: 31336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00CHAXFJ9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:09:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A9990N032289 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:09:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lE29017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:00:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:00:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A90Mc9022854 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:00:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A90M9d005237 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:00:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A90MMx005236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:00:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:00:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100900.h6A90MMx005236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100851ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.9N2 104.0W5 TO 13.7N1 110.0W2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 100600Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 105.5W1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTH WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.1N5 103.5W9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 105.5W1, 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 110900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:08:59 2003 X-UIDL: 31341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00C59YEY9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:30:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A9UR0N039479 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:30:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lE2N017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:09:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:09:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A99Cc9044724 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:09:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A99C9d005307 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:09:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A99CO7005306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:09:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:09:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100909.h6A99CO7005306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100851Z JUL 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.9N2 104.0W5 TO 13.7N1 110.0W2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 100600Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 105.5W1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTH WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.1N5 103.5W9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 105.5W1, 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 110900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:00 2003 X-UIDL: 31345-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00COCZ079O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:43:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A9hB0N043534 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:43:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lE2b017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:36:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:36:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A9aTc9050548 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:36:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A9aT9d005540 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:36:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A9aT51005537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:36:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:36:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100936.h6A9aT51005537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 100936 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 08N140W 05N148W. ISOLATED CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 10N140W 06N140W 08N145W 10N140W AND EXTENDING EAST HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 07N143W 04N150W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. LOW ALOFT...CENTER NEAR 28N174W. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 30N178W 28N176W 28N178W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...LOW ALOFT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER ACTIVE FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...THROUGH 25S160W 21S163W 18S168W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 14S176W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT. BROKEN LOW CLOUD WITHIN 50NM OF SHEARLINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF POINT 14S171E. ELSEWHERE... NEW VERY ISOLATED CB AND OCCASIONAL TCU HAVE FORMED WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 11S160W 16S160W 19S161W AND WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 04S172W 05S176W 07S176W 08S179W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31348-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00CS811Q9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 18:27:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AARD0N056433 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 18:27:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A51Ifx056088; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AAGgc9025136 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AAGg9d005832 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AAGgZp005830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101016.h6AAGgZp005830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 101016 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 10 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/0600 UTC... ..QUASI-STATIONARY 1009 MB LOW NEAR 14N104W. THE LARGER AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM SIX HOURS AGO HAS DISSIPATED...GIVING WAY TO ONE AREA OF DEVELOPING NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 13N106.5W... AND TWO AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N108W AND 14N109.5W. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALSO ARE WITHIN 30-40 NM RADIUS 17.5N106W...AND FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 106W AND 107W. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS 1009 MB LOW CENTER MIGHT DEVELOP INTO TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 89W/90W NOW ALONG 91W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN ISOLATED CELLS WITHIN 30-40 NM RADIUS OF 13N90W...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N90.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 125W NOW ALONG 126W/127W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS... MOSTLY COMPLETELY DISSIPATED...FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 126W AND 129W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ITCZ FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 9N90W 13N107W 11N128W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 100W...BETWEEN 102W AND 116W...AND WEST OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31349-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00C3I19M9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 18:32:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AAVd0N057588 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 18:31:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lE2l017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AAGgc9023020 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AAGg9d005833 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AAGgYq005831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 05:16:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101016.h6AAGgYq005831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 101016 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUL 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:06 2003 X-UIDL: 31367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00CBZA4U9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:43:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ADhQ0N010113 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:43:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lE6H017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:34:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 100819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:34:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ADY2c9020742 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:34:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ADY29d008224 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:34:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ADY23X008222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:34:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:34:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101334.h6ADY23X008222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 101333 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUL 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:17 2003 X-UIDL: 31383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00EEQGFLCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:59:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFxQ0N051013 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:59:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEBr017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:46:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 102415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFktc9048594 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AFks9d012885 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AFkstf012884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:46:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101546.h6AFkstf012884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 101546 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 10 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 13N105W MOVING WNW 5-10 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED PRESSURE OF 1006 MB. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1200 UTC... ..LOW PREVIOUSLY NEAR 14N104W IS NOW A SPECIAL FEATURE. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ROTATION NOTED NEAR WAVE AXIS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 8N95W 12N89W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS IS A WEAK WAVE WITH ONLY ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 10N115W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 127W/128W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 8.5N123W 9.5N130W. ..WEAK TROUGH ALONG 135W FROM 14N-21N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IN THE BROAD TROUGH AXIS WITHIN 30 NM OF 12N138W TO 16N131W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1515 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N105W... SYSTEM HAS GOTTEN BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY BUT IS ELONGATED IN A SW-NE FASHION. A MORE DISTINCT LOW MAY BE FORMING ON THE SW SIDE OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION NEAR 14N107W. THERE IS SOME EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE LOW... FAVORING CONVECTION FORMING IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. IF TRENDS CONTINUE...THE DISTURBANCE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. SEE MIATWOEP FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 107W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 12N103W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N103W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N88W 8N95W 12N108W 10N125W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 6N80W 9N86W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 92W-99W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SMALL CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 20N107W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:17 2003 X-UIDL: 31384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00E0JHC4CI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:19:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AGJ30N056582 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:19:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKdB048410; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:12:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 102787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:12:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AGBvc9035652 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:12:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AGBv9d013962 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:11:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AGBv3Q013958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:11:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:11:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101611.h6AGBv3Q013958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LCDR JEFFRIES, USN. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:18 2003 X-UIDL: 31385-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00E5KHK0CM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:24:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AGNo0N058135 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:23:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEDb017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:12:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 102779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:11:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AGBvc9020172 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:11:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AGBv9d013963 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:11:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AGBv3U013959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:11:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:11:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101611.h6AGBv3U013959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LCDR JEFFRIES, USN. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:18 2003 X-UIDL: 31387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00EPWIIRCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:44:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AGih0N064162 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:44:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEEp017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 103073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AGS1c9038228 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AGS09d014585 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AGS0ct014584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Five-e Special Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101628.h6AGS0ct014584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 101627 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 1700Z THU JUL 10 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 107.0W AT 10/1700Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 107.0W AT 10/1700Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 106.0W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.4N 108.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.0N 110.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.7N 112.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.0N 119.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 17.0N 123.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 107.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:18 2003 X-UIDL: 31388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00E21IXPCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:53:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AGra0N066530 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:53:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEEr017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 103079 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AGSPc9057372 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AGSO9d014604 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AGSONA014603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:28:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Five-e Special Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101628.h6AGSONA014603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, OPPORTUNITY, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ45 KNHC 101628 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUL 10 2003 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING REVEALS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION IN THE DISTURBANCE SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. WHILE THE CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED AND WELL-REMOVED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION...THERE IS ENOUGH ORGANIZATION TO INITIATE ADVISORIES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT BASED ON THE DVORAK CLASSIFICATION FROM SAB AND THE LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS. THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY SUFFERING FROM STRONG NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR...BUT GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THIS SHEAR MAY LESSEN OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS WILL AFFORD THE CYCLONE AN OPPORTUNITY TO STRENGTHEN SOME BEFORE IT ENCOUNTERS COOLER WATERS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS A BLEND BETWEEN THE SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/11. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE SHOULD MAINTAIN ITSELF TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION AND KEEP THE SYSTEM ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS. AFTER THAT...A WESTWARD TURN IS LIKELY WHEN THE SYSTEM WEAKENS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL MODEL. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/1700Z 14.3N 107.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 11/0000Z 14.4N 108.2W 35 KT 24HR VT 11/1200Z 15.0N 110.3W 40 KT 36HR VT 12/0000Z 15.7N 112.5W 40 KT 48HR VT 12/1200Z 16.5N 115.0W 35 KT 72HR VT 13/1200Z 17.0N 119.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 14/1200Z 17.0N 123.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00E7ZKPPCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 01:32:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AHVp0N078483 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 01:31:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEE7017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:18:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 102858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:18:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AGI2c9042652 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:18:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AGI29d014222 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AGI2rp014221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 11:18:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101618.h6AGI2rp014221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 101617 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUL 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND A SPECIAL ADVISORY ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE HOUR. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10-15 MPH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:23 2003 X-UIDL: 31397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00EQMNJNCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:33:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AIX30N098654 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:33:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEMj017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:24:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 104896 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:24:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AIOLc9026346 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:24:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AIOL9d018936 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:24:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AIOKoB018935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:24:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:24:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101824.h6AIOKoB018935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 101600 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100851ZJUL2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 13.8N2 106.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 106.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 14.4N9 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.0N6 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.7N3 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.5N2 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.0N8 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101200Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.8N2 106.0W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101200Z4 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 100851Z JUL 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 100900) NEXT WARNINGS AT 102200Z5, 110400Z6, 111000Z3 AND 111600Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:23 2003 X-UIDL: 31398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00ES1NV5CI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:40:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AIdk0N000993 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:39:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKiT048410; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 104963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AIS3c9028462 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AIS29d019077 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AIS23F019067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101828.h6AIS23F019067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 101600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100851ZJUL2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 13.8N2 106.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 106.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 14.4N9 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.0N6 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.7N3 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.5N2 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.0N8 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101200Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.8N2 106.0W7. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:24 2003 X-UIDL: 31399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00E1ROHSCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:53:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AIr60N004624 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:53:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AH1dlF033798; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 104951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AIS2c9034974 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AIS19d019063 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AIS1UJ019061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 13:28:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression (td) 05e, Located Approximately 325 Nm South- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101828.h6AIS1UJ019061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 101600 RRB TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101200Z4 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 100851Z JUL 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 100900) NEXT WARNINGS AT 102200Z5, 110400Z6, 111000Z3 AND 111600Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:24 2003 X-UIDL: 31401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00EZQSY8CM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:30:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AKTa0N038470 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:29:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEUT017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 15:09:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 106825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 15:07:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AK6oc9052520 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 15:07:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AK6i9d022290 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 15:06:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AK6i7f022285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 15:06:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 15:06:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307102006.h6AK6i7f022285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 101945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU JUL 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC NORTH OF THE EQUATOR DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:25 2003 X-UIDL: 31405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00CSQWTU9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:53:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ALrb0N060944 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:53:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKu5048410; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:47:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 108821 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:47:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ALlFc9045250 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:47:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ALlF9d025278 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:47:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ALlFT9025277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:47:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:47:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307102147.h6ALlFT9025277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 102145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 10N140W 08N148W. ISOLATED CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 10N140W 06N140W 09N147W 10N140W AND EXTENDING EAST HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 09N147W 07N150W 09N160W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. LOW ALOFT...CENTER NEAR 28N173W. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N175W 29N168W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...LOW ALOFT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER ACTIVE FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...THROUGH 23S160W 20S170 EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 14S177W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT. BROKEN LOW CLOUD WITHIN 50NM OF SHEARLINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF POINT 09S172W. ELSEWHERE... NEW VERY ISOLATED CB AND OCCASIONAL TCU HAVE FORMED WITHIN 90NM OF LINE 14S160W 08S172W AND WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 06S176W 05S179W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:25 2003 X-UIDL: 31406-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00CZYXAG9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 06:03:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AM3k0N063690 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 06:03:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEaj017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:54:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 108994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:54:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ALsdc9032486 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:54:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ALsd9d025443 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:54:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ALsddS025442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:54:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:54:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307102154.h6ALsddS025442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 102200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 14.6N1 107.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 107.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.4N0 109.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.1N8 112.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.9N6 114.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.5N3 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 18.0N9 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 101800Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 107.5W3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101800Z0 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110400Z6, 111000Z3, 111600Z9 AND 112200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:26 2003 X-UIDL: 31407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00C26XIV9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 06:08:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AM8m0N064892 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 06:08:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKuV048410; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 109024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ALtsc9009548 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ALts9d025503 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ALtscK025499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307102155.h6ALtscK025499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 102200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 14.6N1 107.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 107.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.4N0 109.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.1N8 112.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.9N6 114.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.5N3 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 18.0N9 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 101800Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 107.5W3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:26 2003 X-UIDL: 31408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00C2XXLX9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 06:10:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMAb0N065197 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 06:10:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEar017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 109019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ALtsc9011324 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ALtr9d025496 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ALtrms025494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:55:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 101800z0 Visible And Infrared Satellite Imagery. The Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307102155.h6ALtrms025494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN31 PHNC 102200 RRB 101800Z0 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110400Z6, 111000Z3, 111600Z9 AND 112200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:27 2003 X-UIDL: 31410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00E3MY6PCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 06:23:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMN60N067487 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 06:23:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRcD017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:18:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 109596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:18:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIic9033734 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:18:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AMIi9d026009 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:18:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AMIh0v026008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:18:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:18:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307102218.h6AMIh0v026008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 102218 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 10 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E IS CENTERED NEAR 14.8N 108.1W AT 10/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 10/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W IS NOW ALONG 92W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 115W IS NOW ALONG 116W/117W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 127W/128W IS NOW ALONG 129W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..WEAK TROUGH IS ALONG 138W FROM 14N-21N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2115 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E... MOST CONVECTION IS LOCATED W OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 108W AND 113W. A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 82W AND 86W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 11N100W 12N100W 9N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 93W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 102W AND 107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 136W AND 140W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:27 2003 X-UIDL: 31411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00E6OYEOCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 06:28:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMRr0N068545 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 06:27:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRcN017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:21:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 109660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:21:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AML4c9047010 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:21:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AML49d026045 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:21:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AML4Uj026044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:21:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 17:21:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307102221.h6AML4Uj026044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 102220 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUL 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E...LOCATED 570 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS AT THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FORECASTER COBB/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:30 2003 X-UIDL: 31421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00C9Z7XL9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:53:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B1rb0N020701 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:53:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRn1017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 20:45:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112246 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 20:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B1jsc9011508 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 20:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B1js9d028727 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 20:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B1jsUX028726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 20:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 20:45:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110145.h6B1jsUX028726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 110145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU JUL 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:30 2003 X-UIDL: 31424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00ER68YJCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:15:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B2Fm0N027871 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:15:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRnf017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B29Tc9046960 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B29T9d028949 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B29Tx7028947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/110200z/110600zjul2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110209.h6B29Tx7028947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110200 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/110200Z/110600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.5E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.40N1 152.1E9 OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW. A 101919Z1 QUICKSCATT PASS SHOWS A CYCLONIC WAVE IN THE EASTERLY FLOW WITH 35 TO 45 KNOT WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION. AS THE WAVE PASSED OVER CHUUK, SURFACE WIND REPORTS WERE 10 TO 15 KNOTS SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS IN THE THUNDERSTORMS OF GREATER THEN 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATE AREA MENTIONED IN 1.B.(1) AND ADD NEW AREA MENTIONED IN 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:31 2003 X-UIDL: 31427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EYQA2LCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:39:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B2dk0N035853 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:39:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRo3017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:35:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112565 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:35:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B2Ztc9019810 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:35:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B2Zp9d029180 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:35:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B2Zpma029179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:35:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:35:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Five-e Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110235.h6B2Zpma029179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, OPPORTUNITY, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ45 KNHC 110235 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU JUL 10 2003 A FEW BURSTS OF COLD-TOP CONVECTION HAVE FIRED OFF NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CENTER OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE CONVECTIVE BANDING OBSERVED EARLIER WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER HAS DIMINISHED. THIS MAY BE AN INDICATION THAT SOME CONSOLIDATION OF THE CYCLONE IS BEGINNING. NONETHELESS...DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN 25 KT FROM ALL THREE AGENCIES...AFWA...TAFB AND SAB. THE INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE DEPRESSION REMAINS IN AN ENVIROMENT OF MODEST NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR AT THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A LESSENING OF THE SHEAR IN THE FORECAST. THE SHIPS GUIDANCE BRINGS THE CYCLONE UP TO 45 KT IN 24 HOURS THEN MAINTAINS THIS INTENSITY WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING AFTER 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS IN LINE WITH SHIPS GUIDANCE AND SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE CYCLONE SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE OVER COOLER WATERS IN THE 24 TO 36 HOUR TIMEFRAME...NARROWING THE WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR INTENSIFICATION. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/12. THE 18 UTC RUN OF THE GFS HAS A MUCH BETTER INITIALIZATION OF THE INNER VORTEX OF THE CYCLONE. IT MOVES THE DEPRESSION ON A WEST-NORTHWEST COURSE THROUGH 48 HOURS TO THE SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE. THEREAFTER...A WESTWARD TURN IS LIKELY WHEN THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND STEERING IS GOVERNED BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE BUT TURNS THE CYCLONE TO THE WEST SOONER. FORECASTER COBB/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0300Z 15.0N 109.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 11/1200Z 15.6N 111.3W 35 KT 24HR VT 12/0000Z 16.4N 113.7W 40 KT 36HR VT 12/1200Z 17.1N 116.0W 40 KT 48HR VT 13/0000Z 17.5N 119.0W 35 KT 72HR VT 14/0000Z 17.5N 124.5W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 15/0000Z 17.5N 129.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 16/0000Z 17.5N 133.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:32 2003 X-UIDL: 31428-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00CFIA3Q9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:40:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B2eV0N036109 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:40:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtK6b048410; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:36:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:36:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B2abc9023016 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:36:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B2aa9d029201 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B2aa1F029198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:36:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Five-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110236.h6B2aa1F029198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 110236 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 0300Z FRI JUL 11 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.3W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.3W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 108.7W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.6N 111.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.4N 113.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.1N 116.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.5N 124.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 17.5N 129.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 17.5N 133.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 109.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:33 2003 X-UIDL: 31435-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00E87DPFCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:58:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B3wI0N059454 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:58:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRs3017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:53:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 113598 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:53:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B3rec9035810 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:53:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B3rd9d029828 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:53:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B3rd3L029827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:53:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:53:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110353.h6B3rd3L029827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 110400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 14.9N4 108.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 108.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.6N2 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.4N1 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.1N9 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.5N3 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.5N3 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110000Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.9N4 108.7W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 355 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110000Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111000Z3, 111600Z9, 112200Z6 AND 120400Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:33 2003 X-UIDL: 31436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00E86DPFCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:58:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B3wF0N059420 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:58:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRs5017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 113606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B3tdc9020938 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B3tc9d029841 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B3tcUC029840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Knots Over The Past 06 Hours. The Warning Position Is Based On Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110355.h6B3tcUC029840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 110400 RRB KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110000Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111000Z3, 111600Z9, 112200Z6 AND 120400Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:33 2003 X-UIDL: 31437-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00E81DRGCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:59:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B3xW0N059808 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:59:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtK87048410; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 113609 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B3tdc9035836 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B3td9d029848 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B3tcQH029843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 22:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110355.h6B3tcQH029843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 110400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 14.9N4 108.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 108.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.6N2 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.4N1 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.1N9 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.5N3 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.5N3 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110000Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.9N4 108.7W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 355 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:34 2003 X-UIDL: 31438-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EN1E4NCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:07:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B47T0N062075 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:07:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRsF017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:04:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 113677 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:04:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B440c9015574 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:04:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B43v9d029954 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:03:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B43vgC029953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:03:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:03:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110403.h6B43vgC029953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 110403 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 11 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E CENTER NEAR 15.0N 109.3W AT 11/0300 UTC MOVING WNW 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 91W/92W NOW ALONG 92W/93W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 116W/117W NOW ALONG 118W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 129W NOW ALONG 130W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..WEAK TROUGH IS ALONG 138W FROM 14N-21N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0330 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 109W AND 111.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 9N98W 9N121W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... WITH SOME AREAS OF DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG MEXICO COAST FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 106W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:34 2003 X-UIDL: 31439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EZAF5DCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:29:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B4TU0N068740 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:29:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtK8d048410; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:26:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 113914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:26:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B4Q2c9022998 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:26:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B4Q29d000129 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:26:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B4Q2i3000128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:26:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:26:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110426.h6B4Q2i3000128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 110425 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUL 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:02:56 2003 X-UIDL: 31445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EX2JKLCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 14:05:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B6510N098805 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 14:05:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRur017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 114678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B5vvc9056490 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B5vv9d000872 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B5vvej000870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110557.h6B5vvej000870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.4N1 152.1E9, NEAR THE ISLAND OF CHUUK, OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED METSAT IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). EVALUATION OF THE PAST 24 HOURS OF OBSERVATIONS AT CHUUK SHOW NO DROP IN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:01 2003 X-UIDL: 31456-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EBIOFSCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:50:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B7o80N036873 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:50:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRvn017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:45:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B7jgc9020918 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B7jf9d001601 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B7jfJO001600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 02:45:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110745.h6B7jfJO001600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 110745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU JUL 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:01 2003 X-UIDL: 31458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00ESEQAHCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:30:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B8UA0N051636 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:30:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKCD048410; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B8Poc9058202 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B8Po9d002008 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B8Po7g002007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110825.h6B8Po7g002007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 110825 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 0900Z FRI JUL 11 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.9W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 10NE 30SE 50SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.9W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.0N 111.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.5N 114.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.4N 116.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.2N 119.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.0N 125.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 18.0N 130.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 136.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 109.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:01 2003 X-UIDL: 31459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EG2QEWCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:32:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B8Wn0N052278 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:32:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRvr017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B8PEc9036020 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B8PE9d002002 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B8PELD002001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:25:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110825.h6B8PELD002001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, OPPORTUNITY, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ45 KNHC 110825 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI JUL 11 2003 RATHER INTENSE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...MAKING THE CENTER DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN CONVENTIONAL INFRARED IMAGERY AS INDICATED BY THE LARGE SCATTER IN THE FIX POSITONS PROVIDED BY THE THREE SATELLITE AGENCIES. HOWEVER ..11/0107Z QUIKSCAT AND 11/0451Z SSMI MICROWAVE OVERPASSES CONFIRM THE INITIAL POSITION SHOULD BE RELOCATED FARTHER SOUTH. IN ADDITION TO THE RELOCATION...THE RECENT SSMI OVERPASS INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS EMBEDDED AT LEAST 30 NMI WITHIN THE EASTERN PORTION OF -70C CLOUD TOPS. BASED ON CONSENSUS 30 KT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES...THE RAPIDLY IMPROVING CONVECTIVE PATTERN OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND THE NEW CENTER LOCATION...THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO 35-KT TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/09...BASED PRIMARILY ON MICROWAVE FIX POSITIONS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS OR SO. ENRIQUE IS EMBEDDED IN MODEST DEEP EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE INSISTS ON TAKING THE CYCLONE MORE POLEWARD INITIALLY AND THEN TURNING IT WESTWARD AFTER ABOUT 36 HOURS. THE UKMET IS THE FARTHEST NORTH WITH THE GFS...GFDL...AND P91E MODELS BEING THE FARTHEST SOUTH. THE GLOBAL MODELS APPEAR TO BE REACTING TO AN INITIALIZED MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW LOCATED ABOUT 400 NMI WEST OF ENRIQUE. HOWEVER...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THIS UPPER-LOW NO LONGER EXISTS AND THAT EASTERLY FLOW IS PRESENT WEST OF ENRIQUE. THEREFORE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK...BUT IS ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE SUITE BETWEEN THE P91E AND GFS MODELS. DESPITE THE RECENT IMPRESSIVE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND A FORECAST FOR THE EASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR TO WEAKEN...ENRIQUE ONLY HAS A NARROW WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO STRENGTHEN SINCE IS IT EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER SUB-25C SSTS BY 36 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR MOST OF THE STRENGTHENING TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND IS SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL. HOWEVER...IF ENRIQUE SLOWS DOWN A LITTLE MORE...THEN THERE WOULD BE MORE TIME OVER WARM WATER AND THE STORM COULD BE STRONGER THAN WHAT IS FORECAST. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 14.7N 109.9W 35 KT 12HR VT 11/1800Z 15.0N 111.7W 45 KT 24HR VT 12/0600Z 15.5N 114.2W 45 KT 36HR VT 12/1800Z 16.4N 116.7W 40 KT 48HR VT 13/0600Z 17.2N 119.4W 35 KT 72HR VT 14/0600Z 18.0N 125.0W 30 KT 96HR VT 15/0600Z 18.0N 130.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 16/0600Z 18.0N 136.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31464-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EZYRJZCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:57:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B8vR0N060148 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:57:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRwn017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:49:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B8njc9022942 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B8ni9d002179 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:49:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B8niES002178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:49:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:49:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110849.h6B8niES002178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 110849 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 11 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E HAS STRENGTHENED AND DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...WITH CENTER NEAR 14.7N 109.9W AT 11/0900 UTC MOVING WEST 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 92W/93W NOW ALONG 94W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 118W NOW ALONG 119W/120W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 130W NOW ALONG 131W/132W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0800 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 109W AND 112W. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALSO IN A FEW ISOLATED CELLS FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 105.5W AND 107W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 105W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 102W AND 109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 7N88W 7N100W 9N111W 10N130W 10N140W. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN ISOLATED CELLS FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 80W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS... WITH SOME AREAS OF DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 100W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00E11T0LCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:29:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B9T20N070673 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:29:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRxJ017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B9MQc9035618 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B9MQ9d002427 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B9MQhq002426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110922.h6B9MQhq002426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 111000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 14.6N1 109.5W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 109.5W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.0N6 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.5N1 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.4N1 116.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.2N0 119.4W5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EEGTD5CM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:36:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B9aW0N073194 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:36:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRxH017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:20:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:20:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B9KNc9058340 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:20:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B9KN9d002410 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:20:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B9KNxu002409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:20:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:20:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110920.h6B9KNxu002409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 111000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 14.6N1 109.5W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 109.5W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.0N6 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.5N1 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.4N1 116.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.2N0 119.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 18.0N9 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.0N9 130.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 18.0N9 136.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110600Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 109.5W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110600Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111600Z9, 112200Z6, 120400Z7 AND 121000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EFQTF6CM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:37:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B9bl0N073526 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:37:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKD3048410; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115791 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B9MRc9046914 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B9MR9d002434 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B9MRtM002431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 04:22:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 035 Kt, Gusts 045 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110922.h6B9MRtM002431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 111000 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 18.0N9 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.0N9 130.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 18.0N9 136.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110600Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 109.5W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110600Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111600Z9, 112200Z6, 120400Z7 AND 121000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:03 2003 X-UIDL: 31472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EHEV6VCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 18:16:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BAG00N084808 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 18:16:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKDH048410; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:08:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:08:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BA8Uc9035750 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:08:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BA8T9d002744 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BA8TQt002743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:08:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111008.h6BA8TQt002743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 111008 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...FIRST AXIS THROUGH 07N153W 06N161W. ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 75NM OF ITCZ. SECOND AXIS THROUGH 04N173W 03N180 AND CONTINUING TO WEST. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200NM OF ITCZ. TROUGH...THROUGH 13N143W 07N147W HAS MOVED W 20 KT. VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75NM OF TROUGH. SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 30N149W 28N161W HAS MOVED SOUTH 10KT AND IS STALLING. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF SHEAR LINE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER ACTIVE FEATURES... STATIONARY FRONT...THROUGH 21S163W 25S155W AND EXTENDING TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 100NM FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED TCU HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF POINT 14S174W. ELSEWHERE... BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WITHIN 50NM OF A LINE THROUGH 11S120W 09S130W 10S140W 17S148W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:03 2003 X-UIDL: 31473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EFWVY5CM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 18:32:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BAW40N090580 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 18:32:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRxh017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:22:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 116049 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:22:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BAMtc9058238 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:22:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BAMp9d002812 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BAMpUk002811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 05:22:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111022.h6BAMpUk002811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 111022 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUL 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00KNE5A29I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:54:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BDrn0N048801 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:53:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKHP048410; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 08:45:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 117397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 08:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BDjvc9045094 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 08:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BDjv9d005252 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 08:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BDjvKS005251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 08:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 08:45:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111345.h6BDjvKS005251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 111345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI JUL 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00KV97PT9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 22:46:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BEkW0N065571 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 22:46:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKIl048410; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:37:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 117927 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:37:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BEbhc9048264 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:37:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BEbh9d006788 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:37:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BEbhrR006787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:37:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:37:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111437.h6BEbhrR006787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 111437 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 1500Z FRI JUL 11 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 110.8W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 40SE 50SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 110.8W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 110.4W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.1N 112.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.0N 125.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 19.0N 131.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 19.0N 136.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 110.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00K237UA9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 22:49:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BEnF0N066174 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 22:49:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKIf048410; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:36:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 117911 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BEavc9052886 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BEav9d006762 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BEavQI006761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:36:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111436.h6BEavQI006761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ45 KNHC 111436 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUL 11 2003 MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM OVERNIGHT SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER OF ENRIQUE IS NEAR THE NORTHEAST EDGE BUT UNDERNEATH THE DEEP COLD CONVECTION. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT FROM AFWA AND SAB AND 45 KT FROM TAFB. IF THE CENTER IS WHERE I THINK IT IS THEN ENRIQUE HAS STRENGTHENED...AND THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 40 KT. THERE APPEARS TO BE LESS SHEAR THAN YESTERDAY AND THE WATERS WILL REMAIN WARM FOR ANOTHER 18 HOURS OR SO...SO SOME CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS LESS AGGRESSIVE THAN THE SHIPS GUIDANCE...THOUGH...WHICH BRINGS ENRIQUE TO 55 KT. IF VISIBLE IMAGERY CONFIRMS THAT THE CENTER IS WELL-EMBEDDED IN THE DEEP CONVECTION THEN THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL NEED TO BE BUMPED UP FURTHER. COOLER WATERS SHOULD INDUCE WEAKENING AFTER 24 HOURS. THE TRACK APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN PULLED LEFTWARD OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS...PERHAPS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE CURRENT CONVECTIVE PATTERN. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/9. HOWEVER...ALL GUIDANCE RETURNS THE CYCLONE TO A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY TRACK IN RESPONSE TO A SLIGHT WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS WEAKNESS IS APPARENT IN WATER-VAPOR IMAGERY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BUT REMAINS ALONG THE SOUTH EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. ONCE THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO DECAY IT SHOULD RETURN TO A MORE WESTERLY TRACK. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 14.8N 110.8W 40 KT 12HR VT 12/0000Z 15.1N 112.6W 45 KT 24HR VT 12/1200Z 16.0N 115.0W 50 KT 36HR VT 13/0000Z 17.0N 117.5W 40 KT 48HR VT 13/1200Z 18.0N 120.0W 30 KT 72HR VT 14/1200Z 19.0N 125.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 15/1200Z 19.0N 131.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 16/1200Z 19.0N 136.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00KMSACW9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:43:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BFhM0N083237 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:43:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIR7T017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:34:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 118649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:34:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BFYFc9044920 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:34:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BFYE9d008463 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:34:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BFYEY7008462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:34:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:34:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111534.h6BFYEY7008462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 111534 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 11 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...WITH CENTER NEAR 14.8N 110.8W AT 11/1500 UTC MOVING WEST 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W NOW ALONG 96W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING W 15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 119W/120W NOW ALONG 122W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 132W NOW ALONG 135W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING W 15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1515 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W TO 113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 9N90W 7N100W 10N110W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN 78W TO 81W. MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N TO 7N EAST OF 81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00K1RB7A9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 00:01:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BG1j0N088447 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 00:01:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIR81017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:53:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:53:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BFrbc9027162 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:53:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BFrb9d009089 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:53:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BFrbR6009088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:53:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:53:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111553.h6BFrbR6009088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 111600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 14.7N2 110.4W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 110.4W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.1N7 112.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.0N7 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.0N8 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.0N9 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.0N0 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 19.0N0 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111200Z5 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 110.4W6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111200Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112200Z6, 120400Z7, 121000Z4 AND 121600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31488-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00K5PB8X9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 00:02:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BG2o0N088781 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 00:02:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKJl048410; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BFuhc9015562 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BFuh9d009210 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BFuh3F009208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 030 Kt, Gusts 040 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111556.h6BFuh3F009208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 111600 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.0N0 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 19.0N0 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111200Z5 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 110.4W6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111200Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112200Z6, 120400Z7, 121000Z4 AND 121600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31489-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00KBCBC09I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 00:04:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BG4a0N089259 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 00:04:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIR87017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BFuic9044858 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BFuh9d009212 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BFuh6R009211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:56:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111556.h6BFuh6R009211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 111600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 14.7N2 110.4W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 110.4W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.1N7 112.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.0N7 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.0N8 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.0N9 120.0W3 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:10 2003 X-UIDL: 31491-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00KR1DJL9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 00:52:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGqN0N002952 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 00:52:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGXadR025254; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:45:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:45:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGjuc9039770 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:45:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BGjt9d010700 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:45:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BGjt3P010699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:45:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 11:45:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111645.h6BGjt3P010699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 111645 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUL 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:10 2003 X-UIDL: 31495-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00KLDEMT9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:16:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BHFt0N010765 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVteP016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BHBac9024062 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BHBZ9d011456 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BHBZSE011454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111711.h6BHBZSE011454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:10 2003 X-UIDL: 31496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00KUKET59I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:19:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BHJh0N011872 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:19:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtd7042130; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BHBac9019802 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BHBZ9d011457 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BHBZ3d011455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 12:11:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111711.h6BHBZ3d011455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV008N7MG7OA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 04:04:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BK4l0N063576 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 04:04:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtkr016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:01:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 121984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BK1Mc9047836 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BK1M9d016336 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:01:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BK1L7v016334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:01:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307112001.h6BK1L7v016334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 112000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI JUL 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31509-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV008XIOCXOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 04:46:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BKk20N076369 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 04:46:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtmN016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BKW4c9010300 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BKW49d017306 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BKW3JT017305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307112032.h6BKW3JT017305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 112031 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 2100Z FRI JUL 11 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 111.5W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 111.5W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 111.1W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.9N 112.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.6N 114.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.4N 117.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.5N 124.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 17.5N 128.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.5N 133.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 111.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31510-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV008ZSOF3OA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 04:47:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BKlK0N076653 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 04:47:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtmP016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122480 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BKWjc9052794 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BKWj9d017327 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BKWjrI017326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:32:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307112032.h6BKWjrI017326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ45 KNHC 112032 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUL 11 2003 ENRIQUE CONTINUES TO SHOW IMPROVED BANDING EVEN THOUGH THE AREAL COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION IS DECREASING WITH THE DIURNAL CYCLE. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE A CONSENSUS 45 KT AND THAT IS THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY. VERTICAL SHEAR CONTINUES TO DIMINISH AND THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS IMPROVING. DESPITE THIS... THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME SEPARATION BETWEEN THE MID-LEVEL CENTER APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER...WHICH MAY BE DISPLACED TO THE NORTH. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...MY INITIAL POSITION IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THESE TWO. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/8. THE FORWARD SPEED HAS BEEN STEADILY SLOWING OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAS NOT FORECAST BY ANY OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS...WHICH CONTINUE TO SHOW TRANSLATION SPEEDS OF 12-13 KT OR SO. AS A GROUP...THE MODELS HAVE ALSO HAD A RIGHTWARD BIAS. THIS FASTER MODEL MOTION TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST APPEARS TO RESULT FROM A COMBINATION OF A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST OF ENRIQUE AND AN ANALYZED MID-LEVEL LOW TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE LATTER FEATURE MAY NOT EXIST IN THE REAL ATMOSPHERE AND THE FORMER MAY BE GETTING TOO FAR AWAY FROM THE CYCLONE TO HAVE MUCH EFFECT. THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS SOUTH AND SLOWER THAN ALL OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE...SAVE FOR CLIPER. FOR THE FIRST TIME...THE GFDL MODEL IS FORECASTING STRENGTHENING MORE OR LESS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION IS THIN RIGHT NOW...I EXPECT SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT DIURNAL BURST. WITH THE SLOWER FORECAST MOTION...THE WEAKENING TREND OVER COOLER WATERS MAY BE SOMEWHAT DELAYED. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 14.7N 111.5W 45 KT 12HR VT 12/0600Z 14.9N 112.7W 50 KT 24HR VT 12/1800Z 15.6N 114.7W 50 KT 36HR VT 13/0600Z 16.4N 117.0W 45 KT 48HR VT 13/1800Z 17.0N 119.5W 35 KT 72HR VT 14/1800Z 17.5N 124.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 15/1800Z 17.5N 128.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 16/1800Z 17.5N 133.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00KWWRZX9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:04:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BM4Q0N097127 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:04:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtrR016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:48:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:48:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BLmkc9023962 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:48:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BLmj9d019343 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BLmjRj019342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:48:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307112148.h6BLmjRj019342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 112148 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUL 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00KZWS4V9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:07:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BM7O0N097784 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:07:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtrx016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:01:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:01:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BM1Hc9017868 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:01:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BM1H9d019601 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BM1H7Z019600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:01:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307112201.h6BM1H7Z019600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 112200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N162W 09N151W 05N152W 06N165W. NEWLY FORMED OCCASIONAL CB EXTEND ACROSS THE DATELINE AND ARE BOUNDED BY 05N175E 08N177W 04N172W EQ177E. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31515-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00K7NSIR9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:16:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BMFi0N099490 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:15:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtsL016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BM6qc9050432 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BM6q9d019682 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BM6pKq019681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 141800z4 --- 17.5n3 124.0w7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307112206.h6BM6pKq019681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 112200 RRB 141800Z4 --- 17.5N3 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 17.5N3 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 111.5W8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111800Z1 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KZNY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120400Z7, 121000Z4, 121600Z0 AND 122200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV008HSSIROA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:16:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BMFj0N099493 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:15:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVts1016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:04:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:04:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BM4dc9050646 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:04:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BM4c9d019658 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BM4cBn019657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:04:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:04:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307112204.h6BM4cBn019657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 112200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 14.7N2 111.1W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 111.1W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.9N4 112.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 15.6N2 114.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.4N1 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.0N8 119.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.5N3 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 17.5N3 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 111.5W8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111800Z1 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KZNY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120400Z7, 121000Z4, 121600Z0 AND 122200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV008IJSK3OA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:16:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BMGX0N099678 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:16:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtsJ016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BM6nc9027248 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BM6n9d019677 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BM6mKj019676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:06:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307112206.h6BM6mKj019676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 112200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 14.7N2 111.1W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 111.1W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 14.9N4 112.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 15.6N2 114.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.4N1 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.0N8 119.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00K8KSKA9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:16:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BMGd0N099693 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 06:16:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtsN016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:07:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:07:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BM79c9045138 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:07:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BM799d019695 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:07:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BM79sM019694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:07:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 17:07:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307112207.h6BM79sM019694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 112207 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 11 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE IS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 111.5W AT 11/2100 UTC MOVING WEST 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 11/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 96W NOW ALONG 97W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 122W NOW ALONG 123W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 135W NOW ALONG 136W/137W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING W 15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2115 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE... MOST CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W TO 112W. IN ADDITION SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 107W AND 115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 8N90W 9N100W 10N110W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 180 NM WIDE BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 77W AND 82W...AND FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 133W AND 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00K4M2BK9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:47:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C1lO0N049292 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:47:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C0nsh1025254; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 20:42:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 20:42:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C1g4c9034024 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 20:42:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C1g19d022110 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 20:42:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C1g0Lr022109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 20:42:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 20:42:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120142.h6C1g0Lr022109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 120141 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI JUL 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW008OA3YQOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:23:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C2Mt0N058927 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:22:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVt0J042130; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C2DXc9039018 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C2DX9d022461 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C2DXEV022460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120213.h6C2DXEV022460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ45 KNHC 120212 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUL 11 2003 ENRIQUE CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND A WELL-DEFINED CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AT 12/00Z WERE 55 KT FROM TAFB AND 45 KT FROM BOTH SAB AND AFWA. HOWEVER...DATA T-NUMBERS WERE T3.5...OR 55 KT...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 55 KT. THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE AND CIRRUS OUTFLOW PATTERNS HAVE BECOME MORE CIRCULAR WITH LITTLE OR NO SHEAR AFFECTING THE SYSTEM. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/09. ENRIQUE HAS ACTUALLY MADE A SHARP NORTHWESTWARD JOG DURING THE PAST 3-6 HOURS...BUT THIS MOTION HAS BEEN SMOOTHED OUT SINCE IT IS BELIEVED TO BE MAINLY DUE TO REORGANIZATION OF LOW-LEVEL CENTER WITHIN THE RECENT BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INSIST ON A SHARP NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 36-48 HOURS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES WEST OF ENRIQUE IN ALL THE GLOBAL MODELS. THIS ALLEGED FEATURE DOES NOT APPEAR IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND THE INVERTED MID-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST IS ALSO SEEN MOVING WESTWARD AHEAD OF ENRIQUE. HAVING SAID THAT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK REMAINS SOUTH OF ALL THE THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF CLIPER. ENRIQUE IS LOCATED SOUTH OF A DEEP LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT...ENRIQUE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AND BECOME A VERTICALLY SHALLOW SYSTEM AND...THEREFORE...BE STEERED MORE WESTWARD BY THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES. THE BETTER CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND HIGHER INITIAL INTENSITY REQUIRES THAT THE INTENSITY FORECAST BE ADJUSTED UPWARD ACCORDINGLY. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW ALSO APPEARS TO BE UNRESTRICTED IN ALL QUADRANTS...WHICH ALSO FAVORS ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING TO OCCUR. HOWEVER...WHILE ENRIQUE IS FORECAST TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 12 HOURS OR SO...THIS PEAK INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED AS THE SYSTEM WILL BE TRACKING OVER SUB-25C SSTS BY ABOUT 24 HOURS. THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL BRINGS ENRIQUE UP TO 64...67...AND 65 KT IN 12...24...AND 36 HOURS...RESPECTIVELY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR MORE WEAKENING THAN THE SHIPS MODEL AFTER 12 HOURS DUE TO THE NEGATIVE EFFECTS OF THE COOLER WATER. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 15.4N 112.5W 55 KT 12HR VT 12/1200Z 15.9N 113.9W 65 KT 24HR VT 13/0000Z 16.6N 116.0W 60 KT 36HR VT 13/1200Z 17.3N 118.3W 55 KT 48HR VT 14/0000Z 17.9N 120.8W 45 KT 72HR VT 15/0000Z 18.4N 125.5W 35 KT 96HR VT 16/0000Z 18.5N 130.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 17/0000Z 18.5N 135.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:14 2003 X-UIDL: 31523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00KI93Z09I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:23:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C2N50N058956 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:23:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVt0L042130; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C2Dcc9054142 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C2Dc9d022466 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C2Dcu8022465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:13:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120213.h6C2Dcu8022465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 120212 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 0300Z SAT JUL 12 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 112.5W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 112.5W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 112.1W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.9N 113.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.6N 116.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.3N 118.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.9N 120.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.4N 125.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 18.5N 130.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 18.5N 135.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 112.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:20:56 2003 X-UIDL: 31533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00KWE9EU9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:20:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C4KZ0N091688 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:20:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVt8r016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:04:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 128914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:04:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C44Dc9033856 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:04:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C44D9d023527 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:04:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C44DkP023526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:04:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:04:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120404.h6C44DkP023526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 120403 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUL 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:20:57 2003 X-UIDL: 31534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW008T99EUOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:20:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C4Ka0N091709 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:20:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVt91016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:11:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 128971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:11:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C4B7c9027528 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:11:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C4B69d023589 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:11:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C4B67H023588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:11:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:11:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120411.h6C4B67H023588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 120410 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 12 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE CENTER NEAR 15.4N 112.5W AT 12/0300 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 97W NOW ALONG 98W/99W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 123W NOW ALONG 124W/125W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 136W/137W NOW ALONG 138W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0330 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 111W AND 113W. ISOLATED BURST OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 14.3N110W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 9N99W 8N110N 7N130W 8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG OVER PANAMA EAST OF 80W FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W. ISOLATED MODERATE...DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 180-240 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 102W...AND FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG SHORES OF EASTERN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC OF MEXICO. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM EL SALVADOR TO SE GUATEMALA IN COASTAL PLAINS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:22:49 2003 X-UIDL: 31536-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001XEGFZJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 22:04:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69E4e0N086698 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 22:04:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955ppP017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 08:55:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 08:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69DtQc9020056 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 08:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69DtQ9d009177 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 08:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69DtPOR009176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 08:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 08:55:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307091355.h69DtPOR009176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 091355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUL 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:22:55 2003 X-UIDL: 31542-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001SYL33JP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:45:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69Fit0N016082 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 23:44:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955puN017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 10:30:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 81478 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 10:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69FUHc9058850 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 10:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69FUH9d012305 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 10:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69FUHhZ012304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 10:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 10:30:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307091530.h69FUHhZ012304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 091530 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 09 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1200 UTC... ..REMNANT LOW OF DOLORES HAS OPENED UP INTO A TROUGH ALONG 130W FROM 16N-22N. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W/87W N OF 4N MOVING W 15 KT BASED ON LONG-TERM SATELLITE LOOPS. ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W/102W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. VISIBLE IMAGES INDICATE A LOW COULD BE FORMING ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 13N. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12.5N-15.5N BETWEEN 101W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N99.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W/111W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. WEAK ROTATION NOTED NEAR AXIS. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N112.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 122W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS IS A WEAK WAVE AND COULD BE DROPPED IN THE NEXT ANALYSIS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N98W 10N111W 12N125W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 5N BETWEEN 79W-81W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 7N82W 6N93W 9N99W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF ITCZ AXIS FROM 84W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 127W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13.5N-16N BETWEEN 96W-98W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:00 2003 X-UIDL: 31547-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR0015LN7JJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:30:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69GUl0N031338 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:30:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pvn017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:13:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 81878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:13:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69GDlc9030312 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:13:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69GDl9d013970 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:13:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69GDldv013969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:13:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:13:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307091613.h69GDldv013969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 091613 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:00 2003 X-UIDL: 31548-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001ATOBZJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:55:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69Gt20N039035 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:55:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pxn017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82667 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69GmPc9053186 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69GmP9d015163 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69GmPw8015161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307091648.h69GmPw8015161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LCDR JEFFRIES, USN. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:00 2003 X-UIDL: 31549-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001MLOGNJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:57:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69Gvq0N039967 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:57:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955osR056082; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69GmPc9029658 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69GmP9d015164 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69GmPZ1015162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 11:48:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307091648.h69GmPZ1015162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z/101800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LCDR JEFFRIES, USN. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:01 2003 X-UIDL: 31558-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001P2XG7JP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:12:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69KBr0N004881 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:11:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955o4x056082; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:01:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 86207 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:01:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69K1Ic9058798 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:01:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69K1I9d022088 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:01:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69K1Io2022087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:01:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:01:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307092001.h69K1Io2022087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 092000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED JUL 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31561-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00DLA2KPML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 06:02:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69M2f0N035238 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 06:02:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pNB017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 16:53:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 88802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 16:53:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69Lqpc9035612 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 16:52:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69Lqo9d025891 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 16:52:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69LqokN025890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 16:52:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 16:52:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307092152.h69LqokN025890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 092152 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4PM PDT WED JUL 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31563-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00DTG2ZNML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 06:11:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69MBc0N036987 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 06:11:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pNb017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:01:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 88971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69M1ec9058760 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:01:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69M1e9d026176 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69M1eB1026175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:01:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307092201.h69M1eB1026175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 092200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07N172W 07N167W 04N166W 03N169W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 09N149W 08N153W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 29N178W 29N171W 26N172W 27N179W HAVE EXPANDED WEST AT 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)...UPPER LOW. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 14N176W 07N172W 01N179W 04N175E 08N175E 14N178W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 04S173W 06S177W 03S178E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. CZ/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 17S162W 22S159W 23S161W 18S169W 18S167W 21S163W 18S163W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AND EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05S164W 08S161W 12S165W 11S167W 06S166W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:02 2003 X-UIDL: 31564-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00DI73CNML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 06:19:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69MJM0N039016 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 06:19:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pOD017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:06:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 89058 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:06:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69M6bc9035722 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:06:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69M6b9d026298 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:06:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69M6aFt026297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:06:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 17:06:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307092206.h69M6aFt026297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 092206 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 09 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 09/1800 UTC... ..REMNANT LOW OF DOLORES HAS OPENED UP INTO A TROUGH ALONG 132W FROM 16N-22N. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 86W/87W IS NOW ALONG 88W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT BASED ON LONG-TERM SATELLITE LOOPS. ..1009 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 13N102W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 110W/111W IS NOW ALONG 112W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. WEAK ROTATION IS NOTED NEAR AXIS. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 122W IS NOW ALONG 123W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N105W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 6.4N87.4W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 13N TO 16.4N FROM 101.5W TO 107.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 7N TO 10N FROM 130.5W TO 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:06 2003 X-UIDL: 31570-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00D5A9X7ML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:41:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0fD0N070563 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:41:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955oNF056082; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:35:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 92155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0Y7c9045202 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A0Y69d029249 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A0Y6qs029247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100034.h6A0Y6qs029247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100030Z/100600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 115.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM WEST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 130.9E3, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED SUSPECT AREA IN 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:06 2003 X-UIDL: 31571-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00DF7A1UML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:44:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0hx0N071398 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:44:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69MK60d033798; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:35:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 92141 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0Y1c9045196 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A0Y09d029230 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A0Y0Wo029228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100034.h6A0Y0Wo029228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100030Z/100600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 115.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM WEST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 130.9E3, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED SUSPECT AREA IN 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31573-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00DNNARFML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:59:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0xJ0N074956 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:59:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEd9017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 92631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0pFc9020762 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A0pF9d029514 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A0pFsp029512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100051.h6A0pFsp029512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/100030Z/100600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 115.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM WEST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 130.9E3, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED SUSPECT AREA IN 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 13:16:36 2003 X-UIDL: 31582-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00KO7AE39I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:42:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C4fg0N097246 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:41:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVt9H016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:34:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129086 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:34:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C4Ydc9024960 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:34:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C4Yd9d023750 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C4Yd3v023749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:34:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120434.h6C4Yd3v023749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 120400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 15.2N8 112.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 112.1W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 15.9N5 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.6N3 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.3N1 118.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.9N7 120.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.4N3 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 18.5N4 130.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 18.5N4 135.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.4N0 112.5W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120000Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121000Z4, 121600Z0, 122200Z7 AND 130400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 13:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 31583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00KSFAHQ9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:44:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C4hs0N097731 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:43:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVt9N016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C4adc9024996 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C4ad9d023770 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C4adZU023769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 275 Deg/ 11 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120436.h6C4adZU023769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 120400 RRB VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.4N3 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 18.5N4 130.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 18.5N4 135.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.4N0 112.5W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120000Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121000Z4, 121600Z0, 122200Z7 AND 130400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 13:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 31584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00KT8AIB9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:44:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C4iG0N097832 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:44:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C0ns0N025254; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C4ahc9034034 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C4ag9d023777 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C4agZl023774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 23:36:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120436.h6C4agZl023774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 120400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 15.2N8 112.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 112.1W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 15.9N5 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.6N3 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.3N1 118.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.9N7 120.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 14:26:30 2003 X-UIDL: 31589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW0085PF6UOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 14:25:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C6PI0N025274 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 14:25:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DdR016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C6FGc9040218 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C6FG9d024564 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C6FG7c024563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120615.h6C6FG7c024563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 7.4N1 152.1E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:14 2003 X-UIDL: 31673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00B5102VTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 23:52:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DFpxE7012212 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 23:52:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DZj016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:49:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 148476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:49:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DFnUc9011396 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:49:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DFnU9d013355 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:49:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DFnUlf013354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:49:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:49:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131549.h6DFnUlf013354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 131600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 013 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 05E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 19.7N7 119.7W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 119.7W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.2N4 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.3N5 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131600Z5 POSITION NEAR 19.9N9 120.4W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132200Z8, 140400Z9 AND 141000Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00BJL125TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:13:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGD5E7016927 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:13:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DaR016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:07:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 148851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:07:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DG7sc9046550 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:07:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DG7r9d013547 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DG7r9p013546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:07:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131607.h6DG7r9p013546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 131607 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 13 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE CENTER NEAR 19.9N 120.4W AT 13/1500 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1200 UTC... ..LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9.5N88.6W WITH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 150 NM FROM CENTER. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 105W NOW ALONG 107W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 7N108W TO 13N104W. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE HAS INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 129W NOW ALONG 130W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10 KT. EARLY VISIBLE IMAGERY AND THE LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED ANIMATION INDICATE LITTLE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1515 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DECOUPLED APPROXIMATELY 150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTION. MODERATE UPPER EASTERLIES AND DRY AIR CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE ENRIQUE. T.S. ENRIQUE IS PRESENTLY OVER AN AREA OF COOLER SEA SURFACE WATER TEMPERATURES...LESS THAN 25C...AND SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE INHIBITING AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 115W AND 119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 11N105W 12N115W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 9.7N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240 NM OF 11N107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31675-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00BIU31PTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGu5E7026060 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DEwln5038408; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:52:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 149215 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:52:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqec9032120 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:52:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DGqe9d013879 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:52:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DGqejV013878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:52:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:52:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131652.h6DGqejV013878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 131652 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31676-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00B3C3EBTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 01:03:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DH3eE7028239 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 01:03:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVcp016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 149405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DH06c9020776 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DH069d014021 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DH06Hx014019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131700.h6DH06Hx014019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00BAR3KHTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 01:07:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DH7ME7029157 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 01:07:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0BsuD023968; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 149408 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DH06c9025748 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DH069d014022 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DH06mB014020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:00:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131700.h6DH06mB014020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:23 2003 X-UIDL: 31682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ003B6BI4NC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:58:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DJwiE7073769 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:58:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVkB016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 14:55:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 151414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 14:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DJtjc9019316 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 14:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DJti9d016160 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 14:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DJtiYk016159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 14:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 14:55:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131955.h6DJtiYk016159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 131955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN JUL 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:24 2003 X-UIDL: 31683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ0037LCHONC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:20:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DKK4E7078488 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:20:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0Bs4B023968; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 151701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DKFFc9030706 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DKFF9d016364 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DKFFkG016362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Enrique Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307132015.h6DKFFkG016362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ45 KNHC 132014 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/14. THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT ABOUT A WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A DEEP LAYER MEAN RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED NEAR 30N 140W. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS GUIDANCE. THERE IS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL ON VISIBLE IMAGERY ..BUT THE NEAREST SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS MORE THAN 150 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. COLD SSTS SHOULD CONTINUE THE DISSIPATION PROCESS AND THE REMNANT LOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO LAST MORE THAN 2 OR 3 DAYS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY PACKAGE UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/2100Z 20.1N 122.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 14/0600Z 20.3N 124.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 14/1800Z 20.0N 127.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 15/0600Z 19.6N 129.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 15/1800Z 19.3N 131.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 16/1800Z 19.0N 135.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:24 2003 X-UIDL: 31684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ0037ZCHSNC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:20:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DKK8E7078516 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:20:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DEwl6j038408; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 151704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DKFJc9034828 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DKFF9d016365 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DKFFok016363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:15:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307132015.h6DKFFok016363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 132014 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 2100Z SUN JUL 13 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 122.0W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT...DISSIPATING WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 122.0W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 121.2W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.3N 124.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.0N 127.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.6N 129.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.3N 131.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.0N 135.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 122.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:27 2003 X-UIDL: 31688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ003LGCV1NC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:28:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DKS7E7080343 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:28:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVlb016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 151816 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DKKEc9046574 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DKKE9d016424 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DKKEw3016422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307132020.h6DKKEw3016422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 132030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/132030Z/140600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07.1N8 137.4W5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 134.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE LAST 09 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON DECREASED ORGANIZATION OF REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:28 2003 X-UIDL: 31690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ003NUG5QNC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:39:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DLdJE7094449 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:39:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0Bs7R023968; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:35:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 152756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:35:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DLZBc9041128 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:35:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DLZB9d017300 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DLZBS1017299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:35:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307132135.h6DLZBS1017299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 132135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 13 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE CENTERED NEAR 20.1N 122.0W AT 13/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/1800 UTC... ..1008 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED 160 NM W OF COSTA RICA NEAR 10N88.5W MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE LOW MOVED ACROSS COSTA RICA LAST NIGHT BUT HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY MORE DISORGANIZED AND MUCH BROADER. MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS TO THE W OF THE CENTER WITH SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 89.5W-93W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W/108W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 9N108W. THE SURFACE LOW HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HRS...WITH A MORE DEFINED CENTER BECOMING OBVIOUS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HRS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS GENERALLY W OF THE CENTER FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 106.5W-113W. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HRS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 127W/128W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. ALTHOUGH THE ITCZ APPEARS TO JUMP NWD IN THE VICINITY OF 128W...MUCH BROADER CYCLONIC CURVATURE IN THE FLOW IS OBSERVED FARTHER W AROUND 135W AND BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROM YESTERDAY'S POSITION...RELOCATION MAY BE NEEDED AT 0000 UTC. ..BROAD ELY FLOW IS W OF 125W WITH A RIDGE AXIS ENTERING THE AREA N OF T.D. ENRIQUE ALONG 30N125W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE... ALL THAT IS LEFT OF ENRIQUE IS A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL SWIRL WHICH IS MOVING QUICKLY WWD ALONG THE 20N PARALLEL. ANY SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF ENRIQUE ARE LOCATED BETWEEN 150 NM AND 250 NM NE OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...COINCIDENTALLY WHERE ALL THE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS LOCATED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 21N-24N BETWEEN 117W-119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N76W 9N90W 9N108W 13N116W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM CELLS WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-89W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 101.5W-103.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA ALONG 20N. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:28 2003 X-UIDL: 31691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ0030VGJ5NC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:47:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DLlME7095890 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:47:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVpF016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:42:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 152808 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:42:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DLg9c9043346 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:42:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DLg89d017353 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:42:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DLg8sg017352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:42:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:42:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307132142.h6DLg8sg017352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PHNC 132200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 20.0N2 121.2W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 121.2W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.3N5 124.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 132200Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 122.0W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131800Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FULLY EXPOSED 150 NM FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:28 2003 X-UIDL: 31692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ003PCHC2NC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 06:04:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DM4hE7098809 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 06:04:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVpR016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:55:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 152946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DLtgc9042198 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DLtg9d017463 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DLtfON017462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:55:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:55:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307132155.h6DLtfON017462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 132155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60-70 NM OF LINE 09N140W 05N159W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SPARSE ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE EQ164W 06N180 ARE NEWLY FORMED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... WEAK UPPER TROUGH ALONG LINE 22N172W 15N180 IS STATIONARY AND FORECAST TO WEAKEN FURTHER. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS NEAR JOHNSTON ISLAND. ISOLATED CB CURRENTLY NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF JOHNSTON MOVING WEST 15 KT REMAIN SPARSE AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 25S152W 15S168W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH TO 13S180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT EAST OF 156W. BROKEN CUMULUS AND STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT/TROUGH WEST OF 156W. ISOLATED CB ALONG LEADING EDGE OF FRONT SOUTH OF 22S. FRONT MOVING EAST 20 KT. TROUGH STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB ALSO WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 18S156W 16S161W ALONG PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. CB MOVED EAST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH WEST OF 176W INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... A LINE OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS LYING EAST-WEST ACROSS THE SAMOAN VICINITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH. SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... SHEAR LINE THROUGH 25S120W 23S132W MOVING EAST 25 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:29 2003 X-UIDL: 31693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00A33HPU63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 06:13:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DMCxE7000407 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 06:13:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVqF016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:09:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:09:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DM9Wc9057720 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:09:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DM9V9d017647 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:09:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DM9VjM017640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:09:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:09:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307132209.h6DM9VjM017640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 132209 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:30 2003 X-UIDL: 31700-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00AB3S8F63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 10:00:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E204E7050609 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 10:00:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqV2n016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 20:55:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 156408 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 20:55:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E1tqc9008906 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 20:55:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E1tq9d019937 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 20:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E1tqLa019936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 20:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 20:55:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140155.h6E1tqLa019936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 140155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN JUL 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 11:48:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00A4JWYD63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:42:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E3g5E7079324 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:42:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqV7D016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:38:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 157600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:38:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E3cic9040984 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E3ci9d020839 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:38:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E3ciMf020838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:38:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:38:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140338.h6E3ciMf020838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 140330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 140300ZJUL03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.1N2 109.0W0 TO 11.6N8 116.1W9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 140000Z5 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N2 109.7W7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 109.4W4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1N2 109.8W8, APPROXIMATELY 620 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO. RECENT VISIBLE AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES RADIATING TO A CENTRAL FEATURE. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 150330Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 12:08:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00A0VXPJ63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:58:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E3wNE7083799 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:58:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqV7f016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:53:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 157758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:53:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E3rBc9023726 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:53:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E3r79d020979 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:53:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E3r7Ou020978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:53:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:53:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140353.h6E3r7Ou020978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 140352 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 14 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0000 UTC... ..1009 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED 285 NM W OF COSTA RICA NEAR 10N91W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N108W. THE SURFACE LOW HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HRS...WITH A MORE DEFINED CENTER BECOMING OBVIOUS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HRS. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HRS. ..1006 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF ENRIQUE IS CENTERED NEAR 20N123W MOVING W 10 KT. A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL SWIRL IS NOTED. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 133W/134W IS NOW ALONG 135W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 10N110W 11N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 112W-115W...AND FROM 13N-14N BETWEEN 131W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 107W-110W...FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 109W-111W...FROM 10N-11N BETWEEN 116W-118W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 137W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF HONDURAS...EL SALVADOR...AND GUATEMALA FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 87W-92W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 12:44:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00AFRZSC63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 12:43:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E4hFE7096662 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 12:43:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqV8N016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 23:41:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 157986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 23:41:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E4fOc9054172 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 23:41:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E4fN9d021425 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 23:41:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E4fN2t021424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 23:41:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 23:41:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140441.h6E4fN2t021424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 140441 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER HAS FORMED. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF GUATEMALA HAS CHANGED LITTLE. HOWEVER...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF ONCE TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE IS LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS LARGE LOW-CLOUD SWIRL IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH AND REGENERATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED. THIS WILL BE THE LAST MENTION OF THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 17:00:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31721-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000ABT3GO63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 14:02:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E62fE7018184 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 14:02:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0BsMv023968; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 158634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E5uhc9009564 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E5ug9d021986 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E5ugjC021984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140556.h6E5ugjC021984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 134.9E7 HAS BEEN RELOCATED NEAR 8.8N6 138.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. QUIKSCAT ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES STRONG SURFACE TROUGHING IN THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.6N2 153.5E4, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 17:00:10 2003 X-UIDL: 31732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000ASQ95U63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:05:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E85hE7058109 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:05:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVBT016724; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:01:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 159164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E81Uc9048656 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E81U9d022988 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:01:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E81U1r022987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:01:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:01:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140801.h6E81U1r022987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 140800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUL 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000ANRDHQ63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 17:39:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E9dBE7086481 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 17:39:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVE3016724; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:36:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 160068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:36:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E9a8c9027204 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:36:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E9a89d023641 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:36:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E9a878023640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:36:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:36:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140936.h6E9a878023640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 140935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 14 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/0600 UTC... ..1009 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N93W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N110W. THE SURFACE LOW HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HRS. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HRS. ..1008 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF ENRIQUE IS CENTERED NEAR 20N124W MOVING W 10 KT. A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL SWIRL PERSISTS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 135W IS NOW ALONG 136W/137W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N83W 9N110W 12N132W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 92W AND 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF 11N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 111W AND 113W...AND BETWEEN 116W AND 120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS W OF 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...EL SALVADOR...AND GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE 10N86W 13N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 25N109W...AND OF 28N111W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:41 2003 X-UIDL: 31747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000A6GENG63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 18:04:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EA4KE7093516 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 18:04:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVE9016724; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:01:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 160147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:01:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EA1Hc9038228 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:01:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6EA1H9d023787 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6EA1HgZ023786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:01:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307141001.h6EA1HgZ023786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 141000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ASSOCIATED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 11N140W 04N161W MOVED WEST 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ASSOCIATED ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 10N177E 08N170W 01N168W 01N178E MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08S153W 11S150W 10S156W 08S152W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT ARE BOUNDED BY 15S159W 18S149W 26S147W 15S159W MOVED EAST 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. TEXTDEMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:41 2003 X-UIDL: 31751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000AU9FYU63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 18:32:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EAWlE7001450 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 18:32:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVER016724; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:28:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 160271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:28:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EAStc9056370 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:28:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6EASt9d023995 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:28:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6EAStU9023994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:28:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 05:28:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307141028.h6EAStU9023994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 141028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUL 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. A POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUATEMALA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:44 2003 X-UIDL: 31763-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000AYMQFI63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:18:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EEIkE7061111 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:18:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ECqxil056618; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:12:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 162779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:12:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EEC9c9004996 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:12:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6EEC99d027630 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:12:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6EEC9mm027629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:12:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:12:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307141412.h6EEC9mm027629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 141411 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON JUL 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:45 2003 X-UIDL: 31766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000AXQRHN63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:41:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EEfVE7067144 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:41:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0BsXN023968; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 163001 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EESuc9035038 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6EESu9d028198 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6EESu7L028197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307141428.h6EESu7L028197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 141428 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 14 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NO SPECIAL FEATURE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1200 UTC... ..1009 MB SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 10N94W MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 93W AND 96.5W. ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 10N113W...BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W... AND FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER OF T.D. ENRIQUE...NEAR 10N125W. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS EXISTS IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS 137W NOW ALONG 138W/139W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1415 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 8N98W 10N115W 12N129W 13N135W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE REST OF THE AXIS...NOT COUNTING THE TWO LOW PRESSURE CENTERS...NEAR 10N94W AND 10N113W...WEST OF 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:45 2003 X-UIDL: 31769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000DCAW1W9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 00:20:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EGK8E7097208 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 00:20:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFEMdl038424; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:04:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 164341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:04:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EG4Xc9056486 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:04:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6EG4X9d001380 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:04:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6EG4W4H001378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:04:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:04:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307141604.h6EG4W4H001378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 141604 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUL 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:46 2003 X-UIDL: 31777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100A2D6DH63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 04:03:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EK2lE7063737 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 04:02:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFnVlD023968; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 14:55:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 167512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 14:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EJtWc9038990 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 14:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6EJtW9d008516 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 14:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6EJtV8n008513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 14:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 14:55:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307141955.h6EJtV8n008513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 141955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUL 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:46 2003 X-UIDL: 31780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100ACOBCB63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 05:50:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ELoSE7093820 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 05:50:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFEM07038424; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:44:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 169630 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:43:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ELhcc9033890 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:43:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ELhW9d011601 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:43:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ELhWW5011600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:43:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:43:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307142143.h6ELhWW5011600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 142143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 14 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 14/1800 UTC... ..1010 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC NEAR 11N95.5W MOVING W 10-15 KT. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE THIS TIME YESTERDAY...BUT ALL CONVECTION REMAINS PRIMARILY W OF THE LOW CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 95W-99W. ..1008 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N114.5W MOVING 10-15 KT. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED IN VISIBLE IMAGERY WITH A POSSIBLE CONVECTIVE BAND DEVELOPING ON THE S SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 113W-118W. ..1010 MB SURFACE LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. ENRIQUE...CENTERED NEAR 19.5N126W MOVING SW 10-15 KT. THE LOW REMAINS WELL-DEFINED IN VISIBLE IMAGERY WITH THE GREATEST CLOUD CONCENTRATION ON THE WRN SEMICIRCLE. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM REMAINS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 140W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT OUT OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. THE WAVE APPEARS TO HAVE A HIGHLY TILTED NW/SE ORIENTATION WITH THE BROAD NRN PORTION OF THE AXIS MOVING TOWARDS THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ALL CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..BROAD ELY FLOW N OF 20N W OF 130W WITH A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N130W 20N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N94W 7N99W 11N110W 10N120W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 76W-79W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N124W TO 9N134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA BETWEEN 77W-83W. ISOLATED MODERATE ALONG THE COAST OF WRN EL SALVADOR AND SRN MEXICO NEAR THE GUATEMALA BORDER. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:47 2003 X-UIDL: 31781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100D0EBW49D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 06:02:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EM2HE7097152 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 06:02:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFEM0N038424; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 169747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ELtYc9022974 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ELtY9d011807 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ELtYXG011806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307142155.h6ELtYXG011806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 142155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 12N140W 07N155W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 08N147W 01N151W MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. SPARSE ISOLATED WITHIN 75-80 NM OF LINE 06N159W 04N171W 07N180 MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER TROUGH AXIS THROUGH 30N1767W 23N180 SWINGING EASTWARD 10-15 KT. SPARSE AND WEAK ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 28N172W 23N180 HAVE DIMINISHED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S145W 14S160W. SHEAR LINE THROUGH 15S160W 11S170W 11S177W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG THE FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS WITH SPARSE ISOLATED TCU/CB ALONG THE SHEAR LINE. FRONT MOVING EAST 12 KT. SHEAR LINE DRIFTING NORTH 5-10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:48 2003 X-UIDL: 31784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100D4GDYO9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 06:47:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EMkuE7007201 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 06:46:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFnVt1023968; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 17:39:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 170419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 17:39:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EMdKc9043264 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 17:39:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6EMdK9d012635 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 17:39:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6EMdKQ9012634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 17:39:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 17:39:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307142239.h6EMdKQ9012634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 142239 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUL 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 975 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:49 2003 X-UIDL: 31793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100DJTN9G9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 10:08:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F27qE7065630 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 10:07:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFEME3038424; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:03:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 174161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:03:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F23wc9058330 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:03:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F23v9d015182 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:03:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F23vKW015181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:03:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:03:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150203.h6F23vKW015181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 150203 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUL 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:50 2003 X-UIDL: 31801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100D9PS1O7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:51:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F3pHE7099899 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:51:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFnV9B023968; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:44:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 175791 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:44:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F3iXc9025684 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:44:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F3iX9d016184 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:44:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F3iX2N016183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:44:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:44:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150344.h6F3iX2N016183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 150344 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 14 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0000 UTC... ..1010 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC NEAR 10N95W MOVING W 10-15 KT. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE THIS TIME YESTERDAY...BUT MOST CONVECTION REMAINS AWAY FROM THE CENTER. ..1007 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N115W MOVING 10-15 KT. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. IT IS POSSIBLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. ..1010 MB SURFACE LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. ENRIQUE...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N127W MOVING SW 10-15 KT. THE LOW REMAINS WELL-DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT IS VOID OF SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N105W 10N115W 13N135W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 89W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 76W-79W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 84W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 94W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 96W-102W...FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 112W-115W...AND FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 117W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 87W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 103W-106W...AND FROM 24N-26N BETWEEN 107W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 91W-94W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:50 2003 X-UIDL: 31802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100DLHS819D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:55:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F3t4E7001065 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:55:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFEMJP038424; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:49:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 175817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:49:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F3nDc9038034 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:49:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F3nD9d016226 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F3nCVw016225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:49:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:49:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150349.h6F3nCVw016225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 150349 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 15 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0000 UTC... ..1010 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC NEAR 10N95W MOVING W 10-15 KT. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE THIS TIME YESTERDAY...BUT MOST CONVECTION REMAINS AWAY FROM THE CENTER. ..1007 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N115W MOVING 10-15 KT. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. IT IS POSSIBLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. ..1010 MB SURFACE LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. ENRIQUE...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N127W MOVING SW 10-15 KT. THE LOW REMAINS WELL-DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT IS VOID OF SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N105W 10N115W 13N135W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 89W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 76W-79W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 84W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 94W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 96W-102W...FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 112W-115W...AND FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 117W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 87W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 103W-106W...AND FROM 24N-26N BETWEEN 107W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 91W-94W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:51 2003 X-UIDL: 31806-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100DZKV5O7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 12:58:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F4wTE7020845 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 12:58:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F1gVxx056628; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 23:54:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 176308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 23:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F4pcc9017184 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 23:51:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F4pb9d016763 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 23:51:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F4pbKt016761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 23:51:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 23:51:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150451.h6F4pbKt016761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 150450 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUL 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 985 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100DLIYVX9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 14:19:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F6J3E7050741 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 14:19:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFnVEN023968; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 177347 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F6Blc9044660 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F6Bl9d017507 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F6BkWk017505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150611.h6F6BkWk017505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150200ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 134.4E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 134.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 125 NM NORTH OF PALAU. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS REVEAL THAT THE POSITION OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS FURTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED WITH SPIRAL BANDING AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINE FEATURES BECOMING EVIDENT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS OF UW CIMMS DATA INDICATES A POINT SOURCE OUTFLOW TO THE NORTHEAST AND FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. REFER TO REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 150200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.7N1 149.8E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.6N9 150.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WHILE THE SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS A BROAD CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER AIR ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE AS THE AREA IS UNDERNEATH THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:10 2003 X-UIDL: 31815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200D453TZ9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 16:06:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F85jE7088321 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 16:05:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F56hhB033688; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:01:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 178075 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:01:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F81Zc9044058 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F81Y9d018704 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F81Y3H018703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:01:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150801.h6F81Y3H018703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 150800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON JUL 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200DSS8ZL7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:57:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F9vDE7024650 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:57:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F56hjp033688; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 04:49:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 179071 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 04:49:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F9nGc9038306 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 04:49:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F9nF9d019778 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 04:49:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F9nFH4019777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 04:49:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 04:49:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150949.h6F9nFH4019777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 150949 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 15 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/0600 UTC... ..1009 MB SURFACE LOW...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... IS CENTERED S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC NEAR 11N95W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N95W. ..1007 MB SURFACE LOW...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... IS CENTERED NEAR 10N117W MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. IT IS POSSIBLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 10.5N117W. ..WEAK 1012 MB SURFACE LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. ENRIQUE...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N128W MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE LOW IS A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS VOID OF SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N103W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS E OF 81W AND BETWEEN 87W AND 103W AND ELSEWHERE FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 117W AND 123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 132W AND 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N89.5W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200DSG9GO9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 18:07:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FA7RE7027513 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 18:07:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F56hk7033688; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 05:01:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 179153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 05:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FA1Lc9007968 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 05:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FA1L9d019961 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 05:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FA1LYe019960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 05:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 05:01:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307151001.h6FA1LYe019960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 151000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N171W 10N164W 03N163W 04N179W 07N180 MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 15N140W 11N142W 05N151W 06N160W 11N157W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH WITHIN 60 NM OF 24N179W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH SHEARLINE ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S169W 12S162W. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31824-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00KCYJZM9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:09:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C8930N048973 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:09:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DfD016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:01:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C810c9034896 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:01:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C8109d025530 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C810QU025529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:01:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120801.h6C810QU025529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 120800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI JUL 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31826-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW008F7LMTOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:44:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C8iV0N057104 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:44:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DgH016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C8Vlc9010740 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C8Vl9d026095 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C8VlUo026094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120831.h6C8VlUo026094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ45 KNHC 120831 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 2003 THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN IS NOT QUITE AS IMPRESSIVE AS IT WAS 12 HOURS AGO...BUT ENRIQUE REMAINS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AS INDICATED BY A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.5...OR 55 KT...FROM ALL THREE SATELLITE AGENCIES. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN REMAINS UNRESTRICTED AND CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/14 AS ENRIQUE HAS CONTINUED ITS SHARP NORTHWESTWARD JOG. HOWEVER...AS MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...THIS RECENT NORTHWESTWARD JOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO LAST MUCH LONGER AND IT MAY BE PRIMARILY THE RESULT OF RE-ORGANIZATION OF THE INNER-CORE CONVECTION AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. IN FACT...SATELLITE IMAGERY OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS SUGGESTS THAT THE CYCLONE MAY BE MAKING MORE OF A WESTWARD TURN ALREADY. NEARLY ALL OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE STILL INSIST ON TAKING THE CYCLONE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AND THEN TURNING IT WESTWARD AFTER THAT. HOWEVER...THERE IS NOT AS SPREAD AMONG THE GLOBAL MODELS AND ENRIQUE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER THE GENERAL EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A DEEP LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS NOW WITHIN THE MODEL GUIDANCE SUITE AND IS A LITTLE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK IN ORDER TO ACCOUNT FOR THE MORE NORTHERLY INITIAL POSITION. TIME IS QUICKLY RUNNING OUT FOR ENRIQUE TO BECOME THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2003 SEASON IN THE NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC BASIN. THE CYCLONE IS CURRENTLY NEARING 26C SSTS AND THE WATER GETS PROGRESSIVELY COLDER WEST OF ITS CURRENT POSITION. SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST DATA WAS UNAVAILABLE FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...SO THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE THE PREVIOUS SHIPS OUTPUT...THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY FORECAST...AND SHIFOR. IT IS STILL POSSIBLE THAT ENRIQUE COULD REACH MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH IN THE NEXT 6 TO PERHAPS 12 HOURS BEFORE IT REACHES MUCH COOLER WATER... AFTER WHICH STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0900Z 16.5N 113.9W 55 KT 12HR VT 12/1800Z 17.3N 115.6W 60 KT 24HR VT 13/0600Z 18.1N 118.0W 55 KT 36HR VT 13/1800Z 18.5N 120.5W 45 KT 48HR VT 14/0600Z 18.8N 123.0W 35 KT 72HR VT 15/0600Z 19.0N 128.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 16/0600Z 19.0N 133.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 17/0600Z 19.0N 139.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31827-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00KRNLVT9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:50:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C8nx0N058501 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:50:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DgF016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C8VTc9038610 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C8VT9d026090 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C8VSgT026089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:31:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120831.h6C8VSgT026089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 120831 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 0900Z SAT JUL 12 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 113.9W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 113.9W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 113.3W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.3N 115.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.1N 118.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.5N 120.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.8N 123.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.0N 128.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 19.0N 133.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 19.0N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 113.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31828-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00K1LPHL9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:08:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CA7k0N075358 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:07:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DiH016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:02:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 131533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CA2Gc9019956 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:02:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CA2G9d027129 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:02:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CA2G97027128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:02:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:02:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121002.h6CA2G97027128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 121001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10N173E 03N178W 08N176W 06N172W 01N172W EQ178W 05N173E 09N170E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N164W 06N160W 03N161W 03N166W 08N165W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. CZ/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 12N152W 09N153W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 30N179W 27N173W 25N175W 27N180 28N179W 30N180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)...UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED TCU BOUNDED BY 19N166W 14N166W 14N168W 18N170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 18S178W 19S175W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S173W 16S168W 17S171W 11S175W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31829-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00K6SPSP9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:14:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CAEU0N076650 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:14:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVt8F042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:04:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 131540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:04:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CA4ac9038464 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:04:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CA4Z9d027156 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:04:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CA4ZSx027155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:04:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:04:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121004.h6CA4ZSx027155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 121004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 12 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE CENTER NEAR 16.5N 113.9W AT 12/0900 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 98W/99W NOW ALONG 100W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 125W NOW ALONG 126W/127W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 138W NOW ALONG 139W/140W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0930 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 16.5N TO 18N BETWEEN 112W AND 114W...AND WITHIN 20 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 16.5N112W 15N112.5W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 14N110W 12N112W 11N114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N78W 9N101W 10N120W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA/EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM COLOMBIA TO COSTA RICA FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 77W AND 84W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 105W...AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELL OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN SOUTHERN HONDURAS COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 15-20 NM RADIUS OF 13.5N91W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31830-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00K7BPUE9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:15:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CAFV0N076835 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:15:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DiL016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:07:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 131557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:07:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CA7Tc9032012 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:07:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CA7S9d027203 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:07:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CA7Sfi027202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:07:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:07:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121007.h6CA7Sfi027202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 121000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 16.5N2 113.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 113.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.3N1 115.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.1N0 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 18.5N4 120.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 18.8N7 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 19.0N0 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.0N0 133.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120600Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 113.9W. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121000Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121600Z0, 122200Z7, 130400Z8 AND 131000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31831-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW008P2PY7OA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:18:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CAHn0N077261 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:17:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DiR016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 131583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CA9qc9039696 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CA9q9d027240 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CA9qlU027239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121009.h6CA9qlU027239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 121000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 16.5N2 113.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 113.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.3N1 115.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.1N0 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 18.5N4 120.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 18.8N7 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 19.0N0 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31832-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00KA3Q049I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:19:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CAIw0N077534 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:19:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DiP016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 131580 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CA9fc9048594 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CA9f9d027231 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CA9f2R027230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:09:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 13 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121009.h6CA9f2R027230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 121000 RRB VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.0N0 133.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120600Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 113.9W. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121000Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121600Z0, 122200Z7, 130400Z8 AND 131000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:13 2003 X-UIDL: 31833-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00KG6QDI9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:27:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CAR00N079289 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 18:27:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVt8L042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:15:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 131629 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:15:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CAFmc9030472 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:15:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CAFm9d027315 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:15:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CAFmM3027314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:15:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 05:15:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121015.h6CAFmM3027314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 121015 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:14 2003 X-UIDL: 31837-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008C40NUOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:09:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CE9A0N029121 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:09:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtBd042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:01:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:01:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CE1Dc9048284 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:01:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CE1D9d029380 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:01:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CE1DAT029379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:01:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:01:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121401.h6CE1DAT029379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 121400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT JUL 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:14 2003 X-UIDL: 31840-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX0083Q2DJOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:46:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CEkC0N036289 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:46:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CB3uoB038402; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CEZ9c9039876 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CEZ89d029655 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CEZ8SX029654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121435.h6CEZ8SX029654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 121434 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 1500Z SAT JUL 12 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 114.7W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 114.7W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.1W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.3N 116.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.2N 118.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.8N 121.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.0N 123.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.0N 129.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 20.0N 134.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 114.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:14 2003 X-UIDL: 31841-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX0084S2E7OA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:46:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CEkb0N036383 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:46:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54Dnf016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CEZ9c9039040 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CEZ99d029660 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CEZ87w029657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:35:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121435.h6CEZ87w029657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ45 KNHC 121434 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 2003 ENRIQUE MAINTAINS AN IMPRESSIVE CONVECTIVE PATTERN...WITH CLOUD TOPS TO -80C NEAR THE CENTER. HOWEVER...A TRMM OVERPASS AND 0802Z SHOWED NO EYE AND A PARTLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER WEST OF MAIN CONVECTIVE BANDS. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB...SAB... AND AFWA ARE ALL 55 KT...SO THAT REMAINS THE INITIAL INTENSITY. ENRIQUE SHOWS GOOD CIRRUS OUTFLOW IN ALL DIRECTIONS...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE HINTS IN SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT WEAK WESTERLY FLOW MAY BE UNDERCUTTING THE OUTFLOW. ENRIQUE IS NOW MOVING 305/13...CONTINUING THE NORTHWESTWARD JOG. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE STORM IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG DEEP LAYER RIDGE CENTERED OVER ARIZONA...WITH A WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 18N124W. THIS PATTERN SUGGESTS AT LEAST A SHORT-TERM CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT MOTION...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AS ENRIQUE WEAKENS OVER COLD WATER AND LOWER-LEVEL STEERING BECOMES PREDOMINANT. MODEL GUIDANCE IS LIMITED BY COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEMS...BUT WHAT GUIDANCE IS AVAILABLE SUPPORTS THIS SCENARIO. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED SOMEWHAT NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BASED MAINLY ON THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION. ENRIQUE IS NOW NEAR THE 26C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ISOTHERM...WHICH MEANS TIME FOR INTENSIFICATION HAS JUST ABOUT RUN OUT. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE STORM COULD REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT THE OVERALL INTENSITY TREND SHOULD BE DOWN FROM HERE ON. ENRIQUE WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN A LIGHT SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FOR AT LEAST 48-72 HR...SO THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL REFLECT A GRADUAL WEAKENING OVER THE COLDER WATER. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1500Z 17.4N 114.7W 55 KT 12HR VT 13/0000Z 18.3N 116.3W 55 KT 24HR VT 13/1200Z 19.2N 118.7W 50 KT 36HR VT 14/0000Z 19.8N 121.2W 45 KT 48HR VT 14/1200Z 20.0N 123.7W 40 KT 72HR VT 15/1200Z 20.0N 129.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 16/1200Z 20.0N 134.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 17/1200Z 20.0N 140.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:14 2003 X-UIDL: 31843-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008154E1OA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:30:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CFTg0N046877 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:29:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtD1042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CFCXc9050996 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CFCW9d000020 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CFCW0Q000018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121512.h6CFCW0Q000018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/121500Z/130600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE TROUGHING HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 05.9N4 144.1E0, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:15 2003 X-UIDL: 31844-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008I15NDOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:57:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CFus0N053358 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:56:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54Dp9016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:44:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:44:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CFibc9051116 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:44:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CFia9d000314 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:44:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CFiani000313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:44:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:44:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121544.h6CFiani000313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 121544 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 12 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE CENTER NEAR 17.4N 114.7W AT 12/1500 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 100W NOW ALONG 101W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 126W NOW ALONG 127W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1515 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 16.5N TO 19N BETWEEN 113W AND 115W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 14N TO 21N BETWEEN 109W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING BANDING FEATURE WITHIN 80 NM EITHER SIDE OF AN AXIS FROM 10N117W TO 14N111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 12N105W 10N115W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 80W TO 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 10N100.3W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 12.7N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 10.8N114.4W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:15 2003 X-UIDL: 31845-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008NV6OUOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:19:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CGJN0N058616 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:19:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtDZ042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134061 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CG8Tc9025268 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CG8T9d000533 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CG8TxT000532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121608.h6CG8TxT000532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 121608 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 490 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:15 2003 X-UIDL: 31846-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008P56PLOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:20:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CGJm0N058714 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:19:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DpZ016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134058 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CG8Lc9025262 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CG8K9d000527 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CG8KsB000526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:08:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121608.h6CG8KsB000526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 121600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 17.1N9 114.1W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 114.1W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.3N2 116.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.2N2 118.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.8N8 121.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.0N2 123.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 20.0N2 129.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.0N2 134.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121600Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 114.1W. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122200Z7, 130400Z8, 131000Z5 AND 131600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:15 2003 X-UIDL: 31847-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008X76WBOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:24:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CGNo0N059594 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:23:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54Dpb016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134081 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CGBSc9027574 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CGBS9d000563 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CGBSER000561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121611.h6CGBSER000561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 121600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 17.1N9 114.1W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 114.1W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.3N2 116.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.2N2 118.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.8N8 121.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.0N2 123.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 20.0N2 129.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:15 2003 X-UIDL: 31848-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008XB6WCOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:24:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CGNr0N059605 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:23:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtDd042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CGBPc9045272 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CGBP9d000554 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CGBPDB000553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 11:11:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 13 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121611.h6CGBPDB000553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 121600 RRB VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.0N2 134.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121600Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 114.1W. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122200Z7, 130400Z8, 131000Z5 AND 131600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:15 2003 X-UIDL: 31852-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008J69UFOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 01:27:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CHRW0N074690 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 01:27:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DuN016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CHJ7c9035578 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CHJ69d001261 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CHJ6XD001259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121719.h6CHJ6XD001259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:16 2003 X-UIDL: 31853-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008O99YKOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 01:30:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CHU00N075256 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 01:30:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtEl042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134909 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CHJ7c9044684 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CHJ69d001262 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CHJ67d001260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 12:19:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121719.h6CHJ67d001260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:18 2003 X-UIDL: 31859-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BW2HFMTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:11:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CKBQ0N018127 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:11:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtJL042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:01:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 136696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:01:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CK18c9034122 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:01:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CK189d003286 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CK18oT003285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:01:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307122001.h6CK18oT003285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 122000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT JUL 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:18 2003 X-UIDL: 31861-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BSJICITF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:31:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CKVB0N022619 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:31:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54D2D016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 136878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CKKbc9043266 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CKKb9d003566 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CKKb4a003565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307122020.h6CKKb4a003565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 122020 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 2100Z SAT JUL 12 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 116.3W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 116.3W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 115.6W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.3N 117.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 20.1N 120.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.5N 122.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.5N 125.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 130.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 20.5N 135.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 116.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:18 2003 X-UIDL: 31862-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BTCIDATF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:31:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CKVd0N022702 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:31:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtJf042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 136881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CKKec9043272 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CKKe9d003571 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CKKeWx003570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:20:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307122020.h6CKKeWx003570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ45 KNHC 122020 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 2003 COLD WATER HAS TAKEN AN UNEXPECTEDLY SEVERE TOLL ON ENRIQUE THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE SOME INTENSE BURSTS OF CONVECTION ARE STILL OCCURRING...THE COVERAGE HAS DECREASED AND THE OVERALL APPEARANCE HAS BECOME RAGGED. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB... SAB...AND AFWA ARE ALL 55 KT...WHILE THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY WILL BE SET AT 50 KT. ENRIQUE IS NOW MOVING 305/14. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY STILL SHOWS THAT THE STORM IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG DEEP LAYER ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER ARIZONA...WITH A WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 18N127W. THIS PATTERN SUGGESTS AT LEAST A SHORT-TERM CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT MOTION...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AS ENRIQUE WEAKENS FURTHER AND LOWER-LEVEL STEERING DOMINATES. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO AND IS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BASED MAINLY ON THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION. ENRIQUE WILL BE MOVING OVER INCREASINGLY COLDER WATER DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST BASED ON THE OTHERWISE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN. HOWERVER...ENRIQUE COULD DISSIPATED EARLIER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 18.4N 116.3W 50 KT 12HR VT 13/0600Z 19.3N 117.9W 45 KT 24HR VT 13/1800Z 20.1N 120.3W 40 KT 36HR VT 14/0600Z 20.5N 122.6W 35 KT 48HR VT 14/1800Z 20.5N 125.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 15/1800Z 20.5N 130.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 16/1800Z 20.5N 135.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 17/1800Z...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31865-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BMHMDPTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:58:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CLwI0N041935 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:58:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtN1042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:46:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137910 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CLktc9038986 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CLks9d004523 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CLksm9004522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:46:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307122146.h6CLksm9004522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 122200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 18.0N9 115.6W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 115.6W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.3N3 117.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 120.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.5N7 122.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.5N7 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 20.5N7 130.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122200Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 116.3W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121800Z2 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REAVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KZNY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130400Z8, 131000Z5, 131600Z1 AND 132200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31866-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BNUMFDTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:59:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CLxI0N042114 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:59:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54D6T016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:50:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CLorc9008762 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:50:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CLor9d004581 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CLorMo004580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:50:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307122150.h6CLorMo004580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 122150 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31867-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BPQMHXTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 06:01:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CM0p0N042426 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 06:00:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtN9042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CLmrc9055756 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CLmr9d004548 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CLmrVc004544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307122148.h6CLmrVc004544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 122200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 18.0N9 115.6W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 115.6W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.3N3 117.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.1N3 120.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.5N7 122.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.5N7 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 20.5N7 130.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122200Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 116.3W1. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31868-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BQ9MIVTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 06:01:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CM1P0N042525 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 06:01:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54D6N016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137932 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CLmrc9040966 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CLmr9d004547 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CLmrDE004542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:48:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm (ts) 05e (enrique), Located Approximately 70 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307122148.h6CLmrDE004542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 122200 RRB TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121800Z2 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REAVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KZNY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130400Z8, 131000Z5, 131600Z1 AND 132200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31869-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00B4NMZ9TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 06:11:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CMBDE7000574 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 06:11:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54D75016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:01:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 138145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:01:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CM1sc9057692 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:01:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CM1s9d004739 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:01:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CM1su1004738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:01:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:01:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307122201.h6CM1su1004738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 122200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N140W 05N149W 11N148W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N172W 04SN168W 03N171W MOVED WEST 15KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31870-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00B7XN50TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 06:15:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CMEfE7001312 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 06:14:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54D79016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:03:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 138160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:03:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CM3Bc9055786 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:03:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CM3B9d004748 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:03:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CM3Bd8004747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:03:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 17:03:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307122203.h6CM3Bd8004747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 122203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 12 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE CENTERED NEAR 18.4N 116.3W AT 12/2100 UTC MOVING NW 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 12/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W/103W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRES MAY BE TRYING TO FORM ALONG THE WAVE BUT CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY APPEARS TO BE RACING WWD AHEAD OF THE WAVE...WHICH ALSO SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM IS NOT HAVING AN EASY TIME ORGANIZING. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 99W-105W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 126W S OF 18N MOVING W 5-10 KT. WHILE A NICE INVERTED-V IS OBSERVED IN THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD PATTERN... THE AREA IS VOID OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2130 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE... ENRIQUE'S SONG IS APPROACHING ITS CODA. THE STORM CONTINUES ITS FIGHT AGAINST COLDER SSTS AND AS SUCH...CONVECTION HAS BEEN QUICKLY DISSIPATING THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER BECOMING EXPOSED TO THE W OF THE MAIN AREA OF TSTMS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 17.5N-20N BETWEEN 112W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE IN A BAND S OF THE SYSTEM WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N119W 14N113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 6N90W 14N110W 9N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER ERN PANAMA AND NW COLOMBIA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 76W-79W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION W OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 83.5W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE MOVING W OFF THE COAST OF THE COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA BORDER. ISOLATED MODERATE E OF THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W/103W FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 95W-98W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31872-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BU4Y20TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:10:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D2AOE7049838 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:10:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0BseX023968; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:01:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 141631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D21Oc9056724 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D21N9d007044 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D21NSr007043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:01:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130201.h6D21NSr007043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 130200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT JUL 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31873-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BPOYX2TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:29:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D2T7E7053757 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:29:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DG9016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 141825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D2JJc9051104 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D2JJ9d007219 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D2JIt9007218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130219.h6D2JIt9007218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 130218 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 0300Z SUN JUL 13 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 117.6W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 117.6W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 117.0W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.7N 119.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.0N 122.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.0N 124.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.7N 127.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.0N 132.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 19.0N 137.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 117.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31874-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BPWYX4TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:29:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D2TAE7053772 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:29:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DGF016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 141832 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D2Jrc9008086 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D2Jr9d007235 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D2JrHD007234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:19:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130219.h6D2JrHD007234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ45 KNHC 130219 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 2003 DEEP CONVECTION HAS RAPIDLY DECREASED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS SINCE ENRIQUE HAS MOVED OVER SUB-24C WATER TEMPERATURES. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOW ALMOST FULLY EXPOSED ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD SHIELD. THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN DECREASED TO 45 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND AFWA...AND 35 KT FROM SAB...AND THE MORE RECENT RAGGED APPEARANCE IN BOTH VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 295/14. SINCE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN ALMOST NON-EXISTENT NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER FOR MORE THAN 6 HOURS...ENRIQUE IS BEGINNING TO DECOUPLE FROM THE MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS. AS A RESULT...THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MOVE WESTWARD AND EVEN WEST-SOUTHWARD AS IT BECOMES INFLUENCED MORE BY THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. ALL OF THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS AGREE ON THIS SCENARIO AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE GFDL...GFS...AND GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS. EVEN THOUGH THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS QUITE FAVORABLE... ENRIQUE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER 22C SST WATER IN ABOUT 24 HOURS SO MORE RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST. THIS DOWNWARD TREND IS SLIGHTLY QUICKER THAN THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY FORECAST...BUT IT IS CONSISTENT WITH THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL WHICH ACTUALLY DISSIPATES THE CYCLONE BY 48 HOURS. FORECASTER STEWART/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 19.0N 117.6W 45 KT 12HR VT 13/1200Z 19.7N 119.7W 35 KT 24HR VT 14/0000Z 20.0N 122.4W 30 KT 36HR VT 14/1200Z 20.0N 124.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 15/0000Z 19.7N 127.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 16/0000Z 19.0N 132.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 17/0000Z 19.0N 137.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31876-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BYJ2GXTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:46:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D3jnE7068568 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:45:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DIj016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:33:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 142702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:33:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D3XNc9055234 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:33:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D3XM9d007861 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:33:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D3XMj4007860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:33:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:33:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130333.h6D3XMj4007860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 130400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 18.8N7 117.0W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 117.0W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.7N7 119.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.0N2 122.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.0N2 124.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.7N7 127.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120400Z7 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 117.6W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130000Z4 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131000Z5, 131600Z1, 132200Z8 AND 140400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31877-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BYK2GXTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:46:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D3jnE7068566 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:45:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0Bshx023968; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 142722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D3ZNc9015414 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D3ZM9d007871 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D3ZMxm007870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Dissipated As A Significant Tropical Cyclone Over Water Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130335.h6D3ZMxm007870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 130400 RRB DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120400Z7 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 117.6W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130000Z4 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131000Z5, 131600Z1, 132200Z8 AND 140400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31878-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BYV2H0TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:46:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D3jrE7068589 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 11:45:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DIn016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 142725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D3ZNc9015416 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D3ZN9d007876 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D3ZN2h007875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:35:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130335.h6D3ZN2h007875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 130400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 18.8N7 117.0W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 117.0W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.7N7 119.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.0N2 122.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.0N2 124.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.7N7 127.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31879-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BH746UTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:23:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D4MxE7076087 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:23:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DKH016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:11:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 142923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:11:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D4Bkc9047774 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:11:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D4Bg9d008200 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:11:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D4Bg6R008199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:11:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:11:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130411.h6D4Bg6R008199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 130411 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 13 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE CENTER NEAR 19.0N 117.6W AT 13/0300 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 102W/103W NOW ALONG 103W/104W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ITCZ WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 126W NOW ALONG 127W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 105-10 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. EARLIER VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWED AN INVERTED-V LOW LEVEL CLOUD PATTERN. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0330 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE... DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS SINCE ENRIQUE HAS MOVED OVER SUB-24C WATER TEMPERATURES. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOW ALMOST FULLY EXPOSED ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD SHIELD. ENRIQUE IS BEGINNING TO DECOUPLE FROM THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATIONS SINCE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN ALMOST NON-EXISTENT NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CENTER FOR MORE THAN 6 HOURS. ENRIQUE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER 22C WATER TEMPERATURES IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...MEANING THAT MORE RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST...EVEN THOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS QUITE FAVORABLE. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 20N TO 21N BETWEEN 114W AND 116.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N80W 11N104W 12N117W 10N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELLS OF STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...WITHIN 15-20 NM RADIUS OF 14N90.5W ALONG GUATEMALA COAST...AND FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W AND 94W ALONG EASTERN EDGE OF GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC OF MEXICO. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31880-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BPZ4IBTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:30:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D4TrE7077195 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 12:29:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DKJ016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:19:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 142946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:19:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D4Jpc9038038 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:19:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D4Jl9d008249 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:19:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D4JlPj008248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:19:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:19:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130419.h6D4JlPj008248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 130419 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...BUT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31883-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00B9Z7DBTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 13:32:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D5VcE7088769 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 13:31:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DLt016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 143626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D5L2c9054128 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D5L19d008726 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D5L1Oe008724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130521.h6D5L1Oe008724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05.9N4 144.1E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07.1N8 137.4W5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON IMPROVING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31886-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BYSDW6TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:52:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D7qkE7017313 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:52:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DN1016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 02:44:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 02:44:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D7ipc9008956 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 02:44:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D7io9d009685 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 02:44:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D7io83009684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 02:44:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 02:44:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130744.h6D7io83009684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 130744 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...BUT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31887-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BHIEFJTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:04:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D84OE7019411 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:04:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DN3016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:01:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D81Xc9051130 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:01:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D81X9d009949 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D81Xpa009948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:01:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130801.h6D81Xpa009948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 130800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT JUL 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31889-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BTPFR5TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:33:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D8WuE7024540 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:32:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DNR016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D8TUc9038828 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D8TT9d010180 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D8TTvY010177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130829.h6D8TTvY010177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ45 KNHC 130829 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003 THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY SEPARATE FROM THE MID-/UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE DEEP CONVECTION WELL TO THE NORTHEAST. WHILE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS MOSTLY OBSCURED BY OUTFLOW CIRRUS ON THE WEST SIDE...THE INITIAL POSITION OF ENRIQUE IS CONFIRMED BY 13/0105Z QUIKSCAT AND 13/0337Z SSMI OVERPASSES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT IS BASED ON 40-45 KT UNCONTAMINATED WIND SPEEDS NOTED IN THE AFOREMENTIONED QUIKSCAT OVERPASS AND THE CONTINUED DEGRADED APPEARANCE IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/14. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK OR REASONING. FOR ALL PRACTICAL PURPOSES... THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS DECOUPLED FROM THE MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS NOW THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN NON-EXISTENT NEAR THE SURFACE CENTER FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS. ENRIQUE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND GRADUALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES THE MORE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW. ALL OF THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE WITH THIS SCENARIO AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS A BLEND OF THE GFDL...GFS...GFDN...AND GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS. EVEN THOUGH THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS VERY FAVORABLE... ENRIQUE IS PRESENTLY OVER 23C SSTS AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER UNFAVORABLY COOL WATER FOR THE REMAINDER OF ITS LIFETIME AND... THEREFORE...CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST. THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL DISSIPATES THE CYCLONE BY 36 HOURS AND THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST HAS CLOSELY FOLLOWED THAT SCENARIO. ENRIQUE SHOULD DEGENERATE INTO A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW BY 48 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0900Z 19.4N 119.4W 40 KT 12HR VT 13/1800Z 19.7N 121.7W 35 KT 24HR VT 14/0600Z 19.9N 124.3W 30 KT 36HR VT 14/1800Z 19.8N 126.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 15/0600Z 19.3N 129.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 16/0600Z 19.0N 134.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 17/0600Z 19.0N 138.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31890-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BV5FS1TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:33:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D8XRE7024689 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:33:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CNmbP5038402; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D8TUc9048326 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D8TT9d010181 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D8TTDu010179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:29:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130829.h6D8TTDu010179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 130829 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 0900Z SUN JUL 13 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 119.4W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 119.4W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 118.7W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.7N 121.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.9N 124.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.8N 126.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.3N 129.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.0N 134.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 19.0N 138.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 119.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31891-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BX3IR0TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:37:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D9bfE7037554 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:37:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DPZ016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:34:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 145164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:34:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D9YPc9056792 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:34:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D9YP9d010712 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:34:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D9YPHW010711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:34:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:34:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130934.h6D9YPHW010711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 131000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 19.3N3 118.7W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 118.7W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.7N7 121.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 19.9N9 124.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 19.8N8 126.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 19.3N3 129.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131000Z5 POSITION NEAR 19.3N3 118.7W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131600Z1, 132200Z8, 140400Z9 AND 141000Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31892-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BXQISATF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:38:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D9cRE7037669 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:38:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DPb016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 145178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D9aTc9015742 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D9aS9d010731 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D9aSQF010730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130936.h6D9aSQF010730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 131000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 05E (ENRIQUE) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 19.3N3 118.7W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 118.7W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.7N7 121.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 19.9N9 124.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 19.8N8 126.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 19.3N3 129.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31893-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00B9SJ4RTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:46:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D9jvE7039203 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 17:45:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0BsmV023968; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 145181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D9aWc9015750 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D9aV9d010736 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D9aUpA010735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Dissipated As A Significant Tropical Cyclone Over Water Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130936.h6D9aUpA010735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 131000 RRB DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131000Z5 POSITION NEAR 19.3N3 118.7W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05E (ENRIQUE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131600Z1, 132200Z8, 140400Z9 AND 141000Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31894-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00B36K0VTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 18:05:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DA5AE7043080 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 18:05:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DPj016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:02:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 145309 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:02:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DA24c9050630 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:02:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DA249d010915 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:02:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DA24qd010914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:02:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:02:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131002.h6DA24qd010914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 131001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N145W 08N143W 06N143W 05N149W 08N149W 10N147W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE EQ179W 01N176W EQ172W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 01N162W EQ160W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE(S)/DISTURBANCE(S)... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE(S)... CZ/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 16S164W 16S157W 19S155W 22S159W 18S168W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 TO 20 KT IN 9 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 15S174W 13S173W 15S170W 15S168W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31895-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BOHKMLTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 18:18:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DAIEE7045846 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 18:18:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DPr016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:16:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 145394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:16:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DAG2c9035416 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:16:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DAG19d011001 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:16:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DAG1w6011000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:16:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:16:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131016.h6DAG1w6011000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 131015 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 13 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE CENTER NEAR 19.4N 119.4W AT 13/0900 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 13/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 103W/104W NOW ALONG 105W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ITCZ SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 110W. ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 127W NOW ALONG 128W/129W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. VISIBLE IMAGERY FROM YESTERDAY SHOWED AN INVERTED-V LOW LEVEL CLOUD PATTERN. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0930 UTC... TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AROUND THE STORM COVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 16N TO 26N BETWEEN 104W AND 120W. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO SEPARATE RAPIDLY FROM THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE DEEP CONVECTION WELL TO THE NORTHEAST. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS MOSTLY OBSCURED BY OUTFLOW CIRRUS ON THE WEST SIDE. T.S. ENRIQUE IS PRESENTLY OVER AN AREA OF SURFACE WATER TEMPERATURES OF 23C AND IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER UNFAVORABLY COOL WATER FOR THE REMAINDER OF ITS LIFETIME AND...THEREFORE...CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N80W 9N100W 11N127W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 110W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS EAST OF 100W...AND WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 13N92W 14N94W 16N95W INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ISOLATED CELL OF STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W AND 87W ALONG NICARAGUA COAST. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31896-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BPPLVFTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 18:45:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DAj7E7050686 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 18:45:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0Bsn3023968; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:42:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 145625 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:42:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DAgsc9041962 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:42:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DAgs9d011189 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:42:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DAgsQq011188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:42:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 05:42:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131042.h6DAgsQq011188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 131042 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE...LOCATED ABOUT 655 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31901-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BAWV3UTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:04:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DE4XE7088830 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:04:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DUx016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:01:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 147271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:01:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DE16c9042106 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:01:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DE169d012536 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DE16Et012535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:01:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131401.h6DE16Et012535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 131400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN JUL 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31903-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00B08WO7TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DEcKE7095352 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0Bsqh023968; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 147499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DEZ3c9045036 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DEZ49d012769 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DEZ4Fe012768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Enrique Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131435.h6DEZ4Fe012768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ45 KNHC 131434 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003 FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW A LOW LEVEL CENTER DISPLACED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE DIMINISHING DEEP CONVECTION. ENRIQUE IS DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION ON THIS BASIS. COLD SSTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE DISSIPATION PROCESS AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR A REMNANT LOW IN 24 HOURS AND TOTAL DISSIPATION AFTER 3 DAYS...IF NOT SOONER. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/14. THE GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT A WESTWARD TO JUST SOUTH OF WESTWARD TRACK AS A STRONG SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE DOMINATES THE STEERING. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THIS GUIDANCE. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1500Z 19.9N 120.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 14/0000Z 20.2N 122.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 14/1200Z 20.3N 125.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 15/0000Z 20.0N 128.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 15/1200Z 19.5N 130.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 16/1200Z 19.0N 134.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:23 2003 X-UIDL: 31904-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00B0LWODTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:38:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DEcUE7095387 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:38:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DVP016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 147505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DEZfc9045044 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DEZf9d012774 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DEZfOs012773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:35:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Enrique Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131435.h6DEZfOs012773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ25 KNHC 131435 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052003 1500Z SUN JUL 13 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 120.4W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 120.4W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 119.7W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.2N 122.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.3N 125.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.0N 128.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.5N 130.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.0N 134.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 120.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MYX0FYEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:50:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FJo7E7011177 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:50:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F56hHL033688; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 14:46:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 187034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 14:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FJkBc9027356 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 14:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FJkB9d007538 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 14:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FJkBoi007537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 14:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 14:46:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307151946.h6FJkBoi007537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 151945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE JUL 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300M212USEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:42:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FKgLE7028480 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:42:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F56hJf033688; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 188063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FKavc9044200 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FKau9d009451 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FKauI3009449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307152036.h6FKauI3009449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MGC35JEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:48:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FKmmE7030282 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:48:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FHVnhD023968; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 188067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FKavc9047714 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FKav9d009452 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FKauM4009450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:36:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307152036.h6FKauM4009450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:27 2003 X-UIDL: 31958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MID6RKEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 06:06:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FM6gE7052008 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 06:06:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8Sdp047622; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 16:56:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 189115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 16:56:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FLuDc9050630 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 16:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FLuC9d011673 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 16:56:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FLuCbi011672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 16:56:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 16:56:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307152156.h6FLuCbi011672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 152155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 15 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR 11N98W AT 15/1800 UTC MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH A 1008 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR 11N120W AT 15/1800 UTC MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A 1007 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W N OF 7N MOVING W 15 KT. THE BULK OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS ERN HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA YET TO CROSS INTO THE E PACIFIC. OTHERWISE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE ITCZ S OF COSTA RICA. ..1014 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. ENRIQUE...CENTERED NEAR 18.5N130W MOVING W 10 KT. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT IS ONLY ACCOMPANIED BY A BROKEN LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUD FIELD TO THE N OF THE CENTER. ..BROAD ELY FLOW N OF 15N W OF 130W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N130W 17N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N98W... A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING DID INDICATE A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE VICINITY OF THE DISTURBANCE BUT THE HIGHEST NON-RAIN FLAGGED WIND VECTORS WERE ONLY 5-10 KT AROUND THE CENTER. CONVECTION ACTUALLY APPEARS TO HAVE DIVERGED AWAY FROM THE CENTER...POSSIBLY WITH THE WRN CLUSTER OF TSTMS MOVING WWD AS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 101W-104W. NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 11.5N-14.5N BETWEEN 96W-99W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N120W... THE DISTURBANCE APPEARS TO HAVE BROKEN AWAY FROM THE ITCZ BUT IN DOING SO HAS DEVELOPED A SMALL CIRCULATION NO MORE THAN 180 NM WIDE. WHILE CONVECTION WAS SCARCE WITH THE SYSTEM EARLIER IN THE AFTERNOON...A HEALTHY TSTM CLUSTER HAS SINCE DEVELOPED PRIMARILY ON THE W SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 119W-122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N76W 6N84W 10N100W 6N120W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96.5W-100W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COAST OF CNTRL AMERICA BETWEEN 77W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM CELLS ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR PUERTO ANGEL...W OF ACAPULCO...AND N OF MAZATLAN. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:28 2003 X-UIDL: 31963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MIE7KFEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 06:24:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FMO4E7055735 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 06:24:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8SeH047622; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:15:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 189290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FMF2c9050666 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:15:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FMF19d011926 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:15:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FMF1rQ011925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:15:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:15:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307152215.h6FMF1rQ011925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 152214 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:29 2003 X-UIDL: 31964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MOP7P1EX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 06:27:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FMQtE7056440 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 06:26:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8SeF047622; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:09:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 189259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:09:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FM9Sc9044180 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:09:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FM9S9d011846 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:09:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FM9RrM011845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:09:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 17:09:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307152209.h6FM9RrM011845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 152209 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 12N140W 11N150W 05N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND 180. AREA OF ISOLATED CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 13N150W 06N155W 02N180 08N180 AND EXTENDING WEST HAS MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 12N140W 12N150W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 25S134W 18S145W 15S152W EXTENDING SOUTHEAST AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 09S127W 10S179W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 300NM SOUTHWEST OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35NM OF SHEARLINE BETWEEN 164W AND 176W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 35NM OF SHEARLINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:29 2003 X-UIDL: 31965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MDZDRJEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 08:38:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G0bxE7089417 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 08:38:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FHVnmX023968; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 19:33:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 190788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 19:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G0XLc9038024 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 19:33:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G0XL9d013665 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 19:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G0XLVB013664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 19:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 19:33:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160033.h6G0XLVB013664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 152230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 152200ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/142330ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 150000)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.4N5 119.5W6 TO 12.0N3 127.6W6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 151800Z5 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 120.4W7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERCEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 115.5W2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 120.4W7, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED AND BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 162230Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:31 2003 X-UIDL: 31973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MZ4H6AEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:51:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G1pcE7014762 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:51:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8Sj3047622; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 20:47:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 191478 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 20:47:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G1luc9045138 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 20:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G1lt9d014391 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 20:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G1lti1014390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 20:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 20:47:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160147.h6G1lti1014390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 160147 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE JUL 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 12:23:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31981-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MYLNRXEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 12:14:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G4EAE7060196 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 12:14:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8SoB047622; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:07:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 192746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:07:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G47Kc9056212 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:07:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G47K9d015750 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:07:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G47KHL015749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:07:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:07:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160407.h6G47KHL015749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 160407 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 16 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTER NEAR 11N99W AT 16/0000 UTC MOVING WEST 5-10 KT...1008 MB. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR 11N121W AT 16/0000 UTC MOVING WEST 10-15 KT...1007 MB. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 83W NOW ALONG 84W/85W SOUTH OF 23N MOVING WEST 15 KT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 86W. ..TROUGH ALONG 14N130W 19N131W 24N132W...REMNANT OF THE T.D. ENRIQUE LOW PRESSURE CENTER...MOVING WEST 10 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 127W AND 136W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 26N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0330 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N99W... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 108W. SOME AREAS OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAVE BEEN DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS... WHILE OTHER AREAS HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N121W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 8N104W 8N125W 10N132W 10N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 86W...AND WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 132W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3N TO 10N BETWEEN 76W AND 80W OVER PARTS OF COASTAL COLOMBIA IN GULF OF URABA...AND PANAMA IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA SOUTH OF 10N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO BETWEEN 87W AND 90W IN COASTAL WATERS FROM NICARAGUA TO EL SALVADOR. OTHER ISOLATED CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PLAINS AND COASTAL WATERS FROM EL SALVADOR NEAR 90W TO MEXICO NEAR 102W... IN AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 12:33:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31982-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MHTOCVEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 12:26:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G4QmE7064358 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 12:26:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8Sop047622; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:24:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 193016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:24:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G4Ofc9019866 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:24:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G4OZ9d015904 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:24:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G4OZ7S015903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:24:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 23:24:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160424.h6G4OZ7S015903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 160424 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1130 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 13:33:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MNQR31EX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 13:25:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G5PcE7081204 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 13:25:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8Srf047622; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 00:19:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 193574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 00:19:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G5J7c9022264 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 00:19:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G5J69d016368 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 00:19:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G5J67A016367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 00:19:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 00:19:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160519.h6G5J67A016367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN22 PHNC 160530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160521Z JUL 2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/152230ZJUL2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 152230)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.2N4 98.0W7 TO 14.6N1 107.6W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 160000Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 98.6W3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 160600Z3. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 98.0W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 98.6W3, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 170530Z6. 4. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PHNC 152230) FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 120.4W7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 14:13:09 2003 X-UIDL: 31988-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300M0CT2FEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 14:08:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G68NE7092993 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 14:08:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FHVnvR023968; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 193737 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G633c9041244 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G6339d016705 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G632WE016703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160603.h6G632WE016703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160151ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 130.04E8 ABOUT 305 NM NORTHWEST OF PALAU AND WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 134.7E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.6N9 150.2E8, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 145.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WHILE THE SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS A BROAD CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS REVEALED THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. THE UPPER AIR ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE AS THE AREA IS UNDERNEATH THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 15:53:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MKCXUGEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:51:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G7peE7025249 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:51:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8Sth047622; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 02:46:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 194186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 02:46:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G7kEc9045050 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 02:46:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G7kD9d017460 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 02:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G7kDvr017459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 02:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 02:46:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160746.h6G7kDvr017459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 160745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE JUL 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 17:53:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400MUP3E5EX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:51:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G9pLE7061330 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:51:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8Svf047622; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:46:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 194900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:46:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G9kUc9044988 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G9kU9d018457 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G9kUr6018456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:46:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160946.h6G9kUr6018456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 160946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 12N140W 12N155W 05N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100NM OF LINE 09N166W 06N180 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. OCCASIONAL TCU BETWEEN 07N AND 12N EAST OF 143W MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED TCU WITHIN 200NM OF LINE 08N157W 08N162W MOVING WEST 10 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SCATTERED TCU WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 28N176W 25N177W 24N180 HAVE INCREASED IN AREA AND MOVED WEST SLOWLY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 25S133W 22S144W AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 14S153W 10S174W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 300NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF SHEARLINE WEST OF 162W HAVE INCREASED IN AREA. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 35NM OF SHEARLINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 18:40:57 2003 X-UIDL: 32006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400MAX4G9EX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 18:14:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GAEOE7069104 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 18:14:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8SwH047622; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:06:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 195039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:06:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GA6Hc9053088 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:06:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GA6H9d018640 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:06:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GA6HDB018639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:06:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:06:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161006.h6GA6HDB018639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 161006 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 16 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTER NEAR 12N100W AT 16/0600 UTC MOVING WEST 5-10 KT...1006 MB. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTER NEAR 11N122W AT 16/0600 UTC MOVING WEST 10-15 KT...1008 MB. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 84W/85W NOW ALONG 86W/87W SOUTH OF 23N MOVING WEST 15 KT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS...WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 9N86W 7N88W. ..TROUGH ALONG 18N132W 23N134W...REMNANT OF THE T.D. ENRIQUE LOW PRESSURE CENTER...MOVING WEST 10 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 127W AND 136W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 24N WEST OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0930 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N100W... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N122W... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ONE CLUSTER FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 122W AND 123W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 6N90W 8N110W 7N126W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 75-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 111W... AND WITHIN 125 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 111W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS...WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 9N86W 7N88W...FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 92W...FROM 11N TO 12N WITHIN 15 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 89W...IN THE GULF OF MEXICO SIDE OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NORTH OF 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 95W...AND IN SW MEXICO FROM 18N TO 19N BETWEEN 101W AND 102W...IN AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 18:41:03 2003 X-UIDL: 32008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400M6W4VEEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 18:23:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GANVE7071666 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 18:23:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8SwR047622; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:19:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 195095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:19:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GAJDc9056616 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:19:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GAJD9d018737 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:19:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GAJCOm018736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:19:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:19:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161019.h6GAJCOm018736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 161019 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...BUT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 22:47:09 2003 X-UIDL: 32011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400M9R5WZEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 18:46:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GAk3E7077952 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 18:46:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8Swh047622; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 195167 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GAcNc9056132 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GAcN9d018880 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GAcNID018878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161038.h6GAcNID018878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/160930Z/170600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160751ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160921ZJUL2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 130.04E8 ABOUT 305 NM NORTHWEST OF PALAU AND WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 134.7E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 145.1E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.1N6 145.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WHILE THE SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS A BROAD CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST IS PROVIDING FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AIDING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 22:47:18 2003 X-UIDL: 32022-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400MJ7ESNEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:58:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GDvpE7032003 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:57:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FHVn39023968; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 08:51:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 196688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 08:51:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GDpUc9056590 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 08:51:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GDpU9d021680 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 08:51:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GDpU11021679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 08:51:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 08:51:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161351.h6GDpU11021679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 161345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUL 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 32038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400MR6KCSEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:58:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFvrE7066603 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:57:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPcL020130; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 10:52:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 198556 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 10:52:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFqLc9041758 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 10:52:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GFqL9d025812 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 10:52:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GFqK0V025811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 10:52:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 10:52:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161552.h6GFqK0V025811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 161552 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 16 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITH ASSOCIATED LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 12N101W 1008 MB AT 16/1200 UTC. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITH ASSOCIATED LOW PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 11N122W 1009 MB AT 16/1200. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT 10-15 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS PREVIOUSLY ALONG 86W/87W NOW ALONG 88W MOVING WEST 15 KT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS... WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 9N86W 7N88W. ..WEAK TROUGH ALONG 16N133W 22N134W IS THE REMNANTS OF T.D. ENRIQUE. THE TROUGH IS MOVING WEST 10 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY EXITS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 24N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1530 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N100W... NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE FROM 11N102W 16N101W. THE SYSTEMS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE ANY BETTER ORGANIZED. EARLY MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE BROAD LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER MAY BE LOCATED SE OF THE CONVECTION. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N122W... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 75 NM OF 12N123W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 7N78W 9N88W 7N105W 8N112W 7N120W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 80W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11.5N94W 14N95W 14N98W. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:38 2003 X-UIDL: 32042-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400B19LYM4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:32:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GGWcE7076358 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFlddd024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 11:26:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 199161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 11:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GGQsc9022174 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 11:26:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GGQs9d027380 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 11:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GGQssX027379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 11:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 11:26:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161626.h6GGQssX027379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 161626 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS LESS LIKELY TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400BUJVSY4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:05:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GK4uE7039443 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:05:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldlx024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 14:45:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 201372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 14:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GJjjc9030614 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 14:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GJji9d004900 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 14:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GJjiQ7004899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 14:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 14:45:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161945.h6GJjiQ7004899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 161945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED JUL 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500B1B0Z64K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:57:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GLuwE7067092 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:57:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFlaIn047632; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 203596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GLpcc9021406 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GLpc9d008657 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GLpcS7008656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307162151.h6GLpcS7008656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 162151 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 10N140W 11N144W 11N151W 08N170W 07N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. VERY ISOLATED CB AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 60NM OF LINES 10N140W 11N144W 08N160W AND 11N160W 12N163W 11N165W AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 85NM OF LINE 08N160W 09N174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 09N180 08N174W 06N174W 05N180 AND EXTENDING WEST HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 25S129W 20S136W AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 15S145W 09S180 AND EXTENDING WEST. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 240NM OF FRONT AND SHEARLINE EAST OF 152W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120NM OF SHEARLINE WEST OF 152W HAVE INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEARLINE. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS OVER THE MAIN ISLANDS AND ISOLATED CB NEAR SWAINS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:41 2003 X-UIDL: 32059-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BAI15C4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 06:00:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GM0fE7067870 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 06:00:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldw7024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:55:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 203631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:55:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GLtHc9047114 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:55:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GLtH9d008718 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:55:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GLtGoL008717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:55:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307162155.h6GLtGoL008717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 162155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 16 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 12N101W AT 21/1800 UTC MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH A 1009 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HRS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 16/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W/90W N OF 2N MOVING W 15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS OBSERVED S OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA BUT MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..1010 MB SURFACE LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N123W MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UNABLE TO MAINTAIN AN ORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION AND SO ITS CLASSIFICATION OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN DROPPED. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N120W TO 13N123W. ..WEAK TROUGH...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. ENRIQUE...ALONG 17N135W 24N134W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 10N W OF 112W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A 1025 MB HIGH NEAR 32N140W TO 17N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2130 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N101W... THE STRONG CONVECTION THAT HAD BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE EARLIER IN THE DAY HAS DISSIPATED LEAVING A MORE RAGGED AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDING N OF THE CENTER TOWARDS THE MEXICAN COAST. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11.5N-19N BETWEEN 100W-105W AND SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 101W-105.5W. THESE TSTMS ARE AFFECTING AREAS BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND PUERTO VALLARTA. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 7N75W 9N85W 7N105W 9N117W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER WRN PANAMA AND ERN COSTA RICA FROM 6.5N-9N BETWEEN 80W-85.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 135.5W AND FROM 10.5N-12N BETWEEN 133W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 92.5W-98.5W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:41 2003 X-UIDL: 32060-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BM729D4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 06:24:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GMOgE7072891 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 06:24:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFld0X024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:20:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 204169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:20:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GMKec9033848 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:20:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GMKe9d009360 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:20:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GMKeIB009359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:20:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:20:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307162220.h6GMKeIB009359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 162230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 162230ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/152200ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 152230)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 120.4W7 APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY. RECENT VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA HAS DECREASED AND BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED AS THE SYSTEM MOVED INTO A REGION OF COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:41 2003 X-UIDL: 32061-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500B5R2SN4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 06:36:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GMaAE7074746 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 06:36:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFld1n024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:32:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 204445 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:32:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GMW0c9056630 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:32:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GMW09d009579 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:32:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GMW0Io009578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:32:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 17:32:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307162232.h6GMW0Io009578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 162231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUL 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR RAPID DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:42 2003 X-UIDL: 32066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BRABSM4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:50:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H1ocE7021649 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:50:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFld8j024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:45:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 207220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H1jlc9058688 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H1jl9d012207 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H1jliP012206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:45:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170145.h6H1jliP012206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 170145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUL 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 12:15:19 2003 X-UIDL: 32077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BTUHMO4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:56:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H3udE7061551 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:56:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldCf024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:52:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 208553 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:52:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H3qMc9013422 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:52:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H3qM9d013712 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:52:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H3qM9Q013711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:52:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:52:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170352.h6H3qM9Q013711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN22 PHNC 170400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 170330ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160500ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 160530)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 190 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.7N9 100.4W5 TO 14.0N5 108.3W2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 170200Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 101.6W8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTH WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 170600Z4. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERCEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 98.6W3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 100.6W7, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. RECENT INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE BETTER ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE TO STRONG DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 180400Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 12:19:32 2003 X-UIDL: 32081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BGGIM64K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 12:18:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H4HxE7068416 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 12:18:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldDP024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:05:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 208644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:05:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H45ic9047112 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H45i9d013850 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H45imk013849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:05:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170405.h6H45imk013849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 170405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 17 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTER NEAR 13N102W AT 17/0000 UTC MOVING WEST 5-10 KT...1009 MB PRESSURE. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM MIGHT BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 36 HRS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 89W/90W NOW ALONG 91W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 15 KT. WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA...MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROUGH...REMNANT OF 1010 MB SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER ONCE NEAR 11N123W ALONG 123W/124W FROM 8N TO 15N. ITCZ IS PUSHED NORTHWARD...13N123W 11N120W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-20 NM RADIUS 11N120W. ..TROUGH...THE REMNANT OF T.D. ENRIQUE...ALONG 16N135W 19N136W 23N137W...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 106W AND 120W... AND NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0330 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N102W... ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG AND THUNDERSTORMS...FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N109W 12N122W 10N134W 10N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 122W...AND WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 980W AND 110W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:38:37 2003 X-UIDL: 32082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BB0IXT4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 12:25:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H4OwE7070522 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 12:25:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldDp024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:14:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 208933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:14:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H4EFc9029774 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:14:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H4EF9d013923 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H4EFJY013922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:14:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170414.h6H4EFJY013922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 170413 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE AND THE SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS WEAKENED INTO A SMALL SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. DRY AIR SHOULD PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT FROM OCCURRING. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:38:42 2003 X-UIDL: 32083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500B0HKJC4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 12:59:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H4xSE7081308 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 12:59:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkP2h020130; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:54:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 209229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H4sNc9044894 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H4sN9d014286 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H4sNai014285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 23:54:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...cor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170454.h6H4sNai014285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 170454 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 17 JUL 2003 ..CORRECTION TO ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N SECTION...NOT 980W... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTER NEAR 13N102W AT 17/0000 UTC MOVING WEST 5-10 KT...1009 MB PRESSURE. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM MIGHT BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 36 HRS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 89W/90W NOW ALONG 91W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 15 KT. WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA...MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROUGH...REMNANT OF 1010 MB SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER ONCE NEAR 11N123W...ALONG 123W/124W FROM 8N TO 15N. ITCZ HAS BEEN PUSHED NORTHWARD. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15-20 NM RADIUS OF 11N120W. ..TROUGH...THE REMNANT OF T.D. ENRIQUE...ALONG 16N135W 19N136W 23N137W...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 106W AND 120W... AND NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0330 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N102W... ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N109W 12N122W 10N134W 10N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 122W...AND WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:38:49 2003 X-UIDL: 32087-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500B3ZNPR4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:08:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H681E7099443 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:08:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H5Wkdb047636; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 209789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H5t4c9056680 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H5t39d014873 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H5t3ne014871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170555.h6H5t3ne014871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170152ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 125.7E5, JUST OFF THE EAST COAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES AND WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W WAS LOCATED NEAR 07.5N2 142.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALAU AND WAS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 145.1E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/SCOTT/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:38:55 2003 X-UIDL: 32097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BIMSKN4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:53:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H7qqE7033149 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:53:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkP4T020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 02:46:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 210564 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 02:46:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H7kDc9029712 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 02:46:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H7kC9d015909 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 02:46:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H7kCPo015908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 02:46:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 02:46:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170746.h6H7kCPo015908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 170745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUL 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500B0NYJ54K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 18:01:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HA1ME7073442 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 18:01:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkP5j020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:55:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 211130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H9tkc9058128 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H9tk9d017250 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H9tkhA017249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:55:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170955.h6H9tkhA017249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 170955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 09N145W 10N140W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W MOVED WEST NEAR 05 KT AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 09N170W 08N180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180 MOVED EAST NORTHEAST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13S165W 13S160W HAVE MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12S173W 13S170W HAVE MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WROE/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500B6HYLT4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 18:03:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HA3LE7074045 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 18:03:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldJ7024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:59:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 211161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:59:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H9x4c9015582 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:59:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H9x49d017275 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:59:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H9x4Qx017274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:59:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:59:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170959.h6H9x4Qx017274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 170958 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 17 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..CENTER OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N102W AT 17/0900 UTC MOVING WEST 5-10 KT...1009 MB PRESSURE...AND POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 36 HRS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 91W NOW ALONG 94W/95W SOUTH OF 18N MOVED MORE TO THE WEST BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...MOVING WEST 15 KT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 95W AND 98W... FROM 7N TO THE WESTERN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. MORE SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN MEXICO ALONG AREA JUST TO THE WEST OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC...AND THE MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS HEADING TOWARD THE NE MEXICO BORDER WITH TEXAS. ..TROUGH...FROM 8N TO 16N ALONG 124W/125W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ITCZ FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 125W AND 127W. ..TROUGH FROM 15N TO 23N ALONG 137W/138W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG ITCZ SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 134W AND 140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 106W AND AND NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0930 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N102W... NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 7N97W 7N110W 9N119W 10N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 120W...AND WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER AREAS OF SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600BHT0CP4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 18:41:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HAf4E7085003 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 18:41:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldJF024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:33:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 211354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HAXqc9038420 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HAXp9d017600 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HAXpZY017599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:33:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171033.h6HAXpZY017599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 171033 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUL 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE ALSO BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. DRY AIR SHOULD PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT FROM OCCURRING. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:06 2003 X-UIDL: 32123-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600BJQ92A4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:49:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HDnDE7037497 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:49:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldOP024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:46:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 212986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:46:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HDkSc9046540 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:46:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HDkR9d020664 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:46:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HDkRFD020663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:46:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:46:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171346.h6HDkRFD020663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 171345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUL 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:09 2003 X-UIDL: 32131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600BR0EB44K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:42:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HFgXE7071908 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:42:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldTj024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:36:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 214114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:34:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HFYic9041964 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:34:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HFYi9d024076 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HFYi0U024075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:34:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171534.h6HFYi0U024075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 171534 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 17 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW NEAR 12N103W AT 17/1200 UTC MOVING WNW NEAR 15 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W N OF 5N TO THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. THIS SYSTEM IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH ONLY WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 5N-10N BETWEEN 90W-100W. ..TROUGH FROM 15N TO 23N ALONG 139W/140W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS/CONVECTION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N140W SE TO 22N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1500 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N103W... THIS SYSTEM IS GENERATING A LARGE AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 104W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION TO THE E WITHIN 90 NM OF A LOOSELY ORGANIZED BAND ALONG 11N99W 15N101W 15N104W. THE ORGANIZATION APPEARS TO HAVE IMPROVED DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH INCREASING BANDING TO THE N AND EAST AND A RECENT BURST OF STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE DISTURBANCE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N100W 9N120W 10N130W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 106W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ALONG COAST OF MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI6000ZMGM5F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 00:32:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HGWME7086606 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 00:32:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldVb024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 214710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HGPnc9051044 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HGPn9d025763 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HGPneP025761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171625.h6HGPneP025761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI60009LGRKF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 00:35:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HGZbE7087623 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 00:35:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldVp024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:32:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 214766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:32:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HGWuc9021304 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HGWu9d025985 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:32:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HGWt2D025984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:32:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:32:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171632.h6HGWt2D025984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 171632 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUL 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS WELL ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32136-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI6000JUGV6F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 00:37:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HGblE7088403 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 00:37:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPDH020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 214713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HGPnc9022078 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HGPn9d025764 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HGPnUU025762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:25:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171625.h6HGPnUU025762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:18 2003 X-UIDL: 32147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI6000LJQJ8F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:06:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HK6WE7059101 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:06:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPLf020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:01:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 217985 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HK1Nc9010370 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HK1N9d003416 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HK1NTq003415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:01:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307172001.h6HK1NTq003415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 172000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU JUL 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:19 2003 X-UIDL: 32152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600016WB3F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 06:11:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HMBKE7094439 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 06:11:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPQJ020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:02:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 219766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:02:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HM2Sc9022858 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:02:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HM2S9d006766 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:02:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HM2SXf006765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:02:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:02:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307172202.h6HM2SXf006765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 172201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N178W 11N167W 06N169W 05N176W 08N178W HAVE EXPANDED EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13N140W 10N143W 09N147W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12S176W 14S165W 12S162W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE/SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 13S160W 13S150W 18S138W 25S123W 25S143W 18S150W 17S159W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEAR LINE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:20 2003 X-UIDL: 32154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI6000NYWT1F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 06:22:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HMM6E7096942 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 06:22:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPRP020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:16:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 220104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:16:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HMG8c9038350 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:16:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HMG89d007017 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:16:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HMG8h8007016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:16:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:16:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307172216.h6HMG8h8007016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 172215 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 17 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW NEAR 13.9N105.2W AT 17/1800 UTC MOVING WNW NEAR 15 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 17/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 93W IS NOW ALONG 94W/95W N OF 5N TO THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N134W SE TO 20N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13.9N105.2W... THE ORGANIZATION APPEARS TO HAVE IMPROVED DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH INCREASING BANDING TO THE W OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 104W-109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N85W 10N108W 8N112W 10N129W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 112W ON THE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS NEAR 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:21 2003 X-UIDL: 32155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI60009HXD5F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 06:34:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HMYAE7099547 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 06:34:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2nql024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:29:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 220256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HMT6c9019286 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HMT69d007206 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HMT5PJ007205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:29:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:29:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307172229.h6HMT5PJ007205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 172228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUL 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST OR WESTNORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 11:30:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI70008273VF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:04:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I24ZE7059206 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:04:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2n2Z024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:01:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 222554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:01:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I21Gc9038412 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:01:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I21F9d009963 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:01:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I21Fjm009962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:01:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:01:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180201.h6I21Fjm009962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 180200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU JUL 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 11:30:15 2003 X-UIDL: 32176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI70000L9Z7F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:06:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I36aE7082651 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:06:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HJwiNp047284; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:04:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:04:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I349c9040120 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:04:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I3489d010831 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:04:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I3488P010830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:04:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:04:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Six-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180304.h6I3488P010830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 180303 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0300Z FRI JUL 18 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 107.4W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 107.4W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 106.5W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.0N 109.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.2N 112.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.5N 115.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.5N 123.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 128.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 18.0N 133.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 107.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 11:30:15 2003 X-UIDL: 32181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000RVAMCF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:20:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3KRE7087498 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:20:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPb5020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:17:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223593 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:17:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3HDc9054020 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:17:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I3HD9d010934 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:17:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I3HCgw010933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:17:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:17:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Six-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180317.h6I3HCgw010933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 180317 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU JUL 17 2003 MICROWAVE DATA SUGGEST THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO HAS A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOMEWHAT DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE MAIN CONVECTION. BASED ON THIS...AND DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS THAT WERE A CONSENSUS 2.0 FROM THE THREE AGENCIES...THE DISTURBANCE IS UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE DEPRESSION IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL EASTERLY SHEAR. THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE SHEAR WILL GRADUALLY LESSEN...ALTHOUGH I DO NOT SEE WHY THE SHIPS MODEL READS THE SHEAR AS LESSENING TO ABOUT 5 KT IN 48 HOURS. WITH THIS...THE SHIPS MODEL BRINGS THE DEPRESSION TO HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 72 HOURS OVER 26C WATERS. THIS SEEMS EXCESSIVE TO ME...PARTICULARLY GIVEN THE POOR INITIAL ORGANIZATION AND LACK OF DEVELOPMENT SHOWN EXPLICITLY IN THE GLOBAL MODELS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/13...BUT VERY UNCERTAIN. THE DEPRESSION IS SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. IN TWO TO THREE DAYS...THE CYCLONE WILL BE NEARING A WEAKNESS IN THIS RIDGE AND SO THE FORWARD MOTION SHOULD SLOW SOME AT THAT TIME. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BASED LARGELY ON THE GFS AND BAMM GUIDANCE. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0300Z 14.6N 107.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 18/1200Z 15.0N 109.3W 30 KT 24HR VT 19/0000Z 15.2N 112.3W 35 KT 36HR VT 19/1200Z 15.5N 115.6W 40 KT 48HR VT 20/0000Z 15.5N 119.0W 45 KT 72HR VT 21/0000Z 16.5N 123.5W 45 KT 96HR VT 22/0000Z 17.5N 128.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 23/0000Z 18.0N 133.5W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 14:27:54 2003 X-UIDL: 32187-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000I4D0DF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:12:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I4C2E7010286 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:12:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2n7J024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:06:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:06:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I46Cc9038320 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:06:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I46C9d011368 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I46CxZ011367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:06:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180406.h6I46CxZ011367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 180403 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUL 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUEDTHE FIRST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6-E LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 14:27:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32189-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000SAD3WF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:14:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I4EDE7011249 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:14:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRdB020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:10:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:10:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I4Anc9041124 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:10:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I4Am9d011422 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:10:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I4AmTk011421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:10:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:10:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180410.h6I4AmTk011421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 180410 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 18 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E IS CENTERED NEAR 14.6N 107.4W AT 18/0300 UTC MOVING WNW 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W IS NOW ALONG 95W N OF 6N TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MOVING W 10 KT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM A 1025 MB HIGH NEAR 35N133W TO 21N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0330 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E... SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DECOUPLED TO THE EAST OF THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. EASTERLY SHEAR IS CURRENTLY INFLUENCING THE SYSTEM. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF AN AXIS FROM 11N106W TO 8N110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N85W 11N107W 8N115W 8N137W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 14:27:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32190-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI70003AEOFF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:48:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I4m8E7022669 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:48:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRdV020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:45:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:45:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I4jEc9039558 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:45:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I4jD9d011717 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:45:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I4jDkZ011716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:45:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:45:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180445.h6I4jDkZ011716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 180400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170330ZJUL2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 14.4N9 106.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 106.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.0N6 109.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.2N8 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.5N1 115.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.5N1 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.5N2 123.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.5N3 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.0N9 133.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 180400Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 107.4W2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180000Z9 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KZNY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 170330Z4 JUL 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PHNC 170400) NEXT WARNINGS AT 181000Z0, 181600Z6, 182200Z3 AND 190400Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 14:27:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI70003CEOFF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:48:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I4m8E7022671 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:48:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2n8x024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I4kHc9050476 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I4kH9d011735 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I4kHI3011734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180446.h6I4kHI3011734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 180400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170330ZJUL2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 14.4N9 106.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 106.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.0N6 109.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.2N8 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.5N1 115.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.5N1 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 14:27:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI70007TEQOF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:49:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I4nTE7023138 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:49:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2n8v024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I4kGc9020952 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I4kF9d011730 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I4kFMl011729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:46:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 285 Deg/ 11 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180446.h6I4kFMl011729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 180400 RRB VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.5N2 123.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.5N3 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.0N9 133.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 180400Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 107.4W2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180000Z9 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KZNY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 170330Z4 JUL 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PHNC 170400) NEXT WARNINGS AT 181000Z0, 181600Z6, 182200Z3 AND 190400Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 32203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000S4N66F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:51:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I7pWE7075705 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:51:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586fV048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:46:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226150 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:46:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I7k4c9050644 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:46:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I7k39d013252 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I7k3l5013251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:46:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180746.h6I7k3l5013251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 180745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU JUL 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:29 2003 X-UIDL: 32209-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000HVQI1F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:03:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I93UE7099071 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:03:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRjF020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:59:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:59:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I8x3c9008330 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:59:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I8x39d013987 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:59:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I8x3Fr013986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:59:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:59:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Six-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180859.h6I8x3Fr013986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 180858 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0900Z FRI JUL 18 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.6W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.6W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 108.7W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.4N 115.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.7N 118.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.5N 128.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 18.5N 134.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 20.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 109.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:29 2003 X-UIDL: 32210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000QEQLFF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:05:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I95VE7099544 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:05:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRjD020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:58:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:58:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I8wPc9053218 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:58:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I8wP9d013974 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:58:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I8wPAa013973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:58:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:58:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Six-e Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180858.h6I8wPAa013973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 180858 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI JUL 18 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/16. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THE GUIDANCE WHICH SHOWS A CLIMATOLOGICALLY NORMAL TRACK TOWARD THE WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS OR SO. THIS IS THE RESULT OF STEERING BY A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AT THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE GFS MODEL DOES NOT SHOW THAT MUCH RIDGING TO THE NORTH...BUT THE INITIAL MOTION SUGGESTS THAT THERE IS. SATELLITE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS ARE 35 KNOTS FROM TAFB...SAB AND KGWC BASED ON A SMALL COLD CDO FEATURE. HOWEVER I AM RELUCTANT TO UPGRADE TO A STORM ON NIGHTTIME IMAGERY. RECENT SSMI...TRMM AND AMSU PASSES ARE NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE AND YESTERDAYS LAST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWED THE CENTER A LITTLE EAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE GUIDANCE DOES NOT DO MUCH WITH THE INTENSITY EXCEPT FOR THE SHIPS MODEL WHICH BRINGS THE WIND SPEED TO 60 KNOTS IN 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE SHIPS MODEL EXCEPT BRINGING THE WIND SPEED TO ONLY 55 KNOTS. INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AFTER 72 HOURS SHOULD CAUSE SOME WEAKENING. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/0900Z 14.7N 109.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 18/1800Z 15.0N 112.0W 40 KT 24HR VT 19/0600Z 15.4N 115.2W 45 KT 36HR VT 19/1800Z 15.7N 118.6W 50 KT 48HR VT 20/0600Z 16.0N 122.0W 55 KT 72HR VT 21/0600Z 17.5N 128.0W 55 KT 96HR VT 22/0600Z 18.5N 134.0W 45 KT 120HR VT 23/0600Z 20.0N 139.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32211-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000RLT5CF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:00:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IA0VE7015516 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:00:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586hH048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I9tUc9058218 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I9tQ9d014458 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I9tQvY014457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:55:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180955.h6I9tQvY014457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 180955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 13N142W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY... BUT A DECREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 10N154W MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 10 KT AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N175W 08N163W 06N178W 09N177E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14S178W 14S169W 14S161W MOVED SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:31 2003 X-UIDL: 32213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000AHTEKF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:06:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IA6CE7017146 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:06:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRjZ020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:01:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:01:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IA14c9047778 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IA149d014548 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IA14nv014547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:01:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181001.h6IA14nv014547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 181000 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUL 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6-E LOCATED ABOUT 560 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:31 2003 X-UIDL: 32214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000Q3TM0F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:10:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IAAfE7018556 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:10:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRjl020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:02:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:02:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IA2uc9027354 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:02:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IA2p9d014582 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:02:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IA2po5014581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:02:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:02:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181002.h6IA2po5014581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 181000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 14.6N1 108.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 108.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.0N6 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.4N0 115.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.7N3 118.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.0N7 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.5N3 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.5N4 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.0N2 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 181000Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 108.7W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180600Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181600Z6, 182200Z3, 190400Z4 AND 191000Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:32 2003 X-UIDL: 32215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000V5TPGF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:12:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IACjE7019126 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:12:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRk5020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:05:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:05:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IA4xc9048628 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IA4x9d014611 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IA4x4Y014609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 120 Hr Posit: 290 Deg/ 12 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181004.h6IA4x4Y014609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 181000 RRC VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.0N2 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 181000Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 108.7W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180600Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181600Z6, 182200Z3, 190400Z4 AND 191000Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:32 2003 X-UIDL: 32216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000WRTQ9F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:13:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IADEE7019254 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:13:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRjv020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226656 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IA4uc9058280 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IA4u9d014600 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IA4uBo014599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181004.h6IA4uBo014599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 181000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 14.6N1 108.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 108.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.0N6 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.4N0 115.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.7N3 118.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:32 2003 X-UIDL: 32217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000XATQFF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:13:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IADLE7019301 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:13:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRk3020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:05:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:05:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IA4xc9036430 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IA4x9d014610 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IA4xxj014608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:04:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 025 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181004.h6IA4xxj014608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 181000 RRB 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.0N7 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.5N3 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.5N4 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:33 2003 X-UIDL: 32218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000AYUCOF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:26:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IAQfE7023571 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:26:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRkD020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:07:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:07:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IA7Zc9034028 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:07:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IA7Z9d014633 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:07:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IA7ZbN014632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:07:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:07:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181007.h6IA7ZbN014632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 181007 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 18 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E IS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 109.6W AT 18/0900 UTC MOVING W AT 16 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W IS NOW ALONG 96W N OF 6N TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MOVING W 10 KT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS EAST-SOUTHEAST FROM A 1026 MB HIGH NEAR 32N136W TO CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR 26N101W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0930 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E... THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE ANIMATION SUGGESTS THAT THE REMAINS BENEATH THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION...AND A 0447Z SSMI PASS DEPICTS THAT IT MAYBE FURTHER EAST. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OVER W SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 1N79W 7N115W 7N131W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO 12N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:33 2003 X-UIDL: 32219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000XSV3LF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:42:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IAgoE7028261 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:42:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRkd020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:35:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:35:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IAZ5c9021932 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:35:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IAZ59d014874 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:35:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IAZ5dL014873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:35:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:35:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181035.h6IAZ5dL014873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 181034 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 18 JUL 2003 CORRECTED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E SATELLITE DISCUSSION EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E IS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 109.6W AT 18/0900 UTC MOVING W AT 16 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 95W IS NOW ALONG 96W N OF 6N TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MOVING W 10 KT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS EAST-SOUTHEAST FROM A 1026 MB HIGH NEAR 32N136W TO CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR 26N101W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0930 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E... THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE ANIMATION SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER REMAINS BENEATH THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION...AND A 0447Z SSMI PASS DEPICTS THAT IT MAYBE FURTHER EAST. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OVER W SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 1N79W 7N115W 7N131W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO 12N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:37 2003 X-UIDL: 32227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000LR3WLF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:53:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IDr2E7073821 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:53:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRp7020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 228380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IDjmc9016626 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IDjm9d017710 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IDjmdU017709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:45:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181345.h6IDjmdU017709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 181345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI JUL 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:41 2003 X-UIDL: 32233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000BH6AJF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:44:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IEibE7085809 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:44:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586qp048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 229001 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IEW7c9038440 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IEW79d019102 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IEW7BG019101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181432.h6IEW7BG019101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 181431 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI JUL 18 2003 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS INTENSIFIED CONSIDERABLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND IS NOW TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 45 KNOTS. THIS IS BASED ON DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM ALL AGENCIES. THE SHEAR IS LOW AND THE OCEAN IS EXPECTED TO BE WARM ALONG THE TRACK OF FELICIA THROUGH ALMOST 72 HOURS. THEREFORE...STRENGHTENING IS INDICATED AND FELICIA MAY BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING COOL WATERS. FELICIA IS MOVING WESTWARD OR 275 DEGREES AT ABOUT 16 KNOTS. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS LOCATED SOUTH OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHICH IS EXPANDING WESTWARD. FELICIA SHOULD CONTINUE ON THE GENERAL TRACK AND SAME FORWARD SPEED THROUGH 5 DAYS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS WHICH IN FACT ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/1500Z 14.8N 111.6W 45 KT 12HR VT 19/0000Z 15.0N 114.0W 50 KT 24HR VT 19/1200Z 15.5N 117.0W 60 KT 36HR VT 20/0000Z 16.0N 120.0W 65 KT 48HR VT 20/1200Z 16.5N 123.0W 60 KT 72HR VT 21/1200Z 17.5N 129.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 22/1200Z 20.0N 136.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 23/1200Z 23.0N 142.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:44 2003 X-UIDL: 32237-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI80007M6W0F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:57:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IEvPE7088421 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:57:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586qr048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 229005 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IEWTc9021434 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IEWT9d019113 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IEWTDV019112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:32:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181432.h6IEWTDV019112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 181432 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 1500Z FRI JUL 18 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 111.6W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 111.6W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 110.8W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.5N 117.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.5N 123.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 129.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 20.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 23.0N 142.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 111.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:45 2003 X-UIDL: 32241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000XN8MUF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:35:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IFYqE7097462 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:34:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586u9048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:21:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 229841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:21:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IFL2c9019932 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:21:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IFL29d020687 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:21:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IFL2aR020686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:21:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:21:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181521.h6IFL2aR020686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 181520 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 18 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO T.S. FELICIA AT 18/1500 UTC CENTERED NEAR 14.8N 111.6W. FELICIA IS MOVING W AT 16 KT WITH A ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W N OF 3N TO JUST W OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR PUERTO ANGEL. THE WAVE MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 10 KT BASED ON YESTERDAY POSITION. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE THE CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED AND UNORGANIZED. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 95W-100W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHEAST FROM A 1026 MB HIGH NEAR 33N137W TO THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 24N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1430 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... FELICIA IS MAINTAINING A SMALL YET SYMMETRIC CDO FEATURE WITH NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 110W-113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 7N100W 12N106W 7N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 101W-106W AND FROM 109W-112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 105W-110W AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR MAZATLAN FROM 23N-24N BETWEEN 106W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 124W-133W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:46 2003 X-UIDL: 32244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BIYBWZAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:46:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IGjvE7017138 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:46:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I5860r048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:37:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 230802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IGbMc9033994 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:37:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IGbM9d023348 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:37:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IGbMIo023347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:37:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:37:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181637.h6IGbMIo023347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 181636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUL 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 565 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:51 2003 X-UIDL: 32255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800B9JLNKAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:16:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IKGOE7079726 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:16:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IIsJmL047284; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 233489 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IKAoc9008090 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IKAn9d000162 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IKAnqn000160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182010.h6IKAnqn000160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 182010 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 2100Z FRI JUL 18 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 112.6W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 112.6W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 111.8W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.5N 118.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.5N 124.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N 134.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 112.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:52 2003 X-UIDL: 32256-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BBRLOXAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:17:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IKHDE7079969 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:17:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hR2X020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:11:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 233503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IKAoc9040260 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IKAn9d000161 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IKAnAT000158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182010.h6IKAnAT000158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 182010 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUL 18 2003 AFTER THE 1500 UTC ADVISORY WAS RELEASED...A SSMI PASSAGE OVER FELICIA INDICATED THAT THE CENTER WAS LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION AND NOT EMBEDDED AS PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED. THIS MEANS THAT THE INITIAL POSITION HAS TO BE SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED TO THE NORTH AND THE WINDS HAVE TO BE DECREASED TO 40 KNOTS. THE CURRENT LOCATION AND STRUCTURE ALSO SUGGEST CHANGES TO THE INTENSITY FORECAST AND FELICIA MAY NOT REACHED HURRICANE STATUS AS PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED. FELICIA IS NOW HEADING FOR AN AREA OF DRYER AND STABLE AIR. BOTH GFS AND THE NOGAPS WEAKEN FELICIA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FELICIA IS KEPT AT 40 KNOTS UNTIL WEAKENING BEGINS IN ABOUT 48 TO 72 HOURS WHEN THE CYCLONE REACHES COOLER WATERS. THE BEST ESTIMATED OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/16. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS LOCATED SOUTH OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHICH IS EXPANDING WESTWARD. FELICIA SHOULD CONTINUE ON THE GENERAL TRACK THROUGH 5 DAYS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS WHICH IN FACT ARE STILL IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 18/2100Z 15.5N 112.6W 40 KT 12HR VT 19/0600Z 16.0N 115.0W 40 KT 24HR VT 19/1800Z 16.5N 118.0W 40 KT 36HR VT 20/0600Z 17.0N 121.5W 40 KT 48HR VT 20/1800Z 17.5N 124.0W 40 KT 72HR VT 21/1800Z 18.5N 129.0W 30 KT 96HR VT 22/1800Z 19.5N 134.0W 25 KT 120HR VT 23/1800Z 22.0N 140.0W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:52 2003 X-UIDL: 32257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BC8LP5AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:17:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IKHNE7079997 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:17:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586B5048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 233474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IKAic9008080 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IKAh9d000119 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IKAhPk000116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:10:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182010.h6IKAhPk000116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 182000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI JUL 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:55 2003 X-UIDL: 32266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BAFPU5AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:46:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILkkE7001247 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:46:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjcD013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:39:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 235375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:39:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILd0c9048150 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ILcv9d002726 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:38:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ILcu74002725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:38:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:38:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182138.h6ILcu74002725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 182138 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 18 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM FELICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 112.6W AT 18/2100 UTC MOVING W AT 16 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS OF 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 18/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 98W/99W N OF 3N TO W OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WAVE MOTION IS MOVING W AT 10 KNOTS. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE THE CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED AND UNORGANIZED. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHEAST FROM A 1025 MB HIGH NEAR 34N133W TO THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 24N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... FELICIA IS MAINTAINING A SMALL YET SYMMETRIC CDO FEATURE WITH NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 113W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N98W 12N109W 8N120W 11N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 134W AND 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:55 2003 X-UIDL: 32268-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BC6RBTAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 06:19:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IMIvE7008021 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 06:18:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjeX013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:01:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 235826 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IM1Vc9056162 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IM1U9d003254 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:01:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IM1UBF003253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:01:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:01:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182201.h6IM1UBF003253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 182200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12N178W 05N172W 04N174W 04N180 07N180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 15S179W 16S172W 17S170W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 20S177W 21S173W 25S171W 25S173W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 TO 20 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:46 2003 X-UIDL: 32271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BBLT1YAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 06:56:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IMu4E7015065 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 06:56:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjh3013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:47:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 236624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IMlDc9035916 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IMlC9d003937 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:47:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IMlCkA003936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:47:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:47:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182247.h6IMlCkA003936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 182246 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUL 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:52 2003 X-UIDL: 32272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BC1T2BAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 06:56:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IMuSE7015161 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 06:56:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdQnV043400; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 236605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IMk2c9017248 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IMk29d003921 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IMk2KA003919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: For Additional Sea Height Information. Next Warnings At 182200z3, Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182246.h6IMk2KA003919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN33 PHNC 181600 RRC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182200Z3, 190400Z4, 191000Z1 AND 191600Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:52 2003 X-UIDL: 32273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BH1T5QAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 06:58:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IMwGE7015543 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 06:58:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILcWfp020514; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 236600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IMk2c9035894 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IMk29d003920 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IMk2l6003917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 075 Nm Northwest Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182246.h6IMk2l6003917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 181600 RRB 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.0N7 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.5N2 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.5N3 129.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.0N2 136.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 23.0N5 142.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 181600Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 110.8W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181200Z2 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:53 2003 X-UIDL: 32274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BM8TAKAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 07:01:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IN0iE7016005 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 07:00:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjgv013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:45:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 236573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:45:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IMj4c9044248 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IMj49d003898 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:45:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IMj4rj003897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:45:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:45:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182245.h6IMj4rj003897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 181600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 14.7N2 110.8W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 110.8W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.0N6 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.5N1 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.0N7 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.5N2 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.5N3 129.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.0N2 136.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 23.0N5 142.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 181600Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 110.8W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181200Z2 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182200Z3, 190400Z4, 191000Z1 AND 191600Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:53 2003 X-UIDL: 32275-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BRKTDJAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 07:03:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IN2sE7016494 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 07:03:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjh1013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 236594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IMjxc9017246 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IMjx9d003913 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IMjxL6003912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 17:45:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182245.h6IMjxL6003912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 181600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 14.7N2 110.8W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 110.8W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.0N6 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.5N1 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:55 2003 X-UIDL: 32281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BH81S9AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:04:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J24oE7055744 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:04:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILcWkB020514; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:01:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 238854 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:01:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J21Zc9058142 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J21Z9d006328 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:01:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J21ZRG006327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:01:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:01:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190201.h6J21ZRG006327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 190200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI JUL 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900B5O380AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:36:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J2ZrE7063070 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:35:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILcWkr020514; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:32:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 239052 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:32:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J2WSc9054058 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:32:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J2WS9d006730 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J2WSJa006729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:32:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190232.h6J2WSJa006729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 190232 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0300Z SAT JUL 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 114.3W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 114.3W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 113.5W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.7N 116.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.1N 119.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.6N 122.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.2N 125.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.5N 130.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 20.0N 135.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 22.0N 141.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 114.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:58 2003 X-UIDL: 32287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BTO46FAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:56:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J2uVE7067590 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:56:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjpX013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:52:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 239271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J2qIc9054134 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J2qI9d006993 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:52:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J2qI4s006992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:52:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:52:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190252.h6J2qI4s006992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 190252 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI JUL 18 2003 FELICIA FEATURES A PARTLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER THIS EVENING... WITH LIMITED THOUGH CURRENTLY INCREASING CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. THE STORM IS IN A LIGHT/MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW OVER THE WEST QUADRANT. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 40 KT FOR THIS PACKAGE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/15. FELICIA IS SOUTH OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND MODEL INITIALIZATIONS...WHICH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST BY ALL LARGE-SCALE MODELS. THE MODELS ALSO INDICATE AN INVERTED MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WEST OF FELICIA...ALTHOUGH THIS FEATURE IS NOT CURRENTLY APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THESE FEATURES SHOULD KEEP THE STORM ON A FAIRLY QUICK WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK...AND THIS IS AGREED UPON BY ALL GUIDANCE. THE TRACK FORECAST WILL BE NUDGED A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BASED ON THE CURRENT POSITION. ANALYSES FROM CIMSS AT THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN INDICATE ABOUT 15 KT OF SHEAR OVER FELICIA...SO THE CURRENT STATE OF DISORGANIZATION IS A LITTLE PUZZLING. LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THE SHEAR TO STAY RELATIVELY LIGHT FOR 36-48 HR...SO THE STORM COULD STRENGTHEN IF IT SOLVES WHATEVER PROBLEMS IT HAS RIGHT NOW. BASED ON THE PREMISE THAT THIS WILL HAPPEN...THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL CALL FOR SOME MODEST STRENGTHENING AT 24-36 HR. BEYOND THAT TIME... DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING SHEAR WILL LIKELY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0300Z 15.4N 114.3W 40 KT 12HR VT 19/1200Z 15.7N 116.6W 40 KT 24HR VT 20/0000Z 16.1N 119.5W 45 KT 36HR VT 20/1200Z 16.6N 122.4W 45 KT 48HR VT 21/0000Z 17.2N 125.3W 40 KT 72HR VT 22/0000Z 18.5N 130.5W 30 KT 96HR VT 23/0000Z 20.0N 135.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 24/0000Z 22.0N 141.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32293-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900B3I72UAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 11:59:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J3x9E7082213 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 11:59:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjr9013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:55:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 239870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:55:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J3tAc9016396 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:55:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J3tA9d007604 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:55:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J3tADq007603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:55:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:55:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190355.h6J3tADq007603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 190355 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 19 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM FELICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.4N 114.3W AT 19/0300 UTC MOVING W AT 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 99W N OF 5N TO 16N99W W OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MOVING W AT 10 KNOTS. A 0100Z QUIKSCAT PASS OVER THE WAVE DID NOT INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 96W AND 101W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHEAST FROM A 1026 MB HIGH NEAR 32N136W TO BAJA COAST NEAR 26N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... SATELLITE ANIMATION AND A 0129Z SSMI PASS DEPICT AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STORM IS IN A MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW OVER THE WEST SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 113W AND 116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N100W 8N106W 12N111W 9N117W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 78W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 101W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 135W TO 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ADVECTING OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 22N TO 25N EAST OF 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA EAST OF 79W. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BEO8K9AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 12:31:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J4VDE7089671 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 12:31:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjrh013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:28:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 240045 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J4SJc9054142 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J4SJ9d007965 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J4SJWn007964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:28:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190428.h6J4SJWn007964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 190428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUL 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BD19AMAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 12:47:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J4l3E7092953 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 12:47:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjrl013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:43:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 240093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:43:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J4hnc9041484 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:43:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J4hn9d008086 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:43:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J4hm8l008085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:43:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190443.h6J4hm8l008085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 190400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 15.3N9 113.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 113.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.7N3 116.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.1N8 119.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.6N3 122.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.2N0 125.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.5N4 130.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.0N2 135.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190000Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 113.5W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190000Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191000Z1, 191600Z7, 192200Z4 AND 200400Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32296-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BDY9BNAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 12:47:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J4leE7093057 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 12:47:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILcWnJ020514; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 240123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J4joc9036996 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J4jn9d008113 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J4jnfY008111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190445.h6J4jnfY008111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 190400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 15.3N9 113.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 113.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.7N3 116.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.1N8 119.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.6N3 122.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BEF9BTAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 12:47:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J4llE7093087 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 12:47:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjrt013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 240120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J4joc9051090 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J4jn9d008112 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J4jn8x008109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:45:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 075 Nm Northeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190445.h6J4jn8x008109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 190400 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.2N0 125.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.5N4 130.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.0N2 135.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190000Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 113.5W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190000Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191000Z1, 191600Z7, 192200Z4 AND 200400Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:04 2003 X-UIDL: 32300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BHLC5IAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:48:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J5mlE7007702 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:48:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjwX013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 241007 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J5fNc9007818 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J5fM9d008641 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J5fMHQ008639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190541.h6J5fMHQ008639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190152ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 117.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0, TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 135.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32303-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BLTDRNAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:23:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J6NZE7015463 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:23:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILcWon020514; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 241230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J6ATc9009562 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J6AS9d008904 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J6ASTr008902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190610.h6J6ASTr008902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190152ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 117.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 135.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: ADDED STORM NAME IN PARA 1.A.(1) AND TYPHOON ABBREVIATION (TY) TO PARA 1.A.(2). FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:09 2003 X-UIDL: 32307-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900B8ZHTLAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:51:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J7pDE7034243 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:51:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdj0R013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:45:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 241744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J7jsc9023874 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J7js9d009724 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J7jsQ9009723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:45:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190745.h6J7jsQ9009723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 190745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI JUL 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:10 2003 X-UIDL: 32309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BXFK2FAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:39:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J8diE7043988 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:39:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdj0x013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:33:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 241985 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:33:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J8XHc9040344 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:33:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J8XH9d010286 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J8XHtw010284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:33:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:33:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190833.h6J8XHtw010284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 190832 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0900Z SAT JUL 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 115.8W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 115.8W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 114.9W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.1N 118.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.6N 121.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.1N 124.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.6N 127.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.0N 132.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 20.1N 137.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 22.0N 142.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 115.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:10 2003 X-UIDL: 32310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900B6NK86AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:43:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J8hBE7044918 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:43:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdj0v013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:32:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 241977 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:32:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J8Wec9040332 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:32:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J8We9d010273 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:32:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J8WeJg010272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:32:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:32:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190832.h6J8WeJg010272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 190832 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/15. THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT FIVE DAYS WITH A STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THERE IS ALSO A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE STORM...BUT NONE OF THE GUIDANCE APPEARS TO REFLECT THIS FEATURE IN THEIR TRACK FORECASTS AND NEITHER DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WHICH FOLLOWS A BLEND OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. A CDO FEATURE PERSISTS NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE INITIAL WIND SPEED ESTIMATE IS 40 KNOTS...INHERITED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND SUPPORTED BY DVORAK ESTIMATES. MICROWAVE DATA SUGGESTS THE WIND SPEED MAY BE LOWER THAN 40 KNOTS. THE SHIPS MODEL SUGGESTS MODEST STRENGTHENING FOR 48 HOURS FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING OVER COOLER WATER AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0900Z 15.6N 115.8W 40 KT 12HR VT 19/1800Z 16.1N 118.0W 40 KT 24HR VT 20/0600Z 16.6N 121.1W 45 KT 36HR VT 20/1800Z 17.1N 124.0W 45 KT 48HR VT 21/0600Z 17.6N 127.1W 40 KT 72HR VT 22/0600Z 19.0N 132.5W 30 KT 96HR VT 23/0600Z 20.1N 137.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 24/0600Z 22.0N 142.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900B3IMDQAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:29:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9ThE7055745 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:29:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdQbF043400; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:25:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:25:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9P1c9054264 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:25:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J9P09d010773 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:25:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J9P007010772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:25:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:25:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190925.h6J9P007010772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 190924 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 19 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM FELICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 115.8W AT 19/0900 UTC MOVING W AT 16 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 100W S OF 14N MOVING W AT 10 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS DID NOT REVEAL THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER...RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED ANIMATION DEPICTS A BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER DEVELOPING NEAR 9N99W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 96W AND 102W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS SOUTHEAST FROM A 1025 MB HIGH NEAR 34N134W TO BAJA COAST NEAR 25N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0930 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... SATELLITE ANIMATION AND A 0432Z SSMI PASS DEPICT AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED NORTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE STORM REMAINS WITHIN A MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER...BURSTS OF CONVECTION CONTINUE TO FLARE UP SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 113W AND 116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N100W 8N106W 12N111W 9N117W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 103W...AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 137W TO 141W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 3N TO 7N EAST OF 79W. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32314-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BA2NDEAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:51:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9p6E7060372 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:51:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdj1b013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:46:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:46:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9kUc9023926 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J9kU9d010951 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J9kUM9010950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:46:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190946.h6J9kUM9010950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 190946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED...AND EXTEND EAST OF 140W...IN AREA BETWEEN 07N AND 11N EAST OF 142W. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BETWEEN 02N AND 10N WEST OF 170W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 17S173W 24S165W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32315-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BGFNJIAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:54:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9slE7061032 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:54:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdj1d013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:49:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:49:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9nsc9019442 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:49:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J9nr9d010975 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:49:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J9nrti010974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:49:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:49:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190949.h6J9nrti010974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 191000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 15.5N1 114.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 114.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.1N8 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.6N3 121.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.1N9 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.6N4 127.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.0N0 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.1N3 137.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.0N4 142.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190600Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 114.9W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190600Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191600Z7, 192200Z4, 200400Z6 AND 201000Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:13 2003 X-UIDL: 32316-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BHENL9AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:55:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9tpE7061220 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:55:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9Ytcx043400; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:52:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242386 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9pwc9041790 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J9pv9d011001 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J9pvaU010998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 075 Nm Northeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190951.h6J9pvaU010998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 191000 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.6N4 127.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.0N0 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.1N3 137.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.0N4 142.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190600Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 114.9W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190600Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:13 2003 X-UIDL: 32317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BHMNLAAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:55:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9tkE7061207 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:55:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdj1j013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242383 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9pwc9023970 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J9pv9d011000 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J9pvcb010999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:51:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Satellite Current Intensity Estimates Of 40 Knots. Maximum Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190951.h6J9pvcb010999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN33 PHNC 191000 RRC SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191600Z7, 192200Z4, 200400Z6 AND 201000Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:13 2003 X-UIDL: 32318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BI1NLRAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:56:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9u8E7061278 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:56:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9Ytd3043400; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:52:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:52:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9q2c9029318 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:52:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J9q19d011008 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:52:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J9q12B011007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:52:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:52:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190952.h6J9q12B011007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 191000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 15.5N1 114.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 114.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.1N8 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.6N3 121.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.1N9 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:14 2003 X-UIDL: 32320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BEYOE9AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 18:13:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JADAE7064760 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 18:13:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdj1t013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:03:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:03:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JA36c9036510 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JA369d011155 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:03:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JA35Kb011154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:03:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:03:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191003.h6JA35Kb011154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 191002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:27 2003 X-UIDL: 32336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BLRYGEAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:50:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JDoQE7019707 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:50:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqh1027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:46:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JDkBc9037078 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JDkB9d012942 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JDkBZc012941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:46:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191346.h6JDkBZc012941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 191345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT JUL 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00BCS04BAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:26:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JEQSE7027610 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:26:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqhl027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JEMfc9029296 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JEMf9d013232 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JEMekd013230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191422.h6JEMekd013230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 191422 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 1500Z SAT JUL 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 117.2W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 117.2W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 116.4W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 128.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.5N 134.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.5N 138.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 22.5N 143.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 117.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:31 2003 X-UIDL: 32340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00BD704RAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:26:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JEQgE7027636 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:26:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCtGe5013338; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JEMfc9041516 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JEMf9d013233 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JEMeqm013231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:22:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191422.h6JEMeqm013231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 191422 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 2003 THE CLOUD PATTERN IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS VERY DIFFICULT TO FIND ON IR IMAGES. A 1259Z TRMM PASS SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CENTER TO THE NORTH AND WELL REMOVED FROM THE CONVECTION. A SLIGHT STRAIGHTENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE WEAKENING OVER COOL WATERS BEGINS IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. FELICIA CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST AT 15 KNOTS AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE STEERING PATTERN IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE AND THIS IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 15.7N 117.2W 40 KT 12HR VT 20/0000Z 16.0N 119.5W 40 KT 24HR VT 20/1200Z 16.5N 122.5W 45 KT 36HR VT 21/0000Z 17.0N 125.5W 40 KT 48HR VT 21/1200Z 17.5N 128.5W 35 KT 72HR VT 22/1200Z 19.5N 134.5W 30 KT 96HR VT 23/1200Z 20.5N 138.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 24/1200Z 22.5N 143.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:33 2003 X-UIDL: 32345-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00BD63NQAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:43:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JFgtE7042562 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:42:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqit027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:38:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 244391 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:38:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JFc8c9036356 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:38:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JFc89d014013 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JFc8bD014012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:38:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191538.h6JFc8bD014012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 191538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 19 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 15.7N 117.2W AT 19/1500 UTC MOVING W 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W/81W N OF 3N MOVING W 15 KT. WEAK CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED WITHIN THE ITCZ JUST S OF THE GULF OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITH OCCASIONAL STRONG BURSTS FROM 4N-7.5N BETWEEN 78W-81W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED S OF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND MANZANILLO BUT THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE REMAINS DISORGANIZED WITH LARGE SPACING BETWEEN THE TSTM CLUSTERS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-20N BETWEEN 98W-106W. ..MEXICAN TROUGH LIES ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO...AND ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...FROM 19N104W 24N107W 32N114W. A 1010 MB MINIMUM IS LOCATED ALONG THE TROUGH NEAR 23N107W IN THE VICINITY OF MAZATLAN. SHOWERS AND TSTMS HAD DEVELOPED OVER WRN MEXICO EARLIER THIS MORNING AND NOW MANY OF THE REMNANT DISSIPATING SHOWERS ARE MOVING WWD ACROSS THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TOWARDS THE BAJA PENINSULA N OF 20N BETWEEN 107W-111W. ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST W OF THE AREA NEAR 31N141W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EWD ALONG 31N125W 25N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1515 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... FELICIA'S CONVECTION HAS BEEN LOCATED RIGHT ON TOP OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER...AND THE USE OF SHORTWAVE INFRARED IMAGERY OVERNIGHT HAS MADE LOCATING ITS POSITION RATHER DIFFICULT. THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE APPEARS RAGGED YET THERE IS SOME UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ALL BUT TO THE W OF THE SYSTEM. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12.5N-15N BETWEEN 116W-119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N95W 11N113W 7N125W 10N136W 9N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-93W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 106W-114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS MOVING WWD ACROSS COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA AND FROM 9N-12.5N BETWEEN 89W-92W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:34 2003 X-UIDL: 32346-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00BNX3Z0AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:49:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JFndE7043601 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:49:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCtGfD013338; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 244491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JFkFc9038162 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JFkF9d014091 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JFkEvb014088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Satellite Current Intensity Estimates Of 35 And 45 Knots. Maximum Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191546.h6JFkEvb014088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN33 PHNC 191600 RRC SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192200Z4, 200400Z6, 201000Z3 AND 201600Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:34 2003 X-UIDL: 32347-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00BOJ3ZFAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:50:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JFnrE7043638 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:49:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9YtuD043400; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 244494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JFkFc9025206 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JFkF9d014090 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JFkE2T014086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191546.h6JFkE2T014086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 191600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 15.6N2 116.4W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 116.4W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.0N7 119.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.5N2 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.0N8 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:35 2003 X-UIDL: 32348-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00BPP40BAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:50:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JFoQE7043744 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:50:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqj5027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 244488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JFkFc9025832 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JFkF9d014089 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JFkELe014085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:46:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 075 Nm Northeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191546.h6JFkELe014085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 191600 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.5N3 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.5N5 134.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.5N7 138.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.5N9 143.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191200Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.6N2 116.4W2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191200Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:36 2003 X-UIDL: 32350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00B0W4AKAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:56:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JFuaE7044974 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:56:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCtGfB013338; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:44:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 244474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:44:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JFiEc9045184 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:44:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JFiA9d014072 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:44:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JFiAkq014071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:44:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:44:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191544.h6JFiAkq014071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 191600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 15.6N2 116.4W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 116.4W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.0N7 119.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.5N2 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.0N8 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.5N3 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.5N5 134.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.5N7 138.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.5N9 143.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191200Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.6N2 116.4W2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191200Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192200Z4, 200400Z6, 201000Z3 AND 201600Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:37 2003 X-UIDL: 32352-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MMZ6DQBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 00:41:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JGfgE7054285 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 00:41:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqjl027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 11:37:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 244829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 11:37:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JGb7c9021982 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 11:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JGb79d014740 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 11:37:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JGb7EH014739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 11:37:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 11:37:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191637.h6JGb7EH014739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 191636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 685 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:38 2003 X-UIDL: 32355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MMZAOGBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:14:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JIEWE7078410 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:14:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqlX027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 245514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JIAKc9029748 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JIAJ9d015760 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JIAJrY015758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191810.h6JIAJrY015758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:39 2003 X-UIDL: 32357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MRHASWBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:17:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JIHDE7078866 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:17:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCtGh9013338; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 245517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JIAKc9019210 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JIAJ9d015761 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JIAJVL015759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:10:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191810.h6JIAJVL015759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32360-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00M6RF2SBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:49:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JJnXE7002850 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:49:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqnV027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:46:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 246429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:46:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JJk7c9048600 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:46:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JJk79d017062 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:46:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JJk7cl017061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:46:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:46:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191946.h6JJk7cl017061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 191945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT JUL 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:41 2003 X-UIDL: 32363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MXZH8KBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:36:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JKaDE7014162 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:36:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqpl027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:31:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 246935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JKVlc9038338 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JKVl9d017690 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JKVlnP017689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:31:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192031.h6JKVlnP017689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 192031 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 2100Z SAT JUL 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 118.2W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 118.2W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 117.5W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.8N 120.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N 129.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N 135.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.0N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 23.0N 144.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 118.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:42 2003 X-UIDL: 32365-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MD6HNPBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:45:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JKjHE7016138 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:45:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqpn027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:32:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 246942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:32:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JKWEc9038882 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:32:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JKWD9d017703 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:32:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JKWDJn017702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:32:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:32:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192032.h6JKWDJn017702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 192032 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 2003 THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS EXPOSED TO THE NORTH OF LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION. FELICIA IS HEADING FOR COOLER WATERS AND DRIER AIR AND ALTHOUGH IT MAY STILL DEVELOP INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION... A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS INDICATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 14 KNOTS AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE STEERING PATTERN IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE SO FELICIA SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK OR WEST-NORTHWEST UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECASTER AVILA/BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 15.6N 118.2W 35 KT 12HR VT 20/0600Z 15.8N 120.3W 35 KT 24HR VT 20/1800Z 16.0N 123.0W 35 KT 36HR VT 21/0600Z 16.5N 126.0W 30 KT 48HR VT 21/1800Z 17.5N 129.0W 25 KT 72HR VT 22/1800Z 19.5N 135.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 23/1800Z 21.0N 139.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 24/1800Z 23.0N 144.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:43 2003 X-UIDL: 32368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00M94KLJBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:48:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JLmUE7029728 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:48:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCtGnD013338; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:45:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 247914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JLjuc9055284 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:45:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JLjt9d018794 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:45:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JLjtXD018793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:45:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:45:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192145.h6JLjtXD018793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 192145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 05N148W 10N140W... EXTENDING EAST OF 140W...HAVE MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 02N180 EQ176W EXTENDING SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR THROUGH 01S174W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF POINT 24N153W HAS MOVED WEST NORTHWEST SLOWLY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE UPPER LOW ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 01S174W EQ176W EXTENDING NORTH OF THE EQUATOR THROUGH 02N180 HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FRONT/SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 17S172W 22S165W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 05 KT...WITH A DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 09S174W 13S170W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:43 2003 X-UIDL: 32369-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00M6MLJTBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 06:09:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JM9GPU066241 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 06:09:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqtp027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:04:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 248164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:04:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JM4gc9041266 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:04:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JM4g9d019040 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:04:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JM4gHk019039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:04:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:04:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192204.h6JM4gHk019039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 192204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 19 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM FELICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 118.2W AT 19/2100 UTC MOVING W 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 19/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W/83W N OF 3N IS MOVING W 15 KT. CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED WITHIN THE ITCZ S OF THE GULF OF PANAMA AT 6N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 79W-81W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W S OF 18N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED S OF THE MEXICAN COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 102W-108W. ..1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST NW OF THE AREA NEAR 33N142W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 23N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... FELICIA IS EXPERIENCING NE SHEAR AND IS WEAKENING SOME. AN EXPOSED CENTER IS NOTED WITH SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION S OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 118W-120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N101W 11N105W 8N120W 10N140W. IN ADDITION TO CONVECTION DUE TO TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 110W-113W...AND FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 125W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 11N-12N BETWEEN 85W-87W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 105W-107W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:44 2003 X-UIDL: 32370-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MTAMA7BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 06:25:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JMP8V7003496 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 06:25:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqquL027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:20:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 248333 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:20:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JMKGc9058322 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:20:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JMKG9d019173 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:20:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JMKGdI019172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:20:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:20:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192220.h6JMKGdI019172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 192200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 15.6N2 118.2W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 118.2W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.8N4 120.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.0N7 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.5N2 126.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5N3 129.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.5N5 135.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.0N3 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.0N5 144.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191800Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.6N2 118.2W2. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191707Z5 SSM/I AND VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN 31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200400Z6, 201000Z3, 201600Z9 AND 202200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:44 2003 X-UIDL: 32371-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MTEMA7BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 06:25:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JMPDV7003514 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 06:25:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqquN027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 248373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JMMKc9008722 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JMMK9d019192 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JMMKJj019191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192222.h6JMMKJj019191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 192200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 15.6N2 118.2W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 118.2W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.8N4 120.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.0N7 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.5N2 126.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:45 2003 X-UIDL: 32372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MTIMA8BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 06:25:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JMPDV7003516 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 06:25:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCtGnl013338; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 248376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JMMKc9009492 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JMMK9d019197 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JMMKPZ019194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:22:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 48 Hr Posit: 290 Deg/ 15 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192222.h6JMMKPZ019194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 192200 RRB VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5N3 129.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.5N5 135.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.0N3 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.0N5 144.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191800Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.6N2 118.2W2. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191707Z5 SSM/I AND VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN 31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200400Z6, 201000Z3, 201600Z9 AND 202200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 32374-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00M0JP2UBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 07:25:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNPTV7014285 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 07:25:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqq0j027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 18:22:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 249178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 18:22:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNMlc9025802 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 18:22:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JNMk9d019975 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 18:22:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JNMkeu019974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 18:22:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 18:22:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192322.h6JNMkeu019974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 192322 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 735 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:48 2003 X-UIDL: 32380-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00M2GVQ7BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:49:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K1nCV7042923 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:49:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqq5b027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:45:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 250793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K1jlc9029734 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K1jk9d021644 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K1jkMN021643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:45:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200145.h6K1jkMN021643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 200145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT JUL 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:52 2003 X-UIDL: 32387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00M8KYLIBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:51:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K2p8V7055722 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:51:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqB7027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 251917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K2luc9038798 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K2lt9d022424 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K2ltEF022423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200247.h6K2ltEF022423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 200247 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 2003 FELICIA CONTINUES TO GENERATE LIMITED CONVECTION ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CENTER. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 KT. GIVEN THE RAPID TRANSLATION SPEED...16 KT...I AM INCLINED TO GO WITH THE HIGHEST OF THESE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND THAT WILL KEEP FELICIA A TROPICAL STORM FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINAL FOR INTENSIFICATION. THE SHEAR IS LOW...BUT THE SURROUNDING AIR IS RATHER DRY. SSTS ARE MARGINAL...BETWEEN 26 AND 27C. THESE FACTORS ARGUE FOR NOT MUCH CHANGE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. AFTER THAT... HOWEVER...FELICIA SHOULD BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES AND COOLER WATERS AND THEN DISSIPATE. HOWEVER...IF THE DRY ENVIRONMENT DOMINATES THE CONVECTION THEN FELICIA WOULD DISSIPATE SOONER THAN INDICATED BELOW. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/16. THERE IS A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CYCLONE BUT IT APPEARS AS IF THERE IS INSUFFICIENT DEEP CONVECTION FOR FELICIA TO RESPOND TO IT. ALL THE GUIDANCE GRADUALLY CURVES THE TRACK TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST TOWARDS THIS WEAKNESS. HOW MUCH CURVATURE ACTUALLY DEVELOPS IS SOMEWHAT DEPENDENT ON HOW MUCH CONVECTION THE CYCLONE CAN GENERATE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FAVORS THE UKMET AND BAMS MODELS ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...AND IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF AND FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 15.5N 120.2W 35 KT 12HR VT 20/1200Z 15.6N 122.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 21/0000Z 16.2N 125.4W 35 KT 36HR VT 21/1200Z 16.8N 128.2W 30 KT 48HR VT 22/0000Z 17.5N 131.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 23/0000Z 19.0N 138.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 24/0000Z 21.0N 144.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 25/0000Z 24.5N 149.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:53 2003 X-UIDL: 32388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00M8OYLJBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:51:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K2pBV7055732 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:51:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZiJ051152; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 251920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K2luc9038238 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K2lu9d022427 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K2lu77022426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200247.h6K2lu77022426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 200247 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0300Z SUN JUL 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 120.2W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 120.2W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 119.4W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.6N 122.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.2N 125.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.8N 128.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.5N 131.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 138.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N 144.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 24.5N 149.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 120.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:54 2003 X-UIDL: 32391-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MBF2IHBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 12:15:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K4FeV7072322 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 12:15:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqDV027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:08:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252556 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:08:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K48wc9029922 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:08:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K48v9d023212 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:08:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K48vRO023211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:08:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:08:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200408.h6K48vRO023211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 200408 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 20 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM FELICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 120.2W AT 20/0300 UTC MOVING W 16 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W N OF 3N IS MOVING W 15 KT. UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE EXTENDING OVER THE REGION APPEARS TO BE SUPPRESSING THE CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 10 KT. A 20/0100Z QUIKSCAT PASS DID NOT INDICATE A WESTERLY SURFACE WIND COMPONENT BENEATH THE CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 107W. ..1026 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 33N139W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 17N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0330 UTC... TROPICAL STORM FELICIA... SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS RECENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER...THE MAJORITY OF THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS WELL SOUTH OF THE CENTER. FELICIA SHOULD BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER STRONG UPPER WESTERLIES AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHICH SHOULD WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 119W AND 121W. ELSEWHERE ISOLATED STRONG 50 NM FROM 15N119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N103W 9N114W 6N124W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 105W TO 112W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SOUTH OF PANAMA 60 NM FROM 7N82W. SCATTERED MODERATE OVER SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA 50 NM EITHER SIDE OF AN AXIS FROM 23N108W TO 27N111W MOVING WEST. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:54 2003 X-UIDL: 32392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00M2B37KBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 12:30:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K4UnV7075382 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 12:30:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqDd027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:28:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:28:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K4SKc9035312 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K4SK9d023341 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:28:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K4SK5v023340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:28:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:28:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200428.h6K4SK5v023340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 200428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUL 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 840 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:55 2003 X-UIDL: 32394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MKR3UYBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 12:44:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K4inV7077516 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 12:44:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqDl027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:42:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:42:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K4gec9030282 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:42:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K4ge9d023472 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:42:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K4ge23023471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:42:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:42:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200442.h6K4ge23023471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 200400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 15.5N1 119.4W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 119.4W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 15.6N2 122.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.2N9 125.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.8N5 128.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.5N3 131.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.0N0 138.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200000Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 119.4W5. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 585 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200000Z2 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN 30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201000Z3, 201600Z9, 202200Z6 AND 210400Z7.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:55 2003 X-UIDL: 32395-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MPP3ZPBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 12:47:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K4lfV7078212 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 12:47:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqDn027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252687 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K4ifc9036524 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K4ie9d023509 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K4ieQR023506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200444.h6K4ieQR023506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 200400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 15.5N1 119.4W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 119.4W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 15.6N2 122.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.2N9 125.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.8N5 128.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.5N3 131.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.0N0 138.0W2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32396-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MR040DBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 12:48:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K4m7V7078343 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 12:48:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZjJ051152; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K4ifc9035214 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K4ie9d023511 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K4iewd023508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 23:44:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 020 Kt, Gusts 030 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200444.h6K4iewd023508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 200400 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200000Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 119.4W5. TROPICAL STORM 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 585 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200000Z2 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN 30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201000Z3, 201600Z9, 202200Z6 AND 210400Z7.// BT .0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:58 2003 X-UIDL: 32400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00M1JDBRBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:09:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K89JV7016871 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:09:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZnt051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:01:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 254167 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:01:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K81dc9046584 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K81d9d025478 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K81dod025477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:01:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200801.h6K81dod025477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 200800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT JUL 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MVQGAQBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:13:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K9DHV7030258 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:13:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqJj027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 254777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K987c9045208 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K9869d026195 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K986He026194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200908.h6K986He026194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 200907 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0900Z SUN JUL 20 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 121.4W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 121.4W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 120.7W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 15.2N 123.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.7N 126.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.5N 129.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.5N 133.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.0N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 21.5N 145.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 24.5N 151.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 121.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32406-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MWAGAZBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:13:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K9DeV7030354 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:13:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZpJ051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 254782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K98Bc9045214 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K98B9d026202 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K98B52026201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:08:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200908.h6K98B52026201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 200907 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 2003 FELICIA CONTINUES TO GENERATE LIMITED CONVECTION ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CENTER...BUT A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 02Z THAT SHOWS ONLY A FEW RAIN-FLAGGED 35 KT VECTORS IN THE CONVECTION SUGGESTS THAT FELICIA HAS WEAKENED. THERE ARE NO SATELLITE ESTIMATES THAT INDICATE TROPICAL STORM STATUS EITHER. THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER THE CYCLONE ARE DIVERGENT AND DO NOT APPEAR ALL THAT UNFAVORABLE...BUT THE SURROUNDING ENVIRONMENT IS RATHER DRY. SSTS ARE MARGINAL... BETWEEN 26 AND 27C. THESE FACTORS ARGUE FOR NOT MUCH CHANGE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. EAST PACIFIC STORMS THAT WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION RARELY REDEVELOP...BUT THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS BOTH RESTRENGTHEN THE CYCLONE. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER FELICIA REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STATUS...AFTER 36 HOURS IT SHOULD BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES AS WELL AS COOLER WATERS AND THEN DISSIPATE. SSMI AND QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE THAT FELICIA HAS SLIPPED SOUTHWARD AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS 260/14. IN SPITE OF THIS...ALL THE GUIDANCE GRADUALLY CURVES THE TRACK TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. HOW MUCH CURVATURE ACTUALLY DEVELOPS IS SOMEWHAT DEPENDENT ON HOW MUCH CONVECTION THE CYCLONE CAN GENERATE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AGAIN FAVORS THE UKMET AND BAMS MODELS ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...AND AGAIN IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 15.2N 121.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 20/1800Z 15.2N 123.7W 30 KT 24HR VT 21/0600Z 15.7N 126.6W 30 KT 36HR VT 21/1800Z 16.5N 129.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 22/0600Z 17.5N 133.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 23/0600Z 19.0N 139.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 24/0600Z 21.5N 145.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 25/0600Z 24.5N 151.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MU9I15BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:51:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K9osV7037119 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:50:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqKX027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:44:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 255103 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:44:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K9ijc9021076 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:44:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K9ij9d026536 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:44:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K9ijTS026535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:44:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:44:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200944.h6K9ijTS026535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 200944 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 20 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.2N 121.4W AT 20/0900 UTC MOVING W 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W N OF 3N IS MOVING W 10 KT. UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 4N94W WITH ASSOCIATED TROUGH EXTENDING EAST OVER COSTA RICA APPEARS TO BE SUPPRESSING THE CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF AN AXIS FROM 8N106W TO 14N108W. ..1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 33N140W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 20N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0930 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS THAT AREAL COVERAGE HAS INCREASED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUE NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N103W 9N114W 6N124W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS E OF 82W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 105W TO 112W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA 50 NM EITHER SIDE OF AN AXIS FROM 25N109W TO 28N112W MOVING WEST. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32409-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MRWJ0QBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 18:12:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KACIV7040770 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 18:12:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqKb027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:06:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 255217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:06:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KA6dc9010606 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:06:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KA6c9d026724 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:06:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KA6c4f026723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:06:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:06:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201006.h6KA6c4f026723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 201006 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 915 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00M1EJ89BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 18:16:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KAGlV7041729 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 18:16:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqKZ027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:02:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 255193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:02:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KA2kc9028640 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:02:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KA2h9d026703 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:02:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KA2hb4026702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:02:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:02:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201002.h6KA2hb4026702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 201001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 09N171E 07N175E 07N178W 01N176W 02S178E 03N171E 06N169E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N174W 08N161W 04N162W 05N175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N140W 08N146W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 25N156W 23N158W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 TO 20 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 20N173W 18N178W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SHEAR LINE/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 04S153E 13S170E 21S170W 25S162W 25S171W 23S178W 22S175E 08S150E 04S150E. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. FRONT/UPPER TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W AND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 20S130W 23S120W 25S120W 25S128W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07S175W 09S166W 14S173W 13S175W 10S173W 08S175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MKDKPRBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 18:49:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KAmoV7047361 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 18:48:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KAN2eD026732; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:45:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 255492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KAj3c9040692 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KAj39d027033 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:45:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KAj3ou027032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:45:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:45:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201045.h6KAj3ou027032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 201000 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 010 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 06E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 15.2N8 120.7W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 120.7W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.2N8 123.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.7N3 126.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.5N2 129.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.5N3 133.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200600Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 120.7W0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 680 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200600Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201600Z9, 202200Z6, 210400Z7 AND 211000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:03 2003 X-UIDL: 32413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MP7KUCBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 18:51:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KApeV7047811 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 18:51:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZqZ051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 255527 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KAl2c9008378 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KAl29d027042 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KAl2oe027041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Satellite Current Intensity Estimates Of 30 Knots. Maximum Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201047.h6KAl2oe027041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN33 PHNC 201000 RRB SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201600Z9, 202200Z6, 210400Z7 AND 211000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:03 2003 X-UIDL: 32414-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MRVKY4BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 18:54:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KArvV7048116 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 18:53:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqLB027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 255530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KAl4c9030354 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KAl49d027047 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KAl4LW027046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:47:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201047.h6KAl4LW027046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 201000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 010 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 06E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 15.2N8 120.7W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 120.7W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 15.2N8 123.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.7N3 126.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.5N2 129.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.5N3 133.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200600Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 120.7W0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 680 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200600Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:06 2003 X-UIDL: 32419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MF8TVJBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:06:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KE6gV7084415 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:06:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqPj027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:01:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:01:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KE1Oc9040476 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KE1N9d028403 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KE1NQ0028402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:01:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201401.h6KE1NQ0028402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 201400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN JUL 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:06 2003 X-UIDL: 32422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MGIUUKBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:27:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KERiV7088330 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:27:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqQ3027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:24:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:24:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KEOjc9015840 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:24:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KEOi9d028498 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:24:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KEOiG6028497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:24:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:24:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201424.h6KEOiG6028497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 201424 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 1500Z SUN JUL 20 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 122.9W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 122.9W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 122.2W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 15.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 128.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.8N 131.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.5N 134.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.0N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.5N 145.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 24.0N 151.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 122.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MOTUY3BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:30:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KETsV7088849 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:29:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqQ5027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:25:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:25:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KEPcc9015852 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:25:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KEPb9d028504 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:25:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KEPbwH028503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:25:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:25:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201425.h6KEPbwH028503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 201425 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 2003 THERE HAS BEEN A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION...WITH LITTLE EVIDENCE OF BANDING HOWEVER. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS APPARENTLY LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE MAIN AREA OF CONVECTION BUT THE CIRCULATION MAY BE ELONGATED NORTH-SOUTH. FELICIA WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO GENERATE INTERMITTENT CONVECTIVE BURSTS FOR ANOTHER DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...COOLER SSTS AND DRIER MORE STABLE AIR ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DISSIPATE TO A REMNANT LOW IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN MOVING IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION...WITH STEERING BEING PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A MID-LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH OR CUTOFF CYCLONE TO THE NORTHWEST OF FELICIA...WHICH COULD CAUSE A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION TO DEVELOP. HOWEVER...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE MODELS MAY BE OVERSTATING THE PRESENCE OF THIS FEATURE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE SUITE. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 15.3N 122.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 21/0000Z 15.5N 125.0W 30 KT 24HR VT 21/1200Z 16.0N 128.0W 30 KT 36HR VT 22/0000Z 16.8N 131.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 22/1200Z 17.5N 134.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 23/1200Z 19.0N 140.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 24/1200Z 21.5N 145.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 25/1200Z 24.0N 151.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:10 2003 X-UIDL: 32431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MXSYD2BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:43:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KFhgV7003397 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:43:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZwx051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 258649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KFesc9005070 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KFer9d029188 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KFer68029184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Significant Wave Height At 201200z5 Is 10 Feet. Refer To Wtpn31 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201540.h6KFer68029184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN33 PHNC 201600 RRB SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WTPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202200Z6, 210400Z7, 211000Z4 AND 211600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32432-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MYAYDQBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:44:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KFhwV7003467 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:44:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqTV027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 258644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KFesc9029298 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KFer9d029187 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KFerE6029183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:40:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201540.h6KFerE6029183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 201600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 15.2N8 122.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 122.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.5N1 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.0N7 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.8N5 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.5N3 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201200Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 122.2W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1895 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201200Z5 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32433-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00M00YF2BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:45:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KFirV7003654 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:44:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqTL027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:38:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 258614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:38:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KFbwc9039836 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:37:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KFbv9d029160 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:37:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KFbvo9029159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:37:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:37:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201537.h6KFbvo9029159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 201600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 15.2N8 122.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 122.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.5N1 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.0N7 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.8N5 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.5N3 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201200Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 122.2W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1895 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201200Z5 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WTPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202200Z6, 210400Z7, 211000Z4 AND 211600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32434-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MK5Z08BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:57:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KFvVV7005886 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:57:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZxJ051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:48:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 258750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:48:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KFmjc9005094 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:48:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KFmi9d029284 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KFmihd029283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:48:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201548.h6KFmihd029283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 201548 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 20 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 122.9W AT 20/1500 UTC MOVING W 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W N OF 4N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. CLASSIC INVERTED V PATTERN APPARENT IN THE ITCZ IS INDICATIVE OF WAVE AXIS. SIMILARLY SHIP OBSERVATIONS W OF THE AXIS INDICATING MODERATE NE WINDS AND CORRESPONDING QUITE WELL WITH 1200 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS ACROSS THIS AREA. ONLY WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED 90 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS ALONG 9N. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS. ..1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED N OF AREA NEAR 33N140W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 20N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1515 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... LATEST INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE CONTINUED AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED S OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES TODAY FURTHER CONFIRM A PARTIALLY EXPOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER OVER THE SE SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE FELICIA...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS EVIDENT. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N85W 7N103W 9N110W 8N114W 11N119W 9N129W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS NEAR 84W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS FROM 103W TO 106W. DEVELOPING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS W OF 137W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS E OF 78W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 21N107W OFF THE W COAST OF MEXICO. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 11.5N91W. $$ HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00HJQ1JIUO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:52:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KGqIV7016866 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:52:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqUx027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 11:49:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 259099 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 11:49:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KGnEc9010286 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 11:49:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KGnE9d029797 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 11:49:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KGnDwJ029796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 11:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 11:49:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201649.h6KGnDwJ029796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 201649 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32437-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00H4M500UO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:07:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KI6oV7033367 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:06:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KAN2Gt026732; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 259787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KI26c9022162 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KI259d000651 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KI25Th000649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201802.h6KI25Th000649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:13 2003 X-UIDL: 32439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00HAZ56MUO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:11:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KIB3V7034170 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:11:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqXR027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 259784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KI26c9021144 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KI259d000652 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KI25U0000650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:02:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201802.h6KI25U0000650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:15 2003 X-UIDL: 32443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00HA9AG0UO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:04:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KK4eV7063653 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:04:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqbR027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:01:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 261502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KK18c9048458 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:01:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KK189d002160 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KK18uv002159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:01:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202001.h6KK18uv002159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 202000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN JUL 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:15 2003 X-UIDL: 32445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00HOWCCYUO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:46:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKk2V7073295 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:46:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQndh027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 262024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKh1c9047214 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KKh19d002646 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KKh1aH002645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202043.h6KKh1aH002645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 202042 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN JUL 20 2003 THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO NOTE THIS AFTERNOON IS THAT THE FORWARD MOTION HAS SLOWED TO ABOUT 11 KT. THIS NECESSITATES AN ADJUSTMENT TO THE TRACK FORECAST...WHICH IS SIGNIFICANTLY SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE BUT ALONG MORE OR LESS THE SAME HEADING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CONTINUES TO BE ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE SUITE. THIS IS PRIMARILY BECAUSE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE INITIALIZING TOO MUCH OF A MID-LEVEL WEAKNESS TO THE NORTHWEST OF FELICIA...AND LEADING TO A NORTHWARD BIAS TO MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-CLOUD CENTER TO BE JUST NORTH OF THE MAIN AREA OF DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION...AND DVORAK T-NUMBERS REMAIN JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. FELICIA WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SOME BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO DISSIPATE TO A REMNANT LOW IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 15.3N 123.2W 30 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 15.5N 125.2W 30 KT 24HR VT 21/1800Z 15.9N 127.7W 30 KT 36HR VT 22/0600Z 16.4N 130.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 22/1800Z 17.0N 132.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 23/1800Z 18.5N 138.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 24/1800Z 20.5N 143.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 25/1800Z 22.5N 148.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:16 2003 X-UIDL: 32446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00HPLCDGUO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:46:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKkLV7073406 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:46:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZ6r051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 262038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKhLc9048334 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KKhK9d002661 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KKhKrl002660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:43:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202043.h6KKhKrl002660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 202043 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 2100Z SUN JUL 20 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 123.2W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 123.2W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 122.7W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.5N 125.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.9N 127.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.4N 130.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.0N 132.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.5N 138.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 20.5N 143.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 22.5N 148.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 123.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:17 2003 X-UIDL: 32449-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00HV3DLQUO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:13:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KLCtV7078751 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:12:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQngX027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:09:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 262777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:09:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KL9Kc9041338 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:09:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KL9J9d002964 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:09:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KL9JT8002963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:09:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:09:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202109.h6KL9JT8002963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 202109 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 20 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.3N 123.2W AT 20/2100 UTC MOVING W 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 20/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W/90W N OF 4N TO EL SALVADOR MOVING W 10-15 KT. WHILE THE SYSTEM IS ENHANCING NE WIND TO THE N OF THE WAVE INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...THERE IS NOT MUCH CONVECTION WITH THIS WAVE. ONLY A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED TO THE E FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 83W-87W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED A BROAD YET WEAK AREA OF LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS N OF THIS AREA OF TURNING AND REMAINS DISORGANIZED. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 109W-114W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N130W EXTENDING SEWD TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2030 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM WITH LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINING PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE N SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 122W-125W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N100W 8N110W 12N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-110W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 136W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 105W-110W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:17 2003 X-UIDL: 32451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00H26FZTUO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 06:04:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KM4XV7088612 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 06:04:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnid027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:01:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 263736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KM1fc9041818 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KM1e9d003643 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KM1eGT003642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:01:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202201.h6KM1eGT003642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 202200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 08N140W 04N153W 05N160W 12N140W AND EXTENDING EAST MOVED WEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 10N163W 03N167W 06N179E 09N178E MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW BOUNDED BY 21N177W 12N169W 13N174W 19N179W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NONE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 04S177W 10S171W 08S175E MOVED NORTHWEST 15 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE. NEW ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 08S167W. NEW ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 23S121W. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:18 2003 X-UIDL: 32452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00CGFGPPZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 06:20:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KMK6V7091560 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 06:20:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZBT051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:15:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 263860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:15:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KMF8c9025600 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:15:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KMF79d003778 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:15:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KMF74B003777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:15:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:15:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202215.h6KMF74B003777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 202200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 15.3N9 122.7W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 122.7W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.5N1 125.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.9N5 127.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.4N1 130.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.0N8 132.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201800Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 122.7W2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1860 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201800Z1 MULTI-SPECTRAL AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WTPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210400Z7, 211000Z4, 211600Z0 AND 212200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:18 2003 X-UIDL: 32453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00CJ4GRXZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 06:21:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KMLPV7091807 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 06:21:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZBZ051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 263901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KMIGc9055052 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KMIG9d003823 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KMIFZB003822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202218.h6KMIFZB003822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 202200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 15.3N9 122.7W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 122.7W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.5N1 125.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.9N5 127.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.4N1 130.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.0N8 132.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201800Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 122.7W2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1860 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201800Z1 MULTI-SPECTRAL AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:19 2003 X-UIDL: 32454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00CJKGSEZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 06:21:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KMLiV7091857 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 06:21:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnjt027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 263898 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KMIDc9055046 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KMIC9d003817 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KMICxq003816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:18:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Maximum Significant Wave Height At 201800z Is 10 Feet. Refer To Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202218.h6KMICxq003816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN33 PHNC 202200 RRB MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WTPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210400Z7, 211000Z4, 211600Z0 AND 212200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:19 2003 X-UIDL: 32455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00C3NHQ8ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 06:42:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KMg1V7094700 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 06:42:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnkt027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:38:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 264219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:38:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KMcNc9038672 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:38:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KMcN9d004043 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:38:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KMcNVZ004042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:38:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:38:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202238.h6KMcNVZ004042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 202238 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUL 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1010 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. WHILE THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 11:02:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32463-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00CHWR3DZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:04:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L24HV7041718 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:04:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnx1027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:01:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:01:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L211c9013312 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L2109d007018 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L21035007008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:01:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210201.h6L21035007008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 210200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN JUL 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 11:02:14 2003 X-UIDL: 32467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00CWNSRRZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:40:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L2eUV7053898 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:40:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQn1f027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:37:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:37:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L2btc9041344 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:37:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L2bs9d007477 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:37:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L2bswM007476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:37:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:37:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210237.h6L2bswM007476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 210237 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0300Z MON JUL 21 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 124.2W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 124.2W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 123.7W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.9N 125.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.3N 128.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.8N 131.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.5N 133.9W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.0N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.0N 144.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 124.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 11:02:15 2003 X-UIDL: 32469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00C3IT8NZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:50:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L2odV7056934 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:50:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQn2H027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:48:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267990 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:48:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L2mRc9038296 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:48:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L2mR9d007625 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L2mRZQ007624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:48:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210248.h6L2mRZQ007624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 210248 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN JUL 20 2003 FELICIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...WITH OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT FROM AFWA...AND 30 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/9. FELICIA IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LARGE-SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. LARGE-SCALE MODELS INDICATE THAT THE PORTION OF THIS RIDGE WEST OF 130W SHOULD WEAKEN DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A DEEP TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FELICIA TO GRADUAL TURN MORE NORTHWARD. MOST TRACK GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THE SCENARIO...ALTHOUGH THERE IS A SPREAD IN THE SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL SOMEWHAT ACCELERATE FELICIA TO A COMPROMISE SPEED BETWEEN THE FASTER BAM MODELS AND THE SLOWER DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE. ONE POSSIBILITY TO BE WATCHED IS THAT FELICIA...OR ITS REMAINS...COULD TURN MORE WESTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NOW SHOWS DEVELOPING NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR OVER FELICIA. THIS SHOULD PREVENT SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION... ALTHOUGH IT COULD LEAD TO SOME CONVECTIVE BURSTS WHILE THE CYCLONE REMAINS ALIVE. THE SHEAR AND THE FORECAST MOTION OVER COOLER WATER SHOULD LEAD TO THE DEMISE OF THE CYCLONE IS 36-48 HR...WITH THE REMNANT LOW DISSIPATING BY 120 HR. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 15.6N 124.2W 30 KT 12HR VT 21/1200Z 15.9N 125.9W 30 KT 24HR VT 22/0000Z 16.3N 128.6W 30 KT 36HR VT 22/1200Z 16.8N 131.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 23/0000Z 17.5N 133.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 24/0000Z 19.0N 139.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 25/0000Z 21.0N 144.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 12:10:46 2003 X-UIDL: 32480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00C1KWGMZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 12:00:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L40FV7080954 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 12:00:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQn5D027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:58:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 268912 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:57:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L3vxc9040024 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:57:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L3vw9d008524 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:57:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L3vw98008523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:57:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:57:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210357.h6L3vw98008523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 210357 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 21 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 124.2W AT 21/0300 UTC MOVING W 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ALL PREVIOUS INDICATORS OF THE WAVE'S POSITION HAVE JUST ABOUT DISAPPEARED SO ITS LOCATION IS JUST AN ADVANCEMENT OF THE PREVIOUS POSITION. THE AREA BETWEEN THE ITCZ AND THE COAST OF MEXICO/CNTRL AMERICA IS ODDLY FREE OF CLOUDS/CONVECTION SO FOR NOW THE WAVE WILL GO LARGELY UNNOTICED. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W S OF 18N MOVING W 15-20 KT. A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 14N BUT ALMOST ALL CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 109W-116W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N131W AND EXTENDS SE TO 21N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0330 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF FELICIA REMAINS EXPOSED TO THE N OF THE MAIN BULK OF CONVECTION...OR WHAT'S LEFT OF THE CONVECTION. ALTHOUGH DISORGANIZED...TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 123W-126W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS E OF FELICIA FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 118W-122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N95W 11N112W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER PANAMA AND THE NEAR COASTAL WATERS FROM 6.5N-10N BETWEEN 78W-82.5W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6.5N-8N BETWEEN 110W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER NW MEXICO AND IS MOVING WWD TOWARDS THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 27N TO THE ARIZONA BORDER BETWEEN 108.5W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE OVER WRN MEXICO AND THE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM 19N-26N BETWEEN 101W-108W BETWEEN MANZANILLO AND MAZATLAN. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 12:20:41 2003 X-UIDL: 32481-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00CA4XBZZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 12:19:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L4J3V7087020 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 12:19:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQn5v027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:16:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 269210 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:16:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L4GUc9035192 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:16:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L4GU9d008804 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:16:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L4GUqJ008803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:16:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:16:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210416.h6L4GUqJ008803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 210416 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUL 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1055 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED ..BUT SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 14:47:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32488-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00C26267ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:03:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L63XV7023815 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:03:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnCJ027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 270502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L5tZc9046932 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L5tZ9d009993 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L5tZKE009991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210555.h6L5tZKE009991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210152ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 112.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 128.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF LUZON, TRACKING WEST-NORTWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS GUSTING TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.4N7 146.5E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.8N2 145.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES SPEED CONVERGENCE IN THE EASTERLIES WITH WEAK CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW TO THE SOUTHWEST. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS MARGINAL DIFFLUENCE OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 16:07:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CNR7UVZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:06:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L86KV7063315 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:06:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnFj027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:01:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 271586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L81Wc9032170 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L81V9d011464 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L81VhI011463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:01:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210801.h6L81VhI011463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 210800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUL 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 16:37:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32509-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CCF8UAZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:27:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8REV7069738 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:27:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnGJ027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:20:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 271697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:20:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8Knc9035230 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:20:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L8Km9d011635 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:20:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L8Km3k011634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:20:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:20:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210820.h6L8Km3k011634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 210820 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0900Z MON JUL 21 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 125.3W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 125.3W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 124.8W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.1N 127.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.6N 129.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.2N 132.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.9N 135.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.5N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 21.5N 145.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 125.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 17:07:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CYSAAKZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:59:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8wxV7080570 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:59:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZZR051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:54:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 271984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:54:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8s4c9056302 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:54:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L8s39d012055 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:54:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L8s37v012054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:54:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:54:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210854.h6L8s37v012054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 210853 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2003 FELICIA REMAINS UNDER MODERATE NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. DEEP CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY REDEVELOPED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT FROM AFWA AND SAB...AND 30 KT FROM TAFB. HOWEVER...SINCE THE RECENT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS NOT PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN JUST A FEW HOURS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 30 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 280/11. THIS MOTION KEEPS FELICIA ON TRACK WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. FELICIA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT REMAINS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS A BLEND OF THE GLOBAL MODELS AND THE MEDIUM AND SHALLOW BAM MODELS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT FELICIA IS MOVING ALONG A SHARP MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL MOISTURE GRADIENT WITH AN ABUNDANCE OF DRY AIR JUST NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. THE DRY AIR...IN COMBINATION WITH THE CONTINUED NORTHWEST TO EVENTUALLY WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR... SHOULD PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING FORM OCCURRING. IT IS POSSIBLE...HOWEVER...THAT FELICIA COULD BRIEFLY REACH MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS DURING ONE OF THE BRIEF PERIODS OF CONVECTIVE BURSTING. BY 36 HOURS...FELICIA WILL BE MOVING OVER SUB-24C SSTS...WHICH SHOULD INITIATE A RAPID WEAKENING TREND AND EVENTUAL DISSIPATION BY DAY 5...IF NOT SOONER. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 15.8N 125.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 21/1800Z 16.1N 127.3W 30 KT 24HR VT 22/0600Z 16.6N 129.9W 30 KT 36HR VT 22/1800Z 17.2N 132.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 23/0600Z 17.9N 135.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 24/0600Z 19.5N 140.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 25/0600Z 21.5N 145.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 17:47:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CYGCC4ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:43:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L9h7V7093635 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:43:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnI3027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 272255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L9clc9027462 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L9ck9d012487 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L9ckYw012484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210938.h6L9ckYw012484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 211000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 15.7N3 124.8W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 124.8W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.1N8 127.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.6N3 129.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.2N0 132.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.9N7 135.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210600Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.7N3 124.8W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1745 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210600Z9 MULTI-SPECTRAL AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 17:47:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CZBCCEZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:43:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L9h4V7093613 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:43:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnI1027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:36:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 272252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:36:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L9agc9010572 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:36:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L9ag9d012465 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:36:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L9af2a012464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:36:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:36:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210936.h6L9af2a012464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 211000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 15.7N3 124.8W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 124.8W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.1N8 127.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.6N3 129.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.2N0 132.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.9N7 135.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210600Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.7N3 124.8W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1745 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210600Z9 MULTI-SPECTRAL AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211600Z0, 212200Z7, 220400Z8 AND 221000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 17:47:03 2003 X-UIDL: 32521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CZNCCKZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:43:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L9hPV7093706 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:43:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZaR051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 272258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L9clc9010578 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L9ck9d012488 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L9ckP2012486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:38:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Maximum Significant Wave Height At 210600z9 Is 10 Feet. Refer To Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210938.h6L9ckP2012486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN33 PHNC 211000 RRB MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211600Z0, 212200Z7, 220400Z8 AND 221000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 17:47:03 2003 X-UIDL: 32522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CBYCIBZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:46:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L9krV7094891 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:46:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnI5027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:39:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 272264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:39:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L9dUc9058184 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:39:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L9dP9d012495 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:39:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L9dPQk012494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:39:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:39:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210939.h6L9dPQk012494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 210939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 21 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 15.8N 125.3W AT 21/0900 UTC MOVING W 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED CLOUD ELEMENTS PROVIDE A HINT OF A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC BUT OTHERWISE THE AREA N OF THE ITCZ IS FREE OF CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 113W S OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT. CYCLONIC ROTATION IS STILL OBSERVED NEAR 14N ALONG THE WAVE AXIS BUT ONLY AN ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM CELL IS LOCATED WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N115W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N138W AND EXTENDS SE TO 27N128W TO THE SRN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH FELICIA HAS BEEN ABLE TO REDEVELOP THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT IS BEING SHEARED TO THE SE SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM. THE SYSTEM IS ALSO BEING AFFECTED BY A LARGE AREA OF DRY MID/UPPER LEVEL AIR TO ITS N AND W. FELICIA WILL SOON BEGIN TO CROSS A STRONG SST GRADIENT AND SHOULD DISSIPATE INTO A REMNANT LOW OVER THE NEXT 48 HRS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-16.5N BETWEEN 123W-127W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N76W 9N85W 8N99W 11N110W 9N116W 9N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA...ERN PANAMA...AND NW COLOMBIA FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 76W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE OVER COASTAL WATERS OF WRN PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 82W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-98W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 98W-109W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 111W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 137.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION MOVING W OVER NW MEXICO AND THE NRN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 27.5N TO CNTRL ARIZONA BETWEEN 110W-114W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 18:17:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CQSDLIZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 18:10:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LAANV7002070 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 18:10:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnID027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:02:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 272349 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:02:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LA2Kc9046982 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:02:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LA2K9d012704 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:02:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LA2K0N012703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:02:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:02:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211002.h6LA2K0N012703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 211001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N168W 05N170W 03N178W 06N180 08N178W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N141W 07N142W 04N167W 06N165W 09N154W 09N143W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SHEAR LINE/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 06S150E 11S159E 20S171W 25S160W 25S172E 18S163E 12S147E. FEATURE MOVING SLOWLY WEST NORTH OF 15S AND MOVING SLOWLY EAST SOUTH OF 15S. SURFACE LOW/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W AND SOUTH OF 25S ARE BOUNDED BY 18S122W 20S120W 24S120W 25S122W 18S124W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 05S179E 06S178W 15S177W 13S174E 07S173E 05S176E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 TO 20 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 18:37:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32529-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CWZEMQZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 18:32:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LAWdV7009031 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 18:32:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZap051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:27:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 272550 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LARFc9046400 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LARF9d012917 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:27:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LARFGq012916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:27:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:27:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211027.h6LARFGq012916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 211026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1060 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...HAS RE-ORGANIZED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CIJONLZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:09:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LE99V7069036 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:09:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZij051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:01:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 274698 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LE1Qc9057750 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LE1P9d016604 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LE1PLv016603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:01:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211401.h6LE1PLv016603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 211400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON JUL 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:35 2003 X-UIDL: 32562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CDJQV5ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:57:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LEuwV7082704 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:57:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnUX027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:53:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 275003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LEjuc9046394 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:45:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LEju9d018331 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LEjjP8018321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:45:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211445.h6LEjjP8018321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 211445 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 1500Z MON JUL 21 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 126.8W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 126.8W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 126.2W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.4N 128.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.8N 131.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.2N 134.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.8N 136.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.0N 142.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.0N 147.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 126.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:36 2003 X-UIDL: 32566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00C0LR7AZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:04:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LF4FV7085027 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:04:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZjp051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:56:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 275152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LEtmc9016734 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LEtm9d018779 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LEtm1P018778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:55:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211455.h6LEtm1P018778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 211455 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/12. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE BUILDS WESTWARD FROM WESTERN NORTH AMERICA. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS. THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 30 KNOTS. ALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WEAKENING UNDER STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 16.0N 126.8W 30 KT 12HR VT 22/0000Z 16.4N 128.7W 30 KT 24HR VT 22/1200Z 16.8N 131.4W 25 KT 36HR VT 23/0000Z 17.2N 134.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 23/1200Z 17.8N 136.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 24/1200Z 19.0N 142.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 25/1200Z 20.0N 147.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:39 2003 X-UIDL: 32570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CVJSJNZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:33:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFXDV7094619 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnXF027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:28:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 275617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFRic9010444 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LFRi9d019810 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LFRiZq019808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:27:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211527.h6LFRiZq019808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 211600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 16.0N7 126.2W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 126.2W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.4N1 128.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 16.8N5 131.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.2N0 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211200Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 126.2W1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1655 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211200Z6 MULTI-SPECTRAL AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212200Z7, 220400Z8, 221000Z5 AND 221600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:39 2003 X-UIDL: 32571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00C5QSOOZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:36:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFaFV7095903 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:36:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZm3051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:28:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 275620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFRic9016400 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LFRi9d019809 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LFRiM3019805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:27:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211527.h6LFRiM3019805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIII, Probability=16%, Report=SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY WTPN33 PHNC 211600 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32573-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CE3TFGZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:52:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFqLV7000876 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:52:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnYV027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 275999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:44:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFiIc9038700 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:44:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LFiH9d020440 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:44:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LFiHZH020439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:44:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:44:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211544.h6LFiHZH020439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 211544 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 21 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 126.8W AT 21/1500 UTC MOVING W 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W/94W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED CLOUD ELEMENTS PROVIDE A HINT OF A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC BUT OTHERWISE THE AREA N OF THE ITCZ IS FREE OF CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W/115W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CYCLONIC ROTATION IS STILL OBSERVED NEAR 14N ALONG THE WAVE AXIS BUT ONLY AN ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 30 NM OF 15N115W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS SE TO 20N110W S OF THE SRN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1515 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... FELICIA IS BEING AFFECTED BY A LARGE AREA OF DRY MID/UPPER LEVEL AIR TO ITS N AND W. FELICIA WILL SOON BEGIN TO CROSS A STRONG SST GRADIENT AND SHOULD DISSIPATE INTO A REMNANT LOW OVER THE NEXT 48 HRS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 124W-129W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N99W 10N108W 8N115W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 5N E OF 80W...WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W-100W...AND FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 100W-110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 84W-88W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:41 2003 X-UIDL: 32574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CW9TQ3ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:58:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFwgV7002617 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:58:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L650IF026732; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:53:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 276120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:52:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFqNc9020666 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:52:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LFqN9d020750 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:52:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LFqNaK020749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:52:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:52:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211552.h6LFqNaK020749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 211552 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:47 2003 X-UIDL: 32583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CC1WPHZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 01:03:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LH38V7021201 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 01:03:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LGbBeJ027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 277249 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LGwUc9055660 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LGwT9d023260 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LGwTd2023257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211658.h6LGwTd2023257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT. BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:47 2003 X-UIDL: 32584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CFCWR8ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 01:04:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LH4BV7021580 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 01:04:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LGbBeN027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 277252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LGwUc9038450 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LGwT9d023259 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LGwTtF023258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:58:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211658.h6LGwTtF023258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT. BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:51 2003 X-UIDL: 32592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00CWR51WZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:03:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LK3OV7082632 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:03:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LGbBsn027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:55:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 280301 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:55:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LJtrc9007860 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:55:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LJtq9d029418 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LJtqvi029417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:55:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211955.h6LJtqvi029417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 211955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUL 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:53 2003 X-UIDL: 32596-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00C0V78AZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:50:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LKoRV7097467 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:50:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZ4Z051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 281170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LKh7c9057640 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LKh79d001262 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LKh7di001260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212043.h6LKh7di001260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 212042 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 2100Z MON JUL 21 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 128.4W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 128.4W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 127.7W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.3N 130.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.9N 133.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 135.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.2N 139.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 19.0N 144.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 21.0N 148.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 128.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:53 2003 X-UIDL: 32597-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00C1778KZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:50:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LKocV7097492 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:50:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LIfgrp026732; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 281173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LKh8c9046412 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LKh79d001263 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LKh7Ff001261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:43:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212043.h6LKh7Ff001261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 212042 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/14. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE BUILDS WESTWARD FROM WESTERN NORTH AMERICA. THERE ARE SOME WEAKNESSES IN THE RIDGE DEPICTED BY THE GFS...BUT THESE DO NOT APPEAR TO HAVE MUCH EFFECT ON THE FORECAST TRACK. THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 30 KNOTS. ALL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WEAKENING UNDER STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR DISSIPATION IN A TWO OR THREE DAYS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 16.0N 128.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 22/0600Z 16.3N 130.3W 30 KT 24HR VT 22/1800Z 16.9N 133.1W 30 KT 36HR VT 23/0600Z 17.5N 135.7W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 23/1800Z 18.2N 139.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 24/1800Z 19.0N 144.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 25/1800Z 21.0N 148.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:54 2003 X-UIDL: 32598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00C118RPZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:23:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LLNfV7006974 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:23:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tcn043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:17:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 281873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:17:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LLHrc9034410 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:17:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LLHr9d002243 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:17:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LLHr38002242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:17:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:17:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212117.h6LLHr38002242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 212117 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 21 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 126.8W AT 21/2100 UTC MOVING W 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 21/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 6N BETWEEN 78W-83W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W N OF 3N TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH ALL CONVECTION REMAINING WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. BROAD/WEAK CYCLONIC ROTATION IS STILL OBSERVED WITHIN SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT THE SYSTEM LACKS DEEP CONVECTION. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANY THE WAVE. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N130W AND EXTENDS SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2015 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... THE SATELLITE PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH FELICIA CONTINUES TO DETERIORATE AND FELICIA WILL SOON BEGIN TO MOVE OVER COOLER WATERS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE INTO A REMNANT LOW OVER THE NEXT 48 HRS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14.5N-16.5N BETWEEN 124W-129W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N100W 5N110W 6N120W 12N126W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 93W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-14N BETWEEN 100W-110W AND FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 110W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:58 2003 X-UIDL: 32600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00CIEAL6ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 06:03:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LM2pV7018207 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 06:02:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tfv043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 282447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LLtZc9008864 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LLtY9d003247 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LLtYLS003246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212155.h6LLtYLS003246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 212155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH LIES BETWEEN TWO STATIONARY UPPER LOWS NEAR 20N176W AND 26N155W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 22N172W 24N167W. NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE UNDER WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75-80 NM OF LINE 07N152W 05N171W REDEVELOPED WESTWARD 20 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N180 04N175W 03N180 EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE AND MOVED WEST 12 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW NEAR 24S126W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 25S121W 18S124W 13S133W AND CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 13S141W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 18S. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE NORTH OF 18S. ISOLATED CB MAINLY WITHIN 300 NM SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OF LOW. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 20S180 25S167W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 14S180 18S176W SPREAD SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:59 2003 X-UIDL: 32601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003M4C9GH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 06:39:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LMd8V7026443 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 06:39:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6thl043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 283024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LMbAc9057796 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LMbA9d004050 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LMbAMO004049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212237.h6LMbAMO004049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 212200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 15.9N5 127.7W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 127.7W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.3N0 130.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.9N6 133.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.5N3 135.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 18.2N1 139.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211800Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.9N5 127.7W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1571 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211800Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:22:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32602-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003NLCABH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 06:39:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LMdeV7026569 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 06:39:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6thh043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:36:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 282984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:36:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LMa6c9020918 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:36:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LMa69d004037 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:36:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LMa6Ep004036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:36:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:36:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212236.h6LMa6Ep004036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 212235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1290 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:22:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003NYCAOH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 06:40:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LMdrV7026620 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 06:39:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZ9N051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:35:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 282960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:35:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LMZ0c9009476 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:35:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LMYx9d004027 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:34:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LMYxn4004026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:34:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:34:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212234.h6LMYxn4004026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 212200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 15.9N5 127.7W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 127.7W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.3N0 130.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 16.9N6 133.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.5N3 135.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 18.2N1 139.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211800Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.9N5 127.7W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1571 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211800Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220400Z8, 221000Z5, 221600Z1 AND 222200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:22:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003PRCD2H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 06:41:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LMfJV7026889 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 06:41:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6thn043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 283032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LMbDc9030670 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LMbC9d004055 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LMbC78004054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 17:37:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Significant Wave Height At 211200z6 Is 10 Feet. Refer To Wwpn31 Knzy Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212237.h6LMbC78004054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN33 PHNC 212200 RRB SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220400Z8, 221000Z5, 221600Z1 AND 222200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 10:01:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE0034RLKVH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:00:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M20OV7080869 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:00:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tvZ043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:55:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 286162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M1tnc9025066 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M1tm9d007065 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M1tm23007064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:55:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220155.h6M1tm23007064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 220155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUL 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 10:41:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003HGNBSH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:38:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2c9V7095441 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:38:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZKb051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 286565 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2Whc9028586 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M2Wg9d007496 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M2WgTb007495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220232.h6M2WgTb007495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 220232 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2003 FELICIA HAS CHANGES LITTLE IN STRUCTURE THIS EVENING...WITH OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT FROM SAB AND 30 KT FROM TAFB. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/14. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE AND COMPLEX MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST OF FLEICIA...WHILE VISIBLE AND IR IMAGERY SHOW A STRONG LOW-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. A BETTER-DEVELOPED SYSTEM WOULD PROBABLY RESPOND TO THIS PATTERN BY TURNING MORE NORTHWARD. FELICIA IS NOT WELL-DEVELOPED ENOUGH TO MAKE THIS TURN...SO IT SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL IT DISSIPATES. A DRIFTING BUOY NORTH OF THE CENTER REPORTED A SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE OF 78F...A SIGN THAT FELICIA IS APPROACHING THE COLDER WATER. A COMBINATION OF WESTERLY SHEAR ANDS COLDER WATER SHOULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO WEAKEN TO A NON-CONVECTIVE LOW IN 36-48 HR...OR PERHAPS LESS. NONE OF THE GLOBAL MODELS HANG TO TO THE REMNANTS OF FELICIA FOR EVEN 72 HR...SO IT MAY DISSIPATE COMPLETELY OR WEAKEN TO AN EASTERLY WAVE FASTER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 16.2N 129.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 22/1200Z 16.5N 132.1W 30 KT 24HR VT 23/0000Z 16.9N 134.5W 30 KT 36HR VT 23/1200Z 17.6N 137.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 24/0000Z 18.3N 140.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 25/0000Z 19.1N 145.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 10:41:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003KVND1H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:39:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2csV7095688 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:38:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tx5043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 286562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2Wgc9028582 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M2Wf9d007491 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M2WfDQ007490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:32:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220232.h6M2WfDQ007490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 220232 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0300Z TUE JUL 22 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 129.9W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 129.9W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 129.2W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.5N 132.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.9N 134.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.6N 137.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.3N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.1N 145.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 129.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 11:51:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE0035AQO2H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:50:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M3oIV7021089 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:50:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t1p043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 287372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M3kic9033932 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M3ki9d008463 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M3ki4p008462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Significant Wave Height At 220000z4 Is 10 Feet. Refer To Wwpn30 Knzy Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220346.h6M3ki4p008462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN33 PHNC 220400 RRB SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221000Z5, 221600Z1, 222200Z8 AND 230400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 11:51:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE0036EQOGH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:50:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M3oWV7021140 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:50:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t1n043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 287369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M3kgc9033928 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M3kg9d008458 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M3kgUY008457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:46:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220346.h6M3kgUY008457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 220400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 16.1N8 129.2W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 129.2W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 16.5N2 132.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 16.9N6 134.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.6N4 137.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 18.3N2 140.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220000Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 129.2W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1456 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 11:51:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32633-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE0038YQP5H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:51:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M3oxV7021293 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:51:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t1l043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:45:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 287357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M3jic9048474 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M3jh9d008452 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M3jh8H008451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:45:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220345.h6M3jh8H008451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN33 PHNC 220400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 16.1N8 129.2W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 129.2W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 16.5N2 132.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 16.9N6 134.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.6N4 137.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 18.3N2 140.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220000Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 129.2W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1456 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221000Z5, 221600Z1, 222200Z8 AND 230400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 12:01:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32634-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE0035IR0GH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:57:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M3vjV7023780 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:57:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t1x043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:52:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 287427 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:52:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M3qgc9048508 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:52:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M3qg9d008627 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:52:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M3qg8R008626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:52:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:52:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220352.h6M3qg8R008626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 220352 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 22 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 129.9W AT 22/0300 UTC MOVING W 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W/85W N OF 5N MOVING W 15 KT. ALL CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR WRN PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W/96W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. STRONG N/NELY WINDS FLOWING OUT OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC ARE MAKING THE WAVE DIFFICULT TO LOCATE...BUT AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS MOVING W ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 91W-95W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W S OF 17N MOVING W 15 KT. A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED MOVING QUICKLY TOWARDS T.D. FELICIA FROM THE E. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 10N-17N. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N131W AND EXTENDS SE TO 18N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0330 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... FELICIA IS ON THE VERGE OF MOVING OVER OVER SUB 26C WATER AND SHOULD BE DISSIPATING INTO A REMNANT LOW BY TUESDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PULSE S OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER FROM 14N-15.5N BETWEEN 129W-130.5W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO OCCURRING E OF THE CENTER FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 124.5W-127.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 9N90W 7N100W 12N112W 8N135W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 76W-91W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE CELLS WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-115W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER NW MEXICO MOVING TOWARDS THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA UP TO 175 NM INLAND OF THE COAST N OF 24N. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 12:51:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32638-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003VJTB9H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:47:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M4lMV7042087 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:47:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZNl051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:43:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 287734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:43:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M4hFc9038376 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:43:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M4hF9d009217 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:43:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M4hFTa009216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:43:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:43:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220443.h6M4hFTa009216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 220442 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1375 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWERS IS CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 13:41:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003JUVRFH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 13:40:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M5eIV7060434 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 13:40:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t6Z043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 288260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M5X6c9033908 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M5X69d009699 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M5X62U009697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220533.h6M5X62U009697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220152ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N7 106.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF VIETNAM, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N4 122.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF LUZON, TRACKING WEST-NORTWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS GUSTING TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.4N7 146.5E6, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 15:53:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003051SVH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:50:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M7olV7002554 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:50:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t83043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:46:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 288877 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M7jxc9023976 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M7jw9d010695 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M7jw4K010693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:45:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220745.h6M7jw4K010693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 220745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON JUL 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 16:13:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32665-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003NF2Q9H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:10:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M8AnV7009248 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:10:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t8H043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:06:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 288963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:06:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M86Jc9042218 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M86J9d011017 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:06:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M86IL2011016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:06:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:06:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220806.h6M86IL2011016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 220806 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2003 THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NMI OF WHAT IS NOW A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. IN FACT...A 22/0307Z QUIKSCAT OVERPASS SUGGESTS THAT THERE MAY NOT EVEN BE A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...FELICIA IS BEING HELD ONTO FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE ADVISORY BASED ON SOME RECENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KT IS BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KT FROM SAB...25 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND AFWA...AND 20-25 KT QUIKSCAT WINDS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/12. AS FELICIA WEAKENS AND BECOMES MORE VERTICALLY SHALLOW...THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED GRADUALLY WESTWARD BY THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL HIGH LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS A BLEND OF THE GFS...UKMET...AND NOGAPS MODELS. FELICIA IS QUICKLY SUCCUMBING TO THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF WESTERLY SHEAR AND COOL SSTS. COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS AND MID-LEVEL DRY AIR ARE ALSO WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION AND ARE ADDING TO THE WEAKENING PROCESS. THEREFORE...FELICIA IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW BY 24 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. FORECAST POSITIONS AT 48 AND 72 HOURS ARE PROVIDED MAINLY FOR CONTINUITY SINCE THE REMNANTS OF FELICIA ARE EXPECTED TO CROSS WEST OF 140W LONGITUDE BY 48 HOURS...WHICH IS THE RESPONSIBILITY OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. HOWEVER...REGENERATION INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT LIKELY WEST OF 140W GIVEN THAT ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS INCREASE THE WESTERLY SHEAR TO MORE THAN 50 KT OVER AND EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY 48 HOURS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0900Z 16.6N 130.8W 25 KT 12HR VT 22/1800Z 17.0N 132.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 23/0600Z 17.6N 135.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 23/1800Z 18.2N 138.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 24/0600Z 18.6N 141.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 25/0600Z 19.3N 146.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 16:23:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32666-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003052V9H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:13:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M8DoV7010221 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:13:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t8J043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:07:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 288966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:07:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M87Mc9055708 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:07:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M87M9d011023 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:07:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M87M2S011022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:07:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:07:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220807.h6M87M2S011022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 220807 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0900Z TUE JUL 22 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 130.8W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 130.8W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 130.3W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.0N 132.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.6N 135.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.2N 138.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.6N 141.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.3N 146.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 130.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 17:53:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003ER7EYH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:52:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M9pwV7040706 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:52:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZRl051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:45:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 289348 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M9jpc9048712 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M9jp9d011905 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M9jpAs011904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:45:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220945.h6M9jpAs011904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 220945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 21N172W 23N171W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 09N143W 13N142W. NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE UNDER WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 07N153W 06N174W 09N180 AND CONTINUING WEST OF THE DATE LINE THROUGH 05N170E 06N158E HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW NEAR 24S126W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOW THROUGH 23S129W 26S129W 28S125W 24S119W 17S123W. ISOLATED CB MAINLY WITHIN 350 NM SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OF LOW WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 17:53:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32675-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003F47F6H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:52:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M9qBV7040821 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:52:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t9L043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:44:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 289334 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:44:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M9iuc9048688 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:44:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M9iu9d011884 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:44:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M9iu7T011883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:44:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:44:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220944.h6M9iu7T011883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 220944 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 22 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 16.6N 130.8W AT 22/0900 UTC MOVING WNW 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W N OF 5N MOVING W 15 KT. ALL CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE ITCZ S OF COSTA RICA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W/97W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAK CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC AND A CLUSTER OF TSTMS IS FOLLOWING THE AXIS WWD THROUGH THE GULF. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14.5N-16.5N BETWEEN 94W-97W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 120W/121W S OF 18N MOVING W 15-20 KT. THE WAVE IS MOVING RATHER QUICKLY AND APPEARS TO BE CATCHING UP TO T.D. FELICIA. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TSTM CELLS E OF THE AXIS FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 118W-120.5W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N134W AND EXTENDS SE TO 18N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... FELICIA IS ON THE VERGE OF MOVING OVER SUB 26C WATER AND SHOULD BE DISSIPATING INTO A REMNANT LOW BY LATER THIS EVENING. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS SLIGHTLY EXPOSED ON THE W SIDE OF A LARGE AREA OF HIGH CLOUDINESS...GENERALLY ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTIVE DEBRIS. TSTM ACTIVITY IS PALTRY WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN TWO CLUSTERS...FROM 14.5N-15.5N BETWEEN 130W-133W AND FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 127.5-129W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N72W 9N90W 8N100W 12N112W 8N126W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 76W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6.5N-11N BETWEEN 104.5W-108W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM CELLS WITHIN 30 NM OF 9N125.5W AND 6.5N125.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 3.5N-6.5N BETWEEN 77W-78W. SCATTERED MODERATE OFF THE GUATEMALAN COAST FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 90W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE OVER NW MEXICO AND NRN GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 27N-30N BETWEEN 109W-113W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 18:22:23 2003 X-UIDL: 32680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003728PNH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:20:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MAK3V7048471 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:20:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t9d043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:17:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 289443 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:17:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MAHZc9050638 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:17:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MAHZ9d012198 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:17:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MAHZts012197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:17:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:17:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221017.h6MAHZts012197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 16.4N1 130.3W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 130.3W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.0N8 132.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.6N4 135.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220600Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 130.3W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1400 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z1, 222200Z8 AND 230400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 21:21:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003H19Z8H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:47:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MAlLV7055628 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:47:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tA9043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:42:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 289578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:42:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MAglc9058250 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:42:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MAgl9d012424 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:42:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MAglSA012423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:42:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 05:42:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221042.h6MAglSA012423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 221042 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1420 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED SHOWERS IS CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:52:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32699-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003V8IM3H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:54:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MDrmV7010273 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:53:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tF9043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:46:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 290887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MDkAc9015396 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MDkA9d015476 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MDkApO015475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:46:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221346.h6MDkApO015475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 221345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE JUL 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:52:57 2003 X-UIDL: 32700-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003BXK3VH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:26:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEQBV7021098 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:26:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tGb043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEK4c9023808 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MEK49d016634 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MEK4JZ016632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221420.h6MEK4JZ016632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 221419 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 1500Z TUE JUL 22 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 132.0W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 132.0W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 131.5W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.5N 134.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.0N 136.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.5N 138.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.0N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 132.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:52:57 2003 X-UIDL: 32701-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003KUK9TH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:29:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6METeV7021976 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:29:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZWZ051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEK9c9029730 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MEK99d016643 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MEK9QT016641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:20:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221420.h6MEK9QT016641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 221419 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2003 FELICIA CONSISTS OF A WEAK CIRCULATION WITH A FEW PATCHES OF INTERMITTENT CONVECTION SMINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION AND THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS. WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BE A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 17.0N 132.0W 25 KT 12HR VT 23/0000Z 17.5N 134.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 23/1200Z 18.0N 136.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 24/0000Z 18.5N 138.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 24/1200Z 19.0N 140.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:06 2003 X-UIDL: 32721-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003Z2P1QH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:13:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MGCnV7061038 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:12:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tM7043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:06:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 292531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:06:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MG60c9025148 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:06:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MG609d020069 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:06:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MG5xAp020068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:05:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:05:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221605.h6MG5xAp020068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 221605 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1480 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE BECOME DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF0034WP4AH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:14:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MGEOV7061636 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:14:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tM5043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:04:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 292528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:04:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MG4tc9027708 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:04:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MG4t9d020029 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:04:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MG4te8020028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:04:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:04:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221604.h6MG4te8020028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 221604 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 22 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 132.8W AT 22/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W/87W N OF 5N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAK CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 14N97W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 122W/123W S OF 18N IS MOVING W 15-20 KT. THE WAVE IS MOVING RATHER QUICKLY IS CATCHING UP TO T.D. FELICIA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 16N121W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS SE TO 20N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1515 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... FELICIA IS MOVING OVER COOLER WATER AND SHOULD BE DISSIPATING INTO A REMNANT LOW BY LATER THIS EVENING. CONVECTION IS MOSTLY E OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 129W-132W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N103W 10N110W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS E OF 80W AND N OF 4N. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W-100W....AND BETWEEN 103W-116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003PPPEPH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:20:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MGKVV7063784 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:20:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tM9043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:10:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 292567 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:10:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MGAvc9029696 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:10:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MGAv9d020238 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MGAvtn020237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 11:10:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221610.h6MGAvtn020237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06E (FELICIA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 16.8N5 131.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 131.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.5N3 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221600Z1 POSITION NEAR 17.0N8 132.0W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06E (FELICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1340 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003WATLCH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 01:51:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHowV7093879 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 01:51:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIIct051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 293980 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHjjc9009660 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MHjj9d023492 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MHjiaW023490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221745.h6MHjiaW023490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT. BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF0030STPNH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 01:53:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHrbV7094555 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 01:53:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M50qT1026734; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 293983 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHjjc9015850 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MHjj9d023493 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MHjidn023491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 12:45:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221745.h6MHjidn023491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT. BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32737-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG003A304AH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:12:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKBwV7039536 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:12:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIIhn051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 14:56:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296249 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 14:56:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MJtsc9038904 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 14:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MJts9d028069 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 14:55:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MJtseW028068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 14:55:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 14:55:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221955.h6MJtseW028068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 221955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE JUL 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS LOCATED LESS THAN 1500 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SEE THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORY UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND AWIPS HEADER TCMEP1. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32739-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG003KT1MCH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:44:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKiSV7049616 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:44:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIIjl051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:34:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296909 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:33:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKX9c9058188 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:33:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MKX99d029395 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:33:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MKX9h9029394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:33:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:33:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222033.h6MKX9h9029394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 222032 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 2100Z TUE JUL 22 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 133.6W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 133.6W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 133.0W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 18.0N 135.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.5N 137.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.0N 139.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 19.5N 141.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 133.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG003MM1NUH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:45:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKjEV7049818 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:45:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MIdIsL026734; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:32:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:32:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKWdc9029760 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:32:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MKWZ9d029364 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MKWZEY029363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:32:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222032.h6MKWZEY029363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 222032 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 2003 ALTHOUGH FELICIA HAS DEVELOPED SOME DEEP CONVECTION NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED DUE TO SHEAR AND COLD WATERS. THE DEPRESSION SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK ABOUT 12 KNOTS UNTIL DISSIPATION 12 HOURS. A REMANT LOW SHOULD CONTINUE PRODUCING INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION DURING THE DAY OR TWO. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 17.5N 133.6W 25 KT 12HR VT 23/0600Z 18.0N 135.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 23/1800Z 18.5N 137.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 24/0600Z 19.0N 139.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 24/1800Z 19.5N 141.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:14 2003 X-UIDL: 32746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG003BF4BCH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 05:42:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MLgfV7065845 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 05:42:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MIdI2P026734; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:35:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 297775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:34:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MLYpc9015672 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:34:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MLYp9d001353 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MLYoQg001351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:34:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222134.h6MLYoQg001351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 222130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/222130Z/230600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221952ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221800Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 220800Z2 SOUTH OF HANOI, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THIS SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THE FINAL WARNING OF THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 221800Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 110 NM WEST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGHING HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.0N7 138.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF YAP, OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD PARA 1.B.(1) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:14 2003 X-UIDL: 32747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG003Q857AH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 06:01:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MM1lV7071648 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 06:01:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFgr043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:51:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 298091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MLpsc9058234 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MLps9d001823 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:51:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MLps8Y001822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:51:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:51:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222151.h6MLps8Y001822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 222151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 22 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 17.5N 133.6W AT 22/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 22/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W N OF 5N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAK MID-LEVEL ROTATION IS OBSERVED NEAR 9N ON WAVE AXIS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 96W-99W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 123W/124W S OF 18N IS MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE IS REPRESENTED BY A WEAK LOW CLOUD SWIRL NEAR 16N. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N123W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N132W AND EXTENDS SE TO 16N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... THE CENTER OF FELICIA IS EXPOSED DUE TO WESTERLY SHEAR WITH SPORADIC BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM. WEAKENING WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 130W-133W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N95W 9N110W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 78W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN A SIMILAR DISTANCE FROM AXIS BETWEEN 91W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 7N109W 10N118W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N114W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE SOUTHERNMOST TIP OF PANAMA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:15 2003 X-UIDL: 32748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG0037L5JVH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 06:09:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MM9OV7073623 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 06:09:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFhB043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:01:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 298273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MM1fc9053178 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MM1e9d002058 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MM1e6B002057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:01:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222201.h6MM1e6B002057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 222200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10N178W EQ168W 03N180 07N170E 10N172E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N167W 06N157W 02N158W 04N163W 02N166W 04N167W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 25N176W 23N173W 21N174W 20N178W 23N178W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 15S179W 21S164W 25S155W 25S171W 19S180. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT. SURFACE LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 20S124W 23S120W 25S123W 24S126W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 09S175W 11S173W 13S173W 11S171W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13S167W 14S164W 16S166W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:16 2003 X-UIDL: 32749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JUE74FHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 06:43:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MMhJV7081381 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 06:43:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFjF043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:32:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 298782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MMWVc9050484 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:32:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MMWU9d002661 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:32:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MMWU11002660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:32:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:32:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222232.h6MMWU11002660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 222232 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1570 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:17 2003 X-UIDL: 32751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00J758CVHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 07:10:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MN9vV7087137 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 07:09:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MIdIDF026734; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 299209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MN1lc9015714 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MN1l9d003099 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MN1kTg003096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222301.h6MN1kTg003096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 222130 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/222130Z/230600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221952ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221800Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 220800Z2 SOUTH OF HANOI, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THIS SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THE FINAL WARNING OF THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 221800Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 118.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM WEST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGHING HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.0N7 138.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF YAP, OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: ADDED LATITUDE/LONGITUDE IN PARA 1.A.(2). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 10:12:33 2003 X-UIDL: 32766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JGVGEPHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 10:04:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N23pV7039530 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 10:03:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFsv043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:01:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 301538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:01:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N214c9055606 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N2149d005551 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N21422005550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:01:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230201.h6N21422005550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 230200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE JUL 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS LOCATED LESS THAN 1350 MILES EAST/SOUTHEAST OF HILO. FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST/ NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SEE THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORY UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND AWIPS HEADER TCMEP1. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 10:42:34 2003 X-UIDL: 32770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00J6AI0QHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 10:38:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N2chV7051778 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 10:38:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFuF043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 301888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N2ZLc9039166 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N2ZK9d005983 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N2ZKOw005980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230235.h6N2ZKOw005980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 230234 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0300Z WED JUL 23 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 135.1W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 135.1W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 134.5W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.0N 137.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.5N 139.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.1N 141.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.5N 144.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 135.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 10:42:35 2003 X-UIDL: 32771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00J7SI13HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 10:39:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N2csV7051843 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 10:38:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIIxT051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 301894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N2ZLc9039974 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N2ZK9d005984 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N2ZKvN005982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:35:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230235.h6N2ZKvN005982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ41 KNHC 230234 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 2003 FELICIA IS LIKELY GOING INTO TERMINAL DECLINE. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS MOVED AWAY FROM THE NOW-DISSIPATING CONVECTION...AND ANIMATION OF VISIBLE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE CIRCULATION IS JUST BARELY CLOSED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 25 KT IN AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND EARLIER SSM/I DATA. THE CYCLONE IS MOVING OVER COOLER WATER IN AN AREA OF INCREASING WESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR...SO IT SHOULD CONTINUE WEAKENING UNTIL BECOMING A NON- CONVECTIVE LOW IN ABOUT 24 HR. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280-285 DEGREES AT 14 KT...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 17.6N 135.1W 25 KT 12HR VT 23/1200Z 18.0N 137.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 24/0000Z 18.5N 139.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 24/1200Z 19.1N 141.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 25/0000Z 19.5N 144.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 11:52:33 2003 X-UIDL: 32777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JTPLEWHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:52:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N3pvV7075290 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:51:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHII03051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:46:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 302241 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:46:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N3kUc9038880 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N3kT9d006751 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N3kT3S006750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:46:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230346.h6N3kT3S006750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 230346 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 23 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 17.6N 135.1W AT 23/0300 UTC MOVING WNW 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0000 UTC... ..WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W/89W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. A LINE OF CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY DISSIPATING AHEAD OF THE AXIS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. OTHERWISE...THE WAVE IS UNDETECTABLE AT THIS POINT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED S OF ACAPULCO BUT THE AREA IS CONVECTION-FREE EXCEPT FOR WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W/126W S OF 19N MOVING W 15-20 KT. THE WAVE IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 NM E OF T.D. FELICIA AND IS MOVING WWD AT A SLIGHTLY QUICKER PACE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-16.5N BETWEEN 121W-127W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N133W AND EXTENDS SE TO 17N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... FELICIA IS PRODUCING ITS LAST GASPS OF CONVECTIVE BURSTS 75 NM E OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER AS IT MOVES INTO MORE STABLE AIR AND OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 133W-134W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N76W 10N102W 9N110W 11N123W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 75W-86W INCLUDING OVER NW COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS CELLS ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 92W-106W...SPECIFICALLY OVER THE ERN GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC...E OF ACAPULCO...AND BETWEEN MANZANILLO AND PUERTO VALLARTA. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 13:02:33 2003 X-UIDL: 32780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JU7OF1HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 12:57:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N4urV7095925 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 12:56:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFvn043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 23:52:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 302677 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 23:52:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N4qkc9033186 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 23:52:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N4qj9d007705 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 23:52:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N4qjcq007704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 23:52:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 23:52:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230452.h6N4qjcq007704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 230452 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1665 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 14:02:33 2003 X-UIDL: 32783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00J78R40HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:55:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N5t5V7012170 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:55:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHII2B051152; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 303182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N5jvc9039996 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N5jv9d008280 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N5jvaA008278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230545.h6N5jvaA008278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230152ZJUL2003// AMPN/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED NEAR 18.7N6 116.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 138.9E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 135.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 253 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 16:33:20 2003 X-UIDL: 32792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JP8WFEHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:50:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N7niV7047472 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:49:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF37043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:46:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 303654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:46:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N7kDc9055748 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N7kD9d009358 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N7kDXS009357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:46:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230746.h6N7kDXS009357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 230745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE JUL 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE...WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS LOCATED MORE THAN 1200 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SEE THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORY UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND AWIPS HEADER TCMEP1. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 16:33:23 2003 X-UIDL: 32794-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JHTXQ9HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:18:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N8I1V7058265 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:18:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF3j043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:13:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 303930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:13:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N8Dsc9007788 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:13:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N8Ds9d009732 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:13:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N8DsSu009731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:13:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:13:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Discussion Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230813.h6N8DsSu009731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ41 KNHC 230813 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED JUL 23 2003 THERE HAS BEEN NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED NOW...WHILE THE MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT HAS BEEN SHEARED OFF ABOUT 200 NMI TO THE EAST. THERE MAY BE A FEW BRIEF PUFFS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION THAT WILL BE CLOSE TO THE 26C SST ISOTHERM...BUT NO SUSTAINED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED NEAR THE CENTER. WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR INCREASING TO AT LEAST 50 KT BY 24 TO 48 HOURS SHOULD ALSO PREVENT ANY REGENERATION FROM OCCURRING. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/15. NOW THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCUALTION HAS DECOUPLED FROM THE MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS...THE FELICIA NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW SHOULD TRACK IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL HIGH. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TPC/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN03 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP2. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0900Z 17.7N 136.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 23/1800Z 17.9N 139.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 24/0600Z 18.1N 142.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 24/1800Z 18.3N 145.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 25/0600Z 18.6N 148.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 16:33:24 2003 X-UIDL: 32795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JY1XVQHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:21:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N8L7V7059237 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:21:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF3l043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:14:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 303934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:14:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N8Ejc9038948 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:14:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N8Ej9d009742 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:14:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N8EjnL009741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:14:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:14:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Felicia Forecast/advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230814.h6N8EjnL009741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ21 KNHC 230814 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003 0900Z WED JUL 23 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 136.9W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 136.9W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 136.1W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.9N 139.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.1N 142.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.3N 145.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.6N 148.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 136.9W THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TPC/TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH UNDER WMO HEADER FZPN03 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFEP2. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 17:54:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JY125SHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 17:53:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N9rLV7089019 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 17:53:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHII3B051152; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:45:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 304285 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:45:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N9jtc9044962 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N9jt9d010638 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:45:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N9jt1r010637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:45:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:45:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230945.h6N9jt1r010637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 230945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 24N179W CONTINUING WEST OF THE DATE LINE THROUGH 21N179E HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 29N155W HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 14N149W HAVE MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE UNDER WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 07N150W 08N140 AND CONTINUING EAST OF 140W. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 04N160W 06N170W 05N180 AND CONTINUING WEST OF THE DATE LINE THROUGH 04N174E 07N164E HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW NEAR 24S126W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS FROM LOW THROUGH 27S128W 29S124W 25S120W 20S121W AND CONTINUES AS COLD FRONT THROUGH 13S126W. VERY ISOLATED CB MAINLY WITHIN 90 NM OF OCCLUDED FRONT WITH A DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 18:13:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JGM2WRHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 18:10:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NA9tV7093601 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 18:09:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF4R043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:52:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 304318 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:52:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N9qhc9038668 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:52:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N9qg9d010694 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:52:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N9qgug010693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:52:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:52:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230952.h6N9qgug010693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 230952 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 23 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA CENTERED NEAR 17.7N 136.9W AT 23/0900 UTC MOVING W 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/0600 UTC... ..WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE IS EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AND ALL CONVECTION FROM EARLIER IN THE NIGHT HAS DISSIPATED. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W/101W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED SW OF ACAPULCO BUT THE ONLY CONVECTION IN THE AREA IS INLAND OVER MEXICO WITH A FEW MODERATE TSTMS WANDERING OFFSHORE BETWEEN 100W-106W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 127W S OF 19N MOVING W 15-20 KT. THE WAVE IS MOVING VERY QUICKLY AND IS THE LEADING EDGE OF A SURGE OF 20 KT ELY WINDS S OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 15.5N-17.5N BETWEEN 126W-128.5W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N134W AND EXTENDS SE TO 17N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA... FELICIA'S LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME COMPLETELY EXPOSED FROM HIGH CLOUDINESS. INCIDENTALLY...THE AREA OF CIRRUS TO THE E OF FELICIA ARE PATCHES OF CONVECTIVE DEBRIS FROM THE LAST FEW TSTMS TO FORM AROUND THE SYSTEM. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 14N-16.5N BETWEEN 130.5W-133W. WITH THE DEPRESSION NOT GENERATING ANY FURTHER DEEP CONVECTION...THE LAST ADVISORY HAS BEEN WRITTEN AND THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE INTO A REMNANT LOW THAT WILL MOVE OUT OF THE DISCUSSION AREA LATER TODAY IN THE DIRECTION OF HAWAII. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N76W 9N85W 7N95W 10N104W 8N113W 10N120W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N-11N BETWEEN 76W-86W INCLUDING OVER NW COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA. LOCALLY INTENSE TSTMS ARE NOW ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-121W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE CELLS FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 122W-126W...FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 128W-135W...AND FROM 7N-10N W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION SW OF EL SALVADOR FROM 11.5N-13N BETWEEN 90W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC N OF 15N. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG UP TO 150 NM INLAND AND ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 100W-105W AND SOON TO AFFECT AREAS FROM ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 18:23:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JEQ3E9HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 18:20:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NAKNV7096966 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 18:20:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF4j043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 05:14:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 304447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 05:14:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NAENc9029624 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 05:14:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NAEN9d010940 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 05:14:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NAENxL010939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 05:14:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 05:14:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307231014.h6NAENxL010939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 231014 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA LOCATED ABOUT 1190 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JOED97HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 21:53:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NDrJV7056111 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 21:53:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF9f043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 08:46:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 306098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 08:46:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NDkMc9038896 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 08:46:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NDkL9d013803 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 08:46:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NDkLqj013802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 08:46:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 08:46:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307231346.h6NDkLqj013802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 231346 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUL 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS LOCATED MORE THAN 1100 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO BE A REMNANT TROPICAL SYSTEM WHEN IT PASSES WEST OF 140W TODAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION... SEE THE LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORY UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 KNHC AND AWIPS HEADER TCMEP1. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:20 2003 X-UIDL: 32831-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JSHKD5HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:27:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NGQoV7000522 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:26:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFGB043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:10:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 307606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:10:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NGAEc9035416 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:10:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NGAE9d018734 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:10:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NGAEDt018733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:10:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:10:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307231610.h6NGAEDt018733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 231609 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 23 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W N OF 5N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W S OF 18N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 129W S OF 19N IS MOVING W 15-20 KT. THE WAVE IS MOVING VERY QUICKLY AND IS THE LEADING EDGE OF A SURGE OF 20 KT ELY WINDS S OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 129W-130W. ..1012 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF FELICIA...IS LOCATED NEAR 18N137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 18N-19N BETWEEN 136W-138W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N133W AND EXTENDS SE TO 17N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 10N120W 6N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 76W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 84W-87W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 98W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 115W-125W...AND FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 128W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 101W-106W...AND FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 105W-107W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:20 2003 X-UIDL: 32833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JFEKPYHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:34:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NGYcV7002513 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:34:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIIDV051152; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:22:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 307866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:22:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NGM9c9028522 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:22:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NGM49d019156 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:22:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NGM4Nb019155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:22:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 11:22:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307231622.h6NGM4Nb019155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 231621 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1075 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 15 MPH.. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:27 2003 X-UIDL: 32847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JE6UGDHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 04:05:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NK4hV7064655 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 04:04:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFSh043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 14:57:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 310950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 14:57:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NJvgc9035356 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 14:57:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NJvg9d026208 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 14:57:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NJvgor026207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 14:57:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 14:57:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307231957.h6NJvgor026207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 231957 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED JUL 23 2003 A CLOUD AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS MOVING WEST OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE REMNANT OF FELICIA IS NOW ONLY A TROUGH THAT IS NOT LIKELY TO REDEVELOP. ANOTHER TROUGH HAS DEVELOPED 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED NEAR THE TROUGH BUT CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:29 2003 X-UIDL: 32851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JQ5Y6IHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:25:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NLPMV7085804 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:25:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFVJ043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:20:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 312119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:20:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NLKPc9031162 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:20:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NLKO9d002315 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:20:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NLKOJp002314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:20:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:20:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307232120.h6NLKOJp002314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 232120 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 23 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 23/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE BASIN ALONG 79W/80W N OF 6N MOVING W 20-25 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 6N BETWEEN 78W AND 83W INTO CENTRAL AMERICA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W N OF 5N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 14N95W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W/105W S OF 18N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS N OF ITCZ FROM 10N-13N. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 130W S OF 19N IS MOVING W 15-20 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 130W FROM 11N-16N. ..1013 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF FELICIA...IS LOCATED NEAR 18N139W MOVING W 15-20 KT. SMALL BLOB OF ISOLATED WEAK/ MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N135W AND EXTENDS SE TO 15N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N92W 9N105W 10N120W 6N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-90W...91W-97W AND 100W-110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 123W-138W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 8N-12.5N BETWEEN 118W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING TSTMS ARE OFF THE SW MEXICAN COAST WITHIN 90 NM OF 19N106W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N102W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:29 2003 X-UIDL: 32852-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JY6ZR3HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:59:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NLxJV7093938 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:59:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFVp043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:51:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 312391 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:51:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NLp4c9045120 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:51:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NLp49d003106 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:51:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NLp4P1003105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:51:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:51:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307232151.h6NLp4P1003105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 232150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 06N140W 08N150W 05N180W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND 180. AREAS OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09N159W 08N140W 05N148W 09N159W AND 09N162W 06N160W 01N170W 08N176W 09N162W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 09N178W 08N180 AND EXTENDING WEST HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 09N154W 16N154W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 14N150W 15N154W HAVE MOVED MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 20KT AND INCREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. SHEARLINE...AXIS THROUGH 30N161W 27N180 AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF 180. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 35NM OF AXIS HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED AND NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF POINT 29N164W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE UNDER WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEARLINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ISOLATED LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 24S125W HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. AREA OF OCCASIONAL TCU AND VERY ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 16S122W 18118W 22S121W 16S122W ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE INTO LOW HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 25S172W 20S175W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 16S180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT AND SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. CONVERGENCE ZONE...NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 23S167W 20S170W 16S175W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00N1D2UK41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 07:06:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NN6CV7008368 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 07:06:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFYx043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 18:00:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 313288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 18:00:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NN0Ec9031088 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 18:00:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NN0E9d004346 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 18:00:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NN0EQP004345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 18:00:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 18:00:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307232300.h6NN0EQP004345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 232259 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA HAVE CROSSED 140W LONGITUDE...INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AROUND 15 MPH. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 10:05:55 2003 X-UIDL: 32860-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NIFAUV41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:59:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O1xCV7048711 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:59:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWfb043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 20:55:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 315137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 20:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O1tnc9057760 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 20:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O1tm9d006297 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 20:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O1tm0U006296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 20:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 20:55:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240155.h6O1tm0U006296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 240155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUL 23 2003 A CLOUD AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELICIA IS MOVING WEST OF 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE REMNANT OF FELICIA IS NOW ONLY A TROUGH THAT IS NOT LIKELY TO REDEVELOP. ANOTHER TROUGH HAS DEVELOPED 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED NEAR THE TROUGH BUT CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 12:01:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00N0GG1U41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 11:51:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O3pFV7084390 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 11:51:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWjP043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:45:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 316421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O3jUc9013216 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:45:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O3jU9d007368 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O3jUnf007367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:45:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240345.h6O3jUnf007367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 240345 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS MOVING WESTWARD AROUND 15 MPH. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 12:01:09 2003 X-UIDL: 32872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NK9G8D41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 11:55:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O3tHV7085597 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 11:55:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIIZB051152; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:49:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 316465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:49:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O3nhc9048456 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:49:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O3nh9d007397 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:49:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O3nhNU007396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:49:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:49:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240349.h6O3nhNU007396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 240349 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 24 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 6N MOVING W 20-25 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 81W-84W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W S OF 17N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 93W-98W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 104W-110W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 121W/122W S OF 14N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 117W-126W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 131W/132W S OF 20N MOVING W 15 KT. DISSIPATING ISOLATED SHOWERS UP TO 160 NM E OF THE WAVE AXIS. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N133W AND EXTENDS SE TO 18N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 9N86W 9N100W 8N110W 10N123W 6N140W. SEE TROPICAL WAVES. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 127W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER NW MEXICO N OF 24N BETWEEN 107W-110W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:22 2003 X-UIDL: 32887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NH3L5E41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 13:41:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O5fQV7017717 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 13:41:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O35Bnp026736; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 317248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O5Xrc9038016 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O5Xr9d008336 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O5Xrf3008334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240533.h6O5Xrf3008334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240152ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED NEAR 21.1N4 111.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, WAS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 138.9E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NC8RXJ41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 16:08:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O87tV7062589 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 16:07:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWnr043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:01:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 317772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O81Mc9037944 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O81L9d009442 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O81LoA009441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:01:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240801.h6O81LoA009441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 240800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUL 23 2003 A TROUGH MOVING SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OF THE STATE OF HAWAII HAS IGNITED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MORE THAN 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR THE TROUGH TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. LATEST GFS MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A TROUGH MAY DEVELOP JUST WEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER FRIDAY. THIS AREA WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHED FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:34 2003 X-UIDL: 32908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NB4W9R41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:41:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O9fhV7093491 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:41:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWot043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 04:35:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 04:35:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O9Ztc9013730 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 04:35:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O9Zt9d010191 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 04:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O9ZtWM010190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 04:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 04:35:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240935.h6O9ZtWM010190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 240935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 24 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W N OF 6N MOVING W 20 KT. THE WAVE IS EMERGING OFF THE COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA COAST WITH A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NOTED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 10N87W. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W S OF 17N MOVING W 15 KT. A GOOD SIZE CLUSTER OF TSTMS HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS IN THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 94W-100W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W S OF 20N MOVING W 15 KT. A WELL-DEFINED LOW CLOUD SWIRL IS MOVING AWAY FROM THE MEXICAN COAST SW OF MANZANILLO AT THE NRN PORTION OF THE WAVE. AN ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS HAS DEVELOP WITHIN THIS FEATURE NEAR 18N106W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 123W S OF 14N MOVING W 15 KT. A LARGE CLUSTER OF TSTMS THAT HAD DEVELOPED WITHIN THE ITCZ HAS MAINTAINED ITS COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HRS. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 134W S OF 19N MOVING W 15-20 KT. ALTHOUGH THE WAVE HAS BEEN RELATIVELY FREE OF CONVECTION...MORE SCATTERED TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED NEAR THE APEX OF THE AXIS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 132W-135.5W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N136W AND EXTENDS SE TO 16N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N74W 9N90W 7N110W 10N127W 6N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER NW COLOMBIA AND ERN PANAMA WITH SOME CELLS DRIFTING OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIAN COASTAL WATERS N OF 5N. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 94W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 7.5N-12.5N BETWEEN 124W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE EL SALVADOR/GUATEMALA COAST FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 89W-91W. DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE OVER NW MEXICO FROM 27N-31N BETWEEN 109W-112W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:38 2003 X-UIDL: 32912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NFUXHM41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 18:08:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OA7mV7006951 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 18:07:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWp3043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:02:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318527 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:02:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OA20c9048468 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:02:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OA219d010372 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:02:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OA20pi010371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:02:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:02:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307241002.h6OA20pi010371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 241001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N165W 03N165W 04N178W 09N175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N155W 04N155W 05N160W 09N159W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N154W 10N149W 09N145W 06N149W 06N154W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 08N140W 04N140W 05N144W 08N144W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 18N154W 15N151W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S168W 23S164W 23S169W 15S173W 11S173W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE. ELSEWHERE... NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NQ3YVN41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 18:38:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OAc3V7021308 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 18:38:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWpB043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:31:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:31:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OAVvc9029752 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:31:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OAVv9d010574 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OAVve0010573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 05:31:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307241031.h6OAVve0010573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 241031 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS MOVING WESTWARD AROUND 15 MPH. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:48 2003 X-UIDL: 32930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00NAP8R541@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:11:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OEBLV7090565 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:11:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWvX043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:01:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 320144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:01:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OE1hc9033752 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:01:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OE1h9d013975 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:01:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OE1gY2013972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:01:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307241401.h6OE1gY2013972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 241400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUL 24 2003 A TROUGH MOVING SOUTH OF THE STATE OF HAWAII HAS IGNITED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM 90 TO MORE THAN 200 MILES SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR THE TROUGH TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. LATEST GFS MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A TROUGH MAY DEVELOP JUST WEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THIS AREA WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHED FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:55 2003 X-UIDL: 32937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00NFADIZ41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 23:54:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OFsQV7022210 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 23:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sW3v043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 10:39:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 321490 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 10:39:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OFdic9056208 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 10:39:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OFdi9d017432 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 10:39:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OFdiWU017431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 10:39:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 10:39:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307241539.h6OFdiWU017431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 241539 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 24 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W/87W N OF 6N IS MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE IS OFF THE COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA COAST WITH ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W/98W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 15 KT. A GOOD SIZE CLUSTER OF TSTMS HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS IN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W S OF 20N IS MOVING W 10 KT. A WELL-DEFINED LOW CLOUD SWIRL IS MOVING AWAY FROM THE MEXICAN COAST SW OF MANZANILLO AT 18N108W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 124W/125W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10 KT. A CLUSTER OF TSTMS IS WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 135W/136W S OF 19N IS MOVING W 10 KT. A WELL-DEFINED LOW CLOUD SWIRL IS NEAR 16N136W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 134W-135W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N137W AND EXTENDS SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N97W 6N112W 10N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 8N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 132W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 84W AND 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N90W 11N93W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00NQ2FH241@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 00:36:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OGaVV7038002 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 00:36:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OAkJm9051152; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 11:05:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 321915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 11:05:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OG5Tc9040574 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 11:05:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OG5T9d018253 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 11:05:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OG5TYU018252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 11:05:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 11:05:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307241605.h6OG5TYU018252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 241605 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS MOVING WESTWARD AROUND 15 MPH. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:31:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00N4JNAV41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:25:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OJPaV7086308 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:25:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWEL043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 14:16:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 324679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 14:16:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OJGsc9020606 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 14:16:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OJGs9d024464 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 14:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OJGsA4024463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 14:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 14:16:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307241916.h6OJGsA4024463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 241916 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU JUL 24 2003 A TROUGH IS DEEPENING NORTHWEST OF KAUAI. COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST A PAIR OF LOWS MAY DEVELOP WITHIN THE TROUGH. IT IS QUESTIONABLE WHETHER THESE LOWS WOULD BE TROPICAL CYCLONES BUT WE WILL BE WATCHING THE AREA CLOSELY. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:31:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00NJOTW341@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:48:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OLlsV7029609 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:47:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OAkJ0h051152; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 16:36:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 326696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 16:36:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OLadc9044234 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 16:36:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OLad9d028656 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 16:36:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OLadVx028655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 16:36:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 16:36:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307242136.h6OLadVx028655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 242136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 24 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 24/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W N OF 6N MOVING W 15 KT. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 10N90W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W N OF 4N MOVING W 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS PRODUCING THE MOST CONVECTION WITH SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 96W-103W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W/110W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W/126W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 12N-14.5N BETWEEN 125W-130W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 137W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAK LOW-LEVEL SWIRL ALONG AXIS NEAR 14N. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 135W-139W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N135W SE TO 16N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N94W 7N117W 10N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 6N84W 8N94W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF LINE 8N95W 8N103W 5N116W 8N124W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 132W-136W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF 8N126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 130W-135W. ISOLATED MODERATE ALONG THE W COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA TO NW COSTA RICA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:31:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32972-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00EGEW10P7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 06:34:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OMY4V7041957 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 06:34:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OK0SgD043392; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:06:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 327006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:06:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OM6fc9056258 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:06:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OM6f9d029238 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:06:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OM6fLv029237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:06:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:06:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307242206.h6OM6fLv029237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 242206 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 06N140W 08N157W 07N165W 08N177W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 07N140W 07N147W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 07N150W 07N154W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N175W 10N168W 08N164W 06N170W 07N177W 10N175W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. SURFACE TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 10N158W 20N158W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 17N153W 20N155W 17N159W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT... WEAKENED AND INCREASED IN AREA. SHEARLINE...AXIS THROUGH 30N159W 27N180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 60NM OF AXIS WEST OF 161W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF AXIS EAST OF 161W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CB ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE TROUGH. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE UNDER WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEARLINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ISOLATED LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 25S175W HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 150NM OF LOW. FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 25S168W 18S168W 14S172W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS CONVERGENCE LINE THROUGH 09S180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 250NM SW OF FRONT AND SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. CONVERGENCE ZONE...NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 14S163W 22S162W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:31:09 2003 X-UIDL: 32973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00EUFX9CP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 07:00:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ON0YV7047415 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 07:00:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OAkJ2l051152; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:56:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 327440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:56:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OMuoc9056134 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OMuo9d029951 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:56:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OMuo94029950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:56:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:56:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307242256.h6OMuo94029950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 242256 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:31:10 2003 X-UIDL: 32978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00ETK52UP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:49:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P1nXV7099232 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:49:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OAkJ4n051152; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 20:45:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 328625 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 20:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P1jfc9007890 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 20:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6P1jf9d001690 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 20:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6P1jfjs001689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 20:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 20:45:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307250145.h6P1jfjs001689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 250145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU JUL 24 2003 A TROUGH IS DEEPENING NORTHWEST OF KAUAI. COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST A PAIR OF LOWS MAY DEVELOP WITHIN THE TROUGH. IT IS QUESTIONABLE WHETHER THESE LOWS WOULD BE TROPICAL CYCLONES BUT WE WILL BE WATCHING THE AREA CLOSELY. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:49:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00EO69YWP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 11:35:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P3ZCuU045683 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 11:35:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OK0SnZ043392; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:28:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 329596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:28:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P3Ssc9034974 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:28:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6P3Ss9d002781 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:28:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6P3Ssqc002780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:28:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:28:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307250328.h6P3Ssqc002780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 250328 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUL 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 12:00:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32989-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00ESTB0WP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 11:58:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P3vxuU054956 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 11:58:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OK0Snj043392; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:52:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 329750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:52:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P3qsc9029522 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:52:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6P3qs9d002986 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:52:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6P3qreH002985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:52:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:52:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307250352.h6P3qreH002985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 250352 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 25 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 7N MOVING W 15-20 KT. VIRTUALLY ALL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE IS OVER LAND ACROSS SE MEXICO...GUATEMALA...AND EL SALVADOR. A FEW MODERATE TSTM CLUSTERS ARE MOVING OFFSHORE INTO COASTAL WATERS WITHIN 45 NM OF LAND BETWEEN 89W-94W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE APPEARS TO HAVE A WEAK MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN THE ITCZ...BUT ALSO SEEMS TO HAVE DECENT INFLOW AT LOW LEVELS...ESPECIALLY FROM THE S. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 98W-103W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE NOSE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE HAS MADE THIS WAVE EXTREMELY LOW AMPLITUDE AND CONFINED TO THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 127W/128W S OF 15N MOVING W 15 KT. ALL IN ALL...THIS IS A RATHER CLOUD-FREE WAVE WITH THE BULK OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MORE THAN 120 NM W OF THE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 129W-133W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 138W/139W S OF 18N MOVING W 15-20 KT. THE WAVE IS SOON TO MOVE W OF 140W BUT IN THE MEANTIME IS SPAWNING ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 12.5N-14.5N BETWEEN 138W-142W. SCATTERED MODERATE E OF THE AXIS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 134W-138W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N137W 24N126W 19N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N75W 7N90W 10N102W 7N110W 7N124W 9N133W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE MOVING OFF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN PUERTO VALLARTA AND MAZATLAN HEADING TOWARDS ISLAS MARIA. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 14:20:03 2003 X-UIDL: 32998-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00E42H68P7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 14:10:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P6AmuU013371 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 14:10:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OKI0Qt013584; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 331101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P61sc9014030 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6P61s9d004174 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6P61sAG004172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307250601.h6P61sAG004172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241352ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241200Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (IMBUDO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N5 108.9E8, OVER LAND IN CHINA APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 241500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:33:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00E75MUEP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 16:13:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P8D7uU067410 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 16:13:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OK0Su7043392; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:07:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 331526 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:07:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P877c9014746 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:07:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6P8769d005208 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:07:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6P876p5005207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:07:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:07:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307250807.h6P876p5005207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 250806 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU JUL 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:05 2003 X-UIDL: 33016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00EI0QXTP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:41:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P9fjuU005532 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:41:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OK0SvP043392; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 04:37:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 331930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 04:37:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P9bDc9053176 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 04:37:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6P9bD9d005859 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 04:37:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6P9bDR4005858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 04:37:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 04:37:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307250937.h6P9bDR4005858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 250936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 25 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W/92W N OF 6N MOVING W 15 KT. A LARGE AREA OF TSTMS HAS RACED AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 11.5N-16N BETWEEN 88W-98W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED WITH THE ITCZ. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 101W-106W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. THE NOSE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS MAKING THE WAVE HARD TO LOCATE. IN ADDITION...THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 128W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS MARKED BY A LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINE BEING DRAWN NWD TO NEAR 14N ALONG THE AXIS. ALL CONVECTION IS W OF THE AXIS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11.5N-14N BETWEEN 130W-135W AND WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 140W S OF 17N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE IS MOVING OUT OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 138W-143W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N140W 20N120W 16N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N74W 8N90W 8N105W 6N118W 10N135W 9N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 3.5N-7N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 81.5W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 114W-116W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-126W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING SHOWERS NEAR MAZATLAN FROM 22.5N-25.5N BETWEEN 106.5W-108.5W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00ED8S4EP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 18:07:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PA7IuU016784 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 18:07:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OK0Sw1043392; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:01:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 332082 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:01:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PA1cc9014812 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PA1c9d006105 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PA1c85006104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:01:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307251001.h6PA1c85006104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 251000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ASSOCIATED ISOLATED CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 06N140W 03N154W 07N162W 09N142W 13N143W 14N140W AND EXTENDING EAST MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INCREASED. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12N180 09N166W 06N167W EQ178W 04N180. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 23N149W 14N158W 19N161W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN SIZE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW ARE BOUNDED BY 32N163W 28N160W 26N166W 28N168W. CB AREA MOVED SOUTHWEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. NEW ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 27N179W. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY EQ178W 03S170W 06S171W 06S177W 03S180 MOVED EAST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 20S167W 27S163W MOVED EAST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 26S121W 31S116W MOVED EAST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:09 2003 X-UIDL: 33021-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00EV9SD3P7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 18:12:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PACVuU018590 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 18:12:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OK0Sw3043392; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:04:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 332097 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:04:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PA4Sc9014826 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:04:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PA4R9d006171 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:04:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PA4R6K006170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:04:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 05:04:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307251004.h6PA4R6K006170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 251004 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:26 2003 X-UIDL: 33042-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL00E585E0P7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 22:54:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PErruU005535 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 22:53:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PEGrs1034088; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:48:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 336483 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:38:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PEcTc9010568 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:38:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PEcT9d010263 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PEcTnm010262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:38:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307251438.h6PEcTnm010262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 251400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI JUL 25 2003 SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NORTHWEST OF HAWAII ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33046-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL00EJC75YP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 23:32:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFWEuU020023 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 23:32:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAcL034090; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 10:29:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 337746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 10:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFTfc9048192 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 10:29:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PFTf9d011713 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 10:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PFTe14011712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 10:29:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 10:29:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307251529.h6PFTe14011712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 251529 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 25 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W N OF 6N IS MOVING W 15 KT. A LARGE AREA OF TSTMS HAS RACED AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N103W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W S OF 15N IS MOVING W 10 KT. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS MAKING THE WAVE HARD TO LOCATE. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 130W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE IS MARKED BY A LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINE BEING DRAWN NWD TO NEAR 14N ALONG THE AXIS. ALL CONVECTION IS W OF THE AXIS. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS FROM 32N140W TO 20N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 10N91W 10N105W 6N117W 7N125W 10N134W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 134W AND 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13N131W 12N135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N94W 15N97W 13N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N94W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL00E7UAITP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:44:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PGijuU050875 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:44:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAgB034090; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 11:38:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 338913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 11:38:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PGcic9043462 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 11:38:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PGch9d013875 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 11:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PGch01013874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 11:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 11:38:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307251638.h6PGch01013874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 251638 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI JUL 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPEMENT...IF ANY.. WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE CROSSING CENTRAL AMERICA HAVE INCREASED PRIMARILY A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF GUATEMALA. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:32 2003 X-UIDL: 33051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL00ECUCXAP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 01:36:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PHaYuU072502 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 01:36:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAi7034090; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 339415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PHXkc9049972 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PHXj9d015568 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PHXji1015566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307251733.h6PHXji1015566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:32 2003 X-UIDL: 33052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL00EKRD2NP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 01:39:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PHdpuU073693 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 01:39:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAiB034090; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 339418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PHXkc9012636 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PHXj9d015569 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PHXjE2015567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 12:33:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307251733.h6PHXjE2015567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:33 2003 X-UIDL: 33055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL00EAIK3SP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:11:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PKBduU036673 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:11:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAnt034090; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:04:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:01:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PK1Zc9043286 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PK1Z9d019830 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:01:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PK1Ylu019829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:01:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307252001.h6PK1Ylu019829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 252000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI JUL 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:34 2003 X-UIDL: 33057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL00E8AOFBP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 05:45:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PLj3uU072429 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 05:45:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAsZ034090; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 16:33:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 342743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 16:33:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PLXXc9046982 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 16:33:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PLXX9d022091 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 16:33:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PLXXZ5022090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 16:33:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 16:33:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307252133.h6PLXXZ5022090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 252133 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 25 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 25/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W N OF 6N IS MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 92W-98W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W/105W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAK TURNING IS ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 10N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 105W-107.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 113W/114W S OF 15N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N115W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 131W/132W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14N130W 13N134W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS FROM 32N140W TO 17N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N76W 10N95W 10N105W 7N120W 11N134W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90/105 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 78W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 9N9W 12N101W 14N102W 15N100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 116W-122W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N136W 11N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 130W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N128W PLUS 7N111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF STRONG TSTMS IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N91W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF W COAST OF NICARAGUA NW TO GUATEMALA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:35 2003 X-UIDL: 33058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL00EWJPCUP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 06:05:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PM5AuU079818 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 06:05:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAt7034090; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:01:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 342981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:01:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PM1vc9037622 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:01:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PM1v9d022553 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:01:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PM1vOE022552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:01:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:01:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307252201.h6PM1vOE022552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 252201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EQUATOR...AND BOUNDED BY 14N169E 09N169W 06N170W 05N175W 01S177W 02S173W 06S173W 05S179W 04N176E 03N171E 05N166E 11N166E...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N160W 04N164W 06N167W 08N163W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 TO 20 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 12N140W 07N140W 03N158W 05N158W 09N152W 09N146W 11N143W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 TO 20 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND BOUNDED BY 30N159W 27N160W 27N166W 30N166W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 25N159W 25N153W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EQUATOR...AND BOUNDED BY 14N169E 09N169W 06N170W 05N175W 01S177W 02S173W 06S173W 05S179W 04N176E 03N171E 05N166E 11N166E...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. CZ/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 07S174E 07S176E 09S179E 12S178W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12S174W 13S172W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 15S168W 25S157W 25S162W 15S171W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SHEAR LINE...SECOND SENTENCE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:35 2003 X-UIDL: 33059-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL001L4QUDX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 06:37:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PMb9uU089183 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 06:37:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PM8AdL033164; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:32:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 343310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PMUxc9027192 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PMUx9d022826 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:30:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PMUxgZ022825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:30:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 17:30:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307252230.h6PMUxgZ022825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 252230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF GUATEMALA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:36 2003 X-UIDL: 33062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM001JL0QIX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 10:11:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q2AtuU050561 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 10:10:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLA1L034090; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:04:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:01:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q21Sc9021240 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:01:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q21S9d024802 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q21Sex024801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:01:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260201.h6Q21Sex024801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 260200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI JUL 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:39 2003 X-UIDL: 33068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM001MU5HSX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 11:53:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q3riuU075425 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 11:53:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLA5N034090; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 22:41:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 22:38:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q3cLc9015574 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 22:38:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q3cL9d025465 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 22:38:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q3cL14025464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 22:38:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 22:38:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260338.h6Q3cL14025464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 260338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 26 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W/95W N OF 5N IS MOVING W 5-10 KT. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W/106W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 10 KT. SIGNATURE CURVATURE IS OBSERVED WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W/115W S OF 15N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. LOW AMPLITUDE CURVATURE OBSERVED WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 133W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. BROAD SIGNATURE CURVATURE IS OBSERVED WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N138W TO 23N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 7N90W 12N105W 8N112W 8N122W 14N132W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 105W... WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 109W...AND WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 140W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 95W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 126W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N102W TO 13N105W...WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N95.5W...WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 5.5N82.5W...AND WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N TO 6N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 23N TO 28N. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 12N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA BETWEEN 87W AND 93W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:40 2003 X-UIDL: 33069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM0019J6G5X7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:14:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q4EMuU080446 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:14:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLA6L034090; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 23:09:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 23:09:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q492c9042580 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 23:09:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q4929d025690 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 23:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q492Rn025689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 23:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 23:09:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260409.h6Q492Rn025689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 260408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI JUL 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ANOTHER AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUATEMALA AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS HAVE SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THEY MOVE WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:41 2003 X-UIDL: 33073-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM001V7BCZX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 14:00:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q60SuU011654 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 14:00:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAAl034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346998 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q5jsc9029870 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q5js9d026441 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q5jsYm026439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260545.h6Q5jsYm026439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.0N7 170.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. QUIKSCAT INDICATES A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:43 2003 X-UIDL: 33077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM0010UH1AX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 16:03:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q832uU051439 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 16:03:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLABv034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 02:46:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 347851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 02:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q7jxc9027290 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 02:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q7jx9d027161 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 02:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q7jwEZ027160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 02:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 02:45:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260745.h6Q7jwEZ027160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 260745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI JUL 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:44 2003 X-UIDL: 33079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM001HYM5HX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:53:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q9rXuU077047 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:53:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAD9034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:46:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348387 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q9jxc9035414 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q9jx9d028330 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q9jxrj028329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:45:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260945.h6Q9jxrj028329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 260945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 26 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W/97W N OF 6N IS MOVING W 5-10 KT. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W/108W S OF 15N IS MOVING W 15-20 KT. SIGNATURE CURVATURE IS OBSERVED WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. LOW AMPLITUDE CURVATURE OBSERVED WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 135W S OF 15N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. BROAD SIGNATURE CURVATURE IS OBSERVED WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N139W TO 23N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N93W 12N107W 8N113W 8N128W 13N133W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 108W... WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 81W...WITHIN 45 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 84W...WITHIN 75/90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W...AND WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 125W...WITHIN 150 NM N OF THE AXIS W OF 132W TO BEYOND 140W...AND WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 137W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N94W TO 16N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 5N. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE N OF 10N TO THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND INLAND OVER MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND 103W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:44 2003 X-UIDL: 33081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM00185MODX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 18:05:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA4ruU080069 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 18:04:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLADH034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q9tYc9020582 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q9tY9d028420 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q9tYe8028419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260955.h6Q9tYe8028419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 260955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OR 140W...WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 11N140W 06N150W 08N154W AND MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL LOW AND SURFACE TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 28N159W 26N154W 23N159W MOVED NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF POINT 21N163W MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N165W 28N162W 25N166W 27N167W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ITCZ/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 08N166W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 10N179W 04N178E 03N172E AND WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE FIRST TWO CB AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 11S179W 12S174W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 22S159W 25S155W 26S157W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:45 2003 X-UIDL: 33082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM001B0MQWX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 18:06:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA6PuU080603 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 18:06:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLADJ034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:58:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:58:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q9wAc9020624 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:58:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q9wA9d028446 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q9wA3A028445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:58:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260958.h6Q9wA3A028445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 260957 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT JUL 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:08:56 2003 X-UIDL: 33089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM001RVX59X7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:51:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QDp1uU031882 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:51:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA1heT017334; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 08:46:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 349484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 08:46:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QDkKc9021986 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 08:46:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QDkK9d000402 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 08:46:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QDkJGi000401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 08:46:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 08:46:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307261346.h6QDkJGi000401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 261345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT JUL 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:04 2003 X-UIDL: 33094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN001HX1EEX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 23:23:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QFMsuU050356 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 23:22:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAHX034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 10:17:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 349964 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 10:17:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QFHic9051076 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 10:17:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QFHi9d001231 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 10:17:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QFHiOw001230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 10:17:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 10:17:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307261517.h6QFHiOw001230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 261516 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 26 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1500 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W/98W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS N OF 11N BETWEEN 93W AND 100W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W S OF 15N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 14N BETWEEN FROM 107W TO 112W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 137W S OF 15N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N140W TO 24N119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 12N107W 7N120W 7N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 80W AND FROM 116W TO 121W AND 80 OF AXIS W OF 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS F84W TO 98W AND 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 124W TO 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 7N BETWEEN 82W AND 90W. $$ SANDOVAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:07 2003 X-UIDL: 33098-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN001PB5Q5X7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:56:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QGuLuU066820 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAJ1034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 11:43:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 11:43:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QGhnc9056112 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 11:43:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QGhn9d001875 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 11:43:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QGhn2C001874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 11:43:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 11:43:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307261643.h6QGhn2C001874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 261643 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT JUL 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD WITH NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS MOVING WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN001H17XCX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 01:44:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QHhpuU077658 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 01:43:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA1hgp017334; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350837 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QHWVc9055774 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QHWV9d002286 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QHWVND002284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307261732.h6QHWVND002284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN001JN7Z9X7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 01:45:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QHj2uU078010 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 01:45:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAJT034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QHWVc9035642 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QHWV9d002285 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QHWVhC002282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 12:32:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307261732.h6QHWVhC002282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:11 2003 X-UIDL: 33108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN001DZEIOX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:06:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QK6FuU012933 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:06:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAMl034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:01:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 352108 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:01:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QK1mc9038788 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QK1m9d003963 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QK1mCd003962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:01:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307262001.h6QK1mCd003962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 262000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT JUL 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN001HMJ89X7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 05:48:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QLm0uU035882 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 05:48:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLANb034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 16:42:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 352577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 16:42:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QLgJc9033012 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 16:42:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QLgJ9d004945 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 16:42:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QLgJgg004944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 16:42:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 16:42:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307262142.h6QLgJgg004944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 262142 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 26 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 26/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W N OF 6N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 94W-99W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W S OF 15N MOVING W 15 KT. LOW MAY BE FORMING ON THE WAVE NEAR 11N ACCORDING TO VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 108W-114W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 119W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAKENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF LINE 10N117W 7N121W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 137W IS REPOSITIONED W OF THE AREA. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N136W TO 18N110W. THERE IS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE N OF 26N BETWEEN 120W-127W.. PERHAPS A WEAK TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 11N100W 11N110W 7N124W 7N130W 11N140W. CONVECTION HAS GENERALLY INCREASED IN THE AREA ESPECIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL WAVES SINCE YESTERDAY. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W-133W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 7N87W 9N100W 8N110W 7N115W AND LINE 7N135W 11N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N FROM 137W-140W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 13N103.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 10N E OF 91W. ISOLATED TSTMS ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF 19.5N106W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:13 2003 X-UIDL: 33115-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN001J4KANX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 06:11:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QMAuq5000547 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 06:10:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QLKhe5033174; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:03:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 352768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:02:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QM2hc9014006 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:02:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QM2g9d005136 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:02:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QM2glM005135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:02:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:02:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307262202.h6QM2glM005135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 262201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 13N160E 10N175W 03N179W 06N173E EQ170E 04N165E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N171W 07N164W 05N165W 03N169W 07N175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 14N140W 09N140W 06N151W 12N145W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT... DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. UPPER LOW/UPPER TROUGH/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 30N162W 29N156W 26N155W 21N157W 20N162W 25N169W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER LOW/UPPER TROUGH/SURFACE TROUGH. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER LOW/UPPER TROUGH/SURFACE TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 08S169E 10S174E 09S179E 11S177W HAVE MOVED WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 11S175W 15S167W 20S158W 25S153W 25S157W 20S162W 13S178W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 10 KT SOUTH OF 20S...NEARLY STATIONARY ELSEWHERE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEAR LINE/FRONT. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S157W 07S155W 07S152W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:13 2003 X-UIDL: 33116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN00D7YLTI0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 06:44:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QMhwq5006707 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 06:44:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA1hlp017334; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:41:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 353160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:41:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QMebc9044626 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:41:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QMeY9d005477 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QMeYho005476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 17:40:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307262240.h6QMeYho005476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 262240 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT JUL 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AND HAS MINIMAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AT THIS TIME...ALTHOUGH SOME DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:15 2003 X-UIDL: 33120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN00DALULT0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 09:53:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R1rgq5046658 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 09:53:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLATr034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 354784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R1hrc9010214 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R1hr9d007257 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R1hrCD007255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270143.h6R1hrCD007255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/270130Z/270600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 170.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL, REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 13.5N9 115.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS ALONG WITH ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS PERSISTED OVER SIX HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AT 1008 MB. BASED ON INCREASED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(2) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:16 2003 X-UIDL: 33122-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN00DY2V8F0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 10:07:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R27Kq5049911 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 10:07:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAUH034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:01:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 354955 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:01:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R21Cc9033886 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:01:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R21C9d007477 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:01:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R21CGi007476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:01:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:01:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270201.h6R21CGi007476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 270200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT JUL 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:18 2003 X-UIDL: 33126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN00DDRZCG0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 11:36:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R3a7q5070654 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 11:36:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAWB034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:29:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R3T7c9013840 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R3T69d008152 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R3T6Vk008151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:29:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270329.h6R3T6Vk008151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 270328 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT JUL 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AND SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:18 2003 X-UIDL: 33127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DB80CW0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 11:58:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R3vvq5074944 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 11:58:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAWH034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:50:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:50:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R3obc9011250 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:50:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R3oX9d008286 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R3oXh0008285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:50:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270350.h6R3oXh0008285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 270350 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 27 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W N OF 6N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-17N BETWEEN 95W-104W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W/111W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A 1010 MB NEAR 11N. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SOME IMPROVED ORGANIZATION WITH LOOSELY DEFINED BAND TO THE WEST. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 106W-113W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 120W/121W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION CONFINED WITHIN THE ITCZ. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 117W-123W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N130W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE COAST OF MEXICO JUST S OF PUERTO VALLARTA NEAR 20N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N90W 11N100W 10N110W 6N125W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION N OF 7N E OF 89W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 122W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NWD TO SAN BLAS. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:19 2003 X-UIDL: 33129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DQ74DR0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:25:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R5Ouq5093772 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:24:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAZT034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 356830 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R5EXc9057772 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R5EW9d008912 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R5EWf4008910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270514.h6R5EWf4008910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 170.1E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.9N6 169.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 115.0E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 115.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 315 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION AROUND A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AT 1006 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:21 2003 X-UIDL: 33132-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DTBB650C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 15:51:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R7pSq5024009 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 15:51:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAaf034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 02:46:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 02:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R7k4c9015462 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 02:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R7k39d009961 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 02:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R7k3vj009960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 02:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 02:46:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270746.h6R7k3vj009960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 270745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT JUL 26 2003 AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS WAS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW AND A SURFACE TROUGH. A NON-TROPICAL SURFACE LOW HAS FORMED ABOUT 550 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF LIHUE. THIS WEAK LOW... WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD AWAY FROM HAWAII DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:22 2003 X-UIDL: 33134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DPUE930C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 16:58:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R8w6q5039236 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 16:58:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAb3034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R8rWc9025782 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R8rV9d010604 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R8rVbC010602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270853.h6R8rVbC010602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 270900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/270900Z/271800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED ON THE COAST OF PAKISTAN, HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA NEAR 23.5N0 66.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF WELL ORGANIZED CONVECTION AROUND A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT BUT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AS A FAIR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:22 2003 X-UIDL: 33135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DYDEET0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:01:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R91Zq5040233 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:01:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA1htB017334; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R8rWc9011080 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R8rV9d010603 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R8rVrx010601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:53:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270853.h6R8rVrx010601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 270900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/270900Z/271800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED ON THE COAST OF PAKISTAN, HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA NEAR 23.5N0 66.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF WELL ORGANIZED CONVECTION AROUND A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT BUT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AS A FAIR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:22 2003 X-UIDL: 33136-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00D3OF9G0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:20:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R9Juq5045236 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:19:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAbD034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:16:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:16:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R9Fxc9011020 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:15:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R9Fx9d010825 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:15:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R9FwbI010824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:15:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270915.h6R9FwbI010824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 270915 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 27 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 96W-103W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A 1012 MB NEAR 11N. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED WITH IMPROVED BANDING TO THE WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 110W-114W AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 107W-110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 110W-115W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 122W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION CONFINED WITHIN THE ITCZ. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 117W-123W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N140W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 22N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 4N90W 8N100W 12N117W 6N125W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 125W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NWD TO SAN BLAS. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:25 2003 X-UIDL: 33138-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00D3MH4A0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 18:00:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R9xqq5058750 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:59:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA1htJ017334; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 358015 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R9tXc9049932 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R9tW9d011058 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R9tW5H011057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:55:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270955.h6R9tW5H011057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 270955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 11N149W 12N154W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 07N151W 07N163W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N175W 08N168W 05N173W 07N178W MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 28N168W 27N164W 24N166W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 26N162 24N158W 21N162W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 26N162W 29N164W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 05 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH AND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 20S158W 24S153W MOVED EAST AT 05 KT AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:25 2003 X-UIDL: 33140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DF4IE70C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 18:27:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RARaq5067464 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 18:27:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAbX034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 05:23:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 358171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 05:23:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RANpc9039458 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 05:23:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RANl9d011252 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 05:23:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RANlUO011251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 05:23:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 05:23:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307271023.h6RANlUO011251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 271023 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN JUL 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AND SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DKFRRL0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 21:50:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RDo1q5021118 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 21:50:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0Adr034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 08:45:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 359572 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 08:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RDjic9039442 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 08:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RDji9d012663 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 08:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RDjiAt012662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 08:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 08:45:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307271345.h6RDjiAt012662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 271345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN JUL 27 2003 A WEAK SURFACE LOW HAS FORMED ABOUT 430 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF LIHUE. THIS SYSTEM...WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW...DOES NOT HAVE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD AWAY FROM HAWAII DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33156-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DVFWQE0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 23:37:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RFbIq5045159 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 23:37:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0Afr034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 10:34:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 10:34:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RFYcc9039450 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 10:34:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RFYb9d013584 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 10:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RFYbTS013583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 10:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 10:34:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307271534.h6RFYbTS013583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 271534 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 27 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. A BROAD CIRCULATION IS LOCATED SW OF ACAPULCO...BUT CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND PRIMARILY E OF THE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 97W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS ELSEWHERE FROM 11N-16.5N BETWEEN 100W-106W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 11N. SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE WAVE/LOW HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH BANDING FEATURES FORMING TO THE N OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 110W-116W. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HRS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 123W S OF 14N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS LOCATED WITHIN THE ITCZ WITH ONE LONE TSTMS ALONG THE AXIS FROM 9N-10N BETWEEN 123W-124.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE E OF THE AXIS FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 116W-122W. ..WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 26N123W 20N112W. A LARGE PACIFIC HIGH W OF OREGON HAS BECOME ORIENTED NE/SW CAUSING THE MAIN SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS TO EXTEND SW TOWARDS HAWAII. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N77W 10N103W 9N110W 10N120W 7N132W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-89W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 102W-105W AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 109W-111W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 22N106W 16N108W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:32 2003 X-UIDL: 33158-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DN4Z3C0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 00:28:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RGS9q5055275 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 00:28:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIex019838; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 11:24:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360386 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 11:23:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RGNmc9025284 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 11:23:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RGNm9d014053 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 11:23:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RGNmlF014052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 11:23:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 11:23:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307271623.h6RGNmlF014052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 271623 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN JUL 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO. THIS SYSTEM ALSO HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:15:14 2003 X-UIDL: 33159-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200DIPF597G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 20:10:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FCADE7062257 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 20:10:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F1gVPf056628; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 179812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FC23c9047648 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FC229d021193 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FC22Vu021190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307151202.h6FC22Vu021190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/150230Z/150600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 134.1E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 134.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM NORTH OF KORROR, PALAU ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED WITH SPIRAL BANDING AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINE FEATURES BECOMING EVIDENT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS OF UW CIMMS DATA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A POINT SOURCE ENHANCING OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.2N7 150.0E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7N1 149.8E2, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES EVIDENT AT THE SURFACE AND A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT UNDERNEATH THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO GOOD AND UPGRADED 1.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:15:26 2003 X-UIDL: 33168-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200DJWKOZ9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 22:10:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FE9sE7097371 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 22:09:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FDdAe7056628; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:01:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 181720 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:01:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FE1Sc9021886 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:01:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FE1R9d024345 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FE1RfP024344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:01:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307151401.h6FE1RfP024344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 151400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE JUL 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:15:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33175-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200MRCQM0EX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 00:18:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FGHnE7038297 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 00:17:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFnVVx023968; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 10:57:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 183463 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 10:57:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FFvpc9054176 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 10:57:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FFvo9d028997 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 10:57:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FFvo8s028994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 10:57:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 10:57:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307151557.h6FFvo8s028994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 151557 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:15:32 2003 X-UIDL: 33176-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200M2XQQAEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 00:20:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FGKME7039283 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 00:20:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F56h3d033688; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:03:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 183589 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:03:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FG38c9021964 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:03:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FG379d029261 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:03:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FG37kc029260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:03:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:03:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307151603.h6FG37kc029260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 151602 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 15 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 15/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS ALONG 80W NOW ALONG 81W/82W SOUTH OF 22N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 3N TO 11N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND PANAMA/COSTA RICA NEAR 82W. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NEAR 11N96W MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W. ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 10N119W MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN CLUSTERS FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 118W AND 121W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 7N122W 9N125W 10N126W 12N125W. ..1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF T.D. ENRIQUE... NEAR 19N128W...DISSIPATING WITH TIME. ONLY A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. NO DEEP CONVECTION. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 21N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N93W 9N105W 10N125W 12N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG IN TWO CLUSTERS WITHIN 90 NM NORTH OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 120W. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN A 40-50 NM RADIUS OF 7.5N86W AND 7.5N92W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:11 2003 X-UIDL: 33195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00D7P3VJ0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 02:11:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RIBZq5078403 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 02:11:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0AiN034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RI8Dc9025342 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RI8D9d015169 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RI8D4f015167 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307271808.h6RI8D4f015167@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.5N0 66.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS THE AREA OF CONVECTION AROUND A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT ALONG WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PROVIDES AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:17 2003 X-UIDL: 33196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00DEJ42F0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 02:15:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RIFiq5079252 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 02:15:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIgJ019838; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RI8Dc9047618 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RI8D9d015170 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RI8DH6015168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:08:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307271808.h6RI8DH6015168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.5N0 66.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF KARACHI, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS THE AREA OF CONVECTION AROUND A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT ALONG WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PROVIDES AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:18 2003 X-UIDL: 33199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00DMY8EM0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:49:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RJnQq5005392 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:49:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0AkR034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 14:45:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 361746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 14:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RJjec9020688 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 14:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RJjd9d016065 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 14:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RJjdpa016064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 14:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 14:45:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307271945.h6RJjdpa016064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 271945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN JUL 27 2003 A WEAK SURFACE LOW HAS FORMED ABOUT 400 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF KAUAI. THIS SYSTEM...WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW...DOES NOT HAVE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND DISSIPATE. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LOW FOR ANY ANY SIGNS OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:22 2003 X-UIDL: 33201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00DIVEPB0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 06:05:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RM5Rq5036187 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 06:05:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0AqT034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:01:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RM1cc9018552 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:01:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RM1c9d017397 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RM1cNv017396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:01:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307272201.h6RM1cNv017396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 272201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 07N140W 05N160W 04N170W 06N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 25NM OF LINE 12N140W 13N144W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 25NM OF LINE 10N151W 12N159W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS... OCCASIONAL TCU AND VERY ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09N163W 08N154W 05N156W 06N165W 09N163W AND WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 10N172W 08N16W 07N180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT...WEAKENED AND INCREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. LOW ALOFT...LOW NEAR 27N166W MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10KT. AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS PARTLY BOUNDED BY 30N157W 25N156W 22N163W 30N167W 30N157W AND EXTENDING NORTH. VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 30N166W 26N163W 23N162W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 30N158W 25N156W AND EXTENDING NORTH. SHEARLINE...AXIS THROUGH 30N174W 28N180 AND EXTENDING NORTH. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF AXIS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS OVER ISLANDS. ISOLATED CB WEST OF KAUAI. SEE CB AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH LOW ALOFT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE SHEARLINE AND CB AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH LOW ALOFT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ISOLATED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE 1...SHEARLINE THROUGH 20S120W 16S130W 15S140W CONTINUING AS FRONT EAST OF 120W. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF SHEARLINE. FRONT/SHEARLINE 2...FRONT THROUGH 25S152W 20S158W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 12S180. OCCASIONAL TCU AND OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT. VERY ISOLATED CB... ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 90NM OF SHEARLINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS. SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE 2 IN SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:22 2003 X-UIDL: 33202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00H5YF4SBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 06:14:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RMEiq5038111 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 06:14:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RLnxfF027242; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:10:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:10:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RMAFc9047202 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:10:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RMAE9d017495 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:10:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RMAEFs017494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:10:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:10:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307272210.h6RMAEFs017494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 272210 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 27 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 27/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 10 KT. A BROAD CIRCULATION IS LOCATED SW OF ACAPULCO. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 113W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 10 KT. A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 11N. SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE WAVE/LOW HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH BANDING FEATURES FORMING TO THE N OF THE CENTER. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 124W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE IS LOCATED NEAR THE ITCZ ..WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 32N132W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 12N100W 12N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 30 NM WIDE BETWEEN 92W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 180 NM WIDE BETWEEN 107W AND 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 120W AND 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:23 2003 X-UIDL: 33203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00HYNG52BX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 06:36:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RMaVq5041892 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 06:36:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0ArJ034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:30:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:30:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RMU1c9037464 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:30:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RMU19d017835 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:30:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RMU1m6017830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:30:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 17:30:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307272230.h6RMU1m6017830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 272229 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN JUL 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE GETTING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:28 2003 X-UIDL: 33217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00HX1P28BX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 09:49:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S1nCq5083899 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 09:49:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIqv019838; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:45:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S1jbc9050156 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S1jb9d019722 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S1jb6e019721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:45:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280145.h6S1jb6e019721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 280145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN JUL 27 2003 ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:30 2003 X-UIDL: 33224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00HFLPYXBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 10:08:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S28oq5089584 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 10:08:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIr5019838; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S1vpc9020512 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S1vo9d019822 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S1voC0019820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280157.h6S1voC0019820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 280200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/280200Z/280600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.9N6 169.0E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 166.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 65 NM SOUTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 115.4E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 112.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 140.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(3) AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1) AND 1.B.(2). 4. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00HH6TSTBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:31:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S3VLq5014773 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:31:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0A1F034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:27:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 366223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S3RRc9033814 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S3RR9d020735 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:27:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S3RQJI020734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:27:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280327.h6S3RQJI020734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 280326 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN JUL 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:51:05 2003 X-UIDL: 33229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00HQRUATBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:42:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S3gLq5017646 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:42:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0A1Z034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:39:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 366327 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:39:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S3dCc9013966 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:39:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S3dC9d020821 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:39:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S3dB3d020820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:39:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:39:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280339.h6S3dB3d020820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 280339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 28 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W/105W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A BROAD CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE CENTERED NEAR 12N/13N. HOWEVER...CONVECTION REMAINS UNORGANIZED WITH A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 101W-109W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1009 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 11N. WHILE THE WAVE APPEARED BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE LAST FEW VISIBLE IMAGES...CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 112W-118W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT. A RECENT BURST OF CONVECTION HAS OCCURRED WITHIN THE ITCZ WITH SCATTERED STRONG ACTIVITY FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 125W-127W. ELSEWHERE...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N130W-14N122W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA ALONG 31N135W AND EXTENDS SE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR MANZANILLO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N100W 12N120W 8N125W 8N140W. NONE. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AN AREA OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS MOVING WESTWARD OVER GUATEMALA/S MEXICO AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS E OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 12N-18N BETWEEN 89W-95W. SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION W OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO FROM 9N-11N E OF 89W TO THE COAST OF NW COSTA RICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 15:50:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HT51EQBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 14:16:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S6Fsq5064010 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 14:15:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0A5t034090; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 367392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S67Kc9012948 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S67K9d021791 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S67KhL021789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280607.h6S67KhL021789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 166.9E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 166.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 112.5E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 112.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DECREASED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 140.4E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 140.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 16:00:45 2003 X-UIDL: 33250-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HBC674BX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 15:59:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S7xGq5093595 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 15:59:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0A6h034090; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 02:55:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 367750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 02:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S7tfc9012554 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 02:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S7te9d022444 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 02:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S7teQJ022443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 02:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 02:55:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280755.h6S7teQJ022443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 280755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN JUL 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 18:31:16 2003 X-UIDL: 33255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00H808XYBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:58:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S8wXq5011885 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIwb019838; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:54:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 367893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:54:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S8s7c9013030 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:54:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S8s79d022995 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:54:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S8s72v022994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:54:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:54:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280854.h6S8s72v022994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PHNC 280830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 280800ZJUL03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.6N8 113.6W1 TO 13.5N9 120.0W3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 280600Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 114.5W1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTH WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 290600Z7. 2. REMARKS: A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09.6N5 113.7W2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 114.5W1, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. RECENT INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 290830Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 18:31:28 2003 X-UIDL: 33257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HJKBDPBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 17:51:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S9p6q5027272 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 17:51:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0A7j034090; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 04:46:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 368112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 04:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S9ktc9035786 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 04:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S9kt9d023341 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 04:46:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S9kspX023340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 04:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 04:46:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280946.h6S9kspX023340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 280946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N149W 11N141W 06N142W 07N146W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11N155W TO 11N153W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 10N158W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 03N166W TO 05N165W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N173W TO 06N172W. LOW ALOFT...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 29N158W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 26N162W TO 28N161W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 22N164W TO 22N161W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 28N164W TO 31N165W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 29N168W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE DISCUSSION OF LOW ALOFT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF LOW ALOFT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 100 NM OF THE LINE FROM 15S141W TO 17S135W TO 18S120W AND FURTHER SOUTHEAST REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. FRONT/SHEARLINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S180 TO 21S157W TO 30S144W AND FURTHER SOUTHEAST REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT/SHEARLINE IN SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 03S166W 07S156W 10S167W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 18:31:28 2003 X-UIDL: 33259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00H0QCLQBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 18:17:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SAHUq5034375 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 18:17:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIwr019838; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:10:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 368164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:10:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SAARc9010746 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:10:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SAAQ9d023500 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:10:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SAAQLO023499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:10:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:10:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307281010.h6SAAQLO023499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 281010 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 28 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE WAVE IS SLOWLY BECOMGING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A BROAD LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 13N AND A LOOSELY ORGANIZED BAND TO THE N. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF BAND ALONG 14N100W 15.5N106W 13N108W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 5 S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1009 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 12N. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION TO THE WEST FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 115W-117W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 126W/127W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION BUT THERE IS LITTLE ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N130W-13N124W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA ALONG 31N135W AND EXTENDS SE TO JUST S OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/XXXX UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N100W 12N120W 8N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 91W-94W AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 103W-106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A PERSISTENT AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO VALLARTA NWD TO MAZATLAN. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA N SEA OF CORTEZ N OF 26N E OF 117W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 18:31:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33260-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HY7D2XBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 18:28:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SAS1q5036956 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 18:28:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0A7p034090; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:11:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 368174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:11:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SABVc9010512 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:11:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SABV9d023520 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:11:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SABVKT023519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:11:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:11:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307281011.h6SABVKT023519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 281011 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 28 JUL 2003 ..CORRECTED FOR TIME OF SATELLITE IMAGERY... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE WAVE IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A BROAD LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 13N AND A LOOSELY ORGANIZED BAND TO THE N. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF BAND ALONG 14N100W 15.5N106W 13N108W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 5 S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1009 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 12N. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION TO THE WEST FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 115W-117W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 126W/127W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION BUT THERE IS LITTLE ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N130W-13N124W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA ALONG 31N135W AND EXTENDS SE TO JUST S OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N100W 12N120W 8N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 91W-94W AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 103W-106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A PERSISTENT AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO VALLARTA NWD TO MAZATLAN. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA N SEA OF CORTEZ N OF 26N E OF 117W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 18:41:03 2003 X-UIDL: 33262-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HT6DLGBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 18:39:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SAd3q5039703 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 18:39:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0A7v034090; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:31:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 368233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:31:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SAVoc9017276 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SAVo9d023638 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:31:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SAVolg023637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:31:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 05:31:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307281031.h6SAVolg023637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 281031 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON JUL 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:51:49 2003 X-UIDL: 33271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HCHMOBBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 21:55:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SDtEq5094122 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 21:55:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0ADF034090; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 08:50:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 369432 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 08:50:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SDogc9010610 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 08:50:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SDog9d026526 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 08:50:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SDogOB026525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 08:50:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 08:50:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307281350.h6SDogOB026525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 281350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON JUL 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:52:13 2003 X-UIDL: 33277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HOKSZABX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 00:11:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SGBPq5034711 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 00:11:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21ej044116; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:04:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:04:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SG45c9033902 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:04:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SG459d001092 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:04:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SG444e001091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:04:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:04:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307281604.h6SG444e001091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 281603 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 28 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W/107W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N102W 17N107W 15N109W ALONG THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE AXIS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 12N. FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES INDICATE A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EAST OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FOUND FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 116W AND 118W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 127W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT. AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14N124W 14N127W E OF THE WAVE AXIS. SIMILARLY... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ENHANCED ALONG THE ITCZ WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 10N129W W OF THE WAVE AXIS. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA ALONG 31N135W AND EXTENDS SE TO 22N111W... NEAR SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N99W 14N126W 8N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 137W TO 139W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 97W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE ALSO WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 132W TO 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N90W 12N93W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 14N97W 11N98W. $$ HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:52:14 2003 X-UIDL: 33279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00H6ZV1HBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 00:56:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SGtuq5047365 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 00:55:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGI83019838; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:45:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:45:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SGjHc9055644 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:45:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SGjG9d002444 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:45:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SGjGxF002443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:45:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 11:45:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307281645.h6SGjGxF002443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 281644 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON JUL 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...CENTERED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...BUT IT STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS WELL-ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...IT STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:52:20 2003 X-UIDL: 33286-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00H5MYR4BX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 02:16:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SIG2q5070396 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 02:16:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGI9J019838; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 372539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SI8vc9047700 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SI8o9d005057 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SI8oXb005055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307281808.h6SI8oXb005055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.5N0 66.0E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.0N3 63.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MUSCAT, OMAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PERSISTS ALOFT. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, RECENT IMPROVED LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION PROMPTS AN UPGRADE IN STATUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/SPANSKI/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:52:21 2003 X-UIDL: 33288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HH0YXLBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 02:20:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SIK2q5071682 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 02:20:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21kN044116; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 372534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SI8pc9046452 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SI8p9d005060 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SI8on1005056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 13:08:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307281808.h6SI8on1005056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z/291800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.5N0 66.0E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.0N3 63.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MUSCAT, OMAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PERSISTS ALOFT. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, RECENT IMPROVED LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION PROMPTS AN UPGRADE IN STATUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/SPANSKI/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:52:23 2003 X-UIDL: 33290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIR00HAT37ZBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 03:52:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SJqdq5001267 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 03:52:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21qp044116; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 14:46:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 374217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 14:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SJk2c9029854 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 14:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SJk29d008327 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 14:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SJk2gB008326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 14:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 14:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307281946.h6SJk2gB008326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 281945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON JUL 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:52:27 2003 X-UIDL: 33299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIR00H6L87EBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 05:40:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SLeHq5027891 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 05:40:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21st044116; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:34:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 375120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:34:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SLY9c9034816 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:34:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SLY99d011410 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SLY92R011409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:34:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307282134.h6SLY92R011409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 282133 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 07N140W 06N143W 10N145W 13N154W 05N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 07N140W 05N143W 07N145W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 10N145W 13N152W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF POINT 11N155W HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 11N157W 07N173W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 07N174W 06N178W. SURFACE TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 24N170W 30N163W. AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 30N161W 30N159W 26N163W AND EXTENDING NORTH HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 25KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80NM OF LINE 19N165W 23N162W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE TROUGH IN SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE 1...SHEARLINE THROUGH 16S120W 16S130W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 120W. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF SHEARLINE. FRONT/SHEARLINE 2...FRONT THROUGH 25S147W 20S155W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 14S170W 12S180. OCCASIONAL TCU AND OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT. VERY ISOLATED CB... ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN50NM OF SHEARLINE. CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS THROUGH 09S160W 06S168W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 03S168W 05S161W 09S161W 08S165E 03S168W HAS MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE 2 IN SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:52:28 2003 X-UIDL: 33300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIR00HSA96NBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 06:01:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SM1Rq5033301 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 06:01:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21tv044116; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:54:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 375392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:54:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SLskc9024592 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:54:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SLsj9d011894 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:54:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SLsjtf011893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:54:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:54:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307282154.h6SLsjtf011893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 282154 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 28 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 28/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W/108W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W/117W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH A 1012 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 12N. AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOTED WITH ALL SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING AND SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE RISEN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 128W/129W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10 KT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA ALONG 32N133W AND EXTENDS SE TO 23N114W... NEAR THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N100W 13N120W 12N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 126W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 94W-96W...FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 93W-98W...FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 106W-108W...AND FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 117W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 113N-18N BETWEEN 98W-102W...AND FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 123W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:52:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIR0072EAK5RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 06:31:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SMV9q5039335 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 06:31:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21v3044116; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 17:23:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 375750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 17:23:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SMN8c9047646 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 17:23:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SMN89d012523 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 17:23:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SMN8Ul012522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 17:23:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 17:23:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307282223.h6SMN8Ul012522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 282222 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON JUL 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...CENTERED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT THE SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...IT STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED ABOUT 1350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIR007LKJV5RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 09:52:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T1q8q5087477 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 09:52:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF212x044116; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 20:46:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 377464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 20:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T1jtc9005190 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 20:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6T1jp9d015044 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 20:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6T1jphC015043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 20:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 20:45:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307290145.h6T1jphC015043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 290145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON JUL 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:32 2003 X-UIDL: 33328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIR007KHP1URC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 11:44:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T3iAq5021526 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 11:44:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF214p044116; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:40:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 378260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:40:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T3ekc9029944 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:40:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6T3ek9d016201 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:40:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6T3ejja016200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:40:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:40:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307290340.h6T3ejja016200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 290340 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON JUL 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS EVENING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...ALTHOUGH THE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POORLY ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING...AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1425 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:32 2003 X-UIDL: 33329-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIR00790POCRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 11:57:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T3vfq5025178 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 11:57:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF214t044116; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:54:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 378314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:53:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T3rxc9047836 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:53:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6T3rw9d016299 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:53:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6T3rwA7016297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:53:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:53:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307290353.h6T3rwA7016297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 290353 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 29 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 14N. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AT THE EXPENSE OF THE WAVE FURTHER W ALONG 117W. CONVECTION HAS BECOME A BIT MORE CONCENTRATED ABOUT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 106W-111W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 117W S OF 17N MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 12N. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINING EXPOSED. ALL SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION LIES TO THE WEST OF THE CIRCULATION IN THE FORM OF NUMEROUS MODERATE ACTIVITY FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 117W-120W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 130W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10 KT. WHILE THIS SYSTEM REMAINS UNORGANIZED...IT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 9N134W-15N125W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA ALONG 31N135W AND EXTENDS SE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N83W 8N90W 12N102W 12N115W 13N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 87W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 95W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 114W-116W AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 132W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ACAPULCO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 101W-106W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:37 2003 X-UIDL: 33341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS007IM10WRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 16:02:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T82mq5096280 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 16:02:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF218F044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 02:55:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 02:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T7tWc9027410 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 02:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6T7tV9d018298 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 02:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6T7tVcT018297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 02:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 02:55:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307290755.h6T7tVcT018297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 290755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON JUL 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:45 2003 X-UIDL: 33354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS008XK5DYLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:37:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T9b1q5026419 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:37:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF218l044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:31:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:31:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T9Vcc9057820 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:31:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6T9Vc9d019435 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6T9VcaD019434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:31:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307290931.h6T9VcaD019434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 290931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 29 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 78W N OF 5N MOVING W 15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION S OF PANAMA FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 77W-79W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 15N. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT CONVECTION IS UNORGANIZED AND REMOVED FROM THE CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-19N BETWEEN 106W-112W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 117W S OF 17N MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 12N. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS EXPOSED WITH ALL SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION TO THE WEST IN THE FORM OF NUMEROUS MODERATE ACTIVITY FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 118W-121W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 131W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10 KT. WHILE THIS SYSTEM REMAINS UNORGANIZED...IT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 6N136W-14N127W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA ALONG 31N137W AND EXTENDS SE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N90W 9N100W 10N115W 14N128W 10N132W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 92W-98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 96W-101W INCLUDING COASTAL REGIONS OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ACAPULCO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 101W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR SAN BLAS FROM 21N-23N. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:45 2003 X-UIDL: 33355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS007FL61ZRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:51:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T9pRq5031626 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:51:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF218x044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:46:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:46:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T9kgc9027212 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:46:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6T9kf9d019573 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:46:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6T9kfA9019572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:46:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:46:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307290946.h6T9kfA9019572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 290830 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 290800ZJUL03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280800Z JUL 03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PHNC/ 280800)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.2N5 116.6W4 TO 12.9N2 120.3W6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 290600Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N6 116.9W7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 09.6N5 113.7W2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.3N6 116.9W7, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. RECENT INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LLCC WITH A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 300830Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:45 2003 X-UIDL: 33356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS007J464ORC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:53:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T9qxq5032122 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:53:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF2191044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:47:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379672 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:47:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T9lnc9010628 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:47:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6T9ln9d019586 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:47:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6T9ln9s019585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:47:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:47:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307290947.h6T9ln9s019585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 290947 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N148W 08N140W 06N140W 03N148W 04N150W 10N151W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 12N159W TO 11N157W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 05N171W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 06N177W TO 06N176W. TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 20N167W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 25N164W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 28N162W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 30N159W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14S180 23S150W 30S137W AND FURTHER SOUTHEAST MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5 KT AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 04S169W. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:46 2003 X-UIDL: 33358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS008FL76PLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 18:16:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TAFqq5040086 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 18:15:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIU7019838; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 05:11:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 05:11:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TABoc9056290 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 05:11:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6TABo9d019830 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 05:11:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6TABoE9019829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 05:11:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 05:11:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307291011.h6TABoE9019829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 291011 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE JUL 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM ALSO SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1475 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:53 2003 X-UIDL: 33379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS007HJHP2RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:03:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TE2kq5002109 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:02:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21E1044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 08:55:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 08:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TDtbc9027198 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 08:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6TDta9d023282 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 08:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6TDtaGL023279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 08:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 08:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307291355.h6TDtaGL023279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 291355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE JUL 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:57 2003 X-UIDL: 33385-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS007RFN1JRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 23:58:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TFwMq5036520 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 23:58:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21IH044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 10:52:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 382214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 10:52:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TFqac9032808 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 10:52:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6TFqZ9d027554 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 10:52:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6TFqZrE027553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 10:52:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 10:52:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307291552.h6TFqZrE027553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 291552 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 29 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 79W/80W N OF 5N MOVING W 15 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 5N-7.5N BETWEEN 77W-80W. ..TROPICAL WAVE INTRODUCED ALONG 98W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT BASED ON LONG-TERM SATELLITE LOOPS. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14.5N BETWEEN 96W-100W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W S OF 19N MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 15N. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS RATHER BROAD AND LACKS SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 106W-112W. ..1010 MB LOW IS NEAR 12.5N117.5W MOVING W 5 KT. EASTERLY SHEAR CONTINUES OVER THE SYSTEM WITH DEEP CONVECTION ON THE W SIDE OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED CENTER. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 11.5N118.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 132W S OF 14N IS MOVING W 10 KT. THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING SCATTERED STRONG FROM 13N-15.5N BETWEEN 128W-132W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA ALONG 32N139W AND EXTENDS SE TO THE COAST OF SW MEXICO NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N95W 10N105W 13N115W 11N125W 14N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 9N88W 7N96W 9N101W 14N104W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 11N132W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 4N78W...6N83W...10N124W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 8N102W 11N110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LAS TRES MARIAS ISLANDS. AN ISOLATED TSTM IS NEAR 13N90.5W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:10:02 2003 X-UIDL: 33397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS007C6Q9VRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 01:08:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TH8Bq5056679 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 01:08:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21Kj044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 11:54:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 383047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 11:54:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGsdc9021094 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 11:54:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6TGsd9d029679 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 11:54:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6TGsdI0029677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 11:54:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 11:54:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307291654.h6TGsdI0029677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 291654 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE JUL 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM ALSO SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:10:03 2003 X-UIDL: 33401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS007NWSDIRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 01:53:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6THrXq5068907 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 01:53:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T56eNP012780; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 383664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6THn1c9027418 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6THn09d001446 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6THn0Ei001444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307291749.h6THn0Ei001444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.0N3 63.0E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/DAMRON/PIVIN/SPANSKI/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:10:04 2003 X-UIDL: 33402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS007QISHWRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 01:56:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6THuCq5069855 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 01:56:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYqeN019838; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 383661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6THn1c9024674 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6THn09d001447 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6THn0BU001445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 12:49:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307291749.h6THn0BU001445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.0N3 63.0E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/DAMRON/PIVIN/SPANSKI/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:10:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33414-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS007M1Y54RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:58:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TJw8q5005857 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:58:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYqiN019838; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 14:55:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 14:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TJtjc9051034 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 14:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6TJti9d005811 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 14:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6TJtiXd005810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 14:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 14:55:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307291955.h6TJtiXd005810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 291955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE JUL 29 2003 TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:10:09 2003 X-UIDL: 33418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT008ER3RZLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 05:59:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TLxlq5036439 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 05:59:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TJYir9012780; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 16:55:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 387169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 16:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TLtWc9055118 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 16:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6TLtW9d009408 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 16:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6TLtVh2009407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 16:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 16:55:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307292155.h6TLtVh2009407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 292155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 07N140W 07N150W 09N157W MOVED WEST 12 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK SURFACE CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 30N162W 18N172W IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST. SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SECTION ABOVE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S145W 20S160W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 17S170W 17S180. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. SHEAR LINE IS DRIFTING SOUTH SLOWLY. BROKEN LAYERS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 174W. FRONT...THROUGH 25S173W 23S180 MOVING EAST 10 KT AND WEAKENING. BROKEN LAYERS ALONG FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:10:09 2003 X-UIDL: 33419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT007PX454RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 06:07:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TM7eq5037861 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 06:07:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21Zj044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:03:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 387373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TM3Wc9015370 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6TM3V9d009644 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:03:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6TM3VWq009643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:03:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:03:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307292203.h6TM3VWq009643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 292203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 29 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 29/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W N OF 5N IS MOVING W 15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W N OF 4N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..1011 MB LOW IS NEAR 16N110W. ..1011 MB LOW IS NEAR 12N119W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 132W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 10 KT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA ALONG 32N132W AND EXTENDS SE TO THE COAST OF SW MEXICO NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 11N110W 13N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 78W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 180 NM WIDE BETWEEN 97W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:10:10 2003 X-UIDL: 33420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT008LF5VSLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 06:45:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMjIq5044791 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 06:45:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21bD044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:41:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 388010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMfEc9044592 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:41:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6TMfD9d010544 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:41:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6TMfDZp010543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:41:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 17:41:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307292241.h6TMfDZp010543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 292240 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE JUL 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...CENTERED ABOUT 980 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO OCCUR. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1600 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 10:09:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33434-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT0086QEW1LC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 10:00:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U1xrq5095204 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 09:59:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxkf044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 20:55:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 390475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 20:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U1tnc9047272 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 20:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U1tn9d013994 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 20:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U1tm25013993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 20:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 20:55:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300155.h6U1tm25013993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 300155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE JUL 29 2003 A CLUSTER OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 450 MILES NORTHWEST OF KAUAI IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER TROUGH. AN AREA OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE ITCZ BETWEEN 07N150W AND 08N140W SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 11:54:23 2003 X-UIDL: 33443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT008UTJSDLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 11:45:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U3jeq5029161 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 11:45:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxol044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:40:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 391806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:40:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U3eec9043444 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:40:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U3ee9d015202 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:40:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U3edWF015201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:40:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:40:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300340.h6U3edWF015201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 300340 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE JUL 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 990 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE THIS EVENING. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO OCCUR. A SECOND AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1665 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING...AND FURTHER SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 12:14:23 2003 X-UIDL: 33444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT008Z8KXELC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:10:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U4AIq5036596 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:10:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxpN044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 23:05:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 392037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 23:05:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U45ec9047724 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 23:05:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U45e9d015449 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 23:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U45eOg015448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 23:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 23:05:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300405.h6U45eOg015448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 300405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 30 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 83W/84W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 101W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N112W MOVING W 5-10 KT. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF 18N100W. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N119W DRIFTING WESTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N110W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 133W/134W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS N OF 20N W OF 126W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N134W TO 23N128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0345 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N89W 12N99W 9N106W 11N122W 15N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 135W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 98W...WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 89W...WITHIN 90/120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 90W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 82W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 132W... WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 124W...AND WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 89W TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO S OF 20N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 14:14:23 2003 X-UIDL: 33453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT008X9Q7JLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 14:04:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U64Oq5067604 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 14:04:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYq6N019838; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 392889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U5qJc9025948 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U5qJ9d016492 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U5qIpx016490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300552.h6U5qIpx016490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 163.9E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 161.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DISORGANIZED, CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A HARD TO LOCATE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND STRONG DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED BY A POINT SOURCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.9N5 132.9E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 131.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KORROR, PALAU ISLANDS. A RECENT 302110Z7 QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALS A WELL-DEFINED LLCC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.5N3 150.0E6 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD REGION OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSES INDICATES A MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 16:29:02 2003 X-UIDL: 33461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT008Y2UUZLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:44:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U7ilq5097777 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:44:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxsD044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:37:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 393274 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:37:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U7bOc9009672 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:37:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U7bN9d017330 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:37:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U7bNPg017329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:37:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:37:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300737.h6U7bNPg017329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 300830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290800ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.3N6 116.9W7 APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY. RECENT INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA HAS DECREASED AND BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED AS THE SYSTEM MOVED INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 16:29:13 2003 X-UIDL: 33463-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT008AGVQWLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:04:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U840q5003615 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:04:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxsV044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:57:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 393371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:57:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U7v5c9033256 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:57:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U7v59d017449 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:57:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U7v55R017448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:57:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 02:57:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300757.h6U7v55R017448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 300756 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE JUL 29 2003 AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS 1400 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO MARKS THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. THE DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR ALONG THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:39 2003 X-UIDL: 33468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT00831YHZLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:03:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U93Sq5021999 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:03:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYq77019838; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 393501 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U8qpc9023720 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U8qp9d018038 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U8qpDR018036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300852.h6U8qpDR018036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/300830Z/310600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 163.9E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 161.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DISORGANIZED, CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A HARD TO LOCATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND STRONG DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED BY A POINT SOURCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.5N3 150.0E6 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD REGION OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSES INDICATES A MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 131.0E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 129.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KORROR, PALAU ISLANDS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CONVECTION BEGINNING TO WRAP AND CONSOLIDATE AROUND A WELL-DEFINED LLCC; NUMEROUS LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES ARE ALSO EVIDENT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:42 2003 X-UIDL: 33469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT00J1UZWOLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:34:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U9Xqq5032933 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:33:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxsv044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:26:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 393592 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:26:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U9QSc9010728 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:26:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U9QS9d018323 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:26:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U9QSXQ018322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:26:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:26:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300926.h6U9QSXQ018322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 300926 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 30 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 84W/85W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 102W/103W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N112W MOVING SW 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 20N109W TO 17N111W. ..A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N119W DRIFTING WESTWARD. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N121W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 134W S OF 17N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS N OF 18N W OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N137W TO 23N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N93W 11N105W 12N134W 10N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF THE AXIS TO INLAND OVER PANAMA E OF 80W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W...WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 83W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 84W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 108W AND FROM 133W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO FROM 91W TO 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N97W TO 16N99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE N OF 12N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 99W TO 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 83W TO 86W AND N OF 12N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 89W TO 91W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:42 2003 X-UIDL: 33470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00J720H4LR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:46:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U9k9q5036397 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:46:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxt1044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:41:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 393629 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:41:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U9f7c9047270 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:41:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U9f79d018422 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U9f7ev018421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:41:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300941.h6U9f7ev018421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 300940 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 08N140W 07N150W 09N160W 06N170W 08N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 10N140W 04N152W 10N160W 11N150W 08N145W 10N140W HAS MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND DECREASED IN SIZE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED TCU AND VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 08N160W 06N169W AND WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 04N175W 04N179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. NEW VERY ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 08N175W 10N175W. TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 30N172W 20N178W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 29N165W 23N170W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 20KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH ITCZ IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT THROUGH 25S142W 23S148W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 16S169W 17S175W. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 200NM SOUTHWEST OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. FRONT...THROUGH 25S167W 24S170W AND EXTENDING SOUTH. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED EAST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES FOR THE SOUTH PACIFIC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:43 2003 X-UIDL: 33480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00JLV1XRLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 18:17:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UAHhq5046029 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 18:17:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxt3044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 05:09:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 393685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 05:09:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UA9Rc9048338 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 05:09:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UA9R9d018638 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 05:09:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UA9RSu018637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 05:09:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 05:09:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307301009.h6UA9RSu018637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 301009 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED JUL 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO OCCUR. A SECOND AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1700 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN/RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:48 2003 X-UIDL: 33487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00J3EB5JLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:36:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UDalq5096270 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:36:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxwf044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 08:31:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 394789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 08:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UDUqc9056214 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 08:30:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UDUq9d020921 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 08:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UDUqY4020920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 08:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 08:30:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307301330.h6UDUqY4020920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 301330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED JUL 30 2003 AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO MARKS THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. THE DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR ALONG THE ITCZ... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:52 2003 X-UIDL: 33495-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00JSTHH9LR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 23:53:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UFrPq5037319 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 23:53:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxx2f044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 10:50:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 396232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 10:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UFoCc9057750 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 10:50:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UFoB9d025611 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 10:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UFoBK0025610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 10:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 10:50:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307301550.h6UFoBK0025610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 301550 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 30 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF 8N88W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 103W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10.5-14N BETWEEN 100W-103W. ..A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N112W DRIFTING W. SYSTEM IS ELONGATED FROM SW TO NE WITH WESTERLY SHEAR ENHANCING CONVECTION E OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF LINE 17N111W 20N109W 22N109W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N120W DRIFTING W. THIS LOW HAS WEAKENED OVERNIGHT AND FIRST LIGHT VISIBLE SUGGEST IT NO LONGER HAS A CLOSED CIRCULATION. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 118W-123W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 134W/135W S OF 17N MOVING W 5-10 KT. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 12N134W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N140W TO 24N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 11N102W 12N124W 13N132W 10N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 5N TO THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 78W-85W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 8N101W 9N110W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF ITCZ AXIS W OF 136W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 15N133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF WEAKENING STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 13N BETWEEN 93W-95.5W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 89W-92W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:53 2003 X-UIDL: 33496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00J0AJ3OLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 00:28:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UGSTq5047712 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 00:28:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxx3V044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 11:19:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 396526 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 11:19:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UGJCc9056492 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 11:19:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UGJC9d026654 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 11:19:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UGJCSv026653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 11:19:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 11:19:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307301619.h6UGJCSv026653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 301618 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED JUL 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND COOLER WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD. SHOWER ACTIVITY LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA DECREASED AGAIN. DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA...IF ANY...WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO OCCUR. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:54 2003 X-UIDL: 33499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00J5YMS5LR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:48:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UHlvq5071152 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:47:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYqJ1019838; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 398160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UHguc9056574 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UHgt9d029430 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UHgtFt029428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307301742.h6UHgtFt029428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z/311800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:54 2003 X-UIDL: 33500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00J70MTGLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:48:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UHmiq5071362 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:48:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxx9b044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 398157 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UHguc9048612 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UHgt9d029431 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UHgtXg029429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 12:42:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307301742.h6UHgtXg029429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z/311800ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:56 2003 X-UIDL: 33506-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00JTGU57LR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:27:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UKQxq5021951 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:27:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYqO7019838; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:11:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 400015 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:11:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UKBVc9055104 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:11:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UKBV9d004571 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:11:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UKBV6F004570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:11:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:11:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307302011.h6UKBV6F004570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 302011 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED JUL 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:00 2003 X-UIDL: 33517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00JK8XOBLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 05:43:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ULhFq5041858 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 05:43:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYqSR019838; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:40:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 401326 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:40:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ULe8c9014804 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:40:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ULe79d007319 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:40:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ULe7Cs007318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:40:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:40:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307302140.h6ULe7Cs007318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 302139 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 30 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 30/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE HAS NO CLEAR SIGNATURE OVER THE E PACIFIC EXCEPT FOR SOME CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W S OF 15N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 100W-107W. ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N112W DRIFTING W. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER OF THE LOW HAS BECOME EXPOSED FROM THE CONVECTION 60 NM WNW OF SOCORRO ISLAND. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 19N-21N BETWEEN 108W-111W. ..WEAK SURFACE LOW HAS DEGENERATED INTO A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 9N120W 15N120W WITH THE SYSTEM DRIFTING W. THERE IS LITTLE...IF ANY...ORGANIZATION LEFT TO THE SYSTEM WHICH MAINLY CONSISTS OF PATCHES OF MULTI-LEVEL CLOUDINESS. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 120W-124W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 135W S OF 16N MOVING W 5-10 KT. A WEAK SURFACE LOW APPEARS TO HAVE FORMED ALONG THE WAVE AXIS...AND THIS WILL BE INDICATED ON THE 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 134.5W-136.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13.5N-15.5N BETWEEN 132W-133W. ..WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 27N140W 25N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N97W 8N106W 11N121W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 81W-92W INCLUDING OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF WRN PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-109W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 111W-113W. ISOLATED MODERATE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND MAZATLAN. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:01 2003 X-UIDL: 33518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00JHRYF3LR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 05:59:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ULxJq5045739 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 05:59:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxLT044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:55:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 401624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ULtTc9038898 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ULtS9d007633 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ULtSrS007632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307302155.h6ULtSrS007632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 302155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 08N161W 09N150W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 08N140W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 30N167W 16N175W DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY WEST. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONE ARE MOSTLY NORTH OF 23N AND SOUTH OF 19N. CB CONTINUALLY FORMING...DISSIPATING AND REFORMING. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S140W 22S145W MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 15-20 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS/ALTOSTRATUS ALONG FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 08S161W 08S168W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 06S173W 05S177W MOVED WEST 12 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:01 2003 X-UIDL: 33519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00JQ309FLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 06:39:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UMd7q5054500 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 06:39:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYqTt019838; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 401868 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UMVKc9032920 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UMVK9d008333 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UMVKAj008331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307302231.h6UMVKAj008331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 302230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/302230Z/310600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 161.6E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 158.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM NORTH OF PONAPE ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 150.0E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 148.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 129.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 126.1E0, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR AND UPDATED OTHER AREAS. 4. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY/NUTONGLA// XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:02 2003 X-UIDL: 33521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00JCY0W9LR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 06:52:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UMqnq5057154 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 06:52:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UJHA0X012780; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:49:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 402080 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UMmJc9019434 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:48:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UMmI9d008599 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:48:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UMmI42008598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:48:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:48:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307302248.h6UMmI42008598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 302248 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED JUL 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND COOLER WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. SHOWER ACTIVITY LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DIMINISHED AND DEVELOPMENT IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1750 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:06 2003 X-UIDL: 33528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00J9H9P9LR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 10:03:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V22vq5011558 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 10:02:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxST044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:00:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 403673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:00:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V20Ic9048442 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:00:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V20I9d010816 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:00:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V20IxI010815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:00:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:00:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310200.h6V20IxI010815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 310159 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED JUL 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00J7MDY1LR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 11:34:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V3Yeq5045234 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 11:34:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYqXr019838; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:30:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 404124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V3UQc9029944 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V3UP9d011707 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:30:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V3UPNb011706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:30:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:30:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310330.h6V3UPNb011706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 310330 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED JUL 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND COOLER WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1775 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:09 2003 X-UIDL: 33536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00J8ZF7BLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:01:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V41pq5052524 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:01:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxTr044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:55:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 404226 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:55:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V3tsc9051128 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:55:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V3ts9d011928 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:55:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V3tsOr011927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:55:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:55:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310355.h6V3tsOr011927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 310355 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 31 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W/90W N OF 3N MOVING W 15-20 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N112W NEAR STATIONARY. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER REMAINS EXPOSED WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 20.5N110W. ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS FROM 15N120W TO 9N121W DRIFTING W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF 13N FROM 121W TO 124W. ..TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS ALONG 135W IS NOW ANALYZED AS A 1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 14N135W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 15N137W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N91W 9N96W 11N105W 8N110W 10N122W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA...WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 96W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 110W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 135W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 18N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA S OF 10N W OF 83W AND N OF 15N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 95W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 9N FROM 88W TO 90W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:11 2003 X-UIDL: 33542-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00JSZL6PLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 14:11:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6B6q5090963 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 14:11:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UJHATb012780; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 405359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V63dc9010496 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V63c9d013118 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V63cHE013116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310603.h6V63cHE013116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZJUL2003/010600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 158.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHWEST OF ENIWETOK ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY A EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 148.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 144.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE LLCC EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 126.1E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF A POTENTIAL LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV003C0MOYTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 14:43:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6hTq5001379 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 14:43:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYqc1019838; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 405558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6YBc9013930 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V6YA9d013331 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V6YAC7013329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310634.h6V6YAC7013329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 310600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZJUL2003/010600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 158.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHWEST OF ENIWETOK ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY A EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 148.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 144.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE LLCC EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 126.1E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF A POTENTIAL LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: GRAMMAR ERROR IN PARA 1.B.(1). 4. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:52:03 2003 X-UIDL: 33552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00JJSPPNLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:48:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7mkq5021441 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:48:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOcT044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 02:44:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 405702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 02:44:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7iPc9028226 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 02:44:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V7iP9d013845 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 02:44:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V7iPk9013844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 02:44:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 02:44:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310744.h6V7iPk9013844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 310744 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED JUL 30 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE DISTURBANCE HAVE DISSIPATED...A SIGN THE DISTURBANCE IS WEAKENING. CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 17:54:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33567-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV003U4VDPTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:51:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V9pHq5060883 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:51:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOd9044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:47:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 405965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:47:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V9lfc9009558 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:47:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V9lf9d014920 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:47:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V9lfJP014919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:47:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:47:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310947.h6V9lfJP014919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 310947 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 31 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 3N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N112W NEAR STATIONARY. ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS FROM 16N119W TO 9N121W DRIFTING W. ..A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N136W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 130W WITH A WEAK 1018 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 27N119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N93W 9N96W 11N106W 8N127W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 95W AND WITHIN 120/150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 105W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 82W TO 83W...WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 84W TO 86W...WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 7.5N91W TO 9.5N90W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 12.5N FROM 121W TO 124W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 97W AND 105W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 17:54:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV003U8VDRTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:51:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V9pKq5060888 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:51:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7Kmcj019838; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:46:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 405959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:46:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V9kKc9009540 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:46:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V9kK9d014905 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:46:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V9kKLj014904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:46:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:46:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310946.h6V9kKLj014904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 310946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC JULY 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 10N140W 10N153W 04N174W 04N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12N140W 09N140W 09N141W 11N142W 12N140E HAS MOVED WEST AT 5KT AND DECREASED IN SIZE. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12N152W 08N149W 06N155W 09N163W 12N152W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED TCU AND VERY ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 45NM OF LINE 05N170W 03N175W. TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 30N172W 23N179W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 30N170W 27N171W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... FREQUENT CB WITHIN 20NM OF POINT 17N177W HAVE MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 20KT...INTENSIFIED AND DECREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...THROUGH 25S134W 20S142W AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT WITH ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 22S HAVE MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT 2...THROUGH 25S153W 24S155W AND EXTENDING SOUTH. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 20NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 25KT AND WEAKENED. CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS THROUGH 08S167W 07S173W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 06S167W 08S167W 09S171W 07S171W 06S167W HAS MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 18:04:28 2003 X-UIDL: 33570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV003SQVU4TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 18:01:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VA15q5063564 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 18:01:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOdD044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:54:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 406001 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:54:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V9shc9015506 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:54:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V9sh9d014968 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:54:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V9shJ0014967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:54:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:54:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310954.h6V9shJ0014967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 310954 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU JUL 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND COOLER WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN/RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:45:53 2003 X-UIDL: 33583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW0036M8UJTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:42:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VEg5q5036345 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:42:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7KmhL019838; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:29:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 406778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 08:36:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VDakc9018466 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 08:36:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VDaf9d017639 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 08:36:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VDafDC017638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 08:36:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 08:36:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307311336.h6VDafDC017638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 311336 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU JUL 31 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:05 2003 X-UIDL: 33589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003Q59OWTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:00:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VF0Nq5041133 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:00:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOjn044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 407743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VEpIc9047070 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VEpH9d020134 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VEpHCU020132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307311451.h6VEpHCU020132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 311430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/311430ZJUL2003/010600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZJUL03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 159.6E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 157.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM NORTHWEST OF ENIWETOK ISLAND. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE POSITION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 148.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 144.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE LLCC EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND A LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 311400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(3) TO GOOD AND DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR. 4. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003MHC52TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:53:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VFr6q5055363 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:53:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VBgirb012780; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 10:45:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 408551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 10:44:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VFimc9021222 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 10:44:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VFim9d022120 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 10:44:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VFilXn022119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 10:44:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 10:44:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307311544.h6VFilXn022119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 311544 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 31 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR WITHIN 60 NM OF THE WAVE BETWEEN 11N-13.5N. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 108W-110W. ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 20N112W DRIFTING NNW. ONE TSTM COMPLEX IS ON THE NE SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION NEAR 22N111.5W. ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS FROM 15N120W TO 10N123W DRIFTING W. SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE DISSIPATING. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N BETWEEN 121W-125.5W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N136W MOVING W 5 KT. ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. ..1018 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 26N122.5W WITH SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ESE TO 24N111W. TROUGH IS ON THE NW PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH ALONG 28N128W INTO A SMALL 1015 MB LOW NEAR 32N126W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N88W 8N93W 9N110W 11N106W 8N129W 11N140W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N79W 8N83W 9N88W AND 8.5N91W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 93W-107W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 9N110W 12N116W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W-131W AND 137W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SMALL TSTM IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 15N94W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 100W-106W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:13 2003 X-UIDL: 33603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003LMDI1TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 00:22:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VGMbq5063356 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 00:22:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOoD044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 11:11:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 408984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 11:11:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VGBlc9051140 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 11:11:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VGBk9d023042 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 11:11:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VGBkUt023040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 11:11:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 11:11:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307311611.h6VGBkUt023040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 311611 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU JUL 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE. CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. SHOWER ACTIVITY LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS ALSO DECREASED. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:14 2003 X-UIDL: 33609-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW0030EHPFTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:53:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VHrRq5089068 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:53:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOwH044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 410453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VHmgc9047258 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VHmf9d026591 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VHmfni026589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307311748.h6VHmfni026589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZJUL2003/011800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:14 2003 X-UIDL: 33610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003V6I99TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 02:05:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VI5Pq5092774 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 02:05:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7Kmw1019838; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 410450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VHmgc9037222 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VHmf9d026592 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VHmfPk026590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 12:48:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307311748.h6VHmfPk026590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZJUL2003/011800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:15 2003 X-UIDL: 33616-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003AHO0TTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:10:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VK9vq5032076 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:09:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fO6P044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:01:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 412334 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VK1Vc9037178 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VK1V9d001182 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VK1VKX001181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:01:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307312001.h6VK1VKX001181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 312000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU JUL 31 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:17 2003 X-UIDL: 33621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW00343SSXTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 05:53:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VLrDq5059084 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 05:53:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOEF044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 16:48:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 414348 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 16:48:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VLmDc9027402 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 16:48:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VLmD9d004537 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 16:48:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VLmDv4004536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 16:48:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 16:48:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307312148.h6VLmDv4004536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 312147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 31 JUL 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 31/1800 UTC... ..POORLY-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS ENTERING THE AREA ALONG 77W/78W N OF 2N MOVING W 20 KT. ITCZ CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE GULF OF PANAMA AND ALONG THE COAST. ..WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W/93W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ALL DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..BROAD TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 103W-113W. ..1012 MB LOW CENTERED 175 NM SW OF THE SRN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 21N112W MOVING NNW 5 KT. THE LOW CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE CALIFORNIA/ MEXICO COAST WITH ALL PRECIPITATION NE OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 22N-24N BETWEEN 111W-113W. ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH LIES ALONG 11N126W 15N120W MOVING W 5-10 KT. A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM 1400 UTC THIS MORNING INDICATED THAT THE TROUGH SEPARATED 20 KT NLY WINDS TO THE N FROM MUCH WEAKER 5 KT SWLY WINDS TO THE S. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-126W. ..1012 MB LOW CENTERED 1100 NM ESE OF HAWAII NEAR 16N137W MOVING NW 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 136W-137W. ..1016 MB LOW CENTERED 500 NM WSW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA NEAR 32N127W NEARLY STATIONARY. A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS SW OF THE LOW TO NEAR 28N129W. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..1020 MB HIGH CENTERED 820 NM W OF THE SRN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 25N125W. A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS EWD TO THE COAST OF BAJA...AND WWD TO 26N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N76W 9N89W 8N100W 9N115W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 76W-86W OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6.5N-10.5N BETWEEN 89W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-115W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 130W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SW OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 95W-99W. ISOLATED MODERATE W OF MANZANILLO FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 106W-109W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:17 2003 X-UIDL: 33622-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003YPTG5TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 06:07:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VM7Aq5061969 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 06:07:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VLZEhJ012780; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:01:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 414539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:01:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VM1Tc9048604 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:01:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VM1T9d004826 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:01:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VM1TNc004825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:01:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:01:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307312201.h6VM1TNc004825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 312200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC JULY 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N141W TO 10N144W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 11N157W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 06N178W 05N171W 02N179W 06N178W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 30N172W 23N179W WITH ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF TROUGH AXIS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... FREQUENT CB BOUNDED BY 20N178W 17N178W 18N180 MOVED WEST AT 20 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...THROUGH 25S131W 20S140W AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT WITH ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 22S HAVE MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT 2...THROUGH 25S145W 21S151W AND EXTENDING SOUTH. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 20NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 25KT AND WEAKENED. CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS THROUGH 08S170W 07S180W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 05S175W 08S170W 10S175W 08N180 05S175W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:17 2003 X-UIDL: 33624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003CAVH4TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 06:51:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VMouq5070705 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 06:50:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOHt044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:47:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 415137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:47:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VMlFc9037316 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:47:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VMlE9d005576 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:47:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VMlE9N005575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:47:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 17:47:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307312247.h6VMlE9N005575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 312246 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU JUL 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DIMINISHED. SHOWER ACTIVITY LOCATED ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 1825 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS MINIMAL. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:18 2003 X-UIDL: 33626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003I6ZE8TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:15:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h710FZq5088804 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:15:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOMD044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 416040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7106Sc9011210 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7106R9d006546 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7106RWs006544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010006.h7106RWs006544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 312330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/312330ZJUL2003/010600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZJUL03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 157.9E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 158.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM EAST OF SAIPAN. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE POSITION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 144.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 151.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST -SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND A LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 311400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 151.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 60 NM OF NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY, ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC) TO THE EAST OF THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR, ADDED PARA 1.B.(4) AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). 4. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 10:04:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33634-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX003E148ZTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:00:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7120Sq5015092 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:00:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7KmFF019838; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 417255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h711r8c9023582 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h711r89d007926 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h711r8QZ007925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010153.h711r8QZ007925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010130 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/010130Z/010600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZJUL03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 157.9E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 158.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM EAST OF SAIPAN. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE POSITION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 144.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 140.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST -SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND A LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 311400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 151.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 60 NM OF NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY, ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC) TO THE EAST OF THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR, ADDED PARA 1.B.(4) AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: THIS CORRECTS POSITION OF SYSTEM IN PARA 1.B.(2). 5. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 10:05:01 2003 X-UIDL: 33635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX003U54E2TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:03:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7123Wq5015915 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:03:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOQN044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:01:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 417364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:01:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7121Wc9047706 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7121W9d008066 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7121Wfr008065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:01:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010201.h7121Wfr008065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 010200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU JUL 31 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 11:44:54 2003 X-UIDL: 33643-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX003DU8XKTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:41:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h713fWq5043309 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:41:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7KmGn019838; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:37:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 417902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h713buc9010704 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:37:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h713bu9d009045 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h713buRG009044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:37:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010337.h713buRG009044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 010337 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU JUL 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY LOCATED ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 1850 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS MINIMAL. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 12:14:54 2003 X-UIDL: 33648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX00375ADCTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 12:12:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h714Cfq5052194 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 12:12:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7KmHh019838; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:05:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 418170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:05:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7145Nc9026108 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:05:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7145N9d009340 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:05:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7145Nf9009339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:05:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:05:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010405.h7145Nf9009339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 010405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 01 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 79W N OF 2N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W N OF 3N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W S OF 15N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..WEAK 1012 MB LOW CENTERED SW OF THE SRN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 21N113W MOVING NNW 5 KT. THE LOW CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALONG THE CALIFORNIA/ MEXICO COAST WITH ALL PRECIPITATION NE OF THE CENTER. ..SURFACE TROUGH LIES ALONG 15N122W 11N126W IS MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..1012 MB LOW CENTERED ESE OF HAWAII NEAR 16N137W IS MOVING NW 5-10 KT. ..1019 MB HIGH W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS NEAR 25N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N95W 9N116W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 81W-83W...AND FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 83W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 86W-90W...FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 93W-97W...AND FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 113W-115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER EL SALVADOR...HONDURAS...AND GUATEMALA FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 88W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-13N BETWEEN 105W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE 20N104W 32N111W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 14:22:13 2003 X-UIDL: 33655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX003ZAGAITO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 14:20:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h716KTq5085168 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 14:20:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOZ9044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 419201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h716Apc9022002 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h716Ap9d010593 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h716Aoc6010591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010610.h716Aoc6010591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 158.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.0N0 156.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE POSITION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 140.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 139.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 127.2E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 125.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 311400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 151.5E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 148.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM OF WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEAL A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 16:05:11 2003 X-UIDL: 33664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX00C1MKZT8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:02:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71829q5013408 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:02:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOaD044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 02:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 419586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 02:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h717tZc9048678 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 02:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h717tY9d011460 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 02:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h717tYXQ011459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 02:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 02:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010755.h717tYXQ011459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 010755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU JUL 31 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 17:58:59 2003 X-UIDL: 33674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX00CGMQ878T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 17:55:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h719tAq5049313 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 17:55:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fObN044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:47:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 419953 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:47:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h719lPc9023908 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:47:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h719lP9d012605 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:47:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h719lPHQ012604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:47:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:47:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010947.h719lPHQ012604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 010947 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 01 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W/81W N OF 2N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W N OF 3N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W S OF 15N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..WEAK 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED SW OF THE SRN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 21N113W MOVING NNW 5 KT. ..1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N124W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N138W IS MOVING NW 5-10 KT. ..1019 MB HIGH W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS NEAR 25N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N90W 11N100W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 84W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 92W-95W... FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 97W-98W...AND FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 100W-102W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 15N108W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 113W-116W...AND FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 127W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER PANAMA FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 77W-81W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 92W-94W...AND FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 96W-99W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 18:05:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX00CB7QL08T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 18:03:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71A2qq5051424 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 18:02:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fObV044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:55:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 420120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h719tOc9039446 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h719tN9d012672 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h719tNAH012671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:55:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010955.h719tNAH012671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 010955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 11N161W 13N165W ARE NEWLY FORMED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N168W 04N179W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF 27N177W MOVED NORTHWEST 12 KT AND DIMINISHED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S136W 20S148W MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 24S. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 07S170W 07S180 EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE AND MOVED WEST 15 KT AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:56:57 2003 X-UIDL: 33682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX00CQGS838T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 18:38:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71AcKq5060888 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 18:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7KmOf019838; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 05:28:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 420273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 05:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71ASic9056104 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 05:28:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71ASi9d012974 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 05:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71ASheD012973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 05:28:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 05:28:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011028.h71ASheD012973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 011028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY LOCATED ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 1875 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS MINIMAL. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. A SECOND AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 1125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:06 2003 X-UIDL: 33693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00C841O98T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:02:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71E2Qq5016511 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:02:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Bake1044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 421162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71DtYc9011058 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71DtX9d015904 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71DtXsQ015901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011355.h71DtXsQ015901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 011355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI AUG 1 2003 TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33699-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CTN3VL8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:50:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Eo2q5029454 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:50:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7KmRT019838; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 421399 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Ed1c9014810 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71Ed19d017400 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71Ed1Tu017398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011439.h71Ed1Tu017398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 011430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/011430Z/020600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N3 125.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 011500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 158.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.0N0 156.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE POSITION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 139.4E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 137.34E, APPROXIMATELY 65 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEAK LLCC HAS BEEN SIPHONED OFF TO THE LLCC EAST OF THIS SUSPECT AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE BUT SEEMS TO BE ENHANCING THE OTHER SUSPECT AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 125.5E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 148.4E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 145.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM OF EAST OF YAP. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND AN EARLIER MICROWAVE PASS REVEAL THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITH MUCH OF THE ENERGY BEING ABSORBED FROM THE WEAKER LLCC LOCATED TO THE WEST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(3) TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO POOR. 4. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:19 2003 X-UIDL: 33704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CHL5V48T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 23:33:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71FWrq5041759 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 23:32:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7KmU9019838; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:29:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 422002 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71FTDc9049958 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71FT49d019225 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:29:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71FT4a1019224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:29:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:29:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011529.h71FT4a1019224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 011520 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 01 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 2N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 80W-83W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W/96W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W-97W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 15N112W. ..TROUGH NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM 19N114W TO 24N113W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N124W MOVING W 10 KT. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N126W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N138W MOVING NW 5-10 KT. THIS FEATURE WILL LIKELY BE A TROUGH ON THE NEXT ANALYSIS. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE REST OF THE PACIFIC WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 27N140W 25N128W 20N107W WITH A WEAKNESS IN THE VICINITY OF THE ABOVE TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N95W 12N102W 13N100W 8N140W. CONVECTION IS VERY WEAK W OF 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 8.5N85W 10N94W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 10N95W 12.5N110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SMALL CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 12N129W. ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF 23N107W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:21 2003 X-UIDL: 33708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00C8D7ZJ8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 00:18:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71GIkq5053942 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 00:18:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakjP044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:13:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 422370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:12:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71GCtc9027584 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:12:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71GCs9d020738 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:12:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71GCsux020737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:12:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:12:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011612.h71GCsux020737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 011612 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED DUE TO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:23 2003 X-UIDL: 33710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CHM96Q8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 00:44:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Gihq5061015 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 00:44:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7108PW1012798; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 422640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71GdSc9057254 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71GdS9d021533 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71GdSO0021531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011639.h71GdSO0021531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800ZAUG2003/021800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/SPANSKI/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:23 2003 X-UIDL: 33711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CL398B8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 00:45:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Gjeq5061311 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 00:45:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Bakkl044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 422637 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71GdSc9027232 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71GdS9d021532 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71GdScC021530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 11:39:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011639.h71GdScC021530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800ZAUG2003/021800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/SPANSKI/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:26 2003 X-UIDL: 33723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CI1I848T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:00:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Jxuq5020771 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 03:59:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Baksv044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 14:45:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 425237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 14:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Jjvc9036560 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 14:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71Jju9d027473 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 14:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71JjuZE027472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 14:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 14:45:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011945.h71JjuZE027472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 011945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI AUG 01 2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:28 2003 X-UIDL: 33732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00C1XN238T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 05:44:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71LiJq5049936 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 05:44:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71K8mhZ019838; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:33:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 426675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71LXSc9029844 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:33:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71LXS9d000364 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:33:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71LXSp1000363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:33:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:33:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308012133.h71LXSp1000363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 012133 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 01 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 01/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W N OF 2N MOVING W 15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS OBSERVED MOVING ACROSS PANAMA AND COSTA RICA...BUT THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 80W-84W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W/97W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED DRAMATICALLY ALONG THE WAVE SINCE YESTERDAY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 12N-15.5N BETWEEN 93W-98W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE HAS BECOME MORE WELL-DEFINED SINCE YESTERDAY AS IT MOVES OUT OF THE WEAK FLOW S OF MEXICO. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 107W-114W. ..TROUGH LOCATED 200 NM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ALONG 19N114W 25N113W DRIFTING W. BROKEN STRATUS/STRATOCUMULUS IS LOCATED W OF THE AXIS BUT OTHERWISE DEEP CONVECTION IS NON-EXISTENT. ..1012 MB LOW CENTERED 1000 NM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 14.5N125.5W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 126W-132W. ..TROUGH LOCATED 850 NM ESE OF HAWAII ALONG 11N141W 15N139W 19N139W MOVING NW 10 KT. THE TROUGH IS MOVING OUT OF THE DISCUSSION AREA AND IS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. ..TROUGH LOCATED 1100 NM NE OF HAWAII ALONG 28N140W 31N134W. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND QUIKSCAT DATA INDICATE A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MOVING SW AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE PACIFIC HIGH. ..1020 MB HIGH CENTERED 900 NM SW OF SAN DIEGO NEAR 26N132W. WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH THE HIGH ALONG 26N140W 26N130W 31N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N105W 8N112W 9N126W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-90W AND WITHIN 60 NM BETWEEN 92W-110W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:28 2003 X-UIDL: 33734-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00C1AO198T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 06:05:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71M5Pq5054656 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 06:05:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Bak23044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 427158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71LtXc9031204 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71LtW9d000833 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71LtW5b000832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:55:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308012155.h71LtW5b000832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 012155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...SCATTERED TO OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 10N163W 05N180 06N173E AND MOVED NORTH SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 08S175W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT AND WEAKENED. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33738-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CADQ9G8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 06:53:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71MoGq5063617 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 06:50:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71K8mmD019838; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 17:44:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 427704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 17:44:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71MiWc9015412 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 17:44:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71MiW9d001656 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 17:44:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71MiWJS001655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 17:44:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 17:44:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308012244.h71MiWJS001655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 012244 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 15 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 14:35:19 2003 X-UIDL: 33749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CYOYD48T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 09:48:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h721mUq5004225 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 09:48:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71K8mtj019838; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 20:45:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 429766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 20:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h721jlc9052246 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 20:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h721jl9d004275 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 20:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h721jlOk004274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 20:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 20:45:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020145.h721jlOk004274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 020145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI AUG 01 2003 A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EAST OF THE DATELINE ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER...WHICH IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH...IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 14:35:24 2003 X-UIDL: 33753-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ00C8X3OF8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:43:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h723hI38009922 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:43:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakHL044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:37:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 431054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h723b6c9031218 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:37:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h723b59d005252 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:37:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h723b5RI005251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:37:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:37:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020337.h723b5RI005251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 020336 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 15 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 14:35:25 2003 X-UIDL: 33754-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ00CJG4UU8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 12:08:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7248k38014988 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 12:08:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakI3044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 23:06:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 431200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 23:06:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7246gc9016650 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 23:06:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7246f9d005534 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 23:06:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7246fCa005533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 23:06:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 23:06:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020406.h7246fCa005533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 020406 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 02 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W N OF 2N IS MOVING W 15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 83W-89W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W N OF 3N IS MOVING W 10 KT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED DRAMATICALLY ALONG THE WAVE SINCE YESTERDAY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 98W-101W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 113W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE HAS BECOME MORE WELL-DEFINED SINCE YESTERDAY. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 111W-114W...FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 108W-112W...AND FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 114W-117W. ..TROUGH LOCATED 150 NM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ALONG 24N115W 20N113W DRIFTING W. BROKEN STRATUS/STRATOCUMULUS IS LOCATED W OF THE AXIS BUT OTHERWISE DEEP CONVECTION IS NON-EXISTENT. ..1011 MB LOW NEAR 14N127W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED. ..TROUGH IS LOCATED ALONG 32N128W 27N143W. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND QUIKSCAT DATA INDICATE A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MOVING SW AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE PACIFIC HIGH. ..1019 MB HIGH IS NEAR 26N134W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 12N105W 10N115W 9N126W 7N140W. IN ADDITION TO CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH TROPICAL WAVES...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 94W-98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 104W-106W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 16:08:09 2003 X-UIDL: 33763-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005BWCW7SJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:02:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7272I38064546 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:02:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7248bjr012798; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 432239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h726r5c9016786 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h726r59d007198 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h726r5kh007196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020653.h726r5kh007196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 020600 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020300Z5, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 125.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 020300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 19.0N0 156.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 137.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 136.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM WEST OF YAP. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP, DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OCCURING NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE BUT MARGINAL VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS FROM UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 145.0E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 143.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST OF YAP. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS DEPICTS THAT THE LLCC REMAINS BROAD AND ELONGATED; HOWEVER, THE UW-CIMMS RELATIVE VORTICITY PRODUCT SHOWS THAT THE LOW LEVEL VORTICITY IS INCREASING AND CONSOLIDATING. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND LINEAR NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 16:08:14 2003 X-UIDL: 33767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005LAFNUSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 16:02:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7282A38078531 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 16:02:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakOJ044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 02:58:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 432494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 02:58:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h727wtc9037274 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 02:58:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h727wt9d007688 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 02:58:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h727wt2E007687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 02:58:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 02:58:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020758.h727wt2E007687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 020758 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI AUG 01 2003 A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH FROM 21N142W TO 12N150W IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MILES AN HOUR. A LARGE AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS AND ALTOCUMULUS IS ACCOMPANYING THE TROUGH. BUT NO TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITHIN THIS SYSTEM. AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY JUST EAST OF THE DATELINE ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 18:13:40 2003 X-UIDL: 33773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005G1JUCSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:32:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h729WQ38002414 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:32:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakPN044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:25:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 432751 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:25:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h729Pfc9035698 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:25:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h729Pe9d008650 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:25:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h729PeDx008649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:25:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:25:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020925.h729PeDx008649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 020925 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 02 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W N OF 2N IS MOVING W 15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 85W-87W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W N OF 3N IS MOVING W 10 KT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED DRAMATICALLY ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO W OF THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 100W-105W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 98W-103W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W S OF 16N IS MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE HAS BECOME MORE WELL-DEFINED SINCE YESTERDAY. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 115W-119W...AND FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 111W-114W. ..1011 MB LOW NEAR 13N128W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED. ..TROUGH IS LOCATED ALONG 32N130W 28N140W. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND QUIKSCAT DATA INDICATE A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MOVING SW AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE PACIFIC HIGH. ..1019 MB HIGH IS NEAR 26N134W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N100W 11N120W 7N140W. IN ADDITION TO CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 77W-80W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 105W-107W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 18:13:45 2003 X-UIDL: 33774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005MYL2NSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:59:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h729x338008848 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:59:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakTf044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:56:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 433156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h729uBc9056374 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h729uB9d008896 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h729uBn2008895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:56:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020956.h729uBn2008895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 020956 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 18:13:45 2003 X-UIDL: 33775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005OLL44SJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 18:00:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h729xw38009039 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 18:00:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakTd044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 433147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h729tUc9029440 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h729tU9d008889 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h729tUbK008888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:55:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020955.h729tUbK008888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 020955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120-145 NM OF LINE 12N175W 07N155W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INCREASED IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG LINE 30N175W 26N180 NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED TCU/CB WITHIN 45 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE HAVE DIMINISHED. OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/BROKEN CIRRUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S130W 21S137W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH TO 16S146W. FRONT MOVING EAST 25 KT. TROUGH MOVING EAST SLOWLY. OVERCAST LAYERS AND ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08S179W 07S173W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:13 2003 X-UIDL: 33780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005IKWHHSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:05:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72E5X38059446 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:05:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7270Apx033888; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 08:59:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 434177 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 08:59:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72Dx0c9032662 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 08:59:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72Dwx9d010945 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 08:58:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72DwxEU010944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 08:58:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 08:58:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308021358.h72DwxEU010944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 021358 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT AUG 02 2003 A LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAS INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY THIS MORNING. BUT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OR ORGANIZATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THIS AREA. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:19 2003 X-UIDL: 33783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005BR27YSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 00:09:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72G9Q38086322 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 00:09:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakYR044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:02:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 434736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72G2Zc9039522 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72G2Z9d012155 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72G2ZIJ012154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:02:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308021602.h72G2ZIJ012154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 021602 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 02 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 78W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT... MIGHT BE ENHANCING SOME OF THE ITCZ RELATED SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA...SOUTH OF 11N BETWEEN 76W IN COLOMBIA AND 78W IN PANAMA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W/88W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO SIGNFICANT DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 103W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 18N TO 21N BETWEEN 106W AND 107W. ISOLATED MODERATE THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 102W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10 KT. NO SIGNFICANT DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N130W MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS 15N131W AND 13N131W... AND FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 130W AND 131W. ..TROUGH FROM 33N131W TO 30N135W TO 28N138W. NO SIGNFICANT DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N124W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 23N BETWEEN 110W AND 127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 11N97W 11N110W 11N120W 10N130W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 81W...AND WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W AND 100W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 136W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:20 2003 X-UIDL: 33784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005YA3SBSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 00:43:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72GhG38093275 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 00:43:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gch017612; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:36:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 434997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:36:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72GaSc9047824 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72GaS9d012470 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:36:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72GaSSa012469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:36:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 11:36:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308021636.h72GaSSa012469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 021636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. OCCASIONAL BRIEF FLAREUPS OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:20 2003 X-UIDL: 33785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005ZE7OASJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:07:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72I7B38014651 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:07:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakbN044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 435633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72I2Zc9010522 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72I2Z9d013301 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72I2YZB013299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308021802.h72I2YZB013299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800ZAUG2003/031800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:21 2003 X-UIDL: 33786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005ZD7OASJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:07:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72I7A38014645 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:07:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5geD017612; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 435630 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72I2Zc9028236 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72I2Z9d013300 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72I2YX6013298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:02:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308021802.h72I2YX6013298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800ZAUG2003/031800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:22 2003 X-UIDL: 33789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005BMD6VSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:06:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72K6J38045779 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:06:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gfd017612; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:01:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 436691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:01:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72K1Vc9050096 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72K1V9d014653 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72K1Vh2014652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:01:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308022001.h72K1Vh2014652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 022000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT AUG 02 2003 CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 STATUTE MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS NOT SHOWING ANY SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:25 2003 X-UIDL: 33793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005YXHW2SJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 05:48:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72Lls38068309 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 05:47:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTgl044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 16:41:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 437403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 16:41:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72Lfmc9037424 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 16:41:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72Lfm9d015978 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 16:41:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72LfmKg015977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 16:41:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 16:41:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308022141.h72LfmKg015977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 022141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 02 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 02/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE AREA ALONG 79W N OF 6N MOVING W 15-20 KT. A WEAK MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED S OF THE GULF OF PANAMA BUT CONVECTION IS NOT ORGANIZED AROUND THIS FEATURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 78W-84W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS OBSERVED S OF GUATEMALA BUT THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W S OF 20N MOVING W 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF TSTMS...WHICH ARE ALL LOCATED TO THE E OF THE AXIS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-19N BETWEEN 103W-108W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 117W/118W S OF 20N MOVING W 15 KT. A WELL-DEFINED BUT TILTED CIRCULATION IS NOTED S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A NARROW BAND OF TSTMS HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE APEX OF THE WAVE WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N112W 15N116W 13N118W. ..1011 MB LOW LOCATED 1300 NM SW OF THE SRN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 14N131.5W MOVING W 15 KT. THE LOW HAS BEEN PRODUCING INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION AS IT RACES WWD. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 131W-134W. ..SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED ABOUT 900 NM W OF SAN DIEGO ALONG 28N140W 32N133W. THE TROUGH IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE PACIFIC HIGH...SO EVEN THOUGH THERE IS A N/SW WIND SHIFT ACROSS THE FEATURE THE WINDS ARE NO MORE THAN 10 KT. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..1020 MB HIGH CENTERED 400 NM SW OF SAN DIEGO NEAR 28.5N124W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WWD TO 25N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N76W 6N87W 13N107W 8N114W 11N132W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 131W-134W. ALSO SEE TROPICAL WAVES. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN MANZANILLO AND MAZATLAN. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:26 2003 X-UIDL: 33795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005PEIRFSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 06:06:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72M6h38072173 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 06:06:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gif017612; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:02:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 437581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:01:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72M19c9047660 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72M189d016213 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72M181Y016212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:01:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308022201.h72M181Y016212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 022200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW OCCASIONAL CB ARE BOUNDED BY 10N166W 08N159W 05N164W. NEW ISOLATED CB SURROUNDS PREVIOUS AREA BOUNDED BY 14N170W 07N149W 04N166W 14N170W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13N145W 13N138W 07N146W 10N147W MOVED WEST AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15N174W 10N180 MOVED NORTHWEST 15 KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 23S133W 30S123W MOVED EAST 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 05S180 04S174W 11S177W 10S177E MOVED WEST 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:26 2003 X-UIDL: 33797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ000513KE8SJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 06:42:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72Mg2o7008505 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 06:42:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gjv017612; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:35:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 437973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:35:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72MZBc9025036 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:35:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72MZB9d016666 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72MZBwn016665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:35:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308022235.h72MZBwn016665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 022234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ000523TXWSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:08:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7328Co7053361 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:08:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gmh017612; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:05:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 439454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:05:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7325Rc9025764 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:05:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7325R9d018798 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:05:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7325RQX018797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:05:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:05:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030205.h7325RQX018797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 030205 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT AUG 2 2003 CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 1050 STATUTE MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS NOT SHOWING ANY SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005ZGY2HSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:37:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733bLo7075631 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:37:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTpr044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:32:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:32:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733Wmc9029760 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:32:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h733Wm9d019577 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h733Wmgx019576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:32:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030332.h733Wmgx019576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 030332 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:30 2003 X-UIDL: 33804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005EGYFISJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:45:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733jBo7077334 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:45:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTpx044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:41:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440077 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733fpc9031096 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h733fp9d019636 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h733fpGU019635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:41:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030341.h733fpGU019635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 030341 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 03 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W/81W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W/91W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W/106W S OF 20N MOVING W 15-20 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE REMAINS ALONG 117W S OF 20N MOVING W 5 KT. ..A 1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 14N133W MOVING W 15 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 27N140W NW TO BEYOND 32N131W. ..A 1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 27N128W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING W TO 25N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N88W 12N100W 12N110W 8N116W 10N129W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 109W AND WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 90W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 138W TO BEYOND 140W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 21N TO 23N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA BETWEEN 82W AND 85W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N113W 14N117W TO 13N119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N103W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 20N105W AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO FROM 23N TO 25N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:34 2003 X-UIDL: 33816-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100A4N9O1RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:48:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h737lro7023842 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:47:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTud044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 441257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h737jmc9011072 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h737jm9d021207 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h737jmxS021206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:45:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030745.h737jmxS021206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 030745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT AUG 02 2003 A RATHER LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THIS AREA...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:36 2003 X-UIDL: 33820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100A0FF1LRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:44:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h739i3o7045724 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:44:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gpx017612; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:39:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 441693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:39:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h739dAc9035700 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:39:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h739dA9d022222 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:39:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h739d9YG022221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:39:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:39:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030939.h739d9YG022221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 030939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 03 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W/92W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W S OF 19N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..THE 1011 MB LOW THAT WAS CENTERED NEAR 14N133W IS NOW A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 135W FROM 10N TO 17N. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 27N141W NW TO BEYOND 32N134W. ..A 1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 28N128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N89W 12N99W 11N114W 11N127W 12N137W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 110W...WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 114W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 115W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 120W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 90W AND WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N91W TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR NEAR 13.5N89W AND OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N85W TO 11N87W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N...WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 82W TO 85W... WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 21N TO 24N...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N115W TO 15N120W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N104W 14N99W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 15N93W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:37 2003 X-UIDL: 33822-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100ABCF97RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:48:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h739mbo7046810 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:48:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTvn044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:44:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 441725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:44:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h739iOc9014028 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:44:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h739iN9d022253 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:44:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h739iN6e022252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:44:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:44:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030944.h739iN6e022252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 030944 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:39 2003 X-UIDL: 33824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AS1FT5RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 18:00:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73A0Uo7048678 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 18:00:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTvr044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 441773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h739tec9019754 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h739te9d022317 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h739tesE022316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:55:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030955.h739tesE022316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 030955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N144W 10N140W AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N155W 13N147W 07N148W 07N156W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N172W 12N165W 07N166W 06N173W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14N173W 14N179W MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S175W 11S169W 13S173W 10S177W MOVED SOUTHWEST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:42 2003 X-UIDL: 33832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100ARTQENRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:49:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73DnSo7090843 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:49:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gtn017612; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:46:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 443133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Dk2c9025732 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73Dk29d023875 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73Dk2jP023874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031346.h73Dk2jP023874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 031345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN AUG 03 2003 AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 1130 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THIS AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS JUST EAST OF 140W...OR ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...IS ALSO DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS IS CONSIDERED UNLIKELY DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:38:59 2003 X-UIDL: 33841-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100A1EWUNRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 00:08:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73G8co7020246 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 00:08:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT33044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:04:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 443774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:04:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73G4wc9056378 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:04:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73G4w9d024960 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:04:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73G4v6h024959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:04:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:04:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031604.h73G4v6h024959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 031604 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 03 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W/84W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W/94W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W/109W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 19N TO 25N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 120W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS... DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS...FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 122W. ..TROUGH FROM 10N TO 16N ALONG 138W MOVING WEST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM NUMEROUS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SIX HOURS AGO...FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. ..1021 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N133W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM 22N TO 30N BETWEEN 124W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 9N90W 11N101W 12N109W 12N121W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W. OTHER ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 14N AT THE SW GUATEMALA COAST BETWEEN 91W AND 92W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:03 2003 X-UIDL: 33842-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AX9YJIRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 00:45:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73GjAo7027626 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 00:45:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT3n044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:40:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 443981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:40:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Gedc9032604 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:40:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73Ged9d025268 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:40:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73GecX1025266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:40:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:40:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031640.h73GecX1025266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 031640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:04 2003 X-UIDL: 33843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200AZJ1CQRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 01:46:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Hjso7042083 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 01:45:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT4N044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 444190 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73HfQc9032594 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73HfQ9d025871 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73HfQI3025867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031741.h73HfQI3025867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:04 2003 X-UIDL: 33844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200A4D1HWRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 01:49:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Hmxo7042637 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 01:49:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gwD017612; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 444193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73HfQc9013872 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73HfQ9d025872 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73HfQ4O025868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:41:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031741.h73HfQ4O025868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z/041800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:07 2003 X-UIDL: 33851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200AGW8CKRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:17:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73KGwo7080637 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:17:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT8j044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:13:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 445646 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:13:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73KDXc9012792 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:13:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73KDX9d027339 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:13:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73KDXl4027338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:13:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:13:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308032013.h73KDXl4027338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 032006 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN AUG 3 2003 A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS AREA. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33852-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200AIH8EURU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:18:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73KINo7080913 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:18:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT8f044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 445617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73K9lc9012744 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73K9l9d027312 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73K9lZs027310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308032009.h73K9lZs027310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 031930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/031930Z/040600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZAUG2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031352ZAUG2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MORAKOT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N2 121.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:10 2003 X-UIDL: 33857-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200ACGCJTRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:47:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Llko7097880 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:47:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTBR044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:42:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 446562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:42:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73LgOc9048352 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:42:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73LgK9d028299 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:42:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73LgKvK028298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:42:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:42:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308032142.h73LgKvK028298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 032141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 03 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 03/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W N OF 7N MOVING W 15 KT. STRONG SLY FLOW S OF THE ITCZ IS HELPING TO GENERATE A BROAD AND ELONGATED CIRCULATION ALONG THE WAVE AXIS S OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4.5N-9N BETWEEN 81W-88W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W N OF 7N MOVING W 15 KT. THE NRN PORTION OF THE WAVE PASSED BELIZE AROUND 1200 UTC 8/2...WHICH NOW PLACES THE WAVE IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 93W-99W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W S OF 19N MOVING W 15 KT. A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION IS BEGINNING TO POP OUT OF THE N SIDE OF A CLUSTER OF TSTMS. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 108W-113W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 122W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS CELLS DEVELOPING ALONG THE AXIS FROM 11N-12.5N BETWEEN 121W-123W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 140W BETWEEN 6N-17N MOVING W 20 KT. THE TROUGH IS MOVING OUT OF THE DISCUSSION AREA WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 14N-16N W OF 137W. ..1021 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N126W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING W TO 26N140W AND SE TO 20N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N86W 6N97W 12N109W 8N120W 11N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-118W AND 132W-136W. ELSEWHERE SEE TROPICAL WAVES. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION THAT SPLIT OFF FROM THE ITCZ IS CENTERED NEAR 12N103W AND IS GENERATING WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 99W-104W. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE SRN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:11 2003 X-UIDL: 33858-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200A3YDDBRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 06:05:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73M5Ro7001236 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 06:05:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5g75017612; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:01:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 446690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:01:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73M17c9010154 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:01:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73M169d028496 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73M16Sv028495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:01:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308032201.h73M16Sv028495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 032200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 3 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 14N151W 13N141W 07N148W 07N161W 10N164W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09N168W 03N163W 03N167W MOVED WEST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12N176W 07N173W 05N178W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 16N178E 05N178W 12N174E. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 25N144W 23N147W ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TUTT. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07S178W 14S164W 13S180 MOVED SOUTHWEST 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT ARE BOUNDED BY 25S125W 29S118W 33S120W...MOVED ESAT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:11 2003 X-UIDL: 33859-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ2008XEEKV6L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 06:31:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73MVao7005903 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 06:31:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTCV044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:29:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 446920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73MTCc9023744 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:29:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73MTB9d028761 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:29:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73MTB1Y028760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:29:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:29:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308032229.h73MTB1Y028760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 032228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THERE ARE AT LEAST TWO AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. ONE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE OTHER IS ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT OF EITHER OF THESE SYSTEMS...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 10:40:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ20084NQ09B2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:38:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h742cRo7059830 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:38:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gEb017612; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:35:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449519 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:35:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h742ZHc9025076 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:35:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h742ZG9d001269 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:35:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h742ZG1p001268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:35:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:35:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040235.h742ZG1p001268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 040234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THERE ARE AT LEAST TWO AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. ONE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE OTHER IS ABOUT 710 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT OF EITHER OF THESE SYSTEMS...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE/AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 10:47:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ20085OQ8ZAZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:43:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h742heo7061280 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:43:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8fL035722; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:40:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:40:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h742eLc9023758 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:40:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h742eK9d001311 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h742eKJn001310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:40:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040240.h742eKJn001310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 040240 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN AUG 3 2003 A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS AREA. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 12:07:25 2003 X-UIDL: 33878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200859T8ZB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:48:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h743mTo7079062 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:48:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8gR035722; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:45:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 450067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:45:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h743jRc9048878 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:45:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h743jQ9d001862 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:45:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h743jQcB001861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:45:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:45:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040345.h743jQcB001861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 040345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 04 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W/87W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W N OF 7N MOVING W 15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 111W/112W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 122W/123W S OF 18N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS INTO THE REGION THROUGH 32N130W SW TO 29N134W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N88W 12N104W 10N117W 11N131W 12N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 105W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 116W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 24N TO 27N AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N82W TO 9.5N85.5W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND THE COAST OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 5N AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N139.5W. CLUSTERS OF HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA AND THE REMAINDER OF COSTA RICA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 15:53:46 2003 X-UIDL: 33888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008GO4J5AZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:52:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h747qAo7057542 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:52:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8mj035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:46:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h747jbc9049928 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h747jb9d003554 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h747jbOO003553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:45:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040745.h747jbOO003553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 040745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN AUG 03 2003 A RATHER LARGE...BUT DISORGANIZED...AREA OF CLOUDINESS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO... HAWAII. THIS AREA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:07 2003 X-UIDL: 33894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008A9A2JAZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:51:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h749plo7090030 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:51:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8nj035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:42:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451737 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:42:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h749gLc9048698 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:42:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h749gL9d004469 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:42:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h749gLbc004468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:42:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:42:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040942.h749gLbc004468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 040942 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 04 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 88W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 98W N OF 7N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 111W/112W WAS RELOCATED ALONG 106W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 124W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS INTO THE REGION THROUGH 32N130W SW TO 28N136W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 118W WITH A 1020 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 28N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N92W 12N104W 10N117W 12N125W 12N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 126W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150/180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 12N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 87W TO 90W AND IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N96W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 16N94W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N87W TO 12N91W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE OFF THE COAST OF OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N84W TO 10N87W AND FROM 2N TO 6N E OF 80W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 33895-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ300817AGPB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:00:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74A0Fo7092605 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:00:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8np035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h749tac9047726 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h749ta9d004550 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h749tahp004549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040955.h749tahp004549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 040955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A POINT 10N176W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...NEW CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 23N152W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. SECOND SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N153W 14N146W 13N145W 08N152W MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KT AND WEAKENED WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE. THIRD SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W... WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N140W 11N140W 12N143W AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE FIRST SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S167W 13S177W MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED 12S177W 13S178E 08S179E AND MOVED SOUTH AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008JOB5SB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:15:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74AFMo7096972 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:15:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8o5035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:09:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451818 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:09:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74A9Rc9046458 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:09:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74A9R9d004664 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:09:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74A9RWh004663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:09:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:09:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041009.h74A9RWh004663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 041009 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THERE ARE AT LEAST TWO AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE. ONE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1225 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE OTHER IS ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT OF EITHER OF THESE SYSTEMS...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE/AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:18 2003 X-UIDL: 33907-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ30087AL5F6L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:51:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Dp7o7054216 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:51:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8rL035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 08:45:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 452765 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 08:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74DjYc9023670 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 08:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74DjU9d007647 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 08:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74DjUM4007646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 08:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 08:45:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041345.h74DjUM4007646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 041345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON AUG 04 2003 A DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS AREA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH. CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:24 2003 X-UIDL: 33919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008QRS376L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:21:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74GKvo7099754 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:20:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8w3035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:11:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 454260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:11:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74GBfc9019726 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:11:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74GBb9d012602 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:11:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74GBbqG012601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:11:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:11:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041611.h74GBbqG012601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 041611 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 04 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W/90W SOUTH OF 24N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 92W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 89W AND 90W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W/100W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 14N 103W AND 106W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W. ..TROPICAL WAVE 107W/108W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN A CELL WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 13N112.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W/126W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 125W AND 127W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N78W 9N93W 11N108W 10N126W 12N140W. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN A FEW CELLS...FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 122W...AND FROM 8.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 125W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:25 2003 X-UIDL: 33922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008U5TL66L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:53:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74GrOo7011911 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:53:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h747VqC9056432; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 454832 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Glpc9050136 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74Glo9d013910 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74GlotB013907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041647.h74GlotB013907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:26 2003 X-UIDL: 33923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008V4TLY6L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:53:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Grpo7012045 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:53:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gQP017612; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:48:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 454835 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Glpc9047736 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74Glo9d013909 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74Glo6c013905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:47:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041647.h74Glo6c013905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z/051800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:26 2003 X-UIDL: 33925-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ30083TTXR6L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 01:01:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74H0uo7014124 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 01:00:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8xl035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:53:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 454893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:53:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74GrXc9049950 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:53:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74GrX9d014102 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:53:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74GrWnh014101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:53:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:53:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041653.h74GrWnh014101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 041653 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. POORLY ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES SOUTHWEST AND ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT OF EITHER OF THESE SYSTEMS... IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:32 2003 X-UIDL: 33935-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ4008NQ1SIAZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:50:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74JoYo7077178 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:50:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q86t035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 14:45:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 457387 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 14:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Jjdc9012966 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74Jjd9d020086 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74Jjdve020085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041945.h74Jjdve020085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 041945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON AUG 04 2003 A DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS AREA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 MPH. CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:38 2003 X-UIDL: 33947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ4008JW6T96L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:39:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Ld1o7012886 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:39:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8Ah035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:32:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 458428 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:32:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LW9c9039472 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:32:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74LW99d023199 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74LW9hV023198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:32:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308042132.h74LW9hV023198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 042131 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 04 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS 04/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W/91W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A CLUSTER OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 91W-94W IS QUICKLY DISSIPATING AS IT MOVES W. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS RACING WWD AWAY FROM THE CLUSTER...S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC...AT 30 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE HAS BEEN REPOSITIONED BASED ON THE TRACKING OF A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION SW OF ACAPULCO OVER THE PAST 24-36 HRS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 103W-109W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. THIS WAVE IS MOVING SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE WAVE TO ITS E...BUT IT IS STILL MAINTAINING ITS OWN IDENTITY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 111W-117W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 127W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 126W-129W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N140W 30N126W 21N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N76W 9N88W 8N96W 11N109W 11N117W 8N129W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-89W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 128W. ELSEWHERE SEE TROPICAL WAVES. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE ALONG THE CNTRL AMERICAN COAST NEAR THE COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA BORDER. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:38 2003 X-UIDL: 33948-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ4008L27ELB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Lpoo7017053 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:51:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LZddB017274; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 0190 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LkZc9050052 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74LkZ9d023493 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74LkZve023492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308042146.h74LkZve023492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 042146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N145W 14N140W 10N140W 10N149W 15N145W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BETWEEN 02N AND 12N WEST OF 176W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 14N152W 25N147W...HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SECOND SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 21N152W 16N147W 15N155W 21N152W...HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SECOND SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 17S166W 12S180...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED HAVE FORMED WITHIN 90 NM OF 11S161W...ARE ARE MOVING WEST AT 05 KT. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:39 2003 X-UIDL: 33950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ4008R68TJB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 06:22:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74MMFo7028588 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 06:22:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOdL043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:17:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 0538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:16:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74MGGc9048370 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:16:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74MGF9d024179 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:16:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74MGF2Z024178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:16:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:16:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308042216.h74MGF2Z024178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 042215 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. POORLY ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES SOUTHWEST AND ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:39 2003 X-UIDL: 33951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ4008C2APOB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:03:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74N3Co7039632 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:03:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOen043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:59:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:59:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74MxDc9039462 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:59:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74MxD9d024839 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:59:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74MxDmX024838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:59:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 17:59:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308042259.h74MxDmX024838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 042259 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 4 2003 ..CORRECTED LOCAL TIME IN HEADER... FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. POORLY ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES SOUTHWEST AND ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:40 2003 X-UIDL: 33952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ40081VBI3AZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:20:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74NKKo7044948 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:20:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOfl043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:12:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1430 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:12:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74NCOc9038998 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:12:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74NCO9d025052 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:12:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74NCOAU025051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:12:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:12:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308042312.h74NCOAU025051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 042312 CCA TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 4 2003 ..CORRECTION TO LOCAL TIME IN HEADER... FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. POORLY ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES SOUTHWEST AND ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:43 2003 X-UIDL: 33964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400IRSIF00B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:49:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h751ndo7088903 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:49:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOnX043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 20:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3234 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 20:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h751jcc9039100 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 20:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h751jc9d027069 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 20:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h751jcYN027068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 20:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 20:45:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050145.h751jcYN027068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 050145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON AUG 04 2003 THERE ARE TWO SMALL DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. THE FIRST ONE IS CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND WITH THE SECOND ONE CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. BOTH AREAS ARE MOVING OFF TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT AROUND 15 MPH. CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SYSTEMS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 12:45:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400I1DNEW0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 11:37:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h753bZo7021564 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 11:37:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOrl043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:31:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 4224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:31:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h753VNc9033984 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h753VN9d028230 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:31:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h753VN6X028229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:31:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:31:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050331.h753VN6X028229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 050331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 05 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W/93W N OF 6N MOVING W 15 KT. EARLIER CONVECTION HAS LEFT BEHIND A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE VORTEX NEAR 12N. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION AT THIS TIME. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W/108W S OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT. BROAD ROTATION NOTED WITH THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 102W-108W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE IS EXPERIENCING STRONG SW SHEAR WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 110W-114W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 128W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 127.5W-131W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 31N134W 24N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N91W 11N107W 11N119W 8N128W 8N136W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF AXIS FROM 110N-120W AND 121W-127W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 129W-138W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 12.5N139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM CENTRAL PANAMA NEAR 7N81W TO THE NW BORDER OF COSTA RICA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 12:46:05 2003 X-UIDL: 33989-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400IRSOHI0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 12:00:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7540lo7027622 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 12:00:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOsR043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:56:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 4439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:56:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h753u6c9048270 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:56:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h753u69d028394 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:56:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h753u67u028393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:56:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:56:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050356.h753u67u028393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 050355 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. POORLY ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES SOUTHWEST AND ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 14:00:20 2003 X-UIDL: 33995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400IUATYW0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:59:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h755xCo7060361 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:59:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KjJ030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 5873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h755n2c9040454 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h755n29d029334 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h755n2qw029332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050549.h755n2qw029332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZAUG2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050152ZAUG2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W (MORAKOT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N5 117.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM NORTHWEST OF QUANZHOU, CHINA, TRACKING OVER LAND DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 050300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 050000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 132.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.1N5 161.9E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.2N4 151.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK CONVECTION NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 15:50:28 2003 X-UIDL: 34000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400IZDZ210B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:49:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h757mso7093634 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:48:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KlH030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:45:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 6395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:45:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h757jqc9005296 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h757jp9d000257 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h757jp18000256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:45:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050745.h757jp18000256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 050745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON AUG 04 2003 THERE ARE TWO DISORGANIZED AREAS OF CLOUDINESS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THE FIRST WEAK DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 MPH. THE SECOND AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS ABOUT 630 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF EITHER OF THESE SYSTEMS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANOTHER AREA OF DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS AREA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 17:41:39 2003 X-UIDL: 34008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500I4P44H0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:38:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h759cXo7026840 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:38:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555Klx030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:31:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 6729 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:31:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h759Vvc9013026 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:31:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h759Vv9d001462 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h759VvS4001461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:31:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050931.h759VvS4001461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 050931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 05 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W N OF 6N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 93W-95.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W S OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT. BROAD ROTATION NOTED WITH THE WAVE AND A LOW COULD BE FORMING NEAR 14N. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13.5N BETWEEN 105W-110W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 107W-111W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE IS EXPERIENCING STRONG SW SHEAR WITH ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 112W-117W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 128W/129W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 9.5N-13N BETWEEN 128W-132W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N140W 23N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 11N92W 12N110W 8N130W 8N136W 11N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 7N77W 8N85W 11N89W 13N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF AXIS FROM 118W-123W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN OF 124W-128W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION HAS EXITED THE MEXICAN MAINLAND INTO COASTAL WATERS W OF MAZATLAN NEAR 23N106.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE 11N99.5W 13N100.5W 15N97W. AN ISOLATED TSTM IS NEAR 19N104.5W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 18:01:38 2003 X-UIDL: 34009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500I4W5320B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:59:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h759xIo7032587 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:59:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555Km7030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:55:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 6818 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h759tSc9025704 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:55:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h759tS9d001630 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h759tSww001629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050955.h759tSww001629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 050955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 12N141W AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT....INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF POINT 24N154W MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N154W 13N162W 16N160W 17N155W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND WEAKENED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 12N178W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB AREAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF POINT 16S167W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 15S174W 13S179E AND MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 18:21:38 2003 X-UIDL: 34013-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IN75P20B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 18:12:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75ACVo7036616 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 18:12:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KmT030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:08:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 6889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:08:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75A80c9037226 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:08:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75A809d001790 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:08:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75A7xhc001789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:07:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:07:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051007.h75A7xhc001789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 051007 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. POORLY ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES SOUTHWEST AND ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:32 2003 X-UIDL: 34028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500ID3FQX0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:49:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Dnco7092150 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:49:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KrH030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:45:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 8156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Djic9048852 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75Dji9d005028 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75Dji03005027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:45:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051345.h75Dji03005027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 051345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE AUG 05 2003 THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK DISTURBANCE ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...HAWAII HAVE DIMINISHED DURING THE NIGHT. STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS OVER THIS SYSTEM DO NOT FAVOR ANY DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ANOTHER AREA OF DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. NO DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITHIN THIS WEAKENING DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:37 2003 X-UIDL: 34033-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IZ1LKD0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 23:55:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75FtGo7031052 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 23:55:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555Kxf030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:49:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 9654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:49:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Fnlc9040602 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:49:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75Fnl9d009575 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:49:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75Fnl53009574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:49:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:49:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051549.h75Fnl53009574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 051549 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 05 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 77W/78W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND OVER E PANAMA WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF WAVE AXIS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W N OF 4N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR PUERTO ANGEL MOVING W 15 KT. WEAKENING AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 93W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 90W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 98W-102W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W S OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 108W-103W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE HAS SOME ROTATION IN THE LOW CLOUD FIELD BUT IS EXPERIENCING STRONG SW SHEAR. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 114W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE ITCZ CONVECTION FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 119W-125W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 130W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 128W-134W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N130W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N100W 13N110W 8N130W 7N130W 7N140W. SEE ALSO TROPICAL WAVE DISCUSSION. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N W OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE CENTRAL SEA OF CORTEZ AND ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN LOS MOCHIS AND GUAYMAS FROM 25.5N-27.5N BETWEEN 109W-112W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:39 2003 X-UIDL: 34036-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500I7CNEA0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 00:34:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75GYlo7041932 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 00:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555K0b030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 11:29:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 9993 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 11:29:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75GT8c9037254 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 11:29:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75GT79d011078 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 11:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75GT7jW011077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 11:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 11:29:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051629.h75GT7jW011077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 051628 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. POORLY ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER ARE LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES SOUTHWEST AND ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. A THIRD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AT THIS TIME...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:43 2003 X-UIDL: 34040-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IRISDA0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:22:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75IMEo7071972 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:22:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555K6X030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75IGtc9039506 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75IGt9d015127 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75IGsKL015125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051816.h75IGsKL015125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:43 2003 X-UIDL: 34041-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IX9SI40B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:25:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75IP9o7073058 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:25:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555Kw5051984; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11495 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75IGtc9016772 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75IGt9d015128 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75IGtiF015126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:16:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051816.h75IGtiF015126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:45 2003 X-UIDL: 34047-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IPTX440B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:04:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75K4io7006421 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:04:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KCT030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 14:55:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 13180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 14:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Jtvc9056244 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 14:55:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75Jtv9d021236 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 14:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75JtvGX021235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 14:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 14:55:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051955.h75JtvGX021235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 051955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE AUG 05 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:49 2003 X-UIDL: 34056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600IIM28F0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 05:55:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75LtJo7035090 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 05:55:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KGr030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:47:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 14548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:47:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Llsc9030010 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:47:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75Llr9d025154 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:47:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75LlreH025153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:47:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:47:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308052147.h75LlreH025153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 052147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 05 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 78W/79W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT. SIGNATURE CURVATURE IS OBSERVED OVER PANAMA TO THE ITCZ AXIS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W N OF 4N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE AXIS LOCATION IS ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SIGNATURE CURVATURE. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W/112W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. BROAD CURVATURE CHARACTERIZES THIS WAVE THE WAVE ALONG 118W/119W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W/119W S OF 17N MOVING W 5-10 KT. WEAK BROAD LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW IS OBSERVED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE NEAR 14N. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 131W/132W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WEAK LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE IS OBSERVED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION N OF 20N WEST OF 115W WITH A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N133W TO 25N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N88W 9N96W 13N113W 12N117W 9N123W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 103W...WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 105W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 127W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 88W. DISSIPATING SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 111W...WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 98W...AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N135W ACROSS THE AXIS TO BEYOND 9N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA N OF 7N E OF 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA WITH CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 80W TO 91W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION COVER THE AREA FROM THE ITCZ AXIS TO 20N BETWEEN 110W TO 118W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:50 2003 X-UIDL: 34057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600I1X2JG0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 06:02:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75M1uo7036570 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 06:01:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KHd030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 14636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Ltac9034824 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75Lta9d025309 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75LtaF4025308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308052155.h75LtaF4025308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 052155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 09N142W 08N140W EXTENDS EAST AND MOVED WEST 10-15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... WEAK VORTEX NEAR 24N159W MOVING WEST 10 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 24N159W 26N157W 24N152W. ISOLATED CB EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CLOUD BAND EAST OF 157W HAD MOSTLY DISSIPATED. UPPER TROUGH THROUGH 30N151W 22N157W 15N164W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 130 NM OF LINE 14N159W 18N152W DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 25S160W 14S175W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 12S180. SYSTEM MOVED EAST 15-20 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF ISOLATED CB JUST WEST OF SAMOA MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:50 2003 X-UIDL: 34058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600IG43HC0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 06:22:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75MMHo7041547 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 06:22:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75MDvdR034782; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:14:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 15052 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:14:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75MEkc9038968 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:14:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75MEj9d025718 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:14:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75MEj2J025716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:14:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:14:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308052214.h75MEj2J025716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 052214 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 960 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY. THIS SYSTEM MAY BE ABSORBED BY THE LARGER DISTURBANCE TO THE EAST. ANOTHER POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1625 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:53 2003 X-UIDL: 34074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600B2DDJ3IJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:59:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h761xJo7096585 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:59:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KY5030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 20:55:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 17960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 20:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h761tfc9029560 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 20:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h761tf9d028715 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 20:55:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h761texp028714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 20:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 20:55:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060155.h761texp028714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 060155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE AUG 05 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 11:40:23 2003 X-UIDL: 34085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BMUHWOIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:34:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763Xqo7029279 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:33:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KGn051984; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18939 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763Sjc9048486 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h763Sj9d029787 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:28:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h763Sito029786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:28:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060328.h763Sito029786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 060328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 06 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W IS NOW A 1010 MB TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N111W MOVING W 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 79W/80W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS N OF 6N. ..TROPICAL WAVES PREVIOUSLY ALONG 97W...118W AND 131W ARE NO LONGER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES AND ARE DROPPED FROM THE ANALYSIS. THE OTHER WAVE ALONG 111W IS NOW A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 31N134W TO 20N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0300 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N111W... SYSTEM HAS A BROAD TURNING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS BUT DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION. CONVECTION HAS WANED THIS EVENING WITH WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK TO MODERATE FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 111W-117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N89W 13N113W 10N128W 7N135W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 97W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 103W-107W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 11.5N124W 9N131W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 6N-11N W OF 132W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 12.5N110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 45-60 NM OF THE SW COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 12N89W TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W. CLUSTER OF ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N135W. ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 12:00:23 2003 X-UIDL: 34087-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BP2IOAIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:50:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763oQo7033783 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:50:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJcf030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:43:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 19038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:43:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763hvc9034530 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:43:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h763hu9d029951 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h763huSu029950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:43:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060343.h763huSu029950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 060343 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 960 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. ANOTHER POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 14:18:18 2003 X-UIDL: 34099-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BT1P73IJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:11:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h766BHo7076087 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:11:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653Fdj035500; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76633c9015736 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h766329d001396 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76632PA001394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060603.h76632PA001394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N0 129.3E5, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 17:32:41 2003 X-UIDL: 34105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BL5TUKIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:51:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h767pZLb010968 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:51:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJgF030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:46:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:46:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h767k5c9046578 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:46:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h767k59d002286 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h767k52Y002285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:46:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060746.h767k52Y002285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 060745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE AUG 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 17:32:55 2003 X-UIDL: 34113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BDAYBSIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 17:28:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h769SXLb040268 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 17:28:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653Fev035500; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:22:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20877 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:22:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h769MZc9034488 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:22:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h769MZ9d003173 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h769MZmO003172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:22:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060922.h769MZmO003172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 060922 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 06 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N111W HAS WEAKENED. SEE BELOW FOR DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE BETWEEN 7N-10N BETWEEN 80W-85W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10N98W 13.5N103W. ..1010 MB LOW IS NEAR 15N111W MOVING WNW 5-10 KT. LOW HAS NO WELL-DEFINED CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 112W-117.5W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 31N136W TO 21N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N104W 13N111W 14N120W 7N132W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS E OF 80W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 8N98W 9N106W 13N110W AND LINE 13N123W 11N126W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 112W-120W. AND FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 129W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE 9N89W 12N93W 15N94W 15.5N97W. ISOLATED MODERATE CLUSTER NEAR 4N77W AND 11N137W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 22:04:06 2003 X-UIDL: 34121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600B3NZZSIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 18:04:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76A4TLb051895 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 18:04:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJh3030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:45:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h769jsc9015596 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h769jr9d003391 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h769jrjt003390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:45:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060945.h769jrjt003390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 060945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE IN AREA BETWEEN 04N AND 08N EAST OF 147W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ALSO NEW ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BETWEEN 05N AND 09N WEST OF 174W. SURFACE TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20N160W 19N164W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 15S162W 21S155W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 22:04:10 2003 X-UIDL: 34122-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BM20PPIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 18:20:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76AK5Lb056909 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 18:20:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJhD030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 05:14:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 05:14:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76AEdc9015442 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 05:14:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76AEc9d003642 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 05:14:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76AEcoH003641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 05:14:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 05:14:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061014.h76AEcoH003641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 061014 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE IT REACHES COOLER WATER. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. ANOTHER POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 22:04:18 2003 X-UIDL: 34134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700B3TAG2IJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:50:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76DoJLb013800 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:50:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653Fi5035500; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 22312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76Djmc9055288 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76Djd9d006908 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76Djdos006907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:45:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061345.h76Djdos006907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 061345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED AUG 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:06 2003 X-UIDL: 34151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700B5LF9EIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 23:34:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76FYJLb045717 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 23:34:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653FjP035500; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23325 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76FMic9049972 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76FMh9d010507 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76FMhN6010505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061522.h76FMhN6010505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N0 129.3E5, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:10 2003 X-UIDL: 34155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BUSFNNIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 23:42:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76FgnLb049908 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 23:42:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJpD030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:38:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:38:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76Fc1c9013054 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:38:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76Fc19d010945 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:38:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76Fc112010944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:38:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:38:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061538.h76Fc112010944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 061535 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 06 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 15N115W WITH A 1011 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WNW NEAR 10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W/102W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 99W AND 104W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 124/125W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 123W-127W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 138W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. A CLUSTER OF SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 13N137.5W. ..HIGH PRES COVERS THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1500 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N115W... EARLY MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 15N115W. A BROKEN BAND OF SHOWER/TSTMS IS LOCATED OVER THE NE SEMICIRCLE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE ALONG 16N116W 16N114W 15N112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N90W 11N100W 15N110W 12N120W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 79W...FROM 81W-83W...AND 87W-89W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 93W-97W AND FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 105W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WEAKENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 13.5N-15N BETWEEN 95W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 14N104W-15N106W. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:16 2003 X-UIDL: 34166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BE0IJLIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 00:45:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76Gj1Lb069179 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 00:45:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJrF030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76GeBc9034520 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76GeB9d013097 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76GeB3R013094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061640.h76GeB3R013094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DENSON/LAM/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:16 2003 X-UIDL: 34167-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BKCIN8IJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 00:47:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76GlLLb069907 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 00:47:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJrD030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:39:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:39:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76Gd4c9035724 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76Gd49d013050 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76Gd4at013049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:39:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061639.h76Gd4at013049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 061638 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM REACHES COOLER WATER. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANOTHER POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:17 2003 X-UIDL: 34168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BKMINCIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 00:47:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76GlSLb069933 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 00:47:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653Fl5035500; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76GeBc9023966 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76GeB9d013098 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76GeBDE013095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 11:40:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061640.h76GeBDE013095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z/071800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DENSON/LAM/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:23 2003 X-UIDL: 34182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700B8BRREIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:04:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76K4HLb038779 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:04:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJ2d030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:58:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 26693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:58:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76Jw6c9048400 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:58:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76Jw69d020144 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:58:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76Jw6g0020143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:58:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:58:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061958.h76Jw6g0020143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 061955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED AUG 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:24 2003 X-UIDL: 34186-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BL0WBRIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 05:43:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76LgmLb066620 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 05:42:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJ8r030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:33:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 28506 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:33:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76LXYc9034758 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:33:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76LXY9d023082 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:33:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76LXYp3023081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:33:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:33:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308062133.h76LXYp3023081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 062133 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 06 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 16N115W WITH A 1012 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WNW NEAR 10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W/84W N OF 2N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE SIGNATURE IS OBSERVED IN THE S CARIBBEAN WITH AREA OF CONVECTION STRETCHING ACROSS PANAMA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W/103W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED ALONG THE WAVE AROUND 11N. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 10 KT. SIGNATURE CURVATURE IS OBSERVED IN THE MID LEVEL CLOUDS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 138W/139W S OF 17N IS MOVING W 5-10 KT. SIGNATURE CURVATURE IS OBSERVED IN THE MID LEVEL CLOUDS. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2045 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SMALL AREA OF ROTATION WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN A 75 NM RADIUS OF 16.5N115.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N95W 11N109W 13N120W 8N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITH EMBEDDED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 105W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 114W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 94W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150/180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N100W TO 16N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF 6N TO ACROSS PANAMA FROM 80W TO 82W AND N OF 9N TO ACROSS COSTA RICA INTO NICARAGUA FROM 84W TO 86W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:25 2003 X-UIDL: 34188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BETXGTIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 06:07:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76M7TLb075285 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 06:07:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJAT030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 28894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76Ltac9020178 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76Lta9d023554 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76Ltadi023553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308062155.h76Ltadi023553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 062155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 15N158W 11N156W AND WITHIN 35 NM OF LINE 20N163W 13N163W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. LOW LEVEL VORTEX NEAR 13N141W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF VORTEX INTENSIFIED THEN WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 30N169W 26N176W MOVING EAST 10 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S120W 21S130W MOVED EAST 25 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... FRONT...THROUGH 25S151W 14S177W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 12S180. FRONT MOVING EAST 20 KT SOUTH OF 18S AND BECOMES STATIONARY WEST OF 165W ALONG WITH SHEAR LINE. OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF FRONT EAST OF 160W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS AND STRATOCUMULUS WITHIN 250 NM SOUTH OF SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB/TCU ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 175W DIMINISHED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF 19S156W MOVED SOUTHEAST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:29 2003 X-UIDL: 34200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000HZ8CID0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 10:02:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7722YLb038012 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 10:02:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJLL030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 20:56:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 32372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 20:56:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h771u2c9024938 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 20:56:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h771u19d027013 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 20:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h771u1fv027012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 20:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 20:56:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070156.h771u1fv027012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 070155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED AUG 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:55:17 2003 X-UIDL: 34215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000G0DHKD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:53:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h773raLb075000 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:53:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJP5030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:47:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 33347 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:47:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h773lpc9057614 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:47:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h773lp9d029120 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h773lpFx029119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:47:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070347.h773lpFx029119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 070347 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 615 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. IF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER... THEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY FORM LATER TONIGHT OR THURSDAY. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1175 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS EVENING AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 12:05:16 2003 X-UIDL: 34216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000EHDSTD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 12:00:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7740LLb077141 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 12:00:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJPF030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:54:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 33429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:54:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h773sfc9057692 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:54:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h773sf9d029177 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h773sfXK029176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:54:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070354.h773sfXK029176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 070354 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 07 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 16N115W MOVING WNW 10 KT WITH A 1009 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE IS EXTREMELY WEAK AND ALL DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HRS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W/103W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 101W-105W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 127W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS OBSERVED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...BUT IT APPEARS TO BE TILTED IN RESPONSE TO A NWD PROTRUSION OF THE ITCZ. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 120W-126W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 139W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL SWIRL IS OBSERVED JUST NOW CROSSING THE WRN EDGE OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WITH A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 32N135W 28N120W 23N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N115W... THE DISTURBANCE HAS A SMALL CIRCULATION...PROBABLY ONLY 200-250 NM WIDE...BUT CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY BLOSSOMED AND COMPLETELY COVERED THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 114W-117W. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY FORM SOME TIME ON THURSDAY. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N107W 13N114W 12N126W 8N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 106W-114W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 175 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OFF THE W COAST OF EL SALVADOR. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO...WITH A FEW TSTMS MOVING JUST OFFSHORE UP TO 180 NM E OF ACAPULCO AND INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA BETWEEN 25N-28N. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 14:42:44 2003 X-UIDL: 34222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000EVL4GD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:38:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h776cWLb025176 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:38:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJST030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:34:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:34:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h776Y8c9043144 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h776Y89d000858 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:34:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h776Y7pC000857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:34:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:34:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070634.h776Y7pC000857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PHNC 070500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 070430ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.2N8 114.4W0 TO 16.4N1 120.2W5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 070400Z1 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 115.0W7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.0N7 115.0W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 115.0W7, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. CURRENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND RECENT QUIKSCAT DEPICT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION TO THE NORTH. 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. AS THE LLCC TRACKS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, THE WIND SHEAR WILL DECREASE WHILE THE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WILL REMAIN GOOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 080500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 14:53:45 2003 X-UIDL: 34225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000BOLIJD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:47:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h776l0Lb027396 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:47:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJSd030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34566 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h776aRc9008918 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h776aR9d000883 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h776aRp4000881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070636.h776aRp4000881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 070600 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N0 128.3E4, LOCATED OVERHEAD OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS GUSTING TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 8.0N8 142.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9N8 135.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP, AND HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF HIGHER VERTICAL SHEAR AND CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 5.0N5 160.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 18:16:17 2003 X-UIDL: 34230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ80005COK2D0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:52:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h777qfLb046987 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:52:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJTx030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 02:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 02:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h777k0c9035690 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 02:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h777jx9d001436 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 02:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h777jxl8001435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 02:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 02:45:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070745.h777jxl8001435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 070745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED AUG 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 18:16:28 2003 X-UIDL: 34244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000QBTL6D0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:41:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h779fMLb080912 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:41:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653FJv035500; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:32:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 35175 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:32:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h779WYc9047050 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:32:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h779WX9d002422 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:32:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h779WXwv002421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:32:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:32:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070932.h779WXwv002421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 070932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 07 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 16N116W MOVING WNW 5-10 KT WITH A 1009 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W/86W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER SRN NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HRS WITH ONE CELL DEVELOPING WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COAST BETWEEN 84W-85W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 102W-106W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 127W/128W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 124W-129W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 32N137W 23N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N116W... CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED WITH THE DISTURBANCE OVER THE PAST SIX HRS...BUT AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TRAVELING S FROM THE SYSTEM INDICATES THAT THIS DEVELOPMENT MAY BE LIMITED AS SOME OF THE TSTMS COLLAPSE. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME SLOWLY BETTER ORGANIZED...HOWEVER...AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 114W-118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N76W 12N114W 10N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 100 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 126W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION UP TO 140 NM OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 98W-102W. ISOLATED MODERATE SW OF PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 104W-107W. NUMEROUS MODERATE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 109W-113W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 18:16:29 2003 X-UIDL: 34245-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000MDTZZD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:50:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h779oGLb083705 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:50:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJUn030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:45:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 35283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:45:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h779j8c9037470 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:45:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h779j79d002496 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:45:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h779j705002495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:45:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:45:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070945.h779j705002495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 070944 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N140W 05N146W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 09N156W 08N162W HAVE DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. TROUGH THROUGH 15N140W 11N141W HAS MOVED WEST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF TROUGH. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...NEW VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 20N160W 20N165W HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 22S120W 21S126W HAS MOVED EAST 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA...STATIONARY FRONT...THROUGH 25S150W 13S180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 250 NM OF FRONT EAST OF 160W WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 18:16:31 2003 X-UIDL: 34247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ80000BULZD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 18:03:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77A3PLb087769 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 18:03:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJUp030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:54:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 35305 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:54:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h779sXc9040564 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:54:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h779sX9d002552 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:54:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h779sX00002551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:54:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:54:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070954.h779sX00002551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 070954 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAVE CONTINUED TO IMPROVE...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:19 2003 X-UIDL: 34273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9000AM5FHD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:57:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77Dv9Lb056614 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:57:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77DTncr013820; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 08:45:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 36991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 08:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77Djfc9032730 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 08:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77Djf9d005671 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 08:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77DjfNI005670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 08:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 08:45:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071345.h77DjfNI005670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 071345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU AUG 7 2003 A POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER WITH AN AXIS THROUGH 12N 142W 09N 143W HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:26 2003 X-UIDL: 34276-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9000G475BD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:34:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EYGLb067632 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:34:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653FQD035500; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:26:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37313 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EQuc9008848 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77EQt9d007419 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77EQt7Q007417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:26:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071426.h77EQt7Q007417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 071426 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU AUG 07 2003 LATEST QUIKSCAT INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS A SURFACE CIRCULATION. IN ADDITION...SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW ENOUGH DEEP CONVECTION FOR THE SYSTEM TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB WHICH ARE 2.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. THE OUTFLOW IS FAIR BUT THE SYSTEM LACKS A WELL-DEFINED CENTER. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED...ONLY A STRONG BURST OF CONVECTION COULD BRING THE DEPRESSION TO STORM STATUS BEFORE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REACHES COOLER WATERS AND THE SHEAR INCREASES. THE DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ABOUT 8 KNOTS AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN MORE TO THE WEST AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WEAKENS AND BECOME STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH TRACK GUIDANCE AND WITH GLOBAL MODELS WHICH WEAKEN THE SYSTEM RATHER RAPIDLY. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 16.5N 116.5W 25 KT 12HR VT 08/0000Z 17.0N 118.0W 30 KT 24HR VT 08/1200Z 17.5N 120.0W 30 KT 36HR VT 09/0000Z 18.0N 122.0W 30 KT 48HR VT 09/1200Z 18.5N 124.0W 25 KT 72HR VT 10/1200Z 19.0N 128.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 11/1200Z 20.0N 133.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 12/1200Z 20.0N 139.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:26 2003 X-UIDL: 34277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9000J4770D0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:35:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EZGLb067913 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:35:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJaH030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:27:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:27:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77ERNc9039112 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:27:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77ERJ9d007442 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77ERJIr007441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:27:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071427.h77ERJIr007441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 071426 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 1500Z THU AUG 07 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 116.5W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 116.5W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 116.1W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 17.5N 120.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.5N 124.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.0N 128.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N 133.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 20.0N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 116.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:34 2003 X-UIDL: 34290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ900037C85D0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 00:24:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77GNvLb004413 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 00:23:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653FTL035500; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:11:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 38851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:11:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77GBUc9008882 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:11:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77GBU9d011119 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:11:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77GBTS4011118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:11:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:11:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071611.h77GBTS4011118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 071611 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 07 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E CENTER NEAR 16.5N 116.5W AT 07/1500 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W/87W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER NICARAGUA AND COASTAL WATERS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 83W AND 85W...IN CARIBBEAN SEA. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION IN COASTAL WATERS OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 84W AND 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN THE ITCZ FROM 6N TO 7N BETWEEN 85W AND 87W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 18N103W 13N104W 10N105W...AND FROM 10N TO 11N WITHIN 15-20 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 108W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 129W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. ..HIGH PRESSURE ALONG 32N137W 23N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1530 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 115W AND 117W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 18N TO 19N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W HAS DISSIPATED SINCE 07/1100 UTC. ANOTHER BURST OF STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 10-15 NM RADIUS OF 17.5N116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 10N100W 11N110W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 11N BETWEEN 98W AND 101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 23N108W JUST EAST OF SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WITHIN AT LEAST 200 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 16N129W...NEAR 129W TROPICAL WAVE. CYCLONIC FLOW WITHIN AT LEAST 90 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:34 2003 X-UIDL: 34291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9000PGCJUD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 00:31:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77GUxLb006636 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 00:31:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77DTnsb013820; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:10:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 38823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:10:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77GAEc9032562 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:10:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77GAE9d011062 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:10:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77GAEgC011060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:10:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:10:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071610.h77GAEgC011060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 071609 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAVE CONTINUED TO IMPROVE...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:37 2003 X-UIDL: 34296-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ900082DPMD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 00:56:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77Gu1Lb014419 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 00:56:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNib030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 39354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77GnXc9024256 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77GnX9d012491 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77GnWBw012489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Satellite Current Intensity Estimates Of 30 Knots. Maximum Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071649.h77GnWBw012489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN31 PHNC 071600 RRB SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 070430Z4 AUG 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PHNC 070500) NEXT WARNINGS AT 072200Z1, 080400Z2, 081000Z9 AND 081600Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:37 2003 X-UIDL: 34297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9008SSDTR1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 00:58:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77GwWLb015120 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 00:58:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNiX030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:48:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 39346 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:48:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77GmUc9029498 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77GmT9d012434 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77GmTWs012433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:48:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071648.h77GmTWs012433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 071600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN/070430ZAUG03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 16.3N0 116.1W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 116.1W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.0N8 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.5N3 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.0N9 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 18.5N4 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 19.0N0 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT --- REMARKS: 071200Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 116.3E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071200Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 070430Z4 AUG 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PHNC 070500) NEXT WARNINGS AT 072200Z1, 080400Z2, 081000Z9 AND 081600Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:37 2003 X-UIDL: 34298-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9008U4DVI1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 00:59:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77GxWLb015389 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 00:59:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653FV3035500; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 39357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77GnXc9055676 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77GnX9d012490 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77GnW0t012488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 11:49:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071649.h77GnW0t012488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 071600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN/070430ZAUG03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 16.3N0 116.1W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 116.1W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.0N8 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.5N3 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.0N9 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 18.5N4 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 19.0N0 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT --- REMARKS: 071200Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 116.3E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071200Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:38 2003 X-UIDL: 34299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9008LUEFN1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 01:11:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77HBdLb019729 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 01:11:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNjJ030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 12:06:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 39529 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 12:06:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77H6Gc9039624 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 12:06:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77H6G9d013146 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 12:06:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77H6G2S013145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 12:06:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 12:06:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071706.h77H6G2S013145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 071706 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:41 2003 X-UIDL: 34311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9000JRMAKD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:01:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77K1HLb076779 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:01:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653FaH035500; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:55:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:55:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77Jtqc9024828 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:55:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77Jtp9d018709 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77JtpMs018708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:55:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071955.h77JtpMs018708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 071955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU AUG 7 2003 A POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 930 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MPH. ANY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:41 2003 X-UIDL: 34312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9000JVNDCD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:24:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77KOeLb085872 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:24:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNor030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:19:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:19:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77KIxc9029394 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:18:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77KIw9d019563 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:18:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77KIwvU019562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:18:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:18:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308072018.h77KIwvU019562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 072018 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 2100Z THU AUG 07 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 117.2W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 117.2W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 116.8W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.5N 120.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 17.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.5N 123.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N 127.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 17.5N 131.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 17.5N 135.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 117.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:42 2003 X-UIDL: 34314-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9000PUNJID0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:28:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77KSOLb087574 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:28:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNol030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:18:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:18:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77KIPc9048276 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:18:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77KIP9d019538 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:18:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77KIP9u019537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:18:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:18:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Seven-e Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308072018.h77KIP9u019537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, OPPORTUNITY, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 072018 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU AUG 07 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE OVERALL PATTERN HAS CONTINUED TO IMPROVE WITH EXCELLENT OUTFLOW AND SOME BANDING FEATURES. HOWEVER...THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE LOCATED NEAR THE NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KNOTS. THE DEPRESSION HAS THE OPPORTUNITY TO REACH TROPICAL STORM STATUS BEFORE IT REACHES COOLER WATERS AND THE SHEAR INCREASES IN A DAY OR TWO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING 295 DEGREES AT 8 KNOTS. HOWEVER...A BUILDING RIDGE TO THE NORTH WILL PROBABLY FORCE THE CYCLONE TO MOVE ON A MORE WESTERLY TRACK. THIS FORECAST TRACK IS HEAVILY BIASED TO THE GFS AND THE GFDL. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 17.0N 117.2W 30 KT 12HR VT 08/0600Z 17.5N 118.5W 35 KT 24HR VT 08/1800Z 17.5N 120.0W 35 KT 36HR VT 09/0600Z 17.5N 121.5W 35 KT 48HR VT 09/1800Z 17.5N 123.5W 25 KT 72HR VT 10/1800Z 17.5N 127.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 11/1800Z 17.5N 131.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 12/1800Z 17.5N 135.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:44 2003 X-UIDL: 34320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ900893QKL1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 05:33:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77LXnLb009576 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 05:33:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77DTnQ3013820; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:28:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 42824 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77LS4c9024316 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77LS39d022008 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77LS3oe022007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:28:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308072128.h77LS3oe022007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 072127 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 07 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 117.2W AT 07/2100 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W/88W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 130W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2045 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SW SEMICIRCLE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N98W 11N107W 12N1120W 14N127W 11N134W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 84W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 90W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 101W...WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 108W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 115W...AND WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 137W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 112W AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 133W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N102W 15N105W TO 18N105W AND WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N93.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND ALONG THE COAST ALL OF GUATEMALA...AND ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 80W TO 85W. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO S OF 21N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:45 2003 X-UIDL: 34321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ900091RV0D0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 06:01:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77M1eLb019597 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 06:01:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77L1vhv035500; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:56:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77LtXc9018218 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77LtX9d022592 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77LtXpU022591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308072155.h77LtXpU022591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 072155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 07N140W 07N143W EXTEND EASTWARD AND AREA NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. A WEAK VORTEX NEAR 10N145W IS MOVING WEST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM WEST AND NORTH OF VORTEX INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 07N175W 06N178W MOVED WEST 17 KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. SEE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI OTHER DETAILS. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 25S155W 17S160W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 13S180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT EAST OF 160W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE WEST OF 160W. FRONT MOVING EAST 10 KT SOUTH OF 21S. REST OF FRONT/SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS DUE TO SHEAR LINE NEARBY. SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 19S155W 25S147W MOVED SOUTHEAST 12 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:45 2003 X-UIDL: 34324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9000ZUT2CD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 06:27:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77MRfLb027353 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 06:27:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNxd030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77MOec9024244 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77MOd9d023166 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77MOdul023164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308072224.h77MOdul023164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 072200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 16.8N5 116.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 116.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.5N3 118.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.5N3 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.5N3 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.5N3 123.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.5N3 127.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071800Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 116.8E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 34325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ90085QT2M1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 06:27:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77MRpLb027412 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 06:27:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNxX030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:21:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:21:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77MLTc9057600 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:21:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77MLT9d023102 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:21:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77MLTEb023101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:21:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:21:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308072221.h77MLTEb023101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 072200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 16.8N5 116.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 116.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.5N3 118.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.5N3 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.5N3 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.5N3 123.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.5N3 127.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071800Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 116.8E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071800Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WTPN31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080400Z2, 081000Z9, 081600Z5 AND 082200Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 34326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ90087WT661D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 06:30:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77MTtLb027923 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 06:29:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNxV030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:20:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:20:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77MKOc9024722 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:20:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77MKN9d023079 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:20:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77MKNIM023078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:20:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:20:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308072220.h77MKNIM023078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 072220 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 620 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD. ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:47 2003 X-UIDL: 34327-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ90088FT741D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 06:30:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77MUYLb028134 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 06:30:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77MDndL055672; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77MOec9034456 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77MOd9d023165 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77MOdIN023162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 17:24:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Is Based On 071800z6 Visible Satellite Imagery. The Warning Intensity Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308072224.h77MOdIN023162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN31 PHNC 072200 RRB IS BASED ON 071800Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WTPN31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080400Z2, 081000Z9, 081600Z5 AND 082200Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 10:00:13 2003 X-UIDL: 34391-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008W12W01D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:00:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h781xqLb085201 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:59:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvN4v030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 20:55:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 45569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 20:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h781tZc9041346 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 20:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h781tY9d025642 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 20:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h781tYDD025641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 20:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 20:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080155.h781tYDD025641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 080155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU AUG 7 2003 A WEAK LOW CLOUD VORTEX 880 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MPH. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 10:30:14 2003 X-UIDL: 34405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008G13WQ1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:22:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h782LtLb092716 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:21:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77L1vml035500; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 45754 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h782IZc9046004 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h782IY9d025923 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h782IYfT025921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080218.h782IYfT025921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 080218 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0300Z FRI AUG 08 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.5W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 117.5W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 117.2W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 16.9N 118.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 17.2N 120.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 17.4N 122.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.5N 124.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.5N 127.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 17.5N 131.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 17.5N 135.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 117.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 10:30:15 2003 X-UIDL: 34406-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008GZ3WX1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:22:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h782M3Lb092781 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:22:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvN5x030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 45751 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h782IYc9050142 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h782IY9d025922 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h782IYBH025919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:18:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080218.h782IYBH025919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 080218 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU AUG 07 2003 VISIBLE...INFRARED...AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST...OR CDO...FEATURE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE T2.5 PLUS...OR 40 KT...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 40 KT AND THE DEPRESSION IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/06. THE MORE SOUTHERLY POSITION AND SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS LIKELY A TEMPORARY CONDITION...AND IS PROBABLY DUE TO THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER RE-ORGANIZING WITHIN THE CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO RESUME SHORTLY. THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE OF LITTLE USE AS FAR AS SPECIFIC TRACK FORECAST POSITIONS ARE CONCERNED SINCE THE MODELS WERE POORLY INITIALIZED AT 07/18Z...AND THEY KILL THE CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO AT THE EXPENSE OF SPINNING UP A SYSTEM TO THE EAST. HOWEVER...THE BASIC SYNOPTIC PATTERN OF HAVING A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH INDICATES THAT GUILLERMO SHOULD MOVE IN A GENERAL WEST TO PERHAPS SLIGHTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND IS SIMILAR TO THE MEDIUM AND DEEP BAM MODELS THROUGH 36 HOURS...BUT SLOWER AND WELL SOUTH OF BOTH OF THOSE MODEL TRACKS AFTER THAT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY BASED ON THE STRONGER INITIAL INTENSITY...BUT IT IS STILL SLIGHTLY BELOW THE SHIPS MODEL WHICH BRINGS THE CYCLONE UP TO 58 KT IN ABOUT 48-60 HOURS...AFTER WHICH IT REMAINS STEADY THROUGH 120 HOURS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT GUILLERMO COULD BECOME STRONGER THAN FORECAST AND EVEN REACH MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH BY 36-48 HOURS GIVEN THAT THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 10 KT OR LESS AND THE CENTER IS FORECAST BE VERY CLOSE TO THE 27C SST ISOTHERM. THE 34-KT WIND RADII WERE ALSO DECREASED SLIGHTLY BASED ON A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 16.7N 117.5W 40 KT 12HR VT 08/1200Z 16.9N 118.7W 45 KT 24HR VT 09/0000Z 17.2N 120.3W 50 KT 36HR VT 09/1200Z 17.4N 122.1W 55 KT 48HR VT 10/0000Z 17.5N 124.0W 55 KT 72HR VT 11/0000Z 17.5N 127.5W 55 KT 96HR VT 12/0000Z 17.5N 131.0W 50 KT 120HR VT 13/0000Z 17.5N 135.0W 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 12:00:14 2003 X-UIDL: 34459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008D28CS1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:58:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h783vuLb023944 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:57:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvN8P030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:52:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 46667 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:52:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h783q4c9032852 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:52:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h783q49d026701 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:52:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h783q4HN026700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:52:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:52:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080352.h783q4HN026700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 080351 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 08 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...CENTERED NEAR 16.7N 117.5W AT 08/0300 UTC MOVING W AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER EL SALVADOR AND EXTREME SE GUATEMALA AND DRIFTING UP TO 60 NM OFFSHORE. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W S OF 17N MOVING W 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 106W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 102W-109W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 131W/132W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 127W-135W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 32N134W 23N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... THE SYSTEM REMAINS SMALL IN SCALE BUT HAS BEEN ABLE TO MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT CONVECTION THROUGHOUT THE DAY TO REACH TROPICAL STORM STATUS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14.5N-18N BETWEEN 116.5W-119W...OR WITHIN 70 NM OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N108W 12N117W 12N130W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 95W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-115W...PARTLY DUE TO THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 135W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 93W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 18N-23N E OF 106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 26N-28N BETWEEN 108W-111W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 12:30:15 2003 X-UIDL: 34472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008AC9EW1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 12:20:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h784KnLb030825 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 12:20:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvN8Z030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:17:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 46841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:17:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h784Hhc9018384 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:17:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h784Hh9d026938 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:17:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h784HhMB026937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:17:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:17:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080417.h784HhMB026937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 080417 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY-UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 645 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD. ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 12:50:14 2003 X-UIDL: 34482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008FRAEZ1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 12:42:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h784gQLb036684 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 12:42:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvN8j030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:39:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 47000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:39:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h784dcc9012942 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:39:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h784dc9d027171 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h784dbfg027170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:39:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:39:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080439.h784dbfg027170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 080400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 16.6N3 117.2W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 117.2W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.9N6 118.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.2N0 120.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.4N2 122.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.5N3 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.5N3 127.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.5N3 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.5N3 135.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 080000Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 117.2E1. TROPICAL STORM (GUILLERMO) 07E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080000Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081000Z9, 081600Z5, 082200Z2 AND 090400Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 12:50:15 2003 X-UIDL: 34483-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008KUAHF1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 12:44:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h784htLb037027 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 12:43:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77L1vqV035500; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 47045 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h784fdc9018254 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h784fd9d027200 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h784fdhO027198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080441.h784fdhO027198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 080400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 16.6N3 117.2W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 117.2W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.9N6 118.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.2N0 120.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.4N2 122.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 17.5N3 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.5N3 127.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 12:50:16 2003 X-UIDL: 34486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008STAM91D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 12:46:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h784kpLb037892 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 12:46:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvN8v030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 47042 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h784fdc9009700 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h784fd9d027201 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h784fdqL027199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 08 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080441.h784fdqL027199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 080400 RRB VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.5N3 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.5N3 135.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 080000Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 117.2E1. TROPICAL STORM (GUILLERMO) 07E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080000Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081000Z9, 081600Z5, 082200Z2 AND 090400Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 15:53:17 2003 X-UIDL: 34584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008ENJ5R1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:51:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h787pFLb097733 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:51:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNCp030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 02:46:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 02:46:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h787kpc9037432 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 02:46:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h787kp9d028808 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 02:46:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h787koGv028807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 02:46:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 02:46:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080746.h787koGv028807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 080746 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU AUG 7 2003 A WEAK LOW CLOUD VORTEX 825 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MPH. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 16:40:15 2003 X-UIDL: 34610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA0084SLEJ1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:39:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h788dmLb013451 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:39:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvND9030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:32:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h788Wtc9041260 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:32:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h788Wt9d029317 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:32:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h788WsRp029316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:32:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080832.h788WsRp029316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 080832 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI AUG 08 2003 DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE UNCHANGED...SO MAXIMUM WINDS ARE HELD AT 40 KT. THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS BECOME CONSOLIDATED AND IS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED...ALTHOUGH LACKING IN BANDING FEATURES. VERTICAL SHEAR APPEARS TO BE LIGHT OVER THE AREA...ALTHOUGH THE OUTFLOW PATTERN SUGGESTS SLIGHT EASTERLY SHEAR. SINCE THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD...WATER TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN JUST WARM ENOUGH TO ALLOW FURTHER STRENGTHENING. WITH THE ESTIMATED INTENSITY UNCHANGED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS...THE SHIPS MODEL SHOWS LESS STRENGTHENING THAN BEFORE...DUE TO A REDUCED PERSISTENCE COMPONENT. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. LATEST CENTER FIXES SUGGEST A WESTWARD MOTION...AROUND 270/6. THE GFS...U.K. MET OFFICE...AND NOGAPS MODELS ALL SHOW DEVELOPMENT OF A DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUILLERMO. IN THE GFS RUN...THE EASTERN SYSTEM QUICKLY BECOMES DOMINANT SO THAT THE MODEL VORTEX TRACKER HAS DIFFICULTY FOLLOWING THE CURRENT TROPICAL STORM. THE NOGAPS AND U.K. MET OFFICE RUNS KEEP GUILLERMO DISTINCT AND STRONGER. IN ANY EVENT...THE STEERING SCENARIO APPEARS TO BE RELATIVELY STRAIGHTFORWARD...ASSUMING THAT GUILLERMO WILL HAVE MINIMAL INTERACTION WITH THE EASTERN DISTURBANCE. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BE NORTH OF GUILLERMO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THEREFORE A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST...WITH A LITTLE INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF...AND SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN...THE PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST TRACK. THE GFDL AND NOGAPS ARE FASTER AND TO SOUTH OF THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0900Z 16.6N 118.2W 40 KT 12HR VT 08/1800Z 16.7N 119.3W 45 KT 24HR VT 09/0600Z 16.8N 121.3W 50 KT 36HR VT 09/1800Z 16.9N 123.4W 55 KT 48HR VT 10/0600Z 17.0N 125.5W 55 KT 72HR VT 11/0600Z 17.0N 129.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 12/0600Z 17.0N 133.0W 50 KT 120HR VT 13/0600Z 17.0N 136.5W 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 17:00:14 2003 X-UIDL: 34619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008UALWH1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:50:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h788oYLb017055 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:50:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvND5030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:26:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48172 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:26:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h788QFc9021814 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:26:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h788QE9d029236 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:26:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h788QEeL029235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:26:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:26:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080826.h788QEeL029235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 080825 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0900Z FRI AUG 08 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 118.2W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 118.2W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 117.8W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.7N 119.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.8N 121.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.9N 123.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.0N 129.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 17.0N 133.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 17.0N 136.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 118.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 17:40:16 2003 X-UIDL: 34643-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008U3O491D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 17:38:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h789cOLb031334 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 17:38:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNDv030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:32:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:32:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h789W9c9045866 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:32:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h789W89d029869 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:32:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h789W8Pm029868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:32:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:32:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080932.h789W8Pm029868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 080931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 08 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED NEAR 16.6N 118.52W AT 08/0900 UTC MOVING W AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W/90W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. A BROAD CIRCULATION IS LOCATED S OF EL SALVADOR BUT THE AREA IS COVERED BY MAINLY SCATTERED LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUDS. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTM CELLS FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 88W-92W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS HELD ALONG 106W S OF 16N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING W RATHER SLOWLY WHILE TRYING TO ORGANIZE...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE GREATEST VORTICITY STILL ALONG 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION HAS FORMED ALONG A LINE FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 105W-108W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 132W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. THE DISORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION FROM SIX HRS AGO HAS CONSOLIDATED INTO TWO LARGER TSTM CLUSTERS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13.5N-16N BETWEEN 129W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 133W-136W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 30N137W 22N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... GUILLERMO HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SIX HRS WITH A NEARLY CIRCULAR AREA OF CONVECTION SLIGHTLY OFF-CENTER TO THE E OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. OUTFLOW HAS BEEN DECENT ALL AROUND THE STORM...BUT STRONGEST OVER THE NE QUADRANT. GUILLERMO IS ALSO A SMALL STORM WITH THE CONVECTION ONLY HAVING A DIAMETER 140 NM ACROSS. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-17.5N BETWEEN 116.5W-119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N103W 12N115W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA AND ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 76W-81W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 96W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 109W-116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 136W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 94W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE OVER NW MEXICO AND THE CENTRAL GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 26N-30N BETWEEN 108W-112W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 18:00:14 2003 X-UIDL: 34653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008B6OP81D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 17:51:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h789p1Lb035527 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 17:51:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNDx030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:46:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:46:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h789k4c9038838 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h789k49d029966 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:46:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h789k47d029964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:46:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:46:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080946.h789k47d029964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 080945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 10N140W 13N146W THAT EXTEND EASTWARD ARE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. A WEAK VORTEX NEAR 10.4N147.8W IS MOVING WEST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF VORTEX HAVE DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 10N167W 07N180 MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SEE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI OTHER DETAILS. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N179W 29N180 CONTINUING WEST OF THE DATELINE THROUGH 27N174E HAVE MOVED EAST 15 KT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 18:40:16 2003 X-UIDL: 34676-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA00854QWE1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 18:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78AcULb049873 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 18:38:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNE7030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 05:29:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 05:29:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78ATdc9048518 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 05:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78ATd9d000353 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 05:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78ATc0U000352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 05:29:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 05:29:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081029.h78ATc0U000352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 081029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS NOT BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 22:05:24 2003 X-UIDL: 34771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008P5ZVJ1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:52:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78DqOLb099832 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:52:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNJd030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 08:45:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 49857 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 08:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78Djsc9027288 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 08:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78Djr9d002552 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 08:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78Djrx4002551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 08:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 08:45:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081345.h78Djrx4002551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 081345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI AUG 8 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 800 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST NEAR 15 MPH. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:35 2003 X-UIDL: 34781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB008RY1ZM1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:38:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78Ec2Lb013476 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:38:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77L1v0P035500; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 50427 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78EXXc9026508 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78EXX9d003921 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78EXX0N003920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081433.h78EXX0N003920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 081433 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 1500Z FRI AUG 08 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 118.7W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 118.7W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 118.4W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.6N 120.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.7N 122.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.8N 124.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.9N 126.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.0N 130.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 17.0N 134.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 17.0N 138.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 118.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:39 2003 X-UIDL: 34782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB008WE21Z1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:39:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78EdTLb013939 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:39:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77L1v0N035500; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 50421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78EXQc9026500 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78EXP9d003914 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78EXPIB003913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:33:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081433.h78EXPIB003913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 081433 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 08 2003 GUILLERMO HAD DEVELOPED A COLD AND PERSISTENT CONVECTIVE OVERCAST THIS MORNING WITH CLOUD TOPS TO -80C NEAR THE CENTER. THE CYCLONE SHOWS GOOD CIRRUS OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND POOR ELSEWHERE. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND 35 KT FROM AFWA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 45 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/6. GUILLERMO IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE...WHICH LARGE SCALE MODELS FORECAST TO PERSIST AND PERHAPS STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE STORM ON A GENERAL WESTWARD COURSE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. NHC TRACK GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO... ALTHOUGH THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN THE SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND SOMEWHAT FASTER AFTER 48 HR. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WHILE THIS FORECAST IS FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...IT IS STILL SLOWER THAN THE UKMET...BAM MODELS...AND LBAR. LARGE-SCALE MODELS SUGGEST THAT GUILLERMO SHOULD REMAIN IN A LIGHT/MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THUS...THE MAIN PART OF THE INTENSITY FORECAST PROBLEM IS WHAT WILL THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE UNDER THE STORM BE. THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES GUILLERMO OVER 26C SSTS ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE ISOTHERMS. IF IT MOVES NORTH OF THE TRACK...IT WILL MOVE INTO COOLER WATER AND WEAKEN. IF IT MOVES SOUTH OF THE TRACK...IT COULD FIND WARMER WATER. THE LOW-CONFIDENCE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR SLOW STRENGTHENING TO 55 KT FOLLOWED BY AN EVEN SLOWER WEAKENING ON THE PREMISE THAT GUILLERMO WILL MOVE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE COLD WATER FOR IT TO HAVE AN EFFECT. THIS FORECAST IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS MODEL. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 16.6N 118.7W 45 KT 12HR VT 09/0000Z 16.6N 120.0W 50 KT 24HR VT 09/1200Z 16.7N 122.0W 55 KT 36HR VT 10/0000Z 16.8N 124.2W 55 KT 48HR VT 10/1200Z 16.9N 126.7W 55 KT 72HR VT 11/1200Z 17.0N 130.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 12/1200Z 17.0N 134.5W 50 KT 120HR VT 13/1200Z 17.0N 138.5W 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 34786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB008HF3IU1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:11:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78FBBLb023539 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:11:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77L1v1x035500; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:06:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 50919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:06:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78F60c9032936 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:06:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78F5x9d004866 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:05:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78F5xMx004864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:05:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:05:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081505.h78F5xMx004864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 081505 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 08 2003 GUILLERMO HAD DEVELOPED A COLD AND PERSISTENT CONVECTIVE OVERCAST THIS MORNING WITH CLOUD TOPS TO -80C NEAR THE CENTER. THE CYCLONE SHOWS GOOD CIRRUS OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND POOR ELSEWHERE. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND 35 KT FROM AFWA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 45 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/6. GUILLERMO IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE...WHICH LARGE SCALE MODELS FORECAST TO PERSIST AND PERHAPS STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE STORM ON A GENERAL WESTWARD COURSE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. NHC TRACK GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO... ALTHOUGH THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN THE SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...AND SOMEWHAT FASTER AFTER 48 HR. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WHILE THIS FORECAST IS FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...IT IS STILL SLOWER THAN THE UKMET...BAM MODELS...AND LBAR. LARGE-SCALE MODELS SUGGEST THAT GUILLERMO SHOULD REMAIN IN A LIGHT/MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THUS...THE MAIN PART OF THE INTENSITY FORECAST PROBLEM IS WHAT WILL THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE UNDER THE STORM BE. THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES GUILLERMO OVER 26C SSTS ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE ISOTHERMS. IF IT MOVES NORTH OF THE TRACK...IT WILL MOVE INTO COOLER WATER AND WEAKEN. IF IT MOVES SOUTH OF THE TRACK...IT COULD FIND WARMER WATER. THE LOW-CONFIDENCE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR SLOW STRENGTHENING TO 55 KT FOLLOWED BY AN EVEN SLOWER WEAKENING ON THE PREMISE THAT GUILLERMO WILL MOVE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE COLD WATER FOR IT TO HAVE AN EFFECT. THIS FORECAST IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS MODEL. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 16.6N 118.7W 45 KT 12HR VT 09/0000Z 16.6N 120.0W 50 KT 24HR VT 09/1200Z 16.7N 122.0W 55 KT 36HR VT 10/0000Z 16.8N 124.2W 55 KT 48HR VT 10/1200Z 16.9N 126.7W 55 KT 72HR VT 11/1200Z 17.0N 130.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 12/1200Z 17.0N 134.5W 50 KT 120HR VT 13/1200Z 17.0N 138.5W 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 34787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB008JD3JO1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:11:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78FBdLb023700 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:11:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNMF030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:06:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 50916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:06:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78F60c9037006 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:06:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78F5x9d004865 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:05:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78F5xeG004862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:05:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:05:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081505.h78F5xeG004862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 081505 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 1500Z FRI AUG 08 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 118.7W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 118.7W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 118.4W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.6N 120.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.7N 122.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.8N 124.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.9N 126.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.0N 130.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 17.0N 134.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 17.0N 138.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 118.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:44 2003 X-UIDL: 34793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB008D16541D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 00:07:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78G7cLb039998 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 00:07:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77L1v3N035500; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:01:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78G1bc9018332 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78G1a9d006530 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78G1aBm006529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:01:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081601.h78G1aBm006529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 081601 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 08 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED NEAR 16.6N 118.7W AT 08/1500 UTC MOVING W AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90/91W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS ALONG THE ITCZ AND JUST OFFSHORE FROM GUATEMALA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107/108W S OF 18N MOVING W 5-10 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 12N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS TO 18N ALONG AND WITHIN 90 NM E OF AXIS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 133/134W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W. ..RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 29N140W 26N125W 23N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1515 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... LITTLE CHANGE IN CONVECTION PATTERN WITH GUILLERMO DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF THIS COMPACT SYSTEM. DIAMETER OF CONVECTIVE AREA IS ONLY ABOUT 140 NM. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N85W 12N107W 10N116W 14N132W 10N140W. AREAS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION...OVER EASTERN PANAMA WITHIN 60NM RADIUS OF 6N78W AND WITHIN 60NM RADIUS OF 9N78W...AND FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 83W AND 86W ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN PANAMA...HAVE BEEN WEAKENING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 110W AND 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 91W AND 101W. $$ KNABB/MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:44 2003 X-UIDL: 34794-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00K8S88QIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 00:53:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78Gr4Lb054564 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 00:53:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GOodX030556; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:48:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GmKc9038674 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78GmK9d007704 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78GmJ4u007703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:48:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:48:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081648.h78GmJ4u007703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 081648 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 720 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:45 2003 X-UIDL: 34797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00K14CCKIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 02:21:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78ILfLb079291 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 02:21:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNUeN017416; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:15:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 52533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:13:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78IDvc9047034 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:13:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78IDv9d009820 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:13:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78IDvk3009818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:13:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:13:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081813.h78IDvk3009818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:45 2003 X-UIDL: 34798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00K2ICDQIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 02:22:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78IMVLb079484 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 02:22:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GOokn030556; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:15:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 52530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:13:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78IDvc9037278 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:13:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78IDv9d009821 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:13:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78IDv4I009819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:13:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:13:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081813.h78IDv4I009819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z/091800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:46 2003 X-UIDL: 34801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KOZGH4IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:51:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78JopLb008058 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:50:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNVjj029752; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 14:45:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 53690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 14:45:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78JjAc9026412 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 14:45:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78Jj99d012354 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 14:45:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78Jj9iI012353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 14:45:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 14:45:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081945.h78Jj9iI012353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 081944 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI AUG 08 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 770 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THERE ARE ONLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND THESE ARE PRIMARILY DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITHIN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 34804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KS8J2UIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:47:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78KlBLb026263 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:47:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GOo5b030556; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:42:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 54673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:22:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78KMpc9024070 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:22:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78KMp9d013379 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78KMpBM013376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:22:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308082022.h78KMpBM013376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 082022 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 2100Z FRI AUG 08 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 119.6W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 119.6W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 119.2W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.9N 120.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.9N 122.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.9N 125.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.0N 127.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 16.0N 131.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 16.0N 135.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 16.0N 139.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 119.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 34806-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KW8J5EIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:48:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78KmeLb026661 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:48:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GOo5f030556; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:42:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 54670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:22:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78KMpc9035832 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:22:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78KMp9d013377 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78KMpJo013375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:22:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308082022.h78KMpJo013375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 082022 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 08 2003 GUILLERMO HAS SHOWN MIXED SIGNALS DURING THE DAY. ON ONE SIDE... SSM/I DATA RECEIVED SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY SHOWS TIGHTLY CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDS AND A POSSIBLE EYE. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE CLOUD PATTERN IN VISIBLE IMAGERY HAS DECAYED SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON... POSSIBLY DUE TO SOME WEAK SOUTHERLY SHEAR CAUSED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR 17N125W. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 55 KT FROM TAFB...45 KT FROM SAB...AND 35 KT FROM AFWA. BASED ON THESE AND THE POSSIBLE EYE...THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE INCREASED TO 50 KT. THE MICROWAVE DATA INDICATES THAT THE CENTER IS ABOUT A HALF DEGREE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. IT IS UNCLEAR WHETHER THIS COMES FROM MOTION OR REFORMATION OF THE CENTER...SO THE INITIAL MOTION IS AN UNCERTAIN 250/7. OTHER THAN THIS...THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN EITHER THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN OF THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. GUILLERMO IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE...WHICH SHOULD PERSIST DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE STORM ON A GENERAL WESTWARD COURSE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. NHC TRACK GUIDANCE STILL AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO...ALTHOUGH A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN THE SPEED REMAINS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ALMOST PARALLEL TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK...BUT IS SHIFTED ABOUT A DEGREE SOUTHWARD BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS. THE FORECAST IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE NOGAPS. THE ABOVE BEING SAID...THERE IS AN ALTERNATIVE TRACK FORECAST POSSIBILITY. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED NEAR 13N107W IS WEAKER...BUT LARGER THAN GUILLERMO. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THE TWO SYSTEMS COULD INTERACT...AND SUCH AN INTERACTION COULD CAUSE A DIFFERENT TRACK FOR GUILLERMO THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF THIS YET. LARGE-SCALE MODELS NOW SUGGEST THAT THE CURRENTLY SOUTHERLY SHEAR COULD PERSIST FOR 24 HR OR MORE AS THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW NORTHWEST OF GUILLERMO MOVES WESTWARD ALONG WITH THE STORM. HOWEVER...THE SHIPS MODEL DOES NOT FORECAST ENOUGH SHEAR TO KEEP THE SYSTEM FROM STRENGTHENING...AND THE GFDL STRENGTHENS IT AS WELL. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL BE BASED ON THE PREMISE THAT THE SHEAR WILL ONLY SLOW THE DEVELOPMENT AND FORECASTS THE STORM TO REACH 60 KT IN 36-48 HR. WHILE THE MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK KEEPS THE STORM IN WARMER WATER THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AFTER 72 HR GUILLERMO SHOULD COME CLOSE ENOUGH TO COOLER WATER TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 16.0N 119.6W 50 KT 12HR VT 09/0600Z 15.9N 120.7W 50 KT 24HR VT 09/1800Z 15.9N 122.8W 55 KT 36HR VT 10/0600Z 15.9N 125.1W 60 KT 48HR VT 10/1800Z 16.0N 127.4W 60 KT 72HR VT 11/1800Z 16.0N 131.5W 55 KT 96HR VT 12/1800Z 16.0N 135.5W 55 KT 120HR VT 13/1800Z 16.0N 139.5W 50 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:48 2003 X-UIDL: 34810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KTOM4YIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:53:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78LrBLb043411 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:53:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNVvZ029752; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:47:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 56232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:47:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78Lllc9024706 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:47:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78Lll9d015546 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:47:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78Lllba015545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:47:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:47:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308082147.h78Lllba015545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 082147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 08 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 119.6W AT 08/2100 UTC MOVING WSW AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE INTRODUCED ALONG 79W/80W N OF 5N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 5N BETWEEN 79W-83W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N94W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W S OF 18N MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW IS NEAR 12N. VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW A BROAD ROTATION WITH SOME POSSIBLE BANDS TRYING TO FORM AROUND THE LOW. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 12N110W 17N109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 109W-112W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 135W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 130W-136W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 30N136W 20N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... SYSTEM IS BENEATH AN ANTICYCLONE WITH GOOD OUTFLOW NOTED IN MOST QUADRANTS. GUILLERMO IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WITH SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER. RECENT BURST OF CONVECTION MAY BE A SIGN THAT A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE IS FORMING. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N85W 11N105W 8N115W 15N130W 11N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 7N84W 8N92W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF ITCZ AXIS FROM 120W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 11N104W AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS FROM 129W-132W AND 136W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:48 2003 X-UIDL: 34811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00K5SMDNIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:58:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78LwQLb044628 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:58:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNVvf029752; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:54:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 56271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78LsNc9037140 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78LsN9d015688 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78LsNTg015687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:54:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308082154.h78LsNTg015687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 082154 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 795 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1550 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:48 2003 X-UIDL: 34812-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00K7FMFBIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:59:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78LxQLb044801 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:59:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNVvh029752; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:55:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 56279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:55:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78LtRc9011170 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78LtR9d015710 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78LtRZK015709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:55:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308082155.h78LtRZK015709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 082155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR 10N150W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM IN WEST QUADRANT THAT MOVED WEST AT 13 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATE LINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N173W 07N170W 06N174E 08N176E 10N180 MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 08N147E 10N140W MOVED SLOWLY NORTHWEST... INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N149W 11N146W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATE LINE...WERE WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE THROUGH 30N179W 26N175E MOVED SLOWLY SOUTHEAST AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12S178W 14S170W MOVED WEST SLOWLY...INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BIRCHARD/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:49 2003 X-UIDL: 34815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KDCTADIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 08:27:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h790RbLb077110 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 08:27:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNUqx017416; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:23:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 58167 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h790Nic9048290 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h790Nh9d017501 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:23:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h790NhI4017500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:23:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:23:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090023.h790NhI4017500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN22 PHNC 082330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 082300ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.7N9 105.1W7 TO 12.9N2 110.1W3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 081800Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 106.4W1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTH WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 100.0W1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 106.4W1, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES MORE ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO SUGGESTS A SECOND WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER TO THE EAST NEAR 10.0N1 104.0W5. CURRENT ANALYSIS FAVORS DEVELOPMENT OF THE WESTERN CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 092330Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:51 2003 X-UIDL: 34824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KXEX2QIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:49:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h791nQLb095866 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:49:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGmr045850; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 20:45:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 58981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 20:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h791jbc9011230 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 20:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h791jb9d018439 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 20:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h791jbaN018438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 20:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 20:45:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090145.h791jbaN018438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 090145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI AUG 08 2003 A POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS FEATURE IS MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCASIONALLY DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS WEAK DISTURBANCE. NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITHIN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BIRCHARD/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:32:29 2003 X-UIDL: 34826-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00K9RYYZIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 10:30:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h792URLb006601 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 10:30:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGoJ045850; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 59432 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h792R7c9019784 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h792R79d018857 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h792R7A6018855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090227.h792R7A6018855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 090226 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 08 2003 THERE ARE NO NEW CHANGES TO REPORT TONIGHT. THE CLOUD PATTERN REMAINS RAGGED WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. DVORAK T-NUMBERS SUGGEST THAT MAXIMUM WINDS ARE STILL 50 KNOTS. BECAUSE THERE IS NO SHEAR AHEAD OF THE CYCLONE AND THE OCEAN IS WARM SOME STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CYCLONE APPROACHES COOL WATER IN ABOUT 3 DAYS. HOWEVER...IT IS INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT THE GFS WEAKENS THE CYCLONE SIGNIFICANTLY SOONER RATHER THAN LATER. THIS MAY BE CAUSED BY A DEVELOPING AND MUCH LARGER DISTURBANCE WHICH IS APPROACHING GUILLERMO. GUILLERMO IS MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 8 KNOTS. THERE IS A STRONG AND EXPANDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES WESTWARD ACROSS THE PACIFIC. THIS RIDGE WOULD KEEP GUILLERMO ON A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK OR EVEN SOUTH OF DUE WEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS CONSISTENT PRIMARILY WITH THE NOGAPS WHICH MAINTAINS THE CYCLONE AND MOVES IT SOUTH OF DUE WEST. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0300Z 16.1N 120.3W 50 KT 12HR VT 09/1200Z 16.0N 121.5W 50 KT 24HR VT 10/0000Z 16.0N 123.5W 55 KT 36HR VT 10/1200Z 16.0N 125.5W 60 KT 48HR VT 11/0000Z 16.0N 128.0W 60 KT 72HR VT 12/0000Z 16.0N 132.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 13/0000Z 16.0N 136.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 14/0000Z 16.0N 139.5W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:32:29 2003 X-UIDL: 34827-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KAXYZXIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 10:31:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h792V1Lb006710 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 10:31:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNUuJ017416; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 59435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h792R8c9026078 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h792R79d018859 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h792R7cI018858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090227.h792R7cI018858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 090226 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0300Z SAT AUG 09 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 120.3W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 120.3W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 119.9W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.0N 123.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.0N 128.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.0N 132.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 16.0N 136.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 16.0N 139.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 120.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 12:02:30 2003 X-UIDL: 34835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KCD32GIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 11:59:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h793wqLb026438 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 11:58:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGpt045850; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:55:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60001 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h793tPc9035330 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h793tP9d019664 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h793tPVm019663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:55:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090355.h793tPVm019663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 090355 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 09 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED NEAR 16.1N 120.3W AT 09/0300 UTC MOVING W AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ FROM 4.5N-8.5N BETWEEN 80W-85W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 95.5W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 92W-95W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W S OF 19N MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH A 1008 MB LOW ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 14N. THE LOW CONTINUES TO GET SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED...BUT THE BULK OF THE CONVECTION IS TO THE W OF THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 109W-113W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 136W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALIGNED WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12.5N130W 13.5N136W 13N140W. ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA ALONG 32N134W 31N140W. ..WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 30N133W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0330 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... GUILLERMO IS FOLLOWING A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW TO ITS W...CENTERED NEAR 17N126W...WHICH IS LIMITING SOME OF THE OUTFLOW IN THE WRN SEMICIRCLE A BIT. CONVECTION HAS BEEN PULSING THROUGHOUT THE DAY FORMING A NEARLY CIRCULAR PATTERN OFF-CENTER FROM THE SYSTEM CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION WITH OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14.5N-17.5N BETWEEN 119W-122.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N95W 10N106W 10N123W 13N130W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 105W-107W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 131W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST W OF ACAPULCO BETWEEN 97W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED ALONG THE COAST BETWEEN 21N-26N. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 12:21:20 2003 X-UIDL: 34839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K2V3ZVIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 12:19:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h794J0Lb030932 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 12:19:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGq7045850; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:13:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:13:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h794Dbc9027206 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:13:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h794Db9d019852 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:13:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h794DbJW019851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:13:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:13:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090413.h794DbJW019851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 090413 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND IT COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 13:39:03 2003 X-UIDL: 34843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KG85U4IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 12:58:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h794wkLb040983 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 12:58:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGqh045850; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h794utc9025926 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h794ut9d020213 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h794utL6020211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 075 Nm Northeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090456.h794utL6020211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 090400 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.0N7 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.0N7 136.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.0N7 139.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 090400Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 120.4W7. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM WEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090000Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091000Z0, 091600Z6, 092200Z3 AND 100400Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 13:39:09 2003 X-UIDL: 34844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KGF5UEIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 12:59:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h794wsLb041010 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 12:58:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNUvn017416; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:55:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:55:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h794tsc9021894 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:55:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h794tr9d020195 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h794traW020194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:55:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:55:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090455.h794traW020194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 090400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 16.1N8 119.9W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 119.9W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.0N7 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.0N7 123.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.0N7 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.0N7 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.0N7 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.0N7 136.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.0N7 139.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 090400Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 120.4W7. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM WEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090000Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091000Z0, 091600Z6, 092200Z3 AND 100400Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 13:39:10 2003 X-UIDL: 34846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KGY5USIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 12:59:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h794xALb041076 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 12:59:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGql045850; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h794utc9030478 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h794ut9d020212 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h794utBi020209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:56:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090456.h794utBi020209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 090400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 16.1N8 119.9W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 119.9W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.0N7 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.0N7 123.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.0N7 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.0N7 128.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:10:52 2003 X-UIDL: 34858-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KOF958IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 14:10:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h796A9Lb055080 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 14:10:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGrl045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7963Kc9035504 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7963K9d020826 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7963JXV020824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090603.h7963JXV020824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090322ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N3 136.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 090300 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:10:58 2003 X-UIDL: 34866-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K3RF6OIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:20:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798KfLb081127 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:20:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGsj045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:17:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:17:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798Hhc9035012 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:17:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h798Hh9d021873 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:17:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h798Hh8Z021872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:17:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:17:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090817.h798Hh8Z021872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 090817 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI AUG 8 2003 A BAND OF DISTURBED WEATHER SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS HAS BULGED NORTH AND BECOME MORE ACTIVE. THIS BAND IS PART OF THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE OR ITCZ. THE AREA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT COMPUTER MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP SO WE WILL BE WATCHING THE AREA CLOSELY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:10:59 2003 X-UIDL: 34868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KF9FI1IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:27:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798RVLb082315 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:27:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGsp045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798Nnc9039602 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h798Nm9d021923 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h798NmDL021922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090823.h798NmDL021922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 090823 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 09 2003 GUILLERMO'S CLOUD PATTERN IS NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE AT THE MOMENT. IR IMAGERY SHOWS IRREGULARLY-SHAPED BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION...BUT BANDING IS ILL-DEFINED. HOWEVER...MICROWAVE DATA SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER IS EMBEDDED IN THE DEEP CONVECTION...AND A QUIKSCAT PASS SUPPORTS MAXIMUM WINDS OF 50 KT. SINCE THE SHEAR OVER THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...THE FUTURE INTENSITY OF GUILLERMO WILL MAINLY BE DEPENDENT ON SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND/OR THE PRESENCE OF MORE STABLE AIR. THIS INTENSITY FORECAST...WHICH IS SIMILAR TO THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...ASSUMES THAT THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...SO THAT A LITTLE MORE STRENGTHENING SHOULD OCCUR. THE STORM CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD...AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE IS LIKELY TO REMAIN ESTABLISHED TO THE NORTH OF GUILLERMO. THIS SUPPORTS A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE CURRENT TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...ONLY SLIGHTLY FASTER DUE TO THE FASTER INITIAL MOTION. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0900Z 16.0N 121.5W 50 KT 12HR VT 09/1800Z 16.0N 123.0W 50 KT 24HR VT 10/0600Z 16.0N 125.0W 55 KT 36HR VT 10/1800Z 16.0N 127.3W 60 KT 48HR VT 11/0600Z 16.0N 129.5W 60 KT 72HR VT 12/0600Z 16.0N 134.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 13/0600Z 16.0N 139.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 14/0600Z 16.5N 144.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:10:59 2003 X-UIDL: 34869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KGKFIQIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:28:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798RtLb082427 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:27:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGsn045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798N3c9035542 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h798N39d021913 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h798N3BL021912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:23:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090823.h798N3BL021912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 090822 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0900Z SAT AUG 09 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 121.5W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 121.5W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 121.0W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.0N 125.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.0N 127.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.0N 129.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.0N 134.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 16.5N 144.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 121.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 34871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K3IG4HIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:41:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798ewLb084599 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:41:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGsv045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798VYc9035054 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h798VY9d021987 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h798VYHi021985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090831.h798VYHi021985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ43 KNHC 090831 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 09 2003 THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER WELL TO THE SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. A CIRCULARLY-SHAPED AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR/OVER THE ESTIMATED CENTER OF CIRCULATION...WITH SOME BANDING FEATURES OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. THIS CLOUD PATTERN WARRANTS UPGRADING THE SYSTEM TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET CONSERVATIVELY AT 25 KT. THERE IS FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC OUTFLOW OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CYCLONE...BUT EASTERLY UPPER FLOW IS INHIBITING OUTFLOW ELSEWHERE. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TRAVERSE WARM WATERS AND VERTICAL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN. INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION ARE SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN AS THE DEPRESSION IS IN THE ORGANIZING STAGE. A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK IS FORECAST...CONSISTENT WITH CLIMATOLOGY AND THE PRESENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE NHC FORECAST TRACK IS VERY SIMILAR TO THAT FROM THE STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE AND SIMILAR TO...BUT A LITTLE SLOWER THAN...THE GFDL MODEL TRACK. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0900Z 13.0N 111.6W 25 KT 12HR VT 09/1800Z 13.0N 113.3W 35 KT 24HR VT 10/0600Z 13.5N 115.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 10/1800Z 14.0N 117.7W 45 KT 48HR VT 11/0600Z 14.5N 120.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 12/0600Z 15.0N 124.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 13/0600Z 15.0N 129.0W 50 KT 120HR VT 14/0600Z 15.0N 133.0W 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 34872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K6TG63IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:42:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798fuLb084766 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:41:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGst045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:30:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798UWc9009530 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h798UV9d021964 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h798UVsK021963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:30:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 8...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090830.h798UVsK021963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 090829 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0900Z SAT AUG 09 2003 ..CORRECTED TO INCLUDE 12 FT SEAS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 121.5W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 121.5W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 121.0W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.0N 123.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.0N 125.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.0N 127.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.0N 129.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.0N 134.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 16.5N 144.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 121.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 34873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KKSGCXIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:46:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798k2Lb085410 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:46:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h795Ehhf037212; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798VYc9035552 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h798VY9d021988 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h798VYSc021986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090831.h798VYSc021986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 090831 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 0900Z SAT AUG 09 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 111.6W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 111.6W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 111.0W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 13.0N 113.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.0N 117.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.5N 120.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.0N 124.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 15.0N 129.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 15.0N 133.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 111.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 34875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K7EJKEIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 17:55:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h799tDLb097810 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 17:55:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGtR045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:42:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:42:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h799g9c9017380 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:42:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h799g99d022538 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:42:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h799g9di022537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:42:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:42:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090942.h799g9di022537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 090941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 09 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 121.5W AT 09/0900 UTC MOVING W AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E CENTERED NEAR 13.0N 111.6W AT 09/0900 UTC MOVING W AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 14.5N-17N BETWEEN 93.5W-96.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 96W-99W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 137W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA ALONG 32N131W 30N140W. ..WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 30N132W 26N118W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... GUILLERMO HAS EXPERIENCED LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE PAST SIX HRS. IT CONTINUES TO HAVE A CONSOLIDATED CLUSTER OF CONVECTION WHICH IS OFFSET PRIMARILY TO THE SW OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM IS WEAK BUT THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW DOES NOT EXTEND VERY FAR AWAY FROM THE STORM. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 120.5W-123W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E... T.D. EIGHT-E IS ORGANIZING QUICKLY. THE SYSTEM LOOKS ALMOST BETTER THAN GUILLERMO WITH MORE PRONOUNCED BANDING FEATURES AND EXCELLENT UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW ESPECIALLY OVER THE S SEMICIRCLE. IT IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE SO DRY AIR IS CURRENTLY NOT AN ISSUE. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11.5N-15.5N BETWEEN 110W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-11.5N BETWEEN 109W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 6N84W 7N98W 10N110W 10N124W 13N129W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 80W-84W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 91W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-127W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 99W-105W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:02 2003 X-UIDL: 34878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K8VLLNIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:39:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AdGLb005428 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:39:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGtj045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:32:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:32:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AWSc9057268 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:32:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79AWS9d022963 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79AWSYm022962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:32:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091032.h79AWSYm022962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 091032 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 11N140W 10N150W 06N151W 07N160W 07N173W 06N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100NM OF LINE 11N140W 09N145W 09N148W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND INTENSIFIED. OCCASIONAL TCU AND VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80NM OF LINE 08N148W 06N55W 07N162W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N173W 08N162W 05N178W 10N173W HAS MOVED WEST AT 20KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN/LOCALLY OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S142W 17S160W 13S180. OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 200NM SOUTHWEST OF FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT 1 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:03 2003 X-UIDL: 34879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KBMLOTIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:41:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AfALb005724 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:41:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGtZ045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:26:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:26:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AQKc9019914 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:26:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79AQJ9d022903 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79AQJfg022902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:26:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091026.h79AQJfg022902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 091026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:03 2003 X-UIDL: 34880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KFQLTVIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:44:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AiCLb006178 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:44:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vex017418; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:38:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61507 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:37:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Abbc9035564 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:37:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Abb9d022992 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79AbbdM022991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:37:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091037.h79AbbdM022991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PHNC 091000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 16.0N7 121.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 121.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 16.0N7 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.0N7 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 16.0N7 127.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.0N7 129.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.0N7 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.0N7 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.5N2 144.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 090600Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 121.5W9. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 650 NM WEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090600Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091600Z6, 092200Z3, 100400Z5 AND 101000Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:03 2003 X-UIDL: 34881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KHHLVIIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:45:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AjBLb006348 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:45:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vfD017418; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Aewc9046924 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Aew9d023022 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79Aevus023015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091040.h79Aevus023015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 091000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082300ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 13.0N4 111.0W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 111.0W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.0N4 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.5N9 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 14.0N5 117.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 14.5N0 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.0N6 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:04 2003 X-UIDL: 34882-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KI4LW0IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:45:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AjTLb006403 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:45:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h795EhkR037212; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Aewc9030664 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Aev9d023018 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79AevFh023014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091040.h79AevFh023014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 091000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 16.0N7 121.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 121.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 16.0N7 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.0N7 125.0W8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:04 2003 X-UIDL: 34883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KIVLWHIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:45:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AjlLb006458 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:45:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGtr045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:38:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61526 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:38:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Acdc9021062 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:38:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Acd9d023003 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:38:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79AcdhG023002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:38:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:38:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091038.h79AcdhG023002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 091000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082300ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 13.0N4 111.0W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 111.0W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.0N4 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.5N9 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 14.0N5 117.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 14.5N0 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.0N6 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.0N6 129.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.0N6 133.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 090600Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.0N4 111.0W3. TROPICAL STORM 08E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 303 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090600Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 082300Z3 AUG 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:04 2003 X-UIDL: 34884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KIYLWHIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:45:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AjlLb006461 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:45:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGuR045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61618 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Afhc9057158 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Afg9d023058 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79AfgLR023057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Next Warnings At 091600z6, 092200z3, Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091041.h79AfgLR023057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN22 PHNC 082330 NEXT WARNINGS AT 091600Z6, 092200Z3, 100400Z5 AND 101000Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:05 2003 X-UIDL: 34885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KJ6LWKIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:45:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AjnLb006471 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:45:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h795EhkN037212; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Aewc9035082 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Aev9d023017 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79AevmO023011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 055 Kt, Gusts 065 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091040.h79AevmO023011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 091000 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 16.0N7 127.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.0N7 129.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:05 2003 X-UIDL: 34886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KK8LX9IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:46:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AkFLb006560 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:46:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGuT045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61623 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Afnc9033214 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Afm9d023069 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79AfmCw023066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 11 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091041.h79AfmCw023066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 091000 RRB VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 15.0N6 129.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.0N6 133.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 090600Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.0N4 111.0W3. TROPICAL STORM 08E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 303 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090600Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 082300Z3 AUG 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:06 2003 X-UIDL: 34887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KLELY0IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:46:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79AkeLb006729 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 18:46:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGuB045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:41:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Aewc9030662 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Aev9d023016 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79AevOL023010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 05:40:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 11 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091040.h79AevOL023010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 091000 RRC VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.0N7 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.0N7 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.5N2 144.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 090600Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 121.5W9. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 650 NM WEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090600Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091600Z6, 092200Z3, 100400Z5 AND 101000Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:09 2003 X-UIDL: 34892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KXBTP8IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:34:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79DYDLb035060 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:34:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGx5045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 08:30:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 08:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79DUsc9041320 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 08:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79DUs9d024527 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 08:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79DUstT024526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 08:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 08:30:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091330.h79DUstT024526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 091330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT AUG 9 2003 A BAND OF DISTURBED WEATHER SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS HAS BULGED NORTH AND BECOME MORE ACTIVE. THIS BAND IS PART OF THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE OR ITCZ. THE AREA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED BUT COMPUTER MODELS SHOW SOME POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP BY MONDAY MORNING SO WE WILL BE WATCHING THE AREA CLOSELY. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:44:16 2003 X-UIDL: 34896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K1GWC4IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:31:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79EV2Lb046130 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:31:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGxp045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:27:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62740 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79ERPc9021786 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79ERP9d024944 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79ERPBF024943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:27:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091427.h79ERPBF024943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 091427 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 09 2003 THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN AND CLOUD TOPS HAVE WAXED AND WANED OVERNIGHT WITH A BRIEF BURST OF CONVECTION HAVING OCCURRED BETWEEN 09-12Z. SINCE THEN...TOPS HAVE WARMED AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE NORTHEAST OF THE HIGHEST CLOUD TOPS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 50 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KT AND 45 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...RESPECTIVELY. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIRLY SYMMETRICAL AND EXPANDING SLIGHTLY IN ALL QUADRANTS...EXCEPT TO THE EAST. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 265/12. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS ADJUSTED A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION BASED ON AN EARLIER TRMM OVERPASS WHICH SHOWED THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER DISPLACED A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE FORECAST TRACK WAS ADJUSTED SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK DUE TO EXPECTED BINARY INTERACTION WITH LARGE AND STRENGTHENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E LOCATED ABOUT 575 NMI TO THE EAST. TD-8E IS MOVING ABOUT 3-4 KT FASTER THAN GUILLERMO...SO SOME BINARY INTERACTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME SHORTLY..IF NOT ALREADY. THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH WILL MOVE GUILLERMO WESTWARD WHILE TD-8E IS EXPECTED TO IMPART A WEAK SOUTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. THE RESULT IS THAT GUILLERMO IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF DUE WEST THROUGH 72 HOURS AND THEN TURN WESTWARD AFTER THAT. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE GFDL...GFS...AND GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN FORECASTS. WHILE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE...IT IS NOT AS FAR SOUTH AS THE GFS MODEL. THE OUTFLOW ON THE WEST SIDE OF TD-8E APPEARS TO BE UNDERCUTTING THE OUTFLOW FROM GUILLERMO IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. THIS MAY BE PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR THE RECENT WARMING OF THE CENTRAL CONVECTION. THE SHIPS MODEL FORECASTS THE 200 MB SHEAR TO REMAIN LESS THAN 10 KT THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD AND EVEN BRINGS GUILLERMO TO 65 KT IN 72 HOURS...AND REMAIN AT THAT STRENGTH THROUGH 120 HOURS. HOWEVER...SINCE TD-8E IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AND MOVE CLOSER TO GUILLERMO...THE SHEAR IN THE 300 MB LAYER THAT IS PRESENTLY UNDERCUTTING THE 200 MB OUTFLOW WILL LIKELY INCREASE SOME MORE. FOR THIS REASON...THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN MAINTAINED ..EVEN THOUGH THE CYCLONE WILL BE LOSING LATITUDE AND MOVING OVER SLIGHTLY WARMER WATER. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/1500Z 15.7N 122.8W 50 KT 12HR VT 10/0000Z 15.6N 124.6W 50 KT 24HR VT 10/1200Z 15.4N 127.1W 55 KT 36HR VT 11/0000Z 15.2N 129.6W 60 KT 48HR VT 11/1200Z 15.0N 132.1W 60 KT 72HR VT 12/1200Z 15.0N 135.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 13/1200Z 15.0N 140.5W 40 KT 120HR VT 14/1200Z 15.0N 145.5W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:44:16 2003 X-UIDL: 34897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K5OWF5IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:33:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79EWoLb046551 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:32:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vhx017418; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:28:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:28:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79ERxc9012122 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79ERt9d024956 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79ERtUm024955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:27:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091427.h79ERtUm024955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 091427 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 1500Z SAT AUG 09 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 122.8W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 122.8W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 122.2W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.6N 124.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.4N 127.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.2N 129.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.0N 132.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.0N 135.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 15.0N 140.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 15.0N 145.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 122.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 23:04:45 2003 X-UIDL: 34901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KE9XHEIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:56:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79EttLb050734 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:55:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXG01045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Er6c9058856 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Er59d025173 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79Er55d025170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091453.h79Er55d025170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 091452 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 09 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH A LARGE BURST OF COLD CONVECTION HAVING DEVELOPED NORTHWEST OF THE ALLEGED LOW-LEVEL CENTER POSITION. THE OUTFLOW PATTERN HAS ALSO IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY... ESPECIALLY IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 30 KT BASED ON CONSENSUS 30 KT...OR T2.0...INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM ALL THREE SATELLITE AGENCIES. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/15. THE FORWARD MOTION AND INITIAL POSITION ESTIMATES ARE SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. CONVENTIONAL INFRARED SATELLITE FIX POSITIONS ARE SCATTERED ABOUT THE COMPASS... WHICH LENDS TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE INITIAL POSITION. WHILE THE INITIAL POSITION WAS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BASED ON A WEAK SIGNATURE IN AN EARLIER SSMI OVERPASS... THE POSITION WAS NOT TAKEN AS FAR NORTH OR WEST AS SOME OF THE SATELLITE POSITION ESTIMATES SUGGEST. TD-8E IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND...THEREFORE... SHOULD BE STEERED MAINLY WESTWARD. THE FORWARD SPEED WAS INCREASED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT THE LARGE CIRCULATION WILL ADD SOME BETA-EFFECT MOTION TO THE MEAN STEERING FLOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE NORTH OF AND FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS VERY CLOSE TO THE GFDL...GFS ..GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN...AND THE THREE BETA-ADVECTION MODELS. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE 09/06Z NOGAPS AND 09/00Z UKMET MODEL RUNS DISSIPATE THE CYCLONE IN 24 HOURS OR LESS...WHICH SEEMS UNLIKELY. WHILE THE INITIAL POSITION ESTIMATE IS NOT LOCATED IN THE CENTER OF THE DEEP CONVECTION...THE CYCLONE STILL HAS GOOD STRUCTURE AND AN IMPRESSIVE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WILL REDEVELOP FARTHER WEST AND CLOSER TO THE STRONGEST CONVECTION AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THE NEXT ADVISORY. THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL BRINGS THE CYCLONE UP TO 67 KT BY 72 HOURS...WHILE THE GFDL KILLS THE SYSTEM BY 48 HOURS. GIVEN THE RATHER IMPRESSIVE CONVECTIVE AND OUTFLOW PATTERN...MY FEELING IS THAT EVEN THE SHIPS MODEL COULD BE TOO LOW AND TOO SLOW WITH THE INTENSIFICATION TREND. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR THE CYCLONE TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY 48 HOURS AND THEN REMAIN STEADY FOR ABOUT 36 HOURS WITH ONLY SLOW WEAKENING AFTER THAT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NEAR COOLER WATER. HOWEVER...IF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER BECOMES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE DEEP CONVECTION DURING THE NEXT 6 HOURS...THEN THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL LIKELY HAVE TO BE INCREASED EVEN MORE. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/1500Z 13.8N 113.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 10/0000Z 14.2N 115.5W 40 KT 24HR VT 10/1200Z 14.8N 118.3W 50 KT 36HR VT 11/0000Z 15.3N 121.2W 60 KT 48HR VT 11/1200Z 15.6N 124.1W 65 KT 72HR VT 12/1200Z 16.0N 129.0W 65 KT 96HR VT 13/1200Z 16.5N 134.0W 60 KT 120HR VT 14/1200Z 17.0N 139.0W 55 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 23:04:46 2003 X-UIDL: 34902-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KTLXSWIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:02:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79F2jLb052121 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:02:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXG03045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Er6c9037272 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Er59d025174 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79Er5MQ025172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:53:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eight-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091453.h79Er5MQ025172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 091452 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 1500Z SAT AUG 09 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 113.3W AT 09/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 286 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 113.3W AT 09/1500Z AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 112.6W FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.2N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 14.8N 118.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.3N 121.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.6N 124.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.0N 129.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 16.5N 134.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 17.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 113.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:01:55 2003 X-UIDL: 34948-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD001QAS22AT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:56:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A1uItR035430 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:56:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGHr045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 20:52:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 68217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 20:52:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A1qPc9033174 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 20:52:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A1qP9d001764 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 20:52:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A1qP03001763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 20:52:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 20:52:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100152.h7A1qP03001763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 100152 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT AUG 09 2003 AREAS OF CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG A MONSOON TROUGH SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. THE CONVECTION ALONG THIS SURFACE TROUGH REMAINS DISORGANIZED WEST OF 140W. HOWEVER...COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE A SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FEATURE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:01:57 2003 X-UIDL: 34950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD001WATK5AT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:28:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2SktR040243 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:28:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vub017418; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:26:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 68484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2Qhc9035080 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:26:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A2Qh9d002033 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:26:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A2QhQ6002032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:26:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:26:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100226.h7A2QhQ6002032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 100226 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0300Z SUN AUG 10 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 125.2W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 125.2W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 124.6W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.5N 126.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.6N 129.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.6N 131.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.6N 134.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.3N 140.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 15.0N 146.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 15.0N 151.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 125.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:01:57 2003 X-UIDL: 34951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD0010NTMTAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:30:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2UMtR040556 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:30:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vud017418; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 68491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2RDc9040482 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A2RD9d002039 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A2RDoQ002038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100227.h7A2RDoQ002038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ43 KNHC 100226 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 09 2003 DEEP CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER BUT THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN HAS IMPROVED ONLY SLIGHTLY. T-NUMBERS FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE 2.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE...SUGGESTING THAT THE CYCLONE HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM STATUS. THE OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE FAIR AND THE OCEAN IS WARM SO CONDITIONS ARE APPARENTLY FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING. BECAUSE SHIPS MODEL INTENSIFIES THE CYCLONE BUT GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT...ONLY A MODEST STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED. HILDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS. HOWEVER...A STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTH WILL PROBABLY FORCE THE CYCLONE TO TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST IN A DAY OR SO. IN FACT...TRACK GUIDANCE CONSISTENTLY MOVE HILDA WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 3 TO 5 DAYS. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0300Z 14.9N 115.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 10/1200Z 15.5N 117.5W 40 KT 24HR VT 11/0000Z 16.0N 120.0W 50 KT 36HR VT 11/1200Z 16.5N 122.5W 60 KT 48HR VT 12/0000Z 16.6N 124.5W 65 KT 72HR VT 13/0000Z 16.6N 129.0W 60 KT 96HR VT 14/0000Z 16.5N 134.0W 55 KT 120HR VT 15/0000Z 16.5N 138.0W 50 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:01:58 2003 X-UIDL: 34952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD0010RTMZAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:30:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2UTtR040578 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:30:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGIb045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 68494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2RDc9043162 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A2RD9d002042 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A2RDdm002041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:27:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100227.h7A2RDdm002041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 100226 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 0300Z SUN AUG 10 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.6W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 30SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 115.6W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 114.9W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.5N 117.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.6N 124.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.6N 129.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 16.5N 134.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 16.5N 138.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 115.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:01:58 2003 X-UIDL: 34953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD0010STMZAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:30:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2UTtR040577 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:30:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGIJ045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:25:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 68461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:25:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2Pjc9009720 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:25:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A2Pj9d002018 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:25:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A2PjvX002017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:25:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:25:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100225.h7A2PjvX002017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 100225 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 09 2003 AFTER LOSING MUCH OF ITS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON...A RECENT BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS OCCURRED NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION OF GUILLERMO. HOWEVER...SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN UNCHANGED WITH 55 KT FROM TAFB...45 KT FROM SAB...AND 35 KT FROM AFWA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 45 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF THE THREE ESTIMATES. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT GUILLERMO MAY BE TAKING A SMALL JOG MORE TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER...THIS IS ASSUMED TO BE A SHORT-TERM FLUCTUATION AND THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED AT 270/12. THE TRACK FORECAST IS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH DURING THE FIRST 48 HOURS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES THEREAFTER. IN TERMS OF INTENSITY...GUILLERMO IS STUCK BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE AND THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS A BIT LESS STRAIGHTFORWARD. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LIES WEST OF GUILLERMO WHICH IS RESTRICTING OUTFLOW AND PRODUCING SUBSIDENCE OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. TO THE EAST...DEVELOPING T.S. HILDA WITH ITS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW EXPANDING WESTWARD. FOR NOW...THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE WEST OF GUILLERMO APPEARS TO BE THE PRIMARY FACTOR FOR INTENSITY CHANGE. IT IS PRODUCING A SEMI-FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AS EVIDENCED BY THE RECENT BURST OF CONVECTION AND GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER...WITH TIME THIS UPPER TROUGH SHOULD PRODUCE INCREASING SHEAR OVER GUILLERMO AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. THIS IS IN LINE WITH THE INCREASING SHEAR FORECAST BY THE SHIPS MODEL. GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER SUFFICIENTLY WARM SST...SO THAT SHOULD NOT BE AN INHIBITING FACTOR. HOWEVER...IT IS UNCLEAR HOW MUCH INFLUENCE THE DEVELOPING T.S. HILDA WILL HAVE ON GUILLERMO. FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0300Z 15.4N 125.2W 45 KT 12HR VT 10/1200Z 15.5N 126.9W 50 KT 24HR VT 11/0000Z 15.6N 129.3W 45 KT 36HR VT 11/1200Z 15.6N 131.7W 45 KT 48HR VT 12/0000Z 15.6N 134.4W 45 KT 72HR VT 13/0000Z 15.3N 140.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 14/0000Z 15.0N 146.0W 35 KT 120HR VT 15/0000Z 15.0N 151.5W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:01 2003 X-UIDL: 34958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD001TRXOJAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:57:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A3vhtR053664 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:57:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGKL045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:54:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:54:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A3sac9035298 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:54:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A3sZ9d002583 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:54:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A3sZpi002582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:54:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:54:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100354.h7A3sZpi002582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 100354 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 10 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED NEAR 15.4N 125.2W AT 10/0300 UTC MOVING W 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM HILDA...CENTERED NEAR 14.9N 115.6W AT 10/0300 UTC MOVING WNW 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/0000 UTC... ..WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 97W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE OVER COASTAL MEXICO E OF ACAPULCO FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 97W-100W. ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 14N134W DRIFTING W. CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATED OVER THE EVENING HRS AND THE SYSTEM IS ATTAINING WELL-DEFINED CURVATURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 132W-137W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 32N135W 21N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0330 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... THE STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH GUILLERMO HAS BEEN REVIVED FROM EARLIER IN THE DAY WHEN IT WAS LOOKING QUITE RAGGED. THE BEST OUTFLOW AROUND THE STORM IS TO THE N WHERE CIRRUS FILAMENTS FROM TSTM OUTFLOW IS RADIATING OUTWARD. THE LAST AVAILABLE SATELLITE IMAGE DOES SUGGEST THAT THE TSTM ACTIVITY MAY BE STARTING ANOTHER BRIEF WEAKENING TREND. TROPICAL STORM HILDA... BANDS OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS THAT HAVE BEEN LOCATED 200-300 NM SE OF THE CENTER OF HILDA HAVE BEEN DISSIPATING OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HRS. THE MAIN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER HAS BECOME WELL-ESTABLISHED AND IS BECOMING MORE CIRCULAR IN NATURE...AND A BRIEF LOOK AT SATELLITE IMAGERY WOULD SUGGEST THAT GUILLERMO AND HILDA ARE TWINS. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12.5N-16N BETWEEN 115W-118W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 110W-114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N75W 8N100W 11N113W 11N127W 12N131W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR 9N84W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE ERN GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 92W-94W. SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR MAZATLAN FROM 22N-25N BETWEEN 106W-108W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:01 2003 X-UIDL: 34959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD001W9XQMAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:59:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A3x2tR053843 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:59:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGKT045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:57:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69075 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A3vGc9043230 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:57:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A3vF9d002603 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:57:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A3vFsx002602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:57:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:57:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100357.h7A3vFsx002602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 100400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 15.4N0 124.6W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 124.6W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.5N1 126.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.6N2 129.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.6N2 131.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.6N2 134.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.3N9 140.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.0N6 146.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.0N6 151.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 100400Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.4N0 125.3W1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100000Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101000Z2, 101600Z8, 102200Z5 AND 110400Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:02 2003 X-UIDL: 34960-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD0014SXZHAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:04:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A44MtR054607 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:04:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGKZ045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A41Nc9014772 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A41J9d002667 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A41JZh002662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100401.h7A41JZh002662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 100400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 15.4N0 124.6W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 124.6W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.5N1 126.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.6N2 129.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.6N2 131.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.6N2 134.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:03 2003 X-UIDL: 34961-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD0016EY0NAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:05:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A454tR054772 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:05:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79JWbED025918; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A41Nc9054168 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A41J9d002668 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A41J50002664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:01:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 060 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100401.h7A41J50002664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 100400 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.3N9 140.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.0N6 146.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.0N6 151.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 100400Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.4N0 125.3W1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100000Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101000Z2, 101600Z8, 102200Z5 AND 110400Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:03 2003 X-UIDL: 34963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD001M7YJRAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:16:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A4GWtR056264 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:16:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vw9017418; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A4Ehc9048350 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A4Eh9d002804 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A4Egj4002802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100414.h7A4Egj4002802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 100414 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON RECENTLY-UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 655 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1700 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:04 2003 X-UIDL: 34964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD001MBYK0AT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:16:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A4GftR056283 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:16:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vw7017418; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A4Efc9021062 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A4Ef9d002796 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A4Eftl002795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 12 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100414.h7A4Eftl002795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 100400 RRB VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.5N2 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 16.5N2 138.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT --- REMARKS: 100400Z5 POSITION NEAR 14.9N4 115.5W2. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100000Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101000Z2, 101600Z8, 102200Z5 AND 110400Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:04 2003 X-UIDL: 34965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD001MRYKEAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:17:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A4GutR056313 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:16:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGKj045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:11:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:11:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A4BWc9021010 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:11:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A4BW9d002763 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:11:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A4BWmO002762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:11:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:11:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100411.h7A4BWmO002762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 100400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 14.7N2 114.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 114.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.5N1 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.0N7 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.5N2 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.6N3 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.6N3 129.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.5N2 134.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 16.5N2 138.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT --- REMARKS: 100400Z5 POSITION NEAR 14.9N4 115.5W2. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100000Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101000Z2, 101600Z8, 102200Z5 AND 110400Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:04 2003 X-UIDL: 34966-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD001PSYOZAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:19:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A4JftR056655 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:19:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGKr045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A4Ehc9021068 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A4Eg9d002803 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A4Eg6W002800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 23:14:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100414.h7A4Eg6W002800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 100400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 14.7N2 114.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 114.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.5N1 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.0N7 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.5N2 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.6N3 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.6N3 129.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:07 2003 X-UIDL: 34973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001JB3UPAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 14:11:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A6B6tR076954 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 14:11:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGP1045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69752 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A60kc9021976 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A60j9d003743 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A60j4g003741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100600.h7A60j4g003741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091952ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091800Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.1N6 143.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 092100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 13.7N1 133.1E8, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA, HOWEVER ANY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:08 2003 X-UIDL: 34975-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001RAAF3AT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:33:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8WutR005683 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:32:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGQj045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8Sdc9032720 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A8Sd9d004971 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A8SdR0004970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100828.h7A8SdR0004970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 100828 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 GUILLERMO LOOKS RATHER DISORGANIZED AND RAGGED AT THE MOMENT. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN APPEARING IN BURSTS...MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE CYCLONE IS EXPERIENCING EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR FROM TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE EAST. GIVEN GUILLERMO'S CURRENT STATE AND THE MARGINAL ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS...NO STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. SOME MINOR FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY MAY OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THEN WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS GUILLERMO PASSES OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS. ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE HIGH-LEVEL OVERCAST IS BEING DISPLACED MORE NORTHWESTWARD BY THE SHEAR...THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE CONTINUING WESTWARD...ABOUT 270/12. AS MENTIONED IN THE DISCUSSION FOR TROPICAL STORM HILDA...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF SOME SORT OF INTERACTION BETWEEN THE 2 TROPICAL CYCLONES. HOWEVER...THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A SIGNIFICANT INTERACTION...IF IT OCCURS...WOULD HAVE MORE INFLUENCE ON THE TRACK OF HILDA RATHER THAN ON GUILLERMO. ASSUMING THAT THE STEERING WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE TO THE NORTH...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST... LIKE THE PREVIOUS ONES....MAINTAINS A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 15.5N 126.4W 45 KT 12HR VT 10/1800Z 15.6N 128.2W 45 KT 24HR VT 11/0600Z 15.7N 130.7W 45 KT 36HR VT 11/1800Z 15.8N 133.0W 45 KT 48HR VT 12/0600Z 15.9N 135.3W 40 KT 72HR VT 13/0600Z 16.0N 140.0W 45 KT 96HR VT 14/0600Z 16.0N 144.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 15/0600Z 16.0N 149.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:09 2003 X-UIDL: 34977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001W7ALMAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:36:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8altR006314 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:36:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vxr017418; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8Whc9037018 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A8Wg9d005032 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A8WgtC005030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100832.h7A8WgtC005030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 100832 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 0900Z SUN AUG 10 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 116.5W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 116.5W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 115.9W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.5N 118.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.0N 120.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 16.7N 123.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 17.0N 125.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.0N 130.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 17.0N 134.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 116.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:09 2003 X-UIDL: 34978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001WZAMEAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:37:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8bKtR006407 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:37:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGQr045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8Whc9027196 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A8Wg9d005033 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A8Wgkc005031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:32:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100832.h7A8Wgkc005031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 100832 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM SAB AND TAFB CONTINUE TO GIVE 35 KT FOR THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE. THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN IS LOOKING MORE SYMMETRICAL...AND VERTICAL SHEAR OVER HILDA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME VERY STRONG DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...ALONG THE LINES OF THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY TO BE HALTED BY COOLER SSTS LATER IN THE PERIOD. INITIAL MOTION IS NEAR 285/12. HILDA'S STEERING IS EXPECTED TO BE CONTROLLED BY MID-LEVEL EASTERLIES ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LARGE ANTICYCLONE. HOWEVER...A POTENTIAL COMPLICATION TO THE STORM'S FUTURE TRACK WOULD BE AN INTERACTION WITH THE CIRCULATION OF GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE WEST OF HILDA. THE U.K. MET. OFFICE GLOBAL MODEL SHOWS HILDA STEERING MORE NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF GUILLERMO...AND GRADUALLY MERGING WITH THE CIRCULATION OF THAT STORM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE GFS ALSO SHOWS SOME INTERACTION WITH GUILLERMO AND EVENTUALLY A MERGING OF HILDA...GUILLERMO...AND ANOTHER DISTURBANCE NEAR 135W IN SEVERAL DAYS. FOR NOW...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...LIKE THE PREVIOUS ONES...AVOIDS SUCH COMPLEXITIES AND KEEPS HILDA SEPARATED FROM GUILLERMO BY ABOUT 10 DEGREES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 14.9N 116.5W 35 KT 12HR VT 10/1800Z 15.5N 118.3W 40 KT 24HR VT 11/0600Z 16.0N 120.7W 50 KT 36HR VT 11/1800Z 16.7N 123.0W 60 KT 48HR VT 12/0600Z 17.0N 125.5W 60 KT 72HR VT 13/0600Z 17.0N 130.0W 60 KT 96HR VT 14/0600Z 17.0N 134.5W 50 KT 120HR VT 15/0600Z 17.0N 139.0W 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:09 2003 X-UIDL: 34979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001XEAMZAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:37:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8betR006453 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:37:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vxn017418; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:29:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:29:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8TDc9054096 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A8TD9d004983 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:29:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A8TDqB004982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:29:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:29:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100829.h7A8TDqB004982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 100828 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0900Z SUN AUG 10 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 126.4W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 126.4W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 125.8W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.6N 128.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.7N 130.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.8N 133.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.9N 135.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N 144.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N 149.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 126.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:10 2003 X-UIDL: 34980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE0014CAUHAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:42:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8gAtR007191 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:42:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGQv045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:37:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:37:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8bFc9034714 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:37:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A8bF9d005066 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:37:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A8bFvr005065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:37:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:37:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 12...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100837.h7A8bFvr005065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 100837 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0900Z SUN AUG 10 2003 ..CORRECTED 72 HR INTENSITY TO 40 KT... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 126.4W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 126.4W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 125.8W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.6N 128.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.7N 130.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.8N 133.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.9N 135.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N 144.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N 149.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 126.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:10 2003 X-UIDL: 34981-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00158AV7AT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:42:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8gYtR007259 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:42:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGQx045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:38:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:38:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8cCc9013746 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:38:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A8cB9d005073 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A8cBev005072 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:38:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 12...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100838.h7A8cBev005072@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 100838 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 ..CORRECTED 72 HR INTENSITY TO 40 KT... GUILLERMO LOOKS RATHER DISORGANIZED AND RAGGED AT THE MOMENT. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN APPEARING IN BURSTS...MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE CYCLONE IS EXPERIENCING EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR FROM TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT 10 DEGREES TO THE EAST. GIVEN GUILLERMO'S CURRENT STATE AND THE MARGINAL ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS...NO STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. SOME MINOR FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY MAY OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THEN WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS GUILLERMO PASSES OVER SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS. ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE HIGH-LEVEL OVERCAST IS BEING DISPLACED MORE NORTHWESTWARD BY THE SHEAR...THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE CONTINUING WESTWARD...ABOUT 270/12. AS MENTIONED IN THE DISCUSSION FOR TROPICAL STORM HILDA...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF SOME SORT OF INTERACTION BETWEEN THE 2 TROPICAL CYCLONES. HOWEVER...THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A SIGNIFICANT INTERACTION...IF IT OCCURS...WOULD HAVE MORE INFLUENCE ON THE TRACK OF HILDA RATHER THAN ON GUILLERMO. ASSUMING THAT THE STEERING WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE TO THE NORTH...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST... LIKE THE PREVIOUS ONES....MAINTAINS A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/0900Z 15.5N 126.4W 45 KT 12HR VT 10/1800Z 15.6N 128.2W 45 KT 24HR VT 11/0600Z 15.7N 130.7W 45 KT 36HR VT 11/1800Z 15.8N 133.0W 45 KT 48HR VT 12/0600Z 15.9N 135.3W 40 KT 72HR VT 13/0600Z 16.0N 140.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 14/0600Z 16.0N 144.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 15/0600Z 16.0N 149.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:11 2003 X-UIDL: 34982-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001TMBJ6AT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:57:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8v0tR010189 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:57:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955v01017418; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:52:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:52:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8qUc9057168 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:52:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A8qU9d005163 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A8qUj9005162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:52:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100852.h7A8qUj9005162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 100852 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT AUG 9 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND MOVE WEST INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:11 2003 X-UIDL: 34985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001LJDBFAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:35:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9ZVtR016781 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:35:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGRL045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:31:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:31:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9Vic9053086 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:31:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A9Vh9d005440 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A9VhUM005439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:31:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100931.h7A9VhUM005439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 100931 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 10N140W 08N150W 07N165W AND EXTENDING EAST. AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 11N164W 11N153W 08N148W 06N157W 11N164W HAS MOVED WEST AT 20KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. FRONT...THROUGH 30N172W 28N180 HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF FRONT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN/LOCALLY OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE BAND OF LOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 07N175W 07N178W 06N180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND DECREASED IN AREA. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...THROUGH 25S130W 23S145W HAS MOVED NORTH SLOWLY EAST OF 135W AND REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED WEST OF 135W. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 80NM OF SHEARLINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:12 2003 X-UIDL: 34986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001T8DGIAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:38:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9cZtR017387 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:38:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGRN045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:32:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:32:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9Wtc9053110 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:32:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A9Ws9d005446 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A9WsDk005445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:32:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100932.h7A9WsDk005445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 100932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 10 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 126.4W AT 10/0900 UTC MOVING W 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM HILDA CENTERED NEAR 14.9N 116.5W AT 10/0900 UTC MOVING WNW 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/0600 UTC... ..WEAK TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION DEVELOPING IN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS S OF ACAPULCO FROM 11N-19N BETWEEN 98W-101W. ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 13N135W MOVING W 5 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11.5N-14N BETWEEN 135W-138W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N130W 15N136W. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HRS. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 30N140W 27N120W 21N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... GUILLERMO IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING ONE OF ITS CYCLICAL WEAKENING TRENDS IN CONVECTION. THE LARGE CLUSTER OF TSTMS FROM SIX HRS AGO HAS FALLEN APART TO RAGGED PATCHES OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS. IT APPEARS THE OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL STORM HILDA HAS IMPEDED SOME OF THE OUTFLOW OF GUILLERMO...WHICH IS NOW MOSTLY LIMITED TO THE NRN SEMICIRCLE. ALSO...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DRIER AIR IS NOW BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE SW QUADRANT OF THE STORM. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 123W-128W. TROPICAL STORM HILDA... ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH HILDA HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY...THE OVERALL STRUCTURE HAS BECOME ASYMMETRICAL AND RAGGED. THE STORM REMAINS EMBEDDED IN A LARGE AREA OF MOISTURE BUT ELY FLOW ALOFT HAS LIMITED THE OUTFLOW TO THE WRN SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 116W-119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N77W 7N88W 9N97W 8N101W 11N113W 11N128W 12N131W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM 30 NM S OF THE PANAMA CANAL ZONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:12 2003 X-UIDL: 34989-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE0015MDXJAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:48:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9mmtR018816 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:48:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGRV045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:43:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:43:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9hsc9056368 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:43:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A9hs9d005510 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:43:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A9hs36005508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:43:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:43:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100943.h7A9hs36005508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PHNC 101000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 14.7N2 115.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 115.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.5N1 118.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.0N7 120.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.7N4 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.0N8 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.0N8 130.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.0N8 134.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.0N8 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 100600Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 115.9W6. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100600Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101600Z8, 102200Z5, 110400Z6 AND 111000Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:13 2003 X-UIDL: 34990-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE0015UDXOAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:49:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9mmtR018819 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:48:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGRT045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:42:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:42:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9grc9056346 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:42:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A9gr9d005503 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:42:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A9grK1005502 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:42:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:42:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100942.h7A9grK1005502@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 101000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 15.5N1 125.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 125.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.6N2 128.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.7N3 130.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.8N4 133.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.9N5 135.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.0N7 140.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.0N7 144.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.0N7 149.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 100600Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 125.8W6. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 886 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100600Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101600Z8, 102200Z5, 110400Z6 AND 111000Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:13 2003 X-UIDL: 34991-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE0016ADYLAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:49:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9nOtR018872 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:49:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79JWbSf025918; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9k0c9034106 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A9k09d005548 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A9k0PF005544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 075 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100946.h7A9k0PF005544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 101000 RRC 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.0N8 134.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.0N8 139.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 100600Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 115.9W6. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100600Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101600Z8, 102200Z5, 110400Z6 AND 111000Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:14 2003 X-UIDL: 34992-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE0016EDYXAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:49:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9nctR018897 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:49:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGRb045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:45:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:45:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9j5c9056400 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:45:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A9j59d005538 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:45:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A9j5ru005537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:45:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:45:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 100600z7 Enhanced Infrared Satellite Imagery. The Warning Intensity Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100945.h7A9j5ru005537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 101000 RRC 100600Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101600Z8, 102200Z5, 110400Z6 AND 111000Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:14 2003 X-UIDL: 34993-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE0016HDZEAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:50:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9nutR018931 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:49:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGRX045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:44:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:44:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9ivc9032564 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:44:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A9iv9d005519 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A9ivFw005518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:44:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 060 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100944.h7A9ivFw005518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 101000 RRB 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.9N5 135.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.0N7 140.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.0N7 144.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.0N7 149.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 100600Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 125.8W6. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 886 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:16 2003 X-UIDL: 34994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001K8EA0AT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:56:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9uEtR020252 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:56:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGRd045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70711 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9k0c9056440 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A9k09d005547 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A9k049005542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 075 Nm Northwest Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100946.h7A9k049005542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 101000 RRB 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.7N4 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.0N8 125.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.0N8 130.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:16 2003 X-UIDL: 34995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001N6EDCAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:58:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9wItR020560 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:58:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955v0D017418; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:45:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70695 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:45:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9iwc9013796 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:44:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A9iv9d005527 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A9ivhd005523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:44:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100944.h7A9ivhd005523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 101000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 15.5N1 125.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 125.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.6N2 128.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.7N3 130.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.8N4 133.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:17 2003 X-UIDL: 34996-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001OAEEFAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:59:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9wvtR020648 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:58:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955v0F017418; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A9k0c9040452 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A9k09d005549 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A9k0MU005546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100946.h7A9k0MU005546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 101000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 14.7N2 115.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 115.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.5N1 118.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.0N7 120.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:17 2003 X-UIDL: 34997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001QQG5CAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 18:36:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AAaetR026993 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 18:36:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGS5045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 05:23:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 05:23:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AANQc9034604 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 05:23:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AANP9d005813 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 05:23:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AANPEw005812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 05:23:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 05:23:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101023.h7AANPEw005812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 101023 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1185 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:20 2003 X-UIDL: 35003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001LWQJUAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:21:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AELItR061769 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:21:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGUT045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:16:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:16:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEGMc9043180 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:16:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AEGL9d007406 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:16:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AEGLtO007405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:16:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:16:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101416.h7AEGLtO007405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 101415 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN AUG 10 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND MOVE WEST INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:21 2003 X-UIDL: 35005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001GYS8AAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:57:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEvdtR068496 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:57:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGUv045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AElAc9013720 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AElA9d007644 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AElAxF007643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101447.h7AElAxF007643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 101446 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM SAB AND TAFB CONTINUE TO GIVE 35 KT FOR THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE...AND THAT REMAINS THE ADVISORY INTENSITY. OVERNIGHT MICROWAVE AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THAT THE CENTER MAY BE FARTHER NORTH THAN INDICATED BY INFRARED IMAGERY AND THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...NEAR THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. I WILL WAIT FOR VISIBLE IMAGERY BEFORE MAKING ANY SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENTS. FOR THE TIME BEING...THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE A VERY CLIMATOLOGICAL 285/11. HILDA'S STEERING IS EXPECTED TO BE CONTROLLED BY MID-LEVEL EASTERLIES ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LARGE ANTICYCLONE...AND/OR AN INTERACTION WITH GUILLERMO. WHILE THE GFS WEAKENS GUILLERMO AND DOES NOT SUGGEST AN INTERACTION...THE UKMET AND NOGAPS MAINTAIN GUILLERMO AS THE DOMINANT CYCLONE. HOWEVER...ONLY THE UKMET SHOWS AN INTERACTION AS THE NOGAPS KEEPS GUILLERMO TOO FAR AWAY FROM HILDA. AT THE MOMENT...GUILLERMO IS MOVING A BIT FASTER THAN HILDA AND FORECAST TO ACCELERATE...SO THE OFFICIAL THINKING AT THIS TIME IS THAT GUILLERMO WILL NOT HAVE A MAJOR IMPACT ON THE TRACK OF HILDA. THERE IS MORE THAN THE USUAL UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS TRACK FORECAST...WHICH IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. THERE IS NO OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE THAT CALLS FOR MUCH DEVELOPMENT OF HILDA. THE SHIPS MODEL IS LESS AGGRESSIVE WITH EACH RUN...AND CURRENTLY BRINGS HILDA UP TO ONLY 48 KT. THE SHEAR IS MODEST AND THE WATERS ARE WARM...BUT THE SHIPS MODEL APPEARS TO BE RESPONDING TO ITS OTHER THERMODYNAMIC PREDICTORS. THE GFDL CALLS FOR WEAKENING...AND NONE OF THE GLOBAL MODELS DO MUCH WITH HILDA EITHER. WITH THIS UNANIMITY OF UNENTHUSIASM...AND THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE CENTER MAY BE NOT AS WELL CONNECTED TO THE CONVECTION AS PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A LITTLE LESS DEVELOPMENT THAN BEFORE. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/1500Z 15.2N 117.5W 35 KT 12HR VT 11/0000Z 15.6N 119.2W 40 KT 24HR VT 11/1200Z 16.2N 121.5W 45 KT 36HR VT 12/0000Z 16.6N 124.0W 50 KT 48HR VT 12/1200Z 17.0N 126.5W 55 KT 72HR VT 13/1200Z 17.0N 131.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 14/1200Z 17.0N 135.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 15/1200Z 17.5N 140.0W 40 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:22 2003 X-UIDL: 35006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001IYSB4AT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:59:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AExLtR068770 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:59:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBcD049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72408 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AElZc9040620 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AElY9d007650 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AElYew007649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:47:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101447.h7AElYew007649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 101447 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 1500Z SUN AUG 10 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 117.5W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 117.5W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 117.0W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.6N 119.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 16.2N 121.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.6N 124.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.0N 126.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.0N 131.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 17.0N 135.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 17.5N 140.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 117.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:22 2003 X-UIDL: 35007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00HWCSBR1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:59:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AExitR068853 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:59:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBcF049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEm4c9012918 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AEm49d007655 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AEm4wk007654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101448.h7AEm4wk007654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 101447 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO LOOK UNIMPRESSIVE ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY...WITH LIMITED DEEP CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. DVORAK NUMBERS ARE COMING DOWN...WITH A 2.0/3.0 FROM TAFB AND A 1.5/2.0 FROM SAB. THE LAST TWO QUIKSCAT PASSES MISSED THE CYCLONE. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 40 KT BUT MAY STILL BE A BIT HIGH. SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR CONTINUES...AND A MID-LEVEL VORTEX IN THE CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CAN BE SEEN MOVING AWAY FROM GUILLERMO TO THE NORTHWEST. THE MOTION HAS BEEN FAIRLY CONSTANT OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS...ABOUT 265/12. GUILLERMO REMAINS TO THE SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS PROVIDING A BASIC WESTWARD STEERING CURRENT...AND THIS SHOULD PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. COMPLICATING THE TRACK FORECAST IS TROPICAL STORM HILDA TO THE EAST AND A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUILLERMO. THERE IS NOT MUCH CONSISTENCY AMONG THE GFS...UKMET...AND NOGAPS ABOUT HOW THESE THREE SYSTEMS WILL INTERACT. THE GFS WEAKENS GUILLERMO AND BRINGS ITS REMNANTS AROUND THE NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE...WHILE THE UKMET AND NOGAPS KEEP GUILLERMO AS THE DOMINANT CYCLONE. WHILE GUILLERMO IS UNDER SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR NOW...THERE IS DEVELOPING OUTFLOW FROM THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE THAT MAY REVERSE THE UPPER FLOW WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. IF THAT OCCURS...THEN GUILLERMO IS LIKELY TO BECOME A WEAK SYSTEM AND MOVE WITH THE SHALLOW FLOW AS SUGGESTED BY THE GFS AND THE SHALLOW BAM. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST EARLY THROUGH 36 HOURS...THEN IS A LITTLE FASTER THEREAFTER. THE INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WATER TEMPERATURES ARE STILL FAVORABLE FOR MODEST STRENGTHENING BUT IT IS DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL PERMIT MUCH DEVELOPMENT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/1500Z 15.3N 127.5W 40 KT 12HR VT 11/0000Z 15.1N 129.4W 40 KT 24HR VT 11/1200Z 15.2N 131.8W 40 KT 36HR VT 12/0000Z 15.2N 134.2W 40 KT 48HR VT 12/1200Z 15.2N 137.0W 35 KT 72HR VT 13/1200Z 15.0N 143.0W 35 KT 96HR VT 14/1200Z 15.0N 148.0W 35 KT 120HR VT 15/1200Z 15.0N 153.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:22 2003 X-UIDL: 35008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00HWGSBW1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:59:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AExltR068864 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:59:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGUx045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEmac9012926 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AEma9d007662 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AEmahm007661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:48:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101448.h7AEmahm007661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 101448 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 1500Z SUN AUG 10 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 127.5W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 127.5W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 127.0W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 15.1N 129.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.2N 131.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.2N 134.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.2N 137.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.0N 143.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 15.0N 148.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 15.0N 153.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 127.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE0015NV2PAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:59:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AFx2tR079661 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:59:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGVt045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:46:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AFktc9040460 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AFks9d008157 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AFkswp008156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:46:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101546.h7AFkswp008156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 101600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 15.3N9 127.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 127.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.1N7 129.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.2N8 131.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.2N8 134.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 15.2N8 137.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.0N6 143.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.0N6 148.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.0N6 153.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 101200Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 127.0W0. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1631 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101200Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102200Z5, 110400Z6, 111000Z3 AND 111600Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE0015RV2SAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:59:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AFx9tR079673 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:59:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGVx045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72936 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AFmuc9035182 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AFmu9d008186 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AFmu4o008183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Is Based On Satellite Current Intensity Estimates Of 35 To 45 Knots. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101548.h7AFmu4o008183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN31 PHNC 101600 RRC IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102200Z5, 110400Z6, 111000Z3 AND 111600Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:24 2003 X-UIDL: 35011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00HEZV3A1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:59:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AFxQtR079735 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:59:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AC3apd025918; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72939 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AFmuc9040492 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AFmu9d008185 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AFmuQA008181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101548.h7AFmuQA008181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 101600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 15.3N9 127.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 127.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.1N7 129.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.2N8 131.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.2N8 134.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:24 2003 X-UIDL: 35012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE0017DV4MAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:00:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AG0EtR079925 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:00:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBdN049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AFmuc9057670 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AFmu9d008184 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AFmupl008180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:48:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 060 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101548.h7AFmupl008180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 101600 RRB 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 15.2N8 137.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.0N6 143.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.0N6 148.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.0N6 153.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 101200Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 127.0W0. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1631 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101200Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:25 2003 X-UIDL: 35013-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001PZVUJAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:15:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AGFltR082337 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:15:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGW9045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73025 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AG5Qc9021956 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AG5M9d008348 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AG5Msx008347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101605.h7AG5Msx008347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 101600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 15.0N6 117.0W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 117.0W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.6N2 119.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.2N9 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.6N3 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:25 2003 X-UIDL: 35014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00HRZVVG1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:16:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AGGLtR082467 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:16:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBdV049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AG5Rc9013786 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AG5Q9d008356 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AG5Qwn008354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Note...errors For Track Have Averaged Near 250 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101605.h7AG5Qwn008354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 101600 RRC NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.0N8 135.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.5N3 140.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 101200Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 117.0W9. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 404 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101200Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102200Z5, 110400Z6, 111000Z3 AND 111600Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:25 2003 X-UIDL: 35015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00HUJVZO1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:19:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AGIstR082925 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:18:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBdR049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AG5Rc9029862 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AG5Q9d008355 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AG5QL5008352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:05:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 030 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101605.h7AG5QL5008352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 101600 RRB 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.0N8 126.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.0N8 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:26 2003 X-UIDL: 35016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00HURVZW1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:19:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AGIxtR082946 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:19:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGW7045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:01:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:01:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AG1Dc9021908 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:01:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AG1D9d008315 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:01:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AG1DWF008314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:01:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:01:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101601.h7AG1DWF008314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 101600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 15.0N6 117.0W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 117.0W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.6N2 119.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.2N9 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.6N3 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.0N8 126.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.0N8 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.0N8 135.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.5N3 140.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 101200Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 117.0W9. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 404 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101200Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102200Z5, 110400Z6, 111000Z3 AND 111600Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:26 2003 X-UIDL: 35017-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001VRW2DAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:20:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AGKVtR083230 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:20:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGWB045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:06:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AG6Ic9053204 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AG6I9d008368 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:06:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AG6IU0008367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:06:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:06:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101606.h7AG6IU0008367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 101606 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 10 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTER NEAR 15.3N 127.5W AT 10/1500 UTC MOVING WEST 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM HILDA CENTER NEAR 15.2N 117.5W AT 10/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 77W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ITCZ CONVECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W/88W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ITCZ CONVECTION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 85W AND 89W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W/101W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 103W. ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N135W MOVING WEST 5 KT. ITCZ CONVECTION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 134W AND 137W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION ALSO FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 137W AND 139W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1515 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 127W AND 129W. T.S. GUILLERMO IS IN THE WEAKENING STAGES. TROPICAL STORM HILDA... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 117W AND 118W....AND FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN 118W AND 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 116W AND 120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N77W 8N90W 9N100W 11N120W 11N132W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 99W AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 132W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 6N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W.ISOLATED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:26 2003 X-UIDL: 35018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00H4AXL51M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:53:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AGrMtR088652 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:53:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGWT045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:30:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73194 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AGUVc9036864 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:30:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AGUU9d008539 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AGUUGg008538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 11:30:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101630.h7AGUUGg008538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 101630 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1255 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1800 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...OR ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII...CONTINUES TO SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:27 2003 X-UIDL: 35020-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00HS8Z9U1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 01:29:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AHTktR094680 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 01:29:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGXN045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AHP4c9032512 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AHP49d009010 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AHP3tn009008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101725.h7AHP3tn009008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:27 2003 X-UIDL: 35021-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00HSSZAS1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 01:30:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AHU9tR094772 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 01:30:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBeL049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AHP4c9014810 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AHP49d009009 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AHP3lu009007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 12:25:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101725.h7AHP3lu009007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:29 2003 X-UIDL: 35024-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00H0E69S1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:01:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AK0utR025298 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:00:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGaH045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 14:58:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 74681 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 14:58:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AJwfc9013742 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 14:58:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AJwe9d010190 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 14:58:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AJweLi010189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 14:58:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 14:58:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101958.h7AJweLi010189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 101958 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN AUG 10 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 1375 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LIES 725 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. BUT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:30 2003 X-UIDL: 35028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00HOU8RG1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:54:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AKsjtR035715 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:54:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBhr049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75062 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AKqmc9047126 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AKql9d010735 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AKqlqK010734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102052.h7AKqlqK010734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 102052 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 HILDA IS A VERY POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE THIS AFTERNOON. VISIBLE IMAGERY CONFIRMED THAT THE CENTER WAS FARTHER NORTH THAN THOUGHT EARLIER...AND SO ADJUSTMENTS WERE REQUIRED TO THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION. THE ADVISORY POSITION IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE MAIN CONVECTIVE AREA AND A LOW-CLOUD SWIRL VISIBLE TO THE NORTH OF THE CONVECTION. IF THAT SWIRL TURNS OUT TO BE ALL THERE IS THEN A FURTHER NORTHWARD ADJUSTMENT WILL BE REQUIRED LATER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE REMAINS 35 KT. THE SHIPS GUIDANCE DOES SHOW SOME INTENSIFICATION...TO 43 KT IN 36 HOURS...UNDER LIGHT SHEAR AND SSTS NEAR 27C...ALTHOUGH NO OTHER GUIDANCE DOES SO. THE SHIPS MODEL HAS BEEN CONSISTENTLY TOO AGRESSIVE WITH THIS CYCLONE. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...HILDA SHOULD ENCOUNTER INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR AND COOLER WATERS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS LESS STRENGTHENING THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. HILDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LARGE ANTICYCLONE THAT WILL PROVIDE A BASIC WESTWARD STEERING CURRENT...ALTHOUGH THE MORE NORTHWARD TRACK TODAY MAY BE A RESPONSE TO THE FLOW SURROUNDING GUILLERMO. HILDA IS NOT GAINING GROUND ON GUILLERMO...SO I DO NOT EXPECT A SIGNIFICANT INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST HAS BEEN NUDGED NORTHWARD AND IS A BLEND OF THE GFS AND THE SHALLOW BAM MODELS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/2100Z 16.0N 118.1W 35 KT 12HR VT 11/0600Z 16.6N 119.7W 35 KT 24HR VT 11/1800Z 17.0N 122.0W 40 KT 36HR VT 12/0600Z 17.3N 124.3W 45 KT 48HR VT 12/1800Z 17.5N 126.5W 45 KT 72HR VT 13/1800Z 17.5N 131.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 14/1800Z 17.5N 135.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 15/1800Z 18.0N 140.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:30 2003 X-UIDL: 35029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00HP28RI1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:54:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AKsltR035723 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:54:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGbJ045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AKqNc9032936 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AKqN9d010727 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AKqNu0010724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102052.h7AKqNu0010724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 102052 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 GUILLERMO HAS BEEN GENERATING BURSTS OF CONVECTION BUT WITH NO BANDING OR OTHER SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES FROM THE DISTURBANCE TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST ARE BEGINNING TO IMPINGE ON THE CYCLONE. THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SUGGESTS AT BEST ONLY A SMALL AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE IN THE 30-35 KT RANGE...AND THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 35 KT. THE CENTER IS HARD TO LOCATE BUT IS BELIEVED TO STILL BE ON THE EAST OR SOUTHEAST SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/11. GUILLERMO REMAINS TO THE SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS PROVIDING A BASIC WESTWARD STEERING CURRENT...AND THIS SHOULD PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. COMPLICATING THE TRACK FORECAST IS A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUILLERMO. THE GFS WEAKENS GUILLERMO AND BRINGS ITS REMNANTS AROUND THE NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE...WHILE THE UKMET AND NOGAPS KEEP GUILLERMO AS THE DOMINANT CYCLONE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL AND SHALLOW BAM MODELS. WITH INCREASING WESTERLIES AND STABLE AIR AHEAD OF THE CYCLONE...A SLOW WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED. THE SHIPS MODEL INDICATES A LITTLE STRENGTHING IS POSSIBLE...BUT THIS IS HARD TO ENVISION IN THE FACE OF THE EXPECTED WESTERLY SHEAR. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 10/2100Z 15.4N 128.4W 35 KT 12HR VT 11/0600Z 15.5N 130.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 11/1800Z 15.5N 132.3W 35 KT 36HR VT 12/0600Z 15.5N 134.7W 30 KT 48HR VT 12/1800Z 15.5N 137.5W 30 KT 72HR VT 13/1800Z 15.5N 143.0W 25 KT 96HR VT 14/1800Z 15.5N 148.5W 25 KT 120HR VT 15/1800Z 15.5N 153.5W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:31 2003 X-UIDL: 35030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00HPA8RP1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:55:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AKsstR035742 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:54:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGbF045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:51:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:51:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AKpec9021100 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:51:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AKpe9d010717 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:51:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AKpevk010716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:51:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:51:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102051.h7AKpevk010716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 102051 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 2100Z SUN AUG 10 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 128.4W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 128.4W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 127.9W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.5N 130.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.5N 132.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.5N 134.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.5N 137.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.5N 143.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 148.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 15.5N 153.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 128.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:31 2003 X-UIDL: 35031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00HPW8SK1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:55:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AKtPtR035833 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:55:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBhd049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AKqNc9043014 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AKqN9d010728 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AKqN4k010726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:52:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102052.h7AKqN4k010726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 102052 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 2100Z SUN AUG 10 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 118.1W AT 10/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 118.1W AT 10/2100Z AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 117.6W FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 16.6N 119.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 17.3N 124.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.5N 126.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.5N 131.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 17.5N 135.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.0N 140.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 118.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:32 2003 X-UIDL: 35033-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00HVVBCL1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:50:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALoYtR048811 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:50:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBjV049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:47:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:47:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALlvc9021802 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:47:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7ALlv9d011153 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:47:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7ALlvdP011152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:47:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:47:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102147.h7ALlvdP011152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 102147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 10 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO CENTER NEAR 15.4N 128.4W AT 10/2100 UTC MOVING W 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM HILDA CENTER NEAR 16.0N 118.1W AT 10/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 10 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..1008 MB TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR 13N136W MOVING W 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE THRU E PANAMA ALONG 78W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. DISSIPATING MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. ..TROPICAL WAVE THRU EL SALVADOR ALONG 88W/89W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 86W-90W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N90W WITH ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 98W-103W. ..LOW PREVIOUSLY NEAR 13N135W IS NOW A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION. ..ILL-DEFINED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS FROM THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO BEYOND 31N131W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... GUILLERMO IS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM WITH OCCASIONALLY PUFFS OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. WESTERLY SHEAR AND PROBABLE DRY AIR IS HINDERING ANY DEVELOPMENT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 127W-130W. TROPICAL STORM HILDA... STRONGER-THAN-ANTICIPATED NORTHERLY SHEAR IS DISPLACING THE CONVECTION TO THE S OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. RECENT VISIBLE PICTURES SUGGEST THE CENTER IS EVEN BECOMING EXPOSED ON THE N SIDE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 13.5N-16.5N BETWEEN 117W-121W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N136W... THE DISTURBANCE HAS SOME BANDING FEATURES BUT ANY LOW-LEVEL CENTER APPEARS TO BE REMOVED TO THE SW OF THE MID-LEVEL TURNING. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 134.5W-140W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 10N90W 7N103W 12N115W 13N121W 10N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 94.5W-WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-113W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10N130W 11N135W 10N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N105W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:32 2003 X-UIDL: 35034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00H7JBRO1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:59:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALxbtR050521 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:59:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILcl045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:56:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:56:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALuPc9046496 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:56:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7ALuP9d011275 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:56:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7ALuPUb011274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:56:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:56:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102156.h7ALuPUb011274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 102156 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N136W IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB SURROUNDING THE SYSTEM HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N156W MOVING WEST SLOWLY. SYSTEM LIES WITHIN AN AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08N159W 09N152W. CB AREA NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK FRONT THROUGH 30N171W 28N177W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 28N180. FRONT/SHEAR LINE MOVED EAST 5-10 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S120W 23S130W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 23N143W. FRONT MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST 15-20 KT. SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 25S150W 20S160W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE ACROSS SAMOA TO 12S177W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. SHEAR LINE/CONVERGENCE ZONE NEARLY STATIONARY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:32 2003 X-UIDL: 35035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00HGHBZT1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:04:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AM4YtR051362 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:04:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILcp045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:00:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75769 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:00:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AM0Dc9057098 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:00:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AM0C9d011437 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AM0CtN011436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:00:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102200.h7AM0CtN011436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 102200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 15.4N0 127.9W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 127.9W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.5N1 130.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.5N1 132.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.5N1 134.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 15.5N1 137.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.5N1 143.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.5N1 148.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.5N1 153.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 102200Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.4N0 128.5W6. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1600 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101800Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110400Z6, 111000Z3, 111600Z9 AND 112200Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:33 2003 X-UIDL: 35036-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00HIXC3J1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:06:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AM6mtR051640 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:06:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBjd049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:03:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:03:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AM3Oc9035392 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:03:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AM3N9d011463 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:03:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AM3NFM011462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:03:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:03:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102203.h7AM3NFM011462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 102200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 15.4N0 127.9W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 127.9W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.5N1 130.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.5N1 132.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.5N1 134.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 15.5N1 137.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:33 2003 X-UIDL: 35037-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00HJ5C451M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:07:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AM7AtR051665 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:07:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILcr045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:04:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:04:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AM4Lc9040692 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:04:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AM4K9d011487 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:04:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AM4Ke3011484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:04:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:04:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102204.h7AM4Ke3011484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 102200 RRB --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.5N1 143.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.5N1 148.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.5N1 153.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 102200Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.4N0 128.5W6. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1600 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101800Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110400Z6, 111000Z3, 111600Z9 AND 112200Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:33 2003 X-UIDL: 35038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IFBCNTN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:19:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AMIstR053390 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:18:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBjh049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:14:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75912 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:14:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AMEpc9040662 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:14:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AMEp9d011588 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:14:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AMEpfm011587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:14:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:14:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102214.h7AMEpfm011587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 102200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 15.7N3 117.6W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 117.6W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.6N3 119.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 17.0N8 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.3N1 124.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.5N3 126.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.5N3 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.5N3 135.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.0N9 140.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 102200Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 118.2W2. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST -NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101800Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110400Z6, 111000Z3, 111600Z9 AND 112200Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35039-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IFVCONN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:19:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AMJStR053480 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:19:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILd9045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:16:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75932 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:16:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AMGrc9014726 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:16:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AMGr9d011611 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:16:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AMGrDi011610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:16:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:16:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Near 20 Kt Each Day. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102216.h7AMGrDi011610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 102200 RRB NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.5N3 135.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.0N9 140.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 102200Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 118.2W2. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST -NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101800Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110400Z6, 111000Z3, 111600Z9 AND 112200Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35040-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IK8CUHN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:23:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AMMwtR053936 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 06:23:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILdB045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:17:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:17:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AMHuc9034668 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:17:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AMHt9d011617 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:17:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AMHtrH011616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:17:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 17:17:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102217.h7AMHtrH011616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 102200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 15.7N3 117.6W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 117.6W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.6N3 119.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 17.0N8 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.3N1 124.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.5N3 126.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.5N3 131.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:35 2003 X-UIDL: 35043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IR2FPTN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 07:25:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ANOvtR063010 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 07:24:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILe3045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 18:22:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 76486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 18:22:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ANMKc9048378 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 18:22:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7ANMJ9d012191 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 18:22:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7ANMJZf012190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 18:22:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 18:22:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102322.h7ANMJZf012190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 102321 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1305 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA... LOCATED ABOUT 710 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1825 MILES WEST- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...OR ABOUT 1375 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII...HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...SOME ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:37 2003 X-UIDL: 35050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IHPMXUN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:01:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B20vtR092583 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:00:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILhb045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 20:58:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 77508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 20:58:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B1wIc9012886 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 20:58:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B1wI9d013318 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 20:58:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B1wID7013317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 20:58:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 20:58:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110158.h7B1wID7013317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 110157 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN AUG 10 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 1330 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND IS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER 680 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AS THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN IT DIMINISHED. BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS AREA TO DEVELOP SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00I7DOCGN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:31:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B2VLtR000275 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:31:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILit045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:28:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 77845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B2Skc9046522 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B2Sk9d013619 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B2Sk4Q013618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:28:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110228.h7B2Sk4Q013618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 110228 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 0300Z MON AUG 11 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 119.6W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 119.6W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 119.1W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.3N 121.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.5N 123.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 17.6N 125.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.7N 128.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.8N 132.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 18.0N 137.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 18.0N 142.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 119.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IG8OF9N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:33:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B2X2tR000664 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:33:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AC3aXB025918; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 77839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B2Rvc9046520 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B2Rv9d013612 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B2RvTB013611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110227.h7B2RvTB013611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 110227 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 GUILLERMO HAS LOOKED LESS THAN IMPRESSIVE THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS BEEN VIRTUALLY DEVOID OF ANY CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION...UNTIL A BURST OF CONVECTION DEVELOPED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS TO THE SOUTH OF THE BROAD LOW-LEVEL CENTER. OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED TO THE WEST...BUT IS FAIR AND IMPROVING ELSEWHERE. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA AVERAGE OUT TO 30 KT...AND THAT IS WHAT WAS USED FOR THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE. THEREFORE...GUILLERMO HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPCIAL DEPRESSION. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/14. THE RECENT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS LIKELY DUE TO THE DECREASE IN THE CENTRAL CONVECTION AND THE RESULTANT DECOUPLING OF THE LOW-LEVEL AND MID-/UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS. THAT MAKES THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW...AT LEAST IN THE NEAR TERM. GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAT SHOULD ENSURE A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THERE MAY BE FLUCTUATIONS IN THE FORWARD SPEED DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH CONVECTION PERIODICALLY BURSTS NEAR THE CENTER...BUT THE GENERAL MOTION SHOULD BE STEADY WESTWARD BETWEEN 10 TO 15 KT. THE RECENT WEAKENING OF BOTH GUILLERMO AND TROPICAL STORM HILDA SHOULD REDUCE THE LIKELIHOOD OF ANY INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO CYCLONES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS JUST AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS CLOSE TO THE GFDL AND GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN MODELS. GUILLERMO HAS BEEN INGESTING COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS INTO THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND THIS...ALONG WITH WESTERLY SHEAR INDUCED BY A DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST...HAS CONTRIBUTED TO THE DECREASE IN CONVECTION. WHILE THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL STRENGTHENS GUILLERMO BACK TO A 55-KT TROPICAL STORM BY 120 HOURS...SUCH STRENGTHENING IS UNLIKELY SINCE THERE MAY NOT BE MUCH OF A CIRCULATION REMAINING AT THAT TIME. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND CALLS FOR THE CYCLONE INTENSITY TO REMAIN STEADY THROUGH 48 HOURS AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AFTER THAT. OF COURSE...ONLY MINOR BURSTS OF CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER COULD EASILY BRING GUILLERMO BACK TO MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AT ANY TIME. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0300Z 15.5N 130.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 11/1200Z 15.5N 131.5W 30 KT 24HR VT 12/0000Z 15.6N 133.9W 30 KT 36HR VT 12/1200Z 15.6N 136.5W 30 KT 48HR VT 13/0000Z 15.6N 139.2W 30 KT 72HR VT 14/0000Z 15.5N 144.5W 25 KT 96HR VT 15/0000Z 15.5N 150.0W 25 KT 120HR VT 16/0000Z 15.5N 155.0W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:39 2003 X-UIDL: 35054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IGYOFLN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:33:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B2XDtR000717 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:33:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBo7049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 77836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B2Ruc9055664 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B2Ru9d013607 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B2RuIG013606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110227.h7B2RuIG013606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 110227 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0300Z MON AUG 11 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 130.0W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 130.0W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 129.3W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.5N 131.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.6N 133.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.6N 136.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.6N 139.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.5N 144.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 15.5N 150.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 15.5N 155.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 130.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:40 2003 X-UIDL: 35058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00I7APH5N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:55:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B2tktR005904 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:55:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILj5045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:53:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 77968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:53:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B2r5c9048438 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:53:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B2r59d013757 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B2r59k013756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:53:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110253.h7B2r59k013756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 110252 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF HILDA HAS BECOME EXPOSED ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL POSITION HAS BEEN ADJUSTED FARTHER NORTH THAN ON THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. WHILE THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME PARTLY EXPOSED...THERE IS ENOUGH STRONG CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH SUCH THAT SHEAR-PATTERN SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE STILL AT 35 KT...BUT JUST BARELY. THEREFORE...HILDA IS MAINTAINED AS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/13. HOWEVER...A GRADUAL TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR IN ABOUT 12 HOURS DUE TO THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH PRODUCING MODERATE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE GFS AND UKMET MODELS TAKE HILDA SOUTHWESTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS...MAINLY DUE TO SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING OF THE CYCLONE AND SOME LOW-LEVEL RIDGING FORECAST ALONG 135W IN THE WAKE OF GUILLERMO. SINCE GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEADY OR WEAKEN SLIGHTLY...IT IS DOUBTFUL THAT MUCH OF A SYMPATHETIC RIDGE WILL EXIST BETWEEN THE TWO CYCLONES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS NORTH OF BUT SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND CALLS FOR A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS...AND THEN A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION AFTER THAT. THIS IS SIMILAR TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE GFDL AND GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS. UNLIKE GUILLERMO...THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL FORECASTS HILDA TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN AFTER 72 HOURS AS THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO MORE THAN 30 KT AND SSTS DROP FROM 27C DOWN TO 25C. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND BASICALLY HOLDS THE INTENSITY STEADY FOR 72 HOURS... WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING OCCURRING AFTERWARDS. THERE COULD BE SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN THE INTENSITY DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH AND HOW LONG ANY CONVECTION DEVELOPS NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. HOWEVER... ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS GENERALLY DO NOT FAVOR MORE THAN A 10 KT INCREASE...AND ARE ACTUALLY MORE CONDUCIVE FOR WEAKENING TO OCCUR. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0300Z 17.0N 119.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 11/1200Z 17.3N 121.3W 35 KT 24HR VT 12/0000Z 17.5N 123.6W 40 KT 36HR VT 12/1200Z 17.6N 125.8W 40 KT 48HR VT 13/0000Z 17.7N 128.1W 40 KT 72HR VT 14/0000Z 17.8N 132.5W 35 KT 96HR VT 15/0000Z 18.0N 137.0W 30 KT 120HR VT 16/0000Z 18.0N 142.0W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:41 2003 X-UIDL: 35063-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00I0FRYLN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:49:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B3nOtR019734 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:49:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILkB045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:45:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B3jcc9014710 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B3jc9d014204 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B3jchD014203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:45:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110345.h7B3jchD014203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 110400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 015 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 07E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 15.5N1 129.3W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 129.3W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.5N1 131.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.6N2 133.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 15.6N2 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.6N2 139.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.5N1 144.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.5N1 150.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 15.5N1 155.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 110400Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 130.1W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1500 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110000Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111000Z3, 111600Z9, 112200Z6 AND 120400Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:41 2003 X-UIDL: 35064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00I59S0FN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:50:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B3oQtR020054 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:50:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBob049936; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B3mYc9040606 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B3mY9d014228 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B3mY49014226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110348.h7B3mY49014226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 110400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 015 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 07E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 15.5N1 129.3W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 129.3W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.5N1 131.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.6N2 133.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 15.6N2 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.6N2 139.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.5N1 144.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.5N1 150.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:42 2003 X-UIDL: 35065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00ID5S49N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:52:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B3qotR020619 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:52:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILkF045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B3mYc9012114 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B3mY9d014227 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B3mYaG014224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:48:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 120 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 12 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110348.h7B3mYaG014224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 110400 RRB VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 15.5N1 155.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 110400Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 130.1W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1500 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110000Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111000Z3, 111600Z9, 112200Z6 AND 120400Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:16:16 2003 X-UIDL: 35069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00I5FSTEN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 12:08:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B47ttR024578 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 12:07:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILlh045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:03:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:03:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B43uc9040634 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:03:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B43t9d014380 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:03:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B43tUI014379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:03:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:03:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110403.h7B43tUI014379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 110400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 16.8N5 119.1W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 119.1W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.3N1 121.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.5N3 123.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.6N4 125.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.7N5 128.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.8N6 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.0N9 137.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 18.0N9 142.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 110400Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.0N8 119.6W7. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST OF SOCORRO, ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110000Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111000Z3, 111600Z9, 112200Z6 AND 120400Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:16:16 2003 X-UIDL: 35071-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IK9SZ9N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 12:11:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B4BQtR025422 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 12:11:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILln045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:08:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:08:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B481c9043116 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:08:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B4809d014420 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:08:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B480U6014419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:08:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:08:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Near 20 Kt Each Day. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110408.h7B480U6014419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 110400 RRB NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.0N9 137.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 18.0N9 142.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 110400Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.0N8 119.6W7. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST OF SOCORRO, ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110000Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111000Z3, 111600Z9, 112200Z6 AND 120400Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:16:17 2003 X-UIDL: 35075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IV9T45N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 12:14:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B4ENtR025943 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 12:14:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILm1045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78904 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B49Jc9025020 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B49J9d014447 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B49JA4014446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110409.h7B49JA4014446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 110409 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 10 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 119.6W AT 11/0300 UTC MOVING WNW 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 11/0300 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 130.0W AT 11/0300 UTC MOVING W 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/ WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 13N137W MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH AN ANALYZED PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL ALONG 79W N OF 7N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W/90W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO 25N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0345 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HILDA... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED ON THE N SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 15N120W. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ALONG THE N SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 15N129.5W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... BAND OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N134W TO 13N139W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 10N99W 7N106W 13N114W 11N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 139W TO 141W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 91W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 109W...WITHIN 120 NM N OF THEW AXIS FROM 94W TO 99W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 87W TO 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 92W TO 94W AND S OF 20N W OF 104W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 5N AND FROM THE ITCZ AXIS TO 15N BETWEEN 96W AND 104W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:16:17 2003 X-UIDL: 35076-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IVST4CN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 12:14:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B4EUtR025976 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 12:14:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILlx045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B493c9024810 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B4929d014439 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B492vF014438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:09:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110409.h7B492vF014438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 110400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 16.8N5 119.1W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 119.1W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.3N1 121.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.5N3 123.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.6N4 125.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.7N5 128.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.8N6 132.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:44:27 2003 X-UIDL: 35080-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IVXUFSN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 12:43:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B4gvtR032598 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 12:42:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILmf045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:39:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 79154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:39:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B4dpc9021850 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:39:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B4do9d014723 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:39:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B4doUv014722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:39:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 23:39:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110439.h7B4doUv014722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 110439 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 745 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII...HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:05 2003 X-UIDL: 35088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IPNXJNN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:50:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B5o4tR049606 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:50:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEcBu7049936; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 79682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B5fLc9056556 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B5fK9d015233 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B5fKjk015231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110541.h7B5fKjk015231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 133.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:06 2003 X-UIDL: 35090-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IRAYGBN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 14:09:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B69dtR054604 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 14:09:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B3QKo5025918; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 01:03:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 79793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 01:03:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B63qc9034942 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 01:03:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B63p9d015420 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 01:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B63pEi015419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 01:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 01:03:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...correction For Date... Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110603.h7B63pEi015419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 110603 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTION FOR DATE... NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 11 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 119.6W AT 11/0300 UTC MOVING WNW 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 11/0300 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 130.0W AT 11/0300 UTC MOVING W 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/ WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 13N137W MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH AN ANALYZED PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL ALONG 79W N OF 7N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W/90W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO 25N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0345 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HILDA... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPOSED ON THE N SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 15N120W. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ALONG THE N SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 15N129.5W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... BAND OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N134W TO 13N139W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 10N99W 7N106W 13N114W 11N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 139W TO 141W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 91W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 109W...WITHIN 120 NM N OF THEW AXIS FROM 94W TO 99W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 87W TO 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 92W TO 94W AND S OF 20N W OF 104W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 5N AND FROM THE ITCZ AXIS TO 15N BETWEEN 96W AND 104W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 35103-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IDN3IVN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:59:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B7xAtR084257 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:59:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILpR045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 02:53:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80075 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 02:53:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B7rpc9017500 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 02:53:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B7rp9d016250 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 02:53:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B7rp4B016249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 02:53:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 02:53:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110753.h7B7rp4B016249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPN50 PHFO 110753 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN AUG 10 2003 A DISORGANIZED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH ABOUT 1050 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS AREA IS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAVE INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A SECOND NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH IS LOCATED ABOUT 740 MILES SOUTH OF HILO. THE DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THIS AREA HAVE WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WITHIN THIS AREA WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 35106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00ICW5H4N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:41:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8fKtR095214 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:41:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILpV045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zoc9049968 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B8Zn9d016716 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B8ZnDB016715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110835.h7B8ZnDB016715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 110835 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0900Z MON AUG 11 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 131.2W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 131.2W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 130.6W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.9N 133.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.0N 135.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.2N 137.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.5N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.0N 144.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.5N 148.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 152.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 131.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:11 2003 X-UIDL: 35107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IFU5HZN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:41:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8fqtR095360 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:41:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zqc9024814; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zoc9049972 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B8Zo9d016721 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B8Zoem016720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:35:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110835.h7B8Zoem016720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ42 KNHC 110835 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 A QUIKSCAT PASS NEAR 03Z SHOWED WINDS STILL VERY CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...BUT THE CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SINCE THEN. GUILLERMO IS NOW GENERATING JUST A FEW INTERMITTENT PUFFS OF CONVECTION. THE CYCLONE REMAINS UNDER WESTERLY SHEAR WHICH IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING INTO AN INCREASINGLY COOLER AND MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT. GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR SO. ALTHOUGH FORECAST POSITIONS ARE GIVEN OUT TO 120 HOURS...I DO NOT REALLY EXPECT THE CIRCULATION TO PERSIST THAT LONG. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 275/12. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN NUDGED NORTHWARD AND SLOWER TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW BAM GUIDANCE. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 15.8N 131.2W 30 KT 12HR VT 11/1800Z 15.9N 133.0W 25 KT 24HR VT 12/0600Z 16.0N 135.4W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 12/1800Z 16.2N 137.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 13/0600Z 16.5N 140.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 14/0600Z 17.0N 144.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 15/0600Z 17.5N 148.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 16/0600Z 18.0N 152.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:11 2003 X-UIDL: 35108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IGZ5I8N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:42:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8g2tR095425 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:42:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILpZ045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:37:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:37:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8b5c9049982 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:37:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B8ax9d016733 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B8axrr016732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:36:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110836.h7B8axrr016732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 110836 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 0900Z MON AUG 11 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 120.9W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 120.9W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 120.3W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 18.2N 122.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.6N 124.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.8N 127.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.0N 130.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.5N 135.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 20.0N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 20.5N 145.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 120.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:12 2003 X-UIDL: 35109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IJU5U0N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:49:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8n5tR097343 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:49:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILpX045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:36:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:36:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ajc9048528 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:36:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B8aj9d016728 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:36:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B8aiXV016727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:36:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:36:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110836.h7B8aiXV016727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ43 KNHC 110836 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF HILDA REMAINS EXPOSED ABOUT 75 NM NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE STILL AT MINIMAL STORM STRENGTH AND SO THE ADVISORY INTENSITY WILL REMAIN 35 KT FOR NOW. THE SHIPS INTENSITY GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW LESS STRENGTHENING WITH EACH RUN. HILDA IS MOVING AWAY FROM ITS UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE AND NOW SEEMS TO BE ISOLATED FROM ANY MOIST SOUTHERLY INFLOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL SPINDOWN AND DECAY TO REMNANT LOW STATUS IN A COUPLE DAYS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS STILL 300/13. WITH THE CENTER EXPOSED AND THE SYSTEM MOVING TOWARD COOLER WATERS...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED NORTHWARD AND FASTER...TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE SHALLOW BAM MODEL. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/0900Z 17.6N 120.9W 35 KT 12HR VT 11/1800Z 18.2N 122.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 12/0600Z 18.6N 124.9W 30 KT 36HR VT 12/1800Z 18.8N 127.4W 25 KT 48HR VT 13/0600Z 19.0N 130.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 14/0600Z 19.5N 135.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 15/0600Z 20.0N 140.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 16/0600Z 20.5N 145.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:14 2003 X-UIDL: 35118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IK39JTN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 18:09:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BA9LtR018050 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 18:09:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILq3045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:55:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B9tVc9033220 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B9tV9d017266 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B9tUxk017265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:55:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110955.h7B9tUxk017265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 110955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE JUST EAST OF AREA NEAR 12N139W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N140W 11N140W 10N142W 11N143W THAT MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE. THIS DISTURBANCE APPEARED LESS ORGANIZED THAN IT WAS 24 HOURS AGO. WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09N156W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM THAT MOVED WEST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N151W 10N146W 08N146W 09N152W MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N168W 07N162W 05N168W 07N171W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09S168W 11S162W 13S166W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10S178W 02S176E AND MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:14 2003 X-UIDL: 35119-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00I7L9XRN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 18:17:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BAHjtR019879 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 18:17:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILq7045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:01:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:01:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BA1vc9055778 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:01:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BA1u9d017341 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:01:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BA1uUa017340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:01:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:01:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111001.h7BA1uUa017340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 111001 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 11 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.6N 120.9W AT 11/0900 UTC MOVING WNW 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO IS CENTERED NEAR 15.8N 131.2W AT 11/0900 UTC MOVING W 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 12N139W MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH AN ANALYZED PRESSURE OF 1008 MB. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL ALONG 80W/81W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 5N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W/103W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO 24N120W. A 1014 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 18N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HILDA... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS EXPOSED ON THE N SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N119W TO 17N122W. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... ONE SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION TO THE W OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 15.5N131.5W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... BAND OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF 12.5N FROM 137W TO 140W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N92W 11N104W 11N116W 12N130W 11N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 115W AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 115W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO FROM 91W TO 93.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N96W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W AND N OF 23N E OF 116W INCLUDING THE BAJA PENINSULA AND INTO W MEXICO. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO FROM 18N TO 23N AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 87W AND 91W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:14 2003 X-UIDL: 35120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IE5AHAN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 18:29:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BATMtR023067 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 18:29:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILqT045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:17:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:17:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BAHPc9056512 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:17:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BAHP9d017474 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:17:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BAHPWH017473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:17:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 05:17:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111017.h7BAHPWH017473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 111017 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1465 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 795 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII IS MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE BASIN. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER ACPN50 PHFO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 22:51:52 2003 X-UIDL: 35126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00LISJW0Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:52:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BDqetR068992 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:52:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zqf9024814; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 08:46:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 81612 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 08:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BDk2c9029012 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 08:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BDk19d020385 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 08:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BDk1mD020384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 08:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 08:46:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111346.h7BDk1mD020384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPN50 PHFO 111345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON AUG 11 2003 A POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH IS ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THIS AREA IS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAVE INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...EVEN THOUGH THE AREA IS LESS ORGANIZED THAN IT WAS 24 HOURS AGO. SOME OF OUR COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THAT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A SECOND AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH IS LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTH OF HILO. THE DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THIS AREA HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED WITHIN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 22:51:55 2003 X-UIDL: 35131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00LU6LRPY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:33:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEXItR080944 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:33:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILw3045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEUDc9044364 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BEUC9d021626 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BEUBvA021625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111430.h7BEUBvA021625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 111429 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 1500Z MON AUG 11 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 132.6W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 132.6W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 132.0W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 16.1N 134.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.3N 136.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.5N 138.9W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.8N 141.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.5N 145.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 18.0N 149.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 18.5N 153.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 132.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 22:51:55 2003 X-UIDL: 35132-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00LUMLS3Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:33:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEXXtR080994 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:33:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILw5045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEUec9038992 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BEUe9d021650 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BEUdIA021649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:30:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111430.h7BEUdIA021649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 111430 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 1500Z MON AUG 11 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 122.0W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 122.0W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 121.4W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.5N 123.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.8N 126.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.0N 128.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.3N 131.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.0N 136.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 20.0N 141.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 122.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 22:51:58 2003 X-UIDL: 35135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00LCZM9DY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:44:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEhstR083912 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:43:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILwB045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:40:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82157 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:40:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEeYc9053160 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:40:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BEeX9d022014 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BEeXAg022013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:40:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:40:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Hilda Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111440.h7BEeXAg022013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 111440 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF HILDA REMAINS AT LEAST PARTLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE PRIMARY PERSISTENT CONVECTION. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA ARE ALL 35 KT...SO THAT REMAINS THE INITIAL INTENSITY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 295/12. HILD IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. A MID/UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DIG SOUTHWARD BY THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS...WHICH WILL LIKELY WEAKEN THE RIDGE SOMEWHAT. THIS SHOULD ALLOW HILDA TO CONTINUE A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT LEAST UNTIL THE STORM WEAKENS ENOUGH FOR LOW-LEVEL STEERING TO DOMINATE. MOST GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THE SCENARIO...ALTHOUGH THE BAMD AND LBAR CALL FOR A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IN RESPONSE TO THE TROUGH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS MOSTLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...ALTHOUGH IT CALLS FOR A WESTWARD TURN AFTER 72 HR AS HILDA WEAKENS. HILDA WILL BE MOVING INTO COLDER WATER AND INCREASING WESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION IN ABOUT 24 HR AND A REMNANT LOW IN 48-72 HR. LARGE-SCALE GUIDANCE DISSIPATES THE REMNANTS OF HILDA BEFORE 120 HR...SO THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL DO LIKEWISE. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/1500Z 18.1N 122.0W 35 KT 12HR VT 12/0000Z 18.5N 123.7W 35 KT 24HR VT 12/1200Z 18.8N 126.0W 30 KT 36HR VT 13/0000Z 19.0N 128.7W 25 KT 48HR VT 13/1200Z 19.3N 131.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 14/1200Z 20.0N 136.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 15/1200Z 20.0N 141.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 16/1200Z...DISSIPATIED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 23:31:53 2003 X-UIDL: 35138-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IG4OBTN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:28:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFSXtR095645 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:28:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILxh045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:23:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82592 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:23:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFN0c9025832 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:23:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BFMx9d023298 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:23:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BFMx0M023297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:22:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:22:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111522.h7BFMx0M023297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 111522 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 11 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 18.1N 122.0W AT 11/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO IS CENTERED NEAR 16.0N 132.6W AT 11/1500 UTC MOVING W 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 12N140W MOVING WSW 10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL ALONG 82W N OF 3N TO W PANAMA MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE IS LOW AMPLITUDE AND MOST OF ITS CONVECTION HAS BEEN CONFINED S OF 10N. THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE IS POOR AT THIS TIME WITH LIMITED CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W/92W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE IS NOT WELL DEFINED WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINING DISORGANIZED. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 89W-91W AND FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 93W-95W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W/104W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND CONCENTRATED ABOUT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 11N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 101W-106W. ..RIDGE AXIS ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 30N130W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO JUST S OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 21N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1445 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HILDA... THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS EXPOSED ON THE N SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N-17.5N BETWEEN 120W-122W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 119W-122W. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR AND TO THE N OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE MOST RECENT BURST BEGAN AROUND 0900 UTC THIS MORNING. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15.5N-17N BETWEEN 11W-133.5W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... THE SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION BUT MOST OF THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS W OF 140W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N90W 10N103W 10N110W 14N120W 14N130W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 108W-115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE N SEA OF CORTEZ AND BAJA PENINSULA HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND A LARGE VEIL OF HIGH LEVEL DEBRIS CLOUDS REMAINING N OF 25N BETWEEN 109W-116W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:18 2003 X-UIDL: 35141-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00LFFPGMY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:53:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFr0tR002087 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:53:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEN0lV037926; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFmqc9044296 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BFmp9d024109 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BFmp8b024106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Current Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111548.h7BFmp8b024106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN31 PHNC 111600 RRB CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112200Z6, 120400Z7, 121000Z4 AND 121600Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:22 2003 X-UIDL: 35142-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00LFZPGXY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:53:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFrFtR002173 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:53:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zqht024814; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFmqc9039116 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BFmp9d024108 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BFmp8j024104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111548.h7BFmp8j024104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 111600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 15.9N5 132.0W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 132.0W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.1N8 134.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.3N0 136.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.5N2 138.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.8N5 141.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111200Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.9N5 132.0W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1340 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111200Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:22 2003 X-UIDL: 35143-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IJYPHEN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:53:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFrVtR002259 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:53:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALIL0L045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82808 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFmpc9056908 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BFmp9d024107 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BFmpAM024102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:48:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111548.h7BFmpAM024102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 111600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 17.9N7 121.4W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 121.4W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.5N4 123.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 18.8N7 126.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 19.0N0 128.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.3N3 131.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.0N2 136.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111200Z5 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 121.4W8. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 650 NM WEST OF SOCORRO, ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111200Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112200Z6, 120400Z7, 121000Z4 AND 121600Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00LGLPHHY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:53:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFrYtR002279 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:53:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALIL0H045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:47:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82795 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:47:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFlhc9015078 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:47:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BFlg9d024068 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:47:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BFlgQ6024067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:47:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:47:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111547.h7BFlgQ6024067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 111600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 15.9N5 132.0W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 132.0W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.1N8 134.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.3N0 136.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.5N2 138.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.8N5 141.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111200Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.9N5 132.0W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1340 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111200Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112200Z6, 120400Z7, 121000Z4 AND 121600Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:24 2003 X-UIDL: 35145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IOFPLTN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:56:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFuAtR003049 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:56:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALIL0N045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82843 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFplc9016828 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BFpl9d024245 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BFpl7O024242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111551.h7BFpl7O024242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 111600 RRB --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.0N2 136.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111200Z5 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 121.4W8. TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 650 NM WEST OF SOCORRO, ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111200Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112200Z6, 120400Z7, 121000Z4 AND 121600Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:24 2003 X-UIDL: 35146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IPRPN3N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:57:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFuutR003272 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:56:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALIL0P045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BFpoc9029088 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BFpn9d024253 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BFpn4O024252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:51:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111551.h7BFpn4O024252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 111600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08E WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 17.9N7 121.4W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 121.4W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.5N4 123.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 18.8N7 126.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 19.0N0 128.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.3N3 131.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:28 2003 X-UIDL: 35149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00IIKRH3N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:36:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BGaRtR014716 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:36:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEN0qR037926; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:30:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 83210 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:29:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BGTkc9034642 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:29:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BGTj9d025378 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BGTjPI025377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 11:29:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111629.h7BGTjPI025377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 111629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1545 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 845 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:31 2003 X-UIDL: 35154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00ID9XCFN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 02:43:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BIhJtR046434 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 02:43:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEN03P037926; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:38:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 84652 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:37:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BIbGc9054266 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:37:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BIbG9d029316 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:37:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BIbGxM029314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:37:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:37:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111837.h7BIbGxM029314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:31 2003 X-UIDL: 35155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00LFZXJJY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 02:47:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BIlWtR047346 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 02:47:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEN03V037926; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:38:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 84655 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:37:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BIbHc9015092 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:37:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BIbG9d029317 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:37:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BIbG0V029315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:37:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:37:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111837.h7BIbG0V029315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z/121800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:32 2003 X-UIDL: 35156-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00LWQY90Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:03:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BJ2rtR050864 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:02:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALIL7H045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:57:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 84861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:57:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BIvic9025754 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:57:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BIvi9d029898 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:57:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BIvi6B029897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:57:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:57:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111857.h7BIvi6B029897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 111857 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1545 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 845 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:32 2003 X-UIDL: 35158-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00IU411SN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:03:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BK3KtR068717 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:03:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILA9045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:00:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 85938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:00:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BK03c9035894 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:00:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BK029d001892 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:00:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BK02as001891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:00:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:00:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308112000.h7BK02as001891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 111959 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON AUG 11 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER 960 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KONA HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED OVER THE CENTER OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:33 2003 X-UIDL: 35159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00ITY2EYN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:32:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BKWktR075606 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:32:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILBF045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:27:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 86230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:27:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BKRNc9025720 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:27:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BKRN9d002727 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BKRMSP002726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:27:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308112027.h7BKRMSP002726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 112027 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 THE CONVECTIVE BURST SEEN DURING THE MORNING HAS WEAKENED...LEAVING GUILLERMO AS A SWIRL OF LOW/MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IN A RAGGED BAND WEST OF THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KT BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND AFWA...ALONG WITH A RECENT SSM/I OVERPASS. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 275/13. THE CYCLONE IS CURRENTLY ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THE RIDGE TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF GUILLERMO AS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY TROUGH DIGS SOUTHWARD DURING THE FIRST 24-48 HR. GUILLERMO IS TOO FAR SOUTHWEST TO BE PICKED UP BY THE TROUGH...SO THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED. NHC TRACK GUIDANCE HAS SPREAD IN BOTH DIRECTION...BETWEEN NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST...AND SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...WHICH IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...IS DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE. THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS GUILLERMO OVER 25C-26C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...SO THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS DEPENDENT MAINLY ON THE VERTICAL SHEAR. THE CANADIAN MODEL FORECASTS STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES ALONG THE PATH OF THE CYCLONE...WHILE THE UKMET...THE NOGAPS...AND NOW THE GFS...HAVE A SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL SOMEWHAT COMPROMISE BETWEEN THESE TWO EXTREMES...CALLING FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING DUE TO SHEAR BUT ALLOWING FOR THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM TO LAST FOR 5 DAYS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE UKMET. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT ANY MOTION NORTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING GUILLERMO OVER COOLER WATER AND LET IT DISSIPATE EARLIER THAN CURRENT FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 16.2N 134.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 12/0600Z 16.4N 135.7W 25 KT 24HR VT 12/1800Z 16.7N 138.1W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 13/0600Z 16.9N 140.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 13/1800Z 17.2N 142.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 14/1800Z 18.0N 147.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 15/1800Z 18.5N 151.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 16/1800Z 18.5N 155.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:33 2003 X-UIDL: 35160-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00L8J2F7Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BKWxtR075650 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:33:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILBH045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:28:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 86242 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BKS3c9019436 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BKS39d002751 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BKS3pH002750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:28:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308112028.h7BKS3pH002750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 112027 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 2100Z MON AUG 11 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 134.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 134.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 133.5W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.4N 135.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.7N 138.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.9N 140.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.2N 142.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.0N 147.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 151.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 18.5N 155.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 134.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00IUI2FSN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:33:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BKXItR075712 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:33:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILBL045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 86252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BKT6c9038776 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BKT59d002789 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BKT5mv002788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308112029.h7BKT5mv002788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 112028 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 2100Z MON AUG 11 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 123.8W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 123.8W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 123.2W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.2N 125.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 19.6N 128.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.9N 130.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 20.2N 132.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.5N 137.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 142.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 123.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:35 2003 X-UIDL: 35162-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LC12IUY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:35:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BKZBtR076261 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:35:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zqr7024814; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 86255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BKT6c9025818 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BKT69d002792 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BKT5K3002791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:29:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308112029.h7BKT5K3002791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ43 KNHC 112028 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF HILDA HAS BECOME COMPLETELY EXPOSED WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. QUIKSCAT AND SSM/I DATA INDICATED THE WINDS WERE STILL 35 KT PRIOR TO 16Z...BUT THERE HAS BEEN CONSIDERABLE DECAY OF THE CLOUD PATTERN SINCE THAT TIME. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 30 KT BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 295/15. HILDA SHOULD MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST TOWARD A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS AND LOW-LEVEL STEERING BECOMES DOMINANT. THE FORECAST TRACK IS NUDGED A LITTLE TO THE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. HOWEVER...IT IS ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE. HILDA WILL BE MOVING INTO COLDER WATER AND INCREASING WESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY DECAY INTO A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW IN 24-36 HR. LARGE-SCALE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE THE REMNANTS OF HILDA BEFORE 120 HR...SO THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL DO LIKEWISE. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 18.8N 123.8W 30 KT 12HR VT 12/0600Z 19.2N 125.7W 25 KT 24HR VT 12/1800Z 19.6N 128.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 13/0600Z 19.9N 130.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 13/1800Z 20.2N 132.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 14/1800Z 20.5N 137.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 15/1800Z 20.5N 142.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:37 2003 X-UIDL: 35167-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00L5W6AXY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:56:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BLujtR094676 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:56:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zqtv024814; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:51:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 87207 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:51:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BLpPc9044448 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:51:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BLpP9d005021 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:51:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BLpO5S005020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:51:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:51:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308112151.h7BLpO5S005020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 112151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 11 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..HILDA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. IT IS CENTERED NEAR 18.8N 123.8W AT 11/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/ WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO IS CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 134.0W AT 11/2100 UTC MOVING W 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED W OF 140W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL ALONG 83W N OF 3N TO SE COSTA RICA MOVING W 10 KT. THIS IS A WEAK WAVE WITH ITCZ-RELATED CONVECTION ONLY. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W/93W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N93W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W/105W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A LOW PRESSURE AREA MAY BE FORMING ON THE WAVE NEAR 11N WITH SOME BANDING FEATURES ATTEMPTING TO ORGANIZE WITH SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION. A BAND OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 14N104W 14.5N107W 13N109W WITH ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N104W. ..RIDGE AXIS ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 31N129W AND EXTENDS SE TO JUST SW OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 23N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM HILDA... MOST OF THE CONVECTION IN HILDA HAS DISSIPATED... LEAVING AN EXPOSED CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 120W-123W. NOW THAT THERE APPEARS TO BE LITTLE CHANCE OF INTENSIFICATION IT IS INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT THERE STILL HAVE NOT BEEN ANY HURRICANES IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THIS IS THE LATEST THAT THE E PAC HAS GONE WITHOUT A HURRICANE IN ANY SEASON SINCE RELIABLE RECORDS BEGAN IN 1966. THIS ECLIPSES THE OLD LATEST HURRICANE RECORD OF AUGUST 8 1968. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... GUILLERMO IS PRODUCING INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR AND TO THE W OF THE CENTER. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N135W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N103W 8N110W 14N119W 14N125W 11N137 14N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS E OF 84W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W-118W AND BETWEEN 125W-135W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 107W-110W. THIS AREA HAS MOSTLY HIGH-LEVEL DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM EARLIER CONVECTION. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N96W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:37 2003 X-UIDL: 35168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00L7C6DLY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:58:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BLwQtR095007 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:58:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILFT045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:55:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 87312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:55:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BLtpc9053190 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BLtp9d005095 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BLtpgo005094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:55:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308112155.h7BLtpgo005094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 112155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 11N140W 11N158W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF POINT 09N170W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT THROUGH 30N170W 28N174W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 26N180. FRONT MOVED EAST 5-10 KT. SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S173W 22S180 MOVED EAST 15-20 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 100-120 NM OF LINE 25S165W 18S180 PRECEDES THE FRONT LIES BENEATH A NORTHWESTERLY JET STREAM. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... AREA OF SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50-70 NM OF LINE 12S164W 15S165W 08S172W MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08S151W 08S157W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35169-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LUI71XY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 06:13:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BMCrtR098137 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 06:12:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZquN024814; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 17:04:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 87412 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 17:04:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BM4Pc9054062 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 17:04:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BM4O9d005304 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 17:04:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BM4OOP005303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 17:04:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 17:04:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308112204.h7BM4OOP005303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 112204 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1625 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 935 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A WELL-ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 545 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LOZD3MY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:23:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C0NVtR024817 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:23:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILKr045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:21:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 88542 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:21:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C0LNc9048842 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:21:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C0LM9d007176 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:21:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C0LMth007175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:21:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:21:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120021.h7C0LMth007175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 120021 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 2100Z MON AUG 11 2003 ADVISORY RE-TRANSMITTED DUE TO NETWORK COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEM TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 134.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 134.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 133.5W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.4N 135.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.7N 138.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.9N 140.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.2N 142.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.0N 147.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 151.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 18.5N 155.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 134.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:39 2003 X-UIDL: 35172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LSID6BY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:25:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C0PAtR025081 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:25:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILKp045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:20:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 88537 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:20:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C0KMc9034400 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:20:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C0KL9d007151 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:20:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C0KLPU007150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:20:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:20:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120020.h7C0KLPU007150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 120020 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 ADVISORY RE-TRANSMITTED DUE TO NETWORK COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEMS THE CONVECTIVE BURST SEEN DURING THE MORNING HAS WEAKENED...LEAVING GUILLERMO AS A SWIRL OF LOW/MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IN A RAGGED BAND WEST OF THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KT BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND AFWA...ALONG WITH A RECENT SSM/I OVERPASS. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 275/13. THE CYCLONE IS CURRENTLY ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THE RIDGE TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF GUILLERMO AS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY TROUGH DIGS SOUTHWARD DURING THE FIRST 24-48 HR. GUILLERMO IS TOO FAR SOUTHWEST TO BE PICKED UP BY THE TROUGH...SO THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED. NHC TRACK GUIDANCE HAS SPREAD IN BOTH DIRECTION...BETWEEN NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST...AND SPEED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...WHICH IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...IS DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE. THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS GUILLERMO OVER 25C-26C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES...SO THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS DEPENDENT MAINLY ON THE VERTICAL SHEAR. THE CANADIAN MODEL FORECASTS STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES ALONG THE PATH OF THE CYCLONE...WHILE THE UKMET...THE NOGAPS...AND NOW THE GFS...HAVE A SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL SOMEWHAT COMPROMISE BETWEEN THESE TWO EXTREMES...CALLING FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING DUE TO SHEAR BUT ALLOWING FOR THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM TO LAST FOR 5 DAYS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE UKMET. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT ANY MOTION NORTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING GUILLERMO OVER COOLER WATER AND LET IT DISSIPATE EARLIER THAN CURRENT FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 16.2N 134.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 12/0600Z 16.4N 135.7W 25 KT 24HR VT 12/1800Z 16.7N 138.1W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 13/0600Z 16.9N 140.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 13/1800Z 17.2N 142.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 14/1800Z 18.0N 147.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 15/1800Z 18.5N 151.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 16/1800Z 18.5N 155.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:39 2003 X-UIDL: 35173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LT2D6IY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:25:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C0PHtR025109 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:25:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqxV024814; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:22:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 88545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:22:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C0Lqc9033938 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:21:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C0Lp9d007185 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:21:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C0LpWr007184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:21:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:21:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120021.h7C0LpWr007184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ43 KNHC 120021 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 ADVISORY RE-TRANSMITTED DUE TO NETWORK COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF HILDA HAS BECOME COMPLETELY EXPOSED WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. QUIKSCAT AND SSM/I DATA INDICATED THE WINDS WERE STILL 35 KT PRIOR TO 16Z...BUT THERE HAS BEEN CONSIDERABLE DECAY OF THE CLOUD PATTERN SINCE THAT TIME. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 30 KT BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 295/15. HILDA SHOULD MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST TOWARD A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS AND LOW-LEVEL STEERING BECOMES DOMINANT. THE FORECAST TRACK IS NUDGED A LITTLE TO THE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. HOWEVER...IT IS ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE. HILDA WILL BE MOVING INTO COLDER WATER AND INCREASING WESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY DECAY INTO A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW IN 24-36 HR. LARGE-SCALE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE THE REMNANTS OF HILDA BEFORE 120 HR...SO THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL DO LIKEWISE. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 11/2100Z 18.8N 123.8W 30 KT 12HR VT 12/0600Z 19.2N 125.7W 25 KT 24HR VT 12/1800Z 19.6N 128.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 13/0600Z 19.9N 130.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 13/1800Z 20.2N 132.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 14/1800Z 20.5N 137.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 15/1800Z 20.5N 142.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:40 2003 X-UIDL: 35174-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LU2D78Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:25:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C0PftR025169 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:25:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILKt045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:22:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 88552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:22:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C0MQc9048860 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:22:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C0MQ9d007190 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:22:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C0MQes007189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:22:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 19:22:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120022.h7C0MQes007189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 120022 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 2100Z MON AUG 11 2003 ADVISORY RE-TRANSMITTED DUE TO NETWORK COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEM TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 123.8W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 123.8W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 123.2W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 19.2N 125.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 19.6N 128.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.9N 130.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 20.2N 132.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.5N 137.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 142.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 123.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:44 2003 X-UIDL: 35180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LKBHNWY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:02:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C22CtR048015 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:02:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILOL045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 20:59:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 89504 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 20:59:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C1xTc9056836 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 20:59:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C1xT9d008107 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 20:59:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C1xT88008106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 20:59:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 20:59:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120159.h7C1xT88008106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 120159 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON AUG 11 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER 910 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDING THIS SYSTEM HAVE DIMINISHED. BUT THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KONA HAS LOST MUCH OF ITS THUNDERSTORMS AND WEAKENED. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:45 2003 X-UIDL: 35181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LG8I7LY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:14:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C2E2tR050778 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:14:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zq1r024814; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 89599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C28nc9056892 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C28m9d008262 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C28mKD008261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120208.h7C28mKD008261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 120208 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF HILDA REMAINS COMPLETELY EXPOSED...ALTHOUGH THE CIRCULATION APPEARS TO HAVE TIGHTENED UP A LITTLE. SOME MODERATE CONVECTION STILL EXISTS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT...BUT THAT MAY BE SHORT-LIVED. HOWEVER...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 30 KT BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KT...T2.0...FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB...AND THE TIGHTER APPEARING CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/12. HILDA HAS ACTUALLY BEEN MOVING AT 260/15 BETWEEN 18-23Z. HOWEVER...THE MOTION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS HAS BEEN DUE WEST AND THAT DIRECTION WAS USED FOR THIS ADVISORY. HILDA IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND BECOME MORE SHALLOW IN THE VERTICAL AND...THEREFORE...BE STEERED MORE WESTERLY BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL HIGH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS DUE TO THE MORE SOUTHERLY INITIAL POSITION ..BUT THEN CATCHES UP WITH THE PREVIOUS TRACK BY 96 HOURS. THIS SCENARIO IS CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE GFDL...GFS...GFS ENSEMBLE ..UKMET...AND NOGAPS MODELS. HILDA WILL BE MOVING OVER SUB-25C SST WATER IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND ALSO UNDERNEATH 30 KT OR MORE WESTERLY SHEAR BY 36 HOURS. IN ADDITION...MOST IF NOT ALL OF THE WARM SOUTHERLY INFLOW NOW APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN CUT OFF BY THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...WHICH HAS RE-DEVELOPED SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE ALONG 14-15N LATITUDE. THEREFORE...RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND HILDA IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW BY 36 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 18.4N 125.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 12/1200Z 18.5N 127.3W 25 KT 24HR VT 13/0000Z 18.9N 129.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 13/1200Z 19.2N 131.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 14/0000Z 19.6N 134.4W 30 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 15/0000Z 20.0N 139.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 16/0000Z 20.0N 144.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:45 2003 X-UIDL: 35182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LGJI7PY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:14:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C2E5tR050787 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:14:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILOZ045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 89605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C29Wc9030472 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C29W9d008280 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C29WZ6008279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120209.h7C29WZ6008279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 120209 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 A FEW BURSTS OF CONVECTION DEVELOPED OVER THE CENTER BETWEEN 21-23Z ..BUT SINCE THEN THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED. HOWEVER...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BEING MAINTAINED AT 30 KT BASED ON THE PRESENCE OF TWO INTERLOCKING BANDS OF MODERATE CONVECTION LOCATED NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE ALSO 30 KT...OR T2.0...FROM TAFB AND AFWA. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS 275/13. GUILLERMO IS EMBEDDED IN MODERATE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS CLOSE TO A BLEND OF THE GFS...GFS ENSEMBLE...GFDL...NOGAPS...AND UKMET MODELS...AND BRINGS THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION TO WITHIN ABOUT 60 NMI SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII BY 120 HOURS. WHILE THE NEW FORECAST TRACK KEEPS GUILLERMO OVER 26C SSTS A LITTLE LONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS STILL EXPECTED DUE TO INCREASING WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR OF 20-25 KT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN ADDITION...THE WARM SOUTHERLY INFLOW APPEARS TO BE CUT OFF NOW BY THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE THAT HAS REDEVELOPED SOUTH OF THE CYCLONE ALONG 12-13N LATITUDE. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS MUCH LOWER THAN THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL...WHICH BRINGS GUILLERMO BACK UP TO 51 KT IN 120 HOURS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0300Z 16.4N 135.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 12/1200Z 16.5N 137.2W 25 KT 24HR VT 13/0000Z 16.7N 139.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 13/1200Z 16.9N 141.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 14/0000Z 17.1N 144.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 15/0000Z 17.5N 148.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 16/0000Z 17.5N 152.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 17/0000Z 18.0N 156.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:46 2003 X-UIDL: 35183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LJDI8WY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:14:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C2EntR050928 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:14:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILOX045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 89596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C28mc9035834 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C28m9d008257 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C28m8d008256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:08:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120208.h7C28m8d008256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 120208 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 0300Z TUE AUG 12 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 125.5W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 125.5W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 124.9W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.5N 127.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.9N 129.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.2N 131.9W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.6N 134.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.0N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 20.0N 144.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 125.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:46 2003 X-UIDL: 35184-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LK0I92Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:15:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C2EttR050950 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:14:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zq1t024814; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 89602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C29Ec9030718 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C29E9d008273 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C29EjG008272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:09:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120209.h7C29EjG008272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 120208 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0300Z TUE AUG 12 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 135.5W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 135.5W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 134.9W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.5N 137.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.7N 139.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.9N 141.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 17.1N 144.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.5N 148.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 17.5N 152.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 18.0N 156.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 135.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:49 2003 X-UIDL: 35191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00L86N5XY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:01:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C40vtR077275 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:00:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILQJ045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:57:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 90225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:57:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C3v1c9056524 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:57:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C3v19d009160 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:57:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C3v1Ra009159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:57:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:57:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120357.h7C3v1Ra009159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 120356 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 12 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 18.4N 125.5W AT 12/0300 UTC MOVING W 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO IS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N 135.5W AT 12/0300 UTC MOVING W 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W/94W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N131W TO 26N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA... LOW LEVEL CENTER IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED TO THE NW OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16.5N122.5W TO 18N124W. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... GUILLERMO HAS LOST ALL ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN/ OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS COVER THE AREA FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 130W AND 135W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N95W 11N110W 13N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 138W TO 141W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 131W...WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 85W...WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 117W...WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 117W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 104W AND WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 136W 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N TO 10N AND ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 88W TO 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N81.5W TO INLAND OVER PANAMA NEAR 8.5N82.5W...WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 87W TO 88W...AND INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER W MEXICO WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 24N TO 28N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:47:32 2003 X-UIDL: 35196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00L4ROW9Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:38:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C4cQtR085264 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:38:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILQv045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:35:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 90456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:35:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C4ZXc9037184 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:35:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C4ZW9d009516 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:35:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C4ZWkn009515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:35:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:35:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120435.h7C4ZWkn009515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 120435 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS GUILLERMO AND HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 1720 AND 1050 MILES...RESPECTIVELY...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF OF DISTURBED WEATHER SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:47:33 2003 X-UIDL: 35198-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LD9P02Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:40:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C4eftR085735 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:40:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILR3045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:38:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 90468 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C4ccc9034610 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:38:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C4cb9d009541 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:38:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C4cbIx009540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:38:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:38:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120438.h7C4cbIx009540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 120400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 16.3N0 134.9W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 134.9W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.5N2 137.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.7N4 139.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.9N6 141.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120000Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 134.9W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 780 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121000Z4, 121600Z0, 122200Z7 AND 130400Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:47:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LJ4P37Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:42:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C4gYtR086069 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:42:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C0fQsl037926; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 90484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C4ekc9057090 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C4ek9d009572 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C4ekYJ009569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120440.h7C4ekYJ009569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 120400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 18.4N3 124.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 124.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 18.5N4 127.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.9N8 129.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.2N2 131.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS:120000Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 134.9W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1730 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121000Z4, 121600Z0, 122200Z7 AND 130400Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:47:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LREP7PY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:45:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C4jItR086626 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:45:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILR7045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 90481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C4ekc9048656 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C4ek9d009573 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C4ekr6009571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:40:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120440.h7C4ekr6009571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 120400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 16.3N0 134.9W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 134.9W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.5N2 137.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.7N4 139.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.9N6 141.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120000Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 134.9W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 780 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121000Z4, 121600Z0, 122200Z7 AND 130400Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:47:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LRLP7QY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:45:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C4jJtR086630 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 12:45:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILRD045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:43:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 90508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:43:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C4hic9019832 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:43:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C4hh9d009594 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:43:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C4hhpE009593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:43:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 23:43:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120443.h7C4hhpE009593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 120400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 18.4N3 124.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 124.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 18.5N4 127.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.9N8 129.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.2N2 131.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS:120000Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 134.9W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1730 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121000Z4, 121600Z0, 122200Z7 AND 130400Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 14:42:29 2003 X-UIDL: 35206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LKRSZAY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 14:06:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C66dtR005625 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 14:06:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zq41024814; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C5w4c9018216 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C5w09d010297 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C5w0qs010295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120558.h7C5w0qs010295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 16:05:07 2003 X-UIDL: 35216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LXXY8DY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:00:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C805tR031210 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:00:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILUj045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 02:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 02:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C7jmc9033978 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 02:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C7jm9d011106 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 02:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C7jl8M011105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 02:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 02:45:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120745.h7C7jl8M011105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPN50 PHFO 120745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON AUG 11 2003 AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 MPH. THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE REMAIN RATHER DISORGANIZED AND HAVE FLUCTUATED IN INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...HAWAII AND IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST. THIS AREA HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH IT THAT HAVE FLUCTUATED IN INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 16:39:36 2003 X-UIDL: 35220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LFHZU3Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:34:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C8YjtR040528 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:34:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILV5045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91667 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C8U3c9038010 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C8U29d011616 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C8U2KB011614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120830.h7C8U2KB011614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 120829 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 0900Z TUE AUG 12 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 126.9W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 126.9W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 126.2W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.6N 128.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.0N 131.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.3N 133.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.6N 136.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.0N 140.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 20.0N 145.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 126.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 16:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 35221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LGEZUEY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:35:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C8YqtR040579 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:34:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zq4T024814; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C8UYc9019872 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C8UY9d011629 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C8UXIx011627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120830.h7C8UXIx011627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 120829 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 0900Z TUE AUG 12 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 137.2W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 137.2W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 136.5W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.4N 139.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.5N 141.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.5N 144.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.5N 146.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N 150.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 16.5N 154.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 16.0N 157.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 137.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 16:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 35222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LGIZUFY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:35:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C8YvtR040595 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:34:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C5VTi3048862; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C8U3c9039084 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C8U29d011615 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C8U2Jk011613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120830.h7C8U2Jk011613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ43 KNHC 120829 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 HILDA IS STILL GENERATING CONVECTION IN ITS SOUTHEAST QUADRANT...BUT NO CLOSER THAN 75 NM FROM THE CENTER. HOWEVER...THIS IS APPARENTLY ENOUGH TO KEEP THE WINDS JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS THAT WINDS ARE STILL AT OR ABOVE 30 KT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT HILDA IS UNDER WESTERLY SHEAR THAT WILL CONTINUE AND IN FACT STRENGTHEN FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HILDA WILL ALSO BE MOVING OVER SUB-25C SST WATER IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...AND THE CYCLONE IS CUT OFF FROM ANY WARM SOUTHERLY INFLOW. AS A RESULT...WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND HILDA SHOULD DEGENERATE INTO A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW WITHIN 24-36 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/14. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MERELY UPDATES THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. MOST GUIDANCE IS NORTH OF...AND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SHALLOW BAM MODEL...FASTER THAN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE GUIDANCE IS PROBABLY RESPONDING TO A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY NEAR 135W. GIVEN THE LIMITED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE...IT IS DOUBTFUL THAT HILDA WILL INTERACT SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THIS TROUGH. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0900Z 18.3N 126.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 12/1800Z 18.6N 128.8W 30 KT 24HR VT 13/0600Z 19.0N 131.1W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 13/1800Z 19.3N 133.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 14/0600Z 19.6N 136.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 15/0600Z 20.0N 140.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 16/0600Z 20.0N 145.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 16:39:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LH0ZULY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:35:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C8Z3tR040632 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:35:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILV7045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C8UYc9014604 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C8UY9d011628 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C8UXg9011625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:30:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120830.h7C8UXg9011625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 120829 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 GUILLERMO CONTINUES TO GENERATE SMALL AMOUNTS OF CONVECTION BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. GIVEN THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT EVEN THOUGH THE SATELLITE NUMBERS DO NOT QUITE SUPPORT THAT MUCH WIND. THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS MISSED THE CYCLONE. THE CENTER IS NOT VISIBLE IN EITHER IR OR SHORTWAVE IR IMAGERY...BUT A MICROWAVE PASS SUGGESTS THE CENTER IS BASICALLY ON TRACK. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/14. GUILLERMO IS EMBEDDED IN A LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...AND THIS BASIC PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED A BIT SOUTHWARD COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS SUITE OF MODELS. COMPLICATING THE TRACK FORECAST ARE ACTIVE DISTURBANCES IN THE ITCZ TO THE SOUTHWEST OF GUILLERMO. THE GFS AND NOGAPS TAKE GUILLERMO...OR ITS REMNANTS...RAPIDLY AROUND THE NORTH SIDE OF THE ITCZ DISTURBANCES...WHILE THE UKMET MAINTAINS SEPARATION BETWEEN THE SYSTEMS AND HAS A MUCH SLOWER MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY IN FAVORING THE FORMER SOLUTION... ALTHOUGH IT HAS BEEN SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SOMETHING OF A DILEMMA. THE CYCLONE IS CURRENTLY UNDER WESTERLY SHEAR AND THIS SHOULD PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS OR SO. AFTER THAT HOWEVER...GUILLERMO COULD FIND ITSELF UNDER AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE AND OVER WATERS STILL NEAR 26C. THE SHIPS MODEL GRADUALLY STRENGTHENS GUILLERMO AND MAKES IT A HURRICANE IN 108 HOURS. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE ENVIRONMENTAL THERMODYNAMICS ARE NOT FAVORABLE...AS THE WARM SOUTHERLY INFLOW APPEARS TO BE CUT OFF NOW BY THE AFOREMENTIONED ITCZ DISTURBANCES. FOR THE TIME BEING...I AM MAINTAINING CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTS...PRESUMING THAT THE THERMODYNAMICS WILL PREVAIL AND GUILLERMO WILL SOON LOSE TO ITS COMPETITORS TO THE SOUTH. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/0900Z 16.3N 137.2W 30 KT 12HR VT 12/1800Z 16.4N 139.1W 25 KT 24HR VT 13/0600Z 16.5N 141.7W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 13/1800Z 16.5N 144.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 14/0600Z 16.5N 146.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 15/0600Z 16.5N 150.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 16/0600Z 16.5N 154.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 17/0600Z 16.0N 157.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 18:40:41 2003 X-UIDL: 35231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI00LB43BBY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 17:49:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C9nitR058646 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 17:49:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILVT045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:44:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91868 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:44:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C9iOc9030640 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:44:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C9iO9d012140 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:44:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C9iO59012139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:44:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:44:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120944.h7C9iO59012139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 120944 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 12 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 126.9W AT 12/0900 UTC MOVING W 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO IS CENTERED NEAR 16.3N 137.2W AT 12/0900 UTC MOVING W 14 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W/86W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 123W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO 25N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA... LOW LEVEL CENTER REMAINS COMPLETELY EXPOSED TO THE NW OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N123W TO 18N126W. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... DEEP CONVECTION HAS REGENERATED TO THE S OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 15.5N138W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N94W 13N108W 11N116W 13N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 97W AND FROM 106W TO 110W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO FROM 90W TO 96W...INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 27N TO 30N...WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 5N...AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 9N TO 10N. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N96W TO 14N100W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 18:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 35234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI00L3Q3SAY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:00:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CA00tR060663 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:00:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILVX045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C9tac9035598 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C9ta9d012194 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C9tamQ012193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120955.h7C9tamQ012193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 120955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11.7N 144.5W AT 12/1000 UTC HAD ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 160 NM IN THE NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE THAT MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N158W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM THAT MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N155W 09N150W 05N158W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 27N171W 25N177W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11S165W 16S165W 14S171W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 11S173W 07S180 02S172E AND MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 18:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 35236-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI00LIV4M3Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:18:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CAHstR064335 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:17:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILVj045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91910 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CAF2c9057732 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CAF19d012385 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CAF1Gw012384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121015.h7CAF1Gw012384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 121014 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1190 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 1135 MILES...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 18:40:47 2003 X-UIDL: 35237-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI00LNB4OFY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:19:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CAJGtR064685 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:19:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILVh045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:14:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:14:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CAENc9026812 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:14:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CAEM9d012378 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:14:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CAEMEW012377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:14:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:14:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121014.h7CAEMEW012377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 121000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 18.3N2 126.9W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 126.9W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.6N5 128.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.0N0 131.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.3N3 133.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120600Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 126.9W8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1200 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081206Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121600Z0, 122200Z7, 130400Z8 AND 131000Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 18:40:47 2003 X-UIDL: 35238-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI00LR44PLY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:20:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CAK3tR064919 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:20:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILVl045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CAFQc9026838 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CAFQ9d012393 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CAFQnt012392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:15:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121015.h7CAFQnt012392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 121000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 16.3N0 136.5W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 136.5W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.4N1 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.5N2 141.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.5N2 144.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120600Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 136.5W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121600Z0, 122200Z7, 130400Z8 AND 131000Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 18:40:47 2003 X-UIDL: 35239-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI00LXH4RVY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:21:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CALPtR065405 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:21:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zq4n024814; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:16:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91921 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:16:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CAGWc9057752 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:16:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CAGW9d012410 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:16:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CAGW2X012409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:16:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:16:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121016.h7CAGW2X012409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 121000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 18.3N2 126.9W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 126.9W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.6N5 128.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.0N0 131.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.3N3 133.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120600Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 126.9W8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1200 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081206Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121600Z0, 122200Z7, 130400Z8 AND 131000Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 18:40:48 2003 X-UIDL: 35240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI00L074SXY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:22:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CAM3tR065586 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 18:22:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILVp045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:17:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:17:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CAHYc9037260 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CAHX9d012426 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CAHXWq012425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 05:17:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121017.h7CAHXWq012425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 121000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 16.3N0 136.5W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 136.5W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.4N1 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.5N2 141.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.5N2 144.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120600Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 136.5W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121600Z0, 122200Z7, 130400Z8 AND 131000Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:20 2003 X-UIDL: 35248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006ZYF0Z3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:02:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CE2otR014597 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:02:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILZZ045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:58:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 92892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:58:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CDwac9030560 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:58:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CDwZ9d015600 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:58:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CDwZQQ015599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:58:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 08:58:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121358.h7CDwZQQ015599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 121358 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE AUG 12 2003 AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ABOUT 870 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE REMAINS RATHER POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER MUCH WEAKER TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...HAWAII AND IT IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. THIS AREA HAS ALMOST NO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH IT. NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITHIN THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:22 2003 X-UIDL: 35251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006VJGS03B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:40:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CEedtR025063 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:40:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILa5045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:35:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 93096 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:35:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CEZRc9019946 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:35:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CEZQ9d016694 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:35:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CEZQRu016693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:35:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:35:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121435.h7CEZQRu016693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 121435 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 1500Z TUE AUG 12 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 128.0W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 128.0W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 127.4W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.1N 129.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.5N 132.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.9N 134.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.1N 136.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.3N 140.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 128.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z FORECASTER PETERSEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI0067QGYK3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:44:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CEictR026330 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:44:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILaD045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:41:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 93126 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:41:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CEfAc9040986 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:41:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CEfA9d016864 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:41:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CEf9gV016863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:41:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121441.h7CEf9gV016863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 121440 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 1500Z TUE AUG 12 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 138.3W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.5N 141.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.7N 144.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.7N 146.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.7N 149.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.7N 152.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 16.5N 155.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 16.5N 159.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 139.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA/BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006A2H0K3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:45:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CEjntR026623 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:45:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILa9045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:38:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 93112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:38:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CEcGc9020556 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:38:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CEcF9d016768 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:38:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CEcFlY016767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:38:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:38:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121438.h7CEcFlY016767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 121437 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 8 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 HILDA IS STILL GENERATING CONVECTION EAST OF THE CENTER...BUT IS VOID OF CONVECTION ELSEWHERE SURROUNDING THE CENTER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY SINCE THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION REMAINS SIMILAR. SEA SURFACE TEMP ANALYSES INDICATE PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATER ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK (MID 20S C IF THE TRACK IS ON TARGET). CONSEQUENTLY...WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AND HILDA SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 24-36 HOURS. THE MODEL FORECASTS AGREE WITH SCENARIO AND NEITHER THE UKMET NOR GFS INDICATE A CLEARLY IDENTIFIABLE CLOSED CIRCULATION BEYOND 36 HOURS. THE MOTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS HAS BEEN ABOUT 285/12. THE MODELS AGREE HILDA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST UNDER A LARGE DEEP LAYER ANTICYCLONE CURRENTLY NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST USES A BLEND OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...CONTINUITY...AND THE GFS AND UKMET FORECASTS...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWRDS THE WEST AS THE LOW MOVES ALMOST DUE SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE ANTICYCLONE. FORECASTER PETERSEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1500Z 18.6N 128.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 13/0000Z 19.1N 129.9W 25 KT 24HR VT 13/1200Z 19.5N 132.0W 25 KT 36HR VT 14/0000Z 19.9N 134.2W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 14/1200Z 20.1N 136.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 15/1200Z 20.3N 140.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:24 2003 X-UIDL: 35254-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006W2HFI3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:54:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CEsktR028916 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:54:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILaB045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:40:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 93123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:40:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CEeic9020680 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:40:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CEeh9d016844 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:40:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CEeh77016843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:40:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:40:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121440.h7CEeh77016843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 121440 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION OF GUILLERMO. BECAUSE OF THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT EVEN THOUGH THE SATELLITE NUMBERS ARE SLIGHTLY LOWER. THE CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN IR IMAGERY AND THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY RECENT MICROWAVE DATA. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT GUILLERMO BASICALLY REMAINS ON TRACK...PERHAPS IT IS MOVING SLIGHTLY FASTER. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 275/15. GUILLERMO IS EMBEDDED IN A LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...AND THIS BASIC PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...BUT A LITTLE FASTER DURING THE FIRST 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS SOMEWHAT TRICKY. GUILLERMO IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER WATER AROUND 26C. HOWEVER...THE CYCLONE IS CURRENTLY UNDER NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR BUT...THE GFS INDICATES THE SHEAR WILL RELAX. THE SHIPS MODEL IS FORECASTING THE CYCLONE TO RESTRENGTHEN. BUT...AS MENTION IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS...IT APPEARS THAT THE SOUTHERLY INFLOW INTO GUILLERMO IS BEING CUT OFF BY SEVERAL ITCZ DISTURBANCES. THEREFORE...THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY FORECAST WILL BE MAINTAINED...PRESUMING THAT GUILLERMO WILL LOSE TO ITS COMPETITORS. FORECASTER AVILA/BROWN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/1500Z 16.4N 139.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 13/0000Z 16.5N 141.4W 25 KT 24HR VT 13/1200Z 16.7N 144.1W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 14/0000Z 16.7N 146.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 14/1200Z 16.7N 149.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 15/1200Z 16.7N 152.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 16/1200Z 16.5N 155.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 17/1200Z 16.5N 159.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:26 2003 X-UIDL: 35258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006PHJNX3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:43:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CFh0tR040521 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:43:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILbp045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:38:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 93591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CFcdc9037152 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CFcc9d018755 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:38:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CFccFL018754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:38:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:38:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121538.h7CFccFL018754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 121538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 12 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 18.6N 128.0W AT 12/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO IS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N 139.1W AT 12/1500 UTC MOVING W 15 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W/87W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WHAT LITTLE BIT OF CONVECTION THAT ACCOMPANIED THE WAVE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA HAS DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS REMAINING. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND ALONG THE S COAST OF GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 12N90W-16N96W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W/109W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF SLOW ORGANIZATION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 107W-111W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 123W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO 25N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1515 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA... THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS EXPOSED TO THE NW OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 125W-127W. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE WITH A SMALL AREA OF DEEP REMAINING TO THE S OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14.5N-16N BETWEEN 138W-140W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 12N108W 6N120W 13N135W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 77W-80W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 110W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:27 2003 X-UIDL: 35260-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006KXLVP3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:31:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CGUitR052036 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:30:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wct045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:25:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 94026 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:25:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CGPfc9037170 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:25:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CGPf9d020349 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:25:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CGPfKN020348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:25:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:25:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121625.h7CGPfKN020348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 121625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1075 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII...AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 1205 MILES...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:27 2003 X-UIDL: 35261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006NMLX83B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:31:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CGVntR052285 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:31:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wcp045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 94009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CGNpc9029968 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CGNp9d020282 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CGNpYK020281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121623.h7CGNpYK020281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN32 PHNC 121600 RRB 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122200Z7, 130400Z8, 131000Z5 AND 131600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:28 2003 X-UIDL: 35262-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006PVLYN3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:32:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CGWetR052484 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:32:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zq9j024814; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:21:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 93987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:21:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CGLoc9038064 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:21:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CGLo9d020218 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:21:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CGLoTu020217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:21:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:21:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121621.h7CGLoTu020217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 121600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 18.4N3 127.4W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 127.4W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 19.1N1 129.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.5N5 132.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.9N9 134.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.1N3 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121200Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 127.4W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1180 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122200Z7, 130400Z8, 131000Z5 AND 131600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:28 2003 X-UIDL: 35264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006UTM3M3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:35:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CGZdtR053027 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:35:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wcr045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 94012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CGNsc9010204 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CGNs9d020288 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CGNsEW020287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 11:23:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121623.h7CGNsEW020287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 121600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 18.4N3 127.4W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 127.4W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 19.1N1 129.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.5N5 132.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.9N9 134.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.1N3 136.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121200Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 127.4W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1180 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:35 2003 X-UIDL: 35273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006O4RPO3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 02:37:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CIagtR080331 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 02:36:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wfr045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 95000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CIVJc9025728 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CIVJ9d024211 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CIVITS024209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121831.h7CIVITS024209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800ZAUG2003/131800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/COOK/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:35 2003 X-UIDL: 35274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006R6RRH3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 02:38:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CIbwtR080632 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 02:37:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqBJ024814; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 95003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CIVJc9036890 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CIVJ9d024212 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CIVJbt024210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 13:31:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121831.h7CIVJbt024210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800ZAUG2003/131800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/COOK/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:37 2003 X-UIDL: 35278-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006YXVAF3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:54:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CJs7tR098366 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:54:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Whp045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 14:49:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 95672 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 14:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CJnNc9041210 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 14:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CJnM9d026713 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 14:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CJnMS3026712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 14:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 14:49:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121949.h7CJnMS3026712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 121948 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE AUG 12 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. GUILLERMO IS FORECAST TO CROSS INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY TODAY. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ABOUT 895 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. LITTLE MOVEMENT HAS BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:37 2003 X-UIDL: 35280-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI0063NWIK3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:20:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKKZtR004788 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:20:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WjB045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKGLc9044292 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CKGK9d027739 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CKGKKH027738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308122016.h7CKGKKH027738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ42 KNHC 122016 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 VISIBLE IMAGERY HAS REVEALED THAT GUILLERMO IS NOW A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF CONVECTION. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE LOWERED TO 25 KT...WHICH IS IN LINE WITH THE LASTEST DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. GUILLERMO CONTINUES ON TRACK AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 270/15. THE CYCLONE REMAINS EMBEDDED IN A LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STEERING GUILLERMO GENERALLY WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...THE GFS INDICATES THAT THE CYCLONE COULD TURN MORE SOUTHWEST AND MERGE WITH THE ITCZ DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF GUILLERMO. GUILLERMO IS EXPECT TO CONTINUE WEAKENING. THE CURRENT FORECAST INCLUDES FORECAST POINTS FOR THE REMNANT LOW THROUGH 120 HOURS. HOWEVER...IF GUILLERMO MERGES WITH THE ABOVEMENTIONED ITCZ DISTURBANCE...DISSIPATION WOULD OCCUR MUCH SOONER. SINCE THE CENTER HAS CROSSED 140W LONGITUDE...THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON GUILLERMO. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU. FORECASTER AVILA/BROWN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 16.3N 140.6W 25 KT 12HR VT 13/0600Z 16.3N 143.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 13/1800Z 16.3N 145.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 14/0600Z 16.2N 148.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 14/1800Z 16.1N 150.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 15/1800Z 16.0N 153.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 16/1800Z 16.0N 157.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 17/1800Z 16.0N 160.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI0064IWJC3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:21:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKL6tR004914 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:21:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WjF045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKGrc9034492 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CKGr9d027758 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CKGrHd027757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:16:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308122016.h7CKGrHd027757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ22 KNHC 122016 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072003 2100Z TUE AUG 12 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 140.6W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 140.6W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 139.8W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.3N 143.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.3N 145.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N 148.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.1N 150.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.0N 153.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 16.0N 157.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 16.0N 160.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 140.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON GUILLERMO. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU. NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA/BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006QPX3J3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:33:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKXCtR008216 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wjh045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKTHc9034312 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CKTG9d028164 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CKTGgn028163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308122029.h7CKTGgn028163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 122028 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 CONVECTION ON THE EAST-SOUTHEAST SIDE OF HILDA HAS CEASED PROGRESSING TOWARDS THE CENTER SINCE THIS MORNING. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 25 KNOTS BASED ON QUIKSCAT DATA AND DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH SAB AND TAFB. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANALYSES INDICATE PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATER ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...ON THE ORDER OF 25-26C. THIS...ALONG WITH THE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL WINDS...SHOULD LEAD TO CONTINUED WEAKENING. HILDA SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE THE DISSIPATION OF ITS LOW-LEVEL CENTER WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MOTION OVER THE PAST TWENTY-FOUR HOURS HAS BEEN RELATIVELY CONSTANT AT 280/12. HILDA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ALONG THIS TRACK PASSING SOUTH OF A LARGE WARM CORE ANTICYCLONE CURRENTLY NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST USES A BLEND OF CONTINUITY...THE GFS...AND THE UKMET WHICH INDICATE A CONTINUED FORWARD MOTION TOWARDS THE WEST AT 12 KNOTS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE CYCLONE COULD ACCELERATE AFTER 24 HOURS...BUT LITTLE SHOULD REMAIN OF HILDA BY THAT TIME. FORECASTER CLARK/ROTH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 19.1N 129.2W 25 KT 12HR VT 13/0600Z 19.4N 131.2W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 13/1800Z 19.8N 133.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 14/0600Z 20.2N 136.1W 15 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 14/1800Z 20.4N 138.6W 15 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:39 2003 X-UIDL: 35284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006TYX5U3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:34:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKYZtR008679 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:34:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wjj045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKTwc9037238 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CKTw9d028191 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CKTwZF028190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:29:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308122029.h7CKTwZF028190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 122029 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2100Z TUE AUG 12 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 129.2W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 129.2W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 128.6W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.4N 131.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.8N 133.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.2N 136.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.4N 138.6W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 129.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z FORECASTER CLARK/ROTH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:40 2003 X-UIDL: 35285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006JIXTV3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:49:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKn0tR011858 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:49:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wk3045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:43:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96285 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:43:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKh6c9026832 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:43:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CKh59d028577 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:43:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CKh5dG028576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:43:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:43:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 15...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308122043.h7CKh5dG028576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 122042 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 CORRECTED FOR 48HR FORECAST...CHANGED REMNANT LOW TO DISSIPATED CONVECTION ON THE EAST-SOUTHEAST SIDE OF HILDA HAS CEASED PROGRESSING TOWARDS THE CENTER SINCE THIS MORNING. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 25 KNOTS BASED ON QUIKSCAT DATA AND DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH SAB AND TAFB. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE ANALYSES INDICATE PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATER ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...ON THE ORDER OF 25-26C. THIS...ALONG WITH THE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL WINDS...SHOULD LEAD TO CONTINUED WEAKENING. HILDA SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE THE DISSIPATION OF ITS LOW-LEVEL CENTER WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MOTION OVER THE PAST TWENTY-FOUR HOURS HAS BEEN RELATIVELY CONSTANT AT 280/12. HILDA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ALONG THIS TRACK PASSING SOUTH OF A LARGE WARM CORE ANTICYCLONE CURRENTLY NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE FORECAST USES A BLEND OF CONTINUITY...THE GFS...AND THE UKMET WHICH INDICATE A CONTINUED FORWARD MOTION TOWARDS THE WEST AT 12 KNOTS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE CYCLONE COULD ACCELERATE AFTER 24 HOURS...BUT LITTLE SHOULD REMAIN OF HILDA BY THAT TIME. FORECASTER CLARK/ROTH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 19.1N 129.2W 25 KT 12HR VT 13/0600Z 19.4N 131.2W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 13/1800Z 19.8N 133.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 14/0600Z 20.2N 136.1W 15 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:40 2003 X-UIDL: 35286-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006K8XUF3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:49:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKnKtR011911 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:49:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqE5024814; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:45:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKjXc9005294 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CKjX9d028657 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CKjXMm028656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:45:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 15...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308122045.h7CKjXMm028656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 122044 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2100Z TUE AUG 12 2003 CORRECTED FOR 14/1800Z FORECAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 129.2W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 129.2W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 128.6W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.4N 131.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.8N 133.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.2N 136.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 129.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z FORECASTER CLARK/ROTH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:40 2003 X-UIDL: 35287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006HT0R03B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:52:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CLpvtR021780 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:51:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wm9045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CLjxc9034420 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CLjx9d000524 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CLjxkv000523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:45:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308122145.h7CLjxkv000523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 122145 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 12 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 19.1N 129.2W AT 12/2100 UTC MOVING W 12 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO HAS MOVED INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC AT 12/2100 UTC. IT IS CENTERED NEAR 16.3N 140.6W MOVING W AT 15 KT WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 KT GUSTING TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W/88W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N88W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 95W-98W ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A 1009 MB LOW HAS FORMED ON THE AXIS NEAR 13N THOUGH IT IS ELONGATED FROM SW TO NE. THE SYSTEM IS SLOWING ORGANIZING WITH EVIDENCE OF BANDING FEATURES BUT AN UPPER TROUGH APPEARS TO BE PROVIDING MODERATE SLY SHEAR. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 108W-112W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N135W TO 17N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA... ANY CONVECTION IS WELL SE OF AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 125W-128.5W WITH ONE SMALL TSTM CELL WITHIN 30 NM OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO... SYSTEM PRODUCES OCCASIONALLY SMALL BURSTS OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER BUT MOST OF THE TSTM ACTIVITY IS WELL TO THE E OF THE CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 12N-15N W OF 136W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 11N110W 9N119W 15N126W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 114W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 126W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:41 2003 X-UIDL: 35288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006JK0SW3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:53:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CLrDtR021952 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:53:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WmJ045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:46:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:46:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CLklc9019298 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:46:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CLkk9d000536 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:46:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CLkkxk000535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:46:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:46:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308122146.h7CLkkxk000535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 122146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO NEAR 16.3N 139.8W AT 12/1800 UTC HAD ISOLATED CB OVER FORECAST AREA WITHIN 75 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE THAT HAD MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10.9N 145.2W AT 12/1800 UTC HAD ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 150 NM IN THE WEST SEMICIRCLE THAT MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH A DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND LITTLE CHANGE INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N159W 10N150W 06N159W 15N159W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...HAVE WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 30N171W 24N175W MOVED SOUTH AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06N180 10N174W 03N174W 06N180. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/SHEARLINE...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 17S177W 17S165W 25S165W 17S177W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 160 NM OF LINE 11S171W 07S180 CONTINUING WEST OF THE DATELINE THROUGH 02N172E HAVE MOVED LITTLE OVER LAST 6 HOURS. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 09S164W 09S155W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST 15 KT OVER THE LAST 3 HOURS WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 01S166W 02S172W 05S174W. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:41 2003 X-UIDL: 35290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006V83R13B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 06:57:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CMuqtR032398 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 06:56:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WoB045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 17:53:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 97493 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 17:53:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CMrGc9010346 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 17:53:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CMrG9d001536 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 17:53:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CMrGQV001535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 17:53:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 17:53:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308122253.h7CMrGQV001535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 122246 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1290 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 960 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS NOW LOCATED WEST OF 140W LONGITUDE IN THE CENTRAL APCIFIC BASIN. FUTURE FORECAST/ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER...AND CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO HEADER WTPA22 PHFO AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCMCP2. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:42 2003 X-UIDL: 35294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006008S53B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:45:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D0jXtR052252 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:45:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WqL045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 98346 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D0fqc9057678 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D0fq9d002911 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D0fp1X002909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Now Located Near 12.7n0 109.8w8, Approximately 650 Nm West-southwest Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130041.h7D0fp1X002909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 122200 RRB NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N0 109.8W8, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. A 121529Z0 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A WELL-DEFINED LLCC. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS APPARENT LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES INDICATING IMPROVED ORGANIZATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS SOUTHEAST OF A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL IN A FAVORABLE REGION OF GOOD DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/BAK/SANTOS/COOK/HEATH/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:43 2003 X-UIDL: 35295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006048SA3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:45:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D0jbtR052272 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:45:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqIF024814; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 98343 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D0fqc9054230 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D0fq9d002910 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D0fpFH002907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:41:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: ) For Further Details. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130041.h7D0fpFH002907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PHNC 122200 RRA ) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 121800Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), WAS NEAR 19.0N0 128.6W7, APPROXIMATELY 1530 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121800Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PHNC 122200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 144.3W2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 145.2W2, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII. A RECENT MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF AN APPARENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING ON THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THIS SYSTEM EXISTS UNDERNEATH AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT BRINGING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 158.9W3, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTH OF HILO, HAWAII HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 105.9W5 IS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:43 2003 X-UIDL: 35296-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ0061S8T93B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:46:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D0k9tR052377 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:46:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqIL024814; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:42:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 98361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:42:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D0gqc9053082 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:42:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D0gq9d002926 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:42:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D0gpXb002925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:42:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 19:42:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: ) For Further Details. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130042.h7D0gpXb002925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PHNC 122200 ) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 121800Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), WAS NEAR 19.0N0 128.6W7, APPROXIMATELY 1530 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121800Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PHNC 122200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 144.3W2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 145.2W2, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII. A RECENT MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF AN APPARENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING ON THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THIS SYSTEM EXISTS UNDERNEATH AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT BRINGING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 158.9W3, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTH OF HILO, HAWAII HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5N7 105.9W5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N0 109.8W8, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. A 121529Z0 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A WELL-DEFINED LLCC. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS APPARENT LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES INDICATING IMPROVED ORGANIZATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS SOUTHEAST OF A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL IN A FAVORABLE REGION OF GOOD DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/BAK/SANTOS/COOK/HEATH/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:44 2003 X-UIDL: 35300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ00644CC83B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:02:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D22OtR071552 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:02:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wrj045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 20:57:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 98858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 20:57:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D1v0c9047028 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 20:57:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D1v09d003589 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 20:57:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D1v0ii003587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 20:57:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 20:57:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130157.h7D1v0ii003587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 130156 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE AUG 12 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO IS LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH GUILLERMO HAS DECREASED MARKEDLY TODAY...AND THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL ISSUE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO AT 5 PM HST. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:45 2003 X-UIDL: 35303-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006EUDTE3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:34:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2YJtR083735 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:34:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WsN045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:31:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:31:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2VXc9021280 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:31:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D2VW9d003978 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D2VWKw003977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:31:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130231.h7D2VWKw003977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 122200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 16.3N0 139.8W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 139.8W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.3N0 143.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.3N0 145.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121800Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 138.3W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121800Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130400Z8, 131000Z5 AND 131600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:45 2003 X-UIDL: 35305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006NVDVW3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:35:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2ZhtR084309 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:35:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WsP045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:33:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:33:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2Xmc9021314 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:33:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D2Xl9d004010 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D2XlEu004009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:33:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130233.h7D2XlEu004009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 122200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 16.3N0 139.8W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 139.8W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.3N0 143.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.3N0 145.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121800Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 138.3W5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121800Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130400Z8, 131000Z5 AND 131600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 35306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006NYDVW3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:35:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2ZhtR084316 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:35:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqK5024814; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:32:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:32:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2Wpc9021296 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:32:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D2Wo9d004002 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:32:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D2WoYS004001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:32:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:32:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130232.h7D2WoYS004001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 122200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 19.0N0 128.6W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 128.6W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.4N4 131.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.8N8 133.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121800Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 128.6W7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1530 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121800Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNXY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130400Z8, 131000Z5 AND 131600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 35307-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ0064IDZS3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:38:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2c4tR085292 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:38:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wsh045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:35:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99262 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:35:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2Zkc9057852 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:35:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D2Zk9d004037 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:35:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D2ZkJG004036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:35:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:35:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130235.h7D2ZkJG004036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 122200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 19.0N0 128.6W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 128.6W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 19.4N4 131.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.8N8 133.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121800Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 128.6W7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1530 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121800Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNXY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130400Z8, 131000Z5 AND 131600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:47 2003 X-UIDL: 35309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006CIEBZ3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:45:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2jM1T029129 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:45:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wtf045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2g7c9014980 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D2g79d004098 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D2g7lt004097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130242.h7D2g7lt004097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPZ43 KNHC 130241 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 THE FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF HILDA HAS TURNED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS FARTHER SOUTH THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. THERE ARE ONLY A FEW PUFFS OF WEAK CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER...BUT A BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NMI OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 25 KT BASED ON THE RECENT CONVECTIVE BANDING THAT HAS FORMED AND A DVORAK INTENSITY OF 25 KT FROM TAFB. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/09...BASED ON THE LAST 5 HOURS THAT THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BEEN CLEARLY VISIBLE. HILDA IS EXPECTED REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND BE STEERED WESTWARD BY THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SOUTH OF AND SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK...AND IS CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE GUNS AND GUNA MODELS. THE SOUTHERLY INFLOW REMAINS CUTOFF BY THE ITCZ TO THE SOUTH OF HILDA...AND ONLY INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION WILL KEEP THE CYCLONE ALIVE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. BY 24 HOURS...HOWEVER ..HILDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO A THICK FIELD OF COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS THAT BEGINS NEAR 133W LONGITUDE...AND THAT IS THE TIMING USED FOR THE BEGINNING OF DISSIPATION IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THIS SCENARIO IS SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL... WHICH ALSO INCREASES THE WESTERLY SHEAR TO NEAR 40 KT BY 36 HOURS AND DISSIPATES THE CYCLONE BY THAT TIME. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 18.4N 129.7W 25 KT 12HR VT 13/1200Z 18.6N 131.1W 25 KT 24HR VT 14/0000Z 18.8N 133.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 14/1200Z 18.9N 135.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 15/0000Z 18.9N 137.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:47 2003 X-UIDL: 35310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006CNEBZ3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:45:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2jN1T029137 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:45:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wth045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2gYc9025612 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D2gY9d004105 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D2gYrm004104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:42:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130242.h7D2gYrm004104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 130242 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 0300Z WED AUG 13 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 129.7W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 129.7W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 129.3W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.6N 131.1W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.8N 133.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.9N 135.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.9N 137.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATING REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 129.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:48 2003 X-UIDL: 35311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006I6ECI3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:45:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2jg1T029267 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:45:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wtl045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:44:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:44:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2i3c9018346 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:44:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D2i29d004118 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:44:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D2i25q004117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:44:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:44:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130244.h7D2i25q004117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA22 PHFO 130243 TCMCP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP072003 0300Z WED AUG 13 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 142.3W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 264 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 142.3W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 141.4W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.6N 145.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.3N 148.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 142.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER ROSENDAL/R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:48 2003 X-UIDL: 35312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006MKEE73B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:46:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2kgtR088681 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:46:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wtp045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:45:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:45:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2j8c9017554 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:45:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D2j89d004131 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:45:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D2j8nH004130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:45:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:45:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130245.h7D2j8nH004130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA32 PHFO 130244 TCPCP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE AUG 12 2003 AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.3 WEST OR ABOUT 875 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE DEPRESSION. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...16.0 N...142.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FORECASTER ROSENDAL/R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:48 2003 X-UIDL: 35313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006SIEGL3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:48:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2mEtR089155 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:48:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wtt045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:46:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2kAc9018390 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D2kA9d004141 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D2k9J7004140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:46:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Guillermo Discussion Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130246.h7D2k9J7004140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPA42 PHFO 130245 TCDCP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE AUG 12 2003 GUILLERMO IS NOW COMPLETELY DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 25 KNOTS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS...BUT IT IS LIKELY THAT THESE WINDS ARE LIMITED TO THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE WHERE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPRESSION AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS GREATEST. INITIAL MOTION IS 265/17. THE DEPRESSION IS BEING STEERED BY THE SHALLOW LAYER FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF THE LARGE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. GUILLERMO MAY ALSO BE FEELING SOME STEERING INFLUENCE FROM THE DISTURBANCE TO ITS SOUTHWEST. THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT...EXCEPT FOR THE AVN WHICH TAKES THE DEPRESSION ON AN ALMOST DUE NORTH TRACK AFTER 24 HOURS. THIS IS UNLIKELY...AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT STEERING INFLUENCE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. THE GLOBAL MODELS ALSO SUPPORT THE SCENARIO OF A CONTINUED WESTERLY TRACK. NOW THAT GUILLERMO HAS NO DEEP CONVECTION...REGENERATION IS VERY UNLIKELY. ALTHOUGH A FEW SMALL BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION MAY OCCUR...THE SYSTEM WILL NOT BE MOVING OVER SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER WATER...AND ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS MAY ALSO BE LIMITED BY NEARBY VORTICIES IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. FORECASTER ROSENDAL/R BALLARD FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0300Z 16.0N 142.3W 25 KT 12HR VT 13/1200Z 15.6N 145.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 14/0000Z 15.3N 148.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:51:59 2003 X-UIDL: 35318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ00679H6Z3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:47:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D3lFtR006717 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:47:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WvF045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:42:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:42:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D3g6c9054226 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:42:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D3g69d004607 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:42:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D3g64R004606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:42:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:42:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130342.h7D3g64R004606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_05_08, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 130342 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 13 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 18.4N 129.7W AT 13/0300 UTC MOVING W 9 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS NO LONGER EVIDENT. A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N111W MOVING W 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 123W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N131W TO 25N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WELL REMOVED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N126W TO 21N128W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 11N110W 9N120W 14N125W 14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 115W...N OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 82W...AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 139W...WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 117W...WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 121W...AND S OF THE AXIS WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 5N80.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO FROM 18N TO 23N AND IN THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N79W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 75/90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 96W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA NEAR 87W TO EL SALVADOR NEAR 89W INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 92W TO 93W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM RADIUS OF 14N110.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 14:23:33 2003 X-UIDL: 35323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006NDJR63B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:42:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D4gStR021971 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:42:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WwB045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 100276 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D4c6c9036410 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D4c59d005216 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D4c5c3005215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130438.h7D4c5c3005215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 130400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1.TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 16.1N8 141.4W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 264 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 141.4W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.6N2 145.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.3N9 148.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130000Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 141.4W0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130000Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 14:23:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006OEJRH3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:42:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D4gktR022070 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:42:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Ww7045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 100243 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D4a4c9041634 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D4a39d005193 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D4a3bc005192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130436.h7D4a3bc005192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 130400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 18.4N3 129.3W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 129.3W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.6N5 131.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 18.8N7 133.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 18.9N8 135.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130000Z4 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 129.3W5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1170 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130000Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131000Z5, 131600Z1, 132200Z8 AND 140400Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 14:23:35 2003 X-UIDL: 35325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006OIJRH3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:42:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D4gktR022063 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:42:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CMNW45048862; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 100246 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D4a6c9017596 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D4a59d005200 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D4a5ID005199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:36:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130436.h7D4a5ID005199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 130400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1.TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 16.1N8 141.4W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 264 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 141.4W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.6N2 145.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.3N9 148.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130000Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 141.4W0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130000Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 14:23:36 2003 X-UIDL: 35326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006RJJSU3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:43:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D4hYtR022289 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:43:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WwD045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 100279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D4c8c9036416 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D4c89d005221 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D4c82A005220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130438.h7D4c82A005220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 130400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 18.4N3 129.3W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 129.3W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.6N5 131.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 18.8N7 133.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 18.9N8 135.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130000Z4 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 129.3W5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1170 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130000Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131000Z5, 131600Z1, 132200Z8 AND 140400Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 14:23:36 2003 X-UIDL: 35327-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006ZIJVQ3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:45:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D4jJtR022738 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:45:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WwF045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 100288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D4cRc9019378 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D4cR9d005226 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D4cRLT005225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 23:38:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130438.h7D4cRLT005225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 130438 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1310 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 14:23:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006PIN3F3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 13:54:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D5sitR038086 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 13:54:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqMd024814; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 100936 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D5jvc9021094 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D5ju9d005888 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D5juTb005886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130545.h7D5juTb005886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 21:05:53 2003 X-UIDL: 35339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006EKSPV3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 15:56:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D7uAtR068937 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 15:56:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59Ofj054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 02:50:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 02:50:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D7otc9053042 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 02:50:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D7ot9d006811 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 02:50:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D7otp4006810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 02:50:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 02:50:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130750.h7D7otp4006810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPN50 PHFO 130750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE AUG 12 2003 THE REMNANT OF EX-TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO IS LOCATED ABOUT 840 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO. A LONE BRIEF THUNDERSTORM REMAINS NEAR THE CENTER OF THIS DECAYED SYSTEM. THE REMNANT IS BEING INCORPORATED INTO THE REGION OF MORE STABLE STRATOCUMULUS IMMEDIATELY TO THE NORTH. REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. A WEAK LOW LEVEL CLOUD VORTEX JUST 160 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE DISTURBED WEATHER AREA ABOVE HAS A WELL DEVELOPED LOW CLOUD CIRCULATION BUT IS RELATIVELY VOID OF THUNDERSTORMS AT THIS TIME. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP FURTHER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BUT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 21:05:55 2003 X-UIDL: 35340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ0060CUA83B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:30:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D8U1tR079176 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:30:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59Ofn054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D8Pgc9025908 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D8Pg9d007209 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D8PgPG007206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130825.h7D8PgPG007206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ43 KNHC 130825 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED AUG 13 2003 NIGHT-VIS AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT THE CIRCULATION IS STARTING TO BECOME BROAD AND DIFFUSE. WHILE CONVECTION PERISTS IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT...IT IS BEGINNING TO DECAY AND PULL AWAY FROM THE CENTER. THE CLOSEST COLD CONVECTION IS NOW 120 NM FROM THE CENTER. UNLESS THERE IS AN UNEXPECTED RESURGENCE...HILDA WILL DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 6-12 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/7. THE MOTION HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS...PERHAPS DUE TO THE PERSISTENT CONVECTIVE ASYMMETRY TO THE EAST. WITH THIS CONVECTION DECAYING AND RETREATING...A FASTER TRACK IS EXPECTED TO RESUME UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/0900Z 18.4N 130.2W 25 KT 12HR VT 13/1800Z 18.5N 131.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 14/0600Z 18.5N 133.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 14/1800Z 18.5N 135.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 21:05:57 2003 X-UIDL: 35342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006BJUCM3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:31:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D8VStR079647 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:31:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CMNWFN048862; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D8Pgc9021220 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D8Pg9d007210 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D8PgF0007208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:25:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130825.h7D8PgF0007208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 130825 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 0900Z WED AUG 13 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 130.2W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 130.2W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 129.9W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.5N 131.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.5N 133.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.5N 135.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 130.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 21:05:59 2003 X-UIDL: 35349-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006XHXO23B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:43:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D9h5tR097241 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:43:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59OgD054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:38:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101635 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:38:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D9crc9036526 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:38:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D9cr9d007784 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:38:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D9crXV007783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:38:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:38:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130938.h7D9crXV007783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 130938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 13 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 18.4N 130.2W AT 13/0900 UTC MOVING W 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N111W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 121W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N131W TO 25N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA... LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS W OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N125W TO 20N128W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 11N102W 12N114W 8N121W 12N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 117W AND WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 125W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 106W AND WITHIN 180 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 117W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 103.5 TO 104.5. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 96W TO 99W...INLAND AND WITHIN 45/60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 7N...AND IN THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 7N79W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 99W TO 103W AND ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 81W TO 85W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 21:06:02 2003 X-UIDL: 35355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006HYYG83B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 18:00:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D9xwtR001090 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 18:00:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqNV024814; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:55:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D9tnc9005268 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D9tn9d007896 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D9tnDT007895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:55:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:55:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130955.h7D9tnDT007895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 130955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 135 NM OF LINE 13N140W 10N149W EXTEND EAST AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 85 NM OF LINE 10N154W 13N160W MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65-75 NM OF LINE 07N165W 05N170W MOVED WEST 5 KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 07N175W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED THEN WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK TROUGH...THROUGH 30N175W 25N180 DRIFTING WEST SLOWLY. BROKEN LAYERS WITHIN 100 NM OF TROUGH. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 110 NM OF POINT 25N178W MOVED SOUTHWEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. CLOUD LAYERS NORTH OF 25N DIMINISHING. CLOUD LAYERS SOUTH OF 25N INCREASED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S163W 12S180 MOVING EAST 15 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175-250 NM OF FRONT MAINLY EAST OF 170W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS WITHIN 110 NM OF FRONT WEST OF 170W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 13S172W 16S167W 18S165W ASSOCIATED WITH A PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE. CB MOVED SOUTHEAST 15 KT AND DIMINISHED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 13S162W 09S156W MOVED SOUTH 10 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 21:06:03 2003 X-UIDL: 35357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK0068200M3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 18:33:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DAXptR008749 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 18:33:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59OgP054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:28:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DASlc9010486 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DASl9d008179 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:28:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DASljL008178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:28:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:28:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131028.h7DASljL008178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 131028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1345 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS LIMITED. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 21:06:03 2003 X-UIDL: 35358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK006HC0P73B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 18:48:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DAmWtR011975 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 18:48:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59OgV054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:42:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:42:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DAgAc9034280 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:42:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DAgA9d008284 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:42:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DAgAro008283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:42:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 05:42:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131042.h7DAgAro008283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 131000 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 18.4N3 129.9W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 129.9W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 18.5N4 131.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 18.5N4 133.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130600Z0 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 129.9W1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1300 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131600Z1, 132200Z8 AND 140400Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING FOR (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR FINAL WARNING. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: INCORRECT NUMBER OF ACTIVE STORMS IN THE BASIN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 00:40:00 2003 X-UIDL: 35366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005HO95LZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:51:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DDpCtR053402 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:51:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqQJ024814; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:47:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 102754 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:47:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DDl8c9053006 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DDl89d010780 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:47:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DDl8K5010779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:47:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 08:47:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131347.h7DDl8K5010779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 131346 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED AUG 13 2003 A LOW CLOUD CIRCULATION 890 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED ALONG THE WEST EDGE OF THE SYSTEM BUT IT REMAINS WEAK AND UNORGANIZED. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP FURTHER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. BUT ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 00:40:03 2003 X-UIDL: 35370-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005FTBNLZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 22:45:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DEjEtR067224 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 22:45:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59Olt054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:41:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 103124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:39:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DEdKc9037546 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:39:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DEdJ9d012506 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:39:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DEdJTl012505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:39:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:39:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Hilda Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131439.h7DEdJTl012505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPZ23 KNHC 131439 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082003 1500Z WED AUG 13 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 130.9W AT 13/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 130.9W AT 13/1500Z AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 130.5W FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.5N 132.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.5N 133.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.5N 135.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 130.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER AVILA/BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 00:40:05 2003 X-UIDL: 35372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005OOCVDZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 23:11:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DFBTtR074184 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 23:11:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59Oo1054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:05:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 103503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:05:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DF5nc9037434 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:05:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DF5n9d013494 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:05:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DF5mdN013493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:05:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131505.h7DF5mdN013493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 131505 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 13 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA IS CENTERED NEAR 18.4N 130.9W AT 13/1500 UTC MOVING W 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE LAST ADVISORY WAS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 13/1500 UTC. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 90W IS REPOSITIONED WEST ALONG 96W N OF 4N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THE WAVE IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. A PIECE OF ENERGY IN THE FORM OF A SURFACE TROF HAS SPLIT OFF FROM THE WAVE IS IS MOVING NW OVER MEXICO FROM TAPACHULA NE OVER THE E BAY OF CAMPECHE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-16.5N BETWEEN 96W-100W INCLUDING THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ACAPULCO. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROF THAT SPLIT OFF THE WAVE IS N OF THE AREA. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 99W IS NOW ALONG 104W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. THE CLOUD SIGNATURE IS WEAK AT THIS TIME BUT A CLUSTER OF CLOUDS/CONVECTION CAN BE TRACKED WITHIN THE LONGER TERM SATELLITE IMAGERY. A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR THE BAY OF PETACALCO FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 101.5W-103.5W. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N112W MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 5 KT. WHILE CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY LIMITED...SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 110W-117W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 31N130W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1430 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA... HILDA CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINING EXPOSED W OF LIMITED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 19N-21N BETWEEN 127W-129W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 13N111W 8N120W 13N130W 13N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-9N BETWEEN 76W-84W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 95W-110W. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 115W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-15N W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WEAKENING AREA OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LOS MOCHIS TO 30N. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 00:40:36 2003 X-UIDL: 35378-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005I0FPBZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:12:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DGCdtR089157 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:12:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59OqL054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:04:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 104024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:04:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DG4Gc9021358 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:04:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DG4G9d015531 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:04:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DG4GhJ015530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:04:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:04:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131604.h7DG4GhJ015530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PHNC 131600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 18.4N3 130.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 130.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 18.5N4 132.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131200Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 130.5W9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08E (HILDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1250 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 00:40:36 2003 X-UIDL: 35379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005CFG3SZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:21:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DGLKtR091955 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:21:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59Or5054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:12:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 104128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:12:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DGC2c9025794 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:12:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DGC29d015820 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:12:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DGC2sm015819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:12:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 11:12:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131612.h7DGC2sm015819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 131611 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA LOCATED ABOUT 1385 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...SOME DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35385-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005PNJX9ZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 01:43:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DHhntR012946 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 01:43:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqVx024814; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:39:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 105037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:39:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DHcxc9023020 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:38:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DHcx9d018600 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:38:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DHcwQH018599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:38:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:38:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131738.h7DHcwQH018599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005UKK0JZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 01:45:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DHjotR013389 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 01:45:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59OuF054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:39:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 105040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:39:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DHcxc9039932 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:38:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DHcx9d018601 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:38:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DHcwpN018598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:38:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 12:38:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131738.h7DHcwpN018598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:36 2003 X-UIDL: 35390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005GJPRYZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 03:50:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DJoEtR046874 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 03:50:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59O0N054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 14:46:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 106576 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 14:46:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DJkEc9042558 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 14:46:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DJkD9d022729 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 14:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DJkDE4022728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 14:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 14:46:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131946.h7DJkDE4022728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 131945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED AUG 13 2003 THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES SOUTH AND EAST OF THE STATE WITHIN A PORTION OF THE ITCZ THAT IS POSITIONED NORTH OF 10N. THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISHED OVERNIGHT IN AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER APPROXIMATELY 825 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA REMAINS UNORGANIZED...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:39 2003 X-UIDL: 35397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK00552VM7ZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 05:56:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLuMtR078225 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 05:56:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9e5024814; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:52:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 107941 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:52:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLqKc9034780 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:52:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DLqK9d026434 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:52:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DLqJbJ026433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:52:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:52:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308132152.h7DLqJbJ026433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 132152 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12.6N 143.9W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF DISTURBANCE HAVE DECREASED IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 07N180 05N171W 08N164W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 13N162W 13N157W 11N155W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N159W 08N155W 08N146W HAVE MOVED SOUTH 10 KT OVER PAST SIX HOURS AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15N143W 14N140W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120NM OF LINE 26N176W 21N180 HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF POINT 29N170W HAVE MOVED WEST NORTHWEST SLOWLY OVER LAST 12 HOURS WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S161W 17S167W 13S173W MOVING EAST 15 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT DESCRIBED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11S151W 13S156W HAVE MOVED SOUTH 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07S178W 05S180 CONTINUING WEST OF THE DATELINE THROUGH 05S176E HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST 20 KT WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:40 2003 X-UIDL: 35399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005XGW7VZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 06:09:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DM9NtR080976 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 06:09:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59O6B054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:05:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 108125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:05:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DM5Yc9020948 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:05:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DM5X9d026683 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:05:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DM5XB5026682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:05:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:05:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308132205.h7DM5XB5026682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 132205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 13 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/1800 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF T.D. HILDA... NEAR 19N131W AT 13/1800 UTC...MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 20N BETWEEN 128W AND 132W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO MEXICO COAST NEAR 17N BETWEEN 100W AND 102W. TROUGH...WHICH SEPARATED ITSELF FROM THE WAVE...OVER MEXICO FROM YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 20N89W TO JUST EAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 15N93W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH SOUTH OF 18N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 103W AND 106W. ..1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N114W...MOVING WEST 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 10N94W 12N112W 10N125W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER PANAMA...AND PARTS OF COLOMBIA NEAR THE PANAMA BORDER...FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W...IN CLUSTERS FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 84W... AND FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 88W AND 92W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 7N NEAR THE ITCZ BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 107W...AND WITHIN 125 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 128W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 136W AND 140W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:42 2003 X-UIDL: 35403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005ADYCCZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 06:55:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DMtHtR089498 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 06:55:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9fB024814; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 108558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DMmCc9034632 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DMmC9d027265 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DMmC0P027263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308132248.h7DMmC0P027263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 132300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/132300Z/140600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.9N5 155.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF CHUUK, ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS. A 131948Z6 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONSOLIDATING NEAR A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROVIDING GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA IS FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AS A FAIR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:44 2003 X-UIDL: 35408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL0050X6L8ZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 09:53:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E1rKtR027090 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 09:53:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042eH054076; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 20:45:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 109900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 20:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E1jec9011086 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 20:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E1je9d029105 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 20:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E1jeE3029104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 20:45:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 20:45:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140145.h7E1jeE3029104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 140145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED AUG 13 2003 THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE STATE IN AN ACTIVE PORTION OF THE ITCZ NORTH OF 09N. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 860 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. ALTHOUGH THIS AREA REMAINS UNORGANIZED...THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE REMNANT LOW CLOUD CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUILLERMO...LOCATED ABOUT 680 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THERE IS LITTLE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND NO REDEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:46 2003 X-UIDL: 35414-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL005KN99DZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:51:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E2p6tR040378 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:51:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042fZ054076; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:47:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 110385 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:47:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E2lac9005142 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:47:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E2la9d029641 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:47:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E2laQR029640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:47:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:47:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140247.h7E2laQR029640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 140247 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF ONCE TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA IS LOCATED ABOUT 1440 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. SOME ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS HAS PERSISTED ABOUT 1175 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVLOPMENT ..IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:47 2003 X-UIDL: 35415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL001OKC7883@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 11:54:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E3satR057670 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 11:54:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9jD024814; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 22:51:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 110849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 22:51:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E3p7c9016022 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 22:51:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E3p69d000204 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 22:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E3p6ZF000203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 22:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 22:51:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140351.h7E3p6ZF000203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 140350 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 14 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 16N115W WITH AN ANALYZED 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE. IT IS MOVING W 5 TO 10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0000 UTC... ..A 1010 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. HILDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N132W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 14N93W NNE OVER MEXICO TO 22N91W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W/99W N OF 7N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W/107W S OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... THIS SYSTEM COULD POSSIBLE DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 13.5N115.5W TO 16N113.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N89W 12N109W 12N130W 14N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 92W AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 109W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 119W TO 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 5.5N80W TO 8.5N83.5W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8.5N TO 10N AND FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 103W AND 105.5W INCLUDING PORTION OF MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 14N92.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM OVER MEXICO TO OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA N OF 24N INCLUDING THE GULF CALIFORNIA AND S OF THE AXIS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 10N121.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N101W TO 17N108W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:48 2003 X-UIDL: 35419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL00189G6E83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 13:20:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E5KRtR080347 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 13:20:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042iP054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:15:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 111433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:15:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E5Ffc9034634 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:15:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E5Ff9d001060 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:15:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E5Ffi5001059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:15:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:15:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140515.h7E5Ffi5001059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 140515 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS DISORGANIZED. DEVLOPMENT ...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:49 2003 X-UIDL: 35422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL00127HUU83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 13:56:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E5uktR088526 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 13:56:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042jJ054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 111612 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E5nQc9048730 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E5nQ9d001359 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E5nQ1P001357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140549.h7E5nQ1P001357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.9N5 155.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.8N4 154.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF CHUUK. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING OVER A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:51 2003 X-UIDL: 35427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL0019BNNI83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:02:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E81stR020378 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:01:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042lH054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 02:56:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112355 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 02:56:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E7u6c9015936 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 02:56:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E7u59d002357 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 02:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E7u5TP002356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 02:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 02:56:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140756.h7E7u5TP002356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 140755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED AUG 13 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED 855 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED AND INCREASED AROUND THE SYSTEM DURING THE PAST 8 HOURS. HOWEVER...THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONLY SLIGHTLY DURING THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS. LATEST MOVEMENT WAS NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:55 2003 X-UIDL: 35438-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL001MPSKI83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:48:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E9m8tR052607 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:48:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042m5054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:43:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112703 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:43:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E9hMc9014886 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:43:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E9hM9d003383 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:43:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E9hMcp003382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:43:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:43:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140943.h7E9hMcp003382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 140943 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 14 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 16N115W WITH AN ANALYZED 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE. IT IS MOVING SW 5 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0600 UTC... ..A 1009 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. HILDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N133W NEAR STATIONARY. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W N OF 7N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W S OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... THIS SYSTEM COULD STILL POSSIBLY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 16N116.5W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N113W TO 14N117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N76W 7N90W 12N110W 10N123W 13N132W 13N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 89W...WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 79W...WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 85W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 94W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 103W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 79W TO 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W TO 106W INCLUDING THE COAST OF MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM OVER MEXICO TO OVER THE GULF CALIFORNIA N OF 28N AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N98W TO 11N101W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE FROM THE AXIS TO 16N BETWEEN 101W AND 108W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:55 2003 X-UIDL: 35439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL001W0T5X83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 18:01:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EA0rtR055780 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 18:01:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042mH054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:55:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E9tXc9015954 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E9tX9d003462 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E9tWF2003461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:55:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140955.h7E9tWF2003461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 140955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N144W MOVING NORTH 5-10 KT. SYSTEM EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ONLY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM OF LINE 10N167W 13N142W IS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S158W 15S170W 09S180 MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS WITHIN 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF FRONT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 17S164W 25S154W ASSOCIATED WITH PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE. CB AREA MOVED SOUTHEAST 15-20 KT AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... FRONTAL CLOUD BAND OVER THE AREA. SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 18S120W 16S128W MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST 10-15 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 80 NM SOUTH OF FRONT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:56 2003 X-UIDL: 35442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL001IOUJ583@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 18:30:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EAUYtR063066 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 18:30:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042mT054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 05:27:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112835 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 05:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EARQc9014936 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 05:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EARQ9d003721 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 05:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EARQeA003720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 05:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 05:27:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308141027.h7EARQeA003720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 141027 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED WITH THIS SYSTEM THIS MORNING. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:27 2003 X-UIDL: 35456-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001H14HM83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 22:05:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EE5ctR009632 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 22:05:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042rx054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 08:58:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 114282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 08:58:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EDwLc9048796 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 08:58:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EDwL9d006469 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 08:58:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EDwLwK006468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 08:58:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 08:58:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308141358.h7EDwLwK006468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 141358 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU AUG 14 2003 A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 830 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST NEAR 5 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THIS AREA HAVE BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. BUT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE REMNANT CLOUD CIRCULATION OF EX-TROPICAL STORM HILDA IS CENTERED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST OF HILO. THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 140 WEST LONGITUDE AND ENTER THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC AREA LATE TONIGHT. REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS UNLIKELY. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:28 2003 X-UIDL: 35458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001GG8HU83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 23:32:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EFWAtR031639 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 23:32:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9xn024814; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:25:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115347 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:25:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EFPcc9043246 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:25:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EFPb9d009316 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:25:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EFPbTf009315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:25:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:25:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308141525.h7EFPbTf009315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 141525 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 14 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1010 MB TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 17N116W MOVING NW 5 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/1200 UTC... ..A 1008 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. HILDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N134W DRIFTING W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 20N130W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W N OF 7N MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE IS NOT WELL-DEFINED ON SATELLITE PICTURES. IN ADDITION IT IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF WESTERLY FLOW AT THE LOW LEVELS WHICH MAKES TRACKING IT DIFFICULT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 97W-101W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W/109W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF 11N108.5W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N134W TO 24N119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1515 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 17N116W... THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH CONVECTION NEAR AND S OF THE CENTER DUE TO NLY SHEAR. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 16.5N117.5W. SEE MIATWOEP FOR DETAILS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 11N10W 12N110W 10N123W 13N132W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 4.5N E OF 81W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 81W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-12.5N BETWEEN 100W-106W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 15.5N-19N BETWEEN 102W-107W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 19N105W 23N107W ALONG THE SW COAST OF MEXICO. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 8N85W SW OF COSTA RICA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:29 2003 X-UIDL: 35459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001458V383@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 23:40:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EFe8tR034142 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 23:40:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042wV054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:32:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:32:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EFWuc9043420 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EFWu9d009578 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:32:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EFWuUO009577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:32:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:32:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308141532.h7EFWuUO009577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PHNC 141530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 141500Z AUG 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.6N3 115.4W1 TO 18.8N7 121.1W5 WITHIN THE NEXT 00 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 141200Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N9 116.1W9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.7N3 113.8W3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.1N9 116.1W9, APPROXIMATELY 298 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND AN IMPROVING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 151530Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:29 2003 X-UIDL: 35460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001BDAN083@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:18:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EGITtR043523 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:18:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC915024814; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 11:11:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 11:11:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EGBNc9028176 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 11:11:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EGBN9d010790 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 11:11:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EGBNK1010789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 11:11:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 11:11:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308141611.h7EGBNK1010789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 141611 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD ..AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 35464-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM00196DZN83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 01:30:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EHUptR062216 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 01:30:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC941024814; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 116529 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EHKMc9040084 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EHKM9d013112 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EHKLcS013108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308141720.h7EHKLcS013108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:32 2003 X-UIDL: 35465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001CUE1V83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 01:32:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EHWDtR062627 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 01:32:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E0421f054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 116532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EHKMc9044050 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EHKL9d013111 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EHKLh0013106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 12:20:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308141720.h7EHKLh0013106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM0015HKHZ83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:51:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EJpRtR001372 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:51:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E0425x054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 14:45:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 118179 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 14:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EJjec9007738 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 14:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EJjd9d018236 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EJjdw1018235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308141945.h7EJjdw1018235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 141945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU AUG 14 2003 AN ELONGATED ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER EXTENDS FROM 650 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND TO 900 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. THE AREA HAS NOT BECOME VERY WELL ORGANIZED BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM SO WE WILL BE WATCHING THE AREA CLOSELY. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:37 2003 X-UIDL: 35474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001I8O3E83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:09:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EL97tR021212 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:09:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E0428v054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:01:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 118875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EL0vc9025128 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EL0v9d020811 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EL0umq020809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308142100.h7EL0umq020809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/REISSUED/142100Z/150600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/142021ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8N4 154.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 152.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THIS LLCC IS CURRENTLY BEING SUPPRESSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO FILL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ENHANCE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EVEN FURTHER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 142030) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:37 2003 X-UIDL: 35475-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001O9PRG83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:45:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ELj8tR029176 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:45:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9AX024814; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:39:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119210 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:39:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ELdcc9043330 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:39:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7ELdc9d021817 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7ELdcY3021816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:39:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308142139.h7ELdcY3021816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 142139 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13.5N 145.5W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 13N143W 14N146W 12N150W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 14N140W THROUGH DISTURBANCE NEAR 13.5N 145.5W THROUGH 10N155W THROUGH 12N162W THROUGH 04N180 AND EXTENDING WEST. ISOLATED/LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 12N145W 08N148W 07N151W 08N157W 10N160W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80NM OF LINE EXTENDING ACROSS EQUATOR 06N175W 04N178E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 18N163W 16N170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 14N163W 14N169W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...THROUGH 17S120W 15S130W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 120W. ISOLATED TOWERING CUMULUS AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 80NM SOUTHWEST OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. FRONT/SHEARLINE 2...THROUGH 25S156W 16S166W 10S176W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE THROUGH 08S180 05S162E. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 25S156W 20S159W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB ASSOCIATED WITH PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 25S152W 21S153W 17S159W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 25KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 45NM OF FRONT AND BROKEN LAYERS WITHIN 200NM SOUTHWEST OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 09S178W 05S162E HAVE MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT 2 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN SOUTH PACIFIC ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:39 2003 X-UIDL: 35477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM00132QXF83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 06:10:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EMAKtR034668 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 06:10:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9B5024814; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:02:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EM2ac9057738 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EM2a9d022691 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:02:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EM2aCn022690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:02:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:02:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308142202.h7EM2aCn022690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 142202 CCA TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. ..CORRECTION TO LAST SENTENCE IN NORTH PACIFIC...OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13.5N 145.5W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 13N143W 14N146W 12N150W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS THROUGH 14N140W THROUGH DISTURBANCE NEAR 13.5N 145.5W THROUGH 10N155W THROUGH 12N162W THROUGH 04N180 AND EXTENDING WEST. ISOLATED/LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 12N145W 08N148W 07N151W 08N157W 10N160W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80NM OF LINE EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE 06N175W 04N178E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 18N163W 16N170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 14N163W 14N169W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...THROUGH 17S120W 15S130W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 120W. ISOLATED TOWERING CUMULUS AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 80NM SOUTHWEST OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. FRONT/SHEARLINE 2...THROUGH 25S156W 16S166W 10S176W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE THROUGH 08S180 05S162E. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 25S156W 20S159W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB ASSOCIATED WITH PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 25S152W 21S153W 17S159W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 25KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 45NM OF FRONT AND BROKEN LAYERS WITHIN 200NM SOUTHWEST OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 09S178W 05S162E HAVE MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT 2 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN SOUTH PACIFIC ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:40 2003 X-UIDL: 35478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001CYR5283@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 06:15:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EMEstR035647 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 06:14:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042CL054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:06:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119408 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:06:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EM6Gc9036966 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:06:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EM6G9d022843 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:06:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EM6GCv022842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:06:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:06:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308142206.h7EM6GCv022842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 142206 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 14 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NEAR 18N117W MOVING NW 5 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/1800 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF T.D. HILDA... NEAR 18N135W DRIFTING WEST. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 17N BETWEEN 97W AND 102W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W/110W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 24N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 18N117W... WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...AND OVERCAST MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 115W AND 120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N95W 10N110W 10N125W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG...DISSIPATING FROM BEING SCATTERED STRONG AT 14/1615 UTC...WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 89W...AND BETWEEN 94W AND 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 128W AND 130W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:40 2003 X-UIDL: 35479-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM0012ZRN483@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 06:25:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EMPetR037813 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 06:25:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042Cn054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:21:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:21:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EMLbc9011184 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:21:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EMLb9d023233 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:21:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EMLaeD023232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:21:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 17:21:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308142221.h7EMLaeD023232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 142221 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. WHILE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED THIS AFTERNOON...REDEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY OCCUR TONIGHT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:44 2003 X-UIDL: 35486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN001LM1WA83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:07:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F27EtR082369 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:07:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042Jb054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:02:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 121063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:02:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F22Gc9057748 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:02:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F22G9d026265 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:02:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F22GZj026264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:02:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:02:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150202.h7F22GZj026264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 150201 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU AUG 14 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 14:01:20 2003 X-UIDL: 35499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003Z16M1KU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 11:49:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F3mwtR008028 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 11:49:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042Ln054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 22:45:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 121671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 22:45:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F3jBc9037438 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 22:45:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F3jA9d027356 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 22:45:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F3jAxj027355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 22:45:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 22:45:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150345.h7F3jAxj027355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 150344 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 15 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N118W MOVING W 5 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/0000 UTC... ..A 1009 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. HILDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N135W DRIFTING WEST. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 24N W OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TONIGHT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60/75 NM RADIUS OF 16N1119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N92W 11N110W 11N128W 13N10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 90W... WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 104W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 78W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N87W INLAND OVER COSTA RICA TO NEAR 9N83W AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 89W TO 92W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 4N79.5W AND WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 18.5N107W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE ENTIRE COAST OF MEXICO. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 14:01:21 2003 X-UIDL: 35505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003NP9WAKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 13:00:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F4xttR023521 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 12:59:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042MV054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 23:56:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 121902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 23:56:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F4uec9056488 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 23:56:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F4ue9d027948 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 23:56:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F4ueUq027947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 23:56:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 23:56:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150456.h7F4ueUq027947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 150456 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 625 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER SISKO/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 14:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 35514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003T7D5YKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 14:10:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F6ActR039726 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 14:10:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9IV024814; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F5xvc9028960 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F5xu9d028621 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F5xuV7028619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150559.h7F5xuV7028619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/142021ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 152.6E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THIS LLCC IS CURRENTLY BEING SUPPRESSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO FILL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ENHANCE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EVEN FURTHER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 25 KNOTS. THE FIRST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM IS TO BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 06 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 142030) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 19:23:14 2003 X-UIDL: 35523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003M0I3HKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:57:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F7v5tR065609 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:57:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042PN054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 02:53:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123053 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 02:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F7rWc9029120 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 02:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F7rV9d029637 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 02:53:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F7rVGX029634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 02:53:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 02:53:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150753.h7F7rVGX029634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 150753 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU AUG 14 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... HAWAII. THIS POORLY ORGANIZED SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS FLUCTUATED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER... THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 19:23:27 2003 X-UIDL: 35532-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003FGNSXL3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:00:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FA0QtR001278 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:00:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042QN054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:56:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:56:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F9uXc9025166 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:56:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F9uW9d000914 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:56:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F9uWk5000913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:56:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:56:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150956.h7F9uWk5000913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 150956 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 15 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N119W MOVING W 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/0600 UTC... ..A 1009 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. HILDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N136W DRIFTING WEST. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W/103W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SYSTEM IS STILL ORGANIZED THIS MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT EVEN THOUGH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOW EXPOSED. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 17N119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N91W 11N107W 12N125W 13N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 91W AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N106W TO 17N108W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 109W FROM 16N TO 18N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 7N82.5W...WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 6.5N84W TO 8N85.5W...AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF 13N FROM 91W TO 94W. CLUSTERS OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 19N130W 15N133W TO BEYOND 13N140W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 19:23:28 2003 X-UIDL: 35533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003FWNT7L3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:00:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FA0btR001319 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:00:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042QL054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:55:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123544 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F9tQc9020938 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F9tQ9d000905 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F9tQMH000904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:55:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150955.h7F9tQMH000904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 150955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13.8N 147.8W AT 15/0900 UTC HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM THAT MOVED WEST AT 10 KT THAT WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N149W 12N152W 12N158W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N168W 12N164W 04N170W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N171W 08N177W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 19S155W 26S149W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT....WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SCATTERED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 09S177W 09S178E AND MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 19:23:30 2003 X-UIDL: 35534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN00333P1IKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:27:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FARCtR006769 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:27:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042Ql054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:24:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:24:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FAOIc9015902 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:24:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FAOI9d001176 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:24:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FAOIHZ001175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:24:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:24:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308151024.h7FAOIHZ001175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 151024 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER SISKO/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 21:47:45 2003 X-UIDL: 35540-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003H5W2KKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 20:59:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FCx1tR035198 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 20:59:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042Un054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:56:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124438 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:56:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FCuMc9021788 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:56:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FCuL9d002658 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FCuK7i002656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:56:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:56:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308151256.h7FCuK7i002656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 151255 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 15 2003 ..RETRANSMISSION... FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER SISKO/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:21:52 2003 X-UIDL: 35543-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003VIYEML3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:49:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FDnPtR044361 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:49:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9Qj024814; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 08:46:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 08:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FDkZc9016634 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 08:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FDkY9d003609 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 08:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FDkYjT003608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 08:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 08:46:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308151346.h7FDkYjT003608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 151346 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LESS THAN 600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... HAWAII. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE... WHICH IS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH...HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:21:57 2003 X-UIDL: 35552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003174WFL3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 00:09:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG9ftR072868 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 00:09:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9U7024814; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:51:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 126152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FFpGc9045990 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:51:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FFpF9d007411 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FFpFh7007410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:51:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308151551.h7FFpFh7007410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 151550 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 15 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE HAS BECOME A BIT MORE ACTIVE IN TERMS OF CONVECTION WITH AN EXPANDING AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ACTIVITY FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 104W-110W. ..1011 MB LOW NEAR 18N119W MOVING WNW NEAR 10 KT. THE LOW HAS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT IS CURRENTLY BEING SHEARED WITH ALL CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 119W-121W. ..A 1009 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. HILDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 17N136W MOVING SW 5-10 KT. THE LOW REMAINS ELONGATED WITH NO CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG 20N130W-20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 10N105W 13N120W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 77W-81W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 85W-92W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 12N140W-18N130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE N SEA OF CORTEZ AND BAJA PENINSULA. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:21:57 2003 X-UIDL: 35553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003XA5MNKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 00:25:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGPStR076533 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 00:25:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADcD016640; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 11:11:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 117742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 11:11:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGB5c9024682 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 11:11:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FGB59d008059 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 11:11:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FGB51I008058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 11:11:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 11:11:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308151611.h7FGB51I008058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 151610 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 685 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:01 2003 X-UIDL: 35564-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003Q9GVPKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:28:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FKSTtR034251 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:28:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4Hl5025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:11:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:11:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FKAxc9023862 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:10:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FKAx9d014580 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:10:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FKAxHG014579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:10:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:10:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152010.h7FKAxHG014579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 152010 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... HAWAII HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER WILL BE ISSUING A BULLETIN ON THE SYSTEM...TO BE CALLED TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C...LATER THIS MORNING. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:01 2003 X-UIDL: 35565-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO00303H9WL3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:37:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FKaxtR036394 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:37:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4HlZ025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:26:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FKQhc9053184 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:26:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FKQh9d014985 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:26:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FKQhaD014984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:26:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:26:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152026.h7FKQhaD014984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA31 PHFO 152026 TCPCP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 150.7 WEST OR ABOUT 520 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...13.4 N...150.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:02 2003 X-UIDL: 35566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO0034OHEBKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:39:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FKdftR037156 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:39:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4Hlb025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FKRTc9034612 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FKRP9d015005 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FKRPwG015004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152027.h7FKRPwG015004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA21 PHFO 152027 TCMCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012003 2100Z FRI AUG 15 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 150.7W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 150.7W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 150.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.7N 151.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.3N 153.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.2N 155.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.2N 157.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.4N 161.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 18.1N 165.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 18.4N 169.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 150.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:04 2003 X-UIDL: 35569-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003EKHN2L3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:45:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FKittR038267 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:44:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4Hld025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FKRkc9014000 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FKRj9d015020 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FKRjn5015019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:27:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152027.h7FKRjn5015019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA41 PHFO 152027 TCDCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 CONVECTION HAS CONSOLIDATED SUFFICIENTLY WITH A CLASSIFIABLE CIRCULATION CENTER FOR THE DISTURBANCE TO BE RENAMED DEPRESSION ONE-C. THIS SYSTEM IS WEAK...WITH THE CENTER RELOCATED TO THE WEST SOON AFTER LOCAL SUNRISE. THE FORECAST TRACK CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE BAM MEDIUM GUIDANCE...WITH INTENSITY BIASED LOW VERSUS SHIPS. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 13.4N 150.7W 30 KT 12HR VT 16/0600Z 13.7N 151.9W 35 KT 24HR VT 16/1800Z 14.3N 153.7W 35 KT 36HR VT 17/0600Z 15.2N 155.5W 45 KT 48HR VT 17/1800Z 16.2N 157.6W 50 KT 72HR VT 18/1800Z 17.4N 161.4W 50 KT 96HR VT 19/1800Z 18.1N 165.7W 55 KT 120HR VT 20/1800Z 18.4N 169.9W 60 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:05 2003 X-UIDL: 35571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO0039BIYOL3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:13:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FLDRtR043556 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:13:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4HnZ025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:10:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 121050 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:10:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FLAKc9018288 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:10:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FLAJ9d016220 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:10:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FLAJMl016219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:10:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:10:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152110.h7FLAJMl016219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 152110 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 15 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM PANAMA NEAR 8N TO 11N IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN 78W AND 82W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...DISSIPATING CONVECTION...AND DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM 1N TO 6N BETWEEN 78W AND 83W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W/109W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION... IN AN AREA WITH WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES... DISSIPATING CONVECTION...AND DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 105W AND 112W. ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 19N120W...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 120W AND 122W. ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 17N137W...DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWEST. SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION...IN AN AREA OF SOME UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW...FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 129W AND 138W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N90W 9N104W 9N132W 9N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS EAST OF 102W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN TWO CLUSTERS FROM 28N TO 31N BETWEEN 111W AND 113W IN NW MEXICO...IN AN AREA OF BROAD LOW PRESSURE. ISOLATED CELL OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 13.5N96W IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:05 2003 X-UIDL: 35572-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003CFK2TKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:37:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FLbXtR048169 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:37:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4HoN025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:33:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 121334 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:33:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FLXpc9039842 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:33:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FLXp9d016804 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FLXpSV016803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:33:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152133.h7FLXpSV016803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 152133 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C NEAR 13.5N 151.0 HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 14N150W 15N146W...SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 8.5N 177W HAS OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 11N176W 06N178W 10N177E 11N176W. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS 15N140W THROUGH TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C 07N155W 06N160W 11N172W THROUGH TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 8.5N 177W TO 08N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF DATELINE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 14N142W 13N146W 10N150W 09N157W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 35NM OF LINES 05N156W 07N162W 05N164W AND 08N169W 06N172W 04N173W. VERY ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 12N167W 14N171W 12N173W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NEW ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...THROUGH 16S120W 14S130W 14S137W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM. FRONT HAS MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED. FRONT/SHEARLINE 2...THROUGH 25S150W 16S160W 12S170W 09S180 AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE. FRONT HAS MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 80NM OF FRONT EAST OF 170W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT WEST OF 170W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT 2 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN SOUTH PACIFIC ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:06 2003 X-UIDL: 35575-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003QJLT9L3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 06:15:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FMF2tR055127 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 06:15:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4Hpd025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 17:10:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 121659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 17:10:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FMA9c9053238 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 17:10:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FMA99d017517 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 17:10:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FMA99I017516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 17:10:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 17:10:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152210.h7FMA99I017516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 152209 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 735 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING AND DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 410 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:12 2003 X-UIDL: 35589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO00GQTXU2OL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:34:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G2YgtR098879 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:34:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG7eRV044292; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123387 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G2V8c9042028 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G2V89d020552 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G2V8C3020551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160231.h7G2V8C3020551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA31 PHFO 160230 TCPCP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.5 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...14.0 N...153.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:12 2003 X-UIDL: 35590-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO00GSNXV8OL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:35:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G2ZMtR099030 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADpR016640; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G2VSc9032932 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G2VR9d020564 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G2VR8N020563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160231.h7G2VR8N020563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA21 PHFO 160230 TCMCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012003 0300Z SAT AUG 16 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 153.5W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 153.5W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 152.9W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 14.4N 155.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.7N 157.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.0N 160.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.2N 163.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.5N 168.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 15.5N 173.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 15.5N 178.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 153.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:12 2003 X-UIDL: 35591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO00GBNYAEOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:44:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G2iVtR000629 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:44:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADpP016640; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G2V8c9042024 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G2V89d020547 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G2V775020546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:31:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160231.h7G2V775020546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA41 PHFO 160230 TCDCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 DEPRESSION ONE-C HAS LOST MUCH OF ITS CONVECTIVE PUNCH OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...BUT AN UPSURGE IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. TRACK GUIDANCE IS CONSIDERABLY TO THE LEFT FROM EARLIER...MAKING THE EARLIER OFFICIAL TRACK THE CURRENT RIGHT OUTLIER. WILL ADJUST THE OFFICIAL TRACK TO THE LEFT ACCORDINGLY IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE BAM MEDIUM GUIDANCE. GIVEN THE EMERGENCE OF AN OPEN CIRCULATION CENTER SINCE THIS MORNING...WILL RESIST SHIPS INSISTENCE ON QUICK INTENSIFICATION TO HURRICANE STRENGTH BEYOND 72 HOURS AND INSTEAD MAX OUT AT 55 KT AT 96 AND 120 HOURS. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 14.0N 153.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 16/1200Z 14.4N 155.4W 30 KT 24HR VT 17/0000Z 14.7N 157.9W 35 KT 36HR VT 17/1200Z 15.0N 160.4W 40 KT 48HR VT 18/0000Z 15.2N 163.0W 45 KT 72HR VT 19/0000Z 15.5N 168.3W 50 KT 96HR VT 20/0000Z 15.5N 173.2W 55 KT 120HR VT 21/0000Z 15.5N 178.3W 55 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:14 2003 X-UIDL: 35599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GRU10WOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:43:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G3hbtR011825 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:43:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADs3016640; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:40:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:40:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G3eHc9035420 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:40:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G3eG9d021172 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:40:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G3eGiv021171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:40:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:40:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 2...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160340.h7G3eGiv021171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA31 PHFO 160339 CCA TCPCP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTED NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 545 PM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 CORRECTED HEADLINE ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.5 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...14.0 N...153.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:15 2003 X-UIDL: 35600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GHR2AQOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 12:11:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G4B7tR016837 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 12:11:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4H1h025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:05:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124274 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:05:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G45ac9042088 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:05:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G45a9d021375 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:05:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G45axG021374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:05:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:05:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160405.h7G45axG021374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 160405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 16 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W SOUTH OF 20N IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER PANAMA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 81W-83W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W SOUTH OF 18N IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. A 1011 MB LOW IS ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 17N111W. A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTER NEAR 19N121W...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 KT. A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTER NEAR 17N137W...DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWEST. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 10N100W 8N110W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-7N BETWEEN 91W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-7N BETWEEN 109W-112W...AND FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 116W-118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 89W-92W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 22N-24N BETWEEN 105W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 15N-16N BETWEEN 92W-94W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:34:56 2003 X-UIDL: 35603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GJA33COL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 12:28:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G4SGtR020335 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 12:28:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4H1x025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:19:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:19:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G4JWc9048148 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:19:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G4JW9d021498 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:19:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G4JWHd021497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:19:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:19:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160419.h7G4JWHd021497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 160419 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 6 PM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. PLEASE SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE FAR SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NEAR THE DATELINE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A DEPRESSION BUT IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AND IS LIKELY TO MOVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BEFORE IT DOES. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 15:13:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35606-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GQF524OL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 13:10:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G5AitR027706 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 13:10:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADtn016640; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 00:06:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 00:04:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G54vc9012872 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 00:04:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G54v9d022005 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 00:04:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G54v32022004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 00:04:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 00:04:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160504.h7G54v32022004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 160504 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 15:13:26 2003 X-UIDL: 35611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GRQ8BVOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:21:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G6LNtR040628 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:21:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G3YMk1013526; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125196 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G6D7c9035802 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G6D69d022589 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G6D6Mx022587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160613.h7G6D6Mx022587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/160151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED NEAR 10.7N8 149.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:39 2003 X-UIDL: 35618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00G82D33OL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:04:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G846tR058122 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:04:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577fX025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:00:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:00:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G80Bc9047282 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:00:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G80A9d023373 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G80AgT023372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:00:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160800.h7G80AgT023372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 160800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS JUST EAST OF THE DATELINE ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND . THIS AREA HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS AND HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AND WILL LIKELY MOVE OUT OF THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC BEFORE IT DEVELOPS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:42 2003 X-UIDL: 35623-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00HHFEFUHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:33:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G8XOtR062879 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:33:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577gB025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:30:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125807 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G8Urc9013350 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G8Uq9d023748 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G8UqY6023747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:30:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160830.h7G8UqY6023747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA21 PHFO 160830 TCMCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012003 0900Z SAT AUG 16 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 155.2W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 20SE 20SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 155.2W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 154.6W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.6N 157.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.9N 159.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.2N 162.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.3N 164.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 15.6N 170.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 15.6N 174.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 15.6N 180.0 MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14N 155W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:42 2003 X-UIDL: 35624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00HHNEGIHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:33:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G8XmtR062913 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:33:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577gD025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:31:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125810 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G8Vlc9044432 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G8Vl9d023765 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G8Vlmn023764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:31:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160831.h7G8Vlmn023764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA31 PHFO 160830 TCPCP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 155.2 WEST OR ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...14.3 N...155.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST. FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:43 2003 X-UIDL: 35626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00H3KF32HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:47:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G8lJtR065222 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:47:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577gJ025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:43:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:43:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G8hDc9013394 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:43:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G8hC9d023833 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:43:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G8hC6j023832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:43:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:43:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160843.h7G8hC6j023832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA41 PHFO 160842 TCDCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST FRI AUG 15 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS MOVING STEADILY WESTWARD WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. IT IS A MARGINAL SYSTEM AT THE MOMENT HAVING AN ELONGATED SHAPE WITH SEVERAL VORTICITY CENTERS. MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS GONE. HOWEVER DIURNALLY NEW CELLS ARE POPPING UP AGAIN AT THIS TIME. WE HAVE MOVED ONE-C DUE WEST AT MODERATE FORWARD MOTION SPEED TO THE DATELINE IN 120 HOURS PASSING A LITTLE SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ATOLL ALONG THE WAY AT ABOUT 0600Z ON THE 19TH OR 72 HOURS OUT. INTENSITY HAS BEEN KEPT BELOW HURRICANE FORCE ALONG THE ENTIRE PATH WITH A SLOW AND GRADUAL NTENSIFICATION. SHFR GUIDANCE WAS USED WHILE SHIPS WAS CONSIDERED TOO HIGH. FORECASTER ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 14.3N 155.2W 30 KT 12HR VT 16/1800Z 14.6N 157.1W 30 KT 24HR VT 17/0600Z 14.9N 159.6W 30 KT 36HR VT 17/1800Z 15.2N 162.2W 35 KT 48HR VT 18/0600Z 15.3N 164.8W 40 KT 72HR VT 19/0600Z 15.6N 170.0W 45 KT 96HR VT 20/0600Z 15.6N 174.9W 45 KT 120HR VT 21/0600Z 15.6N 180.0 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:45 2003 X-UIDL: 35631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GW9I3ROL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:52:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G9qWtR076099 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:52:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577h3025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:48:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 126098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:48:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G9mfc9038548 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:48:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G9mf9d024338 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G9mfV4024337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:48:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:48:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160948.h7G9mfV4024337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 160948 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 16 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W SOUTH OF 20N IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W SOUTH OF 18N IS MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. A 1012 MB LOW IS ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N111W. A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTER NEAR 19N121W...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 KT. A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTER NEAR 17N137W...DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWEST. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 8N100W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-8N BETWEEN 78W-80W...FROM 7N-8N BETWEEN 81W-83W...FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 91W-93W...FROM 6N-7N BETWEEN 94W-96W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 129W-131W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 99W-106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 105W-107W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:48 2003 X-UIDL: 35637-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00HW4IK9HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 18:02:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GA2PtR077905 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 18:02:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577hJ025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:55:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 126147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G9tjc9055696 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G9tj9d024417 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G9tjcD024416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:55:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160955.h7G9tjcD024416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 160955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0830 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C NEAR 14.0N 155.0W AT 16/0830 UTC HAD ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED CB WITHIN 70 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST AND EAST QUADRANTS. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N179W HAD ISOLATED TO SCATTERED...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N179W 12N166W 09N168W 08N176W 11N175W THAT MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB...TO THE EAST OF T.D. ONE-C...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N152W 15N148W 11N151W 15N153W AND MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 23S143W 27S144W 28S143W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 12S174W 10S180 MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST SLOWLY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 01S170W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:48 2003 X-UIDL: 35638-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00HXZIOGHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 18:05:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GA4vtR078260 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 18:04:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577hb025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:59:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 126182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:59:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G9xEc9048636 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:59:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G9xE9d024456 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:59:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G9xE3i024455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:59:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:59:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160959.h7G9xE3i024455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 161000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 14.2N7 154.6W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 154.6W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.6N1 157.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.9N4 159.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.2N8 162.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.3N9 164.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.6N2 170.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160600Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161600Z4, 162200Z1, 170400Z2 AND 171000Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:49 2003 X-UIDL: 35639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00G9JIRGOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 18:06:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GA6ktR078546 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 18:06:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577hh025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:01:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 126193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GA10c9048156 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GA109d024510 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GA10dS024509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:01:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161001.h7GA10dS024509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 161000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 14.2N7 154.6W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 154.6W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.6N1 157.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.9N4 159.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.2N8 162.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.3N9 164.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:49 2003 X-UIDL: 35640-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GB7IVZOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 18:09:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GA9StR078930 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 18:09:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577hj025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:02:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 126204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GA23c9013416 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GA229d024539 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:02:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GA22Ks024538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:02:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:02:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 190600z6 --- 15.6n2 170.0w8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161002.h7GA22Ks024538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 161000 RRB 190600Z6 --- 15.6N2 170.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160600Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161600Z4, 162200Z1, 170400Z2 AND 171000Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:49 2003 X-UIDL: 35641-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00HCPJLFHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 18:24:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GAOgtR081231 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 18:24:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G82Lhj020756; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:19:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 126290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:19:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GAJtc9021864 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:19:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GAJt9d024773 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:19:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GAJtaF024772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:19:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:19:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161019.h7GAJtaF024772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 161019 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 23:23:18 2003 X-UIDL: 35648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00H9UT4XHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:50:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GDootR015962 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:50:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577kF025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 08:46:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 08:46:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GDknc9047336 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 08:46:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GDkm9d027201 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 08:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GDkmTb027200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 08:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 08:46:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161346.h7GDkmTb027200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 161346 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT AUG 16 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HILO... HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS JUST EAST OF THE DATELINE ABOUT 820 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THIS AREA OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 23:23:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00HO4V6QHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:35:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEZ7tR023586 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:35:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577kr025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:31:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:31:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEV4c9038604 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GEV49d027677 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GEV4E0027676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:31:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161431.h7GEV4E0027676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA21 PHFO 161430 TCMCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012003 1500Z SAT AUG 16 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 156.4W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 20SE 20SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 156.4W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 155.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.7N 158.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.0N 160.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.2N 163.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.4N 166.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.6N 171.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 15.6N 176.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 15.6N 178.7E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 156W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 23:23:24 2003 X-UIDL: 35654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GKVV99OL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:36:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEactR023827 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:36:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGAD2j016640; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEWac9006912 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GEWa9d027689 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GEWaIl027688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161432.h7GEWaIl027688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA41 PHFO 161432 TCDCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT AUG 16 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS MOVING STEADILY WESTWARD WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. IT CONTINUES TO BE A POORLY ORGANIZED AND MARGINAL SYSTEM. ONE-C IN THE FORECAST HAS BEEN MOVED DUE WEST ALONG THE PREVIOUS FORECASTED TRACK AT ROUGHLY THE SAME SPEED. INTENSITY LIKEWISE HAS BEEN LEFT NEARLY UNCHANGED AT LESS THAN HURRICANE STRENGTH. UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT NOT VERY FAVORABLE AT THE MOMENT DUE TO EXCESSIVE VERTICAL SHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST. ONLY MINOR EFFECTS UPON THE WEATHER IN HAWAII EXPECTED AS ONE-C PASSES BY. FORECASTER ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 14.5N 156.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 17/0000Z 14.7N 158.3W 30 KT 24HR VT 17/1200Z 15.0N 160.9W 30 KT 36HR VT 18/0000Z 15.2N 163.5W 35 KT 48HR VT 18/1200Z 15.4N 166.0W 40 KT 72HR VT 19/1200Z 15.6N 171.2W 45 KT 96HR VT 20/1200Z 15.6N 176.1W 45 KT 120HR VT 21/1200Z 15.6N 178.7E 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 23:23:24 2003 X-UIDL: 35656-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GOIVFOOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:40:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEeUtR024453 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:40:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577kt025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEWDc9021350 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GEWD9d027682 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GEWCwl027681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:32:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161432.h7GEWCwl027681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA31 PHFO 161431 TCPCP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT AUG 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 156.4 WEST OR ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HILO HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...14.5 N...156.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 01:36:25 2003 X-UIDL: 35658-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GIWXIIOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:25:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GFPNtR031770 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:25:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577nT025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:18:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127709 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:18:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GFI3c9007116 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:18:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GFI29d028273 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GFI2gE028272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:18:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161518.h7GFI2gE028272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 161517 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 16 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT WITH A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 16N. THERE IS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE LOW BUT CONVECTION IS DISPLACED TO THE WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 111W-115W. ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 19N121W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 KT. A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION. A SWIRL OF LOW BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS IS WITHIN 200 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 17N139W...DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWEST. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N130W AND EXTENDS SE TO JUST S OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 23N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 7N90W 10N105W 7N115W 9N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 77W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 91W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 110W-120W AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 129W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 01:36:29 2003 X-UIDL: 35663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00G7G0GBOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 00:28:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GGSqtR042541 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 00:28:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577or025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:25:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 128088 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:25:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GGPEc9007042 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:25:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GGPE9d029045 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:25:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GGPE3K029044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:25:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:25:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161625.h7GGPE3K029044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 161624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 485 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST SINCE YESTERDAY AND ONLY A SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:46 2003 X-UIDL: 35675-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00GPW9QMOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:49:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GJnRtR086232 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:49:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577ut025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:45:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GJjcc9048586 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GJjb9d001446 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GJjb6u001445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:45:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161945.h7GJjb6u001445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 161945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT AUG 16 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR THE DATELINE OR ABOUT 2100 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. THIS AREA OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:47 2003 X-UIDL: 35677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00H23AXQHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:15:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GKFItR091900 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:15:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577vP025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:11:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129799 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:11:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GKBbc9045006 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:11:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GKBa9d001824 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:11:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GKBaCt001823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:11:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:11:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308162011.h7GKBaCt001823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA41 PHFO 162011 TCDCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SAT AUG 16 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS CONTINUING ON A TRACK JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST. THIS WILL TAKE IT BY WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. MORNING VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED VORTEX WELL TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. NO SIGN OF WESTERLY WINDS IN SATELLITE IMAGERY OR QUICKSCAT WINDS...SO SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED FURTHER OVERNIGHT. EXPECT SYSTEM TO BE DISSIPATED WITHIN 12 HOURS. FORECASTER FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 14.7N 157.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 17/0600Z 15.0N 158.9W 20 KT...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:48 2003 X-UIDL: 35679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HI8BS7HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:33:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GKXbtR095701 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:33:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G82LFr020756; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:30:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GKUqc9025692 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:30:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GKUq9d002099 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GKUqQL002098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:30:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308162030.h7GKUqQL002098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA21 PHFO 162030 TCMCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012003 2100Z SAT AUG 16 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 157.3W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 282 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 20SE 20SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 157.3W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 156.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.0N 158.9W...DISSIPATED MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 157.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z FORECASTER FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:49 2003 X-UIDL: 35680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HIFBSLHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:33:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GKXotR095739 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:33:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G82LFx020756; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:31:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GKVnc9042148 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GKVn9d002114 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GKVn44002113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:31:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308162031.h7GKVn44002113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA31 PHFO 162031 TCPCP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SAT AUG 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C MOVING BY TO THE SOUTH OF HAWAII AND DISSIPATING... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.3 WEST OR ABOUT 400 SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEST 12 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...14.7 N...157.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:51 2003 X-UIDL: 35683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00GWOFC9OL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:50:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GLoPtR010571 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:50:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G5770J025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:46:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:46:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GLkgc9038186 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:46:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GLkg9d003088 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:46:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GLkg6V003087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:46:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:46:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308162146.h7GLkg6V003087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 162146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C NEAR 14.7N 157.3W AT 16/2100 UTC HAD ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 16N155W 12N152W. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N180 HAD ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N174W 10N169W 04N177W 11N180 15N180 16N174W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09N169W 06N163W 08N159W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 20S147W 25S141W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ALSO ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 11S177W 12S167W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:52 2003 X-UIDL: 35684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00GFZG2OOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 06:06:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GM6HtR013371 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 06:06:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G5770b025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:04:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130885 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:04:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GM47c9032534 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:04:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GM479d003336 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:04:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GM47Zp003335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:04:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:04:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308162204.h7GM47Zp003335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 162203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 16 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W/89W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. A FEW CELLS OF ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 89W AND 90W. ..THE TROPICAL WAVE WHICH WAS ALONG 111W SIX HOURS AGO IS NOT EVIDENT NOW. 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER REMAINS NEAR 16N112W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...DISSIPATING CONVECTION...AND DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 112W AND 116W. ..1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 19N124W MOVING WEST- NORTHWEST 5-10 KT. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. A SWIRL OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 200 NM WEST THROUGH NORTH OF THE CENTER. ..THE 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 17N139W AT 16/1605 UTC HAS MOVED WEST OF 140...OUT OF THE AREA. NO DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF 140W ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW PRESSURE CENTER. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 24N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 6N92W 9N108W 8N121W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS...INCLUDING OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PANAMA... EAST OF 88W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 121W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION...SOME DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST FIVE HOURS...FROM 8N TO 14N BETWEEN 131W AND 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 92W AND 104W...INCLUDING OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR THE COAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:53 2003 X-UIDL: 35685-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00GOMGRFOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 06:21:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GML7PQ002178 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 06:21:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G5770l025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:18:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:18:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GMIkc9025664 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:18:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GMIj9d003452 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:18:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GMIjeI003451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:18:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:18:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308162218.h7GMIjeI003451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PHNC 162200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C WARNING NR 05 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 14.6N1 156.8W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 282 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 156.8W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.0N6 158.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161800Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 156.8W0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 403 NM SOUTHEAST OF PEARL HARBOR, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161800Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:53 2003 X-UIDL: 35686-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00H61HBOHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 06:33:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GMXFPQ003821 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 06:33:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADAt016640; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:30:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 131014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GMUIc9013954 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GMUI9d003584 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GMUIWk003583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:30:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308162230.h7GMUIWk003583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 162230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST SINCE YESTERDAY AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:56 2003 X-UIDL: 35691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HNFQB5HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:47:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H1lMPQ032816 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:47:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G5775r025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:45:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 132622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H1jbc9019376 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H1ja9d005353 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H1jaOF005352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:45:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170145.h7H1jaOF005352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 170145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT AUG 16 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS NEAR THE DATELINE OR ABOUT 2100 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. THIS AREA OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC OCEAN. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:57 2003 X-UIDL: 35692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HDHSF3HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:33:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H2WtPQ040516 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:32:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G82LbD020756; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 132892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H2V0c9026010 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H2V09d005861 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H2V0G9005860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170231.h7H2V0G9005860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA41 PHFO 170230 TCDCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SAT AUG 16 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C IS NOW TOO WEAK TO BE PROPERLY CLASSIFIED. WHILE A VORTEX CENTER CAN BE FOUND AT THE CURRENT LOCATION... THERE IS NO LONGER ANY EVIDENCE OF WESTERLY WINDS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. DEEP CONVECTION IS NOW FAR OFF TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND THE VORTEX IS CONTINUING TO MOVE UNDER THE MORE UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS OF NORTHWEST WINDS EAST OF A RIDGE ALOFT AS IT PLODS ON WESTWARD ALONG ABOUT 15N. WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND UNFAVORABLE WINDS ALOFT THIS SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND IS UNLIKELY TO REGENERATE. THIS WILL BE THE LAST BULLETIN ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C...HOWEVER WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE REMNANT VORTEX. FORECASTER FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 14.7N 157.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 17/1200Z 15.2N 160.6W 20 KT...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:58 2003 X-UIDL: 35694-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HFMSGYHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:34:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H2Y3PQ040698 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:34:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADFn016640; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:32:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 132907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H2Vjc9019398 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H2Vj9d005871 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H2VjMl005870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:31:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170231.h7H2VjMl005870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA21 PHFO 170231 TCMCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012003 0300Z SUN AUG 17 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 158.9W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 20SE 20SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 158.9W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 158.1W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.2N 160.6W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 158.9W THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THIS STORM. FORECASTER FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:59 2003 X-UIDL: 35695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HR3SO8HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:38:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H2cPPQ041670 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:38:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G57773025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:35:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 132940 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:34:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H2Yac9039730 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:34:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H2YZ9d005903 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:34:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H2YZqV005902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:34:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:34:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression One-c Advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170234.h7H2YZqV005902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPA31 PHFO 170234 TCPCP1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 3 PM HST SUN AUG 17 2003 AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.8 WEST OR ABOUT 400 SOUTH OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 3 PM HST POSITION...14.8 N...158.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FORECASTER FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:11 2003 X-UIDL: 35698-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00H4MVNCHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 11:42:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H3gcPQ051734 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 11:42:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G5777r025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:39:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133366 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:39:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H3dnc9007968 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:39:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H3dm9d006297 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:39:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H3dmtv006296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:39:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:39:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170339.h7H3dmtv006296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 170339 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS IS LOCATED ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:12 2003 X-UIDL: 35699-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HD7W09HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 11:50:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H3oQPQ052880 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 11:50:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADGl016640; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:48:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:48:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H3mcc9025784 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:48:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H3mc9d006339 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:48:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H3mcro006338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:48:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:48:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170348.h7H3mcro006338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 170348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 17 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 90W/91W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 16N113W MOVING WSW 10-15 KT. CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 113W TO 118W. ..A 1013 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N125W MOVING SW 10 KT. ..A 1013 MB LOW HAS MOVED W OF THE REGION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N131W TO 28N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N91W 10N109W 7N117W 9N132W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 105W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 109W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 20N TO 25N AND N OF 12.5N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND HONDURAS FROM THE GULF OF FONSECA TO 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 6N TO 8N AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14.5N97W 15.5N99W TO 15N103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER W PANAMA AND COSTA RICA W OF 80W WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA S OF 10N. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM THE ITCZ TO INLAND OVER MEXICO AND GUATEMALA BETWEEN 86W TO 102W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:13 2003 X-UIDL: 35701-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HS5Z1PHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 12:56:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H4u6PQ062913 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 12:56:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G5778h025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133639 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H4mRc9044940 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H4mR9d006762 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H4mQ8V006760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170448.h7H4mQ8V006760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/170151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHWEST OF ANDERSON AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:20 2003 X-UIDL: 35707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00J2E8Z78X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:30:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H8UYPQ005528 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:30:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577B5025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:18:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:18:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H8ICc9041700 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:18:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H8IB9d008483 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:18:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H8IBOE008482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:18:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:18:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170818.h7H8IBOE008482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ACPN50 PHFO 170817 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT AUG 16 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C. THE REMNANT OF ONE-C IS CENTERED ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST ABOUT 15 MILES AN HOUR. PLEASE SEE THE FINAL CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETIN FOR DETAILS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:21 2003 X-UIDL: 35710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00JKN9I48X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:42:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H8fsPQ007303 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:41:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577BH025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H8MZc9028950 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H8MZ9d008521 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H8MZhn008519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170822.h7H8MZhn008519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/170151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 144.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: SPELLING ERROR AND ADDED POSITION TO PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:22 2003 X-UIDL: 35712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00JQRCAW8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 17:42:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H9gOPQ017734 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 17:42:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577C9025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:38:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 135176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:38:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H9ctc9052970 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:38:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H9ct9d009027 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H9ctaI009026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:38:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170938.h7H9ctaI009026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 170938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 17 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 92W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 16N115W MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N117.5W TO 16N114.5W. ..A 1013 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N127W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N135W TO 25N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N95W 10N105W 8N121W 10N134W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 107W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W AND FROM 119W TO 122W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 90W AND WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N100.5W TO 17N103W AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 20.5N TO 23N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N100W TO 15N104W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N94W TO 12N98.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM EL SALVADOR TO MEXICO BETWEEN 87W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 18N106W TO 21N107W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 7N. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 8N82.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00J5WDOF8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 18:12:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HAC7PQ022387 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 18:12:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577CD025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:04:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 135270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:04:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HA4Qc9041516 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:04:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HA4Q9d009184 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:04:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HA4Qnj009183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:04:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:04:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308171004.h7HA4Qnj009183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 171004 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C NEAR 15N160W HAS OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 15N154W 18N157W AND SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100NM OF LINE 15N154W 17N159W 14N164W. SEE FINAL BULLETIN FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. REMNANT OF TROPICAL STORM HILDA NEAR 17N143W WITH SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 100NM OF LINE 17N146W 19N143W 20N140W AND EXTENDING EAST HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 10N140W 10N152W 12N156W 10N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 90NM OF LINE 08N140W 09N148W 08N153W AND EXTENDING EAST HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WIHTN 50NM OF POINT 12N156W HAVE MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 15KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12N170W 10N158W 07N160W 06N173W 08N180 12N170W HAS MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INCREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS... SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT 25S139W 20S145W 15S155W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 11S180. FRONT MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND SHEARLINE NEARLY STATIONARY. OVERCAST LAYERS AND OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90NM OF FRONT EAST OF 145W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF SHEARLINE BETWEEN 160W AND 172W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT AND SHEARLINE WEST OF 145W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00JOJFA88X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 18:46:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HAkjPQ027801 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 18:46:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577Ch025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:41:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 135416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:41:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HAfgc9050470 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:41:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HAfg9d009428 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HAfg4h009427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:41:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308171041.h7HAfg4h009427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 171041 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS IS LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:26 2003 X-UIDL: 35723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00JF1PSW8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:34:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HEXxPQ064246 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:34:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577Gj025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:31:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:31:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HEVnc9013500 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HEVn9d010841 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HEVnvJ010840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:31:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308171431.h7HEVnvJ010840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 171431 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN AUG 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:28 2003 X-UIDL: 35730-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00JSYS4H8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 23:24:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HFO5PQ072959 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 23:24:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577HR025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:21:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:20:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HFK5c9035726 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:20:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HFK59d011218 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:20:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HFK5ka011217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:20:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:20:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308171520.h7HFK5ka011217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 171519 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 17 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W/95W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. BROAD TURNING NOTED IN MORNING VISIBLE PICTURES. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 94W-99W. ..1009 MB LOW IS NEAR 16N115.5W MOVING W 10 KT. THE LOW IS SHEARED FROM THE E... DISPLACING CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION W OF THE CENTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N117W. ..LOW NEAR 19N127W HAS OPENED UP INTO A TROUGH ALONG 128W FROM 14N-23N. THIS TROUGH IS ALL THAT REMAINS OF T.S. HILDA. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N136W TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N85W 10N105W 7N127W 10N135W 8N140W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN 90 NM OF 6N79W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90N OF AXIS FROM 103W-112W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 83W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 117W-123W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A THIN LINE OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE SW COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 17N104W 19.5N107W 24N107W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 12N136W 16N139W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF 13N93W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:29 2003 X-UIDL: 35732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00JUSWF68X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:57:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HGuwPQ088675 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:57:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADQp016640; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 11:54:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 11:54:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HGsHc9041556 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 11:54:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HGsH9d011862 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 11:54:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HGsGM4011861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 11:54:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 11:54:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308171654.h7HGsGM4011861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 171654 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 690 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 MPH AND DEVELOPMENT ..IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. AN ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED FROM NEAR MANZANILLO SOUTHEAST TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS ACTIVITY IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:32 2003 X-UIDL: 35736-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00JN54EV8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 03:49:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HJnWPQ023944 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 03:49:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4gfn015102; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 14:45:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 139209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 14:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HJjXc9008124 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 14:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HJjX9d013564 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 14:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HJjXMB013563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 14:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 14:45:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308171945.h7HJjXMB013563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 171945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN AUG 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00JDLA948X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 05:55:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HLrIPQ048325 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 05:55:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4gjj015102; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:51:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 140763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HLowc9014340 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:50:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HLow9d015210 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:50:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HLovqO015209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:50:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308172150.h7HLovqO015209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 172150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N141W 06N141W 09N157W 11N157W 09N150W 10N141W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N171W 12N163W 07N162W 08N180 14N180 15N171W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N161W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 26N178W 24N180...HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 22S140W 25S135W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 11S170W 12S180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SHEARLINE UNDER OTHER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF 09S152W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00JSOAIS8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 06:01:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HM1XPQ050108 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 06:01:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4gjl021420; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:57:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 140829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HLv2c9007946 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:57:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HLv29d015272 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:57:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HLv23c015271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:57:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:57:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308172157.h7HLv23c015271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 172156 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 17 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/1800 UTC... ..TROUGH ALONG 17N106W 27N110W 32N114W. DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM EARLIER STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 103W AND 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION HAS MOVED INLAND TO MEXICO...NOW FROM 23N TO 26N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM ITCZ NEAR 9N TO 15N/16N JUST OFF MEXICO COAST BETWEEN 93W AND 101W. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IN MEXICO JUST NW OF ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC CONTRIBUTING TO SOME OF THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 15N117W MOVING WEST 10 KT. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS...FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 117W AND 120W. ..TROUGH FROM 14N TO 22N ALONG 128W/129W...REMNANT OF T.S. HILDA. SWIRL OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS DEFINE THIS TROUGH. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 24N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 9N92W 10N110W 8N123W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 104W...AND WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 87W...AND BETWEEN 107W AND 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00E87CANW2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 06:39:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HMdqPQ056443 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 06:39:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4gkR021420; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 17:35:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 141116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 17:35:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HMZoc9037114 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 17:35:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HMZo9d015689 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 17:35:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HMZonG015688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 17:35:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 17:35:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308172235.h7HMZonG015688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 172235 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS IS CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED JUST TO THE WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:36 2003 X-UIDL: 35757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00EKJL3BW2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 09:49:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I1npPQ092597 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 09:49:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4goh015102; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 20:45:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 142217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 20:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I1jfc9041730 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 20:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I1jf9d017493 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 20:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I1jfBj017492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 20:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 20:45:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180145.h7I1jfBj017492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 180145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN AUG 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:50 2003 X-UIDL: 35777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00EXJQO9W2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 11:50:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I3oPPQ019611 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 11:50:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4go7021420; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:46:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 142673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I3k2c9008104 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I3k29d018709 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I3k28h018708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180346.h7I3k28h018708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 180345 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS IS CENTERED ABOUT 770 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THERE ARE SEVERAL AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR AND WITHIN A FEW HUNDRED MILES OF THE COAST OF MEXICO. NONE OF THESE SHOW SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:50 2003 X-UIDL: 35778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00ECHQVDW2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 11:54:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I3sePQ020509 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 11:54:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4gpx015102; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:50:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 142688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I3oRc9053066 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I3oR9d018730 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:50:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I3oRF5018729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:50:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:50:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180350.h7I3oRF5018729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 AXPZ20 KNHC 180350 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 18 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/0000 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH IS INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 22N104W NNW TO 31N111W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W/98W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N118W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 15.5N119.5W. ..SURFACE TROUGH PREVIOUSLY ALONG 128W IS NOW A 1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 18N131W MOVING W 15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO 25N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N88W 10N96W 9N106W 7N120W 6N126W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 98W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 120W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 104W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N TO 25N E OF 108W TO INLAND OVER W MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 25N TO 27N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 5N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA AND N OF 14N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 96W TO 99W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM THE ITCZ AXIS TO 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 112W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 20:01:17 2003 X-UIDL: 35792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00E0NVS1W2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 13:40:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I5eePQ045074 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 13:40:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4gqD021420; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 143465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I5XBc9055804 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I5XB9d019765 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I5XBnN019763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180533.h7I5XBnN019763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 140.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TD 12W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 140.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 352 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS SURFACE TROUGHING IN THE REGION. UW-CIMSS CHART ANALYSIS SHOWS MINIMAL VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG WITH A FAIR AREA OF DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.6N4 125.5E3 IS RELOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 122.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 20:01:21 2003 X-UIDL: 35797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00EIQ165W2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 15:37:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I7b6PQ084102 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 15:37:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4guR015102; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 02:31:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 143874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 02:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I7V2c9008058 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 02:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I7Uw9d021160 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 02:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I7Uvvd021159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 02:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 02:30:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180730.h7I7Uvvd021159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 180730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN AUG 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 20:01:22 2003 X-UIDL: 35807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00ELT6CHW2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 17:29:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I9SuPQ017899 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 17:28:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4guv015102; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:26:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:26:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I9QAc9034456 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:26:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I9QA9d022374 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:26:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I9QACi022373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:26:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:26:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180926.h7I9QACi022373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 180925 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 12N140W 10N145W 08N150W 12N166W 08N170W 08N178W 11N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 14N142W 11N140W 10N146W 14N142W AND WITHIN 65NM OF LINE 10N152W 08N158W. OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 10N148W 06N147W 07N151W 10N148W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 12N167W 13N170W MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS... SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS... SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATE TCU. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT 25S129W 16S150W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 12S180. FRONT MOVING NORTHEAST AT 08KT AND SHEARLINE NEARLY STATIONARY. OVERCAST LAYERS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM SOUTH OF SHEARLINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 20:01:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00E5476QW2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 17:47:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I9l5PQ022413 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 17:47:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4gv5015102; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:43:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:43:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I9hSc9037872 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:43:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I9hR9d022490 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:43:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I9hRhX022489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:43:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:43:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180943.h7I9hRhX022489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 180943 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 18 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 98W/99W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N119W MOVING W 10 KT. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12.5N119.5W TO 15.5N121W. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 133W FROM 14N TO 21N. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO 25N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N89W 10N101W 7N122W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 99W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 105W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W INCLUDING A PORTION OF W MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE COAST OF W PANAMA AND NW COLOMBIA N OF 7N W OF 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N95W TO 16N104W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N FROM 107W TO 112W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 20:01:24 2003 X-UIDL: 35812-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00EMQ8K0W2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:16:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IAGfPQ029891 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:16:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4grh021420; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I9xhc9015610 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I9xg9d022573 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I9xg1n022571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180959.h7I9xg1n022571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 181000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/REISSUED/181000Z/190600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 140.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TD 12W PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 140.3E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 139.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 393 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM. UW-CIMSS CHART ANALYSIS SHOWS MINIMAL VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG WITH A FAIR AREA OF DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.6N4 125.5E3 IS RELOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 122.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 20:01:24 2003 X-UIDL: 35813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00EJM9LKW2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:39:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IAdBPQ035076 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:39:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HKAHJ9020756; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 05:34:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144335 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 05:34:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IAYec9036884 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 05:34:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IAYd9d022834 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 05:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IAYdEk022833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 05:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 05:34:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308181034.h7IAYdEk022833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 181034 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED 800 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS AREA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE COAST OF MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 MPH. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:27 2003 X-UIDL: 36009-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005Y3PLFKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 02:20:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JIJquU014927 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 02:19:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JI0Se5033714; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:06:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 174279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:05:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JI5ec9014414 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:05:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JI5e9d022927 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JI5e7P022924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:05:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191805.h7JI5e7P022924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:28 2003 X-UIDL: 36011-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005PKQ16KE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 02:29:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JITOuU016140 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 02:29:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JGh6m7053106; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 174401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JI7vc9021336 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JI7v9d023212 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JI7vFx023209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191807.h7JI7vFx023209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIII, Probability=28%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/191800Z/200600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191351ZAUG2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191352ZAUG2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191200Z3, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W (VAMCO), LOCATED NEAR 24.4N0 123.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, WAS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 191500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 191200Z3, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED NEAR 20.3N5 133.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 191500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TD 12W, PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 136.0E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 114.5E1, HAS BEEN RELOCATED NEAR 19.1N1 118.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LUZON. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING IN PARA 1.A.(2) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA//// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:30 2003 X-UIDL: 36018-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV0052WTZPKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:55:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JJsmuU029960 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:54:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JJGKfZ039524; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:46:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 177830 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:46:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JJjdc9039010 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JJjd9d007706 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JJjdKJ007705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:45:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191945.h7JJjdKJ007705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_25_50, UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 191945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE AUG 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36025-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV0057MZPOKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 05:58:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JLwNuU047235 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 05:58:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JJGKsT039524; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:45:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 180916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JLjdc9029652 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JLjd9d022476 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JLjd7P022475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:45:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308192145.h7JLjd7P022475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 192145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 15N156W 10N147W 11N140W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT HAVE DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N145W 14N145W HAVE MOVED WEST 20 KT AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 22N179W 23N170W 13N170W 13N175W 23N179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12S180 14S176W 13S167W HAVE MOVED SOUTH 10 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SHEARLINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36026-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJW0052A09KKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 06:10:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JMAPuU048661 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 06:10:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JKFv2R004446; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:00:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 181218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:59:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JLxpc9029036 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JLxp9d023795 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JLxpvu023792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:59:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308192159.h7JLxpvu023792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 192159 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 19 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W N OF 7N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-5N BETWEEN 81W-82W. ..1013 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 102W-105W. ..1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N125W MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 124W-126W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N95W 12N109W 9N120W 6N125W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 112W-115W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 99W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 109W-110W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:32 2003 X-UIDL: 36028-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJW005A22NRKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 07:02:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JN29uU054225 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 07:02:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JGh675053106; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:55:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 182541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:55:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JMt0c9055288 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:55:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JMt09d028579 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:55:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JMt09r028578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:55:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:55:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308192255.h7JMt09r028578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 192254 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 1150 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:34 2003 X-UIDL: 36039-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00EXAHP7W2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:34:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IDYAPQ082957 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:34:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4g0J015102; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 08:30:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 145245 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 08:30:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IDUSc9041684 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 08:30:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IDUR9d025117 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 08:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IDURCD025116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 08:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 08:30:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308181330.h7IDURCD025116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 181330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON AUG 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:38 2003 X-UIDL: 36050-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00IJFMQTJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 23:23:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IFN8PQ014317 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 23:23:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4g3F015102; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 10:19:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 145987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 10:19:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IFJ7c9047276 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 10:19:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IFJ79d028638 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 10:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IFJ7Hx028637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 10:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 10:19:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308181519.h7IFJ7Hx028637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 181518 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 18 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 99W/100W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 95W-103W. ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N120W MOVING W 10 KT. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT LOOK AS ORGANIZED AS YESTERDAY WITH ONLY SPORADIC WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 134W FROM 13N TO 21N MOVING W 10 KT. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 15.5N136W. ..ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS THRU THE GULF OF CALFORNIA S TO 19N107W SW OF MANZANILLO. THIS FEATURE IS RESPONSIBLE FOR AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE OFFSHORE OF MEXICO FROM 19N-23N BETWEEN 106W-110W. ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 28N. THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA HAVE MERGED WITH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROUGH. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N138W TO 21N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N90W 11N110W 7N124W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3.5N-7N E OF 85W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE ITCZ FROM 96W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CLUSTER WITHIN 90 NM OF 11N111.5W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W-125W AND W OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF 15N107.5W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 10.5N89W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:39 2003 X-UIDL: 36053-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00IO8PIGJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 00:23:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IGMuPQ032563 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 00:22:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4g57015102; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 11:10:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 146369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 11:10:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IGAmc9044534 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 11:10:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IGAm9d000543 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 11:10:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IGAmML000542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 11:10:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 11:10:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308181610.h7IGAmML000542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPZ20 KNHC 181610 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE IT REACHES COOLER WATER. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:39 2003 X-UIDL: 36058-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00E63T65W2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:42:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHfuPQ055317 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:41:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4g25021420; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 147115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHb5c9010480 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IHb49d003405 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IHb4Q9003401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308181737.h7IHb4Q9003401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:40 2003 X-UIDL: 36059-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00E6TT70W2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:42:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHgQPQ055428 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:42:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4g29021420; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:38:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 147118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHb5c9039744 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IHb49d003406 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IHb4Xb003403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 12:37:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308181737.h7IHb4Xb003403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36063-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00IK3Z54JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:51:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IJouPQ091567 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:50:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqki7048454; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 14:46:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 149054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 14:45:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IJjRc9048128 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 14:45:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IJjR9d008051 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 14:45:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IJjRuf008050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 14:45:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 14:45:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308181945.h7IJjRuf008050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 ACPN50 PHFO 181945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON AUG 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:42 2003 X-UIDL: 36070-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IFY4OFJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 05:50:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ILoVPQ023529 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 05:50:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqkot048454; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 150920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ILkZc9019258 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7ILkZ9d011984 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7ILkZPp011983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308182146.h7ILkZPp011983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIII, Probability=35%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ACPA40 PHFO 182146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 10N140W 12N145W 09N150W 10N155W 12N165W 12N170W 10N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF THE POINT 18N168W HAVE SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS... SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 100 NM OF THE LINE 24N179W 29N173W ANDIS MOVING NORTH 10 KT AND INCREASING IN INTENSITY. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF THE POINT 18N 168W ARE MOVING WEST 15 KT AND HAVE SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT 23S130W 17S140W 15S150W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 12S180. FRONT MOVING NORTHEAST AT 08KT AND SHEARLINE NEARLY STATIONARY. OVERCAST LAYERS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 14S176W AND ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM SOUTH OF SHEARLINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NIL. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:42 2003 X-UIDL: 36071-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00ILK5ZZJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 06:19:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IMJ3PQ030621 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 06:19:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqmAF014850; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 17:06:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 151075 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 17:04:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IM4Pc9010470 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 17:04:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IM4P9d012413 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 17:04:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IM4PlD012412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 17:04:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 17:04:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308182204.h7IM4PlD012412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 AXPZ20 KNHC 182204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 18 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 100W/101W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 96W-102W. ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N121W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED W OF THE CENTER FROM 14N-15N BETWEEN 122W-124W. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 135W FROM 13N TO 21N MOVING W 10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED. ..ANOTHER SURFACE TROUGH IS THRU THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 32N115W TO 19N108W SW OF MANZANILLO. THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA HAVE MERGED WITH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROUGH. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N138W TO 21N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2145 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N100W 11N110W 8N120W 6N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 82W...AND BETWEEN 112W AND 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:43 2003 X-UIDL: 36073-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00I99876JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 07:06:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IN6YPQ039783 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 07:06:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqksn048454; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:01:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 151921 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:01:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IN1Rc9042694 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IN1R9d013448 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IN1Qv8013447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:01:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308182301.h7IN1Qv8013447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPZ20 KNHC 182301 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND IT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTEND FROM NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION CENTERED ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36087-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00I96IRWJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:55:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J2t2Hq098548 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:55:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk0J048454; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J2lLc9029592 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J2lK9d016419 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J2lK5Q016417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190247.h7J2lK5Q016417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIII, Probability=28%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/190230Z/190600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/182352ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TD 12W PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 139.3E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 136.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS EXPOSED TO THE NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 122.3E8 HAS BEEN RELOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 125.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 190000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ANTICIPATE RELEASING FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING FOR THIS SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT 06 HOURS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO GOOD AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36094-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IH8L6PJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 11:47:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J3l7uU097031 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 11:47:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk0x048454; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:45:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:45:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J3j2c9036958 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:45:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J3j29d017007 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:45:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J3j2Xo017006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:45:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:45:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190345.h7J3j2Xo017006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 190344 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON AUG 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH...AND IT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTEND FROM NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36095-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IHGL6QJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 11:47:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J3l9uU097037 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 11:47:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk0v048454; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:44:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:44:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J3iYc9038614 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:44:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J3iY9d016994 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:44:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J3iYcc016993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:44:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:44:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190344.h7J3iYcc016993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 190344 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 19 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 101W/102W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N122W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N121.5W TO 13N124W. ..SURFACE TROUGH PREVIOUSLY ALONG 135W IS NOW A 1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 16N138W MOVING W 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 122W WITH A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N132W TO 24N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N97W 11N111W 7N126W 10N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 15.5N108.5W AND ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA/MEXICO WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N92.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA...WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM THE BORDER OF EL SALVADOR TO 91W...AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA S OF 3N. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 26N TO THE ITCZ AXIS FROM 98W TO 110W...AND S OF 15N TO THE ITCZ AXIS FROM 110W TO 116W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36103-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IZISG3JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:24:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J6NwuU018544 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:23:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J54mdJ025766; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 154851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J6GZc9038286 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J6GZ9d018308 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J6GZru018306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190616.h7J6GZru018306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIII, Probability=28%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 125.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, AND WAS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TD 12W PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 136.8E8 ARE NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 136.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED DEEP CONVECTION, THIS SYSTEM MAY BE REWARNED UPON WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. CURRENTLY, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 122.3E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3)AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 114.5E1, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM WEST OF LUZON, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36104-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00I9CSJCJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:26:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J6PtuU018818 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:25:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J54mdX025766; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:21:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 154887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:21:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J6Luc9038312 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:21:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J6Lt9d018366 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:21:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J6LtHl018365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:21:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:21:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190621.h7J6LtHl018365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_25_50, UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 190621 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON AUG 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36113-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IYKWFTJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:50:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J7oBuU031472 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:50:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk4r048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 02:45:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 02:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J7jsc9036892 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 02:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J7js9d019030 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 02:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J7jsBd019029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 02:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 02:45:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190745.h7J7jsBd019029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_25_50, UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 190745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON AUG 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:56 2003 X-UIDL: 36122-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV00IO6163JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:32:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J9WLuU046093 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:32:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk5l048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:29:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J9TSc9016632 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J9TR9d019989 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J9TRPK019988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:29:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190929.h7J9TRPK019988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 190929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 19 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION ALONG 79W N OF 8N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE REMAINS ALONG 101W/102W N OF 6N MOVING DRIFTING WEST. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N123W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N124W. ..THE 1009 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY CENTERED NEAR 16N138W IS NOW W OF THE REGION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 122W WITH A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N135W TO 24N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N97W 12N107W 7N126W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 84W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 125W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 122W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE S OF THE AXIS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 4N82W TO 5N88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N89W TO 14N91W...WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA...AND FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 98W AND 100W INCLUDING PORTION OF THE MEXICAN COAST. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 25N. LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 6N77W TO THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 8N80W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:57 2003 X-UIDL: 36124-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV00ID71Z3JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:49:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J9njuU048332 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 17:49:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk5n048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:46:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:46:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J9k4c9016460 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J9k49d020121 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:46:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J9k43D020120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:46:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:46:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190946.h7J9k43D020120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIII, Probability=28%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 190945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 14N142W 14N140W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N151W 15N145W 10N140W 06N150W 09N160W 16N151W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 21N172W 18N170W 13N172W 15N175W 21N174W 21N172W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 26N178W...HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE UPPER LOW UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 21S129W 25S124W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 12S156W 13S168W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:58 2003 X-UIDL: 36128-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV00IQ547TJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 18:38:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JAc6uU054582 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 18:38:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk67048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 05:33:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 05:33:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JAXsc9040474 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 05:33:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JAXs9d020509 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 05:33:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JAXrbC020508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 05:33:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 05:33:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191033.h7JAXrbC020508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 191033 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...AND IT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTEND FROM NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 875 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:00 2003 X-UIDL: 36133-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV00524D97KE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 21:53:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JDrOuU079987 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 21:53:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqkCT048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 08:45:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 157563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 08:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JDjXc9014956 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 08:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JDjX9d023395 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 08:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JDjWcP023394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 08:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 08:45:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191345.h7JDjWcP023394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_25_50, UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 191345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE AUG 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:06 2003 X-UIDL: 36156-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV0055AIXDKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 23:56:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JFtouU096403 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 23:55:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JFlHeP008792; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:49:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 165826 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:39:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JFd5c9052032 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:39:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JFd49d001729 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JFd4ff001727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:39:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191539.h7JFd4ff001727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 191538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 19 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W N OF 7N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W N OF 6N DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N TO SW COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 99W AND 103W. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N124W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE 90 NM SE QUADRANT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W WITH A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 35N143W TO 24N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 12N110W 7N125W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF 8N123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 7N84W. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:07 2003 X-UIDL: 36157-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005MQJ5RKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 00:01:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JG0uuU097125 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 00:00:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JFlHj7008792; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:56:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 167060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:54:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JFsLc9054166 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:54:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JFsK9d005128 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:54:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JFsKTi005127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:54:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:54:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191554.h7JFsKTi005127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 191554 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTEND OVER PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA HAVE DIMINISHED. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:08 2003 X-UIDL: 36165-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005QGPGKKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 02:17:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JIGouU014613 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 02:16:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JGh6kf053106; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:06:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 174284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JI5ec9011202 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:05:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JI5e9d022926 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JI5eIP022923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:05:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191805.h7JI5eIP022923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:14 2003 X-UIDL: 36198-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HTXCM6B8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 23:34:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KFYmuU093354 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 23:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KF0Zs9029276; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 10:26:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 199076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 10:23:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7K9pGc9053094 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:51:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7K9pF9d028282 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7K9pF6o028281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:51:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308200951.h7K9pF6o028281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 200951 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 20 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W N OF 4N MOVING W 15 KT. ..A 1013 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N105W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90/120 NM RADIUS 17N104W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 112W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N127W MOVING W 10 KT. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N124W TO 12N130W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N95W 7N108W 13N113W 7N130W 7N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 115W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 6N E OF 80W TO INLAND OVER PANAMA AND COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM OF ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 21N TO 24N. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N91W INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO TO NEAR 16N95W AND FROM 9N86W TO 11N91W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N124W TO 12N130W AND FROM 10N131W TO 14N139W. CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 82W TO 85W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF 97W FROM 9N TO 12N. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N86W 6N95W AND FROM 9N107W TO 15N106W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:16 2003 X-UIDL: 36204-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00H9HF6MB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 00:30:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KGUGuU000781 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 00:30:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KGJncl047792; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:20:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 205857 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:00:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KG08c9041918 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:00:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7KG079d013003 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:00:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7KG07f4013002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:00:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:00:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308201600.h7KG07f4013002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 201559 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 20 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NEAR 18N107W...MOVING NW 10-15 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 113W/114W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N127W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1530 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 18N107W... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W...SOME OF THIS REACHING PART OF THE MEXICO COAST IN BETWEEN LAZARO CARDENAS AND MANZANILLO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE MEXICO COAST IN THIS AREA. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM MIGHT DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N76W 8N95W 13N114W 9N130W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 100W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. STRONG CONVECTION IN NW COASTAL COLOMBIA...IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA... FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 75W AND 78W. STRONG CONVECTION IN ANOTHER CLUSTER...SOUTH OF PANAMA AND WEST OF COLOMBIA...FROM 6N TO 8N BETWEEN 78W AND 80W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W. STRONG CONVECTION IN TWO CELLS FROM 12.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 128W AND 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION... DISSIPATING DURING LAST FIVE HOURS...FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 132W AND 140W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:16 2003 X-UIDL: 36206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HXDFKMB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 00:38:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KGcfuU001870 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 00:38:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KFiV4T055564; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:31:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 198753 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 10:22:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7K9bhc9047826 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:37:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7K9bg9d027204 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:37:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7K9bgAW027202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:37:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:37:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308200937.h7K9bgAW027202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 200937 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 17N148W 13N140W 11N142W 12N150W 17N148W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 23N174W 16N173W 17N178W 23N179W 23N174W...HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 22S124W 25S121W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BETWEEN 15S AND 21S BOUNDED BY 171W AND 176W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 20 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:16 2003 X-UIDL: 36208-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00H6KGH0B8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 00:58:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KGw4uU004502 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 00:58:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KGmJd7040606; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:49:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 206405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:08:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KG8nc9047832 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:08:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7KG8n9d014551 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:08:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7KG8nim014550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:08:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:08:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308201608.h7KG8nim014550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 201608 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE MORNING. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWEST ABOUT 10 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST MAINLY BETWEEN ZIHUATANEJO AND MANZANILLO. A SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:23 2003 X-UIDL: 36240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HN1YIVB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:28:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNS0uU055281 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:28:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KMnUlT007514; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:24:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:17:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNHdc9039976 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:17:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7KNHcBv012371 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:17:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7KNHcID012370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:17:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:17:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308202317.h7KNHcID012370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 202256 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST MAINLY WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO TO CABO CORRIENTES. THE SMALL AND WEAK CIRCULATION CENTERED ABOUT 1350 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HHEZ6TB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:42:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNgMuU056773 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:42:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KMo8fZ019842; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:38:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:38:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNcYcB015358 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:38:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EEHD9d024400 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:17:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EEH9IL024397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:17:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:17:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141417.h5EEH9IL024397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_25_50, UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 141416 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT JUN 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HPPZELB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:47:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNl2uU057190 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:47:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KMo8gX019842; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:43:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225830 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:42:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNgEcF049384 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:42:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RKJx9d005937 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:19:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RKJx7n005936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:19:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:19:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Carlos Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306272019.h5RKJx7n005936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIII, Probability=34%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, DATE_IN_PAST_96_XX, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 272019 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 ADDITONAL VISIBLE AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY DURING THE DAY CONFIRM THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DISSIPATED. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/2100Z 16.7N 99.9W 25 KT DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:25 2003 X-UIDL: 36247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HRFZGVB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:48:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNmRuU057284 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:48:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KMnthZ026020; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:43:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:42:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNgEcL049384 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:42:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RKJg9d005928 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:19:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RKJgSx005925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:19:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:19:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Carlos Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306272019.h5RKJgSx005925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIII, Probability=34%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, DATE_IN_PAST_96_XX, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 272019 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032003 2100Z FRI JUN 27 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER DISSIPATED NEAR 16.7N 99.9W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. REPEAT...CENTER DISSIPATED NEAR 16.7N 99.9W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 99.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:25 2003 X-UIDL: 36248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HRTZH8B8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:48:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNmduU057302 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:48:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KMnthN026020; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:43:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225824 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:42:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNgHc9053762 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:42:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RKJg9d005927 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:19:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RKJgQO005923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:19:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:19:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Carlos Advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306272019.h5RKJgQO005923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIII, Probability=34%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, DATE_IN_PAST_96_XX, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ33 KNHC 272019 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI JUN 27 2003 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS HAS DISSIPATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.9 WEST...OR NEAR ACAPULCO MEXICO. ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. MOST OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF CARLOS ARE LOCATED OFFSHORE BUT NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO. SOME OF THE HEAVIER RAIN COULD SPREAD INLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...16.8 N... 99.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:26 2003 X-UIDL: 36253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00H0N539B8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:49:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L1npuU071937 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:49:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L0QFnL037816; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 20:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 230223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 20:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L1jac9014454 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 20:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L1jZBv016702 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 20:45:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L1jZQV016701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 20:45:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 20:45:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210145.h7L1jZQV016701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_25_50, UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 210145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED AUG 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:19 2003 X-UIDL: 36268-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HUBAFXB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:45:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L3jQuU091302 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:45:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KMo8rT019842; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:38:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 234384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:38:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L3cJc9028286 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:38:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L3cIBv018939 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:38:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L3cIch018938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:38:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:38:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210338.h7L3cIch018938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 210338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 21 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 19N107W...MOVING NW 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE REGION ALONG 80W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF 8N83W MAY BE RELATED TO THE WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE INTRODUCED ALONG 90W/91W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. LONG-TERM SATELLITE LOOPS INDICATE THE WAVE'S PRESENCE. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 90W-93.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W/116W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS IS A WEAK FEATURE. ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS IN THE ITCZ. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N128W MOVING W 5-10 KT. DISSIPATING MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE W OF THE CENTER. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 23N119W NW TO BEYOND 32N139W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0315 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 19N107W... CONVECTION IS PULSING UP AND DOWN NEAR A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CURRENTLY A LARGE STRONG TSTM COMPLEX IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N106W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N91W 11N117W 12N127W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 96W-103W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 111W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS JUST INLAND IN MEXICO NEAR 26.5N108.5W BUT COULD EMERGE INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA LATER THIS MORNING. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF 19N113W W OF SOCORRO ISLANDS AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LAS TRES MARIA ISLANDS. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:19 2003 X-UIDL: 36269-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HLAANDB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:50:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L3nuuU091960 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:49:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L0QF2l037816; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:45:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 234719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:45:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L3jKc9039464 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:45:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L3jKBv019054 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:45:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L3jKvg019053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:45:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 22:45:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210345.h7L3jKvg019053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 210345 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST MAINLY WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO TO CABO CORRIENTES. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:23 2003 X-UIDL: 36277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HVXIYDB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:49:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L6nJuU019103 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:49:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L5dagb011866; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 240791 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L6dBc9054578 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L6dBBv022430 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L6dAih022428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210639.h7L6dAih022428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/210152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED NEAR 18.7N6 129.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 136.6E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 135.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM WEST OF YAP. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS VERY WEAK CONVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/AYALA/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36280-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HDULU7B8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 15:51:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L7p1uU030748 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 15:51:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L5dakf011866; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 02:46:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 02:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L7jpc9053662 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 02:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L7joBv023680 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 02:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L7jo7U023679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 02:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 02:45:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210745.h7L7jo7U023679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIIII, Probability=29%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_25_50, UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 210745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED AUG 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:26 2003 X-UIDL: 36284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HJYQJYB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:33:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L9XSSU019028 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:33:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L5dao7011866; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:25:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243979 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:25:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L9Pfc9009826 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:25:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L9PfBv025676 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:25:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L9PfqL025675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:25:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:25:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210925.h7L9PfqL025675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 210925 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 21 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 19N107W...MOVING NW 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N82W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W/92W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. DEVELOPING CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF 13N91W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 115W/116W IS REPOSITIONED E TO 113W/114W S OF 20N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THIS POSITION IS IN AGREEMENT WITH QUIKSCAT DATA SHOWING A TROUGH IN THE AREA IN ADDITION TO THE NEARBY INCREASE OF CONVECTION. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 113.5W FROM 13N-21N WITH THE STRONGEST CLUSTER WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N113.5W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N128W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 24N112W WNW TO BEYOND 30N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0845 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 19N107W... CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION ARE FIRING NEAR AN APPARENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM WITH AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE NEARLY OVERHEAD. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 8N101W 13N122W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN A SIMILAR DISTANCE OF AXIS FROM 92W-104W WITH A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 112W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 124W-128W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 129W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF TSTMS REMAIN JUST INLAND NEAR BAJA CALIFORNIA AROUND 28N110.5W. AN ISOLATED TSTM IS NEAR 21.5N108.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:28 2003 X-UIDL: 36287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HLVRXPB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 18:03:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LA3ISU025584 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 18:03:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L9vndH053296; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:58:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 244794 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:56:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L9u1c9045788 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L9u1Bv026172 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L9u1F1026171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 04:56:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210956.h7L9u1F1026171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 210955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0832 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11N146W 14N154W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 07N170W 05N180 05N177E AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH JUST WEST OF THE DATELINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 21N180 17N180 19N177W MOVED NORTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 21S170W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 13S169W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT WITH FLUCTUATIONS IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:28 2003 X-UIDL: 36288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HP8SCWB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 18:12:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LACRSU027692 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 18:12:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L5dasX011866; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 05:03:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 245319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 05:03:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LA30c9054024 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 05:03:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LA30Bv026316 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 05:03:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LA307X026315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 05:03:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 05:03:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211003.h7LA307X026315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 211002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 105 MILES WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:33 2003 X-UIDL: 36305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004FN35DRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:05:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LE5U01028012 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:05:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LCsntx026042; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 08:57:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 08:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LDjpc9019546 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 08:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LDjpBv001454 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 08:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LDjp1X001453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 08:45:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 08:45:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211345.h7LDjp1X001453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 211345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU AUG 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:38 2003 X-UIDL: 36320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004949D6RY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:19:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LGJl01047538 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:19:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LE7VTl036034; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 265392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LGCjc9087814 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LGCjBv007535 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LGCjHm007534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211612.h7LGCjHm007534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 211612 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 21 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 20N107W...MOVING NW 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W/83W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION OUTSIDE OF THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 98W...JUST WEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W...JUST SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR/GUATEMALA COASTS. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 17N112W...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 22N BETWEEN 112W AND 116W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N130W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 129W AND 131W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1530 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 20N107W... WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W. SOME CELLS OF ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION REMAIN IN THIS AREA. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 8N110W 11N120W 14N127W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:38 2003 X-UIDL: 36321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004FD9FXRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:21:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LGLRSU070985 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:21:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LFwqd3047492; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 265369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LGCEc9069542 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LGCEBv007506 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LGCECY007505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:12:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211612.h7LGCECY007505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 211611 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 125 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:38 2003 X-UIDL: 36322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004QZA4LRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:36:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LGaD01049799 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:36:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LE7VXp036034; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:24:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 266448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:24:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LGOsc9042938 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:24:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LGOsBv008026 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:24:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LGOraK008025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:24:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 11:24:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211624.h7LGOraK008025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 211624 AAA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 21 AUG 2003 ..AMENDED SATELLITE INTERPRETATION SECTION FOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 20N107W... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NEAR 20N107W...MOVING NW 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W/83W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION OUTSIDE OF THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 98W...JUST WEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W...JUST SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR/GUATEMALA COASTS. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 17N112W...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 22N BETWEEN 112W AND 116W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N130W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 129W AND 131W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1530 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 20N107W... WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W DURING THE LAST FIVE HOURS. SOME CELLS OF ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION REMAIN IN THIS AREA. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 109W. THIS SYSTEM STILL IS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED AND IT MIGHT DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE MEXICO COAST FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 8N110W 11N120W 14N127W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004KPJNVRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:02:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LK21SU099961 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:02:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LI4EAv104028; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:58:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 284653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:46:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LJkWc9024736 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:46:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LJkVBv017892 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LJkVw1017889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:46:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211946.h7LJkVw1017889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 211945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU AUG 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:45 2003 X-UIDL: 36348-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004DEQKSRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 06:31:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMVNSU018976 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 06:31:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMOacT059582; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:24:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 297549 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:59:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LLxWc9078400 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:59:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LLxVBv026411 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:59:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LLxV8H026410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:59:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:59:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308212159.h7LLxV8H026410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 212159 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N151W 11N140W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 07N169W 06N180 04N174E MOVED WEST 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N155W 08N160W 10N166W MOVED WEST 20 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE LAST 8 HOURS. SURFACE TROUGH WEST OF THE DATELINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 20N180 20N176W 18N180 20N180 MOVED WEST 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LOW...NEW ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 22N163W 20N159W 17N165W 22N163W MOVED WEST 15 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE UPPER LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE UPPER LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N159W 14N155W MOVED WEST 20 KT ..INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY OVER PAST 18 HOURS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 21S170W 25S166W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST NEAR 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N161W 14N159W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH A DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36351-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ0043AR60RY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 06:44:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMi6SU019945 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 06:44:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMXncH019464; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:33:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 297831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:12:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMCec9034880 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:12:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LMCeBv026756 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LMCeVM026755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:12:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308212212.h7LMCeVM026755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 212212 AAA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 21 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 20N107W...NEARLY STATIONARY. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 84W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 84W-87W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 95W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 95W-97W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N113W...NEARLY STATIONARY. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 112W-116W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N130W...MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 130W-132W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 130W-134W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2130 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 20N107W... THIS SYSTEM STILL IS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED AND IT MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE MEXICO COAST FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 105W-107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 7N100W 8N110W 11N120W 12N125W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W-87W...AND BETWEEN 104W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 131W-134W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W-118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 13.5N125W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36353-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004JMRNSRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 06:55:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMslSU020938 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 06:54:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMYngD045682; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:37:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 298599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:34:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMYkc9085058 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LMYjBv027178 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:34:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LMYjSg027177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:34:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:34:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308212234.h7LMYjSg027177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 212234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 110 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT IT REMAINS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM WEST OF MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004T7ZW1RY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:52:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M1qW01023908 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:52:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M1D5h9045684; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 20:45:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 304154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 20:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M1jZc9085036 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 20:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M1jYBv000713 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 20:45:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M1jYOK000712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 20:45:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 20:45:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220145.h7M1jYOK000712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 220145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU AUG 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:50 2003 X-UIDL: 36369-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004XF5H7RY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:53:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M3rD01047915 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:53:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M21XkD091206; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:41:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 306833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:41:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M3fWc9055270 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:41:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M3fVBv002412 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:41:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M3fVek002411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:41:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:41:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220341.h7M3fVek002411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 220340 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 22 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 20N107W...NEARLY STATIONARY. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 83W-89W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W/97W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 7.5N93W 8.5N100W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N113W...NEARLY STATIONARY. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS RATHER WEAK. HOWEVER WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 113W-117W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N130W...MOVING W 5 KT. LOW APPEARS TO BE DISSIPATING. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N-16.5N BETWEEN 126W-131W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO BEYOND 32N139W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0315 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 20N107W... THIS SYSTEM STILL IS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED AND IT MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE MEXICO COAST FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N-21.5N BETWEEN 105W-107.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N105W 14N130W 12N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 101W-125W WITH THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATION BETWEEN 115W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W OF 131W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SMALL CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF 13.5N91.5W ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:51 2003 X-UIDL: 36372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004PN8D0RY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 12:55:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M4tT01058888 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 12:55:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M4gacH091208; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:44:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 308075 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:44:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M4iec9105496 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:44:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M4ieBv003200 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M4iej5003199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:44:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220444.h7M4iej5003199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 220444 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS... BUT IT REMAINS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED AND COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM WEST OF MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:51 2003 X-UIDL: 36374-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK00049DAVKRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:50:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M5nj01068395 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:49:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58Dg7070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 311058 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M5Qfc9093250 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M5QfBv003719 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M5Qeix003717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220526.h7M5Qeix003717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/220352ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED NEAR 17.6N4 124.5E2, APPROXIATELY 125 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 220300 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004KRGMARY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:54:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M7rq01087869 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:53:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M55gmf091334; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 02:46:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 313165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 02:46:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M7kGc9099040 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 02:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M7kGBv005293 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 02:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M7kF39005292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 02:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 02:46:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220746.h7M7kF39005292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 220745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU AUG 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:55 2003 X-UIDL: 36388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004YTMAHRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:56:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9uBSU049518 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:56:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDcV099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:39:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 314462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:39:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9dXc9014502 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:39:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M9dXBv006615 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:39:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M9dXJr006614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:39:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:39:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220939.h7M9dXJr006614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 220939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 22 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 20N107W DRIFTING W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N TO EL SALVADOR BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND 90W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W/98W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 12N100W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N114W DRIFTING W. THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS RATHER WEAK WITH NO WINDS ABOVE 20 KT IN THE LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LOW CENTER. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N131W...MOVING W 5 KT. LOW APPEARS TO BE DISSIPATING. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 126W-131.5W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO 28N140W THEN BEYOND 32N139W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0915 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 20N107W... SYSTEM IS SMALL BUT POTENT WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 105W-108W. IT IS WELL-ORGANIZED AND IT MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF EXTREME SW MEXICO. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N87W 9N110W 15N130W 12N140W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE ALONG THE COLOMBIA COAST UP TO THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 3N-8N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 87W-101W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 111W-124W WITH THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATION BETWEEN 115W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 90 NM OF 24N108.5W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM N OF 13N BETWEEN 91W-96W COVERING MOST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. 60-75 NM WIDE MODERATE CLUSTER IS NEAR 16.5N101W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:55 2003 X-UIDL: 36389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004TFMOIRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:05:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MA4k01007351 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:04:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDcf099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:52:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 314616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:52:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9qwc9099360 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:52:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M9qvBv006740 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:52:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M9qvv8006739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:52:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:52:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220952.h7M9qvv8006739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN21 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 221000ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 060 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20.3N5 107.0W8 TO 21.4N7 108.3W2 WITHIN THE NEXT 00 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 220600Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 107.1W9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOT. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 231800Z4. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 106.1W8, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 107.1W9, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 231000Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:56 2003 X-UIDL: 36390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004XTMQBRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:06:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MA5s01007699 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:05:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DjJ070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:55:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 314639 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9tbc9042756 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M9tbBv006778 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M9tbHu006777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220955.h7M9tbHu006777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 220955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N140W 12N146W AND MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N142W 05N146W 06N150W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N152W 07N155W 07N170W 14N168W AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N177W 02N177W 09N171E 12N172E AND MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF POINT 21N161W MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 05 KT AND NEARLY DISSIPATED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 25S158W 25S156W 28S156W 27S159W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11S168W 17S161W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:56 2003 X-UIDL: 36391-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004JNNCHRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:19:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MAJ7SU052740 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:19:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDct099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 05:04:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 314737 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 05:04:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MA4ec9014434 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 05:04:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MA4dBv006902 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 05:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MA4ddv006901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 05:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 05:04:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221004.h7MA4ddv006901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 221004 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 105 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO IS DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM WEST OF MANZANILLO TO PUERTO VALLARTA. INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:59 2003 X-UIDL: 36397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004FCU7SRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:47:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MClO01030579 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:47:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDfF099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 316262 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MCWDc9044490 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MCWDBv008526 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MCWDJN008525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Special Advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221232.h7MCWDJN008525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 221231 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORMS...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 5 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF 24N. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM...WEST OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 230 MILES...370 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAN JOSE DEL CABO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH .. 6 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO BETWEEN PUERTO VALLARTA AND MANZANILLO. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...107.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:59 2003 X-UIDL: 36398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004FMU7TRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:47:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MClS01030587 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:47:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MC1ZhN093272; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:33:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 316288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:33:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MCX6c9019524 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:33:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MCX6Bv008546 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MCX6QJ008545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:33:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Special Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221233.h7MCX6QJ008545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 221232 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 1200Z FRI AUG 22 2003 AT 5 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF 24N. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 107.2W AT 22/1200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 107.2W AT 22/1200Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 107.1W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.1N 107.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.6N 108.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.4N 109.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.1N 111.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 24.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 25.0N 117.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 107.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:59 2003 X-UIDL: 36399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004FQU80RY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:48:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MCla01030603 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:47:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDfH099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 316278 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MCWdc9031306 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MCWdBv008533 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MCWcgt008532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:32:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Special Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221232.h7MCWcgt008532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 221232 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 MICROWAVE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO HAS BECOME SUFFICIENTLY ORGANIZED TO BE DESIGNATED TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E. THE CYCLONE IS SHOWING PERSISTENT COLD CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND GOOD OUTFLOW IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY IS SET TO 30 KT IN AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB. THE INITIAL MOTION IS AN UNCERTAIN 335/3. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT A MID/UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYLONE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES HAS A RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. IR IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 18N114W. NHC TRACK GUIDANCE RESPONDS TO THE PATTERN BY FORECAST A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL CALL FOR A SLOW NORTH-NORTHWEST DRIFT FOR THE FIRST 12 HR BASED ON PERSISTENCE...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IN AGREEMENT WITH THE BAM MODELS AND LBAR. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT NONE OF THE GLOBAL MODELS PROPERLY INITIALIZE THIS SYSTEM. THE DEPRESSION IS IN AN AREA OF LIGHT NORTHERLY SHEAR...AND THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO STAY LIGHT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THUS...THE CYCLONE SHOULD BE ABLE TO STRENGTHEN AS LONG IT REMAINS OVER WARM WATER. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THAT SHOULD BE 36 HR. AFTER THAT...THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THIS IS A SMALL SYSTEM...AND IT COULD BOTH STRENGTHEN AND WEAKEN FASTER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY REQUIRE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1200Z 20.8N 107.2W 30 KT 12HR VT 22/1800Z 21.1N 107.4W 35 KT 24HR VT 23/0600Z 21.6N 108.2W 40 KT 36HR VT 23/1800Z 22.4N 109.7W 45 KT 48HR VT 24/0600Z 23.1N 111.2W 45 KT 72HR VT 25/0600Z 24.0N 113.5W 40 KT 96HR VT 26/0600Z 24.5N 115.5W 30 KT 120HR VT 27/0600Z 25.0N 117.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:28 2003 X-UIDL: 36403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK000MPWXG075@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:57:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MDvJ01039882 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:57:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDkr099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 08:45:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 317769 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 08:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MDjuc9093404 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 08:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MDjuBv010516 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 08:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MDjuCH010515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 08:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 08:45:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221345.h7MDjuCH010515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 221345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI AUG 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:30 2003 X-UIDL: 36405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK000MMDYUD75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:27:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MERVSU085073 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:27:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDnr099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:14:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318430 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:14:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEEYc9054026 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:14:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MEEYBv011876 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:14:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MEEYwP011875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:14:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:14:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...update... Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221414.h7MEEYwP011875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 221413 AAA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...UPDATE... TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 22 AUG 2003 UPDATE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 20.8N 107.2W AT 22/1200 UTC...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT G 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N TO EL SALVADOR BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND 90W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W/98W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 12N100W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N114W DRIFTING W. THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS RATHER WEAK WITH NO WINDS ABOVE 20 KT IN THE LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LOW CENTER. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N131W...MOVING W 5 KT. LOW APPEARS TO BE DISSIPATING. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 126W-131.5W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO 28N140W THEN BEYOND 32N139W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0915 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E...SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1330 UTC... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 105W AND 108W...AROUND THE SYSTEM...AND FROM 20.5N TO 22N BETWEEN 108W AND 109W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER FROM 18N TO 19N BETWEEN 105W AND 106W. THE MEXICO COAST FROM MANZANILLO TO MAZATLAN IS JUST TO THE EAST OF THIS DEPRESSION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N87W 9N110W 15N130W 12N140W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE ALONG THE COLOMBIA COAST UP TO THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 3N-8N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 87W-101W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 111W-124W WITH THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATION BETWEEN 115W-120W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 90 NM OF 24N108.5W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM N OF 13N BETWEEN 91W-96W COVERING MOST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. 60-75 NM WIDE MODERATE CLUSTER IS NEAR 16.5N101W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MTE00G75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:53:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEqlSU088638 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:52:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MDfInj079406; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318816 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEcKc9044912 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MEcKBv012904 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MEcKIG012903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221438.h7MEcKIG012903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 221437 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 1500Z FRI AUG 22 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF 24N. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 107.3W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 107.3W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 107.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.4N 107.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 22.0N 108.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.7N 110.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.5N 111.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 25.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 25.5N 117.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 107.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:32 2003 X-UIDL: 36410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MY402P75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEs601048358 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:54:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DpN070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEcPc9027152 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MEcPBv012909 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MEcP51012908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221438.h7MEcP51012908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 221437 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS WITH THE DEPRESSION. MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER IS NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION WHICH DOES NOT YET SHOW MUCH BANDING. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS REMAIN AT 2.0 AND SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 340/2. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT A MID/UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYLONE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES HAS A RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... HOWEVER...THE DEPRESSION HAS NOT COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS RIDGE YET. THERE IS ALSO A LOW TO MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 18N115W. NHC TRACK GUIDANCE RESPONDS TO THIS PATTERN BY FORECAST A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY... WHICH IS CLOSE TO THE BAM MODELS THROUGH 72 HOURS...AND THE SHALLOW BAM AFTER THAT. NONE OF THE GLOBAL MODELS INITIALIZE THE CYCLONE. THE DEPRESSION IS IN AN AREA OF LIGHT NORTHERLY SHEAR...AND THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO STAY LIGHT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THUS...THE CYCLONE SHOULD BE ABLE TO STRENGTHEN AS LONG IT REMAINS OVER WARM WATER. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THAT SHOULD BE 36 HR. AFTER THAT...THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THIS IS A SMALL SYSTEM...AND IT COULD BOTH STRENGTHEN AND WEAKEN FASTER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 21.0N 107.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 23/0000Z 21.4N 107.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 23/1200Z 22.0N 108.6W 40 KT 36HR VT 24/0000Z 22.7N 110.1W 45 KT 48HR VT 24/1200Z 23.5N 111.5W 50 KT 72HR VT 25/1200Z 24.5N 113.5W 45 KT 96HR VT 26/1200Z 25.0N 115.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 27/1200Z 25.5N 117.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:32 2003 X-UIDL: 36411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MY802S75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:54:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEsCSU088872 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:54:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDp5099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:40:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:40:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEelc9059474 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:40:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MEekBv013011 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:40:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MEeki4013010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:40:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:40:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221440.h7MEeki4013010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 221440 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 ..DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF 24N. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH .. 6 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL AFFECT COASTAL PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO BETWEEN PUERTO VALLARTA AND MANZANILLO. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...21.0 N...107.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:35 2003 X-UIDL: 36418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MQV3Y375@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:18:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MGHjSU000951 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:17:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DuB070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 320771 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MG1nc9037752 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MG1mBv017457 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MG1mrO017454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: At 3 Knots Over The Past 06 Hours. The Warning Position Is Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221601.h7MG1mrO017454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221600 RRB AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z8, 230400Z9, 231000Z6 AND 231600Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:36 2003 X-UIDL: 36419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MR63Y775@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:18:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MGHoSU000959 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:17:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58Du1070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 10:58:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 320706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 10:58:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MFwoc9037716 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 10:58:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MFwoBv017164 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 10:58:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MFwnp1017163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 10:58:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 10:58:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221558.h7MFwnp1017163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 20.8N0 107.2W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 107.2W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.4N7 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.0N4 108.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.7N1 110.1W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.5N0 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.5N1 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM --- REMARKS: 221200Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.8N0 107.2W0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN, MEXICO HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 3 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z8, 230400Z9, 231000Z6 AND 231600Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:36 2003 X-UIDL: 36420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MSN3Z275@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:18:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MGIL01061039 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:18:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDub099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 320768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MG1nc9048416 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MG1mBv017455 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MG1mFl017451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:01:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221601.h7MG1mFl017451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 20.8N0 107.2W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 107.2W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.4N7 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.0N4 108.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.7N1 110.1W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.5N0 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.5N1 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM --- REMARKS: 221200Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.8N0 107.2W0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN, MEXICO HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:37 2003 X-UIDL: 36423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M1142N75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:20:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MGKUSU001338 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:20:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MFu2dt036994; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:05:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 320838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:05:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MG57c9042854 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:05:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MG57Bv017587 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:05:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MG57bW017586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:05:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:05:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221605.h7MG57bW017586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 221604 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 22 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E CENTER NEAR 21.0N 107.3W AT 22/1500 UTC...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUST 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE 88W/89W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 102W. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 18N115W DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W. ..TROUGH FROM 10N TO 18N ALONG 130W/131W...WHERE A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS SIX HOURS AGO. THE ITCZ IS COMPARATIVELY MORE TO THE NORTH NEAR THE TROUGH REACHING 15N. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN ITCZ FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 127W AND 133W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1530 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W TO THE SOUTHEAST...AND FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 108W AND 109W TO THE WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 105W AND 106W. THE MEXICO COAST FROM MANZANILLO TO MAZATLAN IS JUST TO THE EAST OF THIS DEPRESSION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N94W 8N103W 8N110W 10N118W 15N130W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS...INCLUDING IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA...EAST OF 82W...AND WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES...NUMEROUS STRONG FIVE HOURS AGO...RESIDUAL CONVECTION AND DEBRIS CLOUDS...FROM 13N TO MEXICO COAST BETWEEN 93W AND 96W INCLUDING IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 102W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:37 2003 X-UIDL: 36424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MDB48Z75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:24:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MGOI01061856 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:24:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DuP070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:08:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 320899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:08:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MG8Bc9037766 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:08:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MG8BBv018021 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:08:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MG8BFo018020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:08:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:08:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221608.h7MG8BFo018020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 221607 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ACCOMPANIED BY DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:39 2003 X-UIDL: 36430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MUL89P75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 01:51:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MHp701074762 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 01:51:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MDgViH085140; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 12:31:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 323089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 12:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MHV3c9070242 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 12:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MHV3Bv021257 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 12:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MHV3qF021256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 12:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 12:31:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Intermediate Advisory Number 2a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221731.h7MHV3qF021256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 221730 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 ..DEPRESSION STALLS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF 24N. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL AFFECT COASTAL PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO BETWEEN PUERTO VALLARTA AND MANZANILLO. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...21.0 N...107.3 W. MOVEMENT ..STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36435-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M98AJC75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 02:40:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MIe6SU020068 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 02:40:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58D2b070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 324487 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MIRBc9048504 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MIRBBv025073 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MIRBDU025071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/221800z/231800zaug2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221827.h7MIRBDU025071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 221800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M2EB5475@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 02:53:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MIr7SU021440 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 02:53:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MHs8j7057744; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 324490 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MIRCc9058736 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MIRBBv025074 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MIRB7U025072 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:27:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/221800z/231800zaug2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221827.h7MIRB7U025072@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:43 2003 X-UIDL: 36441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M7JE2B75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:56:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MJuGSU030118 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:56:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDAJ099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 14:45:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 325973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 14:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MJjmc9008160 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 14:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MJjmBv028801 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 14:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MJjmgH028800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 14:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 14:45:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221945.h7MJjmgH028800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 221945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI AUG 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:43 2003 X-UIDL: 36443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MHTG4U75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:41:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MKf101001115 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:41:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58D7j070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:30:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 327054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MKUIc9048548 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MKUHBv001037 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MKUHDe001036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:30:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222030.h7MKUHDe001036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 222030 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 2100Z FRI AUG 22 2003 AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF 24N. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 107.3W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 107.3W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 107.2W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.3N 107.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.7N 110.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 65NE 65SE 65SW 65NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 25.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 25.5N 117.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 107.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:44 2003 X-UIDL: 36444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MPGG9675@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MKhaSU037665 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDF3099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 327013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MKSnc9041654 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MKSmBv000880 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MKSmc2000879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222028.h7MKSmc2000879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 222028 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 1506Z SSMI PASS DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED BANDING FEATURE DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTH OF THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION IS ALSO DEVELOPING JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS REMAIN AT 2.0 AND SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 30 KT FOR NOW. THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED LITTLE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS STATIONARY. A MID/UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYLONE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...WITH AN ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...SHOULD INFLUENCE THE STEERING MOTION OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MOST OF THE NHC TRACK GUIDANCE RESPONDS TO THIS PATTERN BY FORECAST A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. HOWEVER...THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BASED ON SOME INDICATIONS IN THE GLOBAL MODELS OF A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING IN THE MID LEVELS OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE GULF OF BAJA. THE DEPRESSION REMAINS EMBEDDED IN MODEST NORTHERLY SHEAR AND LITTLE CHANGE IN THE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT IS FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE HAS BEEN AN IMPROVEMENT IN THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM SOON. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AS LONG THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER WARM WATER...AT LEAST THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTERWARDS...THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ROBERTS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 20.7N 107.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 23/0600Z 21.3N 107.9W 35 KT 24HR VT 23/1800Z 22.0N 109.0W 45 KT 36HR VT 24/0600Z 22.7N 110.0W 50 KT 48HR VT 24/1800Z 23.5N 111.0W 55 KT 72HR VT 25/1800Z 24.5N 113.0W 45 KT 96HR VT 26/1800Z 25.0N 115.0W 30 KT 120HR VT 27/1800Z 25.5N 117.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:44 2003 X-UIDL: 36446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MTNGCN75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:45:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MKjg01001677 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:45:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDEv099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 326990 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MKS9c9054088 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MKS8Bv000795 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MKS8gD000794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:28:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222028.h7MKS8gD000794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 222027 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM WATCH UPGRADED TO A WARNING... AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF 24N. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES...365 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY. A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL AFFECT COASTAL PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO BETWEEN PUERTO VALLARTA AND MANZANILLO. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...20.7 N...107.3 W. MOVEMENT ..STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36450-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M9DJM675@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 05:56:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MLuB01010702 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 05:56:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MK89fd085142; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:43:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 328860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:43:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MLhHc9042160 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:43:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MLhHBv004076 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MLhHEx004075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:43:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222143.h7MLhHEx004075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 222142 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 12N140W 09N165W 11N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 13N141W 11N150W 11N158W 13N164W 11N171W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 10N141W 06N151W 08N156W 08N161W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 08N161W 09N169W 08N173W 10N176W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. LOW ALOFT...NEAR 21N167W HAS MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10KT. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20 NM OF LINE 22N164W 22N166W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH LOW ALOFT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE IN AREA SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S164W 23S171W 18S180. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25KT AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ISOLATED CB AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 17S162W 15S168W 10S173W 07S177W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 12KT AND INTENSIFIED. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB AND OCCASIONAL TCU HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 12S161W 10S167W. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MSGJWB75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:02:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MM2G01011503 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:02:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58D9b070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:51:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 329055 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:51:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MLpJc9089306 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:51:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MLpJBv004291 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:51:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MLpJkE004288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:51:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:51:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222151.h7MLpJkE004288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 222151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 22 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E IS CENTERED NEAR 20.7N 107.3W AT 22/2100 UTC...STATIONARY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT GUST 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 90W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 92W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 100W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN 97W AND 101W. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 18N115W DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED W OF THE CENTER FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 115W AND 119W. ..TROUGH IS ALONG 131W FROM 11N TO 19N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 128W AND 132W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 23N AND WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2130 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E... THE MEXICO COAST FROM MANZANILLO TO MAZATLAN IS JUST TO THE EAST OF THIS DEPRESSION. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 9N100W 10N120W 16N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF AXIS E OF 85W...BETWEEN 97 AND 105W...BETWEEN 108W AND 112W...BETWEEN 122W AND 127W...AND W OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 117N TO 19N BETWEEN 101W AND 103W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M0OKYT75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:25:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MMPOSU048928 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:25:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDMZ099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:13:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 329713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:13:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MMDWc9079372 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:13:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MMDVBv005256 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:13:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MMDVIS005255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:13:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:13:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222213.h7MMDVIS005255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 222200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 20.7N9 107.2W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 107.2W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.3N6 107.9W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.0N4 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.7N1 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.5N0 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.5N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.0N7 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 25.5N2 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221800Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 107.2W0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221800Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z9, 231000Z6, 231600Z2 AND 232200Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M37L0575@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:26:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MMQC01014272 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:26:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MK89iR085142; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:16:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 329766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MMFYc9042930 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MMFXBv005292 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MMFXBX005291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222215.h7MMFXBX005291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 222200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 20.7N9 107.2W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 107.2W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.3N6 107.9W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.0N4 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.7N1 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.5N0 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.5N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MFHL4W75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:29:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MMT301014563 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:29:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MK89iN085142; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 329763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MMFWc9042926 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MMFVBv005287 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MMFV3O005286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:15:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: On Day 4 And 350 Nm On Day 5... And For Intensity Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222215.h7MMFV3O005286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 222200 RRB ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.0N7 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 25.5N2 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221800Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 107.2W0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221800Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z9, 231000Z6, 231600Z2 AND 232200Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:48 2003 X-UIDL: 36456-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MMQLC275@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:33:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MMXLSU049775 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:33:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DAv070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:20:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 329891 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:20:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MMKQc9034020 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:20:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MMKQBv005563 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:20:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MMKQEA005562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:20:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 17:20:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222220.h7MMKQEA005562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 222220 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS ACCOMPANIED BY DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND IS LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:48 2003 X-UIDL: 36457-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MUGPQB75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:08:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N08G01025352 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:08:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MN1Ken055130; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:55:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 332048 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MNtvc9044828 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MNtvBv007693 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MNtvCR007692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 18:55:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Intermediate Advisory Number 3a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222355.h7MNtvCR007692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 222355 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES...350 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY BUT A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION MAY STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS MAY AFFECT COASTAL PORTIONS OF MAINLAND MEXICO BETWEEN PUERTO VALLARTA AND MANZANILLO. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...20.8 N...107.3 W. MOVEMENT ..STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER RHOME/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M29UCJ75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:48:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N1m101039168 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:48:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MN1KkZ055130; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:44:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 334454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:44:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N1i7c9079456 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:44:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N1i7Bv009687 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:44:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N1i7si009686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:44:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 20:44:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230144.h7N1i7si009686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 230143 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI AUG 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:52 2003 X-UIDL: 36468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MOWWMH75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:37:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2bCSU076672 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:37:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MN1Kmr055130; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:27:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 335523 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2Rjc9106156 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N2RjBv010369 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:27:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N2Rjf2010368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:27:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:27:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230227.h7N2Rjf2010368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 230227 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.4 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH .. 4 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE SYSTEM MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...20.9 N...107.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER RHOME/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:52 2003 X-UIDL: 36469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MP7WMO75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:37:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2bJ01045744 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:37:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MN1Kmv055130; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:28:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 335552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:28:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2SPc9093750 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N2SPBv010383 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N2SP9l010382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:28:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230228.h7N2SP9l010382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 230228 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 0300Z SAT AUG 23 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 107.4W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 107.4W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 107.3W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.6N 108.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.3N 108.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.8N 110.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.5N 111.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 25.5N 113.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 26.5N 114.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 107.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:53 2003 X-UIDL: 36470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MOGX4E75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:48:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2lv01047102 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:47:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2VXch055136; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:38:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 335870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2cmc9031956 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N2clBv010581 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:38:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N2clk2010580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:38:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:38:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230238.h7N2clk2010580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 230238 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 AFTER A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT BASED UPON DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS OF 2.5 FROM TAFB...2.0 FROM SAB...AND 1.5 FROM AFWA. THE DEPRESSION HAS MOVED LITTLE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 325/02. THE DEPRESSION IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF A MID LEVEL RIDGE BUT ITS MOTION HAS NOT YET RESPONDED TO THIS FEATURE. MOST OF THE NHC TRACK GUIDANCE RESPONDS TO THIS PATTERN BY ACCELERATING THE SYSTEM NORTHWESTWARD INITIALLY AND THEN SLOWING IT DOWN AGAIN BEYOND 24 HOURS. THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS ADJUSTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY FORECAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK NOW TAKES THE SYSTEM INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE EXPERIENCING SOME WESTERLY SHEAR AND MID/UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR AS AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. THUS...THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...AT BEST...FOR DEVELOPMENT IN THE SHORT-TERM. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY PRODUCING THE SHEAR AND DRY AIR OVER THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTHWARD BEYOND 24 HOURS THUS LEAVING A SMALL WINDOW FOR SOME STRENGTHENING PRIOR TO THE SYSTEM MOVING OVER LAND NEAR 36 HOURS. EVEN THROUGH THE FORECAST CALLS FOR THE SYSTEM TO RE-EMERGE OVER OPEN WATER BEYOND 72 HOURS...COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE WEAKENING PROCESS. FORECASTER RHOME/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 20.9N 107.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 23/1200Z 21.6N 108.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 24/0000Z 22.3N 108.7W 40 KT 36HR VT 24/1200Z 23.0N 109.5W 45 KT 48HR VT 25/0000Z 23.8N 110.5W 40 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 26/0000Z 24.5N 111.5W 35 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 27/0000Z 25.5N 113.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 28/0000Z 26.5N 114.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:53 2003 X-UIDL: 36473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MZHZHB75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:39:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N3cq01053543 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:38:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2VXfP055136; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:31:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 337170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:31:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N3Vrc9054102 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:31:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N3VrBv011343 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:31:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N3Vrox011342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:31:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:31:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230331.h7N3Vrox011342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 230331 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 23 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E IS CENTERED NEAR 20.9N 107.4W AT 23/0300 UTC DRIFTING NW. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT GUST 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 91W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N92W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 102W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 100 NM OF 12N102.5W. ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 18N116W DRIFTING SW. LOW HAS GOTTEN BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 24 HOURS AND MAY BE DECLARED A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LATER THIS MORNING. BANDING FEATURES ARE BECOMING MORE PROMINENT WITH A LARGE CIRCULATION. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 113.5W-118.5W ..TROUGH ALONG 131W HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW PART OF THE ITCZ. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 24N116W TO 32N136W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0300 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E... THE DEPRESSION HAS A SOLID BALL OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER AND LOOKS VERY CLOSE TO BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM. UPPER WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SLOW STRENGTHENING. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N100W 8N105W 10N121W 15N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-116W...123W-127W AND FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 80W-85W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 87W-107W AND FROM 12.5N-15.5W BETWEEN 124W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N109W. DISSIPATING STRONG CONVECTION IS MOVING INTO THE E GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 28N. ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF 17N102W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MIJ1FL75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:21:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N4L3SU088738 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:21:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2VXiL055136; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:13:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 338112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:13:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N4DNc9093780 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:13:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N4DMBv011887 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:13:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N4DMMZ011886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:13:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:13:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230413.h7N4DMMZ011886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 230400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 20.8N0 107.3W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 107.3W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.6N9 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.3N7 108.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.0N5 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.8N3 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.5N1 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.5N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.5N3 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230000Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.8N0 107.3W1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230000Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231000Z6, 231600Z2, 232200Z9 AND 240400Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36476-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200M0A1QI75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:27:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N4RbSU089452 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:27:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DNt070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 338195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N4Jbc9015506 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N4JaBv011957 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N4JaVU011956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Near 20 Kt Each Day. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230419.h7N4JaVU011956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 230400 RRB NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.5N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.5N3 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230000Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.8N0 107.3W1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230000Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231000Z6, 231600Z2, 232200Z9 AND 240400Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:55 2003 X-UIDL: 36477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200M0F1QJ75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:27:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N4RcSU089454 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:27:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N4EXd1044344; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 338198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N4Jbc9054022 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N4JbBv011960 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N4JagK011959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:19:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230419.h7N4JagK011959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 230400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 20.8N0 107.3W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 107.3W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.6N9 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.3N7 108.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.0N5 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.8N3 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.5N1 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:55 2003 X-UIDL: 36478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MR027275@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:37:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N4bX01060327 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:37:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DOF070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:29:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 338383 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:29:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N4Tbc9106002 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:29:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N4TaBv012075 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:29:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N4TajM012074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:29:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 23:29:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230429.h7N4TajM012074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 230429 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS ACCOMPANIED BY DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND IS LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:01 2003 X-UIDL: 36483-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MP743075@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:18:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5IJ01065458 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:18:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DPN070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 339295 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N59Qc9057802 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N59PBv012692 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N59PeK012690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230509.h7N59PeK012690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z-240600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/230152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 119.3E4, APPROXIATELY 65 NM WEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:01 2003 X-UIDL: 36484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MKU5W075@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:57:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5vI01070458 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:57:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTcb055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:42:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 339747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:42:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5gEc9099892 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:42:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N5gEBv013112 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N5gEs1013111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:42:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Intermediate Advisory Number 4a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230542.h7N5gEs1013111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ34 KNHC 230541 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT FRI AUG 22 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.5 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES...320 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH .. 4 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE SYSTEM MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...21.0 N...107.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:05 2003 X-UIDL: 36488-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MIMBL275@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:00:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N80KSU014435 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:00:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTgB055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 02:55:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 02:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N7tTc9057846 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 02:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N7tTBv014701 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 02:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N7tT8Q014700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 02:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 02:55:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230755.h7N7tT8Q014700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 230755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI AUG 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:05 2003 X-UIDL: 36490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200M9DCSE75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:26:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N8QK01089695 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:26:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DR5070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N8Lic9015536 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N8LhBv015133 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N8LheS015131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230821.h7N8LheS015131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 230821 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 THE DEPRESSION IS SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS VERY CLOSE TO BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS OF 2.5 FROM TAFB...2.5 FROM SAB...AND 2.0 FROM AFWA. THE LATEST SSMI PASS AT 0406Z SUGGESTED A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CENTER TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER...SINCE THAT TIME THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST SEEM TO BE DECREASING AND MAY ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO BECOME MORE VERTICAL AND INTENSIFY. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 320/04. THE DEPRESSION IS LOCATED ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS ANCHORED IN CENTRAL MEXICO. THE SYSTEM NOW SEEMS TO BE RESPONDING TO THIS AS INDICATED BY THE INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD AGAIN AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS ADJUSTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY FORECAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK NOW TAKES THE SYSTEM INLAND UP THE BAJA PENINSULA. BECAUSE OF THE TRACK FORECAST UP THE BAJA...THE INTENSITY FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL...IN ABOUT 36 HOURS...BECOMES A LITTLE DIFFICULT BECAUSE OF THE WARM SEA OF CORTES TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM AND THE COOLER PACIFIC WATERS TO THE WEST. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS AN AVERAGE OF THE SHIPS MODEL GUIDANCE FOR A SYSTEM MOVING OVER WATER AND A SYSTEM MOVING OVER LAND. IF THE SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER TO THE EAST THEN WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY BR REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MAINLAND AS WELL AS LOCATIONS FARTHER NORTH ON THE BAJA. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0900Z 21.2N 107.7W 30 KT 12HR VT 23/1800Z 21.8N 108.2W 35 KT 24HR VT 24/0600Z 22.6N 108.8W 40 KT 36HR VT 24/1800Z 23.4N 109.6W 45 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 25/0600Z 24.1N 110.4W 40 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 26/0600Z 25.4N 111.8W 35 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 27/0600Z 27.1N 113.2W 25 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 28/0600Z 29.0N 114.5W 20 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:06 2003 X-UIDL: 36491-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200M9LCSH75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:26:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N8QOSU017902 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:26:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTh9055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N8Lic9065630 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N8LhBv015132 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N8Lhle015129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:21:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230821.h7N8Lhle015129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 230821 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 0900Z SAT AUG 23 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 107.7W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 107.7W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 107.5W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.8N 108.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.6N 108.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.4N 109.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.1N 110.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.4N 111.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 27.1N 113.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 29.0N 114.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 107.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:06 2003 X-UIDL: 36492-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MASCTM75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:27:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N8Qo01089762 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:26:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GThD055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:22:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341362 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:22:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N8MZc9054030 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N8MZBv015147 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N8MZZV015146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230822.h7N8MZZV015146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 230821 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES...290 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH .. 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE SYSTEM MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...ACCOMPANIED BY FLASHFLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...21.2 N...107.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:07 2003 X-UIDL: 36495-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MWSFHL75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:24:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N9Ob01096972 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:24:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTi5055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:20:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:20:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N9KFc9094040 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:20:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N9KEBv015853 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:20:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N9KEoK015851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:20:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:20:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230920.h7N9KEoK015851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 230919 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 23 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E IS CENTERED NEAR 21.2N 107.7W AT 23/0900 UTC MOVING NW 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT GUSTING TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 93W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF LINE 11N89W 15N93W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 103W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 100W-105W. ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 18N117W DRIFTING SW. LOW HAS GOTTEN BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 24 HOURS AND COULD BE DECLARED A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LATER THIS MORNING. BANDING FEATURES ARE BECOMING MORE PROMINENT BUT TSTMS AROUND THE LOW HAVE WEAKENED WITH ONLY ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 115W-119W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 24N114W TO 32N136W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0815 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E... THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE ON THE N SIDE OF A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION AND IS VERY CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 19.5N-22.5N BETWEEN 106W-109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N90W 10N98W 8N106W 11N121W 15N131W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE E OF 81N BETWEEN PANAMA AND 4N. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 111W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 124W-130W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF 11N98W AND 60 NM OF 15.5N98.5W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 24.5N-28W. ISOLATED TSTM JUST S OF THE WESTERN TIP OF COSTA RICA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:08 2003 X-UIDL: 36496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MGFGL275@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:48:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N9mK01000235 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:48:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTiF055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341958 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N9hHc9072184 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N9hGBv016173 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N9hGvK016170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230943.h7N9hGvK016170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 21.0N3 107.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 107.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.8N1 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.6N0 108.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.4N9 109.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.1N7 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.4N1 111.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:08 2003 X-UIDL: 36497-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MGJGL675@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:48:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N9mPSU026941 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:48:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DRV070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N9hHc9033362 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N9hGBv016174 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N9hGg5016172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: On Day 4 And 350 Nm On Day 5... And For Intensity Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230943.h7N9hGg5016172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 RRB ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 27.1N0 113.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 29.0N1 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT --- REMARKS: 230600Z1 POSITION NEAR 21.0N3 107.5W3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231600Z2, 232200Z9, 240400Z0 AND 241000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:08 2003 X-UIDL: 36498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200M2TH3U75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:59:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N9xaSU027963 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:59:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DRT070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:40:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:40:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N9eKc9035792 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:40:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N9eKBv016126 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N9eKsA016125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:40:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230940.h7N9eKsA016125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 21.0N3 107.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 107.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.8N1 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.6N0 108.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.4N9 109.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.1N7 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.4N1 111.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 27.1N0 113.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 29.0N1 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT --- REMARKS: 230600Z1 POSITION NEAR 21.0N3 107.5W3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231600Z2, 232200Z9, 240400Z0 AND 241000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:09 2003 X-UIDL: 36499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200M8FH7R75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 18:02:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NA1n01001894 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 18:01:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTiJ055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:52:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 342023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:52:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N9qLc9014532 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:52:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N9qLBv016290 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:52:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N9qLd0016289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:52:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:52:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230952.h7N9qLd0016289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 230951 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DECREASED. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:09 2003 X-UIDL: 36500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200M8XH7U75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 18:02:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NA2001001912 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 18:02:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N0UGlv034430; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:55:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 342071 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N9tmc9045834 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N9tmBv016344 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:55:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N9tlK1016343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:55:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:55:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230955.h7N9tlK1016343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 230955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...NEAR 27N165W MOVED WEST 12 KT. SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF 23N166W ARE NEWLY FORMED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 10N157W 10N180 MOVED WEST 12 KT AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 12N140W 10N150W DISSIPATED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 17S180 25S166W MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 100 NM OF FRONT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT EAST OF 175W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 13S174W 23S157W MOVED SOUTH 12 KT BUT IS NOW MOVING SOUTHEAST. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50-75 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE. CB RECENTLY INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:11 2003 X-UIDL: 36504-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200M3CLLE75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 19:36:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NBaVSU037740 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 19:36:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTjd055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:29:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 342875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:29:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NBTjc9021030 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NBTjBv017412 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NBTjJp017411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 06:29:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nine-e Intermediate Advisory Number 5a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231129.h7NBTjJp017411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 231129 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION SLOWLY HEADING TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.9 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...260 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH .. 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE SYSTEM MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...ACCOMPANIED BY FLASHFLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...21.4 N...107.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:12 2003 X-UIDL: 36506-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200BPJSC2YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:02:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NE1uSU053964 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:02:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GToj055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:56:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344504 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:56:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NDtdc9024626 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NDtdBv019067 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NDtdMs019066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:55:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231355.h7NDtdMs019066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 231355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT AUG 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:14 2003 X-UIDL: 36512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200BTVTW3YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:36:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NEZh01035085 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:35:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTpB055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:29:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344826 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:29:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NETuc9047562 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:29:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NETtBv019492 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NETtuJ019491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:29:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231429.h7NETtuJ019491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 231429 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 ..DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD... AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST AND WEST COASTS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SAN EVARISTO. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 108.5 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OR PASS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...RESIDENTS ARE STRONGLY CAUTIONED NOT TO FOCUS ON THE LANDFALL OF THE CENTER...SINCE THE PRECISE TIMING AND LOCATION OF LANDFALL IS UNCERTAIN...AND BECAUSE CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE OVER A LARGE AREA WELL BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE STRENGTHENED AND ARE NOW NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO BE A STRONG TROPICAL STORM BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ..110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...21.8 N...108.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:15 2003 X-UIDL: 36514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200BZ0U0UYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:38:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NEcb01035540 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:38:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTpF055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:31:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NEVlc9040214 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NEVkBv019538 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NEVkPu019537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:31:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231431.h7NEVkPu019537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 231431 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 1500Z SAT AUG 23 2003 AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST AND WEST COASTS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SAN EVARISTO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 108.5W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 108.5W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 108.2W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.3N 109.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.2N 110.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 24.0N 111.0W...ALONG THE COAST MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.5N 111.8W...ALONG THE COAST MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.5N 113.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 26.5N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 108.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:16 2003 X-UIDL: 36517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200B06VLMYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:12:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NFCd01039834 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:12:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTqr055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:06:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 345521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:06:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NF62c9044854 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:06:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NF61Bv019981 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:06:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NF61n0019980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:06:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:06:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231506.h7NF61n0019980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 231505 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED AND IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES AT 12Z WERE 45 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB AND 35 KT FROM AFWA. THE EARLIER PARTLY- EXPOSED CENTER IS NO LONGER APPARENT...AND GOOD BANDING HAS DEVELOPED SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW ROTATING OVERSHOOTING TOPS. THE LOCATION OF THIS APPARENT CENTER IS NOT IN REAL GOOD AGREEMENT WITH EARLIER POSITIONS...BUT IF THE CENTER IS THERE THEN THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT IS TOO LOW. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 310/05...BUT THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER AND HENCE THE MOTION. IGNACIO IS LOCATED ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS ANCHORED IN CENTRAL MEXICO...AND THE CYCLONE NOW SEEMS TO BE RESPONDING TO THIS AS INDICATED BY THE RECENT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THERE IS A FAIR AMOUNT OF SPREAD IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE. THE NOGAPS AND GFNI TAKE IGNACIO ALMOST DUE NORTHWARD...WHILE MOST OF THE REMAINING GUIDANCE IS NEAR OR JUST OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE UKMET HAS A TRACK ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE PENINSULA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND IS VERY CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE GFS...GFDL...AND UKMET MODELS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ALSO A LITTLE FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY FOR THE FIRST 36 HOURS. THE RECENT MARKED IMPROVEMENT IN STRUCTURE SUGGESTS THAT IGNACIO WILL BE STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST AND THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST HAS HAD TO BE ADJUSTED UPWARD. THERE IS CURRENTLY NO EVIDENCE OF THE NORTHERLY SHEAR OBSERVED EARLIER. AS LONG AS IGNACIO CONTINUES ON A NORTHWESTERLY TRACK IT SHOULD AVOID THE NORTHERLY SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER NORTH-CENTRAL MEXICO. IGNACIO IS A SMALL SYSTEM OVER VERY WARM WATER...AND IT IS NOT INCONCIEVABLE THAT IT COULD REACH HURRICANE STATUS PRIOR TO LANDFALL. SHOULD THE RECENT DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUE THEN A SHORT-FUSED HURRICANE WARNING MIGHT BE REQUIRED IN A FEW HOURS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 21.8N 108.5W 40 KT 12HR VT 24/0000Z 22.3N 109.1W 45 KT 24HR VT 24/1200Z 23.2N 110.0W 55 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 25/0000Z 24.0N 111.0W 45 KT...ALONG THE COAST 48HR VT 25/1200Z 24.5N 111.8W 35 KT...ALONG THE COAST 72HR VT 26/1200Z 25.5N 113.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 27/1200Z 26.5N 114.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:17 2003 X-UIDL: 36520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200BYFXRNYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:59:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NFxT01045771 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:59:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTs3055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NFspc9045040 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NFsoBv020807 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NFso6J020805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231554.h7NFso6J020805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 21.5N8 108.2W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 108.2W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.3N7 109.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.2N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.5N1 111.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.5N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:17 2003 X-UIDL: 36521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200BYHXRNYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:59:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NFxT01045772 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:59:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTrx055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:52:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 345982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:52:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NFqac9088060 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:52:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NFqZBv020782 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:52:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NFqZD3020781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:52:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:52:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231552.h7NFqZD3020781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 21.5N8 108.2W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 108.2W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.3N7 109.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.2N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.5N1 111.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.5N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.5N3 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231600Z2 POSITION NEAR 21.9N2 108.6W5. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232200Z9, 240400Z0, 241000Z7 AND 241600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:17 2003 X-UIDL: 36522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200B1KXU4YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:01:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NG0xSU067825 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:01:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N0UGqx034430; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NFspc9047538 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NFspBv020808 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NFsosZ020806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:54:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Note...errors For Track Have Averaged Near 250 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231554.h7NFsosZ020806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 RRB NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.5N3 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231600Z2 POSITION NEAR 21.9N2 108.6W5. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232200Z9, 240400Z0, 241000Z7 AND 241600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:18 2003 X-UIDL: 36523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200BGBY6GYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:08:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NG8NSU068612 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:08:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N0UGr3034430; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:02:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:02:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NG2uc9057850 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:02:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NG2uBv020944 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:02:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NG2tdt020943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:02:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231602.h7NG2tdt020943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 231602 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 23 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...CENTER NEAR 21.8N 108.5W AT 23/1500 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 40 KT GUST 50 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP4/MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W/95W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION ALREADY IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION ALREADY IN ITCZ. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 18N117W DRIFTING WEST. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS BEING STRETCHED A BIT...NOT LOOKING GOOD FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AT THIS MOMENT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 20N112W 20N114W 18N118W 16N120W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1530 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 7N89W 13N103W 9N117W 14N134W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS...INCLUDING IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM PANAMA COAST TO 12N BETWEEN 78W AND 81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CELLS OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 101W AND 103W...NORTHEAST OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CENTER NEAR 14N101W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:18 2003 X-UIDL: 36525-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200BLYZSWYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:43:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NGhR01050759 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:43:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTsv055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:37:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NGbpc9106068 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:37:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NGbpBv021422 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NGbpur021421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 11:37:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231637.h7NGbpur021421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 231637 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON STRENGTHENING TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:19 2003 X-UIDL: 36526-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BN62URYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:49:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHnK01059252 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:49:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTx7055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:40:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 347974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:40:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHePc9048514 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:40:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NHePBv022897 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:40:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NHePMF022896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:40:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:40:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Special Advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231740.h7NHePMF022896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 231740 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 ..IGNACIO STRENGTHENING RAPIDLY...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED... AT 11 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OR PASS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA VERY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...RESIDENTS ARE STRONGLY CAUTIONED NOT TO FOCUS ON THE LANDFALL OF THE CENTER...SINCE THE PRECISE TIMING AND LOCATION OF LANDFALL IS UNCERTAIN...AND BECAUSE CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE OVER A LARGE AREA WELL BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY THIS MORNING AND ARE NOW NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE BAJA PENINSULA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ..165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...21.9 N...108.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:19 2003 X-UIDL: 36527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BN82URYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:49:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHnM01059258 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:49:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTxD055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:43:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:43:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHh2c9045662 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:43:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NHh1Bv022999 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:43:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NHh1Lq022998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:43:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:43:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Special Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231743.h7NHh1Lq022998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 231742 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 1800Z SAT AUG 23 2003 AT 11 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 108.6W AT 23/1800Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 108.6W AT 23/1800Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 108.2W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 22.3N 109.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.2N 110.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 24.0N 111.0W...ALONG THE COAST MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.5N 111.8W...ALONG THE COAST MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.5N 113.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 26.5N 114.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 108.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:19 2003 X-UIDL: 36528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BPO2XCYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:51:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHouSU080813 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:50:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTxF055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348050 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHjac9042876 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NHjaBv023040 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NHjaTL023036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231745.h7NHjaTL023036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:20 2003 X-UIDL: 36530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BVP337YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:54:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsRSU081130 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NFoe29070952; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348059 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHjac9004562 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NHjaBv023041 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NHjavM023039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:45:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231745.h7NHjavM023039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:20 2003 X-UIDL: 36531-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BXM34WYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:55:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHtQSU081259 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:55:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DYj070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:49:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHnQc9057820 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NHnQBv023164 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:49:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NHnQxK023163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:49:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 12:49:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Special Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231749.h7NHnQxK023163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 231749 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 THIS IS A SPECIAL ADVISORY TO UPDATE THE INTENSITY FORECAST FOR IGNACIO AND TO ISSUE A HURRICANE WARNING. IGNACIO HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP QUICKLY THIS MORNING. IR IMAGERY SHOWS A WARM SPOT IN THE CENTER OF INCREASINGLY BANDED CONVECTION. SPECIAL DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS AT 1630Z BY TAFB AND SAB WERE T3.5...OR 55 KT. OUTFLOW LOOKS EXCELLENT TO THE EAST AND IS IMPROVING TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH. WATERS ARE VERY WARM AND CONTINUED STRENGTHENING TO A HURRICANE IS EXPECTED. THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST. ONLY THE INTENSITIES AND RADII HAVE BEEN CHANGED WITH THIS ADVISORY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1800Z 21.9N 108.6W 55 KT 12HR VT 24/0000Z 22.3N 109.1W 65 KT 24HR VT 24/1200Z 23.2N 110.0W 70 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 25/0000Z 24.0N 111.0W 55 KT...ALONG THE COAST 48HR VT 25/1200Z 24.5N 111.8W 40 KT...ALONG THE COAST 72HR VT 26/1200Z 25.5N 113.0W 30 KT...OVER WATER 96HR VT 27/1200Z 26.5N 114.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 28/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:22 2003 X-UIDL: 36537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BJ95BYYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 02:43:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NIgqSU086411 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 02:42:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMdT038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:34:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:34:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NIYfc9045728 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:34:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NIYeBv024604 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:34:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NIYeKJ024602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:34:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:34:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...updated... Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231834.h7NIYeKJ024602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 231834 AAA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...UPDATED... TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 23 AUG 2003 WIND WITH TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO REACHES 55 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO CENTER NEAR 21.9N 108.6W AT 23/1800 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 55 KT GUST 65 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP4/MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W/95W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION ALREADY IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION ALREADY IN ITCZ. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 18N117W DRIFTING WEST. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS BEING STRETCHED A BIT...NOT LOOKING GOOD FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AT THIS MOMENT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 20N112W 20N114W 18N118W 16N120W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1530 UTC... ..TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 7N89W 13N103W 9N117W 14N134W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS...INCLUDING IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM PANAMA COAST TO 12N BETWEEN 78W AND 81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CELLS OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 101W AND 103W...NORTHEAST OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CENTER NEAR 14N101W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:23 2003 X-UIDL: 36540-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BI8698YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:03:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NJ2o01067582 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:02:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58Dab070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 349286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NIuJc9044874 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NIuIBv025381 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NIuIqS025378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231856.h7NIuIqS025378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 06A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 21.9N2 108.6W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 108.6W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.3N7 109.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.2N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:23 2003 X-UIDL: 36541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BIC698YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:03:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NJ2p01067583 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:02:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N0UGtv034430; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:54:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 349259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:54:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NIsEc9045776 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:54:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NIsDBv025287 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:54:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NIsDO3025286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:54:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:54:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231854.h7NIsDO3025286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 06A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 21.9N2 108.6W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 108.6W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.3N7 109.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.2N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.5N1 111.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.5N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.5N3 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231600Z2 POSITION NEAR 21.9N2 108.6W5. THE WARNING HAS BEEN AMENDED BASED ON A RAPID INCREASE OF THE WINDS AND TIGHTER BANDING IN THE CONVECTION. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232200Z9, 240400Z0, 241000Z7 AND 241600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:23 2003 X-UIDL: 36542-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BIK69BYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:03:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NJ2sSU088497 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:02:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMeN038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 349291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NIuMc9042880 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NIuIBv025385 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NIuIFN025380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:56:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231856.h7NIuIFN025380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 RRB --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.5N1 111.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.5N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.5N3 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231600Z2 POSITION NEAR 21.9N2 108.6W5. THE WARNING HAS BEEN AMENDED BASED ON A RAPID INCREASE OF THE WINDS AND TIGHTER BANDING IN THE CONVECTION. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232200Z9, 240400Z0, 241000Z7 AND 241600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36544-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BVN8O4YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:55:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NJsx01073733 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:55:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58Dax070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 14:45:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 349940 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 14:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NJjkc9008122 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 14:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NJjkBv026941 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 14:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NJjkeQ026940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 14:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 14:45:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231945.h7NJjkeQ026940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 231945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT AUG 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:25 2003 X-UIDL: 36547-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300B2VB9VYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:51:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NKpE01079499 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:51:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMgt038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NKh7c9055180 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NKh7Bv028697 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NKh7L5028696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232043.h7NKh7L5028696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 232042 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 2100Z SAT AUG 23 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 108.7W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 108.7W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 108.6W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.5N 109.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.3N 110.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.0N 111.0W...ALONG THE COAST MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.6N 111.7W...ALONG THE COAST MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.5N 113.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 27.0N 113.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 28.5N 114.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 108.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:25 2003 X-UIDL: 36548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300B33BA3YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:51:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NKpMSU001161 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:51:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DbR070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NKh7c9070148 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NKh7Bv028702 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NKh7tQ028699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:43:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232043.h7NKh7tQ028699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 232042 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 LATEST DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS ARE T3.5 FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. A RECENT OBJECTIVE DVORAK ESTIMATE WAS T4.0. A FORMATIVE EYE HAS BEEN INTERMITTENTLY VISIBLE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A MICROWAVE PASS AT 1820Z SHOWED A PARTIAL EYEWALL. BASED ON THE ABOVE...THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS SET JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...AND THE ONGOING RECORD FOR LATEST FIRST HURRICANE OF THE EAST PACIFIC SEASON IS EXTENDED FOR ANOTHER THREE HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 310/5...ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE MOTION OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE TRACK FORECAST IN THE SHORT TERM. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS CONVERGED...WITH THE NOGAPS NO LONGER AN OUTLIER WITH A NORTHWARD TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE GFS...UKMET...AND GFDL MODELS. THERE IS A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE THAT IS NUDGING IGNACIO NORTHWESTWARD. THIS RIDGE IS FORECAST BY GLOBAL MODELS TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN SOME SLOWING OF THE MOTION AND A PROLONGED PASSAGE OF IGNACIO OVER OR VERY NEAR THE BAJA PENINSULA. ONE CONCERN WITH THIS WOULD BE THE POSSIBILITY FOR VERY LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL. FORTUNATELY...IGNACIO IS A RATHER SMALL STORM AND THIS MAY MITIGATE THE RAINFALL DANGER SOMEWHAT. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD THE TRACK WAS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD BECAUSE THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER AND RESPOND TO DEEPER LAYER STEERING LONGER. THE SHIPS INTENSITY GUIDANCE BRINGS IGNACIO TO NEARLY 80 KT BEFORE PRESUMED LANDFALL...BUT A BIG CONTRIBUTOR TO THIS IS PERSISTENCE... THE RECENT RAPID DEVELOPMENT. THE GFDL BRINGS IGNACIO TO ABOUT 85 KT IN 24 HOURS. WHILE THE WATERS ARE VERY WARM...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE OUTFLOW FROM THE CYCLONE IS INHIBITED TO THE SOUTHWEST AND NORTHEAST...WITH NO ANTICYCLONE ESTABLISHED OVER IGNACIO. AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS LESS AGGRESSIVE THAN THE GUIDANCE. WHILE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE...A CATEGORY TWO LANDFALL IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/2100Z 21.9N 108.7W 60 KT 12HR VT 24/0600Z 22.5N 109.4W 70 KT 24HR VT 24/1800Z 23.3N 110.2W 70 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 25/0600Z 24.0N 111.0W 60 KT...ALONG THE COAST 48HR VT 25/1800Z 24.6N 111.7W 45 KT...ALONG THE COAST 72HR VT 26/1800Z 25.5N 113.0W 35 KT...OVER WATER 96HR VT 27/1800Z 27.0N 113.5W 25 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 28/1800Z 28.5N 114.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:26 2003 X-UIDL: 36549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300B3ABA8YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:51:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NKpRSU001164 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:51:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMgv038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:44:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:44:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NKi2c9033066 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:44:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NKi2Bv028756 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:44:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NKi2IO028755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:44:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:44:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232044.h7NKi2IO028755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 232043 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 ..IGNACIO NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OR PASS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUNDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...RESIDENTS ARE STRONGLY CAUTIONED NOT TO FOCUS ON THE LANDFALL OF THE CENTER...SINCE THE PRECISE TIMING AND LOCATION OF LANDFALL IS UNCERTAIN...AND BECAUSE CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE OVER A LARGE AREA WELL BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE BAJA PENINSULA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ..140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...21.9 N...108.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:26 2003 X-UIDL: 36550-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BZPDY4YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:49:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NLmwSU006603 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:49:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMjN038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:39:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 351563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:39:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NLdwc9091328 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:39:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NLdvBv000746 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:39:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NLdv3M000745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:39:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:39:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232139.h7NLdv3M000745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 232200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 21.8N1 108.6W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 108.6W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.5N9 109.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.3N8 110.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:27 2003 X-UIDL: 36551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BZXDYAYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:49:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NLn401085740 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:49:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N0UGvb034430; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:40:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 351566 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:40:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NLdwc9042926 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:39:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NLdwBv000753 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:39:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NLdwCc000750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:39:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:39:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232139.h7NLdwCc000750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 232200 RRB --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.6N2 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.5N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.0N9 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.5N5 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 231800Z4 POSITION NEAR 21.8N1 108.6W5. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231800Z4 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 TO 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240400Z0, 241000Z7, 241600Z3 AND 242200Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:27 2003 X-UIDL: 36552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300B01DYBYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:49:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NLn601085742 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:49:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58Dbp070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:38:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 351548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NLcmc9091302 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NLclBv000708 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:38:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NLclZh000707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:38:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:38:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232138.h7NLclZh000707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 232200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 21.8N1 108.6W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 108.6W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.5N9 109.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.3N8 110.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.6N2 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.5N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.0N9 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.5N5 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 231800Z4 POSITION NEAR 21.8N1 108.6W5. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231800Z4 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 TO 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240400Z0, 241000Z7, 241600Z3 AND 242200Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:27 2003 X-UIDL: 36553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300B4LE28YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:51:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NLpL01085966 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:51:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMjd038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 351666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NLkZc9048614 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NLkZBv001018 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NLkZuj001017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:46:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232146.h7NLkZuj001017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 232145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 12N140W 10N160W 09N173W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 08N148W 08N155W 05N164W 07N173W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 13N160W 11N169W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. LOW ALOFT...NEAR 26N167W HAS MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10KT IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 25N170W 24N165W 22N167W 25N170W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH LOW ALOFT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE IN AREA SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 17N168W 17N165W ARE MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 15KT. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S150W 24S160W 21S169W 18S172W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 21S165W 20S169W. AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 19S170W 25S144W 30S140S 32S164W 27S170W 19S170W HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 30KT AND EXPANDED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB AND OCCASIONAL TCU HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 12S161W 10S167W. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:28 2003 X-UIDL: 36555-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BB2E94YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:55:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NLtZSU007226 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:55:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMjV038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:45:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 351635 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NLjjc9024010 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NLjiBv000973 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NLjiKV000972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:45:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232145.h7NLjiKV000972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 232145 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 23 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 21.9N 108.7W AT 23/2100 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP4/MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 106W/107W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N118W DRIFTING WEST. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 22N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 22N FROM 108W TO 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 20N TO 23N E OF 110W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N91W 9N111W 11N123W 16N135W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 122W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 133W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 86W...FROM 106W TO 109W... AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 124W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 128W AND FROM 133W TO BEYOND 140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N100W TO 12N103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 20N106W TO 17N108W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA/COSTA RICA FROM 81W TO 84W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N94W TO 13N105W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:28 2003 X-UIDL: 36556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300B6BG8JYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 06:38:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NMcQrM002956 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 06:38:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMkV038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:26:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 352306 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:26:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NMQ2c9044970 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:26:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NMQ1Bv002733 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:26:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NMQ1uX002732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:26:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 17:26:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232226.h7NMQ1uX002732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 232225 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON STRENGTHENING TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:29 2003 X-UIDL: 36557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300B2BKCWYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 08:07:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O07QBB009261 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 08:07:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMoF038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 18:54:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 353972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 18:54:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NNsqc9085176 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 18:54:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NNsqBv005970 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 18:54:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NNsqbv005969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 18:54:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 18:54:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 8a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232354.h7NNsqbv005969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 232354 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 ..IGNACIO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...155 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 8 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OR PASS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IGNACIO IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ..140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...OR EVEN HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...22.1 N...108.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36561-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300099ULCTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:48:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O3mTHc024148 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:48:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMtd038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:34:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 356555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:34:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O3Yac9038274 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:34:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O3YZ7S003126 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:34:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O3YZTo003125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:34:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:34:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240334.h7O3YZTo003125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 240334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 24 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 22.3N 108.7W AT 24/0300 UTC MOVING NW 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP4/MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 13N97.5W ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 108W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7.5N-11N BETWEEN 107W-111.5W. ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 17N119W DRIFTING SW. A STRONG BURST OF CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER HAS DISSIPATED LEAVING CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT LOOK ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THAN YESTERDAY. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS FROM 22N113W TO BEYOND 32N133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO... THE DEVELOPMENT OF IGNACIO APPEARED TO HAVE BEEN HALTED IN THE LAST FEW HOURS AS CONVECTION WANED. HOWEVER... STRONG TSTMS HAVE RETURNED NEAR THE CENTER WITH HINTS OF AN EYE-LIKE FEATURE ON NIGHT VIS IMAGES. THIS IS A RATHER SMALL SYSTEM WITH SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N95W 10N120W 16N135W 13N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 120W-135W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN A SIMILAR DISTANCE OF THE AXIS W OF 135W...BETWEEN 112W-118W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS E OF 92W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 100W-106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE ALONG THE W COAST OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK3000N3UQ2TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:51:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O3p6Hc024611 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:51:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMsL038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O2aHc9094172 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O2aH7S002130 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O2aHtu002129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240236.h7O2aHtu002129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 240235 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 ..IGNACIO SLOWLY APPROACHING EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING SOMEWHAT ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR. THIS SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BRING THE CENTER TO THE COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MID-DAY SUNDAY WITH DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS ARRIVING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IGNACIO IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...OR EVEN HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ..ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...22.3 N...108.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:32 2003 X-UIDL: 36564-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK30004UUWVTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:55:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O3p6He024611 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:55:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMsN038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355940 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O2ahc9057730 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O2ag7S002142 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O2agoJ002141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:36:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240236.h7O2agoJ002141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 240236 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 0300Z SUN AUG 24 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 108.7W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 108.7W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 108.7W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.9N 109.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.5N 109.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.0N 110.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.6N 110.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.8N 111.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 27.5N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 29.0N 113.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N 108.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:23 2003 X-UIDL: 36565-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK3000MSV3OTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:59:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O3p6Hg024611 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:59:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMsH038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:32:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:32:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O2WSc9046044 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:32:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O2WR7S002091 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:32:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O2WRRI002090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:32:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:32:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240232.h7O2WRRI002090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 240232 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 AN AMSU PASS AT 2114Z SHOWED A TINY EYE-TYPE FEATURE...BUT AFTER THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION DECREASED AND MOVED SOUTHEASTWARD EXPOSING THE LOW CLOUD CENTER. OBJECTIVE T NUMBERS WERE NEAR 4.0 AND IGNACIO MAY WELL HAVE REACHED HURRICANE INTENSITY AT THAT TIME...BUT SUBJECTIVE DVORAK T NUMBERS ARE AT 3.5...OR 55 KNOTS FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB AT 00Z. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS THUS KEPT AT 60 KNOTS. STILL LATER...WITHIN THE LAST TWO HOURS...A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS REAPPEARING OVER THE CENTER AND IT IS LIKELY THAT IGNACIO WILL BECOME A HURRICANE IN THE NEXT SIX TO 12 HOURS...IF IT HAS NOT ALREADY BECOME ONE. DEPENDING ON HOW LONG IT TAKES TO REACH LAND...THE WIND SPEED COULD INCREASE TO EVEN HIGHER THAN THE 75-KNOT OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 320/04. IGNACIO IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES AND EXTENDING WESTWARD ACROSS CALIFORNIA. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AND ERODING THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE RIDGE. THE TRACK GUIDANCE RESPONDS BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 3 TO 5 DAYS WITH A CONTINUED VERY SLOW FORWARD SPEED. THE NOGAPS IS SOMEWHAT OF AN OUTLIER WELL TO THE RIGHT OF THE OTHER GLOBAL MODELS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND MOVES THE CENTER OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA FOR 5 DAYS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS A LITTLE TRICKY IN THAT A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE FORECAST TRACK IN EITHER DIRECTION COULD KEEP THE CIRCULATION MOSTLY OVER WATER WHICH COULD SLOW THE WEAKENING PROCESS. MEANWHILE THE IMMEDIATE THREAT IS TO EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA WHERE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY...ALONG WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING AND POSSIBLE TORRENTIAL RAINS RESULTING FROM THE SLOW FORWARD SPEED. DEPENDING ON THE FORWARD SPEED...WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 22.3N 108.7W 60 KT 12HR VT 24/1200Z 22.9N 109.3W 75 KT 24HR VT 25/0000Z 23.5N 109.9W 70 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 25/1200Z 24.0N 110.3W 60 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 26/0000Z 24.6N 110.9W 50 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 27/0000Z 25.8N 111.9W 40 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 28/0000Z 27.5N 113.0W 30 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 29/0000Z 29.0N 113.5W 25 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:26 2003 X-UIDL: 36568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK3000WNVQOTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:13:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O232rM022779 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 10:03:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O1Ksgv045696; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 20:55:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355358 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 20:55:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O1t9c9047532 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 20:55:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O1t97S001028 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 20:55:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O1t9mf001025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 20:55:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 20:55:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240155.h7O1t9mf001025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 240152 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT AUG 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:30 2003 X-UIDL: 36575-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK3000KKWZNTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:40:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O4eJHc031123 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:40:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMuR038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:28:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 356947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O4SKc9102648 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O4SJ7S003641 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O4SJFS003640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 23:28:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240428.h7O4SJFS003640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 240427 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON STRONG TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 80 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE...LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR IN MID-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:32 2003 X-UIDL: 36578-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000ZD0FCTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 13:54:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O5shHc039644 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 13:54:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51NeL102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O5ZNc9071142 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O5ZM7S004488 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O5ZMsY004486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240535.h7O5ZMsY004486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/240152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED NEAR 18.7N6 114.9E5, APPROXIATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:33 2003 X-UIDL: 36579-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000R613VTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 14:09:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O69KHc041450 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 14:09:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMwr038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:55:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 358077 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:55:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O5tCc9027242 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:55:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O5tC7S004704 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:55:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O5tCXl004703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:55:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:55:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 9a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240555.h7O5tCXl004703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 240554 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SAT AUG 23 2003 ..IGNACIO NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT SLOWLY APPROACHES SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR. THIS SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BRING THE CENTER TO THE COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MID-DAY SUNDAY WITH DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS ARRIVING SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...OR EVEN HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ..ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...22.4 N...108.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:34 2003 X-UIDL: 36583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000IR6JETT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:06:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O86Xkr048122 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:06:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51Nf3102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 02:56:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 358995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 02:56:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O7uLc9071074 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 02:56:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O7uL7S005883 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 02:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O7uLGB005882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 02:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 02:56:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240756.h7O7uLGB005882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 240755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT AUG 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:35 2003 X-UIDL: 36584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000356ZTTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:16:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O8GYHc055764 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:16:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM15038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:05:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 359143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:05:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O85Rc9027382 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:05:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O85Q7S006143 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:05:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O85Q6o006141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:05:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:05:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240805.h7O85Q6o006141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 240805 TCMEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 0900Z SUN AUG 24 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 108.8W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 108.8W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 108.7W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.2N 109.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 23.9N 109.8W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.4N 110.3W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.0N 110.8W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.7N 111.7W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 28.0N 112.5W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 29.5N 113.5W...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 108.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:35 2003 X-UIDL: 36585-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40004M719TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:17:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O8HRHc055849 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:17:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM13038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:04:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 359133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:04:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O84kc9027360 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:04:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O84j7S006126 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:04:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O84j4P006125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:04:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:04:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240804.h7O84j4P006125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 240804 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 ..IGNACIO BECOMES THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...POSES A SERIOUS THREAT TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...100 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...BUT A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THIS SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MID-DAY TODAY WITH DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS ARRIVING BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...WHICH MAKES IGNACIO A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS AND IGNACIO COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE LATER TODAY BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...OR EVEN HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ..ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...22.7 N...108.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:36 2003 X-UIDL: 36588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40008X8T5TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:55:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O8tXkr053534 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:55:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM1r038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:42:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 359456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:42:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O8goc9070480 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:42:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O8go7S006555 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:42:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O8goad006554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:42:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:42:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240842.h7O8goad006554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 240842 TCDEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IGNACIO HAS FINALLY STRENGTHENED INTO THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON. THIS MAKES IGNACIO THE LATEST HURRICANE TO FORM IN THIS BASIN IN THE MODERN ERA. AN EMBEDDED EYE FEATURE HAS DEVELOPED DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 65 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND AFWA...AND 77 KT FROM SAB. ALSO...DATA T-NUMBERS RANGE FROM 77 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...TO 90 KT FROM AFWA. BASED ON THIS INFORMATION...THE INTENSITY HAS BEEN MODESTLY INCREASED TO 70 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 350/04. ALTHOUGH THE HURRICANE HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWARD...MOST OF THIS MOTION IS LIKELY DUE TO REFORMATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WITHIN THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-AIR DATA INDICATE A STRONG LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL U.S SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST TO WELL OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS NORTHEASTWARD FROM IGNACIO INTO SOUTHWEST TEXAS...AND THIS FEATURE MAY HAVE ALSO HELPED TO INDUCE A SLIGHT NORTHWARD JOG. HOWEVER... THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE NOW BACKED OFF ON ERODING THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN THE LATER FORECAST PERIODS. ALSO... UNLIKE PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS...THE 06Z NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS NOW IN STRONG AGREEMENT AND TIGHTLY PACKED ABOUT A NORTHWEST TRACK UP THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE MAIN QUESTION IS WHICH COAST WILL IGNACIO TRACK ALONG. THE MAJORITY OF THE MODELS TAKE THE HURRICANE NEAR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA AND THIS SEEMS REASONABLE GIVEN ITS MORE NORTHERN AND EASTERN INITIAL POSITION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE GUNS AND GUNA ENSEMBLE MODELS AND HAS IGNACIO SKIRTING THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS TRICKY GIVEN THE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND AFTER 18 HOURS. BEFORE THEN...HOWEVER...IGNACIO IS FORECAST TO UNDERGO A BRIEF PERIOD OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION AND PEAK IN ABOUT 12 TO 18 HOURS AT 85 TO 90 KT BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS. THIS IS BASED ON THE WELL-DEVELOPED EYE SIGNATURE AND 30-KT 150 MB NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE MAZATLAN 00Z UPPER-AIR DATA...WHICH SUGGESTS THE OUTFLOW LEVEL IS HIGHER THAN USUAL AND IS VERY STRONG. AFTERWARDS ..ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST SINCE MUCH OF THE CIRCULATION WILL STILL BE OVER WATER. ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OR LEFT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD EASILY RESULT IN A TROPICAL CYCLONE THAT IS 10 TO 15 KT STRONGER OR WEAKER AFTER 24 HOURS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0900Z 22.7N 108.8W 70 KT 12HR VT 24/1800Z 23.2N 109.2W 85 KT 24HR VT 25/0600Z 23.9N 109.8W 80 KT...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST 36HR VT 25/1800Z 24.4N 110.3W 70 KT...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST 48HR VT 26/0600Z 25.0N 110.8W 60 KT...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST 72HR VT 27/0600Z 26.7N 111.7W 60 KT...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST 96HR VT 28/0600Z 28.0N 112.5W 60 KT...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST 120HR VT 29/0600Z 29.5N 113.5W 60 KT...NEAR BAJA EAST COAST +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:38 2003 X-UIDL: 36593-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000DXBCZTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:50:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9oeHc066530 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:50:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM3Z038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:38:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:38:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9csc9021040 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:38:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O9cr7S007107 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:38:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O9crR9007106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:38:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:38:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240938.h7O9crR9007106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 09E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 22.5N9 108.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 108.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.2N7 109.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 23.9N4 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.4N0 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.0N7 110.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 26.7N5 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 28.0N0 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.5N6 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 241000Z6 POSITION NEAR 22.8N2 108.8W7. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTH AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241600Z3, 242200Z0, 250400Z1 AND 251000Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:38 2003 X-UIDL: 36594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000GRBFLTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:52:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9qKHc066746 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:52:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51Nfj102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9f8c9034002 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O9f77S007151 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O9f7xD007147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 075 Nm Northwest Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240941.h7O9f7xD007147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241000 RRC 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 28.0N0 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.5N6 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 241000Z6 POSITION NEAR 22.8N2 108.8W7. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTH AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241600Z3, 242200Z0, 250400Z1 AND 251000Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:39 2003 X-UIDL: 36595-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000GVBFOTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:52:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9qPHc066751 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:52:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM3d038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9f8c9021094 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O9f77S007150 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O9f79B007145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240941.h7O9f79B007145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 09E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 22.5N9 108.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 108.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.2N7 109.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 23.9N4 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.4N0 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:39 2003 X-UIDL: 36596-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000HABG3TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:52:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9qfkr059659 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:52:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM3b038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9f6c9021088 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O9f67S007141 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O9f6rV007140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 040 Nm Northeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240941.h7O9f6rV007140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241000 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.0N7 110.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 26.7N5 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:40 2003 X-UIDL: 36597-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000POBOGTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:57:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9vfkr060166 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:57:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM3h038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9fVc9021112 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O9fV7S007172 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O9fUWb007171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:41:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240941.h7O9fUWb007171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 240941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 24 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE SEASON HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC BASIN. HURRICANE IGNACIO IS NEAR 22.7N 108.8W AT 24/0900 UTC MOVING N 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP4/MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 98W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N98.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 109W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE POSITION OF THIS WAVE IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..STATIONARY 1010 MB LOW IS NEAR 18N118W. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM MAY NOW ONLY BE A TROUGH. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LOW. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS FROM 22N114W TO BEYOND 32N132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0845 UTC... HURRICANE IGNACIO... AN EYE HAS FORMED IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A COMPACT CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE EYE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG FROM 21N-22N BETWEEN 107W-109.5W. A BAND OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 24N108W. THIS IS THE LATEST FIRST HURRICANE DATE IN THE E PAC SINCE THE RELIABLE SATELLITE ERA BEGAN IN 1966. THE PREVIOUS LATEST FIRST HURRICANE IN A SEASON WAS ON AUGUST 8 1968. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 9N97W 9N109W 12N126W 15N134W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 109W-112W AND 123W-130W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 114W-117W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 84W-107W AND 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 131W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 12N102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIA FROM 3N-8N. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 26N... REMNANTS OF INLAND DAYTIME TSTMS. ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF 12N88W AND 15N95W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:40 2003 X-UIDL: 36598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40009NC1VTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 18:05:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OA5oHc068401 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 18:05:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM3t038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360366 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O9tac9038304 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O9ta7S007269 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O9taFC007268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240955.h7O9taFC007268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 240955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 08N150W 10N172W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED SLIGHTLY IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST CIRRUS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER LOW...NEAR 26N168W MOVED SOUTHWEST 5 KT AND HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. LOW HAS WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM EAST AND SOUTH OF LOW DISSIPATED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. ISOLATED TCU. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S166W 17S174W 13S180 MOVING EAST 10 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS/OCCASIONAL SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF FRONT SOUTH OF 20S. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 100 NM OF FRONT NORTH OF 20N. CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 17S168W 25S160W MOVED SOUTHEAST 5-10 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. ALSO SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40000VCJDTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 18:16:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OAGKkr062186 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 18:16:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM43038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:03:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:03:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OA3sc9044950 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:03:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OA3r7S007421 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:03:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OA3riq007420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:03:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 05:03:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241003.h7OA3riq007420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 241003 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED AND RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 65 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. A LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS DEVOID OF ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:44 2003 X-UIDL: 36607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40000YHFJTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:02:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OC20kr074514 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:02:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM6t038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 06:48:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 361615 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 06:48:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OBmSc9027208 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 06:48:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OBmR7S008349 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 06:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OBmR7n008348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 06:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 06:48:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 10a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241148.h7OBmR7n008348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 241148 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 ..IGNACIO STRENGTHENING...PASSING EAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO SANTA FE AND FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...100 KM...EAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH... 11 KM/HR...AND A SLOW NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MOVE ALONG OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...145 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE UNTIL THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...OR EVEN HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ..ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...23.1 N...109.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36612-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40007QMVZTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:59:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ODxqkr087846 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:59:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jdv038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 08:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 08:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ODtZc9099268 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 08:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7ODtZ7S009540 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 08:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7ODtZPG009539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 08:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 08:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241355.h7ODtZPG009539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 241355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN AUG 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:50 2003 X-UIDL: 36618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40002ZOILTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:35:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OEZ4kr091569 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:35:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jfD038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OETQc9038166 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OETP7S009848 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OETPKl009847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241429.h7OETPKl009847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 241429 TCMEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 1500Z SUN AUG 24 2003 AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NORTHWARD. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 109.0W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 109.0W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 108.9W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.8N 109.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.4N 110.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 25.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.7N 111.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 27.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 29.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 30.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 109.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:50 2003 X-UIDL: 36619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40003BOIQTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:35:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OEYvkr091539 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:35:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jfF038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363542 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OETSc9096822 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OETR7S009854 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OETRZH009853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241429.h7OETRZH009853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 241429 TCDEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 IGNACIO HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN...WITH A SMALL EYE EMBEDDED IN VERY COLD-TOPPED CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH RECENT ENHANCED IR IMAGES SHOW SOME WARMING OF THE CLOUD TOPS. TRMM DATA SHOWED A 10 N MI DIAMETER EYE WITH A WELL-DEFINED EYEWALL...AND FIRST-LIGHT VISUAL PICTURES SHOW A CLOUD-FILLED EYE. DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE 5.0 FROM TAFB AND 4.5 FROM NESDIS AND KGWC. INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 90 KT. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS PROBLEMATIC SINCE IT IS NOT CERTAIN WHETHER THE CORE WILL REMAIN OVER THE VERY WARM WATERS OF THE SEA OF CORTES OR MOVE OVER THE TERRAIN OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ALLOWS FOR A LITTLE MORE STRENGTHENING AND THEN ASSUMES SOME INHIBITING INFLUENCE DUE TO LAND. HOWEVER...IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER OPEN WATER...IGNACIO COULD BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER. THE MOTION HAS BEEN MOSTLY NORTHWARD OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO APPEARS TO BE FILLING AND DRIFTING NORTHWARD. THEREFORE...DEEP-LAYER MEAN HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE HURRICANE. THE NOGAPS MODEL SHOWS A WEAKER RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF IGNACIO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK THAN THE OTHER GLOBAL MODELS. THE GFS AND U.K. MET PREDICT A STRONGER RIDGE TO THE NORTH...AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LIES BETWEEN THESE TWO EXTREMES AND IS QUITE CLOSE TO THE GUNA CONSENSUS. THIS IS FAIRLY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS NHC TRACK...AND KEEPS THE CENTER VERY NEAR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 23.3N 109.0W 90 KT 12HR VT 25/0000Z 23.8N 109.5W 100 KT 24HR VT 25/1200Z 24.4N 110.0W 95 KT 36HR VT 26/0000Z 25.0N 110.5W 90 KT 48HR VT 26/1200Z 25.7N 111.0W 80 KT 72HR VT 27/1200Z 27.5N 112.0W 70 KT 96HR VT 28/1200Z 29.0N 113.0W 60 KT 120HR VT 29/1200Z 30.5N 114.0W 60 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:50 2003 X-UIDL: 36620-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40003IOIRTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:35:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OEZBHc099641 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:35:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jf9038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363529 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OESxc9038150 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OESx7S009837 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:28:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OESxiL009836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:28:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:28:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241428.h7OESxiL009836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 241428 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 ..IGNACIO NOW A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS NORTHWARD. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...EAST OF SAN JOSE DEL CABO IN EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE ALONG OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY AS LONG AS THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER...AND IGNACIO COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ..ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...23.3 N...109.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:51 2003 X-UIDL: 36623-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000FJSVHTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:09:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OG90kr001936 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:09:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jjh038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:03:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:03:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OG3Tc9065580 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:03:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OG3T7S010965 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OG3SHO010964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:03:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:03:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241603.h7OG3SHO010964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 241603 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 24 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 23.3N 109.0W AT 24/1500 UTC MOVING N 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP4/MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 102W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS NOTED NEAR 11N102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 102W-105W. ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N119W MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 118W-120W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS FROM 22N120W TO BEYOND 32N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1530 UTC... HURRICANE IGNACIO... AN EYE IS IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A COMPACT CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE EYE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG FROM 21N-24N BETWEEN 106W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N94W 11N104W 9N110W 10N120W 12N132W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W-105W AND BETWEEN 114W-117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 95W-97W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:52 2003 X-UIDL: 36624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000RET4MTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:14:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OGEdkr002574 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:14:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jjr038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:09:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:09:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OG9kc9044464 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:09:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OG9k7S011024 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:09:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OG9kgm011023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:09:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:09:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241609.h7OG9kgm011023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 241600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 23.1N6 108.9W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N6 108.9W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.8N3 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.4N0 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 25.0N7 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.7N4 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.5N4 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 29.0N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 30.5N8 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 241600Z3 POSITION NEAR 23.3N8 109.0W0. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTH AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241200Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 TO 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242200Z0, 250400Z1, 251000Z8 AND 251600Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:52 2003 X-UIDL: 36625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000UZT71TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:16:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OGG8Hc011059 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:16:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51Nkb102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365253 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OGCfc9019678 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OGCe7S011075 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OGCe7p011071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 075 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241612.h7OGCe7p011071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241600 RRB 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 25.0N7 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.7N4 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.5N4 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:53 2003 X-UIDL: 36626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000Y1T9PTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:17:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OGHikr002940 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:17:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jk5038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OGCec9087904 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OGCe7S011074 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OGCekL011070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241612.h7OGCekL011070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 23.1N6 108.9W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N6 108.9W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.8N3 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.4N0 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:53 2003 X-UIDL: 36627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000YUTA7TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:18:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OGI2Hc011276 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:18:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51Nid034438; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OGCfc9021240 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OGCe7S011076 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OGCe7g011073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:12:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 040 Nm Northeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241612.h7OGCe7g011073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241600 RRC RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 29.0N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 30.5N8 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 241600Z3 POSITION NEAR 23.3N8 109.0W0. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTH AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241200Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 TO 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242200Z0, 250400Z1, 251000Z8 AND 251600Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:53 2003 X-UIDL: 36628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000CQV8KTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:00:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OH0Fkr007756 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:00:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jm3038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:54:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365988 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:54:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OGsRc9089090 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:54:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OGsR7S011594 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:54:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OGsRYW011593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:54:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:54:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241654.h7OGsRYW011593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 241654 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 45 MILES EAST OF SAN JOSE DEL CABO MEXICO. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ACCOMPANIED BY INTERMITTENT SHOWER ACTIVITY. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36629-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000C7VPMTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:10:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OHATHc017515 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:10:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51NjL034438; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 366102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OH40c9019664 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OH407S011852 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OH40qF011850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241704.h7OH40qF011850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000EIVS3TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:12:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OHBxkr009442 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:12:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51NlN102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 366099 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OH40c9089178 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OH407S011853 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OH40HD011851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:04:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241704.h7OH40HD011851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40001CX3OTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:40:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OHeOkr012404 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:40:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jnV038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:35:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 366602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:35:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OHZ3c9027144 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:35:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OHZ37S012230 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:35:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OHZ3F4012229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:35:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:35:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 11a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241735.h7OHZ3F4012229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 241734 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 ..IGNACIO DRIFTING NORTHWARD... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAN JOSE DEL CABO IN EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. IGNACIO IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER WILL MOVE ALONG OR NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AS LONG AS THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER...AND IGNACIO COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ..ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...23.4 N...109.0 W. MOVEMENT... DRIFTING NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:57 2003 X-UIDL: 36635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK5000IK32RTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:49:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OJnXHc035526 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:49:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2juV038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 14:45:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 368978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 14:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OJjgc9015470 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 14:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OJjf7S015763 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 14:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OJjfZQ015762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 14:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 14:45:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241945.h7OJjfZQ015762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 241945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN AUG 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:58 2003 X-UIDL: 36638-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK50009E5V2TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:49:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OKngHc042685 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:49:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51NqX102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OKkXc9031942 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OKkW7S017193 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OKkWcf017192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242046.h7OKkWcf017192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 242046 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 ..CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO VERY NEAR EXTREME SOUTHEAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...23.7 N...109.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:58 2003 X-UIDL: 36639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK5000D25YGTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:51:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OKplkr032993 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:51:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51Nqb102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:47:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:47:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OKl6c9041710 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:47:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OKl67S017244 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:47:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OKl5Jf017243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:47:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:47:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242047.h7OKl5Jf017243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 242046 TCMEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 2100Z SUN AUG 24 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 109.1W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 109.1W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.2N 109.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.6N 110.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.7N 111.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 50SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 28.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 29.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 109.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:58 2003 X-UIDL: 36640-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK5000DB5YKTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:51:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OKpoHc043096 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:51:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2j05038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370187 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OKk2c9087910 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OKk17S017178 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OKk1V4017177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:46:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242046.h7OKk1V4017177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 242045 TCDEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 THE INTENSIFICATION EVENT NOTED EARLIER TODAY HAS ENDED. TRMM AND SSM/I IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT IGNACIO HAS GONE THROUGH AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT...WHICH COULD EXPLAIN THE RECENT LEVELING OFF IN INTENSITY. AS LONG AS THE CENTER REMAINS OVER THE VERY WARM WATERS OF THE SEA OF CORTES THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER STRENGTHENING. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. IGNACIO HAS CONTINUED TO DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO FILL AND MOVE NORTHWARD AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN TO THE NORTHEAST OF IGNACIO. HOWEVER...THE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF IGNACIO FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...RESULTING IN A WEAK STEERING CURRENT. THEREFORE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A VERY SLOW MOTION THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS IS VERY CLOSE TO THE GUNA CONSENSUS. FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 23.7N 109.1W 90 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 24.2N 109.6W 90 KT 24HR VT 25/1800Z 24.6N 110.0W 90 KT 36HR VT 26/0600Z 25.0N 110.5W 90 KT 48HR VT 26/1800Z 25.7N 111.0W 80 KT 72HR VT 27/1800Z 27.5N 112.0W 70 KT 96HR VT 28/1800Z 28.5N 112.5W 65 KT 120HR VT 29/1800Z 29.5N 113.0W 60 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:59 2003 X-UIDL: 36641-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK5000MT78WTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 05:19:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OLJdHc046832 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 05:19:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2j31038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:14:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:14:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OLEac9044354 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:14:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OLEa7S017621 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:14:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OLEam3017620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:14:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:14:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242114.h7OLEam3017620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 242114 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 24 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 23.7N 109.1W AT 24/2100 UTC MOVING N 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP4/MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W N OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS ENHANCING TYPICAL AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVER PANAMA. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 103W/104W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE APPEARS TO BE BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DEVELOPING NEAR 12N. CONVECTION IS ALSO ON THE INCREASE WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY WITHIN THE ITCZ FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 102W-106W AND WIDELY SCATTERED ACTIVITY FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 102W-107W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N119W MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. CONVECTION HAS BEEN WEAKENING SOMEWHAT DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 119W-21W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 35N135W SEWD TO THE N BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 28N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2030 UTC... HURRICANE IGNACIO... AFTER STRENGTHENING FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...THE INTENSITY APPEARS TO HAVE LEVELED OFF. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT IGNACIO REMAINS VERY SMALL WITH NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 22N-24N BETWEEN 108W-110W AND WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A BAND TO THE EAST ALONG 22N109W-23N107.5-24N108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 8N100W 9N110W 12N115W 11N125W 12N130W 14N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 80W-96W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 122W-125W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N FROM 128W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:59 2003 X-UIDL: 36642-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK5000JP94LTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:00:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OM0Fkr039662 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:00:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jAh038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:55:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 372962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OLtbc9004362 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OLta7S018177 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OLtag0018176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242155.h7OLtag0018176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 242155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N158W 12N148W 07N152W 07N158W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N172W08N164W 05N161W 08N175W MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF POINT 25N166W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW AND FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 24S155W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15S156W 13S153W 20S153W MOVED SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:00 2003 X-UIDL: 36643-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK5000QU98ATT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:02:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OM2PHc051818 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:02:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51NxL102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:59:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 373107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:59:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OLxhc9096866 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:59:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OLxh7S018223 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:59:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OLxgLB018222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:59:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:59:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242159.h7OLxgLB018222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 242200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 23.5N0 109.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 109.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.2N8 109.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.6N2 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.0N7 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.7N4 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.5N4 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.5N5 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 29.5N6 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 241800Z5 POSITION NEAR 23.5N0 109.0W0. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTH AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241800Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 TO 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250400Z1, 251000Z8, 251600Z4 AND 252200Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:00 2003 X-UIDL: 36644-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK50001M9FNTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:06:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OM6rkr040366 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:06:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jB9038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 373180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OM2kc9057512 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OM2k7S018296 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OM2k0q018293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242202.h7OM2k0q018293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 242200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 23.5N0 109.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 109.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.2N8 109.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.6N2 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.0N7 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:00 2003 X-UIDL: 36645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK50001W9FTTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:07:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OM71Hc052376 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:07:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51NxP102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 373183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OM2kc9096978 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OM2k7S018297 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OM2k7u018295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:02:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 020 Nm Southwest Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242202.h7OM2k7u018295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 242200 RRB 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.7N4 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.5N4 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:01 2003 X-UIDL: 36646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK50002J9GHTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:07:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OM7PHc052420 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:07:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jBD038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:03:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 373206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:03:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OM3mc9057802 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:03:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OM3m7S018309 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:03:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OM3mUf018308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:03:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:03:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: On Day 4 And 350 Nm On Day 5... And For Intensity Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242203.h7OM3mUf018308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 242200 RRC ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.5N5 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 29.5N6 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 241800Z5 POSITION NEAR 23.5N0 109.0W0. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTH AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241800Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 TO 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250400Z1, 251000Z8, 251600Z4 AND 252200Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:01 2003 X-UIDL: 36647-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GZ4AKMT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:31:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OMVTHc054535 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:31:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jCx038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:28:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 373751 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OMS4c9042966 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OMS07S018595 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OMS0lV018594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 17:28:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242228.h7OMS0lV018594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 242227 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 85 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 675 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ACCOMPANIED BY INTERMITTENT SHOWER ACTIVITY. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:01 2003 X-UIDL: 36648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GXLDMTT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 07:37:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ONbXkr049084 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 07:37:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jFZ038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 18:30:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 374893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 18:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ONUXc9083512 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 18:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7ONUX7S019626 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 18:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7ONUXn9019625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 18:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 18:30:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 12a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242330.h7ONUXn9019625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 242330 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 ..HURRICANE IGNACIO MOVING VERY SLOWLY NEAR EXTREME SOUTHEAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...121 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH...6 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...23.8 N...109.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:03 2003 X-UIDL: 36657-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500G4PJTFT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:51:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P1pAHc075793 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:51:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jOH038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:45:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 377498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P1jsc9072172 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P1js7S021428 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P1jsMO021427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:45:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250145.h7P1jsMO021427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 250145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN AUG 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:20 2003 X-UIDL: 36667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GQAMODT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:53:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2qsHc085697 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:52:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jRF038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:43:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 378531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:43:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2hnc9045660 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:43:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P2hm7S022178 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P2hmCt022177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:43:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250243.h7P2hmCt022177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 250243 TCMEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 0300Z MON AUG 25 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 109.3W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 109.3W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 109.2W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.3N 109.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.7N 110.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.2N 110.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.9N 111.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 27.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 28.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 29.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 109.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:20 2003 X-UIDL: 36668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GSWMPBT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:53:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2rUHc085780 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:53:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jRJ038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:44:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 378540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:44:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2i6c9065670 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:44:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P2i67S022183 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:44:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P2i6Uc022182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:44:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:44:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250244.h7P2i6Uc022182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 250243 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 ..IGNACIO WEAKENS A BIT...MOVING VERY SLOWLY... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM...EAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING VERY CLOSE TO THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAKING IGNACIO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...23.9 N...109.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:21 2003 X-UIDL: 36669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GDPN9PT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:05:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P35gkr077410 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:05:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51N5V102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:56:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 378859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2umc9019476 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:56:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P2ul7S022334 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:56:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P2ul48022333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:56:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:56:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250256.h7P2ul48022333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 250256 TCDEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 DESPITE A CONVECTIVE BURST OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO...IGNACIO HAS WEAKEND SLIGHTLY BASED ON LONGER TERM...6 HOUR...TRENDS OBSERVED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM TAFB IS STILL 90 KT...ALTHOUGH THE T NUMBER IS DOWN TO 4.0...65 KT. THE ESTIMATES FROM FROM SAB AND AFWA ARE 77 KT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS PARED DOWN TO 80 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY...MAKING IGNACIO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IGNACIO HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS...WHILE THE SHORTER-TERM MOTION HAS BEEN MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A SMALL ANTICYCLONE AND RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF IGNACIO OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...PRODUCING WEAK STEERING CURRENTS. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY...AND IN SPITE OF THE WEAK STEERING...MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED THROUGH 72 HOURS. AFTER THAT...THE GFS TURNS IGNACIO TOWARD MAINLAND MEXICO. ON THE OTHER HAND THE GUNS/GUNA ENSEMBLES BEND THE STORM SHARPLY WESTWARD AFTER 72 HOURS. THE SPLIT IN THE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A PARTICULARLY WEAK STEERING CURRENT IN THE LONGER RANGE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST INDICATES A VERY SLOW MOTION ON DAYS 4 AND 5. THE INTENSITY FORECAST...AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...CALLS FOR A VERY SLOW WEAKENING THROUGH THE PERIOD...KEEPING IGNACIO A HURRICANE THROUGH 72 HOURS. BEYOND THAT...INCREASING INTERACTION WITH LAND WEAKENS THE CYCLONE FURTHER TO A TROPICAL STORM. THE SHIPS MODEL FORECASTS SOME INTENSIFICATION IN 24-36 HOURS AND FORECASTS A 90 KNOT HURRICANE AT 72 HOURS. THE VERY WARM SSTS AND LIGHT SHEAR ARE THE LARGEST CONTRIBUTORS TO THE SHIPS INTENSITY FORECASTS...AND SUCH A REINTENSIFICATION COULD OCCUR IF IGNACIO CAN GET FARTHER AWAY FROM LAND. FORECASTER COBB/FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 23.9N 109.3W 80 KT 12HR VT 25/1200Z 24.3N 109.7W 75 KT 24HR VT 26/0000Z 24.7N 110.2W 75 KT 36HR VT 26/1200Z 25.2N 110.6W 70 KT 48HR VT 27/0000Z 25.9N 111.1W 70 KT 72HR VT 28/0000Z 27.5N 112.0W 65 KT 96HR VT 29/0000Z 28.5N 112.5W 60 KT 120HR VT 30/0000Z 29.0N 113.0W 55 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:29 2003 X-UIDL: 36676-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GNZQ12T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:05:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P45EHc097823 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:05:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tifP038704; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:57:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:57:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P3vjc9031860 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:57:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P3vj7S022989 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:57:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P3vjVQ022988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:57:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:57:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250357.h7P3vjVQ022988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 250357 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 25 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 23.9N 109.3W AT 25/0300 UTC MOVING NW 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP4/MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 104W/105W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N120W MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0315 UTC... HURRICANE IGNACIO... HURRICANE IGNACIO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY WITH A DEEP CONVECTION BURST NEAR THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N.5N TO 25N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W INCLUDING THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N102W 12N118W 12N133W 15N137W 14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 112W...WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 129W...AND WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 132W...WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 135W...AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 135W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 109W...WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 109W...AND WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 140W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 103W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 11N87W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:34 2003 X-UIDL: 36680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GQ5QDBT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:12:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P4CZkr087624 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:12:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tifx038704; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:07:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 380199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:07:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P47dc9067634 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:07:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P47d7S023144 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:07:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P47dJZ023143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:07:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:07:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250407.h7P47dJZ023143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 250400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 23.8N3 109.2W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N3 109.2W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.3N9 109.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.7N3 110.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.2N9 110.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.9N6 111.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.5N4 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 28.5N5 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 29.0N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 250000Z7 POSITION NEAR 23.8N3 109.2W2. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250000Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 80 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251000Z8, 251600Z4, 252200Z1 AND 260400Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:34 2003 X-UIDL: 36681-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GAJQVRT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:23:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P4NkHc001180 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:23:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tihJ038704; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 380439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P4J8c9031974 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P4J87S023252 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P4J8PL023251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250419.h7P4J8PL023251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 250418 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 70 MILES EAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 680 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ACCOMPANIED BY INTERMITTENT SHOWER ACTIVITY. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS UNLIKELY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:34 2003 X-UIDL: 36682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GBQQWJT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:24:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P4OEkr089578 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:24:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tihN038704; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 380456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P4Jpc9036574 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P4Jp7S023268 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P4JpWa023266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250419.h7P4JpWa023266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 250400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 23.8N3 109.2W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N3 109.2W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.3N9 109.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.7N3 110.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.2N9 110.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:35 2003 X-UIDL: 36683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GIZQZKT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:26:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P4Q3kr089875 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:26:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51N7b102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 380459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P4Jpc9088570 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P4Jp7S023267 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P4JpJU023265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:19:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250419.h7P4JpJU023265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XI, Probability=11%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 250400 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.9N6 111.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.5N4 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 28.5N5 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 29.0N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:35 2003 X-UIDL: 36684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GKHR0ET8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:26:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P4QXkr089953 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:26:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tihP038704; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:20:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 380477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:20:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P4Ksc9057638 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:20:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P4Kr7S023288 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:20:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P4Kr1E023285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:20:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 23:20:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 250000z7 Position Near 23.8n3 109.2w2. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250420.h7P4Kr1E023285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 250400 RRC 250000Z7 POSITION NEAR 23.8N3 109.2W2. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250000Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 80 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251000Z8, 251600Z4, 252200Z1 AND 260400Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:40 2003 X-UIDL: 36689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GGHUDQT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:39:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P5d9Hc014532 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:39:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P51Zg9102550; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P5POc9019672 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P5PO7S024088 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P5PORu024086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250525.h7P5PORu024086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z-260600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/250152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 110.2E4, OVER LAND ON THE LUICHOW PENINSULA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GDIV6ET8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:56:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P5uLHc019783 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:56:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tikd038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:50:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 382260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P5oRc9007050 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P5oR7S024431 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:50:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P5oR8M024430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:50:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:50:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 13a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250550.h7P5oR8M024430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 250550 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2003 ..IGNACIO DRIFTING ERRATICALLY NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA...HEAVY RAINFALL AND MUD SLIDES LIKELY... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY CLOSE TO THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAKING IGNACIO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...23.9 N...109.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:43 2003 X-UIDL: 36695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GBQ005T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:40:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P7eiHc046877 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:40:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P51ZhH102550; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 02:30:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 383494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 02:30:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P7Utc9004552 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 02:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P7Ut7S025661 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 02:30:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P7Ut9D025660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 02:30:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 02:30:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250730.h7P7Ut9D025660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 250730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN AUG 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:44 2003 X-UIDL: 36700-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GSI1OLT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:17:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P8H2kr037494 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:17:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tipV038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 383979 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P85kc9027340 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P85j7S026324 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P85jvv026323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250805.h7P85jvv026323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 250805 TCMEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 0900Z MON AUG 25 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 109.6W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 109.6W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 109.5W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.4N 110.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.8N 110.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.3N 110.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 25.9N 111.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 27.4N 112.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 28.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 29.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N 109.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:45 2003 X-UIDL: 36701-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600G0S1S6T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:19:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P8J2Hc053175 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:19:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tipR038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 383970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P858c9004358 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P8577S026314 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P857eJ026313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:05:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250805.h7P857eJ026313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 250804 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 ..IGNACIO CONTINUES TO DRIFT ERRATICALLY NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA...FLOODING RAINS OCCURRING... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH ..4 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THE CENTER OF IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY CLOSE TO THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAKING IGNACIO A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 25 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND FAST-MOVING MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...24.0 N...109.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600G2833OT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:47:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P8lbHc058236 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:47:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tiqX038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:34:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:34:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P8Yuc9004432 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:34:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P8Yu7S026641 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:34:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P8YuAU026640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:34:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:34:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250834.h7P8YuAU026640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 250834 TCDEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 IGNACIO HAS REGAINED CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION AND AN EYE FEATURE BRIEFLY REAPPEARED IN INFRARED IMAGERY BEFORE BECOMING CLOUD COVERED AGAIN. AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 80 KT IS MAINTAINED BASED ON THE BRIEF EYE APPEARANCE AND A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 77 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS A SLOW DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ..OR 320/02. THE SHORT TERM MOTION HAS BEEN ERRATIC AT BEST WITH IGNACIO HAVING BRIEFLY BECOME STATIONARY A COUPLE OF HOURS AGO. HOWEVER...OVER THE PAST 72 HOURS...IGNACIO HAS BEEN BASICALLY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...ALBEIT VERY SLOWLY. THE LARGE-SCALE FLOW PATTERN SURROUNDING THE HURRICANE HAS CHANGED LITTLE BASED ON 25/00Z UPPER-AIR DATA INDICATING ESSENTIALLY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE 700 MB AND 500 MB WINDS AND HEIGHTS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. UNFORTUNATELY...THE NEW NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS NOT IN QUITE AS GOOD AGREEMENT AS IT WAS IN PREVIOUS RUNS. THE GFS...UKMET...AND GFDL MODELS HAVE NOW SHIFTED TO A TRACK ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. ONLY THE NOGAPS AND GFDN MODELS KEEP IGNACIO NEAR OR EAST OF THE EAST COAST OF BAJA. HOWEVER...ALL OF THE MODELS AGREE ON MAINTAINING A WEAK STEERING FLOW ENVIRONMENT AND SHOW A FORWARD SPEED OF LESS THAN 5 KT THROUGHOUT THE 5 DAY PERIOD. THE RESULT IS THAT LOCAL MESOSCALE EFFECTS SHOULD DETERMINE THE ULTIMATE TRACK OF IGNACIO. DEEP CONVECTION IS MORE LIKELY TO DEVELOP AND BE SUSTAINED OVER THE VERY WARM WATER...NEAR 32C...OF THE SEA OF CORTES...AND THAT SHOULD ACT TO KEEP THE CENTER EAST OF OR NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS JUST AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK FORECAST...WHICH KEEPS IGNACIO NEAR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA. THIS TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE NOGAPS MODEL. THE SLOW WEAKENING TREND...AS IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...IS RETAINED IN THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. IGNACIO REMAINS A SMALL HURRICANE...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE CYCLONE TO NEARLY MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS SO...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE IMPRESSIVE OUTFLOW PATTERN. HOWEVER...AS THE HURRICANE MOVES FARTHER TO THE NORTHWEST ..THE SEA OF CORTES NARROWS SIGNIFICANTLY NORTH OF LA PAZ AND THAT IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A 'SQUEEZE EFFECT' THAT SHOULD INHIBIT THE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW...AND ALSO CREATE MORE LAND INTERACTION. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0900Z 24.0N 109.6W 80 KT 12HR VT 25/1800Z 24.4N 110.0W 75 KT 24HR VT 26/0600Z 24.8N 110.5W 75 KT 36HR VT 26/1800Z 25.3N 110.8W 70 KT 48HR VT 27/0600Z 25.9N 111.2W 70 KT 72HR VT 28/0600Z 27.4N 112.2W 65 KT 96HR VT 29/0600Z 28.5N 113.0W 60 KT 120HR VT 30/0600Z 29.5N 113.5W 55 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GML5O5T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:43:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9h7kr051544 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:43:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51N3b034438; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9Q4c9106038 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P9Q37S027150 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P9Q3Jr027144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250926.h7P9Q3Jr027144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 23.9N4 109.5W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 109.5W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.4N0 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:48 2003 X-UIDL: 36713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GMO5O5T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:43:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9h5kr051534 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:43:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tirf038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:23:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:23:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9Nvc9054228 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:23:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P9Nu7S027117 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P9NuLH027116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:23:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250923.h7P9NuLH027116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 251000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 23.9N4 109.5W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 109.5W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.4N0 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 24.8N4 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.3N0 110.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 25.9N6 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.4N3 112.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 28.5N5 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 29.5N6 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 250600Z3 POSITION NEAR 24.0N6 109.6W6. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250600Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 TO 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251600Z4, 252200Z1, 260400Z2 AND 261000Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:48 2003 X-UIDL: 36714-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GQZ5PJT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:44:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9i0Hc067878 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:44:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51N3n034438; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384939 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9Q4c9054256 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P9Q37S027153 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P9Q32p027149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 060 Nm Northeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250926.h7P9Q32p027149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251000 RRC RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.4N3 112.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 28.5N5 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 29.5N6 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 250600Z3 POSITION NEAR 24.0N6 109.6W6. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250600Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:48 2003 X-UIDL: 36715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GWB5RDT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:45:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9j4Hc068075 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:45:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51N3f034438; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9Q4c9031930 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P9Q37S027151 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P9Q3U0027145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: The Warning Intensity Is Based On Satellite Current Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250926.h7P9Q3U0027145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 251000 RRD THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 TO 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251600Z4, 252200Z1, 260400Z2 AND 261000Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GWZ5ROT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:45:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9j4Hc068074 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:45:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P51ZiJ102550; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:31:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9Urc9044898 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P9Uq7S027234 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P9Uqxu027233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:30:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250930.h7P9Uqxu027233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 250930 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS 13N140W 11N155W 12N175W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13N153W 12N151W 09N158W 12N157W 13N153W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 13N170W 10N167W 11N171W 12N173W 13N170W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120NM OF ITCZ AXIS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 135S157W 25S148W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 15S155W 20S150W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120NM OF AXIS. FRONT...25S154W 10S170W 06S180 AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND WEST OF 180 HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND INTENSIFIED. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 30NM OF FRONT SOUTH OF 22S HAVE MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90NM OF FRONT SOUTH OF 10S. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT NORTH OF 10S. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:50 2003 X-UIDL: 36719-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GL579UT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:17:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PAHmkr056786 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:17:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tisB038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:45:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:45:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9jLc9044430 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:45:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P9jL7S027369 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P9jLCD027368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:45:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250945.h7P9jLCD027368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 250945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 25 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 24.0N 109.6W AT 25/0900 UTC MOVING NW 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 106W/107W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N106W 11N108W TO 14N108W. ..A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 20N121W MOVING W AT 10 KT. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0915 UTC... HURRICANE IGNACIO... HURRICANE IGNACIO REMAINS AT THE SAME INTENSITY WITH THE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION INTENSIFYING. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 22N TO 25.5N BETWEEN 106W AND 111W INCLUDING THE TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND A PORTION OF W MEXICO. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N103W 11N118W 11N133W 14N138W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 128W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 133W...AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 135W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 100W...FROM 137W TO 139W...WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA...FROM 106W TO 109W...AND FROM 133W TO 136W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 119W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 13N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 88W TO 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 100W TO 102W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N90W TO THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13N88W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF 15N FROM 93W TO 104W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:51 2003 X-UIDL: 36721-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GQK7QDT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:27:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PARWkr058375 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:27:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51N3j034438; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384936 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P9Q4c9033756 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P9Q37S027152 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P9Q3mu027147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:26:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 24 Hr Posit: 310 Deg/ 03 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250926.h7P9Q3mu027147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251000 RRB VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 24.8N4 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.3N0 110.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 25.9N6 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:51 2003 X-UIDL: 36722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600G207UET8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:30:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PAU3Hc075400 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:30:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tish038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 05:19:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385495 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 05:19:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PAJRc9036534 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 05:19:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PAJR7S027792 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 05:19:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PAJRSx027790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 05:19:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 05:19:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251019.h7PAJRSx027790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 251019 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 690 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ACCOMPANIED BY INTERMITTENT SHOWER ACTIVITY. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS UNLIKELY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:53 2003 X-UIDL: 36728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GDFCRST8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 20:16:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PCGMHc090906 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 20:16:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tiur038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:43:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 386198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:43:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PBhSc9004488 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:43:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PBhR7S028795 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:43:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PBhRiA028794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:43:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 06:43:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 14a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251143.h7PBhRiA028794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 251143 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 ..IGNACIO POUNDING THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...FLOODING RAINS OCCURRING... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z..THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...70 KM...EAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH ..4 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS MOTION WILL KEEP THE CENTER OF IGNACIO VERY NEAR THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 25 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND FAST-MOVING MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...24.2 N...109.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:55 2003 X-UIDL: 36734-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GDIGJ7T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:37:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PDbbkr086684 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:37:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9Od3044406; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 08:31:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 383720 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 08:31:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PDVBc9079566 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 08:31:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PDVB7S002613 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 08:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PDVBEc002612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 08:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 08:31:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251331.h7PDVBEc002612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 251330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON AUG 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:57 2003 X-UIDL: 36740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GE5JBXT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:38:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PEc3Hc012302 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:38:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9Qen102578; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PETcc9021120 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PETb7S007699 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PETb8L007698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251429.h7PETb8L007698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 251429 TCDEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 ALTHOUGH EARLIER TRMM IMAGERY SHOWED A SMALL EYE...THE EYE IS NO LONGER EVIDENT ON GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE IMAGERY. DEEP CONVECTION HAS TAKEN ON A SLIGHTLY MORE RAGGED APPEARANCE THAN BEFORE...AND DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUPPORT ABOUT 75 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. EVEN THOUGH THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAINTAINS IGNACIO AT THIS STRENGTH FOR 24 H...WEAKENING COULD TAKE PLACE SOONER THAN INDICATED IF THERE IS SIGNIFICANT INTERACTION OF THE CIRCULATION WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN BAJA. IGNACIO CONTINUES TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. STEERING CURRENTS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN WEAK FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO CONTINUES TO CREATE A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER...LATEST GLOBAL MODEL RUNS SUGGEST THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH RIDGING TO PRODUCE A SLOW MOTION OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...BUT SLIGHTLY EAST OF THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL REMAINS SERIOUS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/1500Z 24.3N 110.0W 75 KT 12HR VT 26/0000Z 24.6N 110.3W 75 KT 24HR VT 26/1200Z 25.0N 110.8W 75 KT 36HR VT 27/0000Z 25.5N 111.4W 70 KT 48HR VT 27/1200Z 26.0N 112.0W 55 KT 72HR VT 28/1200Z 27.0N 113.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 29/1200Z 28.0N 114.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 30/1200Z 29.0N 115.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:58 2003 X-UIDL: 36741-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GLXJF6T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:40:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PEe1Hc012625 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:40:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9Qel102578; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PERvc9021230 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PERv7S007504 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PERvPW007503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251427.h7PERvPW007503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 251427 TCMEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 1500Z MON AUG 25 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 110.0W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 110.0W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 109.8W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.6N 110.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.0N 110.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.5N 111.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 27.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 110.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:59 2003 X-UIDL: 36743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GKYJSRT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:48:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PEmAkr097238 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:48:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PE0ke7022420; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PETcc9021124 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PETc7S007706 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PETcDb007704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:29:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251429.h7PETcDb007704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 251429 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 ..IGNACIO STILL POUNDING SOUTHEAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...NORTHEAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL REMAIN VERY NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER. HOWEVER...WEAKENING WILL OCCUR IF IGNACIO MOVES OVER LAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...24.3 N...110.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 26 02:24:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GNZNIAT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:08:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PG8Fkr010357 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:08:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PFPKgj083536; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:58:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 387261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:58:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PFwFc9035680 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:58:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PFwE7S015570 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:58:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PFwE4j015569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:58:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:58:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251558.h7PFwE4j015569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 24.2N8 109.8W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 109.8W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.6N2 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.0N7 110.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.5N2 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.0N8 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 27.0N9 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 28.0N0 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.0N1 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 251600Z4 POSITION NEAR 24.3N9 110.0W2. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251200Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252200Z1, 260400Z2, 261000Z9 AND 261600Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 26 02:24:25 2003 X-UIDL: 36748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GQKNJFT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:09:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PG8tHc027099 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:08:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PFPKgt083536; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 387330 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PG2Jc9054966 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PG2I7S016004 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PG2Iuo016001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 24 Hr Posit: 310 Deg/ 03 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251602.h7PG2Iuo016001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251600 RRB VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.0N7 110.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.5N2 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.0N8 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 27.0N9 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Tue Aug 26 02:24:25 2003 X-UIDL: 36749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GZ4NN6T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:11:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PGBCHc027600 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:11:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9QfR029698; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 387335 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PG2Jc9022506 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PG2J7S016009 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PG2JKb016006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251602.h7PG2JKb016006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 24.2N8 109.8W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 109.8W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.6N2 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 26 02:24:26 2003 X-UIDL: 36750-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600G53NQLT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:13:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PGDGkr011125 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:13:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PFPKgv083536; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 387338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PG2Jc9038466 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PG2J7S016007 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PG2Ib9016003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:02:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 030 Nm Over Water Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251602.h7PG2Ib9016003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251600 RRC RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 28.0N0 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.0N1 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 251600Z4 POSITION NEAR 24.3N9 110.0W2. HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251200Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252200Z1, 260400Z2, 261000Z9 AND 261600Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 26 02:24:26 2003 X-UIDL: 36751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GO9NZ7T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:18:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PGICHc028733 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:18:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PFPKh7083536; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:08:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 387429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:08:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PG8Ic9087996 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:08:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PG8I7S016468 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:08:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PG8HOw016467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:08:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:08:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251608.h7PG8HOw016467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 251608 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 25 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 24.3N 110.0W AT 25/1500 UTC MOVING NW 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 78W-81W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 107W/108W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 107W-110W. ..A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N122W MOVING W AT 10 KT. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1515 UTC... HURRICANE IGNACIO... HURRICANE IGNACIO HAS RECENTLY WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND HAS LOST ITS EYE. CONVECTION HAS REMAINED OVER THE SAME AREA FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 22N-25N BETWEEN 108W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 7N98W 11N108W 10N118W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 130W-136W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W-101W AND BETWEEN 117W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF MEXICO FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 102W-104W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 26 02:24:27 2003 X-UIDL: 36753-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GCEPRBT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:57:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PGunHc034969 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:56:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9Qj3029698; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:49:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 388421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:49:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PGnVc9035978 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:49:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PGnV7S020080 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:49:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PGnV1t020079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:49:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 11:49:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251649.h7PGnV1t020079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 251649 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. THE WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS WEAKENED FURTHER. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 26 02:24:27 2003 X-UIDL: 36754-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GATQHHT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:12:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHCfHc038207 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:12:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9QnP102578; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 388862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PH4dc9079360 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PH4d7S021258 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PH4dFj021256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251704.h7PH4dFj021256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z-261800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MOHAMMED/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 26 02:24:28 2003 X-UIDL: 36755-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GBTQI3T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:13:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHCwkr020537 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:12:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9QjZ029698; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 388866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PH4dc9086114 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PH4d7S021259 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PH4dWI021257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:04:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251704.h7PH4dWI021257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z-261800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MOHAMMED/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 26 02:24:29 2003 X-UIDL: 36757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GK6SMNT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:59:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHwnHc045608 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:58:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9Qol102578; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:44:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 389815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:44:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHifc9088486 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:44:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PHie7S025125 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PHieDS025124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 12:44:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 15a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251744.h7PHieDS025124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 251744 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 ..IGNACIO STALLED AGAIN...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...NORTHEAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL REMAIN VERY NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING MAY OCCUR WHILE THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...24.3 N...110.0 W. MOVEMENT ..NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:52:52 2003 X-UIDL: 36764-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GF3Y9QT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:01:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PK0ikr046892 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:00:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHfXjp016448; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 14:45:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 392683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 14:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PJjrc9022420 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 14:45:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PJjq7S005265 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 14:45:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PJjque005262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 14:45:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 14:45:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251945.h7PJjque005262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 251945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON AUG 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:52:55 2003 X-UIDL: 36768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700G190F5T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:47:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PKlCkr054595 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:47:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHfXpr016448; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:34:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 394332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:34:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PKYZc9034326 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:34:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PKYY7S010661 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:34:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PKYYWX010660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:34:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:34:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252034.h7PKYYWX010660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 252033 TCDEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 IGNACIO IS FEELING THE EFFECTS OF THE LAND MASS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS BEEN GRADUALLY BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED. USING A COMPROMISE OF THE DVORAK T-NUMBERS AND CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA...SUPPORTS ABOUT 65 KT. SINCE THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE BEING AFFECTED BY LAND...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST. THE DECAY SHIPS MODEL SUGGESTS EVEN FASTER WEAKENING THAN INDICATED HERE. THE MOTION HAS BEEN MORE WESTWARD OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT STILL VERY SLOW. THERE APPEARS TO BE ENOUGH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF IGNACIO TO PRODUCE A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AFTERWARDS...MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD MORE TO THE EAST OF THE CYCLONE...WHICH A MORE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION LATER IN THE PERIOD. HOWEVER THE STEERING WINDS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN QUITE WEAK FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS... SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS STILL POSSIBLE. THE CONTINUED SLOW MOTION MEANS THAT LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL A SERIOUS THREAT. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/2100Z 24.3N 110.2W 65 KT 12HR VT 26/0600Z 24.5N 110.7W 60 KT 24HR VT 26/1800Z 24.9N 111.2W 55 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 27/0600Z 25.3N 111.7W 50 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 27/1800Z 25.8N 112.1W 45 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 28/1800Z 27.0N 113.0W 35 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 29/1800Z 28.0N 114.0W 30 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 30/1800Z 29.0N 115.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:52:56 2003 X-UIDL: 36769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700G920J9T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:49:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PKnfHc076780 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:49:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHfXq1016448; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:35:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 394365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:35:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PKZWc9045990 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PKZV7S010723 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:35:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PKZVl1010722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:35:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:35:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252035.h7PKZVl1010722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 252034 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 ..IGNACIO MOVING VERY SLOWLY...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST OR VERY NEAR LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO HAS DRIFTED WESTWARD NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR...AND A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MOVE NEAR OR ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...24.3 N...110.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:52:57 2003 X-UIDL: 36770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700GJ80O2T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:52:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PKqXHc077262 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:52:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHfXqB016448; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:38:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 394462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:38:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PKc8c9054918 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PKc87S010976 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PKc8cK010975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:38:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252038.h7PKc8cK010975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 252037 TCMEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 2100Z MON AUG 25 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 110.2W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 110.2W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 110.1W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 24.5N 110.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.9N 111.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 25.3N 111.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 25.8N 112.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 27.0N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 28.0N 114.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 29.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 110.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:10 2003 X-UIDL: 36776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700G6I3YXT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:04:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PM3oHc089491 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:03:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHfXvr016448; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:48:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 396038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PLjbc9102626 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PLjb7S016834 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PLjbLH016831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:45:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252145.h7PLjbLH016831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 252145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS 12N140W 11N155W 11N177W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE 11N150W 12N160W 10N170W 09N178W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120NM OF ITCZ AXIS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT AND SHEARLINE...25S153W 20S158W 12S170W 08S180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF FRONT SOUTH OF 20S MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT AND WEAKENED. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120NM OF FRONT AND SHEARLINE MOVED EAST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:10 2003 X-UIDL: 36777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700K5O4W6R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:24:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMNmHc092932 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:23:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PLhPct045050; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:06:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 396470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:06:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PM65c9083506 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:06:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PM657S017426 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PM65LW017425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:06:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252206.h7PM65LW017425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 252205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 25 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE IGNACIO CENTER NEAR 24.3N 110.2W AT 25/2100 UTC MOVING WEST 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS MOVING ACROSS NICARAGUA AT THIS TIME. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 101W AND 108W...FROM 17N TO 18N BETWEEN 108W AND 112W...AND ALONG NORTHERN EDGE OF ITCZ CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 109W AND 113W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 19N123W MOVING WEST 10 KT. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2130 UTC... HURRICANE IGNACIO... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 23N TO 24.5N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. ANOTHER BURST OF STRONG CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING FROM 24.5N TO 25N BETWEEN 108.5W AND 109.5W. IGNACIO IS FEELING THE EFFECTS OF THE LAND MASS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS BEEN GRADUALLY BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED. THE CONTINUED SLOW MOTION MEANS THAT LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE STILL A SERIOUS THREAT. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 10N94W 9N105W 11N120W 10N130W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:11 2003 X-UIDL: 36778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KJ4557R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:29:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMTDHc093709 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:29:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9Qt3029698; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:19:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 396787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:19:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMJnc9029602 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:19:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PMJm7S017887 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:19:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PMJmu1017886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:19:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:19:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252219.h7PMJmu1017886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 252200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 24.2N8 110.1W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 110.1W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 24.5N1 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 24.9N5 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 25.3N0 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 25.8N5 112.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 27.0N9 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 28.0N0 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.0N1 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 251600Z4 POSITION NEAR 24.2N8 110.1W3 APPROXIMATELY 15 NM EAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED WEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251800Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. WARNING NUMBER AMENDED TO 16 VICE 15 TO MATCH NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORY NUMBERING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260400Z2, 261000Z9, 261600Z5 AND 262200Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:12 2003 X-UIDL: 36779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KJE55BR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:29:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMTFkr070540 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:29:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHfX0Z016448; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 396820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMLsc9019652 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PMLr7S017956 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PMLrtF017953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Near 20 Kt Each Day Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252221.h7PMLrtF017953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 252200 RRC NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 28.0N0 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.0N1 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 251600Z4 POSITION NEAR 24.2N8 110.1W3 APPROXIMATELY 15 NM EAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS MOVED WEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251800Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. WARNING NUMBER AMENDED TO 16 VICE 15 TO MATCH NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORY NUMBERING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260400Z2, 261000Z9, 261600Z5 AND 262200Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:13 2003 X-UIDL: 36780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KLC56FR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:30:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMTrkr070635 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:30:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHfX0d016448; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:22:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 396840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:22:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMMGc9106218 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:22:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PMMG7S017972 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:22:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PMMGml017971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:22:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:22:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252222.h7PMMGml017971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 252221 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED NEAR LA PAZ MEXICO. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...BUT MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:14 2003 X-UIDL: 36781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KPU58UR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:31:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMVMHc094048 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:31:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PLhPdp045050; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 396823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMLsc9053402 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PMLr7S017957 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PMLrqK017955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252221.h7PMLrqK017955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XII, Probability=12%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 252200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ HURRICANE 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 24.2N8 110.1W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 110.1W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 24.5N1 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 24.9N5 111.2W5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:15 2003 X-UIDL: 36782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KR959ZR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:32:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMW7kr070974 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:32:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9Qt5029698; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:22:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 396826 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:22:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PMLxc9067810 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PMLx7S017964 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PMLxtR017963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 17:21:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 055 Kt, Gusts 065 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252221.h7PMLxtR017963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XI, Probability=11%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 252200 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 25.3N0 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 25.8N5 112.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 27.0N9 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:16 2003 X-UIDL: 36784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KT68ATR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 07:37:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PNbNHc005367 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 07:37:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHfXED016448; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:27:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 400352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:27:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PNRGc9019560 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PNRF7S019286 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:27:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PNRFej019285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:27:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 18:27:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 16a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252327.h7PNRFej019285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 252326 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 ..IGNACIO STALLS NEAR LA PAZ... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST OR VERY NEAR LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS... HOWEVER A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME TONIGHT BRINGING THE CENTER ACROSS BAHIA LA PAZ OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. EXTREME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...24.3 N...110.2 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:22 2003 X-UIDL: 36791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KOYESDR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:57:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q1vVHc028958 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:57:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q0UHjH089106; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 20:45:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 403099 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 20:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q1jXc9010158 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 20:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q1jW7S023608 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 20:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q1jWJK023607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 20:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 20:45:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260145.h7Q1jWJK023607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 260145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON AUG 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:25 2003 X-UIDL: 36795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KP3H59R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:48:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q2mRHc036720 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:48:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PLhPsX045050; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:40:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 404065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:40:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q2eKc9094034 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:40:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q2eK7S026754 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q2eKTZ026753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:40:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260240.h7Q2eKTZ026753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 260240 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 ..IGNACIO RESUMES A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT...HURRICANE WARNINGS DOWNGRADED FOR A PORTION OF THE COASTLINE... AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LA PAZ. AT 8 PM PDT....0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LA PAZ AND FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH .. 6 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF IGNACIO INLAND OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. EXTREME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...24.5 N...110.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:26 2003 X-UIDL: 36796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KPKH5GR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:48:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q2mZHc036734 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:48:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9Q5R029698; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:41:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 404098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:41:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q2fYc9033358 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:41:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q2fX7S026840 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:41:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q2fXQA026839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:41:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:41:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260241.h7Q2fXQA026839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 260241 TCMEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 0300Z TUE AUG 26 2003 AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LA PAZ. AT 8 PM PDT....0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LA PAZ AND FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 110.6W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 110.6W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 110.5W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 24.7N 111.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.2N 111.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 25.8N 112.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 26.5N 112.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 27.5N 113.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 28.5N 114.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 29.0N 115.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N 110.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:27 2003 X-UIDL: 36797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KXVHL0R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:58:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q2vpkr013050 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:57:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q10qvR085676; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:49:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 404191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:49:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q2nRc9040390 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q2nR7S027302 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q2nRdn027301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:49:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Discussion Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260249.h7Q2nRdn027301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 260249 TCDEP4 HURRICANE IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 DESPITE ANOTHER BURST OF COLD TOP CONVECTION...IGNACIO CONTINUES TO APPEAR LESS ORGANIZED ON SATELLITE IMGERY. USING A COMPROMISE OF THE DVORAK T-NUMBERS AND CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA...THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 65 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE FORECAST TRACK BRINGS THE CYCLONE INLAND IN 6-12 HOURS WITH A STEADY WEAKENING TREND EXPECTED. THE DECAY SHIPS MODEL ONCE AGAIN IS SUGGESTING A RAPID WEAKENING OF THE CYCLONE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS NOT AS QUICK AS SHIPS TO WEAKEN THE CYCLONE. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM LA PAZ INDICATE THE CENTER OF IGNACIO HAS PASSED NORTH OF THAT LOCATION AND THAT THE WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION HAS RESUMED AFTER A BRIEF STALL. THE GLOBAL MODELS KEEP ENOUGH OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF IGNACIO TO MAINTAIN A SLOW WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...AS STATED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...THE STEERING CURRENT IS LIKELY TO REMAIN QUITE WEAK FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS STILL POSSIBLE. THE CONTINUED SLOW MOTION MEANS THAT EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL STILL POSE A SERIOUS THREAT OF LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING. FORECASTER COBB/FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 24.5N 110.6W 65 KT 12HR VT 26/1200Z 24.7N 111.1W 55 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 27/0000Z 25.2N 111.6W 45 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 27/1200Z 25.8N 112.1W 40 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 28/0000Z 26.5N 112.6W 35 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 29/0000Z 27.5N 113.5W 30 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 30/0000Z 28.5N 114.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 31/0000Z 29.0N 115.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:28 2003 X-UIDL: 36798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KKIKACR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 11:56:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q3uHkr022231 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 11:56:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q0UHof089106; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:47:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 405014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:47:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q3lwc9033254 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:47:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q3lv7S028039 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:47:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q3lvPR028038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:47:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:47:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260347.h7Q3lvPR028038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 260347 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 26 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 24.5N 110.6W AT 26/0300 UTC MOVING WNW AT 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 85W/86W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 109W/110W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N123W DRIFTING W. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0315 UTC... HURRICANE IGNACIO... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 75 NM RADIUS OF 24.5N109.5W INCLUDING A PORTION OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND W MEXICO. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N93W 10N113W 10N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 109W...WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 113W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 129W... WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 95W...WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W...AND WITHIN 75/90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 141W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 27N TO 29N. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 13N TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA AND MEXICO BETWEEN 91W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 12N TO INLAND OVER ALL OF EL SALVADOR INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA AND WITHIN 30/45 NM OF 7.5N ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:29 2003 X-UIDL: 36800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KZVP1RR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 13:39:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q5d9kr037829 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 13:39:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PLhPw7045050; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:25:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 406847 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:25:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q5Prc9033336 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:25:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q5Pr7S029383 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:25:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q5PrQY029382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:25:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:25:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260525.h7Q5PrQY029382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 260525 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE IGNACIO...LOCATED 25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED 845 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR...BUT CONDITIONS MAY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:30 2003 X-UIDL: 36802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700K6YQ3KR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 14:02:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q61Ukr041094 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 14:01:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53Beb092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:49:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 407220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:49:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q5nNc9037634 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q5nM7S029653 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q5nMMO029652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 00:49:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 17a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260549.h7Q5nMMO029652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 260549 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT MON AUG 25 2003 ..IGNACIO NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO... ..HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS MUD SLIDES WILL CONTINUE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. THE HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED TUESDAY MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LA PAZ AND FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.6 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND A SLOW DRIFT TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THIS COULD BRING THE CENTER OF IGNACIO INLAND ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM ON TUESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. EXTREME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OR MORE ARE LIKELY IN THE WARNING AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...24.5 N...110.6 W. MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:38 2003 X-UIDL: 36817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KY6WE6R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:18:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q8HaHc077102 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:17:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53Bjh092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:09:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 408959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:09:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q89Zc9014450 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:09:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q89Y7S001548 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:09:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q89Yk9001547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:09:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:09:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260809.h7Q89Yk9001547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 260809 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 ..SLOW MOVING IGNACIO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... ..HEAVY RAINFALL AND MUD SLIDES STILL A SERIOUS THREAT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. THE HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS... THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO... AND THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LA PAZ AND FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.7 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH... 4 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF IGNACIO INLAND LATER THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IGNACIO INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES .. 95 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. EVEN THOUGH IGNACIO IS NO LONGER A HURRICANE...EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 20 INCHES ARE STILL LIKELY IN THE WARNING AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND FAST-MOVING MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...24.6 N...110.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:40 2003 X-UIDL: 36819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KK3WJRR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:21:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q8L3kr063196 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:21:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53Bjl092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:11:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 408975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:11:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q8B2c9037732 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:11:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q8B27S001575 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:11:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q8B2LQ001574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:11:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:11:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260811.h7Q8B2LQ001574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 260810 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 0900Z TUE AUG 26 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO LA PAZ. THE HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS... THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO... AND THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SOUTH OF LA PAZ AND FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 110.7W AT 26/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 15SW 25NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 110.7W AT 26/0900Z AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 110.6W FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 24.7N 111.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 25.1N 111.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 25.5N 111.8W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 26.0N 112.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 26.5N 113.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 27.0N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 28.0N 114.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 110.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KA5XACR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:37:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q8b5Hc080367 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53Bkl092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:29:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 409232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:29:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q8Tjc9015368 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q8Tj7S001718 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q8TiIK001717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:29:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Discussion Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260829.h7Q8TiIK001717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 260829 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 CONVECTION HAS WAXED AND WANED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND ANOTHER BURST OF COLD TOPPED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. HOWEVER...EACH SUCCESSIVE CONVECTIVE BURST HAS DECREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN DECREASED TO 60 KT BASED ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KT FROM TAFB AND 55 KT FROM SAB. SATELLITE AND LIMITED SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT IGNACIO HAS MOVED VERY LITTLE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...WITH PERHAPS A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK AND 26/00Z UPPER-AIR OBSERVATIONS ACROSS MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES STILL SHOW NO CHANGE TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC-SCALE FLOW PATTERN DURING THE PAST 72 HOURS. A MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CELL CENTERED OVER THE U.S. DESERT SOUTHWEST SHOULD INHIBIT MUCH NORTHWARD MOTION AND KEEP IGNACIO MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE FUTURE TRACK OF THE CYCLONE WILL DEPEND HEAVILY ON WHAT KIND OF VERTICAL CIRCULATION REMAINS AFTER THE SYSTEM TANGLES WITH THE BAJA CALIFORNIA MOUNTAINS. ONLY THE UKMET MODEL TAKES IGNACIO QUICKLY ACROSS THE PENINSULA AND INTO THE PACIFIC OCEAN. THE REST OF THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS A WEAK IGNACIO MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE LENGTH OF THE PENINSULA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK...EXCEPT SLIGHTLY SLOWER...AND IS VERY CLOSE TO THE GFDL MODEL WHICH HAS PERFORMED THE BEST THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS. BOTH THE INTENSITY FORECAST AND TIME OF DISSIPATION HAVE BEEN DECREASED SINCE IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAJA MOUNTAINS FOR A LONGER LENGTH OF TIME OWING TO THE SLOWER FORWARD SPEED. IT IS QUITE POSSIBLE THAT IGNACIO COULD COMPLETELY DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE CONTINUED SLOW MOTION MEANS THAT EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL WILL STILL POSE SERIOUS FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDE THREATS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0900Z 24.6N 110.7W 60 KT 12HR VT 26/1800Z 24.7N 111.0W 50 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 27/0600Z 25.1N 111.5W 40 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 27/1800Z 25.5N 111.8W 30 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 48HR VT 28/0600Z 26.0N 112.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 72HR VT 29/0600Z 26.5N 113.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 30/0600Z 27.0N 113.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 31/0600Z 28.0N 114.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:43 2003 X-UIDL: 36822-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KLYXYBR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:51:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q8pVkr068456 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:51:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53BlB092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:44:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 409375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:44:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q8iec9041984 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:44:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q8ie7S001892 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q8iekN001891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:44:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260844.h7Q8iekN001891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 260844 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON AUG 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KQV0SYR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:53:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q9r2Hc093095 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:53:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53Bmr092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:46:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 410033 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:46:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q9k0c9054946 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q9k07S002532 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q9k0Bf002531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260946.h7Q9k0Bf002531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 260945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS 12N140W 10N170W 07N180W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 13N144W 10N140W 09N144W 10N148W 13N144W. AREA OF ISOLATED/LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 14N170W 11N164W 14N158W 11N155W 07N159W 05N180 11N175W 14N170W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND EXPANDED IN SIZE. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 250NM OF ITCZ AXIS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF POINTS 26N171W AND 29N176W. JOHNSTON ISLAND... OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS. SEE CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH ITCZ IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...25S152W 18S160W 14S165W 08S180 AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE WEST OF 180. OCCASIONAL CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 21S156W 23S151W 25S152W 21S156W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST HAVE MOVED EAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120NM OF FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KUU19XR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 18:03:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QA3EHc094799 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 18:03:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53Bn5092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:56:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 410103 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q9u3c9010232 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q9u27S002616 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:56:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q9u2ng002615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:56:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:56:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260956.h7Q9u2ng002615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 260955 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 26 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE IGNACIO WAS DOWN GRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM AT 26/0900 UTC. TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 24.6N 110.7W AT 26/0900 UTC MOVING NW AT 2 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 111W/112W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..THE 1011 MB LOW IS NOW A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 123W FROM 16N TO 22N. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO... IGNACIO HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 24.5N110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N89W 10N100W 9N112W 10N126W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS JUST N OF THE AXIS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N111.5W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 126W AND WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 104 TO 106W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 108W...WITHIN 180 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 131W...AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 14N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 93W TO 96W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N97W TO 13N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 11.5N FROM 89W TO 92W. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS CENTERED NEAR 13N92W AND 11.5N94.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:50 2003 X-UIDL: 36834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800K0J1OZR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 18:12:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QACJHc096018 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 18:12:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53BnP092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 05:02:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 410202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 05:02:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QA2qc9040980 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 05:02:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QA2q7S002765 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 05:02:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QA2qkJ002764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 05:02:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 05:02:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261002.h7QA2qkJ002764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 261002 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 35 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXIXO...NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED OVERNIGHT AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:52 2003 X-UIDL: 36838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KXC6EUR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 19:54:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QBsBHc010310 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 19:54:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53BrX092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:46:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 411264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:46:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QBkUc9088378 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QBkU7S004045 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QBkUtQ004044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 06:46:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 18a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261146.h7QBkUtQ004044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 261146 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 ..IGNACIO DRIFTING SLOWLY......HEAVY RAINFALL AND MUD SLIDES STILL A SERIOUS THREAT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 5 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ADJUSTED THE WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LORETO TO LA PAZ...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ADRESITO TO SANTA FE. ALL OTHER WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.7 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...60 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH... 4 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IGNACIO INTERACTS WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES .. 95 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. EVEN THOUGH IGNACIO IS NO LONGER A HURRICANE...HEAVY RAINFALL WITH STORM TOTALS EXCEEDING 20 INCHES ARE STILL LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...24.7 N...110.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:02 2003 X-UIDL: 36849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KHQEQ5R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:54:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QErlHc035498 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:53:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9QGx029698; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 413797 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QEfnc9016424 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QEfn7S013120 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QEfneJ013119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261441.h7QEfneJ013119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 261441 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 ..IGNACIO WEAKENING BUT STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LORETO TO LA PAZ...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO SANTA FE. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES .. 95 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING AND LARGE WAVES ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...25.0 N...111.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:03 2003 X-UIDL: 36850-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KI5EQSR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:54:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QEsBkr019200 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:54:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9QGv029698; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 413783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QEf4c9035732 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QEf47S013032 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QEf4fg013031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Discussion Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261441.h7QEf4fg013031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 261440 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 THE CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE...BUT BEST ESTIMATE USING GEOSTATIONARY AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGES AS WELL AS A COUPLE OF SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM SOUTHERN BAJA SUGGEST THAT IT IS INLAND AND MOVING 310/3. THE CIRCULATION IS WEAKENING QUICKLY OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND EVEN IF IGNACIO EMERGES OFF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA...THE WATERS THERE ARE TOO COOL TO ALLOW REGENERATION. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY VERY WELL DISSIPATE SOONER THAN INDICATED BY THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. A MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE STORM SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A WEAK SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO...BUT A LITTLE SLOWER THAN...THE CONSENSUS OF THE GLOBAL MODEL FORECASTS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/1500Z 25.0N 111.1W 45 KT 12HR VT 27/0000Z 25.2N 111.4W 35 KT 24HR VT 27/1200Z 25.6N 111.9W 30 KT 36HR VT 28/0000Z 26.0N 112.4W 30 KT 48HR VT 28/1200Z 26.5N 113.0W 25 KT 72HR VT 29/1200Z 27.5N 114.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:04 2003 X-UIDL: 36851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KN8ET2R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:55:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QEtZHc035748 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:55:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PLhP7j045050; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 413794 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QEfmc9067730 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QEfm7S013115 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QEfmUm013114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:41:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261441.h7QEfmUm013114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 261441 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 1500Z TUE AUG 26 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LORETO TO LA PAZ...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO SANTA FE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 111.1W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 25SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 111.1W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 110.9W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.2N 111.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 25.6N 111.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 26.0N 112.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 26.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 27.5N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 111.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:05 2003 X-UIDL: 36852-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800K3TG1XR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 23:22:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QFMRkr023031 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 23:22:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53B5V092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:11:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 414512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:11:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QFBnc9099966 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:11:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QFBn7S015648 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:11:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QFBnBZ015646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:11:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:11:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261511.h7QFBnBZ015646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 261511 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE AUG 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:06 2003 X-UIDL: 36853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KDKHB7R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 23:49:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QFnQHc043558 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 23:49:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53B7N092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:37:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 415004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:37:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QFbQc9105594 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:37:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QFbQ7S017577 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:37:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QFbQiR017575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:37:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:37:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261537.h7QFbQiR017575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 261536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 26 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 25.0N 111.1W AT 26/1500 UTC MOVING NW AT 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION W OF AXIS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 90W-95W. NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ..1007 MB LOW NEAR 11N112W MOVING NW 10-15 KT. WHILE THE LOW REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ...THERE HAS BEEN SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 111W-117W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N135W EXTENDS SEWD TO 20N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1500 UTC... TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO... IGNACIO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NW OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 24N-27N BETWEEN 110W-113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 10N100W 10N110W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 77W-84W INCLUDING PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 120W-131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 96W-104W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:08 2003 X-UIDL: 36855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KO6JEIR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 00:35:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGYmHc050593 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 00:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53BBL092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 11:24:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 415916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 11:24:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGObc9059592 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 11:24:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QGOa7S021397 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 11:24:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QGOarl021396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 11:24:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 11:24:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261624.h7QGOarl021396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 261624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO...LOCATED 70 MILES NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXIXO. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 825 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:10 2003 X-UIDL: 36857-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KDILARR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:16:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QHFjHc056916 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:15:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9QKn029698; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:05:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 416783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:05:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QH5Ic9017410 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:05:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QH5I7S024615 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QH5IUj024614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:05:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261705.h7QH5IUj024614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 261600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 24.8N4 110.9W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 110.9W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.2N9 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 25.6N3 111.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.0N8 112.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.5N3 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.5N4 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 261200Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.8N4 110.9W1 TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS DRIFTED NORTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261200Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262200Z2, 270400Z3, 271000Z0 AND 271600Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:11 2003 X-UIDL: 36858-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KDVLAVR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:16:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QHFpkr040196 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:15:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNe7098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:08:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 416881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:08:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QH8Qc9033132 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:08:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QH8P7S024792 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:08:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QH8PRc024791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:08:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:08:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 320 Deg/ 03 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261708.h7QH8PRc024791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 261600 RRB VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.5N4 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 261200Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.8N4 110.9W1 TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS DRIFTED NORTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261200Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262200Z2, 270400Z3, 271000Z0 AND 271600Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:12 2003 X-UIDL: 36859-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KFZLBKR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:16:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QHGGkr040287 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:16:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNe9098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 416895 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QH9Pc9067626 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QH9P7S024880 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QH9Pml024877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261709.h7QH9Pml024877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MOHAMMED/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:13 2003 X-UIDL: 36860-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KYPLIUR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:20:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QHKdHc057673 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:20:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PLhPCl045050; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 416899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QH9Pc9105574 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QH9P7S024882 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QH9PYf024878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261709.h7QH9PYf024878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIII, Probability=44%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MOHAMMED/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:13 2003 X-UIDL: 36861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800K68LMRR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:23:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QHMrkr041299 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:22:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNeB098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 416902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QH9Yc9037680 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QH9X7S024896 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QH9XFO024893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:09:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261709.h7QH9XFO024893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 261600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 24.8N4 110.9W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 110.9W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.2N9 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 25.6N3 111.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.0N8 112.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.5N3 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:14 2003 X-UIDL: 36862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KMAN7KR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:57:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QHv3Hc062812 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 01:57:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNgd098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:48:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 417698 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:48:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QHmBc9016410 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:48:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QHmA7S027768 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:48:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QHmAZo027767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:48:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 12:48:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Ignacio Intermediate Advisory Number 19a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261748.h7QHmAZo027767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 261747 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 ..IGNACIO CONTINUES WEAKENING OVER LAND BUT STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LORETO TO LA PAZ...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO SANTA FE. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...SOUTH OF LORETO ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. IGNACIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES .. 95 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING AND LARGE WAVES ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...25.2 N...111.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1003 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:16 2003 X-UIDL: 36864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KN2OCNR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 02:21:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QILfHc067274 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 02:21:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNi3098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 13:11:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 418145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 13:11:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QIBjc9034310 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 13:11:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QIBj7S029492 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 13:11:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QIBjrO029491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 13:11:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 13:11:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261811.h7QIBjrO029491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PHNC 261730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 261730ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.4N8 118.8W8 TO 10.8N9 111.1W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 261200Z1 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N4 112.5W9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTH WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 271200Z2. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 110.0W2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2N4 112.5W9 APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND. A 261204Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS A SYMMETRICAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 271730Z0. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:17 2003 X-UIDL: 36866-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KIXU0JR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:24:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QKNxHc085170 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:24:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNqD098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:01:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 420563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QK1Xc9067654 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QK1X7S007876 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QK1XbI007875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:01:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308262001.h7QK1XbI007875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 262000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE AUG 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:19 2003 X-UIDL: 36868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KVTUUIR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:42:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QKg2kr067603 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:42:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNwL098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:33:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 421621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:33:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QKX3c9017652 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:33:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QKX27S010270 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QKX2cC010269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:33:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308262033.h7QKX2cC010269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 262032 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 ..IGNACIO WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LORETO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH .. 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD MOVE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE TO DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING AND LARGE WAVES ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...25.6 N...111.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:20 2003 X-UIDL: 36869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KZ4UX9R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:43:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QKhfkr067767 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:43:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QIW62t031294; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 421555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QKWAc9096922 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QKW97S010209 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QKW97q010207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308262032.h7QKW97q010207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 262031 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 2100Z TUE AUG 26 2003 AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 111.6W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 111.6W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 111.5W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.0N 112.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 26.6N 112.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 27.3N 113.3W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 28.0N 113.8W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 29.2N 114.6W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 111.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:21 2003 X-UIDL: 36870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800K8IV41R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:48:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QKlokr068202 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:47:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNw9098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 421552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QKWAc9051770 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QKW97S010210 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QKW986010208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:32:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308262032.h7QKW986010208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 262031 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 POORLY-ORGANIZED IGNACIO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FURTHER INLAND. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONE HAS WEAKENED BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...HOWEVER...SYNOPTIC DATA REVEAL A RELATIVELY CONSISTENT NORTHWEST MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED OF 4 KT. SATELLITE ANIMATION ALSO DEPICTS THAT THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION IS MOVING OVER THE WEST COAST. THERE IS A CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAJA PENINSULA... PARTICULARLY IN AREAS OF UPSLOPE FLOW. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING OVER NORTHERN MEXICO SHOULD INDUCE A GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...ALBEIT SLIGHTLY FASTER..AND ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. THERE IS SOME POSSIBILITY OF THE CENTER EMERGING OVER WATER OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. HOWEVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES THERE APPEAR TO BE TOO COOL FOR SIGNIFICANT REGENERATION. FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/2100Z 25.6N 111.6W 30 KT...INLAND 12HR VT 27/0600Z 26.0N 112.1W 30 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 27/1800Z 26.6N 112.7W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 28/0600Z 27.3N 113.3W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 48HR VT 28/1800Z 28.0N 113.8W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 72HR VT 29/1800Z 29.2N 114.6W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 96HR VT 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:22 2003 X-UIDL: 36871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800K27VQAR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 05:01:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QL1CHc089920 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 05:01:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlN1X098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:52:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 422443 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:52:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QKqic9052280 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:52:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QKqi7S011691 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:52:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QKqiWK011690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:52:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:52:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Advisory Number 20...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308262052.h7QKqiWK011690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 262052 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 20...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 CORRECTED TO REMOVE REFERENCE TO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY. ..IGNACIO WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LORETO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH .. 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. STORM SURGE FLOODING AND LARGE WAVES ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...25.6 N...111.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:23 2003 X-UIDL: 36872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KZLYIZR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 06:01:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QM1ZHc098217 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 06:01:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlN7V098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:53:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 424059 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:53:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QLr9c9031374 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:53:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QLr97S016218 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:53:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QLr8wK016217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:53:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:53:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308262153.h7QLr8wK016217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIII, Probability=44%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 262200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09E (IGNACIO) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- NEAR 25.4N1 111.5W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.4N1 111.5W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 26.0N8 112.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 26.6N4 112.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.3N2 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09E (IGNACIO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY OVER LORETO, MEXICO AND HAS DRIFTED NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261800Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270400Z3, 271000Z0, 271600Z6 AND 272200Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800L3CZ005C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 06:12:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QMBgHc099366 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 06:11:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlN8J098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:01:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 424369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:01:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QM1wc9099102 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:01:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QM1w7S017319 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:01:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QM1whG017318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:01:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:01:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308262201.h7QM1whG017318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 262201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 16N172W 13N175W 08N177W 09N179W 14N179W 16N176W HAVE MOVED WEST AND NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KT ..INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10N174E 09N179E 06N177W 02N166E 04N161E 09N164E 10N171E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 15N171W 12N163W 14N160W 11N153W 09N155W 11N159W 04N168W 03N172W 10N175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 30N174W 26N170W 24N175W 27N177W 25N180 29N180 29N177W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER LOW. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06S174E 06S177E 08S180 10S176W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S... ARE BOUNDED BY 17S161W 25S146W 25S156W 18S164W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36874-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800LCJZSG5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 06:29:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QMSqkr081064 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 06:28:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlN8r098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:10:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 424547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:10:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QMAqc9012082 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:10:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QMAp7S018673 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:10:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QMApip018672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:10:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:10:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308262210.h7QMApip018672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 262210 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 26 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM IGNACIO HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO CENTER NEAR 25.6N 111.6W AT 26/2100 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 22N88W 17N90W 12N92W 7N93W MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN YUCATAN PENINSULA... MOSTLY SOUTH OF 20N BUT SOME CELLS NORTH OF 20N IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE PENINSULA...AND IN GUATEMALA FROM 16N TO THE MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER BETWEEN 89W AND 90W.. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N113W...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IN AN AREA OF SOME WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES DURING THE LAST FIVE HOURS...FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W IN THE ITCZ. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2130 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO... IGNACIO HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. CELLS OF STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF 27N112W AND 25N112W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM 24N TO 27N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 7N87W 11N97W 12N110W 10N116W 12N127W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 86W...AND WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 110W...AND BETWEEN 112W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:25 2003 X-UIDL: 36875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900L810FG5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 06:42:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QMgeHc003287 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 06:42:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNBT098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:34:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 425100 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:34:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QMYec9026902 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:34:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QMYe7S020444 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:34:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QMYeTO020443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:34:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 17:34:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308262234.h7QMYeTO020443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIII, Probability=44%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 262234 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO...LOCATED 30 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LORETO MEXICO. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:29 2003 X-UIDL: 36884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900L0C9WT5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:07:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R27Tkr009449 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:07:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNNJ098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:01:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 429607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:01:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R21Xc9040412 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:01:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R21W7S026758 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R21W66026757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:01:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270201.h7R21W66026757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 270200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE AUG 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900LFCBC15C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:38:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R2cLkr014285 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNPV098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 430318 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R2YRc9035004 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R2YR7S027271 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R2YRqB027268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Discussion Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270234.h7R2YRqB027268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 270234 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 IGNACIO REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED THIS EVENING AS IT MOVES UP THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...HOWEVER SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM LORETO INDICATE THAT IT IS STILL OVER LAND AND NEARBY. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THAT A MID LEVEL CLOUD SYSTEM CENTER WITH SOME DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED OFF THE BAJA PENINSULA OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE TERRAIN OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS TAKEN ITS TOLL ON THE CIRCULATION AND REGENERATION IS UNLIKELY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL WEAKENING WITH IGNACIO BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE IN 24 HOURS. THE SYNOPTIC REASONING HAS ESSENTIALLY REMAINED UNCHANGED. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING OVER NORTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEER THE DEPRESSION GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. ALTHOUGH THERE REMAINS A POSSIBILITY OF THE CENTER EMERGING OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA...SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE TOO COOL FOR SIGNIFICANT REGENERATION. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ADDITIONAL LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN UPSLOPE AREAS. FORECASTER COBB/FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0300Z 26.0N 111.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 27/1200Z 26.4N 112.4W 30 KT 24HR VT 28/0000Z 27.1N 113.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 28/1200Z 27.7N 113.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 29/0000Z 28.4N 114.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 30/0000Z 29.5N 115.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:32 2003 X-UIDL: 36889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900LNOBEX5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:40:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R2dwkr014525 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:40:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNPT098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 430315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R2YRc9086086 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R2YQ7S027266 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R2YQmP027265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:34:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270234.h7R2YQmP027265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIII, Probability=44%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 270234 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 0300Z WED AUG 27 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 111.9W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 111.9W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 111.8W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.4N 112.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 27.1N 113.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 27.7N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 28.4N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.5N 115.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 111.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z FORECASTER COBB/FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:33 2003 X-UIDL: 36890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900LATBLJ5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:44:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R2hvHc035615 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:43:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QLxloH045052; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:38:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 430396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:38:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R2cDc9025634 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:38:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R2cC7S027349 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:38:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R2cCJ7027348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:38:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:38:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270238.h7R2cCJ7027348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIII, Probability=44%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ34 KNHC 270237 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO MOVING UP THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...60 KM...WEST OF LORETO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH .. 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...26.0 N...111.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER COBB/FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:36 2003 X-UIDL: 36897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900LH2EYW5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 11:56:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R3ulkr025285 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 11:56:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R37Hed042070; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:52:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 431793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:52:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R3qhc9057720 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:52:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R3qh7S028445 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:52:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R3qhmI028444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:52:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:52:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270352.h7R3qhmI028444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 270352 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 27 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 26.0N 111.9W AT 27/0300 UTC MOVING NW 4 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 7N93W ACROSS MEXICO NEAR 15N92W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N115W MOVING WNW 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO... IGNACIO CONTINUES TO WEAKENED AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 26N113.5W TO INLAND OVER BAJA NEAR 25N111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N86W 7N96W 11N106W 10N116W 13N127W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF THE AXIS E OF 80W TO INLAND OVER PANAMA AND COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 100W...FROM 115W TO 118W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 126W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 112W...FROM 126W TO 132W...AND FROM 137W TO 142W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N TO 5N E OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 91W TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO FROM 20N TO 22N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:37 2003 X-UIDL: 36899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900L6JHCA5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 12:48:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R4m4kr032535 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 12:48:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R37HhP042070; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 23:43:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 432620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 23:43:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R4h0c9019638 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 23:43:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R4h07S029186 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 23:43:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R4h0gT029185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 23:43:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 23:43:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270443.h7R4h0gT029185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 270442 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO...LOCATED 35 MILES WEST OF LORETO MEXICO. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 925 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE...BUT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD STILL DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900L46PVD5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 15:52:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R7qKHc082066 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 15:52:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QLxltT045052; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 02:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 435287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 02:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R7joc9079500 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 02:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R7jn7S001509 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 02:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R7jnne001508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 02:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 02:45:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270745.h7R7jnne001508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 270745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE AUG 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:43 2003 X-UIDL: 36911-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900LYXQV45C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:13:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R8Dckr063426 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:13:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R53kih087208; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:05:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 435500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:05:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R85Wc9078794 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R85V7S001882 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:05:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R85VkN001881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:05:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:05:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270805.h7R85VkN001881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 270805 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO BECOMING DISORGANIZED OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA...STILL POSES A HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING THREAT... AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...60 KM...WEST OF LORETO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH .. 6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...IGNACIO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE MOUNTAINS OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN ..AND PERHAPS DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...26.1 N...111.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:44 2003 X-UIDL: 36913-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900L71QX35C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:15:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R8Ewkr063616 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:15:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R53kip087208; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:08:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 435531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:08:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R884c9078838 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:08:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R8837S001917 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:08:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R883BP001916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:08:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:08:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270808.h7R883BP001916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 270807 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 0900Z WED AUG 27 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 111.9W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 111.9W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 111.8W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 26.5N 112.1W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 27.1N 112.7W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 27.7N 113.3W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 28.4N 113.9W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 111.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900L09SJ15C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:49:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R8nfHc091037 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:49:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R53kjT087208; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:42:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 435833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:42:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R8g5c9010050 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:42:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R8g47S002303 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:42:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R8g4sq002302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:42:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:42:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Discussion Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270842.h7R8g4sq002302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 270841 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 IGNACIO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. SURFACE PRESSURES HAVE RISEN MORE THAN 4 MB DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO AN ISOLATED AREA ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN BAJA COASTLINE. THE CENTER REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY...BUT A 27/0448Z SSMI OVERPASS SUGGESTS THAT AT LEAST THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS STILL INLAND OVER SOUTH CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 35 NMI WEST OF LORETO. THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING REMAINS UNCHANGED. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEER THE DEPRESSION OR ITS REMNANTS SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS SEVERELY LIMITED DUE TO A POWER OUTAGE AT NCEP ..SO ONLY THE NOGAPS...NAVY COAMPS...GFDN...AND UKMET MODELS WERE AVAILABLE. HOWEVER...THOSE MODELS MAINTAIN A TRACK SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS JUST AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...WHICH KEEPS IGNACIO INLAND OVER BAJA UNTIL DISSIPATION OCCURS. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT A NEW LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION COULD REDEVELOP WEST OF BAJA...BUT WATER TEMPERATURES OFFSHORE ARE 25C OR COLDER WHICH WOULD NOT FAVOR ANY SIGNIFICANT REGENERATION OF THE CYCLONE. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR THE DEPRESSION TO REMAIN INLAND AND RAPIDLY DEGENERATE INTO A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW AND PERHAPS EVEN DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 HOURS. WHILE MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED JUST WEST OFFSHORE THE SOUTH CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA...THE POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR ADDITIONAL LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN UPSLOPE AREAS. FORECASTER STEWART/KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/0900Z 26.1N 111.9W 25 KT 12HR VT 27/1800Z 26.5N 112.1W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 24HR VT 28/0600Z 27.1N 112.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND 36HR VT 28/1800Z 27.7N 113.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND 48HR VT 29/0600Z 28.4N 113.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND 72HR VT 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 18:16:21 2003 X-UIDL: 36923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900LUKVMG5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:56:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R9uYHc002248 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:56:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R53klH087208; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:45:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 436634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R9jrc9041126 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R9jr7S002943 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R9jr65002941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:45:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270945.h7R9jr65002941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 270945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0000 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 16N173W 08N175W 06N177E 06N175E 12N179W 16N173W HAVE MOVED WEST AND NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KT ..INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE 09N180 12N170W 12N160W 09N150W 09N140W AND CROSSES 140W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 200 NM OF POINT 28N178E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER LOW. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08S180 10S177W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S... WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S177W 20S160W 25S153W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 18:16:22 2003 X-UIDL: 36924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900L2UVQ55C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:58:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R9wnkr080486 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:58:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QLxluP045052; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:50:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 436655 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:50:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R9oUc9031440 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:50:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R9oT7S002977 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R9oTxq002976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:50:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270950.h7R9oTxq002976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 270950 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 27 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 26.1N 111.9W AT 27/0900 UTC MOVING NW 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 8N96W ACROSS MEXICO NEAR 17N93W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N117W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO... IGNACIO CONTINUES TO WEAKENED AS IT MOVES OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 26N114W TO INLAND OVER BAJA NEAR 25.5N111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N93W 9N108W 13N128W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 4.5N E OF 82W TO INLAND AND PANAMA AND COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 119W AND FROM 120W TO 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 100W...WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W...WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 107W...WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 127W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 126W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 132W AND FROM 135W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 9N TO 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60/75 NM RADIUS OF 3.5N79.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF 8N FROM 83W TO 86W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N91W TO 14N94W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N114W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:05 2003 X-UIDL: 36926-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900LBFX8A5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 18:31:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RAV4kr085026 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 18:31:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R53klr087208; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 05:23:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 436982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 05:23:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RANVc9031452 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 05:23:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RANV7S003334 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 05:23:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RANVsI003333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 05:23:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 05:23:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308271023.h7RANVsI003333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 271023 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES WEST OF LORETO MEXICO. A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...BUT THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 975 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT HAS DIMINISHED. HOWEVER...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD MERGE WITH THE BROAD DISTURBANCE FARTHER WEST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:14 2003 X-UIDL: 36939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00LJU6MK5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:54:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RDsEHc040421 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:54:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RBAXf5045054; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 08:45:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 439461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 08:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RDjfc9047568 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 08:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RDjf7S009542 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 08:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RDjfS9009541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 08:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 08:45:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308271345.h7RDjfS9009541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 271345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED AUG 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:17 2003 X-UIDL: 36941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00LYW8ST5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:41:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7REf9kr026465 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:41:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RESXcN071132; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7REXAc9021040 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7REX67S013535 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7REX6vs013534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308271433.h7REX6vs013534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 271432 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 1500Z WED AUG 27 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 112.4W AT 27/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 112.4W AT 27/1500Z AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 112.3W FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 26.6N 112.9W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 26.9N 113.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 27.3N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 112.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:17 2003 X-UIDL: 36942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00LAG8XX5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:44:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7REiHkr026976 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:44:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RESXcJ071132; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:32:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:32:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7REW7c9086084 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7REW77S013448 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7REW68j013446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:32:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308271432.h7REW68j013446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ34 KNHC 271431 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 ..IGNACIO VERY DISORGANIZED... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 112.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF LORETO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH .. 6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN A DAY OR SO. 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...26.3 N...112.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:18 2003 X-UIDL: 36943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00LBD8YO5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:44:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7REiiHc049498 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:44:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RESXcP071132; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440305 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7REXkc9086126 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7REXj7S013576 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7REXjr4013575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:33:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Discussion Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308271433.h7REXjr4013575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 271433 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 FIRST-LIGHT VISUAL IMAGES DO NOT SHOW A DISTINCT CENTER OF CIRCULATION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED...AND SURFACE PRESSURES CONTINUE TO RISE OVER THE AREA. EVEN IF THE CENTER REMERGES OVER THE WATERS TO THE WEST OF SOUTH-CENTRAL BAJA...SIGNIFICANT REGENERATION IS UNLIKELY. IGNACIO SHOULD BECOME A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW IN 24 HOURS...OR LESS. THE CENTER LOCATION IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN...BUT IT IS ASSUMED THAT THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...AROUND 3 KT. IGNACIO REMAINS EMBEDDED IN SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS NORTHEAST. A CONTINUED SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST UNTIL DISSIPATION. EVEN THOUGH CONVECTION HAS DECREASED FOR NOW...THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL BAJA. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/1500Z 26.3N 112.4W 25 KT 12HR VT 28/0000Z 26.6N 112.9W 20 KT 24HR VT 28/1200Z 26.9N 113.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 29/0000Z 27.3N 114.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:30 2003 X-UIDL: 36949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00LNZCLT5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 00:03:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RG3NHc065691 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 00:03:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RBAXjb045054; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:51:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 441756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:51:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RFpfc9017518 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:51:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RFpf7S020421 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:51:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RFpfan020418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:51:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:51:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308271551.h7RFpfan020418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 271551 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 27 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 26.3N 112.4W AT 27/1500 UTC MOVING NW 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 78W/79W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 98W S OF 17N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1515 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO... IGNACIO CONTINUES TO WEAKENED AS IT MOVES OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N105W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS E OF 90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 N OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OS AXIS W OF 118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED S OF EL SALVADOR FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 88W AND 91W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00L5GESH5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 00:50:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RGoakr050802 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 00:50:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RBAXlX045054; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 11:40:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 442695 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 11:40:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RGeQc9102604 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 11:40:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RGeP7S023875 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 11:40:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RGeP4a023874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 11:40:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 11:40:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308271640.h7RGeP4a023874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 271639 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO...LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF LORETO MEXICO. A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:37 2003 X-UIDL: 36956-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00L2KQW15C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:12:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RLBtHc012990 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:11:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RESXBH071132; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RL4Pc9013754 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RL4O7S014266 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RL4OqZ014265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308272104.h7RL4OqZ014265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 272000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED AUG 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:40 2003 X-UIDL: 36958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00LCHQZT5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:14:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RLECkr087552 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:14:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RBAX4N045054; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:06:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RL4mc9087228 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RL4l7S014389 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RL4ln4014383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Advisory Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308272104.h7RL4ln4014383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ34 KNHC 272030 TCPEP4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 ..IGNACIO DISSIPATING... SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT IGNACIO IS DISSIPATING IN THE VICINITY OF SOUTH-CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO WAS IN THE VICINITY OF LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...160 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF LORETO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH .. 9 KM/HR...AND IGNACIO'S REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION THROUGH TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH... 35 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THESE RAINS COULD CREATE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...27.0 N...113.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 25 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36960-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00LIHR3J5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:16:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RLGRHc013634 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:16:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RAWhuX065666; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:07:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RL4mc9033342 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RL4l7S014394 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RL4lUp014388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Discussion Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308272104.h7RL4lUp014388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 272030 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 VISIBLE SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS A VERY DISORGANIZED... DISSIPATING SYSTEM. THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE MOVING OFF OF THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CENTER LOCATION REMAINS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT...EVEN WITH VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. REMERGENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER WATER MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE...HOWEVER...REGENERATION IS NOT LIKELY. THE SYSTEM REMAINS WITHIN THE SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO. A CONTINUED SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OF IGNACIO'S REMNANTS IS FORECAST. ALTHOUGH THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE MOVING OFFSHORE...THERE IS STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL BAJA. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON IGNACIO UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 27/2100Z 27.0N 113.0W 20 KT...INLAND...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:43 2003 X-UIDL: 36961-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00LTSR925C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:19:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RLJkkr088368 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:19:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RAWhuJ065666; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:07:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RL4jc9054228 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RL4i7S014361 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RL4ijs014360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ignacio Forecast/advisory Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308272104.h7RL4ijs014360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 272026 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092003 2100Z WED AUG 27 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 113.0W AT 27/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT...DISSIPATING. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 113.0W AT 27/2100Z AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 112.7W FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 113.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:45 2003 X-UIDL: 36964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00L49SV05C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:54:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RLsVHc018474 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:54:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RESXGf071132; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:41:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:41:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RLflc9044304 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:41:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RLfk7S017564 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:41:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RLfkL2017563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:41:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:41:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308272141.h7RLfkL2017563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 272141 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 27 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO IS CENTERED NEAR 27.0N 113.0W AT 27/2100 UTC MOVING NW 3 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 81W N OF 4N MOVING W 15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 5N82W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 102W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. BROAD ROTATION OBSERVED WITH THE WAVE. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 100W-110W WITH THE MOST CONCENTRATED ACTIVITY WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N106W. ..1008 MB LOW HAS FORMED NEAR 14N127W. THIS SYSTEM HAS SHOWN A DEVELOPING TREND THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 13.5N128W. BANDS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WITHIN 90 NM OF 13N132W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS FROM 25N121W TO 31N132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO... IGNACIO IS NOW A SWIRL OF LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH ONLY A FEW SHOWERS OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ADJACENT WATERS WITHIN 90 NM OF 26N113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 11N105W 13N128W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 12.5N BETWEEN 117W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N W OF 137W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 5N85W 6N92W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN 111W-118W. ISOLATED TSTM NEAR 11N90W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00K9ZTTS1T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 06:15:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RMFNHc021182 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 06:15:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RESXID071132; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:02:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:02:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RM20c9094202 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:02:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RM1x7S019797 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:01:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RM1xls019796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:01:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:01:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308272201.h7RM1xls019796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 272201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ARE BOUNDED BY 30N177E 29N1177W 23N180 22N172E 24N170E 26N174E...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 16N180 12N175W 06N173W 03S175W 05N179W 08N164E 05N162E 10N161E 16N166E 11N173E 11N177E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 14N156W 12N150W 09N144W 11N140W 06N140W 06N147W 10N150W 11N159W 13N158W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER LOW/TROUGH...FOR CONVECTION THAT EXISTS MAINLY WEST OF MIDWAY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N148W 27N149W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 05S154E 06S159E 03S164E 03S168E 05S173E 09S179E AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09S179E 12S173W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AND WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. CZ/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 20S151W 25S142W 25S154W 21S157W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 8 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EQUATOR AND BOUNDED BY 16N180 12N175W 06N173W 03S175W 05N179W 08N164E 05N162E 10N161E 16N166E 11N173E 11N177E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36966-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00KZDUE91T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 06:27:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RMRekr096053 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 06:27:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RESXIx071132; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:14:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 452000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:14:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RMErc9044338 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:14:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RMEq7S020662 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:14:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RMEqJk020661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:14:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 17:14:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308272214.h7RMEqJk020661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 272214 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST ADVISORY ON DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO...LOCATED OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ABOUT 105 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF LORETO MEXICO. RAINS FROM THIS SYSTEM MAY STILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:53 2003 X-UIDL: 36980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB002HF4LVLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:08:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S28DHc052478 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:08:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RBAXEv045054; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:01:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 456774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S21Uc9052254 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:01:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7S21T7S004944 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:01:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7S21TLC004943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:01:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:01:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308280201.h7S21TLC004943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 280200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED AUG 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 14:58:33 2003 X-UIDL: 36991-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB002G8A6ELT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 12:08:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S48WHc071164 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 12:08:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S1U7il059498; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:41:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 458460 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S3fpc9033984 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7S3fo7S011029 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:41:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7S3fonD011028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:41:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:41:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308280341.h7S3fonD011028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 280341 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 28 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 104W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW WAS INTRODUCED NEAR 14N119W MOVING WNW 10 KT. ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N129W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS N OF 24N FROM 125W TO 145W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N100W 12N108W 12N122W 14N129W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 92W...WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 204W...AND WITHIN 120/150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 109W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 12.5N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND EXTREME E GUATEMALA FROM THE GULF OF FONSECA TO 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 86W TO 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 5N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 14:58:36 2003 X-UIDL: 36993-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB002LTBLGLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 12:39:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S4d8kr050334 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 12:39:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RBAXJ9045054; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 23:30:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 459160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 23:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S4Ubc9005264 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 23:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7S4Ub7S013764 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 23:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7S4Ub2Z013763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 23:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 23:30:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308280430.h7S4Ub2Z013763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 280430 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED AUG 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 535 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO IS LOCATED OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ABOUT 25 MILES WEST OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO. WHILE RAINFALL HAS DIMINSIHED...FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES MAY CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 16:57:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB002R9M1QLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:25:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S8OuHc014756 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:24:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S1U7p9059498; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:09:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 461517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:09:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S89lc9058738 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:09:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7S89k7S026267 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:09:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7S89kRu026266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:09:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:09:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308280809.h7S89kRu026266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 280809 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED AUG 27 2003 AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 16:57:36 2003 X-UIDL: 37007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB002OENGXLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:55:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S8tdkr095617 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:55:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S1U7q1059498; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:47:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 461905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:47:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S8lec9023402 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7S8la7S028313 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:47:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7S8la1A028312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:47:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:47:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308280847.h7S8la1A028312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 280847 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102003 0900Z THU AUG 28 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 130.0W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 130.0W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 129.5W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.0N 131.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.6N 133.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.2N 135.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 15.7N 137.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.5N 143.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 17.5N 149.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 18.0N 155.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 130.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:09:49 2003 X-UIDL: 37010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB002RWOOALT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 17:21:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S9Lfkr000518 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 17:21:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S1U7qB059498; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:59:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 462002 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:59:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S8xnc9042218 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:59:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7S8xn7S028968 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:59:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7S8xno3028967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:59:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:59:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308280859.h7S8xno3028967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 280859 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2003 MICROWAVE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 1450 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS DEVELOPED SUFFICIENT PERSISTENT CONVECTION TO BE DESIGNATED A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. CONVECTION IS CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER AND OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL DIRECTIONS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KT IS BASED UPON DVORAK CI NUMBERS OF 2.0 FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. INITIAL MOTION IS WESTWARD OR 280/10. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CYCLONE IS LOCATED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP LAYER RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN MEXICO WESTWARD TO NEAR 140W. A SLIGHT WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE WEST OF 140W IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 29N146W...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AND ALLOW THE RIDGE TO BECOME REESTABLISHED. THIS PATTERN SHOULD INDUCE A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE 120 HOUR POSITION HAS THE CYCLONE ABOUT 60 NMI SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 28C...AND WATERS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 27C UNTIL THE CYCLONE REACHES ABOUT 140W. SINCE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK UNTIL THE CYCLONE REACHES THE COOLER WATER...MOST OF THE STRENGTHENING SHOULD OCCUR IN THE FIRST 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE SHIPS MODEL GUIDANCE AND BRINGS THE CYCLONE TO MINIMAL HURRICANE INTENSITY BY 48 HOURS...THEN LEVELING OFF DUE TO SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS. FORECASTER STEWART/KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/0900Z 13.8N 130.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 28/1800Z 14.0N 131.4W 40 KT 24HR VT 29/0600Z 14.6N 133.3W 50 KT 36HR VT 29/1800Z 15.2N 135.2W 60 KT 48HR VT 30/0600Z 15.7N 137.5W 65 KT 72HR VT 31/0600Z 16.5N 143.0W 65 KT 96HR VT 01/0600Z 17.5N 149.0W 65 KT 120HR VT 02/0600Z 18.0N 155.0W 65 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:09:51 2003 X-UIDL: 37016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB002CEQV8LT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 18:09:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SA8wkr008639 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 18:08:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S1U7rD059498; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:01:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 462593 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SA1Mc9058636 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SA1M7S002557 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:01:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SA1LMW002555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:01:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308281001.h7SA1LMW002555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 281000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 12N165W 09N140W AND BEYOND REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 20N180 11N170W 06N176E 18N174E REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS DATELINE WITHIN 60 NM OF 06S171E 13S174W MOVED SOUTHWEST 5 KT AND DECREASED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT WERE BOUNDED BY 23S151W 27S141W 29S146W MOVED EAST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:09:51 2003 X-UIDL: 37017-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB002N4R05LT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 18:12:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SABxkr009097 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 18:12:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S1U7r3059498; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 462559 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S9tTc9105596 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 04:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7S9tS7S002197 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 04:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7S9tS5A002196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 04:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 04:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308280955.h7S9tS5A002196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 280955 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 28 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E HAS DEVELOPED AND IS CENTERED NEAR 13.8N 130.0W AT 28/0900 UTC MOVING W AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS OF 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS REPOSITIONED ALONG 81W/82W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 106W S OF 16N MOVING W 15-20 KT WITH A 1011 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 11N. ..THE 1009 MB LOW THAT WAS NEAR 14N119W IS NOW A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 119W FROM 10N TO 17N. ..THE 1008 MB LOW IS NOW T.D. TEN-E. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS N OF 26N FROM 125W TO 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E... CONVECTION IS WELL DEFINED AROUND THE CENTER WITH GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL DIRECTIONS. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 128W AND 131W...WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N124W TO 16.5N126.5W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 15N FROM 133W TO 136W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N103W 11N113W 13N123W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 122W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 106W...WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 113W...WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 125W... AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 140W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 85W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 124W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 135W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 90W AND 93.5W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16.5N103W TO 15N107.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 14.5N93.5W INTO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO NEAR 16N94.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W PANAMA AND COSTA RICA S OF 10N W OF 82W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR WITHIN A 60/75 NM RADIUS OF 12N88W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N108W TO 16N109W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:09:53 2003 X-UIDL: 37019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB0023GROMLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 18:26:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SAQgHc035639 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 18:26:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S1U7rl059498; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:18:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 462803 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:18:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SAIMc9025824 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:18:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SAIM7S003549 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:18:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SAIMwe003548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:18:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:18:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308281018.h7SAIMwe003548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 281017 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1700 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE NEARLY STATIONARY REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO IS LOCATED OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ABOUT 30 MILES WEST OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO. WHILE RAINFALL HAS DIMINSIHED...FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES MAY CONTINUE TODAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FORECASTER STEWART/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:09:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC0020P20GLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:09:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SE9lkr045043 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:09:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S1U71h059498; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:01:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 465447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SE1Vc9072088 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SE1V7S017686 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SE1RiB017678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:01:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:01:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308281401.h7SE1RiB017678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 281400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU AUG 27 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1650 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC SATURDAY MORNING. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:09:58 2003 X-UIDL: 37030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC0029Q3MWLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:44:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SEilHc076949 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:44:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RBAXVN045054; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 466240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SEXHc9034036 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SEXG7S020512 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SEXGHQ020511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308281433.h7SEXGHQ020511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 281432 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2003 SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS ARE A CONSENSUS T2.5...OR 35 KT... HOWEVER...A TRIM MICROWAVE PASS AT 0841Z SUGGESTS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE DISPLACED NORTH OF THE CENTER POSITION INFERRED FROM THE INFRARED IMAGERY. BASED ON THE MICROWAVE PASS...I WILL HOLD OFF UPGRADING THE CYCLONE TO A STORM FOR NOW. THE INITIAL MOTION IS UNCERTAIN DUE TO QUESTIONS ABOUT THE INITIAL POSITION. I BELIEVE THE CENTER IS PROBABLY NORTH OF THE ADVISORY POSITION GIVEN BELOW BUT I PREFER TO WAIT FOR VISIBLE IMAGERY BEFORE MAKING TOO MUCH OF AN ADJUSMENT IN THE TRACK. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 290/12. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CYCLONE IS LOCATED ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP LAYER RIDGE THAT EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN MEXICO WESTWARD TO NEAR 140W. A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR 28N145W IS FORECAST TO LIFT OUT BUT LEAVE ANOTHER WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE OVER THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IN ABOUT 48 HOURS. THIS PATTERN FAVORS SOME REDUCTION OF THE FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AFTER THAT...BOTH THE GFS AND UKMET RE-DEVELOP A STRONG RIDGE WHICH...IF IT VERIFIES... WOULD FAVOR A MORE RAPID WESTWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED NORTHWARD EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD BUT IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AFTER THAT. THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 28C...AND WATERS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 27C FOR ANOTHER 36 HOURS OR SO. SINCE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK UNTIL THE CYCLONE REACHES THE COOLER WATER...THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY THEN. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS THEN LIKELY OVER THE COOLER WATERS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/1500Z 14.7N 131.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 29/0000Z 15.3N 133.3W 35 KT 24HR VT 29/1200Z 15.9N 135.3W 45 KT 36HR VT 30/0000Z 16.4N 137.2W 55 KT 48HR VT 30/1200Z 17.0N 139.0W 65 KT 72HR VT 31/1200Z 17.5N 144.5W 65 KT 96HR VT 01/1200Z 18.0N 150.5W 60 KT 120HR VT 02/1200Z 18.0N 156.0W 60 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:09:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002B63NRLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:45:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SEjNkr050506 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:45:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SE5Of7048630; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:34:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 466280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SEXqc9072010 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SEXp7S020566 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SEXpFh020564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:33:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Ten-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308281433.h7SEXpFh020564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 281433 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102003 1500Z THU AUG 28 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 131.6W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 131.6W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 131.0W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.3N 133.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.9N 135.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.4N 137.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.0N 139.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.5N 144.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 18.0N 150.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 18.0N 156.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 131.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002F98D3LT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 00:27:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGQwkr064479 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 00:26:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SFm0db048632; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:57:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 468422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SFvBc9092326 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:57:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SFvB7S027052 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:57:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SFvAaO027051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:57:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:57:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308281557.h7SFvAaO027051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 281557 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 28 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E HAS DEVELOPED AND IS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 131.6W AT 28/1500 UTC MOVING W NW AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS OF 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W/87W N OF 3N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT BETTER DEFINED ON LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A 1011 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 12N. CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 107W-110W. ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 14N121W MOVING W 10 KT. THE LOW IS EXPERIENCING EASTERLY SHEAR WITH ITS ASSOCIATED CONVECTION DISPLACED W OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 121W-125W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FROM 32N131W TO 26N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1515 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E... CONVECTION IS WELL DEFINED AROUND THE CENTER WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL DIRECTIONS. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 14.7N130.7W ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N90W 6N96W 10N114W 13N126W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 83W-93W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 8N-12N W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 93W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 105W-108W. $$ VUKITS/RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37036-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002668NFLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 00:33:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGX8Hc094753 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 00:33:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SFm0fl048632; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 11:18:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 468875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 11:18:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGITc9044970 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 11:18:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SGIS7S028859 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 11:18:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SGISQJ028858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 11:18:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 11:18:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308281618.h7SGISQJ028858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 281618 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 1585 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO OVER THE THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA HAVE DIMINISHED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:03 2003 X-UIDL: 37040-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC0027EIDELT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:03:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SK38kr093725 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:03:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2tJ023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 14:57:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 474343 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 14:57:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SJvMc9065706 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 14:57:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SJvL7S015529 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 14:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SJvLHS015528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 14:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 14:57:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308281957.h7SJvLHS015528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 281956 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU AUG 28 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON SOON TO BE NAMED TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1510 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC SATURDAY. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON SOON TO BE NAMED TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:04 2003 X-UIDL: 37044-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002A5K1GLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:39:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SKd8Hc031354 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:39:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGMxlR029148; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 475071 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SKTRc9032938 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SKTQ7S018074 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SKTQmt018071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308282029.h7SKTQmt018071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 282029 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102003 2100Z THU AUG 28 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 132.4W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 132.4W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 131.8W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.1N 134.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.7N 136.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.2N 138.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.7N 141.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.5N 146.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.5N 152.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.5N 158.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 132.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:05 2003 X-UIDL: 37046-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002SBKECLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:47:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SKkvHc032390 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:46:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGMxld029148; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 475082 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SKTcc9047428 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SKTb7S018095 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SKTbNo018094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:29:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308282029.h7SKTbNo018094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 282029 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2003 THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY...WITH THE FORMATION OF A RAGGED CDO AND OCCASIONAL GLIMPSES OF EYE-LIKE HOLES IN VISIBLE AND AMSU IMAGERY. HOWEVER...LOW CLOUD MOTIONS AND A QUIKSCAT OVERPASS INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ELONGATED EAST-WEST...AND THE SYSTEM MAY NOT BE AS STRONG AS IT LOOKS. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT FROM AFWA AND 45 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB. BASED ON ALL THE ABOVE...THE DEPRESSION IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WITH 35 KT WINDS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THE CENTER IS A LITTLE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS POSITION. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 285/12...AND IT MAY BE EVEN MORE WESTWARD. JIMENA IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LARGE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...WHICH SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE STORM SHOULD THUS MOVE WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...WITH THE BIGGEST QUESTION BEING HOW FAR NORTH. THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS AND THE GFDL ARE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AROUND A WESTWARD TRACK BETWEEN 14N-16.5N...WHILE THE BAM MODELS...CLIPER... AND NHC 91 FORECAST A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS BETWEEN THESE TWO CAMPS...AND IS A LITTLE SOUTH AND FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS TRACK. IF THE MORE WESTWARD MOTION IS CORRECT...THE FORECAST TRACK MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED SOUTHWEST IN SUBSEQUENT ADVISORIES. JIMENA IS CURRENTLY OVER 28C...AND SHOULD STAY OVER THIS TEMPERATURE FOR 12-24 HR. AFTER ABOUT 48 HR...THE CYCLONE SHOULD BE OVER 26C WATER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN FAVORBALE BY THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS...SO THE SSTS SHOULD CONTROL THE INTENSITY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING TO MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH...FOLLOWED BY LITTLE CHANGE AS THE CYCLONE REACHES THE MARGINAL SSTS. A TRACK NORTH OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WOULD LIKELY PRODUCE A WEAKER CYCLONE...WHILE A TRACK SOUTH OF THE CURRENT FORECAST COULD ALLOW JIMENA TO STRENGTHEN FURTHER. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 28/2100Z 14.6N 132.4W 35 KT 12HR VT 29/0600Z 15.1N 134.2W 40 KT 24HR VT 29/1800Z 15.7N 136.4W 45 KT 36HR VT 30/0600Z 16.2N 138.6W 55 KT 48HR VT 30/1800Z 16.7N 141.0W 65 KT 72HR VT 31/1800Z 17.5N 146.5W 65 KT 96HR VT 01/1800Z 17.5N 152.0W 65 KT 120HR VT 02/1800Z 17.5N 158.0W 65 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37047-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC0022EN60LT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:46:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SLkgHc040670 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:46:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP22t023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 476780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SLfGc9083944 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SLfG7S023600 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SLfGHA023598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308282141.h7SLfGHA023598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 282200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- NEAR 14.4N9 131.8W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 131.8W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 15.1N7 134.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 15.7N3 136.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 16.2N9 138.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 16.7N4 141.0W6 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002INNGULT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:53:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SLqxHc041533 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:53:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP22v023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 476785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SLfGc9004536 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SLfG7S023602 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SLfG4L023601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 065 Kt, Gusts 080 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308282141.h7SLfG4L023601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 282200 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.5N3 146.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 17.5N3 152.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 17.5N3 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 281800Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.4N9 131.8W3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1100 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281800Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290400Z5, 291000Z2, 291600Z8 AND 292200Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:07 2003 X-UIDL: 37049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002P9NJSLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:55:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SLt1Hc041864 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP239023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:44:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 476856 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:44:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SLivc9048390 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:44:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SLiu7S023853 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:44:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SLiuFK023852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:44:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:44:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308282144.h7SLiuFK023852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 282144 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 28 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E HAS BECOME TROPICAL STORM JIMENA. IT IS CENTERED NEAR 14.9N 132.4W AT 28/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS OF 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/ WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W/88W N OF 3N MOVING W 15 KT. THERE IS SOME BROAD TURNING N OF THE ITCZ WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 90 NM OF 7N86W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A WEAK 1010 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 12N. THERE IS A LOT OF ELY SHEAR PROMOTING THE FORMATION OF SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11.5N-15N BETWEEN 106W-111W. ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 14N121W MOVING W 10 KT. NELY SHEAR IS DISPLACING TSTM ACTIVITY TO THE W AND S OF THE CENTER WITH SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-14.5N BETWEEN 122W-126W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS FROM 21N112W NW TO BEYOND 31N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM JIMENA... THE SYSTEM HAS GOTTEN BETTER ORGANIZED WITH PLENTY OF BANDING FEATURES AND GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N-17.5N BETWEEN 130W-134W. VISIBLE PICTURES EVEN HINTS AT ATTEMPTS OF THE FORMATION OF A BANDING EYE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N106W 11N115W 12N135W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 91W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W OF 134W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 8N111W 10N115W 15N116W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE IS NEAR 7N97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF PANAMA AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 12N95W. TSTM CLUSTERS ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE W COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NW NICARAGUA TO EXTREME SE MEXICO. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:07 2003 X-UIDL: 37050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002WENNKLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:57:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SLvFHc042153 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:57:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP22T023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:37:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 476662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SLb7c9083456 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SLb67S023237 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SLb679023236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:37:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308282137.h7SLb679023236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 282200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- NEAR 14.4N9 131.8W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 131.8W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 15.1N7 134.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 15.7N3 136.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 16.2N9 138.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 16.7N4 141.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.5N3 146.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 17.5N3 152.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 17.5N3 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 281800Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.4N9 131.8W3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1100 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281800Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290400Z5, 291000Z2, 291600Z8 AND 292200Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:08 2003 X-UIDL: 37051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002LIO0KLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 06:05:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SM54kr011366 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 06:05:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP23Z023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:55:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 477074 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SLtlc9072072 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SLtk7S024616 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SLtkEK024615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:55:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308282155.h7SLtkEK024615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 282155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF POINT 10N142W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... THREE WEAK VORTICES/LOW CLOUD CIRCULATIONS LOCATED 460 NM SOUTHEAST...495 NM SOUTH AND 650 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND ARE MOVING WEST SLOWLY. AN ISOLATED CB WAS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE VORTEX SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S140W 20S148W MOVED EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF FRONT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 23S. FRONT...THROUGH 25S177W 22S180 MOVED EAST 20 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. REMNANT SHEAR LINE/TROUGH THROUGH 17S171W 12S180 DRIFTING SOUTH SLOWLY. BROKEN LAYERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 176W DIMINISHED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU. ELSEWHERE... FAIRLY WEAK ISOLATED CB DEVELOPED WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 09S167W AND MOVED WEST 15-20 KT IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:08 2003 X-UIDL: 37052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002T2OWKLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 06:24:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SMOFkr013568 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 06:24:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP263023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 17:15:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 477643 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 17:15:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SMFpc9062810 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 17:15:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SMFp7S025596 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 17:15:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SMFpjq025595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 17:15:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 17:15:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308282215.h7SMFpjq025595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 282215 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1535 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO OVER THE THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA HAVE DIMINISHED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FORECASTER COBB/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:11 2003 X-UIDL: 37059-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC005ITZ4EQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:05:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T24uHc073868 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:04:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2Kt023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 20:55:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 482153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 20:55:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T1tqc9065718 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 20:55:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T1tp7S029607 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 20:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T1tpWn029606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 20:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 20:55:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290155.h7T1tpWn029606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 290155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU AUG 28 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1440 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC AREA SATURDAY MORNING. THREE LOW CLOUD CIRCULATIONS OR SWIRLS ARE CENTERED 515 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST...585 MILES SOUTH...AND 790 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HAWAII. THESE WEAK CIRCULATIONS WERE MOVING WEST NEAR 5 MILES AN HOUR. ALL THREE ARE NEARLY VOID OF THUNDERSTORMS AND DISPLAY NO SIGNS OF FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 11:06:55 2003 X-UIDL: 37068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005TD0XHQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:44:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T2i2Hc080236 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:44:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SFcZ3v049448; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:36:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 482943 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T2aEc9085660 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:36:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T2Zw7S000231 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:35:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T2ZXc5000223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:35:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:35:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290235.h7T2ZXc5000223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 290234 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102003 0300Z FRI AUG 29 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 133.6W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 133.6W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.0W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 15.9N 135.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.4N 137.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.8N 139.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 17.0N 142.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.0N 147.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 17.0N 152.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 17.0N 158.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 133.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z FORECASTER COBB/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 11:06:55 2003 X-UIDL: 37069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005LK171QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:49:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T2njHc081240 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:49:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SFcZ41049448; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:36:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 482946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:36:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T2aPc9085662 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T2Zx7S000232 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:36:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T2ZYHG000225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:35:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:35:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290235.h7T2ZYHG000225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 290234 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2003 JIMENA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS INDICATED BY INCREASED BANDING OF COLD TOP CONVECTION AND AN OCCASIONAL APPEARANCE OF AN EYE LIKE FEATURE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. IN ADDITION THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS FAIRLY SYMMETRIC. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 55 KT FROM TAFB...45 KT FROM SAB AND PHFO...AND 35 KT FROM AFWA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 50 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. FIXES FROM ALL THE SATELLITE AGENCIES SUGGEST THAT THE LOW LEVEL CENTER WAS FURTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THUS THE INITIAL MOTION IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS...295/12. JIMENA MAY ALSO BE RESPONDING TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING BY TO THE NORTHWEST AS INDICATED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT A MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD WESTWARD AFTER THE SHORTWAVE LIFTS OUT IN 24-36 HOURS. THUS THE STORM SHOULD MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH 36 HOURS THEN DUE WESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. THIS IS IN LINE WITH THE DYNAMICAL MODELS AND THE GUNS/GUNA ENSEMBLES. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS AND CLOSER TO THE SUITE OF DYNAMICAL MODELS. JIMENA IS CURRENTLY OVER 27-28C WATERS...AND SHOULD STAY OVER THIS TEMPERATURE FOR 24-36 HR. THEREAFTER...THE CYCLONE SHOULD BE OVER MARGINAL SSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN FAVORABLE BY THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS...SO THE SSTS ARE THE CONTROLLING FACTOR IN THE INTENSITY. THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR STRENGTHENING TO A HURRICANE IN 24 HOURS...THEN MAINTAINING A STEADY STATE THROUGH THE REMIANDER OF THE FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE CROSSES THE MARGINAL SSTS. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AFTER 72 HOURS AS THE CYCLONE ONCE AGAIN ENCOUNTERS HIGHER SSTS SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. FORECASTER COBB/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0300Z 15.6N 133.6W 50 KT 12HR VT 29/1200Z 15.9N 135.3W 60 KT 24HR VT 30/0000Z 16.4N 137.5W 65 KT 36HR VT 30/1200Z 16.8N 139.8W 70 KT 48HR VT 31/0000Z 17.0N 142.2W 70 KT 72HR VT 01/0000Z 17.0N 147.0W 70 KT 96HR VT 02/0000Z 17.0N 152.5W 75 KT 120HR VT 03/0000Z 17.0N 158.0W 75 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 14:02:38 2003 X-UIDL: 37072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005813SQQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:46:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T3jrHc089531 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:45:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2Rf023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:41:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 484084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:41:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T3fIc9083692 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:41:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T3fH7S001449 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:41:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T3fHq5001448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:41:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:41:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290341.h7T3fHq5001448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 290341 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 29 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 133.6W AT 29/0300 UTC MOVING WNW AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS OF 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W/88W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 109W/110W S OF 17N MOVING W 5-10 KT WITH A 1009 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 11N. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N110W TO 13N111W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15.5N107W TO 13N109W. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N122W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N123W TO 13N126W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM JIMENA... THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND A SMALL BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE CENTER. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N133W TO 19N134W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N94W 8N110W 10N123W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 93W TO 96W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 12N TO OVER ALL OF EL SALVADOR FROM THE GULF OF FONSECA TO 90W AND WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N96.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 86W TO THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 8N. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE FROM THE ITCZ AXIS TO 16N BETWEEN 112W AND 119W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 14:02:39 2003 X-UIDL: 37077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005XX5DJQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:20:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T4Jxkr068274 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:20:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2TJ023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:13:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 484502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:13:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T4DVc9040268 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:13:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T4DU7S001929 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:13:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T4DUtV001928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:13:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:13:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290413.h7T4DUtV001928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 290400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- NEAR 15.3N9 133.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 133.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 15.9N5 135.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 16.4N1 137.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.8N5 139.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 034 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.0N8 142.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.0N8 147.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.0N8 152.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.0N8 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT --- REMARKS: 290000Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 133.0W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1300 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290000Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291000Z2, 291600Z8, 292200Z5 AND 300400Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 14:02:39 2003 X-UIDL: 37078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD0057D5GJQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:21:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T4Lqkr068713 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:21:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGMxxh029148; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 484636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T4HXc9052268 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T4HW7S002002 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T4HWUm001999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 010000z1 --- 17.0n8 147.0w2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290417.h7T4HWUm001999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 290400 RRB 010000Z1 --- 17.0N8 147.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.0N8 152.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.0N8 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT --- REMARKS: 290000Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 133.0W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1300 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290000Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291000Z2, 291600Z8, 292200Z5 AND 300400Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 14:02:40 2003 X-UIDL: 37079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD0057H5GKQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:21:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T4Lqkr068715 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:21:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2Tb023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 484631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T4HWc9005894 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T4HW7S002000 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T4HWf9001996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:17:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290417.h7T4HWf9001996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 290400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- NEAR 15.3N9 133.0W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 133.0W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 15.9N5 135.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 16.4N1 137.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.8N5 139.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 034 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.0N8 142.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 14:02:42 2003 X-UIDL: 37082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005RO7DGQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 13:03:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T53BHc002776 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 13:03:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2Ul023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:54:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 485115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T4sNc9062972 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T4sM7S003237 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:54:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T4sMSR003236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:54:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 23:54:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290454.h7T4sMSR003236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 290453 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1425 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. WHILE THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...IT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS SHOWING SIGNS OF INCREASED ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FORECASTER BEVEN/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 16:13:25 2003 X-UIDL: 37101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005K0FV6QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 16:06:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T86Vkr004361 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 16:06:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2Zl023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:01:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 487266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T81ec9019502 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:01:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T81e7S005943 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T81eO8005942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:01:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290801.h7T81eO8005942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 290800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU AUG 28 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1375 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC AREA SATURDAY MORNING. FORECASTS/ ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 KNHC AND AWIPS HEADER TCMEP5. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 16:54:15 2003 X-UIDL: 37107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005HGHVVQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 16:50:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T8oEkr010546 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 16:50:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2ah023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:41:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 487589 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:41:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T8fUc9025658 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:41:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T8fT7S006356 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:41:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T8fTKX006355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:41:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:41:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290841.h7T8fTKX006355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 290840 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102003 0900Z FRI AUG 29 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 134.6W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 134.6W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 134.1W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.3N 136.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N 139.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.0N 142.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 18.0N 145.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.0N 151.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 18.0N 156.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 160.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 134.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 17:06:49 2003 X-UIDL: 37111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005WTILRQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:05:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T95kHc040309 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:05:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2b9023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:57:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 487755 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:57:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T8vqc9083590 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:57:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T8vq7S006518 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:57:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T8vqCC006517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:57:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:57:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290857.h7T8vqCC006517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 290857 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2003 JIMENA IS INTENSIFYING AS INDICATED BY INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 55 KT FROM TAFB AND 65 KT FROM SAB. A 0556Z SSMI PASS REVEALED A WELL-DEFINED EYE UNDER THE CONCENTRATED COLD CONVECTION. BASED ON THIS INFORMATION THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 55 KT. THE SYSTEM IS GAINING MORE LATITUDE THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. INITIAL MOTION IS NOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR 300/12...WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF CONFIDENCE DUE TO WELL-TIMED SSMI PASSES DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THIS MOTION IS PRESUMABLY DUE TO THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INDUCED BY THE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NORTH OF HAWAII. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO LIFT OUT AND ALLOW THE RIDGE TO BECOME REESTABLISHED. THE CYCLONE SHOULD THEREFORE BEGIN A TURN TO THE WEST IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGH 72 HOURS ALONG THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF A STRONG ANTICYCLONE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTH OF HAWAII. SLIGHTLY SLOWER MOTION IS EXPECTED BEYOND 72 HOURS AS THE ANTICYCLONE WEAKENS. THIS TRACK IS FARTHER NORTH THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...MOSTLY DUE TO THE INITIAL MOTION...AND IT IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GUNS/GUNA CONSENSUS. JIMENA IS CURRENTLY OVER 27-28C WATERS...BUT DUE TO THE MORE NORTHWARD TRACK IT SHOULD SPEND A LITTLE MORE TIME OVER SUB-26C WATERS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS THEREFORE LEVELED OFF AT 70 KT AFTER 36 HOURS. IF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT TURN TO THE WEST AS QUICKLY AS EXPECTED...THE INTENSITY COULD BE WEAKER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN/KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/0900Z 16.4N 134.6W 55 KT 12HR VT 29/1800Z 17.3N 136.3W 60 KT 24HR VT 30/0600Z 18.0N 139.2W 65 KT 36HR VT 30/1800Z 18.0N 142.1W 70 KT 48HR VT 31/0600Z 18.0N 145.3W 70 KT 72HR VT 01/0600Z 18.0N 151.0W 70 KT 96HR VT 02/0600Z 18.0N 156.0W 70 KT 120HR VT 03/0600Z 18.0N 160.5W 70 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:37 2003 X-UIDL: 37116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005R1KKSQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:48:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9mNHc047150 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:48:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2bp023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:39:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 488110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:39:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9dMc9053372 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:39:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T9dM7S006989 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:39:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T9dM7P006988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:39:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:39:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290939.h7T9dM7P006988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 290939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 29 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N 134.6W AT 29/0900 UTC MOVING WNW AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS OF 65 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 88W/89W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 111W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N110W TO 9N117W. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N123W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N123W TO 12N126W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM JIMENA... THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. SCATTERED/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE SW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 132W AND 136W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N90W 8N111W 11N120W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 96W... WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 88W...WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 100W...AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 15N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 98W TO 101W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N97W TO 14.5N93.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA...WITHIN 120/150 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 87W TO 91.5W...AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 14N96.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 4N78.5W...WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N92W TO 14.5N93W...AND 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N98W TO 9.5N98.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 8N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:38 2003 X-UIDL: 37118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005YKLEUQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 18:06:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TA6QHc049781 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 18:06:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qIcH023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:01:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 488325 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TA1Xc9071084 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:01:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TA1W7S007241 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TA1WvG007238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:01:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291001.h7TA1WvG007238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 291000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0825 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 09N172W 09N176W. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 14N140W 09N140W 08N144W 13N143W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...1...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 14S167E 18S176W 25S168W 25S173W 21S180 18S164E. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 20 TO 25 KT SOUTH OF 20S AND BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY NORTH OF 20S. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...2...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 15S153W 25S133W 25S143W 17S155W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT SOUTH OF 20S AND BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY NORTH OF 20S. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S169W 11S165W 13S166W 08S173W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:40 2003 X-UIDL: 37120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005B9NSPQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 18:58:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TAvskr030074 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 18:57:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGMx3L029148; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:50:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 488666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:50:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TAoMc9015542 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:50:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TAoL7S007776 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TAoLbq007775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 05:50:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291050.h7TAoLbq007775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 291050 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT NEAR 15 MPH. WHILE THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...IT HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FORECASTER BEVEN/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:44 2003 X-UIDL: 37131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD00501X9OQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:22:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEMVHc092613 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:22:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TCSPwj089234; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:19:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 492312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:02:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TE1xc9042850 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:01:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TE1x7S013874 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:01:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TE1xwt013873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:01:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:01:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291401.h7TE1xwt013873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 291400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI AUG 29 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC LATE TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 KNHC AND AWIPS HEADER TCMEP5. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:45 2003 X-UIDL: 37132-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD00519X9VQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:22:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEMdHc092638 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:22:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T546ol058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:14:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 491377 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TDavc9085558 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:36:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TDav7S012057 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TDavZI012056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:36:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291336.h7TDavZI012056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 291000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- NEAR 16.1N8 134.1W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 134.1W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 17.3N1 136.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 18.0N9 139.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 18.0N9 142.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 18.0N9 145.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.0N9 151.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 18.0N9 156.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 18.0N9 160.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 291000Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 134.6W4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1230 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290600Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 TO 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291600Z8, 292200Z5, 300400Z7 AND 301000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:45 2003 X-UIDL: 37133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD0051RXA0QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:22:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEMiHc092686 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:22:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T546qd058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:16:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 491678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:43:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TDhIc9006080 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:43:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TDhH7S012463 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TDhHAR012460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:43:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 040 Nm Northwest Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291343.h7TDhHAR012460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 291000 RRC 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 18.0N9 156.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 18.0N9 160.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 291000Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 134.6W4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1230 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290600Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 TO 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291600Z8, 292200Z5, 300400Z7 AND 301000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:46 2003 X-UIDL: 37135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD0055NXBIQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:23:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TENcHc092884 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:23:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TCSPu1089234; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:16:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 491673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:43:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TDhIc9049574 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:43:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TDhH7S012462 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TDhH5d012458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:43:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291343.h7TDhH5d012458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 291000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- NEAR 16.1N8 134.1W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 134.1W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 17.3N1 136.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 18.0N9 139.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:46 2003 X-UIDL: 37136-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD0058ZXCSQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:24:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEOLHc092997 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:24:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T546ph058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:15:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 491550 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:40:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TDe1c9057734 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:40:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TDe17S012348 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:40:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TDe1TG012347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:40:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:40:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 050 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291340.h7TDe1TG012347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 291000 RRB 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 18.0N9 142.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 18.0N9 145.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.0N9 151.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:46 2003 X-UIDL: 37137-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005F0XEGQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:25:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEPOkr068371 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:25:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TCSPrr089234; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:14:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 491397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TDbJc9034900 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:37:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TDbI7S012113 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:37:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TDbIsM012110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:37:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:37:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291337.h7TDbIsM012110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z-300600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/290151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 290000Z1, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 135.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 750 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 290300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10.4N5 166.3E6, 135 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN ISLAND IN THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UNORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS ON THE MOST RECENT UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CIMSS CHART DEPICTS A GOOD ENVIRONMENT WITH EXCELLENT OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:49 2003 X-UIDL: 37142-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005GUYBWQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:45:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEjRHc096824 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:45:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qItX023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:40:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 494520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:39:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEd1c9042918 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:39:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TEd17S016610 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TEd1SW016609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291439.h7TEd1SW016609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 291438 TCMEP5 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102003 1500Z FRI AUG 29 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 136.4W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT....... 65NE 55SE 55SW 65NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 136.4W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 135.7W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.4N 138.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 17.9N 144.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.9N 147.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.0N 153.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 35SW 50NW. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 45SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 18.0N 158.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 162.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 136.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:49 2003 X-UIDL: 37144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005WUYHYQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:49:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEn6kr073006 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:49:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qItf023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:40:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 494528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:39:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEdNc9080736 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:39:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TEdM7S016626 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:39:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TEdMc1016625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:39:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:39:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291439.h7TEdMc1016625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 291439 TCDEP5 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2003 ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT THAT JIMENA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 77 KT FROM TAFB...65 KT FROM SAB...55 KT FROM CPHC AND 55 KT FROM AFWA. A 0923Z TRMM PASS REVEALED A DISTINCT...SMALL EYE BENEATH THE DEEP CONVECTION. BASED ON THIS DATA...THE TROPICAL STORM IS UPGRADED TO HURRICANE JIMENA WITH 65 KT SUSTAINED WINDS. INITIAL MOTION REMAINS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR 290 DEGRESS...BUT SLIGHTLY FASTER AT 14 KNOTS. THE PAST FEW MICROWAVE IMAGES HAVE HELPED IN LOCATING THE POSITION AND MOTION. THERE APPEARS TO BE LESS STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE TROUGH SHOULD CONTINUE TO FILL AND LIFT OUT ALLOWING THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO RE-ESTABLISH. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH 72 HOURS. THEREAFTER A SLIGHTLY SLOWER MOTION IS ANTICIPATED. ALL OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS INDICATE THE RIDGE BUILDING TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. ONLY THE UKMET DEPICTS A MORE PRONOUNCED WEAKNESS SUGGESTING A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. THE FORECAST TRACK AGREES WITH THE GUNS/GUNA CONSENSUS. JIMENA CONTINUES TO MOVE OVER WARM WATERS (27-28C)...BUT BASED ON THE NAVOCEANO SST ANALYSIS...JIMENA SHOULD SPEND A LITTLE MORE TIME OVER SUB-26C WATERS AS IT MOVES WEST OF 140W. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS THEREFORE LEVELED OFF AT 75 KT AFTER 24 HOURS. THERE IS A POSSIBILTY...HOWEVER...OF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AFTER 48 HOURS AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES BACK OVER WARMER SSTS SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND. IF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT REMAIN ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WEST TRACK...AND TAKES A TRACK SIMILAR TO THE UKMET MODEL...THE INTENSITY COULD BE WEAKER THAN FORECAST. FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/1500Z 16.8N 136.4W 65 KT 12HR VT 30/0000Z 17.4N 138.4W 70 KT 24HR VT 30/1200Z 17.8N 141.2W 75 KT 36HR VT 31/0000Z 17.9N 144.2W 75 KT 48HR VT 31/1200Z 17.9N 147.4W 75 KT 72HR VT 01/1200Z 18.0N 153.0W 75 KT 96HR VT 02/1200Z 18.0N 158.0W 70 KT 120HR VT 03/1200Z 18.0N 162.0W 70 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:51 2003 X-UIDL: 37147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE0056L1F8QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:52:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TFqGHc007900 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:52:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T5463h058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:41:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 495715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:41:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TFfHc9041990 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:41:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TFfG7S021222 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TFfGRw021221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:41:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291541.h7TFfGRw021221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 291541 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 29 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.4N 134.6W AT 29/0900 UTC MOVING WNW AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS OF 65 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W/92W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 87W-93W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 13N/14N. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE WAVE/LOW IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH INDICATION OF INCREASING BANDING ABOUT THE FORMING LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N110W 15N114W 12N113W. ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 14N122W MOVING NW NEAR 10 KT. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING MODERATE ELY SHEAR WITH DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACE W OF THE CIRCULATION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 123W-128W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N130W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO JUST SOUTH OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 22N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1515 UTC... TROPICAL STORM JIMENA... JIMENA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY WITH A BANDING EYE FORMING EARLIER NEAR 1030 UTC. THE EYE HAS SINCE BECOME WELL DEFINED WITH DEEP CONVECTION NOW WRAPPED COMPLETELY AROUND THE CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 7N110W 10N120W 15N132W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 75W-80W AND N OF 6N BETWEEN 80W-84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 133W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED SW OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 97W-102W. THE EXTENT OF THIS AREA IS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF MEXICO IN THE VICINITY OF ACAPULCO. THE OVERALL AREA OF CONVECTION IS HOLDING TOGETHER AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY SEWD. ACTIVITY ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD PULL AWAY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:51 2003 X-UIDL: 37148-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005RV202QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 00:04:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TG4fHc010348 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 00:04:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qI01023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:58:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 496085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:58:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TFwXc9031430 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:58:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TFwW7S022356 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:58:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TFwWME022353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:58:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:58:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291558.h7TFwWME022353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 291600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- NEAR 16.6N3 135.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 135.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.4N2 138.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 17.8N6 141.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.9N7 144.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.9N7 147.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.0N9 153.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 18.0N9 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.0N9 162.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 291600Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 135.7W6. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1120 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291200Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 TO 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292200Z5, 300400Z7, 301000Z4 AND 301600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:51 2003 X-UIDL: 37149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE0058B264QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 00:08:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TG8OHc010967 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 00:08:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qI0N023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 496185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TG2tc9019536 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TG2t7S022812 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TG2tBH022809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 301200z6 --- 17.8n6 141.2w8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291602.h7TG2tBH022809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 291600 RRB 301200Z6 --- 17.8N6 141.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.9N7 144.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.9N7 147.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:52 2003 X-UIDL: 37150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005G9295QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 00:10:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TGADHc011391 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 00:10:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T5464T058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 496188 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TG2uc9105558 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TG2t7S022813 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TG2toM022811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 075 Nm Northwest Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291602.h7TG2toM022811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 291600 RRC 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.0N9 153.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 18.0N9 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.0N9 162.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 291600Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 135.7W6. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1120 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291200Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 TO 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292200Z5, 300400Z7, 301000Z4 AND 301600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:52 2003 X-UIDL: 37151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005IS2A0QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 00:10:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TGAjHc011515 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 00:10:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qI0P023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 496191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TG2wc9059606 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TG2v7S022826 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TG2v3d022825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:02:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291602.h7TG2v3d022825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 291600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- NEAR 16.6N3 135.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 135.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 17.4N2 138.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:53 2003 X-UIDL: 37153-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE0050N3QJQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 00:42:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TGg4kr092285 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 00:42:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qI1x023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:24:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 496741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:24:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TGNxc9098836 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:23:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TGNx7S024389 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:23:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TGNw3O024388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:23:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 11:23:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291623.h7TGNw3O024388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 291623 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI AUG 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1240 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 690 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT NEAR 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1260 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:53 2003 X-UIDL: 37154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005SE4XFQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:08:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TH7wHc022032 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:07:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T5466t058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 497678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TH2ac9099460 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TH2Z7S027086 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TH2Z1a027084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291702.h7TH2Z1a027084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z-301800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:54 2003 X-UIDL: 37155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE0057Q52RQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:11:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7THBAHc022721 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:11:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qI4P023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 497675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TH2ac9030214 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TH2Z7S027087 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TH2ZiV027085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 12:02:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291702.h7TH2ZiV027085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z-301800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37162-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005YKDDPQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:10:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TKAXHc039280 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:10:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qIHt023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:02:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 501473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TK26c9078408 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TK267S009779 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:02:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TK26DP009777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:02:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:02:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292002.h7TK26DP009777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 292000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI AUG 29 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1170 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 KNHC AND AWIPS HEADER TCMEP5. THREE MINOR CYCLONIC VORTICES CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ISOLATED AND SPORADIC THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FORM AT OR NEAR THEIR CIRCULATION CENTERS. THE FIRST IS CURRENTLY LOCATED 460 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND...THE SECOND 650 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT...AND THE THIRD ALMOST 930 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005ELEV7QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:42:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TKgdHc047496 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:42:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T546FZ058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:36:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 502236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TKaxc9036364 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TKaw7S013218 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:36:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TKawVT013217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:36:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:36:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292036.h7TKawVT013217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 292036 TCDEP5 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI AUG 29 2003 VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SMALL...ROUND...CLOUD-FILLED EYE WITH IMPRESSIVE OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH...AND DEVELOPING BANDING FEATURES SOUTH OF THE CENTER. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB...SAB AND AFWA ARE 77 KT. BASED ON THIS LASTEST INFORMATION...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 75 KT. INITIAL MOTION REMAINS WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS. ALL OF THE LARGE SCALE MODELS INCLUDING THE GFDL AND GFDN INDICATE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDING TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS IN 36 HOURS...WHICH WOULD CREATE A MORE WESTWARD MOTION. ONLY THE UKMET DEPICTS A MORE PRONOUNCED WEAKNESS SUGGESTING A TRACK TO THE RIGHT OF THE AFOREMENTIONED MODELS. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND AGREES WITH THE GUNS/GUNA CONSENSUS. JIMENA IS CURRENTLY OVER WARM WATERS (27-28C)...HOWEVER...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER SUB-26C WATERS AS IT MOVES WEST OF 140W. THE INTENSITY FORECAST LEVELS OFF AT 80 KT AFTER 12 HOURS WHICH IS SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS MODEL. THE GFDL WEAKENS THE SYSTEM BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH AFTER 24 HOURS AND THE UKMET DROPS THE SYSTEM BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AFTER 48 HOURS. A POSSIBILITY STILL EXISTS...HOWEVER...OF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AFTER 36 HOURS IF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ENTERS A REGION OF WARMER SSTS SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 29/2100Z 17.1N 137.6W 75 KT 12HR VT 30/0600Z 17.5N 139.7W 80 KT 24HR VT 30/1800Z 17.8N 142.8W 80 KT 36HR VT 31/0600Z 17.8N 146.0W 80 KT 48HR VT 31/1800Z 17.8N 149.1W 75 KT 72HR VT 01/1800Z 18.0N 155.0W 75 KT 96HR VT 02/1800Z 18.0N 159.0W 70 KT 120HR VT 03/1800Z 18.0N 162.5W 70 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005SVF04QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:45:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TKjbkr022104 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:45:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T546Fd058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:37:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 502267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:37:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TKbhc9087076 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:37:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TKbg7S013296 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:37:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TKbg8B013295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:37:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:37:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292037.h7TKbg8B013295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 292037 TCMEP5 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102003 2100Z FRI AUG 29 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 137.6W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 137.6W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 136.9W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.5N 139.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT... 75NE 55SE 55SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.8N 142.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT... 75NE 55SE 55SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.8N 146.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT... 75NE 55SE 55SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.8N 149.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.0N 155.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 18.0N 159.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.0N 162.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 137.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE0053TITOQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:08:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TM86Hc058762 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:08:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxeD091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:01:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 504041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TM1Lc9065718 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TM1L7S018917 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TM1KvU018916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:01:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292201.h7TM1KvU018916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 292200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2025 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N165W TO 08N172W TO 09N179W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N165W TO 08N154W. ALL MOVEMENT TO THE WEST AT 10 KT. SIZE AND INTENSITY HAVE INCREASED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 17N145W 15N140W 07N144W 07N148W 17N145W EXTENDS EAST BEYOND 140W. MOVEMENT IS TO THE WEST AT 15 KT. SIZE AND INTENSITY HAVE INCREASED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE 1...MAINLY BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S ARE BOUNDED BY 13S180 21S155W 25S155W 25S162W 20S180. MOVEMENT IS TO THE EAST AT 20 TO 25 KT SOUTH OF 20S WITH FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY NORTH OF 20S. FRONT/SHEAR LINE 2...MAINLY BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S ARE BOUNDED BY 21S145W 25S124W 25S146W. MOVEMENT IS TO THE EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT SOUTH OF 20S WITH FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY NORTH OF 20S. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 10S152W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37169-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005D4IZ4QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:11:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TMBNHc059291 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:11:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxeN091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:04:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 504104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:04:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TM4tc9042978 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:04:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TM4s7S018991 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:04:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TM4sBu018990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:04:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:04:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292204.h7TM4sBu018990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 292200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- NEAR 17.1N9 137.6W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 137.6W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 17.5N3 139.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 17.8N6 142.8W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.8N6 146.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.8N6 149.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.0N9 155.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 18.0N9 159.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.0N9 162.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 291800Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 137.6W7. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1045 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291800Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300400Z7, 301000Z4, 301600Z0 AND 302200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005VNJAAQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:18:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TMI7kr035013 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:18:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxfb091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:10:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 504350 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:08:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TM8lc9031392 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TM8k7S019068 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TM8kmb019065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:08:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 275 Deg/ 14 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292208.h7TM8kmb019065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 292200 RRC VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.0N9 155.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 18.0N9 159.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.0N9 162.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 291800Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 137.6W7. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1045 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291800Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300400Z7, 301000Z4, 301600Z0 AND 302200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005VRJACQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:18:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TMI9Hc060308 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:18:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxeH091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:02:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 504056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:02:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TM2Tc9033840 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:02:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TM2T7S018944 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:02:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TM2TjU018943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:02:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:02:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292202.h7TM2TjU018943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 292201 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 29 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.1N 137.6W AT 29/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS OF 90 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION. WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG FROM 12.5N-15N BETWEEN 94W-97W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W/113W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A LOW OF 1009 MB NEAR 13N. ELY SHEAR IS CAUSING ALL OF THE CONVECTION TO BE ON THE W SIDE OF THE SYSTEM... LEAVING AN EXPOSED CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 112W-118W. ..1011 MB LOW NEAR 13N124W MOVING WSW 10 KT. THIS LOW IS ALSO SHEARED FROM THE E WITH SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 124W-128W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 30N130W TO SW MEXICO NEAR MANZANILLO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2115 UTC... HURRICANE JIMENA... JIMENA HAS AN EYE THAT IS GETTING BETTER DEFINED WITH AN OCCASIONAL BREAK IN THE EYEWALL BUT WARMING EYE TEMPERATURES. THE OUTFLOW APPEARS CLASSICAL AS IT IS EXPANDING NICELY TO THE N AND W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE EYE ... THIS IS A SMALL HURRICANE. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N100W 7N110W 10N120W 14N132W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 79W-89W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF AXIS FROM 94W-102W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N130W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 109W-121W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS S OF JIMENA FROM 13N-16.5N BETWEEN 133.5W-137.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF DISSIPATING MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA BETWEEN 10N-15.5N BETWEEN 100W-103W. ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF THE W COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM THE GULF OF PANAMA TO SE MEXICO. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005XUJBEQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:18:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TMIlHc060381 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:18:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxel091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:07:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 504202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:07:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TM7ic9065682 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:07:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TM7i7S019039 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:07:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TM7hcp019038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:07:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:07:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292207.h7TM7hcp019038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 292200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- NEAR 17.1N9 137.6W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 137.6W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 17.5N3 139.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 17.8N6 142.8W5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:03 2003 X-UIDL: 37173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005IDJNKQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:26:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TMQ4kr036031 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:26:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcqej081696; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:10:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 504353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:08:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TM8lc9099298 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TM8k7S019069 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TM8kft019067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:08:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 080 Kt, Gusts 100 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292208.h7TM8kft019067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 292200 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.8N6 146.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.8N6 149.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:03 2003 X-UIDL: 37174-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005M0JQBQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:27:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TMRhHc061664 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 06:27:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxh7091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:24:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 504733 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:24:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TMODc9032008 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:24:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TMOC7S019393 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:24:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TMOCDl019392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:24:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 17:24:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292224.h7TMOCDl019392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 292223 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI AUG 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 780 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD AT NEAR 15 MPH. THE AREA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE/HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE00BVHQW3G4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:02:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U12Nkr051467 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:02:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxn7091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 507040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U0ruc9025842 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U0rq7S021241 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U0rqUb021239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300053.h7U0rqUb021239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/REISSUED/300100Z-300600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/291951ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 291800Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N7 133.8E5, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM EAST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 292100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 166.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN ISLAND IN THE MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARAS 1.A.(1) AND 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:05:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE00BPRUAXG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:16:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U2G4kr063361 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:16:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxoR091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:00:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 507750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:00:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U20fc9016656 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:00:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U20f7S022034 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:00:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U20eqa022033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:00:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:00:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300200.h7U20eqa022033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 300200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI AUG 29 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CROSS 140W INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 KNHC AND AWIPS HEADER TCMEP5. THREE MINOR CYCLONIC VORTICES CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ISOLATED AND SPORADIC THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO FORM AT OR NEAR THEIR CIRCULATION CENTERS. THE FIRST IS CURRENTLY LOCATED 430 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND...THE SECOND 660 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT...AND THE THIRD ALMOST 960 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:05:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37187-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE00BSTV49G4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:33:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U2XfHc092369 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:33:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxov091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:27:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 508119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U2RGc9032060 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:27:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U2RG7S022389 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U2RG1m022388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:27:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300227.h7U2RG1m022388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 300226 TCDEP5 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI AUG 29 2003 LAST FEW VISIBLE IMAGES FOR TODAY CONTINUE TO SHOW A VERY TIGHT...10 NM DIAMETER...PARTIALLY CLOUD FILLED EYE. INFRARED IMAGERY CLEARLY SHOWS CONTINUED ORGANIZATION OF...AND GREATER SYMMETRY TO THE DEEP CONVECTION AROUND JIMENA. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KT FROM TAFB AND AFWA FURTHER SUPPORT THIS TREND...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 85 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. INITIAL MOTION REMAINS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO CALL FOR BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IN 36 HOURS WHICH SHOULD HELP TO STEER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. UKMET CONTINUES TO BE THE SINGLE OUTLIER...BEING SLOWER TO BUILD THE RIDGE AND ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO TRACK FURTHER TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND AGREES WITH A CONSENSUS OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. JIMENA IS CURRENTLY MOVING ALONG THE 26 DEGREE CELSIUS SEA SURFACE ISOTHERM AND WILL SOON BE ENTERING SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS AS IT PASSES WEST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS LEVEL AT 85 KT FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS WITH A VERY GRADUAL DECAY THEREAFTER. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH SHIPS GUIDANCE AND FITS THE INTENSITY TREND OF THE GFDL MODEL. THE PROSPECT FOR SOME SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE AFTER 48 HOURS AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ENTERS INTO A REGION OF WARMING SSTS SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND. FORECASTER LAWRENCE/HOLWEG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0300Z 17.3N 139.0W 85 KT 12HR VT 30/1200Z 17.7N 141.2W 85 KT 24HR VT 31/0000Z 17.8N 144.3W 85 KT 36HR VT 31/1200Z 17.9N 147.8W 85 KT 48HR VT 01/0000Z 18.0N 151.2W 80 KT 72HR VT 02/0000Z 18.0N 157.5W 75 KT 96HR VT 03/0000Z 18.0N 163.0W 70 KT 120HR VT 04/0000Z 18.0N 168.5W 70 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:05:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE00BTYV4PG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:34:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U2Xukr066399 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:33:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLa2Jh029698; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:29:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 508151 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:29:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U2TDc9032682 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U2TC7S022421 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:29:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U2TCcQ022420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:29:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:29:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300229.h7U2TCcQ022420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 300228 TCMEP5 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102003 0300Z SAT AUG 30 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 139.0W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 139.0W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 138.3W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.7N 141.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 17.8N 144.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.9N 147.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.0N 151.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.0N 157.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 18.0N 163.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.0N 168.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 139.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE/HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:10 2003 X-UIDL: 37199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE00BMKZLFG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:10:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4ALkr082276 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:10:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxqd091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:03:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 509187 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U432c9032204 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:03:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U4327S023348 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:03:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U431ju023347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:03:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:03:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300403.h7U431ju023347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 300402 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 30 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.3N 139.0W AT 30/0300 UTC MOVING WNW 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH GUSTS OF 105 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W/95W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 92W-96W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 113W/114W S OF 19N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 13N. ELY SHEAR IS CAUSING ALL OF THE CONVECTION TO BE ON THE W SIDE OF THE SYSTEM... LEAVING AN EXPOSED CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 115W-120W. ..1011 MB LOW IS NEAR 13N128W MOVING WSW 10 KT. CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 125W-128W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 30N130W TO 23N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0315 UTC... HURRICANE JIMENA... JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF 10 NM. THE OUTFLOW IS WELL PRONOUNCED TO THE N AND W OF THIS SMALL HURRICANE. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 138W-141W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N100W 7N110W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 101W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 83W-88W...AND FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 96W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 108W-112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 85W-87W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:13 2003 X-UIDL: 37201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BEK121G4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:42:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4fukr086796 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:41:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxr5091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:36:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 509489 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4avc9016892 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:36:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U4aq7S023681 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U4aRrv023672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:36:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:36:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300436.h7U4aRrv023672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 300400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- NEAR 17.2N0 138.3W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 138.3W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 17.7N5 141.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.8N6 144.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.9N7 147.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.0N9 151.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.0N9 157.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 18.0N9 163.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 18.0N9 168.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 291800Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.2N0 138.3W5. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 965 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300000Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301000Z4, 301600Z0, 302200Z7 AND 310400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:14 2003 X-UIDL: 37202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BF4129G4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:42:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4g4kr086811 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:42:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxrP091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 509531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4cTc9055010 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U4cT7S023701 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U4cSgA023694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 311200z7 --- 17.9n7 147.8w0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300438.h7U4cSgA023694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XI, Probability=11%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 300400 RRB 311200Z7 --- 17.9N7 147.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.0N9 151.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.0N9 157.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 18.0N9 163.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 18.0N9 168.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:14 2003 X-UIDL: 37203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BHN13HG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:42:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4gokr086913 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:42:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxrT091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 509534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4cUc9047016 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U4cT7S023703 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U4cT2D023697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300438.h7U4cT2D023697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 300400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- NEAR 17.2N0 138.3W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 138.3W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 17.7N5 141.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.8N6 144.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:15 2003 X-UIDL: 37204-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BUV1AXG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:47:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4lIHc011822 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:47:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4awcf016640; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 509528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4cUc9048394 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U4cT7S023702 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U4cTaC023698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:38:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Remarks: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300438.h7U4cTaC023698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 300400 RRC REMARKS: 291800Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.2N0 138.3W5. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 965 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300000Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301000Z4, 301600Z0, 302200Z7 AND 310400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:16 2003 X-UIDL: 37206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00B6B1IUG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:52:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4q2Hc012424 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 12:52:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxrn091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:48:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 509654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:48:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U4mQc9032032 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U4mP7S023803 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U4mPUc023802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:48:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300448.h7U4mPUc023802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 300448 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI AUG 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITHIN AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER...GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. AN AREA OF INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT NEAR 15 MPH. THIS AREA REMAINS DISORGANIZED THIS EVENING AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:32 2003 X-UIDL: 37218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BQLA0QG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:55:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U7tXHc036355 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:55:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxtv091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 02:47:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 511054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 02:47:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U7lWc9057992 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 02:47:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U7lW7S025579 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 02:47:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U7lWHq025578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 02:47:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 02:47:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300747.h7U7lWHq025578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPN50 PHFO 300747 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI AUG 29 2003 THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 16 MPH AND IS CROSSING INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. FORECASTS/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE JIMENA ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 KNHC AND AWIPS HEADER TCMEP5. THREE WEAK CYCLONIC VORTICES CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ISOLATED AND SPORADIC THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO FORM IN THE VICINITY OF THEIR CIRCULATION CENTERS. THE FIRST IS LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND...THE SECOND ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...AND THE THIRD IS ALMOST 930 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:34 2003 X-UIDL: 37221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00B31CDZG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 16:46:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U8kdkr016627 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 16:46:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxub091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:30:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 511420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U8Urc9047042 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U8Uq7S026097 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U8Uqki026095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:30:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300830.h7U8Uqki026095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 300830 TCMEP5 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102003 0900Z SAT AUG 30 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 140.7W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 140.7W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 139.9W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.5N 143.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.7N 146.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.9N 150.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.0N 154.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 95 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.0N 160.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 166.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 171.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 140.7W THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON JIMENA BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII AT 30/1500Z. FORECASTER BEVEN/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:34 2003 X-UIDL: 37222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BHTD6FG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:03:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U93lHc043400 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:03:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxv9091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:58:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 511758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:58:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U8wRc9046882 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:58:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U8wQ7S026328 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:58:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U8wQ5P026327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:58:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:58:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300858.h7U8wQ5P026327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 300858 TCDEP5 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT AUG 30 2003 AFTER RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS...JIMENA APPEARS TO BE LEVELLING OFF. INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY THIS MORNING INDICATE THAT JIMENA MAINTAINS A 10 NM DIAMETER EYE...ALTHOUGH IT HAS FILLED IN SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 90 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...77 KT FROM HONOLULU...AND 102 KT FROM AFWA. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 85 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. INITIAL MOTION NOW HAS A SLIGHTLY MORE WESTWARD COMPONENT...275 AT 15 KNOTS. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO CALL FOR BUILDING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MAINTAIN IT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEER JIMENA TO THE WEST...AND AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED AFTER 36 HOURS. THE UKMET PERSISTS AS THE NORTHERN OUTLIER. GIVEN THE INITIAL MOTION AND THE BUILDING RIDGE...THIS SOLUTION DOES NOT SEEM LIKELY BUT CANNOT BE COMPLETELY IGNORED. THE FORECAST TRACK ALONG 18N IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE GFDL AND THE CONSENSUS OF THE GLOBAL MODELS...AND IT IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. GIVEN THE WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTROL THE INTENSITY. JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY CLOSE TO THE 26C SST ISOTHERM FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY PASSAGE OVER SLIGHTLY WARMER WATERS BEYOND 72 HOURS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS LEVEL AT 85 KT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH ONLY GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER. THIS FORECAST IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS INTENSITY GUIDANCE. SINCE JIMENA HAS CROSSED 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE...THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. FORECASTER BEVEN/KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/0900Z 17.3N 140.7W 85 KT 12HR VT 30/1800Z 17.5N 143.3W 85 KT 24HR VT 31/0600Z 17.7N 146.7W 85 KT 36HR VT 31/1800Z 17.9N 150.5W 80 KT 48HR VT 01/0600Z 18.0N 154.2W 80 KT 72HR VT 02/0600Z 18.0N 160.5W 75 KT 96HR VT 03/0600Z 18.0N 166.5W 70 KT 120HR VT 04/0600Z 18.0N 171.5W 70 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:36 2003 X-UIDL: 37225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BHHFCBG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:50:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9oUHc048437 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:50:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxwX091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 512262 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9kpc9085626 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U9ko7S026845 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U9koGS026842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300946.h7U9koGS026842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 301000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- NEAR 17.3N1 139.9W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 139.9W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 17.5N3 143.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.7N5 146.7W8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:36 2003 X-UIDL: 37226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BQ9FIRG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:54:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9sNHc048892 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:54:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxwV091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 512252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9k0c9040342 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U9jx7S026830 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U9jxMD026829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:45:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 085 Kt, Gusts 100 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300945.h7U9jxMD026829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 301000 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.9N7 150.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.0N9 154.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:36 2003 X-UIDL: 37227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BQDFIXG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:54:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9sUkr024235 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:54:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511f9053130; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 512259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9kpc9005338 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U9ko7S026843 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U9komd026840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:46:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 15 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300946.h7U9komd026840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 301000 RRC VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 18.0N9 160.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 18.0N9 166.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 171.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 300600Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 139.9W2 HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 850 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77, 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301600Z0, 302200Z7, 310400Z8 AND 311000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:37 2003 X-UIDL: 37228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BRQFK4G4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:55:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9tCHc048983 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:55:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxwT091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:44:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 512239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:44:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9ibc9100074 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:44:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U9ia7S026820 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:44:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U9ia2t026819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:44:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:44:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300944.h7U9ia2t026819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 301000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- NEAR 17.3N1 139.9W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 139.9W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 17.5N3 143.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.7N5 146.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.9N7 150.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.0N9 154.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 18.0N9 160.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 18.0N9 166.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 171.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 300600Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 139.9W2 HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 850 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77, 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301600Z0, 302200Z7, 310400Z8 AND 311000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:37 2003 X-UIDL: 37229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BTSFLQG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:56:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9tuHc049054 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:56:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxwd091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:53:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 512328 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:53:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9rMc9016760 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:53:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U9rL7S026898 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:53:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U9rLGM026897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:53:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:53:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300953.h7U9rLGM026897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 300953 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 30 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.3N 140.7W AT 30/0900 UTC MOVING W 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH GUSTS OF 100 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 94W-97W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 115W S OF 19N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 13N. ELY SHEAR IS CAUSING ALL OF THE CONVECTION TO BE ON THE W SIDE OF THE SYSTEM... LEAVING AN EXPOSED CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 115W-117W. ..1011 MB LOW IS NEAR 13N129W MOVING WSW 10 KT. CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 129W-132W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 30N130W TO 23N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0915 UTC... HURRICANE JIMENA... JIMENA HAS A WELL DEFINED EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF 10 NM. THE OUTFLOW IS WELL PRONOUNCED TO THE N AND W OF THIS SMALL HURRICANE. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 30 NM OF THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 139W-142W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 9N104W 8N110W 11N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 102W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 77W-79W...FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 83W-84W...6N-8N BETWEEN 87W-90W...FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 97W-100W...AND FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 110W-114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 120W-122W...AND FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 130W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 100W-103W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 88W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 136W-139W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:38 2003 X-UIDL: 37231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BJDG2XG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 18:06:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UA6Akr025704 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 18:06:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxwh091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:03:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 512413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UA35c9014816 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:03:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UA357S027025 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:03:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UA34D4027024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:03:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:03:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301003.h7UA34D4027024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 301002 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... THE EYE OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS CENTERED NEAR 17.3N 140.4W AT 30/0800 UTC HAD OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN 35 NM OF THE CENTER AND ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WERE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 110 NM OF THE CENTER. SEE LATEST ADVISORY FROM NHC FOR DETAILS. WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N157W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM THAT MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N145W 14N142W 08N147W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N155W 08N155W 08N171W 12N167W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N178W 06N177E 05N175E AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 18S159W 21S157W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 12S154W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:40 2003 X-UIDL: 37235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BCXIRAG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:04:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UB4HHc057452 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:04:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxx5091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:50:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 512731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:50:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UAnxc9062804 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:49:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UAnx7S027480 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:49:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UAnw99027479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:49:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 05:49:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301049.h7UAnw99027479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 301049 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT AUG 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST ADVISORY ON HURRICANE JIMENA...NOW LOCATED WEST OF 140 DEGREES LONGITUDE AND ABOUT 950 MILES EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. FUTURE ADVISORIES ON JIMENA WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. WHILE THIS AREA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AN AREA OF INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT NEAR 15 MPH. THIS AREA REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:42 2003 X-UIDL: 37238-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BTOQIUG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:52:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UDq1Hc080509 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:52:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511gT053130; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 08:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 514117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 08:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UDk0c9014818 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 08:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UDjx7S029210 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 08:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UDjxbM029209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 08:45:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 08:45:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301345.h7UDjxbM029209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 301345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA IS LOCATED LESS THAN 900 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 18 MPH AND IT HAS RECENTLY CROSSED INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC. THEREFORE...THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED IT FINAL BULLETIN ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR THE LATEST DETAILS ON JIMENA...PLEASE SEE BULLETINS ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. A WEAK CYCLONIC VORTEX IS ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:43 2003 X-UIDL: 37242-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00B7CT2CG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:47:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UEkuHc088472 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:46:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511h7053130; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:40:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 515004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:40:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UEeXc9005278 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:40:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UEeW7S001128 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:40:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UEeWqA001127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:40:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:40:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301440.h7UEeWqA001127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 301440 TCMCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 1500Z SAT AUG 30 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 142.2W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 142.2W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.4W FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 17.6N 144.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.8N 148.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.9N 151.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.9N 154.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.9N 161.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 45SE 45SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 167.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.1N 174.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17N 142W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z FORECASTER MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:44 2003 X-UIDL: 37243-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00B8KT3MG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:47:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UElekr055188 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:47:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZx2T091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:41:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 515030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:41:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UEfVc9092414 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:41:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UEfU7S001141 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:41:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UEfUYF001140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:41:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:41:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301441.h7UEfUYF001140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 301441 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.2 WEST OR ABOUT 900 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...17.4N 142.2W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:45 2003 X-UIDL: 37246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00B91UGTG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:17:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UFHCHc092438 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:17:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZx41091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:03:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 515620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:03:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UF38c9032136 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:03:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UF377S002258 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:03:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UF37EU002257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:03:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:03:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301503.h7UF37EU002257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 301502 TCDCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 JIMENA APPEARS TO HAVE MAINTAINED ITS 85 KNOT CENTRAL STRENGTH THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH ITS EYE WELL DEFINED. A 5.0 DVORAK ESTIMATE PERSUADES US TO KEEP THE PAST INTENSITY DESPITE ITS MOVEMENT THROUGH SLIGHTLY COOLER WATERS...SST IS SUB 26C. HOWEVER DUE TO BOTH THE COOLER SST AND THE TREND OF MOST INTENSITY GUIDANCE..PARTICULARLY SHIFOR..WE WILL CONTINUE THE CURRENT WEAKENING PROJECTION. THE MOTION HAS BECOME DECIDEDLY STRAIGHT WESTWARD FROM 24 HOURS AGO. A STRENGTHENING RIDGE AT ALL LEVELS SHOULD KEEP JIMENA ON THIS DUE WESTWARD PATH. SOME MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A FUTURE SOUTHWARD NUDGE BUT WILL AWAIT MORE EVIDENCE DUE TO THE OPPOSING BAM TENDENCY TOWARD THE NORTH. ALSO THE 15 KNOT SPEED LOOKS STEADY AND LIKELY IN THIS BASICALLY NONSHEAR ENVIRNMENT. FORECASTER MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/1500Z 17.4N 142.2W 85 KT 12HR VT 31/0000Z 17.6N 144.7W 85 KT 24HR VT 31/1200Z 17.8N 148.1W 80 KT 36HR VT 01/0000Z 17.9N 151.4W 75 KT 48HR VT 01/1200Z 17.9N 154.7W 75 KT 72HR VT 02/1200Z 17.9N 161.5W 70 KT 96HR VT 03/1200Z 18.0N 167.9W 70 KT 120HR VT 04/1200Z 18.1N 174.2W 70 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:47 2003 X-UIDL: 37252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BADX5WG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:15:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGFRkr066195 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:15:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcqtX081696; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:09:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 516849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:09:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UG9nc9013490 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:09:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UG9n7S003259 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:09:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UG9nWk003258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:09:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:09:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301609.h7UG9nWk003258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 301609 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 30 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE JIMENA CENTER NEAR 17.4N 142.2W AT 30/1500 UTC MOVING WEST 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 101W...AND FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 99W AND 101W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10 KT WITH A MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...1009 MB...ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 14N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 115W AND 118W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N129W MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 128W AND 129W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 26N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1530 UTC... HURRICANE JIMENA... THE EYE IS WELL DEFINED. A RING OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 40-50 NM OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N78W 10N90W 10N105W 9N120W 13N130W 13N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS...IN THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA...AND IN THE PACIFIC WATERS SOUTH AND WEST OF PANAMA/COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA... BETWEEN 82W AND 90W...FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 99W AND 101W... ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF MEXICO FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 104W...WELL TO THE SOUTH OF A RIDGE WHICH IS IN BETWEEN TWO WELL ESTABLISHED MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:48 2003 X-UIDL: 37253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BXWXJAG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:23:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGNUkr067272 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:23:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZx75091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 516946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGGvc9033832 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UGGu7S003358 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UGGuGR003355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 16 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301616.h7UGGuGR003355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 301600 RRC VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.9N7 161.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.0N9 167.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.1N0 174.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 301200Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 141.4W0 HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301600Z0, 302200Z7, 310400Z8 AND 311000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:48 2003 X-UIDL: 37254-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BY2XJBG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:23:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGNWkr067277 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:23:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcqtd081696; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:14:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 516918 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:14:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGEuc9047006 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:14:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UGEu7S003339 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:14:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UGEujN003338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:14:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:14:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301614.h7UGEujN003338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 301600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- NEAR 17.3N1 141.4W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 141.4W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.6N4 144.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.8N6 148.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.9N7 151.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.9N7 154.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.9N7 161.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.0N9 167.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.1N0 174.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 301200Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 141.4W0 HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301600Z0, 302200Z7, 310400Z8 AND 311000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:48 2003 X-UIDL: 37255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00B2AXMAG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:25:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGPGHc001157 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:25:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511ip053130; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:17:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 516952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:17:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGGvc9033834 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UGGv7S003364 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UGGuDe003361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301616.h7UGGuDe003361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 301600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- NEAR 17.3N1 141.4W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 141.4W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.6N4 144.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.8N6 148.1W4 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:49 2003 X-UIDL: 37256-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00B50XONG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:26:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGQikr067684 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:26:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcqtf081696; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 516949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGGvc9032740 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UGGu7S003359 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UGGugu003357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:16:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 080 Kt, Gusts 100 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301616.h7UGGugu003357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 301600 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.9N7 151.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.9N7 154.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:49 2003 X-UIDL: 37257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BR2Y35G4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:35:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGZQkr069599 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZx7V091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:28:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 517169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:28:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGSGc9094202 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UGSF7S003458 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UGSFiJ003457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:28:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301628.h7UGSFiJ003457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 301627 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT AUG 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:51 2003 X-UIDL: 37259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00B9JYDJG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:41:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGfeHc003855 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:41:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcquJ081696; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:37:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 517336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:37:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGb0c9016868 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:37:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UGax7S003564 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UGaY1V003559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:36:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:36:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301636.h7UGaY1V003559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z-311800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:51 2003 X-UIDL: 37260-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BFOZ2SG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:56:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGumHc006011 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 00:56:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZx7b091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:37:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 517333 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:37:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UGb0c9058860 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:37:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UGan7S003563 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UGaYce003561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:36:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:36:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301636.h7UGaYce003561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z-311800ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:53 2003 X-UIDL: 37266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BIA6WKG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:45:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UJjqHc027975 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:45:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxEV091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 14:31:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 520570 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 14:31:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UJVBc9013560 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 14:31:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UJVA7S006339 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 14:31:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UJVApL006338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 14:31:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 14:31:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301931.h7UJVApL006338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 301930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON HURRICANE JIMENA...LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO. FOR DETAILS ON JIMENA...PLEASE SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:54 2003 X-UIDL: 37270-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BBN9DPG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:39:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKdJHc034241 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:39:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxHp091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:37:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 521971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:37:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKauc9009992 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:37:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UKaZ7S007363 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UKaAT9007356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302036.h7UKaAT9007356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 302035 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUING TO MOVE WEST... A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA. AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.8 WEST OR ABOUT 790 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...17.4 N...143.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:55 2003 X-UIDL: 37271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BFH9FOG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:40:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKeVkr099196 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:40:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxHn091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 521962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKawc9070484 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UKag7S007366 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UKaH1S007360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302036.h7UKaH1S007360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 302035 TCMCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 2100Z SAT AUG 30 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 143.8W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 143.8W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 142.9W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.6N 146.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.7N 150.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.8N 154.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.8N 158.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.9N 165.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 45SE 45SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.1N 171.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.4N 177.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 143.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:55 2003 X-UIDL: 37272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BSD9PZG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:46:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKkiHc035206 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:46:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxHl091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 521958 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKaac9062884 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UKaF7S007358 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:36:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UKZoNx007348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:35:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:35:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302035.h7UKZoNx007348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 302035 TCDCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 JIMENA IS REINITIALIZED AT 90 KNOTS BASED ON A PERSISTENT 5.0 DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY FROM PHFO AND HIGHER AFWA INTENSITIES. JIMENA HAS A WELL-FORMED 22 MILE WIDE CLOUD-FILLED EYE ALONG WITH GOOD SYMMETRIC INFLOW AND OUTFLOW. HOWEVER...SOME FLATTENING IS NOTED WITHIN THE PAST SIX HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE BAND IN ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. THIS SLIGHT FLATTENING AND PASSAGE OVER SUB 26C WATER PROMPTS A CONTINUED FORECAST OF INCREMENTAL WEAKENING. OBJECTIVE AID GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY PACKED TOWARDS CONTINUED WESTWARD MOVEMENT...WITH THE BAM SUITE NO LONGER THE RIGHT OUTLIERS. A WESTWARD TRACK IS THEREFORE FORECAST...WITH LITTLE CHANGE NEEDED FROM THE PAST TRACK. A FIX SPEED OF 18 KNOTS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO 96 HOURS...AFTER WHICH SOME SLOWING MAY OCCUR DUE TO RIDGE WEAKNESS NEAR THE DATELINE. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/2100Z 17.4N 143.8W 90 KT 12HR VT 31/0600Z 17.6N 146.7W 85 KT 24HR VT 31/1800Z 17.7N 150.5W 85 KT 36HR VT 01/0600Z 17.8N 154.2W 80 KT 48HR VT 01/1800Z 17.8N 158.0W 80 KT 72HR VT 02/1800Z 17.9N 165.5W 75 KT 96HR VT 03/1800Z 18.1N 171.4W 75 KT 120HR VT 04/1800Z 18.4N 177.3W 75 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:56 2003 X-UIDL: 37275-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BG7CTTG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 05:53:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ULrnHc045498 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 05:53:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxMr091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 16:47:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 523739 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 16:47:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ULlpc9085174 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 16:47:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7ULlo7S008404 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 16:47:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7ULloT1008403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 16:47:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 16:47:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302147.h7ULloT1008403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 302147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 30 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS DISORGANIZED WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-16.5N BETWEEN 98W-103W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH WEAK 1011 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 14N. NO ORGANIZATION NOTED. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14.5N-17.5N BETWEEN 115W-118W WITH ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 15.5N120W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N129W MOVING W 5-10 KT. THIS FEATURE HAS WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 126W-130W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 22N114W NW TO 1027 MB HIGH NEAR 33N139W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N86W 11N110W 9N117W 14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-93W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 8N100W 11N110W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 95W-102W PLUS 130W-138W AND WITHIN 75/90 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 103W-106W. ISOLATED TSTM IS NEAR 12N87.5W. ISOLATED SHOWERS NEAR 17N140W... THE EASTERNMOST FRINGE BANDS OF HURRICANE JIMENA IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37276-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BJ2EJ4G4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:30:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMUZ3R002370 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:30:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511td053130; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 524214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMNCc9044860 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UMNB7S008897 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UMNAj4008892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 080 Kt, Gusts 100 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302223.h7UMNAj4008892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.8N6 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.8N6 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BJOEJHG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:30:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMUnhx002834 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:30:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcq6D081696; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 524208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMNCc9058852 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UMNB7S008895 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UMNADo008889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302223.h7UMNADo008889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 17.3N1 142.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 142.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.6N4 146.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.7N5 150.5W1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37278-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BJSEJKG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:30:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMUrhx002840 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:30:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxNR091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:21:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 524178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:21:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UML6c9070238 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:21:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UML67S008860 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:21:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UML6lA008859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:21:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:21:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302221.h7UML6lA008859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 17.3N1 142.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 142.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.6N4 146.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.7N5 150.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.8N6 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.8N6 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.9N7 165.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.1N0 171.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.4N3 177.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 142.9W6 HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 710 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN 31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302200Z7, 310400Z8, 311000Z5 AND 311600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:58 2003 X-UIDL: 37279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BKCEJTG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:31:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMV23R002435 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:31:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxNV091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 524211 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMNCc9089276 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UMNB7S008898 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UMNA2j008893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:23:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 16 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302223.h7UMNA2j008893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 RRC VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.9N7 165.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.1N0 171.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 18.4N3 177.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 142.9W6 HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 710 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN 31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302200Z7, 310400Z8, 311000Z5 AND 311600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:58 2003 X-UIDL: 37280-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BMCELRG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:32:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMWB3R002615 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:32:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxNX091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:28:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 524289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMSfc9019588 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UMSe7S008962 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UMSeB0008961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:28:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302228.h7UMSeB0008961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 302228 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED AT 17.4N 143.7W HAS FREQUENT CB WITHIN 50NM. SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS FOR DETAILS. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N159W WITH ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 12N159W 14N159W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. NEW TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N167W HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 12N166W 09N166W 11N168W 12N166W. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 13N145W 08N151W 08N156W 10N167W 05N179E AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 13N146W 07N152W AND WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 11N158W 09N163W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 09N168W 07N172W 05N179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND INCREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE 1...AXIS CENTERED 25S123W 21S140W AND CONTINUING SOUTHEAST AS FRONT. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF AXIS HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SURFACE FRONT...25S150W 19S158W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST. ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 25KT AND INTENSIFIED. CONVERGENCE ZONE 2...AXIS THROUGH 12S170W 11S180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF AXIS HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF POINT 10S177W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE CONVERGENCE ZONE 2 IN SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF POINT 12S156W HAVE MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN SIZE. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00A6IFP5TJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:55:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMtnhx007482 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:55:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxNv091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:44:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 524597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:44:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMijc9016762 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:44:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UMii7S009176 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:44:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UMiiGN009175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:44:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:44:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302244.h7UMiiGN009175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 302244 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS IS LOCATED ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 725 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00A64IYMTJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:06:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V06Hhx015271 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:06:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxPF091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:04:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 525555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:04:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V040c9104052 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:04:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V03x7S010076 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V03xbh010075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Special Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310003.h7V03xbh010075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 310003 TCMCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0000Z SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 143.8W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 143.8W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 142.9W FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.6N 146.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.7N 150.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.8N 154.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.8N 158.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.9N 165.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 45SE 45SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 18.1N 171.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.4N 177.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 143.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00A91J1WTJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:08:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V08H3R011073 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:08:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxPD091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 525548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V03Yc9089144 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V03X7S010056 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V03XLZ010055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Special Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310003.h7V03XLZ010055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 310003 TCDCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 2 PM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII AS OF 2 PM HST. AS JIMENA MOVES WEST TOWARDS ITS POINT OF CLOSEST APPROACH SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND EARLY MONDAY MORNING...IT HAS BECOME PRUDENT TO ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BIG ISLAND. THE NEXT FORECAST/ADVISORY PACKAGE WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 30/2100Z 17.4N 143.8W 90 KT 12HR VT 31/0600Z 17.6N 146.7W 85 KT 24HR VT 31/1800Z 17.7N 150.5W 85 KT 36HR VT 01/0600Z 17.8N 154.2W 80 KT 48HR VT 01/1800Z 17.8N 158.0W 80 KT 72HR VT 02/1800Z 17.9N 165.5W 75 KT 96HR VT 03/1800Z 18.1N 171.4W 75 KT 120HR VT 04/1800Z 18.4N 177.3W 75 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00ABAJ40TJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:09:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V09W3R011205 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:09:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcq7H081696; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 525552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V03oc9104042 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V03n7S010064 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V03n8l010063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:03:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Special Advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310003.h7V03n8l010063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 310003 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 2 PM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 ..A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII AS OF 2 PM HST... AS JIMENA MOVES WEST TOWARDS ITS POINT OF CLOSEST APPROACH SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND EARLY MONDAY MORNING...IT HAS BECOME PRUDENT TO ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BIG ISLAND. THE NEXT FORECAST/ADVISORY PACKAGE WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 PM HST. AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.8 WEST OR ABOUT 790 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...17.4 N...143.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37286-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00AGUJ8YTJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:12:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V0CUhx015930 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:12:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxPH091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:06:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 525584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:06:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V06Uc9089196 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:06:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V06U7S010092 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:06:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V06TX8010091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:06:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:06:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310006.h7V06TX8010091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 011A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 17.3N1 142.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 142.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.6N4 146.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.7N5 150.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.8N6 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 17.8N6 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 17.9N7 165.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.1N0 171.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.4N3 177.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 301800Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 142.9W6. HURRICANE (HR) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 710 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302200Z7, 310400Z8, 311000Z5, AND 311600Z1. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: INVALID TIMES FOR FORECASTED POSITIONS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00A13JP9TJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:22:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V0MJ3R012497 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:22:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxPL091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:14:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 525679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:14:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V0Efc9089226 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:14:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V0Ee7S010196 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:14:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V0EeZJ010195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:14:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:14:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310014.h7V0EeZJ010195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XII, Probability=12%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 011A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 17.3N1 142.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 142.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.6N4 146.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.7N5 150.5W1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00A1GJPFTJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:22:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V0MO3R012508 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:22:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcq7J081696; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:13:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 525662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:13:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V0Dec9070216 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:13:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V0Dd7S010179 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:13:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V0DdLk010178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:13:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:13:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 16 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310013.h7V0DdLk010178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 RRC VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 17.9N7 165.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.1N0 171.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.4N3 177.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 301800Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 142.9W6. HURRICANE (HR) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 710 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302200Z7, 310400Z8, 311000Z5, AND 311600Z1. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: INVALID TIMES FOR FORECASTED POSITIONS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37289-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00A3IJRHTJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:23:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V0Nb3R012633 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:23:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511uR053130; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:15:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 525697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:15:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V0Fjc9080720 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:15:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V0Fi7S010206 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:15:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V0FiRk010204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:15:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:15:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 080 Kt, Gusts 100 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310015.h7V0FiRk010204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.8N6 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 17.8N6 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009DFMW5E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:31:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1VC3R018865 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:31:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxRH091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:23:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 526680 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:23:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1NNc9089226 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:23:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V1NN7S010867 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:23:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V1NMsQ010866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:23:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:23:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310123.h7V1NMsQ010866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 011B 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 17.3N1 142.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 142.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.6N4 146.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.7N5 150.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.8N6 154.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 17.8N6 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 17.9N7 165.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.1N0 171.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.4N3 177.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 301800Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 142.9W6. HURRICANE (HR) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 710 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302200Z7, 310400Z8, 311000Z5, AND 311600Z1. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED 36 HOUR FORECASTED POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:03 2003 X-UIDL: 37293-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009E6MXBE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:31:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1Vthx024256 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:31:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxRL091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 526713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1PMc9036002 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V1PL7S010900 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V1PL20010897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 16 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310125.h7V1PL20010897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 RRC VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 17.9N7 165.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.1N0 171.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.4N3 177.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 301800Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 142.9W6. HURRICANE (HR) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 710 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302200Z7, 310400Z8, 311000Z5, AND 311600Z1. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED 36 HOUR FORECASTED POSITION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:03 2003 X-UIDL: 37294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009F5MY1E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1WL3R018954 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511vV053130; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 526722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1PNc9053406 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V1PM7S010908 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V1PMGt010903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 080 Kt, Gusts 100 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310125.h7V1PMGt010903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.8N6 154.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 17.8N6 158.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:03 2003 X-UIDL: 37295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009FHMY3E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1WOhx024311 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1BHcl087092; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 526719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1PMc9032764 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V1PL7S010901 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V1PLBr010899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:25:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310125.h7V1PLBr010899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XII, Probability=12%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 302200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 011B 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 17.3N1 142.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 142.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 17.6N4 146.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 17.7N5 150.5W1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:05 2003 X-UIDL: 37297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009ZBO1ME1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:56:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1u6hx027138 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:56:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxS1091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:52:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 527144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1qIc9032622 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:52:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V1qH7S011140 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:52:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V1qHlA011139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:52:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:52:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310152.h7V1qHlA011139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 310152 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING BULLETINS ON HURRICANE JIMENA...ABOUT 675 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO MOVING WEST AT 17 MILES AN HOUR. FOR DETAILS...PLEASE SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009XPPVVE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:35:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V2Zq3R025272 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:35:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxTR091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 527802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V2Wwc9079380 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V2Wv7S011664 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V2Wvkt011663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310232.h7V2Wvkt011663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 310232 TCMCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0300Z SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 145.3W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 80SE 80SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 145.3W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 144.5W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.7N 147.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.8N 151.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.9N 154.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.0N 158.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 166.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 45SE 45SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 18.4N 173.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 18.9N 179.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 145.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009XXPW3E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:36:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V2a03R025288 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:36:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UMqvA3094012; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 527779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V2WVc9033984 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V2WU7S011654 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V2WUIR011653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310232.h7V2WUIR011653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA43 PHFO 310232 TCDCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND AS OF 5 PM HST. A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BIG ISLAND ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT. JIMENA WILL PASS SUFFICIENTLY CLOSE TO BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE BIG ISLAND BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT. JIMENA REMAINS AT AN INITIAL STRENGTH OF 90 KNOTS BASED ON A 2 PM HST DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY OF 5.0 FROM PHFO AND HIGHER AFWA AND JTWC INTENSITIES. THE EYE HAS FILLED NOTICIBLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND JIMENA APPEARS TO BE WOBBLING ALONG ITS TRACK...FIRST WEST NORTHWEST THEN DUE WEST WITH SUBSEQUENT IMAGERY. THE WOBBLING BEGAN AT THE SAME TIME FLATTENING WAS NOTICED ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CONVECTIVE AREA. JIMENA CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST ACROSS SUB 26C WATER. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY PACKED TOWARDS CONTINUED WESTWARD MOVEMENT...WITH THE FORECAST TRACK SLIGHTLY LEFT OF BAM MEDIUM THROUGH 48 HOURS...THEN FOLLOWING THAT GUIDANCE CLOSELY AFTERWARDS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY STRONG TO KEEP JIMENA ON A GENERAL WESTERLY COURSE...AT LEAST THROUGH 170W. AN INITIAL SPEED OF 16 KNOTS IS INCREASED SLIGHTLY 48 HOURS THROUGH 72 HOURS AS SYSTEM WEAKENING CONTINUES. AN EXPECTED WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE NEAR THE DATELINE ACCOUNTS FOR A SLOWDOWN AT 96 AND 120 HOURS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTH. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/0300Z 17.6N 145.3W 90 KT 12HR VT 31/1200Z 17.7N 147.9W 85 KT 24HR VT 01/0000Z 17.8N 151.2W 85 KT 36HR VT 01/1200Z 17.9N 154.8W 80 KT 48HR VT 02/0000Z 18.0N 158.7W 80 KT 72HR VT 03/0000Z 18.1N 166.6W 75 KT 96HR VT 04/0000Z 18.4N 173.7W 70 KT 120HR VT 05/0000Z 18.9N 179.7W 65 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009ZGPY0E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:37:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V2bA3R025355 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:37:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511wR053130; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 527792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V2Wpc9079366 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V2Wo7S011659 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V2WoXR011658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:32:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310232.h7V2WoXR011658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 310232 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII AS OF 5 PM HST... ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... HURRICANE JIMENA IS ON TRACK TO PASS CLOSELY TO THE SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. JIMENA WILL PASS SUFFICIENTLY CLOSE TO BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE BIG ISLAND BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT. AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.3 WEST OR ABOUT 660 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...17.6 N...145.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:07 2003 X-UIDL: 37304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009N6QP3E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:53:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V2rN3R027278 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:53:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1BHeB087092; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:50:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 528200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:50:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V2oAc9040224 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:50:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V2o97S011827 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:50:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V2o9wC011826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:50:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:50:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Advisory Number 13...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310250.h7V2o9wC011826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 310249 CCA TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 13...CORRECTED NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 CORRECTED FOR NEXT ISSUANCE TIME. ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII AS OF 5 PM HST... ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... HURRICANE JIMENA IS ON TRACK TO PASS CLOSELY TO THE SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. JIMENA WILL PASS SUFFICIENTLY CLOSE TO BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE BIG ISLAND BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT. AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.3 WEST OR ABOUT 660 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...17.6 N...145.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB. THE NEXT REGULAR ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST WITH AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 8 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:08 2003 X-UIDL: 37309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009LJTV8E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:01:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V41q3R034567 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:01:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxW5091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:54:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 529232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:54:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V3shc9035944 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:54:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V3sg7S012412 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:54:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V3sgA4012411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:54:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:54:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310354.h7V3sgA4012411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 310354 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 31 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 99W/100W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS DISORGANIZED WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-16.5N BETWEEN 98W-103W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 115W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A 1009 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 15N. DEEP CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DISSIPATED LEAVING AN EXPOSED SWIRL AT THE LOW CENTER. ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N126W MOVING W 5-10 KT. THIS FEATURE HAS WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY. AN EXPOSED SWIRL IS NOTED AT THE LOW CENTER. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 22N114W NW TO 1028 MB HIGH NEAR 34N142W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 11N100W 9N120W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 105W-108W...AND FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 100W-103W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 88W-90W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:09 2003 X-UIDL: 37310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009DRVJWE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:38:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V4cAhx045591 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:38:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxXR091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:31:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 529859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V4Uxc9041080 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V4Uw7S012727 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V4Uwtx012726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:30:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310430.h7V4Uwtx012726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 310430 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AREAS OF CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST AND 1450 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD WITH NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL LIKELY BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:09 2003 X-UIDL: 37311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009ORVWXE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:46:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V4jxhx046307 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:46:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V1BHhb087092; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:39:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 530236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:39:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V4dkc9047064 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:39:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V4dj7S012806 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:39:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V4djoo012805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:39:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:39:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310439.h7V4djoo012805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 310400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- NEAR 17.6N4 144.5W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 144.5W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.7N5 147.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.8N6 151.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.9N7 154.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.0N9 158.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 18.1N0 166.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 18.4N3 173.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.9N8 179.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 310000Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.6N4 144.5W4 HURRICANE (HR) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 630 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 310000Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311000Z5, 311600Z1, 312200Z8 AND 010400Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:10 2003 X-UIDL: 37312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009R8VZ6E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:47:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V4lRhx046487 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:47:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U5111p053130; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 530339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V4ffc9013492 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V4fe7S012850 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V4fe0x012847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310441.h7V4fe0x012847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 310400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- NEAR 17.6N4 144.5W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 144.5W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 17.7N5 147.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.8N6 151.2W9 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:10 2003 X-UIDL: 37313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009SUW0XE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:48:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V4mS3R038816 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:48:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxZl091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 530333 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V4fec9013490 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V4fd7S012840 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V4fdGi012838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 270 Deg/ 19 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310441.h7V4fdGi012838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 310400 RRC VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 18.1N0 166.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 18.4N3 173.7W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.9N8 179.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 310000Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.6N4 144.5W4 HURRICANE (HR) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 630 NM EAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 310000Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311000Z5, 311600Z1, 312200Z8 AND 010400Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:10 2003 X-UIDL: 37314-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009TDW1LE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:48:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V4mrhx046652 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 12:48:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V43rlj094018; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 530336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V4fec9087884 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V4fd7S012841 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V4fdf2012839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 23:41:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 085 Kt, Gusts 105 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310441.h7V4fdf2012839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 310400 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.9N7 154.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.0N9 158.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:12 2003 X-UIDL: 37316-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG0090DZY4E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:13:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V6DB3R048600 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:13:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwct091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:07:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 532375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:07:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V670c9024044 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:07:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V66x7S013723 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:06:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V66xff013722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:06:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:06:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Intermediate Advisory Number 13a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310606.h7V66xff013722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 310606 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 8 PM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... HURRICANE JIMENA IS ON TRACK TO PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. AT 8 PM HST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 146.3 WEST OR ABOUT 585 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM HST POSITION...17.6 NORTH 146.3 WEST. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:12 2003 X-UIDL: 37317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009GI0WUE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:34:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V6Xx3R051009 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:34:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U5112v053130; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 532632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V6M1c9036008 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V6M07S013861 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V6M0Mk013859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310622.h7V6M0Mk013859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 310600 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z AUG/010600Z SEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/310251ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N02 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 595 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 310300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 152.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 153.5E4, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. RECENT ANIMATED MUTLISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING INTO THE CENTER. CHUUK HAS BEEN REPORTING SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS OF 12 TO 14 KNOTS IN THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. FURTHERMORE, THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE LINKED UP WITH EASTERLY FLOW TO THE NORTH FROM THE TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST FURTHER ENHANCING OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:14 2003 X-UIDL: 37323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009294Q0E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:56:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V7uK3R060280 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:56:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwfV091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 02:50:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 533710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 02:50:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V7o6c9104112 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 02:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V7o57S014652 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 02:50:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V7o54v014651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 02:50:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 02:50:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310750.h7V7o54v014651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 310749 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA LOCATED ABOUT 590 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 17 MPH. FOR DETAILS...PLEASE SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:14 2003 X-UIDL: 37324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009QI6I7E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:34:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V8Yohx076958 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:34:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5Dvf3045012; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 534135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V8Uic9019470 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V8Ui7S015262 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V8UiAk015261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310830.h7V8UiAk015261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 310830 TCMCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0900Z SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 147.0W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 147.0W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 146.2W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.9N 149.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.0N 153.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.0N 156.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.2N 159.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 166.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.9N 175.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.0N 176.0E MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 147.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z FORECASTER CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:15 2003 X-UIDL: 37326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009VU6M5E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:37:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V8bBhx077307 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwgP091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:31:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 534138 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V8V2c9019480 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V8V17S015276 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V8V16n015275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:31:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310831.h7V8V16n015275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 310830 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.0 WEST JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...17.8 N...147.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 971 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST...WITH AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 2 AM HST. FORECASTER CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:15 2003 X-UIDL: 37327-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH0097P87QE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 17:11:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V9Bkhx082061 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 17:11:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvfZ045012; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:08:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 534752 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:08:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V98Ac9088038 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:08:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V9897S015643 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:08:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V989jO015642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:08:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:08:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310908.h7V989jO015642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 310907 TCDCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SAT AUG 30 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA REMAINS AT 90 KNOTS BASED ON AN 8 PM HST DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY OF 5.0 FROM PHFO...SAB AND JTWC. INITIAL MOTION WAS 270/15 KT...WHICH IS THE SAME AS 6 HOURS AGO. UW-CIMSS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT JIMENA IS ENCOUNTERING A SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR OF 10 TO 15 KT. OUTFLOW ALOFT APPEARS TO BE IMPEDED ON ITS WESTERN SIDE BECAUSE OF THE SHEAR. THE EYE IS NOT DISCERNABLE ON IR DATA...BUT AN SSMI PASS AT 0708Z SHOWS THE EYEWALL BEING PARTIALLY OPEN ON THE SOUTH SIDE. THIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING...PROBABLY BECAUSE OF THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE RELATIVELY COOL SSTS OVER WHICH JIMENA IS PASSING. THE RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WAS EXTEND OUT TO 120 NM TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST OF JIMENA. THIS WAS BASED ON DATA PROVIDED BY UW-CIMSS WHICH ADJUSTS CLOUD MOTION DOWN TO THE SURFACE. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY PACKED WITH ALL AIDES PUTTING JIMENA ON A WESTWARD TRACK. THE FORECAST TRACK IS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS...OR PRETTY MUCH DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE AIDES. THE SLOW DECREASE IN INTENSITY ALSO REMAINS THE SAME. FORECASTER CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/0900Z 17.8N 147.0W 90 KT 12HR VT 31/1800Z 17.9N 149.6W 85 KT 24HR VT 01/0600Z 18.0N 153.0W 85 KT 36HR VT 01/1800Z 18.0N 156.4W 80 KT 48HR VT 02/0600Z 18.2N 159.7W 80 KT 72HR VT 03/0600Z 18.3N 166.5W 75 KT 96HR VT 04/0600Z 18.9N 175.2W 70 KT 120HR VT 05/0600Z 20.0N 176.0E 65 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:16 2003 X-UIDL: 37330-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009MX8JPE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 17:19:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V9Ivhx083125 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 17:18:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwiR091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:14:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 534824 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:14:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V9EPc9036530 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:14:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V9EO7S015730 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:14:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V9EOgO015729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:14:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:14:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310914.h7V9EOgO015729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 310914 CCA TCMCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0900Z SUN AUG 31 2003 CORRECTION ADDS 12 FT SEAS RADII ONLY HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 147.0W AT 31/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..140NE 80SE 80SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 147.0W AT 31/0900Z AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 146.2W FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.9N 149.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.0N 153.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.0N 156.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.2N 159.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.3N 166.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.9N 175.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.0N 176.0E MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 147.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z FORECASTER CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:17 2003 X-UIDL: 37331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009X5AGWE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:00:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VA0P3R075832 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:00:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U5114b053130; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:51:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 535200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:51:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V9pDc9032124 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:51:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V9pC7S016084 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:51:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V9pCWH016083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:51:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:51:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310951.h7V9pCWH016083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 310951 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 31 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 102W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS DISORGANIZED. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 99W-101W. ..1009 MB LOW IS NEAR 15N116W. DEEP CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DISSIPATED SHOWING AN EXPOSED CENTER. ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N126W MOVING W 5-10 KT. THIS FEATURE HAS WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY. AN EXPOSED SWIRL IS NOTED AT THE LOW CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED W OF THE CENTER FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 128W-131W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 22N117W NW TO 1029 MB HIGH NEAR 35N143W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 11N100W 8N120W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-99W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 74W-78W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO WITHIN 30 NM OF 18N104W 15N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 99W-2101W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 88W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 14N-15N BETWEEN 93W-95W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:17 2003 X-UIDL: 37332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009ZAAI8E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:01:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VA1F3R075972 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:01:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwit091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 535233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V9tac9054900 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V9tZ7S016112 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V9tZZr016111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310955.h7V9tZZr016111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 310955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC AUGUST 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0800 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 17.9N 146.6W AT 31/0800 UTC BASED ON IR IMAGERY AND A RECENT SSMI PASS HAD OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN 35 NM OF THE CENTER AND ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB ELSEWHERE WITHIN 80 NM OF THE CENTER. SEE LATEST BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 13N147W MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 11N167W MOVED WEST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10N171W 07N178W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB...WHICH WERE JUST SOUTH OF AREA...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 26S141W AND MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 13S157W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:19 2003 X-UIDL: 37334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009O4DOJE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 19:09:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VB9mhx097566 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 19:09:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwkN091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:02:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 535917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VB2Zc9009988 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:02:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VB2Y7S016686 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:02:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VB2Yej016685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:02:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:02:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311102.h7VB2Yej016685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 311102 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN AUG 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL LIKELY BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:19 2003 X-UIDL: 37337-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009CXFW5E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 19:57:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VBvZ3R093371 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 19:57:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwkn091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:52:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 536345 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:52:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VBq6c9041090 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:52:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VBq57S017116 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:52:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VBq5Fs017115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:52:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 06:52:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Intermediate Advisory Number 14a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311152.h7VBq5Fs017115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 311151 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 2 AM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 2 AM HST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 147.8 WEST OR ABOUT 490 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM HST POSITION...17.8 N...147.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 971 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST. FORECASTER CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:22 2003 X-UIDL: 37345-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009WFL4OE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:50:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VDoh3R012139 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:50:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwoD091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:48:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 538111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VDmFc9087942 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VDmE7S018287 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:48:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VDmErh018286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:48:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:48:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311348.h7VDmErh018286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 311348 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA IS LOCATED ABOUT 445 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 17 MPH. FOR DETAILS...PLEASE SEE THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:23 2003 X-UIDL: 37349-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009LKN2AE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:32:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VEWU3R018320 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:32:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvjT045012; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:29:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 538664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:29:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VETac9053484 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VETZ7S018661 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VETZhN018660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:29:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311429.h7VETZhN018660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 311429 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.5 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...18.0 N...148.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 971 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:23 2003 X-UIDL: 37351-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009VVN6LE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:35:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VEZ43R018697 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:35:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvjV045012; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 538690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VEW9c9057828 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VEW97S018739 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VEW8GJ018738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311432.h7VEW8GJ018738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 311431 TCDCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA INTENSITY REMAINS AT 90 KNOTS WITH DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITIES OF 4.5 FROM PHFO AND SAB...AND 5.0 FROM JTWC. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/15 KT. BOTH INTENSITY AND MOVEMENT REMAIN UNCHANGED FROM 6 AND 12 HOURS AGO. UW-CIMSS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT JIMENA CONTINUES TO ENCOUNTER A SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR OF ABOUT 12 KT. OUTFLOW ALOFT IS IMPEDED ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF JIMENA BECAUSE OF THE SHEAR. A TRMM PASS AT 0907Z CENTERING JIMENA AT 17.9N 146.4W SHOWED THAT THE EYEWALL WAS OPEN ON THE SOUTH SIDE. THIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN A WEAKENING PHASE...PROBABLY BECAUSE OF THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE RELATIVELY COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER WHICH JIMENA IS PASSING. THE 120 NM RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST QUADRANTS STILL LOOKS REASONABLE. THIS DISTANCE IS BASED ON DATA PROVIDED BY UW-CIMSS...WHICH TAKE THE WINDS AT CLOUD LEVEL AND ADJUSTS THEM DOWN TO THE SURFACE. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY PACKED WITH ALL AIDES KEEPING JIMENA ON A WESTWARD TRACK. THE FORECAST TRACK IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK CLOSE TO GUNA AND GUNS. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY...PER ALL MODEL GUIDANCE. FORECASTER CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/1500Z 18.0N 148.5W 90 KT 12HR VT 01/0000Z 18.1N 151.1W 80 KT 24HR VT 01/1200Z 18.1N 154.5W 80 KT 36HR VT 02/0000Z 18.2N 157.8W 75 KT 48HR VT 02/1200Z 18.4N 161.2W 75 KT 72HR VT 03/1200Z 18.6N 168.1W 70 KT 96HR VT 04/1200Z 19.1N 175.4W 65 KT 120HR VT 05/1200Z 20.0N 177.9E 65 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:24 2003 X-UIDL: 37352-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009XPN76E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:35:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VEZR3R018763 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:35:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwpJ091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:31:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 538676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VEV2c9053500 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VEV17S018717 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VEV1FE018716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:31:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311431.h7VEV1FE018716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 311430 TCMCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 1500Z SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 148.5W AT 31/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..140NE 80SE 80SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 148.5W AT 31/1500Z AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 147.7W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.1N 151.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.1N 154.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.2N 157.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.4N 161.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.6N 168.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.1N 175.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 20.0N 177.9E MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 148.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z FORECASTER CRAIG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:24 2003 X-UIDL: 37354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009CIO9ZE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:58:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VEwb3R021975 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:58:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwrZ091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:53:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 539098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:53:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VErEc9098956 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:53:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VErD7S018983 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:53:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VErDeS018982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:53:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:53:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311453.h7VErDeS018982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 311453 CCA TCDCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 CORRECTION CHANGES THE LAT/LONG FOR THE 0907Z TRMM FIX ONLY HURRICANE JIMENA INTENSITY REMAINS AT 90 KNOTS WITH DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITIES OF 4.5 FROM PHFO AND SAB...AND 5.0 FROM JTWC. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/15 KT. BOTH INTENSITY AND MOVEMENT REMAIN UNCHANGED FROM 6 AND 12 HOURS AGO. UW-CIMSS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT JIMENA CONTINUES TO ENCOUNTER A SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR OF ABOUT 12 KT. OUTFLOW ALOFT IS IMPEDED ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF JIMENA BECAUSE OF THE SHEAR. A TRMM PASS AT 0907Z CENTERING JIMENA AT 17.8N 147.1W SHOWED THAT THE EYEWALL WAS OPEN ON THE SOUTH SIDE. THIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN A WEAKENING PHASE...PROBABLY BECAUSE OF THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE RELATIVELY COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER WHICH JIMENA IS PASSING. THE 120 NM RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST QUADRANTS STILL LOOKS REASONABLE. THIS DISTANCE IS BASED ON DATA PROVIDED BY UW-CIMSS...WHICH TAKE THE WINDS AT CLOUD LEVEL AND ADJUSTS THEM DOWN TO THE SURFACE. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY PACKED WITH ALL AIDES KEEPING JIMENA ON A WESTWARD TRACK. THE FORECAST TRACK IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK CLOSE TO GUNA AND GUNS. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY...PER ALL MODEL GUIDANCE. FORECASTER CRAIG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/1500Z 18.0N 148.5W 90 KT 12HR VT 01/0000Z 18.1N 151.1W 80 KT 24HR VT 01/1200Z 18.1N 154.5W 80 KT 36HR VT 02/0000Z 18.2N 157.8W 75 KT 48HR VT 02/1200Z 18.4N 161.2W 75 KT 72HR VT 03/1200Z 18.6N 168.1W 70 KT 96HR VT 04/1200Z 19.1N 175.4W 65 KT 120HR VT 05/1200Z 20.0N 177.9E 65 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:25 2003 X-UIDL: 37357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009AWQABE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 23:42:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VFg33R029987 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 23:42:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwtB091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:33:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 539850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:33:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VFXJc9062948 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:33:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VFXI7S019434 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:33:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VFXIfu019433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:33:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:33:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311533.h7VFXIfu019433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 311533 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 31 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 105W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 16N117W NEAR STATIONARY. LOW LEVEL CENTER REMAINS EXPOSED WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N127W NEAR STATIONARY. ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 125W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N138W TO 24N125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N87W 11N97W 11N110W 9N121W 12N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 109W...WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 123W...AND WITHIN 120/150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 101W...WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 118W...WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 80W...WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 133W...WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 134W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 120W AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO S OF 21N W OF 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N106W TO 15N111W. LARGE CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE N OF THE AXIS TO THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 110W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:26 2003 X-UIDL: 37361-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009CYSA5E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 00:25:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VGPEhx049544 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 00:25:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwu5091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 11:18:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 540409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 11:18:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VGIGc9036980 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 11:18:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VGIC7S019926 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 11:18:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VGICSm019925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 11:18:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 11:18:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311618.h7VGICSm019925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 311617 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN AUG 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL LIKELY BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:27 2003 X-UIDL: 37363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009GAX08E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:07:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VI7F3R052625 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:07:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw03091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:03:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 542124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:03:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VI3Hc9098880 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:03:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VI3H7S021183 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:03:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VI3GbJ021182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:03:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:03:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Intermediate Advisory Number 15a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311803.h7VI3GbJ021182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 311803 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 8 AM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 8 AM HST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.8 WEST OR ABOUT 370 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 AM HST POSITION...18.0 N...148.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009O1Z55E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:53:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VIrQhx070166 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:53:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw1L091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:51:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 542903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VIpcc9031814 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VIpc7S021771 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VIpc2R021770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:51:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Intermediate Advisory Number 15a...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311851.h7VIpc2R021770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 311851 CCA TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A...CORRECTED NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 850 AM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 CORRECTED FOR REPEATED POSITION IN SECOND TO LAST PARAGRAPH. ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 8 AM HST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 149.8 WEST OR ABOUT 370 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 AM HST POSITION...18.1 N...149.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37369-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI0096R23LE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:57:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VJvH3R065517 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:57:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw2x091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:53:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 543919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:53:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VJrkc9098960 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:53:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VJrj7S022459 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:53:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VJrj4i022458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:53:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:53:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311953.h7VJrj4i022458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 311953 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA IS LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 20 MPH. FOR DETAILS...PLEASE SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD/DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37373-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI009H23QQE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:32:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VKWmhx083497 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:32:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw4h091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 544597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VKU6c9036970 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VKU57S023062 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VKU5bb023061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312030.h7VKU5bb023061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA43 PHFO 312029 TCDCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 85 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY OF 4.5 FROM PHFO AND A WEAKENING TREND IDENTIFIED BY AFWA AND SAB. INITIAL MOTION REMAINS WESTWARD...BUT FORWARD SPEED IS INCREASED SLIGHTLY TO 17 KNOTS USING AN 18 HOUR MOTION CALCULATION. JIMENA LACKS A VISIBLE EYE...AND SHEAR IS EVIDENT AS THIS SYSTEM BECOMES ELONGATED TO THE NORTHEAST. GFS INITIALIZATION FROM 06Z SHOWS AT LEAST 20 KNOTS OF SHEAR ACROSS THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND IMMEDIATELY TO THE EAST. GFS SHOWS THIS SHEAR ZONE LIFTS NORTHWESTWARD AS JIMENA MOVES TO THE WEST...SO THIS SHEAR WILL NOT LIKELY IMPACT JIMENA MUCH BEYOND 48 HOURS. WE ARE NOW RECEIVING AIRCRAFT DATA SHOWING THE CENTER OF JIMENA WAS NO FURTHER NORTH THAN 18.1N AT 1700 UTC. AIRCRAFT WIND DATA...WITH THE USUAL FLIGHT LEVEL TO GROUND REDUCTION...ALLOWS US TO CONTRACT THE INITIAL 34 KNOT RADIUS TO 100 NM...AND THE 64 KNOT RADIUS TO 25 NM. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY PACKED TOWARDS CONTINUED WESTWARD MOVEMENT. THE OFFICIAL TRACK LIES JUST TO THE RIGHT OF GUNS AND GUNA...BUT LEFT OF BAM DEEP AND CLOSELY FOLLOWING THE PREVIOUS TRACK. GFDL SHOWS JIMENA WILL REINTENSIFY AT 96 AND 120 HOURS AS WARMER WATER IS ENCOUNTERED...SO THE LONG RANGE WEAKENING TREND FROM EARLIER FORECASTS HAS BEEN CHANGED. JIMENA IS NOW FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH 72 HOURS...THEN REMAIN NEAR 70 KNOTS THROUGH 120 HOURS. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 31/2100Z 18.1N 150.9W 85 KT 12HR VT 01/0600Z 18.2N 153.5W 80 KT 24HR VT 01/1800Z 18.2N 157.0W 80 KT 36HR VT 02/0600Z 18.4N 160.5W 75 KT 48HR VT 02/1800Z 18.6N 164.0W 75 KT 72HR VT 03/1800Z 18.8N 169.8W 70 KT 96HR VT 04/1800Z 19.3N 176.2W 70 KT 120HR VT 05/1800Z 20.1N 177.4E 70 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37374-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI009J03RSE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:33:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VKXNhx083575 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:33:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw4l091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 544606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VKURc9032674 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VKUR7S023072 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VKUQvl023071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312030.h7VKUQvl023071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 312030 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.9 WEST OR ABOUT 305 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...18.1 N...150.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:32 2003 X-UIDL: 37375-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI009J13RSE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:33:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VKXNhx083574 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:33:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw4n091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 544610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VKUbc9013598 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VKUa7S023077 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VKUaps023076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:30:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312030.h7VKUaps023076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 312030 TCMCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 2100Z SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 150.9W AT 31/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 150.9W AT 31/2100Z AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 150.0W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.2N 153.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.2N 157.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.4N 160.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.6N 164.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 169.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 19.3N 176.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 20.1N 177.4E MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 150.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:33 2003 X-UIDL: 37379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI009PH79RE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:49:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VLmx3R081413 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:49:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5Dvpb045012; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:39:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 545838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:39:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VLdSc9085546 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:39:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VLdR7S023871 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:39:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VLdRX9023870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:39:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:39:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312139.h7VLdRX9023870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 312139 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 31 AUG 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 106W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE SHOWS NO ORGANIZATION. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 103W-106.5W. ..1010 MB LOW IS NEAR 15.5N117W DRIFTING SW. THIS IS A WEAK RATHER PERSISTENT LOW-CLOUD SWIRL. ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N119W. ..SECOND 1010 MB LOW IS NEAR 12N127W WITH LITTLE MOTION. THE FEATURE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AND IS DISSIPATING. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N136W TO 20N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 12N110W 11N124W 9N140W. SMALL TSTM IS S OF THE MAIN ITCZ NEAR WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 87W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12.5N BETWEEN 102W-110W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 119W-134W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N123.5W. DISSIPATING MODERATE CLUSTER NEAR 9.5N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 99W-103W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 14.5N108W. ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE NE GULF OF PANAMA. STRONG CLUSTERS ARE NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA NEAR 14.5N92W...13N87W AND 10.5N85.5W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:34 2003 X-UIDL: 37380-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI009V07FLE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:52:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VLqUhx094349 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:52:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw7X091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:44:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 545917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:44:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VLiUc9033788 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:44:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VLiT7S023927 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:44:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VLiTfQ023926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:44:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:44:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312144.h7VLiTfQ023926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 312200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- NEAR 18.1N0 150.0W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 150.0W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.2N1 153.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.2N1 157.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 18.4N3 160.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 18.6N5 164.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.8N7 169.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.3N3 176.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.1N3 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 311800Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.1N0 150.0W6 HURRICANE (HR) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311800Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010400Z5, 011000Z2, 011600Z8 AND 012200Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:34 2003 X-UIDL: 37381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI009W57GUE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:53:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VLrF3R082049 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:53:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5Dvpj045012; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 545994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VLkbc9004358 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VLka7S023962 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VLkaJM023959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 080 Kt, Gusts 100 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312146.h7VLkaJM023959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 312200 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 18.4N3 160.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 18.6N5 164.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:34 2003 X-UIDL: 37382-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI009WR7HKE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:53:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VLrehx094520 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:53:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw7d091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 545991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VLkbc9065780 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VLka7S023961 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VLkadK023956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 275 Deg/ 14 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312146.h7VLkadK023956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 312200 RRC VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 18.8N7 169.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 19.3N3 176.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.1N3 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 311800Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.1N0 150.0W6 HURRICANE (HR) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311800Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010400Z5, 011000Z2, 011600Z8 AND 012200Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:35 2003 X-UIDL: 37383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI009Z87JLE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:54:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VLst3R082279 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:54:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511DR053130; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 545997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VLkbc9085640 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VLka7S023963 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VLkaXx023960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:46:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312146.h7VLkaXx023960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 312200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. HURRICANE 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- NEAR 18.1N0 150.0W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 150.0W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.2N1 153.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.2N1 157.0W3 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:35 2003 X-UIDL: 37384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00C5B9EKAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:35:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VMZ4hx099221 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:35:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw9j091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 17:30:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 546776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 17:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VMUic9057680 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 17:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VMUh7S024605 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 17:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VMUhMH024604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 17:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 17:30:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312230.h7VMUhMH024604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 312230 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC AUGUST 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 18.3N 150.8W HAS OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT CB WITHIN 80 NM OF THE CENTER. SEE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 14N149W 08N150W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 02N173W 08N173W. LOW ALOFT...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 16N169W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 21N164W 18N165W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE LOW ALOFT IN SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT THROUGH 25S143W 18S159W THENCE SHEAR LINE THROUGH 09S180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS AND ISOLATED TOWERING CUMULUS WITHIN 120 NM OF FRONT...WITH BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 120 NM OF SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF POINT 13S158W MOVED SOUTH AT 05 KT AND DECREASED IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE. BIRCHARD/DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:37 2003 X-UIDL: 37389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CJTCFKAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:40:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VNeU3R096210 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:40:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvsJ045012; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:31:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 548047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:31:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VNVrc9105676 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:31:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VNVq7S025382 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:31:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VNVqoO025381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:31:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:31:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312331.h7VNVqoO025381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 312331 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...BUT FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:37 2003 X-UIDL: 37390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CNEDCNAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:00:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8100L3R098804 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:00:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwEP091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:58:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 548520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:58:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VNw8c9070160 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:58:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VNw77S025624 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:58:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VNw7bQ025623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:58:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 18:58:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Intermediate Advisory Number 16a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312358.h7VNw7bQ025623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 312357 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 2 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 2 PM HST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.3 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES. REPEATING THE 2 PM HST POSITION...18.1 N...151.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:39 2003 X-UIDL: 37399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CDTHPEAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:34:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h811YPhx020918 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:34:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511HV053130; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 20:31:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 549905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 20:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h811V7c9036592 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 20:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h811V77S026884 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 20:31:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h811V61l026883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 20:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 20:31:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010131.h811V61l026883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 010130 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA IS LOCATED ABOUT 220 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 18 MPH. FOR DETAILS...PLEASE SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD/DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:46:32 2003 X-UIDL: 37409-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CFQKQJAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:39:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812ds3R026070 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:39:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvwF045012; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:37:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 551091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812b7c9099918 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h812aO7S027677 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:36:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h812a9DZ027670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:36:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:36:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010236.h812a9DZ027670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 010235 TCMCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0300Z MON SEP 01 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 152.4W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 152.4W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 151.6W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.2N 154.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.3N 158.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.5N 161.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.7N 164.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.9N 168.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 19.2N 172.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 19.7N 177.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 152.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:46:32 2003 X-UIDL: 37410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CGQKQZAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:40:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812eB3R026147 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:40:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1jd091184; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:37:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 551094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:37:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812b9c9005288 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:37:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h812ad7S027680 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:36:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h812aEne027674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:36:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:36:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010236.h812aEne027674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 010235 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.4 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...18.2 N...152.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:46:33 2003 X-UIDL: 37411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CH1KR3AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:40:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812eE3R026153 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:40:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1jb091184; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:37:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 551088 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:37:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812b0c9053442 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:37:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h812ad7S027679 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:36:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h812aE2g027672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:36:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:36:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010236.h812aE2g027672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA43 PHFO 010236 TCDCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 75 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY OF 4.5 FROM PHFO...A WEAKENING TREND FROM PHFO...AND A WEAKENING TREND CONTINUED BY AFWA AND SAB. INITIAL MOTION REMAINS WESTWARD...BUT FORWARD SPEED IS DECREASED SLIGHTLY TO 15 KNOTS. JIMENA STILL HAS A CLOUD-FILLED EYE AS IT MOVES WEST ACROSS SUB 26C WATER. AIRCRAFT DATA CORROBORATES SATELLITE DERIVED IMPRESSIONS THAT JIMENA HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY...WITH AN OPEN EYEWALL NOTED BY AIRCRAFT ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY. SHEAR REMAINS EVIDENT AS CONVECTION AND OUTFLOW IS DEFORMED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. GFS SHOWS A SHEAR ZONE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS LIFTING NORTHWESTWARD AS JIMENA MOVES TO THE WEST...SO THIS SHEAR WILL NOT LIKELY IMPACT JIMENA MUCH BEYOND 36 HOURS. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY PACKED WESTWARD TO 48 HOURS...WITH BAMS AND BAM MEDIUM WANTING TO FORCE JIMENA WEST SOUTHWESTWARD BEYOND 24 HOURS. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST TRACK FROM LAST TIME...WITH BAM DEEP FOLLOWED CLOSELY BEYOND 48 HOURS. WIND RADII ARE UNCHANGED FROM SIX HOURS AGO. JIMENA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN INITIALLY...THEN REMAIN STEADY THROUGH 48 HOURS. JIMENA IS THEN FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AT 72 HOURS AND BEYOND AS WARMER WATER IS ENCOUNTERED AND THE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/0300Z 18.2N 152.4W 75 KT 12HR VT 01/1200Z 18.2N 154.8W 70 KT 24HR VT 02/0000Z 18.3N 158.0W 70 KT 36HR VT 02/1200Z 18.5N 161.1W 70 KT 48HR VT 03/0000Z 18.7N 164.3W 70 KT 72HR VT 04/0000Z 18.9N 168.5W 75 KT 96HR VT 05/0000Z 19.2N 172.9W 80 KT 120HR VT 06/0000Z 19.7N 177.2W 90 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 13:24:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CT8OCKAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:57:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h813vs3R043009 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:57:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvxH045012; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:50:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 552505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:50:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h813o8c9093220 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h813o77S028555 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h813o71C028554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:50:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010350.h813o71C028554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 010349 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 01 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 107W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS MOST ITS CONVECTION NEAR THE ITCZ AND W OF THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 104W-113W...AND FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 105W-110W. ..1009 MB LOW IS NEAR 15N117W DRIFTING SW. THIS IS A WEAK RATHER PERSISTENT LOW-CLOUD SWIRL. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-16N BETWEEN 119W-122W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N133W TO 20N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N92W 11N110W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 76W-78W...FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 104W-113W...AND FROM 11N-12N BETWEEN 126W-127W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 91W-93W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 128W-131W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 121W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 86W-93W EXTENDING 90 NM OVER THE OCEAN. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 13:24:10 2003 X-UIDL: 37425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CZWQCIAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:41:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h814f4hx059688 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:41:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1mV091184; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 23:31:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 552958 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 23:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h814V1c9013476 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 23:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h814V07S029031 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 23:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h814V06H029030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 23:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 23:31:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010431.h814V06H029030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 010430 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN AUG 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 15:12:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37438-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CQEV1HAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:22:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h816MNhx077951 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:22:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1pX091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:04:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 554585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:04:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8164Zc9092310 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:04:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8164Y7S000258 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:04:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8164YdQ000257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:04:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:04:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Intermediate Advisory Number 17a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010604.h8164YdQ000257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 010604 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 8 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 ..A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 8 PM HST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM HST POSITION...18.2 N...152.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER R BALLARD/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 15:12:58 2003 X-UIDL: 37440-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CZTVQ6AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:37:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h816bE1W073396 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:37:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1qv091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 554924 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h816Rrc9053098 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h816Rq7S000528 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h816Rp91000526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010627.h816Rp91000526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/010151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N9 125.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 152.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 150.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. A RECENT 312019Z6 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THE WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPARENT YESTERDAY HAS NOW WEAKENED INTO MORE OF A BROAD TROUGH; RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL 200 MB ANALYSIS STILL SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 15:12:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CFWWYJAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:03:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8173qMh084195 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:03:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1sR091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:00:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 555621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:00:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8170Wc9053502 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:00:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8170V7S000883 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:00:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8170Vns000882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:00:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:00:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010700.h8170Vns000882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 010700 TCECP HURRICANE JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 900 PM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT 9 PM HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.5 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 160 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND 160 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ NASH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 16:35:26 2003 X-UIDL: 37450-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00C0YXFOAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:14:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h817E8Mh086566 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:14:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1sT091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:01:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 555642 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:01:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8171Gc9033652 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:01:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8171G7S000906 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:01:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8171Fsf000905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:01:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:01:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010701.h8171Fsf000905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 010701 CCA TCECP HURRICANE JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE...CORRECTED DATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 900 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 AT 9 PM HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.5 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 160 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND 160 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ NASH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 16:35:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CQ8ZWLAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:07:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8187O1W091200 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:07:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1tp091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:02:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 556479 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:02:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8182hc9019586 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:02:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8182g7S001720 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:02:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8182gp9001719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:02:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:02:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010802.h8182gp9001719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 010802 TCECP HURRICANE JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 AT 10 PM HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED BY THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.8 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND 140 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ NASH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 16:35:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C7K02FAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:11:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h818AuMh097958 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:10:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1tt091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:07:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 556507 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:07:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8187Kc9085622 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:07:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8187G7S001758 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:07:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8187GW2001757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:07:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:07:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Cor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010807.h8187GW2001757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 010806 CCA TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK COR CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA WAS CENTERED ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO... HAWAII...MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 17 MPH. FOR DETAILS...PLEASE SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 16:35:30 2003 X-UIDL: 37454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C8B02QAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:11:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h818B31W091878 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:11:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1tj091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:55:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 556403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h817tec9048576 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h817td7S001452 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h817tdif001451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:55:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010755.h817tdif001451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 010755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA WAS CENTERED ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII...MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 17 MPH. FOR DETAILS...PLEASE SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 16:46:16 2003 X-UIDL: 37458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C4W16ZAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:35:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h818ZK1W096976 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:35:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1uX091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:30:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 556814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h818Utc9065584 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h818Us7S001983 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h818Us3m001982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:30:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010830.h818Us3m001982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 010830 TCMCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0900Z MON SEP 01 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 154.0W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT.......100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 154.0W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 153.2W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.1N 156.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.1N 159.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.2N 162.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.2N 165.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.2N 170.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 18.6N 174.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 19.3N 179.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 154.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z FORECASTER HOUSTON/R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 17:34:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CB71SGAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:48:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h818mDMh006956 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:48:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h818K7f1029108; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:43:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 557030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:43:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h818hpc9040398 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:43:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h818ho7S002133 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:43:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h818ho1l002132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:43:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:43:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010843.h818ho1l002132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 010843 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUING TO MOVE WEST AND WEAKENS SLIGHTLY... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. ALSO...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JIMENA. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...18.1N...154.0W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM HST. FORECASTER HOUSTON/R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 17:34:04 2003 X-UIDL: 37461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C9J2XFAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:12:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h819ChMh011482 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:12:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1wF091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:06:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 557325 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:06:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8196hc9064970 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:06:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8196g7S002366 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:06:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8196gSu002365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:06:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:06:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Discussion Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010906.h8196gSu002365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA43 PHFO 010906 TCDCP3 HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A VERY DISORGANIZED PATTERN OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH JIMENA. INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM PHFO AND AFWA WERE 4.0 OR 65 KT...AND 4.5 OR 77 KT FROM SAB AND JTWC. THE MOST RECENT AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATES THAT JIMENA STILL HAS A RAGGED...20 NM WIDE RAGGED EYE. INITIAL MOTION IS 270/15. BASED ON RECENT RECONNAISSANCE DATA...THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT A MOVEMENT TOWARD JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST MAY BE STARTING TO OCCUR. IT IS STILL UNCLEAR WHETHER THIS IS A LONG TERM MOVEMENT OR A TEMPORARY JOG TO THE LEFT. THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE REMAINS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ALONG A WESTWARD TRACK. THE MAIN STEERING INFLUENCE SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF JIMENA. OUR OFFICIAL FORECAST REFLECTS ONLY A SMALL ADJUSTMENT TO THE SOUTH AFTER 48 HOURS. THE UW-CIMSS WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT JIMENA IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF GREATER SHEAR. THE GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THE SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO IMPEDE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEAR TERM. AT THE SAME TIME...JIMENA WILL BE MOVING INTO AN AREA OF WARMER SSTS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAINTAINS A LEVELING OFF OF THE INTENSITY AFTER 12 HOURS. IN THE LONGER TERM...THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND CONDITIONS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN BECOME FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION. FORECASTER R BALLARD/HOUSTON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/0900Z 18.1N 154.0W 70 KT 12HR VT 01/1800Z 18.1N 156.4W 65 KT 24HR VT 02/0600Z 18.1N 159.5W 65 KT 36HR VT 02/1800Z 18.2N 162.6W 65 KT 48HR VT 03/0600Z 18.2N 165.8W 65 KT 72HR VT 04/0600Z 18.2N 170.3W 65 KT 96HR VT 05/0600Z 18.6N 174.8W 70 KT 120HR VT 06/0600Z 19.3N 179.3W 80 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 17:34:04 2003 X-UIDL: 37462-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CPO3ATAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:20:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h819Kn1W006242 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:20:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1wB091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:03:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 557282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:03:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81938c9048422 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:03:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h819377S002334 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:03:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81937JL002333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:03:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:03:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010903.h81937JL002333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 010902 TCECP HURRICANE JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1100 PM HST SUN AUG 31 2003 AT 11 PM HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.0 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND 135 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ NASH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 18:39:07 2003 X-UIDL: 37465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CX44UKAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:54:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h819sC1W012203 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:54:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1xD091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:46:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 557675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:46:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h819kqc9053050 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:46:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h819kp7S002742 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:46:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h819kp8U002741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:46:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:46:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010946.h819kp8U002741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 010946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... HURRICANE JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 18.1N 154.0W HAD FREQUENT CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 19N154W. SEE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13N145W TO 11N144W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 09N147W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 06N151W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 09N155W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 05N174W TO 08N169W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 14N172W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N179W TO 12N174W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE DISCUSSION OF HURRICANE JIMENA UNDER TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 21N174W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 21N176W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S180 TO 16S160W AND WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 15S160W TO 24S151W TO 28S130W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 18:39:08 2003 X-UIDL: 37467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CYF5AMAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:03:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81A3pMh020034 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:03:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1x9091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:42:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 557645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:42:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h819g3c9094004 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:42:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h819g27S002699 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:42:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h819g2ZQ002698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:42:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:42:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010942.h819g2ZQ002698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 010941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 01 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 108W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-21N BETWEEN 106W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 108W-115W. ..1009 MB LOW IS NEAR 15N117.5W DRIFTING W. THIS IS A WEAK RATHER PERSISTENT LOW-CLOUD SWIRL. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 15N-16N BETWEEN 119W-122W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N133W TO 20N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N92W 11N110W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 93W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 89W-92W...AND FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 92W-94W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 121W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 101W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER NW MEXICO FROM 29N-31N BETWEEN 111W-113W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 18:39:09 2003 X-UIDL: 37468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C7X5EOAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:06:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81A6LMh020487 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:06:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1xL091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:00:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 557765 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:00:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81A04c9065738 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:00:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81A037S002865 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:00:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81A03fd002864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:00:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 05:00:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011000.h81A03fd002864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 010959 TCECP HURRICANE JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1200 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT MIDNIGHT HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.2 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND 135 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ NASH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:05 2003 X-UIDL: 37483-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CBWC33AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:30:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81CUYMh045592 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:30:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u11J091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:45:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 558449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Bj0c9023902 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:45:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81Bix7S003742 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:44:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81BiuuA003740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:44:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:44:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011144.h81BiuuA003740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 011051 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:09 2003 X-UIDL: 37485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CPDCAFAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:35:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81CYw1W038055 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:35:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u11f091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:05:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 558662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81C5Nc9034372 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:05:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81C5M7S004050 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:05:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81C5MnH004049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:05:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:05:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Hurricane Jimena Intermediate Advisory Number 18a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011205.h81C5MnH004049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 011155 TCPCP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE JIMENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 2 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 ..JIMENA PASSING SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND AND WEAKENING SLIGHTLY... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. AT 2 AM HST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS RELOCATED BY AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AND RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. JIMENA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. A MORE WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JIMENA. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. REPEATING THE 2 AM HST POSITION...17.5N...154.5W. MOVEMENT TOWARD... WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST. FORECASTER R BALLARD/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:11 2003 X-UIDL: 37490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CR4DIVAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:01:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81D1Y1W041710 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:01:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u11L091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:47:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 558489 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:47:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Blgc9019618 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:47:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81Blf7S003768 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:47:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81BlfOx003767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:47:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 06:47:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011147.h81BlfOx003767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 011100 TCECP HURRICANE JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 100 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT 100 AM HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 154.3 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...AND 135 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ NASH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:15 2003 X-UIDL: 37495-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CAHGETAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:04:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81E411W051826 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:04:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u135091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:56:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 559986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:56:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Dufc9028958 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:56:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81Dua7S005349 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:56:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81DuauF005348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:56:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:56:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011356.h81DuauF005348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 011356 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON SEP 01 2003 HURRICANE JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH OF HILO... HAWAII...MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 17 MPH. FOR DETAILS...PLEASE SEE THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:15 2003 X-UIDL: 37496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CUJGPNAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:10:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EAUMh061712 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:10:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u13P091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:05:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 560110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:05:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81E5tc9089206 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:05:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81E5t7S005470 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:05:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81E5ss1005469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:05:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:05:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011405.h81E5ss1005469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 011405 TCECP HURRICANE JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT 400 AM HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.2 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 170 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...AND 120 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ NASH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:16 2003 X-UIDL: 37499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CPGH47AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:19:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EJF1W054465 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:19:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u12D091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:04:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 559293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:04:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81D4Gc9085152 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:04:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81D4F7S004840 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:04:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81D4FnX004839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:04:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:04:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011304.h81D4FnX004839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 011303 TCECP HURRICANE JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 300 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT 300 AM HST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.0 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 165 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...AND 125 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ NASH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:18 2003 X-UIDL: 37501-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C0XHT1AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:34:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EYAMh065504 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:34:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u14N091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:31:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 560409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EV7c9080894 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81EV67S005726 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81EV6p7005725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:31:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011431.h81EV6p7005725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 011430 TCMCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 1500Z MON SEP 01 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 155.5W AT 01/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 155.5W AT 01/1500Z AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 154.7W FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.1N 157.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.1N 161.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.1N 164.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.1N 167.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 20SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.5N 173.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 17.8N 179.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 18.4N 174.8E MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 156.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z FORECASTER HOUSTON/R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:19 2003 X-UIDL: 37505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CJPIL4AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:51:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EovMh068247 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:50:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u155091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:46:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 560646 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:46:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EkOc9053180 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:46:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81EkO7S005890 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:46:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81EkNT9005889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:46:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:46:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011446.h81EkNT9005889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 011445 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON SEP 01 2003 ..JIMENA PASSING SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND AND WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS CANCELLED AT 5 AM HST. AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.5 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF JIMENA. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...17.3N...155.5W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM HST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER HOUSTON/R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:19 2003 X-UIDL: 37506-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CSVJ7AAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 23:04:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81F4I1W061541 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 23:04:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvDD045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:59:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 560879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Exuc9065644 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81Exu7S006058 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:59:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81Extbl006057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:59:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:59:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011459.h81Extbl006057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA43 PHFO 011459 TCDCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST MON SEP 01 2003 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM AFWA AND SAB ARE 55 KT...65 KT FROM PHFO. MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WIND FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 55 KNOTS. THUS JIMENA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WITH THIS ADVISORY. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH JIMENA HAS SPLIT INTO SEVERAL SEPARATE AREAS...AND THE OVERALL PATTERN CONTINUES TO BECOME INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED. INITIAL MOTION IS 265/15. THE CENTER POSITION WAS RELOCATED BASED ON DATA FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...RADAR AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. RADAR SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CENTER HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND NOW APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHWESTERNMOST AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION WHERE THERE IS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CENTER. THE 34 KT WIND RADII WERE ADJUSTED BASED ON THE HURRICANE RESEARCH DIVISION/NOAA EXPERIMENTAL SURFACE WIND ANALYSIS FOR 1330 UTC. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF JIMENA WILL BUILD WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SHOULD SEND JIMENA ON A NEARLY DUE WEST TRACK...WHICH IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH ALL OF THE OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REFLECTS A SLIGHT ADJUSTMENT TO THE SOUTH...BASED MAINLY IN RESPONSE TO RECENT OBSERVED TRENDS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS MORE PROBLEMATIC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND THE 12Z SOUNDING FROM LIHUE SUGGESTS THAT JIMENA CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE SOUTHWEST SHEAR ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CYCLONE. THE GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL ONLY GRADUALLY RELAX...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO IMPEDE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEAR TERM. HOWEVER...JIMENA WILL BE MOVING INTO AN AREA OF WARMER SSTS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MAINTAINS A LEVELING OFF OF THE INTENSITY AFTER 12 HOURS. CONDITIONS MAY ONCE AGAIN BECOME FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION IN THE LONGER TERM...ASSUMING JIMENA SURVIVES THE CURRENT SHEARING ENVIRONMENT. FORECASTER R BALLARD/HOUSTON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/1500Z 17.3N 155.5W 60 KT 12HR VT 02/0000Z 17.1N 157.9W 55 KT 24HR VT 02/1200Z 17.1N 161.0W 55 KT 36HR VT 03/0000Z 17.1N 164.1W 55 KT 48HR VT 03/1200Z 17.1N 167.3W 55 KT 72HR VT 04/1200Z 17.5N 173.4W 60 KT 96HR VT 05/1200Z 17.8N 179.1W 65 KT 120HR VT 06/1200Z 18.4N 174.8E 70 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:19 2003 X-UIDL: 37507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CIEJIOAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 23:11:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81FAw1W062501 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 23:11:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u15V091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:06:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 560989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:06:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81F6wc9081752 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:06:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81F6v7S006211 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:06:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81F6ver006210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:06:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:06:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011506.h81F6ver006210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 011506 TCECP TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 500 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT 500 AM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 155.4 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 175 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...AND 120 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ NASH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:20 2003 X-UIDL: 37510-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C58M0FAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 00:05:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81G4u1W071077 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 00:05:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvE5045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:56:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 561538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81FuBc9014840 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81FuA7S006775 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:56:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81FuA6E006774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:56:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:56:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011556.h81FuA6E006774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 011555 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 01 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 109W/110W S OF 21N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 16N119W DRIFTING W. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N135W TO 26N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N90W 12N102W 14N110W 11N122W 12N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA TO 80.5W...WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 104W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 113W...WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 116W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 119W...WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W...WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 97W...AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 119W TO 121W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N104W TO 19N111W...WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15.5N108W TO 17N114W...WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 21N TO 23N...AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 9N130.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 92W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 3N TO 5N E OF 80W TO JUST OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:20 2003 X-UIDL: 37511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CAIM2QAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 00:06:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81G6K1W071286 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 00:06:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvEB045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:02:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 561723 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:02:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81G2Tc9062908 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:02:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81G2S7S006867 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:02:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81G2SWM006866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:02:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:02:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011602.h81G2SWM006866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 011602 TCECP TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 600 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT 600 AM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 155.5 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 180 MILES SOUTH OF HILO...AND 125 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ KODAMA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:21 2003 X-UIDL: 37512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CMBNXKAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 00:46:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GkL1W078870 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 00:46:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVdJ101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:37:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 562332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:37:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GbJc9087274 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:37:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81GbI7S007293 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:37:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81GbIW4007292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:37:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:37:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011637.h81GbIW4007292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 011636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:21 2003 X-UIDL: 37514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CMXOK7AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:00:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81H051W080842 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:00:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EMAeB078368; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 562557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GoZc9014786 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81GoY7S007527 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81GoYBH007523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011650.h81GoYBH007523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 011600 RRB --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.1N9 161.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.1N9 164.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.1N9 167.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:22 2003 X-UIDL: 37515-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CNWOKJAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:00:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81H0G1W080871 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:00:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvF5045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 562554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GoZc9093360 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81GoY7S007528 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81GoYre007525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 040 Nm Southwest Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011650.h81GoYre007525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 011600 RRC 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.5N3 173.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 17.8N6 179.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.4N3 174.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 011200Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.4N2 154.7W7 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011200Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012200Z5, 020400Z6, 021000Z3 AND 021600Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:22 2003 X-UIDL: 37516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CS8OMAAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:01:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81H1JMh090882 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:01:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVdf101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 562551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GoZc9087064 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81GoY7S007526 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81GoYT6007521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:50:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011650.h81GoYT6007521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 011600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 019 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 10E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- NEAR 17.4N2 154.7W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND AIRCRAFT PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 154.7W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.1N9 157.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:22 2003 X-UIDL: 37517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CTWOMRAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:01:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81H1aMh090958 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:01:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvF3045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 562481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GmWc9046948 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81GmW7S007494 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81GmVpO007493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011648.h81GmVpO007493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 011600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 019 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 10E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- NEAR 17.4N2 154.7W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND AIRCRAFT PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 154.7W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.1N9 157.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 17.1N9 161.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 17.1N9 164.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 17.1N9 167.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.5N3 173.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 17.8N6 179.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.4N3 174.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 011200Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.4N2 154.7W7 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011200Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012200Z5, 020400Z6, 021000Z3 AND 021600Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:23 2003 X-UIDL: 37518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C8FOTQAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:05:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81H5mMh091724 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:05:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVe1101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:00:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 562779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:00:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81H0Bc9105548 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:00:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81H0A7S007670 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81H0AVd007669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:00:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011700.h81H0AVd007669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 011659 TCECP TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 700 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT 700 AM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 155.7 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HILO...AND 125 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:23 2003 X-UIDL: 37519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CSUP3ZAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:11:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81HBuMh092769 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:11:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvFH045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 562976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81H8ic9093416 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81H8h7S007789 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81H8hnF007787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011708.h81H8hnF007787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z-021800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:23 2003 X-UIDL: 37520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CADPFDAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:18:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81HIgMh093766 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:18:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVeJ101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 562973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81H8ic9019634 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81H8h7S007790 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81H8hSj007788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 12:08:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011708.h81H8hSj007788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z-021800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:24 2003 X-UIDL: 37522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CJ5ROWAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 02:07:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81I7eMh001448 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 02:07:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVfn101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:01:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 563733 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:01:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81I1rc9054874 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:01:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81I1q7S008533 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:01:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81I1qG7008532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:01:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:01:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011801.h81I1qG7008532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 011801 TCECP TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 800 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT 800 AM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 156.2 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HILO...AND 130 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:26 2003 X-UIDL: 37528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C1TUCSAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:05:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81J5D1W000270 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:05:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGViv101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:02:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 564864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:02:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81J27c9016826 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81J267S009671 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:02:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81J26d1009670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:02:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:02:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011902.h81J26d1009670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 011901 TCECP TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 900 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT 900 AM HST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 156.5 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HILO...AND 140 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:27 2003 X-UIDL: 37532-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CYVXDQAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:10:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KAXMh020750 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:10:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvJf045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:07:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 566080 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:07:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81K7kc9057852 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:07:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81K7j7S010752 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:07:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81K7juO010751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:07:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:07:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tcecp Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012007.h81K7juO010751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA50 PHFO 012007 TCECP TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...POSITION ESTIMATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST MON SEP 1 2003 AT 1000 AM HST...THE POSSIBLE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS ESTIMATED USING THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.8 WEST. THIS IS APPROXIMATELY 225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HILO...AND 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND. THIS POSITION ESTIMATE IS CONSIDERED TO BE POOR DUE TO DISTANCE FROM THE SOUTH HAWAII RADAR. THIS WILL BE THE LAST RADAR POSITION ESTIMATE ISSUED FOR TROPICAL STORM JIMENA AS IT IS MOVING OUT OF RADAR RANGE. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:28 2003 X-UIDL: 37538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CTZYNBAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:37:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KbuMh025035 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:37:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVnH101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:32:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 566531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:32:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KWNc9100006 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:32:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81KWM7S011187 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:32:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81KWMNT011186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:32:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:32:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012032.h81KWMNT011186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 012031 TCMCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 2100Z MON SEP 01 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 156.6W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 40SE 40SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 156.6W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 156.0W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.5N 158.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.9N 161.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.5N 164.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.3N 166.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.6N 171.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 15.8N 176.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 16.1N 178.0E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 156.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z FORECASTER FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:28 2003 X-UIDL: 37539-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C15YR0AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:40:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Ke81W012965 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:40:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVnP101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:36:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 566647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:36:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KaOc9016712 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81KZw7S011244 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:36:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81KZSjM011240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:35:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:35:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012035.h81KZSjM011240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 012035 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON SEP 01 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES ON TRACK JUST SOUTH OF WEST AND AWAY FROM THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.6 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN STILL BE EXPECTED AS MOISTURE TO THE NORTHEAST OF JIMENA IMPACTS THE BIG ISLAND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...16.9 N...156.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER FARRELL NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37540-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C57YTQAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:41:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Kfl1W013220 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:41:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVnR101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:37:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 566668 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:37:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KbOc9105688 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:37:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81KbN7S011259 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:37:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81KbNCE011258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:37:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:37:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012037.h81KbNCE011258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 012035 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON SEP 01 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES ON TRACK JUST SOUTH OF WEST AND AWAY FROM THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.6 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN STILL BE EXPECTED AS MOISTURE TO THE NORTHEAST OF JIMENA IMPACTS THE BIG ISLAND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...16.9 N...156.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CAZYYSAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:44:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KioMh026093 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:44:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVnd101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:40:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 566728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:40:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KeWc9099066 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:40:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81KeV7S011319 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81KeV0T011318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:40:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012040.h81KeV0T011318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 012040 TCDCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON SEP 01 2003 AIR FORCE RECON INDICATES MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS AT 50 KT. SATELLITE AND RADAR AGREE WITH WEAKENING SYSTEM. MAIN CONVECTION IS DUE WEST OF CENTER...WITH SECONDARY CONVECTION NOW OVER THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THIRD CENTER WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER HAS WEAKENED... WITH NO NEW DEEP CONVECTION BEING GENERATED THERE. JIMENA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF DISSIPATION AT THIS TIME. INITIAL MOTION CONTINUES AT 260/15. THE CENTER POSITION WAS BASED ON DATA FROM RECONAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...WITH ONLY SLIGHT DIFFERENCES NOTED IN RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. TRACK GENERALLY FOLLOWS THE GFDL HURRICANE MODEL JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST...THEN GRADUALLY TURNING TOWARD DUE WEST WITH TIME. OTHER MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACK...WHICH WILL TAKE JIMENA FARTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUS THINKING. ALSO KEPT CLOSE TO GFDL INTENSITY FORECAST...WHICH CONTINUES THE GRADUAL DECLINE FOR JIMENA. OTHER MODELS ARE STILL TRYING TO REINTENSIFY SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE DATELINE. HAVE NOT COMPLETELY DISSIPATED JIMENA HOWEVER IN LIGHT OF THESE OTHER MODEL INDICATIONS...KEEPING IT AS A DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES OVER WARMER WATER TOWARD THE WEST OF THE ISLANDS. FORECASTER FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 16.9N 156.6W 50 KT 12HR VT 02/0600Z 16.5N 158.4W 45 KT 24HR VT 02/1800Z 15.9N 161.6W 40 KT 36HR VT 03/0600Z 15.5N 164.0W 35 KT 48HR VT 03/1800Z 15.3N 166.7W 30 KT 72HR VT 04/1800Z 15.6N 171.7W 30 KT 96HR VT 05/1800Z 15.8N 176.7W 25 KT 120HR VT 06/1800Z 16.1N 178.0E 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:30 2003 X-UIDL: 37544-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CP6ZCYAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:53:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KrJ1W014696 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:53:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVnp101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:49:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 566903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:49:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Kn8c9054824 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:49:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81Kn77S011400 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:49:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81Kn7Vl011399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:49:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:49:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012049.h81Kn7Vl011399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 012048 CCA TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON SEP 01 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES ON TRACK JUST SOUTH OF WEST AND AWAY FROM THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS CANCELED AT 11 AM HST. AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.6 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN STILL BE EXPECTED AS MOISTURE TO THE NORTHEAST OF JIMENA IMPACTS THE BIG ISLAND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...16.9 N...156.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER FARRELL NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:30 2003 X-UIDL: 37545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CV3ZIYAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:56:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Kut1W015122 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:56:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVnt101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:51:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 566949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:51:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Kpdc9046914 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81Kpc7S011433 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81KpcRK011432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:51:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012051.h81KpcRK011432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 012048 CCA TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST MON SEP 01 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES ON TRACK JUST SOUTH OF WEST AND AWAY FROM THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS CANCELED AT 11 AM HST. AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.6 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN STILL BE EXPECTED AS MOISTURE TO THE NORTHEAST OF JIMENA IMPACTS THE BIG ISLAND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...16.9 N...156.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:25 2003 X-UIDL: 37548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00CPQ1ZBAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:49:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81LntMh035473 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:49:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvMF045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:41:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 567509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:41:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Lf8c9029742 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:41:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81Lf77S012133 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81Lf7qT012132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:41:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012141.h81Lf7qT012132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 012140 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 01 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W/110W S OF 21N MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED TSTMS AND WEAK CYCLONIC ROTATION DUE TO STRONG SWLY FLOW TO THE S. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 106W-114W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 17N-22N BETWEEN 106W-110W. ..1010 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 15N119W DRIFTING WSW 5 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED TO THE W OF THE LOW FROM 15N-16.5N BETWEEN 121W-123W. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 30N140W 20N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N100W 13N110W 10N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 79W-84W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 98W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 140 NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 90W-105W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:30 2003 X-UIDL: 37549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00CAQ2G8AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:00:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81M06Mh037333 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:00:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvMb045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 567736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81LsQc9065620 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81LsP7S012369 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81LsPTa012365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012154.h81LsPTa012365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 012200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 17.0N8 156.0W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 156.0W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 16.5N2 158.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.9N5 161.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:30 2003 X-UIDL: 37550-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00CC22GGAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:00:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81M09Mh037347 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:00:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVpt101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:52:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 567694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81LqIc9041182 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81LqI7S012290 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:52:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81LqHH4012289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:52:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:52:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012152.h81LqHH4012289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 012200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 17.0N8 156.0W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 156.0W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 16.5N2 158.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.9N5 161.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.5N1 164.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.3N9 166.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.6N2 171.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.8N4 176.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.1N8 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 012200Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 156.6W8 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011800Z0 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020400Z6, 021000Z3, 021600Z9 AND 022200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00CGR2HEAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:00:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81M0m1W022908 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:00:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EMAi3078368; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 567741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81LsQc9045946 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81LsP7S012370 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81LsPel012367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Sea Height Information. Next Warnings At 020400z6, 021000z3, Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012154.h81LsPel012367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIII, Probability=18%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 012200 RRC SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020400Z6, 021000Z3, 021600Z9 AND 022200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00CH22HKAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:00:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81M0rMh037475 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:00:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvMd045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 567744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81LsVc9065634 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81LsU7S012383 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81LsU1O012382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:54:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 050 Nm Northwest Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012154.h81LsU1O012382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 012200 RRB 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.5N1 164.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.3N9 166.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.6N2 171.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.8N4 176.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.1N8 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 012200Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 156.6W8 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011800Z0 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00CX02VGAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:09:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81M9CMh038572 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:09:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Ieg7Z005278; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:05:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 567892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:05:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81M5Pc9032138 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:05:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81M5O7S012614 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:05:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81M5OeE012613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:05:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:05:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012205.h81M5OeE012613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 012205 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL STORM JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 156.6W HAD OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. ALSO ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 180 NM NORTH OF CENTER AND WITHIN 240 NM EAST OF CENTER. SEE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 40 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 11N149W 07N144W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...WERE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N172W 06N175W 07N180 13N180 17N276W 16N172W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE DISCUSSION OF HURRICANE JIMENA UNDER TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 21N178W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N168W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED SOUTH OF 25S...WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09S180 14S160W 25S145W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:32 2003 X-UIDL: 37554-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00CXR2WKAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:09:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81M9sMh038633 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:09:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVrB101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:07:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 567921 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:07:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81M7Zc9047402 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:07:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81M7Y7S012642 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:07:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81M7Yia012641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:07:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:07:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012207.h81M7Yia012641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 012207 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL STORM JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 156.6W HAD OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. ALSO ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 180 NM NORTH OF CENTER AND WITHIN 240 NM EAST OF CENTER. SEE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 40 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 11N149W 07N144W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...WERE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N172W 06N175W 07N180 13N180 17N276W 16N172W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE DISCUSSION OF HURRICANE JIMENA UNDER TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 21N178W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N168W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED SOUTH OF 25S...WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09S180 14S160W 25S145W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:33 2003 X-UIDL: 37555-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00CXZ2WRAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:10:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81MA01W023775 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:10:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVr7101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:06:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 567905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:06:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81M6Vc9041046 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:06:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81M6U7S012629 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:06:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81M6URV012628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:06:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:06:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012206.h81M6URV012628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 012206 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL STORM JIMENA CENTERED NEAR 16.9N 156.6W HAD OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. ALSO ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 180 NM NORTH OF CENTER AND WITHIN 240 NM EAST OF CENTER. SEE BULLETINS FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 40 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 11N149W 07N144W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...WERE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N172W 06N175W 07N180 13N180 17N276W 16N172W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE DISCUSSION OF HURRICANE JIMENA UNDER TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 21N178W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF 22N168W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED SOUTH OF 25S...WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09S180 14S160W 25S145W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:36 2003 X-UIDL: 37560-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HTY3MA0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:25:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81MPJMh040757 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:25:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvN3045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:22:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 568110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:22:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81MMUc9047526 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:22:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81MMT7S013017 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:22:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81MMTpu013016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:22:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:22:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012222.h81MMTpu013016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 012222 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON SEP 01 2003 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...WAS MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST AT 17 MPH. FOR DETAILS...PLEASE SEE THE LATEST CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:36 2003 X-UIDL: 37561-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HY53P40I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:27:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81MR1Mh040952 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 06:27:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVrN101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:21:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 568099 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:21:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81MLQc9047512 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:21:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81MLP7S012987 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:21:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81MLPvp012986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:21:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 17:21:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012221.h81MLPvp012986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 012221 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...IS LOCATED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART/NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:38 2003 X-UIDL: 37568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HAA7D354@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:46:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Nk5Mh052829 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:46:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EMAir078368; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:42:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 569032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:42:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81NgTc9029806 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:42:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81NgS7S014124 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:42:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81NgSrL014123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:42:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:42:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012342.h81NgSrL014123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 012342 CCB TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 135 PM HST MON SEP 01 2003 CORRECTION TO LAST PARAGRAPH ONLY ..JIMENA CONTINUES ON TRACK JUST SOUTH OF WEST AND AWAY FROM THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS CANCELED AT 11 AM HST. AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.6 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN STILL BE EXPECTED AS MOISTURE TO THE NORTHEAST OF JIMENA IMPACTS THE BIG ISLAND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...16.9 N...156.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER FARRELL NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:39 2003 X-UIDL: 37570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HCA7G250@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:48:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81NlxMh053046 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:48:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Mgjdh101086; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:37:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 568950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:37:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Nbpc9013212 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:37:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81Nbo7S014063 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:37:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81NboTs014062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:37:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:37:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012337.h81NboTs014062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA43 PHFO 012337 CCA TCDCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 135 PM HST MON SEP 01 2003 CORRECTION TO WND PARAGRAPH...FIRST LINE AIR FORCE RECON INDICATES MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS AT 50 KT. SATELLITE AND RADAR AGREE WITH WEAKENING SYSTEM. MAIN CONVECTION IS DUE WEST OF CENTER...WITH SECONDARY CONVECTION NOW OVER THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THIRD CENTER WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER HAS WEAKENED... WITH NO NEW DEEP CONVECTION BEING GENERATED THERE. JIMENA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF DISSIPATION AT THIS TIME. INITIAL MOTION CONTINUES AT 260 DEGREES 12 KT. THE CENTER POSITION WAS BASED ON DATA FROM RECONAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...WITH ONLY SLIGHT DIFFERENCES NOTED IN RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. TRACK GENERALLY FOLLOWS THE GFDL HURRICANE MODEL JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST...THEN GRADUALLY TURNING TOWARD DUE WEST WITH TIME. OTHER MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACK...WHICH WILL TAKE JIMENA FARTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUS THINKING. ALSO KEPT CLOSE TO GFDL INTENSITY FORECAST...WHICH CONTINUES THE GRADUAL DECLINE FOR JIMENA. OTHER MODELS ARE STILL TRYING TO REINTENSIFY SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES THE DATELINE. HAVE NOT COMPLETELY DISSIPATED JIMENA HOWEVER IN LIGHT OF THESE OTHER MODEL INDICATIONS...KEEPING IT AS A DEPRESSION AS IT MOVES OVER WARMER WATER TOWARD THE WEST OF THE ISLANDS. FORECASTER FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 16.9N 156.6W 50 KT 12HR VT 02/0600Z 16.5N 158.4W 45 KT 24HR VT 02/1800Z 15.9N 161.6W 40 KT 36HR VT 03/0600Z 15.5N 164.0W 35 KT 48HR VT 03/1800Z 15.3N 166.7W 30 KT 72HR VT 04/1800Z 15.6N 171.7W 30 KT 96HR VT 05/1800Z 15.8N 176.7W 25 KT 120HR VT 06/1800Z 16.1N 178.0E 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 08:34:40 2003 X-UIDL: 37571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HZ87IH4U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:49:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81NnQ1W035909 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:49:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81MgjeB101086; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:44:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 569085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:44:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81NiRc9057814 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:44:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81NiQ7S014149 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:44:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81NiQDY014148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:44:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 18:44:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012344.h81NiQDY014148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 012342 CCB TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 135 PM HST MON SEP 01 2003 CORRECTION TO LAST PARAGRAPH ONLY ..JIMENA CONTINUES ON TRACK JUST SOUTH OF WEST AND AWAY FROM THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS CANCELED AT 11 AM HST. AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.6 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN STILL BE EXPECTED AS MOISTURE TO THE NORTHEAST OF JIMENA IMPACTS THE BIG ISLAND LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...16.9 N...156.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 09:59:11 2003 X-UIDL: 37580-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00H1BCS84X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:43:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h821hFMh071019 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:43:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4dX105554; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:37:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 570675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:37:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h821bnc9023988 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:37:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h821bm7S015490 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:37:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h821bmWD015489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:37:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:37:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020137.h821bmWD015489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 020137 TCMCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0300Z TUE SEP 02 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 158.2W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 25SE 25SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 25SE 25SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 158.2W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 157.5W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.1N 160.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.5N 163.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 25NE 10SE 10SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.2N 165.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.1N 168.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.4N 173.2W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 15.6N 178.3W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 158.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z FORECASTER FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 09:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 37581-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HLPCU050@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:44:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h821iK1W052733 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:44:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4dZ105554; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:38:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 570685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:38:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h821cic9042670 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:38:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h821ch7S015505 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h821choX015504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:38:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020138.h821choX015504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 020138 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST MON SEP 01 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND MOVE OFF TO THE WEST... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.2 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...16.4 N...158.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER FARRELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 09:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 37583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00H9AD914X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:53:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h821rJ1W054213 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:53:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4dt105554; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:48:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 570876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:48:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h821mec9057682 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:48:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h821md7S015678 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:48:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h821mdPa015677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:48:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:48:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020148.h821mdPa015677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 020148 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON SEP 1 2003 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. FOR DETAILS...PLEASE SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER BULLETINS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. BURKE/BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 11:13:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00H4EF4H55@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 10:33:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h822Xo1W060910 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 10:33:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4gp105554; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:31:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 571928 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:31:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h822VDc9085070 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:31:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h822VC7S016351 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h822VCNk016350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:31:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020231.h822VCNk016350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 020230 TCDCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST MON SEP 01 2003 AIR FORCE RECON AND LOCAL SATELLITE FIX DATA INDICATE MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS AT 45 KT. MAIN CONVECTION IS NOW NORTH OF THE CENTER AND JIMENA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF GRADUAL DISSIPATION AT THIS TIME. INITIAL MOTION CONTINUES AT 260/14. THE CENTER POSITION WAS BASED ON DATA FROM LOCAL SATELLITE FIX AND RECONAISSANCE AIRCRAFT. ADDITIONAL FIXES TOO FAR UNDER CONVECTION TO NORTH OF CENTER...POSSIBLY DUE TO USE OF LARGE CLOUD BAND NORTH OF CENTER. CENTER IS INDICATED BY CLOUD BANDS CONVERGING JUST UNDER SOUTHERN EDGE OF CONVECTIVE OVERHANG. ALL FIX DATA AGREE ON CURRENT INTENSITY OF 45 KT. TRACK CLOSELY FOLLOWS GFDL HURRICANE MODEL JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST... WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD DUE WEST WITH TIME...AND IS WELL WITHIN ENVELOPE OF OTHER MODELS. ALSO KEPT CLOSE TO GFDL INTENSITY FORECAST...WHICH CONTINUES THE GRADUAL DECLINE FOR JIMENA. HAVE BOWED TO OTHER MODEL GUIDANCE BY NOT DISSIPATING JIMENA UNTIL AFTER 48 HOURS. FORECASTER FARRELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0300Z 16.4N 158.2W 45 KT 12HR VT 02/1200Z 16.1N 160.4W 40 KT 24HR VT 03/0000Z 15.5N 163.1W 35 KT 36HR VT 03/1200Z 15.2N 165.7W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 04/0000Z 15.1N 168.2W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 05/0000Z 15.4N 173.2W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 13:01:53 2003 X-UIDL: 37603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HDPIMP0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:49:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h823nX1W073036 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:49:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4jL105554; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:44:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 572972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:44:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h823i0c9036538 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:44:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h823hx7S017233 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:43:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h823hxi2017232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:43:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:43:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020343.h823hxi2017232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 020343 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 02 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 108W S OF 21N MOVING W 10 KT. A 1006 MB LOW IS ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 103W-108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 108W-112W. ..TROUGH IS LOCATED FROM 18N120W TO 12N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS LOCATED FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 123W-125W. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 32N140W 24N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N100W 13N110W 9N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-8N BETWEEN 81W-83W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 17N-18N BETWEEN 101W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 92W-97W...AND FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 98W-101W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 13:02:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37606-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HACJ7S4U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 12:02:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8242CMh096112 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 12:02:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4jt105554; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:54:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 573095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h823sMc9099012 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:54:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h823sL7S017373 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:54:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h823sLaH017372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:54:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:54:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020354.h823sLaH017372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 020400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- NEAR 16.5N2 157.5W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 157.5W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 16.1N8 160.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.5N1 163.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.2N8 165.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.1N7 168.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.4N0 173.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020400Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 158.2W6 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020000Z2 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPWN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021000Z3, 021600Z9, 022200Z6 AND 030400Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 13:02:03 2003 X-UIDL: 37607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00H58J7T4X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 12:02:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8242F1W075389 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 12:02:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h821BU6Z019694; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 573127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h823uPc9034374 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h823uO7S017399 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h823uOm4017397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020356.h823uOm4017397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 020400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- NEAR 16.5N2 157.5W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 157.5W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 16.1N8 160.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.5N1 163.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.2N8 165.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 13:02:04 2003 X-UIDL: 37608-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HDPJBO4U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 12:04:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8244QMh096509 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 12:04:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4jx105554; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 573124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h823uPc9099040 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h823uO7S017400 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h823uOPQ017398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:56:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020356.h823uOPQ017398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 020400 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.1N7 168.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.4N0 173.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020400Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 158.2W6 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020000Z2 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPWN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021000Z3, 021600Z9, 022200Z6 AND 030400Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 13:02:10 2003 X-UIDL: 37612-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00H0FL2H0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 12:42:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h824gAmV082695 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 12:42:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4kp105554; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 23:37:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 573782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 23:37:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h824bcc9004604 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 23:37:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h824bb7S017934 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 23:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h824bb5S017933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 23:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 23:37:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020437.h824bb5S017933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 020437 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:33 2003 X-UIDL: 37620-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00H21POG4X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 14:21:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h826LjmV002002 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 14:21:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EMAn1078368; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 575246 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8269Dc9004552 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8269C7S019096 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8269C2t019094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020609.h8269C2t019094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/020151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2, TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 020300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 150.4E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.6N6 150.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT A BROAD TROUGH REMAINS AT THE SURFACE. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A RECENT INCREASE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL 200 MB ANALYSIS STILL SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.6N3 140.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND A QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE ONLY BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:38 2003 X-UIDL: 37626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HBHUCL50@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:02:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8282b0Z032689 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:02:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4rB105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 02:58:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 576275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 02:58:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h827wPc9032694 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 02:58:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h827wO7S020188 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 02:58:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h827wOl2020187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 02:58:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 02:58:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020758.h827wOl2020187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 020758 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON SEP 1 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST ABOUT 16 MPH. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:40 2003 X-UIDL: 37631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00H2WVUW4X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:35:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h828ZEmV021525 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:35:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4rj105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:31:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 576569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h828V3c9032562 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h828V27S020707 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h828V1Gm020706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:31:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020831.h828V1Gm020706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 020830 TCMCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0900Z TUE SEP 02 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 160.0W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 25SE 25SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 25SE 25SE 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 160.0W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 159.2W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.6N 162.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.1N 165.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.0N 168.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.1N 171.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.4N 176.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 15.6N 178.1E...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 160.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z FORECASTER HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:41 2003 X-UIDL: 37634-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00H58WND55@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:52:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h828q10Z040697 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:52:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4sr105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 576826 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h828jZc9036554 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h828jY7S020856 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:45:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h828jYWY020855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:45:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:45:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020845.h828jYWY020855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 020845 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON SEP 01 2003 ..JIMENA WEAKENING AS IT CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 160.0 WEST OR ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...16.0N...160.0W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST. FORECASTER HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:41 2003 X-UIDL: 37635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HCNXG154@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:09:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8299N0Z043053 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:09:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4tV105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:02:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 577118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:02:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8292vc9085738 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:02:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8292u7S021029 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:02:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8292u3C021028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:02:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:02:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020902.h8292u3C021028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 020902 TCDCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST MON SEP 01 2003 SATELLITE FIXES FROM THE VARIOUS AGENCIES INDICATE MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 KT. THIS WAS MAINLY DUE TO DVORAK CONSTRAINTS...SINCE JIMENA WAS NEARLY DEVOID OF CONVECTION BY 0300 UTC. HOWEVER...AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION IS NOW WEST OF THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. IF THIS AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES DURING THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS...JIMENA MAY NOT BE WEAKENING AS RAPIDLY NOW. THE INITIAL MOTION WAS 265 DEGREES AT 16 KT. THE FORECAST TRACK CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE PREVIOUS TRACK. HOWEVER...THE FORWARD MOTION WAS INCREASED TO MORE CLOSELY FOLLOW THE GFDL AND THE BAM SHALLOW GUIDANCE. ALSO...FOLLOWED THE PREVIOUS FORECAST OF A GRADUAL WEAKENING OF JIMENA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF DISSIPATION. CAUTION...IF JIMENA DOES REGAIN DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER...THEN IT MIGHT MAINTAIN ITS STATUS AS A VIABLE TROPICAL CYCLONE BEYOND 48 HOURS. IN THAT CASE...THE SYSTEM COULD INTENSIFY AGAIN AFTER 48 TO 72 HOURS FOLLOWING THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WILL BRING JIMENA...OR ITS REMNANTS... ABOUT 100 NM SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND WITHIN 48 HOURS. FORECASTER HOUSTON FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0900Z 16.0N 160.0W 40 KT 12HR VT 02/1800Z 15.6N 162.2W 35 KT 24HR VT 03/0600Z 15.1N 165.3W 30 KT 36HR VT 03/1800Z 15.0N 168.5W 25 KT 48HR VT 04/0600Z 15.1N 171.4W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 05/0600Z 15.4N 176.8W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 06/0600Z 15.6N 178.1E DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:42 2003 X-UIDL: 37637-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00H5EZGV4X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:53:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h829rCmV034219 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:53:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4tp105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:50:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 577389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:50:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h829oIc9047444 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:50:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h829oH7S021481 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h829oHE0021480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:50:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020950.h829oHE0021480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 021000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- NEAR 16.1N8 159.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 159.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.6N2 162.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.1N7 165.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.0N6 168.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.1N7 171.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:42 2003 X-UIDL: 37638-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HA7ZGW0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:53:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h829r20Z049346 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:53:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvaZ045012; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:48:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 577381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:48:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h829moc9034516 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:48:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h829mn7S021464 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h829mnYP021463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:48:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020948.h829mnYP021463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 021000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- NEAR 16.1N8 159.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 159.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.6N2 162.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.1N7 165.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.0N6 168.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.1N7 171.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.4N0 176.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020600Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 159.2W7 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020600Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021600Z9, 022200Z6, 030400Z7 AND 031000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:43 2003 X-UIDL: 37639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00H2LZKB55@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:55:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h829tImV034552 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:55:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5Dvab045012; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:53:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 577437 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:53:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h829rMc9058042 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:53:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h829rL7S021512 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:53:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h829rLpJ021511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:53:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:53:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020953.h829rLpJ021511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 020953 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL STORM JIMENA CENTERED 15.5N 159.6W HAS OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 50 NM WEST OF CENTER. SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS 06N140W 06N145W. NEW OCCASIONAL TCU AND ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 35NM OF AXIS. CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 10N147W 18N155W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF AXIS HAVE MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 7KT. TROUGH...AXIS 20N172W 12N180. AREA OF OCCASIONAL TCU AND ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 20N174W 15N177W 15N180 17N179W HAS MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 18KT WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN SIZE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS OVER THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 04N174W 07N174W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...FRONT THROUGH 25S143W 19S150W 13S162W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 08S180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 25NM OF LINE 25S143W 22S149W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST HAVE MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 6KT AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF POINT 13S162W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 6KT AND WEAKENED. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:43 2003 X-UIDL: 37640-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HVX0AR4U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:11:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82ABC0Z051988 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:11:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4tr105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:51:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 577403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:51:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h829pec9047460 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:51:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h829pY7S021495 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:51:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h829pXlR021492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:51:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:51:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 275 Deg/ 13 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020951.h829pXlR021492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 021000 RRB VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.4N0 176.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 020600Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 159.2W7 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF HILO, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020600Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021600Z9, 022200Z6, 030400Z7 AND 031000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:43 2003 X-UIDL: 37641-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HCF0HG55@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:15:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82AF9mV037521 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:15:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5Dvaf045012; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:09:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 577580 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:09:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82A9wc9047578 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:09:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82A9v7S021681 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:09:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82A9vJ3021680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:09:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:09:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021009.h82A9vJ3021680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 021009 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 02 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/0600 UTC... ..A 1006 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 15N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 103W-112W. ..TROUGH IS LOCATED FROM 18N121W TO 10N125W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS LOCATED FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 123W-126W. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 32N140W 24N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1015 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N100W 13N110W 9N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 95W-99W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 96W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 93W-96W...AND FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 110W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 101W-106W...AND FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 105W-107W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:44 2003 X-UIDL: 37642-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HG81V050@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:45:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Aio0Z056521 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:44:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4uH105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:38:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 577792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:38:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82AcNc9086986 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:38:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82AcG7S022027 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82AcGbh022026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 05:38:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021038.h82AcGbh022026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 021037 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ACCOMPANIED BY CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS...IS LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:45 2003 X-UIDL: 37646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HOHB0I50@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:02:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82E2T0Z084144 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:02:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0Sgf045012; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 08:57:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 580507 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 08:57:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Dv8c9032070 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 08:57:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82Dv77S025482 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 08:57:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82Dv7RU025480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 08:57:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 08:57:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021357.h82Dv7RU025480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 021357 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE SEP 2 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST ABOUT 16 MPH. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:47 2003 X-UIDL: 37651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H0NCML4U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:37:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82EbTmV071799 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:37:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n45d105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 581133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82EW4c9099156 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82EW37S027048 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82EW3B3027047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021432.h82EW3B3027047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 021431 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST TUE SEP 02 2003 ..JIMENA SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.1 WEST OR ABOUT 415 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...15.4 N...161.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:47 2003 X-UIDL: 37652-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HOCCN954@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:37:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82EbsmV071878 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:37:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n45N105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:31:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 581119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:31:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82EVNc9083466 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82EVM7S027006 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82EVMxa027003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:31:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021431.h82EVMxa027003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 021430 TCDCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST TUE SEP 02 2003 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA REGAINED A BIT OF CONVECTION ALONG ITS WESTERN PERIPHERY SIX HOURS AGO...BUT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED ONCE AGAIN WITHIN THE PAST HOUR OR SO. A DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBER OF 2.5 FROM PHFO MATCHES THAT FROM AFWA...SUPPORTING AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS FOR THIS FORECAST CYCLE. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY PACKED TOWARDS CONTINUED WESTWARD MOVEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS...THEN A GRADUAL SHIFT TOWARDS NORTHWEST MOVEMENT AT 96 AND 120 HOURS. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FORECAST TRACK FROM LAST TIME...WITH A HEAVY BIAS TOWARDS BAM DEEP. IT IS NOT COMMON FOR TROPICAL SYSTEMS AS WEAK AND DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION AS JIMENA IS TO STAGE A COMEBACK...YET THAT IS WHAT SHIPS SUGGESTS...WITH A STRENGTH OF 61 KNOTS REGAINED AT 120 HOURS. OTHER MODELS SUGGEST SCENARIOS OF LESS STRENGTHENING OR ROUGH MAINTENANCE OF CURRENT STRENGTH. WE WILL THEREFORE DELAY TOTAL DISSIPATION OF JIMENA UNTIL BEYOND 120 HOURS. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WILL BRING JIMENA ABOUT 115 NM SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND WITHIN 48 HOURS. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 15.4N 161.1W 35 KT 12HR VT 03/0000Z 15.0N 163.4W 30 KT 24HR VT 03/1200Z 14.8N 166.6W 30 KT 36HR VT 04/0000Z 14.8N 169.7W 25 KT 48HR VT 04/1200Z 15.0N 172.9W 25 KT 72HR VT 05/1200Z 15.1N 178.2W 25 KT 96HR VT 06/1200Z 15.7N 176.0E 20 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 07/1200Z 16.5N 170.7E 20 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:48 2003 X-UIDL: 37653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HTJCNA4X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:37:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Ebt0Z090342 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:37:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n45X105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 581128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82EWFc9083520 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82EWE7S027068 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82EWD5T027067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:32:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021432.h82EWD5T027067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 021431 TCMCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 1500Z TUE SEP 02 2003 ..JIMENA SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 161.1W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 25SE 25SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 25SE 25SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 161.1W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 160.3W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.0N 163.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.8N 166.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.8N 169.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.0N 172.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.1N 178.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 15.7N 176.0E...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N 170.7E...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 161.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:51 2003 X-UIDL: 37661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H3EHEV0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:20:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GKo0Z009079 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:20:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4Fr105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:11:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 583684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:11:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GBWc9033980 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:11:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82GBV7S000487 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:11:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82GBVRK000486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:11:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:11:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021611.h82GBVRK000486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 021611 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 02 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/1200 UTC... ..A 1005 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 17N108W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W-115W AND 110 NM FROM CENTER 18N113W. ..TROUGH IS LOCATED FROM 11N104W TO 16N122W DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH AXIS. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE NEAR 35N148W SOUTHEAST TO 21N123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 14N107W 13N115W 11N120W 9N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 90 NM FROM CENTER 7N84W. SCATTERED MODERATE 40 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 123W TO 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO 70 NM EITHER SIDE OF AN AXIS FROM 13N94W TO 19N106W...AND 120 NM FROM CENTER 22N105W SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:52 2003 X-UIDL: 37665-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HF9HVV4X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:31:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GV5mV093236 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:31:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4Hb105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 584053 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GOac9034340 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82GOZ7S000932 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82GOZ8X000930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021624.h82GOZ8X000930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:53 2003 X-UIDL: 37666-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H8THXN0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:32:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GW90Z011162 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:32:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0SmB045012; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 584056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GOac9087068 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82GOZ7S000931 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82GOZXV000929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:24:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021624.h82GOZXV000929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z/031800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:53 2003 X-UIDL: 37667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H9FHZO54@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:33:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GXM0Z011364 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:33:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0SmF045012; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 584113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GQ4c9016792 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82GQ37S001011 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82GQ3hE001010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Note...errors For Track Have Averaged Near 250 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021626.h82GQ3hE001010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 021600 RRB NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.7N3 176.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021200Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 160.3W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021200Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022200Z6, 030400Z7, 031000Z4 AND 031600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:53 2003 X-UIDL: 37668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HOXI4C4U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:36:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Ga90Z011844 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:36:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4Hh105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 584110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GQ2c9016790 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82GQ17S001006 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82GQ1TO001005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:26:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021626.h82GQ1TO001005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 021600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 15.5N1 160.3W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 160.3W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.0N6 163.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 14.8N3 166.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 14.8N3 169.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.0N6 172.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.1N7 178.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:54 2003 X-UIDL: 37669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HCTICY55@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:41:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GfJ0Z012883 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:41:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4HN105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:23:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 584006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GMsc9070248 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82GMr7S000882 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82GMrYH000880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021622.h82GMrYH000880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 021600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 15.5N1 160.3W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 160.3W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.0N6 163.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 14.8N3 166.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 14.8N3 169.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.0N6 172.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.1N7 178.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.7N3 176.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 021200Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 160.3W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021200Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022200Z6, 030400Z7, 031000Z4 AND 031600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:54 2003 X-UIDL: 37670-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HEQIQV0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:49:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Gne0Z014381 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:49:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4It105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:40:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 584514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:37:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Gbnc9093200 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:37:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82Gbm7S001431 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:37:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82GbmR0001430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:37:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:37:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021637.h82GbmR0001430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 021637 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AREA SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H1VTAU55@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:37:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Kbb0Z054546 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:37:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0SxZ045012; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:31:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 591624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KUsc9085244 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82KUr7S009762 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82KUrWW009761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022030.h82KUrWW009761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 022030 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST TUE SEP 02 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.9 WEST OR ABOUT 540 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER WITHIN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...15.1 N...162.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37681-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HALTCO54@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:38:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Kcd0Z054791 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:38:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KH5eT044634; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 591617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KUgc9099874 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82KUf7S009752 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82KUfxb009751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022030.h82KUfxb009751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 022030 TCMCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 2100Z TUE SEP 02 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 162.9W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 25SE 25SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 25SE 25SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 162.9W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 162.1W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.9N 165.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.8N 168.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.8N 171.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.0N 174.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.2N 179.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 15.8N 174.4E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 16.7N 169.2E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 163W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:58 2003 X-UIDL: 37683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H9LTHT4X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:41:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KfnmV034917 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:41:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KH5el044634; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:36:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 591734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:36:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Kaic9101096 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:36:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82KaD7S009938 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:36:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82KZhcl009924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:35:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:35:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022035.h82KZhcl009924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 022035 TCDCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST TUE SEP 02 2003 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA CONTINUES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH. CONVECTION HAS BEEN RATHER VIGOROUS DURING THE MORNING HOURS SO WE HAVE SLOWED ITS WEAKENING TREND JUST A TAD. MODELS NEARLY ALL SEEM TO HAVE LITTLE HOPE FOR REGENERATION SO HAVE KEPT THE SYSTEM AS WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING ITS REMAINING TIME IN THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. THE PATH FOLLOWS CLOSELY THE PREVIOUS FORECAST PATH. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WILL BRING JIMENA...OR ITS REMNANTS... ABOUT 100 NM SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND WITHIN 36 HOURS. FORECASTER ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/2100Z 15.1N 162.9W 35 KT 12HR VT 03/0600Z 14.9N 165.2W 30 KT 24HR VT 03/1800Z 14.8N 168.4W 30 KT 36HR VT 04/0600Z 14.8N 171.5W 30 KT 48HR VT 04/1800Z 15.0N 174.4W 30 KT 72HR VT 05/1800Z 15.2N 179.9W 30 KT 96HR VT 06/1800Z 15.8N 174.4E 30 KT 120HR VT 07/1800Z 16.7N 169.2E 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H74W3Q4U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:38:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Lc70Z065120 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:38:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KH5kh044634; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:32:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 593227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:32:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82LWUc9059464 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:32:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82LWT7S011878 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:32:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82LWTXE011877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:32:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:32:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022132.h82LWTXE011877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 022132 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 02 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 8N MOVING WEST 15 KT. A CONVECTION-LESS AREA OF WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW IS LOCATED S OF GUATEMALA. ..1006 MB LOW CENTERED 270 NM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 18N110W DRIFTING TO THE WEST. A LARGE AREA OF TSTM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO W OF MANZANILLO. VISIBLE IMAGERY CLEARLY DEPICTS THE SYSTEM TRYING TO ORGANIZE WITH THREE CONVECTIVE BANDS SPIRALING TOWARDS A DEVELOPING CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N-20N BETWEEN 108W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE ALIGNED OFFSHORE THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 13N-20N BETWEEN 102W-108W. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS WITH THIS SYSTEM. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 11N125W 18N122W MOVING NW 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN A SMALL AREA FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 124W-126W. ..WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 26N140W 26N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N85W 6N95W 14N110W 11N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 83W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 127W. ELSEWHERE SEE TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE LOW NEAR 18N110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 97W-103W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HNOWRN0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:52:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82LqVmV045701 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:52:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KH5lR044634; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:46:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 593459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82LkAc9004418 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82Lk97S012203 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82Lk9ns012202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:46:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022146.h82Lk9ns012202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 022145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL STORM JIMENA CENTERED 15.1N 162.9W HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 06N140W 05N154W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ALSO...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 02N173W 04N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 17N158W 15N152W 07N147W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 21N174W 20N180...HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTENDED SOUTH OF 25S AND WEST OF 180...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 10S180 13S160W 20S148W 25S141W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H46WUJ54@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:54:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82LsF0Z067663 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:54:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0S3N045012; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:50:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 593536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:50:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Lnwc9015494 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:49:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82Lnv7S012334 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:49:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82LnviV012332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:49:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:49:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022149.h82LnviV012332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 022200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 15.2N8 162.1W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 162.1W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.9N4 165.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 14.8N3 168.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 14.8N3 171.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.0N6 174.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.2N8 179.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H1VWWC4X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:55:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82LtM0Z067849 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:55:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KH5ld044634; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:50:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 593532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:49:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Lnwc9047452 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:49:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82Lnv7S012333 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:49:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82Lnu7s012330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:49:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:49:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: On Day 4 And 350 Nm On Day 5... And For Intensity Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022149.h82Lnu7s012330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 022200 RRB ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.8N4 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.7N4 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 022200Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 162.9W8 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM EAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021800Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030400Z7, 031000Z4, 031600Z0 AND 032200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H71X5254@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 06:00:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82M0ZmV047010 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 06:00:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KH5lX044634; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:48:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 593505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:48:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Lmrc9048530 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:48:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82Lmq7S012303 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:48:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82Lmq0P012302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:48:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:48:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022148.h82Lmq0P012302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 022200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 15.2N8 162.1W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 162.1W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.9N4 165.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 14.8N3 168.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 14.8N3 171.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.0N6 174.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.2N8 179.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.8N4 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.7N4 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 022200Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 162.9W8 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM EAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021800Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030400Z7, 031000Z4, 031600Z0 AND 032200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 09:51:26 2003 X-UIDL: 37695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H5XZ4L50@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 06:43:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MhPmV052798 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 06:43:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0S6J045012; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:36:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 594644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Mavc9047608 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:36:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82Mau7S013480 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:36:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82Maanx013471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 17:36:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022236.h82Maanx013471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 022236 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE SEP 2 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST ABOUT 16 MPH. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 09:51:34 2003 X-UIDL: 37696-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00H1Y0IA54@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 07:13:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82NDJmV057461 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 07:13:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EMAEN078368; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:06:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 595525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:06:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82N6uc9057824 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:06:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82N6t7S014090 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:06:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82N6tpE014089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:06:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 18:06:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022306.h82N6tpE014089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 022306 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A BROAD AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 13:03:39 2003 X-UIDL: 37714-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00K6D9SFOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:33:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h832XemV089570 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:33:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0SD7045012; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 599573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h832VMc9004594 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h832VL7S017482 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h832VLI7017481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 25 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030231.h832VLI7017481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 030230 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE SEP 02 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 164.1 WEST OR ABOUT 590 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE PROJECTED PATH JIMENA WILL PASS ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. SOME SURF/SWELL FROM THE EAST AND THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND EASTERLY WINDS...NORTHEASTERLY BECOMING SOUTHEASTLY...GUSTING NEAR 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE ISLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...15.1 N...164.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 13:03:40 2003 X-UIDL: 37716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KHK9X5OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:36:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h832aSmV090042 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:36:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP5on099074; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 599585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h832Vlc9089162 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h832Vk7S017487 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h832VkbP017486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:31:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 25 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030231.h832VkbP017486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 030230 TCDCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST TUE SEP 02 2003 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA CONTINUES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 16 MPH. WE HAVE FOLLOWED CLOSELY THE PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED TRACK BUT SLOWED THE FORWARD MOTION SPEED JUST A LITTLE. THE MOST RECENT BURST OF CONVECTION HAS ENDED BUT IT WILL PROBABLY START UP AGAIN DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. WE HAVE KEPT THE INTENSITY AT 35 KT THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN WEAKENED IT JUST A TAD AS IT APPROACHES THE DATELINE AND ENTERS THE WESTPAC. SST'S AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAIN FAVORABLE BUT THE OVERALL LARGE SCALE ENVIRONMENT SEEMS UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WILL BRING THE CENTER OF JIMENA ABOUT 100 NM SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND IN 24 TO 36 HOURS WITH NO ILL EFFECT ON THE WEATHER THERE ANTICIPATED. FORECASTER ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0300Z 15.1N 164.1W 35 KT 12HR VT 03/1200Z 14.9N 166.1W 35 KT 24HR VT 04/0000Z 14.9N 168.7W 30 KT 36HR VT 04/1200Z 14.9N 171.7W 30 KT 48HR VT 05/0000Z 15.1N 174.6W 30 KT 72HR VT 06/0000Z 15.4N 180.0E 30 KT 96HR VT 07/0000Z 15.9N 175.1E 30 KT 120HR VT 08/0000Z 16.8N 170.0E 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 13:03:43 2003 X-UIDL: 37723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KOGD7WOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:47:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h833lnmV098501 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:47:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP5sv099074; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:43:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 600997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:43:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h833huc9083530 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:43:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h833ht7S018280 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:43:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h833ht4M018279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:43:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:43:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030343.h833ht4M018279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 030343 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 03 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 91W/92W N OF 6N MOVING WEST 15 KT. CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE ITCZ WITH SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 90W-94W. ..1003 MB LOW S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS NEAR 18N109W DRIFTING TO THE WEST. A LARGE AREA OF TSTM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO W OF MANZANILLO. VISIBLE IMAGERY CLEARLY DEPICTS THE SYSTEM TRYING TO ORGANIZE WITH CONVECTIVE BANDS SPIRALING TOWARDS A DEVELOPING CENTER. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO TO INCLUDE PUERTO VALLARTA AND MAZATLAN FROM 19N-25N BETWEEN 104W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 111W-116W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 104W-117W. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 10N123W 18N121W MOVING NW 5-10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 125W-127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N95W 13N110W 11N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 76W-79W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 86W-88W...AND FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 91W-94W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 87W-89W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 13:03:44 2003 X-UIDL: 37724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KZDDBOOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:50:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h833o0mV098916 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:50:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP5of099074; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:30:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 599555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h832Uhc9087070 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:30:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h832Ug7S017459 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h832UgwJ017458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:30:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 25 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030230.h832UgwJ017458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 030230 TCMCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0300Z WED SEP 03 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 164.1W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 164.1W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 163.4W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.9N 166.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.9N 168.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.9N 171.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.1N 174.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.4N 180.0E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 15.9N 175.1E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 16.8N 170.0E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 164W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 13:03:44 2003 X-UIDL: 37727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KNIDK9OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:55:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h833tDmV099481 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:55:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP5tV099074; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:51:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 601223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:51:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h833pIc9010136 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h833pH7S018357 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:51:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h833pH8V018356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:51:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:51:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030351.h833pH8V018356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 030400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 15.1N7 163.4W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 163.4W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 14.9N4 166.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 14.9N4 168.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 14.9N4 171.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.1N7 174.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.4N0 180.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 15.9N5 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 16.8N5 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 030400Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 164.1W2 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030000Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031000Z4, 031600Z0, 032200Z7 AND 040400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 13:03:45 2003 X-UIDL: 37728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KSMDM8OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:56:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h833uP0Z018316 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:56:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP5tX099074; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:52:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 601263 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:52:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h833qvc9010172 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:52:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h833qu7S018383 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:52:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h833quZp018382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:52:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:52:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030352.h833quZp018382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 030400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 15.1N7 163.4W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 163.4W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 14.9N4 166.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 14.9N4 168.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 14.9N4 171.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 15.1N7 174.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 13:03:45 2003 X-UIDL: 37729-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KY4DOAOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:57:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h833vSmV099759 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:57:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP5tb099074; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:54:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 601281 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:54:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h833sPc9019578 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:54:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h833sO7S018399 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:54:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h833sOGS018396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:54:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:54:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 060000z6 --- 15.4n0 180.0e9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030354.h833sOGS018396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 030400 RRB 060000Z6 --- 15.4N0 180.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 15.9N5 175.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 16.8N5 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 030400Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 164.1W2 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030000Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031000Z4, 031600Z0, 032200Z7 AND 040400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 13:03:47 2003 X-UIDL: 37736-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KKKGKYOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 13:00:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8350UmV008947 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 13:00:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP50f099074; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 23:56:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 602525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 23:56:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h834uGc9029588 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 23:56:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h834uF7S019151 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 23:56:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h834uEKL019148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 23:56:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 23:56:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030456.h834uEKL019148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 030455 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 14:22:41 2003 X-UIDL: 37750-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00K0KJXKOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 14:12:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h836ClmV020890 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 14:12:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP53b099074; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 603707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8360vc9102540 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8360u7S019997 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8360uIQ019995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030600.h8360uIQ019995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/030151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (DUJUAN) WAS LOCATED OVERLAND NEAR YULIN, CHINA, AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 18:13:51 2003 X-UIDL: 37762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KWRONKOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:54:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h837se0Z063008 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:54:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EMAOT078368; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 02:50:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 605156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 02:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h837oQc9070644 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 02:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h837oP7S021065 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 02:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h837oPJt021064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 02:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 02:50:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030750.h837oPJt021064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 030749 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE SEP 2 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA...WHICH WILL BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 11 PM HST. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 625 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. BIRCHARD/DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 18:13:56 2003 X-UIDL: 37765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KLYQM3OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:37:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h838bBmV049236 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:37:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP571099074; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 605570 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h838Vfc9005180 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h838Ve7S021714 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h838VeEG021713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Discussion Number 26 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030831.h838VeEG021713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA43 PHFO 030831 TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST TUE SEP 02 2003 JIMENA IS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY NUMBER OF 2.0 FROM PHFO AND EQUAL OR LOWER INTENSITIES FROM AFWA AND PGTW. MICROWAVE IMAGERY WAS QUITE USEFUL FOR THE POSITIONAL FIX...GIVEN THE DISHEVELED MESS THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME IN ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. NEW CONVECTION ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CENTRAL CIRCULATION WILL LIKELY FLARE OVERNIGHT...THEN DECREASE DURING THE DAY AS JIMENA MOVES WESTWARD. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE FOR JIMENA IS ONCE AGAIN TIGHTLY PACKED TOWARDS WESTWARD MOVEMENT...WITH BAM MEDIUM AND BAM DEEP TO THE LEFT OF MOST GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK WILL LIE BETWEEN BAM MEDIUM AND UKM GUIDANCE. LATER FORECASTS MAY NEED A HEAVIER BIAS TOWARDS BAM SHALLOW...CONSIDERABLY TO THE RIGHT AT THIS TIME...IF DEEP CONVECTION CEASES. WE WILL CONTINUE A BIAS TOWARDS SLOW REINTENSIFICATION BETWEEN 72 AND 120 HOURS...BASED ON SHIPS GUIDANCE. ACTUALLY...SHIPS WANTS TO REINTENSIFY JIMENA ALMOST IMMEDIATELY...BUT SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DERIVED WINDS SUGGEST THAT THIS IS UNLIKELY. GFS MODEL 1000-500 MB SHEAR IS LOW BETWEEN 15N AND 20N THROUGH 120 HOURS...SO SHIPS PROBABLY CANNOT BE DISMISSED. THE INTENSITY TREND IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REPRESENTS A MIDDLE ROAD. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WILL BRING THE CENTER OF JIMENA ABOUT 100 NM SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND WITHIN 24 HOURS. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0900Z 15.1N 165.2W 30 KT 12HR VT 03/1800Z 15.0N 167.2W 25 KT 24HR VT 04/0600Z 15.0N 170.2W 25 KT 36HR VT 04/1800Z 15.1N 173.3W 25 KT 48HR VT 05/0600Z 15.3N 176.3W 25 KT 72HR VT 06/0600Z 15.7N 178.0E 30 KT 96HR VT 07/0600Z 16.5N 173.1E 30 KT 120HR VT 08/0600Z 17.6N 168.0E 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 18:13:56 2003 X-UIDL: 37766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KMDQM6OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:37:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h838bD0Z071425 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:37:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP56x099074; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 605561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h838V7c9042998 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h838V67S021702 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h838V6dp021701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 26 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030831.h838V6dp021701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 030830 TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0900Z WED SEP 03 2003 ..JIMENA DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 165.2W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 165.2W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 164.5W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.0N 167.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.0N 170.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.1N 173.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.3N 176.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.7N 178.0E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 16.5N 173.1E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 17.6N 168.0E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 165.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 18:13:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KNVQMUOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:37:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h838be0Z071536 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:37:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0SJn045012; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 605567 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h838Vbc9023356 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h838Va7S021709 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h838Vanf021708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:31:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Advisory Number 26 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030831.h838Vanf021708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 030830 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST TUE SEP 02 2003 ..JIMENA DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.2 WEST OR ABOUT 640 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...15.1 N...165.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 18:14:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KU6UEWOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:59:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h839xB0Z086753 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:59:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP595099074; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:53:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 606407 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:53:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h839rkc9083512 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:53:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h839rj7S022487 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:53:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h839rjG3022486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:53:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:53:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030953.h839rjG3022486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 030953 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 03 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 92W/93W N OF 6N MOVING WEST 15 KT. CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE ITCZ WITH SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 90W-93W. ..1006 MB LOW S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS NEAR 18N112W MOVING W 10KT. A LARGE AREA OF TSTM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO W OF MANZANILLO. VISIBLE IMAGERY CLEARLY DEPICTS THE SYSTEM TRYING TO ORGANIZE WITH CONVECTIVE BANDS SPIRALING TOWARDS A DEVELOPING CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO TO INCLUDE PUERTO VALLARTA AND MAZATLAN FROM 13N-25N BETWEEN 104W-109W...AND FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 110W-117W. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 19N121W 11N124W MOVING NW 5-10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 124W-127W...AND FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 122W-129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N95W 13N110W 11N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 86W-89W...FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 90W-93W...AND FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 94W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 113W-118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 75W-80W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 22:05:33 2003 X-UIDL: 37774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KJGVVSOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 18:31:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83AV0mV067731 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 18:31:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP59R099074; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:26:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 606773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:26:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83APxc9042942 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:25:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83APw7S022852 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:25:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83APwxQ022851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:25:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:25:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031025.h83APwxQ022851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 026 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 15.1N7 164.5W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 164.5W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.0N6 167.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.0N6 170.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.1N7 173.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.3N9 176.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.7N3 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.5N2 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 22:05:37 2003 X-UIDL: 37775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KKNVW5OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 18:31:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83AVEmV067775 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 18:31:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP59T099074; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:26:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 606776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:26:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83AQ1c9089268 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:26:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83AQ07S022857 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:26:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83AQ0Yb022856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:26:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:26:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 120 Hr Posit: 285 Deg/ 12 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031026.h83AQ0Yb022856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031000 RRB VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.6N4 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 030600Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 164.5W6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030600Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT NEXT WARNINGS AT 031600Z0, 032200Z7, 040400Z8 AND 041000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 22:05:37 2003 X-UIDL: 37776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KP8VXTOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 18:32:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83AWFmV067980 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 18:32:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP59N099074; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:24:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 606759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:24:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83AOvc9036886 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:24:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83AOu7S022833 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:24:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83AOtx1022832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:24:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:24:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031024.h83AOtx1022832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 026 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 15.1N7 164.5W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 164.5W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.0N6 167.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.0N6 170.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.1N7 173.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.3N9 176.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.7N3 178.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.5N2 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.6N4 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 030600Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 164.5W6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030600Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT NEXT WARNINGS AT 031600Z0, 032200Z7, 040400Z8 AND 041000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 22:05:38 2003 X-UIDL: 37777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KPFVXWOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 18:32:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83AWEmV067974 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 18:32:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP59L099074; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:17:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 606723 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:17:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83AHhc9042898 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:17:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83AHg7S022757 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:17:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83AHgVF022756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:17:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:17:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031017.h83AHgVF022756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 031017 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA RECENTLY DOWNGRADED IS CENTERED NEAR 15.1N 165.2W AND HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM EAST OF CENTER...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE THROUGH 16N167W 16N170W. SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N140W 06N150W...HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY... DECREASED IN INTENSITY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. ALSO... ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 04N175W 03N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N161W 08N157W. CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 15N156W 12N153W 09N150W...HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTENDED SOUTH OF 25S AND WEST OF 180...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 11S180 16S160W 20S146W 25S136W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. WEAKENING FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTENDED SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 25S173W 23S180 HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 22:05:38 2003 X-UIDL: 37778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KYYW27OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 18:34:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83AYfmV068475 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 18:34:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0SLN045012; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:30:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 606803 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83AUKc9070610 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83AUJ7S022932 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83AUIDg022931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 05:30:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031030.h83AUIDg022931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 031029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED...AND IT HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:17 2003 X-UIDL: 37788-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KCQ63UOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:11:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83EBo0Z038636 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:11:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Dg9cF005224; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 08:54:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 609882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 08:54:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Dsac9086970 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 08:54:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83DsZ7S026057 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 08:54:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83DsZ0H026056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 08:54:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 08:54:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031354.h83DsZ0H026056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 031354 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED SEP 3 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD/DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:26 2003 X-UIDL: 37791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KP374GOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:33:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83EXm0Z043599 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:33:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Dg9dJ005224; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 610512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83ER3c9086990 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83ER27S027164 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83ER2Y4027163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Advisory Number 27 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031427.h83ER2Y4027163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 031426 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED SEP 03 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.2 WEST OR ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...14.7 N...167.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:26 2003 X-UIDL: 37792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KRG759OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:34:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83EYDmV013505 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:34:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0akD031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:26:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 610498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:26:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83EQoc9101082 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83EQn7S027152 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83EQnXZ027151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:26:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Discussion Number 27 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031426.h83EQnXZ027151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA43 PHFO 031426 TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST WED SEP 03 2003 HIGH CLOUDS HAVE DECREASED DRAMATICALLY OVER JIMENA...REVEALING A CLEARLY DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER A BIT FURTHER SOUTH THAN EXPECTED GIVEN PREVIOUS FIXES. EARLIER AMSU IMAGERY HINTED AT A CENTER SOUTH OF 15N AS WELL. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO LINE THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN FLANKS OF THE CENTRAL CIRCULATION. ENHANCED CLOUD LINES ARE ALSO FORMING OVER THE SOUTHWEST FLANK. JIMENA IS GIVEN AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY OF 1.5 FROM PHFO. SAB AND AFWA RATE JIMENA A BIT STRONGER...BUT THE LACK OF WESTERLY WINDS SOUTH OF THE CENTER IN QUIKSCAT INDICATES THE ROTATIONAL SPEED CANNOT BE MUCH MORE THAN ITS FORWARD MOTION...INITIALLY SET AT 17 KNOTS. JIMENA STARTS ITS FORECAST TRACK A BIT FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...GIVEN THE CENTER RELOCATION. HOWEVER...THE FORECAST TRACK CLOSELY PARALLELS THE PREVIOUS TRACK...IN BETWEEN BAM MEDIUM AND UKM. THE NEW DEEP CONVECTION IS LIKELY JUST A NOCTURNAL BLOOM...BUT IT DEMONSTRATES THAT JIMENA IS NOT DEAD YET. WE WILL CONTINUE A BIAS TOWARDS SLOW REINTENSIFICATION BETWEEN 48 AND 120 HOURS...BASED ON SHIPS GUIDANCE. ACTUALLY...SHIPS WANTS TO REINTENSIFY JIMENA ALMOST IMMEDIATELY...BUT SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS SUGGEST THAT THIS IS UNLIKELY. HOWEVER...GFS MODEL 1000-500 MB SHEAR IS LOW BETWEEN 15N AND 20N THROUGH 120 HOURS...SO SHIPS GUIDANCE MUST BE GIVEN SOME WEIGHT. LIKE LAST TIME...THE INTENSITY TREND IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REPRESENTS A MIDDLE ROAD. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WILL BRING THE CENTER OF JIMENA ABOUT 120 NM SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. FORECASTER POWELL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 14.7N 167.2W 25 KT 12HR VT 04/0000Z 14.7N 169.8W 25 KT 24HR VT 04/1200Z 14.7N 173.2W 20 KT 36HR VT 05/0000Z 14.9N 176.2W 20 KT 48HR VT 05/1200Z 15.1N 178.9W 25 KT 72HR VT 06/1200Z 15.7N 175.6E 25 KT 96HR VT 07/1200Z 16.7N 170.3E 30 KT 120HR VT 08/1200Z 17.9N 164.9E 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:27 2003 X-UIDL: 37793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KS175HOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:34:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83EYQmV013549 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:34:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0akH031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 610509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83ER2c9053176 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83ER17S027159 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83ER1A0027158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:27:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 27 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031427.h83ER1A0027158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 031426 TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 1500Z WED SEP 03 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA MOVING WEST... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 167.2W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 167.2W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 166.3W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.7N 169.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.7N 173.2W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.9N 176.2W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.1N 178.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.7N 175.6E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 16.7N 170.3E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.9N 164.9E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 167.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z FORECASTER POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KP2804OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:52:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83EqlmV017437 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:52:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0alB031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:45:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 610890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:44:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Eilc9083588 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:44:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83Eik7S027723 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:44:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83EikKF027722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:44:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:44:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031444.h83EikKF027722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 031444 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 1500Z WED SEP 03 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.9W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.9W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 111.5W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.7N 113.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.3N 114.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.7N 116.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.0N 125.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 22.0N 128.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 111.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KIF8UOOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:11:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83FB9mV021183 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:11:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0an7031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:04:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 611476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:04:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83F4rc9029760 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:04:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83F4q7S028457 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:04:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83F4qU3028456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:04:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:04:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031504.h83F4qU3028456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 031504 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 03 2003 AT 12Z...SOCORRO REPORTED A SOUTH WIND WITH A 1001.6 MB PRESSURE...AFTER REPORTING A NORTH WIND LAST NIGHT. IN ADDITION... RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR SOCORRO. THE QUIKSCAT PASS AT 01Z SHOWED A DECENT...IF BROAD CIRCULATION. BASED ON THE ABOVE...THE DISTURBANCE HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...EVEN THOUGH SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS ARE T1.0...AT BEST. IT IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THE POSITION OF THE CENTER AT THIS TIME...AND THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE TO BE RELOCATED CLOSER TO THE NORTHEAST EDGE OF THE CONVECTION AFTER MORE VISIBLE IMAGERY BECOMES AVAILABLE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS UNCERTAIN BUT ESTIMATED TO BE 295/8. CURRENTLY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXISTS TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE GFS...WHICH SEEMED TO INITIALIZE THE SYSTEM BETTER THAN THE OTHER GLOBAL MODELS. THE GFS BUILDS THE RIDGE WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...KEEPING THE CYCLONE ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WEST TRACK. THE DEPRESSION IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODEST NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SHIPS MODEL FORECASTS SLOW STRENGTHENING UNTIL THE SYSTEM REACHES COOLER WATERS IN 48-72 HOURS. GIVEN THE LARGE...SPRAWLING NATURE OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 19.2N 111.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 04/0000Z 19.7N 113.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 04/1200Z 20.3N 114.8W 40 KT 36HR VT 05/0000Z 20.7N 116.5W 45 KT 48HR VT 05/1200Z 21.0N 118.0W 45 KT 72HR VT 06/1200Z 21.5N 121.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 07/1200Z 22.0N 125.0W 30 KT 120HR VT 08/1200Z 22.0N 128.5W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:34 2003 X-UIDL: 37801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00K4LAITOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:47:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83FlDmV028292 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:47:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0aoB031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:29:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 611987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83FTTc9019600 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83FTS7S029256 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83FTSuc029255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:29:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031529.h83FTSuc029255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 031529 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 03 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E HAS FORMED THIS MORNING FROM A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. IT IS POSITIONED NEAR 19.2N 111.9W AT 03/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KT GUSTING TO 40 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1001 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM EXTREME SE MEXICO SSW TO 5N94.5W MOVING W 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS NOT SHOWING ANY SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION IN THE PACIFIC BASIN. ..LOW S OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS NOW T.D. ELEVEN-E. SEE ABOVE. ..TROUGH NEAR 122W HAS MERGED WITH THE ITCZ. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS ILL-DEFINED ALONG 25N117W 31N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1500 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E... THIS IS A LARGE BROAD SYSTEM AS INDICATED BY QUIKSCAT OBSERVATIONS. IN ADDITION SOCORRO ISLANDS REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 1001.6 MB AND WINDS WHICH HAD CHANGED FROM N TO E TO S OVERNIGHT.. INDICATING THE FORMATION OF A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE LOW. THERE IS A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION WITH THE DEPRESSION WITH SCATTERED STRONG FROM 14N21N BETWEEN 111W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 104W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N86W 5N96W BROKEN TO 14N116W 11N127W 12N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W-132W AND FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 113W-119W. WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ HAS WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N-16N WITHIN 60 NM OF 125W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG E OF 81W N OF 5N TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA. SMALL CLUSTER OF TSTMS NEAR 13N978W AND 11N89W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA S OF 27N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:35 2003 X-UIDL: 37802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00K9OAM3OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:49:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83FnBmV028636 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:49:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0apZ031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:42:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 612461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:42:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Fg1c9046034 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:42:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83Fg07S029700 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:42:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83Fg0eV029699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:42:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:42:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031542.h83Fg0eV029699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 14.7N2 166.3W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 166.3W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 14.7N2 169.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 14.7N2 173.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.9N4 176.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.1N7 178.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.7N3 175.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.7N4 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.9N7 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 031200Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 166.3W6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031200Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 07 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032200Z7, 040400Z8, 041000Z5 AND 041600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:35 2003 X-UIDL: 37804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00K2VAZAOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:57:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Fv70Z062184 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:57:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Dg9gD005224; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 612586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83FjBc9040334 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83Fj57S029812 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83Fj4kc029809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031545.h83Fj4kc029809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 14.7N2 166.3W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 166.3W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 14.7N2 169.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 14.7N2 173.2W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.9N4 176.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.1N7 178.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.7N3 175.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.7N4 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:36 2003 X-UIDL: 37805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00K7GB14OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:58:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83FwE0Z062384 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:58:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0apr031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 612582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Fj6c9085240 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83Fj57S029813 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83Fj4hV029811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:45:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031545.h83Fj4hV029811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031600 RRB --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.9N7 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 031200Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 166.3W6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031200Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 07 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032200Z7, 040400Z8, 041000Z5 AND 041600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:37 2003 X-UIDL: 37807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KRFC5QOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 00:22:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GMZ0Z067929 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 00:22:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83EYE5H091212; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 613614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GCZc9101070 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83GCY7S001055 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83GCYDc001053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031612.h83GCYDc001053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 031600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031251ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 19.0N0 111.5W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 111.5W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 19.7N7 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.3N5 114.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.7N9 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.0N3 118.0W0 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:37 2003 X-UIDL: 37808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KVXC7OOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 00:23:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GNg0Z068206 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 00:23:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0arx031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:09:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 613539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:09:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83G9Tc9054902 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:09:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83G9S7S000920 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:09:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83G9SWL000919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:09:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:09:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031609.h83G9SWL000919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 031600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031251ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 19.0N0 111.5W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 111.5W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 19.7N7 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.3N5 114.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.7N9 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.0N3 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.5N8 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 22.0N4 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.0N4 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 031200Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 111.5W8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031200Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032200Z7, 040400Z8, 041000Z5 AND 041600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:38 2003 X-UIDL: 37809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KYSC96OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 00:24:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GOdmV035982 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 00:24:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0asJ031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 613609 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GCZc9057682 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83GCY7S001056 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83GCYoE001054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:12:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 045 Kt, Gusts 055 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031612.h83GCYoE001054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 031600 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.5N8 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 22.0N4 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.0N4 128.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 031200Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 111.5W8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031200Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032200Z7, 040400Z8, 041000Z5 AND 041600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:44 2003 X-UIDL: 37812-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KUDD8BOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 00:45:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GjhmV039990 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 00:45:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0au3031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:37:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 614403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:37:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Gawc9045894 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83Gab7S001899 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:36:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83GaMSp001892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:36:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 11:36:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031636.h83GaMSp001892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 031636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ACCOMPANIED BY CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO THE WEST...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:46 2003 X-UIDL: 37816-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KFMF46OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 01:26:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83HQQmV047137 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 01:26:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRdp041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 615429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83HHBc9100898 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83HHA7S003212 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83HHAWe003210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031717.h83HHAWe003210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:46 2003 X-UIDL: 37817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KGQF4ROT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 01:26:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83HQmmV047183 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 01:26:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Dg9jr005224; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 615432 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83HHBc9065738 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83HHA7S003213 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83HHAkQ003211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 12:17:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031717.h83HHAkQ003211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:56 2003 X-UIDL: 37831-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KIKMQMOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:11:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83KB60Z011902 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:11:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRrv041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:01:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 619631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:01:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83K1oc9031414 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83K1n7S009066 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:01:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83K1nHN009065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:01:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:01:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032001.h83K1nHN009065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 032000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED SEP 3 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00K47O1OOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:39:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83KdMmV081891 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:39:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRuB041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 620454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83KXWc9030366 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83KXV7S010201 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83KXVfD010200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032033.h83KXVfD010200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 032033 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 2100Z WED SEP 03 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 112.4W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 112.4W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 112.1W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.9N 113.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.5N 114.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.3N 118.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.5N 125.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 22.5N 128.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 112.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN/MAINELLI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00K6SO2SOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:40:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Ke20Z017909 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:40:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRuD041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 620461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83KXtc9030386 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83KXs7S010220 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83KXslR010219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:33:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032033.h83KXslR010219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ41 KNHC 032033 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 03 2003 VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE CIRCULATION...EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON FLOW...ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E. CONVECTION STILL PERSISTS HOWEVER IT IS NOT ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THAN SIX HOURS AGO. DVORAK T-NUMBERS YIELDED T1.5 FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB AND T2.0 FROM AFWA. BASED ON THE ABOVE...THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A STILL SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 295/6...A BIT SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXISTS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE DEPRESSION WHICH WILL STEER THE CYCLONE ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...ONCE AGAIN... FOLLOWS THE GFS WHICH MAINTAINS THE RIDGE WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BOTH THE UKMET AND GFDL MODELS LOSE THE CIRCULATION AFTER 48 HOURS IN A SECOND CIRCULATION TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE DEPRESSION REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODEST NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SHIPS MODEL FORECASTS SLOW STRENGTHENING UNTIL THE SYSTEM REACHES COOLER WATERS IN 48-72 HOURS. OUR INTENSITY REFLECTS THIS TREND AND WEAKENS THE CYCLONE TO A REMNANT LOW IN FIVE DAYS. GIVEN THE DISORGANIZED CONVECTION AND LARGE CIRCULATION...RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS NOT EXPECTED. FORECASTER BEVEN/MAINELLI FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 19.4N 112.4W 30 KT 12HR VT 04/0600Z 19.9N 113.4W 35 KT 24HR VT 04/1800Z 20.5N 114.6W 40 KT 36HR VT 05/0600Z 21.0N 116.5W 45 KT 48HR VT 05/1800Z 21.3N 118.5W 45 KT 72HR VT 06/1800Z 22.0N 122.0W 35 KT 96HR VT 07/1800Z 22.5N 125.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 08/1800Z 22.5N 128.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:58 2003 X-UIDL: 37836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KDQOPVOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:53:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83KrrmV084749 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:53:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRwx041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 621012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83KmEc9045860 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83KmD7S010742 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83KmDvT010741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 28 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032048.h83KmDvT010741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 032047 TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 2100Z WED SEP 03 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 169.1W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 169.1W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 168.3W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.7N 171.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.7N 175.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.7N 178.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.1N 178.9E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.1N 173.2E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 17.2N 168.0E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 18.3N 163.3E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 169W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z FORECASTER MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KMQOVVOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:57:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83KvSmV085389 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:57:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRx3041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 621035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Kmfc9072018 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83Kme7S010758 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83Kmdm9010757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:48:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Advisory Number 28 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032048.h83Kmdm9010757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 032048 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST WED SEP 03 2003 ..JIMENA NO LONGER A THREAT TO HAWAII CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 169.1 WEST OR ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...14.7N 169.1W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KLNQ2HOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:23:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83LN1mV090078 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:23:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Dg9uP005224; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:10:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 621643 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:10:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83LAFc9040198 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:10:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83LA87S011439 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:10:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83LA8U1011438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:10:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:10:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Discussion Number 28 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032110.h83LA8U1011438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 032109 TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST WED SEP 03 2003 JIMENA ALTHO WEAKENED FROM YESTERDAY STILL EXHIBITS BOTH CIRCULATION AND CONVECTION TO REMAIN IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. ITS LARGELY NONSHEARING ENVIRONMENT WITH NEARLY UNIFORM EASTERLY FLOW AT ALL LEVELS WILL LIKELY KEEP ITS CURRENT 25 KNOT STRENGTH FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BEYOND 48 HOURS THERE ARE OPPOSING TRENDS...THE GFS MODEL INDICATES INCREASING HIGH LEVEL SHEARING SUPPORTED BY UKMETS WEAKENING WHILE MOST OTHER MODELS SHOW STRENGTHENING INSTEAD. WE HAVE OPTED TO SHOW A SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IN THE FAR OUT PERIODS. JIMENA IS NOW PASSING 120 MILES SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND AND IS NOT A LANDFALL THREAT TO THE ISLAND. GUSTY TRADE WINDS AND SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS SHOULD BE THEIR PERIPHERAL IMPACT. FORECASTER MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 14.7N 169.1W 25 KT 12HR VT 04/0600Z 14.7N 171.6W 25 KT 24HR VT 04/1800Z 14.7N 175.0W 25 KT 36HR VT 05/0600Z 14.7N 178.2W 25 KT 48HR VT 05/1800Z 15.1N 178.9E 25 KT 72HR VT 06/1800Z 16.1N 173.2E 25 KT 96HR VT 07/1800Z 17.2N 168.0E 30 KT 120HR VT 08/1800Z 18.3N 163.3E 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KMLS0NOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:05:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83M550Z033462 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:05:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Dg911005224; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:58:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 622800 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:58:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83LwSc9013248 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:58:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83LwR7S012803 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:58:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83LwQXK012800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:58:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:58:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032158.h83LwQXK012800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 032158 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 03 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 112.4W AT 03/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W/95W MOVING W 10 KT. THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS EXTREMELY WEAK...WITH THE AREA S OF GUATEMALA AND THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC SHOWING A BROAD CYCLONIC GYRE. A LINE OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED E OF THE AXIS ALONG A LINE DUE S OF GUATEMALA TO 10N. ..1008 MB LOW CENTERED 930 NM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 14N124W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 124W-127W. ..WEAK SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 27N140W 28N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2130 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E... ELEVEN-E HAS SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION THROUGH THE DAY WITH BANDS OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM AWAY FROM THE MAIN CENTER OF CIRCULATION...ESPECIALLY OVER THE E SEMICIRCLE AND SW QUADRANT. THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE HAS BEEN CLEARER DUE TO STABLE DRY AIR BEING ADVECTED SWD FROM THE CALIFORNIA COAST. MOST OF THE TSTM ACTIVITY REMAINS OFFSHORE THE MEXICAN COAST BUT SOME SHOWERS MAY AFFECT THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AS WELL AS COASTAL COMMUNITIES NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 111W-117W AND FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 106W-111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N98W THEN BECOMES DIFFUSE. THE AXIS BECOMES MORE DEFINED EXTENDING SW OF T.D. ELEVEN-E ALONG 15N110W 13N120W 10N126W 11N131W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 4N BETWEEN 79W-84W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 50 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-93W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-112W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 97W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 24N-26N BETWEEN 108.5W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 132W-135W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37841-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KY2S9COT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:10:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83MAL0Z034159 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:10:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0d1P104104; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:01:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 622853 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83M1Pc9048134 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:01:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83M1O7S012929 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:01:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83M1OTI012928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:01:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:01:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032201.h83M1OTI012928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 032200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA NEAR 14.5N 168.5W HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 15N168W TO 15N167W. SEE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N141W 07N145W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 14S175W 10S171W 11S165W 16S172W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 37843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KH8SN5OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:18:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83MIcmV098904 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:18:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsR5L041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:06:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 622913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:06:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83M6Fc9052756 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:06:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83M6E7S013054 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:06:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83M6EwD013053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:06:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:06:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032206.h83M6EwD013053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 032200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 19.2N2 112.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 112.1W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.9N9 113.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.5N7 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 21.0N3 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 21.3N6 118.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.0N4 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 031800Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.2N2 112.1W5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 76 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 20, 25, AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040400Z8, 041000Z5, 041600Z1 AND 042200Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 37844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KMKSR6OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:21:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83ML30Z035643 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:21:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsR5N041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 622962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83M8Wc9048154 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83M8V7S013101 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83M8VrS013100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 090 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032208.h83M8VrS013100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 032200 RRB 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.0N4 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 031800Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.2N2 112.1W5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 76 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 20, 25, AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040400Z8, 041000Z5, 041600Z1 AND 042200Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 37845-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KRESUSOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:23:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83MND0Z036067 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:23:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0d1l104104; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 622970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83M8Yc9013066 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83M8X7S013109 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83M8XlH013108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:08:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032208.h83M8XlH013108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 032200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 19.2N2 112.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 112.1W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 19.9N9 113.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.5N7 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 21.0N3 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 21.3N6 118.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 37846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KW1SZ7OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:25:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83MPq0Z036504 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:25:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsR69041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:18:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 623239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:18:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83MHxc9057394 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:17:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83MHw7S013299 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:17:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83MHwqB013298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:17:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:17:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032217.h83MHwqB013298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 032217 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ACCOMPANIED BY CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS TO THE WEST...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37848-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KMKTHUOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:37:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83MaUmV001721 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:37:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Dg923005224; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 623476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83MTLc9098952 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83MTK7S013501 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83MTKld013499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032229.h83MTKld013499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 032200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 14.7N2 168.3W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 168.3W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 14.7N2 171.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 14.7N2 175.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.7N2 178.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.1N7 178.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.1N8 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 031800Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 168.3W8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 269 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:07 2003 X-UIDL: 37849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KO1TISOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:37:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Mbc0Z038506 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:37:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsR6t041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:27:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 623430 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83MRFc9014600 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83MRE7S013474 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83MREww013473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:27:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032227.h83MREww013473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 032200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 14.7N2 168.3W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 168.3W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 14.7N2 171.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 14.7N2 175.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.7N2 178.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.1N7 178.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.1N8 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 031800Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 168.3W8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 269 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031800Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040400Z8, 041000Z5, 041600Z1, AND 042200Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:07 2003 X-UIDL: 37850-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KT7TMIOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:39:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Mdq0Z038876 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 06:39:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsR6v041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 623479 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83MTMc9013132 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83MTK7S013502 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83MTKCn013500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 17:29:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Of 25 And 30 Knots. Maximum Significant Wave Height At 031800z2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032229.h83MTKCn013500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 032200 RRB OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040400Z8, 041000Z5, 041600Z1, AND 042200Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:09 2003 X-UIDL: 37854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001UR154DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:22:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h841MC0Z067269 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:22:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRCv041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:16:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 626434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:16:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h841GGc9012224 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:16:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h841GF7S015993 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:16:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h841GEKP015992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:16:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:16:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: For Further Details. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040116.h841GEKP015992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 032200 FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 031800Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N2 112.1W5, APPROXIMATELY 78 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PHNC 032200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.0N0 111.5W8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/PIVIN/LAM/KENDRICK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:09 2003 X-UIDL: 37855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001WU160DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:22:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h841MkmV027577 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:22:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRD3041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:17:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 626456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h841HYc9093990 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h841HX7S016013 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h841HXVF016012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 20:17:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: ) For Further Details. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040117.h841HXVF016012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 032200 ) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 031800Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E WAS LOCATED NE AR 19.2N2 112.1W5, APPROXIMATELY 78 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND AND H AS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMU M SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PHNC 032200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.0N0 111.5W8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FO R FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/PIVIN/LAM/KENDRICK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:11 2003 X-UIDL: 37862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001RH3DJDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:10:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842AM0Z077853 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:10:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRF1041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:06:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 627172 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8426Ic9042714 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:06:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8426H7S016649 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:06:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8426GOn016648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:06:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:06:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: For Further Details. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040206.h8426GOn016648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 032200 FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 031800Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N2 112.1W5, APPROXIMATELY 78 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PHNC 032200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.0N0 111.5W8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED MANOP TIME. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/PIVIN/LAM/KENDRICK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:11 2003 X-UIDL: 37863-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO0012I3O3DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:16:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842GmmV036391 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:16:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRFL041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:11:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 627302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:11:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842Bmc9035890 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:11:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h842Bg7S016713 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:11:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h842Bgh3016712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:11:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:11:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040211.h842Bgh3016712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 040211 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED SEP 3 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:12 2003 X-UIDL: 37865-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001MZ4PZDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:39:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842dImV039558 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:39:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRH7041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:37:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 627864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:37:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842b0c9096830 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:37:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h842ax7S017223 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h842adhC017210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:36:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:36:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040236.h842adhC017210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 040236 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED SEP 03 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION ELONGATED NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST WITH ABUNDANT CONVECTION IN A SOMEWHAT CURVED BAND SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. THE CENTER IS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE EVEN WITH VISIBLE IMAGERY...AND ALL THREE SATELLITE FIXES ARE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS POSITION NEAR A BURST OF CONVECTION. THIS SUGGESTS THE CENTER COULD BE RE-FORMING. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY... THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED PARTLY ON THE FIXES AND PARTLY ON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 30 KT FROM TAFB AND AFWA...AND 25 KT FROM SAB. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 30 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A HIGHLY UNCERTAIN 295/6. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND MODEL ANALYSES INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONE IS SOUTH OF A MID/ UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE. THE MODELS INDICATE THIS RIDGE SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE FOR 72 HR OR SO...THEN WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS A STRONG WESTERLY TROUGH MOVES TOWARD THE U. S. WEST COAST. THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE CYCLONE TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD AT A FAIRLY SLOW FORWARD SPEED. THE TRACK FORECAST CALLS FOR A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 48-72 HR...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WESTWARD TURN AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND LOW-LEVEL STEERING BECOME PREDOMINANT. MODEL GUIDANCE GENERALLY AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO...ALTHOUGH THE BAM MODELS AND LBAR LIKELY TAKE THE SYSTEM TOO FAR NORTH INTO THE LOW-LEVEL RIDGE AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS. THE FORECAST TRACK IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS...NOGAPS...AND NHC91. THE DEPRESSION IS OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28C-29C...BUT THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE CYCLONE OVER TEMPERATURES OF LESS THAN 24C AFTER 72 HR. THIS INDICATES A NARROW WINDOW FOR STRENGTHENING. SINCE THE CONVECTION IS STRONG AND THE SHEAR IS LIGHT TO MODERATE...THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN 12 HR OR LESS AND PEAK IN 36-48 HR. GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR THEREAFTER. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0300Z 19.6N 112.8W 30 KT 12HR VT 04/1200Z 20.0N 113.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 05/0000Z 20.6N 115.2W 40 KT 36HR VT 05/1200Z 21.1N 117.1W 45 KT 48HR VT 06/0000Z 21.5N 119.0W 45 KT 72HR VT 07/0000Z 22.0N 122.5W 35 KT 96HR VT 08/0000Z 22.5N 126.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 09/0000Z 22.5N 129.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:13 2003 X-UIDL: 37866-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001QG4RLDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:40:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842eP0Z083029 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:40:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0d6Z104104; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:37:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 627869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:37:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842b5c9064928 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:37:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h842b47S017228 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h842b4xC017227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:37:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040237.h842b4xC017227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 040236 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 0300Z THU SEP 04 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 112.8W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 112.8W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 112.5W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 113.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.6N 115.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.1N 117.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.5N 119.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 22.5N 126.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 22.5N 129.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 112.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:13 2003 X-UIDL: 37868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO0014U54UDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:48:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842mP0Z083923 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:48:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83N3vJZ092322; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:45:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 628060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:45:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842jhc9094076 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:45:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h842jg7S017433 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h842jgp5017432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:45:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 29 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040245.h842jgp5017432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 040245 TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0300Z THU SEP 04 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 170.9W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 170.9W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 170.1W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.8N 173.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.0N 176.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.3N 180.0E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.6N 177.0E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.7N 171.2E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 17.7N 165.9E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.0N 161.1E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 171W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z FORECASTER MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:14 2003 X-UIDL: 37869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001K859EDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:51:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842p9mV041324 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:51:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRHZ041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:49:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 628173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:49:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842nEc9064918 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:49:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h842nD7S017501 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h842nDdE017500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:49:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Advisory Number 29 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040249.h842nDdE017500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 040247 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED SEP 03 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 170.9 WEST OR ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...14.7N 170.9W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:15 2003 X-UIDL: 37871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO0011Q5Z2DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:06:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8436MmV043606 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:06:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRHx041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:03:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 628380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:03:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8433Rc9040250 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:03:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8433Q7S017787 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:03:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8433QEG017786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:03:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:03:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Discussion Number 29 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040303.h8433QEG017786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 040302 TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED SEP 03 2003 JIMENA CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD PERIPHERAL LOW LEVEL CLOUD CIRCULATION AND CONSTANT CONVECTION ABOUT ITS CENTER. WITH ITS CONTINUING PATH UNDER FAVORABLE NONSHEAR CONDITIONS ALOFT WILL INCREASE MAXIMUM WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WITHIN 24 HOURS. JIMENAS MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST AT A 16 KNOT SPEED SHOULD GO UNIMPEDED FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS BEFORE AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP NORTH OF JIMENAS FUTURE PATH. THIS NEW SHEARING ACTION FROM ALOFT MAY WELL KEEP SHIP AND SHIFORS STRENGTHENING TREND AT BAY. WE CONTINUE TO NUDGE JIMENA NORTH OF ITS PRESENT COURSE AS IT FEELS THE UPPER LOW AND HAVE ALSO KEPT ITS MAXIMUM STRENGTH AT 30 KNOTS OVER THE FAR PERIODS. FORECASTER MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0300Z 14.7N 170.9W 25 KT 12HR VT 04/1200Z 14.8N 173.5W 25 KT 24HR VT 05/0000Z 15.0N 176.8W 30 KT 36HR VT 05/1200Z 15.3N 180.0E 30 KT 48HR VT 06/0000Z 15.6N 177.0E 30 KT 72HR VT 07/0000Z 16.7N 171.2E 30 KT 96HR VT 08/0000Z 17.7N 165.9E 30 KT 120HR VT 09/0000Z 19.0N 161.1E 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:20 2003 X-UIDL: 37878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001T48FCDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:59:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h843xImV050805 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:59:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRK1041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:54:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 629039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:54:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h843smc9035012 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:54:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h843sk7S018440 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:54:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h843skBp018439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:54:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040354.h843skBp018439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 040400 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 19.5N5 112.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 112.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.0N2 113.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.6N8 115.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.1N4 117.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 21.5N8 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 22.0N4 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040000Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.5N5 112.5W9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 255 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040000Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041000Z5, 041600Z1, 042200Z8, AND 050400Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:20 2003 X-UIDL: 37879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001VG8FZDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:59:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h843xumV050884 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:59:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRKF041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 629117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h843ulc9035808 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h843uk7S018466 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h843ukbJ018464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040356.h843ukbJ018464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XII, Probability=12%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 040400 RRA SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 19.5N5 112.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 112.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.0N2 113.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 20.6N8 115.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 21.1N4 117.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:22 2003 X-UIDL: 37880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001128HFDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 12:00:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8440b0Z093792 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 12:00:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRKD041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 629097 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h843uac9015370 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h843uZ7S018455 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h843uYZt018454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040356.h843uYZt018454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 040356 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 04 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 19.6N 112.8W AT 04/0300 UTC MOVING WNW AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE WAS RELOCATED ALONG 92W/93W BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. IT IS MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N124W AND IS NEAR STATIONARY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN A 90/120 NM RADIUS OF 14N124W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N128W AND EXTENDS ALONG 28N130W TO BEYOND 26N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E... ELEVEN-E CONTINUES AS A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC ROTATION ELONGATED NE/SW WITH THE EXACT CENTER DIFFICULT TO FIND. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 19.5N113W TO 18N115W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N111.5W TO 20N116W AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N108.5W TO 21N109.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N100W THEN BECOMES DIFFUSE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM THE ITCZ AXIS TO 8N E OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 12.5N E OF 88W TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA MOSTLY OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N TO 5N E OF 80W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA...WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N83W TO 11N87W...AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N92.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM DOT THE REMAINDER OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 80W TO 93W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 37881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO0017M8J9DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 12:01:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8441dmV051110 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 12:01:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83Dg98l005224; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 629120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h843ulc9035048 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h843uk7S018467 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h843ukkk018465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:56:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 48 Hrs, Valid At: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040356.h843ukkk018465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 040400 RRB 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 21.5N8 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 22.0N4 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040000Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.5N5 112.5W9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 255 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040000Z4 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041000Z5, 041600Z1, 042200Z8, AND 050400Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:24 2003 X-UIDL: 37884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001ID9GZDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 12:22:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h844M70Z097767 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 12:22:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0d7N104104; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:19:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 629481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:19:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h844JDc9049286 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:19:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h844J87S018811 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:19:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h844J83X018810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:19:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 23:19:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040419.h844J83X018810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 040418 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 16:32:45 2003 X-UIDL: 37907-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001C9JW3DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:07:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84875mV089580 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:07:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3cx007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:01:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 633256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8481Uc9005246 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:01:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8481T7S021464 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:01:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8481TZR021463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:01:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:01:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040801.h8481TZR021463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 040800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED SEP 3 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 16:44:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO00192L95DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:36:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h848aP0Z035852 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:36:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3eB007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 633617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h848VTc9088052 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h848VS7S021778 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h848VRl9021777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Discussion Number 30 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040831.h848VRl9021777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 040830 TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST WED SEP 03 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA CONTINUES ALONG ITS WESTWARD TREK AT ABOUT 16 KT ACROSS THE WARM TROPICAL WATERS OF 28 TO 29 DEGREES CELSIUS TO THE SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL HEADING FOR THE DATELINE. THE FORWARD MOTION SPEED HAS BEEN KEPT UNCHANGED FROM THE LAST PACKAGE WITH AN ONLY MINOR SLOWING WITH TIME. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT HOWEVER JIMENA HAS NOT RESPONDED AS THERE SEEMS TO BE OTHER FACTORS MISSING SUCH AS PERHAPS A LITTLE MORE WIDESPREAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT AND CYCLONIC AT THE SURFACE. AS MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION THE PROGS DEVELOP AN UPPER LEVEL LOW AFTER 24 HOURS TO THE NORTH OF JIMENAS PATH WHICH WILL REPLACE THE PRESENT LIGHT EASTERLIES ALOFT WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE STRENGTH WESTERLIES. THIS SHOULD COUNTERACT THE TREND TOWARD DEVELOPMENT. WE HAVE THEREFORE KEPT JIMENAS WINDS AT 30 KT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. FORECASTER ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0900Z 15.1N 172.7W 25 KT 12HR VT 04/1800Z 15.2N 175.2W 25 KT 24HR VT 05/0600Z 15.4N 178.5W 30 KT 36HR VT 05/1800Z 15.7N 178.4E 30 KT 48HR VT 06/0600Z 16.1N 175.5E 30 KT 72HR VT 07/0600Z 17.2N 169.8E 30 KT 96HR VT 08/0600Z 18.3N 164.6E 30 KT 120HR VT 09/0600Z 19.6N 159.9E 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 16:44:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001A7L9EDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:36:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h848aV0Z035867 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:36:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3e7007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 633607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h848V1c9032206 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h848V07S021758 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h848V05m021757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Advisory Number 30 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040831.h848V05m021757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 040830 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST WED SEP 03 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 172.7 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...15.1 N...172.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM HST. FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 16:44:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001A6L9EDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:36:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h848aV0Z035869 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:36:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3e9007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 633611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h848VCc9083470 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h848VB7S021772 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h848VBu4021771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:31:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 30 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040831.h848VBu4021771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 040830 TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0900Z THU SEP 04 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 172.7W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 172.7W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 171.9W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.2N 175.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.4N 178.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.7N 178.4E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.1N 175.5E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.2N 169.8E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 18.3N 164.6E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 19.6N 159.9E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 173W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 17:52:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37913-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001CWMECDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:01:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8491JmV097827 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:01:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3ev007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:54:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 634039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:54:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h848sEc9042704 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:54:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h848sD7S022010 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:54:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h848sDWf022009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:54:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:54:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040854.h848sDWf022009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 040853 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU SEP 04 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E REMAINS SOMEWHAT ELONGATED NORTH-SOUTH WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION NOT CLEARLY DEFINED. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY UPON CONTINUITY FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS A COMPROMISE OF THE SATELLITE CENTER FIXES FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 30 KT FROM ALL THREE CENTERS AND THIS WILL BE THE INITIAL INTENSITY AS WELL. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 295/6. THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEER THE DEPRESSION WESTWARD. MODEL GUIDANCE GENERALLY AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO BUT DIFFER IN THE EVOLUTION AND STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE. ACCORDINGLY...THERE IS SOME DIVERGENCE OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE WITH THE GFDL AND CANADIAN MODEL INDICATING A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WHILE THE UKMET AND NOGAPS SHOW A WESTWARD TO SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST ESSENTIALLY SPLITS THE DIFFERENCE AND CALLS FOR A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH 48 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WESTWARD TURN AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND LOW-LEVEL STEERING BECOME PREDOMINANT. THIS IS SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND CONSISTENT WITH THE GFS FORECAST. THE DEPRESSION IS OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28C-29C...BUT EXPERIENCING MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR AS EVIDENCED BY THE WESTWARD DISPLACEMENT OF CONVECTION FROM THE CENTER. GLOBAL MODELS AND SHIPS GUIDANCE INDICATE THAT THE SHEAR MAY WEAKEN WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS BUT THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE CYCLONE OVER TEMPERATURES OF LESS THAN 26C AFTER 48 HR. THEREFORE SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER. FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0900Z 19.9N 113.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 04/1800Z 20.3N 114.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 05/0600Z 20.8N 114.9W 40 KT 36HR VT 05/1800Z 21.3N 116.0W 45 KT 48HR VT 06/0600Z 21.9N 117.5W 45 KT 72HR VT 07/0600Z 22.5N 121.0W 35 KT 96HR VT 08/0600Z 22.5N 125.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 09/0600Z 22.5N 129.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 17:52:03 2003 X-UIDL: 37914-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001FZMF1DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:01:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8491kmV097881 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:01:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YBeF032784; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:56:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 634052 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:56:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h848uQc9023374 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:56:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h848uP7S022035 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:56:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h848uPUw022034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:56:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:56:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040856.h848uPUw022034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 040855 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 0900Z THU SEP 04 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 113.3W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 113.3W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 113.0W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.3N 114.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.8N 114.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.3N 116.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.9N 117.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 22.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 22.5N 125.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.5N 129.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 113.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 17:53:33 2003 X-UIDL: 37919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001VLORMDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:52:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h849ptmV003914 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:52:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YBeZ032784; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:45:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 634584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:45:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h849jGc9045906 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:45:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h849jF7S022493 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h849jFRh022492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:45:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040945.h849jFRh022492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 040944 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 04 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 19.9N 113.3W AT 04/0900 UTC MOVING WNW AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 93W/94W MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13.5N124W AND IS NEAR STATIONARY. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 13.5N FROM 123W TO 126W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N125W AND EXTENDS ALONG 28N128W TO 23N137W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E... ELEVEN-E CONTINUES AS A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC ROTATION ELONGATED N/S WITH THE LOW LEVEL CENTER DIFFICULT TO FIND. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 19.5N113W TO 18N115W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 19N FROM 113W TO 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 20N115W TO 22N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N88W 10N102W 11N114W 11N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 84W INCLUDING A PORTION OF PANAMA AND SE COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78.5W TO 79.5W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N TO 5N E OF 80W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8.5N84W TO 9.5N86.5W...N OF 12N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR FROM 88W TO 100W...WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 14N99.5W...AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 15N118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 6N FROM 94W TO 97W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 18:23:25 2003 X-UIDL: 37920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001XVPXCDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 18:17:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84AHWmV008235 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 18:17:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3fx007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:02:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 634728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84A2bc9013544 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84A2a7S022719 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:02:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84A2aW1022718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:02:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:02:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041002.h84A2aW1022718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 041001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0825 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA NEAR 15.0N 171.9W AT 0600 UTC HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 17N173W 16N171W 13N172W 13N175W...SEE LATEST ADVISORIES FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N154W 07N156W 06N161W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N152W 07N148W 05N148W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 2 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 18N170W 16N168W 14N166W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N176W 12N180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14N164W 13N160W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S169W 15S170W 14S173W 11S172W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 8 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 18:23:28 2003 X-UIDL: 37921-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001EJQ3PDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 18:21:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84ALL0Z050154 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 18:21:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3g7007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:15:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 634814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:15:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84AFDc9023346 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:15:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84AFC7S022834 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:15:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84AFC3m022833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:15:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 05:15:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041015.h84AFC3m022833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 041014 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:10:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO0018IZNXDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:47:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Dlq0Z074304 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:47:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRHV041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:48:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 628151 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842mLc9099342 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h842mK7S017484 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h842mKan017483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:48:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Advisory Number 29 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040248.h842mKan017483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 040247 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST WED SEP 03 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 170.9 WEST OR ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...14.7N 170.9W. MOVEMENT TOWARD WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER MATSUDA NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:10:48 2003 X-UIDL: 37929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001O60XYDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:15:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EFS0Z078827 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:15:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3ln007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:01:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 637965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84E1Yc9071992 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84E1X7S026446 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84E1XvE026445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:01:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041401.h84E1XvE026445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 041400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU SEP 4 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 280 MILES WEST/SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:10:53 2003 X-UIDL: 37932-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP00167226DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:39:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EdRmV043191 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:39:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3oP007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 638753 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EVXc9042554 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84EVW7S027473 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EVW4v027472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Discussion Number 31 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041431.h84EVW4v027472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 041431 TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST THU SEP 04 2003 LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS ADVISORIES WITH PRETTY MUCH THE SAME TRACK AND INTENSITIES USED. A SMALL BOOST TO 30 KT FOR THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS MADE AS THE SYSTEM LOOKS A LITTLE BETTER THAN EARLIER WITH QUITE INTENSE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE CENTRAL CORE AT THE MOMENT. MODELS DONT DO MUCH WITH THE VORTEX BUT THEN IT IS RATHER FEEBLE INITIALLY WITH WESTERLIES IN THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE VERY WEAK. THE TRANSLATION SPEED OF 15 TO 20 KT IS A LITTLE HIGHER THAN USUAL AND MAKES IT DIFFICULT FOR A CLOSED CIRCULATION TO MAINTAIN ITSELF. JIMENA IS FORECASTED TO CROSS THE DATELINE IN 24 HOURS AND WILL START COMING UNDER A LITTLE MORE VERTICAL SHEAR AS AN UPPER LOW STRENGTHENS NORTH OF THE TRACK AND PLACES WESTERLIES ALOFT ABOVE JIMENA. HAVE DECIDED TO KEEP JIMENA AT 30 KT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ON THE PROJECTED PATH JIMENA OR ITS REMNANTS WILL BE MOVING JUST SOUTH OF WAKE ISLAND AT 071200Z. FORECASTER ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/1500Z 15.3N 174.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 05/0000Z 15.4N 176.8W 30 KT 24HR VT 05/1200Z 15.7N 180.0E 30 KT 36HR VT 06/0000Z 16.0N 177.0E 30 KT 48HR VT 06/1200Z 16.5N 174.1E 30 KT 72HR VT 07/1200Z 17.6N 168.6E 30 KT 96HR VT 08/1200Z 18.7N 163.5E 30 KT 120HR VT 09/1200Z 20.1N 158.9E 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:10:54 2003 X-UIDL: 37933-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001BY255DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:41:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EfP0Z083522 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:41:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3oJ007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 638727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EV5c9099202 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84EV37S027445 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EV3Pu027441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 31 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041431.h84EV3Pu027441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 041430 TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 1500Z THU SEP 04 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 174.3W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 277 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 174.3W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 173.5W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.4N 176.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.7N 180.0E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.0N 177.0E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N 174.1E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.6N 168.6E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 18.7N 163.5E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.1N 158.9E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 175W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:10:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37935-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001KW280DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:43:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Eh50Z083863 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:43:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3oL007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 638736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EV9c9052748 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84EV87S027459 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EV8op027458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:31:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Advisory Number 31 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041431.h84EV8op027458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 041430 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 AM HST THU SEP 04 2003 ..JIMENA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD... AT 5 AM HST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 174.3 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM HST POSITION...15.3 N...174.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM HST. FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:10:58 2003 X-UIDL: 37936-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001692LODI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:51:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Ep40Z084932 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:51:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3q5007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:43:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 639280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:43:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EhWc9036414 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:43:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84EhV7S027883 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:43:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EhVGG027882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:43:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:43:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041443.h84EhVGG027882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 041443 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 1500Z THU SEP 04 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 114.3W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 114.3W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 114.0W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.6N 115.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.3N 116.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.9N 118.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 23.3N 120.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.5N 123.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 23.5N 126.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 23.5N 129.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 114.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:10:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001812MLDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:51:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EpDmV044769 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:51:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3q1007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:42:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 639251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:42:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Eglc9036370 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:42:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84Egk7S027852 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:42:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EgksO027851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:42:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:42:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Eleven-e Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041442.h84EgksO027851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, OPPORTUNITY, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 041442 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU SEP 04 2003 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE DATA FROM A 12Z TRMM PASS INDICATE THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E IS ABOUT A DEGREE TO THE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. FURTHER RE-LOCATION MAY BE NECESSARY ONCE MORE VISIBLE IMAGES BECOME AVAILABLE. THE DEPRESSION REMAINS A BROAD CIRCULATION AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE 30 KT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 30 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 300/6. THE CYCLONE IS CURRENTLY ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE THAT SHOULD KEEP THE DEPRESSION ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE GFS...NOGAPS...AND GFDL AGREE WITH THIS INITIAL MOTION FOR THE FIRST 36-48 HOURS...AFTER WHICH DIVERGENCE IN THE TRACK OCCURS. BOTH THE NOGAPS AND UKMET ARE INFLUENCED BY A SECOND LOW TO THE SOUTHWEST...HOWEVER THE GFS INITIALIZES THE SYSTEM THE BEST AND MOVES ELEVEN-E ON A WESTERLY TRACK AFTER 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TO ACCOUNT FOR THE RE-LOCATION OF THE CENTER...AND FOLLOWS THE GENERAL SOLUTION OF THE GFS GUIDANCE. THE DEPRESSION WILL HAVE A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO REACH MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STATUS IN THE NEXT DAY. THE NEW ADJUSTED TRACK TAKES THE DEPRESSION INTO COOLER WATERS...LESS THAN 26C...AFTER 24 HOURS AND WEAKENS THE SYSTEM THEREAFTER. FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/1500Z 21.2N 114.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 05/0000Z 21.6N 115.2W 35 KT 24HR VT 05/1200Z 22.3N 116.7W 35 KT 36HR VT 06/0000Z 22.9N 118.3W 30 KT 48HR VT 06/1200Z 23.3N 120.0W 30 KT 72HR VT 07/1200Z 23.5N 123.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 08/1200Z 23.5N 126.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 09/1200Z 23.5N 129.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37938-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001HW2R4DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:54:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Esb0Z085287 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:54:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3qP007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 639458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EmTc9087134 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84EmR7S028060 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EmR14028058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041448.h84EmR14028058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 041000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 19.8N8 113.0W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 113.0W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.3N5 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 20.8N0 114.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 21.3N6 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001SU2WVDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:58:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EvomV045461 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:58:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EIvl9032556; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 639424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84ElPc9105530 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84ElO7S028026 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84ElOGD028024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041447.h84ElOGD028024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 041300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/041300Z/050600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 24.5N1 152.2E0, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.4N1 152.8E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 149.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC); AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AT 040731Z5 REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS STILL WEAK, BROAD AND ELONGATED. THE MOST RECENT SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OUT OF GUAM REPORTS THE WIND TO BE LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WITH A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1009 MB. ANALYSIS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CIMSS 200 MB CHART INDICATES 20 TO 30 KNOTS OF NORTHEAST SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE; THIS SHEAR EFFECT IS CLEARLY EVIDENT IN ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FURTHER ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SHEAR EFFECT IS BEING OFFSET BY GOOD DIFFLUENCE DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF A RIDGE AXIS JUST TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15.2N8 134.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER THE LLCC. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER AIR DEPICTS A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND SOME DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/SANTOS/EDBERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP0014531BDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:00:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84F0YmV045877 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:00:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3qR007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 639469 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EmTc9099322 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84EmR7S028064 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EmRKI028059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Of 30 Knots. Maximum Significant Wave Height At 040600z0 Is Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041448.h84EmRKI028059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 041000 RRB OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041600Z1, 042200Z8, 050400Z9 AND 051000Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:03 2003 X-UIDL: 37941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001SK5QGDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:59:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84FwrmV053108 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:58:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3xr007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:50:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 641405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84FoCc9099228 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:50:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84FoB7S000404 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84FoBPK000403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:50:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041550.h84FoBPK000403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 041549 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 04 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 21.2N 114.3W AT 04/1500 UTC MOVING WNW AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W MOVING W 5 KT. THIS IS THE WAVE THAT SPAWNED THE DEPRESSION IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. HOWEVER IT SHOWS NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION IN THE EPAC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 11N95W. ..1008 MB LOW IS NEAR 14N124W DRIFTING W. SYSTEM IS GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH EVIDENCE OF CURVED BANDS AND STRONG CONVECTION OVERHEAD. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER. ..SURFACE TROUGH ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N126W AND EXTENDS SW TO 17N129W. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS BEHIND THE TROUGH. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DISPLACED S ALONG 24N126W 29N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1515 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E... FIRST VISIBLE PICTURES SHOW A SYSTEM ELONGATED FROM NE TO SW AND PARTIALLY EXPOSED. THERE ARE BANDS OF RAIN AFFECTING SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS AS WELL AS S OF THE DEPRESSION NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND. THERE IS SOME CHANCE OF INTENSIFICATION TO STORM STATUS BEFORE ENCOUNTERING COOLER WATERS IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 19N-21N BETWEEN 113W-116.5W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 19N-24N BETWEEN 104W-111W WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER THE CABO SAN LUCAS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 13N105W 15N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 79W-87W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF 6.5N96W...10N90W...14N101W AND 13N105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N FROM 112W-121W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10.5N131W 12N136W 15N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED TSTMS S OF GUATEMALA NEAR 13N92W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:16 2003 X-UIDL: 37948-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP0010697JDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:14:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84HE3mV064931 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:14:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x31n007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:20:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 642219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:20:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84GKuc9044550 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:20:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84GKs7S001695 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:20:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84GKslg001694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:20:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 11:20:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041620.h84GKslg001694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 041620 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY BE FORMING. LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED TODAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:17 2003 X-UIDL: 37950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001Y1A7PDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:35:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84HZjmV068600 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:35:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h845k4m1049174; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 639464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EmTc9087136 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84EmS7S028069 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EmS3m028065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041448.h84EmS3m028065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 041000 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.9N2 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.5N9 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040600Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.8N8 113.0W5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040600Z0 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041600Z1, 042200Z8, 050400Z9 AND 051000Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:18 2003 X-UIDL: 37951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP0019NAF2DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:40:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84HeCmV069612 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:40:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h845k4ld049174; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:46:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 639366 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:45:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EjPc9035886 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:45:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84EjN7S027941 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:45:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EjNRU027940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:45:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:45:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041445.h84EjNRU027940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 041000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 15.0N6 171.9W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 171.9W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.2N8 175.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.4N0 178.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.7N3 178.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 16.1N8 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.2N0 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 040600Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 171.9W8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041600Z1, 042200Z8, 050400Z9 AND 051000Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:20 2003 X-UIDL: 37953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001SPAQGDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:47:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Hl20Z012787 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:47:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YBkN032784; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 639461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EmTc9105572 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84EmS7S028068 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EmSip028063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:48:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041448.h84EmSip028063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 041000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 15.0N6 171.9W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 171.9W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 15.2N8 175.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.4N0 178.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.7N3 178.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 16.1N8 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.2N0 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 040600Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 171.9W8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:22 2003 X-UIDL: 37955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001KYB76DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:57:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Hv4mV072353 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:57:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h845k4lj049174; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:46:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 639386 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:46:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EkTc9062908 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:46:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84EkR7S027985 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:46:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84EkRkl027984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:46:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:46:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041446.h84EkRkl027984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 041000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 19.8N8 113.0W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 113.0W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.3N5 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 20.8N0 114.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 21.3N6 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.9N2 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.5N9 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040600Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.8N8 113.0W5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040600Z0 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041600Z1, 042200Z8, 050400Z9 AND 051000Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:26 2003 X-UIDL: 37961-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP0017PHCHDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:09:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84K9o0Z040341 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:09:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3LF007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:01:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 648441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:01:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84K14c9004524 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84K137S009680 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:01:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84K13GA009679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:01:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:01:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042001.h84K13GA009679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 042000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU SEP 4 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED SATURDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:28 2003 X-UIDL: 37963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP00170ICBDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:31:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KVL0Z044952 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:31:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h845k43v049174; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 648743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KDJc9031270 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84KDI7S010086 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84KDI6g010084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042013.h84KDI6g010084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 041300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/041300Z/050600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 24.5N1 152.2E0, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.4N1 152.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 149.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC); AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AT 040731Z5 REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS STILL WEAK, BROAD AND ELONGATED. THE MOST RECENT SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OUT OF GUAM REPORTS THE WIND TO BE LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WITH A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1009 MB. ANALYSIS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CIMSS 200 MB CHART INDICATES 20 TO 30 KNOTS OF NORTHEAST SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE; THIS SHEAR EFFECT IS CLEARLY EVIDENT IN ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FURTHER ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SHEAR EFFECT IS BEING OFFSET BY GOOD DIFFLUENCE DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF A RIDGE AXIS JUST TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15.2N8 134.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER THE LLCC. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER AIR DEPICTS A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND SOME DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: MADE GRAMMATICAL CHANGES IN PARA 1.B.(3). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/SANTOS/EDBERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:30 2003 X-UIDL: 37965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP0011QITHDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:41:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Kfe0Z046784 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:41:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84HutCj052922; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:32:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 649179 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:32:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KW5c9048148 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84KW47S010887 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:32:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84KW4O5010886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:32:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:32:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042032.h84KW4O5010886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PHNC 042030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 042021Z SEP 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 180 NM RADIUS OF 14.4N9 124.2W9 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CY CLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 041800Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 124.0W7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE IN VESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 051800Z4. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 123.9W5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 124.0W7, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. A 041110Z7 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A WELL- DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION CURVING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AREA ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MIMIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 052030Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37966-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001P7J6PDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:49:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KnW0Z048293 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:49:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3N1007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 649222 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KYkc9013610 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84KYi7S010976 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84KYiSO010974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042034.h84KYiSO010974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 042034 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 2100Z THU SEP 04 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 114.9W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 114.9W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 114.6W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.5N 116.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.2N 117.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.7N 119.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.1N 120.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 23.5N 124.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 23.5N 127.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 114.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:32 2003 X-UIDL: 37967-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001F9JL7DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:58:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KwH0Z049859 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:58:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3Pd007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:48:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 649660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:48:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KmDc9089336 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:48:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84KmB7S011444 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:48:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84KmBes011443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:48:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:48:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 32 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042048.h84KmBes011443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 042047 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU SEP 04 2003 ..JIMENA RESTRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM BUT CONTINUES TO MOVE STEADILY WESTWARD AND AWAY FROM HAWAII... AT 11 AM HST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 176.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1200 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM HST POSITION...14.4N...176.6W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM HST. FORECASTER MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:33 2003 X-UIDL: 37968-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001GMJM6DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:58:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Kwm0Z049925 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:58:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3Mx007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 649216 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KYGc9080652 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84KYF7S010959 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84KYFIX010958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:34:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Kevin Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042034.h84KYFIX010958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 042033 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU SEP 04 2003 A QUIKSCAT OVERPASS AT 1335Z SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF 30 KT WINDS SURROUNDING THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE...WITH RAIN CONTAMINATED WINDS AS HIGH AS 55 KT IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. WHILE THIS MAY BE TOO HIGH...THE DATA SUPPORT UPGRADING THE SYSTEM TO TROPICAL STORM KEVIN. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA SUPPORT ALSO SUPPORT THE UPGRADE. KEVIN CONTINUES TO HAVE A LARGE CIRCULATION...AND MULTIPLE SWIRLS OF LOW CLOUDS APPEAR TO BE ROTATING AROUND THE MEAN CENTER. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE MEAN CENTER. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 300/8. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF KEVIN. THIS SHOULD STEER KEVIN BASICALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS CAUSED BY A TROUGH ADVANCING EASTWARD TO THE U. S. PACIFIC NORTHWEST. SINCE KEVIN SHOULD WEAKEN OVER COOLER WATER AS IT APPROACHES THE WEAKENESS...IT WILL LIKELY TURN MORE WESTWARD AS LOW-LEVEL STEERING BECOMES PREDOMINANT. THIS IS THE SCENARIO OF THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...WHICH IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS AND NOGAPS. EVEN AS KEVIN IS BEING NAMED...IT LOOKS LIKE IT IS PEAKING AS IT HEADS FOR COLDER WATER. THE CENTER IS BECOMING LESS INVOLVED WITH THE CONVECTION...WHICH HAS DECREASED IN COVERAGE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE STORM OVER 23C-24C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BY 72 HR...WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN STEADY WEAKENING. KEVIN SHOULD WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION IN 24-36 HR AND BECOME A NON-CONVECTIVE LOW IN 72-96 HR...FOLLOWED BY DISSIPATION. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE WELL-DEFINED CLOUD SWIRL NEAR 21.8N114.2W IS THE ACTUAL CENTER AND NOT ROTATING AROUND THE MEAN CENTER. IF THAT IS THE CASE...THE FORECAST TRACK MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED SOMEWHAT TO THE NORTH AND A FASTER WEAKENING FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 21.0N 114.9W 35 KT 12HR VT 05/0600Z 21.5N 116.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 05/1800Z 22.2N 117.5W 35 KT 36HR VT 06/0600Z 22.7N 119.1W 30 KT 48HR VT 06/1800Z 23.1N 120.8W 30 KT 72HR VT 07/1800Z 23.5N 124.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 08/1800Z 23.5N 127.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:34 2003 X-UIDL: 37969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001W6JV8DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:04:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84L4ImV009250 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:04:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YB6L032784; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:47:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 649644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:47:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KlQc9089304 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:47:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84KlP7S011416 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:47:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84KlOaX011415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:47:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 32 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042047.h84KlOaX011415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 042047 TCMCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 2100Z THU SEP 04 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 176.6W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 176.6W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 175.7W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.5N 179.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.9N 177.5E MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.4N 174.5E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.0N 171.6E MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.1N 166.6E MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 17.9N 163.1E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 18.9N 159.6E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14N 177W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z FORECASTER MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:38 2003 X-UIDL: 37972-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001MKKDRDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:15:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84LFN0Z052490 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:15:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3S3007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:06:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 650238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:06:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84L6Sc9086150 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:06:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84L6R7S012240 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:06:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84L6RYL012237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:06:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:06:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 32 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042106.h84L6RYL012237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 042106 TCDCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 AM HST THU SEP 04 2003 JIMENA HAS SHOWN A CONSISTENT GROWTH IN ITS CONVECTIVE BONNET FROM YESTERDAY. MOST DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS ARE NOW AT 2.5 INDICATING THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE REACHED TROPICAL STORM FORCE. ALTHOUGH JIMENAS PATH HAS SHOWN A SLIGHT NORTHWARD JOG OVER THE PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS BELIEVE THE DEEP STRENGTHENING RIDGE TO ITS NORTH WILL KEEP JIMENA MOVING STRAIGHT WESTWARD NEAR 15 DEGREES NORTH OR SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THAT. THE NONSHEAR AND WARM SSTS PERSUADE US TO GO ALONG WITH THE INCREASING TREND OF MOST INTENSITY MODELS THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE PROJECTED DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH OF ITS FUTURE PATH WEST OF THE DATELINE SHOULD PROVIDE HIGH LEVEL SHEARING..WEAKENING..AND A MORE WESTNORTHWARD ORIENTATION TO ITS PATH THEREAFTER. FORECASTER MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 14.4N 176.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 05/0600Z 14.5N 179.2W 35 KT 24HR VT 05/1800Z 14.9N 177.5E 40 KT 36HR VT 06/0600Z 15.4N 174.5E 45 KT 48HR VT 06/1800Z 16.0N 171.6E 45 KT 72HR VT 07/1800Z 17.1N 166.6E 40 KT 96HR VT 08/1800Z 17.9N 163.1E 35 KT 120HR VT 09/1800Z 18.9N 159.6E 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:42 2003 X-UIDL: 37977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001HSLM9DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:42:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84LfYmV015085 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:42:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3VH007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:33:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 651137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:33:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84LXhc9013456 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:33:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84LXg7S013100 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:33:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84LXgko013099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:33:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:33:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042133.h84LXgko013099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 042133 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 04 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...CENTERED 305 NM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 21.0N 114.9W AT 04/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR 14N125W AT 21/1800 UTC WITH NEARLY STATIONARY MOVEMENT. THE DISTURBANCE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A 1008 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W N OF 3N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THERE IS VERY LITTLE TSTM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE BUT A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS OBSERVED S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 92W-98W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1014 MB SURFACE LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST SWD ALONG 32N127W 26N130W. A BROKEN/OVERCAST DECK OF STRATOCUMULUS HAS BEEN LOCATED W OF THE TROUGH WITH AFTERNOON HEATING NOW CAUSING THE LEADING EDGE TO ERODE A BIT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 28N140W 26N130W 30N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM KEVIN... EVEN THOUGH T.D. ELEVEN-E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO T.S. KEVIN...THE STORM APPEARS TO BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SOME FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT NELY SHEAR. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS POPPED OUT OF THE STRONGEST CONVECTION AND IS MOVING NW PARALLEL TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST. THE TSTM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN MAINTAINED CONSISTENTLY THROUGH THE DAY BUT IT IS LIMITED TO THE SW QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N-21.5N BETWEEN 114W-119W. A CONVERGENCE LINE S OF THE STORM HAS DEVELOPED SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N114W TO 16N123W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N125W... THE SURFACE LOW SW OF T.S. KEVIN HAS MAINTAINED CONVECTION LONG ENOUGH TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE. TSTM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED PRIMARILY ALONG TWO CONVERGENCE BANDS...ONE NORTHEAST AND ONE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THESE BANDS HAVE BEEN ROTATING CYCLONICALLY IN TOWARDS A COMMON CENTER. ALTHOUGH STRONG AT TIMES EARLIER TODAY... CONVECTION HAS BEEN WANING A BIT IN INTENSITY WITH SCATTERED MODERATE NOW FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 123W-127W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N93W 6N103W THEN BECOMES DIFFUSE. STRONG SLY CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW S OF T.S. KEVIN HAS ERASED ANY TRACE OF A WELL-DEFINED AXIS...BUT IT SEEMS TO PICK UP AGAIN ALONG 12N124W 10N130W 14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 81W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 132W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 100W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS NEAR THE ENTRANCE TO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 19N-27N BETWEEN 105W-111W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:43 2003 X-UIDL: 37978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001P3MYIDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:11:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MB4mV019189 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:11:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h845k47T049174; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 651833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84M2gc9057448 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84M2f7S013848 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84M2fvj013847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042202.h84M2fvj013847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 042202 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM KEVIN...LOCATED ABOUT 345 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A NEARLY STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1050 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD STILL DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:44 2003 X-UIDL: 37979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001W6N4DDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:14:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MEamV019627 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:14:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YB9t032784; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 651842 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84M2vc9057910 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84M2u7S013857 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84M2u2u013856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:02:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042202.h84M2u2u013856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 042201 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL STORM JIMENA NEAR 14.4N 176.6W HAVE OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 16N178W 11N176E 13N180...AND HAS MOVED WEST 17 KT. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTEND ACROSS THE DATELINE AND ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N178W 01N163E. THESE CB HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN SIZE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 17N172W 15N169W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 15S174W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:45 2003 X-UIDL: 37981-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001BVNEJDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:20:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MKf0Z063337 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:20:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MCgcB007062; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 652070 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MDIc9028996 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84MDH7S014077 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84MDH11014074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042213.h84MDH11014074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 042200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 032 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 14.4N9 175.7W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 175.7W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.5N0 179.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.9N4 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.4N0 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:46 2003 X-UIDL: 37982-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001DVNGCDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:21:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MLj0Z063471 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:21:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YBA7032784; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:14:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 652102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:14:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MEKc9100062 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:14:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84MEJ7S014104 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:14:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84MEJ4F014103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:14:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:14:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Based On 041800z3 Visible And Infrared Satellite Imagery. The Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042214.h84MEJ4F014103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 042200 RRC BASED ON 041800Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050400Z9, 051000Z6, 051600Z2 AND 052200Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11E (KEVIN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:47 2003 X-UIDL: 37983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001GZNJ9DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:23:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MNVmV020860 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:23:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3YF007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:12:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 652040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MCEc9021032 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84MCD7S014049 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:12:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84MCCpU014048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:12:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:12:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042212.h84MCCpU014048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 042200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 032 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 14.4N9 175.7W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 175.7W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.5N0 179.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 14.9N4 177.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.4N0 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.0N7 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.1N9 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.9N7 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 18.9N8 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 041800Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.4N9 175.7W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041800Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050400Z9, 051000Z6, 051600Z2 AND 052200Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11E (KEVIN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:48 2003 X-UIDL: 37984-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001QLNTWDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:29:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MTAmV021422 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:29:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YBA5032784; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 652073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MDJc9099232 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84MDH7S014078 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84MDHV1014076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:13:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 060 Nm Northeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042213.h84MDHV1014076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 042200 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.0N7 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.1N9 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.9N7 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 18.9N8 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 041800Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.4N9 175.7W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:49 2003 X-UIDL: 37986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001G0OXEDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:53:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MrZmV025090 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:53:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MCgdv007062; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 652890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Mn3c9013234 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84Mn27S014857 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84Mn2gf014856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 48 Hr Posit: 285 Deg/ 08 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042249.h84Mn2gf014856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 042200 RRB VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 23.1N6 120.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 23.5N0 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.5N0 127.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041800Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.8N0 114.6W2 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11E (KEVIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041800Z3 ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050400Z9, 051000Z6, 051600Z2 AND 052200Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:50 2003 X-UIDL: 37987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001G1OXEDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:53:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MrZ0Z068178 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:53:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MCgdx007062; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 652893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Mn5c9013238 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84Mn47S014862 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84Mn4oi014861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:49:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042249.h84Mn4oi014861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 042200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 11E (KEVIN) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 20.8N0 114.6W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 114.6W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 21.5N8 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 22.2N6 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.7N1 119.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:52 2003 X-UIDL: 37988-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001O0P30DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:57:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Muv0Z068754 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:56:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MCgdr007062; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:47:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 652860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:47:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84Ml8c9048274 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84Ml77S014812 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:47:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84Ml7oi014811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:47:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 17:47:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042247.h84Ml7oi014811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 042200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 11E (KEVIN) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 20.8N0 114.6W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 114.6W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 21.5N8 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 22.2N6 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.7N1 119.1W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 23.1N6 120.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 23.5N0 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.5N0 127.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041800Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.8N0 114.6W2 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11E (KEVIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041800Z3 ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050400Z9, 051000Z6, 051600Z2 AND 052200Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:06 2003 X-UIDL: 38003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP005CZZBRR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:38:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852c90Z004693 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:38:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MOdPV052922; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:34:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 657484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:34:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852Ycc9017456 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:34:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h852Yb7S018370 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h852Ybv2018369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:34:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050234.h852Ybv2018369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 050234 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU SEP 04 2003 AS MENTIONED IN THE LAST DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE CLOUD SWIRLS WERE VISIBLE TO THE NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION AND THE QUESTION WAS... WAS ONE OF THESE THE ACTUAL CENTER OR WERE THEY ROTATING AROUND A BROADER CENTER. ADDITIONAL VISIBLE SATELLITE ANIMATION HAS NOT REALLY ANSWERED THE QUESTION. THE WESTERN MOST CENTER HAS ACTUALLY MOVED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH WHILE THE EASTERN MOST IS JUST ABOUT GONE. TAFB AND SAB ALSO ARE HAVING SOME DIFFICULTY IN DETERMINING THE CENTER. THEREFORE...THE MORE CONSERVATIVE APPROACH IS TAKEN IN THIS PACKAGE...WITH A BROADER CIRCULATION DETERMINING THE INITIAL POSITION. THE EAST-NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR THAT IS EXPOSING THE LOW LEVEL CENTER HAS ALSO WEAKENED THE SYSTEM AND KEVIN HAS BEEN DOWN GRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KTS. SHORTLY...THE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING OVER COOLER SSTS AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN WITH TIME AS SUGGESTED BY ALL OF THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 315/12. THE SYNOPTIC REASONING REMAINS THE SAME AS IN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF KEVIN. THIS SHOULD STEER KEVIN BASICALLY NORTHWEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS CAUSED BY A TROUGH ADVANCING EASTWARD TOWARD THE U. S. PACIFIC NORTHWEST. SINCE KEVIN SHOULD WEAKEN OVER COOLER WATER AS IT APPROACHES THE WEAKENESS...IT WILL LIKELY TURN MORE WESTWARD AS LOW-LEVEL STEERING BECOMES PREDOMINANT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0300Z 22.1N 115.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 05/1200Z 22.8N 116.6W 30 KT 24HR VT 06/0000Z 23.4N 118.2W 30 KT 36HR VT 06/1200Z 24.0N 120.2W 25 KT 48HR VT 07/0000Z 24.2N 122.3W 25 KT 72HR VT 08/0000Z 24.1N 124.7W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 09/0000Z 24.1N 127.7W 15 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:08 2003 X-UIDL: 38004-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP005QQZRIR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:47:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852lNmV059828 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:47:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852hMc9035628; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:43:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 657680 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:43:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852hLc9102496 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:43:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h852hJ7S018469 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:43:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h852hJHT018468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:43:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:43:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050243.h852hJHT018468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 050242 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU SEP 4 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 18 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:09 2003 X-UIDL: 38005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP005WYZUAR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:49:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852nE0Z006201 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:49:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852hMcJ035628; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:46:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 657737 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:46:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852kCc9017644 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h852kB7S018536 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h852kBpO018535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:46:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 33 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050246.h852kBpO018535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RAZOR2_CHECK, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 050245 TCMCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0300Z FRI SEP 05 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 178.2W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 178.2W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 177.4W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.5N 179.2E MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.5N 176.0E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.3N 173.2E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.3N 171.0E MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.9N 166.8E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 17.9N 162.0E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 18.4N 156.7E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14N 178W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z FORECASTER MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:09 2003 X-UIDL: 38006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP005BFZZ2R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:52:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852q9mV060441 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:52:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852hMcX035628; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:47:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 657776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:47:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852lkc9017448 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:47:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h852li7S018575 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:47:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h852li9Q018574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:47:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:47:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Advisory Number 33 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050247.h852li9Q018574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA33 PHFO 050247 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST THU SEP 04 2003 ..JIMENA REMAINS ON ITS STEADY FARAWAY PATH TOWARD THE DATELINE... AT 5 PM HST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1300 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM HST POSITION...13.5N 178.2W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM HST. FORECASTER MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:10 2003 X-UIDL: 38007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005H800YR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:53:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852r70Z006716 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:53:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852hMcd035628; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:49:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 657828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:49:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852njc9007122 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h852ni7S018616 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:49:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h852nibn018615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:49:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:49:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Storm Jimena Discussion Number 33 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050249.h852nibn018615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 050249 TCDCP3 TROPICAL STORM JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 33 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 5 PM HST THU SEP 04 2003 THE CLOUD AND CB STRUCTURE OF JIMENA HAS BECOME QUITE RAGGED SINCE ITS TEMPORARY STRENGTHENING. ITS CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED WITH 10 DEGC WARMER TOPS FROM 6 HOURS AGO. COVERAGE HAS LESSENED AS WELL AND CBS NOW APPEAR TO BE MOSTLY WEST OF THE CENTER. ALL DVORAK CLASSIFIERS HAVE THEIR FINAL T NUMBERS AT 2.0. WE WILL AGAIN HONOR THE DVORAK TREND. ALTHO MAINTAINING ITS TROPICAL STORM STATUS.. BARELY..WE WILL GRADUALLY LOWER ITS MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS AS IT CROSSES INTO THE WEST PACIFIC. AFTER THIS MORNINGS MOMENTARY SEESAW INCREASING SHEARING FROM A DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL LOW..INITIALLY FROM THE NORTH THEN TURNING MORE WESTERLY..SHOULD INIHIBIT ANY LONG TERM RESTRENGTHENING. THE SHORT TERM SOUTHWESTWARD PATH SHOULD TURN MORE NORTHWESTERLY AS IT BOTTOMS OUT JUST SOUTH OF ITS PRESENT LATITUDE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECASTER MATSUDA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0300Z 13.5N 178.2W 35 KT 12HR VT 05/1200Z 13.5N 179.2E 35 KT 24HR VT 06/0000Z 13.5N 176.0E 30 KT 36HR VT 06/1200Z 14.3N 173.2E 30 KT 48HR VT 07/0000Z 15.3N 171.0E 30 KT 72HR VT 08/0000Z 16.9N 166.8E 25 KT 96HR VT 09/0000Z 17.9N 162.0E 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 10/0000Z 18.4N 156.7E 25 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:17 2003 X-UIDL: 38021-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005412ZNR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 11:57:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h853v40Z015555 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 11:57:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YBHP032784; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:51:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 658771 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:51:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h853pPc9083568 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:51:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h853pN7S019447 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:51:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h853pNXb019446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:51:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:51:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050351.h853pNXb019446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 050351 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 05 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM KEVIN WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 05/0300 UTC AND IS NOW CENTERED NEAR 22.1N 115.6W AT 05/0300 UTC MOVING NW AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N124W AT 05/0300 UTC WITH NEARLY STATIONARY MOVEMENT. THE DISTURBANCE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A 1008 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN... THE LOW LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH KEVIN IS NOW COMPLETELY EXPOSED WITH THE CONVECTION WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER TO THE SW. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 19.5N115.5W TO 21N119.5W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... TWO MAIN AREAS OF CONVECTION ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 124W FROM 12N TO 15N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N126W TO 17N123W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N97W 10N111W 11N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N87W ACROSS THE AXIS NEAR 7.5N88W TO 20N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF THE AXIS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N101.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 75/90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N TO 6N AND IN THE GULF OF PANAMA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N79W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 91W TO 92W...WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N104W TO 14N103W...WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 20.5N106W TO INLAND OVER W MEXICO NEAR 22.5N105.5W...AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N136W TO 14N138W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO S OF 20N W OF 102W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N98W TO 10N101W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:19 2003 X-UIDL: 38025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005253J7R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:09:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8548v0Z017483 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:09:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852hMeJ035628; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:05:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 658957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:05:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8545vc9058058 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:05:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8545u7S019629 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:05:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8545uIi019628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:05:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:05:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050405.h8545uIi019628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 050400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (KEVIN) WARNING NR 007 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 11E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 21.8N1 115.3W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 115.3W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 22.8N2 116.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.4N9 118.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 24.0N6 120.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 24.2N8 122.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 24.1N7 124.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050000Z5 POSITION NEAR 21.8N1 115.3W0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E (KEVIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050000Z5 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051000Z6, 051600Z2, 052200Z9 AND 060400Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:20 2003 X-UIDL: 38027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005PO3PFR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:12:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h854Cd0Z018206 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:12:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YBHZ032784; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:09:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 659004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:09:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8549wc9017638 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:09:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8549v7S019671 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:09:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8549vns019670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:09:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:09:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050409.h8549vns019670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 050400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (KEVIN) WARNING NR 007 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 11E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 21.8N1 115.3W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 115.3W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 22.8N2 116.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 23.4N9 118.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 24.0N6 120.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 24.2N8 122.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 24.1N7 124.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050000Z5 POSITION NEAR 21.8N1 115.3W0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E (KEVIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:21 2003 X-UIDL: 38029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ0053F3TOR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:15:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h854FImV071827 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:15:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852hMeN035628; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:11:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 659012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:11:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h854BBc9013224 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:11:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h854BA7S019703 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:11:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h854BAxB019701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:11:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 23:11:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: At 08 Knots Over The Past 06 Hours. The Warning Position Is Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050411.h854BAxB019701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 050400 RRB AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050000Z5 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051000Z6, 051600Z2, 052200Z9 AND 060400Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10E (JIMENA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:32:23 2003 X-UIDL: 38040-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005NE9YRR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 14:28:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h856S00Z034618 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 14:28:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555piT086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 661734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h856IRc9105492 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h856IQ7S021233 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h856IQXN021231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050618.h856IQXN021231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/050430ZSEP2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/050151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 177.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PHNC 050400 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. CPHC WILL ISSUE THE FINAL WARNING FOR TS 10E AT 050600Z1. JTWC WILL THEN ASSUME WARNING RESPONSIBILITY FOR TS 10E STARTING WITH THE WTPN31 PGTW 051500 WARNING. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.4N1 152.8E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 148.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. A 042211Z0 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 050200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15.2N8 134.1E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 134.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS MOSTLY EXPOSED WITH DEEP CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER AIR DEPICTS A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND SOME DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/SANTOS/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:20 2003 X-UIDL: 38052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005UKHMAR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:13:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h859970d042474 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:13:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555pm9086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 663426 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h858V4c9089248 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h858V27S022967 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h858V2Ad022966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Advisory Number 34 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050831.h858V2Ad022966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPA33 PHFO 050830 TCPCP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU SEP 04 2003 ..JIMENA WEAKENS AGAIN AS IT CROSSES THE DATELINE AND MOVES INTO THE WESTERN PACIFIC. JIMENA DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION... AT 11 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 179.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WITHIN THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM HST POSITION...13.5 N...179.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS DEPRESSION AS IT CROSSES THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE INTO THE WARNING RESPONSIBILITY AREA OF THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY AND THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER. FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:27 2003 X-UIDL: 38054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005YDHTUR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:17:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h859970f042474 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:17:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555pmH086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 663433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h858VLc9006094 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h858VK7S022983 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h858VK2Y022982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Discussion Number 34 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050831.h858VK2Y022982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA43 PHFO 050830 TCDCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 34 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 11 PM HST THU SEP 04 2003 JIMENA ONCE AGAIN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. WHAT IS LEFT OF JIMENA IS NOW MOVING ACROSS THE DATELINE INTO THE WESTERN PACIFIC AND THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ISSUANCE BY THE CPHC AS THE JMA AND THE JTWC TAKE OVER WARNING RESPONSIBILITY. THE SYSTEM IS VERY WEAK AND DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME WITH A DVORAK T NUMBER OF 1.5 AND A C.I. NUMBER OF 2.5. MOTION AND INTENSITY FORECASTS AS PER THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. FORECASTER ROSENDAL FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0900Z 13.5N 179.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 05/1800Z 13.5N 177.6E 25 KT 24HR VT 06/0600Z 14.0N 174.6E 25 KT 36HR VT 06/1800Z 14.8N 172.1E 25 KT 48HR VT 07/0600Z 15.7N 169.9E 25 KT 72HR VT 08/0600Z 17.1N 165.6E 20 KT 96HR VT 09/0600Z 18.0N 160.7E 20 KT 120HR VT 10/0600Z 18.4N 155.3E 20 KT THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON JIMENA FROM THE CPHC. IF FURTHER ISSUANCES ARE WARRANTED THEY WILL BE FROM JMA AND JTWC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:27 2003 X-UIDL: 38055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005S2I0FR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:21:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h859970h042474 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:21:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555pmD086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 663429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h858V7c9007044 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h858V67S022972 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h858V5Mu022971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:31:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Depression Jimena Forecast/advisory Number 34 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050831.h858V5Mu022971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPA23 PHFO 050830 TCMCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102003 0900Z FRI SEP 05 2003 ..JIMENA WEAKENS AGAIN AS IT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN PACIFIC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 179.9W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 179.9W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 179.1W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.5N 177.6E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.0N 174.6E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.8N 172.1E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.7N 169.9E MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.1N 165.6E MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 18.0N 160.7E MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 18.4N 155.3E MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14N 180 THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:28 2003 X-UIDL: 38056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005MGI78R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:25:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h859970j042474 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:25:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555plb086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 663345 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h858Rqc9102566 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h858Rp7S022891 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h858Rprp022890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050827.h858Rprp022890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 050827 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI SEP 05 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN HAS BECOME A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 0436Z TRMM PASS DEPICT THAT THE CENTER IS DISPLACED APPROXIMATELY 90 MILES NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE DROPPING...25 KT FROM TAFB...AND 30 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA. AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALED UN-FLAGGED 30 KT WINDS AND STRONGER RAIN-FLAGGED WINDS IN THE DEEP CONVECTION WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST. BASED ON THIS INFORMATION...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL STAY AT 30 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 305/7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN IS CURRENTLY SITUATED WITHIN THE EASTERLY STEERING FLOW OF A LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH...WHICH SHOULD INFLUENCE A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE NOGAPS AND UKMET MODELS INDICATE THE RIDGE WEAKENING BY 48 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE NORTHWEST...WHILE THE GFS MAINTAINS THE RIDGE BEYOND 48. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND AGREES WITH THE MODEL CONSENSUS. MODEL GUIDANCE REVEALS THAT THE EAST-NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR THAT HAS EXPOSED THE LOW LEVEL CENTER MAY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...SST ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS...WHICH SHOULD INFLUENCE FURTHER WEAKENING. FORECASTER ROBERTS/JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0900Z 22.5N 116.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 05/1800Z 23.0N 117.4W 30 KT 24HR VT 06/0600Z 23.6N 119.2W 30 KT 36HR VT 06/1800Z 24.1N 120.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 07/0600Z 24.2N 122.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 08/0600Z 24.2N 125.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:28 2003 X-UIDL: 38057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005GHIDWR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:29:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h859970l042474 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:29:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555plZ086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 663338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h858Rcc9005318 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h858Rb7S022886 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h858Rbsq022885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:27:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050827.h858Rbsq022885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 050826 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 0900Z FRI SEP 05 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 116.3W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 116.3W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 116.0W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N 117.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.6N 119.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.1N 120.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.2N 122.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 24.2N 125.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 116.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z FORECASTER ROBERTS/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:31 2003 X-UIDL: 38062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005O7J9HR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:48:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h859mM0Z049717 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:48:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555pkn086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:01:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 663044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8581ac9085124 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8581Z7S022646 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:01:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8581ZSM022645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:01:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:01:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050801.h8581ZSM022645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 050800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU SEP 4 2003 THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ITS FINAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA. JIMENA IS CENTERED ABOUT 700 MILES WEST/SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...AND IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH. THE SYSTEM WILL SOON BE ENTERING THE WESTERN PACIFIC. IF MORE BULLETINS ARE REQUIRED ON THIS FEATURE...THEY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AND THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:32 2003 X-UIDL: 38065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005LVK1BR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 18:05:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85A5N0Z052428 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 18:05:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555ppn086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:59:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 664888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:59:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h859xAc9099944 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:59:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h859x97S023856 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:59:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h859x9cV023855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:59:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:59:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050959.h859x9cV023855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 050958 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 05 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN IS CENTERED NEAR 22.5N 116.3W AT 05/0900 UTC MOVING NW AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 14.5N 124W AT 05/0900 UTC WITH NEARLY STATIONARY MOVEMENT. THE DISTURBANCE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A 1008 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 98W/99W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN... THE LOW LEVEL CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH KEVIN REMAINS COMPLETELY EXPOSED WITH THE CONVECTION WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER TO THE SW. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 21.5N116W TO 20.5N118W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 19N117W TO 22N121W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... THIS SYSTEM REMAINS ILL DEFINED. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N125W TO 15N123W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N92W 11N105W 11N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 80W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 250 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 91W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 250 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 91W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 94W TO 96W AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 5N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 4.5N81W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N107W TO 23N107W...WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 24N TO 26N...AND WITHIN A 60/75 NM RADIUS OF 13.5N138.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:32 2003 X-UIDL: 38066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005XHK5HR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 18:08:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85A82mV009167 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 18:08:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555ppp086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:02:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 664961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:02:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85A2lc9100034 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:02:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85A2j7S023921 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:02:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85A2jb5023920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:02:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:02:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051002.h85A2jb5023920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 051002 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0825 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA NEAR 13.5N 179.1W AT 0600 UTC HAS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION...SEE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER. IF FURTHER BULLETINS ARE NECESSARY ON THIS FEATURE...THEY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY AND THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N179W 10N173W 07N162W 05N163W 06N172W 06N180 HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 09N151W 08N157W 07N160W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N165W 11N161W 11N158W 12N156W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 2 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...1...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S... ARE BOUNDED BY 17S171W 25S163W 25S176W 20S178W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 25 TO 30 KT. FRONT...2...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S... ARE BOUNDED BY 18S138W 25S120W 25S131W 21S138W. FEATURE MOVING EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:33 2003 X-UIDL: 38069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005ZXNQ5R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 19:25:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85BP4mV023654 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 19:25:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555prx086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 666188 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85BHYc9035624 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85BHX7S024855 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85BHXaT024853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051117.h85BHXaT024853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 051130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/051130Z/051800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 1.8S9 60.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 710 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED ON THE END OF A NEAR EQUATORIAL CONVERGENCE TROUGH. A 050456Z0 SSM/I SHOWS ONLY WEAK, DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER THE LLCC. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS GOOD DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 2O TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/SANTOS/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:33 2003 X-UIDL: 38070-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ0056GNUWR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 19:28:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85BS60Z068814 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 19:28:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h856eCFx105642; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 666191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85BHYc9087810 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85BHX7S024856 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85BHXo5024854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 06:17:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051117.h85BHXo5024854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/051130Z/051800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 1.8S9 60.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 710 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED ON THE END OF A NEAR EQUATORIAL CONVERGENCE TROUGH. A 050456Z0 SSM/I SHOWS ONLY WEAK, DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER THE LLCC. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS GOOD DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 2O TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/SANTOS/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:38 2003 X-UIDL: 38078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005VOVAJR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:08:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85E8dmV056831 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:08:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555p1J086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:01:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 669229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:01:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85E1Bc9057500 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:01:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85E1A7S027702 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:01:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85E1AwY027701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:01:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:01:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051401.h85E1AwY027701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 051400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI SEP 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:47 2003 X-UIDL: 38081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005THWO0R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:38:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85EcImV062939 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555p2v086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:29:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 669653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:29:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85ETJc9053162 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:29:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85ETI7S028843 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:29:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85ETIUB028842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:29:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:29:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051429.h85ETIUB028842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 051429 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 1500Z FRI SEP 05 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 117.5W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 117.5W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 117.1W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.7N 118.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.3N 120.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.8N 122.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 25.0N 124.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 25.0N 127.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 117.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:48 2003 X-UIDL: 38082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005VXWPNR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:39:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85EdDmV063068 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:39:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555p2x086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:30:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 669669 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:30:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85EUpc9023360 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:30:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85EUn7S028935 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:30:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85EUnMe028934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:30:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:30:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051430.h85EUnMe028934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ41 KNHC 051430 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI SEP 05 2003 KEVIN IS NOT AN IMPRESSIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE THIS MORNING WITH AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND WEAK CONVECTION DISPLACED FAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ALTHOUGH DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE DROPPING... A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 0600 UTC FROM THE ADEOS-II SATELLITE RECORDED A FEW UNCONTAMINATED 30 KT WIND VECTORS. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE HELD AT 30 KT. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE STAY SOUTH OF A LOW/MID LEVEL RIDGE SOUTHWEST OF CALIFORNIA. AS KEVIN WEAKENS...IT SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE LEFT AND BE STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE FORECAST TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS BETWEEN THE BAMS AND GFS MODEL. THE INTENSITY WILL LIKELY BE DROPPING AS THE DEPRESSION IS CROSSING THE 25C ISOTHERM. KEVIN IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW OVER WATERS NEAR 23C IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. THE REMNANT LOW OF KEVIN SHOULD HOLD TOGETHER FOR A FEW DAYS AS THE CIRCULATION OF THE CYCLONE IS SOMEWHAT LARGE AND WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO SPIN DOWN. FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/1500Z 23.2N 117.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 06/0000Z 23.7N 118.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 06/1200Z 24.3N 120.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 07/0000Z 24.8N 122.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 07/1200Z 25.0N 124.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 08/1200Z 25.0N 127.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:48 2003 X-UIDL: 38083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ0052KWS7R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:40:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85EermV063418 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:40:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MOdPd052922; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:35:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 657494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:35:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852Z5c9079504 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:35:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h852Z47S018380 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h852Z49K018378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:35:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050235.h852Z49K018378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 050234 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 0300Z FRI SEP 05 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 115.6W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 115.6W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 115.3W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.8N 116.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.4N 118.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.0N 120.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.2N 122.3W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.1N 124.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 24.1N 127.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 115.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:53 2003 X-UIDL: 38089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR005IS1BSR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 00:19:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85GIvmV081374 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 00:19:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQgJ079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 11:05:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 672525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 11:05:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85G5jc9085084 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 11:05:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85G5i7S002385 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 11:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85G5ifQ002384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 11:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 11:05:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051605.h85G5ifQ002384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 051605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 05 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN CENTER NEAR 22.5N 116.3W AT 05/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...RELATED TO 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 15N 124W AT 05/1500 UTC...NEARLY STATIONARY. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT TWENTY FOUR HOURS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NW OF 32N117W 23N140W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NW OF 32N117W 23N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1530 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 21N TO 22N BETWEEN 118W AND 119W...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... LATEST BURST OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14.7N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 124W AND 125W. OVERCAST COLD CLOUD TOPS FROM 13.8N TO 15N BETWEEN 123W AND 125W IN AREA OF EARLIER STRONG CONVECTION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 9N92W 12N106W 12N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 210 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS...INCLUDING IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA IN COASTAL WATERS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA...AND OVER INTERIOR PARTS OF PANAMA...EAST OF 83W...WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 94W...WITHIN 210 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN SEA OF CORTEZ...GULF OF CALIFORNIA...FROM 21N TO 28N... SOME OF THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ALTERNATELY DEVELOPING AND DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST FIVE HOURS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:54 2003 X-UIDL: 38094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR005SW4NTR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 01:31:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85HV20Z039447 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 01:31:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FDPff019638; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 674247 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85HO4c9102520 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85HO27S004988 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85HO2aW004987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051724.h85HO2aW004987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.8S9 60.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 710 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:54 2003 X-UIDL: 38095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR0055C4Y2R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 01:37:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85HbD0Z040317 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 01:37:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FERgT046022; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 674244 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85HO4c9087222 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85HO37S004989 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85HO2PS004986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:24:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051724.h85HO2PS004986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.8S9 60.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 710 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR00595DEJR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:39:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Kdr0Z074421 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:39:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQxX079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 678530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KWWc9070932 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85KWV7S010748 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85KWUIR010745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052032.h85KWUIR010745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN21 PHNC 052030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 052021ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/042021ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 042030)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 220 NM RADIUS OF 15.8N4 124.4W1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 051800Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N8 124.2W9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 061800Z5. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 124.0W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.8N4 124.4W1, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. A 050203Z0 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION CURVING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE WEST WITH ONLY MODEARTE TO THE EAST AND HAS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AREA ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MIMIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 062030Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR005DPDHVR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:41:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KfrmV026170 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:41:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQxp079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:35:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 678640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KYvc9087924 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85KYu7S010801 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85KYukk010800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052034.h85KYukk010800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 052034 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 2100Z FRI SEP 05 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 118.3W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 118.3W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 117.9W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 119.6W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.8N 121.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.0N 122.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.0N 124.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.5N 127.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 118.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR005Y3DVCR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:50:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Knw0Z076091 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:49:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQxn079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 678627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KYSc9091198 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85KYR7S010790 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85KYRjZ010789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:34:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052034.h85KYRjZ010789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ41 KNHC 052034 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI SEP 05 2003 KEVIN IS A LARGE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS ON SATELLITE PICTURES COMPLETELY DEVOID OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. HOWEVER A 1300 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWED A FEW UNCONTAMINATED WIND VECTORS OF 25-30 KT. SINCE THE CIRCULATION HAS NOT HAD ANY DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER IN 15 HOURS... IT IS ASSUMED THAT THE WINDS ARE GRADUALLY SLOWING AND 25 KT IS USED AS THE INITIAL INTENSITY. A TURN TO THE LEFT HAS OCCURRED BENEATH A LOW/MID LEVEL RIDGE SOUTHWEST OF CALIFORNIA. THE CURRENT MOTION IS 285/08 BUT SHOULD CONTINUE SHIFTING LEFT AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS. THE TRACK IS ADJUSTED A BIT TO THE SOUTH NEAR THE GFS MODEL SOLUTION WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE OF THE SYNOPTIC FEATURES. THE INTENSITY FORECAST SEEMS LIKE A NO-BRAINER WITH KEVIN CROSSING THE 24C ISOTHERM INTO COOLER WATER. A SLOW STEADY WEAKENING IS LIKELY WITH AN OCCASIONAL PUFF OF CONVECTION POSSIBLE. THE REMNANT LOW OF KEVIN SHOULD HOLD TOGETHER FOR A FEW DAYS AS THE CIRCULATION OF THE CYCLONE IS SOMEWHAT LARGE AND WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO SPIN DOWN. FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 23.2N 118.3W 25 KT 12HR VT 06/0600Z 23.5N 119.6W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 06/1800Z 23.8N 121.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 07/0600Z 24.0N 122.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 07/1800Z 24.0N 124.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 08/1800Z 23.5N 127.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:59 2003 X-UIDL: 38104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR005CUE6FR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:56:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KuYmV028208 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:56:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KkucH084996; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:46:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 678915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:43:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KhSc9099300 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:43:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85KhQ7S011058 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:43:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85KhQYF011057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:43:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:43:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052043.h85KhQYF011057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 052043 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN...LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A NORTHWARD DRIFTING LOW PRESSURE AREA IS CENTERED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:27:00 2003 X-UIDL: 38106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR005NZGJJR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 05:47:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85LlemV035351 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 05:47:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQ75079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:39:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 680738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:39:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85LdXc9033944 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:39:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85LdV7S012381 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:39:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85LdVCw012380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:39:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:39:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052139.h85LdVCw012380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 052139 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI SEP 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:27:00 2003 X-UIDL: 38107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR005RTGMBR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 05:49:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85LnKmV035536 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 05:49:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQ5v079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:27:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 680414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85LRJc9083716 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:27:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85LRI7S012169 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85LRIoE012168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:27:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052127.h85LRIoE012168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 052200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (KEVIN) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 23.1N6 117.9W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N6 117.9W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 23.5N0 119.6W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 23.8N3 121.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052200Z9 POSITION NEAR 23.2N7 118.3W3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E (KEVIN), HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052000Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060400Z0, 061000Z7 AND 061600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:27:01 2003 X-UIDL: 38108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR0054GHJMR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 06:09:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85M9K0Z087480 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 06:09:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Kkueb084996; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:51:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 680960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:51:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Lpjc9045022 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:51:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85Lph7S012584 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85LphNp012582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:51:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052151.h85LphNp012582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 052151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 05 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN CENTERED NEAR 23.2N 118.3W AT 05/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS TCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 15N125W AT 05/1800 UTC DRIFTING TO THE N WITH A 1008 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W S OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 103W-108W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 102W-108W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS JUST N OF THE AREA EXTENDING E OF 31N140W TO 32N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN... KEVIN LIVED A SHORT LIFE AND IS NOW A MERE SKELETON OF WHAT IT WAS YESTERDAY. THE LAST FEW TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM ARE LOCATED OVER 100 NM AWAY FROM THE CENTER OVER THE SW QUADRANT AND ARE STRUGGLING TO MAINTAIN THEMSELVES. KEVIN WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE INTO A REMNANT LOW AS IT MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 119W-121W. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N125W... THE DISTURBANCE HAS MAINTAINED A COMPACT AREA OF TSTMS JUST OFF-SET FROM THE MAIN CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE CIRCULATION IS DRIFTING NWD INTO THE FLOW AROUND T.D. KEVIN BUT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N-16.5N BETWEEN 123.5W-126W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N92W 11N116W 10N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 4N BETWEEN 80W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 91W-94W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 110W-112W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER THE CNTRL GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND BAJA PENINSULA FROM 24N-28N BETWEEN 109W-113W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:27:01 2003 X-UIDL: 38109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR005CBHRAR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 06:13:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85MDsmV038659 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 06:13:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQ7P079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:46:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 680842 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85LkBc9093782 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85LkA7S012460 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85LkAY3012459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 16:46:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052146.h85LkAY3012459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 052145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA NEAR 13.2N 177.4E AT 1800 UTC HAS NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SEE ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY AND THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER FOR DETAILS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N180 13N157W 08N152W 03N180 14N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 19S131W 25S 124W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FRONT 2...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 22S167W 25S164W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:27:02 2003 X-UIDL: 38111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR005AEJDXR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 06:49:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Mn6mV042689 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 06:49:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQ9R079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:41:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 682097 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:41:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Mf5c9093860 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:41:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85Mf47S013367 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:41:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85Mf42q013366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:41:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:41:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052241.h85Mf42q013366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 052240 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN...LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A NORTHWARD DRIFTING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:40:48 2003 X-UIDL: 38114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR009SFRTHF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:51:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h861pE0Z018374 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:51:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQHB079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 20:45:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 685256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 20:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h861jec9083908 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 20:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h861jd7S015587 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 20:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h861jdxi015586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 20:45:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 20:45:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060145.h861jdxi015586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 060145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI SEP 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:40:56 2003 X-UIDL: 38119-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR00959UX6F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:58:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h862wF0Z029443 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:58:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQL7079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 686227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h862rPc9032678 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h862rN7S016454 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h862rN41016453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060253.h862rN41016453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 060252 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112003 0300Z SAT SEP 06 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 118.5W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 118.5W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 118.5W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.2N 119.9W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.5N 121.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.6N 123.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.4N 124.9W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.5N 127.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...REMNANT LOW OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...REMNANT LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 118.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER SISKO/BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:40:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38122-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR009EMV3EF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 11:02:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86320mV078373 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 11:02:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQLD079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:57:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 686301 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:57:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h862vbc9033718 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:57:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h862va7S016483 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:57:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h862vaw8016482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:57:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:57:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Kevin Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060257.h862vaw8016482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ41 KNHC 060257 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 05 2003 KEVIN IS STILL A LARGE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND IS COMPLETELY DEVOID OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS EASTERLY SHEAR IMPINGES UPON THE SYSTEM. AS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSION INDICATED KEVIN IS SET TO TURN MORE LEFT AND EVENTUALLY TRACKS SOUTH AND WEST AS IT RESPONDS TO A LOW/MID LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF CALIFORNIA. THE CURRENT MOTION HAS BEEN 300/7 AND WILL TEND MORE TOWARD THE WEST WITH TIME WHICH THE FORECAST INDICATES. THE TRACK IS ADJUSTED A BIT TO THE SOUTH NEAR THE GFS MODEL SOLUTION WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE OF THE SYNOPTIC FEATURES. SHIPS INTENSITY FORECASTS DISSIPATE KEVIN COMPLETELY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS ACROSS THE 24 DEGREE C SST ISOTHERM. BEYOND 24 HR THE REMNANTS OF KEVIN BEYOND WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE SYSTEM SPINS DOWN. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN. FORECASTER SISKO/BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 23.7N 118.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 06/1200Z 24.2N 119.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 07/0000Z 24.5N 121.5W 15 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 07/1200Z 24.6N 123.0W 15 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 08/0000Z 24.4N 124.9W 15 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 09/0000Z 23.5N 127.5W 15 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:40:59 2003 X-UIDL: 38125-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR009EOXL1F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 11:55:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h863tjmV087265 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 11:55:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQN5079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:50:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 687214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h863oGc9044482 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:50:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h863oE7S017094 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:50:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h863oEl1017093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:50:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:50:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060350.h863oEl1017093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 060350 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 06 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN IS CENTERED NEAR 23.7N 118.5W AT 06/0300 UTC MOVING WNW 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 16N124W AT 06/0000 UTC DRIFTING TO THE N WITH A 1008 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 104W S OF 19N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN... KEVIN IS VOID OF ALL CONVECTION AND CONSISTS OF A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... THE DISTURBANCE IS UNDERGOING SOME NE SHEAR WITH THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION TO THE W OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 16N125W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N92W 6N100W 11N118W 12N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 95W...WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 129W...AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM THE AXIS NEAR 6.5N102W TO 4.5W108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM FROM 107W TO 111W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 141W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 13N87.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N104W TO 13N110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 75/90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 20N TO 24N...N OF 7N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 82W TO 84W...WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N92W TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA NEAR 14N90.5W...AND OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 3N79W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2.5N TO 5N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:40:59 2003 X-UIDL: 38126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR009Q8ZYRF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:47:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h864lD0Z048599 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:47:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQP5079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 23:41:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 687946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 23:41:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h864f7c9065768 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 23:41:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h864f57S017664 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 23:41:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h864f5cx017663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 23:41:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 23:41:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060441.h864f5cx017663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 060440 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AT 8 PM PDT, THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ISSUED THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN. THE REMNANT LOW IS LOCATED ABOUT 570 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 5 MPH. A NORTHWARD DRIFTING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 1040 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER ROBERTS/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:00 2003 X-UIDL: 38127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS0099H116F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 13:10:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h865AF0Z053135 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 13:10:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Kkuqx084996; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 00:06:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 688692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 00:06:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8656Vc9047226 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 00:06:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8656U7S018077 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 00:06:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8656TtZ018076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 00:06:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 00:06:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060506.h8656TtZ018076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 060400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11E (KEVIN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 23.6N1 118.5W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 118.5W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 24.2N8 119.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 24.5N1 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 020 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060335Z7 POSITION NEAR 23.7N2 118.5W5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11E (KEVIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHWEST OF CEDROS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060000Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:03 2003 X-UIDL: 38134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009FC75UF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:22:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h867Mf0Z075114 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:22:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KkusP084996; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 690266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h867CCc9034882 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h867CA7S019612 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h867CA9l019610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060712.h867CA9l019610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/051951ZSEP03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/060152ZSEP03// AMPN/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051800Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 177.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 715 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A DISSIPATED OVER WATER AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 052100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 060000Z6, TROPICAL STORM 15W WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N2 141.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 134.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:03 2003 X-UIDL: 38135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS0090M8R9F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:57:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h867v6mV024838 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:57:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546hR079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:46:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 690582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:46:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h867kNc9037236 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h867kM7S019995 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:46:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h867kMYq019994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:46:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:46:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060746.h867kMYq019994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 060745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI SEP 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:05 2003 X-UIDL: 38140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009ACDRNF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:45:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h869jK0Z097747 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:45:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546lv079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:40:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 691915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:40:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h869ecc9019858 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:40:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h869ea7S021624 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:40:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h869eaLN021623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:40:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:40:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060940.h869eaLN021623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 060940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 06 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 16N125W AT 06/0600 UTC DRIFTING TO THE N WITH A 1009 MB SURFACE PRESSURE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 106W/107W S OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 24N119W DRIFTING NW. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 22N W OF 125W WITH A 1021 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N138W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES UNDERGOING SOME SHEAR WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 17N125.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N105W 10N113W 14N124W 9N133W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 129W...WITHIN 45/60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 133W...WITHIN 60/75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 134W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM THE AXIS NEAR 6N105W TO 5W109W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 20N TO 23N. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF 11N FROM 104W TO 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 2N FROM 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA...N OF 14.5N ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 93.5W TO 96.5W...WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N106W TO 19N107.5W...AND WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14.5N93W TO 13N94.5W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS CENTERED OFF THE COAT OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13N89.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:05 2003 X-UIDL: 38141-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009IOENOF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 18:04:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86A4Y0Z001424 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 18:04:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546m9079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:59:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 692060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:59:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h869xQc9029562 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:59:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h869xP7S021853 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:59:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h869xPxp021852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:59:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:59:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060959.h869xPxp021852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 060959 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT SEP 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN IS LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. A NORTHWARD DRIFTING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 1045 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. LITTLE DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED AS IT REMAINS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER ROBERTS/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:06 2003 X-UIDL: 38142-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS00984FWCF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 18:31:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86AVLmV047750 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 18:31:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546mT079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 05:26:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 692306 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 05:26:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86AQoc9036430 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 05:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86AQn7S022219 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 05:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86AQmlb022218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 05:26:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 05:26:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061026.h86AQmlb022218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 061026 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 6 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 09N173W 10N168W 11N162W. ALSO NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 08N141W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20S126W 25S124W...HAVE MOVED EAST 10 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. FRONT 2...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20S171W 25S162W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE THROUGH 10S165W 11S162W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:08 2003 X-UIDL: 38146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009LTOUUF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:44:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86Dir0Z040693 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:44:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546qH079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 08:40:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 694153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 08:40:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86DeZc9019950 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 08:40:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86DeY7S024227 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 08:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86DeYTC024226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 08:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 08:40:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061340.h86DeYTC024226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 061340 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT SEP 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:10 2003 X-UIDL: 38151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS00941TUKF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 23:32:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86FWe0Z061016 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 23:32:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546u5079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:27:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 695634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:27:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86FRsc9004492 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86FRr7S025697 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86FRrmq025696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:27:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061527.h86FRrmq025696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 061527 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 06 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR 17N125W AT 06/1200 UTC...DRIFTING NORTHWARD. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE SOUTH OF 16N ALONG 109W MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 104W AND 109W...TO THE SOUTHWEST OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 24N120W DRIFTING NW. THIS LOW CENTER IS IDENTIFIED BY A SWIRL OF MULTILAYERED CLOUDS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NW OF 32N119W 22N130W 18N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1530 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 104W AND 109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 8N95W 9N110W 10N134W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 82W AND 84W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...AND WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 91W AND 96W...IN THE AREA TO THE SOUTH OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH AND TO THE WEST OF A BROAD AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:10 2003 X-UIDL: 38152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009DUVMYF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:11:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86GBI0Z068244 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:11:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86AKBE3072868; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 11:07:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 696139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 11:07:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86G7Tc9044564 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 11:07:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86G7S7S026212 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 11:07:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86G7RqY026211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 11:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 11:07:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061607.h86G7RqY026211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 061607 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN LOCATED ABOUT 640 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND GRADUALLY WEAKENING. A NORTHWARD DRIFTING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 1000 MILES MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:32 2003 X-UIDL: 38154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009TMZL8F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 01:36:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86HaQ0Z083343 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 01:36:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546wX079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 697398 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86HVlc9065612 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86HVk7S027315 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86HVkUV027313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061731.h86HVkUV027313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:32 2003 X-UIDL: 38155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009TOZL8F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 01:36:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86HaQ0Z083345 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 01:36:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Kku4b084996; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 697401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86HVlc9015444 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86HVk7S027316 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86HVkr2027314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 12:31:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061731.h86HVkr2027314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:34 2003 X-UIDL: 38159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT0092R6QBF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:11:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86KAvmV039583 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:10:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Kku7h084996; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:01:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 699834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:01:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86K1kc9049532 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:01:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86K1j7S029490 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:01:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86K1jtr029488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:01:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:01:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309062001.h86K1jtr029488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN21 PHNC 062030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION/ 062021ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/052021ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:35 2003 X-UIDL: 38162-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT009YY9Q2F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 05:15:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86LFO0Z017267 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 05:15:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Kku9J084996; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:13:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 701367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:13:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86LD3c9044822 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:13:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86LD17S000542 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:13:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86LD1hG000541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:13:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:13:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309062113.h86LD1hG000541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 062112 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT SEP 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:36 2003 X-UIDL: 38163-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT009MPBJJF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 05:54:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86Lsq0Z021819 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 05:54:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h865468X079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:52:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 702095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:52:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86LqNc9049720 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:52:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86LqM7S001058 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:52:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86LqMG2001057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:52:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:52:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309062152.h86LqMG2001057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 062152 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 07N140W 05N146W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ALSO...ISOLATED CB/TCU IN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N163W 11N157W 08N158W 08N170W 11N173W 14N163W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE BUT INCREASED IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W...ARE WITHIN 40 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 21S123W 24S120W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. FRONT 2...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 21S159W 25S155W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 40 NM OF 14S170W. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 11S164W 10S170W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:37 2003 X-UIDL: 38165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT00941C0VF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 06:05:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86M5HmV052407 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 06:05:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h865468h079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:01:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 702204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:01:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86M1ic9053276 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:01:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86M1h7S001181 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:01:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86M1h3D001180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:01:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:01:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309062201.h86M1h3D001180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 062201 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 06 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 110W S OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED IN CLUSTERS FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 104W-110W...FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 108W-114W...AND FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 111W-114W. ..1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 25N120W DRIFTING NW. THIS LOW...THE REMNANT OF KEVIN...IS NOW A SWIRL OF MULTILAYERED CLOUDS. ..WEAK 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N122W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N95W 10N110W 13N126W 9N140W. IN ADDITION TO CONVECTION DUE TO TROPICAL WAVE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-137W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 95W-97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 83W-86W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:37 2003 X-UIDL: 38167-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT009OODB5F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 06:33:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86MX3hA002002 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 06:33:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FDPCr019638; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:28:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 702583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86MSZc9044918 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:28:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86MSY7S001544 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:28:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86MSXiE001543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 17:28:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309062228.h86MSXiE001543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 062228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN...LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND GRADUALLY WEAKENING. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:01 2003 X-UIDL: 38177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT00C9FRT49V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:46:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h873kDRc041526 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:46:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546KZ079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 22:42:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 707623 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 22:42:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h873ggc9023446 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 22:42:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h873gf7S005505 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 22:42:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h873gfgE005504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 22:42:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 22:42:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070342.h873gfgE005504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 070342 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 07 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 110W/111W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW...THE REMNANT OF KEVIN...IS CENTERED NEAR 25N120W DRIFTING NW. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N123W MOVING NE 10 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N91W 8N103W 11N116W 13N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 78W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 137W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO BEYOND 140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 92W AND WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 3.5N FROM 78W TO 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OFF THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81W TO 83W...OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N85W TO 10.5N86.5W...WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 11.5N87W TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA NEAR 13N88W...AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO S OF 20N W OF 103.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15.5N110W TO 18N107W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 38179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT00CR9TUA9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 12:30:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h874U7Rc046813 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 12:30:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h874D8cV079396; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 23:26:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 708334 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 23:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h874QWc9072710 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 23:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h874QU7S005926 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 23:26:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h874QUKB005925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 23:26:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 23:26:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070426.h874QUKB005925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 070426 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT LOW FROM KEVIN IS LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:24 2003 X-UIDL: 38182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT00CIGWCI9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 13:24:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h875OFhA047569 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 13:24:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754Ter081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:22:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 709852 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:22:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h875M0c9031986 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:22:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h875Lw7S006561 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:21:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h875LwpY006560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:21:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:21:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070521.h875LwpY006560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 070521 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT SEP 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:25 2003 X-UIDL: 38184-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT00CB5YB29V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 14:06:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8766bRc058226 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 14:06:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754Tfh081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 710229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h875vTc9035888 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h875vR7S006951 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h875vRMx006949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070557.h875vRMx006949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/070152ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL STORM 15W (MAEMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N0 137.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 10.9N0 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EAST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 18.3N2 111.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:27 2003 X-UIDL: 38191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00C4D3739V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:52:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h877qDhA064068 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:52:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TiJ081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 02:46:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 711373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 02:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h877kcc9062914 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 02:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h877kb7S008165 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 02:46:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h877kbFg008164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 02:46:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 02:46:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070746.h877kbFg008164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 070745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT SEP 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 38199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CTN8PJ9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:51:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h879p6Rc091554 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:51:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754Tm1081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:47:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 713050 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:47:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h879lpc9004580 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:47:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h879ln7S009659 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:47:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h879lnZT009658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:47:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:47:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070947.h879lnZT009658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 070947 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 07 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 111W/112W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1008 MB LOW...THE REMNANT OF KEVIN...IS CENTERED NEAR 25N120W DRIFTING NW. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 18N122W DRIFTING NE. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N90W 8N101W 120N113W 16N125W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 80W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA... WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 89W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 131W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 116W AND FROM 124W TO BEYOND 140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 6N TO 7N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN 45 NM OF 7N FROM 78W TO 81W...WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO FROM 92W TO 93W...IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 93.5W TO 95W...AND WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 20N TO 25N. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N81W TO 8N82W...FROM 14N12W TO 17N109W...AND FROM 8N110W TO 9N118W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 38200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CUG8QV9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:52:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h879q5Rc091655 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:52:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754Tm7081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:49:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 713093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:49:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h879nvc9062736 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:49:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h879nu7S009682 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:49:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h879nuRa009681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:49:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:49:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070949.h879nuRa009681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 070949 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 7 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10N140W 06N149W...HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ALSO...ISOLATED CB IN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N159E 06N164E 05N170E 15N170E 16N164E 13N159E...HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU...WHICH CROSSED THE DATE LINE...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 25N180 21N179W AND HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 23S158W 25S154W...HAVE MOVED EAST 20 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 11S173W 14S167W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:33 2003 X-UIDL: 38202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CTQA5L9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 18:22:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87AMHRc095527 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 18:22:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TmJ081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 05:14:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 713339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 05:14:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87AEFc9051724 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 05:14:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87AEE7S009964 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 05:14:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87AEDKe009963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 05:14:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 05:14:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071014.h87AEDKe009963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 071014 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT LOW FROM KEVIN IS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER MOLLEDA/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:36 2003 X-UIDL: 38210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CLEJPX9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:49:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87Dn9hA019162 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:49:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754Tqv081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 08:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 715884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 08:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87Djlc9053300 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 08:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87Djk7S012353 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 08:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87DjkrT012352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 08:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 08:45:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071345.h87DjkrT012352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 071345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN SEP 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:38 2003 X-UIDL: 38217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00C38PWT9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:02:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87G2nRc047177 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:02:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TwR081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:56:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 718031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:56:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87Futc9014732 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87Fus7S013889 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:56:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87FusrS013887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:56:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:56:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071556.h87FusrS013887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 071556 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 07 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W/113W S OF 17N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-17.5N BETWEEN 108W-112W. ALSO SEE ITCZ. ..1009 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF KEVIN...IS CENTERED NEAR 25N120W DRIFTING NORTH. ..DISSIPATING 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 19N121W MOVING NE 10 KT. ..RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 28N140W 30N124W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO A 1014 MB HIGH NEAR 25N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N87W 8N104W 9N116W 16N127W 9N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-8N BETWEEN 76W-80W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-102W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 110W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-131W AND WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 82W-86W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 93W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 19N-25N BETWEEN 106W-109W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:39 2003 X-UIDL: 38220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CNNQW09V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:24:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87GNxhA047023 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:24:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TxB081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:17:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 718474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:17:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87GHtc9031826 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:17:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87GHr7S014143 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:17:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87GHrel014142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:17:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:17:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071617.h87GHrel014142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 071617 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN IS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:39 2003 X-UIDL: 38221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CW8SB79V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:54:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87GshhA052733 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:54:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754T0L081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 719084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87Gokc9023380 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87Goi7S014446 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87GoiHL014444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071650.h87GoiHL014444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:40 2003 X-UIDL: 38222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CWUSBN9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:54:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87GsxRc056622 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:55:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754Km7084998; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 719089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87Gokc9086896 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87Goi7S014447 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87Goiak014445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 11:50:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071650.h87Goiak014445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z/081800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 38233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00CSR15N9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:05:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87K5khA083729 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:05:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754T7R081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:01:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 722659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:01:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87K1Gc9099928 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:01:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87K1E7S016653 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:01:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87K1EEq016652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:01:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:01:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309072001.h87K1EEq016652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 072000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN SEP 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:45 2003 X-UIDL: 38238-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00CS76O09V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:04:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87M4khA098429 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:04:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TCT081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 16:58:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 725036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 16:58:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87Lwqc9048454 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 16:58:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87Lwp7S018382 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 16:58:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87Lwpgv018381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 16:58:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 16:58:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309072158.h87Lwpgv018381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 072158 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 07 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 113W S OF 17N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 115W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 112W-116W. ..1010 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF KEVIN...IS CENTERED NEAR 25N120W DRIFTING NORTH. ..WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N128W TO 30N133W 29N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N105W 9N118W 14N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 79W-81W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 136W-139W...AND FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 89W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 18N-19N BETWEEN 105W-106W...AND FROM 17N-20N BETWEEN 108W-110W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:45 2003 X-UIDL: 38239-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00CSF6O89V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:04:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87M4uRc008612 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:04:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TCV081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:01:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 725068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87M1Lc9091244 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87M1G7S018462 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:01:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87M1GKI018461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:01:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:01:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309072201.h87M1GKI018461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 072200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N141W 05N158W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13N164W 07N167W 11N172W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 12S170W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:46 2003 X-UIDL: 38241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00FNH7OZ0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:26:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87MQxhA000756 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:27:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87K08g3020580; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:24:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 725499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:24:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87MOVc9059494 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:24:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87MOU7S018735 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:24:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87MOUZ0018734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:24:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 17:24:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309072224.h87MOUZ0018734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 072224 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:53 2003 X-UIDL: 38254-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00F90HTA0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:05:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8825XRc058633 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:05:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87K08j1020580; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:01:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 729103 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:01:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8821Jc9037238 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:01:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8821I7S021067 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:01:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8821IW5021066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:01:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:01:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080201.h8821IW5021066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 080200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN SEP 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00F43N4Y0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 12:00:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8840YhA077786 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 12:00:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h881n4jB081798; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 22:57:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 731559 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 22:57:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h883vfc9048460 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 22:57:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h883ve7S022322 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 22:57:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h883veGb022321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 22:57:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 22:57:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080357.h883veGb022321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 080357 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 08 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0000 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...THE REMNANTS OF KEVIN... NEAR 26N119W DRIFTING NORTH. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 25N TO 29N BETWEEN 117W AND 122W. ..THE WEAK COLD FRONT FROM THE LAST DISCUSSION IS NOT DISCERNIBLE AT THIS TIME. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 28N BEYOND 32N BETWEEN 131W AND 140W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W/115W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 114W AND 116W...AND FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 109W AND 113W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 8N100W 8N110W 10N120W 13N130W 12N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W...FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 98W AND 102W...WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 101W AND 112W...WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W AND 118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION...REALLY MOSTLY OVER INTERIOR MEXICO FROM 20N TO 24N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W... ACTUALLY REACHES THE MEXICO COAST WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 21N105.5W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38268-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00FVVOC40C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 12:26:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h884QSRc021790 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 12:26:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h881n4lt081798; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 23:22:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 732199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 23:22:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h884MAc9098916 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 23:22:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h884M57S022619 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 23:22:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h884M5RQ022618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 23:22:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 23:22:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080422.h884M5RQ022618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 080421 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00FG4SFH0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 13:54:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h885sqhA001041 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 13:54:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h884vMeJ048544; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 734735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h885k4c9081758 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h885k37S023605 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h885k2eA023603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080546.h885k2eA023603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/080152ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 134.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 080300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED OVER LAND AND DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 111.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED OVER HAINAN ISLAND AND DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPCIAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:02 2003 X-UIDL: 38281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00GLAXQXKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:49:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h887njhA044763 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:49:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h887Hbcx019744; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 02:46:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 736429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 02:46:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h887kGc9027114 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 02:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h887kE7S024754 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 02:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h887kEkC024753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 02:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 02:46:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080746.h887kEkC024753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 080745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN SEP 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:25 2003 X-UIDL: 38291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00FLX3CE0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:50:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h889obhA077621 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:50:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h884vMh7048544; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:45:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 738221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h889jsc9099212 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h889jr7S026095 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h889jqvS026093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:45:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:45:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080945.h889jqvS026093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 080945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 13N138W 10N149W 08N161W HAVE MOVED WEST 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10N167W 08N172W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH A DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14S170W 14S174W 12S176W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 KT AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:25 2003 X-UIDL: 38292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00FFW3YX0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 18:04:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88A4ARc043400 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 18:04:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h888m4eH013442; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:54:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 738343 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:54:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h889sYc9099274 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:54:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h889sW7S026175 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:54:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h889sW1i026174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:54:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:54:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080954.h889sW1i026174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 080954 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 08 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0600 UTC... ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...THE REMNANTS OF KEVIN... NEAR 25N119W DRIFTING NORTH. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 23N TO 29N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W/116W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 20N109W 18N110W 16N112W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 113W AND 117W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N102W 9N120W 14N132W 12N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 91W... WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 121W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IN COASTAL MEXICO...FROM 22N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W...IN AN AREA OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF COAST FROM PANAMA TO WESTERN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 10N TO 15N. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:33 2003 X-UIDL: 38295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00FUY71A0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 19:10:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88BALhA095163 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 19:10:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8854pg7019638; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:03:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 739046 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:03:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88B3Nc9070512 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:03:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88B3M7S026937 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:03:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88B3MHB026936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:03:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 06:03:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309081103.h88B3MHB026936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 081103 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:36 2003 X-UIDL: 38312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00GY7EPKKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:56:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88Du7Rc003034 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:56:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHgD044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 08:45:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 741734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 08:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88Djmc9029756 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 08:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88Djk7S029701 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 08:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88DjkDN029700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 08:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 08:45:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309081345.h88DjkDN029700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 081345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON SEP 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:40 2003 X-UIDL: 38319-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00GP5KAFKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 23:56:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88FudRc030005 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 23:56:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88D5Djf048548; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:44:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 745387 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:43:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88Fhwc9021168 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:43:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88Fhu7S003721 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88Fhuoa003720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:43:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309081543.h88Fhuoa003720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 081543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 08 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W/117W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ WITH THE STRONGEST ROTATION JUST NORTH OF THE ITCZ AXIS. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 115W-124W. ..DISSIPATING 1010 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN... CENTERED 440 NM SOUTH OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA NEAR 26N118W DRIFTING ENE. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS JUST NORTH OF THE AREA ALONG 34N WITH A SECONDARY RIDGE EXTENDING SE ALONG 30N138W 19N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N90W 9N106W 8N118W 15N135W 14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 81W-87W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-123W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 88W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE OFF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 106W-112W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:41 2003 X-UIDL: 38322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00FZWNT80C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:12:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88HCihA067822 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:12:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHvd044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 12:06:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 747457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 12:06:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88H5xrl080766 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 12:05:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88H5w7S006397 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 12:05:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88H5wnN006396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 12:05:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 12:05:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309081705.h88H5wnN006396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 081705 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:44 2003 X-UIDL: 38329-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00FIPVYD0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:08:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88K8bRc074433 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:08:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHAJ044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:01:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 752248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88K1Yrl012206 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88K1X7S011946 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88K1XLk011945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:01:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309082001.h88K1XLk011945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 082000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON SEP 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:49 2003 X-UIDL: 38335-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00FFN1430C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:00:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88M03Rc093716 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:00:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8854p4F019638; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 16:49:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 755448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 16:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88LmJrl032612 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 16:48:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88LmH7S015219 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 16:48:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88LmHZp015218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 16:48:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 16:48:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309082148.h88LmHZp015218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 082148 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 08 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 122W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ WITH THE STRONGEST ROTATION JUST NORTH OF THE ITCZ AXIS. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 121W-126W. ..DISSIPATING 1013 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN...IS NEAR 26N118W DRIFTING ENE. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS JUST NORTH OF THE AREA ALONG 34N WITH A SECONDARY RIDGE EXTENDING SE ALONG 30N138W 19N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N105W 8N115W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COAST FROM 80W-94W....AND FROM 7N-15N BETWEEN 100W-105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60-90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 14.5N137W 14.5N140W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:49 2003 X-UIDL: 38336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00FSN1G40C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:07:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88M7HRc094978 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:07:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHMZ044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:01:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 756019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:01:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88M1Erl014552 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:01:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88M1C7S015540 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:01:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88M1CgZ015539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:01:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:01:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309082201.h88M1CgZ015539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 082200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12N160W 13N154W 10N154W 10N159W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12N176W 14N169W 09N167W 07N174W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:50 2003 X-UIDL: 38337-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00G722RSKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:35:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88MZrRc099520 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:35:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHOT044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:28:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 756735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88MRbrl052750 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88MRZ7S015974 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88MRZpP015973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 17:27:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309082227.h88MRZpP015973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 082227 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:51 2003 X-UIDL: 38344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00GFRCJEKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:06:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8926ohA053356 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:06:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHXT044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:01:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 760424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8921Mrl042762 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8921K7S018758 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8921KxK018757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:01:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:01:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090201.h8921KxK018757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 090200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON SEP 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:20 2003 X-UIDL: 38354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00GT1IMIKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 12:18:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h894IGRc055647 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 12:18:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8938Ke1044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 23:09:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 762844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 23:09:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8949rrl059336 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 23:09:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8949p7S020352 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 23:09:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8949peN020351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 23:09:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 23:09:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090409.h8949peN020351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 090409 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 09 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..DISSIPATING 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN...IS NEAR 24N118W DRIFTING EAST-NORTHEAST. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 122W/123W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 122W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH-NORTHWEST OF 32N120W 17N127W 13N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0330 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN... SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AROUND THE CENTER. NO DEEP CONVECTION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 8N95W 9N111W 10N124W 13N134W 15N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 96W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W AND 126W...AND WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 134W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 95W...AND FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W...AND FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 98W AND 99W...IN AN AREA OF SOME UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION...SOME DISSIPATION DURING LAST FIVE HOURS...WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 20N110W 11N118W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:25 2003 X-UIDL: 38359-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00GISL7PKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 13:14:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h895EDhA087455 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 13:14:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952LtR069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 00:07:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 764455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 00:07:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8957Zrl072798 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 00:07:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8957X7S020996 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 00:07:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8957XKH020995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 00:07:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 00:07:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090507.h8957XKH020995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 090507 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:28 2003 X-UIDL: 38367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00G8TOE0KZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 14:22:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h896MkhA001582 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 14:22:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952LuX036416; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 765808 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8969erl049444 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8969c7S021588 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8969cef021586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090609.h8969cef021586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z-100600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090152ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI) LOCATED NEAR 21.8N1 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 07.3N0 144.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 395 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. A RECENT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGE DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OCCURING NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT BUT THE AREA IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:30 2003 X-UIDL: 38376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00JE5SLTGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:53:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h897rphA019089 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:53:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952L13069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 02:49:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 766958 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 02:49:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h897njrl034436 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 02:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h897nh7S022602 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 02:49:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h897nhLb022601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 02:49:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 02:49:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090749.h897nhLb022601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 090749 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON SEP 8 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1325 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...OR 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS...AND DEVELOPMENT INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:34 2003 X-UIDL: 38387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00J1NY5KGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:53:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h899rbhA043199 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:53:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952L3J069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 768369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h899jorl047110 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h899jm7S023916 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h899jmIl023915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:45:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090945.h899jmIl023915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 090945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11.4N 175.2W AT 0600 UTC HAD MOVED W 17 KT AND HAD FREQUENT CB WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER AND ISOLATED CB ELSEWHERE WITHIN 325 NM E SEMICIRCLE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14N144W 14N152W 10N164W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST NEAR 10 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N163W 03N163W 03N167W 14N167W HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16S178W 20S176W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST 12 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:34 2003 X-UIDL: 38388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00J5UYLCGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 18:03:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89A39Rc017700 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 18:03:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952LwP036416; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 768457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h899tUrl099022 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h899tS7S023989 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h899tSmA023988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090955.h899tSmA023988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 090955 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 09 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..DISSIPATING AND NEARLY STATIONARY 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN...IS NEAR 24N118W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 124W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. CONVECTION IN ITCZ. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH-NORTHWEST OF 32N120W 22N127W 17N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0800 UTC... ..1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN... SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AROUND THE CENTER. NO DEEP CONVECTION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N92W 8N106W 9N124W 13N135W 14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 94W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 86W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 112W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 250 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC BETWEEN 94W AND 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN COASTAL WATERS OF MEXICO FROM 10N TO THE MEXICO COAST BETWEEN 91W AND 100W...IN AN AREA OF SOME UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IN INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 19N111W AND FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:35 2003 X-UIDL: 38391-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JBT2A4GO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 19:22:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89BMnRc032522 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 19:22:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952L55069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:12:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 769336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:12:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89BCNrl038692 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:12:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89BCL7S024849 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:12:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89BCLeh024848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:12:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:12:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309091112.h89BCLeh024848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 091112 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:35 2003 X-UIDL: 38392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JCC2ACGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 19:23:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89BMwhA062613 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 19:23:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952L57069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:17:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 769355 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:17:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89BH2rl032876 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:17:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89BEF7S024871 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89BEFwZ024870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 06:14:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309091114.h89BEFwZ024870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 091114 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 9 2003 ..CORRECTION FOR TIME.. FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:39 2003 X-UIDL: 38399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JDJ96PGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:52:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89Dq2Rc061819 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:52:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8854pJX019638; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 08:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 771423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 08:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89Dk0rl092328 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 08:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89Djw7S027562 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 08:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89DjwTK027561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 08:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 08:45:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309091345.h89DjwTK027561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 091345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE SEP 9 2003 THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITHIN A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 625 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND HAS DECREASED SUBSTANTIALLY OVERNIGHT. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WHILE OVER CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC WATERS IS UNLIKELY. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:42 2003 X-UIDL: 38407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JJKF08GO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:57:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89FvehA021836 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:57:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952L8b036416; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:47:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 774470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:47:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89FlDrl093966 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89FlB7S001704 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:47:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89FlBp7001703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:47:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:47:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309091547.h89FlBp7001703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 091546 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 09 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10 KT. THE WAVE HAS BECOME VERY ILL-DEFINED...WITH ONLY A WEAK ROTATION NOTED WITHIN THE ITCZ. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..DISSIPATING 1013 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN...IS CENTERED 400 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 23N117W MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 5-10 KT. ..1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 35N150W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING EAST ALONG 33N130W 28N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N100W 10N116W 10N128W 15N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 119W-129W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 91W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 100W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 114W-117W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:43 2003 X-UIDL: 38410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JYZGY6GO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:39:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89GdahA028433 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:39:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952LLf069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 11:25:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 775353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 11:25:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89GPprl049566 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 11:25:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89GPn7S003074 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 11:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89GPnst003073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 11:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 11:25:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309091625.h89GPnst003073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 091625 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF TEHUANTEPEC. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:45 2003 X-UIDL: 38417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JS5QVQGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:14:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89KEERc023249 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:14:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952LZ5069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:00:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 780283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89K0url081812 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:00:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89K0s7S010228 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89K0sFU010227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:00:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309092000.h89K0sFU010227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 091959 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE SEP 9 2003 A DISTURBANCE ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AND IS NOT LIKELY TO INTENSIFY. IN ANY CASE...THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WESTWARD AND WILL SOON CROSS THE DATELINE AND MOVE OUT OF THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:47 2003 X-UIDL: 38425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JMLVA0GO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 05:49:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89LnCRc034067 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 05:49:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89KjAwH078500; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 16:34:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 782833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 16:34:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89LYbrl044518 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 16:34:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89LYZ7S013138 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 16:34:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89LYZaV013137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 16:34:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 16:34:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309092134.h89LYZaV013137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 092134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 09 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS ILL-DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...WITH ONLY WEAK INDICATION OF BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING. NEARBY CONVECTION IS CONFINED WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..DISSIPATING 1013 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN...IS CENTERED 400 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 23N117W DRIFTING EAST-SOUTHEAST. THE CIRCULATION REMAINS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO INDICATION OF REDEVELOPEMENT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS E/W ALONG 30N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N90W 10N100W 11N115W 7N130W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 77W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 90W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTINO FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 93W-107W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 115W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:47 2003 X-UIDL: 38427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JL5XCTGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 06:34:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89MY6Rc039197 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 06:34:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89KjA3J078500; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:21:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 784317 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:21:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89MLKrl089302 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:21:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89MLI7S014221 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:21:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89MLIqX014220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:21:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:21:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309092221.h89MLIqX014220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 092221 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N177W WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 14N179W 12N176W 13N174W 09N176W 10N179W 14N179W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 15N140W 12N170W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 14N148W 14N152W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 14N166W 15N162W 09N158W 10N163W 09N166W 14N166W HAS MOVED WEST AT 15KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN SIZE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 35NM OF POINT 19N179W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...FRONT 25S130W 22S140W WITH OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 100NM OF FRONT HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 8KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 02S171W 09S167W 08S175W 03S175W 02S171W. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:48 2003 X-UIDL: 38429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00J93XU4GO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 06:44:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89MiThA077570 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 06:44:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89KjA4R078500; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:37:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 784820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:37:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89Mb0rl029788 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:37:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89Maw7S014552 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:36:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89MawtN014551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:36:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:36:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309092236.h89MawtN014551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 092236 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 12:16:24 2003 X-UIDL: 38437-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ00JKK64UGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:43:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A1hdRc060803 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:43:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89KjAHJ078500; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 20:31:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 789136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 20:31:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A1VHrl048442 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 20:31:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A1VC7S017050 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 20:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A1VCTw017049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 20:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 20:31:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100131.h8A1VCTw017049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 100130 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE SEP 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 12:16:30 2003 X-UIDL: 38453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ00JHYC6PGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A3sJhA018344 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:54:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89KjAOH078500; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 22:50:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 792197 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 22:50:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A3omrl010218 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 22:50:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A3ok7S018728 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 22:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A3okRM018727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 22:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 22:50:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100350.h8A3okRM018727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 100350 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 12:16:31 2003 X-UIDL: 38455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ00JJQCUFGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:08:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A48VhA020115 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:08:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A0hR09023582; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:01:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 792377 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A41Vrl059322 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:01:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A41T7S018891 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:01:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A41TjW018890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:01:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:01:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100401.h8A41TjW018890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 100401 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 10 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 128W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS ILL-DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...WITH ONLY WEAK INDICATION OF BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING. ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS IN THE ITCZ. ..DISSIPATING 1013 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN... IS CENTERED 400 NM WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 23N117W DRIFTING EAST-SOUTHEAST. THE CIRCULATION REMAINS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO INDICATION OF RE-DEVELOPMENT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS EAST/WEST ALONG 30N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 10N95W 9N102W 10N115W 8N127W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 110W...AND BETWEEN 123W AND 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO MEXICO COAST BETWEEN 98W AND 103W...IN AN AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. ISOLATED CELL OF CONVECTION WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 18.5N112W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 14:41:33 2003 X-UIDL: 38461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ00JLJGV8GO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 13:35:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A5ZZhA031307 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 13:35:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AwZ067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 794510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A5RCrl032784 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A5RA7S019768 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A5RA7O019766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100527.h8A5RA7O019766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z-110600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/100152ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI) LOCATED NEAR 23.6N1 127.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 GUSTING TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 100300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07.3N0 144.4E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERE SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 17:35:22 2003 X-UIDL: 38473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ00064O9I7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:15:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A8FDRc013533 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:15:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56A09067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:01:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 795561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A81Yrl035774 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A81W7S021208 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A81W7X021207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:01:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:01:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100801.h8A81W7X021207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 100800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE SEP 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 17:35:32 2003 X-UIDL: 38477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ000HQPJ37K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:42:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A8gchA056246 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:42:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56A0h067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:38:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 795768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A8c7rl059328 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A8c57S021540 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A8c5P5021539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:38:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100838.h8A8c5P5021539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 100837 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 10 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 78W SOUTH OF 22N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. STRONG ITCZ CONVECTION IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 10.5N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 77W AND 79.5W...AND IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 79W AND 82W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 128W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS ILL-DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY... WITH ONLY WEAK INDICATION OF BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING. ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS IN THE ITCZ. ..DISSIPATING 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN...NEAR 23N116W DRIFTING EAST-SOUTHEAST. THE CIRCULATION REMAINS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO INDICATION OF RE-DEVELOPMENT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS EAST/WEST ALONG 30N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0800 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N96W 9N109W 10N119W 8N129W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 99W AND 104W...IN AN AREA OF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. ISOLATED CELLS OF CONVECTION FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 111W AND 113W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 17:35:33 2003 X-UIDL: 38481-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ0000MRW37K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:33:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A9XdhA062835 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:33:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A0hR6d023582; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:27:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 796153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:27:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A9RGrl102538 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A9RE7S021926 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A9REUf021925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:27:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100927.h8A9REUf021925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 100927 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDERED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 18:07:32 2003 X-UIDL: 38482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ0004KTFE7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 18:06:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AA6mhA066908 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 18:06:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56A1x067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 05:01:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 796283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 05:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AA1crl048352 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 05:01:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AA1a7S022202 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 05:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AA1aT5022201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 05:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 05:01:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101001.h8AA1aT5022201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 101000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 11N179W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 02S180 02S176W 07S180. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:42 2003 X-UIDL: 38500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0000JM4P27K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 22:10:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AEA9hA099072 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 22:10:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56A5h067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:02:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 797891 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:02:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AE2Orl053104 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:02:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AE2M7S025725 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:02:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AE2Ld0025724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:02:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:02:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101402.h8AE2Ld0025724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 101401 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED SEP 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:52 2003 X-UIDL: 38510-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0001G88PZ3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:37:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AFbCRc073447 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:37:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AC1067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 10:29:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 799672 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 10:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AFTSrl072752 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 10:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AFTQ7S029019 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 10:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AFTQIG029018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 10:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 10:29:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101529.h8AFTQIG029018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 101529 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 10 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 79W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS MOST PRONOUNCED IN THE SW CARIBBEAN AND MOST OF THE CONVECTION SOUTH OF PANAMA IS ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE INTRODUCED ALONG 100W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. A FLARE-UP OF CONVECTION AND WEAK ROTATION SW OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC JUSTIFIES ADDING THIS FEATURE. THE ROOTS OF THE WAVE CAN BE TRACED BACK TO HURRICANE FABIAN IN THE ATLC...AND IT HAS JUST RECENTLY BECOME MORE ACTIVE AGAIN. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 97W-106W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 130W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. A WEAK SWIRL IS OBSERVED NEAR 12N ALONG THE WAVE AXIS...BUT ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 30 NM OF THIS FEATURE. ..SURFACE TROUGH...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN...IS LOCATED 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA ALONG 26N118W 21N116W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 32N136W 16N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 11N100W 9N106W 12N115W 8N128W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 160 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 109W-129W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 84W-92W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:53 2003 X-UIDL: 38513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0000DMBMK7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 00:39:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AGdtRc082560 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 00:39:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56ADt067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:34:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 800465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AGYsrl086260 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AGYq7S001524 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:34:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AGYp1A001523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:34:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101634.h8AGYp1A001523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 101634 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDERED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:56 2003 X-UIDL: 38516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL00016JEQ73U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:46:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AHkuRc091888 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:46:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AG1067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 801443 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AHe7rl037818 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AHe57S003451 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AHe5jn003449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101740.h8AHe5jn003449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:56 2003 X-UIDL: 38517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0000O1EQC7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:47:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AHl1hA029638 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:47:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56A5x042784; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 801446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AHe7rl024830 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AHe57S003452 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AHe5WX003450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 12:40:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101740.h8AHe5WX003450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z/111800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0001R2JRY3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:35:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AJZxRc007216 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:36:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56ANB067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 14:30:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 803684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 14:30:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AJUorl035780 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 14:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AJUm7S006380 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 14:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AJUm0G006379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 14:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 14:30:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101930.h8AJUm0G006379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 101930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED SEP 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:20:00 2003 X-UIDL: 38526-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0001NKOYU3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:28:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ALS7Rc021421 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:28:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AUF067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:22:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 805736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:22:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ALMNrl049452 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:22:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8ALML7S010065 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:22:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8ALML9j010064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:22:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:22:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309102122.h8ALML9j010064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 102122 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 10 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 79W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS MOST PRONOUNCED IN THE SW CARIBBEAN AND MOST OF THE CONVECTION SOUTH OF PANAMA IS ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W NORTH OF 7N MOVING SLOWLY WEST 5-10 KT. THE SYSTEM LOOKS POORLY ORGANIZED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 132W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. A SMALL SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY NEAR 12.5N132W. HOWEVER...THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ..WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...THE REMNANTS OF T.D. KEVIN...IS LOCATED 116W FROM 18N-25N. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS E/W ALONG 30N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 12N92W 9N105W 12N115W 8N130W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 77W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 95W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 107W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 103W-109W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:20:01 2003 X-UIDL: 38527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL00005QRHN7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 06:22:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AMMaRc026637 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 06:22:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ACKAE1023606; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:16:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 806373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:16:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AMGirl024588 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:16:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AMGg7S011299 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:16:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AMGg8O011298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:16:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:16:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309102216.h8AMGg8O011298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 102216 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 07N140W 06N160W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 11N143W 11N140W 06N140W 07N142W 11N143W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W HAS MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 20KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 20N167W 16N164W 11N170W 11N175W 15N174W 20N167W HAS MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND EXPANDED IN SIZE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 70NM OF LINE 05N173W 05N180. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...25S117E 20S125E AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S HAS ISOLATED TCU AND OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM. FRONT 2/SHEARLINE...25S121W 20S133W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 18S147W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT AND ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM OF SHEARLINE. FRONT 3...25S166W 18S180 AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM. CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 12S164W 11S170W 06S180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120NM OF AXIS HAVE MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CONVERGENCE ZONE IN SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 02S171W 09S167W 08S175W 03S175W 02S171W. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:20:01 2003 X-UIDL: 38528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0000T5SD57K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 06:41:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AMfURc028537 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 06:41:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AXZ067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:33:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 806662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:33:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AMXkrl049658 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:33:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AMXi7S011611 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:33:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AMXitt011610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:33:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 17:33:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309102233.h8AMXitt011610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 102233 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:20:04 2003 X-UIDL: 38541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1001860FA3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:35:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B1ZOhA082175 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:35:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56Ael067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 20:31:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 809158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 20:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B1Uxrl036380 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 20:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B1Uv7S013907 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 20:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B1Uvw4013906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 20:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 20:30:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110130.h8B1Uvw4013906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 110130 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED SEP 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 13:30:19 2003 X-UIDL: 38556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1000KU7HU7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:08:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B48IRc069040 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:08:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56Ajl067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:03:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 811426 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B43Vrl099398 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:03:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B43T7S015534 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B43TcJ015533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:03:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110403.h8B43TcJ015533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 110403 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 11 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W SOUTH OF 22N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTION IN ITCZ AND IN NW CARIBBEAN SEA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W/102W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. CONVECTION IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 133W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 133W AND 137W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 8N93W 10N109W 11N118W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 95W...WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 120W...AND WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MOVED INLAND OVER BELIZE. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 85W AND 100W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN ISOLATED CLUSTERS FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 83W AND 96W...OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 13:30:31 2003 X-UIDL: 38558-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1001XQ7MH3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:11:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B4B6Rc069341 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:11:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ACKALr023606; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:08:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 811475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:08:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B484rl032036 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:08:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B4827S015588 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:08:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B482iQ015587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:08:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 23:08:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110408.h8B482iQ015587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 110407 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 16:58:22 2003 X-UIDL: 38572-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1001VLDGD3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:17:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B6GsRc084370 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:16:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52pwL023608; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 812751 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B67grl052826 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B67e7S016654 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B67eYe016652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110607.h8B67eYe016652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z-120600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/110152ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED NEAR 25.3N0 125.2E0, APPROXIMATELY 145 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 GUSTING TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/CATES/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 16:58:25 2003 X-UIDL: 38582-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL10016TIHK3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:05:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B85ihA030332 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:05:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AoT067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:01:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 813412 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:01:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B81Prl087850 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:01:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B81N7S017669 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B81Nvs017668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:01:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:01:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110801.h8B81Nvs017668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 110800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED SEP 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:27 2003 X-UIDL: 38592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1001XKM663U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:25:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B9PDRc010679 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:25:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56Aq3067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 04:20:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 813855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 04:20:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B9Kgrl081916 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 04:20:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B9Ke7S018317 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 04:20:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B9Keis018316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 04:20:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 04:20:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110920.h8B9Keis018316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 110920 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:34 2003 X-UIDL: 38596-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1001HJO353U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:06:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BA6dhA043704 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:06:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AqJ067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:01:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 814052 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:01:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BA1irl041056 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:01:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BA1g7S018601 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BA1gvx018600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:01:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111001.h8BA1gvx018600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 111000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED 16N174W 20N166W 16N164W. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N147W 09N140W 06N146W MOVED EAST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N180 06N176W 05N180 MOVED EAST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE UPPER TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S174W 07S171W 13S163W 15S168W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SHEARLINE MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:34 2003 X-UIDL: 38597-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1001E8OG93U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:14:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BAETRc017115 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:14:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AqL067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:09:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 814063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:09:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BA9Mrl014258 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:09:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BA9K7S018669 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:09:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BA9JRZ018668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:09:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 05:09:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111009.h8BA9JRZ018668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 111009 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 11 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W/84W SOUTH OF 22N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTION IN ITCZ AND IN NW CARIBBEAN SEA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102/103W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. CONVECTION IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 134W/135W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 134W AND 137W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0745 UTC WEST OF 100W...AND THROUGH 11/0945 UTC EAST OF 100W... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 11N100W 11N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 95W...WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 120W...AND WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MOVED INLAND OVER GUATEMALA. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 85W AND 100W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN ISOLATED CLUSTERS FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 92W AND 96W...IN MEXICO COASTAL WATERS AND IN MEXICO JUST WEST OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:46 2003 X-UIDL: 38610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1004S9ZC8EW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 22:09:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BE9ahA071936 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 22:09:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BCJCuf067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:01:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 816410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BE18rl033046 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:01:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BE167S021897 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BE16ha021896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:01:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111401.h8BE16ha021896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 111400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU SEP 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:48 2003 X-UIDL: 38618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL20040H3VEEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:47:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BFlchA082420 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:47:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbtP067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:42:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 818165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:42:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BFg9rl062910 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:42:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BFg77S025046 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:42:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BFg7Fm025045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:42:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:42:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111542.h8BFg7Fm025045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 111541 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 11 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W/85W S OF 22N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS N OF 6N. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W/104W S OF 20N MOVING W 5-10 KT. WAVE HAS A BROAD CIRCULATION NOTED ON FIRST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES WITH PERHAPS SOME EVIDENCE OF BANDING FEATURES. HOWEVER THE AREA IS DISORGANIZED. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 100W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 104W-107W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 135W/136W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE IS FIRING WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N136W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 22N113W TO BEYOND 31N132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 11N102W 10N117W 12N126W 9N133W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9.5N-12N BETWEEN 107W-111W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 127W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W-127W AND WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS E OF 86W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF TSTMS IS NEAR 3N79W AND 11N95W. LINE OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF 8.5N85W 9.5N88W 13N89W OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:49 2003 X-UIDL: 38621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL20044H72IEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 00:56:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BGuiRc064884 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 00:56:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbwL067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 11:49:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 819321 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 11:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BGnNrl045996 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 11:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BGnL7S027098 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 11:49:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BGnLjF027097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 11:49:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 11:49:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111649.h8BGnLjF027097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 111649 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:50 2003 X-UIDL: 38625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL20042Q8Q0EW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:32:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BHWORc069090 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:32:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52p8v023608; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 820038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BHQgrl054186 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BHQe7S028202 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BHQeAh028200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111726.h8BHQeAh028200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/COOK// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:51 2003 X-UIDL: 38626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL20046S8TMEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:34:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BHYZRc069324 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:34:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbxj067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 820035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BHQgrl014624 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BHQe7S028203 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BHQeNP028201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 12:26:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111726.h8BHQeNP028201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/COOK// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:55 2003 X-UIDL: 38635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004C7FDKEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:56:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BJu9hA008870 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:56:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbAZ067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:45:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 823263 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BJjurl031838 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:45:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BJjs7S002655 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BJjrim002654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:45:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111945.h8BJjrim002654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 111945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU SEP 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38640-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004QIJAZEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 05:20:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BLKxRc096032 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 05:21:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52pIl023608; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:13:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 825312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:13:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BLDYrl031428 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:13:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BLDW7S005482 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:13:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BLDWTJ005481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:13:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:13:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309112113.h8BLDWTJ005481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 112113 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 11 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 80W-90W INCLUDING PANAMA AND COSTA RICA AND FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 88W-90W INCLUDING EL SALVADOR. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W S OF 20N MOVING W 5-10 KT. VISIBLE SATELLITE INDICATES A BROAD YET WELL DEFINED LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SOME EVIDENCE OF BANDING TO THE EAST. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 100W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 105W-111W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 136W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE BUT IT REMAINS VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N130W SEWD TO THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 29N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 12N100W 11N110W 12N125W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 110W-117W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 123W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38644-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004JHLJOEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 06:09:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BM9OhA021312 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 06:09:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbKZ067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:03:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 826376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BM34rl052842 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:03:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BM327S006545 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:03:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BM32PG006544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:03:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:03:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309112203.h8BM32PG006544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 112202 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2130 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... OCCASIONAL CBS WITHIN 2DEG OF LINE 19N166W 14N176W HAS MOVED MOVED WEST 3DEG AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...OCCASIONAL CBS BETWEEN 150W AND 144W BOUNDED BY 10N AND 05N HAS MOVED W 6DEG AND INTENSIFIED. OCCASIONAL CBS BETWEEN 175W AND 165W BOUNDED BY 07N AND 05N NEW. ISOLATED CBS WITHIN 1DEG OF LINE 05N165W 11N153W NEW. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... OCCASIONAL CBS WITHIN 2DEGS OF ISLAND. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ISOLATED CBS WITHIN 2DEG OF LINE 19S161W 13S180 HAS MOVED SOUTH 3DEG AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CBS FROM ABOVE LINE. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:59 2003 X-UIDL: 38646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004OCN6PEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 06:44:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BMioRc003670 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 06:44:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbM3067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:33:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 826849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:33:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BMXArl024750 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:33:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BMX87S007029 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:33:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BMX8Km007028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:33:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 17:33:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309112233.h8BMX8Km007028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 112232 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WESTWARD-MOVING AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:00 2003 X-UIDL: 38649-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL200418QYKEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:06:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C06NRc010844 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:06:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbNb067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 827680 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BNtPrl014488 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BNtN7S008086 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BNtNX8008084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309112355.h8BNtNX8008084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/120000Z/120600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/111952ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED NEAR 28.4N4 125.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM NORTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 112100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 32.6N1 142.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOW A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT VERY LITTLE DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON THE ORGANIZATION OF THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B. (1) AND UPDATED PARA 1.A. (1). FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:01 2003 X-UIDL: 38651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004J9W35EW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:57:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C1v6Rc022030 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:57:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbR3067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 20:50:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 828878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 20:50:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C1oTrl058318 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 20:50:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C1oQ7S009233 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 20:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C1oQjT009232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 20:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 20:50:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120150.h8C1oQjT009232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 120150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU SEP 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:04 2003 X-UIDL: 38658-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL30049225QEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 12:08:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C48ERc035090 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 12:08:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbY9067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:03:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 831316 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:03:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C43erl036870 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:03:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C43c7S010705 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:03:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C43cX5010704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:03:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:03:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120403.h8C43cX5010704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 120403 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 12 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W/88W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 11N87W 13N87W 14N88W...FROM SW NICARAGUA COASTAL WATERS TO WESTERN HONDURAS/NORTHERN EL SALVADOR. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W/106W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CLUSTER FROM 15.5N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 107W AND 109W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 137W/138W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W...AND FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 141W AND 143W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE GOES FROM 30N130W TO 20N112W...STILL WEST OF THE APPROACHING 105W/106W TROPICAL WAVE. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 9N90W 11N102W 12N127W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 114W...AND WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 130 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 14N96W...JUST SW OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 11N87W 13N87W 14N88W...FROM SW NICARAGUA COASTAL WATERS TO WESTERN HONDURAS/NORTHERN EL SALVADOR. THE 87W/88W TROPICAL WAVE ALSO IS IN THE VICINITY. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:04 2003 X-UIDL: 38659-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL3004YO2P8EW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 12:19:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C4JvhA056003 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 12:19:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbYV067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:15:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 831539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:15:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C4FFrl058132 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:15:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C4FD7S010786 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:15:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C4FDvh010785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:15:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:15:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120415.h8C4FDvh010785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 120414 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:07 2003 X-UIDL: 38668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL3004RE8JSEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:26:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C6QIRc049876 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:26:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53Aw5067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 833185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C6Bhrl053486 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C6Be7S011719 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C6BeZZ011717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120611.h8C6BeZZ011717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/120152ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH OF CHEJU ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 32.6N1 142.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOW A WELL DEFINED FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT VERY LITTLE DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON THE ORGANIZATION OF THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:08 2003 X-UIDL: 38671-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL30047VBUBEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:37:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C7bORc057342 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:37:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53Ax9067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 02:30:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 833657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 02:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C7Ulrl035714 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 02:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C7Uj7S012323 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 02:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C7UjGY012322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 02:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 02:30:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120730.h8C7UjGY012322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 120730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU SEP 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:09 2003 X-UIDL: 38675-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL3004WCH0OEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:29:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C9TEhA085306 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:29:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53A0N067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:22:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 834137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:22:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C9Mjrl053302 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:22:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C9Mg7S013360 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:22:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C9Mgpv013359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:22:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:22:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120922.h8C9Mgpv013359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 120922 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:10 2003 X-UIDL: 38679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL30043CIEGEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:59:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C9x5hA088091 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:59:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53A0l067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:50:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 834270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C9oPrl051542 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:50:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C9oN7S013560 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:50:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C9oNmX013559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:50:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:50:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120950.h8C9oNmX013559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 120950 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 12 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM SIX HOURS AGO HAS DIMINISHED. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN TWO CLUSTERS NOW FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 88W AND 91W...IN COASTAL WATERS FROM WEST OF NICARAGUA TO WEST OF EL SALVADOR. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W/108W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CLUSTER FROM 15N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 107W AND 111W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 138W/139W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION...SOME DISSIPATING WITH TIME DURING THE LAST FIVE HOURS...FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 139W AND 140W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE GOES FROM 30N130W TO 20N112W...STILL WEST OF THE APPROACHING 106W/107W TROPICAL WAVE. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0730 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 9N90W 11N100W 11N114W 11N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 115W...AND WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 91W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 15N97W...JUST SW OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN TWO CLUSTERS NOW FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 88W AND 91W...IN COASTAL WATERS FROM WEST OF NICARAGUA TO WEST OF EL SALVADOR. THE 89W TROPICAL WAVE ALSO IS IN THE VICINITY. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:11 2003 X-UIDL: 38680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL300482JSZEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 18:29:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CATORc077264 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 18:29:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52pWt023608; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 05:22:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 834369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 05:22:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CAM4rl035708 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 05:22:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CAM27S013818 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 05:22:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CAM2Cs013815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 05:22:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 05:22:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121022.h8CAM2Cs013815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 121018 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...11N140W 08N150W 09N160W 06N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 13N140W 12N146W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 08N140W 09N144W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 90NM OF LINE 07N149W 09N155W 09N160W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09N172W 06N167W 04N165W 05N177W 09N172W HAS MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND WEAKENED. FRONT...30N165W 26N176W 26N180 AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. TROUGH...18N170W 13N175W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 17N170W 14N172W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...21S165W 12S180. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 25NM OF LINE 21S165W 19S169W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:13 2003 X-UIDL: 38689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL30067OSI5PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 21:37:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CDbJRc098251 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 21:37:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53A3v067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:31:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 835772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:31:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CDV8rl052988 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CDV67S016091 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CDV6YK016087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:31:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121331.h8CDV6YK016087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 121330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI SEP 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:15 2003 X-UIDL: 38696-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL3006E1ZX8PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 00:17:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CGHWhA026892 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 00:17:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53ABJ067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:08:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 838290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:08:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CG85rl105636 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:08:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CG837S020658 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:08:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CG83RB020657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:08:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:08:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121608.h8CG83RB020657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 121607 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 12 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 90W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 90W-93W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 89W-92W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 109W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CLUSTER IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 104W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 107W-114W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 140W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 139W-143W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE GOES FROM 32N132W TO 22N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 12N96W 12N106W 11N115W 13N128W 8N140W. IN ADDITION TO CONVECTION DUE TO TROPICAL WAVES...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 102W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 94W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 77W-80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:16 2003 X-UIDL: 38697-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006S00RPPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 00:35:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CGZqhA028930 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 00:35:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53ACx067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:29:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 838611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CGTMrl045830 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CGTK7S021339 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CGTKI9021338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 11:29:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121629.h8CGTKI9021338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 121629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...AND ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:19 2003 X-UIDL: 38708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006U57OHPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:05:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CJ57Rc039142 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:05:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53ANT067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 841960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CJ0Mrl056006 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CJ0K7S025636 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CJ0KZA025634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121900.h8CJ0KZA025634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/SANTOS/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:19 2003 X-UIDL: 38709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL40069X7U5PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:08:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CJ8WRc039607 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:08:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52pjB023608; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 841963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CJ0Mrl092352 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CJ0K7S025637 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CJ0KEm025635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:00:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121900.h8CJ0KEm025635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/SANTOS/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:20 2003 X-UIDL: 38711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006FIA5QPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:58:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CJwdRc046242 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:58:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52plZ023608; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:46:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 842958 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CJk6rl102644 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CJk47S026962 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:46:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CJk40w026961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:46:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:46:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121946.h8CJk40w026961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 121945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI SEP 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:21 2003 X-UIDL: 38716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL400629E4HPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 05:24:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CLOJRc058133 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 05:24:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CL6Cs5035684; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 16:17:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 844801 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 16:17:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CLHtrl087896 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 16:17:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CLHr7S029449 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 16:17:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CLHrWR029447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 16:17:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 16:17:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309122117.h8CLHrWR029447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 122117 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 12 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE WAVE SHOWS VERY LITTLE ORGANIZATION AND THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 90W-94W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 109W IS REPOSITIONED ALONG 107W SOUTH OF 20N. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC MOTION HAS INCREASED AND A 1009 MB LOW IS NOW ANALYZED AT 15N. THE LOW/WAVE IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST NEAR 5 KT WITH A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 103W-113W. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 140W IS NOW W OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N130W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 25N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 13N100W 10N115W 14N125W 12N130W 13N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:22 2003 X-UIDL: 38720-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006SVGF5PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 06:13:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CMDshA068416 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 06:13:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CL6CuB035684; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:01:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 845488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:01:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CM1Trl088044 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:01:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CM1Q7S000256 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CM1QV5000255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:01:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:01:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309122201.h8CM1QV5000255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 122158 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES...NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CBS WITHIN 150NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 13N140W 10N145W 08N180 EXCEPT CBS INCREASING TO OCCASIONAL BETWEEN 157W AND 160W. INDIVIDUAL CELL HAVE MOVED WEST 25 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CBS WITHIN 60NM OF POINT 21N169W HAS MOVED NORTH 05KT WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND...MOST CBS HAVE DISSIPATED IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY BUT ISOLATED CBS NEAR 13N171W. ELSEWHERE...NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES...NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE LINE...OCCASIONAL CBS WITHIN 100NM OF LINE 25S158W 17S169W AND ISOLATED CBS WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 17S169W 13S180 HAS MOVED EAST 05KT AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA...ABOVE CB LINE WITHIN 50NM SOUTH OF SAMOA. ELSEWHERE...NIL. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:22 2003 X-UIDL: 38721-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006HVH1UPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 06:27:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CMRJhA069504 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 06:27:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CL6CuT035684; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:19:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 845649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:19:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CMJBrl067128 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:19:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CMJ37S000512 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:19:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CMJ3qZ000511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:19:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 17:19:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309122219.h8CMJ3qZ000511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 122218 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:23 2003 X-UIDL: 38724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006GDQF3PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 09:49:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D1nnhA086824 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 09:49:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CL6C0n035684; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 20:45:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 847442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 20:45:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D1jVrl087862 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 20:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D1jT7S002835 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 20:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D1jTPE002834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 20:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 20:45:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130145.h8D1jTPE002834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 130145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI SEP 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. MATSUDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:25 2003 X-UIDL: 38730-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006ZIVH3PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 11:39:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D3d4Rc093302 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 11:39:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CL6C3x035684; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:34:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 848418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:34:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D3Ykrl049846 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D3Yi7S003683 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D3Yim9003682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:34:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130334.h8D3Yim9003682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 130334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 13 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 92W-95W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT WITH A 1007 MB LOW ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 15N. THE WAVE CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED BUT THE CONVECTION IS STRETCHED ACROSS THE WAVE AXIS BY AT LEAST 400 NM ON EITHER SIDE. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 108W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 102W-108W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 30N134W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 7N80W 13N100W 9N114W 13N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 77W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-129W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 8N-14N WEST OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION MOVING WEST OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN THE COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA COAST AND THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF COLOMBIA JUST NORTH OF THE ECUADOR BORDER. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:28:44 2003 X-UIDL: 38731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006LWX0JPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 12:12:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D4CJRc096441 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 12:12:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CL6C4J035684; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 23:08:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 848542 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 23:08:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D48frl053230 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 23:08:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D48c7S003961 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 23:08:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D48ca9003960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 23:08:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 23:08:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130408.h8D48ca9003960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 130408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:45:52 2003 X-UIDL: 38738-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5006MZ6B3PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:33:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D7X5Rc016533 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:33:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53fvL080770; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 850196 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D7JArl049792 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D7J77S005367 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D7J74E005365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130719.h8D7J74E005365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z-140600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/130152ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED NEAR 38.7N8 131.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TAEGU, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:45:54 2003 X-UIDL: 38739-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5006QB741PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:50:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D7oRhA020368 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:50:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53fvP080770; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:45:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 850268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D7jcrl037566 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D7ja7S005520 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D7ja1L005519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:45:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130745.h8D7ja1L005519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 130745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI SEP 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:01 2003 X-UIDL: 38748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5006AZCLSPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:49:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D9mvhA030825 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:48:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53fwd080770; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 850778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D9hJrl086068 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D9hH7S006684 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D9hGw2006682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130943.h8D9hGw2006682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 130943 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:02 2003 X-UIDL: 38749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5006CGCN2PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:49:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D9nrhA030885 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:49:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CLAS0p013226; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 850781 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D9hJrl032918 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D9hH7S006685 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D9hHA2006683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:43:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130943.h8D9hHA2006683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 130943 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 13 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W/94W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 92W-96W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W/109W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT WITH A 1007 MB LOW ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 15N. CONVECTION REMAINS ELONGATED ACROSS THE WAVE AXIS BUT SHORTWAVE VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK SPIN-UP IS OCCURRING. NUMEROUS MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12.5N-15.5N BETWEEN 105W-109W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-17N BETWEEN 109W-116W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 30N136W 22N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 10N94W 12N107W 10N116W 13N126W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 84W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-12N WEST OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION 75 NM OFF THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N-14N BETWEEN 97W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14.5N-19N BETWEEN 101W-105W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:03 2003 X-UIDL: 38750-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL500625D5CPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 18:00:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DA0pRc031462 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 18:00:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53fwl080770; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:55:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 850811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D9terl035820 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D9tc7S006790 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D9tcWJ006789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130955.h8D9tcWJ006789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 130955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N150W 13N142W 11N140W AND MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N160W 10N165W MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT AND WEAKENED. ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08N169W 09N179E AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 21N173W 22N167W 16N172W MOVED NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12S178W 15S170W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:04 2003 X-UIDL: 38751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5006WSDQ9PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 18:13:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DADMhA032922 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 18:13:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53fwn080770; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 05:08:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 850839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 05:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DA8lrl051710 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 05:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DA8i7S006928 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 05:08:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DA8iqX006927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 05:08:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 05:08:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309131008.h8DA8iqX006927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 131008 CCA TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 13 2003 CORRECTED WORDING IN JOHNSTON ISLAND SECTION NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N150W 13N142W 11N140W AND MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N160W 10N165W MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT AND WEAKENED. ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08N169W 09N179E AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 21N173W 22N167W 16N172W MOVED NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12S178W 15S170W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:07 2003 X-UIDL: 38756-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5009Q5NPNOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:49:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DDmwRc054268 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:49:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53f1r080770; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 08:45:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 851712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 08:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DDjdrl037404 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 08:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DDja7S008896 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 08:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DDjap2008895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 08:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 08:45:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309131345.h8DDjap2008895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 131345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT SEP 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:08 2003 X-UIDL: 38759-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5009Q8UKXOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:17:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DGHNhA067536 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:17:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFMmsd036932; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 11:02:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 852796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 11:02:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DG2orl086208 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 11:02:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DG2l7S010369 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 11:02:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DG2lTA010368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 11:02:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 11:02:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309131602.h8DG2lTA010368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 131602 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 13 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 95W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED MOSTLY E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 92W-96W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 111W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT WITH A 1006 MB LOW ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 13N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED MOSTLY E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 105W-112W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 32N133W 22N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N75W 7N80W 13N100W 9N114W 13N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-87W...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 125W-127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 102W-105W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:09 2003 X-UIDL: 38762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL50097IXYTOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 01:30:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DHUVRc077633 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 01:30:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53c0x033938; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 12:20:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 853869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 12:20:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DHKvrl087872 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 12:20:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DHKt7S011235 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 12:20:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DHKtCt011233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 12:20:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 12:20:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309131720.h8DHKtCt011233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 131720 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:12 2003 X-UIDL: 38768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL6009MH554OC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:05:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DK5QhA089726 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:05:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFIVun013228; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:01:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 855732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DK0wrl054164 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DK0u7S012801 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DK0uPm012800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:00:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309132000.h8DK0uPm012800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 132000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT SEP 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:13 2003 X-UIDL: 38771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL6009GJ9GUOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 05:38:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DLcuRc006111 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 05:38:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFMm4x036932; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 16:32:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 856984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 16:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DLWhrl029906 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 16:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DLWe7S013736 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 16:32:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DLWecR013735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 16:32:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 16:32:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309132132.h8DLWecR013735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 132132 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 13 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1006 MB LOW...NEAR 15N108W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W/97W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH ONLY A SMALL AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION S OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 93W-97W INCLUDING COASTAL REGIONS OF MEXICO JUST W OF PUERTO ANGEL. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 111W HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AND IS NOW A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N108W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 30N130W AND EXTENDS SEWD OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 25N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2045 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N108W... SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH INCREASING CONVECTION...COLDER CLOUD TOPS...AND IMPROVING ROTATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE EXTENDING FROM 20N105W TO 11N112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 14N100W 10N115W 13N124W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 79W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS W OF 113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:14 2003 X-UIDL: 38773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL6009FCAQCOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 06:06:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DM6BhA000101 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 06:06:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFMm5L036932; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:01:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 857195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DM14rl014120 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DM117S013993 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DM11sW013992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:01:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309132201.h8DM11sW013992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 132200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 11N140W 08N144W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 06N179W 09N177W 07N170W 04N170W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICNAT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:15 2003 X-UIDL: 38774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL60095RCG6OC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 06:43:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DMhKQX004360 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 06:43:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFMm67036932; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:37:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 857642 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DMbZrl032876 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:37:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DMbX7S014329 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:37:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DMbWLd014328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:37:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 17:37:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309132237.h8DMbWLd014328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 132237 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED 555 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SLOWLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER MAINELLI/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:18 2003 X-UIDL: 38779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL6009G6O1KOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:53:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E2rmQX025996 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:53:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFMmA3036932; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:45:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 859783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E2jXrl023786 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E2jV7S016841 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:45:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E2jVBu016840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:45:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:45:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140245.h8E2jVBu016840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 140244 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT SEP 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:19 2003 X-UIDL: 38782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL6009UFQ80OC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 11:40:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E3eoQX030146 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 11:40:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFMmAp036932; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 22:37:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 860125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 22:37:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E3bFrl041676 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 22:37:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E3bC7S017230 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 22:37:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E3bCiT017229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 22:37:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 22:37:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140337.h8E3bCiT017229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 140337 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 14 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1006 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 15N108W AT 14/0000 UTC DRIFTING WEST. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE BULK OF THE CONVECTION IS TO THE EAST OF THE WAVE AXIS...SPECIFICALLY OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHAUNTEPEC. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN 92W-96W. OTHER ISOLATED MODERATE CELLS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC N OF 14N BETWEEN 92W-97W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 30N135W TO 22N111W NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0300 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N108W... THE DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP THE SIGNATURES OF A DEVELOPING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. AS COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT...WHEN THE CONVECTION WAS ALIGNED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES ACROSS THE WAVE AXIS...THE TSTM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATED AROUND THE SURFACE LOW. IN ADDITION...INTENSE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER WITH TWO DISTINCT BANDING FEATURES NOW APPARENT TO THE NW AND SE. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-19N BETWEEN 106W-114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N98W 12N110W 10N118W 13N125W 11N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 94W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS INTERSPERSED ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN PANAMA AND SRN MEXICO. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS NE OF THE DISTURBANCE ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 17N-23N BETWEEN 101W-106W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:20 2003 X-UIDL: 38783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL60090ES4KOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 12:21:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E4Ltxa029581 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 12:21:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFMmBL036932; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 23:17:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 860308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 23:17:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E4HGrl041668 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 23:17:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E4HE7S017478 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 23:17:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E4HEru017477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 23:17:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 23:17:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140417.h8E4HEru017477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 140416 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SATELLITE IMAGES AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS FORMING ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THERE IS A STRONG LIKELYHOOD THAT ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:22 2003 X-UIDL: 38786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL6009R2VFDOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:33:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E5XCQX040560 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:33:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NsX005952; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 861136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E5QWrl070532 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E5QT7S018050 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E5QTd0018048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140526.h8E5QTd0018048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z-150600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 38789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL7009TR23DOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:57:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E7vEQX053745 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:57:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54put105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 02:50:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 861738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 02:50:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E7omrl053132 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 02:50:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E7oj7S018943 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 02:50:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E7oj7B018942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 02:50:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 02:50:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140750.h8E7oj7B018942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 140750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT SEP 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:25 2003 X-UIDL: 38791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL7009Z63XTOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:37:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E8b5xa049834 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:37:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pvD105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 861864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E8WXrl051504 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E8WU7S019434 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E8WUvS019432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140832.h8E8WUvS019432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 140832 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 0900Z SUN SEP 14 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 108.8W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 0 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 108.8W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 108.6W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 22.6N 122.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 108.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:25 2003 X-UIDL: 38792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL7009193ZPOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:38:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E8cFQX057574 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:38:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFIV4x013228; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 861867 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E8WXrl041608 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E8WU7S019433 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E8WU2E019431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:32:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140832.h8E8WU2E019431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ42 KNHC 140832 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2003 SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA FROM SEAWINDS SCATTEROMETER INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED ORGANIZED CONVECTION AND A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E AT THIS TIME. BECAUSE THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER WARM WATER AND LOW SHEAR FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS... ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED. THE INITIAL MOTION IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN BUT THE BEST ESTIMATE IS 345 DEGREES AT 8 KNOTS. A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. THEREFORE...A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN WEST IS INDICATED. BEYOND 72 HOURS...A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS AND INTO HIGH SHEAR. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/0900Z 16.5N 108.8W 30 KT 12HR VT 14/1800Z 17.5N 109.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 15/0600Z 19.0N 109.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 15/1800Z 20.5N 111.0W 45 KT 48HR VT 16/0600Z 21.5N 112.5W 40 KT 72HR VT 17/0600Z 22.5N 115.5W 30 KT 96HR VT 18/0600Z 22.5N 118.5W 25 KT 120HR VT 19/0600Z 22.6N 122.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:26 2003 X-UIDL: 38793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL7009GD599OC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:05:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E95Zxa052036 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:05:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pw3105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:02:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 862168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:02:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E92Crl080764 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:02:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E92B7S019655 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:02:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E92Ai9019654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:02:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:02:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Twelve-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140902.h8E92Ai9019654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 140902 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 0900Z SUN SEP 14 2003 ..CORRECTION TO ADD POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 108.8W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 108.8W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 108.6W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 22.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 22.6N 122.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 108.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:26 2003 X-UIDL: 38794-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL7009MJ6DPOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:29:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E9Tpxa053895 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:29:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pwH105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:24:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 862301 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:24:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E9Oorl029754 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:24:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E9Ol7S019797 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E9OlYc019796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:24:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140924.h8E9OlYc019796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 140924 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:27 2003 X-UIDL: 38795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL7009FX6Y5OC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:42:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E9g4xa054869 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:42:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pwR105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:38:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 862385 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:38:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E9cirl085128 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:38:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E9cf7S019886 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:38:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E9cf1E019885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:38:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:38:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140938.h8E9cf1E019885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 140938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 14 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E CENTERED 380 NM SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 16.5N 108.8W AT 14/0900 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W/99W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FLOW NEAR THE WAVE IS ACTUALLY ANTICYCLONIC...WHICH IS COUNTERINTUITIVE FOR A WAVE...BUT A LINE OF CONVECTION HAS FORMED JUST EAST OF THE AXIS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 95W-99W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 30N136W 27N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E... IN A MATTER OF HOURS THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE BAJA PENINSULA HAS DEVELOPED AN INTENSE BAND OF CONVECTION PRIMARILY WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER...AND SO THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO T.D. TWELVE-E. AT ITS CURRENT STRENGTHENING TREND THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. EXTREMELY COLD CLOUD TOPS...SOME AS COLD AS -83C...ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONGEST TSTMS AND THIS TREND HAS PERSISTED FOR SEVERAL HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 107W-112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 12N108W 10N120W 13N125W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-132W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIA FROM 3N-9.5N BETWEEN 75W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COAST BETWEEN 82W-97W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN MANZANILLO AND MAZATLAN FROM 21N-25.5N BETWEEN 103W-108W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:27 2003 X-UIDL: 38796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL7009W478YOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:48:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E9mWQX063825 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:48:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pwV105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:46:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 862431 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E9jxrl021104 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E9ju7S019924 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E9juNr019923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:45:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140945.h8E9juNr019923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 140945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11N156W TO 13N154W TO 10N149W TO 12N143W TO 07N145W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 09N164W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N169W TO 07N168W TO 07N165W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 10N173W TO 08N173W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11N180 TO 10N177W. TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 27N175W TO 30N169W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 18N176W TO 21N171W TO 21N170W MOVED WEST AT 5 KNOTS...INCREASED GREATLY IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. ALSO SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LINE FROM 18S167W TO 28S150W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 08S161W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 10S161W TO 11S157W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 19S173W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 20S174W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:37 2003 X-UIDL: 38804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700B25IMOYP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:54:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EDsLQX085927 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:54:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55Nvd005952; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 08:50:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 863901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 08:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EDoerl014142 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 08:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EDoX7S021921 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 08:50:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EDoXXo021920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 08:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 08:50:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141350.h8EDoXXo021920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 141350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN SEP 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:39 2003 X-UIDL: 38808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700BP8LA0YP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:51:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EEpdxa080813 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:51:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55Nw5005952; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:48:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 864482 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:48:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EEmNrl092166 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:48:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EEmK7S022363 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EEmKqG022362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:48:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141448.h8EEmKqG022362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 141448 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 1500Z SUN SEP 14 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 109.6W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 109.6W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 109.4W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.2N 110.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.2N 111.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.3N 113.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 21.2N 121.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.2N 124.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 109.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:40 2003 X-UIDL: 38809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700BTXLE5YP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:54:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EEs6QX091687 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:54:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54p2V105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:50:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 864518 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:50:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EEokrl038692 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:50:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EEoh7S022381 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:50:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EEohDe022380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:50:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:50:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141450.h8EEohDe022380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ42 KNHC 141450 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2003 THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT WITH A CURVED BAND OF VERY STRONG CONVECTION ON THE WEST SIDE. AN EARLY MORNING TRMM OVERPASS INDICATED THE CENTER IS PROBABLY A BIT FARTHER TO THE SOUTHWEST THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT AND THE INITIAL POSITION IS ADJUSTED IN THAT DIRECTION. HOWEVER THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE STRONGEST CONVECTION. THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS IMPRESSIVE WITH CIRRUS FANNING OUT NICELY TO THE NORTH. SATELLITE CLASSIFICATIONS HAVE INCREASED TO 2.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE FROM TAFB... THUS LINDA HAS FORMED. THE RELOCATION OF LINDA AND THE CURRENT MOTION CHANGING FROM NORTH-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WILL KEEP THE CYCLONE OVER WARM WATER AND IN LIGHT SHEAR FOR ABOUT THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LINDA IS FORECAST TO BE OVER THE SOUTHWEST FLANK OF AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE... A FAVORABLE PLACE FOR INTENSIFICATION. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS CONSERVATIVE MAINLY BECAUSE THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS NOT EMBEDDED IN THE MIDDLE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE INTENSITY FORECAST MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED UPWARD ON THE NEXT ADVISORY IF THE CENTER BECOMES EMBEDDED OR CLOSER TO THE STRONG BANDING FEATURE. SHIPS MODEL BRINGS THE SYSTEM TO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 36 HOURS...A REASONABLE POSSIBILITY. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED UPON THE IDEA THAT THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE NORTHWEST AROUND THE DISTANT PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL HIGH OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA... WITH SOME MODEST TURN TO THE LEFT AS IT BUMPS AGAINST THE HIGH AND WEAKENS DUE TO HIGHER VERTICAL SHEAR. THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT ON THE STRENGTH OF THE HIGH OVER CALIFORNIA AS THE UKMET MODEL SUGGESTS A WEAKNESS ALONG 120W THAT WOULD ALLOW FOR A NORTHWARD TURN. FOR NOW WE WILL STICK TO THE IDEA THAT THE RIDGE WILL HOLD AND THE CYCLONE WILL WEAKEN AND TURN TO THE LEFT OVER COOLER WATER AND HIGH SHEAR CONDITIONS. FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/1500Z 16.5N 109.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 15/0000Z 17.2N 110.4W 40 KT 24HR VT 15/1200Z 18.2N 111.7W 45 KT 36HR VT 16/0000Z 19.3N 113.2W 50 KT 48HR VT 16/1200Z 20.5N 115.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 17/1200Z 21.0N 119.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 18/1200Z 21.2N 121.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 19/1200Z 21.2N 124.5W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:41 2003 X-UIDL: 38812-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700B5XNXMYP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:48:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EFmoxa085551 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:48:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54p3t105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:44:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 865629 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:44:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EFiLrl029934 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:44:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EFiJ7S022863 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:44:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EFiJDD022862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:44:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:44:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141544.h8EFiJDD022862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 141544 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 14 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS CENTERED NEAR 16.5N 109.6W AT 14/1500 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/1200 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH IS S OF S MEXICO FROM 16N97W TO 8N98W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 32N132W 25N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1530 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LINDA... LINDA HAS BEEN GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT WITH A CURVED BAND OF VERY STRONG CONVECTION ON THE WEST SIDE. THE CENTER APPEARS TO BE ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE STRONGEST CONVECTION. THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS IMPRESSIVE WITH CIRRUS FANNING OUT NICELY TO THE NORTH. SHIPS MODEL BRINGS THE SYSTEM TO NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 36 HOURS...A REASONABLE POSSIBILITY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 109W-113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 12N98W 14N108W 10N120W 12N127W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90-120 NM OF AXIS E OF 82W...BETWEEN 88W-100W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:41 2003 X-UIDL: 38813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700BKDO9MYP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:56:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EFuCQX097584 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:56:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54p47105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:53:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 865804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:53:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EFr7rl092414 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:53:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EFr57S022921 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EFr5Cf022920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:53:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141553.h8EFr5Cf022920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 141600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 16.2N9 109.4W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 109.4W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 17.2N0 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 18.2N1 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 19.3N3 113.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.5N7 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.0N3 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 21.2N5 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.2N5 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141200Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 109.4W4 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141200Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142200Z9, 150400Z0, 151000Z7, AND 151600Z3. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:41 2003 X-UIDL: 38814-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700BNFOCUYP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:58:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EFw8QX097764 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:58:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54p4B105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 865889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EFtArl035670 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EFt87S022933 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EFt8e6022932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141555.h8EFt8e6022932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 141600 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.5N7 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.0N3 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 21.2N5 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.2N5 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141200Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 109.4W4 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:42 2003 X-UIDL: 38815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700BRJOG1YP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:00:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EG04QX097958 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:00:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EAEkvl021002; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 865892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EFtBrl016646 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EFt87S022941 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EFt8d6022937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: At 07 Knots Over The Past 06 Hours. The Warning Position Is Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141555.h8EFt8d6022937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 141600 RRC AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141200Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142200Z9, 150400Z0, 151000Z7, AND 151600Z3. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:42 2003 X-UIDL: 38816-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700BRYOG6YP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:00:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EG09QX098001 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:00:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E8oQNn070574; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 865895 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EFtBrl032900 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EFt87S022940 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EFt8cr022936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141555.h8EFt8cr022936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 141600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 16.2N9 109.4W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 109.4W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 17.2N0 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 18.2N1 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 19.3N3 113.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:43 2003 X-UIDL: 38817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700BM4P4CYP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:14:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EGEdQX099378 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:14:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54p4H105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 11:08:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 866134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 11:08:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EG8vrl069436 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 11:08:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EG8t7S023101 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 11:08:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EG8tI6023100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 11:08:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 11:08:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141608.h8EG8tI6023100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 141608 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 440 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:45 2003 X-UIDL: 38820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700BGOV04YP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 02:21:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EILgxa004784 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 02:21:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55N3p005952; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 868181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EIJHrl019768 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EIJB7S024273 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EIJBvK024271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141819.h8EIJBvK024271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:45 2003 X-UIDL: 38821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700BMNV6IYP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 02:25:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EIPWQX017147 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 02:25:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54p8X105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 868173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EIJErl019758 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EIJB7S024274 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EIJBMb024272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:19:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141819.h8EIJBMb024272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:46 2003 X-UIDL: 38823-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700BZTZ3DYP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:50:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EJo2QX029314 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:50:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55N5D005952; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 14:45:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 869331 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 14:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EJjqrl080840 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 14:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EJjn7S025077 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 14:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EJjnb6025076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 14:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 14:45:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141945.h8EJjnb6025076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 141945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN SEP 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:46 2003 X-UIDL: 38824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800BJU108YP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:31:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EKVNxa020615 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:31:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55N6L005952; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 869963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EKSKrl080874 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EKSG7S025508 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EKSGL6025507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309142028.h8EKSGL6025507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ42 KNHC 142027 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2003 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF LINDA IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF DEEP CONVECTION. IN ADDITION... A TIGHT CIRCULATION IS APPARENT IN VISIBLE PICTURES WITH A CURVED BAND FEATURE ARCING THROUGH THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM. THOUGH CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED A BIT THIS AFTERNOON... INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE STILL INCREASING WITH 40 KT BEING CHOSEN AS THE INITIAL INTENSITY AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN TAFB...SAB AND AFWA. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER LINDA IS LOW AT THE MOMENT AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO BE SMALL FOR ABOUT THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS EXCELLENT TO THE NORTH AND SOUTHWEST... ALSO FAVORING FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. THE SHIPS MODEL INCREASES THIS STORM TO HURRICANE STRENGTH IN 36 HOURS.. AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DOES THE SAME. AFTER 36 HOURS... A COMBINATION OF INCREASING SHEAR AND COOLER WATER BELOW 26C SHOULD WEAKEN THE CYCLONE SLOWLY AT FIRST THEN MORE RAPIDLY IN THE EXTENDED RANGE OVER SSTS NEAR 23-24C. LINDA IS MOVING A BIT QUICKER THAN THE MORNING ADVISORY...315/09 KT. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY THROUGH THE FIRST 48 HOURS... CONTINUING UPON A PATH BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 10 KT. A TURN TO THE LEFT IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS AND BECOMES MORE STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BETWEEN THE UKMET AND GFS MODELS. THIS TURN IS THE BIGGEST QUESTION WITH THE UKMET WEAKER WITH THE RIDGE NEAR 120W. THE CONSENSUS OF THE GFS AND NOGAPS KEEPS THE RIDGE INTACT... AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REFLECTS THIS THOUGHT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT MIDDLE TO HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THIS SYSTEM COULD BE ADVECTED INTO THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES BY ABOUT MID-WEEK. FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 14/2100Z 17.4N 110.7W 40 KT 12HR VT 15/0600Z 18.2N 111.8W 50 KT 24HR VT 15/1800Z 19.5N 113.5W 60 KT 36HR VT 16/0600Z 20.5N 115.5W 65 KT 48HR VT 16/1800Z 21.3N 117.5W 60 KT 72HR VT 17/1800Z 21.5N 120.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 18/1800Z 21.5N 122.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 19/1800Z 21.5N 125.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:48 2003 X-UIDL: 38826-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800BL211AYP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:31:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EKW1QX034501 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:32:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EIsc3P038754; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 869975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EKSirl048458 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EKSf7S025514 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EKSfl6025513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309142028.h8EKSfl6025513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 142028 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 2100Z SUN SEP 14 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 110.7W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 110.7W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 110.4W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.2N 111.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.3N 117.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.5N 120.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 21.5N 122.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 21.5N 125.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 110.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:48 2003 X-UIDL: 38827-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800B4K4P6YP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 05:51:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ELp8xa027924 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 05:51:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pFH105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:45:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 871385 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ELjYrl045294 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8ELjV7S026224 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:45:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8ELjVjs026223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:45:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:45:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309142145.h8ELjVjs026223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 142145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE 09N148W 12N153W 12N158W 09N167W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 11N141W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 08N172W. UPPER LOW...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N162W 26N160W. COLD FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 29N175W 28N179W HAVE MOVED E SE 15 KT...INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE...AND INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 25N171W 20N173W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ALSO SEE DISCUSSION OF COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 04S165W 07S165W HAVE MOVED W 20 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09S163W 12S157W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 19S173W 22S170W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:49 2003 X-UIDL: 38829-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800DB57179U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 06:41:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EMfXQX048261 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 06:41:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pFt105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:37:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 871938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:37:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EMb8rl045176 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:37:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EMb57S026701 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:37:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EMb5br026700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:37:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:37:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309142237.h8EMb5br026700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 142236 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER MAINELLI/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:52 2003 X-UIDL: 38835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800DF0FQV9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:49:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F1nkQX067204 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:49:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pKh105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 20:45:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 874005 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 20:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F1jXrl033878 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 20:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F1jU7S028243 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 20:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F1jUaY028242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 20:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 20:45:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150145.h8F1jUaY028242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 150145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN SEP 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:55 2003 X-UIDL: 38847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800D29JJC9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:11:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F3BbQX078230 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:11:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pMn105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:54:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 874754 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:54:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F2sSrl004606 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:54:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F2sP7S028949 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:54:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F2sPwa028948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:54:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:54:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150254.h8F2sPwa028948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 150253 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 0300Z MON SEP 15 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 111.0W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 111.0W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 110.7W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.9N 112.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.2N 114.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.0N 115.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.4N 117.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.6N 118.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 21.7N 120.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 21.7N 123.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 111.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z FORECASTER MAINELLI/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:55 2003 X-UIDL: 38848-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800D3UJJQ9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:11:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F3BqQX078265 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:11:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pMt105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:06:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 874818 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:06:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F36Hrl004512 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:06:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F36F7S029068 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:06:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F36FV9029067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:06:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:06:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150306.h8F36FV9029067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ42 KNHC 150305 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2003 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CLOUD PATTERN BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AROUND THE CENTER OF LINDA. THE CONVECTION HAS DEEPENED AND IS BECOMING WRAPPED AROUND THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION WITH IMPRESSIVE OUTFLOW ACROSS THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. DVORAK DATA T-NUMBERS WERE 3.0 FROM ALL THREE AGENCIES...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 45 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 315/8 AND HAS BEEN THE OVERALL MOTION FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST AS THE STORM WEAKENS AND IS STEERED BY A LOWER LEVEL FLOW. IN A LOW-SHEARED...WARM SST FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT...THE SHIPS MODEL INTENSIFIES LINDA TO 63 KT IN 36 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR AND FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING OVER COOLER SSTS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE/MAINELLI FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0300Z 18.0N 111.0W 45 KT 12HR VT 15/1200Z 18.9N 112.0W 55 KT 24HR VT 16/0000Z 20.2N 114.0W 60 KT 36HR VT 16/1200Z 21.0N 115.6W 65 KT 48HR VT 17/0000Z 21.4N 117.0W 60 KT 72HR VT 18/0000Z 21.6N 118.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 19/0000Z 21.7N 120.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 20/0000Z 21.7N 123.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:55 2003 X-UIDL: 38849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800DF0KHS9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:32:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F3WEQX080824 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:32:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pNH105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:27:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 875036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F3Qxrl052878 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:26:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F3Qv7S029224 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:26:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F3Qrmx029222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:26:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...delayed Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150326.h8F3Qrmx029222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 150326 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...DELAYED TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 14 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.4N 110.7W AT 14/2100 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/1800 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 97W/98W N OF 8N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION TO THE W OF AXIS FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 97W-100W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N140W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 26N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2030 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LINDA... SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW LINDA GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH THE CENTER EMBEDDED ON THE NE SIDE OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. THE OUTFLOW PATTERN IS BEST OVER THE N SEMICIRCLE. WITH SHEAR EXPECTED TO BE LOW...LINDA IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING...POSSIBLY TO HURRICANE STATUS DURING THE NEXT 2 DAYS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 13N105W 10N115W 11N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 79W-85W INCLUDING W PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 89W-94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 117W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:56 2003 X-UIDL: 38851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800DAKM0F9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:05:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F455QX085262 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:05:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pOd105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:48:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 875532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:48:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F3mQrl014406 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F3mN7S029428 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:48:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F3mNHW029427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:48:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:48:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150348.h8F3mNHW029427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 150348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 15 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM LINDA CENTERED 290 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 18.0N 111.0W AT 15/0300 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/0000 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 98W/99W NORTH OF 7N DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR ACAPULCO FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 98W-102W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED NORTH OF 20N WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 30N138W 26N114W TO THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LINDA... THE INTENSITY OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LINDA CONTINUES TO BE IMPRESSIVE. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS NEARING SOCORRO ISLAND AND THE BULK OF THE TSTMS IS LOCATED OVER THE SRN SEMICIRCLE. IT DOES APPEAR A SMALL AMOUNT OF DRY AIR IS BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE NW QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM...WHERE A SMALL NOTCH HAS ERODED SOME OF THE CONVECTION. OTHERWISE...THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO WIND UP WITH THE POTENTIAL OF BECOMING A HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N-21N BETWEEN 109W-114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 10N100W 12N109W 9N118W 11N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-132W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 136W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 3N78W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR...INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA...FROM 11N-14.5N BETWEEN 86W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 93W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 19N-23N BETWEEN 104W-106W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800DYYNWU9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:46:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F4k9QX090015 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:46:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pPF105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:42:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 875831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:42:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F4gBrl036948 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:42:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F4g87S029853 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:42:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F4g83B029852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:42:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 23:42:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150442.h8F4g83B029852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 150441 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:59 2003 X-UIDL: 38858-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800DK6PJ79U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 13:21:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5LBxa072522 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 13:21:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NFF005952; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 876299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5DZrl042512 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F5DX7S000175 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F5DXLn000173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150513.h8F5DXLn000173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z-160600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:47:08 2003 X-UIDL: 38877-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800DJGWPZ9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:56:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F7uLQX012594 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5PxtT049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 02:50:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877096 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 02:50:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F7oqrl044358 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 02:50:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F7on7S001337 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 02:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F7ondt001336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 02:50:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 02:50:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150750.h8F7ondt001336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 150750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN SEP 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...A DISTURBED AREA ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 12N140W MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:47:09 2003 X-UIDL: 38879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800D0HYYJ9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:44:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F8ikQX018597 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:44:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5PxuB049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:41:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877325 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:41:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F8fjrl038812 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:41:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F8fd7S001854 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F8fdda001853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:41:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:41:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150841.h8F8fdda001853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 150841 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 0900Z MON SEP 15 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 111.9W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 111.9W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.6N 113.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.7N 114.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.4N 116.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.8N 117.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 22.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 22.0N 125.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 111.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:47:10 2003 X-UIDL: 38881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800DQYZI09U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:56:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F8uRQX020034 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:56:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5PxuJ049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:51:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:51:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F8porl087840 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:51:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F8pl7S001904 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:51:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F8plSY001903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:51:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:51:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150851.h8F8plSY001903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ42 KNHC 150851 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT LINDA CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED...WITH A GOOD CURVED BAND PATTERN AND THE BEGINNINGS OF A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 65 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND 45 KT FROM AFWA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET TO 55 KT AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE ESTIMATES. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 315/8. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT LINDA IS ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. THIS SHOULD MOVE LINDA GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HR OR SO. THIS SHOULD BE FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AS LINDA REACHES COLDER WATER...WEAKENS...AND IS STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST. MOST NHC GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS SCENARIO...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY FASTER AND SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. LINDA SHOULD REMAIN IN A LOW-SHEAR WARM-WATER ENVIRONMENT FOR 24-36 HR... AND THUS IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE. AFTER THAT...COLDER WATER ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD LEAD TO STEADY WEAKENING. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 18.6N 111.9W 55 KT 12HR VT 15/1800Z 19.6N 113.0W 65 KT 24HR VT 16/0600Z 20.7N 114.7W 70 KT 36HR VT 16/1800Z 21.4N 116.4W 65 KT 48HR VT 17/0600Z 21.8N 117.6W 60 KT 72HR VT 18/0600Z 22.0N 120.0W 45 KT 96HR VT 19/0600Z 22.0N 122.5W 30 KT 120HR VT 20/0600Z 22.0N 125.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:47:13 2003 X-UIDL: 38887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DZ11NY9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:43:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9h4QX025506 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:43:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Pxup049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:40:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:40:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9eorl004590 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:40:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F9em7S002193 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:40:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F9elAq002192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:40:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:40:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150940.h8F9elAq002192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 150940 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 15 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM LINDA CENTERED 270 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 18.6N 111.9W AT 15/0900 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/0600 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 8N96W 15N95W 20N93W DRIFTING WEST. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 15.5N-20N BETWEEN 94W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-15.5N BETWEEN 94W-100W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W. THERE IS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE IN THE AREA FROM 20N-30N BETWEEN 120W-130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LINDA... NIGHTTIME VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT LINDA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND NOW HAS A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST AS A BAND OF CONVECTION HAS WRAPPED UP TO 35 NM AROUND THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM ALSO HAS A WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE BAND WHICH WRAPS TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 109W-114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N85W 10N100W 14N110W 11N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-128W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 130W-134W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 86W-93W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 100W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 22N-24N BETWEEN 105W-107W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:53:54 2003 X-UIDL: 38888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DRN1ZY9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:50:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9oOQX026306 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:50:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Pxuv049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:48:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877560 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:48:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9m8rl088038 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:48:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F9m57S002230 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:48:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F9m5U0002229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:48:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:48:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150948.h8F9m5U0002229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 151000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 18.3N2 111.6W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 111.6W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 19.6N6 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 20.7N9 114.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.4N7 116.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 21.8N1 117.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 22.0N4 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 22.0N4 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 22.0N4 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150600Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 111.6W9 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 150600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151600Z3, 152200Z0, 160400Z1, AND 161000Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:53:56 2003 X-UIDL: 38889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DSR2099U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:50:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9oaQX026319 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:50:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Pxut049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:45:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9jkrl088016 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F9ji7S002215 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:45:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F9jh3g002214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:45:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:45:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150945.h8F9jh3g002214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 150945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N143W 14N140W 10N140W 06N147W 06N159W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 11N153W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N160W 14N158W 11N158W 11N164W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 13N161W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE POINT 11N170W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 15N172W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 13N175W. FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 26N171E TO 26N180 TO 30N175W AND FURTHER NORTHEAST MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 21N174W TO 24N171W MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS...DECREASED IN AREA...AND WEAKENED. ALSO SEE DISCUSSION OF COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WERE WITHIN 225 NM OF THE LINE FROM 24S178W TO 25S156W TO 26S142W TO 33S131W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08S169W TO 10S169W TO 16S154W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 21S162W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 08S163W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 20S180 TO 18S176W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:53:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900D6W25G9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:53:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9riQX026734 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:53:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Pxux049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877572 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9oArl062922 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F9o77S002259 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F9o7gx002254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150950.h8F9o7gx002254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 151000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 18.3N2 111.6W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 111.6W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 19.6N6 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 20.7N9 114.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.4N7 116.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:54:52 2003 X-UIDL: 38893-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900D7K25P9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:53:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9rrxa003746 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:53:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NGl005952; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9oArl051628 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F9o87S002261 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F9o7Rf002258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 045 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150950.h8F9o7Rf002258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 151000 RRB 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 21.8N1 117.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 22.0N4 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 22.0N4 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:54:53 2003 X-UIDL: 38894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900D7Q25P9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:53:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9rrQX026753 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:53:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EAEkCb021002; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F9oArl041616 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F9o77S002260 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F9o7lu002257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:50:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Dissipating As A Significant Tropical Cyclone Over Water Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150950.h8F9o7lu002257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 151000 RRC DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 22.0N4 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150600Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 111.6W9 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 150600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151600Z3, 152200Z0, 160400Z1, AND 161000Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 23:18:40 2003 X-UIDL: 38895-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DSL48T9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 18:38:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FAcuQX031930 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 18:38:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5PxvF049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 05:33:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 05:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FAXLrl055934 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 05:33:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FAXI7S002606 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 05:33:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FAXIrA002605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 05:33:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 05:33:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151033.h8FAXIrA002605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 151033 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 23:18:50 2003 X-UIDL: 38898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900D8C8BW9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:07:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FC78QX042866 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:07:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5PxwB049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:01:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 878042 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FC1Rrl004530 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:01:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FC1O7S003286 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:01:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FC1OSS003285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:01:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:01:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151201.h8FC1OSS003285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 151201 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 0900Z MON SEP 15 2003 ..RETRANSMISSION... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 111.9W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 111.9W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.6N 113.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.7N 114.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.4N 116.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.8N 117.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 22.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 22.0N 125.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 111.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 23:18:55 2003 X-UIDL: 38901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900D68APJ9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:58:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FCwZQX048500 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NHv005952; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 878300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FCo6rl041646 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FCo37S003851 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FCo3th003848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151250.h8FCo3th003848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 151300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/REISSUED/151300Z-160600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 14.3N8 135.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 495 NM WEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 151021Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT UNORGANIZED CONVECTION CYCLING AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA TO PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 23:18:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900D71DP39U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:03:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FE37xa029170 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:03:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Px0l049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 08:54:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 878975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 08:54:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FDrxrl065538 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 08:53:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FDru7S005548 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 08:53:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FDrufl005547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 08:53:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 08:53:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151353.h8FDrufl005547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 151353 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON SEP 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...A DISTURBED AREA ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 12N140W MAY DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 23:18:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DP9EZM9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:30:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FEV2QX059428 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:31:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NJR005952; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:23:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 879197 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:23:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FEN3rl038334 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:23:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FEN17S006444 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:23:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FEN1pb006443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:23:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:23:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151423.h8FEN1pb006443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 151422 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 1500Z MON SEP 15 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 112.8W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 112.8W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 112.4W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.3N 113.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.3N 115.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.8N 116.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.9N 118.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.5N 122.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 21.0N 125.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 112.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 23:18:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DGCFE89U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:39:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FEdlQX060361 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:39:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Px15049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:22:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 879194 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:22:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FEMQrl089242 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:22:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FEMN7S006429 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:22:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FEMNk3006428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:22:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:22:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151422.h8FEMNk3006428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ42 KNHC 151422 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT LINDA HAS CONTINUED TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING AND NOW CONTAINS A BROAD AND RAGGED BANDING EYE FEATURE. LINDA MAY BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KT...65 KT...AND 55 KT FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA...RESPECTIVELY. HOWEVER...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BEING HELD AT 60 KT...JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH... DUE TO THE VERY RAGGED LOOKING EYE FEATURE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/10. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK OR REASONING. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 12Z UPPER-AIR DATA INDICATE A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES WESTWARD TO JUST NORTHWEST OF LINDA. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE CYCLONE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HR WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST BY 36 HOURS AND EVENTUALLY WESTWARD AFTER THAT. ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON MOVING A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTH AND GRADUALLY ERODE THE RIDGE...AND CREATE A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE AXIS TO THE NORTH OF LINDA BY 72 HOURS. WHILE LINDA COULD RECURVE AND MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE WEAKNESS...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS CALLING FOR LINDA TO WEAKEN BY THAT TIME AND BECOME A MORE VERTICALLY SHALLOW SYSTEM THAT IS STEERED WESTWARD...AND POSSIBLY EVEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...BY THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS JUST AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS...AND THEN A SLIGHT WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST AFTERWARDS BASED ON THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS TWO ADVISORIES. LINDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A LOW-SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND OVER WARM SSTS OF 26-28C FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE CYCLONE TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH. BY 36 HOURS ..LINDA WILL BE MOVING OVER SUB-26C SSTS AND WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20 KT AND HIGHER. THESE TWO NEGATIVE FACTORS SHOULD GRADUALLY INDUCE SLOW WEAKENING INITIALLY...WITH MORE RAPID WEAKENING EXPECTED AFTER 72 HOURS. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT LINDA COULD REMAIN A LITTLE STRONGER THAN FORECAST AT 96- AND 120-HOURS SINCE THE CYCLONE WILL MOVING OVER SLIGHTLY WARMER WATER. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/1500Z 19.4N 112.8W 60 KT 12HR VT 16/0000Z 20.3N 113.9W 65 KT 24HR VT 16/1200Z 21.3N 115.4W 70 KT 36HR VT 17/0000Z 21.8N 116.7W 65 KT 48HR VT 17/1200Z 21.9N 118.0W 60 KT 72HR VT 18/1200Z 22.0N 120.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 19/1200Z 21.5N 122.5W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 20/1200Z 21.0N 125.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:40 2003 X-UIDL: 38917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DB6J719U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:01:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FG1rxa040856 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:01:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Px8H049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 10:55:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 880907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 10:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FFtarl051666 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 10:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FFtX7S009520 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 10:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FFtXaW009518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 10:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 10:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151555.h8FFtXaW009518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 151555 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 15 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS CENTERED SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 19.4N 112.8W AT 15/1500 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/1200 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 14N95W 15N96W DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS S OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 94W-101W ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1530 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LINDA... SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT LINDA HAS CONTINUED TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING AND NOW CONTAINS A BROAD AND RAGGED BANDING EYE FEATURE. LINDA MAY BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH. LINDA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A LOW-SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND OVER WARM SSTS OF 26-28C FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR THE CENTER FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 112W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 111W-114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 13N100W 13N117W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION CONVECTION IS WITHIN 360 NM OF COAST BETWEEN 81W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W OF 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:43 2003 X-UIDL: 38920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DFEK5F9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:22:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FGMUQX072524 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:22:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Px9d049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:08:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 881386 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:08:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FG8Qrl033232 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:08:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FG8O7S009942 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:08:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FG8OY4009941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:08:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:08:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151608.h8FG8OY4009941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 151600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 19.1N1 112.4W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 112.4W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 20.3N5 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 21.3N6 115.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.8N1 116.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 22.0N4 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.5N8 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 21.0N3 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150000Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.1N1 112.4W8 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 105 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151200Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAGGED BANDING EYE FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152200Z0, 160400Z1, 161000Z8, AND 161600Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:44 2003 X-UIDL: 38921-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DQSKAW9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:25:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FGPnxa043369 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:25:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NO1005952; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 881660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FGGXrl023604 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FGGV7S010236 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FGGVs9010233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 020 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151616.h8FGGVs9010233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 151600 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.5N8 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 21.0N3 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150000Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.1N1 112.4W8 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 105 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151200Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAGGED BANDING EYE FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152200Z0, 160400Z1, 161000Z8, AND 161600Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:44 2003 X-UIDL: 38922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DTXKD09U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:27:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FGR3xa043461 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:27:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5PxAp049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 881657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FGGXrl041698 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FGGV7S010235 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FGGVhZ010232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:16:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151616.h8FGGVhZ010232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 151600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 19.1N1 112.4W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 112.4W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 20.3N5 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 21.3N6 115.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.8N1 116.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 21.9N2 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 22.0N4 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:47 2003 X-UIDL: 38925-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DNYM5Y9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 01:05:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FH5sQX077953 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 01:05:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NPJ005952; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:50:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 882496 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:50:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FGnurl033620 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:49:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FGns7S011465 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FGns2F011464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 11:49:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151649.h8FGns2F011464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 151649 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:49 2003 X-UIDL: 38929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DXTNYQ9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 01:44:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FHisQX082758 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 01:44:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NS1005952; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 883678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FHdvrl044496 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FHds7S013047 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FHds6L013045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151739.h8FHds6L013045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:49 2003 X-UIDL: 38930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DI7OA29U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 01:51:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FHpdQX083519 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 01:51:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5PxI3049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 883675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FHdvrl069468 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FHds7S013048 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FHdsUv013046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 12:39:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151739.h8FHdsUv013046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z/161800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38934-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DESV0M9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 04:17:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FKHAQX002197 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 04:17:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDWwV031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:08:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 886524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:08:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FK8Trl070552 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:08:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FK8Q7S017198 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:08:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FK8Q1U017197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:08:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:08:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309152008.h8FK8Q1U017197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 152008 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON SEP 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38935-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900D0NVCF9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 04:24:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FKOGQX003260 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 04:24:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDWwn031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 886729 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FKIjrl032992 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FKIg7S017564 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FKIgAZ017562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309152018.h8FKIgAZ017562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 152018 TCMEP2 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 2100Z MON SEP 15 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 113.6W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 113.6W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 113.2W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 20.8N 114.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.5N 116.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.8N 117.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.8N 118.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 21.0N 123.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 20.5N 125.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 113.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38936-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900D4VVEM9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 04:25:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FKPexa072903 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 04:25:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NWr005952; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 886732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FKIjrl033632 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FKIg7S017563 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FKIg2b017561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:18:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309152018.h8FKIg2b017561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ42 KNHC 152018 TCDEP2 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT LINDA HAS DEVELOPED A 25-30 NMI DIAMETER CLOUD-FILLED BANDED EYE. A 15/1733Z SSMI OVERPASS ALSO INDICATED A GOOD MID-LEVEL EYE AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 65 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. A 2-HOUR ODT AVERAGE IS T4.0...OR 65 KT...WITH A PEAK ODT OF T4.3 AT 1800Z. THEREFORE...LINDA IS UPGRADED TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...MAKING IT ONLY THE THIRD HURRICANE OF THE 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON. THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF HURRICANES BY THIS TIME OF THE SEASON IS SIX TO SEVEN. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/10. THERE REMAINS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACKS OR REASONINGS. LINDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO AND THEN TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS THE HURRICANE ENCOUNTERS THE STRONG MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE RIDGE AXIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN INTACT AS FAR WEST AS 120W LONGITUDE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTERWARDS...THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN BY ALL THE GLOBAL MODELS AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPS SOUTHEASTWARD. HOWEVER...LINDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DUE TO COOLER WATER AND INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR...WHICH SHOULD ALLOW THE CYCLONE TO BE STEERED WESTWARD AND EVENTUALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD BY A STRONG SURFACE HIGH THAT WILL DROP SOUTHWARD OFF THE COASTS OF CALIFORNIA AND BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK THROUGH 72 HOURS...AND THEN SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF OR TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AFTERWARDS. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS...BUT NOT NEARLY AS FAR SOUTH AND EAST AS THE UKMET... GFS...AND NOGAPS MODELS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE PREVIOUS TWO ADVISORIES. THE OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE EAST...BUT IS BECOMING ELONGATED AND RESTRICTED TO THE WEST. HOWEVER...LINDA COULD STILL STRENGTHEN A LITTLE MORE BEFORE REACHING COOLER WATER IN 24 HOURS OR SO. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT LINDA COULD BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN FORECAST AT 96- AND 120-HOURS SINCE THE CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING MORE SOUTHWARD AND BACK OVER WARMER WATER. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE SHIPS MODEL THROUGH 48 HOURS AND THEN SLIGHTLY HIGHER AFTER THAT. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/2100Z 20.1N 113.6W 65 KT 12HR VT 16/0600Z 20.8N 114.8W 70 KT 24HR VT 16/1800Z 21.5N 116.0W 70 KT 36HR VT 17/0600Z 21.8N 117.1W 65 KT 48HR VT 17/1800Z 21.8N 118.5W 60 KT 72HR VT 18/1800Z 21.5N 121.0W 45 KT 96HR VT 19/1800Z 21.0N 123.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 20/1800Z 20.5N 125.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:44:01 2003 X-UIDL: 38944-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900D60ZAT9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 05:49:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FLnkxa081576 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 05:49:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDW4T031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:41:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 888790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:41:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FLfprl049698 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:41:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FLfg7S019480 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FLfgNa019479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:41:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:41:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309152141.h8FLfgNa019479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 152141 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...11N140W 10N148W 08N155W 11N163W 10N174W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 150NM OF LINE 09N140W 07N153W AND EXTENDING EAST HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 10N154W 09N157W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF LINES 13N163W 12N163W AND 13N174W 11N171W 09N174W. FRONT...30N172W 27N176W 26N180 AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 8KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...15S153W 11S165W 09S175W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90NM OF ZONE HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:44:02 2003 X-UIDL: 38945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DHRZKN9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 05:55:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FLteQX013993 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 05:55:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDW4p031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:48:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 888943 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:48:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FLmFrl004486 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FLmD7S019589 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:48:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FLmC4u019588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:48:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:48:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309152148.h8FLmC4u019588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 152148 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 15 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM LINDA HAS BECOME HURRICANE LINDA... CENTER NEAR 20.1N 113.6W AT 15/2100 UTC...MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/2100 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 95W/96W SOUTH OF 20N DRIFTING WEST. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION NORTHEAST OF THE ITCZ CONVECTION BETWEEN 93W AND 97W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 23N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2100 UTC... HURRICANE LINDA... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 19.5N TO 21N BETWEEN 113W AND 115W. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR NORTH OF 16N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W. THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE EAST...BUT IS BECOMING ELONGATED AND RESTRICTED TO THE WEST. HURRICANE LINDA STILL MIGHT STRENGTHEN A LITTLE MORE BEFORE REACHING COOLER WATER IN 24 HOURS OR SO. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT LINDA MIGHT BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN FORECAST AT 96 AND 120 HOURS SINCE THE CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING MORE SOUTHWARD AND BACK OVER WARMER WATER. THE STRONG MIDDLE LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN INTACT AS FAR WEST AS 120W FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N87W 14N105W 13N116W 11N133W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 92W... BETWEEN 96W AND 110W...BETWEEN 116W AND 129W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 132W AND 140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N129W AND 13N135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION NORTHEAST OF THE ITCZ CONVECTION BETWEEN 93W AND 106W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IN CENTRAL NICARAGUA...POSSIBLY RELATED TO THE NORTHERN PART OF THE ITCZ...GOING FROM THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA INTO NICARAGUA. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:44:02 2003 X-UIDL: 38946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HED0HV3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 06:15:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FMFaQX016131 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 06:15:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDW5P031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:04:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 889237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:04:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FM4url053444 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:04:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FM4r7S019913 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:04:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FM4reb019912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:04:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 17:04:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309152204.h8FM4reb019912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 152204 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY UPGRADED HURRICANE LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. FORECASTER LAWRENCE/STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:44:05 2003 X-UIDL: 38952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HFB6W93Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 08:33:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G0XnQX030563 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 08:33:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDW9N031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 19:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 891022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 19:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G0Rdrl044540 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 19:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G0Rb7S021732 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 19:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G0Rb0i021731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 19:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 19:27:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: For Further Details. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160027.h8G0Rb0i021731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 152200 FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:44:10 2003 X-UIDL: 38961-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00H9RA2G3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:42:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G1gKxa004272 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:42:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDWBP031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:30:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 891917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G1Ukrl024808 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G1Uh7S022457 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G1UhGv022456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:30:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160130.h8G1UhGv022456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 160130 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON SEP 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 15:32:09 2003 X-UIDL: 38970-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HGACN33Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:37:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G2bvxa011614 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:37:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EAEkWh021002; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 892544 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G2Vjrl070408 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G2Vg7S023223 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G2VghR023221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160231.h8G2VghR023221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 160231 TCMEP2 HURRICANE LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 0300Z TUE SEP 16 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 114.3W AT 16/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 114.3W AT 16/0300Z AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 114.0W FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.4N 115.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.9N 116.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.9N 119.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.5N 121.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 20.9N 122.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 20.0N 124.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 114.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN/AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 15:32:10 2003 X-UIDL: 38971-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HHVCNJ3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:38:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G2cDxa011636 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:38:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FM5KJp085046; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 892541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G2Vjrl026650 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G2Vg7S023222 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G2Vgbd023220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:31:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Linda Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160231.h8G2Vgbd023220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ42 KNHC 160231 TCDEP2 HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT LINDA CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT A GOOD CURVED CLOUD PATTERN...BUT UNLIKE 12-24 HRS AGO THE BANDING FEATURES ARE NOT AS WELL DEFINED. DRY AIR INTRUSION INTO LINDA FROM STABLE SURROUNDING AIR IS MARKED BY THINNING OUT OF BANDING FEATURES OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE AS WELL AS LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 65 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB AND 55 KT FROM AFWA. THEREFORE WILL KEEP THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 65 KT THEN WEAKEN TO JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH AFTER 24 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/08. ONLY CHANGE WITH FORECAST TRACK WILL BE AN ADJUSTMENT OF THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK TO THE SOUTH AS LINDA WEAKENS OVER COOLER WATER AND UNDERGOES WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AFTER MOVING NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LINDA WILL THEN BE STEERED TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST BY A STRONG SURFACE HIGH THAT WILL DROP SOUTHWARD OFF THE COASTS OF CALIFORNIA AND BAJA CALIFORNIA. FORECASTER JARVINEN/AGUIRRE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 20.6N 114.3W 65 KT 12HR VT 16/1200Z 21.4N 115.4W 65 KT 24HR VT 17/0000Z 21.9N 116.8W 65 KT 36HR VT 17/1200Z 22.0N 118.0W 60 KT 48HR VT 18/0000Z 21.9N 119.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 19/0000Z 21.5N 121.1W 40 KT 96HR VT 20/0000Z 20.9N 122.8W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 21/0000Z 20.0N 124.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 15:32:13 2003 X-UIDL: 38978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00H24G233Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:51:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G3phxa020711 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:51:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDWFX031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:46:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 893456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:46:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G3k7rl086060 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:46:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G3k47S023971 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:46:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G3k46p023970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:46:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:46:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160346.h8G3k46p023970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 160345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 16 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE LINDA CENTERED 280 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 20.6N 114.3W AT 16/0300 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W SOUTH OF 16N DRIFTING WEST. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN 92W-97W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0300 UTC... HURRICANE LINDA... LINDA IS BARELY HANGING ON TO HURRICANE STATUS. THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE HAS BECOME QUITE RAGGED AND ASYMMETRICAL...AND THE STRONGEST TSTMS HAVE BEEN "DANCING AROUND" THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 112W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N100W 16N110W 12N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA FROM 6N-9N EAST OF 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COAST BETWEEN 83W-89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 101W-106W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 135W-137W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 15:32:13 2003 X-UIDL: 38979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HHNH0Z3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 12:12:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G4CbQX058893 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 12:12:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDWFx031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:05:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 893612 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:05:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G45Yrl032038 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:05:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G45V7S024149 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:05:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G45Vq1024148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:05:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:05:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160405.h8G45Vq1024148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 160400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 008A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- NEAR 20.3N5 114.0W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 114.0W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 21.4N7 115.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.9N2 116.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.0N4 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.9N2 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 21.5N8 121.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.9N1 122.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.0N2 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160000Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 114.0W6. HURRICANE (HR) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM NORTH OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160000Z7 ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161000Z8, 161600Z4, 162200Z1 AND 170400Z2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED THE MANOP TO READ PHNC.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 15:32:14 2003 X-UIDL: 38980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HHVH113Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 12:12:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G4Cfxa023054 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 12:12:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDWGV031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:08:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 893676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:08:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G48brl038830 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:08:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G48Y7S024176 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:08:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G48Yu7024175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:08:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:08:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 070 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160408.h8G48Yu7024175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 160400 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.9N1 122.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.0N2 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160000Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 114.0W6. HURRICANE (HR) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM NORTH OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160000Z7 ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161000Z8, 161600Z4, 162200Z1 AND 170400Z2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED THE MANOP TO READ PHNC.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 15:32:15 2003 X-UIDL: 38981-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HSEH433Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 12:14:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G4EXxa023220 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 12:14:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDWGd031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:10:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 893705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:10:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G4Adrl038878 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:10:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G4Aa7S024205 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:10:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G4AaP5024204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:10:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:10:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160410.h8G4AaP5024204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 160400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 008A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- NEAR 20.3N5 114.0W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 114.0W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 21.4N7 115.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.9N2 116.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.0N4 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 21.9N2 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 21.5N8 121.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 15:32:15 2003 X-UIDL: 38982-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HJFHQD3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 12:27:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G4Rsxa024730 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 12:27:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDWGn031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:19:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 893781 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:19:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G4Jlrl070410 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:19:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G4Jj7S024288 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:19:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G4JiV2024287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:19:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 23:19:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160419.h8G4JiV2024287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 160419 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN/AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 15:32:16 2003 X-UIDL: 38985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HXKK813Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:21:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G5LgQX067257 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:21:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NiZ005952; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 894579 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G5Airl069446 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G5Af7S024794 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G5Afe9024792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160510.h8G5Afe9024792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z-170600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3N8 135.3E2 IS NOW RE-LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 131.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES REVEAL A BROAD MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER AN EQUALLY BROAD SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED TROUGH NEAR THE SURFACE. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC AND DISORGANIZED WITH WEAKEST CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVING ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/RONSSE/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 17:47:04 2003 X-UIDL: 38999-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HQHRDY3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:56:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G7uQxa048192 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:56:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52OxB014208; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 02:50:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 895644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 02:50:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G7ogrl046892 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 02:50:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G7od7S025880 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 02:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G7odcU025879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 02:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 02:50:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160750.h8G7odcU025879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 160750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON SEP 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 17:47:10 2003 X-UIDL: 39005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HE3TDP3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:39:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G8dVQX093436 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:39:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52Oxn014208; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:28:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 895923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:28:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G8Surl038908 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:28:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G8Sr7S026289 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G8SrB8026288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:28:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160828.h8G8SrB8026288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 160828 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 0900Z TUE SEP 16 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 114.9W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 114.9W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 114.7W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.7N 115.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.8N 116.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.7N 117.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.3N 118.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 19.4N 120.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 18.4N 121.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 17.3N 123.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 114.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 17:47:11 2003 X-UIDL: 39006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HTXTIX3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:42:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G8gcQX093766 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:42:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55Nkn005952; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:29:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 895926 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G8TZrl023638 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:29:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G8TX7S026301 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G8TWpA026300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:29:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:29:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160829.h8G8TWpA026300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ42 KNHC 160829 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 2003 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS SUGGESTS THAT LINDA HAS BEEN UNDERGOING SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. THIS WAS CONFIRMED BY AN SSMI MICROWAVE IMAGE AT 0445 WHICH SHOWED AN EXPOSED LLCC WITH ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB WERE BASED ON A CENTER MUCH FARTHER TO THE NORTH. AIR FORCE GLOBAL USING THE DMSP SATELLITE WAS ABLE TO SEE THIS CENTER AND MADE AN ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. THIS WILL BE THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS PACKAGE. THUS...LINDA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 300/07. THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE ALL IN AGREEMENT THAT LINDA WILL SLOW DOWN AND BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS MOVED A SIGNIFICANT DISTANCE TO THE LEFT OF THE LAST PACKAGE AND IS LOCATED BETWEEN THE GFS AND GFDL FORECAST TRACKS. THIS NEW TRACK KEEPS THE SYSTEM OVER 27 DEG C OR GREATER WATER TEMPERATURE. THEREFORE...THE INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO BE INVARIANT IN TIME BEGINNING AT 24 HOURS AND THERE AFTER. SHIP ELYA8 HAS BEEN APPROACHING THE STORM FROM THE NORTHWEST AND AT 0600Z WAS ABOUT 85 NM FROM THE CENTER. IT OBSERVED 15 FOOT SEAS... 1006.5 MBS...82 DEG F WATER TEMP AND WNW/30 KT WINDS. THIS CONFIRMED THE RADII USED FOR THE 34 KT WINDS AND 12 FOOT SEAS IN THIS QUADRANT. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 20.5N 114.9W 55 KT 12HR VT 16/1800Z 20.7N 115.7W 50 KT 24HR VT 17/0600Z 20.8N 116.6W 50 KT 36HR VT 17/1800Z 20.7N 117.4W 50 KT 48HR VT 18/0600Z 20.3N 118.2W 50 KT 72HR VT 19/0600Z 19.4N 120.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 20/0600Z 18.4N 121.7W 50 KT 120HR VT 21/0600Z 17.3N 123.2W 50 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:20:54 2003 X-UIDL: 39024-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HI28Y53Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:15:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GEFjQX038942 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:15:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52O5H014208; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:07:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 897952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:07:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GE7Yrl058226 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:07:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GE7V7S029947 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:07:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GE7Vbg029946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:07:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:07:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161407.h8GE7Vbg029946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 161350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE SEP 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:20:57 2003 X-UIDL: 39025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HKW8Z73Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:16:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GEGNxa091954 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:16:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52O5L014208; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 897976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GE8Mrl023578 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GE8J7S029989 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GE8J7j029987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161408.h8GE8J7j029987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ42 KNHC 161405 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 2003 INFRARED AND NIGHTTIME VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT LINDA HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS DRY AIR WRAPPING INTO THE CYCLONE FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST...WHILE SOUTHERLY SHEAR HAS DISPLACED THE CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO ASCERTAIN AT THIS TIME DUE TO CIRRUS CLOUDS...BUT I HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE CENTER SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SATELLITE FIX POSITIONS AND A TAD WEST OF THE LOCATION NOTED IN A 16/0446Z SSMI OVERPASS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/03. THE GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT LINDA SHOULD GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHWESTWARD AS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION GETS PUSHED SOUTHWARD BY THE BUILDING RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS CLOSE TO THE GFDL-GFS MODEL CONSENSUS. THIS MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK KEEPS LINDA OVER 27C OR WARMER SSTS AND UNDER DECREASING VERTICAL SHEAR...WHICH WOULD GENERALLY SUGGEST THAT SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION COULD OCCUR. THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL TAKES LINDA DOWN TO A 30-KT DEPRESSION IN 24 HOURS AND HOLDS THAT INTENSITY THROUGH 72 HOURS...AFTER WHICH IT RE-STRENGTHENS THE CYCLONE BACK TO 44 KT BY 120 HOURS. HOWEVER... I HAVE OPTED TO HOLD THE CYCLONE AT MINIMAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH SINCE THE CYCLONE WILL ALSO BE EMBEDDED IN VERY DRY MID-LEVEL AIR AND CLOSE TO A LARGE FIELD OF STABLE COLD-AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS. THIS LOWER INTENSITY IN THE LONGER TIME PERIODS IS CONSISTENT WITH THE GFDL MODEL... WHICH STEADILY WEAKENS AND DISSIPATES THE CYCLONE BY 84 HOURS. ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS ALSO DISSIPATE LINDA BY ABOUT 72 HOURS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/1500Z 20.6N 115.1W 45 KT 12HR VT 17/0000Z 20.7N 115.5W 40 KT 24HR VT 17/1200Z 20.7N 116.0W 35 KT 36HR VT 18/0000Z 20.3N 117.2W 35 KT 48HR VT 18/1200Z 19.7N 118.3W 30 KT 72HR VT 19/1200Z 19.0N 120.0W 30 KT 96HR VT 20/1200Z 18.0N 121.5W 30 KT 120HR VT 21/1200Z 17.5N 123.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:20:57 2003 X-UIDL: 39026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HSN91X3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:17:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GEHuxa092124 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:17:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GCQb5H085046; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 897973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GE8Mrl047318 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GE8J7S029990 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GE8JAG029986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:08:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161408.h8GE8JAG029986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 161405 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 1500Z TUE SEP 16 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 115.1W AT 16/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 115.1W AT 16/1500Z AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 114.9W FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.7N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.7N 116.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.3N 117.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.7N 118.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 18.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 123.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 115.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:01 2003 X-UIDL: 39034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00H4EDT03Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:00:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GG0eQX053886 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:00:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52OBT014208; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 899535 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GFpqrl099008 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GFpn7S003725 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GFpnlh003724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161551.h8GFpnlh003724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 161600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- NEAR 20.5N7 114.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 114.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 20.7N9 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 20.7N9 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 20.3N5 117.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.7N7 118.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.0N0 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:01 2003 X-UIDL: 39035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00H5TDTT3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:01:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GG1Bxa004721 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:01:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GAEW0Z005988; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:49:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 899484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:49:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GFnlrl069538 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:49:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GFni7S003662 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:49:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GFniFQ003660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:49:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:49:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161549.h8GFniFQ003660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 161600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- NEAR 20.5N7 114.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 114.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 20.7N9 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 20.7N9 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 20.3N5 117.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.7N7 118.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.0N0 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.0N9 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.5N3 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 161600Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.6N8 115.1W8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTH OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161200Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162200Z1, 170400Z2, 171000Z9 AND 171600Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:01 2003 X-UIDL: 39036-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00H77DUG3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:01:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GG1Vxa004753 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:01:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52OBR014208; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 899532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GFpsrl029674 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GFpp7S003731 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GFppwa003729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:51:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161551.h8GFppwa003729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 161600 RRB --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.0N9 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.5N3 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 161600Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.6N8 115.1W8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTH OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161200Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162200Z1, 170400Z2, 171000Z9 AND 171600Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:02 2003 X-UIDL: 39038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HDHEQD3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:20:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GGKcQX056740 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:20:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GENR8R079380; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:08:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 900036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:07:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GG7vrl052362 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:07:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GG7s7S004333 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:07:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GG7sfO004332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:07:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:07:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161607.h8GG7sfO004332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 161607 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 16 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS CENTERED ABOUT 315 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 20.6N 115.1W AT 16/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS DECREASED TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. THE WAVE POSITION IS BASED ON CONTINUITY AND ON SHIP REPORTS OFF THE MEXICAN COAST. A BROAD TROUGH IS LOCATED PARALLEL TO THE SOUTHWEST MEXICAN COAST...MAKING THE WAVE HARD TO LOCATE. THE LARGEST CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS LOCATED WELL TO THE WEST WHERE SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FOUND FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 103W AND 106.5W. ANOTHER AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR THE WAVE AXIS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 95W-100W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 120W. A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS NORTH OF T.S. LINDA ALONG 32N132W 27N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1530 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LINDA... DRY AIR WRAPPING AROUND LINDA...ALONG WITH SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR...CONTINUES TO WEAKEN THE TROPICAL STORM. ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS CONSIST OF ONLY A SMALL AREA OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT OF THE CENTER. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE AREA OF STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS TO THE WEST OF LINDA...INDICATIVE OF STABLE AIR AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. THEREFORE...GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS LINDA MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 9N95W 13N103W 16N112W 12N126W 11N131W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS WEST OF 132W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W-89W...BETWEEN 116W-120W...AND BETWEEN 125W-128W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SOUTH OF MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND MANZANILLO. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF 14.5N137W. $$ MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:02 2003 X-UIDL: 39039-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HL1EUI3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:23:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GGN7xa007374 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:23:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52OCh014208; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:09:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 900095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:09:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GG9irl072830 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:09:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GG9f7S004390 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:09:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GG9f4e004389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:09:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 11:09:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161609.h8GG9f4e004389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 161609 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 370 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS PERSISTED OFF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM MANZANILLO SOUTHWARD FOR A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AND ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:07 2003 X-UIDL: 39048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00H4DKFU3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 02:23:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GINxxa023129 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 02:24:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GAEW0x053008; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 902700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GICOrl089122 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GICL7S008554 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GICLPM008552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161812.h8GICLPM008552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:07 2003 X-UIDL: 39049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00H4SKG13Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 02:24:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GIO7QX073597 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 02:24:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52OKt014208; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 902697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GICOrl044564 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GICL7S008553 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GICLgc008551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:12:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161812.h8GICLgc008551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:08 2003 X-UIDL: 39051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HV4OF13Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:49:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJnrxa032385 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:49:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52OQt014208; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 14:40:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 904539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 14:40:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJeWrl027164 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 14:40:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GJeT7S011323 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 14:40:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GJeTQi011322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 14:40:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 14:40:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161940.h8GJeTQi011322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 161940 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE SEP 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:08 2003 X-UIDL: 39052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HNBPI83Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:13:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GKDPQX087422 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:13:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJkssf014210; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 904988 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GK3Url026836 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GK3R7S012006 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GK3Rf9012005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309162003.h8GK3Rf9012005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ42 KNHC 162003 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2003 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT LINDA CONTINUES TO BECOME DISORGANIZED DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND DRY AIR. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS DECREASED TO 40 KT BASED ON AN AVERAGE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 40 KT FROM TAFB...SAB... AND AFWA...AND SOME 40 KT UNCONTAMINATED WINDS NOTED IN A 16/1326Z QUIKSCAT OVERPASS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS AGAIN NUDGED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CONVENTIONAL FIX LOCATION AND CLOSER TO THE 16/1553Z SSMI AND 16/1326Z QUIKSCAT POSITIONS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/05. IT APPEARS THAT LINDA HAS MADE THE TURN TO THE WEST THAT THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AND IS ALONG BUT SLOWER THAN THE CONSENSUS TRACK OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS LINDA GRADUALLY MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER A 200 MB RIDGE AXIS AND OVER 27C OR WARMER SSTS. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CYCLONE INGESTS COOLER AND MORE STABLE LOW-LEVEL AIR FROM THE WEST...AND ALSO ENTRAINS DRY MID-LEVEL AIR FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS OR SO. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A FEW INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION THAT COULD KEEP THE CIRCULATION ALIVE AS A DEPRESSION OR EVEN A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. BY 96 HOURS...THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL IS FORECASTING THE MID-LEVEL AIR TO MOISTEN CONSIDERABLY...WHICH WOULD ALLOW FOR MORE PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION TO RE-DEVELOP. ACCORDINGLY...THE SHIPS MODEL BRINGS LINDA BACK TO 46 KT IN 120 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR LINDA TO REGAIN MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IN 96 HOURS...WHICH IS HIGHLY CONTINGENT ON WHETHER THE CIRCULATION SURVIVES THE NEXT 72 HOURS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/2100Z 20.7N 116.0W 40 KT 12HR VT 17/0600Z 20.7N 116.6W 35 KT 24HR VT 17/1800Z 20.6N 117.2W 35 KT 36HR VT 18/0600Z 20.1N 118.3W 30 KT 48HR VT 18/1800Z 19.6N 119.3W 30 KT 72HR VT 19/1800Z 18.8N 121.0W 30 KT 96HR VT 20/1800Z 18.0N 122.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 21/1800Z 17.5N 124.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:09 2003 X-UIDL: 39053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HOYPJE3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:14:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GKE9QX087496 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:14:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GAEW9f005988; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 905023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GK3Rrl027168 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GK3O7S012001 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GK3OBA012000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:03:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309162003.h8GK3OBA012000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 162003 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 2100Z TUE SEP 16 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 116.0W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 116.0W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 115.8W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.7N 116.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.6N 117.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.1N 118.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.6N 119.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.8N 121.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 18.0N 122.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N 124.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 116.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:14 2003 X-UIDL: 39059-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HMLSK53Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:19:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GLJIQX095841 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:19:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7Lrn040394; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:11:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 906073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:11:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GLB8rl023714 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:11:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GLB57S013991 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:11:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GLB54o013990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:11:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:11:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309162111.h8GLB54o013990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 162200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 20.7N9 115.8W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 115.8W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 20.7N9 116.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.6N8 117.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 20.1N3 118.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.6N6 119.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.8N7 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.0N9 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5N3 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 161800Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 115.8W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161800Z6 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS TS 12E BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED DUE TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND SOME DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170400Z2, 171000Z9, 171600Z5 AND 172200Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:14 2003 X-UIDL: 39060-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HCPSXG3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:27:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GLRMQX096867 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:27:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7Lrp040394; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 906130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GLFGrl023640 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GLFD7S014113 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GLFDhY014110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309162115.h8GLFDhY014110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 162200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 20.7N9 115.8W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 115.8W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 20.7N9 116.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.6N8 117.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 20.1N3 118.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.6N6 119.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.8N7 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:14 2003 X-UIDL: 39061-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HVFT9R3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:34:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GLYTxa043803 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:34:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJkswP014210; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 906127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GLFGrl035696 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GLFD7S014114 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GLFDuI014112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:15:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 201800z1 --- 18.0n9 122.5w0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309162115.h8GLFDuI014112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 162200 RRB 201800Z1 --- 18.0N9 122.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5N3 124.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 161800Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 115.8W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161800Z6 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS TS 12E BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED DUE TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND SOME DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170400Z2, 171000Z9, 171600Z5 AND 172200Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:15 2003 X-UIDL: 39063-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HNHUKA3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 06:02:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GM2dQX001278 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 06:02:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJksxt014210; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:48:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 906617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GLmTrl089132 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GLmR7S014838 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GLmQwB014837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:48:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:48:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309162148.h8GLmQwB014837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 162148 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...09N140W 10N145W 08N160W 10N163W 10N174W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120NM OF LINE 09N140W 10N144W 09N148W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 10N169W 09N155W 05N162W 10N169W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 10N176W 11N180. CONVERGENCE LINE...30N171W 26N180 AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 25NM OF LINE 30N170W 28N171W AND OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF LINE HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CONVERGENCE LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT 25S134W 22S140W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND EXTENDING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 12S164W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S156W 15S156W 16S161W 12S164W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:15 2003 X-UIDL: 39064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00H0AUT93Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 06:07:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GM83QX001826 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 06:08:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJks09014210; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:56:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 906704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:56:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GLuErl016780 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:56:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GLuB7S014975 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GLuBfq014974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:56:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309162156.h8GLuBfq014974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 162156 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 16 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM LINDA CENTER NEAR 20.7N 116.0W AT 16/2100 UTC ABOUT 370 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...MOVING WEST 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED HAS DECREASED DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS TO 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W/103W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2130 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LINDA... VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT LINDA CONTINUES TO BECOME DISORGANIZED DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND DRY AIR. THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS LINDA GRADUALLY MOVES SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER A 200 MB RIDGE AND OVER 27C OR WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CYCLONE INGESTS COOLER AND MORE STABLE LOW LEVEL AIR FROM THE WEST...AND ALSO ENTRAINS DRY MIDDLE LEVEL AIR FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS OR SO. IT IS LIKELY THAT THERE WILL BE A FEW INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION THAT MIGHT KEEP THE CIRCULATION ALIVE AS A DEPRESSION OR EVEN A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM POSSIBLY AT 96 HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 114W AND 116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 7N88W 13N98W 14N107W 13N117W 13N127W 9N134W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 82W...BETWEEN 85W AND 90W...AND 116W AND 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 100W...WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 108W...WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 129W...WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS ALONG WESTERN COASTS OF PANAMA AND IN NORTHERN COSTA RICA MIGHT BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:16 2003 X-UIDL: 39069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KUA0HVSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:10:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H0Alxa059946 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:10:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJks3p014210; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 18:58:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 908562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 18:58:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GNwprl101092 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 18:58:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GNwm7S016573 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 18:58:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GNwmu6016572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 18:58:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 18:58:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309162358.h8GNwmu6016572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 162358 CCA TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 16 2003 ..CORRECTION TO DATE ABOVE... NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...09N140W 10N145W 08N160W 10N163W 10N174W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120NM OF LINE 09N140W 10N144W 09N148W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 10N169W 09N155W 05N162W 10N169W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 10N176W 11N180. CONVERGENCE LINE...30N171W 26N180 AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 25NM OF LINE 30N170W 28N171W AND OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF LINE HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CONVERGENCE LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS AND BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT 25S134W 22S140W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND EXTENDING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 12S164W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S156W 15S156W 16S161W 12S164W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:17 2003 X-UIDL: 39070-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00K1R1CASS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:28:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H0T3xa061581 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:29:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJks4R014210; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:21:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 908772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:21:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H0L2rl055232 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:21:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H0Kx7S016827 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:20:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H0KxCG016826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:20:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:20:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170020.h8H0KxCG016826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 170020 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 435 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS PERSISTED OFF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM MANZANILLO SOUTHWARD FOR A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AND ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:17 2003 X-UIDL: 39071-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KM11N5SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:35:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H0ZZxa062187 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:35:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7Lvl040394; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:22:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 908785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:22:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H0M6rl055254 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:22:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H0M37S016856 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:22:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H0M3Vf016855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:22:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:22:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170022.h8H0M3Vf016855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 170021 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 435 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:17 2003 X-UIDL: 39072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00K8F2T3SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:00:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H10iQX021705 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:00:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GAEW9b053008; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:51:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 909359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:51:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H0pirl041576 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H0pa7S017246 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H0paeJ017245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:51:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170051.h8H0paeJ017245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 170051 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 435 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:18 2003 X-UIDL: 39073-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KUL30DSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:05:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H158xa065206 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:05:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJks6F014210; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 909425 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H0tZrl065714 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H0tW7S017315 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H0tVRR017314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:55:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170055.h8H0tVRR017314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 170055 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 435 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:40 2003 X-UIDL: 39085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KG96XBSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:29:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H2Tfxa075053 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:29:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7Lxh040394; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 910238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H2KNrl052740 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H2KK7S018334 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H2KKO0018332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170220.h8H2KKO0018332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/170130Z-170600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160051Z SEP 03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 130.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 125.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 162215Z7 MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWEST END OF A BROAD TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 170100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO OVERALL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18.7N6 130.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 480 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 162215Z7 MICROWAVE PASS INDICATE THE AREA IS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST EDGE OF A BROAD TROUGH. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO REVEALS THAT THE AREA REMAINS DISORGANIZED, BUT IS LOCATED UNDER AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) AND ADDED SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:42 2003 X-UIDL: 39088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KHJ793SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:36:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H2ajxa075985 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:36:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7L01040394; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 910608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H2V8rl029924 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H2V57S018453 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H2V5oD018452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170231.h8H2V5oD018452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ42 KNHC 170230 TCDEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2003 LATEST VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT LINDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN LOOKS RAGGED. THE DEEP CONVECTION IS ALMOST NON-EXISTENT...MOST LIKELY AS IT CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN STABLE LOW LEVEL AIR FROM THE WEST. VISIBLE IMAGERY ALSO SHOWED AN EXPOSED LLCC. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE BEEN LOWERING AND NOW THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 35 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 270/05. THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GLOBAL MODELS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS JUST AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL TRACK. WITH THE CONTINUING INFLUENCE OF DRY AIR FROM THE WEST...LINDA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION IN 12 HOURS AND REMAIN AT THAT INTENSITY THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PACKAGE DUE TO IT MOVING OVER 27C OR WARMER WATER DURING THE PERIOD WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR BURSTS OF CONVECTION CAPABLE OF SUSTAINING IT AS A DEPRESSION. THE SHIPS MODEL FORECASTS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF VERTICAL SHEAR THAT CAN PREVENT IT FROM MAINTAINING ITSELF AS A DEPRESSION. FORECASTER JARVINEN/AGUIRRE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0300Z 20.6N 116.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 17/1200Z 20.5N 117.1W 30 KT 24HR VT 18/0000Z 20.2N 118.0W 30 KT 36HR VT 18/1200Z 19.8N 119.0W 30 KT 48HR VT 19/0000Z 19.3N 119.9W 30 KT 72HR VT 20/0000Z 18.5N 121.6W 30 KT 96HR VT 21/0000Z 17.8N 123.1W 30 KT 120HR VT 22/0000Z 17.3N 124.6W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:43 2003 X-UIDL: 39089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KMH7AHSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:37:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H2baQX035488 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:37:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GAEWB3053008; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 910621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H2Vgrl100864 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H2Vd7S018467 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H2VdOn018466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Linda Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170231.h8H2VdOn018466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 170231 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 0300Z WED SEP 17 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 116.6W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 116.6W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 116.4W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.5N 117.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.2N 118.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.8N 119.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.3N 119.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.5N 121.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 17.8N 123.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 17.3N 124.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 116.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN/AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KG9A59SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:39:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H3dAQX046052 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:39:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GAEWBn053008; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:35:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 911571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:35:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H3ZXrl047080 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:35:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H3ZU7S019001 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:35:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H3ZUQI019000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:35:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:35:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170335.h8H3ZUQI019000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 170400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 20.6N8 116.4W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 116.4W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 20.5N7 117.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 20.2N4 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.8N8 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.3N3 119.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.5N4 121.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.8N6 123.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.3N1 124.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 170000Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.6N8 116.4W2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170000Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS TS 12E BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED DUE TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND SOME DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171000Z9, 171600Z5, 172200Z2 AND 180400Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39103-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KPSAAUSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:42:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H3gVxa085433 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:42:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38tsX079428; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:38:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 911608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:38:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H3carl035640 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:38:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H3cX7S019034 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:38:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H3cX5X019033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:38:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:38:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 120 Hr Posit: 250 Deg/ 04 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170338.h8H3cX5X019033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 170400 RRB VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.3N1 124.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 170000Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.6N8 116.4W2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170000Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS TS 12E BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED DUE TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND SOME DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171000Z9, 171600Z5, 172200Z2 AND 180400Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:48 2003 X-UIDL: 39106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00L7HAGKDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:45:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H3k3QX047515 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:46:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38tsd079428; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:41:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 911664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:41:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H3fbrl041720 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:41:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H3fY7S019062 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:41:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H3fYxX019061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:41:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:41:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170341.h8H3fYxX019061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 170400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 20.6N8 116.4W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 116.4W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 20.5N7 117.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 20.2N4 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.8N8 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.3N3 119.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.5N4 121.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.8N6 123.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:48 2003 X-UIDL: 39108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00K8WBO9SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 12:12:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H4CCQX050944 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 12:12:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38ttF079428; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:05:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 911911 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H45hrl035798 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:05:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H45e7S019240 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H45eCQ019239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:05:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:05:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170405.h8H45eCQ019239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 170405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 17 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 116.6W AT 17/0300 UTC MOVING W AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W S OF 19N MOVING W 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0345 UTC... TROPICAL STORM LINDA... LINDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N91W 15N112W 13N122W 12N135W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 130W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 110W...WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 125W...AND WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N TO 10N W OF 137W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 16N106W AND WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N104.5W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 21N TO 25N AND WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA S OF 9N W OF 82W...INLAND AND WITHIN 75/90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA TO 95W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA AND N COSTA RICA N OF 9N TO THE GULF OF FONSECA AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG A LINE FROM 12N92W TO 14N97W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:49 2003 X-UIDL: 39111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KIPD5USS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 12:44:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H4iJxa092808 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 12:44:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38ttt079428; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:40:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 912394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:40:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H4eDrl101062 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:40:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H4eA7S019493 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:40:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H4eAJD019492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:40:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 23:40:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170440.h8H4eAJD019492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 170439 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN/AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:51 2003 X-UIDL: 39115-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00LX8FIHDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 13:35:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H5ZBQX061434 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 13:35:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38tx9079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:25:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 913438 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:25:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H5P0rl105576 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:25:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H5Os7S019899 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:24:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H5OrE3019898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:24:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:24:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170524.h8H5OrE3019898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170051ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 125.6E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7N3 124.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND MULTIPLE MICROWAVE PASSES REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWEST END OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 170100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO OVERALL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.7N6 130.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.3N3 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND ANIMATED MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL THE AREA IS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST EDGE OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO REVEALS THAT THE AREA REMAINS DISORGANIZED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/FIORINO/RONSSE/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:51 2003 X-UIDL: 39116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00L2EFMUDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 13:37:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H5bmQX061679 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 13:37:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38txV079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:33:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 913525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:33:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H5X4rl038814 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:33:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H5X17S020003 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H5X1BA020002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:33:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170533.h8H5X1BA020002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 170532 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE SEP 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON/HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:17 2003 X-UIDL: 39127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KIALPMSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:48:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H7n3QX078882 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:49:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t0v079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 02:45:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 914411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 02:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H7jbrl062748 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 02:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H7jY7S021031 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 02:45:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H7jYi6021030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 02:45:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 02:45:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170745.h8H7jYi6021030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 170745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE SEP 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:18 2003 X-UIDL: 39130-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00LYLNHLDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:27:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H8ROQX084369 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:27:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H54jvv024580; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 914564 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H8OQrl029832 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H8OM7S021458 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H8OM3b021456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Linda Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170824.h8H8OM3b021456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 170824 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 0900Z WED SEP 17 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 116.5W AT 17/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 116.5W AT 17/0900Z AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 116.5W FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.2N 117.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.7N 117.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.0N 118.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.7N 119.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.4N 121.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 18.3N 123.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 18.2N 124.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 116.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:19 2003 X-UIDL: 39131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00LZRNI4DQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:27:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H8RdQX084511 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:27:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t13079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 914561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H8OPrl105642 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H8OM7S021457 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H8OMR4021454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:24:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Linda Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170824.h8H8OMR4021454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ42 KNHC 170824 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2003 THE LATEST QUICKSCAT PASS FOR LINDA SHOWS A BEAUTIFUL SURFACE CIRCULATION WITH NO RAIN CONTAMINATED VALUES. THE REASON FOR THIS IS THAT THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION LEFT AND THE SATELLITE SENSOR CAN SEE THE SURFACE EVERYWHERE. THERE ARE NUMEROUS 30 KT WINDS SO THE INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 30 KTS IN THIS ADVISORY AND LINDA IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS COOL AND DRY AIR BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM AND IS PROBABLY THE MAIN REASON FOR THE DEMISE OF LINDA...EVEN THOUGH IT IS OVER GREATER THAN 27 DEG C WATER TEMPS. CALCULATED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE SHIPS MODEL IS NOT PARTICULARLY LARGE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUPPORTS THIS. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS STATIONARY. THIS HAS BEEN HINTED AT BY THE GLOBAL MODELS WHICH WERE SLOWING THE SYSTEM DOWN. THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED IN THE PACIFIC OCEAN TO THE WEST OF CALIFORNIA. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT WHATEVER REMAINS OF LINDA WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE OFF TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND LATER TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS HIGH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL TRACK. THE SHIPS MODEL CONTINUES TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM TO A 20 KT DEPRESSION BUT BRINGS IT BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM BY DAY 5. THE REASONS SHIPS DOES THIS IS THAT THE TRACK WOULD KEEP THE SYSTEM OVER GREATER THAN 27 DEG C SSTS AND THE VERTICAL SHEAR GETS SMALLER WITH TIME. HOWEVER...IF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN THE DRY COOL AIR TO THE NORTH IT WILL NOT MAKE IT BACK. THE INTENSITY FORECAST KEEPS LINDA AS A 25 KT DEPRESSION OUT TO DAY 5...BUT IF NO DEEP CONVECTION RETURNS SOON IT WILL BECOME A REMNANT LOW. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/0900Z 20.6N 116.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 17/1800Z 20.2N 117.0W 25 KT 24HR VT 18/0600Z 19.7N 117.7W 25 KT 36HR VT 18/1800Z 19.0N 118.7W 25 KT 48HR VT 19/0600Z 18.7N 119.9W 25 KT 72HR VT 20/0600Z 18.4N 121.7W 25 KT 96HR VT 21/0600Z 18.3N 123.0W 25 KT 120HR VT 22/0600Z 18.2N 124.5W 25 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:23 2003 X-UIDL: 39140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KA6QVKSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:40:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H9ebQX095254 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:40:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t27079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:34:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 915115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:34:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H9Y2rl085152 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:34:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H9Xx7S022061 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:33:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H9Xx4o022060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:33:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:33:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170933.h8H9Xx4o022060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 170933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 17 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM LINDA WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 17/0900 UTC AND IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 116.56W AT 17/0900 UTC. IT IS NEAR STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 105W/106W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA... LINDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 19N TO 23N BETWEEN 114W AND 119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N89W 15N112W 11N123W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 136W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 110W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N105W TO 15.5N108W AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 15N106W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N99W TO 18N104W AND FROM 22N106W TO 21N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 8N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 78W TO 80.5W AND IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 93W TO 96W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N93W ACROSS THE AXIS TO NEAR 10N99W AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 7N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF 12N TO JUST INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR FROM 88W TO 90W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:24 2003 X-UIDL: 39141-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00L4LQWMDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:41:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H9fGQX095328 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:41:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t29079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:36:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 915147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:36:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H9a7rl038828 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:36:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H9a57S022087 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:36:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H9a4n7022086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:36:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170936.h8H9a4n7022086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 171000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 013 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 12E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 20.6N8 116.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 116.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.2N4 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 19.7N7 117.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.0N0 118.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.7N6 119.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.4N3 121.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.3N2 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.2N1 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 171000Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.6N8 116.5W3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170600Z4 INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171600Z5, 172200Z2, 180400Z3 AND 181000Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:24 2003 X-UIDL: 39142-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KD7QZ4SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:42:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H9glQX095546 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:42:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t2B079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:39:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 915169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:39:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H9dArl105586 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:39:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H9d77S022128 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:39:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H9d7Bc022127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:39:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:39:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 120 Hr Posit: 265 Deg/ 04 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170939.h8H9d7Bc022127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 171000 RRB VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.2N1 124.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 171000Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.6N8 116.5W3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170600Z4 INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171600Z5, 172200Z2, 180400Z3 AND 181000Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:25 2003 X-UIDL: 39143-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00LAWR1CDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:44:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H9hlxa026927 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:43:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7L77040394; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:38:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 915159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:38:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H9cArl044874 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:38:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H9c77S022111 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:38:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H9c7M5022110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:38:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:38:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170938.h8H9c7M5022110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 171000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 013 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 12E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 20.6N8 116.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 116.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.2N4 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 19.7N7 117.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.0N0 118.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.7N6 119.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.4N3 121.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.3N2 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:25 2003 X-UIDL: 39144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00LCGRTVDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:01:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HA1Bxa029121 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:01:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t2D079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 915305 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H9tUrl031364 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H9tR7S022238 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H9tRkG022237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:55:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170955.h8H9tRkG022237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 170955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08N144W 09N155W 06N167W 10N172W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. FIRST SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N142W 14N148W 13N151W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SECOND SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 27N173W MOVED SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED SLIGHTLY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SECOND SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 19S150W 21S145W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:29 2003 X-UIDL: 39151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00K2ZTMPSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:40:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HAe3QX003143 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:40:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t2h079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:35:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 915515 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:35:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HAZQrl101040 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:35:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HAZN7S022599 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:35:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HAZM78022598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:35:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 05:35:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171035.h8HAZM78022598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 171035 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:32 2003 X-UIDL: 39160-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00L3S10ZDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 21:19:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HDJqxa051592 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 21:19:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H54j0Z024580; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 916537 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HD68rl062896 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HD657S024081 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HD64tL024079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171306.h8HD64tL024079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 171330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/171330Z/180600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170051ZSEP2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171251ZSEP2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 125.6E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7N3 124.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND MULTIPLE MICROWAVE PASSES REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWEST END OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 170100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO OVERALL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.3N3 130.5E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 130.3E7, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BEGUN TO CONSOLIDATE AND IMPROVE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/RONSSE/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:12 2003 X-UIDL: 39161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LM82K8DQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 21:52:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HDr1QX025643 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 21:53:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7LAf040394; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:46:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 917046 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HDkJrl029898 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HDkG7S024995 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HDkG5c024994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:46:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171346.h8HDkG5c024994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 171345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED SEP 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:17 2003 X-UIDL: 39164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00K1C4G0SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:33:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HEXfQX031455 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:33:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7LC1040394; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 917571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HEOirl027348 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HEOf7S026087 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HEOfsq026085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Linda Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171424.h8HEOfsq026085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 171424 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 1500Z WED SEP 17 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 117.0W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 117.0W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 116.8W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.9N 117.4W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.4N 118.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.9N 119.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.6N 120.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.4N 122.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 18.3N 123.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.2N 125.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 117.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:19 2003 X-UIDL: 39166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00K864KYSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:36:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HEacxa061169 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:36:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t93079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 917568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HEOirl033844 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HEOf7S026086 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HEOfpV026084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:24:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Linda Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171424.h8HEOfpV026084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ42 KNHC 171424 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2003 THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REMAINED ABSENT FROM THE CENTER OF LINDA FOR ABOUT THE PAST 12 HOURS...EVEN THOUGH SSTS ARE NEAR 27C. THIS APPEARS TO BE THE RESULT OF COLD-AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS CONTINUING TO BE ENTRAINED INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER.... LIKELY STABILIZING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THESE CLOUDS ARE QUITE EXTENSIVE AND LOOK TO HAVE ENVELOPED MOST OF THE CIRCULATION. IF DEEP CONVECTION DOES NOT RETURN THIS AFTERNOON... LINDA COULD BE DECLARED A REMNANT LOW IN THE NEXT ADVISORY PACKAGE. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH WEAK STEERING FROM THE DISTANT SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW BECOMES A LITTLE STRONGER. THE FORECAST TRACK IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. IF THE DEPRESSION MOVES FAR ENOUGH TO THE SOUTH AWAY FROM THE MORE STABLE AIR...IT COULD MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY BUT THIS IS NOT LIKELY AT THIS TIME. FORECASTER STEWART/BLAKE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/1500Z 20.3N 117.0W 30 KT 12HR VT 18/0000Z 19.9N 117.4W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 18/1200Z 19.4N 118.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 19/0000Z 18.9N 119.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 19/1200Z 18.6N 120.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 20/1200Z 18.4N 122.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 21/1200Z 18.3N 123.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 22/1200Z 18.2N 125.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:22 2003 X-UIDL: 39175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LPQ7FADQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 23:37:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HFbxQX044309 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 23:38:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38tC9079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:25:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 918483 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:25:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HFP6rl014274 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:25:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HFP37S027926 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:25:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HFP3uX027925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:25:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:25:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171525.h8HFP3uX027925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 171524 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 17 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS CENTERED NEAR 20.3N 117.0W AT 17/1500 UTC AND IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 106W/107W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-19N BETWEEN 105W-109W. HOWEVER...THERE ARE NO IMMEDIATE SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N130W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 26N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1445 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA... LINDA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 150-200 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 15N112W 12N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS E OF 81W AND FROM 85W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 93W-103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 115W-130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR FROM PUERTO VALLARTA NWD TO MAZATLAN. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:23 2003 X-UIDL: 39179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00KZ09L4SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 00:24:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HGOfxa074905 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 00:24:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38tFt079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:05:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 919597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:05:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HG5prl058130 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:05:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HG5m7S029064 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HG5mUK029063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:05:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171605.h8HG5mUK029063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 171600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 20.4N6 116.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 116.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 19.9N9 117.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.4N4 118.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.9N8 119.3W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171600Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 117.0W9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171200Z1 INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPWN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172200Z2, 180400Z3, 181000Z0 AND 181600Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:24 2003 X-UIDL: 39180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00K789PDSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 00:27:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HGRGxa075191 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 00:27:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7LHJ040394; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:13:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 919726 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:13:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HGDurl038766 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:13:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HGDr7S029335 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:13:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HGDrRo029334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:13:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 11:13:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171613.h8HGDrRo029334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 171613 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:26 2003 X-UIDL: 39188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LC5K0MDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:09:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HKA2xa000987 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:10:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7LN9040394; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:00:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 923708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:00:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HK0jrl062806 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:00:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HK0g7S005666 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:00:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HK0gA3005665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:00:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:00:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172000.h8HK0gA3005665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 172000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED SEP 17 2003 A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS NEAR 14N 151W...WHICH IS 480 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS OR SO. THE AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF INCREASED ORGANIZATION. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:27 2003 X-UIDL: 39191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00KAOM9GSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:58:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HKwXQX089402 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifXL053254; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 925298 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKjJX9014126 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HKjG7S007091 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HKjGTV007090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Linda Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172045.h8HKjGTV007090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ22 KNHC 172044 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122003 2100Z WED SEP 17 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 116.9W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 220 DEGREES AT 1 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT...DISSIPATING WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 116.9W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 116.9W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.0N 117.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.6N 117.6W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 19.2N 118.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.8N 119.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.5N 122.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 124.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 18.5N 126.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 116.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON LINDA UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:27 2003 X-UIDL: 39192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00KFTMDKSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:00:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HL13xa007047 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:01:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifXB021130; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 925301 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKjKX9016270 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HKjH7S007096 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HKjHmc007095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:45:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Linda Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172045.h8HKjHmc007095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ42 KNHC 172044 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2003 THE SYSTEM IS CHARACTERIZED BY A SWIRL OF STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. LINDA HAS BEEN DEVOID OF SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR 18 HOURS...AND THE ENTRAINMENT OF STABLE AIR IS DISSIPATING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY LINGER ON FOR A REMNANT LOW FOR SEVERAL DAYS. STEERING CURRENTS ARE VERY WEAK. THE CYCLONE IS DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD...AROUND 220/1. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A MORE WESTWARD MOTION DEVELOPING IN A DAY OR TWO AS LOW-LEVEL PRESSURES RISE TO THE NORTH OF THE REMNANT LOW. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON LINDA UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 17/2100Z 20.2N 116.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 18/0600Z 20.0N 117.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 18/1800Z 19.6N 117.6W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 19/0600Z 19.2N 118.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 19/1800Z 18.8N 119.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 20/1800Z 18.5N 122.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 21/1800Z 18.5N 124.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 22/1800Z 18.5N 126.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:28 2003 X-UIDL: 39194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LVEN7RDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:19:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HLJ9xa008810 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:19:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKnNYR038874; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:09:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 925811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:09:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HL9KX9045922 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:09:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HL9H7S007835 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:09:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HL9HOn007834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:09:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:09:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172109.h8HL9HOn007834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 172109 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 17 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA CENTER NEAR 20.2N 116.9W AT 17/2100 UTC AND MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWEST 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 25 KT GUSTS 30 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W/108W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 105W AND 108W. THERE ARE NO IMMEDIATE SIGNS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW WEST AND NORTHWEST OF 32N120W 22N128W 15N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2030 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA... THE SYSTEM IS CHARACTERIZED BY A SWIRL OF STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. LINDA HAS BEEN DEVOID OF SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FOR 18 HOURS...AND THE ENTRAINMENT OF STABLE AIR IS DISSIPATING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. IT IS LIKELY THAT THE SYSTEM WILL LINGER ON AS A REMNANT LOW FOR SEVERAL DAYS. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION...WHICH IS NOT SIGNIFICANT AT THIS TIME...FROM 19N TO 20N BETWEEN 117.5W AND 118.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 8N93W 11N102W 11N125W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 105W. UPPER LEVEL EASTERLY WIND FLOW CUTTING THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERE ON TOP OF THE ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... THE SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 96W AND 101W HAS BEEN ABLE TO MAINTAIN ITSELF SUFFICIENTLY ENOUGH...ALTHOUGH IT IS STARTING TO BE SHEARED BY BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. THIS SAME ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS SHEARING COMPLETELY THE ALREADY DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:31 2003 X-UIDL: 39199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00KHUPG4SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 06:07:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HM7Lxa013207 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 06:07:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifcF053254; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:56:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 926685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HLugX9016686 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HLud7S008822 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HLuclt008821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:56:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:56:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172156.h8HLuclt008821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 172200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 20.3N5 116.9W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 116.9W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 20.0N2 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.6N6 117.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.2N2 118.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171800Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 116.9W7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171800Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180400Z3, 181000Z0, 181600Z6 AND 182200Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:32 2003 X-UIDL: 39200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LQ8PUKDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 06:15:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HMG2QX098017 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 06:16:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifcX053254; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:01:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 926741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:01:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HM1hX9055032 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:01:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HM1e7S008929 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HM1edS008928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:01:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:01:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172201.h8HM1edS008928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 172200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14N151W WITH ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14N153W 15N151W 14N148W HAS MOVED WEST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N173W 07N165W 04N165W 05N171W 07N172W 07N176W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 08N151W 07N146W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 29N171W 25N173W 24N175W 19N176W 21N178W 25N177W 29N174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY EQ167E 02S169E 04S166E 04S170E 08S176W 11S177W 10S171E 06S159E 02S157E EQ160E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07S171W 11S166W 13S168W 11S174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 16S147W 18S140W 25S129W 25S143W 21S151W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:33 2003 X-UIDL: 39202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LVPQOJDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 06:33:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HMXvxa015637 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 06:33:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifdB053254; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:23:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 927008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:23:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HMNiX9072784 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HMNZ7S009325 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:23:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HMNZth009324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:23:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:23:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172223.h8HMNZth009324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 172223 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA...DISSIPATING ABOUT 500 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AS IT MOVES SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:33 2003 X-UIDL: 39204-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LQMRA8DQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 06:46:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HMl2QX001281 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 06:47:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKife5053254; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 927313 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HMaOX9012496 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HMaL7S009530 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HMaLKg009528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172236.h8HMaLKg009528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 172230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/172230Z/180600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171951ZSEP2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171851ZSEP2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171800Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 172100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 130.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 124.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEING DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 171900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 130.3E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.A.(1) TO REFLECT RECENTLY ISSUED WARNING FOR 16W, DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM GOOD TO POOR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:34 2003 X-UIDL: 39206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LMLSLYDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 07:15:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HNFfxa019501 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 07:15:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifbT021130; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 927886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HN5IX9016206 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HN5F7S009925 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HN5FGJ009923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172305.h8HN5FGJ009923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 172230 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/172230Z/180600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171951ZSEP2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171851ZSEP2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171800Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N8 129.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 172100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 130.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 124.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEING DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 171900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 130.3E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.A.(1) TO REFLECT RECENTLY ISSUED WARNING FOR 16W, DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM GOOD TO POOR. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED LAT/LONG POSITION FOR TD 16W IN PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 17:19:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE001SD5YOWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 12:04:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8I442xa051224 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 12:04:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifp5053254; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:59:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 931982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:59:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I3xVX9007882 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:59:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8I3xS7S014933 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:59:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8I3xSll014932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:59:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:59:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309180359.h8I3xSll014932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 180359 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 18 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/0000 UTC... ..A 1006 MB LOW WAS INTRODUCED NEAR 14N102W MOVING WSW AT 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 109W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF 18N FROM 105W TO 107W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 17N106W TO 15.5N107.5W. ..A 1007 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 20N117W DRIFTING SW. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 13N102W 14N110W 13N120W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 107W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 120W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 93W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W TO 100W...WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 100W TO 102W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO FROM 19N TO 22N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N98W TO 7N100W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 17:19:51 2003 X-UIDL: 39234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE001IR7P4WE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 12:41:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8I4fXQX043651 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 12:41:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifq7053254; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 23:38:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 932465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 23:38:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I4cNX9100916 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 23:38:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8I4cK7S015411 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 23:38:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8I4cKEm015410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 23:38:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 23:38:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309180438.h8I4cKEm015410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 180438 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMAINS OF LINDA...A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS... ARE LOCATED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ARE DRIFTING SOUTHWARD. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF RE-DEVELOPMENT. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 17:19:56 2003 X-UIDL: 39241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE001JTC3UWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 14:16:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8I6GeQX055054 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 14:16:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifjv021130; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 934084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I62MX9080710 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8I62J7S016244 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8I62J2Y016242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309180602.h8I62J2Y016242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) (CHOI-WAN) 16W WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N6 128.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 124.1E8, HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO A POSITION NEAR 17.5N3 121.0E4, OVER NORTHWESTERN LUZON. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGHING OVER LUZON. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 17:20:02 2003 X-UIDL: 39250-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE0010PFZJWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 15:40:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8I7eaQX066609 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 15:40:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I54OZl053256; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 02:31:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 934701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 02:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I7V3X9034522 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 02:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8I7V07S017042 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 02:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8I7V0DU017040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 02:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 02:31:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309180731.h8I7V0DU017040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 180730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED SEP 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 00:04:52 2003 X-UIDL: 39272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE0010DMQGWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:06:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IA6Axa093852 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:06:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKiflh021130; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:59:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 935903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:59:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I9x3X9023308 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:59:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8I9x07S018455 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:59:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8I9x027018454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:59:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:59:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309180959.h8I9x027018454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 180950 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 18 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/0600 UTC... ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N103W MOVING NW AT 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 110W/111W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N105W TO 16.5N107.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 20N105W TO 18.5N108.5W. ..A 1006 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N118W DRIFTING SW. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N90W 13N98W 14N110W 13N120W 9N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 99W...WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 120W...WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 125W...AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO 137W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 109W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN A 60/75 NM RADIUS OF 3.5N78.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 20N107W TO THE COAST OF W MEXICO NEAR 22N105W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR FROM 86W TO 89W...WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 98W TO 105W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N94W TO 15.5N96W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 00:04:55 2003 X-UIDL: 39274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE0017HNP2WE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:27:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IAR5xa096203 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:27:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I54OcD053256; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:19:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 936064 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:19:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IAJlX9018938 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:19:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IAJi7S018619 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:19:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IAJhFN018618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:19:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:19:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181019.h8IAJhFN018618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 181014 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...09N140W 07N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 07N140W 07N143W 08N145W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 08N154W 08N161W 04N166W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N171W 04N171W 05N174W 08N171W HAS MOVED WEST AT 20KT WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 11N175W 09N174W 09N177W 11N175W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE 1...FRONT 25S128W 23S132W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND EXTENDING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 18S143W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB AND OCCASIONAL TCU BOUNDED BY 19S141W 20S137W 24S128W 26S135W 22S142W 19W141W HAS MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20KT WEAKENED AND INCREASED IN AREA. FRONT 2...25S169W 22S175W. OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 12S171W 09S175W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 00:04:56 2003 X-UIDL: 39277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE001ZKOI3WE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:44:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IAiLQX091100 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:44:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I54OcP053256; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:36:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 936263 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:36:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IAaSX9072870 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IAaO7S018766 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:36:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IAaOUi018765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:36:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:36:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181036.h8IAaOUi018765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 181026 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMAINS OF LINDA...A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS... ARE LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ARE DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF RE-DEVELOPMENT. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 00:04:59 2003 X-UIDL: 39283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE001J3WHIWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IDapxa016093 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vcH105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 08:30:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 938045 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 08:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IDUlX9072896 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 08:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IDUi7S020892 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 08:30:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IDUiBc020891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 08:30:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 08:30:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181330.h8IDUiBc020891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 181330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU SEP 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 00:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 39292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF0014I24HWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:38:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IFciQX027448 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:38:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vll105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:31:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 941262 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IFVJX9065574 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:31:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IFVG7S025014 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:31:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IFVGLO025013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:31:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:31:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181531.h8IFVGLO025013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 181531 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 18 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1200 UTC... ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N98W MOVING WNW AT 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W/112W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..A 1007 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N118W DRIFTING SWD. AFTER BEING VOID OF CONVECTION FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS...A RECENT BURST IS OBSERVED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY S OF THE CIRCULATION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N125W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE S TIP OF BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 10N100W 14N110W 11N125W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 2N-10N BETWEEN 76W-80W INCLUDING E PANAMA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 87W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 118W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE AREA OF DEVELOPING NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 103W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO LOCATED FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 108W-111W. THIS AREA IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 21N-23N BETWEEN 105W-108W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:28:17 2003 X-UIDL: 39297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF001LZ4P4WE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:34:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IGY1QX034228 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:34:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vr1105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 11:22:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 943049 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 11:22:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IGMZX9047384 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 11:22:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IGMW7S026714 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 11:22:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IGMWGq026713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 11:22:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 11:22:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181622.h8IGMWGq026713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 181622 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMAINS OF LINDA...A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...ARE LOCATED ABOUT 590 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER WARMER WATER...THE PRESENCE OF VERY DRY AIR SHOULD INHIBIT ANY RE-DEVELOPMENT FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A WELL-ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE THIS MORNING AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:28:42 2003 X-UIDL: 39308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF001D4EF0WE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:04:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IK4Gxa063233 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:04:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0v6d105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 14:45:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 947666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 14:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IJjYX9045742 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 14:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IJjV7S003475 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 14:45:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IJjVBq003474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 14:45:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 14:45:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181945.h8IJjVBq003474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 181945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU SEP 18 2003 A WEAK DISTURBANCE ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT...NEAR 13N 153W...HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...AND NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:28:52 2003 X-UIDL: 39317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF0013ZK8AWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 06:09:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IM9nxa078537 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 06:09:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vHT105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:54:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 950762 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:54:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ILs4X9055148 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:54:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8ILs17S007180 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:54:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8ILs1xb007179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:54:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:54:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309182154.h8ILs1xb007179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PHNC 182130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 182121ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.4N1 104.8W3 TO 17.3N1 108.2W1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 091800Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 105.6W2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 105.1W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 105.6W2, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A MORE ORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 192130Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:28:53 2003 X-UIDL: 39318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF001HWKNVWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 06:19:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IMJDQX079518 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 06:19:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vI1105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:01:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 950881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:01:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IM1FX9034436 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:01:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IM1C7S007359 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:01:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IM1Ck9007358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:01:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:01:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309182201.h8IM1Ck9007358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 182201 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 18 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1800 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N97W. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N106W...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ..REMNANT LOW PRESSURE CENTER OF T.D. LINDA NEAR 19N118W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W/113W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW WEST AND NORTHWEST OF 32N119W 20N127W 15N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:28:54 2003 X-UIDL: 39320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF004YDL3ME9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 06:28:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IMSeQX080657 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 06:28:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vIr105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 951192 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IMK5X9006024 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IMK27S007686 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IMK2X2007685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309182220.h8IMK2X2007685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 182219 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 18 SEP 2003 CORRECTION FOR SFC ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE ITCZ EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1800 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 97W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 101W AND 105W. ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N106W...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 18.5N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 112W. ..REMNANT LOW PRESSURE CENTER OF T.D. LINDA NEAR 19N118W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 118W AND 120W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W/113W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND THERE IS NO DIRECTLY RELATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW WEST AND NORTHWEST OF 32N119W 20N127W 15N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 9N98W 12N121W 8N133W 8N140W. DISSIPATING MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 124W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. THERE ARE SOME ISOLATED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 85W AND 88W...AND IN PANAMA FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 81W AND 83W. DISSIPATING ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 10N EAST OF 80W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 80W AND 100W...AND FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... PART OF THE ITCZ CONVECTION IS IN THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:28:55 2003 X-UIDL: 39321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF001Z6L9LWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 06:32:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IMWGxa080654 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 06:32:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vIt105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 951206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IMKlX9030962 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IMKi7S007696 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IMKi3o007695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:20:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309182220.h8IMKi3o007695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 182220 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AXIS THROUGH 07N180 07N160W 08N140W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN 180 AND 161W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N159W 08N152W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 05N144W 07N142W WITH LITTLE CHANGE AND REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. UPPER LOW...NEAR 26N178W HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 25N176W 22N174W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 14N155W 15N152W 14N149W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... DEVELOPING LOW...NEAR 22S 138W HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB EXTENDING SOUTH OF 2S5 IN AREA BOUNDED BY 20S AND 25S BETWEEN 140W AND 130W. STATIONARY FRONT...THROUGH 24S120W 23S130W 16S140W 11S149W... EXTENDING EAST OF 120W...HAS ISOLATED TCU/CB AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 75 NM OF FRONT THAT HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. DISSIPATING FRONT...THROUGH 25S168W 22S180 EXTENDING WEST OF 180 HAS ISOLATED TCU AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT THAT HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED TCU/CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 15N171W 14N167W. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDED WEST OF 180...WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 09S180 10S175W 10S171W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:28:57 2003 X-UIDL: 39324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF0015FN1YWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 07:10:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8INAqxa084533 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 07:10:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vKD105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:01:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 951723 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IN19X9043828 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IN157S008301 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:01:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IN15OZ008300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:01:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 18:01:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309182301.h8IN15OZ008300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 182300 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMAINS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA...A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS...ARE LOCATED ABOUT 590 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF RE-DEVELOPMENT. A WELL-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR FRIDAY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:01 2003 X-UIDL: 39331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF004QSUIKE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:51:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J1q2QX004793 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:52:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vRR105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 20:45:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 954509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 20:45:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J1jGX9065684 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 20:45:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J1jD7S010728 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 20:45:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J1jD9Z010727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 20:45:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 20:45:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190145.h8J1jD9Z010727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 190145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU SEP 18 2003 A WEAK DISTURBANCE ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...NEAR 13N 154W...HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED...AND NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:35 2003 X-UIDL: 39341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF001EQWULWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:42:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J2gOxa008520 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:42:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vTV105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 955454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J2aVX9007860 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J2aT7S011246 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J2aTeg011244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190236.h8J2aTeg011244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 190236 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU SEP 18 2003 SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED ORGANIZED CONVECTION AND A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 30 KTS. THEREFORE...THE SYSTEM IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE OVER WARM WATER AND IN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED AS PER THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/9...BUT IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STIR THE SYSTEM IN A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS A COMPROMISE BETWEED THE TWO GLOBAL MODELS AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME...THE AVN AND GFDL. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0300Z 17.0N 106.8W 30 KT 12HR VT 19/1200Z 17.4N 108.0W 40 KT 24HR VT 20/0000Z 17.9N 109.7W 50 KT 36HR VT 20/1200Z 18.5N 111.4W 60 KT 48HR VT 21/0000Z 19.0N 113.2W 65 KT 72HR VT 22/0000Z 19.4N 116.0W 70 KT 96HR VT 23/0000Z 19.7N 119.0W 70 KT 120HR VT 24/0000Z 20.0N 122.0W 70 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:36 2003 X-UIDL: 39342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF001JUWXHWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:44:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J2iDxa008725 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:44:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifKh021130; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 955457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J2aVX9013152 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J2aT7S011245 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J2aTJW011242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:36:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Thirteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190236.h8J2aTJW011242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 190236 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0300Z FRI SEP 19 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.8W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.8W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 106.4W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.4N 108.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.9N 109.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 111.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.0N 113.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.4N 116.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.7N 119.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 20.0N 122.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 106.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:41 2003 X-UIDL: 39354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004H413NE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:14:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J4ECxa020061 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:14:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vWD105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:07:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 957010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:07:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J47sX9070596 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:07:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J47p7S012094 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:07:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J47pwc012093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:07:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:07:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190407.h8J47pwc012093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 190407 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 19 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E HAS FORMED AND IS CENTERED NEAR 17.0N 106.8W AT 19/0300 UTC MOVING WNW AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUST TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0000 UTC... ..THE 1008 MB LOW IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE. A TROPICAL WAVE IS NOW ALONG 97W/98W N OF 7N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..A 1007 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N118W NEAR STATIONARY. ..TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS ALONG 112W/113W IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0345 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 17.5N FROM 106.5W TO 108.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF 108W FROM 15N TO 20N AND WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 19N107W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 20N105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N95W 12N100W 14N110W 13N120W 8N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 91W...WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 100W... WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM FROM 110W TO 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 82W AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 137W AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 6N TO THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 81.5W TO 83W...N OF 7N E OF 84W TO INLAND OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA...AND WITHIN 30/45 NM OF 100W N OF 15N TO JUST INLAND OVER MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 87W TO 89W INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA...WITHIN 45 NM OF 16N FROM 103W TO 105W...AND WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 18N119W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE N OF 13N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 98W TO 102W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N136W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA THROUGH EL SALVADOR. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:42 2003 X-UIDL: 39358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004UF2NHE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:47:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J4liQX028495 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:47:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J4fMXP105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:43:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 957349 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:43:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J4hUX9034460 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:43:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J4hO7S012340 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:43:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J4hOTw012339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:43:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:43:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190443.h8J4hOTw012339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 190400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/182121ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 16.9N6 106.4W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 106.4W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.4N2 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.9N7 109.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.5N4 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.0N0 113.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.4N4 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.7N7 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.0N2 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 190000Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 106.4W1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190000Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, WTPN21 PHNC 182130. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191000Z1, 191600Z7, 192200Z4 AND 200400Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:43 2003 X-UIDL: 39359-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004EN2X6E9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:53:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J4raxa024692 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:53:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J4fMXV105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:47:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 957390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:47:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J4lMX9010640 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:47:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J4lI7S012362 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:47:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J4lIp1012361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:47:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:47:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190447.h8J4lIp1012361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 190447 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMAINS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA...A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WITH INTERMITTANT BURSTS OF CONVECTION...ARE LOCATED ABOUT 640 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF RE-DEVELOPMENT. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT WAS LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON THIS SYSTEM. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:45 2003 X-UIDL: 39364-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG0043U544E9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:40:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J5euxa030136 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:40:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52Lc7093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 958225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J5VZX9010746 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J5VW7S012766 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J5VW7W012764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190531.h8J5VW7W012764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z-200600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) (CHOI-WAN) 16W WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N7 128.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5N3 121.0E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:47 2003 X-UIDL: 39366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG0044H633E9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:01:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J61rQX036932 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:01:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LcV093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:56:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 958434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:56:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J5uqX9065634 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:56:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J5un7S012951 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:56:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J5unt6012949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:56:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:56:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190556.h8J5unt6012949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 190605 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/19 AT 0600 UTC : 12.5S / 23.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/19 18 UTC: 12.5S/25.6E, MAX WIND=030KT . 24H: 2003/09/20 06 UTC: 13.0S/25.4E, MAX WIND=040KT . 36H: 2003/09/20 18 UTC: 14.8S/25.1E, MAX WIND=045KT . 48H: 2003/09/21 06 UTC: 15.0S/28.0E, MAX WIND=055KT . 60H: 2003/09/21 18 UTC: 15.8S/28.9E, MAX WIND=070KT . 72H: 2003/09/22 06 UTC: 16.2S/30.0E, MAX WIND=080KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO DEVELOP 2.0-= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:48 2003 X-UIDL: 39367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004DI673E9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:04:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J64Lxa032620 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:04:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKnNKX038874; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:58:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 958473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:58:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J5wuX9052414 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:58:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J5wq7S012982 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:58:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J5wqw2012980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:58:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:58:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190558.h8J5wqw2012980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO22 FMEE 190600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 19/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (ABAIMBA) 1000 HPA POSITION: 12.5S / 23.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER UP TO 120 NM WITHIN THE CENTRE CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/19 AT 18 UTC: 12.5S / 25.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/20 AT 06 UTC: 13.0S / 25.4E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO DEVELOP= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:49 2003 X-UIDL: 39368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004096FLE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:09:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J69Txa033130 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:09:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52Ld5093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:05:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 958553 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:05:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J653X9046916 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:05:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J6507S013073 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:05:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J650eD013071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:05:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:05:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190605.h8J650eD013071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 190612 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/19 AT 0600 UTC : 12.5S / 23.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/19 18 UTC: 12.5S/25.6E, MAX WIND=030KT . 24H: 2003/09/20 06 UTC: 13.0S/25.4E, MAX WIND=040KT . 36H: 2003/09/20 18 UTC: 14.8S/25.1E, MAX WIND=045KT . 48H: 2003/09/21 06 UTC: 15.0S/28.0E, MAX WIND=055KT . 60H: 2003/09/21 18 UTC: 15.8S/28.9E, MAX WIND=070KT . 72H: 2003/09/22 06 UTC: 16.2S/30.0E, MAX WIND=080KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: !!!!!!!!!!! THIS WARNING IS A TEST !!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!TEST!!!!!!= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:50 2003 X-UIDL: 39369-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG0046P6HQE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:10:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J6Ajxa033332 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:10:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52Ld7093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:06:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 958563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:06:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J665X9052932 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:06:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J6627S013094 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:06:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J662go013092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:06:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:06:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190606.h8J662go013092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO22 FMEE 190600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 19/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (ABAIMBA) 1000 HPA POSITION: 12.5S / 23.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER UP TO 120 NM WITHIN THE CENTRE CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/19 AT 18 UTC: 12.5S / 25.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/20 AT 06 UTC: 13.0S / 25.4E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: !!!!!!THIS WARNING IS A TEST!!!!!! !!!!!!TEST!!!!!= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:56 2003 X-UIDL: 39379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG0041PAPDE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:41:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J7fbQX052840 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:41:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52Ldr093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 02:34:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 959031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 02:34:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J7YtX9041640 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 02:34:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J7Yp7S013811 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 02:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J7YpS5013810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 02:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 02:34:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190734.h8J7YpS5013810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 190733 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU SEP 18 2003 A DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII NEAR 13N 155W IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:30:01 2003 X-UIDL: 39384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004GMDSZE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:48:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J8mglG061838 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:48:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKnNLN038874; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:44:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 959475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:44:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J8hxX9052868 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:43:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J8hu7S014501 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J8hueo014500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:43:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190843.h8J8hueo014500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 190843 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0900Z FRI SEP 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.7W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.7W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 107.3W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.6N 109.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 18.1N 110.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.7N 112.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.4N 116.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 19.7N 119.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 20.0N 122.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 107.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:30:02 2003 X-UIDL: 39387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004STETDE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:10:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J9AVlG064566 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:10:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LfL093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:08:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 959715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:08:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J98KX9044938 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:08:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J98H7S014699 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:08:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J98Hs1014698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:08:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:08:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190908.h8J98Hs1014698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 190908 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 2003 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE NOW AT 35 KTS AND 30 KTS RESPECTIVELY. ALSO...TWO SHIPS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER REPORTED WINDS OF 30 AND 35 KTS. THEREFORE...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM MARTY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/8. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER AND SOME ADJUSTMENT TO THE TRACK MAY BE REQUIRED WHEN VISIBLE IMAGES ARE AVAILABLE LATER THIS MORNING. A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO STIR THE SYSTEM IN A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE OVER WARM WATER AND IN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT 4 DAYS AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED AS PER THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. FORECASTER JARVINEN/FORMOSA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/0900Z 17.2N 107.7W 35 KT 12HR VT 19/1800Z 17.6N 109.0W 45 KT 24HR VT 20/0600Z 18.1N 110.6W 55 KT 36HR VT 20/1800Z 18.7N 112.4W 65 KT 48HR VT 21/0600Z 19.0N 114.0W 70 KT 72HR VT 22/0600Z 19.4N 116.9W 75 KT 96HR VT 23/0600Z 19.7N 119.8W 75 KT 120HR VT 24/0600Z 20.0N 122.8W 75 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:30:06 2003 X-UIDL: 39390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004LFG44E9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:38:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J9cYI1068201 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:38:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LfZ093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:31:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 959861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:31:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J9VtX9014156 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:31:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J9Vq7S014883 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:31:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J9VqSY014882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:31:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:31:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190931.h8J9VqSY014882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 190931 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 13N155W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 10N145W 14N150W 14N152W 13N155W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...08N140W 04N147W 09N163W 09N175W 06N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 07N143W 05N149W 09N164W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND WEAKENED. AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 09N180 08N170W 03N175W 04N179W 09N180 HAS MOVED WEST AT 15KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF POINT 22N175W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 15KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW/FRONT...LOW NEAR 23S135W WITH FRONTS 23S135W 25S120W AND 23S135W 19S135W 15S142W. AREA OF OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 18S134W 25S120W 28S120W 31S134W 27S140W 18S134W WITH AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 24S133W 26S129W 29S131W 28S135W 24S133W HAS MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 19S135W 14S144W. FRONT 2...25S171W 23S176W 23S180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60 MILES REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:30:07 2003 X-UIDL: 39391-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004F2GQFE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:51:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J9pvI1070188 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:51:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52Lfj093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:45:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 959941 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J9jMX9088052 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:45:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J9jJ7S014967 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:45:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J9jJ2l014966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:45:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:45:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190945.h8J9jJ2l014966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 191000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 17.1N9 107.3W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 107.3W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.6N4 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.1N0 110.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.7N6 112.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.0N0 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.4N4 116.9W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.7N7 119.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 20.0N2 122.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT --- REMARKS: 190600Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 107.3W1 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190600Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191600Z7, 192200Z4, 200400Z6 AND 201000Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:30:07 2003 X-UIDL: 39394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004V9HFZE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 18:07:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JA7GlG071570 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 18:07:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52Lg3093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:01:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 960038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:01:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JA11X9047558 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JA0r7S015081 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:00:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JA0r3f015080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:00:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:00:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191000.h8JA0r3f015080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 191000 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 19 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM MARTY AT 19/0900 UTC AND IS CENTERED NEAR 17.2N 107.7W AT 19/0900 UTC MOVING WNW AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 99W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1007 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N119W NEAR STATIONARY. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM MARTY... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM RADIUS OF 17N108W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N91W 9N98W 14N110W 13N120W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 113W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 139W TO 141W...WITHIN 45 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 99W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 135W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20.5N TO 22.5N E OF 106.5W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 14.5N TO JUST INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 97.5W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 6N TO 7N.LARGE CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N89W 12N91W TO THE COAST OF GUATEMALA NEAR 14N91W. SMALL CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE N OF 6N E OF 82W TO THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COLOMBIA...AND WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N96W TO 14N98W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:30 2003 X-UIDL: 39398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG0046IJ7UE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 18:45:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JAjalG075029 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 18:45:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LgJ093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:38:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 960138 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:38:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JAcQX9047094 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:38:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JAcN7S015369 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:38:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JAcNCW015368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:38:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:38:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191038.h8JAcNCW015368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 191038 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE REMAINS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA...A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WITH INTERMITTANT BURSTS OF CONVECTION...ARE LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF RE-DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:30 2003 X-UIDL: 39399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004QMK1ME9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 19:03:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JB3PI1078795 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 19:03:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LgZ093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:59:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 960220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:59:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JAwxX9042986 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:58:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JAwu7S015511 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:58:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JAwumj015510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:58:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:58:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191058.h8JAwumj015510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 191058 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 2003 CORRECT DATE AND TIME... FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE REMAINS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA...A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WITH INTERMITTANT BURSTS OF CONVECTION...ARE LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF RE-DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:34 2003 X-UIDL: 39412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004VEU0EE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JEcglG000211 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:38:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifUF021130; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:32:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 962193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:30:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JEUZX9065660 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JEUW7S019035 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JEUWAA019033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:30:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191430.h8JEUWAA019033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 191429 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 1500Z FRI SEP 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 107.5W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 107.5W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 107.3W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.9N 108.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.4N 109.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.0N 111.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.5N 112.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 21.5N 118.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 23.5N 121.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 107.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:35 2003 X-UIDL: 39415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG0041UU39E9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:40:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JEeQlG000399 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:40:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifUJ021130; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:32:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 962196 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JEUZX9029702 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JEUW7S019034 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JEUWIG019032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:30:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191430.h8JEUWIG019032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 191429 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 2003 EARLIER QUIKSCAT AND SSMI MICROWAVE SATELLITE DATA...ALONG WITH THE FIRST COUPLE OF VISIBLE IMAGES...SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER OF MARTY IS A LITTLE FARTHER EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. THIS PLACES THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER NEAR THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE NOW WEAKENING CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5...OR 35 KT...FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND A DATA T-NUMBER OF T3.0 ..OR 45 KT...FROM TAFB. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/6. THERE IS A LITTLE LESS UNCERTAINTY IN THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER NOW...SO THE PAST HISTORICAL TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO THE EAST AND SLOWER. THIS HAS HAD A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE FORECAST TRACKS FOR THIS ADVISORY PACKAGE. THE GFDL...GFS ENSEMBLE...AND UKMET MODELS ARE NOW INDICATING RECURVATURE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST THROUGH A WEAKENING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED ACROSS NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND EXTENDING WESTWARD ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE GFS MODEL DOES NOT WEAKEN THE RIDGE AS MUCH AS THE OTHER THREE MODELS DO... WHILE THE NOGAPS MODEL FORECASTS MARTY TO BE A VERY WEAK SYSTEM THAT IS DRIVEN RAPIDLY WESTWARD BY THE MODERATE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES. IT APPEARS THAT NOGAPS IS KEEPING MARTY TOO WEAK...SO THE WESTWARD TRACK HAS BEEN DISCOUNTED AT THIS TIME. LESS WEIGHT HAS ALSO BEEN PLACED ON THE RECURVATURE FORECAST OF THE OTHER MODELS...EXCLUDING THE GFS. THE CURRENT STRENGTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND THE RATHER WEAK LOOKING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FORECAST TO DIG SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC MAY NOT BE STRONG ENOUGH TO COMPLETELY CAPTURE MARTY. HOWEVER...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK WAS SHIFTED WELL TO THE RIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER 72 HOURS...DUE TO THE REPOSITIONING OF THE CYCLONE CENTER AND ALSO TO BRING THE FORECAST TRACK CLOSER TO THE GFS SOLUTION AND THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS. RECURVATURE ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA AFTER 72 HOURS IS A LOW-PROBABILITY ALTERNATE SCENARIO AT THIS TIME...BUT IT WILL GIVEN MORE CONSIDERATION IN THE NEXT ADVISORY IF MORE OF THE 12Z MODELS BEGIN TO SUGGEST A NORTH AND NORTHEASTWARD MOTION BY 72 HOURS. MARTY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER 29-30C SSTS AND IN A LOW-SHEAR... LESS THAN 5 KT...UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT...WHICH WOULD TEND TO FAVOR A RAPID INTENSIFICATION TREND. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WITHIN THE CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION...AND THE FACT THAT SOME MID-LEVEL EASTERLIES AND DRY AIR IS UNDERCUTTING THE IMPRESSIVE OUTFLOW PATTERN...ONLY MODEST INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO BUT SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE GFDL AND SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL FORECASTS. HOWEVER...IF THE CENTER BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE DEEP CONVECTION LATER TODAY AND THE CONVECTION INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY ..THEN MARTY COULD INTENSIFY MORE QUICKLY THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST IS INDICATING. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/1500Z 17.4N 107.5W 40 KT 12HR VT 20/0000Z 17.9N 108.3W 45 KT 24HR VT 20/1200Z 18.4N 109.7W 55 KT 36HR VT 21/0000Z 19.0N 111.3W 65 KT 48HR VT 21/1200Z 19.5N 112.8W 75 KT 72HR VT 22/1200Z 20.5N 115.5W 80 KT 96HR VT 23/1200Z 21.5N 118.0W 75 KT 120HR VT 24/1200Z 23.5N 121.0W 65 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:36 2003 X-UIDL: 39420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004PQX1GE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 23:44:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JFiAI1013390 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 23:44:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LqF093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:37:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 963337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:37:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JFbFX9043780 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:37:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JFbB7S020970 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:37:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JFbBY2020969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:37:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:37:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191537.h8JFbBY2020969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 191536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 19 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM MARTY IS CENTERED NEAR 17.4N 107.5W AT 19/1500 UTC MOVING WNW AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 100W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1007 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N119W NEARLY STATIONARY. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N125W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1500 UTC... TROPICAL STORM MARTY... MARTY CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITH IMPROVING BANDING. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 105W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N85W 7N96W 13N100W 13N115W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 77W-87W AND FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 90W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 133W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE OF S MEXICO WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 14N97W TO 17N104W INCLUDING COASTAL REGIONS OF MEXICO FROM THE W SIDE OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO MANZANILLO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:37 2003 X-UIDL: 39423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004ZOXQXE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 23:59:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JFxDI1015401 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 23:59:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52Lr5093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 963650 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JFpdX9100896 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JFpa7S021380 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JFpaJr021376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191551.h8JFpaJr021376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 190400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/182121ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 16.9N6 106.4W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 106.4W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.4N2 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.9N7 109.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.5N4 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.0N0 113.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.4N4 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:37 2003 X-UIDL: 39425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004GSYE4E9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:13:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JGDHlG010631 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:13:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKnNRx038874; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 963653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JFpdX9033020 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JFpa7S021381 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JFpau5021377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:51:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 040 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191551.h8JFpau5021377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 190400 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.7N7 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.0N2 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 190000Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 106.4W1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190000Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, WTPN21 PHNC 182130. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191000Z1, 191600Z7, 192200Z4 AND 200400Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:38 2003 X-UIDL: 39426-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004F3Z92E9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:31:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JGVrI1019743 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:31:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JG3NYB021130; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:23:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 964326 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:23:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JGNcX9065630 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:23:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JGNZ7S022446 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:23:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JGNZ0t022445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:23:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:23:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191623.h8JGNZ0t022445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 191613 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 415 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE REMNANT LOW THAT WAS TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS A SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WITH INTERMITTANT BURSTS OF CONVECTION...AND IS LOCATED ABOUT 675 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:40 2003 X-UIDL: 39430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004RL1CJE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:17:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHHDlG017828 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:17:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JG3NaJ021130; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:09:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 965274 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:09:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JH9nX9050076 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:09:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JH9k7S023639 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:09:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JH9k4T023638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:09:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:09:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191709.h8JH9k4T023638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 191709 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI SEP 19 2003 A DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII NEAR 13N 156W IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. DONALDSON/RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:40 2003 X-UIDL: 39431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004AW2NBE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:45:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHjIlG020798 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:45:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxY5021146; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 965812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHbqX9029916 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JHbn7S024451 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JHbnqO024449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191737.h8JHbnqO024449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:41 2003 X-UIDL: 39432-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004L12RVE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:47:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHm2I1030241 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:48:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNuZp028936; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 965815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHbqX9026736 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JHbn7S024452 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JHbnC3024450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 12:37:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191737.h8JHbnC3024450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:42 2003 X-UIDL: 39436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004B14ZDE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 02:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JIZglG025851 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 02:35:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxZp032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 966447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JISiX9034354 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JISf7S025806 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JISftN025805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:28:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191828.h8JISftN025805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 191000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 17.1N9 107.3W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 107.3W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.6N4 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.1N0 110.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.7N6 112.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.0N0 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.4N4 116.9W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:43 2003 X-UIDL: 39439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH0043O5UPE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 02:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JIsWlG028125 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 02:54:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxYp021146; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:45:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 966625 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JIj3X9043006 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JIj07S026315 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:45:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JIj0ej026314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:45:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:45:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 275 Deg/ 07 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191845.h8JIj0ej026314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 191000 RRB VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.7N7 119.8W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 20.0N2 122.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT --- REMARKS: 190600Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 107.3W1 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190600Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191600Z7, 192200Z4, 200400Z6 AND 201000Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:44 2003 X-UIDL: 39444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004TR90KE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:02:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JK2olG036265 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:02:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxeR032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:51:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 968203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JJpVX9036562 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:51:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JJpS7S028324 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JJpSoB028323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:51:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191951.h8JJpSoB028323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 191950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI SEP 19 2003 A DISTURBANCE RELOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII NEAR 12N 157W MOVED TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THE DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:44 2003 X-UIDL: 39445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004C4AB4E9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:30:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JKUklG041727 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:30:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxcT021146; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 968614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JKJnX9034398 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JKJk7S029139 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JKJkPB029137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309192019.h8JKJkPB029137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 192019 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI SEP 19 2003 THE CENTER IS NOT WELL DEFINED...BUT BASED ON VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A 1632Z SSMI PASS...THE UNCERTAIN INITIAL MOTION IS 285/06. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE SPREAD AMONG THE MODELS. THE NOGAPS MODEL SHOWS A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION FOR 5 DAYS WITH A RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE OTHER EXTREME IS THE GFDL WHICH SHOWS A TURN TO THE NORTH BY 72 HOURS INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE OTHER GUIDANCE MODELS ARE SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE GLOBAL MODELS AND IS SOMEWHAT TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AFTER 72 HOURS. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES GIVE 30 TO 35 KNOTS. HOWEVER A RECENT 30 KNOT SURFACE WIND OBSERVATION FROM MANZANILLO MIGHT SUGGEST THAT THE WINDS ARE HIGHER AND THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED IS KEPT AT 40 KNOTS. THE GFDL MODEL BRINGS THE WINDS TO 95 KNOTS IN 48 HOURS WHILE THE SHIPS MODEL IS TO 70 KNOTS IN 60 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS TO 75 KNOTS IN 48 HOURS. COOLER SSTS AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR IS LIKELY ON THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK AFTER 72 HOURS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 17.1N 107.7W 40 KT 12HR VT 20/0600Z 17.4N 108.6W 45 KT 24HR VT 20/1800Z 17.9N 109.9W 55 KT 36HR VT 21/0600Z 18.3N 111.3W 65 KT 48HR VT 21/1800Z 19.0N 112.9W 75 KT 72HR VT 22/1800Z 21.3N 116.6W 75 KT 96HR VT 23/1800Z 23.5N 118.5W 60 KT 120HR VT 24/1800Z 26.0N 120.0W 50 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:45 2003 X-UIDL: 39446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004OLAJCE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JKZilG042284 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:35:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxfd032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 968611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JKJnX9045628 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JKJk7S029138 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JKJkeu029135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:19:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309192019.h8JKJkeu029135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 192019 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 2100Z FRI SEP 19 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 107.7W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 107.7W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 107.5W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.4N 108.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.9N 109.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.3N 111.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.0N 112.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.3N 116.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 23.5N 118.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 26.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 107.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:45 2003 X-UIDL: 39450-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH007XEEEVMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:59:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JLxPI1063942 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:59:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxlN032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:51:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 970929 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JLprX9038786 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:51:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JLpo7S001246 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:51:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JLpoqm001245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:51:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:51:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309192151.h8JLpoqm001245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 192151 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 19 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM MARTY IS CENTERED NEAR 17.1N 107.7W AT 19/2100 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 101W N OF 5N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. ...A 1007 MB LOW...THE REMAINS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 19N119W DRIFTING WEST. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA FROM A 1027 MB HIGH NEAR 36N143W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2130 UTC... TROPICAL STORM MARTY... A 1739Z AMSU-B IMAGE REVEALED A PARTIALLY EXPOSED CENTER TO THE NORTHEAST OF A DEVELOPING BANDING FEATURE. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 170 NM SW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 270 NM NW QUADRANT. REMNANT LOW... VISIBLE ANIMATION DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED ABOUT 60 NM EAST OF A FEW RECENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 120W-121W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N89W 7N96W 12N100W 12N117W 10N125W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS E OF 89W...AND FROM 92W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS W OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12N100W TO 17N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 11N132W 12N140W. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH0076XELJMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 06:03:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JM3QI1064291 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 06:03:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxlT032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:57:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 971032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:57:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JLvXX9067132 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:57:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JLvU7S001370 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:57:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JLvUGb001369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:57:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:57:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309192157.h8JLvUGb001369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 192200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 17.0N8 107.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 107.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.4N2 108.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.9N7 109.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.3N2 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.0N0 112.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.3N6 116.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 23.5N0 118.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 26.0N8 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT --- REMARKS: 191800Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.0N8 107.5W3 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191800Z9 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200400Z6, 201000Z3, 201600Z9 AND 202200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH007EYETWMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 06:08:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JM8SI1064748 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 06:08:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxln032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 971132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JM1bX9036544 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JM1Y7S001474 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JM1Y5p001471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 320 Deg/ 07 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309192201.h8JM1Y5p001471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 192200 RRB VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 23.5N0 118.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 26.0N8 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT --- REMARKS: 191800Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.0N8 107.5W3 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191800Z9 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200400Z6, 201000Z3, 201600Z9 AND 202200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH007POF3EMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 06:14:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JME9lG051830 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 06:14:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxlp032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 971139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JM1dX9051678 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JM1a7S001482 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JM1aTl001481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:01:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309192201.h8JM1aTl001481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 192200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 17.0N8 107.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 107.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.4N2 108.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.9N7 109.9W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.3N2 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.0N0 112.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.3N6 116.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:47 2003 X-UIDL: 39455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH0073HFIUMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 06:23:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JMNPI1066270 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 06:23:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxir021146; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:13:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 971400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:13:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JMDAX9023778 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:13:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JMD77S001633 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:13:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JMD7RE001632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:13:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 17:13:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309192213.h8JMD7RE001632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 192213 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 465 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE REMNANT LOW THAT WAS TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS A SWIRL OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WITH INTERMITTANT BURSTS OF CONVECTION...AND IS LOCATED ABOUT 720 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:01 2003 X-UIDL: 39516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH0073DPEAMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:56:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K1uflG070394 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:56:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxu3032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 20:50:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 974547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 20:50:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K1odX9093754 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 20:50:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K1oa7S003846 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 20:50:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K1oZ7l003845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 20:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 20:50:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200150.h8K1oZ7l003845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 200150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI SEP 19 2003 A DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII NEAR 12N 158W MOVED TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:07 2003 X-UIDL: 39543-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH007UWRHAMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:41:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K2fgI1091333 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:41:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxwN032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 975134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K2dSX9018726 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K2dP7S004334 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K2dOod004332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200239.h8K2dOod004332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 200239 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI SEP 19 2003 LATEST AMSU DATA REVEALED THAT THE SYSTEM WAS MORE TO THE NORTHEAST THAN PREVIOUSLY NOTED...SO THE INITIAL LOCATION HAS BEEN ADJUSTED NORTHEASTWARD TO REFLECT THIS OBSERVATION. SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM THIS EVENING INDICATE THAT OVERALL SYSTEM STRUCTURE HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED AS NOTED IN MORE PRONOUNCED BANDING FEATURES. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB ARE 3.0 ON THE DVORAK SCALE SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SLIGHTLY INCREASED TO 45 KT. THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES OVER WARM WATER AND IN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THROUGH THE NEXT 3 DAYS. THEREAFTER... MARTY SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN OVER COOL WATER. BEST ESTIMATE OF THE INITIAL MOTION IS 300/08. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS...AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THEREAFTER...THE CONSENSUS OF FORECAST TRACK MODELS SHOW MORE OF A NORTHERLY TRACK AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH WEAKENS. THE OUTLIER BEING THE NOGAPS MODEL MOVES THE CYCLONE WESTWARD FOR 72 HOURS BUT EVENTUALLY TURNS THE CYCLONE TO THE NORTH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AS SUGGESTED BY THE CONSENSUS OF THE MODELS. NOTE: A SMALL DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OF THE PROJECTED TRACK..AS SUGGESTED BY THE GFDL...WILL BRING MARTY CLOSER TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THEREFORE...INTERESTS IN THAT AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARTY. FORECASTER AVILA/AGUIRRE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0300Z 17.7N 107.9W 45 KT 12HR VT 20/1200Z 18.5N 109.0W 50 KT 24HR VT 21/0000Z 19.3N 110.7W 60 KT 36HR VT 21/1200Z 20.0N 112.0W 70 KT 48HR VT 22/0000Z 21.0N 113.0W 75 KT 72HR VT 23/0000Z 23.0N 115.0W 75 KT 96HR VT 24/0000Z 25.0N 116.5W 60 KT 120HR VT 25/0000Z 27.0N 117.5W 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:07 2003 X-UIDL: 39544-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH0070TRMCMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:44:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K2ieI1091602 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:44:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHMAoj059238; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 975137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K2dSX9036376 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K2dP7S004333 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K2dOnu004331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:39:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200239.h8K2dOnu004331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 200239 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0300Z SAT SEP 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.9W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.9W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 107.5W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.3N 110.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 25.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 27.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 107.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:14 2003 X-UIDL: 39576-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH007CRU1XMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:37:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K3bFlG084045 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:37:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxxD032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:33:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 975607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:33:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K3XUX9046874 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:33:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K3XR7S004764 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:33:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K3XRKD004763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:33:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:33:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200333.h8K3XRKD004763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 200400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 17.5N3 107.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 107.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.5N4 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.3N3 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 20.0N2 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 21.0N3 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.0N5 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 25.0N7 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 27.0N9 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 090000Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.5N3 107.5W3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200000Z2 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201000Z3, 201600Z9, 202200Z6 AND 210400Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:14 2003 X-UIDL: 39577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH007GTU4EMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K3cjlG084161 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:38:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxxF032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:35:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 975616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:35:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K3ZWX9051624 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K3ZT7S004782 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:35:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K3ZTUj004781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:35:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:35:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200335.h8K3ZTUj004781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 200400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 17.5N3 107.5W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 107.5W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.5N4 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.3N3 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 20.0N2 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 21.0N3 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.0N5 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:15 2003 X-UIDL: 39581-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH007RVUBPMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:43:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K3h8I1097556 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:43:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxov021146; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:36:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 975626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:36:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K3aYX9101072 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:36:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K3aV7S004788 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:36:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K3aVjq004787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:36:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:36:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 100 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200336.h8K3aVjq004787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 200400 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 25.0N7 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 27.0N9 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 090000Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.5N3 107.5W3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200000Z2 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201000Z3, 201600Z9, 202200Z6 AND 210400Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:16 2003 X-UIDL: 39588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH00723V1OMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:58:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K3whlG086008 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:58:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxxN032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:51:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 975765 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:51:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K3pPX9053456 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:51:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K3pL7S004878 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:51:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K3pLeL004877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:51:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:51:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200351.h8K3pLeL004877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 200351 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 20 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM MARTY IS CENTERED NEAR 17.7N 107.9W AT 20/0300 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE REGION ALONG 79W/80W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE SURFACE. ..A 1007 MB LOW...THE REMAINS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N120W DRIFTING SW. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM MARTY... MARTY IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IN THE EVIDENCE OF INCREASED BANDING AROUND THE STORM AND HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 17N107.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 150/180 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N103W TO 18N111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N92W 6N97W 12N102W 13N114W 9N132W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 81W...WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 106W...WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 83W...WITHIN 75/90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 93W...AND WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 101W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 133W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N TO 22.5N E OF 107.5W TO INLAND OVER W MEXICO. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30/45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2.5N TO 4.5N. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 12N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR FROM 88W TO 89.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 10.5N TO 12.5N...N OF 13N TO INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR FROM 89.5W TO 91W...WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 93W TO 94.5W...AND N OF 17N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 102.5W TO 104W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N98W TO 13N101W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE REMAINDER OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO S OF 20N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:19 2003 X-UIDL: 39601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH0072RW7HMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:23:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K4NllG088466 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:23:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxxZ032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 23:17:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 975959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 23:17:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K4HlX9051500 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 23:17:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K4Hi7S005113 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 23:17:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K4Hir4005112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 23:17:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 23:17:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200417.h8K4Hir4005112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 200417 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE REMNANT LOW THAT WAS TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS A SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS WITH INTERMITTENT SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 720 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SIGNIFICANT RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:28 2003 X-UIDL: 39642-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI0071C0BCMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 13:52:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K5qSI1012181 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 13:52:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WY3053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 976738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K5YIX9031784 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K5YE7S005828 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K5YErM005826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200534.h8K5YErM005826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z-210600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N5 129.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:42 2003 X-UIDL: 39704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007SG6GZMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:05:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K85TI1026274 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:05:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WYr053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:01:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:01:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K81SX9053050 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:01:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K81P7S007056 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K81Prt007055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:01:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:01:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200801.h8K81Prt007055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 200800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI SEP 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:45 2003 X-UIDL: 39717-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007HU7U9MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:34:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8Z2lG011830 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:35:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WZD053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:32:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8W4X9018868 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:32:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K8W17S007278 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:32:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K8W1h1007277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:32:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:32:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200832.h8K8W1h1007277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 200831 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE CENTER LOCATION. LATEST FIXES FROM TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA SUGGEST LITTLE MOTION. MICROWAVE DATA ARE NOT CONCLUSIVE BUT A TRMM OVERPASS AT 0448Z SUGGESTED THAT THE CENTER MIGHT BE SOUTHEAST OF OUR ESTIMATED LOCATION. IT WOULD BE BEST TO WAIT FOR VISIBLE IMAGES BEFORE DOING ANY SUBSTANTIAL RE-LOCATION. THE MOTION IS SET TO STATIONARY FOR THIS ADVISORY. ENOUGH MID-LEVEL RIDGING SHOULD DEVELOP TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE STORM TO MOVE MARTY NORTHWESTWARD LATER TODAY. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE IN THE GUIDANCE MODEL TRACKS. THE GFDL MODEL IS THE EASTERNMOST AND TAKES MARTY TO BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE NOGAPS AND GFDN ARE THE WESTERNMOST AND KEEP MARTY WELL WEST OF BAJA. IT SEEMS THAT THE GFDL DEVELOPS A STRONGER MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MARTY WHICH INDUCES THE MORE NORTHWARD MOTION...WHEREAS THE NOGAPS HAS A STRONGER RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ROUGHLY IN THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE SUITE...AND SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS NHC TRACK FORECAST. MARTY IS EXHIBITING VERY COLD-TOPPED CONVECTION BUT THE ORGANIZATION IS NOT TOO IMPRESSIVE AT THIS TIME. A BANDING FEATURE MAY BE TRYING TO RE-DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CIRCULATION. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM AFWA...SAB...AND TAFB ARE 45...45...AND 55 KT RESPECTIVELY. SINCE THERE IS UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE CENTER LOCATION...AND THIS HAS A BEARING ON THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE...WE WILL BE CONSERVATIVE AND KEEP THE CURRENT WIND SPEED AT 45 KT. THERE IS SOME EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM BUT DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THIS WILL LESSEN OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. WATER TEMPERATURES UNDER THE CYCLONE SHOULD REMAIN WARM FOR ANOTHER 48 HOURS OR SO. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CONSIDERABLE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL DRY AIR OVER THE AREA ABOUT 400 N MI TO THE NORTHWEST OF MARTY. WE ARE NOT SURE WHETHER THIS WOULD INHIBIT STRENGTHENING. THE SHIPS MODEL DOES INCLUDE 500 TO 300 MB RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS A PREDICTOR...BUT THE SHIPS OUTPUT HAS NOT BEEN SHOWING A NEGATIVE INTENSITY TENDENCY DUE TO THIS DRYING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS GRADUAL STRENGTHENING...SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. NOTE: A SMALL DEVIATION TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE PROJECTED TRACK WOULD BRING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CLOSER TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THEREFORE...INTERESTS IN THAT AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARTY. FORECASTER PASCH/FORMOSA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/0900Z 17.7N 107.7W 45 KT 12HR VT 20/1800Z 18.3N 108.6W 55 KT 24HR VT 21/0600Z 19.3N 110.0W 65 KT 36HR VT 21/1800Z 20.3N 111.3W 70 KT 48HR VT 22/0600Z 21.4N 112.6W 70 KT 72HR VT 23/0600Z 23.5N 114.5W 65 KT 96HR VT 24/0600Z 25.5N 116.0W 55 KT 120HR VT 25/0600Z 27.5N 117.0W 40 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:47 2003 X-UIDL: 39723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007XM873MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:42:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8gllG012470 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:42:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WZ7053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:29:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977398 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:29:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8TpX9026840 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K8Tm7S007239 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:29:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K8TmVf007238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:29:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:29:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200829.h8K8TmVf007238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 200829 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0900Z SAT SEP 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.7W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.7W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.7W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.3N 108.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.3N 110.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.3N 111.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.4N 112.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 23.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 25.5N 116.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 27.5N 117.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 107.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:52 2003 X-UIDL: 39748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI00716ANSMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:35:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K9ZwlG016793 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:36:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WZl053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:32:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:32:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K9WFX9045564 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:32:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K9W97S007749 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K9W9xU007748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:32:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:32:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200932.h8K9W9xU007748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 201000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 17.7N5 107.7W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 107.7W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.3N2 108.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.3N3 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.3N5 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.4N7 112.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.5N0 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 25.5N2 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 27.5N4 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 201000Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.7N5 107.7W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200600Z8 INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201600Z9, 202200Z6, 210400Z7 AND 211000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:52 2003 X-UIDL: 39749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI0071XAORMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:36:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K9aYlG016837 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:36:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WZn053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K9YHX9045336 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K9YD7S007786 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K9YDV2007782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 100 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200934.h8K9YDV2007782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 201000 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 25.5N2 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 27.5N4 117.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 201000Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.7N5 107.7W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200600Z8 INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201600Z9, 202200Z6, 210400Z7 AND 211000Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:52 2003 X-UIDL: 39751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI00797AU1MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:39:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K9dhlG017100 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:39:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxuX021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977650 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K9YHX9018800 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K9YD7S007787 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K9YDTU007784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:34:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200934.h8K9YDTU007784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 201000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 17.7N5 107.7W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 107.7W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.3N2 108.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.3N3 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.3N5 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.4N7 112.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.5N0 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:55 2003 X-UIDL: 39761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007ABBOKMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:57:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K9vmlG018552 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:57:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WZx053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:53:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977752 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:53:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K9rFX9053220 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:53:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K9rB7S007878 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:53:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K9rBkL007877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:53:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:53:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200953.h8K9rBkL007877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 200953 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 20 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM MARTY IS CENTERED NEAR 17.7N 107.7W AT 20/0900 UTC NEAR STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 81W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1007 MB LOW...THE REMAINS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N120W DRIFTING SW. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM MARTY... MARTY IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED WITH NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN A 90/120 NM RADIUS OF 17.5N107.5W. SCATTERED/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N111W TO 21N109W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N107W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 18N102W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 8N91W 6N98W 12N102W 13N115W 10N127W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM E OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W...WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 81W...AND WITHIN 45 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 88W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 133W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N111W TO THE AXIS NEAR 12N107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12.5N97.5W TO 11N99.5W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO FROM 23N TO 24N. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 14N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 95W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N TO 23N E OF 108W TO INLAND OVER W MEXICO AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N102W TO 14.5N103.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN A 75 NM RADIUS OF 12N89W AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF SW MEXICO S OF 20N W OF 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 7N. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N83W TO 11N97W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:56 2003 X-UIDL: 39765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007OYBZ2MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 18:04:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KA4NI1037248 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 18:04:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wa1053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:01:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:01:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KA1bX9065556 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:01:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KA1X7S007947 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:01:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KA1Xt2007946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:01:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:01:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201001.h8KA1Xt2007946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 201001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0825 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N178W 09N164W 04N169W 04N173W 09N178W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...HAVE INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 11N140W 05N140W 04N152W 06N157W 08N154W 07N150W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB/TCU...ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT...WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 30N172W 28N179W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 14N152W 12N150W 10N149W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 04S178W 05S175W 10S172W 11S172E 06S170E 09S175E 08S180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 22S134W 23S130W 25S129W 25S133W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 10 KT IN 9 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:00 2003 X-UIDL: 39784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007YFDH4MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 18:36:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KAaglG022132 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 18:36:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WaD053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:32:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KAW6X9069508 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:32:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KAW37S008228 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KAW3bj008227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 05:32:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201032.h8KAW3bj008227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 201031 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE REMNANT LOW THAT WAS TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS A SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS WITH INTERMITTENT SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 720 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SIGNIFICANT RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:24 2003 X-UIDL: 39883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007THN96MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:07:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KE83I1061894 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:08:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54We5053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:03:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 979295 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:03:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KE3eX9065542 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:03:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KE0q7S009819 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:00:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KE0mb1009818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:00:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:00:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201400.h8KE0mb1009818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 201400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT SEP 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:26 2003 X-UIDL: 39893-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI0075DO7DMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:28:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KESWlG045091 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:28:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxx1021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 979436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KEOpX9038902 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KEOm7S009977 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KEOltC009975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201424.h8KEOltC009975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 201424 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 THE CENTER POSITION REMAINS OBSCURED BY DEEP CONVECTION AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/03. WITH VARYING DEGREES OF WEAKNESS TO THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE...ALL OF THE GLOBAL TRACK MODELS SHOW A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 3 TO 5 DAYS. THE NOGAPS IS THE LEFTMOST OUTLIER AND THE GFDL IS THE RIGHTMOST OUTLIER SHOWING A TRACK OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE GUIDANCE AND IS ADJUSTED SOMEWHAT TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY FORECAST TRACK. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST MOVES THE STORM PARALLEL TO AND ABOUT 100 TO 125 MILES OFFSHORE FROM THE WEST COAST OF BAJA AND THEN MOVES THE CENTER INLAND OVER NORTHERN BAJA IN 4 TO 5 DAYS. MARTY CONTINUES TO SHOW VERY DEEP CONVECTION AND SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM AFWA...SAB...AND TAFB ARE 45...55...AND 55 KT RESPECTIVELY. THE ADVISORY WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 50 KNOTS...OTHERWISE THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BRINGING THE WIND SPEED TO 70 KNOTS IN 36 HOURS UNDER LITTLE VERTICAL SHEAR AND WARM SSTS. THE TRACK MOVES MARTY OVER COOLER WATER BY 72 HOURS WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN SOME WEAKENING. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 18.0N 108.0W 50 KT 12HR VT 21/0000Z 18.6N 108.8W 55 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 21/1200Z 19.4N 109.8W 65 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 22/0000Z 20.5N 111.0W 70 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 22/1200Z 22.0N 112.3W 70 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 23/1200Z 25.0N 114.0W 65 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 24/1200Z 28.5N 115.5W 50 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 25/1200Z 31.0N 115.0W 25 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:26 2003 X-UIDL: 39894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI00769O87MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:28:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KET3lG045127 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:29:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WeJ053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 979433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KEOpX9045700 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KEOm7S009976 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KEOlwc009974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:24:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201424.h8KEOlwc009974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 201424 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 1500Z SAT SEP 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.0W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.0W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 107.8W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.6N 108.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.4N 109.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.5N 111.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.0N 112.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.0N 114.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 28.5N 115.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 31.0N 115.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 108.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:28 2003 X-UIDL: 39900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007NMOL8MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:36:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KEaqlG045810 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:36:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WeR053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:31:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 979500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:31:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KEVkX9055834 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:31:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KEVg7S010052 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KEVgk0010051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:31:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201431.h8KEVgk0010051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 201431 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 1500Z SAT SEP 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.0W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 108.0W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 107.8W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.6N 108.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.4N 109.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.0N 112.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 28.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 31.0N 115.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 108.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:31 2003 X-UIDL: 39914-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007WJQ12MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:07:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KF7pI1067692 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:07:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WfL053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:02:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 979820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:02:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KF2dX9045332 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:02:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KF2Z7S010412 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KF2ZFH010411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:02:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:02:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201502.h8KF2ZFH010411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 201502 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 THE CENTER POSITION REMAINS OBSCURED BY DEEP CONVECTION AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/03. WITH VARYING DEGREES OF WEAKNESS TO THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE...ALL OF THE GLOBAL TRACK MODELS SHOW A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 3 TO 5 DAYS. THE NOGAPS IS THE LEFTMOST OUTLIER AND THE GFDL IS THE RIGHTMOST OUTLIER SHOWING A TRACK OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE GUIDANCE AND IS ADJUSTED SOMEWHAT TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY FORECAST TRACK. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST MOVES THE STORM PARALLEL TO AND ABOUT 100 TO 125 MILES OFFSHORE FROM THE WEST COAST OF BAJA AND THEN MOVES THE CENTER INLAND OVER NORTHERN BAJA IN 4 TO 5 DAYS. MARTY CONTINUES TO SHOW VERY DEEP CONVECTION AND SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM AFWA...SAB...AND TAFB ARE 45...55...AND 55 KT RESPECTIVELY. THE ADVISORY WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 50 KNOTS...OTHERWISE THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BRINGING THE WIND SPEED TO 70 KNOTS IN 36 HOURS UNDER LITTLE VERTICAL SHEAR AND WARM SSTS. THE TRACK MOVES MARTY OVER COOLER WATER BY 72 HOURS WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN SOME WEAKENING. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 18.0N 108.0W 50 KT 12HR VT 21/0000Z 18.6N 108.8W 55 KT 24HR VT 21/1200Z 19.4N 109.8W 65 KT 36HR VT 22/0000Z 20.5N 111.0W 70 KT 48HR VT 22/1200Z 22.0N 112.3W 70 KT 72HR VT 23/1200Z 25.0N 114.0W 65 KT 96HR VT 24/1200Z 28.5N 115.5W 50 KT 120HR VT 25/1200Z 31.0N 115.0W 25 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:32 2003 X-UIDL: 39916-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI0072IQ4AMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:09:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KF9oI1067902 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:09:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxxT021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:06:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 979900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:06:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KF63X9030838 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:06:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KF607S010472 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:06:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KF60fu010471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:06:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:06:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201506.h8KF60fu010471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 201505 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 20 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM MARTY IS CENTERED NEAR 18.0N 108.0W AT 20/1500 UTC. THE MOTION IS NEAR STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT GUSTS TO 60 KT AND ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W/83W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 77W-81W. ..A 1007 MB LOW...THE REMAINS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N120W DRIFTING SWD. THE REMNANT LOW CONTINUES TO PRODUCE INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION WITH THE MOST CURRENT ACTIVITY TO THE SW. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1430 UTC... TROPICAL STORM MARTY... THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE ASSOCIATED WITH MARTY IS IMPROVING WITH CONVECTION BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATE NEAR THE CENTER AND IMPROVING BANDING TO THE NORTH. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-21N BETWEEN 106W-111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N90W 13N100W 14N110W 10N125W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 90W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 97W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELLS OF STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NWD TO MAZATLAN. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:34 2003 X-UIDL: 39927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007MDR5UMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:32:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KFWII1070031 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:32:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wg7053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:28:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 980180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KFSFX9052952 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KFSC7S010819 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:28:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KFSC79010818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:28:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:28:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201528.h8KFSC79010818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 192146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12N158W HAD NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 10N141W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 06N143W TO 07N140W AND FURTHER WEST. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 09N145W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N157W TO 04N148W MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KNOTS...CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA...AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 11N152W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 15N153W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 06N166W TO 09N164W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 34 NM OF THE POINT 08N165W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N175W 10N169W 04N168W 07N175W. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 08N176E TO 04N179W MOVED WEST AT 19 KNOTS...INCREASED IN AREA...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 29N172E TO 30N180 TO 32N173W AND FURTHER NORTHEAST MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. UPPER-ATMOSPHERIC LOW...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 26N165W TO 29N162W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 24N170W. ALSO SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT AND UPPER-ATMOSPHERIC LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 24N178W 24N174W 20N173W 20N176W 22N178W MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KNOTS AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW/FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 19S135W TO 23S131W AND WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LINE FROM 29S140W TO 26S120W AND FURTHER EAST MOVED EAST AT 20 KNOTS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09S179W TO 09S175W TO 07S169W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:36 2003 X-UIDL: 39934-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI00792SDYMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:58:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KFwoI1072896 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:58:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNx0H021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:54:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 980510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:54:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KFsoX9055892 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:54:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KFsl7S011142 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:54:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KFsl9O011141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:54:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:54:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201554.h8KFsl9O011141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 201600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 17.9N7 107.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 107.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.6N5 108.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.4N4 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.5N7 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.0N4 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 25.0N7 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 28.5N5 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.0N4 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 201600Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.0N9 108.0W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201200Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202200Z6, 210400Z7, 211000Z4 AND 211600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:36 2003 X-UIDL: 39936-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007E9SH5MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:00:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KG0nlG053400 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:00:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNx0L021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 980548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KFuqX9105646 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KFum7S011166 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KFumZl011164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201556.h8KFumZl011164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 201600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 17.9N7 107.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 107.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.6N5 108.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.4N4 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.5N7 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.0N4 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 25.0N7 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:36 2003 X-UIDL: 39937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007FZSHXMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:01:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KG1HlG053455 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:01:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8mXbD059244; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 980551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KFuqX9055926 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KFum7S011165 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KFumoN011162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:56:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 100 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201556.h8KFumoN011162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 201600 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 28.5N5 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.0N4 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 201600Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.0N9 108.0W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201200Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202200Z6, 210400Z7, 211000Z4 AND 211600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:37 2003 X-UIDL: 39938-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007LSSZSMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:11:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KGC0lG054432 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:12:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNx0R021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:08:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 980733 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:08:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KG8CX9053058 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:08:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KG887S011264 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:08:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KG88Ud011263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:08:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:08:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201608.h8KG88Ud011263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 201607 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE REMNANT LOW THAT WAS TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS A SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS WITH INTERMITTENT SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SIGNIFICANT RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:37 2003 X-UIDL: 39939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007HBUBNMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:40:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KGeglG056951 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:40:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WhT053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:37:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 980970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:37:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KGbqX9065732 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KGbn7S011584 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:37:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KGbnBs011583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:37:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:37:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201637.h8KGbnBs011583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 201637 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT SEP 20 2003 A DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 525 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII NEAR 11N 159W MOVED TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. SEVERAL SMALL VORTICES WERE PRESENT IN THE CONVECTION BETWEEN 150W AND 140W ALONG ABOUT 07N. THESE WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL/RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:38 2003 X-UIDL: 39941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI009Z5WKPVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 01:29:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KHTKlG061013 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 01:29:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wi1053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:23:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 981396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KHNhX9093906 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:23:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KHNe7S011947 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:23:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KHNde8011946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:23:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:23:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201723.h8KHNde8011946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 201723 CCA TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT SEP 20 2003 A DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES (OR 525 NAUTICAL MILES) SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII NEAR 11N 159W MOVED TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. SEVERAL SMALL VORTICES WERE PRESENT IN THE CONVECTION BETWEEN 150W AND 140W ALONG ABOUT 07N. THESE WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. KINEL/RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:38 2003 X-UIDL: 39942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007XJXD9MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 01:46:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KHkTlG062521 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 01:46:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNx0x021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:38:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 981613 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:38:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KHc0X9055066 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:38:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KHbu7S012067 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KHbuap012065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:37:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201737.h8KHbuap012065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:39 2003 X-UIDL: 39944-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007HDYBNMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 02:06:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KI72I1086372 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 02:07:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WiN053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:38:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 981610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:38:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KHc0X9032098 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:38:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KHbu7S012066 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KHbuYJ012064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:37:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 12:37:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201737.h8KHbuYJ012064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:39 2003 X-UIDL: 39949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ0099Z4HTVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:20:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKKNlG077478 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:20:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wkh053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 983607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKFoX9031810 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KKFl7S013364 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KKFlX1013363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202015.h8KKFlX1013363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 202015 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 2100Z SAT SEP 20 2003 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 108.6W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 150SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 175NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 108.6W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 108.4W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.3N 109.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.5N 110.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.1N 111.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.2N 112.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.0N 114.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 32.0N 114.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 33.5N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 108.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:39 2003 X-UIDL: 39950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009A34HWVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:20:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKKTlG077485 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:20:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wkf053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 983597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKFOX9054926 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KKFL7S013355 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KKFLq8013354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:15:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202015.h8KKFLq8013354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 202015 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 ..MARTY THREATENS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES ..500 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...MARTY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ..280 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...18.6 N...108.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:40 2003 X-UIDL: 39951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009AX4JBVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:21:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKLHI1000232 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:21:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wkj053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:16:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 983610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:16:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKG6X9054970 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:16:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KKG37S013372 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:16:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KKG2lX013371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:16:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:16:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202016.h8KKG2lX013371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 202015 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 320/04. THE 12Z GFS RUN SHOWS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED JUST WEST OF CALIFORNIA REPLACED BY A CUT-OFF LOW MOVING NORTHEASTWARD FROM 28N 140W OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO STEER THE STORM ON A MOSTLY NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD TRACK. THE GLOBAL TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE HAS CONVERGED ON A TRACK MOVING NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTH OR CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 48 TO 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY IN AGREEMENT WITH A CONSENSUS OF THE GUIDANCE. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK REQUIRES A HURRICANE WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BURSTING COLD CDO AND IMPROVING BANDING AND INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB/SAB/KGWC ARE 65/65/55 KNOTS. HOWEVER A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 15Z SHOWED NO WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 45 KNOTS. THE ADVISORY INITIAL WIND SPEED IS INCREASED TO 60 KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN 12 HOURS AND REACH 80 KNOTS IN 36 HOURS WITH LIGHT VERTICAL SHEAR AND WARM SSTS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 18.6N 108.6W 60 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 19.3N 109.2W 65 KT 24HR VT 21/1800Z 20.5N 110.3W 75 KT 36HR VT 22/0600Z 22.1N 111.3W 80 KT 48HR VT 22/1800Z 24.2N 112.3W 80 KT 72HR VT 23/1800Z 29.0N 114.5W 60 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 24/1800Z 32.0N 114.0W 30 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 25/1800Z 33.5N 113.0W 25 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:41 2003 X-UIDL: 39954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ007R86HYMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 05:03:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KL3glG081673 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 05:03:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wlt053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:59:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 984123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:59:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKx9X9052914 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:59:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KKx57S013674 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:59:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KKx54Y013673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:59:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:59:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202059.h8KKx54Y013673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 202058 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 20 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM MARTY CENTER NEAR 18.6N 108.6W AT 20/2100 UTC...MOVING NW 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM EASTERN NICARAGUA TO EASTERN HONDURAS. ..1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF T.D. LINDA... NEAR 18N120W DRIFTING SOUTH. THIS LOW CONTINUES TO PRODUCE INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION...NOW ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 17N121W. ..RIDGE ALONG 140W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NW OF 32N119W 23N126W 14N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2000 UTC... TROPICAL STORM MARTY... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN A BAND AROUND THE CENTER...WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 17N105W 14N108W 13N112W...AND FROM 21N TO 23N BETWEEN 107W AND 109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 8N100W 12N110W 10N120W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION JUST WEST OF 140W... FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 140W AND 142W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 104W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:41 2003 X-UIDL: 39956-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ0092W8MNVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 05:49:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KLnglG086869 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 05:49:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8mXdb059244; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:46:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 984806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KLkBX9012384 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KLk87S014044 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:46:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KLk7h2014043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:46:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:46:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202146.h8KLk7h2014043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 202145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N160W HAD NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 10N141W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 06N144W TO 08N143W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 05N148W TO 05N147W TO 06N146W TO 07N147W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N150W 09N148W 03N150W 03N154W 07N158W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 11N152W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N178W TO 04N170W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS... CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA...AND DIMINISHED. FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 27N180 TO 30N169W AND FURTHER NORTHEAST MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 25N170W. ALSO SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW/FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 21S136W 28S121W 37S141W 33S145W 27S143W 26S134W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 11S153W. NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 11S155W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09S176W TO 10S165W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS...INCREASED IN AREA...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 25S178W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:41 2003 X-UIDL: 39958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009FZ962VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 06:01:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KM1MI1009963 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 06:01:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WnB053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:59:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 984957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:59:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KLxBX9047526 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:59:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KLx87S014116 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:59:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KLx7tE014115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:59:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:59:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202159.h8KLx7tE014115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 202200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 18.3N2 108.4W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 108.4W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.3N3 109.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.5N7 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 22.1N5 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 24.2N8 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 29.0N1 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 32.0N5 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.5N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 201800Z1 POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 108.7W6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM WEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201800Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210400Z7, 211000Z4, 211600Z0 AND 212200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:42 2003 X-UIDL: 39959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009QF9KAVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 06:09:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KM9slG088667 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 06:09:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8mXdl059244; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 985005 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KM2HX9030812 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KM2E7S014176 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KM2EgG014173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202202.h8KM2EgG014173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 202200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 18.3N2 108.4W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 108.4W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.3N3 109.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.5N7 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 22.1N5 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:42 2003 X-UIDL: 39960-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009RF9L3VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 06:10:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KMAMlG088725 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 06:10:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKixeT052422; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 985008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KM2HX9029714 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KM2E7S014177 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KM2EYa014175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:02:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202202.h8KM2EYa014175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 202200 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 24.2N8 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 29.0N1 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 32.0N5 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.5N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 201800Z1 POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 108.7W6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM WEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201800Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210400Z7, 211000Z4, 211600Z0 AND 212200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:42 2003 X-UIDL: 39961-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009X49RJVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 06:14:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KMEHUQ000209 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 06:14:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNx4t021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:08:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 985071 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KM8kX9018692 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:08:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KM8h7S014224 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:08:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KM8g5r014223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:08:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:08:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202208.h8KM8g5r014223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 202208 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE INTERMITTENT SHOWERS ABOUT 750 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS FEATURE WILL MOST LIKELY BECOME ABSORBED INTO THE LARGER CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM MARTY SO RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:43 2003 X-UIDL: 39962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009QKBIWVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 06:52:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KMqFVk004210 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 06:52:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wo5053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:40:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 985425 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:40:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KMebX9018764 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:40:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KMeY7S014461 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KMeYFI014460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 17:40:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202240.h8KMeYFI014460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 202240 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 12 PM HST SAT SEP 20 2003 A DISTURBANCE CENTERED ABOUT 635 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII NEAR 11N 161W MOVED TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 5 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. SEVERAL SMALL VORTICES WERE PRESENT IN THE CONVECTION BETWEEN 150W AND 140W ALONG ABOUT 06N. THESE WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:43 2003 X-UIDL: 39965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009N7DQXVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:40:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KNeDVk008372 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:40:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wp1053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 18:31:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 986026 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 18:31:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KNVWX9093798 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 18:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KNVT7S014838 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 18:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KNVTbs014836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 18:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 18:31:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 8a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202331.h8KNVTbs014836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 202331 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 ..MARTY VERY NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...THREATENS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.6 WEST OR ABOUT 310 MILES ..500 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT. THIS TRACK WOULD BRING MARTY NEAR THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARTY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ..280 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...18.6 N...108.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA/BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:45 2003 X-UIDL: 39970-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009YIK06VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:55:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L1tOUQ019818 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:55:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WrV053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 20:50:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 987488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 20:50:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L1ogX9055936 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 20:50:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L1od7S015881 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 20:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L1odGO015880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 20:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 20:50:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210150.h8L1odGO015880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 210150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT SEP 20 2003 A DISTURBANCE CENTERED NEAR 11N 161W...OR ABOUT 660 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...MOVED TOWARD THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. SEVERAL SMALL VORTICES WERE PRESENT IN THE CONVECTION BETWEEN 150W AND 140W ALONG ABOUT 07N. THESE WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39975-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009UHLXAVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:36:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2atUQ023715 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:36:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WsT053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:33:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 988054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:33:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2XAX9092366 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:33:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L2X77S016183 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:33:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L2X6KK016182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:33:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210233.h8L2X6KK016182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 210232 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 MARTY HAS MAINTAINED STRONG CONVECTION WITH CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES TO NEAR -90C. BASED ON WELL-DEFINED BANDING FEATURES AND A BURSTING CDO...THE INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 75 TO 55 KNOTS FROM TAFB...SAB AND KGWC RESPECTIVELY. MARTY IS THEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF THESE ESTIMATES. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE HURRICANE HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS OR PERHAPS NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 4 KNOTS. ALTHOUGH THE STEERING FLOW IS WEAK...GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT A MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS OVER MEXICO WILL BEGIN TO BUILD WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE MARTY TO THE NORTH TOWARD THE BAJA PENINSULA. THIS NORTHWARD MOTION COULD BE ENHANCED BY THE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED ABOUT 1000 NM WEST OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS CLOSELY PACKED AND CONTINUES TO BRING THE HURRICANE OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA. BECAUSE THE SHEAR IS LOW...THE TWO MAJOR PLAYERS IN THE INTENSITY ARE THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND LAND. SSTS REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY WARM...ALMOST 30C...ALONG THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE PENINSULA... ALLOWING MARTY FOR A MODEST STRENGTHENING BEFORE LANDFALL. THEREAFTER...THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES MARTY OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND KEEPS IT OVER LAND BETWEEN 48 AND 96 HOURS BEFORE RE-EMERGING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A QUICK WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM MAKES A POTENTIALLY LONG TRACK OVER THE PENINSULA. IF MARTY MOVES BACK OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AS INDICATED IN THE FORECAST...RE-STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THERE MAY NOT BE MUCH OF MARTY LEFT AFTER IT CROSSES LAND. FORECASTER AVILA/BERG FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 18.8N 108.7W 65 KT 12HR VT 21/1200Z 19.3N 109.1W 75 KT 24HR VT 22/0000Z 20.5N 110.0W 85 KT 36HR VT 22/1200Z 22.5N 111.0W 85 KT 48HR VT 23/0000Z 24.5N 112.0W 85 KT 72HR VT 24/0000Z 28.0N 113.0W 40 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 25/0000Z 30.5N 114.0W 40 KT...OVER WATER 120HR VT 26/0000Z 32.0N 114.0W 25 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009ULLXHVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:36:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2b1UQ023751 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:37:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WsN053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 988037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2WVX9018698 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L2WS7S016170 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L2WSsT016169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210232.h8L2WSsT016169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 210232 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 ..MARTY NOW A HURRICANE... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REPLACED BY A HURRICANE WARNING EARLY SUNDAY. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST OR ABOUT 420 MILES...680 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS TRACK WOULD BRING MARTY NEAR THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...18.8 N...108.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA/BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009UTLXUVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:37:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2bEUQ023764 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:37:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WsP053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 988042 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2WgX9093738 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L2WZ7S016175 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L2WZNG016174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:32:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210232.h8L2WZNG016174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 210232 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0300Z SUN SEP 21 2003 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REPLACED BY A HURRICANE WARNING EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.7W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 150SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 175NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.7W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 108.6W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.3N 109.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 150SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.5N 110.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 28.0N 113.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 30.5N 114.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 32.0N 114.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 108.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z FORECASTER AVILA/BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 12:10:53 2003 X-UIDL: 39982-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ0097COU8VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:39:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L3dlUQ029283 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:39:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNx8j021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:35:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 988914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:35:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L3Z8X9065716 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:35:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L3Z47S016639 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L3Z46j016638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:35:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:35:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210335.h8L3Z46j016638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 210334 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 ..COR FOR DISTANCE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... ..MARTY NOW A HURRICANE... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REPLACED BY A HURRICANE WARNING EARLY SUNDAY. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES...475 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THIS TRACK WOULD BRING MARTY NEAR THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...18.8 N...108.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA/BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 12:10:54 2003 X-UIDL: 39984-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009VHPM7VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:56:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L3ucVk032769 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:56:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wu7053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:53:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 989190 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:53:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L3rqX9012400 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:53:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L3rn7S016770 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:53:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L3rnTj016769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:53:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:53:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210353.h8L3rnTj016769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 210353 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 21 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS UPGRADED TO HURRICANE AT 21/0300 UTC AND IS CENTERED NEAR 18.8N 108.7W AT 21/0300 UTC MOVING NNW AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 85W N OF 8N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1007 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N120W NEAR STATIONARY. A SMALL BURST OF CONVECTION HAS AGAIN REDEVELOPED. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 17N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0315 UTC... HURRICANE MARTY... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 18N108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N110W TO 20N107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N90W 7N102W 11N105W 12N113W 10N128W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 114W AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 139W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 21N TO 23N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA AND FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 87W TO INLAND OVER COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 7N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 81W TO 83W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE S OF THE ITCZ WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 7N94W TO 5N98W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE REMAINDER OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 12:10:54 2003 X-UIDL: 39985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009XOPPSVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:58:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L3wnUQ030714 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:58:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wu9053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:55:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 989217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:55:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L3t5X9070644 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:55:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L3t27S016789 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:55:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L3t1vd016788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:55:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:55:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210355.h8L3t1vd016788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 210400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 13E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 18.6N5 108.6W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 108.6W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.3N3 109.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.5N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.5N9 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 24.5N1 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 28.0N0 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 30.5N8 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 32.0N5 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 210000Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 108.6W5. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST OF SOCORRO, ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHNORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210000Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 TO 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211000Z4, 211600Z0, 212200Z7 AND 220400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 12:10:55 2003 X-UIDL: 39987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ00920PUFVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:01:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L41ZVk033128 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:01:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WuB053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 989265 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L3w8X9038194 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L3w47S016808 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L3w4g3016804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 48 Hr Posit: 335 Deg/ 11 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210358.h8L3w4g3016804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 210400 RRB VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 24.5N1 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 28.0N0 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 30.5N8 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 32.0N5 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 210000Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 108.6W5. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST OF SOCORRO, ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHNORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210000Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 TO 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211000Z4, 211600Z0, 212200Z7 AND 220400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 12:11:35 2003 X-UIDL: 39988-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ0092HPUWVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:01:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L41qUQ031036 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:01:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNx95021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 989268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L3w8X9018934 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L3w47S016807 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L3w4ls016802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:58:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210358.h8L3w4ls016802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 210400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 13E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 18.6N5 108.6W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 108.6W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.3N3 109.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.5N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.5N9 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:01 2003 X-UIDL: 39993-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009SOSKAVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:00:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L50HVk038664 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:00:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wv1053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:56:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 989813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:56:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L4uPX9101068 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:56:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L4uL7S017169 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L4uLRr017168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 23:56:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210456.h8L4uLRr017168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 210455 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:10 2003 X-UIDL: 39995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ00993TYMVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:30:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L5UVVk041402 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:30:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OXX021164; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 990652 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L5KDX9049918 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L5KA7S017357 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L5KAEe017355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210520.h8L5KAEe017355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z-220600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/WAUGAMAN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:13 2003 X-UIDL: 39997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009NPUZFVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:52:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L5qYUQ040433 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:52:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OcX053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:48:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 990964 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:48:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L5m8X9101076 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:48:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L5m57S017532 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:48:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L5m5ah017531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:48:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:48:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 9a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210548.h8L5m5ah017531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 210547 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2003 ..MARTY NEARLY STATIONARY... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. THE HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REPLACED BY A HURRICANE WARNING EARLY SUNDAY. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.7 WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES...475 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO RESUME EARLY SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WOULD BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA BY EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...18.8 N...108.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:19 2003 X-UIDL: 40004-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009BM126VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:03:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L83nUQ052662 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:03:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OdF053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 02:55:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 991405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 02:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L7tTX9031810 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 02:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L7tQ7S018333 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 02:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L7tQ9o018332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 02:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 02:55:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210755.h8L7tQ9o018332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 210755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT SEP 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:20 2003 X-UIDL: 40007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009XG2HEVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:34:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L8YXVk057725 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:34:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OdV053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 991544 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L8VcX9093838 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L8VZ7S018914 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L8VY0U018913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210831.h8L8VY0U018913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 210831 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0900Z SUN SEP 21 2003 A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE WATCH AREA LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 108.8W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 125SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 175NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 108.8W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.7W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.8N 109.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.6N 110.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 23.4N 111.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.5N 112.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.5N 113.0W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 30.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 32.0N 113.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 108.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:20 2003 X-UIDL: 40008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK0092B2M6VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:37:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L8bRVk058005 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:37:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OdX053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:32:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 991551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:32:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L8WDX9051620 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:32:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L8WA7S018920 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:32:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L8WAQ8018919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:32:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:32:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210832.h8L8WAQ8018919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 210831 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 ..MARTY DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT GATHERS STRENGTH... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE WATCH AREA LATER THIS MORNING. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WOULD BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...19.0 N...108.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:21 2003 X-UIDL: 40009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009372MTVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:37:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L8bnVk058055 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:37:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OdT053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 991541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L8VDX9049760 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L8VA7S018903 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L8VA0R018902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:31:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210831.h8L8VA0R018902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 210830 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 MARTY CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN DEEP COLD CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER...ALBEIT WITHOUT MUCH SHAPE. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 77 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND 65 KT FROM AFWA. MICROWAVE PASSES GIVE THE IMPRESSION OF A SOMEWHAT SHEARED SYSTEM...HOWEVER...WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER POSSIBLY DISPLACED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. AS A RESULT...THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS SET A LITTLE BELOW THE AVERAGE OF THESE DVORAK ESTIMATES. OVER THE PAST HOUR OR TWO THERE HAS BEEN SOME INDICATION OF OUTFLOW PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE CORE...SO THE SHEAR MAY BE LESSENING. THE GFDL MODEL BRINGS MARTY UP TO 100 KT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WHILE THE SHIPS GUIDANCE IS ABOUT 20 KT LOWER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND GLOBAL MODEL FIELDS SUGGEST THAT AS MARTY MOVES TOWARD THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IT WILL ENTER A REGION OF STRONG DIVERGENCE WITH DUAL OUTFLOW CHANNELS...AND WITH THIS IN MIND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THE MORE AGGRESSIVE GFDL GUIDANCE. THE CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON IR IMAGERY...BUT A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 01Z NICELY DEFINED THE CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 330/3. CURRENTLY...MARTY IS CAUGHT IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT BETWEEN RIDGES TO ITS EAST AND WEST. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE FORMER WILL STRENGTHEN AND IMPART A FASTER MOTION OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. THERE IS SOME VARIANCE AMONG THE TRACK MODELS...WITH THE UKMET THE FARTHEST TO THE RIGHT...BRINGING MARTY INTO THE SOUTHERNMOST PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THE GFDL TAKES MARTY FARTHER TO THE WEST...WITH A LANDFALL MUCH FARTHER UP THE COAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS NEAR THE GFDL/UKMET/NOGAPS/GFS MODEL CONSENSUS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 19.0N 108.8W 70 KT 12HR VT 21/1800Z 19.8N 109.3W 75 KT 24HR VT 22/0600Z 21.6N 110.3W 85 KT 36HR VT 22/1800Z 23.4N 111.2W 95 KT 48HR VT 23/0600Z 25.5N 112.0W 70 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 24/0600Z 28.5N 113.0W 35 KT...OVER WATER 96HR VT 25/0600Z 30.5N 113.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 26/0600Z 32.0N 113.5W 25 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:21 2003 X-UIDL: 40012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009VM5P5VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:43:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L9i0Vk064188 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:44:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OeH053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:37:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 991950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:37:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L9bXX9046998 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:37:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L9bU7S019475 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:37:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L9bTjh019474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:37:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:37:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210937.h8L9bTjh019474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 18.8N7 108.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 108.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.8N8 109.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.6N9 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 23.4N9 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 25.5N2 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 28.5N5 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 30.5N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 32.0N5 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 211000Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 108.8W7. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SOCORRO, ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211600Z0, 212200Z7, 220400Z8 AND 221000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:22 2003 X-UIDL: 40013-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009XA5Q0VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:44:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L9iWUQ060513 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:44:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OeJ053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:40:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 991972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:40:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L9egX9047042 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:40:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L9ec7S019521 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:40:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L9ecZ4019520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:40:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:40:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210940.h8L9ecZ4019520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211000 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 25.5N2 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 28.5N5 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 30.5N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 32.0N5 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 211000Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 108.8W7. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SOCORRO, ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211600Z0, 212200Z7, 220400Z8 AND 221000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:22 2003 X-UIDL: 40014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009Y65QHVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:44:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L9ikVk064255 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:44:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OYl021164; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:39:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 991967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:39:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L9daX9047022 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:39:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L9dW7S019504 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:39:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L9dWoG019503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:39:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:39:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210939.h8L9dWoG019503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 18.8N7 108.7W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 108.7W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.8N8 109.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.6N9 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 23.4N9 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:22 2003 X-UIDL: 40015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009EA622VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:51:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L9plVk065044 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:51:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OeP053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:49:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 992052 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:49:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L9n9X9014142 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:49:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L9n57S019610 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:49:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L9n5cT019607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:49:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:49:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210949.h8L9n5cT019607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 210948 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 21 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE MARTY IS CENTERED NEAR 19.0N 108.8W AT 21/0900 UTC MOVING NNW AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W/87W N OF 8N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1008 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF T.D. LINDA...IS CENTERED NEAR 18N121W NEAR STATIONARY. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0915 UTC... HURRICANE MARTY... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF 18N108.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N112W TO 20N107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N90W 6N102W 11N105W 12N107W 10N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 92W...WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 102W...WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 140W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 6N94W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 8N98W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 21N TO 23N E OF 108W TO THE COAST OF W MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 11N TO THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 89W TO 92W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE W OF 80W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM PANAMA TO EL SALVADOR. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:24 2003 X-UIDL: 40019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK0093N6JXVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 18:02:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LA2OVk066259 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 18:02:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8mXjB059244; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:55:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 992124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L9tgX9069490 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L9td7S019662 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L9td2H019661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:55:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210955.h8L9td2H019661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 210955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0825 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 13N152W 10N147W 12N142W 11N140W 08N140W 07N145W 04N149W 08N156W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N163W 28N168W 25N179W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 05S180 11S173W 13S177E 11S174E 08S179E 06S174E HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 18S135W 25S127W 25S134W 18S139W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S171W 08S163W 11S163W 13S168W 11S172W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 22S178W 25S173W 25S177W 23S179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:24 2003 X-UIDL: 40020-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009R173PVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 18:14:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LAELUQ063309 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 18:14:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OYp021164; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 05:11:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 992199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 05:11:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LABIX9069396 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 05:11:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LABE7S019811 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 05:11:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LABEPu019810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 05:11:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 05:11:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211011.h8LABEPu019810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 211010 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA...LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:26 2003 X-UIDL: 40025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009ERCFZVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 20:09:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LC9fUQ074049 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 20:09:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OfD053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:03:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 992670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:03:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LC3fX9051594 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:03:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LC3b7S020707 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:03:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LC3b2e020706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:03:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:03:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 10a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211203.h8LC3b2e020706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 211203 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 ..MARTY DRIFTING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT GATHERS STRENGTH... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE WATCH AREA LATER THIS MORNING. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES... 420 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WOULD BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...19.2 N...109.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:28 2003 X-UIDL: 40031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009JCHO3VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:02:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LE2VVk087315 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:02:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OiP053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 08:55:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 993673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 08:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LDtSX9045664 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 08:55:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LDtP7S021425 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 08:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LDtPTu021424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 08:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 08:55:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211355.h8LDtPTu021424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 211355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN SEP 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:29 2003 X-UIDL: 40034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009YTIR7VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:25:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEQ2Vk089701 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:26:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Oiv053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:22:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 993886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:22:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEM3X9051538 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:22:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LEM07S021646 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:22:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LEM03W021645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:22:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:22:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211422.h8LEM03W021645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 211421 CCA TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN SEP 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:30 2003 X-UIDL: 40039-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK0093UJLGVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:44:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEiDUQ087319 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:44:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Ojp053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 994066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEc3X9037422 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LEc07S021767 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LEc0Ug021765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211438.h8LEc0Ug021765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 211437 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 325/4. THE FORECAST SCENARIO REMAINS THE SAME AND THE TRACK FORECAST IS CHANGED VERY LITTLE FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BRINGING THE CENTER TO NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. THE GUIDANCE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING A MOSTLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH A SMALL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE. AFTER 3 DAYS THERE IS MORE UNCERTAINTY. THE GFS MODEL SHOWS THE HURRICANE BECOMING STATIONARY OVER NORTHERN BAJA WHILE THE GFDL AND NOGAPS MODELS INDICATE AN ACCELERATION NORTHWARD. IN EITHER CASE...MARTY SHOULD HAVE WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION BY THEN. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS WARMED AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS WHILE THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE BANDING PATTERN. THE ADVISORY 15Z INITIAL INTENSITY IS 70 KNOTS AND FORECAST TO 90 KNOTS IN 24 HOURS WITH LIGHT VERTICAL SHEAR AND WARM SSTS. THIS FOLLOWS A BLEND OF THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODEL GUIDANCE. BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS CHANGED TO A WARNING AND A WATCH IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO SOTH OF A LINE FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO MULEGE. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 19.5N 109.1W 70 KT 12HR VT 22/0000Z 20.4N 109.8W 80 KT 24HR VT 22/1200Z 22.3N 110.7W 90 KT 36HR VT 23/0000Z 24.6N 111.6W 90 KT 48HR VT 23/1200Z 26.9N 112.5W 50 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 24/1200Z 30.0N 113.5W 40 KT...OVER WATER 96HR VT 25/1200Z 32.0N 113.5W 30 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 26/1200Z 34.0N 113.5W 20 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:30 2003 X-UIDL: 40040-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00944JLLVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:44:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEiGUQ087321 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:44:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Ojr053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 994069 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEcaX9093780 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LEcX7S021779 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LEcXPs021778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:38:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211438.h8LEcXPs021778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 211438 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 1500Z SUN SEP 21 2003 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE TO SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 109.1W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 100SE 100SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 200SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 109.1W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.4N 109.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.3N 110.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 24.6N 111.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 26.9N 112.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.0N 113.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 32.0N 113.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 34.0N 113.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 109.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:31 2003 X-UIDL: 40042-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK0094HKD1VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:00:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LF0jUQ088800 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:00:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8mXlX059244; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:48:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 994139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:48:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEmIX9029824 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:48:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LEmF7S021851 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LEmF5D021850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:48:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211448.h8LEmF5D021850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 211448 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 ..MARTY THREATENS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE TO SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.1 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES...380 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 4 MPH... 6 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE FORECAST TRACK BRINGS THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE TO NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA WHERE THE HURRICANE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE. THIS FLOODING MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...19.5 N...109.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:32 2003 X-UIDL: 40044-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00945MGZVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:46:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LFkIVk097278 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:46:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OlB053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:39:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 994458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:39:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LFdjX9014200 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:39:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LFdf7S022378 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:39:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LFdfVX022377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:39:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:39:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211539.h8LFdfVX022377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 19.2N2 109.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 109.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.4N6 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.3N7 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 24.6N2 111.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 26.9N7 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 30.0N3 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 32.0N5 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 34.0N7 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT --- REMARKS: 211600Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.5N5 109.1W1. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212200Z7, 220400Z8, 221000Z5 AND 221600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:32 2003 X-UIDL: 40045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00949MH0VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:46:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LFkGVk097271 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:46:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Oct021164; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 994524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LFgoX9032746 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LFgk7S022414 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LFgkJ7022412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211542.h8LFgkJ7022412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 19.2N2 109.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 109.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.4N6 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 22.3N7 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 24.6N2 111.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:32 2003 X-UIDL: 40046-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK0095CMI4VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:46:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LFl1UQ092702 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:47:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OlJ053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 994521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LFgoX9012298 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LFgk7S022413 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LFgkuu022411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:42:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211542.h8LFgkuu022411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211600 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 26.9N7 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 30.0N3 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 32.0N5 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 34.0N7 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT --- REMARKS: 211600Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.5N5 109.1W1. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212200Z7, 220400Z8, 221000Z5 AND 221600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:33 2003 X-UIDL: 40049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK0095CN8BVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 00:02:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LG2iVk098874 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 00:02:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OlZ053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:58:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 994702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:58:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LFwJX9055988 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:58:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LFwF7S022534 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:58:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LFwFeT022533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:58:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:58:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211558.h8LFwFeT022533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 211558 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 21 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE MARTY CENTER NEAR 19.5N 109.1W AT 21/1500 UTC MOVING NW 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/ WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W/88W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IN GULF OF HONDURAS...CUTTING ACROSS THIS WAVE. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF T.D. LINDA... NEAR 17N121W DRIFTING SOUTH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1500 UTC... HURRICANE MARTY... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 21N BETWEEN 107W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 106W AND 114W...AND FROM 21N TO 25N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 9N95W 8N103W 12N113W 10N123W 9N130W 11N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 92W...AND WITHIN 180 NM TO THE SOUTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 102W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM GULF OF HONDURAS MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER INTO EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN NEAR 11N97W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION...DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST FIVE HOURS...FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 88W AND 96W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:34 2003 X-UIDL: 40053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00C1FRWG8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:43:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LHhZUQ004112 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:43:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OnD053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 995844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LHccX9088012 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LHcZ7S023431 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LHcZG5023429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211738.h8LHcZG5023429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:35 2003 X-UIDL: 40054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00CBGS3E8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:47:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LHlkUQ004560 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:47:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Oe3021164; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 995850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LHccX9032590 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LHcZ7S023432 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LHcZBR023430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:38:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211738.h8LHcZBR023430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:35 2003 X-UIDL: 40055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00CNGSFE8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:54:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LHsvVk011023 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:54:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OnN053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:50:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 995994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LHonX9045694 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:50:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LHok7S023538 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LHokHd023537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 12:50:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 11a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211750.h8LHokHd023537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 211750 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 ..MARTY THREATENS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE TO SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES ..325 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 10 KM/HR. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THE FORECAST TRACK BRINGS THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE TO NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA WHERE THE HURRICANE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE. THIS FLOODING MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...20.0 N...109.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:35 2003 X-UIDL: 40057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00CEXT848Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 02:12:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LICDVk013023 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 02:12:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OeN021164; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:04:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 996232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:04:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LI4mX9036496 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:04:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LI4j7S023681 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:04:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LI4jFE023680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:04:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:04:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211804.h8LI4jFE023680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 211804 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE REMNANT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS THAT WAS TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:38 2003 X-UIDL: 40067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00CL9YGI8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:05:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LK5CVk026253 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:05:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7Xf019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:00:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 998471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LK0sX9055208 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:00:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LK0o7S024817 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:00:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LK0oBA024816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:00:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:00:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212000.h8LK0oBA024816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 212000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN SEP 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:39 2003 X-UIDL: 40068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00CEFZL88Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:29:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKTbVk028848 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:29:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8mXpN059244; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:27:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 998848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKR6X9043786 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LKR27S025165 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:27:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LKR2ZR025164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:27:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:27:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212027.h8LKR2ZR025164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPZ43 KNHC 212024 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI C TSTMS C $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:39 2003 X-UIDL: 40069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00CGWZMR8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:30:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKUVUQ024425 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:30:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7Y1019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:25:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 998739 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:25:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKP1X9043962 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:25:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LKOv7S025123 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:24:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LKOviO025122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:24:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:24:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212024.h8LKOviO025122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 212024 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 2100Z SUN SEP 21 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE TO SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO GUAYMAS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.4W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 125SE 125SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 225SE 125SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.4W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 109.3W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.7N 109.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 125SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.1N 110.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.6N 111.2W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.1N 111.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 25NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.5N 112.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 34.0N 111.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 36.0N 111.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 109.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:39 2003 X-UIDL: 40070-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00COFZQ68Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:32:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKWcVk029248 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Oh5021164; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:24:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 998734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:24:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKOUX9055256 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:24:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LKOQ7S025114 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:24:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LKOQKP025113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:24:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:24:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212024.h8LKOQKP025113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 212024 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 335/7 AND IT APPEARS THAT THE FORWARD SPEED HAS INCREASED SOME. THE GLOBAL TRACK MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT THE HURRICANE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD FOR ABOUT 3 DAYS AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE. AFTER 3 DAYS THE MODELS DIVERGE...THE GFDL MODEL HAS THE REMNANTS MEANDERING SLOWLY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...THE GFS AND UKMET MODELS HAVE MARTY NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA OR OVER NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AND THE NOGAPS SHOWS THE REMNANTS PICKED UP BY THE WESTERLIES AND MOVED EASTWARD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE ABOVE GUIDANCE AND IS SHIFTED SOMEWHAT TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY FORECAST. THE GFDL SOLUTION SUGGESTS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES BY DAY 3 OR 4. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DETERIORATED TODAY AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT MARTY IS NEAR OR BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. THE ADVISORY INITIAL WIND SPEED IS DECREASED TO 65 KNOTS. HOWEVER THE SHIPS MODEL STILL FORECASTS STRENGTHENING TO ABOUT 80 KNOTS BEFORE LANDFALL AND THE GFDL IS EVEN MORE AGGRESSIVE. BECAUSE OF THIS AND THE SHIFT OF THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE EAST...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO GUAYMAS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 20.5N 109.4W 65 KT 12HR VT 22/0600Z 21.7N 109.8W 75 KT 24HR VT 22/1800Z 24.1N 110.4W 80 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 23/0600Z 26.6N 111.2W 65 KT...OVER WATER 48HR VT 23/1800Z 29.1N 111.9W 55 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 24/1800Z 31.5N 112.0W 30 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 25/1800Z 34.0N 111.5W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 26/1800Z 36.0N 111.0W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00COA0IV8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:49:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKnqVk031021 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:49:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7YX019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 999068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKjWX9087812 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:45:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LKjT7S025396 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LKjTMv025395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:45:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Discussion Number 12...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212045.h8LKjTMv025395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 212045 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 12...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 RE-TRANSMITTED ONLY...ORIGINAL VERSION CORRUPTED DURING TRANSMISSION THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 335/7 AND IT APPEARS THAT THE FORWARD SPEED HAS INCREASED SOME. THE GLOBAL TRACK MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT THE HURRICANE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD FOR ABOUT 3 DAYS AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE. AFTER 3 DAYS THE MODELS DIVERGE...THE GFDL MODEL HAS THE REMNANTS MEANDERING SLOWLY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...THE GFS AND UKMET MODELS HAVE MARTY NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA OR OVER NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AND THE NOGAPS SHOWS THE REMNANTS PICKED UP BY THE WESTERLIES AND MOVED EASTWARD. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE ABOVE GUIDANCE AND IS SHIFTED SOMEWHAT TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY FORECAST. THE GFDL SOLUTION SUGGESTS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME RAINFALL OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES BY DAY 3 OR 4. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DETERIORATED TODAY AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT MARTY IS NEAR OR BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. THE ADVISORY INITIAL WIND SPEED IS DECREASED TO 65 KNOTS. HOWEVER THE SHIPS MODEL STILL FORECASTS STRENGTHENING TO ABOUT 80 KNOTS BEFORE LANDFALL AND THE GFDL IS EVEN MORE AGGRESSIVE. BECAUSE OF THIS AND THE SHIFT OF THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE EAST...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO GUAYMAS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 20.5N 109.4W 65 KT 12HR VT 22/0600Z 21.7N 109.8W 75 KT 24HR VT 22/1800Z 24.1N 110.4W 80 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 23/0600Z 26.6N 111.2W 65 KT...OVER WATER 48HR VT 23/1800Z 29.1N 111.9W 55 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 24/1800Z 31.5N 112.0W 30 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 25/1800Z 34.0N 111.5W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 26/1800Z 36.0N 111.0W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:41 2003 X-UIDL: 40074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00C2M0WM8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:57:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKw7Vk031781 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:58:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7Yd019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:50:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 999133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:50:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKoaX9048558 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LKoR7S025497 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:50:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LKoR2v025496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:50:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:50:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212050.h8LKoR2v025496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 212050 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 ..HURRICANE MARTY THREATENS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ..FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE TO SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO GUAYMAS. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES...270 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED AND THIS TRACK SHOULD BRING THE HURRICANE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ON MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR ..WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR WHERE THE HURRICANE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE. THIS FLOODING MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...20.5 N...109.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:41 2003 X-UIDL: 40075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00C7837Y8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:47:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LLm5UQ032523 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:48:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OiL021164; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 999833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LLjYX9070402 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LLjU7S026106 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LLjUJD026103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 060 Nm Southwest Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212145.h8LLjUJD026103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 212200 RRB 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 24.1N7 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 26.6N4 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 29.1N2 111.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.5N9 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:41 2003 X-UIDL: 40076-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00C7C3848Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:48:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LLmCVk037110 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:48:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8mXqB059244; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 999839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LLjYX9065628 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LLjU7S026108 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LLjUT9026105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212145.h8LLjUT9026105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 212200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 20.2N4 109.3W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 109.3W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.7N0 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:42 2003 X-UIDL: 40077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00C9B3AR8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:49:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LLnlVk037219 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:49:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7ZZ019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:44:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 999816 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:44:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LLiXX9018894 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:44:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LLiT7S026079 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:44:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LLiT6I026078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:44:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:44:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212144.h8LLiT6I026078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 212200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 20.2N4 109.3W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 109.3W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 21.7N0 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 24.1N7 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 26.6N4 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 29.1N2 111.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.5N9 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 34.0N7 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 211800Z2 POSITION NEAR 20.2N4 109.3W3. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211800Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220400Z8, 221000Z5, 221600Z1 AND 222200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:42 2003 X-UIDL: 40078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00CA23BA8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:49:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LLo6UQ032667 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:50:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7Zd019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 999836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LLjYX9018910 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LLjS7S026099 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LLjS06026098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:45:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 010 Deg/ 06 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212145.h8LLjS06026098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 212200 RRC VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 34.0N7 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 211800Z2 POSITION NEAR 20.2N4 109.3W3. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211800Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220400Z8, 221000Z5, 221600Z1 AND 222200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:42 2003 X-UIDL: 40079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00CAI3CF8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:50:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LLonVk037371 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:50:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7Zf019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:47:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 999893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LLltX9065666 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:47:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LLlp7S026150 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LLlpGR026149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:47:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212147.h8LLlpGR026149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 212147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 21 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE MARTY CENTER NEAR 20.5N 109.4W AT 21/2100 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/ WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W/89W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMAINS OF T.D. LINDA...NEAR 17N121W DRIFTING SOUTHWEST. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2130 UTC... HURRICANE MARTY... AN EARLIER 1416Z SSMI PASS DEPICTED SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING OF THE CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. DIFFERENCES IN CENTER POSITION BETWEEN THE 85 GHZ IMAGE AND THE 37 GHZ INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MAY HAVE BEEN SHEARED. HOWEVER...THE SHEAR APPEARS TO BE LETTING UP...INDICATIVE ON NEW DEEP BURSTS OF CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. UPPER LEVEL WINDS OVER THE NORTH SEMICIRCLE ARE STARTING TO ENHANCE THE OUTFLOW OVER THAT PARTICULAR REGION. AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL APPEARS TO BE SETTING UP AS WELL. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 107W AND 113W...AND FROM 21N TO 25N BETWEEN 105W AND 111W. REMNANT LOW... THE REMAINS OF T.D. LINDA CONTINUE TO DRIFT SLOWLY AS A WEAK SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 121W AND 122W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 3N77W 11N92W 7N100W 11N115W 8N130W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 80W TO 103W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 76W AND THE COAST NEAR 83W. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:43 2003 X-UIDL: 40081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00CFP43S8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 06:07:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LM7DUQ034834 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 06:07:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7aD019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:00:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1000120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:00:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LM0QX9079440 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:00:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LM0M7S026324 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:00:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LM0Mef026323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:00:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:00:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212200.h8LM0Mef026323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 212200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11N180E 03N167W EQ170W 04N180 MOVED SOUTHWEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 15N165W 10N160W 09N166W 15N165W MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB PARTLY BOUNDED BY 07N140W 04N155W 13N156W 13N140W AND EXTENDING EAST MOVED NORTHWEST 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 30N161W 25N167W MOVED SOUTHEAST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS DATELITE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 21N177E 21N175W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SPCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 04S174E 09S162W 14S166W 13S170E REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF 10S156W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:44 2003 X-UIDL: 40084-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DS06GQ04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 06:58:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LMw9Vk043935 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 06:58:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7bl019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:52:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1000929 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:52:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LMq5X9032656 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:52:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LMq27S026808 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LMq23K026807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 17:52:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212252.h8LMq23K026807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 212251 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE REMNANT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS THAT WAS TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS LOCATED ABOUT 840 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:45 2003 X-UIDL: 40088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00D9R8UW04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 07:49:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LNnqUQ046673 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 07:49:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7dJ019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 18:44:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1001790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 18:44:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LNiaX9079366 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 18:44:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LNiW7S027349 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 18:44:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LNiWVM027348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 18:44:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 18:44:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 12a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212344.h8LNiWVM027348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 212344 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 ..HURRICANE MARTY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES TOWARD SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ..FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE TO SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO GUAYMAS. PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA MAY BE CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING LATER TONIGHT. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...210 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY...AND THIS TRACK COULD BRING THE HURRICANE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR WHERE THE HURRICANE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE. THIS FLOODING MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...21.0 N...109.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:51 2003 X-UIDL: 40103-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00D0AF8104@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:07:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M27LVk064210 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:07:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7j5019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:02:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1004312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:02:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M22XX9072772 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:02:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M22U7S028770 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:02:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M22Udf028769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:02:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:02:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220202.h8M22Udf028769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 220202 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN SEP 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:52 2003 X-UIDL: 40108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DWVGPB04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:39:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M2dLUQ067294 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:39:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7k7019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:34:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1004912 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:34:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M2YBX9052354 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:34:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M2Y77S029078 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:34:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M2Y7ZA029077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:34:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:34:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220234.h8M2Y7ZA029077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ23 KNHC 220233 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0300Z MON SEP 22 2003 AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO LORETO. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ..FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA...AND ON MAINLAND MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO NOW IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 109.7W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 125SE 125SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 225SE 150SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 109.7W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 109.6W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.1N 110.2W...NEAR CABO SAN LUCAS MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.5N 110.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 27.9N 111.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.9N 112.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 10SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 25NE 50SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.5N 112.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 34.5N 111.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N 109.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 40109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00D5BH4104@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:48:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M2mAVk069056 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:48:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7kJ019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:43:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1005020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:43:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M2h6X9105632 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:43:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M2h27S029170 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:43:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M2h2si029169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:43:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:43:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220243.h8M2h2si029169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 220242 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 ..MARTY GETTING STRONGER AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO LORETO. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA ..FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA...AND ON MAINLAND MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO NOW IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES ..165 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MARTY IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND MARTY COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR WHERE THE HURRICANE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE. THIS FLOODING MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...21.4 N...109.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 40111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DJRHXN04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:05:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M35uUQ070922 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:05:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7kl019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:00:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1005255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:00:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M30ZX9023562 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:00:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M30W7S029379 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:00:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M30WfO029378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:00:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:00:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220300.h8M30WfO029378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 220300 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 MARTY HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND A RAGGED CLOUD-FILLED EYE HAS BRIEFLY APPEARED IN BOTH VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER...A 21/1926Z TRMM OVERPASS SHOWED A WELL-DEFINED LOW- TO MID-LEVEL EYE...SUGGESTING THAT THE INNER-CORE WIND FIELD REMAINED WELL ORGANIZED DRUING THE EARLIER WEAKENING PHASE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 75 KT IS BASED ON A BLEND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90/77/55 KT FROM TAFB/SAB/AFWA... RESPECTIVELY. OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO IMPROVE ALONG WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A DISTINCT EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. OUTER BANDING FEATURES ALSO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND IMPROVE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 345/9. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK OR REASONING. IT APPEARS THAT MARTY IS NOW BEGINNING TO MAKE A TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH...AND THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY CLUSTERED ABOUT THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. THERE IS LESS THAN 90 NMI DIFFERENCE EAST-WEST IN THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AT 24 HOURS...SO A DIRECT HIT ON THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA PENINSULA APPEARS INEVITABLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. AFTER CROSSING OVER INTO THE SEA OF CORTES IN ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SO...MARTY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD MAINLAND MEXICO AND EVENTUALLY INLAND AND DISSIPATE OVER EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA. THE AFOREMENTIONED TRMM OVERPASS INDICATED A TIGHT INNER-CORE WIND FIELD AS SUGGESTED BY THE SMALL...WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL EYE AND TIGHT BANDING FEATURES. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE WIND FIELD SHOULD BE ABLE TO SPIN UP FAIRLY QUICKLY ONCE THE CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN MAINTAINED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WAS HELD BELOW THE TAFB 90 KT DVORAK ESTIMATE AND THE 80-85 OBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES. HOWEVER...THESE VALUES ARE LIKELY A GOOD INDICATION OF THE 12 HOUR INTENSITY ESTIMATE...WHICH IS ALSO CLOSE TO THE 12-HOUR INTENSITY AVERAGE BETWEEN THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 21.4N 109.7W 75 KT 12HR VT 22/1200Z 23.1N 110.2W 90 KT 24HR VT 23/0000Z 25.5N 110.8W 75 KT 36HR VT 23/1200Z 27.9N 111.6W 65 KT 48HR VT 24/0000Z 29.9N 112.0W 50 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 25/0000Z 32.5N 112.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 96HR VT 26/0000Z 34.5N 111.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND 120HR VT 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 40114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DFWK9B04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:56:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M3u7Vk077997 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:56:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7nL019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:50:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1005850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:50:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M3ojX9048510 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M3og7S029906 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:50:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M3og61029905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:50:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:50:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220350.h8M3og61029905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 220350 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 22 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE MARTY CENTER NEAR 21.4N 109.7W AT 22/0300 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/ WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 5N MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. ONLY A FEW ISOLATED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ACCOMPANY THE WAVE OVER S GUATEMALA WITH NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ..1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMAINS OF T.D. LINDA...NEAR 16N121W DRIFTING SOUTHWEST. NO DEEP CONVECTION AND NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0315 UTC... HURRICANE MARTY... SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A STRENGTHENING SYSTEM WITH INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION AND A MORE SYMMETRIC OVERALL APPEARANCE. POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS BEEN IMPROVING AND THERE ARE NOW TWO DISTINCT OUTFLOW CHANNELS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE NOW BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND ENTRANCE OF THE SEA OF CORTEZ. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 20N-24N BETWEEN 107W-111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE SEA OR CORTEZ TO 26N. REMNANT LOW... THE REMAINS OF T.D. LINDA CONTINUES TO DRIFT SLOWLY AS A WEAK SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 10N90W 15N107W 8N130W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 95W-105W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 110W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE S COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND S MEXICO FROM PANAMA THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:55 2003 X-UIDL: 40119-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DKAMA704@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:39:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M4dkVk082820 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:39:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7oD019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:32:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1006084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:32:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M4WnX9043822 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:32:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M4Wk7S000273 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M4Wk5J000272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:32:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220432.h8M4Wk5J000272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 220400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 21.0N3 109.6W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 109.6W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 23.1N6 110.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 25.5N2 110.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 27.9N8 111.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 29.9N0 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 32.5N0 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 34.5N2 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220000Z4 POSITION NEAR 21.0N3 109.6W6. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220000Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 77 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221000Z5, 221600Z1, 222200Z8 AND 230400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:55 2003 X-UIDL: 40120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DNVMB704@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:40:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M4eSVk082922 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:40:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7oF019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1006105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M4ZvX9049788 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M4Zr7S000318 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M4ZrVU000317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: On Day 4 And 350 Nm On Day 5... And For Intensity Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220435.h8M4ZrVU000317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 220400 RRC ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 34.5N2 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220000Z4 POSITION NEAR 21.0N3 109.6W6. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220000Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 77 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221000Z5, 221600Z1, 222200Z8 AND 230400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:56 2003 X-UIDL: 40121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DOAMB904@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:40:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M4eUVk082931 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:40:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7oJ019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:36:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1006111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:36:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M4a1X9055004 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:36:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M4Zv7S000330 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M4ZvKk000329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 075 Kt, Gusts 090 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220435.h8M4ZvKk000329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 220400 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 27.9N8 111.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 29.9N0 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 32.5N0 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:56 2003 X-UIDL: 40122-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DWOMF804@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:42:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M4gdUQ082541 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:42:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7oH019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:36:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1006108 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:36:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M4ZxX9053026 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M4Zu7S000323 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M4ZuaN000322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:35:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220435.h8M4ZuaN000322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 220400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 21.0N3 109.6W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 109.6W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 23.1N6 110.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 25.5N2 110.8W0 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:57 2003 X-UIDL: 40124-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DQXO3A04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 13:18:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5ItUQ091052 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 13:18:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7oh019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:57:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1006339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:57:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M4vMX9055284 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:57:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M4vJ7S000488 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:57:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M4vJe8000487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:57:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 23:57:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220457.h8M4vJe8000487@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 220456 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. THE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS THAT WAS TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS LOCATED ABOUT 840 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:59 2003 X-UIDL: 40126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DNPQ4104@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 14:02:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M62OVk097016 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 14:02:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLbR070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 00:58:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1007366 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 00:58:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5wGX9032046 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 00:58:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M5wC7S001055 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 00:58:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M5wCJk001054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 00:58:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 00:58:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 13a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220558.h8M5wCJk001054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 220557 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SUN SEP 21 2003 ..MARTY CLOSING IN ON THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO NOW IN EFFECT FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES ..105 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 11 MPH...18 KM/HR...AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE EYE OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BY MONDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARTY COULD STRENGTHEN INTO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR WHERE THE HURRICANE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE. THIS FLOODING MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...22.0 N...109.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 11 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:41:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40128-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00D7JR2Z04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 14:23:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M6NTVk099373 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 14:23:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Orp021164; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:15:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1007500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M6F1X9047228 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:15:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M6Ew7S001200 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:14:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M6Evp3001198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:14:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:14:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220614.h8M6Evp3001198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z-230600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10.0N1 141.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL A BROAD LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/WAUGAMAN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 15:57:46 2003 X-UIDL: 40152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DOKVET04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:56:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M7v1Vk011067 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:57:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLcj070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 02:50:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1007948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 02:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M7oXX9067276 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 02:50:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M7oU7S001975 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 02:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M7oTNd001974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 02:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 02:50:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220750.h8M7oTNd001974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 220750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN SEP 21 2003 A DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N165W SHOWED LITTLE CONVECTION...AND NO SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 16:55:15 2003 X-UIDL: 40160-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00D5LXA704@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:37:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M8bTUQ017605 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:37:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLd5070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:33:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:33:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M8X0X9052834 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:33:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M8Wv7S002485 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:32:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M8WvaT002484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:32:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:32:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220832.h8M8WvaT002484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 220832 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 ..MARTY STRENGTHENS TO CATEGORY TWO...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN BAJA IN A FEW HOURS... AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO MULEGE...AND REPLACED THE HURRICANE WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO GUAYMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO GUAYMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA...AND NORTH OF GUAYMAS TO BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE EYE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA IN A FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR WHERE THE HURRICANE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE. THIS FLOODING MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...22.6 N...109.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 16:55:16 2003 X-UIDL: 40161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DEIXDC04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:39:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M8dJUQ017820 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:39:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLd7070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:33:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:33:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M8XhX9092390 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:33:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M8Xd7S002490 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M8XdXO002489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:33:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220833.h8M8XdXO002489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ23 KNHC 220833 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0900Z MON SEP 22 2003 AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO MULEGE...AND REPLACED THE HURRICANE WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO GUAYMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO GUAYMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA...AND NORTH OF GUAYMAS TO BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 125SE 125SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 225SE 150SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 109.6W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.4N 110.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 26.7N 110.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.0N 111.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 31.0N 111.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 33.0N 111.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.6N 109.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:08 2003 X-UIDL: 40164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DUTYRH04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:09:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M99MVk020224 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:09:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLdP070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:59:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008245 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:59:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M8xUX9033948 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:59:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M8xR7S002656 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:59:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M8xQhj002655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:59:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:59:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220859.h8M8xQhj002655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 220859 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT THE HURRICANE HAS STRENGTHENED AND MAXIMUM WINDS ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BE ABOUT 85 KT. THERE IS LITTLE TIME LEFT FOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING...SO MARTY IS EXPECTED TO BE OF CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE AT LANDFALL. THE CIRCULATION WILL PROBABLY BE DISRUPTED SOMEWHAT BY THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN BAJA...BUT SOME RE-ORGANIZATION/RE-STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR ASSUMING THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WARM WATER. THE MOTION IS NOW NORTHWARD AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER PACE. MARTY IS BEING STEERED PRIMARILY BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS EAST AND SOUTHEAST. TRACK GUIDANCE MODELS REMAIN RATHER TIGHTLY CLUSTERED...AND THE CONSENSUS OF THE GUIDANCE IS FOR A NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SINCE THE LATEST CENTER FIXES ARE A LITTLE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS JUST SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE DYNAMICAL TRACK GUIDANCE SUITE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST TAKES THE CENTER ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA AND INTO THE SEA OF CORTES OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS...AND APPROACHING THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN 24 HOURS. THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA AND THE HURRICANE WATCH IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO. ALTHOUGH MARTY IS LIKELY TO BE DISSIPATING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 72 HOURS...IT WILL PROBABLY SPREAD SOME MOISTURE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES BY THAT TIME. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0900Z 22.6N 109.6W 85 KT 12HR VT 22/1800Z 24.4N 110.1W 75 KT 24HR VT 23/0600Z 26.7N 110.7W 80 KT 36HR VT 23/1800Z 29.0N 111.3W 60 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 24/0600Z 31.0N 111.5W 35 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 25/0600Z 33.0N 111.0W 25 KT...INLAND...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DPAZ0N04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:14:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M9EkUQ022155 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:14:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLdX070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:06:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:06:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M96wX9101024 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:06:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M96s7S002727 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:06:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M96sXP002726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:06:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:06:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220906.h8M96sXP002726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 220906 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 22 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE MARTY CENTER NEAR 22.6N 109.6W AT 22/0900 UTC MOVING NORTH AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/ WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W/93W N OF 5N MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS POORLY DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY UPON EXTRAPOLATION. ONLY A FEW ISOLATED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ACCOMPANY THE WAVE ALONG THE S COAST GUATEMALA AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0730 UTC... HURRICANE MARTY... SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE A STRENGTHENING SYSTEM WITH CONVECTION BECOMING INCREASINGLY SYMMETRIC ABOUT THE CENTER. EARLIER MICROWAVE DATA SUGGESTS A FORMING EYE. OUTFLOW IS SOMEWHAT RESTRICTED TO THE WEST DUE TO A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. HOWEVER...POLEWARD OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND THERE ARE NOW TWO DISTINCT OUTFLOW CHANNELS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH. OUTER RAINBANDS ARE AFFECTING THE THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND SEA OF CORTEZ. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPANDING RAPIDLY NWD WITH THE ACCELERATING HURRICANE AND MAY AFFECT THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN THE VICINITY OF LOS MOCHIS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 108W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FURTHER N OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA AND SEA OR CORTEZ FROM 23.5N-25.5 BETWEEN 108W-111W. INCREASED SWELL FROM THE HURRICANE WILL ALSO BEGIN AFFECTING THE SEA OF CORTEX. REMNANT LOW... THE REMAINS OF T.D. LINDA HAVE DISSIPATED. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 10N90W 15N107W 8N130W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 97W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 111W-115W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 115W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 107W-110W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DFS00K04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:36:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M9aSUQ024826 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:36:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLdp070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:31:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008432 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M9VTX9014332 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M9VP7S002932 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:31:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M9VP27002931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:31:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:31:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220931.h8M9VP27002931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 22.0N4 109.6W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 109.6W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 24.4N0 110.1W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 26.7N5 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 29.0N1 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 31.0N4 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 33.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221000Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.6N0 109.6W6. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF LAPAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z1, 222200Z8, 230400Z9 AND 231000Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40167-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DKJ02N04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:37:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M9bhVk024244 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:37:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M8qOXN054918; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M9XTX9100946 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M9XQ7S002942 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M9XP3B002939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220933.h8M9XP3B002939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 22.0N4 109.6W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 109.6W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 24.4N0 110.1W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 26.7N5 110.7W9 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DS905G04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:39:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M9dPUQ025187 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:39:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLdr070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M9XTX9053336 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M9XQ7S002943 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M9XQ2h002941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:33:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 080 Kt, Gusts 100 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220933.h8M9XQ2h002941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221000 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 29.0N1 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 31.0N4 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 33.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221000Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.6N0 109.6W6. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF LAPAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z1, 222200Z8, 230400Z9 AND 231000Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:15 2003 X-UIDL: 40170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DFX0R504@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:52:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M9qQVk025992 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:52:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLdx070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:46:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M9kaX9088024 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:46:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M9kW7S003049 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M9kW4E003048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:46:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220946.h8M9kW4E003048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 220946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 25N165W TO 30N161W TO 36N158W AND FURTHER NORTH MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 105 NM OF THE LINE FROM 24N180 TO 26N165W MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KNOTS. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 09N141W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13N144W TO 11N143W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 10N146W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 11N149W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 10N152W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 04N155W TO 05N156W TO 07N156W TO 07N154W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 03N175W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 03N179W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SPCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 10S158W MOVED WEST AT 10 KNOTS...INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S166W TO 13S167W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13S170W TO 15S167W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 12S175W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 07S178E TO 08S176W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 10S179W. LOW/FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 29S141W TO 27S139W TO 24S142W TO 24S146W TO 26S148W MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 24S172W TO 32S167W TO 37S167W AND FURTHER SOUTH MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF SPCZ IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:15 2003 X-UIDL: 40172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00D2D1DU04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 18:05:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MA63Vk027722 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 18:06:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLeJ070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:00:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:00:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MA0SX9033938 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:00:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MA0O7S003154 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:00:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MA0Or2003153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:00:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 05:00:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221000.h8MA0Or2003153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 221000 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE MARTY LOCATED NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS THAT WAS TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA IS LOCATED ABOUT 840 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RE-DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:17 2003 X-UIDL: 40177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DZK7AN04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 20:13:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MCDdVk042763 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 20:13:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLf5070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 06:59:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1009165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 06:59:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MBxlX9035650 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 06:59:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MBxh7S004023 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 06:59:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MBxhvn004022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 06:59:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 06:59:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 14a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221159.h8MBxhvn004022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 221159 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 ..MARTY MOVES OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM MULEGE SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO GUAYMAS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA...AND NORTH OF GUAYMAS TO BAHIA KINO. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR NEAR SAN JOSE DEL CABO IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MOVE OVER THE SEA OF CORTES LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 100 ...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY TODAY DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR WHERE THE HURRICANE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE. THIS FLOODING MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...23.2 N...109.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:26 2003 X-UIDL: 40185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DVDCJF04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:06:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ME6xUQ053271 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:07:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLil070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 08:50:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1010509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 08:50:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MDoTX9093884 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 08:50:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MDoP7S006313 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 08:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MDoP3i006312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 08:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 08:50:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221350.h8MDoP3i006312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 221350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON SEP 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:29 2003 X-UIDL: 40194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00D03EFC04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:47:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MElhUQ057828 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:47:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Oxx021164; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:36:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1011143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:36:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MEaqX9069628 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:36:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MEam7S007748 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MEamHe007746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:36:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221436.h8MEamHe007746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 221436 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 ..MARTY MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA AND ALSO NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST MAINLAND MEXICO TO BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...NORTHEAST OF LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THE HURRICANE NORTHWARD OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA TO MAINLAND MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. VERY SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS LIKELY ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR WHERE THE HURRICANE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE. THIS FLOODING MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...24.4 N...110.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:29 2003 X-UIDL: 40195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00D8FEK404@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MEoZVk061312 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLkZ070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:35:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1011133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:35:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MEZrX9093796 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:35:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MEZn7S007714 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:35:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MEZndt007713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:35:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:35:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221435.h8MEZndt007713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 221435 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 1500Z MON SEP 22 2003 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA AND ALSO NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST MAINLAND MEXICO TO BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 110.0W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......100NE 125SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 200SE 150SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 110.0W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 109.9W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.9N 110.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 125SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 28.2N 111.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.9N 112.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 25NE 25SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N 112.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.0N 112.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 110.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:29 2003 X-UIDL: 40196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DAGEKX04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MEp5UQ058240 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:51:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLkl070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:39:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1011188 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:39:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MEdRX9087918 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:39:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MEdN7S007810 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:39:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MEdNkf007809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:39:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:39:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221439.h8MEdNkf007809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 221439 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 355/13. THE HURRICANE CONTINUES MOVING AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE...BUT MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS THE MOTION BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY IN 2 TO 3 DAYS NEAR THE EXTREME NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. FOLLOWING THIS GUIDANCE...THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY FORECAST TRACK AND IS ALSO SLOWED DOWN TO NEARLY STATIONARY AFTER 36 HOURS. ONLY THE GFDL MODEL SUGGESTS A TRACK INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES IN ABOUT 3 DAYS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MARTY MAY BE WEAKENING SOME AS THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH THE HIGH TERRAIN. BUT THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE DEEP CONVECTION AND MARTY COULD REMAIN A HURRICANE TODAY AS THE CENTER MOVES NORTHWARD OVER THE WARM WATER OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THEREFORE THE WIND SPEED FORECAST IS FOR ONLY VERY SLOW WEAKENING FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS. THE FORECAST TRACK REQUIRES EXTENDING THE HURRICANE WARNINGS NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO. IF THE GFDL MODEL IS CORRECT...THERE COULD BE A SPREAD OF MOISTURE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES IN ABOUT 3 DAYS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 24.4N 110.0W 75 KT 12HR VT 23/0000Z 25.9N 110.6W 70 KT 24HR VT 23/1200Z 28.2N 111.4W 65 KT 36HR VT 24/0000Z 29.9N 112.1W 40 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 24/1200Z 30.5N 112.3W 30 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 25/1200Z 31.0N 112.5W 20 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:33 2003 X-UIDL: 40200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DASHWM04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:02:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MG2sUQ065897 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:02:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFoMXR029148; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:54:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1012899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:54:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFs3X9029860 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:54:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MFs07S010115 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:54:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MFrxZ3010113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:53:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:53:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 36 Hrs, Valid At: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221553.h8MFrxZ3010113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221600 RRB 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 29.9N0 112.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 30.5N8 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.0N4 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221600Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.4N0 110.0W2. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM SOUTHEAST OF LAPAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z8, 230400Z9, 231000Z6 AND 231600Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:33 2003 X-UIDL: 40201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DFEHZ204@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:04:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MG4OVk070058 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:04:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFKCYR054920; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:54:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1012896 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:54:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFs3X9067236 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:54:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MFs07S010114 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:54:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MFrx0e010112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:53:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:53:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221553.h8MFrx0e010112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 23.7N2 109.9W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N2 109.9W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 25.9N6 110.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 28.2N2 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:33 2003 X-UIDL: 40202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DBIIE504@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:13:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MGDOUQ067500 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:13:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFKCXt054920; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:51:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1012803 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFowX9093802 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:50:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MFos7S010006 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MFosJc010005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:50:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221550.h8MFosJc010005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 23.7N2 109.9W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N2 109.9W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 25.9N6 110.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 28.2N2 111.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 29.9N0 112.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 30.5N8 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.0N4 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221600Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.4N0 110.0W2. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM SOUTHEAST OF LAPAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z8, 230400Z9, 231000Z6 AND 231600Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:34 2003 X-UIDL: 40203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DM1IZA04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:25:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MGQ6UQ069153 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:26:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLrJ070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:04:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1013155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:04:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MG4NX9093860 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:04:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MG4J7S010500 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:04:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MG4Ji8010499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:04:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:04:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221604.h8MG4Ji8010499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 221604 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 22 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE MARTY CENTER NEAR 24.4N 110.0W AT 22/1500 UTC MOVING NORTH 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/ WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W/94W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS POORLY DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY UPON EXTRAPOLATION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1530 UTC... HURRICANE MARTY... SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MARTY MAY BE WEAKENING SOME AS THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH THE HIGH TERRAIN. BUT THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE DEEP CONVECTION AND MARTY COULD REMAIN A HURRICANE TODAY AS THE CENTER MOVES NORTHWARD OVER THE WARM WATER OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THEREFORE THE WIND SPEED FORECAST IS FOR ONLY VERY SLOW WEAKENING FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 23.5N TO 26N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND AT LEAST MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 106W AND 112W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 10N90W 11N104W 11N115W 8N128W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 92W...WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 105W...AND WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W AND 117W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:34 2003 X-UIDL: 40204-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DGGJGN04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:36:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MGaXUQ070242 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:36:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLrX070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:11:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1013288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:11:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MGBVX9029788 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:11:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MGBR7S010743 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:11:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MGBRir010741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:11:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:11:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221611.h8MGBRir010741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 221611 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE MARTY LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNICA ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LA PAZ MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:34 2003 X-UIDL: 40205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DNSK2W04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:49:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MGnkUQ071663 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:49:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLsd070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1014157 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MGfWX9010542 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MGfS7S011723 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MGfSvI011721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221641.h8MGfSvI011721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 40206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DOHK3204@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:49:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MGngVk076205 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:49:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFKCZN054920; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1014160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MGfWX9047572 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MGfS7S011724 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MGfSMC011722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 11:41:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221641.h8MGfSMC011722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:36 2003 X-UIDL: 40212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DWMNDC04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 02:00:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MI0tUQ078858 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 02:00:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MGpKh5029150; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:50:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1016198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:49:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MHnsX9023516 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:49:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MHno7S013661 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:49:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MHno2k013660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:49:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 12:49:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 15a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221749.h8MHno2k013660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 221749 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 ..MARTY MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA AND ALSO NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST MAINLAND MEXICO TO BAHIA KINO. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA. SOME OF THE SOUTHERNMOST WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST. THIS POSITION IS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 80 MILES...125 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH ...309 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THE HURRICANE OVER MAINLAND MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...28.98 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS LIKELY ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR WHERE THE HURRICANE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE. THIS FLOODING MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...25.4 N...110.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:37 2003 X-UIDL: 40216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DIUTHF04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:12:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKCxUQ093039 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:13:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DL85070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:00:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1019240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:00:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MK0mX9058022 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:00:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MK0j7S017693 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:00:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MK0jcO017692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:00:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:00:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222000.h8MK0jcO017692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 222000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON SEP 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:38 2003 X-UIDL: 40218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DTDUFQ04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:33:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKXaUQ095582 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:33:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DL8V070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1019473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKIGX9049416 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MKIC7S018215 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MKICx5018214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222018.h8MKICx5018214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 222017 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 ..MARTY OVER GULF OF CALIFORNIA... HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO ON MAINLAND MEXICO. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE MAINLAND FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA AND THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABRAOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.7 WEST. THIS POSITION IS OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 65 MILES...110 KM...SOUTH OF GUAYMAS MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS MOTION...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE MARTY OVER MAINLAND MEXICO ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.156 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREAS. STORM SURGE FLOODING ELSEWHERE WHERE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED SHOULD BE SUBSIDING TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SOME RAINFALL SPREADING NORTHWARD OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...26.4 N...110.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:38 2003 X-UIDL: 40219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00D8KUNM04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:38:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKcKUQ096093 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DL8T070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:17:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1019467 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:17:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKHdX9065750 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:17:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MKHZ7S018189 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:17:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MKHZ39018188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:17:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:17:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222017.h8MKHZ39018188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 222017 TCDEP3 HURRICANE MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 345/17. THE HURRICANE CONTINUES MOVING AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE...BUT MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS THE MOTION BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY IN 2 TO 3 DAYS NEAR OR JUST INLAND FROM THE EXTREME NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS ABOUT THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND BRINGS MARTY INLAND OVER MAINLAND MEXICO ON TUESDAY. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE WEAKENING AS THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH HIGH TERRAIN. THE WIND SPEED HAS BEEN REDUCED TO 65 KNOTS FOR THIS ADVISORY. EXCEPT FOR RAINFALL...MARTY IS NOT EXPECTED TO LAST VERY LONG AFTER IT MOVES OVER MAINLAND MEXICO. HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FOR THE SOUTH PORTION OF THE EAST COAST OF BAJA AND FOR THE SOUTH PORTION OF THE MAINLAND. BOTH THE GFDL AND GFS MODELS NOW SHOW SOME RAINFALL OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 26.4N 110.7W 65 KT 12HR VT 23/0600Z 27.7N 111.1W 60 KT 24HR VT 23/1800Z 29.4N 112.2W 40 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 24/0600Z 30.7N 112.6W 30 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 24/1800Z 31.5N 112.8W 25 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 25/1800Z 32.5N 113.0W 20 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING 96HR VT 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:39 2003 X-UIDL: 40221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00D70V8604@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:50:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKodUQ097414 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:50:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DL8X070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1019484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKIrX9065776 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MKIn7S018250 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MKInjH018249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:18:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222018.h8MKInjH018249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 222018 TCMEP3 HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 2100Z MON SEP 22 2003 HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO ON MAINLAND MEXICO. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST. AT 2 PM PDT...2100...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE MAINLAND FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA AND THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM PUNTA ABRAOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 110.7W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 30SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT.......100NE 150SE 50SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 250SE 50SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N 110.7W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 110.4W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.7N 111.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.4N 112.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 25NE 75SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.7N 112.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.5N 112.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 32.5N 113.0W...INLAND DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N 110.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:39 2003 X-UIDL: 40223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DB9XTR04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 05:46:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MLklVk013285 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 05:46:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLCN070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:37:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1020811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:37:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MLbeX9007844 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:37:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MLbb7S020673 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MLbbWj020671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:37:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222137.h8MLbbWj020671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 222137 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 22 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE MARTY CENTERED NEAR 26.4N 110.7W AT 22/2100 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W/95W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST NEAR 10 KT. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SPORADIC...MOSTLY WEAK...ISOLATED ACTIVITY. E PAC BUOYS E OF 98W WERE HELPFUL IN ANALYZING THE CURRENT POSITION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2130 UTC... HURRICANE MARTY... VISIBLE ANIMATION AND A 1726Z SSMI PASS DEPICT DEEP CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE N SEMICIRCLE AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE VIGOROUSLY INTERACTS WITH THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SITUATED OFF OF THE WEST COAST OF BAJA...AND THE SUBTROPICAL JET EXTENDING FROM THE SEA OF CORTEZ TO SW U.S./MEXICO BORDER ARE ENHANCING THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 25N TO 27N BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTI-LAYERED CLOUDS AND MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 106W AND 112W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 4N77W 9N90W 7N98W 14N103W 6N128W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 95 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W AND 88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N TO 15N BETWEEN 97W AND 103W AND FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13N94W TO 14N98W...JUST W OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:39 2003 X-UIDL: 40226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DPNYXQ04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 06:10:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MMAkVk016253 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 06:10:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MLgobh007722; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:01:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1021631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:01:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MM1EX9067102 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:01:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MM1A7S021252 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:01:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MM1A0I021251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:01:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:01:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222201.h8MM1A0I021251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 222200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 03N179W 08N157W MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 15N163W 07N141W MOVED SOUTHWEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 33N156W 25N164W MOVED SOUTHEAST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF 11N169W MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SPCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 01S163E 11S153W 16S172W 07S162E REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00GJIZAPIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 06:18:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MMIZVk017144 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 06:18:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFKCnl054920; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:08:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1021856 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:08:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MM8LX9019522 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:08:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MM8H7S021424 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:08:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MM8HZ6021423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:08:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:08:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222208.h8MM8HZ6021423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 222200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 25.5N2 110.4W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 110.4W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 27.7N6 111.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 29.4N5 112.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 30.7N0 112.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.5N9 112.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 32.5N0 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT --- REMARKS: 221800Z3 POSITION NEAR 25.5N2 110.4W6. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 534 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221800Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z9, 231000Z6, 231600Z2, AND 232200Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00GJYZB6IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 06:18:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MMIqVk017171 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 06:18:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLGb070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:07:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1021830 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:07:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MM7hX9019498 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:07:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MM7d7S021406 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:07:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MM7dIc021405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:07:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:07:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222207.h8MM7dIc021405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 222207 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE MARTY LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH OF GUAYMAS MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00GSTZIFIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 06:23:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MMN9Vk017593 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 06:23:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OIt021164; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1021906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MMAgX9023724 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MMAL7S021469 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MMALsA021468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222210.h8MMALsA021468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 222200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 25.5N2 110.4W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 110.4W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 27.7N6 111.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 29.4N5 112.2W6 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00GZZZKDIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 06:24:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MMONVk017717 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 06:24:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLGf070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1021898 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MMAVX9058634 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MMAM7S021474 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MMAMrO021473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 17:10:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 040 Kt, Gusts 050 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222210.h8MMAMrO021473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 222200 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 30.7N0 112.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.5N9 112.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 32.5N0 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT --- REMARKS: 221800Z3 POSITION NEAR 25.5N2 110.4W6. HURRICANE (HR) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 534 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221800Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z9, 231000Z6, 231600Z2, AND 232200Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:41 2003 X-UIDL: 40232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G5J4GHIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 08:09:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N09vVk028373 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 08:09:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFKCpb054920; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 18:59:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1023391 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 18:59:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MNx4X9033018 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 18:59:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MNx17S023042 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 18:59:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MNx1wP023041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 18:59:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 18:59:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 16a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222359.h8MNx1wP023041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 222358 TCPEP3 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 ..MARTY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA... HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LORETO TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA ON THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FROM TOPOLOBAMPO TO BAHIA KINO ON MAINLAND MEXICO. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST. THIS POSITION IS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA JUST SOUTH OF SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTH...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARTY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NOETHWEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 75 MPH... 120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A WIND GUST TO 46 MPH...74 KM/HR...WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT SANTA ROSALIA MEXICO. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREAS. STORM SURGE FLOODING ELSEWHERE WHERE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED SHOULD BE SUBSIDING TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME RAINFALL SPREADING NORTHWARD OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...27.2 N...112.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 40241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GEF9XCIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:08:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N288Vk044115 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:08:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLPJ070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:02:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1025099 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:02:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N22UX9047068 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:02:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N22R7S024482 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:02:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N22RTc024481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:02:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:02:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230202.h8N22RTc024481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 230202 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON SEP 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 11:02:48 2003 X-UIDL: 40247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G7NBEAIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:39:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N2dtVk048075 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:39:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLPr070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1025429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N2XoX9049928 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N2Xl7S024797 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N2Xl5l024796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230233.h8N2Xl5l024796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 230233 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0300Z TUE SEP 23 2003 AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER... AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 112.3W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 100SE 40SW 25NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 200SE 30SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 112.3W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 112.1W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.4N 112.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 75SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 31.0N 113.3W...NEAR MAINLAND MEXICO MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 25NE 75SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 32.0N 113.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 33.2N 113.8W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 34.2N 114.6W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 112.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 11:02:49 2003 X-UIDL: 40248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GJABGZIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:41:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N2fXUQ032433 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:41:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLPp070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1025417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N2XGX9092414 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N2XC7S024789 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N2XCAb024788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:33:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230233.h8N2XCAb024788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 230232 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN HAS BECOME DISRUPTED BY THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF THE BAJA PENINSULA...BUT 22/2009Z TRMM AND 23/0117Z SSMI OVERPASSES INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAD REMAINED INTACT. HOWEVER...RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM SANTA ROSALITA SUGGEST THAT THE LOW-LEVEL AND MID-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS ARE BECOMING ELONGATED...AND MAY BE STARTING TO DECOUPLE. THE ADVISORY POSITION IS A BLEND BETWEEN THE SURFACE POSITION ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND THE MID-LEVEL SATELLITE FIX POSITIONS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS A BLEND OF SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77/65/45 KT FROM TAFB/ SAB/AFWA...RESPECTIVELY. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 345/18. THERE WAS SOME ACCELERATION TO 21 KT EARLIER...BUT THE RECENT MICROWAVE POSITION SUGGESTS THAT MARTY HAS SLOWED DOWN A LITTLE. OTHERWISE...THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK REASONING. THE TRACK WAS SHIFTED TO THE LEFT...BUT ONLY DUE TO THE MORE WESTWARD INITIAL POSITION BASED ON THE MICROWAVE LOW-LEVEL CENTER LOCATIONS BEING CLOSER TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST. MARTY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO BEFORE IT GETS PICKED UP BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING NORTHWARD AROUND THE EAST SIDE OF A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW CENTERED ABOUT 800 NMI WEST OF SAN DIEGO. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BECOME SEPARATED FROM THE MID-/UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION IN ABOUT 36 TO 48 HOURS AFTER MOVING INLAND. THE LATTER CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY BECOME ABSORBED INTO THE LARGER UPPER-LOW OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THEN CLOSE TO THE GFDL MODEL FORECAST TRACK AFTER THAT. WHILE THERE MAY A FEW BRIEF BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT...UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS...THE GENERAL TREND SHOULD BE FOR STEADY WEAKENING AS THE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW OVER THE RATHER NARROW NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA BECOMES CONSTRICTED BY THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF MAINLAND AND BAJA MEXICO. THE GFDL AND MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS NOW SHOW THAT SOME OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE FUTURE REMNANTS OF MARTY WILL PROBABLY AFFECT THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 28.0N 112.3W 60 KT 12HR VT 23/1200Z 29.4N 112.8W 55 KT 24HR VT 24/0000Z 31.0N 113.3W 45 KT...NEAR MAINLAND MEXICO 36HR VT 24/1200Z 32.0N 113.6W 30 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 25/0000Z 33.2N 113.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 72HR VT 26/0000Z 34.2N 114.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND 96HR VT 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 11:02:49 2003 X-UIDL: 40249-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G8DBOMIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:45:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N2k8Vk048852 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:46:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLPt070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:34:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1025432 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:34:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N2YDX9047528 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:34:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N2Y97S024807 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N2Y9pr024805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:34:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230234.h8N2Y9pr024805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 230233 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 ..MARTY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER... AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM HUATABAMPITO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BAHIA KINO MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH ..33 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARTY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ..185 KM...FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREAS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OUTSIDE THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SOME OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH MARTY MAY SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...28.0 N...112.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 13:06:39 2003 X-UIDL: 40257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G6REV1IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:54:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N3sjVk058597 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:54:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLSJ070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:47:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1026375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:47:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N3lOX9055994 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:47:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N3lK7S025616 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N3lKBo025615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:47:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230347.h8N3lKBo025615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 230400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 017 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 13E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 27.1N0 112.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.0N0 112.3W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 29.4N5 112.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 31.0N4 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 32.0N5 113.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 33.2N8 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 34.2N9 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230000Z5 POSITION NEAR 27.1N0 112.1W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 405 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230000Z5 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231000Z6, 231600Z2, 232200Z9, AND 240400Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 13:06:39 2003 X-UIDL: 40258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GL4EZ7IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:57:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N3vAUQ041897 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:57:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OOF021164; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1026404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N3oRX9059492 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N3oN7S025658 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N3oNsX025657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 24 Hrs, Valid At: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230350.h8N3oNsX025657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 230400 RRB 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 31.0N4 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 32.0N5 113.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 33.2N8 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 34.2N9 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230000Z5 POSITION NEAR 27.1N0 112.1W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 405 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230000Z5 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231000Z6, 231600Z2, 232200Z9, AND 240400Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 13:06:39 2003 X-UIDL: 40259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GLWEZFIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:57:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N3vPUQ041962 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:57:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLSN070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1026401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N3oRX9054104 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N3oN7S025656 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N3oNoZ025654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:50:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230350.h8N3oNoZ025654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 230400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 017 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 13E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 27.1N0 112.1W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.0N0 112.3W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 29.4N5 112.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 13:06:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40260-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GPQFABIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 12:03:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N43vVk059852 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 12:03:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OOJ021164; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:56:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1026526 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N3ujX9007792 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:56:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N3uf7S025715 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:56:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N3ufx3025714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:56:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:56:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230356.h8N3ufx3025714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 230356 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 22 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE MARTY WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AT 23/0300 AND IS CENTERED NEAR 28.0N 112.3W AT 23/0300 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 18 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 95W/96W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM MARTY... SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS MOVED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ALL ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER MEXICO AND THE SW UNITED STATES. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS STILL COVER THE BAJA PENINSULA N OF 24N E OF 115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N91W 9N104W 12N114W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 120W AND WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N87W TO INLAND OVER COSTA RICA NEAR 11N86W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 8N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF THE AXIS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7N104.5W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO BETWEEN 87W AND 101W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY COVERS THE AREA FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 97W AND 106W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 13:06:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G73HYDIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 13:01:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N51YUQ049680 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 13:01:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLUL070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 23:53:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1027300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 23:53:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N4rEX9059482 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 23:53:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N4rA7S026282 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 23:53:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N4rAUj026281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 23:53:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 23:53:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230453.h8N4rAUj026281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 230453 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BAHIA KINO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 14:47:48 2003 X-UIDL: 40269-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GGFKN1IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 13:59:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N5xZVk075118 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 13:59:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N52JZh072802; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1028398 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N5i7X9047166 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N5i37S026759 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N5i3XB026758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230544.h8N5i3XB026758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z-240600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221800Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (CHOI-WAN) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 222100) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 10.0N1 141.0E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 140.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER A BROAD LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANALYSIS OF RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY AT 222250Z3 SUGGESTS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL WEAK AND NOT VERY WELL DEFINED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL POINT SOURCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 14:47:50 2003 X-UIDL: 40270-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GOAKP2IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 14:00:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N60mVk075327 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 14:00:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N52JZj072802; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:54:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1028519 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:54:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N5sjX9038748 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:54:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N5sf7S026824 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N5sfxM026823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:54:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 17a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230554.h8N5sfxM026823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 230554 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 ..MARTY SLOWS AS IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER... AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM HUATABAMPITO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BAHIA KINO MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARTY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ..185 KM...FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREAS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OUTSIDE THE WARNING AREAS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SOME OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH MARTY MAY SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...28.2 N...112.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 14:47:52 2003 X-UIDL: 40273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GNJLAYIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 14:13:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N6DsVk077257 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 14:13:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLVr070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 01:05:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1028610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 01:05:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N65sX9047290 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 01:05:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N65o7S026935 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 01:05:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N65ouo026934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 01:05:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 01:05:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230605.h8N65ouo026934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 230605 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 22 2003 ..CORRECTED TO CHANGE HURRICANE MARTY TO TROPICAL STORM MARTY FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BAHIA KINO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 16:07:49 2003 X-UIDL: 40279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G7UPZDIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:54:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N7snVk089234 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:54:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLX3070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 02:50:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1029224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 02:50:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N7oUX9041566 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 02:50:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N7oQ7S027795 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 02:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N7oQNE027794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 02:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 02:50:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230750.h8N7oQNE027794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 230750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON SEP 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 16:48:42 2003 X-UIDL: 40284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G89SDIIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:46:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N8kfhi002361 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:46:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jXJ070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1029411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N8V7X9041498 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N8V47S028311 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N8V45H028310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230831.h8N8V45H028310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 230830 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0900Z TUE SEP 23 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER... AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 112.8W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 200SE 30SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 112.8W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N 112.6W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 31.0N 114.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.0N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 112.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 16:48:43 2003 X-UIDL: 40285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G8ASDIIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:46:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N8kehi002357 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:46:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jXH070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1029408 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N8V5X9041492 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N8V27S028306 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N8V2q3028305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:31:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230831.h8N8V2q3028305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 230830 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 DEEP CONVECTION IS DIMINISHING AND BECOMING INCREASINGLY SEPARATED FROM THE CIRCULATION CENTER. AVERAGING THE 06Z T AND CI NUMBERS YIELDS 45 KT FROM AFWA AND SAB...AND 55 KT FROM TAFB. SINCE THE CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DIMINISH SINCE THEN...THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS SET AT THE LOW END OF THIS RANGE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 335/12. MARTY CONTINUES UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA BUT THE FORWARD SPEED IS DECREASING AS INDICATED BY EARLIER TRACK GUIDANCE. MARTY IS BUMPING UP AGAINST A MID-LEVEL HIGH CENTERED OVER NEVADA AND THE FORWARD SPEED SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOW. THE GFDL IN FACT SUGGESTS THAT MARTY WILL NOT MOVE VERY FAR FROM ITS CURRENT POSITION...WHILE THE GFS BRINGS THE CENTER INTO THE EXTREME NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA BEFORE STALLING IT. OTHER MODELS ARE HAVING A HARD TIME HOLDING ON TO A TRACKABLE CENTER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND STALLS THE CYCLONE IN THE NORTHERN GULF. THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL TURN FROM SOUTHERLY TO WESTERLY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO BUT REMAIN STRONG. THIS SHEARING FLOW...COUPLED WITH THE DISRUPTING INFLUENCES OF NEARBY HIGH TERRAIN...IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN CONTINUED WEAKENING UNTIL THE CYCLONE DISSIPATES... PERHAPS WITH 24-36 HOURS. MOISTURE AND RAINS FROM MARTY ARE SPREADING INTO ARIZONA...NEW MEXICO...AND WEST TEXAS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0900Z 28.8N 112.8W 45 KT 12HR VT 23/1800Z 30.0N 113.5W 40 KT 24HR VT 24/0600Z 31.0N 114.0W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 24/1800Z 31.0N 114.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:34:56 2003 X-UIDL: 40286-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G9WT8SIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:05:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N95Phi004990 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:05:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N52JaF072802; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:45:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1029464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N8joX9052348 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N8jk7S028430 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N8jk80028428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:45:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230845.h8N8jk80028428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 230845 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 ..MARTY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER... AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...EAST OF BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARTY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA DURING THE DAY TODAY. HOWEVER... MOST OF THE HEAVIEST RAINS WITH MARTY ARE LOCATED OVER MAINLAND MEXICO WELL TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ..140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREAS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARTY...PARTICULARLY OVER MAINLAND MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SOME OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH MARTY IS SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF ARIZONA...NEW MEXICO...AND EXTREME WESTERN TEXAS. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...28.8 N...112.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:07 2003 X-UIDL: 40288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G7IVEWIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:52:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N9qG6F008176 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:52:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jXZ070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1029671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N9joX9058302 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N9jk7S028924 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N9jkNF028923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:45:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230945.h8N9jkNF028923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 230945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 22N176E TO 22N170W AND WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 25N165W TO 32N158W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 27N157W TO 30N155W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 31N155W. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N148W TO 08N144W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 12N158W TO 09N156W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 06N160W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 09N162W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 12N165W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09N173W TO 11N170W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 04N176W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 01N179W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 09S162W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S162W 12S157W 14S164W. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 240 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S180 TO 15S171W TO 35S160W AND FURTHER SOUTH MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 10S176W. LOW...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 25S140W. FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 21S131W TO 26S125W TO 25S120W AND FURTHER EAST REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT/TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:09 2003 X-UIDL: 40290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G8AVSQIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 18:00:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NA0Zhi011495 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 18:00:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N52Jaj072802; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:51:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1029721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N9pHX9041474 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:51:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N9p97S028980 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:51:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N9p9t2028979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:51:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:51:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230951.h8N9p9t2028979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 018 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 13E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 28.4N4 112.6W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.4N4 112.6W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 30.0N3 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 31.0N4 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.1N5 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230600Z1 POSITION NEAR 28.4N4 112.6W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231600Z2, 232200Z9, 240400Z0, AND 241000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:10 2003 X-UIDL: 40292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GW2W31IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 18:06:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NA6k6F009777 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 18:06:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFKCuJ054920; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1029763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N9sGX9041516 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N9sC7S029012 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N9sC0c029010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Southeast Of San Diego, Ca, Has Tracked North-northwest At 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230954.h8N9sC0c029010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 RRB SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231600Z2, 232200Z9, 240400Z0, AND 241000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:11 2003 X-UIDL: 40293-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GCLWA0IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 18:10:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NAAwhi012432 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 18:11:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jXh070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1029760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N9sGX9024600 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N9sC7S029011 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N9sCp8029009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:54:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230954.h8N9sCp8029009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 018 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 13E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 28.4N4 112.6W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.4N4 112.6W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 30.0N3 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 31.0N4 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.1N5 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230600Z1 POSITION NEAR 28.4N4 112.6W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:11 2003 X-UIDL: 40294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GO0WG7IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 18:14:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NAEf6F010727 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 18:14:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jXl070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:58:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1029812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:58:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N9wZX9051476 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:58:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N9wV7S029056 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:58:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N9wVMh029055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:58:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:58:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230958.h8N9wVMh029055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 230958 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 22 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM IS CENTERED NEAR 28.8N 112.8W AT 23/0900 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W/98W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM MARTY... MARTY IS NOW OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. ALL ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS WELL REMOVED FROM THE CIRCULATION INLAND OVER N MEXICO AND THE SW UNITED STATES. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS STILL COVER THE BAJA PENINSULA N OF 26N E OF 116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N91W 11N103W 12N114W 6N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 116W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 93W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM ECUADOR TO PANAMA...N OF 15N THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 94W TO 97.5W...INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 101W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11.5N88.5W TO ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR 9N84W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N104W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR 18N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF THE AXIS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 6.5N102.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40296-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GYRYQZIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 19:04:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NB4K6F017347 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 19:04:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jYF070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 05:49:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1030067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 05:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NAn2X9048562 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 05:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NAmw7S029545 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 05:48:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NAmwsr029544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 05:48:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 05:48:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231048.h8NAmwsr029544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 231048 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED ABOUT 35 MILES EAST OF BAHIA DE LOS ANGELES. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:15 2003 X-UIDL: 40299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00G1H2IWIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 20:25:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NCPrhi025843 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 20:25:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jZ3070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 07:05:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1030507 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 07:05:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NC50X9059542 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 07:05:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NC4u7S000273 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 07:04:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NC4uoG000272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 07:04:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 07:04:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 18a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231204.h8NC4uoG000272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 231204 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER... AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER. WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 113.2 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES ..240 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...20 KM/HR. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARTY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING UP THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA DURING THE DAY TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 72 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ..140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.52 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS SHOULD BE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARTY...PARTICULARLY OVER MAINLAND MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. SOME OF THE RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH MARTY IS SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF ARIZONA...NEW MEXICO...AND EXTREME WESTERN TEXAS. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...29.4 N...113.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:17 2003 X-UIDL: 40301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00G3X74FIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:05:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NE57hi037063 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:05:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jcF070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 08:50:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1031907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 08:50:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NDoUX9016172 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 08:50:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NDoQ7S002302 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 08:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NDoQY0002301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 08:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 08:50:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231350.h8NDoQY0002301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 231350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE SEP 23 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR 11N146W. ALTHOUGH IT SHOWED UP CLEARLY AS A SPIRAL IN THE SURFACE WIND AND LOW CLOUD FIELDS...IT HAD ALMOST NO DEEP CONVECTION AND SHOWED NO SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:33 2003 X-UIDL: 40306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00GWS8O6IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:38:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NEcdhi041405 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:38:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jdX070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1032396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NEN4X9047352 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NEN07S003445 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NEN0I7003444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231423.h8NEN0I7003444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 231422 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 .MARTY WEAKENING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER...AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST. THIS POSITION IS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 115 MILES...190 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ..185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS SHOULD BE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING TODAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARTY OVER MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL COULD SPREAD INTO THE EXTREME SOUTH PORTION OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES AND RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...29.8 N...113.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:33 2003 X-UIDL: 40307-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00G5P8RZIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:40:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NEeuhi041684 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:40:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jdj070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1032413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NENUX9047108 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NENR7S003456 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NENQUN003455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:23:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Forecast/advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231423.h8NENQUN003455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 231423 TCMEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 1500Z TUE SEP 23 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER...AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 113.4W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 113.4W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 113.2W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.5N 113.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N 114.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.0N 114.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 113.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:34 2003 X-UIDL: 40308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00GNQ8ZKIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:45:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NEjV6F044297 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:45:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jdV070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:22:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1032388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:22:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NEM3X9004392 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:22:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NELx7S003410 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:21:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NELxio003408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:21:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:21:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Discussion Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231421.h8NELxio003408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 231421 TCDEP3 TROPICAL STORM MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 330/10 BASED ON A POORLY DEFINED CENTER POSITION ESTIMATE FROM INFRARED IMAGERY. THE FORWARD SPEED WAS 21 KNOTS ONLY 12 HOURS AGO. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES THAT SHOULD QUICKLY BRING MARTY TO A STALL OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES KEEP MARTY AS A TROPICAL STORM AND A RECENT 30-KNOT SURFACE OBSERVATION FROM PUERTO PENASAO SUPPORTS THIS. EXCEPT FOR A SMALL BURST NEAR THE CENTER...MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED OVERNIGHT AND IT IS EXPECTED THAT MARTY WILL WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING AND WARNINGS WILL BE LOWERED. ALL GUIDANCE INDICATES DISSIPATION IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. IN FACT...FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND MARTY MAY ALREADY BE DISSIPATING. MOISTURE OR RAINFALL FROM MARTY IS NEAR THE ARIZONA/MEXICO BORDER AND RAIN OVER WEST TEXAS MAY ALSO BE ATTRIBUTED TO MARTYS LARGE UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 29.8N 113.4W 35 KT 12HR VT 24/0000Z 30.5N 113.8W 25 KT 24HR VT 24/1200Z 31.0N 114.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 25/0000Z 31.0N 114.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:42 2003 X-UIDL: 40312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00G9MCMYIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:04:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NG4I6F054646 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:04:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84ji3070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:44:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1034474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:44:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NFiPX9004368 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:44:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NFiL7S006408 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:44:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NFiLwn006407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:44:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:44:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231544.h8NFiLwn006407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 29.4N5 113.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 29.4N5 113.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 30.5N8 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 31.0N4 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231200Z8 POSITION NEAR 29.4N5 113.2W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232200Z9, 240400Z0, AND 241000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:43 2003 X-UIDL: 40313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00GEMDMZIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:25:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NGPuhi054357 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:25:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jjB070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:07:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1035188 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:07:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NG7IX9047406 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:07:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NG7E7S007288 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:07:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NG7EA4007287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:07:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:07:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231607.h8NG7EA4007287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 231607 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 22 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM MARTY CENTER NEAR 29.8N 113.4W AT 23/1500 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP3/MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W/100W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 102W AND 104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1530 UTC... TROPICAL STORM MARTY... MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DISAPPEARED FOR MARTY. MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 30N TO 31N BETWEEN 112W AND 114W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS SWIRL CYCLONICALLY FROM 24N TO 32N BETWEEN 110W AND 119W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 7N86W 9N91W 7N105W 12N114W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 93W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 97W AND 105W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 120W... AND ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION...UNDERGOING SOME SHEAR BY THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN THE AREA...FROM 11N TO THE MEXICO COAST BETWEEN 92W AND 100W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:44 2003 X-UIDL: 40314-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00JG2FB27X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:01:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NH1xhi058835 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:02:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jkt070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:45:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1036312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NGjdX9041568 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NGjZ7S008481 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:45:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NGjZCh008480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:45:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 11:45:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231645.h8NGjZCh008480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 231645 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM MARTY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:51 2003 X-UIDL: 40317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00G3II35IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 02:01:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NI21hi065380 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 02:02:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jpN070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 12:46:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1037396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 12:46:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NHk4X9023704 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 12:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NHk07S010381 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 12:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NHk0Hp010380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 12:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 12:46:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Marty Intermediate Advisory Number 19a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231746.h8NHk0Hp010380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 231745 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARTY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 .MARTY WEAKENING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER...AND FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE COLORADO RIVER. THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED THIS AFTERNOON. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST. THIS POSITION IS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO. MARTY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...139 KM/HR... AND A CONTINUED DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND MARTY WILL LIKELY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ..185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD BE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARTY OVER MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL HAS SPREAD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...AND RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...30.0 N...113.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:55 2003 X-UIDL: 40321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00GN7ND1IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:55:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NJtshi078287 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:55:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84juH070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 14:30:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1039178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 14:30:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NJUvX9038352 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 14:30:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NJUs7S013585 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 14:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NJUr8W013584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 14:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 14:30:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231930.h8NJUr8W013584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 231930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE SEP 23 2003 A CLOUD SPIRAL OR VORTEX CENTERED 865 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 5 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:57 2003 X-UIDL: 40324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00J2SPTP7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:49:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NKnC6F089155 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:49:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NGkABH067072; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:34:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1040654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:34:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NKYhX9016804 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:34:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NKYd7S015214 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NKYdpm015213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:34:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232034.h8NKYdpm015213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 232034 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 ..MARTY WEAKENS INTO A DEPRESSION OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 113.7 WEST. THIS POSITION IS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT 95 MILES...155 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY LITTLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO AN ESTIMATED 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARTY OVER MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL HAS SPREAD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...AND RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...30.1 N...113.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:57 2003 X-UIDL: 40325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00JB4Q2G7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:54:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NKsRhi084663 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:54:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84j0P070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1040498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NKSWX9041664 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NKSS7S015044 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NKSSwF015043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232028.h8NKSSwF015043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 232027 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THERE IS NO LONGER ANY DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH MARTY AND THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS POORLY DEFINED. MARTY IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED. THE CENTER POSITION WAS LOCATED FROM THE YUMA RADAR WHICH SHOWS THE NORTHERN HALF OF WHAT APPEARS TO BE A CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. AND EVEN THE RADAR PRESENTATION WAS LOOKING SLOPPY BY 19Z. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE HAS SLOWED TO 330/03 AS SUGGESTED BY EARLIER GUIDANCE. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS THE DEPRESSION EMBEDDED IN WEAK STEERING CURRENTS AND MEANDERING NEAR THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO...IF NOT SOONER. SOME RAIN HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE BORDER INTO SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND UP TO 4 INCHES IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/2100Z 30.1N 113.7W 30 KT 12HR VT 24/0600Z 30.3N 113.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 24/1800Z 30.5N 114.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 25/0600Z 30.5N 114.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:58 2003 X-UIDL: 40326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00GGKQD2IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:00:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NL0m6F090191 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:00:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N52Jqv072802; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:31:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1040554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NKUxX9062862 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NKUt7S015118 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:30:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NKUtQ3015117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:30:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:30:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Forecast/advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232030.h8NKUtQ3015117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 232030 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 2100Z TUE SEP 23 2003 AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 113.7W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 75SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 113.7W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 113.6W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.3N 113.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.5N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.5N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 113.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:58 2003 X-UIDL: 40328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00JALS867X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:40:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NLf46F094712 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:41:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N52Jtb072802; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1041571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NLJXX9017412 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NLJT7S016349 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NLJTbC016347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232119.h8NLJTbC016347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 232130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/232130Z-240600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 140.3E8, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 139.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED MID-LEVEL ORGANIZATION, WHILE SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST WHICH IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED MID-LEVEL ORGANIZATION AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:59 2003 X-UIDL: 40330-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00GUTTFTIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 06:07:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NM7Fhi091825 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 06:07:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84j5L070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:49:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1042053 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:49:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NLnwX9047350 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:49:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NLns7S017095 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NLnshh017094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:49:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232149.h8NLnshh017094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 232149 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 23 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY CENTER NEAR 30.1N 113.7W AT 23/2100 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP3/MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W/101W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT. THE WAVE CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS BENEATH MODERATE EASTERLIES. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 101W TO 106W AND FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 103W TO 108W. ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 32N130W STATIONARY. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE CUT-OFF SYSTEM...MAINLY STRATIFORM CLOUDS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2130 UTC... DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY... SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS THAT THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY...AND HAS MOVED NE OVER THE MEXICO/ARIZONA BORDER. THE YUMA AZ RADAR INDICATES A HINT OF CYCLONIC ROTATION PERSISTING OVER THE NORTHERN SEA OF CORTEZ. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 3N77W 7N85W 8N100W 12N113W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 80 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 89W AND WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 98W TO 101W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:00 2003 X-UIDL: 40331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00JQ5TXC7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 06:17:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NMHkhi092866 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 06:17:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MFKCB9054920; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:57:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1042156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:57:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NLvPX9007890 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:57:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NLvL7S017234 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NLvLMY017233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:57:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232157.h8NLvLMY017233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 232200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 020 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 13E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 30.0N3 113.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 113.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 30.3N6 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 30.5N8 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231800Z4 POSITION NEAR 30.0N3 113.6W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231800Z4 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240400Z0, 241000Z7, AND 241600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:00 2003 X-UIDL: 40333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00J1RUWG7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 06:38:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NMco6F000716 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 06:38:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84j6f070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:17:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1042428 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:17:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NMH8X9033674 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:17:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NMH57S017637 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:17:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NMH5S6017635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:17:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:17:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232217.h8NMH5S6017635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 232200 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 020A CORRECTED DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 13E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 30.0N3 113.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N3 113.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 30.3N6 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 30.5N8 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231800Z4 POSITION NEAR 30.0N3 113.6W1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231800Z4 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240400Z0, 241000Z7, AND 241600Z3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED STORM TITLE IN REMARKS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:01 2003 X-UIDL: 40334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00JK5V6K7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 06:44:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NMishi095323 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 06:44:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N52Jvr072802; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:30:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1042666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NMUeX9045538 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NMUa7S017848 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NMUaed017847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:30:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232230.h8NMUaed017847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 232230 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:01 2003 X-UIDL: 40335-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00JQSVBP7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 06:47:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NMm0hi095555 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 06:48:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N52Jux072802; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:27:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1042515 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:26:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NMQCX9005598 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:26:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NMQ87S017745 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:26:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NMQ8ON017744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:26:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 17:26:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232226.h8NMQ8ON017744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 232226 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 10N145W HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 11N144W 12N146W 11N147W. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...10N140W 10N145W 08N155W AND EXTENDING EAST. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 09N140W 10N142W 06N146W 06N150W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. FRONT...30N155W 25N158W 21N166W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 30N156W 29N155W 25N158W. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 9KT AND INTENSIFIED. TROUGH...16N164W 06N175W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINES 08N165W 05N172W AND 13N168W 09N176W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. SEE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW 1...24S127W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 25NM OF POINT 22S127W. LOW 2...22S142W. NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. LOW 3...12S162W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 70NM OF LINE 12S154W 14S160W 08S162W. FRONT...24S127W 21S126W 10S148W 13S159W 12S162W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT EAST OF 140W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF FRONT WEST OF 140W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. TROUGH...25S167W 10S170W. BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 220 MILES OF LINE 25S164W 18S168W 11S175W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH IN SOUTH PACIFIC...OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:06 2003 X-UIDL: 40353-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00J1I4T57X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:12:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2Co6F025615 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:12:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jCt070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:06:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1045056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:06:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O26jX9013552 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:06:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O26f7S020752 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:06:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O26fLT020751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:06:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:06:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240206.h8O26fLT020751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 240206 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE SEP 23 2003 A CLOUD SPIRAL OR VORTEX CENTERED 800 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 5 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM REMAINS WEAK AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:07 2003 X-UIDL: 40356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JUV5LM7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:29:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2Tv6F027919 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:29:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jDN070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:22:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1045219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:22:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2MRX9058210 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:22:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O2MN7S020888 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:22:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O2MN9X020887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:22:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:22:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Forecast/advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240222.h8O2MN9X020887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 240222 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0300Z WED SEP 24 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 113.9W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 113.9W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 113.8W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.4N 114.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.8N 114.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 32.3N 114.4W...REMNANT LOW INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 113.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:08 2003 X-UIDL: 40359-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JKO5TW7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:34:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2Yt6F028493 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:34:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jDL070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:20:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1045200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:20:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2KkX9020526 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:20:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O2Kg7S020876 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:20:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O2Kg35020875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:20:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:20:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Discussion Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240220.h8O2Kg35020875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ43 KNHC 240220 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WSR-88D RADAR DATA FROM YUMA ARIZONA INDICATE THAT MARTY HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING...EVEN THOUGH CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED SIGNIFICANTLY. THE YUMA RADAR INDICATES A NEW BAND HAS DEVELOPED TO THE SOUTHWEST AND IS WRAPPING EASTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE...WITH CELL MOTION APPROACHING 40 KT. OTHER NEW CONVECTION OF 40-45 DBZ HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER...WITH A LARGE FIELD OF 30-40DBZ ECHOES LOCATED IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. IN ADDITION... DOPPLER VELOCITIES OF 35-40 KT BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT ARE INDICATED JUST NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WHICH SUGGESTS THAT THERE IS PROBABLY AT LEAST 30 KT AT THE SURFACE. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35/30/30 FROM TAFB/SAB/AFWA ALSO SUPPORT AN INTENSITY OF 30 KT...ALBEIT LIKELY OVER JUST A VERY SMALL AREA IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 345/06. MARTY HAS ACTUALLY BEEN MOVING AT 8-9 KT DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...BUT THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS OF YUMA RADAR DATA SUGGESTS THAT MARTY IS MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS ALL OVER THE COMPASS...WHICH USUALLY SUGGESTS SLOW OR NO FORWARD SPEED. THE BIG QUESTION IS WILL THE SURFACE CENTER MOVE INLAND. MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE SAYS NO AND THEY KEEP THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER...THIS MAY BE AN ARTIFACT OF THE VORTEX TRACKER SINCE SOME OF THE GLOBAL MODELS BRING THE 850 MB CENTER JUST INLAND OVER EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. MOST OF THE NHC MODELS ALSO TAKE THE 500 MB CENTER INLAND NEAR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA AND THEN TURN IT WESTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST MOVES MARTY SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND INLAND IN ABOUT 12 HOURS OR SO BEFORE TURNING IT SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. THIS IS BASED ON THE PREMISE THAT THE CIRCULATION WILL REMAIN DEEP ENOUGH...AS SUGGESTED BY RADAR IMAGERY...AND GET PUSHED NORTHWARD BY THE DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW ON THE EAST SIDE OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ABOUT 650 NMI WEST OF SAN DIEGO. AFTER MOVING INLAND... MARTY SHOULD RAPIDLY WEAKEN INTO A REMNANT LOW...IF NOT SOONER. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL APPEARS LIKELY OVER NORTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO...THE NORTHEASTERN BAJA PENINSULA...AND EXTREME SOUTHERN ARIZONA APPEARS LIKELY GIVEN THE RELATIVELY SLOW FORWARD SPEED AND INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE. COORDINATION WITH WFO PHOENIX INDICATES THAT RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING MAY APPROACH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 30.9N 113.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 24/1200Z 31.4N 114.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 25/0000Z 31.8N 114.2W 20 KT...DISSIPATING INLAND 36HR VT 25/1200Z 32.3N 114.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW INLAND 48HR VT 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:09 2003 X-UIDL: 40362-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JFS6CX7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:46:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2kJhi021528 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:46:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jDl070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:38:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1045484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:38:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2cpX9044802 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:38:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O2cl7S021092 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:38:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O2clwT021091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:38:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:38:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240238.h8O2clwT021091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 240238 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 ..PERISTENT MARTY MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NORTHEN GULF OF CALIFORNIA... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.9 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...60 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM... EAST OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ..11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...MARTY COULD MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE STATE OF SONORA MEXICO WEDNESDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARTY OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...NORTHEASTERN BAJA PENINSULA...AND SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...30.9 N...113.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:13 2003 X-UIDL: 40372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JE69X77X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:03:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O43B6F040976 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:03:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jFn070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:56:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1046401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:56:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O3uhX9037454 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:56:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O3ud7S021921 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O3ud08021920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:56:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240356.h8O3ud08021920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 240400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 30.6N9 113.8W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 113.8W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 31.4N8 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 31.8N2 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 240000Z6 POSITION NEAR 30.6N9 113.8W3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240000Z6 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241000Z7, 241600Z3, AND 242200Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40373-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JZRA2P7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:06:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O46Z6F041403 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:06:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jGD070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:59:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1046470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:59:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O3xOX9020534 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:59:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O3xL7S021937 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:59:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O3xLfp021936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:59:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 22:59:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240359.h8O3xLfp021936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 240359 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 24 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY IS CENTERED NEAR 30.9N 113.9W AT 24/0300 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP3/MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 102W S OF 17N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY... SATELLITE IMAGERY IS VOID OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN/ OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE AREA N OF 27N FROM 110W TO 118W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N87W 9N95W 10N113W 10N126W 6N137W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 94W...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 136W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 139W TO 142W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 95 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 85W IN COSTA RICA THROUGH 99W IN EL SALVADOR. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 20N TO 22N E OF 107W TO INLAND OVER W MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 7N OVER THE ENTIRE GULF OF PANAMA...WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 81W TO 84W...AND WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 8.5N87.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM THE BORDER OF ECUADOR TO 4N. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 13N TO INLAND OVER S MEXICO FROM 96W TO 100W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:55:45 2003 X-UIDL: 40376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JKMBJJ7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:38:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O4cEhi035225 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:38:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jIF070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 23:35:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1046992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 23:35:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O4ZJX9062962 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 23:35:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O4ZF7S022314 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 23:35:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O4ZFBL022313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 23:35:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 23:35:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240435.h8O4ZFBL022313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 240435 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ABOUT 60 MILES EAST OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 15:49:55 2003 X-UIDL: 40386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JKPG2O7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:16:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O6G9hi046550 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:16:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O50nYT072804; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:59:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1047987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:59:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O5x3X9037206 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:59:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O5wx7S023121 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:58:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O5wxCh023119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:58:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:58:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240558.h8O5wxCh023119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 139.9E2, IS RELOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 139.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED OUTFLOW. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST WHICH IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 15:50:04 2003 X-UIDL: 40388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JY9G6T7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:18:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O6Ib6F058516 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:18:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O50nYV072804; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1048042 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O6ARX9055928 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O6AN7S023230 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O6ANSE023228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240610.h8O6ANSE023228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240221ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 139.9E2, IS RELOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 139.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED OUTFLOW. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST WHICH IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 240230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 16:15:27 2003 X-UIDL: 40397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00J7HL3Q7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:04:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O84mhi058451 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:04:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jLj070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:01:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1048676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:01:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O819X9032736 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:01:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O8167S024337 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O815YT024336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:01:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:01:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240801.h8O815YT024336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 240800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE SEP 23 2003 A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND...OR ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU...REMAINS DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 17:51:03 2003 X-UIDL: 40400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JAEMGS7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:34:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O8YDhi062141 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:34:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O50nYv072804; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1048805 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O8TmX9005380 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O8Ti7S024510 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O8Ti0I024509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Forecast/advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240829.h8O8Ti0I024509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 240829 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 0900Z WED SEP 24 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 113.5W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 113.5W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 113.6W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.0N 113.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N 113.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 113.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 17:51:06 2003 X-UIDL: 40402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JJTMJR7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:35:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O8a2hi062358 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:36:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jLv070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:30:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1048809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O8UlX9058194 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O8Uh7S024536 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O8UhOm024535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:30:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Discussion Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240830.h8O8UhOm024535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 240830 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 24 2003 ALTHOUGH MARTY IS GENERATING NO DEEP CONVECTION...IT IS STILL EXHIBITING A WELL-DEFINED LOW CLOUD SWIRL WITH A FEW RAINBANDS VISIBLE ON THE YUMA ARIZONA RADAR. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWED A COUPLE OF 30 KT VECTORS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA...AND SO THAT WILL REMAIN THE ADVISORY INTENSITY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS JUST ABOUT STATIONARY. MARTY IS TRAPPED IN A WEAK STEERING CURRENT SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER NEVADA. NEITHER THE GFS NOR THE UKMET MOVE THEIR RESPECTIVE 850 MB VORTICITY CENTERS MUCH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LIKEWISE CALLS FOR LITTLE MOTION WHILE THE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRIER AIR BEGINNING TO OVERTAKE THE CIRCULATION FROM THE SOUTH...AND THIS HOPEFULLY WILL SOON BEGIN TO REDUCE THE RAINFALL BEING GENERATED BY THE DEPRESSION. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0900Z 30.8N 113.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 24/1800Z 31.0N 113.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 25/0600Z 31.0N 113.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 25/1800Z 31.0N 113.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 17:51:07 2003 X-UIDL: 40403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00J57MQW7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:40:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O8eJhi062778 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:40:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O515Xp037504; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1048802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O8TMX9045432 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O8TF7S024500 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O8TF5Z024499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240829.h8O8TF5Z024499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 240828 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED SEP 24 2003 ..RAINMAKER MARTY MEANDERS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 113.5 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...60 KM...SOUTH OF PUERTO PENASCO. MARTY HAS BEEN MEANDERING OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. LITTLE OVERALL MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARTY IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARTY OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...NORTHEASTERN BAJA PENINSULA...AND SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND/OR MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...30.8 N...113.5 W. MOVEMENT ..STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 21:48:13 2003 X-UIDL: 40412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JN7Q7R7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:55:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O9tDhi070339 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:55:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jMR070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:49:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1049148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:49:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O9nbX9052396 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:49:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O9nX7S025108 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:49:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O9nXjH025107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:49:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:49:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240949.h8O9nXjH025107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 30.7N0 113.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASISTATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.7N0 113.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.0N4 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 31.1N5 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240600Z2 POSITION NEAR 30.7N0 113.6W1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241600Z3, 242200Z0 AND 250400Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 21:48:19 2003 X-UIDL: 40413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JQMQ9I7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:56:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O9uHhi070462 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:56:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jMV070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:51:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1049162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:51:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O9pgX9052424 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:51:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O9pc7S025130 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O9pci3025129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:51:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:51:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240951.h8O9pci3025129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 30.7N0 113.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASISTATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.7N0 113.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.0N4 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 31.1N5 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240600Z2 POSITION NEAR 30.7N0 113.6W1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURREN T INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241600Z3, 242200Z0 AND 250400Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 21:48:20 2003 X-UIDL: 40414-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JDHQV17X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 18:09:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OA9Ahi071855 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 18:09:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jMb070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:01:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1049196 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:01:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OA18X9052232 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:01:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OA157S025218 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:01:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OA14SZ025217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:01:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:01:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241001.h8OA14SZ025217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 241000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N163W 07N147W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13N150W 11N141W 08N142W MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13N168W 10N164W EQ179W 10N179W MOVED WEST 5 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR OTHER DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF POINT 29N161W ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW MOVED SOUTH 5 KT AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 31N154W 24N157W ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT MOVED EAST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N160W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 11.2S 163.0W HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM MAINLY EAST AND SOUTH OF CENTER. ASSOCIATED CB NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S176W 12S169W MOVED EAST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S157W 12S151W 17S156W 13S159W ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE ZONE MOVED EAST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 22S125W 23S119W 27S116W 25S124W ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT MOVED EAST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 21:48:21 2003 X-UIDL: 40416-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JP9QZB7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 18:11:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OABjhi072150 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 18:11:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jMd070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:07:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1049224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:07:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OA71X9052280 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:07:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OA6v7S025263 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:06:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OA6v5r025262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:06:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:06:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241006.h8OA6v5r025262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 241006 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 24 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY IS CENTERED NEAR 30.8N 113.5W AT 24/0900 UTC NEAR STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP3/MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 103W S OF 16N MOVING W AT 10 KT. ..WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1017 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 25N123W TO 21N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY... SATELLITE IMAGERY IS VOID OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN/ OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS COVER THE AREA N OF 27N FROM 111W TO 117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N87W 9N95W 11N121W 6N135W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 80W...FROM 82W TO 85W...FROM 87W TO 90W...FROM 134W TO 137W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N89W TO 12.5N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N87W TO 14N92W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N95.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 7N80W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N90W TO 11N95W AND FROM 14N97W TO 16N103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 21N TO 23N E OF 107W TO INLAND OVER W MEXICO. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 21:48:22 2003 X-UIDL: 40418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00J4XS317X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 18:35:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OAZahi074446 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 18:35:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jMp070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:29:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1049370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:29:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OAT5X9048330 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:29:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OAT17S025464 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:29:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OAT0am025463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:29:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241029.h8OAT0am025463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 241028 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED SEP 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA ABOUT 30 MILES SOUTH OF PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 22:42:00 2003 X-UIDL: 40427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00JIF25Y7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:13:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEDK6F013750 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:13:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jRD070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:01:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1051235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:01:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OE1DX9065738 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:01:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OE197S028809 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:01:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OE19ZM028808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:01:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:01:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241401.h8OE19ZM028808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 241400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED SEP 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 22:42:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00JN92OQ7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:24:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEOVhi098135 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:24:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jRd070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1051389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEG0X9034016 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OEFu7S029229 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:15:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OEFu69029228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:15:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:15:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241415.h8OEFu69029228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 241415 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 24 2003 ..MARTY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER ARIZONA... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.2 WEST...VERY NEAR PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARTY OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...AND SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND/OR MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...31.2 N...113.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 22:42:15 2003 X-UIDL: 40430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00JZ82TT7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:27:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OERehi098581 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:27:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jRh070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1051404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEGLX9038816 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OEGI7S029243 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OEGHlq029242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Discussion Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241416.h8OEGHlq029242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ43 KNHC 241415 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 24 2003 MARTY HAS BECOME A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH MOST OF THE SHALLOW CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OVER MEXICO AND ARIZONA. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS IN A FEW SQUALLS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW DRIER AIR MOVING OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. THIS HOPEFULLY WILL SOON BEGIN TO REDUCE THE RAINFALL BEING GENERATED BY THE DEPRESSION. THE DEPRESSION APPERAS TO BE DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED UNTIL DISSIPATION. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 31.2N 113.2W 25 KT 12HR VT 25/0000Z 31.5N 113.0W 25 KT 24HR VT 25/1200Z 31.5N 113.0W 25 KT 36HR VT 26/0000Z 31.5N 113.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 22:42:15 2003 X-UIDL: 40431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00J9C2YT7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:30:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEUchi098925 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:30:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jRf070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1051395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEG1X9034018 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:16:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OEFv7S029234 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:15:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OEFvqE029231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:15:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:15:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Forecast/advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241415.h8OEFvqE029231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ23 KNHC 241415 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132003 1500Z WED SEP 24 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 113.2W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 113.2W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.1N 113.3W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.5N 113.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N 113.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 2PM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:32 2003 X-UIDL: 40443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00JWW5JJ7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 23:26:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OFQD6F022070 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 23:26:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O5Q3A3067076; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:13:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1052123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:13:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OFDsX9048212 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:13:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OFDo7S001383 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OFDo0S001382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:13:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241513.h8OFDo0S001382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 31.1N5 113.3W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.1N5 113.3W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 31.5N9 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.6N0 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.7N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241200Z9 POSITION NEAR 31.1N5 113.3W8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241200Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:37 2003 X-UIDL: 40444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00JEJ5QJ7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 23:30:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OFUThi005603 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 23:30:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O5Q3AN067076; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1052161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OFGiX9093714 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OFGe7S001467 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OFGesH001465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Pacific Meteorology And Oceanography Center (navpacmetoccen). The Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241516.h8OFGesH001465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 241600 RRB PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:38 2003 X-UIDL: 40445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00JXT5Y77X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 23:34:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OFZ4hi006086 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 23:35:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jUH070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1052158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OFGiX9057364 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OFGe7S001466 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OFGeGe001464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:16:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241516.h8OFGeGe001464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 241600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13E (MARTY) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 31.1N5 113.3W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.1N5 113.3W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 31.5N9 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.6N0 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.7N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241200Z9 POSITION NEAR 31.1N5 113.3W8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13E (MARTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, CA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241200Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:38 2003 X-UIDL: 40448-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00JOV82M7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 00:20:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OGKshi011547 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 00:20:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jVp070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:04:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1052788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:04:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OG4hX9104176 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:04:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OG4d7S003130 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OG4d1d003129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:04:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241604.h8OG4d1d003129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 241604 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 24 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY CENTER NEAR 31.2N 113.2W AT 24/1500 UTC NEAR STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP3/MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W...IN ORDER TO BE CONSISTENT WITH LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUITY OF AN EARLIER WAVE FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE LAST FEW DAYS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W...FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 97W...AND FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 93W AND 95W MORE IN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W/105W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 107W...INCLUDING SOME PART OF THE ITCZ CONVECTION. ..TROUGH FROM 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N131W... CURVING TO 30N127W...TO 27N130W 26N136W 28N141W. OVERCAST STRATIFORM CLOUDS ARE TO THE NORTH OF THIS TROUGH. ..TROUGH ALONG 124W/126W FROM 12N TO 17N. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 122W AND 126W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW BUILDING INTO THE PACIFIC OCEAN TO THE WEST OF THIS LOW CENTER/TROUGH...STILL WEST OF 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1530 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY... MARTY HAS BECOME A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH MOST OF THE SHALLOW CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OVER MEXICO AND ARIZONA. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS ARE 25 KNOTS IN A FEW SQUALLS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW DRIER AIR MOVING OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. IT IS HOPED THAT THIS SOON WILL BEGIN TO REDUCE THE RAINFALL BEING GENERATED BY THE DEPRESSION. THE DEPRESSION APPEARS TO BE DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED UNTIL DISSIPATION. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 10N94W 10N110W 11N118W 7N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION...WITH SOME DISSIPATING CONVECTION DURING THE LAST 4-5 HOURS...WITHIN 120-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00MP88YDNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 00:39:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OGdx6F031324 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 00:40:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jWp070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:29:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1053231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:28:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OGScX9005606 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:28:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OGSY7S003920 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:28:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OGSYJh003919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:28:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 11:28:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241628.h8OGSYJh003919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 241628 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED SEP 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN MEXICO NEAR PUERTO PENASCO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FUTURE INFORMATION ON MARTY SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT3 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:46 2003 X-UIDL: 40456-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00M3FBUYNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:42:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OHghhi022048 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:42:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O50nir072804; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1054183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OHOKX9052424 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OHOG7S005827 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OHOGWL005825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241724.h8OHOGWL005825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DAMRON/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 40458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00M4FBVUNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:43:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OHhG6F040565 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:43:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OGYjZD070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1054180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OHOKX9050876 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OHOG7S005828 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OHOGeW005826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:24:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241724.h8OHOGeW005826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z/251800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DAMRON/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 40461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00MRHD22NA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:08:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OI8bhi025579 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:08:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OH1Lfj038398; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1054776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OHuCX9044962 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OHu87S006984 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OHu8Wr006982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241756.h8OHu8Wr006982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/241800Z-250600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241351ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241200Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 241500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 139.9E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARAS 1.A.(1), 1.B. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DAMRON/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:50 2003 X-UIDL: 40466-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00M3UDNBNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:21:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OILLhi026985 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:21:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OGYjcp070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 13:10:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1055411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 13:10:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OIApX9058634 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 13:10:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OIAl7S007491 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 13:10:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OIAlpL007490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 13:10:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 13:10:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Marty Advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241810.h8OIAlpL007490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KNHC 241810 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED SEP 24 2003 ..CORRECTION FOR THE HEADER OF PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER... ..MARTY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER ARIZONA... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.2 WEST...VERY NEAR PUERTO PENASCO MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARTY OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...AND SOUTHWESTERN ARIZONA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND/OR MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...31.2 N...113.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPEP3 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KWNH...BEGINNING AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:52 2003 X-UIDL: 40469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00MCKJVVNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:35:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OKa76F061643 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:36:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O515id037504; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:30:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1056894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJUYX9067134 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OJUU7S010159 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OJUUil010158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:30:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@lib.siu.edu Message-id: <200309241930.h8OJUUil010158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 241930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED SEP 24 2003 A CLOUD SPIRAL OR VORTEX CENTERED 760 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO BEEN MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST AT 5 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM REMAINS WEAK AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 40472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00MERL6GNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 05:03:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OL426F065030 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 05:04:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OKiEeC024790; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:50:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1058164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:50:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OKobdU065596 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:50:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OKoX7S012693 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OKoXRY012692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:50:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309242050.h8OKoXRY012692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KWNH 242050 TCPEP3 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 24 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 1 PM MST THU SEP 24 2003 ..REMNANTS OF MARTY MOVING INTO THE LAND OF SAGUARO... CURRENT WATCHES/WARNINGS... URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PIMA AND SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. AT 1 PM MST...20Z...THE SURFACE LOW OF MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...113.3 WEST...120 MILES SOUTHEAST OF YUMA ARIZONA. MARTY IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 MPH AND THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS TRACK FOR THE ENSUING 12 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 MPH NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 29.74 INCHES...1007 MB. SELECTED 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES VALID 12Z (5 AM MST) LOCATION STORM TOTAL ======== =========== ORGAN PIPE CACTUS AZ 2.34 AJO AZ 1.36 GREEN VALLEY AZ 1.32 SELLS AZ 1.30 SIERRA VISTA AZ 0.69 BISBEE AZ 0.66 FORT HUACHUCA AZ 0.54 TUCSON AZ 0.51 DOUGLAS INTL AIRPORT AZ 0.40 TOMBSTONE AZ 0.37 TACNA AZ 0.25 GILA BEND AZ 0.21 REFLECTIVITY PATTERNS FROM RADAR INDICATE THAT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER...COCHISE...MARICOPA...PIMA... YUMA COUNTIES. THE DATA ALSO INDICATE MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION NEAR...BRAWLEY...SANTA ROSA...AND SANTA CRUZ WASHES. ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN STILL BE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM MST...20Z...THE SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...113.3 WEST...MOVING EAST NORTHEASTWARD NEAR 5 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 29.74 INCHES OR 1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER ON MARTY WILL BE ISSUED AT 8 PM MST. SZATANEK$$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 40474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00MWTNQ5NA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 05:58:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OLx0hi050932 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 05:59:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgAg2019540; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:48:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1058986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:48:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OLmddU052322 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:48:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OLmZ7S014172 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:48:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OLmZaa014171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:48:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:48:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309242148.h8OLmZaa014171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KWNH 242148 TCPEP3 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 24 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2 PM MST THU SEP 24 2003 ..REMNANTS OF MARTY MOVING INTO THE LAND OF SAGUARO... CURRENT WATCHES/WARNINGS... URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PIMA AND SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. AT 2 PM MST...21Z...THE SURFACE LOW OF MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...113.3 WEST...120 MILES SOUTHEAST OF YUMA ARIZONA. MARTY IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 MPH AND THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS TRACK FOR THE ENSUING 12 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 MPH NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 29.74 INCHES...1007 MB. SELECTED 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES VALID 12Z (5 AM MST) LOCATION STORM TOTAL ======== =========== ORGAN PIPE CACTUS AZ 2.69 AJO AZ 1.36 GREEN VALLEY AZ 1.32 SELLS AZ 1.30 SIERRA VISTA AZ 0.69 BISBEE AZ 0.66 FORT HUACHUCA AZ 0.54 TUCSON AZ 0.51 DOUGLAS INTL AIRPORT AZ 0.40 TOMBSTONE AZ 0.37 TACNA AZ 0.25 GILA BEND AZ 0.21 REFLECTIVITY PATTERNS FROM RADAR INDICATE THAT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER...COCHISE...MARICOPA...PIMA... YUMA COUNTIES. THE DATA ALSO INDICATE MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION NEAR...BRAWLEY...SANTA ROSA...AND SANTA CRUZ WASHES. ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN STILL BE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 2 PM MST...21Z...THE SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...113.3 WEST...MOVING NORTHEASTWARD NEAR 5 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 29.74 INCHES OR 1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER ON MARTY WILL BE ISSUED AT 8 PM MST. SZATANEK ..UPDATED FOR ORGAN PIPE CACTUS RAINFALL...$$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 40475-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00MKNO7MNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 06:09:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OM9Xhi051971 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 06:09:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkj4099082; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:52:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1059053 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:52:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OLq9dU012734 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:52:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OLq57S014263 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:52:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OLq4b2014262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:52:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:52:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309242152.h8OLq4b2014262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KWNH 242151 TCPEP3 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 24 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2 PM MST THU SEP 24 2003 ..REMNANTS OF MARTY MOVING INTO THE LAND OF SAGUARO... CURRENT WATCHES/WARNINGS... URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PIMA AND SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. AT 2 PM MST...21Z...THE SURFACE LOW OF MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...113.3 WEST...120 MILES SOUTHEAST OF YUMA ARIZONA. MARTY IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 MPH AND THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS TRACK FOR THE ENSUING 12 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 MPH NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 29.74 INCHES...1007 MB. SELECTED 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES VALID 12Z (5 AM MST) LOCATION STORM TOTAL ======== =========== ORGAN PIPE CACTUS AZ 2.69 AJO AZ 1.36 GREEN VALLEY AZ 1.32 SELLS AZ 1.30 SIERRA VISTA AZ 0.69 BISBEE AZ 0.66 FORT HUACHUCA AZ 0.54 TUCSON AZ 0.51 DOUGLAS INTL AIRPORT AZ 0.40 TOMBSTONE AZ 0.37 TACNA AZ 0.25 GILA BEND AZ 0.21 REFLECTIVITY PATTERNS FROM RADAR INDICATE THAT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED OVER...COCHISE...MARICOPA...PIMA... YUMA COUNTIES. THE DATA ALSO INDICATE MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION NEAR...BRAWLEY...SANTA ROSA...AND SANTA CRUZ WASHES. ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN STILL BE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 2 PM MST...21Z...THE SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...113.3 WEST...MOVING NORTHEASTWARD NEAR 5 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 29.74 INCHES OR 1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER ON MARTY WILL BE ISSUED AT 8 PM MST. SZATANEK ..UPDATED FOR ORGAN PIPE CACTUS RAINFALL...$$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 40476-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00MXPOJMNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 06:16:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OMGjhi052664 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 06:16:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkjI099082; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:58:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1059151 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:58:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OLwndU053236 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:58:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OLwj7S014392 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:58:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OLwj10014391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:58:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:58:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309242158.h8OLwj10014391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 242158 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 10.5N 149.5W HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF CENTER. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...08N140W 10N145W 06N150W 09N16W AND EXTENDING EAST. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80NM OF LINES 06N141W 11N147W...09N146W 06N150W 07N163W AND 12N163W 08N168W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. CONVERGENCE BAND...30N157W 25N159W. ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. LOW/FRONT...LOW 26N166W WITH FRONT THROUGH 23N170W 24N175W. NEW OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 27N162W 26N166W. NEW OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF FRONT 26N166W 24N167W 23N170W 24N175W. TROUGH...16N164W 08N173W 06N180 AND EXTENDING WEST. OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 07N176W 03N175W 04N179W 07N176W AND ISOLATED CB ELSEWHERE BOUNDED BY 13N170W 07N170W 02N176W 04N180 09N176W 13N170W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE LOW/FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. SEE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF POINT 19N178W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/LOW...FRONT 20S120W 16S125W 11S145W 12S155W TO LOW 11S163W. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM OF FRONT EAST OF 135W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND EXPANDED IN AREA. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT BETWEEN 135W AND 157W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08S161W 14S156W 16S159W 12S161W HAS MOVED EAST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONVERGENCE BAND...20S161W 11S168W 08S177W. ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM HAVE MOVED MOVED NORTH AT 8KT AND DECREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:55 2003 X-UIDL: 40477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00M0HOLTNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 06:17:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OMI46F072832 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 06:18:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkjY099082; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:03:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1059241 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:03:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OM2xdU013502 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:02:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OM2t7S014517 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OM2tN1014516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:02:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:02:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309242202.h8OM2tN1014516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 242202 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 24 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 91W S OF 19N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 106W S OF 18N MOVING W 10 KT. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N125W. A TROUGH EXTENDS S TO 8N130W. ..1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 32N130W. A TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 33N127W 28N127W 25N133W 26N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N100W 12N110W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 93W-100W...AND FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 105W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 123W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 94W-97W...FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 87W-89W...AND FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 123W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:55 2003 X-UIDL: 40478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00MU5PZHNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 06:47:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OMlnhi055907 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 06:47:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkle099082; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:31:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1059969 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OMVldU062870 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OMVh7S014902 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OMVhQT014901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 17:31:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309242231.h8OMVhQT014901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 242231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED SEP 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY...LOCATED OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTHEAST OF YUMA ARIZONA. TWO POORLY-ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAVE FORMED TODAY... ONE ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...AND THE OTHER ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SYSTEMS IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT3 KWNH. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:59 2003 X-UIDL: 40486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00MPWZ29NA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:03:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P23t6F098719 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:03:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfktu099082; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 20:55:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1063305 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 20:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P1tmdU049954 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 20:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P1ti7S017849 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 20:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P1tiJG017848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 20:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 20:55:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250155.h8P1tiJG017848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 250155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED SEP 24 2003 A CLOUD SPIRAL OR VORTEX CENTERED 760 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 5 MILES AN HOUR. THE SYSTEM REMAINS WEAK AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 40488-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00M8BZGBNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:12:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P2CMhi077180 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:12:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgAlC034834; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:07:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1063500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:07:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P27ldU045428 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:07:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P27h7S018047 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:07:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P27hQx018046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:07:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:07:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250207.h8P27hQx018046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ33 KWNH 250207 TCPEP3 PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 25 FOR THE REMNANTS OF TD MARTY NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 7 PM MST THU SEP 24 2003 ..REMNANTS OF MARTY WAS MOVING SLOWLY WEST THIS EVENING... CURRENT WATCHES/WARNINGS...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PIMA AND SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN ARIZONA UNTIL 9 PM MST. AT 7 PM MST...02Z...THE SURFACE LOW OF MARTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...114.1 WEST...75 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF YUMA ARIZONA. MARTY WAS DRIFTING WEST AT 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 20 MPH NEAR THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 29.74 INCHES...1007 MB. SELECTED 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES VALID 12Z (5 AM MST) LOCATION STORM TOTAL ======== =========== ORGAN PIPE CACTUS AZ 2.69 AJO AZ 1.36 GREEN VALLEY AZ 1.32 SELLS AZ 1.30 SIERRA VISTA AZ 0.69 BISBEE AZ 0.66 FORT HUACHUCA AZ 0.54 TUCSON AZ 0.51 DOUGLAS INTL AIRPORT AZ 0.40 TOMBSTONE AZ 0.37 TACNA AZ 0.25 GILA BEND AZ 0.21 THE LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW MARTY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TONIGHT AS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE EAST...WHILE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SHIFTS SLOWLY WEST. RADARS ACROSS ARIZONA CONTINUE TO SHOW POCKETS OF MODERATE RAIN WEDNESDAY EVENING THAT SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARIZONA SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE. ISOLATED HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS LINGERING MOISTURE COMBINES WITH AFTERNOON HEATING. REPEATING THE 7 PM MST...02Z POSITION...THE SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...114.1 WEST...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 29.74 INCHES OR 1007 MB. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF MARTY. ECKERT$$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 11:55:12 2003 X-UIDL: 40501-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR000EG3DCVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:36:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P3axhi088431 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:37:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgAna019540; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:30:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1064869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P3UsdU012766 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P3Uo7S019197 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P3Uo1Q019196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:30:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250330.h8P3Uo1Q019196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 250330 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED SEP 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ON THE REMAINS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY...LOCATED OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YUMA ARIZONA. TWO POORLY-ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUE...ONE ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...AND THE OTHER ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SYSTEMS IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THEY MOVE WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT3 KWNH. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 12:05:42 2003 X-UIDL: 40504-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR00MPT4K5NA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 12:02:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P42ehi092133 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 12:02:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkxm099082; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:54:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1065177 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:54:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P3spdU004420 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:54:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P3sk7S019410 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P3skmZ019409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:54:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250354.h8P3skmZ019409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 250354 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 25 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 92W/93W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 107W/108W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N126W DRIFTING SW. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N123W TO 11N125W. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N134W NEAR STATIONARY. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N90W 12N102W 12N116W 13N125W 7N136W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 88W TO 90W...WITHIN 120/150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 100W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N96W TO 9N102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 95W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 80W TO 81W...INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA 86W TO 91W...AND FROM 19N TO 21N E OF 107W TO INLAND OVER W MEXICO. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 8.5N TO 10N AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 99W TO 101W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:23:20 2003 X-UIDL: 40514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR000O4B6DVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:25:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P6Pb6F032054 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:25:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgAr2019540; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1067205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P6BMdU045440 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P6BI7S021095 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P6BIob021093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250611.h8P6BIob021093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z-260600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N4 135.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/NOREN/WINDES/BIRD/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:23:42 2003 X-UIDL: 40520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR00MZGFQHNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:03:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P8436F043187 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:04:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfk6i099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:59:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1068354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:59:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P7x6dU012688 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:59:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P7x27S021934 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:59:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P7x2X6021933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:59:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:59:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250759.h8P7x2X6021933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 250758 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED SEP 24 2003 A CLOUD SPIRAL OR VORTEX CENTERED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WEST AT 5 TO 10 MILES AN HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED AROUND THIS SYSTEM. BUT THE SYSTEM REMAINS WEAK WITH NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE ALONG THE ITCZ BEWTEEN 09N170W AND 08N180. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:23:45 2003 X-UIDL: 40528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR00M7SIZZNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 17:14:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P9EY6F062221 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 17:14:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfk7Y099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:09:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1068849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:09:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P99gdU036152 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:09:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P99Y7S022750 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:09:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P99YAH022749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:09:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:09:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250909.h8P99YAH022749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 250909 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU SEP 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TWO POORLY-ORGANIZED AREAS OF DISTURBED WEATHER CONTINUE...ONE ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...AND THE OTHER ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THESE SYSTEMS IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THEY MOVE WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:23:49 2003 X-UIDL: 40534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR00MIXKVNNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 17:54:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P9t9hi034580 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 17:55:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfk7k099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:49:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1069119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:49:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P9npdU033868 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:49:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P9nk7S023099 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:49:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P9nkQk023098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:49:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:49:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250949.h8P9nkQk023098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 250949 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 25 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W N OF 9N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 108W/109W S OF 19N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N127W DRIFTING W. ..THE 1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 12N134W IS NOW A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 15N132W TO 9N138W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N92W 12N110W 14N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 89W...WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 83W...AND S OF THE AXIS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N119W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N99W TO 17N102W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 5N...WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 95W TO 96W...WITHIN A 60/75 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N98.5W...AND N OF 17N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 101W TO 103W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OFF THE COAST FROM COSTA RICA TO GUATEMALA WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N84W TO 13N92W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:23:49 2003 X-UIDL: 40536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR00MWML55NA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 18:00:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PA0p6F067754 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 18:00:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfk7s099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1069196 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P9tTdU014138 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P9tP7S023151 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P9tPcu023150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:55:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250955.h8P9tPcu023150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 250955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N151W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED THROUGH 48 HOURS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 09N149W 06N141W AND BOUNDED BY 10N180 10N170W 05N180 MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG LINE 18N161W 23N158W SLOWLY DISSIPATING. BROKEN CUMULUS/TCU ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK LOW NEAR 27N163W MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST 15 KT. WEAK FRONTAL BAND ALONG LINE 27N161W 24N164W 21N172W SLOWLY DISSIPATING. ISOLATED CB 45-300 NM NORTHEAST OF THE LOW INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 18S120W 13S133W MOVING EAST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG LINE 13S138W 10S150W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. FRONT THROUGH 25S157W 16S162W MOVING SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 250 NM OF FRONT. WEAK LOW NEAR 13S162W MOVING SOUTHEAST 5 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM 08S171W THROUGH 07S180 DRIFTING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB/TCU ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE HAVE DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:13 2003 X-UIDL: 40549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR0003KV8NVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 21:38:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PDcvhi058431 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 21:38:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkDa099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:27:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1071773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PDRVdU033964 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PDRR7S025831 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:27:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PDRRUV025830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:27:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:27:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309251327.h8PDRRUV025830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 251326 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI ISSUED BY NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM HST THU SEP 25 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:25 2003 X-UIDL: 40565-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS00MAT288NA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 00:09:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PG9shi074589 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 00:09:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkOK099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1074711 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:55:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PFt7dU054896 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:55:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PFt27S000671 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:55:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PFt246000670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:55:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:55:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309251555.h8PFt246000670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 251554 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 25 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W IS REPOSITIONED EWD TO ALONG 904 N OF 2N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 86W BETWEEN 92W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 15N BETWEEN 97W-103W. ..A 1012 MB DISSIPATING LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N127W DRIFTING W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 125W-127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N90W 10N110W 13N125W 8N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 100W-104W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:26 2003 X-UIDL: 40566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS000SW2JEVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 00:16:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PGGahi075310 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 00:16:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkOg099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:04:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1074850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:04:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PG4idU016434 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:04:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PG4e7S001007 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:04:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PG4egf001006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:04:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:04:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309251604.h8PG4egf001006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 251604 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU SEP 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:31 2003 X-UIDL: 40577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS0000J57PVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PHEMhi082605 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgA2w034834; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1076197 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PGxLdU013800 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PGxH7S002685 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PGxH7N002683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309251659.h8PGxH7N002683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/DAMRON/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:31 2003 X-UIDL: 40578-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS0003058FVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PHEp6F018757 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgA7Y019540; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1076205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PGxLdU091278 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PGxH7S002686 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PGxHI3002684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:59:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309251659.h8PGxHI3002684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z/261800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/DAMRON/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:37 2003 X-UIDL: 40586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS000I7CBQVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:47:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PJm2hi010565 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:48:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgACO019540; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:30:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1079959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PJUIdU091200 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PJUE7S006873 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PJUEuN006872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:30:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309251930.h8PJUEuN006872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 251930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI ISSUED BY NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM HST THU SEP 25 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS DECREASED...AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:41 2003 X-UIDL: 40594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS000TWG9WVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 05:13:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLDMhi021175 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 05:13:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PJsIjM099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:51:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1081924 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PKp1dU023490 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PKov7S009442 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PKovHS009441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:50:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309252050.h8PKovHS009441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 252050 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI ISSUED BY TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2030 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 11N153W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED THROUGH 48 HOURS. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 08N152W 07N141W MOVING WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N163W 07N159W MOVING WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 09N178W 11N171W MOVING WEST 10 KT DECREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG LINE 17N162W 23N158W SLOWLY DISSIPATING. BROKEN CUMULUS/TCU ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK LOW NEAR 29N159W MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST 15 KT. WEAK FRONTAL BAND ALONG LINE 27N158W 24N162W 21N172W SLOWLY DISSIPATING. OCCASIONAL CB 120-200 NM EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE LOW INCREASED IN INTENSITY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF 15N170W STATIONARY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT THROUGH 17S120W 13S130W 11S150W STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. TROUGH ALONG LINE 23S120W 16S140W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG TROUGH. TROUGH 11N160W TO LOW 1009 MB NEAR 14S163W MOVING SOUTHEAST 20 KT...WITH TROUGH SOUTH FROM LOW THROUGH 20S157W 25S155W MOVING SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 240 NM EAST OF TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM 08S167W THROUGH 07S180 DRIFTING NORTHWEST. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:43 2003 X-UIDL: 40599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS000ZKJ3PVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 06:14:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PMEQ6F054474 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 06:14:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUffM072086; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:57:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1083589 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:57:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLvpdU031448 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:57:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PLvl7S011021 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:57:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PLvlej011020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:57:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:57:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309252157.h8PLvlej011020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 252157 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 25 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 92W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 109W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N126W DRIFTING W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 125W-127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N85W 11N110W 12N125W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 95W-105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 94W-96W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:46 2003 X-UIDL: 40603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS000PRMSYVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 07:34:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PNYN6F063092 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 07:34:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfhi072086; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 18:24:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1085034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 18:24:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PNORdU015446 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 18:24:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PNOM7S012476 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 18:24:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PNOM4M012475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 18:24:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 18:24:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309252324.h8PNOM4M012475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 252324 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU SEP 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:54 2003 X-UIDL: 40611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS000RUTJEVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:59:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q1xo6F079779 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:59:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfm8072086; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 20:55:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1087833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 20:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q1tbdU051802 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 20:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q1tX7S015119 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 20:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q1tXGD015118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 20:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 20:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260155.h8Q1tXGD015118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 260155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU SEP 25 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF SOUTH POINT ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...AND HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:54:38 2003 X-UIDL: 40627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS004GZYL1KC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:48:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q3mp6F093174 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:48:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfqi072086; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:44:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1089881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:44:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q3iVdU054918 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:44:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q3iR7S016280 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:44:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q3iRJh016279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:44:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:44:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260344.h8Q3iRJh016279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 260344 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 26 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 111W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N126W NEAR STATIONARY. ..A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 29N115W DRIFTING SW. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 32N134W MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING S ALONG 30N131W THEN SW TO 24N140W. ..A WEAK 1020 MB HIGH IS LOCATED 27N125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N90W 11N103W 13N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 103W FROM 8N ACROSS THE AXIS TO 13N. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150/180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 118W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 93W TO 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM COLOMBIA TO 9N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 14:25:20 2003 X-UIDL: 40631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS004Q5ZN3KC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 12:11:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q4Bahi065990 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 12:11:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgAOc019540; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 23:05:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1090134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 23:05:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q45WdU069476 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 23:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q45S7S016461 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 23:05:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q45Shx016460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 23:05:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 23:05:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260405.h8Q45Shx016460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 260405 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU SEP 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 14:25:26 2003 X-UIDL: 40637-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT004H85PJKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 14:22:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q6Mk6F009712 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 14:22:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfus072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1092019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q6EAdU032728 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q6E67S017661 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q6E6VE017659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260614.h8Q6E6VE017659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z-270600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 135.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 610 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, AND QUASISTATIONARY DURING THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/NOREN/WINDES/PHILIPS/BIRD/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 18:45:35 2003 X-UIDL: 40648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT004B894OKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:36:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q7aPhi086692 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:36:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfvC072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 02:30:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1092308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 02:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q7UbdU070370 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 02:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q7UX7S018247 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 02:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q7UXnB018246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 02:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 02:30:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260730.h8Q7UXnB018246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 260730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU SEP 25 2003 A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WHICH HAD BEEN SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS HAS DISSIPATED. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 18:45:45 2003 X-UIDL: 40654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT0045DEOTKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:36:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q9ag6F034232 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:36:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfxw072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:31:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1093261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:31:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q9VrdU067164 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:31:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q9Vn7S019385 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q9Vna6019384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:31:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:31:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260931.h8Q9Vna6019384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 260931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 26 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 95W S OF 16N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 113W S OF 17N MOVING W 15-20 KT. ..THE LOW CENTERED NEAR 15N126W IS NOW A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 126W/127W FROM 9N TO 17N. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N133W THEN SW ALONG 28N136W TO BEYOND 26N140W. ..A WEAK 1020 MB HIGH IS LOCATED 25N125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N93W 13N113W 11N122W 11N133W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 106W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM N OF AXIS FROM 107W TO 116W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 8N TO THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 125W AND WITHIN 180 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 102W TO 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF SW MEXICO S OF 20N W OF 104W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N98W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 17N10W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 94W TO 99W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 11N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 92W TO 100W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 18:45:45 2003 X-UIDL: 40657-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT004DFFGVKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:53:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q9rI6F036198 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:53:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUf04072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1093300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q9jodU051508 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q9jk7S019478 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q9jjNt019477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:45:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260945.h8Q9jjNt019477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 260945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WHICH HAD BEEN NEAR 11N153W HAS DISSIPATED. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...08N140W 07N143W 12N150W 06N168W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 10N163W 09N160W 07N165W 10N163W. FRONT/SHEARLINE 1...30N154W 27N156W 24N160W EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 22N170W. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 8KT AND WEAKENED. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED. SHEARLINE 2...30N170W 27N180 CONTINUING NORTH OF 30N AS FRONT AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 9KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE 1 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE 1 AND SHEARLINE 2 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. SEE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF POINT 10N179W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT 16S120W 13S125W EXTENDING EAST OF 120W AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE THROUGH 10S145W. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 80NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. CONVERGENCE ZONE...25S151W 19S152W 11S160W 08S170W 07S180 AND EXTENDING WEST. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 70NM OF LINE 16S149W 14S152W HAVE MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 20KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 12S158W 09S165W 07S180 HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 18:45:46 2003 X-UIDL: 40660-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT0046NGPXKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 18:20:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QAKZhi004860 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 18:20:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgASq019540; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 05:10:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1093385 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 05:10:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QAAfdU012368 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 05:10:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QAAb7S019708 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 05:10:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QAAako019707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 05:10:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 05:10:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309261010.h8QAAako019707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 261010 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI SEP 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:11 2003 X-UIDL: 40673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT004OWPVEKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:38:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QDcChi024288 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:38:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgAVS019540; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 08:30:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1094697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 08:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QDUYdU080664 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 08:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QDUU7S022247 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 08:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QDUUsh022246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 08:30:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 08:30:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309261330.h8QDUUsh022246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 261330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI SEP 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:21 2003 X-UIDL: 40682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT004BGWBUKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:57:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QFvhhi039286 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:57:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUf9U072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 10:50:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1097076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 10:50:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QFnxdU037504 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 10:49:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QFnt7S026763 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 10:49:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QFntLJ026762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 10:49:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 10:49:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309261549.h8QFntLJ026762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 261549 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 26 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W/97W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 93W-98W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W SOUTH OF 15N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 108W-113W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N128W TO 17N128W MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 127W-129W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 34N136W TO 30N134W 24N140W. ..1019 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 26N126W WITH BROAD HIGH PRES NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 110W-133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 13N96W 8N120W 11N127W 12N134W 8N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-125W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-18N BETWEEN 100W-106W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 15N139W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:23 2003 X-UIDL: 40685-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT0045DY3TKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 00:35:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QGa36F081040 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 00:36:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfBY072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:18:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1097745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:18:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QGIrdU081894 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:18:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QGIn7S027835 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:18:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QGInOK027834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:18:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:18:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309261618.h8QGInOK027834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 261618 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI SEP 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/SISKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:30 2003 X-UIDL: 40695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU004PO8C9KC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:16:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QKHA6F006398 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:17:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QJp6g4034834; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:02:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1102763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 14:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QJtZdU013340 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 14:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QJtU7S004181 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 14:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QJtUlt004180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 14:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 14:55:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309261955.h8QJtUlt004180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 261955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI SEP 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:32 2003 X-UIDL: 40700-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU004HLDDIKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 06:05:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QM5r6F016980 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 06:05:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QLdCeW091206; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 16:55:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1107876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 16:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QLtfdU085552 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 16:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QLta7S007562 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 16:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QLtaDS007561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 16:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 16:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309262155.h8QLtaDS007561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 262155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 08N160W 08N165W 07N166W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N172W 30N166W 26N176W 26N180 27N180 29N174W. FEATURE HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT AND SOUTH AT 5 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12N176W 12N179W 07N176E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05S167W 11S158W 12S160W 09S169W 08S175W 05S176W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S147W 18S149W 19S155W 16S155W 11S149W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 15 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 20S151W 22S146W 25S147W 25S153W 22S154W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 06S178W 06S179E HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 2 KT IN 9 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:32 2003 X-UIDL: 40701-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU004M5ECKKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 06:26:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QMQw6F018526 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 06:27:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QM1me2102586; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:18:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1108407 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QMIedU038730 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:18:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QMIZ7S007920 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:18:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QMIZ0H007919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:18:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:18:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309262218.h8QMIZ0H007919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 262218 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 26 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ASSOCIATED CONVECTION DESCRIBED BELOW UNDER ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N128W ALONG 13N129W TO 17N129W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1011 MB LOW NEAR 34N136W ALONG 30N134W TO 24N140W. ..1019 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 26N126W WITH ASSOCIATED BROAD HIGH PRES COVERING THE AREA NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF TROUGH AND LOW. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2145 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N96W 10N110W 8N120W 11N129W 12N134W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W-109W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W-93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 108W-110W. $$ AGUIRRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:33 2003 X-UIDL: 40704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU004J6G1RKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 07:03:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QN3f6F022316 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 07:03:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QM1mg2102586; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:56:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1109161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QMumdU024024 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:56:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QMui7S008431 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:56:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QMuiqD008430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:56:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 17:56:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309262256.h8QMuiqD008430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 262256 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI SEP 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:04 2003 X-UIDL: 40710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU0042BO8ZKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:00:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R20mhi096713 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:00:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QM1mlI102586; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 20:55:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1111846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 20:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R1tNdU054224 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 20:55:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R1tJ7S010608 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 20:55:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R1tJ3O010607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 20:55:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 20:55:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270155.h8R1tJ3O010607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 270155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI SEP 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:08 2003 X-UIDL: 40718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU0080GUNA4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 12:18:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R4J16F053444 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 12:19:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QM1moW102586; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:10:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1113485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:10:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R4ACdU040420 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:10:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R4A77S012150 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:10:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R4A7Fc012149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:10:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:10:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270410.h8R4A7Fc012149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 270409 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 27 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/0000 UTC... ..1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N88W. TROUGH FROM THIS LOW CENTER THROUGH WESTERN NICARAGUA INTO EASTERN HONDURAS TO WESTERN CUBA. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM WESTERN NICARAGUA TO CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL HONDURAS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W/104W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W/115W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NOT REALLY ANY AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION DIRECTLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THIS WAVE. ..TROUGH ALONG 130W FROM 9N TO 17N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ALREADY DISSIPATED CONVECTION WHOSE REMNANT CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 11N129W 14N132W. ..TROUGH FROM 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N137W TO 30N134W TO 25N138W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATIFORM CLOUDS NORTH OF 26N BETWEEN 133W AND 143W. ..1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N126W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 113W AND 133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 12N93W 12N112W 9N130W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 102W...AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W AND 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER MEXICO FROM 16N TO 26N BETWEEN 95W AND 106W...NORTH OF 22N IN THE AREA OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...AND SOUTH OF 22N IN AN AREA OF SOME UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN MEXICO AND COASTAL WATERS OF GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC BETWEEN ITS BORDER WITH GUATEMALA AND THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC...UNDER A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:09 2003 X-UIDL: 40719-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU008YWV9C4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 12:32:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R4W96F054739 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 12:32:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QM1moc102586; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:27:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1113560 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R4RDdU080726 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R4R97S012323 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:27:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R4R9kV012322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:27:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 23:27:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270427.h8R4R9kV012322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 270426 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI SEP 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:10 2003 X-UIDL: 40723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV0088M1QV4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:52:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R6qMhi026754 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:52:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3g6019560; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:42:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1114837 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:42:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R6g3dU045652 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:42:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R6fw7S013851 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:41:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R6fwj6013849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:41:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:41:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270641.h8R6fwj6013849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N7 139.1E4, APPROXIMATELY 234 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:11 2003 X-UIDL: 40726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008Y93OZ4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:34:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R7YPhi030835 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:34:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52OiQ102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 02:30:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1115106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 02:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R7UndU057396 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 02:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R7Uj7S014375 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 02:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R7UjO1014374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 02:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 02:30:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270730.h8R7UjO1014374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 270730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI SEP 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:13 2003 X-UIDL: 40731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008SSA1Z4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 17:51:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R9pnhi043794 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 17:51:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Oke102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:46:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1115976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R9k9dU008104 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:46:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R9k57S015863 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R9k5rJ015862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:46:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:46:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270946.h8R9k5rJ015862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 270945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...12N140W 10N160W 04N174W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 08N152W 06N152W 0N158W 08N152W AND WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 11N153W 11N159W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N168W 05N168W 04N174W 08N168W HAS MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED. CONVERGENCE LINE...24N159W 27N156W 30N151W AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 30NM OF CONVERGENCE LINE HAVE MOVED EAST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED. FRONT/SHEARLINE...FRONT 28N167W 30N164W EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE 28N167W 25N174W 25N180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED EASTSOUTHEAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. TROUGH...20N172W 13N176W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 19N168W 19N173W 14N176W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. SEE CONVERGENCE LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. SEE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...11S124W 11S120W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 120W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST AT 10KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. LOW/FRONT...LOW 22S152W WITH FRONT 22S150W 20S149W 17S151W 12S160W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 19S151W 17S151W 13S158W. CONVERGENCE ZONE...08S172W 07S180 AND EXTENDING WEST. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF CZ. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:13 2003 X-UIDL: 40732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV0080TB0Y4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 18:12:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RACl6F087251 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 18:12:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Okg102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:06:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1116037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:06:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RA6wdU053444 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:06:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RA6s7S016034 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:06:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RA6sxx016033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:06:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:06:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271006.h8RA6sxx016033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 271006 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT SEP 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40734-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008G9BBD4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 18:18:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RAJ46F087874 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 18:19:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Oki102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:11:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1116057 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:11:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RABpdU099274 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:11:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RABh7S016068 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:11:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RABhhn016067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:11:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 05:11:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271011.h8RABhhn016067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 271011 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 27 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/0600 UTC... ..1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N89W. TROUGH FROM THIS LOW CENTER TO CENTRAL HONDURAS TO YUCATAN CHANNEL. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IN EAST CENTRAL HONDURAS NEAR NORTH CENTRAL NICARAGUA BORDER...AND IN NW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 17N TO 18N BETWEEN 84W AND 86W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 104W/105W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION REALLY RELATED TO THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE WHICH WAS ALONG 114W/115W SOUTH OF 18N EARLIER HAS BEEN DROPPED FROM THE MAP ANALYSIS...NOT DISCERNIBLE ANY MORE. ..TROUGH ALONG 130W/131W FROM 10N TO 17N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 130W AND 132W. ..1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N127W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 113W AND 133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0730 UTC WEST OF 100W...AND THROUGH 27/0930 UTC EAST OF 100W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 12N94W 12N104W 11N113W 9N128W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 85W...AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER MEXICO FROM 14N TO 26N BETWEEN 96W AND 106W...NORTH OF 22N IN THE AREA OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...AND SOUTH OF 22N IN AN AREA OF SOME UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN MEXICO AND COASTAL WATERS OF GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC BETWEEN ITS BORDER WITH GUATEMALA AND THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC...UNDER A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:18 2003 X-UIDL: 40740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008I7KEO4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:35:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RDZR6F005649 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:35:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Onw102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 08:30:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1117189 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 08:30:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RDUcdU014268 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 08:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RDUX7S017767 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 08:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RDUX5F017766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 08:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 08:30:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271330.h8RDUX5F017766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 271330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT SEP 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:32:43 2003 X-UIDL: 40745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008X6PO74L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:28:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RFTAhi070799 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:29:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Os8102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:24:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1118600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:24:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RFONdU031990 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:24:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RFOI7S019011 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:24:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RFOINL019010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:24:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:24:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271524.h8RFOINL019010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 271524 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 27 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/1200 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED 40 NM OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA NEAR 12N88W NEARLY STATIONARY. A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE LOW NEWD ACROSS HONDURAS TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 106W SOUTH OF 18N DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 102W-108W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 131W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9.5N-11N BETWEEN 130W-133W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1012 MB LOW NEAR 34N136W TO 30N136W 27N140W. ..1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N129W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 19N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N85W 14N100W 7N125W 10N134W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-85W. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 93W-99W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-118W. ALSO SEE TROPICAL WAVES ALONG 106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION UP TO 180 NM OFF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 98W-106W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:03 2003 X-UIDL: 40746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV0083FSMZ4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:33:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RGX6hi076409 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:33:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52OtY102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:30:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1119293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:30:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RGU0dU005618 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:30:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RGTt7S019662 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RGTtIl019661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:29:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271629.h8RGTtIl019661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 271629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT SEP 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA/SISKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:05 2003 X-UIDL: 40748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008RMTWT4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 01:00:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RH0g6F025000 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 01:00:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3nO019560; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1119561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RGwAdU017540 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RGw57S019928 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RGw5DM019926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271658.h8RGw5DM019926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENENBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:06 2003 X-UIDL: 40749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV0086BU4R4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 01:05:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RH5U6F025663 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 01:05:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RE1qr0094198; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1119564 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RGwAdU017258 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RGw57S019929 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RGw5Ba019927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:58:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271658.h8RGw5Ba019927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z/281800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENENBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:13 2003 X-UIDL: 40758-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW008LX23O4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:57:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RJvc6F041989 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:57:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCAriK035970; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:50:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1121484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:50:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RJoqdU031808 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:50:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RJom7S021492 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:50:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RJomx3021491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:50:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:50:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271950.h8RJomx3021491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 271950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT SEP 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:17 2003 X-UIDL: 40761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW008JE7FL4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:52:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RLql6F052738 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:52:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3s8019560; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:47:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1123135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RLlCdU013378 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:47:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RLl87S022975 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:47:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RLl8Wj022974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:47:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:47:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309272147.h8RLl8Wj022974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 272146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 12N141W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N142W TO 08N141W. NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 07N148W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09N150W TO 09N148W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 12N157W TO 12N154W TO 11N152W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N158W 08N153W 06N153W 04N158W 06N161W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N162W 12N158W 09N162W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS...INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 14N164W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 10N165W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N168W 05N164W 04N174W 07N174W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 07N178E TO 05N178W. TROUGH 1...SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 19N165W TO 22N160W TO 30N153W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 29N152W TO 32N148W. FRONT/SHEARLINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 25N175W TO 25N170W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 26N164W TO 32N157W AND FURTHER NORTHEAST MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. TROUGH 2...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 17N177W TO 19N174W TO 19N171W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 15N179W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH 1 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT/SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH 2 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NIL. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07S180 TO 08S174W TO 17S150W TO 21S146W TO 26S153W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:18 2003 X-UIDL: 40762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW008TB7RE4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:59:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RLxrhi005329 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:59:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52O4O102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:55:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1123201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RLtadU042186 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RLtW7S023032 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RLtVfS023031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:55:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309272155.h8RLtVfS023031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 272155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 27 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/1800 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED JUST OFF THE NICARAGUA COAST NEAR 12N77W NEARLY STATIONARY. A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE LOW NE ACROSS W HONDURAS INTO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W FROM 7N TO 18N DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 180 NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST S OF 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 106.5W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 131W FROM 7N TO 15N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF 10N132W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE LOCATED ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1013 MB LOW N OF THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 35N136W THROUGH 32N136W TO 28N140W. ..1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N93W AND THEN FROM 12N92W 12N110W 10N120W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 82W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-101W AND WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-113W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:19 2003 X-UIDL: 40763-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW0089887U4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 06:09:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RM9jhi006066 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 06:09:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52O4a102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 17:05:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1123307 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 17:05:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RM5adU099082 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 17:05:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RM5V7S023159 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 17:05:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RM5VPI023158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 17:05:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 17:05:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309272205.h8RM5VPI023158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 272205 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:30 2003 X-UIDL: 40767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW008STIJG4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:52:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S1qhZO018327 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:52:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52O7a102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 20:50:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1124807 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 20:50:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S1oUdU038298 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 20:50:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S1oQ7S024933 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 20:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S1oPLJ024932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 20:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 20:50:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280150.h8S1oPLJ024932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 280150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT SEP 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW00A94OPXL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 12:05:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S46B62025570 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 12:06:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52OAQ102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:02:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1126000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:02:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S428dU091388 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:02:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S4247S025997 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:02:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S424IP025996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:02:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:02:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280402.h8S424IP025996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 280401 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 28 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0000 UTC... ..THE 1008 MB LOW FROM SIX HOURS AGO NO LONGER EXISTS. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W/109W SOUTH OF 17N DRIFTING WEST. ANY DEEP CONVECTION IS IN THE ITCZ. ..1017 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 32N126W. ..1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N141W. ..TROUGH FROM 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 36N135W... TO 34N134W AND 31N138W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N84W 12N97W 12N114W 9N122W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 115W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...ALTHOUGH NOW NOT AS EASILY DISCERNIBLE AS IT HAD BEEN TWENTY FOUR HOURS AGO...STILL NEAR GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC/ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...BECOMING STRETCHED OUT IN AN EAST-WEST SENSE...IN NORTHERN MEXICO JUST WEST OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW IN GULF OF MEXICO. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OVER INTERIOR MEXICO AND COASTAL PLAINS OF GULF OF MEXICO FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 91W AND 97W... AND FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 96W AND 98W. SMALL CLUSTERS OF ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 97W AND 102W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:42 2003 X-UIDL: 40783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW00AQSQYZL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 12:54:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4skZO034595 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 12:54:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3wA019560; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:50:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1126181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:50:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4opdU029756 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:50:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S4ok7S026275 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S4okkX026274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:50:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280450.h8S4okkX026274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 280450 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT SEP 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN ELONGATED BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM NEAR ACAPULCO MEXICO SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. A COUPLE OF SMALL CIRCULATIONS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CLOUD BAND...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:45 2003 X-UIDL: 40786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW00A8UU1FL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 14:00:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S61762034556 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 14:01:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCArqs035970; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1126765 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S5rgdU098904 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S5rb7S026746 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S5rbto026744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280553.h8S5rbto026744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N7 140.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:47 2003 X-UIDL: 40788-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW00A5IZNJL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:02:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S82MZO052169 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:02:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVfO051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 02:55:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1127138 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 02:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S7tWdU038318 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 02:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S7tR7S027556 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 02:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S7tRRc027555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 02:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 02:55:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280755.h8S7tRRc027555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 280755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT SEP 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:54 2003 X-UIDL: 40800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00A3C5AXL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 18:04:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SA4J62056122 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 18:04:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCArs2035970; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 04:55:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1127969 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 04:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S9tldU091348 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 04:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S9tg7S028726 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 04:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S9tgfD028725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 04:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 04:55:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280955.h8S9tgfD028725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 280955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0825 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 13N162W 12N155W 07N146W 06N149W 09N158W 09N164W 08N160W 05N161W 03N177W 07N178W 12N169W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N158W 30N153W 25N162W 24N171W 27N178W 29N177W 27N169W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT NORTH OF 26N AND MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY ELSEWHERE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 05S177E 07S174W 09S180 08S175E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S172W 07S167W 09S169W 09S172W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 21S149W 22S144W 25S146W 25S150W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT ..INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:56 2003 X-UIDL: 40802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00ASN5RBL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 18:14:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SAECZO065717 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 18:14:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVhS051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:08:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1128040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:08:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SA8GdU038316 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:08:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SA8B7S028869 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:08:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SA8BEZ028868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:08:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:08:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281008.h8SA8BEZ028868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 281008 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 28 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 77W/78W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT...POSSIBLY ENHANCING THE CONVECTION IN THE ITCZ BETWEEN THE COLOMBIA COAST AND 80W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W/110W SOUTH OF 17N DRIFTING WEST. ANY DEEP CONVECTION IS IN THE ITCZ. ..1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N131W. ..TROUGH FROM 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 36N135W... TO 34N135W AND 30N137W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0930 UTC EAST OF 110W...IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0730 UTC WEST OF 110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 9N96W 12N113W 9N127W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 87W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 15N94W...JUST SOUTHEAST OF GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 95W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:00 2003 X-UIDL: 40805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00AY57O6L6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 18:55:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SAtX62061124 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 18:55:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a30c019560; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:53:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1128351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SArVdU018938 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:53:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SArR7S029160 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:53:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SArRM3029159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:53:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 05:53:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281053.h8SArRM3029159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 281053 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN ELONGATED BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES FROM NEAR ACAPULCO MEXICO SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. A COUPLE OF WEAK CIRCULATIONS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CLOUD BAND...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:03 2003 X-UIDL: 40809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00AHWGAVL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:01:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SE1wZO088351 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:02:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVlC051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 08:55:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1129705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 08:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SDtcdU029080 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 08:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SDtY7S000527 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 08:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SDtXsD000526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 08:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 08:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281355.h8SDtXsD000526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 281355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN SEP 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:07 2003 X-UIDL: 40813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00AR7KY0L6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:42:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SFgF62087161 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:42:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a34u019560; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:39:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1131157 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:39:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SFd9dU102514 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:39:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SFd47S001374 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SFd4kr001373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:39:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...cor Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281539.h8SFd4kr001373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 281538 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 28 SEP 2003 CORRECTION FOR IMAGERY TIME ONLY EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 79W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. TROPICAL WAVE DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AS THERE IS A BROAD AREA LOW PRESSURE OVER W CARIBBEAN ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 110W IS RELOCATED A LITTLE FURTHER WEST ALONG 113W TO 114W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINING ALONG THE ITCZ. ..1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS STATIONARY NEAR 27N135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 4N77W 13N97W 12N114W 8N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 78W AND 85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 124N BETWEEN 105W AND 116W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS W OF 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N94W TO 17N103W. $$ NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:08 2003 X-UIDL: 40814-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00ARZKYCL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:42:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SFgS62087181 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:42:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a34s019560; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:38:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1131146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:38:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SFbxdU033620 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:37:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SFbt7S001358 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:37:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SFbtEt001357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:37:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:37:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281537.h8SFbtEt001357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 281537 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 28 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 79W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. TROPICAL WAVE DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AS THERE IS A BROAD AREA LOW PRESSURE OVER W CARIBBEAN ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 110W IS RELOCATED A LITTLE FURTHER WEST ALONG 113W TO 114W WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINING ALONG THE ITCZ. ..1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE IS STATIONARY NEAR 27N135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1200 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 4N77W 13N97W 12N114W 8N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 78W AND 85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 124N BETWEEN 105W AND 116W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS W OF 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N94W TO 17N103W. $$ NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:09 2003 X-UIDL: 40815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00AVOMFWL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 00:14:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SGET62090129 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 00:14:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVpk051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 11:10:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1131686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 11:10:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SGA5dU094110 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 11:10:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SGA07S001647 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 11:10:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SGA0sa001646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 11:10:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 11:10:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281610.h8SGA0sa001646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 281609 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN SEP 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS...AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:12 2003 X-UIDL: 40819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00AEYXLQL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:15:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SKFf62013044 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:15:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a39U019560; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:11:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1135112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:11:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SKBldU011590 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:11:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SKBg7S003871 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:11:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SKBgSR003870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:11:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:11:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309282011.h8SKBgSR003870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 282011 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN SEP 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:16 2003 X-UIDL: 40824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00ADI1DQL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:37:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SLbHZO033342 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:37:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVx0051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:32:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1136572 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:32:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SLWPdU041988 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:32:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SLWK7S004584 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SLWKg2004583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:32:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309282132.h8SLWKg2004583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 282132 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 28 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CLUSTERS OF TSTMS ARE NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE AXIS NEAR THE ITCZ. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 80W-87W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W S OF 15N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. ONLY A FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR THIS FEATURE. ..1020 MB HIGH IS NEAR 28N139W WITH RIDGE AXIS ESE TO 21N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS ALONG 8N77W 8N84W 13N97W 14N110W 9N131W 11N140W. A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 11N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11.5N-15.5N BETWEEN 95W-104W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 8N132W 10N134W 11N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 14.5N94.5W IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N99W. ISOLATED MODERATE ON THE COASTS OF THE GULF OF PANAMA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:16 2003 X-UIDL: 40825-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00AV21ZLL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:50:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SLoOZO034342 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:50:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVxK051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:46:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1136749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SLk3dU057476 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SLjw7S004731 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SLjwX0004730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:45:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309282145.h8SLjwX0004730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 282145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 12N146W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13N152W TO 13N150W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 08N154W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N162W 11N156W 08N159W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N163W 05N158W 04N162W 06N170W 08N170W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11N169W TO 12N166W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 12N173W 10N170W 04N173W 03N180 05N177E 08N180. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N179W TO 07N176W. TROUGH...SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 22N162W TO 27N154W TO 30N146W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ALSO SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 20N177W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 17S148W 20S142W 23S139W 29S139W 34S148W 28S154W 24S151W 24S146W 19S149W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 15S142W TO 16S140W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 13S156W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08S178W TO 08S174W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:17 2003 X-UIDL: 40826-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00AJH2OHL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 06:05:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SM5L62023800 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 06:05:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVxW051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 17:01:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1136952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 17:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SM1ndU034834 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 17:01:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SM1j7S004867 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 17:01:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SM1jtJ004866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 17:01:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 17:01:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309282201.h8SM1jtJ004866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 282201 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. N AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:22 2003 X-UIDL: 40835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00C5OD8FJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:53:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T1rJZO056372 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:53:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3FC019560; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 20:50:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1139872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 20:50:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T1opdU005378 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 20:50:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T1ok7S007014 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 20:50:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T1okOg007013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 20:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 20:50:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290150.h8T1okOg007013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 290150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN SEP 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 11:37:56 2003 X-UIDL: 40852-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CVBHGKJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:24:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T3Ob62052158 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:24:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3H4019560; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1141271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T3MJdU013576 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T3ME7S007954 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T3MEJW007952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290322.h8T3MEJW007952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 290400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/290400Z/291800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 5.2S7 62.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA TO PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENENBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 11:37:58 2003 X-UIDL: 40854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CFOHNQJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:28:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T3St62052564 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:28:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCAr7K035970; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1141268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T3MJdU098880 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T3ME7S007955 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T3MEPl007953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:22:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290322.h8T3MEPl007953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 290400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/290400Z/291800ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 5.2S7 62.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA TO PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENENBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 12:11:13 2003 X-UIDL: 40861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00C6PJF8JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:06:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T47062056151 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:07:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCAr8O035970; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:03:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1141849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:03:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T43adU052264 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:03:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T43V7S008304 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:03:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T43VNN008303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:03:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:03:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290403.h8T43VNN008303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 290403 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 29 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W/82W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION ANYWHERE NEAR THIS WAVE MUST BE EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 115W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF ITCZ BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. ..TROUGH FROM 17N TO 25N ALONG 136W/137W MOVING WEST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS FROM 15N TO 22N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 12N96W 13N114W 10N130W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 7.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 84W AND 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 131W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 95W AND 114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CELLS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING OFFSHORE IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR BETWEEN 86W AND 89W WITHIN 60-90 NM OF LAND...AND IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF MEXICO BETWEEN 99W AND 101W WITHIN 60-90 NM OF LAND. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 12:41:41 2003 X-UIDL: 40863-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CFSKR7JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T4Zk62059118 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:35:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVal2044508; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:30:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1142204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T4UrdU034908 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T4Um7S008514 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T4UmC8008513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 23:30:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290430.h8T4UmC8008513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 290430 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN SEP 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT..IF ANY... WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 14:30:10 2003 X-UIDL: 40875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CXAPWTJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:26:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6R8ZO086128 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:27:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVapO044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:23:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1143384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:23:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6NqdU058228 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:23:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T6Nl7S009350 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:23:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T6NlIm009349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:23:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:23:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290623.h8T6NlIm009349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 290600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/29 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.0S / 63.5E (FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1006 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/29 18 UTC: 05.0S/62.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/09/30 06 UTC: 05.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SYSTEM BEGAN ITS CYCLOGENESIS DURING LAST NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 14:30:19 2003 X-UIDL: 40876-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00C78Q05JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:28:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6TA62071763 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:29:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVapM044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:21:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1143360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:21:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6LndU085232 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:21:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T6Li7S009334 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:21:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T6Lib0009332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:21:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:21:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290621.h8T6Lib0009332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 1/1 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE)). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.0S / 63.5E (FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 400 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 TO 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/29 AT 18 UTC: 5.0S / 62.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 06 UTC: 5.0S / 61.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: FIRTS BMS OVER THIS SYSTEM WHICH BEGAN ITS CYCLOGENESIS DURING LAST NIGHT .= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 14:54:18 2003 X-UIDL: 40878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CXFQXLJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:48:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6nDZO088878 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:49:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVaq0044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:46:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1143562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6kSdU014328 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:46:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T6kN7S009557 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:46:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T6kMEu009554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:46:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:46:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290646.h8T6kMEu009554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 290600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/29 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.0S / 63.5E (FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1006 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/29 18 UTC: 05.0S/62.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/09/30 06 UTC: 05.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SYSTEM BEGAN ITS CYCLOGENESIS DURING LAST NIGHT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 14:54:31 2003 X-UIDL: 40879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CXLQXMJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:48:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6nF62074246 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:49:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVapw044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1143551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6jQdU023500 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T6jL7S009525 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T6jLIk009521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 29/09/2003 A 0600 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290645.h8T6jLIk009521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 290600 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 29/09/2003 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 1/1 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE)). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 29/09/2003 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 5.0S / 63.5E (CINQ DEGRES ZERO SUD ET SOIXANTE-TROIS DEGRES CINQ EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST 5 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD ET 400 MN DANS LE SECTEUR EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20 A 25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE AUTOUR DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 29/09/2003 A 18 UTC: 5.0S / 62.0E, VENT MAX = 25 KT. A 24H POUR LE 30/09/2003 A 06 UTC: 5.0S / 61.0E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: PREMIER BMS SUR CE SYSTEME QUI A DEBUTE SA CYCLOGENESE AU COURS DE LA NUIT DERNIERE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 14:54:32 2003 X-UIDL: 40880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CYQQXWJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:49:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6nO62074266 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:49:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVapq044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1143545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6jQdU047130 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T6jL7S009526 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T6jLH2009522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:45:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290645.h8T6jLH2009522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 1/1 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE)). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.0S / 63.5E (FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 400 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 TO 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/29 AT 18 UTC: 5.0S / 62.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 06 UTC: 5.0S / 61.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: FIRTS BMS OVER THIS SYSTEM WHICH BEGAN ITS CYCLOGENESIS DURING LAST NIGHT . +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 15:25:26 2003 X-UIDL: 40884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CEXS1XJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:13:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T7DPZO092405 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:13:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVaqK044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:09:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1143717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:09:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T791dU037294 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:09:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T78u7S009763 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:08:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T78uuK009761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:08:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:08:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290708.h8T78uuK009761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE)). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.0S / 63.5E (FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 400 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 TO 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/29 AT 18 UTC: 5.0S / 62.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 06 UTC: 5.0S / 61.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: FIRTS BMS OVER THIS SYSTEM WHICH BEGAN ITS CYCLOGENESIS DURING LAST NIGHT .= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:24 2003 X-UIDL: 40888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00C3LUA6JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T81XZO097793 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:01:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVaqW044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:55:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1143883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T7tmdU023348 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T7ti7S010102 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T7tha4010101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:55:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290755.h8T7tha4010101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 290755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN SEP 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:30 2003 X-UIDL: 40890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CANUCEJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:02:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T82sZO097924 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:02:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVaqY044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:59:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1143890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:59:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T7xAdU091362 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:59:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T7x57S010129 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:59:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T7x5Cj010127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:59:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:59:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290759.h8T7x5Cj010127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.0S / 63.5E (FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 400 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 TO 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/29 AT 18 UTC: 5.0S / 62.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 06 UTC: 5.0S / 61.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: FIRTS BMS OVER THIS SYSTEM WHICH BEGAN ITS CYCLOGENESIS DURING LAST NIGHT .= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:35 2003 X-UIDL: 40903-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CGBZV7JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 18:01:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TA2A62094749 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 18:02:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVarQ044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:55:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1144552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T9tbdU038854 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T9tW7S011204 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T9tWJa011203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:55:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:55:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290955.h8T9tWJa011203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 290955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0825 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 13N169W 06N169W 05N178E 03N172E 06N172E 12N180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12N163W 10N158W 06N157W 05N164W 11N166W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12N142W 08N140W 07N149W 10N148W 12N146W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 17S144W 23S138W 25S139W 25S143W 19S148W 17S148W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 11S172W 11S164W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:37 2003 X-UIDL: 40906-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00COA0E2JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 18:13:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TADTZO013446 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 18:13:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVarU044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:03:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1144576 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:03:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TA3ldU005516 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:03:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TA3f7S011291 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TA3fO0011290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:03:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291003.h8TA3fO0011290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 291003 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 29 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION...WITH NOT AS MUCH AREAL COVERAGE...FROM 6N TO 8.5N BETWEEN 85W AND 87W...MIGHT BE ENHANCED BY THE PRESENCE OF THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 116W/117W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W. ..TROUGH FROM 16N TO 23N ALONG 137W/138W MOVING WEST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS FROM 14N TO 23N BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW...ELSEWHERE AWAY FROM THE 137W/138W TROUGH...NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0915 UTC EAST OF 110W...AND THROUGH 29/0730 UTC WEST OF 110W... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 8N87W 12N105W 11N117W 10N130W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OFF COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 7.5N TO 10N BETWEEN 84W AND 86W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 133W AND 137W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 79W...AND BETWEEN 105W AND 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN MEXICO COASTAL WATERS...WITHIN 130 NM OF MEXICO COAST BETWEEN 100W AND 107W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 86W AND 98W...OUTSIDE OF ITCZ. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:37 2003 X-UIDL: 40907-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CWA0XSJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 18:25:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TAPLZO014611 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 18:25:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVarY044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:20:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1144628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:20:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TAK8dU053418 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:20:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TAK37S011410 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:20:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TAK32B011409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:20:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 05:20:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291020.h8TAK32B011409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 291019 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND SOME ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:44 2003 X-UIDL: 40916-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CTV73DJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:38:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TCcG62009498 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:38:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVat6044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:33:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1145232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:33:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TCXGdU058210 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TCXB7S012589 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TCXBTn012587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:33:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291233.h8TCXBTn012587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 291200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 2/1 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/09/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 63.2E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 00 UTC: 4.0S / 62.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 12 UTC: 3.8S / 62.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM NO INTENSIFYING. NEXT WARNING AT 18 UTC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 40917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CWS7P9JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:51:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TCpPZO030423 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:51:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3Mi019560; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:46:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1145348 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:46:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TCkddU013396 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TCkY7S012758 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TCkYk4012756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:46:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291246.h8TCkYk4012756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 291200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/29 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 63.2E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1006 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/30 00 UTC: 04.0S/62.9E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/09/30 12 UTC: 03.8S/62.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/10/01 00 UTC: 03.5S/60.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/10/01 12 UTC: 03.0S/60.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 60H: 2003/10/02 00 UTC: 02.8S/60.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 72H: 2003/10/02 12 UTC: 02.6S/61.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SYSTEM BEGAN ITS CYCLOGENESIS DURING LAST NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 40919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00C6C7VSJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:55:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TCtLZO030765 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:55:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVatu044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:49:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1145418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TCnidU013416 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:49:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TCnd7S012792 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:49:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TCndLW012790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:49:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291249.h8TCndLW012790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 291200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/09/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 63.2E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 00 UTC: 4.0S / 62.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 12 UTC: 3.8S / 62.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM NO INTENSIFYING. NEXT WARNING AT 18 UTC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:49 2003 X-UIDL: 40922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CG6B67JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:06:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TE6LZO038362 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:06:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVavk044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 08:55:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1146027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 08:55:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDthdU031256 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 08:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TDtc7S014356 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 08:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TDtc86014355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 08:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 08:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291355.h8TDtc86014355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 291355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON SEP 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:49 2003 X-UIDL: 40923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CR7BAKJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:08:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TE8xZO038676 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:09:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSdi044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1146113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TE3ZdU017396 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TE3V7S014636 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TE3R0M014620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 29/09/2003 A 1200 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291403.h8TE3R0M014620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RAZOR2_CHECK, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 291200 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 29/09/2003 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 2/1 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 29/09/2003 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 4.3S / 63.2E (QUATRE DEGRES TROIS SUD ET SOIXANTE-TROIS DEGRES DEUX EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: NORD-OUEST 6 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S ETENDANT JUSQU A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD ET 350 MN DANS LE SECTEUR EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE ATTEIGNANT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT PRES DU CENTRE. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 30/09/2003 A 00 UTC: 4.0S / 62.9E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. A 24H POUR LE 30/09/2003 A 12 UTC: 3.8S / 62.0E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: PAS D'INTENSIFICATION NOTABLE DE CE SYSTEME . PROCHAIN BULLETIN A 18 UTC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:50 2003 X-UIDL: 40924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CXUBEBJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:10:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TEBGZO038974 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:11:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSdg044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1146108 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TE3WdU099264 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TE3R7S014625 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TE3RMP014623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:03:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291403.h8TE3RMP014623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 291200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 2/1 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/09/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 63.2E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 00 UTC: 4.0S / 62.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 12 UTC: 3.8S / 62.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM NO INTENSIFYING. NEXT WARNING AT 18 UTC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:50 2003 X-UIDL: 40925-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CY9BEEJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:11:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TEBJZO038979 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:11:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSdk044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:04:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1146116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:04:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TE4adU046046 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:04:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TE4V7S014678 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:04:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TE4VV9014676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:04:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:04:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291404.h8TE4VV9014676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 291200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/29 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 63.2E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1006 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/30 00 UTC: 04.0S/62.9E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/09/30 12 UTC: 03.8S/62.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/10/01 00 UTC: 03.5S/60.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/10/01 12 UTC: 03.0S/60.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 60H: 2003/10/02 00 UTC: 02.8S/60.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 72H: 2003/10/02 12 UTC: 02.6S/61.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SYSTEM BEGAN ITS CYCLOGENESIS DURING LAST NIGHT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:52 2003 X-UIDL: 40931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00C06FDNJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:37:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TFbAZO049523 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxShm044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 10:26:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1147848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 10:26:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TFQNdU058082 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 10:26:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TFQI7S017100 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 10:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TFQIm6017099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 10:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 10:26:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291526.h8TFQIm6017099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 291526 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 29 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W NORTH OF 5N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO THE ITCZ SOUTH OF COSTA RICA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 117W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10 KT. PERSISTENT NORTHERLY FLOW HAS DISRUPTED THE NORMAL TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE AREA...AND HAS MADE THE WAVE DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION AND SEVERAL SWIRLS ARE OBSERVED ON EITHER SIDE OF THE ANALYZED AXIS. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 138W FROM 16N-24N. ..1007 MB LOW ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR 20N105W WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING SE TO 16N99W. AN ELONGATED CYCLONIC ROTATION IS OBSERVED IN VISIBLE IMAGERY JUST OFF THE MEXICAN COAST...AND SURFACE PRESSURES FROM SEVERAL COASTAL STATIONS SUPPORT THIS FEATURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION PRIMARILY IN TWO DISTINCT CLUSTERS FROM 14.5N-19.5N BETWEEN 100W-107W. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1019 MB HIGH NEAR 27N142W NEWD TO 32N128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N97W 10N118W 10N135W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-88W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-99W. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 102W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OFF THE COASTS OF EL SALVADOR... GUATEMALA...AND MEXICO FROM 11N-15.5N BETWEEN 88W-95W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:53 2003 X-UIDL: 40932-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00C89I7HJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:38:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TGc462036047 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:38:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSkS044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:25:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1148943 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:25:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TGPDdU044828 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:25:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TGP87S018668 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:25:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TGP8pn018667 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:25:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:25:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291625.h8TGP8pn018667@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 291624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON SEP 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:54 2003 X-UIDL: 40940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CLFM61JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:03:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TI3nZO067813 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:03:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSoG044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1150363 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8THtOdU057938 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8THtJ7S021177 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8THtIQq021176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291755.h8THtIQq021176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290921ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 4.5S9 62.9E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.8S2 62.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 595 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS A WELL DEFINED LLCC WITH ENHANCED EASTERLIES. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE WARNED UPON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/DAMRON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:55 2003 X-UIDL: 40941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CNOM7MJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:04:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TI4mZO067901 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:04:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCArKI035970; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1150366 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8THtOdU089258 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8THtJ7S021178 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8THtIMu021175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 12:55:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291755.h8THtIMu021175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z/301800ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290921ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 4.5S9 62.9E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.8S2 62.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 595 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTION NEAR A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS A WELL DEFINED LLCC WITH ENHANCED EASTERLIES. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE WARNED UPON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/DAMRON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:55 2003 X-UIDL: 40942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00C44MKBJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:12:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TICSZO068611 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:12:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3V4019560; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:01:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1150459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:01:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TI1FdU045694 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:01:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TI1A7S021381 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:01:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TI1AL5021379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:01:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:01:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 29/09/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291801.h8TI1AL5021379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 291800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 3/1 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/09/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 63.1E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 06 UTC: 4.1S / 63.0E, MAX WIND = 28 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 18 UTC: 3.9S / 62.8E, MAX WIND = 28 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM NO INTENSIFYING. NEXT WARNING AT 00 UTC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:56 2003 X-UIDL: 40945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CJ8MW6JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:19:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TIJaZO069327 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:19:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TEj39a041650; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:11:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1150638 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:11:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TIBTdU030448 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:11:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TIBO7S021663 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:11:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TIBObX021661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:11:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:11:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291811.h8TIBObX021661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 291800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/29 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 63.1E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 MOINS /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1006 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/30 06 UTC: 04.1S/63.0E, MAX WIND=028KT. 24H: 2003/09/30 18 UTC: 03.9S/62.8E, MAX WIND=028KT. 36H: 2003/10/01 06 UTC: 03.7S/62.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/10/01 18 UTC: 03.5S/62.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 60H: 2003/10/02 06 UTC: 03.2S/61.7E, MAX WIND=025KT. 72H: 2003/10/02 18 UTC: 03.0S/61.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SYSTEM NO INTENSIFYING IS NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL SHEARING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:59 2003 X-UIDL: 40950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CM8RD8JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:55:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TJu862055873 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:56:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxStk044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:45:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1152272 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:45:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TJjVdU012492 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TJjK7S024440 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:45:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TJjK8j024439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:45:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:45:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291945.h8TJjK8j024439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 291945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON SEP 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:00 2003 X-UIDL: 40954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CMWW6ZJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:40:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TLeQZO092213 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:40:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxS26044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:27:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1154176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TLRkdU038270 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TLRf7S027389 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TLRfOP027388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:27:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309292127.h8TLRfOP027388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 292127 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 29 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W/86W N OF 5N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO A MODERATE CLUSTER WITHIN 90 NM OF 8.5N87.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W S OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. WAVE IS QUITE WEAK AND COULD BE DROPPED ON LATER ANALYSES. ..SURFACE TROUGH PREVIOUSLY ALONG 138W IS W OF THE AREA. ..1007 MB LOW S OF THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR 16N102W WITH TROUGH EXTENDING NW TO 21N108W. VISIBLE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THE LOW HAS GOOD TURNING IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS N OF A LONG FETCH OF SW WINDS TO THE S. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 100W-104W. ..1020 MB HIGH IS NEAR 28N135W WITH RIDGE AXIS ESE TO 21N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 12N92W 13N102W 10N120W 12N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 92W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W OF 136W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 102W-108W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 7N82W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE N OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN NICARAGUA AND 100W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:01 2003 X-UIDL: 40955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CM2XGQJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 06:07:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TM7s62069554 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 06:07:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3bs019560; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1154661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TLtYdU038350 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TLtU7S028007 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TLtT62028006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:55:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309292155.h8TLtT62028006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 292155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10N140W 09N151W AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N156W 07N163W 10N167W MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N173W 10N171W 13N179W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N167W 08N180 MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND WEAKENED WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 15N150W MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S172W 11S164W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 05 KT INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 18S143W 22S140W 25S141W MOVED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:01 2003 X-UIDL: 40956-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00GVWY9MDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 06:24:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TMPE62070816 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 06:25:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxS3o044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:10:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1154838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:10:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TMAudU104132 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:10:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TMAp7S028306 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:10:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TMApwc028305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:10:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:10:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309292210.h8TMApwc028305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 292100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290921ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- NEAR 4.5S9 64.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 01 KT POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 4.5S9 64.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 4.7S1 64.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 4.9S3 64.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 5.1S6 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 5.3S8 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION NEAR 4.5S9 64.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 505 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS BEEN NEAR QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291806Z6 AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN SIDE WHILE THE QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) JUST EAST OF THE CONVECTION. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR QUASI- STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO LACK OF STEERING FLOW. TC 01S IS ALSO EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOW RATE DUE TO WEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT. MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AREAS ARE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF TC 01S. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z4 IS 08 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 290921Z3 SEP 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 290930). NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 AND 302100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:02 2003 X-UIDL: 40957-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00GPAYQDDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 06:35:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TMZIZO097763 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 06:35:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxS4I044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:22:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1154983 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:22:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TMMVdU040402 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:22:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TMMR7S028434 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:22:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TMMQJd028433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:22:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 17:22:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309292222.h8TMMQJd028433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 292222 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:03 2003 X-UIDL: 40962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GLB30PDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:07:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U07qZO006599 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:07:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxS7A044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1156275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U05HdU033644 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U05C7S029691 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U05BV6029689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300005.h8U05BV6029689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 292330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/292330Z/301800ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291952ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291800Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S WAS LOCATED NEAR 4.5S9 64.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 505 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 292100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.5S9 62.9E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS IN PARA 1.A.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DAMRON/NOREN/KELSEY/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 40965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GAU3GCDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:17:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U0HGZO007623 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:17:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TMwAeK019560; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1156278 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U05HdU040414 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U05C7S029692 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U05B9k029690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:05:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300005.h8U05B9k029690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 292330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/292330Z/301800ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/291952ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291800Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S WAS LOCATED NEAR 4.5S9 64.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 505 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 292100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.5S9 62.9E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS IN PARA 1.A.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DAMRON/NOREN/KELSEY/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 40966-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GEB4P2DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:43:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U0i762082824 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:44:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxS7w044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:34:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1156698 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:34:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U0Y9dU020560 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:34:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U0Y47S000066 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:34:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U0Y4Fo000064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:34:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:34:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300034.h8U0Y4Fo000064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 300000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/09/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 4/1 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/09/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1005 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 64.6E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST ) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 400 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTRE AND LOCALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 12 UTC: 4.5S / 64.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 00 UTC: 4.4S / 64.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: INTENSITY STATIONNARY. THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:09 2003 X-UIDL: 40967-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GJ94R2DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:45:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U0jJZO010544 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:45:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxS86044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:37:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1156729 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:37:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U0bIdU013742 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:37:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U0bD7S000106 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:37:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U0bDxD000104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:37:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:37:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300037.h8U0bDxD000104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 300000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/30 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 64.6E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1005 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/30 12 UTC: 04.5S/64.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/01 00 UTC: 04.4S/64.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/10/01 12 UTC: 04.3S/64.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/10/02 00 UTC: 04.5S/64.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/10/02 12 UTC: 04.7S/63.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/10/03 00 UTC: 05.0S/63.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:12 2003 X-UIDL: 40978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000G247YWDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 09:54:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U1sl62090601 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 09:54:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCArT6035970; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:45:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1157621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U1jXdU083862 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U1jS7S000938 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U1jSrH000937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:45:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300145.h8U1jSrH000937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 300145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON SEP 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:19 2003 X-UIDL: 40999-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000G37BX5DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:19:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U3KA62000537 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:20:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCArVg035970; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:16:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1158931 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:16:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U3G3dU045722 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:16:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U3Fw7S001953 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U3FvDp001949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:15:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:15:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 29/09/2003 A 1800 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300315.h8U3FvDp001949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 291800 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 29/09/2003 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 3/1 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: LUNDI 29/09/2003 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 4.3S / 63.1E (QUATRE DEGRES TROIS SUD ET SOIXANTE-TROIS DEGRES UN EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: QUASISTATIONNAIRE ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD ET 350 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 30/09/2003 A 06 UTC: 4.1S / 63.0E, VENT MAX = 28 KT. A 24H POUR LE 30/09/2003 A 18 UTC: 3.9S / 62.8E, VENT MAX = 28 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: PAS D'INTENSIFICATION NOTABLE DE CE SYSTEME . PROCHAIN BULLETIN A 00 UTC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:19 2003 X-UIDL: 41000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000G46BXCDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:20:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U3KG62000554 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:20:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSDg044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:18:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1158981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:18:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U3ICdU044976 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:18:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U3I77S001990 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:18:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U3I73U001988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:18:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:18:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300318.h8U3I73U001988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 291800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/29 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 63.1E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 MOINS /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1006 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/30 06 UTC: 04.1S/63.0E, MAX WIND=028KT. 24H: 2003/09/30 18 UTC: 03.9S/62.8E, MAX WIND=028KT. 36H: 2003/10/01 06 UTC: 03.7S/62.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/10/01 18 UTC: 03.5S/62.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 60H: 2003/10/02 06 UTC: 03.2S/61.7E, MAX WIND=025KT. 72H: 2003/10/02 18 UTC: 03.0S/61.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SYSTEM NO INTENSIFYING IS NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL SHEARING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:20 2003 X-UIDL: 41001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GAZBZGDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:21:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U3LY62000685 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:21:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U0ijrA058126; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:16:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1158934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:16:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U3G3dU031482 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:16:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U3Fw7S001955 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U3FvpT001952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:15:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:15:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 29/09/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300315.h8U3FvpT001952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 291800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/09/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 3/1 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/09/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 1006 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 63.1E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 06 UTC: 4.1S / 63.0E, MAX WIND = 28 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 18 UTC: 3.9S / 62.8E, MAX WIND = 28 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM NO INTENSIFYING. NEXT WARNING AT 00 UTC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:21 2003 X-UIDL: 41006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GRZEEEDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 12:13:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U4Dg62006901 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 12:13:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSEW044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:05:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1159492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:05:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U45ndU042124 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:05:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U45i7S002548 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U45iw3002547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:05:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300405.h8U45iw3002547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 300405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 30 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 86W/87W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION IS IN THE ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W FROM 6 HOURS AGO IS NO LONGER IDENTIFIABLE. ..1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 16N103W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 12N93W 12N110W 12N116W 11N130W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 112W AND WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION NORTH OF THE ITCZ EAST OF 107W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:26 2003 X-UIDL: 41014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GCEFG4DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 12:36:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U4aKZO041941 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 12:36:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSFC044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:31:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1159721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U4V1dU045736 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U4Uu7S002784 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U4UuKV002783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 23:30:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300430.h8U4UuKV002783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 300430 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH AND SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...EVEN THOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000G5BIBODB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:38:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U5cS62016330 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:38:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U52nf0051648; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1160549 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U5TQdU071154 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U5TL7S003439 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U5TLVX003437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300529.h8U5TLVX003437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600ZSEP03/010600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N4 147.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.5N1 151.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM SOUTH OF CHUUK ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES AN LLCC IN THE AREA AS WELL. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:29 2003 X-UIDL: 41022-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GPYL5LDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:39:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6da62023489 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:39:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSJA044510; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:35:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1161419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:35:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6Z1dU048140 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:35:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U6Yu7S004096 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:34:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U6YukG004094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:34:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:34:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300634.h8U6YukG004094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 300600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.6S / 65.3E (FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST ) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO MORE THAN 60 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI -CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 18 UTC: 4.6S / 65.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 06 UTC: 4.7S / 65.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: INTENSITY STATIONNARY. THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41024-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GC7LDTDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:44:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6iY62023998 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:44:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSJK044510; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1161500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6f7dU048150 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U6f27S004180 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U6f2S4004176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 30/09/2003 A 0000 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300641.h8U6f2S4004176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 300000 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 30/09/2003 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 4/1 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 30/09/2003 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 1 1005 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 4.3S / 64.6E (QUATRE DEGRES TROIS SUD ET SOIXANTE-QUATRE DEGRES SIX EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: EST 6 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD ET 400 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 20/25 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE ATTEIGNANT LE GRAND FRAIS 30 KT PRES DU CENTRE ET LOCALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 30/09/2003 A 12 UTC: 4.5S / 64.5E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. A 24H POUR LE 01/10/2003 A 00 UTC: 4.4S / 64.6E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. LE CENTRE DU SYSTEME EST A L'EST DE LA CONVECTION PROFONDE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GLFLH3DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:46:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6kWZO057602 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:46:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U52nfu033736; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1161503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6f7dU020702 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U6f27S004181 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U6f2g4004178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:41:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300641.h8U6f2g4004178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 300000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/30 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 64.6E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1005 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/30 12 UTC: 04.5S/64.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/01 00 UTC: 04.4S/64.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/10/01 12 UTC: 04.3S/64.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/10/02 00 UTC: 04.5S/64.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/10/02 12 UTC: 04.7S/63.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/10/03 00 UTC: 05.0S/63.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:31 2003 X-UIDL: 41026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GOKLI4DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:46:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6lA62024250 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:47:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSJO044510; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1161525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6g8dU038678 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U6g37S004205 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U6g3JN004200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 30/09/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300642.h8U6g3JN004200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 300000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/09/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 4/1 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/09/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1005 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.3S / 64.6E (FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST ) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND 400 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTRE AND LOCALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 12 UTC: 4.5S / 64.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 00 UTC: 4.4S / 64.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: INTENSITY STATIONNARY. THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:31 2003 X-UIDL: 41027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GWLLKWDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:48:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6mnZO057861 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:48:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U52nfw033736; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1161530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6g8dU044856 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U6g37S004206 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U6g3PY004203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:42:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 30/09/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300642.h8U6g3PY004203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 300600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/09/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.6S / 65.3E (FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST ) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO MORE THAN 60 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI -CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/09/30 AT 18 UTC: 4.6S / 65.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 06 UTC: 4.7S / 65.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: INTENSITY STATIONNARY. THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:32 2003 X-UIDL: 41028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GWTLKXDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:48:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6mo62024401 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:48:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSJS044510; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:43:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1161561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:43:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6hGdU042058 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:43:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U6hB7S004239 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:43:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U6hBmT004238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:43:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:43:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 30/09/2003 A 0600 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300643.h8U6hBmT004238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 300600 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 30/09/2003 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 005/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 30/09/2003 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 1 1003 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 4.6S / 65.3E (QUATRE DEGRES SIX SUD ET SOIXANTE-CINQ DEGRES TROIS EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: EST 6 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 250 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST ET LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 350 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S 'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A PLUS DE 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 30/09/2003 A 18 UTC: 4.6S / 65.5E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. A 24H POUR LE 01/10/2003 A 06 UTC: 4.7S / 65.6E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: INTENSITE STATIONNAIRE. LE CENTRE DU SYSTEME EST A L'EST DE LA CONVECTION PROFONDE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:32 2003 X-UIDL: 41029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GCEM0WDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:58:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6wO62025304 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:58:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSJk044510; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:53:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1161742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:53:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U6rUdU044942 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:53:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U6rP7S004332 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:53:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U6rOkj004330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:53:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 01:53:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300653.h8U6rOkj004330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 300600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/30 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.6S / 65.3E (FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 080 SO: 130 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/09/30 18 UTC: 04.6S/65.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/01 06 UTC: 04.7S/65.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/10/01 18 UTC: 04.8S/65.7E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/10/02 06 UTC: 05.2S/65.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/10/02 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/03 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO A NORTHEASTERN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY DUE TO A LACK OF STEARING FLOW.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:33:57 2003 X-UIDL: 41037-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GYMOOBDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:55:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7td62031403 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:55:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STeC044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:50:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1162404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7oRdU083748 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U7oM7S004860 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:50:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U7oMEs004859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:50:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:50:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300750.h8U7oMEs004859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 300750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON SEP 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000G9NRWYDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:05:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U95eZO074433 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:05:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STf4044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:55:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1162811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:55:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U8tEdU083824 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:55:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U8t97S005705 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:55:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U8t9PJ005704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:55:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:55:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300855.h8U8t9PJ005704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTXS31 PGTW 300900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- NEAR 4.6S0 65.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 4.6S0 65.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 5.0S5 65.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 5.2S7 64.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 5.3S8 64.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 5.4S9 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION NEAR 4.7S1 65.0E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300606Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST UNDER WEAK STEERING FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN SLOWLY TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AS THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD IN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOW RATE DUE TO WEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 AND 010900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GB0U00DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:50:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U9oe62044392 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:50:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STfM044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 04:46:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1163041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 04:46:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U9k0dU030456 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 04:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U9jt7S006280 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 04:45:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U9jtUK006279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 04:45:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 04:45:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300945.h8U9jtUK006279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 300945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC SEPTEMBER 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N146W 09N140W 06N145W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 09N149W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14N152W TO 12N151W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N167W TO 08N164W TO 07N157W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N168W 06N171W 08N175W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 11N179W. FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 28N176E TO 25N172W TO 30N162W TO 35N156W TO 40N153W AND FURTHER NORTH MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19S146W 25S131W 29S130W 38S147W 33S153W 28S151W 25S146W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. CB CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND CB WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 10S174W TO 12S163W AND SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 12S163W TO 18S146W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. CB INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 16S142W TO 19S138W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS AND CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 08S178W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GT3UZPDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 18:11:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UAC562047011 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 18:12:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STfc044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:04:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1163184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:04:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UA44dU102640 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:04:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UA3x7S006457 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:03:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UA3xJn006456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:03:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:03:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301003.h8UA3xJn006456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 301003 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 30 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W/88W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME OF THE CONVECTION NORTH OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN CENTRAL AMERICA AND 90W MIGHT BE ENHANCED BY THIS WAVE. ..1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 17N104W...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 18N104W 17N106W 15N106W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0915 UTC EAST OF 110W...AND THROUGH 30/0730 UTC WEST OF 110W... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 12N94W 12N116W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W ESPECIALLY IN COLOMBIA COASTAL WATERS...AND WITHIN 75 NM TO THE NORTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NORTH OF THE ITCZ EAST OF 104W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:09 2003 X-UIDL: 41058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GYIV15DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 18:12:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UACx62047145 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 18:13:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STfg044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:06:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1163209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:06:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UA6BdU015498 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:06:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UA667S006488 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:06:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UA66d3006487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:06:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 05:06:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301006.h8UA66d3006487@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 301006 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE SEP 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 280 MILES WEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...EVEN THOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:11 2003 X-UIDL: 41061-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GKJ2P8DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:58:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UCwaZO001831 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:58:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U5kA7c031762; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1164697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UCoedU054130 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UCoZ7S008161 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UCoZYW008159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 30/09/2003 A 1200 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301250.h8UCoZYW008159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO21 FMEE 301200 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 30/09/2003 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 006/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 30/09/2003 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 1 1003 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 4.4S / 65.2E (QUATRE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE-CINQ DEGRES DEUX EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: QUASISTATIONNAIRE ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST ET LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 350 MN DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S 'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A PLUS DE 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 01/10/2003 A 00 UTC: 4.4S / 65.3E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. A 24H POUR LE 01/10/2003 A 12 UTC: 4.5S / 65.4E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME COMMENCE A MONTRER DES SIGNES D'AFFAIBLISSEMENT, LE CENTRE EST EXPOSE AU NORD-EST DE L'ACTIVITE CONVECTIVE ORAGEUSE QUI SE DESTRUCTURE EN RAISON D'UNE CONTRAINTE D'ALTITUDE DE NORD-EST. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:11 2003 X-UIDL: 41062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GLP2PPDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:58:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UCwdZO001848 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:58:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STiG044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:49:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1164684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UCnddU089126 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:49:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UCnY7S008137 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:49:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UCnYGM008135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:49:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:49:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 30/09/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301249.h8UCnYGM008135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 301200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/09/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/09/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 65.2E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO MORE THAN 60 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI -CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 00 UTC: 4.4S / 65.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 12 UTC: 4.5S / 65.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF WEAKENING. THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS EXPOSED NORTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, WICH IS DISORGANISING DUE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:12 2003 X-UIDL: 41063-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GF434JDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:07:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UD7a62065395 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:07:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U52nk6051648; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1164692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UCoedU020732 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UCoZ7S008160 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UCoZLB008156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 07:50:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301250.h8UCoZLB008156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 301200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/09/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/09/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 65.2E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO MORE THAN 60 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI -CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 00 UTC: 4.4S / 65.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 12 UTC: 4.5S / 65.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF WEAKENING. THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS EXPOSED NORTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, WICH IS DISORGANISING DUE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:12 2003 X-UIDL: 41064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GU73VXDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:23:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UDOAZO004920 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:24:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STjE044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:09:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1164980 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:09:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UD97dU057500 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:09:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UD927S008559 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UD925C008557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:09:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301309.h8UD925C008557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 301200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/30 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 65.2E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 080 SO: 130 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/01 00 UTC: 04.4S/65.3E, MAX WIND=030KT . 24H: 2003/10/01 12 UTC: 04.5S/65.4E, MAX WIND=030KT . 36H: 2003/10/02 00 UTC: 04.7S/65.4E, MAX WIND=030KT . 48H: 2003/10/02 12 UTC: 04.9S/65.3E, MAX WIND=030KT . 60H: 2003/10/03 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/03 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO A NORTHEASTERN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY DUE TO A LACK OF STEARING FLOW.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GY25I5DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:58:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UDx9ZO008520 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:59:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STko044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:50:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1165652 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UDojdU057574 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UDoe7S009586 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:50:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UDodk5009585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:50:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301350.h8UDodk5009585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 301350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE SEP 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GD05OSDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 22:02:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UE35ZO008997 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 22:03:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STkq044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:54:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1165718 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:54:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UDs3dU045810 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:54:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UDrw7S009672 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:53:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UDrwM5009669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:53:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:53:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301353.h8UDrwM5009669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 301200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/30 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 65.2E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 080 SO: 130 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/01 00 UTC: 04.4S/65.3E, MAX WIND=030KT . 24H: 2003/10/01 12 UTC: 04.5S/65.4E, MAX WIND=030KT . 36H: 2003/10/02 00 UTC: 04.7S/65.4E, MAX WIND=030KT . 48H: 2003/10/02 12 UTC: 04.9S/65.3E, MAX WIND=030KT . 60H: 2003/10/03 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/03 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO A NORTHEASTERN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY DUE TO A LACK OF STEARING FLOW. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:23 2003 X-UIDL: 41077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GWOAI3DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:46:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UFl8ZO020979 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:47:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STre044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 10:36:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1168388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 10:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UFaPdU051920 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 10:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UFaK7S012785 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 10:36:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UFaKif012784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 10:36:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 10:36:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301536.h8UFaKif012784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 301532 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 30 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1006 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 17N105W MOVING WESTWARD 5 TO 10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. EXTENDED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SOME OF THE ENERGY HAS BEEN PULLED NWD INTO A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE GLFMEX AND THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE IS NOT NEARLY AS IMPRESSIVE AS SEVERAL DAYS AGO. HOWEVER...THERE IS SOME ENHANCED CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ AND THIS...ALONG WITH EXTRAPOLATION...IS THE BASIS FOR THE CURRENT POSITION. ..1018 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 29N132W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SEWD TO JUST S OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 21N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1445 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 17N105W... SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 105W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 102W-107W INCLUDING COASTAL PORTIONS OF MEXICO FROM 102W THROUGH PUERTO VALLARTA. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 11N90W 13N100W 11N110W 7N120W 11N128W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 85W-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND S OF PUERTO ANGEL FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 94W-98W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GFBERVDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:19:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UHJOZO031178 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:19:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STxe044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:56:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1170223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UGundU011650 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UGui7S015203 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:56:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UGui1x015202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:56:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:56:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301656.h8UGui1x015202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 301656 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE SEP 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GDJIJCDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:40:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UIeaZO040186 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:40:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UHQBg2041708; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:30:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1171782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:30:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UITxdU019674 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UITr7S018199 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:29:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UITrMF018197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:29:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:29:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301829.h8UITrMF018197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 301800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/09/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/09/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 65.5E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST ) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 06 UTC: 4.6S / 65.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 18 UTC: 4.9S / 65.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE NORTHEAST OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. DEEP CONVECTION IS WEAKENING AND DISORGANISING DUE TO A STRONG NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GR6ITFDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:46:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UIkjZO040724 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:46:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UHQBgK041708; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1172090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UIiJdU085144 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UIiE7S018659 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UIiEP2018658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 30/09/2003 A 1800 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301844.h8UIiEP2018658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 301800 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 30/09/2003 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 007/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MARDI 30/09/2003 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 1 1003 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 40 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 4.4S / 65.5E (QUATRE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE-CINQ DEGRES CINQ EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: QUASISTATIONNAIRE ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S 'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 50 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 01/10/2003 A 06 UTC: 4.6S / 65.6E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. A 24H POUR LE 01/10/2003 A 18 UTC: 4.9S / 65.5E, VENT MAX = 25 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTRE EST DIFFICILE A POSITIONNER AU NORD-EST DE LA CONVECTION. LA CONVECTION S'AFFAIBLIT ET SE DESORGANISE PAR CONTRAINTE DE NORD-EST EN ALTITUDE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41090-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GWHIXODB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:49:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UInG62001443 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:49:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U52nvC033736; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:41:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1171975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:41:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UIfCdU030300 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:41:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UIf77S018572 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UIf7dC018570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:41:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301841.h8UIf7dC018570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 301800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/30 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 65.5E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 070 SO: 090 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/01 06 UTC: 04.6S/65.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/01 18 UTC: 04.9S/65.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/10/02 06 UTC: 05.2S/65.2E DISSIPATING. 48H: 2003/10/02 18 UTC: 05.3S/64.8E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO A NORTHEASTERN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY DUE TO A LACK OF STEARING FLOW. CONVECTION IS WEAKENING AND DISORGANISING SINCE MIDDAY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:31 2003 X-UIDL: 41091-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100G8WJ73DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:54:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UIsvZO041362 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:54:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UHQBgS041708; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:45:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1172137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:45:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UIjKdU013310 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:45:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UIjF7S018726 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UIjFj5018724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:45:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301845.h8UIjFj5018724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 301800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 2.A POSITION 2003/09/30 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 65.5E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 070 SO: 090 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/01 06 UTC: 04.6S/65.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/01 18 UTC: 04.9S/65.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/10/02 06 UTC: 05.2S/65.2E DISSIPATING. 48H: 2003/10/02 18 UTC: 05.3S/64.8E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO A NORTHEASTERN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY DUE TO A LACK OF STEARING FLOW. CONVECTION IS WEAKENING AND DISORGANISING SINCE MIDDAY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:31 2003 X-UIDL: 41092-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GAJJ87DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:55:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UItbZO041432 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:55:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UHQBgM041708; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1172096 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UIiKdU085150 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UIiF7S018668 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UIiF8Y018666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:44:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 30/09/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301844.h8UIiF8Y018666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 301800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/09/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/09/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 65.5E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST ) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 50 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 06 UTC: 4.6S / 65.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 18 UTC: 4.9S / 65.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE NORTHEAST OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. DEEP CONVECTION IS WEAKENING AND DISORGANISING DUE TO A STRONG NORTHEASTERLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:31 2003 X-UIDL: 41093-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GL9JGBDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:00:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UJ0E62002603 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:00:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UHQBgi041708; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:48:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1172204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:48:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UImQdU017606 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UImI7S018873 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:48:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UImIiT018872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:48:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:48:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301848.h8UImIiT018872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PHNC 301900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 301830ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.2N9 103.8W2 TO 17.9N7 109.4W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 301700Z1 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 104.5W0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 011800Z0. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2N8 102.3E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 104.6W1, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 011900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:32 2003 X-UIDL: 41094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GPPMKDDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:07:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UK7f62011016 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:07:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U52n6k051648; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:51:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1173588 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:50:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UJobdU042100 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:50:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UJoW7S020867 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UJoWIT020866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 14:50:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301950.h8UJoWIT020866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 301950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE SEP 30 2003 A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR 12N140W IS MOVING WEST AT 5-10 MPH. ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:36 2003 X-UIDL: 41096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GFJOHHDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:48:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UKnBZO055590 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:49:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UHQBnE041708; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:35:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1174628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:35:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UKZmdU007970 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:35:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UKZh7S022301 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:35:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UKZh9m022300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:35:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:35:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309302035.h8UKZh9m022300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTXS31 PGTW 302100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 4.6S0 65.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 4.6S0 65.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 4.9S3 66.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 5.2S7 66.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 5.5S0 65.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 6.0S6 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION NEAR 4.7S1 66.0E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED AND A 301510Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALED A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST UNDER WEAK STEERING FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN SHIFT TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST AS THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD IN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOW RATE THROUGH 24 HOURS DUE TO WEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. EXPECT A MORE CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AFTER 24 HOURS AS UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS IMPROVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 AND 012100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:36 2003 X-UIDL: 41097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GN9PVBDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 05:18:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULJ4ZO059006 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 05:19:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UHYLIA031766; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1175060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UKvRdU045852 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UKvL7S022888 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UKvLhH022886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309302057.h8UKvLhH022886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 302100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/302100ZSEP03/010600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300752ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300900Z2 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU) LOCATED NEAR 35.0N8 149.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GVKS7EDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 06:09:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UM9TZO063571 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 06:09:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UJafkS033738; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:48:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1176089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:48:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULm8dU032828 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:48:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8ULm37S024175 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:48:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8ULm3UY024174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:48:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:48:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309302148.h8ULm3UY024174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 302146 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 30 SEP 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1006 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 16N105W MOVING W 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS MARKED BY A CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 91W-94W. ..1021 MB HIGH IS NEAR 28N132W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO JUST S OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 21N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2115 UTC. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N105W... VISIBLE IMAGES TODAY SHOW A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH ONLY SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COULD BE EXITING THE SYSTEM ON ITS WESTERN HALF... A FEATURE NOT TYPICAL ASSOCIATED WITH CYCLONES UNDERGOING FORMATION IN HE SHORT-TERM. HOWEVER SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 15.5N-18N BETWEEN 105W-108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N87W 11N93W 13N103W 11N113W 7N120W 11N134W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS E OF 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 98W-105W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 15N111W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13.5N BETWEEN 137W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 14N95W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE W COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 9N-13N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100KC9SJOGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 06:16:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UMGg62024663 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 06:16:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKdg098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1176414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULtXdU020580 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8ULtS7S024371 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8ULtSOm024370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309302155.h8ULtSOm024370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 302155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC SEPTEMBER 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NEAR 12N140W MOVING WEST 5 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 85 NM OF LINE 08N160W 07N180 MOVED WEST 15 KT AND DIMINISHED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK FRONT...THROUGH 30N159W 26N172W MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. FRONTAL CLOUD BAND EXPECTED TO STALL NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF KAUAI WEDNESDAY NIGHT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CIRRUS CLOUD BAND ALONG LINE 30N151W 22N163W 21N172W 24N180 MOVED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 25-30 KT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ALONG 25S141W 20S143W CONTINUES AS A CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 12S160W 11S170W 07S180. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH AND ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE WEST OF 166W. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ELSEWHERE ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... WEAK LOW...NEAR 22S177W MOVED SOUTHWEST 5 KT. WEAK TROUGH OR CONVERGENCE ZONE ACCOMPANYING THE LOW EXTENDS FROM 22S175W TO 17S172W 14S172W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG TROUGH/CONVERGENCE ZONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:39 2003 X-UIDL: 41104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100KKBTFKGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 06:35:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UMa2ZO066077 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 06:36:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKeM098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:19:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1176726 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:19:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UMJQdU042118 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:19:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UMJL7S024767 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:19:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UMJLFf024766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:19:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:19:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309302219.h8UMJLFf024766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 302219 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS DECREASED THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100KGUZHKGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 08:46:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h910kn62037082 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 08:46:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKhW098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:38:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1178230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:38:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h910cAdU013596 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:38:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h910c57S027007 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h910c5pT027005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:38:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010038.h910c5pT027005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 010000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 8/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 2.A POSITION 2003/10/01 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 66.1E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 070 SO: 090 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/01 12 UTC: 04.7S/66.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/02 00 UTC: 05.0S/66.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/10/02 12 UTC: 05.3S/66.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/10/03 00 UTC: 05.4S/65.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM REMAINS SHEARED AND MOVES SLOWLY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:45 2003 X-UIDL: 41110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100KKYZJMGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 08:47:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h910m3ZO079293 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 08:48:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKhu098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:44:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1178350 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:44:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h910iOdU020598 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:44:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h910iJ7S027099 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:44:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h910iIai027097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:44:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 19:44:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010044.h910iIai027097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 010000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 01/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 66.1E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 70 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 12 UTC: 4.7S / 66.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 00 UTC: 5.0S / 66.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE NORTHEAST OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41112-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200K2E2NDGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:54:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h911t562042674 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:55:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKjU098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1179245 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h911p7dU045666 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h911p27S028010 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h911p2Tq028009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 01/10/2003 A 0000 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010151.h911p2Tq028009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 010000 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 01/10/2003 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 008/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 01/10/2003 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 1 1000 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 50 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 4.4S / 66.1E (QUATRE DEGRES QUATRE SUD ET SOIXANTE-SIX DEGRES UN EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: EST 3 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 300 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S 'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 70 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 01/10/2003 A 12 UTC: 4.7S / 66.3E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. A 24H POUR LE 02/10/2003 A 00 UTC: 5.0S / 66.3E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE CENTRE EST DIFFICILE A POSITIONNER AU NORD-EST DE LA CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200K3V2O1GD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:55:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h911tW62042710 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:55:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrGic037318; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1179248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h911p8dU023956 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h911p27S028016 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h911p2GT028014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:51:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 01/10/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010151.h911p2GT028014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 010000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 01/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 66.1E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 70 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 12 UTC: 4.7S / 66.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 00 UTC: 5.0S / 66.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE NORTHEAST OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200K7Q2RCGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:57:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h911vUZO085380 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:57:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKja098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:52:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1179298 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:52:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h911q9dU044398 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:52:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h911q47S028046 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:52:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h911q4rL028044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:52:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:52:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010152.h911q4rL028044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 010000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 8/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 2.A POSITION 2003/10/01 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 66.1E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 070 SO: 090 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/01 12 UTC: 04.7S/66.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/02 00 UTC: 05.0S/66.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/10/02 12 UTC: 05.3S/66.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/10/03 00 UTC: 05.4S/65.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM REMAINS SHEARED AND MOVES SLOWLY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41115-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KHC2XVGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 10:01:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9121JZO085748 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 10:01:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKje098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:55:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1179350 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:55:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h911tudU023976 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:55:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h911tp7S028099 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h911tpX9028098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 20:55:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010155.h911tpX9028098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 010155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE SEP 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41125-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KTW8H3GD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:00:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9140uZO097237 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:00:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKmU098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 22:57:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1180899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 22:57:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h913vWdU023392 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 22:57:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h913vR7S029661 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 22:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h913vRYW029660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 22:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 22:57:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010357.h913vRYW029660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 010357 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO IS PRODUCING INTERMETTENT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KN68WEGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:09:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h914A662053888 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:10:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKma098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:03:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1180959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:03:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9143UdU017594 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:03:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9143P7S029761 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:03:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9143PB2029760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:03:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:03:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010403.h9143PB2029760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 010403 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 01 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 16N106W AT 01/0000 UTC MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 14N IN SW HONDURAS BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 92W AND 95W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 113W AND 140W. 1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N131W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0330 UTC. 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 16N106W... BURST OF CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 101W AND 104W. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIGHT DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 10N93W 13N103W 15N112W 10N120W 11N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 137W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W...AND FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 111W AND 113W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200K8G99ZGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:17:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h914IH62054883 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:18:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKnE098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:14:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1181065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:14:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h914E3dU047524 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:14:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h914Dw7S029913 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:13:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h914Dwkq029911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:13:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 23:13:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 01/10/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010413.h914Dwkq029911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 010000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 01/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.4S / 66.1E (FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 70 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 12 UTC: 4.7S / 66.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 00 UTC: 5.0S / 66.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE NORTHEAST OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:00 2003 X-UIDL: 41133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KYTER6GD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:16:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h916GY62064441 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:16:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKpi098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:13:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1182598 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:13:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h916DTdU020488 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:13:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h916DO7S001392 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:13:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h916DO49001390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:13:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:13:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010613.h916DO49001390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 010600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 010/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 01/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 1 (ABAIMBA) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.7S / 65.6E (FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST ) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 18 UTC: 5.0S / 65.2E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 06 UTC: 5.3S / 64.5E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS QUICKLY INTENSIFIED DURING TH ELAST NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:00 2003 X-UIDL: 41134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200K5AEWAGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:19:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h916Je62064649 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:19:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrGnK037318; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1182503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9164edU035050 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9164Z7S001276 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9164Z4F001274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010604.h9164Z4F001274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301951ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:00 2003 X-UIDL: 41135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200K79EWXGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:19:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h916K462064698 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:20:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKpm098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:15:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1182609 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:15:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h916FXdU069392 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:15:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h916FS7S001431 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:15:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h916FRqI001429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:15:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:15:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010615.h916FRqI001429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 010600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/1/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 1 (ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/01 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.7S / 65.6E (FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 180 NO: 220 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/01 18 UTC: 05.0S/65.2E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2003/10/02 06 UTC: 05.3S/64.5E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/10/02 18 UTC: 05.7S/63.5E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/10/03 06 UTC: 05.9S/62.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/10/03 18 UTC: 05.9S/61.4E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/10/04 06 UTC: 06.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE LAST HOURS. THE TRACK, ALMOST STAIONNARY FOR THE MOMENT, SHOULD CURVE WESTSOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:02 2003 X-UIDL: 41140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200K3DJAHGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:54:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h917sXZO018680 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:54:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKr0098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:50:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1183422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h917oadU051686 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h917oV7S002541 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:50:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h917oVpk002540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:50:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 02:50:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010750.h917oVpk002540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 010750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE SEP 30 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N140W SHOWED SOME SIGNS OF A CLOSED CIRCULATION AT THE SURFACE...POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION... AND A CLOCKWISE ROTATION TO ITS UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS DISTURBANCE MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR. IT WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT...THOUGH NONE ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:03 2003 X-UIDL: 41141-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KIHK4OGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:12:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h918Ce62073287 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:12:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKr8098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1183529 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9188ZdU080870 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9188U7S002934 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9188UNO002932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010808.h9188UNO002932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 010600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/1/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 1 (ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/01 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.7S / 65.6E (FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 180 NO: 220 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/01 18 UTC: 05.0S/65.2E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2003/10/02 06 UTC: 05.3S/64.5E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/10/02 18 UTC: 05.7S/63.5E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/10/03 06 UTC: 05.9S/62.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/10/03 18 UTC: 05.9S/61.4E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/10/04 06 UTC: 06.0S/61.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE LAST HOURS. THE TRACK, ALMOST STAIONNARY FOR THE MOMENT, SHOULD CURVE WESTSOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:03 2003 X-UIDL: 41142-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KIOK4QGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:12:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h918Ci62073294 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:12:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKr6098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:07:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1183521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:07:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9187MdU080850 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:07:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9187H7S002907 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:07:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9187HEW002905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:07:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:07:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010807.h9187HEW002905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 010600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 010/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 01/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 1 (ABAIMBA) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.7S / 65.6E (FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST ) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/01 AT 18 UTC: 5.0S / 65.2E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 06 UTC: 5.3S / 64.5E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS QUICKLY INTENSIFIED DURING TH ELAST NIGHT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41143-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KPIK9QGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:15:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h918Fi62073604 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:15:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrGnw037318; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1183526 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9188YdU080866 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9188T7S002927 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9188T3L002926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:08:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 01/10/2003 A 0600 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010808.h9188T3L002926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 010600 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 01/10/2003 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 010/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 01/10/2003 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 1 (ABAIMBA) 990 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 4.7S / 65.6E (QUATRE DEGRES SEPT SUD ET SOIXANTE-CINQ DEGRES SIX EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: QUASISTATIONNAIRE ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 250 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE PRES DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 180 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 01/10/2003 A 18 UTC: 5.0S / 65.2E, VENT MAX = 45 KT. A 24H POUR LE 02/10/2003 A 06 UTC: 5.3S / 64.5E, VENT MAX = 50 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME S'EST RAPIDEMENT INTENSIFIE DEPUIS LA NUIT DERNIERE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KQ8KZVGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:31:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h918VL62075050 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:31:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKrM098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:23:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1183606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:23:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h918NedU031446 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:23:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h918NZ7S003132 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:23:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h918NZWG003131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:23:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:23:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010823.h918NZWG003131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 010900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- NEAR 4.4S8 65.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 4.4S8 65.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 4.7S1 65.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 5.0S5 65.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 5.4S9 64.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 6.1S7 62.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION NEAR 4.5S9 65.8E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 010530Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IN THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NO LONGER EXPOSED. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST UNDER WEAK STEERING FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TC 01S WILL BEGIN TO STEADILY INCREASE IN TRACK SPEED UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AS IT BEGINS TO BUILD IN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A MODERATE RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER IMPROVING UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 AND 020900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:22 2003 X-UIDL: 41152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200K2LOTZGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:53:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h919sFZO030432 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:54:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKsq098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:46:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1184363 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h919k3dU042170 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h919jq7S004120 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:45:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h919jqbu004119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:45:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:45:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010945.h919jqbu004119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 010945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N141W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER THAT MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS...CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA...AND WEAKENED. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 200 NM OF THE LINE FROM 26N180 TO 24N166W TO 30N154W TO 40N147W AND FURTHER NORTH MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N154W TO 06N149W TO 11N144W TO 11N142W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 13N152W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 12N159W TO 13N157W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 15N159W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N178W TO 10N170W TO 08N164W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 18S141W TO 20S139W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS...INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 21S138W 22S133W 31S129W 37S133W 39S141W 33S150W 28S147W 27S141W 29S138W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 12S162W TO 17S146W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09S173W TO 12S166W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY... CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 11S153W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:23 2003 X-UIDL: 41153-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KBHP08GD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:57:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h919w262082125 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:58:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKss098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:50:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1184382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:50:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h919oOdU020706 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:50:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h919oI7S004145 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:50:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h919oIGt004144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:50:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:50:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010950.h919oIGt004144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 010950 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING INTERMITTENT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:23 2003 X-UIDL: 41155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200LB9PYLR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 18:18:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91AIXZO032722 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 18:18:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKtA098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 05:10:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1184530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 05:10:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91AADdU081732 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 05:10:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91AA87S004386 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 05:10:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91AA8XG004385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 05:10:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 05:10:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011010.h91AA8XG004385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 011009 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 01 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NEAR 16N108W AT 01/0600 UTC MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W/93 SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. BURST OF STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 92W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 98W. ITCZ WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 88W AND 91W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N BETWEEN 115W AND 140W. 1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0915 UTC EAST OF 110W...AND THROUGH 01/0730 UTC WEST OF 110W... 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER/TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N108W... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION...WEAKENING DURING THE LAST 4-5 HOURS...FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 107W AND 109W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 105W...ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MEXICO COAST. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIGHT DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N91W 13N105W 13N124W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 92W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION...DISSIPATING DURING THE LAST 4-5 HOURS...WITHIN 125 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:25 2003 X-UIDL: 41160-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200LBQVWGR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 20:26:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91CQtZO043668 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 20:26:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKv0098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:20:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1185315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:20:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91CKrdU048142 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:20:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91CKl7S005710 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:20:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91CKlLO005708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:20:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:20:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011220.h91CKlLO005708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 011200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 010/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 01/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 1 (ABAIMBA) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.8S / 66.7E (FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 00 UTC: 5.0S / 67.2E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 12 UTC: 5.4S / 66.1E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED BUT SHOULD REBUILT FOR THE NEXT NIGHT. REMARK : CORRECTIVE ON THE NUMBERING OF THE BULLETIN ISSUED AT 06 UTC 009/01 AND NOT 010/01.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:26 2003 X-UIDL: 41161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200K21W15GD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 20:29:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91CTgZO043861 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 20:29:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKv8098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:23:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1185355 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:23:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91CNudU047518 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:23:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91CNp7S005773 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:23:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91CNpEF005771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:23:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 07:23:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011223.h91CNpEF005771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 011200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 10/1/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 1 (ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/01 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.8S / 66.7E (FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 180 NO: 220 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/02 00 UTC: 05.0S/67.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/10/02 12 UTC: 05.4S/66.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/10/03 00 UTC: 05.8S/65.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/10/03 12 UTC: 06.3S/63.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/10/04 00 UTC: 06.4S/61.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/10/04 12 UTC: 06.6S/60.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED. THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS WELL EXPOSED, LOCATED 0,75 DEEGRE IN THE EAST OF THE CDO.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300L7Y0CKR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 22:02:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91E2s62002237 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 22:02:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKx4098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 08:50:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1186402 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 08:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91DoYdU085146 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 08:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91DoT7S007581 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 08:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91DoTnb007580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 08:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 08:50:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011350.h91DoTnb007580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 011350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED OCT 1 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N141W SHOWED SOME SIGNS OF A CLOSED CIRCULATION AT THE SURFACE...AND VERY POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION. THIS DISTURBANCE MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR. IT WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT...THOUGH NONE ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:29 2003 X-UIDL: 41170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300KZN2UVGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 22:56:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91EvC62007390 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 22:57:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrK26098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:46:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1187229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:46:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91EkNdU071138 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91EkI7S009649 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91EkIEo009647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:46:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:46:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011446.h91EkIEo009647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 011200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 10/1/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 1 (ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/01 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.8S / 66.7E (FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 180 NO: 220 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/02 00 UTC: 05.0S/67.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/10/02 12 UTC: 05.4S/66.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/10/03 00 UTC: 05.8S/65.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/10/03 12 UTC: 06.3S/63.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/10/04 00 UTC: 06.4S/61.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/10/04 12 UTC: 06.6S/60.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED. THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS WELL EXPOSED, LOCATED 0,75 DEEGRE IN THE EAST OF THE CDO. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LKV2X6R6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 22:58:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91EwYZO058982 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 22:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrGwA037318; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1187183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91EiKdU033672 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91EiF7S009572 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91EiFVu009569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 01/10/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011444.h91EiFVu009569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 011200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 010/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 01/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 1 (ABAIMBA) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 4.8S / 66.7E (FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 00 UTC: 5.0S / 67.2E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 12 UTC: 5.4S / 66.1E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED BUT SHOULD REBUILT FOR THE NEXT NIGHT. REMARK : CORRECTIVE ON THE NUMBERING OF THE BULLETIN ISSUED AT 06 UTC 009/01 AND NOT 010/01. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LLA2X8R6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 22:58:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91EwbZO058988 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 22:58:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrK20098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1187180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91EiKdU015446 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91EiF7S009570 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91EiFGZ009565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:44:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 01/10/2003 A 1200 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011444.h91EiFGZ009565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 011200 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 01/10/2003 A 1200 UTC. NUMERO: 010/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE COUP DE VENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 01/10/2003 A 1200 UTC. PHENOMENE: TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE 1 (ABAIMBA) 990 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 4.8S / 66.7E (QUATRE DEGRES HUIT SUD ET SOIXANTE-SIX DEGRES SEPT EST) A 1200 UTC DEPLACEMENT: EST 6 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS JUSQU'A 250 MN DU CENTRE, PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LES SECTEURS OUEST ET SUD. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE PRES DU CENTRE. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE S'ETENDANT LOCALEMENT JUSQU'A 180 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 02/10/2003 A 00 UTC: 5.0S / 67.2E, VENT MAX = 40 KT. A 24H POUR LE 02/10/2003 A 12 UTC: 5.4S / 66.1E, VENT MAX = 40 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: L'ACTIVITE CONVECTIVE S'EST ESTOMPEE EN COURS DE JOURNEE MAIS POURRAIT DE NOUVEAU S'INTENSIFIER EN COURS DE NUIT PROCHAINE. REMARQUE : CORRECTION DE LA NUMEROTATION DU BULLETIN DIFFUSE A 06 UTC 009 /01 EN LIEU ET PLACE DE 010/01. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:31 2003 X-UIDL: 41174-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300KFB4B4GD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 23:28:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91FSRZO062164 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 23:28:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9154Bls093996; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 10:05:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1187648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 10:05:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91F5qdU004564 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 10:05:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91F5l7S010343 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 10:05:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91F5kCS010342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 10:05:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 10:05:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011505.h91F5kCS010342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 011505 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 01 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N108W DRIFTING WEST. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. THE WAVE IS POSITIONED A LITTLE AHEAD OF EXTRAPOLATED MOTION BASED UPON THE BELIZE TIMESECTION WHICH SHOWS PASSAGE NEAR 0600 UTC 9/29. THIS YIELDS A SLIGHTLY LOWER TRANSLATION OF 10 KT. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF CONVECTION SW OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITH SCATTERED STRONG ACTIVITY FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 95W AND 101W. HOWEVER...THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ..1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 29N131W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SEWD OVER THE S BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1430 UTC TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N108W... AFTER LOSING MUCH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVERNIGHT...THE DISTURBANCE IS NOW GENERATING NEW BURSTS OF CONVECTION. HOWEVER...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ELONGATED N/S WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION EXTENDING AS FAR N AS THE COAST OF MEXICO JUST S OF PUERTO VALLARTA. SCATTERED STRONG ACTIVITY FROM 15N-20.5N BETWEEN 105W-110W. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALON 7N77W 9N95W 14N103W 9N123W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 79W-84W AND FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 87W-93W. DEVELOPING CLUSTERS OF ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS W OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:37 2003 X-UIDL: 41177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300K7P7ZOGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 00:47:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91Glx62018344 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 00:48:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrK7W098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 11:36:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1189066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 11:36:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91GZtdU104148 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 11:35:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91GZo7S013116 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 11:35:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91GZo4Q013115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 11:35:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 11:35:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011635.h91GZo4Q013115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 011635 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LYUAA4R6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 01:37:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91HbV62023251 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 01:37:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKAO098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1189737 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91HSGdU057970 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91HSB7S014691 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91HSB5n014689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011728.h91HSB5n014689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800ZOCT2003/021800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010752ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 010900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/MEMEMBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300KPEAA4GD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 01:37:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91HbVZO075675 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 01:37:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrG1w037318; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1189740 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91HSGdU047278 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91HSB7S014692 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91HSBwF014690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:28:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011728.h91HSBwF014690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800ZOCT2003/021800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010752ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 010900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/MEMEMBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:40 2003 X-UIDL: 41181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LWXBFPR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 02:02:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91I2QZO078019 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 02:02:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKD6098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:57:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1190244 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:57:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91HuxdU069586 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:56:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91Hur7S015545 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91Hurap015543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 12:56:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011756.h91Hurap015543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 011800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/10/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 013/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 01/10/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 1 (ABAIMBA) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.0S / 66.3E (FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE , EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 06 UTC: 5.3S / 65.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/02 AT 18 UTC: 5.5S / 65.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM ABAIMBA HAS STARTED TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD SLOWLY AND IT SHOULD CONSERVE THIS TRACK FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. IT IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THE CENTRE. THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS, WITH CONVECTION NOT WELL ORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:40 2003 X-UIDL: 41182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LAABTPR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 02:10:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91IAq62025969 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 02:10:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrG2W037318; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 13:00:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1190309 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 13:00:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91I06dU047118 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 13:00:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91I017S015700 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 13:00:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91I01MP015698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 13:00:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 13:00:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011800.h91I01MP015698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 011800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 11/1/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 1 (ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/01 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.0S / 66.3E (FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 MOINS /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 180 NO: 220 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/02 06 UTC: 05.3S/65.8E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/10/02 18 UTC: 05.5S/65.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/10/03 06 UTC: 05.7S/64.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/10/03 18 UTC: 05.8S/63.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/10/04 06 UTC: 06.0S/62.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/10/04 18 UTC: 06.3S/60.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: EASTERLY SHEARED, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM ABAIMBA HAS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED DURING THE LAST HOURS. CONVECTION IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:42 2003 X-UIDL: 41186-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300KLDH3LGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 04:04:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91K4o62037927 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 04:04:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKIe098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:59:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1192370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:59:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91JxvdU049314 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91Jxq7S019297 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:59:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91JxqrS019296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:59:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:59:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011959.h91JxqrS019296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 011959 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED OCT 1 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED NEAR 13N 143W. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 10 MILES AN HOUR. IT WILL BE WATCHED CLOSELY FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT...THOUGH NONE ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:42 2003 X-UIDL: 41187-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300KO6H70GD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 04:06:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91K6s62038129 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 04:06:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKIM098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:55:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1192283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:55:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91JtIdU057836 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:55:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91JtC7S019177 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:55:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91JtCE1019176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:55:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:55:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011955.h91JtCE1019176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PHNC 011900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011830ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.9N5 107.1W9 TO 16.6N3 112.8W2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 011800Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N5 108.1W0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 021800Z1. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 105.9W5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.9N5 108.1W0, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT INCREASED CONVECTION AND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. THIS MESSAGE SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 021900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300KMBKHGGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 05:17:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91LHv62045666 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 05:17:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVonF006790; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:07:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1193569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:07:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91L7Nlx083488 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:07:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91L7I7S021516 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:07:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91L7ILW021515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:07:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:07:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310012107.h91L7ILW021515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 012100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 5.1S6 66.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 5.1S6 66.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 5.8S3 65.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 6.4S0 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 6.8S4 62.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 7.3S0 60.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION NEAR 5.3S8 65.8E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 395 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND LATEST CIMSS U/L CHART REVEALS WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW WITH CONTINUED POLEWARD OUTFLOW. LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SLIGHT INFILTRATION OF COOLER AIR INTO THE WESTERN SIDE OF TC 01S. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE WEAK STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. EXPECT A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TRACK SPEED THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE STEERING RIDGE CONTINUES TO STRENGHTHEN. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE COOLER AIR COUNTERACTS WITH THE SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IN THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 AND 022100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:45 2003 X-UIDL: 41194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LOYKRBR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 05:23:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91LNr62046541 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 05:23:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKJO098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1192659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KOhdU012460 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91KOb7S020058 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91KObk9020055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310012024.h91KObk9020055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 012024 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED OCT 01 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON INDICATES THE SMALL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 435 NMI SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. AN EARLIER BURST OF VERY COLD CONVECTION...TEMPS BELOW -80C... HAS ABATED SOME...BUT THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN LOOKS MUCH BETTER THAN IT DID THIS TIME YESTERDAY. THE SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS A CONSENSUS T1.5...OR 25 KT...FROM ALL THREE AGENCIES. ALSO...A 01/1652 SSMI OVERPASS INDICATED TIGHTLY CURVED BANDS SPIRALING INTO A WELL-DEFINED LOW-/MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. BASED ON THIS INFORMATION...THIS SYSTEM IS BEING STARTED AS 25-KT TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 265/06. TD-14E HAS BEEN MOVING SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF DUE WEST THE PAST 24 HOURS AS SOME LOW-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE NORTH HAS CONTINUED TO BUILD SLOWLY SOUTHWARD. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST AFTER THAT. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE AMONG THE VARIOUS MODELS. THE GFDL... NOGAPS...AND GFS TAKE THE DEPRESSION BASICALLY SLOWLY WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...WITH THE NOGAPS BEING THE SLOWEST OF THE THREE MODELS. THE UKMET...CANADIAN...AND GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS MOVE THE DEPRESSION SLOWLY WESTWARD FOR 36-48 HOURS AND THEN TURN THE CYCLONE NORTHWARD INDICATING THAT RECURVATURE MAY OCCUR BY 120 HOURS. THE NORTHWARD MOTION AND ANY RECURVATURE IS HIGHLY DEPENDENT UPON THE INTENSITY AND VERTICAL STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE...AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST. ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS AGREE THAT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY NORTH OF HAWAII WILL DIG SOUTHEASTWARD AND CREATE A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE BY 72 HOURS ALONG 120W LONGITUDE. THE MODELS THAT TAKE THE DEPRESSION WESTWARD KEEP IT AS A WEAK SYSTEM...WHEREAS THE MORE NORTHWARD MODELS SHOW A LITTLE MORE VERTICAL DEVELOPMENT. WHILE TD-14E IS CURRENTLY A SMALL DIAMETER TROPICAL CYCLONE...IT APPEARS TO BE FAIRLY DEEP IN THE VERTICAL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE GUIDANCE MODELS WITH A SLIGHT LEANING TOWARD THE GFS ENSEMBLE MODEL...WHICH DID QUITE WELL IN PREDICTING THE EARLY RECURVATURE THAT OCCURRED WITH HURRICANE MARTY. THE SHIPS INTENSITY MODEL BRINGS THE CYCLONE UP TO NEAR 50 KT IN 60-72 HOURS...AND THEN SLOWLY WEAKENS IT AS SOUTHERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR DEVELOPS ACROSS THE CYCLONE. HOWEVER...UNTIL THE SHEAR DEVELOPS...TD-14E IS FORECAST TO BE A LOW-SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OF AROUND 5 KT OR LESS. THE SMALL SIZE OF THE CYCLONE...COMBINED WITH LOW SHEAR AND 28C SSTS WOULD NORMALLY FAVOR SOME RAPID AND/OR SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION. HOWEVER...THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF DRY AIR TO THE WEST AND THE POSSIBILITY THAT SOME EASTERLY MID-LEVEL SHEAR MAY UNDERCUT THE OTHERWISE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW DICTATES THAT THE INTENSITY FORECAST REMAIN SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 01/2100Z 15.8N 108.6W 25 KT 12HR VT 02/0600Z 15.7N 109.3W 30 KT 24HR VT 02/1800Z 15.7N 110.3W 35 KT 36HR VT 03/0600Z 15.8N 111.1W 40 KT 48HR VT 03/1800Z 16.2N 112.0W 45 KT 72HR VT 04/1800Z 17.4N 113.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 05/1800Z 18.5N 115.0W 55 KT 120HR VT 06/1800Z 20.0N 116.5W 60 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300L6PLDTR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 05:37:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91LbMZO001063 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 05:37:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrG6Y037318; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1192662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KOhdU057664 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91KOb7S020056 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91KObQE020053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:24:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310012024.h91KObQE020053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 012024 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 2100Z WED OCT 01 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.6W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.6W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 108.3W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.7N 109.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.7N 110.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.8N 111.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.2N 112.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.4N 113.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 18.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 20.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 108.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LS5MAZR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 05:56:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91LvFZO003122 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 05:57:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVprF009696; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:47:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1194168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:47:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91LlJlx085220 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:47:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91LlD7S022584 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:47:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91LlDqo022583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:47:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:47:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310012147.h91LlDqo022583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 012147 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 06N158W 07N151W 13N143W 13N140W...WHICH CONTINUED E OF 140W...HAVE MOVED W 10 KT...AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N170W 07N167W 06N164W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 08N174W 07N180...CONTINUING W OF THE DATELINE THROUGH 06N178E ..HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 16N161W HAVE MOVED W 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13S172W 14S167W 13S164W HAVE MOVED S SLOWLY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 23S174W 25S173W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41197-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LW2MGAR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 06:00:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91M0S62050891 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 06:00:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVooF006790; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:48:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1194191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:48:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91LmZlx055788 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:48:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91LmU7S022616 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:48:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91LmUkk022615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:48:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:48:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310012148.h91LmUkk022615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 012148 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 01 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E HAS FORMED THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 16N108W. TD-14E IS LOCATED AROUND 15.8N 108.6W AT 15/2100 UTC MOVING W 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT AND AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. SEE LATEST FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 95W-101W WITH A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION NEAR 11N98W. ..1023 MB HIGH NEAR 29N132W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 22N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2115 UTC TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E... VISIBLE PICTURES INDICATE A DEVELOPING SYSTEM WITH SOME BANDING FEATURES AND LIGHT SHEAR...POINTING TOWARD A BETTER ORGANIZED DISTURBANCE THAN YESTERDAY. CONVECTION HAS ALSO INCREASED WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 107W-110W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 13N111W 15N116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N84W 12N97W 9N124W 13N140W. CONVECTION HAS DECREASED A BIT SINCE YESTERDAY...ESPECIALLY W OF 110W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W-86W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-94W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS W OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION EXITING THE W COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA NNW THROUGH NICARAGUA. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 99W-105W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41198-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300L4LNNBR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 06:26:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91MQHZO006266 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 06:26:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVps9009696; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:15:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1194440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:15:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91MF2lx054140 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:15:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91MEp7S023140 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:14:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91MEpoj023139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:14:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:14:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310012214.h91MEpoj023139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 012200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011851OCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 15.8N4 108.3W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 108.3W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 15.7N3 109.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.7N3 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.8N4 111.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.2N9 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.4N2 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4 108.3W2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011800Z0 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 011851Z6 OCT 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. (WTPN22 PHNC 011900 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 020400Z6, 021000Z3, 021600Z9 AND 022200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300L6KNOVR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 06:26:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91MRD62053184 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 06:27:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVpsD009696; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:17:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1194453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:17:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91MGxlx083696 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:16:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91MGs7S023183 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91MGsCI023180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:16:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression (td) 14e, Located Approximately Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310012216.h91MGsCI023180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 012200 RRB TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011800Z0 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 011851Z6 OCT 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. (WTPN22 PHNC 011900 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 020400Z6, 021000Z3, 021600Z9 AND 022200Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LFGNV7R6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 06:30:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91MV1ZO006788 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 06:31:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVoof006790; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:17:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1194456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:17:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91MGxlx017288 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:17:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91MGs7S023184 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91MGsNu023182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:16:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310012216.h91MGsNu023182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 012200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011851OCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 15.8N4 108.3W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 108.3W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 15.7N3 109.3W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 15.7N3 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.8N4 111.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.2N9 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.4N2 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4 108.3W2. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LUUO6UR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 06:37:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91Mc162054170 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 06:38:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVop1006790; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:27:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1194598 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91MR6lx057796 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91MR07S023312 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91MR0e9023311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 17:27:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310012227.h91MR0e9023311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 012226 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:51 2003 X-UIDL: 41213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LXSZ1PR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:32:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h922WIZO036057 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:32:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVp0n009696; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:26:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1197192 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:26:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h922Qglx023784 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:26:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h922Qb7S026315 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:26:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h922Qao9026314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:26:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:26:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310020226.h922Qao9026314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 020226 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED OCT 01 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION IS GRADUALLY IMPROVING. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 30 KT...30 KT AND 25 KT RESPECTIVELY FROM TAFB...SAB...AND KGWC. THERFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 30 KT. SINCE THE CYCLONE IS IN ITS FORMATIVE STAGE...THE CENTER LOCATION IS SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE. A SLIGHTLY EASTWARD ADJUSTMENT HAS BEEN MADE FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. A 12 HOUR MOTION OF 265/6 WAS USED AS THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE. THE FORECAST TRACK MOVES THE SYSTEM WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST DURING THE FIRST 36 HOURS AS A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AROUND 48 HOURS AND BEYOND AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED ALONG THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA. THIS SHOULD TURN THE SYSTEM MORE NORTHWESTWARD AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK REFLECTS THIS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE GFS THROUGH 72 HOURS. AFTER 72 HOURS THE GFS DEVELOPS A SYSTEM EAST OF THE CYCLONE AND INDICATES SOME INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO. THIS SCENARIO SEEMS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME AND IS DISCOUNTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE INTENSITY FORECAST FOLLOWS THE SHIPS GUIDANCE CLOSELY AND STEADILY INTENSIFIES THE DEPRESSION THROUGH 72 HOURS. NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN THE CYCLONE. FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0300Z 15.6N 108.7W 30 KT 12HR VT 02/1200Z 15.6N 109.5W 35 KT 24HR VT 03/0000Z 15.7N 110.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 03/1200Z 16.1N 111.6W 50 KT 48HR VT 04/0000Z 16.7N 112.7W 55 KT 72HR VT 05/0000Z 18.0N 114.3W 60 KT 96HR VT 06/0000Z 19.0N 115.5W 60 KT 120HR VT 07/0000Z 20.5N 117.0W 50 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:52 2003 X-UIDL: 41214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300L29Z3FR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:33:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h922XIZO036158 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:33:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVosd006790; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:27:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1197201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h922RMlx105628 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h922RG7S026323 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h922RGud026322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:27:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fourteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310020227.h922RGud026322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 020227 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0300Z THU OCT 02 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 108.7W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 108.7W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 108.4W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.6N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.7N 110.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.1N 111.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.7N 112.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N 114.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 19.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 20.5N 117.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 108.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM4002TRPU8QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:10:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92CB44N001372 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:11:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVp7n009696; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:06:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1202065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:06:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92C6Ulx096772 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:06:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92C6P7S001956 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:06:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92C6Pqe001954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:06:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:06:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021206.h92C6Pqe001954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 021200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 02/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: 5.6S / 67.3E (FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 00 UTC: 5.8S / 67.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 12 UTC: 6.2S / 68.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:36 2003 X-UIDL: 41285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM4002Z6PYEQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:13:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92CDa4N001571 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:13:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVp7p009696; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:08:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1202089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:08:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92C8Xlx042874 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:08:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92C8R7S001982 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:08:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92C8RuJ001980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:08:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:08:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021208.h92C8RuJ001980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 021200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 14/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/02 AT 1200 UTC : 5.6S / 67.3E (FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/03 00 UTC: 05.8S/67.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/03 12 UTC: 06.2S/68.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/10/04 00 UTC: 06.7S/67.7E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2003/10/04 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/10/05 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/05 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5- CI=2.5= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:36 2003 X-UIDL: 41286-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM4002TBQZ7QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92CZo62041248 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:35:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVp8F009696; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:31:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1202236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92CV5lx104014 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:31:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92CUx7S002281 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:30:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92CUxTP002279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:30:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:30:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021230.h92CUxTP002279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 021200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 02/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: 5.6S / 67.3E (FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 00 UTC: 5.8S / 67.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 12 UTC: 6.2S / 68.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:36 2003 X-UIDL: 41287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM4002TQQZGQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:35:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92CZT62041210 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:35:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVp8H009696; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:32:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1202245 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92CW6lx019964 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:32:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92CW17S002317 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:32:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92CW10f002315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:32:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 07:32:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021232.h92CW10f002315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 021200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 14/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/02 AT 1200 UTC : 5.6S / 67.3E (FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/03 00 UTC: 05.8S/67.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/03 12 UTC: 06.2S/68.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/10/04 00 UTC: 06.7S/67.7E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2003/10/04 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/10/05 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/05 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5- CI=2.5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41296-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM4002DFV7QQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:07:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92E7C62050867 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:07:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVpD7009696; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 08:55:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1203316 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 08:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92DtYlx101034 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 08:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92DtT7S004159 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 08:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92DtTli004158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 08:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 08:55:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021355.h92DtTli004158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 021355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU OCT 2 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:40 2003 X-UIDL: 41300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM4002Y6WJTQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:35:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92EZw4N016145 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:36:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92BPD6R062890; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1203742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92ERZlx029666 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92ERU7S005262 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92ERUXf005261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021427.h92ERUXf005261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 021427 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU OCT 02 2003 THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN 35 KT FROM TAFB AND AFWA...AND SAB IS NOW AT 45 KT. GIVEN THAT THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS NOT IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY...THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 35 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THERE IS A BIT OF EASTERLY SHEAR ON NORA...AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS BEING INHIBITED OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM. SINCE THE SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE VERY STRONG OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST A LA THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. COOLER WATERS SHOULD HALT INTENSIFICATION LATER IN THE PERIOD. THERE CONTINUES TO BE A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE CENTER LOCATION. INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 270/03 AS IN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. CURRENTLY THERE IS A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF NORA. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE SHOW A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH OR WEAKNESS ALONG 115-120W IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...WHICH COULD TURN NORA NORTHWARD. THE GFS SHOWS A MUCH MORE WESTWARD TRACK THAN THE OTHER GUIDANCE...PROBABLY DUE TO AN INTERACTION WITH ANOTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE WHICH THAT MODEL FORMS TO THE EAST OF NORA. THE OTHER GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT DEVELOP THIS OTHER CYCLONE AND ARE WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE GFS SOLUTION. IN FACT...THE NOGAPS MODEL SHOWS NORA MOVING OVER BAJA IN 3-5 DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS ADVISORY IS A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT WEST OF THE GFDL...U.K. MET...AND NOGAPS CONSENSUS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 15.7N 109.2W 35 KT 12HR VT 03/0000Z 15.8N 109.7W 40 KT 24HR VT 03/1200Z 16.3N 110.4W 45 KT 36HR VT 04/0000Z 16.9N 111.0W 55 KT 48HR VT 04/1200Z 17.6N 111.7W 60 KT 72HR VT 05/1200Z 19.5N 113.5W 60 KT 96HR VT 06/1200Z 21.0N 114.5W 55 KT 120HR VT 07/1200Z 22.0N 115.5W 50 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:40 2003 X-UIDL: 41301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM4002C3WPYQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:39:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Edp4N016772 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:39:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVo1X006790; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:28:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1203763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92ES9lx060450 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92ES47S005285 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:28:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92ES3tY005284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:28:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021428.h92ES3tY005284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 021427 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 1500Z THU OCT 02 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.2W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.2W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 109.1W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.8N 109.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.3N 110.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.9N 111.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.6N 111.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 109.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM400205XFWQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:55:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92EtP62057363 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:55:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVpEt009696; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:46:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1204185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:46:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Ek8lx041820 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:46:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92Ek37S005836 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92Ek3sQ005835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:46:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021446.h92Ek3sQ005835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 021500 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) WARNING NR 006A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 5.7S2 67.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.7S2 67.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 6.0S6 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 6.8S4 69.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 7.3S0 68.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 7.5S2 67.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 5.8S3 68.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC 01S REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, HOWEVER, DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO BUILD BACK OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 01S REMAINS WEAK AND CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW. WHILE THE FOUR AVAILABLE MODELS OF EGGR, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP GFS VARY IN INTENSITY SOLUTION, THEY ALL AGREE THAT TC 01S WILL TRANSITION SOON TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO THIS STEERING ENVIRONMENT IN 12 TO 24 HOURS AND BEGIN TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE NEW STEERING RIDGE. TC 01C WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK BUT THEN SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD AND ENCOUNTERS A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: ADJUSTED FORECASTED TRACK AND INTENSITIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 AND 031500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM40029MYV1QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:25:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92FQ362061451 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:26:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVpGt009696; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:14:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1204853 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:14:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92FELlx096222 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:14:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92FEF7S006786 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92FEFfp006785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:14:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021514.h92FEFfp006785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 021514 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 02 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.7N 109.2W AT 02/1500 UTC MOVING WEST 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 100W IS POSITIONED A LITTLE TO THE EAST ALONG 97W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE REPOSITION IS BASED ON LOWER LEVEL CYCLONIC ROTATION EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY FOCUSED WEST OF THE WAVE WITH SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG ACTIVITY FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 97W-102W. ..1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 30N134W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SEWD TO THE S BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1445 UTC TROPICAL STORM NORA... THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF NORA WITH NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 107W-111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N86W 10N100W 12N105W 9N120W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 77W-90W INCLUDING PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 137W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-5N. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41314-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002PP0J4QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 00:01:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92G204N027421 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 00:02:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92AslsP046970; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1205286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92FqDlx075188 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92Fq77S008080 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92Fq7fu008077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 051200z8 --- 19.5n5 113.5w0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021552.h92Fq7fu008077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 021600 RRB 051200Z8 --- 19.5N5 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.0N3 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 22.0N4 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT --- REMARKS: 21200Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.7N3 109.1W1 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021200Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022200Z6, 030400Z7, 031000Z4 AND 031600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41315-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002Q70J9QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 00:01:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92G2G4N027441 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 00:02:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVpI1009696; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1205280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Fq7lx012068 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92Fq27S008072 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92Fq2Vh008071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:52:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021552.h92Fq2Vh008071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 021600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 15.7N3 109.1W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 109.1W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.8N4 109.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 16.3N0 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.9N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.6N4 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:50 2003 X-UIDL: 41317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002J80V0QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 00:09:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92G9H62066600 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 00:09:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVpHx009696; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:50:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1205266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Fo5lx011824 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:50:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92Fnx7S007999 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:50:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92FnxJ9007998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:49:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:49:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021549.h92FnxJ9007998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 021600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 15.7N3 109.1W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 109.1W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 15.8N4 109.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 16.3N0 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.9N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.6N4 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.5N5 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.0N3 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 22.0N4 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT --- REMARKS: 21200Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.7N3 109.1W1 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS MOVED WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021200Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022200Z6, 030400Z7, 031000Z4 AND 031600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:51 2003 X-UIDL: 41320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002TO3GQQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:05:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92H5962073180 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:05:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Gqjn3036444; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 11:53:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1205615 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 11:52:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GPSlx035690 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 11:25:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92GPN7S009135 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 11:25:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92GPN8o009134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 11:25:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 11:25:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021625.h92GPN8o009134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 021624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002PV6PKQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:15:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92IFZ62080384 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:15:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GqjpD018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:03:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1206783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:03:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92I3klx033032 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:03:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92I3f7S011908 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92I3f8t011906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:03:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 02/10/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021803.h92I3f8t011906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 021800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/10/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 02/10/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.5S / 67.5E (FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 06 UTC: 5.6S / 68.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 18 UTC: 5.9S / 68.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED. LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE ON SAT IMAGERY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002PZ6PLQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:15:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92IFV4N043287 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:15:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GqjpH018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:05:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1206802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:05:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92I4mlx093840 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:04:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92I4g7S011948 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:04:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92I4gOs011946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:04:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:04:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021804.h92I4gOs011946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 021800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 15/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/02 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.5S / 67.5E (FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/03 06 UTC: 05.6S/68.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/03 18 UTC: 05.9S/68.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/10/04 06 UTC: 06.6S/68.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2003/10/04 18 UTC: 07.0S/67.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 60H: 2003/10/05 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/05 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5 FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:58 2003 X-UIDL: 41328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002TB85UQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:46:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Iku62083420 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:47:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GqjrJ018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1207393 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Ieqlx017460 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92Iel7S013034 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92IelRr013032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021840.h92IelRr013032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800ZOCT2003/031800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021451ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 021500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/NORAN/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:59 2003 X-UIDL: 41329-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002W686SQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:47:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92IlW4N046243 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:47:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GqkqB071036; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1207390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Ieqlx011290 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92Iel7S013035 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92Ielf4013033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 13:40:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021840.h92Ielf4013033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800ZOCT2003/031800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021451ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 021500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/NORAN/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:59 2003 X-UIDL: 41332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM50029VB7JQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:52:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Jqn4N054193 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:52:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GqjtV018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 14:45:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1208305 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 14:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92JjUlx054962 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 14:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92JUa7S014531 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 14:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92JUa2s014530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 14:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 14:30:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021930.h92JUa2s014530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 021930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU OCT 2 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:01 2003 X-UIDL: 41335-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM50026DE49QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:55:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Ktd4N061014 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:55:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Gqjt7036444; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1209038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Kctlx045410 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92Kco7S016606 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92Kcoi3016605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310022038.h92Kcoi3016605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 022038 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 2100Z THU OCT 02 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 109.0W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 109.0W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 109.0W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.3N 109.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.7N 110.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.5N 111.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 23.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 109.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:01 2003 X-UIDL: 41336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002GIEA7QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:58:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92KxF62099283 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:59:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Gqks9071036; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1209028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92KcHlx078370 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92KcB7S016591 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92KcB4a016590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:38:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310022038.h92KcB4a016590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 022038 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU OCT 02 2003 VISIBLE AND MICROWAVE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CENTER IS LOCATED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH OF PREVIOUS POSITION ESTIMATES...SO THE CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED ON THIS ADVISORY. BEST GUESS ON CURRENT MOTION IS STATIONARY. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH OR WEAKNESS IN THE VICINITY OF 120W IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS...COMBINED WITH A WEAK RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST...IS EXPECTED TO STEER NORA ON A GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. HOWEVER IF THE TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST BECOMES MORE DOMINANT IT COULD CAUSE NORA TO TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY SLOWER AND TO THE RIGHT OF THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND SIMILAR TO THE GUNA MODEL CONSENSUS. THE STORM HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT BETTER ORGANIZED...WITH A RAGGED BAND HAVING DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT FROM TAFB AND 45 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA...AND THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS NOW 40 KT. VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...SO GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST UNTIL COOLER WATER HALTS DEVELOPMENT. THIS INTENSITY PREDICTION IS QUITE CLOSE TO THE LATEST SHIPS GUIDANCE. IT SHOULD BE NOTED... HOWEVER...THAT PURELY DYNAMICAL MODELS SUCH AS THE GFDL AND THE GFS SHOW NORA WEAKENING. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/2100Z 15.2N 109.0W 40 KT 12HR VT 03/0600Z 15.3N 109.2W 45 KT 24HR VT 03/1800Z 16.0N 110.0W 50 KT 36HR VT 04/0600Z 16.7N 110.8W 55 KT 48HR VT 04/1800Z 17.5N 111.5W 60 KT 72HR VT 05/1800Z 20.0N 113.0W 60 KT 96HR VT 06/1800Z 22.0N 114.5W 50 KT 120HR VT 07/1800Z 23.5N 115.5W 40 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:01 2003 X-UIDL: 41338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002UYEL6QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 05:05:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92L5m62099906 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 05:05:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Gqksx071036; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:45:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1209205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Kjalx067130 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92KjV7S016806 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:45:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92KjV4s016805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:45:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:45:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310022045.h92KjV4s016805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 022100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 5.7S2 67.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.7S2 67.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 6.1S7 68.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 6.8S4 68.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 7.4S1 67.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 7.7S4 66.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION NEAR 5.8S3 67.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND RECENT AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC 01S CONTINUES TO REMAIN WEAK AND DISORGANIZED. LACK OF UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND COOL AIR ADVECTION INTO THE WESTERN SIDE OF TC 01S ARE THE MAIN CAUSES FOR THE DISORGANIZATION OF TC 01S. TC 01S CONTINUES TO TRACK VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW LEVEL STEERING FLOW. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK WITHIN 24 HOURS. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO THE BUILDING OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. ALL AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS DO NOT HANDLE THE CURRENT STEERING ENVIRONMENT WELL. THEREFORE, OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS, AND THEN A BLEND OF THE MODELS THROUGH 48 HOURS. TC 01C WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK BUT THEN SLOWLY INTENSIFY, AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE, AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD AND ENCOUNTERS A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 AND 032100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:02 2003 X-UIDL: 41339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002WKGS2QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 05:52:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Lr94N066091 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 05:53:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GqiPV055788; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:36:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1210205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:36:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92LaBlx051488 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:36:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92La57S018330 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:36:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92La5Zu018329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:36:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:36:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310022136.h92La5Zu018329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 022136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 02 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.2N 109.0W AT 02/2100 UTC AND IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING W 10 KT. STRONG ROTATION NOTED IN THE LOW/MID LEVELS NEAR 11N. ELY SHEAR HAS DISPLACED THE CONVECTION TO THE W WITH SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 98W-102W. ..1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 30N134W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SEWD TO THE S BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2115 UTC TROPICAL STORM NORA... NORA IS A SMALL SYSTEM WITH BANDS OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION MOSTLY LIMITED TO WITHIN 100 NM OF THE CYCLONE. RECENT VISIBLE PICTURES SHOW A BANDING-TYPE EYE POSSIBLY FORMING.... BUT THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT IT IS JUST A "SUCKER HOLE".. OR FALSE EYE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM12.5N-17N BETWEEN 107W-113W WITH A DISTANT WEAK/MODERATE BAND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM SOCORRO ISLAND TO 14N113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N86W 10N89W 11N100W 8N130W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-13.5N W OF 137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 5N TO CENTRAL AMERICA E OF 83W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W-93W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12N98W 15N94W NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:02 2003 X-UIDL: 41340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM50021QGWOQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 05:55:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Ltm4N066263 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 05:55:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Gqj2x018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:40:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1210248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:40:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Leclx057122 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:40:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92LeX7S018412 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:40:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92LeX5Q018411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:40:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 16:40:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310022140.h92LeX5Q018411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 022140 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...11N140W 11N149W 08N160W 06N176W AND EXTENDING EAST. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 11N140W 12N143W AND EXTENDING EAST HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF POINT 11N149W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND DECREASED IN AREA. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 07N155W 07N160W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 05N162W 06N166W 07N166W 11N163W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 06N171W 07N176W. FRONT...30N144W 26N150W KAUAI 18N180 AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 180NM NORTHWEST OF FRONT EAST OF KAUAI HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 7KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 70NM OF FRONT WEST OF KAUAI HAVE MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 13N159W 17N162W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...25S130W 22N133W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST. ISOLATED TCU AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. TROUGH...11S168W 14S169W 20S170W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 15S166W 19S168W. FRONT 2...25S169W 24S173W AND EXTENDING SOUTHEAST. OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH IN SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:03 2003 X-UIDL: 41342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002NQI2FQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:20:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92MKw62006810 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:21:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GqkvX071036; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:05:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1210579 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:05:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92M5Xlx017242 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:05:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92M5S7S018967 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:05:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92M5RCb018966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:05:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:05:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310022205.h92M5RCb018966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 022200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 15.2N8 109.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 109.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.3N9 109.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.0N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.7N4 110.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.5N3 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.0N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.0N4 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 23.5N0 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 21800Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 109.0W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021800Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030400Z7, 031000Z4, 031600Z0, AND 032200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:03 2003 X-UIDL: 41343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM50023OIE5QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:27:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92MS14N069054 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:28:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Gqjvb036444; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:08:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1210659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:08:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92M8flx034108 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:08:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92M8a7S019029 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:08:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92M8awx019028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:08:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:08:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 325 Deg/ 06 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310022208.h92M8awx019028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 022200 RRB VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.0N4 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 23.5N0 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 21800Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 109.0W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021800Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030400Z7, 031000Z4, 031600Z0, AND 032200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002FEILUQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:32:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92MWZ62007914 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:32:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Gqj4N018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:07:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1210649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:07:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92M7clx059600 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:07:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92M7X7S019012 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:07:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92M7WwG019011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:07:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:07:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310022207.h92M7WwG019011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 022200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 15.2N8 109.0W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 109.0W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 15.3N9 109.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 16.0N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.7N4 110.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.5N3 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.0N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41345-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002JAIP4QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:34:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92MYY4N069618 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:34:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Gqj4v018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:26:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1210899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:26:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92MQHlx027150 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:26:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92MQC7S019322 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92MQC1T019321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 17:26:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310022226.h92MQC1T019321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 022226 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 545 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BROWN/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:05 2003 X-UIDL: 41346-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002OAN0BQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:07:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9307f4N077263 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:07:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GqkxF071036; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:01:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1211897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:01:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9300xlx014964 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9300s7S020653 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9300sAa020651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:00:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030000.h9300sAa020651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 030000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 03/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.1S / 67.3E (SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST ) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 200 NM FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE, IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 12 UTC: 6.5S / 67.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 00 UTC: 7.0S / 66.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE LOCATED IN THE EAST OF THE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION THAT REMAINS DISORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:05 2003 X-UIDL: 41347-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002P1N0IQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:07:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9307i4N077265 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:07:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Gqj77018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:03:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1211922 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:03:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9302xlx013248 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:02:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9302s7S020709 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:02:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9302sXF020707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:02:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 19:02:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030002.h9302sXF020707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 030000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 16/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/03 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.1S / 67.3E (SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/03 12 UTC: 06.5S/67.1E, MAX WIND=030KT . 24H: 2003/10/04 00 UTC: 07.0S/66.7E, MAX WIND=025KT . 36H: 2003/10/04 12 UTC: 07.3S/66.1E DISSIPATED. 48H: 2003/10/05 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5 FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002MYRAXQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:40:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h931eO4N087301 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:40:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Gqj97018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:30:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1212811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h931UXlx014942 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h931UR7S021877 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:30:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h931URCJ021876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 20:30:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030130.h931URCJ021876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 030130 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU OCT 2 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:34 2003 X-UIDL: 41401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM600777QHRE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:20:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EKDYF073417 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:20:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tpD035040; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:14:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1213722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h932bLlx100046 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:37:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h932bF7S022709 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:37:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h932bFGP022708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:37:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:37:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030237.h932bFGP022708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 030237 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0300Z FRI OCT 03 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 109.1W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 109.1W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 109.1W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.3N 109.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.0N 110.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N 111.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 23.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 109.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z FORECASTER BROWN/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:36 2003 X-UIDL: 41402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007BNQJWE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:21:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93ELliU004771 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:21:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tn3083722; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:12:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1213706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h932b5lx036008 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:37:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h932ax7S022702 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h932axHR022701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:36:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030236.h932axHR022701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 030236 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU OCT 02 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE OVERALL STRUCTURE OF NORA CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NOW 55 KT FROM SAB AND 45 KT FROM TAFB AND KGWC. THE INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 50 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE LAST FEW VISIBLE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORA ON A SLOW NORTHWESTERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED WITH NORA MOVING NORTHWEST AROUND A WEAK RIDGE OVER MEXICO. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE THE LEFT-MOST MODEL...PROBABLY DUE TO THE INTERACTION WITH ANOTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE IT DEVELOPS TO THE EAST OF NORA. AN APPROACHING MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH MAY CAUSE A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...JUST A LITTLE SLOWER. THE TRACK IS ALSO CLOSE TO THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AND THE THE SHIPS MODEL STRENGTHENS NORA TO A HURRICANE IN 24 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWED THIS CLOSELY. INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. IN THE LONGER RANGE...NORA SHOULD WEAKEN MORE QUICKLY AS SSTS DECREASE AND THE SHEAR BECOMES QUITE STRONG. FORECASTER BROWN/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0300Z 15.1N 109.1W 50 KT 12HR VT 03/1200Z 15.3N 109.4W 55 KT 24HR VT 04/0000Z 16.0N 110.0W 65 KT 36HR VT 04/1200Z 17.0N 110.7W 65 KT 48HR VT 05/0000Z 18.0N 111.5W 65 KT 72HR VT 06/0000Z 20.0N 113.0W 60 KT 96HR VT 07/0000Z 22.0N 114.5W 50 KT 120HR VT 08/0000Z 23.5N 115.5W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:36 2003 X-UIDL: 41403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007COQKUE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:22:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EMQYF073641 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:22:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tnX083722; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:18:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9340Llx076182 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:00:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9340F7S023648 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:00:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9340Fdd023644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:00:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:00:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030400.h9340Fdd023644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 030000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 03/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.1S / 67.3E (SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST ) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 200 NM FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE, IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 12 UTC: 6.5S / 67.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 00 UTC: 7.0S / 66.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE LOCATED IN THE EAST OF THE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION THAT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:37 2003 X-UIDL: 41404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007D2QL7E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:22:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EMbYF073666 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:22:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5und048356; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:18:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h933eClx051676 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:40:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h933e77S023360 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:40:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h933e74h023359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:40:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:40:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030340.h933e74h023359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 030340 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 03 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM NORA CENTERED 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO NEAR 15.1N 109.1W AT 03/0300 UTC WITH STATIONARY MOVEMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT A SURFACE LOW MAY BE DEVELOPING ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 11N...AND THERE APPEARS TO BE SOME SORT OF BANDING FEATURE TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8.5N-14N BETWEEN 98.5W-102W. ..1019 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 30N135W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW BEYOND 25N140W. BROAD HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0315 UTC TROPICAL STORM NORA... NORA LOOKS MUCH MORE IMPRESSIVE NOW THAN IT DID AT THIS TIME LAST NIGHT WITH THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN HAVING EXPANDED QUITE A BIT AND MORE WELL-DEFINED BANDING FEATURES FORMING ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. THE TSTMS NEAR THE CENTER HAVE REMAINED MOSTLY STRONG WITH SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY THROUGH THE EVENING. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12.5N-17N BETWEEN 107W-112.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N80W 11N99W 12N107W 8N118W 7N130W 11N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-91W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 77W-88W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS NEAR THE GULF OF FONSECA AND GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO JUST WEST OF ACAPULCO. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:37 2003 X-UIDL: 41405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007DHQLPE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:22:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EMvYF073691 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:22:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7oql029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:18:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9342Nlx014998 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:02:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9342H7S023689 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:02:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9342HJ7023687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:02:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:02:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030402.h9342HJ7023687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 030000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 16/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/03 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.1S / 67.3E (SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/03 12 UTC: 06.5S/67.1E, MAX WIND=030KT . 24H: 2003/10/04 00 UTC: 07.0S/66.7E, MAX WIND=025KT . 36H: 2003/10/04 12 UTC: 07.3S/66.1E DISSIPATED. 48H: 2003/10/05 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5 FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:37 2003 X-UIDL: 41406-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007F8QN9E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:23:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93ENpiU004951 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:23:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7oqJ029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:18:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214151 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h933uElx076146 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h933u97S023540 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h933u8oS023534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030356.h933u8oS023534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 030400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 15.1N7 109.1W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 109.1W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.3N9 109.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.0N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.0N8 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.0N9 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.0N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 22.0N4 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 23.5N0 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 030000Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 109.1W1 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031000Z4, 031600Z0, 032200Z7, AND 040400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007GRQO8E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:24:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EORYF073794 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:24:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7oqb029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:18:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h933wIlx036046 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h933wD7S023587 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h933wCFC023585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030358.h933wCFC023585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 021800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 15/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/02 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.5S / 67.5E (FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/03 06 UTC: 05.6S/68.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/03 18 UTC: 05.9S/68.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/10/04 06 UTC: 06.6S/68.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2003/10/04 18 UTC: 07.0S/67.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 60H: 2003/10/05 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/05 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5 FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:39 2003 X-UIDL: 41409-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007JRQPEE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:24:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EPAiU005101 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:25:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tnT083722; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:18:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h933wGlx007030 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h933wA7S023578 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h933wAR5023576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030358.h933wAR5023576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 030400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 15.1N7 109.1W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 109.1W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.3N9 109.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.0N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.0N8 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.0N9 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.0N2 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:40 2003 X-UIDL: 41410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007K7QPUE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:25:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EPMYF073870 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:25:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5unt048356; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:18:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h933uElx007024 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h933u97S023541 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h933u8QT023535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 02/10/2003 A 1800 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030356.h933u8QT023535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 021800 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 02/10/2003 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 015/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: JEUDI 02/10/2003 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 5.5S / 67.5E (CINQ DEGRES CINQ SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES CINQ EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: EST-SUD-EST 2 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS JUSQU'A 150 MN DU CENTRE ESTIME, PRINCIPALEMENT DANS LE QUADRANT OUEST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:40 2003 X-UIDL: 41411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007KQQPZE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:25:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EPRYF073881 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:25:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5unx048356; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:18:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h933wGlx076162 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h933wA7S023577 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h933wAee023574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:58:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 040 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030358.h933wAee023574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 030400 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 22.0N4 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 23.5N0 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 030000Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 109.1W1 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031000Z4, 031600Z0, 032200Z7, AND 040400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:41 2003 X-UIDL: 41412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007LTQQJE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:25:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EPpYF073915 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:25:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tnP083722; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:18:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h933uElx036022 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h933u97S023542 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h933u9tH023539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:56:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 02/10/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030356.h933u9tH023539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 021800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/10/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 02/10/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 5.5S / 67.5E (FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE ESTIMATED CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 06 UTC: 5.6S / 68.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 18 UTC: 5.9S / 68.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION IS FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED. LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE ON SAT IMAGERY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:41 2003 X-UIDL: 41413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007MZQR9E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:25:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EQDYF073936 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:26:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5uo3048356; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:18:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9340Llx047252 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:00:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9340F7S023649 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:00:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9340FGi023646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:00:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:00:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 03/10/2003 A 0000 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030400.h9340FGi023646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 030000 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 03/10/2003 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 016/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 03/10/2003 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 6.1S / 67.3E (SIX DEGRES UN SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES TROIS EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD 2 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS JUSQU'A 200 MN DU CENTRE ESTIME, DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE OUEST . GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:42 2003 X-UIDL: 41414-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007PMQSWE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:26:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93ERFYF074021 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:27:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5uoP048356; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:19:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h934P0lx057930 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:25:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h934Os7S023926 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:24:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h934Osao023924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:24:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:24:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030424.h934Osao023924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z-040600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:42 2003 X-UIDL: 41415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007WVQWKE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:29:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93ETQYF074236 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:29:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tnp083722; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:19:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h934FQlx015080 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:15:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h934FL7S023819 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:15:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h934FLkI023818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:15:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:15:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030415.h934FLkI023818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 030415 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:42 2003 X-UIDL: 41416-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007XVQX7E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:29:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93ETqiU005558 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:29:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7otF029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:27:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:11:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h936G0lx070566 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:16:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h936Ft7S025156 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:15:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h936FtrB025154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:15:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:15:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030615.h936FtrB025154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 030600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 17/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/03 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.2S / 67.2E (SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 050 SO: 100 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/03 18 UTC: 06.6S/67.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/04 06 UTC: 07.0S/66.2E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/10/04 18 UTC: 07.2S/64.6E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/10/05 06 UTC: 07.2S/63.5E DISSIPATING. 60H: 2003/10/05 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5 FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:43 2003 X-UIDL: 41417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007YUQXRE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:29:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EU4YF074329 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:30:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7otT029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:11:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h936H0lx082120 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:17:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h936Gs7S025177 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h936Gs7d025173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:16:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030616.h936Gs7d025173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 030600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 17/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/03 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.2S / 67.2E (SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 050 SO: 100 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/03 18 UTC: 06.6S/67.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/10/04 06 UTC: 07.0S/66.2E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/10/04 18 UTC: 07.2S/64.6E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/10/05 06 UTC: 07.2S/63.5E DISSIPATING. 60H: 2003/10/05 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5 FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:43 2003 X-UIDL: 41418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60075CR1BE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:31:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EWHYF074576 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:32:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7otN029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:27:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:11:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h936H0lx070582 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:17:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h936Gs7S025175 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h936GsBv025169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:16:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030616.h936GsBv025169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 030600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 03/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.2S / 67.2E (SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 170 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE MAINLY. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 18 UTC: 6.6S / 67.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 06 UTC: 7.0S / 66.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE LOCATED IN THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION THAT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM600771R2TE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:32:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EXBYF074635 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:33:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tqp083722; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:28:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215292 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:12:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h937tflx031074 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h937tZ7S026055 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h937tZ9v026054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 02:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030755.h937tZ9v026054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 030755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU OCT 2 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60077FR32E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:33:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EXHYF074646 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:33:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7ot9029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:26:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:11:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h936Dtlx070528 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:13:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h936Do7S025138 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h936DoO2025136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 01:13:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030613.h936DoO2025136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 030600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 03/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.2S / 67.2E (SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 170 NM FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE MAINLY. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/03 AT 18 UTC: 6.6S / 67.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 06 UTC: 7.0S / 66.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE LOCATED IN THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION THAT REMAINS DISORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60077JR32E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:33:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EXJYF074647 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:33:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tr7083722; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:28:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215378 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:12:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h938MUlx071002 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:22:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h938MP7S026501 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:22:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h938MOmJ026500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:22:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:22:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030822.h938MOmJ026500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 030822 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0900Z FRI OCT 03 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.3W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 75SE 75SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.3W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 109.3W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.5N 109.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.2N 110.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.3N 111.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 21.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 23.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 109.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:45 2003 X-UIDL: 41423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007B9R52E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:34:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EYVYF074766 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:34:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7owX029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:28:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:12:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h938UGlx031144 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:30:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h938UB7S026598 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h938UBaT026597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:30:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030830.h938UBaT026597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 030829 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 03 2003 WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS IMPROVING OUTFLOW OVER NORA PARTICULARLY OVER THE SOUTH SEMICIRCLE. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY IS SHOWING CONVECTIVE BAND DEVELOPMENT OVER THE SAME AREA...AND RAGGED DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NORTH QUADRANT. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN AT 55 KT FROM SAB...45 KT FROM TAFB AND KGWC. BECAUSE OF THE IMPROVED OUTFLOW PRESENTATION...COLDER TOPS AND THE DEVELOPING BANDING FEATURES...THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 55 KT. A 0138Z QUIKSCAT PASS WAS USED TO ADJUST THE WIND RADII. INITIAL MOTION IS STATIONARY. NORA IS CURRENTLY SITUATED WITHIN THE SOUTHWEST EXTENT OF A WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER MEXICO. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS. NOGAPS MOVES THE TROPICAL CYCLONE INTO THE WEAKNESS CONSIDERABLY FASTER THAN THE UKMET/GFDN/GFDL CONSENSUS. THE GFS STILL REMAINS TO THE LEFT OF THE AFOREMENTIONED MODELS. BEYOND 72 HOURS...THE MODELS INDICATE ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST CREATING A SLOW NORTH TO NORTHEAST TURN TOWARD BAJA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND IS CLOSE TO THE GUNS ENSEMBLE. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE SHIPS AND NOW THE GFDL MODELS INTENSIFY NORA TO A HURRICANE IN 24 AND 12 HOURS RESPECTIVELY. BOTH MODELS INDICATE A WEAKENING TREND COMMENCING ABOUT THE 72 HOUR POINT AS INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPS BEGIN TO AFFECT THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/0900Z 15.0N 109.3W 55 KT 12HR VT 03/1800Z 15.5N 109.7W 60 KT 24HR VT 04/0600Z 16.2N 110.3W 65 KT 36HR VT 04/1800Z 17.3N 111.1W 70 KT 48HR VT 05/0600Z 18.5N 112.0W 70 KT 72HR VT 06/0600Z 20.5N 113.5W 60 KT 96HR VT 07/0600Z 21.5N 114.0W 50 KT 120HR VT 08/0600Z 23.0N 114.5W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:45 2003 X-UIDL: 41424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007MNRD8E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:39:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EdMYF075238 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:39:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tt7035040; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:31:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215527 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:13:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9391slx036544 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:01:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9391n7S026953 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:01:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9391npv026952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:01:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:01:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030901.h9391npv026952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 030900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 6.2S8 67.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.2S8 67.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 6.4S0 66.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 6.5S1 66.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 6.5S1 65.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 6.7S3 63.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 6.3S9 66.9E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TC 01S IS BEGINNING TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND APPEARS TO HAVE TRANSITIONED TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS NEW STEERING RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS OF GFDN, NOGAPS, EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. WITH EGRR BEING A SIGNIFICANT OUTLIER. EGRR BARELY INITIALIZES ON THE SYSTEM AND PROJECTS AN UNREALISTIC TRACK BACK TOWARDS THE EQUATOR. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC MODELS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGRR. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES TOWARDS AN IMPROVING ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT AND DECREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 AND 040900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41426-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007TCRGME8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:41:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EfNiU006717 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:41:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tv7035040; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:34:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:13:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h939qAlx021294 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:52:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h939q57S027416 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:52:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h939q4qN027415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:52:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:52:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030952.h939q4qN027415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 15.0N6 109.3W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 109.3W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.5N1 109.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.2N9 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.3N1 111.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007TGRGNE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:41:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EfQYF075442 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:41:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tsV083722; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:36:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1216106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:14:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93BGQlx021372 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:16:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93BGK7S028243 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:16:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93BGKDc028242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:16:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 06:16:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 03/10/2003 A 0600 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031116.h93BGKDc028242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 030600 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 03/10/2003 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 017/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVIS DE GRAND FRAIS DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 03/10/2003 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: DEPRESSION TROPICALE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 998 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 6.2S / 67.2E (SIX DEGRES DEUX SUD ET SOIXANTE-SEPT DEGRES DEUX EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: QUASISTATIONNAIRE ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS JUSQU'A 170 MN DU CENTRE, DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE OUEST PRINCIPALEMENT. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE PRES DU CENTRE, ET S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 60 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST . FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 03/10/2003 A 18 UTC: 6.6S / 67.0E, VENT MAX = 30 KT. A 24H POUR LE 04/10/2003 A 06 UTC: 7.0S / 66.2E, VENT MAX = 25 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME EST CISAILLE D'EST AVEC UN CENTRE DE BASSES COUCHES POSITIONNE EN BORDURE EST DE LA CONVECTION QUI A LEGEREMENT REPRIS EN FIN DE NUIT, MAIS RESTE FLUCTUANTE ET DESORGANISEE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41428-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007WORJAE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:42:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgwYF075555 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:43:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tvL035040; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:35:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:13:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h939tdlx021314 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h939tX7S027444 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h939tXvn027443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030955.h939tXvn027443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 030955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 12N142W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND DIMINISHED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF POINT 08N170W MOVING WEST 15-20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... FRONT...ALONG 30N142W 25N150W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 22N160W TO 19N174W. FRONT MOVING EAST 12 KT. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS AND ISOLATED TCU ALONG CLOUD BAND. BAND IS 200-250 NM WIDE EAST OF 160W AND NARROWS TO 100 NM WIDE AT SOUTHWEST END. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW...NEAR 19S171W MOVING SOUTH 5-10 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LOW INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007XDRK1E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:43:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EhNiU006871 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:43:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5ttx035040; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:34:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:13:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h939XKlx014044 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:33:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h939XE7S027257 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:33:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h939XEm0027256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:33:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:33:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030933.h939XEm0027256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 030933 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 03 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM NORA CENTERED 475 NM SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 15.0N 109.3W AT 03/0900 UTC WITH STATIONARY MOVEMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS HELD ALONG 99W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. A 1009 MB LOW IS ANALYZED ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 11N. SHORTWAVE IR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW IS JUST TUCKED UNDER THE ERN EDGE OF A MODERATE CONVECTIVE BAND. STRONGER CONVECTION ALSO EXTENDS TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER... GENERALLY WEST OF THE MAIN AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8.5N-18N BETWEEN 98W-102.5W. ..1020 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N132W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 24N110W ALONG THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0845 UTC TROPICAL STORM NORA... NORA'S STRUCTURE CONTINUES TO IMPROVE SLOWLY AS IT SITS MOTIONLESS SOUTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND. A SOLID CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS IS LOCATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND BROKEN SPIRAL BANDS EXIST PRIMARILY OVER THE SRN AND WRN SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 107W-113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 11N99W 13N107W 8N116W 7N131W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2.5N-5N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 50 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W-92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SW OF THE GULF OF FONSECA FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 87W-90W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007XKRK2E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:43:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EhIiU006868 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:43:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tvD035040; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:35:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:13:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h939rClx013828 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:53:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h939r67S027432 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:53:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h939r6YC027430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:53:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:53:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030953.h939r6YC027430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031000 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.5N4 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.5N7 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.5N8 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 23.0N5 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 030600Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 109.3W3 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031600Z0, 032200Z7, 040400Z8, AND 041000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007XRRK5E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:43:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EhViU006884 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:43:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5uu3048356; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:39:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1216333 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:15:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93CAVlx051104 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:10:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93CAQ7S028859 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:10:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93CAQTu028857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:10:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:10:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031210.h93CAQTu028857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 031200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 018/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 03/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 999 HPA POSITION: 6.5S / 67.1E (SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 50 NM TO 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE MAINLY. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 00 UTC: 7.1S / 66.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 12 UTC: 7.4S / 64.8E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE LOCATED EAST OF THE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION THAT REMAINS DISORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41432-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM600726RN1E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:45:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EjMYF075759 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:45:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7o1h029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:39:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1216471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:15:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93CXhlx050950 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:33:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93CXc7S029211 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:33:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93CXbMn029209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:33:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031233.h93CXbMn029209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 031300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/031300-031800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030751ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.8N0 70.4E1 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION PERSISTING WITH APPARENT ROTATION IN THE MID-LEVELS. ANALYSIS OF THE 030057Z5 QUICKSCAT PASS SHOWED A SURFACE TROUGH ONLY. FURTHERMORE, THE LATEST MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS A LACK OF LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING INTO THE CENTER SO THE EXISTENCE OF A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL DOUBTFUL. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSES INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41433-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60072GRN3E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:45:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EjGiU007096 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:45:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7o1H029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:39:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1216367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:15:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93CHglx031702 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:17:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93CHa7S028994 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:17:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93CHaFn028992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:17:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:17:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031217.h93CHaFn028992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 031200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 18/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/03 AT 1200 UTC : 6.5S / 67.1E (SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 28 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 030 SO: 050 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/04 00 UTC: 07.1S/66.1E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/10/04 12 UTC: 07.4S/64.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/10/05 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0, CI=2.5-. FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41434-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60074OROFE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:45:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Ek7iU007198 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:46:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tuN035040; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:34:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215656 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:13:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h939kwlx106012 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:46:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h939kq7S027334 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:46:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h939kqtK027333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:46:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:46:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030946.h939kqtK027333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 030946 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI OCT 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41435-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM600777RPME8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:46:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EkpiU007299 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:46:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7o1l029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:39:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1216474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:15:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93CXhlx021348 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:33:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93CXc7S029212 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:33:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93CXb3c029210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 07:33:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031233.h93CXb3c029210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/031300-031800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030751ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.8N0 70.4E1 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION PERSISTING WITH APPARENT ROTATION IN THE MID-LEVELS. ANALYSIS OF THE 030057Z5 QUICKSCAT PASS SHOWED A SURFACE TROUGH ONLY. FURTHERMORE, THE LATEST MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS A LACK OF LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING INTO THE CENTER SO THE EXISTENCE OF A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL DOUBTFUL. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSES INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 030900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:50 2003 X-UIDL: 41436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60079TRQNE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:47:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93ElOiU007361 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:47:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5tuv035040; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:34:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215689 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:13:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h939p8lx021282 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:51:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h939p27S027390 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h939p2nZ027389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:51:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:51:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030951.h939p2nZ027389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 15.0N6 109.3W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 109.3W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.5N1 109.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.2N9 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.3N1 111.1W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.5N4 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.5N7 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.5N8 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 23.0N5 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 030600Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 109.3W3 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031600Z0, 032200Z7, 040400Z8, AND 041000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:50 2003 X-UIDL: 41437-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007ESRTSE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:49:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EnPiU007536 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:49:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5twv035040; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:40:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1216643 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:16:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93DBvlx055474 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:11:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93DBp7S029820 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:11:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93DBpXw029819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:11:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:11:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031311.h93DBpXw029819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PHNC 031330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 031321Z OCT 2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 135 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.3N5 98.0W7 TO 12.6N9 102.4W7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 031300Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 98.5W2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2N3 99.4W2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 98.5W2, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 041330Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:52 2003 X-UIDL: 41439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60072MSMYE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:06:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93F6piU009528 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:06:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdpf058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:00:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1216884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:16:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Dtolx031380 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93Dti7S000838 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93DtifE000837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:55:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 08:55:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031355.h93DtifE000837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 031355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI OCT 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:52 2003 X-UIDL: 41440-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60075USNTE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:07:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93F7LiU009582 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:07:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdrX058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:02:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1218859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EkXlx034272 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:46:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93EkR7S002912 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:46:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93EkR0a002911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:46:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:46:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen-e Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031446.h93EkR0a002911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 031445 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 1500Z FRI OCT 03 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 99.6W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 99.6W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 99.4W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 12.4N 100.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 12.8N 101.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.1N 102.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.3N 103.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.0N 104.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 15.0N 105.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 16.5N 106.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 99.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:52 2003 X-UIDL: 41441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60079HSQAE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:08:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93F8miU009738 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:08:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdvd034454; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:03:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1219087 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:54:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EsXlx047386 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:54:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93EsS7S003188 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:54:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93EsSOG003187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:54:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:54:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031454.h93EsSOG003187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 031454 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 1500Z FRI OCT 03 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 109.4W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 70SE 70SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 109.4W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 109.3W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.1N 109.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.2N 110.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.5N 111.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.6N 112.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.3N 113.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 21.6N 113.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 109.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:53 2003 X-UIDL: 41442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007FNSSBE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:09:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93FA1YF078653 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:10:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdqx058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:01:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1218716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:48:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EkYlx017282 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93EkT7S002917 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93EkTdf002916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:46:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Fifteen-e Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031446.h93EkTdf002916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 031445 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 03 2003 OVERNIGHT MICROWAVE DATA IN THE DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF ACAPULCO SUGGESTED AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION...WITH THE NORTHEASTERN PART APPARENT IN FIRST LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGERY. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM ALL AGENCIES ARE T1.5...OR 25 KT...BUT SHIP VRXO6 REPORTED 30 KT AT 12Z. THIS WIND OBSERVATION LOOKS A LITTLE ODD BUT I WILL GIVE IT THE BENEFIT OF THE DOUBT AND SET THE ADVISORY INTENSITY TO 30 KT. THERE IS SOME NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE DEPRESSION. HOWEVER... THIS IS EXPECTED TO LESSEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ROUGHLY IN LINE WITH THE SHIPS INTENSITY GUIDANCE. CONTINUITY WITH EARLIER MICROWAVE POSITIONS SUGGESTS AN INITIAL MOTION OF ABOUT 8 KT...BUT THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES SUGGEST SOMETHING SLOWER. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED...WITH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY...TO BE 290/6. THE DEPRESSION CURRENTLY IS SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE...BUT THE FUTURE TRACK IS COMPLICATED BY POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL STORM NORA TO ITS WEST AND ATLANTIC STORM LARRY TO ITS NORTHEAST. THE SIMPLER GUIDANCE MODELS TAKE THE DEPRESSION OFF TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ROUGHLY 7 KT...BUT THE GFS IS SHOWING A MUCH SLOWER TRACK. IN THE GFS...THE ANTICYCLONE BUILDS WESTWARD AFTER NORA MOVES AROUND ITS WESTERN PERIPHERY...BLOCKING THE DEPRESSION. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME EROSION OF THE HIGH AS LARRY DRIFTS SOUTHWARD. NEITHER THE UKMET NOR THE NOGAPS HAS A GOOD INITIALIZATION OF THE SYSTEM AT THIS TIME. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SLOWS THE FORWARD SPEED...PERHAPS NOT QUICKLY ENOUGH...AND IS A BLEND OF THE FAIRLY DIVERGENT BAMM...BAMS...AND GFS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 12.1N 99.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 04/0000Z 12.4N 100.5W 35 KT 24HR VT 04/1200Z 12.8N 101.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 05/0000Z 13.1N 102.4W 45 KT 48HR VT 05/1200Z 13.3N 103.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 06/1200Z 14.0N 104.5W 55 KT 96HR VT 07/1200Z 15.0N 105.5W 60 KT 120HR VT 08/1200Z 16.5N 106.0W 60 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:54 2003 X-UIDL: 41443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007KRSVLE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:11:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93FBvYF078884 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:12:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdwT034454; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:05:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1219293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:59:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Exvlx017020 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93Exp7S003348 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93ExpFH003347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:59:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031459.h93ExpFH003347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 031459 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 03 2003 CONVECTIVE BANDING IS GRADUALLY IMPROVING...ESPECIALLY VERY NEAR THE CDO FEATURE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CENTER. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 TO 55 KT. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY WILL REMAIN 55 KT. BASED UPON FIXES FROM A 0239 UTC SSMI OVERPASS AND MORE RECENT INFRARED IMAGERY...NORA APPEARS TO HAVE BEGUN TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335/4. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD...AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED BETWEEN 24 AND 72 HOURS...ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER MEXICO. THIS TRACK IS VERY CLOSE TO A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS THAT INCLUDES THE GFS ON THE LEFT AND UKMET ON THE RIGHT OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. BEYOND 72 HOURS...MODELS NOW AGREE THAT NORA WILL SLOW DOWN CONSIDERABLY IN AN AREA OF WEAK STEERING TO THE SOUTH OF AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND SLOWER BEYOND 72 HOURS. NORA WILL REMAIN WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND OVER SSTS EXCEEDING 27C FOR ABOUT THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THE SHIPS MODEL BRINGS THE TROPICAL STORM TO MINIMAL HURRICANE STATUS IN 24 HOURS...AS DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE INTENSITY SHOULD THEN REMAIN STEADY THROUGH ABOUT 72 HOURS. BEYOND THEN...THE SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING VERY SLOWLY OVER 26C SSTS WITH SOME INCREASE IN SHEAR...SO GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AT DAYS FOUR AND FIVE. FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/1500Z 15.5N 109.4W 55 KT 12HR VT 04/0000Z 16.1N 109.8W 60 KT 24HR VT 04/1200Z 17.2N 110.6W 65 KT 36HR VT 05/0000Z 18.5N 111.7W 65 KT 48HR VT 05/1200Z 19.6N 112.6W 65 KT 72HR VT 06/1200Z 21.0N 113.5W 60 KT 96HR VT 07/1200Z 21.3N 113.7W 50 KT 120HR VT 08/1200Z 21.6N 113.9W 40 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:58 2003 X-UIDL: 41445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007RFTT8E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:31:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93FWEYF082104 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:32:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd0R025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:23:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1220445 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:23:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93FNjlx030252 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:23:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93FNe7S004208 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:23:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93FNd1b004206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:23:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:23:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031523.h93FNd1b004206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 031523 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 03 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM NORA CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 109.4W AT 03/1500 UTC MOVING TOWARD THE NNW AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT AND ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E CENTERED NEAR 12.1N 99.6W AT 03/1500 UTC MOVING WNW 6KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT AND THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 99W HAS BECOME T.D. FIFTEEN-E. SEE SPECIAL FEATURES. ..1019 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 28N136W. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING NW PORTION OF AREA THROUGH 32N139W 29N143W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1430 UTC TROPICAL STORM NORA... NORA'S STRUCTURE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NWD. A PERSISTENT CDO FEATURE IS LOCATED NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND BROKEN BANDS EXIST PRIMARILY OVER THE SRN AND WRN SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 108.5W-113W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E... THE SATELLITE SIGNATURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF ACAPULCO HAS STEADILY IMPROVED DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THE SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO A DEPRESSION AT 1500 UTC. THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING SOME NE SHEAR AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE EAST SIDE OF A LOOSELY ORGANIZED BAND WHICH WRAPS AROUND THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 99W-104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N90W 11N105W 7N130W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 82W-92W INCLUDING COSTA RICA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:31 2003 X-UIDL: 41452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007XOXAUE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:47:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GlaYF091814 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:47:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd4D025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1221776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GcGlx082440 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93GcB7S006340 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93GcBqs006338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031638.h93GcBqs006338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 031600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031330ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 12.0N3 99.4W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 99.4W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 12.4N7 100.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 12.8N1 101.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 13.1N5 102.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.3N7 103.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 14.0N5 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.0N6 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.5N2 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 031200Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 100.5W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 15E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 031330Z0 OCT 2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 031330) NEXT WARNINGS AT 032200Z7, 040400Z8, 041000Z5, AND 041600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:35 2003 X-UIDL: 41453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007Y1XAYE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:47:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GleYF091821 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:47:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdF1034454; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1221779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GcHlx025394 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93GcB7S006343 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93GcBJ6006341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031638.h93GcBJ6006341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 15.3N9 109.3W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 109.3W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.1N8 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.2N0 110.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.5N4 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.6N6 112.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.0N3 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.3N6 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.6N9 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 031200Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 109.3W3 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032200Z7, 040400Z8, 041000Z5, AND 041600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:35 2003 X-UIDL: 41454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007YTXB9E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:47:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GlliU021807 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:47:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdxL058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1221846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GfLlx077824 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93GfG7S006447 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93GfGvn006442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 080 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031641.h93GfGvn006442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031600 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.0N3 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.3N6 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.6N9 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 031200Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 109.3W3 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032200Z7, 040400Z8, 041000Z5, AND 041600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:35 2003 X-UIDL: 41455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60070MXCRE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:48:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GmeYF091935 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:48:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdwH045430; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1221842 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GfJlx014184 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93GfE7S006436 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93GfE1E006434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031641.h93GfE1E006434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 031600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 15.3N9 109.3W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 109.3W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 16.1N8 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.2N0 110.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.5N4 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.6N6 112.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:36 2003 X-UIDL: 41456-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60071HXD5E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:48:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GmxYF091957 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:49:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdxN058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1221851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GfMlx055332 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93GfG7S006448 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93GfGBM006444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 315 Deg/ 03 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031641.h93GfGBM006444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 031600 RRB VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 15.0N6 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.5N2 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 031200Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 100.5W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 15E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 031330Z0 OCT 2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 031330) NEXT WARNINGS AT 032200Z7, 040400Z8, 041000Z5, AND 041600Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:36 2003 X-UIDL: 41457-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60078BXFZE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:50:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GogYF092149 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:50:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdxP058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1221858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GfJlx072282 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93GfE7S006435 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93GfDlH006432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:41:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031641.h93GfDlH006432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 031600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031330ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 12.0N3 99.4W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 99.4W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 12.4N7 100.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 12.8N1 101.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 13.1N5 102.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 13.3N7 103.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 14.0N5 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:36 2003 X-UIDL: 41458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM60079UXHDE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:51:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93GpXYF092216 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:51:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdxx058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:43:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1221956 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:43:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Ghjlx057980 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:43:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93Ghd7S006522 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:43:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93GhdFH006521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:43:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 11:43:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031643.h93GhdFH006521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 031643 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ25 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP5. FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70070D0CSE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:53:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93HrWYF099474 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:53:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd7L025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1223152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93HmLlx094586 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93HmG7S008257 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93HmFkR008255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031748.h93HmFkR008255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800/041800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030751ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 70.4E1 HAS SINCE DISSAPATED. A 031327Z6 QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS THERE IS NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FOR THIS AREA AND IS DOMINATED BY LOW LEVEL STRAIGHT LINE FLOW. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:39 2003 X-UIDL: 41461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70071Y0E2E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:54:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93HsJiU028719 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:54:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd1T058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1223155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93HmLlx077946 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93HmG7S008258 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93HmFnc008256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 12:48:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031748.h93HmFnc008256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800/041800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030751ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 70.4E1 HAS SINCE DISSAPATED. A 031327Z6 QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS THERE IS NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION FOR THIS AREA AND IS DOMINATED BY LOW LEVEL STRAIGHT LINE FLOW. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:41 2003 X-UIDL: 41463-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007RB1M6E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 02:20:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93IKgYF002354 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 02:20:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd8P025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:15:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1223513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:15:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93IFXlx094668 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:15:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93IFR7S009006 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:15:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93IFRuB009004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:15:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:15:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 03/10/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031815.h93IFRuB009004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 031800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/10/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 03/10/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 1000 HPA POSITION: 6.7S / 66.9E (SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER IS LOCALLY EXTENDING UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 06 UTC: 7.2S / 66.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 18 UTC: 7.5S / 65.4E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE LOCATED EAST OF THE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION THAT REMAINS DISORGANIZED, AND GOING ON WEAKENING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:41 2003 X-UIDL: 41464-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70073O1U6E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 02:25:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93IPdiU031343 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 02:25:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd8V025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:18:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1223563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:18:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93IIelx092454 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93IIZ7S009082 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:18:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93IIZJG009080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:18:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 13:18:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031818.h93IIZJG009080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 031800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/03 AT 1800 UTC : 6.7S / 66.9E (SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/04 06 UTC: 07.2S/66.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/10/04 18 UTC: 07.5S/65.4E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5, CI=2.0. EASTERLY SHEARED SYSTEM WITH FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:42 2003 X-UIDL: 41467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007PX5D6E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:41:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93JfjYF011120 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:41:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdB5025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 14:30:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1224514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 14:30:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93JUglx014274 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 14:30:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93JUa7S011071 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 14:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93JUavb011070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 14:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 14:30:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031930.h93JUavb011070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 031930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI OCT 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:43 2003 X-UIDL: 41470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70075172JE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:18:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KIYYF017848 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:18:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdDL025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:11:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1224934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:11:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KBalx040968 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:11:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93KBU7S012143 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:11:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93KBUQe012141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:11:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:11:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032011.h93KBUQe012141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 031800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/03 AT 1800 UTC : 6.7S / 66.9E (SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/04 06 UTC: 07.2S/66.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/10/04 18 UTC: 07.5S/65.4E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5, CI=2.0. EASTERLY SHEARED SYSTEM WITH FLUCTUATING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41471-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70075V732E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:18:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KIwYF017909 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:18:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdDF025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:09:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1224911 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:09:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93K9Olx084522 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:09:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93K9J7S012075 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:09:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93K9JbZ012073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:09:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:09:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032009.h93K9JbZ012073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 031800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/10/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 03/10/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 1000 HPA POSITION: 6.7S / 66.9E (SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER IS LOCALLY EXTENDING UP TO 150 MN IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 06 UTC: 7.2S / 66.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 18 UTC: 7.5S / 65.4E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE LOCATED EAST OF THE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION THAT REMAINS DISORGANIZED, AND GOING ON WEAKENING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM700766739E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:18:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KJ5iU045822 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:19:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdDJ025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:10:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1224929 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:10:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KAOlx092552 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:10:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93KAI7S012103 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:10:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93KAI8s012102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:10:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:10:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 03/10/2003 A 1800 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032010.h93KAI8s012102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 031800 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 03/10/2003 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 019/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: VENDREDI 03/10/2003 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 1000 HPA POSITION: 6.7S / 66.9E (SIX DEGRES SEPT SUD ET SOIXANTE-SIX DEGRES NEUF EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 3 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS LOCALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR SUD-OUEST JUSQU'A 150 MN DU CENTRE. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT ET MER FORTE PRES DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 30 KT DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 04/10/2003 A 06 UTC: 7.2S / 66.5E, VENT MAX = 25 KT. A 24H POUR LE 04/10/2003 A 18 UTC: 7.5S / 65.4E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, SE DISSIPANT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME EST CISAILLE D'EST AVEC UN CENTRE DE BASSES COUCHES POSITIONNE A L'EST DE LA CONVECTION, QUI RESTE FLUCTUANTE ET DESORGANISEE, CONTINUE DE S'AFFAIBLIR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007GD8F5E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:47:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KlniU048632 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:47:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdgl034454; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:33:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1225271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:33:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KXAlx048822 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:33:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93KX47S012669 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:33:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93KX4PJ012668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:33:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:33:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032033.h93KX4PJ012668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 032032 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 2100Z FRI OCT 03 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 109.9W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 109.9W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.7W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.9N 110.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.1N 111.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.3N 112.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.4N 113.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 109.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41475-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007PW8KDE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:50:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KovYF021285 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:50:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdFj025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:42:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1225442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:39:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Kd1lx069492 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:39:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93Kcu7S012817 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:38:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93KcuC5012815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:38:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:38:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032038.h93KcuC5012815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 032100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 6.8S4 66.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.8S4 66.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 6.9S5 65.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 7.0S7 64.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 7.1S8 62.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 7.3S0 61.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 6.8S4 66.3E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031715Z7 SSMI AND 031730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS THAT TC 01S CONTINUES TO REMAIN WEAK AND DISORGANIZED. TC 01S IS TRANSITIONING TO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK IN RESPONSE TO THE MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS NEW STEERING RIDGE. THE AVAIL- ABLE NUMERICAL MODELS OF NOGAPS, EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. EGRR IS NOW INITIALIZING BETTER ON THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL THE DYNAMIC MODELS. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORE- CAST PERIOD DUE TO WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 AND 042100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41476-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007Q68KFE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:50:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Kp0iU048839 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:51:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdFb025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:41:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1225455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:39:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KdRlx038180 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:39:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93KdL7S012837 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:39:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93KdLaa012836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:39:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:39:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032039.h93KdLaa012836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 032039 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 03 2003 NORA IS ALMOST A HURRICANE. RECENT MICROWAVE OVERPASSES...FROM TRMM AT 1312 UTC AND SSMI AT 1513 UTC...REVEAL A FORMATIVE EYE AND INCREASED BANDING. THE LATEST DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 55 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND HINTS OF AN EYE DEVELOPING WITHIN THE CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION ARE APPARENT IN VISIBLE IMAGERY. BASED ON THIS INFORMATION...THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 60 KT. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...BUT RECENT MICROWAVE FIXES INDICATE A FASTER MOTION THAN THIS MORNING...NOW 325/6. FORECAST TRACK GUIDANCE AND PHILOSOPHY ARE OTHERWISE VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THROUGH 72 HOURS...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE GFDL...NOGAPS...AND UKMET. THE GFS IS AN OUTLIER...THE MODEL CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE TOO WEAK AND AS A RESULT FOLLOWS A MORE WESTERLY TRACK. BEYOND 72 HOURS...THE DYNAMICAL MODELS INDICATE A VERY SLOW MOTION IN A VARIETY OF DIRECTIONS... IN AN AREA OF WEAK STEERING TO THE SOUTH OF AN APPROACHING MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS STATIONARY AT DAYS THREE THROUGH FIVE. NORA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND OVER SSTS OF 27C OR GREATER FOR ABOUT THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE SHIPS MODEL IN BRINGING THE STORM TO 70 KT IN 24 HOURS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER...AS WESTERLY SHEAR INCREASES AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH...AND THE CYCLONE SITS OVER 26C SSTS. FORECASTER KNABB/FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 16.2N 109.9W 60 KT 12HR VT 04/0600Z 16.9N 110.4W 65 KT 24HR VT 04/1800Z 18.1N 111.3W 70 KT 36HR VT 05/0600Z 19.3N 112.2W 70 KT 48HR VT 05/1800Z 20.4N 113.0W 70 KT 72HR VT 06/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W 60 KT 96HR VT 07/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 08/1800Z 21.5N 113.5W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007W88NTE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:52:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Kr1YF021511 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:53:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd7H045430; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:42:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1225481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:40:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Ketlx048704 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:40:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93Ken7S012889 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:40:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93KenlF012888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:40:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:40:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032040.h93KenlF012888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 032040 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 2100Z FRI OCT 03 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 99.6W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 90SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 99.6W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 99.4W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 13.2N 100.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.0N 100.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.7N 101.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.3N 101.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.9N 102.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 16.5N 103.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 17.0N 104.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 99.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70071V8RAE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:54:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Kt6iU049187 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:55:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd7L045430; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:42:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1225484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:40:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Kevlx038220 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:40:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93Kep7S012894 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:40:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93Kepus012893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:40:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:40:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032040.h93Kepus012893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 032040 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 03 2003 IN SPITE OF DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KT FROM AFWA AND 30 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...A SHIP WITH A GOOD HISTORY REPORTED 45 KT WINDS CLOSE TO THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. SINCE THAT TIME THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN PULLED A LITTLE FARTHER AWAY FROM THE EXPOSED CENTER AND SO THE ADVISORY INTENSITY WINDS ARE ONLY RAISED TO 40 KT...STILL WELL ABOVE THE SATELLITE ESTIMATES. A QUIKSCAT PASS ALONG WITH MORE VISIBLE IMAGERY HAS NECESSITATED A RELOCATION OF THE CENTER TO THE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 310/6. SOME FAIRLY LARGE ADJUSTMENTS HAVE ALSO BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST TRACK. THE GFS...GFDL...AND NOGAPS TAKE OLAF SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE MEXICAN COAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THEN BEND THE TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST AT VARIOUS RATES AS OLAF ENCOUNTERS A WEAK MID-LEVEL HIGH OVER MEXICO. THERE IS A LOT OF SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW BEHIND TROPICAL STORM NORA THAT COULD PUSH OLAF NORTHWARD. ON THE OTHER HAND...WITH ALL THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER DUE TO THE PREVAILING SHEAR...THE STORM-SCALE FORCING WOULD TEND TO DRAG THE CENTER MORE TO THE WEST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ADJUSTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...BUT NOT AS FAR AS THE GFS/GFDL/NOGAPS GUIDANCE. OLAF COULD MOVE CLOSER TO THE COAST THAN FORECAST...BUT MY FEELING IS THAT IT WOULD HAVE TO DO SO AS A WEAK AND SHEARED SYSTEM. BOTH THE SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE TAKE OLAF TO HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN 36-48 HOURS. GIVEN THE SHEAR...I FIND THAT OUTCOME HARD TO ACCEPT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS STRENGTHENING...BUT ONLY AFTER 36 HOURS WHEN THE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IS FORECAST TO ABATE. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 12.7N 99.6W 40 KT 12HR VT 04/0600Z 13.2N 100.0W 40 KT 24HR VT 04/1800Z 14.0N 100.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 05/0600Z 14.7N 101.0W 40 KT 48HR VT 05/1800Z 15.3N 101.6W 45 KT 72HR VT 06/1800Z 15.9N 102.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 07/1800Z 16.5N 103.5W 55 KT 120HR VT 08/1800Z 17.0N 104.5W 60 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41479-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70072TA1OE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 05:22:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93LMtYF025014 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 05:22:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdAr045430; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:17:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1226547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:17:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93LH2lx011518 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:17:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93LGv7S013755 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:16:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93LGuUO013754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:16:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:16:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032116.h93LGuUO013754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 032116 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 03 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM NORA CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 109.9W AT 03/2100 UTC MOVING TOWARD THE NW AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 992 MB. REFER TO LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF CENTERED NEAR 12.7N 99.6W AT 03/2100 UTC MOVING NW AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES IS 1000 MB. REFER TO LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/2115 UTC... ..1018 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 29N135W AND WILL SHIFT NE OF AREA NEXT 24 HOURS. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING NW PORTION OF AREA THROUGH 32N138W 27N145W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2115 UTC TROPICAL STORM NORA... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION CURRENTLY WITHIN 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRLCE OF CENTER. SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE ASSOCIATED WITH FEEDER BANDS WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER OVER S SEMICIRCLE. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM OLAF. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION OBSERVED WITHIN 160 NM OVER SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 11N93W 13N108W 8N116W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS E OF 95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007JAAZJE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 05:42:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93LhEYF027348 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 05:43:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdCB045430; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:37:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1226921 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:37:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Lbllx070494 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:37:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93Lbf7S014252 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:37:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93Lbf0K014251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:37:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:37:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032137.h93Lbf0K014251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 032137 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...09N140W 08N150W 07N158W 09N162W 06N180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90NM OF LINE 06N157W 07N161W 06N180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. FRONT...30N141W 26N146W 27N151W 24N155W 21N169W 19N174W 19N180 AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE WEST OF 180. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF FRONT WEST OF 170W. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 90NM OF FRONT EAST OF 170W HAVE MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 7KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. TROUGH 1...18N148W 10N152W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 15N150W 12N151W 11N154W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5KT AND WEAKENED. TROUGH 2...19N163W 15N166W 11N167W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 18N167W 18N163W 13N163W 18N167W HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. SEE TROUGH 2 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...18S130W 22S120W AND CONTINUING EAST OF 120W AS FRONT. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 18KT AND WEAKENED. CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 15S143W 09S157W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45NM OF LINE 12S146W 10S150W HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41481-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007T4BUKE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:01:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93M1niU056456 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:01:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdL3025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:57:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1227303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:57:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Lvelx036530 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:57:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93LvZ7S014598 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:57:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93LvZd9014597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:57:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 16:57:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032157.h93LvZd9014597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 032200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 16.0N7 109.7W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 109.9W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.9N6 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.1N0 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.3N3 112.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.4N6 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.5N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.5N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 21.5N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 031800Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 109.7W7 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031800Z2 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040400Z8, 041000Z5, 041600Z1 AND 042200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007FJCCFE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:12:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93MCZYF030167 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:12:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd91058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1227374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93M1jlx077520 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93M1d7S014675 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93M1diH014674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032201.h93M1diH014674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 032200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 16.0N7 109.7W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 109.9W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.9N6 110.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.1N0 111.3W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.3N3 112.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.4N6 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.5N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41483-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007K7CFPE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:14:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93MEXYF030346 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:14:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd93058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1227380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93M1llx096872 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93M1g7S014682 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93M1gAE014680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:01:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 030 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032201.h93M1gAE014680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 032200 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.5N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 21.5N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 031800Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 109.7W7 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031800Z2 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040400Z8, 041000Z5, 041600Z1 AND 042200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM700712CSPE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:22:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93MMKiU058310 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:22:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdLL025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1227545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93MHKlx039130 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93MHF7S014949 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93MHFhH014947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032217.h93MHFhH014947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 032200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 12.4N7 99.4W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 99.4W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 13.2N6 100.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 14.0N5 100.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.7N2 101.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.3N9 101.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70071HCSYE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:22:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93MMSiU058325 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:22:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdLJ025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1227540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93MHGlx039120 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93MHB7S014935 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93MHBxe014934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:17:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 060 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032217.h93MHBxe014934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 032200 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.9N5 102.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.5N2 103.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.0N8 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 031800Z2 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 99.4W2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031800Z2 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040400Z8, 041000Z5, 041600Z1 AND 042200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:50 2003 X-UIDL: 41486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70071XCTHE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:22:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93MMniU058380 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:22:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdLH025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:14:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1227510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:14:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93MErlx104840 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:14:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93MEl7S014898 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:14:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93MElnX014897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:14:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:14:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032214.h93MElnX014897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 032214 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BROWN/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:50 2003 X-UIDL: 41487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM700736CUEE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:23:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93MNMYF031333 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:23:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egd9H058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:15:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1227520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:15:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93MFAlx067744 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:15:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93MF47S014903 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:15:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93MF4vg014902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:15:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 17:15:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032215.h93MF4vg014902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 032200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 12.4N7 99.4W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 99.4W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 13.2N6 100.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 14.0N5 100.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 14.7N2 101.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.3N9 101.6W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.9N5 102.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 16.5N2 103.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.0N8 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 031800Z2 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 99.4W2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031800Z2 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040400Z8, 041000Z5, 041600Z1 AND 042200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:55 2003 X-UIDL: 41491-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70071DIMTE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 08:28:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h940SNYF042616 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 08:28:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdPt025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:22:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1229438 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:22:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h940MClx095968 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:22:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h940M77S016421 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:22:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h940M7Kb016419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:22:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:22:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040022.h940M7Kb016419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 040000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 20/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/04 AT 0000 UTC : 6.5S / 66.7E (SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/04 12 UTC: 06.6S/65.7E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/10/05 00 UTC: 06.6S/64.7E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5, CI=2.0. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON THE LAST N6 AT 18H06 UTC AND N17 AT 20H59 UTC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41492-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70071HIMVE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 08:28:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h940SRiU069046 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 08:28:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdFJ045430; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:20:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1229388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:20:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h940KBlx069394 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:20:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h940K57S016387 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:20:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h940K5mC016384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:20:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 19:20:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040020.h940K5mC016384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 040000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 020/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 1000 HPA POSITION: 6.5S / 66.7E (SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER IS EXTENDING UP TO 80 MN IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 12 UTC: 6.6S / 65.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/05 AT 00 UTC: 6.6S / 64.7E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE LOCATED EAST OF THE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION THAT REMAINS DISORGANIZED, AND GOING ON WEAKENING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:58 2003 X-UIDL: 41495-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007RNLQZE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:35:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h941ZfiU074798 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:35:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdRx025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 20:30:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1230337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 20:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h941Ujlx017560 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 20:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h941Ue7S017075 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 20:30:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h941Uex5017074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 20:30:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 20:30:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040130.h941Uex5017074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 040130 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI OCT 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:02 2003 X-UIDL: 41499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM700793OR3E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:40:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942eYiU080723 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:40:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdU1025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:35:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1231184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:35:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942Zdlx092574 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:35:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h942ZY7S017677 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:35:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h942ZYo3017676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:35:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:35:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040235.h942ZYo3017676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 040235 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI OCT 03 2003 THE CLOUD PATTERN OF NORA CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE INCREASED TO 77 KT FROM TAFB AND 65 KT FROM SAB. NORA IS THEREFORE UPGRADED TO A 65 KT HURRICANE. AS MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AFTERNOON MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTED THAT A EYE MAY BE FORMING BUT...THERE HAS NOT BEEN ANY RECENT MICROWAVE DATA TO CONFIRM THIS. OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED A LITTLE MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE INITIAL MOTION WAS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY AND IS ESTIMATED TO BE 305/6. THE FORECAST TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AS NORA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWEST AROUND A RIDGE OVER MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REMAINS CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE GFDL...NOGAPS...AND UKMET. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE THE WESTERN MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. IT APPEARS THAT THE GFS IS INTIALIZING THE SYSTEM TOO WEAK AND IS TRACKING IT FURTHER WEST. A TROUGH IS STILL FORECAST TO CREATE A WEAKNESS BETWEEN 115 AND 120W WHICH SHOULD CAUSE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO SLOW AND MOVE MORE NORTH-NORTHWEST. IF THE SYSTEMS REMAINS STRONGER...IT COULD BE STEERED MORE NORTHWARD BY THE DEEP LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SOMEWHAT OF A COMPROMISE AND INDICATES A VERY SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION FROM DAYS 3 THROUGH 5. THE INTENSITY FORECAST FOLLOWS THE SHIPS MODEL CLOSELY AND BRINGS NORA TO A 75 KT HURRICANE IN 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO SLIGHTLY COOLER WATER BY 48 HOURS AND WEAKENING SHOULD COMMENCE. IN THE LONGER RANGE...WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR MORE RAPIDLY AS THE SHIPS GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 30 KT. FORECASTER BROWN/JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0300Z 16.4N 110.4W 65 KT 12HR VT 04/1200Z 17.1N 111.0W 75 KT 24HR VT 05/0000Z 18.3N 111.9W 75 KT 36HR VT 05/1200Z 19.5N 112.7W 75 KT 48HR VT 06/0000Z 20.6N 113.3W 65 KT 72HR VT 07/0000Z 21.5N 113.7W 50 KT 96HR VT 08/0000Z 21.7N 113.6W 40 KT 120HR VT 09/0000Z 21.9N 113.5W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:03 2003 X-UIDL: 41500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007AHOSAE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:40:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942fFiU080785 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:41:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdU7025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1231218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942bClx072344 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h942b67S017712 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h942b6NO017711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040237.h942b6NO017711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 040236 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI OCT 03 2003 A BURST OF CONVECTION OBSCURED THE CENTER OF OLAF SHORTLY BEFORE 0000 UTC. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR HAS ONCE AGAIN CAUSED THE CENTER TO BE PARTIALLY EXPOSED. THE SHIP REFERENCED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION OBSERVED 44 KT AT 2100 UTC JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. ON THIS BASES...THE INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 45 KT. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE LOWER AND ARE BETWEEN 30 AND 35 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW ESTIMATED TO BE 325/8. A WEAK RIDGE OVER MEXICO SHOULD STEER OLAF TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BEYOND 48 HOURS THE GFS BUILDS A STRONG RIDGE ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND IS THE WESTERN MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS. THE NOGAPS AND GFDL KEEP A WEAKER RIDGE OVER MEXICO AND THEREFORE BRING OLAF MUCH CLOSER TO THE COAST... WITH THE GFDL SHOWING LANDFALL IN ABOUT 72 HOURS. IT SHOULD BE POINTED OUT THAT THE 12Z UMKET DID NOT INITIALIZED THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WAS ADJUSTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS CLOSE TO THE GFS ENSEMBLE FORECAST. SHIPS INTENSITY GUIDANCE INITIALIZED 14 KT OF SHEAR OVER THE CYCLONE...THEN INDICATES IT SHOULD ABATE AROUND 48 HOURS. DESPITE THE CURRENT SHEAR THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR SLOW STRENGTHENING BUT NOT AS QUICKLY AS THE SHIPS GUIDANCE WHICH BRINGS OLAF TO A HURRICANE IN 36 HOURS. THE GFDL STRENGTHENS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE INTO A HURRICANE IN 12 HOURS WHICH SEEMS UNLIKELY. FORECASTER BROWN/JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0300Z 13.4N 99.9W 45 KT 12HR VT 04/1200Z 14.1N 100.4W 50 KT 24HR VT 05/0000Z 14.8N 100.9W 55 KT 36HR VT 05/1200Z 15.4N 101.3W 60 KT 48HR VT 06/0000Z 15.9N 101.8W 65 KT 72HR VT 07/0000Z 16.7N 102.8W 75 KT 96HR VT 08/0000Z 17.2N 103.6W 75 KT 120HR VT 09/0000Z 17.7N 104.8W 75 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:03 2003 X-UIDL: 41501-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007ASOSFE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:41:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942fMiU080793 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:41:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdHv045430; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1231196 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942aPlx030882 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h942aK7S017694 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h942aK42017693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 04/10/2003 A 0000 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040236.h942aK42017693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 FMEE 040000 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 04/10/2003 A 0000 UTC. NUMERO: 020/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 04/10/2003 A 0000 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 1000 HPA POSITION: 6.5S / 66.7E (SIX DEGRES CINQ SUD ET SOIXANTE-SIX DEGRES SEPT EST) A 0000 UTC DEPLACEMENT: OUEST 2 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS LE SECTEUR OUEST JUSQU'A 80 MN DU CENTRE. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/25 KT ET MER FORTE PRES DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 30 KT DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 04/10/2003 A 12 UTC: 6.6S / 65.7E, VENT MAX = 25 KT. A 24H POUR LE 05/10/2003 A 00 UTC: 6.6S / 64.7E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, SE DISSIPANT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LE SYSTEME EST CISAILLE D'EST AVEC UN CENTRE DE BASSES COUCHES POSITIONNE A L'EST DE LA CONVECTION, QUI RESTE FLUCTUANTE ET DESORGANISEE, ET CONTINUE DE S'AFFAIBLIR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:03 2003 X-UIDL: 41502-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007DPOUAE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:42:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942gTiU080886 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:42:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdU9025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:38:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1231260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:38:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942cLlx070518 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:38:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h942cG7S017735 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h942cGXF017733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:38:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040238.h942cGXF017733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 040000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 20/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/04 AT 0000 UTC : 6.5S / 66.7E (SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/2.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/04 12 UTC: 06.6S/65.7E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/10/05 00 UTC: 06.6S/64.7E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=1.5, CI=2.0. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON THE LAST N6 AT 18H06 UTC AND N17 AT 20H59 UTC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41503-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007F1OUVE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:42:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942gpiU080933 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:42:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdFF058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1231225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942bQlx079416 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h942bL7S017720 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h942bL9p017718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:37:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040237.h942bL9p017718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 040000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 020/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/10/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 1000 HPA POSITION: 6.5S / 66.7E (SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER IS EXTENDING UP TO 80 MN IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 12 UTC: 6.6S / 65.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/10/05 AT 00 UTC: 6.6S / 64.7E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS EASTERLY SHEARED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE LOCATED EAST OF THE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION THAT REMAINS DISORGANIZED, AND GOING ON WEAKENING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41504-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007FLOV4E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:42:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942gxYF056285 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:43:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdU3025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1231193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942aJlx030876 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h942aE7S017689 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h942aENA017688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040236.h942aENA017688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 040235 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0300Z SAT OCT 04 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.4W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 110.4W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 110.2W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.1N 111.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.3N 111.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.5N 112.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.6N 113.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.5N 113.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 21.7N 113.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 21.9N 113.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 110.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z FORECASTER BROWN/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:05 2003 X-UIDL: 41506-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007N2OYSE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:44:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942j9iU081191 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:45:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdU5025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1231203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942aflx072330 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h942aa7S017703 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h942aa9R017702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:36:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040236.h942aa9R017702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 040236 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 0300Z SAT OCT 04 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 99.9W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 99.9W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 99.8W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.1N 100.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.8N 100.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.4N 101.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.9N 101.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.7N 102.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 17.2N 103.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 17.7N 104.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 99.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z FORECASTER BROWN/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41509-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM70072NRSOE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:46:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h943kJiU087006 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:46:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdUp025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:39:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1231804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:39:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h943dKlx017408 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:39:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h943dE7S018244 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:39:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h943dE6k018243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:39:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:39:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040339.h943dE6k018243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 040339 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 04 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE NORA CENTERED 385 NM SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 16.4N 110.4W AT 04/0300 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF CENTERED 215 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO NEAR 13.4N 99.9W AT 04/0300 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/0000 UTC... ..1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 29N136W CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE AS A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA FROM 32N135W TO 29N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0315 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... NORA HAS DEVELOPED A NEARLY SYMMETRICAL STRUCTURE WITH A SOLID CDO LOCATED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED STRONG NEAR THE CENTER BUT NO EYE HAS BEEN NOTICEABLE AS OF YET IN CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. NUMEROUS MODERATE/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 109W-113W. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... OLAF HAS JUST AS STRONG...IF NOT STRONGER...CONVECTION THAN NORA DOES. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM IS UNDER A GOOD AMOUNT OF NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND SO THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BEEN OBSERVED PEEKING OUT OF THE ERN SIDE OF THE TSTM CLUSTER. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 100W-105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N82W 12N94W 12N107W 8N115W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 86W-94W...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO JUST EAST OF ACAPULCO FROM 16N-19N BETWEEN 97W-100W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007DYTI4E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 12:22:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h944N6YF065536 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 12:23:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdVD025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:16:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1232040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:16:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h944G5lx079530 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:16:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h944G07S018548 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:16:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h944G0D0018547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:16:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 23:16:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040416.h944G0D0018547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 040415 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41515-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007B4XZ2E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:59:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h945xbiU000915 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:59:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdZD025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:57:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1232956 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:57:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h945vBlx069440 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:57:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h945v57S019354 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:57:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h945v52V019353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:57:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:57:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040557.h945v52V019353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 040400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 16.2N9 110.2W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 110.2W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.1N9 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.3N2 111.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.5N5 112.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.6N8 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.5N8 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.7N0 113.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.9N2 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 040000Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 110.2W4 HURRICANE 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040000Z4 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041000Z5, 041600Z1, 042200Z8 AND 050400Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007DXY1UE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:01:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9461MYF073865 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:01:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdZF025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:58:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1232959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:58:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h945wAlx104930 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:58:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h945w57S019367 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:58:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h945w4TM019366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:58:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040558.h945w4TM019366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 040400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 13.2N6 99.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 99.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 14.1N6 100.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.8N3 100.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.4N0 101.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.9N5 101.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.7N4 102.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.2N0 103.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.7N5 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT --- REMARKS: 040000Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 99.8W6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040000Z4 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS, AND A SHIP OBSERVATION OF 44 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041000Z5, 041600Z1, 042200Z8 AND 050400Z9. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007EIY26E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9461ciU001058 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:01:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdZH025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:59:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1232971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:59:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h945xDlx067252 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:59:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h945x77S019390 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:59:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h945x7XI019387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:59:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 00:59:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040559.h945x7XI019387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 040400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 010 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 16.2N9 110.2W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 110.2W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.1N9 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.3N2 111.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.5N5 112.7W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.6N8 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.5N8 113.7W2 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:09 2003 X-UIDL: 41519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007MRY4VE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:02:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9463GYF074085 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:03:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdZL025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1232986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9460Elx031842 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h946087S019433 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h946086X019432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 060 Kt, Gusts 075 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040600.h946086X019432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 040400 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.9N5 101.8W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.7N4 102.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.2N0 103.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.7N5 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT --- REMARKS: 040000Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 99.8W6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040000Z4 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS, AND A SHIP OBSERVATION OF 44 KNOTS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:09 2003 X-UIDL: 41520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007R0Y70E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:04:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9464RiU001368 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:04:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdGb058424; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1232998 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9460Ilx092574 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9460C7S019448 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9460Cv9019447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040600.h9460Cv9019447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 040400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 13.2N6 99.8W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 99.8W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 14.1N6 100.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.8N3 100.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.4N0 101.3W5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:09 2003 X-UIDL: 41521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007X0Y9VE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:05:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9466GiU001544 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:06:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93L68cX034454; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1232994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9460Glx092572 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9460A7S019441 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9460A6X019439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Maximum Significant Wave Height At 040000z4 Is 18 Feet. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040600.h9460A6X019439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN32 PHNC 040400 RRC MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041000Z5, 041600Z1, 042200Z8 AND 050400Z9. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:10 2003 X-UIDL: 41522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM700751YGDE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:09:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h946AAYF074691 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:10:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdZN025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1232989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9460Glx044004 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9460A7S019440 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9460AFV019437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:00:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 050 Kt, Gusts 060 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040600.h9460AFV019437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 040400 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.7N0 113.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.9N2 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 040000Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 110.2W4 HURRICANE 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040000Z4 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041000Z5, 041600Z1, 042200Z8 AND 050400Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:10 2003 X-UIDL: 41523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007ZHZ0QE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:22:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h946MKYF075781 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:22:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93L68dr034454; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h946Bslx070408 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h946Bm7S019538 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h946BmWr019536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040611.h946BmWr019536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z-050600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:11 2003 X-UIDL: 41526-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007E5ZCXE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:29:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h946TfiU003159 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:29:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdZh025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:27:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233243 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:27:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h946R2lx031748 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h946Qu7S019663 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:26:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h946QuoB019661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:26:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:26:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 04/10/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040626.h946QuoB019661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 040600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 021/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.0S / 66.0E (SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER IS EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 230 MN FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 25KT WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 18 UTC: 7.3S / 65.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. 24H, VALID 2003/10/05 AT 06 UTC: 7.4S / 64.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION CENTRE IS EXPOSED EAST OF DEEP CONVECTION (WHICH REMAINS DISORGANIZED, AND GOING ON WEAKENING), WHITH A FILLING-UP LOW.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:11 2003 X-UIDL: 41527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007PTZNIE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:35:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h946a2iU003625 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:36:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdZl025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:32:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233276 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:32:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h946WClx058046 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:32:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h946W77S019737 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h946W73A019735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:32:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040632.h946W73A019735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 040600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 21/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/04 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.0S / 66.0E (SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/04 18 UTC: 07.3S/65.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 24H: 2003/10/05 06 UTC: 07.4S/64.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/10/05 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 48H: 2003/10/06 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/10/06 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/07 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LLCC IS EXPOSED BUT IS FILLING UP, AND THE LOW LKEVEL CIRCULATION IS WEAK AND BADLY DEFINED. FEW DEEP CONVECTION STILL EXISTS WEST OF THE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:12 2003 X-UIDL: 41528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800742320E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:49:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h947nPYF083322 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:49:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdaN025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 02:40:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233495 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 02:40:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h947eelx069484 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 02:40:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h947eY7S020265 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 02:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h947eYb2020264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 02:40:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 02:40:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040740.h947eYb2020264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 040740 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI OCT 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:12 2003 X-UIDL: 41530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007NP537E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948XIYF087051 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:33:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93L68ir034454; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:27:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948QXlx008218 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h948QR7S020774 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h948QRPU020771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040826.h948QRPU020771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 040826 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 0900Z SAT OCT 04 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 100.5W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 100.5W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 100.4W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.4N 100.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.0N 101.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.6N 101.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.1N 102.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.8N 103.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 17.3N 104.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 17.8N 105.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 100.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:12 2003 X-UIDL: 41531-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007SJ58BE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:36:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948aUYF087391 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:36:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdbp025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:30:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948T7lx031754 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h948T17S020834 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:29:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h948T1a4020833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:29:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:29:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040829.h948T1a4020833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 040900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 7.4S1 65.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.4S1 65.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 7.6S3 64.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 7.6S3 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 7.5S2 61.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 7.4S1 60.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION NEAR 7.4S1 65.1E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR REVEALS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 01S HAS TRANSITIONED TO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK IN RESPONSE TO THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ALONG THE EQUATORWARD PERIPHERY OF THIS STEERING RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL MODELS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL THE DYNAMIC MODELS. TC 01S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 AND 050900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41532-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007SQ58WE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:36:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948ariU013227 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:36:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vnx045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948XElx030896 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h948X87S020894 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h948X8kx020890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 04/10/2003 A 0600 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040833.h948X8kx020890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XII, Probability=12%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO21 FMEE 040600 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 04/10/2003 A 0600 UTC. NUMERO: 021/01 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). (PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS -HPA VALEUR INDICATIVE-). AVERTISSEMENT DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 04/10/2003 A 0600 UTC. PHENOMENE: PERTURBATION TROPICALE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 1002 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 30 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 7.0S / 66.0E (SEPT DEGRES ZERO SUD ET SOIXANTE-SIX DEGRES ZERO EST) A 0600 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-OUEST 5 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS LOCALEMENT DANS LE SECTEUR OUEST JUSQU'A 230 MN DU CENTRE. CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/20 KT ET MER AGITEE A FORTE PRES DU CENTRE, ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 25 KT DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-OUEST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 04/10/2003 A 18 UTC: 7.3S / 65.0E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, SE DISSIPANT. A 24H POUR LE 05/10/2003 A 06 UTC: 7.4S / 64.0E, VENT MAX = 20 KT, SE DISSIPANT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: LA CIRCULATION DE BASSE COUCHE EST EXPOSEE A L'EST DE LA CONVECTION (QUI RESTE FLUCTUANTE, PEU ETENDUE ET DESORGANISEE), MAIS ELLE EST FAIBLE ET DE MOINS EN MOINS CIRCULAIRE, AVEC UN MINIMUM EN VOIE DE COMBLEMENT, DONC DE MOINS EN MOINS NET. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007TA59UE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:37:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948bRiU013268 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:37:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdax025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:29:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948R0lx047076 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h948Qs7S020797 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h948QsA2020796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040826.h948QsA2020796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 040826 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0900Z SAT OCT 04 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 111.3W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 45NE 70SE 70SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 111.3W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 110.9W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.5N 111.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.8N 112.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.8N 113.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.6N 114.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 21.9N 114.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.3N 114.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 111.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:14 2003 X-UIDL: 41535-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007WL5ELE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:39:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948eIiU013450 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:40:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vo1045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:34:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948Y7lx049492 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:34:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h948Y17S020912 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:34:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h948Y1Ye020910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:34:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:34:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040834.h948Y1Ye020910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 040600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 21/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/04 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.0S / 66.0E (SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/04 18 UTC: 07.3S/65.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 24H: 2003/10/05 06 UTC: 07.4S/64.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/10/05 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 48H: 2003/10/06 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/10/06 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/07 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LLCC IS EXPOSED BUT IS FILLING UP, AND THE LOW LKEVEL CIRCULATION IS WEAK AND BADLY DEFINED. FEW DEEP CONVECTION STILL EXISTS WEST OF THE CENTRE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:14 2003 X-UIDL: 41536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007255JFE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:42:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948h7YF087808 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:43:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdI3058424; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948XElx052008 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h948X87S020895 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h948X8tI020892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:33:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040833.h948X8tI020892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 040600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 021/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/10/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.0S / 66.0E (SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER IS EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 230 MN FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 25KT WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/04 AT 18 UTC: 7.3S / 65.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. 24H, VALID 2003/10/05 AT 06 UTC: 7.4S / 64.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION CENTRE IS EXPOSED EAST OF DEEP CONVECTION (WHICH REMAINS DISORGANIZED, AND GOING ON WEAKENING), WHITH A FILLING-UP LOW. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:15 2003 X-UIDL: 41537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007Y264RE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:55:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948txYF088998 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:56:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdcn025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:50:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:50:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948oHlx009642 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:50:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h948oB7S021042 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h948oB5r021041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:50:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040850.h948oB5r021041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 040849 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT OCT 04 2003 LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS BANDING EYE DEVELOPMENT. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 77 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...55 KT FROM AFWA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED OUTFLOW OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE SYSTEM. BECAUSE OF THE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN BANDING STRUCTURE...NORA IS INCREASED TO 75 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION WAS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY AND IS 300/6. THE FORECAST TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AS NORA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWEST AROUND A RIDGE OVER MEXICO INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS. A BLEND OF THE GFDL...NOGAPS...GFDN...AND UKMET REMAINS THE BASIS OF THE FORECAST. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE THE WELL TO THE LEFT OF THE CONSENSUS. THE LATEST RUN SUGGESTS A WEAKER TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKING WITHIN THE STEERING FLOW OF A LOW LEVEL RIDGE. A BAROCLINIC TROUGH STILL DEVELOPS JUST EAST OF 120W CAUSING NORA TO SLOW CONSIDERABLY AND MOVE IN A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHICH IS SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS. AFTERWARD...SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR...AND COOLER WATER SHOULD TRIGGER A WEAKENING TREND. FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0900Z 16.8N 111.3W 70 KT 12HR VT 04/1800Z 17.5N 111.9W 80 KT 24HR VT 05/0600Z 18.8N 112.8W 85 KT 36HR VT 05/1800Z 20.0N 113.5W 80 KT 48HR VT 06/0600Z 20.8N 113.9W 70 KT 72HR VT 07/0600Z 21.6N 114.1W 55 KT 96HR VT 08/0600Z 21.9N 114.1W 40 KT 120HR VT 09/0600Z 22.3N 114.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:15 2003 X-UIDL: 41538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007HC6JEE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:04:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9494jiU015280 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:04:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdcx025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:56:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:56:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948u9lx011324 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:56:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h948u47S021102 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:56:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h948u4R1021101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:56:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:56:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040856.h948u4R1021101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 040855 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT OCT 04 2003 LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND AN EARLIER 0332Z SSMI PASS DEPICT THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS TUCKED IN BENEATH THE NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. IMAGERY ALSO REVEALS A RAGGED BANDING FEATURE DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 45 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...35 KT FROM AFWA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 45 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 320/6. A WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER MEXICO SHOULD PROVIDE A NORTHWEST MOTION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. GFDL AND GFDN DEPICT A WEAKER RIDGE OVER MEXICO...PLACING THE TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE COAST OF MEXICO BY DAY 3. THE UKMET 0000Z RUN INITIALIZED THE SYSTEM BUT INDICATED EXCESSIVE INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL STORM LARRY. NOGAPS AND THE GFS INDICATE A STRONGER RIDGE...GFS REFLECTING THE STRONGEST OF THE TWO. BOTH ALSO SHOW THE RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO AROUND 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND A BLEND OF THE GFS...NOGAPS AND THE GFDL THROUGH 72. BASED ON RECENT IMAGERY...THE SHEAR APPEARS TO BE LETTING UP. THE SHIPS AND THE GFDL INTENSIFY THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH IN LESS THAN 36 HOURS. IN FACT...THE GFDL BRINGS THE INTENSITY UP TO 105 KT IN 72 HOURS...WHILE THE SHIPS INCREASES IT TO 77 KT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSER TO THE SHIPS. FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0900Z 13.8N 100.5W 45 KT 12HR VT 04/1800Z 14.4N 100.9W 50 KT 24HR VT 05/0600Z 15.0N 101.4W 60 KT 36HR VT 05/1800Z 15.6N 101.9W 65 KT 48HR VT 06/0600Z 16.1N 102.4W 70 KT 72HR VT 07/0600Z 16.8N 103.3W 75 KT 96HR VT 08/0600Z 17.3N 104.2W 75 KT 120HR VT 09/0600Z 17.8N 105.5W 75 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:15 2003 X-UIDL: 41539-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007YG6YTE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:13:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949E2YF090423 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:14:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgddD025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:10:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:10:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949AAlx009716 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:10:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h949A47S021230 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:10:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h949A4T6021229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:10:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:10:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040910.h949A4T6021229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 040909 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 0900Z SAT OCT 04 2003 ..COR TO ADD 12 FT SEAS... TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 100.5W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 100.5W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 100.4W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.4N 100.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.0N 101.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.6N 101.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.1N 102.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.8N 103.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 17.3N 104.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 17.8N 105.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 100.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:16 2003 X-UIDL: 41540-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007LX7K7E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:26:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949QiiU016840 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:26:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgddF025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:21:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:21:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949LElx049176 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:21:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h949L87S021323 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:21:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h949L8FD021322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:21:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:21:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040921.h949L8FD021322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 040920 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0900Z SAT OCT 04 2003 ..CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY... HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 111.3W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 45NE 70SE 70SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 111.3W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 110.9W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.5N 111.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.8N 112.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.8N 113.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.6N 114.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 21.9N 114.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.3N 114.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 111.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:16 2003 X-UIDL: 41541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007Q07O3E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:28:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949TBYF091467 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:29:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgddH025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:22:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234211 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:22:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949M9lx027242 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:22:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h949M37S021334 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:22:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h949M3hJ021333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:22:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:22:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040922.h949M3hJ021333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 040921 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT OCT 04 2003 ..CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY... LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS BANDING EYE DEVELOPMENT. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 77 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...55 KT FROM AFWA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED OUTFLOW OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE SYSTEM. BECAUSE OF THE SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN BANDING STRUCTURE...NORA IS INCREASED TO 75 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION WAS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY AND IS 300/6. THE FORECAST TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AS NORA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWEST AROUND A RIDGE OVER MEXICO INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS. A BLEND OF THE GFDL...NOGAPS...GFDN...AND UKMET REMAINS THE BASIS OF THE FORECAST. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE THE WELL TO THE LEFT OF THE CONSENSUS. THE LATEST RUN SUGGESTS A WEAKER TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKING WITHIN THE STEERING FLOW OF A LOW LEVEL RIDGE. A BAROCLINIC TROUGH STILL DEVELOPS JUST EAST OF 120W CAUSING NORA TO SLOW CONSIDERABLY AND MOVE IN A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHICH IS SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS. AFTERWARD...SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR...AND COOLER WATER SHOULD TRIGGER A WEAKENING TREND. FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0900Z 16.8N 111.3W 75 KT 12HR VT 04/1800Z 17.5N 111.9W 80 KT 24HR VT 05/0600Z 18.8N 112.8W 85 KT 36HR VT 05/1800Z 20.0N 113.5W 80 KT 48HR VT 06/0600Z 20.8N 113.9W 70 KT 72HR VT 07/0600Z 21.6N 114.1W 55 KT 96HR VT 08/0600Z 21.9N 114.1W 40 KT 120HR VT 09/0600Z 22.3N 114.0W 30 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:16 2003 X-UIDL: 41543-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007B57ZAE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:35:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949ZsYF092092 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:35:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egddb025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:32:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234301 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:32:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949WQlx092252 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:32:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h949WK7S021459 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h949WK5v021458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:32:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040932.h949WK5v021458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 040932 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...08N140W 08N150W 07N160W 09N162W 06N171W 06N180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 07N170W 07N179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ALSO NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 11N141W 11N144W 08N148W 09N154W. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...29N140W 26N150W 24N156W CONTINUING AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 22N170W 21N180W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 20N173W 19N177W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 90NM OF FRONT AND SHEAR LINE HAVE MOVED LITTLE. TROUGH 1...AXIS THROUGH 16N151W 14N152W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. TROUGH 2...18N163W 11N166W. TROUGH HAS MOVED WEST NEAR 10 KT WHILE CB ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH HAVE DISSIPATED. OVERCAST MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT/SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT/SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE TROUGH 2 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...AXIS 17S142W 12S150W 09S162W. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90NM OF TROUGH HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE INCREASING IN AREA AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB FROM 05S TO 18S BETWEEN 164W AND 170W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE THROUGH 02S 176W 09S 174W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:17 2003 X-UIDL: 41545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007P487CE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:40:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949ejYF092580 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:40:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egddd025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:35:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234321 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:35:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949ZUlx031070 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:35:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h949ZO7S021481 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:35:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h949ZOuQ021480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:35:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:35:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040935.h949ZOuQ021480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 040935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 04 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..HURRICANE NORA CENTERED 365 NM SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 16.8N 111.3W AT 04/0900 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF CENTERED 185 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO NEAR 13.8N 100.5W AT 04/0900 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ENTERING THE AREA OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA ALONG 79W NORTH OF 5N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION HAS BEEN DEVELOPING ALONG THE MOUNTAINS OF NW COLOMBIA FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 74W-78W AND IS DRIFTING W TOWARDS THE COASTAL WATERS. ..1018 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 28N134W CONTINUES TO DISSIPATE AS A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA FROM 32N133W TO 29N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0915 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... THE FIRST SIGNS OF AN EYE FEATURE HAVE BECOME APPARENT IN INFRARED IMAGERY. A STRONG BAND OF CONVECTION OVER THE ERN SEMICIRCLE IS WRAPPING AROUND TO THE NORTH SIDE...AND NOW A SLIGHT WARMING OF THE CLOUD TOPS IS OCCURRING IN THE CENTER OF THE CDO. ALTHOUGH THE NIGHTLY SATELLITE ECLIPSE IS PREVENTING US FROM RECEIVING IMAGES FROM GOES-10...IMAGES FROM GOES-12 DO CLEARLY CONFIRM THE PRESENCE OF AN EYE. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 110W-113.5W. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... OLAF IS WELL ON ITS WAY TO INTENSIFYING AS THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS NOW TUCKING BENEATH A FAIRLY INTENSE CLUSTER OF CONVECTION. AN ADDITIONAL BAND OF STRONG CONVECTION IS ALSO LOCATED OVER THE WRN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM...AND EXTENDS NEWD TOWARDS THE MEXICAN COAST AS A BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-15.5N BETWEEN 100W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 99W-103W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 12N95W 8N115W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-92W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFF THE COAST OF CNTRL AMERICA NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 86W-96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING OFF THE COAST OF SRN COLOMBIA FROM 1N-4N BETWEEN 78W-80W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:17 2003 X-UIDL: 41546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007278GQE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:46:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949kMYF093107 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:46:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egddj025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:43:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234377 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:43:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h949hDlx041982 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:43:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h949h77S021541 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h949h7T7021540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:43:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:43:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040943.h949h7T7021540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 040942 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI OCT 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 270 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:20 2003 X-UIDL: 41555-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800B99CU8GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 19:20:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94BKfiU026563 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 19:20:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdeb025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:10:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:10:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94BA4lx092346 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:10:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94B9w7S022207 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:09:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94B9wfr022206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:09:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:09:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041109.h94B9wfr022206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 041000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 16.5N2 110.9W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 110.9W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.5N3 111.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.8N7 112.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.0N2 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.8N0 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.6N9 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.9N2 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.3N7 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 040000Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 110.2W4 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH- WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041600Z1, 042200Z8, 050400Z9 AND 051000Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:21 2003 X-UIDL: 41556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BADCV1GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 19:21:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94BLJiU026631 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 19:21:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vov045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234639 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94BDAlx041834 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94BD47S022244 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94BD4l0022240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041113.h94BD4l0022240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 041000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 16.5N2 110.9W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 110.9W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 17.5N3 111.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.8N7 112.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.0N2 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:21 2003 X-UIDL: 41557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BB2CVUGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 19:21:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94BLnYF001789 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 19:21:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egded025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94BDAlx030782 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94BD47S022245 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94BD4sX022241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:13:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041113.h94BD4sX022241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 041000 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.8N0 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.6N9 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.9N2 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.3N7 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 040000Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 110.2W4 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH- WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041600Z1, 042200Z8, 050400Z9 AND 051000Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:21 2003 X-UIDL: 41558-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BF0EV5GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:04:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94C4SiU030546 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:04:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdfJ025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:59:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234939 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:59:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94BxFlx065724 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:59:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94BxA7S022663 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:59:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94BxAKT022662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:59:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:59:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041159.h94BxAKT022662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 041000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 13.6N0 100.4W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 100.4W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 14.4N9 100.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.0N6 101.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.6N2 101.9W1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:22 2003 X-UIDL: 41559-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BHCEWUGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:05:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94C5WiU030631 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:05:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdfD025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:57:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234910 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:57:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94BvClx021800 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:57:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94Bv67S022638 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:57:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94Bv6DM022637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:57:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 06:57:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041157.h94Bv6DM022637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 041000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 13.6N0 100.4W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 100.4W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 14.4N9 100.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 15.0N6 101.4W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.6N2 101.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 16.1N8 102.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.8N5 103.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.3N1 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.8N6 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT --- REMARKS: 040600Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 100.9W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041600Z1, 042200Z8, 050400Z9 AND 051000Z6. REFER TO HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:22 2003 X-UIDL: 41560-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BHKEWYGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:05:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94C5giU030645 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:05:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdfL025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:00:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1234954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:00:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94C0Hlx041792 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:00:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94C0C7S022699 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94C0CfK022698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:00:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:00:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 065 Kt, Gusts 080 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041200.h94C0CfK022698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 041000 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 16.1N8 102.4W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.8N5 103.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.3N1 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.8N6 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT --- REMARKS: 040600Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 100.9W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041600Z1, 042200Z8, 050400Z9 AND 051000Z6. REFER TO HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:24 2003 X-UIDL: 41563-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BD9GE1GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:37:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94CbXYF009242 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:37:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdfr025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:33:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1235259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:33:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94CX7lx030842 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:33:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94CX17S023009 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94CX1ij023007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:33:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041233.h94CX1ij023007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 041200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 022/01 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). (MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS -HPA INDICATIVE FIGURE-). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 04/10/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.1S / 64.7E (SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER IS EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250 MN FROM THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER REACHING LOCALLY 25KT WITHIN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/10/05 AT 00 UTC: 6.0S / 64.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. 24H, VALID 2003/10/05 AT 12 UTC: 5.8S / 63.0E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE FOLLOWED UNTILL NOW HAS FILLED UP AFTER 06UTC. THE LOW SIGNALED IN THIS WARNING HAS DEEPENED AT MIDDAY NORTHWEST OF THE FIRST LOW NEAR DEEP CONVECTION WHICH PERSISTS IN A MODERATLY EASTERLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THIS SECOND LOW MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND SEEMS ALREADY FILLING UP. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:24 2003 X-UIDL: 41564-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BLWGO1GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:43:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94ChXYF009812 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:43:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vpj045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:39:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1235291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:39:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94CdJlx041876 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:39:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94CdD7S023057 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:39:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94CdD6t023055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:39:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 07:39:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041239.h94CdD6t023055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 041200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 22/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/04 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.1S / 64.7E (SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/05 00 UTC: 06.0S/64.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 24H: 2003/10/05 12 UTC: 05.8S/63.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/10/06 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 48H: 2003/10/06 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/10/07 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/07 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE FOLLOWED UNTILL NOW HAS FILLED UP AFTER 06UTC. THE LOW SIGNALED IN THIS WARNING HAS DEEPENED AT MIDDAY NORTHWEST OF THE FIRST LOW NEAR DEEP CONVECTION WHICH PERSISTS IN A MODERATLY EASTERLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THIS SECOND LOW MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND SEEMS ALREADY TO BE FILLI NG UP. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:26 2003 X-UIDL: 41568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BHPJKPGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:46:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94DkHiU040056 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:46:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vqd045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 08:40:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1235640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 08:40:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94DeIlx065702 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 08:40:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94DeC7S023590 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 08:40:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94DeC6F023589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 08:40:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 08:40:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041340.h94DeC6F023589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 041340 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT OCT 4 2003 AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK WESTWARD-MOVING DISTURBANCE. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED... AND NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:26 2003 X-UIDL: 41570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BS7MVUGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:57:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94EvliU046611 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:57:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdiJ025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:54:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1236273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:54:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94EsIlx046992 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:54:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94EsC7S024254 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94EsCZ9024253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:54:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:54:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041454.h94EsCZ9024253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 041454 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT OCT 04 2003 NORA CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND NOW HAS A WELL-DEFINED EYE. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NOW 90 KT FROM TAFB AND 102 KT FROM SAB. INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 90 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 300/6. THE FORECAST TRACK GUIDANCE REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AS NORA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWEST AROUND A RIDGE OVER MEXICO INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS. THE GFS REMAINS ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE BUT IS NOW IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE OTHER DYNAMICAL MODELS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE GUNA CONSENSUS. A BAROCLINIC TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR 120W AND CAUSE NORA TO SLOW CONSIDERABLY AND MOVE IN A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE SHIPS GUIDANCE...AS NORA REMAINS OVER SSTS GREATER THAN 27C...AND WITHIN A WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER DUE TO STEADILY INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND PASSAGE OVER SSTS NEAR 26C. FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/1500Z 17.2N 111.8W 90 KT 12HR VT 05/0000Z 18.0N 112.4W 100 KT 24HR VT 05/1200Z 19.3N 113.3W 100 KT 36HR VT 06/0000Z 20.2N 113.9W 90 KT 48HR VT 06/1200Z 20.8N 114.1W 80 KT 72HR VT 07/1200Z 21.5N 114.2W 65 KT 96HR VT 08/1200Z 21.9N 114.2W 50 KT 120HR VT 09/1200Z 22.4N 114.1W 40 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800B1BN2HGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:01:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94F1lYF023610 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:01:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdip025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:56:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1236387 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:56:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94Eudlx041124 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:56:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94EuY7S024286 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:56:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94EuYoR024285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:56:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:56:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041456.h94EuYoR024285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 041456 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 1500Z SAT OCT 04 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 101.1W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 101.1W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 100.9W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.9N 101.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N 102.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.0N 102.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N 103.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.2N 104.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.9N 104.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N 105.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 101.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41572-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800B69N5UGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:03:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94F3oiU047094 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:03:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdiH025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:51:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1236251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:51:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94EpOlx031050 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:51:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94EpI7S024208 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94EpIUk024207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:51:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041451.h94EpIUk024207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 041451 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 1500Z SAT OCT 04 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.8W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.8W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 111.5W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N 112.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.3N 113.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.2N 113.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.8N 114.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 114.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 21.9N 114.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 22.4N 114.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 111.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41573-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BBSNATGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:06:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94F6gYF024030 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:06:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdir025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:00:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1236440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:00:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94F0nlx009632 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:00:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94F0h7S024337 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:00:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94F0hVA024336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:00:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:00:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041500.h94F0hVA024336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ45 KNHC 041500 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT OCT 04 2003 OLAF HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS...WITH CONVECTIVE BURSTS OCCURRING BOTH NEAR AND TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NOW UP TO 55 KT...BUT SHIP KAOU WITH A RELIABLE HISTORY AND LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES WEST OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED ONLY ABOUT 1005 MB AND 20 KT. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SLIGHTLY INCREASED TO 50 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...320/7. A WEAK MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER MEXICO SHOULD INDUCE A GENERAL NORTHWEST MOTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS NEARLY ALONG BUT SLOWER THAN THE TRACKS FROM NOGAPS AND GFDL...WHICH APPEAR TO HAVE THE BEST HANDLE ON THE STRENGTH OF THE CIRCULATION. THE FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...ALTHOUGH SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT BEYOND 72 HOURS. THE SHEAR CURRENTLY IMPACTING OLAF IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE SSTS WILL REMAIN GREATER THAN 29C THROUGH ABOUT 72 HOURS. THE SHIPS GUIDANCE BRINGS THE STORM TO HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS...AS DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/1500Z 14.4N 101.1W 50 KT 12HR VT 05/0000Z 14.9N 101.5W 55 KT 24HR VT 05/1200Z 15.5N 102.0W 60 KT 36HR VT 06/0000Z 16.0N 102.5W 65 KT 48HR VT 06/1200Z 16.5N 103.1W 70 KT 72HR VT 07/1200Z 17.2N 104.0W 75 KT 96HR VT 08/1200Z 17.9N 104.9W 70 KT 120HR VT 09/1200Z 18.6N 105.8W 65 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BUZQ3YGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:07:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94G7PiU053291 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:07:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdjn025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:04:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1236846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:04:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94G40lx025384 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:04:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94G3t7S025089 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:03:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94G3sak025087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:03:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:03:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041603.h94G3sak025087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 041200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 22/1/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 1 (EX-ABAIMBA) 2.A POSITION 2003/10/04 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 6.1S / 64.7E (SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /W 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/10/05 00 UTC: 06.0S/64.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 24H: 2003/10/05 12 UTC: 05.8S/63.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/10/06 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 48H: 2003/10/06 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/10/07 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/10/07 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE FOLLOWED UNTILL NOW HAS FILLED UP AFTER 06UTC. THE LOW SIGNALED IN THIS WARNING HAS DEEPENED AT MIDDAY NORTHWEST OF THE FIRST LOW NEAR DEEP CONVECTION WHICH PERSISTS IN A MODERATLY EASTERLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THIS SECOND LOW MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND SEEMS ALREADY TO BE FILLI NG UP. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41575-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BVBQ3ZGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:07:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94G7TiU053300 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:07:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948bkDZ034462; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:04:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1236854 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:04:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94G43lx019434 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:04:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94G3v7S025099 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:03:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94G3vl9025097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:03:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:03:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041603.h94G3vl9025097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 041603 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 04 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..HURRICANE NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 17.2N 111.8W AT 04/1500 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF IS CENTERED NEAR 14.4N 101.1W AT 04/1500 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 80W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. ..WEAK 1019 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 27N138W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1515 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... NORA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH A WELL DEFINED BUT SMALL EYE. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM IN THE S SEMICIRLCE AND WITHIN 60 NM IN THE N SEMICIRLCE. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 14.5N TO 19N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... OLAF HAS STRONGER CONVECTION/COLDER CLOUD TOPS THAN NORA BUT IS NOT AS WELL DEFINED. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N101W TO 15N103W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS A 45 NM RADIUS OF 15N104.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N87W 10N100W 10N110W 7N116W 9N123W 6N137W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N106W TO 17N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N91W TO 11N92W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N95W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 16N94W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA S OF 12N W OF 80W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N90W TO 12N92W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:29 2003 X-UIDL: 41576-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BUMR9ZGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:32:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GWbiU055928 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:32:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VsL045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1237048 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GQTlx104836 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94GQN7S025284 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94GQNNT025283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041626.h94GQNNT025283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RAZOR2_CHECK, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 041600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- NEAR 16.9N6 111.5W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 111.5W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.0N9 112.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.3N3 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.2N4 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.8N0 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.5N8 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.9N2 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 22.4N8 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 041200Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 111.5W8 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH- WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 37 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042200Z8, 050400Z9, 051000Z6 AND 051600Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:29 2003 X-UIDL: 41577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BUQR9ZGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:32:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GWeYF034007 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:32:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdk9025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1237067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GSXlx092658 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94GSR7S025312 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94GSRf1025310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041628.h94GSRf1025310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 041600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- NEAR 16.9N6 111.5W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 111.5W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.0N9 112.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.3N3 113.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.2N4 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.8N0 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.5N8 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:29 2003 X-UIDL: 41578-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BV9RA7GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:32:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GWkYF034021 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:32:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VsN045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1237070 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GSXlx051878 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94GSR7S025313 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94GSRXH025311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:28:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 025 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041628.h94GSRXH025311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 041600 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.9N2 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 22.4N8 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 041200Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 111.5W8 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH- WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 37 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042200Z8, 050400Z9, 051000Z6 AND 051600Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41579-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BVDRA8GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:32:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GWrYF034032 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:32:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdk5025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1237051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GQTlx104838 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94GQO7S025289 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94GQOQU025288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:26:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041626.h94GQOQU025288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 041600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- NEAR 14.1N6 100.9W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 100.9W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.9N4 101.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.5N1 102.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.0N7 102.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.5N2 103.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.2N0 104.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.9N7 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 18.6N5 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 041200Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 100.9W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042200Z8, 050400Z9, 051000Z6 AND 051600Z2. REFER TO HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41580-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BZ7RD9GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:34:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GYgYF034214 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:34:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdkB025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1237073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GTYlx051882 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94GTS7S025326 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94GTSDO025323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 36 Hrs, Valid At: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041629.h94GTSDO025323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 041600 RRB 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 16.0N7 102.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.5N2 103.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.2N0 104.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.9N7 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 18.6N5 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 041200Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 100.9W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042200Z8, 050400Z9, 051000Z6 AND 051600Z2. REFER TO HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41581-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800B1MREAGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:34:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GZEYF034294 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:35:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VsP045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1237076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GTYlx019296 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94GTT7S025327 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94GTSU3025324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:29:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041629.h94GTSU3025324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 041600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- NEAR 14.1N6 100.9W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 100.9W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.9N4 101.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 15.5N1 102.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:31 2003 X-UIDL: 41582-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BEKSCGGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:55:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GtmiU058075 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 00:55:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdkR025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:49:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1237258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94GnOlx021760 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:49:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94GnI7S025538 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:49:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94GnIcG025537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:49:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 11:49:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041649.h94GnIcG025537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 041649 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT OCT 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 420 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:31 2003 X-UIDL: 41584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BXQW4XGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 02:17:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94IHaYF043534 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 02:17:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VmH025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1237986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94IEilx027202 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94IEc7S026340 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94IEcjq026338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041814.h94IEcjq026338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800/051800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040751ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.8N0 70.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM WEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040600Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:32 2003 X-UIDL: 41585-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800B57W9AGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 02:19:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94IKIYF043805 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 02:20:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vtp045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1237989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94IEilx038288 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94IEc7S026341 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94IEcvt026339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 13:14:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041814.h94IEcvt026339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800/051800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040751ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.8N0 70.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM WEST OF INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040600Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:32 2003 X-UIDL: 41587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BQD0EWGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:49:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94Jo0YF053238 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:50:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0Vo7025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:45:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1238757 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:45:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94Jjqlx027230 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94Jjk7S027162 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94JjklX027161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:45:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:45:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041945.h94JjklX027161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 041945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT OCT 4 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE APPROXIMATELY 475 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILO IS MOVING TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND NO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:33 2003 X-UIDL: 41588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BWX18WGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:07:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94K84iU075172 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:08:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VoN025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:03:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1238905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:03:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94K3hlx039104 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:03:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94K3b7S027329 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:03:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94K3b7c027328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:03:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:03:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042003.h94K3b7c027328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 042100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 6.6S2 64.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 6.6S2 64.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 6.5S1 63.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION NEAR 6.6S2 64.1E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DISSIPATED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. THE REMNANTS OF TC 01S ARE FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE EQUATORWARD PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 16 FEET. CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO REFORM OVER THIS SYSTEM. THEREFORE, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:37 2003 X-UIDL: 41591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BXU3MBGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:58:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94KxJiU078850 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:59:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdNp058424; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:56:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1239506 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:56:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94Ku1lx098378 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94Ktt7S027797 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:55:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94KttHf027796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:55:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:55:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042055.h94KttHf027796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 042055 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 2100Z SAT OCT 04 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 102.5W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 102.5W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 102.2W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 16.2N 103.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.9N 104.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.6N 104.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.2N 105.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.5N 106.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 20.5N 106.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.5N 107.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 102.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:37 2003 X-UIDL: 41592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BA23WAGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:04:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94L5JYF060803 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:05:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VqT025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1239520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94KvQlx036304 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94KvL7S027823 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94KvKBT027822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042057.h94KvKBT027822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 042057 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT OCT 04 2003 WHILE THE DEPTH OF THE SURROUNDING CONVECTION HAS BEEN FLUCTUATING...NORA RETAINS A FAIRLY WELL-DEFINED EYE. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN 90 KT FROM TAFB AND 102 KT FROM SAB. INITIAL INTENSITY IS THEREFORE UNCHANGED AT 90 KT. NORA HAS BEGUN MOVING MORE DIRECTLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 315/8. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWEST AROUND A RIDGE OVER MEXICO AND INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS. NORA WILL LIKELY BE A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED BY DAYS FOUR AND FIVE...WHILE MOVING SLOWLY AND TURNING SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AS SHOWN BY MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS. SOME ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE SHIPS GUIDANCE...AS NORA REMAINS OVER SSTS GREATER THAN 27C...AND WITHIN A WEAK SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER DUE TO STEADILY INCREASING SHEAR AND PASSAGE OVER SSTS NEAR 26C. FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 17.7N 112.3W 90 KT 12HR VT 05/0600Z 18.5N 112.9W 95 KT 24HR VT 05/1800Z 19.7N 113.7W 95 KT 36HR VT 06/0600Z 20.5N 114.0W 85 KT 48HR VT 06/1800Z 21.1N 114.2W 70 KT 72HR VT 07/1800Z 22.3N 114.2W 55 KT 96HR VT 08/1800Z 23.4N 114.0W 45 KT 120HR VT 09/1800Z 24.5N 113.8W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:37 2003 X-UIDL: 41593-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BB43XBGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:05:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94L5tYF060852 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:05:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VqR025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1239513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94Kv3lx008212 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94Kuv7S027813 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:56:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94KuvvH027812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:56:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:56:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042056.h94KuvvH027812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 042056 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT OCT 04 2003 OLAF IS STILL STRUGGLING TO BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED. RECENT SSMI OVERPASSES AT 1500 AND 1608 UTC DEPICT AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH LITTLE OR NO BANDING FEATURES. HOWEVER...DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES REMAIN 55 KT FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB. THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE 55 KT...WHICH ASSUMES THAT THE SURFACE WIND FIELD HAS CAUGHT UP TO THE INFRARED SATELLITE SIGNATURE. THE POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO THE WEST...AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS A RATHER UNCERTAIN 300/9. MANY OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS...INCLUDING THE GFS...UKMET...AND CANADIAN MODEL...DO NOT MAINTAIN A COHERENT CIRCULATION FROM WHICH TO OBTAIN TRACK GUIDANCE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST RELIES UPON THE GFDL...GFDN...AND NOGAPS AND TAKES THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST THROUGH 48 HOURS...WITH A GRADUAL TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THEREAFTER. LARGELY DUE TO THE RELOCATION OF THE CENTER...THIS FORECAST IS FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND ADJUSTED TO THE RIGHT BEYOND 48 HOURS. THE SHEAR CURRENTLY IMPACTING OLAF IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...AND THE SSTS WILL REMAIN GREATER THAN 28C THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION...BUT NOT QUITE AS AGGRESSIVE AS THE SHIPS MODEL WHICH FORECASTS A HURRICANE BY 12 HOURS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN GIVEN THE CURRENT LACK OF ORGANIZATION IN THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN OF OLAF. SINCE THE FORECAST BRINGS 34 KT WIND RADII VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO AT 36 TO 48 HOURS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW FOR A PORTION OF THE COASTLINE. FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/2100Z 15.3N 102.5W 55 KT 12HR VT 05/0600Z 16.2N 103.4W 60 KT 24HR VT 05/1800Z 16.9N 104.2W 70 KT 36HR VT 06/0600Z 17.6N 104.9W 75 KT 48HR VT 06/1800Z 18.2N 105.5W 80 KT 72HR VT 07/1800Z 19.5N 106.3W 80 KT 96HR VT 08/1800Z 20.5N 106.7W 75 KT 120HR VT 09/1800Z 21.5N 107.1W 70 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BC03XRGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:05:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94L6DiU079522 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:06:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VwH045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1239523 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94KvVlx043782 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94KvP7S027828 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94KvPUX027827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:57:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042057.h94KvPUX027827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 042057 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 2100Z SAT OCT 04 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 112.3W AT 04/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 112.3W AT 04/2100Z AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 112.0W FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.5N 112.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.7N 113.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.1N 114.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 22.3N 114.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 23.4N 114.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.5N 113.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 112.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41595-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900B8Z6C0GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:57:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94LvuiU083912 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:57:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0Vr9025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:53:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1240018 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:53:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94Lrqlx008294 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:53:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94Lrk7S028357 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:53:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94Lrkgi028356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:53:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:53:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042153.h94Lrkgi028356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 042153 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 12.9N 154.4W MOVING W SW 10 KT AT 2130 UTC. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 14N154W 14N152W 12N150W HAVE MOVED W 10 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 08N140W 07N146W 08N149W 07N162W HAVE MOVED W 10 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 08N172W 06N180 CONTINUING W OF THE DATELINE THROUGH 08N163E HAVE MOVED W 10 KT AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 21N175W 18N180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINTS 17N172W AND 13N170W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE DISCUSSION OF UPPER LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 14S146W 18S138W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 09S160W 11S154W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. CONVERGENCE ZONE...NEW OCASSIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 07S174W 08S164W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05S180 08S178W HAVE MOVED SW 20 KT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:39 2003 X-UIDL: 41596-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900B977CWGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:19:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MK3r9000682 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:20:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VrP025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:10:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1240148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:10:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94M9xlx095028 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:09:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94M9s7S028496 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:09:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94M9sPr028495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:09:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:09:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042209.h94M9sPr028495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 042209 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 04 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..HURRICANE NORA CENTER NEAR 17.7 112.3W AT 04/2100 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF CENTER NEAR 15.3N 102.5W AT 04/2100 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ANY CONVECTION WITH THIS WAVE EMBEDDED IN ITCZ. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NW OF 30N115W 19N121W 19N140W. 1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 25N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2130 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 111W AND 114W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 109W AND 114W. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 12N94W 8N116W 9N126W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:39 2003 X-UIDL: 41597-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BAY7FGGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:21:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MLbr9000780 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:21:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VrX025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:17:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1240212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:17:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MHhlx051766 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:17:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94MHc7S028566 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:17:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94MHcB4028565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:17:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:17:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042217.h94MHcB4028565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 042200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 17.4N2 112.0W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 112.0W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.5N4 112.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.7N7 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.5N7 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.1N4 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 22.3N7 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:39 2003 X-UIDL: 41598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BB87GHGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:21:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MMDr9000801 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:22:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VrV025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:16:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1240201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:16:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MGglx038398 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:16:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94MGa7S028547 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:16:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94MGaPC028546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:16:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:16:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042216.h94MGaPC028546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 042200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 17.4N2 112.0W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 112.0W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 18.5N4 112.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.7N7 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.5N7 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.1N4 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 22.3N7 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.4N9 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.5N1 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 041800Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.4N2 112.0W4 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH- WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041800Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050400Z9, 051000Z6, 051600Z2 AND 052200Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC 042200) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:40 2003 X-UIDL: 41599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BFI7JQGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:23:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MOBr9000919 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:24:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdOV058424; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1240243 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:18:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MIjlx030852 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:18:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94MId7S028572 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:18:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94MIdnk028571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:18:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:18:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042218.h94MIdnk028571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 042200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 15.0N6 102.2W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 102.2W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 16.2N9 103.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 16.9N6 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 17.6N4 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 18.2N1 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.5N5 106.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.5N7 106.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.5N8 107.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 041800Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 102.2W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041800Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050400Z9, 051000Z6, 051600Z2 AND 052200Z9. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC 042200) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:40 2003 X-UIDL: 41600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BGH7L2GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:24:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MOxr9000960 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:25:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdOf058424; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1240280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MKvlx104766 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94MKl7S028608 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94MKlCK028605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042220.h94MKlCK028605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 042200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 15.0N6 102.2W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 102.2W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 16.2N9 103.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 16.9N6 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 17.6N4 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 18.2N1 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.5N5 106.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:40 2003 X-UIDL: 41601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BJ07NNGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:26:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MQWr9001076 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:26:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdOZ058424; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1240246 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:18:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MIllx038186 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:18:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94MIf7S028577 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:18:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94MIfeh028576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:18:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:18:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 025 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042218.h94MIfeh028576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 042200 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.4N9 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.5N1 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 041800Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.4N2 112.0W4 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH- WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041800Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050400Z9, 051000Z6, 051600Z2 AND 052200Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC 042200) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:41 2003 X-UIDL: 41602-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BOH7PRGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:27:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MRmYj001804 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:27:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0Vrr025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1240285 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94MKvlx085752 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94MKm7S028611 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94MKldI028607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 17:20:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 050 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042220.h94MKldI028607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 042200 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.5N7 106.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.5N8 107.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 041800Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 102.2W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041800Z3 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050400Z9, 051000Z6, 051600Z2 AND 052200Z9. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC 042200) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:41 2003 X-UIDL: 41603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BNABSJGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 07:55:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94Ntor9007642 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 07:55:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0Vt9025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 18:52:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1240997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 18:52:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94NqTlx025416 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 18:52:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94NqO7S029396 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 18:52:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94NqNN4029395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 18:52:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 18:52:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042352.h94NqNN4029395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 042352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:42 2003 X-UIDL: 41604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BMTH35GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:49:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h951oDr9015999 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:50:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0Vtx025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:45:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1241744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h951jXlx067754 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h951jS7S000411 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h951jSUY000410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 20:45:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050145.h951jSUY000410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 050145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT OCT 4 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE APPROXIMATELY 475 MILES SOUTH OF HILO IS MOVING TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED TODAY...AND NO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:43 2003 X-UIDL: 41607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BB0JY2GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:51:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h952pwr9021208 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:51:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VwX025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:47:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1242610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:47:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h952lclx057988 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:47:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h952lW7S000953 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:47:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h952lW0Q000952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:47:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:47:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050247.h952lW0Q000952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 050247 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 0300Z SUN OCT 05 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 103.7W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 103.7W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 103.5W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.5N 104.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.3N 105.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.1N 106.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.0N 106.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.4N 107.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 21.3N 108.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.2N 108.9W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 103.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:43 2003 X-UIDL: 41608-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BDTK1UGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:53:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h952sEr9021330 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:54:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452V25045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:48:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1242626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:48:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h952m6lx084654 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:48:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h952m07S000959 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:48:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h952m0Fg000958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:48:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:48:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050248.h952m0Fg000958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 050247 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0300Z SUN OCT 05 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 112.8W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 112.8W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 112.6W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.1N 113.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.1N 114.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.8N 114.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.4N 114.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.6N 114.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 23.7N 114.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 24.8N 113.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 112.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41609-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BF2K2QGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:54:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h952sir9021365 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:54:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452V27045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:49:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1242639 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:49:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h952n7lx058024 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:49:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h952n27S000966 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h952n1u9000965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:49:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050249.h952n1u9000965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 050248 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 04 2003 LATEST T-NUMBERS FROM TAFB AND SAB GIVE 102 AND 90 KTS RESPECTIVELY. HOWEVER...THE LAST FEW SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THAT THE EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE AND THE OUTFLOW FROM OLAF IS STARTING TO DISRUPT NORA'S OUTFLOW. NORA MAY HAVE REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY AT 90 KTS AND THAT IS WHAT THE INITIAL WIND SPEED WILL BE FOR THIS ADVISORY. NORA CONTINUES MOVING AT 315/8. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWEST AROUND A RIDGE OVER MEXICO...TURN NORTH AND SLOW DOWN DUE TO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING FLOW AND THEN...IN ABOUT 48 TO 60 HOURS...BE ADVECTED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BY A TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST . SHIPS GUIDANCE GRADUALLY WEAKENS NORA THROUGH DAY 4 AND DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM AT DAY 5. THE MAIN REASON IS VERTICAL SHEAR...BUT THE SHIPS MODEL HAS THE SHEAR DIRECTION COMING FROM THE SOUTHWEST...DUE TO AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...WHEN IN REALITY NORA IS NOW BEGINNING TO FEEL THE OUTFLOW FROM OLAF WHICH IS COMING FROM THE SOUTHEAST. SO THE SHIPS GUIDANCE IS USED BUT MODIFIED SLIGHTLY DUE TO THE CURRENT SHEAR PATTERN. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0300Z 18.3N 112.8W 90 KT 12HR VT 05/1200Z 19.1N 113.4W 90 KT 24HR VT 06/0000Z 20.1N 114.0W 85 KT 36HR VT 06/1200Z 20.8N 114.2W 80 KT 48HR VT 07/0000Z 21.4N 114.3W 70 KT 72HR VT 08/0000Z 22.6N 114.3W 55 KT 96HR VT 09/0000Z 23.7N 114.1W 45 KT 120HR VT 10/0000Z 24.8N 113.9W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BU7KB3GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:59:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h952xmYj023818 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:59:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0Vwd025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:54:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1242721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:54:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h952sBlx049398 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:54:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h952s57S001000 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:54:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h952s5to000999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:54:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:54:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050254.h952s5to000999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ45 KNHC 050253 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 04 2003 WHAT A DRAMATIC IMPROVEMENT A LOWER SHEAR ENVIRONMENT CAN MAKE. OLAF IS STARTING TO LOOK MUCH BETTER AND T-NUMBERS ARE INCREASING...TAFB...4.0 AND SAB 3.5. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 60 KTS. THE LATEST POSITION GIVES AN INITIAL MOTION OF 300/12. THAT WAS USED AS INPUT TO THE GLOBAL MODELS BUT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE INITIAL MOTION SHOULD BE SLOWER THAN THIS AND THE 0300 UTC MOTION WILL BE DECREASED TO 300/10. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE GUNS AND GUNA COMPOSITES WHICH MOVE THE SYSTEM PARALLEL TO THE COAST AND EVENTUALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA. THE SHEAR OVER OLAF IS DECREASING AND FORECAST TO DECREASE FURTHER. THE SSTS WILL REMAIN GREATER THAN 28C THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR INTENSIFICATION AND LARGELY FOLLOWS THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. OLAF SHOULD BECOME A HURRICANE SHORTLY. THE FORECAST BRINGS 34 KT WIND RADII VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO IN 36 TO 48 HOURS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR A PORTION OF THE COASTLINE IF THE CURRENT MOTION PERSISTS IN THE NEXT CYCLE OR TWO. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0300Z 15.8N 103.7W 60 KT 12HR VT 05/1200Z 16.5N 104.5W 70 KT 24HR VT 06/0000Z 17.3N 105.3W 80 KT 36HR VT 06/1200Z 18.1N 106.0W 85 KT 48HR VT 07/0000Z 19.0N 106.6W 90 KT 72HR VT 08/0000Z 20.4N 107.4W 90 KT 96HR VT 09/0000Z 21.3N 108.2W 90 KT 120HR VT 10/0000Z 22.2N 108.9W 90 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:45 2003 X-UIDL: 41611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BHMM1DGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:36:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h953b8r9024396 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:37:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VxV025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:34:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1243168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:34:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h953YUlx079516 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:34:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h953YO7S001369 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h953YO4t001368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:34:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050334.h953YO4t001368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 050334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 05 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..HURRICANE NORA CENTERED 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 18.3 112.8W AT 05/0300 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF CENTERED 235 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO NEAR 15.8N 103.7W AT 05/0300 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W NORTH OF 6N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS INTO THE AREA ALONG 32N128W TO A 1017 MB LOW NEAR 30N137W AND THEN CONTINUES WEST BEYOND 28N140W. THE TROUGH AXIS IS EMBEDDED WITHIN BROAD HIGH PRES THAT EXTENDS NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF 120W...WITH THE 1021 MB PARENT HIGH NEAR 36N137W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0315 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... NORA HAS LOST THE EYE IT HAD EARLIER TODAY AND NOW MUCH OF THE CONVECTION HAS SHIFTED TO THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE STORM. ADDITIONAL BUT MUCH WEAKER TSTMS ALSO EXTEND TO THE SOUTH OF THE STORM WITHIN A BROKEN BAND. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N-19.5N BETWEEN 111.5W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 16N-17N BETWEEN 111W-114W. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... ALTHOUGH OLAF IS CURRENTLY WEAKER THAN NORA...IT HAS THE STRONGEST CONVECTION AND GREATEST COVERAGE OF TSTMS OF THE TWO SYSTEMS. CLUSTERS OF STRONG CONVECTION WITH CLOUD TOPS AS COLD AS -87C CONTINUE TO ERUPT NEAR AND TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 102W-107W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N95W 12N110W 8N115W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-100W AND 110W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST EAST OF ACAPULCO NORTH OF 14.5N BETWEEN 97W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE NEAR PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 19.5N-21N BETWEEN 103W-105.5W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41612-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900B7IMRNGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:52:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h953qsr9025426 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:52:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0Vxd025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:47:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1243271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:47:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h953ljlx051080 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:47:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h953le7S001463 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:47:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h953ld7a001462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:47:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:47:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050347.h953ld7a001462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 050400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 15.6N2 103.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 103.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 16.5N2 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 17.3N1 105.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.1N0 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.0N0 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.4N6 107.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.3N6 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 22.2N6 108.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT --- REMARKS: 041800Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 102.2W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050000Z5 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45,55, AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051000Z6, 051600Z2, 052200Z9 AND 060400Z0. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41613-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BGAMZXGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:57:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h953vrYj028245 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:57:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452V2n045432; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1243293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h953pnlx051128 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h953ph7S001485 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h953phM3001483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050351.h953phM3001483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 050400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 15.6N2 103.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 103.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 16.5N2 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 17.3N1 105.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.1N0 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.0N0 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.4N6 107.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BHNN1PGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:58:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h953wwr9025799 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:58:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdRV058424; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1243296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h953pnlx098366 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h953ph7S001486 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h953phAY001484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:51:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 050 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050351.h953phAY001484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 050400 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.3N6 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 22.2N6 108.9W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT --- REMARKS: 041800Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 102.2W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050000Z5 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45,55, AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051000Z6, 051600Z2, 052200Z9 AND 060400Z0. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BMNO2EGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:20:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h954KwYj029957 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:21:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0Vxr025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:18:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1243541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:18:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h954I9lx050978 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:18:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h954I37S001755 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:18:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h954I3fo001754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:18:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:18:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050418.h954I3fo001754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 050417 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT OCT 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BG7OREGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:35:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h954ZwYj031725 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:36:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V01025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:33:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1243634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:33:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h954Xalx085694 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:33:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h954XV7S001905 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:33:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h954XU0U001904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:33:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:33:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050433.h954XU0U001904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 050400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 18.0N9 112.6W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 112.6W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.1N1 113.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.1N3 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.8N0 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.4N7 114.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 22.6N0 114.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 23.7N2 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 24.8N4 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 050000Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.0N9 112.6W0 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH- WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050000Z5 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z0 IS 37 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051000Z6, 051600Z2, 052200Z9 AND 060400Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BKLOVJGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:38:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h954cRr9029216 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:38:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V05025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:36:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1243658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:36:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h954aglx077452 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:36:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h954aa7S001931 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h954aa62001929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 23:36:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050436.h954aa62001929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 050400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 18.0N9 112.6W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 112.6W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.1N1 113.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.1N3 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.8N0 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.4N7 114.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 22.6N0 114.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:50 2003 X-UIDL: 41622-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900B3ATOWGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 14:22:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h956MTYj041622 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 14:22:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdTL058424; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1244488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h956EClx043820 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h956E67S002708 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h956E6wA002706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050614.h956E6wA002706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z-060600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 18.9N8 124.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 125 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER AN AREA OF ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGHING. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 19.3N3 119.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER AN AREA OF ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGHING. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:51 2003 X-UIDL: 41623-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BY6XOBGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:48:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h957mTYj049652 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:48:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V2H025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 02:45:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1245090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 02:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h957jllx011300 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 02:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h957jf7S003452 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 02:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h957jfEP003451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 02:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 02:45:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050745.h957jfEP003451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 050745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT OCT 04 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HILO...HAWAII IS MOVING WEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THERE ARE ONLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:51 2003 X-UIDL: 41624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BXUZMWGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:30:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h958Uqr9047758 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:30:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V2T025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:26:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1245270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:26:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h958QTlx077378 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:26:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h958QN7S003976 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:26:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h958QNjF003975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:26:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:26:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050826.h958QNjF003975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 050826 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 0900Z SUN OCT 05 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 103.8W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 103.8W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.5W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.5N 104.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.2N 105.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.9N 105.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.8N 106.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.0N 107.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 103.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:51 2003 X-UIDL: 41625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BZLZOSGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:31:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h958W0r9047825 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:32:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V2R025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:25:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1245265 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:25:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h958Pllx047334 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:25:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h958Pf7S003970 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:25:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h958PfZA003969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:25:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:25:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050825.h958PfZA003969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 050825 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 AN SSMI PASS AT 0210 UTC REVEALED A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE CENTER. THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER WAS TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK FROM THE LAST ADVISORY PACKAGE BY ABOUT 45 NMI. THE 0600 UTC SATELLITE POSITIONS FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE STILL TO THE LEFT OF THIS LOCATION. A COMPROMISE WAS TAKEN AND THE TRACK WAS RELOCATED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. THIS BRINGS THE SYSTEM CLOSER TO THE MEXICAN MAINLAND. HOWEVER...A QUICKSCAT PASS WAS ALSO RECEIVED CONFIRMING THE LOCATION OF THE SSMI CENTER AND SHOWING THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST QUADRANTS. BASED UPON THIS DATA THE RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 310/8. GLOBAL MODELS ARE SOMEWHAT SCATTERED WITH THE UKMET OFF TOWARD THE WEST AND THE GFDL CURVING TO THE NORTHEAST. THE GFS AND NOGAPS ROUGHLY PARALLEL THE MEXICAN COAST AND MOVE THE SYSTEM TOWARD THE MOUTH OF THE SEA OF CORTEZ. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS GUIDANCE WHICH ALSO INCLUDES THE GUNS AND GUNA COMPOSITES. THE SATELLITE INTENSITY CLASSIFICATIONS ASSUME KNOWLEDGE OF THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER. SINCE THE CENTER WAS INCORRECTLY LOCATED ON THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE THE INTENSITY WAS TO HIGH. ON THIS PACKAGE THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN DECREASED TO 55 KTS. THE SHEAR OVER OLAF IS DECREASING AND FORECAST TO DECREASE FURTHER. THE SSTS WILL REMAIN GREATER THAN 28C THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR INTENSIFICATION AND LARGELY FOLLOWS THE SHIPS GUIDANCE WHICH MAKES OLAF A HURRICANE IN 24 HOURS. THE FORECAST BRINGS 34 KT WIND RADII VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF MEXICO IN 36 TO 48 HOURS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR A PORTION OF THE COASTLINE IF THE CURRENT MOTION PERSISTS. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0900Z 16.7N 103.8W 55 KT 12HR VT 05/1800Z 17.5N 104.6W 60 KT 24HR VT 06/0600Z 18.2N 105.2W 70 KT 36HR VT 06/1800Z 18.9N 105.8W 75 KT 48HR VT 07/0600Z 19.8N 106.4W 80 KT 72HR VT 08/0600Z 21.0N 107.1W 80 KT 96HR VT 09/0600Z 22.0N 108.0W 80 KT 120HR VT 10/0600Z 23.0N 109.0W 80 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:52 2003 X-UIDL: 41629-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00BPZ0EGGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:47:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h958lNYj054435 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:47:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V3R025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:43:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1245634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:43:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h958hglx041922 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:43:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h958hb7S004165 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:43:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h958hbIW004164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:43:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:43:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050843.h958hbIW004164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 050843 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 THE EYE IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE IN IR SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER...A 0459 UTC SSMI MICROWAVE DATA DETECTED A SMALL EYE THAT WAS OPEN TO THE NORTHWEST. DVORAK DATA T-NUMBERS HAVE BEGUN TO DECREASE EVEN THOUGH THE CURRENT INTENSITIES ESTIMATES REMAIN UNCHANGED DUE TO DVORAK CONSTRAINTS. BASED ON THE LOWER DATA T-NUMBERS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL BE LOWERED SLIGHTLY TO 85 KT. THE TRACK FORECAST HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT COMPLICATED. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A SIMILAR EVOLUTION OF THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE MODELS AGREE THAT THE TROUGH SEEN CURRENTLY IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OFF THE COAST OF NORTH-CENTRAL CALIFORNIA WILL CUT-OFF AND DROP SOUTHWARD TO JUST WEST OF THE NORTHERN BAJA COAST IN 48 TO 72 HOURS. WHAT THE MODELS DO NOT AGREE ON IS THE FUTURE TRACK OF NORA. THE GFS INITIALIZED A MUCH WEAKER SYSTEM WHICH MOVES NORTHWEST...THEN IS PULLED EASTWARD TOWARD THE CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF. THE UKMET AND NOGAPS ALSO INDICATE SOME INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TROPICAL CYCLONES WITH NORA MOVING NORTH THEN ABRUPTLY EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND OLAF. THE GFDL SEEMS REASONABLE IN MOVING NORA NORTHWARD THEN NORTHEAST TOWARD BAJA BUT IS VERY SLOW. GIVEN THE FORECAST AMPLITUDE OF THE TROUGH ALONG THE BAJA PENINSULA...ONE WOULD ASSUME THAT THE NORA SHOULD MOVE NORTH THEN NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THIS PHILOSOPHY AND MOVES NORA A LITTLE FASTER AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. THE FORECAST TRACK ASSUMES THAT THERE WILL BE LITTLE INTERACTION BETWEEN NORA AND OLAF. SHIPS GUIDANCE GRADUALLY WEAKENS NORA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR MUCH FASTER DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOLER SSTS. FORECASTER BROWN/JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/0900Z 18.8N 113.2W 85 KT 12HR VT 05/1800Z 19.5N 113.7W 80 KT 24HR VT 06/0600Z 20.4N 114.0W 75 KT 36HR VT 06/1800Z 21.1N 114.0W 70 KT 48HR VT 07/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W 60 KT 72HR VT 08/0600Z 23.5N 113.5W 45 KT 96HR VT 09/0600Z 25.0N 113.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 10/0600Z 27.0N 112.0W 25 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:53 2003 X-UIDL: 41630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00BSL0GNGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:48:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h958mir9048917 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:48:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452V6D045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:44:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1245647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h958iJlx017504 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h958iE7S004174 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:44:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h958iDsF004173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:44:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:44:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050844.h958iDsF004173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 050844 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0900Z SUN OCT 05 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 113.2W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 113.2W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 113.0W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.5N 113.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.4N 114.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.1N 114.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 22.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 25.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 27.0N 112.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 113.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z FORECASTER BROWN/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:55 2003 X-UIDL: 41639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00BZ933MGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:45:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h959jfYj058926 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:45:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V3j025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:42:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246108 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:42:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h959g9lx098518 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:42:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h959g47S004657 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:42:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h959g4bK004656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:42:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:42:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050942.h959g4bK004656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 050941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 05 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..HURRICANE NORA CENTERED 305 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 18.8N 113.2W AT 05/0900 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF CENTERED 145 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO NEAR 16.7N 103.8W AT 05/0900 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/ WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W NORTH OF 6N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS INTO THE AREA ALONG 32N127W TO A 1019 MB LOW NEAR 29N138W AND THEN CONTINUES WEST BEYOND 28N140W. THE TROUGH AXIS IS EMBEDDED WITHIN BROAD HIGH PRES THAT EXTENDS NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 115W...WITH 1022 MB AND 1021 MB PARENT HIGHS CENTERED NEAR 32N144W AND 35N136W RESPECTIVELY. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0915 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... NORA HAS A BROKEN CDO OVERLYING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER...AND OTHER AMORPHOUS CONVECTION AROUND THE PERIPHERY. AREAS OF STRONG CONVECTION CONTINUE TO PULSE NEAR THE CENTER AND THE SYSTEM HAS DISPLAYED VERY GOOD OUTFLOW ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. AS NORA MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST...THE HURRICANE WILL BEGIN TO FEEL THE EFFECTS OF STRONGER SWLY SHEAR AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING SOUTH ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 111W-115W. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF IS VERY IMPRESSIVE...THE SYSTEM IS ACTUALLY NOT VERY WELL-ORGANIZED FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE SINCE THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS LOCATED UNDER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE TSTMS MASS. THE MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTH...AND THIS ALREADY APPEARS TO BE HAPPENING AS IMPROVED BANDING HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 103.5W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 101W-103.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 13N98W 8N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COASTS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 175 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 93W-101W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:55 2003 X-UIDL: 41640-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00BNO3QSGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:59:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h959xbr9054164 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:59:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V3l025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:55:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h959twlx082472 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h959tq7S004743 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h959tqSY004742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:55:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050955.h959tqSY004742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 050955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13N156W HAD ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM EAST AND 90 NM NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER THAT MOVED WEST AT 08 KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 09N142W 06N149W MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 08N150W 12N153W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N AND 06N FROM 171W TO 178E AND MOVED WEST AT 05 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL LOW JUST WEST OF DATELINE...ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 21N176W 17N178E AND MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 10 KT WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... A FEW CB WITHIN 270 NM NORTH AND 150 NM SOUTH OF JOHNSTON ISLAND MOVED WEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 06N164W 02N168W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 12S149W 10S154W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S AND 11S FROM 168W TO 176W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 18S172W MOVED NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41641-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EA44H5WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:15:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AFQr9055328 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:15:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V3t025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:11:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246304 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:11:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95ABJlx031956 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:11:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95ABD7S004919 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:11:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95ABDr1004918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:11:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:11:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051011.h95ABDr1004918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 051011 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN OCT 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41642-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EFI5FUWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:35:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Aa8Yj062944 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:36:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452V6d045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AVhlx096828 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95AVb7S005103 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95AVb1I005102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051031.h95AVb1I005102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 051000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 16.4N1 103.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 103.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 17.5N3 104.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.2N1 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 18.9N8 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 19.8N8 106.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.0N3 107.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.0N4 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.0N5 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT --- REMARKS: 050600Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 103.5W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051600Z2, 052200Z9, 060400Z0 AND 061000Z7. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:57 2003 X-UIDL: 41643-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EG45GLWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:36:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Aafr9057026 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:36:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V43025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246445 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AVglx040422 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95AVa7S005098 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95AVaJv005097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:31:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051031.h95AVaJv005097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 051000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 18.5N4 113.0W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 113.0W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.5N5 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.4N6 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.1N4 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.0N4 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 23.5N0 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 25.0N7 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 27.0N9 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 050600Z1 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 113.0W5 HURRICANE 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH- WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051600Z2, 052200Z9, 060400Z0 AND 061000Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:57 2003 X-UIDL: 41644-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EIV5J5WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:37:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AcAYj063166 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:38:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V4D025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AYplx077868 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95AYj7S005151 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95AYjkh005149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Height Information. Next Warnings At 051600z2, 052200z9, Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051034.h95AYjkh005149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN32 PHNC 051000 RRC HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051600Z2, 052200Z9, 060400Z0 AND 061000Z7. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:57 2003 X-UIDL: 41645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EJ65JKWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:38:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AcOYj063178 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:38:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452V6h045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AYnlx098412 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95AYh7S005140 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95AYhbr005138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051034.h95AYhbr005138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 051000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 16.4N1 103.5W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 103.5W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 17.5N3 104.6W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.2N1 105.2W8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:58 2003 X-UIDL: 41646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EK25KUWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:38:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AdGr9057248 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:39:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95510AP034514; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AYnlx067208 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95AYh7S005141 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95AYhD6005139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 070 Kt, Gusts 085 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051034.h95AYhD6005139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 051000 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 18.9N8 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 19.8N8 106.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.0N3 107.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.0N4 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.0N5 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT --- REMARKS: 050600Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 103.5W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:58 2003 X-UIDL: 41647-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EK65KXWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:38:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AdKr9057250 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:39:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V4B025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AYmlx067204 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95AYf7S005128 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95AYfNQ005124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Based On 050600z1 Infrared Satellite Imagery. The Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051034.h95AYfNQ005124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 051000 RRC BASED ON 050600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051600Z2, 052200Z9, 060400Z0 AND 061000Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:59 2003 X-UIDL: 41648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EKH5LBWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:39:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AdMYj063236 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:39:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452V6f045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246480 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AYmlx077864 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95AYf7S005129 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95AYfmA005126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051034.h95AYfmA005126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 051000 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 22.0N4 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 23.5N0 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 25.0N7 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 27.0N9 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 050600Z1 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 113.0W5 HURRICANE 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH- WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:59 2003 X-UIDL: 41649-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EM15NAWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:40:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AefYj063380 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:40:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdV5058424; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246483 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95AYllx082626 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95AYf7S005127 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95AYfiE005122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 05:34:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051034.h95AYfiE005122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 051000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 18.5N4 113.0W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 113.0W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 19.5N5 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.4N6 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 21.1N4 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:00 2003 X-UIDL: 41651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EZG7Q0WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 19:25:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95BPRYj066989 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 19:25:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V4h025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:23:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246908 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:23:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95BMxlx031908 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:22:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95BMr7S005541 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:22:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95BMrJH005539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:22:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:22:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051122.h95BMrJH005539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 051100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/051100/051800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041951ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 70.9E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 70.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHOCHIN, INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS WEAK CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 83.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 042100Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:00 2003 X-UIDL: 41652-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E6W7V9WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 19:28:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95BSfYj067219 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 19:28:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452V7B045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:23:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1246911 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:23:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95BMxlx067278 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:22:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95BMr7S005542 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:22:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95BMruf005540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:22:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 06:22:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051122.h95BMruf005540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/051100/051800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041951ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 70.9E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 70.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHOCHIN, INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS WEAK CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 83.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 042100Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (ABAIMBA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:01 2003 X-UIDL: 41655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EV1EGTWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:50:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95DpDYj079230 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:51:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V7j025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 08:45:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1248315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 08:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Djtlx034294 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 08:45:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Djo7S006872 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 08:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95Djoja006871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 08:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 08:45:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051345.h95Djoja006871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 051345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN OCT 05 2003 A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF HONOLULU...HAWAII IS MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE ARE ONLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:03 2003 X-UIDL: 41658-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EA4GV2WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:42:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Eh0r9076813 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:43:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V8X025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:40:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1248710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:40:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Eeolx072288 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:40:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Eei7S007368 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:40:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95EeiPs007367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:40:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:40:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051440.h95EeiPs007367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 051440 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 1500Z SUN OCT 05 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 113.5W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 113.5W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 113.3W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.9N 113.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.7N 114.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.5N 114.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 22.3N 113.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 24.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 25.5N 112.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 28.0N 110.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 113.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41659-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EDFGXPWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:44:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95EiVr9076966 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:44:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V8R025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:39:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1248696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:39:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Edclx092234 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:39:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95EdW7S007349 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:39:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95EdWLp007348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:39:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:39:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051439.h95EdWLp007348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 051439 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 ..OLAF BECOMES A HURRICANE...WARNINGS ISSUED... AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...230 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. A SHIP REPORT INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND COULD SPREAD ONSHORE IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINBANDS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...17.1 N...104.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41660-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EH2GZEWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:45:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95EjZr9077057 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:45:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V8T025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:40:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1248700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:40:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Ee2lx085520 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:40:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Edu7S007356 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:39:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95Eduw6007355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:39:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:39:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051439.h95Eduw6007355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 051439 TCMEP5 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 1500Z SUN OCT 05 2003 AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 104.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 104.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.0N 105.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.9N 105.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.8N 106.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.8N 107.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 23.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 104.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:05 2003 X-UIDL: 41661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00ETGH72WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:49:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Eo5Yj084351 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:50:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V9B025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:46:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1248907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:46:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Ekllx072392 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:46:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Ekf7S007435 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:46:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95EkfFJ007434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:46:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:46:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051446.h95EkfFJ007434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 051446 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 NORA IS GENERATING CONVECTIVE TOPS OF COLDER THAN -80C NEAR THE CENTER THIS MORNING. WHILE THE EYE HAS DISAPPEARED IN INFRARED IMAGERY...AN AMSU OVERPASS AT 1018Z SHOWS THAT A NEARLY-CLOSED EYEWALL IS STILL PRESENT UNDER THE OVERCAST. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 77 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA...AND 90 KT FROM TAFB. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 85 KT FOR THIS PACKAGE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 320/7. THE TRACK FORECAST FOR NORA IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY COMPLICATED. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A DEVELOPING MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH JUST WEST OF CALIFORNIA...WHICH LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY SOUTHWARD. THIS BY ITSELF WOULD CAUSE NORA TO RECURVE NORTHEASTWARD WITH TIME. HOWEVER... HURRICANE OLAF IS NOW 540 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NORA...AND THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE OF INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO CYCLONES. THE MOST LIKELY RESULT OF SUCH AN INTERACTION WOULD BE FOR NORA TO MOVE SLOWLY FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE FORECAST...THEN SWING MORE TO THE EAST AS INDCIATED BY THE UKMET. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WILL COMPROMISE BETWEEN THESE SCENARIOS...CALLING FOR FOR NORA TO SLOW RECURVE TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. HOWEVER...THIS IS A LOW-CONFIDENCE FORECAST AND MAY HAVE TO BE REVISED IN LATER PACKAGES. LARGE-SCALE MODELS SUGGEST THAT NORA IS LIKELY TO ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT SHEAR AS IT TRIES TO RECURVE...WHICH SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING EVEN THOUGH THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STAY OVER 26C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. ANY INTERACTION WITH OLAF COULD ALSO CAUSE WEAKENING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL THUS CALL FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING SIMILAR TO BUT SLOWER THAN THAT INDICATED BY THE GFDL. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/1500Z 19.2N 113.5W 85 KT 12HR VT 06/0000Z 19.9N 113.8W 80 KT 24HR VT 06/1200Z 20.7N 114.1W 75 KT 36HR VT 07/0000Z 21.5N 114.1W 70 KT 48HR VT 07/1200Z 22.3N 113.7W 60 KT 72HR VT 08/1200Z 24.0N 113.0W 50 KT 96HR VT 09/1200Z 25.5N 112.0W 40 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 10/1200Z 28.0N 110.5W 30 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EFKICKWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:14:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95FF3r9079171 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:15:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VAH025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:11:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:11:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95FB2lx046062 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:11:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95FAu7S007688 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:10:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95FAubb007687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:10:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:10:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051510.h95FAubb007687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 051510 TCDEP5 HURRICANE OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 OLAF HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS NOW WELL EMBEDDED IN THE CONVECTION...AND THE RADAR AT CUYUTLAN IS SHOWING A PARTIAL EYEWALL. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 77 KT FROM TAFB...65 KT FROM SAB...AND 55 KT FROM AFWA. BASED ON THIS...OLAF IS UPGRADED TO A 65 KT HURRICANE. CIRRUS OUTFLOW IS GOOD OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND RESTRICTED ELSEWHERE...SUGGESTING THAT SOME EASTERLY SHEAR STILL AFFECTS THE CYCLONE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 310/9. OLAF IS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER MAINLAND MEXICO...AND HURRICANE NORA IS 540 NM TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. AT FIRST GLANCE...THIS PATTERN SHOULD CAUSE OLAF TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. GUIDANCE GENERALLY AGREES WITH THIS...BUT THERE IS SOME SPREAD IN BOTH SPEED AND DIRECTION CAUSED MAINLY BY DIFFERENCES IN HOW THE MODELS HANDLE INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO CYCLONES. THE UKMET AND NOGAPS BOTH SHOW INTERACTION...WHILE THE GFS AND CANADIAN LOSE ONE OF THE CYCLONES BEFORE INTERACTION CAN OCCUR. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO BUT FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...CALLING FOR OLAF TO PARALLEL THE COAST. HOWEVER...THE FORECAST TRACK IS TO THE LEFT OF THE UKMET AND NOGAPS...AND IF INTERACTION OCCURS IT MAY ALSO BE TOO SLOW. THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE TRACK FORECAST. SHEAR IS DECREASING OVER OLAF...AND LARGE-SCALE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THROUGH 72 HR THE CYCLONE WILL REMAIN IN A GENERALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO THE EAST OF THE STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AFFECTING NORA. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME CONTINUED STRENGTHENING... ASSUMING THAT INTERACTION WITH NORA AND WITH THE MEXICAN COAST DOES NOT ADVERSELY AFFECT THE HURRICANE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL CALL FOR STRENGTHENING FOR 48-72 HR...AND THEN KEEP A STEADY STATE FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD AS THE FORECAST SHEAR GRADUALLY INCREASES. EVEN THOUGH THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS THE CENTER OFFSHORE... WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MEXICAN COASTDUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE TROPICAL STORM WINDS TO THE COAST AND THE SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK. ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/1500Z 17.1N 104.3W 65 KT 12HR VT 06/0000Z 18.0N 105.1W 70 KT 24HR VT 06/1200Z 18.9N 105.8W 75 KT 36HR VT 07/0000Z 19.8N 106.4W 80 KT 48HR VT 07/1200Z 20.8N 107.1W 85 KT 72HR VT 08/1200Z 22.0N 108.0W 85 KT 96HR VT 09/1200Z 23.5N 109.0W 85 KT 120HR VT 10/1200Z 25.0N 110.0W 85 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41665-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EGNICWWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:14:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95FF9Yj086563 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:15:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VBH045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95F8Plx098312 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95F8J7S007658 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95F8JjA007656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051508.h95F8JjA007656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 051500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/051500Z-060600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.9N8 124.4E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 123.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE AREA OF BROAD CONVECTION IS CONSOLIDATING OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.3N3 119.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR AND DOWNGRADED THE AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:07 2003 X-UIDL: 41666-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E4IIRAWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95FNrr9079887 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VAP025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:20:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249391 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:20:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95FKmlx011332 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:20:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95FKg7S007764 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:20:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95FKghW007763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:20:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:20:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051520.h95FKghW007763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 051520 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 05 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..HURRICANE NORA CENTERED NEAR 19.2N 113.5W AT 05/1500 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF UPGRADED TO HURRICANE CENTERED NEAR 17.1N 104.3W AT 05/1500 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/ WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W NORTH OF 6N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. THERE IS LITTLE ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME BUT THE WAVE IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 6N BETWEEN 80W-86W INCLUDING PORTIONS OF COSTA RICA AND PANAMA. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS DISRUPTED BY A REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH WHICH ENTERS INTO THE AREA ALONG 31N126W TO BEYOND 28N140W. A DISSIPATING 1017 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER LIES ALONG THE TROUGH NEAR 29N138W. THE TROUGH AXIS IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRES THAT EXTENDS SWD FROM HIGH CENTERS WELL N OF THE AREA. BROKEN/OVERCAST CLOUDINESS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1430 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF NORA HAS WARMED SLIGHTLY DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THE INNER CDO CONVECTION HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE SYMMETRIC. AREAS OF STRONG CONVECTION CONTINUE TO PULSE NEAR THE CENTER WITH NUMEROUS STRONG ACTIVITY CURRENTLY FROM 18N-20N BETWEEN 113W-115W AND SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 112W-116W. NORA IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AS MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST AND INTERACTS WITH A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THUS...THE FORECAST CALLS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... OLAF CONTINUES TO GENERATE A LARGE AREA OF VERY STRONG CONVECTION WITH THE COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AROUND -80 DEGREES CELSIUS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N-20N BETWEEN 103W-109W. WHILE MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY IS OVER OPEN WATER...THE OUTER EXTENT OF THIS AREA IS AFFECTING COASTAL REGIONS OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO VALLARTA SWD THE BAY OF PETACALCO. HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY AS OLAF MOVES NW AND PARALLELS THE COAST. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 13N100W 10N115W 6N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-103W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 115W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:07 2003 X-UIDL: 41667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EPSL14WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:12:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GClr9084321 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:12:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VBH025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:09:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:09:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95G91lx039808 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:09:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95G8t7S008262 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:08:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95G8tNV008260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:08:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:08:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051608.h95G8tNV008260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 051600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 19.0N0 113.3W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 113.3W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 19.9N9 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.7N9 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.5N8 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 22.3N7 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 24.0N6 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.5N2 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 28.0N0 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051200Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 113.3W8 HURRICANE 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH- WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052200Z9, 060400Z0, 061000Z7 AND 061600Z3. REFER TO HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00ER3L24WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:13:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GDZr9084357 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:13:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95510b1034514; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:09:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:09:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95G91lx094628 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:09:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95G8u7S008267 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:08:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95G8txW008266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:08:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:08:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051608.h95G8txW008266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 051600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 15E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 16.8N5 104.1W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 104.1W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 18.0N9 105.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.9N8 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.8N8 106.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.8N0 107.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.0N4 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.5N0 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.0N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT --- REMARKS: 051200Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.8N1 104.1W6. HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052200Z9, 060400Z0, 061000Z7 AND 061600Z3. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EUEL4GWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:14:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GF1r9084499 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:15:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VBL025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249904 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GBBlx017578 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95GB07S008289 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95GB07E008287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 24 Hrs, Valid At: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051611.h95GB07E008287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 051600 RRB 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.9N8 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.8N8 106.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.8N0 107.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.0N4 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41670-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EXWL63WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:15:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GG1r9084598 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:16:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VBJ025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249898 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GB6lx039874 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95GB07S008288 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95GB02x008286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:11:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051611.h95GB02x008286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 051600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 19.0N0 113.3W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 113.3W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 19.9N9 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.7N9 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.5N8 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:09 2003 X-UIDL: 41671-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E2IL94WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:17:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GHmr9084737 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:17:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VBP025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:13:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:13:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GDAlx096834 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:13:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95GD47S008325 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95GD4c6008323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:13:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:13:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Long Range Outlook: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051613.h95GD4c6008323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 051600 RRC LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.5N0 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.0N7 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT --- REMARKS: 051200Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.8N1 104.1W6. HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052200Z9, 060400Z0, 061000Z7 AND 061600Z3. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:09 2003 X-UIDL: 41672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E52LAPWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:18:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GIhYj093201 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:18:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VC1045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GEClx051130 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95GE67S008350 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95GE6ks008347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: West Of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, Has Tracked Northwestward Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051614.h95GE6ks008347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 051600 RRC WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052200Z9, 060400Z0, 061000Z7 AND 061600Z3. REFER TO HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:10 2003 X-UIDL: 41673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E6CLBOWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:19:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GJLYj093272 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:19:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VBX025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:15:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1250015 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:15:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GFBlx077868 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:15:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95GF57S008368 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:15:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95GF55e008367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:15:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:15:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051615.h95GF55e008367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XII, Probability=12%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 051600 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 22.3N7 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 24.0N6 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.5N2 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 28.0N0 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051200Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 113.3W8 HURRICANE 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:10 2003 X-UIDL: 41674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E8HLCTWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:19:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GK1Yj093354 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:20:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VBV025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GEClx016616 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95GE67S008348 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95GE5VA008346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:14:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051614.h95GE5VA008346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 051600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 15E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 16.8N5 104.1W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 104.1W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 18.0N9 105.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:10 2003 X-UIDL: 41675-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EWILTJWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:29:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GTqYj094127 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:29:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VBf025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:23:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1250129 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:23:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95GNQlx085548 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:23:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95GNK7S008432 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:23:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95GNKhx008431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:23:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:23:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051623.h95GNKhx008431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 051623 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN OCT 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 345 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM LARRY HAS MADE LANDFALL ON THE NORTH COAST OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND IS WEAKENING OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD AND IT MAY EMERGE OVER THE PACIFIC IN A DAY OR TWO...WHERE RE-DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH LARRY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:11 2003 X-UIDL: 41678-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00ECWNJRWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:07:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95H7Ir9088586 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:07:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VCP045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:03:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1250530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:03:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95H3Qlx104754 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:03:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95H3K7S008828 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:03:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95H3KX3008827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:03:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:03:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Advisory Number 9...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051703.h95H3KX3008827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 051703 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 9...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 CORRECTED TO ADD ISLAS MARIAS TO THE HURRICANE WARNING... ..OLAF BECOMES A HURRICANE...WARNINGS ISSUED... AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...230 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. A SHIP REPORT INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND COULD SPREAD ONSHORE IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINBANDS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...17.1 N...104.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:12 2003 X-UIDL: 41679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EQ7NQHWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:11:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95HBOYj098366 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:11:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VCD025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:04:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1250548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:04:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95H4Vlx067124 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:04:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95H4P7S008839 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:04:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95H4PBH008838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:04:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:04:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 9...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051704.h95H4PBH008838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 051704 TCMEP5 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 1500Z SUN OCT 05 2003 CORRECTED TO ADD ISLAS MARIAS TO HURRICANE WARNING... AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 104.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 104.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.0N 105.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.9N 105.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.8N 106.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.8N 107.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 23.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 104.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:12 2003 X-UIDL: 41681-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EHCO8JWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:21:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95HM8Yj099586 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:22:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VCb045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1250661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95HCElx085576 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95HC87S008915 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95HC7X4008913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051712.h95HC7X4008913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 051730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/051730Z-060600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/051651ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 123.1E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 121.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTH OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS INDICATE THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS CONSOLIDATING OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 051700) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E0YOMJWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:30:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95HUar9090564 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:30:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95510jh034514; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1250854 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95HSYlx085664 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95HSS7S009087 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95HSScu009085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051728.h95HSScu009085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800-061800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 70.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 69.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM WEST OF CHOCHIN, INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS WEAK CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 83.0E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3N9 82.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E9YOT5WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:34:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95HYTr9090932 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:34:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VCl025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1250851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95HSYlx041908 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95HSS7S009088 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95HSS8E009086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:28:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051728.h95HSS8E009086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800-061800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 70.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 69.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM WEST OF CHOCHIN, INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS WEAK CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 83.0E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3N9 82.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:14 2003 X-UIDL: 41684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00ESLQ2BWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:01:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95I1Mr9093231 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:01:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VDH045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:56:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1251137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:56:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95HuRlx036574 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:56:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95HuL7S009376 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95HuLHW009375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:56:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 9a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051756.h95HuLHW009375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 051756 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 ..OLAF CONTINUING NORTHWESTWARD SOUTH OF MANZANILLO A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.8 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND COULD SPREAD ONSHORE IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINBANDS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...17.5 N...104.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:15 2003 X-UIDL: 41690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E8AUDJWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JYlr9002951 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VEX025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 14:30:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1252094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 14:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JUllx084636 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 14:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95JUf7S010374 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 14:30:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95JUfH8010373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 14:30:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 14:30:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051930.h95JUfH8010373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 051930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN OCT 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:16 2003 X-UIDL: 41693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EROX70WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:35:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95KZjr9009263 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:35:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Hx91h034518; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1252789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95KVIlx096918 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95KVC7S010999 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95KVC2u010998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052031.h95KVC2u010998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 052030 TCMEP5 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 2100Z SUN OCT 05 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE MEXICAN MAINLAND TONIGHT. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLAF. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 105.3W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 105.3W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 105.0W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 19.1N 106.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.5N 106.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.8N 107.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 22.7N 107.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 27.0N 108.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 105.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:17 2003 X-UIDL: 41694-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EUOX8WWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:36:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95KasYj017878 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:36:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOnf025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:32:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1252849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:32:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95KW4lx092252 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:32:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95KVw7S011011 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95KVwb7011010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052031.h95KVwb7011010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 052031 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 2100Z SUN OCT 05 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 113.7W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 113.7W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 113.6W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.1N 114.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.9N 114.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.2N 113.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.7N 112.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.5N 111.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 24.5N 108.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 28.5N 106.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 113.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:17 2003 X-UIDL: 41695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EXPXBCWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:38:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95KcKr9009511 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOmv025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1252761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95KV2lx087434 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95KUu7S010975 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95KUuJc010974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:30:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:30:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052030.h95KUuJc010974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 052030 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 ..OLAF CONTINUING NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE MEXICAN MAINLAND TONIGHT. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLAF. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE OLAF. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND COULD SPREAD ONSHORE IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINBANDS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...18.1 N...105.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:18 2003 X-UIDL: 41696-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EG1XMMWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:44:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Kj8r9010141 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:45:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOqf025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:40:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1253211 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:40:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Ke4lx096976 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:40:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Kdw7S011080 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:39:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95Kdwuq011079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:39:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:39:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052039.h95Kdwuq011079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 052039 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 THE CONVECTIVE PATTERN OF NORA HAS BECOME RAGGED THIS AFTERNOON. THE HURRICANE IS STILL GENERATING CLOUD TOPS OF -80C NEAR THE CENTER...BUT THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST HAS DECREASED IN SIZE AND THE OUTER BANDING HAS DIMINISHED. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 90 KT FROM TAFB...AND 77 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 80 KT. CIRRUS OUTFLOW IS GOOD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN SEMICIRCLE...AND RESTRICTED ELSEWHERE BY THE OUTFLOW OF OLAF. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 320/5. THE TRACK FORECAST FOR NORA IS VERY COMPLICATED. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A DEVELOPING MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH JUST WEST OF CALIFORNIA...WHICH LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY SOUTHWARD. THIS BY ITSELF WOULD CAUSE NORA TO RECURVE NORTHEASTWARD WITH TIME. HOWEVER...HURRICANE OLAF IS NOW 500 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NORA...AND IT APPEARS THE TWO CYCLONES WILL COME CLOSE ENOUGH TO INTERACT. THE MOST LIKELY RESULT OF SUCH AN INTERACTION WOULD BE FOR NORA TO MOVE SLOWLY FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE FORECAST...PERHAPS STALLING...THEN SWING MORE TO THE NORTHEAST OR EAST AFTER OLAF PASSES. THIS IS THE SCENARIO OF THE UKMET AND NOGAPS...ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT BOTH OF THESE MODELS DISSIPATE OLAF DUE TO LANDFALL NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. THE TRACK FORECAST IS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. IT NOW CALLS FOR NORA TO MOVE MORE SLOWLY TO THE NORTH INITIALLY...THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD BEHIND OLAF INSTEAD OF IN FRONT OF IT. THIS IS STILL A LOW-CONFIDENCE FORECAST...AND MORE ADJUSTMENTS MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT. LARGE-SCALE MODELS SUGGEST THAT NORA IS LIKELY TO ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT SHEAR AS IT TRIES TO RECURVE...EITHER FROM THE TROUGH TO THE NORTH OR FROM THE OUTFLOW OF OLAF. THIS SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING EVEN THOUGH THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STAY OVER 26C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. ANY STRONGER INTERACTION WITH OLAF COULD ALSO CAUSE WEAKENING. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL THUS CALL FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING SIMILAR TO BUT SLOWER THAN THAT INDICATED BY THE GFDL AND SHIPS. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 19.5N 113.7W 80 KT 12HR VT 06/0600Z 20.1N 114.1W 75 KT 24HR VT 06/1800Z 20.9N 114.2W 70 KT 36HR VT 07/0600Z 21.2N 113.8W 65 KT 48HR VT 07/1800Z 21.7N 112.9W 60 KT 72HR VT 08/1800Z 22.5N 111.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 09/1800Z 24.5N 108.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 10/1800Z 28.5N 106.5W 20 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:18 2003 X-UIDL: 41697-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00ENGYFDWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:02:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95L2Kr9011571 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:02:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOrF025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:59:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1253413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:59:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Kx6lx104926 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:59:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Kx17S011232 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:59:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95Kx079011231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:59:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:59:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052059.h95Kx079011231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 052058 TCDEP5 HURRICANE OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 OLAF HAS A RATHER RAGGED APPEARANCE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AT THE MOMENT...AS THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO HAVE A GOOD BANDING PATTERN ON THE CUYUTLAN RADAR. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 77 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND 55 KT FROM AFWA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 65 KT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER IS NEARING THE CENTER AT THIS TIME TO PROVIDE A BETTER POSITION AND INTENSITY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 310/10. OLAF IS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER MAINLAND MEXICO...AND HURRICANE NORA IS 500 NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT OLAF AND NORA WILL COME CLOSE ENOUGH TO INTERACT...AND THIS SHOULD TURN OLAF MORE NORTHWARD. INDEED...THE UKMET AND THE NOGAPS...WHICH ARE THE TWO MODELS THAT BEST DEPICT THE INTERACTION...CALL FOR OLAF TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS THIS APPEARS A BIT UNLIKELY...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE. THE FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE RIGHT AND NOW CALLS FOR LANDFALL IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AT ABOUT 96 HR...BUT ANY ADDITIONAL DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE MUCH EARLIER. THIS REMAINS A LOW-CONFIDENCE FORECAST...AS OLAF COULD EASILY MOVE FASTER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. SHEAR IS DECREASING OVER OLAF...AND LARGE-SCALE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THROUGH 48 HR THE CYCLONE WILL REMAIN IN A GENERALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO THE EAST OF THE STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AFFECTING NORA. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME CONTINUED STRENGTHENING... ASSUMING THAT INTERACTION WITH NORA AND WITH THE MEXICAN COAST DOES NOT ADVERSELY AFFECT THE HURRICANE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL CALL FOR STRENGTHENING FOR 48 HR...AND THEN KEEP A STEADY STATE FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD AS THE FORECAST SHEAR GRADUALLY INCREASES. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE SATELLITE POSITION FIXES ARE SOUTH OF THOSE FROM THE CUYUTLAN RADAR...AND THUS THE ADVISORY POSITION MAY BE TOO FAR NORTH WHEN THE AIRCRAFT ARRIVES. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/2100Z 18.1N 105.3W 65 KT 12HR VT 06/0600Z 19.1N 106.0W 65 KT 24HR VT 06/1800Z 20.5N 106.7W 70 KT 36HR VT 07/0600Z 21.8N 107.2W 75 KT 48HR VT 07/1800Z 22.7N 107.6W 80 KT 72HR VT 08/1800Z 24.5N 108.0W 80 KT 96HR VT 09/1800Z 27.0N 108.0W 35 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:18 2003 X-UIDL: 41698-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00EQY0A0WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:42:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95LgKr9014862 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:42:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOs7025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:39:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1253747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:39:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Ldjlx027246 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:39:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Ldd7S011637 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:39:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95Ldd1B011636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:39:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052139.h95Ldd1B011636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 052139 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...11N140W 06N148W 06N151W 09N157W 06N170W 08N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 13N140W 14N145W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 12N155W 13N157W 12N165W HAVE MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120NM OF LINE 06N145W 06N151W 08N154W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND EXPANDED IN AREA. AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 07N163W 03N167W 08N177W 07N163W HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND EXPANDED IN SIZE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AREA OF ISOLATED CB EXTENDING ACROSS 180 PARTLY BOUNDED BY 11N174W 06N180 10N180 11N174W AND EXTENDING WEST HAS MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120NM OF ITCZ. SHEARLINE...27N140W 28N152W 22N163W 23N169W 21N175W 21N179W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 20N175W 21N179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 80NM OF SHEARLINE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. SEE SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. SEE SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE 1...25S126W 19S130W 14S143W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 09S160W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS PARTLY BOUNDED BY 17S135W 20S126W 25S120W 25S127W 17S135W AND EXTENDING SOUTH HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND EXPANDED AREA. SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 50NM OF FRONT/SHEARLINE BETWEEN 135W AND 146W HAVE MOVED NORTH SLOWLY AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 11S150W 13S146W 15S150W 12S154W 11S150W. FRONT 2...25S175W 21S180 EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND WEST OF 180. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 90NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 7KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. TROUGH...17S137W 12S180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 15S176W 11S180 HAVE MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:19 2003 X-UIDL: 41699-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00EYL14UWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:00:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M0oYj025683 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:00:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOsZ025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1253935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Lwwlx036256 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Lwo7S011828 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95LwoTI011826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052158.h95LwoTI011826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 052200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 17.8N6 105.0W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 105.0W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 19.1N1 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 20.5N7 106.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.8N1 107.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 22.7N1 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 24.5N1 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 27.0N9 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051800Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 105.0W6. HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 112 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051800Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060400Z0, 061000Z7, 061600Z3 AND 062200Z0. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:20 2003 X-UIDL: 41700-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00E0A166WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M1er9016918 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:01:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VGx045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1253932 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Lwwlx055068 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Lwo7S011827 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95LwoS6011824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:58:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052158.h95LwoS6011824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 052200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 19.3N3 113.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 113.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.1N3 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 20.9N1 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.2N5 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.7N0 112.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 22.5N9 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.5N1 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 28.5N5 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051800Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.3N3 113.6W1 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051800Z4 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060400Z0, 061000Z7, 061600Z3 AND 062200Z0. REFER TO HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:20 2003 X-UIDL: 41701-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00E7H1CIWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:05:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M5SYj026013 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:05:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOsj025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1253992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M1xlx065726 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:01:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95M1r7S011904 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:01:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95M1rmM011900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:01:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:01:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052201.h95M1rmM011900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=39%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, RAZOR2_CHECK, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 052200 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.7N0 112.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 22.5N9 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.5N1 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 28.5N5 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051800Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.3N3 113.6W1 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:20 2003 X-UIDL: 41702-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00E7L1CRWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:05:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M5NYj026007 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:05:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOsl025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:03:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1254012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:03:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M30lx055126 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:03:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95M2s7S011927 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95M2s38011926 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: On Day 4 And 350 Nm On Day 5... And For Intensity Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052202.h95M2s38011926@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 052200 RRC ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 27.0N9 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051800Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 105.0W6. HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 112 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051800Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060400Z0, 061000Z7, 061600Z3 AND 062200Z0. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:21 2003 X-UIDL: 41703-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00E7W1D0WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:05:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M5Wr9017228 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:05:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95B06uD067682; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1253995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M1xlx072258 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:01:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95M1r7S011905 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:01:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95M1rUa011901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:01:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:01:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Southwest Of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, Has Tracked Northwestward Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052201.h95M1rUa011901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 052200 RRC SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051800Z4 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060400Z0, 061000Z7, 061600Z3 AND 062200Z0. REFER TO HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:21 2003 X-UIDL: 41704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00E8N1DDWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:05:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M5xYj026049 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:06:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95B06uF067682; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:03:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1254021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:03:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M33lx065762 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95M2v7S011935 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95M2vOx011934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052202.h95M2vOx011934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 052200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 17.8N6 105.0W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 105.0W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 19.1N1 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 20.5N7 106.7W4 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:22 2003 X-UIDL: 41705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00E9E1DPWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:05:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M6CYj026061 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:06:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOsh025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:00:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1253974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M0vlx031210 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95M0p7S011884 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:00:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95M0pnR011883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:00:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:00:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052200.h95M0pnR011883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 052200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 19.3N3 113.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 113.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 20.1N3 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 20.9N1 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.2N5 113.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:22 2003 X-UIDL: 41706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00EG81K1WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:09:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M9xYj026361 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:10:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95LQgpn037300; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:05:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1254084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:05:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M55lx046878 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:05:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95M4x7S011964 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:04:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95M4xSD011963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:04:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:04:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052204.h95M4xSD011963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 052204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 05 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..HURRICANE NORA CENTER NEAR 19.5N 113.7W AT 05/2100 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..HURRICANE OLAF CENTER NEAR 18.1N 105.3W AT 05/2100 UTC MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG ITCZ CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 82W... AND WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 87W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS DISRUPTED BY A REMNANT FRONTAL TROUGH THROUGH 30N125W 27N130W 27N135W TO 1019 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N138W. TROUGH CONTINUES 29N138W BEYOND 28N140W. THE TROUGH IS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD AREA OF ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTHWEST OF HURRICANE NORA...NORTHWEST OF 30N116W 20N122W 16N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2130 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 104W AND 107W...AND FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 109W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 22N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. HURRICANE STORM OLAF... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 18.5N TO 20.5N BETWEEN 113W 115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 21N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N80W 13N96W 10N116W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 113W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 82W...AND WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS EAST OF 100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:23 2003 X-UIDL: 41707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00EGN1KRWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:10:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95MAPYj026398 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:10:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VH3045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:03:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1254016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:03:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95M33lx055132 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95M2v7S011932 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95M2uVO011931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:02:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 070 Kt, Gusts 085 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052202.h95M2uVO011931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 052200 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.8N1 107.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 22.7N1 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 24.5N1 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:23 2003 X-UIDL: 41708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00G0Q2NMLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:33:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95MXhYj028241 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:33:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VHH045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:28:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1254272 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:28:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95MSglx031022 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:28:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95MSa7S012126 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95MSavd012125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 17:28:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052228.h95MSavd012125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 052228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SUN OCT 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 335 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM LARRY HAS MADE LANDFALL ON THE NORTH COAST OF THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND IS WEAKENING OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD AND IT MAY EMERGE OVER THE PACIFIC IN A DAY OR TWO...WHERE RE-DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH LARRY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:24 2003 X-UIDL: 41710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GHB6ORLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 08:00:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9600cYj035377 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 08:00:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95B06vx067682; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:56:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1255087 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95NuBlx021852 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Nu57S012989 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95Nu5Qn012988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 18:56:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 10a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052356.h95Nu5Qn012988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 052355 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 ..OLAF CONTINUING NORTHWESTWARD...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT LOCATES THE EYE... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE MEXICAN MAINLAND TONIGHT. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLAF. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.2 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE COAST OF MEXICO AND COULD SPREAD ONSHORE IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINBANDS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...17.5 N...105.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER KNABB/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00G4N9U7LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:08:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9618pYj041700 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:08:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOxl025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1255706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9615Wlx077416 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9615Q7S013833 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9615Qnq013831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060105.h9615Qnq013831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 060100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/060100-061800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 70.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 69.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM WEST OF CHOCHIN, INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS WEAK CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.3N9 82.4E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 82.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00G9C9W6LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:09:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9619xr9032677 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:10:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95B06wb067682; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1255709 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9615Wlx089198 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9615Q7S013834 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9615Qeh013832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:05:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060105.h9615Qeh013832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 060100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/060100-061800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 70.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 69.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM WEST OF CHOCHIN, INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS WEAK CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.3N9 82.4E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 82.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR. 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41729-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GIMB5MLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:36:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h961bJYj044916 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:37:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO0D025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:30:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1255886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h961UXlx089100 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h961UR7S014141 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h961URmP014140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 20:30:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060130.h961URmP014140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 060130 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN OCT 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:32 2003 X-UIDL: 41743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GE1E43LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:40:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962fAYj052497 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:41:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO1F025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:37:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1256449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:37:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962b3lx038262 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:37:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h962av7S014749 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h962avl1014748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:36:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060236.h962avl1014748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 060236 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0300Z MON OCT 06 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 114.0W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 114.0W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 113.9W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.5N 114.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 113.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.1N 112.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 26.0N 109.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 30.0N 108.0W...INLAND DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 114.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z FORECASTER KNABB/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:33 2003 X-UIDL: 41744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GH3E56LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:41:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962fnr9043808 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:41:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO1J025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:39:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1256495 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:39:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962dHlx014998 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:39:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h962dB7S014764 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:39:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h962dBkQ014763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:39:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:39:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060239.h962dBkQ014763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 060239 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 NORA CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED. DEEP CONVECTION IS NO LONGER PERSISTENT AND THE SYSTEM IS STRUGGLING UNDER SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTFLOW FROM OLAF. DVORAK DATA T NUMBERS ARE FALLING...AND CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 90 KT FROM TAFB AND 77 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS REDUCED SLIGHTLY TO 75 KT. THE MOTION DURING THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS IS 325/5...ALTHOUGH MORE RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST A SLIGHTLY MORE NORTHERLY COMPONENT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A DEVELOPING MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH JUST WEST OF CALIFORNIA...WHICH DYNAMICAL MODELS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY SOUTHWARD. SOME OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE...IN PARTICULAR THE NOGAPS AND GFDL...RESPOND BY TAKING NORA ON A FAST NORTHERLY TRACK. HOWEVER...INTERACTION WITH OLAF WILL LIKELY RESULT IN NORA MOVING MORE SLOWLY DURING THE FIRST 36 HOURS...AND MORE NORTHEASTERLY THEREAFTER. THIS SOLUTION IS SIMILAR TO THE UKMET AND THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...BUT A LITTLE TO THE LEFT. NORA IS LIKELY TO ENCOUNTER STEADILY INCREASING SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD...DUE TO SOME COMBINATION OF THE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH AND TO THE OUTFLOW FROM OLAF. MEANWHILE THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER MARGINALLY WARM 26C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. AS A RESULT...THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS FOR GRADUAL WEAKENING...SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. FORECASTER KNABB/JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 20.0N 114.0W 75 KT 12HR VT 06/1200Z 20.5N 114.2W 70 KT 24HR VT 07/0000Z 21.0N 114.0W 65 KT 36HR VT 07/1200Z 21.5N 113.4W 55 KT 48HR VT 08/0000Z 22.1N 112.6W 50 KT 72HR VT 09/0000Z 23.5N 111.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 10/0000Z 26.0N 109.0W 30 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 11/0000Z 30.0N 108.0W 20 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:33 2003 X-UIDL: 41746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GT8EQPLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962skYj054047 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:54:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO1V025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:48:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1256596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:48:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962mHlx039884 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:48:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h962mB7S014840 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:48:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h962mBsD014839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:48:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:48:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060248.h962mBsD014839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 060248 TCMEP5 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 0300Z MON OCT 06 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE MEXICAN MAINLAND ON MONDAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLAF. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 105.3W AT 06/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 105.3W AT 06/0300Z AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 105.2W FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.6N 105.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.7N 106.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.8N 106.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.0N 107.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.2N 107.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 26.6N 107.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 105.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:34 2003 X-UIDL: 41747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GYJES8LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:55:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962teYj054130 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:55:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO1X025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:49:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1256608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:49:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962n8lx039902 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:49:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h962n27S014853 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h962n2Sq014852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:49:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060249.h962n2Sq014852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 060248 TCDEP5 HURRICANE OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 OLAF CONTINUES TO HAVE A RAGGED APPEARANCE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST HAS DISAPPEARED AND AS A RESULT THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED. HOWEVER...THE CUYUTLAN RADAR SHOWS A CIRCULAR EYE...ALBEIT OPEN TO THE SOUTHEAST...WITH GOOD BANDING PATTERN. EARLIER IN THE AFTERNOON AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER MEASURED A 992 MB CENTRAL PRESSURE AND SURFACE WINDS AT 60 KTS TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SINCE THE AIRCRAFT WAS LIMITED IN TIME IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS WERE NOT OBSERVED. THEREFORE...THE INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 65 KTS. CURRENT SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE 77 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...AND 55 KT FROM AFWA. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 330/7. THE SYNOPTIC REASONING REMAINS THE SAME. OLAF IS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER MAINLAND MEXICO...AND HURRICANE NORA IS 500 NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT OLAF AND NORA WILL COME CLOSE ENOUGH TO INTERACT...AND THIS SHOULD TURN OLAF MORE NORTHWARD. INDEED...THE UKMET AND THE NOGAPS...WHICH ARE THE TWO MODELS THAT BEST DEPICT THE INTERACTION...CALL FOR OLAF TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS THIS APPEARS A BIT UNLIKELY...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE. THE FORECAST TRACK IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE BUT A LITTLE SLOWER AND CALLS FOR LANDFALL IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AT ABOUT 96 HR...BUT ANY ADDITIONAL DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE MUCH EARLIER. SHEAR IS DECREASING OVER OLAF...AND LARGE-SCALE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THROUGH 48 HR THE CYCLONE WILL REMAIN IN A GENERALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO THE EAST OF THE STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AFFECTING NORA. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME CONTINUED STRENGTHENING... ASSUMING THAT INTERACTION WITH NORA AND WITH THE MEXICAN COAST DOES NOT ADVERSELY AFFECT THE HURRICANE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL CALL FOR STRENGTHENING FOR 48 HR...AND THEN KEEP A STEADY STATE FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD AS THE FORECAST SHEAR GRADUALLY INCREASES. INITIAL WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED UPON RECON DATA AND 12-FOOT SEAS UPON SHIP OBSERVATIONS. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0300Z 17.8N 105.3W 65 KT 12HR VT 06/1200Z 18.6N 105.8W 65 KT 24HR VT 07/0000Z 19.7N 106.4W 70 KT 36HR VT 07/1200Z 20.8N 106.9W 75 KT 48HR VT 08/0000Z 22.0N 107.3W 80 KT 72HR VT 09/0000Z 24.2N 107.7W 80 KT 96HR VT 10/0000Z 26.6N 107.6W 35 KT...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:34 2003 X-UIDL: 41748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GCBEW6LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:57:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962w4Yj054345 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:58:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO1T025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:47:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1256593 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962ldlx089166 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h962lX7S014830 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:47:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h962lX98014829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:47:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:47:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060247.h962lX98014829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 060247 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 ..OLAF MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE MEXICAN MAINLAND ON MONDAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLAF. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY. RAINBANDS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...17.8 N...105.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 12:27:45 2003 X-UIDL: 41765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GTNHRDLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:59:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h963xur9052504 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:59:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO3H025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:56:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1257435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:56:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h963udlx034278 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:56:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h963uX7S015465 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:56:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h963uX35015464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:56:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:56:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060356.h963uX35015464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 060356 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 06 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..HURRICANE NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 20.0N 114.0W AT 06/0300 UTC MOVING NW AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..HURRICANE OLAF IS CENTERED NEAR 17.8N 105.3W AT 06/0300 UTC MOVING NW AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 86W N OF 7N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1018 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 29N139W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING E ALONG 26N131W TO 31N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0315 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... SMALL AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 20.5N133.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 20N112.5W TO 22N114.5W. HURRICANE STORM OLAF... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 19N108W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 21.5N105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N92W 14N103W 7N126W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 83W INCLUDING PORTION OF PANAMA...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 88W...FROM 90W TO 92W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 103W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 87W TO OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM COLOMBIA TO MEXICO. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 12:27:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00G6CIVYLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:23:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964OIYj063907 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:24:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VNR045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1257715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964Ltlx082554 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h964Ln7S015727 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h964Ln05015725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060421.h964Ln05015725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 060400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 19.7N7 113.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 113.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.5N7 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.0N3 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.5N8 113.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 22.1N5 112.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 23.5N0 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.0N8 109.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060000Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.7N7 113.9W4 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060000Z6 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061000Z7, 061600Z3, 062200Z0 AND 070400Z1. REFER TO HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 12:27:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00G99IX2LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:24:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964P0Yj063988 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:25:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO4F025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1257712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964Ltlx021980 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h964Ln7S015728 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h964LnHV015726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:21:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060421.h964LnHV015726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 060400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 17.5N3 105.2W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 105.2W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.6N5 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.7N7 106.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.8N0 106.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 22.0N4 107.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 24.2N8 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.6N4 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051800Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 105.0W6. HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060000Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061000Z7, 061600Z3, 062200Z0 AND 070400Z1. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 12:27:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GJ9J0ULZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:26:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964REYj064237 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:27:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO4L025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1257749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964Nxlx087308 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h964Nq7S015753 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h964Nquk015751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060423.h964Nquk015751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 060400 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 22.1N5 112.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 23.5N0 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.0N8 109.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060000Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.7N7 113.9W4 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060000Z6 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 12:28:14 2003 X-UIDL: 41769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GLSJ1MLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:27:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964ReYj064281 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:27:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO4P025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1257762 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964O8lx034296 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h964Nu7S015760 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h964Nuoa015759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 070 Kt, Gusts 085 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060423.h964Nuoa015759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XII, Probability=12%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 060400 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.8N0 106.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 22.0N4 107.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 24.2N8 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.6N4 107.6W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 051800Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 105.0W6. HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 12:43:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GP6J2FLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:27:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964S0r9055872 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:28:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VNZ045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1257759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964O8lx047382 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h964Nw7S015768 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h964NwBJ015766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060423.h964NwBJ015766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 060400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 17.5N3 105.2W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 105.2W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 18.6N5 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.7N7 106.4W1 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 12:43:09 2003 X-UIDL: 41771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GTAJ3ELZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:28:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964Smr9055959 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:28:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VNb045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1257765 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964O9lx077356 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h964Nx7S015775 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h964NxdS015774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Nm Southwest Of Manzanillo, Mexico, Has Tracked North- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060423.h964NxdS015774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 060400 RRC NM SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060000Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061000Z7, 061600Z3, 062200Z0 AND 070400Z1. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 12:43:09 2003 X-UIDL: 41772-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GTCJ3ELZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:28:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964Smr9055961 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:28:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VNX045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1257752 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964Nxlx077344 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h964Nq7S015752 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h964Nq0o015750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060423.h964Nq0o015750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 060400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 19.7N7 113.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 113.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 20.5N7 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 21.0N3 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.5N8 113.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 12:43:09 2003 X-UIDL: 41773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GV8J3XLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:28:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964T8Yj064477 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:29:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO4N025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1257756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964O7lx051098 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h964Nw7S015767 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h964NwUm015765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:23:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Sea Height Information. Next Warnings At 061000z7, 061600z3, Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060423.h964NwUm015765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 060400 RRC SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061000Z7, 061600Z3, 062200Z0 AND 070400Z1. REFER TO HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 12:43:11 2003 X-UIDL: 41776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GH4JNQLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:40:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964exr9057018 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:41:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO5D025012; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:37:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1257995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:37:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h964bjlx049544 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:37:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h964bd7S015936 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:37:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h964bdIh015935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:37:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:37:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060437.h964bdIh015935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 060437 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN OCT 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON HURRICANE OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY IS LOCATED OVER EASTERN MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION...OR ITS REMNANT...IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AND MAY EMERGE OVER THE PACIFIC IN A DAY OR SO...WHERE RE-DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 13:55:46 2003 X-UIDL: 41783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GH0MR8LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 13:47:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h965lkr9063077 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 13:47:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO6v025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:43:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1258528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:43:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h965gxlx079574 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:42:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h965gr7S016512 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:42:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h965gr8W016511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:42:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:42:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 11a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060542.h965gr8W016511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 060542 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT SUN OCT 05 2003 ..OLAF CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE MEXICAN MAINLAND ON MONDAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLAF. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 105.9 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...180 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND ON MONDAY. RAINBANDS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...18.4 N...105.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:00:51 2003 X-UIDL: 41789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GIJNJVLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:04:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96650r9064480 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:05:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO79025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1258603 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h965tdlx079604 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h965tX7S016636 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h965tXfx016633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060555.h965tXfx016633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z-070600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/051651ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 121.9E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.4N7 121.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 051700) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 18.4N5 117.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:56:24 2003 X-UIDL: 41798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GHMT19LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:03:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9683Vr9076321 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:03:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO8P025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1259095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967jZlx082572 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h967jT7S017547 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h967jTJO017546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:45:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060745.h967jTJO017546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 060745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN OCT 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:56:24 2003 X-UIDL: 41799-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GXRT69LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9686Sr9076602 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO8T025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1259130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967wslx039928 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h967wm7S017630 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h967wmD6017629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060758.h967wmD6017629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/060800Z-070600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/051651ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 121.9E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.4N7 121.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 051700) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 18.4N5 117.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE. ANALYSIS OF AVAILABLE MICROWAVE DATA VERIFIES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BENEATH THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:56:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GEXUNBLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:38:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968cKr9080335 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:38:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VQL045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:35:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1259293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:35:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968Z2lx087364 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:35:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h968Yu7S018134 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h968YueR018133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060834.h968YueR018133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 060834 TCMEP5 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 0900Z MON OCT 06 2003 A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE MEXICAN MAINLAND ON MONDAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLAF. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 106.0W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 106.0W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 105.9W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.5N 106.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.6N 107.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.8N 107.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 22.9N 107.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 25.2N 108.1W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 27.6N 107.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...INLAND REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 106.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:56:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GPLUQULZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:40:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968ePYj092215 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:40:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO8x025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:35:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1259300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:35:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968ZLlx089232 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h968ZF7S018139 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:35:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h968ZFQ5018138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:35:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:35:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060835.h968ZFQ5018138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 060835 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ..OLAF CONTINUES TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE MEXICAN MAINLAND ON MONDAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLAF. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES... 190 KM...SOUTH OF CABO CORRIENTES. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINBANDS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...18.7 N...106.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:56:29 2003 X-UIDL: 41805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GT2URJLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:40:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968enYj092285 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:40:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO8t025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1259290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968Yhlx057902 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h968Yb7S018124 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h968YbWj018123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:34:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060834.h968YbWj018123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 060834 TCDEP5 HURRICANE OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 OLAF CONTINUES TO HAVE A RAGGED APPEARANCE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...ALTHOUGH A NEW CDO APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING NEAR THE CENTER...AND MAY HERALD SOME INTENSIFICATION. THE CUYUTLAN RADAR HAS STOPPED REPORTING AND THUS MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE THE LOCATION OF THE CONVECTION RELATIVE TO THE CENTER. CURRENT SATELLITE ESTIMATES ARE 65 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB. THUS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 65 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 320/8. THE SYNOPTIC REASONING REMAINS THE SAME. OLAF IS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER MAINLAND MEXICO WHICH SHOULD MOVE THE SYSTEM IN A NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWEST DIRECTION. TWO OF THE GLOBAL MODELS...THE GFS AND GFDL...ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO BUT AT DIFFERENT SPEEDS. HURRICANE NORA IS 450 NM TO THE WEST. SOME INTERACTION IS LIKELY AS THE THE TWO SYSTEMS MOVE TOWARD THE SEA OF CORTEZ. THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE GIVING DIFFERENT INTERACTION SCENARIOS WITH EACH NEW FORECAST CYCLE. EXACTLY HOW MUCH DEPENDS ON THE INTENSITY AND SIZE OF THE CYCLONES. IN THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST THE TWO SYSTEMS ARE NOT VERY FAR APART BUT THEY WILL BE VERY WEAK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND CALLS FOR LANDFALL IN ABOUT 72 HR...BUT ANY ADDITIONAL DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK...AS INDICATED BY THE UKMET...COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE MUCH EARLIER. OLAF APPEARS TO BE IN A LIGHT SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND LARGE-SCALE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THIS WILL PERSIST THROUGH 48 HR. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME STRENGTHENING... ASSUMING THAT INTERACTION WITH NORA AND WITH THE MEXICAN COAST DOES NOT ADVERSELY AFFECT THE HURRICANE. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL CALL FOR STRENGTHENING FOR 48 HR...AND THEN KEEP A STEADY STATE FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD AS THE FORECAST SHEAR GRADUALLY INCREASES. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0900Z 18.7N 106.0W 65 KT 12HR VT 06/1800Z 19.5N 106.5W 65 KT 24HR VT 07/0600Z 20.6N 107.0W 70 KT 36HR VT 07/1800Z 21.8N 107.5W 75 KT 48HR VT 08/0600Z 22.9N 107.8W 80 KT 72HR VT 09/0600Z 25.2N 108.1W 80 KT 96HR VT 10/0600Z 27.6N 107.9W 35 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 11/0600Z...INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:56:29 2003 X-UIDL: 41809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GRHVGKLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:55:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968tkr9082196 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:55:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOA9025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:51:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1259692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968p2lx048892 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h968ou7S018336 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h968ouSh018335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:50:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Forecast/advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060850.h968ouSh018335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 060850 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0900Z MON OCT 06 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 113.9W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 113.9W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 113.9W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 20.8N 114.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.3N 113.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.9N 112.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 22.7N 111.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 27.0N 109.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 113.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:56:30 2003 X-UIDL: 41811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GSAVGPLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:55:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968tfYj093733 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:55:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOA7025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:50:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1259676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:50:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968oWlx096960 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:50:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h968oQ7S018328 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h968oPnr018327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:50:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Nora Discussion Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060850.h968oPnr018327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 060850 TCDEP4 HURRICANE NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 NORA MAY NO LONGER BE A HURRICANE...AS IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND A RATHER DISORGANIZED PATTERN. A 0444 UTC SSMI MICROWAVE OVERPASS REVEALED THAT THE CENTER OF NORA IS DISPLACED TO THE SE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION...AS SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR FROM THE OUTFLOW OF OLAF IS HAVING A DISRUPTING INFLUENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 65 KT AND THIS MAY BE GENEROUS. IT APPEARS THAT NORA HAS TURNED A LITTLE MORE NORTHWARD AND THE ESTIMATED MOTION IS 345/4. THE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWARD AND REMAIN OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE MAIN DIFFERENCE IN THE GLOBAL MODELS IS HOW THEY HANDLE THE INTERACTION BETWEEN NORA AND OLAF TO THE EAST. THE MODELS ARE DEPICTING DIFFERENT SCENARIOS WITH EACH SUCCESSIVE FORECAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ASSUMES THAT THE RESULTS WILL BE A SLOW NORTHERLY MOTION FOR NORA...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AHEAD OF THE TROUGH. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS CLOSE THE GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS THROUGH 48 HOURS...WHICH BRINGS THE SYSTEM JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA. BEYOND 48 HOURS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GET CLOSER TO THE CIRCULATION OF OLAF. INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS FORECAST AS THE MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES BAJA. THEREFORE...STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST INDICATES FASTER WEAKENING THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BUT NOT AS QUICKLY THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/0900Z 20.3N 113.9W 65 KT 12HR VT 06/1800Z 20.8N 114.0W 60 KT 24HR VT 07/0600Z 21.3N 113.5W 55 KT 36HR VT 07/1800Z 21.9N 112.8W 50 KT 48HR VT 08/0600Z 22.7N 111.7W 40 KT 72HR VT 09/0600Z 24.5N 110.5W 35 KT 96HR VT 10/0600Z 27.0N 109.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:27:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00G0FY2ZLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:52:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h969qOYj099781 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:52:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOAZ025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:47:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1259973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:47:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h969lHlx095898 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:47:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h969lB7S018793 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:47:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h969lBGf018792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:47:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:47:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060947.h969lBGf018792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 060947 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N140W 12N147W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10N145W 05N151W 08N156W HAVE MOVED W 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N158W 14N165W HAVE MOVED W 15 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB AND TCU WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 06N164W 07N173W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED SUBSTANTIALLY IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA FROM 04N TO 11N BOUNDED BY 175W TO 180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 19N172W 19N180 HAVE MOVED W 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 20N166W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 19S127W 22S123W 25S121W... AND CONTINUING S OF 25S...HAVE MOVED E NEAR 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10S154W 13S143W 19S145W 19S151W 15S156W 10S154W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:27:53 2003 X-UIDL: 41819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GGKYR1LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:06:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96A6wYj001262 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:07:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h966Mvwj030816; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:58:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1260038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:58:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h969wrlx104762 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:58:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h969wl7S018878 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:58:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h969wlI5018877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:58:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:58:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060958.h969wlI5018877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 060958 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 06 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..HURRICANE NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 20.3N 113.9W AT 06/0900 UTC MOVING NNW AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..HURRICANE OLAF IS CENTERED NEAR 18.7N 106.0W AT 06/0900 UTC MOVING NNW AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W N OF 7N MOVING W 10 KT. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W WITH A 1023 MB HIGH JUST N OF THE REGION NEAR 34N135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0915 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... NORA IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF A LINE FROM 20N113W TO 22N115W. HURRICANE STORM OLAF... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 105.5W FROM 16N TO 22N INCLUDING A PORTION OF THE MEXICAN COAST. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 19N109W TO 22N106.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N87W 12N94W 15N104W 10N117W 6N135W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 80W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 N OF THE AXIS FROM INLAND OVER COLOMBIA TO 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 91W AND WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 3N TO 5N E OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N93W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N95W...WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 12N89W AND WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 15N97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 92W FROM 11N TO 14N. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 200 NM S OF THE AXIS TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO E OF 100W...AND WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 125W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:27:54 2003 X-UIDL: 41820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GIQZ6PLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:16:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96AGLr9091676 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:16:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOAt025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:11:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1260124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:11:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96ABJlx041914 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:11:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96ABD7S019041 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:11:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96ABD5c019040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:11:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:11:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061011.h96ABD5c019040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 061011 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON OCT 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE NORA LOCATED ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON HURRICANE OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTH OF CABO CORRIENTES. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY ARE LOCATED OVER EASTERN MEXICO AND ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THIS SYSTEM MAY EMERGE OVER THE PACIFIC IN A DAY OR SO...WHERE RE-DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:27:54 2003 X-UIDL: 41821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GS9ZP6LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:27:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96ARLr9092886 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:27:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h966Mvxt030816; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1260180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96ANilx104878 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96ANc7S019151 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96ANc0o019150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061023.h96ANc0o019150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 061000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 20.1N3 113.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 113.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 20.8N0 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 21.3N6 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.9N2 112.8W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 22.7N1 111.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 24.5N1 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 27.0N9 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060600Z2 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 113.9W4 HURRICANE (HR) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061600Z3, 062200Z0, 070400Z1 AND 071000Z8. REFER TO HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:27:54 2003 X-UIDL: 41822-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GXRZS1LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:28:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96ATBr9093088 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:29:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967LhnP027150; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1260183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96ANilx104880 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96ANc7S019156 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96ANcXv019155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 05:23:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061023.h96ANcXv019155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 061000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 18.4N3 105.9W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 105.9W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 19.5N5 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 20.6N8 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.8N1 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 22.9N3 107.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 25.2N9 108.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 27.6N5 107.9W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060600Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 105.9W5. HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061600Z3, 062200Z0, 070400Z1 AND 071000Z8. REFER TO HURRICANE 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:27:58 2003 X-UIDL: 41824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G6G33HLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 19:40:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Bebr9000493 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 19:40:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOBh025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:35:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1260421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:35:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96BZolx009718 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:35:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96BZi7S019752 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:35:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96BZigp019751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:35:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:35:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 12a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061135.h96BZigp019751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 061135 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ..OLAF CONTINUES TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO TO LAZARO CARDENAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE MEXICAN MAINLAND LATER TODAY. INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLAF. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 106.1 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES... 175 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLAF PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT OLAF IS BECOMING LESS WELL-ORGANIZED...AND IF THIS TREND PERSISTS...OLAF COULD BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINBANDS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...18.9 N...106.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:02 2003 X-UIDL: 41832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G7E92OLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:49:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Dnsr9015761 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:49:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOF7025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 08:45:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1261602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 08:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Djclx011394 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 08:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96DjW7S021938 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 08:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96DjWaj021937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 08:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 08:45:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061345.h96DjWaj021937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 061345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON OCT 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GWRBKULZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:43:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Ei0Yj030746 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:44:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOGx025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:36:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1262421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:36:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Easlx077536 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:36:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Eam7S023575 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Eamrp023574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:36:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061436.h96Eamrp023574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 061436 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 SCATTEROMETER PASSES AT 0200Z AND 0600Z DO NOT SHOW ANY WIND VECTORS OVER 45 KT...AND EVEN SOME OF THESE MAY BE RAIN-INFLATED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 50 KT AND THIS MAY STILL BE A LITTLE HIGH. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED SUBSTANTIALLY IN EXTENT AND ORGANIZATION SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY. THE INITIAL MOTION IS HARD TO GAUGE...BUT THE SCATTEROMETER PASSES SUGGEST LITTLE MOTION...AND PERHAPS THE BEGINNING OF A TURN TO THE EAST. THE ADVISORY MOTION WILL BE STATIONARY. THE FUTURE TRACK OF NORA DEPENDS LARGELY ON HOW DEEP A CIRCULATION IT CAN MAINTAIN. THERE IS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST OF NORA THAT IS IMPARTING A SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING CURRENT AT THOSE LEVELS. HOWEVER...WITH DIMINISHING CONVECTION...NORA COULD BECOME A SHALLOW SYSTEM AND TURN SHARPLY TO THE EAST AND PASS SOUTH OF OLAF. GIVEN THE DECAY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND THE 26C WATERS UNDERNEATH THE CYCLONE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR NORA TO CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND TAKE THE MORE SOUTHERN TRACK. A SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENT SOUTHWARD WAS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...WITH THE NEW TRACK IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS AND UKMET GUIDANCE. ALTHOUGH NORA WOULD BE MOVING OVER WARMER WATERS ON THE FORECAST TRACK...SOUTHWESTERLY OR SOUTHERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST. AS NORA APPROACHES OLAF FROM THE WEST...THE CIRCULATION OF THE WEAKER NORA MAY BEGIN TO BE SHEARED OUT BY THE CIRCULATION OF OLAF AND DISSIPATE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 20.3N 113.8W 50 KT 12HR VT 07/0000Z 20.6N 113.7W 45 KT 24HR VT 07/1200Z 20.8N 113.1W 40 KT 36HR VT 08/0000Z 21.0N 112.3W 35 KT 48HR VT 08/1200Z 21.0N 111.0W 30 KT 72HR VT 09/1200Z 23.0N 108.5W 25 KT 96HR VT 10/1200Z 26.5N 107.5W 20 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G6OBP9LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:46:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Ekdr9023731 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:46:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOH9025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:37:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1262452 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:37:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Ebolx016602 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Ebi7S023610 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96EbiwQ023609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:37:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061437.h96EbiwQ023609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 061437 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 1500Z MON OCT 06 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 113.8W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 113.8W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.9W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.6N 113.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.8N 113.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.0N 112.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 26.5N 107.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 113.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:05 2003 X-UIDL: 41838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GJWBUULZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:49:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Eo3Yj031416 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:50:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOHF025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:41:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1262507 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Efolx051744 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:41:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Efi7S023717 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:41:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96EfiiZ023716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:41:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:41:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061441.h96EfiiZ023716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 061441 TCMEP5 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 1500Z MON OCT 06 2003 AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM MANZANILLO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. AT 8 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 106.1W AT 06/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 106.1W AT 06/1500Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 106.1W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.3N 106.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.2N 106.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 22.2N 106.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 23.3N 106.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 26.0N 108.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 106.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:05 2003 X-UIDL: 41839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GKWBVJLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:50:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96EoQYj031458 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:50:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOHD025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:41:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1262497 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:40:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Eeslx051722 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:40:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Eem7S023678 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:40:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96EemU0023677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:40:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:40:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061440.h96EemU0023677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 061440 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ..OLAF MOVING NORTHWARD...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE... AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM MANZANILLO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF PUNTA SAN TELMO. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO SAN BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO TO PUNTA SAN TELMO. AT 8 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 106.1 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL BE PASSING VERY CLOSE TO THE MEXICAN COAST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER ONSHORE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT OLAF IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED...AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT OLAF WILL BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WHEN THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REACHES OLAF EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE ALREADY SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER OLAF REMAINS A HURRICANE...THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...19.4 N...106.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41841-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G6OCIILZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:03:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96F4Hr9025782 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:04:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VV5045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1262694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96EsDlx014950 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Es77S024189 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Es728024188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061454.h96Es728024188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 061500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/061500Z-070600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/061321ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/061121ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 121.9E3, HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ENHANCED ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) VOID OF CONVECTION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 061330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.4N4 117.3E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 117.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE OVER A MORE ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF B (WTPN23 PGTW 061130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADE PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR AND UPGRADE PARA 1.B.(2) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41842-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G2FCUBLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:11:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96FBKr9026596 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:11:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967LhsJ027150; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:06:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1262884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:05:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96F5slx096774 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:05:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96F5m7S024602 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96F5mKF024601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:05:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Olaf Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061505.h96F5mKF024601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 061505 TCDEP5 HURRICANE OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 OLAF IS SHOWING LITTLE EVIDENCE OF ORGANIZATION IN SATELLITE IMAGERY...WITH COLD BUT SHAPELESS CONVECTION. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND AFWA ARE NOW BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. WITH AN AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE...I WILL WAIT UNTIL THEY ARRIVE TO CONFIRM THE APPARENT WEAKENING TREND. THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS OBSCURED AND THE INITIAL LOCATION AND MOTION ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. MICROWAVE AND FIRST LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGERY IS SUGGESTIVE OF A CENTER PERHAPS 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER WE ARE CURRENTLY TRACKING...NEAR WHERE THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FIXED THE CENTER YESTERDAY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT OLAF IS MUCH FARTHER SOUTH...AND MUCH WEAKER...THAN INDICATED HERE...AND SOME MAJOR ADJUSTMENTS MAY BE NECESSARY IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ASSUMING THAT OLAF IS WHERE WE THINK IT IS...THE FUTURE TRACK WILL BE GOVERNED BY A MID-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CENTERED OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO SLOW THE NORTHWARD PROGRESS OF OLAF...AND PERHAPS BEND THE TRACK BACK TO THE NORTHWEST IN 36-48 HOURS. THE WEAKENING CIRCULATION OF NORA IS NOT EXPECTED TO PLAY A MAJOR ROLE. THE OFFICIAL TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS AND GFDL MODELS. INTERESTINGLY...THE UKMET TAKES OLAF EASTWARD IMMEDIATELY AND DISSIPATES IT...WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH THE MICROWAVE PASSES MENTIONED EARLIER. IF OLAF MOVES NORTHWARD...IT SHOULD BE ENTERING A REGION OF HIGHER SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR...AS THE GLOBAL MODELS MAINTAIN A STRONG FLOW BETWEEN AN UPPER LOW NEAR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND AN UPPER RIDGE OVER CENTRAL MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST THEREFORE SHOWS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 19.4N 106.1W 65 KT 12HR VT 07/0000Z 20.3N 106.2W 65 KT 24HR VT 07/1200Z 21.2N 106.2W 65 KT 36HR VT 08/0000Z 22.2N 106.3W 65 KT 48HR VT 08/1200Z 23.3N 106.8W 65 KT 72HR VT 09/1200Z 26.0N 108.0W 30 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:07 2003 X-UIDL: 41843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G32DLQLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:27:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96FRgr9028499 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:27:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOJ3025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:20:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1263198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:20:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96FKKlx036594 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:20:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96FKE7S025091 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:20:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96FKEBK025090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:20:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:20:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061520.h96FKEBK025090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 061520 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 06 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 20.3N 113.8W AT 06/1500 UTC NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..HURRICANE OLAF IS CENTERED NEAR 19.4N 106.1W AT 06/1500 UTC MOVING N AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W/90W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. ONLY ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE. ..1006 MB LOW...THE REMNANTS OF LARRY...IS CENTERED OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHAUNTEPEC NEAR 17.5N DRIFTING SWD. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER PORTIONS OF S MEXICO AND THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 13N-17N BETWEEN 92W-96W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N135W AND EXTENDS SEWD AROUND THE S SIDE OF HURRICANE NORA TO NEAR 11N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1430 UTC... HURRICANE NORA... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 18N-20.5N BETWEEN 114W-116W. HURRICANE STORM OLAF... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 18N-21.5N BETWEEN 104.5W-107W INCLUDING COASTAL REGIONS OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NWD TO JUST N OF PUERTO VALLARTA. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 12N90W 13N110W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 77W-80W AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 80W-85W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 90W-98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN HIGH CLOUDINESS EXTEND NWD FROM NORA OVER MUCH OF THE BAJA PENINSULA INTO NW MEXICO. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA AND N SEA OR CORTEZ FROM 28N-30N BETWEEN 112W-115W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GY9FRJLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:14:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96GENr9033807 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:14:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VYd045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1263964 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96G7Xlx104784 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96G7R7S026545 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96G7Rpi026544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061607.h96G7Rpi026544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 061600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 19.2N2 106.1W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 106.1W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 20.3N5 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.2N5 106.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 22.2N6 106.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.3N8 106.8W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 26.0N8 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061200Z9 POSITION NEAR 19.2N2 106.1W8. HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061200Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z3 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062200Z0, 070400Z1, 071000Z8 AND 071600Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:09 2003 X-UIDL: 41847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G8VFV3LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:16:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96GGZYj041617 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:16:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOLF025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1263961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96G7Xlx053992 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96G7R7S026542 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96G7ReP026541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 11:07:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061607.h96G7ReP026541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 061600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 020 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 14E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 20.2N4 113.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 000 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 113.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 20.6N8 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.8N0 113.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.0N3 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.0N3 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.0N5 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 26.5N3 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061200Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.2N4 113.9W4 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS REMAINED STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061200Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062200Z0, 070400Z1, 071000Z8 AND 071600Z4. REFER TO HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:10 2003 X-UIDL: 41850-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GB6JVILZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:42:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96HhFr9045034 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:43:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOQ7025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1265361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Hbvlx069428 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Hbp7S028856 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Hbp0q028854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061737.h96Hbp0q028854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800-071800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0N3 70.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM WEST OF CHOCHIN, INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA HAS DISSIPATED UNDER SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL SHEAR AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 82.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/DAMRON/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:12 2003 X-UIDL: 41851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GCXJWTLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:43:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Hhrr9045117 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:43:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vbx045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1265364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Hbvlx011436 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Hbp7S028857 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Hbpwv028855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:37:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061737.h96Hbpwv028855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800-071800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0N3 70.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM WEST OF CHOCHIN, INDIA IN THE ARABIAN SEA HAS DISSIPATED UNDER SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL SHEAR AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 82.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA HAS MOVED OVER LAND AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJ GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/DAMRON/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:12 2003 X-UIDL: 41852-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GDOJXDLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:44:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96HiLr9045176 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:44:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOQ5025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:36:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1265339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:36:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Haglx087348 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:36:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Haa7S028809 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Haa7O028807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:36:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:36:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Special Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061736.h96Haa7O028807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 061736 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 1800Z MON OCT 06 2003 AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH...AND ADJUSTED THE LOCATION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 104.3W AT 06/1800Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 104.3W AT 06/1800Z AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 104.5W FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.1N 104.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.9N 104.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.0N 104.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.5N 105.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N 106.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 104.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G8UKBJLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:52:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Hqrr9046413 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:52:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOQR025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:45:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1265455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:45:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96HjQlx046060 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:45:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96HjK7S029086 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:45:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96HjKnF029085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:45:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:45:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Special Advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061745.h96HjKnF029085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 061745 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ..OLAF MUCH WEAKER...RELOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST... AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH...AND ADJUSTED THE LOCATION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...THE CENTER OF OLAF HAS BEEN RELOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...140 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR. A NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL BE INLAND OR VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST BY EARLY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES .. 55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...17.8 N...104.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GGVKFHLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:54:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96HtEr9046759 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:55:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOQV025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:50:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1265489 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96HoQlx077316 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96HoK7S029213 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:50:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96HoKOh029212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:50:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:50:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061750.h96HoKOh029212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 061750 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON OCT 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF WHICH HAS BEEN RELOCATED ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY ARE LOCATED OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC AND ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THIS SYSTEM MAY EMERGE OVER THE PACIFIC IN A DAY OR SO...WHERE RE-DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN/KNABB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:14 2003 X-UIDL: 41855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GM9KICLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:56:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Huwr9046943 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:57:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vc9045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1265503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Hptlx059664 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Hpm7S029262 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Hpmsn029254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061751.h96Hpmsn029254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 061600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 19.2N2 106.1W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 106.1W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 20.3N5 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.2N5 106.2W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 22.2N6 106.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.3N8 106.8W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 26.0N8 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:14 2003 X-UIDL: 41856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GRTKLGLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:58:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Hwer9047136 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:58:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967Lhw7027150; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1265498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Hpslx077328 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Hpm7S029257 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Hpmlq029249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Near 20 Kt Each Day. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061751.h96Hpmlq029249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 061600 RRB NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 26.5N3 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061200Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.2N4 113.9W4 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS REMAINED STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061200Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062200Z0, 070400Z1, 071000Z8 AND 071600Z4. REFER TO HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:15 2003 X-UIDL: 41857-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GW9KNELZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 01:59:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96HxwYj054419 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:00:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VcD045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1265506 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Hpslx079582 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Hpm7S029261 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96HpmmC029252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Dissipated As A Significant Tropical Cyclone Over Land Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061751.h96HpmmC029252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 061600 RRB DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061200Z9 POSITION NEAR 19.2N2 106.1W8. HURRICANE (HR) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061200Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z3 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062200Z0, 070400Z1, 071000Z8 AND 071600Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:15 2003 X-UIDL: 41858-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G32KQ0LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:01:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96I1Tr9047519 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:01:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967LhwB027150; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:52:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1265511 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:52:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Hpxlx077340 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Hpl7S029247 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96HplcR029245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:51:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061751.h96HplcR029245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 061600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 020 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 14E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 20.2N4 113.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 000 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 113.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 20.6N8 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.8N0 113.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.0N3 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.0N3 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.0N5 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:16 2003 X-UIDL: 41859-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GGZKX8LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:05:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96I5pr9048024 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:05:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VcJ045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:58:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1265610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:58:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96HwRlx103920 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:58:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96HwL7S029452 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:58:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96HwLnw029451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:58:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 12:58:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Special Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061758.h96HwLnw029451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, OPPORTUNITY, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 061758 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ALTHOUGH THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE TO OLAF HAD MECHANICAL DIFFICULTIES AND HAD TO RETURN TO BASE...IT IS NOW CLEAR THAT OLAF IS WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. OLAF IS ALSO MUCH WEAKER THAN BELIEVED EARLIER. THESE CHANGES NECESSITATE THE ISSUANCE OF A SPECIAL ADVISORY TO ADJUST THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...AND THE WARNINGS. THE REVISED TRACK FORECAST FOLLOWS THE GFS AND GFDL GUIDANCE IN CALLING FOR A NORTHWARD TRACK. IT IS ALSO SIMILAR TO THE SHALLOW BAM...WHICH MIGHT BE APPROPRIATE FOR SUCH A WEAK SYSTEM. A WEAK VORTICITY MAXIMUM CAN ALSO BE FOUND ALONG THIS TRACK IN THE UKMET MODEL. GIVEN THE CHANGES IN STORM STRUCTURE THAT HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS...THIS IS A LOW-CONFIDENCE TRACK FORECAST. THE WATERS ARE WARM AND OLAF COULD REINTENSIFY SOME...ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE LITTLE SYNOPTIC SCALE INFLOW...AND LITTLE CHANGE IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE THE CENTER GOES INLAND. SHOULD OLAF TAKE A TRACK TO THE LEFT OF THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AND STAY OFFSHORE LONGER...THEN IT WOULD HAVE MORE OF AN OPPORTUNITY TO RESTRENGTHEN. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1800Z 17.8N 104.3W 35 KT 12HR VT 07/0000Z 18.1N 104.3W 35 KT 24HR VT 07/1200Z 18.9N 104.4W 35 KT 36HR VT 08/0000Z 20.0N 104.8W 30 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 08/1200Z 21.5N 105.5W 25 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 09/1200Z 25.0N 106.0W 20 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:18 2003 X-UIDL: 41864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GL4PBBLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:40:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Jeir9061618 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:40:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOV9025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:30:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1266942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96JUrlx103782 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96JUk7S002247 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96JUksb002246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:30:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061930.h96JUksb002246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 061930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON OCT 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:19 2003 X-UIDL: 41867-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GEPQMHLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:08:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96K8qr9065427 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:08:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOWH025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1267305 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Jxrlx053990 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Jxl7S003320 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96JxkM7003319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061959.h96JxkM7003319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 062000 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/062000Z-070600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/061121ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 121.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.5N8 121.3E7, APPROXIMATELY 35 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME REESTABLISHED OVER A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANALYSIS AT 200 MB REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 117.2E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.0N9 116.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG. THE UNCERTAINTY OF LOCATION OF THIS DEVELOPING STORM IS STILL HIGH DUE TO FIXES ACCOMPLISHED IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WEAK NATURE OF THE STORM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE OVER A MORE ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:20 2003 X-UIDL: 41869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GCDRZXLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:38:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Kcir9069894 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:38:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967Lh1D027150; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1267736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KVTlx031872 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96KVM7S004405 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96KVMxg004403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062031.h96KVMxg004403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 062030 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ANOTHER QUIKSCAT PASS AT 13Z INDICATES THAT THE WINDS IN NORA CONTINUE TO COME DOWN...WITH ONLY SOME RAIN-FLAGGED 35 KT VECTORS. THE CYCLONE NOW HAS ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT OF DEEP CONVECTION IN ITS SOUTHWEST QUADRANT...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 40 KT. NORA IS OVER 26C WATER AND LOOKS TO BE NEARLY SURROUNDED BY STABLE AIR. SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS ALSO EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW NOW WEST OF THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...AND SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL SPIN DOWN AND DECAY OF THE SYSTEM...EVEN THOUGH WATER TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY IF NORA FOLLOWS THE FORECAST TRACK. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS STATIONARY. WITH THE RELOCATION OF OLAF AWAY FROM NORA...NO SIGNIFICANT BINARY INTERACTION IS EXPECTED...AND AS A RESULT THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW WILL DEVELOP A REFLECTION DOWN TO AT LEAST 850 MB OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS THAT SOULD BEGIN TO TAKE NORA SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD. THE GUIDANCE IS FAIRLY DIVERGENT...WHICH IS UNDERSTANDABLE GIVEN A DECAYING SYSTEM IN A SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE GUNA CONSENSUS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 20.2N 113.9W 40 KT 12HR VT 07/0600Z 20.5N 113.5W 35 KT 24HR VT 07/1800Z 21.0N 113.0W 30 KT 36HR VT 08/0600Z 22.0N 112.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 08/1800Z 24.0N 111.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:20 2003 X-UIDL: 41870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GF8S1FLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:39:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KdcYj073455 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:39:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967Lh17027150; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1267726 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KUnlx085518 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96KUh7S004367 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96KUhtq004366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:30:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062030.h96KUhtq004366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 062030 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ..OLAF REORGANIZING AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...85 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL BE INLAND OR VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST BY LATE THIS EVENING. OLAF IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AGAIN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AS THE CENTER NEARS THE COASTLINE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES .. 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4-8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...18.3 N...104.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:21 2003 X-UIDL: 41871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GH7S2RLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:40:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KePr9070091 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:40:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VgF045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1267739 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KVTlx028948 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96KVM7S004406 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96KVMFq004404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062031.h96KVMFq004404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 062030 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 2100Z MON OCT 06 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.9W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 113.9W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 113.9W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 20.5N 113.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 22.0N 112.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.0N 111.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 113.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:21 2003 X-UIDL: 41872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GHBS2ULZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:40:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KeOr9070088 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:40:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOXr025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:29:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1267675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:29:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KTjlx021978 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96KTd7S004322 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96KTd2r004321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:29:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062029.h96KTd2r004321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 062029 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 OLAF IS GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. WHAT WAS A CONVECTION-FREE CLOUD SWIRL LATE THIS MORNING HAS REDEVELOPED STRONG CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES. WHILE THE QUIKSCAT PASS AT 12Z INDICATED THAT WINDS AT THAT TIME WERE ONLY 35 KT...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 45 KT BASED ON THE IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING. CONTINUED RE-DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE UNTIL THE CIRCULATION ENCOUNTERS THE MEXICAN LAND MASS...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ABOVE THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. SHOULD OLAF TAKE A PATH TO THE LEFT OF THE OFFICIAL FORECAST AND STAY OFFSHORE...IT WOULD ALMOST SURELY GET STRONGER THAN INDICATED BELOW. HOWEVER...OLAF SHOULD ENCOUNTER INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR ONCE IT GETS NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 350/5. A SMALL MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO WILL ERODE OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS...BUT MIGHT BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP OLAF JUST OFFSHORE. A LARGE CUTOFF LOW OFF THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA IS DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD...AND THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A BEND IN THE TRACK BACK TO THE RIGHT. THE GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT FOLLOW THE VORTEX WELL. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE GFS THROUGH 48 H AND THE MEDIUM BAM THEREAFTER. THE SHALLOW CIRCULATION OF WEAKENING NORA IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE TRACK OF OLAF. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/2100Z 18.3N 104.5W 45 KT 12HR VT 07/0600Z 19.0N 104.7W 50 KT 24HR VT 07/1800Z 20.0N 105.2W 40 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 08/0600Z 21.3N 105.6W 30 KT...OVER WATER 48HR VT 08/1800Z 23.0N 106.0W 25 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 09/1800Z 26.5N 106.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:22 2003 X-UIDL: 41873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GL1S4HLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:41:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KfSYj073696 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:41:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vg9045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:31:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1267715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:30:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KUUlx098346 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:30:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96KUN7S004356 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96KUNUZ004355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:30:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062030.h96KUNUZ004355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 062029 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 2100Z MON OCT 06 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 104.5W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 104.5W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 104.4W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.0N 104.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.0N 105.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.3N 105.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.0N 106.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.5N 106.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 104.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:24 2003 X-UIDL: 41876-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GYLVQHLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:59:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96LxQr9080349 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:59:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOaj025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:51:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1268952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:51:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96LpClx011770 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:51:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Lp67S006645 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Lp6HE006644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:51:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062151.h96Lp6HE006644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 061600 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 014A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 17.4N2 104.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 104.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 18.1N0 104.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.9N8 104.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.0N2 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.5N8 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.0N7 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061200Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.4N2 104.5W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061200Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: THIS WARNING IS AN AMENDMENT FOR WARNING NUMBER 13 AND WAS AMENDED FOR A DECREASE IN INTENSITY AND CHANGE IN POSITION. THE NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED SOON AT 062200Z0. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062200Z0, 070400Z1, 071000Z8 AND 071600Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:24 2003 X-UIDL: 41877-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G4FVSOLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:00:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96M0iYj082024 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:00:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOap025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269005 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96LsGlx070460 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96LsA7S006692 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96LsARZ006689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062154.h96LsARZ006689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 061600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 014A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 17.4N2 104.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 104.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 18.1N0 104.3W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.9N8 104.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.0N2 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 41878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G5KVTCLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:00:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96M19Yj082068 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:01:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967Lh3R027150; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:50:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1268944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:50:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96LoHlx011726 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:50:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96LoB7S006613 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96LoBkM006612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:50:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062150.h96LoBkM006612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 062150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...09N140W 09N160W 04N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 08N140W 11N144W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30NM OF POINT 09N149W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND DECREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 06N170W 05N174W 04N180 AND EXTENDING WEST HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 25NM OF LINE 22N169W 23N178W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF POINT 19N179W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20KT... INTENSIFIED AND EXPANDED IN AREA. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEARLINE 1...21S120W 16S130W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 13S147W. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT EAST OF 122W AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 35NM OF FRONT WEST OF 122W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 35NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED NORTH SLOWLY AND WEAKENED. LOW ALOFT...12S153W. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 40NM OF POINT 12S151W HAVE MOVED NORTH SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. LOW/FRONT/SHEARLINE 2...LOW 25S172W...FRONT 25S170W 19S176W CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE TO 16S180. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 24S169W 20S172W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 41879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GBNVVRLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:02:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96M2cYj082246 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:02:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452ViV045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96LsGlx011494 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96LsA7S006693 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96LsAN2006691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:54:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Extended Outlook: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062154.h96LsAN2006691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 061600 RRB EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.5N8 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.0N7 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061200Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.4N2 104.5W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061200Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: THIS WARNING IS AN AMENDMENT FOR WARNING NUMBER 13 AND WAS AMENDED FOR A DECREASE IN INTENSITY AND CHANGE IN POSITION. THE NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED SOON AT 062200Z0. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062200Z0, 070400Z1, 071000Z8 AND 071600Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 41880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00MFAWJIB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:16:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MGpYj083436 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:16:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfObD025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:05:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:05:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96M5hlx049444 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:05:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96M5b7S006878 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:05:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96M5bqm006877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:05:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:05:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062205.h96M5bqm006877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 062205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 06 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM NORA CENTER NEAR 20.2N 113.9W AT 06/2100 UTC...NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF CENTER NEAR 18.3N 104.5W AT 06/2100 UTC MOVING NORTH 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W/90W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM NORTHWESTERN NICARAGUA NEAR 13N TO THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA BETWEEN 86W AND 91W. ..THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY HAS MOVED INLAND... NOW IN THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC...AND IT IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER SECTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. THESE RAINS MIGHT CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS SYSTEM MIGHT EMERGE OVER THE PACIFIC OCEAN DURING THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS...WHERE RE-DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2130 UTC... TROPICAL STORM NORA... WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 17N TO 18.5N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W. A BURST OF STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF 20.5N106W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 22N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 12N90W 13N110W 9N128W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 92W...AND WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 102W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:26 2003 X-UIDL: 41881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00MBBX5YB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:29:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MUKYj084602 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:30:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOcD025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:19:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:19:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MJtlx079426 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:19:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96MJn7S007045 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:19:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96MJnto007044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:19:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:19:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062219.h96MJnto007044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 062200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 20.1N3 113.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 113.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 20.5N7 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.0N3 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 22.0N4 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 24.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 061800Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 113.9W4 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS REMAINED STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061800Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070400Z1, 071000Z8, 071600Z4, AND 072200Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:26 2003 X-UIDL: 41882-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00MBRX6AB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:30:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MUXr9084133 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:30:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VjF045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:22:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:22:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MM0lx011486 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:22:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96MLs7S007087 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:21:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96MLrKu007083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:21:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:21:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062221.h96MLrKu007083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 062200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 20.1N3 113.9W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 113.9W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 20.5N7 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.0N3 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 22.0N4 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 24.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 061800Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 113.9W4 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS REMAINED STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061800Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:26 2003 X-UIDL: 41883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00MOJXDKB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:34:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MYtYj084995 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:34:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOcP025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:22:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269391 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:22:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MM0lx019404 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:22:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96MLr7S007085 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:21:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96MLrE2007082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:21:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:21:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Estimates Of Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062221.h96MLrE2007082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 062200 RRB ESTIMATES OF 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070400Z1, 071000Z8, 071600Z4, AND 072200Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00MVFY9NB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:53:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Ms9r9086758 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:54:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VjV045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:40:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:40:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Meglx049608 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:40:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96MeZ7S007344 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:40:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96MeZ9H007343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:40:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:40:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062240.h96MeZ9H007343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 062240 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON OCT 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO. THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY ARE LOCATED OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. HEAVY RAINS ARE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING...ALTHOUGH THEY STILL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. THIS SYSTEM MAY EMERGE OVER THE PACIFIC ON TUESDAY...WHERE RE-DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00M1PYFYB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:57:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MvuYj087163 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:57:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOdD025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:48:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:48:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MmXlx096914 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:48:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96MmR7S007471 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96MmQeD007470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:48:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:48:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062248.h96MmQeD007470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 062200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 18.0N9 104.4W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 104.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 19.0N0 104.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 20.0N2 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.3N6 105.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00M1TYFZB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:57:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MvuYj087164 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:57:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOdB025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:47:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:47:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MlXlx036280 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:47:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96MlR7S007440 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96MlRAd007439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:47:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062247.h96MlRAd007439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 062200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 18.0N9 104.4W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 104.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 19.0N0 104.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 20.0N2 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.3N6 105.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.0N5 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 26.5N3 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061800Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 104.5W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061800Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 0618000Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070400Z1, 071000Z8, 071600Z4, AND 072200Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00M3TYHTB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:58:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Mx4r9087321 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:59:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96IEoNH030816; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:50:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269755 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:49:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96MnYlx036330 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:49:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96MnS7S007480 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:49:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96MnSAL007479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:49:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:49:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 48 Hr Posit: 350 Deg/ 09 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062249.h96MnSAL007479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 062200 RRB VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.0N5 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 26.5N3 106.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 061800Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 104.5W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061800Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 0618000Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070400Z1, 071000Z8, 071600Z4, AND 072200Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00M1W127B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 07:54:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96NsQYj093063 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 07:54:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOfJ025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:44:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1270323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:44:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Ni2lx011612 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:44:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Nhu7S008128 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:43:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Nhtp0008127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:43:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 18:43:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 15a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062343.h96Nhtp0008127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 062343 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ..OLAF STRENGTHENING AS IT APPROACHES THE MEXICAN COAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO. OLAF IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 4 MPH ...6KM/HR... AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL BE INLAND OR VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST BY LATE THIS EVENING. OLAF CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED.. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 90 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COASTLINE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES .. 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...18.4 N...104.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:29 2003 X-UIDL: 41894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00M5U5ULB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:37:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h971bsr9006724 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:37:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOiD025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 20:30:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1271644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 20:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h971Urlx031076 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 20:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h971Ul7S009401 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 20:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h971Uk0v009400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 20:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 20:30:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070130.h971Uk0v009400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 070130 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON OCT 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 11:52:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MF49G2B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:55:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972tZr9016550 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:55:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOkr025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272305 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972jrlx065654 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h972jl7S010217 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h972jlX9010216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070245.h972jlX9010216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 070245 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 0300Z TUE OCT 07 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 104.5W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 104.5W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 104.5W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.5N 104.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.8N 105.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.3N 105.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.0N 105.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 104.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 11:52:17 2003 X-UIDL: 41906-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MIT9H4B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:55:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972uDr9016623 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:56:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972KimX045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:47:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972kxlx065686 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h972kq7S010246 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h972kqML010245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Discussion Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070246.h972kqML010245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 070246 TCDEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 WITH ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION GONE IT APPEARS THAT NORA HAS ENVELOPED DRY AND STABLE AIR AND APPEARS TO BE WINDING DOWN. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS NOW 35 KTS. IN ADDITION TO THE STABLE AIR RE-INTENSIFICATION IS UNLIKELY WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW NOW WEST OF THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND ITS ASSOCIATED SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. AND SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR A GRADUAL SPIN DOWN AND DECAY OF THE SYSTEM...EVEN THOUGH WATER TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY IF NORA FOLLOWS THE FORECAST TRACK. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 045/2...A DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. GLOBAL MODELS TAKE THE REMAINS OF NORA TOWARD THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENNINSULA AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK LARGELY FOLLOWS THE GUNA CONSENSUS. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0300Z 20.4N 113.5W 35 KT 12HR VT 07/1200Z 20.8N 113.0W 30 KT 24HR VT 08/0000Z 21.6N 112.1W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 08/1200Z 22.6N 110.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 09/0000Z 24.0N 110.0W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 11:52:17 2003 X-UIDL: 41907-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MJ19H5B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:55:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972uEr9016629 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:56:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967Lh6Z027150; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972jslx069604 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h972jm7S010222 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h972jmhQ010221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070245.h972jmhQ010221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ45 KNHC 070245 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 OLAF CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. THE CUYUTLAN RADAR SHOWS AN EYE FEATURE WITH BANDING. THE EYE HAS BEEN GETTING SMALLER IN THE ANIMATION AND IS THE BASIS FOR INCREASING THE INTENSITY TO 50 KTS. SOME ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 360/3. THE GFS AND GFDL MODELS HAVE NUDGED THEIR FORECAST TRACKS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST WHICH WOULD KEEP THE SYSTEM INLAND AND CREATE A QUICKER DECAY. HOWEVER...A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE LEFT WOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO RE-EMERGE OVER THE PACIFIC WATERS. A LARGE CUTOFF LOW OFF THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA IS DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD...AND THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A BEND IN THE TRACK BACK TO THE RIGHT. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE BUT NUDGED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST AS PER THE GFS AND GFDL GUIDANCE. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0300Z 18.8N 104.5W 50 KT 12HR VT 07/1200Z 19.5N 104.7W 40 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 08/0000Z 20.8N 105.1W 30 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 08/1200Z 22.3N 105.4W 25 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 09/0000Z 24.0N 105.8W 20 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 10/0000Z 27.7N 105.7W DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 11:52:18 2003 X-UIDL: 41908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MPL9JKB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:57:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972vhYj012067 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:57:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOkt025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272317 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972kWlx008240 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h972kQ7S010237 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h972kQwa010236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:46:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Nora Forecast/advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070246.h972kQwa010236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 070246 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0300Z TUE OCT 07 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 113.5W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 113.5W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 113.6W FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.8N 113.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.6N 112.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.6N 110.9W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.0N 110.0W...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 113.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 11:52:18 2003 X-UIDL: 41909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MQB9JVB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:57:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972vrYj012080 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:57:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOkp025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972jjlx051898 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h972jc7S010211 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h972jcJj010210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:45:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070245.h972jcJj010210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 070245 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ..OLAF NEARING COASTLINE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO. OLAF IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH ...6KM/HR... AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL BE INLAND OR VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST LATE THIS EVENING OR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. OLAF CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE CUYULAN RADAR SHOWS A EYE TYPE FEATURE WITH A BANDING PATTERN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 90 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COASTLINE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES .. 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...18.8 N...104.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 12:37:19 2003 X-UIDL: 41918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00M6UD7QB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:16:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h974H0r9025685 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:17:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973wklx025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:58:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272805 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:58:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973wilx051938 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:58:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h973wc7S010983 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:58:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h973wcOq010982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:58:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:58:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070358.h973wcOq010982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 070358 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 07 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 20.4N 113.5W AT 07/0300 UTC MOVING NE AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF IS CENTERED NEAR 18.8N 104.5W AT 07/0300 UTC MOVING N AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 91W N OF 8N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1005 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF LARRY...IS INLAND OF S MEXICO NEAR 18N94W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 22N W OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM NORA... THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH NORA. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... OLAF APPEARS TO BE REORGANIZING WITH STRONG CONVECTION REDEVELOPING AS WELL. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 19N105W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 16N TO 22N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W INCLUDING A PORTION OF THE MEXICAN COAST. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTIONS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N87W 12N98W 12N110W 8N125W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8.5N84W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 5N87W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 84W AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 92W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 60 NM OF 15N FROM 95.5W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 12N FROM 94W TO 99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N91W TO 13N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N87.5W TO INLAND OVER NICARAGUA NEAR 12N87W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 13:35:32 2003 X-UIDL: 41922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MJBEBWB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:40:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h974f4Yj022646 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:41:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973wkmV025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:27:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1273003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h974RClx058012 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h974R67S011384 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h974R6f6011383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:27:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070427.h974R6f6011383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 070427 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON OCT 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED ABOUT 20 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY ARE LOCATED OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM STILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM MAY EMERGE OVER THE PACIFIC ON TUESDAY...WHERE RE-DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 13:55:25 2003 X-UIDL: 41929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MAIHCGB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:45:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h975kEr9034115 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:46:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xor031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:37:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1273978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h975awlx047544 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h975aq7S012151 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h975aqa3012149 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:36:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070536.h975aqa3012149@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/070151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/062251ZOCT2003// NARR/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/ AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT // RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 115.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.5N8 121.3E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.9N2 122.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF SOUTHERN TAIWAN. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME RESTABLISHED OVER A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANALYSIS AT 200 MB REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 062300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 13:55:25 2003 X-UIDL: 41930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MWXHJVB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:50:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h975oeYj029243 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:50:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xp1031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:41:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1274019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:41:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h975ftlx021950 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:41:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h975fn7S012215 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:41:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h975fnWu012214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:41:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:41:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 16a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070541.h975fnWu012214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 070541 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM PDT MON OCT 06 2003 ..OLAF VERY NEAR THE COASTLINE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 11 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH ...6KM/HR... AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL MOVE INLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IMAGES FROM THE CUYUTLAN RADAR SUGGEST THAT OLAF HAS STRENGTHENED AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLAF SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER IT CROSSES THE COAST. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES .. 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM PDT POSITION...19.0 N...104.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 15:54:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MPYNA9B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:54:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h977sUYj041726 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:54:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xqr031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:45:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1275011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h977jelx077184 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h977jY7S013369 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:45:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h977jYNC013368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:45:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 02:45:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070745.h977jYNC013368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 070745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON OCT 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 16:54:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MOUPW6B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:50:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978opYj047075 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:50:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973g55d049646; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:40:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1275231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:39:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978dllx079362 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:39:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h978df7S014059 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:39:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h978de7Z014058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:39:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:39:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070839.h978de7Z014058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 070839 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 NORA HARDLY QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT HAS BEEN DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS. NIGHTIME SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL A LARGE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH THE CENTER FAIRLY EASY TO FIND. 0133 UTC QUIKSCAT AND 0550 UTC ADIOS SCATTEROMETER DATA DETECTED 25 TO 30 KT MAXIMUM WINDS. THEREFORE...NORA IS DOWNGRADED TO A 30 KT TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 055/3. ALL THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE MOVES THE SYSTEM NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE GUNA AND GUNS MODEL CONSENSUS AND IS VERY CLOSE TO PREVIOUS ADVISORY. IF NORA MOVES AS FORECAST...IT WOULD TRACK OVER SLIGHTLY WARMER WATERS. HOWEVER...SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND STABLE AIR SHOULD INHIBIT ANY ATTEMPT TO RE-STRENGTHEN. NORA IS THEREFORE FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM MAY PRODUCE A FEW INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF CONVECTION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 20.6N 113.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 07/1800Z 21.1N 112.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 08/0600Z 21.9N 111.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 08/1800Z 23.1N 110.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 09/0600Z 24.7N 109.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 16:54:45 2003 X-UIDL: 41953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MCBQ1VB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:53:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978sJr9052464 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:54:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XrT031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:42:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1275250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:40:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978eQlx024950 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:40:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h978eK7S014068 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h978eKmD014067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:40:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:40:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Forecast/advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070840.h978eKmD014067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 070840 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0900Z TUE OCT 07 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 113.1W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 113.1W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 113.3W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.1N 112.3W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.9N 111.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.1N 110.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.7N 109.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 113.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 16:57:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MFAQ2NB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:54:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978sfr9052513 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:54:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xrt031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:43:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1275324 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:43:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978hKlx067294 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:43:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h978hE7S014121 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:43:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h978hDiM014120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:43:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:43:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070843.h978hDiM014120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 070843 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 ..OLAF HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR MANZANILLO MEXICO... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED JUST INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER LAND TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES .. 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE TIDES AND WAVES SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH TODAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...19.3 N...104.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 16:57:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MJ9Q3IB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:54:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978tIYj047503 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:55:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Kiqb045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:43:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1275296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:42:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978gYlx036300 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:42:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h978gS7S014109 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:42:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h978gS6F014108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:42:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:42:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070842.h978gS6F014108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 070842 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 0900Z TUE OCT 07 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 104.6W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 104.6W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 104.6W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 20.2N 104.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.5N 105.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.0N 105.5W...INLAND...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 104.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 17:14:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41957-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00M0FQNKB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97978Yj048559 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:07:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XsB031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:56:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1275485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978ullx041860 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:56:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h978uf7S014211 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:56:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h978ufo1014210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:56:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:56:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070856.h978ufo1014210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ45 KNHC 070856 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 CUYUTLAN RADAR IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CENTER CROSSED THE COAST NOT FAR FROM MANZANILLO AROUND 0700 UTC. THE RADAR DATA ALSO SHOWED AN EYEWALL STRUCTURE SO...AFTER REORGANIZING...OLAF WAS CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN UP UNTIL LANDFALL. SINCE THE CENTER IS NOW OVER LAND ..AND EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...WEAKENING SHOULD TAKE PLACE. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...OLAF WILL BE MOVING OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THIS COULD RESULT IN EVEN FASTER WEAKENING THAN INDICATED BY THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. INITIAL MOTION IS A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE NORTH...350/5. OLAF IS BEING STEERED BY THE FLOW BETWEEN A MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW TO THE WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND A RIDGE OVER EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS A LITTLE TO THE WEST OF THE GFS AND MEDIUM BAM TRACK. THE U.K. MET OFFICE MODEL TRACK IS SIGNIFICANTLY FARTHER WEST...AND SHOWS OLAF MOVING BACK OVER WATER IN 24 HOURS. HOWEVER THERE MAY BE A PROBLEM WITH THE VORTEX TRACKER FOR THAT MODEL...AS IT APPEARS TO LOSE OLAF WITHIN 12 HOURS...AND THEN JUMPS TO THE CENTER POSITION OF NEARBY TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/0900Z 19.3N 104.6W 50 KT 12HR VT 07/1800Z 20.2N 104.8W 35 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 08/0600Z 21.5N 105.1W 25 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 08/1800Z 23.0N 105.5W 20 KT...INLAND...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 18:04:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MU5SYLB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:56:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h979uxr9057801 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:57:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xsj031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:45:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1275824 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h979jUlx029054 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h979jO7S014686 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:45:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h979jOUE014685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:45:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:45:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070945.h979jOUE014685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 070945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 10N144W 10N147W HAVE MOVED W 10KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N151W 12N157W HAVE MOVED W 10KT AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N158W 07N161W 09N165W 11N164W HAVE MOVED W 10 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB AND TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10N177W AND CROSSING THE DATELINE THROUGH 05N176E 02N164E 05N152E 08N142E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY EAST OF THE DATELINE AND HAVE DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY EAST OF THE DATELINE. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 24N180 22N176W 22N173W HAVE MOVED W 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 20N176W 19N172W HAVE MOVED W 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S149W 13S143W HAVE MOVED E NE 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FRONT...ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14S178W 17S173W 25S167W HAVE MOVED E NE 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. CONVERGENCE ZONE...NEW ISOLATED CB AND TCU WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 11S180 07S173W 07S170W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 07S164W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 18:14:45 2003 X-UIDL: 41964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MKGTP3B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:12:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97AD1Yj055032 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:13:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967Lh9t027150; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:52:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1275862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:52:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h979qelx036096 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:52:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h979qU7S014739 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h979qUDA014738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:52:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070952.h979qUDA014738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 070952 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 07 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT 07/0900 UTC AND IS CENTERED NEAR 20.6N 113.1W AT 07/0900 UTC MOVING NE AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF IS CENTERED NEAR 19.3N 104.6W AT 07/0900 UTC MOVING N AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE SURFACE. ..A 1005 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF LARRY...IS INLAND OF S MEXICO NEAR 16N93W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0845 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH NORA. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS ARE FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... OLAF APPEARS REMAINS ORGANIZED WITH STRONG CONVECTION ENCIRCLING THE CENTER. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO S OF 20N W OF 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 17.5N TO 22.5N BETWEEN 103.5W AND 107W INCLUDING A PORTION OF THE MEXICAN COAST. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTIONS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N88W 13N94W 13N110W 8N126W 10N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 94W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 100W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 95W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 3.5N78W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 6N80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 7.5N78.5W TO 6.5N82W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N85.5W 11N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 93W TO 96W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 18:44:01 2003 X-UIDL: 41966-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MUSV3UB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:43:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97AhRr9062349 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:43:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Kirp045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:32:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1276065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97AWrlx082620 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:32:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97AWl7S015188 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:32:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97AWl16015186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:32:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:32:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071032.h97AWl16015186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 071032 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE OCT 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM NORA LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED INLAND ABOUT 15 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...AND THESE COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41968-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MQGVJ1B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:52:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97AqXYj058868 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:52:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XtD031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:41:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1276110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:41:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97AfNlx092416 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:41:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97AfH7S015278 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:41:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97AfHrL015277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:41:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:41:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071041.h97AfHrL015277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 071000 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 19.0N0 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 20.2N4 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.5N8 105.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.0N5 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070600Z3 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 104.6W1 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070600Z3 CUYUTLAN RADAR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071600Z4, 072200Z1, 080400Z2, AND 081000Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:42 2003 X-UIDL: 41969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MT6VJXB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:52:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97Ar5Yj058912 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:53:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Kirt045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1276122 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97AhOlx034130 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97AhI7S015309 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97AhIKK015308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 06 Hours. The Warning Position Is Based On 070600z3 Cuyutlan Radar Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071043.h97AhIKK015308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 071000 RRB 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070600Z3 CUYUTLAN RADAR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071600Z4, 072200Z1, 080400Z2, AND 081000Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:43 2003 X-UIDL: 41970-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MUZVKMB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:53:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97ArXr9063125 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:53:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XtH031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1276125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97AhQlx092452 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97AhK7S015314 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97AhKsQ015313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:43:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071043.h97AhKsQ015313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 071000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 19.0N0 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 20.2N4 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.5N8 105.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 23.0N5 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070600Z3 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 104.6W1 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED OVER LAND NEAR MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:43 2003 X-UIDL: 41971-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MFOXQPB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 19:40:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97BeLYj065172 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 19:40:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xtb031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:27:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1276388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97BRSlx087546 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97BRM7S015735 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97BRLwM015734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:27:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 06:27:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 17a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071127.h97BRLwM015734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 071127 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 ..OLAF CONTINUES INLAND... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 5 AM PDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...NORTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER LAND TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 80 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES .. 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ALONG WITH LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES...ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. THESE TIDES AND WAVES SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH TODAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 5 AM PDT POSITION...19.6 N...104.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MLT43NB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:57:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97DvTOi078700 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:57:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753X0V031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 08:45:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1277970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 08:45:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97DjRlx011644 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 08:45:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97DjL7S018156 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 08:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97DjLLp018155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 08:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 08:45:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071345.h97DjLLp018155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 071345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE OCT 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41981-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00M1D5W1B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:36:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97EaIjV085916 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:36:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Kivj045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1278480 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97EQxlx008244 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:26:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97EQr7S019453 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97EQrJT019452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:26:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071426.h97EQrJT019452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 071426 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 ..OLAF WEAKENING AS IT PUSHES INLAND... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...85 KM...NORTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLAF IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES .. 75 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH TODAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MANZANILLO HAS REPORTED NEARLY 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...19.9 N...104.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41982-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MEL63KB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:40:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97EesOi082636 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:40:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Kivp045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:28:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1278512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:28:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97ESalx087506 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97EST7S019528 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97EST55019527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:28:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071428.h97EST55019527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 071428 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 NORA CONTINUES WITHOUT ANY DEEP CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH SCATTEROMETER PASSES...THE MOST RECENT AT 6Z...SUGGEST THAT WINDS REMAIN ABOUT 30 KT. NORA APPEARS TO BE IN A STABLE LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SHEARING OUTFLOW OF OLAF. THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG OR EVEN INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS FROM THE UPPER LOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF NORA. A CONTINUED SPIN DOWN OF THE VORTEX IS THEREFORE EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH NORA MOVING OVER WARMER WATERS THERE COULD BE BRIEF EPISODES OF CONVECTION. NORA IS LIKELY TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW THIS AFTERNOON. NORA HAS BEEN SHOVED SOUTHEASTWARD BY A SURGE OF LOW-LEVEL NORTHWESTERLIES COMING DOWN OFF THE BAJA PENINSULA. ALL GUIDANCE BENDS THE TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH AS THE UPPER-LOW OFF BAJA BUILDS DOWNWARD TO 850 MB OR BELOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY DUE TO THE SOUTHEASTWARD MOTION OVERNIGHT...BUT IS OTHERWISE SIMILAR. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE TRACK OF THE GUNA CONSENSUS BUT AT A SLOWER SPEED...AS MUCH OF THE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TOO QUICK WITH THE NORTHEAST TRACK OVER THE LAST DAY OR TWO. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 20.1N 112.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 08/0000Z 20.1N 111.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 08/1200Z 20.8N 110.3W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 09/0000Z 21.8N 109.3W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 09/1200Z 23.5N 109.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 10/1200Z...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41984-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MMM67NB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:42:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97Eh6jV086572 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:43:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Kivn045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1278498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97ERVlx036224 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97ERP7S019479 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97EROrC019477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Discussion Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071427.h97EROrC019477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ45 KNHC 071427 TCDEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 OLAF IS WEAKENING INLAND...BUT THERE STILL COULD BE SOME TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ALONG THE COAST SO IT IS PRUDENT TO LEAVE THE WARNINGS UP FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. OLAF SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE AND REMAINS THE MAJOR THREAT WITH OLAF. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 350/5. OLAF IS BEING STEERED BY THE FLOW BETWEEN A MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW TO THE WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND A RIDGE OVER EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS ONE...TAKING OLAF FARTHER INLAND. GLOBAL MODELS APPEAR TO BE HAVING SOME DIFFICULTY TRACKING THE CENTER... WHICH SUGGESTS THAT DISSIPATION MAY OCCUR SOONER THAN INDICATED BELOW. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 19.9N 104.6W 35 KT 12HR VT 08/0000Z 20.9N 104.8W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 08/1200Z 22.3N 105.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 09/0000Z 23.8N 105.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:49 2003 X-UIDL: 41985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MUW6B6B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:45:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97EjPjV086756 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:45:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753X2J031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:29:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1278524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:29:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97ETvlx077436 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:29:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97ETp7S019570 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97ETp91019569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:29:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071429.h97ETp91019569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 071429 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 NORA CONTINUES WITHOUT ANY DEEP CONVECTION...ALTHOUGH SCATTEROMETER PASSES...THE MOST RECENT AT 6Z...SUGGEST THAT WINDS REMAIN ABOUT 30 KT. NORA APPEARS TO BE IN A STABLE LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SHEARING OUTFLOW OF OLAF. THE SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG OR EVEN INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS FROM THE UPPER LOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF NORA. A CONTINUED SPIN DOWN OF THE VORTEX IS THEREFORE EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH WITH NORA MOVING OVER WARMER WATERS THERE COULD BE BRIEF EPISODES OF CONVECTION. NORA IS LIKELY TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW THIS AFTERNOON. NORA HAS BEEN SHOVED SOUTHEASTWARD BY A SURGE OF LOW-LEVEL NORTHWESTERLIES COMING DOWN OFF THE BAJA PENINSULA. ALL GUIDANCE BENDS THE TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH AS THE UPPER-LOW OFF BAJA BUILDS DOWNWARD TO 850 MB OR BELOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY DUE TO THE SOUTHEASTWARD MOTION OVERNIGHT...BUT IS OTHERWISE SIMILAR. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS THE TRACK OF THE GUNA CONSENSUS BUT AT A SLOWER SPEED...AS MUCH OF THE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TOO QUICK WITH THE NORTHEAST TRACK OVER THE LAST DAY OR TWO. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/1500Z 20.1N 112.3W 30 KT 12HR VT 08/0000Z 20.1N 111.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 08/1200Z 20.8N 110.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 09/0000Z 21.8N 109.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 09/1200Z 23.5N 109.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:50 2003 X-UIDL: 41986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MW16BLB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:45:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97EjgOi083099 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:45:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753X2P031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:30:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1278535 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97EUHlx077448 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97EUB7S019601 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97EUBId019600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:30:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Forecast/advisory Number 24 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071430.h97EUBId019600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 071429 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 1500Z TUE OCT 07 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 112.3W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 112.3W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 112.6W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.1N 111.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.8N 110.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.8N 109.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.5N 109.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 112.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:50 2003 X-UIDL: 41987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MP46NZB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:52:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97Er1Oi083924 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:53:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753X2D031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1278501 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97ERVlx089090 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97ERP7S019480 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97EROVg019478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071427.h97EROVg019478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 071427 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 1500Z TUE OCT 07 2003 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 104.6W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 40SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 104.6W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 104.6W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.9N 104.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 22.3N 105.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.8N 105.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 104.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:55 2003 X-UIDL: 41993-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MJBBVCB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:45:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GjXOi096536 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:45:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753X7r031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:19:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1280069 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:19:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GJ7lx022346 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:19:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97GJ07S023003 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:19:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97GJ0Ca023002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:19:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:19:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071619.h97GJ0Ca023002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 071618 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 07 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM OLAF CENTER NEAR 19.9N 104.6W OR ABOUT 50 MILES...85 KM...NORTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...AT 07/1500 UTC MOVING NORTH 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. OLAF WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND TODAY...AND IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH TODAY. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS MIGHT CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MANZANILLO HAS REPORTED NEARLY 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA CENTER NEAR 20.1N 112.3W AT 07/1500 UTC MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF T.D. LARRY...NOW IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N95W...DRIFTING SOUTH. ISOLATED CONVECTIVE CELLS WITHIN 50-75 NM OF CENTER FROM EAST TO WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 91W AND 100W. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION IS IN THE ITCZ...AND SOME MIGHT ACCOMPANY THE 92W/93W TROPICAL WAVE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W/93W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 91W AND 100W. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION IS IN THE ITCZ...AND SOME MIGHT ACCOMPANY THIS WAVE. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTHWEST OF 30N119W 16N127W 13N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1530 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... NORA CONTINUES WITHOUT ANY DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 110W AND 116W. TROPICAL STORM OLAF... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN INDIVIDUAL CLUSTERS WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 19N105W 20N106W 22N106W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES IN EARLIER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF OLAF...FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 102W AND 105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTIONS 6N77W 6N87W 12N96W 12N110W 10N120W 7N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-130 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 84W...AND WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 84W AND 91W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00M0QC2PB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:49:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GnxOi096936 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:50:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Ki1n045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:30:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1280321 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GUhlx051184 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:30:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97GUb7S023383 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97GUbGk023380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:30:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071630.h97GUbGk023380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 071600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 19.6N6 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.9N1 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.3N7 105.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 23.8N3 105.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 071200Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.6N6 104.6W1 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED OVER LAND APPROXIMATLY 40NM NORTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070615Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072200Z1, 080400Z2, 081000Z9, AND 081600Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00M7OC74B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:52:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GqcOi097213 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:52:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753X8r031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1280338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GWilx022468 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97GWc7S023467 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97GWcPr023466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 071200z3 Is 16 Feet. Refer To Wwpn31 Knzy For Additional Sea Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071632.h97GWcPr023466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN32 PHNC 071600 RRB 071200Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072200Z1, 080400Z2, 081000Z9, AND 081600Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:56 2003 X-UIDL: 41996-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MIDCCBB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:55:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GtZjV001081 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:55:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753X93031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:36:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1280410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:36:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GaQlx095892 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:36:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97GaJ7S023599 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:36:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97GaJOD023598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:36:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:36:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071636.h97GaJOD023598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 071636 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT TUE OCT 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA LOCATED ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OLAF LOCATED INLAND ABOUT 50 MILES NORTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:57 2003 X-UIDL: 41997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MJWCDEB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:56:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GuPjV001138 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:56:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753X8t031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1280341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GWllx070568 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97GWf7S023475 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97GWfVq023474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:32:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071632.h97GWfVq023474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PHNC 071600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 19.6N6 104.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 104.6W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.9N1 104.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.3N7 105.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 23.8N3 105.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 071200Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.6N6 104.6W1 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED OVER LAND APPROXIMATLY 40NM NORTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070615Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:58 2003 X-UIDL: 41999-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MAQEI8B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:42:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97HgVjV006125 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:42:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XBX031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1281395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97HRdlx022488 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97HRX7S025043 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97HRXg6025042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 18a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071727.h97HRXg6025042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 071727 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 ..OLAF WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION... AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WARNINGS. AT 11 AM PDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...NORTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLAF IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING OVER LAND TODAY...AND THE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO TONIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE DIMINISHING TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. DERIVADORA HAS REPORTED NEARLY 8 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...20.2 N...104.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1001 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:02 2003 X-UIDL: 42007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00M4RJC7B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:26:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97JQtOi012561 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:26:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97F0nLp085522; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1283311 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97JDMlx053824 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97JDG7S028459 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97JDGgV028457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071913.h97JDGgV028457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 071930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/071930Z-080600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/071351ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/071921ZOCT2003// NARR/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/ AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.9N2 122.4E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.3N8 124.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND HAS WEAKENED. THE UPPER LEVELS NOW REFLECT A LESS THAN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INFLUENCING THE POLEWARD SIDE OF 98W. RECENT AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SOUTHWEST OF THE WEAK CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 071930) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/DAMRON/KELSEY/HEATH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:04 2003 X-UIDL: 42010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00M8TJTTB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:37:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97JbVjV019215 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:37:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972KiA9045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1283524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97JQElx030940 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97JQ87S028807 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97JQ8wh028805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071926.h97JQ8wh028805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 071930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/071930Z-080600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/071351ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/071921ZOCT2003// NARR/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/ AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N6 114.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.9N2 122.4E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.3N8 124.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND HAS WEAKENED. THE UPPER LEVELS NOW REFLECT A LESS THAN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INFLUENCING THE POLEWARD SIDE OF 98W. RECENT AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SOUTHWEST OF THE WEAK CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 071930) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/DAMRON/KELSEY/HEATH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:04 2003 X-UIDL: 42011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MVGL2NB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:03:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97K4JjV022171 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:04:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967LhM9027150; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:51:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1284023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:51:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97JpPlx077532 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:51:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97JpJ7S029685 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:51:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97JpJA1029684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:51:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:51:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071951.h97JpJA1029684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 071950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE OCT 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:04 2003 X-UIDL: 42012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MRCM3GB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:26:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KQTjV024631 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:26:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972KiBd045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1284273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KCGlx089240 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97KC57S000540 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97KC5d3000538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072012.h97KC5d3000538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ45 KNHC 072011 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 THE CLOUD SIGNATURE OF OLAF IS STILL FAIRLY WELL ORGANIZED...BUT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS LIKELY BEING DISRUPTED BY THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE TONIGHT. RAINFALL REMAINS THE PRIMARY THREAT...ALTHOUGH THE AREAL COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO DIMINISH. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 20.6N 104.5W 25 KT 12HR VT 08/0600Z 21.6N 104.5W 20 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:05 2003 X-UIDL: 42013-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MZZM9CB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:29:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KU1jV024946 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:30:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XKh031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1284264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KBhlx077332 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97KBa7S000518 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97KBaDp000517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Forecast/advisory Number 25 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072011.h97KBaDp000517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 072010 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 2100Z TUE OCT 07 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 111.2W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 111.2W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 111.6W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N 109.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.6N 108.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.1N 108.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.5N 109.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 111.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:05 2003 X-UIDL: 42014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MCCMG0B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:33:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KXwjV025274 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:34:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XKd031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1284251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KBLlx077566 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97KBF7S000505 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97KBFgc000504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:11:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 25 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072011.h97KBFgc000504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 072010 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 12Z SHOWING 30 KT IN A BROAD AREA SOUTH OF THE CENTER WAS CONFIRMED BY REPORTS FROM A SHIP AND SOCORRO ISLAND AT 18Z. NORA HAS NO DEEP CONVECTION...AND THEREFORE DOES NOT REALLY QUALIFY AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER...IN THE INTEREST OF SAFETY AND POTENTIAL CONTINUITY...I AM GOING TO CONTINUE ADVISORIES FOR THE TIME BEING. NORA IS HEADED FOR WARMER WATERS AND IT IS NOT INCONCEIVABLE THAT IT COULD REGAIN CONVECTION AND TROPICAL STORM STATUS...ALTHOUGH I DO NOT EXPECT THAT TO HAPPEN BECAUSE OF THE SUBSTANTIAL VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. NEITHER THE GFDL NOR THE SHIP MODEL REDEVELOPS NORA...ALTHOUGH NEITHER ONE IS IN A HURRY TO GET RID OF IT EITHER. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 090/9. NORA HAS BEEN MOVING FASTER...AS INDICATED BY THE GUIDANCE WHOSE SPEED I LARGELY DISCOUNTED THIS MORNING. AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO BE FASTER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. NORA IS MOVING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER COLD LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GUNS CONSENSUS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 07/2100Z 20.1N 111.2W 30 KT 12HR VT 08/0600Z 20.5N 109.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 08/1800Z 21.6N 108.2W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 09/0600Z 23.1N 108.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 09/1800Z 24.5N 109.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:06 2003 X-UIDL: 42015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MENMHBB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:34:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KYmOi019199 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:34:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XKj031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1284270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KCBlx077340 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97KC57S000541 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97KC5Y6000539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:12:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072012.h97KC5Y6000539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 072011 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 2100Z TUE OCT 07 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 104.5W AT 07/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 104.5W AT 07/2100Z AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 104.5W FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.6N 104.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 104.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:06 2003 X-UIDL: 42016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MFHMHNB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:34:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KZ2jV025396 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:35:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XKp031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:13:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1284312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:13:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KDglx051940 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:13:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97KDZ7S000607 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:13:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97KDZHY000606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:13:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:13:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072013.h97KDZHY000606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ35 KNHC 072013 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 ..OLAF CONTINUES TO WEAKEN INLAND WHILE RAINS CONTINUE... AT 2 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...EAST OF PUERTO VALLARTA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH ..11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE CIRCULATION OF OLAF DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLAF SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND THE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO TONIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 2 PM PDT POSITION...20.6 N...104.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:11 2003 X-UIDL: 42025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00M16QMUB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:04:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97M4RjV033479 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:04:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XQL031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:55:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1286096 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97LtTlx077172 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97LtN7S003433 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97LtNLc003432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:55:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072155.h97LtNLc003432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 072155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...THROUGH 26N173W 25N180 24N175E NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF 20N178W REFORMING SOUTHWEST 5-10 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED TCU. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 08N175W 08N180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK FRONT...THROUGH 16S120W 13S130W CONTINUES AS A WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 12S147W 08S153W. FRONT MOVING EAST 15 KT. CONVERGENCE ZONE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 140W CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 10S157W 06S172W 08S180. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 50 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. CONVERGENCE ZONE MOVING WEST 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 25S163W 20S169W MOVING EAST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:11 2003 X-UIDL: 42026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME0030MQWG9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:09:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MAFjV034013 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:10:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972KiFV045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:50:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1286017 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97Loilx014938 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:50:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97LoW7S003359 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97LoWjW003358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:50:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072150.h97LoWjW003358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 072150 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 07 OCT 2003 ..CORRECTED TO CHANGE TIME FROM 1605 UTC TO 2205 UTC... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..OLAF HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS NEAR 20.6N 104.5W AT 07/2100 UTC MOVING N 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT GUSTING TO 35 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA CENTER NEAR 20.1N 111.2W AT 07/2100 UTC MOVING E 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF T.D. LARRY...IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N95W...DRIFTING SW. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W/94W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 91W-95W IN ADDITION TO BROAD ROTATION NOTED IN SATELLITE PICTURES. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 32N141W ESE TO 23N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF... HEAVY RAINS AND POTENTIAL FLOODING WITH LIFE-THREATENING MUDSLIDES ARE STILL OCCURRING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DISSIPATING CYCLONE. THE STRONGEST CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST FROM 19N104.5W NNW TO 23N106W WITH RAIN SHOWERS OCCURRING AT LEAST 300 MILES FROM THE COAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... NORA HAS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION BUT REMAINS A COMPACT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A COUPLE OF WIND REPORTS NEAR 30 KT THIS AFTERNOON. A SLOW WEAKENING IS LIKELY DUE TO THE COMPLETE LACK OF CONVECTION AND NORA COULD WEAKEN INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. REMNANT OF T.D. LARRY... THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING HARD TO DISTINGUISH FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND THE ITCZ. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 15N96W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N87W 12N93W 1499W 12N108W 8N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 90W-100W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15N97W 13N106W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 90W AND BETWEEN 106W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG OVER W PANAMA NEAR 8N81W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE EMERGING FROM CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST FROM 10N-15N INTO SE MEXICO. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:12 2003 X-UIDL: 42027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME0039LR3D9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:14:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MEQOi029197 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:14:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XPx031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:47:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1285974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:47:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97Llilx077954 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:47:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97Llc7S003309 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:47:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97LlcGC003308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:47:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:47:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072147.h97LlcGC003308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 072147 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 07 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..OLAF HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS NEAR 20.6N 104.5W AT 07/2100 UTC MOVING N 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT GUSTING TO 35 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA CENTER NEAR 20.1N 111.2W AT 07/2100 UTC MOVING E 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF T.D. LARRY...IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N95W...DRIFTING SW. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W/94W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-15N BETWEEN 91W-95W IN ADDITION TO BROAD ROTATION NOTED IN SATELLITE PICTURES. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 32N141W ESE TO 23N116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF... HEAVY RAINS AND POTENTIAL FLOODING WITH LIFE-THREATENING MUDSLIDES ARE STILL OCCURRING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DISSIPATING CYCLONE. THE STRONGEST CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST FROM 19N104.5W NNW TO 23N106W WITH RAIN SHOWERS OCCURRING AT LEAST 300 MILES FROM THE COAST. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... NORA HAS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION BUT REMAINS A COMPACT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH A COUPLE OF WIND REPORTS NEAR 30 KT THIS AFTERNOON. A SLOW WEAKENING IS LIKELY DUE TO THE COMPLETE LACK OF CONVECTION AND NORA COULD WEAKEN INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. REMNANT OF T.D. LARRY... THIS SYSTEM IS BECOMING HARD TO DISTINGUISH FROM A TROPICAL WAVE AND THE ITCZ. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 15N96W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N87W 12N93W 1499W 12N108W 8N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 90W-100W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15N97W 13N106W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 90W AND BETWEEN 106W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG OVER W PANAMA NEAR 8N81W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE EMERGING FROM CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST FROM 10N-15N INTO SE MEXICO. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 29N. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:12 2003 X-UIDL: 42028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME003ZLRF19S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:21:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MLMOi029930 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:21:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972KiFj045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1286232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97M6Llx055086 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97M6F7S003671 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97M6FMY003670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072206.h97M6FMY003670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 072200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 20.1N3 111.6W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 111.2W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 20.5N7 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 21.6N9 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 23.1N6 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.5N1 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071800Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 111.6W9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071800Z6 MULTISPECRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080400Z2, 081000Z9, 081600Z5 AND 082200Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:13 2003 X-UIDL: 42029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00301RFC9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:21:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MLcjV035223 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:21:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XRP031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:11:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1286480 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:11:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MBAlx034408 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:11:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97MB37S003771 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:11:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97MB3lb003770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:11:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:11:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Significant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072211.h97MB3lb003770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 072200 RRB SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080400Z2, 081000Z9, 081600Z5 AND 082200Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:13 2003 X-UIDL: 42030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME003P9S1A9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:34:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MYiOi030913 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:34:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XRN031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:11:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1286477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:11:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MB6lx036132 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:11:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97MB07S003761 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:11:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97MAxKx003760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:10:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:10:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072210.h97MAxKx003760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 072200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 20.1N3 111.6W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 111.2W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 20.5N7 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 21.6N9 108.2W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 23.1N6 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.5N1 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071800Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 111.6W9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071800Z6 MULTISPECRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:13 2003 X-UIDL: 42031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME003PDS1B9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:34:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MYljV036234 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97F0nkj085522; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1286229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97M6Glx033938 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97M6A7S003666 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97M6Akn003665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:06:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072206.h97M6Akn003665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PHNC 072200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 019 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 15E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 20.3N5 104.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 104.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.6N9 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 071800Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 104.5W0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED OVER LAND APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071800Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:14 2003 X-UIDL: 42032-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00302S999S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:39:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MdZOi031282 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:39:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967LhOX027150; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:10:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1286308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:10:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MAClx030738 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:10:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97MA07S003729 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:10:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97MA0nC003728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:10:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:10:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072210.h97MA0nC003728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PHNC 072200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 019 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 15E 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 20.3N5 104.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 104.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.6N9 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 071800Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 104.5W0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED OVER LAND APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071800Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:14 2003 X-UIDL: 42033-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME003SFSQT9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:49:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97Mo5Oi032308 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 06:50:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XRl031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:22:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1286624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:22:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97MMLlx089114 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:22:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97MMF7S003982 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:22:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97MMFZN003981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:22:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 17:22:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072222.h97MMFZN003981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 072222 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE OCT 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA LOCATED ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF LOCATED INLAND ABOUT 50 MILES EAST OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS CENTERED NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:27 2003 X-UIDL: 42046-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003KU1UE9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:06:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9826RjV056429 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:06:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972KiJZ045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 20:55:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1289039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 20:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h981tglx008416 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 20:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h981ta7S007241 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 20:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h981taZc007240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 20:55:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 20:55:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080155.h981taZc007240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 080155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE OCT 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42047-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003352D79S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:17:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982HmOi054005 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:17:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972KiJb045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1289171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982B1lx092336 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h982At7S007447 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h982At7g007446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080210.h982At7g007446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ45 KNHC 080210 TCDEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 SURFACE DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT OLAF NO LONGER HAS A WELL DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION AND HAS THEREFORE DISSIPATED OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE REMNANTS OF OLAF MOVE MOSTLY NORTHWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 21.3N 103.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATED INLAND +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF0033B2D89S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:17:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982HtOi054016 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:17:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972KiJd045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:12:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1289180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:12:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982Calx047226 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:12:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h982CU7S007476 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:12:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h982CUo8007475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:12:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:12:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080212.h982CUo8007475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ35 KNHC 080212 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 ..OLAF DISSIPATES OVER MEXICO... AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF HAS DISSIPATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.8 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TEPIC IN THE STATE OF NAYARIT MEXICO. THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH ..13 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH OLAF. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...21.3 N...103.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:29 2003 X-UIDL: 42049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF0036J2E99S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:18:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982IXjV057701 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:18:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XXT031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1289168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982B1lx038242 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h982At7S007444 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h982AtlF007443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Forecast/advisory Number 26 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080210.h982AtlF007443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 080210 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0300Z WED OCT 08 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 109.7W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 80 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 109.7W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 110.4W FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.2N 108.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.3N 107.7W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 23.5N 107.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 24.6N 108.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 109.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z FORECASTER KNABB/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:30 2003 X-UIDL: 42050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003CG2FQ9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:19:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982JSjV057802 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:19:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XXV031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1289174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982BZlx092342 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h982BT7S007463 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h982BToW007462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:11:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Olaf Forecast/advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080211.h982BToW007462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ25 KNHC 080211 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152003 0300Z WED OCT 08 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DISSIPATED INLAND NEAR 21.3N 103.8W AT 08/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 103.8W AT 08/0300Z AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 104.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:30 2003 X-UIDL: 42051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003JE2I09S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:20:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982KoOi054328 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:20:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XXR031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1289161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982AZlx033938 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h982AT7S007436 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h982ATOh007435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:10:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 26 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080210.h982ATOh007435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ44 KNHC 080210 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE OCT 07 2003 NORA REMAINS A SHALLOW CIRCULATION WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION. HOWEVER...ADVISORIES WILL CONTINUE SINCE NORA IS CLOSE TO LAND...AND IS MOVING OVER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES EXCEEDING 27 DEGREES CELSIUS. WHILE IT IS POSSIBLE THAT NORA COULD REGAIN CONVECTION OVER EVEN WARMER WATERS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THIS APPEARS UNLIKELY DUE TO STRONG AND PERSISTENT VERTICAL SHEAR. THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS BOTH FORECAST A 25 TO 30 KT SYSTEM FOR TWO TO THREE DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR DISSIPATION IN LESS THAN 24 HOURS...BUT IT RETAINS A REMNANT LOW OUT TO 48 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER...NOW 080/12. AS A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS A LITTLE AHEAD AND TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. NORA IS MOVING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER COLD LOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH A CONSENSUS OF THE GFDL AND NOGAPS MODELS...WHICH TAKES THE REMNANT LOW INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. FORECASTER KNABB/LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0300Z 20.4N 109.7W 30 KT 12HR VT 08/1200Z 21.2N 108.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 09/0000Z 22.3N 107.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 09/1200Z 23.5N 107.8W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 10/0000Z 24.6N 108.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 12:02:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF0033J73G9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:59:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h983xxOi063524 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:00:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XZ7031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:56:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1290042 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:56:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h983uFlx016536 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h983u87S008626 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h983u866008625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:56:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080356.h983u866008625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 080356 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 08 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 20.4N 109.7W AT 08/0300 UTC MOVING E AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF IS CENTERED NEAR 21.3N 103.8W AT 08/0300 UTC MOVING NNE AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W N OF 5N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..THE 1006 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF LARRY...IS NOW A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG 96W N OF 14N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 23N W OF 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... NORA HAS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS COVER THE AREA FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 108W AND 112W. TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF... OLAF IS NOW INLAND OVER W MEXICO STILL PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N93W 12N107W 11N118W 8N126W 8N140W. CLUSTERS SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 113W AND FROM 120W TO 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 84W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA FROM 10N TO 12N. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS A WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 8.5N87W AND N OF 13N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 98W TO 100W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO E OF 103W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 12:12:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003GE7G39S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:07:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9847ejV068787 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:07:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XZF031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:00:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1290111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:00:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9840Elx085570 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:00:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h984087S008701 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:00:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98408vV008700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:00:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:00:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080400.h98408vV008700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 080400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 20.3N5 110.4W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 109.7W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.2N5 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 22.3N7 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.5N0 107.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 24.6N2 108.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080000Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.4N6 109.7W7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080000Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081000Z9, 081600Z5, 082200Z2 AND 090400Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 12:12:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF0031N7N09S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:11:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h984BoOi064756 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:11:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XZH031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1290132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9844Ilx104760 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9844C7S008750 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9844CEN008747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Is 11 Feet. Refer To Wwpn30 Knzy For Additional Sea Height Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080404.h9844CEN008747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 080400 RRB IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081000Z9, 081600Z5, 082200Z2 AND 090400Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 12:22:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42070-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF0032W80D9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:19:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h984JojV069911 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:19:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972KiKl045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1290135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9844Ilx016598 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9844C7S008751 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9844CLo008749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:04:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080404.h9844CLo008749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 080400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 20.3N5 110.4W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 109.7W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 21.2N5 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 22.3N7 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.5N0 107.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 24.6N2 108.3W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080000Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.4N6 109.7W7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080000Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 12:42:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42073-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF0035X8QO9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h984ZYOi067213 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XZt031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:30:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1290397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:30:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h984UOlx049542 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:30:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h984UI7S009040 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h984UIRl009039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 23:30:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080430.h984UIRl009039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 080430 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE OCT 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA LOCATED ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...AND HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF...WHICH HAS DISSIPATED INLAND ABOUT 75 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TEPIC MEXICO. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS CENTERED ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 13:32:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003C1B1D9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 13:24:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h985OsjV075538 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 13:24:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XbN031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1291104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h985Dllx046018 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h985De7S009482 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h985DenP009480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080513.h985DenP009480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/0080600Z-090600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/080151ZOCT2003// AMPN/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N4 115.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 080300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.3N8 124.5E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 14:42:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42084-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003OCEJQ9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 14:40:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h986enjV082531 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 14:40:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XcL031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:38:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1291693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:38:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h986c0lx098540 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:38:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h986bs7S010197 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:37:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h986bsqf010195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:37:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:37:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080637.h986bsqf010195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 080630 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/080630-081800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 4.8S2 85.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEAL A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) IS LOCATED NEAR 5.8S3 62.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 630 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC EAST OF DISORGANIZED AND CYCLIC DEEP CONVECTION. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES A BROAD LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.A.(1) AND 1.A.(2) AS POOR AREAS. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED MANOP AND ADDED PARA 3. 5. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 14:52:14 2003 X-UIDL: 42085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF00364EPJ9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 14:44:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h986iIjV082841 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 14:44:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9854fnB092332; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:38:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1291696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:38:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h986c0lx049494 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:38:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h986bs7S010198 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:37:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h986bseb010196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:37:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 01:37:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080637.h986bseb010196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 080630 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/080630-081800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 4.8S2 85.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEAL A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) IS LOCATED NEAR 5.8S3 62.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 630 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC EAST OF DISORGANIZED AND CYCLIC DEEP CONVECTION. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATES A BROAD LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.A.(1) AND 1.A.(2) AS POOR AREAS. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED MANOP AND ADDED PARA 3. 5. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 15:52:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF0033OHS69S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:50:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h987ooOi087630 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:50:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xcn031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:45:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h987jWlx047184 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:45:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h987jP7S010762 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:45:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h987jPxL010761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:45:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:45:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080745.h987jPxL010761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 080745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE OCT 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 16:32:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42093-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003GDJH29S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:27:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h988RFOi092326 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:27:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9854fnb092332; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:24:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292311 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:24:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h988Nxlx069564 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:24:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h988Nr7S011302 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:23:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h988NrCQ011301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:23:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:23:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 27 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080823.h988NrCQ011301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 080823 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED OCT 08 2003 A PASS FROM THE ADEOS-II SEAWINDS SCATTEROMETER AROUND 0520 UTC SHOWED MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS OF ABOUT 25 KT. THIS IS A REASONABLE ESTIMATE FOR THE CURRENT INTENSITY...SINCE THE MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ABOUT 30 KT 6-12 HOURS AGO AND THE SYSTEM HAS LIKELY BEEN SPINNING DOWN SINCE THAT TIME. EVEN THOUGH THE SST IS AROUND 28 C...THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UNABLE TO GENERATE DEEP CONVECTION...PERHAPS DUE TO A STABLE ATMOSPHERE. THE CIRCULATION SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPIN DOWN...AND DISSIPATE IN A FEW DAYS. NORA IS FORECAST TO MOVE AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF A LARGE LOW CENTERED JUST WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS VERY CLOSE TO THE GUNA CONSENSUS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/0900Z 20.7N 108.7W 25 KT 12HR VT 08/1800Z 21.7N 107.7W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 09/0600Z 23.0N 107.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 09/1800Z 24.1N 107.8W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 10/0600Z 25.0N 108.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 16:32:29 2003 X-UIDL: 42094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003M4JIZ9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:28:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h988SYOi092448 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:28:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XdF031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:22:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:22:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h988MXlx104868 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:22:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h988MR7S011282 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:22:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h988MQnF011281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:22:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:22:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Forecast/advisory Number 27 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080822.h988MQnF011281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 080822 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0900Z WED OCT 08 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 108.7W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 108.7W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 109.2W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N 107.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.0N 107.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.1N 107.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.0N 108.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 108.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 17:52:29 2003 X-UIDL: 42101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003TLMYS9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:42:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989goOi002058 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:42:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xdx031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:38:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292609 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:38:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989cLlx098316 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:38:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h989cE7S012001 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:38:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h989cEQe012000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:38:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:38:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080938.h989cEQe012000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 080938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 08 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 20.7N 108.7W AT 08/0900 UTC MOVING ENE AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W N OF 6N WITH A 1008 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 14N MOVING W 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/ZZZZ UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... NORA HAS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS COVER THE AREA FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 107W AND 111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N87W 7N96W 12N107W 11N121W 8N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 102W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 123W...AND 150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 93W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 87W TO 89W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 14.5N93.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N99.5W TO 12.5N102W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO E OF 103W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 17:52:30 2003 X-UIDL: 42103-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF0034QN2T9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:44:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989jDjV003517 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:45:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xe1031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:39:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:39:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989dVlx104880 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:39:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h989dP7S012013 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:39:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h989dPDj012012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:39:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:39:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...correction Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080939.h989dPDj012012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 080939 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 08 OCT 2003 ..CORRECTION FOR INTERPRETATION TIME... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 20.7N 108.7W AT 08/0900 UTC MOVING ENE AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W N OF 6N WITH A 1008 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 14N MOVING W 10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0845 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... NORA HAS NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MID CLOUDS COVER THE AREA FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 107W AND 111W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N87W 7N96W 12N107W 11N121W 8N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 102W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 123W...AND 150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 93W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 87W TO 89W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N92W TO 14.5N93.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N99.5W TO 12.5N102W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO E OF 103W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 17:52:31 2003 X-UIDL: 42104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF00355N319S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:45:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989jJOi002330 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:45:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xe3031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:40:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:40:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989ehlx098352 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:40:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h989ea7S012027 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:40:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h989eakk012026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:40:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:40:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080940.h989eakk012026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 081000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 20.5N7 109.2W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 109.2W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 21.7N0 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 23.0N5 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.1N7 107.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 25.0N7 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080006Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.5N7 109.2W2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080300Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081600Z5, 082200Z2, 090400Z3 AND 091000Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 17:52:31 2003 X-UIDL: 42105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003QFNAR9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:49:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989o5Oi002846 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:50:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xe9031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292646 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989gmlx022372 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h989gg7S012061 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h989gf5u012059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080942.h989gf5u012059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 081000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 20.5N7 109.2W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 109.2W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 21.7N0 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 23.0N5 107.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 24.1N7 107.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 25.0N7 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080006Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.5N7 109.2W2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080300Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 17:52:32 2003 X-UIDL: 42106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003QRNAT9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:49:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989nxjV003975 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:50:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967LhUN027150; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989gmlx034336 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h989gg7S012062 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h989gfS7012060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:42:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Warning Intensity Is Based On A Satellite Current Intensity Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080942.h989gfS7012060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 081000 RRB WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081600Z5, 082200Z2, 090400Z3 AND 091000Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 17:52:33 2003 X-UIDL: 42107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003TANBR9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:50:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989oZjV004060 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:50:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XeB031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:46:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h989jxlx034344 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h989jq7S012103 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:45:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h989jq5u012102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:45:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:45:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080945.h989jq5u012102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 080945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED TCU. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N140W 10N150W 12N160W 10N165W IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK FRONT...THROUGH 16S120W 13S130W CONTINUES AS A WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 12S140W 11S150W. FRONT MOVING EAST 15 KT. CONVERGENCE ZONE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 140W CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 11S150W 09S160W 07S170W 07S180. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. CONVERGENCE ZONE MOVING WEST 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 25S160W 18S170W MOVING EAST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 20:14:17 2003 X-UIDL: 42114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003HGP8B9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 18:31:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98AVWjV008243 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 18:31:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9854foB092332; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 05:27:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 05:27:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98ARTlx085508 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 05:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98ARN7S012440 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 05:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98ARNwg012439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 05:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 05:27:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081027.h98ARNwg012439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 081027 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED OCT 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA LOCATED ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH OF HUATULCO MEXICO. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:34 2003 X-UIDL: 42120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003J8YPJ9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:56:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98DuVjV028777 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:56:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xjr031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 08:45:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1294588 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 08:45:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98DjRlx008222 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 08:45:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98DjL7S015129 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 08:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98DjLiW015128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 08:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 08:45:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081345.h98DjLiW015128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 081345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED OCT 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:44 2003 X-UIDL: 42127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003PV1519S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:48:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EmljV035983 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:48:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9854fut092332; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1295876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98Ebslx030942 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98Ebl7S016728 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98Eblc0016726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 28 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081437.h98Eblc0016726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 081437 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED OCT 08 2003 NORA HAS DEVELOPED A FEW PACTHES OF DEEP CONVECTION HOWEVER... INITIAL INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED TO 25 KNOTS...MOSTLY BASED OF A SHIP OBSERVATION AND ADIOS SCATTEROMETER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST BUT THE DEPRESSION COULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP INTERMITTENT CONVECTION BEFORE DISSIPATION. DRY AIR IS SURROUNDING THE CYCLONE RESULTING IN A GRADUAL WEAKENING. NORA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND THEN NORTH AROUND A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOW BRINGING A FEW SQUALLS TO PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUERTO VALLARTA TO LOS MOCHIS. FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/1500Z 21.8N 107.6W 25 KT 12HR VT 09/0000Z 23.0N 107.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 09/1200Z 24.0N 107.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 10/0000Z 25.5N 108.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 10/1200Z 27.0N 108.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:44 2003 X-UIDL: 42128-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003N01H89S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:55:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EuLOi035708 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvmf031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1295879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98Ebslx029112 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98Ebl7S016729 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98EblgV016727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:37:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Forecast/advisory Number 28 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081437.h98EblgV016727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 081437 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 1500Z WED OCT 08 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 107.6W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 107.6W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 108.0W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.0N 107.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.0N 107.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N 108.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 27.0N 108.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 107.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:44 2003 X-UIDL: 42129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003762ZV9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 23:28:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98FT1jV040952 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 23:29:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvpP031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:22:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1296648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:22:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98FMBlx041014 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:22:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98FM57S018316 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:22:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98FM598018315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:22:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:22:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081522.h98FM598018315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 081516 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 08 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 21.8N 107.6W AT 08/1500 UTC MOVING NNE AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W N OF 6N WITH A 1007 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 14N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THIS LOW APPEARS TO HAVE COMBINED WITH WHATEVER REMAINED OF LARRY AFTER ITS PASSAGE OVER MEXICO. RADAR FROM PUERTO ANGEL SHOWS THIS CIRCULATION WHICH WILL BE WATCHED FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 94W-99W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1500 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED NEAR NORA THIS MORNING... PROLONGING ITS EXISTENCE. HOWEVER THE CYCLONE IS A WEAK SYSTEM APPROACHING SW MEXICO IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO BE THE BIGGEST THREAT. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N84W 13N90W 13N110W 11N117W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS JUST OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 100 NM OF AXIS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 7N90W 10N98W 12N105W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 105W-123W AND 131W-136W PLUS JUST W OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-8N E OF 82W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:45 2003 X-UIDL: 42133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003N95PY9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:27:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98GRtjV047916 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:27:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9854fxJ092332; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:11:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1297478 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:11:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98GBdlx016562 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:11:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98GBX7S019959 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:11:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98GBXOE019958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:11:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:11:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081611.h98GBXOE019958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 081611 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA LOCATED ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS IS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM HUATULCO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:47 2003 X-UIDL: 42139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003T099L9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 01:44:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98HiYOi056404 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 01:44:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvvf031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1298913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98HZjlx048808 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98HZc7S022643 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98HZcWU022641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081735.h98HZcWU022641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800-091800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.8S2 85.9E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.3S8 85.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL CONTINUED DISORGANIZED CONVECTION AROUND AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) NEAR 5.8S3 62.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.8S3 61.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL WEAKENED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/DAMRON/KLINZMANN/CHITWOOD/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:48 2003 X-UIDL: 42140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003TC99R9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 01:44:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98HiOjV057621 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 01:44:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9854f2Z092332; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1298916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98HZjlx055204 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98HZc7S022642 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98HZcFG022640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 12:35:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081735.h98HZcFG022640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800-091800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.8S2 85.9E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.3S8 85.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL CONTINUED DISORGANIZED CONVECTION AROUND AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FORMER TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) NEAR 5.8S3 62.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.8S3 61.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL WEAKENED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/DAMRON/KLINZMANN/CHITWOOD/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:58 2003 X-UIDL: 42150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003LUFUR9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:06:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98K6ojV074373 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:06:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPv53031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 14:50:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1300859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 14:50:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98JoLlx104722 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 14:50:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98JoF7S026966 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 14:50:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98JoFIV026965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 14:50:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 14:50:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081950.h98JoFIV026965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 081950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED OCT 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:59 2003 X-UIDL: 42152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003V2HN49S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98KjOOi076701 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPv7F031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1301682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98KZRlx036466 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98KZK7S028453 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98KZKff028451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 29 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310082035.h98KZKff028451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 082035 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED OCT 08 2003 THERE WAS A LITTLE BIT OF A SURPRISE TODAY. UNEXPECTELY...NORA HAS DEVELOPED A FEW CURVED BAND OF CONVECTION INDICATING THAT THE CYCLONE HAS NOT DISSIPATED YET. SURFACE DATA SUGGEST THAT THE WINDS REMAIN AT 25 KNOTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE THE CENTER MOVES INLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY AND THE CYCLONE BEGIN TO WEAKEN. NORA CONTINUES TO MOVE ABOUT 020 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS AROUND THE CIRCULATION OF AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. ON THIS TRACK THE DEPRESSION WILL BRING SQUALLS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN MAZATLAN AND LOS MOCHIS. ` FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 08/2100Z 22.8N 107.0W 25 KT 12HR VT 09/0600Z 24.3N 107.4W 25 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 09/1800Z 26.0N 108.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 10/0600Z 27.5N 109.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:59 2003 X-UIDL: 42153-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG0034XHTT9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:49:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98KnRjV078959 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:49:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98KTcnN034544; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1301685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98KZRlx058094 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98KZK7S028454 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98KZKwS028452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:35:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Forecast/advisory Number 29 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310082035.h98KZKwS028452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 082035 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 2100Z WED OCT 08 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 107.0W AT 08/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 107.0W AT 08/2100Z AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 107.2W FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.3N 107.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 26.0N 108.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.5N 109.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 107.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:27:01 2003 X-UIDL: 42157-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG0036TKO49S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 05:50:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98LopjV084854 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 05:50:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvAF031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:40:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1302694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:40:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98LeBlx021780 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:40:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98Le57S000194 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:40:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98Le5Xj000193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:40:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:40:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310082140.h98Le5Xj000193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 082200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 22.3N7 107.2W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 107.2W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 24.3N9 107.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 26.0N8 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 081800Z7 POSITION NEAR 22.3N7 107.2W0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081800Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 07 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090400Z3, 091000Z0 AND 091600Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:27:01 2003 X-UIDL: 42158-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG0031LL949S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 06:03:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98M3SOi083772 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 06:03:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvAD031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:36:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1302668 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:36:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98Laklx040220 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:36:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98Lae7S000110 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:36:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98LaeP4000109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:36:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:36:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310082136.h98LaeP4000109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 082136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 08 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA CENTERED 40 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO NEAR 22.8N 107.0W AT 08/2100 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/1800 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 15N95W JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC WITH NEARLY STATIONARY MOVEMENT. RADAR IMAGERY FROM PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO SHOWS A RAGGED CENTER OF CIRCULATION OFFSHORE...BUT SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE MAJORITY OF THE CONVECTION IS TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 95W-100W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W/82W NORTH OF 4N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..BROAD HIGH PRES NORTH OF 10N AND WEST OF 110W WITH A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 30N138W TO 16N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... THE TSTMS THAT DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER OF NORA EARLIER IN THE DAY HAVE BEGUN TO DISSIPATE AS VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE OVERSHOOTING TOPS HAVE ALL COLLAPSED. LIGHTER SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARDS THE MEXICAN COAST BUT THE COLD CLOUD TOPS NOTED IN INFRARED IMAGERY ARE DUE MOSTLY TO HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 21N-24N BETWEEN 106W-109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 11N104W 12N117W 8N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 105W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-121W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 134W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NORTH OF 10N BETWEEN 88W-96W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:27:02 2003 X-UIDL: 42159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG00349LB89S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 06:04:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98M4kOi083863 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 06:04:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvAp031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:55:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1302986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98LtSlx030778 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:55:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98LtM7S000614 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:55:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98LtMFw000613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:55:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:55:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310082155.h98LtMFw000613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 082155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 5 NM OF LINE 13N159W 12N155W 10N152W MOVED WEST 5-10 AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35 NM OF LINE 09N147W 08N141W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND REMAIN SPARSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35 NM OF LINE 19N178W 18N175W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW...NEAR 16S163W MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB WIHTIN 60 NM OF POINT 18S160W INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG LINE 14S161W 10S167W 05S180 MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST 5 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE EAST OF 171W. ISOLATED CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE WEST OF 171W CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG LINE 15S120W 13S127W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS WITHIN 50 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:27:02 2003 X-UIDL: 42161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG006KPO5CQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 07:05:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98N60jV091257 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 07:06:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvD9031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:52:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1303674 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:52:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98Mqtlx049290 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:52:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98Mqn7S001776 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:52:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98Mqn97001775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:52:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 17:52:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310082252.h98Mqn97001775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 082252 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED OCT 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS NOW CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HUATULCO MEXICO. WHILE THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS IS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM HUATULCO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:27:08 2003 X-UIDL: 42177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG006ELW3SQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:57:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h991vrOi006115 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:57:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvIN031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 20:50:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1305540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 20:50:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h991ohlx051028 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 20:50:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h991ob7S003911 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 20:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h991obxL003910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 20:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 20:50:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090150.h991obxL003910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 090150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED OCT 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:03 2003 X-UIDL: 42183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG00636Y6TQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:42:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h992gsjV012286 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:42:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvIv031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:33:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1305879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:33:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h992Xblx045326 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:33:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h992XU7S004426 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:33:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h992XUKR004425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:33:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:33:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Forecast/advisory Number 30 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090233.h992XUKR004425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 090233 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0300Z THU OCT 09 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 106.8W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 106.8W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 106.9W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N 106.9W...INLAND DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.5N 108.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N 106.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:08 2003 X-UIDL: 42184-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG006A4Y8PQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:43:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h992i3jV012418 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:44:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvIx031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:34:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1305888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h992Y8lx045342 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h992Y17S004437 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:34:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h992Y1FW004436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:34:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:34:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 30 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090234.h992Y1FW004436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 090233 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED OCT 08 2003 NORA IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO GENERATE BURSTS OF CONVECTION EAST OF THE CENTER...AND MAZATLAN HAS REPORTED 24 KT SUSTIANED WINDS WITH A GUST TO 34 KT IN THE CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 25 KT BASED ON THIS AND SATELLITE INTENSITY INTENSITY ESTIMATES. NORA SHOULD WEAKEN OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MEXICO AFTER LANDFALL AND DISSIPATED WITHIN 24-36 HR. BEFORE THIS HAPPENS...SQUALLS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN MAZATLAN AND LOS MOCHIS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 025/10. A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR 26N115W IS STEERING NORA INTO MEXICO....WITH GUIDANCE SUGGESTING THAT NORA WILL TURN NORTH AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST BETWEEN LANDFALL AND DISSIPATION. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE TRACK FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0300Z 23.6N 106.8W 25 KT 12HR VT 09/1200Z 25.0N 106.9W 20 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING 24HR VT 10/0000Z 26.5N 108.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:12 2003 X-UIDL: 42192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH006WG18EQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 11:48:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h993mdOi019656 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 11:48:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvKV031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:42:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1306707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:42:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h993galx047550 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:42:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h993gU7S005044 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:42:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h993gTgC005043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:42:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:42:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090342.h993gTgC005043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 090400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 23.1N6 106.9W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N6 106.9W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.0N7 106.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.5N3 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090000Z9 POSITION NEAR 23.1N6 106.9W6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM WEST OF MAZATLAN, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090000Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 07 FEET. REFER TO WWPWN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091000Z0, 091600Z6 AND 092200Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:12 2003 X-UIDL: 42194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH0061L1Y9QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:03:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9944BOi021107 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:04:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvKt031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:56:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1306864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:56:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h993uNlx051038 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:56:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h993uH7S005155 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:56:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h993uGJk005154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:56:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:56:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090356.h993uGJk005154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 090356 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 08 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 23.6N 106.8W AT 09/0300 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/0000 UTC... ..A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N95W JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC WITH NEARLY STATIONARY MOVEMENT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W N OF 4N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0315 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... NORA IS MOVING INLAND OVER W MEXICO AND SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES THE MOUNTAINS. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS MOVING INLAND OVER W MEXICO FROM 22N TO 23.5N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF W MEXICO FROM 23.5N TO 25N. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N83W 11N95W 12N118W 8N129W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 83W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 99W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N95.5W TO 14N98W AND N OF 15N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO FROM 98W TO 100W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 5N E OF 103W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO...CENTRAL AMERICA...AND COLOMBIA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:13 2003 X-UIDL: 42196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH0063A2W1QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h994OOOi023229 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvLJ031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 23:17:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1307128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 23:17:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h994Hwlx094996 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 23:17:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h994Hp7S005392 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 23:17:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h994HpSj005391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 23:17:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 23:17:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090417.h994HpSj005391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 090417 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED OCT 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA...WHICH IS MOVING INLAND NEAR MAZATLAN MEXICO. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH OF HUATULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZAED...AND CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO FROM HUATULCO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH006KT6W4QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 13:50:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h995omjV031328 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 13:50:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvOD031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:36:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1308379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:36:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h995a0lx037468 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:36:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h995Zr7S006126 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:35:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h995ZrwD006124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:35:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:35:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090535.h995ZrwD006124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z-100600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090151ZOCT2003// AMPN/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED AND EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AND A 082220Z4 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A 25 KNOT SYSTEM. RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A 200 MB RIDGE IS STARTING TO IMPACT THE SYSTEM WITH CONVERGENT FLOW. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:17 2003 X-UIDL: 42210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH006GBCIPQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:52:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h997qPjV043993 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:52:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvQ3031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 02:45:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1309308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 02:45:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h997jVlx037560 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 02:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h997jP7S007109 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 02:45:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h997jPWt007108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 02:45:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 02:45:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090745.h997jPWt007108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 090745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED OCT 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH006O3ED4QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:31:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h998WIjV048270 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:32:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvQN031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:26:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1309503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:26:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h998QLlx057954 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:26:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h998QF7S007641 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:26:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h998QFT1007640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:26:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:26:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Forecast/advisory Number 31 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090826.h998QFT1007640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ24 KNHC 090825 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003 0900Z THU OCT 09 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 106.7W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT...DISSIPATING WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 106.7W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 106.7W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.3N 107.3W...INLAND...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.0N 109.0W...INLAND...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 106.7W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON NORA. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:21 2003 X-UIDL: 42214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH006UJEFGQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:33:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h998XhOi047894 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:33:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvQP031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1309515 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h998SGlx047510 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h998SA7S007664 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h998SAkb007663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Nora Discussion Number 31 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090828.h998SAkb007663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ44 KNHC 090827 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU OCT 09 2003 THE CENTER CROSSED THE COAST NOT FAR FROM MAZATLAN SEVERAL HOURS AGO...AND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOW DISSIPATING OVER LAND. NORA'S REMNANTS COULD PRODUCE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 015/08. A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW JUST WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD STEER NORA'S WEAKENING REMNANT LOW NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON NORA. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 09/0900Z 24.2N 106.7W 20 KT...INLAND...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 09/1800Z 25.3N 107.3W 20 KT...INLAND...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 10/0600Z 27.0N 109.0W 20 KT...INLAND...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 10/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:26 2003 X-UIDL: 42223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH008TMHY4IA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:49:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h999nfOi057642 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:49:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvRV031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1310112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h999jIlx029182 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h999jB7S008295 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h999jB2W008294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090945.h999jB2W008294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 091000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 23.8N3 106.7W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N3 106.7W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 25.3N0 107.3W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 27.0N9 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090600Z5 POSITION NEAR 23.8N3 106.7W4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAZATLAN, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090600Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:27 2003 X-UIDL: 42224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH008XVI1CIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:51:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h999pbOi057825 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:51:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvRX031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1310116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h999jglx019238 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h999ja7S008301 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h999jabp008300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:45:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090945.h999jabp008300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 090945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0000 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N140W 09N150W 11N160W 12N165W MOVED WEST 5-10 AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW NEAR 18S157W WITH ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE. SYSTEM NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG LINE 16S160W 10S165W 05S180 MOVING WEST SOUTHWEST 5 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE EAST OF 170W. ISOLATED CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE WEST OF 170W CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG LINE 15S120W 12S130W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS WITHIN 50 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:27 2003 X-UIDL: 42225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH0086QI7SIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:55:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h999tSOi058278 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:55:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvRZ031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:50:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1310146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:50:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h999oalx095872 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h999oU7S008335 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h999oTJX008334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:50:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:50:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090950.h999oTJX008334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 090950 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 08 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA IS CENTERED NEAR 24.2N 106.7W AT 09/0900 UTC MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/0600 UTC... ..A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N96W JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC WITH NEARLY STATIONARY MOVEMENT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 84W/85W N OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0915 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA... NORA IS NOW INLAND OVER W MEXICO AND IS DISSIPATING. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN INLAND OVER MEXICO. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N88W 12N96W 12N113W 9N128W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 89W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N97.5W AND ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 12.6N88.5W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC 93W TO 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 7.5N79.5W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA NEAR 6.5N77W...WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 5N...AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N80.5W TO THE COAST OF S COLOMBIA NEAR 2N79W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 7N TO INLAND OVER MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 80W TO 93W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:27 2003 X-UIDL: 42226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH006LCJ9FQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 18:17:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99AI0Oi060495 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 18:18:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvRb031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 05:13:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1310248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 05:13:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99ADGlx077972 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 05:13:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99AD97S008514 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 05:13:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99AD97V008513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 05:13:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 05:13:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091013.h99AD97V008513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 091012 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA...WHICH IS DISSIPATING OVER LAND ABOUT 75 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH OF HUATULCO MEXICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE LESS FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION... HOWEVER SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE SYSTEM COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO FROM HUATULCO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:33:38 2003 X-UIDL: 42239-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH0061UTBKQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:54:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99DtHjV082305 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:55:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvVx031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 08:45:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1311996 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 08:45:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99Djhlx057896 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 08:45:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99Dja7S011176 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 08:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99DjaUt011175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 08:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 08:45:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091345.h99DjaUt011175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 091345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU OCT 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A DISTURBED AREA SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII NEAR 07N 145W IS BEING WATCHED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:33:51 2003 X-UIDL: 42247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH008HEYCWIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 23:43:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99FiAjV094808 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 23:44:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvad031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:35:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1313518 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99FZVlx059846 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:35:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99FZJ7S015081 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:35:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99FZJVu015080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:35:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:35:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091535.h99FZJVu015080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 091535 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 08 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1005 MB LOW NEAR 15N96W IS NOW A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE DRIFTING WESTWARD. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/1200 UTC... ..LOW S OF PUERTO ANGEL IS NOW A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE COVERED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 85W/86W N OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. IT IS VIRTUALLY INDISTINGUISHABLE FROM THE ITCZ WHICH HAS ADVANCED FAR TO THE N NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS N OF 5N. ..ILL-DEFINED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 19N127W 31N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1500 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N96W... SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION S OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO... A COMBINATION OF THE REMNANTS OF LARRY AND A TROPICAL WAVE. CONVECTION IS QUITE STRONG IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE BUT NON-EXISTENT IN THE E DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG ELY SHEAR. SOME TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS POSSIBLE. SEE MIATWOEP FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 96.5W-100W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W THEN JUST OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA BY 30-60 MILES TO 13N91W 12N115W 8N140W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 7N78W AND 4N78W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 10N E OF 90W OVER WATER. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N91.5W. THERE IS VIRTUALLY NO DEEP CONVECTION W OF 105W SAVE A FEW SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE ITCZ FROM 110W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AND TEHUANTEPEC. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:33:52 2003 X-UIDL: 42248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH008J4YE4IA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 23:44:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99FitOi096890 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 23:44:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvaf031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:36:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1313521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99FaOlx070590 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:36:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99FaI7S015122 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:36:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99FaIvf015121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:36:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:36:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091536.h99FaIvf015121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 091536 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 09 OCT 2003 ..CORRECTED FOR DAY OF THE MONTH... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1005 MB LOW NEAR 15N96W IS NOW A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE DRIFTING WESTWARD. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/1200 UTC... ..LOW S OF PUERTO ANGEL IS NOW A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE COVERED IN THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 85W/86W N OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. IT IS VIRTUALLY INDISTINGUISHABLE FROM THE ITCZ WHICH HAS ADVANCED FAR TO THE N NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS N OF 5N. ..ILL-DEFINED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 19N127W 31N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1500 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N96W... SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION S OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO... A COMBINATION OF THE REMNANTS OF LARRY AND A TROPICAL WAVE. CONVECTION IS QUITE STRONG IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE BUT NON-EXISTENT IN THE E DUE TO MODERATE TO STRONG ELY SHEAR. SOME TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS POSSIBLE. SEE MIATWOEP FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 96.5W-100W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W THEN JUST OFFSHORE OF CENTRAL AMERICA BY 30-60 MILES TO 13N91W 12N115W 8N140W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 7N78W AND 4N78W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 10N E OF 90W OVER WATER. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N91.5W. THERE IS VIRTUALLY NO DEEP CONVECTION W OF 105W SAVE A FEW SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE ITCZ FROM 110W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AND TEHUANTEPEC. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:33:55 2003 X-UIDL: 42255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI008LC22PIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 01:04:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99H4QOi006228 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 01:04:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPven031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 11:56:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1314809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 11:56:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99GuRlx085604 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 11:56:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99GuL7S017869 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 11:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99GuLOj017868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 11:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 11:56:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091656.h99GuLOj017868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 091656 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA HAS DISSIPATED INLAND NEAR CULIACAN MEXICO. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF FROMER ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS CENTERED ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IF THE CENTER REMAINS OFFSHORE. EVEN IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES NOT DEVELOP...THE SYSTEM COULD STILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO FROM HUATULCO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:33:55 2003 X-UIDL: 42257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI008PJ377IA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 01:28:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99HSfjV006550 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 01:28:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvgH031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1315277 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99HO7lx043880 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99HO17S018726 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99HO10v018723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091724.h99HO10v018723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800-101800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.8S2 85.9E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.8S3 61.8E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0S6 60.7E3, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED OVER 250 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATE AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/CHITWOOD/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:33:56 2003 X-UIDL: 42258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI008IA45JIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 01:48:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99HnIOi011201 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 01:49:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99AR1uh092208; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1315280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99HO8lx011570 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99HO17S018727 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99HO1Nm018724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 12:24:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091724.h99HO1Nm018724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800-101800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.8S2 85.9E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.8S3 61.8E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0S6 60.7E3, IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED OVER 250 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATE AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/CHITWOOD/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:33:59 2003 X-UIDL: 42263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI008NI67GIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 02:33:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99IXbjV013020 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 02:33:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvid031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 13:12:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1316009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 13:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99ICelx079458 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 13:12:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99ICY7S020255 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 13:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99ICYsB020254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 13:12:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 13:12:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091812.h99ICYsB020254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PHNC 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 091752ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.9N4 95.9W3 TO 16.4N1 101.5W7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MICROWAVE IM AGERY AT 091200Z2 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 96.5W0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 101200Z4. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 96.7W2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 97.2W8, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ANGEL, MEXICO. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). NEW VISIBLE AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 101800Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:04 2003 X-UIDL: 42267-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI006QBA4TQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:58:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JwUOi027850 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:58:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99AR10x092208; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 14:50:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1317741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 14:50:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JoTlx017460 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 14:50:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99JoM7S023269 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 14:50:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99JoMxB023268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 14:50:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 14:50:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091950.h99JoMxB023268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 091950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU OCT 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A DISTURBED AREA SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII NEAR 08N 144W IS BEING WATCHED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:07 2003 X-UIDL: 42276-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI006MMFMHQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 05:56:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99Lv1jV037574 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 05:57:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNFuT031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:46:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1319875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99LkHlx049438 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:46:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99Lk77S026461 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:46:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99Lk7TJ026460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:46:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:46:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310092146.h99Lk7TJ026460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 092145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09N149W TO 08N144W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 09N156W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N166W 15N164W 10N159W 10N163W 12N169W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 16N168E 15N175E 10N169W 03N178W 04N176E 14N168E. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 08N176W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09N178W TO 09N177W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 21N162W. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE EQUATOR BOUNDED BY 03N167W 01S169W 02S174W 02N173W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 19S160W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09S162W TO 16S157W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S172W 10S169W 10S175W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07S179W TO 08S178W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:07 2003 X-UIDL: 42277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI006UOFVQQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 06:02:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99M2cOi040707 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 06:02:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNFud031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:50:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1319915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99Lo8lx065694 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:50:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99Lo17S026556 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:50:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99Lo1h1026555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:50:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:50:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310092150.h99Lo1h1026555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 092150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 08 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTERED 50 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO NEAR 15N97W AT 09/1800 UTC DRIFTING WEST. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W NORTH OF 6N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. DISSIPATING SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE LOCATED TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF HONDURAS AND COSTA RICA...AND OTHERWISE THE WAVE IS RATHER WEAK. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 85W-92W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES NORTH OF 18N AND WEST OF 120W WITH A 1029 PARENT HIGH CENTERED NW OF THE AREA NEAR 37N146W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2115 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N97W... HEAVY SHOWERS AND TSTMS CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST PARALLEL TO THE MEXICAN COAST. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SEVERAL LOW-LEVEL SWIRLS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION...ALL ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER. TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS IF THE CENTER REMAINS OFFSHORE. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13.5N-18N BETWEEN 97W-101W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N85W 12N110W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 84W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 100 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-103W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA IS PRODUCING ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 26N-32N BETWEEN 112W-117W INCLUDING PARTS OF THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:09 2003 X-UIDL: 42279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI008GGIMUIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 07:01:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99N27Oi046163 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 07:02:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNFw5031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:44:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1320600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:44:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99Mi3lx059744 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:44:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99Mhv7S027497 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:43:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99Mhvre027496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:43:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 17:43:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310092243.h99Mhvre027496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 092243 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF FROMER ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS CENTERED ABOUT 35 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO. WHILE THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF A CIRCULATION...MARGINAL UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND PROXIMITY TO LAND ARE CURRENTLY HINDERING DEVELOPMENT. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IF THE CENTER REMAINS OFFSHORE. EVEN IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES NOT DEVELOP...THE SYSTEM COULD STILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO FROM HUATULCO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:12 2003 X-UIDL: 42284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI008X7QP1IA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 09:55:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A1uEjV060140 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 09:56:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNF3f031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 20:50:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1322674 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 20:50:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A1oWlx101758 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 20:50:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A1oP7S029624 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 20:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A1oPYJ029623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 20:50:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 20:50:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100150.h9A1oPYJ029623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 100150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU OCT 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A DISTURBED AREA SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII NEAR 09N 148W IS BEING WATCHED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:18 2003 X-UIDL: 42298-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00A5I12KOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 13:39:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A5eLOi089549 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 13:40:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNF7t031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:33:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1325259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:33:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A5Xrlx095818 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:33:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A5Xl7S001033 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A5Xljo001032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:33:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:33:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100533.h9A5Xljo001032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPZ20 KNHC 100432 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF FROMER ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY...IS CENTERED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN HUATULCO AND ACAPULCO. WHILE THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME SOMEWHAT LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IF THE CENTER REMAINS OFFSHORE. EVEN IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES NOT DEVELOP...THE SYSTEM COULD STILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO FROM HUATULCO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42303-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ008J31Z7IA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 13:59:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A5xwOi091607 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 14:00:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99FALBN008332; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1325399 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A5oSlx040372 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A5oL7S001348 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A5oLbK001344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100550.h9A5oLbK001344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z-110600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/100151ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00A6Z1ZAOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 13:59:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A602jV086398 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 14:00:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99AR1Bp092208; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1325405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A5oTlx043898 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A5oL7S001351 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A5oLkJ001347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100550.h9A5oLkJ001347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 100300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26.1N9 130.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 120NM EAST OF OKINAWA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 03 HOURS. SYNOPTIC AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM WITH A WELL-DEVELOPED MID LEVEL CIRCULATION UNDERNEATH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS ALSO REVEALS THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS DECOUPLED TO THE SOUTH OF THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND CONVECTION. THESE FEATURES INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY EXTRA-TROPICAL. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT IF THE SYSTEM PERSISTS, IT MAY TAKE ON TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS FOR THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 35 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH GALE WINDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 16:03:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ0080B7MFIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:01:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A81qjV098402 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:01:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNF9F031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 02:55:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1326257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 02:55:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A7tLlx065790 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 02:55:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A7tF7S002519 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 02:55:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A7tFmS002518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 02:55:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 02:55:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100755.h9A7tFmS002518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 100755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU OCT 9 2003 AN AREA OF CONVECTION THAT HAD BEEN ACTIVE ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII HAS WEAKENED. HOWEVER...THE AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 17:53:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00AYACLWOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 17:49:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A9nYjV012113 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 17:49:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNF9t031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:39:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1326600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:39:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A9dmlx095754 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:39:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A9df7S003774 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:39:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A9dfcL003773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:39:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:39:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100939.h9A9dfcL003773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 100939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 10 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 89W N OF 6N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N101W. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N87W 8N100W 11N106W 11N121W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 82W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N88W 13N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 99W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 7N ACROSS PANAMA FROM 78W TO 90W AND OFF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N85W TO 11N86W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 18:03:50 2003 X-UIDL: 42320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00AOPD71OS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 18:01:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AA2DOi020800 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 18:02:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNFA7031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:55:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1326687 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A9tolx077898 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A9th7S003888 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A9thkU003887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:55:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100955.h9A9thkU003887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 100955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0825 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 14N174W 07N173W 04N176E 10N173E 13N175E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY ..INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 05N170W 03N171W 01N173W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 14N171W 14N165W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N158W 08N152W 05N157W 05N161W 07N164W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 12N150W 09N148W 09N146W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 03S167E 06S177W 09S173W 10S179W 07S176E 11S176E 12S171E 05S166E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CZ/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 17S154W 22S146W 25S146W 25S158W 22S160W 18S160W 17S157W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 18:14:11 2003 X-UIDL: 42322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00AXZDL9OS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 18:10:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AAAljV015113 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 18:10:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNFAD031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 05:01:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1326732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 05:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AA1Llx077970 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 05:01:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9AA1F7S003999 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 05:01:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9AA1Fad003998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 05:01:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 05:01:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310101001.h9AA1Fad003998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 101001 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF FORMER ATLANTIC TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY HAVE DIMINISHED. ONLY DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT LONGER ANTICIPATED. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 22:03:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00AUOO8TOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:00:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AE0sOi044971 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:00:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99AR1IZ092208; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:55:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1328914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ADtmlx055060 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ADtg7S007124 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ADtfUo007123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:55:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:55:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310101355.h9ADtfUo007123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 101355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI OCT 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 22:23:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42348-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00AX1OVNOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:14:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AEEYjV038731 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:14:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99AR1Fx092208; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:52:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1328401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:43:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ADhBlx049650 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:43:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ADh47S006715 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:43:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ADh4j2006713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:43:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:43:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310101343.h9ADh4j2006713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 101200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/101200Z-110600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/100151ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N4 114.6E2, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 100900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26.1N9 130.1E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.1N9 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 170NM EAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IN THE SYSTEMS SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS BEING SHEARED AND DECOUPLED FROM A WELL ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT EXTRA-TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IF THE SYSTEM PERSISTS, IT MAY BECOME A TROPICAL SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS FOR THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 35 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH GALE WINDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: FINAL TD 18W AND UPDATE PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 00:23:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00AFQUGIOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:14:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AGF7Oi059418 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:15:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNFKV031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:01:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1330523 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:01:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AG15lx011488 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:01:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9AG0w7S011285 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:00:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9AG0w0S011284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:00:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:00:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310101600.h9AG0w0S011284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 101600 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 10 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/1200 UTC... ..1005 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF T.D. LARRY... NEAR 16N101W...DRIFTING NORTHWEST. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 9N98W 11N106W 110N130W 8N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE EMBEDDED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 107W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED CONVECTION SOUTH OF PANAMA EAST OF 80W...AND FROM 7N TO 12N BETWEEN PANAMA/COSTA RICA AND 90W. ALL THIS CONVECTION IS TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CENTER IN THE SW CARIBBEAN SEA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 00:43:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00AJOVJNOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:38:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AGcbjV054749 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:38:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A9WLU1022426; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:27:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1330927 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AGR6lx045992 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9AGQx7S011998 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:26:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9AGQxj3011997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:26:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:26:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310101626.h9AGQxj3011997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 101626 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 01:03:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42359-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00A4KWHAOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:58:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AGwhOi063794 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:58:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99AR1MB092208; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1331460 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AGsNlx053962 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9AGsG7S012790 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9AGsGvv012788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310101654.h9AGsGvv012788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800-111800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0S6 60.7E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 5.7S2 79.8E4, 470 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER A WEAK BUT SYMMETRICAL LLCC. A RECENT 101426Z4 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. ANALYSIS AT 200 MB SHOWS GOOD DIFFLUENCE BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 01:03:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42360-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00A7ZWIHOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:59:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AGxVOi063891 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:59:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNFOT031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1331457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AGsNlx087368 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9AGsG7S012789 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9AGsGc3012787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 11:54:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310101654.h9AGsGc3012787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800-111800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (ABAIMBA) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0S6 60.7E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 5.7S2 79.8E4, 470 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER A WEAK BUT SYMMETRICAL LLCC. A RECENT 101426Z4 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED. ANALYSIS AT 200 MB SHOWS GOOD DIFFLUENCE BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 04:53:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00AUQ7A4OS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:51:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AKq6Oi091411 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:52:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWFsb042702; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:42:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1335011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:42:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AKgolx009708 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:42:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9AKgc7S018656 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:42:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9AKgcpb018654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:42:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:42:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310102042.h9AKgcpb018654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 102042 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI OCT 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 05:33:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42374-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00AFU932OS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 05:30:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ALV3jV087158 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 05:31:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWErt022442; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:16:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1335470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:16:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ALGHlx077858 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:16:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ALGA7S019492 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:16:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ALGALO019491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:16:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:16:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310102116.h9ALGALO019491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 102116 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 10 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/1800 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS JUST OFFSHORE THE COAST OF MEXICO ALONG 14N98W 19N106W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 101W-104W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 88W-91W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF 115W WITH A 1025 MB PARENT HIGH CENTERED NEAR 36N135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N100W 11N110W 10N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-87W. SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 06:13:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00ADXAL0OS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 06:03:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AM3PjV089898 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 06:03:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWEsn022442; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:51:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1335961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:51:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ALpDlx039838 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:51:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ALp67S020237 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ALp6Mt020236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:51:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310102151.h9ALp6Mt020236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 102150 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 176W AND 180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE DECREASING IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N166W 08N157W EQ157W 06N169W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14N171W 14N168W 09N165W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08S178W 08S175E 05S175E 06S178W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. CZ/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 16S154W 16S148W 22S144W 25S147W 25S156W 20S154W 16S154W HAVE MOVED EAST 10 KT WHILE INCREASING IN AREA AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12S173W 11S170W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 06:43:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00A0NCC0OS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 06:40:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AMfDjV093454 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 06:41:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWEtF022442; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 17:33:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1336381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 17:33:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AMXXlx049464 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 17:33:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9AMXQ7S020839 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 17:33:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9AMXQnM020838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 17:33:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 17:33:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310102233.h9AMXQnM020838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 102233 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES OVER COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO WESTWARD FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 09:53:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00AG9L2TOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 09:49:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B1o7Oi019880 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 09:50:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWE71092220; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 20:45:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1338058 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 20:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B1jXlx011570 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 20:45:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B1jQ7S022808 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 20:45:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B1jQ8m022807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 20:45:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 20:45:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110145.h9B1jQ8m022807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 110145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI OCT 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 11:53:27 2003 X-UIDL: 42397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00DMLQRHOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 11:52:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B3qsjV020195 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 11:52:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWE9J092220; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:48:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1339192 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:48:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B3malx034016 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B3mT7S023946 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B3mTpw023945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:48:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110348.h9B3mTpw023945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 110348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 11 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0000 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH OVER MEXICO ALONG 101W/102W FROM 15N-22N. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER MEXICO FROM 19N-22N BETWEEN 98W-102W ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. THE WAVE IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION INLAND OVER S MEXICO FROM 14.5N-17.5N BETWEEN 91W-95W. ..1024 STATIONARY HIGH CENTERED JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N136W WITH WEAK RIDGE EXTENDING SEWD TO 17N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 9N90W 8N100W 11N104W 11N127W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 103W-106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 17:13:36 2003 X-UIDL: 42399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00D4KR2XOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 11:59:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B3xmjV020683 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 11:59:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWE9P092220; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:53:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1339265 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:53:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B3rBlx019230 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:53:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B3r57S023985 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B3r5vX023984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:53:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110353.h9B3r5vX023984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 110353 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 17:14:00 2003 X-UIDL: 42402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00D0UUCZOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 13:10:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B5AYjV027632 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 13:10:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWE05022442; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1340452 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B56flx027976 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B56Z7S024606 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B56YAx024603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110506.h9B56YAx024603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 110500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/110500-111800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.7S2 79.8E4, 470 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS DISSIPATED AN IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 17:14:00 2003 X-UIDL: 42403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00D21UDIOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 13:10:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B5AijV027657 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 13:10:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wqh046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1340449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B56flx008388 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B56Z7S024605 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B56YMj024604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:06:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110506.h9B56YMj024604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 110500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/110500-111800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.7S2 79.8E4, 470 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS DISSIPATED AN IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 17:14:06 2003 X-UIDL: 42409-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00DZ5WQ0OI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 14:01:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B61dOi045143 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 14:01:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wrJ046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:54:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1340843 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:54:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B5s5lx027234 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:54:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B5rw7S024974 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:53:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B5rwgx024972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:53:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:53:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110553.h9B5rwgx024972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z-120600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26.1N9 131.1E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27.8N7 131.2E7, APPROXI- MATELY 190 NM EAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED ENHANCED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A COLD CORE SYSTEM. DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN QUADRANTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS FOR THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 35 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH GALE FORCE WINDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 17:14:12 2003 X-UIDL: 42413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00D25208OI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 15:55:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B7tYOi054679 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 15:55:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wrv046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 02:50:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1341450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 02:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B7oilx079488 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 02:50:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B7ob7S025921 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 02:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B7obrS025920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 02:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 02:50:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110750.h9B7obrS025920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 110750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI OCT 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:10:04 2003 X-UIDL: 42415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00DIU5QKOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 17:15:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B9GHjV050728 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 17:16:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wtR046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:10:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1342034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:10:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B9Aslx046952 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:10:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B9Al7S026761 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:10:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B9AkCO026760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:10:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:10:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110910.h9B9AkCO026760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 110910 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 11 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. THE WAVE IS NOT WELL DEFINED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WITH ONLY ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 87W-92W. ..1025 HIGH CENTERED JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 33N135W WITH WEAK RIDGE EXTENDING SEWD TO 17N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0730 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N100W 11N103W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 103W-108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:10:26 2003 X-UIDL: 42417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00DOI7EUOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 17:52:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B9qWOi064733 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 17:52:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWE1Z022442; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:48:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1342247 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B9mtlx042750 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B9mm7S027069 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B9mmSE027068 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:48:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110948.h9B9mmSE027068@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 110948 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM SAT OCT 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:10:27 2003 X-UIDL: 42418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00DBV7TMOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 18:00:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BA1FOi065539 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 18:01:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wth046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:55:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1342315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B9tnlx042504 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B9tg7S027124 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B9tgMs027123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:55:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110955.h9B9tgMs027123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 110955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 06N171W 09N153W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 25S153W 17S160W MOVED EAST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG TROUGH. ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH SOUTH OF 20S REMAIN SPARSE. CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 25S148W 18S150W 14S154W MOVED EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG 11S170W 12S174W 10S180 DRIFTED SOUTH SLOWLY. BROKEN CUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS AND ISOLATED TCU/CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 17S147W 19S138W MOVED SOUTH 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:10:38 2003 X-UIDL: 42430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00D9YISBOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 21:57:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BDwDOi086700 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 21:58:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52w1F046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 08:55:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1344352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 08:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BDtUlx038728 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 08:55:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BDtI7S029350 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 08:55:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BDtIBa029349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 08:55:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 08:55:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310111355.h9BDtIBa029349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 111355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT OCT 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:10:48 2003 X-UIDL: 42435-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00DLEN9XOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 23:34:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BFZAjV081865 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 23:35:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52w3Z046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 10:30:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1345242 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 10:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BFUPlx049280 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 10:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BFUJ7S000602 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 10:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BFUJ4H000601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 10:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 10:30:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310111530.h9BFUJ4H000601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 111530 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 11 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 93W IS REPOSITIONED SLIGHT E ALONG 91W N OF 7N MOVING W 10 KT. LONG-TERM LOOPS SUPPORT THIS REPOSITIONING AS WELL AS A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 12N91W. ..1024 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 33N136W HAS ILL-DEFINED RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 21N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 10N104W 10N140W. CONVECTION IS VERY QUIET W OF 110W WITH ONLY ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 102W-110W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N85W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS E OF 85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW SHOWERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 18N103W. SMALL CLUSTER OF TSTMS IS JUST W OF NICARAGUA NEAR 12N88W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:10:50 2003 X-UIDL: 42438-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00DBFQI5OI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 00:44:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BGiijV087720 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 00:44:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52w51046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 11:39:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1345995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 11:39:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BGd1lx043812 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 11:39:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BGcs7S001352 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 11:38:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BGcsbh001351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 11:38:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 11:38:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310111638.h9BGcsbh001351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 111638 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM SAT OCT 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:10:51 2003 X-UIDL: 42439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00DCKRTMOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 01:12:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BHDLjV090783 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 01:13:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWE65022442; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1346294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BH9Glx082648 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BH997S001631 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BH99xi001628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310111709.h9BH99xi001628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:10:51 2003 X-UIDL: 42440-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00DKYS07OI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 01:16:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BHHNOi004961 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 01:17:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52w5X046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1346291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BH9Glx009850 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BH997S001632 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BH997v001629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 12:09:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310111709.h9BH997v001629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 42446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00DONZH8OI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 03:58:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BJwlOi020080 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 03:58:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52w9H046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 14:55:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1348026 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 14:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BJtllx009736 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 14:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BJte7S003082 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 14:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BJtegb003081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 14:55:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 14:55:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310111955.h9BJtegb003081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 111955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT OCT 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 42449-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMM00DEC2M7OI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 05:06:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BL6WjV013258 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 05:06:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWE8Z022442; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:00:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1348494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:00:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BL0qlx009958 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:00:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BL0j7S003748 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:00:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BL0jS4003747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:00:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:00:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310112100.h9BL0jS4003747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 112100 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 11 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W/92W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS SOUTH OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 88W-92W. ..1010 MB LOW PRES LOCATED JUST NORTH OF THE ITCZ NEAR 12N103W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ..BROAD HIGH PRES NORTH OF 10N AND WEST OF 115W WITH A 1026 MB PARENT HIGH CENTERED NEAR 32N138W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N110W 10N140W. THE AXIS CONSISTS OF AT LEAST 7 CYCLONIC SWIRLS BETWEEN 100W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 104W-112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 50 NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 101W-104W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:02 2003 X-UIDL: 42450-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMM00DFK51IOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 05:58:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BLwrjV018494 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 05:58:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wBl046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:55:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1348895 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BLtflx034898 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BLtY7S004201 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BLtYVS004199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310112155.h9BLtYVS004199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 112155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 13N158W 08N150W 03N162W 08N166W 12N165W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14N179E 15N179W 12N178W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S152W 15S145W 24S151W 18S155W 18S151W 14S155W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09S168W 14S159W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:02 2003 X-UIDL: 42451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMM00DJD703OI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 06:40:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BMfIWk002875 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 06:41:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B7Ctjl031072; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 17:39:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1349162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 17:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BMcclx035014 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 17:38:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BMcW7S004571 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 17:38:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BMcVfv004570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 17:38:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 17:38:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310112238.h9BMcVfv004570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 112238 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM SAT OCT 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY MINIMAL...AND DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:03 2003 X-UIDL: 42455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMM00D7OG7BOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:59:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C200Wk017696 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 10:00:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wGX046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 20:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1350694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 20:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C1talx036102 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 20:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9C1tT7S006032 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 20:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9C1tTIL006031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 20:55:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 20:55:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310120155.h9C1tTIL006031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 120155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT OCT 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:06 2003 X-UIDL: 42461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMM00GFWLL62L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:55:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C3uL7n028583 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wJ1046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:46:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1351511 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C3k3lx085106 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:46:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9C3jv7S006932 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9C3ju6Z006931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:45:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310120345.h9C3ju6Z006931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 120345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 12 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 92W N OF 4N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N103W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE IS N OF 23N W OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 9N100W 10N113W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 132W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS LOCATED NEAR 10N105.5W AND NEAR 10.5N129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF 14N TO JUST INLAND OVER GUATEMALA AND MEXICO FROM 91W TO 94W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:07 2003 X-UIDL: 42462-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMM00G9LN8Q2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 12:31:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C4W67n031215 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 12:32:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWEEB022442; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 23:26:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1351726 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 23:26:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C4Qrlx040342 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 23:26:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9C4Qk7S007224 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 23:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9C4Qk0c007223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 23:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 23:26:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310120426.h9C4Qk0c007223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 120426 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM SAT OCT 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS MINIMAL...AND DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 42469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00G981YO2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:49:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C9ntWk053740 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:49:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wMR046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:44:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1353141 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:44:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C9i1lx051152 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:44:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9C9hs7S009004 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:43:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9C9hsWe009003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:43:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:43:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310120943.h9C9hsWe009003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 120943 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 12 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 93W N OF 7N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N103W...NEARLY STATIONARY. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE IS N OF 20N W OF 123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0730 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 8N100W 10N110W 10N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 107W AND AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 134W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N92.5W TO 15.5N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA TO 12.5N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 42470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GC72182L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:51:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C9pUWk053914 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:51:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOmh049272; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:46:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1353182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C9kMlx073914 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:46:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9C9kF7S009021 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9C9kFgP009020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:46:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310120946.h9C9kFgP009020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 120945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 10N145W TO 09N140W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14N159W TO 08N152W TO 08N148W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 09N161W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N179W 08N172W 13N166W 10N163W 02N173W 05N179W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 15N171W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 08N178W. FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 28N174E TO 35N163W MOVED SOUTH SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 22N179E 22N177W 19N176W 18N177W 21N178E. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...NEW SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE FROM 11S160W TO 15S153W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 17S152W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS...INCREASED IN AREA...AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 24S149W. SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN AREA PARTIALLY BOUNDED BY 14S145W 16S140W 23S133W 30S134W 30S147W 25S147W 15S149W AND FURTHER SOUTH MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 17S136W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 42471-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GKZ3302L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 18:13:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CAEB7n058508 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 18:14:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wMb046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 05:04:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1353281 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 05:04:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CA4Ylx014886 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 05:04:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CA4R7S009206 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 05:04:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CA4Rex009205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 05:04:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 05:04:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310121004.h9CA4Rex009205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 121004 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM SUN OCT 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL SWIRL OF MOSTLY LOW CLOUDS REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS MINIMAL...AND DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:12 2003 X-UIDL: 42477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00G5GDCF2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 21:55:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CDtsWk076380 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 21:55:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wQP046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 08:50:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1355132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 08:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CDoOlx022310 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 08:50:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CDoH7S011698 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 08:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CDoHqG011697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 08:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 08:50:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310121350.h9CDoHqG011697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 121350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN OCT 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:15 2003 X-UIDL: 42483-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GCGJBV2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 00:04:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CG51Wk087830 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 00:05:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wSh046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:00:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1356314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:00:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CFxplx034852 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 10:59:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CFxi7S012880 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 10:59:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CFxiKP012879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 10:59:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 10:59:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310121559.h9CFxiKP012879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 121559 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 12 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/1200 UTC... ..NEARLY STATIONARY 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N103W. NO DEEP CONVECTION. SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60-90 NM RADIUS OF CENTER. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 94W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 9N102W 10N111W 10N123W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 101W AND 108W...AND WEST OF 128W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 9N BETWEEN 76W AND 79W IN COASTAL COLOMBIA AND PANAMA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTION. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GLPKZ72L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 00:40:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CGeWWk090879 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 00:40:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wTX046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1356758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CGcMlx028076 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CGcB7S013230 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CGcBTj013228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310121638.h9CGcBTj013228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z-131800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/BAK/PACILIO/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GQKL3A2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 00:42:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CGhGWk091147 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 00:43:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOrR049272; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1356761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CGcMlx089102 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CGcB7S013231 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CGcBuT013229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:38:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310121638.h9CGcBuT013229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z-131800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/BAK/PACILIO/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GVAL6D2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 00:44:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CGj5Wk091335 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 00:45:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOrb049272; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:41:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1356813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:41:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CGf9lx017164 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:41:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CGf27S013269 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CGf2P8013268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:41:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:41:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310121641.h9CGf2P8013268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 121640 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM SUN OCT 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:17 2003 X-UIDL: 42491-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GDCU6X2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 03:59:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CJxm7n012018 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 03:59:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wXv046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 14:56:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1358781 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 14:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CJuClx072348 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 14:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CJu57S014947 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 14:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CJu5f4014946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 14:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 14:56:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310121956.h9CJu5f4014946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 121955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN OCT 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:19 2003 X-UIDL: 42495-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GCVY702L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 05:25:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CLQG7n020846 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 05:26:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wab046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:20:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1360051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:20:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CLKPlx035024 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:20:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CLKJ7S015742 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:20:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CLKIj6015741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:20:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:20:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310122120.h9CLKIj6015741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 122120 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 12 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/1800 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 11.5N103W DRIFTING WEST. ..BROAD HIGH PRES NORTH OF 12N AND WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 9N104W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-108W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 109W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:19 2003 X-UIDL: 42496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00G4WZQ62L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 05:58:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CLxHWk023046 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 05:59:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOwJ049272; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1360448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CLtXlx067240 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CLtR7S016014 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CLtQ82016013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 16:55:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310122155.h9CLtQ82016013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 122155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 14N160W 07N161W 08N166W 05N168W 01N174W 03N179W 06N180 10N173W 10N170W 13N168W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 10N148W 10N143W 08N140W 08N148W 04N150W 07N153W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY... INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 13S149W 17S142W 24S140W 20S147W 15S154W 13S154W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 09S171W 14S176W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00HFN0PTSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 06:20:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CMKj7n025151 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 06:20:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wbj046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:18:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1360758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:18:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CMISlx067160 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:18:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CMIL7S016215 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:18:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CMIL20016214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:18:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:18:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310122218.h9CMIL20016214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 122218 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM SUN OCT 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER COBB/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:22 2003 X-UIDL: 42508-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00HWAAUZSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 09:59:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D1xn7n044080 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 09:59:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wgv046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 20:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1363252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 20:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D1tZlx073864 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 20:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9D1tS7S017992 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 20:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9D1tSvN017991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 20:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 20:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310130155.h9D1tSvN017991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 130155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN OCT 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00HMHG1MSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 11:51:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D3pY7n056392 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 11:51:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324nR046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:45:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1366382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D3jnlx085710 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9D3jg7S018921 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9D3jgdB018920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:45:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:45:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310130345.h9D3jgdB018920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 130345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 13 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/0000 UTC... ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11.5N103.5W DRIFTING WEST. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N AND W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N91W 10N105W 10N134W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 78W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 103W...WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 111W...WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 106W...WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 115W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 136W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00HMQH6NSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:16:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D4GL7n058561 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:16:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324nd046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 23:08:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1366677 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 23:08:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D48slx017174 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 23:08:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9D48l7S019104 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 23:08:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9D48le0019103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 23:08:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 23:08:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310130408.h9D48le0019103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 130408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM SUN OCT 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 16:14:34 2003 X-UIDL: 42540-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00HL1RC3SR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:55:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D7tbWk079761 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:55:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HP2r034350; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 02:50:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1369960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 02:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D7onlx036568 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 02:50:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9D7og7S020900 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 02:50:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9D7ogS0020899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 02:50:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 02:50:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310130750.h9D7ogS0020899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 130750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN OCT 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 18:04:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00HUQX1MSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:58:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D9wxWk091560 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:59:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HP3f034350; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:50:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1370774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:50:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D9oelx047564 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9D9oX7S022170 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9D9oXxf022169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:50:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310130950.h9D9oXxf022169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 130950 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 13 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/0600 UTC... ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N104W DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N AND W OF 122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N95W 10N103W 9N126W 11N133W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 8W...FROM 111W TO 115W...WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 129W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 105W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 111W AND W OF 138W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 7.5N79W TO 6N78W AND FROM 14.5N94W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 15N92.5W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS CENTERED NEAR 9N84W AND NEAR 11N87W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 18:14:19 2003 X-UIDL: 42552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00HBTXLRSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 18:10:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DAB97n095693 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 18:11:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324wH046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1370749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D9k0lx094662 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9D9jr7S022136 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9D9jrln022135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:45:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:45:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310130945.h9D9jrln022135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 130945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 09N140W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 10N142W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 08N142W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 08N149W TO 08N147W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 13N157W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 12N161W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N164W TO 08N162W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 08N167W. NEW ISOLATED CB CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 14N165W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 13N171W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N173W 08N168W 02N173W 04N176W 08N176W. NEW OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 07N172W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N179W TO 05N179W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 24N160W. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 24N165W. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 15S141W TO 21S138W. SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN AREA PARTIALLY BOUNDED BY 13S153W 16S144W 23S138W 24S134W 27S131W 26S122W 40S122W 40S141W 22S145W AND FURTHER SOUTH MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 13S176W. NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07S178W TO 09S172W TO 11S174W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 18:44:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42555-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00H38YRCSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 18:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DAZvWk095711 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 18:35:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HP3l034350; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 05:30:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1370986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 05:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DAUllx008354 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 05:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DAUe7S022528 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 05:30:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DAUew0022527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 05:30:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 05:30:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310131030.h9DAUew0022527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 131030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM MON OCT 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 20:54:17 2003 X-UIDL: 42557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00H9450FSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:50:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DCp67n010824 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:51:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HO93049272; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1371607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DCfblx092256 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DCfU7S023585 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DCfUu0023583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310131241.h9DCfUu0023583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z-140600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/130151ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/DAMRON/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 22:14:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42560-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00HL98GMSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:05:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DE5N7n018389 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:05:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOAv049272; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 08:50:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1372551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 08:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DDoPlx055350 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 08:50:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DDoJ7S024994 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 08:50:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DDoJ9k024993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 08:50:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 08:50:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310131350.h9DDoJ9k024993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 131350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON OCT 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 14 00:24:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00HLAEN3SR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:18:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DGIt7n033067 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:19:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D3249x046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 11:04:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1374661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 11:04:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DG4Wlx042584 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 11:04:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DG4P7S028874 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 11:04:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DG4PHs028873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 11:04:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 11:04:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310131604.h9DG4PHs028873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 131604 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 13 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/1200 UTC... ..TROUGH ALONG 14N105W 10N104W...DRIFTING WEST. NO DEEP CONVECTION. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N80W 6N92W 10N103W 10N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 121W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 94W. STRONG CONVECTION IN ISOLATED CONVECTIVE BURST WITHIN 30-40 NM RADIUS OF 7N79.5W. STRONG ITCZ CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS IN COASTAL WATERS OF NICARAGUA/HONDURAS/EL SALVADOR WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N89W WITH LATE MORNING HEATING... AND NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W INCLUDING IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IN AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:34 2003 X-UIDL: 42570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00HIIH8DSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 01:14:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DHF5Wk036277 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 01:15:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324DD046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:03:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1375553 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:03:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DH3Olx033742 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:03:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DH3H7S000539 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:03:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DH3Hfa000538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:03:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:03:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310131703.h9DH3Hfa000538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 131703 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM MON OCT 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:40 2003 X-UIDL: 42572-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00HWLHH6SR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 01:19:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DHKM7n039990 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 01:20:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOHZ049272; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1375628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DHCClx047438 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DHC57S000770 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DHC5tB000768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310131712.h9DHC5tB000768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 131800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:40 2003 X-UIDL: 42573-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00HCMHS5SR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 01:26:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DHQp7n040597 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 01:26:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HPBd034350; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1375631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DHCClx085118 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DHC57S000771 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DHC5Lf000769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 12:12:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310131712.h9DHC5Lf000769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:47 2003 X-UIDL: 42583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00HEUPBWSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:09:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DKA1Wk054744 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:10:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324Kv046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:01:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1378162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DK1Nlx036388 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DK1G7S005543 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:01:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DK1FHh005541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:01:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:01:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310132001.h9DK1FHh005541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 132000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON OCT 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:51 2003 X-UIDL: 42586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00H79U27SR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DLqB7n069681 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:52:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOQN049272; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 16:45:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1380001 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 16:45:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DLj7lx022308 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 16:45:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DLj07S008026 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 16:45:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DLj02S008025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 16:45:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 16:45:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310132145.h9DLj02S008025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 132144 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 13 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/1800 UTC... ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N79W 9N102W 10N115W 11N135W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 89W AND 93W...BETWEEN 109W AND 112W...AND BETWEEN 127W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COSTA RICA/ NICARAGUA BORDER. $$ CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:52 2003 X-UIDL: 42587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00L5WV3ODJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 06:14:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DMEeWk067176 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 06:14:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324Rr046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:00:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1380155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DM0vlx047326 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DM0o7S008273 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:00:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DM0ojO008272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:00:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:00:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310132200.h9DM0ojO008272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 132200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N172W 12N170W 07N168W 08N171W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09S177W 09S172W 15S177W. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:53 2003 X-UIDL: 42588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00LU7WG9DJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 06:43:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DMhn7n074346 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 06:43:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324U3046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:37:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1380645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:37:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DMbZlx009570 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:37:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DMbS7S008774 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:37:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DMbSEq008773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:37:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 17:37:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310132237.h9DMbSEq008773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 132237 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM MON OCT 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:57 2003 X-UIDL: 42598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00LLP56QDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 09:52:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E1qT7n093244 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 09:52:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOTd049272; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1382419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E1gWlx009562 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E1gP7S011059 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E1gP7t011057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140142.h9E1gP7t011057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/140130Z-140600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 160.7E4, APPROXIMATELY 940 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 150.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 111.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK MODERATE WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:58 2003 X-UIDL: 42599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00LRJ5SODJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 10:05:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E25g7n094700 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 10:05:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOTr049272; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:01:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1382585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:01:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E21Dlx009654 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:01:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E2167S011325 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E216g0011324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:01:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:01:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140201.h9E216g0011324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 140200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON OCT 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:01 2003 X-UIDL: 42608-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00L5K8Y4DJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:13:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E3DdWk096620 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:13:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HPP1034350; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:05:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1384060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:04:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E34tlx059784 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:04:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E34m7S012043 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:04:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E34maa012041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:04:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:04:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140304.h9E34maa012041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140130 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/140130Z-140600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 160.7E4, APPROXIMATELY 940 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 150.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 111.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK MODERATE WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1), 1.B.(2) AND 1.B.(3). 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED PARA 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:04 2003 X-UIDL: 42616-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00L32AUADJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:54:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E3seWk001475 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:54:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324gj046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:47:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1384569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:47:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E3ldlx033894 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:47:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E3lV7S012415 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:47:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E3lVCe012414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:47:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:47:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140347.h9E3lVCe012414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 140347 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 14 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE REGION ALONG 81W/82W N OF 6N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N119W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N85W 8N94W 10N108W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 89W AND S OF THE AXIS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 8N99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 96W...WITHIN 150/180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 139W...AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF S COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N AND N OF 11N E OF 89W TO INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 10.5N87.5W AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA FROM 89W TO 91W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:05 2003 X-UIDL: 42618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00L8GBM1DJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:10:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E4BI7n009607 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:11:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324hD046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 23:04:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1384787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 23:04:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E44klx029126 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 23:04:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E44d7S012585 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 23:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E44dhm012584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 23:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 23:04:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140404.h9E44dhm012584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 140404 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM MON OCT 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:08 2003 X-UIDL: 42628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00LBHGJHDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 13:57:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E5vhWk014959 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 13:57:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E53ZnR049280; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1385744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E5bplx034088 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E5bi7S013475 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E5biJF013473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140537.h9E5biJF013473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z-150600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 160.7E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 159.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 875 NM EAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 14.2N7 150.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 111.4E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.4N2 113.2E7 APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/DAMRON/KLINZMAN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:14 2003 X-UIDL: 42644-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00LBRM8ZDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 16:00:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E813Wk027453 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 16:01:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324kJ046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 02:55:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1386948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 02:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E7tclx047480 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 02:55:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E7tV7S014654 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 02:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E7tVTw014653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 02:55:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 02:55:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140755.h9E7tVTw014653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 140755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON OCT 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:17 2003 X-UIDL: 42658-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00LXRRVUDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 18:02:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EA2k7n046742 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 18:02:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VmN046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:55:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1387790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E9tglx027258 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E9tY7S015840 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E9tYxq015839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140955.h9E9tYxq015839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 140955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0825 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10N177W 06N177W 02N178W 02N172E 06N168E 09N175E 07N179E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 15N165W 10N153W 07N152W 07N173W 13N171E HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N142W 07N143W 07N147W 09N147W 10N145W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 26N165W 24N167W 21N165W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 16N176E 14N175W 11N174W 12N175E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...1...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 13S164E 20S175W 25S165W 25S180 16S162E. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 15 TO 20 KT SOUTH OF 20S AND TOWARD THE EAST/NORTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT NORTH OF 20S. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...2...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 13S147W 24S135W 25S142W 20S148W 13S150W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S171W 15S172W 16S176W 11S177W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:18 2003 X-UIDL: 42660-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00LRMSB6DJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 18:11:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EABwWk040502 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 18:12:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E53Zpf049280; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:58:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1387822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:58:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E9wnlx034230 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:58:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E9wg7S015872 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:58:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E9wg2m015871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:58:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:58:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140958.h9E9wg2m015871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 140958 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 14 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N120W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 18N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N87W 8N92W 10N103W 10N116W 11N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 78W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 94W...WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 104W...WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 86W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 89W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 122W AND 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 12.5N INLAND OVER EL SALVADOR FROM 89W TO 90W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 80.5W TO THE BORDER OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 3.5N FROM 78W TO 82W...WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF ECUADOR AND COLOMBIA FROM 1N TO 2.5N...AND IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 15.5N94W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:19 2003 X-UIDL: 42667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00L2GUMDDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 19:01:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EB1s7n052265 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 19:01:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E53Zpl049280; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1388160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EApilx085694 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EApb7S016359 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EApbME016357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310141051.h9EApbME016357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/140300Z-141800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14.2N7 92.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTHWEST OF THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS, HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD PARA 1.B.(1) AS POOR. 4. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00LGKUSSDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 19:05:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EB5j7n052598 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 19:05:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96Vmf046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1388157 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EApilx046940 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EApb7S016360 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EApbXi016358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:51:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310141051.h9EApbXi016358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/140300Z-141800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14.2N7 92.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTHWEST OF THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS, HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD PARA 1.B.(1) AS POOR. 4. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00LI4UTCDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 19:05:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EB60Wk046301 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 19:06:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96Vmd046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:48:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1388113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:48:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EAmqlx046884 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:48:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EAmj7S016330 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EAmjmL016329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 05:48:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310141048.h9EAmjmL016329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 141048 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM TUE OCT 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:23 2003 X-UIDL: 42680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR00LMF336DJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 22:04:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EE4c7n070644 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 22:04:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96Vr1046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 08:55:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1390048 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 08:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EDtXlx036180 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 08:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EDtQ7S019527 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 08:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EDtQ15019526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 08:55:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 08:55:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310141355.h9EDtQ15019526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 141355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE OCT 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:27 2003 X-UIDL: 42689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR00LYK92UDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:13:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EGEA7n086605 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:14:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96V0P046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 10:54:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1392866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 10:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EFsGlx024834 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 10:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EFs97S023625 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 10:54:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EFs8bl023624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 10:54:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 10:54:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310141554.h9EFs8bl023624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 141554 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 14 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 81W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. A 1010 MB LOW IS ON THE WAVE NEAR 11N81W. ..1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N109W DRIFTING W. ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N120W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 18N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N85W 6N96W 12N110W 11N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 78W AND 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 118W TO 120W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF ITCZ AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W. A CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR 10N86W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR00LBKB33DJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:57:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EGvV7n092940 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:57:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96V4P046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:44:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1394113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:44:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EGi2lx067076 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:44:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EGht7S025447 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:43:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EGhtNu025446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:43:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:43:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310141643.h9EGhtNu025446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 141643 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM TUE OCT 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:29 2003 X-UIDL: 42695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR00L9XCZODJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 01:38:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EHcf7n097658 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 01:38:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E53Z25049280; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1395137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EHVjlx046866 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EHVb7S026974 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EHVbL0026972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310141731.h9EHVbL0026972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z-151800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 92.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTHWEST OF THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:29 2003 X-UIDL: 42696-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR00LZCDBYDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 01:45:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EHk3Wk091072 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 01:46:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EF7iGJ037546; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1395140 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EHVjlx036348 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EHVc7S026975 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EHVbcs026973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:31:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310141731.h9EHVbcs026973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z-151800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 92.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTHWEST OF THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:32 2003 X-UIDL: 42704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR00LWZKODDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:24:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EKOcWk009262 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:24:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VHT046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:07:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1398581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EK7flx077180 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:07:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EK7Y7S001516 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:07:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EK7YCw001515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:07:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:07:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310142007.h9EK7YCw001515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 142000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE OCT 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:34 2003 X-UIDL: 42709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR00L5NPF9DJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 06:06:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EM7A7n026642 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 06:07:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VOD046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 16:53:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1400586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 16:53:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ELrWlx024970 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 16:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ELrP7S004236 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 16:53:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ELrLY1004235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 16:53:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 16:53:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310142153.h9ELrLY1004235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 142153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 14 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 5N WITH ASSOCIATED 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 11N82W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER PANAMA SPILLING INTO THE PACIFIC FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 80W AND 84W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR 12N109W AND HAS MOVED LITTLE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS NEW ISOLATED BURSTS OF CONVECTION OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ISOLATED STRONG 30 NM FROM CENTER. ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N120W DRIFTING WEST. SATELLITE ANIMATION SUGGESTS A BROAD...WEAK...LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SITUATED ALONG THE ITCZ. CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING PARTICULARLY OVER THE LOW CENTER. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION NORTH OF 20N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 8N94W TO LOW NEAR 12N109W...11N114W TO LOW NEAR 12N120W...11N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 70 NM EITHER SIDE FROM 85W TO 87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE 140 NM SOUTH OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE 50 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 114W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA N OF 5N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:34 2003 X-UIDL: 42710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR00LCLPKIDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 06:09:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EMAO7n026954 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 06:10:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VPH046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:01:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1400973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:01:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EM1Jlx077872 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:01:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EM1C7S004407 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:01:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EM1BrZ004406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:01:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:01:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310142201.h9EM1BrZ004406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 142200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 09N142W 08N148W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N159W 11N156W 08N152W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB CROSS THE DATELINE AND ARE BOUNDED BY 17N175E 18N179W 06N177W 01N175E 04N174E 10N178E. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 18S175W. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:35 2003 X-UIDL: 42713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR0019BRARRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 06:47:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EMliWk024563 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 06:47:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VQv046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:21:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1401455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:21:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EML7lx034190 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:21:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EML07S004931 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:21:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EML0GY004929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:21:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 17:21:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310142221.h9EML0GY004929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 142220 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM TUE OCT 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS GENERATING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SINCE THIS SYSTEM ALREADY HAS A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE CIRCULATION...ANY SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE AMOUNT AND/OR ORGANIZATION OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:43 2003 X-UIDL: 42732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001Y20JMRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 10:06:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F27RWk045185 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 10:07:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VXn046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:01:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1404137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:01:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F214lx031164 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F20v7S007933 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F20veB007932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:00:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:00:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150200.h9F20veB007932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 150200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE OCT 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:48 2003 X-UIDL: 42745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001YX4WARU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:40:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F3fRWk057265 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:41:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E53ZKL049280; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 22:33:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1405203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 22:33:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F3Xtlx047022 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 22:33:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F3Xm7S008888 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 22:33:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F3Xm1d008887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 22:33:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 22:33:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150333.h9F3Xm1d008887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 150333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 15 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE REMAINS ALONG 82W N OF 5N WITH ASSOCIATED 1008 MB LOW CENTERED IN THE CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N82W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N110W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N120W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N87W 8N100W 10N116W 12N127W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 118W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 86W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS W OF 127W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR FROM 86W TO 89W INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 13N94.5W AND FROM 21N TO 23N E OF 107.5W TO INLAND OVER W MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF 6N TO OVER PANAMA FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 80W...N OF 6N FROM 80W TO 83W...AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 83W TO 85W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:48 2003 X-UIDL: 42747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001YG68QRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:10:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F4ARWk061163 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:10:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96Var046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 23:04:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1405527 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 23:04:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F44mlx017204 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 23:04:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F44f7S009167 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 23:04:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F44fh4009166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 23:04:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 23:04:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150404.h9F44fh4009166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 150404 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. WHILE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED...ANY SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE AMOUNT AND/OR ORGANIZATION OF THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 13:20:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS0015495NRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:13:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F5DKWk068717 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:13:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F537mv089314; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1406160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F53glx095986 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F53Z7S009775 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F53ZBl009773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150503.h9F53ZBl009773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z-160600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 159.7E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 156.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 680 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.4N2 113.2E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.6N8 138.3E5 APPROXIMATELY 395 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 16:10:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001SLH36RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:04:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F84W7n090994 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:04:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VeV046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 02:56:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1407176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 02:55:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F7txlx098388 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 02:55:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F7tp7S011388 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 02:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F7tpDk011387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 02:55:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 02:55:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150755.h9F7tpDk011387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 150755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE OCT 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 16:20:23 2003 X-UIDL: 42786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001SWHSMRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:19:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F8JhWk088080 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:19:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538nh049282; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1407302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F8FVlx073752 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F8FO7S011779 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F8FOYL011777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150815.h9F8FOYL011777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 150800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/150800Z-151800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.7S4 73.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 71 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED VISUAL, MULTISPECTRAL, AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) POOR AREA. 4. RELEASED BY: LCDR JEFFRIES, USN. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 16:30:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001HJHZ9RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:23:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F8O1Wk088592 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:24:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96Vej046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1407299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F8FVlx055208 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F8FO7S011780 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F8FOj5011778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:15:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150815.h9F8FOj5011778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 150800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/150800Z-151800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.7S4 73.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 71 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED VISUAL, MULTISPECTRAL, AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) POOR AREA. 4. RELEASED BY: LCDR JEFFRIES, USN. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 18:00:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001NOMBRRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:57:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F9vf7n003075 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:57:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VgF046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:47:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1407766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:47:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F9lOlx017326 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:47:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F9lH7S012657 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:47:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F9lHbB012656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:47:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:47:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150947.h9F9lHbB012656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 150947 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 15 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 83W/84W N OF 5N WITH A 1009 MB LOW CENTERED IN THE CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N110W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N121W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0715 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N87W 9N100W 10N116W 12N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 85W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 90W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 138W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DOT THE AREA WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 102W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS A WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N110W ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW NEAR 12N110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N90W TO THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13N89W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 14.5N94W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 15.5N93W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:41:55 2003 X-UIDL: 42801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001K6MLFRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 18:03:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FA3b7n003825 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 18:03:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VgN046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:56:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1407813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F9uBlx065706 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F9u37S012713 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:56:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F9u3V2012712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:56:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:56:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150956.h9F9u3V2012712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 150955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 16N180 13N170W 08N162W 05N174W 01N180 08N172E HAVE MOVED WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N144W 07N141W 05N153W 08N154W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 13S173E 15S172W 20S163W 25S158W 25S172W 14S154E 12S161E 17S174E 13S170E. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT SOUTH OF 20S AND SLOWLY TOWARD THE EAST/ NORTHEAST NORTH OF 20S. CZ/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 14S132W 25S131W 21S142W 16S140W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 42803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001HENQCRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 18:27:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FAS47n006738 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 18:28:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96Vgb046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 05:23:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1407900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 05:23:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FAN0lx067138 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 05:23:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FAMr7S012990 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 05:22:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FAMrm2012989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 05:22:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 05:22:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151022.h9FAMrm2012989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 151022 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED OCT 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS RE-DEVELOPED NEAR A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. WHILE RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS UNLIKELY...FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD OCCUR LATER TODAY IF THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST NEAR THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:17 2003 X-UIDL: 42815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS0011PXUHRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 22:06:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FE6ZWk025314 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 22:06:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538tB049282; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 08:55:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1409785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 08:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDthlx051064 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 08:55:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FDtZ7S015853 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 08:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FDtZmE015852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 08:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 08:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151355.h9FDtZmE015852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 151355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED OCT 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:27 2003 X-UIDL: 42827-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001TM3FURU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 00:07:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FG7ZWk038378 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 00:07:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538wt049282; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 10:46:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1412117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 10:46:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FFkrlx028022 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 10:46:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FFkj7S019676 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 10:46:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FFkjOu019675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 10:46:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 10:46:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151546.h9FFkjOu019675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 151546 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 15 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 84W/85W N OF 5N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N110W DRIFTING SW. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N120W DRIFTING NW. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N95W 11N120W 12N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 129W AND 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 89W AND 92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42829-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001PI5WURU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 01:00:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FH0rWk045002 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 01:00:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F5381D049282; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1413609 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FGnjlx049904 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FGnb7S021512 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FGnbMu021510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151649.h9FGnbMu021510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z-161800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 73.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2N9 73.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:29 2003 X-UIDL: 42830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT0013F61CRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 01:03:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FH3Y7n049179 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 01:03:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiT07046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1413606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FGnjlx058106 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FGnb7S021511 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FGnbfd021509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 11:49:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151649.h9FGnbfd021509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z-161800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 73.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2N9 73.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:34 2003 X-UIDL: 42834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001EC85LRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 01:48:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FHnJ7n054129 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 01:49:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiT11046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:24:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1413973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:24:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FHO9lx011470 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:24:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FHO17S022477 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:24:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FHO1cR022476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:24:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:24:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151724.h9FHO1cR022476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 151723 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. WEAK LOW PERESSURE SYSTEMS ARE LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH AND ABOUT 1025 SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH BOTH SYSTEMS IS CURRENTLY MINIMAL...AND ANY DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:38 2003 X-UIDL: 42836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001F09AHRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:13:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FIDwWk052284 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:14:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiT3n046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:06:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1414781 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:06:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FI5wlx085040 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:05:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FI5p7S023710 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:05:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FI5pZd023707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:05:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:05:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151805.h9FI5pZd023707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 151830 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151830Z-161800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 73.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 73.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED LATITUDE IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:41 2003 X-UIDL: 42838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001LD9EFRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:15:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FIGKWk052523 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:16:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiT3Z046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:01:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1414651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:59:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FHxNlx034252 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:59:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FHxG7S023462 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:59:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FHxGMK023460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:59:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:59:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151759.h9FHxGMK023460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 151800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151830Z-161800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 73.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 73.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED LATITUDE IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:41 2003 X-UIDL: 42839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001LJ9EJRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:15:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FIGR7n057067 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:16:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FHpnn1042730; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:01:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1414654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:59:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FHxNlx098484 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:59:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FHxG7S023463 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:59:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FHxGqv023461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:59:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 12:59:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151759.h9FHxGqv023461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151830Z-161800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 73.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 73.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED LATITUDE IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:42 2003 X-UIDL: 42840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001N49FIRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:16:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FIH17n057133 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:17:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F5383H049282; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:06:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1414784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:06:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FI5wlx058012 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:05:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FI5p7S023711 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:05:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FI5pdY023709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:05:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:05:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151805.h9FI5pdY023709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151830 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151830Z-161800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 73.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 73.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED LATITUDE IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 42843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001AYAATRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:35:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FIZl7n058958 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:35:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EGsuJJ092374; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1415070 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FIOLlx077930 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FIOD7S024318 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FIODMs024316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151824.h9FIODMs024316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 151800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151900Z-161800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 73.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 73.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED MANOP. 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:44 2003 X-UIDL: 42844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001HSAEZRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:37:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FIcG7n059219 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:38:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiT4d046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1415073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FIOLlx077104 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FIOD7S024319 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FIODdm024317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:24:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151824.h9FIODdm024317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151900Z-161800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 73.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 73.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED MANOP. 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:45 2003 X-UIDL: 42846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT0016EE8XRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:00:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FK127n069594 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:01:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTA1046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 14:51:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1416670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 14:51:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FJpalx070600 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 14:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FJpT7S027028 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 14:51:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FJpTmF027027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 14:51:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 14:51:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151951.h9FJpTmF027027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 151950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED OCT 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:46 2003 X-UIDL: 42849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001WZFGYRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:26:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FKRO7n073155 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:27:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EGsuMV092374; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:15:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1417149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FKF1lx037336 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:15:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FKEs7S027732 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:14:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FKEsvk027730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:14:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:14:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310152014.h9FKEsvk027730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 152030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/152030Z-160600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 156.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7N2 152.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 465 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS IMPROVING OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 138.3E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 133.5E2 APPROXIMATELY 660 NM WEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED FROM POOR TO FAIR IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:50 2003 X-UIDL: 42858-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT005BKKIF7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 06:15:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FMGKWk083364 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 06:16:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTHT046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:03:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1419077 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:03:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FM3rlx018128 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:03:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FM3k7S001064 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:03:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FM3k37001063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:03:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:03:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310152203.h9FM3k37001063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 152202 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 15 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W/88W S OF 20N MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT MOVED OFF OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE PERSISTS. MODERATE CONVECTION 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 7N TO 11N. ..A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SITUATED OVER THE ITCZ NEAR 11.4N110.9W IS DRIFTING WEST. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DISPLACED ABOUT 40 NM TO THE WEST. ..A 1010 MB LOW OVER THE ITCZ IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 120.6W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KT. IMAGERY INDICATES NEW BURSTS OF CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. A 2000Z QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALED WINDS OF LESS THAN 20 KT NEAR THE CENTER...WITH STRONGER WINDS AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. MODERATE SCATTERED FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 122W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 9N92W TO LOW NEAR 11.4N110.9W TO SECOND LOW NEAR 11.7N120.6W THEN TO 11N132W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 87W TO 90W...180 NM SOUTH OF AXIS FROM 93W TO 98W...AND 80 NM EITHER SIDE FROM 128W TO 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:50 2003 X-UIDL: 42859-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT005IDKN27Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 06:18:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FMJ4Wk083633 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 06:19:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTH1046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:55:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1418960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FLtSlx007818 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:55:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FLtK7S000843 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:55:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FLtKui000842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:55:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:55:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310152155.h9FLtKui000842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 152155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 85 NM OF LINE 09N143W 08N158W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N177W 12N171W 07N162W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S164W 17S170W 12S180 MOVED EAST 12 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 15S. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LAYERS ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 15S. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT BETWEEN 167W AND 173W REMAIN SPARSE AND DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY. WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 10S163W 08S170W 03S176W MOVING WEST 10 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS/TCU AND WEAK ISOLATED CB ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/BROKEN CIRRUS. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... UPPER LOW...NEAR 19S142W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 16S138W 20S132W 21S140W DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:51 2003 X-UIDL: 42860-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT005X2LJ77Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 06:37:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FMcP7n088033 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 06:38:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTIJ046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:24:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1419394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:24:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FMOGlx077124 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:24:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FMO97S001468 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:24:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FMO9UU001467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:24:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:24:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310152224.h9FMO9UU001467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 152224 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 15 OCT 2003 CORRECTED QUIKSCAT PASS DTG EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 87W/88W S OF 20N MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT MOVED OFF OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE PERSISTS. MODERATE CONVECTION 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 7N TO 11N. ..A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SITUATED OVER THE ITCZ NEAR 11.4N110.9W IS DRIFTING WEST. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS DISPLACED ABOUT 40 NM TO THE WEST. ..A 1010 MB LOW OVER THE ITCZ IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 120.6W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KT. IMAGERY INDICATES NEW BURSTS OF CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. A 1412Z QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALED WINDS OF LESS THAN 20 KT NEAR THE CENTER...WITH STRONGER WINDS AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY. MODERATE SCATTERED FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 122W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 9N92W TO LOW NEAR 11.4N110.9W TO SECOND LOW NEAR 11.7N120.6W THEN TO 11N132W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 87W TO 90W...180 NM SOUTH OF AXIS FROM 93W TO 98W...AND 80 NM EITHER SIDE FROM 128W TO 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:51 2003 X-UIDL: 42861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT005IHLXA7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 06:46:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FMkrWk086110 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 06:46:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538CF049282; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:33:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1419539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:33:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FMXBlx008200 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FMX47S001640 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:33:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FMX4WX001639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:33:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 17:33:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310152233.h9FMX4WX001639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 152233 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED OCT 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH AND ABOUT 1025 SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. NEITHER OF THESE SYSTEMS HAS BEEN ABLE GENERATE PERSISTENT ORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY...BUT BOTH WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:58 2003 X-UIDL: 42873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT0059QUQZ7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:56:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G1vTWk003923 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:57:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTOL046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 20:50:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1421842 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 20:50:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G1ohlx050810 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 20:50:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9G1oa7S004180 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 20:50:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9G1oad7004179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 20:50:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 20:50:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310160150.h9G1oad7004179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 160150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED OCT 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:43:05 2003 X-UIDL: 42887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU005ER0KR7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 12:02:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G4397n020966 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 12:03:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTSV046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 22:55:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1423590 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 22:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G3tjlx046936 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 22:55:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9G3tb7S005443 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 22:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9G3tbaS005442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 22:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 22:55:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310160355.h9G3tbaS005442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 160355 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 16 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/0000 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N111W DRIFTING WEST. CONVECTIVE BURST WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 11N110W ALREADY HAS DISSIPATED. ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NEAR THE CENTER FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 113W ALSO ALREADY HAS DISSIPATED. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N122W MOVING WEST- NORTHWEST 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 122W AND 124W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 117W AND 122W. ..TROPICAL WAVE 90W SOUTH OF 21N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION JUST NORTH OF THE ITCZ FROM 10N TO COASTAL SECTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN COASTAL CENTRAL AMERICA AND 89W. CONVECTIVE BURST IN EL SALVADOR FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 88W AND 89W MIGHT BE ATTRIBUTABLE TO THIS WAVE. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 8N88W 8N103W 12N120W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 104W...AND WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:43:05 2003 X-UIDL: 42888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU005W412U7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 12:13:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G4EBWk018424 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 12:14:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTT9046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 23:08:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1423802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 23:08:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G48Tlx037482 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 23:08:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9G48L7S005579 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 23:08:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9G48LWM005578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 23:08:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 23:08:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310160408.h9G48LWM005578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 160408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED OCT 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH AND ABOUT 1035 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWER ACTIVITY IS LIMITED AT THIS TIME...BUT BOTH SYSTEMS WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 15:41:49 2003 X-UIDL: 42904-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU005CDAEZ7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 15:35:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G7ZoWk040325 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 15:35:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTWv046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1425481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G7R8lx051930 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9G7R17S007447 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9G7R1Bx007445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310160727.h9G7R1Bx007445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z-170600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7N2 152.8E6 IS RELOCATED TO A POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 151.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 133.5E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 130.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS BEING SHEARED FROM THE EAST. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 16:11:49 2003 X-UIDL: 42909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU005KIBTW7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:05:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G86PWk043333 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:06:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTX3046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:00:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1425606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:00:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G80elx009530 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:00:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9G80W7S007764 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:00:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9G80WdI007763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:00:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:00:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310160800.h9G80WdI007763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 160800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED OCT 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 22:46:49 2003 X-UIDL: 42933-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU005Z5HD27Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 18:05:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GA5q7n060141 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 18:05:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTYJ046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:01:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1426209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GA13lx027186 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:01:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GA0t7S008987 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:00:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GA0tfH008986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:00:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:00:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310161000.h9GA0tfH008986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 161000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 11N145W 07N153W 10N159W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND EXPANDED IN AREAL COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N170W 10N163W 07N161W 06N169W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 22:46:55 2003 X-UIDL: 42934-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU00587HHL7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 18:08:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GA8a7n060377 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 18:08:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTYH046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:58:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1426203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:58:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G9wblx040298 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:58:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9G9wT7S008922 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9G9wTWC008921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:58:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310160958.h9G9wTWC008921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 160958 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 16 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/0600 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N111W DRIFTING WEST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND 113W. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N122W DRIFTING DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N120W...AND 11.5N122W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 8N TO 13N BETWEEN 117W AND 125W. ..TROPICAL WAVE 91W/92W SOUTH OF 21N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50-60 NM RADIUS OF 13N91.5W SOUTH OF GUATEMALA AND SW OF EL SALVADOR. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO THE COASTS OF MEXICO AND GUATEMALA BETWEEN 90W AND 95W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 8N104W 11N121W 9N131W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 108W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 22:46:57 2003 X-UIDL: 42940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU005E3JD97Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 18:48:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GAnA7n064591 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 18:49:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538Jr049282; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:42:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1426395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:42:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GAgllx077144 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:42:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GAgd7S009364 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:42:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GAgdvg009363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:42:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 05:42:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310161042.h9GAgdvg009363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 161042 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 830 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 22:47:08 2003 X-UIDL: 42953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU007QTT0CDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 22:17:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GEHLWk081432 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 22:17:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTdf046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:01:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1428295 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:01:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GE1Mlx077172 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GE1F7S012178 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:01:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GE1FRG012177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:01:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:01:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310161401.h9GE1FRG012177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 161400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU OCT 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:17 2003 X-UIDL: 42962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU007WGXWOGQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:02:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GG3FWk092743 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:03:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTjt046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 10:48:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1430195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 10:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GFmnlx053878 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 10:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GFmg7S015435 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 10:48:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GFmgZd015434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 10:48:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 10:48:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310161548.h9GFmgZd015434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 161548 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 16 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1200 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N122W DRIFTING W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 93W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 10N110W 11N122W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 6N130W AND 12N120W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 9N87W 9N92W 14N95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42966-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV005V20057Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:48:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGmX7n004379 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:48:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538TX049282; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:28:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1431016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:28:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGSalx017996 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:28:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GGST7S016462 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GGSSTu016461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:28:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:28:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310161628.h9GGSSTu016461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 161628 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 1080 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SOME ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 890 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42967-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007XZ0D2DE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:55:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGuL7n005205 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EGsuhp092374; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1431396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGkplx045560 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GGkh7S017022 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GGkh3A017020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310161646.h9GGkh3A017020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z-171800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 73.2E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.3S9 72.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 55 NM NORTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS TEMPORARILY DISSIPATED DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF A TRANSITORY RIDGE TO THE SOUTH CUTTING OFF THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE TRANSITORY RIDGE WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO BE FOLLOWED BY A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE APPROACH OF THE TROUGH FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL IMPROVE THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALLOWING FOR THE CONVECTION TO FLARE UP ONCE AGAIN OVER THE ESTABLISHED LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42968-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007YN0DYDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:56:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGuqWk098186 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:56:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsmf046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1431389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGkplx025420 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GGkh7S017021 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GGkhJ5017019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 11:46:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310161646.h9GGkhJ5017019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z-171800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 73.2E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.3S9 72.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 55 NM NORTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS TEMPORARILY DISSIPATED DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF A TRANSITORY RIDGE TO THE SOUTH CUTTING OFF THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE TRANSITORY RIDGE WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO BE FOLLOWED BY A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE APPROACH OF THE TROUGH FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL IMPROVE THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALLOWING FOR THE CONVECTION TO FLARE UP ONCE AGAIN OVER THE ESTABLISHED LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42975-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007709E4GQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 04:10:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GKBN7n025735 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 04:11:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538Zt049282; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 14:53:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1435158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 14:53:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GJrNlx079454 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 14:53:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GJrF7S022352 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 14:53:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GJrFww022351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 14:53:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 14:53:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310161953.h9GJrFww022351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 161945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU OCT 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:31 2003 X-UIDL: 42978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007EJE68DE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:54:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GLsc7n036603 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:54:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNs79046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:46:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1437085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:46:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GLk8lx009550 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:46:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GLk17S025595 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GLk1uG025594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:46:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310162146.h9GLk1uG025594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 162145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 12N140W 10N145W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08N152W 08N158W 10N164W 08N174W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 10N177W CONTINUING WEST OF THE DATELINE THROUGH 11N176E 07N171E. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 17S144W 17S137W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 25S156W 21S161W HAVE MOVED E 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINTS 07S168W AND 08S174W. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:31 2003 X-UIDL: 42979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV00714EO1GQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 06:04:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GM5K7n038252 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 06:05:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNs7X046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:53:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1437229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:53:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GLrHlx014892 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:53:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GLr97S025713 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:53:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GLr9YL025712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:53:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:53:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310162153.h9GLr9YL025712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 162152 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 16 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT. THIS MORNING'S QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTED A WELL DEFINED WAVE PASSING OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE EXTENDS FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W. ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12.2N122.4W DRIFTING WEST. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION DISPLACED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM TO THE WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 123W AND 124W. BASED ON A 1348Z QUIKSCAT PASS...THE LOW REMAINS ALONG OR JUST BARELY NORTH OF THE ITCZ. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N77W 10N85W 9N100W 10N111W 11N120W 8N133W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 155 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 92W...AND 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE 150 NM SOUTH OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ ROBERTS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:32 2003 X-UIDL: 42980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007ABF0ZGQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 06:12:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GMD57n038990 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 06:13:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNs8N046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 17:02:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1437415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 17:02:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GM2Plx033962 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 17:02:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GM2H7S025977 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 17:02:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GM2Hbn025976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 17:02:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 17:02:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310162202.h9GM2Hbn025976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 162202 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME GRADUALLY LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:36 2003 X-UIDL: 42986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007SWPCTDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:55:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H1u77n060733 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:56:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsEf046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 20:45:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1439936 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 20:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H1jNlx037620 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 20:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H1jF7S029058 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 20:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H1jFkU029057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 20:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 20:45:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170145.h9H1jFkU029057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 170145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU OCT 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:39 2003 X-UIDL: 42994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007TFR6SDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:35:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H2Zm7n065465 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:35:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsFH046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:24:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1440213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:24:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H2O2lx024980 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:24:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H2Nt7S029528 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:23:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H2NsZC029526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:23:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:23:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170223.h9H2NsZC029526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170130 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 18.6N5 151.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.3N6 148.6E9, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 130.6E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.8N4 132.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. A RECENT 162211Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BECOMING MORE CONSOLIDATED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE OVER THE NEWLY ESTABLISHED LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVERHEAD ENHANCING OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO POOR AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(2) FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:40 2003 X-UIDL: 42997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007MGRT6GQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:48:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H2nE7n067285 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:49:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GJ4XvJ092374; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1440470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H2bqlx034388 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H2bi7S029721 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H2biQN029719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170237.h9H2biQN029719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/170130Z-170600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 18.6N5 151.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.3N6 148.6E9, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 130.6E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.8N4 132.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. A RECENT 162211Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BECOMING MORE CONSOLIDATED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE OVER THE NEWLY ESTABLISHED LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVERHEAD ENHANCING OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO POOR AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(2) FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:42 2003 X-UIDL: 43005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007NOVGCGQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:07:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H47sWk067087 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:07:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538lR049282; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 22:56:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1441082 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 22:56:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H3u8lx043940 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 22:56:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H3u07S000523 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 22:56:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H3u0xQ000522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 22:56:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 22:56:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170356.h9H3u0xQ000522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 170355 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 17 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/0000 UTC... ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N123W DRIFTING WEST. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 119W AND 125W. ..TROPICAL WAVE 79W/80W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE 95W/96W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. BROAD CYCLONIC ROTATION OF THE MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 7N TO THE MEXICO COAST BETWEEN 87W AND 100W. ITCZ ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 90W AND 98W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 877W 10N100W 12N122W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN COASTAL PLAINS AND WATERS FROM NICARAGUA TO HONDURAS/EL SALVADOR NEAR SOME UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW...AND WEST OF THE APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:43 2003 X-UIDL: 43009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007PKXRCDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:57:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H4vfWk071911 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:57:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsJH046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 23:51:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1441422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 23:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H4p2lx034098 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 23:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H4os7S001006 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 23:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H4osxt001004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 23:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 23:50:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170450.h9H4osxt001004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 170450 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ANOTHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT FOR BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:44 2003 X-UIDL: 43012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007V9ZG2GQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 13:33:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H5Y77n084818 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 13:34:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538lj049282; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1441853 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H5KYlx077492 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H5KQ7S001385 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H5KQ3P001383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170520.h9H5KQ3P001383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z-180600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 21.3N6 148.6E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.5N9 147.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8N4 132.0E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:50 2003 X-UIDL: 43026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW007EB6LVGQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:08:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H88n7n002384 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:08:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsOr046006; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:01:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1442509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:01:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H817lx019506 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:01:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H8107S002913 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H80xKQ002912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:00:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:00:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170800.h9H80xKQ002912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 170800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU OCT 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:52 2003 X-UIDL: 43031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW007B1C4FGQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 18:07:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HA7v7n015122 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 18:07:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsR7046006; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:01:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1443234 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:01:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HA11lx087438 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HA0s7S004147 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HA0sfg004146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:00:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171000.h9HA0sfg004146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 171000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10N145W 08N141W 06N145W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11N172W 13N167W 09N162W 07N167W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:53 2003 X-UIDL: 43035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW007RMCO4GQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 18:19:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HAJhWk004460 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 18:19:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsRB046006; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:06:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1443251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:06:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HA62lx087498 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:06:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HA5t7S004208 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:05:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HA5tpZ004207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:05:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:05:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171005.h9HA5tpZ004207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 171005 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 17 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/0600 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N124W DRIFTING WEST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 119W AND 127W. ..TROPICAL WAVE 80W/81W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE 97W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. BROAD CYCLONIC ROTATION OF THE MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FROM 7N TO THE MEXICO COAST BETWEEN 87W AND 102W. ITCZ ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 102W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 11N103W 10N120W 9N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N TO 7N BETWEEN 76W AND 79W...AND WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 89W AND 92W IN COASTAL PLAINS AND WATERS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA...NEAR SOME UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW...AND WEST OF THE APPROACHING TROPICAL WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 14N TO MEXICO COAST BETWEEN 94W AND 100W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:54 2003 X-UIDL: 43038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW007TID5CDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 18:29:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HAU4Wk005435 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 18:30:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsRF046006; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:24:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1443294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:24:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HAOhlx041780 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:24:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HAOa7S004354 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:24:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HAOaTo004353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:24:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 05:24:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171024.h9HAOaTo004353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 171024 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI OCT 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ANOTHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT FOR BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:00 2003 X-UIDL: 43059-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW00BNBN9T89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:08:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HE8g7n037943 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:08:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H5vlsj049282; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:00:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1444987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:00:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HE0plx027218 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:00:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HE0h7S007145 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:00:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HE0hjn007144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:00:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:00:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171400.h9HE0hjn007144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 171400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI OCT 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:03 2003 X-UIDL: 43065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW00BX0PHY89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:56:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HEut7n042518 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:56:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H5vltb049282; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:40:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1445360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:39:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HEdBlx089096 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:39:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HEd47S008049 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HEd4tr008047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:39:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171439.h9HEd4tr008047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 171400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/171400Z-180600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.5N9 147.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8N4 132.0E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:03 2003 X-UIDL: 43067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW00BVPSBA89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:57:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HFvYWk036894 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:57:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5InR052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:46:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1446219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HFkdlx007736 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HFkV7S010013 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HFkVAt010012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:46:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171546.h9HFkVAt010012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 171546 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 17 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/1200 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 13N125W DRIFTING WEST. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 123W-127W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 98W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS W OF THE AXIS FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 99W-101W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 10N105W 11N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 90W-96W...AND 120 NM WIDE BETWEEN 135W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N103W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:05 2003 X-UIDL: 43072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW00B4LTD189@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:19:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HGKBWk039530 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:20:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IoR052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 11:08:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1446534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 11:08:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HG8Blx065598 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 11:08:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HG837S010597 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 11:08:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HG83rX010596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 11:08:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 11:08:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171608.h9HG83rX010596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 171608 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:05 2003 X-UIDL: 43074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW00BP1XQO89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 01:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HHsoWk049792 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 01:54:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IAj036516; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1448580 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HHmHlx095856 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HHmA7S013159 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HHmAZc013157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171748.h9HHmAZc013157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z-181800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.3S9 72.2E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.8S4 69.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY VERIFIES A WEAK LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/LAM/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:06 2003 X-UIDL: 43075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW00BG3Y9Q89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:05:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HI6FWk050852 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:06:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF2oq3092530; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1448583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HHmHlx082626 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HHmA7S013160 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HHmAU6013158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 12:48:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171748.h9HHmAU6013158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z-181800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.3S9 72.2E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.8S4 69.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY VERIFIES A WEAK LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/LAM/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:07 2003 X-UIDL: 43081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00B1W3C589@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 03:55:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HJtj7n074435 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 03:55:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5I49052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 14:48:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1450535 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 14:48:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HJmulx055380 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 14:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HJmi7S016159 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 14:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HJmiYt016158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 14:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 14:48:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171948.h9HJmiYt016158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 171948 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI OCT 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BN87O989@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:28:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HLTOWk072571 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:29:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5I91052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:26:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1452167 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:26:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HLQ2lx087298 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:26:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HLPsQS018558 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:25:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HLPs35018557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:25:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:25:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310172125.h9HLPs35018557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 172125 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 17 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/1800 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N125.5W DRIFTING WSW. THE SYSTEM IS LOOSELY ORGANIZED WITH ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N15N BETWEEN 122W-128W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 83W/84W S OF 19N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CLUSTER OF MODERATE IS NEAR 9N85W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 99W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 97W-101W BETWEEN 8N-11N. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 17N106W NW TO 27N125W N INTO A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 34N126W CONTINUING SW TO 27N133W THEN BEYOND 25N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 10N91W 8N120W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 90W-101W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS NEAR 9N104W ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AND ALONG COLOMBIA WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COAST. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43087-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BPP7QH89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:30:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HLUb7n086611 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:30:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5I8n052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:18:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1452063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:18:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HLIulx089144 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:18:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HLImQS018435 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:18:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HLImYD018434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:18:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:18:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310172118.h9HLImYD018434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 172118 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...08N140W 10N165W 08N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45NM OF LINE 08N140W 07N143W 08N149W 07N151W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED/LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 12N164W 08N173W 09N179W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT...30N149W 27N155W 26N160W AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 25NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND HIGH CLOUDS. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...25S151W 19S160W AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S. OCCASIONAL TCU AND OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 75NM OF LINE 10S176W 05S177W. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:10 2003 X-UIDL: 43089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00B3AB5889@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 06:43:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HMiNWk078247 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 06:44:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5ICR052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 17:27:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1453116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 17:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HMRRlx040268 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 17:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HMRJQS019485 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 17:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HMRJXE019484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 17:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 17:27:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310172227.h9HMRJXE019484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 172227 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:13 2003 X-UIDL: 43097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BHFJGQ89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 09:43:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I1i7Wk093448 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 09:44:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IFD052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 20:35:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1454352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 20:35:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I1ZNlx089108 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 20:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I1ZGQS021498 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 20:35:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I1ZGm0021497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 20:35:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 20:35:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180135.h9I1ZGm0021497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 180135 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI OCT 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:15 2003 X-UIDL: 43104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00B3VNO189@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:14:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I3EpWk002320 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:14:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IHt052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1455376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I35Qlx089258 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I35IQS022414 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I35IiK022412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180305.h9I35IiK022412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/180300Z-180600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 131.1E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 131.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 148.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF BROAD CONVECTION SOUTH OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2), UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/LAM/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:16 2003 X-UIDL: 43107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BHTQCH89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:12:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I4Cb7n023287 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:12:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IJ3052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:06:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1456134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:06:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I46Glx008382 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:06:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I469QS022925 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:06:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I4693w022924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:06:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:06:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180406.h9I4693w022924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 180406 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 18 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/0000 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N116W. SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED BURST OF CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 116W AND 117W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N127W MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 KT. ISOLATED BURST OF CONVECTION FROM 14N TO 15N BETWEEN 124W AND 125W. ..TROPICAL WAVE 78W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE WAS REPOSITIONED IN ORDER TO AGREE WITH THE LONG TERM SATELLITE IMAGERY DATA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IN COLOMBIA FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 75W AND 77W MIGHT BE RELATED TO THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE 91W/92W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE WAS REPOSITIONED IN ORDER TO AGREE WITH THE LONG TERM SATELLITE IMAGERY DATA. NOT EASY TO DETERMINE EXACTLY IF ANY CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE 103W/104W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE WAS REPOSITIONED IN ORDER TO AGREE WITH THE LONG TERM SATELLITE IMAGERY DATA. NO DEEP CONVECTION DIRECTLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THIS WAVE. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 10N93W 10N100W 11N128W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 105W...AND WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 134W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO EL SALVADOR... AND IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF MEXICO BETWEEN 93W AND 99W. SPECIFICALLY...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 89W AND 90W IN INTERIOR OF EL SALVADOR AND IN ITS COASTAL WATERS. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:17 2003 X-UIDL: 43112-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BCNSIT89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I4xlWk011743 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IJV052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:53:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1456426 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:53:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I4rDlx077200 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:53:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I4r6QS023288 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:53:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I4r6rR023287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:53:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 23:53:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180453.h9I4r6rR023287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 180452 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:19 2003 X-UIDL: 43117-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BX1V7U89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 13:57:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I5w3Wk017023 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 13:58:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52Un3036528; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1457085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I5pelx072362 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I5pXQS023815 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I5pXVr023813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180551.h9I5pXVr023813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z-190600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 131.0E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 130.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS MULTIPLE LLCCS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 148.0E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 147.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 174 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF BROAD CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH ENHANCED MONSOON WESTERLIES SOUTH OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:20 2003 X-UIDL: 43122-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BJ1Z1S89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 15:20:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I7KjWk024858 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 15:20:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52UnN036528; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1457520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I79Mlx031018 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I79EQS024434 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I79EbM024432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180709.h9I79EbM024432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/180730Z-190600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 131.0E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 130.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS MULTIPLE LLCCS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 147.1E3, IS NOW LOCATED FURTHER NORTH NEAR 16.5N2 147.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A VERY SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE SMALL MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43124-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00BNN0WD89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:00:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I80g7n045707 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:00:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5ILR052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:46:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1457710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I7kAlx043834 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I7k3QS024710 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I7k3Yq024709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:46:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180746.h9I7k3Yq024709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 180745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI OCT 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00B3P4UW89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 17:25:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I9QFWk036890 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 17:26:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52U2R034946; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1458166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I9Bblx096162 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I9BTQS025622 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I9BTPb025620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180911.h9I9BTPb025620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/180930Z-190600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 130.0E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 130.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A SURGE IN THE WESTERLIES, EQUATORWARD OF THE SYSTEM, HAS ENHANCED THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD CIRCULATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS INDICATED THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED. SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS MULTIPLE LLCCS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 147.1E3, IS NOW LOCATED FURTHER NORTH NEAR 16.5N2 147.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A VERY SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 43136-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00BLX6PY89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 18:05:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IA6GWk041628 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 18:06:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IMb052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:55:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1458427 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:55:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I9tolx077212 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I9thQS025942 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:55:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I9tgd1025941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:55:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:55:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180955.h9I9tgd1025941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 180955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0730 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N140W 07N140W 06N154W 11N152W AND MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 09N169W 07N178W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N166W 17N162W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 09S161W MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S178W 12S179W 11S173E 07S170E 04S172E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 43137-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00BCP79T89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 18:17:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IAIEWk042718 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 18:18:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IMh052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:11:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1458494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:11:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IAB0lx095842 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:11:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IAAqQS026103 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:10:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IAAqJp026102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:10:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:10:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181010.h9IAAqJp026102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 181010 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 18 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/0600 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N116W. SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN ITCZ FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 115W AND 119W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N127W MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W. ..TROPICAL WAVE 79W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION DIRECTLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE 91W/92W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NOT EASY TO DETERMINE EXACTLY IF THE SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF EL SALVADOR AND MEXICO NORTH OF 11N BETWEEN 88W AND 93W IS DIRECTLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE 103W/104W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION DIRECTLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THIS WAVE. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 10N91W 10N107W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 90W...FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 87W INCLUDING INLAND OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA... AND IN COASTAL PLAINS/WATERS OF COLOMBIA FROM 1N TO 8N BETWEEN 76W AND 79W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IN COASTAL WATERS OF EL SALVADOR AND MEXICO NORTH OF 11N BETWEEN 88W AND 93W. DISSIPATING BURST OF CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 15.5N99W. ISOLATED BURST OF CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM RADIUS OF 19N104.5W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:25 2003 X-UIDL: 43138-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00BKR83G89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 18:35:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IAa7Wk044161 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 18:36:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF2o5f092530; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:29:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1458644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:29:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IATPlx025358 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:29:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IATHQS026224 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:29:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IATHPh026223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:29:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 05:29:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181029.h9IATHPh026223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 181029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT OCT 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:28 2003 X-UIDL: 43146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00D6JGPSP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:41:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IDgHWk059147 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:42:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF2o7Z092530; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1460026 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IDYilx049288 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IDYbQS027658 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IDYafh027656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181334.h9IDYafh027656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 181330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/181330Z-190600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181251Z OCT 03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 130.1E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 130.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A SURGE IN THE WESTERLIES, EQUATORWARD OF THE SYSTEM, HAS ENHANCED THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD CIRCULATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 181056Z1 MICROWAVE PASS INDICATED THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD, BUT HAS BEGUN TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THERE REMAINS A POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE LLCCS WITHIN THE TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 181300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 147.1E3, IS NOW LOCATED FURTHER NORTH NEAR 16.5N2 147.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A VERY SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:28 2003 X-UIDL: 43148-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00DSDH15P6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:48:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IDn8Wk059876 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:49:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IPr052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:45:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1460129 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IDjjlx067248 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IDjcQS027761 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IDjcSK027760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:45:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181345.h9IDjcSK027760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 181345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT OCT 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:31 2003 X-UIDL: 43156-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00D0PO5SP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:22:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IGN5Wk073808 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:23:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF2o8b092530; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:19:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1461483 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:19:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IGJHm1098424 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:19:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IG2iQS029043 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:02:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IG2T1Q029042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:02:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:02:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181602.h9IG2T1Q029042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 181602 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 18 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1200 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 9N118W MOVING WEST 10 KT ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 11N130W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 81W SOUTH OF 19N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTION DIRECTLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO THIS WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 106W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTION IS ALONG THE ITCZ. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 12N95W 10N 105W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 50 NM WIDE BETWEEN 87W AND 105W AND 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 115W AND 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 10N129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:32 2003 X-UIDL: 43157-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00D1DORFP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:35:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IGZxWk074989 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:36:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IT7052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:29:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1461623 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:29:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IGTOlx043898 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:29:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IGTGQS029242 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:29:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IGTGpn029241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:29:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:29:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181629.h9IGTGpn029241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 181629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT OCT 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. WHILE THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:33 2003 X-UIDL: 43159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00DBMSXFP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 02:05:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9II5o7n000704 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 02:05:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52UV7034946; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1462272 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IHxUlx070554 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IHxMQS029994 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IHxMID029991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181759.h9IHxMID029991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z-191800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8S4 69.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/NOREN/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:33 2003 X-UIDL: 43160-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00DSDTB9P6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 02:13:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IIEHWk084173 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 02:14:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5ITv052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1462269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IHxUlx096058 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IHxMQS029993 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IHxMDd029992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 12:59:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181759.h9IHxMDd029992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z-191800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8S4 69.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/NOREN/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:35 2003 X-UIDL: 43164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00DEDX30P6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:35:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IJZq7n009478 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:35:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IVT052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 14:30:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1463041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 14:30:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IJUdlx077382 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 14:30:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IJUVQS000817 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 14:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IJUV3K000816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 14:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 14:30:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181930.h9IJUV3K000816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 181930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT OCT 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:37 2003 X-UIDL: 43169-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00D433RLP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:59:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IM0F7n022900 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:00:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IYF052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:50:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1464431 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:50:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ILoqlx079414 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:50:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ILojQS002148 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:50:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ILoi4v002147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:50:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:50:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310182150.h9ILoi4v002147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 182150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 18 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 93W N OF 3N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 107W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 8N119W MOVING W 5-10 KT ..A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N130W NEAR STATIONARY. ..WEAK 1019 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 29N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 11N91W 10N107W 8N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 96W...FROM 118W TO 121W...WITHIN 200 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 96W TO 102W...AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 99W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 118W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N128W TO 13N129W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF 14.5N FROM 124W TO 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 120 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 5N AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM 5N TO 7N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:37 2003 X-UIDL: 43170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DKJ42GP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:06:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IM6mWk004665 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:06:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IYJ052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:55:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1464484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:55:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ILtSlx053924 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:55:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ILtKQS002240 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:55:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ILtKxR002239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:55:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:55:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310182155.h9ILtKxR002239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 182155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...08N140W 06N158W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND 13N152W 15N159W 06N180. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07N155W 07N152W 05N153W 07N155W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND DECREASED IN SIZE. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 16N158W 14N155W 15N160W 16N158W. NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 70NM OF LINE 09N173W 06N180. FRONT...30N140W 26N150W AND EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 25NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 7KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND HIGH CLOUDS. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...25S145W 18S160W 15S176W AND CONTINUING AS FRONT SOUTH OF 25S. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 10NM OF LINE 24S146W 23S147W. OCCASIONAL TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 200NM S OF SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 06S169W 06S163W 09S164W 06S169W. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:38 2003 X-UIDL: 43173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00D145E6P6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IMZQ3S002576 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:35:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IYX052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 17:29:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1464671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 17:29:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IMT8lx097018 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 17:29:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IMT0QS002535 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 17:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IMT079002534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 17:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 17:29:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310182229.h9IMT079002534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 182228 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:39 2003 X-UIDL: 43176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DRBDMDP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 09:32:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J1X9ip014863 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 09:33:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IbR052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 20:30:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1466073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 20:30:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J1Uglx028066 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 20:30:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J1UYQS004014 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 20:30:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J1UYYe004013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 20:30:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 20:30:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190130.h9J1UYYe004013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 190130 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:37 2003 X-UIDL: 43186-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DOQKQSP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:06:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J46gip026893 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:06:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5Idv052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:02:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1467374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:02:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J42clx025556 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:02:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J42VQS005145 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:02:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J42Vp7005144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:02:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:02:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190402.h9J42Vp7005144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 190402 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 19 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0000 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N120W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ANY CONVECTION IS IN ITCZ. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N131W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. UPPER LEVEL 32N132W 11N130W TROUGH SHEARING THE WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 126W AND 130W. ..TROPICAL WAVE 83W/84W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION IS IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE 94W/95W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION IS IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE 108W/109W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION IS IN ITCZ. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 19N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N76W 11N94W 10N127W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS...INCLUDING ALONG THE CENTRAL AMERICA COAST FROM PANAMA TO EL SALVADOR BETWEEN 76W AND 88W...BETWEEN 94W AND 120W. UPPER LEVEL 32N132W 11N130W TROUGH SHEARING THE WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 126W AND 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 125 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...HIGH LEVEL TROUGH 11N130W 22N130W BEYOND 32N132W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:44 2003 X-UIDL: 43187-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DQWKSWP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:07:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J488ip026994 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:08:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5Idx052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:05:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1467386 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:05:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J45Elx017200 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:05:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J456QS005163 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:05:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J456FO005162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:05:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:05:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190405.h9J456FO005162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 190404 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT OCT 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:47 2003 X-UIDL: 43190-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DKVLFDP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:21:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J4Lgip028291 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:21:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52U0j036528; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1467428 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J4CDlx078774 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J4C6QS005245 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J4C6KJ005243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190412.h9J4C6KJ005243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/190400Z-190600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W, LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 850 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 130.1E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 147.1E3, IS NOW LOCATED FURTHER NORTH NEAR 16.5N2 147.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A VERY SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.A.(1) AND UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:53 2003 X-UIDL: 43196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DTXQ07P6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 14:00:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J60R3S036845 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 14:00:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52U1L036528; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:54:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1468126 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:54:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J5s4lx096890 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:54:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J5rvQS005939 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:53:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J5ruV6005937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:53:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:53:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190553.h9J5ruV6005937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z-200600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W, LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 850 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 147.2E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 146.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:57 2003 X-UIDL: 43202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DBTV1GP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:48:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J7nJip046430 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:49:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5Ifr052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 02:45:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1468529 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 02:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J7jtlx092640 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 02:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J7jlQS006756 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 02:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J7jl4u006755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 02:45:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 02:45:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190745.h9J7jl4u006755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 190745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:59 2003 X-UIDL: 43207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000DQP18NP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 18:02:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JA3F3S056223 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 18:03:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IhH052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 04:56:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1469588 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 04:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J9u0lx027950 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 04:56:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J9tqQS007992 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 04:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J9tqAa007991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 04:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 04:55:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190955.h9J9tqAa007991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 190955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N140W 06N144W AND MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 11N148W 14N155W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE... WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 09N176W 09N179E AND MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL LOW...A FEW NEW CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 20N164W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10S171W 12S167W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 43209-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000DYI1GXP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 18:07:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JA8B3S056613 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 18:08:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IhN052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:04:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1469648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:04:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JA4Ylx046020 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:04:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JA4QQS008108 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:04:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JA4QYL008107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:04:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:04:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191004.h9JA4QYL008107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 191004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 19 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0600 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N120W FROM SIX HOURS AGO NO LONGER EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY OR OBSERVATIONS. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N132W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. UPPER LEVEL 30N129W 11N129W TROUGH SHEARING WHICHEVER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINS FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. ..TROPICAL WAVE 85W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION IS IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE 95W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE ALONG WAVE NEAR 10N. ANY CONVECTION IS IN ITCZ. ..TROPICAL WAVE 109W/110W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ANY CONVECTION IS IN ITCZ. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 19N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N76W 11N96W 11N121W 9N129W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS...INCLUDING ALONG THE CENTRAL AMERICA COAST FROM THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER TO EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA. UPPER LEVEL 30N129W 21N130W 11N129W TROUGH SHEARING WHICHEVER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINS FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 11N129W 21N130W TO 30N129W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 43210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000D9V1QLP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 18:13:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JAE2ip057782 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 18:14:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IhP052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:10:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1469681 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:10:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JAAPlx070422 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:10:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JAAHQS008145 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:10:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JAAH9o008144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:10:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:10:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191010.h9JAAH9o008144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 191010 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SUN OCT 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 43215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000DEG5QVP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:40:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JBefip064810 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:40:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IiJ052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1470092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JBYHlx078636 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JBY9QS008788 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JBY9dm008786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191134.h9JBY9dm008786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 191130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUE/191130Z-200600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191051ZOCT2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 850 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 146.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 145.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM NORTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS REVEAL THAT CONVECTION IS BETTER ORGANIZED OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA WITH MODERATE OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 191100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:07 2003 X-UIDL: 43221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FUXBOMQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 21:48:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JDmX3S074429 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 21:48:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5Ijv052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 08:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1471004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 08:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JDjZlx067172 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 08:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JDjRQS009839 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 08:45:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JDjRra009838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 08:45:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 08:45:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191345.h9JDjRra009838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 191345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FX9H7EQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:47:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JFlvip087480 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:48:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLmn052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:44:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1472128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:44:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JFi9lx078674 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JFi1QS010716 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:44:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JFi1TE010715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:44:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:44:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191544.h9JFi1TE010715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 191543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 19 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/1200 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N132W MOVING W 5-10 KT. LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THE LOW CENTER A BIT FARTHER S THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 87W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS IS NOT A WELL-DEFINED WAVE. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 87W-91W COULD BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W/97W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A 1008 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N. SATELLITE PICTURES REVEAL A SYSTEM WITH GOOD TURNING AND SOME CONVECTION. IT APPEARS TO BE A CANDIDATE TO BECOME NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE EPAC. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 95W-100W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 95W-101W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 110W-114W. ..1018 MB HIGH IS NEAR 30N128W WITH RIDGE SE TO 19N111W NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND AND SW TO 22N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 10N88W 11N110W 7N140W. SCATTERED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 104W-115W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W-125W AND FROM 6N-8N E OF 81W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 13.5N92.5W AND 13N129W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 43231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FSTKD4QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:55:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JGuKip094136 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:56:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLnP052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 11:49:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1472476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 11:49:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JGnIlx098330 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 11:49:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JGTvQS011064 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 11:29:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JGTvHv011063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 11:29:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 11:29:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191629.h9JGTvHv011063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 191629 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SUN OCT 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:16 2003 X-UIDL: 43235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FFJMTYQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 01:49:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JHnZ3S098162 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 01:49:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLoN052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1473014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JHjPlx040416 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JHjHQS011719 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JHjH3C011717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191745.h9JHjH3C011717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z-201800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:17 2003 X-UIDL: 43236-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FHCMW0QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 01:50:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JHovip099850 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 01:51:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52U61036528; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1473011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JHjPlx072236 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JHjHQS011720 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JHjH9c011718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:45:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191745.h9JHjH9c011718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z-201800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:19 2003 X-UIDL: 43241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000F6TSKYQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:53:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JJruip012177 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:53:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLqd052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 14:50:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1474162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 14:50:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JJoelx021986 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 14:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JJoWQS013123 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 14:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JJoWpc013122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 14:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 14:50:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191950.h9JJoWpc013122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 191950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN OCT 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000F90YBEQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 05:57:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JLvZip023431 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 05:57:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLtn052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:53:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1475535 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:53:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JLrclx027296 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:53:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JLrUQS014212 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:53:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JLrUwP014211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:53:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:53:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310192153.h9JLrUwP014211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 192153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 19 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 88W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W S OF 15N WITH A 1009 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. THIS LOW IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND WILL POSSIBLE BE A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. ..A WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS JUST S OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA NEAR 21N107W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 112W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N134W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A 1021 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 29N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 11N90W 14N99W 12N110W 9N123W 6N132W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 103W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 102W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 98W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 95W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 117W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF GUATEMALA AND MEXICO FROM 91W TO 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS ALL OF PANAMA...COSTA RICA S OF 10N...AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION...ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW/WAVE...COVERS THE AREA WITHIN 100 NM OF 9.5N FROM 97W TO 102W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FINYGGQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:00:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JM0pip023799 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:00:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwMLb034946; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:55:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1475548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JLtTlx027966 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JLtLQS014234 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JLtLxd014233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:55:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310192155.h9JLtLxd014233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 192155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK UPPER LOW...NEAR 23N163W NEARLY STATIONARY. TROUGH EXTENDS SOUTHWEST FROM LOW TO 17N168W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF 16N160W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK FRONT...THROUGH 30N147W 28166W 30N172W MOVED SOUTHEAST 25 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 35 NM OF FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 06N140W 06N145W MOVED WEST 5-10 KT AND REMAINED FAIRLY SPARSE AND WEAK. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S143W 20S153W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 16S173W. FRONT DRIFTING EAST SLOWLY. SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13S169W 12S176W MOVED SOUTHWEST 5 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ACROSS THE DATELINE WITHIN 200 NM OF LINE 10S176E 17S180 MOVED SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 10:00:30 2003 X-UIDL: 43256-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100G2X9I9SI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:58:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K1xO3S044281 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:59:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwL0H052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 20:50:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1477642 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 20:50:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K1oYlx045828 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 20:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K1oQQS016519 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 20:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K1oQra016518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 20:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 20:50:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200150.h9K1oQra016518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 200150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 12:07:07 2003 X-UIDL: 43266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100GHVF0JSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:57:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K3wT3S057360 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:58:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwL47052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:55:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1479119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K3tOlx078698 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K3tGQS017609 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K3tGDJ017608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:55:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200355.h9K3tGDJ017608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 200354 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 20 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1008 MB LOW....IS NEAR 9N98W MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 98W-102W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 89W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 113W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N136W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A 1018 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 30N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N90W 11N100W 11N110W 10N120W 6N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 119W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 86W-88W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N90W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 15N100W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 12:44:43 2003 X-UIDL: 43273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100GG5H1PSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:41:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K4gEip063721 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:42:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwL5F052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:39:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1479705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:39:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K4dllx045368 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:39:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K4ddQS017928 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K4ddOm017927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:39:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:39:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200439.h9K4ddOm017927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 200439 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SUN OCT 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 13:45:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43275-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100GHPJRKSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:40:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K5f7ip068786 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:41:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwL7n052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1480581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K5X9lx055312 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K5X1QS018386 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K5X1pX018384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200533.h9K5X1pX018384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z-210600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191051ZOCT2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 145.2E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.2N4 143.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT SSMI AND AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A WEAK LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE OUTFLOW WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 191100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 15:47:34 2003 X-UIDL: 43292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100IP0P65G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:37:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K7bfip081107 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:37:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwL8d052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 02:30:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1481262 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 02:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K7UVlx027178 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 02:30:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K7UNQS019416 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 02:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K7UNna019415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 02:30:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 02:30:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200730.h9K7UNna019415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 200730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN OCT 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 17:27:35 2003 X-UIDL: 43304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100GF6U4VSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:24:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K9P4ip091010 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:25:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLAP052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:19:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1482435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:19:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K9JVlx047046 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:19:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K9JNQS020499 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:19:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K9JNQ9020498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:19:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:19:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200919.h9K9JNQ9020498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 200919 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...08N140W 06N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120NM OF LINE 04N162W 07N174W 05N180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM OF LINE 04N140W 04N162W. FRONT...30N148W 25N166W 30N173W AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST OF 30N148W AND NORTHWEST OF 173W. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 18KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND HIGH CLOUDS. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...25S143W 22S144W 17S150W EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S AND CONTINUING AS SHEARLINE 13S160W 14S170W. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED BOUNDED BY 20S142W 25S138W 25S141W 23S143W 20S142W. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS PARTLY BOUNDED BY 16S150W 19S140W 25S137W 25S146W 19S151W 16S150W AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10KT AND INCREASED IN AREA. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 200NM SOUTH OF SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. CONVERGENCE ZONE...CENTERED 12S172W 22S180. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S174W 14S167W 21S174W 16S178W 11S174W HAS MOVED SOUTH AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND EXPANDED IN SIZE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE ZONE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NIL. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 17:47:35 2003 X-UIDL: 43306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100GZ4URYSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:38:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K9csip092308 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:38:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLAT052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:35:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1482496 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:35:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K9Z8lx029112 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:35:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K9Z0QS020617 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:35:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K9Z0Ue020616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:35:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:35:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200935.h9K9Z0Ue020616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 200934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 20 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...A 1008 MB LOW....IS NEAR 10N99W MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 99W-102W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 91W N OF 4N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 113W/114W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N136W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A 1020 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 30N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N90W 11N110W 11N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-10N BETWEEN 84W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 87W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 87W-88W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 112W-115W...AND FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 120W-125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 98W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 77W-79W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 18:07:34 2003 X-UIDL: 43308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100I87VVBG6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 18:01:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KA2Y3S094920 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 18:02:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLAl052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:58:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1482644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:58:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K9wUlx096148 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:58:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K9wMQS020759 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:58:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K9wMF6020758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:58:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:58:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200958.h9K9wMF6020758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 200958 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF CLOUDS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS CENTERED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION ..AND SOME FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 23:34:33 2003 X-UIDL: 43313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IQT068G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 19:34:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KBZU3S004180 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 19:35:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K49jHT051108; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1483101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KBQflx077306 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KBQXQS021463 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KBQXW6021461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201126.h9KBQXW6021461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 201130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/201130Z-210600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200751ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201051ZOCT2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200600Z8, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 145.2E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.1N3 143.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED AROUND THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200828Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND CONTINUES TO BE HARD TO LOCATE ON IMAGERY. 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE OUTFLOW WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 201100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1) AND 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 23:34:40 2003 X-UIDL: 43318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200G695VCSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:38:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KDcZip015394 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:38:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLEN052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 08:30:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1484919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 08:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KDUrlx065780 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 08:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KDUjQS023070 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 08:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KDUjKb023069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 08:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 08:30:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201330.h9KDUjKb023069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 201330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON OCT 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 01:24:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IL9D22G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:13:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KGDXip031000 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:13:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLKl052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:43:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1487481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:43:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KFhilx025002 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:43:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KFhaQS027071 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:43:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KFhaqS027070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:43:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:43:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201543.h9KFhaqS027070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 201543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 20 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...1007 MB LOW....IS NEAR 10N100W MOVING W AT 10 KT. SEE MIADSAEP FOR MORE INFORMATION. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS REPOSITIONED SLIGHTLY E ALONG 90W N OF 4N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE WAVE IS DIFFICULT TO POSITION WITH LITTLE LONG-TERM CONTINUITY. IN ADDITION.. THE EPAC N OF 8N E OF 90W SEEMS TO BE DOMINATED BY A LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC FLOW STRETCHING INTO THE SW CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 91.5W FROM 11N-13.5W ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 114W S OF 14N MOVING W 5-10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 113W-117W ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N138W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N139W. ..1020 MB HIGH IS NEAR 30N128W WITH RIDGE SE TO NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND NEAR 19N111W AND SW TO 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1515 UTC... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N100W... VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SUGGEST THERE IS A SMALL CIRCULATION WITH CURVED BAND FEATURES. THE SYSTEM APPEARS CLOSE TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. SEE MIATWOEP FOR MORE DETAILS. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8.5N-11.5N BETWEEN 100W-103W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 13N102W AND 11N99W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N85W 10N110W 11N110W 12N118W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 123W-128W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 128W-132W...WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM COSTA RICA TO 90W... AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 9N105W 10N111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 103W-106W AND IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF 12N96W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 01:24:28 2003 X-UIDL: 43334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IYSDNOG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:26:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KGQl3S032850 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:26:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLLh052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:07:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1487797 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:07:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KG7dlx009820 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:07:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KG7VQS027797 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:07:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KG7V7n027796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:07:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:07:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Sixteen-e Special Forecast/advisory Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201607.h9KG7V7n027796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 201607 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 1630Z MON OCT 20 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 100.7W AT 20/1630Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 100.7W AT 20/1630Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 100.0W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 10.2N 102.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 10.9N 104.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.6N 105.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.5N 107.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.0N 108.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 15.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 17.0N 110.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 100.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 01:24:32 2003 X-UIDL: 43336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200G6VDT5SI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:29:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KGTt3S033147 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:29:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLL5052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:57:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1487640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KFv3lx049174 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KFutQS027484 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KFut5u027482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:56:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201556.h9KFut5u027482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 201600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/201600Z-210600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201351ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201352ZOCT2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 201500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 201200Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 201500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.1N3 143.4E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.A.(2) AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 01:24:33 2003 X-UIDL: 43337-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IBYE54G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:36:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KGb83S033876 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:37:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLM1052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:20:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1487959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:20:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KGKHlx065538 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:20:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KGK9QS028109 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:20:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KGK9TK028108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:20:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:20:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...amended Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201620.h9KGK9TK028108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 201620 AAA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...AMENDED TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1620 UTC MON 20 OCT 2003 ..AMENDED TO INCLUDE NEWLY-FORMED T.D. 16-E EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16-E FORMED THIS MORNING FROM THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N99W. IT IS CENTERED NEAR 10.0N 100.7W AT 20/1630 UTC MOVING W 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 KT GUSTING TO 40 KT WITH AN ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS REPOSITIONED SLIGHTLY E ALONG 90W N OF 4N MOVING W 5-10 KT. THE WAVE IS DIFFICULT TO POSITION WITH LITTLE LONG-TERM CONTINUITY. IN ADDITION.. THE EPAC N OF 8N E OF 90W SEEMS TO BE DOMINATED BY A LARGER-SCALE CYCLONIC FLOW STRETCHING INTO THE SW CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 91.5W FROM 11N-13.5W ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 114W S OF 14N MOVING W 5-10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 113W-117W ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N138W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N139W. ..1020 MB HIGH IS NEAR 30N128W WITH RIDGE SE TO NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND NEAR 19N111W AND SW TO 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1515 UTC... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16-E... VISIBLE SATELLITE PICTURES SUGGEST THERE IS A SMALL CIRCULATION WITH CURVED BAND FEATURES. THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8.5N-11.5N BETWEEN 100W-103W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 13N102W AND 11N99W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N85W 10N110W 11N110W 12N118W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 123W-128W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 128W-132W...WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM COSTA RICA TO 90W... AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 9N105W 10N111W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 17N-19N BETWEEN 103W-106W AND IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF 12N96W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 01:24:33 2003 X-UIDL: 43338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200ICDE5MG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:36:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KGbY3S033915 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:37:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLM3052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:22:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1487972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:22:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KGM5lx094500 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:22:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KGLvQS028163 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:21:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KGLu6f028162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:21:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:21:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Sixteen-e Special Discussion Number 1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201621.h9KGLu6f028162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ41 KNHC 201621 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2003 THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SOUTH OF ACAPULCO HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE THIS MORNING AND HAS BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS AT 12Z WERE T1.5 AND T1.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB... RESPECTIVELY...BUT VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES SEVERAL THIN BUT DECIDEDLY-CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDS. THE ONLY THING THAT IS NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR IS THE LOCATION OF THE SURFACE CENTER RELATIVE TO THE CURVATURE IN THE CONVECTIVE TOPS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 280/8. THE DEPRESSION IS EMBEDDED IN A DEEP-LAYER EASTERLY CURRENT THAT SHOULD TAKE THE CYCLONE GENERALLY WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA. THE FLOW AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THIS LOW SHOULD BEGIN TO DEFLECT THE TRACK OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO THE NORTHWEST IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. BEYOND THAT...GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THERE WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL WESTERLY SHEAR...WHICH COULD TAKE THE CYCLONE NORTHWARD IF IT IS STRONG ENOUGH TO RESPOND TO THE UPPER FLOW. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TAKES A MIDDLE TRACK NEAR THE MEDIUM BAM. THIS TRACK IS ALSO LIES BETWEEN THE GFS AND UKMET SOLUTIONS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1630Z 10.0N 100.7W 30 KT 12HR VT 21/0000Z 10.2N 102.0W 35 KT 24HR VT 21/1200Z 10.9N 104.0W 40 KT 36HR VT 22/0000Z 11.6N 105.6W 45 KT 48HR VT 22/1200Z 12.5N 107.0W 50 KT 72HR VT 23/1200Z 14.0N 108.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 24/1200Z 15.5N 109.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 25/1200Z 17.0N 110.5W 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 01:24:33 2003 X-UIDL: 43340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IC2F6ZG6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:59:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KGxpip035956 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:59:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52US9036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:44:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1488479 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:44:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KGiXlx042680 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:44:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KGiPQS028947 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:44:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KGiPxC028946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:44:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:44:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201644.h9KGiPxC028946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 201644 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT MON OCT 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E...LOCATED ABOUT 470 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 01:24:34 2003 X-UIDL: 43342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200G61G4OSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:19:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KHK0ip038722 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:20:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLOx052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:11:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1488815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:11:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KHB5lx009670 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:11:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KHAvQS029734 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KHAvOk029732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:10:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: South Of Aculpulco, Mexico, Has Tracked West At 08 Knots Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201710.h9KHAvOk029732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 201600 RRB SOUTH OF ACULPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201200Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202200Z6, 210400Z7, 211000Z4 AND 211600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 01:24:34 2003 X-UIDL: 43343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IBOG8EG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:21:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KHMO3S039345 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:22:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K517vb079382; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:11:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1488819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:11:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KHB5lx042572 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:11:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KHAvQS029733 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KHAvLR029731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:10:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201710.h9KHAvLR029731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 201600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 9.8N7 100.0W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 100.0W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 10.2N3 102.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 10.9N0 104.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 11.6N8 105.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 12.5N8 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 14.0N5 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 201200Z5 POSITION NEAR 9.8N7 100.0W1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 01:24:34 2003 X-UIDL: 43344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200ICGG9IG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:22:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KHN6ip039017 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:23:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLOt052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:09:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1488790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:09:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KH93lx017992 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:09:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KH8tQS029669 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:08:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KH8tNh029668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:08:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:08:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201708.h9KH8tNh029668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 201600 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 9.8N7 100.0W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 100.0W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 10.2N3 102.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 10.9N0 104.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 11.6N8 105.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 12.5N8 107.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 14.0N5 108.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 201200Z5 POSITION NEAR 9.8N7 100.0W1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTH OF ACULPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201200Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202200Z6, 210400Z7, 211000Z4 AND 211600Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:00 2003 X-UIDL: 43362-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IHHNZ9G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:09:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KK9g3S056848 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:09:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLWD052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 14:53:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1491078 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 14:53:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KJrrlx017476 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 14:53:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KJrjQS004805 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 14:53:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KJrjH1004804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 14:53:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 14:53:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201953.h9KJrjH1004804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 201950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON OCT 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:08 2003 X-UIDL: 43364-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200I3PPQ5G6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:46:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KKlT3S060834 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:47:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KIjD2Z051124; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:33:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1491696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KKVNlx030844 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KKVFQS006155 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:31:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KKVExq006154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:31:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:31:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202031.h9KKVExq006154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 202028 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2003 BANDING FEATURES CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN ALL QUADRANTS AROUND THE CYCLONE. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES WERE 30 KT AT 18Z. A 12Z QUIKSCAT PASS SUGGESTED WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 KT AT THAT TIME...AND THE BANDING HAS IMPROVED CONSIDERABLY SINCE THEN. THE CYCLONE HAS A VERY IMPRESSIVE DEPICTION ON MICROWAVE IMAGERY AS WELL...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED TO BE ABOVE THE DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS AND IS SET TO 40 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 285/9. THE DEPRESSION IS EMBEDDED IN A DEEP-LAYER EASTERLY CURRENT THAT SHOULD TAKE THE CYCLONE GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA. THE FLOW AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THIS LOW SHOULD BEGIN TO DEFLECT THE TRACK OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO THE NORTHWEST IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. BEYOND THAT...GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THERE WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL WESTERLY SHEAR...WHICH COULD TAKE THE CYCLONE MORE NORTHWARD IF IT IS STRONG ENOUGH TO RESPOND TO THE UPPER FLOW. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF SCATTER IN THE GUIDANCE...WITH THE GFDL TAKING THE SYSTEM WESTWARD AND DISSIPATING IT...A FORECAST THAT SEEMS INCONSISTENT WITH THE CURRENT DEVELOPMENT TREND. ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE IS THE UKMET WITH A RECURVATURE TRACK TOWARD NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. THE GFS IS IN BETWEEN...WITH A MORE WESTWARD TRACK INITIALLY AND THEN A HARD RIGHT TURN. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE UKMET. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/2100Z 10.5N 101.7W 40 KT 12HR VT 21/0600Z 10.9N 103.1W 45 KT 24HR VT 21/1800Z 11.6N 104.9W 55 KT 36HR VT 22/0600Z 12.6N 106.5W 65 KT 48HR VT 22/1800Z 13.5N 108.0W 65 KT 72HR VT 23/1800Z 15.5N 109.5W 65 KT 96HR VT 24/1800Z 17.5N 110.5W 60 KT 120HR VT 25/1800Z 19.5N 110.5W 55 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:08 2003 X-UIDL: 43366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IZSQA0G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:58:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KKxK3S062052 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:59:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KIjD2T051124; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:33:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1491692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KKUrlx067192 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KKUjQS006132 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KKUj4l006131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:30:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 2 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202030.h9KKUj4l006131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 202028 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 2100Z MON OCT 20 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 101.7W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 101.7W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 101.3W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 10.9N 103.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 11.6N 104.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.6N 106.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 17.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 19.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 101.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43371-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IGKT5LG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:00:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KM1Uip069138 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:01:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLcZ052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:46:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1493165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:46:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KLkvlx047046 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:46:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KLknQS007886 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:46:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KLknQG007885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:46:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:46:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202146.h9KLknQG007885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 202146 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1620 UTC MON 20 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16-E WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA AT 20/2100 UTC AND IS CENTERED NEAR 10.5N 101.7W AT 20/2100 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 91W N OF 4N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 113W/114W S OF 15N WITH A 1010 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 11N. THE SYSTEM IS DRIFTING WEST. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N140W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A 1022 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... PATRICIA CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND HAS GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14.5N99W 14N101W TO 13N102.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 8.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 104.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N85W 10N110W 12N117W 12N127W 9N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 8N TO 14N BETWEEN 109W AND 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE WITH AN EMBEDDED CLUSTER OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N93.5W TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA NEAR 14.5N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF 7N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 80W TO 82W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:12 2003 X-UIDL: 43373-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IY3TK9G6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:09:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMAG3S068655 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:10:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLct052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:55:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1493233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KLtOlx085692 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:55:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KLtGQS008076 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KLtGpO008075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:55:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202155.h9KLtGpO008075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 202155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 30N144W 23N160W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 22N167W. FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KT. SHEAR LINE MOVING SOUTH 12 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS ALONG FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... UPPER LOW...NEAR HONOLULU MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST. BROKEN CIRRUS WITHIN 225 NM EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LOW DIMINISHING. ALSO SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS. SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 05N165W 06N180 MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 13S160W 15S140W 22S141W TO A LOW NEAR 25S145W. FRONT MOVING EAST 15 KT. LOW MOVING EAST 5-10 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 120 NM OF FRONT SOUTH OF 17S. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 17S. ISOLATED CB EMBEDDED WITHIN FRONTAL CLOUD BAND SOUTH OF 17S. LOW...NEAR 23S179W MOVING SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. ASSOCIATED FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 23S177W 18S180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT. OVERCAST LAYERS NEAR LOW. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM OF LINE 13S172W 22S165W MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. AREA ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:13 2003 X-UIDL: 43374-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IUMV25G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:42:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMgeip073065 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:42:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLdp052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:14:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1493604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:14:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMEilx092610 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:14:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KMEaQS008411 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:14:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KMEaf6008410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:14:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:14:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202214.h9KMEaf6008410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 202214 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY- UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 445 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:13 2003 X-UIDL: 43375-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200I1WVDDG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:48:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMnQ3S072181 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:49:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52Ub1036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1493879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMarlx078756 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KMajQS008745 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KMajwd008743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 040 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202236.h9KMajwd008743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 202200 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.5N3 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.5N5 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201800Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 30 KNOTS AND A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2018000Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210400Z7, 211000Z4, 211600Z0 AND 212200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:13 2003 X-UIDL: 43376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IKOVGVG6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:50:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMpU3S072358 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:51:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLel052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1493873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMaqlx096002 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KMaiQS008737 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KMaifg008736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:36:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202236.h9KMaifg008736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 202200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 10.3N4 101.3W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 101.3W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 10.9N0 103.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 11.6N8 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 12.6N9 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 13.5N9 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 15.5N1 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:13 2003 X-UIDL: 43377-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IKSVH0G6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:51:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMpaip073765 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:51:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLeX052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:34:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1493834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:34:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMYllx059780 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:34:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KMYdQS008714 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KMYd8c008713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:34:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:34:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202234.h9KMYd8c008713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 202200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 10.3N4 101.3W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 101.3W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 10.9N0 103.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 11.6N8 104.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 12.6N9 106.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 13.5N9 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 15.5N1 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.5N3 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.5N5 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201800Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 30 KNOTS AND A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2018000Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210400Z7, 211000Z4, 211600Z0 AND 212200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:13 2003 X-UIDL: 43378-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IGTVZ7G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 07:01:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KN2Vip074518 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 07:02:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLfj052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:43:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1494121 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:43:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMhYlx085022 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:43:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KMhQQS008883 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:43:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KMhQKB008882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:43:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 17:43:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...correction Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202243.h9KMhQKB008882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 202243 CCA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 20 OCT 2003 ..CORRECTION FOR ISSUE TIME... EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16-E WAS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA AT 20/2100 UTC AND IS CENTERED NEAR 10.5N 101.7W AT 20/2100 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 91W N OF 4N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 113W/114W S OF 15N WITH A 1010 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 11N. THE SYSTEM IS DRIFTING WEST. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N140W MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 115W WITH A 1022 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2115 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... PATRICIA CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND HAS GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 14.5N99W 14N101W TO 13N102.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 8.5N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 104.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 10N85W 10N110W 12N117W 12N127W 9N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 8N TO 14N BETWEEN 109W AND 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE WITH AN EMBEDDED CLUSTER OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N93.5W TO INLAND OVER GUATEMALA NEAR 14.5N92W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS N OF 7N TO INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 80W TO 82W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:17 2003 X-UIDL: 43391-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IFM41HG6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:56:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L1ua3S090304 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:56:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L101nD022322; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:50:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1496173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L1oRlx009710 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L1oJQS011033 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:50:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L1oJX7011032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:50:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:50:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210150.h9L1oJX7011032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 210150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON OCT 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:23 2003 X-UIDL: 43397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IHH6DRG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:46:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L2lF3S095632 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:47:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K5178N079382; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:37:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1496669 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:34:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L2Y5lx024836 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:34:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L2XvQS011535 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:33:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L2XvCe011534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:33:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:33:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210233.h9L2XvCe011534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 210227 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0300Z TUE OCT 21 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 102.3W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 102.3W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 101.9W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 11.1N 103.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 11.9N 105.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.7N 106.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.6N 107.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 17.5N 109.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 20.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 102.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:23 2003 X-UIDL: 43398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IKF6GUG6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:48:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L2n43S095806 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:49:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52Uh1036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:39:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1496675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:34:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L2Y7lx021874 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L2XxQS011540 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:33:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L2Xxwq011539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:33:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:33:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210233.h9L2Xxwq011539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 210227 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2003 PATRICIA CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS EVIDENCED BY INCREASING CURVATURE OF THE CONVECTIVE BANDS AROUND THE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW APPEARS TO BE GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. CURRENT INTENSITY IS SET AT 45 KT IN ACCORDANCE WITH DVORAK T-NUMBERS OF 3.0 FROM TAFB AND SAB. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...CLOSE TO THAT SHOWN BY THE SHIPS GUIDANCE THROUGH 48-72 HOURS. BEYOND THAT TIME FRAME...THE GFS SHOWS A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN SHEAR AS A RESULT OF STRONG 200 MB WESTERLIES NEAR THE PROJECTED TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DOES NOT SHOW AS MUCH WEAKENING AS SHIPS...WHICH USES THE SHEAR FORECAST BY THE GFS. THIS IS OUT OF RESPECT FOR THE LATEST GFDL MODEL RUN WHICH SHOWS A STRONG HURRICANE IN 4-5 DAYS. OBVIOUSLY THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST LATE IN THE PERIOD. ESTIMATED INITIAL MOTION IS 285/8...AS PATRICIA IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY MID-LEVEL EASTERLIES. THERE IS A MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW CENTERED NEAR CABO SAN LUCAS...AND THE GLOBAL MODELS PREDICT THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD AND ELONGATE ALONG AN EAST-WEST AXIS. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE THE TRACK OF PATRICIA TO BEND TOWARD THE RIGHT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THERE HAS BEEN A MAJOR CHANGE IN THE GFDL GUIDANCE WITH THAT MODEL NOW SHOWING A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION IN THE LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD. THE GFS AND NOGAPS SIMULATIONS SHOW A VERY WEAK SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST...AND IN FACT THE NOGAPS DOES NOT REALLY EVEN INITIALIZE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THEREFORE LITTLE WEIGHT CAN BE PLACED ON THOSE TWO MODELS FOR THIS PACKAGE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK AT 72-96 HOURS IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT IS NOT NEARLY AS FAR TO THE NORTHEAST AS THE GFDL TRACK. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0300Z 10.6N 102.3W 45 KT 12HR VT 21/1200Z 11.1N 103.5W 50 KT 24HR VT 22/0000Z 11.9N 105.2W 55 KT 36HR VT 22/1200Z 12.7N 106.6W 65 KT 48HR VT 23/0000Z 13.6N 107.7W 65 KT 72HR VT 24/0000Z 15.5N 109.0W 65 KT 96HR VT 25/0000Z 17.5N 109.5W 60 KT 120HR VT 26/0000Z 20.0N 109.0W 55 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 12:06:41 2003 X-UIDL: 43410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IQ69T8G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:00:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L41Iip005116 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:01:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L101rd022322; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:57:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1497673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:57:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L3vYlx077480 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:57:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L3vQQS012413 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:57:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L3vQms012412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:57:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:57:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210357.h9L3vQms012412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 210400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 10.5N6 101.9W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 101.9W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 11.1N3 103.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 11.9N1 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 12.7N0 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 13.6N0 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 15.5N1 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.5N3 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 20.0N2 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 210000Z3 POSITION NEAR 10.5N6 101.9W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210000Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211000Z4, 211600Z0, 212200Z7 AND 220400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 12:08:18 2003 X-UIDL: 43412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300INRA43G6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:07:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L47i3S004695 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:07:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52Uit036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1497772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L42alx085052 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L42NQS012507 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L42NCO012505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 090 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210402.h9L42NCO012505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 210400 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.5N3 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 20.0N2 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 210000Z3 POSITION NEAR 10.5N6 101.9W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210000Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 45 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211000Z4, 211600Z0, 212200Z7 AND 220400Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 12:08:18 2003 X-UIDL: 43413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IKRA4JG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:07:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L4873S004752 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:08:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52Uiv036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:05:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1497791 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:05:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L45Tlx085082 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:05:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L45LQS012546 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:05:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L45LUp012545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:05:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:05:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210405.h9L45LUp012545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 210405 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 21 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 10.6N 102.3W AT 21/0300 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE 92W/93W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WHICH MIGHT HAVE BEEN ACCOMPANYING THIS WAVE IS WEAK AND/OR ALREADY HAS DISSIPATED. ..TROPICAL WAVE 114W/115W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE ALONG WAVE NEAR 11.5N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0330 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 101W AND 103W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 8N TO 16N BETWEEN 99W AND 106W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N809W 11N104W 12N122W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 125W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 108W AND 112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 12:10:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43414-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IPAA6YG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:08:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L49V3S004900 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:09:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L101rn022322; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1497767 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L42Vlx052192 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L42NQS012506 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L42NB6012504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:02:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210402.h9L42NB6012504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 210400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 10.5N6 101.9W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 101.9W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 11.1N3 103.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 11.9N1 105.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 12.7N0 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 13.6N0 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 15.5N1 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 13:33:40 2003 X-UIDL: 43416-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300I5WBAIG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:32:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L4XH3S007435 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:33:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L101sP022322; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:28:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1497978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:28:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L4SQlx087370 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:28:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L4SIQS012772 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:28:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L4SHgW012771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:28:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:28:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210428.h9L4SHgW012771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 210428 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT MON OCT 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 14:02:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IZIF2HG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 13:54:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L5si3S015614 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 13:54:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hmx098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1499030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L5kAlx009802 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L5k2QS013556 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L5k1A9013554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210546.h9L5k1A9013554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z-220600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210152ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 760 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/CUMMINGS/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 17:48:12 2003 X-UIDL: 43433-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300L6IKP2T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:55:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L7uL3S027737 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hp9055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:51:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1499751 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:51:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L7p4lx096914 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:51:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L7ouQS014767 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L7ouaM014766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:50:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210750.h9L7ouaM014766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 210750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON OCT 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 17:48:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300L02MHOT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:34:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L8Z93S031988 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:35:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hq3055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:26:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1500055 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:26:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L8QRlx036300 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:26:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L8QJQS015284 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L8QINI015283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:26:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210826.h9L8QINI015283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ41 KNHC 210826 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2003 THE ESTIMATED INITIAL MOTION IS 290/8. THERE IS A MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW CENTERED NEAR CABO SAN LUCAS. AND A WEAK RIDGE JUST NORTH AND EAST OF PATRICIA. THE GFDL AND UKMET MODELS TURN A STRENGTHENING STORM NORTHWARD TOWARD THE LOW WHILE THE GFS AND NOGAPS SHOW A WEAKER SYSTEM MOVING ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK LEANS TOWARD THE NORTHWARD SOLUTION...BUT IS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TO BE A LITTLE CLOSER TO A CONSENSUS OF THE MODELS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 55 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK T-NUMBERS OF 3.5 FROM ALL AGENCIES. THE SHIPS MODEL SHOWS ONLY ABOUT 10 MORE KNOTS OF STRENGTHENING BEFORE INCREASING SHEAR DOMINATES. THE GFDL AGGRESSIVELY TAKES THE WIND SPEED TO OVER 100 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR CONTINUED STRENGTHENING BUT NOT NEARLY AS MUCH AS THE GFDL. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 10.9N 103.0W 55 KT 12HR VT 21/1800Z 11.3N 104.2W 60 KT 24HR VT 22/0600Z 12.0N 105.9W 65 KT 36HR VT 22/1800Z 12.6N 107.4W 70 KT 48HR VT 23/0600Z 13.3N 108.6W 70 KT 72HR VT 24/0600Z 15.0N 110.0W 65 KT 96HR VT 25/0600Z 17.5N 110.5W 55 KT 120HR VT 26/0600Z 20.5N 110.5W 50 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 17:48:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300L2HMIET5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:35:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L8ZW3S032014 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:35:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hor098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:25:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1500048 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:25:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L8P9lx052074 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:25:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L8P1QS015268 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:25:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L8P1Dr015267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:25:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:25:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 4 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210825.h9L8P1Dr015267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 210824 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0900Z TUE OCT 21 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 103.0W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 103.0W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 102.6W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 11.3N 104.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.0N 105.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.6N 107.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.3N 108.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 17.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 20.5N 110.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.9N 103.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 18:05:30 2003 X-UIDL: 43453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LVVPWTT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 17:48:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L9mv3S040089 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 17:48:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HrF055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:46:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1500708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L9kBlx070626 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L9k3QS016020 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L9k3eU016019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:46:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210946.h9L9k3eU016019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 210945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 21N170W TO 21N162W TO 27N149W TO 40N136W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N147W TO 08N144W TO 08N143W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N170W 06N157W 01N170W 02N176W 07N179W 08N179W 10N177W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ALSO SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13S153W TO 18S140W TO 25S137W TO 32S137W TO 31S143W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 16S140W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 19S141W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14S173W TO 18S170W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 18:24:41 2003 X-UIDL: 43458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300L92QW7T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:09:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LAA73S042492 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:10:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HrP055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:03:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1500834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LA3Wlx027388 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LA3OQS016233 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:03:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LA3Nwp016232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:03:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:03:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211003.h9LA3Nwp016232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 211003 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 465 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 18:54:33 2003 X-UIDL: 43461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LZPSN9T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:47:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LAlx3S046088 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:48:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HrT055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:13:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1500881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:13:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LADVlx027150 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:13:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LADNQS016307 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:13:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LADNwr016306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:13:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:13:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211013.h9LADNwr016306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 211013 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 21 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 10.9N 103.0W AT 21/0900 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE 94W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..TROPICAL WAVE 116W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. 1013 MB LOW PRESSURE ALONG WAVE NEAR 11.5N. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 118W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ELSEWHERE IN THE ITCZ FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0930 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 104W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 8N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N80W 11N105W 12N122W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 15-30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 129W AND 131W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION MOVING OFFSHORE...FROM 11N TO COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13.5N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 19:01:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43462-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LWBT4QT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:58:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LAwb3S047029 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:58:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hrd055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:55:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1501061 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:55:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LAtElx052168 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:55:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LAt6QS016593 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:55:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LAt6lQ016592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:55:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:55:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211055.h9LAt6lQ016592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211000 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 10.9N0 102.6W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 102.6W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 11.3N5 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 12.0N3 105.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.6N9 107.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 13.3N7 108.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 15.0N6 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.5N3 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.5N7 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 10.5N6 101.9W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211600Z0, 212200Z7, 220400Z8 AND 221000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 19:01:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43463-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LZHT6OT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:59:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LAxm3S047118 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:59:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hrh055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1501087 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LAvHlx042642 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LAv9QS016629 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LAv8nU016625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Based On Satellite Current Intensity Estimates 0f 55 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211057.h9LAv8nU016625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 211000 RRC BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211600Z0, 212200Z7, 220400Z8 AND 221000Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 19:28:53 2003 X-UIDL: 43464-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LB0TACT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:01:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LB203S047549 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:02:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hpp098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1501095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LAvHlx031162 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LAv9QS016630 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LAv8DV016627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 065 Kt, Gusts 080 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211057.h9LAv8DV016627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211000 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.6N9 107.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 13.3N7 108.6W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 15.0N6 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.5N3 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.5N7 110.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 10.5N6 101.9W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210600Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 19:28:54 2003 X-UIDL: 43465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LDKTAOT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:01:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LB2D3S047588 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:02:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51UpB022344; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1501091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LAvHlx078836 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LAv9QS016631 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LAv9i0016628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:57:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211057.h9LAv9i0016628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 10.9N0 102.6W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 102.6W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 11.3N5 104.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 12.0N3 105.9W5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 19:29:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LASU8KT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:21:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LBMO3S049340 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:22:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hs3055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1501238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LBEclx095944 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LBEUQS016804 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LBEU5m016802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211114.h9LBEU5m016802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 211130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/211130Z-220600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210751ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210752ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210600Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210600Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 210900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.9N1 112.2E6, 180 NM EAST OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER A 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANALYSIS AT 200 MB REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARAGRAPHS 1.A.(1) AND 1.A.(2); ADDED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/CUMMINGS/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:17 2003 X-UIDL: 43492-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L1N1K4T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:00:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LE0Hip064764 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:00:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HxZ055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:50:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1503414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:50:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LDoOlx095798 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:50:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LDoGQS019436 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LDoGkZ019435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:50:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211350.h9LDoGkZ019435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 211350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:25 2003 X-UIDL: 43498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L8B4NVT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:07:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LF7Zip071667 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:07:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51H3H055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:58:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1504508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:58:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LEwIlx085152 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:58:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LEwAQS021347 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LEwAVc021346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:58:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Discussion Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211458.h9LEwAVc021346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ41 KNHC 211458 TCDEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL ISSUED BY HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 8 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2003 THE ESTIMATED INITIAL MOTION IS 315/8. THERE IS A MID-TROPOSPHERIC LOW CENTERED NEAR CABO SAN LUCAS AND A WEAK RIDGE JUST NORTH AND EAST OF PATRICIA. THE GFDL AND UKMET MODELS TURN A STRENGTHENING STORM NORTHWARD TOWARD THE LOW WHILE THE GFS AND NOGAPS SHOW A WEAKER SYSTEM MOVING ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK LEANS MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWARD SOLUTION...WHICH IS SHIFTED RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TO BE A CLOSER TO THOSE MODELS...AS WELL AS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE STORMS MORE RECENT NORTHWEST MOTION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 65 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK T-NUMBERS OF 4.0 FROM ALL AGENCIES. THE INTENSITY MODELS SHOW ANYWHERE FROM SLIGHT TO SIGNIFICANT STRENTHENING FOR PATRICIA. CONSIDERING ITS FAIRLY RAPID JUMP TO HURRICANE INTENSITY...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BRINGS THE STORM UP TO 90 KTS BY HR 36 BEFORE SHEAR BEGINS TO WEAKEN THE STORM. FORECASTER ROTH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/1500Z 11.8N 103.5W 65 KT 12HR VT 22/0000Z 12.5N 104.5W 75 KT 24HR VT 22/1200Z 13.6N 105.8W 85 KT 36HR VT 23/0000Z 14.4N 106.8W 90 KT 48HR VT 23/1200Z 15.1N 107.7W 90 KT 72HR VT 24/1200Z 17.0N 109.1W 85 KT 96HR VT 25/1200Z 19.2N 109.4W 75 KT 120HR VT 26/1200Z 22.1N 108.8W 65 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:26 2003 X-UIDL: 43501-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LSZ4WKT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:12:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LFCrip072168 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:12:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51H3R055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:00:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1504538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:00:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LF01lx008222 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:00:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LExgQS021396 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:59:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LExgjQ021395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:59:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:59:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 5 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211459.h9LExgjQ021395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 211459 TCMEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 ISSUED BY HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 1500Z TUE OCT 21 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 103.5W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 103.5W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 103.2W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.5N 104.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 13.6N 105.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.4N 106.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.1N 107.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.0N 109.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 19.2N 109.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 22.1N 108.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 103.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z FORECASTER ROTH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:27 2003 X-UIDL: 43507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L9Z5WUT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:34:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LFYN3S074879 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:34:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51H4t055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:21:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1504959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:21:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LFLKlx072386 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:21:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LFL9QS022133 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:21:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LFL9pZ022132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:21:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:21:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211521.h9LFL9pZ022132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 211520 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 21 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..PATRICIA BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE AT 1500 UTC. ITS CENTER IS NEAR 11.8N 103.5W AT 21/1500 UTC MOVING NW 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 94W HAS BEEN DROPPED FROM THE ANALYSIS. NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES CAN BE RELIABLY TRACKED IN THIS VICINITY. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 11N. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER. ..1020 MB HIGH IS NEAR 31N130W WITH ONE RIDGE AXIS SE TO NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ANOTHER AXIS S TO 28N130W THEN SW TO 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1500 UTC... HURRICANE PATRICIA... PATRICIA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP... GOING FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO HURRICANE IN ONE DAY. AN EYE-LIKE FEATURE HAS BEEN INTERMITTENTLY OBSERVED ON INFRARED SATELLITE THOUGH IT IS OBSCURED FOR NOW. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY BEFORE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS IS A SMALL SYSTEM WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION CONFINED WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ARE IN DISTANT BANDS FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 100W-104W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N87W 9N103W 10N112W 11N122W 8N134W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 136W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 125W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS E OF 86W. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE IS NEAR 10N112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF 13N117W AND ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-7N E OF 80W. A DISSIPATING MODERATE CLUSTER IS NEAR 12N91W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:29 2003 X-UIDL: 43513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L448WGT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 00:38:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGdF3S082527 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 00:39:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51H4R098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1506761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGXFlx072248 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LGX7QS024484 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LGX7r4024483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Intensity Estimates 0f 65 Knots. Maximum Significant Wave Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211633.h9LGX7r4024483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 211600 RRC INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212200Z7, 220400Z8, 221000Z5 AND 221600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:29 2003 X-UIDL: 43514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LD091ZT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 00:41:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGgU3S082818 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 00:42:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGWcmD051804; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1506767 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGXHlx089184 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LGX9QS024495 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LGX94R024494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211633.h9LGX94R024494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 16E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 11.5N7 103.2W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 103.2W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 12.5N8 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:30 2003 X-UIDL: 43515-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L619G0T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 00:50:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGot3S083609 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 00:50:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HC5055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:30:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1506693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGUhlx021842 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:30:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LGUZQS024388 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LGUZGc024387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:30:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211630.h9LGUZGc024387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 16E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 11.5N7 103.2W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 103.2W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 12.5N8 104.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 13.6N0 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 14.4N9 106.8W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 15.1N7 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.0N8 109.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 19.2N2 109.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 22.1N5 108.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 211200Z6 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 103.2W6. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212200Z7, 220400Z8, 221000Z5 AND 221600Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:30 2003 X-UIDL: 43516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L6J9G4T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 00:50:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGp5ip082887 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 00:51:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HCJ055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1506757 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGXElx077474 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LGX6QS024478 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LGX66m024477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:33:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 24 Hrs, Valid At: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211633.h9LGX66m024477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 211600 RRB 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 13.6N0 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 14.4N9 106.8W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 15.1N7 107.7W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.0N8 109.1W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 19.2N2 109.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 22.1N5 108.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 211200Z6 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 103.2W6. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211200Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:31 2003 X-UIDL: 43517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LPSB17T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:24:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LHOw3S087389 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:25:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HDn055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:56:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1507319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGu0lx084698 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LGtqQS025188 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LGtqW0025187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:55:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211655.h9LGtqW0025187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 211655 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL ISSUED BY HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 10 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY-UPGRADED HURRICANE PATRICIA...LOCATED 505 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE PATRICIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ21 AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP1. FORECASTER ROTH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:32 2003 X-UIDL: 43520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L65BACT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:30:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LHUbip087052 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:30:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HFF055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1507707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LHHBlx028994 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LHH3QS025843 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LHH3JN025841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211717.h9LHH3JN025841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 211700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/211700Z-220600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211351ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211352ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED NEAR 17.1N9 131.2E7, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED NEAR 22.2N6 145.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.9N1 112.2E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 111.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2)AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.1N0 101.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARAGRAPHS 1.A.(1) AND 1.A.(2); ADDED PARAS 1.B.(1) AND 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:32 2003 X-UIDL: 43521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LBUBD2T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:31:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LHWN3S088043 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:32:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51H5n098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1507716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LHHQlx085164 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LHHIQS025852 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LHHIjj025850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211717.h9LHHIjj025850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.1N0 101.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:33 2003 X-UIDL: 43523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LZTBSET5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:41:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LHfLip088063 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:41:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51UxV022344; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1507719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LHHQlx031022 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LHHIQS025853 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LHHI7G025851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211717.h9LHHI7G025851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.1N0 101.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:37 2003 X-UIDL: 43533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L8AK71T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:42:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LKhA3S006704 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:43:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51U4l022344; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:10:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1510766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:10:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LKAflx031116 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:10:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LKAXQS001189 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:10:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LKAXjp001188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:10:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:10:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212010.h9LKAXjp001188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 212009 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE OCT 21 2003 A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:38 2003 X-UIDL: 43538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LSTM8YT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:26:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLRVip010772 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:27:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HRr055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1511499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LKvalx077900 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LKvSQS002631 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LKvS0L002630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Discussion Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212057.h9LKvS0L002630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 212057 TCDEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2003 THE LATEST SATELLITE ESTIMATES FROM SAB AND TAFB SUGGEST A MORE WESTWARD MOTION TO PATRICIA OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS...WITH A MOVEMENT OF APPROXIMATELY 9 KNOTS. HOWEVER...BELIEVE THIS IS A TEMPORARY FLUCTUATION IN THE TRACK...WITH THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK KEEPING A MOTION OF 305-310 DEGREES FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS BEFORE TURNING THE SYSTEM MORE NORTHERLY BEYOND 72 HOURS. PATRICIA CONTINUES TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST NORTH WESTWARD ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER WESTERN NOAM. A WEAK MID LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THIS UPPER HIGH NEAR CABO SAN LUCAS WELL TO THE NORTH OF PATRICIA...BUT APPEARS NOT TO BE INFLUENCING THE SYSTEM TRACK WISE OR INTENSITY WISE AT THE MOMENT. THERE CONTINUES TO BE A LARGE SPREAD IN LATEST GUIDANCE, ESPECIALLY BEYOND 36 HOURS WHEN ONE CLUSTER OF THE OBJECTIVE AIDS CONTINUES TO SHOW A WEST NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGH THE FIVE DAY FORECAT PERIOD, WHILE A SECOND SET TAKES PATRICIA ON A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK. WITH INDICATIONS IN LATEST GFS AND UKMET THAT THE WESTEN NOAM UPPER RIDGE WILL WEAKEN DURING THU...BELIEVE THE MODEL CLUSTERS SUGGESTING A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK ARE REASONABLE. THIS IS THE DIRECTION THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWED....BEING TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK GIVEN LATEST MOVEMENT. LATEST TRACK ALSO SLOWED PREVIOUS TRACK AS PATRICIA MAY MOVE INTO A GENERALLY WEAKER FLOW REGIME TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE CURRENT INTENSITY REMAINS AT 65 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK T-NUMBERS OF 4.0. THE INTENSITY MODELS SHOW POTENTIAL FOR STRENGTHENING THROUGH AT LEAST 48 HOURS. WITH THE MAIN SHEAR THREAT APPEARING TO BE THE UPPER LOW TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM...AND THIS SYSTEM EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND MOVE EASTWARD THU...BELIEVE PATRICIA MAY NOT ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT SHEAR TO WEAKEN IT. OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK STRENGTHENS PATRICIA TO 95 KTS BY 48 HOURS...WEAKENING IT BEYOND THIS AS THE SYSTEM THEN BEGINS TO MOVE A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK. FORECASTER ORAVEC FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/2100Z 11.7N 104.4W 65 KT 12HR VT 22/0600Z 12.3N 105.5W 75 KT 24HR VT 22/1800Z 13.1N 106.8W 85 KT 36HR VT 23/0600Z 14.1N 108.0W 90 KT 48HR VT 23/1800Z 15.1N 109.2W 95 KT 72HR VT 24/1800Z 17.1N 109.7W 85 KT 96HR VT 25/1800Z 18.5N 109.8W 75 KT 120HR VT 26/1800Z 20.0N 109.8W 65 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:39 2003 X-UIDL: 43539-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LYIMCHT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:29:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLTZ3S010942 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:29:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HCr098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:59:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1511515 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:59:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LKx7lx040438 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:59:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LKwxQS002677 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:58:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LKwxX2002676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:58:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:58:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212058.h9LKwxX2002676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 212058 TCMEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2100Z TUE OCT 21 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 104.4W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 304 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 104.4W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.3N 105.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.1N 106.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.1N 108.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.1N 109.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.1N 109.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 18.5N 109.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.0N 109.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 104.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z FORECASTER ORAVEC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:43 2003 X-UIDL: 43542-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LVLNM1T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:56:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLv0ip013170 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:57:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HU7055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:45:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1512272 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLjelx087324 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LLjWQS003854 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LLjWUH003853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:45:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:45:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212145.h9LLjWUH003853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 212145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 09N144W HAS NEW ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...WITHIN AREA BETWEEN 07N AND 10N E OF 145W. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N142W 25N150W 23N160W 24N166W. PORTION OF FRONT E OF 150W HAS MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...WHILE PORTION OF FRONT W OF 150W HAS MOVES SOUTH SLOWLY. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WERE WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 07N147W 05N152W 05N158W 06N164W 08N170W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08N180 10N177W 12N174W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SEE FRONT/SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND WITHIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT/SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 25S134W 20S134W 14S143W AND SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 14S143W 10S153W MOVED EAST 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 14S170W 13S173W 10S178W HAVE MOVED EAST SLOWLY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:43 2003 X-UIDL: 43543-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LGLNY9T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:03:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LM4Lip013974 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:04:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HUD055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1512296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLkdlx084516 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LLkVQS003875 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LLkVJN003874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212146.h9LLkVJN003874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 212146 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 21 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE PATRICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 11.7N 104.4W AT 21/2100 UTC MOVING NW AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1800 UTC... ..A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N118W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 117W WITH A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 31N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2115 UTC... HURRICANE PATRICIA... PATRICIA HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N104.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 10N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 101.5W AND 105.5W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 15.5N101W TO 15N105W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 10N92W 8N105W 10N112W 8N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 138W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 131W AND WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90/120 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N124.5W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE N OF 6N E OF 85W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA...PANAMA...AND COSTA RICA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:43 2003 X-UIDL: 43544-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LMDO2AT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:06:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LM6l3S014338 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:06:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HUH055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:51:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1512349 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLpZlx065706 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:51:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LLpRQS003955 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LLpRMZ003954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:51:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212151.h9LLpRMZ003954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PHNC 212200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 11.5N7 104.1W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 304 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 104.1W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 12.3N6 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 13.1N5 106.8W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 14.1N6 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 15.1N7 109.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.1N9 109.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.5N4 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.0N2 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 211800Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 104.1W6. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211800Z2 VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220400Z8, 221000Z5, 221600Z1 AND 222200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:44 2003 X-UIDL: 43545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LZ4O9LT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:10:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LMBAip014615 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:11:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HUR055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:56:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1512415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLu0lx049170 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:56:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LLtqQS004023 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LLtqEL004022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 72 Hr Posit: 345 Deg/ 05 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212155.h9LLtqEL004022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 212200 RRC VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 17.1N9 109.7W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.5N4 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.0N2 109.8W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 211800Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 104.1W6. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211800Z2 VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220400Z8, 221000Z5, 221600Z1 AND 222200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:44 2003 X-UIDL: 43547-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LJPOL8T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:17:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LMI4ip015187 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:18:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HU9055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1512280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLkHlx053836 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LLk9QS003865 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LLk9Hw003864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:46:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 6 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212146.h9LLk9Hw003864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 212145 TCMEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 2100Z TUE OCT 21 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 104.4W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 304 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 104.4W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 104.1W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 12.3N 105.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.1N 106.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.1N 108.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.1N 109.2W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.1N 109.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 18.5N 109.8W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 20.0N 109.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 104.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z FORECASTER ORAVEC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LUPOSUT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:22:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LMMg3S015797 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:22:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HUP055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1512410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLtrlx049158 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LLtjQS004010 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LLtj6n004009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212155.h9LLtj6n004009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 212200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 11.5N7 104.1W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 304 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 104.1W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 12.3N6 105.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 13.1N5 106.8W5 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L2GOYIT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:25:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LMQ63S016116 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:26:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HUT055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:56:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1512419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLu2lx087426 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:56:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LLtoQS004018 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LLto82004017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:55:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 085 Kt, Gusts 105 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212155.h9LLto82004017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 212200 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 14.1N6 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 15.1N7 109.2W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:46 2003 X-UIDL: 43552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LLGQ35T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:49:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LMoT3S018694 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 06:50:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HVb055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 17:31:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1512856 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 17:31:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LMVNlx027302 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 17:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LMVFQS004596 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 17:31:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LMVFI2004595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 17:31:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 17:31:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212231.h9LMVFI2004595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 212231 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED ON HURRICANE PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 515 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:48 2003 X-UIDL: 43556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LHJS27T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:32:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LNX73S022250 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:33:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HXh055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:18:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1513516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:18:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LNIAlx049202 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:18:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LNHxQS005269 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LNHxBJ005267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212317.h9LNHxBJ005267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 212300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/212300Z-220600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211951ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211952ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS/ A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211800Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED NEAR 17.2N0 131.2E7, APPROXIMATELY 725 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 212100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 211800Z6, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED NEAR 22.5N9 145.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 212100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 111.8E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 112.8E2, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA BENEATH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.1N0 101.0E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 101.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 212230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.1N9 161.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UNORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARAS 1.A.(1), 1.A.(2); UPGRADED PARAS 1.B.(1), 1.B.(2); ADDED PARA 1.B.(3). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:53 2003 X-UIDL: 43573-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L19YYLT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:01:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M21sip034558 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:01:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51U8r022344; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:57:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1515028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:57:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M1vNlx095762 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:57:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M1vFQS007495 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:57:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M1vEub007494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:57:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:57:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220157.h9M1vEub007494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 220157 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2003 A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:55 2003 X-UIDL: 43581-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LUL0NAT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:38:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M2cXip038033 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:38:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hc1055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:32:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1515229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:30:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M2U5lx065540 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:30:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M2TuQS007914 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:29:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M2TuRf007912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:29:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:29:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220229.h9M2TuRf007912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 220229 TCMEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0300Z WED OCT 22 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 105.5W AT 22/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 105.5W AT 22/0300Z AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 105.1W FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.5N 106.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.3N 107.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 18.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.5N 111.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.0N 105.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:56 2003 X-UIDL: 43583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LEG12CT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:47:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M2lZ3S041305 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:47:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HIr098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:32:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1515233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:30:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M2U8lx065544 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:30:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M2TvQS007915 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:29:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M2Tuj3007913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:29:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:29:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Discussion Number 7 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220229.h9M2Tuj3007913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 220229 TCDEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2003 DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE UP TO 4.5 FROM TAFB...BUT REMAIN AT 4.0 FROM SAB AND AFWA. AS A COMPROMISE...INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS SET AT 70 KT. THERE IS SOME RESTRICTION OF THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT AT THIS TIME. I HAVE BACKED OFF A BIT FROM THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY FORECAST BECAUSE OF THE LIKELIHOOD OF INCREASING SHEAR. HOWEVER IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE GFDL MODEL...WHICH HAS NOT BEEN KNOWN TO OVER-INTENSIFY TROPICAL CYCLONES MUCH THIS SEASON...PREDICTS PATRICIA TO BECOME A VERY STRONG HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE HURRICANE CONTINUES WNW...290/9. THERE IS LESS AGREEMENT AMONG THE DYNAMICAL TRACK GUIDANCE THAN I WOULD LIKE TO SEE. ALTHOUGH THE GFS AND NOGAPS PREDICTONS SHOW VERY LITTLE MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF PATRICIA...THEY TAKE THE TROPICAL CYCLONE ON A MAINLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS PRESUMABLY BECAUSE THESE MODELS WEAKEN PATRICIA TO A SHALLOW SYSTEM THAT WILL BE STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE GFDL TURNS PATRICIA NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD LATE IN THE PERIOD...AS IT DEPICTS A VERY DEEP HURRICANE THAT WOULD RESPOND TO THE STEERING PROVIDED BY THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LIES BETWEEN THESE TWO SCENARIOS...AND IS SIMILAR TO THE U.K. MET TRACK EXCEPT LATE IN THE PERIOD WHERE THAT MODEL TURNS PATRICIA SHARPLY TO THE LEFT. THE SLOW FORWARD SPEED SHOWN IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK AT DAYS 4 AND 5 IS AT LEAST IN PART DUE TO SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTIES AT THESE TIME RANGES. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0300Z 12.0N 105.5W 70 KT 12HR VT 22/1200Z 12.5N 106.6W 75 KT 24HR VT 23/0000Z 13.3N 107.8W 80 KT 36HR VT 23/1200Z 14.0N 109.0W 85 KT 48HR VT 24/0000Z 15.0N 110.0W 90 KT 72HR VT 25/0000Z 16.5N 111.0W 80 KT 96HR VT 26/0000Z 18.0N 111.0W 70 KT 120HR VT 27/0000Z 19.5N 111.0W 60 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:16:41 2003 X-UIDL: 43595-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LYV4M0T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:03:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M4483S049746 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:04:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HeB055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:59:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1516231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:59:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M3xSlx065588 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:59:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M3xKQS008932 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:59:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M3xJxw008931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:59:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:59:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220359.h9M3xJxw008931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 220359 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 22 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 12.0N 105.5W AT 22/0300 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0000 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N120W MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 25-35 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N120W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 123W... AND FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 116W AND 123W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0330 UTC... HURRICANE PATRICIA... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N80W 12N106W 14N121W 9N132W 10N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG CONVECTION IN A FEW CONVECTIVE CELLS FROM 12N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 86W AND 87W IN WESTERN NICARAGUA. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY... MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 28N132W 10N127W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:56:23 2003 X-UIDL: 43600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500L7J5OET5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:26:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M4RDip049903 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:27:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hef055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:23:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1516412 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:23:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M4Nelx084490 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:23:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M4NWQS009213 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:23:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M4NWoZ009212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:23:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:23:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220423.h9M4NWoZ009212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 220400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 11.9N1 105.1W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 105.1W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 12.5N8 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 13.3N7 107.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 14.0N5 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 15.0N6 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 16.5N2 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.0N9 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.5N5 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 220000Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.9N1 105.1W7. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220000Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221000Z5, 221600Z1, 222200Z8 AND 230400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:56:23 2003 X-UIDL: 43601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LMP5TJT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:29:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M4UJ3S052630 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:30:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hen055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:25:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1516447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:25:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M4Polx030270 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:25:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M4PdQS009238 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:25:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M4PdS3009237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:25:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:25:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220425.h9M4PdS3009237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 220400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 11.9N1 105.1W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 105.1W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 12.5N8 106.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 13.3N7 107.8W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 14.0N5 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 15.0N6 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 16.5N2 111.0W3 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:56:24 2003 X-UIDL: 43602-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500L4O60GT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:33:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M4YP3S052960 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:34:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Her055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:26:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1516459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M4Qnlx030294 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:26:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M4QfQS009247 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:26:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M4QfrG009246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:26:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:26:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 080 Kt, Gusts 100 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220426.h9M4QfrG009246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 220400 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.0N9 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.5N5 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 220000Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.9N1 105.1W7. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220000Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221000Z5, 221600Z1, 222200Z8 AND 230400Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:56:24 2003 X-UIDL: 43604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LWE6ADT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:39:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M4eQ3S053626 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:40:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HKr098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:36:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1516558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:36:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M4atlx036572 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:36:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M4alQS009343 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:36:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M4alns009342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:36:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:36:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220436.h9M4alns009342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 220436 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED ON HURRICANE PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 15:54:05 2003 X-UIDL: 43614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LQIBLET5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:34:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M6Z4ip062276 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:35:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HLt098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1517775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M6RPlx042044 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M6RHQS010473 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M6RG0B010471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220627.h9M6RG0B010471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z-230600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220152ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220552ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C AND D ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 131.2E7, APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N0 146.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 17:39:01 2003 X-UIDL: 43622-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001S8FM5UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:01:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M81s3S075453 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:01:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528pl077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 02:51:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 02:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M7p2lx034924 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 02:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M7orQS011228 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 02:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M7orCB011227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 02:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 02:50:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220750.h9M7orCB011227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 220750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE OCT 21 2003 AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND. CURRENTLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 17:39:06 2003 X-UIDL: 43630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001ABHI3UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:42:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M8gV3S079787 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:42:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528qb077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:38:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518358 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:37:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M8bjlx055302 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:37:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M8bbQS011811 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M8bbEK011810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:37:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220837.h9M8bbEK011810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 220837 TCMEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0900Z WED OCT 22 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 106.1W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N 106.1W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 105.8W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 12.5N 107.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.1N 108.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.9N 109.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.8N 110.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 18.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N 106.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 17:39:08 2003 X-UIDL: 43638-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50013PIJMUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:04:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M9523S082601 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:05:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528rF077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:58:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:58:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M8wglx043948 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:58:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M8wYQS012021 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:58:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M8wYnH012020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:58:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:58:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Discussion Number 8 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220858.h9M8wYnH012020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 220858 TCDEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2003 SSM/I AND TRMM OVERPASSES AT ABOUT 04Z INDICATE THAT PATRICIA HAS BECOME SHEARED...WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. THIS DEVELOPMENT IS NOT APPARENT YET IN CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY...AS THE CENTER IS STILL UNDER OR NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE OVERCAST. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 77 KT FROM ALL AGENCIES. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE DEMISE OF THE EYE THAT WAS PRESENT IN MICROWAVE DATA NEAR 21/12Z...THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 65 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/8. THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECASTS ARE JOINED AT THE HIP. A WELL-DEVELOPED PATRICIA WOULD TURN NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD...AS FORECAST BY THE GFDL...GFDN...AND LBAR. THIS WOULD TAKE THE STORM INTO AN AREA OF STRONGER WESTERLY SHEAR THAT WOULD CAUSE WEAKENING. ON THE OTHER HAND...A LESS-DEVELOPED SYSTEM WOULD TAKE A MORE WESTERLY TRACK IN LINE WITH THE GFS... BAMS...AND BAMM...WHICH WOULD KEEP THE SYSTEM AWAY FROM THE STRONGER SHEAR AND ALLOW SOME DEVELOPMENT. THE UKMET AND NOGAPS ARE SOMEWHAT IN BETWEEN THESE EXTREMES...SHOWING A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOLLOWED BY A WESTWARD TURN AFTER 72 HR. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON THE PREMISE THAT PATRICIA WILL STAY WELL ENOUGH ORGANIZED TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD...BUT NOT WELL ENOUGH ORGANIZED...PARTICULARLY LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...TO FULLY RECURVE. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED SOMEWHAT TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH NHC91 AND BAMD. THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS ALL FORECAST UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES IN THE PATH OF PATRICIA. HOWEVER...THEY AGREE THAT THE STRONGEST FLOW SHOULD STAY NORTH OF 17N. THE GFDL STRENGTHENS PATRICIA TO A MAJOR HURRICANE IN SPITE OF THE SHEAR DURING RECURVATURE. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE SHIPS MODEL SEES ENOUGH SHEAR ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK TO CALL FOR STEADY WEAKENING AFTER 12 HR. THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST WILL COMPROMISE BETWEEN THESE EXTREMES...AND MAINTAIN SOME CONSISTENCY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...BY CALLING FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING FOR 24-36 HR FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AFTER 48 HR. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/0900Z 12.1N 106.1W 65 KT 12HR VT 22/1800Z 12.5N 107.2W 65 KT 24HR VT 23/0600Z 13.1N 108.4W 70 KT 36HR VT 23/1800Z 13.9N 109.6W 70 KT 48HR VT 24/0600Z 14.8N 110.7W 70 KT 72HR VT 25/0600Z 16.5N 112.0W 65 KT 96HR VT 26/0600Z 18.0N 112.5W 55 KT 120HR VT 27/0600Z 19.5N 112.5W 45 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 18:15:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43642-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50019XKLBUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:48:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M9nHip083384 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:49:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528rf077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:47:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518857 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:47:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M9l5lx094600 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:47:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M9kvQS012471 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:46:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M9kvL1012470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:46:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:46:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220946.h9M9kvL1012470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 220946 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 22 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 12.1N 106.1W AT 22/0900 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 30N138W TO 28N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11.5N121W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 116W AND 124W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 17N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0900 UTC... HURRICANE PATRICIA... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N80W 12N106W 13N123W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 132W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-70 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... THE STRONG CONVECTION JUST OFF NICARAGUA COAST FROM SIX HOURS AGO HAS DISSIPATED. WARMER CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 86W AND 89W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 26N131W 22N130W 16N127W 10N124W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 18:15:20 2003 X-UIDL: 43647-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001VZL82UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:02:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MA2o3S089104 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:02:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528rj077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:55:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M9tklx094638 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M9tbQS012532 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M9tbwM012531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:55:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220955.h9M9tbwM012531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 220955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10N140W 06N151W EXTENDS EASTWARD AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY. AREA EXPANDED IN COVERAGE BUT CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 08N164W 06N173W MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 11N175W 11N180 MOVED NORTH 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... WEAK SHEAR LINE ALONG LINE 23N161W 22N155W 26N145W CONTINUES AS A FRONT THROUGH 29N140W. FRONT MOVING EAST 12 KT. SHEAR LINE DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWEST. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. OVERCAST LAYERS/SHOWERS ALONG FRONT. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... EAST-NORTHEAST TO WEST-SOUTHWEST ALIGNED FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH 30N180 MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 25-30 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONTAL CLOUD BAND. JOHNSTON ISLAND... OCCASIONAL BROKEN CIRRUS. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25N133W 16S140W 10S150W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 06S160W. FRONT NEARLY STATIONARY. SHEAR LINE MOVED NORTH 5 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT/ISOLATED CB SOUTH OF 18S. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. FRONT...THROUGH 25S169W 19S173W MOVED EAST 5-10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 06S167W 10S170W 16S171W MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG CZ. ISOLATED CB ALONG CZ HAVE DIMINISHED. ELSEWHERE... CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 12S175W 08S180 MOVED WEST SLOWLY. BROKEN CUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE. ISOLATED CB ALONG CZ HAVE DIMINISHED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 18:15:20 2003 X-UIDL: 43648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001X0L8EUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:02:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MA2m3S089099 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:03:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HN7098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:59:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518908 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:59:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M9xilx094708 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:59:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M9xaQS012550 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:59:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M9xa2t012549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:59:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:59:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220959.h9M9xa2t012549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 11.9N1 105.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 105.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.5N8 107.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 13.1N5 108.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.9N3 109.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.8N3 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.5N2 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.0N9 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.5N5 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 220600Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.9N1 105.8W4. HURRICANE (HR) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z1, 222200Z8, 230400Z9 AND 231000Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 18:15:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43649-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50017RLD0UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:05:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MA5v3S089443 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:05:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HN9098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:02:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518931 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:02:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MA2qlx025596 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:02:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MA2iQS012633 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:02:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MA2igp012631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:02:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:02:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 050 Kt Winds - 050 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221002.h9MA2igp012631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221000 RRB RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.0N9 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.5N5 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 220600Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.9N1 105.8W4. HURRICANE (HR) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220600Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z1, 222200Z8, 230400Z9 AND 231000Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 18:15:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50019RLDQUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:05:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MA6Mip085150 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:06:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528rl077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:01:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:01:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MA1plx043860 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:01:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MA1hQS012626 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:01:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MA1hkc012625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:01:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:01:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221001.h9MA1hkc012625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 11.9N1 105.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 105.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.5N8 107.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 13.1N5 108.4W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.9N3 109.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.8N3 110.7W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.5N2 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:23 2003 X-UIDL: 43651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50015SMGRUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:29:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MATk3S091999 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:29:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HNF098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:24:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1519021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:24:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MAOHlx070594 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:24:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MAO3QS012826 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:24:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MAO2wW012825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:24:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:24:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221024.h9MAO2wW012825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 221023 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. ADVISORIES ARE BEING ISSUED ON HURRICANE PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 495 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:34 2003 X-UIDL: 43654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001EGNEVUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:49:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MAoF3S093987 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:50:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HNJ098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1519070 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MAdZlx055506 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MAdRQS012965 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MAdRcN012963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221039.h9MAdRcN012963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 221030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/221030Z-230600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220751ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220752ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220753ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF D IS/ A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220600Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 131.2E7, APPROXIMATELY 705 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220600Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N3 146.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:35 2003 X-UIDL: 43656-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001XSNLTUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:53:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MAsIip090225 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:54:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528rv077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1519095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MAkFlx077246 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MAk7QS013019 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MAk74V013017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221046.h9MAk74V013017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 221100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/221100Z-230600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220751ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220752ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220753ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF D IS/ A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220600Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 131.2E7, APPROXIMATELY 705 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220600Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N3 146.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:48 2003 X-UIDL: 43672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001SUWH6UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:05:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ME5r3S012755 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:05:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HQL098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:55:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1520436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MDtWlx047018 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:55:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MDtOQS016127 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:55:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MDtOk9016126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:55:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:55:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221355.h9MDtOk9016126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 221355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED OCT 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:58 2003 X-UIDL: 43679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001FGY0NUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:38:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MEdP3S016425 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:39:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528wd077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1520909 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MEYrlx051762 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MEYjQS017442 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MEYi2i017439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Discussion Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221434.h9MEYi2i017439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 221434 TCDEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2003 THERE IS NOT MUCH THAT HAS CHANGED WITH PATRICIA OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE CENTER STILL APPEARS TO BE NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE OVERCAST. SATELLITE INTENSITY T/CI NUMBERS ARE 3.5/4.5... AND SO I WILL KEEP THE INITIAL INTENSITY AT 65 KT UNTIL THE STRUCTURE CAN BE BETTER DETERMINED FROM VISIBLE IMAGERY OR ADDITIONAL MICROWAVE PASSES IN A COUPLE OF HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/8. THERE IS A NARROW MID-LEVEL RIDGE SEPARATING PATRICIA FROM THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA. THERE CONTINUES TO BE A VERY LARGE SPREAD IN THE TRACK MODEL GUIDANCE...WITH THE AVN KEEPING A WEAK CYCLONE ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS...WHILE THE UKMET AND GFDL BRING A STRONGER CYCLONE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE RIDGE OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THE NOGAPS IS IN BETWEEN. NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...THE GFDL RESPONDS TO STRONG UPPER- LEVEL WESTERLIES BY RECURVING A MAJOR HURRICANE INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WHILE MOST OF THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE WEAKENS THE CYCLONE AND TAKES IT WESTWARD WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK TOOK A MIDDLE GROUND BETWEEN THESE OPTIONS AND I HAVE NO PARTICULAR REASON YET TO CHOOSE ONE OVER THE OTHER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK. HOWEVER... MY SUSPICION IS THAT THE GFDL SCENARIO IN PARTICULAR IS UNLIKELY GIVEN THE LARGE SHEAR FORECAST BY THE GLOBAL MODELS TO BE PRESENT NORTH OF ABOUT 17N. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/1500Z 12.3N 106.9W 65 KT 12HR VT 23/0000Z 12.6N 108.0W 65 KT 24HR VT 23/1200Z 13.3N 109.0W 65 KT 36HR VT 24/0000Z 14.1N 110.2W 65 KT 48HR VT 24/1200Z 15.0N 111.0W 65 KT 72HR VT 25/1200Z 17.0N 112.0W 55 KT 96HR VT 26/1200Z 18.5N 112.5W 50 KT 120HR VT 27/1200Z 20.0N 112.5W 40 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:59 2003 X-UIDL: 43680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50019YYARUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:44:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MEjM3S017378 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:45:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HRT098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1520913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MEYrlx030404 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MEYjQS017443 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MEYiW1017440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:34:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Hurricane Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 9 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221434.h9MEYiW1017440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 221434 TCMEP1 HURRICANE PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 1500Z WED OCT 22 2003 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 106.9W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 106.9W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 106.5W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 12.6N 108.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.3N 109.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.1N 110.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.0N 111.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.5N 112.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.0N 112.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 106.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:02 2003 X-UIDL: 43688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001140MTUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:35:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MFZrip019381 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:35:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M5281t077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:30:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1521888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MFUrlx037416 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MFUjQS019040 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MFUjFI019039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:30:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:30:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221530.h9MFUjFI019039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 221530 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 22 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..HURRICANE PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 12.3N 106.9W AT 22/1500 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/1200 UTC... ..A COLD FRONT IS IN THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH 32N134W TO 27N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH SOME SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE FRONT. ..1009 MB LOW IS NEAR 11.5N122W MOVING W 10 KT. THIS IS A SMALL CIRCULATION WITH MOST TSTMS ACTIVITY TO THE NE OF THE CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 120W-124W. ..AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THERE IS A 1019 MB HIGH NEAR 29N129W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 21N109W OFFSHORE OF SW MEXICO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1500 UTC... HURRICANE PATRICIA... THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE OF PATRICIA HAS DECAYED SINCE YESTERDAY. EARLY VISIBLE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER IS ON THE SW SIDE OF THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST WITH POSSIBLY SOME SHEAR BEGINNING TO TAKE A TOLL ON THE CYCLONE. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-13.5N BETWEEN 105W-107.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N90W 10N106W 11N118W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 134W-140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8.5N-11.5N BETWEEN 125W-131W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE IS NEAR 12N118W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N107W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... DISSIPATING CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 12N90W. OTHER SHOWERS ARE S OF ACAPULCO NEAR 15N97W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE IN THE GULF OF PANAMA AND WITHIN 30 NM OF THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTLINE S OF NICARAGUA. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:02 2003 X-UIDL: 43690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60016A1ZNUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:04:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MG4nip023272 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:04:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HSx098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:48:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1522093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MFmtlx030350 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MFmkQS019637 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MFmk6F019635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:48:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221548.h9MFmk6F019635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 12.2N5 106.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 106.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 12.6N9 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 13.3N7 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 14.1N6 110.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 15.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.0N8 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.5N4 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 20.0N2 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 221200Z7 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 106.5W2. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z8, 230400Z9, 231000Z6 AND 231600Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:03 2003 X-UIDL: 43691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60015C3S7UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:43:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MGhm3S032546 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:43:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M5284B077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:30:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1522557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MGULlx027994 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:30:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MGUDQS020841 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MGUDw8020840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:30:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221630.h9MGUDw8020840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 221630 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT WED OCT 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 765 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:05 2003 X-UIDL: 43694-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001ZH474UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:52:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MGqh3S033457 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:52:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HU3098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:43:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1522725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:43:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MGhulx085540 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:43:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MGhmQS021238 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MGhmOG021237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:43:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221643.h9MGhmOG021237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 12.2N5 106.5W2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 106.5W2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 12.6N9 108.0W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 13.3N7 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 14.1N6 110.2W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 15.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.0N8 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.5N4 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 20.0N2 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 221200Z7 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 106.5W2. HURRICANE (HR) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z8, 230400Z9, 231000Z6 AND 231600Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:05 2003 X-UIDL: 43695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60014X49MUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:53:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MGsN3S033610 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:54:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M5284t077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:45:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1522787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MGjvlx037450 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MGjnQS021288 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MGjnwn021285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:45:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221645.h9MGjnwn021285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 221600 RRB --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 15.0N6 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.0N8 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.5N4 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 20.0N2 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT --- REMARKS: 221200Z7 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 106.5W2. HURRICANE (HR) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221200Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222200Z8, 230400Z9, 231000Z6 AND 231600Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43703-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001FD68CUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:36:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MHam3S039142 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:36:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M52875077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1523459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MHOElx084670 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MHO6QS022322 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MHO5Mq022320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221724.h9MHO5Mq022320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z-231800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003/ AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 101.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 100.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AND IS BECOMING MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 212230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:10 2003 X-UIDL: 43704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001FT68WUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:36:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MHb53S039179 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:37:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HV9098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1523462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MHOElx042082 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MHO6QS022323 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MHO5hR022321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 12:24:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221724.h9MHO5hR022321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z-231800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003/ AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 101.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 100.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AND IS BECOMING MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 212230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:14 2003 X-UIDL: 43710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001C0D3AUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:04:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MK4uip050486 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:04:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528Ev077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:46:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1525961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:46:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MJkvlx030236 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:46:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MJknQS026385 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:46:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MJknEd026384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:46:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:46:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221946.h9MJknEd026384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 221946 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED OCT 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:15 2003 X-UIDL: 43712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60019KFIHUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:56:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MKvJip056563 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:57:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HbP098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:39:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1526628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:37:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MKbHlx039834 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:37:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MKYOQS027649 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MKYOWF027648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:34:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222034.h9MKYOWF027648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 222034 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 2100Z WED OCT 22 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 108.4W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 108.4W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 107.9W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 12.8N 110.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.7N 111.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N 112.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.5N 113.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 19.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 20.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 108.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:15 2003 X-UIDL: 43714-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001KBFOLUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:00:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ML0uip056931 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:01:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MJvLqd079558; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:37:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1526612 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MKaxlx008396 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MKY6QS027630 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MKY62d027629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:34:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 10 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222034.h9MKY62d027629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 222033 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2003 IN THE LIGHT OF DAY...PATRICIA DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A HEALTHY CYCLONE...WITH A CENTER EXPOSED TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUPPORT SOMETHING IN THE VICINITY OF 55 KT...WHICH MAY BE A SHADE HIGH GIVEN THIS MORNING'S QUIKSCAT PASS. SHEAR ANALYSES FROM UW/CIMSS SHOWS LESS THAN 15 KT OF SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR...BUT THAT WAS APPARENTLY ENOUGH TO DISRUPT THE CORE STRUCTURE. PERHAPS PATRICIA WAS NEVER QUITE AS STRONG AS EARLIER THOUGHT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/10. A NARROW MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS SEPARATING PATRICIA FROM THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE LARGE-SCALE FLOW AHEAD OF PATRICIA WILL BECOME ILL-DEFINED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF AN ELONGATED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE BAJA PENINSULA WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS STRONGLY DIVERGENT. THE GFDL TAKES PATRICIA THROUGH THE RIDGE AND MAKES IT A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE STRIKING NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. GIVEN CURRENT TRENDS THIS SEEMS INCREASINGLY UNLIKELY. IT MAY BE THAT THE GFS IDEA FROM YESTERDAY OF WEST AND WEAK WAS THE RIGHT ONE...AND THIS MODEL CONTINUES TO DEFINE THE LEFT SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE UKMET AND NOGAPS HAVE STAKED OUT A COMPROMISE SCENARIO OF A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH A BEND TO THE WEST AFTER 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED CONSIDERABLY TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND IS A BLEND OF THE UKMET AND GFS SOLUTIONS. WITH WEAKER STEERING AHEAD...A SLOWING OF THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH THE SHIPS AND GFS MODELS INDICATE CONTINUED WEAKENING... BOTH THE UKMET AND GFS GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE SHEAR COULD DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THEREFORE THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS HELD UNTIL LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...WHEN PATRICIA WILL ENCOUNTER STRONGER WESTERLIES IF IT MOVES AS FAR NORTH AS CURRENTLY FORECAST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 12.4N 108.4W 55 KT 12HR VT 23/0600Z 12.8N 110.0W 55 KT 24HR VT 23/1800Z 13.7N 111.2W 55 KT 36HR VT 24/0600Z 14.5N 112.0W 55 KT 48HR VT 24/1800Z 15.5N 113.0W 55 KT 72HR VT 25/1800Z 17.0N 114.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 26/1800Z 19.0N 116.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 27/1800Z 20.0N 119.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:16 2003 X-UIDL: 43715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001N4FPRUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:01:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ML1e3S062121 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:01:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MJvLqJ079558; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:36:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1526596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:36:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MKaPlx047134 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MKZrQS027680 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:35:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MKZruS027679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:35:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:35:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 10...corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222035.h9MKZruS027679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 222035 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 10...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2003 CORRECTED FOR INITIAL POSITION IN THE LIGHT OF DAY...PATRICIA DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A HEALTHY CYCLONE...WITH A CENTER EXPOSED TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES SUPPORT SOMETHING IN THE VICINITY OF 55 KT...WHICH MAY BE A SHADE HIGH GIVEN THIS MORNING'S QUIKSCAT PASS. SHEAR ANALYSES FROM UW/CIMSS SHOWS LESS THAN 15 KT OF SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR...BUT THAT WAS APPARENTLY ENOUGH TO DISRUPT THE CORE STRUCTURE. PERHAPS PATRICIA WAS NEVER QUITE AS STRONG AS EARLIER THOUGHT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 280/10. A NARROW MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS SEPARATING PATRICIA FROM THE MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE LARGE-SCALE FLOW AHEAD OF PATRICIA WILL BECOME ILL-DEFINED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SOUTH OF AN ELONGATED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE BAJA PENINSULA WESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS STRONGLY DIVERGENT. THE GFDL TAKES PATRICIA THROUGH THE RIDGE AND MAKES IT A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE STRIKING NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. GIVEN CURRENT TRENDS THIS SEEMS INCREASINGLY UNLIKELY. IT MAY BE THAT THE GFS IDEA FROM YESTERDAY OF WEST AND WEAK WAS THE RIGHT ONE...AND THIS MODEL CONTINUES TO DEFINE THE LEFT SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE UKMET AND NOGAPS HAVE STAKED OUT A COMPROMISE SCENARIO OF A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH A BEND TO THE WEST AFTER 72 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED CONSIDERABLY TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...AND IS A BLEND OF THE UKMET AND GFS SOLUTIONS. WITH WEAKER STEERING AHEAD...A SLOWING OF THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED. ALTHOUGH THE SHIPS AND GFS MODELS INDICATE CONTINUED WEAKENING... BOTH THE UKMET AND GFS GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE SHEAR COULD DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THEREFORE THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS HELD UNTIL LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...WHEN PATRICIA WILL ENCOUNTER STRONGER WESTERLIES IF IT MOVES AS FAR NORTH AS CURRENTLY FORECAST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 22/2100Z 12.3N 108.4W 55 KT 12HR VT 23/0600Z 12.8N 110.0W 55 KT 24HR VT 23/1800Z 13.7N 111.2W 55 KT 36HR VT 24/0600Z 14.5N 112.0W 55 KT 48HR VT 24/1800Z 15.5N 113.0W 55 KT 72HR VT 25/1800Z 17.0N 114.5W 50 KT 96HR VT 26/1800Z 19.0N 116.5W 45 KT 120HR VT 27/1800Z 20.0N 119.0W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:17 2003 X-UIDL: 43719-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001B9J2QUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:13:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMEE3S069402 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:14:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528Kh077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:46:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1527770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:46:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MLkTlx059716 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:46:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MLkLQS029424 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:46:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MLkLCK029423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:46:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:46:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222146.h9MLkLCK029423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 222146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 160 NM OF LINE 06N153W 09N140W EXTENDS EASTWARD IS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA FROM 03N TO 14N BETWEEN 162W AND 178W HAVE MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NONE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 1...THROUGH 16S140W 10S150W AND CONTINUES AS A TROUGH TO 06S160W 08S170W 11S172W. FRONT NEARLY STATIONARY. SHEAR LINE MOVED NORTH-NORTHWEST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE...AND ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06S167W 09S172W 12S172W. FRONT 2...THROUGH 25S166W 16S175W MOVED EAST 5-10 KT. ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF FRONT AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT 1 ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:17 2003 X-UIDL: 43720-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001C4J3GUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:14:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMEc3S069445 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:14:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hdr098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:00:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1527962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:00:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MM0Elx049750 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:00:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MM05QS029685 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:00:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MM05xF029684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:00:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:00:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222200.h9MM05xF029684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 222200 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 22 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 12.3N 108.4W AT 22/2100 UTC MOVING WEST 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/1800 UTC... ..A STATIONARY FRONT IS IN THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH 32N133W TO BEYOND 27N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH SOME SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE FRONT. ..1011 MB LOW IS NEAR 12N122W MOVING W 10 KT. THIS IS A SMALL CIRCULATION WITH MOST TSTMS ACTIVITY TO THE NE OF THE CENTER. ..AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THERE IS A 1021 MB HIGH NEAR 32N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2130 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... PATRICIA DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A HEALTHY CYCLONE...WITH A CENTER EXPOSED TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION...THUS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 104W-108W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N90W 10N107W 11N120W 9N128W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 117W AND 120W...AND BETWEEN 127W AND 135W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS W OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N92W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:18 2003 X-UIDL: 43721-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60011JJJDUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:23:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMOFip065174 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:24:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51UR1022344; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1528202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMDTlx049866 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MMDLQS029901 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MMDL6f029900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222213.h9MMDL6f029900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 222200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 010 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 16E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 12.2N5 107.9W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 107.9W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.8N1 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.7N1 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.5N0 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:18 2003 X-UIDL: 43722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60011UJK1UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:24:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMOdip065204 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:24:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528Lv077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1528206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMDVlx049872 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MMDNQS029906 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MMDNs1029905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Estimates 0f 55 Knots. Maximum Significant Wave Height At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222213.h9MMDNs1029905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PHNC 222200 RRC ESTIMATES 0F 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z9, 231000Z6, 231600Z2 AND 232200Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:18 2003 X-UIDL: 43723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60016TJNVUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:26:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMQpip065394 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:26:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528Ln077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:11:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1528155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:11:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMBMlx050870 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:11:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MMBEQS029865 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:11:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MMBEYg029863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:11:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:11:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222211.h9MMBEYg029863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 222200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 010 DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 16E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 12.2N5 107.9W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 107.9W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 12.8N1 110.0W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.7N1 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.5N0 112.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 15.5N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.0N8 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.0N0 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 20.0N2 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 221800Z3 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 107.9W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221800Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z9, 231000Z6, 231600Z2 AND 232200Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:19 2003 X-UIDL: 43724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001I1JV8UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:30:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMVK3S070886 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 06:31:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528M3077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1528210 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMDYlx050888 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MMDPQS029911 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MMDPS0029910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:13:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 075 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222213.h9MMDPS0029910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 222200 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 15.5N1 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.0N8 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.0N0 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 20.0N2 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 221800Z3 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 107.9W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221800Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:19 2003 X-UIDL: 43725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001GELA6UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MN1s3S073422 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:01:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528Nn077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:40:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1528655 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:40:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MMeUlx053994 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:40:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MMeMQS000398 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:40:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MMeMpR000397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:40:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:40:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222240.h9MMeMpR000397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 222240 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY-DOWNGRADED TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:44 2003 X-UIDL: 43740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001IEU0CUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:09:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N2AO3S092505 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:10:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528TV077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:57:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1530730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:57:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N1vjlx009742 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:57:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N1vaQS002728 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:57:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N1vaYn002727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:57:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:57:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230157.h9N1vaYn002727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 230157 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED OCT 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001KHVCCUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:38:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N2dA3S096517 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:39:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528UF077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1531016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N2WGlx096120 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N2W7QS003092 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N2W7ug003090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230232.h9N2W7ug003090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 230231 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2003 PATRICIA CONTINUES TO LOOK UNIMPRESSIVE ON SATELLITE IMAGES AS IT REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR THE WESTERN EDGE OF A RATHER RAGGED-LOOKING AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. TAKING THE MEAN OF THE LATEST DVORAK T AND C.I. NUMBERS...WHICH WE HAVE FOUND TO YIELD REASONABLE INTENSITY ESTIMATES...GIVES A WIND SPEED OF 50 KT. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST ALLOWS FOR SOME RELAXATION OF THE SHEAR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...SUCH AS SUGGESTED BY SOME OF THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE. HOWEVER IF THE SHEARING PERSISTS...PATRICIA WILL LIKELY WEAKEN MORE THAN INDICATED HERE. INITIAL MOTION HAS SLOWED A BIT TO 285/8. THE STEERING APPEARS TO BE PROVIDED BY A NARROW MID-LEVEL RIDGE...WHICH SEPARATES PATRICIA FROM AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED TROUGH NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA. THERE CONTINUES TO BE CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IN THE DYNAMICAL TRACK GUIDANCE. AS NOTED EARLIER...THE GFDL'S FORECAST OF A STRONG HURRICANE TURNING SHARPLY NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD MEXICO LOOKS DUBIOUS. THE OTHER MODELS ARE MUCH FARTHER WEST...ESPECIALLY THE GFS. I EXPECT A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WEAKENS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THIS ASSUMES THAT PATRICIA WILL NOT BECOME A STRONG CYCLONE...AND WILL BE STEERED PRIMARILY BY THE MID- TO LOW-LEVEL FLOW. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0300Z 12.5N 109.0W 50 KT 12HR VT 23/1200Z 13.0N 110.1W 50 KT 24HR VT 24/0000Z 13.9N 111.3W 50 KT 36HR VT 24/1200Z 14.9N 112.3W 50 KT 48HR VT 25/0000Z 15.8N 113.3W 50 KT 72HR VT 26/0000Z 17.5N 115.0W 45 KT 96HR VT 27/0000Z 19.0N 117.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 28/0000Z 20.0N 119.5W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:46 2003 X-UIDL: 43746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001V8VQFUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:47:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N2lZ3S097477 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:47:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hi7098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1531020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N2WGlx038846 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N2W7QS003091 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N2W7Pn003088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:32:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 11 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230232.h9N2W7Pn003088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 230231 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0300Z THU OCT 23 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 109.0W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 109.0W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 108.6W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.0N 110.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.9N 111.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.9N 112.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.8N 113.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.5N 115.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.0N 117.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.0N 119.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 109.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:51 2003 X-UIDL: 43763-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001BRZXXUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:17:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N4IW3S007619 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:18:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528Xd077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:01:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1532258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N41llx009496 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:01:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N41cQS004120 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N41cmM004117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:01:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:01:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230401.h9N41cmM004117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 230401 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 23 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 12.5N 109.0W AT 23/0300 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N130W TO 29N135W. STATIONARY FRONT 29N135W BEYOND 28N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 75-100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 32N133W 29N140W. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N124W. CONVECTION IS IN THE ITCZ. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 116W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... THE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES WARMED IN THE AREA FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION HAS BEEN DEVELOPING SINCE 22/2300 UTC...FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 107W AND 109W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N78W 12N93W 12N121W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 118W AND 137W. ISOLATED CONVECTIVE CELL WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N93W. CONVECTION WHICH HAD BEEN OVER CENTRAL PANAMA HAS BEEN WEAKENING/HAS WEAKENED DURING THE LAST 4-5 HOURS ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG CONVECTIVE CELL IN NW NICARAGUA WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 12.5N87W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:52 2003 X-UIDL: 43769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7001P30SEUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:36:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N4ak3S009351 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:36:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528YH077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:27:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1532509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N4RClx025516 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N4R4QS004387 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N4R46T004386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:27:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230427.h9N4R46T004386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 230426 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 720 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:56 2003 X-UIDL: 43781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7001CS614UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:29:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N6U5ip015431 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:30:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528ah077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:23:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1533955 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:23:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N6Nwlx085674 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:23:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N6NnQS005546 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:23:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N6Nn1F005544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:23:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:23:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230623.h9N6Nn1F005544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z-240600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230152ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230153ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF D IS/ A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N7 132.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS GUSTING TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N2 148.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 95 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 230000Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 118.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 101.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 101.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUMM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. SEE REF D (WTPN22 PGTW 222230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 160.0E7, HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO NEAR 5.0N5 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UNORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH FAIR DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:02 2003 X-UIDL: 43804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004OP9ZTZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:55:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N7tfip025271 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:55:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528bt077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:50:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1534460 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:50:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N7oTlx037594 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:50:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N7oLQS006390 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N7oLGt006389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:50:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230750.h9N7oLGt006389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 230750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED OCT 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:05 2003 X-UIDL: 43811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70043HC5SZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:41:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N8gUip030737 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:42:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lpR058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1534632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N8aQlx073896 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N8aHQS007000 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N8aHnY006998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230836.h9N8aHnY006998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 230836 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0900Z THU OCT 23 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 110.0W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 110.0W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 109.7W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.8N 111.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.6N 111.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.6N 112.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.7N 113.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 18.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N 118.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 20.0N 120.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 110.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:05 2003 X-UIDL: 43812-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70043RC5WZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:41:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N8gU3S035169 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:42:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N52p47094480; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1534636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N8aQlx028994 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N8aHQS007002 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N8aHGQ007001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:36:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 12 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230836.h9N8aHGQ007001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 230836 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2003 PATRICIA REMAINS SHEARED THIS MORNING WITH THE LOW LEVEL-CENTER EXPOSED TO THE WEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE CLUSTER....WHICH HAS DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. NEW BURSTS OF CONVECTION HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 55 KT FROM SAB AND AFWA...AND 45 KT FROM TAFB. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 50 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 290/9. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AND UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR 22N128W WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING TO 14N116W. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND LARGE-SCALE MODEL ANALYSES INDICATE THAT PATRICIA IS SOUTH OF A WEAK LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE. THE COMBINATION OF EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW SUGGESTS SEVERAL POSSIBLE FORECAST SCENARIOS...WHICH IS REFLECTED IN THE SPREAD OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE. THE GFDL CALLS FOR PATRICIA TO RECURVE BACK TOWARD THE MEXICAN COAST AS A HURRICANE...AND THIS IS SUPPORTED BY LBAR AND BAMD. THE GFS CALLS FOR A WEAKER SYSTEM TO CONTINUE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...AND IT IS SUPPORTED BY THE BAMM AND BAMS. THE NOGAPS AND THE UKMET CALLS FOR A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST...FOLLWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AFTER 72 HR. SINCE PATRICIA IS CURRENTLY POORLY-ORGANIZED AND VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD NOT ALLOW MUCH DEVELOPMENT...THE FORECAST TRACK IS A BLEND BETWEEN THE GFS...NOGAPS...AND UKMET SOLUTIONS. IT CALLS FOR A BEND TO THE NORTHWEST IN 12-24 HR...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AFTER 72 HR. LARGE-SCALE MODELS CONTINUE TO FORECAST THAT PATRICIA WILL BE AFFECTED BY WESTERLY SHEAR THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THUS...THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL CALL FOR NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH THROUGH 48 HR. THE MODELS SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE SHEAR COULD TEMPORARILY DECREASE IN ABOUT 24 HR...BUT THE CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS LOW AND IT WILL NOT BE REFLECTED IN THE FORECAST. AFTER 48 HR...A WEAKENING TREND SHOULD BEGIN AS THE CYCLONE ENCOUNTERS COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/0900Z 13.1N 110.0W 50 KT 12HR VT 23/1800Z 13.8N 111.0W 50 KT 24HR VT 24/0600Z 14.6N 111.9W 50 KT 36HR VT 24/1800Z 15.6N 112.9W 50 KT 48HR VT 25/0600Z 16.7N 113.9W 50 KT 72HR VT 26/0600Z 18.5N 115.5W 45 KT 96HR VT 27/0600Z 19.5N 118.0W 40 KT 120HR VT 28/0600Z 20.0N 120.5W 35 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:24 2003 X-UIDL: 43832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004TCFX0ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:03:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NA3aip040417 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:03:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528d3077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:55:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:55:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N9tZlx070632 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N9tRQS007642 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N9tRWF007641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:55:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:55:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230955.h9N9tRWF007641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 230955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 10N140W 10N151W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND DIMINISHED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 04N157W 04N162W ARE NEWLY FORMED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 225 NM OF LINE 10N170W 10N180 ARE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N170W 27N180 MOVING EAST 25 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S131W 20S133W 10S149W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH THROUGH 06S160W 05S170W. FRONT MOVING SLOWLY EAST. TROUGH IS STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT/TROUGH EAST OF 140W. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG TROUGH WEST OF 140W. FRONT...THROUGH 25S168W 20S168W 17S172W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS ALONG FRONT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 20S REMAIN SPARSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:25 2003 X-UIDL: 43836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004TDG85ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:09:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NAAF3S045579 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:10:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lqD058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NA7qlx042000 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NA7iQS007803 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NA7ipI007802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 050 Kt, Gusts 060 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231007.h9NA7ipI007802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 RRA MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.7N4 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.5N4 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.5N5 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.0N2 120.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 230600Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.9N2 109.7W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH OF SOCCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:25 2003 X-UIDL: 43837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004UTG8MZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:09:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NAAVip041309 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:10:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528d5077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:58:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535249 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:58:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N9wQlx082550 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:58:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N9wIQS007666 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:58:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N9wIbO007665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:58:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:58:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230958.h9N9wIbO007665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 230958 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 23 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 13.1N 110.0W AT 23/0900 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N124W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG ITCZ CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0600 UTC... ..STATIONARY FRONT THROUGH 32N130W TO 29N135W TO 28N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 75-100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 32N133W 29N140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0900 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 107W AND 109W AT 23/0430 UTC. NOW...THE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES IN THAT AREA OF FIVE HOURS AGO HAVE WARMED...AND NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED FROM 11N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 108W AND 110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 12N108W 12N123W 10N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS WEST OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED CONVECTIVE CELLS IN CENTRAL AMERICA COASTAL WATERS... WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE COAST FROM COSTA RICA TO MEXICO... BETWEEN 84W AND 92W...AND WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF 14.5N98W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:26 2003 X-UIDL: 43838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004CNGD6ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:12:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NADK3S045954 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:13:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528dB077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:02:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:02:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NA2Qlx087378 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:02:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NA2IQS007729 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:02:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NA2IKb007728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:02:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:02:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231002.h9NA2IKb007728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 12.9N2 109.7W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 109.7W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.8N2 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.6N1 111.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 15.6N2 112.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.7N4 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.5N4 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.5N5 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.0N2 120.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 230600Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.9N2 109.7W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH OF SOCCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231600Z2, 232200Z9, 240400Z0 AND 241000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:26 2003 X-UIDL: 43839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004EMGDRZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:13:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NADf3S046027 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:13:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528dJ077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:06:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:06:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NA6blx039706 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:06:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NA6TQS007787 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:06:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NA6TLh007786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:06:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:06:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231006.h9NA6TLh007786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 12.9N2 109.7W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 109.7W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 13.8N2 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 14.6N1 111.9W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 15.6N2 112.9W3 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:26 2003 X-UIDL: 43840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004GNGEEZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:13:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NAE33S046071 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:14:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528dF077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:05:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:05:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NA5Ulx070646 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:05:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NA5LQS007762 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:05:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NA5Lig007761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:05:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:05:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Max Sustained Winds - 050 Kt, Gusts 060 Kt Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231005.h9NA5Lig007761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 RRB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.7N4 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.5N4 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.5N5 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.0N2 120.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 230600Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.9N2 109.7W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH OF SOCCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231600Z2, 232200Z9, 240400Z0 AND 241000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:27 2003 X-UIDL: 43841-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004PIGHHZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:15:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NAFo3S046287 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:15:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528dL077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535363 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NA7jlx041992 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NA7bQS007798 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NA7blW007797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:07:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Information. Next Warnings At 231600z2, 232200z9, 240400z0 And Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231007.h9NA7blW007797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID' WTPN31 PHNC 231000 RRB INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231600Z2, 232200Z9, 240400Z0 AND 241000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:27 2003 X-UIDL: 43843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004INHORZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:41:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NAfl3S049430 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:41:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528dT077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:35:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535519 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:35:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NAZnlx017420 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:35:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NAZfQS008072 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:35:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NAZfsW008071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:35:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:35:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231035.h9NAZfsW008071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 231035 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 690 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:28 2003 X-UIDL: 43844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004YCICIZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:55:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NAu2ip046589 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:56:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51UZv022344; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NAiklx049806 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NAicQS008158 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NAibtG008156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231044.h9NAibtG008156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 231030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/231030Z-240600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230751ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230752ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230753ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230754ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, C, AND D ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230600Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N0 132.5E1, APPROXIMATELY 590 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 230900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230600Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N0 149.8E2, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 230900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 230600Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 119.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 230900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AT 230600Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESION (TD) 23W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N3 101.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SEE REF D (WTPN34 PGTW 230900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 101.1E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(4) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 160.0E7, HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO NEAR 5.0N5 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UNORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH FAIR DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 1.B.(1) TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1)-(3). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:38 2003 X-UIDL: 43874-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70041PR1NZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:03:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NE3uip065370 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:03:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528h1077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:55:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1537120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NDtglx070638 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:55:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NDtUQS011075 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NDtUL3011074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:55:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:55:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231355.h9NDtUL3011074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 231355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU OCT 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:40 2003 X-UIDL: 43880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN700446T3HZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:47:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NEm7ip070593 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:48:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Ud3022344; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:38:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1537804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:36:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NEaflx053862 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:36:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NEaXQS012520 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:36:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NEaX1C012517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:36:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:36:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231436.h9NEaX1C012517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 231435 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2003 PATRICIA REMAINS SHEARED THIS MORNING WITH THE LOW LEVEL-CENTER EXPOSED TO THE WEST OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE CLUSTER. COARSE RESOLUTION DATA FROM AN ADEOS SCATTEROMETER PASS AT 5Z SUGGESTS THAT PATRICIA MAY HAVE ALREADY WEAKENED TO A DEPRESSION...BUT I WILL HOLD THE INTENSITY UP AT 40 KT FOR NOW...CONSISTENT WITH THE CURRENT DVORAK T/CI AVERAGE...IN HOPES THAT THE NEXT QUIKSCAT PASS WILL CONFIRM THE WEAKENING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED WESTWARD TO BE MORE CONSISTENT WITH THE GFS...WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE HAD THE BEST HANDLE ON PATRICIA ALL ALONG. THE GFDL STILL CALLS FOR INTENSIFICATION AND A NORTHWARD TURN...AND IS JOINED IN THIS TRACK SCENARIO BY THE NOGAPS. WHILE THERE COULD BE SOME BRIEF DECREASE IN THE SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS...WHICH WOULD ALLOW SOME RESTRENGTHENING AND A BEND OF THE TRACK TO THE RIGHT...I DO NOT THINK THAT THE GFDL SOLUTION IS A VIABLE ONE. ANY REDUCTION IN SHEAR SHOULD BE BRIEF BEFORE THE WESTERLIES BECOME RE-ESTABLISHED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A MODEST TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND A HALTING OF THE CURRENT WEAKENING TREND...BUT IT IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE THAT PATRICIA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TAKE A PATH TO THE LEFT OF THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/1500Z 13.3N 111.1W 40 KT 12HR VT 24/0000Z 13.8N 112.4W 40 KT 24HR VT 24/1200Z 14.9N 113.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 25/0000Z 15.7N 114.3W 40 KT 48HR VT 25/1200Z 16.5N 115.5W 35 KT 72HR VT 26/1200Z 18.0N 117.5W 35 KT 96HR VT 27/1200Z 19.0N 120.0W 30 KT 120HR VT 28/1200Z 19.0N 122.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:40 2003 X-UIDL: 43881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004WNTC3ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:52:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NErA3S076153 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:53:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Ud7022344; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:38:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1537809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:36:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NEaflx087384 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:36:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NEaXQS012518 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:36:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NEaXEI012515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:36:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:36:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 13 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231436.h9NEaXEI012515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 231435 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 1500Z THU OCT 23 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 111.1W AT 23/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 111.1W AT 23/1500Z AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 110.7W FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.8N 112.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.9N 113.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.7N 114.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.0N 120.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 19.0N 122.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 111.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:43 2003 X-UIDL: 43888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70042ZVACZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:35:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFZS3S081743 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:35:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50luF058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:10:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538321 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:10:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFAalx033662 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:10:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NFARQS013639 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:10:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NFARKP013638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:10:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:10:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231510.h9NFARKP013638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 231509 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 23 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 13.3N 111.1W AT 23/1500 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/1200 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 12N124W MOVING NW 5-10 KT. WHILE THERE IS AMPLE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW...THE SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 121W-128W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N135W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 27N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1445 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... PATRICIA CONTINUES TO FEEL THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG WLY SHEAR WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BECOMING INCREASINGLY DISPLACED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SE. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11.5N-13.5N BETWEEN 107W-110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 7N95W 12N108W 12N125W 9N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SW OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 14N-15N BETWEEN 97W-100W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:47 2003 X-UIDL: 43898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70045PZ9YZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:01:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NH1e3S091515 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:01:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKtP077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:50:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1540335 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NGoslx070606 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NGokQS016994 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NGokQk016993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:50:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231650.h9NGokQk016993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 13.2N6 110.7W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 110.7W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.8N2 112.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.9N4 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.7N3 114.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.5N2 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.0N9 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.0N0 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.0N0 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 231200Z8 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 110.7W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM SOUTH OF SOCCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 45. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232200Z9, 240400Z0, 241000Z7 AND 241600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:48 2003 X-UIDL: 43900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70043FZP5ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:10:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NHAiip088206 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:10:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lxN058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:53:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1540368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NGqvlx009574 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NGqnQS017064 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NGqnop017062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 075 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231652.h9NGqnop017062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_SPACER, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 RRB 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.0N9 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.0N0 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.0N0 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 231200Z8 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 110.7W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM SOUTH OF SOCCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 45. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232200Z9, 240400Z0, 241000Z7 AND 241600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:49 2003 X-UIDL: 43901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004D0ZTVZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:13:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NHDe3S092880 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:13:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKtV077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1540364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NGqvlx027930 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NGqnQS017063 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NGqnKq017061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:52:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231652.h9NGqnKq017061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 13.2N6 110.7W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 110.7W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.8N2 112.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.9N4 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.7N3 114.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.5N2 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:49 2003 X-UIDL: 43902-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN80045806EZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:20:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NHL8ip089543 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:21:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKu1077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:01:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1540512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:01:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NH17lx037358 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:01:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NH0wQS017357 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:00:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NH0wrO017356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:00:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:00:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231700.h9NH0wrO017356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 13.2N6 110.7W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 110.7W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.8N2 112.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.9N4 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.7N3 114.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.5N2 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.0N9 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.0N0 120.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.0N0 122.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 231200Z8 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 110.7W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM SOUTH OF SOCCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 45. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232200Z9, 240400Z0, 241000Z7 AND 241600Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:49 2003 X-UIDL: 43903-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004II0DPZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:25:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NHPWip090037 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:25:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lxJ058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:45:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1540230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NGjrlx034350 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:45:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NGjjQS016852 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NGjjQ9016851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 11:45:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231645.h9NGjjQ9016851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 231645 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 685 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME CONCENTRATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANY DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA WOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:50 2003 X-UIDL: 43904-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN80046B0OKZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:31:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NHW83S094914 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:32:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKu5077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:03:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1540534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:03:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NH38lx039686 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:03:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NH30QS017428 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:03:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NH30N7017425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:03:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:03:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231703.h9NH30N7017425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 231600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 13.2N6 110.7W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 110.7W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 13.8N2 112.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.9N4 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.7N3 114.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.5N2 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:50 2003 X-UIDL: 43905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004UB1KXZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:50:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NHp33S096981 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:51:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKwP077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:34:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1541170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:34:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NHY0lx050906 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:34:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NHXpQS018346 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NHXpB8018344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:33:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231733.h9NHXpB8018344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z-241800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231354ZOCT03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 231200Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 101.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BANGKOK, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN34 PGTW 231500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR10.9N0 100.0E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:51 2003 X-UIDL: 43907-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004YP27XZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 02:04:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NI5Dip094500 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 02:05:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50l0t058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:34:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1541173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:34:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NHY3lx050914 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:34:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NHXpQS018347 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NHXpwg018345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:33:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:33:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231733.h9NHXpwg018345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z-241800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231354ZOCT03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 231200Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 101.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BANGKOK, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN34 PGTW 231500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR10.9N0 100.0E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:55 2003 X-UIDL: 43917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004357N5ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:01:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NK2Uip007475 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:02:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCK57077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:46:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1543536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:46:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NJkPlx040304 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:46:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NJkGQS022421 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NJkG3r022420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:46:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231946.h9NJkG3r022420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 231945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU OCT 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:57 2003 X-UIDL: 43924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004BJAO5ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:07:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NL7q3S018687 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:07:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCK73077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:43:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1544176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:43:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NKhclx034484 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:43:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NKhTQS024180 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NKhTcd024179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:43:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232043.h9NKhTcd024179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 232043 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 2100Z THU OCT 23 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 112.2W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 112.2W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 111.8W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.6N 113.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.4N 114.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.4N 115.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.5N 116.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.0N 118.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.5N 119.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.0N 121.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 112.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:57 2003 X-UIDL: 43925-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN80048KB8EZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:19:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NLK3ip016078 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:20:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCK7D077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:46:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1544221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NKkdlx072392 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NKkVQS024255 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NKkUn8024254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:46:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:46:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 14 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232046.h9NKkUn8024254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 232046 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT THU OCT 23 2003 PATRICIA IS NOT GENERATING MUCH CONVECTION...BUT WHAT THERE IS IS A LITTLE CLOSER TO THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE WAS NO MORNING QUIKSCAT PASS OVER PATRICIA. DVORAK T/CI AVERAGES ARE AT 35 KT...AND THAT WILL BE THE ADVISORY INTENSITY. CONVECTIVE CLOUD TOPS ARE BEING BLOWN OFF TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND UW/CIMSS IS ANALYZING NEARLY 20 KT OF SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE LIES IN THE PATH OF PATRICIA...AND SO THE CYCLONE COULD FIND ITSELF IN A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IN A DAY OR SO. THE GFDL STILL SEEMS TO BE OVERDOING IT...BUT I CAN SEE SOME REINTENSIFICATION OCCURRING BEFORE PATRICIA MOVES MORE NORTHWARD AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING WESTERLIES TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WITH SHEAR CONTINUING TO BE SUCH A BIG PLAYER...THE TRACK FORECAST DEPENDS ON THE INTENSITY. PATRICIA REMAINS SOUTH OF A NARROW MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT SEPARATES THE CYCLONE FROM A MID-LEVEL LOW NEAR 20N/125W. THE GFS KEEPS PATRICIA WEAK AND LARGELY ISOLATED FROM THIS LOW ON A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY TRACK. INTERESTINGLY...THE UKMET...NOGAPS...AND GFDL ALL TAKE PATRICIA IMMEDIATELY NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD THROUGH THIS RIDGE. GIVEN THE CURRENT STORM STRUCTURE AND INITIAL MOTION...275/11...I DO NOT BELIEVE ANY APPRECIABLE NORTHWARD TURNING WILL OCCUR UNTIL THE CYCLONE STRENGTHENS...AND SO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REMAINS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 23/2100Z 13.3N 112.2W 35 KT 12HR VT 24/0600Z 13.6N 113.4W 35 KT 24HR VT 24/1800Z 14.4N 114.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 25/0600Z 15.4N 115.7W 45 KT 48HR VT 25/1800Z 16.5N 116.5W 45 KT 72HR VT 26/1800Z 18.0N 118.0W 40 KT 96HR VT 27/1800Z 18.5N 119.5W 35 KT 120HR VT 28/1800Z 19.0N 121.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:58 2003 X-UIDL: 43927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN80045DDB1ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:04:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NM4mip020852 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:04:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCK9l077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:36:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1544954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:32:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NLWwlx025008 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:32:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NLWnQS025624 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:32:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NLWnWx025623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:32:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:32:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232132.h9NLWnWx025623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 232132 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE WITHIN 40 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N168W 27N172W 25N178W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N170W 03N160W 04N180 11N180 15N170W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 19S134W 10S147W 05S167W 08S177W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 10S176W 11S172W 16S169W 13S176W 10S176W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:59 2003 X-UIDL: 43929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004APDY9ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:18:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NMIl3S026076 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:18:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lEP058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1546061 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NM4Klx052132 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NM4CQS026380 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NM4ChP026377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Vector To 96 Hr Posit: 290 Deg/ 04 Kts Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232204.h9NM4ChP026377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 232200 RRB VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 18.5N4 119.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.0N0 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231800Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 111.8W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 304 NM SOUTH OF SOCCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED WEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 35. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240400Z0, 241000Z7, 241600Z3 AND 242200Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:59 2003 X-UIDL: 43930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004V5EACZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:25:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NMQ1ip022994 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:26:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKDH077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:01:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1545984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:01:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NM1Glx082610 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:01:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NM18QS026321 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NM18M0026320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:01:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:01:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232201.h9NM18M0026320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 232200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 13.2N6 111.8W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 111.8W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 13.6N0 113.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.4N9 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.4N0 115.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 16.5N2 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.0N9 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 18.5N4 119.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.0N0 121.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231800Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 111.8W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 304 NM SOUTH OF SOCCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED WEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231200Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 35. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240400Z0, 241000Z7, 241600Z3 AND 242200Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:00 2003 X-UIDL: 43931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN80042QEFQZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:28:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NMTGip023257 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:29:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKDL077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1546066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NM4Klx047230 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NM4CQS026381 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NM4CnG026376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:04:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232204.h9NM4CnG026376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 232200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 13.2N6 111.8W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 111.8W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 13.6N0 113.4W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.4N9 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.4N0 115.7W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 16.5N2 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.0N9 118.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:01 2003 X-UIDL: 43935-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN80045XF6ZZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:44:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NMjaip024725 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:45:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NLp6nJ033564; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:10:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1546168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:09:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NM9Alx031160 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:09:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NM91QS026509 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:09:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NM91oK026508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:09:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:09:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232209.h9NM91oK026508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 232209 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 23 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA CENTER IS NEAR 13.3N 112.2W AT 23/2100 UTC MOVING WEST 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/1800 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW IS NEAR 12N125W MOVING W 5-10 KT. WHILE THERE IS AMPLE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW...THE SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 123W-126W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N128W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO 24N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2130 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... PATRICIA CONTINUES TO FEEL THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG WLY SHEAR WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION BECOMING DISPLACED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 7N100W 12N109W 11N113W 12N120W 11N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 108W AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 15N97W 14.5N101W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:02 2003 X-UIDL: 43937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004J8G2HZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 07:03:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NN4Qip026602 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 07:04:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKEL077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:47:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1546555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:47:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NMkxlx065662 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:46:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NMkpQS027116 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:46:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NMkpgC027115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:46:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:46:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232246.h9NMkpgC027115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 232246 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT THU OCT 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 695 MILES SOUTH=SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANY DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:02 2003 X-UIDL: 43938-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004N2G42ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 07:04:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NN5Sip026757 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 07:05:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKEB077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1546500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NMfElx034430 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NMf6QS027019 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NMf6qE027017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232241.h9NMf6qE027017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 232230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/232230Z-240600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231951ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231952ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231953ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231954ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, C, AND D ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 231800Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 231800Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1500 NM WEST OF MIDWAY, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 120 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 231800Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W WAS LOCATED OVERLAND NEAR ILOILO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 232100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (4) AT 231800Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BANGKOK, THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SEE REF D (WTPN34 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 151.0E7, HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO NEAR 8.7N5 143.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UNORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH FAIR DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: FINAL WARNING ON TD 22W (PARA 1.A.(3) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER PARAGRAPHS. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43966-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN80048INU8ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:51:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O1qK3S047295 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:52:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKHp077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:45:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1547975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O1jUlx050848 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:45:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O1jMQS029276 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:45:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O1jL8N029275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:45:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240145.h9O1jL8N029275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 240145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU OCT 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:15 2003 X-UIDL: 43983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004GZPTZZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:34:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2ZMip047525 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:35:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NLp6pv033564; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1548368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2QRlx089116 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O2QDQS029646 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O2QDYZ029644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240226.h9O2QDYZ029644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 240225 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0300Z FRI OCT 24 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 112.7W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 112.7W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 112.3W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.3N 113.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.3N 114.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.5N 115.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.5N 116.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.5N 120.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 112.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:18 2003 X-UIDL: 43987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004JOQFEZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:47:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2mF3S053622 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:48:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKIj077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1548365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2QRlx089112 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O2QDQS029645 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O2QDDH029642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:26:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 15 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240226.h9O2QDDH029642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 240225 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT THU OCT 23 2003 PATRICIA IS STILL NOT GENERATING MUCH DEEP CONVECTION...AND THAT CONVECTION IS NOT VERY WELL-ORGANIZED. THE LOW-CLOUD CENTER IS INTERMITTENTLY EXPOSED AND DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS INDICATE THAT THE CYCLONE MAY NO LONGER BE OF TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. HOWEVER WE WILL WAIT FOR ANOTHER QUIKSCAT PASS OVER THE SYSTEM TO GET ANOTHER ESTIMATE OF INTENSITY. IN SPITE OF ITS CURRENT WEAKENED STATE...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT PATRICIA COULD SOON ENTER AN AREA OF WEAKER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE. THEREFORE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST...LIKE THE PREVIOUS ONE...SHOWS SOME RE-STRENGTHENING OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BEFORE MUCH STRONGER SHEAR TAKES ITS TOLL. THE NARROW MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF PATRICIA MAY BE WEAKENING FURTHER...RESULTING IN A MORE NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION. INITIAL MOTION IS NOW ABOUT 290/9. AS NOTED EARLIER...THE FUTURE TRACK IS STRONGLY DEPENDENT ON THE FUTURE STRENGTH OF THE SYSTEM. IF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE STRENGTHENS SIGNIFICANTLY...IT SHOULD MOVE MUCH MORE NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING TO ITS NORTH AND NORTHWEST. HOWEVER A RATHER WEAK CYCLONE WOULD MOVE MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...FOLLOWING THE SHALLOW TRADE WIND FLOW. THE GFS...WHICH HAD BEEN CALLING FOR A MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK...SHOWS A NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT WELL TO THE LEFT OF MOST OF THE TRACK GUIDANCE. THIS IS ROUGHLY BETWEEN THE SHALLOW AND MEDIUM BAM FORECAST TRACKS. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0300Z 13.8N 112.7W 35 KT 12HR VT 24/1200Z 14.3N 113.5W 35 KT 24HR VT 25/0000Z 15.3N 114.5W 40 KT 36HR VT 25/1200Z 16.5N 115.3W 45 KT 48HR VT 26/0000Z 17.5N 116.0W 45 KT 72HR VT 27/0000Z 19.0N 117.5W 40 KT 96HR VT 28/0000Z 20.0N 119.0W 30 KT 120HR VT 29/0000Z 20.5N 120.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:24 2003 X-UIDL: 44003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004JYU46ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 12:07:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O47jip057844 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 12:07:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKKX077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:00:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1549128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:00:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O40Xlx008366 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:00:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O40OQS000540 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:00:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O40Ovv000539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:00:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:00:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240400.h9O40Ovv000539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 240400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 13.6N0 112.3W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 112.3W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.3N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.3N9 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.5N2 115.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.5N3 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.0N0 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.0N2 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 20.5N7 120.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240000Z6 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 112.3W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240000Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241000Z7, 241600Z3, 242200Z0 AND 250400Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:25 2003 X-UIDL: 44004-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004T1U6YZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 12:08:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O49Pip058015 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 12:09:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lIX058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1549154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O43Zlx096062 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O43RQS000575 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O43RhA000574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Radius Of 034 Kt Winds - 075 Nm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240403.h9O43RhA000574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 240400 RRB RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.0N0 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.0N2 119.0W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 20.5N7 120.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240000Z6 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 112.3W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240000Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241000Z7, 241600Z3, 242200Z0 AND 250400Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:25 2003 X-UIDL: 44005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004YKU8LZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 12:09:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O4AYip058174 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 12:10:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKKd077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:04:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1549166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:04:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O44qlx096076 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:04:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O44hQS000627 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:04:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O44h9I000626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:04:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:04:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240404.h9O44h9I000626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 240403 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 24 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 13.8N 112.7W AT 24/0300 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N125W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ANY DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 117W AND 126W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/0000 UTC... ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTHWEST AND NORTH OF 32N120W 23N122W 16N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0300 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 108W AND 110.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 112W AND 116W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 10N77W 12N110W 11N129W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG CONVECTION IN NORTHERN COLOMBIA FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W...JUST EAST OF THE COLOMBIA/PANAMA BORDER. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IN COASTAL COLOMBIA AT THE COAST...WITHIN 15 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 2N78W 5N77W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 99W AND 101W OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WATERS...AND IN MEXICO FROM THE COAST NEAR 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004LBUF1ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 12:13:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O4EP3S063491 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 12:14:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKKb077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1549159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O43dlx051852 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O43UQS000590 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O43U5p000583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:03:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240403.h9O43U5p000583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 240400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 13.6N0 112.3W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 112.3W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.3N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.3N9 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.5N2 115.3W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.5N3 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN80048NWQGZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:03:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O54R3S069766 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:04:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKL1077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:30:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1549314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:30:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O4UElx069568 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:30:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O4U6QS000915 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:30:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O4U65k000914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:30:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:30:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240430.h9O4U65k000914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 240429 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT THU OCT 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 670 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANY DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:28 2003 X-UIDL: 44012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004YUZ7FZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:57:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O5viip070411 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:57:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lJD058110; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1549907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O5jklx038798 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O5jbQS001529 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O5jb48001527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240545.h9O5jb48001527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240152ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240154ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N5 133.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:32 2003 X-UIDL: 44023-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008QC4OBCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:55:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O7tlip084283 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:55:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKNZ077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 02:48:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 02:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O7mPlx069378 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 02:48:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O7mHQS002603 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 02:48:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O7mHPL002602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 02:48:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 02:48:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240748.h9O7mHPL002602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 240747 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU OCT 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:38 2003 X-UIDL: 44033-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN90087G6KYCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:36:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8b8ip089005 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:37:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKNx077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550638 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8Wtlx027322 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O8WkQS003185 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O8WkS0003183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240832.h9O8WkS0003183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 240832 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT FRI OCT 24 2003 DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH PATRICIA HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...WITH TOPS OF COLDER THAN -80C NOW OBSCURING THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. HOWEVER...THE CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT FROM AFWA...AND 30 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB. GIVEN THE INCREASE IN CONVECTION SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...PATRICIA WILL REMAIN A 35 KT TROPICAL STORM. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SHEAR ANALYSES FROM CIMSS AT THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN INDICATE THAT AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS FORMING NEAR PATRICIA AND SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASING THE SHEAR...AND THE CONVECTIVE FLARE-UP MAY BE TIED TO THAT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 295/6. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR 24N124W WITH BROAD TROUGHING COVERING THE AREA NORTH OF 18N EAST OF 140W TO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. LARGE-SCALE MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS PATTERN WILL EVOLVE INTO AN EAST-WEST TROUGH ALONG ROUGHLY 28N DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. IR IMAGERY AND MODEL ANALYSES SHOW WEAK LOW-LEVEL RIDGING NORTH OF PATRICIA... AND THIS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD. ALL DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE NOW CALLS FOR PATRICIA TO TURN NORTHWARD...AND ALL BUT THE UKMET SHOW A NORTHEASTWARD TURN AFTER 48-72 HR. THE UKMET FORECASTS PATRICIA TO TURN WESTWARD INSTEAD. FULL RECURVATURE STILL APPEARS UNLIKELY...AS A COMBINATION OF COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND FORECAST STRONG SHEAR SHOULD CAUSE PATRICIA TO WEAKEN AS IT TRIES TO RECURVE. THUS...THE FORECAST TRACK WILL BE TO THE LEFT OF THE BULK OF THE DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE. THE NEW FORECAST IS SHIFTED TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...CALLING FOR A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THROUGH 72 HR...THEN CALL FOR A SLOWER AND MORE WESTWARD MOTION BEYOND 72 HR UNDER THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL RIDGE. THE CURRENT DECREASE IN THE SHEAR SHOULD BE TEMPORARY. INDEED...THE GFS AND CANADIAN MODELS FORECAST IT TO INCREASE IN AS SOON AS 12 HR. THE INTENSITY FORECAST WILL USE THE PREMISE THAT IT WILL TAKE LONGER THAN THAT FOR CONDITIONS TO WORSEN...AND THUS CALL FOR GRADUAL STRENGTHENING FOR 36 HR. PATRICIA IS FORECAST TO CROSS INTO SUB-26C SSTS BY 72 HR WHILE MOVING INTO INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES. THIS COMBINATION SHOULD CAUSE STEADY WEAKENING. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT PATRICIA COULD DISSIPATE SOONER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...ESPECIALLY IF NO STRENGTHENING OCCURS DURING THE FIRST 36 HR. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/0900Z 14.0N 113.0W 35 KT 12HR VT 24/1800Z 14.7N 113.7W 35 KT 24HR VT 25/0600Z 15.9N 114.6W 40 KT 36HR VT 25/1800Z 16.9N 115.1W 45 KT 48HR VT 26/0600Z 17.9N 115.6W 45 KT 72HR VT 27/0600Z 19.0N 116.5W 35 KT 96HR VT 28/0600Z 20.0N 117.5W 30 KT 120HR VT 29/0600Z 20.5N 119.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:39 2003 X-UIDL: 44034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008C46MOCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:37:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8cE3S094903 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:38:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lJt058110; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8Wtlx011532 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O8WkQS003184 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O8Wk2w003181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:32:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 16 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240832.h9O8Wk2w003181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 240832 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0900Z FRI OCT 24 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 113.0W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 113.0W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 112.7W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.7N 113.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.9N 114.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.9N 115.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.9N 115.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 20.0N 117.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.5N 119.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 113.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:43 2003 X-UIDL: 44038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008KXA9SCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:56:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O9up3S002220 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:56:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lKF058110; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:54:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550964 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:54:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O9smlx037276 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:54:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O9seQS003888 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:54:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O9sdfk003887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:54:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:54:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240954.h9O9sdfk003887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 240954 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 10N174W...HAS ISOLATED CB FROM 01N TO 13N BETWEEN 166W AND 178E THAT HAVE DECREASED IN INTENSITY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N159W 26N164W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ALSO BROKEN TO OVERCAST CU AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/TCU WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 26N164W 25N170W 24N180. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N154W 09N150W 09N140W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 25S129W 20S134W 12S146W 10S159W...THAT HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST 15 KT IN PORTION OF FRONT SOUTH OF 18S AND NEARLY STATIONARY ELSEWHERE...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. COLD FRONT...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...HAS NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 25S161W 18S170W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06S167W 07S172W 09S178W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:43 2003 X-UIDL: 44039-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008PHATQCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 18:08:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OA8p3S003405 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 18:08:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKOx077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:04:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1551014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:04:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OA4Xlx037328 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:04:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OA4OQS003999 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:04:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OA4OjK003998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:04:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:04:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241004.h9OA4OjK003998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 241004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 24 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 14.0N 113.0W AT 24/0900 UTC MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N126W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. IT IS LIKELY THAT ANY DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA WOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. FEW CONVECTIVE CELLS FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 124W AND 126W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/0600 UTC... ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTHWEST AND NORTH OF 32N120W 20N124W 16N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0930 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION AND CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM -80C TO -90C FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 112W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 107W AND 117W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N77W 7N97W 10N115W 11N125W 8N140W. STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 137W AND 139W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 139W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SW CARIBBEAN SEA 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER KICKING UP SOME ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION UP AGAINST THE CENTRAL AMERICA COAST FROM NICARAGUA TO PANAMA... AND ALONG THE EASTERN PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM 7N AT PANAMA TO 12N/13N ALONG THE NICARAGUA/EL SALVADOR BORDER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IN COLOMBIA WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 6N77W 2N79W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:45 2003 X-UIDL: 44043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008E8C8GCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 18:38:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OAdF3S006057 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 18:39:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKPF077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:23:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1551104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:23:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OANolx038764 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:23:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OANfQS004139 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:23:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OANfue004138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:23:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 05:23:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241023.h9OANfue004138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 241023 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT FRI OCT 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:08 2003 X-UIDL: 44055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN90084ILVRCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:07:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OE7Z3S025391 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:07:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKTt077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:57:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1552801 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:57:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ODvmlx017444 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:57:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ODveQS006802 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:57:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ODve23006801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:57:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:57:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241357.h9ODve23006801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 241357 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI OCT 24 2003 A BROAD CIRCULATION NEAR 10N 173W...WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:25 2003 X-UIDL: 44065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008I1O5RCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEug3S030587 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKVT077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:45:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1553432 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:45:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEixlx037126 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:44:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OEipQS008532 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:44:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OEipLh008531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:44:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:44:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241444.h9OEipLh008531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 241444 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT FRI OCT 24 2003 IT IS DIFFICULT TO CONFIDENTLY ASSESS THE CURRENT STRUCTURE OF PATRICIA. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS EMBEDDED SOMEWHERE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION...BUT THE LAST TWO MICROWAVE PASSES ONLY PARTIALLY CAUGHT THE CYCLONE. CERTAINLY PATRICIA IS HEALTHIER THAN IT WAS 24 HOURS AGO...WITH OUTFLOW EVIDENT IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT FOR THE FIRST TIME IN DAYS. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE INCREASED SINCE 6Z...AND THE ADVISORY INTENSITY WILL BE INCREASED TO 40 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 330/4...BUT THIS ESTIMATE IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. PATRICIA APPEARS TO BE ROUNDING THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS WESTWARD FROM THE MEXICAN COAST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA WITH A BROAD BAND OF WESTERLIES BETWEEN THIS LOW AND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT A WEST OR SOUTHWESTERLY MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL STEERING FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS NORTH OF ABOUT 17N. THE MAJOR TRACK MODELS TAKE PATRICIA SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AFTER THAT...THE TRACK WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH DEEP CONVECTION THE SYSTEM CAN MAINTAIN AS PATRICIA GETS BACK INTO A STRONG WESTERLY UPPER FLOW. THE GFDL...NOGAPS...AND EVEN THE GFS NOW TURN THE CYCLONE TO THE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...WHILE THE UKMET NOW BENDS THE TRACK BACK TO THE WEST AND LOSES THE CYCLONE AFTER 3 DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE UKMET. NOW THAT PATRICIA IS IN A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN...SOME REDEVELOPMENT SHOULD OCCUR. THE SHIPS MODEL DOES NOT SHOW MUCH INCREASE IN STRENGTH. THIS IS PROBABLY BECAUSE IT SEES TOO MUCH SHEAR NEAR THE CYCLONE...BUT IT IS LIKELY LOOKING OVER TOO LARGE AN AREA AND CANNOT SEE THE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS RIGHT OVER THE CYCLONE. WITHIN 36 HOURS OR SO...THE WESTERLIES ALONG WITH COOLER SSTS SHOULD INITIATE A WEAKENING TREND. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 14.5N 113.1W 40 KT 12HR VT 25/0000Z 15.2N 113.5W 45 KT 24HR VT 25/1200Z 16.2N 114.0W 50 KT 36HR VT 26/0000Z 17.4N 114.4W 50 KT 48HR VT 26/1200Z 18.5N 114.5W 45 KT 72HR VT 27/1200Z 19.5N 115.5W 35 KT 96HR VT 28/1200Z 20.0N 116.5W 30 KT 120HR VT 29/1200Z 20.5N 117.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:25 2003 X-UIDL: 44066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008VFOD2CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:00:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OF19ip025688 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:01:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lOv058110; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:45:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1553438 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:45:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEjclx049886 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:45:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OEjTQS008552 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OEjTWN008551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:45:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 17 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241445.h9OEjTWN008551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 241445 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 1500Z FRI OCT 24 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 113.1W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 113.1W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 113.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.2N 113.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.2N 114.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.4N 114.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.5N 114.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.5N 115.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N 116.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.5N 117.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 113.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN900857P0ECZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:14:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFF43S032496 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:15:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lPn058110; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:03:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1553774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:03:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OF3Glx092614 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:03:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OF37QS009039 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:03:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OF37hb009038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:03:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:03:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241503.h9OF37hb009038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 241503 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 24 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 14.5N 113.1W AT 24/1500 UTC MOVING NNW 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1200 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N127W DRIFTING WEST. THE SYSTEM REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION LIES E OF THE LOW FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 123W-126W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N135W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE S BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1415 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... THE OVERALL SATELLITE SIGNATURE APPEARS BETTER THAN YESTERDAY WITH A LARGE AREA OF NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 109W-115W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 11N115W 12N125W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 137W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COAST OF W PANAMA AND E COSTA RICA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION APPROXIMATELY 100-200 NM W OF THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 87W-89W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:30 2003 X-UIDL: 44074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008KPSZ0CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 00:40:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OGeY3S041546 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 00:40:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9qB094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:24:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1555285 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:24:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OGOwlx038880 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:24:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OGOnQS011534 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:24:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OGOnKG011533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:24:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:24:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241624.h9OGOnKG011533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 241624 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT FRI OCT 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:37 2003 X-UIDL: 44087-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008AS05ICZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:15:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OJFs3S059962 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:15:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9wx094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:07:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1557161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OJ7glx009810 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OJ7XQS016276 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:07:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OJ7Xix016274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:07:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:07:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241907.h9OJ7Xix016274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241354ZOCT03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 241200Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 100.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN34 PGTW 241500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/WAUGAMAN/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:38 2003 X-UIDL: 44088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008PV0BMCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:18:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OJJaip055985 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:19:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9qP024910; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:08:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1557169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:08:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OJ80lx092652 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:08:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OJ7XQS016277 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:07:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OJ7Xiu016275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:07:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:07:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241907.h9OJ7Xiu016275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241354ZOCT03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 241200Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 100.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN34 PGTW 241500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/WAUGAMAN/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:44 2003 X-UIDL: 44091-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0085Y20UCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:55:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OJuH3S064776 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:56:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFTAGn050760; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:40:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1557538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:40:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OJeLlx041830 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:40:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OJeCQS017175 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:40:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OJeCt7017174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:40:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:40:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241940.h9OJeCt7017174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 241940 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI OCT 24 2003 A BROAD CIRCULATION NEAR 10N 173W...WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:45 2003 X-UIDL: 44094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008GA44FCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:41:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OKfe3S072231 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:41:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT92l094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:26:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1558237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OKQhlx053760 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:26:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OKQZQS018432 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:26:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OKQZ8q018430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:26:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:26:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310242026.h9OKQZ8q018430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO31 PGTW 242100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 12.6N9 99.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N9 99.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 13.2N6 98.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.6N0 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 14.4N9 94.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.5N1 93.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.7N0 99.2E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHWEST OF HUA HIN, THAILAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 23W MADE LANDFALL NEAR HUA HIN AT (APPROX) 241500Z2. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 AND 252100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:46 2003 X-UIDL: 44096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008IR4ODCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:53:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OKrdip067354 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:53:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT93B094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1558340 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OKeelx042614 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OKeVQS018847 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OKeVWb018846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310242040.h9OKeVWb018846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 242040 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 2100Z FRI OCT 24 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 113.3W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 113.3W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 113.2W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.3N 113.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 16.3N 113.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.5N 113.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 114.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.0N 115.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N 116.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 113.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:46 2003 X-UIDL: 44098-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008MC4QMCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:54:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OKt0ip067478 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:55:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT935094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1558326 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OKe9lx096806 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OKe0QS018825 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OKe002018824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:40:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 18 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310242040.h9OKe002018824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 242039 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 2003 SEVERAL HOURS OF VISIBLE IMAGERY HAVE NOT HELPED TO LOCATE THE CENTER OF PATRICIA. A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 1340Z SUGGESTED THAT PREVIOUS POSITIONS WERE PROBABLY A LITTLE TOO FAR NORTH. THE CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE BROAD AND PERHAPS ELONGATED NORTH/SOUTH. CONVECTION SHOWS LITTLE OR NO ORGANIZATION...EVEN THOUGH PATRICIA IS UNDERNEATH AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 35 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB. SINCE THE QUIKSCAT SHOWED A FEW 40 KT VECTORS I WILL KEEP THE ADVISORY WINDS AT 40 KT...EVEN THOUGH THE VECTORS MAY HAVE BEEN CONTAMINATED. MY GUESS AT THE INITIAL MOTION IS 340/5. PATRICIA APPEARS TO BE ROUNDING THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS WESTWARD FROM THE MEXICAN COAST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA WITH A BROAD BAND OF WESTERLIES BETWEEN THIS LOW AND THE TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT A WEST OR SOUTHWESTERLY MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL STEERING FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS NORTH OF ABOUT 17N. THE MAJOR TRACK MODELS TAKE PATRICIA SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AFTER THAT...MOST GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT PATRICIA WILL DISSIPATE OVER COOLER WATERS AND UNDER INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR. ALTHOUGH PATRICIA DOES NOT APPEAR WELL ORGANIZED NOW...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ALLOWS FOR A DIURNAL BOOST TONIGHT UNDER THE FAVORABLE UPPER FLOW BEFORE THE SHEAR BEGINS TO INCREASE. SHOULD THIS NOT OCCUR...PATRICIA COULD DISSIPATE SOONER THAN INDICATED BELOW. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 14.5N 113.3W 40 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 15.3N 113.5W 45 KT 24HR VT 25/1800Z 16.3N 113.7W 45 KT 36HR VT 26/0600Z 17.5N 113.9W 40 KT 48HR VT 26/1800Z 18.5N 114.0W 35 KT 72HR VT 27/1800Z 19.0N 115.0W 30 KT 96HR VT 28/1800Z 19.5N 116.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:48 2003 X-UIDL: 44101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0085W7NVCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:57:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OLw63S079733 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:58:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT96B094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:45:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1559159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OLjklx038884 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OLjcQS020447 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OLjcfS020446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:45:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:45:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310242145.h9OLjcfS020446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 242145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 10N174W...HAS ISOLATED CB IN AREA BETWEEN 02N AND 11N WEST OF 171W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ..ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N157W 24N165W...HAVE MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N140W 08N140W 01N161W 10N162W 10N140W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH 1...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 25S130W 16S138W 09N157W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. COLD FRONT/TROUGH 2...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 23S156W 11S179W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE COLD FRONT/TROUGH 2 UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN IN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S178W 08S170W 09S178W 05S178W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:49 2003 X-UIDL: 44102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0086Q8BDCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 06:11:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OMCF3S081037 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 06:12:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT971094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:03:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1559379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:03:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OM3Hlx031300 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:03:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OM39QS020769 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:03:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OM39Ik020768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:03:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:03:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310242203.h9OM39Ik020768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 242203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 24 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA CENTER NEAR 14.5N 113.3W AT 24/2100 UTC MOVING NNW 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1800 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N127W DRIFTING WEST. THE SYSTEM REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ AND SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION LIES E OF THE LOW FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 123W-126W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 30N135W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE S BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2130 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... THE CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE BROAD AND PERHAPS ELONGATED NORTH/SOUTH. CONVECTION SHOWS LITTLE OR NO ORGANIZATION...EVEN THOUGH PATRICIA IS UNDERNEATH AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 111W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 108W-114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 7N105W 11N113W 12N123W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 78W-84W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W-129W AND BETWEEN 131W-137W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 113W-116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 10N90W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:51 2003 X-UIDL: 44106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008YZ9U5CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 06:44:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OMj3ip077136 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 06:45:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT98Z094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:37:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1559839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:37:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OMbFlx058080 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:37:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OMb6QS021212 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OMb6Nv021211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:37:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310242237.h9OMb6Nv021211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 242236 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:58 2003 X-UIDL: 44116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008K8IFHCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:50:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P1oc3S001368 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:50:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9CD094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:45:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1561502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P1jNlx017184 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P1jEQS023176 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:45:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P1jEGu023175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:45:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:45:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250145.h9P1jEGu023175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ACPN50 PHFO 250145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI OCT 24 2003 A BROAD CIRCULATION NEAR 10N 175W...WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:00 2003 X-UIDL: 44120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0084GKC8CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:31:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2Vwip096181 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:32:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT915034030; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:26:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1561659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:26:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2QQlx092202 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:26:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P2QIQS023543 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P2QIpg023542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:26:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250226.h9P2QIpg023542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, OPPORTUNITY, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ41 KNHC 250226 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 2003 THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 340/04 IS UNCERTAIN SINCE THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS MOST DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ABOUT A SLOW NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE STORM IS MOVING AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP LAYER RIDGE. BY AROUND DAY 3...MOST OF THE MODELS SHOW A WEAKENING SYSTEM BEING STEERED BY LOWER-LEVEL FLOW AND TURNING TOWARD THE WEST OR NORTHWEST. ONLY THE NOGAPS DIFFERS MUCH WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS FOR VERY SLOW MOTION AND IT FOLLOWS A CONSENSUS OF THE MODELS AND IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. VISIBLE IMAGES THIS EVENING SUGGEST THAT THERE MAY NOT BE A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CENTER. IF IT WERE NOT FOR A RECENT BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE ASSUMED CENTER...IT WOULD BE TEMPTING TO DECLARE THE SYSTEM DISSIPATED. HOWEVER DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE STILL AT 35 KNOTS AND THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS 35 KNOTS. THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THERE IS A 24-HOUR WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR SOME STRENGTHENING BEFORE THE VERTICAL SHEAR BECOMES PROHIBITIVE AT 30 KNOTS. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 14.7N 113.5W 35 KT 12HR VT 25/1200Z 15.3N 113.7W 40 KT 24HR VT 26/0000Z 16.4N 113.9W 40 KT 36HR VT 26/1200Z 17.4N 114.2W 40 KT 48HR VT 27/0000Z 18.0N 114.4W 35 KT 72HR VT 28/0000Z 18.6N 114.7W 30 KT 96HR VT 29/0000Z 20.0N 115.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 120HR VT 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:03 2003 X-UIDL: 44122-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0087ZKDLCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:32:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2Wl3S005053 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:32:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT917034030; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:27:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1561668 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2R1lx029122 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P2QrQS023556 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P2Qr9V023555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:26:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 19 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250226.h9P2Qr9V023555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 250226 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0300Z SAT OCT 25 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 113.5W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 113.5W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 113.4W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.3N 113.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.4N 113.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.4N 114.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.0N 114.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.6N 114.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N 115.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 113.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 44130-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0084RNQ4CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:44:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P3j5ip003000 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:45:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9DJ094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:42:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1562164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:42:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P3gNlx042738 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:42:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P3gFQS024392 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:42:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P3gFSi024391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:42:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:42:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250342.h9P3gFSi024391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 250342 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 25 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 14.7N 113.3W AT 25/0300 UTC MOVING NNW AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/0000 UTC... ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N127W DRIFTING NW. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 22N FROM 130W TO 145W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0315 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO FIND. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 15.5N111W AND WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 14N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 109W AND 113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N91W 9N107W 14N124W 8N134W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 127W...FROM 130W TO 133W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 136W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 108W AND FROM 136W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 19N TO 21N E OF 108W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 44131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0086YOATCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:56:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P3vPip003965 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:57:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9DT094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:53:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1562235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:53:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P3rclx029038 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:53:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P3rTQS024478 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:53:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P3rTFG024477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:53:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:53:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250353.h9P3rTFG024477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 250400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 14.5N0 113.4W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 113.4W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.3N9 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.4N1 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.4N2 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.0N9 114.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 18.6N5 114.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 20.0N2 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241800Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.5N0 113.4W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250000Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251000Z8, 251600Z4, 252200Z1 AND 260400Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 44133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008ESOFSCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:59:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P40N3S013079 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:00:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9DX094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1562268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P3uglx049264 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P3uYQS024521 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P3uXh2024519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250356.h9P3uXh2024519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 250400 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 14.5N0 113.4W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 113.4W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.3N9 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.4N1 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.4N2 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.0N9 114.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 18.6N5 114.7W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:07 2003 X-UIDL: 44134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008KXOJGCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:02:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P42f3S013260 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:02:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT91n034030; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1562271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P3uglx051288 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P3uYQS024522 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P3uY3N024520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:56:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Dissipating As A Significant Tropical Cyclone Over Water Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250356.h9P3uY3N024520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 250400 RRB DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 20.0N2 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241800Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.5N0 113.4W9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250000Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251000Z8, 251600Z4, 252200Z1 AND 260400Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:08 2003 X-UIDL: 44139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA00891QV6CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:52:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P4ql3S017504 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:52:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9ED094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:48:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1562700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P4mmlx079600 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P4meQS024974 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:48:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P4me7U024973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:48:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:48:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250448.h9P4me7U024973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 250448 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT FRI OCT 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 610 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:11 2003 X-UIDL: 44147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA00B7DWGPIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:53:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P6rkip021507 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:53:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT949034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:47:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1563491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:47:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P6kxlx089202 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:46:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P6kkQS025954 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:46:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P6kka6025952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:46:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:46:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250646.h9P6kka6025952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 250600 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z-260600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250152ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241953ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N1 135.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 250000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N4 163.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 660 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, TRACKING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 241800Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 99.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHWEST OF HUA HIN, THAILAND, TRACKING TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SEE REF C (WTIO31 PGTW 242100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS IS THE LAST REFERENCE FOR THIS SYSTEM ON THE ABPW AS IT IS ABOUT TO MOVE INTO THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN BASIN; TD 23W WILL SUBSEQUENTLY BE DISCUSSED ON THE ABIO BULLETIN. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TD 22W, PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2N4 123.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:12 2003 X-UIDL: 44151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA00BX9ZMJIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:01:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P81w3S036876 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:02:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9GV094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:58:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1563773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:58:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P7w8lx041904 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:58:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P7w0QS026529 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P7w0et026528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:58:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250758.h9P7w0et026528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPN50 PHFO 250757 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI OCT 24 2003 TYPHOON PARMA IS LOCATED WEST OF THE DATELINE NEAR 29N 166E...AND IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD NEAR 20 MPH. ALTHOUGH PARMA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN...AND MAY ACTUALLY MOVE BACK TOWARDS THE WEST...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT PARMA WILL ENTER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. A BROAD CIRCULATION NEAR 9N 175W...WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 158W AND 145W...LACK ANY ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...SOME COMPUTER MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL FORM EARLY NEXT WEEK TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:13 2003 X-UIDL: 44155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BVF17BIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:35:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P8aD3S039485 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:36:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT94T034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1563887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P8YIlx046026 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P8Y9QS027088 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P8Y9wS027086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250834.h9P8Y9wS027086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 250833 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0900Z SAT OCT 25 2003 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 113.5W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 113.5W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 113.5W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.8N 113.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.9N 114.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.6N 114.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.1N 114.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.5N 114.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N 115.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 113.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:14 2003 X-UIDL: 44156-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00B6T1GSIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:41:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P8fs3S039888 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:41:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Gp094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1563890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P8YKlx017330 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P8YCQS027093 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P8YBEq027092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:34:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Storm Patricia Discussion Number 20 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250834.h9P8YBEq027092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 250833 TCDEP1 TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM PDT SAT OCT 25 2003 PATRICIA HAS A VERY POOR SATELLITE APPEARANCE THIS MORNING...AS MOST OF THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS DISSIPATED. EVEN WITH THE HELP OF RECENT TRMM...SSM/I...AND QUIKSCAT OVERPASSES...THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER REMAINS VERY HARD TO FIND. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON QUIKSCAT AND EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE PREVIOUS POSITION. THE TRMM AND SSM/I...ALONG WITH SAB AND AFWA...SUGGEST THAT A NEW CENTER COULD BE FORMING ABOUT 120 NM EAST OF THE CURRENT POSITION. HOWEVER...SINCE THE CONVECTION IS FADING EVEN THERE THIS APPEARS RATHER DUBIOUS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 35 KT BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM ALL AGENCIES. THIS MAY BE GENEROUS...BUT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A CONVECTIVE FLARE-UP DURING THE DIURNAL MAXIMUM THE CYCLONE WILL STAY A TROPICAL STORM FOR ONE MORE ADVISORY CYCLE. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A HIGHLY UNCERTAIN 340/4. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR 25N120W...AND AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE NEAR 13N96W. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND LARGE-SCALE MODEL ANALYSES SUGGEST A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. THIS COMBINATION SHOULD STEER PATRICIA SLOWLY NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 48-72. SEVERAL MODELS STILL CALL FOR RECURVATURE BEYOND THAT TIME...WHICH NOW APPEARS VERY UNLIKELY GIVEN THE STATE OF THE STORM. THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS FOR PATRICIA TO TURN MORE WESTWARD AS IT WEAKENS...AND THE CYCLONE MAY VERY WELL DISSIPATE BEFORE THAT CAN OCCUR. GIVEN ALL THE UNCERTAINIES... ESPECIALLY IN THE INITIAL LOCATION...THIS FORECAST TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS SLOW NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. PATRICIA LOOKS TOO POORLY ORGANIZED TO STRENGTHEN AT THIS TIME...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS INCREASING. LARGE-SCALE MODELS FORECAST THE CYCLONE TO ENCOUNTER UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS...WITH THE SHEAR GRADUALLY INCREASING THE FARTHER NORTH IT GETS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST NOW CALLS FOR NO STRENGTHENING FOR 36 HR AS PATRICIA ENCOUNTERS LIGHT-MODERATE SHEAR...FOLLWED BY WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER SHEAR. PATRICIA COULD WELL DISSIPATE FASTER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0900Z 15.1N 113.5W 35 KT 12HR VT 25/1800Z 15.8N 113.7W 35 KT 24HR VT 26/0600Z 16.9N 114.0W 35 KT 36HR VT 26/1800Z 17.6N 114.2W 35 KT 48HR VT 27/0600Z 18.1N 114.4W 30 KT 72HR VT 28/0600Z 18.5N 114.5W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 96HR VT 29/0600Z 20.0N 115.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:15 2003 X-UIDL: 44161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BC33JVIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:26:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9Quip034613 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:26:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT94h034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:23:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1564103 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:23:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9NYlx051858 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:23:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P9NPQS027471 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:23:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P9NOou027469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:23:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:23:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250923.h9P9NOou027469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO34 PGTW 250900 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 12.5N8 97.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 97.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 12.9N2 95.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.4N8 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.3N8 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.4N0 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.6N9 97.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BANGKOK, THAILAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. WITH THE AVAILABILITY OF ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS, IT IS CLEAR THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED MUCH FURTHER WEST THAN ITS PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. FOR THIS REASON, TC 23W HAS BEEN RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST OF ITS 250000Z7 POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 5 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 AND 260900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:16 2003 X-UIDL: 44163-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BE6486IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:40:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9fTip035876 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:41:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9HT094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:37:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1564200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:37:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9b1lx037468 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:37:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P9aqQS027618 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P9aqpJ027617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:36:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Unclas //n03144// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250936.h9P9aqpJ027617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251000 UNCLAS //N03144// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 83// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 14.9N4 113.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 113.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.8N4 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 16.9N6 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 17.6N4 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 18.1N0 114.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 18.5N4 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.0N2 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250600Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.9N4 113.5W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250600Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 35 KNOTS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251600Z4, 252200Z1, 260400Z2 AND 261000Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:17 2003 X-UIDL: 44164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BGK4AWIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:42:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9h6ip035999 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:43:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT94n034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:39:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1564230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:39:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9d4lx096934 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P9ctQS027635 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P9ctMd027632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:38:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Unclas //n03144// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250938.h9P9ctMd027632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251000 RRA UNCLAS //N03144// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 83// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 14.9N4 113.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 113.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.8N4 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 16.9N6 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 17.6N4 114.2W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:17 2003 X-UIDL: 44165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BJ84DKIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:44:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9ifip036095 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:44:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9HX094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:39:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1564227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:39:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9d4lx079424 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P9ctQS027633 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P9ctdQ027630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:38:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: 060 Nm Southeast Quadrant Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250938.h9P9ctdQ027630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_SPACER, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251000 RRB 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 18.1N0 114.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 18.5N4 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.0N2 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250600Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.9N4 113.5W0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250600Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 35 KNOTS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251600Z4, 252200Z1, 260400Z2 AND 261000Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:17 2003 X-UIDL: 44166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BN64HFIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:46:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9kw3S045879 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:47:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Hb094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:42:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1564264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:42:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9gdlx095990 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:42:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P9gUQS027682 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:42:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P9gUMg027681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:42:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:42:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250942.h9P9gUMg027681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 250942 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 25 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA IS CENTERED NEAR 15.1N 113.5W AT 25/0900 UTC MOVING NNW AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/0600 UTC... ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N127W DRIFTING NW. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 22N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0915 UTC... TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA... PATRICIA IS LOSING ORGANIZATION AND THE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS STARTING TO DISSIPATE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE AREA FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 109W AND 114W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 10N107W 15N124W 8N133W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 81W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO BEYOND 140W...AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 130W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 133W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 126W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 88W TO 89W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:20 2003 X-UIDL: 44169-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BWA4QQIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:52:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9qb3S046307 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:52:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Hj094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:50:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1564324 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:50:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9oelx037554 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P9oVQS027718 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:50:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P9oV9Z027717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:50:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:50:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250950.h9P9oV9Z027717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 250950 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 09N174W...HAS ISOLATED CB IN AREA FROM 03N TO 12N BETWEEN 178W AND 168W THAT HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY... DECREASED IN AREA...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...FROM 24N TO 30N BETWEEN 153W AND 160W...HAVE MOVED EAST 20 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N140W 12N150W 12N165W 07N165W 02N160W 02N147W 09N143W 08N140W 12N140W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH 1...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 25S130W 15S144W 09S163W...THAT HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. COLD FRONT/TROUGH 2...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 25S152W 23S152W 20S160W 15S170W 09S180...THAT HAVE MOVED EAST 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE COLD FRONT/TROUGH 2 UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN IN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S178W 08S170W 09S178W 05S178W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:21 2003 X-UIDL: 44171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BAC6NRIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 18:33:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PAY53S049561 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 18:34:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Hv094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:30:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1564414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:30:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PAUtlx050842 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PAUlQS028052 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PAUlbF028051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:30:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251030.h9PAUlbF028051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 251030 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PDT SAT OCT 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 585 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:22 2003 X-UIDL: 44172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BTS78IIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 18:45:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PAkW3S050551 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 18:46:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9I7094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:43:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1564501 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:43:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PAh5lx050890 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:43:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PAguQS028148 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:42:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PAgu0g028146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:42:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 05:42:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251042.h9PAgu0g028146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO31 PGTW 250900 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23W WARNING NR 008A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 12.5N8 97.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 97.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 12.9N2 95.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.4N8 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.3N8 92.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.4N0 90.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.6N9 97.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BANGKOK, THAILAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. WITH THE AVAILABILITY OF ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS, IT IS CLEAR THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED MUCH FURTHER WEST THAN ITS PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. FOR THIS REASON, TC 23W HAS BEEN RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST OF ITS 250000Z7 POSITION. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED MANOP FROM WTIO34 TO WTIO31. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 5 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 AND 260900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:25 2003 X-UIDL: 44179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BXKFNCIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:47:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PDmAip055258 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:48:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9L5094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:45:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1565431 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PDjwlx034058 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PDjoQS029513 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PDjo7M029512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:45:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251345.h9PDjo7M029512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPN50 PHFO 251345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT OCT 25 2003 TYPHOON PARMA IS LOCATED WEST OF THE DATELINE NEAR 27N 167E...AND IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD NEAR 25 MPH. ALTHOUGH PARMA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN...AND MAY ACTUALLY MOVE BACK TOWARDS THE WEST...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT PARMA WILL ENTER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. A BROAD CIRCULATION NEAR 9N 175W...WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...HAS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH IT. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SOUTH OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...FROM 6N TO 12N BETWEEN 160W AND 140W...LACK ANY ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER...SOME COMPUTER MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL FORM EARLY NEXT WEEK TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44184-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BIOI9OIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:44:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PEim3S069310 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:44:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT96T034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:38:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1565828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PEc7lx011458 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PEbwQS000058 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PEbwV1000055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Patricia Discussion Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251437.h9PEbwV1000055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 251437 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT SAT OCT 25 2003 PATRICIA REMAINS A POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. NIGHTTIME VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAD COMPLETELY DISSIPATED NEAR THE ALLEGED LOW-LEVEL CENTER OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH IT HAS MADE A SLIGHT COMEBACK DURING THE PAST 1.5 HOURS. A 12Z SOUTHWEST WIND AT 14 KT AND 1010.0 MB PRESSURE REPORTED BY SHIP ELVF6 LOCATED ABOUT 125 NMI SOUTHWEST OF THE ALLEGED SATELLITE CENTER SUGGESTS THAT ANOTHER LOW-LEVEL CENTER MAY BE DEVELOPING ABOUT 120 NMI FARTHER TO THE WEST. HOWEVER...A MORE EASTWARD INITIAL POSITION IS BEING MAINTAINED FOR THIS ADVISORY BASED ON CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND PAST POSITIONS...AND ALSO KEEPING THE CENTER TUCKED IN CLOSER TO THE RECENT BURST OF STRONGER CONVECTION FARTHER EAST. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 340/5. DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS... PATRICIA HAS BEEN TRYING TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE THAT EXTENDS WESTWARD FROM SOUTHERN MEXICO. HOWEVER...MODERATE WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE BEEN FORCING/SHEARING THE CONVECTION EASTWARD...RESULTING IN A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AND AN EAST-WEST ELONGATION IN THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS WIDELY DIVERGENT AND THE TRACK PLOTS LOOK MORE LIKE A 'FOUNTAIN PATTERN'. THE GFDN IS THE EASTERNMOST MODEL AND TAKES PATRICIA NORTHEASTWARD ..WHILE THE GFS IS THE WESTERNMOST MODEL AND TAKES THE CYCLONE NORTHWESTWARD. THE OTHER MODELS ARE EVENLY SPREAD OUT SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN. SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK FOR THIS ADVISORY WILL REMAIN SLOW AND A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE APPARENT EAST-WEST ELONGATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE WESTERLY SHEAR THAT HAS DISPLACED THE UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE ABOUT 150 NMI EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER SHOULD PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING FROM OCCURRING. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE A FEW BRIEF INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT...NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER TO KEEP PATRICIA BARELY ALIVE AS A DEPRESSION FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO. AFTERWARDS...DRY MID-LEVEL AIR...STRONGER WESTERLY SHEAR...AND COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD WEAKEN THE CYCLONE AND GRADUALLY CAUSE IT TO DISSIPATE...SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS AND GFDL INTENSITY MODELS. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/1500Z 15.6N 113.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 26/0000Z 16.4N 114.1W 30 KT 24HR VT 26/1200Z 17.1N 114.4W 30 KT 36HR VT 27/0000Z 17.6N 114.6W 30 KT 48HR VT 27/1200Z 18.3N 114.8W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 28/1200Z 19.0N 115.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 29/1200Z 20.0N 116.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BKTIBPIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:45:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PEjuip060164 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:45:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Lv094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:38:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1565825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PEc6lx033598 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:38:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PEbwQS000056 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PEbwxZ000053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 21 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251437.h9PEbwxZ000053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 251437 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 1500Z SAT OCT 25 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.9W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.9W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 113.8W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.4N 114.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.1N 114.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.6N 114.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.3N 114.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.0N 115.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N 116.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATING REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 113.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:30 2003 X-UIDL: 44190-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BU8JE0IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:08:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PF92ip061786 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:09:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Mt094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:05:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1566085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:05:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PF5ulx092466 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:05:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PF5mQS000462 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PF5mkU000461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:05:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251505.h9PF5mkU000461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 251505 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 25 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 113.9W AT 25/1500 UTC MOVING NNW AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/1200 UTC... ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 10N130W NEWD TO 15N123W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH AXIS. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 31N130W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO THE S BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1430 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA... PATRICIA IS NOT GENERATED VERY MUCH DEEP CONVECTION WITH ONLY A SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE ACTIVITY FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 111W-113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N90W 10N110W 13N123W 9N132W 9N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MID TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AND BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDINESS IS STREAMING NEWD OVER THE S HALF OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND SEA OF CORTEZ. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:31 2003 X-UIDL: 44193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BV8K3BIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:23:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PFNr3S072423 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:23:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9NJ094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:20:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1566315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:20:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PFKFlx052028 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:20:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PFK7QS000715 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:20:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PFK7qu000714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:20:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:20:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 21 Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251520.h9PFK7qu000714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 251519 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 1500Z SAT OCT 25 2003 CORRECTED STORM DISPOSITONS AT 72..96...AND 120 HOURS TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.9W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 113.9W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 113.8W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.4N 114.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.1N 114.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.6N 114.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.3N 114.8W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.0N 115.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N 116.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 113.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:31 2003 X-UIDL: 44194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BQ8KTEIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:39:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PFdaip064199 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:39:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9NT094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:36:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1566395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:36:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PFaJlx059700 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:36:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PFaBQS000868 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:36:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PFaBHa000867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:36:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:36:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251536.h9PFaBHa000867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 021 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 16E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 15.4N0 113.8W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 113.8W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.4N1 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.1N9 114.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 17.6N4 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 18.3N2 114.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.0N0 115.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251200Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.4N0 113.8W3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251200Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252200Z1, 260400Z2, 261000Z9 AND 261600Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 44195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00B5VL66IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:46:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PFlS3S074300 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:47:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PCGOnj046000; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1566476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PFjYlx011426 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PFjPQS000954 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PFjPDW000952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: At 05 Knots Over The Past 06 Hours. The Warning Position Is Based Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251545.h9PFjPDW000952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251600 RRB AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251200Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252200Z1, 260400Z2, 261000Z9 AND 261600Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 44196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BB4LB0IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:49:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PFo83S074498 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:50:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Nf094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1566473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PFjYlx038658 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PFjPQS000953 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PFjPYZ000950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:45:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251545.h9PFjPYZ000950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 251600 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 021 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 16E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 15.4N0 113.8W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 113.8W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.4N1 114.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.1N9 114.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 17.6N4 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 18.3N2 114.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.0N0 115.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251200Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.4N0 113.8W3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:34 2003 X-UIDL: 44199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BBYNJTIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:38:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PGcfip069032 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:38:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9OB094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:33:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1566863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:33:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PGXdlx085650 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:33:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PGXRQS001423 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:33:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PGXQaQ001422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:33:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:33:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251633.h9PGXQaQ001422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 251633 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PDT SAT OCT 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 565 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:35 2003 X-UIDL: 44204-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BOPQCHIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:38:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PHdG3S084645 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:39:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Pd094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1567581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PHbdlx092342 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PHbUQS002071 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PHbUtO002069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251737.h9PHbUtO002069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z-261800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251051ZOCT03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 251200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 97.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF BANGKOK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 250900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:36 2003 X-UIDL: 44205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00B10QLTIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:44:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PHis3S085083 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:44:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT993034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1567584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PHbdlx024840 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PHbUQS002072 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PHbUU0002070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 12:37:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251737.h9PHbUU0002070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z-261800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251051ZOCT03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 251200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 97.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF BANGKOK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 250900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:41 2003 X-UIDL: 44215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BTPWA4IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:46:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PJlP3S096118 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:47:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Ad034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1568719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PJjZlx051980 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PJjRQS003397 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:45:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PJjRBk003396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:45:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:45:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251945.h9PJjRBk003396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 251945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT OCT 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:41 2003 X-UIDL: 44217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BDBX91IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:07:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PK8Rip087497 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:08:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9SJ094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:04:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1568872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:04:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PK4Jlx033664 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:04:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PK4AQS003642 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:04:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PK4Ask003641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:04:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:04:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252004.h9PK4Ask003641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 252003 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 2100Z SAT OCT 25 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 114.1W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 114.1W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 114.0W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.9N 114.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 114.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.2N 114.9W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.7N 115.1W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.5N 115.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 20.5N 116.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 114.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:41 2003 X-UIDL: 44218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BDJX9GIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:08:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PK8g3S098194 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:08:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9SH094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:03:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1568868 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:03:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PK3blx092428 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:03:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PK3TQS003633 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PK3Tuv003632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:03:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Patricia Discussion Number 22 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252003.h9PK3Tuv003632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPZ41 KNHC 252003 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM PDT SAT OCT 25 2003 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY...ALONG WITH A 25/1316Z QUIKSCAT OVERPASS ..INDICATES PATRICIA IS STILL A POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ELONGATED ENE-WSW AND THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISPLACED WELL AWAY FROM THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED CENTER. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY CLASSIFICATIONS HAVE ALSO COME DOWN WITH TAFB REPORTING AN INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T1.5/25 KT... WHILE SAB AND AFWA COULD NOT DETERMINE AN INTENSITY. HOWEVER...THE AFOREMENTIONED QUIKSCAT OVERPASS HAD SEVERAL UNCONTAMINATED 25-KT WINDS AND A FEW 35-40 KT RAIN-CONTAMINATED SPEEDS. THEREFORE... A COMPROMISE IS USED FOR THIS ADVISORY AND 30 KT IS MAINTAINED... MAINLY IN BRIEF SQUALLS IN THE CONVECTION ON THE EAST SIDE. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 340/6. WHILE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BROAD AND CONTAINS SEVERAL SMALL SWIRLS WITHIN IT... THE PRIMARY SWIRL THAT HAS MAINTAINED ANY CONTINUITY AND SOME CONVECTION FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS IS THE ONE FARTHEST EAST. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A NEW CENTER COULD DEVELOP A LITTLE MORE TO THE WEST WITHIN THE LARGER LOW-LEVEL WIND ENVELOPE...BUT I AM STAYING WITH THE ONE FARTHEST EAST DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY SHEAR LIKELY KEEPING THE CONVECTION DISPLACED TOWARD THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. THE NEW NHC MODEL GUIDANCE IS MUCH LESS DIVERGENT THAN IN PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. THE UKMET...GFDN...AND NOGAPS MODELS HAVE ALL MADE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK SHIFT CLOSER TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACKS...WHILE THE GFS HAS MADE A SLIGHT EASTWARD SHIFT NEAR THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACKS. THEREFORE...THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS JUST AN EXTENSION OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST SINCE PATRICIA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...COMBINED WITH WESTERLY SHEAR AND THE LACK OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER...SHOULD PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING FROM OCCURRING. INTERMITTENT BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION MAY LOCALLY KEEP THE WINDS BARELY AT TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH...BUT THE GENERAL TREND SHOULD BE FOR STEADY WEAKENING AND DEGENERATION INTO A NON-CONVECTIVE LOW...AND EVENTUAL DISSIPATION. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST KEEPS PATRICIA ONGOING A LITTLE LONGER THAN THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS ..WHICH DISSIPATE THE CYCLONE IN 48 AND 24 HOURS...RESPECTIVELY. FORECASTER STEWART FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/2100Z 16.2N 114.1W 30 KT 12HR VT 26/0600Z 16.9N 114.4W 30 KT 24HR VT 26/1800Z 17.5N 114.6W 30 KT 36HR VT 27/0600Z 18.2N 114.9W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 27/1800Z 18.7N 115.1W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 28/1800Z 19.5N 115.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 29/1800Z 20.5N 116.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 120HR VT 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 44224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BJJZBVIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:52:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKrK3S002971 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:53:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9BR034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569295 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKpTlx052002 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PKpLQS004102 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PKpL5c004100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 23w Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252051.h9PKpL5c004100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO31 PGTW 252100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 13.1N5 95.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 95.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.8N2 93.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.7N2 91.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.8N4 89.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 17.3N1 87.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.3N7 94.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM EAST OF THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 23W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS ALONG THE LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 23W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 05 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 AND 262100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:44 2003 X-UIDL: 44225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BS8ZHUIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:56:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKuvip091979 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:56:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9TR094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKpRlx098430 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PKpIQS004092 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PKpI9T004090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:51:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252051.h9PKpI9T004090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTIO31 PGTW 252100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:45 2003 X-UIDL: 44228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B8328KIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:55:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PLu7ip097325 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:56:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9UF094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:52:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569667 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:52:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PLqtlx014880 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:52:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PLqkQS004823 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:52:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PLqkwH004822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:52:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:52:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252152.h9PLqkwH004822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 252200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 16.0N7 114.0W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 114.0W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 16.9N6 114.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 17.5N3 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 18.2N1 114.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 18.7N6 115.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.5N5 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: AT 251800Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 114.0W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251800Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260400Z2, 261000Z9, 261600Z5 AND 262200Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:46 2003 X-UIDL: 44229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BBK2BLIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:57:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PLvu3S009316 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:58:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Br034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:55:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:55:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PLt1lx014928 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:55:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PLsrQS004844 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:54:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PLsr0o004843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:54:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:54:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252154.h9PLsr0o004843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 252200 RRA MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 16.0N7 114.0W6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 114.0W6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 16.9N6 114.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 17.5N3 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 18.2N1 114.9W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 18.7N6 115.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.5N5 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: AT 251800Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 114.0W6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:46 2003 X-UIDL: 44230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BBS2BPIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:57:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PLw43S009330 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:58:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9UH094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:54:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:54:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PLrxlx085634 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:53:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PLroQS004829 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:53:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PLrotk004828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:53:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:53:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Approximately 225 Nm Southwest Of Soccorro Island Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252153.h9PLrotk004828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 252200 RRB APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF SOCCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251800Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260400Z2, 261000Z9, 261600Z5 AND 262200Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:47 2003 X-UIDL: 44231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BGB2D1IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:58:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PLwq3S009434 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:58:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9UD094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:51:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PLpslx059830 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PLpjQS004814 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:51:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PLpjWb004813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:51:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:51:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252151.h9PLpjWb004813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 252151 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE IN AREA NORTH OF A LINE THROUGH 30N153W 28N157W 27N175W 30N175W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 19N172W 10N176W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N140W 07N140W 06N156W 03N160W 03N164W 11N163W 11N140W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF 05N175W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH 1...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 25S130W 13S150W 08S163W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. FRONT/TROUGH 2...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S AND EAST OF 180...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 25S153W 19S159W 09S180 ..HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT/TROUGH 2 UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:48 2003 X-UIDL: 44232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BW12U8IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 06:08:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PM9Bip098506 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 06:09:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9CP034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:03:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:03:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PM3slx092456 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:03:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PM3jQS004972 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:03:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PM3j3A004971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:03:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:03:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252203.h9PM3j3A004971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 252203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 25 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 114.1W AT 25/2100 UTC MOVING NNW AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/1800 UTC... ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 10N130W NE TO 16N125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH AXIS. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 31N130W AND EXTENDS SE TO THE S BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2130 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA... PATRICIA IS STILL A POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ELONGATED ENE-WSW AND THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISPLACED WELL AWAY FROM THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED CENTER. THE ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...COMBINED WITH WESTERLY SHEAR AND THE LACK OF ANY DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER...SHOULD PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING FROM OCCURRING. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 111W-113W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N100W 10N130W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 85W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 21N109W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:49 2003 X-UIDL: 44233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B0H3XNIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 06:32:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PMWnco002386 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 06:32:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Cd034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:27:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1570127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PMRFlx098458 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PMR6QS005157 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PMR6af005156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:27:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252227.h9PMR6af005156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 252227 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PDT SAT OCT 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 545 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:53 2003 X-UIDL: 44248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BL8CZGIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:47:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q1mIq5017259 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:48:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Yn094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:45:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:45:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q1jOlx027284 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:45:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q1jFQS007118 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q1jFu7007117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:45:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260145.h9Q1jFu7007117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 260145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT OCT 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:55 2003 X-UIDL: 44252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B5BED5IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 10:17:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q2I7q5019594 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 10:18:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9ZT094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:14:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:14:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q2Erlx029044 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:14:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q2EiQS007385 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:14:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q2EiKU007384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:14:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:14:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Patricia Discussion Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260214.h9Q2EiKU007384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ41 KNHC 260214 TCDEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 25 2003 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD ELONGATED LOW-CLOUD CIRCULATION AND A COUPLE OF SMALL DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CELLS. ALL AGENCIES CLASSIFY THE SYSTEM AS "TOO WEAK TO CLASSIFY". INTENSITY GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATION IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS UNDER RATHER STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS BASED ON A CENTER LOCATION NEAR THE EAST END OF THE ELONGATED LOW. THIS IS TO MAINTAIN SOME CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. THE NOGAPS IS THE ONLY GLOBAL MODEL TO SHOW A SIGNIFICANT MOTION...TOWARD THE NORTH. THE OTHER GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE DEPRESSION TO BE EMBEDDED IN VERY WEAK STEERING CURRENTS AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A VERY SLOW MOSTLY NORTHWARD MOTION FOLLOWING A CONSENSUS OF THE GUIDANCE. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 16.2N 114.9W 25 KT 12HR VT 26/1200Z 16.6N 115.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 27/0000Z 17.2N 115.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 27/1200Z 17.6N 115.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 28/0000Z 18.0N 115.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 29/0000Z 18.5N 115.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:57 2003 X-UIDL: 44254-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BEBEIFIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 10:20:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q2LDq5019937 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 10:21:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9ZV094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:16:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571566 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:16:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q2G7lx029066 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:16:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q2FwQS007396 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q2Fw8A007395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:15:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:15:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Depression Patricia Forecast/advisory Number 23 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260215.h9Q2Fw8A007395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPZ21 KNHC 260215 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003 0300Z SUN OCT 26 2003 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 114.9W AT 26/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 114.9W AT 26/0300Z AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 114.8W FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.6N 115.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.2N 115.2W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.6N 115.3W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.0N 115.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.5N 115.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 114.9W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:02 2003 X-UIDL: 44266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BTZIJ7IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:47:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q3m9q5026645 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:48:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Et034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:44:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1572127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:44:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q3iVlx089308 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:44:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q3iNQS008148 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:44:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q3iMRV008147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:44:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:44:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260344.h9Q3iMRV008147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 260344 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PDT SAT OCT 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:03 2003 X-UIDL: 44268-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B6KIWMIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:55:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q3uAq5027172 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:56:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9F1034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:52:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1572179 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:52:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q3qvlx034302 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:52:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q3qmQS008196 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:52:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q3qm1K008195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:52:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:52:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260352.h9Q3qm1K008195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PHNC 260400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 16.0N7 114.8W4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 114.8W4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.6N3 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: AT 260000Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 114.8W4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260000Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:04 2003 X-UIDL: 44269-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BOGJAEIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:03:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q44Rco031333 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:04:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9b3094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:01:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1572263 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:01:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q418lx095852 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:01:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q40xQS008276 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:00:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q40xlO008275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:00:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:00:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260400.h9Q40xlO008275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' AXPZ20 KNHC 260400 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 26 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS CENTERED NEAR 16.2N 114.9W AT 26/0300 UTC MOVING NW AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB. SEE AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/1800 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR 9N84W. ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 31N130W AND EXTENDS SE TO THE S BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0330 UTC... TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA... SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD ELONGATED LOW-CLOUD CIRCULATION AND A COUPLE OF SMALL DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CELLS. INTENSITY GUIDANCE MODELS SHOW A REMNANT LOW OR DISSIPATION IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS UNDER RATHER STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 9N100W 13N110W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 5N80W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-116W...AND BETWEEN 126W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 86W-87W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:07 2003 X-UIDL: 44273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B1ENNYIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 13:38:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q5cpq5035221 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 13:38:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9cT094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1572592 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q5Wblx085090 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q5WSQS008993 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q5WSVW008991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260532.h9Q5WSVW008991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z-270600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260152ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N3 144.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 260000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N8 169.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:10 2003 X-UIDL: 44284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00DPYTYPED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q7snco050485 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:54:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9dV094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1573130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q7jXlx024900 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q7jOQS009989 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q7jOxD009988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260745.h9Q7jOxD009988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 260745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT OCT 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:11 2003 X-UIDL: 44286-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00DIUVK2ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:28:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q8TPq5049895 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:29:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9dt094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:20:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1573306 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:20:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q8KOlx037236 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:20:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q8KGQS010269 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:20:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q8KFMb010267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:20:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:20:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260820.h9Q8KFMb010267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 260900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23W WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 13.4N8 93.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 93.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.2N7 91.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.1N7 89.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.3N0 87.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.4N2 85.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 93.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 23W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS ALONG THE LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 23W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, EVEN THOUGH THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 05 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 AND 270900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:18 2003 X-UIDL: 44293-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00DZ5ZGRED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:53:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q9rsco059654 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:53:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9eP094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:46:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1573628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:46:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q9knlx073764 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:46:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q9keQS011199 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:46:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q9keOP011198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:46:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:46:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260946.h9Q9keOP011198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 260946 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 26 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..THE LAST ADVISORY FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA WAS WRITTEN AT 26/0300 UTC. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/0600 UTC... ..A 1010 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF PATRICIA...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N115W NEAR STATIONARY. ..A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 20N127W TO 10N129W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 15N W OF 130W AND N OF 25N W OF 112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 9N100W 10N109W 13N115W 13N128W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 133W...WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 79W TO 84W...AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 136W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 100W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 96.5W TO 97.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN 30 NM OF 78W FROM 2N TO 4N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:18 2003 X-UIDL: 44294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00D71ZOXED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:58:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q9wmq5057329 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:58:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9eX094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:55:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1573706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q9tXlx081890 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:55:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q9tPQS011267 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:55:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q9tOu0011266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:55:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:55:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260955.h9Q9tOu0011266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 260955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 06N144W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 09N155W 05N162W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MONSOON TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 06N169W 07N178W 03N176E AND MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH LITTLE FLUCTUATIONS IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N177W 23N169W 30N159W MOVED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09S161W 09S157W 12S153W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15S147W 19S143W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED ACROSS THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 11S175W 09S177E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:18 2003 X-UIDL: 44295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00D7EZP4ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:58:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q9wtco059979 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:58:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9eZ094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:56:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1573714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:56:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q9uhlx081904 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:56:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q9uZQS011278 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:56:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q9uZ3v011277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:56:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:56:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook...correction Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260956.h9Q9uZ3v011277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 260956 CCA TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT OCT 25 2003 CORRECTED TIME OF ISSUANCE NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:19 2003 X-UIDL: 44298-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DIO3K7ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 19:21:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QBMHco066553 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 19:22:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9f7094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:14:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1574136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:14:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QBE3lx028982 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:14:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QBDsQS011875 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:13:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QBDsAd011874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:13:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 05:13:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261113.h9QBDsAd011874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 261113 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN OCT 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED ITS LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA...LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:20 2003 X-UIDL: 44304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DSDAH5ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:51:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QDpfco077062 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:51:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9hl094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:45:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1575425 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:45:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QDjWlx043942 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:45:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QDjOQS012986 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:45:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QDjOEm012985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:45:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:45:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261345.h9QDjOEm012985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 261345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN OCT 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:23 2003 X-UIDL: 44311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00D5LF7TED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:33:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QFXxq5082538 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9kJ094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:23:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1576173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:23:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QFN6lx067314 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:23:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QFMvQS013672 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:22:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QFMv3f013671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:22:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:22:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261522.h9QFMv3f013671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 261522 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 26 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/1200 UTC... ..A 1010 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF PATRICIA...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N115W NEARLY STATIONARY. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW WITH NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ..A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 10N132W NEWD TO 15N126W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM W OF TROUGH. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 20N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 10N110W 13N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 80W-85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 79W-84W INCLUDING PANAMA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET FROM 25N120N EWD OVER N MEXICO ALONG 27N105W CONTINUES TO ADVECT A FAIR AMOUNT OF MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE S BAJA PENINSULA AND SEA OF CORTEZ INTO N PORTIONS OF MEXICO. SCATTERED/BROKEN HIGH CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANY THIS MOISTURE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF JET AXIS. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:24 2003 X-UIDL: 44315-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DENKNLED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:30:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QHVYco095795 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:31:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtmT094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:20:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1577038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:20:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QHKilx059752 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:20:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QHKaQS014726 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:20:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QHKa7p014725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:20:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:20:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261720.h9QHKa7p014725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 261720 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN OCT 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE IS NO SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:24 2003 X-UIDL: 44316-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DHHKPJED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:32:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QHWjq5091942 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:32:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGI5qH049434; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1577095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QHQblx085576 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QHQTQS014793 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QHQS6f014791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261726.h9QHQS6f014791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261051ZOCT03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 260600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N8 93.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 260900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:24 2003 X-UIDL: 44317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DIBKPVED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:32:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QHWwco095888 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:33:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtml094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1577092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QHQblx011416 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QHQTQS014792 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QHQSgk014790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:26:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261726.h9QHQSgk014790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261051ZOCT03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 260600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N8 93.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 260900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DZ0U0WED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 04:53:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QKrxq5009888 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 04:54:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtrx094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:48:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1579217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:48:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QKmHlx067218 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:48:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QKm8QS016657 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:48:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QKm8Tp016655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:48:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:48:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310262048.h9QKm8Tp016655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 262100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23W WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- NEAR 13.6N0 91.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 91.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 14.5N0 89.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 15.6N2 87.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.9N6 85.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 18.4N3 83.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.8N2 90.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF THE ANDAMAN ISLANDS, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 23W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS ALONG THE LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 23W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 AND 272100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DU4XHGED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:08:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QM8aq5015675 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:08:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGI5HR049434; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:04:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1579923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:04:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QM4Plx051996 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:04:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QM4HQS017324 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:04:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QM4Hs7017323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:04:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:04:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310262204.h9QM4Hs7017323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 262204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 26 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF PATRICIA...NEAR 15N115W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 16N TO 17N BETWEEN 114W AND 115W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/1800 UTC... ..TROUGH GOES FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA NEAR 17N80W ACROSS NICARAGUA...TO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN NEAR 12N87W... TO 8N88W. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST NICARAGUA. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTHWEST AND NORTH OF 32N122W 19N125W 14N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N100W 10N108W 15N127W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM FROM 25N120N EASTWARD TO NORTHERN MEXICO...CARRIES A FAIR AMOUNT OF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND SEA OF CORTEZ INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANY THIS MOISTURE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE JET STREAM. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44329-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00E78XRSUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:14:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QMEsq5016132 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:14:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtuT094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:07:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1580053 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QM7ilx079362 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:07:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QM7aQS017353 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:07:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QM7Z46017352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:07:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:07:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310262207.h9QM7Z46017352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 262207 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH/CONVERGENT ZONE...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N161W 22N166W 16N177W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09N140W 06N149W 03N144W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N157W 07N154W 04N180 09N180 12N170W 13N157W...HAVE MOVED WET AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT/TROUGH/CONVERGENT ZONE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE FRONT/TROUGH/CONVERGENT ZONE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 25S134W 15S147W 08N164W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 12S171W 10S180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:28 2003 X-UIDL: 44333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00E9I1XOUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 07:44:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QNikq5022240 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 07:44:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtvr094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:36:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1580718 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:36:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QNaslx070428 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:36:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QNajQS018141 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:36:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QNaj5O018140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:36:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:36:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310262336.h9QNaj5O018140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 262336 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN OCT 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA IS LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:37 2003 X-UIDL: 44351-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00E5WA1ZUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R2eDco041688 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:40:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWt1v094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:31:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1582207 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:31:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R2VYlx085534 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:31:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R2VPQS019761 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:31:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R2VPru019760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:31:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:31:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270231.h9R2VPru019760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 270231 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN OCT 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 13:50:11 2003 X-UIDL: 44357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EA9E3QUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 12:07:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R47eco050848 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 12:07:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9TT034030; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:26:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1582594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:26:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R3Q9lx067236 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:26:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R3Q1QS020294 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:26:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R3Q1LQ020293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:26:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:26:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270326.h9R3Q1LQ020293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 270325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 27 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...REMNANT OF PATRICIA...NEAR 15N116W DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 118W AND 120W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/0000 UTC... ..TROUGH 18N128W 10N133W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 18N BETWEEN 125W AND 134W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTHWEST AND NORTH OF 32N120W 23N123W 16N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N97W 10N110W 12N124W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS...MAINLY EAST OF 96W...BETWEEN 107W AND 113W...AND WEST OF 132W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG COLOMBIA COAST FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM FROM 15N130W TO 21N120W 22N110W AND BEYOND 23N101W...CARRYING A FAIR AMOUNT OF MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND THE SEA OF CORTEZ INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANY THIS MOISTURE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE JET STREAM. ISOLATED CLUSTERS OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 84W AND 92W...SPECIFICALLY IN WESTERN COSTA RICA... IN NORTH CENTRAL NICARAGUA...STRONG CONVECTION IN EASTERN EL SALVADOR...AND WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS 10N91.5W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 13:50:17 2003 X-UIDL: 44364-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00E6WICPUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:38:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R5dTq5057877 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:39:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PCGO5r046000; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:35:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1583532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:35:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R5Z4lx015070 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:35:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R5YuQS021381 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R5Yums021380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270534.h9R5Yums021380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 270534 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN OCT 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA IS LOCATED ABOUT 710 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CIRCULATION IS VERY BROAD AND APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR SOUTHWEST AND SOME DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE BUT SOME REDEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 13:50:17 2003 X-UIDL: 44366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EU6ILPUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:44:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R5iqco061143 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:44:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9UN034030; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:35:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1583529 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:35:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R5Ywlx015064 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:35:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R5YnQS021374 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R5Yncx021372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270534.h9R5Yncx021372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z-280600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260152ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N6 165.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 17:29:34 2003 X-UIDL: 44377-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00E16OO9US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:55:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R7twq5072675 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:56:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWt9r094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:45:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1584773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:45:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R7jolx052208 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:45:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R7jgQS022473 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:45:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R7jf7v022472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:45:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 01:45:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270745.h9R7jf7v022472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 270745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN OCT 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 17:29:36 2003 X-UIDL: 44378-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EFQP3MUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 16:04:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R859q5073691 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 16:05:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWt9v094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:01:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1584813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:01:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R81Alx015096 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:01:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R811QS022631 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:01:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R811Nr022629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:01:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:01:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270801.h9R811Nr022629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 270900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23W WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 14.6N1 88.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 88.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 15.5N1 86.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.4N1 84.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.2N0 82.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 17.7N5 79.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.8N3 88.4E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, HOWEVER, THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. TC 23W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS ALONG THE LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TC 23W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 AND 280900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 00:20:31 2003 X-UIDL: 44403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EFGUKJUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 18:02:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RA3Jco088758 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 18:03:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtAl094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:54:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1585409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:54:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R9s3lx027240 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:54:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R9rsQS023803 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:53:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R9rsrK023802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:53:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:53:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270953.h9R9rsrK023802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 270953 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 27 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/0600 UTC... ..A 1011 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF PATRICIA...IS CENTERED NEAR 15N117W DRIFTING W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 15N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N92W 7N105W 13N117W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND PANAMA TO 80W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 94W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 85W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 98W...AND WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N87.5W TO THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13N88.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FROM 94W TO 96W...INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W TO 99W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N89W TO 12.5N91W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 5N. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 17.5N FROM 113W AND 117W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 00:20:47 2003 X-UIDL: 44407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EG1VD2US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 18:19:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RAKTq5088694 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 18:20:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtAn094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:55:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1585419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:55:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R9tblx070612 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:55:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R9tSQS023826 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:55:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R9tSiE023825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:55:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:55:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270955.h9R9tSiE023825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 270955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11N156W 14N159W 12N164W MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N170W 04N163W 01N163W 06N175W MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT WITH FLUCTUATIONS IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE... WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 05N176W 06N179E AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT... WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 18N174W 22N166W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 20N167W 27N160W 31N159W MOVED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 09S165W 10S150W MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND FLUCTUATED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SHEARLINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13S171W 17S163W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08S171W 11S175W 03S178E 09S178E AND MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 00:20:48 2003 X-UIDL: 44411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00ETD04JUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:02:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RC3Hco000203 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:03:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtBh094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 05:53:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1585931 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 05:53:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RBr8lx065550 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 05:53:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RBqxQS024872 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 05:52:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RBqxOc024871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 05:52:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 05:52:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271152.h9RBqxOc024871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 271153 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON OCT 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA IS LOCATED ABOUT 760 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE CIRCULATION IS VERY BROAD AND APPEARS TO BE MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR SOUTHWEST AND SOME DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE BUT SOME REDEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER COBB/JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 00:20:53 2003 X-UIDL: 44419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EOW564US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 21:51:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RDqAco010195 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 21:52:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtDX094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 07:45:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1586802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 07:45:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RDjSlx047482 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 07:45:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RDjJQS026029 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 07:45:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RDjJ5u026028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 07:45:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 07:45:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271345.h9RDjJ5u026028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 271345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON OCT 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 00:21:00 2003 X-UIDL: 44431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EOLBF4US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:06:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RG7Eq5022012 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:07:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtHh094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 09:43:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1588394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 09:43:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RFhulx027962 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 09:43:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RFhlQS029254 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 09:43:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RFhl0w029253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 09:43:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 09:43:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271543.h9RFhl0w029253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 271543 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 27 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/1200 UTC... ..WEAK 1011 MB LOW HAS FORMED NEAR THE ITCZ AROUND 10N107W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. ..1010 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF PATRICIA...IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N117.5W DRIFTING WNW. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N AND W OF THE REMNANTS OF PATRICIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N92W 8N104W 12N120W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W-106W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-8N E OF 86W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 95W-103W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W...WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N120W AND FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 109W-114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 90W-94W. DISSIPATING SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF 16N98.5W. SMALL CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 11N89W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:02 2003 X-UIDL: 44432-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EK2D37US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:42:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RGhEco028451 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:43:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9eh034030; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1589618 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RGdBlx011658 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RGd2QS000959 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RGd2L8000957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271639.h9RGd2L8000957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z-281800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270753ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 270600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 88.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 270900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:07 2003 X-UIDL: 44433-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00E1QD91US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:46:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RGkqq5027048 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:46:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtLD094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1589615 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RGdBlx051712 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RGd2QS000958 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RGd2kx000956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:39:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271639.h9RGd2kx000956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z-281800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270753ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 270600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 88.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 270900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:09 2003 X-UIDL: 44437-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EJTFQ5US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 01:39:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RHeBq5033017 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 01:40:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9fN034030; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 11:17:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1590138 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 11:17:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RHHvlx059730 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 11:17:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RHHmQS002291 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 11:17:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RHHidv002289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 11:17:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 11:17:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271717.h9RHHidv002289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 271717 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON OCT 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE BROAD AND POORLY-DEFINED REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION PATRICIA IS LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:21 2003 X-UIDL: 44454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EEWMZFUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 04:16:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKH1q5050618 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 04:17:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtVB094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:55:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1593006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:55:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RJtolx011658 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:55:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RJtaQS007036 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:55:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RJta4c007035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:55:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:55:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271955.h9RJta4c007035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 271955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON OCT 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:23 2003 X-UIDL: 44465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00E5VQ6FUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 05:25:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RLQ4q5057593 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 05:26:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPmt034030; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:02:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1594316 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:02:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RL2Dlx104836 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:02:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RL24QS009219 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:02:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RL24OQ009217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:02:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:02:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310272102.h9RL24OQ009217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL STORM 23W WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 16.9N6 86.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 86.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 18.0N9 84.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 18.9N8 81.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 19.7N7 79.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.2N0 85.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF CALCUTTA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. A RECENT SSMI PASS INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). TC 23W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS A SLIGHTLY BETTER UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. TC 23W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND MAKE LANDFALL NEAR SRIKAKULAM, INDIA IN 12 TO 15 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 AND 282100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:24 2003 X-UIDL: 44466-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EMCS8UUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 06:10:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RMAcq5061739 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 06:10:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWted094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:55:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1595294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:55:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RLtWlx034360 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RLtNQS010970 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:55:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RLtNf5010969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:55:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:55:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310272155.h9RLtNf5010969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 272155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08N173W 03N173W EQ173E 04N170E 05N177E 07N173E 08N177W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N170W 10N167W 01N167W EQ169W 02N171W HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 15N160W 10N153W 06N153W 09N161W 15N162W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. CZ/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND BOUNDED BY 30N162W 30N157W 24N160W 19N164W 17N169W 20N167W 27N163W HAVE MOVED EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY...LOW AND MIDDLE CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE BOUNDED BY 27N163W 20N167W 19N180 22N180 24N170W. FEATURE MOVING SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 5 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 04S177W 07S175W 07S165W 12S163W 13S170W 12S178E 10S174E 05S172E 07S177E 04S180 HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07S163W 09S148W 12S147W 12S153W 11S161W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:24 2003 X-UIDL: 44468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00IASUD5A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 06:55:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RMuWq5066703 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 06:56:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPop034030; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:58:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1595349 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:58:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RLwqlx082656 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:58:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RLwhQS011101 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:58:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RLwhip011100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:58:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:58:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310272158.h9RLwhip011100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 272158 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 27 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/1800 UTC... ..WEAK 1011 MB LOW IS NEAR 9N108W. ..A TROUGH...REMNANTS OF PATRICIA...IS FROM 18N119W TO 11N115W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N AND W OF THE REMNANTS OF PATRICIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 10N93W 7N98W 11N114W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS NEAR 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 84W AND 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 78W AND 83W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44475-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00IJSYEIA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:23:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S0Nico076802 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:23:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PCGOQr046000; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 17:34:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1596686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 17:34:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RNYUlx017244 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 17:34:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RNYLQS013428 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 17:34:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RNYL6X013427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 17:34:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 17:34:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310272334.h9RNYL6X013427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 272334 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON OCT 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:40:23 2003 X-UIDL: 44487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00I184KNA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 10:36:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S2asco091268 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 10:36:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PCGOST046000; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 19:55:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1597981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 19:55:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S1telx017186 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 19:55:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S1tVQS015624 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 19:55:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S1tVNT015623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 19:55:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 19:55:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280155.h9S1tVNT015623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 280155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON OCT 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 12:06:49 2003 X-UIDL: 44497-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IJ981UA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:51:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S3q2co099884 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:52:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S1M7pJ094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 21:29:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1598923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 21:29:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S3TPlx028950 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 21:29:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S3TGQS016852 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 21:29:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S3TGq4016851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 21:29:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 21:29:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280329.h9S3TGq4016851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 280329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 28 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0000 UTC... ..WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS NEAR 9N108W. ..A TROUGH...REMNANTS OF PATRICIA...IS FROM 17N117W TO 8N117W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N AND W OF THE REMNANTS OF PATRICIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N100W 10N125W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 105W-108W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 84W-90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 110W-114W...AND FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 137W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER GUATEMALA...EL SALVADOR...AND HONDURAS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 88W-92W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 15:45:54 2003 X-UIDL: 44508-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00ILEB22A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 12:56:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S4v4q5010129 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 12:57:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S1M7qD094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:38:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1599401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:38:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S4c7lx067144 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:38:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S4bxQS017604 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:37:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S4bxII017603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:37:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:37:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280437.h9S4bxII017603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 280437 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TEU OCT 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND HAS A SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 15:45:59 2003 X-UIDL: 44509-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IREB3RA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 12:57:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S4w7co007156 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 12:58:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S1M7qB094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:37:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1599398 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:37:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S4bklx038756 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:37:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S4bbQS017594 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:37:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S4bbon017593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:37:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:37:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280437.h9S4bbon017593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 280437 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON OCT 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND HAS A SLIGHT POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 15:46:15 2003 X-UIDL: 44513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IWSDUJA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 13:56:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S5vNq5015772 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 13:57:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPvn034030; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1599859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S5hTlx011552 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S5hKQS018229 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S5hKfE018227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280543.h9S5hKfE018227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280152ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N4 158.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 11.6N8 134.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. RECENT QUIKSCAT DATA SHOWS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:15 2003 X-UIDL: 44533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IH2M4CA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 16:55:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S8u3q5035270 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 16:56:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPxV034030; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:51:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1601203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:51:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S8pnlx077470 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:51:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S8peQS020262 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:51:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S8peDu020260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:51:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:51:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280851.h9S8peDu020260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO34 PGTW 280900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 014 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 23W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 18.2N1 84.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 84.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.7N7 82.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 83.5E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. CONVECTION ON TC 23W IS WEAKENING AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BECOMING DISORGANIZED AS IT MOVES OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:15 2003 X-UIDL: 44535-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IWKOI3A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:46:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S9lKco037461 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:47:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jqv094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:43:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1601453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:43:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S9hNlx039852 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:43:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S9hEQS020956 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:43:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S9hEFC020955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:43:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:43:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280943.h9S9hEFC020955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 280943 CCA TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON OCT 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:16 2003 X-UIDL: 44536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00I5FOMUA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:49:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S9oNco037749 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:50:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jqt094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:40:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1601439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:40:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S9edlx079442 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:40:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S9eUQS020929 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:40:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S9eUvY020928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:40:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:40:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280940.h9S9eUvY020928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 280939 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON OCT 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:16 2003 X-UIDL: 44537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IG0ORKA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:52:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S9rAco038015 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:53:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jqx094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:45:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1601472 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:45:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S9jvlx051762 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:45:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S9jmQS020978 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:45:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S9jmN6020977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:45:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:45:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280945.h9S9jmN6020977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 280945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 28 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0600 UTC... ..WEAK 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N108.5W DRIFTING NW. ..A SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF PATRICIA...IS FROM 18N117W TO 8N116W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 18N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N101W 10N118W 10N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 110W AND WITHIN 150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 94W TO 96W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 116W AND WITHIN 150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 123W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR E OF 89.5W...WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA E OF 86.5W INCLUDING THE GULF OF FONSECA...AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 12.5N93W INLAND OVER GUATEMALA AND MEXICO TO NEAR 15N92.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF 79W FROM 6N INTO THE GULF OF PANAMA TO 8.5N AND WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 7.5N88.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF 10N FROM 91W TO 98W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:16 2003 X-UIDL: 44538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00I0DPF4A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 18:06:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SA7Hq5042765 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 18:07:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jsj094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 04:00:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1601742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 04:00:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SA0slx053960 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 04:00:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SA0gQS021144 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 04:00:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SA0gJ6021143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 04:00:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 04:00:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281000.h9SA0gJ6021143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 281000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 23N160W 27N157W 30N156W MOVED NE 10 KTS AND WEAKENED. ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11N170W 09N166W 06N170W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12S172W 11S170W 14S169W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07S169W 06S166W 11S166W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 12S161E 14S158W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:20 2003 X-UIDL: 44549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IYS0J3A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:06:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SE7Jq5066793 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:07:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTP2x034030; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:02:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1603008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:02:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SE0ilx039712 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:00:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SE0ZQS023675 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:00:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SE0ZYa023674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:00:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:00:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281400.h9SE0ZYa023674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 281400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE OCT 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:22 2003 X-UIDL: 44557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IYX38AA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:04:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SF5cq5072699 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:05:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTP4N034030; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1603803 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SEtvlx051858 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SEtnQS025190 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SEtmZN025188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281455.h9SEtmZN025188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 281430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/281430Z/290600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281352ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281500Z6 TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 281500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 134.4E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 133.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAU. THIS AREA HAS INCREASED ORGANIZATION AND CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. RECENT QUIKSCAT DATA REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THIS CIRCULATION IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.1 TO FAIR AND UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:23 2003 X-UIDL: 44560-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IPP4YZA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:42:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SFhEq5076571 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:43:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTP4v034030; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 09:29:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1604186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 09:29:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SFT2lx070414 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 09:29:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SFSrQS026247 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 09:28:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SFSrbS026246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 09:28:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 09:28:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281528.h9SFSrbS026246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 281528 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 28 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/1200 UTC... ..1007 MB LOW PRES CENTERED SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC NEAR 11N94W WITH NEARLY STATIONARY MOVEMENT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-16N BETWEEN 92W-96W. ..1009 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 9N108W DRIFTING WEST. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 108W-111W. ..ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF PATRICIA...ALONG 117W SOUTH OF 19N. ..HIGH PRES NORTH OF 18N AND WEST OF 120W. 1013 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED OVER NW MEXICO NEAR 30N111W WITH WEAK TROUGHING EXTENDING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 4N83W 11N116W 9N125W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 78W-81W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-104W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-123W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 85W-90W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 96W-101W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N100W 14N107W 16N115W 13N121W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 13N-18N WEST OF 132W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IUS9OIA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:24:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SHOtco086638 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:24:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62j6X094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:13:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1605486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:13:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SHCvlx033786 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:12:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SHCmQS000010 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:12:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SHCmn4000008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:12:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:12:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281712.h9SHCmn4000008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280753ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 280600Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 280900) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44575-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00I499TJA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:27:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SHRxco086972 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:28:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTP7d034030; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:13:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1605489 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:13:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SHCvlx045392 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:12:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SHCmQS000011 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:12:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SHCmtd000009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:12:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:12:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281712.h9SHCmtd000009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280753ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 280600Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23W, WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 280900) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:32 2003 X-UIDL: 44580-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00ILMA3JA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:33:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SHXuco087505 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:34:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62j6Z094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:13:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1605507 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:13:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SHDQlx077852 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:13:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SHDHQS000035 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:13:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SHDHvf000034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:13:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:13:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281713.h9SHDHvf000034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 281713 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE OCT 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ANOTHER AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUATEMALA. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:39 2003 X-UIDL: 44598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IW9HJ9A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 04:13:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SKEZco004737 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 04:14:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jEV094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 13:56:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1607908 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 13:56:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SJu3lx019484 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 13:56:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SJtsQS005189 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 13:55:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SJtsJw005188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 13:55:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 13:55:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281955.h9SJtsJw005188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 281955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE OCT 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:41 2003 X-UIDL: 44606-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00ICMMP9A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 06:05:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SM69co015984 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 06:06:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jL1094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:44:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1609897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:44:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SLi9lx055506 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:44:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SLi0QS008511 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:44:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SLi0AC008510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:44:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:44:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310282144.h9SLi0AC008510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 282143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 28 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/1800 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRES CENTERED SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC IS NEAR 11N94W WITH NEARLY STATIONARY MOVEMENT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 92W-95W. ..ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGH...REMNANTS OF PATRICIA...IS ALONG 117W SOUTH OF 19N. ..HIGH PRES IS NORTH OF 18N AND WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N90W 8N100W 8N110W 10N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W-114W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 121W-123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 13N-16N W OF 136W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N97W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:42 2003 X-UIDL: 44607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00MORNC458@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 06:19:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SMJkq5020403 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 06:19:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PCGOjN046000; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:56:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1610152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SLtZlx038886 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SLtRQS008835 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:55:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SLtQta008834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:55:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 15:55:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310282155.h9SLtQta008834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 282155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N164W 03N165W 01N172W 08N175W 10N174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N157W 30N153W 24N156W 19N163W 16N172W 19N172W 25N158W. FEATURE MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KT. SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 20N166E 18N176W 16N174W 15N179E 17N173E 17N168E HAVE MOVED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. FOR MORE DETAILS ..SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N143W 13N140W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 07S178E WITH ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 04S175E 04S180 12S176W 13S178E 09S174E HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 07S165W 14S158W 12S165W 13S175W 10S174W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION...THOUGH SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF SAMOA. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:43 2003 X-UIDL: 44611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00MBGQZF58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 07:38:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SNceq5027588 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 07:38:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPH3034030; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:11:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1611672 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:11:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SNBilx065550 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:11:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SNBZQS010615 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:11:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SNBZQh010614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:11:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 17:11:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310282311.h9SNBZQh010614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 282311 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE OCT 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME POORLY ORGANIZED. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:45 2003 X-UIDL: 44621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00MCHXTP58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 10:05:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T26Nco039578 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 10:06:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPJf034030; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 19:55:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1613820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 19:55:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T1tklx035032 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 19:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T1tbQS012928 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 19:55:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T1tbpe012927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 19:55:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 19:55:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290155.h9T1tbpe012927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 290155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE OCT 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:52 2003 X-UIDL: 44633-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MGP36I58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 12:01:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T429co052490 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 12:02:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPKp034030; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 21:50:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1614905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 21:50:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T3oPlx077282 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 21:50:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T3oGQS014203 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 21:50:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T3oFJD014202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 21:50:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 21:50:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290350.h9T3oFJD014202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 290350 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 29 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/0000 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC NEAR 11N93W. ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N121W. ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N135W. ..HIGH PRES IS NORTH OF 18N AND WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N90W 8N110W 10N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 114W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-1113N BETWEEN 96W-99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 137W-139W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 13:42:45 2003 X-UIDL: 44639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MXE5JV58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 12:52:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T4r9q5061661 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 12:53:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T1p0q3094490; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:47:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1615316 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:47:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T4lplx073758 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:47:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T4lgQS014838 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:47:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T4lgWb014837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:47:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:47:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290447.h9T4lgWb014837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 290447 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE OCT 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 16:39:29 2003 X-UIDL: 44645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MPF8AU58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 13:52:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T5qlco064901 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 13:52:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPLl034030; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:44:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1615957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:44:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T5iwlx038890 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:44:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T5inQS015449 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:44:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T5infv015448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:44:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:44:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290544.h9T5infv015448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290152ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 925 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 16:39:32 2003 X-UIDL: 44652-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00M08DWG58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 15:53:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T7rgq5080392 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 15:53:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPPP034030; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:50:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1617507 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T7oQlx095804 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:50:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T7oHQS016675 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:50:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T7oHOO016674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:50:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 01:50:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290750.h9T7oHOO016674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 290750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE OCT 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 17:59:10 2003 X-UIDL: 44664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MHAJO858@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 17:57:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T9wLco093026 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 17:58:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPPv034030; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1618181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T9tZlx029448 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T9tQQS018085 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T9tQga018084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290955.h9T9tQga018084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 290955 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 29 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/0600 UTC... ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC NEAR 11N94.5W MOVING W 5 KT. ..A 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N121W NEAR STATIONARY. ..1 1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11.5N135.5W DRIFTING W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N89W 11N106W 11N117W 12N123W 10N132W 7N137W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 124W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 80W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 119W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 107W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO 139W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 91.5W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N92.5W TO THE COAST OF GUATEMALA NEAR 14N91.5W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 14.5N96.5W TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 16N97.5W. ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13.5N89.5.W $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 17:59:11 2003 X-UIDL: 44665-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MIDJOL58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 17:57:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T9wYco093054 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 17:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61Sqf067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1618175 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T9tQlx038704 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T9tHQS018080 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T9tH2T018079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 03:55:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290955.h9T9tH2T018079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 290955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 09N171W 16N164W 10N164W SHIFTED SLOWLY NORTH AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF 06N178W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND DISSIPATED THEN REDEVELOPED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... FRONT...THROUGH 30N154W 22N160W 18N170W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 17N180. FRONT/SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG SOUTHEAST EDGE OF CLOUD BAND. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS ALONG REST OF CLOUD BAND. ISOLATED CB IMMEDIATELY SOUTH OF FRONT BETWEEN 20N160W AND 16N178W REMAIN VERY SPARSE AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N176W 28N180 MOVING SOUTHEAST 15-20 KT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT EAST OF 176W. ALSO SEE FRONT IN MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... FRONT IMMEDIATELY NORTH OF JOHNSTON REMAINING STATIONARY. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU IN THE VICINITY. SEE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SECTION ABOVE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S140W 21S147W CONTINUES AS A CONVERGENCE ZONE OR CZ THROUGH 17S160W. FRONT MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. CONVERGENCE ZONE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT/CZ. ISOLATED CB ALONG CZ WEST OF 156W INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE OR CZ...THROUGH 12S180 18S173W MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 65 NM OF CZ. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED TCU IN THE VICINITY OF SAMOAN ISLANDS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:21:36 2003 X-UIDL: 44668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MIGP3O58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 19:55:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TBtZq5005450 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 19:55:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61Srn067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 05:47:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1618665 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 05:47:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TBlSlx019298 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 05:47:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TBlJQS019241 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 05:47:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TBlJoI019240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 05:47:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 05:47:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291147.h9TBlJoI019240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 291147 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED OCT 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER COBB/LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:21:46 2003 X-UIDL: 44677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MQCUVH58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 21:59:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TE0Kq5017766 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:00:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61StX067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 07:50:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1619266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 07:50:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TDoRlx089306 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 07:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TDoIQS020566 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 07:50:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TDoIn2020565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 07:50:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 07:50:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291350.h9TDoIn2020565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 291350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED OCT 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:21:49 2003 X-UIDL: 44686-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ00MH415658@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 00:15:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TGFfq5032508 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 00:15:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61Sxj067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 09:58:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1620858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 09:58:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TFwElx058074 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 09:58:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TFw5QS024126 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 09:58:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TFw5GA024125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 09:58:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 09:58:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291558.h9TFw5GA024125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 291557 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 29 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/1200 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N95W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 14N AT SOUTHERN GUATEMALA COAST BETWEEN 91W AND 94W. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N122W DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W IN THE ITCZ. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N137W DRIFTING WEST. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 19N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 7N90W 10N100W 10N110W 11N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N TO 8N BETWEEN 78W AND 82W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM 33N131W TO MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 27N137W...TO 15N139W. CYCLONIC FLOW WITHIN 250-350 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:21:55 2003 X-UIDL: 44690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ00MN44OL58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:31:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9THWCco040248 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:32:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61S6D067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1622694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9THSFlx018042 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9THS6QS027012 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9THS671027010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291728.h9THS671027010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z-301800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/RONSSE/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:21:57 2003 X-UIDL: 44691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ00M1S4XF58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:36:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9THbMq5042021 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:37:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61S5Z067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:11:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1622504 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:11:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9THB9lx037210 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:11:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9THB0QS026545 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:11:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9THAuQ4026539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:10:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:10:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291710.h9THAuQ4026539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 291710 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED OCT 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:21:57 2003 X-UIDL: 44692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ00MMP59K58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:44:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9THinq5042726 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:44:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPXZ034030; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1622697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9THSFlx033554 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9THS6QS027013 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9THS6nV027011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 11:28:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291728.h9THS6nV027011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z-301800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/RONSSE/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:09 2003 X-UIDL: 44708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ00MJSBD158@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:55:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TJuQq5057020 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:56:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SBj067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 13:46:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1624421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 13:46:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TJk1lx049234 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 13:46:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TJjqQS001563 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 13:45:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TJjqF8001562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 13:45:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 13:45:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291945.h9TJjqF8001562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 291945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED OCT 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:12 2003 X-UIDL: 44718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ002Q6J3D24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 06:42:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TMhSco073923 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 06:43:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SNGP5L046000; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 15:54:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1626387 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 15:53:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TLrDlx098426 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 15:53:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TLr4QS005437 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 15:53:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TLr41p005436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 15:53:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 15:53:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310292153.h9TLr41p005436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 292153 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 29 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/1800 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N95W MOVING DRIFTING WEST. ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N122W DRIFTING WEST. ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 11N137W DRIFTING WEST. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 19N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 10N100W 10N110W 12N120W 9N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 79W AND 81W...WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 128W AND W OF 138W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W AND 116W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 12N BETWEEN 91W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 11N93W 11N95W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:14 2003 X-UIDL: 44722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ0029YK5L24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:05:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TN6Kco075914 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:06:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SKj067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 16:42:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1627127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 16:42:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TMgFlx049452 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 16:42:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TMg6QS006810 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 16:42:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TMg6ck006809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 16:42:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 16:42:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310292242.h9TMg6ck006809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 292241 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE THROUGH 06N143W 07N140E. TROUGH 1...THROUGH 30N153W 23N160W 17N169W THEN SHEAR LINE THROUGH 15N 180. TROUGH NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE SHEAR LINE HAS MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE THROUGH 21N161W 17N165W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ALSO ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE THROUGH 16N180 15N175W HAVE BEEN CYCLING WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. COLD FRONT...THROUGH 30N 169W 28N 170W 27N180 HAS NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM E OF FRONT...N OF 27N. TROUGH 2...THROUGH 07N180 10N170W 18N162W HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM THAT HAVE MOVED NE 10 KT AND HAVE DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE TROUGH 1 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. SEE HAWAIIAN ISLAND SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE FOR MORE DETAILS. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED CB FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 148W AND 158W HAVE MOVED W 05 KT AND HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S140W 22S145W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 16S164W. FRONT MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT AND SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE THROUGH 10S180 16S170W 20S167W 25S165 HAVE MOVED E SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE...NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07S158W 09S150W 09S146W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE THROUGH 10S171W 15S165W HAVE MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:15 2003 X-UIDL: 44725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ002V8LS224@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:40:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TNfPco079044 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:41:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJvF057938; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 17:04:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1627468 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 17:04:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TN49lx098452 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 17:04:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TN40QS007234 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 17:04:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TN40Ye007233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 17:04:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 17:04:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310292304.h9TN40Ye007233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 292303 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED OCT 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:19 2003 X-UIDL: 44735-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ002TERUYC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:52:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U1qnq5092446 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:52:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SPh067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 19:45:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1628840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 19:45:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U1jMlx041964 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 19:45:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U1jDQS009502 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 19:45:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U1jDP9009501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 19:45:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 19:45:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300145.h9U1jDP9009501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 300145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED OCT 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:23 2003 X-UIDL: 44748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ002RWWOKC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U3axq5004127 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:37:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJxN057938; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 21:25:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1629487 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 21:25:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U3P4lx047396 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 21:25:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U3OtQS010559 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 21:24:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U3OtuQ010558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 21:24:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 21:24:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300324.h9U3OtuQ010558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 300324 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 30 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/0000 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N94W MOVING DRIFTING WEST. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N121W DRIFTING WEST. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 11N138W DRIFTING WEST. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 10N100W 10N110W 12N120W 9N130W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 100W-106W...AND FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 112W-122W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA N OF 9N BETWEEN 84W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 82W-84W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:39:05 2003 X-UIDL: 44753-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ002J8YVPC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 12:23:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U4OSq5009296 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 12:24:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SS3067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:12:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1629775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:12:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U4CJlx104896 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:12:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U4C7QS011023 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:12:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U4C7O0011022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:12:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:12:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300412.h9U4C7O0011022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 300412 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED OCT 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 16:48:54 2003 X-UIDL: 44759-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002DP34Y24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 13:55:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U5uNco016921 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 13:56:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61STB067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:41:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1630329 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:41:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U5fvlx029616 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:41:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U5fmQS011778 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:41:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U5fmFJ011776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:41:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:41:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300541.h9U5fmFJ011776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z-310600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300321ZOCT2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 150.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 133.9E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 129.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 515 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 300330 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 16:49:04 2003 X-UIDL: 44767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002P98YF24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:01:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U822co030631 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:02:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SWV067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:55:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1631792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:55:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U7tilx079402 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:55:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U7tZQS012971 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:55:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U7tY2U012970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:55:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 01:55:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300755.h9U7tY2U012970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 300755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED OCT 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 21:16:48 2003 X-UIDL: 44784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK0026SDA724@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:34:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U9ZZq5042997 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:35:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SXb067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1632286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U9QLlx046044 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U9QCQS013879 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U9QCaf013877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300926.h9U9QCaf013877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 301000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/301000Z-310600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300751ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 150.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 300600Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 24w, WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 128.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 300900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 129.4E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED TCFA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS. ADDED PARA 1.A.(2). FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 21:16:53 2003 X-UIDL: 44785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK0026CDUQC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:47:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U9lsq5044751 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:47:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SXj067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:44:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1632353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:44:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U9iplx079598 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:44:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U9igQS014020 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:44:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U9ig2w014019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:44:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:44:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300944.h9U9ig2w014019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 300944 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 30 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/0600 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 13N94W MOVING DRIFTING W. FEATURE APPEARS LESS ORGANIZED THAN YESTERDAY. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N93W. ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N121W DRIFTING W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 120W-123W. ..LOW PREVIOUSLY NEAR 11N138W HAS DISSIPATED ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA. ..TROUGH ALONG 31N123W TO 25N137W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS BEHIND THE TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N94W 13N113W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-8.5N BETWEEN 78W-85W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 90W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 110W-113W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W-120W AND 125W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COASTLINE FROM NICARAGUA TO GUATEMALA. A CLUSTER OF MODERATE IS NEAR 3.5N78.5W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR 13N137W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 21:16:54 2003 X-UIDL: 44786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002OEEDL24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:58:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U9xDq5046198 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:59:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SXn067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1632401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U9tZlx025596 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U9tQQS014106 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:55:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U9tQdG014105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:55:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:55:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300955.h9U9tQdG014105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 300955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND BOUNDED BY 30N159W 30N155W 23N159W 19N159W 15N165W 15N171W 20N169W 21N163W 28N160W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 17N174W 15N179W 15N177E 17N173E 15N161E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N166W 30N162W 27N165W 23N173W 23N180 24N179W 26N170W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 20 KT AND SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 13N155W 12N149W 08N151W 06N156W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE AND FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14N175W 11N172W 08N174W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S174W 13S165W 11S161W 14S158W 20S161W 14S173W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 21:17:08 2003 X-UIDL: 44793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002VVHUQ24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 19:13:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UBEDco052991 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 19:14:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SYT067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 05:06:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1632712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 05:06:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UB67lx095036 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 05:06:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UB5wQS014723 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 05:05:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UB5w6s014722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 05:05:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 05:05:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301105.h9UB5w6s014722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 301105 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU OCT 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:11 2003 X-UIDL: 44806-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002S5PXT24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:08:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UE8sco070949 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:08:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61Sax067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:55:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1633776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UDtYlx033706 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UDtPQS016477 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:55:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UDtPc1016476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:55:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:55:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301355.h9UDtPc1016476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 301355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU OCT 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:31 2003 X-UIDL: 44821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002EWWDH24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 00:27:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UGRmco087885 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 00:27:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8SlrR038806; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:05:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1635421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:05:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UG5wlx089306 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:05:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UG5nQS020257 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:05:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UG5nki020256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:05:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:05:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301605.h9UG5nki020256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 301605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 30 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/1200 UTC... ..NEARLY STATIONARY 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 13N94W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 93W AND 94.5W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N120W...SHIFTING EAST DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 115.5W AND 118W TO THE EAST...AND FROM 11N TO 12N BETWEEN 121.5W AND 122.5W. ..TROUGH FROM CALIFORNIA COAST THROUGH 34N118W TO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN NEAR 31N120W TO 28N125W. NO DEEP CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 6N87W 10N107W 13N115W 10N124W 8N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 115W...AND WEST OF 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH FROM 32N125W TO MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 26N134W TO 18N14W. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WITHIN 280 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:37 2003 X-UIDL: 44830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL002VG0OQC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:00:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UI17q5098712 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:01:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8Sl5T038806; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:55:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1638894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHaHlx024816 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UHa7QS023098 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UHa77C023096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301736.h9UHa77C023096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z-311800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/RONSSE/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:38 2003 X-UIDL: 44833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL0023N10R24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:07:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UI8Gco099744 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:08:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6p3067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:55:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1638889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHaHlx078628 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UHa8QS023099 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UHa78h023097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:36:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301736.h9UHa78h023097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z-311800ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/RONSSE/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:39 2003 X-UIDL: 44836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL002HR1FAC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:16:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UIGmco000734 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:16:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8Sl3t038806; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:53:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1638418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:27:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHRJlx043906 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:27:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UHRAQS022834 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:27:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UHRAMv022833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:27:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:27:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301727.h9UHRAMv022833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 301727 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU OCT 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD. ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED...AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:48 2003 X-UIDL: 44854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL002C9CUSC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 06:23:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UMNrq5026184 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 06:23:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi67x067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 15:58:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1644596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 15:58:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ULwXlx008240 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 15:58:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ULwOQS001072 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 15:58:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ULwNhe001071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 15:58:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 15:58:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310302158.h9ULwNhe001071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 302158 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 30 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/1800 UTC... ..1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N95W... NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 93W-96W. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 12N120W...NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 114W-124W. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS FROM THE CALIFORNIA COAST THROUGH 32N118W TO 27N123W. NO DEEP CONVECTION. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 12N100W 13N118W 9N126W 8N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W AND 120W AND 121W AND 124W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 135W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 80W-84W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10N95W 12N95W 14N95W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:48 2003 X-UIDL: 44856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL002ILDL0C6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 06:39:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UMddq5027688 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 06:39:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJYx057938; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:04:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1644722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:04:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UM4qlx065780 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:04:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UM4hQS001263 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:04:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UM4hCl001262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:04:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:04:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310302204.h9UM4hCl001262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 302204 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...AND BOUNDED BY 30N154W 25N157W 18N158W 07N166W 14N177W 17N170W 20N166W 25N160W 30N158W 30N154W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY NORTH OF 22N...AND MOVED E 10 KT S OF 22N...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND E OF 140W...BOUNDED BY 10N140W 06N140W 04N148W 07N148W 10N141W HAVE DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE. ELSEWHERE... NONE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S180 07S170W 07S161W 12S152W 16S153W 22S146W 25S150W 23S157W 15S167W 10S174W 08S180 06S180 HAVE MOVED NE 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:50 2003 X-UIDL: 44861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL002Z0GIBC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 07:42:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UNgpco034175 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 07:42:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6AH067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:03:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1645380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:03:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UN3nlx083676 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:03:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UN3eQS003018 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:03:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UN3eL4003017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:03:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:03:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310302303.h9UN3eL4003017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 302303 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU OCT 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THERE ARE NO SIGNS TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 12:09:42 2003 X-UIDL: 44893-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL0061IRWVBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:48:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V3nBq5059290 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:49:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJeR057938; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:30:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1648224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:30:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V3Ublx024950 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:30:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V3USQS006086 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:30:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V3USo4006085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:30:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:30:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310330.h9V3USo4006085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 310330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 31 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/0000 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 11N92W...MOVING SW 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 93W-95W. ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 13N120W...NEARLY STATIONARY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 116W-122W. ..HIGH PRESSURE IS N OF 20N AND W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 12N100W 13N118W 9N126W 8N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 136W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA WITHIN 30 NM OF THE LINE 8N82W 10N87W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 13N88W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA FROM 13N-15N BETWEEN 91W-93W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 81W-85W...AND FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 90W-93W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 13:26:08 2003 X-UIDL: 44897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL0062VU2558@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 12:34:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V4ZXq5063896 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 12:35:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6JV067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:17:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1648733 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:17:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V4HQlx009968 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:17:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V4HHQS006505 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:17:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V4HH85006504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:17:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:17:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310417.h9V4HH85006504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 310417 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU OCT 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THERE ARE NO SIGNS TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 13:26:08 2003 X-UIDL: 44898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL006ENUHLBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 12:44:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V4inco067189 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 12:44:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6JL067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:07:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1648617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:07:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V47dlx028140 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:07:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V47UQS006410 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:07:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V47Uut006409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:07:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:07:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310407.h9V47Uut006409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 310407 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU OCT 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 14:48:59 2003 X-UIDL: 44905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL0060WWSTBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 13:34:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V5Ykq5069484 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 13:34:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJfp057938; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1649261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V5Nilx027982 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V5NVQS007042 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V5NV8N007041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310523.h9V5NV8N007041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZOCT2003-010600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310152ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310151ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310600Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N8 159.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 775 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 310600Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 126.1E0, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF MANILA, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 310300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 16:35:15 2003 X-UIDL: 44923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006G83GPBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 15:58:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V7wbq5085620 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 15:58:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6Ot067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:55:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1650341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V7tYlx027254 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V7tPQS008484 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:55:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V7tPvU008483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:55:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:55:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310755.h9V7tPvU008483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 310755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU OCT 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 18:13:00 2003 X-UIDL: 44935-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006R48MFBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 17:49:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V9o6co000759 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 17:50:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6Px067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:42:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1651010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:42:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V9gSlx036532 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:42:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V9gJQS009539 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:42:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V9gJDp009538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:42:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:42:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310942.h9V9gJDp009538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 310942 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 31 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/0600 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 11N93W MOVING WSW 10 KT. LOW LACKS APPRECIABLE ORGANIZATION ON SATELLITE PICTURES. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 12N94.5W. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 13.5N119.5W DRIFTING N. THIS IS A ROUGH POSITION AS HIGH CLOUDINESS FROM NEARBY TSTMS ARE BLOCKING ANY GOOD LOCATION ESTIMATE. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12.5N-16N BETWEEN 114W-121W. ..WEAK TROUGH SHOWS UP IN THE QUIKSCAT DATA ALONG 21N131W TO 25N134W. BROAD ROTATION NOTED WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS FROM 15N101W TO 22N118W THEN 31N132W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N94W 14N112W 13N118W 8N129W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 3N-5N BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 82W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 81W-88W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W-131W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 88W-98W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 10N101W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 14.5N108W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N113W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTER OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF 11N87W. ISOLATED MODERATE ALONG THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 45 NM FROM 12N TO THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. DISSIPATING CLUSTER OF SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N95W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 18:13:06 2003 X-UIDL: 44939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006NF94FBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 18:00:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VA0vco001914 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 18:00:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6QB067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:56:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1651095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:56:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V9u1lx008440 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:56:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V9tqQS009642 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:55:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V9tqT5009641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:55:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:55:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310955.h9V9tqT5009641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 310955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC OCTOBER 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND BOUNDED BY 30N158W 30N154W 21N161W 18N167W 20N167W 26N161W 26N159W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 TO 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 21N167E 17N171E 15N174E 15N180 16N175W HAVE MOVED WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 12N164W 12N166W 10N172W 11N176W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 08N161W 07N165W 07N168W 06N170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 15N150W 14N148W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT ..INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10S166W 13S160W 12S154W 16S152W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT ..INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 15S150W 25S132W 25S148W 18S154W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 15 TO 20 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:29:33 2003 X-UIDL: 44941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM0069NC4H58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 19:05:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VB5lq5004837 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 19:05:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6Qb067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:58:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1651447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:58:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VAwFlx036456 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:58:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VAw6QS010147 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:58:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VAw6jR010146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:58:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:58:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311058.h9VAw6jR010146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 311057 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI OCT 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC MEXICO IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD. THERE ARE NO SIGNS TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:29:48 2003 X-UIDL: 44951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006ACK9TBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:01:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VE1kco025067 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:01:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJlv057938; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 07:55:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1652822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 07:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VDtYlx083814 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 07:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VDtOQS011880 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 07:55:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VDtO6Z011879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 07:55:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 07:55:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311355.h9VDtO6Z011879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 311355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI OCT 31 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:29:58 2003 X-UIDL: 44963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006MVR1C58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 00:27:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VGRoq5035702 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 00:27:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6Xd067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:14:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1654516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:14:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VGEDlx017938 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:14:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VGE4QS015321 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:14:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VGE4SK015320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:14:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:14:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311614.h9VGE4SK015320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 311613 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 31 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/1200 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 9N93W MOVING WSW 10 KT. THIS LOW CENTER IS WEAK AND IS FORECAST TO HAVE DISSIPATED AFTER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NO RELATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 14N113W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING BUT LINGERING CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 114W AND 117W. ..TROUGH 26N133W 22N132W. POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM 20N TO 27N BETWEEN 130W AND 135W IN LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS. ..RIDGE 21N144W BEYOND 32N144W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN ELSEWHERE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF 31N117W 18N118W 17N140W...EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE 26N133W 22N132W TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 7N90W 8N104W 16N115W 9N130W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING BUT LINGERING CONVECTION FROM 1N TO 5N BETWEEN 77W AND 81W IN WATERS JUST WEST OF COLOMBIA AND JUST NORTH OF ECUADOR. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 29N134W BEYOND 38N125W ROTATING THROUGH THE AREA. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 30N124W TO CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 24N132W 17N143W. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR NW OF 32N117W 18N130W 14N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 29N134W BEYOND 38N125W ROTATING THROUGH THE AREA. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 30N124W TO CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 24N132W 17N143W. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR NW OF 32N117W 18N130W 14N140W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:30:42 2003 X-UIDL: 44970-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006VDTE258@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 01:18:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHIfq5041872 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 01:18:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6aP067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1655483 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHAklx015526 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VHAaQS017112 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VHAaQN017108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311710.h9VHAaQN017108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZOCT2003-011800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:30:43 2003 X-UIDL: 44971-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM00682TW358@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 01:28:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHTVco047330 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 01:29:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VDxErr057938; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1655486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHAplx036496 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VHAaQS017113 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VHAaiP017110 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:10:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311710.h9VHAaiP017110@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 311800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/311800ZOCT2003-011800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:30:44 2003 X-UIDL: 44973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006VFVCCBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:00:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VI0sq5045873 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:00:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNmp104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:49:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1656115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:49:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHnnlx016786 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:49:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VHneQS018316 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:49:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VHnewN018315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:49:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:49:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311749.h9VHnewN018315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 311749 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI OCT 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:30:54 2003 X-UIDL: 44983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN006CR196BM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 04:07:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VK8aq5059885 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 04:08:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNv3104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:01:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1658130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:01:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VK1Jlx030128 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:01:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VK1AQS021893 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:01:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VK1AHf021892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:01:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:01:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310312001.h9VK1AHf021892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 312000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI OCT 31 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:00 2003 X-UIDL: 44993-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN006GG64SBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 05:53:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VLruq5074068 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 05:53:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcN0R104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 15:48:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1659499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 15:48:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VLmVlx057960 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 15:48:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VLmMQS024812 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 15:48:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VLmIWJ024806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 15:48:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 15:48:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310312148.h9VLmIWJ024806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 312148 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 31 OCT 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/1800 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 10N93W MOVING WSW 10 KT. THIS LOW CENTER IS WEAK AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NO RELATED DEEP CONVECTION. ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 13N113W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N123W TO 29N128W. POSSIBLE SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF TROUGH. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS ELSEWHERE NORTHWEST OF 20N AND 127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 8N105W 12N110W 10N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 86W...BETWEEN 93W AND 96W...AND BETWEEN 105W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 10N89W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 116W AND 119W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:02 2003 X-UIDL: 44995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN006LY6RT58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 06:07:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VM7lq5075748 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 06:07:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcN1d104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 16:01:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1659785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 16:01:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VM13lx044828 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 16:01:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VM0rQS025134 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 16:00:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VM0rlg025133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 16:00:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 16:00:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310312200.h9VM0rlg025133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 312200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC OCTOBER 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N157W 09N140W MOVED NORTHWEST 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE TROUGH WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N156W 20N163W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 02N178W 07N161W. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 15N155W. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 12N160W. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 17N173W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE ZONE AND TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS DATELINE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 09S169W 14S161W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... NO ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:03 2003 X-UIDL: 44997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN0069NAUUBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 07:35:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VNZwq5084051 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 07:36:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcN4X104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 17:20:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1660857 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 17:20:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VNK8lx028106 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 17:20:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VNJxQS026514 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 17:19:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VNJwMF026513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 17:19:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 17:19:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310312319.h9VNJwMF026513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 312319 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI OCT 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:09 2003 X-UIDL: 45005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00AB7IJM22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:21:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA12M4q5099092 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:22:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcN8L104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:17:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1662577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:17:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA12HWlx044918 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:17:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA12HMQS028160 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:17:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA12HMbK028159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:17:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:17:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010217.hA12HMbK028159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 010217 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI OCT 31 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:13 2003 X-UIDL: 45014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00A0IMLL22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 11:48:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA13nZq5007443 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 11:49:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcN9Z104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 21:43:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1663136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 21:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA13hZlx013216 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 21:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA13hQQS028869 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 21:43:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA13hPi8028868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 21:43:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 21:43:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010343.hA13hPi8028868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 010343 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 01 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/0000 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 8N94W MOVING W 10 KT. ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 12N120W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 20N AND W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 8N100W 10N110W 11N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 91W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-88W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 96W-98W...AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 108W-110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 86W-89W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:15 2003 X-UIDL: 45016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00A9JOOO22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 12:34:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA14Ybco013929 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 12:34:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNA3104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:31:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1663335 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:31:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA14V4lx104158 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:31:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA14UsQS029234 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:30:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA14UsbY029233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:30:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:30:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010430.hA14UsbY029233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 010430 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI OCT 31 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:18 2003 X-UIDL: 45019-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00AQ0QX222@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:22:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA15Mqq5016249 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:22:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHfA17047158; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1663464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA15Eblx089272 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA15ERQS029545 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA15ERoV029543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010514.hA15ERoV029543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z-020600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010151ZNOV2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MANILA AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:29 2003 X-UIDL: 45028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00AYEXN122@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:47:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA17m8q5031556 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:48:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNCd104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 01:45:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1664266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 01:45:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA17jQlx079408 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 01:45:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA17jGQS000598 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 01:45:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA17jG1f000597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 01:45:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 01:45:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010745.hA17jG1f000597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 010745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI OCT 31 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:31 2003 X-UIDL: 45032-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00A1218622@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 17:04:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA195Yco041102 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 17:05:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcND5104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:01:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1664629 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:01:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA191Hlx077088 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:01:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1918QS001331 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:01:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1918oQ001330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:01:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:01:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010901.hA1918oQ001330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 010901 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 01 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/0600 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRES CENTERED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 7N95W MOVING WEST 10 KT. SEE ITCZ FOR RELATED CONVECTION. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 7N118W 16N117W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION EAST OF THE AXIS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 113W-116W. ..WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 28N135W 19N105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N92W 8N107W 12N115W 12N122W 8N140W. SCATTERED TSTMS FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 77W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-102W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-126W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-11N WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 87W-91W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:33 2003 X-UIDL: 45035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00A3E3OG22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 17:57:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA19wTq5041797 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 17:58:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNDB104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:55:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1664767 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:55:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA19tGlx101710 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:55:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA19t7QS001735 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:55:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA19t7aM001734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:55:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 03:55:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010955.hA19t7aM001734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 010955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N156W 24N160W 20N166W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 09N140W 07N151W 08N160W HAVE MOVED W 25 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED MODERATE CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 07N165W 07N171W 06N177W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20N166W 18N170W 19N179W HAVE REMAINED STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE DESCRIPTION OF SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DESCRIPTION OF SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N145W 14N150W 15N156W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...SCATTERED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 13S161W 10S168W 08S176W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED... AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:35 2003 X-UIDL: 45038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00A6273K22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:11:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1BCRq5047906 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:12:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNDr104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 05:08:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1665090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 05:08:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1B8olx013288 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 05:08:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1B8fQS002633 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 05:08:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1B8fnK002632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 05:08:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 05:08:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011108.hA1B8fnK002632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 011108 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:40 2003 X-UIDL: 45048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00AN0EFI22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 21:50:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Doico063652 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 21:50:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNFH104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 07:45:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1665999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 07:45:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1DjWlx101786 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 07:45:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1DjNQS003821 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 07:45:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1DjMm5003820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 07:45:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 07:45:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011345.hA1DjMm5003820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 011345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT NOV 1 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:43 2003 X-UIDL: 45054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00AAIK9A22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:56:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Fudco074602 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:56:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNGT104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:51:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1666669 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:51:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Fp4lx030836 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:51:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1FosQS004856 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:50:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1Fosse004855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:50:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:50:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011550.hA1Fosse004855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 011550 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 01 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/1200 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER WITHIN ITCZ CONVECTION NEAR 7N95W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROUGH 18N117W 10N118W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN AREA BOUNDED BY POINTS 17N117W 15N109W 10N111W 17N117W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 9N91W 9N104W 13N116W 12N121W 10N133W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 87W AND 104W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 85W...AND WEST OF 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W...JUST NORTH OF THE ITCZ...WITH THIS AREA HAVING RE-ORGANIZED ITSELF AFTER DISSIPATING IN THE WATERS NORTH OF 10N EAST OF 90W WEST OF THE CENTRAL AMERICA COASTLINE FROM COSTA RICA TO GUATEMALA. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:44 2003 X-UIDL: 45055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00AV3MSZ22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 00:50:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Gpaq5073349 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 00:51:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNH7104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1667020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1GjTlx087972 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1GjKQS005820 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1GjKlR005818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011645.hA1GjKlR005818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z-021800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:44 2003 X-UIDL: 45056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00A20MWT22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 00:53:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Gs1co079480 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 00:54:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHfA5T047158; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1667023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1GjTlx043926 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1GjKQS005821 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1GjKlH005819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:45:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011645.hA1GjKlH005819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z-021800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:45 2003 X-UIDL: 45058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00AJNPIK22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 01:49:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1HoEq5078618 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 01:50:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNI5104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 11:45:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1667418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 11:45:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1HjRlx043844 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 11:45:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1HjIQS006337 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 11:45:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1HjHb0006336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 11:45:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 11:45:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011745.hA1HjHb0006336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 011745 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:47 2003 X-UIDL: 45065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00A44V1622@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 03:48:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1JnLco095945 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 03:49:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNJv104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:46:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1668363 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:46:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Jk1lx057946 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:46:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1JjXQS007255 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:45:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1JjXaf007254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:45:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:45:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011945.hA1JjXaf007254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 011945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT NOV 01 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:48 2003 X-UIDL: 45068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00ANE05C22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 05:39:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Ldtq5098100 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 05:39:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNMb104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:34:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1669294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:34:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1LYvlx104162 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:34:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1LYmQS008054 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:34:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1LYm3S008053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:34:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:34:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311012134.hA1LYm3S008053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 012134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 01 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/1800 UTC... ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N98W NEAR STATIONARY. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N118W TO 17N118W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N90W 9N101W 10N110W 13N121W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 89W TO 92W AND WITHIN 150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 104W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 131W...W OF 138W TO BEYOND 140W...WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 86W...WITHIN 200 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 100W TO 105W...AND WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 112W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 15N114.5W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N TO JUST OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:49 2003 X-UIDL: 45069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00AA417322@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 06:01:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1M2Wq5000601 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 06:02:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNMt104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:55:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1669457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1LtWlx010038 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1LtMQS008173 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:55:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1LtMuE008172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:55:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 15:55:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311012155.hA1LtMuE008172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 012155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2102 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N140W 08N143W 08N151W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N162W 09N153W 05N154W 05N162W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 08N168W 05N176W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05N177W 02N175E MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 26N161W 31N154W MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 19N174W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 13S158W 10S165W 09S171W MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAINLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S177W 09S175W 13S180 10S179E MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45070-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00ANY1EK22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 06:06:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1M73q5001035 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 06:07:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNN9104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:02:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1669548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:02:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1M2Slx044924 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:02:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1M2JQS008261 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:02:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1M2Jbn008260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:02:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:02:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311012202.hA1M2Jbn008260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 012155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2102 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N140W 08N143W 08N151W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N162W 09N153W 05N154W 05N162W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 08N168W 05N176W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05N177W 02N175E MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 26N161W 31N154W MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 19N174W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STAT ****ERROR: INCOMPLETE DATA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45071-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00A3P3W222@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 07:00:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1N0ghH005176 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 07:00:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNOr104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:57:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1670018 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:57:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Mv6lx030970 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:57:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1MuvQS008680 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:56:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1MuvHp008679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:56:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:56:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311012256.hA1MuvHp008679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 012256 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:51 2003 X-UIDL: 45072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00A7X3ZI22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 07:02:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1N2phH005386 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 07:02:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNPD104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:59:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1670111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:59:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Mxglx101852 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:59:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1MxXQS008710 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:59:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1MxXgd008709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:59:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:59:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion...correction Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311012259.hA1MxXgd008709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 012259 CCA TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 01 2003 CORRECTED ERRONEOUS TRANSMISSION ERRORS AT END OF PRODUCT NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2102 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N140W 08N143W 08N151W MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N162W 09N153W 05N154W 05N162W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 08N168W 05N176W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05N177W 02N175E MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 26N161W 31N154W MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 19N174W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 13S158W 10S165W 09S171W MOVED NORTHEAST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAINLY OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S177W 09S175W 13S180 10S179E MOVED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:54 2003 X-UIDL: 45078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00A4BBO322@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 09:48:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA21mlhx015653 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 09:48:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNRv104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:45:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1671321 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:45:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA21jXlx101854 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:45:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA21jOQS010021 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:45:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA21jOSY010020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:45:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:45:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020145.hA21jOSY010020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 020145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT NOV 01 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:56 2003 X-UIDL: 45083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00CGAH933K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:48:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA23nKhx025517 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:49:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNTJ104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 21:44:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1671887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 21:44:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA23i9lx083468 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 21:44:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA23i0QS010932 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 21:44:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA23i07Q010931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 21:44:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 21:44:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020344.hA23i07Q010931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 020343 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 02 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/0000 UTC... ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 9N100W MOVING WNW AT 5 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 12N118W TO 20N117W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 25N W OF 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 7N84W 10N100W 7N107W 12N113W 12N124W 9N132W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 90W TO 92W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 130W AND WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 134W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 101W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO 114W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 86W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE GULF OF FONSECA. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N100.5W TO 13N103W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF 15N FROM 112W TO 116W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:58 2003 X-UIDL: 45085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00CE7HXD3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 12:03:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA243vhH032908 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 12:03:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNTR104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 22:01:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1671980 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 22:01:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA241Glx010006 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 22:01:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2416QS011041 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 22:01:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2416Uf011040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 22:01:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 22:01:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020401.hA2416Uf011040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 020400 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 1 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH -SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:01 2003 X-UIDL: 45092-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00CQINA63K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 13:58:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA25xchx035291 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 13:59:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqov047160; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1672491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA25qXlx030786 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA25qOQS011863 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA25qO44011861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020552.hA25qO44011861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z-030600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020151ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) 020000Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N4 120.6E9, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 020300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:02 2003 X-UIDL: 45094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00C5NSC63K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:48:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA27mjhx043122 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:48:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqpn047160; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 01:45:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1673230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 01:45:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA27jhlx047002 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 01:45:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA27jYQS012522 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 01:45:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA27jXNb012521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 01:45:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 01:45:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020745.hA27jXNb012521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 020745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT NOV 1 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:04 2003 X-UIDL: 45097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00C2TV7A3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 16:49:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA28ofhH055874 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 16:50:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNWF104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:47:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1673550 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:47:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA28lQlx083862 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:47:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA28lHQS012991 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:47:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA28lHgv012990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:47:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:47:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020847.hA28lHgv012990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 020847 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 02 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/0600 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRES CENTERED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 9N101W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 98W-103W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N118W TO 20N118W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES NORTH OF 15N AND WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 30N130W TO 23N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0815 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N75W 7N82W 9N102W 6N109W 12N113W 12N125W 9N133W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-97W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 106W-116W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION UP TO 90 NM OFF THE COASTS OF NICARAGUA...EL SALVADOR...AND GUATEMALA BETWEEN 87W-92W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:11 2003 X-UIDL: 45101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00CFZXWW3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 17:48:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA29nFhx052073 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 17:49:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNWR104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 03:46:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1673795 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 03:46:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA29kAlx079586 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 03:46:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA29jvQS013584 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 03:45:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA29jvLM013583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 03:45:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 03:45:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020945.hA29jvLM013583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 020945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. IMAGERY THROUGH 2102 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 09N141W 09N155W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WITHIN 240 NM OF LINE 08N171W 05N180 EQ170E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 24N164W 29N160W MOVED NORTHWEST SLOWLY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 19N172W 19N178W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 15S154W 21S150W 20S145W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED TCU AND CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13S165W 13S169W 11S171W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 13S174W. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09S175W 11S180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:15 2003 X-UIDL: 45105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CK22LO3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:29:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2BUOhH069771 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:30:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNWx104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 05:27:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1674232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 05:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2BRJlx051340 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 05:27:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2BR9QS014334 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 05:27:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2BR9BR014333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 05:27:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 05:27:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021127.hA2BR9BR014333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 021127 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH -SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO. ANY DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:18 2003 X-UIDL: 45110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CJJ8ZZ3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 21:48:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2DmehH080831 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 21:48:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNYt104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 07:45:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1675172 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 07:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2Djdlx013206 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 07:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2DjUQS015332 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 07:45:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2DjUDf015331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 07:45:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 07:45:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021345.hA2DjUDf015331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 021345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 2 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:21 2003 X-UIDL: 45116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CUAFLZ3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 00:10:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2GBOhx081411 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 00:11:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqsl047160; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 10:09:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1676045 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 10:09:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2G9Clx047100 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 10:09:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2G92QS016340 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 10:09:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2G92CC016339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 10:09:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 10:09:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021609.hA2G92CC016339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 021608 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 02 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/1200 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 8N101W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N116W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..BROAD HIGH PRES IS NORTH OF 23N AND WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N132W TO 23N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N90W 9N100W 9N112W 11N120W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 135W AND 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 112W AND 114W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 94W...AND BETWEEN 102W AND 104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:21 2003 X-UIDL: 45118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CXRIB03K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 01:09:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2H9hhH099008 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 01:09:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNcB104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1676474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2H6qlx089248 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2H6hQS016806 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2H6huT016804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021706.hA2H6huT016804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z-031800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:22 2003 X-UIDL: 45119-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00C0JIDX3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 01:10:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2HBRhH099140 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 01:11:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqtD047160; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1676477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2H6rlx083660 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2H6hQS016807 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2H6haD016805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:06:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021706.hA2H6haD016805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z-031800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:22 2003 X-UIDL: 45121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CIKK2S3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 01:47:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2Hlshx089532 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 01:47:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNch104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:44:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1676849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:44:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2Hidlx030422 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:44:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2HiTQS017110 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:44:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2HiTIO017109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:44:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 11:44:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021744.hA2HiTIO017109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 021744 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:24 2003 X-UIDL: 45127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CY7PNP3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 03:47:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2JmWhH013905 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 03:48:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqvJ047160; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 13:45:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1677814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 13:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2Jjdlx042056 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 13:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2JjTQS018147 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 13:45:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2JjT5H018146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 13:45:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 13:45:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021945.hA2JjT5H018146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 021945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 2 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:28 2003 X-UIDL: 45134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CMJV463K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 05:45:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2LkQhx009503 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 05:46:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNh3104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:40:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1678923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:40:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2LeZlx008360 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:40:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2LePQS019083 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:40:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2LePVE019082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:40:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:40:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311022140.hA2LePVE019082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 022140 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 02 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/1800 UTC... ..A 1010 MB LOW WAS RELOCATED NEAR 10N97W MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N116W NEAR STATIONARY. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N97W 9N112W 11N117W 11N127W 9N134W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 105W...FROM 106W TO 108W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 141W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 101W AND FROM 112W TO 119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N113W TO 14N117W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N102W TO 15N105W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF 11.5N FROM 97W TO 100W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:28 2003 X-UIDL: 45135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CW5VC63K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 05:50:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2LpFhH024663 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 05:51:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqwd047160; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:46:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1678985 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:46:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2Lk3lx085002 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:46:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2LjsQS019140 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:45:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2LjsSC019139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:45:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 15:45:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311022145.hA2LjsSC019139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 022145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 09N140W AND FURTHER EAST. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 08N143W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 10N147W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 10N151W TO 09N149W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N157W TO 06N154W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 09N156W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 09N158W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N166W TO 07N163W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 12N179W TO 11N177W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 08N180 07N176W 03N180 05N177E. FRONT...SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 22N170E TO 25N180 TO 32N166W TO 36N162W TO 43N160W AND FURTHER NORTH MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 5 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 19N178W TO 20N175W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09S174W TO 08S165W TO 10S156W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 08S179W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 17S149W 18S144W 22S142W 22S150W 18S153W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:30 2003 X-UIDL: 45139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00DD6ZI1W4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:20:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2NL1hH032070 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:21:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNid104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 17:17:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1679571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 17:17:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2NHGlx045060 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 17:17:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2NH6QS019953 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 17:17:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2NH6M5019952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 17:17:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 17:17:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311022317.hA2NH6M5019952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 022316 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:40 2003 X-UIDL: 45151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00EHW6QNCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:56:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA31vThH046101 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:57:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNlr104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:50:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1680789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:50:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA31oKlx047376 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:50:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA31oBQS021583 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:50:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA31oBbB021582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:50:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:50:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030150.hA31oBbB021582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 030150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN NOV 2 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 13:31:13 2003 X-UIDL: 45165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00EIQAWCCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 11:26:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA33RJhH054834 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 11:27:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jo9104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 21:25:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1681446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 21:25:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA33Pclx096768 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 21:25:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA33PSQS022417 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 21:25:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA33PSZA022416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 21:25:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 21:25:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030325.hA33PSZA022416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 030325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 03 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/0000 UTC... ..THE 1010 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY NEAR 10N97W IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE SURFACE. ..A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 14N117W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N97W 10N116W 11N127W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 103W TO 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 123W AND WITHIN 120/150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO BEYOND 140W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF NICARAGUA TO GUATEMALA FROM 87W TO 91W AND WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 14N117W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N101.5W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N98W TO 15N104W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 13:37:31 2003 X-UIDL: 45179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00E2MGSBCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 13:33:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA35YThx052058 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 13:34:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFq4B047160; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:30:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1682358 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:30:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA35Utlx010016 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:30:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA35UjQS023308 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:30:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA35Ujcb023307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:30:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:30:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030530.hA35Ujcb023307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 030530 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 2 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO REMAINS DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 14:09:17 2003 X-UIDL: 45183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00EYMIBFCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:06:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA367VhH070559 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:07:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA29uRuJ069384; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1682497 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA35sGlx041780 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA35s6QS023523 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA35s6HZ023521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030554.hA35s6HZ023521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z-040600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030151ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) 030000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N1 121.7E1, APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, AND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 030300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 11.5S7 152.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK BROAD CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY GIVES SUPPORT FOR A WEAK LLCC EMBEDDED IN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 17:38:56 2003 X-UIDL: 45200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00DFTRYFW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 17:35:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA39Zdhx075361 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 17:35:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jtp104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 03:31:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1683896 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 03:31:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA39VMlx083604 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 03:31:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA39VDQS025211 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 03:31:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA39VDuP025210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 03:31:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 03:31:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030931.hA39VDuP025210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 030931 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 03 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/0600 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 6N106W 15N106W. ALTHOUGH MUCH OF THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN LIMITED TO THE ITCZ...NEW TSTMS HAVE BEEN FORMING TO THE NORTH OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 103W-109W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 9N117W 17N117W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 114W-120W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE HAS PUSHED SLIGHTLY FARTHER EAST...EXTENDING FROM 30N130W TO 18N104W ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N76W 7N87W 9N105W 12N127W 10N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA BETWEEN 89W-92W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 140W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:36:21 2003 X-UIDL: 45209-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00EIXTKZCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 18:10:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3AArhH095565 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 18:10:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFq7V047160; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 04:08:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1684058 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 04:08:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3A8slx043942 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 04:08:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3A8iQS025468 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 04:08:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3A8id2025467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 04:08:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 04:08:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031008.hA3A8id2025467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 031008 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE THROUGH 10N153W 07N152W 08N144W 09N140W HAVE MOVED W 15 KT AND HAVE DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...THAT EXTENDS NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE... HAS BROKEN SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 30N171W 25N180 22N170E 19N166W THAT HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF SHEAR LINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE THROUGH 12N179W 06N172W HAVE MOVED W 15 KT DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE...HAS NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE THROUGH 07S169W 07S162W...AND NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE THROUGH 09S157W 09S152W...AND NEW ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE THROUGH 14S148W 20S144W. ALSO BROKEN CLOUDINESS AND RAIN WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 20S AND 25S BETWEEN 141W AND 150W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S174W 08S180 10S172E 12S173E 13S174W 06S174W...HAVE MOVED W 10 KT DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:36:26 2003 X-UIDL: 45215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00DBEX2GW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 19:25:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3BQBhx087139 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 19:26:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jup104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 05:21:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1684382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 05:21:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3BLRlx036572 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 05:21:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3BLHQS025956 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 05:21:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3BLHsm025955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 05:21:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 05:21:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031121.hA3BLHsm025955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 031121 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO SHOWS NO SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:36:33 2003 X-UIDL: 45218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00EV7054CH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:31:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3CWahH012342 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:32:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jwJ104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:28:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1684875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:28:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3CSglx045260 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:28:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3CSWQS026486 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:28:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3CSWbc026485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:28:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:28:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031228.hA3CSWbc026485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 031228 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN NOV 2 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:36:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00DM43LNW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 21:46:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3DlFhx002459 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 21:47:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jwx104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:45:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1685083 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:45:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3DjYlx085706 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:45:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3DjPQS027262 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:45:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3DjPpL027261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:45:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:45:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031345.hA3DjPpL027261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 031345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON NOV 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:04 2003 X-UIDL: 45238-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00DNT8WOW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:41:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3Ffnhx017021 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:41:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqDR047160; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:34:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1686283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:34:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3FYZlx049230 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:34:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3FYLQS029903 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:34:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3FYL6K029902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:34:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:34:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031534.hA3FYL6K029902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 031534 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 03 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/1200 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 7N106W 16N106W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 8N117W 18N117W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 20N AND W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N76W 9N105W 8N120W 11N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 115W-117W...AND FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 118W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 105W-108W...AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 134W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:08 2003 X-UIDL: 45240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00EHACO1CH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 01:02:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3H35hH044980 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 01:03:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqFh047160; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1687715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3Gqrlx077144 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3GqeQS002049 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3Gqd6f002047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031652.hA3Gqd6f002047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:09 2003 X-UIDL: 45241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00EP6CRYCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 01:04:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3H5ThH045374 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 01:05:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320j77104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1687712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3Gqnlx088048 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3GqeQS002048 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3Gqdtf002046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:52:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031652.hA3Gqdtf002046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:11 2003 X-UIDL: 45242-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00EGMEMPCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 01:44:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3HjWhx030990 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 01:45:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320j9v104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 11:32:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1688651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 11:32:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3HWGlx103850 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 11:32:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3HW6QS003197 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 11:32:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3HW6VR003196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 11:32:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 11:32:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031732.hA3HW6VR003196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 031731 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:42 2003 X-UIDL: 45258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00DR1PKFW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:41:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3Lflhx053798 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:41:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jN3104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:32:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1692362 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:32:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3LWolx030962 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:32:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3LWYQS010088 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:32:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3LWY7Y010087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:32:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:32:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311032132.hA3LWY7Y010087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 032132 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON NOV 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:44 2003 X-UIDL: 45259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00D7WQ1JW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:51:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3Lq3hH074775 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:52:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqPV047160; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:46:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1692453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:46:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3LkPlx045068 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:46:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3LkGQS010433 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:46:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3LkCBi010431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:46:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:46:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311032146.hA3LkCBi010431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 032145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N180 13N177W 08N172W 09N155W 09N144W 06N143W 05N170W 07N180 12N180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 28N161W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 24N173W 21N177W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 22S141W 11S150W 07S157W 09S163W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... BROAD AREA OF ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S170W 13S170W 13S180 07S180 07S170W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 45260-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00D9PQ47W4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:52:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3LrehH074912 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:53:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jN7104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:35:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1692374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:35:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3LZmlx098308 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:35:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3LZcQS010176 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:35:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3LZc9A010175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:35:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 15:35:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311032135.hA3LZc9A010175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 032135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 03 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/1800 UTC... ..THE SURFACE TROUGH PREVIOUSLY ALONG 106W IS NOW A 1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N107W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..THE SURFACE TROUGH PREVIOUSLY ALONG 117W IS NOW A 1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 14N119W DRIFTING WESTWARD. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N93W 11N104W 9N108W 8N117W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 101W TO 105W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 115W TO 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 108W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 141W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N100W 14N105W TO 13N110W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N117W TO 17N119W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:52 2003 X-UIDL: 45264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00EB4UIQCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 07:28:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3NSVhH084533 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 07:28:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jQx104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 17:16:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1693514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 17:16:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3NGQlx076206 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 17:16:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3NGGQS012670 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 17:16:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3NGGYG012669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 17:16:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 17:16:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311032316.hA3NGGYG012669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 032316 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 45273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HRX1A2WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 09:54:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA41skhH001189 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 09:54:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jVp104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 19:50:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1695065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 19:50:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA41odlx092388 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 19:50:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA41oUQS014662 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 19:50:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA41oU06014661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 19:50:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 19:50:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040150.hA41oU06014661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 040150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON NOV 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 11:44:24 2003 X-UIDL: 45285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HW465PWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:39:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA43e6hx090076 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:40:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqYr047160; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 21:35:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1696487 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 21:35:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA43ZSlx052024 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 21:35:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA43ZJQS015901 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 21:35:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA43ZJTD015900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 21:35:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 21:35:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040335.hA43ZJTD015900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 040335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 04 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/0000 UTC... ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N107W DRIFTING NORTHWEST. ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 13N120W DRIFTING NORTHWEST. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 20N W OF 120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N89W 10N108W 8N120W 10N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 138W TO BEYOND 140W AND WITHIN 60/75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 109W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 136W TO 138W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 98W AND 113W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N133W TO 12N140W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 13:26:49 2003 X-UIDL: 45295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HOS9AKWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 12:47:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA44lmhx096681 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 12:47:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jbd104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 22:41:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1697090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 22:41:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA44ftlx098462 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 22:41:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA44fjQS016629 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 22:41:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA44fjbO016628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 22:41:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 22:41:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040441.hA44fjbO016628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 040441 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 3 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 14:30:20 2003 X-UIDL: 45300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HKZCUNWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 14:03:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA464ghx003936 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 14:04:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA29uRMF069384; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1697757 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA45tHlx098488 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA45t7QS017257 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA45t2Ma017252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040555.hA45t2Ma017252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z-050600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W, LOCATED NEAR 23.9N4 123.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 040300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 11.5S7 152.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 152.4E2 APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. A 040103Z8 SSM/I PASS SHOWS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/PHILIPS/COOK// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 17:10:07 2003 X-UIDL: 45319-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HBEKPZWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:53:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA48shEd051857 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:54:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461Nqt104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:46:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1699237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:46:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA48kAlx096950 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:46:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA48k0QS018728 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:46:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA48k0jo018727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:46:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:46:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040846.hA48k0jo018727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 040845 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON NOV 3 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 17:22:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HXCLZBWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 17:21:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA49LrXJ027585 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 17:21:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461NrD104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:18:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1699409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:18:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA49I7lx009524 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:18:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA49HwQS019171 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:17:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA49HwsW019170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:17:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:17:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040917.hA49HwsW019170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 040917 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 04 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/0600 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 11N108W MOVING NORTHWEST 5 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 108W-111W AND ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS ELSEWHERE FROM 7N-14N BETWEEN 107W-114W. ..1008 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 12N122W MOVING WEST 5 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 119W-124W. ..HIGH PRES NORTH OF 20N WITH A RIDGE AXIS PROTRUDING EWD INTO NW MEXICO ALONG 30N130W 26N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N94W 11N105W 7N118W 11N137W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-126W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-13N WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 97W-104W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 18:22:12 2003 X-UIDL: 45325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HOUO2YWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 18:06:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4A7HEd059960 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 18:07:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461Nrd104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 04:00:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1699554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 04:00:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA49xxlx030730 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:59:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA49xoQS019501 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:59:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA49xoJe019500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:59:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:59:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040959.hA49xoJe019500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 040959 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 06N168W 07N152W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND COVERAGE. NEW ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 144W AND 140W. SURFACE TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 21N180 23N175W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE SURFACE TROUGH ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09S154W 14S148W 21S140W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND DECREASED IN BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...THAT EXTENDS WEST OF 180 AND SOUTH OF 25S...HAS OVERCAST CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERY CUMULUS WITHIN 125 NM OF POINT 25S180. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09S176W 11S164W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:06:43 2003 X-UIDL: 45332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HINSE4WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 19:39:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4BeOEd070460 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 19:40:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461NsD104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:33:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1699876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:33:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4BXWlx081826 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:33:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4BXMQS020346 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:33:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4BXMTh020345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:33:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 05:33:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311041133.hA4BXMTh020345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 041133 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE NOV 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANY DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:06:57 2003 X-UIDL: 45338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HI7YIDWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 21:51:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4DqVXJ054329 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 21:52:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA29uRRf069384; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 07:45:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1700821 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 07:45:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4Djdlx030772 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 07:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4DjTQS021621 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 07:45:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4DjTE1021620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 07:45:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 07:45:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311041345.hA4DjTE1021620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 041345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE NOV 4 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:07:07 2003 X-UIDL: 45347-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00H1M4DRWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 23:58:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4FxKXJ068664 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 23:59:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461N3f104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 09:51:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1702954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 09:51:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4Fpslx085740 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 09:51:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4FpjQS024881 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 09:51:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4FpiYm024880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 09:51:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 09:51:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311041551.hA4FpiYm024880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 041551 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 04 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/1200 UTC... ..1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N109W MOVING NORTHWEST 5 KT. ..1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N123W MOVING WEST 5 KT. ..1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N141W. RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE TO NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 22N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 6N100W 9N104W 7N115W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 108W-111W...AND FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 132W-139W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN 98W-100W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:07:07 2003 X-UIDL: 45348-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00H7187IWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 01:21:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4HM2XJ078186 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 01:22:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461N89104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1704392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4HCalx035928 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4HCQQS027601 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4HCQC7027599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311041712.hA4HCQC7027599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z-051800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.9N1 87.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A PARTIAL QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS TROUGHING IN THE REGION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:07:10 2003 X-UIDL: 45349-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00HB188EWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 01:21:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4HMaEd009828 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 01:22:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA29uRWP069384; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1704401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4HCalx029484 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4HCQQS027600 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4HCQib027598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:12:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311041712.hA4HCQib027598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z-051800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.9N1 87.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A PARTIAL QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS TROUGHING IN THE REGION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:07:11 2003 X-UIDL: 45351-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00H9P9ABWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 01:44:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4Hj6Ed012150 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 01:45:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461N9Z104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:32:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1704891 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:32:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4HWelx051420 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:32:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4HWUQS028250 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:32:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4HWUTi028249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:32:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 11:32:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311041732.hA4HWUTi028249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 041732 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:07:23 2003 X-UIDL: 45363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00H6GFQFWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 04:03:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4K4aEd028063 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 04:04:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461NGX104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 13:55:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1707158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 13:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4Jtjlx092386 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 13:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4JtZQS002167 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 13:55:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4JtZPZ002166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 13:55:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 13:55:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311041955.hA4JtZPZ002166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 041955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE NOV 4 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:07:48 2003 X-UIDL: 45374-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00H0FL66WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 06:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4M22XJ012836 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 06:02:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461NLR104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:50:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1709056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:50:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4LoNlx089208 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:50:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4LoDQS005499 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:50:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4LoD5H005498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:50:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:50:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311042150.hA4LoD5H005498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 042150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 04 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/1800 UTC... ..A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N111W MOVING W 5 KT. ..THE 1007 MB LOW IS NOW A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 123W FROM 6N TO 17N. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 17N W OF 113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N94W 6N100W 13N107W 12N115W 10N127W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 109W...WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 113W...WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 130W TO 138W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF 14.5N FROM 99W AND 104W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS ARE INLAND AND WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH PANAMA TO COSTA RICA AND WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N108W TO 8N120W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:07:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45375-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00HR1LMAWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 06:10:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4MBiEd044026 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 06:11:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461NLb104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:55:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1709109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:55:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4Ltblx038580 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:55:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4LtSQS005613 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:55:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4LtRtU005612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:55:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 15:55:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311042155.hA4LtRtU005612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 042155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N178W 30N168W 20N174W 17N179W 23N180. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 5 KT. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N155W 09N147W 08N143W 06N147W 06N154W 04N156W 03N174W 06N174W 09N160W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 11N144W 10N141W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 10N172W 08N174W 08N180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S169W 11S167W 13S170W 10S179W 08S174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S150W 12S145W 14S153W 11S157W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 15S140W 21S140W 22S145W 17S149W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 15S167E 25S173W 25S175E 19S165E. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ...FOR CONVECTION MAINLY NORTH OF THE SAMOAN ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:08:04 2003 X-UIDL: 45381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00HQ5NK2WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 06:52:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4MraEd048673 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 06:53:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461NND104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1709728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4Mhplx030720 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4MhfQS006917 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4MhfL7006915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311042243.hA4MhfL7006915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 042300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/042300Z-050600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.6N2 146.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA WITH DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 11.6S8 152.4E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA TO PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:08:20 2003 X-UIDL: 45386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00H44P9PWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:29:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4NUZXJ021406 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:30:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461NO5104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 17:04:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1709973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 17:04:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4N4Plx024754 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 17:04:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4N4GQS007385 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 17:04:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4N4GAc007384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 17:04:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 17:04:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311042304.hA4N4GAc007384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 042304 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 4 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 7500 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 21:42:55 2003 X-UIDL: 45445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNV00LINS32AS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:28:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5DT0Ed049642 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:29:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA561Unx069386; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:23:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1715446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:23:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5DNrlx077120 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:23:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5DNhQS013507 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:23:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5DNhPY013506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:23:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:23:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311051323.hA5DNhPY013506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 051115 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 21:43:02 2003 X-UIDL: 45447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNV000AISDF08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:34:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5DZCEd050226 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:35:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA51guvJ104950; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1715479 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5DOblx038830 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5DORQS013590 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5DORN5013585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311051324.hA5DORN5013585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 051300 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/051300Z-060600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 5.4N9 146.1E2, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. REASON FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/PHILIPS/KELLY/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:35:27 2003 X-UIDL: 45449-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNV000E3TDY08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:56:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5Dv7Ed052780 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:57:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA51guwT104950; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:50:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1715759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:50:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5DoYlx085094 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:50:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5DoOQS014527 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:50:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5DoOJf014526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:50:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:50:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311051350.hA5DoOJf014526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 051350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED NOV 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:36:14 2003 X-UIDL: 45472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNV000IPYH408@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:46:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5FkxEd065811 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:47:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA51gu3B104950; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 09:36:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1717091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 09:36:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5Fanlx047360 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 09:36:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5FadQS018110 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 09:36:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5FadYB018109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 09:36:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 09:36:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311051536.hA5FadYB018109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 051536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 05 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/1200 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 13N113W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KT. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 112W-119W. ..1009 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 10N125W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. THERE HAS BEEN SOME INCREASE IN CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW BUT THE SYSTEM REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 121W-128W. ..1023 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 30N140W WITH RIDGE EXTENDING EASTWARD ALONG 30N/31N TO THE N BAJA PENINSULA. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING NW PORTION OF AREA THROUGH 36N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N100W 11N110W 9N122W 7N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 77W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 91W-96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 99W-103W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:36:24 2003 X-UIDL: 45478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW00L2K1UJAS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 00:59:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5GxiEd074109 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 00:59:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA51gu75104950; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:53:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1718609 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:53:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5Gr9lx092246 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:53:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5GqxQS021181 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:52:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5Gqxn8021179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:52:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:52:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311051652.hA5Gqxn8021179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z-061800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.9N1 87.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:36:26 2003 X-UIDL: 45480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW00LAC1ZZAS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 01:02:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5H2rEd074698 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 01:02:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA561UsV069386; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:53:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1718612 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:53:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5Gr9lx042144 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:53:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5GqxQS021182 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:52:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5Gqx86021180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:52:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 10:52:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311051652.hA5Gqx86021180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z-061800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.9N1 87.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:36:30 2003 X-UIDL: 45482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW000AN3E208@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 01:32:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5HXAXJ039793 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 01:33:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA51gu9L104950; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 11:21:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1719185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 11:21:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5HLqlx030354 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 11:21:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5HLgQS022042 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 11:21:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5HLgWK022041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 11:21:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 11:21:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311051721.hA5HLgWK022041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 051721 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED NOV 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:36:49 2003 X-UIDL: 45497-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW000X5AQ908@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 04:10:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KBhEd095846 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 04:11:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5IerEB009550; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 13:55:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1721092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 13:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5JthD1047312 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 13:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5JtXQS026568 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 13:55:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5JtXeZ026567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 13:55:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 13:55:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311051955.hA5JtXeZ026567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 051955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED NOV 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH LATE FRIDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:36:59 2003 X-UIDL: 45502-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW00058FTV08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 06:01:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5M1qXJ069214 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 06:01:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5IerGF009550; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:52:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1722612 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:52:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5LqfD1045684 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:52:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5LqVQS000231 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:52:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5LqV7Q000230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:52:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:52:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311052152.hA5LqV7Q000230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 052152 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 05 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/1800 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW NEAR 13N113.5W MOVING WNW 10 KT. THE LOW HAS SOME BROAD ROTATION AND SOME BANDING FEATURES BUT REMAINS MOSTLY DISORGANIZED. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12.5N-16.5N BETWEEN 112W-116W. ..1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N125W MOVING W 5-10 KT. SYSTEM REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ WITH MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS OBSCURING THE CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 123W-127W. ..HIGH OVER THE PACIFIC HAS TWO CENTERS...BOTH 1022 MB.. ONE NEAR 29N140W AND THE OTHER NEAR 31N128W. RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM EASTERNMOST HIGH CENTER TO 19N106W NEAR SW MEXICO. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING NW PORTION OF AREA THROUGH 33N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N90W 9N100W 11N114W 9N122W 7N130W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF AXIS FROM 114W-132W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 92W-98W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 80W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 14N129W 12N104W 15N101W AND 11N90W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE NEAR THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 81W-83.5W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:37:03 2003 X-UIDL: 45506-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW000N9GF108@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 06:13:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5MEZXJ070498 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 06:14:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtHT047168; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:55:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1722650 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:55:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5LtpD1052040 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:55:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5LtfQS000333 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:55:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5Ltf1i000331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:55:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 15:55:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311052155.hA5Ltf1i000331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 052155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 09N178W 05N170W 02N178E 07N174E 07N179E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N167W 09N158W 05N155W 03N158W 06N165W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY ..DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12N147W 11N140W 07N141W 08N149W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N... ARE BOUNDED BY 30N177W 30N164W 24N171W 24N178W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 15N170W 11N170W 10N168W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09S163W 15S171W 15S176W 12S179W 10S175W 12S174W 09S167W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 8 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SHEAR LINE/SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED TCU...THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 13S160E 19S174W 25S166W 25S176W 19S173E 17S160E. NORTH OF 20S...FEATURE MOVING SLOWLY NORTH TO NORTHEAST. SOUTH OF 20S...FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 15 KT. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S148W 21S139W 22S141W 18S152W 12S152W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:37:09 2003 X-UIDL: 45511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW000UHJ9T08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 07:15:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5NGDXJ076800 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 07:16:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtIx047168; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 17:00:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1723341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 17:00:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5N0SD1011272 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 17:00:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5N0IQS002481 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 17:00:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5N0IXL002480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 17:00:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 17:00:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311052300.hA5N0IXL002480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 052300 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED NOV 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE SOME SIGNS OF LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:37:18 2003 X-UIDL: 45520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW000C7R1R08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:03:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA624BEd036612 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:04:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtMD047168; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 19:55:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1724611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 19:55:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA61tWD1096820 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 19:55:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA61tMQS004811 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 19:55:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA61tMrP004810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 19:55:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 19:55:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311060155.hA61tMrP004810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 060155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED NOV 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:37:30 2003 X-UIDL: 45530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW000YIVEQ08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 11:37:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA63cK6Y006807 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 11:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtO5047168; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:30:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1725406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:30:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA63UoD1098522 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:30:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA63UeQS005841 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:30:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA63UeXR005840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:30:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:30:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311060330.hA63UeXR005840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 060330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 06 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/0000 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW NEAR 13N114W MOVING WNW 10 KT. LAST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOWED A DISORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH LITTLE SIGN OF DEVELOPMENT. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 14N-17.5N BETWEEN 111W-116W WITH A CLUSTER OF MODERATE NEAR 13.5N114.5W. ..1008 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N126W MOVING W 5-10 KT. POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF MOVEMENT AND THE SYSTEM MAY HAVE DEGRADED INTO A TROUGH. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW. ..NARROW 1021 HIGH IS NEAR 29N137W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING TO 25N119W THEN 19N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 9N102W 11N115W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 116W-126W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 128W-133W AND E OF 79W BETWEEN 6N-8N. CLUSTER OF TSTMS IS NEAR 10N102W 7.5N98W AND 6.5N88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A SMALL TSTM IS NEAR 13N105W. BAND OF MODERATE CONVECTION HAS MOVED OFF CENTRAL AMERICA WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10N86W 13N88W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 18.5N112W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:37:32 2003 X-UIDL: 45533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW000DFX1708@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 12:12:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA64DQj8052658 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 12:13:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5IerLF009550; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 22:09:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1725979 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 22:09:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6493D1041058 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 22:09:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA648rQS006289 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 22:08:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA648rgW006288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 22:08:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 22:08:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311060408.hA648rgW006288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 060408 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 5 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THERE ARE SOME SIGNS OF LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:37:39 2003 X-UIDL: 45540-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX000T50Y908@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA65c66Y020157 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:38:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtR9047168; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:32:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1726530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:32:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA65W8D1028524 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:32:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA65VwQS007013 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:31:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA65VwcM007011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:31:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:31:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311060531.hA65VwcM007011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN /060600Z-070600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:37:47 2003 X-UIDL: 45545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX0000777808@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 15:52:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA67r66Y035733 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 15:53:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtUd047168; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 01:50:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1727395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 01:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA67oQD1083840 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 01:50:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA67oGQS008131 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 01:50:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA67oGkY008130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 01:50:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 01:50:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311060750.hA67oGkY008130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 060750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED NOV 5 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:38:00 2003 X-UIDL: 45554-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX003O8AOC0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 17:07:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6989j8087039 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 17:08:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtV5047168; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:04:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1727644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:04:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA694PD1052418 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:04:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA694FQS008907 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:04:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA694FL9008906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:04:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:04:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311060904.hA694FL9008906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 060904 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 06 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS ENTERED THE AREA ALONG 83W/84W NORTH OF 5N MOVING WEST 15 KT. THE BULK OF THE TSTM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA. ..1008 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 14N116W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 KT. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS EMBEDDED BENEATH A LINEAR AREA OF CONVECTION...WITH SOME STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N120W TO 19N111W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 128W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ASIDE FROM ITCZ CONVECTION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N120W 14N126W 11N130W. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1023 MB HIGH NEAR 29N145W TO A 1022 MB HIGH NEAR 28N127W AND THEN SE ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 19N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 6N85W 6N105W 12N119W 7N135W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 77W-100W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 77W-81W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE NEAR THE GULF OF FONSECA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 87W-90W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:38:04 2003 X-UIDL: 45557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX003HSCOI0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 17:50:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA69pTj8093154 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 17:51:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtVJ047168; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:46:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1727764 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:46:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA69koD1031642 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:46:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA69keQS009236 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:46:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA69ke3P009235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:46:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 03:46:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311060946.hA69ke3P009235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 060946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 250 NM OF THE LINE FROM 29N171W TO 34N165W TO 35N143W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 25 KT. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 24N170W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 18N178W 16N177W 14N178W 13N179E 15N179E. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 08N141W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N155W TO 07N152W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 08N168W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 14N172W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N174W 06N171W 05N176W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09N179W TO 09N176W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 02N178W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 13S176E 15S168E 35S147W 37S138W 40S132W 40S160W 24S174W 25S175E AND FURTHER SOUTH MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 KT. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09S153W 12S143W 19S143W 19S155W MOVED NORTHWEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA...AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13S172W TO 10S169W MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:38:34 2003 X-UIDL: 45574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX003S8G4U0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 19:05:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6B64g2056663 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 19:06:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtVv047168; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 04:58:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1728143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 04:58:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6AwgD1045130 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 04:58:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6AwWQS009869 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 04:58:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6AwWFs009868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 04:58:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 04:58:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311061058.hA6AwWFs009868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 061058 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:38:57 2003 X-UIDL: 45587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX0039KNZB0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:54:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6DtWg2074510 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:55:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtXl047168; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 07:50:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1728874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 07:50:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6DoWD1088016 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 07:50:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6DoMQS011578 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 07:50:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6DoLY2011577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 07:50:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 07:50:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311061350.hA6DoLY2011577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 061350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU NOV 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:39:07 2003 X-UIDL: 45592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX003JKTKH0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:55:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6FuBj8034242 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:56:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtbR047168; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 09:39:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1729939 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 09:39:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6FdBD1028660 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 09:39:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6Fd1QS014458 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 09:39:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6Fd03L014457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 09:39:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 09:39:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311061539.hA6Fd03L014457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 061538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 06 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W/85W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT TSTM ACTIVITY IS OVER LAND AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. ..1008 MB LOW IS NEAR 14N116W MOVING WNW 5-10 KT. TSTMS HAVE INCREASED OVERNIGHT WITH SOME SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER ANY CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE ELONGATED FROM NE TO SW. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75/100 NM OF LINE 14N117W 18N113W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 128W HAS MERGED WITH THE ITCZ. ..COLD FRONT IS SKIRTING THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA NEAR 32N140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM A RIDGE AXIS ORIENTED ALONG 27N FROM 140W-129W CONTINUING SE TO 19N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N100W 12N119W 8N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 5N-7.5N E OF 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 122W-129W. A CLUSTER OF TSTMS IS NEAR 7N101W AND 8N87W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 129W-133W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W-92W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW TSTMS ARE NEAR 13N131W AND 3N78W. ISOLATED MODERATE IS IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 90W-91.5W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:39:23 2003 X-UIDL: 45603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX003SFWNF0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:02:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6H2qg2094847 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:02:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5IerUD009550; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1731017 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6GrJD1018058 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6Gr9QS016941 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6Gr995016939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311061653.hA6Gr995016939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:39:25 2003 X-UIDL: 45604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX003SVWNO0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:02:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6H2xj8042317 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:03:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5IerPR005254; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1731020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6GrJD1016562 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6Gr9QS016942 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6Gr9OE016940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:53:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311061653.hA6Gr9OE016940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:39:27 2003 X-UIDL: 45605-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX0035NYKN0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:43:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6HiHg2000104 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:44:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5IerPf005254; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 11:24:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1731342 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 11:24:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6HOOD1067650 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 11:24:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6HOEQS018038 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 11:24:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6HOD7G018036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 11:24:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 11:24:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311061724.hA6HOD7G018036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 061724 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS LESS FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 45611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY003QE58J0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:07:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6K8Jj8065430 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:08:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtmD047168; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:55:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1733238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:55:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6JtjD1092326 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6JtZQS022766 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:55:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6JtZFm022764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:55:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:55:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311061955.hA6JtZFm022764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 061955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU NOV 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:39:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY003TKBE90G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 06:20:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6MLKj8081006 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 06:21:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJFH047170; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 15:55:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1735159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 15:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LtjD1103820 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 15:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6LtZQS026499 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 15:55:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6LtZqO026498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 15:55:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 15:55:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311062155.hA6LtZqO026498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 062155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N148W 07N161W 08N166W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 08N170W 07N176W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... TROUGH...THROUGH 30N164W 20N175W. NORTH END MOVED EAST 15 KT. SOUTH END MOVING EAST 5-10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG THE TROUGH CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. WEAK LOW...NEAR 27N173W MOVED NORTHEAST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS BOUNDED BY 30N175W 26N177W 30N168W. CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG LINE 24N166W 21N168W 18N166W MOVED WEST SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB ALONG CZ NORTH OF 21N. ISOLATED TCU ALONG CZ SOUTH OF 21N. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED CUMULUS/CIRRUS. ELSEWHERE... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG LINE 12N144W 12N160W 16N164W MOVED WEST 12 KT. ISOLATED TCU/CB BETWEEN 12N147W AND 11N155W REMAIN SPARSE. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG REMAINDER OF CZ. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 25S167W 21S180. WEST END STATIONARY. EAST END MOVING EAST 10-15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG SHEAR LINE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG 09S165W 12S174W 12S180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50-80 NM OF CZ INTENSIFIED. CZ MOVED SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. OTHERWISE... SCATTERED CUMULUS/SCATTERED TO BROKEN CIRRUS IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF SAMOA. ELSEWHERE... UPPER LOW...NEAR 12S152W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 650 NM SOUTHEAST OF LOW DIMINISHED. MOST OF REMAINING CB ARE WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 13S144W 18S145W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 07S164W 04S168W 06S172W ARE NEWLY FORMED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:39:52 2003 X-UIDL: 45619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY003BNBMY0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 06:25:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6MQXj8081516 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 06:26:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5IeraF009550; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 16:05:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1735300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 16:05:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6M5XD1045066 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 16:05:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6M5NQS026811 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 16:05:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6M5Nef026808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 16:05:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 16:05:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311062205.hA6M5Nef026808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 062205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 06 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NEAR 14N117W...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 14N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 116W AND 118W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 19N111W 16N115W...AND FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 118W AND 120W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE 85W/86W SOUTH OF 21N MOVING 10 KT. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM 9N TO 22N BETWEEN 78W AND 94W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM NORTHERN COSTA RICA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. ..COLD FRONT JUST NORTH OF THE AREA...THROUGH 34N130W TO 31N140W TO 31N142W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 115W... AND NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2145 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N90W 7N104W 11N123W 8N134W 6N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION OVER AND AROUND PANAMA FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W AND 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 134W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION...IN CLUSTERS...WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS PRIMARILY EAST OF 83W...BETWEEN 87W AND 93W...AND BETWEEN 100W AND 106W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 89W AND 95W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:39:56 2003 X-UIDL: 45621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY003TEEHA0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 07:27:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6NRxg2037294 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 07:28:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJJ1047170; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 17:04:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1736056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 17:04:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6N46D1003966 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 17:04:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6N3uQS028144 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 17:03:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6N3u7A028143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 17:03:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 17:03:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311062303.hA6N3u7A028143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 062303 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED BUT THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS WEAKENING AT THIS TIME. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS LESS FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:40:02 2003 X-UIDL: 45626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY003AELB00G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 09:54:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA71tPg2051685 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 09:55:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5Ierdj009550; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 19:50:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1737679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 19:50:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA71oPD1098512 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 19:50:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA71oFQS000234 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 19:50:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA71oE0U000233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 19:50:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 19:50:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311070150.hA71oE0U000233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 070150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU NOV 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 12:31:48 2003 X-UIDL: 45638-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY0034GQQ80G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:51:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA73qWg2064536 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:52:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJQ7047170; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:45:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1738831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:45:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA73jsD1010142 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:45:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA73jiQS001415 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:45:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA73jhM4001414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:45:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:45:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311070345.hA73jhM4001414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 070345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 07 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...NEAR 15N117W AT 07/0000 UTC...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 115W AND 118W. STRONG CONVECTION IN ONE CLUSTER WITHIN 20-30 NM RADIUS OF 12.5N120W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 20N112W 17N115W. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE 87W SOUTH OF 21N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 78W AND 94W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN CLUSTERS FROM NORTHERN COSTA RICA/SOUTHERN NICARAGUA BORDER TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. ..COLD FRONT JUST NORTH OF THE AREA...THROUGH 32N130W BEYOND 30N/31N AT 140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS BLOWING OVER THE FRONT FROM 27N TO 34N BETWEEN 121W AND 133W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS MARK THE FRONT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTHWEST AND NORTH OF 30N115W 23N118W 18N130W 17N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N93W 7N107W 9N113W 121N122W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 126W AND 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 113W...AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG CONVECTION IN ONE CELL WITHIN 20-30 NM RADIUS OF 11N94.5W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THROUGH 33N126W TO 25N127W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 12:31:56 2003 X-UIDL: 45639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY003IBQUY0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:54:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA73tLj8016056 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:55:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJQD047170; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:53:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1738873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:53:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA73rED1103750 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:53:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA73r4QS001475 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:53:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA73r4oJ001474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:53:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 21:53:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311070353.hA73r4oJ001474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 070352 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 6 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED BUT THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIMITED AT THIS TIME. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS LESS FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 13:31:40 2003 X-UIDL: 45645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY0030VVAE0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 13:30:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA75V2j8027463 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 13:31:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5Iergn009550; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1739547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA75MlD1085682 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA75MbQS002315 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA75Mb3X002314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311070522.hA75Mb3X002314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN /070600Z-080600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 00:51:12 2003 X-UIDL: 45653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ003G025E0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 15:58:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA77xCj8045430 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 15:59:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJTj047170; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:55:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1740589 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:55:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA77trD1052362 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:55:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA77thQS003607 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:55:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA77thBd003606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:55:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 01:55:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311070755.hA77thBd003606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 070755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU NOV 6 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 00:51:30 2003 X-UIDL: 45661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ005KQ7P6YZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 17:58:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA79x7g2006847 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 17:59:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5Ierkl009550; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 03:55:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1741089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 03:55:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA79tdD1104052 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 03:55:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA79tTQS004680 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 03:55:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA79tSp6004679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 03:55:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 03:55:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311070955.hA79tSp6004679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 070955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 14N162W 09N141W 06N141W 06N157W 03N167W 06N168W 06N173W 09N169W 07N164W 10N160W 12N166W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N172W 30N163W 25N170W 25N176W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 12N178W 09N178W 04N179E 04N174E 09N175E 12N177E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY ..DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU ARE BOUNDED BY 21N173W 18N173W 15N179W 18N180. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE ARE BOUNDED BY 03S171W 05S168W 08S167W 16S173W 08S171E 05S171E 08S175W. CONVECTION WEST OF THE DATELINE HAS MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. CONVECTION EAST OF THE DATELINE HAS MOVED EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 16S179W 17S169W 25S160W 25S178W. FEATURE MOVING SLOWLY EAST NORTH OF 20S...AND EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT SOUTH OF 20S. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S143W 20S144W 18S150W 11S150W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 00:51:36 2003 X-UIDL: 45664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ005458BIYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 18:11:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7ACLPR059739 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 18:12:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJUn047170; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:07:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1741146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:07:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7A7JD1067590 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:07:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7A79QS004818 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:07:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7A78lK004817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:07:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:07:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311071007.hA7A78lK004817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 071007 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 07 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 15N117W AT 07/0600 UTC MOVING W AT 10 KT WITH A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1010 MB. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 88W/89W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N128W AND EXTENDS SW TO 30N134W THEN NW OUT OF THE REGION NEAR 31N140W. ..WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 27N140W E TO 28N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0945 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH LITTLE ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N118.5W TO 17.5N115.5W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N88W 7N109W 12N116W 12N126W 8N134W 8N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 106W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 127W TO 131W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 83W...WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 109W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 130W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 102W...WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 138W...AND WITHIN 90/120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 128W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 110W TO 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 11.5N89.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 11N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 88.5W AND 91W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 11N97W AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N98.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N TO 5N E OF 79W TO INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N102W TO 11N104W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 00:51:38 2003 X-UIDL: 45667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ0059E9BXYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 18:33:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7AYJg2010369 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 18:34:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJUt047170; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:29:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1741209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:29:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7ATnD1045154 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:29:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7ATdQS004981 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:29:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7ATdGg004980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:29:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:29:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311071029.hA7ATdGg004980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 071029 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS CENTERED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS LESS FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 00:51:46 2003 X-UIDL: 45676-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ005IRIU2YZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 21:58:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7DxYg2029912 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 21:59:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJX3047170; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 07:55:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1742236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 07:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7DtWD1024828 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 07:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7DtLQS006852 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 07:55:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7DtLuH006851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 07:55:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 07:55:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311071355.hA7DtLuH006851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 071355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI NOV 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 00:51:53 2003 X-UIDL: 45680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ005J9OQQYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 00:06:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7G79PR096426 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 00:07:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJbP047170; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 09:56:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1743591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 09:56:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7FuPD1013296 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 09:56:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7FuFQS010123 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 09:56:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7FuFs0010122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 09:56:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 09:56:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311071556.hA7FuFs0010122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 071556 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 07 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS CENTERED NEAR 15N118W AT 07/1200 UTC DRIFTING NW WITH A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1010 MB. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 90W N OF 7N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ...COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N126W AND EXTENDS SW TO 28N135W THEN NW OUT OF THE REGION NEAR 28N140W. ..WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 25N140W E TO 27N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1530 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 14N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 116W AND 120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 6N90W 9N105W 11N120W 12N126W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 83W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 104W TO 110W AND 128W TO 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:29:55 2003 X-UIDL: 45686-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ00510T33YZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 01:40:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7Hf0g2054518 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 01:41:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJf9047170; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:30:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1744677 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:30:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7HU8D1013232 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:30:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7HTwQS012715 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:29:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7HTvfS012713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:29:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:29:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311071729.hA7HTvfS012713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 071729 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR SATURDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:01 2003 X-UIDL: 45687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ005IGTBQYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 01:45:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7Hk9g2055132 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 01:46:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJfF047170; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:37:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1744714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:37:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7Hb9D1087866 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:37:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7HaxQS012894 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:36:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7Hax8h012892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:36:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:36:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311071736.hA7Hax8h012892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z-081800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 4.7S1 79.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE, WITH DISORGANIZED AND CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES ONLY MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, HOWEVER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/FUKADA/NEWTON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:06 2003 X-UIDL: 45690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ0051STLLYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 01:51:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7Hq9g2055863 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 01:52:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5IerqV009550; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:37:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1744717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:37:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7Hb9D1096920 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:37:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7HaxQS012895 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:36:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7Haxj7012893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:36:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 11:36:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311071736.hA7Haxj7012893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z-081800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 4.7S1 79.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE, WITH DISORGANIZED AND CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES ONLY MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, HOWEVER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED SOMEWHAT IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/FUKADA/NEWTON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:11 2003 X-UIDL: 45697-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ005UWZF9YZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:57:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7JvxPR023483 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:58:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5IertV009550; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 13:50:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1746485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 13:50:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7JobD1048782 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 13:50:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7JoRQS017260 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 13:50:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7JoRV4017259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 13:50:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 13:50:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311071950.hA7JoRV4017259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 071950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI NOV 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:27 2003 X-UIDL: 45702-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO0005OC5LUYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 06:10:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7MBWPR040691 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 06:11:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIAEb052070; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 15:55:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1747907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 15:55:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LtWD1031632 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7LtMQS020752 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 15:55:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7LtMCQ020751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 15:55:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 15:55:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311072155.hA7LtMCQ020751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 072155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 09N144W 08N160W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N158W 12N165W MOVED WEST 5-10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK LOW...NEAR 28N172W MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. TROUGH EXTENDS NORTHEAST FROM LOW THROUGH 30N167W. SOUTHWESTERLY JET STREAM ALOFT PRODUCING AREA OF BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 140 NM OF LINE 20N176W 30N166W. AREA IS STATIONARY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N141W ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER LOW ALOFT. LOW NEARLY STATIONARY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG 25S165W 21S170W 16S180 MOVING EAST SLOWLY. NORTHWESTERLY JET STREAM OVER THE CONVERGENCE ZONE PRODUCING BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 125 NM OF CZ. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST CIRRUS. SEE CONVERGENCE ZONE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE AND CB AREA BELOW. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08S175W 10S166W DRIFTED SOUTH SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:29 2003 X-UIDL: 45703-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO0005AN5ZJYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 06:18:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7MJiPR041544 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 06:19:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIAF3052070; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 16:01:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1747963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 16:01:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7M1WD1038152 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 16:01:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7M1MQS020972 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 16:01:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7M1MEo020971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 16:01:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 16:01:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311072201.hA7M1MEo020971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 072201 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 07 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NEAR 15N119W AT 07/1800 UTC...DRIFTING NW. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE 91W/92W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. CONVECTION IN THE ITCZ. ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N126W TO 28N130W 28N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 100-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. NO DEEP CONVECTION. POSSIBLE SHOWERS IN THIS MULTILAYERED CLOUDINESS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTHWEST OF 26N112W 20N124W 16N140W TO THE 32N126W 28N140W COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2130 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N119W... STRONG CONVECTION IN ONE CELL WITHIN 20-30 NM RADIUS OF 16N119W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 116W AND 120W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 9N93W 8N110W 12N122W 10N131W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 110W...WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 125W...AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:36 2003 X-UIDL: 45707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO0005Z88G9YZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:12:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7NCxg2090934 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:13:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIAJP052070; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 17:05:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1749144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 17:05:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7N5iD1031694 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 17:05:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7N5YQS022138 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 17:05:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7N5Yle022137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 17:05:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 17:05:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311072305.hA7N5Yle022137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 072305 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:44 2003 X-UIDL: 45713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO0005T0FXQYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 09:53:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA81sag2005357 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 09:54:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBIl009560; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 19:50:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1750259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 19:50:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA81ocD1029688 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 19:50:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA81oSQS023892 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 19:50:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA81oSHN023891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 19:50:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 19:50:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311080150.hA81oSHN023891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 080150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI NOV 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45721-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO0005SWLM8YZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 11:56:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA83vIPR076185 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 11:57:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBJd009560; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 21:49:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1750913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 21:49:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA83ncD1029516 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 21:49:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA83nSQS024919 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 21:49:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA83nStQ024918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 21:49:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 21:49:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311080349.hA83nStQ024918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 080349 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 08 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE... NEAR 15N121W AT 08/0000 UTC...MOVING NORTHWEST 5-10 KT. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE 93W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE WESTERNMOST AREA OF CONVECTION...FROM 12.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 91.5W...MIGHT BE FUELED BY THIS WAVE. ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N123W TO 28N130W TO 28N140W. A STATIONARY FRONT STARTS AT 28N140W AND CONTINUES WESTWARD. THE CLOUDINESS WITH THIS FRONT DOES NOT SHOW STRONG SIGNS OF AN ACTIVE COLD FRONT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 100-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. NO DEEP CONVECTION. POSSIBLE SHOWERS IN THIS MULTILAYERED CLOUDINESS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTHWEST OF 25N110 22N122W 17N140W TO THE 30N123W 28N140W COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0300 UTC... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 15N121W... STRONG CONVECTION FROM 15N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 119W AND 121W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 9N97W 10N108W 10N126W 8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 8N TO 9N BETWEEN 134W AND 136W...AND FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 135W AND 137W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 110W...AND WEST OF 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IN TWO CELLS...FROM 11N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 86.5W AND 88W...AND FROM 12.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 91.5W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:52 2003 X-UIDL: 45722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO0005TZM4AYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:07:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA848CPR077416 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:08:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBJj009560; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 22:01:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1750943 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 22:01:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA841GD1029548 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 22:01:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8416QS025028 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 22:01:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8416Sm025027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 22:01:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 22:01:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311080401.hA8416Sm025027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 080401 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 7 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. SOME DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BEFORE THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:31:02 2003 X-UIDL: 45736-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO0005R9X1BYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:03:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8841g2041498 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:04:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627EF052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:00:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1752312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:00:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA880oD1038784 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:00:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA880eQS026829 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:00:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA880eUI026828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:00:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:00:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311080800.hA880eUI026828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 080800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI NOV 7 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:03 2003 X-UIDL: 45742-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO10084F2FDJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 17:59:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8A0Pg2051039 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 18:00:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Ex052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:56:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1752700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:56:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA89u2D1028496 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:56:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA89tqQS027779 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:55:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA89tqRM027778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:55:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:55:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311080955.hA89tqRM027778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 080955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N166W 02N168W 06N177W 08N177W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N156W 08N146W 06N148W 09N159W 11N158W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N145W 08N140W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N169W 30N162W 17N180 20N180 27N172W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14N174W 14N172W 12N167W 11N165W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 13N143E 11N145W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S163W 15S163W 15S172W 13S176W 11S176W 11S172W 08S170W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KT... DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 04S180 13S177W 14S177E 04S177E HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:09 2003 X-UIDL: 45743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO10088N2IWJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 18:01:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8A2Yg2051185 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 18:02:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627F1052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:58:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1752711 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:58:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA89woD1010134 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:58:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA89wdQS027809 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:58:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA89wdf7027808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:58:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 03:58:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311080958.hA89wdf7027808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 080958 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 08 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WILL BE DISCONTINUED ON THE 08/1200 UTC MAP. SEE BELOW FOR THE REMNANT LOW. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0600 UTC... ..A 1012 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...IS CENTERED NEAR 15N124W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 94W N OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N126W AND EXTENDS ALONG 28N131W TO BEYOND 28N140W. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N86W 9N99W 11N107W 7N114W 10N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 141W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 100W AND WITHIN 150/180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 139W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 87W TO 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM THE COAST OF COLOMBIA TO 80W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 111W AND WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 18N118W TO 14N121W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 79W TO 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 3N80W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 2.5N78W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:12 2003 X-UIDL: 45745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO1008XB6NWJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 19:31:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8BVug2057601 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 19:31:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Fd052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 05:20:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1752933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 05:19:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8BJVD1041184 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 05:19:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8BJLQS028500 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 05:19:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8BJLMV028499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 05:19:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 05:19:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311081119.hA8BJLMV028499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 081119 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NO LONGER SHOWS SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AS IT HAS ENCOUNTERED UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER SANDOVAL/RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:13 2003 X-UIDL: 45751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO1008URC2WJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:28:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8DSuPR029849 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:28:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627GZ052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1753376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8DPhD1104708 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8DPXQS029421 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8DPWcI029419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311081325.hA8DPWcI029419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 081330 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/081330Z-081800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.7S1 79.2E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.1S6 79.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:13 2003 X-UIDL: 45752-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO1008WEC4RJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:29:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8DU2PR029981 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:30:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBNR009560; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1753379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8DPhD1058148 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8DPXQS029422 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8DPX2H029420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:25:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311081325.hA8DPX2H029420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081330 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/081330Z-081800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.7S1 79.2E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.1S6 79.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:16 2003 X-UIDL: 45755-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO10085BDIWJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:59:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8E08g2069749 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 22:00:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBNX009560; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:55:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1753485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:55:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8DtLD1103794 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:55:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8DtAQS029627 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:55:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8DtATx029626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:55:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 07:55:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311081355.hA8DtATx029626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 081355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT NOV 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:18 2003 X-UIDL: 45758-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO10088FIOPJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 23:50:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8FpVg2079427 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 23:51:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBP9009560; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 09:47:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1754220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 09:47:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8Fl0D1052446 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 09:47:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8FknQS000528 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 09:46:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8FknFJ000527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 09:46:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 09:46:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311081546.hA8FknFJ000527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 081546 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 08 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/1200 UTC... ..A 1012 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 15N123W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 95W N OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N90W 8N100W 10N110W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 137W-144W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-8N BETWEEN 84W-86W ..FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 90W-93W...AND FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 99W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 77W-80W...AND FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 129W-132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-12N BETWEEN 95W-98W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:19 2003 X-UIDL: 45759-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO1008U2NGVJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 01:34:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8HYqPR052794 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 01:34:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Kn052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 11:31:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1755080 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 11:31:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8HVfD1052230 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 11:31:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8HVVQS001631 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 11:31:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8HVVXZ001630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 11:31:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 11:31:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311081731.hA8HVVXZ001630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 081731 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 1050 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA HAVE DIMINISHED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:19 2003 X-UIDL: 45761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO1008CNPKHJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:19:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8IKIPR056783 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:20:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBNh036144; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1755471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8IHFD1040960 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8IH4QS002059 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8IH4Jc002057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311081817.hA8IH4Jc002057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z-091800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.1S6 79.4E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:19 2003 X-UIDL: 45762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO1008FWPNGJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:21:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8IM4PR056964 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:22:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Lb052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1755468 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8IHFD1024688 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8IH5QS002060 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8IH4pZ002058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 12:17:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311081817.hA8IH4pZ002058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z-091800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.1S6 79.4E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:21 2003 X-UIDL: 45766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO1008R6TKEJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:45:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8Jkeg2001243 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:46:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Nf052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 13:40:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1756230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 13:40:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8JedD1024592 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 13:40:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8JeSQS002855 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 13:40:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8JeS3R002854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 13:40:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 13:40:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311081940.hA8JeS3R002854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 081940 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT NOV 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:22 2003 X-UIDL: 45768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO1008RZYDGJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:29:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8LUSg2011037 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:30:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8626vf047190; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:18:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1757155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:18:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8LIXD1041122 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:18:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8LIMQS003719 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:18:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8LIMsB003718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:18:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:18:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311082118.hA8LIMsB003718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PHNC 082130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 082121ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080421ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 080430)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.3N9 120.7W0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 124.0W7, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND. RECENT MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY TRACKING TO THE NORTHWEST INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:22 2003 X-UIDL: 45769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO10080PYIHJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:32:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8LXTg2011263 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:33:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBPh036144; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:30:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1757365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:30:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8LUjD1016562 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:30:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8LUZQS003798 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:30:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8LUZbv003797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:30:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:30:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311082130.hA8LUZbv003797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 082130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 08 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/1800 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW IS NEAR 15N124W. THE LOW HAS LOST ORGANIZATION SINCE YESTERDAY PRIMARILY DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ALL TSTM ACTIVITY IS DISPLACED WELL TO THE NE AWAY FROM THE CENTER. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 118W-122W. ..TROPICAL WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA ALONG 80W N OF 5N. WAVE IS ENHANCING ITCZ CONVECTION. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 97W N OF 8N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS IS A DISORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH JUST AN ISOLATED TSTM COMPLEX NEAR 11N97W. ..WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA N OF THE ITCZ SAVE FOR THE LOW NEAR 124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 11N101W 9N112W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 79W-82W AND 84W-88W SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 101W-104W AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 128W-132W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 93W-99W PLUS 109W-113W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 132W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF TSTMS ARE MOVING OFF THE W COAST OF GUATEMALA AND SE MEXICO N OF 13.5N BETWEEN 91W-93W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:22 2003 X-UIDL: 45770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO100835YKRJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:34:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8LYrPR074989 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:34:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627QZ052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:33:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1757400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:33:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8LX6D1031510 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:33:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8LWuQS003819 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:32:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8LWu5J003818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:32:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 15:32:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311082132.hA8LWu5J003818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 082132 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...09N140W 07N150W 09N160W 09N168W 06N171W 08N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB AND OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 11N143W 09N140W 06N140W 07N146W 09N146W 11N143W HAS MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100NM OF ITCZ WEST OF 146W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. FRONT...28N140W 29N149W 30N152W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. SHOWERY BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. TROUGH...30N164W 19N180. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF LINES 30N164W 29N165W AND 26N169W 15N171W AND WITHIN 30NM OF LINE 19N179W 18N180 AND EXTENDING WEST OF 180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 100NM OF TROUGH HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE...TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... OCCASIONAL TCU AND SHOWERY BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 17N162W 18N163W 19N165W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND DECREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 11N168W 13N170W 14N174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... TROUGH...25S152W 14S171W AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S. ISOLATED TCU AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 75NM OF TROUGH HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 20KT AND DECREASED IN AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF OCCASIONAL TCU AND ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 07S173W 10S158W 16S160W 14S169W 07S173W HAVE MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15KT AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:22 2003 X-UIDL: 45771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008TU05UJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 06:08:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8M98g2014105 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 06:09:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627RX052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:05:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1757754 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:05:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8M54D1027370 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:05:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8M4rQS004119 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:04:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8M4rSv004117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:04:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:04:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311082204.hA8M4rSv004117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 082230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/082230Z-091800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.3E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING INTO A POSSIBLE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION SUPPORTING THE OBSERVED RADIAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO GOOD. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:22 2003 X-UIDL: 45772-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008VR07QJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 06:09:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8MAGg2014217 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 06:10:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBPx036144; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:05:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1757757 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:05:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8M54D1101732 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:05:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8M4rQS004120 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:04:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8M4ra9004118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:04:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:04:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311082204.hA8M4ra9004118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 082230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/082230Z-091800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.3E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING INTO A POSSIBLE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION SUPPORTING THE OBSERVED RADIAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO GOOD. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:23 2003 X-UIDL: 45773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO20088W0LGJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 06:17:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8MIUGZ001121 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 06:18:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Rj052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1757880 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8MFuD1029472 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8MFjQS004230 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8MFjWg004228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311082215.hA8MFjWg004228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 082230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/082230Z-091800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/082152NOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.3E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING INTO A POSSIBLE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION SUPPORTING THE OBSERVED RADIAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 082200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO GOOD. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:23 2003 X-UIDL: 45774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008B60NWJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 06:19:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8MJwGZ001200 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 06:19:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBUV009560; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1757883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8MFuD1003898 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8MFkQS004231 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8MFjHM004229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:15:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311082215.hA8MFjHM004229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 082230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/082230Z-091800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/082152NOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.3E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING INTO A POSSIBLE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION SUPPORTING THE OBSERVED RADIAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 082200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO GOOD. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:23 2003 X-UIDL: 45775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008EE0OSJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 06:19:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8MKURs000755 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 06:20:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Rn052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:17:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1757902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:17:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8MH5D1086834 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:17:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8MGsQS004240 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:16:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8MGsQv004239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:16:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:16:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311082216.hA8MGsQv004239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS21 PGTW 082200 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 082200ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4.6S0 79.5E1 TO 7.8S5 76.6E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 111730Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.1E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.3E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING INTO A POSSIBLE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION SUPPORTING THE OBSERVED RADIAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 092152Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:23 2003 X-UIDL: 45776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008MB3BEJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 07:16:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8NHGGZ005388 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 07:17:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627SX052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 17:10:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1758341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 17:10:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8NAKD1027280 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 17:10:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8NA9QS004701 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 17:10:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8NA95x004700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 17:10:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 17:10:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311082310.hA8NA95x004700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 082310 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:32 2003 X-UIDL: 45784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008WPA4UJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 09:43:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA91iWGZ016360 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 09:44:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627V7052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 19:40:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1759376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 19:40:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA91eaD1077270 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 19:40:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA91ePQS005938 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 19:40:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA91ePwY005937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 19:40:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 19:40:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090140.hA91ePwY005937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 090140 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT NOV 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:33 2003 X-UIDL: 45789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008SIBWLJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 10:21:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA92MgGZ019760 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 10:22:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Vh052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1759651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA92JGD1038392 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA92J6QS006327 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA92J6oG006325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090219.hA92J6oG006325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 090230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/090230Z-091800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/082152NOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 3.6N9 83.2E3 OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).A RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING ON THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF GOOD DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.3E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING INTO A POSSIBLE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION SUPPORTING THE OBSERVED RADIAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 082200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:33 2003 X-UIDL: 45790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008U5BY5JK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 10:22:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA92NfGZ019825 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 10:23:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBWj009560; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1759654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA92JGD1085510 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA92J6QS006328 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA92J6Db006326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:19:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090219.hA92J6Db006326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 090230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/090230Z-091800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/082152NOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 3.6N9 83.2E3 OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).A RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING ON THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF GOOD DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.3E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING INTO A POSSIBLE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A POINT SOURCE OVER THE REGION SUPPORTING THE OBSERVED RADIAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 082200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:34 2003 X-UIDL: 45793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008RGF5WJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:32:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA93X6Rs022251 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:33:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627WJ052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:29:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1760035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:29:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA93TSD1058252 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:29:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA93THQS006926 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:29:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA93THia006925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:29:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 21:29:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090329.hA93THia006925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 090329 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 09 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/0000 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW IS NEAR 15N125W. FEATURE APPEARS TO BE FALLING APART WITH ANY DEEP CONVECTION FAR REMOVED FROM THE CENTER. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 118W-122W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE IN THE ITCZ ONLY. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 98W N OF 8N MOVING W 10 KT. THIS IS AN ILL-DEFINED WAVE WITH ONLY A CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 12N99W MARKING THE LOCATION. ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA FROM 32N128W TO 28N140W. SCATTERED LOW CLOUDS BEHIND THE FRONT. OTHERWISE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA N OF THE ITCZ SAVE THE LOW NEAR 125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 11N103W 10N127W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 127W-132W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N W OF 134W AND FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 108W-115W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-96W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN LINE OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF 9N86W 12N88W 13N91W 14N95W. CLUSTER OF MODERATE IS NEAR 2.5N79W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:34 2003 X-UIDL: 45794-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008NUGPEJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 12:05:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA946RRs024813 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 12:06:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627WZ052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 22:01:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1760188 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 22:01:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9410D1049356 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 22:01:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA940oQS007229 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 22:00:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA940oI1007228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 22:00:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 22:00:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090400.hA940oI1007228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 090400 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 8 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:35 2003 X-UIDL: 45803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO2008WOR9WJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:53:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA97skRs042555 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:54:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627ZT052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 01:50:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1761972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 01:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA97oQD1101824 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 01:50:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA97oGQS009047 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 01:50:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA97oGxu009046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 01:50:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 01:50:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090750.hA97oGxu009046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 090750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT NOV 8 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:36 2003 X-UIDL: 45807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO200AJ7TM6IX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 16:44:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA98jKGZ049803 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 16:45:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Zv052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:38:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1762154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:38:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA98cDD1031512 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:38:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA98c2QS009391 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:38:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA98c2I4009390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:38:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:38:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090838.hA98c2I4009390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 090900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082200ZNOV2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 5.9S4 78.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.9S4 78.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 6.6S2 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 7.2S9 77.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.8S5 77.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 8.5S3 77.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 6.1S7 78.6E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS ALONG A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 14 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 082200Z NOV 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 082152) NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 AND 100900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:36 2003 X-UIDL: 45808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO200AZ6TWAIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 16:50:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA98pIRs046825 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 16:51:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Zx052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:48:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1762203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:48:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA98mPD1016448 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:48:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA98mEQS009461 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:48:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA98mEjn009458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:48:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:48:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090848.hA98mEjn009458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO21 PGTW 090830 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 090821Z NOV 03// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 2.7N9 78.3E8 TO 3.3N6 83.9E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 090600Z5 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 83.2E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.6N9 83.2E3 IS RELOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 83.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 100830Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:36 2003 X-UIDL: 45810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO200A37UOKIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:07:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA998MRs048152 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:08:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBZl009560; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1762293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA994nD1038710 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA994dQS009769 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA994cw7009767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090904.hA994cw7009767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 090900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/090900Z-091800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090751NOV2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090821NOV2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.6N9 83.2E3 IS RELOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 83.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTIO21 090830 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED NEAR 5.9S4 78.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, WAS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 090900 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.1E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARAS 1.B.(1) AND 2.A.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/NOREN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:37 2003 X-UIDL: 45811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO200A55UQJIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:08:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA999SGZ051809 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:09:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627a7052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1762290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA994nD1028656 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA994cQS009768 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA994cX6009766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:04:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090904.hA994cX6009766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 090900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/090900Z-091800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090751NOV2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090821NOV2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.6N9 83.2E3 IS RELOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 83.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTIO21 090830 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED NEAR 5.9S4 78.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, WAS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 090900 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0S5 79.1E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARAS 1.B.(1) AND 2.A.(1). 4. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/NOREN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:38 2003 X-UIDL: 45813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO200A1QX3QIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:59:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9A0bRs052357 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 18:00:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBaH009560; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1762627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA99tZD1101664 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA99tPQS010188 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:55:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA99tPVI010187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:55:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:55:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090955.hA99tPVI010187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 090955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175-200 NM OF LINE 09N146W 09N155W AND WITHIN 85 NM OF LINE 09N158W 09N164W MOVED WEST 10-15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120-150 NM OF LINE 05N173W 07N180 MOVED WEST 12 KT AND MOSTLY DISSIPATED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... JET STREAM...125 NM OF LINE 18N178W 30N162W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS/SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 18N180 30N164W DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 25S150W 15S165W 11S175W 10S180 MOVING EAST 10-15 KT. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF CZ. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:38 2003 X-UIDL: 45814-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO200A8UX8DIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 18:02:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9A3PGZ056030 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 18:03:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627af052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:59:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1762648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:59:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA99xSD1027380 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:59:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA99xHQS010220 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:59:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA99xHXI010219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:59:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 03:59:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090959.hA99xHXI010219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 090959 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 09 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 98W/99W S OF 13N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 19N123W THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 16N126W TO 11N129W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 33N124W ALONG 28N131W TO BEYOND 27N140W. ..WEAK 1022 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 28N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N89W 8N100W 12N112W 7N120W 9N130W 12N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/57 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 113W TO 116W AND WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 119W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 123W...124W TO 126W...FROM 127W TO 130W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 87W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 113W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF A LINE FROM JUST OFF THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR NEAR 13N89W TO 11N90W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N85W TO 10N88W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 6.5N81W TO ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 8N82W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF 10.5N FROM 88W TO 90W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN A 45/60 NM RADIUS OF 11N101W AND WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 16.5N125.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:38 2003 X-UIDL: 45815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300AFY1LBIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 19:36:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9BbZGZ063553 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 19:37:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627bV052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:34:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1763240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:34:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9BY6D1069566 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:34:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9BXuQS010925 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:33:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9BXtkP010924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:33:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 05:33:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311091133.hA9BXtkP010924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 091133 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:39 2003 X-UIDL: 45819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300ATY7WNIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 21:53:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9DrxRs070387 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 21:54:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627dd052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 07:50:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1764353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 07:50:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9DoSD1039050 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 07:50:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9DoHQS011879 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 07:50:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9DoHme011878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 07:50:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 07:50:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311091350.hA9DoHme011878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 091350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:40 2003 X-UIDL: 45823-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300A7BDAKIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 23:49:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9FoEGZ085891 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 23:50:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627fx052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 09:44:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1765557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 09:44:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9FiMD1040984 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 09:44:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9FiCQS012762 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 09:44:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9FiCSa012761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 09:44:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 09:44:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311091544.hA9FiCSa012761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 091544 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 09 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 83W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 100W S OF 13N MOVING W 5-10 KT. ..A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 20N123W THROUGH A 1011 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 16N127W TO 10N129W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N123W TO 27N130W 25N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N90W 7N110W 8N120W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 124W-126W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 85W-87W...FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 84W-90W...AND FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 116W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE LINE 13N100W 10N104W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:40 2003 X-UIDL: 45827-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300AN3H4ZIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:12:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9HDMGZ093526 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:13:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627id052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1766271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9H9AD1099266 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9H90QS013417 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9H90od013416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311091709.hA9H90od013416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 091709 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:40 2003 X-UIDL: 45828-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300AO3H64IX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:13:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9HE2Rs089493 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:14:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627ij052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1766280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9H9WD1016480 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9H9MQS013433 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9H9Mlw013431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311091709.hA9H9Mlw013431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z-101800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090751ZNOV2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090821ZNOV2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 83.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 83.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT 091404Z8 SSM/I PASS INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN SSMI PASS SHOW THAT A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) STILL EXISTS AND CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO REESTABLISH OVER THE LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTIO21 090830 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO THE EXISTENCE OF REEMERGING CONVECTION OVER A WELL ESTABLISHED LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED NEAR 5.9S4 78.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, WAS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 090900 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45829-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300AR0H7EIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:14:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9HEjRs089554 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:14:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA961vIn036146; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1766283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9H9WD1005300 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9H9MQS013432 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9H9Mml013430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 11:09:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311091709.hA9H9Mml013430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z-101800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090751ZNOV2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090821ZNOV2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 83.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 83.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT 091404Z8 SSM/I PASS INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN SSMI PASS SHOW THAT A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) STILL EXISTS AND CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO REESTABLISH OVER THE LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTIO21 090830 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO THE EXISTENCE OF REEMERGING CONVECTION OVER A WELL ESTABLISHED LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED NEAR 5.9S4 78.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, WAS TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 090900 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45831-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300A49NODIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 03:33:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9JYbGZ007664 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 03:34:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627mt052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:31:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1767866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:31:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9JUYD1101652 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:30:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9JUNQS014489 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:30:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9JUNSR014488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:30:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:30:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311091930.hA9JUNSR014488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 091930 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300ANGO0MIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 03:41:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9Jg1GZ008251 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 03:42:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627n5052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:36:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1767967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:36:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9Ja3D1049704 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:36:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9JZqQS014552 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:35:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9JZqqB014551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:35:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 13:35:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311091935.hA9JZqqB014551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTXS31 PGTW 092100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 6.8S4 77.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.8S4 77.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 7.6S3 76.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 8.0S8 75.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 8.2S0 75.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 8.7S5 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 7.0S7 77.2E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS ALONG A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE APPROACH OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL CAUSE TC 02S TO SLOW DOWN NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 AND 102100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:42 2003 X-UIDL: 45837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300AIETLXIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 05:41:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9LgmGZ019180 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 05:42:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBjj009560; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:36:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1768963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:36:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9LaKD1008380 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:36:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9La9QS015594 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:36:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9La9uX015593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:36:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:36:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311092136.hA9La9uX015593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 092136 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...089N140W 08N150W 06N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. AREA OF ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS BOUNDED BY 13N159W 11N149W 08N154W 07N162W HAS MOVED WEST AT 20KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE. AREA OF ISOLATED CB AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS EXTENDING ACROSS THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 09N179E 05N176W 02N176W 06N175E HAS MOVED WEST AT 10KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN SIZE. FRONT 1...26N140W 23N142W 30N155W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND NORTH OF 30N. SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 80NM NORTH OF FRONT EAST OF 150W AND BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 120NM NORTHEAST OF FRONT WEST OF 150W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 12 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. FRONT 2/CONVERGENCE LINE...FRONT 30N167W 29N168 EXTENDING NORTH OF 30N AND CONTINUING AS CONVERGENCE LINE TO 24N 178W. SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 100NM NORTHWEST OF FRONT/CONVERGENCE LINE HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE...FRONT 2/CONVERGENCE LINE. ALSO...ISOLATED CB OCCASIONAL TCU AND SHOWERY BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 40NM OF LINE 19N168W 21N168W 23N170W HAVE MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 15KT AND INTENSIFIED. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 25NM OF LINE 12N171W 13N178W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND DECREASED IN AREA. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT 25S131W 21S140W AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 60NM OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. TROUGH...EXTENDING ACROSS DATELINE 10S167W 05S177E. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 06S171W 10S170W 12S173W 10S180 07S179W HAS MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 70NM OF POINT 10S165W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 20NM OF LINE 15S179W 14S180. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:42 2003 X-UIDL: 45838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300ALSTQDIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 05:44:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9LjSGZ019415 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 05:45:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627pZ052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:40:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1769003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:40:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9Le5D1039060 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:40:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9LdtQS015644 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:39:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9Ldt3u015643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:39:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 15:39:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311092139.hA9Ldt3u015643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 092139 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 09 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 84W/85W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. MOST OF THE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS IN THE ATLC BASIN BUT THERE IS ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 84W-87W IN THE EPAC. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 101W S OF 13N MOVING W 10 KT. SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE AHEAD OF THE WAVE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 101W-105W. ..TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 20N124W TO 8N131W. THE LOW PREVIOUSLY ALONG THE TROUGH HAS DISSIPATED. A FEW TSTMS ARE NEAR 18.5N126.5W. ..WEAKENING COLD FRONT IS FROM 31N124W TO 25N140W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS BEHIND THE FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N100W 8N120W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-92W AND 123W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 8N102W 9N108W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 100/120 NM OF LINE 7N122W 11N117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 95W FROM 9N-12N. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 114W-118W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:43 2003 X-UIDL: 45840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300B48Z2WOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:40:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9NexGZ029018 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:41:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627tX052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:35:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1770390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:35:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9NZND1017156 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:35:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9NZCQS016706 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:35:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9NZCcp016705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:35:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 17:35:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311092335.hA9NZCcp016705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 092335 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:43 2003 X-UIDL: 45844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400B6T4AUOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 09:32:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA1XjGZ039333 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 09:33:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBo1009560; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 19:30:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1771626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 19:30:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA1UjD1045170 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 19:30:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA1UYQS017615 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 19:30:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA1UYoP017614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 19:30:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 19:30:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100130.hAA1UYoP017614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 100130 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT NOV 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:44 2003 X-UIDL: 45849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400B1I6EEOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 10:18:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA2IvRs035929 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 10:19:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627xt052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:12:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1772222 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:12:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA2CtD1030434 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:12:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA2CiQS017998 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:12:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA2CibE017997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:12:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:12:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100212.hAA2CibE017997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 6.8S4 77.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.8S4 77.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 7.2S9 76.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 7.7S4 74.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 7.8S5 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.9S6 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 6.9S5 76.9E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION OF TC 02S WITH SPIRAL BANDS BECOMING MORE PRONOUNCED. THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE AND CURRENT STORM MOTION SHOWS THAT TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK CLOSER TO DIEGO GARCIA THAN WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS ALONG A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE APPROACH OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL CAUSE TC 02S SLOW DOWN NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. RECURVATURE OF TC 02C TO THE SOUTHEAST IS STILL EXPECTED BUT NOT UNTIL AFTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0, 101500Z7, 102100Z4 AND 110300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:46 2003 X-UIDL: 45857-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400BCR9FMOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:23:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA3OZGZ051730 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:24:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86271L052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 21:20:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1772757 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 21:20:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA3KpD1104846 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 21:20:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA3KeQS018514 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 21:20:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA3KeWV018513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 21:20:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 21:20:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100320.hAA3KeWV018513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 100320 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 10 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 85W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. A CLUSTER OF STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12.5N88W COULD BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N86.5W. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 103W S OF 13N MOVING W 15 KT. SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE AHEAD OF THE WAVE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 103W-107W. ..1008 MB HAS FORMED NEAR 11N117W FROM A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE MOVING W 15 KT. THERE IS SOME MODEST ROTATION ON SATELLITE PICTURES WITH HINTS OF BANDING FEATURES. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 117W-121W. ..TROUGH IS FROM 20N127W TO 11N131W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..SECOND TROUGH IS FROM 31N127W 26N132W 25N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ONLY. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N100W 9N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8.5N-10.5N BETWEEN 118W-121W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7.5N-10N BETWEEN 103W-110W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 91W-101W AND 128W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NARROW BAND OF MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 14.5N112W 13.5N117.5W. CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 95W-98W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR 24N123W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 14:33:24 2003 X-UIDL: 45866-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400BAGFQMOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 13:39:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA5elGZ065737 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 13:40:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86274F052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 23:32:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1773608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 23:32:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA5WYD1038260 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 23:32:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA5WNQS019447 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 23:32:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA5WN1c019446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 23:32:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 23:32:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100532.hAA5WN1c019446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 100532 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 9 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 15:03:27 2003 X-UIDL: 45870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400BVTI5POY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:32:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA6X0Rs062239 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:33:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86275n052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:30:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1774209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:30:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA6U8D1045680 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:30:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA6TwQS019809 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:29:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA6Tw4u019807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:29:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:29:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100629.hAA6Tw4u019807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 100600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 10/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 2 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.3S / 76.1E (SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS BETWEEN 04 AND 10 SOUTH, FROM 70 TO 85 EAST. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT, AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/10 AT 18 UTC: +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 15:03:28 2003 X-UIDL: 45871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400B13I70OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:33:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA6XpRs062321 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:33:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86275r052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:31:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1774223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:31:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA6VBD1045732 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:31:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA6V1QS019847 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:31:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA6V0Tn019845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:31:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 00:31:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100631.hAA6V0Tn019845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 100600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/2/20032004 1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 2 2.A POSITION 2003/11/10 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.3S / 76.1E (SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0- POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION IS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 15:29:40 2003 X-UIDL: 45876-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400BNVKP2OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:27:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA7RrGZ078206 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:27:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBsF009560; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1774495 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA7KcD1099270 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA7KRQS020160 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA7KRJV020158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100720.hAA7KRJV020158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN /100600Z-110600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/NOREN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 15:58:00 2003 X-UIDL: 45881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400BJJLYKOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:54:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA7t8Rs071988 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:55:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86276r052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:50:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1774621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:50:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA7oTD1016866 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:50:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA7oJQS020338 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:50:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA7oJkA020337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:50:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:50:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100750.hAA7oJkA020337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 100750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN NOV 9 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 16:16:30 2003 X-UIDL: 45884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400BV3MV0OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 16:13:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA8EcRs074797 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 16:14:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86277D052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:08:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1774738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:08:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA88sD1069440 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:08:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA88hQS020464 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:08:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA88hYC020463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:08:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:08:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100808.hAA88hYC020463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 100900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 7.1S8 76.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.1S8 76.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.5S2 74.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 7.8S5 73.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 8.0S8 73.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 8.2S0 72.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 9.6S5 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 7.2S9 75.6E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 MULTI- SPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 30 AND 35 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION WITH SPIRAL BANDING BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE LOW LEVEL. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 TO 48 HOURS AND THEN MORE POLEWARD BY 72 HOURS ALONG A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AND UKMET (EGRR) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7, 102100Z4, 110300Z5 AND 110900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 16:44:29 2003 X-UIDL: 45887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400B17NJDOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 16:28:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA8TGGZ086651 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 16:29:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBsb009560; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:26:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1774779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:26:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA8Q9D1010016 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:26:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA8PwQS020581 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:25:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA8PwZc020579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:25:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:25:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100825.hAA8PwZc020579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO21 PGTW 100830 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100821Z NOV 03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090821Z NOV 03// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 090830)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 3.0N3 76.7E0 TO 2.3N5 82.2E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 100600Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 2.4N6 81.4E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 83.8E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.4N6 81.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS BEEN FOLLOWING A DIURNAL TREND. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 110830Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 18:03:40 2003 X-UIDL: 45896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400B6HRSDOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:00:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAA11Rs086256 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:01:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA862785052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1775234 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA9tZD1016872 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 03:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA9tPQS021453 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 03:55:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA9tPT6021452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 03:55:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 03:55:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100955.hAA9tPT6021452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 100955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 95 NM OF LINE 09N150W 08N166W 08N174W IS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 12N173W 13N180 MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 30N167W 26N173W 24N180. CLOUD BAND ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH NORTH OF 28N AND A SHEAR LINE SOUTH OF 28W. ISOLATED CB/TCU FORMING ALONG THE SHEAR LINE WEST OF 173W. TROUGH/SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. AREA OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/BROKEN CIRRUS WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 21N174W 30N162W STATIONARY. SOUTHWESTERLY JET STREAM FLOWING ACROSS THE AREA. BRIEF CB FORMING OCCASIONALLY WITHIN THIS AREA. JOHNSTON ISLAND... BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 100 NM OF 17N167W MOVING WEST 15 KT. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S130W 25S138W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 23S151W. FRONT/SHEAR LINE MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE EAST OF 143W. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE WEST OF 143W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... WEAK UPPER LOW...NEAR 12S178W MOVED EAST-SOUTHEAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 350 NM NORTHEAST...EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LOW DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY WHILE MOVING SOUTHEAST 20 KT. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10S169W 13S163W MOVED SOUTHWEST 5-10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:20 2003 X-UIDL: 45897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400BVJS1DOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:05:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAA6RGZ096782 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:06:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBt5009560; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 04:03:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1775311 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 04:03:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAA3gD1034950 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 04:03:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAA3WQS021563 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 04:03:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAA3W4e021562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 04:03:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 04:03:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101003.hAAA3W4e021562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 101003 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 10 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 85W/86W N OF 5N MOVING W 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 104W/105W S OF 13N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N118W DRIFTING WEST. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9N132W TO 16N129W. ..A 1019 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 25N120W. ..A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N124W ALONG 25N130W TO JUST BEYOND 21N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N84W 7N103W 11N110W 8N114W 11N122W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 123W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N119W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 10N122W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 113W...FROM 133W TO 139W...WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 119W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 9N123W TO THE AXIS NEAR 11N123W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 94W AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75/90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N...WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10N92W TO 13N90W...AND WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N96W TO 12N94W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N FROM 100W TO 105W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG A LINE FROM 6.5N81W TO THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 8N82W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:31 2003 X-UIDL: 45902-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400B6UW5DOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 19:34:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAABZERs095280 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 19:35:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86278X052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 05:30:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1775546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 05:30:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAABUkD1069556 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 05:30:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAABUaQS022147 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 05:30:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAABUa4g022146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 05:30:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 05:30:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101130.hAABUa4g022146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 101130 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:33 2003 X-UIDL: 45904-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400B3DY3DOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:16:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAACHFGZ010038 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:17:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86278j052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:14:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1775686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:14:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAACEMD1038540 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:14:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAACECQS022480 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:14:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAACEChq022478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:14:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:14:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101214.hAACEChq022478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 101200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 2.A POSITION 2003/11/10 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.3S / 75.7E (SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/11 00 UTC: 07.4S/74.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/11 12 UTC: 07.5S/73.5E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/11/12 00 UTC: 07.8S/72.6E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/11/12 12 UTC: 08.3S/72.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/11/13 00 UTC: 09.0S/72.8E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/11/13 12 UTC: 09.8S/73.4E, MAX WIND=045KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION IS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:34 2003 X-UIDL: 45905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400B3OY3QOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:16:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAACHTRs099495 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:17:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86278l052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:15:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1775701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:15:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAACFMD1030282 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:15:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAACFCQS022493 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:15:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAACFCD4022491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:15:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 06:15:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101215.hAACFCD4022491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 101200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 10/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.3S / 75.7E (SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS BETWEEN 04 AND 10 SOUTH, FROM 70 TO 85 EAST. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25 KT, AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/11 AT 00 UTC: 7.4S / 74.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/11 AT 12 UTC: 7.5S / 73.5E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:36 2003 X-UIDL: 45909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BAO2HAOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 21:51:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAADq1GZ019754 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 21:52:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Ap052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:46:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1776399 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:46:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAADkXD1009902 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:46:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAADkMQS023252 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:46:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAADkMuS023251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:46:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:46:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101346.hAADkMuS023251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 101500 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 7.4S1 75.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.4S1 75.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 7.6S3 74.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 7.8S5 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 8.0S8 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 8.3S1 71.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 9.9S8 71.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 7.4S1 75.1E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS INCREASED IN SPEED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 TO 48 HOURS ALONG A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 48 HOURS, TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TURN POLEWARD AS THE STEERING RIDGE BECOMES ORIENTED MORE NORTH-SOUTH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, UKMET (EGRR), AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4, 110300Z5, 110900Z1 AND 111500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:36 2003 X-UIDL: 45910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BQM2N9OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 21:54:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAADtaGZ020210 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 21:55:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Ar052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:50:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1776419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:50:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAADoRD1069574 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAADoHQS023288 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:50:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAADoHvS023287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:50:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 07:50:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101350.hAADoHvS023287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 101350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON NOV 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:39 2003 X-UIDL: 45916-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BJE9EAOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:20:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAGLNGZ037773 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:21:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIH9052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 10:05:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1778275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 10:05:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAG5bD1047222 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 10:05:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAG5QQS026797 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 10:05:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAG5QAB026796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 10:05:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 10:05:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101605.hAAG5QAB026796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 101605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 10 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/1200 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N119W...NEAR THE ITCZ...DRIFTING WEST AND FORECAST TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ..TROPICAL WAVE 86W/87W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..TROPICAL WAVE 105W/106W SOUTH OF 16N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ..1018 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 10N110W 10N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 101W AND 104W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE REST OF THE AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION ALONG COLOMBIA COAST FROM 2.5N TO 4N BETWEEN 77.5W AND 78.5W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BQKD9MOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 01:44:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAHj1Rs039342 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 01:45:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIMf052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:27:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1779685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:27:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAHRnD1069454 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:27:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAHRdQS029244 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:27:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAHRdD5029243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:27:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:27:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101727.hAAHRdD5029243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 101727 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BUFE8NOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:05:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAI62Rs041797 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:06:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIB35009560; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:56:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1780187 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:56:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAHu5D1099226 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:56:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAHtsQS000139 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:55:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAHtsbm000137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:55:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:55:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101755.hAAHtsbm000137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z-111800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/101351ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/100821ZNOV03// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 83.8E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.4N6 81.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS BEEN FOLLOWING A DIURNAL TREND. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 100830) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 66.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE AREA IS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND HAS WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY DEPICTS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.4S1 75.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND WAS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINEDWINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:42 2003 X-UIDL: 45925-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BVBE90OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:05:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAI6FRs041816 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:06:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIOD052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:56:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1780190 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:56:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAHu5D1059416 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:56:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAHtsQS000138 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:55:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAHtsiL000136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:55:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 11:55:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101755.hAAHtsiL000136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z-111800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/101351ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/100821ZNOV03// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 83.8E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.4N6 81.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS BEEN FOLLOWING A DIURNAL TREND. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTIO21 PGTW 100830) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 66.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE AREA IS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND HAS WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY DEPICTS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.4S1 75.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND WAS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINEDWINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:42 2003 X-UIDL: 45926-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BWNERPOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:16:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAIHSGZ052539 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:17:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIQn052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:13:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1780844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:13:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAID6D1004082 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:13:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAICtQS000719 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:12:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAICt7V000717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:12:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:12:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101812.hAAICt7V000717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 101800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 2.A POSITION 2003/11/10 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.3S / 75.3E (SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 100 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/11 06 UTC: 07.5S/74.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/11 18 UTC: 07.6S/73.5E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/11/12 06 UTC: 08.0S/72.4E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/11/12 18 UTC: 08.5S/72.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/11/13 06 UTC: 09.1S/72.8E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/11/13 18 UTC: 10.0S/73.2E, MAX WIND=045KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS INTENSIFYING. CDO HAS FORMED ABOVE TH ELOW LEVEL CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:42 2003 X-UIDL: 45927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BZJET5OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:17:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAIIKRs042963 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:18:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIQd052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:11:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1780769 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:11:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAIB5D1038250 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:11:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAIAsQS000650 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:10:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAIAsjF000648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:10:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 12:10:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 10/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101810.hAAIAsjF000648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 101800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 10/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.3S / 75.3E (SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE WESTERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/11 AT 06 UTC: 7.5S / 74.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/11 AT 18 UTC: 7.6S / 73.5E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION IS BUILDING UP, SIGN OF INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:48 2003 X-UIDL: 45936-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BJPLP4OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 04:46:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAKl7Rs057941 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 04:47:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIB9l009560; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:39:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1783881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:39:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAKdFD1045334 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:39:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAKd4QS004671 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:39:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAKd4sT004670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:39:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:39:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311102039.hAAKd4sT004670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTXS31 PGTW 102100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 7.4S1 75.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.4S1 75.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 7.5S2 74.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 7.6S3 73.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 7.7S4 72.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 7.9S6 71.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 9.1S0 70.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 07.4S1 075.0E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS REDUCED SPEED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH TAU 48 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 48 HOURS, TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TURN POLEWARD AS THE STEERING RIDGE REORIENTS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5, 110900Z1, 111500Z8 AND 112100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:48 2003 X-UIDL: 45937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BKFOOYOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:50:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAALpnGZ075725 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:51:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIdD052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:39:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1785005 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:39:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAALdjD1050698 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:39:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAALdYQS006524 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:39:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAALdYlB006523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:39:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:39:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311102139.hAALdYlB006523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 102139 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 40 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 26N169W 23N177W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 08N140W 08N146W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N180 13N170W 11N154W 07N157W 05N174W 07N180 16N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE TROUGH/SHEAR LINE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 40 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20N168W 15N170W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 18S143W 19S137W 24S139W 21S145W 18S143W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 19S170W 18S161W 25S158W 22S168W 19S170W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... WEAK UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11S175W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09S170W 11S163W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BKYP81OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:02:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAM3GGZ077393 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:03:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIdn052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:56:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1785262 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:56:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAALukD1016494 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:56:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAALuaQS007117 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:56:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAALuaC8007116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:56:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:56:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311102156.hAALuaC8007116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 102156 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 10 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. A FEW TSTMS ARE LOCATED EAST OF THE AXIS NEAR COSTA RICA AND WESTERN PANAMA...BUT THE STRONGEST ROTATION AND MOST WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS LOCATED OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 102W-108W. ..1015 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 32N128W WITH A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SW TO NEAR 27N132W. THE LOW IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SOUTHWARD-MOVING MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW WEST OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 28N-34N BETWEEN 127W-131W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 121W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE LOW APPEARS TO HAVE DISSIPATED...BUT A CIRCULATION IS STILL PRESENT TO WARRANT A TROUGH. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 117W-123W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 8N87W 5N104W 9N118W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION UP TO 250 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 110W-117W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 100 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 111W-116W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500FBFSLOBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 07:15:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANGGRs072458 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 07:16:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIgl052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 17:08:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1786126 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 17:08:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAN8OD1077152 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 17:08:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAN8DQS008847 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 17:08:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAN8Du8008846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 17:08:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 17:08:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311102308.hAAN8Du8008846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 102308 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:51 2003 X-UIDL: 45946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500FZUVAKBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:13:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB0EPGZ091560 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:14:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIi1052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:09:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1786735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:09:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB09JD1059486 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:09:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB098QS009759 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:09:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB098qw009757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:09:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:09:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110009.hAB098qw009757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 110000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 11/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.5S / 74.8E (SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE WESTERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/11 AT 12 UTC: 7.7S / 74.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/12 AT 00 UTC: 7.9S / 73.2E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02 REMAINS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:51 2003 X-UIDL: 45947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500F4KVD7BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:15:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB0G0Rs078721 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:16:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAER009560; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:10:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1786747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:10:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB0AJD1005316 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:10:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB0A8QS009785 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:10:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB0A8Qw009783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:10:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:10:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110010.hAB0A8Qw009783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 110000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 2.A POSITION 2003/11/11 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.5S / 74.8E (SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/18 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 100 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/11 12 UTC: 07.7S/74.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/12 00 UTC: 07.9S/73.2E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/11/12 12 UTC: 08.2S/72.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/11/13 00 UTC: 08.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/11/13 12 UTC: 09.2S/71.9E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/11/14 00 UTC: 09.8S/72.1E, MAX WIND=045KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- CONVECTION REMAINS DEEP, ORGANIZED IN CDO, LOCATED ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE, WITH APPROXIMATIVE DIAMETER OF 100 NM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:52 2003 X-UIDL: 45952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500FUBXHHBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:00:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB11iGZ096412 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:01:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIjv052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:54:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1787253 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:54:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB0sSD1065722 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:54:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB0sHQS010430 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:54:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB0sH9D010429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:54:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:54:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110054.hAB0sH9D010429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 110054 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON NOV 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:52 2003 X-UIDL: 45953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500FJZXOWBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:05:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB16ARs084047 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:06:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA961vmt036146; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1787267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB0ugD1092346 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB0uVQS010470 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB0uVSp010468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110056.hAB0uVSp010468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/110000Z-110600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 9.0N9 145.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF BROAD DEEP CONVECTION OVER AN ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS GUSTING TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA TO POOR IN PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:52 2003 X-UIDL: 45955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500FM3ZQ2BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:49:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB1o6Rs089567 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:50:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELImH052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 19:45:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1787960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 19:45:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB1jUD1038472 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 19:45:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB1jJQS011110 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 19:45:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB1jJwO011109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 19:45:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 19:45:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110145.hAB1jJwO011109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 110145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON NOV 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 11:08:29 2003 X-UIDL: 45963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FSP37IBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 11:04:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB35LGZ011440 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 11:05:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELInv052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:49:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1788725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:49:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB2nKD1085698 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:49:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB2n9QS011678 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:49:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB2n9Uj011677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:49:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:49:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Navoceano Stennis Space Center Ms//n16// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110249.hAB2n9Uj011677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTXS31 PGTW 110300 NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 7.5S2 74.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.5S2 74.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 7.6S3 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 7.7S4 72.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 7.9S6 71.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 8.3S1 71.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 9.4S3 70.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 07.5S2 074.5E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD THROUGH TAU 48 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 48 HOURS, TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TURN POLEWARD AS THE STEERING RIDGE REORIENTS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 48. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AND UKMET (EGRR) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1, 111500Z8, 112100Z5 AND 120300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 11:36:15 2003 X-UIDL: 45968-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FIC4MFBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 11:35:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB3ZuRs001901 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 11:35:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIpH052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 21:28:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1789276 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 21:28:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB3ShD1041730 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 21:28:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB3SXQS012066 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 21:28:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB3SXqq012065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 21:28:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 21:28:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110328.hAB3SXqq012065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 110328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 11 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 86W-93W. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. THE BULK OF THE SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM EARLIER THIS EVENING HAVE DISSIPATED...LEAVING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED TSTMS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 104W-110W. ..1011 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 12N122W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 121W-124W. ..1015 MB DEEP-LAYERED LOW PRES NEAR 31N128W MOVING SOUTH 10 KT. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SOUTH TO 27N129W. THE CIRCULATION OBSERVED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY IS PREDOMINANTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW...BUT SURFACE PRESSURES AND THE WIND FIELD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A WEAK SURFACE LOW. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 28N-33N BETWEEN 126W-131W. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 30N140W 24N133W 23N119W 19N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 7N86W 5N107W 9N117W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 111W-115W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 93W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 113W-116W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 13:09:20 2003 X-UIDL: 45974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600F1E7ZNBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:47:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB4mbGZ024467 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:48:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIqt052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 22:40:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1789974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 22:40:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB4eXD1024930 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 22:40:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB4eNQS012760 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 22:40:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB4eNHD012759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 22:40:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 22:40:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110440.hAB4eNHD012759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 110440 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 10 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 13:19:48 2003 X-UIDL: 45977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600F579CXBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 13:17:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB5IDGZ028898 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 13:18:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAJX009560; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1790381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB57jD1009956 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB57YQS013007 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB57Yjh013005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110507.hAB57Yjh013005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z-120600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 145.0E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 147.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER AN ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS GUSTING TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 16:18:02 2003 X-UIDL: 45984-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FEECMFBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:27:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB6SgRs023467 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:28:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YEB052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:22:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1791365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:22:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB6McD1010134 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:22:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB6MRQS013568 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:22:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB6MRux013566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:22:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:22:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 11/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110622.hAB6MRux013566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 110600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 5/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 11/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.4S / 74.3E (SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE WESTERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/11 AT 18 UTC: 7.4S / 74.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/12 AT 06 UTC: 7.7S / 73.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 16:18:08 2003 X-UIDL: 45986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FP1CX3BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:34:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB6Z6GZ038886 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:35:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YEJ052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:28:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1791413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB6SmD1038612 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:28:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB6SbQS013627 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:28:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB6SbjP013625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:28:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 00:28:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110628.hAB6SbjP013625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 110600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/11 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.4S / 74.3E (SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 120 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/11 18 UTC: 07.4S/74.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/11/12 06 UTC: 07.7S/73.2E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/11/12 18 UTC: 08.2S/72.5E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2003/11/13 06 UTC: 08.7S/72.0E, MAX WIND=060KT. 60H: 2003/11/13 18 UTC: 09.4S/71.8E, MAX WIND=065KT. 72H: 2003/11/14 06 UTC: 10.2S/72.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5+ ORGANIZED IN CURVED BAND PATTERN. THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 16:18:09 2003 X-UIDL: 45992-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600F6HFR2BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:35:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB7aHGZ046718 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:36:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YF7052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 01:30:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1791705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 01:30:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB7UhD1017254 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 01:30:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB7UWQS014142 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 01:30:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB7UWGh014141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 01:30:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 01:30:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110730.hAB7UWGh014141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 110730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON NOV 10 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 16:35:27 2003 X-UIDL: 45996-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FA0HW8BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 16:21:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB8MbGZ052467 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 16:22:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YFZ052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:14:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1791914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:14:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB8EAD1038678 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:14:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB8E0QS014483 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:14:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB8E0um014482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:14:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:14:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110814.hAB8E0um014482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 110900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 7.4S1 74.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 7.4S1 74.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 7.5S2 73.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 7.7S4 72.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 8.1S9 71.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 8.9S7 70.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.9S0 69.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 7.4S1 74.5E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SLIGHT DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH TAU 48 ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 48 HOURS, TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TURN POLEWARD AS THE STEERING RIDGE BUILDS AND REORIENTS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 72. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AND GFDN ARE NOT IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NOGAPS AND NCEP GFS BUILDS THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE IN VERY QUICKLY AND TAKES TC 02S ON A POLEWARD TRACK WITHIN TAU 12. GFDN IS THE WESTERN OUTLIER AS IT DOES NOT HAVE THE MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN UNTIL TAU 36 TO 48. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE THREE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH MORE EMPHASIS ON GFDN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8, 112100Z5, 120300Z6 AND 120900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 16:54:54 2003 X-UIDL: 45998-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600F8CIYSBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 16:44:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB8jjRs039851 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 16:45:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAANB009560; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:40:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1792008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:40:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB8ebD1045294 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:40:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB8eQQS014667 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:40:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB8eQnU014665 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:40:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:40:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation 100830znov2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110840.hAB8eQnU014665@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 PGTW 110830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 100830ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100821ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 100830)// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. REMARKS: THIS MESSAGE SUPERCEDES AND CANCELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.4N6 81.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 80.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED AND BECOME ELONGATED. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE CONVECTION IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE WEAK LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 17:15:00 2003 X-UIDL: 46005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600F6LKB3BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:13:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB9EiRs043345 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:14:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YFv052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1792136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB99cD1038530 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB99SQS015035 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB99SgA015033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110909.hAB99SgA015033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 110900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/110900Z-111800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/101351ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/110821ZNOV03// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.4N6 81.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 80.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED AND BECOME ELONGATED. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE CONVECTION IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE WEAK LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 66.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE AREA IS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND HAS WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY DEPICTS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.4S1 75.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND WAS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR. 4. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:31 2003 X-UIDL: 46006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FDSKD4BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:15:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB9FvGZ058851 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:15:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB25WHf028520; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1792139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB99dD1045198 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB99SQS015036 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB99SBL015034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:09:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110909.hAB99SBL015034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 110900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/110900Z-111800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/101351ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/110821ZNOV03// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.4N6 81.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 80.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED AND BECOME ELONGATED. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE CONVECTION IS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE WEAK LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 66.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE AREA IS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND HAS WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY DEPICTS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101200Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.4S1 75.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND WAS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR. 4. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:44 2003 X-UIDL: 46007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FK3KQYBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:23:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB9OFGZ059819 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:24:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YG3052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:21:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1792207 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:21:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB9KxD1030268 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:20:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB9KmQS015125 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:20:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB9KmYg015124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:20:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:20:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110920.hAB9KmYg015124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 110920 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...08N140W 07N148W 10N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF LINE 08N140W 07N140W 09N157W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 20KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN AREA. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N160W 10N157W 09N160W 10N166W 12N160W AND WITHIN 35NM OF LINE 06N162W 06N168W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 08N170W 10N180 AND EXTENDING WEST HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15KT AND INCREASED IN AREA. SHEARLINE...30N167W 25N175W 24N180. SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 150NM NORTH OF SHEARLINE HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE...SHEARLINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...23S120W 20S130W AND CONTINUING AS FRONT EAST OF 120W. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 200NM SOUTH OF FRONT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 8KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SHEARLINE...25S160W 20S168W 16S180 AND EXTENDING SOUTH OF 25S. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 19S161W 22S158W 23S161W 20S166W 19S161W HAS MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 50NM OF LINE 16S162W 17S172W 14S180. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEARLINE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:45 2003 X-UIDL: 46008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FLYKRPBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:23:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB9OcGZ059865 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:24:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YFx052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:18:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1792183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:18:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB9IXD1045258 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:18:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB9IMQS015102 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:18:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB9IM78015101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:18:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 03:18:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110918.hAB9IM78015101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 110918 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 11 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. A SINGLE CLUSTER OF MODERATE CONVECTION ACCOMPANIES THE ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W/109W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..1011 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 12N123W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10-15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 122W-126W. ..1016 MB LOW PRES NEAR 29.5N129W MOVING SOUTH 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF LOW CENTER. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 30N140W 24N133W 23N119W 19N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 9N86W 7N100W 10N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 82W-95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 15N140W 20N127W 30N115W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:52 2003 X-UIDL: 46012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FOLQWCBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 19:36:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABBb6GZ074800 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 19:37:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YH9052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1792654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABBRFD1003914 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABBR4QS016185 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABBR47F016183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111127.hABBR47F016183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 111130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/111130Z-120600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 147.0E2, HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO NEAR 10.7N8 141.6E2, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER A BETTER ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:52 2003 X-UIDL: 46014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600F6ZTHFBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:32:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABCWsRs067426 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:32:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YHl052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:26:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1792971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:26:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABCQtD1067604 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:26:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABCQiQS016627 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:26:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABCQiAP016625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:26:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:26:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 11/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111226.hABCQiAP016625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 111200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 6/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 11/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.6S / 75.1E (SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/12 AT 00 UTC: 8.0S / 74.9E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/12 AT 12 UTC: 8.5S / 74.3E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS RELOCATED AT 12 UTC. CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:52 2003 X-UIDL: 46016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FTWTVJBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:40:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABCfORs068092 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:41:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAO3009560; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:36:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1793006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:36:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABCaOD1045056 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:36:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABCaDQS016719 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:36:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABCaD4O016718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:36:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:36:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111236.hABCaD4O016718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 111236 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE NOV 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:53 2003 X-UIDL: 46017-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600F2KU0EBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:43:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABCiJRs068350 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:44:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YHr052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:38:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1793024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:38:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABCcED1050748 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:38:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABCc3QS016726 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:38:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABCc33W016724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:38:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 06:38:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111238.hABCc33W016724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 111200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/11 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.6S / 75.1E (SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 993 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 37 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 100 SO: 150 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 300 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/12 00 UTC: 08.0S/74.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/11/12 12 UTC: 08.5S/74.3E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2003/11/13 00 UTC: 09.0S/73.9E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/11/13 12 UTC: 09.4S/73.3E, MAX WIND=055KT. 60H: 2003/11/14 00 UTC: 09.8S/73.0E, MAX WIND=060KT. 72H: 2003/11/14 12 UTC: 10.3S/72.5E, MAX WIND=065KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0- THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:53 2003 X-UIDL: 46018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600F1WWNOBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 21:40:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABDfURs074140 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 21:41:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YJZ052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 07:30:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1793588 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 07:30:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABDUaD1025068 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 07:30:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABDUPQS017243 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 07:30:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABDUPgL017242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 07:30:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 07:30:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111330.hABDUPgL017242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 111330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE NOV 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:54 2003 X-UIDL: 46021-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FUFYV7BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 22:28:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABET6GZ094563 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 22:29:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YMF052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:19:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1794252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:19:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABEJWD1077958 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:19:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABEJLQS018078 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:19:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABEJLpq018077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:19:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:19:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111419.hABEJLpq018077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 7.7S4 74.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 7.7S4 74.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 8.1S9 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 8.6S4 73.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 9.3S2 72.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.2S3 72.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.5S8 71.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 7.8S5 74.3E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. BY TAU 48, THE STEERING RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE EAST AND DRIVE TC 02S POLEWARD WHILE SLIGHTLY INCREASING IN SPEED. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, UKMET EGRR, AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE FOUR DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 AND 121500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:57 2003 X-UIDL: 46027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FA23BEBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:04:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABG54GZ007068 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:05:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YQ3052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:54:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1795497 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:54:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABFsiD1077362 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:54:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABFsYQS020784 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:54:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABFsYQL020783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:54:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:54:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111554.hABFsYQL020783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 111554 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 11 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE 90W/91W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION...POSSIBLY WITH THIS WAVE...FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W. ..TROPICAL WAVE 109W/110W SOUTH OF 17N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N125W MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION AT 11/1030 UTC FROM 11N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 123.5W AND 125.5W HAS DISSIPATED SINCE THAT TIME...LEAVING BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED DEBRIS CLOUDS NOW FROM 11N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W. ..TROUGH 30N126W 28N130W 30N134W REPLACES THE EARLIER 1016 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29.5N 129W AT 11/0600 UTC. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 28N TO 30N BETWEEN 125W AND 128W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N98W 12N124W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA COAST AND 79W...BETWEEN 82W AND 100W...AND WEST OF 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 100W AND 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION IN AN AREA OF SOME UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 99W AND 107W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 46032-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FRB91LBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:08:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABI92Rs004357 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:09:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAWZ009560; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:02:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1797368 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:02:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABI26D1067728 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:02:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABI1nQS025062 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:01:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABI1naB025060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:01:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:01:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111801.hABI1naB025060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/111351ZNOV03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 80.7E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.7N0 078.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS UNORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 066.2E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07.0N7 063.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE AREA IS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND HAS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 74.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND WAS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 34 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 46033-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FSC923BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:08:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABI9JGZ020881 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:09:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YW3052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:02:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1797364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:02:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABI20D1067720 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:02:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABI1nQS025063 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:01:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABI1n1s025061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:01:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:01:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111801.hABI1n1s025061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/111351ZNOV03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 80.7E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.7N0 078.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS UNORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 066.2E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07.0N7 063.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THE AREA IS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND HAS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 74.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND WAS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 34 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:00 2003 X-UIDL: 46034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FUK9PHBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:22:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABINKRs005687 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:23:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YWD052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:08:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1797439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:08:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABI84D1016828 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:08:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABI7rQS025218 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:07:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABI7rJ5025216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:07:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:07:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111807.hABI7rJ5025216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 111807 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:00 2003 X-UIDL: 46035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FWL9R6BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:23:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABIONGZ022487 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:24:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YWN052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:12:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1797509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:12:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABICaD1045284 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:12:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABICPQS025361 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:12:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABICPjQ025358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:12:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:12:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111812.hABICPjQ025358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 111800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 7/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 11/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 991 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.9S / 74.9E (SEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/12 AT 06 UTC: 8.2S / 74.7E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/12 AT 18 UTC: 8.5S / 74.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:01 2003 X-UIDL: 46038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FSBAB9BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:35:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABIaORs006821 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:36:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YWn052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:25:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1797757 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:25:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABIOxD1077374 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:24:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABIOmQS025683 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:24:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABIOm9R025681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:24:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 12:24:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111824.hABIOm9R025681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 111800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/11 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 7.9S / 74.9E (SEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 991 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 090 SO: 120 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/12 06 UTC: 08.2S/74.7E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2003/11/12 18 UTC: 08.5S/74.4E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/11/13 06 UTC: 08.9S/74.0E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2003/11/13 18 UTC: 09.5S/73.5E, MAX WIND=060KT. 60H: 2003/11/14 06 UTC: 10.2S/73.2E, MAX WIND=065KT. 72H: 2003/11/14 18 UTC: 11.2S/73.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: ORGANIZED IN IREGULAR CDO, DIAMETER ABOUT 200 NM. THE SYSTEM MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:03 2003 X-UIDL: 46045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FWZDXNBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:53:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABJsfGZ031574 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:54:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Yav052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 13:46:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1799233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 13:46:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABJkLD1045170 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 13:46:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABJkAQS027923 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 13:46:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABJkALj027922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 13:46:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 13:46:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111946.hABJkALj027922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 111945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE NOV 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:03 2003 X-UIDL: 46046-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700F5MEZEBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 04:16:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABKHHGZ034165 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 04:17:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Yc3052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:01:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1799555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:01:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABK1PD1008294 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:01:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABK1EQS028402 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:01:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABK1E6c028401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:01:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:01:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311112001.hABK1E6c028401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 112100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 8.1S9 74.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 8.1S9 74.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 8.6S4 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 9.3S2 73.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.2S3 72.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.4S6 72.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.6S0 71.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 08.2S0 074.0E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONTINUED INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A SLIGHTLY LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 48 AND THEN START TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY AT TAU 72 AS IT ENTERS INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 AND 120900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:05 2003 X-UIDL: 46053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FZ7ID9BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:29:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABLUQRs025139 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:30:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YfL052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:09:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1800585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:09:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABL9AD1064748 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:09:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABL90QS000437 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:09:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABL8xF8000434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:08:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:08:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311112108.hABL8xF8000434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 112100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/112100Z-120600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/112021ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 147.0E2 IS NOW RELOCATED TO NEAR 11.4N6 139.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SPIRAL BANDING BEGINNING TO APPEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:06 2003 X-UIDL: 46055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FQYIV7BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:40:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABLfCGZ042964 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:41:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Yfb052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:18:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1800675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:18:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABLIAD1045800 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:18:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABLHxQS000738 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:17:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABLHxx3000737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:17:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:17:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311112117.hABLHxx3000737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 112117 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 11 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/1800 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W NORTH OF 7N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING NORTH OF THE ITCZ ALONG 126W/127W SOUTH OF 15N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 125W-127W. ..HIGH PRES NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF 120W. A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SE OFF THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 20N112W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 29N123W 27N133W MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 10 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N88W 5N97W 6N120W 9N124W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS NORTH OF 4N BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 86W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 87W-101W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 93W-96W AND FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 100W-104W. ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 116W-121W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:06 2003 X-UIDL: 46058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700IBVKIIMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:15:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABMGlRs029535 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:16:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YhN052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:54:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1801066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:54:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABLsCD1038278 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:54:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABLs1QS001830 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:54:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABLs1im001829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:54:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:54:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311112154.hABLs1im001829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 112153 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...08N140W 07N165W 05N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 08N140W 07N147W 09N161W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 06N149W 09N161W. ISOLATED CB...EXTENDING W OF 180...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N164W 13N180 04N180 06N167W 09N164W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. FRONT/SHEARLINE...30N167W 25N175W 24N180. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF POINTS 25N175W AND 28N163W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE...FRONT/SHEARLINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 22S132W 22N124W. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 18N159W 21N153W HAVE MOVED NE 30 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY OVER THE LAST 11 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14S180 14S170W 16S166W 18S164W HAVE MOVED NE 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 11S179W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 60 NM OF POINTS 09S171W AND 09S165W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:07 2003 X-UIDL: 46062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700ILCNRYMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:26:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABNRFGZ053507 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:27:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Yoh052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:14:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1802816 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:14:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABNEcD1051230 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:14:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABNESQS003609 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:14:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABNESbd003608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:14:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 17:14:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311112314.hABNESbd003608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 112314 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 11 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:08 2003 X-UIDL: 46065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700I9SR62MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:39:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC0eVGZ061036 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:40:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Ys7052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:31:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1804025 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:31:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC0VrD1085696 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:31:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC0VgQS004820 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:31:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC0VgFa004818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:31:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:31:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120031.hAC0VgFa004818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 120000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 8/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 12/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 989 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.0S / 75.0E (EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/12 AT 12 UTC: 8.2S / 74.8E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 00 UTC: 8.5S / 74.3E, MAX WIND = 53 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONNARY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:08 2003 X-UIDL: 46066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700ICAR75MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:40:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC0fBGZ061107 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:41:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAiF009560; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:35:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1804093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:34:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC0YvD1013146 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:34:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC0YkQS004894 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:34:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC0YkJ7004892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:34:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 18:34:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120034.hAC0YkJ7004892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 120000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 8/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/12 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 8.0S / 75.0E (EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 989 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 44 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 090 SO: 120 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/12 12 UTC: 08.2S/74.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/11/13 00 UTC: 08.5S/74.3E, MAX WIND=053KT. 36H: 2003/11/13 12 UTC: 08.9S/74.0E, MAX WIND=056KT. 48H: 2003/11/14 00 UTC: 09.5S/73.6E, MAX WIND=059KT. 60H: 2003/11/14 12 UTC: 10.3S/73.3E, MAX WIND=065KT. 72H: 2003/11/15 00 UTC: 11.2S/73.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: ORGANIZED IN IREGULAR CDO, DIAMETER ABOUT 200 NM. SYSTEM QUASISTATIONNARY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 10:18:34 2003 X-UIDL: 46073-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700IAOUMEMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:54:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC1t7Rs049727 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:55:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB25Wdf028520; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 19:45:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1805031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 19:45:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC1jeD1092250 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 19:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC1jTQS005904 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 19:45:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC1jTuw005903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 19:45:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 19:45:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120145.hAC1jTuw005903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 120145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE NOV 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 10:39:55 2003 X-UIDL: 46080-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700IC2WORMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 10:38:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC2diRs055333 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 10:39:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAkR009560; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1805471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC2TaD1059618 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC2TPQS006312 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC2TPj5006310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120229.hAC2TPj5006310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 8.6S4 74.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 8.6S4 74.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 9.1S0 74.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 9.9S8 73.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.7S8 73.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.0S3 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.1S6 71.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 08.7S5 074.2E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TC 02S CONTINUES TO PROVIDE THE STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM, HOWEVER, TC 02S IS CURRENTLY IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT CREATED BY THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST AND A MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE WEST. AS THE STEERING RIDGE REORIENTS AND EXTENDS POLEWARD, TC 02S WILL INCREASE SPEED SLIGHTLY. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A SLIGHTLY LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 36 AND THEN START TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY. BY TAU 72, TC 02S WILL ENTER INTO AN AREA OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH THE TROPICAL EASTERLIES IN THE LOWER LEVELS AND THE MID LEVEL RIDGE PRODUCING WESTERLIES ALOFT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET EGRR AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2, 121500Z9, 122100Z6 AND 130300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 11:25:15 2003 X-UIDL: 46081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700I6UYDTMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:15:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC3GIRs059237 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:16:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Yxn052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 21:09:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1805984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 21:09:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC392D1037194 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 21:09:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC38pQS006829 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 21:08:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC38pSD006828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 21:08:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 21:08:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120308.hAC38pSD006828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 120308 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 12 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/0000 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W NORTH OF 5N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED TSTM CELL ALONG THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING NORTH OF THE ITCZ ALONG 127W SOUTH OF 17N...MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 124W-128W. ..HIGH PRES NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N88W 5N105W 9N126W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA BETWEEN 2N-6N. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-98W. NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COASTS OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 80W-86W. SCATTERED MODERATE NEAR THE GULF OF FONSECA FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 86W-88W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 12.5N100W TO 10N107W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 13:26:11 2003 X-UIDL: 46092-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IIQ3PRMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:10:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC5BTGZ091994 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:11:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Y1l052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:07:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1806843 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:07:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC56xD1055498 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:06:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC56mQS007989 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:06:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC56mU0007987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:06:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:06:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 120451znov2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120506.hAC56mU0007987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO21 PGTW 120500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 120451ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.9N4 61.8E5 TO 5.9N4 55.5E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 120430Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.4N0 61.4E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF 95A AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 130500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 14:06:25 2003 X-UIDL: 46097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800I5M56UMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:42:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC5hJGZ095735 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:43:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Y21052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1807005 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC5YaD1024868 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC5YPQS008293 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC5YPDw008291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120534.hAC5YPDw008291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z-130600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/112021ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 139.4E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 137.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 15:10:59 2003 X-UIDL: 46100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800I9N6RWMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:16:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC6HZGZ099984 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:17:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TDT085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1808000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC6AfD1038962 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC6AUQS008710 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC6AUA8008708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120610.hAC6AUA8008708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/120600Z-121800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/111351ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/120451ZNOV03// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 80.7E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.7N0 078.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS UNORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 063.2E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06.3N9 061.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 930 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF 95A AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 74.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 34 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO GOOD. 4. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 15:11:12 2003 X-UIDL: 46103-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IUW7A6MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:27:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC6SYRs080012 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:28:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAnV009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1808003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC6AfD1036046 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC6AUQS008711 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC6AUVl008709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 00:10:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120610.hAC6AUVl008709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/120600Z-121800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/111351ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/120451ZNOV03// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 80.7E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.7N0 078.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS UNORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 063.2E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 06.3N9 061.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 930 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COCHIN, INDIA. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF 95A AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 74.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 34 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO GOOD. 4. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 15:11:14 2003 X-UIDL: 46104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800I5C8XNMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:03:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC74FGZ006314 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:04:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TDt085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:00:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1808440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:00:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC70WD1082596 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:00:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC70KQS009171 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:00:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC70KTH009169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:00:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:00:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120700.hAC70KTH009169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 120600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 12/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 980 HPA POSITION: 9.3S / 74.4E (NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/12 AT 18 UTC: 10.3S / 74.2E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 06 UTC: 11.4S / 73.8E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 15:11:15 2003 X-UIDL: 46105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800ICN8ZSMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:04:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC75XGZ006476 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:05:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAnv009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:02:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1808459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:02:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC72cD1017332 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:02:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC72QQS009204 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:02:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC72PhA009202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:02:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:02:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120702.hAC72PhA009202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/2/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/12 AT 0600 UTC : 9.3S / 74.4E (NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 090 SE: 120 SO: 090 NO: 060 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 050 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/12 18 UTC: 10.3S/74.2E, MAX WIND=055KT. 24H: 2003/11/13 06 UTC: 11.4S/73.8E, MAX WIND=065KT. 36H: 2003/11/13 18 UTC: 12.5S/73.2E, MAX WIND=060KT. 48H: 2003/11/14 06 UTC: 13.4S/72.3E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/11/14 18 UTC: 13.6S/71.7E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/11/15 06 UTC: 13.8S/70.8E, MAX WIND=045KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: REGULAR CDO PATTERN, DIAMETER 90 NM, AND SMALL CURVEC BAND. T=CI=4.0-.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 15:55:53 2003 X-UIDL: 46106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800I60ABMMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:33:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC7YERs087940 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:34:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TED085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:30:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1808614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:30:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC7UkD1082476 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:30:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC7UYQS009458 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:30:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC7UYCG009457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:30:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:30:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120730.hAC7UYCG009457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 120730 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE NOV 11 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 15:55:58 2003 X-UIDL: 46108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800I2TAN0MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:40:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC7f6GZ010367 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:41:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TEp085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:34:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1808820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:34:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC7YQD1045774 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:34:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC7YEQS009486 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:34:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC7YExB009484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:34:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:34:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120734.hAC7YExB009484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 120600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 12/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 980 HPA POSITION: 9.3S / 74.4E (NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/12 AT 18 UTC: 10.3S / 74.2E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 06 UTC: 11.4S / 73.8E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 17:10:38 2003 X-UIDL: 46112-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IEKBMGMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 16:01:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC82IRs091722 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 16:02:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TF5085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:44:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1808923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:44:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC7iwD1092660 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:44:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC7ihQS009566 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:44:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC7ihgn009565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:44:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 01:44:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120744.hAC7ihgn009565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 9.3S2 74.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 9.3S2 74.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.3S4 74.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 11.3S5 74.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 12.4S7 73.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 13.4S8 72.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 9.6S5 74.4E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE CONVECTION HAS STARTED TO DECREASE OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS. THE MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF TC 02S CONTINUES TO PROVIDE THE STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM. BY TAU 36, THE STEERING RIDGE WILL REORIENT AND EXTEND POLEWARD OF TC 02S GIVING THE SYSTEM A SOUTHWEST TRACK. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A SLIGHTLY LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 24 TO 36 AND THEN START TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET EGRR AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 AND 130900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 21:46:37 2003 X-UIDL: 46119-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800I5TFOFMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 17:29:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC9TuRs001746 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 17:29:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TG5085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:25:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1809445 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:25:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC9PED1016594 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:25:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC9P3QS010536 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:25:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC9P3eR010535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:25:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:25:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120925.hAC9P3eR010535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 120924 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 12 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/0600 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W NORTH OF 5N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION E OF AXIS FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 89W-92W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEAR 9N131W NEWD TO 18N122W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 14N-16N BETWEEN 123W-129W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE ENTERS AREA NEAR 31N133W TO 20N110W. ENHANCED PRESSURE GRADIENT W OF 130W IS PRODUCING STRONG NE WINDS. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N90W 6N105W 11N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 82W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N W OF 132W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 21:46:50 2003 X-UIDL: 46121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800ISMGADMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 17:42:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC9h2Rs003249 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 17:43:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAApN009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:38:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1809499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:38:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC9c3D1067630 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:38:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC9brQS010647 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:37:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC9bqWt010644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:37:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 03:37:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120937.hAC9bqWt010644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 120937 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...09N140W 07N158W 12N175W 11N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W AND WEST OF 180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70NM OF ITCZ EAST OF 160W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100NM OF ITCZ WEST OF 165W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10KT AND WEAKENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. SHEARLINE...30N166W 25N174W 22N180. SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND WITHIN 180NM NORTH OF SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS OVER AREA. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE... SHEARLINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE...22S120W 21S127W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 120W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 55NM OF POINT 21S126W HAVE MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 20KT AND DECREASED IN AREA OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL TCU WITHIN 150NM SOUTH OF SHEARLINE HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. TROUGH...25S161W 15S179W. AREA OF ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 21S154W 24S151W 24S154W 21S154W HAS MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN AREA. NEW ISOLATED CB HAVE FORMED WITHIN 50NM OF LINES 20S154W 17S161W AND 17S168W 15S177W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 21:47:07 2003 X-UIDL: 46139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IYLL0UMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 19:24:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACBPMRs013688 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 19:25:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TGp085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:18:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1809843 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:18:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACBIOD1045756 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:18:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACBIDQS011419 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:18:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACBIDex011418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:18:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:18:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121118.hACBIDex011418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 121118 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 21:47:09 2003 X-UIDL: 46140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IQ7MY8MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:06:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACC70GZ041157 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:07:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAq5009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:04:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1810027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:04:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACC45D1017498 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:04:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACC3sQS011776 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:03:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACC3sAl011774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:03:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:03:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121203.hACC3sAl011774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 121200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 10/2/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/12 AT 1200 UTC : 9.5S / 74.5E (NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 090 SE: 120 SO: 090 NO: 060 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 050 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/13 00 UTC: 10.5S/74.3E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/11/13 12 UTC: 11.7S/73.9E, MAX WIND=060KT. 36H: 2003/11/14 00 UTC: 12.6S/73.3E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/11/14 12 UTC: 13.2S/72.5E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/11/15 00 UTC: 13.8S/71.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/11/15 12 UTC: 14.2S/70.3E, MAX WIND=035KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CDO PATTERN. T=CI=4.0-.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 21:47:11 2003 X-UIDL: 46141-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800ITYN04MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:07:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACC89GZ041291 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:08:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61THL085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:02:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1810011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:02:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACC1xD1016692 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:02:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACC1nQS011754 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:01:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACC1m10011752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:01:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:01:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 12/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121201.hACC1m10011752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 121200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 010/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 12/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 980 HPA POSITION: 9.5S / 74.5E (NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR, AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 00 UTC: 10.5S / 74.3E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 12 UTC: 11.7S / 73.9E, MAX WIND = 60 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM EVOLVES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 21:47:15 2003 X-UIDL: 46145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IHMPJIMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:02:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACD2vGZ046795 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:02:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TIJ085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:59:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1810371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:59:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACCxdD1016830 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:59:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACCxSQS012295 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:59:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACCxSc1012293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:59:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 06:59:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121259.hACCxSc1012293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 121200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 010/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 12/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 980 HPA POSITION: 9.5S / 74.5E (NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR, AND UP TO 150 NM IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTORS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 00 UTC: 10.5S / 74.3E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 12 UTC: 11.7S / 73.9E, MAX WIND = 60 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM EVOLVES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 21:47:17 2003 X-UIDL: 46146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IK4PKNMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:02:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACD3aRs024670 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:03:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAqd009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:00:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1810396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:00:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACD0hD1052056 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:00:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACD0WQS012358 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:00:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACD0WkK012356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:00:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:00:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121300.hACD0WkK012356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 121200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 10/2/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/12 AT 1200 UTC : 9.5S / 74.5E (NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 090 SE: 120 SO: 090 NO: 060 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 050 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/13 00 UTC: 10.5S/74.3E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/11/13 12 UTC: 11.7S/73.9E, MAX WIND=060KT. 36H: 2003/11/14 00 UTC: 12.6S/73.3E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/11/14 12 UTC: 13.2S/72.5E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/11/15 00 UTC: 13.8S/71.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/11/15 12 UTC: 14.2S/70.3E, MAX WIND=035KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CDO PATTERN. T=CI=4.0-. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 21:47:21 2003 X-UIDL: 46150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IYXR3CMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:35:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACDaURs028388 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:36:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TJL085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:30:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1810645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:30:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACDUqD1083726 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:30:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACDUgQS012717 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:30:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACDUgWr012716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:30:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 07:30:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121330.hACDUgWr012716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 121330 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED NOV 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. DONALDSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:36:42 2003 X-UIDL: 46164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800L2JUND7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:52:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACErDRs037097 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:53:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TLZ085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:44:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1811363 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:44:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACEidD1016784 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:44:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACEiSQS014197 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:44:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACEiSPk014196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:44:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:44:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121444.hACEiSPk014196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 121444 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 12 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/1200 UTC... ..TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 93W HAS WEAKENED. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A WEAK 1008 MB LOW NEAR 12N129W NE TO 16N120W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 121W-129W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 21N110W NW TO 31N137W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1415 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N84W 8N105W 11N126W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE E OF 81W N OF 5N INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 82W-94W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 10N109W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7.5N-10N BETWEEN 132W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14N100W 11N106W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF 12N92W AND 12.5N114W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:36:52 2003 X-UIDL: 46166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800L9QUTX7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:56:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACEvDRs037474 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:57:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAtZ009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:47:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1811420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:47:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACEllD1096868 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:47:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACElaQS014311 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:47:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACElasi014309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:47:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:47:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121447.hACElasi014309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120451ZNOV2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 6.1N7 60.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.1N7 60.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 5.6N1 59.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 4.9N3 58.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 4.7N1 57.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 4.7N1 55.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION NEAR 6.0N6 59.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF SOMOLIA, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF TC 02A IS PROVIDING THE STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM. THIS STEERING RIDGE IS SLOWLY BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST GIVING TC 02A A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. BY TAU 36, THE STEERING RIDGE WILL FULLY BUILD IN, GIVING TC 02A A WESTWARD TRACK. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A SLIGHTLY LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENT 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW WITH MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF TC 02A. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET EGRR AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO WHILE NOGAPS IS NOT. NOGAPS SHOWS A STEERING FLOW WEAKNESS GIVING TC 02A A QUASI-STATIONARY MOVEMENT THROUGH TAU 48. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH AN EMPHASIS ON UKMET EGRR AND NCEP GFS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 120451Z3 NOV 2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:04 2003 X-UIDL: 46173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IBQWAGMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:27:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACFSkRs040978 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:28:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAu3009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1811777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACFMPD1077260 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACFMEQS015569 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACFMEvW015567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121522.hACFMEvW015567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/121530Z-121800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/120751ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/121352ZNOV03// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A IS LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 60.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF SOMOLIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 80.7E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.7N0 078.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS UNORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 063.2E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 74.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 34 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.A.(1) AND 1.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:06 2003 X-UIDL: 46174-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IH9WEXMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:30:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACFVNRs041345 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:31:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB25WkH028520; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1811771 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACFLvD1067628 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACFLkQS015546 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACFLkbu015544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121521.hACFLkbu015544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/121500Z-130600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/121351ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 25W IS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 134.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 775 NM EAST OF MANILA, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 22 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:08 2003 X-UIDL: 46175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IJEWHLMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:32:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACFWvRs041569 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:32:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TN9085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1811774 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACFMPD1083756 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACFMEQS015568 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACFMEk4015566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:22:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121522.hACFMEk4015566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 121530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/121530Z-121800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/120751ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/121352ZNOV03// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A IS LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 60.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF SOMOLIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.0N3 80.7E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.7N0 078.8E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS UNORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 063.2E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111200Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7S4 74.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 34 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.A.(1) AND 1.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:28 2003 X-UIDL: 46187-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900I551SSMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:26:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHRiRs054681 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:27:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TTT085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1813728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHOoD1051272 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACHOdQS019936 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACHOdga019934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121724.hACHOdga019934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z-131800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/120751ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/121352ZNOV03// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A WAS LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 60.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF SOMOLIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.7N0 78.8E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 1.3N4 77.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED IN A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 74.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:30 2003 X-UIDL: 46188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LBE1WQ7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:29:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHU2GZ076762 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:30:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAxV009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1813731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHOoD1047214 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACHOdQS019937 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACHOd3S019935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:24:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121724.hACHOd3S019935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z-131800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/120751ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/121352ZNOV03// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A WAS LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 60.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF SOMOLIA, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 121500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.7N0 78.8E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 1.3N4 77.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED IN A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 74.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:32 2003 X-UIDL: 46189-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900IUK2BGMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:38:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHcwRs055720 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:38:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TTn085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:33:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1813826 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:33:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHX9D1017404 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:33:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACHWwQS020245 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:32:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACHWwhf020244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:32:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 11:32:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121732.hACHWwhf020244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 121732 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED NOV 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:34 2003 X-UIDL: 46191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900I9D3RYMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:09:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACIAOGZ080818 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:10:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAA0l009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:07:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1814579 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:07:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACI71D1038524 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:07:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACI6pQS021320 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:06:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACI6oRF021318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:06:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:06:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121806.hACI6oRF021318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 121800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 11/2/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/12 AT 1800 UTC : 10.1S / 74.9E (TEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 400 SO: 150 NO: 060 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 050 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/13 06 UTC: 11.1S/74.8E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/11/13 18 UTC: 12.1S/74.6E, MAX WIND=055KT. 36H: 2003/11/14 06 UTC: 13.0S/74.1E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/11/14 18 UTC: 13.8S/73.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/11/15 06 UTC: 14.4S/72.1E, MAX WIND=035KT. 72H: 2003/11/15 18 UTC: 14.5S/71.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CDO PATTERN. THE SYSTEM SLOWLY INTENSIFIES BUT AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWARDS, IT SHOULD ENCOUNTER LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. EXTENSION OF WIND HAVE BEEN CALIBRATED THANKS TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 1259Z.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:36 2003 X-UIDL: 46192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900ID23U3MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:10:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACIBhGZ080947 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:11:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtF7083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:07:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1814572 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:07:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACI6xD1065538 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:06:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACI6mQS021308 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:06:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACI6mJE021306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:06:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:06:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121806.hACI6mJE021306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 121800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 011/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 12/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 975 HPA POSITION: 10.1S / 74.9E (TEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST ) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN SECTORS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 06 UTC: 11.1S / 74.8E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 18 UTC: 12.1S / 74.6E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI SLOWLY INTENSIFIES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER, AS IT KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME UNFAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION AT SHORT RANGE WITH INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:50 2003 X-UIDL: 46202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900IJG8L7MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:53:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACJsPRs071165 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:54:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtJn083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:45:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1815998 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACJjdD1027376 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACJjSQS024247 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:45:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACJjSSa024246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:45:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:45:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121945.hACJjSSa024246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 121945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED NOV 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:38:00 2003 X-UIDL: 46210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900IISB2ZMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 04:47:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACKmHGZ000150 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 04:48:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAA4b009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1816894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACKbZD1035900 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACKbOQS025933 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACKbOvU025931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311122037.hACKbOvU025931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 10.0S1 74.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.0S1 74.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.8S9 74.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.6S8 74.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.7S0 74.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.6S0 73.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.2S3 74.6E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED CONVECTION AND CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION ALLOWING TC 02S TO REACH TYPHOON STRENGTH. THE STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW OF TC 02S HAS BEEN ENHANCED BY A MAJOR TRANSITORY SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING TO THE SOUTH OF TC 02S. TC 02S CONTINUES TO TRACK SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE STEERING FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTH ALLOWING TC 02S TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS RIDGE. THERE HAS BEEN A CHANGE IN REASONING FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF TC 02S. THE TRANSITORY SHORTWAVE SOUTH OF TC 02S, ACTING AS AN ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW MECHANISM FOR TC 02S, SHOULD MOVE EASTWARD TO BE FOLLOWED BY HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDING IN. THIS SHOULD SEE THE INTENSIFICATION RATE DECREASE SOON. HOWEVER, TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. EGGR AND THE GFS EXPECT A STRONGER STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTH RESULTING IN A MORE WESTWARD TRACK SOONER; NOGAPS AND GFDN RESOLVE A WEAKER RIDGE AND ULTIMATELY A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 AND 132100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:38:04 2003 X-UIDL: 46213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900IGVEQHMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:06:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACM7BRs085903 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:07:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtQb083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:57:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1818334 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:57:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACLvwD1092312 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:57:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACLvlQS028960 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:57:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACLvld4028959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:57:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:57:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311122157.hACLvld4028959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 122157 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 12 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/1800 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A WEAK 1009 MB LOW NEAR 12N130W NE TO 15N124W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N136W TO 18N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 8N94W 10N110W 11N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W-81W...AND BETWEEN 134W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 122W-130W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 46215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LOYF8D7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:17:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACMHsRs087109 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:17:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAA8n009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 16:09:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1818531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 16:09:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACM9OD1082634 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 16:09:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACM9DQS029390 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 16:09:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACM9Dct029389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 16:09:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 16:09:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311122209.hACM9Dct029389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 122209 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...09N140W 08N150W 07N160W 08N170W 14N173W 14N177W AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90NM OF ITCZ EAST OF 160W HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 100NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 160W AND 170W HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 170W AND 177W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST 10 KT AND DECREASED IN BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SHEARLINE...30N166W 24N180. SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...25S146W 19S160W 11S180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 300NM NORTH OF TROUGH...AND WITHIN 200 NM SOUTH OF TROUGH HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH IN SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:38:14 2003 X-UIDL: 46218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LJ6J987B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:43:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACNioGZ019647 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:44:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtUr083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 17:29:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1819572 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 17:29:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACNTjD1004018 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 17:29:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACNTYQS001209 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 17:29:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACNTY4W001208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 17:29:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 17:29:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311122329.hACNTY4W001208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 122329 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED NOV 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:38:20 2003 X-UIDL: 46221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LKWKU17B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:18:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD0ItRs098589 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:18:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtWr083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:14:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1820142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:14:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD0EcD1085626 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:14:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD0ERQS001927 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:14:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD0ER0g001925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:14:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:14:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130014.hAD0ER0g001925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 130000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 12/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/13 AT 0000 UTC : 10.6S / 75.0E (TEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 5.0/5.0 /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 960 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 75 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 180 SE: 400 SO: 180 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 080 SO: 060 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/13 12 UTC: 11.5S/75.3E, MAX WIND=080KT. 24H: 2003/11/14 00 UTC: 12.5S/75.2E, MAX WIND=070KT. 36H: 2003/11/14 12 UTC: 13.4S/74.7E, MAX WIND=060KT. 48H: 2003/11/15 00 UTC: 14.0S/73.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/11/15 12 UTC: 14.4S/72.9E, MAX WIND=035KT. 72H: 2003/11/16 00 UTC: 14.6S/72.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: EYE PATTERN. 37 GHZ TRMM DATA AT 1620Z SHOWED THE EARLY BEGINNINGS OF THE EYE (LESS OBVIOUS ON THE 85 GHZ IMAGERY) THE SYSTEM SLOWLY INTENSIFIES BUT AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWARDS, IT SHOULD ENCOUNTER LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. EXTENSION OF WIND HAVE BEEN CALIBRATED THANKS TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 1259Z.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:38:22 2003 X-UIDL: 46222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LNPKVT7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:19:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD0JxRs098681 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:20:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAABr009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:12:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1820122 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:12:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD0CVD1096868 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:12:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD0CKQS001874 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:12:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD0CK4a001872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:12:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:12:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130012.hAD0CK4a001872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 130000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 012/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 960 HPA POSITION: 10.6S / 75.0E (TEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN SECTORS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/75 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 12 UTC: 11.5S / 75.3E, MAX WIND = 80 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 00 UTC: 12.5S / 75.2E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI SLOWLY INTENSIFIES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND AS AN EYE HAS CLEARLY APPEARED ON THE IR IMAGERY, IS BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER , AS IT KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME UNFAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION WITH INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:38:39 2003 X-UIDL: 46235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900M2BP4XE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 09:50:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD1ppRs009970 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 09:51:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACI7j71008258; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 19:46:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1821086 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 19:46:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD1jxD1038942 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 19:45:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD1jmQS003394 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 19:45:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD1jms8003392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 19:45:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 19:45:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130145.hAD1jms8003392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 6.3N9 58.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM REPEAT POSIT: 6.3N9 58.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 6.3N9 57.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 5.9N4 55.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 5.5N0 54.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 5.0N5 53.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 6.3N9 58.1E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 565 NM EAST OF SOMOLIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS CONSOLIDATED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING TC 02A INTO A STRONG TROPICAL STORM. THE MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST OF TC 02A IS PROVIDING THE STEERING FLOW FOR THE SYSTEM. EXPECT TC 02A TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD AND THEN MORE SOUTHWESTWARD AS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST BUILDS. ANALYSIS OF THE AVAILABLE 200 MB FIELDS SHOWS THAT TC 02A WILL EXPERIENCE CONTINUED DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD SO EXPECT TC 02A TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET EGRR AND NOGAPS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NOGAPS FORECASTS TC 02A TO BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY OR EVEN RETROGRADE EASTWARD WHICH IS UNLIKELY GIVEN THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN. CONTINUED WESTWARD MOVEMENT ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST SEEMS TO BE THE MOST PLAUSIBLE MOTION AT THE MOMENT; THIS IS BASICALLY WHAT EGGR IS SHOWING. THIS ALSO MATCHES UP WELL WITH NCEP GFS WHICH WAS NOT AVAILABLE FOR THE CONSENSUS ON THIS WARNING CYCLE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS OF UKMET EGRR AND NOGAPS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 AND 140300Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 12:24:45 2003 X-UIDL: 46247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LVBUCL7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:43:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD3iRRs022376 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:44:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD127G9009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:39:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1822082 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:39:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD3dMD1005168 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:39:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD3dBQS004629 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:39:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD3dBT5004628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:39:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 21:39:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130339.hAD3dBT5004628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 130338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 13 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/0000 UTC... ..1007 MB LOW IS NEAR 11N130W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N136W TO 18N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 8N94W 7N100W 9N110W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 109W-111W...AND FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 132W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-12N BETWEEN 95W-98W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 30 NM OF 9N84W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 13:18:54 2003 X-UIDL: 46251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LSCXPB7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:55:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD4urGZ055614 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:56:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtfP083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:51:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1822596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:51:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD4pVD1044862 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:51:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD4pKQS005241 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:51:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD4pK2H005240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:51:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:51:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130451.hAD4pK2H005240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 130451 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 12 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 13:18:59 2003 X-UIDL: 46253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LENYA37B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 13:08:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD59KGZ056885 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 13:09:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtfr083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1822721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD54uD1052112 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD54kQS005390 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD54jW9005388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130504.hAD54jW9005388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z-140600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/130152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK) IS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 129.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/NOREN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 15:57:37 2003 X-UIDL: 46257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00LUY1J07B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 14:18:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD6JTGZ065366 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 14:19:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD127JR009560; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:14:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1823551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:14:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD6EDD1037208 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:14:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD6E2QS005979 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:14:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD6E2sJ005977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:14:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:14:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pan Pan Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130614.hAD6E2sJ005977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 130000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 012/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 960 HPA POSITION: 10.6S / 75.0E (TEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN SECTORS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/75 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 12 UTC: 11.5S / 75.3E, MAX WIND = 80 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 00 UTC: 12.5S / 75.2E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI SLOWLY INTENSIFIES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND AS AN EYE HAS CLEARLY APPEARED ON THE IR IMAGERY, IS BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER , AS IT KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME UNFAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION WITH INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 15:57:39 2003 X-UIDL: 46258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00M2E1NOE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 14:21:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD6MIRs039460 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 14:22:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BDf069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:20:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1823618 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:20:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD6KLD1017238 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:20:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD6KAQS006060 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:20:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD6KAWt006058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:20:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:20:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130620.hAD6KAWt006058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 130600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 013/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 935 HPA POSITION: 10.9S / 75.3E (TEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/100 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 18 UTC: 11.6S / 75.5E, MAX WIND = 112 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 06 UTC: 12.9S / 75.5E, MAX WIND = 112 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI, A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM, GOES ON INTENSIFYING IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND SHOWS NOW A SMALL WELL DEFINED EYE. IT KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 15:57:45 2003 X-UIDL: 46262-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MBB35QE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 14:53:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD6siRs043114 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 14:54:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BE3069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:50:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1823819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:50:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD6o4D1003870 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:50:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD6nrQS006297 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:49:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD6nrja006295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:49:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:49:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130649.hAD6nrja006295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 130600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 13/2/20032004 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/13 AT 0600 UTC : 10.9S / 75.3E (TEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 6.0/6.0 /D 1.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 935 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 100 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 180 SE: 300 SO: 120 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 100 SO: 060 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/13 18 UTC: 11.6S/75.5E, MAX WIND=112KT. 24H: 2003/11/14 06 UTC: 12.9S/75.5E, MAX WIND=112KT. 36H: 2003/11/14 18 UTC: 13.9S/74.8E, MAX WIND=100KT. 48H: 2003/11/15 06 UTC: 14.2S/74.0E, MAX WIND=090KT. 60H: 2003/11/15 18 UTC: 14.9S/73.2E, MAX WIND=080KT. 72H: 2003/11/16 06 UTC: 15.4S/72.2E, MAX WIND=070KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM HAS CLEARLY INTENSIFYED. SMALL SIZE SYSTEM, WITH A WELL DEFINED SMALL EYE. IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY A LITTLE BIT MORE, TRACKING GENERALLY SOUTHWARD. THEN MORE SOUTHWESTWARD ON THE ARRIVAL OF HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 15:57:46 2003 X-UIDL: 46264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00LEK4L27B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 15:24:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD7PWRs046909 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 15:25:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BEX069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:21:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1824023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:21:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD7LrD1078034 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:21:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD7LhQS006582 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:21:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD7LgC3006581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:21:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 01:21:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130721.hAD7LgC3006581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 130600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 013/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 935 HPA POSITION: 10.9S / 75.3E (TEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/100 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/13 AT 18 UTC: 11.6S / 75.5E, MAX WIND = 112 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 06 UTC: 12.9S / 75.5E, MAX WIND = 112 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI, A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM, GOES ON INTENSIFYING IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, AND SHOWS NOW A SMALL WELL DEFINED EYE. IT KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 16:08:36 2003 X-UIDL: 46270-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00LEQ6FZ7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:04:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD85fGZ078510 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:05:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BF7069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:01:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1824216 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:01:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD813D1104906 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:01:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD80qQS006908 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:00:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD80qWP006907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:00:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:00:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130800.hAD80qWP006907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 130800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED NOV 12 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 17:22:20 2003 X-UIDL: 46274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MZD8CRE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:46:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD8kuRs056656 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:46:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BFp069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:42:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1824465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:42:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD8ggD1077988 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:42:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD8gVQS007269 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:42:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD8gVj3007268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:42:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:42:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130842.hAD8gVj3007268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 130900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 10.9S0 75.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM REPEAT POSIT: 10.9S0 75.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.6S8 75.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.6S9 75.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.5S9 75.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.3S8 74.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 11.1S3 75.2E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. A 1310418Z8 SSM/I PASS AND ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A 15 NM EYE AND THE SYSTEM BECOMING MORE SYMMETRIC. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. BY 48 HOURS, A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BUILD AND PROPAGATE EASTWARD, TURNING TC 02S ON A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH BUILDS AND CUTS OFF THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT. NCEP GFS BUILDS A BUFFER TO THE NORTH AND TURNS THE SYSTEM EQUATORWARD AFTER 24 HOURS. NOGAPS AND UKMET BUILD THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH, BUT UKMET TURNS THE SYSTEM WESTWARD EARLIER. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NCEP GFS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 AND 140900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:19:20 2003 X-UIDL: 46277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MXBB12E5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 17:43:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD9iiGZ090845 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 17:44:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BGR069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:40:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1824814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:40:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD9epD1083858 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:40:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD9eeQS007910 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:40:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD9eeC7007908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:40:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:40:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130940.hAD9eeC7007908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 130900 RTD UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 6.2N8 58.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 6.2N8 58.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 6.1N7 57.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 6.0N6 55.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 6.0N6 53.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 6.1N7 52.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 6.4N0 49.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 6.2N8 58.0E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST OF SOMALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. A 130650Z5 AMSU PASS DEPICTS A 25 NM EYE. TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS ALONG A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 36 TO 48 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN AS APPROACHES LAND AND ENTRAINS DRY AIR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET EGRR AND NOGAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0, 132100Z7, 140300Z8 AND 140900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:19:30 2003 X-UIDL: 46278-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00L1LBYC7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:03:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADA4eGZ093108 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:04:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BGT069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:57:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1824861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:57:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD9vDD1016544 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:57:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD9v2QS008074 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:57:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD9v2Lf008073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:57:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 03:57:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130957.hAD9v2Lf008073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 130956 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 13 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/0600 UTC... ..THE 1007 MB LOW PREVIOUSLY NEAR 11N130W IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE SURFACE. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 15N W OF 115W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A 1026 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N139W TO THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 27N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 8N102W 11N110W 9N120W 9N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 109W TO 124W. SMALL CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 98W TO 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N127W TO 13N130W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF 13N FROM 89W TO 101W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:19:31 2003 X-UIDL: 46279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00L9YC1X7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:05:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADA6qGZ093665 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:06:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BGX069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 04:00:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1824891 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 04:00:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADA0tD1037186 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 04:00:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADA0iQS008137 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 04:00:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADA0igW008136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 04:00:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 04:00:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131000.hADA0igW008136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 131000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...09N140W 09N150W 08N160W 07N170W 10N173W 12N180 AND EXTENDING EAST OF 140W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60NM OF ITCZ EAST OF 150W HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 150W AND 170W HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175NM OF ITCZ BETWEEN 170W AND 180 HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. SHEARLINE...30N150W 18N180. SHOWERY BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 60NM OF SHEARLINE HAVE MOVED EAST AT 20 KT NORTH OF 25N BUT ARE NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTH OF 20N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. SEE SHEARLINE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO ACTIVE CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...25S145W 18S160W 11S180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 300NM NORTH OF TROUGH...AND WITHIN 200 NM SOUTH OF TROUGH HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH IN SOUTH PACIFIC OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:19:46 2003 X-UIDL: 46288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MGPFYUE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 19:30:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADBVNRs076109 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 19:31:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD127LD009560; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 05:25:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1825296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 05:25:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADBPVD1055370 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 05:25:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADBPKQS008782 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 05:25:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADBPKZY008781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 05:25:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 05:25:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131125.hADBPKZY008781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 131125 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:19:47 2003 X-UIDL: 46290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00LU0I917B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:19:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADCKgRs081063 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:20:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BI7069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:15:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1825486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:15:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADCFfD1003962 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:15:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADCFVQS009157 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:15:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADCFUfS009155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:15:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:15:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131215.hADCFUfS009155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 131200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 935 HPA POSITION: 11.2S / 75.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/100 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 00 UTC: 12.0S / 76.0E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 12 UTC: 13.0S / 76.1E, MAX WIND = 60 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE EYE OF THE SYSTEM HAS DESAPPEARED DURING THE LAST HOURS, AS THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENING UNDERGOING AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WITH THE PRESENCCE OF DRY AIR IN THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. BENI KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AS THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILD IN THE SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:19:48 2003 X-UIDL: 46292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00LB9IOA7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:28:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADCTqRs081956 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:29:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BIF069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:22:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1825517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:22:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADCMoD1003986 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:22:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADCMeQS009245 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:22:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADCMd6j009243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:22:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:22:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131222.hADCMd6j009243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 131200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 14/2/20032004 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/13 AT 1200 UTC : 11.2S / 75.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/6.0 MOINS /W 1.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 935 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 100 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 150 SE: 300 SO: 120 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 100 SO: 050 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1100 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/14 00 UTC: 12.0S/76.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 24H: 2003/11/14 12 UTC: 13.0S/76.1E, MAX WIND=060KT. 36H: 2003/11/15 00 UTC: 13.5S/75.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/11/15 12 UTC: 14.2S/74.8E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/11/16 00 UTC: 14.6S/74.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/11/16 12 UTC: 15.0S/73.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE EYE HAS DISAPPEARED DURING THE LAST HOURS AS THE SYSTEM WAS WEAKENING RAPIDLY, UNDERGOING AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, ASSOCIATED WITH DRY AIR PRESENT IN THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. BENI TRACKS GENERALLY SOUTHWARD, AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE SOUTHWESTWARD AS THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILD IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:19:54 2003 X-UIDL: 46294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00LPJL4R7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:22:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADDMwRs087276 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:22:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BIt069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:14:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1825751 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:14:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADDErD1004030 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:14:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADDEgQS009778 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:14:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADDEg7x009776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:14:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 07:14:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131314.hADDEg7x009776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 131200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 935 HPA POSITION: 11.2S / 75.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/100 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 00 UTC: 12.0S / 76.0E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 12 UTC: 13.0S / 76.1E, MAX WIND = 60 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE EYE OF THE SYSTEM HAS DESAPPEARED DURING THE LAST HOURS, AS THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENING UNDERGOING AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WITH THE PRESENCCE OF DRY AIR IN THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. BENI KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS AS THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILD IN THE SOUTH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:19:59 2003 X-UIDL: 46299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MTXN9VE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:08:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADE9DRs092445 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:09:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BKH069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:02:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1826163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:02:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADE0vD1003980 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:00:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADE0kQS010376 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:00:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADE0kn8010375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:00:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:00:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131400.hADE0kn8010375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 131400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU NOV 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. POWELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:20:05 2003 X-UIDL: 46304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00LOPO777B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:28:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADETBGZ022694 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:29:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BLh069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:26:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1826465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:26:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADEQPD1082576 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:26:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADEQEQS010872 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:26:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADEQEgT010870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:26:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:26:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131426.hADEQEgT010870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 131500 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 6.1N7 57.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 6.1N7 57.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 6.0N6 56.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 6.0N6 54.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 6.0N6 53.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 6.1N7 51.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 6.5N1 48.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 6.1N7 57.3E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SOMALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A SUBTROPICAL HIGH OVER THE ARABIAN PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO BUILD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, KEEPING TC 02A ON A WESTWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 36 TO 48 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN AS APPROACHES LAND AND ENTRAINS DRY AIR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, AND NOGAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7, 140300Z8, 140900Z4 AND 141500Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:20:19 2003 X-UIDL: 46312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MSGQQQE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 23:23:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADFO9GZ029030 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 23:24:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB25W75028520; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 09:12:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1826990 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 09:12:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADFCHD1099150 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 09:12:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADFC7QS012108 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 09:12:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADFC77L012107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 09:12:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 09:12:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131512.hADFC77L012107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 131511 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 13 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/1200 UTC... ..TROUGH IS ALONG 9N133W 15N127W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-14.5N BETWEEN 125.5W-129W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 129W-134W. ..1023 MB HIGH IS NEAR LOCATED NEAR 30N138W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 18N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N85W 8N105W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 104W-111W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 118W-140W AND POINT 9N94.5W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N FROM 110W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-14.5N BETWEEN 100W-103W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 13N95.5W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:20:40 2003 X-UIDL: 46326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00M8MWEUE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:25:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADHQYRs014554 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:26:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB25WA3028520; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1829172 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADHGED1030012 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADHG3QS016463 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADHG3DK016460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131716.hADHG3DK016460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z-141800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/130751ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/131353ZNOV03// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A WAS LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 57.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SOMOLIA, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 131500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.3N4 77.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130600Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 75.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:20:42 2003 X-UIDL: 46327-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MNMWLRE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:29:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADHUgGZ045495 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:30:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BTZ069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1829168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADHGED1027950 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADHG3QS016464 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADHG3NK016461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:16:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131716.hADHG3NK016461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z-141800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/130751ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/131353ZNOV03// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A WAS LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 57.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SOMOLIA, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 131500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.3N4 77.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130600Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S, WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 75.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:20:46 2003 X-UIDL: 46329-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MQ8X59E5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:41:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADHgORs016211 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:42:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BUB069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:25:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1829320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:25:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADHPJD1030972 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:25:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADHP8QS016779 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:25:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADHP82A016778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:25:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 11:25:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131725.hADHP82A016778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 131725 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:20:48 2003 X-UIDL: 46333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00M6MYXVE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:20:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADILEGZ050877 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:21:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BWx069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:11:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1830157 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:11:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADIBDD1083834 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:11:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADIB2QS018405 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:11:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADIB2mY018403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:11:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:11:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131811.hADIB2mY018403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 131800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 960 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S / 75.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/85 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 06 UTC: 12.3S / 75.5E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 18 UTC: 13.1S / 75.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI IS WEAKENING VERY QUICKLY, THE ASSOCISTED CONVECTION HAS OBVIOUSLY REDUCED UNDERGOING AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WITH THE PRESENCCE OF DRY AIR IN THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. BENI KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE WESTWARDS AS THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILD IN THE SOUTH AND THE SYSTEM BECOME MORE SENSIBLE TO THE LOW LEVELS CONDITIONS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:20:50 2003 X-UIDL: 46335-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MGUZKUE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:34:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADIZ1Rs021554 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:35:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD127Vh009560; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:24:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1830391 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:24:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADIOcD1052022 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:24:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADIORQS018774 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:24:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADIORBj018772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:24:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:24:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131824.hADIORBj018772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 131800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 15/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/13 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S / 75.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/5.0 /W 2.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 960 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 400 SO: 200 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/14 06 UTC: 12.3S/75.5E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/11/14 18 UTC: 13.1S/75.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/11/15 06 UTC: 13.6S/74.3E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/11/15 18 UTC: 13.9S/73.6E, MAX WIND=020KT. 60H: 2003/11/16 06 UTC: DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI IS WEAKENING VERY QUICKLY, THE ASSOCISTED CONVECTION HAS OBVIOUSLY REDUCED UNDERGOING AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WITH THE PRESENCCE OF DRY AIR IN THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. BENI KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE WESTWARDS AS THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILD IN THE SOUTH. AS THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING, THE SYSTEM BECOME MORE SENSIBLE TO THE LOW LEVELS CONDITIONS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:21:08 2003 X-UIDL: 46344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB00MFKA1JE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:20:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADML1GZ077537 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:21:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADIpWHv028520; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:04:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1834332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:03:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADM3PD1082466 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:03:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADM3EQS025557 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:03:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADM3EWs025556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:03:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:03:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311132203.hADM3EWs025556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 132100 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 11.5S7 76.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.5S7 76.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.3S6 76.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.2S6 77.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.3S8 77.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.4S0 76.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.7S9 76.2E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NORTHWEST THAT GAVE TC 02S IT'S EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW YESTERDAY IS NOW CREATING AN UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. A 131444Z7 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT MUCH OF THE CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEARLY FULLY EXPOSED. ANALYSIS OF THE 200 MB WIND FIELDS FROM THE UW CIMSS CHART SHOWS THAT TC 02S IS SIGNIFICANTLY EMBEDDED IN A MODERATE TO HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. FOR THESE REASONS, THE FORECAST FOR TC 02S HAS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION TC 02S TO A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 02S IS CURRENTLY BEING HELD AT A CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS, BUT IS FORECASTED TO RAPIDLY DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ONLY AS THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW BEGINS TO RAPIDLY DECLINE DUE TO THE LOSS OF CONVECTION. TC 02S MAY SEE SOME SLIGHT REINTENSIFICATION LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SHEAR PROPAGATES EASTWARD. AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS FOR TC 02S TO DISSIPATE OVER THE OPEN WATER AND CEASE TO EXIST AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND NOGAPS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. BOTH EGGR AND NCEP GFS DEPICT UNREALISTIC TRACKS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A DEVELOPING SYSTEM TO THE NORTH. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGGR AND NCEP GFS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:21:19 2003 X-UIDL: 46346-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB00MW1AAYE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:25:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADMQbRs046660 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:26:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64Blj069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:07:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1834415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:06:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADM6GD1092358 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:06:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADM65QS025725 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:06:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADM65rB025724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:06:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:06:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311132206.hADM65rB025724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 132155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11N164W 10N143W 07N143W 06N149W 07N156W 05N163W 07N174W 08N174W 10N168W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 18N174E 18N179W 09N177W 08N174E 12N172E 16N172E HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 02S172E 07S176E 08S178W 15S177W 12S175E 08S172E 08S168E 03S168E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S ARE BOUNDED BY 11S175W 11S163W 15S158W 16S147W 25S134W 25S143W 18S154W 17S171W 15S175W. NORTH OF 20S...CONVECTION HAS MOVED EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SOUTH OF 20S...CONVECTION HAS MOVED EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:21:23 2003 X-UIDL: 46350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB00MQ2DSQE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 07:41:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADNg9GZ086030 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 07:42:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BpN069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 17:19:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1835531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 17:19:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADNJsD1067634 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 17:19:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADNJhQS027384 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 17:19:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADNJhkg027383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 17:19:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 17:19:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311132319.hADNJhkg027383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 132319 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:21:26 2003 X-UIDL: 46355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB00MX7FJJE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:18:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE0JnRs057707 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:19:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADKIBIr003860; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:12:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1836018 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:12:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE0C0D1009576 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:12:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE0BnQS028014 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:11:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE0Bn7N028012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:11:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:11:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140011.hAE0Bn7N028012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 140000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 14/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 976 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.2S / 76.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 20 NM TO 180 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 12 UTC: 13.1S / 76.2E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/15 AT 00 UTC: 13.8S / 75.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI IS WEAKENING VERY QUICKLY, IT SHOWS NOW A SHEARED PATTERN. DESPITE OF A LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE CENTRE LOCATION, CENTRE SEEMS TO BE OUT OF THE CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. BENI KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE WESTWARDS AS THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILD IN THE SOUTH AND THE SYSTEM BECOME MORE SENSIBLE TO THE LOW LEVELS CONDITIONS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:21:27 2003 X-UIDL: 46356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB00M0LFLBE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:19:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE0KsGZ089903 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:20:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64Bqj069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:15:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1836039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:15:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE0F4D1034854 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:15:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE0ErQS028061 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:14:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE0Er0g028059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:14:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:14:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140014.hAE0Er0g028059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 140000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 16/2/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/14 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.2S / 76.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 PLUS /W 1.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 976 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 350 SO: 180 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 040 SO: 040 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/14 12 UTC: 13.1S/76.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/11/15 00 UTC: 13.8S/75.9E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/11/15 12 UTC: 14.2S/75.3E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/11/16 00 UTC: 14.6S/74.7E FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI IS WEAKENING VERY QUICKLY, IT SHOWS NOW A SHEARED PATTERN. DESPITE OF A LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE CENTRE LOCATION, CENTRE SEEMS TO BE OUT OF THE CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. BENI KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWARDS, THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE WESTWARDS AS THE HIGH PRESSURES REBUILD IN THE SOUTH AND THE SYSTEM BECOME MORE SENSIBLE TO THE LOW LEVELS CONDITIONS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:21:29 2003 X-UIDL: 46358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB00M48GL6E5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:41:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE0gORs060343 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:42:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64Br3069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:28:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1836159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE0SRD1012380 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE0SGQS028217 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:28:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE0SGZN028216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:28:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:28:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140028.hAE0SGZN028216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 132100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 015A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 11.5S7 76.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.5S7 76.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.3S6 76.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.2S6 77.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.3S8 77.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.4S0 76.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.7S9 76.2E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE NORTHWEST THAT GAVE TC 02S IT'S EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW YESTERDAY IS NOW CREATING AN UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. A 131444Z7 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT MUCH OF THE CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEARLY FULLY EXPOSED. ANALYSIS OF THE 200 MB WIND FIELDS FROM THE UW CIMSS CHART SHOWS THAT TC 02S IS SIGNIFICANTLY EMBEDDED IN A MODERATE TO HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. FOR THESE REASONS, THE FORECAST FOR TC 02S HAS CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION TC 02S TO A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 02S IS CURRENTLY BEING HELD AT A CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS, BUT IS FORECASTED TO RAPIDLY DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ONLY AS THE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW BEGINS TO RAPIDLY DECLINE DUE TO THE LOSS OF CONVECTION. TC 02S MAY SEE SOME SLIGHT REINTENSIFICATION LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SHEAR PROPAGATES EASTWARD. AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS FOR TC 02S TO DISSIPATE OVER THE OPEN WATER AND CEASE TO EXIST AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. TH AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND NOGAPS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. BOTH EGGR AND NCEP GFS DEPICT UNREALISTIC TRACKS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A DEVELOPING SYSTEM TO THE NORTH. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGGR AND NCEP GFS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED WIND SPEED AND WIND RADII IN ALL FORECAST TIMES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:21:47 2003 X-UIDL: 46375-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB0023YKF5G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 10:04:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE25BRs070109 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 10:05:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADKIBKh003860; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 19:55:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1837117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 19:55:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE1tcD1092660 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 19:55:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE1tRQS029342 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 19:55:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE1tRvG029341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 19:55:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 19:55:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140155.hAE1tRvG029341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 140155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU NOV 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:15 2003 X-UIDL: 46386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB002HPMI3G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 10:49:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE2oAGZ008916 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 10:50:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BwJ069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:44:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1837705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:44:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE2iKD1059602 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:44:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE2i9QS029848 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:44:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE2i9Tn029846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:44:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:44:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140244.hAE2i9Tn029846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 6.0N6 56.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 6.0N6 56.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 6.1N7 54.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 6.2N8 52.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 6.4N0 50.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 6.6N2 48.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 6.8N4 45.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 6.0N6 55.8E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST OF SOMALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. THE STEERING FLOW FOR TC 02A CONTINUES TO BE PROVIDED BY THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH OVER THE ARABIAN PENINSULA, KEEPING TC 02A ON A WESTWARD TRACK. TC 02A IS EXPERIENCING RADIAL OUTFLOW AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO INTENSIFY FOR 12 TO 24 MORE HOURS BEFORE THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW BEGINS TO ENTRAIN DRY AIR AND WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOMALIA COAST AT THE 48 HOUR TAU AND DISSIPATE RAPIDLY OVER THE DESERT ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, AFWA, WBAI AND NOGAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4, 141500Z1, 142100Z8 AND 150300Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:23 2003 X-UIDL: 46393-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB002KJOF7G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:30:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE3VbRs081341 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:31:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64B0b069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:19:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1838342 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:19:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE3JpD1034834 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:19:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE3JeQS000252 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:19:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE3JeNw000251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:19:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:19:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140319.hAE3JeNw000251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 140319 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 14 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0000 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 10N136W 13N130W. ..DISSIPATING 1023 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 29N138W WITH A WEAK RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 25N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 8N96W 11N130W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 100W-109W. MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET EXTENDS WITHIN 200 NM OF A LINE ALONG 13N124W 20N117W 30N109W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:31 2003 X-UIDL: 46401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB002BDRF2G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:35:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE4aJGZ021685 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:36:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64B3B069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:31:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1839156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:31:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE4VuD1104816 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:31:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE4VjQS000917 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:31:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE4Vj9d000916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:31:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:31:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140431.hAE4Vj9d000916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 140431 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 13 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:34 2003 X-UIDL: 46410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB002H5W3UG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:16:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE6HWRs099519 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:17:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iDh038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:14:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1840251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:14:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE6ESD1059516 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:14:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE6EHQS001867 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:14:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE6EHcY001865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:14:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:14:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 14/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140614.hAE6EHcY001865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 140600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 14/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 986 HPA POSITION: 12.3S / 77.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/14 AT 18 UTC: 13.0S / 78.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/15 AT 06 UTC: 14.1S / 77.9E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: INTENSITY OF BENI HAS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE AT SHORT RANGE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:36 2003 X-UIDL: 46412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB002BCWC9G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:21:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE6MbGZ032931 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:22:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iDj038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:15:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1840256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:15:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE6FTD1012300 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:15:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE6FIQS001882 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:15:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE6FIDq001880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:15:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:15:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140615.hAE6FIDq001880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 140600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 17/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/14 AT 0600 UTC : 12.3S / 77.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 MOINS /W 3.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 986 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 150 SE: 280 SO: 180 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/14 18 UTC: 13.0S/78.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/11/15 06 UTC: 14.1S/77.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/11/15 18 UTC: 15.0S/77.4E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/11/16 06 UTC: 15.4S/76.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/11/16 18 UTC: 15.7S/76.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 72H: 2003/11/17 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0-, CI=3.5-. THE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS ENOUGH STRONG TO PREVENT ANY RE-INTISIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:43 2003 X-UIDL: 46418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002FI0ACG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:47:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE7ltGZ042745 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:47:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iFD038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:46:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1840846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:46:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE7k2D1092180 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:46:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE7jpQS002577 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:45:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE7jpUF002576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:45:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 01:45:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140745.hAE7jpUF002576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 140745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU NOV 13 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:51 2003 X-UIDL: 46428-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC0020E3COG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:53:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE8s0GZ051034 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:54:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iGP038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:50:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1841289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:50:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE8o5D1047094 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:50:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE8nsQS003077 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:49:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE8ns0R003075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:49:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:49:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140849.hAE8ns0R003075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 140900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 5.9N4 55.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 5.9N4 55.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 5.9N4 54.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 6.0N6 52.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 6.1N7 50.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 6.2N8 48.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 6.3N9 44.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 5.9N4 55.2E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST OF SOMALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A WESTWARD TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO ENTRAIN DRY AIR FROM THE WEST. TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE SOMALIA COAST AT THE 48 HOUR TAU AND DISSIPATE RAPIDLY OVER THE DESERT ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, AFWA, WBAI AND NOGAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDI TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1, 142100Z8, 150300Z9 AND 150900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:53 2003 X-UIDL: 46429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002DS3GKG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:55:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE8uRGZ051339 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:56:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iEb038534; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:49:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1841281 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:49:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE8n3D1037120 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:49:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE8mqQS003059 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:48:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE8mqPm003057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:48:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:48:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140848.hAE8mqPm003057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 140900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 12.4S7 77.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 77.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.2S6 78.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.2S7 78.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.1S7 77.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.8S4 77.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 12.6S9 77.5E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS GETTING SHEARED, BUT DEEP CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO BUILD BACK OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION TC 02S TO A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 02S IS FORECASTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, AND NOGAPS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. BOTH EGRR AND NCEP GFS DEPICT UNREALISTIC TRACKS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A DEVELOPING SYSTEM TO THE NORTH. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGRR AND NCEP GFS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 AND 150900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:57 2003 X-UIDL: 46441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002CO68XG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:55:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE9ucGZ059143 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:56:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iEr038534; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:46:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1841566 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:46:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE9kdD1037366 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:46:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE9kSQS003699 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:46:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE9kSUT003698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:46:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:46:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140946.hAE9kSUT003698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 140946 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 14 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS ACROSS THE NW CORNER OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N135W TO BEYOND 31N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 15N W OF 112W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A 1025 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 29N129W SW TO 20N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N100W 8N116W 12N128W 9N134W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 123W TO 127W AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 137W TO 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 81W TO 82W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 102W... WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 115W...AND WITHIN 150/180 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 123W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 102W TO 106W... WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 137W...WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 121W...AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS W OF 138W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 13.5N101W TO 12.5N102.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N FROM 95W TO 99W AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 5N TO 8N. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:58 2003 X-UIDL: 46443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002U96G4G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 18:00:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEA0uGZ059631 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 18:00:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iH3038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:55:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1841660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:55:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE9tuD1037178 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:55:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE9tjQS003768 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:55:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE9tjnk003767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:55:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:55:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140955.hAE9tjnk003767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 140955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 09N140W 09N146W AND MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA FROM 159W TO 149W BETWEEN 06N AND 10N MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF POINT 07N167W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE EQUATOR...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N174W 15N177E AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE... WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 15S168W 13S177E AND MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15S162W 17S150W MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 23S141W 25S138W 30S132W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:07:20 2003 X-UIDL: 46449-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002XGBD6G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 19:46:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEBlDGZ069958 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 19:47:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iIL038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 05:42:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1842268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 05:42:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEBgFD1030234 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 05:42:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEBg4QS004761 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 05:42:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEBg4l3004760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 05:42:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 05:42:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141142.hAEBg4l3004760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 141141 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:07:28 2003 X-UIDL: 46451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002DLCSDG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:17:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAECHuGZ072826 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:17:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iIn038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:11:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1842415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:11:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAECBRD1065714 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:11:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAECBGQS005029 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:11:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAECBGNW005027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:11:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:11:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141211.hAECBGNW005027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 141200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 018/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 14/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 986 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 78.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/15 AT 00 UTC: 13.6S / 78.3E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/15 AT 12 UTC: 14.6S / 78.1E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:07:30 2003 X-UIDL: 46452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002PXCYHG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:20:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAECLaRs039994 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:21:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iIp038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:12:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1842432 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:12:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAECCQD1104708 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:12:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAECCFQS005048 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:12:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAECCFKE005046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:12:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:12:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141212.hAECCFKE005046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 141200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 18/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/14 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 78.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 986 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 150 SE: 280 SO: 180 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/15 00 UTC: 13.6S/78.3E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2003/11/15 12 UTC: 14.6S/78.1E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2003/11/16 00 UTC: 15.4S/77.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/11/16 12 UTC: 16.0S/76.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/11/17 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/11/17 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0-, CI=3.5-. THE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS ENOUGH STRONG TO PREVENT ANY RE-INTISIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:07:46 2003 X-UIDL: 46464-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002HIH5AG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:51:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEDq5GZ083391 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:52:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iKh038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 07:48:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1843242 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 07:48:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEDm3D1082616 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 07:48:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEDlqQS006090 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 07:47:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEDlqBu006089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 07:47:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 07:47:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141347.hAEDlqBu006089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 141345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI NOV 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:07:50 2003 X-UIDL: 46469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002JWJHQG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:41:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEEgjRs054321 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:42:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iN3038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:37:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1843971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:37:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEEbYD1045144 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:37:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEEbNQS007042 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:37:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEEbNE9007041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:37:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:37:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141437.hAEEbNE9007041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 141500 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 5.6N1 54.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 5.6N1 54.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 5.5N0 52.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 5.7N2 50.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 6.1N7 48.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 6.7N3 46.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 5.6N1 54.0E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM EAST OF SOMALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN OUTFLOW AND CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. TC 02A IS EXPECTED RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS OVER SOMALIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), WBAR, AND NOGAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8, 150300Z9, 150900Z5, AND 151500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:08:10 2003 X-UIDL: 46480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC00205LXHG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 23:34:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEFZKGZ093998 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 23:35:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEEp8Dt030186; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 09:26:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1844551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 09:26:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEFQdD1082602 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 09:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEFQSQS008365 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 09:26:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEFQSPP008364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 09:26:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 09:26:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141526.hAEFQSPP008364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 141526 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 14 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS ACROSS THE NW CORNER OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N131W TO BEYOND 30N140W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS BEHIND THE FRONT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS LIES AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM 27N127W SE TO 14N100W THROUGH SOCORRO ISLAND. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N85W 9N100W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS W OF 127W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N120W 13N127W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N-8N E OF 79.5W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 119W-122W BETWEEN 7N-10N. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W-110W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 108W-120W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR 9N85W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINES 11N95W 10N100W AND 13.5N100W 13N105W... PERHAPS INITIATED BY A TEHUANTEPEC GALE EVENT. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:08:30 2003 X-UIDL: 46495-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002WFR0AG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:24:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEHP5GZ006379 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:25:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iSV038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:15:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1845752 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:15:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEHF1D1024818 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:15:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEHEoQS011535 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:14:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEHEoqT011533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:14:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:14:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141714.hAEHEoqT011533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 141714 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:08:32 2003 X-UIDL: 46496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002FSRXNG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:44:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEHj6Rs073071 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:45:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEEp8Gf030186; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1846221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEHcVD1009560 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEHcKQS012308 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEHcKHI012305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141738.hAEHcKHI012305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z-151800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/141353ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/140751ZNOV03// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 1412000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM EAST OF SOMALIA AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 140900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:08:34 2003 X-UIDL: 46497-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002LVS1IG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:46:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEHlNGZ009039 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:47:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADIpWWL028520; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1846217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEHcVD1047136 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEHcKQS012307 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEHcKva012306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:38:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141738.hAEHcKva012306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z-151800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/141353ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/140751ZNOV03// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 1412000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM EAST OF SOMALIA AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 140900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:08:40 2003 X-UIDL: 46500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002Q4TT0G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:24:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEIPTGZ013213 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:25:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iVh038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:17:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1846882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:17:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEIHVD1045182 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:17:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEIHKQS013281 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:17:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEIHKxW013279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:17:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:17:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141817.hAEIHKxW013279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 141800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 14/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S / 78.3E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/15 AT 06 UTC: 13.9S / 78.4E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/15 AT 18 UTC: 14.6S / 78.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOCATION OF THE CENTRE IS DIFFICULT. THE LARGE EXTENSION OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR IS DUE TO THE STRONG ISOBARIC GRADIANT RELATED TO THE HIGH PRESENT IN THE SOUTH OF BENI.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:08:42 2003 X-UIDL: 46501-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002Q8TT8G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:24:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEIPdGZ013227 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:25:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iVl038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:19:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1846900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:19:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEIJ9D1045208 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:19:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEIIwQS013321 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:18:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEIIwB6013319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:18:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:18:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141818.hAEIIwB6013319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 141800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/14 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S / 78.3E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 MOINS /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 400 SO: 350 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/15 06 UTC: 13.9S/78.4E, MAX WIND=035KT. 24H: 2003/11/15 18 UTC: 14.6S/78.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/11/16 06 UTC: 15.0S/77.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/11/16 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/11/17 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/11/17 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5, CI=3.0-. THE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS ENOUGH STRONG TO PREVENT ANY RE-INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:18 2003 X-UIDL: 46521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002AZY1HG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:56:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEJv0Rs086528 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:57:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61icV038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 13:50:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1849191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 13:50:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEJoSD1046918 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 13:50:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEJoHQS015973 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 13:50:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEJoHSP015972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 13:50:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 13:50:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141950.hAEJoHSP015972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 141950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI NOV 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:30 2003 X-UIDL: 46529-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD002E426PG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:25:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAELQWRs097698 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:26:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dIH055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:19:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1850827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:19:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAELJ1D1005266 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:19:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAELIoQS018408 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:18:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAELIow5018406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:18:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:18:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311142118.hAELIow5018406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 5.9N4 54.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 5.9N4 54.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 6.0N6 52.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 6.1N7 50.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 6.3N9 48.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 6.9N5 46.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 5.9N4 54.2E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM EAST OF SOMALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 141617Z0 SSM/I IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION, DISLOCATED FROM THE AREA OF PREVIOUS CONVECTION. THE LATEST POSITION IS A RELOCATION 140 NM (APPROX) TO THE EAST BASED ON THIS IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER, THEREBY DECREASING CONVECTION OVER THE SYSTEM. TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS OVER SOMALIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), WBAR, AND NOGAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9, 150900Z5, 151500Z2 AND 152100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:32 2003 X-UIDL: 46530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD002ES27JG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:26:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAELQxGZ034898 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:27:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dIJ055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:20:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1850854 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:20:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAELK2D1082482 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:20:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAELJpQS018449 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:19:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAELJpMZ018448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:19:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:19:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311142119.hAELJpMZ018448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 13.2S6 78.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 78.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.0S5 79.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.6S1 79.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.1S7 79.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 15.7S3 78.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 13.4S8 78.8E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 495 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BUT CONTINUES TO HAVE CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ADDITIONALLY ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THEREAFTER, A HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION TC 02S TO A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN LATE IN THE PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, LOSES THE GOOD OUTFLOW, AND DRIER AIR FROM THE WEST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, AND NOGAPS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. BOTH EGRR AND NCEP GFS DEPICT UNREALISTIC TRACKS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A DEVELOPING SYSTEM TO THE NORTH. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF NGPS AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 AND 152100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:38 2003 X-UIDL: 46533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD0024C3UBG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:01:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEM2IRs001210 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:02:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dKv055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:55:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1851647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:55:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAELtUD1099276 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:55:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAELtJQS019337 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:55:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAELtJE7019336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:55:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:55:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311142155.hAELtJE7019336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 142155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 09N140W 10N167W MOVED NORTH 5 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE SLIGHTLY. AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120-150 NM OF LINE 08N167W 06N173W 07N180 IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURE/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SUB-TROPICAL JET STREAM FLOWING FROM 19N180 TO 21N140W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU IN VICINITY OF JOHNSTON. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S135W 20N144W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH ALONG 18S150W 16S160W AND AS A CONVERGENCE ZONE THROUGH 16S169W 12S180. FRONT MOVING EAST 20 KT. TROUGH/CONVERGENCE ZONE NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT/TROUGH DIMINISHED. ISOLATED CB ALONG AND WITHIN 240 NM NORTH OF THE CONVERGENCE ZONE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CONVERGENCE ZONE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:40 2003 X-UIDL: 46534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD002W750JG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:26:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEMRZRs003466 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:27:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dLl055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:11:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1852055 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:11:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEMBXD1098460 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:11:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEMBNQS019722 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:11:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEMBMev019721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:11:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:11:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311142211.hAEMBMev019721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 142211 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 14 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS ACROSS THE NW CORNER OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N127W TO BEYOND 29N140W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS BEHIND THE FRONT. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS LIES AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM 28N124W SE TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N100W 9N122W 8N133W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11N123W 13N125W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12N95W 11N97W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:42 2003 X-UIDL: 46535-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD002VJ6LYG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 07:01:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEN25Rs006287 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 07:02:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dQJ055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:57:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1853037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:57:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEMvND1017174 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:57:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEMvCQS020709 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:57:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEMvC38020708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:57:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:57:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311142257.hAEMvC38020708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 142257 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:46 2003 X-UIDL: 46537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD002AY9A5G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 07:58:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAENxmRs010613 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 07:59:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dSN055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:56:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1853947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:56:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAENuuD1037216 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:56:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAENujQS021430 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:56:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAENujMb021428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:56:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:56:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311142356.hAENujMb021428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 150000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 20/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/15 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 78.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 400 SO: 350 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/15 12 UTC: 14.3S/78.1E, MAX WIND=035KT. 24H: 2003/11/16 00 UTC: 15.0S/77.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/11/16 12 UTC: 15.1S/76.7E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2003/11/17 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/11/17 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/11/18 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5+, CI=3.0-. THE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS STRONG ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY RE-INTENSIFICATION BUT DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:48 2003 X-UIDL: 46538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD002KB9GJG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:02:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF03cGZ049315 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:03:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5gLR030194; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:54:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1853926 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:54:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAENsqD1012492 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:54:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAENsfQS021392 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:54:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAENsfg4021390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:54:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 17:54:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311142354.hAENsfg4021390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 150000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 020/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 15/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 78.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/15 AT 12 UTC: 14.3S / 78.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/16 AT 00 UTC: 15.0S / 77.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOCATION OF THE CENTRE IS DIFFICULT. THE LARGE EXTENSION OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR IS DUE TO THE STRONG ISOBARIC GRADIANT RELATED TO THE HIGH PRESENT IN THE SOUTH OF BENI.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 12:02:19 2003 X-UIDL: 46546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD0050IET2TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 09:58:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF1x8GZ060106 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 09:59:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5fNB007822; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 19:50:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1855371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 19:50:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF1oYD1082438 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 19:50:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF1oOQS022695 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 19:50:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF1oNoh022694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 19:50:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 19:50:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150150.hAF1oNoh022694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 150150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI NOV 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 12:02:37 2003 X-UIDL: 46552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005BXH7KTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 10:50:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF2p1Rs025517 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 10:51:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dXB055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:43:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1855840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:43:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF2h5D1077114 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:43:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF2gsQS023239 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:42:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF2gsrc023238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:42:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:42:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150242.hAF2gsrc023238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- NEAR 5.9N4 53.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 5.9N4 53.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 6.1N7 51.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 6.4N0 49.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 6.8N4 46.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION NEAR 05.9N4 052.9E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST OF SOMALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 55 KNOTS. TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. RECENT MICROWAVED IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS WEAK CONVECTION WEST OF A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT TRACKS OVER SOMALIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), WBAR, AND NOGAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5, 151500Z2, 152100Z9 AND 160300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 12:02:50 2003 X-UIDL: 46559-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005NZJCSTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:36:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF3bNGZ069941 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:37:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dYR055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:26:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1856312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:26:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF3QbD1091576 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:26:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF3QQQS023704 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:26:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF3QQm7023703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:26:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:26:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150326.hAF3QQm7023703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 150326 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 15 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS ACROSS THE NW CORNER OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N126W TO 30N133W. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO BEYOND 29N140W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ARE BEHIND THE FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 9N100W 10N122W 9N133W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 9N133W TO 7N136W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 11N136W TO 10N139W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 112W TO 114W AND 120W TO 123W ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:01 2003 X-UIDL: 46564-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005T8LVLTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:30:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF4VrRs034715 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:31:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dZ1055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:26:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1856716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF4QcD1038540 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:26:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF4QRQS024276 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:26:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF4QRKw024275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:26:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:26:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150426.hAF4QRKw024275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 150426 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 14 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:03 2003 X-UIDL: 46566-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005E1QWGTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:19:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF6KLRs043695 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:20:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dcv055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:14:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1857859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:14:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF6EGD1024778 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:14:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF6E5QS025214 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:14:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF6E5pg025212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:14:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:14:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150614.hAF6E5pg025212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 150600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 21/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 15/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 996 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 78.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/15 AT 18 UTC: 13.0S / 78.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/16 AT 06 UTC: 13.2S / 78.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGLY SHEARED, THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI DISSIPATING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:10 2003 X-UIDL: 46570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005BSRBJTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:28:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF6TORs044442 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:29:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dcx055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:20:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1857902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:20:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF6KOD1017484 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:20:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF6KDQS025268 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:20:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF6KDuk025267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:20:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:20:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150620.hAF6KDuk025267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 150600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 21/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/15 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 78.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 996 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 32 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 050 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/15 18 UTC: 13.0S/78.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/16 06 UTC: 13.2S/78.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/11/16 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0, CI=2.5+. THE SYSTEM IS STRONGLY SHEARED AND DISSIPATING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:12 2003 X-UIDL: 46571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005KXRG8TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:31:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF6WEGZ086570 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:32:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5fQd007822; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:24:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1857926 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:24:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF6O0D1077208 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:24:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF6NnQS025313 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:23:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF6NnhG025311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:23:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:23:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150623.hAF6NnhG025311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z-160600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/150152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK) IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 118.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 161.3E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N0 160.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:24 2003 X-UIDL: 46577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD0058WTTPTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:22:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF7NRRs049030 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:23:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5gQZ030194; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:14:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1858284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:14:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF7EXD1098420 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:14:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF7EMQS025719 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:14:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF7EMFk025717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:14:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:14:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150714.hAF7EMFk025717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 5.9N4 53.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 5.9N4 53.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 6.1N7 52.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 6.6N2 49.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 7.2N9 47.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 5.9N4 53.4E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST OF SOMALIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 150530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 02A IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE ARABIAN PENINSULA. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS WEAK CONVECTION WEST OF A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). TC 02A WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER SOMALIA AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 36. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:28 2003 X-UIDL: 46582-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005BDVY6TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 16:08:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF89MRs053429 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 16:09:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5fRP007822; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:01:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1858626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:01:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF81PD1096132 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:01:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF81EQS026074 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:01:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF81EFI026073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:01:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:01:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150801.hAF81EFI026073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 150800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI NOV 14 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:32 2003 X-UIDL: 46584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD00545XHOTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 16:41:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF8gfGZ000395 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 16:42:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dfJ055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:38:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1858888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:38:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF8cLD1024784 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:38:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF8cAQS026335 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:38:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF8cA2T026334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:38:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:38:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150838.hAF8cA2T026334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 018 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 13.1S5 78.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 78.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.6S0 79.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.2S7 78.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.7S2 77.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.3S9 76.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.2S6 78.9E4. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) IS FURTHER NORTHWEST THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. BASED ON THIS VISIBLE IMAGERY, WE RELOCATED THE POSITION ABOUT 30 NM NORTHWEST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION (14/18Z). TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 485 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 150530Z4 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35, AND 45 KNOTS. 200 MB ANALYSIS AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM IS ENCOUNTERING MODERATE WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THEREAFTER, A HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION TC 02S TO A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND ENCOUNTERS DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT FROM THE WEST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, AND NOGAPS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. BOTH EGRR AND NCEP GFS DEPICT UNREALISTIC TRACKS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A DEVELOPING SYSTEM TO THE NORTH. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF NOGAPS AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 AND 160900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:36 2003 X-UIDL: 46586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD0057PYZ1TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 17:13:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF9EjGZ003410 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 17:14:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF7GVLH041932; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:10:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1859032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:10:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF9A4D1067834 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:10:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF99rQS026756 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:09:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF99rqV026754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:09:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:09:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150909.hAF99rqV026754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/150900Z-160600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/150152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK) IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 118.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 161.3E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N0 160.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 14.5N0 171.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES INDICATE CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:42 2003 X-UIDL: 46588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005TM14TTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 18:00:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFA1GRs064212 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 18:01:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5fRn007822; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:52:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1859212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:52:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF9qqD1024614 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:52:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF9qfQS027047 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:52:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF9qfhw027046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:52:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:52:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150952.hAF9qfhw027046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 150952 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 15 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/0600 UTC... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N122W ALONG 29N133W TO BEYOND 28N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N95W 10N108W 12N122W 11N132W 10N140W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 124W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N101.5W TO 12N104W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE FROM 3N TO 9N BETWEEN 78W AND 84W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:44 2003 X-UIDL: 46589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005ZZ19UTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 18:03:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFA4QRs064440 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 18:04:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dff055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 04:01:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1859257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 04:01:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFA1MD1049484 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 04:01:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFA1CQS027136 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 04:01:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFA1BQq027135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 04:01:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 04:01:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151001.hAFA1BQq027135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 151000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB BOUNDED BY 09N178W 06N176W 09N166W 12N168W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11N164W 12N160W 08N159W 08N162W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 11N156W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11N140W 10N146W 08N145W 08N140W...CONTINUE EAST OF 140W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 13S176W 18S168W 21S167W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:46 2003 X-UIDL: 46594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005UE5LPTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 19:37:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFBbvGZ016480 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 19:37:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dgT055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:34:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1859754 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:34:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFBYOD1021780 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:34:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFBYDQS027885 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:34:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFBYDZi027884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:34:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:34:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151134.hAFBYDZi027884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 151134 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:52 2003 X-UIDL: 46598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005XD7TGTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:24:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFCPhGZ020506 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:25:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dh7055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:22:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1860045 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:22:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFCMLD1049528 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:22:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFCMAQS028217 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:22:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFCMAFi028215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:22:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:22:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151222.hAFCMAFi028215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 151200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 22/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 15/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S / 78.3E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS AROUND THE CENTRE REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT WITHIN 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/16 AT 00 UTC: 13.2S / 78.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, DISSIPATING. 24H, VALID 2003/11/16 AT 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI DISSIPATING. CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND BROKEN EASTERN OF THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE. FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:54 2003 X-UIDL: 46599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE0050K7XXTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:27:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFCSQGZ020707 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:28:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dhB055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:25:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1860075 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:25:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFCPND1013298 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:25:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFCPDQS028263 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:25:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFCPDYU028261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:25:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:25:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151225.hAFCPDYU028261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 151200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 22/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/15 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S / 78.3E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/16 00 UTC: 13.2S/78.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, DISSIPATING. 24H: 2003/11/16 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-, CI=2.5-. THE SYSTEM IS STRONGLY SHEARED AND DISSIPATING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:43:44 2003 X-UIDL: 46604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005UCCFMTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:04:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFE5RGZ028769 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:05:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF7GVfN041932; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:02:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1860922 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:02:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFE1MD1009934 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:01:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFE1BQS029071 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:01:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFE1B4t029070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:01:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:01:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151401.hAFE1B4t029070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 151400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SAT NOV 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:09 2003 X-UIDL: 46611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE0053VFS3TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:16:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFFHkGZ035106 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:17:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dlD055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 09:13:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1861883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 09:13:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFFDoD1098502 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 09:13:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFFDeQS029677 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 09:13:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFFDel7029676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 09:13:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 09:13:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151513.hAFFDel7029676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 151513 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 15 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/1200 UTC... ..QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WITH A 1032 MB HIGH NW OF THE AREA NEAR 35N152W PROVIDING ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 10N W OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N100W 11N115W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 4N-8N BETWEEN 79W-84W. ISOLATED CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION ARE NEAR 7N86W 6N101W 8N108W AND 9N115W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 117W-124W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 124W-134W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF 12.5N139W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 7N-11N W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED TSTM COMPLEXES ARE NEAR 9N93W AND 13N103W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:12 2003 X-UIDL: 46614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005KJKXFTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 01:08:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFH8uRs002723 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 01:08:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dnn055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:04:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1863055 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:04:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFH4RD1103760 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:04:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFH4GQS000623 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:04:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFH4Gti000622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:04:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:04:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151704.hAFH4Gti000622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 151704 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:13 2003 X-UIDL: 46616-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005C1OJHTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:26:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFIQwGZ056197 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:27:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dph055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1864009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFILbD1069602 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFILQQS001303 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFILQfo001301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151821.hAFILQfo001301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z-161800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150753ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150751ZNOV03// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A WAS LOCATED NEAR 5.9N4 53.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST OF SOMALIA HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 150900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 1.1N2 78.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 78.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 485 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 150900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:16 2003 X-UIDL: 46618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005TMOWJTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:33:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFIYoRs011044 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:34:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5fYn007822; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1864012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFILeD1069608 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFILUQS001306 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFILQFd001302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:21:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151821.hAFILQFd001302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/151800Z-161800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150753ZNOV03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150751ZNOV03// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A WAS LOCATED NEAR 5.9N4 53.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST OF SOMALIA HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 150900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 1.1N2 78.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 78.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 485 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 150900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:26 2003 X-UIDL: 46623-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005W1SLATM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 03:53:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFJsURs018829 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 03:54:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5drd055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 13:50:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1865048 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 13:50:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFJomD1098444 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 13:50:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFJocQS002135 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 13:50:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFJobIY002134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 13:50:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 13:50:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151950.hAFJobIY002134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 151950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT NOV 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:32 2003 X-UIDL: 46627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005NVWNATM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 05:21:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFLM3GZ074229 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 05:22:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dtZ055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:13:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1866085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:13:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFLDhD1104934 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:13:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFLDWQS002889 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:13:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFLDWo1002888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:13:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:13:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311152113.hAFLDWo1002888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 152100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 13.8S2 78.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 78.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.4S9 77.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 13.9S3 77.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. 200 MB ANALYSIS AND ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TC 02S IS ENCOUNTERING INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND THE CONVECTION HAS DECOUPLED FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE UPPER LEVELS ARE BEING STEERED EASTWARD BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AND THE LOWER LEVELS ARE BEING STEERED IN A WESTWARD DIRECTION BY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 16 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:34 2003 X-UIDL: 46628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE00581YEETM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 05:59:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFLxpRs030029 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 05:59:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5duF055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:56:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1866441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:56:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFLtxD1005260 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFLtmQS003212 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:55:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFLtm75003211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:55:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:55:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311152155.hAFLtm75003211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 152155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 15 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/1800 UTC... ..TROUGH IS SW OF CALIFORNIA ALONG 32N120W 29N124W 28N130W. ..A 1033 MB HIGH NW OF THE AREA IS NEAR 34N151W PROVIDING ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF 10N W OF 105W EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF TROUGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N100W 10N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 84W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 113W-133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:36 2003 X-UIDL: 46629-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE0059ZYG2TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 06:00:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFM0wGZ078612 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 06:00:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5duD055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:55:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1866436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:55:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFLtcD1084712 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:55:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFLtSQS003206 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:55:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFLtRH0003205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:55:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:55:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311152155.hAFLtRH0003205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 152155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 09N154W 12N163W AND WITHIN MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FRONT THROUGH 30N 175E 24N170E MOVING EAST 20 KT. ISOLATED CB/BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S132W 19S141W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH TO 17S153W. FRONT MOVED EAST 15-20 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG FRONT. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... WEAK LOW...NEAR 18S167W. ASSOCIATED TROUGH THROUGH 16S165W 14S171W 13S180 MOVED EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 25S168W 20S171W MOVING BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS WITHIN 25 NM OF FRONT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:38 2003 X-UIDL: 46630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF005BQ2ZETM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 07:38:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFNcvFT008394 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 07:38:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dwT055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 17:34:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1867101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 17:34:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFNYZD1104888 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 17:34:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFNYOQS004025 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 17:34:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFNYOxm004024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 17:34:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 17:34:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311152334.hAFNYOxm004024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 152334 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:42 2003 X-UIDL: 46635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF007G898CVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 09:53:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG1ruFT019214 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 09:53:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d0x055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 19:50:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1868012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 19:50:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG1oXD1051418 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 19:50:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG1oMQS005172 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 19:50:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG1oMmH005171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 19:50:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 19:50:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160150.hAG1oMmH005171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 160150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT NOV 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:53 2003 X-UIDL: 46641-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF007KNE1KVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:36:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG3bpFT027115 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:37:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d21055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:34:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1868617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:34:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG3YID1017504 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:34:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG3Y7QS005955 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:34:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG3Y76s005954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:34:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:34:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160334.hAG3Y76s005954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 160333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 16 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/0000 UTC... ..A 1033 MB HIGH NW OF THE AREA IS NEAR 34N151W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 10N W OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 10N120W 9N132W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 116W-131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN COLOMBIA FROM 1N-3N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 9N83W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:55 2003 X-UIDL: 46642-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF007VZGGGVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 12:29:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG4TxOI028739 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 12:30:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d2f055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:26:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1868898 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:26:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG4QED1077126 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:26:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG4Q3QS006355 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:26:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG4Q3Pc006354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:26:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:26:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160426.hAG4Q3Pc006354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 160425 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 15 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:02 2003 X-UIDL: 46646-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF007NYKQCVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:01:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG62KFT039501 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:02:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5ffB007822; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1869432 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG5rPD1067830 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG5rEQS006973 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG5rES5006971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160553.hAG5rES5006971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z-170600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/160152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK) IS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 113.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.7N0 160.3E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.6N0 159.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTHWEST OF SPORADIC AND WEAK CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 171.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 168.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:06 2003 X-UIDL: 46649-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF007GSQFBVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 16:04:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG85GOI044979 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 16:05:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d67055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:01:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1870375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:01:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG81PD1064730 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:01:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG81EQS007900 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:01:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG81Eeh007899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:01:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:01:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160801.hAG81Eeh007899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 160800 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT NOV 15 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:12 2003 X-UIDL: 46652-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF007XCVNPVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 17:57:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG9wLFT059403 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 17:58:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d6r055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 03:54:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1870786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 03:54:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG9sHD1092252 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 03:54:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG9s6QS008916 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 03:54:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG9s6pd008915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 03:54:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 03:54:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160954.hAG9s6pd008915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 160954 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 16 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N129W AND EXTENDS TO 30N38W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA N OF 13N W OF 122W EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE ABOVE FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 8N99W 10N113W 11N129W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 119W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 100W AND FROM 120W TO 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF A LINE FROM 14N112W TO 14.5N122W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM ALONG THE COAST FROM COLOMBIA TO COSTA RICA. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:14 2003 X-UIDL: 46653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF008A3VVJ7O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 18:02:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGA33FT059851 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 18:03:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d6x055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 04:00:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1870840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 04:00:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGA0wD1027908 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 04:00:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGA0lQS008983 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 04:00:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGA0lPF008982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 04:00:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 04:00:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161000.hAGA0lPF008982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 161000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 10N155W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF POINT 12N168W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:19 2003 X-UIDL: 46656-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF008FKZFF7O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 19:18:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGBJgOI060170 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 19:19:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d7d055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 05:16:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1871320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 05:16:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGBGPD1030306 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 05:16:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGBGEQS009656 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 05:16:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGBGEno009655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 05:16:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 05:16:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161116.hAGBGEno009655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 161116 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:24 2003 X-UIDL: 46662-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG007EI785VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:07:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGE8DOI074261 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:08:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG612gB041934; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:03:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1872766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:01:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGE17D1096194 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:01:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGE0uQS010905 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:00:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGE0uaV010904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:00:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:00:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161400.hAGE0uaV010904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 161400 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:36 2003 X-UIDL: 46667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG007719YUVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:06:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGF7QFT085610 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:07:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dAX055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 09:01:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1873126 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 09:01:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGF1AD1012342 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 09:01:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGF0xQS011463 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 09:00:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGF0xgF011462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 09:00:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 09:00:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161500.hAGF0xgF011462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 161501 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 16 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1200 UTC... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS ALONG 32N124W 30N130W 29N138W MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 20 KT. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SOUTH OF COLD FRONT ALONG 28N140W 26N130W 30N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 7N90W 11N120W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-96W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-133W AND 136W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA BETWEEN 2N-7N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 82W-88W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 111W-120W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:41 2003 X-UIDL: 46676-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG008Q4GCX7O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:24:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGHPTOI092327 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:25:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KDF055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:21:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1874105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:21:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGHLvD1012468 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:21:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGHLlQS012816 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:21:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGHLlO3012815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:21:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:21:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161721.hAGHLlO3012815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 161721 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:43 2003 X-UIDL: 46677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG007DJHJLVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:50:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGHp5FT003531 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:51:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KDx055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1874336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGHhqD1028100 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGHhfQS013102 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGHhfBE013100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161743.hAGHhfBE013100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z-171800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/151751ZNOV03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.1N2 78.0E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 77.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING WITH A WEAK LLCC EMBEDDED WITHIN IT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:45 2003 X-UIDL: 46678-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG0085ZHQ77O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:54:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGHt3OI094900 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:55:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG617IZ007824; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1874339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGHhqD1098338 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGHhfQS013103 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGHhfXe013101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:43:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161743.hAGHhfXe013101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z-171800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/151751ZNOV03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.1N2 78.0E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 77.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING WITH A WEAK LLCC EMBEDDED WITHIN IT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:51 2003 X-UIDL: 46683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG008VGNLO7O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 04:01:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGK1uOI006335 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 04:01:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KH1055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 13:55:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1875528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 13:55:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGJtcD1077922 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 13:55:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGJtRQS014349 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 13:55:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGJtRwG014348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 13:55:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 13:55:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161955.hAGJtRwG014348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 161955 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:57 2003 X-UIDL: 46687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG007I6T3KVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 05:59:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGM0eOI017607 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:00:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG617MH007824; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:55:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1876848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:55:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGLtfD1005150 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:55:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGLtUQS015947 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:55:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGLtUof015946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:55:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:55:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311162155.hAGLtUof015946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 162155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N175W 23N180 18N169E 19N165E 26N173E 30N178E. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10N153W 08N148W 05N155W 09N156W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 13N142W 10N140W 08N140W 07N145W 09N146W 11N142W 13N146W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 16N166W 14N163W 11N166W 15N177W 16N175W 14N170W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08S175E 08S179W 14S170W 13S176W 16S162E 11S159E 12S167E HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 15 KT WEST OF 170E AND EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT EAST OF 170E. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S166W 15S160W 18S160W 14S168W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU ARE BOUNDED BY 19S157W 22S142W 25S143W 25S155W 21S159W. CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION MOVING EAST AT 15 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE...FIRST TWO SENTENCES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:58 2003 X-UIDL: 46688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG0088KT7U7O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:02:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGM3EFT028562 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:03:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KKJ055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:56:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1876854 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:56:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGLuaD1099282 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:56:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGLuPQS015959 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:56:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGLuPPE015958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:56:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 15:56:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311162156.hAGLuPPE015958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 162156 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 16 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1800 UTC... ..1015 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 33N122W. TROUGH EXTENDS SW TO 30N122W 28N126W. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SOUTH OF TROUGH ALONG 30N137W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N100W 10N120W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 89W-92W...AND FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 118W-121W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 8N125W... 8N129W...AND OF 8N134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 112W-117W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:00 2003 X-UIDL: 46689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG00941XB9H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:30:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGNVfFT036374 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:31:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KMB055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 17:25:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1877704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 17:25:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGNPeD1038154 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 17:25:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGNPTQS016844 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 17:25:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGNPTCk016843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 17:25:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 17:25:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311162325.hAGNPTCk016843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 162325 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:19 2003 X-UIDL: 46703-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH0096G471H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:59:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH20LOI038533 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 10:00:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KPp055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 19:55:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1878997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 19:55:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH1tdD1030252 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 19:55:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH1tSQS018515 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 19:55:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH1tSsY018514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 19:55:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 19:55:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170155.hAH1tSsY018514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 170155 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN NOV 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:31 2003 X-UIDL: 46714-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009UA8QNH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 11:37:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH3cUOI049250 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 11:38:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KRV055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 21:34:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1879637 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 21:34:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH3Y9D1047142 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 21:34:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH3XwQS019472 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 21:33:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH3XwtO019471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 21:33:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 21:33:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170333.hAH3XwtO019471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 170333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 17 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/0000 UTC... ..1017 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 32N121W. TROUGH EXTENDS SW TO 24N126W. ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE TROPICS NEAR 11N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N100W 10N120W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-143W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF COSTA RICA WITHIN 30 NM OF 10N85W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF HONDURAS WITHIN 30 NM OF 13N87W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:41 2003 X-UIDL: 46724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH0096BBC3H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:33:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH4YaFT070002 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:34:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KSH055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:27:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1880006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:27:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH4RoD1047168 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:27:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH4RdQS019885 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:27:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH4Rdhh019884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:27:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:27:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170427.hAH4Rdhh019884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 170427 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:45 2003 X-UIDL: 46728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH0095KEC7H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 13:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH5dRFT077463 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 13:39:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG617Q9007824; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1880399 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH5SBD1029642 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH5S1QS020393 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH5S0N4020392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170528.hAH5S0N4020392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z-180600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/170152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N0 110.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 13.6N0 159.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER COSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 168.4E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 166.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT CONTINUES TO REMAIN NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 46742-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009PYKL2H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:53:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH7sKFT094101 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:54:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KWJ055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:50:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1881718 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:50:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH7oXD1013102 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:50:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH7oMQS021602 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:50:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH7oMP0021601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:50:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:50:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170750.hAH7oMP0021601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 170750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN NOV 16 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:04 2003 X-UIDL: 46756-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH0093RQDHH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:58:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9xNOI092153 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:59:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KXV055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:56:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1882238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:56:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9ukD1009602 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:56:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH9uZQS022744 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:56:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH9uZH6022743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:56:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:56:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170956.hAH9uZH6022743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 170956 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 17 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/0600 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 10N122W...DRIFTING WEST. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 115W AND 121W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N BETWEEN 112W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N90W 8N103W 9N124W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 109W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ALONG COLOMBIA COAST FROM 3N TO 5N BETWEEN 77W AND 80W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION HAS BEEN MOVING OFF EL SALVADOR COAST INTO THE COASTAL WATERS... NOW FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 89W AND 91W. ANOTHER AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION...WHICH HAS BEEN MOVING AWAY FROM THE COSTA RICA/NICARAGUA COASTS...NOW WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF 11N88W. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...TROUGH THROUGH 26N112W IN BAJA CALIFORNIA TO 14N128W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:06 2003 X-UIDL: 46757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH00958QDQH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:58:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9xTOI092162 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:59:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KXT055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:55:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1882225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:55:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9tVD1084638 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:55:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH9tKQS022725 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:55:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH9tKbn022724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:55:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 03:55:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170955.hAH9tKbn022724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 170955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...NEAR 28N156W MOVED NORTHWEST 5-10 KT. WEAK ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW REMAIN VERY SPARSE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N177W 27N180 MOVED EAST 10 KT. FRONT BECOMING STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 100 NM OF FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 09N140W 09N143W EXTENDS EASTWARD AND MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 24S120W 18S130W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH TO 16S142W. FRONT MOVING EAST 15-20 KT. TROUGH IS STATIONARY. OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS ALONG TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 09S175W 15S165W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 14S180 13S173W ARE FAIRLY SPARSE AND DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY. THE CB ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONES. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 12S161W 14S155W ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE. CZ NEARLY STATIONARY. WEAK TROUGH/CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 25S161W 20S165W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS ALONG CZ NORTH OF 23S. OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH/CZ SOUTH OF 23S. TROUGH/CZ MOVED EAST 10 KT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:14 2003 X-UIDL: 46765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009QEUP3H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 19:31:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHBWjOI002762 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 19:32:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KYR055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 05:27:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1882612 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 05:27:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHBRXD1017298 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 05:27:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHBRMQS023410 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 05:27:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHBRMh4023409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 05:27:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 05:27:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171127.hAHBRMh4023409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 171127 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:16 2003 X-UIDL: 46767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009I2WWTH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:19:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHCKTFT025555 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:20:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9tkE3098326; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:14:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1882794 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:14:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHCEFD1009532 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:14:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHCE4QS023734 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:14:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHCE45Z023733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:14:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:14:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 17/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171214.hAHCE45Z023733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 171200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 023/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 17/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 1002 HPA POSITION: 11.9S / 76.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT UP TO 240 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/18 AT 00 UTC: 12.3S / 76.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/18 AT 12 UTC: 12.1S / 75.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE WEAK INTENSITY OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EX-BENI DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR BULLETINS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:18 2003 X-UIDL: 46768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009ZVX2NH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:23:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHCO3FT025967 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:24:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KZ7055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:18:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1882821 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:18:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHCIXD1036084 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:18:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHCIMQS023774 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:18:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHCIMQ2023772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:18:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:18:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171218.hAHCIMQ2023772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 171200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/17 AT 1200 UTC : 11.9S / 76.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 400 SO: 400 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/18 00 UTC: 12.3S/76.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/11/18 12 UTC: 12.1S/75.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/11/19 00 UTC: 11.8S/74.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/11/19 12 UTC: 11.5S/73.6E, MAX WIND=025KT. 60H: 2003/11/20 00 UTC: 11.3S/72.9E, MAX WIND=025KT. 72H: 2003/11/20 12 UTC: 11.3S/72.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0-. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EX-BENI IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA FAVORABLE, WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND ITS INTENSITY SHOULD EVOLUATE BETWEEN 2.0/2 .5 DURING FEW DAYS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:27 2003 X-UIDL: 46776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI0098G19VH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 21:53:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHDsqOI019657 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 21:54:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KbH055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:50:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1883456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:50:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHDoMD1034856 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:50:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHDoBQS025118 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:50:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHDoBZl025117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:50:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:50:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171350.hAHDoBZl025117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 171350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST MON NOV 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:36 2003 X-UIDL: 46782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009NU4O5H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:07:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHF8DOI028151 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:08:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9tkH7098326; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:00:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1884790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:00:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHF02D1037120 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:00:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHExpQS027137 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:59:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHExpwA027135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:59:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:59:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171459.hAHExpwA027135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABIO10 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/171500Z-171800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.1N2 78.0E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 77.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING WITH A WEAK LLCC EMBEDDED WITHIN IT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 11.5N7 76.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF THE FORMER TROPICAL STORM 02S (BENI). RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:38 2003 X-UIDL: 46783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009S24PNH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:08:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHF98OI028325 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:09:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KgN055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:00:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1884786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:00:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHF02D1077342 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:00:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHExpQS027138 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:59:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHExpHq027136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:59:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:59:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171459.hAHExpHq027136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/171500Z-171800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.1N2 78.0E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 77.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING WITH A WEAK LLCC EMBEDDED WITHIN IT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 11.5N7 76.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF THE FORMER TROPICAL STORM 02S (BENI). RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:42 2003 X-UIDL: 46785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009WE5TUH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:32:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHFXEFT051496 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:33:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG617b7007824; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:24:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1885101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:24:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHFOXD1077552 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:24:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHFOMQS028103 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:24:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHFOMYo028102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:24:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 09:24:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171524.hAHFOMYo028102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 171524 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 17 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/1200 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW PRES WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 11N122W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION EAST OF THE LOW FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 118W-121.5W. ..1030 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 34N143W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO 30N124W 20N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 6N110W 10N122W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-87W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 123W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 77W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED DISSIPATING SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 89W-93W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:58 2003 X-UIDL: 46796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009HHAGFH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 01:12:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHHDCFT066153 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 01:13:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG617jJ007824; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 11:08:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1887330 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 11:07:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHH7lD1067774 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 11:07:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHH7aQS001077 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 11:07:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHH7aix001076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 11:07:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 11:07:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171707.hAHH7aix001076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 171707 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:48:01 2003 X-UIDL: 46798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009CJDHXH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:17:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHIIpFT074378 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:18:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7Kuh055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:12:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1888760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:12:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHIC0D1091444 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:12:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHIBoQS002979 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:11:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHIBohW002977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:11:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:11:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171811.hAHIBohW002977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 171800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 024/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 17/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.2S / 76.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/18 AT 06 UTC: 11.1S / 75.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/18 AT 18 UTC: 11.1S / 74.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE MORE DEVELOPPED THEN YESTERDAY, ANYWAY THE SYSTEM REMAINS BY NOW AT WEAK INTENSITY OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EX-BENI .= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:48:02 2003 X-UIDL: 46800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009N9DNKH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:21:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHIMDOI054695 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:22:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG617mv007824; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:13:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1888786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:13:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHID6D1009850 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:13:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHICtQS003027 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:12:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHICtcj003025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:12:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:12:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171812.hAHICtcj003025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 171800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 24/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/17 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.2S / 76.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 250 SO: 250 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1300 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/18 06 UTC: 11.1S/75.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/18 18 UTC: 11.1S/74.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/11/19 06 UTC: 11.2S/73.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/11/19 18 UTC: 11.3S/72.3E, MAX WIND=025KT. 60H: 2003/11/20 06 UTC: 11.4S/71.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/11/20 18 UTC: 11.3S/70.2E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EX-BENI IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA FAVORABLE, WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND ITS INTENSITY SHOULD EVOLUATE BETWEEN 2.0/2 .5 DURING FEW DAYS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:48:22 2003 X-UIDL: 46810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI0096PHYLH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 03:54:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHJtHOI066417 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 03:55:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7K2B055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 13:45:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1890376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 13:45:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHJjVD1077852 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 13:45:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHJjKQS005760 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 13:45:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHJjKqC005759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 13:45:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 13:45:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171945.hAHJjKqC005759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 171945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON NOV 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:48:42 2003 X-UIDL: 46821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009TIMF7H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 05:30:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHLVdOI076978 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 05:31:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG617sV007824; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:20:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1892415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:20:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHLK2D1009798 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:20:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHLJpQS008713 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:19:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHLJpXk008710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:19:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:19:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311172119.hAHLJpXk008710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 172119 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 17 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/1800 UTC... ..1012 MB LOW PRES WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 11N123W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. WHILE THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF NUMEROUS MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION TO THE E FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 118W-123W. ..1030 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 35N135W WITH RIDGE EXTENDING SEWD TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 6N110W 10N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION N OF 5N BETWEEN 77W-83W INCLUDING PANAMA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 87W-100W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 123W-133W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 133W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... 3-4 DEG WIDE BAND OF MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS EXTENDS NEWD FROM AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 11N123W LOW PRES CENTER INTO CENTRAL MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:48:49 2003 X-UIDL: 46826-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI0094GO05H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:04:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHM5oFT002668 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:05:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7K9n055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:46:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1892798 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:46:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHLkcD1092470 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:46:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHLkSQS009653 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:46:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHLkRdT009652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:46:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:46:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311172146.hAHLkRdT009652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 172146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... PRE FRONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 26N175W 19N177W 21N180 26N180 26N175W...HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 05 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 08N140W 09N145W 13N147W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 08N158W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE PRE FRONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 22S160W 25S157W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20S153W 14S166W 10S 180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:48:58 2003 X-UIDL: 46832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI00DK0RYE32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:30:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHNVBFT012581 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:31:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJJP031644; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:17:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1895010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:17:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHNHvD1055302 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:17:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHNHfQS011734 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:17:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHNHfln011733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:17:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:17:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311172317.hAHNHfln011733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 172317 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:49:04 2003 X-UIDL: 46835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI00DLJT0V32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:53:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHNsFOI090852 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:54:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJL5031644; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:43:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1895470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:43:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHNh4D1005164 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:43:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHNgrQS012093 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:42:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHNgrjA012090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:42:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:42:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s (beni) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311172342.hAHNgrjA012090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 172100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 11.7S9 76.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7S9 76.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 11.4S6 75.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 11.2S4 73.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 11.2S4 72.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 11.3S5 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.6S8 75.8E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS REGENERATED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, AS WELL AS MICROWAVE SATELLITE AND QUIKSCAT PASSES REVEAL THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS MORE PERSISTENT AND IS AGAIN CO-LOCATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ORGANIZATION IN THE LLCC IS MUCH IMPROVED AS WELL. TC 02S IS FORECAST TO TRACK IN A WESTWARD DIRECTION UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENTRAIN SOME DRY AIR AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD, AND TO TRACK THROUGH AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. DUE TO THE MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY ONLY SLIGHTLY, AND TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 AND 182100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:49:06 2003 X-UIDL: 46836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI00DMZT1P32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:53:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHNsjOI090888 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:54:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG617xZ007824; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1895508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHNiQD1005232 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHNiFQS012132 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHNiFbO012130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311172344.hAHNiFbO012130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 172100 REISSUED 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171800Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N4 109.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 172100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 168.4E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 166.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS NOW CO-LOCATED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE DEEP CONVECTION IS CYCLIC BUT MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE LLCC HAS STRENGHTENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/RONSSE/STATEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:49:08 2003 X-UIDL: 46837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI00D6FU9C32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:20:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI0KsFT018233 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:20:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHLZMeH069438; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:15:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1895963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:15:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI0FqD1049526 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:15:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI0FfQS012556 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:15:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI0Ffbs012554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:15:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:15:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180015.hAI0Ffbs012554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 180000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 25/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/18 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.2S / 76.3E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/18 12 UTC: 11.2S/75.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/19 00 UTC: 11.3S/74.2E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/11/19 12 UTC: 11.4S/73.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/11/20 00 UTC: 11.3S/71.9E, MAX WIND=025KT. 60H: 2003/11/20 12 UTC: 11.2S/70.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/11/21 00 UTC: 11.1S/69.6E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EX-BENI IS LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA FAVORABLE, WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND ITS INTENSITY SHOULD EVOLUATE BETWEEN 2.0/2 .5 DURING FEW DAYS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:49:10 2003 X-UIDL: 46838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI00D8GUA832@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:20:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI0LQFT018347 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:21:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG6170F007824; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:14:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1895939 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:14:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI0EkD1024584 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:14:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI0EZQS012538 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:14:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI0EZBs012536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:14:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:14:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180014.hAI0EZBs012536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 180000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 025/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 18/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.2S / 76.3E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CERCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/18 AT 12 UTC: 11.2S / 75.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/19 AT 00 UTC: 11.3S / 74.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE MORE DEVELOPPED THEN YESTERDAY,AND SHOWS NOW A BETTER ORGANIZATION. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:49:14 2003 X-UIDL: 46843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI00DIVYSG32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 09:57:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI1wiOI006241 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 09:58:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJQn031644; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 19:45:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1897324 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 19:45:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI1jMD1044926 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 19:45:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI1jBQS013721 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 19:45:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI1jBMi013720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 19:45:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 19:45:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180145.hAI1jBMi013720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 180145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON NOV 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 11:19:43 2003 X-UIDL: 46855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DAO2GC32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:17:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI3HrOI015346 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:17:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJU7031644; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 21:10:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1898251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 21:10:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI3AED1049574 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 21:10:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI3A4QS014654 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 21:10:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI3A478014653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 21:10:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 21:10:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180310.hAI3A478014653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 180309 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 18 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/0000 UTC... ..1009 MB LOW PRES WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 11N124W DRIFTING WEST. WHILE THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION TO THE S AND E FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 120W-122W AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 123W-126W. ..1030 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 35N135W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SEWD TO 17N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0215 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N90W 6N110W 10N120W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 130W-140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N E OF 83W INCLUDING THE S COAST OF PANAMA AND NW COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 92W-99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 15:46:31 2003 X-UIDL: 46864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DR24YC32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:11:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI4BuFT046805 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:11:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG61753007824; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 22:06:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1899003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 22:06:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI46ZD1103832 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 22:06:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI46PQS015298 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 22:06:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI46PX8015297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 22:06:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 22:06:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180406.hAI46PX8015297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 180406 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST MON NOV 17 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 15:46:53 2003 X-UIDL: 46872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DLG9YN32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 13:59:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI606OI033238 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:00:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI2ECVP045606; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1899865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI5qXD1064742 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI5qMQS016240 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI5qM5a016238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180552.hAI5qM5a016238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z-190600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N0 108.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 15 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 166.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 165.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN. A 171823Z2 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WAS PRESENT. HOWEVER, ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISSIPATING DUE TO UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED TO THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. DUE TO THE WEAKENING CONVECTION AND THE APPROACH OF AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 15:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 46875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DC4B6P32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:25:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI6QTFT062229 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:26:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJcZ031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:22:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1900488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:22:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI6MQD1049290 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:22:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI6MFQS016580 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:22:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI6MF5P016578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:22:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:22:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180622.hAI6MF5P016578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 180600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 026/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 18/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 990 HPA POSITION: 11.0S / 74.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/18 AT 18 UTC: 11.1S / 72.8E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/19 AT 06 UTC: 11.2S / 71.0E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS REINTENSIFIED DURING LAST NIGHT. BEING NOW A STORM, ITS NAME IS BENI AGAIN. WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN THE SOUTH, BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARDS DURING NEXT DAYS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 15:46:59 2003 X-UIDL: 46876-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DCOB7532@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:25:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI6QoOI036243 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:26:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJcb031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:24:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1900514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:24:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI6OQD1041748 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:24:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI6OFQS016605 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:24:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI6OFT9016603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:24:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:24:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180624.hAI6OFT9016603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 180600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 26/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/18 AT 0600 UTC : 11.0S / 74.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 250 SO: 180 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/18 18 UTC: 11.1S/72.8E, MAX WIND=055KT. 24H: 2003/11/19 06 UTC: 11.2S/71.0E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/11/19 18 UTC: 11.3S/69.2E, MAX WIND=045KT. 48H: 2003/11/20 06 UTC: 11.2S/67.4E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/11/20 18 UTC: 11.0S/65.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/11/21 06 UTC: 10.8S/63.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: AS THE SYSTEM HAS REINTENSIFIED DURING LAST NIGHT, AND IS NOW A STRORM, ITS NAME IS BENI. INTENSITY HAS BEEN UNDERESTIMATED AT 0000Z, WITH A DT PROBABLY = 2.5 (INSTEAD OF 2.0). AT 0400, BENI SHOWED A CURVED BAND PAATERN, MORE THAN ONE DEGREE, AND DT=3.5. HOWEVER, AT 0600Z, DT=3.0, DU TO THE DVORAK METHOD CONSTRAINT ABOUT INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:37:34 2003 X-UIDL: 46886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DS7FE232@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:56:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI7vMOI046729 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:57:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJe9031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 01:50:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1901182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 01:50:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI7ofD1045052 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 01:50:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI7oUQS017306 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 01:50:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI7oUHr017305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 01:50:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 01:50:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180750.hAI7oUHr017305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 180750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST MON NOV 17 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:37:45 2003 X-UIDL: 46891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00D5AI6J32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 16:56:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI8vcOI053847 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 16:57:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJfl031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:44:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1901697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:44:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI8isD1021786 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:44:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI8ihQS017841 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:44:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI8ihtA017840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:44:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:44:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180844.hAI8ihtA017840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 180900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 11.0S2 74.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.0S2 74.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 10.6S7 73.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 10.4S5 71.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.4S5 70.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 10.4S5 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.9S0 74.1E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A POINT SOURCE OVER THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND RESULTING RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. IR TEMPERATURE ESTIMATES INDICATE THE IMPENDING DEVELOPMENT OF AN EYE. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE IS THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WHICH SHOULD STEER TC 02S WESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 AND 190900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:37:52 2003 X-UIDL: 46896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00D7IL4P32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:00:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIA1KOI061164 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:01:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJgl031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 03:55:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1902076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 03:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI9tjD1084616 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 03:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI9tZQS018651 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 03:55:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI9tZu1018650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 03:55:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 03:55:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180955.hAI9tZu1018650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 180955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW NEAR 29N180 MOVED NORTH 5-10 KT. ASSOCIATED TROUGH EXTENDS DOWN THROUGH 30N176W 25N172W 19N174W. NORTH PART OF TROUGH MOVED EAST 10 KT. SOUTH PART MOVED EAST 15-20 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH AND WITHIN 100 NM OF LOW. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF 08N143W NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S155W 22S160W MOVED EAST 12 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 24S DIMINISHED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 16S167W 10S180 DRIFTED SOUTH SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF CZ INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... TROUGH...THROUGH 22S120W 17S130W 16S137W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG TROUGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:37:53 2003 X-UIDL: 46897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00D7LLJW32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:09:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIAATOI061985 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:10:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJgt031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:04:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1902125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:04:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIA4aD1044878 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:04:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIA4PQS018755 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:04:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIA4P7f018754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:04:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:04:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181004.hAIA4P7f018754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 181004 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST TUE NOV 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:37:56 2003 X-UIDL: 46898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DCXLLV32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:10:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIABcOI062109 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:11:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJgv031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:05:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1902129 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:05:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIA5wD1037134 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:05:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIA5lQS018761 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:05:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIA5l48018760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:05:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:05:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181005.hAIA5l48018760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 181005 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 18 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/0600 UTC... ..1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER...NEAR THE ITCZ...FROM 10N TO 11N ALONG 123W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN BETWEEN 118W AND 124W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N77W 9N96W 11N120W 10N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 99W... AND BETWEEN 118W AND 124W...AND WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 132W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 132W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W. STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 5N BETWEEN 76W AND 78W ALONG COLOMBIA COAST. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:38:07 2003 X-UIDL: 46904-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DIVR7X32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:11:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAICCsOI077135 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:12:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJib031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:08:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1902905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:08:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIC8MD1030424 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:08:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIC8BQS019838 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:08:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIC8BoX019836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:08:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:08:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181208.hAIC8BoX019836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 181200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 27/2/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/18 AT 1200 UTC : 11.5S / 74.4E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 PLUS /D 0.5/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 110 SE: 250 SO: 180 NO: 110 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/19 00 UTC: 11.4S/72.8E, MAX WIND=055KT. 24H: 2003/11/19 12 UTC: 11.4S/71.2E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/11/20 00 UTC: 11.3S/69.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 48H: 2003/11/20 12 UTC: 11.2S/68.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/11/21 00 UTC: 11.1S/66.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/11/21 12 UTC: 11.0S/65.1E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.5+. BENI KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. AN EYE EMBRYON APPEARS ON THE SAT IMAGERY. BENI SHOULD KEEP ON REGULARLY TRACKING WESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:38:09 2003 X-UIDL: 46905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DIZR7Z32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:11:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAICCsOI077134 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:12:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJiZ031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:07:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1902894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:07:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIC7FD1055450 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:07:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIC74QS019814 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:07:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIC74ft019810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:07:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:07:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181207.hAIC74ft019810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 181200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 027/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 18/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 985 HPA POSITION: 11.5S / 74.4E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/19 AT 00 UTC: 11.4S / 72.8E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/19 AT 12 UTC: 11.4S / 71.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI'S POSITION AT 0000Z HAS BEEN RELOCATED MORE IN THE SOUTHEAST. POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION STILL EXISTS. WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IN THE SOUTH, BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARDS DURING NEXT DAYS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:38:19 2003 X-UIDL: 46914-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00D8LW6O32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 21:59:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIE07FT023928 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 22:00:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJln031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:50:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1903799 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIDoRD1037252 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIDoGQS021002 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:50:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIDoGMM021001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:50:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:50:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181350.hAIDoGMM021001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 181350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST TUE NOV 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:38:54 2003 X-UIDL: 46933-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00DHG2BK32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:11:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIGCcFT040879 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:12:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJu5031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 10:02:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1905794 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 10:02:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIG2CD1067698 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 10:02:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIG21QS024593 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 10:02:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIG21P0024592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 10:02:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 10:02:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181602.hAIG21P0024592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 181602 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 18 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1200 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 12N125W MOVING SLOWLY W. ..1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 35N128W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N100W 8N110W 10N115W 8N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 128W-134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 115W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 82W-88W...FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 100W-104W...AND FROM 8N-9N BETWEEN 137W-139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 89W-91W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FURTHER W FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 92W-94W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:39:11 2003 X-UIDL: 46943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00DXM5HZ32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:20:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIHLHOI015161 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:21:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9tksR098326; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1906951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIHArD1096968 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIHAgQS026739 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIHAgJI026737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Of Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181710.hAIHAgJI026737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 181800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 74.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, WAS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 180900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) TC 02S (BENI) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 76.5E8, HAS REGENERATED AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/STATEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:39:14 2003 X-UIDL: 46945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00DKI5QS32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:25:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIHQaFT049888 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:26:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJxb031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1906947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIHArD1085720 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIHAgQS026740 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIHAgXh026738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:10:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Of Africa): Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181710.hAIHAgXh026738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 181800 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 74.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, WAS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 180900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) TC 02S (BENI) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 76.5E8, HAS REGENERATED AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/STATEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:39:16 2003 X-UIDL: 46946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00DY56T332@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:48:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIHnaOI018494 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:49:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CDp030186; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:40:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1907395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:40:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIHeND1038686 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:40:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIHeCQS027687 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:40:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIHeCew027686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:40:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 11:40:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181740.hAIHeCew027686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 181740 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST TUE NOV 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:39:23 2003 X-UIDL: 46948-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00DIA81G32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:15:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIIGBOI021592 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:16:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJ2t031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:08:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1907990 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:08:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAII8RD1081872 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:08:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAII8GQS028548 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:08:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAII8GUx028547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:08:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:08:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181808.hAII8GUx028547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 181800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 28/2/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/18 AT 1800 UTC : 11.6S / 74.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 PLUS /D 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 976 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 110 SE: 280 SO: 250 NO: 110 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/19 06 UTC: 11.7S/72.8E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/11/19 18 UTC: 11.7S/71.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 36H: 2003/11/20 06 UTC: 11.7S/69.2E, MAX WIND=060KT. 48H: 2003/11/20 18 UTC: 11.7S/66.9E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/11/21 06 UTC: 11.4S/64.6E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/11/21 18 UTC: 11.0S/63.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=4.0+ BENI KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. AN EYE EMBRYON APPEARS ON THE LAST SAT IMAGERIES. BENI SHOULD KEEP ON REGULARLY TRACKING WESTWARD ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:39:24 2003 X-UIDL: 46949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00DJT82532@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:15:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIIGcOI021634 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:16:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CFJ030186; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:07:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1907952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:07:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAII7ND1055348 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:07:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAII7CQS028500 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:07:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAII7Cn3028498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:07:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:07:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181807.hAII7Cn3028498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 181800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 028/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 18/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 976 HPA POSITION: 11.6S / 74.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/19 AT 06 UTC: 11.7S / 72.8E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/19 AT 18 UTC: 11.7S / 71.0E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARD, DRIFTING ALONG THE EQUATORIAL EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:39:46 2003 X-UIDL: 46957-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00DCZCR832@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:57:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIJw3OI032277 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:58:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9tk0H098326; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 13:46:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1909745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 13:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIJjcD1096928 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 13:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIJjSQS001271 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 13:45:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIJjSOg001270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 13:45:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 13:45:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181945.hAIJjSOg001270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 181945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST TUE NOV 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:40:08 2003 X-UIDL: 46970-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00DUZH1Q32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 05:29:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAILUlFT078401 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 05:30:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAILFxDN031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:21:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1911270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:21:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAILLOD1051356 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:21:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAILLEQS004135 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:21:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAILLEml004134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:21:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:21:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311182121.hAILLEml004134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 182121 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 18 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1800 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N126W DRIFTING W. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION WITH LIMITED CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. ..1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 32N128W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SEWD TO 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 11N92W 7N100W 10N125W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 80W-85W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 115W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 91W-95W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:40:13 2003 X-UIDL: 46973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00DNEINA32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:04:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIM5JFT081763 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:05:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAILFxEr031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:53:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1911849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:53:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAILrpD1005160 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:53:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAILreQS005076 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:53:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAILreLG005075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:53:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 15:53:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311182153.hAILreLG005075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 182153 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N174W 27N174W 23N176W HAVE MOVED EAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. CONVERGENCE AREA...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 20N173W 11N172W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH/UPPER LOW...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 16N161W. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 07N163W 06N172W HAVE MOVED W 20 KT...INTENSIFIED...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N143W 07N147W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE ITCZ IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... STATIONARY FRONT...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 17S131W 16S139W. CONVERGENCE AREA...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 16S162W 12S176W 13S180...CONTINUING W OF 80 THROUGH 14S168E...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE ITCZ IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTEND W OF 180...WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09S176W 09S180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S155W 13S157W 13S162W. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:40:18 2003 X-UIDL: 46975-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00G27NISGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 07:49:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAINobFT093226 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 07:50:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CPt030186; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 17:36:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1913563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 17:36:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAINaTD1081896 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 17:36:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAINaJQS007351 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 17:36:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAINaJB0007350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 17:36:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 17:36:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311182336.hAINaJB0007350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 182336 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST TUE NOV 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:40:20 2003 X-UIDL: 46978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00GNTOWQGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:19:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ0KZFT096626 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:20:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAILFxMj031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:11:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1913944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:11:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ0BND1041008 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:11:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ0BCQS007897 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:11:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ0BCIv007895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:11:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:11:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190011.hAJ0BCIv007895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 190000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 029/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 19/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 976 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.9S / 73.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN QUADRANTS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/19 AT 12 UTC: 12.1S / 72.5E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/20 AT 00 UTC: 12.4S / 71.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARD, DRIFTING ALONG THE EQUATORIAL EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:40:22 2003 X-UIDL: 46979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00GOGOX0GE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:19:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ0KjFT096641 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:20:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CQN030186; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:12:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1913950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:12:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ0CLD1041032 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:12:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ0CAQS007922 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:12:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ0CAiT007920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:12:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:12:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190012.hAJ0CAiT007920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 190000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 29/2/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/19 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.9S / 73.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.0 MOINS /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 976 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 110 SE: 280 SO: 250 NO: 110 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/19 12 UTC: 12.1S/72.5E, MAX WIND=050KT . 24H: 2003/11/20 00 UTC: 12.4S/71.0E, MAX WIND=040KT . 36H: 2003/11/20 12 UTC: 12.7S/69.6E, MAX WIND=040KT . 48H: 2003/11/21 00 UTC: 12.6S/68.1E, MAX WIND=040KT . 60H: 2003/11/21 12 UTC: 12.5S/66.6E, MAX WIND=040KT . 72H: 2003/11/22 00 UTC: 12.3S/64.9E, MAX WIND=030KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.5 CI=4.0+ ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE, WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENT FLOW.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 14:45:40 2003 X-UIDL: 46983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00GN6TAYGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 09:54:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ1tVOI069040 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 09:55:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9tk9j098326; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 19:45:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1915192 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 19:45:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ1jXD1104710 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 19:45:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ1jMQS009283 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 19:45:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ1jMWZ009282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 19:45:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 19:45:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190145.hAJ1jMWZ009282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 190145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST TUE NOV 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 14:45:51 2003 X-UIDL: 46994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00GR2XQOGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 11:30:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ3VLOI080350 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 11:31:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAILFxTl031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 21:24:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1916418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 21:24:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ3OTD1004090 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 21:24:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ3OIQS010337 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 21:24:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ3OIPu010336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 21:24:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 21:24:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190324.hAJ3OIPu010336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 190324 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 19 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0000 UTC... ..1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 11N127W DRIFTING W. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION WITH LIMITED CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. ..1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED N OF THE AREA NEAR 32N128W WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SEWD TO 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 11N92W 7N100W 10N125W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 95W-98W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 108W-113W AND FROM 120W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS EXTENDS FROM THE ITCZ NEWD INTO CENTRAL MEXICO WITHIN 200-300 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 13N120W-25N105W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 14:46:05 2003 X-UIDL: 47003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00G0Q124GE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:42:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ4gxFT031405 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:43:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAILFxVh031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 22:36:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1917049 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 22:36:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ4ZxD1058256 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 22:35:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ4ZmQS011086 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 22:35:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ4ZmBI011085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 22:35:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 22:35:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190435.hAJ4ZmBI011085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 190435 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE NOV 18 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 14:46:15 2003 X-UIDL: 47008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GGH52NGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:08:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ69gFT046964 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:09:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9tkCt098326; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:03:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1917723 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:03:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ63gD1085628 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:03:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ63VQS011933 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:03:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ63VZR011931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:03:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:03:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190603.hAJ63VZR011931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 190600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 30/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 19/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 978 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.0S / 73.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN QUADRANTS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/19 AT 18 UTC: 12.1S / 72.0E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/20 AT 06 UTC: 12.3S / 70.6E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARD, DRIFTING ALONG THE EQUATORIAL EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 14:46:19 2003 X-UIDL: 47010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GO75E3GE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:15:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6GaOI008098 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:16:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626EN031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1917792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ65PD1050870 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ658QS011954 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ658Jt011952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190605.hAJ658Jt011952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z-200600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190252ZNOV2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/181721ZNOV2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N4 108.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM NORTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 165.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 163.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE ARE MULTIPLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS (LLCC) AND THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AS FLOW PROPAGATES TO THE NORTHEAST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALSO REMAINS LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 14:46:21 2003 X-UIDL: 47012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GHI5NAGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:21:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6M6FT048937 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:22:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CXZ030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:17:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1918064 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:17:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6H5D1004014 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:17:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ6GsQS012054 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:16:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ6GsdJ012052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:16:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:16:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190616.hAJ6GsdJ012052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 190600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 30/2/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/19 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.0S / 73.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 978 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 090 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/19 18 UTC: 12.1S/72.0E, MAX WIND=055KT. 24H: 2003/11/20 06 UTC: 12.3S/70.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/11/20 18 UTC: 12.5S/69.1E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/11/21 06 UTC: 12.5S/67.6E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/11/21 18 UTC: 12.4S/66.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/11/22 06 UTC: 12.1S/64.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE INTENSITY FLUCTUATING. NOW THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 17:03:46 2003 X-UIDL: 47015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00G4F7H7GE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:00:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ71dFT054513 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:01:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626Ff031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:57:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1918397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:57:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6vtD1099164 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:57:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ6viQS012424 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:57:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ6viEP012422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:57:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:57:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190657.hAJ6viEP012422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 190600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 30/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 19/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 978 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.0S / 73.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 140 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN QUADRANTS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/19 AT 18 UTC: 12.1S / 72.0E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/20 AT 06 UTC: 12.3S / 70.6E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARD, DRIFTING ALONG THE EQUATORIAL EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 17:04:06 2003 X-UIDL: 47021-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GTEABJGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:02:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ832OI022963 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:03:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626HB031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:56:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1918978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:56:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ7u1D1081812 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:56:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ7toQS012905 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:55:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ7tooc012904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:55:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 01:55:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190755.hAJ7tooc012904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 190755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE NOV 18 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 21:35:21 2003 X-UIDL: 47031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GGXD9YGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:06:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ96sOI033105 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:06:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CYv030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:53:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1919403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:53:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ8rhD1081810 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:53:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ8rWQS013358 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:53:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ8rWrW013357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:53:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:53:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190853.hAJ8rWrW013357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 12.2S5 72.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 72.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.9S2 71.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 13.1S5 69.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 13.1S5 67.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 12.8S1 65.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.4S7 72.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS A SMALL 12 NM EYE. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS OF THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. AFTER 24 HOURS AN APPROACHING LOW LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO GUIDE THE SYSTEM MORE ON A WESTWARD TRACK. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS, THEN MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH 48 HOURS AS OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD AND SHEAR REMAINS MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 AND 200900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 21:35:29 2003 X-UIDL: 47034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GKXF3WGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:45:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ9kRFT078848 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:46:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626Id031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:34:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1919639 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:34:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ9YlD1064734 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:34:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ9YaQS013948 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:34:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ9YaJx013947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:34:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:34:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190934.hAJ9YaJx013947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 190934 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 21:35:31 2003 X-UIDL: 47035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GJ2FNKGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:57:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ9wFFT081051 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:58:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CZJ030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:55:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1919775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:55:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ9teD1091582 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:55:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ9tTQS014108 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:55:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ9tTWC014107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:55:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 03:55:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190955.hAJ9tTWC014107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 190955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N176W 08N170W 02N171W 02N176W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 10N140W 08N141W 08N147W 06N149W 06N151W 09N156W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY SHOWERY LOW...CLOUDS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ARE WITHIN 60 TO 90 NM OF LINE 30N142W 26N147W 24N153W 24N159W 26N164W. FEATURE MOVING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KT. UPPER/SURFACE TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N173W 30N166W 23N170W 23N172W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 5 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT AND UPPER/SURFACE TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 15N160W 15N158W 12N156W 12N161W 14N162W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 07S177E 13S172W 15S170W 14S174W 18S174E 14S172E 10S176E 08S176E HAVE MOVED SOUTH AND EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W...ARE BOUNDED BY 14S138W 15S130W 21S120W 25S120W 23S130W 18S139W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 21:35:34 2003 X-UIDL: 47037-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00IALGJ8EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:16:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJAHDFT083568 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:17:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CZP030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 04:04:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1919848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 04:04:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJA4oD1059470 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 04:04:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJA4eQS014205 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 04:04:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJA4dOH014202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 04:04:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 04:04:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191004.hAJA4dOH014202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 191004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 19 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0600 UTC... ..THE 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 11N127W AT 19/0000 UTC NO LONGER IS APPARENT IN THE SURFACE ANALYSIS. ..COLD FRONT NOW CUTTING THROUGH 30N142W JUST WEST OF AREA. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 10N97W 8N110W 10N120W 11N130W 9N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 100W...AND WITHIN 30-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...BROAD ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SPILLS INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN... FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 74W AND 100W. UPPER LEVEL SW WIND FLOW WITHIN AT LEAST 300 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF BEYOND 13N115W 22N105W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 21:35:40 2003 X-UIDL: 47044-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GM4N0KGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:36:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJCbHOI063485 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:37:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626ML031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:27:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1921093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJCQxD1049702 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:26:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJCQmQS015373 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:26:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJCQmYN015371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:26:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:26:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191226.hAJCQmYN015371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 191200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 31/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 19/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 965 HPA POSITION: 12.2S / 72.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN QUADRANTS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/20 AT 00 UTC: 12.2S / 71.5E, MAX WIND = 75 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/20 AT 12 UTC: 12.4S / 70.0E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI IS A SHORT DIAMETER TROPICAL CYCLONE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 21:35:42 2003 X-UIDL: 47045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GQ1N53GE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:39:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJCdwOI063738 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:39:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626MT031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:33:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1921174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:33:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJCX4D1055322 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:33:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJCWrQS015480 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:32:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJCWrYD015478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:32:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 06:32:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191232.hAJCWrYD015478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 191200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 31/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/19 AT 1200 UTC : 12.2S / 72.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 965 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 70 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 090 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 100 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/20 00 UTC: 12.2S/71.5E, MAX WIND=075KT. 24H: 2003/11/20 12 UTC: 12.4S/70.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 36H: 2003/11/21 00 UTC: 12.6S/68.5E, MAX WIND=065KT. 48H: 2003/11/21 12 UTC: 12.7S/67.0E, MAX WIND=060KT. 60H: 2003/11/22 00 UTC: 12.7S/65.2E, MAX WIND=055KT. 72H: 2003/11/22 12 UTC: 12.6S/62.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=4.5+= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:23:45 2003 X-UIDL: 47048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00IZ9RJMEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 22:14:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJEF7OI075055 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 22:15:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626OR031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 07:55:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1921927 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 07:55:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJDtoD1051390 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 07:55:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJDtdQS016479 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 07:55:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJDtdq6016478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 07:55:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 07:55:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191355.hAJDtdq6016478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 191355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED NOV 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:24:08 2003 X-UIDL: 47054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GGZUORGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:22:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJFMsFT027640 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:22:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626RZ031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 09:13:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1923126 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 09:13:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJFDqD1051356 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 09:13:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJFDgQS018546 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 09:13:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJFDfqF018545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 09:13:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 09:13:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191513.hAJFDfqF018545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 191513 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 19 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/1200 UTC... ..BROAD TROUGH FROM 10N135W TO 20N139W. TROUGH IS APPARENT ON SATELLITE PICTURES WITH GENERAL SE WINDS TO THE E OF THE TROUGH AXIS AND NE WINDS AHEAD OF IT. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 131.5W-134W. ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N139W 30N140W WITH OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW E OF THE FRONT W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 10N97W 8N110W 10N120W 11N130W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN A SIMILAR DISTANCE OF AXIS FROM 115W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 136W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 9N113W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM OF AXIS FROM 80W-100W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-12.5N BETWEEN 95W-99.5W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR 14.5N93.5W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:24:19 2003 X-UIDL: 47062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00GSS2GSGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:10:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJIAwOI012901 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:11:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626cd031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 11:41:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1925884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 11:41:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJHfXD1082472 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 11:41:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJHfMQS023671 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 11:41:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJHfMqS023670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 11:41:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 11:41:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191741.hAJHfMqS023670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 191741 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST WED NOV 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:24:25 2003 X-UIDL: 47065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00I21361EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:25:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJIQ7OI014583 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:26:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626et031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1926534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJI9WD1103860 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJI9LQS024554 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJI9LSJ024552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191809.hAJI9LSJ024552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z-201800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190751ZOCT2003/ AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190600Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2S5 72.9E8, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 190900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED,USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:24:27 2003 X-UIDL: 47066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00GXX38XGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:26:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJIRqFT059602 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:27:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626eZ031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:07:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1926440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:07:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJI71D1038276 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:07:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJI6oQS024464 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:06:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJI6owL024462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:06:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:06:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191806.hAJI6owL024462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTIO20 FMEE 191800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 032/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 19/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 965 HPA POSITION: 12.3S / 72.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO100 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/20 AT 06 UTC: 12.4S / 70.6E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/20 AT 18 UTC: 12.4S / 69.0E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI IS A SMALL DIAMETER TROPICAL CYCLONE. BENI SHOULD MAINTAIN A WESTWARDS TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXTENSION OF NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS CALIBRATED THANKS TO SATELLITE DATA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:24:29 2003 X-UIDL: 47067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00I8G39AEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:27:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJIS7FT059649 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:28:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8Cn9030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1926537 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJI9WD1028636 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJI9LQS024555 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJI9LmM024553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191809.hAJI9LmM024553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z-201800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190751ZOCT2003/ AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190600Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2S5 72.9E8, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 190900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED,USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:24:31 2003 X-UIDL: 47068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00G333CKGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:29:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJIU5OI015143 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:30:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8Cn7030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1926521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJI93D1103842 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJI8qQS024520 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:08:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJI8qVF024516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:08:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:08:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191808.hAJI8qVF024516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 191800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 32/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/19 AT 1800 UTC : 12.3S / 72.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 /S 0.0/6 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 965 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 70 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 250 NO: 030 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/20 06 UTC: 12.4S/70.6E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/11/20 18 UTC: 12.4S/69.0E, MAX WIND=055KT. 36H: 2003/11/21 06 UTC: 12.3S/67.2E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/11/21 18 UTC: 12.2S/65.3E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/11/22 06 UTC: 12.2S/63.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/11/22 18 UTC: 12.3S/61.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.5-, CI=4.5+. THE EYE HAS DISAPPEARED ON THE IR IMAGERY. BUT ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE TO THE INTENSITY TO MAINTAIN AS THE WINDSHEAR IS VERY WEAK. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS EXTENSION ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 1318Z.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:24:53 2003 X-UIDL: 47080-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IST7LZEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 04:01:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJK27OI030793 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 04:02:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626j1031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 13:45:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1927844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 13:45:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJJjaD1009718 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 13:45:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJJjPQS027481 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 13:45:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJJjP8F027480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 13:45:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 13:45:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191945.hAJJjP8F027480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 191945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST WED NOV 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:09 2003 X-UIDL: 47088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00GLEBT1GE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:31:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJLWjFT091064 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:32:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8Crj030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:19:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1929466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:19:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJLJbD1058324 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:19:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJLJQQS000550 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:19:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJLJQ9S000548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:19:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:19:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311192119.hAJLJQ9S000548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 12.5S8 72.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 72.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.7S0 70.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.7S0 68.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 12.5S8 66.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 12.1S4 63.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 12.5S8 71.7E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE EYE HAS FALLEN APART. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. AFTER 24 HOURS AN APPROACHING LOW LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO GUIDE THE SYSTEM MORE ON A WESTWARD TRACK. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN START WEAKENING AFTER TAU 24 THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 AND 202100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:13 2003 X-UIDL: 47092-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00G7DD78GE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:01:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJM2oOI050600 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:02:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CsR030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:40:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1929806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:40:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJLdxD1091448 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:39:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJLdnQS001270 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:39:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJLdmlq001269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:39:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:39:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311192139.hAJLdmlq001269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 192139 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 19 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA THROUGH 32N138W TO BEYOND 28N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYER CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..1022 MB HIGH IS CENTERED JUST N OF THE AREA NEAR 34N128W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 10N95W 6N105W 13N130W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-13N BETWEEN 97W-100W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 111W-115W AND FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 114W-120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDINESS EXTENDS FROM SOCORRO ISLAND EWD OVER CENTRAL MEXICO. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:15 2003 X-UIDL: 47093-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00GC7DBTGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:04:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJM5cFT095184 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:05:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626pd031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:45:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1929861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:45:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJLj0D1027350 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:45:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJLinQS001450 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:44:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJLingT001449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:44:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:44:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311192144.hAJLingT001449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 192144 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 07N149W 06N153W 09N161W HAVE MOVED W 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 10N140W 09N147W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N167W 05N172W. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 30N140W 23N145W 20N154W 23N164W. FEATURE MOVING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 20 KT. SQUALL LINE...ISOLATED CB...THAT CROSS 180...WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE EQ178W 05N180 09N179E HAVE MOVED W 20 KT...WEAKENED...AND DECREASED IN AREA. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NIL. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT CROSS 180 AND WERE BOUNDED BY 11S169W 18S173W 14S172E 07S157E EQ160E 11S169W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY AND AREA. STATIONARY FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W...WERE WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 23S120W 18S135W AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY AND AREA. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NIL. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:22 2003 X-UIDL: 47096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00I0EEY6EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:39:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJMedOI054796 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:40:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ64IWB098326; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1930616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJMQpD1038692 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJMQfQS002836 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJMQeYW002834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311192226.hAJMQeYW002834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 192200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/192200Z-200600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191352ZNOV2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191952ZNOV2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK) WAS LOCATED NEAR NEAR 21.7N0 109.7E7, THE SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL JUST WEST OF BEIHAI AT AROUND 190900Z9. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 191500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 191800, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W, WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:34 2003 X-UIDL: 47103-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00I4QIC9EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 07:52:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJNrqOI063403 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 07:53:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626wV031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:40:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1931995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:40:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJNe4D1052464 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:40:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJNdrQS004205 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:39:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJNdrbq004204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:39:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:39:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311192339.hAJNdrbq004204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 192339 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST WED NOV 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:36 2003 X-UIDL: 47105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IN4JM3EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:20:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK0LOOI066613 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:21:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6260J031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1932471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK0AfD1046912 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK0AUQS004689 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK0AUhs004687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200010.hAK0AUhs004687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 200000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 33/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/20 AT 0000 UTC : 12.6S / 71.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.5 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 965 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 250 NO: 030 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/20 12 UTC: 12.9S/69.9E, MAX WIND=055KT . 24H: 2003/11/21 00 UTC: 13.0S/68.3E, MAX WIND=045KT . 36H: 2003/11/21 12 UTC: 13.1S/66.4E, MAX WIND=040KT . 48H: 2003/11/22 00 UTC: 13.0S/64.6E, MAX WIND=030KT . 60H: 2003/11/22 12 UTC: 12.9S/62.7E, MAX WIND=025KT . 72H: 2003/11/23 00 UTC: 12.9S/60.8E, MAX WIND=025KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0, CI=4.5. THE EYE HAS DISAPPEARED ON THE IR IMAGERY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:38 2003 X-UIDL: 47106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00I3CJUMEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:25:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK0QWFT012512 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:26:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6260D031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1932468 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK0AdD1084564 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK0ASQS004679 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK0ASuY004677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 18:10:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 20/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200010.hAK0ASuY004677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 200000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 033/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 20/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 2 (BENI) 965 HPA POSITION: 12.6S / 71.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: LOCALLY SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/20 AT 12 UTC: 12.9S / 69.9E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/21 AT 00 UTC: 13.0S / 68.3E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BENI IS A SMALL DIAMETER TROPICAL CYCLONE. BENI SHOULD MAINTAIN A WESTWARDS TRACK THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:42 2003 X-UIDL: 47111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IDAO2JEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:56:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK1veFT025405 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:57:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6263b031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 19:45:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1933922 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 19:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK1jcD1046980 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 19:45:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK1jSQS006332 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 19:45:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK1jR7N006331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 19:45:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 19:45:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200145.hAK1jR7N006331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 200145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST WED NOV 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:08:36 2003 X-UIDL: 47125-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IY1RWNEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:19:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK3KUOI090320 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:20:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6264h031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:10:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1934470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:10:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK3AID1059424 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:10:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK3A7QS007269 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:10:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK3A7Gd007268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:10:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:10:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200310.hAK3A7Gd007268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 200310 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 20 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA THROUGH 31N139W TO BEYOND 25N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM AHEAD OF FRONT. ..1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N125W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 8N95W 6N105W 11N120W 13N130W 10N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 97W-104W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:08:51 2003 X-UIDL: 47133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IG7WJHEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:59:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK50bOI002602 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 13:00:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6267F031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 22:50:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1935409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 22:50:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK4ohD1051358 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 22:50:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK4oXQS008269 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 22:50:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK4oXSq008268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 22:50:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 22:50:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200450.hAK4oXSq008268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 200450 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 19 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:08:57 2003 X-UIDL: 47141-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IWGZJ0EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:04:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK655OI009531 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:05:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK0S7eP045608; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1935819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK5tND1059486 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK5tCQS008820 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK5tCni008818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200555.hAK5tCni008818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z-210600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/200152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W, WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:08:59 2003 X-UIDL: 47142-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00ITD0ELEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:23:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK6O7FT063634 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:24:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626CD031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:18:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1936360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:18:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK6IeD1008206 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:18:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK6IUQS009107 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:18:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK6ITaS009105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:18:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:18:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 20/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200618.hAK6ITaS009105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 200600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 034/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 20/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 976 HPA POSITION: 12.7S / 70.7E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: LOCALLY SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/20 AT 18 UTC: 12.7S / 69.3E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/21 AT 06 UTC: 12.8S / 67.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION TO BENI HAS COMPLETLY DISORGANIZED LAST NIGHT, AND SEEMS TO BE ORGANIZING INTO CURVED BAND PATTERN DURING THE LAST HOURS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:09:01 2003 X-UIDL: 47144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00IA61O0EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:50:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK6pIOI015029 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:51:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626CV031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1936536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK6kSD1036062 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK6kHQS009345 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK6kH60009343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200646.hAK6kH60009343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 200600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 34/2/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/20 AT 0600 UTC : 12.7S / 70.7E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 PLUS /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 976 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 57 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 060 SO: 300 NO: 030 50 KT NE: 010 SE: 010 SO: 010 NO: 010 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/20 18 UTC: 12.7S/69.3E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2003/11/21 06 UTC: 12.8S/67.8E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/11/21 18 UTC: 12.9S/65.4E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/11/22 06 UTC: 13.4S/62.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/11/22 18 UTC: 14.0S/59.8E, MAX WIND=031KT. 72H: 2003/11/23 06 UTC: 14.4S/57.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION TO BENI HAS COMPLETELY DISORGANIZED LAST NIGHT, AND SEEMS TO BE ORGANIZING INTO CURVED BAND PATTERN DURING THE LAST HOURS. THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BENI REMAINS A SMALL DIAMETER SYSTEM. THE TRACK SHOULD MAINTAIN A WESTWARDS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:09:05 2003 X-UIDL: 47146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00I6X1V8EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:54:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK6tfOI015576 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:55:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ64Idr098326; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1936544 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK6kkD1049360 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK6kZQS009359 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK6kZTN009357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200646.hAK6kZTN009357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 200600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z-210600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/200152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 161.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: ADDED STORM POSITION IN PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:09:10 2003 X-UIDL: 47149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LEZ50UG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:02:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK83qOI024650 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:03:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huD3031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 01:55:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1936828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 01:55:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7thD1049658 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 01:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK7tWQS009842 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 01:55:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK7tW18009841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 01:55:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 01:55:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200755.hAK7tW18009841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 200755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED NOV 19 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 18:14:55 2003 X-UIDL: 47158-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LY07T7G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 17:03:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK942OI033935 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 17:04:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huDL031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1937073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK8tGD1008270 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK8t5QS010266 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK8t5PC010264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200855.hAK8t5PC010264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTXS31 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 12.6S9 71.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.6S9 71.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.7S0 70.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 12.9S2 68.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 13.1S5 67.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 13.5S9 64.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.6S9 71.1E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT MOVES ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH TAU 36 AS TC 02S ENCOUNTERS A SLIGHT DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 AND 210900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 18:15:14 2003 X-UIDL: 47164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LDKAH6G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:00:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKA1eOI041358 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:01:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huDj031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:55:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1937261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK9twD1100120 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:55:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK9tlQS010897 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:55:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK9tlTZ010896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:55:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:55:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200955.hAK9tlTZ010896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 200955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 04N176W 08N174W 06N171W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N165W 05N161W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 12N140W 10N140W 10N143W 11N146W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER/SURFACE TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N177W 30N170W 20N175W 18N179W 26N179W. FEATURE MOVING EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER/SURFACE TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 20S149W 22S133W 25S134W 25S148W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 10 KT. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W...ARE BOUNDED BY 16S134W 20S120W 25S120W 19S138W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 18:15:23 2003 X-UIDL: 47166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LNXAXIG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:10:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKABOOI042565 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:11:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huDp031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 04:04:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1937328 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 04:04:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKA4PD1008208 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 04:04:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKA4FQS010993 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 04:04:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKA4ECS010992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 04:04:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 04:04:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201004.hAKA4ECS010992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 201004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 20 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IN NW CORNER OF AREA...THROUGH 30N138W BEYOND 24N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE 30N137W 26N138W 25N140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N BETWEEN 105W AND 30N138W 24N140W COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 5N77W 7N95W 10N108W 14N128W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180-240 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 21:47:35 2003 X-UIDL: 47174-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00L3DEFEG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 19:26:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKBQuOI052781 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 19:26:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8C5B030186; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:17:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1937788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:17:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKBHPD1009782 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:17:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKBHEQS011643 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:17:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKBHEOO011642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:17:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:17:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201117.hAKBHEOO011642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 201117 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 21:47:59 2003 X-UIDL: 47182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00L9YHWBG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:40:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKCfqOI063237 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:41:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huHD031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:34:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1938485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:34:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKCY9D1100194 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:34:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKCXwQS012167 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:33:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKCXwMO012165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:33:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:33:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 20/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201233.hAKCXwMO012165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 201200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 035/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 20/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 987 HPA POSITION: 13.1S / 69.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: LOCALLY SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 30 NM AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/21 AT 00 UTC: 13.2S / 67.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/21 AT 12 UTC: 13.3S / 64.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION TO BENI HAS COMPLETLY DISORGANIZED, AND BENI PRESENTS NOW A SHEARED PATTERN. THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM BENI REMAINS A SMALL DIAMETER SYSTEM. THE TRACK SHOULD MAINTAIN A WESTWARDS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 21:48:01 2003 X-UIDL: 47183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00L9SI7MG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:47:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKCmhFT020636 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:48:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huHL031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:41:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1938543 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:41:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKCfMD1050720 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:41:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKCfBQS012225 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:41:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKCfBod012223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:41:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:41:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201241.hAKCfBod012223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 201200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 35/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/20 AT 1200 UTC : 13.1S / 69.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.5 /W 2.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 987 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 060 SO: 250 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/21 00 UTC: 13.2S/67.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/21 12 UTC: 13.3S/64.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/11/22 00 UTC: 13.4S/62.2E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/11/22 12 UTC: 14.0S/59.8E, MAX WIND=020KT, FILLING UP. 60H: 2003/11/23 00 UTC: 14.7S/57.2E DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION TO BENI HAS COMPLETLY DISORGANIZED, AND BENI PRESENTS NOW A SHEARED PATTERN. THE MODERATE TROPICAL STORM BENI REMAINS A SMALL DIAMETER SYSTEM. THE TRACK SHOULD MAINTAIN A WESTWARDS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:53:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LTMLOFG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:02:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKE3YFT032326 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:03:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huIr031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 07:56:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1939137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 07:56:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKDu9D1065750 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 07:56:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKDtwQS013048 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 07:55:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKDtwAT013047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 07:55:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 07:55:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201355.hAKDtwAT013047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 201355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU NOV 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:26 2003 X-UIDL: 47209-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LPLPVXG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:33:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKFYSOI091302 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:34:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CA3030186; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:22:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1940123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:22:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKFMKD1104806 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:22:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKFM9QS015194 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:22:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKFM9Kj015193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:22:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:22:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201522.hAKFM9Kj015193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 201521 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 20 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IN NW CORNER OF AREA...THROUGH 31N137W BEYOND 23N140W. FRONT IS PART OF A 997 MB LOW OUT OF THE AREA NEAR 31N145W... SENDING SWELLS INTO THE TROPICAL EPAC. ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT WITH BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS OTHERWISE NW OF FRONT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 9N105W 10N123W 14N131W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 96W-100W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-13N W OF 137.5W...WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-105W AND N OF 4N E OF 80W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/ MODERATE WITHIN 45/60 NM OF LINE 4N80W 5.5N89W. WEAK AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ NEAR 10N124W 14N132W AND 13N137W WHICH ARE HELPING TO FOCUS SOME OF THE ITCZ CONVECTION. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 8N115W 11N125W AND 14N130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR 12N103W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:35 2003 X-UIDL: 47217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00L6YW88G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:50:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHpTFT082453 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:51:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHBMEN030186; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1942604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHjED1041212 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKHj4QS019734 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKHj3T1019732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201745.hAKHj3T1019732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z-211800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200751ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200600Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) WAS LOCATED NEAR NEAR 12.6S9 71.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 200900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED,USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:37 2003 X-UIDL: 47218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LD1WA5G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:51:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHqbOI023976 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:52:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huTl031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1942601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHjED1021928 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKHj4QS019733 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKHj3Z8019731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:45:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201745.hAKHj3Z8019731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABIO10 PGTW 201800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z-211800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200751ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200600Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) WAS LOCATED NEAR NEAR 12.6S9 71.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 200900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED,USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:39 2003 X-UIDL: 47219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LDIX6NG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:11:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKIC8OI029683 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:12:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huVP031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:09:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1943024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:09:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKI9cD1069542 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:09:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKI9SQS020494 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:09:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKI9Raj020492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:09:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:09:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201809.hAKI9Raj020492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 201800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 36/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 20/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 992 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S / 68.2E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: LOCALLY SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 30 NM AND 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/21 AT 06 UTC: 12.9S / 66.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/21 AT 18 UTC: 12.8S / 63.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CONVECTION IS DISORGANIZED AROUND AN INDEFINITE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:41 2003 X-UIDL: 47220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LI2XN4G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:21:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKIM2FT089932 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:22:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huWR031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:17:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1943169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:17:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKIHuD1067618 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:17:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKIHjQS020680 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:17:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKIHj9K020678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:17:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:17:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201817.hAKIHj9K020678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 201800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 36/2/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 2 (BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/20 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S / 68.2E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/3.0 /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 38 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 050 SO: 200 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/21 06 UTC: 12.9S/66.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/21 18 UTC: 12.8S/63.7E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/11/22 06 UTC: 12.8S/61.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2003/11/22 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-. CI=3.0- DISORGANIZED CONVECTION AROUND AN INDEFINITE CENTRE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:44 2003 X-UIDL: 47222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LMZYG9G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:38:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKIdVOI032885 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:39:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huWx031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:33:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1943374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:33:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKIX9D1077880 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:33:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKIWwQS021141 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:32:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKIWwcp021140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:32:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 12:32:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201832.hAKIWwcp021140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPZ20 KNHC 201832 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:54 2003 X-UIDL: 47226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LWN2OTG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 04:10:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKKB3FT008618 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 04:11:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hub5031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:01:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1944378 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:01:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKK1mD1013302 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:01:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKK1bQS023663 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:01:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKK1aJp023662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:01:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:01:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311202001.hAKK1aJp023662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 202000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU NOV 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:00 2003 X-UIDL: 47229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LGN6A6G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:27:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKLSdOI057788 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:28:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hudJ031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:20:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1945372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:19:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKLJED1084528 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:19:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKLJ3QS026044 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:19:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKLJ3Rv026043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:19:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:19:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311202119.hAKLJ3Rv026043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTXS31 PGTW 202100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (BENI) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 13.2S6 69.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 69.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 13.2S6 66.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 13.1S5 64.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.2S6 68.5E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 02S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS IT ENCOUNTERS A SLIGHT DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:02 2003 X-UIDL: 47230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L1N6HVG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:32:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKLXHOI058402 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:33:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hudf031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:21:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1945516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:21:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKLLGD1041758 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:21:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKLL5QS026117 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:21:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKLL5kf026116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:21:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 15:21:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311202121.hAKLL5kf026116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 202120 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 20 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IN NW CORNER OF AREA...THROUGH 31N137W SW BEYOND 23N140W. COLD FRONT IS PART OF A 999 MB OCCLUDED LOW JUST NW OF THE AREA NEAR 30N146W WITH ASSOCIATED NW SWELLS TO 15 FT AFFECTING THE AREA W OF FRONT. SCATTERED/BROKEN LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. ..RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS E OF COLD FRONT ENTERING AREA ALONG 30N126W SE TO 15N110W. ..STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER INLAND MEXICO IS PRODUCING WINDS TO GALE FORCE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N100W 8N120W 15N132W 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 79W-82W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 85W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 97W-107W. SIMILAR ACTIVITY FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 137W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:06 2003 X-UIDL: 47233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LL989HG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:10:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKMBPOI063159 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:11:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHBMJv030186; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1945916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKM0uD1103892 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKM0jQS027222 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKM0juV027220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311202200.hAKM0juV027220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ACPA40 PHFO 202145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 05N178W 08N170W 06N165W 07N160W 08N150W 12N140W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER/SURFACE TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N178W 30N167W 20N174W 18N179W 25N179W. FEATURE MOVING EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 15 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER/SURFACE TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE BOUNDED BY 20S148W 22S131W 25S134W 25S148W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 10 KT. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W...ARE BOUNDED BY 15S135W 20S120W 25S120W 20S140W. FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:25 2003 X-UIDL: 47241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LTQD9HG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:58:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKNxROI074006 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:59:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK9XLTB030726; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 17:49:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1947209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 17:49:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKNn9D1036428 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 17:49:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKNmwQS029289 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 17:48:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKNmwlS029288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 17:48:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 17:48:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311202348.hAKNmwlS029288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 202348 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:29 2003 X-UIDL: 47243-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L3BEHLG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 08:24:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL0PrOI076701 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 08:25:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hujZ031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:23:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1947512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:23:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL0NdD1038268 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:23:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL0NSQS029757 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:23:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL0NReB029755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:23:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:23:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210023.hAL0NReB029755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 210000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 37/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/21 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 66.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 2.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 080 SO: 180 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/21 12 UTC: 13.0S/64.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/11/22 00 UTC: 12.9S/62.1E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/11/22 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:31 2003 X-UIDL: 47244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L58EIDG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 08:25:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL0QNOI076748 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 08:26:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hujT031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:21:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1947486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:21:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL0LbD1009644 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:21:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL0LQQS029716 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:21:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL0LQrc029714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:21:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:21:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 21/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210021.hAL0LQrc029714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 210000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 37/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 21/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 66.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/21 AT 12 UTC: 13.0S / 64.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 00 UTC: 12.9S / 62.1E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:35 2003 X-UIDL: 47250-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LVTJ7BG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 10:06:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL27jFT053654 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 10:07:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hulB031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:01:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1948257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:01:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL21cD1077216 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:01:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL21RQS000909 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:01:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL21Rqr000908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:01:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:01:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210201.hAL21Rqr000908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ACPN50 PHFO 210200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU NOV 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:46 2003 X-UIDL: 47257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LP0NFEG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:38:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL3cxOI099189 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:39:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7humx031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:33:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1949014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:33:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL3XAD1013282 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:33:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL3WxQS001815 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:32:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL3Wx7K001814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:32:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:32:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210332.hAL3Wx7K001814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' AXPZ20 KNHC 210332 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 21 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT OVER NW CORNER OF AREA...THROUGH 31N135W 25N135W TO BEYOND 18N140W. THE COLD FRONT IS PART OF A 996 MB OCCLUDED LOW JUST W OF THE AREA NEAR 30N145W WITH ASSOCIATED NW SWELLS TO 15 FT AFFECTING THE AREA W OF FRONT. SCATTERED/BROKEN LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. ..RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS E OF COLD FRONT ENTERING AREA ALONG 30N127W SE TO 22N110W. ..STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER INLAND MEXICO IS PRODUCING WINDS TO GALE FORCE OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N100W 8N120W 15N132W 12N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 80W-84W AND FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 83W-85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 90-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 97W-110W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:52 2003 X-UIDL: 47264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LA1QUZG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:52:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL4r8OI007404 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:53:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huoD031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:47:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1949460 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:47:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL4lmD1049290 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:47:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL4lbQS002549 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:47:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL4lbDY002548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:47:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:47:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210447.hAL4lbDY002548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPZ20 KNHC 210447 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 13:17:43 2003 X-UIDL: 47267-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LWNRQCG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:11:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL5BvOI009552 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:12:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHBMPF030186; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1949597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL54YD1005234 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL54NQS002742 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL54NSr002740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210504.hAL54NSr002740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z-220600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/210152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 160.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:09:35 2003 X-UIDL: 47269-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LS3TWOG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:58:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL5wuOI014704 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:58:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hup9031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:56:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1949893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:56:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL5ubD1055308 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:56:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL5uQQS003197 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:56:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL5uPgG003195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:56:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:56:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210556.hAL5uPgG003195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 210000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 37/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 21/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 66.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/21 AT 12 UTC: 13.0S / 64.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 00 UTC: 12.9S / 62.1E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:09:47 2003 X-UIDL: 47270-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LAGU19G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:00:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL61hFT083655 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:01:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHBMPX030186; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:58:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1949937 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:58:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL5weD1028638 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:58:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL5wTQS003226 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:58:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL5wTQT003223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:58:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:58:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210558.hAL5wTQT003223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XII, Probability=12%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 210000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 37/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/21 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 66.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 2.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 080 SO: 180 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/21 12 UTC: 13.0S/64.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/11/22 00 UTC: 12.9S/62.1E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/11/22 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:09:49 2003 X-UIDL: 47271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LZ6UPPG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:15:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL6GLFT086357 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:16:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHBMQZ030186; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:13:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1950164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:13:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL6D3D1027314 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:13:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL6CqQS003449 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:12:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL6Cq79003447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:12:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:12:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210612.hAL6Cq79003447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO20 FMEE 210600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 038/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 21/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 65.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/21 AT 18 UTC: 13.2S / 63.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 06 UTC: 13.1S / 60.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARD, AND ITS DEFINITVE DISSIPATION IS FORECASTED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:09:51 2003 X-UIDL: 47272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L6HURBG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:16:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL6HKFT086581 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:17:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL2tbPX045638; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:14:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1950187 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:14:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL6E4D1038454 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:14:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL6DrQS003473 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:13:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL6DqXs003471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:13:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 00:13:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210613.hAL6DqXs003471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTIO30 FMEE 210600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 38/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/21 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 65.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 280 SO: 280 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/21 18 UTC: 13.2S/63.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/22 06 UTC: 13.1S/60.4E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/11/22 18 UTC: 13.1S/57.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/11/23 06 UTC: 13.1S/55.2E DISSIPATING. 60H: 2003/11/23 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/11/24 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: TRACKING WESTWARD, TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI WILL ENCOUNTER UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS, WITHH COOLER SST AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:09:56 2003 X-UIDL: 47279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L7RYQ0G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:42:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL7gxkI025656 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:43:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hurJ031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:29:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1950567 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:29:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL7TvD1050908 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:29:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL7TkQS004211 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:29:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL7TkOF004209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:29:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:29:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 21/11/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210729.hAL7TkOF004209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE -1.596' WTIO20 FMEE 210600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 038/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 21/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 65.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/21 AT 18 UTC: 13.2S / 63.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 06 UTC: 13.1S / 60.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARD, AND ITS DEFINITVE DISSIPATION IS FORECASTED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:09:58 2003 X-UIDL: 47280-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L8JYQ8G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:42:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL7h6nR099294 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:43:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK9XLXD030726; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:32:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1950577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:32:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL7W0D1045334 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:32:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL7VnQS004260 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:31:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL7Vnnf004257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:31:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:31:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210731.hAL7Vnnf004257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO30 FMEE 210600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 38/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/21 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 65.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 280 SO: 280 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/21 18 UTC: 13.2S/63.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/22 06 UTC: 13.1S/60.4E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/11/22 18 UTC: 13.1S/57.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/11/23 06 UTC: 13.1S/55.2E DISSIPATING. 60H: 2003/11/23 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/11/24 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: TRACKING WESTWARD, TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI WILL ENCOUNTER UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS, WITHH COOLER SST AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:06 2003 X-UIDL: 47283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO002AQZEXAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:56:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL7vtkI027502 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:57:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hurN031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:50:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1950642 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:50:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL7odD1030300 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:50:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL7oSQS004370 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:50:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL7oSBZ004369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:50:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:50:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210750.hAL7oSBZ004369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 210750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU NOV 20 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:23 2003 X-UIDL: 47297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002MM4OFAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 17:50:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL9pXnR021967 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 17:51:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7husB031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:47:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1951024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:47:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL9kxD1009764 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:46:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL9knQS005628 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:46:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL9kmUW005627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:46:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:46:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210946.hAL9kmUW005627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPA40 PHFO 210946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 16N168E TO 30N174W TO 36N174W TO 34N180 MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 15 KT. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 10N141W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY...CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA...AND WEAKENED. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 11N143W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07N151W TO 10N146W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 07N156W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 12N169W TO 06N161W. NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 08N170W. LOW...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 30N147W TO 31N147W TO 32N144W TO 30N142W TO 28N143W MOVED SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 17N176W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 240 NM OF THE LINE FROM 22S134W TO 40S138W AND FURTHER SOUTH MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 25 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB PARTLY OVER LAND WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14S173W TO 14S167W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:30 2003 X-UIDL: 47300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002U65BTAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:04:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALA5dnR024297 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:05:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7husX031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 04:03:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1951110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 04:03:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALA3sD1064740 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 04:03:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALA3hQS005789 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 04:03:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALA3hbu005788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 04:03:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 04:03:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211003.hALA3hbu005788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 211003 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 21 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IN NW CORNER OF AREA...THROUGH 30N135W TO BEYOND 22N140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE FRONT... ELSEWHERE NORTH OF 14N BETWEEN 105W AND THE FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0915 UTC... ..CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WITH THE COLD FRONT... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 19N TO 20N BETWEEN 134W AND 136W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 13N TO 14N BETWEEN 130W AND 131W...WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF 17N134.5W...AND FROM 9.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 138W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 30N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N74W 7N96W 10N110W 8N126W 10N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 122W AND 123W...AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 127W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120-180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS MAINLY BETWEEN 88W AND 113W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 82W AND 84W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ALONG COLOMBIA COAST FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:32 2003 X-UIDL: 47302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002CZ88XAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:07:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALB8enR035297 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:08:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hut9031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:03:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1951478 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:03:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALB33D1044856 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:03:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALB2qQS006302 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:02:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALB2qrQ006301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:02:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:02:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211102.hALB2qrQ006301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 211102 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:38 2003 X-UIDL: 47305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002FKBJPAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:19:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALCJsnR046105 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:19:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hutX031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:15:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1951759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:15:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALCFYD1044988 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:15:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALCFNQS006888 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:15:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALCFNZe006886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:15:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:15:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211215.hALCFNZe006886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO20 FMEE 211200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 039/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 21/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 998 HPA POSITION: 12.8S / 64.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 00 UTC: 12.7S / 61.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 12 UTC: 12.9S / 59.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARD, AND ITS DEFINITVE DISSIPATION IS FORECASTED AT SHORT RANGE. WINDS REACHING 30 TO 35 KT ARE PRESENTS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, WITHIN THE AREA OF STRONG GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:40 2003 X-UIDL: 47306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002IFBKKAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:19:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALCKUnR046217 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:20:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHBMSP030186; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:16:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1951770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:16:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALCGdD1016794 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:16:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALCGSQS006915 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:16:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALCGS9n006913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:16:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:16:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211216.hALCGS9n006913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO30 FMEE 211200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 39/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/21 AT 1200 UTC : 12.8S / 64.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 MOINS /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 280 SO: 280 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/22 00 UTC: 12.7S/61.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/22 12 UTC: 12.9S/59.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/11/23 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 48H: 2003/11/23 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/11/24 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/11/24 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-, CI=2.5-. TRACKING WESTWARD, TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS, WITH COOLER SST AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:49 2003 X-UIDL: 47310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002RBF16AE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:34:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALDZFkI080861 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:35:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huuV031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:31:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1952228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:31:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALDVTD1016886 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:31:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALDVIQS007591 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:31:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALDVI8p007589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:31:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:31:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 21/11/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211331.hALDVI8p007589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE -1.596' WTIO20 FMEE 211200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 039/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 21/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 998 HPA POSITION: 12.8S / 64.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 00 UTC: 12.7S / 61.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 12 UTC: 12.9S / 59.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARD, AND ITS DEFINITVE DISSIPATION IS FORECASTED AT SHORT RANGE. WINDS REACHING 30 TO 35 KT ARE PRESENTS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, WITHIN THE AREA OF STRONG GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:51 2003 X-UIDL: 47311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002Z5F2TAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:35:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALDaDnR057632 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:36:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huuZ031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:32:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1952251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:32:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALDWUD1077092 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:32:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALDWJQS007616 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:32:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALDWJ8d007614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:32:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:32:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211332.hALDWJ8d007614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO30 FMEE 211200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 39/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/21 AT 1200 UTC : 12.8S / 64.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 MOINS /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 280 SO: 280 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/22 00 UTC: 12.7S/61.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/11/22 12 UTC: 12.9S/59.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/11/23 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 48H: 2003/11/23 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/11/24 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/11/24 12 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-, CI=2.5-. TRACKING WESTWARD, TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS, WITH COOLER SST AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:58 2003 X-UIDL: 47315-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP0026VG0IAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:55:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALDuOkI083931 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:56:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huup031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:50:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1952384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:50:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALDotD1013298 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:50:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALDojQS007805 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:50:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALDojPJ007804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:50:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:50:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211350.hALDojPJ007804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 211350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI NOV 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:11:36 2003 X-UIDL: 47338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP003SQP04JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:09:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHAckI023113 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:10:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKHBMhd030186; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1957904 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALH5ZD1019710 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALH5OQS013291 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALH5OQv013289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211705.hALH5OQv013289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201951ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 69.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 202100) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART,USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:11:38 2003 X-UIDL: 47339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP003UIP2GJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:11:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHC3nR002580 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:12:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALFngGV031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1957901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALH5ZD1012456 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALH5OQS013290 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALH5Ow6013288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:05:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211705.hALH5Ow6013288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 211800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201951ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02S (BENI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 69.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 202100) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART,USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:12:01 2003 X-UIDL: 47352-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP00226ROBAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:07:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALI8KnR014145 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:08:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvEZ031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:02:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1958647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:02:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALI2CD1029552 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:02:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALI21QS015156 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:02:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALI21fd015155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:02:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:02:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211802.hALI21fd015155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 211801 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 20 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:12:11 2003 X-UIDL: 47357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002RRSSLAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:31:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALIWXkI037755 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:32:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvFR031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:23:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1958994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:23:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALINwD1048348 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:23:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALINlQS015736 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:23:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALINlcI015734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:23:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:23:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 21/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211823.hALINlcI015734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE -1.596' WTIO20 FMEE 211800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 040/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 21/11/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 998 HPA POSITION: 12.7S / 62.8E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS FROM 60 NM TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 06 UTC: 12.8S / 58.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 18 UTC: 12.8S / 56.5E, MAX WIND = 20 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-, CI=2.5-. TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARD, AND WEAKENING AT SHORT RANGE. WINDS REACHING 30 TO 35 KT ARE PRESENTS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, WITHIN THE AREA OF STRONG GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:12:15 2003 X-UIDL: 47360-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP003H1T44JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:38:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALIdSnR019602 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:39:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvFZ031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:25:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1959024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:25:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALIOxD1069590 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:24:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALIOmQS015771 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:24:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALIOmsu015769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:24:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:24:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211824.hALIOmsu015769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO30 FMEE 211800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 40/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/21 AT 1800 UTC : 12.7S / 62.8E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 280 SO: 280 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/22 06 UTC: 12.8S/58.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/11/22 18 UTC: 12.8S/56.5E, MAX WIND=020KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-, CI=2.5-. TRACKING WESTWARD, TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS, WITH COOLER SST AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:12:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47380-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002K2WNAAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:54:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALJtlnR035505 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:55:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvKX031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:45:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1960250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:45:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALJjbD1012362 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:45:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALJjQQS017915 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:45:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALJjQ4u017914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:45:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:45:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211945.hALJjQ4u017914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 211945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST FRI NOV 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:02 2003 X-UIDL: 47387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002X70TAAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:24:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLPjkI068877 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:25:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvOF031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:15:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1961403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:15:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLFOD1077930 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:15:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALLFDQS020269 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:15:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALLFDa6020268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:15:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:15:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion...delayed Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311212115.hALLFDa6020268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 212114 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...DELAYED TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 21 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1200 UTC... ..STATIONARY FRONT IS IN NW CORNER OF AREA...FROM 30N136W TO BEYOND 22N140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 10N W OF 110W EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 6N94W 9N110W 9N127W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 118W TO 120W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 122W TO 130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 81W TO 85W AND 102W TO 105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 21N133W 19.5N135W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:08 2003 X-UIDL: 47390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002L31CGAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:36:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLbHkI070247 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:37:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwIt048798; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:29:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1961540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLTJD1078780 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:29:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALLT8QS020601 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:29:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALLT8mj020600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:29:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:29:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311212129.hALLT8mj020600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 212129 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 21 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1800 UTC... ..DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT IS ACROSS THE NW CORNER OF REGION THROUGH 32N140W TO 17N139W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 16N FROM 115W TO 135W WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N128W TO 18N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N78W 7N96W 9N107W 8N120W 6N125W 9N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/90 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W TO 86W AND FROM 120W TO 130W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM S OF AXIS FROM 102W TO 1206W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 4N78W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75/90 NM OF 12.5N FROM 104W TO 109W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 8N124W TO 12N130W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 200/225 NM OF A LINE FROM 20N135W TO 31N129W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:14 2003 X-UIDL: 47393-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003JY27LJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:54:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLtsnR057387 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:55:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvPn031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:45:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1961766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:45:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLjiD1014908 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:45:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALLjXQS021020 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:45:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALLjXoE021019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:45:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:45:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311212145.hALLjXoE021019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPA40 PHFO 212145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 17N170E TO 30N175W TO 35N170W MOVED EAST AT 15 KT. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE THROUGH 12N140W 08N150W 07N160W 10N170W 12N177W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY...CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. LOW...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 30N149W TO 32N145 TO 31N143W TO 30N142W TO 28N143W MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 17N175W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 240 NM OF THE LINE FROM 23S140W TO 23S120W TO 25S110W AND FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST MOVED NORTHEAST AT 20 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB PARTLY OVER LAND WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 14S169W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:34 2003 X-UIDL: 47404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003U865VJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:20:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALNLGnR068828 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:21:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvVB031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 17:06:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1963631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 17:06:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALN6sD1078592 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 17:06:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALN6hQS023037 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 17:06:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALN6hg4023036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 17:06:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 17:06:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311212306.hALN6hg4023036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 212306 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:46 2003 X-UIDL: 47412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002CJ8S9AE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:16:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM0HwnR075653 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:17:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvWR031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:12:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1964267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:12:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM0CqD1104724 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:12:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM0CfQS023723 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:12:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM0Cf2W023720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:12:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:12:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 22/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220012.hAM0Cf2W023720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE -1.596' WTIO20 FMEE 220000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 041/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 22/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 998 HPA POSITION: 12.8S / 61.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS FROM 60 NM TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 12 UTC: 12.9S / 57.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/23 AT 00 UTC: 12.9S / 55.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, FILLING UP. OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-, CI=2.5-. TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARD, AND WEAKENING AT SHORT RANGE. WINDS REACHING 30 TO 35 KT ARE PRESENTS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, WITHIN THE AREA OF STRONG GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003CZ8VLJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:18:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM0JvnR075925 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:19:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvWT031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:15:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1964284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:15:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM0F3D1050798 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:15:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM0EqQS023749 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:14:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM0EqgO023746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:14:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:14:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220014.hAM0EqgO023746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO30 FMEE 220000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 41/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/22 AT 0000 UTC : 12.8S / 61.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 998 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 280 SO: 280 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/22 12 UTC: 12.9S/57.7E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/11/23 00 UTC: 12.9S/55.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, FILLING UP. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-, CI=2.5-. TRACKING WESTWARD, TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS, WITH COOLER SST AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 10:57:09 2003 X-UIDL: 47419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002I8D6JAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:51:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM1qukI000463 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:52:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwOV048798; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:45:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1965270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:45:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM1jlD1013226 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:45:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM1jaQS024800 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:45:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM1jamV024799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:45:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:45:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220145.hAM1jamV024799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 220145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST FRI NOV 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY. ROSENDAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 13:09:25 2003 X-UIDL: 47431-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ00355I8AJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:40:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM3ftnR003138 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:41:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvb9031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:37:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1966146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:37:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM3btD1048258 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:37:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM3biQS025963 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:37:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM3bixG025960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:37:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:37:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220337.hAM3bixG025960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 220337 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 22 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0000 UTC... ..DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT IS ACROSS THE NW CORNER OF REGION THROUGH 32N140W TO 23N137W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 22N FROM 120W TO 135W WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N129W TO 23N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N109W 8N130W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 128W TO 132W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF AXIS FROM 84W TO 87W AND WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 122W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF AXIS FROM 106W TO 114W AND WITHIN 90/120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 94W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120/150 NM OF AXIS FROM 114W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 2N TO 4N. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF A LINE FROM 19N136W TO 30N129W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 13:09:28 2003 X-UIDL: 47438-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003FILFEJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:50:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM4p3kI029349 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:51:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHUvNH059770; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:44:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1966587 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:44:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM4i6D1014944 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:44:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM4htQS026602 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:43:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM4htCk026601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:43:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:43:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220443.hAM4htCk026601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 220443 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 21 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:21 2003 X-UIDL: 47441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002J4NCSAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:31:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM5WdnR021241 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvd5031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:28:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1966913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:28:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM5SvD1104852 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:28:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM5SkQS026995 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:28:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM5SkPZ026993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:28:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:28:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220528.hAM5SkPZ026993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTIO20 FMEE 220000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 041/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 22/11/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 998 HPA POSITION: 12.8S / 61.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS FROM 60 NM TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 12 UTC: 12.9S / 57.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/23 AT 00 UTC: 12.9S / 55.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, FILLING UP. OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-, CI=2.5-. TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-BENI SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARD, AND WEAKENING AT SHORT RANGE. WINDS REACHING 30 TO 35 KT ARE PRESENTS IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, WITHIN THE AREA OF STRONG GRADIANT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:33 2003 X-UIDL: 47444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003NRO6TJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:49:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM5oenR024432 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:50:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvd7031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1966978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM5guD1024918 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM5gjQS027118 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM5gjd8027116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220542.hAM5gjd8027116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z-230600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/220421ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 153.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:35 2003 X-UIDL: 47445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002PLPSMAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:24:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM6PMnR029650 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:25:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvdl031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:21:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1967565 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:21:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM6LCD1062938 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:21:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM6L1QS027487 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:21:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM6L1sm027485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:21:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:21:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220621.hAM6L1sm027485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO22 FMEE 220600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 42/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 22/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 60.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 14 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 60NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 18 UTC: 13.5S / 57.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/23 AT 06 UTC: 13.8S / 55.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, FILLING UP. OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0, CI=2.5-. CONVECTION HAS TEMPORALLY REBUILT NEAR THE LLCC, BUT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, IS LESS AND LESS CIRCULAR, SHOWING A FILLING LLCC. SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, THE HIGH IS WEAKENING, SO THE GRADIENT IS LESS STRONG.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:37 2003 X-UIDL: 47446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003EOQNXJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:43:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM6i9nR031975 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:44:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvdr031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:38:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1967686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:38:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM6cYD1078664 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:38:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM6cMQS027619 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:38:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM6cMt4027616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:38:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:38:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220638.hAM6cMt4027616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO30 FMEE 220600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 42/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/22 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 60.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/22 18 UTC: 13.5S/57.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/11/23 06 UTC: 13.8S/55.2E, MAX WIND=025KT, FILLING UP. 36H: 2003/11/23 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 48H: 2003/11/24 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/11/24 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/11/25 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0, CI=2.5-. CONVECTION HAS REBUILT NEAR THE LLCC, WITH A GOOD HIGH LEVEL EVACUATING FLOW IN THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE SYSTEM. THIS SHOULD BE TEMPORALLY, DUE TO WESTWARD TRACK TOWARD AN INCREASING NORTHWESTERN SHEARED ENVIRRONMENT. IN LOW LEVEL, THE CIRCULATION, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, IS LESS AND LESS CIRCULAR, SHOWING A FILLING LLCC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:41 2003 X-UIDL: 47448-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003PAR05JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:50:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM6pTnR032733 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:51:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwR1048798; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:47:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1967756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:47:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM6lfD1072720 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:47:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM6lUQS027685 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:47:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM6lTjb027684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:47:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:47:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220647.hAM6lTjb027684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 220647 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI NOV 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003BHRMDJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:03:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM74nnR034928 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:04:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM61QIh055700; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:00:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1967888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:00:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM70ED1019664 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:00:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM703QS027802 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:00:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM703dH027800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:00:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:00:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220700.hAM703dH027800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO22 FMEE 220600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 42/2 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 22/11/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 60.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 14 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 60NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/22 AT 18 UTC: 13.5S / 57.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/11/23 AT 06 UTC: 13.8S / 55.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, FILLING UP. OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0, CI=2.5-. CONVECTION HAS TEMPORALLY REBUILT NEAR THE LLCC, BUT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, IS LESS AND LESS CIRCULAR, SHOWING A FILLING LLCC. SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM, THE HIGH IS WEAKENING, SO THE GRADIENT IS LESS STRONG. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:59 2003 X-UIDL: 47462-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003BGU9NJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 16:00:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM820nR043200 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 16:02:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvel031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:50:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1968150 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:50:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM7oeD1070594 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:50:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM7oTQS028191 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:50:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM7oSKO028190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:50:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:50:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220750.hAM7oSKO028190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 220750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST FRI NOV 21 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. RYSHKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:09 2003 X-UIDL: 47469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003OAYFAJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 17:30:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM9VinR063888 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 17:31:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvfP031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:24:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1968608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:24:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM9OlD1064630 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:24:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM9OaQS029057 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:24:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM9Oa1U029056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:24:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:24:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220924.hAM9Oa1U029056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 220924 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 22 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0600 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 111W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 108W-112W. ..1010 MB LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 8N130W MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 130W-134W. ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 14N142W NEWD TO 25N134W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 132W-135W. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N129W SWD TO 10N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 8N87W 5N100W 8N110W 8N130W 10N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-86W...93W-96W...AND 101W-103W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 108W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA BETWEEN 2N-8N. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 94W-97W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 128W-133W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:11 2003 X-UIDL: 47470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003IOZE9JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 17:51:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM9qjnR067771 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 17:52:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvfT031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:46:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1968702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM9kHD1048258 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM9k6QS029252 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:46:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM9k6S3029251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:46:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:46:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220946.hAM9k6S3029251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPA40 PHFO 220945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 15N165E TO 18N174E TO 26N179W TO 31N177W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 17N180 TO 20N175W MOVED WEST NORTHWEST AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 13N141W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 07N153W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE LINE FROM 06N157W TO 06N155W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N163W 07N161W 05N165W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 105 NM OF THE POINT 10N172W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 13N175W. LOW...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 35N145W 34N139W 31N139W 26N143W 28N147W 25N151W 31N153W MOVED WEST SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA; THE CB HAVE ALSO INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE LINE FROM 25S122W TO 26S131W TO 40S137W AND FURTHER SOUTH MOVED EAST AT 10 KT. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 10S156W TO 20S135W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 14S168W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 13S174W. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:15 2003 X-UIDL: 47472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR003L60KJJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 18:17:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMAI0kI082254 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 18:18:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvfh031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 04:12:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1968864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 04:12:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMACND1086786 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 04:12:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMACCQS029466 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 04:12:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMACCLT029464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 04:12:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 04:12:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221012.hAMACCLT029464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO30 FMEE 220600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 42/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/22 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 60.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/22 18 UTC: 13.5S/57.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/11/23 06 UTC: 13.8S/55.2E, MAX WIND=025KT, FILLING UP. 36H: 2003/11/23 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 48H: 2003/11/24 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 60H: 2003/11/24 18 UTC: DISSIPATED. 72H: 2003/11/25 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0, CI=2.5-. CONVECTION HAS REBUILT NEAR THE LLCC, WITH A GOOD HIGH LEVEL EVACUATING FLOW IN THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE SYSTEM. THIS SHOULD BE TEMPORALLY, DUE TO WESTWARD TRACK TOWARD AN INCREASING NORTHWESTERN SHEARED ENVIRRONMENT. IN LOW LEVEL, THE CIRCULATION, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, IS LESS AND LESS CIRCULAR, SHOWING A FILLING LLCC. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:20 2003 X-UIDL: 47474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR003JU3L0JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:22:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMBNCnR082205 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:23:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvgR031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:18:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1969181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:18:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMBIaD1078594 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:18:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMBIPQS000042 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:18:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMBIP0O000041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:18:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:18:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221118.hAMBIP0O000041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 221118 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SAT NOV 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:22 2003 X-UIDL: 47475-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005AS72RUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:37:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMCcekI002363 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:38:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvhH031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:34:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1969481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:34:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMCYYD1062884 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:34:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMCYNQS000634 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:34:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMCYNx1000632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:34:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:34:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 22/11/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221234.hAMCYNx1000632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=IIIIIII, Probability=7%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE -1.596' WTIO22 FMEE 221200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 043/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 22/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.7S / 58.7E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND ROUGH SEAS REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE 30KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/23 AT 00 UTC: 12.6S / 57.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DISSIPATING. 24H, VALID 2003/11/23 AT 12 UTC: 12.7S / 55.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL IS BECOMING POORLY ORGANIZED, WITH A FILLING UP LLCC. AT THIS STAGE, THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOESN'T JUSTIFY THE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION (WHICH IS POSSIBLE IF THE RESIDUAL VORTEX REMAINS NORTH, OUT OF THE STRONGLY SHEARED AREA).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 47476-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005VD79PUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:41:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMCgonR097579 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:42:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvhJ031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:38:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1969495 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:38:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMCcfD1103774 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:38:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMCcUQS000665 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:38:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMCcUA9000663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:38:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:38:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221238.hAMCcUA9000663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO30 FMEE 221200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 43/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/22 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.7S / 58.7E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/23 00 UTC: 12.6S/57.1E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 24H: 2003/11/23 12 UTC: 12.7S/55.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL IS BECOMING POORLY ORGANIZED, WITH A FILLING UP LLCC. AT THIS STAGE, THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOESN'T JUSTIFY THE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION (WHICH IS POSSIBLE IF THE RESIDUAL VORTEX REMAINS NORTH, OUT OF THE STRONGLY SHEARED AREA).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:35 2003 X-UIDL: 47482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005UOAN7UL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:54:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMDtikI010949 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:55:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWviH031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:50:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1969933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:50:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMDoGD1086946 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:50:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMDo5QS001207 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:50:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMDo5lc001205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:50:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:50:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221350.hAMDo5lc001205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTIO22 FMEE 221200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 043/02 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 22/11/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.7S / 58.7E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, ONLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND ROUGH SEAS REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE 30KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/11/23 AT 00 UTC: 12.6S / 57.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DISSIPATING. 24H, VALID 2003/11/23 AT 12 UTC: 12.7S / 55.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DISSIPATING. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL IS BECOMING POORLY ORGANIZED, WITH A FILLING UP LLCC. AT THIS STAGE, THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOESN'T JUSTIFY THE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION (WHICH IS POSSIBLE IF THE RESIDUAL VORTEX REMAINS NORTH, OUT OF THE STRONGLY SHEARED AREA). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:37 2003 X-UIDL: 47483-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR0031XANCJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:54:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMDtekI010946 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:55:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWviP031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:52:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1969954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:52:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMDqLD1062854 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:52:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMDqAQS001260 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:52:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMDqACq001258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:52:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:52:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221352.hAMDqACq001258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTIO30 FMEE 221200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 43/2/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 2 (EX-BENI) 2.A POSITION 2003/11/22 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.7S / 58.7E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/11/23 00 UTC: 12.6S/57.1E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 24H: 2003/11/23 12 UTC: 12.7S/55.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL IS BECOMING POORLY ORGANIZED, WITH A FILLING UP LLCC. AT THIS STAGE, THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOESN'T JUSTIFY THE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION (WHICH IS POSSIBLE IF THE RESIDUAL VORTEX REMAINS NORTH, OUT OF THE STRONGLY SHEARED AREA). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:51 2003 X-UIDL: 47491-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005QGGH6UE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:00:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMG1hkI023323 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:01:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvlX031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:55:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1971091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:55:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMFtCD1038840 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:55:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMFt1QS002280 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:55:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMFt1cs002279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:55:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:55:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221555.hAMFt1cs002279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 221555 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 22 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/1200 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N113W MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 130W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 32N130W TO 20N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N84W 7N100W 8N115W 8N130W 10N134W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 111W AND 114W... AND FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 123W AND 127W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 118W AND 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 17N134W. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:03 2003 X-UIDL: 47497-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR0055DKFQUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:26:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMHRFkI030865 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:27:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvml031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1971696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMHNED1012436 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMHN3QS003272 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMHN3jw003270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221723.hAMHN3jw003270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z-231800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART,USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:05 2003 X-UIDL: 47498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005FAKIJUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:27:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMHSukI031005 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:28:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwWB048798; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1971699 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMHNED1036448 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMHN3QS003273 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMHN3GB003271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:23:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221723.hAMHN3GB003271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z-231800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART,USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:09 2003 X-UIDL: 47500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005A7LEMUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:47:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMHmBnR031252 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:48:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvnV031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:46:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1972102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:46:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMHkND1099366 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:46:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMHkCQS003493 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:46:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMHkCdZ003492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:46:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:46:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221746.hAMHkCdZ003492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 221746 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:25 2003 X-UIDL: 47507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005U4R8LUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:53:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMJs8nR045470 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:54:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvqP031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:50:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1973319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:50:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMJoRD1038686 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:50:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMJoGQS004673 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:50:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMJoGhi004672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:50:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:50:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221950.hAMJoGhi004672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 221950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SAT NOV 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:39 2003 X-UIDL: 47514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR0056WW53UE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 05:39:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMLe2kI054021 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 05:40:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvsn031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:34:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1974289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:34:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMLYID1077986 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:34:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMLY6QS005645 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:34:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMLY6vO005644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:34:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:34:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311222134.hAMLY6vO005644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 222134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 22 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/1800 UTC... ..A 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N114W MOVING W 10 KT. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 133W FROM 4N TO 15N. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 18N FROM 116W TO 134W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 9N103W 8N120W 10N135W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 116W AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 133W TO 136W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 133W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 6N79W AND WITHIN A 30/45 NM RADIUS OF 11N94.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:44 2003 X-UIDL: 47516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005WRX2XUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 05:59:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMM0NkI056044 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:00:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvt1031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:55:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1974379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMLtPD1064628 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:55:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMLtEQS005862 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:55:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMLtECj005860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:55:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:55:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311222155.hAMLtECj005860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPA40 PHFO 222155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 27N150W MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 7 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LOW FORMING MOSTLY ALONG SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. CB CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 27N175W 16N176W SHIFTED SOUTHEAST SLOWLY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AREA LIES OVER A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE AND IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR 26N174E. THE LOW IS NEARLY STATIONARY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...BRIEF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 07N155W 06N166W 11N173W REMAIN VERY SPARSE. AREA DRIFTING WEST SLOWLY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35 NM OF LINE 15S143W 14S151W 10S158W ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE. CB MOVED SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 15S164W 13S178W ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE MOVED SOUTHWEST SLOWLY AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 25S132W 20S140W MOVED EAST 10-15 KT. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:45 2003 X-UIDL: 47518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005QXZTFUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:58:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMMxSPL004232 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:59:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvtr031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 16:56:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1974905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 16:56:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMMuQD1072790 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 16:56:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMMuAQS006531 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 16:56:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMMu9Mq006530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 16:56:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 16:56:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311222256.hAMMu9Mq006530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 222256 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:51 2003 X-UIDL: 47533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005JH7Y8UE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:54:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN1t9PL019189 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:55:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvwD031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:50:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1976178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:50:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN1oYD1064686 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:50:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN1oNQS007987 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:50:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN1oMTt007986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:50:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:50:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230150.hAN1oMTt007986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 230150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SAT NOV 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:03 2003 X-UIDL: 47545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005VRCZAUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:42:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN3hij3032948 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:43:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvxV031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:36:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1976758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:36:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN3aaD1014918 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:36:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN3aPQS008990 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:36:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN3aPnx008989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:36:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:36:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230336.hAN3aPnx008989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 230336 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 23 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0000 UTC... ..A 1009 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 10N114W IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE SURFACE. ..SURFACE TROUGH IS IN THE NW CORNER OF THE REGION EXTENDING FROM 29N140W 25N139W TO BEYOND 21N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 22N FROM 118W TO 135W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N127W TO 23N122W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 9N80W 8N98W 9N107W 8N117W 8N122W 10N128W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 119W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 117W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 119W TO 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM THE AXIS TO INLAND OVER COSTA RICA E OF 84W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 97W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 97W TO 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND WITHIN 30 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 80.5W TO 82.5W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:07 2003 X-UIDL: 47547-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS0057WEAFUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:11:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN4C4j3035264 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:12:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvxx031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:05:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1976966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:05:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN45VD1007860 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:05:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN45KQS009220 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:05:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN45K3B009219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:05:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:05:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230405.hAN45K3B009219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 230405 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 22 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:22 2003 X-UIDL: 47556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005IOJ4TUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:55:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN5ugPL040623 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:56:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv0v031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:35:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1977570 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:35:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN5Z8D1028200 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:35:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN5YuQS009907 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:34:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN5YusK009905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:34:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:34:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230534.hAN5YusK009905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z-240600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/230152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT) LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 147.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:41 2003 X-UIDL: 47574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS0057XOI9UE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:51:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN7qkj3059443 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:52:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv3L031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:45:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1978384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:45:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN7jpD1085552 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:45:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN7jeQS010828 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:45:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN7jehJ010827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:45:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 01:45:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230745.hAN7jehJ010827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 230745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SAT NOV 22 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:42 2003 X-UIDL: 47577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS008FMTD92F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 17:36:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN9bkj3069811 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 17:37:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv3v031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:35:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1978835 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:35:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN9ZXD1104154 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:35:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN9ZMQS011764 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:35:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN9ZLOi011763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:35:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:35:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230935.hAN9ZLOi011763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 230935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 23 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0600 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM A LARGE LOW NORTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SKIRTS THE NE CORNER OF THE AREA ALONG 30N140W 25N139W 21N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION MAINLY EAST OF THE TROUGH...NORTH OF 17N AND WEST OF 134W. ..FLATTENED HIGH PRES RIDGE NORTH OF 18N BETWEEN THE BAJA PENINSULA AND 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N87W 7N100W 9N110W 8N120W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 84W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W-126W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OFF THE COLOMBIAN COAST FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 78W-80W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 97W-102W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:44 2003 X-UIDL: 47579-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS008NHUT82F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:07:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANA8vPL065838 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:08:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwdx048798; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:04:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1979003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:04:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANA4aD1015012 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:04:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANA4OQS012024 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:04:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANA4OCo012023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:04:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:04:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231004.hANA4OCo012023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPA40 PHFO 231004 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 25N150W...MOVING SOUTH 08 KT AND WEAKENING. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 30N144W 27N146W HAVE MOVED EAST 05 KT... DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB... THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND NORTH OF 30N...ARE WITHIN AREA EAST OF A LINE FROM 30N143W 24N140W 18N143W 19N140W 30N140W 30N143W AND REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE INCREASING IN BOTH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N180 20N180 20N177W 14N174E 20N166W 30N166W 30N180 HAVE MOVED EAST SLOWLY AND DECREASED IN INTENSITY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. AREA LIES WITHIN A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE WHICH IS BEING SUPPORTED BY A LARGE NEARLY STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR 25N173E. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 07N170W 08N157W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S130W 18S140W MOVED EAST 10-15 KT. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT. AREA OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12S178W 14S180 20S179W 23S173W 20S169W 13S172W 14S154W 12S154W 08S163W 08S171W 13S179W THAT HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE AREA OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN SOUTH PACIFIC DIRECTLY ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:45 2003 X-UIDL: 47581-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS008BOYEG2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:25:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANBQSPL073273 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:26:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv5D031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 05:22:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1979576 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 05:22:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANBMCD1014956 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 05:22:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANBM1QS012632 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 05:22:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANBM1fI012631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 05:22:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 05:22:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231122.hANBM1fI012631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 231122 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER AVILA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:49 2003 X-UIDL: 47586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008Y65112F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:48:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANDncPL086063 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:49:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv79031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 07:45:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1980625 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 07:45:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANDjWD1036580 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 07:45:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANDjLQS013872 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 07:45:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANDjLsX013871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 07:45:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 07:45:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231345.hANDjLsX013871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 231345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST SUN NOV 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:52 2003 X-UIDL: 47591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008TA9ZM2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:35:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANFacPL096124 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:36:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN9uKFJ009792; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:30:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1981351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:30:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANFU2D1014852 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:30:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANFTpQS014627 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:29:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANFTp4w014626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:29:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:29:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231529.hANFTp4w014626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 231529 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 23 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/1200 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM A LARGE LOW W OF 140W ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 30N140W AND EXTENDS SWD ALONG 25N138W TO BEYOND 18N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 18N-24N BETWEEN 135W-139W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 24N TO 32N BETWEEN 131W-140W. ..RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ENTERS AREA NEAR 31N127W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1415 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N87W 7N96W 10N113W 9N123W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 119W-130W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF AXIS FROM 131W TO 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:55 2003 X-UIDL: 47595-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008M3FC72F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:31:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANHWIj3017141 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:32:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvA3031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:28:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1981984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:28:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANHSsD1072796 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:28:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANHShQS015623 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:28:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANHShtb015622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:28:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:28:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231728.hANHShtb015622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 231728 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:56 2003 X-UIDL: 47596-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008I1FSD2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:41:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANHg0j3018050 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:42:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvAD031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1982108 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANHcND1081894 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANHcCQS015716 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANHcBhR015714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231738.hANHcBhR015714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 231800 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z-241800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART,USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:56 2003 X-UIDL: 47597-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008MMFUI2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:42:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANHhKj3018181 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:43:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwhd048798; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1982111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANHcND1064558 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANHcCQS015717 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANHcBaa015715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 11:38:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231738.hANHcBaa015715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231800 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z-241800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART,USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:08 2003 X-UIDL: 47604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008WQLX62F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:53:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJsWPL021548 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:54:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdEL031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:50:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1983452 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:50:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJopD1104068 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:50:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANJoeQS016916 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:50:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANJoeZL016915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:50:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:50:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231950.hANJoeZL016915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 231950 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:15 2003 X-UIDL: 47607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008THQZ02F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 05:42:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANLhbj3044844 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 05:43:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdFp031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:38:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1984225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:38:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANLc2D1036596 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:38:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANLboQS018247 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:37:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANLbors018246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:37:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:37:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311232137.hANLbors018246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 232137 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 23 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/1800 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM A LARGE LOW W OF 140W ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 30N140W AND EXTENDS SWD ALONG 23N137W TO BEYOND 17N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 20N FROM 112W TO 135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N86W 7N105W 9N116W 10N136W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 129W TO 132W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 138W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 85W AND WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 134W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 98W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF OF A LINE FROM 18N137W TO 21N134W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 20N TO 26N BETWEEN 130W AND 140W...AND N OF 26N W OF 136W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:17 2003 X-UIDL: 47609-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT00810RTI2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:00:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANM1rPL034405 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:01:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdGH031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:55:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1984359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANLtQD1059688 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANLtEQS018401 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:55:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANLtERW018400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:55:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:55:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311232155.hANLtERW018400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPA40 PHFO 232155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 09N157W 06N171W MOVING WEST 5 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... EXCEPT FOR SCATTERED TO BROKEN CIRRUS...CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. FRONT...THROUGH 29N176E 25N179E 20N177E MOVING SLOWLY WEST. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM EAST OF FRONT ALSO MOVING SLOWLY WEST. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 28N140W 25N140W ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH ALOFT. THIS NORTH-SOUTH TROUGH GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST ORIENTED WITH CB REMAINING BENEATH IT. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...NEAR 21S179W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 75 NM OF ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH ALONG LINE 16S180 23S177W. UPPER LOW/TROUGH MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 16S175W 11S163W 13S157W INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. CB EAST OF 162W NEARLY STATIONARY. CB WEST OF 172W MOVING SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. CB BETWEEN 162W AND 1782W MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY. ELSEWHERE... WEAK FRONT...THROUGH 25S126W 20S134W MOVING EAST 15 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 23S. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 22S. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:27 2003 X-UIDL: 47614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT009ZNXPNHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:08:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO09DPL045332 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:09:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdIv031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:02:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1985669 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:02:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO022D1007900 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:02:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO01pQS019443 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:01:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO01pq5019442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:01:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:01:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240001.hAO01pq5019442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 240001 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:45 2003 X-UIDL: 47626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU0096F2MMHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:54:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO1tLPL056622 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:55:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdKL031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:50:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1986321 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:50:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO1oSD1036466 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:50:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO1oHQS020308 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:50:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO1oHJh020307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:50:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:50:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240150.hAO1oHJh020307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 240150 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN NOV 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:08 2003 X-UIDL: 47643-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009NZ7GIHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:38:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO3dhj3084836 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:39:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwo5048798; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:36:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1987093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:36:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO3aWD1058828 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:36:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO3aLQS021301 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:36:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO3aLWb021300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:36:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:36:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240336.hAO3aLWb021300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 240335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 24 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/0000 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM A LARGE LOW W OF 140W ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 30N140W AND EXTENDS S ALONG 22N135W TO BEYOND 15N140W. ..A NARROW RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS THROUGH 32N124W TO 21N114W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0315 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N94W 9N121W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 91W TO 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 83W TO 87W AND WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 135W TO 138W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 120W TO 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND AND ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 80W TO 84W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:17 2003 X-UIDL: 47654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009P5AQTHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:49:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO4ohj3093448 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:50:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdMR031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:45:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1987517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:45:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO4jaD1064950 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:45:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO4jPQS021818 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:45:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO4jOaO021817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:45:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:45:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240445.hAO4jOaO021817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 240445 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:25 2003 X-UIDL: 47657-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009RUDF3HP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 13:47:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO5mPPL082430 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 13:48:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwon048798; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:39:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1987785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:39:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO5d2D1029670 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:39:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO5cpQS022215 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:38:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO5cpxJ022213 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:38:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:38:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240538.hAO5cpxJ022213@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/240152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED NEAR 7.8N5 143.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:50 2003 X-UIDL: 47673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009TAJ0IHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:48:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO7nJj3016173 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:49:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdOv031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:46:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1988723 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:46:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO7k0D1036400 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:46:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO7jnQS023116 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:45:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO7jn7V023115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:45:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 01:45:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240745.hAO7jn7V023115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 240745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 PM HST SUN NOV 23 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:01 2003 X-UIDL: 47684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU00992NGVHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:24:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO9PSj3028600 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:25:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdPT031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:20:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1989052 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:20:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO9KjD1009554 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:20:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO9KYQS023980 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:20:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO9KXbJ023979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:20:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:20:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240920.hAO9KXbJ023979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 240920 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 24 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/0600 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRES W OF 140W ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 27N140W AND EXTENDS SOUTH TO 21N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 29N-32N BETWEEN 138W-140W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 121W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10 KT. ..HIGH PRES NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 108W-135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N85W 8N95W 6N110W 9N130W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 88W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 90W-96W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6.5N-11N BETWEEN 122W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA EAST OF 80W AND ALONG THE COASTS OF WESTERN PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE ALONG 13N112W 14N120W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR 10N132W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:05 2003 X-UIDL: 47689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009KKOTVHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:53:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO9ssPL011862 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:54:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdPx031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:49:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1989181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:49:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO9nOD1088054 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:49:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO9nDQS024294 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:49:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO9nDkX024293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:49:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:49:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240949.hAO9nDkX024293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPA40 PHFO 240949 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 07N176W 07N162W HAVE MOVED WEST 5 KT...FLUCTUATED IN INTENSITY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF 180...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N176E 23N174W 14N178E 17N174E 24N177E 30N169E 30N176E HAVE MOVED SOUTHWEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...NEAR 21S179W DRIFTING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10S168W 20S162W 25S170W 22S179W 08S174W 10S168W HAVE MOVED EAST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AREA OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 13S162W 15S154W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15S154W 13S144W HAVE REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE FLUCTUATING IN INTENSITY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE UPPER LOW AND AREA OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... WEAK FRONT/SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 25S120W 15S143W MOVING EAST AND NORTH 10 TO 15 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 23S. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE NORTH OF 22S. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:10 2003 X-UIDL: 47697-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009GKSQCHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:18:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOBJCPL021019 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:19:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdR9031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 05:09:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1989632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 05:09:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOB9ND1087868 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 05:09:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOB9BQS024971 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 05:09:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOB9B1B024970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 05:09:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 05:09:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241109.hAOB9B1B024970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 241109 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST MON NOV 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:27 2003 X-UIDL: 47708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009CHZYRHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 21:54:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAODtRj3061307 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 21:55:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdSj031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 07:45:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1990381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 07:45:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAODjhD1087824 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 07:45:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAODjWQS026426 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 07:45:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAODjVju026425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 07:45:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 07:45:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241345.hAODjVju026425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 241345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST MON NOV 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:43 2003 X-UIDL: 47718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV009EC5RUHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 23:59:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOG0uj3076870 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 00:00:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdX5031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:54:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1991800 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:54:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOFsCD1030190 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:54:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOFs1QS029826 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:54:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOFs1tL029824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:54:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:54:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241554.hAOFs1tL029824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 241553 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 24 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1200 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ORIGINATING FROM A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRES W OF 140W ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 31N138W AND EXTENDS SWD ALONG 25N137W TO BEYOND 20N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 25N-28N BETWEEN 132W-137W AND N OF 29N BETWEEN 134W-139W. ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 122W BETWEEN 5N-15N MOVING WEST 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 121W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 120W-135W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE ENTERS AREA ALONG 32N128W AND EXTENDS SEWD TO 10N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N85W 7N100W 11N120W 9N125W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-10N BETWEEN 77W-85W INCLUDING THE S COASTAL REGIONS OF PANAMA/COSTA RICA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:51 2003 X-UIDL: 47724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV009YFB6KHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 01:56:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOHvkj3093404 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 01:57:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwwl048798; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:49:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1993024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:49:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOHmxD1038768 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:48:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOHmlQS003340 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:48:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOHmlRH003336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:48:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:48:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241748.hAOHmlRH003336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON,USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:53 2003 X-UIDL: 47725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV0098NBDHHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 02:00:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOI1tPL067443 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 02:01:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJda7031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:45:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1992981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:45:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOHj0D1015100 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:45:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOHimQS003227 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:44:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOHimCb003226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:44:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:44:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241744.hAOHimCb003226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 241744 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST MON NOV 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:55 2003 X-UIDL: 47726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV00992BDOHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 02:01:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOI22PL067462 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 02:02:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdaF031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:49:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1993021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:49:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOHmxD1036402 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:48:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOHmlQS003339 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:48:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOHmlsK003337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:48:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:48:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241748.hAOHmlsK003337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON,USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:57 2003 X-UIDL: 47727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV009YJBQRHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 02:08:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOI9rj3094866 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 02:09:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdab031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:59:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1993128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:59:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOHx4D1009546 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:59:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOHwqQS003639 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:58:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOHwqht003638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:58:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:58:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241758.hAOHwqht003638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 241758 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST MON NOV 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:15 2003 X-UIDL: 47739-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV009W0GLGHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 03:53:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOJsgPL080891 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 03:54:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdeL031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 13:45:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1994412 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 13:45:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOJjUD1034232 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 13:45:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOJjJQS006632 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 13:45:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOJjJmf006631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 13:45:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 13:45:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241945.hAOJjJmf006631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 241945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST MON NOV 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:29 2003 X-UIDL: 47748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV009EKM84HP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 05:55:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOLuHj3022681 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 05:56:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOKHkL9055708; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:46:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1995585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:45:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOLjsD1104154 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:45:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOLjgQS019382 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:45:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOLjg54019381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:45:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:45:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311242145.hAOLjg54019381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPA40 PHFO 242145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 27N163W 30N152W. CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED CB...THAT STRADDLE THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BETWEEN 08N AND 24N WEST OF 176W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 12N159W 06N165W 04N175W 10N167W 12N159W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION.. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB ARE WIHTIN 180 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 12S145W 10S176W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 19S170E 25S166W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 21S174W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. WEAK FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W...ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20W128W 22S120W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CONVERGENCE ZONE UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... WEAK FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 120W...ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20W128W 22S120W... +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:33 2003 X-UIDL: 47751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV00DRANI83W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 06:22:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOMNwj3025765 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 06:23:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdi3031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 16:14:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1996099 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 16:14:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOME1D1045668 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 16:14:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOMDoQS020022 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 16:13:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOMDo3O020021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 16:13:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 16:13:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311242213.hAOMDo3O020021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 242213 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 24 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1800 UTC... ..TROUGH ALONG 123W/124W FROM 4N TO 16N MOVING WEST 10 KT. CONVECTION IN THE ITCZ. ..TROUGH 30N140W TO 1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N136W TO 20N137W TO 16N142W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS FROM 21N140W 28N123W TO 30N...MOVING EASTWARD. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS IN THIS AREA. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 18N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 10N95W 14N115W 9N124W 9N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 87W...BETWEEN 91W AND 97W...FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 101W AND 116W...AND WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 132W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 9N TO 11N BETWEEN 132W AND 135W...AND FROM 7N TO 8N BETWEEN 133W AND 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:35 2003 X-UIDL: 47752-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV00DAFQPL3W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 07:32:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAONXBj3033494 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 07:33:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZw4Z048798; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:18:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1996583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:18:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAONIYD1078002 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:18:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAONINQS021331 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:18:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAONIN0X021330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:18:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:18:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311242318.hAONIN0X021330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 242318 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST MON NOV 24 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV00D7MX6V3W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 09:52:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP1r8j3052125 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 09:53:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdnH031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:45:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1997968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:45:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP1jcD1081686 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:45:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAP1jQQS023108 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:45:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAP1jQ8R023107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:45:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:45:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311250145.hAP1jQ8R023107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 250145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST MON NOV 24 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 26 13:36:11 2003 X-UIDL: 47884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00GI41X9TP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 13:29:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ5Uaj3067225 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 13:30:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ4wvET036546; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2011548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ5NBD1017442 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQ5NAfd021840 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQ5NA2b021838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: And South Pacific Ocean/260600z-270600znov2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311260523.hAQ5NA2b021838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z-270600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/260152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 136.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 26 13:58:13 2003 X-UIDL: 47885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00HZX2J3QT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 13:42:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ5hfj3068798 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 13:43:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNX9034060; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:35:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2011641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:35:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ5ZSD1059806 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:35:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQ5ZRfd021973 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:35:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQ5ZRig021972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:35:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:35:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311260535.hAQ5ZRig021972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 260535 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST TUE NOV 25 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 26 16:24:20 2003 X-UIDL: 47897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00HKX8PGQT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 15:56:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ7v6j3086555 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 15:57:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNYJ034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 01:50:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2012447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 01:50:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ7oSD1064924 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 01:50:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQ7oRfd023088 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 01:50:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQ7oRBm023087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 01:50:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 01:50:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311260750.hAQ7oRBm023087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 260750 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST TUE NOV 25 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 26 17:52:11 2003 X-UIDL: 47915-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00H8WD96QT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 17:34:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ9ZJPL049794 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 17:35:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNYx034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:28:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2012836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:28:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ9SlD1016634 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:28:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQ9Skfd024172 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:28:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQ9Skfd024171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:28:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:28:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311260928.hAQ9Skfd024171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 260928 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 26 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/0600 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 130W/131W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING WEST 10-15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION EAST OF THE AXIS FROM 9N-14N BETWEEN 124W-130W. ..BROAD HIGH PRES NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN MEXICO AND 140W. A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE AREA FROM A 1026 MB HIGH NEAR 40N138W TO 25N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 7N87W 9N110W 7N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 7N86W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 100W-111W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 114W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 92W-96W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 114W-116W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 00:16:39 2003 X-UIDL: 47917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00HF8EIVQT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 18:01:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQA2jj3005688 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 18:02:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNZJ034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2012991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ9tYD1016484 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQ9tXfd024427 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:55:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQ9tXGk024426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:55:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:55:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311260955.hAQ9tXGk024426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPA40 PHFO 260955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 26N159W WAS STATIONARY BUT HAS BEGUN MOVING EAST. LOW FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST NEAR 30N150W BY 27/0000 UTC. TROUGH ALONG LINE 30N150W 27N150W 21N156W MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST SLOWLY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 250 NM OF TROUGH INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS... SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 20N174W 24N176W 27N180 EXTENDS WESTWARD AND MOVED NORTHEAST 10 KT. AREA FORECAST TO DIMINISH WITHIN 24 HOURS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 14N161W 06N180 MOVED NORTHWEST 5 KT AND EXPANDED NORTHEASTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK FRONT...THROUGH 22S120W 21S129W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE TO 17S144W. FRONT/SHEAR LINE STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS ALONG FRONT AND SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG NORTHERN EDGE OF FRONT/SHEAR LINE EAST OF 137W INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG LINE 14S164W 10S180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF CONVERGENCE ZONE REMAIN SPARSE AND MOVED WEST 12 KT. CB DIMINISHED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. ELSEWHERE... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...ALONG LINE 10S144W 07S153W 08S161W MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 KT. BROKEN CUMULUS WITHIN 80 NM OF CZ. ISOLATED CB ALONG CZ EAST OF 148W INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 00:16:55 2003 X-UIDL: 47920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00HT8HPBQT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 19:10:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQBBQj3014953 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 19:11:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNa3034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 05:05:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2013294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 05:05:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQB52D1091408 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 05:05:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQB52fd025060 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 05:05:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQB522Q025059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 05:05:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 05:05:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261105.hAQB522Q025059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 261104 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST WED NOV 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 00:17:14 2003 X-UIDL: 47928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00G41PGQTP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 21:58:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQDx5j3035607 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 21:59:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNbZ034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:50:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2014034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:50:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQDoUD1037326 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:50:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQDoTfd026635 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:50:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQDoTjU026634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:50:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:50:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261350.hAQDoTjU026634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ACPN50 PHFO 261350 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST WED NOV 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. FUJII +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 00:17:20 2003 X-UIDL: 47938-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00HTBU9RQT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:44:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQFN1j3047602 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:23:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNdp034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:06:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2014734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:06:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQF6gD1045720 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:06:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQF6gfd028259 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:06:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQF6fSs028258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:06:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:06:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261506.hAQF6fSs028258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' AXPZ20 KNHC 261506 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 26 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/1200 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 134W/135W BETWEEN 7N-14N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS FEATURE IS WEAKENING WITH ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 129W-135W. ..SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS INTO THE AREA ALONG LINE 31N130W 23N120W 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N85W 8N118W 9N134W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 100W-110W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W-129W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6.5N-9.5N BETWEEN 115W-121W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N134W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 5N-8N W OF 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12.5N112W 13N120W 13N130W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 100W-106W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 00:17:21 2003 X-UIDL: 47940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00HNXV5CQT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:00:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQG1oj3052750 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:01:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNer034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2015163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQFqbD1081882 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQFqafd029270 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQFqahK029268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261552.hAQFqahK029268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 136.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 01:15:45 2003 X-UIDL: 47947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00GKAXOPTP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:55:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQGuaPL004764 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:56:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNhB034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2015699 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQGh3D1037236 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQGh2fd000730 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQGh2EN000728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261643.hAQGh2EN000728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON,USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/WAUGAMAN/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 01:15:57 2003 X-UIDL: 47948-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00HBEXPJQT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:56:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQGvAPL004803 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:57:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP9qmPT058870; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2015702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQGh3D1045622 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQGh2fd000731 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQGh2nO000729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 10:43:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261643.hAQGh2nO000729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON,USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/WAUGAMAN/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 14:54:38 2003 X-UIDL: 47996-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOZ000QXW3TKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 13:19:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR5K7PL001040 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 13:20:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNst034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:11:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2020787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:11:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR5BYD1081842 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:11:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAR5BYIj008620 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:11:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAR5BY2H008619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:11:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:11:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311270511.hAR5BY2H008619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 270511 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST WED NOV 26 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 14:54:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47998-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOZ000RCWX2KY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 13:36:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR5bcPL003186 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 13:37:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP8OXbV048806; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2020882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR5SwD1081886 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAR5SvIj008798 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAR5Sv68008796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311270528.hAR5Sv68008796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z-280600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/270152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 134.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS GUSTING TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 16:31:32 2003 X-UIDL: 48010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000H333OKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 15:50:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR7pFj3092722 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 15:51:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNvJ034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 01:45:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2021683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 01:45:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR7jeD1055560 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 01:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAR7jeIj009963 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 01:45:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAR7jelx009962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 01:45:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 01:45:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311270745.hAR7jelx009962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 270745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST WED NOV 26 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH FRIDAY. THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS ON NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE 2003 HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 18:24:00 2003 X-UIDL: 48023-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000BA95ZKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 18:01:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARA2EPL034737 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 18:02:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNwt034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:55:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2022393 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR9tWD1088006 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAR9tVIj011071 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:55:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAR9tVLu011070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:55:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:55:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311270955.hAR9tVLu011070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 270955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE BOUNDED BY 10N148W 11N140W 05N140W 06N144W AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N152W 05N158W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N158W 14N162W 08N173W MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT AND WEAKENED. SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W AND NORTH OF 30N...WERE BOUNDED BY 30N143W 30N140W 27N140W 21N148W AND MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF POINT 18N176W MOVED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08S166W 08S154W 15S151W 13S165W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE. SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19S136W 19S129W 22S125W 22S137W MOVED SOUTH SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09S175W 10S170W 13S169W 12S175W MOVED NORTH-NORTHWEST SLOWLY AND WEAKENED. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 18:24:16 2003 X-UIDL: 48024-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000DB96NKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 18:01:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARA2cj3008935 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 18:02:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNwr034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:53:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2022390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:53:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR9rQD1055634 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:53:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAR9rPIj011052 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:53:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAR9rPaX011051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:53:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 03:53:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311270953.hAR9rPaX011051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 270953 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 27 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/0600 UTC... ..A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NW CORNER OF THE REGION. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 15N FROM 110W TO 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N95W 10N108W 12N113W 11N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150/180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 119W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 126W TO 137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N106W TO 16N109W. BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS COVERS THE AREA N OF 23N W OF 133W ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 20:42:15 2003 X-UIDL: 48032-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000C5DUEKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 19:42:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARBhIPL045603 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 19:43:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsN0H034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 05:37:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2022984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 05:37:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARBbBD1059990 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 05:37:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARBbAIj011982 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 05:37:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARBbAVt011981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 05:37:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 05:37:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271137.hARBbAVt011981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 271136 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST THU NOV 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER STEWART +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 00:36:37 2003 X-UIDL: 48041-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000KSJURKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 21:52:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARDr4PL060591 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 21:53:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsN2X034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 07:45:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2023936 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 07:45:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARDjaD1045802 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 07:45:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARDjaIj013110 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 07:45:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARDjaIi013109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 07:45:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 07:45:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271345.hARDjaIi013109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 271345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST THU NOV 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 00:37:07 2003 X-UIDL: 48052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000TLP6RKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:47:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARFmIj3052167 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:48:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsN3v034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 09:41:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2024659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 09:41:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARFfaD1064834 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 09:41:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARFfaIj014279 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 09:41:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARFfaDh014278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 09:41:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 09:41:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271541.hARFfaDh014278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 271541 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 27 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/1200 UTC... ..A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NW CORNER OF THE REGION. ..1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 33N125W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 12N108W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS FROM 117W TO 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 131W TO 137W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM N OF AXIS FROM 106W TO 109W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS COVERS THE AREA N OF 23N W OF 130W ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 01:26:42 2003 X-UIDL: 48054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000G6SW7KY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:07:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARH8Kj3061944 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:08:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsN5V034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2025300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARH1XD1083826 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARH1WIj015160 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARH1Wss015158 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271701.hARH1Wss015158@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z-281800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART,USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 01:26:53 2003 X-UIDL: 48055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000HDSWNKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:07:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARH8bPL083888 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:08:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP8OXhL048806; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2025303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARH1XD1070620 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARH1WIj015161 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARH1Wm8015159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:01:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271701.hARH1Wm8015159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z-281800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART,USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 01:26:56 2003 X-UIDL: 48056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000UDT3EKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:11:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARHCgj3062485 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:12:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsN5Z034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:04:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2025324 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:04:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARH4OD1070638 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:04:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARH4OIj015180 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:04:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARH4OCF015179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:04:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 11:04:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271704.hARH4OCF015179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 271704 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST THU NOV 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER FRANKLIN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 09:46:43 2003 X-UIDL: 48063-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1000PA19ZKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 04:08:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARK9QPL002185 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 04:09:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARJGSDd034062; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:01:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2027079 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:01:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARK1ID1017472 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:01:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARK1HIj016859 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:01:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARK1Hf8016858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:01:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:01:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311272001.hARK1Hf8016858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 272000 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST THU NOV 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 09:46:59 2003 X-UIDL: 48068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1000086HKKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 06:00:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARM1xPL014373 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 06:02:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARJGSEx034062; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 15:56:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2027754 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 15:56:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARLuFD1042540 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 15:56:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARLuEIj017785 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 15:56:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARLuE1Y017784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 15:56:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 15:56:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311272156.hARLuE1Y017784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 272156 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 27 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N138W BEYOND 30N140W. OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS NORTH OF 26N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DIRECTLY RELATED TO THIS FRONT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 9N97W 10N109W 9N127W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 122W...AND WITHIN 150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 131W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 125W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW IS SHEARING CONVECTIVE CELLS WHICH ARE NORTH OF 10N TO 17N102W 14N120W 13N124W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 09:47:03 2003 X-UIDL: 48070-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1000DD6S9KY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 06:07:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARM8Pj3096957 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 06:08:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP9qmaP058870; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 16:01:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2027780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 16:01:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARM11D1064804 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 16:01:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARM11Ij017842 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 16:01:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARM11AQ017841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 16:01:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 16:01:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311272201.hARM11AQ017841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 272200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 08N149W 09N146W 06N146W MOVED W 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 70 NM OF POINT 07N160W MOVED WEST AND INTENSIFIED. STATIONARY FRONT/TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 12N167W 07N178W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S177W 09S171W 12S171W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 14S153W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 09:47:13 2003 X-UIDL: 48076-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP10000EB75KY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:42:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARNhij3007168 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:43:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARJMZEB024724; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 17:37:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2028319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 17:37:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARNaxD1059742 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 17:36:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARNaxIj018534 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 17:36:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARNax3f018533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 17:36:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 17:36:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311272336.hARNax3f018533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 272336 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST THU NOV 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 12:35:31 2003 X-UIDL: 48088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1003G5HSTWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:05:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS26Lj3024357 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:06:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aADP034066; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:00:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2029331 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:00:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS20kD1059954 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:00:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS20kIj019677 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:00:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS20jG8019676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:00:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:00:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280200.hAS20jG8019676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 280200 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST THU NOV 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 12:36:04 2003 X-UIDL: 48099-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP10030JMSVWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 11:53:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS3sKPL050559 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 11:54:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAEh034066; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 21:46:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2029962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 21:46:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS3kXD1036474 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 21:46:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS3kWIj020525 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 21:46:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS3kWVg020524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 21:46:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 21:46:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280346.hAS3kWVg020524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 280346 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 28 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N138W TO SOUTHERNMOST POINT OF COLD FRONT 30N140W. OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS NORTH OF 24N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DIRECTLY RELATED TO THIS FRONT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 105W. ONE RIDGE 17N140W 21N131W 26N126W BEYOND 32N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N94W 9N108W 9N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 125W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... UPPER LEVEL WIND FLOW IS SHEARING ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTIVE CELLS WHICH ARE NORTH OF 10N TO 18N104W 12N130W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 13:52:48 2003 X-UIDL: 48105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1003MUPDZWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 12:49:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS4oFPL056846 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 12:50:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAFJ034066; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:44:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2030289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:44:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS4igD1031718 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:44:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS4ifIj020982 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:44:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS4ifWS020981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:44:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:44:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280444.hAS4ifWS020981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 280444 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST THU NOV 27 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 14:06:09 2003 X-UIDL: 48109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1003WZSHTWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 13:56:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS5vHj3051933 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 13:57:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAG1034066; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2030707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS5n8D1037282 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS5n7Ij021380 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS5n7s2021378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280549.hAS5n7s2021378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z-290600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/280152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 132.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 715 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 16:22:48 2003 X-UIDL: 48122-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1003YPXWPWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:53:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS7sHPL077012 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:54:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1Z6VP042682; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:45:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2031393 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS7jeD1087950 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS7jdIj022224 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:45:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS7jdEZ022223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:45:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 01:45:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280745.hAS7jdEZ022223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 280745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST THU NOV 27 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:00:21 2003 X-UIDL: 48144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003NU3I7WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 17:54:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS9t9j3080170 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 17:55:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAIL034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:48:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2031914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:48:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS9mdD1045592 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:48:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS9mdIj023405 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:48:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS9mdwS023404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:48:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:48:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280948.hAS9mdwS023404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 280948 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 28 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS IN THE NW SECTION OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N138W TO BEYOND 30N140W. PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N135W TO BEYOND 26N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 13N E OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N123W TO 15N144W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N92W 9N110W 10N120W 11180 NM N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO JUST INLAND OVER COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 136W. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 108W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 7N79.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 15N106W TO 13N109W AND WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 6N82W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:00:35 2003 X-UIDL: 48146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003FI3QXWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 17:59:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASA0OPL092468 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 18:00:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAIN034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:55:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2031925 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS9tgD1047312 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:55:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS9tgIj023450 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:55:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS9tg5W023449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:55:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 03:55:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280955.hAS9tg5W023449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 280955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 07N140W 07N145W AND MOVED EAST AT 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY...BUT A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08N150W 08N163W MOVED WEST AT MORE THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF POINT 08N175W MOVED NORTH SLOWLY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 25N140W 24N144W AND MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE BOUNDED BY 25N179W 19N169W 16N177E AND MOVED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO LOCALLY OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 11S159W 11S170W MOVED WEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 22S119W 22S131W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 17S139W 18S131W 23S135W 22S139W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:00:44 2003 X-UIDL: 48154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003GF7YZWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:30:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASBVcj3091202 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:31:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAIv034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 05:26:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2032208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 05:26:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASBQkD1017230 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 05:26:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASBQkIj024172 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 05:26:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASBQkt6024171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 05:26:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 05:26:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281126.hASBQkt6024171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 281126 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST FRI NOV 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:06 2003 X-UIDL: 48168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003RCEHYWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 21:51:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASDqcj3008279 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 21:52:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAKp034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:45:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2032872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASDjdD1045330 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASDjdIj025275 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:45:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASDjdvO025274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:45:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:45:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281345.hASDjdvO025274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 281345 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST FRI NOV 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:19 2003 X-UIDL: 48179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP20033XL3OWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 00:14:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASGFEj3025007 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 00:15:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAMv034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:07:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2033858 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:07:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASG77D1023204 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:07:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASG77Ij026679 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:07:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASG77kO026678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:07:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:07:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281607.hASG77kO026678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 281606 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 28 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS IN THE NW SECTION OF THE REGION THROUGH 32N137W TO BEYOND 28N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE REGION N OF 13N E OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N105W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 5N78.8W. ISOLATED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 11.7N126.5W AND 9.5N133W AND 8.5N137.8W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:21 2003 X-UIDL: 48181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003VXMSXWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 00:50:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASGq1j3030009 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 00:52:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aANV034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2034210 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASGm9D1032228 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASGm9Ij027020 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASGm9iw027018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281648.hASGm9iw027018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:23 2003 X-UIDL: 48182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP20036AMY7WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 00:54:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASGtBj3030425 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 00:55:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASBnxFj042500; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2034213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASGm9D1017170 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASGm9Ij027021 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASGm9Sp027019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:48:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281648.hASGm9Sp027019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 281800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:25 2003 X-UIDL: 48185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP20035MQ26WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 02:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASI2MPL043693 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 02:02:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKD3038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 11:55:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 0014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 11:55:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHt3D1048320 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 11:55:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASHt3Ij027640 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 11:55:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASHt3i4027639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 11:55:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 11:55:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281755.hASHt3i4027639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 281754 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST FRI NOV 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:37 2003 X-UIDL: 48190-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003VKV0CWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 03:48:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASJnGj3052384 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 03:49:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKFB038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 13:45:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 0813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 13:45:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASJjcD1045806 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 13:45:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASJjbIj028761 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 13:45:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASJjbS3028760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 13:45:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 13:45:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281945.hASJjbS3028760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 281945 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST FRI NOV 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 1000 PM HST ON SUNDAY NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004 BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:06 2003 X-UIDL: 48202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP3003SX0OTWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 05:50:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASLpvPL069495 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 05:51:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKHB038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:43:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:43:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASLhTD1045816 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:43:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASLhTIj000088 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:43:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASLhTw2000087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:43:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:43:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311282143.hASLhTw2000087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 282143 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 04N166W 10N160W 08N150W 07N140W HAVE MOVED WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...THAT EXTENDS EAST OF 140W...THROUGH 26N140W 24N150W 26N160W HAS BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 150 NM OF SHEAR LINE THAT HAVE MOVED SOUTH 10 KT. UPPER LOW...NEAR 29N169W...HAS NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 30N166W 28N160W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATE LINE...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N165E 30N178E 24N180 20N174W 14N180 14N176E 20N175E 30N165E HAVE MOVED EAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/SHEAR LINE...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...THROUGH 25S178W 24S180 HAS BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY CUMULUS THAT HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S167W 07S158W 10S150W 12S151W 13S160W 16S170W 10S175W 06S167W HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 165 NM OF LINE 16S140W 20S135W 22S130W 24S123W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:10 2003 X-UIDL: 48204-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP3003RO1B9WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 06:04:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASM5Pj3070047 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 06:05:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKHH038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:55:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:55:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASLtvD1088396 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:55:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASLtuIj000274 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:55:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASLtuL0000273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:55:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 15:55:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311282155.hASLtuL0000273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 282155 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 28 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 30N136W BEYOND 26N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS NORTHWEST OF 22N140W 27N130W BEYOND 32N123W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 8N104W 10N130W 7N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 120W... AND WEST OF 130W...AND WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W AND 130W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 7N BETWEEN 79W AND 82W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE FROM 4.5N TO 6N BETWEEN 82W AND 84W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 107W AND 110W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND 115W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:16 2003 X-UIDL: 48207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP3003ZX5XEWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 07:44:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASNj7j3081488 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 07:45:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKIr038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 17:40:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2306 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 17:40:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASNeBD1091432 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 17:40:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASNeBIj001328 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 17:40:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASNeBRl001327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 17:40:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 17:40:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311282340.hASNeBRl001327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 282339 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:25 2003 X-UIDL: 48211-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP3007EFBNX2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 09:47:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT1n1j3094649 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 09:49:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKKV038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:45:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:45:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT1jaD1058638 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:45:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAT1jaIj002326 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:45:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAT1ja4l002325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:45:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:45:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311290145.hAT1ja4l002325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 290145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST FRI NOV 28 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 1000 PM HST ON SUNDAY NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:38 2003 X-UIDL: 48222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP3007IIHNV2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 11:57:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT3wZPL003720 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 11:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKM5038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 21:52:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3909 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 21:52:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT3qWD1099444 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 21:52:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAT3qVIj003457 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 21:52:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAT3qVMK003456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 21:52:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 21:52:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311290352.hAT3qVMK003456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 290352 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 29 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N133W TO 27N136W BEYOND 24N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS NORTHWEST OF THROUGH 32N129W TO 25N134W 21N140W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N95W 11N104W 9N120W 8N130W 8N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4.5N TO 7N BETWEEN 82W AND 84W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 76W AND 82W FROM COLOMBIA TO THE COSTA RICA/PANAMA BORDER. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 110 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 98W... WITHIN 180-210 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 130W...AND WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:40 2003 X-UIDL: 48226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP30071ZK7T2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 12:52:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT4rkPL008869 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 12:53:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKMj038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:48:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 4235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:48:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT4mnD1037388 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:48:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAT4mmIj003799 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:48:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAT4mmkD003798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:48:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:48:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311290448.hAT4mmkD003798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 290448 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:48 2003 X-UIDL: 48230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP300795N2F2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 13:54:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT5tJPL014482 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 13:55:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKHj043836; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 4595 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT5loD1030118 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAT5lnIj004223 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAT5ln38004221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311290547.hAT5ln38004221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z-300600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/290152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 131.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 520NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA AND HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 290300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:15 2003 X-UIDL: 48245-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP4007IIG9D2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:24:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATGPnPL074493 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:25:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKRP038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:18:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 6970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:18:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATGIcD1048194 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:18:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATGIctS000848 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:18:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATGIcJS000847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:18:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:18:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311291618.hATGIcJS000847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 291557 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 29 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION AT 32N129W AND EXTENDS SW TO 25N134W TO BEYOND 21N140W. ..A 1020 MB HIGH IS LOCATED NEAR 29N121W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N105W 9N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 5.5N E OF 80W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF 6.2N86.3W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N96.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 9.6N108.4W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 7N138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:17 2003 X-UIDL: 48246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP400712H6N2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:44:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATGjpj3090000 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:45:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKRb038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 7131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATGc8D1091394 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATGc7tS001459 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATGc7c9001457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311291638.hATGc7c9001457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z-301800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:19 2003 X-UIDL: 48247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP400728H7J2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:45:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATGkOj3090063 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:46:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATFJrDZ032054; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 7134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATGc8D1043822 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATGc7tS001460 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATGc733001458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:38:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311291638.hATGc733001458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z-301800ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:21 2003 X-UIDL: 48248-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP40073AIB72M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 01:09:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATHACj3093448 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 01:10:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKRx038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 11:05:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 7304 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 11:05:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATH56D1091392 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 11:05:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATH56tS001723 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 11:05:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATH56nI001722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 11:05:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 11:05:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311291705.hATH56nI001722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 291704 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SAT NOV 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:35 2003 X-UIDL: 48257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP40079STTK2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 05:17:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATLImPL012031 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 05:18:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKXl038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:13:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 9524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:13:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATLD0D1036602 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:13:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATLD0tS004590 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:13:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATLD0Gh004589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:13:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:13:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311292113.hATLD0Gh004589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 292112 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 29 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N128W AND EXTENDS SW TO 25N133W TO BEYOND 19N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT MAINLY NORTH OF 28N. ..WEAK HIGH PRES IS LOCATED EAST OF THE COLD FRONT WITH A 1020 MB HIGH NEAR 30N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N90W 7N100W 8N120W 9N135W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-91W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 93W-101W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 5N-10N WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IN THE GULF OF PANAMA. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 103W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 115W-127W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:37 2003 X-UIDL: 48258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP4007DLVDU2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 05:51:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATLqZPL014934 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 05:52:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKYJ038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:48:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 9734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:48:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATLmZD1058820 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:48:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATLmYtS004906 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:48:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATLmY9j004905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:48:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 15:48:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311292148.hATLmY9j004905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 292148 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 25N177W 20N177W 18N179W HAVE MOVED EAST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. FRONT/SHEAR LINE/SURFACE TROUGH...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 30N162W 24N158W 20N151W 19N145W 20N140W. FEATURE MOVING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KT...EXCEPT WEST OF 160W...FEATURE NEARLY STATIONARY. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 23N163W 20N160W 18N169W 21N168W 23N163W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 07N172W 12N164W 06N153W 05N144W 07N140W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 TO 20 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE/SURFACE TROUGH. ALSO SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NONE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 11S170W 12S167W 09S158W 10S152W 10S146W 16S140W 19S128W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CZ IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08S176E 09S180 07S173W 12S171W 14S174W 11S177W 11S176E 08S176E AND HAVE MOVED WEST 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:41 2003 X-UIDL: 48261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP4007OFX0G2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 06:26:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATMRiIN002321 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 06:27:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATFJrGT099222; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 16:21:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 10055 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 16:21:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATMLrD1017042 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 16:21:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATMLrtS005186 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 16:21:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATMLr5f005185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 16:21:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 16:21:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311292221.hATMLr5f005185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 292221 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SAT NOV 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON SUNDAY NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:45 2003 X-UIDL: 48263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP5007PR1GG2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 08:02:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU03hIN011648 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 08:03:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKb7038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 17:57:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 10864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 17:57:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATNvFD1043810 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 17:57:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATNvFtS006170 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 17:57:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATNvFSk006169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 17:57:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 17:57:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311292357.hATNvFSk006169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 292357 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SAT NOV 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:03 2003 X-UIDL: 48272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP50095U6MDB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:54:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU1tGIN021207 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:55:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKct038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:45:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:45:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU1jRD1043828 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:45:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU1jRtS006988 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:45:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU1jRmj006987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:45:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:45:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300145.hAU1jRmj006987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 300145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 400 PM HST SAT NOV 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON SUNDAY NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:09 2003 X-UIDL: 48275-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP5009WWAVNB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 11:26:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU3RDIN029425 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 11:27:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKfF038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 21:21:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 12400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 21:21:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU3LmD1099562 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 21:21:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU3LmtS007779 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 21:21:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU3LmZt007778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 21:21:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 21:21:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300321.hAU3LmZt007778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 300321 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 30 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N127W AND EXTENDS SW TO 27N130W TO BEYOND 19N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE FRONT MAINLY NORTH OF 28N. ..1018 MB HIGH PRES LOCATED EAST OF THE FRONT NEAR 30N120W WITH WEAK RIDGING NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN THE FRONT AND NW MEXICO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N88W 7N100W 8N120W 9N135W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION BETWEEN THE AXIS AND THE COAST OF PANAMA BETWEEN 80W-83W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE 180 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 94W-99W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-115W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 119W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE 135 NM NORTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 127W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 103W-113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 114W-122W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:13 2003 X-UIDL: 48278-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP500933F9FB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 13:00:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU51uIN037623 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 13:01:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKhx038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 22:56:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 13344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 22:56:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU4txD1083826 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 22:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU4txtS008453 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 22:55:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU4txNZ008452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 22:55:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 22:55:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300455.hAU4txNZ008452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 300455 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SAT NOV 29 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:19 2003 X-UIDL: 48282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP50097SNGYB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:58:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU7xDIN052825 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:59:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATFJrNh032054; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 01:55:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 14487 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 01:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU7tQD1086982 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 01:55:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU7tPtS009630 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 01:55:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU7tP4R009629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 01:55:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 01:55:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300755.hAU7tP4R009629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 300755 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SAT NOV 29 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON SUNDAY NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:30 2003 X-UIDL: 48290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP5009FESM4B1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 17:49:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU9oKu9055141 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 17:50:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATFJrOD032054; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:43:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 15014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:43:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU9hmD1083958 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:43:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU9hltS010595 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:43:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU9hlLe010594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:43:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:43:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300943.hAU9hlLe010594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 300943 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 30 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N125W EXTENDING SW ALONG 25N130W TO BEYOND 18N140W. ..A WEAK 1018 MB HIGH IS LOCATED E OF THE FRONT NEAR 29N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 6N88W 8N96W 8N113W 9N119W 6N126W 11N132W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 117W TO 119W AND WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 118W TO 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITH EMBEDDED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 121W TO 125W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 78W TO 80W...WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 114W...WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 101W... WITHIN 60/75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 132W TO 134W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 9.5N95W ACROSS THE AXIS TO 7N98W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 130W. WIDELY SCATTERED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 82W TO 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE WITH EMBEDDED CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 13N104W TO 13N114W AND WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE FROM 12N114W TO 9N117W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60/75 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA AND COSTA RICA FROM 82W TO 85W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:33 2003 X-UIDL: 48291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP5009LBT5WB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:01:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUA2Bu9056228 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:02:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKlv038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:55:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 15068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:55:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU9tpD1099244 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:55:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU9tptS010678 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:55:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU9tpaF010677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:55:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:55:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300955.hAU9tpaF010677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 300955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC NOVEMBER 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N161W 06N156W 09N141W 05N140W 04N151W 04N161W HAVE MOVED WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 27N165W 23N160W 21N160W 24N168W 27N166W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST...MAINLY SHOWERY...LOW CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W ARE BOUNDED BY 20N140W 18N140W 15N152W 21N157W 22N159W 26N162W 27N160W 20N152W 19N146W. FEATURE MOVING SOUTH AT 5 KT EAST OF 152W...AND SLOWLY SOUTHWEST ELSEWHERE. SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 29N176E 26N177W 20N178W 16N178E 26N178E 17N173E 18N165E 25N171E 23N167E 26N166E HAVE MOVED EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE TROUGH AND SHEAR LINE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW/TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 08N172W 07N174W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 07S173W 10S171W 17S176W 10S176E 08S180 HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 10S169W 11S160W 13S161W 14S169W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S145W 15S135W 18S136W 14S147W 12S147W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:34 2003 X-UIDL: 48292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP500988XCWB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:31:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUBWnu9063514 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:32:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKmX038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 05:14:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 15570 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 05:14:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUBE5D1088458 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 05:14:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUBE5tS011284 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 05:14:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUBE5vo011283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 05:14:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 05:14:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301114.hAUBE5vo011283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 301113 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 AM PST SUN NOV 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER BEVEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:00 2003 X-UIDL: 48308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP60093V49BB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:00:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUE1fIN087218 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:01:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKnf038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 07:55:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 16442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 07:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUDtjD1087928 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 07:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUDtjtS012247 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 07:55:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUDtinK012246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 07:55:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 07:55:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301355.hAUDtinK012246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 301355 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 AM HST SUN NOV 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON SUNDAY NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. KINEL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:12 2003 X-UIDL: 48314-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP6009GV8WLB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:41:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUFgBIN097137 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:42:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUBoHEj032082; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:36:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 17044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:36:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUFaCD1045334 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:36:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUFaCtS012905 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:36:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUFaBKX012904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:36:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:36:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301536.hAUFaBKX012904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 301536 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 30 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N124W EXTENDING SW ALONG 23N130W TO BEYOND 16N140W. ..A WEAK 1017 MB HIGH IS LOCATED E OF THE FRONT NEAR 24N119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N105W 9N115W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 9N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 124W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6.5N TO 9N BETWEEN 124W AND 131W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:18 2003 X-UIDL: 48317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP6009U9D1QB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 01:10:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUHBcIN007341 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 01:11:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKqp038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 11:05:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 17776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 11:05:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUH5hD1042546 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 11:05:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUH5gtS013600 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 11:05:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUH5gV5013599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 11:05:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 11:05:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301705.hAUH5gV5013599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 301705 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM PST SUN NOV 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER JARVINEN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:24 2003 X-UIDL: 48320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP600933FI5B1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:03:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUI4eIN012558 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:04:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUBoGFd030164; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18274 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUI0ND1045620 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUI0NtS014100 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUI0NZs014098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/301800znov-011800zdec2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301800.hAUI0NZs014098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 301800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800ZNOV-011800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:26 2003 X-UIDL: 48321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP6009C2FQ4B1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:08:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUI9Vu9097915 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:09:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKst038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18277 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUI0ND1087918 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUI0NtS014101 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUI0NCp014099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:00:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/301800znov-011800zdec2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301800.hAUI0NCp014099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 301800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800ZNOV-011800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: ENS DAMRON, USN. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:48 2003 X-UIDL: 48333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP6009BANAFB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 04:51:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUKquIN031892 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 04:52:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKvN038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:42:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 19367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:42:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUKgnD1048232 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:42:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUKgntS015501 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:42:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUKgn6j015500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:42:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:42:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311302042.hAUKgn6j015500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 302042 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 AM HST SUN NOV 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON SUNDAY NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:50 2003 X-UIDL: 48334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP6009FEP1VB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 05:29:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAULUwIN035858 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 05:31:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKw7038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:23:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 19595 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:23:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAULNPD1058672 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:23:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAULNPtS015843 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:23:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAULNPxa015842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:23:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:23:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311302123.hAULNPxa015842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 302123 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 30 NOV 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N124W AND EXTENDS SW TO 22N130W TO BEYOND 16N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE FRONT NORTH OF 30N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 6N90W 5N96W 11N120W 7N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 80W-94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 103W-112W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 113W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE 135 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 128W-132W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST OF PANAMA AND ERN COSTA RICA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 105W-110W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:53 2003 X-UIDL: 48336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP6009RGQA4B1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 05:56:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAULvXu9020573 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 05:57:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKwP038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:45:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 19692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:45:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAULjYD1043810 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:45:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAULjXtS016001 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:45:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAULjXQd016000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:45:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 15:45:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311302145.hAULjXQd016000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 302145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC NOVEMBER 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENT ZONE/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N161W 25N156W 21N158W 20N163W 16N177W 24N165W 30N164W 30N161W...HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N173W 26N176W 26N180 30N179W 30N173W...HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 07N140W 05N150W 06N163W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09N173W 04N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE BUT INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CONVERGENT ZONE/TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CONVERGENT ZONE/TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW/TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CONVERGENT ZONE 1...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 04S152W 16S134W 16S142W 06S164W 04S152W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. CONVERGENT ZONE 2...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S174W 10S160W 12S169W 18S176W 18S180 06S180 05S174W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CONVERGENT ZONE 2 UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:00 2003 X-UIDL: 48341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP600BYEWXM1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:20:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB10LFu9032200 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:21:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsK1Z038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:14:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:14:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB10ERD1050716 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:14:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB10ERtS017024 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:14:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB10ERoZ017023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:14:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:14:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010014.hB10ERoZ017023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPZ20 KNHC 010014 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 4 PM PST SUN NOV 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:14 2003 X-UIDL: 48352-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BHQ17H1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 09:52:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB11rYIN061422 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 09:53:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsK41038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:46:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:46:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB11kSD1031564 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:46:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB11jetS017888 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:45:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB11je9Y017887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:45:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:45:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010145.hB11je9Y017887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 010145 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 4 PM HST SUN NOV 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS NOVEMBER 30. THEREFORE...THE FINAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OF THE HURRICANE SEASON WILL BE ISSUED AT 10 PM HST ON SUNDAY NOVEMBER 30. WE WILL RESUME ISSUING THESE OUTLOOKS ON JUNE 1...2004. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:39 2003 X-UIDL: 48370-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BVT4UQ1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:11:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB13CIu9050122 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:12:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsK5r038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 21:08:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 22357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 21:08:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB138LD1036462 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 21:08:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB138LtS018762 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 21:08:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB138LcW018761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 21:08:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 21:08:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010308.hB138LcW018761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 010308 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 01 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N123W AND EXTENDS SW TO 25N126W TO 20N132W...AND THEN CONTINUES AS A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT TO 16N140W. ..1018 MB HIGH PRES LOCATED EAST OF THE FRONT NEAR 26N119W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N90W 5N97W 11N119W 9N128W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 107W-114W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 115W-118W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 123W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN PANAMA INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 116W-125W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N-14N BETWEEN 133W-135W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:45 2003 X-UIDL: 48375-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BR68VS1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 12:38:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB14dJu9059387 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 12:39:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUBoGMx030164; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:33:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23083 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:33:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB14WxD1051876 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:32:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB14WxtS019432 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:32:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB14WwOQ019431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:32:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:32:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010432.hB14WwOQ019431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPZ20 KNHC 010432 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM PST SUN NOV 30 2003 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. THIS IS THE LAST DAY OF THE 2003 EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC BASIN HURRICANE SEASON AND THIS IS THE LAST TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK TO BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER UNTIL MAY 15 2004. FORECASTER PASCH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:52 2003 X-UIDL: 48381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BU8ANM1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:16:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB15Hcu9062706 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:17:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUBoGNT030164; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1581D1064706 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1580tS019692 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1580QU019688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010508.hB1580QU019688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010300Z4 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N7 139.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/LAM/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:57 2003 X-UIDL: 48384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BOYAXZ1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:22:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB15NoIN086268 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:23:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUN21cp060054; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1581D1099152 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1580tS019690 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1580Vo019686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010508.hB1580Vo019686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z-020600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/010152ZDEC03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:07:04 2003 X-UIDL: 48392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BN6HRF1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:50:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB17p7IN002620 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:51:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKCl038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 01:46:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 24838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 01:46:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB17k0D1036450 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 01:46:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB17jxtS020800 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 01:45:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB17jxGI020799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 01:45:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 01:45:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Outlook Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010745.hB17jxGI020799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ACPN50 PHFO 010745 TWOCP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 140W AND 180 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 10 PM HST SUN NOV 30 2003 NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED IN THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC THROUGH TUESDAY. THE 2003 CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON OFFICIALLY ENDS TODAY...NOVEMBER 30. THIS IS THE LAST TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK TO BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNTIL JUNE 1 2004. BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:07:15 2003 X-UIDL: 48403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700B51MH51R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 17:31:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB19Wuu9090166 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 17:32:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811DN038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:31:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 25354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:30:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB19UxD1049602 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:30:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB19UwtS021702 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:30:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB19Uw1p021701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:30:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:30:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010930.hB19Uw1p021701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 010930 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 1 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N153W 25N156W 25N161W 30N159W 30N153W HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE...THAT EXTENDS EAST OF 140W...HAS BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 18S140W 16S160W THAT HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N180 10N166W 05N166W 04N180 13N180 HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND FLUCTUATED IN INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 04N153W 05N149W HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08S176E 05S178W 12S164W 14S172W 20S180 08S176E HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY. SHEARLINE...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...HAS BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 25S162W 20S175W THAT MOVED NORTH SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE LOW/TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 07S148W 10S146W 16S138W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:07:17 2003 X-UIDL: 48405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700B97NDA1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 17:51:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB19qDIN017920 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 17:52:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811DT038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:46:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 25385 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:46:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB19k9D1049640 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:46:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB19k9tS021803 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:46:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB19k9cg021802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:46:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:46:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010946.hB19k9cg021802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 010946 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 01 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/0600 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH THE REGION ALONG 32N122W 25N125W TO 18N135W. ..A 1019 MB HIGH IS LOCATED E OF THE FRONT OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 28N113W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N101W 12N123W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 94W...FROM 121W TO 124W...AND WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 128W. LARGE CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 106W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 3N TO 4.5N AND WITHIN 45/60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA FROM 80W TO 82W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:07:53 2003 X-UIDL: 48427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP800BWY5BR1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 00:19:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1GK4IN065134 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 00:20:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1A00GZ086840; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:05:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 27645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:05:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1G5bD1009480 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:05:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1G5btS027467 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:05:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1G5bkK027466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:05:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:05:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312011605.hB1G5bkK027466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 011605 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 01 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NO SPECIAL FEATURES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/1200 UTC... ..THE SURFACE TROUGH FROM 01/0600 UTC IS NOT APPARENT ANY MORE. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 14N WEST OF 105W. 1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 28N119W. RIDGE NORTHWESTWARD BEYOND 30N134W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N78W 6N101W 11N116W 9N133W 8N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 86W...WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 110W... AND WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:08:19 2003 X-UIDL: 48441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP800BUR9WW1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 01:58:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1Hx9IN077232 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 01:59:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1A00KF086840; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:46:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 29261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1HjvD1029440 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1HjvtS000272 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1HjuiR000269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312011745.hB1HjuiR000269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z-021800Z2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.5S2 77.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. A 011545Z6 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR THE LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/HEATH/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:08:21 2003 X-UIDL: 48442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP800DEOA6KIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 02:03:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1I50IN077910 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 02:05:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811OH038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 29256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1HjvD1091428 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1HjvtS000271 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1Hju8l000268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:45:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312011745.hB1Hju8l000268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/011800Z-021800Z2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.5S2 77.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. A 011545Z6 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR THE LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/HEATH/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:08:45 2003 X-UIDL: 48454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP800DHDKDQIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 05:44:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1LjJu9070734 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 05:45:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811Wp038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:27:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 31764 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:27:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1LRCD1050746 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:27:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1LRBtS006828 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:27:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1LRAem006827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:27:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:27:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312012127.hB1LRAem006827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 012126 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 01 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 01/1800 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS NORTH OF 30N129W TO A 1011 MB LOW OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. ..1022 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OFF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 28N119W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WEST TO 29N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 01/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N84W 6N100W 13N125W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS NORTH OF 5N BETWEEN 80W-84W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS 100 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-95W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 120 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM NORTH AND 75 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 112W-119W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:08:49 2003 X-UIDL: 48456-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP800BGDL1S1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 05:58:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1LxjIN006035 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 05:59:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811Y7038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:46:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 31962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:46:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1LknD1031602 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:46:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1LkltS007324 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:46:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1LklNu007323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:46:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 15:46:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312012146.hB1LklNu007323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 012146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 01 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 30N152W 27N154W AND CONTINUING WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE THROUGH 23N155W 21N160W HAVE MOVED E SE 20 KT... INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 05N152W 06N159W HAVE MOVED W 15 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 05N168W 08N173W HAVE MOVED W SW 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND W OF 180...WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE 08N175W 11N177E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND W OF 180...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 12S170E 03S175W 10S164W 14S167W 18S180 12S170E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08S139W 17S138W 16S143W 11S146W 08S139W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:09:12 2003 X-UIDL: 48485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP900D6V07MIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:26:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB23RFu9009977 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:27:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811j9038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 21:12:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 35627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 21:12:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB23CTD1083828 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 21:12:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB23CRtS012162 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 21:12:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB23CRaR012161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 21:12:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 21:12:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312020312.hB23CRaR012161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 020312 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 02 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/0000 UTC... ..SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS NORTH OF 30N126W TO A 1012 MB LOW OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. ..A PAIR OF 1021 MB HIGHS ARE LOCATED NEAR 29N122W AND 29N135W. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE EASTERN HIGH SEWD ALONG THE BAJA PENINSULA TO 14N110W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN HIGH SWWD BEYOND 26N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N83W 6N100W 8N120W 6N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA FROM 4N-7N EAST OF 78W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS NORTH OF 6N BETWEEN 81W-86W. ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 88W-100W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 113W-118W. DISSIPATING WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS BETWEEN THE AXIS AND 11N BETWEEN 131W-134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 113W-120W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 11N-17N BETWEEN 124W-138W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:29:51 2003 X-UIDL: 48517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP900DYLGX5IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 17:27:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB29SAu9052869 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 17:28:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2617GP078064; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:12:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:12:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB29CmD1072878 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:12:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB29CktS015530 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:12:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB29Ckvk015529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:12:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:12:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312020912.hB29Ckvk015529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 020912 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 02 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/0600 UTC... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES MUCH OF THE DISCUSSION AREA W OF 110W WITH A 1025 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 30N125W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/0830 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N85W 5N105W 6N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 90W-102W AND FROM 113W-117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 125W-127W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 21:41:23 2003 X-UIDL: 48519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP900DPUIGEIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 18:00:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2A1Iu9056473 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 18:01:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB29j4D3086870; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:51:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:51:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB29pTD1009698 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:51:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB29pStS015859 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:51:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB29pSUo015858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:51:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 03:51:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312020951.hB29pSUo015858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 020951 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 2 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N151W 30N142W 18N156W 21N159W 28N149W 30N151W HAVE MOVED EAST-SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF 180...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N174E 10N176W EQ172W EQ174W 07N180 11N180 10N172E 15N174E HAVE MOVED WEST 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N159W 06N155W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 11N154W 08N145W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT/SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS AND STRATOCUMULUS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF 180...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08S161E 10S180 07S175W 07S164W 14S166W 17S174W 16S180 12S160E 08S161E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 150 NM OF POINT 11S138W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:04:51 2003 X-UIDL: 48535-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP900G2TVUZOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 22:49:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2EosIN038525 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 22:50:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2617Lh078064; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:38:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 39657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:38:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2EcPD1083964 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:38:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB2EcNtS019228 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:38:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB2EcN8Q019227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:38:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:38:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312021438.hB2EcN8Q019227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 021438 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 02 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/1200 UTC... ..ONE RIDGE FROM 1024 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N127W TO 19N112W. ANOTHER RIDGE FROM THE 29N127W HIGH CENTER BEYOND 21N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/1415 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 6N100W 9N117W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 85W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 102W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 114W AND 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH 24N129W 15N137W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN 100W AND 130W...CAUSING SOME SHEAR TO THE TOPS OF THE CONVECTIVE CELLS FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 116W AND 128W. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY JUST NORTH OF THE ITCZ...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 125W AND 127W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 117W AND 123W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:05:32 2003 X-UIDL: 48553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPA00GR5496OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 01:51:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2HqCIN069385 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 01:52:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FxqN9034078; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 42902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2HZID1009606 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB2HZGtS024613 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB2HZGUg024611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312021735.hB2HZGUg024611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z-031800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 77.0E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:05:34 2003 X-UIDL: 48554-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPA00GRZ49EOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 01:51:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2HqLu9017366 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 01:52:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdCK7078066; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 42899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2HZID1093832 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB2HZGtS024614 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB2HZGeq024612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 11:35:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312021735.hB2HZGeq024612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 021800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/021800Z-031800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 77.0E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:05:59 2003 X-UIDL: 48567-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPA00GT4EQEOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 05:37:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2LcWu9042865 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 05:38:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdCUR078066; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:26:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 46206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:26:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2LQ5D1042664 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:26:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB2LQ5ec006146 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:26:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB2LQ5Cc006145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:26:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:26:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312022126.hB2LQ5Cc006145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 022115 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 02 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 02/1800 UTC... ..1027 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 30N128W EXTENDING SWD TO 15N BETWEEN THE BAJA PENINSULA AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 02/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 4N107W 8N118W 7N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 78W-82W AND WITHIN 60 NM BETWEEN 82W-93W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 93W-101W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 112W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 120W-128W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:06:01 2003 X-UIDL: 48568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPA00GDKFH0OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 05:53:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2LsWIN003645 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 05:54:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdCVX078066; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:41:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 46477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:41:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2Lf3D1078660 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:41:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB2Lf2ec006623 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:41:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB2Lf27c006622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:41:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:41:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312022141.hB2Lf27c006622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 022140 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 02 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT/SURFACE LOW...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N... WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 18N158W 25N148W 30N146W HAVE MOVED E SE 10 TO 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 09N147W 12N155W HAVE MOVED W NW 10 KT...INTENSIFIED...AND INCREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 08N156W 08N164W HAVE MOVED W NW 15 KT...INTENSIFIED...AND INCREASED IN AREA. ISOLATED CB...THAT CROSS 180...WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 02N179W 07N180 12N175E HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT/SURFACE LOW UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS AND STRATOCUMULUS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF 180...WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 14S180 16S176W 15S167W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 06S180 06S168W 01S164W 03S161W 12S166W 12S180 06S180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:06:22 2003 X-UIDL: 48590-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPA00IBMUOKLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:21:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB33N4IN047756 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:23:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2MAZH1055294; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 21:11:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 49379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 21:11:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB33BrD1078524 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 21:11:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB33Brec011872 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 21:11:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB33BrxD011871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 21:11:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 21:11:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312030311.hB33BrxD011871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 030311 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 03 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/0000 UTC... ..1026 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 33N128W EXTENDING SWD TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 140W. ..1008 MB LOW PRES HAS DRIFTED FROM THE SW CARIBBEAN INLAND OVER THE ISTHMUS OF PANAMA. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE LOCATED ACROSS PANAMA AND COSTA RICA SWD TO THE ITCZ. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N80W 5N89W 6N98W 4N106W 8N118W 5N127W 6N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 114W-121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:06:46 2003 X-UIDL: 48603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPB00ICN2MILY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:13:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB36EcIN069081 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:14:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB31x5Zp034078; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3638D1047108 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3638ec013752 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3638aZ013750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312030603.hB3638aZ013750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 030600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z-040600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.3N8 161.6E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENENBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:07:04 2003 X-UIDL: 48621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPB00GKEAZWOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 17:14:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB39FRIN092264 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 17:15:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdCkX078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:09:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 52390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:09:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB399YD1050862 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:09:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB399Yec015606 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:09:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB399Yst015605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:09:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:09:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312030909.hB399Yst015605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 030909 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 03 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/0600 UTC... ..1027 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 32N129W WITH RIDGING EXTENDING SWD TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 135W. ..HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED INLAND OVER MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 5N90W 6N100W 8N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 80W-86W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 115W-122W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:07:09 2003 X-UIDL: 48625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPB00GHAD4POY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 18:00:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3A1Uu9030373 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 18:01:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdCkh078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:55:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 52484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:55:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB39thD1081910 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB39thec015986 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:55:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB39thvH015985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:55:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 03:55:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312030955.hB39thvH015985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 030955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...STATIONARY NEAR 28N149W FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. FRONT ALONG LINE 27N147W 23N149W 19N156W ACCOMPANYING THE LOW. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 25N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N167W 09N159W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 16S173W MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LOW INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SPARSE ISOLATED CB IN THE VICINITY. OTHERWISE SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU. ELSEWHERE... SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 25S140W 22S163W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:47:47 2003 X-UIDL: 48644-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPB00INOTRKLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 23:59:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3G0qu9069766 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 00:00:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdCrd078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 09:42:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 54933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 09:42:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3FgqD1013186 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 09:42:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3Fgqec021259 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 09:42:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3Fgqxn021258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 09:42:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 09:42:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312031542.hB3Fgqxn021258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 031542 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 03 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/1200 UTC... ..1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 32N129W. ONE RIDGE GOES FROM THE HIGH CENTER TO 17N116W...AND ANOTHER RIDGE GOES FROM THE HIGH CENTER BEYOND 20N140W. ..HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED INLAND OVER MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 6N86W 6N101W 7N116W 9N128W 9N134W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 88W... ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W AND 104W...AND WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:48:08 2003 X-UIDL: 48653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPB00IGBYEQLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 01:40:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3HfAu9087273 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 01:41:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB29j4mT086870; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 56438 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3HS5D1013202 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3HS5ec024633 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3HS5nh024631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/031800z-041800zdec2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312031728.hB3HS5nh024631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABIO10 PGTW 031800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.0S8 92.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND SOME MID-LEVEL TURNING IS ALSO INDICATED. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA IS BROAD AND NOT WELL DEFINED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/VOHS/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:48:10 2003 X-UIDL: 48654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPB00IHQYF6LY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 01:40:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3HfQIN063081 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 01:41:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdCvB078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 56441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3HS5D1043902 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3HS5ec024634 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3HS5b2024632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:28:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/031800z-041800zdec2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312031728.hB3HS5b2024632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 031800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.0S8 92.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND SOME MID-LEVEL TURNING IS ALSO INDICATED. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA IS BROAD AND NOT WELL DEFINED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/VOHS/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:48:24 2003 X-UIDL: 48663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00IJ69GKLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 05:38:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3LdqIN094003 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 05:39:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2MAZVH055294; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 15:33:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 59486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 15:33:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3LXkD1017548 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 15:33:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3LXkec002271 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 15:33:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3LXj0V002270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 15:33:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 15:33:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312032133.hB3LXj0V002270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 032133 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 03 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 03/1800 UTC... ..1026 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 30N130W EXTENDING SWD TO 15N BETWEEN THE BAJA PENINSULA AND 140W. ..HIGH PRES CENTERED INLAND OVER MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 03/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N80W 5N90W 7N100W 4N110W 11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS SOUTH OF THE PANAMA COAST FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 77W-86W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-105W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 7N-10N BETWEEN 125W-135W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N-11N BETWEEN 122W-126W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:48:32 2003 X-UIDL: 48668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00IN2BOULY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 06:26:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3MS0u9020623 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 06:28:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdC7T078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:00:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 59788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:00:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3M0cD1055608 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:00:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3M0bec002942 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:00:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3M0bqt002941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:00:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:00:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312032200.hB3M0bqt002941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' ACPA40 PHFO 032200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 03 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...LONG LINE 30N141W 26N150W 15N170W 15N180. ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 25N. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS...OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N173W 09N159W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 16S172W MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LOW WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. OTHERWISE SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU. ELSEWHERE... SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 25S140W 22S163W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:48:38 2003 X-UIDL: 48673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00I7SE8QLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 07:22:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3NNAu9026316 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 07:23:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdC9h078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 17:00:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60349 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:59:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3MxpD1007766 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:59:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3Mxoec004424 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:59:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3MxofO004422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:59:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:59:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312032259.hB3MxofO004422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 032300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/032300Z-040600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 174.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING BUT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AS POOR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KLINSMANN/SPANSKI/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:48:59 2003 X-UIDL: 48688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00I2ULSILY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:05:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB426Du9046653 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:06:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41WtDP078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41spD1007830 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB41soec006936 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB41soUQ006934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312040154.hB41soUQ006934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 040200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/040200Z-041800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.0S8 92.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND SOME MID-LEVEL TURNING IS ALSO INDICATED. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA IS BROAD AND NOT WELL DEFINED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 65.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTHWEST. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KLINZMANN/VOHS/ANDERSON// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:49:01 2003 X-UIDL: 48690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00IFHM9BLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:15:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB42GIIN030987 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:16:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB29j4ux086870; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41spD1099306 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB41soec006937 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB41sojR006935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:54:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312040154.hB41sojR006935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 040200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/040200Z-041800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.0S8 92.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND SOME MID-LEVEL TURNING IS ALSO INDICATED. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA IS BROAD AND NOT WELL DEFINED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 65.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTHWEST. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KLINZMANN/VOHS/ANDERSON// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:49:07 2003 X-UIDL: 48701-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00LYZQ84P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 11:40:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB43g0IN045396 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 11:42:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41WtFx078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 21:35:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 21:35:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB43Z7D1029668 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 21:35:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB43Z7ec008046 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 21:35:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB43Z76a008045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 21:35:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 21:35:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312040335.hB43Z76a008045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK 0' AXPZ20 KNHC 040334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 04 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA MOVING SE 20-25 KT. ISOLATED SHOWERS NORTH OF 26N AND WEST OF 137W. ..1022 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 30N128W WITH RIDGING EXTENDING FROM THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA SWWD BEYOND 24N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N82W 4N94W 6N104W 4N115W 8N125W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION 120 NM SOUTH OF THE COAST OF WRN PANAMA. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-88W AND 105W-107W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 123W-136W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:49:13 2003 X-UIDL: 48709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00LWETZVP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 13:02:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB453QLT071041 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 13:03:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41WtHv078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 63641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB44pnD1104780 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB44pmec008779 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB44pm1J008774 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312040451.hB44pm1J008774@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z-050600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 174.8E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 175.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING BUT UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 00:12:35 2003 X-UIDL: 48723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPD00LYV7BNP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB49pKlS093029 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:51:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41WtNn078066; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:45:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 65760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:45:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB49jhD1055790 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:45:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB49jhec011587 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:45:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB49jh9I011586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:45:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:45:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312040945.hB49jh9I011586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 040945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 04 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA THROUGH 32N138W TO BEYOND 30N140W. ..A 1023 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 28N127W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N78W 5N94W 7N104W 9N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 128W AND WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 124W TO 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60/75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 80W TO 83W INCLUDING THE COAST OF PANAMA...WITHIN 75/90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 140W...WITHIN 60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 122W TO 125W...AND WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 6.5N128W TO 6N130W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 6N131.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 00:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 48724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPD00L8W7T9P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 18:00:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4A1sLT006829 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 18:01:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41WtNp078066; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:55:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 65785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB49tWD1037622 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB49tVec011673 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:55:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB49tVak011672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:55:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 03:55:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312040955.hB49tVak011672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 040955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW NEAR 30N143W MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST 15-20 KT. ASSOCIATED FRONT ALONG LINE 29N140W 26N144W MOVING NORTHEAST. BROKEN LAYERED CLOUDS ALONG FRONT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 22N151W 18N165W ASSOCIATED WITH A DECAYING SHEAR LINE. ISOLATED CB ALONG THE SHEAR LINE HAVE DISSIPATED. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS. OTHERWISE NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES OR WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07N161W 09N168W ARE NEWLY FORMED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK DISTURBANCE NEAR 16S171W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS SURROUND THE DISTURBANCE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER HAVE NEARLY ALL DISSIPATED. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 03S175W 13S165W REDEVELOPED SOUTHWEST 10 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS. ISOLATED CB IN THE VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... WEAK SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 25S140W 25S150W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG SHEAR LINE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 00:13:07 2003 X-UIDL: 48741-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPD00LZ0MI4P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:18:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4FJ7lS033583 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:19:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4DSCO7072722; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 09:07:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 68239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 09:07:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4F7SD1078536 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 09:07:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB4F7Rec015799 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 09:07:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB4F7R6C015798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 09:07:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 09:07:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312041507.hB4F7R6C015798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 041507 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 04 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA THROUGH 32N137W TO BEYOND 29N140W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE ALONG THE FRONT NEAR 28N139W. ..1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 27N128W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 16N112W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N106W 9N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6.5N-10N BETWEEN 114W-130W AND FROM 7N-9.5N BETWEEN 130W-140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 6N79W 5N86W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF 7N105W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14N99.5W 16.5N99W... PROBABLY DUE TO INCREASED CONVERGENCE ON THE NW BORDER OF A WEAKENING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WIND EVENT. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 13:36:32 2003 X-UIDL: 48744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPD00L2HRIIP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 01:06:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4H7LlS048064 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 01:07:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2MAZih055294; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4GveD1031620 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB4Gveec019187 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB4GveWa019185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312041657.hB4GveWa019185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z-051800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0S8 92.7E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.6S2 92.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS OPENED SOMEWHAT, LEAVING BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE AREA IS BROAD AND NOT WELL DEFINED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 65.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 64.9E9, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NO LONGER EXPOSED AND IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC, HOWEVER IT IS ALSO BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED, WITH IMPROVING OUTFLOW IN THE POLEWARD DIRECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE TO GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON IMPROVING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KLINZMANN/VOHS/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 13:36:41 2003 X-UIDL: 48745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPD00LE0RMGP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 01:08:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4H9iLT055438 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 01:09:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41Wtab078066; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4GveD1055776 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB4Gveec019188 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB4GvegI019186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:57:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312041657.hB4GvegI019186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/041800Z-051800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0S8 92.7E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.6S2 92.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS OPENED SOMEWHAT, LEAVING BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE AREA IS BROAD AND NOT WELL DEFINED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 65.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 64.9E9, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NO LONGER EXPOSED AND IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC, HOWEVER IT IS ALSO BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED, WITH IMPROVING OUTFLOW IN THE POLEWARD DIRECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE TO GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON IMPROVING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KLINZMANN/VOHS/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 13:36:52 2003 X-UIDL: 48753-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE00LP55KCP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:09:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4MAvlS084838 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:10:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41WtsD078066; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 15:55:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 15:55:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4LtdD1064694 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 15:55:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB4Ltdec028067 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 15:55:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB4Ltdof028066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 15:55:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 15:55:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312042155.hB4Ltdof028066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 042155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 04 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10N179W 10N176W 08N172W 07N179W 03N179W 07N178E 07N174E 09N177E HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N165W 07N156W 06N157W 06N167W 08N169W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 09N146W 09N140W 06N140W 04N151W 06N151W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SCATTERED TO BROKEN SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS...WITH ISOLATED TCU...ARE BOUNDED BY 24N150W 22N151W 20N155W 20N163W 22N161W 23N157W. CLOUDS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... ISOLATED TCU BOUNDED BY 19N164W 17N165W 16N170W 18N170W 19N168W MOVED WEST AT 8 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY EQ178W 01S171W 10S165W 07S161W 16S155W 17S167W 15S170W 09S174W 09S177W 03S179W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 10 KT WEST OF 168W AND WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 KT ELSEWHERE...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 20S144W 25S138W 25S146W 21S148W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT ..INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 11S149W 13S148W 14S152W 11S153W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 16S176E 16S179W 19S175W 18S176E 22S175E 18S172E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 13:36:54 2003 X-UIDL: 48754-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE00LGC60PP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:19:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4MKkLT089629 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:20:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2MAZt3055294; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:03:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:03:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4M3OD1028100 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:03:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB4M3Oec028349 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:03:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB4M3Odb028348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:03:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:03:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312042203.hB4M3Odb028348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 042203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 04 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 04/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA THROUGH 32N134W TO BEYOND 27N140W. ..1019 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N129W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 20N111W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 04/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N90W 8N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 123W-126W...FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 130W-135W...AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 137W-139W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 105W-108W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 7N82W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 13:36:58 2003 X-UIDL: 48756-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE00L5W86SP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 07:06:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4N7blS091581 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 07:07:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41Wtut078066; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:58:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 75901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:58:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4Mw7D1050896 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:58:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB4Mw7ec029542 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:58:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB4Mw75F029541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:58:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:58:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312042258.hB4Mw75F029541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS21 PGTW 042300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 042251ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.8S9 64.9E9 TO 14.1S6 61.3E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 042130Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 64.6E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 64.9E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 63.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS, IS NO LONGER CYCLIC AND IS MORE ORGANIZED, WITH IMPROVING OUTFLOW IN THE POLEWARD DIRECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE TO GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 052300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 13:37:04 2003 X-UIDL: 48759-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE00L25ALPP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 07:58:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4NxiLT098619 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 07:59:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2MAZvB055294; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 76576 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4NoPD1075686 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB4NoPec000531 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB4NoPuJ000528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312042350.hB4NoPuJ000528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 050000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/050000Z-051800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/042351ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0S8 92.7E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.6S2 92.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS OPENED SOMEWHAT, LEAVING BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE AREA IS BROAD AND NOT WELL DEFINED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 64.9E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 63.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS, IS NO LONGER CYCLIC AND IS MORE ORGANIZED, WITH IMPROVING OUTFLOW IN THE POLEWARD DIRECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE TO GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 13:37:06 2003 X-UIDL: 48762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE00LRAB0JP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 08:07:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB508eLT099399 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 08:08:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41Wtx5078066; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 76573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4NoPD1049428 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB4NoPec000530 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB4NoPB2000529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 17:50:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312042350.hB4NoPB2000529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 050000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/050000Z-051800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/042351ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0S8 92.7E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.6S2 92.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS OPENED SOMEWHAT, LEAVING BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE AREA IS BROAD AND NOT WELL DEFINED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 64.9E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 63.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS, IS NO LONGER CYCLIC AND IS MORE ORGANIZED, WITH IMPROVING OUTFLOW IN THE POLEWARD DIRECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE TO GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 13:37:26 2003 X-UIDL: 48782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE00182LKEF3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:55:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB53uZlS030641 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:56:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2MAZ17055294; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 21:43:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 79360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 21:43:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB53heD1059854 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 21:43:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB53heec003741 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 21:43:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB53hejM003740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 21:43:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 21:43:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312050343.hB53hejM003740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 050343 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 05 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA THROUGH 32N131W TO BEYOND 26N140W. ..1020 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N128W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 14N120W. ..1010 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 7N107W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 4N100W 8N120W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 120W-128W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 14:21:45 2003 X-UIDL: 48793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE00115QWHF3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 13:50:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB55poLT038545 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 13:51:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41Wt8l078066; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80055 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB55UpD1059856 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB55Upec004938 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB55UpNt004936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312050530.hB55UpNt004936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z-060600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 175.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE FIJIAN ISLANDS, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 15:06:07 2003 X-UIDL: 48795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE001FST7LF3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 14:40:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB56fgLT044348 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 14:41:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41Wt9V078066; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:25:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80895 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:25:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB56PwD1087926 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:25:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB56Pwec005581 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:25:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB56Pw9k005579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:25:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:25:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312050625.hB56Pw9k005579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 050600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 05/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S / 62.3E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 260 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 60NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/05 AT 18 UTC: 11.8S / 61.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/06 AT 06 UTC: 12.2S / 60.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEME HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYED DURING THE LAST HOURS (DEEP CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFYED AND INCREASED). STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PART DUE TO PRESSURE GRANDIENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 15:06:20 2003 X-UIDL: 48796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE001AUU40F3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:00:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5719lS053972 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:01:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41Wt9v078066; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:49:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 81013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:49:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB56nfD1085590 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:49:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB56nfec005802 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:49:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB56ne8T005800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:49:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 00:49:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312050649.hB56ne8T005800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 050600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/05 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S / 62.3E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/05 18 UTC: 11.8S/61.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/06 06 UTC: 12.2S/60.1E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/06 18 UTC: 12.7S/58.6E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/07 06 UTC: 13.2S/57.2E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/12/07 18 UTC: 13.6S/56.2E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2003/12/08 06 UTC: 13.8S/55.2E, MAX WIND=055KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- DEEP CONVECTION IS BETTER ORGANIZED, HAS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WICH IS MORE AND MORE CIRCULAR (HAS IT IS SHOWN ON ALL SATELLITE IMAGERY, VISIBLE , IR AND MICROWAVE). THIS SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFYED, WITH A GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR OVER THE AREA. IN LOW LEVEL, THEIR IS A FAIR INFLOW IN THE SOUTHERN AND NORTHERN PART (DUE TO A BETTER ESTABLISHED MOONSSON FLOW). THIS SYSTEM IS ASYMETRIC WITH STRONGER WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN PART DUE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 18:11:36 2003 X-UIDL: 48819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF003QX2SD5R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:07:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5A8UlS081032 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:08:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB59eYDD078066; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 04:00:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 04:00:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5A0vD1083918 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 04:00:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5A0vec007956 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 04:00:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5A0vQ4007955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 04:00:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 04:00:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312051000.hB5A0vQ4007955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 051000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 09N140W TO 07N152W...THEN FROM 05N165W TO 08N180 MOVED WEST AT 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. WEAKENING SHEARLINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 28N140W TO 18N170W. CLOUDS SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST AT 10 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... BROKEN SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS...WITH ISOLATED TCU...ASSOCIATED WITH DECAYING SHEARLINE. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...WEAKENING SHEARLINE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE FROM 05S170W 15S168W MOVED SOUTH AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 20S144W 22S140W 25S140W 20S144W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 11S180 18S176W 18S180 11S180 WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:35:42 2003 X-UIDL: 48822-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF003CG4315R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:35:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5AaYLT082863 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:36:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4IaJVF086870; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 03:49:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82175 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 03:49:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB59nQD1045694 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 03:49:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB59nQec007827 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 03:49:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB59nQrq007826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 03:49:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 03:49:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312050949.hB59nQrq007826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 050949 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 05 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N129W AND EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 24N140W. ..A 1022 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N128W. ..THE 1010 MB LOW IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE ON THE SURFACE. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 5N90W 7N107W 8N131W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 107W TO 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 105W TO 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE AXIS W OF 137W TO BEYOND 140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 90W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:01 2003 X-UIDL: 48830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF0039S97H8B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:26:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5CRELT004186 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:27:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB59eYEd078066; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:21:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:21:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5CLcD1078376 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:21:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5CLcec009383 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:21:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5CLcqC009381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:21:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:21:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312051221.hB5CLcqC009381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 051200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 05/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S / 62.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 260 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 60NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/06 AT 00 UTC: 11.9S / 60.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/06 AT 12 UTC: 12.4S / 59.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NO INTENSIFICATION DURING LAST HOURS. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PART DUE TO PRESSURE GRANDIENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:02 2003 X-UIDL: 48832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF003F89LR5R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:34:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5CZnLT005381 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:35:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB59eYEf078066; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:27:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82909 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5CRiD1072952 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5CRiec009439 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:27:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5CRiBd009437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:27:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:27:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312051227.hB5CRiBd009437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 051200 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 05/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S / 61.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 260 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 60NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/06 AT 00 UTC: 11.9S / 60.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/06 AT 12 UTC: 12.4S / 59.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NO INTENSIFICATION DURING LAST HOURS. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PART DUE TO PRESSURE GRANDIENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:02 2003 X-UIDL: 48834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF001GPA4ZF3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:46:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5ClLLT006685 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:47:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB59eYEl078066; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:41:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:41:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5CfDD1049460 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:41:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5CfDec009564 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:41:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5CfDlt009562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:41:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 06:41:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312051241.hB5CfDlt009562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIII, Probability=24%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, OBFU_PORNWORDS 0.864, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 051200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/05 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S / 61.7E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 080 SO: 050 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/06 00 UTC: 11.9S/60.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/06 12 UTC: 12.4S/59.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/07 00 UTC: 13.0S/57.6E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/07 12 UTC: 13.6S/56.1E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/12/08 00 UTC: 14.0S/54.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2003/12/08 12 UTC: 14.2S/53.1E, MAX WIND=055KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0+ AND CI=2.5- CONVECTION HAS CLASSICALLY WEAKENED DURING LAST HOURS (DUE TO DIURNAL CYCLE), ALLOWING TO SEE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PARTIALLY EXPOSED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:07 2003 X-UIDL: 48846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF00326H7F8B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 23:18:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5FJvLT023544 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 23:20:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB59eYK5078066; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 09:09:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 84371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 09:09:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5F9RD1015016 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 09:09:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5F9Mec012630 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 09:09:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5F9Moi012629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 09:09:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 09:09:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312051509.hB5F9Moi012629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 051508 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 05 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/1200 UTC... ..WEAK COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N134W AND EXTENDS SW TO BEYOND 27N140W. ..1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N128W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N84W 5N94W 7N109W 9N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N-7.5N BETWEEN 107W-111W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS W OF 129W AND FROM 4N-7.5N BETWEEN 81W-97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW SHOWERS ARE FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 101W-112W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:18 2003 X-UIDL: 48855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF00319MUK5R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 01:20:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5HLsLT040589 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 01:21:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GJBEf075640; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 86377 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5HDlD1072898 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5HDlec016041 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5HDlrC016039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312051713.hB5HDlrC016039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z-061800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/042251ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.6S2 92.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.9S4 90.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OF THIS SYSTEM IS ONE OF SEVERAL VORTICES EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH MOSTLY LINEAR FLOW ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 64.9E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 61.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 670 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO THE PASSING OF A TRANSIENT RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE APPROACH OF A MAJOR SHORTWAVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST MAY ENHANCE THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO REINTENSIFY. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE TO GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. REFER TO REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 042300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:18 2003 X-UIDL: 48856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF0031WN1E8B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 01:24:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5HPvLT041708 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 01:25:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GGkGR022298; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 86374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5HDlD1042650 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5HDlec016040 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5HDlFj016038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 11:13:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312051713.hB5HDlFj016038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 051800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/051800Z-061800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/042251ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.6S2 92.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.9S4 90.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OF THIS SYSTEM IS ONE OF SEVERAL VORTICES EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH MOSTLY LINEAR FLOW ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 64.9E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 61.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 670 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO THE PASSING OF A TRANSIENT RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. THE APPROACH OF A MAJOR SHORTWAVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST MAY ENHANCE THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALLOWING THE SYSTEM TO REINTENSIFY. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE TO GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. REFER TO REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 042300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:23 2003 X-UIDL: 48863-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF001TLPGCF3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:17:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5II7lS063689 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:18:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GJBGX075640; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:10:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 87472 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:10:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5IARD1078730 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:10:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5IARec017748 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:10:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5IARgW017746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:10:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:10:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312051810.hB5IARgW017746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 051800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 05/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.9S / 61.1E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST ) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE MAINLY, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/06 AT 06 UTC: 12.9S / 59.6E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/06 AT 18 UTC: 13.8S / 58.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PART DUE TO INCREASING GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:23 2003 X-UIDL: 48864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF003DZPL08B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:19:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5IKulS064080 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:20:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GGkKL022298; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:12:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 87495 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:12:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5ICWD1083752 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:12:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5ICWec017835 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:12:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5ICWBA017832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:12:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 12:12:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312051812.hB5ICWBA017832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 051800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/05 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.9S / 61.1E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 120 SO: 080 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/06 06 UTC: 12.9S/59.6E, MAX WIND=035KT. 24H: 2003/12/06 18 UTC: 13.8S/58.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/07 06 UTC: 14.5S/56.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/07 18 UTC: 15.0S/54.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/08 06 UTC: 15.4S/53.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/12/08 18 UTC: 15.7S/51.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- LOW EXTENSION OF THE CONVECTION, ORGANIZED IN CDO. THE WEAK TO MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS PRESENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:28 2003 X-UIDL: 48872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF001P1Y63F3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 05:25:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5LQOlS089636 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 05:26:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GJBMf008250; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:12:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 90619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:12:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5LCYD1058872 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:12:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5LCYec023509 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:12:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5LCYHm023508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:12:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:12:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312052112.hB5LCYHm023508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 052100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/042251ZDEC2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 11.6S8 61.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 61.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 12.1S4 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 12.9S2 57.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 13.3S7 55.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.5S9 54.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.7S9 60.9E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 690 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE APPROACH OF A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE SOUTHWEST IS BEGINNING TO ENHANCE THE P0LEWARD OUTFLOW ALLOWING TC 03S TO INTENSIFY TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE SOUTHEAST AND THEN TRANSITION TO A MORE WESTERLY TRACK LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SHORTWAVE IS REPLACED BY A TRANSITORY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. SLOW BUT STEADY INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW EARLY AND THE EXPECTATION THAT TC 03S WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, AND WBAI ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 8 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 042251Z DEC 2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 042300). NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 AND 062100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:29 2003 X-UIDL: 48877-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG0031A07J5R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:09:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5MASlS094866 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:10:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GJBPP075640; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:57:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91542 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:57:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5LvlD1045468 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:57:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5Lvmec024968 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:57:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5LvloM024967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:57:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:57:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312052157.hB5LvloM024967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 052157 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 05 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 05/1800 UTC... ..WEAK COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION NEAR 32N127W AND EXTENDS SW TO 26N140W. ..1023 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 26N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 05/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 5N85W 2N101W 7N109W 4N117W 10N126W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 7N108.5W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:29 2003 X-UIDL: 48878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG001Y6099F3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:10:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5MBVLT075391 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:11:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GJBOp008250; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:58:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:55:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5LtfD1019250 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:55:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5Ltfec024904 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:55:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5Ltf9N024903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:55:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 15:55:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312052155.hB5Ltf9N024903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 052155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 05 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N141W 06N140W 07N149W 04N154W 05N172W 07N172W 09N153W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 23N162W 21N160W 18N169W 19N172W 22N169W 22N164W HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 5 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 03S179W 06S177W 06S173W 15S156W 22S175W 11S176E 05S177E HAVE MOVED SOUTH AND EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 19S146W 21S138W 25S140W 24S145W 22S144W 20S148W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:31 2003 X-UIDL: 48887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG003WF5C85R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:00:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB601HlS006812 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:01:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5IMMWf022300; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 17:53:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 93648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 17:53:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5NrqD1088030 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 17:53:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5Nrqec026968 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 17:53:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5Nrqf5026967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 17:53:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 17:53:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312052353.hB5Nrqf5026967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 052100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/042251ZDEC2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 11.6S8 61.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 61.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 12.1S4 59.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 12.9S2 57.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 13.3S7 55.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.5S9 54.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.7S9 60.9E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 690 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE APPROACH OF A MAJOR SHORTWAVE FROM THE SOUTHWEST IS BEGINNING TO ENHANCE THE P0LEWARD OUTFLOW ALLOWING TC 03S TO INTENSIFY TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE SOUTHEAST AND THEN TRANSITION TO A MORE WESTERLY TRACK LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SHORTWAVE IS REPLACED BY A TRANSITORY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. SLOW BUT STEADY INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW EARLY AND THE EXPECTATION THAT TC 03S WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, AND WBAI ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO; THE NOGAPS MODEL WAS NOT AVAILABLE FOR THIS CONSENSUS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 8 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 042251Z DEC 2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 042300). NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 AND 062100Z9. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED IMMEDIATE DELIVERY TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:32 2003 X-UIDL: 48888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG003KO64S8B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:17:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB60IQlS008508 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:18:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GJBUh075640; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:12:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 93878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:12:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB60CHD1103910 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:12:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB60CHec027174 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:12:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB60CHSK027172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:12:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:12:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312060012.hB60CHSK027172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 060000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 06/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.9S / 60.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE MAINLY, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/06 AT 12 UTC: 12.2S / 59.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/07 AT 00 UTC: 12.6S / 57.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PART DUE TO INCREASING GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:32 2003 X-UIDL: 48889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG003LI66U8B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:18:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB60JeLT088231 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:19:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5IMMX5022300; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:13:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 93892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:13:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB60DLD1058872 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:13:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB60DLec027193 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:13:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB60DLl3027191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:13:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 18:13:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312060013.hB60DLl3027191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 060000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/06 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.9S / 60.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 120 SO: 080 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/06 12 UTC: 12.2S/59.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/07 00 UTC: 12.6S/57.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/07 12 UTC: 12.9S/56.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/08 00 UTC: 13.2S/55.0E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/12/08 12 UTC: 13.5S/53.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2003/12/09 00 UTC: 13.8S/52.6E, MAX WIND=055KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- LOW EXTENSION OF THE CONVECTION, ORGANIZED IN CDO. THE WEAK TO MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS PRESENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:37 2003 X-UIDL: 48901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG0035ZFH78B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:39:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB63eELT007794 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:40:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GJBXF075640; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 21:33:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 95608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 21:33:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB63XcD1034876 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 21:33:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB63Xcec029241 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 21:33:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB63XcRH029240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 21:33:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 21:33:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312060333.hB63XcRH029240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 060333 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 06 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/0000 UTC... ..HIGH PRESSURE IS N OF 15N AND W OF 115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N110W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 7N109.5W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 134W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:39 2003 X-UIDL: 48909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG003I2NCU5R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:29:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB66USlS047432 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:30:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB660WDV022308; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:24:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 97100 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:24:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB66OZD1103804 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:24:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB66OZec000845 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:24:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB66OZxf000843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:24:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:24:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312060624.hB66OZxf000843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 060600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 06/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 1000 HPA POSITION: 11.9S / 60.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE MAINLY, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/06 AT 18 UTC: 12.2S / 59.4E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/07 AT 06 UTC: 12.6S / 57.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PART, UNDER THE CONVECTION AND DUE TO INCREASING GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES. THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:40 2003 X-UIDL: 48910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG00336NT08B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:39:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB66eAlS048582 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:40:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB660WDn022308; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:34:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 97155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:34:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB66YsD1024606 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:34:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB66Ysec000946 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:34:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB66YsDw000944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:34:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 00:34:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312060634.hB66YsDw000944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 060600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/06 AT 0600 UTC : 11.9S / 60.5E (ELEVEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 MOINS /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/06 18 UTC: 12.2S/59.4E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/07 06 UTC: 12.6S/57.9E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/07 18 UTC: 13.0S/56.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/08 06 UTC: 13.3S/55.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/08 18 UTC: 13.8S/53.4E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/12/09 06 UTC: 14.1S/52.0E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0+. CI=2.5- THE CONVECTION , MAINLY PRESENT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE CIRCULATION IS NOT YET WELL ORGANIZED, AND THE CENTRE IS NOW LOCATED AT THE EDGE THE CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:40 2003 X-UIDL: 48913-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG003I9UIU5R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 17:04:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB695ElS062696 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 17:05:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB660WFx022308; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:56:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 97925 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:56:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB68txD1078638 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB68txec001981 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:55:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB68txwi001980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:55:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:55:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312060855.hB68txwi001980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 060900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 11.9S1 60.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9S1 60.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 12.2S5 59.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.7S0 57.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.0S4 56.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.2S6 54.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 12.0S3 60.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30 AND 35 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM, HOWEVER, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE APPROACH OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE SOUTHWEST MAY ENHANCE POLEWARD OUTFLOW, THEREBY DEEPENING THE SYSTEM SLIGHTLY. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 03S WILL THEN TRANSITION TO A MORE WESTERLY TRACK LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SHORTWAVE IS REPLACED BY A TRANSITORY HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 03S WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, NOGAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 AND 070900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:42 2003 X-UIDL: 48916-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG006RSXHU1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:08:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6A9SLT044415 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:09:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB660WGh022308; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 98155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6A2iD1064594 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6A2iec002751 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6A2iXX002750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312061002.hB6A2iXX002750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 061002 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 06 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N141W 06N140W 07N149W 04N154W 05N172W 07N172W 09N153W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 22N162W TO 19N170W WAS NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ALSO...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS BETWEEN 20N AND 25N FROM THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TO 150W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEARLINE/UPPER TROUGH. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S175W 12S171W 12S175W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AND EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 22S142W TO 25S140W EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND CHANGED LITTLE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. ALSO...OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS BETWEEN 10S AND 20S BETWEEN 170W AND THE DATELINE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:42 2003 X-UIDL: 48917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG006USXJF1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:09:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6AANlS068941 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:10:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB660WGf022308; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 98152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6A2HD1025020 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6A2Hec002740 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6A2Hgm002739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:02:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312061002.hB6A2Hgm002739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 061002 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 06 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/0600 UTC... ..RIDGE 19N120W 21N129W BEYOND 24N120W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N97W 7N111W 7N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 128W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS WITHIN 50-100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS ELSEWHERE EAST OF 126W...SPECIFICALLY BETWEEN 84W AND 86W...AND BETWEEN 112W AND 117W. BROKEN LOW CLOUDS SOUTH OF 5N81W 5N90W 5N110W 6N125W 7N140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:43 2003 X-UIDL: 48921-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006YF49D5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 20:34:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6CZZlS085718 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 20:35:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB660WHv022308; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:28:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 98788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6CS9D1038960 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:28:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6CS9ec003925 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:28:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6CS9rN003922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:28:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:28:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312061228.hB6CS9rN003922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 061200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 06/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 1000 HPA POSITION: 12.0S / 60.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-ECIRCLE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE OUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE MAINLY, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/07 AT 00 UTC: 12.3S / 59.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/07 AT 12 UTC: 12.7S / 57.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PART, UNDER THE CONVECTION AND DUE TO INCREASING GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES. THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:44 2003 X-UIDL: 48922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006064KV86@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 20:41:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6CgTlS086269 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 20:42:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB660WI1022308; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:31:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 98802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:31:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6CVBD1088038 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:31:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6CVCec003981 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:31:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6CVBnw003979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:31:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 06:31:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312061231.hB6CVBnw003979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 061200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/06 AT 1200 UTC : 12.0S / 60.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 26 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/07 00 UTC: 12.3S/59.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/07 12 UTC: 12.7S/57.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/08 00 UTC: 13.2S/56.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/08 12 UTC: 13.5S/54.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/09 00 UTC: 13.7S/53.4E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/12/09 12 UTC: 13.9S/51.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0+. CI=2.5- THE CONVECTION , MAINLY PRESENT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE CIRCULATION IS NOT YET WELL ORGANIZED, AND THE CENTRE IS NOW LOCATED AT THE EDGE THE CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:46 2003 X-UIDL: 48930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006GVC3B5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:23:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6FOhLT075529 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:24:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB661VJX075642; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 09:16:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 100455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 09:16:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6FG9D1078666 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 09:16:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6FG9ec005372 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 09:16:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6FG8Lt005371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 09:16:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 09:16:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312061516.hB6FG8Lt005371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 061515 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 06 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/1200 UTC... ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM WEST OF 26N140W TO 27N120W TO 23N109W NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N83W 5N90W 5N110W 7N120W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COLOMBIAN COAST BETWEEN 2N-8N. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 80W-87W. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM NEAR 6N113W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 127W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:48 2003 X-UIDL: 48932-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006BSHXN1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 01:29:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6HUuLT086589 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 01:30:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB660WQF022308; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101667 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6HNuD1085710 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6HNuec006992 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6HNusR006990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312061723.hB6HNusR006990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060751ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060600Z2, TC 03S, LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 60.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:48 2003 X-UIDL: 48933-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006C4HYP1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 01:30:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6HVZLT086639 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 01:31:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Da3Wf042608; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6HNuD1030450 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6HNuec006993 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6HNu8V006991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 11:23:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312061723.hB6HNu8V006991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 061800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060751ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060600Z2, TC 03S, LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 60.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:49 2003 X-UIDL: 48934-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006Q7KB15K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:21:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6IMBLT090828 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:22:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB660WRD022308; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 102168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6IF9D1103790 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6IF9ec007593 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6IF9Z4007591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 06/12/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312061815.hB6IF9Z4007591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO22 FMEE 061800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 06/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.2S / 59.6E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST ) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/07 AT 06 UTC: 12.5S / 58.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/07 AT 18 UTC: 13.0S / 57.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PART, UNDER THE CONVECTION AND DUE TO INCREASING GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES. THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:49 2003 X-UIDL: 48935-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006BMKDV1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:22:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6INrlS023428 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:23:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB661VNB075642; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 102173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6IFDD1077878 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6IFDec007605 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6IFCFs007603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 12:15:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312061815.hB6IFCFs007603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 061800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/06 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.2S / 59.6E (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/07 06 UTC: 12.5S/58.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/07 18 UTC: 13.0S/57.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/08 06 UTC: 13.4S/55.7E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/08 18 UTC: 13.5S/54.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/09 06 UTC: 13.5S/52.5E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/09 18 UTC: 13.3S/50.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0+. CI=2.5- THE CONVECTION INCREASES LIGHTLY AS USUAL DURING THE NIGHT, IT REMLAINS FLUCTUATING ABOVE THE LLCC, VERY POORLY SPREADED IN THE NORTHERN PART AND STILL NOT WELL ORGANIZED. THE INTENSITY RTEMAINS WEAK, BETWEEN 2.0+ AND 2.5-.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:52 2003 X-UIDL: 48945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006AHRB11W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 04:52:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KrNLT006692 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 04:53:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUEf078480; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:42:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 103946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:42:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KgND1086894 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:42:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6KgKec009223 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:42:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6KgKS4009222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:42:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:42:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312062042.hB6KgKS4009222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 12.5S8 59.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5S8 59.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 13.2S6 57.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.6S0 56.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.7S1 54.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 13.6S0 52.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.7S0 58.7E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION IS INCREASING SLIGHTLY IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE OVER A WELL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SLOW BUT STEADY INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE EXPECTATION THAT TC 03S WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND WBAI ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 AND 072100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:52 2003 X-UIDL: 48946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006GATSB1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 05:45:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LktlS046653 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 05:46:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LWJDF008282; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 104796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LdVD1037486 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6LdVec009823 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6LdVpr009821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312062139.hB6LdVpr009821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/062100Z-071800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061951ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061800Z5, TC 03S, LOCATED NEAR 12.5S8 59.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 062100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 8.0S8 93.1E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 93.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 303 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION IS INCREASING RAPIDLY OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. BASED ON INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 2.A.(1) AND UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1). 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:52 2003 X-UIDL: 48947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH0065FTTE5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 05:46:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LlYlS046701 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 05:47:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7GF058644; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 104793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LdVD1048366 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6LdVec009822 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6LdVdk009820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:39:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312062139.hB6LdVdk009820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/062100Z-071800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061951ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061800Z5, TC 03S, LOCATED NEAR 12.5S8 59.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 062100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 8.0S8 93.1E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 93.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 303 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION IS INCREASING RAPIDLY OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. BASED ON INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 2.A.(1) AND UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1). 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:53 2003 X-UIDL: 48948-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH0065YTUP5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 05:47:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LmOLT011607 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 05:48:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7GN058644; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:45:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 104880 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:45:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LjDD1030816 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:45:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6LjDec009902 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:45:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6LjD66009901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:45:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:45:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312062145.hB6LjD66009901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 062144 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 06 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 06/1800 UTC... ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM WEST OF 28N140W TO 26N120W TO 20N110W S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 06/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N84W 3N90W 4N100W 7N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 125W-131W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 131W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:54 2003 X-UIDL: 48951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006CPUE15K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 05:58:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LxxLT012345 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:00:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUHt078480; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:52:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 104957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:52:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LqUD1049536 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:52:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6LqUec009974 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:52:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6LqUEu009973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:52:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:52:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312062152.hB6LqUEu009973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 062152 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 6 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 23N161W 20N172W MOVED NORTH-NORTHWEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ALSO...BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 24N140W 24N150W 23N160W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W... WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N180 05N167W 08N160W 09N140W 05N140W 06N155W 02N170W EQ180 09N180 HAVE BEEN MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SHEAR LINE/UPPER TROUGH. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH 1...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF 180...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09S180 07S176W 14S174W 14S178W 12S178E 09S177E 09S180 HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. CZ/SURFACE TROUGH 2...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11S170W 15S165W 21S170W 20S173W 15S173W 11S170W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 23S141E 25S137E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH 2. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:55 2003 X-UIDL: 48954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI006W800Q5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:00:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB701aXl010271 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:01:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUK9078480; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 17:50:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 106093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 17:50:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6NodD1072810 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 17:50:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6Nodec011288 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 17:50:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6NodMO011287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 17:50:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 17:50:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312062350.hB6NodMO011287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS21 PGTW 062330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 062321ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 145 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.4S1 93.1E3 TO 9.6S5 97.6E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 062030Z1 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 93.8E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8.0S8 93.1E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 93.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 303 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE RAPIDLY OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. BASED ON CONTINUED INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 072330Z5.// NNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:55 2003 X-UIDL: 48955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI0063V0FT5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:09:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB70AdXl011198 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:10:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUKT078480; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 106240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB701iD1050740 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB701iec011413 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB701imU011411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070001.hB701imU011411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 070000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/062330Z-071800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061951ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/ NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/062321ZDEC2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061800Z5, TC 03S, LOCATED NEAR 12.5S8 59.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 062100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8.0S8 93.1E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 93.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 303 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE RAPIDLY OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 062330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUED INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1)TO GOOD. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:56 2003 X-UIDL: 48956-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI0064M0GP5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:10:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB70BBBi012861 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:11:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LWJFj008282; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 106243 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB701iD1022312 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB701iec011414 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB701iTS011412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:01:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070001.hB701iTS011412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 070000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/062330Z-071800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061951ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/ NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/062321ZDEC2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061800Z5, TC 03S, LOCATED NEAR 12.5S8 59.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 062100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 8.0S8 93.1E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 93.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 303 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE RAPIDLY OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 062330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUED INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1)TO GOOD. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:56 2003 X-UIDL: 48958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI006XC1F61W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:30:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB70VqBi014955 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:31:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBULP078480; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:22:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 106581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:22:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB70MSD1024746 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:22:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB70MSec011657 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:22:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB70MSUR011655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:22:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 18:22:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070022.hB70MSUR011655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 070000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 07/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 58.6E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/07 AT 12 UTC: 13.3S / 57.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/08 AT 00 UTC: 13.6S / 55.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN PART, UNDER THE CONVECTION AND DUE TO INCREASING GRADIENT WITH THE HIGH SUBTROPICAL PRESSURES. THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. THERE IS NO SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:57 2003 X-UIDL: 48960-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI006D834F5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 09:07:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB718bBi018941 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 09:08:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUM5078480; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 19:00:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 106863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 19:00:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB710KD1081918 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 19:00:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB710Kec012057 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 19:00:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB710KE7012055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 19:00:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 19:00:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070100.hB710KE7012055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 070000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 8/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/07 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.8S / 58.6E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/07 12 UTC: 13.3S/57.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/08 00 UTC: 13.6S/55.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/08 12 UTC: 13.7S/54.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/09 00 UTC: 13.6S/52.6E, MAX WIND=025KT. 60H: 2003/12/09 12 UTC: 13.3S/51.4E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 72H: 2003/12/10 00 UTC: 13.0S/50.1E, MAX WIND=020KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.5- NOCTURN CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AS USUAL ABOVE THE CENTRE, WITH A BIG CDO BADLY DEFINED. IT REMAINS CYCLING AND BADLY ORGANIZED, AND THE SYSTEM SHOWS FEW SIGNS OF A WEAK TO MODERATE NORTNORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (ACCORDING TO IR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CIMSS DATA). THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION FORCASTED DUE TO LOW LEVEL FEEDING FLOWS WICH REMAIN WEAK : IN THE NORTHERN PART, THE MONSOON FLOW IS POORLY ESTABLISHED, AND IT SHOULD WEAKEN AGAIN DURING NEXT DAYS, AND IN THE SOUTHERN PART, THE TRADE WINDS FLOW IS ONLY MODERATE AT THE EXTREM NORTHWESTERN ED GE OF A WEAK RIDGE LOCATED FAR IN THE SOUTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK WESTSOUTHWESTWARD, THEN MORE WESTWARD AND WESTNORTHWESTWARD AT MEDIUM RANGE WITH THE BUILDING OF A WEAK MID MEVEL HIGH OVER MASCAREIGNES AREA.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:00 2003 X-UIDL: 48968-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI006509CL86@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:21:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB73N7Bi032104 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:23:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7LX058644; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:15:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 108003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:15:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB73FkD1077892 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:15:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB73Fkec013244 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:15:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB73FkAY013243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:15:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:15:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070315.hB73FkAY013243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS32 PGTW 070300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/062321ZDEC2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 7.6S3 95.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.6S3 95.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 7.7S4 97.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 8.6S4 97.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 10.1S2 97.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 11.7S9 97.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 7.6S3 95.9E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND AN UNFLAGGED QUIKSCAT REPORT OF 30 AND 40 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS INCREASED RAPIDLY IN BOTH INTENSITY AND COVERAGE OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER LEVELS SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL DIRECTIONS. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY IN A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INITIALLY TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AND THEN TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AS IT DEEPENS AND BECOMES MORE INFLUENCED BY A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE LIMITED AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF ONLY NCEP GFS AND WBAI ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 8 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 062321Z DEC 2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 062330). NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 AND 080300Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:01 2003 X-UIDL: 48969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI006KMALS1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:49:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB73oDXl031337 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:50:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUPT078480; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:45:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 108283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:45:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB73jtD1014992 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:45:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB73jtec013503 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:45:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB73jtCH013502 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:45:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 21:45:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070345.hB73jtCH013502@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 070345 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 07 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/0000 UTC... ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM WEST OF 27N140W TO 26N117W NEAR THE BAJA PENINSULA. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N84W 3N90W 4N100W 7N120W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:03 2003 X-UIDL: 48973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI0064IG2B1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 13:47:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB75mABi045883 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 13:48:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUQx078480; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:39:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 108892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:39:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB75dwD1038912 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:39:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB75dwec014384 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:39:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB75dwLO014382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:39:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:39:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070539.hB75dwLO014382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z-080600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:04 2003 X-UIDL: 48975-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI0069GI965K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:34:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB76ZSBi050083 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:35:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUSD078480; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:29:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 109554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:29:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB76TRD1087914 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:29:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB76TRec014826 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:29:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB76TRhq014824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:29:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:29:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 07/12/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070629.hB76TRhq014824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO22 FMEE 070600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 9/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 07/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 57.8E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/07 AT 18 UTC: 13.4S / 57.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/08 AT 06 UTC: 13.6S / 55.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS RETAKE LAST NIGHT IN SOUTHERN PART OF THE LOW LEVEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:04 2003 X-UIDL: 48976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI0067SIFW1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:38:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB76dQXl046591 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:39:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUSH078480; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:32:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 109570 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:32:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB76WYD1087948 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:32:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB76WYec014885 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:32:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB76WYm9014883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:32:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 00:32:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070632.hB76WYm9014883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 070600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/07 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 57.8E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/07 18 UTC: 13.4S/57.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/08 06 UTC: 13.6S/55.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/08 18 UTC: 13.6S/53.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/09 06 UTC: 13.3S/52.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/09 18 UTC: 13.2S/50.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 72H: 2003/12/10 06 UTC: 12.9S/49.8E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:04 2003 X-UIDL: 48978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI006WINFP1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:26:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB78RLBi060162 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:27:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7O1058644; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:16:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 109957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:16:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB78GJD1038928 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:16:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB78GJec015573 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:16:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB78GJ4O015572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:16:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:16:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070816.hB78GJ4O015572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 070900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 13.1S5 57.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 57.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.5S9 56.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.6S0 54.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 13.6S0 53.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 13.6S0 51.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 13.2S6 57.5E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTH OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. A 070458Z4 SSM/I DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY WHILE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND WBAI ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 AND 080900Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:05 2003 X-UIDL: 48983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI0064KRVH86@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:02:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7A3BXl064509 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:03:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUTf078480; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 03:55:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 110443 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 03:55:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB79tcD1048134 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 03:55:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB79tcec016498 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 03:55:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB79tbFu016497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 03:55:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 03:55:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070955.hB79tbFu016497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 070955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N140W 07N147W AND MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 05 KT WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N153W 06N157W MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 10 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. OCCASIONAL CB...WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 09N159W 04N180 06N174E AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL LOW...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 23N160W 23N165W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 23N169W 19N174W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEAR LINE/SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 21S140W 24S135W MOVED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 16S149W 16S145W 19S143W 19S147W MOVED EAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16S157W 17S162W 18S165W MOVED EAST AT 15 KT AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15S173W 14S180 MOVED SOUTHWEST AT 05 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 16S171W 19S169W MOVED EAST AT 05 KT WITH LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:07 2003 X-UIDL: 48985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI006GXSEN86@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:13:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7AEhBi070065 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:14:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7On058644; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 04:04:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 110493 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 04:04:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7A4pD1052192 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 04:04:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7A4pec016584 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 04:04:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7A4pTS016583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 04:04:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 04:04:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312071004.hB7A4pTS016583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 071004 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 07 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/0600 UTC... ..RIDGE 18N108W 25N127W BEYOND 27N140W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IN EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 6N90W 6N110W 7N120W 8N127W 8N133W 7N140W. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 117W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N TO 10N BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND PANAMA COASTS AND 80W...AND WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 5N92W 7N87W 8N83W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:08 2003 X-UIDL: 48990-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI008G4YDJHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:22:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7CNYBi081831 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:23:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUVB078480; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:18:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 111259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:18:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7CIDD1014938 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:18:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7CIDec017701 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:18:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7CIDcD017699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:18:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:18:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312071218.hB7CIDcD017699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 071200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 10/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 07/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 57.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/08 AT 00 UTC: 13.4S / 56.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/08 AT 12 UTC: 13.6S / 54.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM NO INTENSIFYING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:09 2003 X-UIDL: 48991-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI008O5YLIHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:27:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7CSJBi082176 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:28:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUVD078480; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:22:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 111286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:22:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7CMJD1086930 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:22:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7CMJec017749 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:22:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7CMJ5I017747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:22:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 06:22:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312071222.hB7CMJ5I017747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 071200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 10/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/07 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.1S / 57.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/08 00 UTC: 13.4S/56.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/08 12 UTC: 13.6S/54.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/09 00 UTC: 13.5S/52.7E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/09 12 UTC: 13.3S/51.7E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/10 00 UTC: 13.1S/50.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/12/10 12 UTC: 12.8S/49.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:11 2003 X-UIDL: 48995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ0085K6BPHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 23:14:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7FFMXl091625 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 23:15:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7RP058644; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 09:10:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 09:10:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7FAXD1027232 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 09:10:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7FAXec019095 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 09:10:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7FAX6q019094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 09:10:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 09:10:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312071510.hB7FAX6q019094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 071510 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 07 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1200 UTC... ..1023 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 29N134W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 20N110W. ..DISSIPATING FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS SW OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST TO THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE AREA ALONG 32N126W 32N134W. ..HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N84W 5N94W 7N100W 6N108W 8N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA BETWEEN 2N-8N. SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-86W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 92W-98W AND 109W-119W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 124W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 11N-13N BETWEEN 109W-114W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:27:58 2003 X-UIDL: 48997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ008AGEIYHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:11:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7ICWXl012019 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:12:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUd1078480; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 114354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7I7mD1039020 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7I7nec020791 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7I7mcS020789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312071807.hB7I7mcS020789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z-081800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3, TC 03S, LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 57.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTH OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 070900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 071200Z0, TC 04S (JANA), LOCATED NEAR 7.8S5 96.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTH OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTX32 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 93.8E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(2) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:15 2003 X-UIDL: 48998-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ008CVEKTHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:12:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7IDaXl012091 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:13:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7Tv058644; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 114351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7I7mD1016434 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7I7mec020790 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7I7mSv020788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:07:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312071807.hB7I7mSv020788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 071800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/071800Z-081800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071351ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070600Z3, TC 03S, LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 57.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM NORTH OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 070900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 071200Z0, TC 04S (JANA), LOCATED NEAR 7.8S5 96.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTH OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTX32 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1S9 93.8E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(2) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:16 2003 X-UIDL: 48999-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ0084IF4ZHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:24:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7IPfBi023079 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:25:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUdB078480; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:18:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 114494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:18:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7IIND1039136 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:18:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7IINec020902 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:18:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7IINJT020900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:18:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:18:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312071818.hB7IINJT020900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 071800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 011/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 07/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 57.1E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TP 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25/30KT AND ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/08 AT 06 UTC: 13.6S / 55.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/08 AT 18 UTC: 13.3S / 52.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS INTENSIFYING ONCE MORE IN THE EVENING, THE CENTRE IS STILL UNDER THE NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION, DUE TO A WEAK TO MODERATE NORTHESATERLY CONSTRAINT PREVENDING FROM DEVELOPPING THE SYSTEM FOR THE MOMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:16 2003 X-UIDL: 49000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ0081XFUSHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:40:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7IfCBi025259 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:41:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUdZ078480; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:31:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 114675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:31:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7IVgD1036402 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:31:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7IVgec021041 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:31:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7IVgKH021039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:31:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:31:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312071831.hB7IVgKH021039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 071800 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 011/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 07/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 57.1E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND LOCALLY UP TP 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25/30KT AND ROUGH SEAS REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/08 AT 06 UTC: 13.6S / 55.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/08 AT 18 UTC: 13.6S / 54.7E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS INTENSIFYING ONCE MORE IN THE EVENING, THE CENTRE IS STILL UNDER THE NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION, DUE TO A WEAK TO MODERATE NORTHESATERLY CONSTRAINT PREVENDING FROM DEVELOPPING THE SYSTEM FOR THE MOMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:19 2003 X-UIDL: 49002-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ008LRG8VHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:48:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7InfBi026193 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:49:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1DF048284; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:41:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 114871 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:41:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7IfuD1086960 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:41:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7Ifuec021182 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:41:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7IftZm021180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:41:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 12:41:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312071841.hB7IftZm021180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 071800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 11/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/07 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 57.1E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 180 SO: 180 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/08 06 UTC: 13.6S/55.9E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/08 18 UTC: 13.6S/54.7E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/09 06 UTC: 13.6S/53.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/09 18 UTC: 13.5S/52.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/10 06 UTC: 13.2S/50.9E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2003/12/10 18 UTC: 12.9S/49.9E OVERLAND. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS INTENSIFYING ONCE MORE IN THE EVENING, THE CENTRE IS STILL UNDER THE NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION, DUE TO A WEAK TO MODERATE NORTHESATERLY CONSTRAINT PREVENDING FROM DEVELOPPING THE SYSTEM FOR THE MOMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:24 2003 X-UIDL: 49009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ0086ZKLLHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:22:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7KNiBi036329 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:23:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1G5048284; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:15:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 116217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:15:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7KFwD1009548 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:15:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7KFwec022257 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:15:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7KFwvU022256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:15:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:15:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312072015.hB7KFwvU022256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 072100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 13.5S9 56.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 56.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.5S9 55.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 13.4S8 54.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 13.3S7 52.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.2S6 50.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.5S9 56.5E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTH OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT REPORT OF AN UNFLAGGED 35 KNOT WIND. A 071733Z1 SSM/I DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY WHILE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. TC 03S SHOULD WEAKEN SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW IS REDUCED IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT BY INTERACTION WITH THE MADAGASCAR COASTLINE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND WBAI ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 AND 082100Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:28 2003 X-UIDL: 49014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ008YYPFXHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:07:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7M8KXl034508 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:08:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1IF048284; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:00:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 117095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:00:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7M0sD1017614 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:00:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7M0sec023253 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:00:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7M0s77023252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:00:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:00:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312072200.hB7M0s77023252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 072200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 07 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB/TOWERING CU WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 24N157W 18N173W. ITCZ...NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 06N140W 07N150W 06N162W. NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB CROSS THE DATELINE AND ARE BOUNDED BY 09N170W 06N169W 04N180 01N176E 05N175E. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE UPPER TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE UPPER TROUGH MENTIONED ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SHEARLINE/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 15S170W 18S164W MOVED NE 10KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 16S160W 15S157W 17S158W. M BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:29 2003 X-UIDL: 49015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ0091OPN4K2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:11:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7MCdXl034888 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:12:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7Zf058644; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:05:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 117133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:05:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7M5BD1024822 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:05:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7M5Bec023287 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:05:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7M5BhC023286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:05:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:05:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312072205.hB7M5BhC023286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 072204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 07 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 07/1800 UTC... ..1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 36N135W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 20N110W. ..TROUGH IS SW OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST ALONG 34N121W 30N129W. ..HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 07/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 5N95W 7N100W 6N110W 8N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 124W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:34 2003 X-UIDL: 49027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ009KEVUOK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:25:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB80QlBi060341 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:26:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1OT048284; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:17:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 118940 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:17:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB80HaD1031670 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:17:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB80Haec024487 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:17:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB80HZjE024485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:17:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:17:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080017.hB80HZjE024485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 080000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 012/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 08/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 996 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.7S / 56.2E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE AND UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/08 AT 12 UTC: 13.8S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 00 UTC: 13.7S / 53.4E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE NORTHESATERLY CONSTRAINT SEEMS TO WEAKEN A LITTLE, SO THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION SHOWS A BETTER ORGANIZATION LAST HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:34 2003 X-UIDL: 49029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ0092NW7ZK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:33:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB80YkXl047769 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:34:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LWJT3008282; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB80RuD1044860 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB80Ruec024605 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB80RuSR024600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080027.hB80RuSR024600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 080000 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 12/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/08 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.7S / 56.2E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 996 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 32 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 180 SO: 180 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/08 12 UTC: 13.8S/54.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 24H: 2003/12/09 00 UTC: 13.7S/53.4E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/09 12 UTC: 13.6S/52.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/10 00 UTC: 13.3S/50.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/12/10 12 UTC: 13.1S/49.3E OVERLAND. 72H: 2003/12/11 00 UTC: 13.0S/48.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE NORTHESATERLY CONSTRAINT SEEMS TO WEAKEN A LITTLE, SO THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION SHOWS A BETTER ORGANIZATION LAST HOURS. THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN PART OF MADAGASCAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:34 2003 X-UIDL: 49030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ0096RW93K2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:34:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB80ZQXl047877 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7IcPnH078484; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB80RuD1019612 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB80Ruec024603 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB80Rt8v024597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 18:27:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080027.hB80Rt8v024597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 080000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 12/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 2.A POSITION 2003/12/08 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.7S / 56.2E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 996 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 32 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 180 SO: 180 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/08 12 UTC: 13.8S/54.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 24H: 2003/12/09 00 UTC: 13.7S/53.4E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/09 12 UTC: 13.6S/52.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/10 00 UTC: 13.3S/50.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/12/10 12 UTC: 13.1S/49.3E OVERLAND. 72H: 2003/12/11 00 UTC: 13.0S/48.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE NORTHESATERLY CONSTRAINT SEEMS TO WEAKEN A LITTLE, SO THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION SHOWS A BETTER ORGANIZATION LAST HOURS. THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN PART OF MADAGASCAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:41 2003 X-UIDL: 49044-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK00AFN23EKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 10:40:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB82fZBi075797 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 10:41:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6LWJVD008282; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:32:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:32:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB82WfD1019622 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:32:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB82Wfec025844 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:32:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB82Wf16025843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:32:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:32:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080232.hB82Wf16025843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS32 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 8.2S0 97.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM REPEAT POSIT: 8.2S0 97.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 8.8S6 97.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 9.9S8 97.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 11.2S4 97.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 12.6S9 97.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 8.4S2 97.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (JANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM NORTH OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TC 04S HAS NOW INTENSIFIED TO TYPHOON STRENGTH WITH TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING FEATURES EVIDENT IN THE DATA. TC 04S CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO NOW TRACK MORE POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, EGRR, GFDN AND WBAI ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. HOWEVER, NOGAPS RECURVES TC 04S MUCH SOONER THAN THE OTHER MODELS DUE TO A FORECASTED STRONGER STEERING RIDGE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 AND 090300Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:42 2003 X-UIDL: 49048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK00AEH4Z4KI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:42:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB83hpXl068919 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1Sr048284; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 21:38:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 21:38:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB83cPD1030792 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 21:38:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB83cPec026493 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 21:38:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB83cPND026492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 21:38:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 21:38:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080338.hB83cPND026492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 080338 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 08 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0000 UTC... ..1024 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 37N133W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE TO NEAR 25N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 5N95W 7N100W 6N110W 8N125W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 120W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:46 2003 X-UIDL: 49056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK00AIZC5YKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:17:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB86J9Xl089132 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:19:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7i5058644; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:13:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:13:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB86DLD1086798 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:13:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB86DLec027800 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:13:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB86DLMV027798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:13:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:13:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080613.hB86DLMV027798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 080600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 13/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/08 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.6S / 55.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 MOINS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/08 18 UTC: 13.3S/53.5E, MAX WIND=035KT. 24H: 2003/12/09 06 UTC: 13.1S/52.2E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/09 18 UTC: 13.0S/50.8E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/10 06 UTC: 12.9S/49.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/10 18 UTC: 13.0S/47.9E, MAX WIND=025KT, OVERLAND. 72H: 2003/12/11 06 UTC: 13.1S/46.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0-. TRE PRESENCE OF ARCH OF CIRRUS, VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, CONFIRM THE PERSISTANCE OF WEAK TO MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:46 2003 X-UIDL: 49057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK009ZDCDPK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:22:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB86NkBi005364 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:23:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1Xj048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:12:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:12:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB86CKD1087038 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:12:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB86CKec027783 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:12:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB86CKKH027781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:12:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 00:12:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080612.hB86CKKH027781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 080600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 013/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 08/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.6S / 55.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WTHIN A 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/08 AT 18 UTC: 13.3S / 53.5E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 06 UTC: 13.1S / 52.2E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:47 2003 X-UIDL: 49060-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK00ACQGH3KI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:51:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB87qDXl000209 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:52:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1YR048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 01:47:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 01:47:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB87lpD1022524 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 01:47:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB87lpec028546 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 01:47:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB87lpEf028544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 01:47:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 01:47:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080747.hB87lpEf028544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 080600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 13/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/08 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.6S / 55.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 MOINS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/08 18 UTC: 13.3S/53.5E, MAX WIND=035KT . 24H: 2003/12/09 06 UTC: 13.1S/52.2E, MAX WIND=035KT . 36H: 2003/12/09 18 UTC: 13.0S/50.8E, MAX WIND=040KT . 48H: 2003/12/10 06 UTC: 12.9S/49.3E, MAX WIND=030KT , OVERLAND. 60H: 2003/12/10 18 UTC: 13.0S/47.9E, MAX WIND=025KT . 72H: 2003/12/11 06 UTC: 13.1S/46.5E, MAX WIND=030KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0-. TRE PRESENCE OF ARCH OF CIRRUS, VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, CONFIRM THE PERSISTANCE OF WEAK TO MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:49 2003 X-UIDL: 49063-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK009MUHNNK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 16:16:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB88HkXl003143 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 16:17:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7iT058644; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:05:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:05:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB885PD1087980 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:05:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB885Pec028733 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:05:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB885P94028732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:05:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:05:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080805.hB885P94028732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 080900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 13.5S9 54.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 54.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 13.4S8 53.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 13.3S7 51.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.4S8 50.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.6S0 49.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION NEAR 13.5S9 54.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM EAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, BUT WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD TOWARD MADAGASCAR AND MAKE LANDFALL IN 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 24 HOURS WHILE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND WBAI ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 AND 090900Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:52 2003 X-UIDL: 49074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK00AN0MSQKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:07:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8A8mBi034040 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:08:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1ZP048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:01:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123222 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:01:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8A1QD1103716 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:01:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8A1Qec000005 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:01:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8A1QTL000004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:01:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:01:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081001.hB8A1QTL000004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 081001 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 8 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 27N168W 21N157W 18N170W 23N173W 27N168W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 07N180 09N169W 09N155W HAVE MOVED WEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE UPPER TROUGH/SURFACE TROUGH MENTIONED IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE UPPER TROUGH/SURFACE TROUGH MENTIONED IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...WITH WEAK SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR 16S172W...HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15S163W 15S147W 25S153W 22S166W 15S163W THAT HAVE SOUTHEAST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. COLD FRONT...HAS ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 20S135W 23S130W 25S129W HAVE MOVED EAST 10 KT AND HAVE DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:53 2003 X-UIDL: 49075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK00AVLMWZKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:10:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8ABLXl017330 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:11:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1ZX048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:06:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:06:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8A6PD1022428 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:06:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8A6Pec000049 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:06:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8A6PSj000045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:06:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:06:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081006.hB8A6PSj000045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 080600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 13/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/08 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.6S / 55.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 MOINS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/08 18 UTC: 13.3S/53.5E, MAX WIND=035KT . 24H: 2003/12/09 06 UTC: 13.1S/52.2E, MAX WIND=035KT . 36H: 2003/12/09 18 UTC: 13.0S/50.8E, MAX WIND=040KT . 48H: 2003/12/10 06 UTC: 12.9S/49.3E, MAX WIND=030KT , OVERLAND. 60H: 2003/12/10 18 UTC: 13.0S/47.9E, MAX WIND=025KT . 72H: 2003/12/11 06 UTC: 13.1S/46.5E, MAX WIND=030KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0-. TRE PRESENCE OF ARCH OF CIRRUS, VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, CONFIRM THE PERSISTANCE OF WEAK TO MODERATE NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:53 2003 X-UIDL: 49076-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK009BLMXGK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:10:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8ABaBi034512 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:11:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1ZR048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:02:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:02:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8A2MD1103734 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:02:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8A2Mec000018 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:02:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8A2MvY000017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:02:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:02:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081002.hB8A2MvY000017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 081002 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 08 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/0600 UTC... ..RIDGE FROM 20N110W TO 25N125W TO 1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 35N129W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 8N78W 7N90W 7N100W 6N110W 8N126W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 119W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 86W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS WITHIN 90-150 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF ENTIRE AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NO OTHER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:54 2003 X-UIDL: 49080-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK0099BSXFK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:20:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8CL1Xl032859 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:21:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1aR048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:15:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:15:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8CFKD1055238 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:15:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8CFKec001143 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:15:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8CFJdk001141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:15:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:15:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081215.hB8CFJdk001141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 081200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 08/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 54.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WTHIN A 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 00 UTC: 13.1S / 52.2E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 12 UTC: 13.0S / 50.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED DURING THE DAY BUT IT SHOULD REBUILT FOR THE NEXT NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:54 2003 X-UIDL: 49081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK009CET1JK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:22:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8CNeXl033189 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:23:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1ab048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:17:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123765 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:17:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8CHND1031698 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:17:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8CHNec001179 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:17:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8CHMDH001177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:17:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:17:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081217.hB8CHMDH001177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 081200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 14/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/08 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 54.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/09 00 UTC: 13.1S/52.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/12/09 12 UTC: 13.0S/50.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/10 00 UTC: 12.9S/48.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/12/10 12 UTC: 13.4S/47.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/11 00 UTC: 13.9S/46.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/12/11 12 UTC: 14.5S/45.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5 CI=3.0-. WITH A DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, CYCLING CONVECTION SHOULD REBUILT AGAIN FOR THE NEXT NIGHT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:55 2003 X-UIDL: 49082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK009E5T3CK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:23:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8COhBi050708 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:24:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1ad048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:18:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123781 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:18:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8CIOD1030180 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:18:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8CIOec001200 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:18:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8CIOsj001198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:18:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 06:18:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081218.hB8CIOsj001198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 081200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 08/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 54.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WTHIN A 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 00 UTC: 13.1S / 52.2E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 12 UTC: 13.0S / 50.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED DURING THE DAY BUT IT SHOULD REBUILT FOR THE NEXT NI +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:32 2003 X-UIDL: 49263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00GCNJEABY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:44:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBACjgBi026254 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:45:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pBR048284; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 06:37:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 156699 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 06:37:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBACbuD1024832 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 06:37:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBACbunN002435 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 06:37:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBACbup2002433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 06:37:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 06:37:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312101237.hBACbup2002433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 101200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 22/3/20032004 1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/10 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.5S / 45.0E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1005 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/11 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING. THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY REMAINS STRONG IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:34 2003 X-UIDL: 49265-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00KFOND49F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:10:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAEBQBi035808 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:11:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAE2NDj048284; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:04:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 157502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:04:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAE3wD1055664 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:03:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBAE3wnN003708 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:03:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBAE3vdO003707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:03:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:03:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312101403.hBAE3vdO003707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS32 PGTW 101500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 15.0S6 98.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0S6 98.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.6S2 97.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 16.0S7 96.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.2S9 95.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.4S1 93.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.2S8 98.2E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (JANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 101005Z7 TRMM PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. THE TRMM PASS REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION AND THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO ENCOUNTER NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING SLOWLY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT STAYS IN AN UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND DECREASED UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AS THE STEERING INFLUENCE CONTINUES TO SHIFT FROM THE MID LEVEL RIDGE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM TO THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF GFDN, NCEP GFS, TLAPS, TCLAPS, NOGAPS, EGRR, AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 AND 111500Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNINGS ON THAT SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:46 2003 X-UIDL: 49273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00KV3S5F9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:53:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFspXl099313 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:54:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrDf009976; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 09:48:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 159024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 09:48:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFmHD1060048 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 09:48:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBAFmHnN006561 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 09:48:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBAFmH8L006560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 09:48:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 09:48:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312101548.hBAFmH8L006560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 101548 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 10 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/1200 UTC... ..WEAKENING COLD FRONT IS THROUGH 32N120 TO 24N128W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS ELSEWHERE N OF 16N W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N105W 8N120W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 2N TO 6N E OF 82W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W AND 98W...AND BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:49 2003 X-UIDL: 49277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00KA4XTT9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 01:56:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAHvRBi067586 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 01:57:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBABo4Jf012390; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 160526 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAHpHD1020516 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBAHpHnN010470 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBAHpHcK010468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312101751.hBAHpHcK010468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z-111800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101351ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.6N8 90.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 90.1E0, APPROXIMATELY 660 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. SURFACE ANALYSIS AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THERE ARE MULTIPLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD TROUGH ENHANCED BY STRONG EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES AND NORTHEAST MONSOON FLOW NORTH OF THE AREA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND UNORGANIZED CONVECTION NEAR THE TROUGH. UPPER ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER A FAVORABLE AREA OF DIFFLUENCE AND UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7, TC 03S (CELA), LOCATED NEAR 14.1S6 47.2E3, MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 100900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) AT 101200Z4, TC 04S (JANA), LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 98.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTX32 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:50 2003 X-UIDL: 49279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00KN7XZJ9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 01:59:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAI0tBi068099 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:00:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrIh009976; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 160529 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAHpHD1085758 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBAHpHnN010471 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBAHpHqp010469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:51:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312101751.hBAHpHqp010469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/101800Z-111800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101351ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.6N8 90.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 90.1E0, APPROXIMATELY 660 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. SURFACE ANALYSIS AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THERE ARE MULTIPLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD TROUGH ENHANCED BY STRONG EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES AND NORTHEAST MONSOON FLOW NORTH OF THE AREA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND UNORGANIZED CONVECTION NEAR THE TROUGH. UPPER ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER A FAVORABLE AREA OF DIFFLUENCE AND UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7, TC 03S (CELA), LOCATED NEAR 14.1S6 47.2E3, MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 100900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) AT 101200Z4, TC 04S (JANA), LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 98.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTX32 PGTW 101500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:51 2003 X-UIDL: 49281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00KRAZLI9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:34:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAIZcXl020375 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:35:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrKJ009976; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:28:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 161092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:28:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAISrD1009578 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:28:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBAISrnN011457 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:28:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBAISq72011455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:28:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:28:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312101828.hBAISq72011455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 101800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 23/3/20032004 1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/10 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.6S / 44.4E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 1.5/1.5 /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1005 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/11 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY PERSISTS NEAR THE CENTRE WICH IS FILLING UP AND IS RAPIDLY TRACKING NEAR MALAGASY COATS SOUTHWESTWARD. HEAVY RANFALLS EXTEND UP TO 150 NM FROM THE RESIDUAL CENTRE, AND MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HEAVY RAINFALLS OCCUR ALSO ON A LARGE PART OF MADAGASCAR, AROUND AN AXIS FROM BESALAMPY TO TOLANARO. THOSE RAINFALLS, ALSO DUE TO A TROUGH PASSING SOUTH OF THE ISLAND, SHOULD MAINTAIN TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AT LEAST. LAST WARNING ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:57 2003 X-UIDL: 49292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00KVN7YU9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 05:35:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBALaUXl042008 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 05:36:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrRv009976; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:26:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 164253 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:26:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBALQqD1048750 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBALQqnN016791 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:26:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBALQpUS016790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:26:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:26:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312102126.hBALQpUS016790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 102126 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 10 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/1800 UTC... ..LARGE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1032 HIGH CENTERED W OF THE AREA NEAR 34N146W SEWD TO THE S BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N88W 5N100W 9N120W 6N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 3N-6N BETWEEN 78W-83W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-7N BETWEEN 83W-90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 92W-97W AND FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 134W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 225 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 10N120W TO THE W COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 26N108W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:58 2003 X-UIDL: 49295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00KSI9IC9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 06:08:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAM9mBi002268 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 06:09:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrSh009976; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:52:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 164482 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:52:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBALqaD1027222 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:52:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBALqanN017572 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:52:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBALqZ34017571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:52:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 15:52:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312102152.hBALqZ34017571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 102100 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING REGENERATED// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 15.2S8 45.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 45.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.0S7 44.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.9S6 43.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.6S4 43.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.5S4 42.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.4S0 44.8E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO REGENERATE OVER THE OLD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF TC 03S. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS FOR TC 03S TO LINK UP WITH THE MAJOR SHORTWAVE TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST, MAKE LANDFALL IN WESTERN MADAGASCAR AND CEASE TO EXIST AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THE LIMITED AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS AND NCEP GFS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NEITHER MODEL FORECASTS THE SYSTEM TO REMAIN AT WARNING LEVEL STRENGTH. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 08 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 AND 112100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:58 2003 X-UIDL: 49296-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00K989QB9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 06:13:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAMEZXl046621 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 06:14:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrTH009976; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:00:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 164619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:00:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAM0qD1099366 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:00:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBAM0pnN017860 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:00:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBAM0pKS017859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:00:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:00:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312102200.hBAM0pKS017859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 102200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...NEAR 15N177W...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N176W 12N176W 14N177W 16N176W THAT HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE FROM 07N140W TO 08N150W TO 06N160W TO 04N172W MOVED WEST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...WITH WEAK LOW NEAR 22S150W...HAS ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 10S165W 13S160W 19S165W 15S175W 10S165W WHICH WAS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE.... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 10S155W TO 12S151W MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:35:36 2003 X-UIDL: 49395-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR000T41KPIB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 05:12:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBLDZXl001917 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 05:13:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWMv077242; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:56:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 184003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:56:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBKulD1105488 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:56:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBKulnN011929 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:56:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBKul37011928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:56:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:56:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312112056.hBBKul37011928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 112100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 15.7S3 43.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S3 43.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.8S4 43.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.1S8 43.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.4S1 43.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.1S9 42.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.7S3 43.8E5. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO INCREASE WITH BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW EVIDENT. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 03S SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGGR, GFDN, WBAI AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 08 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 AND 122100Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:35:44 2003 X-UIDL: 49398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR000YC3QDIB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 05:59:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBM0BXl007448 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:00:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIBJPr058266; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 15:43:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 184487 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 15:43:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBLhOD1034866 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 15:43:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBLhOnN013309 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 15:43:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBLhNuR013307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 15:43:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 15:43:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312112143.hBBLhNuR013307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 112143 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 11 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/1800 UTC... ..1030 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR WEST OF THE AREA NEAR 32N142W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE ALONG 29N130W 20N110W AND BROAD HIGH PRES NORTH OF 15N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/2115 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 7N100W 4N110W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE COAST OF PANAMA NORTH OF 5N BETWEEN 77W-84W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 160 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 84W-91W AND WITHIN 45 NM BETWEEN 95W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 118W-122W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:35:44 2003 X-UIDL: 49399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR000Q4478IE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:09:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBMAJXl008506 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:10:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWPr077242; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:01:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 184882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:01:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBM1GD1093218 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:01:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBM1GnN013876 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:01:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBM1Gri013875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:01:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:01:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312112201.hBBM1Gri013875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 112200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...NEAR 17N179E...WEST OF THE DATELINE...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN 250 NM EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF CENTER WHICH MOVED WEST AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 09N140W 07N160W 08N170W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. FRONT...EXTENDS NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST THROUGH 30N180. FRONT MOVING EAST 5 KT. PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...EXTENDING THROUGH LINE 30N172W 25N180 22N170E NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED TCU ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE ALSO NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN SIZE. BAND OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS LIES WITHIN 120 NM NORTHWEST OF CONVERGENCE ZONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... BROKEN CUMULUS AND ISOLATED TCU MOVED WEST AT 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW AND TROUGH...RELOCATED NEAR 25S140W AND NEARLY STATIONARY. WEAK TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW THROUGH 20N150W 18S160W 15S180. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF TROUGH BETWEEN 155W AND 172W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...LOW AND TROUGH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:35:52 2003 X-UIDL: 49405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR000GJAM9IB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:27:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC0SwBi006645 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:28:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWUH077242; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 18:20:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 186517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 18:20:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC0KYD1054188 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 18:20:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBC0KXnN016418 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 18:20:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBC0KXwp016416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 18:20:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 18:20:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312120020.hBC0KXwp016416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 120000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 26/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/12 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.5S / 44.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/12 12 UTC: 16.0S/44.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/13 00 UTC: 16.5S/43.6E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/12/13 12 UTC: 17.0S/43.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 48H: 2003/12/14 00 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Fri Dec 12 17:35:57 2003 X-UIDL: 49415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR00013F8JIB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 10:07:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC28iBi020474 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 10:08:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWVv077242; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 19:54:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 187239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 19:54:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC1snD1085372 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 19:54:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBC1snnN017695 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 19:54:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBC1snqs017694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 19:54:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 19:54:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312120154.hBC1snqs017694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS32 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 14.9S4 94.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 94.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.9S4 92.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.9S4 93.8E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (JANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION NO LONGER EXISTS OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH TC 04S. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT AND MARGINAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, EGRR, GFDN, TCLAPS, TLAPS, AND WBAI ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 14 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:36:04 2003 X-UIDL: 49420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR000YTIG7IB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 11:16:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC3I5Xl043510 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 11:18:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWXL077242; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:14:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 187694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:14:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC3EbD1093336 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:14:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBC3EbnN018493 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:14:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBC3EbcH018492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:14:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:14:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312120314.hBC3EbcH018492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 120314 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 12 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/0000 UTC... ..1030 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED WEST OF THE AREA NEAR 32N141W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SE PAST THE BAJA PENINSULA TO 25N108W IN NW MEXICO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N82W 6N100W 4N108W 8N128W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 100 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 81W-91W. WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 96W-98W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 129W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 11N-15N BETWEEN 117W-123W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:36:10 2003 X-UIDL: 49442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR000ZYQUEIE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:18:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC6JRBi052833 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:19:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWaN077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 00:13:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 189019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 00:13:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC6DAD1020544 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 00:13:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBC6DAnN020162 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 00:13:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBC6DACK020160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 00:13:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 00:13:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312120613.hBC6DACK020160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 27/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/12 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.2S / 44.2E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/12 18 UTC: 16.3S/44.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/13 06 UTC: 16.4S/43.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/12/13 18 UTC: 16.5S/43.7E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/14 06 UTC: 16.8S/43.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/14 18 UTC: 17.2S/43.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/12/15 06 UTC: 17.5S/43.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WEAK EVEN CONVECTION IS STILL PRESENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:36:12 2003 X-UIDL: 49450-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR000EUVKQIE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:00:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC81cXl074284 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:01:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWbn077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:55:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 189684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:55:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC7t0D1032132 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:55:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBC7sxnN020994 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:54:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBC7sxEi020992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:54:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:54:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312120754.hBC7sxEi020992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 120600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 27/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/12 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.2S / 44.2E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/12 18 UTC: 16.3S/44.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/13 06 UTC: 16.4S/43.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/12/13 18 UTC: 16.5S/43.7E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/14 06 UTC: 16.8S/43.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/14 18 UTC: 17.2S/43.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/12/15 06 UTC: 17.5S/43.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WEAK EVEN CONVECTION IS STILL PRESENT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:36:12 2003 X-UIDL: 49451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR000ZFVN5IB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:01:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC835Bi066295 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:03:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWbh077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:51:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 189620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:51:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC7pkD1024738 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:51:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBC7pknN020957 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:51:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBC7pjeI020956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:51:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:51:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312120751.hBC7pjeI020956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 120900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 15.9S5 43.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S5 43.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.0S7 43.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.3S0 43.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.8S5 43.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.4S2 43.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.9S5 43.9E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY WHILE THE SYSTEM REMAINS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IN THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, GFDN, AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 08 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 AND 130900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:22 2003 X-UIDL: 49459-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00GMID07BY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 18:26:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAARhBi011719 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 18:27:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA60WGt045630; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAAMkD1019512 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBAAMknN001008 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBAAMk9Z001002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312101022.hBAAMk9Z001002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 101006 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 10 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N123 TO 30N124W. DISSIPATING COLD FRONT THROUGH 30N124W TO 26N130W TO 24N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 160 TO 220 NM NORTHWEST OF FRONT. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO FRONT BETWEEN 110W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 6N88W 6N96W 8N114W 7N129W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 40-80 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG COLOMBIA COAST FROM 2N TO 4N BETWEEN COAST AND 81W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...JET STREAM CARRYING MOISTURE NORTHEASTWARD IN THE BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM THE ITCZ TO 27N BETWEEN 100W AND 122W. THIS IS MOVING NORTHWARD A LARGE OF AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS... NOW FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:23 2003 X-UIDL: 49460-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00GOGD14BY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 18:27:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAASGBi011784 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 18:28:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950p9J048284; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAAMeD1093806 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBAAMdnN000946 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBAAMded000945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:22:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312101022.hBAAMded000945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 100951 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 10 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...NEAR 13N177W...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N172W 07N171W 07N174W 11N172W THAT HAVE MOVED WEST 10 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 80 NM OF LINE 04N169W 05N163W 06N158W HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ALSO NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 08N147W 05N142W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE TROUGH...WITH WEAK LOW NEAR 22S150W...HAS ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 18S153W 23S140W 25S137W 25S148W 18S153W. ALSO ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH ARE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 18S153W 13S160W 10S150W HAVE DECREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. ALSO NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF POINT 09S173W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE.... NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:28 2003 X-UIDL: 49470-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00K71LXZ9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 10:37:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB2cLBi036606 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 10:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrbF009976; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:33:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 167949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:33:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB2XeD1038270 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:33:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB2XenN022368 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:33:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB2Xdgi022365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:33:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:33:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110233.hBB2Xdgi022365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 110233 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 11 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0000 UTC... ..RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N140W SEWD TO THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0200 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 9N123W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS E OF 100W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 120W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 5N-9N BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 225 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 12N120W TO THE W COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 25N108W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:30 2003 X-UIDL: 49474-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00KVVNJG9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:11:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB3CoXl079070 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:12:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrcJ009976; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 21:03:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 168271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 21:03:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB33vD1027234 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 21:03:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB33unN022804 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 21:03:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB33u2K022803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 21:03:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 21:03:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110303.hBB33u2K022803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS32 PGTW 110300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 14.9S4 97.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 97.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.1S7 96.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 15.3S9 94.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 15.5S1 92.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.8S4 90.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.0S6 97.3E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (JANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TC 04S HAS NOW BECOME FULLY EXPOSED WITH THE CONVECTION BEING SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO NOW TRACK MORE WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE BUILDING TO THE SOUTH. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF NORTHERLY SHEAR, LINEAR TO CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT, AND MARGINAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, EGRR, GFDN, TCLAPS, TLAPS AND WBAI ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 AND 120300Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:34 2003 X-UIDL: 49481-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00KRRUCU9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 13:38:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB5e6Bi060246 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 13:40:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBABo4TB012390; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 169786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB5WmD1087840 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB5WlnN024429 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB5WlfN024428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110532.hBB5WlfN024428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 110600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z-120600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:35 2003 X-UIDL: 49482-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00K7RUWS9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 13:50:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB5q0Xl096220 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 13:52:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBABo4TH012390; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 169923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB5kGD1048852 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB5kGnN024578 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB5kFkh024576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110546.hBB5kFkh024576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 110600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/110600Z-111800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101951ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 90.1E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.4N7 92.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 635 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0, TC 03S (CELA), LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 45.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 102100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2, TC 04S (JANA), LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 97.7E3, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTX32 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR, UPDATED PARAS 2.A.(1) AND 2.A.(2). 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:35 2003 X-UIDL: 49483-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00K8NUX19F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 13:51:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB5qEBi061614 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 13:52:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrhX009976; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 169920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB5kGD1043982 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB5kGnN024579 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB5kFTp024577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:46:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110546.hBB5kFTp024577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 110600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/110600Z-111800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101951ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 90.1E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.4N7 92.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 635 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0, TC 03S (CELA), LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 45.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 102100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 110000Z2, TC 04S (JANA), LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 97.7E3, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTX32 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR, UPDATED PARAS 2.A.(1) AND 2.A.(2). 3. RELEASED BY: LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:39 2003 X-UIDL: 49498-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ00KW51PO9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:17:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB8IwXl012189 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:18:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrlb009976; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:10:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 171095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:10:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB8AkD1051790 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:10:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB8AjnN025866 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:10:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB8Ajss025865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:10:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:10:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110810.hBB8Ajss025865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 110900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 15.8S4 43.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 43.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.4S1 42.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.9S6 42.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.5S3 42.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.1S0 41.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.9S5 43.4E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 55 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110530Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSES SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH 36 HOURS WHILE OVER WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NOGAPS AND NCEP GFS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. EGRR TAKES THE SYSTEM WESTWARD AND WEAKENS IT THROUGH THE PERIOD. NOGAPS AND GFS TRACK THE SYSTEM POLEWARD, WEAKENING IT RAPIDLY. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 08 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:42 2003 X-UIDL: 49506-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ00K7E5P69F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 17:43:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB9j6Bi093821 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 17:45:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFB7XN099140; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:37:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 172650 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:37:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB9b7D1045456 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:37:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB9b6nN026794 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:37:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB9b6bC026793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:37:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:37:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110937.hBB9b6bC026793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 110936 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 11 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/0600 UTC... ..HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE E PACIFIC N OF 15N W OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 32N140W SE TO THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 5N88W 6N110W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED/NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 79W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM N OF THE AXIS E OF 80W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND JUST INLAND OVER PANAMA. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 87W...WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 86W TO 90W...AND WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 99W TO 102W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45/60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 128W TO 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 60 NM ALONG THE COAST OF PANAMA N OF 6.5N E OF 82W. AN ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS CENTERED NEAR 7N88W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:43 2003 X-UIDL: 49507-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ00K3Z6EN9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 17:59:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBA0IXl024679 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 18:00:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrnP009976; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:55:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 173023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:55:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB9tYD1024924 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB9tYnN026929 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:55:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB9tXHC026928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:55:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 03:55:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110955.hBB9tXHC026928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 110955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 11 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...NEAR 17M179E MOVING WEST 5-10 KT AND WEAKENING. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 250 NM EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LOW DISSIPATED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK FRONT...EXTENDS NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST THROUGH 30N180. FRONT MOVING EAST 15 KT. PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...EXTENDING THROUGH LINE 30N175W 22N170E NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED TCU ALONG CONVERGENCE ZONE HAVE RECENTLY FORMED. BAND OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS LIES WITHIN 120 NM NORTHWEST OF CONVERGENCE ZONE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ALOFT. BROKEN CUMULUS/ALTOCUMULUS AND ISOLATED TCU IN THE VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 07N146W 08N170W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...NEAR 25S139W MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WEAK TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW THROUGH 22N150W 20S160W 15S180. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG TROUGH EAST OF 143W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS AND VERY SPARSE ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH WEST OF 143W. TROUGH NEARLY STATIONARY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. ISOLATED TCU IN VICINITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:53 2003 X-UIDL: 49530-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ00KYGFMH9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:18:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBDJRXl045273 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:19:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFB7Zh099140; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 07:13:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 175419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 07:12:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBDCbD1036362 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 07:12:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBDCanN028746 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 07:12:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBDCaTb028745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 07:12:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 07:12:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312111312.hBBDCaTb028745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 111200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 24/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/11 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S / 44.2E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 300 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/12 00 UTC: 16.4S/43.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/12 12 UTC: 16.8S/43.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/13 00 UTC: 17.2S/42.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/13 12 UTC: 17.7S/42.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 60H: 2003/12/14 00 UTC: 18.3S/41.5E, MAX WIND=035KT. 72H: 2003/12/14 12 UTC: 19.0S/41.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS CLEARLY INTENSIFYED SINCE LAST NIGTH, BUT IS NOT YET ORGANIZED. THE CONVECTION PROFITS BY THE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, BUT THE ALIMENTATION IS MAINLY DUE TO THE WEAK MONSOON FLOW ON THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CHANNEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:57 2003 X-UIDL: 49538-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ000CDIBRIB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 22:16:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBEHpXl051811 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 22:17:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBBN4Rr007704; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:07:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 175987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:07:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBE6nD1048868 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:06:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBE6nnN029692 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:06:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBE6nmL029691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:06:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:06:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312111406.hBBE6nmL029691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS32 PGTW 111500 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 14.9S4 95.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 95.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 14.9S4 94.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 14.9S4 92.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.0S6 90.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.9S4 95.4E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (JANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AND DISSIPATE BY 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, EGRR, GFDN, TCLAPS, TLAPS AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 AND 121500Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:02 2003 X-UIDL: 49546-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ0004PNDAIE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 00:05:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBG6fXl063854 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 00:06:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFB7ej099140; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 09:48:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 177354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 09:48:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBFluD1087932 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 09:47:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBFlunN002705 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 09:47:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBFltsx002704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 09:47:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 09:47:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312111547.hBBFltsx002704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 111547 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 11 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 11/1200 UTC... ..1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 33N145W. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE E PACIFIC N OF 17N W OF 115W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE HIGH SE TO THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 24N115W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 11/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N110W 8N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS N OF 5.7N E OF 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF 5.3N89.8W AND 6.2N101W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 132W AND 139W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:05 2003 X-UIDL: 49550-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ0000XRZ5IB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:45:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBHkGXl077436 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:46:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBABo4eX012390; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:41:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 179213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:41:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBHexD1028474 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:40:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBHewnN005994 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:40:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBHewBI005992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:40:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:40:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312111740.hBBHewBI005992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.4N7 92.0E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7N1 91.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 685 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110600Z8, TC 03S (CELA), LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 43.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 111200Z5, TC 04S (JANA), LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 94.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTX32 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:06 2003 X-UIDL: 49551-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ000EXS7JIE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:50:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBHpJBi056659 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 01:51:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFB7lR099140; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:41:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 179217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:41:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBHexD1055096 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:40:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBHewnN005996 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:40:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBHewdq005993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:40:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:40:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312111740.hBBHewdq005993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 111800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.4N7 92.0E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7N1 91.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 685 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110600Z8, TC 03S (CELA), LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 43.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 111200Z5, TC 04S (JANA), LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 94.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTX32 PGTW 111500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:07 2003 X-UIDL: 49552-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ000FDTGLIE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 02:17:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIILBi060055 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 02:18:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIBJD7058266; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 12:12:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 179895 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 12:12:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBICBD1045330 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 12:12:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBICAnN006984 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 12:12:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBICAF2006982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 12:12:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 12:12:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312111812.hBBICAF2006982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 111800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 25/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/11 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.7S / 44.0E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/12 06 UTC: 16.0S/44.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/12 18 UTC: 16.3S/43.8E, MAX WIND=025KT, DISSIPATING. 36H: 2003/12/13 06 UTC: DISSIPATED. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION FLUCTUANTE AUTOUR D'UN MINIMUM RESIDUEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 49559-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPM00EHNGPPA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 17:51:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB99qYXl088254 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 17:52:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pId048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:47:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 138349 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:47:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB99lSD1024648 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:47:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB99lSec025066 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:47:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB99lS0w025065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:47:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:47:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090947.hB99lS0w025065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 090947 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 9 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW/SURFACE TROUGH...HAS ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 25N165W 22N160W 10N163W 08N174W 20N171W 25N165W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 09N168W 05N152W 06N140W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE UPPER LOW/SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE UPPER LOW/SURFACE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW...CENTERED NEAR 20S156W...IS WITHIN SURFACE TROUGH AND HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10S170W 10S157W 17S150W 18S140W 25S143W 22S156W 15S157W 15S170W 10S170W THAT HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN INTENSITY. FRONT...THAT EXTENDS SOUTH OF 25S...THROUGH 25S125W 21S130W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 19S137W BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE SOUTH OF 20S. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE NORTH OF 20S. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE WEAK LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:12 2003 X-UIDL: 49560-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPM00ERMH72A0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:01:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9A2rBi020123 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:03:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB87IpZj050830; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:56:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 138417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:56:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB99uGD1034068 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:56:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB99uGec025131 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:56:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB99uGBp025130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:56:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 03:56:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090956.hB99uGBp025130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 090956 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 09 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N133W BEYOND 29N140W TO 27N145W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE 32N132W BEYOND 27N140W. ..RIDGE 28N123W 22N109W 15N101W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM 10N TO 32N BETWEEN 100W AND THE COLD FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0930 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N94W 7N100W 7N110W 7N120W 8N130W 8N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 60-90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 110W. STRONG CONVECTION IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA WATERS FROM PANAMA COAST TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 82W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 9N BETWEEN 114W AND 116W...AND FROM 6.5N TO 8N BETWEEN 118W AND 120W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...JET STREAM THROUGH 14N140W 16N130W 18N120W BEYOND 24N107W INTO THE INTERIOR OF MEXICO. DENSE OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS WITHIN AT LEAST 200 NM SOUTH OF JET STREAM BETWEEN 126W AND 140W. SOME UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT FLOW AND SHEARING OF SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:16 2003 X-UIDL: 49567-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPM00EESXNSA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:57:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9FwbBi060364 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:58:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pRp048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 09:42:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 141663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 09:42:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9FgUD1103922 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 09:42:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB9FgUBs002015 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 09:42:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB9FgUV4002014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 09:42:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 09:42:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312091542.hB9FgUV4002014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 091542 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 09 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N130W TO BEYOND 27N140W. ..WEAK 1025 MB HIGH IS E OF THE FRONT NEAR 26N136W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/1515 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N95W 8N110W 8N121W 9N126W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 111W TO 121W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 131W TO 137W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 93W TO 95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:18 2003 X-UIDL: 49572-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00EAR2VFA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 01:50:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9HpEXl042403 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 01:51:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9DuWL9058644; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:39:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:39:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9HcsD1030082 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:38:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB9HcsBs005943 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:38:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB9HcsDF005941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:38:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:38:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312091738.hB9HcsDF005941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z-101800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091351ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090600Z5, TC 03S (CELA) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:19 2003 X-UIDL: 49573-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00EE42XJA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 01:51:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9HqVBi077254 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 01:52:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pYl048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:38:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:38:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9HcsD1070466 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:38:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB9HcsBs005942 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:38:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB9HcsW1005940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:38:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:38:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312091738.hB9HcsW1005940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/091800Z-101800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091351ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090600Z5, TC 03S (CELA) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:19 2003 X-UIDL: 49574-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00GT6430BY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:16:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9IHLBi080292 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:17:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9DuWMX058644; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:10:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144677 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:10:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9I9xD1035050 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:09:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB9I9wBs006730 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:09:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB9I9w1Q006728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:09:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:09:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 09/12/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312091809.hB9I9w1Q006728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO22 FMEE 091800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 019/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 09/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 3 (EX-CELA) 995 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 49.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTEND UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/10 AT 06 UTC: 13.4S / 48.5E, OVERLAND. 24H, VALID 2003/12/10 AT 18 UTC: 13.8S / 47.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA MADE LANDFALL AROUND 1730 Z (UTC) IN VICINITY OF VOHEMAR CITY (MADAGASCAR).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:20 2003 X-UIDL: 49575-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00E9P466A0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:18:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9IJGBi080545 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:19:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950paJ048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:12:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144724 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:12:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9IC3D1085520 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:12:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB9IC2Bs006784 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:12:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB9IC28D006782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:12:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 12:12:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312091812.hB9IC28D006782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 091800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 19/3/20032004 1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/09 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 49.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 995 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 100 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/10 06 UTC: 13.4S/48.5E OVERLAND. 24H: 2003/12/10 18 UTC: 13.8S/47.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/11 06 UTC: 14.3S/45.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/11 18 UTC: 15.2S/44.7E, MAX WIND=035KT. 60H: 2003/12/12 06 UTC: 16.3S/43.8E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/12 18 UTC: 17.2S/43.4E, MAX WIND=045KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA MADE LANDFALL AROUND 1730 Z (UTC) IN VICINITY OF VOHEMAR CITY (MADAGASCAR). WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD FORECASTED TRACK, IN DIRECTION OF THE HIGH SST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, REINTENSIFICATION REMAINS POSSIBLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:25 2003 X-UIDL: 49585-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00ERWAU4A0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:42:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9KhFXl062825 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:43:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950phP048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:31:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 147024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:31:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9KVjD1070424 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:31:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB9KVjBs011099 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:31:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB9KVj33011098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:31:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:31:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312092031.hB9KVj33011098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 092100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 13.3S7 50.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 50.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.5S9 48.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.8S2 47.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 14.4S9 45.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.3S9 44.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.3S7 049.6E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), HAS MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR, AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35 AND 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD OVER MADAGASCAR AND ENTER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT TRACKS OVER LAND. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, HOWEVER, DUE TO LOCAL ATMOSPHERIC EFFECTS AND WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR TC 03S TO REINTENSIFY. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS,CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST SCENARIO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 AND 102100Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:26 2003 X-UIDL: 49586-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00EWNCXVA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 05:27:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9LSgXl068379 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 05:28:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9DuWSf058644; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:08:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 147692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:08:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9L85D1020558 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:08:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB9L85Bs012217 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:08:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB9L85JM012216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:08:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:08:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312092108.hB9L85JM012216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 092107 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 09 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N126W 27N135W TO BEYOND 25N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM NW OF FRONT. ..WEAKENING 1023 MB HIGH IS E OF THE FRONT NEAR 28N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/2030 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N90W 9N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 112W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 128W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 14N-17N BETWEEN 113W-120W. BROKEN/OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDINESS FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN 110W-130W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:26 2003 X-UIDL: 49587-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00G5NEZ6BY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 06:11:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9MCgBi011431 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 06:12:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pmn048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:55:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 148515 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:55:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9LtPD1085664 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:55:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB9LtPBs013499 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:55:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB9LtPQ6013498 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:55:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 15:55:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312092155.hB9LtPQ6013498@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 092155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 09 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...NEAR 15N177W. TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH LOW TO 23N170W AND 07N179W. LOW MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 35 NM OF LINE 13N177W 16N175W AND WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 08N171W 12N168W ARE NEWLY FORMED. OTHER ISOLATED CB WITHIN 350 NM EAST OF LOW REMAIN SPARSE. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CLOUD LAYERS EXIST WITHIN 700 NM NORTHEAST...EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50 NM OF LINE 06N146W 06N160W 07N166W MOVED WEST 10 KT AND INTENSIFIED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW...NEAR 13S177W NEARLY STATIONARY. WEAK TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH LOW TO 10S180 AND 25S147W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH EAST OF 153W. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS ELSEWHERE ALONG TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:33 2003 X-UIDL: 49594-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK0093DZ37K2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 22:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8EY2Bi066332 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 22:34:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1dB048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:24:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:24:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8EOTD1103840 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:24:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8EOTec003015 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:24:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8EOS8r003013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:24:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:24:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 08/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081424.hB8EOS8r003013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO22 FMEE 081200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 08/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 54.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WTHIN A 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 00 UTC: 13.1S / 52.2E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 12 UTC: 13.0S / 50.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED DURING THE DAY BUT IT SHOULD REBUILT FOR THE NEXT NIGHT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:34 2003 X-UIDL: 49595-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00GGFKFDBY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:09:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA0AOXl085551 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:10:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950psV048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:06:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 150176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:06:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA06MD1013118 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:06:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA06LBs016256 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:06:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA06LwL016254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:06:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:06:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100006.hBA06LwL016254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 100000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 020/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 10/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 3 (EX-CELA) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 48.9E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS EXTEND UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/10 AT 12 UTC: 13.7S / 47.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/11 AT 00 UTC: 14.3S / 46.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOCATION OF THE CENTRE IS DIFFICULT. EX-CELA DEPRESSION SHOULD ENTER OVER SEAS FOR THE NEXT HOURS. TRACKING OVER WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, REINTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM REMAINS POSSIBLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:35 2003 X-UIDL: 49603-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00GULKPIBY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:15:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA0GUBi026655 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:16:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9DuWYB058644; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:07:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 150184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:07:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA07LD1083876 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:07:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA07LBs016274 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:07:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA07Le5016272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:07:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 18:07:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100007.hBA07Le5016272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 100000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 20/3/20032004 1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/10 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.3S / 48.9E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 020 SE: 100 SO: 100 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/10 12 UTC: 13.7S/47.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/11 00 UTC: 14.3S/46.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/11 12 UTC: 15.0S/45.6E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/12 00 UTC: 15.9S/45.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 60H: 2003/12/12 12 UTC: 16.7S/44.7E OVERLAND. 72H: 2003/12/13 00 UTC: 17.5S/44.6E OVERLAND. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA MADE LANDFALL AROUND 1730 Z (UTC) IN VICINITY OF VOHEMAR CITY (MADAGASCAR). WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD FORECASTED TRACK, IN DIRECTION OF THE HIGH SST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, REINTENSIFICATION REMAINS POSSIBLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:40 2003 X-UIDL: 49617-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00GP1RC2BY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 10:38:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA2dcBi046211 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 10:39:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pvp048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:29:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 151608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:29:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA2TsD1081676 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:29:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA2TsBs018359 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:29:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA2Tsk4018358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:29:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:29:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100229.hBA2Tsk4018358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS32 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 13.9S3 99.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9S3 99.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 14.8S3 99.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.4S0 98.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.9S5 98.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.3S0 97.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 14.1S6 099.3E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (JANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE EARLY INDICATIONS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A DECREASE IN THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TO START WEAKENING SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES INTO A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASED UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. TC 04S IS EXPECTED TRACK POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN START RECURVING SOUTHWESTWARD AS THE STEERING INFLUENCE IS SHIFTED FROM THE MID LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM TO THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF GFDN, NCEP GFS, TLAPS, TCLAPS, NOGAPS, EGRR AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 AND 110300Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:41 2003 X-UIDL: 49620-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00GUGTF2BY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:23:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA3OcBi052086 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:24:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pwt048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 21:15:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 152067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 21:15:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA3F4D1059984 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 21:15:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA3F4Bs018856 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 21:15:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA3F4Ge018855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 21:15:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 21:15:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100315.hBA3F4Ge018855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 100314 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 10 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 10/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS AREA NEAR 32N124W BECOMING DISSIPATING AT 28N130W TO 24N140W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 75 NM EITHER SIDE OF FRONT. ..STRONG HIGH PRES IS BUILDING EWD BEHIND FRONT ALONG 32N/33N. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 10/0230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N90W 9N120W 7N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 113W-118W AND FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 126W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A LARGE AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN 110W-120W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:45 2003 X-UIDL: 49626-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00G80YF4BY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:11:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA5CeBi067964 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:12:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9DuWcn058644; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA547D1012358 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA547Bs019936 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA547uQ019934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100504.hBA547uQ019934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 100600 DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z-110600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/VOHS/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:47 2003 X-UIDL: 49630-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00GAZZMRBY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:37:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA5cpBi071725 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:38:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950p25048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA5VoD1044898 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA5VoBs020157 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA5VoeR020155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100531.hBA5VoeR020155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 100530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/100530Z-101800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091951ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100151ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.6N8 90.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM WEST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA IN THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN. SURFACE ANALYSIS AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THERE ARE MULTIPLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD TROUGH ENHANCED BY STRONG EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES AND NORTHEAST MONSOON FLOW NORTH OF THE AREA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND UNORGANIZED CONVECTION NEAR THE TROUGH. UPPER ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER A FAVORABLE AREA OF DIFFLUENCE AND UNFAVORALE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0, TC 03S (CELA) MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR, AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:48 2003 X-UIDL: 49632-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00GDLZNOBY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:38:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA5dOXl027966 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:39:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9DuWd7058644; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA5VoD1031600 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA5VoBs020156 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA5VodT020154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:31:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100531.hBA5VodT020154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 100530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/100530Z-101800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091951ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100151ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.6N8 90.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM WEST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA IN THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN. SURFACE ANALYSIS AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THERE ARE MULTIPLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATIONS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD TROUGH ENHANCED BY STRONG EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES AND NORTHEAST MONSOON FLOW NORTH OF THE AREA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND UNORGANIZED CONVECTION NEAR THE TROUGH. UPPER ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER A FAVORABLE AREA OF DIFFLUENCE AND UNFAVORALE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0, TC 03S (CELA) MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR, AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:50 2003 X-UIDL: 49637-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00GX42BSBY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:35:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA6b4Xl035102 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:37:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950p5p048284; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:30:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 154218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:30:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA6UrD1099206 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:30:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA6UiBs020679 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:30:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA6UeaQ020677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:30:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:30:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100630.hBA6UeaQ020677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 100600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 21/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 10/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5S / 48.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/10 AT 18 UTC: 13.8S / 47.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/11 AT 06 UTC: 14.5S / 46.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOCATION OF THE CENTRE IS DIFFICULT. EX-CELA TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS OVER WATERS AGAIN IN SOUTHWESTERN OF NOSI-BE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:51 2003 X-UIDL: 49638-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00GQU2JYBY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:40:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA6fwBi080551 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:41:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950p6B048284; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:38:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 154270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:38:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA6cpD1055264 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:38:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA6cpBs020765 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:38:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA6couR020763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:38:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:38:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100638.hBA6couR020763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 100600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 21/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/10 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5S / 48.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/10 18 UTC: 13.8S/47.3E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/11 06 UTC: 14.5S/46.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/11 18 UTC: 15.2S/45.7E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/12 06 UTC: 16.3S/45.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, OVERLAND. 60H: 2003/12/12 18 UTC: 17.0S/44.8E OVERLAND. 72H: 2003/12/13 06 UTC: 17.8S/44.7E OVERLAND. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOCATION OF THE CENTRE IS DIFFICULT. EX-CELA TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS OVER THE WATERS AGAIN IN SOUTHWESTERN OF NOSI-BE. REINTENSIFICATION REMAINS POSSIBLE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:57 2003 X-UIDL: 49648-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00G887NABY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:30:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA8VwBi096245 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:31:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA60WG7045630; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:21:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:21:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA8LLD1075606 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:21:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA8LLBs021614 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:21:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA8LLY0021613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:21:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:21:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100821.hBA8LLY0021613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 14.1S6 47.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 47.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 14.7S2 46.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.2S7 46.9E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST OF NORTHERN MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 MULTI-SPECTRAL, MICROWAVE, AND QUIKSCAT SATELLITE IMAGERY. AFTER TRACKING OVER MADAGASCAR, TC 03S LOST ITS CENTRAL CONVECTION AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NO LONGER EVIDENT IN SURFACE ANALYSIS AND QUIKSCAT. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 8 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:04 2003 X-UIDL: 49660-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL00AHM18JKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:19:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8FKeBi072338 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:20:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1fF048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 09:08:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 09:08:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8F8ID1070512 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 09:08:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8F8Iec004286 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 09:08:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8F8IFC004285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 09:08:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 09:08:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081508.hB8F8IFC004285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 081508 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 08 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/1200 UTC... ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM A 1023 MB HIGH OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA NEAR 37N127W SW TO 28N140W. A WEAKER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 30N127W SE ALONG THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N87W 6N96W 8N104W 8N130W 6N140W. SCATTERED SHOWERS BETWEEN THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND 80W FROM 3N-7N. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 82W-86W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED MODERATE CONVECTION UP TO 175 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 110W-121W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 100 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 110W-116W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:13 2003 X-UIDL: 49679-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL00AJR80AKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 01:45:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8HkuXl075272 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 01:46:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1l3048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127544 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8HhvD1072716 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8Hhvec008743 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8HhvML008741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081743.hB8HhvML008741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z-091800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080600Z4, TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5S9 54.9E8, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM EAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:13 2003 X-UIDL: 49680-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL0094S8CVK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 01:53:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8HsUBi098257 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 01:54:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7on058644; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8HhvD1042594 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8Hhvec008744 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8HhvVZ008742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:43:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081743.hB8HhvVZ008742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 081800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/081800Z-091800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081351ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080600Z4, TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5S9 54.9E8, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM EAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:14 2003 X-UIDL: 49681-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL009X3A5EK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:32:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8IXDBi003514 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7pB058644; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:18:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:18:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8IIVD1030404 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:18:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8IIVec009604 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:18:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8IIV3f009602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:18:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:18:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 08/12/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081818.hB8IIV3f009602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO22 FMEE 081800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 15/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 08/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 989 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5S / 53.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WTHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 06 UTC: 13.3S / 51.8E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 18 UTC: 13.2S / 50.4E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS REBUILT AROUND AN INTENSIFYING SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:15 2003 X-UIDL: 49682-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL00AYWAGEKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8IdkBi004311 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:39:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1mV048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:31:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 128171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:31:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8IVvD1012398 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:31:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8IVvec009989 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:31:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8IVvtP009988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:31:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:31:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081831.hB8IVvtP009988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 081800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 15/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/08 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5S / 53.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 989 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 42 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/09 06 UTC: 13.3S/51.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/09 18 UTC: 13.2S/50.4E, MAX WIND=055KT. 36H: 2003/12/10 06 UTC: 13.4S/48.8E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/10 18 UTC: 14.0S/47.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/11 06 UTC: 14.5S/46.0E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/11 18 UTC: 15.2S/44.7E, MAX WIND=045KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0+ THE SYSTEM INTENSIFYING OVER THE CONVECTION WITH A BIGINNING OF WARM HEART ( SSMI OF 1525Z).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:17 2003 X-UIDL: 49687-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL009KLG3NK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 04:40:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8KfkBi019282 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 04:41:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7sl058644; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:32:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130046 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:32:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8KW6D1008208 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:32:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8KW7ec013635 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:32:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8KW7jP013633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:32:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:32:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312082032.hB8KW7jP013633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 081800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 15/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 08/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 989 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5S / 53.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WTHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 06 UTC: 13.3S / 51.8E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 18 UTC: 13.2S / 50.4E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS REBUILT AROUND AN INTENSIFYING SYSTEM. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:18 2003 X-UIDL: 49689-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL00ALPJCQKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 05:50:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8Lq1Bi027243 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 05:52:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1w7048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:30:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:30:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8LUkD1077954 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:30:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8LUlec015459 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:30:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8LUkaH015458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:30:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:30:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312082130.hB8LUkaH015458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 082130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 08 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 08/1800 UTC... ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SWD FROM A 1025 MB HIGH OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA NEAR 33N127W TO THE S TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA THROUGH 33N140W 29N149W. BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 200 NM AHEAD OF FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 08/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 8N90W 7N110W 8N130W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 110W-120W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 120W-130W AND FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 130W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:19 2003 X-UIDL: 49693-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL00AA6K3WKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 06:07:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8M8JBi029406 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 06:08:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id103048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:55:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 131439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:55:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8LtWD1027912 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8LtXec016338 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:55:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8LtXhr016337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:55:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 15:55:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312082155.hB8LtXhr016337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 082155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 08 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 06N140W 06N145W EXTEND EASTWARD AND ARE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 85 NM OF LINE 10N164W 09N171W MOVED NORTH 5 KT AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... UPPER LOW NEAR 22N173W OR ABOUT 835 NM WEST OF HONOLULU SHIFTING WEST SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 425 NM EAST AND SOUTH OF LOW CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S126W 21S131W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 18S137W 18S141W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT/SHEAR LINE SOUTH OF 21S. BROKEN CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS ALONG SHEAR LINE NORTH OF 21S. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR 14S173W MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWEST AND WEAKENING. SCATTERED CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU IN THE VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 21S150W 19S161W MOVED 15-20 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 40 NM OF LINE 09S170W 06S178W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:22 2003 X-UIDL: 49697-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL00AYHRGCKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 08:45:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB90kwBi047249 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 08:46:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id16F048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:34:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:34:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB90YRD1045448 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:34:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB90YRec019283 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:34:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB90YRPn019281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:34:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:34:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090034.hB90YRPn019281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 090000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 16/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 09/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 986 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5S / 52.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WTHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 12 UTC: 13.4S / 51.1E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/10 AT 00 UTC: 13.5S / 49.8E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS REBUILT AROUND AN INTENSIFYING SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:22 2003 X-UIDL: 49698-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL00AMNROYKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 08:50:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB90q6Bi047999 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 08:52:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id16f048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:44:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:44:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB90ibD1036524 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:44:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB90ibec019429 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:44:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB90ibtG019427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:44:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 18:44:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090044.hB90ibtG019427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 090000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 16/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/09 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5S / 52.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 PLUS /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 986 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/09 12 UTC: 13.4S/51.1E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/10 00 UTC: 13.5S/49.8E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2003/12/10 12 UTC: 13.8S/48.3E, MAX WIND=045KT. 48H: 2003/12/11 00 UTC: 14.5S/46.8E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/12/11 12 UTC: 15.0S/45.7E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/12 00 UTC: 15.8S/44.0E, MAX WIND=045KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.5-= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:27 2003 X-UIDL: 49705-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL00E0YZ54A0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:31:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB93X3Xl042029 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:33:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn75x058644; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 21:23:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 135315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 21:23:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB93NZD1027362 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 21:23:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB93Naec021369 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 21:23:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB93NaSU021368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 21:23:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 21:23:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090323.hB93NaSU021368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 090323 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 09 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 09/0000 UTC... ..HIGH PRES DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 105W WITH A RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30N126W 22N110W. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA THROUGH 32N137W 28N144W. SCATTERED/BROKEN LOW CLOUDINESS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM AHEAD OF FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 09/0230 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 8N77W 7N93W 8N110W 9N135W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 114W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N-12N BETWEEN 123W-135W AND FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 135W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SMALL AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 12N-15N BETWEEN 110W-116W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:30 2003 X-UIDL: 49710-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPM00E9O4JQA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 13:28:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB95TnBi084216 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 13:29:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB87IpXZ050830; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 136585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB95HhD1008328 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB95Hiec022611 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB95HirA022609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090517.hB95HirA022609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z-100600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/VOHS/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:30 2003 X-UIDL: 49711-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPM00ECD7FOA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:31:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB96WCXl063569 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:32:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pG3048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:24:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:24:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB96OUD1062850 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:24:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB96OVec023253 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:24:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB96OU8w023251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:24:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:24:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 09/12/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090624.hB96OU8w023251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO22 FMEE 090600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 17/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 09/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 990 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 51.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WTHIN 35 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/09 AT 18 UTC: 12.5S / 49.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/10 AT 06 UTC: 12.5S / 47.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NO INTENSIFICATION OBSERVED OR FORECASTED FOR THIS SYSTEM WICH STILL TRACKS WESTNORTWESWARD TOWARD THE NORTH OF MADAGASCAR. IR SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL AT THE END OF THIS DAY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:31 2003 X-UIDL: 49712-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPM00EZC8MIA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:56:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB96vnXl066863 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:57:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn79t058644; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:50:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:50:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB96o7D1038778 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:50:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB96o8ec023424 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:50:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB96o8nA023422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:50:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:50:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090650.hB96o8nA023422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 090600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 17/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/09 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 51.4E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 060 SE: 200 SO: 150 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/09 18 UTC: 12.5S/49.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/12/10 06 UTC: 12.5S/47.9E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/10 18 UTC: 13.2S/46.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/11 06 UTC: 14.0S/44.9E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/12/11 18 UTC: 14.8S/43.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2003/12/12 06 UTC: 15.5S/42.8E, MAX WIND=055KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0+. DEEP CONVECTION IS STILL FLUCTUATING AND BADLY ORGANIZED (CDO OF 1 DEGRE DIAMETER ABOVE THE LLCC) FOR THIS SYSTEM WHICH DO NOT INTENSIFY, IN PART DUE TO THE LACK OF GOOD INFLOWS IN LOW LEVELS. IN HIGH LEVELS, THERE IS NO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT THE OUTFLOW (DIVERGENCE) REMAINS ONLY MODERATE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:33 2003 X-UIDL: 49715-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPM00EGZDJVA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 16:43:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB98iHBi009550 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 16:44:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pI7048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:34:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 138048 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:34:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB98YKD1104890 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:34:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB98YLec024275 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:34:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB98YLbd024274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:34:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:34:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090834.hB98YLbd024274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 090900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 13.1S5 51.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 51.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.1S5 49.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.4S8 48.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 13.6S0 47.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 13.9S3 45.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 13.1S5 51.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE. A 090422Z7 MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS WEST OF THE CONVECTION. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD TOWARD MADAGASCAR AND MAKE LANDFALL IN 06 TO 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL AND THEN SHOULD SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 AND 100900Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (JANA) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:13:59 2003 X-UIDL: 49720-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS000A30IWIE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 17:47:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC9mWBi083130 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 17:48:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWcv077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:42:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 190261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:42:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC9glD1070492 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:42:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBC9glnN022042 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:42:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBC9glS1022041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:42:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:42:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312120942.hBC9glS1022041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 120942 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 12 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/0600 UTC... ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 15N W OF 110W WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM A 1030 MB HIGH LOCATED NEAR 31N139W ALONG 27N123W TO 22N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 8N86W 5N101W 5N117W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 95W TO 97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 7N TO 20N W OF 126W TO JUST BEYOND 140W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:07 2003 X-UIDL: 49722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS0006A17IIE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:02:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCA3HBi085557 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:03:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWd3077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:55:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 190315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC9taD1011792 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBC9tZnN022173 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:55:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBC9tZ1N022172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:55:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 03:55:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312120955.hBC9tZ1N022172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 120955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 07N164W 07N170W MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 08N140W 08N144W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND REMAIN SPARSE AND WEAK. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... COLD FRONT...THROUGH 30N167W 28N173W CONTINUES AS A STATIONARY FRONT TO 25N180. COLD FRONT MOVING EAST 12 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT NORTH OF 26N. BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS ALONG FRONT SOUTH OF 26N. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... UPPER LOW...NEAR 16N177W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 200 NM NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF LOW DIMINISHED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 65 NM OF LINE 23S146W 22S155W 17S162W 17S170W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND REMAIN WIDELY SEPARATED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LINE 12S155W 11S162W DISSIPATED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:07 2003 X-UIDL: 49727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS000T87JUIE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:19:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCCKHXl007163 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:20:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWeB077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:14:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 190895 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:14:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCCE0D1031558 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:14:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCCE0nN023315 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:14:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCCE0r8023313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:14:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:14:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312121214.hBCCE0r8023313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 121200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 28/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/12 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S / 44.3E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/13 00 UTC: 16.5S/44.3E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/13 12 UTC: 16.7S/44.1E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/12/14 00 UTC: 17.0S/43.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/14 12 UTC: 17.3S/43.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/15 00 UTC: 17.6S/43.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/12/15 12 UTC: 18.0S/43.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WEAK EVEN CONVECTION IS STILL PRESENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:09 2003 X-UIDL: 49730-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS004MKDQQ0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 22:32:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCEXtXl020378 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 22:34:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWgR077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:28:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 192136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCES2D1055416 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCES1nN025104 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:28:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCES1iN025102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:28:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:28:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312121428.hBCES1iN025102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO21 PGTW 121430 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 121421Z DEC 03// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 2. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.1N3 84.2E4 TO 7.4N1 89.7E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 121200Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 7.9N6 89.0E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 3. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.7N1 91.2E2 IS RELOCATED TO A POSITION NEAR 7.9N6 89.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS CONSOLIDATED TO THE NORTH AND OVERALL ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 4. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 131430Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:15 2003 X-UIDL: 49734-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS004OMFYQ0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:20:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCFM0Xl025427 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:22:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWi3077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 09:12:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 192708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 09:12:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCFCbD1052122 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 09:12:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCFCbnN026501 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 09:12:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCFCbI7026500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 09:12:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 09:12:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312121512.hBCFCbI7026500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 121512 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 12 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/1200 UTC... ..1028 MB HIGH NEAR 31N138W DOMINATES THE REGION N OF 10N W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH RIDGE AXIS SE FROM THE HIGH TO 16N109W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N86W 5N96W 9N118W 8N124W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 125W. ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE FROM 5N-8N E OF 90W. A FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR 5N97W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 119W-128W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:18 2003 X-UIDL: 49740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS0048VNR10A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:09:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCIAAXl043623 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:10:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIBJgJ058266; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:03:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 195136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:02:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCI2wD1038882 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:02:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCI2wnN001636 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:02:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCI2wGj001634 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:02:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:02:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312121802.hBCI2wGj001634@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z-131800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121421ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120751ZDEC2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZDEC2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT, REFS B AND C/ ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04.7N1 91.2E2 HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO NEAR 07.9N6 089.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD UPPER LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 121430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120600Z9, TC 03S (CELA), LOCATED NEAR 15.9S5 43.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND HAD BEEN MOSTLY QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120300Z6, TC 04S (JANA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 94.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS32 PGTW 120300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:19 2003 X-UIDL: 49741-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS004FKNU50A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:10:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCIBtXl043801 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:11:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWqD077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:03:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 195139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:03:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCI2wD1032100 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:02:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCI2wnN001637 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:02:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCI2wig001635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:02:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:02:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312121802.hBCI2wig001635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 121800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/121800Z-131800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121421ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120751ZDEC2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZDEC2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT, REFS B AND C/ ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04.7N1 91.2E2 HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO NEAR 07.9N6 089.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD UPPER LEVEL POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 121430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120600Z9, TC 03S (CELA), LOCATED NEAR 15.9S5 43.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND HAD BEEN MOSTLY QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 120900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 120300Z6, TC 04S (JANA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4 94.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTXS32 PGTW 120300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:19 2003 X-UIDL: 49742-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS004XKP3O0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:38:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCIdLXl047100 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:39:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIBJgX058266; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:32:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 195423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:32:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCIWJD1050834 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:32:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCIWJnN002437 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:32:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCIWJSu002435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:32:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:32:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312121832.hBCIWJSu002435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 121800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 29/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/12 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.4S / 44.1E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/13 06 UTC: 16.5S/44.2E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/13 18 UTC: 16.7S/44.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 36H: 2003/12/14 06 UTC: 17.2S/43.7E, MAX WIND=025KT. 48H: 2003/12/14 18 UTC: 17.8S/43.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/15 06 UTC: 18.3S/43.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/12/15 18 UTC: 19.0S/42.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-. CI=2.0 CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED DURING THE LAST HOURS, AND CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WEAK.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:22 2003 X-UIDL: 49746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS004EAUXE0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 04:44:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCKjDBi068630 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 04:45:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWv7077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:38:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 197155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:38:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCKcID1059578 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:38:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCKcInN005744 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:38:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCKcH1m005742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:38:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:38:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312122038.hBCKcH1m005742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, SUPERLONG_LINE 0.003, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO31 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121421Z DEC 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 8.3N1 88.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N1 88.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 9.0N9 87.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 9.5N4 85.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.0N1 83.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 10.7N8 81.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.9N2 77.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 08.5N3 088.0E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 150600Z2. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, AND WBAR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 121421Z DEC 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:23 2003 X-UIDL: 49747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS004IWWFB0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 05:16:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCLHSBi072586 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 05:17:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWwn077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:08:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 197732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:08:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCL7uD1085724 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:07:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCL7unN006531 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:07:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCL7uiD006530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:07:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:07:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312122107.hBCL7uiD006530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 16.2S9 43.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 43.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.6S3 43.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.3S1 43.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 18.0S9 43.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 19.0S0 43.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.3S0 043.9E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS BEEN QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION AND DIURNAL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE SYSTEM. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY WHILE THE SYSTEM REMAINS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IN THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, GFDN, AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 AND 132100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:23 2003 X-UIDL: 49748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS004OWWI90A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 05:18:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCLJFBi072781 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 05:19:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWwr077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:10:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 197756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:10:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCLAHD1070422 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:10:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCLAInN006594 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:10:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCLAIHS006593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:10:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:10:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312122110.hBCLAIHS006593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 122109 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 12 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 12/1800 UTC... ..BROAD 1029 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 30N134W EXTENDING NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A RIDGE AXIS STRETCHES FROM THE CENTER OF THE HIGH SEWD OFF THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA TO 20N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 12/2045 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N85W 5N90W 7N100W 3N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 83W-86W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS WEST OF 121W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:24 2003 X-UIDL: 49751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS004L6YW20A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:09:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCMAmXl076532 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:10:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJW0p077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:56:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 198465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:55:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCLtWD1045658 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCLtVnN007888 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:55:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCLtVnK007887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:55:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:55:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312122155.hBCLtVnK007887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 122155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 12 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 08N171W 04N171W 02N177E 06N175E 08N179E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N164W 07N160W 04N168W 07N168W AND BOUNDED BY 09N143W 06N144W 06N155W 09N156W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN SHOWERY...MAINLY...LOW CLOUDS THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ARE BOUNDED BY 30N165W 30N159W 23N174W 25N180 28N170W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 15 KT NORTH OF 27N...AND SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KT ELSEWHERE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 13S179E 15S179W 19S179W 20S175E 16S171E 13S174E HAVE MOVED SOUTH AT 8 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S164W 12S157W 19S157W 16S168W 11S164W 09S169W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 21S153W 23S150W 23S144W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:25 2003 X-UIDL: 49752-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004ZA0R00A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:49:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCMorBi084595 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:50:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCMgFDh105538; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 199366 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCMj3D1033200 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCMj3nN008933 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCMj3qt008931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312122245.hBCMj3qt008931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 122230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/122230Z/131800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121951ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121952ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 88.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 122100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04.7N1 91.2E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z9, TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, AND HAD BEEN QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 122100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 1.B.(1) TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND UPDATED ALL OTHER AREAS. 4. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:25 2003 X-UIDL: 49753-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT0043T0TU0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:51:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCMqSBi084758 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:52:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC61TVP078466; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 199369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCMj3D1051998 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCMj3nN008934 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCMj3gD008932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:45:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312122245.hBCMj3gD008932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 122230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/122230Z/131800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121951ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121952ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 88.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTIO31 PGTW 122100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 04.7N1 91.2E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z9, TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, AND HAD BEEN QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 122100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 1.B.(1) TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND UPDATED ALL OTHER AREAS. 4. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:26 2003 X-UIDL: 49757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004O265D0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 08:46:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD0laBi098097 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 08:47:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJW5L077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:38:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 200469 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:38:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD0cFD1033094 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:38:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD0cFnN010358 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:38:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD0cEvP010356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:38:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:38:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130038.hBD0cEvP010356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 130000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 30/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/13 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S / 43.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/13 12 UTC: 16.9S/43.4E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/14 00 UTC: 17.3S/43.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/14 12 UTC: 17.9S/42.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 48H: 2003/12/15 00 UTC: 18.6S/42.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/15 12 UTC: 19.2S/41.9E, MAX WIND=035KT. 72H: 2003/12/16 00 UTC: 19.7S/41.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0 CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPPED ONCE MORE IN THE NIGTH, BUT CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WEAK. CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE BUT SEEMS TO HAVE TRACKED SLOMLY AWAY FROM THE COAST WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:29 2003 X-UIDL: 49768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004OUDMF0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:27:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD3T4Bi018182 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:29:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJW77077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 21:24:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 201461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 21:24:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD3OhD1045472 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 21:24:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD3OhnN012192 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 21:24:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD3Oh3s012191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 21:24:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 21:24:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130324.hBD3Oh3s012191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 130324 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 13 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/0000 UTC... ..BROAD 1028 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 30N131W EXTENDING NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A RIDGE AXIS STRETCHES FROM THE CENTER OF THE HIGH SEWD OFF THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA TO 15N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0245 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N85W 5N90W 5N105W 4N120W 9N135W 8N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W-93W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 133W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM CELL WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COAST OF CENTRAL COSTA RICA. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:38 2003 X-UIDL: 49773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004NPK6B0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 13:49:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD5oaXl028702 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 13:50:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCMgFbL105538; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 202090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD5fLD1035054 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD5fLnN013423 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD5fLiX013421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130541.hBD5fLiX013421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z-140600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:41 2003 X-UIDL: 49777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT0047ZMK70A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:40:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD6g9Bi041896 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:42:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJW91077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:35:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 202562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:35:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD6ZDD1054018 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:35:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD6ZDnN013899 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:35:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD6ZDN4013897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:35:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:35:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130635.hBD6ZDN4013897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 130600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 31/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/13 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S / 43.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/13 18 UTC: 17.1S/43.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/14 06 UTC: 18.1S/43.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/14 18 UTC: 19.1S/42.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/15 06 UTC: 20.3S/42.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/15 18 UTC: 20.9S/42.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/16 06 UTC: 21.2S/42.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+ CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPPED ONCE MORE IN THE NIGTH (WITH A CDO OF DIAMETER OF 2 TO 3 DEGRES THIS MORNING), BUT REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED ABOVE A WEAK CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION AND A CENTRE BADLY DEFINED AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:41 2003 X-UIDL: 49778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT0049NN8W0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:55:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD6uvXl035044 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:56:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJW9D077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 202642 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD6qSD1075734 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD6qSnN014028 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD6qSIG014026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130652.hBD6qSIG014026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 130600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 030/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 13/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S / 43.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: 6SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/13 AT 18 UTC: 17.1S / 43.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/14 AT 06 UTC: 18.1S / 43.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THIS SYSTEM ALMOST-STATIONNARY, REMAINS WEAK WITH RATHER WEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS, A CENTRE BADLY DEFINED AND FLUCTUATING AND BADLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. BUT THE ASSOCIATED DENERATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY (SQUALLS AND HEAVY RAINS) IS IMPORTANT ON THE HALF NORTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY AND TRACK (SLOWLY ALSO) SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD, AND THEN STOP NEAR 20S AT MEDIUM RANGE, STOPPED BY THE HIGH ARRIVING SOUTH OF THE CHANNEL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:42 2003 X-UIDL: 49779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004FZNCU0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:58:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD6xJXl035268 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:59:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIBJtL058266; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 202647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD6qVD1093290 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD6qVnN014039 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD6qVhR014037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 00:52:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130652.hBD6qVhR014037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 130600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 31/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/13 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S / 43.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/13 18 UTC: 17.1S/43.5E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/14 06 UTC: 18.1S/43.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/14 18 UTC: 19.1S/42.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/15 06 UTC: 20.3S/42.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/15 18 UTC: 20.9S/42.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/16 06 UTC: 21.2S/42.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+ CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPPED ONCE MORE IN THE NIGTH (WITH A CDO OF DIAMETER OF 2 TO 3 DEGRES THIS MORNING), BUT REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED ABOVE A WEAK CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION AND A CENTRE BADLY DEFINED AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE . THIS SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS GLOBALLY SOUTHWARD, AND STOP WITH THE ARRIVAL AT MEDIUM RANGE OF A HIGH SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:43 2003 X-UIDL: 49784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004GMQ2V0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:56:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD7wBXl040821 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:58:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJW9x077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 01:53:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 202944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 01:53:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD7rRD1091542 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 01:53:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD7rRnN014544 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 01:53:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD7rRNN014543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 01:53:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 01:53:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130753.hBD7rRNN014543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 130900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 16.4S1 43.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S1 43.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.7S4 43.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.4S2 43.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 18.3S2 43.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 19.5S5 43.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.5S2 43.7E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS BEEN QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DIURNAL CONVECTION. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY WHILE THE SYSTEM REMAINS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IN THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, GFDN, AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 AND 140900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:43 2003 X-UIDL: 49785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT00489R2T0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:18:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD8JdBi052540 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:19:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWA5077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:15:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 203034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:15:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD8FSD1045792 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:15:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD8FSnN014789 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:15:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD8FRSf014786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:15:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:15:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130815.hBD8FRSf014786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO31 PGTW 130900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 8.3N1 87.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N1 87.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 8.6N4 86.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 9.0N9 84.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 9.4N3 82.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.0N1 81.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 11.2N4 79.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 8.4N2 87.2E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW UNDER A MARGINAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPOSED SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH- NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 AND 140900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:46 2003 X-UIDL: 49790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004KRV4A0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 17:45:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD9kxBi061754 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 17:47:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWAZ077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:41:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 203397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:41:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD9fPD1052144 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:41:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD9fPnN015661 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:41:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD9fPdv015660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:41:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:41:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130941.hBD9fPdv015660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 130941 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 13 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/0600 UTC... ..BROAD 1028 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 30N131W EXTENDING NORTH OF 20N AND WEST OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA. A RIDGE AXIS STRETCHES FROM THE CENTER OF THE HIGH SEWD OFF THE COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA TO 15N104W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/0915 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 7N100W 5N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30/45 NM N OF THE AXIS 93W TO 94.5W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM S OF THE AXIS FROM 92.5W TO 94.5W. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 90/120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 84W TO 99W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 5N80W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA NEAR 4N77W. BROKEN/ OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS COVER THE AREA FROM 20N S TO THE ITCZ AXIS W OF 130W. $$ WALLACE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:46 2003 X-UIDL: 49791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004PZVT30A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:00:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDA1sBi063374 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:01:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWAd077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:55:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 203463 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD9tjD1091352 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:55:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD9tjnN015773 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:55:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD9tjdF015772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:55:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 03:55:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130955.hBD9tjdF015772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 130955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0902 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 07N153W 09N166W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB... WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 06N174W 05N177E MOVED WEST AT 15 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N171W 15N166W MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST SLOWLY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15S165W 17S176W 10S172W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF POINT 08S168W MOVED NORTHWEST AT LESS THAN 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 22S149W 13S162W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY... INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE FRONT...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 25S142W 22S148W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FIRST CB AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE CZ IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:47 2003 X-UIDL: 49792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU004PB2YW0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 20:35:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDCaUBi079690 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 20:36:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWBZ077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:27:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 203944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDCR0D1085684 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDCR0nN016935 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:27:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDCR0RD016933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:27:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:27:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312131227.hBDCR0RD016933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 131200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 32/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/13 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S / 42.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/14 00 UTC: 17.1S/42.9E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/14 12 UTC: 18.4S/42.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/15 00 UTC: 19.7S/42.7E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/15 12 UTC: 20.6S/42.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/16 00 UTC: 21.1S/42.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 21.4S/42.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE HAS BEEN RELOCATED NORTH OF THE ISLAND OF JUAN DE NOVA. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WEAK AND THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS IMPORTANT AND BADLY ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS GLOBALLY SOUTHWARD, AND STOP WITH THE ARRIVAL AT MEDIUM RANGE OF A HIGH SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:51 2003 X-UIDL: 49797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU006E46X9Q2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:00:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDE1xXl076401 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:02:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWCF077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:55:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 204389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:55:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDDtKD1072346 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:55:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDDtKnN017818 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:55:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDDtKF1017816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:55:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:55:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312131355.hBDDtKF1017816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 131200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 32/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/13 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S / 42.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1001 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/14 00 UTC: 17.1S/42.9E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/14 12 UTC: 18.4S/42.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/15 00 UTC: 19.7S/42.7E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/15 12 UTC: 20.6S/42.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/16 00 UTC: 21.1S/42.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 21.4S/42.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE HAS BEEN RELOCATED NORTH OF THE ISLAND OF JUAN DE NOVA. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WEAK AND THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS IMPORTANT AND BADLY ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS GLOBALLY SOUTHWARD, AND STOP WITH THE ARRIVAL AT MEDIUM RANGE OF A HIGH SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:51 2003 X-UIDL: 49798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU006GZ6YKQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:01:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDE2mXl076554 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:02:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWCD077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:54:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 204381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:54:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDDsLD1072326 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:54:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDDsLnN017793 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:54:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDDsLjC017792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:54:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:54:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312131354.hBDDsLjC017792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 131200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 031/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 13/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 1001 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S / 42.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE EXTENFING UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE . STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/14 AT 00 UTC: 17.3S / 42.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/14 AT 12 UTC: 18.5S / 42.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOCATION OF THE CENTRE HAS BEEN RELOCATED NORTH OF THE ISLAND OF JUAN DE NOVA. THE LOW LEVEL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION REMAINS WEAK AND THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS IMPORTANT AND BADLY ORGANIZED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:53 2003 X-UIDL: 49804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU006ZLCGVQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:00:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDG1lXl088462 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:01:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpDd077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 09:56:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 205249 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 09:56:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDFtxD1031254 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 09:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDFtxnN018893 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 09:55:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDFtx4a018892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 09:55:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 09:55:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312131555.hBDFtx4a018892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 131555 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 13 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/1200 UTC... ..1026 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 30N129W WITH RIDGE EXTENDING SE THROUGH 10N115W TO 13N100W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 8N87W 5N95W 7N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 77W-79W. SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 85W-89W AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 92W-95W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... BROKEN/OVERCAST MULTILEVEL CLOUDS AND WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 8N-20N BETWEEN 132W-140W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:53 2003 X-UIDL: 49806-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU006QUHPQQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:53:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDHt2Bi013885 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:55:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIBJ0P058266; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 205975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDHnPD1031042 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDHnPnN020231 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDHnPjI020230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312131749.hBDHnPjI020230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130752ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130751ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130600Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 87.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130600Z0, TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4S1 43.7E4, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS BEEN QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:53 2003 X-UIDL: 49807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU006RBHPUQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:53:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDHtAXl002111 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:55:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpF9077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 205972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDHnQD1086854 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDHnPnN020232 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDHnP2B020229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:49:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312131749.hBDHnP2B020229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/131800Z/141800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130752ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130751ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130600Z0 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 87.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130600Z0, TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4S1 43.7E4, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS BEEN QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 130900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:54 2003 X-UIDL: 49808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU0061NIJQQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:11:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDID4Xl003954 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:13:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpFZ077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 12:08:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 206139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 12:08:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDI8aD1013072 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 12:08:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDI8ZnN020454 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 12:08:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDI8ZZP020452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 12:08:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 12:08:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312131808.hBDI8ZZP020452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 131800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 33/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/13 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.4S / 42.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1000 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/14 06 UTC: 17.2S/43.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/14 18 UTC: 18.0S/42.7E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/15 06 UTC: 18.9S/42.3E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/15 18 UTC: 20.0S/42.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 60H: 2003/12/16 06 UTC: 20.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 72H: 2003/12/16 18 UTC: 20.8S/42.5E, MAX WIND=035KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EX-CELA SHOULD GO ON TRACKING TOWARD THE SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, IN DIRECTION OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURES, BUT THE ARRIVING OF AN HIGH SHOULD STOP ITS MOVEMENT AROUND PARALLEL 21ST SOUTH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:55 2003 X-UIDL: 49812-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU006ZKPNAQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 04:45:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDKkPBi032752 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 04:46:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpHb077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:38:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 206943 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:38:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDKcDD1031140 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:38:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDKcDnN021741 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:38:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDKcDgr021739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:38:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:38:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312132038.hBDKcDgr021739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO31 PGTW 132100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 9.1N0 86.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.1N0 86.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 9.5N4 84.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 10.1N2 82.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 10.9N0 81.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 11.5N7 80.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.4N7 78.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 9.2N1 086.0E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 415 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW UNDER A MARGINAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, NCEP GFS AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:55 2003 X-UIDL: 49813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU0068MQYLQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 05:13:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDLEnXl023578 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 05:14:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpI3077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:07:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 207234 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:07:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDL7jD1085526 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDL7jnN021988 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:07:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDL7jFe021987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:07:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:07:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312132107.hBDL7jFe021987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 132100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 16.3S0 42.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 42.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.6S3 42.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.0S8 42.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.7S5 42.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.6S5 42.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.4S1 042.7E3. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS BEEN MAINLY QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DIURNAL CONVECTION. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTER TAU 36 THE STEERING RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD WITH THE APPROACH OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE WEST ALLOWING TC 03S TO INCREASE SPEED POLEWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, NCEP GFS, AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 AND 142100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:56 2003 X-UIDL: 49817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU006IQT3VQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 05:59:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDM1BXl027930 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 06:01:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIBJ35058266; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:55:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 207602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:55:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDLthD1072386 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDLthnN022419 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:55:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDLthsU022418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:55:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:55:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312132155.hBDLthsU022418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 132155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 13 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N169W 07N160W 05N166W 07N178W 09N172W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 13N141W 12N143W 11N147W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S173W 08S154W 11S145W 12S151W 10S160W 14S165W 14S170W 11S174W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 14S175W 15S171W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 14S160W 17S153W 25S141W 25S143W 21S158W 16S158W 16S162W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ AND UPPER TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07S177E 08S178W 10S177W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 15 HOURS... DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:57 2003 X-UIDL: 49818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU0065HTI9Q2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 06:08:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDM9mXl028822 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 06:09:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpJV077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:05:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 207767 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:05:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDM5YD1024980 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:05:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDM5XnN022527 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:05:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDM5Xle022526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:05:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:05:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312132205.hBDM5Xle022526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 132205 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 13 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 13/1800 UTC... ..1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 30N127W. ONE RIDGE FROM HIGH CENTER TO 25N121W 21N114W 15N110W 9N105W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 9N WEST OF 105W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 13/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N97W 5N110W 7N120W 9N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 132W...AND FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 131W AND 132W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 140 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 97W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 81W...IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS WITHIN 100 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 98W AND 110W...AND WEST OF 134W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 19N140W. RIDGE ALONG 133W FROM 10N TO 25N. BASE OF BROAD TROUGH TO THE EAST REACHES 20N116W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:57 2003 X-UIDL: 49819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU0068FZL5Q2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:19:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE0L9p8010702 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:21:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpLb077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:13:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 208915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:13:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE0DND1093258 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:13:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE0DNnN023659 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:13:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE0DNof023657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:13:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:13:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140013.hBE0DNof023657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 140000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 34/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/14 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S / 42.1E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/14 12 UTC: 17.6S/41.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/15 00 UTC: 18.7S/40.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/15 12 UTC: 19.8S/40.9E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/16 00 UTC: 20.7S/41.4E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 21.2S/42.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 21.4S/42.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EX-CELA SHOULD GO ON TRACKING TOWARD THE SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, IN DIRECTION OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURES, BUT THE ARRIVING OF AN HIGH SHOULD STOP ITS MOVEMENT AROUND 21/22 SOUTH. CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAIN FAVORABLES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:59 2003 X-UIDL: 49822-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006V39W0Q2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:02:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE43eOC032251 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:03:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpPh077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 21:58:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 210191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 21:58:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE3w8D1059574 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 21:58:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE3w7nN025416 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 21:58:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE3w7I9025415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 21:58:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 21:58:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140358.hBE3w7I9025415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 140357 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 14 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0000 UTC... ..1025 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 29N126W. ONE RIDGE FROM HIGH CENTER TO 24N118W 20N112W 14N110W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 6N77W 7N89W 6N97W 5N110W 6N118W 9N131W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 91W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 2N TO 8N BETWEEN 77W AND 79W IN COASTAL SECTIONS OF COLOMBIA...WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 90 NM CONVECTION ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 130W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 19N140W. RIDGE FROM 32N128W TO 17N132W 11N135W. BASE OF BROAD TROUGH TO THE EAST DIGS TO 18N116W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:00 2003 X-UIDL: 49825-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV0066RE3WQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 13:33:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE5Yhp8035692 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 13:34:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpQH077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 210607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE5NQD1031178 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE5NQnN026046 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE5NQGC026044 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140523.hBE5NQGC026044@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z-150600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:02 2003 X-UIDL: 49830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006DCFWFQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:12:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE6DTOC043133 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:13:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE61ADp045458; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:09:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 211090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:09:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE696D1013270 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:09:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE696nN026492 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:09:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE696Ih026490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:09:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:09:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 14/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140609.hBE696Ih026490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO24 FMEE 140000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 033/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 14/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S / 42.1E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY LOCATED IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT, AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/14 AT 12 UTC: 17.6S / 41.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/15 AT 00 UTC: 18.7S / 40.8E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EX-CELA IS NOW WELL VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE TRACK HAS STARTED TO BECOME MORE REGULAR, TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION ARE FAVORABLES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:02 2003 X-UIDL: 49831-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006GWFZSQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:14:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE6FTOC043287 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:15:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpT5077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 211104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE6ABD1093388 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE6AAnN026507 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE6AA7t026505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140610.hBE6AA7t026505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 140000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 34/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/14 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.7S / 42.1E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/14 12 UTC: 17.6S/41.1E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/15 00 UTC: 18.7S/40.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/15 12 UTC: 19.8S/40.9E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/16 00 UTC: 20.7S/41.4E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 21.2S/42.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 21.4S/42.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE EX-CELA SHOULD GO ON TRACKING TOWARD THE SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, IN DIRECTION OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURES, BUT THE ARRIVING OF AN HIGH SHOULD STOP ITS MOVEMENT AROUND 21/22 SOUTH. CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAIN FAVORABLES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:02 2003 X-UIDL: 49832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006HOG01Q2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:14:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE6FcOC043299 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:15:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpT7077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 211109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE6ADD1018290 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE6ADnN026517 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE6ACk0026514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:10:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140610.hBE6ACk0026514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 140600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 34/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 14/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 (EX-CELA) 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.9S / 41.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/14 AT 18 UTC: 17.9S / 41.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/15 AT 06 UTC: 19.0S / 41.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAINS FAVORABLES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:03 2003 X-UIDL: 49833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006XQGA1Q2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:20:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE6LcOC043925 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:21:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpTB077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:18:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 211170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:18:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE6IND1033196 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:18:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE6INnN026567 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:18:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE6INm9026565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:18:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:18:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140618.hBE6INm9026565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 140600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 35/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.9S / 41.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 31 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 300 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/14 18 UTC: 17.9S/41.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/15 06 UTC: 19.0S/41.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/15 18 UTC: 20.1S/41.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/16 06 UTC: 21.0S/41.5E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/12/16 18 UTC: 21.2S/42.0E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/17 06 UTC: 21.5S/42.5E, MAX WIND=045KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: INCURVED BAND CONFIGURATION. CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAINS FAVORABLES.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:04 2003 X-UIDL: 49837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV0068NIXCQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:17:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE7Imp8044776 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:18:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpTt077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:12:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 211506 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:12:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE7CsD1075524 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:12:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE7CrnN026957 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:12:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE7Cr3I026955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:12:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:12:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140712.hBE7Cr3I026955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 140600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 35/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/14 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.9S / 41.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 31 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 300 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/14 18 UTC: 17.9S/41.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/15 06 UTC: 19.0S/41.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/15 18 UTC: 20.1S/41.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/16 06 UTC: 21.0S/41.5E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2003/12/16 18 UTC: 21.2S/42.0E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/17 06 UTC: 21.5S/42.5E, MAX WIND=045KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: INCURVED BAND CONFIGURATION. CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAINS FAVORABLES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:04 2003 X-UIDL: 49838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006EMLA0Q2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:08:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE89YOC054046 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:09:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpVB077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:04:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 211860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:04:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE84AD1045726 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE84AnN027363 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:04:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE84Alg027362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:04:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:04:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140804.hBE84Alg027362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 140900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 17.1S9 41.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S9 41.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 18.0S9 41.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 19.1S1 41.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 19.9S9 41.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 20.4S6 42.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.3S1 41.7E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. A 140307Z5 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN SOUTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, NCEP GFS, AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 AND 150900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:05 2003 X-UIDL: 49839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV0066PLSJQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:19:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE8Kjp8050258 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:20:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpVH077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:13:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 211894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:13:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE8DdD1087006 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:13:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE8DdnN027434 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:13:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE8DcBX027431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:13:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:13:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140813.hBE8DcBX027431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO31 PGTW 140900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 10.6N7 84.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 84.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.8N0 83.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.0N4 82.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.1N6 81.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.0N6 80.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 16.7N4 80.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 10.9N0 84.4E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS AND A 132355Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS. THE QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTED HIGHER WINDS NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTHEAST MONSOON SURGE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 48 HOURS, TC 03B IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN POLEWARD AS AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WEAKENS THE STEERING RIDGE. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, EGRR, NCEP GFS AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 AND 150900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:07 2003 X-UIDL: 49843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006DQPJFQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 17:40:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE9fcp8056721 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 17:41:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpVv077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:34:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 212226 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:34:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE9YUD1052066 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:34:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE9YUnN028246 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:34:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE9YUAC028245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:34:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:34:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140934.hBE9YUAC028245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 140934 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 14 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT IS IN THE NW PART OF THE AREA THROUGH 32N135W TO BEYOND 29N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..1026 MB HIGH IS NEAR 28N133W WITH RIDGE AXIS SE TO 15N108W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N90W 6N100W 8N127W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 89W-91W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 123W-130W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 134W-137W. ISOLATED MODERATE N OF 3N E OF 81W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED TSTMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 11N88W AND ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N135W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:07 2003 X-UIDL: 49844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV0069ZQ4TQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 17:53:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE9sVp8057820 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 17:54:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpW5077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:48:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 212293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:48:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE9mtD1093206 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:48:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE9mtnN028307 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:48:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE9mtik028306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:48:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 03:48:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140948.hBE9mtik028306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 140948 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 09N163W 07N180...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20S152W 25S146W...HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH/CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S162W 13S142W 15S152W 18S160W 17S175W 10S170W 07S162W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH/CZ UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:08 2003 X-UIDL: 49847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV0060PXELQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:30:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBECVUp8070125 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:31:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpXd077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 06:25:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 213311 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 06:25:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBECPPD1086962 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 06:25:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBECPPnN029418 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 06:25:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBECPP4q029416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 06:25:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 06:25:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312141225.hBECPP4q029416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 141200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 36/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/14 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S / 41.9E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 36 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/15 00 UTC: 18.2S/41.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/12/15 12 UTC: 19.5S/41.8E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2003/12/16 00 UTC: 20.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 21.0S/42.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 21.3S/42.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/12/17 12 UTC: 21.6S/43.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0-. INCURVED BAND PATTERN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:10 2003 X-UIDL: 49850-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006J6ZVCQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 21:23:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEDOop8074201 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 21:24:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpY5077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:20:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 213766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:20:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEDKdD1099446 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:20:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEDKdnN029873 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:20:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEDKcs8029871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:20:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:20:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 14/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312141320.hBEDKcs8029871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO24 FMEE 141200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 35/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 14/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S / 41.9E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTORS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/15 AT 00 UTC: 18.2S / 41.9E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/15 AT 12 UTC: 19.5S / 41.8E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:10 2003 X-UIDL: 49851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006O2ZYYQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 21:25:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEDR2p8074384 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 21:27:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpY7077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:22:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 213784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:22:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEDMlD1099478 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:22:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEDMknN029896 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:22:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEDMkaE029893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:22:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 07:22:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312141322.hBEDMkaE029893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 141200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 36/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/14 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.5S / 41.9E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 36 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 400 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/15 00 UTC: 18.2S/41.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/12/15 12 UTC: 19.5S/41.8E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2003/12/16 00 UTC: 20.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 21.0S/42.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 21.3S/42.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/12/17 12 UTC: 21.6S/43.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0-. INCURVED BAND PATTERN. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:14 2003 X-UIDL: 49855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW0087W5P9Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:29:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEFUnp8085833 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:30:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpZr077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 09:24:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 214794 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 09:24:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEFOrD1085608 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 09:24:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEFOrnN000730 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 09:24:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEFOrQF000729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 09:24:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 09:24:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312141524.hBEFOrQF000729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 141524 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 14 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N129W AND EXTENDS SW TO 30N137W...CONTINUING AS A STATIONARY FRONT BEYOND 29N140W. ..RIDGE EXTENDS EAST OF THE COLD FRONT ALONG 29N135W 29N120W 23N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N80W 8N87W 6N110W 8N130W 8N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE GULF OF PANAMA FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 77W-80W. SCATTERED MODERATE EXTENDING SW OF EL SALVADOR FROM 5N-12N BETWEEN 89W-94W. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 123W-128W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 134W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N116W TO 10N121W. A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE AREA NEAR 20N140W WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS TO ITS EAST FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 132W-138W. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:15 2003 X-UIDL: 49856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW008P0A9ZY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 01:08:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEH9aOC012595 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 01:09:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE61AI5045458; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 215439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEH4AD1045684 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEH49nN001494 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEH49tA001491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312141704.hBEH49tA001491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, SUPERLONG_LINE 0.003, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140752ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140751ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 84.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 140900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1, TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1S9 41.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 140900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:15 2003 X-UIDL: 49857-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW008PCAA1Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 01:08:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEH9dOC012614 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 01:09:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpbJ077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 215436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEH49D1015016 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEH49nN001493 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEH497P001492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:04:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312141704.hBEH497P001492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, SUPERLONG_LINE 0.003, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 141800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/141800Z/151800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140752ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140751ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 84.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 140900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1, TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1S9 41.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 140900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:15 2003 X-UIDL: 49858-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW0084BF1DY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:51:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEIqUOC022830 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:52:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEIA1DP045460; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:48:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 216509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:48:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEIm2D1085556 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:48:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEIm1nN002450 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:48:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEIm14x002448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:48:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:48:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312141848.hBEIm14x002448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 141800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 37/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/14 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.5S / 41.6E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 MOINS /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 100 SO: 100 NO: 100 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/15 06 UTC: 19.6S/41.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/12/15 18 UTC: 20.2S/40.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2003/12/16 06 UTC: 20.5S/40.2E, MAX WIND=045KT. 48H: 2003/12/16 18 UTC: 20.4S/39.5E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/12/17 06 UTC: 20.4S/38.7E, MAX WIND=055KT. 72H: 2003/12/17 18 UTC: 20.8S/37.9E, MAX WIND=055KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM IS MAINLY DEFINED ACCORDING TO THE SHAPE OF THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL VORTEX AND THE SEVERAL DATA AVALAIBLE (WIND OBSERVED IN JUAN DE NOVA), BECAUSE THE DVORAK ANALYSIS IS VERY DIFFICULT, DUE TO THE VERY IMPORTANT DIURNAL CYCLE OF DEEP CONVECTION (WHICH IS ACTUALLY VERY POOR AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS NIGHT).= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:17 2003 X-UIDL: 49861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW0087WJXFY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 04:36:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEKc6p8018126 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 04:38:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpg9077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:34:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 217503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:34:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEKYtD1018218 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:34:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEKYtnN003367 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:34:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEKYtLu003364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:34:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:34:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312142034.hBEKYtLu003364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO31 PGTW 140900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 12.1N4 83.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 83.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.3N7 82.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.4N9 81.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.3N9 81.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.2N9 80.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.8N6 80.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 083.3E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW WITH AN ADDITIONAL POLEWARD OUTFLOW PATH ENHANCED BY THE LEADING EDGE OF A TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 36 HOURS, TC 03B IS FORECAST TO DECREASE IN SPEED AND TRACK POLEWARD AS AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WEAKENS THE STEERING RIDGE AND THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. EGRR FORECASTS TC 03B TO RECURVE MORE SHARPLY TRACKING THE SYSTEM ALONG THE COAST OF INDIA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 AND 152100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:17 2003 X-UIDL: 49863-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW008ZELP5Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 05:15:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBELGJp8024110 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 05:16:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpgr077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:07:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 217773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:07:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEL7ZD1085638 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:07:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEL7ZnN003611 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:07:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEL7ZQc003610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:07:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:07:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312142107.hBEL7ZQc003610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 18.3S2 41.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 41.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 19.2S2 41.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 19.9S9 41.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 20.5S7 41.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.1S4 41.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.5S4 041.3E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 35 AND 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. A TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE AND CONTRIBUTE TO WEAKENING THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, NCEP GFS, GFDN AND WBAR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT DURING THE INITIAL 24 HOURS AND THEN TRACKS DIVERGE RAPIDLY DUE TO THE WEAK INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM FORECAST BY AVAILABLE AIDS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 AND 152100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:18 2003 X-UIDL: 49864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW00814N65Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 05:46:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBELm9OC048527 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 05:48:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqphl077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:43:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 218166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:43:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBELhWD1058164 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:43:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBELhWnN003866 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:43:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBELhWUJ003865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:43:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:43:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312142143.hBELhWUJ003865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 142143 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 14 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 08N135W 08N141W 08N146W 06N152W. ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 06N170W 06N180...HAD BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED...AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 24S142W 27S138W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH/CZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL IN AREA BOUNDED BY 09S160W 15S144W 17S146W 18S162W 16S179W 07S175W 09S160W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH/CZ UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. WROE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:18 2003 X-UIDL: 49865-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW0087SO2XY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 06:06:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEM7nOC050606 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 06:07:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC61Tnd078466; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:03:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 218289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:03:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEM3vD1020548 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:03:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEM3vnN004047 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:03:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEM3vL2004046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:03:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:03:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312142203.hBEM3vL2004046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 142203 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 14 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/1800 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 8N92W...EASILY SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY IN THE ITCZ. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 12N91W 9N92W 6N93W. ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N123W TO 29N131W. DISSIPATING COLD FRONT 29N131W TO 28N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 34N118W 30N125W 29N133W 28N140W. ..1028 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N139W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE FRONT. RIDGE 26N140W 26N130W 29N122W 33N117W TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 7N93W 6N110W 8N124W 7N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-75 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 82W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30-45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 140W...AND FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 119W AND 123W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 8N73W 8N90W 8N100W 7N110W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 19N139W. AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW...IN DRY AIR/STRONG SUBSIDENCE...FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 105W AND 117W. BROAD RIDGE IN BETWEEN THESE TWO AREAS OF CYCLONIC FLOW. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:19 2003 X-UIDL: 49869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW00904VSMVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:53:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF0sQp8045659 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqplF077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 18:46:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 219551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 18:46:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF0kJD1028980 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 18:46:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF0kInN005398 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 18:46:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF0kIfs005396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 18:46:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 18:46:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150046.hBF0kIfs005396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 150000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 38/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/15 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.0S / 41.1E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 MOINS /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/15 12 UTC: 19.4S/40.4E, MAX WIND=035KT. 24H: 2003/12/16 00 UTC: 19.5S/39.9E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 19.1S/39.1E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 18.7S/38.1E, MAX WIND=035KT. 60H: 2003/12/17 12 UTC: 18.9S/37.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2003/12/18 00 UTC: 19.5S/36.6E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN WITH THE ARRIVAL OF AN HIGH SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL, THEN CURVE WESTWARD, THEN WESTNORTHWESTWARD, BEFORE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT MEDIUM RANGE, AFTER THE EVACUATION EASTWARD OF THE HIGH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:19 2003 X-UIDL: 49871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW009B9XI5VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 09:30:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF1VMOC072418 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 09:31:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpmB077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 219924 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF1QBD1093322 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF1QAnN005751 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF1QAb6005749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150126.hBF1QAb6005749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 150130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/150130Z/151800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141952ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141951ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141800Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 083.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 142100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141800Z4 TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5S4 041.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF MOZAMBIQUE AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 142100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 079.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 1000NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ISSUE POOR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AND UPDATE ALL OTHER PARAS. 4. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:19 2003 X-UIDL: 49872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW009FJXJJVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 09:30:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF1WBp8050267 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 09:32:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEIA1H9045460; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 219927 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF1QAD1064602 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF1QAnN005750 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF1QAtJ005748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:26:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150126.hBF1QAtJ005748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 150130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/150130Z/151800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141952ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141951ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141800Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 083.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 142100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141800Z4 TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5S4 041.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF MOZAMBIQUE AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 142100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 079.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 1000NM WEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ISSUE POOR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AND UPDATE ALL OTHER PARAS. 4. RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:21 2003 X-UIDL: 49880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009NJ3Y3VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 11:49:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF3oUOC089692 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 11:50:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpop077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 21:46:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 220852 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 21:46:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF3kED1033194 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 21:46:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF3kEnN006980 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 21:46:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF3kEWN006979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 21:46:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 21:46:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150346.hBF3kEWN006979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 150346 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 15 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/0000 UTC... ..1010 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 8N93W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 92W AND 94W. ..COLD FRONT THROUGH 32N120W TO 29N130W. DISSIPATING COLD FRONT 29N130W TO 28N140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 45-60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 32N118W 30N122W 28N130W 28N140W. ..1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 33N137W. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE FRONT. RIDGE 30N116W 27N123W TO 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 26N131W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N93W 6N112W 8N128W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS EAST OF 90W. POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 112W. BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS LEFT OVER AFTER CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AT 14/2130 UTC AND LATER TIMES EVENTUALLY DISSIPATED...FROM 9N TO 14N BETWEEN 89W AND 93W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 8N77W 8N87W 7N100W 7N117W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 21N136W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM 10N TO 27N BETWEEN 112W AND 126W...BEFORE RUNNING INTO AN AREA OF DRY AIR/STRONG SUBSIDENCE...FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 117W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:22 2003 X-UIDL: 49884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX0094S5GHVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:21:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF4NAp8070467 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:23:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEIA1IB045460; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 220991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF4CvD1064652 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF4CunN007212 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF4CuLZ007210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150412.hBF4CuLZ007210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z-160600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:23 2003 X-UIDL: 49886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX0093W5T5VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:29:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF4Uip8071374 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:30:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEIA1IH045460; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:25:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 221123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:25:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF4P5D1071508 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:25:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF4P5nN007287 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:25:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF4P4BZ007284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:25:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:25:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150425.hBF4P4BZ007284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO31 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 12.1N4 83.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 83.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.3N7 82.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.4N9 81.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.3N9 81.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.2N9 80.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.8N6 80.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 083.3E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW WITH AN ADDITIONAL POLEWARD OUTFLOW PATH ENHANCED BY THE LEADING EDGE OF A TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 36 HOURS, TC 03B IS FORECAST TO DECREASE IN SPEED AND TRACK POLEWARD AS AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WEAKENS THE STEERING RIDGE AND THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND WBAR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. EGRR FORECASTS TC 03B TO RECURVE MORE SHARPLY TRACKING THE SYSTEM ALONG THE COAST OF INDIA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 AND 152100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:25 2003 X-UIDL: 49891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009KV9Q7VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:54:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF5tMp8080569 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:55:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpqD077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:48:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 221727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:48:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF5m0D1071618 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:48:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF5m0nN007908 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:48:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF5m0Uc007906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:48:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:48:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150548.hBF5m0Uc007906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 150000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 038/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 15/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.0S / 41.1E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT, NEAR JUAN DE NOVA. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/15 AT 12 UTC: 19.4S / 40.4E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/16 AT 00 UTC: 19.5S / 39.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NO SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION. CONVECTION HAS REBUILT BUT REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:25 2003 X-UIDL: 49893-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX0096OCCIVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:50:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF6pqp8087517 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:51:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpsV077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:43:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 222216 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:43:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF6hJD1020500 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:43:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF6hJnN008369 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:43:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF6hJvm008367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:43:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:43:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150643.hBF6hJvm008367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 150600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 039/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 15/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 991 HPA POSITION: 19.7S / 41.2E (NINETEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS MAINLY UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/15 AT 18 UTC: 20.7S / 40.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/16 AT 06 UTC: 21.2S / 40.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED LAST NIGTH, IT IS REBUILTING NEAR THE CENTRE AND SEEMS TO BE ORGANISAZING BETTER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:25 2003 X-UIDL: 49894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009EVCENVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:51:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF6r9p8087664 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:53:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpsZ077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:46:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 222238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:46:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF6kRD1052242 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:46:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF6kRnN008389 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:46:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF6kQXv008387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:46:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:46:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150646.hBF6kQXv008387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 150600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 39/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/15 AT 0600 UTC : 19.7S / 41.2E (NINETEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 991 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 080 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/15 18 UTC: 20.7S/40.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/12/16 06 UTC: 21.2S/40.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/16 18 UTC: 20.7S/39.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/17 06 UTC: 19.9S/38.4E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/12/17 18 UTC: 19.6S/37.4E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2003/12/18 06 UTC: 19.7S/36.4E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN WITH THE ARRIVAL OF AN HIGH SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL, THEN CURVE WESTWARD, THEN WESTNORTHWESTWARD, BEFORE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT MEDIUM RANGE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:33 2003 X-UIDL: 49908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009J4GVHVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:28:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF8TeOC024915 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:29:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpu9077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:24:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 222687 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:24:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF8OqD1052114 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:24:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF8OqnN009138 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:24:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF8OqcJ009136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:24:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:24:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150824.hBF8OqcJ009136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 14.7N2 81.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 81.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.2N9 80.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 17.7N5 80.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 18.9N8 81.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 20.2N4 82.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 81.2E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45, 55, AND 65 KNOTS. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE A DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL BY TAU 12 APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL, TC 03B WILL START TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 AND 160900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:34 2003 X-UIDL: 49911-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009FJHFCVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:40:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF8fbOC026531 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:41:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60eEL099338; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:34:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 222743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:34:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF8Y1D1058350 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:34:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF8Y1nN009217 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:34:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF8Y1fF009216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:34:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:34:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150834.hBF8Y1fF009216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 19.6S6 40.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6S6 40.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 20.3S5 40.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 21.0S3 40.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.7S0 40.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.4S8 41.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 19.8S8 40.8E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTHEAST OF MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30, AND 45 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. BY TAU 18, A TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST AND WEAKEN THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND CONTRIBUTE TO WEAKENING THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND WBAR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT DURING THE INITIAL 12 HOURS AND THEN TRACKS DIVERGE RAPIDLY DUE TO THE WEAK INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM FORECAST BY AVAILABLE AIDS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 AND 160900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:36 2003 X-UIDL: 49915-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009X6JT7VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 17:31:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF9XAp8005895 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 17:33:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpuh077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:25:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 222993 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:25:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF9PPD1038850 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:25:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF9PPnN009817 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:25:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF9PPPO009816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:25:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:25:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150925.hBF9PPPO009816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 150925 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 15 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 15/0600 UTC... ..WEAK 1009 MB LOW IS NEAR 8N94W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER. ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 31N SW TO 28N123W WSW TO 27N133W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ..OTHERWISE THE EPAC SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CONTROLS THE AREA W OF 108W N OF THE ITCZ. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 15/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 7N94W 6N105W 8N120W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 79W-82W AND BETWEEN 2N-4N E OF 80W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6N114W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... A FEW SHOWERS ARE NEAR 10.5N123.5W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:36 2003 X-UIDL: 49917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009AWL0WVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 17:58:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF9xFOC036007 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 17:59:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60eEh099338; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:55:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223100 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:55:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF9ttD1069066 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:55:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF9ttnN010055 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:55:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF9ttU0010054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:55:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:55:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150955.hBF9ttU0010054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 150955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 11N176W 08N165W 06N166W 05N177E 07N177E 11N179W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND BOUNDED BY 10N142W 09N140W 06N140W 07N145W 09N144W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 07S175W 11S176W 11S176E 08S178E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 06S165W 11S161W 13S171W 12S174W 14S180 10S174W 07S173W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 8 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 13S163W 21S143W 22S157W 18S167W 15S166W HAVE MOVED SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 KT ..INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...SECOND SENTENCE. CONVECTION REMAINS MAINLY NORTH OR EAST OF THE ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:48:57 2003 X-UIDL: 49924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009ORS34VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:30:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFCVtp8024451 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:31:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60eFX099338; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 06:27:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 06:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFCQxD1058278 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 06:26:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFCQwnN011310 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 06:26:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFCQwi3011308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 06:26:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 06:26:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151226.hBFCQwi3011308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 151200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 40/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/15 AT 1200 UTC : 20.4S / 41.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 984 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 250 SO: 150 NO: 100 50 KT NE: SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/16 00 UTC: 21.0S/39.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 21.4S/39.2E, MAX WIND=055KT. 36H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 21.1S/38.3E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2003/12/17 12 UTC: 20.7S/37.4E, MAX WIND=055KT. 60H: 2003/12/18 00 UTC: 20.3S/36.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2003/12/18 12 UTC: 19.8S/35.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN WITH THE ARRIVAL OF AN HIGH SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL, THEN CURVE WESTWARD, THEN WESTNORTHWESTWARD, BEFORE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT MEDIUM RANGE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:04 2003 X-UIDL: 49926-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009MDUA3VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:18:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDJKOC058075 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:19:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpwl077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:13:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223908 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:13:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDD8D1075600 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:13:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFDD8nN011751 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:13:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFDD8WU011749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:13:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:13:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151313.hBFDD8WU011749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 151200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 041/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 15/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 984 HPA POSITION: 20.4S / 41.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST ) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTH-EASTERN SEMI-CERCLES. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/16 AT 00 UTC: 21.0S / 39.8E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/16 AT 12 UTC: 21.4S / 39.2E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFYED IN THE BEGINING OF THE DAY, PRESENTING TEMPORARY A LOW LEVEL YEY PATTERN. THE SYSTEME IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TRACK MORE WESTWARDS AT THE ARRIVAL OF HIGH PRESSURES ON THE SOUTH OF THE CHANEL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:05 2003 X-UIDL: 49927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009KUURHVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:28:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDTkp8030066 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:29:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpwr077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:24:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:24:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDOOD1091294 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:24:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFDOOnN011891 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:24:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFDOOKU011887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:24:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:24:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151324.hBFDOOKU011887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 151200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 40/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/15 AT 1200 UTC : 20.4S / 41.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 984 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 250 SO: 150 NO: 100 50 KT NE: SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/16 00 UTC: 21.0S/39.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 21.4S/39.2E, MAX WIND=055KT. 36H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 21.1S/38.3E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2003/12/17 12 UTC: 20.7S/37.4E, MAX WIND=055KT. 60H: 2003/12/18 00 UTC: 20.3S/36.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2003/12/18 12 UTC: 19.8S/35.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN WITH THE ARRIVAL OF AN HIGH SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL, THEN CURVE WESTWARD, THEN WESTNORTHWESTWARD, BEFORE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT MEDIUM RANGE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:08 2003 X-UIDL: 49929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009TLVEQVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:42:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDhhp8031455 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:43:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC61Ttb078466; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223996 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDZtD1058248 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFDZtnN012091 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFDZtkt012089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151335.hBFDZtkt012089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 151300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/151300Z-160600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 112.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING BUT DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.(B).1 FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:12 2003 X-UIDL: 49933-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009KFVT9VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:51:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDqPOC061308 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:52:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60eGB099338; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDhDD1052248 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFDhDnN012307 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFDhDDV012305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151343.hBFDhDDV012305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 151400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/151400Z-160600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 112.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING BUT DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.(B).1. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:15 2003 X-UIDL: 49939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY0092011QVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:44:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFFjQOC075365 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:45:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqp11077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 09:31:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224880 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 09:31:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFFVVD1068906 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 09:31:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFFVVnN015060 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 09:31:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFFVViq015059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 09:31:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 09:31:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151531.hBFFVViq015059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 151531 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 15 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1200 UTC... ..WEAK 1008 MB LOW IS NEAR 7N95W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 8N-10N BETWEEN 93W-98W. ..HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE AREA N OF 20N AND W OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1530 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 6N110W 8N130W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 137W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FORMOSA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:18 2003 X-UIDL: 49943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY00922847VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 02:16:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIHvp8062711 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 02:17:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqp97077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:02:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 227124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:02:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFI2XD1100090 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:02:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFI2WnN019454 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:02:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFI2W43019452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:02:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:02:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151802.hBFI2W43019452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 151800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 41/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/15 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.6S / 41.1E (TWENTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/3.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 984 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 100 SE: 250 SO: 150 NO: 100 50 KT NE: SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/16 06 UTC: 21.0S/40.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/16 18 UTC: 21.2S/40.5E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2003/12/17 06 UTC: 21.3S/40.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/17 18 UTC: 21.0S/39.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/18 06 UTC: 20.8S/38.2E, MAX WIND=035KT. 72H: 2003/12/18 18 UTC: 20.6S/37.2E, MAX WIND=035KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.5- CI=3.5= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:21 2003 X-UIDL: 49948-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY009T5CJ4VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:52:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFJrUp8074758 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:53:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60eRv099338; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 229113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFJknD1049276 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFJknnN022371 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFJkn5O022369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151946.hBFJkn5O022369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 151800 COR UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN CORRECTED/151800Z/161800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150752ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150751ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150600Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N2 81.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 150900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150600Z2 TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6S6 40.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTHWEST OF MOZAMBIQUE AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 150900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 79.3E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 75.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 1000NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: EDITED POSITION IN PARA 2.B.(1) 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: ARENDS/VILPORS/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:21 2003 X-UIDL: 49949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY0097LCQNVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:56:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFJvxOC006866 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:58:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgFZ077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 229110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFJknD1093318 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFJknnN022372 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFJknBp022370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:46:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151946.hBFJknBp022370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 151800 COR UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN CORRECTED/151800Z/161800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150752ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150751ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150600Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N2 81.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 150900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150600Z2 TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6S6 40.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTHWEST OF MOZAMBIQUE AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW 150900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 79.3E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 75.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 1000NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: EDITED POSITION IN PARA 2.B.(1) 4. RELEASED BY: CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: ARENDS/VILPORS/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:22 2003 X-UIDL: 49951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY009FIF4BVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 04:48:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFKnPOC013409 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 04:49:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgIZ077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:42:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 230035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:42:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFKgSD1058224 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:42:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFKgSnN024004 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:42:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFKgSh9024003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:42:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:42:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312152042.hBFKgSh9024003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 152100 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 20.7S9 41.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S9 41.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 20.9S1 41.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 20.9S1 40.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 21.0S3 40.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 21.1S4 39.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.7S9 41.3E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST OF MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 151711Z6 MICROWAVE PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. THE MICROWAVE PASS INDICATES A MID-LEVEL EYE FEATURE, WITH A BANDING FEATURE WRAPPING AROUND THE SOUTH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A TRANSIENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS ABOUT TO MOVE OUT AND A RIDGE IS BUILDING TO THE SOUTH BEHIND IT. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS IT TRACKS IN THE WEAKNESS BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND RIDGE. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM AND WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW. AS A RESULT, A WESTWARD TRACK IS EXPECTED THROUGH 48 HOURS. POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH, BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THAT TROUGH MOVES THROUGH AND THE RIDGE BUILDS IN. THEREFORE, SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED EARLY IN THE PERIOD, AND THEN THE SYSTEM SHOULD SLIGHTLY WEAKEN. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, NCEP GFS, GFDN AND WBAR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. EGRR AND NGPS KEEP THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH STRONG AND TRACK THE SYSTEM DUE WEST, WHILE GFS AND GFDN WEAKEN THE RIDGE LATE IN THE PERIOD, RESULTING IN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 AND 162100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:24 2003 X-UIDL: 49954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY009TRFWRVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 05:05:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFL6Pp8083075 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 05:06:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgJB077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:57:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 230214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:57:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFKvkD1055314 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:57:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFKvjnN024421 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:57:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFKvjLn024419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:57:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:57:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312152057.hBFKvjLn024419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO31 PGTW 152100 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03B WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 16.4N1 81.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 81.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 18.2N1 81.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 81.2E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B, MADE LANDFALL NEAR FALSE DIVI POINT, INDIA AT APPROXIMATELY 151430Z4. IT HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN CONVECTION AFTER THE SYSTEM MADE LANDFALL. TC 03B IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TC 03B SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL CYCLONE STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:24 2003 X-UIDL: 49955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY0092KI9IVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 05:56:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFLvIp8088010 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 05:57:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgLh077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:46:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 231044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:46:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFLkjD1091172 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:46:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFLkinN025906 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:46:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFLkiTU025905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:46:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:46:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312152146.hBFLkiTU025905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 152146 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 15 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N150W 07N158W 04N166W 04N170W. ISOLATED CB...THAT CROSS 180...WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 06N171W 06N174W 05N167E 10N158E HAVE MOVED WEST 15 KT AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 17S156W 20S152W 20S148W HAVE MOVED SOUTHEAST 15 KT...WEAKENED...AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 17S161W 12S168W 09S175W 09S177W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH. CONVECTION REMAINED NORTH AND EAST OF THE ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:24 2003 X-UIDL: 49956-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY00D9NJ4EL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:14:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFMFpp8090049 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:15:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgMB077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:02:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 231238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:02:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFM2JD1085630 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:02:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFM2JnN026343 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:02:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFM2JLV026342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:02:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:02:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312152202.hBFM2JLV026342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 152202 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 15 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1800 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 7N97W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG ITCZ CONVECTION FROM 7N TO 10N BETWEEN 93W AND 98W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FROM 10N TO 30N BETWEEN 116W AND 140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 8N98W 6N110W 8N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 40-50 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 104W AND 108W...AND WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 23N132W. CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 15N TO 30N BETWEEN 126W AND 140W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:25 2003 X-UIDL: 49957-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY00D8BPTEL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 08:39:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG0eMp8003792 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 08:40:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC61T9v078466; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 18:30:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 233228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 18:30:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG0U9D1031208 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 18:30:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG0U9nN028844 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 18:30:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG0U95K028841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 18:30:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 18:30:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160030.hBG0U95K028841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 160000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 42/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/16 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.7S / 41.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 MOINS /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 48 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 200 SO: 130 NO: 080 50 KT NE: SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 21.0S/40.7E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 21.3S/40.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/17 12 UTC: 21.2S/39.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/18 00 UTC: 21.0S/38.6E, MAX WIND=035KT. 60H: 2003/12/18 12 UTC: 20.7S/37.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 72H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 20.5S/37.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0+ CI=3.5-= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 15:45:39 2003 X-UIDL: 49974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY00D12YR6L0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:52:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG3rZp8026999 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:53:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60eZb099338; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:47:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 234473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:47:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG3lsD1048380 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:47:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG3lsnN001118 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:47:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG3lsTj001117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:47:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:47:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160347.hBG3lsTj001117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 160347 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 16 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/0000 UTC... ..1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 7N97W AT 15/1800 UTC IS NOT APPARENT IN THE 16/0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 106W. RIDGE THROUGH 33N130W BEYOND 28N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N77W 8N94W 7N108W 8N122W 8N133W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30-40 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 136W AND 139W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS WEST OF 130W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 98W...AND WITHIN 50 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 109W. POSSIBLE SHOWERS ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 10N IN THE BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 24N132W. CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 15N TO 30N BETWEEN 123W AND 140W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 15:45:44 2003 X-UIDL: 49978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DBV02CL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 12:20:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG4Lrp8030465 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 12:21:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60eaF099338; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:18:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 234833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:18:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG4ICD1072940 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:18:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG4IBnN001406 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:18:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG4IBJA001404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:18:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:18:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160418.hBG4IBJA001404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 160000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 42/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/16 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.7S / 41.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 MOINS /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 48 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 200 SO: 130 NO: 080 50 KT NE: SE: 020 SO: 020 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/16 12 UTC: 21.0S/40.7E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 21.3S/40.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/17 12 UTC: 21.2S/39.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/18 00 UTC: 21.0S/38.6E, MAX WIND=035KT. 60H: 2003/12/18 12 UTC: 20.7S/37.8E, MAX WIND=035KT. 72H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 20.5S/37.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0+ CI=3.5- +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 15:45:45 2003 X-UIDL: 49980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DXB09NL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 12:25:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG4QGp8030952 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 12:26:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60eaH099338; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:19:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 234850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:19:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG4JFD1058176 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:19:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG4JEnN001424 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:19:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG4JE8g001422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:19:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:19:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 16/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160419.hBG4JE8g001422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO24 FMEE 160000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 43/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 16/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.7S / 41.2E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM FROM THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/16 AT 12 UTC: 21.0S / 40.7E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/17 AT 00 UTC: 21.3S / 40.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 15:45:48 2003 X-UIDL: 49985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DE14OGL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:00:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG61XOC080800 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:01:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG5AdEZ078466; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 236769 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG5p7D1046958 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG5p7nN002239 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG5p7dw002237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160551.hBG5p7dw002237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 160600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z-170600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 112.0E4 HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER SOUTH NEAR 7.7N4 112.3E7, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION NORTHWEST OF A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 15:45:48 2003 X-UIDL: 49987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DDQ5LRL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:20:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG6LUp8043659 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:21:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60ee7099338; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 00:15:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 237318 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 00:15:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG6FdD1031200 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 00:15:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG6FdnN002506 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 00:15:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG6FdXd002504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 00:15:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 00:15:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160615.hBG6FdXd002504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 160600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 43/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/16 AT 0600 UTC : 20.7S / 41.7E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 972 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 280 SO: 280 NO: 120 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/16 18 UTC: 20.7S/41.6E, MAX WIND=060KT. 24H: 2003/12/17 06 UTC: 20.6S/40.8E, MAX WIND=065KT. 36H: 2003/12/17 18 UTC: 20.6S/39.6E, MAX WIND=065KT. 48H: 2003/12/18 06 UTC: 20.8S/38.2E, MAX WIND=070KT. 60H: 2003/12/18 18 UTC: 21.1S/36.8E, MAX WIND=070KT. 72H: 2003/12/19 06 UTC: 21.4S/35.6E, MAX WIND=065KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=4.0+ IN SPITE OF A MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CELA IS INTENSIFYING. AN EYE HAS STARTED TO APPEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 15:45:49 2003 X-UIDL: 49994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DO38FSL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 15:21:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG7Mfp8050878 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 15:22:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgh7077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:16:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 237865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:16:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG7G8D1028010 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:16:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG7G7nN003005 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:16:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG7G7Ws003003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:16:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:16:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160716.hBG7G7Ws003003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 160600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 044/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 16/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 972 HPA POSITION: 20.7S / 41.7E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 /60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/16 AT 18 UTC: 20.7S / 41.6E, MAX WIND = 60 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/17 AT 06 UTC: 20.6S / 40.8E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CELA IS INTENSIFYING. DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, CELA IS SLOWING DOWN. ITS TRACK SHOULD CURVE WESTWARD IN DIRECTION OF THE COASTS OF MOZAMBIQUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 15:45:50 2003 X-UIDL: 49995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00D8Y8LML0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 15:24:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG7QFp8051285 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 15:26:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjghD077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:19:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 237901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:19:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG7JAD1062764 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:19:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG7JAnN003031 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:19:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG7JAkS003029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:19:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 01:19:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160719.hBG7JAkS003029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 160600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 43/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/16 AT 0600 UTC : 20.7S / 41.7E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 972 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 280 SO: 280 NO: 120 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/16 18 UTC: 20.7S/41.6E, MAX WIND=060KT. 24H: 2003/12/17 06 UTC: 20.6S/40.8E, MAX WIND=065KT. 36H: 2003/12/17 18 UTC: 20.6S/39.6E, MAX WIND=065KT. 48H: 2003/12/18 06 UTC: 20.8S/38.2E, MAX WIND=070KT. 60H: 2003/12/18 18 UTC: 21.1S/36.8E, MAX WIND=070KT. 72H: 2003/12/19 06 UTC: 21.4S/35.6E, MAX WIND=065KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=4.0+ IN SPITE OF A MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CELA IS INTENSIFYING. AN EYE HAS STARTED TO APPEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 17:55:56 2003 X-UIDL: 50007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DRVDYOL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 17:20:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG9M0OC006756 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 17:22:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgjN077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:04:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 238591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:04:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG94ND1045750 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:04:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG94NnN004090 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:04:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG94Nxc004089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:04:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:04:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160904.hBG94Nxc004089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 160900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 20.6S8 41.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 20.6S8 41.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 20.8S0 41.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 21.2S5 41.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 21.6S9 40.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 22.3S7 40.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.6S8 41.6E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS BEEN ALMOST QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS WITH A SLIGHT DRIFT TO THE EAST AT 2 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A RECENT 060239Z0 SSMI IN THE 37 GHZ FREQUENCY REVEALS THAT TC 03S HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY TO TYPHOON STRENGTH WITH THE EMERGENCE OF AN 18 NM IRREGULAR EYE. ENHANCED INFRARED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS BEEN ENHANCED BY A PASSING MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH SOUTH OF TC 03S. THIS TRANSIENT SHORTWAVE WILL SOON BE REPLACED BY ADVANCING HIGH PRESSURE TRANSITIONING THE DOMINANT STEERING FLOW FROM A POLEWARD PATTERN TO A MORE WESTWARD PATTERN. THE ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW WILL SOON SUBSIDE ALLOWING FOR A GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY OF TC 03S THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGGR, WBAR AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO WITH WBAR BEING THE SIGNIFICANT OUTLIER. WBAR FORECASTS TC 03S TO REMAIN IN A STRICT POLEWARD PATTERN WHICH DIFFERS FROM THE OTHER MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON WBAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 AND 170900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 17:55:56 2003 X-UIDL: 50008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00D4QEM0L0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 17:34:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG9ZtOC008599 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 17:35:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgjX077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:30:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 238694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:30:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG9UfD1081918 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:30:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG9UfnN004344 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:30:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG9UfnP004343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:30:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:30:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160930.hBG9UfnP004343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 160930 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 16 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/0600 UTC... ..WEAK 1009 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 8N100W MOVING W 15 KT. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 7N-9N BETWEEN 99W-103W. ..BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW N OF ITCZ W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH RIDGE AXIS ALONG 30W29W TO BEYOND 28N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 8N94W 8.5N140W. A FEW TSTMS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N94W AND 6.5N81W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30/45 NM OF AXIS FROM 133W-138W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 18:05:18 2003 X-UIDL: 50011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DSOFW2L0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 18:02:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGA3ZOC012001 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 18:03:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgjl077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:55:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 238779 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:55:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG9tuD1077880 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:55:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG9tunN004552 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:55:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG9tueO004551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:55:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:55:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160955.hBG9tueO004551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 160955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N180 07N172W 03N171W 04N176W 05N180 HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08N166W 06N159W 04N167W 08N168W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 09N141W 08N150W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. FRONT...BROKEN TO OVERCAST SHOWERY LOW CLOUDS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N171W 30N166W 27N174W 27N180 29N180. FEATURE MOVING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 KT. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S172W 09S168W 22S160W 22S164W 16S168W 13S167W 11S174W 09S174W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH. CONVECTION LOCATED MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 06S169E 11S177W HAVE MOVED NORTH AT 5 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 23S168W 24S166W 25S166W 25S169W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:22:38 2003 X-UIDL: 50022-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00D85M8LL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:19:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGCKjp8086452 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:20:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjglL077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:14:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 239574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:14:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGCEeD1034224 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:14:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGCEenN005767 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:14:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGCEes9005765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:14:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:14:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312161214.hBGCEes9005765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 161200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 44/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/16 AT 1200 UTC : 20.9S / 41.7E (TWENTY DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 120 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 21.0S/41.5E, MAX WIND=070KT. 24H: 2003/12/17 12 UTC: 21.3S/40.2E, MAX WIND=070KT. 36H: 2003/12/18 00 UTC: 21.8S/39.2E, MAX WIND=060KT. 48H: 2003/12/18 12 UTC: 22.5S/38.8E, MAX WIND=055KT. 60H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 23.0S/39.3E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 22.9S/39.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:22:43 2003 X-UIDL: 50023-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DJRME3L0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:22:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGCO4p8086774 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:24:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjglR077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:19:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 239626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:19:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGCJlD1034280 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:19:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGCJknN005825 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:19:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGCJk7J005823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:19:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:19:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312161219.hBGCJk7J005823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 161200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 045/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 16/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 970 HPA POSITION: 20.9S / 41.7E (TWENTY DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 /60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/17 AT 00 UTC: 21.0S / 41.5E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/17 AT 12 UTC: 21.3S / 40.2E, MAX WIND = 70 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: INTENSIFYING SINCE LAST NIGHT, CELA IS NOW ANALIZED AS CYCLONE TROPICAL. DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, CELA HAS STOPPED ITS MOVEMENT BUT IT SHOULD CURVE WESTSOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:22:43 2003 X-UIDL: 50024-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DVPMJYL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:26:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGCRap8087138 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:27:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjglT077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:20:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 239637 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:20:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGCKoD1017132 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:20:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGCKonN005849 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:20:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGCKonb005847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:20:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:20:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312161220.hBGCKonb005847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 161200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 44/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/16 AT 1200 UTC : 20.9S / 41.7E (TWENTY DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 120 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/17 00 UTC: 21.0S/41.5E, MAX WIND=070KT. 24H: 2003/12/17 12 UTC: 21.3S/40.2E, MAX WIND=070KT. 36H: 2003/12/18 00 UTC: 21.8S/39.2E, MAX WIND=060KT. 48H: 2003/12/18 12 UTC: 22.5S/38.8E, MAX WIND=055KT. 60H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 23.0S/39.3E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 22.9S/39.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:22:53 2003 X-UIDL: 50033-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00GDPUP9LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:22:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGFNTp8008492 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:23:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgon077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 09:16:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 240789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 09:16:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGFGhD1011922 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 09:16:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGFGgnN009086 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 09:16:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGFGgN8009085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 09:16:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 09:16:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312161516.hBGFGgN8009085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 161513 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 16 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1200 UTC... ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE W UNITED STATES EXTEND RIDGE SW ALONG 33N125W TO BEYOND 28N140W AHEAD OF STATIONARY FRONT JUST NW OF AREA THROUGH 34N140W 32N145W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/1430 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N77W 9N100W 6N120W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 97W-104W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 132W-137W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... SCATTERED/BROKEN PRIMARILY MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS FROM 15N-30N BETWEEN 120W-130W. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:22:55 2003 X-UIDL: 50041-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000GOL0QLLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 01:32:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGHXqp8027918 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 01:33:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgtd077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242507 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGHOqD1014850 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGHOqnN013123 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGHOpUv013121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312161724.hBGHOpUv013121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160751ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160600Z3 TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6S8 41.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY IN MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 160900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF 04S (JANA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 14.0S5 75.0E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1S3 69.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENEBROKER/COOK/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:22:56 2003 X-UIDL: 50043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000GTO0UBLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 01:35:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGHaHOC072375 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 01:36:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60elR099338; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGHOqD1011336 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGHOqnN013124 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGHOpt5013122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 11:24:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312161724.hBGHOpt5013122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, OPT_HEADER 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/161800Z/171800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160751ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160600Z3 TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6S8 41.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY IN MOVEMENT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 160900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF 04S (JANA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR NEAR 14.0S5 75.0E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1S3 69.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENEBROKER/COOK/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:22:56 2003 X-UIDL: 50045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000G1W328LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:22:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGIO8OC078419 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:24:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgwb077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 12:10:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 12:10:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGIAFD1059498 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 12:10:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGIAEnN014427 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 12:10:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGIAEB2014425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 12:10:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 12:10:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312161810.hBGIAEB2014425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 161800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 45/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/16 AT 1800 UTC : 21.2S / 41.9E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 120 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 120 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/17 06 UTC: 21.7S/42.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/12/17 18 UTC: 22.2S/41.4E, MAX WIND=055KT. 36H: 2003/12/18 06 UTC: 22.7S/40.7E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2003/12/18 18 UTC: 23.3S/40.4E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/12/19 06 UTC: 24.0S/40.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2003/12/19 18 UTC: 24.3S/40.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=4.5-. EYE TENDS TO FILL ON THE LAST IR SAT PIC.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:23:03 2003 X-UIDL: 50055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000DBT9BIL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 04:38:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGKdGp8050946 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 04:39:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjg4Z077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:27:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 245091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:27:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGKRrD1085588 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:27:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGKRrnN018309 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:27:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGKRr8D018308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:27:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:27:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312162027.hBGKRr8D018308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 21.2S5 41.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.2S5 41.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.0S4 41.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 22.7S1 41.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 23.7S2 41.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 25.4S1 41.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 21.4S7 41.7E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS BEEN QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS A 12 NM IRREGULAR EYE. A PASSING LOW-LEVEL RIDGE POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM HAS KEPT THE MOVEMENT OF TC 03S QUASISTATIONARY. AS THE RIDGE PASSES EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY BEGIN TRACKING POLEWARD INTO THE WEAKNESS BEHIND. THIS LOW-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BE THE STEERING MECHANISM THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, GUIDING TC 03S POLEWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, AND GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 AND 172100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:23:12 2003 X-UIDL: 50064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000GKRDOZLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:12:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGMDmOC008528 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:13:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGL3qFF093700; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 15:55:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 246711 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGLtWD1034162 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 15:55:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGLtWnN020785 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 15:55:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGLtWkp020784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 15:55:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 15:55:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312162155.hBGLtWkp020784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 162155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 16 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120-150 NM OF LINE 08N170W 06N180 EXTEND WESTWARD AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... WEAK FRONT...THROUGH 30N156W 26N170W 27N180. FRONT MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST 25 KT. BROKEN-OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT EAST OF 158W...BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS/CUMULUS ALONG FRONT WEST OF 158W. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S126W 22S131W MOVED EAST 12 KT. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 21S165W 09S180 NEARLY STATIONARY. SPARSE ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 100 NM OF CZ HAVE DIMINISHED. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75-90 NM OF LINE 20S167W 24S161W MOVED SOUTH 15 KT AND DIMINISHED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:23:13 2003 X-UIDL: 50065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000GMXE84LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:24:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGMPMOC009958 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:25:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGL3qFj093700; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:04:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 246806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:04:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGM4uD1013134 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:04:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGM4unN021094 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:04:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGM4tED021093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:04:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:04:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312162204.hBGM4tED021093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 162204 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 16 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 16/1800 UTC... ..FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH 32N/33N ALONG 140W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH CLOUDS NORTHWEST OF 34N133W 22N143W. ..RIDGE THROUGH 34N126W TO 26N137W TO 22N144W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 13N WEST OF 106W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2130 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 7N78W 9N92W 9N107W 8N124W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 108W...AND WEST OF 125W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NOTHING ELSE. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:23:14 2003 X-UIDL: 50068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000GGBK4ALE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 08:31:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH0WYOC024024 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 08:32:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGNItEj087026; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 18:23:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 248738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 18:23:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH0NdD1041796 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 18:23:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH0NdnN023494 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 18:23:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH0NdQ2023493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 18:23:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 18:23:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170023.hBH0NdQ2023493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 170000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 46/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/17 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.2S / 41.5E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.5 MOINS /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 090 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 090 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/17 12 UTC: 21.6S/41.3E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/18 00 UTC: 22.2S/40.8E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/18 12 UTC: 23.0S/40.4E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 24.3S/40.3E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 25.2S/40.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/12/20 00 UTC: 26.0S/41.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.5, CI=4.5-. SYSTEM UNDERGOES A NORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR, AND CONVECTION COLLAPSES. CENTRE LOCATED IN THE NORTH-WEST OF THE RESIDUAL CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 12:11:47 2003 X-UIDL: 50090-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000GHFTT3LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 12:00:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH41tOC051178 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 12:01:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH2XKFB015030; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 21:58:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 250663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 21:58:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH3wZD1080794 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 21:58:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH3wYnN025791 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 21:58:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH3wYEC025790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 21:58:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 21:58:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170358.hBH3wYEC025790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 170358 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 17 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/0000 UTC... ..FRONTAL BOUNDARY AT 16/1800 UTC THROUGH 32N/33N ALONG 140W HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE AREA. ..RIDGE THROUGH 32N127W TO 25N134W TO 21N145W. BROAD ANTICYCLONIC FLOW NORTH OF 16N WEST OF 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0330 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION 9N78W 9N94W 10N108W 6N116W 8N126W 8N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 106W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...AND BETWEEN 130W AND 132W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF REST OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... STRONG CONVECTION IN ONE CELL IN SW CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 9N TO 10N BETWEEN 81W AND 82W. $$ MT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 13:34:08 2003 X-UIDL: 50100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000GMLX6NLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:13:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH5Erp8012806 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:14:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60e4v099338; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 251209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH59FD1028054 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH59EnN026705 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH59EHi026703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170509.hBH59EHi026703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIII, Probability=13%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 170000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 46/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/17 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.2S / 41.5E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.5 MOINS /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 090 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 090 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 13:34:12 2003 X-UIDL: 50101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000GRNX8WLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:14:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH5GEOC060456 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:16:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH2XKGN015030; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 251204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH59BD1045718 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH59BnN026692 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH59AXY026690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 23:09:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170509.hBH59AXY026690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 170000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 047/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 17/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 970 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.2S / 41.5E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 /60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/17 AT 12 UTC: 21.6S / 41.3E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/18 AT 00 UTC: 22.2S / 40.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: RELOCATED CENTRE IN THE NORTH-WEST. WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 20:09:05 2003 X-UIDL: 50111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100GPL0HPLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:25:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH6QEOC070676 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:26:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60e6b099338; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 251841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH6F6D1067696 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH6F5nN027328 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH6F52i027326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170615.hBH6F52i027326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z-180600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 112.3E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 111.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN STRONG UPPER LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW INDUCING AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND WEAK OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED IN THE ARAFURA SEA NEAR 9.2S1 137.6E, APPROXIMATELY 455 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION INCREASING OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH IMPROVED ORGANIZATION EVIDENT IN THE MID-LEVELS. LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 20:09:06 2003 X-UIDL: 50112-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100GQ20HSLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:25:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH6QHOC070678 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:26:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH61NEV065658; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:18:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 251877 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:18:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH6InD1048552 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:18:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH6ImnN027348 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:18:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH6ImR8027346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:18:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:18:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170618.hBH6ImR8027346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 170600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 47/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/17 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.5S / 41.0E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 976 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 57 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 250 SO: 250 NO: 080 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 100 SO: 100 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/17 18 UTC: 21.5S/40.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/18 06 UTC: 22.4S/40.4E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2003/12/18 18 UTC: 23.3S/40.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/19 06 UTC: 24.1S/40.3E, MAX WIND=035KT. 60H: 2003/12/19 18 UTC: 25.2S/40.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 72H: 2003/12/20 06 UTC: 25.8S/41.0E, MAX WIND=025KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: NORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEARED SYSTEM. CENTRE LOCATED IN THE NORTH-WEST OF THE RESIDUAL CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 20:09:06 2003 X-UIDL: 50114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100G201F8LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:45:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH6kLp8024449 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:46:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH61NEv065658; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:39:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:39:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH6dJD1045698 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:39:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH6dJnN027557 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:39:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH6dJOA027555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:39:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:39:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170639.hBH6dJOA027555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 170600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 48/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 17/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 976 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.5S / 41.0E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 /55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 40 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/17 AT 18 UTC: 21.5S / 40.8E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/18 AT 06 UTC: 22.4S / 40.4E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTHERN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 20:09:31 2003 X-UIDL: 50131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100GS37BPLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 16:52:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH8rqp8039870 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 16:53:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH61NGV065658; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:47:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:47:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH8l5D1054796 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:47:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH8l5nN028824 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:47:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH8l5s0028823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:47:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:47:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170847.hBH8l5s0028823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 170900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 21.5S8 40.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 40.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 22.4S8 40.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 23.8S3 40.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 24.7S3 40.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 25.4S1 42.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 21.7S0 40.7E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 170332Z6 AMSU PASS REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF TC 03S HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED WITH DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING ONLY IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANTS. TC 03S IS INITIALLY EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF A TRANSIENT HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. TC 03S WILL THEN TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK MIDWAY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD AND THE CYCLONE MOVES TOWARDS THE WEAKNESS BEHIND. TC 03S HAS CURRENTLY LOST MUCH OF ITS POLEWARD OUTFLOW SO IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN INTENSITY. A MAJOR SHORTWAVE IN THE UPPER LEVELS WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD, ENHANCING THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW, ALLOWING TC 03S TO BEGIN TO REINTENSIFY. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, WBAR AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 AND 180900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 20:09:33 2003 X-UIDL: 50133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100GFL9OTLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 17:43:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH9isOC096408 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 17:44:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60e7f099338; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:36:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:36:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH9aHD1012830 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:36:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH9aHnN029391 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:36:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH9aH7W029390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:36:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:36:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170936.hBH9aH7W029390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 170935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 17 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/0600 UTC... ..BROAD HIGH PRESSURE CONTROLS THE REGION N OF THE ITCZ W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. RIDGE AXIS IS ALONG LINE 30N128W 23N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N78W 8N99W 9N94W 10N110W 6N118W 8N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 92W-100W...128W-132W AND E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 9N-11.5N BETWEEN 104W-111W. SIMILAR CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 115W-119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 20:09:34 2003 X-UIDL: 50134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100G8YA00LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 17:50:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH9pcp8046903 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 17:51:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH61NGj065658; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:45:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:45:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH9jmD1071618 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:45:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH9jlnN029431 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:45:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH9jlRQ029430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:45:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 03:45:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170945.hBH9jlRQ029430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 170945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...FRONT THROUGH 30N146W 24N153W 22N164W 23N174W MOVED SOUTHEAST 25 KT. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 30N146W 28N148. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N149W 07N159W HAVE MOVED WEST 20 KT AND WEAKENED WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE 08S177W 10S175W 10S171W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WEAKENED...AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. CONVECTION REMAINED NORTH OF SAMOA. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 21S161W 25S158W MOVED EAST SOUTHEAST 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF POINT 21S169W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:41:51 2003 X-UIDL: 50142-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100G4LIM0LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:56:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHCvVOC021368 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:57:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60e8Z099338; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 253694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHCpMD1041670 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHCpMnN001156 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHCpMZ5001154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171251.hBHCpMZ5001154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 171200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 48/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/17 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.5S / 40.2E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.5 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 080 SE: 200 SO: 200 NO: 080 50 KT NE: 020 SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 020 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/18 00 UTC: 24.0S/39.4E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2003/12/18 12 UTC: 25.8S/38.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 27.8S/38.5E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 29.7S/37.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/20 00 UTC: 32.0S/39.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/20 12 UTC: 34.5S/41.6E, MAX WIND=030KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:41:58 2003 X-UIDL: 50143-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100GBKIP0LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:58:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHCxFp8068431 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:59:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH61NIV065658; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:54:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 253743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:54:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHCsOD1033808 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:54:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHCsNnN001191 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:54:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHCsNQq001189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:54:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:54:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 17/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171254.hBHCsNQq001189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO24 FMEE 171200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 49/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 17/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.5S / 40.2E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST ) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/18 AT 00 UTC: 24.0S / 39.4E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/18 AT 12 UTC: 25.8S / 38.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTRAL PRESSURE ACCORDING TO EUROPA ISLAND OBSERVATION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:41:58 2003 X-UIDL: 50144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100GDHIPXLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:58:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHCxrp8068502 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:59:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHCODDv073878; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 253691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHCp3D1043332 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHCp2nN001147 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHCp2Lt001145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171251.hBHCp2Lt001145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 171300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/171300Z-180600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 111.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARAFURA SEA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 136.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED AT 9.3S2 135.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS FORMATION OF POSSIBLE SPIRAL BANDS CONVERGING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND LOCATION IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 50152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100JQCPWVY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:34:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHFZPOC041911 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:35:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDd2HZ013304; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 09:25:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 255201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 09:25:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHFP6D1069594 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 09:25:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHFP6nN004640 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 09:25:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHFP61a004639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 09:25:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 09:25:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171525.hBHFP61a004639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 171524 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 17 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/1200 UTC... ..STRONG HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER INTERIOR MEXICO IS PRODUCING STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND STRONG WINDS OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER THE SW UNITED STATES EXTENDS SWD ALONG 32N125W TO BEYOND 19N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/1445 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 5N93W 9N110W 8N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 106W-112W AND FROM 5N-8N BETWEEN 115W-119W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ RHOME +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:42:10 2003 X-UIDL: 50158-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100JS0U0BY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 01:02:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHH3pp8097047 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 01:03:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDd2O5013304; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHGslD1077960 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHGsknN007351 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHGskeB007348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171654.hBHGskeB007348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170751ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170600Z4 TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5S8 40.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 170900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF 04S (JANA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.1S3 69.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1S3 65.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 455 WEST- SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A WEAKENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 171255Z1 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DIXON/WAUGAMAN/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:42:10 2003 X-UIDL: 50159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100J3QU56Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 01:05:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHH6bOC055192 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 01:06:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDKsK7067664; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHGslD1019496 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHGsknN007350 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHGskD6007349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:54:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171654.hBHGskD6007349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 171800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/171800Z/181800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170751ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170600Z4 TC 03S (CELA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5S8 40.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 170900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF 04S (JANA), PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.1S3 69.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1S3 65.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 455 WEST- SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A WEAKENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 171255Z1 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DIXON/WAUGAMAN/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:42:11 2003 X-UIDL: 50161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100JCGY03Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:28:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHITbOC065912 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:29:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDKsLb067664; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 12:14:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 258147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 12:14:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHIE5D1093258 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 12:14:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHIE5nN009727 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 12:14:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHIE4ZZ009723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 12:14:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 12:14:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171814.hBHIE4ZZ009723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 171800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 49/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/17 AT 1800 UTC : 23.3S / 39.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 PLUS /D 1.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 978 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 180 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 180 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/18 06 UTC: 25.0S/38.3E, MAX WIND=060KT. 24H: 2003/12/18 18 UTC: 26.2S/39.2E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/12/19 06 UTC: 27.0S/40.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 48H: 2003/12/19 18 UTC: 27.6S/41.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/20 06 UTC: 29.7S/43.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 32.8S/45.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0 CI=4.0+ CONVECTION HAS REBUILT DUE TO THE DECREASING OF THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:42:13 2003 X-UIDL: 50164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JMJ28WY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 04:00:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHK1lp8019012 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 04:01:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDKsOL067664; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 259531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHJseD1045736 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHJsenN012774 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHJse7B012771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 17/12/2003 A 1800 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171954.hBHJse7B012771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO21 FMEE 171800 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 17/12/2003 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 050/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 17/12/2003 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 3 (CELA) 978 HPA POSITION: 23.3S / 39.4E (VINGT-TROIS DEGRES TROIS SUD ET TRENTE-NEUF DEGRES QUATRE EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD-SUD-OUEST 11 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 120 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 300 MN DU CENTRE DANS LES DEMI-CERCLE SUD ET EST. TEMPETE 50/60 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE PRES DU CENTRE. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 100 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 90 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 18/12/2003 A 06 UTC: 25.0S / 38.3E, VENT MAX = 60 KT. A 24H POUR LE 18/12/2003 A 18 UTC: 26.2S / 39.2E, VENT MAX = 50 KT. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: CELA S'INTENSIFIE DE NOUVEAU, TENDANCE CONFIRMEE PAR LA REPRISE BRUTALE DE LA CONVECTION. L'EXTENSION DES VENTS FORTS EST RELATIVEMENT SYMETRIQUE AUTOUR DU CENTRE (DONNEES SEAWINDS DU SATELLITE QUIKSCAT). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:42:14 2003 X-UIDL: 50165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JOV29GY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 04:00:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHK26p8019072 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 04:02:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDd2VX013304; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 259528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHJseD1049164 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHJsenN012772 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHJsebL012769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 13:54:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 17/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171954.hBHJsebL012769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO24 FMEE 171800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 050/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 17/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 978 HPA POSITION: 23.3S / 39.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 11 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/18 AT 06 UTC: 25.0S / 38.3E, MAX WIND = 60 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/18 AT 18 UTC: 26.2S / 39.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY REBUILT. EXTENSION OF STRONGER WINDS IS ALMOST SYMETRIC AROUND THE CENTRE (CONFIRMED BY SEAWIND DATA FROM QUIKSCAT SATELLITE). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 12:20:58 2003 X-UIDL: 50175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JB64OPY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 04:53:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHKsLp8025094 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 04:54:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDd2WJ013304; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:28:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 259893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHKSJD1081888 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHKSJnN013823 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:28:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHKSIU5013822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:28:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:28:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312172028.hBHKSIU5013822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 172100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 23.1S6 39.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1S6 39.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 23.9S4 39.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 24.7S3 39.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 25.3S0 40.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.9S6 41.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 23.3S8 39.8E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTH- WESTWARD AROUND A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. A PASSING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE OUTFLOW AND TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER, INCREASING SHEAR WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, WBAR AND GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 AND 182100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 12:21:06 2003 X-UIDL: 50180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JZ87B2Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 05:49:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLp4p8031394 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 05:51:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDd2YV013304; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:35:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 260666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:35:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLZqD1060100 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:35:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHLZpnN016016 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:35:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHLZppB016015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:35:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:35:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312172135.hBHLZppB016015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 172135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 17 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 17/1800 UTC... ..HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A HIGH OVER THE SW UNITED STATES SWWD ALONG 30N120W 20N140W. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE NW CORNER OF THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS NORTH OF 26N AND WEST OF 138W. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER INTERIOR MEXICO IS PRODUCING STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC AND STRONG WINDS OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N96W 8N106W 11N110W 9N120W 10N140W. ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W-81W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 65 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 95W-101W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 105W-111W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 3N-11N BETWEEN 112W-121W. ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 122W-140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 12:21:07 2003 X-UIDL: 50181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JI27XFY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:03:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHM4VOC094487 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:04:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDd2ZP013304; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:56:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 260909 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:56:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLuID1060126 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:56:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHLuInN016551 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:56:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHLuIeq016550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:56:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 15:56:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312172156.hBHLuIeq016550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 172155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 17 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... FRONT...THROUGH 29N140W TO PHTO TO 19N160W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 19N170W 23N180. OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 150-200 NM WEST OF FRONT LYING NORTH OF 24N. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS/STRATOCUMULUS WITHIN 80 NM NORTH OF FRONT/SHEAR LINE LYING SOUTH OF 24N. FRONT MOVING EAST 25-30 KT NORTH OF 25N AND SOUTHEAST 20 KT BETWEEN 20N AND 24N. FRONT/SHEAR LINE SOUTH OF 20N MOVING SOUTH 10-15 KT. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER. SEE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 85 NM OF LINE 08N171W 06N180 DISSIPATED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... DISTURBANCE NEAR 09S135E MOVING WEST SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 21S180 25S175W MOVING EAST 12 KT. OVERCAST LAYERS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75-90 NM OF FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 12S177W 08S171W ARE NEWLY FORMED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 12:21:13 2003 X-UIDL: 50191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JEEI8KY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:45:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI1lDOC022155 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:47:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHM4CKn054796; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:44:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 263418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:44:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI1i4D1041630 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:44:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI1i4nN019902 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:44:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI1i43L019900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:44:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:44:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180144.hBI1i43L019900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 180000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 50/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/18 AT 0000 UTC : 23.7S / 39.3E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.0 /D 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 978 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 180 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 180 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/18 12 UTC: 25.2S/39.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 26.0S/40.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 26.7S/42.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/20 00 UTC: 28.7S/42.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2003/12/20 12 UTC: 31.2S/43.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/21 00 UTC: 34.4S/45.6E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.5+ CI=4.0+ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 12:21:13 2003 X-UIDL: 50192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200J7MIGUY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:50:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI1q7OC022926 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:52:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHM4CKl054796; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:43:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 263399 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:43:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI1h0D1052172 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:43:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI1gxnN019878 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:43:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI1gxJv019876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:42:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 19:42:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180142.hBI1gxJv019876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 180000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 051/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 18/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 978 HPA POSITION: 23.7S / 39.3E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/18 AT 12 UTC: 25.2S / 39.6E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/19 AT 00 UTC: 26.0S / 40.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, AND IT SHOULD EVACUATE IN DIRECTION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL DOMAIN FROM DECEMBER 20TH. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 12:21:23 2003 X-UIDL: 50213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JVGN93Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:34:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI3ZXp8072250 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:35:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLp3HP067776; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 21:25:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 263987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 21:25:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI3PrD1019500 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 21:25:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI3PqnN021148 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 21:25:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI3Pq8d021147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 21:25:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 21:25:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180325.hBI3Pq8d021147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 180325 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 18 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N137W AND EXTENDS SW BEYOND 27N140W MOVING EAST 20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 120 NM EAST OF FRONT NORTH OF 24N. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SWWD TO 23N135W. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND NW MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N85W 4N96W 11N112W 9N124W 9N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 101W-112W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 117W-124W. ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 126W-135W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ BERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 13:15:48 2003 X-UIDL: 50220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JFBRODY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 13:09:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI5B7OC050444 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 13:11:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHM4CNZ054796; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:05:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 264459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:05:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI55KD1038192 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:05:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI55JnN022110 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:05:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI55Jqb022109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:05:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:05:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 18/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180505.hBI55Jqb022109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO24 FMEE 180000 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 051/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 18/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 978 HPA POSITION: 23.7S / 39.3E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/18 AT 12 UTC: 25.2S / 39.6E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/19 AT 00 UTC: 26.0S / 40.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, AND IT S +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 13:50:20 2003 X-UIDL: 50223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JYKSN4Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 13:30:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI5VwOC053258 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 13:31:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHM4CNj054796; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 264533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI5LFD1011922 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI5LFnN022249 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI5LFTr022246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180521.hBI5LFTr022246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z-190600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 135.6E5 IS NOW LOCATED AT 9.7S6 135.9E8, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 14:45:13 2003 X-UIDL: 50227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JLXV8JY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:26:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI6S1OC060184 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:28:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rHp055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:18:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 266201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:18:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI6IoD1026158 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:18:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI6IonN022757 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI6Iow6022755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:18:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180618.hBI6Iow6022755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 180600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 51/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/18 AT 0600 UTC : 24.0S / 39.0E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 968 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 300 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/18 18 UTC: 24.8S/39.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/12/19 06 UTC: 25.0S/39.5E, MAX WIND=057KT. 36H: 2003/12/19 18 UTC: 25.4S/40.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/12/20 06 UTC: 26.9S/41.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 28.9S/41.5E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 31.4S/42.4E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFYED DURING THE LAST HOURS WITH A CURVED BAND PATTERN. CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, AND IT SHOULD EVACUATE IN DIRECTION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL DOMAIN FROM DECEMBER 20TH.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 14:45:20 2003 X-UIDL: 50229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200J4HVEMY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:30:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI6Vep8093147 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:31:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rI5055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:21:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 266256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:21:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI6LrD1009584 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:21:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI6LrnN022817 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:21:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI6LrqU022815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:21:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:21:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180621.hBI6LrqU022815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 180600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 052/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 18/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 968 HPA POSITION: 24.0S / 39.0E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLES., LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR AND UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. HURRICAN FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/18 AT 18 UTC: 24.8S / 39.0E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/19 AT 06 UTC: 25.0S / 39.5E, MAX WIND = 57 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFYED DURING THE LAST HOURS WITH A CURVED BAND PATTERN. CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, AND IT SHOULD EVACUATE IN DIRECTION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL DOMAIN FROM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 14:45:21 2003 X-UIDL: 50230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JPVVUUY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:40:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI6fMOC062192 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:41:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rIF055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:34:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 266377 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:34:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI6YBD1046690 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:34:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI6YBnN022936 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:34:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI6YBwO022934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:34:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 00:34:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180634.hBI6YBwO022934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 180600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 51/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/18 AT 0600 UTC : 24.0S / 39.0E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.5/4.5 /D 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 968 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 300 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/18 18 UTC: 24.8S/39.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/12/19 06 UTC: 25.0S/39.5E, MAX WIND=057KT. 36H: 2003/12/19 18 UTC: 25.4S/40.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2003/12/20 06 UTC: 26.9S/41.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 28.9S/41.5E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 31.4S/42.4E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFYED DURING THE LAST HOURS WITH A CURVED BAND PATTERN. CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, AND IT SHOULD EVACUATE IN DIRECTION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL DOMAIN FROM DECEMBER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 16:29:05 2003 X-UIDL: 50242-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300JPS0KYY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 16:22:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI8NTp8008211 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 16:23:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rJt055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:13:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 266899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:13:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI8DfD1043454 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:13:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI8DfnN023875 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:13:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI8Des7023874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:13:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:13:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180813.hBI8Des7023874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 180900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 24.0S6 39.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0S6 39.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 24.5S1 38.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 25.0S7 39.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.8S5 40.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 27.0S9 41.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 24.1S7 38.9E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45, 55, AND 77 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD AROUND A WEAK LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST. BY TAU 12, THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTHEAST OF TC 03S PROVIDING A STRONGER STEERING FLOW. AFTER TAU 12, TC 03S WILL TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE GIVING TC 03S A SOUTHEAST TRACK. BY TAU 48, TC 03S WILL PICK UP SPEED AND START TO INTERACT WITH THE BARACLINIC ZONE. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE FIRST SIX TO TWELVE HOURS. BY TAU 12, TC 03S WILL SLIGHTLY DECREASE AS IT PASSES THE RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS A DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT. BY TAU 36, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A FURTHER DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, EGRR, AND GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. EGRR AND GFS DIFFER SLIGHTLY AFTER TAU 24. THOSE TWO MODELS HAVE A FASTER TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST DUE TO A STRONGER RIDGE TO THE EAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 AND 190900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 17:28:03 2003 X-UIDL: 50251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300JY532JY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:15:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI9HCp8015382 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:17:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rKP055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:05:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:05:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI95bD1045734 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:05:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI95bnN024548 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:05:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI95bMY024547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:05:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:05:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 180851zdec2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180905.hBI95bMY024547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPS21 PGTW 180900 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 180851ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 125 NM RADIUS OF 9.9S8 135.3E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 180930Z1 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 135.3E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 135.9E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 135.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 190900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 17:32:46 2003 X-UIDL: 50253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300JE03QMY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:30:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI9VROC087329 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:31:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLp3Lv067776; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI9OID1027302 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI9OInN024675 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI9OI31024673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180924.hBI9OI31024673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 181000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/181000Z-190600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180851ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 135.9E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 135.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 18:14:21 2003 X-UIDL: 50259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300JGW44SY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:38:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI9duOC088554 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:39:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rKV055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:32:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:32:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI9WiD1081794 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:32:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI9WinN024767 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:32:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI9Wies024766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:32:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:32:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180932.hBI9Wies024766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 180932 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 18 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N136W AND EXTENDS SSW TO 27N137W TO BEYOND 23N140W MOVING SE 15-20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF FRONT N OF 26N. ..RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 30N116W SW TO 16N140W. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND NW MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N106W 9N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 117W-123W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 100W-105W. ISOLATED MODERATE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 124W-132W... WITHIN 60 NM OF 8N114W AND WITHIN 75 NM S OF AXIS E OF 88W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 10N108W 15N114W. $$ BLAKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 18:14:25 2003 X-UIDL: 50262-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300JJI4V8Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:54:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI9tmp8019949 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:55:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLp3Lx067776; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:46:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267348 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:46:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI9kgD1069378 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:46:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI9kgnN024871 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:46:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI9kgR2024870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:46:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:46:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180946.hBI9kgR2024870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 180946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER TROUGH...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N145W 30N140W 27N140W 30N145W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...THROUGH 25S172W 21S175W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 13S179W 19S175W 25S171W HAVE MOVED EAST 15 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE 14S154W 18S146W 24S140W HAVE MOVED WEST SLOWLY...INTENSIFIED...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 22:10:06 2003 X-UIDL: 50270-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300JKBBM0Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:20:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBICLhOC009445 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:21:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLp3MZ067776; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:14:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:14:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBICEDD1091098 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:14:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBICEDnN026286 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:14:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBICEDBb026284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:14:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:14:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312181214.hBICEDBb026284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 181200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 52/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/18 AT 1200 UTC : 24.2S / 39.0E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.5 /S 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 300 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 24.6S/39.2E, MAX WIND=057KT. 24H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 25.0S/40.0E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/12/20 00 UTC: 25.8S/41.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/20 12 UTC: 27.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/21 00 UTC: 29.4S/42.1E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/21 12 UTC: 32.0S/43.2E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=4.5-. CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFYED DURING THE LAST HOURS WITH A CURVED BAND PATTERN. CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS, AND IT SHOULD EVACUATE IN DIRECTION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL DOMAIN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 22:10:12 2003 X-UIDL: 50271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300J6RBWIY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:26:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBICS1OC010131 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:28:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLp3Md067776; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:21:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:21:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBICLPD1051546 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:21:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBICLOnN026382 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:21:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBICLOLJ026381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:21:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:21:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312181221.hBICLOLJ026381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 181200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 52/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/18 AT 1200 UTC : 24.2S / 39.0E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.5 /S 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 300 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 24.6S/39.2E, MAX WIND=057KT. 24H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 25.0S/40.0E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/12/20 00 UTC: 25.8S/41.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/20 12 UTC: 27.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/21 00 UTC: 29.4S/42.1E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/21 12 UTC: 32.0S/43.2E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=4.5-. CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFYED DURING THE LAST HOURS WITH A CURVED BAND PATTERN. CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS, AND IT SHOULD EVACUATE IN DIRECTION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL DOMAIN. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 22:10:14 2003 X-UIDL: 50274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300J1UDBBY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:57:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBICwUp8040967 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:58:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rLl055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:51:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 268016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:51:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBICpFD1073734 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:51:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBICoOnN026663 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:50:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBICoA3d026661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:50:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 06:50:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312181250.hBICoA3d026661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 181200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 52/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/18 AT 1200 UTC : 24.2S / 39.0E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.5 /S 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 300 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 24.6S/39.2E, MAX WIND=057KT. 24H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 25.0S/40.0E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/12/20 00 UTC: 25.8S/41.1E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/20 12 UTC: 27.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=030KT. 60H: 2003/12/21 00 UTC: 29.4S/42.1E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/21 12 UTC: 32.0S/43.2E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=4.5-. CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFYED DURING THE LAST HOURS WITH A CURVED BAND PATTERN. CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS, AND IT SHOULD EVACUATE IN DIRECTION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:28 2003 X-UIDL: 50289-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ3000C6LK9CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:55:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIFuOOC036316 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:56:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rPp055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:38:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 268987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:38:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIFcDD1075540 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:38:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIFcCnN000081 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:38:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIFcCnk000080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:38:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:38:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312181538.hBIFcCnk000080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 181538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 18 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N134W TO BEYOND 22N140W MOVING E 15-20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS N OF 25N BETWEEN 132W AND 134W. ..RIDGE AXIS FROM THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 30N116W TO 18130. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 7N103W 9N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 100 NM WIDE FROM 114W TO 116W AND FROM 121W TO 130W AND 180 NM WIDE FROM 116W TO 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 60 NM WIDE FROM 102W TO 108W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 60 NM S OF THE AXIS E OF 78W. ISOLATED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE FROM 138W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 12N111W 15N114W. $$ DGS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:32 2003 X-UIDL: 50292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ30004TQSMCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:48:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIHnfOC051626 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:49:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLp3RD067776; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 270303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIHfRD1093938 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIHfLnN004108 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIHfK45004106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312181741.hBIHfK45004106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180751ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180600Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0S6 39.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:32 2003 X-UIDL: 50293-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ30007JQTLCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:48:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIHo8OC051693 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:50:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIFjsHL051720; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 270300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIHfMD1069534 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIHfLnN004109 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIHfKHP004107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 11:41:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312181741.hBIHfKHP004107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 181800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/181800Z/191800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180751ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180600Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0S6 39.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:33 2003 X-UIDL: 50294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ3000JGSR3CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:30:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIIVqOC057037 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:31:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIFjsIx051720; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:25:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 270739 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:25:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIIPED1069538 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:25:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIIPDnN005391 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:25:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIIPDAQ005389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:25:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:25:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312181825.hBIIPDAQ005389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 181800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 53/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/18 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.6S / 39.5E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.5 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 300 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/19 06 UTC: 25.0S/40.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/12/19 18 UTC: 25.5S/40.6E, MAX WIND=060KT. 36H: 2003/12/20 06 UTC: 26.3S/41.5E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 28.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 30.7S/42.5E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 34.0S/44.3E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0+ CI=4.5-. CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS, AND IT SHOULD EVACUATE IN DIRECTION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL DOMAIN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:33 2003 X-UIDL: 50295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ30002VT25CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:37:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIIcVOC057754 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:38:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIFjsJD051720; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:31:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 270797 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:31:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIIVMD1046672 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:31:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIIVLnN005566 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:31:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIIVLZW005562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:31:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:31:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312181831.hBIIVLZW005562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 181800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 54/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 18/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 970 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.6S / 39.5E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE., LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. HURRICAN FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/19 AT 06 UTC: 25.0S / 40.0E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/19 AT 18 UTC: 25.5S / 40.6E, MAX WIND = 60 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS, AND IT SHOULD EVACUATE IN DIRECTION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL DOMAIN. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:33 2003 X-UIDL: 50296-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ3000RVTEECO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:44:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIIjrOC058736 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:45:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLp3Rj067776; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:33:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 270860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:33:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIIXOD1038240 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:33:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIIXNnN005643 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:33:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIIXNGe005641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:33:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:33:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312181833.hBIIXNGe005641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 181800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 53/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/18 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.6S / 39.5E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.5 /S 0.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 300 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/19 06 UTC: 25.0S/40.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/12/19 18 UTC: 25.5S/40.6E, MAX WIND=060KT. 36H: 2003/12/20 06 UTC: 26.3S/41.5E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 28.5S/42.0E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 30.7S/42.5E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 34.0S/44.3E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0+ CI=4.5-. CELA SHOULD SLOW DOWN, DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS, AND IT SHOULD EVACUATE IN DIRECTION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL DOMAIN. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:39 2003 X-UIDL: 50302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300067Z45CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 04:48:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIKnMOC076418 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 04:49:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIFjsOb051720; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:41:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 272512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:41:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIKfiD1075722 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:41:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIKfcnN009167 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:41:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIKfbCO009166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:41:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:41:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312182041.hBIKfbCO009166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPS31 PGTW 182100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/MY/180851Z DEC 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 9.7S6 135.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 01 KT POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.7S6 135.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 9.8S7 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.1S2 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 10.5S6 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 10.9S0 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 9.7S6 135.3E2. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181641Z1 AMSU AND 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS ENHANCED EQUATORIAL WESTERLY WINDS BALANCE THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW-MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD START TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AS THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES WEAKEN AND A RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST. TC 05P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND MARGINAL OUTFLOW. THEREFORE, INTENSIFICATION AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, AND WBAR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 08 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 180851Z DEC 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 180900). NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 AND 192100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:40 2003 X-UIDL: 50305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ3000MOZQDCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 05:01:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIL2Wp8000612 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 05:02:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIFjsOx051720; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:55:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 272659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIKtwD1038766 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:55:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIKtvnN009563 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:55:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIKtvfs009562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:55:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:55:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312182055.hBIKtvfs009562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 182100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 24.6S2 39.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.6S2 39.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 24.9S5 40.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.3S0 40.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 26.5S3 41.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 28.5S5 41.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 24.7S3 39.8E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE FOR THE FIRST 12 TO 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER, TC 03S SHOULD BEGIN TO TRACK SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AS THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF TC 03S WILL BUILD AND PROVIDE A STRONGER STEERING FLOW. BY TAU 48, TC 03S WILL PICK UP SPEED AS IT BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT REMAINS IN A MARGINAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND FAVORABLE OUTFLOW. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, EGRR, AND GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 AND 192100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:40 2003 X-UIDL: 50306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000LE285CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 05:55:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBILuTp8006416 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 05:56:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIFjsS9051720; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 15:50:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 273632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 15:50:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBILoMD1053836 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 15:50:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBILoLnN011346 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 15:50:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBILoLLJ011345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 15:50:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 15:50:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312182150.hBILoLLJ011345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 182150 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC THU 18 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 18/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 32N1324W TO 19N140W MOVING E 15-20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS N OF 25N WITHIN 120NM E OF FRONT. ..RIDGE AXIS FROM THE NORTHERN BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 30N116W TO 18130. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N110W 9N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 120 NM WIDE FROM 110W TO 120W AND FROM 125W TO 130W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE FROM 1328W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:41 2003 X-UIDL: 50309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000QN2PHCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:05:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIM6hp8007980 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:06:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLp3Wt067776; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 16:00:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 273901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 16:00:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIM0oD1093826 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 16:00:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIM0nnN011628 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 16:00:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIM0nBb011627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 16:00:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 16:00:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312182200.hBIM0nBb011627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 182200 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 18 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 07N150W TO 08N170W TO 07N180 MOVED WEST AT 15 KT AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS...WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED CB...WITHIN 200 NM OF A LINE FROM 10S180 TO 14S170W TO 20S162W TO 25S161W...MOVED EAST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SIZE AND INTENSITY. UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE 15S150W 25S135W WERE NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY.. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:42 2003 X-UIDL: 50311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ40005C9V2CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 08:40:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ0fXOC004663 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 08:41:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIFjsYD051720; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 18:36:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 275841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 18:36:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ0a9D1081788 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 18:36:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ0a8nN014656 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 18:36:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ0a8da014655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 18:36:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 18:36:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190036.hBJ0a8da014655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 190000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 54/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/19 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.8S / 40.2E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 300 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 25.3S/41.1E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/12/20 00 UTC: 25.8S/41.6E, MAX WIND=060KT. 36H: 2003/12/20 12 UTC: 27.3S/42.4E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2003/12/21 00 UTC: 29.5S/43.0E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/12/21 12 UTC: 32.0S/43.5E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/22 00 UTC: 34.5S/44.5E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0+ CI=4.5-. BAND EYE PATTERN FILLING UP.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:47 2003 X-UIDL: 50323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000Z4C7CCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:30:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1W6OC011893 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:32:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYDB051722; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 276376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1RYD1038368 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ1RXnN015442 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ1RX9o015440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190127.hBJ1RX9o015440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 190000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 54/3/20032004 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/19 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.8S / 40.2E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.5 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 970 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 300 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 050 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 25.3S/41.1E, MAX WIND=065KT. 24H: 2003/12/20 00 UTC: 25.8S/41.6E, MAX WIND=060KT. 36H: 2003/12/20 12 UTC: 27.3S/42.4E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2003/12/21 00 UTC: 29.5S/43.0E, MAX WIND=050KT. 60H: 2003/12/21 12 UTC: 32.0S/43.5E BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/22 00 UTC: 34.5S/44.5E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0+ CI=4.5-. BAND EYE PATTERN FILLING UP. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:47 2003 X-UIDL: 50324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000Z8C7DCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:30:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1W8OC011902 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:32:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYD9051722; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 276371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1RSD1051990 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ1RRnN015429 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ1RRov015427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 19:27:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Hurricane Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190127.hBJ1RRov015427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 190000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 55/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 19/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 3 (CELA) 970 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.8S / 40.2E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN A 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE., LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. HURRICAN FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN A 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CERCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/19 AT 12 UTC: 25.3S / 41.1E, MAX WIND = 65 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/20 AT 00 UTC: 25.8S / 41.6E, MAX WIND = 60 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 14:03:56 2003 X-UIDL: 50332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000W5JBDCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:04:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ45eOC036265 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:05:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBINStFt067596; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 277454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ3vLD1060008 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ3vKnN017598 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ3vKXc017597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190357.hBJ3vKXc017597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 190357 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 19 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 32N130W TO 19N140W MOVING E 15-20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS N OF 25N WITHIN 90NM E OF FRONT. ..RIDGE AXIS FROM THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 30N115W TO 21N127W. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 18/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N110W 9N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 120 NM WIDE FROM 107W TO 1115W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE FROM 127W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 14:03:59 2003 X-UIDL: 50333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000XPJBQCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:04:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ45oOC036299 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:05:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBINStFv067596; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 277459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ3vpD1060016 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ3vonN017606 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ3volA017605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:57:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190357.hBJ3volA017605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 190357 RRA TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 19 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 32N130W TO 19N140W MOVING E 15-20 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS N OF 25N WITHIN 90NM E OF FRONT. ..RIDGE AXIS FROM THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 30N115W TO 21N127W. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 7N110W 9N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 120 NM WIDE FROM 107W TO 1115W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE FROM 127W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 14:04:02 2003 X-UIDL: 50338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ40003NMYWCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 13:23:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ5OcOC047665 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 13:24:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBINStH7067596; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 278119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ5HDD1013206 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ5HCnN018819 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ5HC27018817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190517.hBJ5HC27018817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z-200600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/181952ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181800Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 135.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 135.3E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 14:51:59 2003 X-UIDL: 50343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ400087PZNCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:28:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ6Tpp8069909 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:29:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYIF051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 00:25:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 278893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 00:25:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ6PDD1038362 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 00:25:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ6PCnN019718 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 00:25:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ6PCgT019716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 00:25:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 00:25:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190625.hBJ6PCgT019716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 190600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 55/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/19 AT 0600 UTC : 24.9S / 41.6E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 350 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/19 18 UTC: 25.8S/42.2E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/20 06 UTC: 27.1S/42.7E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 29.0S/43.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 31.5S/43.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 34.0S/45.7E EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/22 06 UTC: 37.0S/52.0E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0, CI=4.0+ THE SYSTEM STARTS TO UNDERGO NORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 20:36:23 2003 X-UIDL: 50353-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000V0T34CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:35:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ7amOC068141 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:36:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYIt051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:30:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 279220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:30:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ7UoD1045524 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:30:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ7UnnN020591 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:30:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ7Uns6020589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:30:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:30:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190730.hBJ7Uns6020589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 190600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 056/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 19/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 975 HPA POSITION: 24.9S / 41.6E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 45 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/19 AT 18 UTC: 25.8S / 42.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/20 AT 06 UTC: 27.1S / 42.7E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK AND SPEED UP OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN QUICKLY CLEAR OUT THE TROPICAL DOMAIN. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 20:36:38 2003 X-UIDL: 50354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000V8T39CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:35:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ7amp8079617 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:36:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYIr051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:29:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 279212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:29:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ7TnD1045514 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:29:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ7TmnN020558 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:29:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ7Tm1b020557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:29:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 01:29:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190729.hBJ7Tm1b020557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 190600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 55/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/19 AT 0600 UTC : 24.9S / 41.6E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /W 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 350 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/19 18 UTC: 25.8S/42.2E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/20 06 UTC: 27.1S/42.7E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 29.0S/43.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 31.5S/43.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 34.0S/45.7E EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/22 06 UTC: 37.0S/52.0E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0, CI=4.0+ THE SYSTEM STARTS TO UNDERGO NORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 20:36:44 2003 X-UIDL: 50360-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000CTVU5CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 16:34:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ8a7p8088684 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 16:36:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYJV051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:28:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 279579 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:28:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ8SXD1075638 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:28:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ8SWnN021147 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:28:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ8SWjW021146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:28:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:28:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190828.hBJ8SWjW021146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 25.0S7 41.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.0S7 41.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.6S3 42.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 27.1S0 42.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 29.7S8 43.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 32.5S0 45.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 25.2S9 41.6E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE FOR THE FIRST 12 HOURS. THEREAFTER, TC 03S WILL BEGIN TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AS THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF TC 03S WILL BUILD AND PROVIDE A STRONGER STEERING FLOW. BY TAU 36, TC 03S WILL BEGIN TO PICK UP SPEED AS IT STARTS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH TAU 12. AFTER TAU 12, TC 03S WILL SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT ENTERS A HIGHER SHEAR AREA ASSOCIATED WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, EGRR, AND GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 AND 200900Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 20:36:53 2003 X-UIDL: 50363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000BFWNHCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 16:52:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ8riOC079773 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 16:53:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYJl051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:47:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 279653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:47:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ8lKD1011384 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:47:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ8lJnN021339 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:47:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ8lJZG021338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:47:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:47:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190847.hBJ8lJZG021338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 9.9S8 134.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 134.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.3S4 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 10.8S9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.3S5 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 11.5S7 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.0S1 134.6E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 65 KNOTS. FOR THE INITIAL 12 HOURS, TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ALONG THE WEST-NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A WEAK LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTER TAU 24, TC 05P WILL START TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG RIDGE LOCATED OVER AUSTRALIA. TC 05P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR, HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 24. AFTER TAU 24, TC 05P WILL MAINTAIN INTENSITY. AFTER TAU 36, TC 05P WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH LAND CAUSING INTENSITY TO DECREASE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, AND WBAR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 AND 200900Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 20:36:56 2003 X-UIDL: 50365-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000LAXBECO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 17:06:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ97sp8092800 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 17:07:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYJr051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:51:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 279679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:51:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ8pPD1054924 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:51:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ8pOnN021392 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:51:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ8pO1w021391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:51:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:51:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190851.hBJ8pO1w021391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPS31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 9.9S8 134.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 134.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.3S4 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 10.8S9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.3S5 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 11.5S7 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.0S1 134.6E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 65 KNOTS. FOR THE INITIAL 12 HOURS, TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ALONG THE WEST-NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A WEAK LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTER TAU 24, TC 05P WILL START TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG RIDGE LOCATED OVER AUSTRALIA. TC 05P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR, HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 24. AFTER TAU 24, TC 05P WILL MAINTAIN INTENSITY. AFTER TAU 36, TC 05P WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH LAND CAUSING INTENSITY TO DECREASE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, AND WBAR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 AND 200900Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 20:37:03 2003 X-UIDL: 50376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000L4ZTVCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:01:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJA29p8099603 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:02:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYKB051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:54:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 279936 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:54:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ9s2D1064652 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:54:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ9s1nN022236 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:54:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ9s17D022235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:54:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:54:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190954.hBJ9s17D022235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 190953 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 19 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 32N128W 24N131W TO 19N140W MOVING E 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90NM E OF FRONT N OF 26N. ..1021 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 27N120W. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N104W 12N121W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS NEAR 78W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 108W TO 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM OF 101W ON THE AXIS. CLUSTERS OF WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE FOUND WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS W OF 115W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... NONE. $$ HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 20:37:04 2003 X-UIDL: 50377-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000TRZX6CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:03:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJA4EOC088986 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:04:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYKD051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:57:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 279942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:57:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ9vYD1077060 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:57:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ9vXnN022265 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:57:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ9vXaR022264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:57:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 03:57:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190957.hBJ9vXaR022264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 190957 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 50-60 NM OF LINE 06N151W 07N156W INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 07N162W 07N173W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND DIMINISHED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... DECAYING SHEAR LINE...THROUGH 20N140W 17N153W IS STATIONARY. BROKEN CUMULUS WITHIN 70 NM OF SHEAR LINE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S163W 19S180 MOVING EAST 10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF FRONT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... WEAK LOW...NEAR 23S148W MOVING WEST SLOWLY. UPPER TROUGH...THROUGH 11S153W 20S150W 25S144W MOVED NORTHEAST 5 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 14S149W 23S135W DIMINISHED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 20:37:09 2003 X-UIDL: 50386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ5000JU5TYCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:10:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJCBtp8015761 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:11:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYKl051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:06:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 280296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:06:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJC68D1033844 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:06:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJC67nN023896 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:06:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJC67pg023894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:06:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:06:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312191206.hBJC67pg023894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 191200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 56/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/19 AT 1200 UTC : 25.5S / 42.2E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 350 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/20 00 UTC: 26.9S/42.7E, MAX WIND=055KT. 24H: 2003/12/20 12 UTC: 29.1S/43.3E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2003/12/21 00 UTC: 32.2S/44.3E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2003/12/21 12 UTC: 35.0S/46.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2003/12/22 00 UTC: 37.2S/52.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/22 12 UTC: 39.3S/59.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0, CI=4.0+.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 20:39:32 2003 X-UIDL: 50390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ5000ON70VCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:36:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJCbnOC009150 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:37:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYLB051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:30:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 280501 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:30:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJCUkD1055320 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:30:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJCUjnN024278 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:30:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJCUje2024275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:30:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 06:30:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 19/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312191230.hBJCUje2024275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO24 FMEE 191200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 057/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 19/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 975 HPA POSITION: 25.5S / 42.2E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 45 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/20 AT 00 UTC: 26.9S / 42.7E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/20 AT 12 UTC: 29.1S / 43.3E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER THE LAST HOURS AND HAS SLIGHTLY ACCELERATED. IT SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS AND GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND QUICKLY CLEAR OUT THE TROPICAL DOMAIN. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:47:35 2003 X-UIDL: 50396-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ5005BOFU4FI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:46:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJFm7OC032370 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:48:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYhr051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:43:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 287288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:43:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJFh6D1045754 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:43:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJFh5nN028291 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:43:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJFh4bR028290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:43:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:43:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312191543.hBJFh4bR028290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 191542 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 19 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 32N126W 24N130W...THEN STATIONARY TO 19N140W. THE COLD FRONT PORTION IS MOVING E NEAR 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 90NM E OF FRONT N OF 28N. ..1018 MB HIGH PRES IS CENTERED NEAR 26N118W. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N104W 12N120W 9N131W 8N140W. WEAKENING SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 80W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 75 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 112W TO 118W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 125W TO 139W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 20 NM OF AXIS FROM FROM 93W TO 95W AND FROM 99N TO 108W. ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N... AN AREA OF BROKEN/OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 12N127W 15N122W 16N117W. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:47:45 2003 X-UIDL: 50404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ5005FTJKOFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:07:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJH8rp8051277 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:08:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYln051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 288494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJH3hD1038752 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJH3gnN000737 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJH3gpY000736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312191703.hBJH3gpY000736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 191800 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190751ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190600Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0S7 41.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND WAS TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:47:45 2003 X-UIDL: 50405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ5005GZJLAFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:07:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJH9GOC044868 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:09:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJA00ST077082; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 288497 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJH3hD1052218 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJH3gnN000739 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJH3giB000738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312191703.hBJH3giB000738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 191800 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/191800Z/201800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190751ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190600Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0S7 41.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND WAS TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:47:54 2003 X-UIDL: 50413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ5005WFMXGFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:20:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJILLp8059757 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:21:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOCE5073860; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:15:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 289418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:15:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJIF9D1067830 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:15:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJIF8nN002933 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:15:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJIF8UN002931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:15:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:15:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312191815.hBJIF8UN002931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 191800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 57/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/19 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.2S / 42.9E (TWENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 4.0/4.0 /S 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 350 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/20 06 UTC: 28.3S/44.5E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 30.2S/46.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 32.3S/48.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 34.5S/52.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2003/12/22 06 UTC: 36.6S/56.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/22 18 UTC: 38.0S/61.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=4.0, CI=4.0+.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:47:54 2003 X-UIDL: 50414-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ50056IO2JFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:44:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJIk1p8062543 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:46:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBFt051732; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:36:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 289582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:36:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJIabD1030150 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:36:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJIabnN003611 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:36:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJIaakn003610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:36:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:36:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312191836.hBJIaakn003610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPS31 PGTW 190900 COR UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 9.9S8 134.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9S8 134.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.3S4 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 10.8S9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.3S5 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 11.5S7 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.0S1 134.6E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 65 KNOTS. FOR THE INITIAL 12 HOURS, TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ALONG THE WEST-NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A WEAK LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTER TAU 24, TC 05P WILL START TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A STRONG RIDGE LOCATED OVER AUSTRALIA. TC 05P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR, HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 24. AFTER TAU 24, TC 05P WILL MAINTAIN INTENSITY. AFTER TAU 36, TC 05P WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH LAND CAUSING INTENSITY TO DECREASE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, AND WBAR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 AND 200900Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED SPEED AND DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT IN REMARKS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:48:01 2003 X-UIDL: 50424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ50055PTMHFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 04:44:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJKjvOC076725 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 04:45:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBMp051732; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:31:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJKV8D1014492 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJKV7nN006824 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:31:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJKV7gE006823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:31:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:31:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312192031.hBJKV7gE006823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 26.2S0 42.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.2S0 42.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 28.0S0 42.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 29.7S8 42.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 32.5S0 44.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 35.2S0 48.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 26.6S4 42.8E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS GUIDED BY THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN TC 03S AFTER 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS TO BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL IN 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, EGRR, AND GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 AND 202100Z5.REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:48:01 2003 X-UIDL: 50425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ5005XAUXXFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 05:13:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJLETp8083449 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 05:14:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJKfvEt071570; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:07:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:07:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJL7OD1075530 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:07:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJL7NnN007845 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:07:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJL7NgM007844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:07:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:07:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312192107.hBJL7NgM007844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 192107 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 19 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 19/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 32N125W 22N132W MOVING E NEAR 15 KT. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 19/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N100W 12N120W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS E OF 81W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 116W TO 120W AND FROM 128W TO 140W.. $$ FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:48:02 2003 X-UIDL: 50426-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ5005O6VARFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 05:20:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJLM8p8084301 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 05:22:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBOb051732; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:13:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:13:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJLD6D1019274 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:13:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJLD5nN007996 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:13:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJLD5RM007995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:13:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:13:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312192113.hBJLD5RM007995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPS31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 10.4S5 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4S5 134.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 11.0S2 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.6S8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 12.0S3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 12.4S7 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 10.6S7 134.1E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC AND ESTIMATED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ALONG THE WEST-NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A WEAK LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. AFTER 24 HOURS TC 05P WILL START TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A RIDGE LOCATED OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA. TC 05P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR, HIGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS TC 05P WILL BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE NORTHERN TERRITORY COAST CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, TCLAPS, TLAPS, AND WBAR MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. WBAR HAS BEEN EXTREMELY POOR OVER THE LAST 48 HOURS WITH CONTINUED EASTWARD FORECAST TRACKS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS MINUS WBAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 AND 202100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:48:05 2003 X-UIDL: 50430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ5005MNXCFFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 06:05:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJM6IOC087187 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 06:06:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOCH7034392; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:55:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJLtZD1052226 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJLtYnN009163 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:55:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJLtYa7009162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:55:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:55:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312192155.hBJLtYa7009162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 192155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 19 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...WHICH EXTENDED EAST OF 140W...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N140W 08N148W 06N165W AND MOVED WEST AT ABOUT 10 KT AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE. ISOLATED CB... WHICH CROSSED THE DATELINE...WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06N173W 05N180 05N177E AND MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 07N171W 10N165W MOVED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...INTENSIFIED AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09S170W 19S168W 13S179W MOVED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 10 KT...WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE CB ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 12S151W 18S144W MOVED NORTH- NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 05 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 06S178W 11S177W MOVED WEST-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. HOUSTON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:48:07 2003 X-UIDL: 50435-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005P139QFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 08:13:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK0ELOC003076 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 08:14:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOCKD073860; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:06:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 292887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:06:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK06JD1052368 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:06:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK06InN011356 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:06:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK06IBl011354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:06:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:06:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200006.hBK06IBl011354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 200000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 58/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/20 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.3S / 42.5E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.0 MOINS /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 975 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 350 SO: 250 NO: 200 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 090 SO: 090 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/20 12 UTC: 29.6S/42.5E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/21 00 UTC: 32.5S/43.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/21 12 UTC: 34.5S/47.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2003/12/22 00 UTC: 36.3S/52.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.50, CI=4.0+.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:48:10 2003 X-UIDL: 50445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005PXA84FI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 10:43:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK2iap8019013 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 10:44:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBUX051732; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:40:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 293919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:40:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK2e1D1014412 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:40:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK2e0nN013085 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:40:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK2e0gt013084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:40:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:40:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200240.hBK2e0gt013084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 200239 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 20 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 32N123W 22N131W MOVING E NEAR 15 KT. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 6N100W 12N120W 9N130W 8N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. $$ FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:41:57 2003 X-UIDL: 50455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005ODIA0FI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 13:37:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK5cSOC043331 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 13:38:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOCMf073860; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 295056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK5U4D1030064 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK5U3nN014628 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK5U3Gg014626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200530.hBK5U3Gg014626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z-210600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191952ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 134.2E0, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 192100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:03 2003 X-UIDL: 50457-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005XNKZWFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:35:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK6bFOC050343 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:37:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBXl051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:33:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 295689 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:33:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK6XeD1059362 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:33:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK6XdnN015259 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:33:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK6Xd4E015257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:33:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:33:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200633.hBK6Xd4E015257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 200600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 59/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/20 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.5S / 42.5E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 250 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 29.5S/42.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 33.5S/44.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 36.0S/48.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2003/12/22 06 UTC: 37.2S/55.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0 ET CI=4.0-. CELA HAS LEAVED THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL LAST NIGHT AND TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OVER COOLER SEAS (21 TO 24 DEGRES CELSIUS). CELA IS LOOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS, WITH A WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY (CDO OF DIAMETRE 70 NM) OVER THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE (THE ENVIRONMENT IS STILL WEAKLY SHEARED). CELA SHOULD WEAKEN AND TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWARD, BEFORE BEING EVACUATED, AS AN EXTRATROPICAL STAGE, SOUTHEASTWARD IN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:03 2003 X-UIDL: 50458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005S9LGFFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:45:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK6lAOC051446 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:47:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBXt051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:41:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 295764 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:41:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK6fsD1008944 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:41:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK6frnN015330 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:41:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK6frRO015328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:41:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:41:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200641.hBK6frRO015328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 200600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 59/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/20 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.5S / 42.5E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 250 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 29.5S/42.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 33.5S/44.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 36.0S/48.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2003/12/22 06 UTC: 38.4S/55.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0 ET CI=4.0-. CELA HAS LEAVED THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL LAST NIGHT AND TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OVER COOLER SEAS (21 TO 24 DEGRES CELSIUS). CELA IS LOOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS, WITH A WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY (CDO OF DIAMETRE 70 NM) OVER THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE (THE ENVIRONMENT IS STILL WEAKLY SHEARED). CELA SHOULD WEAKEN AND TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWARD, BEFORE BEING EVACUATED, AS AN EXTRATROPICAL STAGE, SOUTHEASTWARD IN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 50460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005MDME2FI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:06:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK77Lp8048254 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:07:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOCND073860; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:04:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 295868 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:04:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK74PD1049770 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:04:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK74OnN015530 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:04:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK74OpG015529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:04:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:04:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200704.hBK74OpG015529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 200600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 59/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/20 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.5S / 42.5E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 250 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 29.5S/42.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 33.5S/44.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 36.0S/48.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2003/12/22 06 UTC: 38.4S/55.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0 ET CI=4.0-. CELA HAS LEAVED THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL LAST NIGHT AND TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OVER COOLER SEAS (21 TO 24 DEGRES CELSIUS). CELA IS LOOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS, WITH A WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY (CDO OF DIAMETRE 70 NM) OVER THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE (THE ENVIRONMENT IS STILL WEAKLY SHEARED). CELA SHOULD WEAKEN AND TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWARD, BEFORE BEING EVACUATED, AS AN EXTRATROPICAL STAGE, SOUTHEASTWARD IN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 50461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ60059LMQYFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:13:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK7F6p8049125 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:15:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBY1051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:08:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 295892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:08:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK78SD1008808 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:08:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK78RnN015573 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:08:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK78Rpc015571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:08:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:08:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200708.hBK78Rpc015571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 200600 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 060/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 20/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.5S / 42.5E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 45 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 140 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/20 AT 18 UTC: 29.5S / 42.2E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2003/12/21 AT 06 UTC: 33.5S / 44.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA HAS LEAVED THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL LAST NIGHT AND TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OVER COOLER SEAS (21 TO 24 DEGRES CELSIUS). CELA IS LOOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS, WITH A WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE. CELA SHOULD WEAKEN AND TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWARD, BEFORE BEING EVACUATED, AS AN EXTRATROPICAL STAGE, SOUTHEASTWARD IN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 50464-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ60056HQNYFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 16:38:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK8dfOC067003 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 16:39:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBYd051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:30:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:30:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK8UtD1095094 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:30:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK8UsnN016221 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:30:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK8Ussm016220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:30:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:30:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200830.hBK8Ussm016220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 27.9S8 42.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.9S8 42.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 30.4S7 42.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 33.3S9 44.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 36.2S1 50.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 28.5S5 42.3E9. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOON IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN INTERACTING WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE FULLY EXTRATROPICAL IN 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, WBAR AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 AND 210900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 50465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005NTSRQFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 17:23:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK9P6p8066216 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 17:25:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOCNb073860; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:21:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:21:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK9LVD1008922 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:21:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK9LUnN016860 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:21:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK9LUtG016858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:21:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:21:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200921.hBK9LUtG016858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 200600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 59/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/20 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 27.5S / 42.5E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 980 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 220 SE: 280 SO: 250 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 030 SE: 080 SO: 080 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/20 18 UTC: 29.5S/42.2E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 33.5S/44.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 36.0S/48.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 48H: 2003/12/22 06 UTC: 38.4S/55.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0 ET CI=4.0-. CELA HAS LEAVED THE WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL LAST NIGHT AND TRACKS NOW SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OVER COOLER SEAS (21 TO 24 DEGRES CELSIUS). CELA IS LOOSING ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS, WITH A WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY (CDO OF DIAMETRE 70 NM) OVER THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE (THE ENVIRONMENT IS STILL WEAKLY SHEARED). CELA SHOULD WEAKEN AND TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWARD, BEFORE BEING EVACUATED, AS AN EXTRATROPICAL STAGE, SOUTHEASTWARD IN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 50466-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ60053DSWWFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 17:26:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK9SFOC073314 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 17:28:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBZ1051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:25:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:25:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK9PHD1049692 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:25:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK9PGnN016889 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:25:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK9PGp1016888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:25:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:25:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200925.hBK9PGp1016888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 200924 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 20 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/0600 UTC... ...DISSIPATING COLD FRONT 30N121W 20N133W MOVING E 15 KT. ...SECOND COLD FRONT 30N133W 26N140W MOVING E 20 KT. ...STRONG HIGH PRES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. ...WEAK HIGH PRES 1020 MB NEAR 24N119W DRIFTING E. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/0900 UTC... JET STREAM CIRUS WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE FROM 11N130W TO 19N120W TO SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA PENINSULA. ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N80W 6N100W 8N120W 8N130W 6N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 5N79W 4N89W 5N95W 6N99W AND 6N107W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 9N118W AND 7N138W. $$ RRG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 50468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005ONT9RFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 17:34:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK9ZwOC074324 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 17:35:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOCNd073860; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:28:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:28:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK9ShD1049738 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:28:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK9SgnN016924 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:28:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK9Sg4H016923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:28:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:28:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200928.hBK9Sg4H016923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPS31 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 11.3S5 133.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S5 133.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 11.9S1 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 12.4S7 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 12.7S0 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 13.0S4 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.4S6 133.7E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC AND ESTIMATED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC 05P IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR GOULBURN ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A RIDGE LOCATED OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER LAND. TC 05P HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO SURVIVE OVER LAND AND RETURN OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL WATERS OF THE TIMOR SEA WHERE IT WOULD REINTENSIFY. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, TCLAPS, TLAPS, AND WBAR MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 AND 210900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:07 2003 X-UIDL: 50469-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005XGUJ6FI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 18:01:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKA3COC077850 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 18:03:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBZ5051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:55:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296543 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:55:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK9teD1094658 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:55:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK9tdnN017163 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:55:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK9tdad017162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:55:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:55:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200955.hBK9tdad017162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 200955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 70 NM OF LINE 07N140W 07N160W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. CB HAVE DIMINISHED AND REMAIN SPARSE. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 85 NM OF LINE 07N173W 07N180 MOVED WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER.FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S159W 22S170W CONTINUES AS A TROUGH THROUGH 21S180. FRONT/TROUGH MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS AND SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120-150 NM OF FRONT/SHEAR LINE CHANGED LITTLE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:09 2003 X-UIDL: 50473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ7005W41NYFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 20:35:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKCbHOC093270 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 20:37:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBaN051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 06:29:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 297158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 06:29:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKCT3D1031796 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 06:29:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKCT1nN018627 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 06:29:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKCT1HY018625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 06:29:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 06:29:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312201229.hBKCT1HY018625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 201200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 60/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/20 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 29.1S / 42.4E (TWENTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 MOINS /W 1.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 982 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 300 SE: 240 SO: 200 NO: 150 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 040 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/21 00 UTC: 32.7S/43.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2003/12/21 12 UTC: 35.3S/46.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2003/12/22 00 UTC: 37.4S/53.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0 ET CI=3.5+. DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY PERSITS OVER THE LLCC LOCATED ON THE EASTREN EDGE OF THE 1.5AO DEGRE DIAMETRE CDO. CELA IS WEAKENING OVER COOLER AND COOLER SEAS. IT SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND EVACUATE RAPIDLY SOUHEASTWARD (DUE TO THE POLAR TROUGH) IN AN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:13 2003 X-UIDL: 50478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ7008YS4UMMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:44:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKDk5OC000894 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:46:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBbN051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 07:42:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 297461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 07:42:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKDgwD1064734 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 07:42:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKDgunN019315 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 07:42:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKDguhS019313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 07:42:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 07:42:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312201342.hBKDguhS019313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 201200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 20/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 061/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 20/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 982 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 29.1S / 42.4E (TWENTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 13 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 35 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:16 2003 X-UIDL: 50483-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ700815FXNMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 01:44:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKHjUp8016345 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 01:45:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKFrEDN008758; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 298806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKHeTD1038708 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKHeRnN021767 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKHeR6b021763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312201740.hBKHeR6b021763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 201800 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200752ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200600Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9S8 42.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND WAS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:17 2003 X-UIDL: 50485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ70086AG1EMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 01:46:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKHlkOC029171 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 01:47:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKFrEDh064652; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 298803 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKHeTD1034504 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKHeRnN021760 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKHeQ5C021758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312201740.hBKHeQ5C021758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 201830 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/201830Z-210600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/200752ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/201751ZDEC2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A/ SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200600Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3E5 133.8E5 APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED 65 GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 200900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM WILL NOW BE REFERENCED ON REF B (ABIO10 PGTW 201800). (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TC 05P HAS CROSSED 135.0E9 AND IS NOW IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AND WILL BE REFERENCED ON THE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/WAUGAMAN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:17 2003 X-UIDL: 50486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ7008ASG3CMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 01:47:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKHmqOC029300 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 01:48:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKGGaHx048664; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 298809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKHeTD1077876 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKHeRnN021768 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKHeRkg021764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312201740.hBKHeRkg021764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 201800 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/201800Z/211800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200751ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200752ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200600Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9S8 42.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND WAS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:18 2003 X-UIDL: 50488-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ7008U7IBLMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:35:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKIb5p8022401 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBfb051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:31:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 299144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:31:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKIVvD1077154 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:31:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKIVunN022380 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:31:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKIVuT0022378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:31:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:31:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312201831.hBKIVuT0022378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 201800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 61/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/20 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 31.0S / 42.0E (THIRTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W 0.5/18 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 240 SE: 270 SO: 270 NO: 120 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 34.1S/43.8E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 36.5S/49.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2003/12/22 06 UTC: 38.0S/57.0E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0-, CI=3.5. CELA IS WEAKENING OVER COOLER AND COOLER SEAS. IT SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND QUICKLY CLEARS OUT THE TROPICAL DOMAIN.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:21 2003 X-UIDL: 50491-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ700825N6KMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 04:20:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKKM4OC049376 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 04:22:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBhZ051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:14:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 299901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:14:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKKEmD1049880 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:14:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKKEknN023395 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:14:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKKEkfM023394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:14:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:14:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312202014.hBKKEkfM023394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPS31 PGTW 202100 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 12.4S7 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.4S7 133.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 13.2S6 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 13.9S3 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 14.6S1 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.2S8 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 12.6S9 133.1E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE), CROSSED THE AUSTRALIAN COAST NEAR TURNER POINT JUST AFTER 201200Z5. THE SYSTEM IS NOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC AND ESTIMATED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC 05P IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A RIDGE LOCATED OVER CENTRAL AUSTRALIA AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, NOGAPS, TCLAPS, TLAPS, AND WBAR MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 AND 212100Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:22 2003 X-UIDL: 50494-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ7008SSPPSMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 05:15:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLGmp8039535 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 05:16:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBiX051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:09:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 300240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:09:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKL9fD1027136 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:09:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKL9dnN023960 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:09:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKL9d4P023959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:09:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:09:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Unclas //n03145// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312202109.hBKL9d4P023959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 202100 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 31.0S4 41.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 185 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 31.0S4 41.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 34.0S7 44.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 36.6S5 49.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 31.8S2 42.5E1. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 740 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOON IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. TC 03S HAS BEGUN INTERACTING WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND IS NOW TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE FULLY EXTRATROPICAL IN 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, WBAR AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:22 2003 X-UIDL: 50495-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ7008UPRTSMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:01:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM2MOC061273 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:02:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBj7051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:55:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 300483 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLtYD1026052 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKLtWnN024416 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:55:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKLtWNL024415 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:55:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:55:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312202155.hBKLtWNL024415@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 202155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 20 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N179W 07N175E 06N172E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N172W 06N172W 06N178W 08N177W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 15 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 10N179W 12S178W 12S173W 13S171W 14S170W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 TO 15 KT IN 12 HOURS AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 16S174W 17S169W 20S161W 22S162W 21S173W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 50496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ7008ZBRWMMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:02:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM46p8044556 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:04:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRD3051734; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:59:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 300520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:59:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxWD1099340 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:59:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKLxUnN024451 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:59:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKLxUKg024450 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:59:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:59:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312202159.hBKLxUKg024450@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 202159 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 20 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N131W TO 27N140W MOVING E 15 KT. ..GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. ..HIGH PRES 1021 MB IS CENTERED NEAR 25N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N100W 9N120W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... NONE. $$ FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 50499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ7008SOY1GMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 08:15:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL0GYba012668 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 08:16:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRFn051734; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 18:10:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 301619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 18:10:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL0AnD1012844 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 18:10:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL0AlnN025799 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 18:10:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL0AlYa025797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 18:10:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 18:10:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210010.hBL0AlYa025797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 210000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 62/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/21 AT 0000 UTC : 32.8S / 42.0E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /W 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 990 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 240 SE: 270 SO: 270 NO: 120 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/21 12 UTC: 35.6S/46.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2003/12/22 00 UTC: 38.0S/53.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.5-, CI=3.0. CELA IS WEAKENING OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, DEEP CONVECTION HAS NEARLY DISAPPEARED, AND LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS NOW LOCATED NORTH-WEST OF THE RESIDUAL CONVECTION. CELA HAS BEGUN ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, CLEARING OUT THE TROPICAL DOMAIN BY QUICKLY TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:26 2003 X-UIDL: 50504-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008BP64SMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:10:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL3BOsK027922 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:11:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRIr051734; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:06:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 302859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:06:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL36dD1059342 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:06:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL36bnN027271 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:06:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL36bo8027270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:06:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:06:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210306.hBL36bo8027270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 210306 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 21 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/0000 UTC... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N125W TO 28N132W MOVING E 15 KT. ..GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. ..HIGH PRES 1020 MB IS CENTERED NEAR 27N137W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N100W 9N120W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 103W TO 110W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... NONE. $$ FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:26 2003 X-UIDL: 50505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008W8709MR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:28:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL3UHsK029758 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:30:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14H1064654; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:27:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 302986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL3RMD1048868 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:27:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL3RJnN027404 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:27:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL3RJZu027401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:27:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:27:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Bms Marine Le 20/12/2003 A 1800 Utc. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210327.hBL3RJZu027401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO21 FMEE 201800 METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION BMS MARINE LE 20/12/2003 A 1800 UTC. NUMERO: 062/03 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN) VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT) (LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT MOYEN). PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (VALEUR INDICATIVE). AVIS DE TEMPETE DEBUT DE VALIDITE: SAMEDI 20/12/2003 A 1800 UTC. PHENOMENE: FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE 3 (CELA) 985 HPA POSITION: DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU POINT 31.0S / 42.0E (TRENTE ET UN DEGRES ZERO SUD ET QUARANTE-DEUX DEGRES ZERO EST) A 1800 UTC DEPLACEMENT: SUD 17 KT ZONES MENACEES: TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 100 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU 'A 330 MN DANS LE QUADRANT SUD-OUEST. TEMPETE 50 KT ET MER GROSSE A TRES GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 15 MN DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 30 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. COUP DE VENT 35/45 KT ET MER TRES FORTE A GROSSE DANS UN RAYON DE 45 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 110 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. GRAND FRAIS 30 KT ET MER FORTE A TRES FORTE DANS UN RAYON DE 60 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT JUSQU'A 150 MN DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE SUD-EST. FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS. PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES: A 12H POUR LE 21/12/2003 A 06 UTC: 34.1S / 43.8E, VENT MAX = 45 KT, DEVENANT EXTRATROPICAL. A 24H POUR LE 21/12/2003 A 18 UTC: 36.5S / 49.4E, VENT MAX = 40 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES: CELA POURSUIT SON AFFAIBLISSEMENT EN PENETRANT SUR DES EAUX PLUS FROIDES. ELLE DEVRAIT DEVENIR EXTRATROPICALE DANS LES PROCHAINES 12 HEURES PUIS S'EVACUER RAPIDEMENT VERS LE SUD-EST DANS UN ENVIRONNEMENT DE PLUS EN PLUS CISAILLE DE NORD-OUEST. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:26 2003 X-UIDL: 50506-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ80086F791MR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:34:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL3ZXba033246 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:35:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRJ9051734; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:28:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 302991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:28:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL3SOD1091516 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:28:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL3SMnN027425 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:28:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL3SMg9027423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:28:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:28:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210328.hBL3SMg9027423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 201800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 61/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/20 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 31.0S / 42.0E (THIRTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W 0.5/18 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 985 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 240 SE: 270 SO: 270 NO: 120 50 KT NE: 060 SE: 060 SO: 060 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/21 06 UTC: 34.1S/43.8E, MAX WIND=045KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 36.5S/49.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 36H: 2003/12/22 06 UTC: 38.0S/57.0E EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.0-, CI=3.5. CELA IS WEAKENING OVER COOLER AND COOLER SEAS. IT SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND QUICKLY CLEARS OUT THE TROPICAL DOMAIN. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:28 2003 X-UIDL: 50513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008JUEF1MR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:09:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL6AKba048989 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:10:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRM5051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 304471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL64YD1011264 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL64VnN028799 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL64VNX028797 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210604.hBL64VNX028797@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z-220600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS NEAR 6.2N8 149.7E1, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO IMPROVING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/ALLEN/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:29 2003 X-UIDL: 50514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008N1FX5MR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:41:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL6gnba051934 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:42:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRMr051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:38:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 304813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:38:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL6cJD1100012 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:38:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL6cGnN029046 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:38:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL6cG82029045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:38:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:38:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210638.hBL6cG82029045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIII, Probability=24%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, OBFU_PORNWORDS 0.864, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 210600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 63/3/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/21 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 34.5S / 43.9E (THIRTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/3.0 /W 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 240 SE: 270 SO: 200 NO: 180 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/21 18 UTC: 37.1S/49.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2003/12/22 06 UTC: 41.5S/60.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (LESS THAN 21 DEGRES CELSIUS). DEEP CONVECTION IS WEAKENING AND IS LOCATED FAR FROM THE CENTRE WICH IS NOW TOTALLY EXPOSED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:29 2003 X-UIDL: 50515-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008HNGISMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:54:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL6tmba053015 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:55:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRN3051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:51:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 304907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:51:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL6pfD1034458 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:51:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL6pdnN029163 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:51:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL6pcY5029161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:51:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:51:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 21/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210651.hBL6pcY5029161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO24 FMEE 210600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 064/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 21/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 992 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 34.5S / 43.9E (THIRTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 20 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE/ GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 110 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, REACHING LOCALLY STORM FORCE WINDS 45/50KT IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/21 AT 18 UTC: 37.1S / 49.6E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2003/12/22 AT 06 UTC: 41.5S / 60.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL WITH STRONGER WINDS MORE AND MORE FAR FROM THE CENTRE. IT IS EVACUATING SOUTHEASTWARD MORE AND MORE QUICKLY AND SHOULD REACH POLAR AREAS AT MORE THAN 50KT AT MEDIUM RANGE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:29 2003 X-UIDL: 50516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008BJKW7MR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 16:28:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL8UFsK057859 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 16:30:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRNj051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:22:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 305344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:22:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL8MYD1094594 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:22:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL8MVnN029869 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:22:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL8MVpo029868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:22:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:22:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210822.hBL8MVpo029868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 34.3S0 43.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 34.3S0 43.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 37.8S8 50.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 35.2S0 45.5E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 915 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THAT TC 03S IS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE RAPIDLY TO THE SOUTHEAST AND TO BE FULLY EXTRATROPICAL IN 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 18 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:30 2003 X-UIDL: 50519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008XWM36MR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 16:54:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL8u2ba064560 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 16:56:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRNv051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:49:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 305480 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:49:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL8nJD1031924 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:49:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL8nHnN000062 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:49:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL8nHM2000060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:49:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:49:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210849.hBL8nHM2000060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPS31 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 13.8S2 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 133.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 14.4S9 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.9S3 133.2E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE), CROSSED THE AUSTRALIAN COAST NEAR TURNER POINT JUST AFTER 201200Z5 AND MOVED INLAND. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON ESTIMATED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:31 2003 X-UIDL: 50520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008WPNV1MR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 17:33:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL9YMba068503 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 17:34:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRO7051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:29:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 305591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:29:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL9TvD1094640 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:29:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL9TsnN000552 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:29:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL9Ts1i000551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:29:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:29:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210929.hBL9Ts1i000551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 210929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 21 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/0600 UTC... ..DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N125W TO 27N132W MOVING E 15 KT. ..GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W. ..HIGH PRES 1021 MB IS CENTERED NEAR 29N133W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N80W 4N95W 6N106W 8N127W 7N140W. ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NEAR 5N77W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR 5N91W 6N106W 9N126W AND 8N137W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... NONE. $$ RRG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:31 2003 X-UIDL: 50521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ800855OQAMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 17:51:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL9r6ba070360 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 17:53:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxROh051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:46:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 305745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:46:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL9k9D1091534 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:46:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL9k6nN000716 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:46:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL9k6PP000715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:46:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:46:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210946.hBL9k6PP000715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 210945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 08N145W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N180 08N170W 05N174W 04N180. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 20N144W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 250 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 20S172E TO 26S150W TO 40S143W AND FURTHER SOUTH MOVED EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 KT. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 21S137W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 50523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008UFSXCMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 19:22:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLBNisK072869 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 19:23:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14Mf064654; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 05:16:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 306215 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 05:16:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLBGkD1060144 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 05:16:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBLBGhnN001643 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 05:16:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBLBGh0k001642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 05:16:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 05:16:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312211116.hBLBGh0k001642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 210900 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (CELA) WARNING NR 032A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 34.3S0 43.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 34.3S0 43.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 37.8S8 50.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 35.2S0 45.5E4. THIS WARNING HAS BEEN AMENDED BASED ON A QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWING THE INTENSITY TO BE HIGHER. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 915 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND A 210324Z2 QUIKSCAT PASS OF 50 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THAT TC 03S IS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE RAPIDLY TO THE SOUTHEAST AND TO BE FULLY EXTRATROPICAL IN 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (DEBBIE) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 50524-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008IEWIVMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:40:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLCfRba085311 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:41:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRQ5051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:33:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 306870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:33:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLCXZD1086792 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:33:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBLCXWnN002246 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:33:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBLCXWtJ002244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:33:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:33:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312211233.hBLCXWtJ002244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 211200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 64/3/20032004 1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 (EX-CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/21 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 36.2S / 46.8E (THIRTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : / 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 250 SE: 150 SO: 150 NO: 250 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/22 00 UTC: 39.8S/54.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H: 2003/12/22 12 UTC: 44.0S/67.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA IS EXTRATROPICAL WITH STRONGER WINDS MORE AND MORE FAR FROM THE CENTRE. IT IS EVACUATING SOUTHEASTWARD MORE AND MORE QUICKLY (AT MORE THAN 40/50KT TOMORROW), AND SHOULD THEN REACH POLAR AREAS RAPIDLY. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS STILL VERY CIRCULAR AND PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE EASTERN EDGE O F DEEP CONVECTION. STRONGER WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE NORTEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE RAPID MOVMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ISSUED BY THE RSMC LA REUNION ON THIS SYSTEM.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:33 2003 X-UIDL: 50525-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008POWOMMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:43:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLCissK079073 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:44:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRQ9051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:38:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 306914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:38:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLCcfD1080714 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:38:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBLCccnN002279 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:38:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBLCcc8N002277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:38:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 06:38:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312211238.hBLCcc8N002277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO24 FMEE 211200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 065/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 21/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 (EX-CELA) 992 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 36.2S / 46.8E (THIRTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 25 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND MORE THAN UP TO 400NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTRHERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM AND REACHING LOCALLY STORM FORCE WINDS 45/50KT IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/22 AT 00 UTC: 39.8S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 24H, VALID 2003/12/22 AT 12 UTC: 44.0S / 67.0E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, EXTRATROPICAL. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CELA IS EXTRATROPICAL WITH STRONGER WINDS MORE AND MORE FAR FROM THE CENTRE. IT IS EVACUATING SOUTHEASTWARD MORE AND MORE QUICKLY (AT MORE THAN 40/50KT TOMORROW), AND SHOULD THEN REACH POLAR AREAS RAPIDLY. STRONGER WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE NORTEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE RAPID MOVMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ISSUED BY THE RSMC LA REUNION ON THIS SYSTEM. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:41 2003 X-UIDL: 50536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ900B1H4CC47@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 23:29:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLFUJba003140 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 23:30:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRSZ051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 09:27:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 307970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 09:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLFRLD1012990 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 09:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBLFRHnN003639 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 09:27:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBLFRHjr003638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 09:27:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 09:27:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312211527.hBLFRHjr003638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 211527 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 21 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1200 UTC... ..A 1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N128W. A RIDGE EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH TO NEAR 24N140W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM THE HIGH TO 21N110W. ..NORTHERLY GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE TO BLOW IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC DUE TO A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SAME HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS ALSO PRODUCING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 4N100W 5N109W 6N120W 8N128W 7N140W. A WEAKENING AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 79W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM RADIUS OF 2.5N79.5W AND WITHIN 25 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 92W TO 97W. CLUSTERS OF ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN A 20 NM RADIUS OF THE FOLLOWING POINTS...6N120W...6.5N122W...8.5N128.5W...AND 8N135.5W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ALONG AND JUST W OF 140W FROM 21N TO 23N. NONE. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:42 2003 X-UIDL: 50538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ900B499NF47@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 01:23:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLHOxsK006308 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 01:25:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9DP048716; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 308657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLHKkD1045748 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBLHKhnN004720 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBLHKgHB004718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312211720.hBLHKgHB004718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 211800 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211051ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210752ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.3S0 43.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 915 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND WAS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:42 2003 X-UIDL: 50539-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ900B6F9P747@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 01:24:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLHQ4sK006378 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 01:26:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14PR064654; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 308660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLHKkD1067794 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBLHKhnN004721 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBLHKgMx004719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:20:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312211720.hBLHKgMx004719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 211800 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/211800Z/221800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211051ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210752ZDEC2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210600Z9 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (CELA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.3S0 43.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 915 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR AND WAS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 11:08:53 2003 X-UIDL: 50545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ900B06LBP47@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:35:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLLbAba041443 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:37:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9GH048716; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:34:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 310617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:34:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLLY3D1094464 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:34:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBLLXxnN007172 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:33:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBLLXx1P007171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:33:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:33:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312212133.hBLLXx1P007171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 212133 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 21 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 21/1200 UTC... ..A 1023 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N124W. A RIDGE EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH TO NEAR 22N140W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM THE HIGH TO 20N110W. ..NORTHERLY GALE FORCE WIND CONTINUE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC DUE TO A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SAME HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS ALSO PRODUCING NEAR GALE FORCE WIND OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 21/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 4N100W 7N110W 6N120W 8N130W 8N140W. A WEAKENING AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS E OF 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 89W TO 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 6.2N119W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS FROM 7N TO 10N W OF 130W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 19N TO 22N W OF 138W. $$ LL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 11:08:53 2003 X-UIDL: 50546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ900B6JMBG47@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:57:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLLwaba043507 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:58:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9H7048716; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:55:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 310869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:55:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLLteD1077210 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:55:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBLLtanN007371 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:55:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBLLtaca007370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:55:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:55:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312212155.hBLLtaca007370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 212155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 21 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 10N176E 07N178W 07N173W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N140W 07N145W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W AND WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 20N140W 16N144W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT IN 12 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... SURFACE/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 17S169W 21S161W 20S156W 24S159W 24S168W 20S170W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 TO 15 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 11:36:49 2003 X-UIDL: 50560-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00CYE1WH56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:33:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM3ZDsK069300 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:35:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9KX048716; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 21:29:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 313028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 21:29:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM3TAD1008728 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 21:29:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBM3T6nN010237 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 21:29:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBM3T6gp010236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 21:29:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 21:29:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312220329.hBM3T6gp010236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 220328 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 22 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0000 UTC... ..A 1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N122W. A RIDGE EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH TO NEAR 21N140W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM THE HIGH TO 21N110W. ..NORTHERLY GALE FORCE WIND CONTINUE IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC DUE TO A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SAME HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS ALSO PRODUCING NEAR GALE FORCE WIND OVER THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 4N100W 7N110W 6N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N TO 6.5N FROM 80W TO 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7.5N TO 9.5N FROM 129W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 17N TO 22N W OF 135W. $$ LL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 14:14:50 2003 X-UIDL: 50570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00CPF96M56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:11:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM6CVba098579 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:12:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9Lx048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 313907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM65HD1052284 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBM65DnN011691 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBM65Dcm011689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312220605.hBM65Dcm011689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z-230600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 6.2N8 149.7E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.4N0 142.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS CURRENTLY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AND HAS YET TO CONSOLIDATE WITHIN TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 17:55:47 2003 X-UIDL: 50591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00CQCJ0656@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:43:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM9icba026842 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:44:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9Nv048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:35:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 315010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:35:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM9ZtD1060052 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:35:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBM9ZpnN013634 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:35:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBM9ZpJ4013633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:35:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:35:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312220935.hBM9ZpJ4013633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 220935 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 22 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/0600 UTC... ..A 1021 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N124W. A RIDGE EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH TO NEAR 20N140W. A SECOND RIDGE EXTENDS SE FROM THE HIGH TO 17N110W. ..COLD FRONT ENTERING NW PORTION OF REGION 30N139W MOVING E 20 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 5N100W 7N118W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N77W TO 4N81W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 4N87W TO 4N94W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR 7N112W 7N121W 11N140W. SCATTERED STRONG FROM 8N130W TO 8N136W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...EMBEDDED SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 27N134W TO 23N133W TO 21N135W. $$ RRG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 17:55:51 2003 X-UIDL: 50592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00CZ4JIJ56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:54:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM9teba028215 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:55:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9Nx048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:46:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 315035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:46:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM9kFD1034338 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:46:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBM9kAnN013703 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:46:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBM9kA36013702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:46:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:46:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312220946.hBM9kA36013702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 220945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA PARTIALLY BOUNDED BY 12N140W 07N145W 06N140W AND FURTHER EAST. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N178W 07N172W 04N180 08N180. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19N141W 15N140W 15N143W. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 420 NM OF THE POINT 23S156W MOVED EAST AT 25 KT. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 19S161W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED TCU WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 16S174W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 16S177W. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:26:26 2003 X-UIDL: 50598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00CVWMXU56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 19:08:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMB9bsK030323 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 19:09:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14Xl064654; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:01:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 315323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:01:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMB13D1099502 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:01:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBMB0wnN014442 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:00:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBMB0wlc014440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:00:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:00:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312221100.hBMB0wlc014440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/221030Z/221800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 45.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR THE NORTHERN APPROACHES OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO POOR. 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:26:38 2003 X-UIDL: 50599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00CWYMY756@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 19:08:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMB9qba044484 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 19:09:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9OH048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:01:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 315320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:01:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMB13D1083830 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:01:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBMB0wnN014441 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:00:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBMB0wx9014438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:00:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 05:00:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312221100.hBMB0wx9014438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 221030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/221030Z/221800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 45.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR THE NORTHERN APPROACHES OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO POOR. 4. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:26:41 2003 X-UIDL: 50604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00CEFTBC56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:26:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMDRJsK053303 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:27:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14YN064654; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 315820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMDMbD1027334 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBMDMXnN015845 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBMDMX4b015843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312221322.hBMDMX4b015843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 221030 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/221030Z/221800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.5S6 45.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR THE NORTHERN APPROACHES OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO POOR. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CHANGED LATITUDE IN PARA 2.B.(1) FROM 10.5N6 TO 10.5S6. 5. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:26:42 2003 X-UIDL: 50605-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00CI0TDG56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:27:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMDSaba069248 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:28:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9PV048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 315817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMDMcD1045702 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBMDMXnN015846 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBMDMX2l015844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:22:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312221322.hBMDMX2l015844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221030 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/221030Z/221800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.5S6 45.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR THE NORTHERN APPROACHES OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO POOR. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CHANGED LATITUDE IN PARA 2.B.(1) FROM 10.5N6 TO 10.5S6. 5. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:00 2003 X-UIDL: 50615-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQB00C6M4V456@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 01:35:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMHamsK083456 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 01:36:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9Uh048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 317670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMHULD1067624 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBMHUGnN021480 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBMHUGa2021478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312221730.hBMHUGa2021478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.5S6 45.3E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 44.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM NORTH NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:01 2003 X-UIDL: 50616-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQB00CPE55C56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 01:41:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMHgvsK084130 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 01:42:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14bF064654; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 317673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMHULD1052026 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBMHUGnN021481 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBMHUGUN021479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:30:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312221730.hBMHUGUN021479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 221800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/221800Z/231800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.5S6 45.3E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 44.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM NORTH NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:18 2003 X-UIDL: 50627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQB00CHLF0U56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 05:14:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMLGFsK010829 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 05:16:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14dZ064654; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:09:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 319742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:09:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBML9ND1052476 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:09:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBML9InN026550 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:09:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBML9IIv026549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:09:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:09:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312222109.hBML9IIv026549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 222108 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 22 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/1800 UTC... ..A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N118W TO 20N130W. ..COLD FRONT 30N133W 20N140W MOVING E 20 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N100W 8N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 117W TO 132W AND SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 136W TO 138W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:20 2003 X-UIDL: 50630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQB00C20HLH56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 06:10:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMMBoba040640 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 06:11:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9bl048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 16:06:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 320526 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 16:06:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMM6RD1049162 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 16:06:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBMM6MnN027836 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 16:06:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBMM6MWc027835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 16:06:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 16:06:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312222206.hBMM6MWc027835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 222206 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 22 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 13N175W 06N164W 06N155W 04N155W 04N179W 13N175W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED TCU/CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N140W 06N140W 10N143W 14N140W AND HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND HAVE DECREASED IN INTENSITY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/SHEAR LINE...ISOLATED CB WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19S157W 20S150W 25S149W 25S158W 22S160W 19S157W HAVE MOVED EAST 20 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA AND INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NEWLY FORMED ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 17S179W 15S170W 18S165W. ELSEWHERE...NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:32 2003 X-UIDL: 50651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQB00GFUW9A66@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:27:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN3SWba082668 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:28:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9g9048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:23:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 322769 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:23:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN3NlD1080788 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:23:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBN3NgnN002220 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:23:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBN3NgDF002219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:23:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:23:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312230323.hBN3NgDF002219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 230323 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 23 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0000 UTC... ..A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N116W TO 20N130W. ..COLD FRONT 30N130W 20N140W MOVING E 20 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N100W 8N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 117W TO 129W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:39 2003 X-UIDL: 50660-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQC00GFF2YB66@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 13:51:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN5r8sK074156 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 13:53:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9iN048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 323766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN5iKD1059200 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBN5iEnN003579 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBN5iEQg003577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312230544.hBN5iEQg003577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z-240600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.4N0 142.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 140.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN A BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS CURRENTLY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AND HAS YET TO CONSOLIDATE WITHIN THE TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MARGINAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/DIXON/WAUGAMAN/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:41 2003 X-UIDL: 50668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQC00GAQDKZ66@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 17:41:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN9ghba033964 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 17:42:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9kx048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:38:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 325870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:38:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN9cCD1027344 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:38:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBN9c6nN005895 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:38:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBN9c6MJ005894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:38:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:38:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312230938.hBN9c6MJ005894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 230938 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 23 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0600 UTC... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N113W TO 14N110W. ..COLD FRONT 30N127W 20N140W MOVING E 20 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/0900 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS ALONG 2N79W 10N125W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS FROM 112W TO 128W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:42 2003 X-UIDL: 50669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQC00GHZEE766@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 17:58:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNA0HsK004783 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:00:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9l3048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:56:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 325974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:56:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN9txD1095002 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBN9trnN006061 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:55:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBN9trd4006060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:55:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 03:55:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312230955.hBN9trd4006060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 230955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 12N179W 08N165W 07N160W 03N171W 08N179W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU THAT CROSS THE DATELINE AND BOUNDED BY 10S177E 12S169W 15S164W 18S167W 17S177W 17S170E HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. SURFACE LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 15S163W 16S156W 24S155W 24S158W 17S163W HAVE MOVED NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 5 KT... INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...CZ/SURFACE TROUGH. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 07S169W 08S163W 11S161W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR 9 HOURS...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:47 2003 X-UIDL: 50684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQC00GCITAD66@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:20:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNFLvba077454 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:21:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9ph048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 09:16:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 327898 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 09:16:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNFFxD1026360 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 09:15:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBNFFrnN010426 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 09:15:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBNFFrlQ010425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 09:15:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 09:15:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312231515.hBNFFrlQ010425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 231511 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 23 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 30N123W 24N130W BECOMING DIFFUSE TO 20N140W. FRONT MOVING E 18 KT ALONG 30N. ..HIGH PRESSURE CENTER 27N118W 1017 MB DRIFTING SE. ..RIDGE 27N140W TO 27N128W BUILDING E WITH TIME. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS ALONG 7N78W 1N93W 7N118W 9N137W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS E OF 80W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W AND 126W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...DENSE MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 32N117W 13N127W. $$ FORECASTER NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:51 2003 X-UIDL: 50691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQC00GGIZBW66@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 01:31:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNHWRsK057189 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 01:32:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9tx048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 329414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNHNBD1019360 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBNHN5nN013569 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBNHN5aA013567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312231723.hBNHN5aA013567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 44.6E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:52 2003 X-UIDL: 50692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQC00GJEZCR66@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 01:31:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNHX1sK057239 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 01:33:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN62pKJ064658; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 329417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNHNBD1080830 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBNHN5nN013570 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBNHN5SY013568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:23:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312231723.hBNHN5SY013568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 231800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/231800Z/241800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 44.6E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:02 2003 X-UIDL: 50707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD00GEVB3D66@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 05:45:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNLkZsK087397 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 05:46:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa939048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:36:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 331844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:36:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNLajD1060078 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:36:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBNLacnN019431 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:36:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBNLacoS019430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:36:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:36:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312232136.hBNLacoS019430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 232136 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 23 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 23/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 32N123W 24N127W BECOMING DIFFUSE AND MOVING E 15 KT. ..HIGH PRESSURE CENTER 26N116W 1017 MB DRIFTING SE. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 23/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ 6N78W 1N93W 9N122W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 107W AND 123W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:02 2003 X-UIDL: 50708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD00008BQM4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 05:59:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNM0Vba030739 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 06:00:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN62pOP064658; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:55:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 331960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:55:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNLtbD1036510 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:55:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBNLtUnN019843 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:55:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBNLtU7w019842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:55:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 15:55:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312232155.hBNLtU7w019842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 232155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 23 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...SPARSE ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 04N171W 07N180 ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND DIMINISHED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N169W 26N180 MOVING EAST 25 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOW...NEAR 22S160W NEARLY STATIONARY. ASSOCIATED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 22S157W THROUGH 17S163W 14S173W 14S180 AND THROUGH 25S148W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH EAST OF 178W. BROKEN CUMULUS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG TROUGH WEST OF WEST OF 178W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 14S158W 10S162W 08S168W MOVED SOUTHWEST 5-10 KT AND INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:07 2003 X-UIDL: 50714-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD000ODI614J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:18:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO0JNba045944 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:19:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa961048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 333155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO09kD1077162 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO09dnN022220 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO09dgg022218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240009.hBO09dgg022218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/240030Z-240600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 140.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 137.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:13 2003 X-UIDL: 50725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD0007MP6D4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 10:49:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO2ojba067344 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 10:50:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa98N048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:45:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 334114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:45:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO2jpD1049258 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:45:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO2jinN024259 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:45:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO2jitY024258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:45:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:45:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240245.hBO2jitY024258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 240243 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 24 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/0000 UTC... ..HIGH PRESSURE CENTER 28N124W 1016 MB WITH RIDGE TO 20N 110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0300 UTC... ITCZ...2N78W 5N105W 10N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 60 NM WIDE 105W TO 111W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:16 2003 X-UIDL: 50730-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD000A7Q5P4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:10:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO3BxsK026561 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:12:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN62pRN064658; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 334198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO32ID1026256 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO32BnN024523 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO32BJ4024522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240302.hBO32BJ4024522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/240300Z-240600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240221ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 140.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 137.1E2, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:34 2003 X-UIDL: 50750-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD00043X6H4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 13:42:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO5hdba093540 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 13:43:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9AJ048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 334948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO5ZaD1031278 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO5ZTnN026003 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO5ZSU7026002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240535.hBO5ZSU7026002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240221DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 137.1E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 136.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND MODEL PREDICTIONS INDICATE DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 240230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/DIXON/HEATH/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:44 2003 X-UIDL: 50764-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE000L889U4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:41:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO9hGsK075972 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:43:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSFL048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:40:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 336531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:40:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO9eKD1067646 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:40:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO9eCnN028557 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:40:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO9eCNM028556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:40:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:40:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240940.hBO9eCNM028556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 240939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 24 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/0600 UTC... ..HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FROM 32N127W TO 15N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/0900 UTC... ITCZ...2N78W 6N110W 9N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 121W TO 129W. WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 95W TO 108W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:46 2003 X-UIDL: 50766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE000OM8TY4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:53:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO9tEba027943 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:55:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNAH4Op099966; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 336557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO9lgD1031246 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO9lZnN028631 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO9lZiF028629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240947.hBO9lZiF028629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 241000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/REISSUED/241000Z-250600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240751DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W, LOCATED NEAR 13.4N8 136.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, WAS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 240900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 136.5E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE OF SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/DIXON/HEATH/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:47 2003 X-UIDL: 50767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE0002W9204J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:58:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOA07sK077737 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 18:00:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSFP048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 336571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO9tZD1067732 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO9tSnN028710 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:55:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO9tS7t028709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:55:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:55:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240955.hBO9tS7t028709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 240955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 09N177W 08N166W 05N168W 07N179W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT/SHEAR LINE...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TCU...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE BOUNDED BY 30N172W 30N164W 26N174W 23N180 25N180 28N176W. FEATURE MOVING EAST AT 15 KT NORTH OF 25N...MOVING EAST AT 5 TO 10 KT ELSEWHERE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...FRONT/SHEAR LINE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 08S164W 15S153W 21S151W 22S155W 16S160W 14S174W 15S180 12S180 11S175W 11S169W 08S170W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:29:00 2003 X-UIDL: 50784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE000CEO6X4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 23:25:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOFR7ba080871 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 23:27:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSIl048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 09:20:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 337995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 09:20:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOFKLD1078004 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 09:20:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOFKEnN002783 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 09:20:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOFKEak002782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 09:20:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 09:20:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312241520.hBOFKEak002782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 241516 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 24 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1200 UTC... ..RIDGE 27N140W TO 27N117W. ..COLD FRONT 32N133W 33N140W MOVING SE 15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CONVECTION CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N90W 11N123W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 102W AND BETWEEN 106W AND 112W AND BETWEEN 118W AND 130W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS OBSERVED WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 23N106W 10N121W. $$ FORECASTER NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:24 2003 X-UIDL: 50789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE000F7UWI4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 01:50:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOHq1ba098514 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 01:52:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN62pX7064658; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 338686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOHmrD1052144 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOHmjnN005666 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOHmjHD005664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312241748.hBOHmjHD005664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A CONVECTIVE DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 67.0E3 HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SITUATED WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH MAY BE PRESENT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS IN A AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/ARENDS/WAUGAMAN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:28 2003 X-UIDL: 50790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE000K7UZF4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 01:52:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOHrjsK043956 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 01:53:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSK9048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 338683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOHmrD1099360 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOHmjnN005665 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOHmjbP005663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:48:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312241748.hBOHmjbP005663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A CONVECTIVE DISTURBANCE LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 67.0E3 HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SITUATED WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH MAY BE PRESENT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS IN A AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/ARENDS/WAUGAMAN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:36 2003 X-UIDL: 50801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005F84XBHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 05:27:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOLSXsK068366 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 05:28:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSO1048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 340470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOLODD1044052 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOLO5nN009343 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOLO4Xb009342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312242124.hBOLO4Xb009342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 242123 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 24 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1800 UTC... ..RIDGE 27N140W TO 27N117W. ..COLD FRONT 32N133W 33N140W MOVING SE 15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CONVECTION CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N100W 9M120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WTHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 100. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS OBSERVED WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 23N106W 10N121W. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:37 2003 X-UIDL: 50802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005FL4XGHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 05:27:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOLSdba026837 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 05:28:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSO5048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 340477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOLOXD1051994 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOLOPnN009350 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOLOPEK009349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:24:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312242124.hBOLOPEK009349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 242124 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC WED 24 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 24/1800 UTC... ..RIDGE 27N140W TO 27N117W. ..COLD FRONT 32N133W 33N140W MOVING SE 15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 24/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CONVECTION CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N100W 9M120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WTHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 100. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS OBSERVED WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 23N106W 10N121W. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:37 2003 X-UIDL: 50803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005LL6ILHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 06:01:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOM2tsK072129 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 06:02:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSOX048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:55:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 340725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOLtgD1080832 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:55:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOLtYnN009768 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:55:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOLtYbB009767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:55:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:55:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312242155.hBOLtYbB009767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 242155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 24 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 06N151W 05N160W 05N177W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY AND REMAIN SPARSE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N163W 23N180. NORTHEAST END MOVING EAST 5-10 KT. SOUTHWEST END NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT...THROUGH 25S151W 20S153W 14S160W 12S170W 14S180 ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW NEAR 28S153W. FRONT MOVING EAST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75-100 NM OF FRONT. CB INTENSIFIED. WEAK LOW...NEAR 23S157W MOVING EAST SLOWLY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... FRONT...THROUGH 25S121W 20S129W MOVED NORTHEAST 15 KT. BROKEN LAYERS AND ISOLATED CB ALONG FRONT. CB REMAIN SPARSE AND WEAK. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:44 2003 X-UIDL: 50817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005IBMRSHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:52:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP3s3sK006043 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:54:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP0MCEV026336; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 21:49:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 342505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 21:49:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP3ndD1080710 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 21:49:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBP3nVnN012337 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 21:49:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBP3nVpg012336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 21:49:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 21:49:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312250349.hBP3nVpg012336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 250349 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC THU 25 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/0000 UTC... ..RIDGE 27N140W TO 27N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CONVECTION CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 5N85W 5N100W 9M120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WTHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 90W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS OBSERVED WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 23N106W 10N121W. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:45 2003 X-UIDL: 50821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005IIUEFHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:37:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6cnsK021848 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:38:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP0MCF1064660; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 343291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6PDD1044138 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBP6P4nN013399 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBP6P34M013397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312250625.hBP6P34M013397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z-260600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W, LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 132.7E3, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO, WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.5N2 137.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF THE ISLAND OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF THIS LLCC ARE BEING ENHANCED BY A POSSIBLE WESTERLY WIND BURST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THIS SYSTEM LIES SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE EASTERLIES AND LINEAR FLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMAN/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:46 2003 X-UIDL: 50827-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG005B92MPHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 17:35:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP9aXba008713 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 17:36:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJEd026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:29:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:29:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP9TvD1037304 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:29:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBP9TmnN014986 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:29:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBP9TmRC014985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:29:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:29:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312250929.hBP9TmRC014985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 250929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU 25 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/0600 UTC... ..RIDGE 27N140W TO 27N117W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/0815 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CONVECTION CLOUDS...4N77W 3N90W 7N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS E OF 91W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTION WITHIN 300 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 18N101W 10N108W. $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:47 2003 X-UIDL: 50828-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG005GK3CBHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 17:50:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP9pvba010649 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 17:51:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJEh026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:46:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:46:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP9k4D1026110 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:46:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBP9junN015132 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:45:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBP9jtvE015131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:45:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:45:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312250945.hBP9jtvE015131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 250945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 07N148W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N166W 10N160W 07N157W 04N160W 04N179W 05N180. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 130 NM OF THE LINE CROSSING THE DATELINE FROM 14N179E TO 28N172W TO 31N163W TO 33N158W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 5 KT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... FRONT/TROUGH...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED CB WITHIN 180 NM OF THE LINE FROM 13S163W TO 17S153W TO 27S146W AND WITHIN 450 NM OF THE POINT 30S142W MOVED NE AT 10 KT; THE CB HAVE INCREASED IN AREA BUT CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 06S168W TO 10S163W. NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LINE FROM 07S172W TO 14S170W. NEW ISOLATED CB CROSSING THE DATELINE WERE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 14S179W. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF FRONT/TROUGH IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:52 2003 X-UIDL: 50839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG005TII86HK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 23:12:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPFDTba048633 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 23:13:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJHL026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:05:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 345266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:05:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPF5sD1048784 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:05:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPF5jnN017300 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:05:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPF5jql017299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:05:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:05:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312251505.hBPF5jql017299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 251505 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC THU 25 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 30N131W 27N140W MOVING E 20 KT. ..ERODING RIDGE 26N140W TO 26N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION...6N77W 3N96W 8N127W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS E OF 81W AND BETWEEN 84W AND 91W AND WITHIN 30 NM 6N131W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED SHOWERS NOTED FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW LEVEL STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS OBSERVED N OF 18N W OF 115W. $$ FORECASTER NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:52 2003 X-UIDL: 50841-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG0055PO5HHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 01:20:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPHLTsK083463 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 01:21:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJHn026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 345591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPHFjD1051980 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPHFanN018273 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPHFaaV018271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312251715.hBPHFaaV018271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 251800 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z-261800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 67.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 69.8E3 APPROXIMATELY 170 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. A 251248Z2 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THERE IS CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW, BUT NO CLEAR EVIDENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CURRENTLY EXISTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:52 2003 X-UIDL: 50842-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG00590O7QHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 01:21:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPHMpba062901 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 01:22:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP7wcRZ052382; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 345594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPHFjD1077134 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPHFanN018272 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPHFaLI018270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:15:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312251715.hBPHFaLI018270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 251800 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/251800Z-261800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 67.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 69.8E3 APPROXIMATELY 170 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. A 251248Z2 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THERE IS CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW, BUT NO CLEAR EVIDENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER CURRENTLY EXISTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:54 2003 X-UIDL: 50846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG008YJZOE5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 05:29:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPLUQsK007164 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 05:30:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJJD026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:20:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:20:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPLKWD1067584 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:20:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPLKMnN020169 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:20:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPLKM75020168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:20:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:20:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312252120.hBPLKM75020168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 252120 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2605 UTC THU 25 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 30N131W 27N140W MOVING E 20 KT. ..ERODING RIDGE 26N140W TO 26N118W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION...6N77W 6N110W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 120 NM WIDE 77W TO 84W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:54 2003 X-UIDL: 50847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG008YUZOK5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 05:29:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPLUXsK007186 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 05:30:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJJH026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:22:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:22:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPLMsD1011930 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:22:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPLMjnN020208 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:22:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPLMjad020207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:22:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:22:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312252122.hBPLMjad020207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 252122 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2605 UTC THU 25 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 25/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 30N127W 26N140W MOVING E 20 KT. ..RIDGE 24N106W TO 24N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 25/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION...6N77W 6N110W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 120 NM WIDE 77W TO 84W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:55 2003 X-UIDL: 50848-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH008820ZW5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 05:57:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPLwuba092325 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 05:58:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP0MCIB064660; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:55:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346426 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:55:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPLteD1099370 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:55:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPLtUnN020589 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:55:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPLtU3R020588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:55:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 15:55:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312252155.hBPLtU3R020588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 252155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 25 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60-75 NM OF LINE 06N153W 05N174W 04N179W MOVING WEST 12 KT AND INTENSIFIED.+ MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N164W 22N180 MOVING EAST 5-10 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS ALONG FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...THROUGH 25S147W 16S160W 14S167W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED CB ALONG TROUGH. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. VERY ISOLATED TCU/CB IN THE VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... WEAK LOW PRESSURE CIRCULATIONS...NEAR 21S172W...14S168W AND 15S179W SHOW NO SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION AT THIS TIME. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:59 2003 X-UIDL: 50856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH00891HBZ5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 11:50:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ3plba026380 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 11:51:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJMV026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 21:35:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 347636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 21:35:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ3ZED1080860 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 21:35:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQ3Z4nN023210 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 21:35:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQ3Z4YY023209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 21:35:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 21:35:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312260335.hBQ3Z4YY023209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 260335 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC FRI 26 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/0000 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 30N122W 25N140W MOVING E 20 KT. ..RIDGE 24N106W TO 24N124W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION...6N77W 6N110W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 60 NM WIDE 82W TO 89W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:00 2003 X-UIDL: 50862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH008BFO6B5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:18:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ6JYsK050790 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:19:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP0MCMd064660; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348378 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ68lD1059180 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQ68bnN024436 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQ68bvs024434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312260608.hBQ68bvs024434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z-270600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260600Z4, TROPICAL STORM 27W, LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 128.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, WAS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 12.5S8 176.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMAN/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:02 2003 X-UIDL: 50867-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH008JDYPN5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 18:05:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQA7BsK068833 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 18:07:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJPJ026338; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:01:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 349184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:01:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQA1XD1049850 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:01:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQA1NnN026808 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:01:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQA1Nox026807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:01:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:01:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312261001.hBQA1Nox026807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 261000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 08N140W 05N177W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 32N169W 32N161W 28N162W 28N173W ARE NEW. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NONE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE TROUGH BOUNDED BY 09S174E 14S171W 19S176W 19S176E 12S171E REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... NONE. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:02 2003 X-UIDL: 50868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH008RDZOY5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 18:26:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQASLba065398 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 18:28:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXDJ060060; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:24:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 349309 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:24:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQAOCD1012818 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:24:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQAO2nN027087 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:24:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQAO2xR027086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:24:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:24:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312261024.hBQAO2xR027086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 261023 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC FRI 26 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 30N116W 25N130W MOVING E 20 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/0845 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION...4N77W 10N103W 8N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE E OF 87W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:06 2003 X-UIDL: 50875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQI0088BCLB5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:05:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQF71ba092791 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:07:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJSL026338; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 09:02:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 09:02:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQF2TD1094648 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 09:02:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQF2InN029376 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 09:02:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQF2IF4029375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 09:02:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 09:02:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312261502.hBQF2IF4029375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 261502 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC FRI 26 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 32N113W 26N119W 24N130W THEN STATIONARY TO BEYOND 25N141W. COLD FRONT PORTION MOVING E 20 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION ALONG 4N77W 8N97W 1N106W 1N118W 6N130W 8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE AND STRONG FROM 2N TO 11N E OF 102W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS W OF 128W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...BROKEN TO LOCALLY OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS OBSERVED N OF 18N W OF 115W. $$ FORECASTER NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:21 2003 X-UIDL: 50884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQI008QENH15L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 03:00:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQJ21ba018961 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 03:02:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJUn026338; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 351558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQIVGD1086866 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQIV5nN001415 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQIV5Gn001413 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312261831.hBQIV5Gn001413@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 69.8E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 71.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN AN ELONGATED TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:22 2003 X-UIDL: 50886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQI00ATSOANFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 03:18:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQJJmba021093 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 03:19:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXFl048494; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 351561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQIVGD1036410 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQIV5nN001416 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQIV5oe001414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:31:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312261831.hBQIV5oe001414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 261800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.4S0 69.8E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 71.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN AN ELONGATED TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:23 2003 X-UIDL: 50889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQI00A3EUJPFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 05:33:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQLYpba039504 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 05:34:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKFZE5026340; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:30:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 352740 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:30:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQLUPD1095050 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:30:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQLUFnN003176 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:30:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQLUF6l003175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:30:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:30:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312262130.hBQLUF6l003175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 262130 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC FRI 26 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 26/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT 32N110W 24N120W 23N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 26/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION ALONG 4N77W 5N100W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE 132W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:23 2003 X-UIDL: 50891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQI00AFDVCFFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 05:50:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQLq5ba041853 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 05:52:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKFZEF026340; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:46:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 352872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:46:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQLjxD1049736 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:45:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQLjmnN003325 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:45:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQLjm71003324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:45:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:45:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312262145.hBQLjm71003324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 262145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 26 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW/FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N158W 23N174W 30N170W 30N158W...HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 15 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE AND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 07N140W 07N170W 04N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 10 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE LOW/FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH...BROAD AREA OF ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 03S172W 05S163W 20S135W 25S136W 25S146W 17S160W 17S180 08S180 03S172W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 12:17:33 2003 X-UIDL: 50910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQJ00ABKBP1FO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:43:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR3jFba076625 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:45:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKFZIR026340; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 21:36:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 354721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 21:36:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR3asD1075520 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 21:36:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBR3ahnN006405 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 21:36:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBR3ag6u006404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 21:36:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 21:36:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312270336.hBR3ag6u006404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 270336 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SAT 27 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/0000 UTC... ..STATIONARY FRONT 32N108W 23N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION ALONG 4N77W 5N100W 7N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE 131W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER FT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:05 2003 X-UIDL: 50914-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQJ00A0AHAWFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 13:44:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR5kGsK080638 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 13:46:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXLD060060; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355151 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR5WHD1081702 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBR5W6nN007272 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBR5W6a6007270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312270532.hBR5W6a6007270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z-280600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) 270000Z9 TROPICAL STORM 27W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 126.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 145 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, AND WAS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.5S8 176.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 179.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A BROAD WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAIRLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/KLINZMANN/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:13 2003 X-UIDL: 50919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQJ00AWZSWPFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 17:55:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR9v0ba014674 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 17:57:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQE1026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 03:51:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 356326 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 03:51:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR9pLD1064546 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 03:51:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBR9p9nN009504 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 03:51:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBR9p9Nv009503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 03:51:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 03:51:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312270951.hBR9p9Nv009503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 270951 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SAT 27 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/0600 UTC... ..WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH 26N112W 22N126W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION...3N78W 6N95W 6N117W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE W OF 125W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...NONE. $$ FORECASTER WALLY BARNES +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:14 2003 X-UIDL: 50920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQJ00APDTECFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 18:06:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRA7aba015943 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 18:07:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQE7026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 04:01:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 356369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 04:01:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRA12D1013296 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 04:01:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBRA0onN009573 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 04:00:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBRA0o6G009572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 04:00:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 04:00:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312271000.hBRA0o6G009572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 271000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE 06N143W 05N176E MOVED WEST 10 KT AND AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NEW ISOLATED CB...ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT...BOUNDED BY 33N159W 33N152W 26N158W 21N165W MOVED EAST 5 KT DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 03S177W 05S166W 10S158W 21S161W 15S172W MOVED SOUTHWEST 5 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 14S147W 18S132W 23S128W 29S129W 28S144W 22S151W MOVED EAST 15 KT AND WEAKENED. ISOLATED CB EXTEND ACROSS DATELINE BOUNDED BY 13S176W 19S174W 16S175E 13S176W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:18 2003 X-UIDL: 50930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00AF38Y2FO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:42:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRFhQsK035808 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:43:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQGf026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 09:28:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 09:28:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRFStD1052206 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 09:28:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBRFShnN012005 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 09:28:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBRFShRj012004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 09:28:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 09:28:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312271528.hBRFShRj012004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 271528 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 27 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/1200 UTC... ..FRONTAL TROUGH PREVIOUSLY ALONG 27N111W 21N128W HAS DISSIPATED. ..HIGH PRES 1032 MB N OF AREA NEAR 34N131W HAS A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 32N129W TO 22N115W TO 17N105W. THIS FEATURE DOMINATES THE ENTIRE AREA N OF 13N W OF 105W. FAIRLY STRONG NW-N WINDS FUNNELING DOWN SEA OF CORTEZ AND WEST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AS A RESULT OF THE HIGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N95W 6N110W 6N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS E OF 80W...AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W-85W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 96W-110W AND BETWEEN 124W-132W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... NONE. $$ MOLLEDA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:18 2003 X-UIDL: 50931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00AW0E6MFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 01:35:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRHaaba061626 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 01:36:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXOT060060; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 358361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRHUvD1064632 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBRHUjnN013816 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBRHUjaa013814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312271730.hBRHUjaa013814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z-281800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 71.4E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 69.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN AN ELONGATED TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:19 2003 X-UIDL: 50932-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00A4NEDQFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 01:39:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRHehba062022 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 01:40:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQI5026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 358358 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRHUvD1042690 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBRHUjnN013817 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBRHUjXo013815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:30:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312271730.hBRHUjXo013815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 271800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/271800Z-281800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 71.4E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 69.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED WITHIN AN ELONGATED TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:26 2003 X-UIDL: 50941-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00DK9Q2RS3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 05:52:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRLrRsK070880 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 05:53:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQLj026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 15:45:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 359942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 15:45:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRLjpD1027224 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 15:45:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBRLjdnN016014 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 15:45:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBRLjdLx016013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 15:45:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 15:45:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312272145.hBRLjdLx016013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 272145 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 27 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... COLD FRONT...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 39N160W 30N153W 23N157W 19N165W 30N160W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 10 KT...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 06N142W 07N180...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE COLD FRONT UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 14S180...HAS ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB...THAT EXTEND WEST OF THE DATELINE...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 07S175W 18S174W 18S177E 08S178E 07S175W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFIED. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH 1...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 04S167W 20N155E 20S164W 05S174W 04S167W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. TROUGH 2...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 15S142W 20S130W 25S127W 25S135W 15S142W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AND TROUGH 1 UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20S146W 25S141W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:27 2003 X-UIDL: 50943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00DCNQSDS3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 06:07:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRM8VsK072470 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 06:08:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQLt026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 16:01:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 360051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 16:01:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRM1bD1049298 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 16:01:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBRM1PnN016169 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 16:01:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBRM1Pwo016168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 16:01:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 16:01:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312272201.hBRM1Pwo016168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 272201 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SAT 27 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 27/1200 UTC... ..HIGH PRES 1033 MB N OF AREA NEAR 35N129W HAS A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 32N125W TO 26N115W TO 17N105W. THIS FEATURE DOMINATES THE ENTIRE AREA N OF 13N W OF 105W. FAIRLY STRONG NW-N WINDS FUNNELING DOWN SEA OF CORTEZ AND WEST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AS A RESULT OF THE HIGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 27/2100 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W 6N95W 6N110W 6N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 83W....AND WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 120W-128W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... NONE. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:28 2003 X-UIDL: 50949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00DG9Z6LS3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:08:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS1A84T014424 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:10:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXRF048494; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 361038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS13nD1094584 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBS13bnN017620 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBS13bCI017618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312280103.hBS13bCI017618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 280130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/280130Z-281800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 69.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9S7 69.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS ENHANCED CURVATURE OF THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP CON- VECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:29 2003 X-UIDL: 50950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00DJUZ9LS3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:10:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS1BuLv018010 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:11:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQOF026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 361035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS13nD1057794 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBS13bnN017619 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBS13b81017617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:03:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312280103.hBS13b81017617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 280130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/280130Z-281800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 69.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9S7 69.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS ENHANCED CURVATURE OF THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP CON- VECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:29 2003 X-UIDL: 50952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQL00D4N71US3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:58:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS408Lv033723 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 12:00:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQPd026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 21:51:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 361780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 21:51:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS3pGD1057758 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 21:51:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBS3p3nN019161 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 21:51:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBS3p3uh019160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 21:51:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 21:51:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312280351.hBS3p3uh019160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 280351 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC SUN 27 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0000 UTC... ..HIGH PRES 1033 MB N OF AREA NEAR 35N127W HAS A RIDGE EXTENDING FROM 30N123W TO 25N115W TO 17N105W. THIS FEATURE DOMINATES THE ENTIRE AREA N OF 13N W OF 105W. FAIRLY STRONG NW-N WINDS FUNNELING DOWN SEA OF CORTEZ AND WEST SIDE OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AS A RESULT OF THE HIGH. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N105W 6N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS W OF 137W...WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 105W AND 110W...AND BETWEEN 126W AND 133W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... NONE. $$ COBB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:30 2003 X-UIDL: 50955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQL00DJ0B83S3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 13:28:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS5UG4T037026 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 13:30:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXTd060060; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 362155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS5MFD1031238 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBS5M2nN019808 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBS5M2fE019806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312280522.hBS5M2fE019806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z-290600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271951ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) 271800Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 125.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM WEST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 272100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 179.1E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 179.6W3, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. A 272146Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS WEAK CONVECTION OVER A BROAD WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAIRLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/RONSSE/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:35 2003 X-UIDL: 50964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQL00D51MG1S3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 17:31:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS9Wd4T059059 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 17:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQS9026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 03:27:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363469 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 03:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS9RRD1048542 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 03:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBS9REnN021844 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 03:27:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBS9RE9w021843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 03:27:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 03:27:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312280927.hBS9RE9w021843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 280927 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC SUN 27 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/0000 UTC... ..HIGH PRES CENTERED JUST N OF AREA NEAR 32N125W 1032 MB WILL SHIFT SE INTO REGION DURING NEXT 24 HOURS. ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDS SE TO 15N105W. HIGH PRESSURE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG NLY WINDS DOMINATE THE AREA N OF 8N W OF 105W INCLUDING THE SEA OF CORTEZ. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/0300 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N77W 6N105W 5N135W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG NOTED WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS W OF 102W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... LOCALLY OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS NOTED N OF 15N BETWEEN 112W AND 138W. LOCALLY OVERCAST UPPER LEVEL CIRRIFORM CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH ARE NOTED WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 8N140W 7N123W 21N105W. $$ NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:36 2003 X-UIDL: 50965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQL00DFMO9IS3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 18:10:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSABnLv070010 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 18:11:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS7i5DT011828; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 04:00:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 04:00:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSA0wD1078034 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 04:00:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBSA0jnN022092 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 04:00:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBSA0jt8022091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 04:00:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 04:00:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312281000.hBSA0jt8022091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 281000 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 13N151W 08N140W 04N145W 07N164W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND WEAKENED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ISOLATED CB ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER TROUGH BOUNDED BY 31N151W 18N155W 20N161W 31N151W MOVED EAST 15 KT AND INTENSIFIED. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NONE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...POSSIBLE DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14S178E HAS OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN 120 NM MAINLY EAST AND SOUTH OF CENTER. CB AREA REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY AND INTENSIFIED. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... NONE. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 03S170W 13S163W 16S166W 17S172S 12S170W 05S178W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 16S160W 21S161W 18S168W REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE. NEW ISOLATED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 18S153W 23S144W. ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 14S142W 21S128W 27S125W 27S137W 21S135W 16S148W MOVED EAST 5 KT AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. R BALLARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:59 2003 X-UIDL: 50976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00DNA3H7S3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:39:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSFeR4T091699 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:40:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQUh026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 364959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSFVED1038884 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBSFV0nN024568 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBSFV0D1024566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312281531.hBSFV0D1024566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/281500Z-290600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271951ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) 271800Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 125.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM WEST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 272100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 179.6W3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 177.1W6, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. CONVECTION HAS MODERATELY INCREASED OVER THE AREA. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE PRESENCE OF A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAIRLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/RONSSE/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:53:00 2003 X-UIDL: 50977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00DAM4R6S3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:06:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSG864T094207 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:08:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQUr026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 10:04:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 10:04:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSG4tD1038760 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 10:04:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBSG4gnN024896 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 10:04:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBSG4gAv024895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 10:04:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 10:04:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312281604.hBSG4gAv024895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 281526 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SUN 27 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/1200 UTC... ..HIGH PRES CENTERED NEAR 32N125W 1032 MB ASSOCIATED RIDGE EXTENDS SE TO 15N110W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 6N100W 6N127W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 90 NM WIDE FROM 106W TO 109W AND 60 NM WIDE FROM 111W TO 114W AND ALSO FROM 134W TO 137W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 124W TO 128W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS N OF 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 138W. $$ DGS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:53:01 2003 X-UIDL: 50979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00D2O8G5S3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:26:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSHRtLv012511 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:27:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQVl026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365523 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSHMgD1075634 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBSHMSnN025855 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBSHMSGO025853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Ocean/281800z-291800zdec2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312281722.hBSHMSGO025853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 281800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.9S7 69.3E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 66.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/HEATH/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:53:01 2003 X-UIDL: 50980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00D8I8JES3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:28:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSHTpLv012743 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:29:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS7i5FT011828; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSHMgD1064734 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBSHMSnN025854 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBSHMSOe025852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 11:22:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/281800z-291800zdec2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312281722.hBSHMSOe025852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 281800 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.9S7 69.3E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 66.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/HEATH/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:53:04 2003 X-UIDL: 50988-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00G70K28BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 05:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSLclLv036826 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 05:38:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQaT026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:35:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 367500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:35:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSLZiD1055394 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:35:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBSLZUnN028194 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:35:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBSLZUTo028193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:35:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:35:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312282135.hBSLZUTo028193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 282135 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC SUN 28 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 28/1800 UTC... ..A 1031 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 31N128W. A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH WSW THROUGH 29N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 28/2100 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 6N100W 5N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 90 NM WIDE FROM 107W TO 113W AND 60 NM WIDE FROM 135W TO 140W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE IN A LARGE AREA BOUNDED BY 30N124W 19N111W 14N130W 24N140W 32N135W TO 30N124W. $$ CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:53:06 2003 X-UIDL: 50990-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00GPRL60BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:01:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSM2c4T029297 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:02:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQah026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:55:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 367620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:55:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSLttD1064546 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:55:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBSLtfnN028388 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:55:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBSLtf6J028387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:55:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 15:55:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312282155.hBSLtf6J028387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 282155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 28 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ITCZ...ISOLATE CB WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 08N140W 09N148W EXTENDS EASTWARD AND SHIFTED NORTH 5 KT AND REMAINED SPARSE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH SITS OVER THE STATE. AN UPPER LOW NEAR 23N162W IS FLOWING SOUTH WITHIN THE TROUGH. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 24N157W 22N151W 14N156W MOVED SOUTHEAST 10-15 KT. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. FRONT...THROUGH 30N178E 27N170E MOVING EAST 25 KT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CONVERGENCE ZONE...THROUGH 21S150W 15S165W 08S180 NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF CZ INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CUMULUS. ISOLATED CB IN THE VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... WEAK SURFACE LOWS...NEAR 24S134W AND 26S137W NEARLY STATIONARY. ASSOCIATED TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG LINE 25S131W 20S131W 14S141W. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 75 NM OF TROUGH INTENSIFIED. UPPER LOW...NEAR 14S178W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 45 NM OF LOW CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:53:08 2003 X-UIDL: 50993-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00GPYS4UOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 08:31:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT0X8Lv052413 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 08:33:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQct026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 18:25:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 368657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 18:25:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT0PLD1099444 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 18:25:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT0P7nN029522 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 18:25:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT0P7tT029521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 18:25:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 18:25:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 282351z Dec 03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290025.hBT0P7tT029521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_MONTH_2 0, SUBJECT_MONTH 0' WTXS21 PGTW 290000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 282351Z DEC 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.7S6 65.2E3 TO 11.6S8 60.2E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 282330Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 64.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 66.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 64.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 485 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES AN INCREASE IN THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED WINDS ARE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 300000Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:53:11 2003 X-UIDL: 51002-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GCV0RFOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:38:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT3dTLv074471 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:39:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQf5026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 21:34:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 369714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 21:34:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT3YqD1059290 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 21:34:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT3YcnN001371 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 21:34:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT3Yc2E001370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 21:34:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 21:34:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290334.hBT3Yc2E001370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 290334 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC MON 29 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/0000 UTC... ..A WEAKENING 1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N129W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0300 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 6N106W 4N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 90 NM WIDE BETWEEN 106W AND 110W AND 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 132W AND 136W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE IN A LARGE AREA BOUNDED BY 31N124W 17N112W 13N135W 23N140W 32N132W TO 31N124W. $$ CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 14:08:15 2003 X-UIDL: 51009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GDT5PMOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 13:24:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT5QNLv087356 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 13:26:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQfv026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370244 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT5HFD1099954 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT5H0nN002107 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT5H0OI002105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290517.hBT5H0OI002105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z-300600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 177.1W6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 178.0W6, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. CONVECTION HAS REDUCED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A FULLY EXPOSED, LESS ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPROXIMATELY 150 NM TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/RONSSE/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 14:38:41 2003 X-UIDL: 51011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00G3Y88LOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:19:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6KxLv093282 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:21:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQgj026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:14:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:14:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6EjD1052334 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:14:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT6EVnN002530 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:14:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT6EVoq002529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:14:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:14:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 29/12/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290614.hBT6EVoq002529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO20 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S / 63.9E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 400NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/29 AT 18 UTC: 10.7S / 62.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 06 UTC: 11.9S / 61.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS WEAK LOW.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 14:38:42 2003 X-UIDL: 51013-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GOJ8UHOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:32:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6Y64T082865 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:34:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQgr026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:27:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:27:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6R2D1099870 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:27:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT6QlnN002622 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:26:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT6Ql2g002620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:26:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:26:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290626.hBT6Ql2g002620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 290600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2003/12/29 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S / 63.9E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/29 18 UTC: 10.7S/62.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/30 06 UTC: 11.9S/61.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/30 18 UTC: 13.0S/60.5E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/31 06 UTC: 14.4S/59.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 15.8S/59.3E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 17.2S/58.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0- CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE. A CDO OF 1.5 DEGRES DIAMETER HAS BUILT ABOVE THE CENTRE DURING LAST HOURS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND YGE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 14:38:42 2003 X-UIDL: 51014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GR18VHOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:33:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6Yf4T082941 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:34:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQgv026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:30:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:30:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6U8D1099476 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:30:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT6TsnN002648 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:29:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT6TsOr002646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:29:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:29:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290629.hBT6TsOr002646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S / 63.9E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 400NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/29 AT 18 UTC: 10.7S / 62.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 06 UTC: 11.9S / 61.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS WEAK LOW. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 14:38:43 2003 X-UIDL: 51015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GT58W8OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:33:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6Z64T083011 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:35:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQh1026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:31:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370638 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:31:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6VDD1075594 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:31:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT6UxnN002676 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:30:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT6UwcF002674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:30:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:30:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290630.hBT6UwcF002674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 290600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2003/12/29 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S / 63.9E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/29 18 UTC: 10.7S/62.5E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/30 06 UTC: 11.9S/61.4E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/30 18 UTC: 13.0S/60.5E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/31 06 UTC: 14.4S/59.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 15.8S/59.3E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 17.2S/58.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0- CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE. A CDO OF 1.5 DEGRES DIAMETER HAS BUILT ABOVE THE CENTRE DURING LAST HOURS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND YGE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 15:33:08 2003 X-UIDL: 51016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GOT9LTOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:49:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6oS4T084754 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:50:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQh3026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:43:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6hYD1094590 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:43:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT6hKnN002790 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:43:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT6hK8V002788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:43:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:43:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Up To 250nm In The Western Semi-circle And Up To 400nm In The Eastern Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290643.hBT6hK8V002788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 290615 UP TO 250NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 400NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/29 AT 18 UTC: 10.7S / 62.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 06 UTC: 11.9S / 61.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS WEAK LOW. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 15:33:16 2003 X-UIDL: 51017-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GRY9MVOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:49:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6pA4T084838 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:51:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQh5026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:44:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:44:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT6iaD1044150 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:44:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT6iMnN002807 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:44:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT6iMcV002805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:44:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:44:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Semi-circle. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290644.hBT6iMcV002805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 290615 UP TO 250NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 400NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/29 AT 18 UTC: 10.7S / 62.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 06 UTC: 11.9S / 61.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS WEAK LOW.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 16:28:19 2003 X-UIDL: 51021-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GXUCW9OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:00:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT81LLv004862 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:01:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS7i5LT011828; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371088 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT7tkD1060132 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT7tVnN003409 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT7tV3x003405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290755.hBT7tV3x003405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 290600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2003/12/29 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S / 63.9E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/29 18 UTC: 10.7S/62.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/30 06 UTC: 11.5S/61.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/30 18 UTC: 12.6S/61.1E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/31 06 UTC: 13.5S/60.8E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 14.5S/60.3E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 15.4S/59.9E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0- CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE. A CDO OF 1.5 DEGRES DIAMETER HAS BUILT ABOVE THE CENTRE DURING LAST HOURS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND YGE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 16:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 51022-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00G2OCY8OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:01:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT82lLv004994 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:02:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQhR026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371083 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT7tkD1099842 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT7tVnN003407 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT7tV1q003401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 01:55:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290755.hBT7tV1q003401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 290600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S / 63.9E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 400NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/29 AT 18 UTC: 10.7S / 62.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 06 UTC: 11.5S / 61.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS WEAK LOW.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 16:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 51023-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00G6KDDSOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:10:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT8BqLv006131 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:11:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS7i5LX011828; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:04:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371150 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:04:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT843D1077996 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:04:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT83nnN003524 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:03:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT83nMR003522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:03:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:03:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Securite Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290803.hBT83nMR003522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 290600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1003 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S / 63.9E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 250NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 400NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/29 AT 18 UTC: 10.7S / 62.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 06 UTC: 11.5S / 61.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS WEAK LOW. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 16:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 51024-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GBEDFJOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:11:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT8D0Lv006254 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:13:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT5siKN093278; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:06:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:06:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT86BD1019272 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:06:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT85unN003551 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:05:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT85uDs003547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:05:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:05:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Semi-circle. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290805.hBT85uDs003547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIIII, Probability=48%, Report='RAZOR2_CHECK 3, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 290700 UP TO 250NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 400NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/29 AT 18 UTC: 10.7S / 62.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 06 UTC: 11.5S / 61.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS WEAK LOW. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 16:28:26 2003 X-UIDL: 51025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GDMDGGOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:12:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT8Dh4T093817 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:13:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQhb026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:07:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT87jD1019286 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT87UnN003573 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:07:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT87UVO003571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:07:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:07:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Semi-circle. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290807.hBT87UVO003571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 290700 UP TO 250NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 400NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/29 AT 18 UTC: 10.7S / 62.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 06 UTC: 11.5S / 61.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS WEAK LOW.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 16:28:26 2003 X-UIDL: 51026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GGTDHNOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:12:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT8ER4T093893 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:14:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQhZ026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:06:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:06:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT86BD1013132 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:06:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT85unN003549 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:05:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT85u1e003543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:05:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:05:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290805.hBT85u1e003543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 290600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2003/12/29 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.0S / 63.9E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1003 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/29 18 UTC: 10.7S/62.8E, MAX WIND=025KT. 24H: 2003/12/30 06 UTC: 11.5S/61.8E, MAX WIND=030KT. 36H: 2003/12/30 18 UTC: 12.6S/61.1E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2003/12/31 06 UTC: 13.5S/60.8E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 14.5S/60.3E, MAX WIND=045KT. 72H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 15.4S/59.9E, MAX WIND=050KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0- CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE. A CDO OF 1.5 DEGRES DIAMETER HAS BUILT ABOVE THE CENTRE DURING LAST HOURS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND YGE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 17:34:54 2003 X-UIDL: 51029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00G6FG2WOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 17:08:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT9ANLv013221 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 17:10:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQi5026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:01:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:01:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT91cD1013294 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:01:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT91NnN004148 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:01:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT91NMw004147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:01:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:01:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290901.hBT91NMw004147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 290900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/282351Z DEC 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- NEAR 10.2S3 64.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2S3 64.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 11.0S2 62.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 12.1S4 61.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 13.2S6 60.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 14.2S7 59.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION NEAR 10.4S5 063.9E8. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290530Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). TC 06S IS TRACKING IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF A LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 06S IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO ENTER A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS AND INCREASE INTENSITY. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AND THE UKMET (EGRR) MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 10 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 282351Z DEC 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 17:35:00 2003 X-UIDL: 51034-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GTYGMSOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 17:20:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT9MJLv015334 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 17:22:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQi9026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:14:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371652 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:14:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT9EnD1044268 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:14:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT9EYnN004234 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:14:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT9EY9V004233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:14:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:14:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290914.hBT9EY9V004233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 290914 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON 29 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/0000 UTC... ..HIGH PRES CENTERED AT 30N126W 1027 MB IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 HOURS. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING NW PORTION ALONG 32N139W 32N144W MOVING SE AT 20 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/0900 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 1N87W 5N93W 6N133W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 92W AND 104W AND BETWEEN 126W AND 136W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 15 NM OF 8.5N83.5W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS NOTED W OF 117W. LOCALLY OVERCAST CIRRIFORM CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OBSERVED WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 14N140W 4N120W TO BEYOND 17N101W. $$ FORECASTER NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 17:40:31 2003 X-UIDL: 51035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GDOH9EOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 17:34:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT9Zb4T003676 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 17:35:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQiD026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT9TZD1044058 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT9TLnN004359 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT9TLmf004357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290929.hBT9TLmf004357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 290930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/290930Z-291800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290751DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 17:40:39 2003 X-UIDL: 51036-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GGSHAJOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 17:35:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT9aULv016979 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 17:36:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS7i5Lh011828; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT9TZD1081748 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT9TLnN004360 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT9TLZn004358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:29:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290929.hBT9TLZn004358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 290930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN REISSUED/290930Z-291800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290751DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:11 2003 X-UIDL: 51038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GFII2DOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 17:51:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT9r4Lv019064 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 17:53:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQiH026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:46:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:46:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT9kHD1059286 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT9k3nN004549 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:46:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT9k3sD004548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:46:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 03:46:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290946.hBT9k3sD004548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 290945 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW...ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 14N153W TO 20N151W MOVED SOUTHEAST AT 15 KT...CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. NEW ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WERE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LINE FROM 17N155W TO 18N153W. NEW ISOLATED TCU AND CB WERE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE POINT 20N160W. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE DISCUSSION OF LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE DISCUSSION OF LOW IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... TROUGH 1...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 300 NM OF THE LINE FROM 09S170W TO 15S159W TO 23S145W MOVED NORTHEAST AT 5 KT; THE CB INCREASED IN AREA AND CHANGED LITTLE IN INTENSITY. TROUGH 2...SHOWERY LAYERED CLOUDS AND ISOLATED EMBEDDED CB WITHIN 120 NM OF THE LINE FROM 16S135W TO 26S128W MOVED MOVED EAST AT 5 KT; THE CB CHANGED LITTLE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE DISCUSSION OF TROUGH 1 IN OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES SECTION ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NEW ISOLATED CB WERE WITHIN 45 NM OF THE POINT 17S170W. OCCASIONAL CB WITHIN AREA CROSSING THE DATELINE BOUNDED BY 07S177E 08S175W 11S174W 14S174W 16S176W 15S179W 09S176E MOVED NORTH NORTHWEST AT 10 KT...INCREASED IN AREA...AND INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:20 2003 X-UIDL: 51043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GXMP5IOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:24:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTCQ4Lv037682 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:26:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS7i5MJ011828; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:19:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 372748 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:19:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTCJND1065752 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:19:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTCJ8nN005690 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:19:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTCJ8ku005688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:19:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:19:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312291219.hBTCJ8ku005688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 291200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.7S / 63.5E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 00 UTC: 12.0S / 62.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 12 UTC: 13.2S / 62.5E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS WEAK LOW WHICH SHOULD INTENSIFY AND TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD MORE AND MORE SLOWLY DURING NEXT DAYS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:20 2003 X-UIDL: 51044-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GE8PE8OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:30:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTCVY4T022938 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:31:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQjX026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:24:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 372776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:24:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTCOQD1091490 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:24:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTCOBnN005724 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:24:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTCOBa6005722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:24:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:24:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312291224.hBTCOBa6005722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 291200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2003/12/29 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.7S / 63.5E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/30 00 UTC: 12.0S/62.9E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/30 12 UTC: 13.2S/62.5E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/31 00 UTC: 14.3S/62.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/31 12 UTC: 15.0S/61.9E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2004/01/01 00 UTC: 15.4S/61.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2004/01/01 12 UTC: 15.8S/61.8E, MAX WIND=060KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION IS STILL FLUCTUATING, MORE WEAK AT THIS ENDING DAYS THAN IT WAS THIS MORNING. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND YGE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:21 2003 X-UIDL: 51046-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GW6Q6WOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:47:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTCmm4T024762 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:48:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQjd026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:44:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 372842 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:44:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTCiqD1044108 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:44:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTCibnN005916 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:44:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTCibjf005915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:44:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:44:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312291244.hBTCibjf005915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 291200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2003/12/29 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.7S / 63.5E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/30 00 UTC: 12.0S/62.9E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/30 12 UTC: 13.2S/62.5E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/31 00 UTC: 14.3S/62.0E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/31 12 UTC: 15.0S/61.9E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2004/01/01 00 UTC: 15.4S/61.8E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2004/01/01 12 UTC: 15.8S/61.8E, MAX WIND=060KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION IS STILL FLUCTUATING, MORE WEAK AT THIS ENDING DAYS THAN IT WAS THIS MORNING. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS WEAK AND YGE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:21 2003 X-UIDL: 51047-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GW9Q6WOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:47:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTCmm4T024763 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:48:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQjb026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:42:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 372824 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:42:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTCguD1091530 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:42:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTCggnN005898 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:42:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTCggXZ005896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:42:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:42:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 29/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312291242.hBTCggXZ005896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO20 FMEE 291200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.7S / 63.5E (TEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 110 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 00 UTC: 12.0S / 62.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 12 UTC: 13.2S / 62.5E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THIS WEAK LOW WHICH SHOULD INTENSIFY AND TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD MORE AND MORE SLOWLY DURING NEXT DAYS. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:41 2003 X-UIDL: 51056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GHEYMMOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:49:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTFp1Lv064786 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:51:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQoD026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 09:41:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 374284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 09:41:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTFf9D1099440 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 09:41:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTFesnN007871 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 09:40:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTFesJ2007870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 09:40:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 09:40:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312291540.hBTFesJ2007870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 291540 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 29 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/1200 UTC... ..HIGH PRES CENTERED AT 28N129W 1025 MB IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 HOURS. ..COLD FRONT APPROACHING NW PORTION ALONG 32N138W 32N140W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/1500 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W 5N95W 6N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 180 NM WIDE FROM 129W TO 135W SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE FROM 93W TO 101W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... ISOLATED MODERATE ALONG COAST OF COSTA RICA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS N OF 15N W OF 115W. $$ FORECASTER DGS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:44 2003 X-UIDL: 51060-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00G1H2HQOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 01:13:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTHES4T056505 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 01:14:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQrN026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:09:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 375210 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:09:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTH8xD1055454 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:08:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTH8inN008963 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:08:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTH8iFm008961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:08:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:08:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312291708.hBTH8iFm008961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z-301800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290751DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2S3 64.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 290900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENEBROKER/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:44 2003 X-UIDL: 51061-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00GAC2KQOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 01:14:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTHGHLv076349 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 01:16:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS7uMND027274; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:09:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 375213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:09:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTH8xD1044228 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:08:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTH8inN008964 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:08:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTH8iWb008962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:08:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:08:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312291708.hBTH8iWb008962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 291800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/291800Z-301800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290751DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2S3 64.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 290900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENEBROKER/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:45 2003 X-UIDL: 51063-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00GFM57AOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:11:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTID1Lv083419 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:13:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQtJ026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:08:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 375825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:08:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTI87D1045710 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:08:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTI7qnN009914 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:07:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTI7q2E009912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:07:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:07:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312291807.hBTI7q2E009912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 291800 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 003/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 29/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.8S / 63.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 06 UTC: 13.2S / 62.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 18 UTC: 14.2S / 61.6E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE ON THE IR IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER NEXT DAYS, AND KEEP ON GENERALLY TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:45 2003 X-UIDL: 51064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00GII58KOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:12:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTIDkLv083542 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:13:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS7i5QR011828; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:09:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 375844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:09:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTI9AD1013262 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:09:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTI8tnN009938 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:08:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTI8tjm009936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:08:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:08:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312291808.hBTI8tjm009936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 291800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2003/12/29 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.8S / 63.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 0.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/30 06 UTC: 13.2S/62.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/30 18 UTC: 14.2S/61.6E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/31 06 UTC: 15.0S/61.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 15.5S/60.9E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 16.1S/60.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2004/01/01 18 UTC: 16.8S/60.4E, MAX WIND=055KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=2.0-, CI=2.0. CONVECTION IS STILL FLUCTUANTING AND REMAINS WEAKLY ORGANIZED. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF A LOW LEVEL WEAK STEERING RIDGE.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:50 2003 X-UIDL: 51074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00GFBE9WOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 05:27:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTLSvLv008811 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 05:28:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvFx098454; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:21:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 377500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:21:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTLLED1005164 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:21:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTLKxnN012277 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:20:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTLKw9v012276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:20:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:20:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312292120.hBTLKw9v012276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 292100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- NEAR 11.3S5 63.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S5 63.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 12.3S6 62.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 13.2S6 61.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 13.9S3 60.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 14.6S1 59.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.6S8 62.8E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WELL ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). TC 06S IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 06S IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS SO IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY TO TYPHOON STRENGTH. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, WBAR, AND THE UKMET (EGRR) MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 AND 302100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:50 2003 X-UIDL: 51075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00GM2EDYOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 05:29:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTLVPLv009067 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 05:31:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvG7098454; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:25:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 377545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:25:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTLPuD1042718 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:25:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTLPfnN012320 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:25:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTLPffT012319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:25:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:25:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312292125.hBTLPffT012319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 292125 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON 29 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 29/1800 UTC... ..WEAKENING 1025 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 29N122W. ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 33N129W TO BEYOND 31N140W...MOVING SE ABOUT 25 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 29/2100 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 5N100W 6N127W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 127W AND 135W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... THE COLD FRONT IS MARKED BY A 60-90 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN/ OVERCAST LOW/MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS. $$ FORECASTER CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:53 2003 X-UIDL: 51078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00GNIFZ1OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:04:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTM5aLv013120 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:05:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsEx011890; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:55:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 377695 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:55:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTLtaD1016760 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:55:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTLtLnN012731 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:55:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTLtLg0012730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:55:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:55:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312292155.hBTLtLg0012730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 292155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 29 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... UPPER LOW...NEAR 20N161W MOVING WEST 5-10 KT. ISOLATED CB WITHIN 100 NM OF LOW REMAIN SPARSE. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB BOUNDED BY 12N157W 22N158W 19N152W. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... FRONT...THROUGH 30N178W 22N170E MOVING EAST 12 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS WITHIN 300 NM NORTHWEST OF FRONT. ALSO SEE UPPER LOW IN MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... TROUGH...THROUGH 13N156W 05N169W CONTINUES AS A SHEAR LINE THROUGH 05N180. TROUGH/SHEAR LINE NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN LAYERS/ISOLATED TCU ALONG TROUGH/SHEAR LINE. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... WEAK LOWS...NEAR 17S166W AND 11S165W. TROUGH THROUGH 15S165W 12S166W 09S170W NEARLY STATIONARY. ISOLATED CB 120 NM OF TROUGH DECREASE SLIGHTLY IN COVERAGE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SCATTERED CUMULUS. ISOLATED TCU IN THE VICINITY. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE 16S159W 23S145W ARE NEARLY STATIONARY INTENSIFIED. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:55 2003 X-UIDL: 51082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00LYDM3OPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:16:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU0I34T003570 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:18:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvJj098454; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:10:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 378897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:10:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU0AoD1078024 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:10:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU0AZnN014409 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:10:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU0AZIv014407 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:10:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:10:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 30/12/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300010.hBU0AZIv014407@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO20 FMEE 300000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.0S / 62.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND 210 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 12 UTC: 13.2S / 61.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/31 AT 00 UTC: 13.8S / 61.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CENTRE IS DIFFICULT TO PRECISELY LOCATE ON THE IR IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER NEXT DAYS, AND KEEP ON GENERALLY TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:55 2003 X-UIDL: 51083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00L0OMRTPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:31:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU0WWLv028668 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:32:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvJl098454; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:12:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 378918 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:12:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU0CoD1081872 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:12:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU0CZnN014433 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:12:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU0CZZo014430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:12:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:12:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300012.hBU0CZZo014430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 300000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 2.A POSITION 2003/12/30 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.0S / 62.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST ) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S 0.0/18 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/30 12 UTC: 13.2S/61.6E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/31 00 UTC: 13.8S/61.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/31 12 UTC: 14.3S/60.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2004/01/01 00 UTC: 14.7S/59.9E, MAX WIND=045KT. 60H: 2004/01/01 12 UTC: 15.0S/59.5E, MAX WIND=050KT. 72H: 2004/01/02 00 UTC: 15.4S/58.9E, MAX WIND=055KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0-. CONVECTION IS STILL FLUCTUANTING AND REMAINS WEAKLY ORGANIZED.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:59 2003 X-UIDL: 51092-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00LSOT6IPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:49:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU2os4T021252 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:50:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvMJ098454; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU2frD1027162 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU2fbnN015959 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU2fbhM015957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300241.hBU2fbhM015957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/300030Z-300600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 178.0W6 HAS BEEN RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM TO THE EAST- NORTHEAST AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 355 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EVIDENT TO THE WEST OF THE CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENEBROKER/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:50:01 2003 X-UIDL: 51096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00LQIUFIPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:16:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU3HvLv048929 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:17:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsIp011890; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU39iD1059276 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU39TnN016328 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU39StU016326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300309.hBU39StU016326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300030 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/300030Z-300600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 178.0W6 HAS BEEN RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM TO THE EAST- NORTHEAST AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.3W9, APPROXIMATELY 355 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EVIDENT TO THE WEST OF THE CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CHANGED LONGITUDE IN PARA 2.B.(1) FROM 178.3E9 TO 178.3W9. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENEBROKER/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:50:02 2003 X-UIDL: 51097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00MTKVB99P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:35:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU3b0Lv051685 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:37:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvMd098454; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:30:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 380052 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:30:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU3UhD1055456 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:30:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU3URnN016518 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:30:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU3URDG016517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:30:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:30:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300330.hBU3URDG016517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 300330 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC TUE 30 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/0000 UTC... ..WEAKENING 1018 MB HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 27N121W. ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N126W TO 29.5N140W...MOVING SE ABOUT 25 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0300 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N100W 7N120W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 135W AND 140W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... THE COLD FRONT IS MARKED BY A BAND OF OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITHIN 90 NM E OF A LINE FROM 32N126W TO 29N127W. THE REMAINDER OF THE FRONT IS MARKED BY A 60-90 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN/ OVERCAST LOW/MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS. LARGE AREA OF BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS LIE N OF THE FRONT CONTINUING NORTHWARD BEYOND 32N. $$ FORECASTER CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 13:54:02 2003 X-UIDL: 51104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00L081DGPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:46:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU5lr4T041488 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:47:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsJf011890; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:35:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 380715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:35:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU5ZFD1055472 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:35:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU5YxnN017515 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:34:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU5YxKE017513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:34:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:34:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300534.hBU5YxKE017513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z-310600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.3W9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.5W1 APPROXIMATELY 300NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 14:29:24 2003 X-UIDL: 51110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00MTV2YM9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:20:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU6ME4T045874 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:22:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvOl098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:17:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:17:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU6HZD1086926 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:17:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU6HKnN017838 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:17:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU6HK8q017836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:17:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:17:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 30/12/2003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300617.hBU6HK8q017836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO20 FMEE 300600 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 (DARIUS) 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 61.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTRE AND IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/30 AT 18 UTC: 13.7S / 60.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/31 AT 06 UTC: 14.2S / 59.6E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE WEAK INTENSIFICATION OBSERVED LAST NIGHT HAS NOT CONFIRM DURING THE LAST HOURS.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 14:29:24 2003 X-UIDL: 51111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00MZ033D9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:23:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU6Ox4T046206 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:25:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsK5011890; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:20:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:20:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU6KhD1065664 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:20:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU6KRnN017873 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:20:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU6KRbu017871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:20:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:20:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300620.hBU6KRbu017871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 300600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 2.A POSITION 2003/12/30 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 61.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/30 18 UTC: 13.7S/60.2E, MAX WIND=030KT. 24H: 2003/12/31 06 UTC: 14.2S/59.6E, MAX WIND=035KT. 36H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 14.6S/59.0E, MAX WIND=035KT. 48H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 14.9S/58.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 60H: 2004/01/01 18 UTC: 15.2S/57.9E, MAX WIND=040KT. 72H: 2004/01/02 06 UTC: 15.5S/57.3E, MAX WIND=040KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLES BUT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 14:29:25 2003 X-UIDL: 51113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00MAZ39V9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:27:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU6SwLv073474 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:28:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvOr098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:23:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381177 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:23:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU6NoD1005370 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:23:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU6NYnN017896 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:23:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU6NYpm017895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:23:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 00:23:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300623.hBU6NYpm017895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 300600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/30 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 61.0E (TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 999 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: SE: 030 SO: 030 NO: 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/30 18 UTC: 13.7S/60.2E, MAX WIND=030KT . 24H: 2003/12/31 06 UTC: 14.2S/59.6E, MAX WIND=035KT . 36H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 14.6S/59.0E, MAX WIND=035KT . 48H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 14.9S/58.5E, MAX WIND=040KT . 60H: 2004/01/01 18 UTC: 15.2S/57.9E, MAX WIND=040KT . 72H: 2004/01/02 06 UTC: 15.5S/57.3E, MAX WIND=040KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=2.0+. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLES BUT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:03 2003 X-UIDL: 51130-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00LMO8X6PC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 16:29:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU8Uv4T060295 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 16:30:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvPp098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:24:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:24:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU8O7D1051982 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:24:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU8NpnN018886 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:23:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU8Npxc018885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:23:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:23:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300823.hBU8Npxc018885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 300900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (DARIUS) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- NEAR 12.8S1 61.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S1 61.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 14.0S5 60.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 14.9S4 59.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 15.6S2 58.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 16.0S7 57.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.1S5 61.0E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (DARIUS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 495 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO VENTILATE THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 06S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, WBAR, AND THE UKMET (EGRR) MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 AND 310900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:16 2003 X-UIDL: 51133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00MTFC899P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 17:40:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU9gM4T069411 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 17:42:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvQD098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:39:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:39:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU9dFD1075148 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:39:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU9cxnN019657 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:38:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU9cxMJ019656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:38:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:38:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300938.hBU9cxMJ019656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 300939 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE 30 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/0600 UTC... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N123W 28N131W TO 29N140W MOVING SE ABOUT 20 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/0900 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 6N95W 12N100W 7N112W 9N124W 6N132W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 60 NM WIDE BETWEEN 131W AND 133W AND ALSO BETWEEN 136W AND 139W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF 10N88W. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY BROKEN...MOSTLY MIDDLE TO HIGH CLOUDINESS ..IS FOUND N OF 10N BETWEEN 94W AND 104W. BAND OF OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF COLD FRONT E OF 128W. REMAINDER OF FRONT MARKED BY A 60-90 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW/MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS LIE N OF THE FRONT. $$ FORECASTER HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:18 2003 X-UIDL: 51135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00LL8CNEPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 17:50:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU9pT4T070859 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 17:51:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvQF098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:46:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381983 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:46:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU9kND1051802 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:46:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU9k7nN019701 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:46:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU9k7Pv019700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:46:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 03:46:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300946.hBU9k7Pv019700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 300946 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW/TROUGH...ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 22N161W 21N153W 14N150W 08N155W 18N157W 22N161W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND EAST OF 140W...ARE WITHIN 40 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 07N140W 08N146W...HAVE MOVED WEST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE UPPER LOW/TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE UPPER LOW/TROUGH UNDER OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE...ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB ARE IN AREA FROM 08S TO 14S WEST OF 174W...HAVE MOVED NORTHEAST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... LOW/TROUGH...BROAD AREA OF ISOLATED CB ARE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 05S172W 07S160W 18S142W 24S144W 24S150W 18S162W 12S163W 10S171W 05S172W...HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...AND INCREASED IN COVERAGE BUT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. TROUGH...ISOLATED CB...THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S...ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF A LINE THROUGH 20S129W 25S128W...HAVE MOVED EAST AT 05 KT...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN COVERAGE OR INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AND LOW/TROUGH ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION. BURKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:19 2003 X-UIDL: 51138-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00LQ9JBYPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:14:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUCFl4T085967 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:15:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvRV098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:12:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 382534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:12:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUCBxD1075184 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:11:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUCBhnN020872 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:11:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUCBh9Z020870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:11:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:11:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Near Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301211.hBUCBh9Z020870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 301200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 (DARIUS) 997 HPA POSITION: 13.5S / 60.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/31 AT 00 UTC: 14.3S / 60.7E, MAX WIND = 35 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/31 AT 12 UTC: 15.0S / 60.5E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTION HAS LIGHTLY WEAKENED FOR THE LAST HOURS DUE TO AN INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:20 2003 X-UIDL: 51139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00MCVJJS9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:19:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUCKV4T086415 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:20:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvRX098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:14:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 382546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:14:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUCE0D1075198 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:14:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUCDinN020898 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:13:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUCDiLi020896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:13:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 06:13:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301213.hBUCDiLi020896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 301200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/30 AT 1200 UTC : 13.5S / 60.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1012 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/31 00 UTC: 14.3S/60.7E, MAX WIND=035KT. 24H: 2003/12/31 12 UTC: 15.0S/60.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2004/01/01 00 UTC: 15.4S/59.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2004/01/01 12 UTC: 15.6S/58.5E, MAX WIND=055KT. 60H: 2004/01/02 00 UTC: 15.8S/57.7E, MAX WIND=060KT. 72H: 2004/01/02 12 UTC: 16.0S/56.9E, MAX WIND=060KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:21 2003 X-UIDL: 51142-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00MFLN6N9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:37:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUDd04T095144 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:39:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvSF098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 07:32:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 382870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 07:32:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUDVxD1045622 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 07:31:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUDVhnN021652 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 07:31:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUDVhlU021650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 07:31:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 07:31:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301331.hBUDVhlU021650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 301200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 6/4/20032004 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/30 AT 1200 UTC : 13.5S / 60.6E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 997 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 030 SE: 050 SO: 050 NO: 030 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1012 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/31 00 UTC: 14.3S/60.7E, MAX WIND=035KT. 24H: 2003/12/31 12 UTC: 15.0S/60.5E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2004/01/01 00 UTC: 15.4S/59.7E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2004/01/01 12 UTC: 15.6S/58.5E, MAX WIND=055KT. 60H: 2004/01/02 00 UTC: 15.8S/57.7E, MAX WIND=060KT. 72H: 2004/01/02 12 UTC: 16.0S/56.9E, MAX WIND=060KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: NIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:28 2003 X-UIDL: 51154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00MPMTAH9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:49:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUFop4T009757 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:50:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvTr098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:43:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 383863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUFhZD1091622 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUFhInN023110 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:43:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUFhI3V023109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:43:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:43:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301543.hBUFhI3V023109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 301538 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC TUE 30 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/1200 UTC... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 1006 MB LOW PRES NEAR 32N122W TO 25N130W TO 27N140W MOVING. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/1500 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 11N105W 7N115W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 180 NM WIDE FROM 128W TO 138W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE FROM 114W TO 120W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... ISOLATED SHOWERS WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE 7N84W 9N88W. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY BROKEN...MOSTLY MIDDLE TO HIGH CLOUDINESS ..IS FOUND N OF 10N BETWEEN 94W AND 104W. BAND OF OVERCAST LAYERED CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM E OF COLD FRONT AND N OF 26N E OF FRONT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS N OF THE FRONT. $$ FORECASTER DGS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:34 2003 X-UIDL: 51163-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00MLQY4D9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 01:33:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUHZD4T021657 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 01:35:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsON011890; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384507 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUHUXD1071658 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUHUHnN024346 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUHUHc4024344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301730.hBUHUHc4024344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z-311800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300751DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (DARIUS) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 61.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 496 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 300900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENEBROKER/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:34 2003 X-UIDL: 51164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00LEHY8OPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 01:36:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUHbo4T021985 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 01:37:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvW5098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUHUYD1044116 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUHUHnN024347 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUHUHIb024345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:30:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301730.hBUHUHIb024345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 301800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/ OCEAN/301800Z-311800ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300751DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300600Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (DARIUS) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 61.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 496 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 300900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY: MAJOR GRUBER, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENEBROKER/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:35 2003 X-UIDL: 51168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00LR90UNPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:32:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUIYD4T028520 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:34:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvXd098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:28:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:28:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUISAD1005218 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUIRrnN025095 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:27:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUIRrJt025093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:27:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:27:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301827.hBUIRrJt025093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO20 FMEE 301800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 30/12/2003 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.5S / 60.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE., EXTENDING LOCALLY UO TO 100 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/31 AT 06 UTC: 15.4S / 60.2E, MAX WIND = 40 KT. 24H, VALID 2003/12/31 AT 18 UTC: 16.4S / 59.8E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LIGHT INTENSIFICATION DURING LAST HOURS, WITH DEEP CONVECTION WICH HAS LIGHTLY REBUILT ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE AT THE BEGINNING OF THIS NIGHT .= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:36 2003 X-UIDL: 51170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00MQE1F49P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:45:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUIkW4T029937 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:46:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvXp098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:41:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:41:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUIfVD1077912 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:41:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUIfEnN025300 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:41:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUIfE74025298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:41:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:41:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301841.hBUIfE74025298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 301800 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 7/4/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/30 AT 1800 UTC : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.5S / 60.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 994 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 200 SO: 100 NO: 050 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/31 06 UTC: 15.4S/60.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 24H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 16.4S/59.8E, MAX WIND=045KT. 36H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 17.0S/59.1E, MAX WIND=050KT. 48H: 2004/01/01 18 UTC: 17.4S/58.1E, MAX WIND=055KT. 60H: 2004/01/02 06 UTC: 17.6S/57.2E, MAX WIND=060KT. 72H: 2004/01/02 18 UTC: 17.8S/56.2E, MAX WIND=060KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=CI=3.0-. IRREGULAR CDO OF 1.75 DEGRES DIAMETER. EXTENTION OF WINDS ESTIMATED ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 1400 UTC. DUE TO A LIGHT NORTWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEARING AND TO A MODERATE OUTFLOW IN HIGH LEVEL (CIMSS DATA), CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR A RAPID INTENSIFICATION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:39 2003 X-UIDL: 51175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00M0R3GJ9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:29:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUJUY4T035743 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:30:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvYn098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:21:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:21:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUJLJD1086788 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:21:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUJL2nN025778 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:21:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUJL22D025777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:21:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:21:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 301851z Dec 03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301921.hBUJL22D025777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_MONTH_2 0, SUBJECT_MONTH 0' WTPS21 PGTW 301900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 301851Z DEC 03// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 155 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.9S2 178.8W4 TO 10.7S8 173.7W8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 301130Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 178.0W6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.5W1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 178.0W6, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF APIA, WESTERN SAMOA. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A RECENT 301323Z2 AMSRE PASS DEPICTS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED 60 NM FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 5. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 311900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:40 2003 X-UIDL: 51178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00MTA55A9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 04:05:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUK70Lv076256 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 04:07:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsQD011890; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:58:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:58:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUJwCD1087020 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:58:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUJvtnN026126 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:57:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUJvtY3026124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:57:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:57:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301957.hBUJvtY3026124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 301930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/301930Z-310600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/301900Z DEC 03/ AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.5W1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 178.0W6, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF APIA, WESTERN SAMOA. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A RECENT 301323Z2 AMSRE PASS DEPICTS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED 60 NM FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 301900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENENBROKER/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:41 2003 X-UIDL: 51182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00L847RRPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 05:02:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUL3g4T046230 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 05:03:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvaV098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:58:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 386066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:58:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUKwLD1075176 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:58:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUKw4nN026789 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:58:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUKw4sn026788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:58:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:58:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312302058.hBUKw4sn026788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 302100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (DARIUS) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 14.4S9 59.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 59.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.8S4 58.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 16.8S5 57.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.6S4 57.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.6S5 56.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.8S3 59.6E0. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (DARIUS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES DECENT OUTFLOW IN BOTH THE EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD DIRECTIONS. TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO EXIST IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE TO TYPHOON STRENGTH. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, WBAR, AND THE UKMET (EGRR) MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 AND 312100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:42 2003 X-UIDL: 51184-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00LS29JIPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 05:40:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBULfwLv087677 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 05:41:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvbh098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:35:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 386483 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:35:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBULZ9D1086932 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:35:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBULYqnN027280 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:34:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBULYqE2027279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:34:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:34:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312302134.hBULYqE2027279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 302134 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2205 UTC TUE 30 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 30/1800 UTC... ..COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A 1005 MB LOW NEAR 31N122W TO 23N130W TO 25N140W...MOVING SE 10 TO 15 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 30/2100 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 4N78W 8N115W 6N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 100 NM WIDE FROM 115W TO 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 120 NM WIDE FROM 135W TO BEYOND 140W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... A 90-120 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MIDDLE CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE LOCATED N OF THE FRONT. $$ FORECASTER CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:42 2003 X-UIDL: 51185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00LKEAEVPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 05:59:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUM0iLv089754 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:00:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvc3098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:55:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 386610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:55:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBULthD1086924 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:55:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBULtRnN027510 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:55:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBULtQuR027509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:55:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:55:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312302155.hBULtQuR027509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 302155 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 2200 UTC DECEMBER 30 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 1800 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2100 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... UPPER LOW...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 23N162W 19N155W 15N158W 20N163W HAVE MOVED WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT...DECREASED IN AREA AND WEAKENED. FRONT...MAINLY BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS...WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS...THAT EXTEND NORTH OF 30N AND WEST OF THE DATELINE ARE BOUNDED BY 30N178W 30N173W 24N180 28N180. FEATURE BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY. ITCZ...ISOLATED CB/TCU WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 08N148W 05N140W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...INCREASED IN AREA AND INTENSIFIED. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER LOW. FOR MORE DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES...UPPER LOW AND FRONT. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. ELSEWHERE... ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 14N153W 10N153W 07N155W 07N157W 13N158W HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND INCREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR 13.5S 177W WITH ISOLATED TO OCCASIONAL CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 04S180 05S174W 10S171W 14S173W 12S178W 09S180 HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... CZ/SURFACE TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU BOUNDED BY 05S166W 06S162W 20S146W 22S155W 18S165W 15S160W 11S168W 06S167W HAVE MOVED SOUTH AND WEST AT 5 TO 10 KT WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN AREA OR INTENSITY. FRONT/UPPER TROUGH...ISOLATED CB/TCU THAT EXTEND SOUTH OF 25S AND BOUNDED BY 20S126W 25S124W 25S128W 21S127W HAVE MOVED EAST AT 5 KT AND DECREASED IN AREA WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... SEE TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES. ELSEWHERE... NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:43 2003 X-UIDL: 51191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00M7LHS09P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 08:38:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV0dn4T068639 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 08:39:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAve3098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:33:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 387464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:33:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV0XLD1027234 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:33:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV0X4nN029150 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:33:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV0X42r029148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:33:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:33:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310033.hBV0X42r029148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 310000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 008/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 31/12/2003 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 991 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.9S / 59.9E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 280 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE., EXTENDING LOCALLY UO TO 110 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/31 AT 12 UTC: 16.0S / 59.3E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. 24H, VALID 2004/01/01 AT 00 UTC: 17.0S / 58.7E, MAX WIND = 55 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS LIGHTLY INTENSIFYING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:43 2003 X-UIDL: 51192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00MBLICJ9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 08:50:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV0qBLv008617 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 08:52:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvQf052824; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:47:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 387561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:47:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV0lbD1031404 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:47:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV0lLnN029318 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:47:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV0lKDG029316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:47:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:47:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310047.hBV0lKDG029316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 310000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 8/4/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/31 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.9S / 59.9E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 991 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 200 SO: 100 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/31 12 UTC: 16.0S/59.3E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2004/01/01 00 UTC: 17.0S/58.7E, MAX WIND=055KT. 36H: 2004/01/01 12 UTC: 17.5S/57.8E, MAX WIND=060KT. 48H: 2004/01/02 00 UTC: 17.9S/57.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 60H: 2004/01/02 12 UTC: 18.2S/56.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 72H: 2004/01/03 00 UTC: 18.4S/55.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: IRREGULAR CDO OF 2 DEGRES DIAMETER. ACCORDING TO MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY (TRMM OF 1744 AND AMSU-B OF 1821), THE CENTRE IS ESTIMATED ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE LIGHT NORTWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRESENT DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS IS NOW WEAKENING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:44 2003 X-UIDL: 51196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ003A7QTB7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 11:53:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV3sn4T090939 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 11:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvgn098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:49:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 388661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:49:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV3n1D1006100 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:49:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV3minN001139 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:48:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV3mhdw001138 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:48:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:48:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310348.hBV3mhdw001138@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 310348 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0405 UTC WED 31 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/0000 UTC... ..OCCLUDED 1003 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 29N122W WITH FRONT TO 30N122W 25N121W 22N135W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0300 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 4N105W 6N125W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 109W AND 120W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... A 90-120 NM WIDE BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW TO MIDDLE CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE LOCATED N OF THE FRONT. $$ FORECASTER CAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:47 2003 X-UIDL: 51202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ003ULW0P7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 13:46:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV5lS4T005458 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 13:47:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsUP011890; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 389238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV5YoD1011272 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV5YXnN002199 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV5YXAw002196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310534.hBV5YXAw002196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZDEC2003-010600ZJAN2004// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/301851ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 178.0W6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 176.7W1, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM WEST OF APIA, WESTERN SAMOA. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION IS DISPLACED NORTHEAST OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 301900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:47 2003 X-UIDL: 51203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ003UNYJP7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 14:40:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV6g04T012191 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 14:42:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAviL098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:37:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 389729 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:37:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV6bYD1016730 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:37:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV6bHnN002935 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:37:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV6bHHW002933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:37:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:37:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310637.hBV6bHHW002933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 310600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 9/4 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 31/12/2003 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 992 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S / 59.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 280 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE., EXTENDING LOCALLY UO TO 100 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2003/12/31 AT 18 UTC: 15.2S / 58.6E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2004/01/01 AT 06 UTC: 16.1S / 58.0E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS CLEARLY EXPOSED IN THE NORTH OF DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:47 2003 X-UIDL: 51204-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ003FFYTP7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 14:46:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV6m34T012915 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 14:48:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAviN098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:42:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 389759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:42:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV6glD1077236 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:42:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV6gTnN002995 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:42:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV6gTnL002993 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:42:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:42:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310642.hBV6gTnL002993@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 310000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 8/4/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/31 AT 0000 UTC : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.9S / 59.9E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 1.0/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 991 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 200 SO: 100 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/31 12 UTC: 16.0S/59.3E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2004/01/01 00 UTC: 17.0S/58.7E, MAX WIND=055KT. 36H: 2004/01/01 12 UTC: 17.5S/57.8E, MAX WIND=060KT. 48H: 2004/01/02 00 UTC: 17.9S/57.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 60H: 2004/01/02 12 UTC: 18.2S/56.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 72H: 2004/01/03 00 UTC: 18.4S/55.0E, MAX WIND=070KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: IRREGULAR CDO OF 2 DEGRES DIAMETER. ACCORDING TO MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY (TRMM OF 1744 AND AMSU-B OF 1821), THE CENTRE IS ESTIMATED ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE LIGHT NORTWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRESENT DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS IS NOW WEAKENING +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:48 2003 X-UIDL: 51206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ003U4Z0I7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 14:50:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV6q84T013440 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 14:52:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsV7011890; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:46:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 389776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:46:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV6kjD1014590 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:46:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV6kRnN003030 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:46:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV6kREw003028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:46:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:46:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310646.hBV6kREw003028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 310600 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/4/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/31 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S / 59.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 39 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 180 SO: 100 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 15.2S/58.6E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 16.1S/58.0E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2004/01/01 18 UTC: 17.2S/57.5E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2004/01/02 06 UTC: 18.0S/57.0E, MAX WIND=060KT. 60H: 2004/01/02 18 UTC: 18.8S/56.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 72H: 2004/01/03 06 UTC: 19.5S/56.5E, MAX WIND=070KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS NOW CLEARLY EXPOSED AT 0.5AO IN THE NORTH OF DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:48 2003 X-UIDL: 51207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ0039EZM07S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 15:03:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV7534T015242 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 15:05:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAviV098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:58:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 389838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:58:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV6w1D1094562 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:58:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV6vinN003115 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:57:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV6viOE003113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:57:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:57:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310657.hBV6viOE003113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 310600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/4/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/31 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S / 59.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 39 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 180 SO: 100 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 15.2S/58.6E, MAX WIND=045KT . 24H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 16.1S/58.0E, MAX WIND=050KT . 36H: 2004/01/01 18 UTC: 17.2S/57.5E, MAX WIND=055KT . 48H: 2004/01/02 06 UTC: 18.0S/57.0E, MAX WIND=060KT . 60H: 2004/01/02 18 UTC: 18.8S/56.0E, MAX WIND=065KT . 72H: 2004/01/03 06 UTC: 19.5S/55.5E, MAX WIND=070KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS NOW CLEARLY EXPOSED AT 0.5AO IN THE NORTH OF DEEP CONVECTION.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:49 2003 X-UIDL: 51210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR003OG2FV7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:04:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV86B4T021864 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:06:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvj3098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:00:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 390115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:00:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV80VD1071674 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:00:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV80DnN003677 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:00:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV80DRq003675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:00:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:00:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310800.hBV80DRq003675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 310600 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 9/4/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/31 AT 0600 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S / 59.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.5/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 992 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 39 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 180 SO: 100 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/31 18 UTC: 15.2S/58.6E, MAX WIND=045KT . 24H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 16.1S/58.0E, MAX WIND=050KT . 36H: 2004/01/01 18 UTC: 17.2S/57.5E, MAX WIND=055KT . 48H: 2004/01/02 06 UTC: 18.0S/57.0E, MAX WIND=060KT . 60H: 2004/01/02 18 UTC: 18.8S/56.0E, MAX WIND=065KT . 72H: 2004/01/03 06 UTC: 19.5S/55.5E, MAX WIND=070KT . 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS NOW CLEARLY EXPOSED AT 0.5AO IN THE NORTH OF DEEP CONVECTION. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:49 2003 X-UIDL: 51212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR0036X3847S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:21:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV8N64T023639 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:23:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvj9098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:16:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 390173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:16:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV8GoD1048590 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:16:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV8GXnN003811 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:16:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV8GXf2003810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:16:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:16:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310816.hBV8GXf2003810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTXS31 PGTW 310900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (DARIUS) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- NEAR 15.4S0 59.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S0 59.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 16.8S5 59.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.0S9 58.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 19.1S1 58.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 20.4S6 59.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.7S3 59.3E7. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (DARIUS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 310530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK POLEWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 06S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 48 HOURS WHILE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, WBAR, AND THE UKMET (EGRR) MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 AND 010900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 02 11:28:09 2004 X-UIDL: 51221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR003TV7BN7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 17:50:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV9pZ4T048636 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 17:51:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvjT098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:45:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 390527 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:45:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV9jpD1044226 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:45:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV9jYnN004762 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:45:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV9jXcj004761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:45:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:45:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310945.hBV9jXcj004761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 310945 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC WED 31 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/0600 UTC... ..OCCLUDED 1006 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 28N122W WITH WITH FRONT THROUGH 29N120W 27N118W 22N121W 20N135W. ..WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRES EXTENDS FROM THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR 22N105W TO 15N130W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/0900 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 6N110W 8N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 7N TO 11N BETWEEN 115W AND 123W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EMBEDDED IN AREA OF OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS FOUND WITHIN 120 NM OF COLD FRONT N OF 24W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE FOUND N OF THE FRONT THROUGHOUT THE REGION. SCATTERED TO BROKEN MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH CLUSTERS OF ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FOUND FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN 107W AND 115W. $$ FORECASTER HOLWEG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 02 11:28:18 2004 X-UIDL: 51222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR003UH7RG7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 17:59:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVA18Lv094863 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 18:01:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvjb098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:55:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 390586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV9tXD1067584 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:55:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV9tGnN004822 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:55:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV9tG4w004821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:55:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 03:55:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NC: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310955.hBV9tG4w004821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ACPA40 PHFO 310955 TWDPA TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION EASTERN NORTH AND SOUTH PACIFIC CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER/WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE HONOLULU HI 1000 UTC DECEMBER 31 2003 NORTH PACIFIC...FROM 30N TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 140W AND 180 SOUTH PACIFIC...FROM 25S TO EQUATOR BETWEEN 120W AND 180 BASED ON METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS THROUGH 0600 UTC AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0900 UTC. MOVEMENTS AND TRENDS PAST 24 HOURS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... NONE. MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KAUAI TO THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... UPPER LOW...NEAR 20N164W NEARLY STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST LAYERS/ISOLATED CB WITHIN 350 NM NORTHEAST...450 NM EAST...AND 725 NM SOUTHEAST OF LOW. CB WEAKENED AND DECREASED IN COVERAGE. FOR DETAILS...SEE THE LATEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SATELLITE INTERPRETATION MESSAGE WITH WMO HEADER ATHW40 PHFO AND AWIPS HEADER HFOSIMHI. NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...KURE ATOLL TO NIHOA INCLUDING MIDWAY... DECAYING FRONT...THROUGH 30N173W 26N180 STATIONARY. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CUMULUS ALONG THE FRONT. ALSO SEE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SECTION ABOVE. JOHNSTON ISLAND... NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. ELSEWHERE... ITCZ...ISOLATED CB BETWEEN 07N150W AND 07N140W DISSIPATED. SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES/DISTURBANCES... WEAK DISTURBANCE...NEAR 13S177W MOVING WEST SLOWLY. ISOLATED CB NEAR CENTER REMAIN SPARSE. OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES... ISOLATED CB WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 11S174W 09S180 ARE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AMERICAN SAMOA AND THE INDEPENDENT STATE OF SAMOA... CURRENTLY NO SIGNIFICANT FEATURES/WEATHER. SEE OTHER SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ABOVE. ELSEWHERE... WEAK LOW...NEAR 19S163W NEARLY STATIONARY. AREA OF ISOLATED CB WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE 16S150W 10S160W 06S170W IS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 02 11:28:19 2004 X-UIDL: 51226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR003M3EGP7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 20:24:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVCPrLv011952 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 20:25:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvkZ098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:21:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 391163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:21:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVCLdD1060066 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:21:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBVCLMnN005974 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:21:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBVCLMjH005972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:21:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:21:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312311221.hBVCLMjH005972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 311200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 10/4 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 31/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 991 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S / 58.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO100 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2004/01/01 AT 00 UTC: 15.9S / 58.0E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2004/01/01 AT 12 UTC: 16.5S / 57.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CONVECTION REBUILD AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE, BUT REMAINS FLUCTUATING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 02 11:28:20 2004 X-UIDL: 51227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR003RDF4Y7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 20:38:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVCeO4T065617 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 20:40:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvkr098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:34:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 391294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:34:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVCYuD1060090 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:34:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBVCYdnN006109 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:34:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBVCYdCt006107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:34:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:34:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312311234.hBVCYdCt006107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 311200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 10/4/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/31 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S / 58.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 991 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 180 SO: 100 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2004/01/01 00 UTC: 15.9S/58.0E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2004/01/01 12 UTC: 16.5S/57.4E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2004/01/02 00 UTC: 17.5S/56.8E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2004/01/02 12 UTC: 18.1S/56.2E, MAX WIND=055KT. 60H: 2004/01/03 00 UTC: 19.3S/55.6E, MAX WIND=060KT. 72H: 2004/01/03 12 UTC: 20.5S/55.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CONVECTION REBUILD AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE, BUT REMAINS FLUCTUATING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 02 11:28:20 2004 X-UIDL: 51228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR00375FEC7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 20:44:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVCk4Lv014834 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 20:46:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsWh011890; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:42:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 391350 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:42:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVCg7D1071522 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:42:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBVCfonN006233 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:41:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBVCfoos006231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:41:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:41:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312311241.hBVCfoos006231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 311200 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 10/4/20032004 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/31 AT 1200 UTC : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S / 58.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.0 /D 0.5/24 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 991 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 070 SE: 180 SO: 100 NO: 060 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2004/01/01 00 UTC: 15.9S/58.0E, MAX WIND=045KT. 24H: 2004/01/01 12 UTC: 16.5S/57.4E, MAX WIND=050KT. 36H: 2004/01/02 00 UTC: 17.5S/56.8E, MAX WIND=055KT. 48H: 2004/01/02 12 UTC: 18.1S/56.2E, MAX WIND=055KT. 60H: 2004/01/03 00 UTC: 19.3S/55.6E, MAX WIND=060KT. 72H: 2004/01/03 12 UTC: 20.5S/55.0E, MAX WIND=065KT. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CONVECTION REBUILD AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE, BUT REMAINS FLUCTUATING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 02 11:28:21 2004 X-UIDL: 51229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR0037WFEV7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 20:44:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVCkL4T066336 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 20:46:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvl5098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:42:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 391345 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:42:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVCg6D1055420 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:42:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBVCfnnN006222 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:41:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBVCfnkX006220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:41:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 06:41:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Gale Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312311241.hBVCfnkX006220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO22 FMEE 311200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 10/4 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 31/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 991 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S / 58.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO100 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2004/01/01 AT 00 UTC: 15.9S / 58.0E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2004/01/01 AT 12 UTC: 16.5S / 57.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CONVECTION REBUILD AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE, BUT REMAINS FLUCTUATING.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 02 11:28:32 2004 X-UIDL: 51234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR003E6NGT7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 23:38:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVFeC4T084547 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 23:40:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvpJ098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:36:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 392782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:36:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVFa3D1049154 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:36:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBVFZknN008108 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:35:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBVFZkgf008107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:35:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:35:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312311535.hBVFZkgf008107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 311535 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC WED 31 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 31/1200 UTC... ..LOW PRES 1009 MB NEAR 29N125W WITH TROUGH TO SECOND LOW 1007 MB NEAR 28N120W OCCLUDED FRONT FROM LOW TO 25N118W THEN CONTINUES AS COLD FRONT TO 19N128W. ..HIGH PRES RIDGE W OF THE FRONT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 31/1200 UTC... AXIS OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 3N78W 6N110W 8N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM WIDE FROM 120W TO 127W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG TSTMS WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 17N107W 10N 118W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING ONSHORE ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS N OF 18N W OF 105 AND MAINLY BROKEN ELSEWHERE. $$ FORECASTER DGS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 02 11:28:32 2004 X-UIDL: 51235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR003F3NHA7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 23:39:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVFeW4T084581 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 23:40:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvpL098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:36:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 392793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:36:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVFaRD1030098 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:36:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBVFa9nN008131 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:36:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBVFa9X5008127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:36:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 09:36:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 31/12/2003 At Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312311536.hBVFa9X5008127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, SUBJECT_HAS_DATE 0' WTIO22 FMEE 311200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 10/4 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 31/12/2003 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (DARIUS) 991 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S / 58.8E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLES. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE., EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO100 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2004/01/01 AT 00 UTC: 15.9S / 58.0E, MAX WIND = 45 KT. 24H, VALID 2004/01/01 AT 12 UTC: 16.5S / 57.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CONVECTION REBUILD AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE, BUT REMAINS FLUCTUATING. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 03 22:07:29 2004 X-UIDL: 56882-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HTZ00AFUU6FA7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Mar 2004 17:25:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239POOm063690 for ; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 17:25:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i2363ELx075758; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:21:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1338405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:16:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239G0Dd046776 for ; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:16:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI0B5nN018876 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 18:11:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI0AoZV018867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 18:10:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 18:10:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180010.hBI0AoZV018867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTIO30 FMEE 180000 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 0.A WARNING NUMBER : 50/3/20032004 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (CELA) 2.A POSITION 2003/12/18 AT 0000 UTC : 23.7S / 39.3E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.5/4.0 /D 1.0/12 H 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 978 HPA 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM): 30 KT NE: 180 SE: 300 SO: 300 NO: 180 50 KT NE: 040 SE: 120 SO: 120 NO: 040 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP 1.B FORECASTS: 12H: 2003/12/18 12 UTC: 25.2S/39.6E, MAX WIND=050KT. 24H: 2003/12/19 00 UTC: 26.0S/40.7E, MAX WIND=040KT. 36H: 2003/12/19 12 UTC: 26.7S/42.2E, MAX WIND=040KT. 48H: 2003/12/20 00 UTC: 28.7S/42.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 60H: 2003/12/20 12 UTC: 31.2S/43.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 72H: 2003/12/21 00 UTC: 34.4S/45.6E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL. 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS: T=3.5+ CI=4.0+= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 03 22:07:32 2004 X-UIDL: 56890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HTZ00AIWU6QA7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Mar 2004 17:25:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239PcOm063735 for ; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 17:25:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i238iMJT091430; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:18:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1337942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:14:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239DNDR019690 for ; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:14:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKFZonN020275 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 09:35:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKFZZtp020273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 09:35:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 09:35:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312201535.hBKFZZtp020273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 201535 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC SAT 20 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 20/1200 UTC... ..WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH 32N131W TO 27N140W. THE FRONT IS MOVING E 15 TO 20 KT AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATED IN ABOUT 12 TO 18 HOURS. ..STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SOUTHERN MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC. ..WEAK HIGH PRES 1021 MB IS CENTERED NEAR 25N140W. A WEAK RIDGE EXTENDS EAST FROM THE HIGH TO 25N120W. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 20/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 4N87W 6N110W 9N121W 8N132W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 104W-107W. CLUSTERS OF ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS NEAR 80W... 102W...118W AND 137W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N... NONE. $$ BROWN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 03 22:07:43 2004 X-UIDL: 56914-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HTZ00A7NUB2A7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Mar 2004 17:28:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239SEqW032990 for ; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 17:28:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i2363EM1075758; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:21:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1338456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:16:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239GrD1023218 for ; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:16:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPFJWnN017395 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:19:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPFJHcE017393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:19:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:19:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312251519.hBPFJHcE017393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 251530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/251530Z-260600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251351DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251200Z0, TROPICAL STORM 27W, LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 129.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5N2 137.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF PALAU HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1) AND DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMAN/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 03 22:07:45 2004 X-UIDL: 56918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HTZ00AFSUD1A7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Mar 2004 17:29:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239TPOm064343 for ; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 17:29:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i238iMOF091430; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:24:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1338807 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:19:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239DNDb019690 for ; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:14:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBMGUBnN019910 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 10:30:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBMGU1Vq019908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 10:30:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 10:30:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312221630.hBMGU1Vq019908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' AXPZ20 KNHC 221629 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1605 UTC MON 22 DEC 2003 EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W. SPECIAL FEATURES... NONE. SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 22/1200 UTC... ..A 1022 MB HIGH CENTERED NEAR 31N122W WITH RIDGE SW TO 20N135W AND RIDGE SE TO 18N106W. ..COLD FRONT 30N136W 26N140W MOVING E 20 KT. INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 22/1500 UTC... ITCZ... AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N77W 3N83W 9N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS E OF 83W AND BETWEEN 110W AND 113W AND BETWEEN 118W AND 123W AND W OF 126W. ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION N OF 26N WITHIN 120 NM E OF COLD FRONT. $$ FORECASTER NELSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 00:32:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26593-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00HI0ESO8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 00:22:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VGLrNl053634 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 00:21:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V6NRng052160; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:15:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 10682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:13:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VGDsG2029500 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:13:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VGDrMl004013 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:13:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VGDrNY004012 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 11:13:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 11:13:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305311613.h4VGDrNY004012@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 311500 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST//SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 311200Z7 MAY 03 TO 031200Z6 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. THE RECENT SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS ORGANIZING CONVECTION. B. THE TRACK FOR TD 06W HAS SOME UNCERTAINTY DUE TO WEAK AND SHALLOW NATURE OF SYSTEM AND THE FACT THAT THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD CENTER (LLCC) IS HARD TO LOCATE WITHOUT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. TD 06W'S RECENT TRACKED SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE TO THE EAST AND IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY ALTER TO A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGGR, AND JGSM ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER LEVELS SHOWS THAT TD 06W EXISTS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ALLOWING TD 06W TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. A SHEAR ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM COUPLED WITH A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// BT #6575 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 04:41:29 2003 X-UIDL: 26602-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00HKXQQS8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 04:40:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VKdwNl017178 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 04:40:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HLu041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 15:28:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 13643 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 15:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VKSdG2025938 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 15:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VKSdMl006641 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 15:28:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VKSdn4006640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 15:28:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 15:28:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305312028.h4VKSdn4006640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 311800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 17.5N 117.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 19.2N 118.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 38N 138E NEAR SADO MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 138E TO 37N 143E 33N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 138E TO 29N 136E 22N 128E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 120E 09N 120E 06N 106E 10N 106E 13N 109E 14N 120E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 37N 157E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 56N 149E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 34N 117E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 174E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 13:05:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00MUT7C6QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 10:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h512cN46049701 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 10:38:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9Hca041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 21:31:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16996 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 21:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h512VmG2016288 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 21:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h512VlMl010547 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 21:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h512VlVY010546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 21:31:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 21:31:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306010231.h512VlVY010546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 17.3N 116.3E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 18.2N 118.2E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 05N 108E 09N 106E 13N 110E 14N 116E 09N 117E 05N 108E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 113E 21N 112E 23N 118E 22N 124E 19N 124E 19N 119E 19N 113E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 166E 60N 180E 47N 180E 49N 169E 60N 166E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 39N 142E 42N 142E 42N 143E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 36N 163E 34N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 41N 142E NE 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 57N 151E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 154E NNW 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 173E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 142E TO 36N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 142E TO 38N 140E 35N 138E 29N 138E 25N 132E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 14:45:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26622-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00M37IG5QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 14:38:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h516cL46096120 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 14:38:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VK3B5M052160; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 18145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h516QJG2048630 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h516QJMl012421 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h516QIZk012419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:26:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306010626.h516QIZk012419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/010151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 0100000Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 312100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 15:05:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00M01JHNQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:00:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5170m46000452 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:00:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9Hha041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:54:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 18339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:54:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h516s2G2035608 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:54:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h516s2Ml012583 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:54:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h516s2AN012582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:54:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 01:54:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306010654.h516s2AN012582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 010600 WARNING 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA AT 16.8N 117.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 20.1N 119.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 23.5N 126.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 29.0N 135.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 16:25:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00MIHN4QQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:19:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h518JV46015042 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:19:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VK3B9s052160; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:08:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 18775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:08:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5188vG2028588 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:08:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5188uMl013100 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:08:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5188uOc013099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:08:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:08:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306010808.h5188uOc013099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 010900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- NEAR 17.6N4 117.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 117.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.4N3 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 19.0N0 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 20.0N2 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 20.9N1 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 22.1N5 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 23.2N7 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 24.4N0 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 117.3E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 010530Z9 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE RECENT MICROWAVE DATA INDICATE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CONTINUES FROM THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7, 012100Z4, 020300Z5 AND 020900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 16:45:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFS00MACO06QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h518cN46017916 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 16:38:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9Hjs041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:29:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 18876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h518T6G2019168 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h518T6Ml013283 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h518T6oH013282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 03:29:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306010829.h518T6oH013282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 10N 108E 12N 110E 14N 120E 12N 120E 08N 117E 07N 109E 10N 108E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 115E 21N 115E 22N 125E 18N 124E 19N 115E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 143E 42N 141E 42N 143E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 35N 155E 38N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 41N 143E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 156E NORTH 20 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 56N 158E EAST 20 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 67N 138E SE 35 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 33N 121E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 174E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 996 HPA AT 16.8N 117.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 143E TO 41N 146E 40N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 143E TO 38N 142E 36N 140E 29N 139E 24N 133E. WARM FRONT FROM 67N 138E TO 66N 145E 63N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 67N 138E TO 61N 133E 56N 122E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 00:29:05 2003 X-UIDL: 26641-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00MW40DTQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:05:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51D5j46064365 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:05:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9HqE041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 07:48:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 20841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 07:47:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51CluG2035672 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 07:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51CluMl015027 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 07:47:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51Cluww015026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 07:47:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 07:47:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011247.h51Cluww015026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 011200 WARNING 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 990 HPA AT 18.4N 118.2E SOUTHSOUTHWEST OF TAIWAN MOVING NORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 21.8N 121.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 26.0N 129.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 31.0N 135.5E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 00:29:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00MS151CQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:46:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51EkD46083306 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:46:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9Hsc041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:27:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 21786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51ERDG2025932 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51ERDMl015703 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51ERD5h015702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:27:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011427.h51ERD5h015702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- NEAR 18.0N9 117.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 117.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 19.0N0 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 20.3N5 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 21.3N6 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.3N7 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 24.0N6 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 13 KTS --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 117.7E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM WEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEAST REGION OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE RECENT MICROWAVE DATA ALSO INDICATE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CONTINUES FROM THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4, 020300Z5, 020900Z1 AND 021500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 00:29:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26649-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00M1657UQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:50:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51EoA46084065 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:50:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9Hsm041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:32:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 21799 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:32:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51EWKG2042978 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:32:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51EWKMl015757 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51EWKgT015756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:32:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 06w (nangka) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011432.h51EWKgT015756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 011500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 05// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 011200Z4 TO 041200Z7 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM WEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEAST REGION OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE RECENT MICROWAVE DATA ALSO INDICATE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CONTINUES FROM THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. B. TS 06W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, TRACK SPEED IS FORECAST TO INCREASE AS THE SYSTEM FALLS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES, BEGINNING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON MODELS (JTYM), AND NCEP GFS FALL INTO TWO CLUSTERS WITH REGARD TO THIS FORECAST. NOGAPS AND GFDN KEEP THE SYSTEM UNDER A WEAKER STEERING INFLUENCE AND ADVANCE THE SYSTEM SLOWER THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH AN EMPHASIS ON EGRR, JGSM, JTYM, AND GFDN. C. TS 06W REMAINS IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND WILL DEVELOP AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL HALT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 00:29:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00M1D57XQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:50:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51EoF46084081 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 22:50:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VI9Hsg041818; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:28:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 21789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51ESFG2035524 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51ESFMl015713 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51ESF9A015712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 09:28:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011428.h51ESF9A015712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 43N 144E HOKKAIDO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 144E TO 44N 147E 42N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 144E TO 39N 143E 35N 141E 29N 141E 24N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 08N 109E 11N 109E 14N 114E 13N 120E 08N 117E 08N 109E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 119E 22N 120E 23N 126E 20N 126E 19N 121E 21N 119E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 144E 42N 141E 42N 143E 47N 152E 55N 161E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 35N 144E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 65N 144E ESE 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 161E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 31N 123E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 173E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 990 HPA AT 18.4N 118.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 65N 144E TO 64N 150E 61N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 65N 144E TO 59N 137E 56N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 02:48:30 2003 X-UIDL: 26661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00MCFFSDQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51IcU46032543 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:38:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26J2041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 24282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51IYPG2040782 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51IYOMl017770 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51IYOJK017769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:34:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 06w (nangka) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011834.h51IYOJK017769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 011500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 05// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 011200Z4 TO 041200Z7 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM WEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEAST REGION OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE RECENT MICROWAVE DATA ALSO INDICATE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CONTINUES FROM THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. B. TS 06W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, TRACK SPEED IS FORECAST TO INCREASE AS THE SYSTEM FALLS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES, BEGINNING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON MODELS (JTYM), AND NCEP GFS FALL INTO TWO CLUSTERS WITH REGARD TO THIS FORECAST. NOGAPS AND GFDN KEEP THE SYSTEM UNDER A WEAKER STEERING INFLUENCE AND ADVANCE THE SYSTEM SLOWER THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH AN EMPHASIS ON EGRR, JGSM, JTYM, AND GFDN. C. TS 06W REMAINS IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND WILL DEVELOP AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL HALT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. E. LONG RANGE FORECAST TRACK BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING EGRR, AVN, JGSM AFTER 72 HOURS. TS 06W (NANGKA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION FROM 72 TO 120 HOURS WITH WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM FORECAST AFTER 72 HOURS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED PARA 2.E. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 02:58:30 2003 X-UIDL: 26664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00M5DGKPQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:55:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51ItR46035767 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 02:55:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26Js041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:51:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 24513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51IprG2052564 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:51:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51IprMl017902 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:51:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51IprBf017901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:51:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 13:51:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306011851.h51IprBf017901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 011800 WARNING 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 19.6N 118.9E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 22.1N 123.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 27.0N 131.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 33.5N 140.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 04:38:30 2003 X-UIDL: 26666-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00MLFL6GQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:35:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51KYu46062267 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:35:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51KGdHY052160; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:29:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 25604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:29:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51KTMG2035772 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51KTMMl018753 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:29:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51KTL6o018747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:29:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306012029.h51KTL6o018747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 147E TO 41N 150E 39N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 147E TO 39N 146E 33N 142E 28N 142E 24N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 128E 20N 128E 20N 122E 22N 121E 24N 128E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 119E 11N 120E 08N 117E 07N 111E 12N 110E 14N 119E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 46N 180E 33N 163E 36N 148E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 65N 147E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 54N 163E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 65N 147E TO 63N 153E 59N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 65N 147E TO 60N 141E 56N 123E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 32N 123E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 55N 147E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 60N 177W EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 985 HPA AT 19.6N 118.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 04:48:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00M34LQJQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:47:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51Kl046064609 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:47:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26QK041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:41:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 25857 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:41:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51KfZG2042620 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:41:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h51KfZMl018963 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:41:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h51KfYJm018962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:41:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 15:41:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306012041.h51KfYJm018962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 012100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 19.2N2 118.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 118.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 20.4N6 120.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 21.8N1 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 23.4N9 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 25.6N3 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 29.6N7 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 33.7N3 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 38.8N9 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.5N5 118.9E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5, 020900Z1, 021500Z8 AND 022100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 08:58:31 2003 X-UIDL: 26678-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFT00DYDXBWYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 08:57:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h520vO46011416 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 08:57:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26Z4041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 19:49:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 27682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 19:49:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h520nFG2037104 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 19:49:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h520nFMl021655 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 19:49:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h520nF8Z021654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 19:49:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 19:49:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020049.h520nF8Z021654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 020000 WARNING 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 985 HPA AT 20.5N 119.2E SOUTHSOUTHWEST OF TAIWAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 23.2N 123.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 28.5N 134.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 35.0N 142.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 11:00:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DXU17TYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:21:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h522LM46036543 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:21:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26eO041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:16:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 28849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:16:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h522GWG2017426 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:16:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h522GWMl022554 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:16:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h522GVjx022553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:16:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:16:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020216.h522GVjx022553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- NEAR 19.9N9 119.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 119.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 21.1N4 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 22.7N1 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 24.8N4 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 27.3N2 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 32.1N6 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 35.3N1 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 40.4N8 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.2N4 119.6E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1, 021500Z8, 022100Z5 AND 030300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 11:00:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DYA17XYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:21:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h522LR46036569 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:21:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26eM041828; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:15:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 28840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:15:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h522FrG2024304 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:15:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h522FrMl022544 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:15:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h522Fqir022543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:15:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:15:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 06w (nangka) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020215.h522Fqir022543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 020300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 020000Z2 TO 070000Z7 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. TS 06W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TRACK SPEED IS FORECAST TO INCREASE FURTHER AS THE SYSTEM FALLS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES, BEGINNING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON MODELS (JTYM), COAMPS, AFWA MM5 AND NCEP GFS FALL ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST, WITH MOST MODELS MERGING THE SYSTEM INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES BY 96 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 06W REMAINS IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND WILL DEVELOP AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTER THE MID-PERIOD EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL HALT TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. D. CURRENT FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. E. LONG RANGE FORECAST TRACK BASED ON AN EXTRAPOLATION OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS AND MODEL FIELD EXAMINATION AFTER 72 HOURS. TS 06W (NANGKA) IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AFTER 72 HOURS AND WILL BE EXTRATROPICAL NEAR THE 96 HOUR POINT. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/DENSON/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 11:00:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DEO1S7YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:33:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h522Xb46039788 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:33:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51KGdoe052160; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:29:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 29000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:26:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h522QiG2040386 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h522QiMl022660 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h522QiGv022659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 01 Jun 2003 21:26:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020226.h522QiGv022659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 45N 148E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 148E TO 43N 152E 41N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 148E TO 37N 148E 33N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 121E 25N 124E 24N 128E 22N 125E 21N 122E 23N 121E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 44N 180E 34N 160E 37N 148E 40N 145E 44N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 56N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 174E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 985 HPA AT 20.5N 119.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 64N 147E TO 60N 144E 56N 134E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:37 2003 X-UIDL: 26707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DNACVPYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:33:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h526XH46008612 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:33:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26qe041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h526QUG2015492 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h526QTMl024707 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h526QTiQ024705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:26:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020626.h526QTiQ024705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/020151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 020300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:40 2003 X-UIDL: 26712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DP0DSWYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:53:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h526rD46015080 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 14:53:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26sU041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:49:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:49:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h526n9G2038004 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:49:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h526n8Ml024971 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:49:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h526n8lk024970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:49:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 01:49:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020649.h526n8lk024970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 020600 WARNING 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 985 HPA AT 20.7N 119.8E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 22.0N 122.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 24.2N 126.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 30.0N 136.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 35.0N 143.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:42 2003 X-UIDL: 26722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DD2IJ8YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:35:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h528ZK46047323 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 16:35:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26tu041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 03:31:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 32371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 03:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h528VZG2052666 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 03:31:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h528VZMl025829 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 03:31:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h528VZiP025828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 03:31:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 03:31:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020831.h528VZiP025828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 48N 150E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 150E TO 46N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 153E TO 42N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 153E TO 37N 152E 32N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 123E 23N 123E 24N 128E 24N 132E 21N 132E 20N 128E 21N 123E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 160E 32N 152E 36N 149E 41N 144E 44N 147E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 42N 180E 35N 171E 30N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 52N 138E ESE SLOWLY. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 141E SE SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 42N 121E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 173E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 985 HPA AT 20.7N 119.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 122E TO 24N 128E 22N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DYSK50YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:10:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h529A346056309 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:10:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26v0041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 32645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5296DG2015434 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5296DMl026080 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5296Cvh026078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020906.h5296Cvh026078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- NEAR 20.6N8 120.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 120.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 21.9N2 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 23.3N8 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 25.3N0 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 28.0N0 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 32.7N2 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 35.7N5 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 38.6N7 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.9N1 120.5E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8, 022100Z5, 030300Z6 AND 030900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 19:21:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DYTK50YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:10:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h529A246056297 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 17:10:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5267PR6052160; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 32648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5296DG2030924 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5296CMl026079 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5296CuS026076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 04:06:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306020906.h5296CuS026076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- NEAR 20.6N8 120.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 120.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 21.9N2 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 23.3N8 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 25.3N0 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 28.0N0 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 32.7N2 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.9N1 120.5E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED FAIRLY STEADY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8, 022100Z5, 030300Z6 AND 030900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 22:06:37 2003 X-UIDL: 26747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00DW9V5CYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:08:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52D7r46016184 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:07:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H2622041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 07:50:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 34132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 07:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52CosG2004874 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 07:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52CorMl028206 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 07:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52CorCt028205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 07:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 07:50:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021250.h52CorCt028205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 021200 WARNING 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 990 HPA AT 21.3N 121.6E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 23.5N 126.2E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 25.5N 130.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 32.5N 140.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 36.5N 146.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 22:35:59 2003 X-UIDL: 26754-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFU00D98Z3DYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:33:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52EX546039290 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 22:33:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26Bk041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 09:27:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 09:27:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52ERJG2058714 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 09:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52ERJMl001184 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 09:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52ERJuY001183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 09:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 09:27:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021427.h52ERJuY001183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 50N 151E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 151E TO 50N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 154E TO 46N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 154E TO 40N 155E 33N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 125E 24N 124E 25N 129E 25N 133E 21N 134E 21N 129E 21N 125E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 162E 40N 154E 45N 149E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 39N 180E 32N 169E 29N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 137E SSE 15 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 41N 120E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 34N 174E ENE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 990 HPA AT 21.3N 121.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 124E TO 25N 130E 24N 137E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 23:10:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26756-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DHF0MUYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 23:06:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52F6P46049078 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 23:06:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52DfoTc042526; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 36161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52F1MG2041702 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52F1MMl002358 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52F1Lr7002357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 06w (nangka) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021501.h52F1Lr7002357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 021500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 09// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 021200Z5 TO 071200Z0 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 64 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. A 021144Z2 SSM/I PASS REVEALS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXPOSED TO THE SOUTH OF THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. B. TS 06W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TRACK SPEED IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH 72 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM FALLS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES, BEGINNING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON MODELS (JTYM), COAMPS, AFWA MM5 AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST, WITH MOST MODELS MERGING THE SYSTEM INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 06W IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AS IT CLEARS THE AXIS OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST AND COMES UNDER A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. D. CURRENT FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. E. LONG RANGE FORECAST TRACK BASED ON A COMBINATION OF UKMET (EGRR) AND NOGAPS GLOBEL MODELS. TS 06W (NANGKA) IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL AFTER 72 HOURS. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 02 23:10:44 2003 X-UIDL: 26757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DHV0N9YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 02 Jun 2003 23:06:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52F6c46049128 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 23:06:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h51H26ES041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 36158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52F1LG2058830 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52F1LMl002353 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52F1Li4002352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 10:01:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021501.h52F1Li4002352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 22.0N4 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 23.9N4 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 25.9N6 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 27.9N8 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 30.4N7 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 34.6N3 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 37.3N3 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 39.8N0 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 22.5N9 122.9E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 64 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. A 021144Z2 SSM/I PASS REVEALS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXPOSED TO THE SOUTH OF THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5, 030300Z6, 030900Z2 AND 031500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:42 2003 X-UIDL: 26773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DVDBAQYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 02:56:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52Iuh46013080 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 02:56:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeRXA041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 13:50:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 40039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 13:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52Io7G2040552 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 13:50:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52Io6Ml012845 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 13:50:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52Io6hW012843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 13:50:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 13:50:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) Downgraded From Severe Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306021850.h52Io6hW012843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 021800 WARNING 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 992 HPA AT 22.3N 123.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHEAST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 24.8N 128.1E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 28.2N 133.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 33.5N 140.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DC0FGIYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:26:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52KQZ46042978 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:26:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeRfU041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:15:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 41505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:15:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52KF4G2015482 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:15:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52KF4Ml019334 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:15:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52KF4g2019333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:15:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:15:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306022015.h52KF4g2019333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIII, Probability=18%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 009A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 22.0N4 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 23.9N4 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 25.9N6 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 27.9N8 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 30.4N7 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 34.6N3 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 22.5N9 122.9E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 64 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. A 021144Z2 SSM/I PASS REVEALS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EXPOSED TO THE SOUTH OF THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5, 030300Z6, 030900Z2 AND 031500Z9. THIS CORRECTED WARNING ISSUED TO REMOVE PREVIOUS 96 AND 120 HOUR EXTRATROPICAL FORECASTS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00DOIFRUYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:33:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52KXN46044539 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:33:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeRfg041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:26:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 41721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:26:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52KQMG2015922 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:26:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52KQLMl019744 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:26:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52KQLTa019743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:26:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:26:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306022026.h52KQLTa019743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 51N 151E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 151E TO 51N 156E 50N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 159E TO 48N 164E 46N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 159E TO 44N 160E 38N 156E 32N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 127E 26N 130E 26N 133E 23N 132E 22N 128E 25N 127E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 148E 50N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 29N 162E 34N 152E 45N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 49N 140E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 38N 117E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 37N 131E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 176E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 992 HPA AT 22.3N 123.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 125E TO 26N 128E 25N 132E 24N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 08:18:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV00D92GB0YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:45:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52Kis46047393 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 04:44:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeRii041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:40:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 42257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:40:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52KegG2024804 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:40:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h52KebMl020252 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:40:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h52Kebbi020251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:40:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 15:40:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306022040.h52Kebbi020251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 010 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 06W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 22.4N8 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 123.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 24.3N9 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 26.5N3 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 28.7N7 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.9N3 124.0E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND A 020935Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS. THE SYSTEM IS RAPIDLY TRANSITIONING TO EXTRATROPICAL, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF NEAREST CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6, 030900Z2, 031500Z9 AND 032100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 09:07:57 2003 X-UIDL: 26791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV008YPS1E32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 08:58:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h530wI46004612 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 08:58:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h52FeR1W041828; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 19:51:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 45836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 19:51:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h530pZG2044146 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 19:51:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h530pYMl025029 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 19:51:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h530pYxY025028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 19:51:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 19:51:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030051.h530pYxY025028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 030000 WARNING 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 994 HPA AT 22.7N 124.9E SOUTH OF MIYAKOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 25.1N 129.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 28.6N 134.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 34.0N 141.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 10:50:34 2003 X-UIDL: 26803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV0082VVID32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:13:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h532DJ46028020 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:13:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h531xtHQ042526; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:07:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 46769 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:07:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5327cG2035618 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:07:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5327bMl025978 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:07:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5327boZ025977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:07:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:07:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030207.h5327boZ025977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (NANGKA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 23.0N5 125.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 125.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 25.4N1 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 28.4N4 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 31.3N7 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 23.6N1 126.3E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W (NANGKA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE COMPLETED THE TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED. THE LLCC IS POORLY DEFINED, AND THE SYSTEM HAS NOW TAKEN ON FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 10:50:34 2003 X-UIDL: 26805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFV008FQWLM32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:36:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h532aj46035171 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 10:36:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h531xtL6042526; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:28:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 47079 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h532SnG2030776 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h532SnMl026240 for ; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h532SmZB026239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 02 Jun 2003 21:28:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030228.h532SmZB026239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 51N 151E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 151E TO 53N 154E 52N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 158E TO 51N 163E 47N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 158E TO 42N 160E 33N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 47N 141E MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 126E 27N 131E 25N 135E 22N 127E 25N 126E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 145E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 157E 40N 150E 43N 145E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 37N 135E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 176E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 994 HPA AT 22.7N 124.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 125E TO 27N 130E 24N 138E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 15:12:17 2003 X-UIDL: 26835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW008WT8NY32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 14:57:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h536vR46015213 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 14:57:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h535CNJG041828; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 01:50:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 49322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 01:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h536osG2020752 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 01:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h536osMl029000 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 01:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h536osQd028999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 01:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 01:50:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030650.h536osQd028999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 030600 WARNING 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 992 HPA AT 23.7N 127.5E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 23 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 27.3N 132.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 31.0N 137.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 17:25:11 2003 X-UIDL: 26843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW0081KD4432@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 16:33:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h538XX46044982 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 16:33:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h535CNLA041828; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 03:27:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 49964 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 03:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h538RUG2040506 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 03:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h538RUMl029969 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 03:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h538RUah029968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 03:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 03:27:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306030827.h538RUah029968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 53N 153E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 153E TO 53N 157E 53N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 161E TO 52N 166E 50N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 161E TO 45N 165E 34N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 994 HPA AT 47N 144E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 128E 28N 130E 28N 135E 25N 135E 24N 129E 26N 128E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 145E 48N 154E 60N 163E 60N 180E 39N 180E 30N 158E 35N 150E 42N 155E 43N 145E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 37N 115E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 57N 135E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 38N 135E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 174E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 992 HPA AT 23.7N 127.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 126E TO 27N 130E 27N 135E 24N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 21:43:38 2003 X-UIDL: 26863-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW0089KPDA32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 20:58:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53CwC46018881 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 20:58:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h535CNRU041828; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 07:50:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 51784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 07:50:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53CocG2045440 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 07:50:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53CobMl002710 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 07:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53CobOM002709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 07:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 07:50:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306031250.h53CobOM002709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 031200 WARNING 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 994 HPA AT 25.7N 130.4E WEST OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 29.6N 135.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 32.5N 139.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 03 22:45:34 2003 X-UIDL: 26872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFW008WLTWH32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:36:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53Ea946045836 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 22:36:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h535CNYa041828; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 09:27:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 53206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 09:27:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53ERNG2027306 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 09:27:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53ERNMl005276 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 09:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53ERNk4005275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 09:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 09:27:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306031427.h53ERNk4005275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 54N 154E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 154E TO 56N 160E 55N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 167E TO 54N 173E 53N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 167E TO 46N 170E 35N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 998 HPA AT 47N 148E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 130E 30N 132E 29N 135E 25N 135E 28N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 145E 48N 153E 60N 163E 60N 180E 41N 180E 35N 160E 42N 155E 44N 145E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 53N 134E SSE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 170E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 994 HPA AT 25.7N 130.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 129E TO 28N 133E 27N 138E 25N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 09:13:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX008QE5W032@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:55:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53It546017268 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:55:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53IbRGs036898; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 13:48:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 57347 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 13:48:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53Im5G2030292 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 13:48:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53Im4Ml014434 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 13:48:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53Im3F4014433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 13:48:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 13:48:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306031848.h53Im3F4014433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 031800 WARNING 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 994 HPA AT 27.4N 134.6E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 30.8N 138.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 34.0N 142.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 09:13:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX00869AGN32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:33:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53KXq46045645 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 04:33:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53KELGi040000; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:28:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 59190 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:28:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53KSRG2017610 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:28:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53KSQ9d024134 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53KSQZu024133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:28:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 15:28:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306032028.h53KSQZu024133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 144E 50N 160E 43N 163E 36N 147E 41N 144E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 155E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 39N 160E 49N 155E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 142E EAST 15 KT. LOW 986 HPA AT 55N 153E NNW 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 35N 124E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 172E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 994 HPA AT 27.4N 134.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 134E TO 30N 137E 28N 140E 26N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 09:13:37 2003 X-UIDL: 26907-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006PGHA9Z2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 07:01:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53N1C46081729 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 07:01:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53MjQGc040006; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53MstG2026114 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h53Mss9d028678 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h53MsrCS028676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 17:54:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306032254.h53MsrCS028676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 032300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/032300Z/040600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS NEAR 10.0S1 171.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 525 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF FIJI. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS ORGANIZED RAPIDLY OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA, PARA 2.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 09:13:38 2003 X-UIDL: 26912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006B8MGRZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 08:53:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h540r846006522 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 08:53:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDQC020940; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 19:47:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 63590 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 19:47:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h540lYG2034648 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 19:47:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h540lY9d000533 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 19:47:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h540lY5R000532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 19:47:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 19:47:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0305 Nangka (0305) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040047.h540lY5R000532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 040000 WARNING 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 994 HPA AT 29.1N 135.5E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 32.1N 138.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 35.0N 143.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 10:48:40 2003 X-UIDL: 26918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006RZR65Z2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:34:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542Yl46029868 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:34:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDYG020940; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:29:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:29:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542TKG2028978 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:29:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h542TK9d001962 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h542TKxh001961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:29:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040229.h542TKxh001961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 31N 180E 26N 157E 41N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 55N 153E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 33N 121E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 994 HPA AT 29.1N 135.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 135E TO 30N 140E 26N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 133E TO 23N 128E 22N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 10:54:06 2003 X-UIDL: 26920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFX006T4RWGZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:50:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542oX46033678 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 10:50:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDZM020940; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h542hUG2033142 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h542hT9d002131 for ; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h542hTao002129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 03 Jun 2003 21:43:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040243.h542hTao002129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/040300Z/040600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZJUN03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 TO 12 HOURS NEAR 6.0N6 169.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR AN EXPOSED, VERY SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 171.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 172.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF FIJI. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 040200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA, PARA 1.B.(1), UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 15:21:10 2003 X-UIDL: 26939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006ZI4CJZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:19:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h547JN46097142 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:19:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDm0020940; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 68144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h547ENG2058740 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h547EN9d005143 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h547EM7k005141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 02:14:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040714.h547EM7k005141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZJUN03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 TO 12 HOURS NEAR 5.8N3 169.6E2, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR AN EXPOSED, VERY SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 171.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 172.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF FIJI. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 040200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/SWOPE/CATES/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 16:41:10 2003 X-UIDL: 26942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006IW7S9Z2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 16:33:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h548Xd46014213 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 16:33:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h53NgDnQ020940; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 03:27:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 68571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 03:27:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h548RWG2041618 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 03:27:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h548RW9d005750 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 03:27:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h548RWhc005749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 03:27:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 03:27:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306040827.h548RWhc005749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW FORMER TROPICAL STORM 0305 NANGKA (0305) 996 HPA AT 30N 136E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 136E TO 30N 140E 27N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 136E TO 25N 133E 22N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 31N 180E 27N 152E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 986 HPA AT 56N 157E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 30N 123E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 44N 137E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 165E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 04 22:56:41 2003 X-UIDL: 26955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFY006N5OK4Z2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:36:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54EZv46004379 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 22:35:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54CubWc018974; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 09:27:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 72142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 09:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54ERkG2032658 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 09:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54ERk9d011269 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 09:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54ERknO011268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 09:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 09:27:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306041427.h54ERknO011268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 32N 140E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 140E TO 32N 143E 31N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 140E TO 25N 135E 22N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 162E 57N 175E 50N 177E 50N 164E 55N 162E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 30N 156E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 55N 161E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 29N 124E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 44N 138E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 170E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 04:36:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ0063853LZ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:33:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54KXF46009129 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:33:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I0jR6015466; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:28:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 77327 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:28:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54KSKG2023926 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:28:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h54KSJ9d025178 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h54KSJC2025177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 15:28:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306042028.h54KSJC2025177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 34N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 142E TO 34N 145E 33N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 142E TO 27N 138E 22N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 160E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 986 HPA AT 57N 162E NNE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 30N 124E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 45N 138E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 170E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 10:36:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26992-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ006E6LUHE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 10:35:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h552Yt46099906 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 10:34:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h54I0jqO015466; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:28:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 81840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h552S2G2019220 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h552S19d001567 for ; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h552S12C001566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 04 Jun 2003 21:28:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050228.h552S12C001566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 50N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 31N 157E 30N 143E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 145E NE 25 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 126E NNE 10 KT. LOW 988 HPA AT 57N 162E NORTH 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 145E TO 36N 148E 35N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 145E TO 28N 141E 22N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 126E TO 48N 129E 47N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 126E TO 43N 123E 39N 117E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 27N 123E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 41N 133E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 44N 145E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 13:56:09 2003 X-UIDL: 27008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFZ006HUUUKE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 13:49:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h555nQ46062769 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 13:49:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h554Y0Ou035502; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:45:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 84054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h555iRG2021300 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h555iR9d003560 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h555iRO1003558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 00:44:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050544.h555iRO1003558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041951ZJUN03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041800Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 170.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 610 NM EAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 042100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 155.0E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 154.4E4, IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). EARLIER MICROWAVE AND QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE THE LLCC IS ORGANIZING RAPIDLY BENEATH THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE MODERATELY FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 19:41:32 2003 X-UIDL: 27022-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG0006EX2JPE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 16:35:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h558ZgM1011502 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 16:35:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jqII025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:27:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h558RpG2048482 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h558Rp9d004907 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h558RpHj004906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 03:27:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050827.h558RpHj004906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 050600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 143E 40N 142E 45N 160E 48N 153E 60N 165E 60N 180E 35N 180E 29N 158E 36N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 148E ENE 15 KT. LOW 990 HPA AT 57N 162E NE 20 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 34N 124E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 28N 125E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 46N 146E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 32N 172E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 148E TO 37N 152E 35N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 148E TO 28N 143E 22N 133E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 19:41:37 2003 X-UIDL: 27038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG00066D5UBE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:46:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h559kqM1035841 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 17:46:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h556jqJI025028; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h559dBG2040496 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h559dA9d005556 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h559dA1j005554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 04:39:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306050939.h559dA1j005554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 050930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/050930Z/060600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/050751ZJUN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/050851ZJUN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 169.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ESPIRITU SANTO, VANUATU ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 050900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5S2 155.0E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 154.1E1, IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND INCREASED CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS REMAIN MODERATELY FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 05 22:53:42 2003 X-UIDL: 27062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG0006N1J7DE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 05 Jun 2003 22:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55EZPTw017547 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 22:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55A7Fmi037870; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 09:27:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 89429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 09:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55ERXG2045966 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 09:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55ERX9d010757 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 09:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55ERXJk010756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 09:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 09:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306051427.h55ERXJk010756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 141E 43N 152E 46N 150E 51N 156E 60N 163E 60N 180E 33N 180E 29N 157E 37N 144E 42N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 148E ENE 10 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 57N 167E ENE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 148E TO 39N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 40N 154E 40N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 36N 150E 34N 147E 31N 145E 28N 141E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 28N 127E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 44N 147E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 171E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 04:54:38 2003 X-UIDL: 27092-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1006RV0LUE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:51:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55KpOCP024088 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 04:51:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55HT5k6037870; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:28:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 95121 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:27:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55KR9G2040962 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h55KR79d024458 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h55KR7j3024449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 15:27:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306052027.h55KR7j3024449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 44N 147E 47N 153E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 32N 160E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 143E NORTH 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 150E ENE 15 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 57N 170E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 29N 128E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 44N 147E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 152E TO 41N 156E 41N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 152E TO 32N 148E 27N 141E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 106E TO 30N 114E 29N 120E 26N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 10:36:17 2003 X-UIDL: 27116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001AJGECBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 10:32:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h562WSCP004853 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 10:32:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55MceSY027280; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 21:29:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 101152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 21:26:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h562QGG2016626 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 21:26:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h562QG9d000631 for ; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 21:26:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h562QGxm000630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 05 Jun 2003 21:26:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 05 Jun 2003 21:26:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060226.h562QGxm000630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 157E 32N 147E 35N 140E 40N 142E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 35N 167E 31N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 153E ENE 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 172E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 46N 156E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 172E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 153E TO 40N 159E 40N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 153E TO 34N 151E 29N 143E 24N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 110E TO 25N 116E 25N 124E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 14:31:22 2003 X-UIDL: 27137-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001N4R0EBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 14:21:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h566LgCP082540 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 14:21:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5601Xu8037870; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103350 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h566F3G2041668 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h566F39d003042 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h566F3cT003040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 01:15:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060615.h566F3cT003040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/060151ZJUN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/060521ZJUN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P (GINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 167.7E1, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ESPIRITU SANTO, VANUATU ISLANDS, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.2S9 154.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3S1 153.7E6, IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND THE CONVECTION REMAINS SCATTERED AND DISORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS IN MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR WITH WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB. SEE REF B (WTPS22 PGTW 060530) FOR THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION MESSAGE. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 16:42:44 2003 X-UIDL: 27158-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG1001P9X70BL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 16:35:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h568ZH0i027779 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 16:35:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55Mcedc027280; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:28:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:28:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h568SoG2041588 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h568So9d004113 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:28:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h568SoA6004112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:28:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 03:28:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306060828.h568SoA6004112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 142E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 158E 30N 149E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 117E ESE 15 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 53N 128E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 154E ENE 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 175E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 46N 152E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 171E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 128E TO 54N 134E 53N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 128E TO 48N 121E 43N 112E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 154E TO 40N 156E 40N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 41N 162E 40N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 36N 155E 32N 149E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 149E TO 32N 148E 28N 143E 24N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 111E TO 25N 114E 25N 117E 25N 121E 25N 124E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 06 22:46:56 2003 X-UIDL: 27179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG20014UDU3BL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:34:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56EYi0i032753 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 22:34:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h55MceqE027280; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 09:28:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 107314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 09:28:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56ESPG2030808 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 09:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56ESP9d010234 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 09:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56ESOLZ010233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 09:28:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 09:28:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306061428.h56ESOLZ010233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 52N 159E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 33N 163E 30N 152E 30N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 117E ESE 10 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 47N 123E EAST 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 130E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 156E NE 20 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 178E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 08N 119E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 37N 149E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 45N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 123E TO 48N 125E 49N 127E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 123E TO 44N 120E 41N 115E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 130E TO 54N 135E 54N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 130E TO 51N 129E 49N 127E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 156E TO 41N 158E 41N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 40N 166E 39N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 36N 157E 34N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 153E TO 33N 149E 29N 145E 26N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 109E TO 24N 113E 24N 118E 25N 123E 25N 126E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 04:42:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG2001IBUJPBL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:35:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56KZd0i039430 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 04:35:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56FP5l2052194; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:29:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 3178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56KThG2024120 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h56KTh9d022399 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h56KThgU022398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 15:29:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306062029.h56KThgU022398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 128E 23N 129E 21N 125E 24N 124E 26N 128E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 123E 19N 123E 18N 113E 22N 114E 22N 123E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 33N 155E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 157E ENE 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 52N 180E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 44N 150E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 167E EAST 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 157E TO 41N 159E 41N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 41N 165E 40N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 38N 159E 34N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 154E TO 34N 152E 33N 150E 31N 147E 30N 143E 28N 142E 26N 139E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 111E TO 24N 114E 24N 119E 24N 123E 23N 126E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 10:34:26 2003 X-UIDL: 27219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300IDLAZYNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 10:31:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h572V30i018722 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 10:31:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h56MVIRO024212; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:27:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h572RSG2039442 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h572RS9d027813 for ; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:27:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h572RS9M027812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:27:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 06 Jun 2003 21:27:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306070227.h572RS9M027812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 125E 27N 128E 25N 130E 22N 127E 24N 125E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 111E 22N 113E 23N 122E 18N 121E 17N 111E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 46N 150E 49N 165E 54N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 31N 160E 30N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 160E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 51N 179E SSE SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 44N 151E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 167E EAST 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 160E TO 41N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 162E TO 40N 167E 39N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 162E TO 36N 160E 33N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 153E TO 32N 149E 32N 146E 29N 143E 27N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 107E TO 23N 113E 24N 120E 23N 127E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 17:48:28 2003 X-UIDL: 27232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG300IKCRR4NH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:33:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h578Wv0i007616 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 16:32:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575HlKm017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11222 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h578T3G2020186 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h578T39d000473 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h578T3S9000472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 03:29:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306070829.h578T3S9000472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 24N 122E EAST OF TAIWAN MOVING EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 107E TO 23N 114E 24N 122E 22N 130E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 110E 21N 111E 22N 114E 22N 119E 17N 121E 16N 115E 17N 110E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 147E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 46N 151E 48N 162E 60N 165E 60N 180E 32N 180E 31N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 41N 162E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 45N 153E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 60N 163E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 169E EAST 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 162E TO 41N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 166E TO 37N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 166E TO 37N 163E 34N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 155E TO 33N 145E 27N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 07 22:53:55 2003 X-UIDL: 27243-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400I9I8KWNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:36:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57EaP0i088399 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 22:36:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575HlWe017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:31:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 13758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57EUxG2025640 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57EUx9d003204 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:30:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57EUwwF003203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 09:30:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306071430.h57EUwwF003203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 24N 123E NEAR ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 106E TO 23N 113E 24N 123E 24N 134E 31N 145E 34N 156E 40N 167E 37N 179E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 167E 30N 151E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 47N 151E 52N 157E 60N 164E 60N 179E 36N 180E 34N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 145E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 40N 168E EAST 30 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 153E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 49N 155E NE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 59N 161E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 170E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 03:43:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400I1EMPMNH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:41:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57Jfc0i060782 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:41:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57H4DR2025900; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:37:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:36:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57JamG2016600 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:36:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57Jam9d006002 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:36:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57JalMw006000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:36:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 14:36:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306071936.h57JalMw006000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 071930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/071930Z/080600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/071351ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS NEAR 8.0N8 153.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND TWO FAIRLY RECENT QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE CONVECTION ORGANIZING NEAR A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P (GINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8S5 162.1E0, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1), FAIR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 04:33:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27262-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG400IEVP36NH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:33:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57KWx0i072689 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 04:33:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h575Hliq017526; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 15:28:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 15:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h57KR1G2032998 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 15:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h57KR09d006497 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 15:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h57KR0eZ006496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 15:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 15:27:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306072027.h57KR0eZ006496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 24N 125E NEAR MIYAKOJIMA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 106E TO 22N 117E 24N 125E 24N 134E 27N 141E 31N 146E 34N 156E 37N 163E 40N 171E 37N 179E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 56N 173E 57N 180E 49N 180E 49N 171E 56N 173E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 151E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 146E NE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 40N 171E EAST 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 149E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 51N 157E NE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 171E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 10:43:09 2003 X-UIDL: 27274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG5005C05SZC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 10:34:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h582Y3Pg049558 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 10:34:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h581jeIG021932; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:28:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h582SOG2038808 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h582SO9d009689 for ; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:28:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h582SOiV009688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:28:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 07 Jun 2003 21:28:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306080228.h582SOiV009688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 25N 126E NEAR OKINAWA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 148E TO 34N 154E 34N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 148E TO 27N 144E 25N 136E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 136E TO 25N 126E 23N 122E 22N 108E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 31N 160E 30N 146E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 175E EAST 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 48N 155E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 168E ENE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 157E TO 39N 175E 38N 179W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 16:33:09 2003 X-UIDL: 27285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG5005M6ME9C0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:32:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h588WNPg017986 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 16:32:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoL0025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:26:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 21626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h588QuG2054224 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h588Qt9d012146 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h588QtCp012145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 03:26:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306080826.h588QtCp012145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 26N 127E NEAR OKINAWA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 26N 127E TO 26N 132E 25N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 26N 127E TO 23N 125E 22N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 123E TO 21N 117E 22N 111E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 152E TO 35N 157E 35N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 152E TO 28N 148E 25N 137E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 142E 48N 153E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 32N 160E 30N 148E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 180E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 180E TO 36N 170E 35N 160E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 48N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 11:50:08 2003 X-UIDL: 13465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H800047F3TJ26@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id gBVKYOPa092103 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 04:34:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFQA021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 14:30:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 317404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 14:30:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVKUNCw014344 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 14:30:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id gBVKUNid019794 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 14:30:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id gBVKUNtG019793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 14:30:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 14:30:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200212312030.gBVKUNtG019793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 311800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 964 HPA AT 49N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 46N 174W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 964 HPA AT 52N 178E MOVING WEST 20 KNOTS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 28N 143E NEAR CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 28N 143E TO 26N 146E 23N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 143E TO 24N 140E 22N 135E 16N 129E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 650 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 31N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 35N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 135E 36N 144E 32N 144E 28N 135E 32N 135E FOR NEXT 6HOURS . GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 19N 131E 09N 110E 21N 111E 26N 120E 29N 130E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 163E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 11:50:24 2003 X-UIDL: 13484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8000JT4KNEXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 10:38:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h012btPa038935 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 10:37:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFaw021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 20:27:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 320269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 20:27:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h012RYCw017524 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 20:27:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h012RXid022261 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 20:27:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h012RX5X022260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 20:27:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 20:27:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301010227.h012RX5X022260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 46N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 46N 168W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 972 HPA AT 51N 174E MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 25 KNOTS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 29N 147E NORTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 147E TO 28N 151E 24N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 147E TO 26N 143E 23N 139E 19N 135E 16N 129E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 650 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 33N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 36N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 133E 18N 132E 18N 121E 13N 119E 11N 110E 22N 112E 26N 119E 25N 122E 25N 125E 26N 128E 25N 133E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1048 HPA AT 55N 116E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 170E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 01 13:50:27 2003 X-UIDL: 13490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8000JKHTCOXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 13:46:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h015jsPa065360 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 13:45:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFd8021682; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 321030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h015cFCw035444 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h015cFid023279 for ; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h015cFKN023277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 23:38:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ref/a/rmg/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/010151zdec2002// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301010538.h015cFKN023277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010151ZDEC2002// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (ZOE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2S4 174.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF FIJI, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 010300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/CUTMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:20 2003 X-UIDL: 13498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100J4X145XO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 16:33:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h018XYPa089756 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 16:33:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFfs021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:28:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 322124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:28:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h018SJCw038788 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h018SJid024183 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:28:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h018SIbo024182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:28:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 02:28:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301010828.h018SIbo024182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 47N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 31N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 150E TO 33N 158E 32N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 150E TO 23N 143E 16N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 32N 141E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 135E 16N 131E 12N 112E 22N 113E 25N 135E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 151E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 25N 177E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:41 2003 X-UIDL: 13511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100J82G53XO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 21:58:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01Dw8Pa043900 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 21:58:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h012Rxfm005288; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 323434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01DoSCw026202 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01DoRid025897 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01DoRYd025895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 07:50:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301011350.h01DoRYd025895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 010600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (ZOE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2S4 174.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF FIJI, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 010300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED DATE-TIME GROUP IN REF A. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/CUTMAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 03:28:45 2003 X-UIDL: 13514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100JJZHPWXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Jan 2003 22:32:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01EWDPa049578 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 22:32:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFkY021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 08:27:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 323722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 08:27:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01ER9Cw023470 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 08:27:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01ER9id026060 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 08:27:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01ER9cJ026059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 08:27:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 08:27:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301011427.h01ER9cJ026059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 33N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 154E TO 32N 160E 28N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 154E TO 29N 153E 27N 149E 21N 144E 17N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 144E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 47N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 120E 13N 120E 12N 112E 22N 112E 25N 119E 23N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 48N 150E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 177E EAST 35 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 04:43:49 2003 X-UIDL: 13527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8100JAGYJAXO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 04:35:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h01KZSPa004910 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 04:35:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFra021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 14:26:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 325823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 14:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h01KQpCw015298 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 14:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h01KQoid028685 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 14:26:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h01KQoAE028684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 14:26:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 14:26:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301012026.h01KQoAE028684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 35N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 159E TO 35N 161E 35N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 162E TO 34N 166E 33N 168E 32N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 162E TO 32N 161E 31N 158E 25N 153E 21N 148E 19N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 31N 145E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 122E 30N 135E 19N 139E 14N 127E 10N 110E 21N 110E 25N 119E 29N 122E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 161E 57N 180E 36N 180E 40N 171E 49N 161E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 47N 149E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 24N 180E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 44N 127E SE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 10:45:51 2003 X-UIDL: 13542-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8200DZJF80LD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 10:36:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h022ZrPa059176 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 10:35:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmF36021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 20:27:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 328424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 20:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h022RRCw006208 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 20:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h022RQid001035 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 20:27:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h022RQqV001034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 20:27:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 20:27:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301020227.h022RQqV001034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 35N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 164E TO 37N 167E 36N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 169E TO 34N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 169E TO 31N 166E 19N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 37N 175W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 144E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 120E 20N 142E 14N 130E 15N 119E 10N 112E 15N 109E 26N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1030 HPA AT 45N 118E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 152E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 150E EAST 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1012 HPA NEAR 05N 108E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 46N 128E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 41N 154E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 23N 177E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 21:30:30 2003 X-UIDL: 13548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8200DPCO9RLD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 13:51:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h025pKPa098949 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 13:51:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmF68021682; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 329337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h025hYCw024484 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h025hYid002068 for ; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h025hYSE002066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 01 Jan 2003 23:43:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean/020600z/030600zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301020543.h025hYSE002066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 020600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/INGRAM/HEATH/VAN LOAN/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 02 21:30:45 2003 X-UIDL: 13554-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8200D3XVV5LD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 16:35:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h028ZMPa038974 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 16:35:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id gBVFmFBk021682; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 02:27:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 330480 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 02:27:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h028RZCw010508 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 02:27:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h028RYid002972 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 02:27:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h028RYfJ002971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 02:27:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 02:27:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301020827.h028RYfJ002971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 36N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 170E TO 37N 172E 36N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 174E TO 35N 178E 35N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 174E TO 28N 166E 25N 158E 22N 154E 19N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 136E 14N 132E 15N 125E 19N 121E 13N 119E 10N 111E 12N 110E 23N 116E 23N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW 1030 HPA AT 39N 120E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1028 HPA AT 43N 121E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 147E ESE 30 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 45N 153E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 156E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 46N 130E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 01:38:20 2003 X-UIDL: 13564-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8300DR7CLMLD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Jan 2003 22:36:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h02EapPa009856 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 22:36:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIPIO021682; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 08:27:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 332238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 08:27:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02ERmCw014396 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 08:27:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h02ERlid005871 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 08:27:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h02ERlfC005870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 08:27:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 08:27:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301021427.h02ERlfC005870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 36N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 177E TO 37N 179E 36N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 178W TO 36N 174W 36N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 178W TO 34N 179W 31N 173E 27N 166E 25N 160E 22N 158E 20N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 33N 160E MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING SOUTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1028 HPA AT 38N 123E YELLOW SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 123E TO 38N 126E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 123E TO 35N 121E 33N 117E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 136E 16N 133E 18N 122E 09N 117E 08N 108E 12N 109E 22N 113E 22N 121E 22N 136E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 136E 35N 140E 32N 140E 30N 136E 33N 136E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW 1028 HPA AT 42N 123E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 153E SSE 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 40N 135E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 10:23:27 2003 X-UIDL: 13584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8300DJGTCILD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 04:38:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h02KcYPa079294 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 04:38:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIPZQ021682; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 14:29:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 336284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 14:29:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02KT8Cw028794 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 14:29:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h02KT8id016485 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 14:29:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h02KT80f016484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 14:29:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 14:29:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301022029.h02KT80f016484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 48N 164E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1022 HPA AT 38N 130E NEAR ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 37N 132E 36N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 35N 127E 34N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 171E 38N 180E 30N 180E 27N 169E 38N 171E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 134E 13N 132E 15N 124E 18N 121E 10N 113E 10N 110E 21N 111E 22N 134E. SUMMARY. LOW 1024 HPA AT 38N 122E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 56N 147E SSW SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 155E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1052 HPA AT 43N 104E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 38N 140E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 21N 176W ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 116E TO 27N 122E 31N 127E 29N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 20N 154E TO 22N 158E 25N 161E 27N 170E 30N 180E 37N 168W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 12:20:53 2003 X-UIDL: 13595-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H84003ZP9Z73Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 10:37:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h032bmPa039773 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 10:37:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIPnK021682; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 20:27:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 339271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 20:27:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h032RdCw010592 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 20:27:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h032Rdid021801 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 20:27:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h032RcQ1021800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 20:27:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 20:27:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301030227.h032RcQ1021800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1020 HPA AT 31N 131E KYUSYU MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 30N 133E 29N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 27N 128E 24N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 33N 137E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 41N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 34N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 48N 166E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1018 HPA AT 39N 132E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 132E TO 39N 134E 38N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 132E TO 38N 131E 35N 129E 33N 126E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 121E 19N 121E 03N 108E 09N 105E 12N 109E 20N 111E 25N 119E 22N 121E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 37N 125E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 55N 147E SOUTH 10 KT. HIGH 1052 HPA AT 41N 105E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 38N 142E EAST 10 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 160W TO 29N 176W 28N 170E 23N 161E 18N 151E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 13:30:47 2003 X-UIDL: 13604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H84003T0HO13Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 13:24:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h035NsPa075527 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 13:23:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIPr4021682; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 340067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h035GoCw003776 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h035Goid023120 for ; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h035Go0M023118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 02 Jan 2003 23:16:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean/030600z/040600zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301030516.h035Go0M023118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 030600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 10.2S3 130.3E7, IN THE TIMOR SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL, INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 022054Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER- LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/INGRAM/HEATH/VAN LOAN/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 16:38:41 2003 X-UIDL: 13621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H84003DDQLF3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 16:36:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h038ahPa019575 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 16:36:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIP1C021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 02:26:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 341492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 02:26:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h038QQCw023484 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 02:26:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h038QPid024362 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 02:26:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h038QPAF024361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 02:26:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 02:26:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301030826.h038QPAF024361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 134E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 30N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 29N 131E 26N 128E 23N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 43N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 35N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 173E TO 32N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 178E TO 31N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 178E TO 28N 176E 27N 171E 21N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 134E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 134E TO 38N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 134E TO 34N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 154E 53N 172E 44N 167E 40N 156E 54N 154E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 111E 24N 118E 18N 119E 08N 109E 20N 111E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 55N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 147E ESE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 03 23:42:35 2003 X-UIDL: 13630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H85003WS7893Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Jan 2003 22:36:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h03Ea3Pa088257 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 22:36:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h02BIP6i021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 08:27:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 343032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 08:27:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03ER3Cw030712 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 08:27:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h03ER2id027404 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 08:27:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h03ER2hs027403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 08:27:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 08:27:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301031427.h03ER2hs027403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 138E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 138E TO 33N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 138E TO 32N 135E 25N 131E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 40N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 46N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 34N 179E NORTH OF MIDWAY MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 34N 179E TO 32N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 177W TO 30N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 177W TO 23N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 850 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 136E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 136E TO 41N 137E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 137E TO 39N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 137E TO 38N 137E 36N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 150 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 112E 25N 125E 21N 125E 16N 117E 08N 109E 19N 112E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 160E 56N 180E 51N 180E 49N 168E 41N 159E 48N 152E 53N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 55N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 176E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 152E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 05:17:57 2003 X-UIDL: 13651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H85003JINY33Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 04:37:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h03Kb8Pa060408 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 04:37:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqTC021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 14:28:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 347316 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 14:28:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03KSZCw007406 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 14:28:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h03KSYid007317 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 14:28:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h03KSY90007316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 14:28:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 14:28:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301032028.h03KSY90007316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 142E TO 35N 143E 33N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 142E TO 35N 140E 32N 139E 29N 137E 26N 135E 23N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 43N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 47N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 998 HPA AT 44N 138E MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 167E 44N 165E 44N 180E 24N 180E 30N 167E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 122E 24N 131E 18N 124E 10N 107E 21N 110E 24N 118E 29N 122E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 54N 146E SE SLOWLY. HIGH 1056 HPA AT 46N 106E SSE 25 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 38N 156E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 10:38:39 2003 X-UIDL: 13663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H86006JV4GAJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 10:33:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h042XdPa018546 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 10:33:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqce021682; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 20:27:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 349508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 20:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h042R0Cw011194 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 20:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h042Qxid012688 for ; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 20:26:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h042QxbW012687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Jan 2003 20:26:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 03 Jan 2003 20:26:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301040226.h042QxbW012687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 41N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 144E TO 40N 145E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 145E TO 36N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 145E TO 35N 144E 28N 141E 24N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 44N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 47N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 998 HPA AT 45N 139E MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 160E 55N 180E 28N 180E 30N 165E 55N 160E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 120E 26N 125E 19N 122E 13N 110E 18N 110E 22N 116E 27N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 55N 147E NE SLOWLY. HIGH 1054 HPA AT 44N 107E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 159E ENE 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N 162E TO 19N 170E 21N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 16:01:16 2003 X-UIDL: 13674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H860069GG62J0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 14:46:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h046khPa059353 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 14:46:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03Ijj4W037966; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 351273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h046fPCw025082 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h046fOid014247 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h046fOjx014245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 00:41:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301040641.h046fOjx014245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 040600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.2S3 130.3E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S3 135.0E9, IN THE ARAFURA SEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION PERSISTS NEAR A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LAM/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 04 16:41:12 2003 X-UIDL: 13677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H86006J7L83J0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 16:36:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h048ZtPa075667 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 16:35:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqm6021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 02:27:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 351834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 02:27:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h048RoCw028732 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 02:27:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h048Rnid014819 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 02:27:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h048Rnxw014818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 02:27:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 02:27:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301040827.h048Rnxw014818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 146E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 146E TO 43N 148E 41N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 149E TO 39N 152E 37N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 149E TO 32N 147E 24N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 47N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 139E GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 158E 53N 180E 23N 180E 24N 170E 45N 160E 52N 158E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 124E 24N 133E 18N 133E 14N 112E 18N 110E 24N 118E 24N 124E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 53N 146E SOUTH 10 KT. HIGH 1052 HPA AT 42N 109E SE 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 161E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:55:46 2003 X-UIDL: 13688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H87006B31Y6J0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Jan 2003 22:37:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h04EbCPa030058 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 22:37:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqre021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 08:27:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 353397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 08:27:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04ERYCw030474 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 08:27:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h04ERYid016941 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 08:27:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h04ERYH8016940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 08:27:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 08:27:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301041427.h04ERYH8016940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 46N 145E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 145E TO 45N 153E 42N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 155E TO 40N 157E 36N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 155E TO 34N 151E 23N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 45N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 45N 138E MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 125E 23N 132E 18N 131E 06N 109E 20N 111E 26N 120E 25N 125E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 162E 54N 180E 24N 180E 27N 170E 55N 162E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1052 HPA AT 42N 110E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 164E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:56:03 2003 X-UIDL: 13696-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H87006U1FC1J0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:26:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h04JQJPa074934 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 03:26:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04HmrKU037968; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 355444 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04JGMCw004208 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h04JGMid019219 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h04JGMYp019217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 13:16:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301041916.h04JGMYp019217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 041730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/041730Z/050600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.5S6 136.4E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 135.9E8, OVER THE ARAFURA SEA JUST NORTH OF CAPE WESSEL. INFRARED ANIMATION AND THE BOM GOVE RADAR LOOP DEPICT A BROAD, LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEVELOPING DEEP CONVECTION ABOUT THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW. THIS MORNING'S 041200Z7 UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ABOVE THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. BECAUSE OF THE INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC, AND A DECREASING SEA LEVEL PRESSURE TREND, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/KENDALL/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:56:06 2003 X-UIDL: 13699-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H87006ZSIKTJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 04:36:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h04KaNPa087282 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 04:36:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMq5E021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 14:27:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 356005 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 14:27:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04KRUCw027898 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 14:27:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h04KRUid019755 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 14:27:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h04KRUg3019754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 14:27:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 14:27:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301042027.h04KRUg3019754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 47N 146E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 146E TO 46N 154E 42N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 159E TO 39N 161E 37N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 159E TO 33N 153E 24N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 46N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 45N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 139E MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 129E 30N 135E 23N 139E 17N 121E 08N 113E 09N 108E 20N 110E 25N 119E 27N 129E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 165E 60N 180E 26N 180E 30N 173E 40N 170E 53N 165E 60N 165E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1050 HPA AT 41N 110E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 170E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 10:56:10 2003 X-UIDL: 13707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H87002KUZA1BZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 10:37:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h052b5mc031942 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 10:37:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h03GMqCE021682; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 20:30:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 357966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 20:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h052UECw039002 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 20:30:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h052UEid022063 for ; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 20:30:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h052UDCC022062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Jan 2003 20:30:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 04 Jan 2003 20:30:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301050230.h052UDCC022062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 47N 146E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 145E TO 48N 152E 45N 157E 41N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 39N 163E 35N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 36N 158E 29N 151E 24N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 48N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 139E MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 111E 21N 112E 25N 119E 30N 122E 25N 133E 16N 132E 17N 121E 16N 111E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 167E 60N 180E 35N 180E 40N 171E 60N 167E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1050 HPA AT 41N 111E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 60N 130E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 171E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 21:58:29 2003 X-UIDL: 13710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H88002Y5AAABZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 14:34:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h056Yqmc062165 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 14:34:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h04Hmr0O037968; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 359667 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h056O3Cw029064 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h056O3id023368 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h056O2fP023366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 00:24:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301050624.h056O2fP023366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 050600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S2 135.9E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 135.4E3, OVER THE ARAFURA SEA JUST NORTH OF CAPE WESSEL. MULTISPECTRAL ANIMATION AND THE GOVE RADAR LOOP DEPICT AN ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISTINCT RAINBANDS EVIDENT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ABOVE THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 050100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LAM/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 21:58:36 2003 X-UIDL: 13714-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H88002VNG9LBZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 16:44:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h058i2mc080142 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 16:44:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NK0021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 02:30:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 360565 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 02:30:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h058UFCw025908 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 02:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h058UFid024138 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 02:30:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h058UFpW024137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 02:30:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 02:30:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301050830.h058UFpW024137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 050600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 47N 146E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING SOUTH 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 44N 147E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 45N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 48N 158E MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 41N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 47N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 49N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 133E 18N 128E 15N 113E 22N 112E 24N 118E 25N 125E 29N 133E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 41N 110E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 174E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 165E TO 36N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 165E TO 36N 162E 34N 158E 30N 155E 26N 150E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 05 22:54:24 2003 X-UIDL: 13722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H88002QMWUOBZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Jan 2003 22:42:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h05EgImc028458 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 22:42:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539NPg021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 08:30:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 362608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 08:30:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h05EU5Cw005766 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 08:30:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h05EU5id026378 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 08:30:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h05EU5hX026377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 08:30:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 08:30:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301051430.h05EU5hX026377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 46N 146E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 44N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 44N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 49N 155E MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 43N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 160E TO 40N 164E 36N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 160E TO 35N 157E 29N 151E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 48N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 49N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 134E 13N 131E 13N 111E 20N 112E 24N 125E 20N 134E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 31N 119E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 28N 177E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 10:13:31 2003 X-UIDL: 13732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H89002Z1DH5BZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 04:41:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h05KfOmc090216 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 04:41:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h05IeXPm037970; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 14:32:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 365575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 14:32:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h05KWcCw042894 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 14:32:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h05KWcid029201 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 14:32:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h05KWcge029200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 14:32:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 14:32:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301052032.h05KWcge029200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 45N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 165E TO 42N 170E 36N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 165E TO 39N 165E 32N 160E 28N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 50N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 48N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 982 HPA AT 45N 149E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 132E 34N 137E 28N 142E 26N 138E 31N 132E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 125E 18N 122E 17N 110E 21N 111E 24N 125E. SUMMARY. LOW 976 HPA AT 49N 153E WEST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 03N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 28N 111E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 33N 120E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 27N 179E ESE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 10:48:14 2003 X-UIDL: 13746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H89002K6U00N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 10:38:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h062cImc046857 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 10:38:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539Nlg021682; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 20:29:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 368461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 20:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h062TJCw026458 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 20:29:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h062TJid002074 for ; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 20:29:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h062TI4E002073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Jan 2003 20:29:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 20:29:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060229.h062TI4E002073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 49N 164E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 164E TO 48N 169E 46N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 172E TO 44N 177E 40N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 172E TO 42N 171E 37N 168E 31N 161E 27N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 50N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 47N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 972 HPA AT 49N 154E MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 18N 120E 17N 110E 21N 111E 23N 116E 25N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 03N 162E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 32N 119E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 06 15:13:15 2003 X-UIDL: 13771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A002RJ4MLN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:27:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h066Romc098217 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:27:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539Nuc021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 370519 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h066MPCw039194 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h066MPid003552 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h066MPLN003550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060622.h066MPLN003550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 060600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.0N2 163.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF KOSRAE. MULTISPECTRAL ANIMATION INDICATES STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE NORTH OF A POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SUPPORT A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH EXTENDING EAST-WEST IN THE VICINITY. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6 135.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 134.0E8, OVER LAND IN AUSTRALIA APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST OF DARWIN. MULTISPECTRAL ANIMATION INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 060100) FOR THE CANCELLATION REMARKS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/WAUGMAN/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:43:51 2003 X-UIDL: 13780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A0026UAKNN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 16:36:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h068aHmc029422 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 16:36:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539Nwo021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 02:26:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 371103 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 02:26:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h068QuCw028842 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 02:26:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h068Quid004277 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 02:26:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h068Que6004276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 02:26:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 02:26:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301060826.h068Que6004276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 50N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 165E TO 49N 172E 45N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 177E TO 43N 179W 38N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 177E TO 40N 177E 37N 174E 31N 168E 26N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 1100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 49N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 47N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 974 HPA AT 48N 156E MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 43N 108E SE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:00 2003 X-UIDL: 13794-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8A0023WRPLN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Jan 2003 22:46:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06EkQmc007897 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 22:46:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0539N86021682; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 08:36:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 373513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 08:36:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06EaRCw034378 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 08:36:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06EaRid007976 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 08:36:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06EaQvU007974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 08:36:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 08:36:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301061436.h06EaQvU007974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 50N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 46N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 47N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 179E TO 45N 175W 41N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 179E TO 40N 180E 35N 176E 28N 169E 25N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 52N 179W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 114E 23N 113E 27N 120E 24N 124E 22N 120E 19N 114E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 166E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 42N 110E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 65N 160E WSW 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 10:44:11 2003 X-UIDL: 13816-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8B0022U8EKN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:47:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h06Kkumc085889 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 04:46:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JReGW005984; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:28:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 378812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:28:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06KS8Cw038768 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:28:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h06KS7id019323 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:28:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h06KS7Ef019322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:28:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 14:28:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301062028.h06KS7Ef019322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 48N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTH 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 47N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 46N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 49N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 180E TO 46N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 176W TO 45N 172W 42N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 176W TO 40N 175W 35N 180E 29N 173E 25N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 52N 174W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 122E 18N 122E 10N 108E 20N 107E 26N 122E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 22N 175E ENE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 11:03:45 2003 X-UIDL: 13832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8B00DFKPTOTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:03:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0733Cmc057245 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 11:03:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JReWE005984; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 20:28:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 382114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 20:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h072SoCw030518 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 20:28:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h072Soid025837 for ; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 20:28:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h072Sobs025836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Jan 2003 20:28:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 20:28:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301070228.h072Sobs025836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 47N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 46N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 51N 180E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 180E TO 50N 176W 48N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 174W TO 46N 169W 44N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 174W TO 42N 171W 34N 177W 28N 173E 22N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 53N 172W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 20N 120E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 20N 120E TO 19N 121E 19N 123E. COLD FRONT FROM 20N 120E TO 17N 118E 14N 116E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 139E 18N 149E 14N 148E 15N 138E 19N 139E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 120E 20N 120E 14N 115E 08N 110E 09N 108E 13N 109E 24N 120E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 41N 111E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 15:16:19 2003 X-UIDL: 13843-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DI51GYTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:14:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h077Ekmc012426 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 15:14:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JRegq005984; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 384515 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h076loCw022124 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h076loid028084 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h076loZr028082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:47:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301070647.h076loZr028082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 163.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF KOSRAE IS DISSIPATING. THEREFORE THERE IS NO POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 134.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 133.8E5, OVER LAND IN AUSTRALIA APPROXIMATELY 176 NM EAST OF DARWIN. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/SCHAEFER/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 07 17:27:27 2003 X-UIDL: 13850-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DQF76TTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 17:18:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h079IFmc042725 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 17:18:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h06JReiK005984; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:40:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 385162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:40:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h078eGCw006186 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:40:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h078eFid028827 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:40:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h078eF5b028826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:40:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 02:40:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301070840.h078eF5b028826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 45N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 44N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 45N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 968 HPA AT 49N 169E MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 128E 24N 128E 23N 122E 10N 112E 10N 109E 21N 110E 25N 120E 28N 123E 29N 128E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 23N 123E ENE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 01N 164E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 144E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 16N 116E TO 19N 120E 23N 123E 24N 127E 23N 130E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:09 2003 X-UIDL: 13865-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8C00DLCMQJTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Jan 2003 22:54:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07Es6mc019175 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 22:54:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07EQWEi043158; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 08:33:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 387362 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 08:33:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07EXgCw006272 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 08:33:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07EXfid002503 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 08:33:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07EXfF2002502 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 08:33:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 08:33:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301071433.h07EXfF2002502@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA AT 53N 179W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 50N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 49N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 133E 25N 132E 24N 127E 16N 114E 22N 113E 25N 120E 29N 121E 30N 133E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 148E 37N 148E 33N 140E 35N 139E 36N 141E 43N 144E 42N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 24N 127E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 147E ESE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 24N 127E TO 24N 129E 22N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 24N 127E TO 21N 126E 18N 122E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 162W TO 40N 165W 34N 174W 26N 177E 22N 166E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 09:29:36 2003 X-UIDL: 13885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00DCN3JSTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 04:57:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h07KvGmc095140 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 04:57:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HSJPo005986; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:29:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 392506 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:29:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07KTkCw035552 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:29:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h07KTjid014680 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:29:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h07KTjMm014679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:29:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 14:29:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301072029.h07KTjMm014679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 966 HPA AT 52N 178E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 48N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 47N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 122E 30N 131E 22N 126E 17N 120E 06N 109E 18N 109E 26N 120E 30N 122E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 144E 40N 151E 36N 152E 35N 146E 40N 144E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 166E 30N 180E 24N 180E 23N 170E 29N 166E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 24N 130E ENE 25 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 148E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 32N 117E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 149E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 24N 130E TO 25N 132E 24N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 24N 130E TO 21N 129E 18N 124E. COLD FRONT FROM 23N 170E TO 25N 178E 29N 174W 35N 168W 39N 161W 43N 158W 49N 159W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 11:25:25 2003 X-UIDL: 13899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00LFYJ5YR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 10:34:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h082YYmc059489 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 10:34:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h07HSJiI005986; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:27:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 396382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h082QxCw035418 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:26:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h082Qwid021109 for ; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:26:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h082Qwev021107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:26:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 20:26:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080226.h082Qwev021107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 52N 177E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 47N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 46N 174W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 128E 25N 130E 03N 108E 07N 105E 12N 109E 20N 111E 26N 120E 26N 128E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 26N 134E ENE 25 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 147E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 32N 120E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 148E ENE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 26N 134E TO 26N 137E 25N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 26N 134E TO 23N 129E 19N 128E 17N 124E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 14:22:06 2003 X-UIDL: 13935-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8D00LSXTNNR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:21:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h086LBmc011426 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:21:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iHO026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:14:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 398146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:09:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0869DCw027656 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:09:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0869Did022879 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:09:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0869DrY022877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:09:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 00:09:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080609.h0869DrY022877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071751ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 133.8E5 IS NO LONGER WITHIN THE COVERAGE AREA OF THIS BULLETIN. SEE REF A (ABIO10 PGTW 071800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/SCHAEFER/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 16:48:56 2003 X-UIDL: 13951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00L4U04TR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 16:41:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h088f5mc045310 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 16:41:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iJi026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:27:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 398944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h088RvCw039134 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h088Rvid023776 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:27:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h088RvcV023775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:27:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 02:27:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301080827.h088RvcV023775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 50N 177E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 47N 176W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 46N 170W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 126E 18N 121E 06N 113E 06N 106E 11N 109E 22N 113E 22N 121E 22N 126E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 26N 136E ENE 20 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 59N 149E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 32N 119E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 148E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 26N 136E TO 26N 138E 25N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 26N 136E TO 24N 134E 23N 132E 20N 130E 17N 127E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 08 23:54:12 2003 X-UIDL: 13971-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LSMGG0R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Jan 2003 22:33:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08EXNmc016184 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 22:33:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0853iXa026334; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:27:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 401728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:27:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08ER7Cw038450 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:27:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08ER6id027248 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:27:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08ER6Mc027247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:27:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 08:27:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301081427.h08ER6Mc027247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 48N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 46N 173W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 47N 168W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 126E 18N 122E 16N 120E 09N 119E 08N 108E 11N 109E 20N 111E 26N 120E 25N 122E 23N 126E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 26N 139E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 50N 126E EAST 30 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 149E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 31N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 140E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 27N 152E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 26N 139E TO 25N 141E 24N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 26N 139E TO 24N 137E 22N 135E 20N 132E 17N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 10:40:50 2003 X-UIDL: 14000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8E00LKQXAWR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 04:37:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h08Kbbmc093356 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 04:37:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01O2009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:28:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 407708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:28:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08KSFCw005960 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:28:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h08KSFid009590 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:28:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h08KSEHX009589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:28:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 14:28:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301082028.h08KSEHX009589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 51N 174W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHSOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 174W TO 60N 162W 54N 150W. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 150W TO 53N 148W 52N 147W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 150W TO 47N 147W 38N 149W 30N 159W 25N 170W. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 50N 176W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 49N 172W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 47N 180E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 125E 19N 121E 07N 111E 10N 108E 24N 117E 23N 125E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 51N 134E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 26N 140E EAST 20 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 60N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 32N 121E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 139E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 26N 152E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 26N 140E TO 25N 142E 23N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 26N 140E TO 24N 138E 22N 135E 20N 133E 17N 129E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 10:40:57 2003 X-UIDL: 14012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JN4E0V0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 10:38:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h092cnmc060425 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 10:38:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01dc009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:28:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 411606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:28:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h092StCw038018 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:28:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h092Ssid017057 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:28:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h092Ssfk017056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:28:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 20:28:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090228.h092Ssfk017056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 50N 174W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 48N 168W MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 51N 138E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 138E TO 48N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 138E TO 48N 134E 46N 130E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 120E 18N 121E 05N 113E 05N 105E 20N 111E 27N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 26N 142E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 147E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 14:09:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14020-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00JZCNND0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:06:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0966bmc015542 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:06:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01ng009520; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 413801 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h095xXCw018444 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h095xXid018793 for ; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h095xXrE018791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 23:59:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090559.h095xXrE018791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 090600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8S2 133.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 134.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINUMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE REF A (ABIO10 PGTW 081800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/NUTONGLA/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 16:38:59 2003 X-UIDL: 14035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8F00J2DUJT0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 16:35:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h098Zkmc046669 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 16:35:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I01uQ009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:26:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 415442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:26:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h098QjCw021714 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h098Qjid019977 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:26:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h098QiVx019976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:26:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 02:26:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301090826.h098QiVx019976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 50N 173W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 145E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 145E TO 47N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 145E TO 45N 139E 43N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 07N 107E 13N 110E 20N 112E 20N 118E 11N 114E 04N 110E 07N 107E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 36N 155E EAST 40 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 09 23:08:57 2003 X-UIDL: 14066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JONBGB0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Jan 2003 22:40:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09EeroY096557 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 22:40:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h08I014Q009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:34:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 417748 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:34:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09EYiCw021250 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:34:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09EYiid023737 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:34:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09EYirO023736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:34:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:34:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091434.h09EYirO023736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 091200 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 149E TO 46N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 149E TO 46N 144E 42N 139E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 166E 52N 180E 36N 180E 32N 169E 37N 166E 51N 166E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 111E 17N 117E 09N 117E 04N 106E 17N 111E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 150E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 162E EAST 35 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 00:36:00 2003 X-UIDL: 14071-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00JJGFIV0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:08:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09G8noY013677 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:08:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09CYYKo043158; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:26:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 417659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:26:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09EQDCw038074 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:26:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09EQCid023511 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:26:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09EQCFS023510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:26:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 08:26:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301091426.h09EQCFS023510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 149E TO 46N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 149E TO 46N 144E 42N 139E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 166E 52N 180E 36N 180E 32N 169E 37N 166E 51N 166E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 111E 17N 117E 09N 117E 04N 106E 17N 111E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 150E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 162E EAST 35 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 10:57:03 2003 X-UIDL: 14088-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8G00J5YRXU0Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 04:37:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h09Kaxmc073024 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 04:37:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELXg009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:28:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 423050 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:28:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09KSCCw027658 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:28:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h09KSCid006415 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:28:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h09KSCcq006414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:28:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 14:28:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301092028.h09KSCcq006414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 51N 151E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 151E TO 47N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 151E TO 46N 147E 41N 142E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 161E 53N 180E 34N 180E 43N 165E 51N 161E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 109E 15N 119E 04N 109E 05N 104E 10N 107E 16N 109E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 145E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 152E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 167E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 10:57:23 2003 X-UIDL: 14110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008OP8LLJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 10:36:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A2aomc039417 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 10:36:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GELug009520; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:28:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 427203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:28:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A2SUCw040804 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:28:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A2SUid012799 for ; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:28:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A2STwf012798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:28:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 20:28:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100228.h0A2STwf012798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 154E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 154E TO 51N 158E 49N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 154E TO 49N 155E 44N 151E 40N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 56N 170E 57N 180E 37N 180E 42N 170E 56N 170E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 117E 10N 116E 08N 107E 16N 109E 17N 117E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 24N 125E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 49N 123E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 169E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 15:55:06 2003 X-UIDL: 14121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008RSJI1JU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 14:32:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A6WJmc082175 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 14:32:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GEL6U009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:15:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 428935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:13:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A6DrCw039368 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:13:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A6Dqid014542 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:13:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A6DqiP014540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:13:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 00:13:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100613.h0A6DqiP014540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 100600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 2.0N2 110.3E5, IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA JUST NORTH OF BORNEO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 134.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 133.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTHWEST OF GOVE, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD, UNORGANIZED AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER LAND NEAR THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE REF A (ABIO10 PGTW 091800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/NUTONGLA/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 17:48:46 2003 X-UIDL: 14139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8H008DJPEEJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:39:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0A8dgoY027501 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 16:39:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h09GEL86009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:28:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 429875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:28:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A8SACw026484 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:28:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0A8SAid015484 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:28:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0A8SA7v015483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:28:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 02:28:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301100828.h0A8SA7v015483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 55N 155E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 155E TO 53N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 159E TO 52N 162E 49N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 159E TO 46N 157E 39N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 122E 20N 124E 08N 117E 06N 106E 22N 112E 25N 122E. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 173E 53N 180E 38N 180E 43N 173E 55N 173E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 149E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 31N 158E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 173E EAST 35 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 23:54:35 2003 X-UIDL: 14155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I008E7135JU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:52:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0ACqBmc038327 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:52:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0A4DZiO043162; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 431264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ACl1Cw038748 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ACl0id017391 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ACl0LA017389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 06:47:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101247.h0ACl0LA017389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 101300 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 2.0N2 110.3E5, IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA JUST NORTH OF BORNEO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 134.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 133.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTHWEST OF GOVE, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD, UNORGANIZED AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER LAND NEAR THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE REF A (ABIO10 PGTW 091800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.5S4 177.0W5, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTHWEST OF WESTERN SAMOA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A SMALL AREA OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION THAT HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST TEN HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN A DIFFLUENT REGION WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA TO PARA 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/NUTONGLA/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 10 23:54:45 2003 X-UIDL: 14164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I008SU5RUJU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Jan 2003 22:33:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AEXJmc055657 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 22:33:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ACnxGq009520; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:28:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 432185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:28:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AES2Cw015798 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:28:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AES2id018924 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:28:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AES2Ea018923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:28:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 08:28:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301101428.h0AES2Ea018923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 57N 156E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 156E TO 57N 160E 55N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 162E TO 53N 165E 51N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 162E TO 46N 157E 38N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 160E TO 30N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 160E TO 28N 156E 25N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 121E 21N 123E 11N 117E 05N 108E 20N 111E 25N 121E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 52N 126E ESE 25 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 134E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 150E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 30N 114E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 175E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 10:05:29 2003 X-UIDL: 14190-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8I008DHML9JU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 04:36:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0AKadmc020305 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 04:36:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6EW015730; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 14:29:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 437319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 14:29:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AKTFCw004552 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 14:29:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0AKTFid001269 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 14:29:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0AKTENH001264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 14:29:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 14:29:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301102029.h0AKTENH001264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 55N 163E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 163E TO 53N 166E 51N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 163E TO 47N 160E 39N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 990 HPA AT 59N 157E MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 164E TO 30N 166E 27N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 164E TO 27N 160E 25N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 157E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 31N 138E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 120E 25N 132E 17N 121E 09N 114E 08N 107E 20N 110E 27N 120E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 51N 128E ESE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 41N 94E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 180E ESE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 12:02:06 2003 X-UIDL: 14215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006FC3D432@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 10:39:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B2cwmc083595 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 10:39:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6Vs015730; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:30:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 441989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:30:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B2U8Cw029148 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:30:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B2U7id007467 for ; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:30:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B2U7if007466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:30:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 10 Jan 2003 20:30:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110230.h0B2U7if007466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 56N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 166E TO 54N 170E 50N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 166E TO 50N 166E 45N 163E 42N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 152E MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 167E TO 32N 170E 31N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 167E TO 31N 166E 29N 164E 27N 161E 26N 156E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 161E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 116E 22N 115E 28N 122E 23N 131E 19N 127E 15N 116E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 48N 133E EAST 35 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 11 14:40:06 2003 X-UIDL: 14224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006M4DMC32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:20:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B6KVmc025038 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:20:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6d0015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 443469 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B6GNCw014376 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B6GNid008942 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B6GMwU008940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:16:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110616.h0B6GMwU008940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 110.3E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 109.6E6 IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA NORTH OF BORNEO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC TURNING IN THE CONVECTION. RECENT SCATTEROMETRY INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ALONG THE COAST OF BORNEO. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.0N2 179.9E6. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A PULSE OF WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR, IN THE MIDLEVELS, INCREASING THE CYCLONIC SHEAR IN THE AREA. CONVECTION IS FAIRLY DISORGANIZED. UPPERLEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 133.9E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 135.8E7, NEAR NUMBULWAR, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE, UNORGANIZED AREA OF SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER LAND, AND A LARGE BAND EXTENDING OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. THE SYSTEM IS TAKING ON CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION, WITH STRONGER WINDS AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM AND LIGHT WINDS NEAR THE CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR IN THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.5S4 177.0W5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 178.9W5 APPROXIMATELY 430 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WESTERN SAMOA. THE SYSTEM IS IN A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT 2OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/SCHAEFER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8J006OOK0T32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:38:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0B8clmc048181 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 16:38:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6eM015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:32:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 444138 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:32:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0B8W4Cw004326 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:32:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0B8W3id009844 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:32:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0B8W3p0009843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:32:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 02:32:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301110832.h0B8W3p0009843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 33N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 150E TO 34N 153E 34N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 150E TO 27N 143E 24N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 59N 163E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 163E TO 57N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 168E TO 52N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 168E TO 51N 168E 46N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. ANOTHER LOW 990 HPA AT 58N 152E MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 39N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 164E TO 35N 170E 33N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 172E TO 28N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 172E TO 27N 165E 24N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 47N 141E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 128E 17N 120E 10N 110E 17N 110E 27N 121E 23N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:52 2003 X-UIDL: 14244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006VZ0HY32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Jan 2003 22:34:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BEYdmc002971 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 22:34:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0AJf6l2015730; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:30:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 445838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:30:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BEUMCw014492 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:30:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BEUMid012384 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:30:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BEUL5I012383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:30:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 08:30:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301111430.h0BEUL5I012383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 39N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 169E TO 37N 174E 34N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 176E TO 29N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 176E TO 28N 171E 24N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 152E TO 34N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 152E TO 29N 148E 24N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 47N 144E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 152E SW SLOWLY. LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 167E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 29N 115E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 20N 150E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 44N 153E ENE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:58 2003 X-UIDL: 14263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006IEHDQ32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 04:39:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BKdJmc064549 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 04:39:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWEI015742; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:31:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 449935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:31:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BKVTCw029152 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:31:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BKVTid015915 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:31:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BKVTDP015914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:31:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 14:31:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301112031.h0BKVTDP015914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 41N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 171E TO 38N 177E 33N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 179E TO 28N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 179E TO 29N 176E 26N 170E 24N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 156E TO 35N 158E 35N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 156E TO 28N 150E 24N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 46N 146E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 153E 40N 160E 33N 160E 35N 153E 40N 153E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 57N 149E WSW 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 156E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 28N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 20N 152E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 47N 157E NE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:33:58 2003 X-UIDL: 14266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K006B4KAM32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 05:42:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0BLgFmc072931 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 05:42:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BKt7FU030224; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 450551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BLYHCw029122 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0BLYGid016516 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0BLYGVI016513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 15:34:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/112130z/120600zjan2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301112134.h0BLYGVI016513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 112130 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/112130Z/120600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111951ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111751ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A SIGNIFICANT/ TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.5N7 109.6E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 108.1E0, JUST OFF THE WESTERN COAST OF BORNEO. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLIC BUT MINIMAL DEEP CONVECTION, WITH THE LLCC STATIONARY. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. BASED ON DECREASED ORGANIZATION AND CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 179.9E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 178.8E4. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH A PULSE OF WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR, IN THE MID-LEVELS. DEEP CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC AND IS DISORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 179.2W9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 112100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 135.8E7, IS NOW LOCATED OVER WATER NEAR 15.1S7 136.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. SCATTEROMETRY AND SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS MOVED OVER WATER BUT REMAINS VERY WEAK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION PRIMARILY IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, OVER THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE REF B (ABIO10 PGTW 111800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 178.9W5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(2) TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR AND UPDATED ALL OTHER AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/INGRAM/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:06 2003 X-UIDL: 14280-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8K00HBPY1815@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 10:39:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C2d1x5032348 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 10:39:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BKt7fK030224; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:31:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 453372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:31:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C2VDCw039790 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:31:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C2VCid018538 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:31:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C2VC6h018537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:31:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 20:31:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120231.h0C2VC6h018537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 41N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 994 HPA AT 39N 179E MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 164E TO 35N 167E 35N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 164E TO 32N 161E 29N 154E 24N 149E 21N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 138E 19N 138E 17N 118E 21N 117E 24N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 148E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 157E ENE 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 57N 150E WSW SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 57N 173E NE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 175E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 28N 115E EAST SLOWLY. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 178W TO 31N 179W 29N 175E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:07 2003 X-UIDL: 14284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HOT56E15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 13:13:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C5DKx5051013 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 13:13:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWT6015742; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 454421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C556Cw026154 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C555id019464 for ; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C555sF019462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 23:05:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120505.h0C555sF019462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111951ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111751ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A SIGNIFICANT/ TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 108.1E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.4N6 110.9E1, NEAR KUCHING, SARAWAK, MALAYSIA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A TROUGH WITH A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA IS MODERATE. AXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 178.8E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 178.2E8. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 179.2W9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 112100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 135.8E7, IS NOW LOCATED OVER WATER NEAR 14.9S4 135.9E8, OVER THE LIMMEN BIGHT IN THE WESTERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA. SCATTEROMETRY AND SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A VERY BROAD LLCC WITH VERY LITTLE CONVECTION EVIDENT IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SEE REF B (ABIO10 PGTW 111800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/SCHAEFER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:11 2003 X-UIDL: 14294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HSOEDZ15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 16:32:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0C8WGx5079211 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 16:32:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWWS015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:26:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 455511 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0C8QqCw004334 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0C8Qpid020595 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:26:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0C8QpFX020594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:26:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 02:26:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301120826.h0C8QpFX020594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 43N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 36N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 45 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 165E TO 35N 169E 33N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 165E TO 32N 163E 29N 160E 25N 155E 21N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 48N 150E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 127E ESE 25 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 57N 151E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 174E NORTH 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 123E EAST 55 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 47N 161E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 127E TO 49N 130E 45N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 127E TO 49N 124E 48N 119E 46N 112E 43N 101E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:16 2003 X-UIDL: 14304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8L00HDOV7J15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Jan 2003 22:35:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0CEZbx5033204 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 22:35:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWbs015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:26:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 457632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:26:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CEQQCw039898 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:26:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0CEQQid022772 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:26:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0CEQQJS022771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:26:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:26:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301121426.h0CEQQJS022771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 44N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 170E TO 35N 173E 32N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 170E TO 33N 167E 30N 163E 25N 158E 22N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 42N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 49N 133E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 133E TO 47N 136E 45N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 133E TO 48N 127E 47N 118E 44N 110E 44N 103E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 57N 153E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 153E ENE 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 60N 174E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 28N 121E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 142E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 09:34:21 2003 X-UIDL: 14315-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M00H57BWE15@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 04:36:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0CKa8x5085944 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 04:36:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWkC015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:31:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 460951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:31:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0CKV6Cw024354 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:31:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0CKV5id025812 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:31:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0CKV5SH025811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:31:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 14:31:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301122031.h0CKV5SH025811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 48N 138E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 138E TO 45N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 138E TO 45N 129E 45N 121E 43N 118E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 51N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 42N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 39N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 179E TO 36N 177W 33N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 179E TO 33N 174E 30N 165E 27N 162E 25N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 46N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 154E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 51N 154E NE 20 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 61N 173E NNW 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 27N 116E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 10:43:31 2003 X-UIDL: 14328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8M002ICSLNGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:36:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D2aqx5041139 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 10:36:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWtg015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 20:28:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 464587 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 20:28:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D2SJCw037376 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 20:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D2SIid028379 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 20:28:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D2SIJP028378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 20:28:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 20:28:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130228.h0D2SIJP028378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 48N 141E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 141E TO 47N 143E 45N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 141E TO 45N 136E 44N 130E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 53N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 47N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 40N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 176W TO 39N 171W 37N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 176W TO 35N 179E 33N 172E 28N 168E 24N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 39N 123E YELLOW SEA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 13N 115E 01N 107E 03N 104E 13N 110E 13N 115E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 55N 155E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 63N 172E NORTH 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 02N 175E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 27N 118E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 147E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 16:30:27 2003 X-UIDL: 14339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002AA29WGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:05:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D65mx5083030 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:05:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXWwa015742; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 465961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D5wcCw026108 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D5wbid029727 for ; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D5wbmL029725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 23:58:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130558.h0D5wbmL029725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/122321ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A CORRECTED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.2N5 112.3E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.2N5 113.0E5, OVER THE SARAWAK REGION OF MALAYSIA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT SYNOPTIC AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA INDICATE A TROUGH WITH A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA IS MODERATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.4N5 177.0E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 176.9E3, NEAR THE GILBERT ISLANDS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10P WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 179.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 122100 COR) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE BROAD CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 136.4E4, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY, OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF CARPENTARIA. SCATTEROMETRY AND SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A VERY BROAD LLCC WITH DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC PRESENT OVER WATER. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN EXPOSED LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED UNDER A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT, WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/SCHAEFER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 13 16:40:21 2003 X-UIDL: 14354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002969E8GZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 16:39:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0D8dYx5017832 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 16:39:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXW1O015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:31:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 467032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:31:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0D8VQCw034508 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:31:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0D8VPid000800 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:31:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0D8VPEK000799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:31:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 02:31:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301130831.h0D8VPEK000799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 48N 144E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 144E TO 46N 148E 44N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 144E TO 43N 139E 42N 129E 36N 121E 36N 112E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 50N 147E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 54N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 48N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 44N 174W MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 113E 09N 114E 08N 110E 18N 110E 18N 113E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 174E 40N 180E 31N 180E 28N 174E 40N 174E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 02.4N 173.8E SEA EAST OF MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 58N 150E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 152E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 52N 162E EAST 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 169W TO 29N 179E 23N 161E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 07:46:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8N002NIPZVGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Jan 2003 22:38:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DEcCx5068723 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 22:38:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0BJXW8g015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:29:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 469413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:29:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DETDCw039286 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:29:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DETCid004099 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:29:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DETCNM004098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:29:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 08:29:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301131429.h0DETCNM004098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 50N 148E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 148E TO 49N 149E 48N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 149E TO 46N 152E 43N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 149E TO 42N 144E 40N 135E 38N 130E 36N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 53N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 55N 154E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 47N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 02.7N 173.1E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 57N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 02N 117E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 27N 118E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 154E ESE 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 164W TO 33N 170W 31N 176W 27N 178E 23N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 07:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 14386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8O0029H6PPGZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 04:39:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0DKdIx5044951 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 04:39:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG73fC015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:30:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 478028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:30:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DKUMCw015314 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:30:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0DKU4id016600 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:30:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0DKU4KS016599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:30:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 14:30:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301132030.h0DKU4KS016599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 51N 150E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 150E TO 52N 151E 51N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 153E TO 49N 157E 47N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 153E TO 46N 151E 43N 146E 41N 140E 38N 135E 36N 130E 35N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 550 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 53N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 56N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 48N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 05.1N 173.2E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 157E EAST 25 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 24N 172E TO 27N 179W 29N 172W 34N 164W 40N 162W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 16:35:45 2003 X-UIDL: 14405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8O00AWFN784C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 10:35:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E2ZQx5013637 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 10:35:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG73uC015742; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:27:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 482217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E2RvCw005714 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E2Ruid023483 for ; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:27:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E2RuHf023482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:27:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 13 Jan 2003 20:27:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140227.h0E2RuHf023482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 152E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 152E TO 51N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 156E TO 48N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 156E TO 48N 154E 45N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 58N 156E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 44N 148E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 148E TO 45N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 148E TO 39N 141E 36N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 167E 52N 180E 44N 180E 44N 170E 53N 167E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 05.1N 171.3E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 161E EAST 30 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 23N 174E TO 25N 180E 27N 172W 33N 161W 40N 155W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 16:35:51 2003 X-UIDL: 14419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00AXG1B94C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:40:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E7eFx5088447 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:40:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E6Q6GE030224; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 484315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E7VJCw034454 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E7VJid025934 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E7VIS2025932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:31:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140731.h0E7VIS2025932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS AN AMENDED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.2N5 113.0E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 176.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 170.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM SOUTHWEST OF MAJURO. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A REGION OF TROUGHING. A RECENT SSM/I PASS WAS INCONCLUSIVE IN DETERMINING WHETHER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PRESENT. OBSERVATIONS IN THE AREA AT EBON AND JALUIT ATOLLS SUGGEST A WEAK LLCC IS PRESENT, HOWEVER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA HAS EXCELLENT DIFFLUENCE WITH MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2S2 178.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 140300 AMD) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE BROAD CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 136.4E4 IS NOW LOCATED INLAND NEAR 14.0S5 133.5E2 BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS. THEREFORE THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 16:35:52 2003 X-UIDL: 14420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00A0G1BR4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:40:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E7eXx5088567 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 15:40:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E6Q6GK030224; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:34:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 484326 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:32:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E7WGCw040920 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:32:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E7WFid025947 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:32:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E7WFGS025945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:32:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 01:32:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140732.h0E7WFGS025945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 140600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN CORRECTED/140600Z/150600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS AN AMENDED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.2N5 113.0E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.0N2 176.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 170.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM SOUTHWEST OF MAJURO. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A REGION OF TROUGHING. A RECENT SSM/I PASS WAS INCONCLUSIVE IN DETERMINING WHETHER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PRESENT. OBSERVATIONS IN THE AREA AT EBON AND JALUIT ATOLLS SUGGEST A WEAK LLCC IS PRESENT, HOWEVER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA HAS EXCELLENT DIFFLUENCE WITH MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2S2 178.9W5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 140300 AMD) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE BROAD CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4S9 136.4E4 IS NOW LOCATED INLAND NEAR 14.0S5 133.5E2 BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS. THEREFORE THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED LONGITUDE IN PARA 2.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 16:45:33 2003 X-UIDL: 14426-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00AX23WV4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 16:36:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0E8aNx5005186 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 16:36:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG733A015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:27:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 484658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:27:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0E8RgCw028090 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:27:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0E8Rgid026295 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:27:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0E8Rgti026294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:27:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 02:27:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301140827.h0E8Rgti026294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 153E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 153E TO 54N 157E 52N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 159E TO 50N 162E 49N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 159E TO 45N 154E 42N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 58N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 144E TO 40N 147E 42N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 144E TO 37N 142E 37N 139E 35N 136E 34N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 149E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 57N 170E 52N 180E 42N 180E 42N 170E 57N 170E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 121E 16N 120E 17N 112E 25N 119E 25N 121E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 06.1N 169.5E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 44N 115E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 165E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 14 22:42:56 2003 X-UIDL: 14446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8P00AKAKNS4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Jan 2003 22:38:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0EEcAx5095437 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 22:38:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0DG73BU015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 08:27:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 486878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 08:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EERFCw043218 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 08:27:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0EER9id029956 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 08:27:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0EER8t3029955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 08:27:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 08:27:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301141427.h0EER8t3029955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 55N 154E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 154E TO 55N 158E 54N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 160E TO 52N 164E 50N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 160E TO 49N 160E 45N 156E 43N 154E 42N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 147E TO 41N 149E 42N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 147E TO 38N 145E 37N 143E 33N 140E 31N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 172E 50N 180E 29N 180E 30N 175E 50N 172E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 119E 08N 117E 08N 108E 16N 111E 15N 119E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 06.3N 168.1E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 145E 48N 153E 46N 157E 41N 149E 44N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 26N 147E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 41N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 167E ESE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 08:35:22 2003 X-UIDL: 14472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Q00AQP1ZY4C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 04:52:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0EKqex5073158 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 04:52:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EErWfg015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:30:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 493312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:30:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EKUKCw039144 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:30:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0EKUKid014204 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:30:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0EKUKV1014203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:30:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 14:30:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301142030.h0EKUKV1014203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 40N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 36N 158E 31N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 35N 149E 33N 142E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 45N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 51N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 147E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 56N 155E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 155E TO 56N 161E 54N 164E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 164E TO 52N 166E 49N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 164E TO 50N 163E 48N 160E 45N 158E 44N 156E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 174E 55N 172E 52N 180E 35N 180E 39N 174E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 133E 17N 130E 19N 121E 22N 121E 25N 126E 25N 133E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 06.3N 166.8E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 36N 119E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 172E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 10:44:14 2003 X-UIDL: 14487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Q00GARHZLV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 10:38:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0F2c3x5040888 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 10:38:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EErWx4015742; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 20:27:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 497448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 20:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0F2RGCw024394 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 20:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0F2RFid021661 for ; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 20:27:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0F2RFpp021660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Jan 2003 20:27:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 14 Jan 2003 20:27:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301150227.h0F2RFpp021660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 42N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 160E TO 40N 164E 37N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 160E TO 36N 155E 31N 145E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 53N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 40N 152E MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 156E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 128E 20N 132E 17N 115E 22N 113E 27N 120E 26N 128E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 173E 51N 180E 23N 180E 25N 175E 41N 173E 53N 173E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 06.1N 166.6E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 34N 120E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 42N 127E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 172E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 14:43:54 2003 X-UIDL: 14498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Q00G2PS87V9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:19:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0F6JDx5091409 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:19:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0F3ugRG019766; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 499599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0F68jCw015208 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0F68cid023551 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0F68cEg023549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 00:08:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301150608.h0F68cEg023549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 170.0E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.4N9 166.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF KOSRAE. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA HAS EXCELLENT DIFFLUENCE WITH MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 10P (AMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1S8 173.4W5, APPROXIMATELY 620 NM SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 17:20:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14508-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Q00G2JYJLV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 16:35:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0F8Zdx5023905 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 16:35:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0EErW6O015742; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 02:27:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 500553 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 02:27:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0F8ROCw020546 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 02:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0F8RNid024515 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 02:27:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0F8RNLH024514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 02:27:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 02:27:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301150827.h0F8RNLH024514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 45N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 161E TO 41N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 160E TO 37N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 160E TO 37N 156E 33N 150E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 58N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 39N 154E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 116E 24N 124E 27N 132E 22N 133E 18N 119E 18N 114E 23N 116E. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 132E 33N 135E 37N 145E 30N 151E 23N 133E 27N 132E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 06.2N 164.7E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 58N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 175E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 15 23:47:47 2003 X-UIDL: 14524-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8R00GUJFARV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Jan 2003 22:37:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0FEbWx5002130 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 22:37:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FDeOIE015742; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 08:28:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 503159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 08:28:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FES3Cw031106 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 08:28:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0FES3id028385 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 08:28:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0FES3Sx028384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 08:28:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 08:28:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301151428.h0FES3Sx028384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 48N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 163E TO 46N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 163E TO 38N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 163E TO 39N 157E 33N 152E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 49N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 994 HPA AT 54N 165E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 07.3N 162.2E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 21 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 149E WSW 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 33N 124E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 35N 134E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 177E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 04:38:20 2003 X-UIDL: 14547-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8R00GWRVV3V9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:35:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0FKZKx5074801 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:35:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FGgouM027944; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:29:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 509983 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:27:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKRfCw035852 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:27:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0FKReid012527 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:27:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0FKReXH012526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:27:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:27:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301152027.h0FKReXH012526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 07.3N 161.0E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 10.0N 152.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 167E TO 47N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 167E TO 43N 169E 39N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 167E TO 42N 164E 40N 162E 34N 160E 29N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 54N 165E MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 57N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 33N 124E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 35N 135E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 180E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 04:38:25 2003 X-UIDL: 14548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8R00GY8VWZV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:36:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0FKaSx5074977 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:36:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FDeOmU015742; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:29:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 509986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:27:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKRfCw037952 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:27:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0FKRfid012532 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:27:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0FKRfpJ012529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:27:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 14:27:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301152027.h0FKRfpJ012529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 152100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 7.2N9 160.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.2N9 160.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 8.4N2 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 9.3N2 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 10.3N4 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 11.1N3 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.5N0 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 7.5N2 160.1E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC, BUT HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN INFRARED. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 151551Z JAN 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 151600). NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0, 160900Z6, 161500Z3 AND 162100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 05:38:20 2003 X-UIDL: 14549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8R00GKPYPZV9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 05:37:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0FLb0x5084750 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 05:37:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5Gg041914; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:31:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 511246 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FLV7Cw010676 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:31:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0FLV6id015156 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:31:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0FLV6JH015155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:31:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 15:31:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301152131.h0FLV6JH015155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 152130 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 730 AM GUAM LST THU JAN 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W DEVELOPING EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE MARIANAS THIS AFTERNOON. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.5 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.1 EAST...OR ABOUT 140 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI...560 MILES EAST OF CHUUK...AND ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TD 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY...AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ON ITS PRESENT FORECAST COURSE...TD 01W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE MARIANA ISLANDS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...7.5 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE 160.1 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT /WWPQ80 PGUM/ AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 11:26:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14559-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S0002OBHKL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 10:12:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0G2Cnx5038443 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 10:12:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5kA041914; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:04:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 515993 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:04:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G24bCw012664 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:04:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0G24aid021191 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:04:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0G24aPn021190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:04:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:04:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 01w Warning Nr 02// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301160204.h0G24aPn021190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WDPN31 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 01W WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 160000Z7 TO 190000Z0 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 95 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 152330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. B. TD 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK IS FORECAST AS A SLIGHT WEAKNESS DEVELOPS IN THE RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE GLOBAL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AND THE JAPANESE TYPHOON (JTYM) MODEL ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS, EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 11:26:17 2003 X-UIDL: 14562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S000XGCVGL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 10:42:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0G2gix5046352 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 10:42:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5lG041914; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:36:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 516341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:36:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G2aaCw030360 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:36:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0G2aaid021630 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:36:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0G2aZmn021629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:36:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 20:36:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301160236.h0G2aZmn021629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 08.2N 158.8E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 11.0N 151.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 45N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 169E TO 39N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 169E TO 36N 167E 31N 164E 27N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 54N 165E MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 30 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 37N 116E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1020 HPA AT 42N 121E EAST 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 150E SW SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 27N 119E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 34N 125E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 33N 136E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 12:31:16 2003 X-UIDL: 14569-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S000SREWPL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 11:26:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0G3Qhx5056991 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 11:26:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKmIBo035950; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:21:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 516916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:20:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G3KICw030518 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:20:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0G3KIid022099 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:20:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0G3KIlT022098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:20:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:20:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301160320.h0G3KIlT022098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- NEAR 7.7N4 159.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.7N4 159.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 8.5N3 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 9.2N1 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 10.3N4 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 11.4N6 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 13.9N3 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION NEAR 7.9N6 158.7E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 95 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 152330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6, 161500Z3, 162100Z0 AND 170300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 12:31:18 2003 X-UIDL: 14573-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S000ABFVML1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 11:47:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0G3lex5062032 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 11:47:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5oM041914; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:41:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 517266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:41:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G3fMCw039074 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:41:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0G3fLid022407 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:41:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0G3fLQN022406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:41:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 21:41:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301160341.h0G3fLQN022406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 160334 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST THU JAN 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W PASSING NORTH OF POHNPEI... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE MARIANAS TONIGHT. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.9 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 158.7 EAST... OR ABOUT 80 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI...470 MILES EAST OF CHUUK...AND 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL PASS NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY VERY SLOWLY. THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH TD 01W WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE MARIANA ISLANDS SATURDAY. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...7.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE 158.7 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT /WWPQ80 PGUM/ AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 15:23:42 2003 X-UIDL: 14581-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S000Z5KZIL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:38:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0G5c0x5086789 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:38:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5s0041914; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 518209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G5SOCw023308 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0G5SOid023760 for ; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0G5SNxM023758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 15 Jan 2003 23:28:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301160528.h0G5SNxM023758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z6, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8N4 162.2E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 159.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, AND IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) AND REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: /WAKEHAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 17:23:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14593-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S00096V0JL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 17:14:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0G9Ebx5041802 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 17:14:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5xW041914; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:06:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 519854 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:06:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G96hCw014018 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:06:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0G96gid026162 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:06:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0G96gsT026161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:06:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:06:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301160906.h0G96gsT026161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 160900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 8.4N2 157.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N2 157.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 9.2N1 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 10.4N5 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 11.7N9 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 12.7N0 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.3N8 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 8.6N4 157.0E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160530Z5 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS BECOMING FULLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3, 162100Z0, 170300Z1 AND 170900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 17:53:08 2003 X-UIDL: 14596-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S000RCWKEL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 17:48:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0G9m7x5049655 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 17:48:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5xs041914; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:41:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 520067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:41:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G9ftCw037900 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:41:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0G9fsid026498 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:41:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0G9fse1026497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:41:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 03:41:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301160941.h0G9fse1026497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 08.3N 157.9E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 11.0N 150.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 49N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 171E TO 45N 173E 42N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 174E TO 39N 177E 36N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 174E TO 33N 172E 29N 167E 26N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 55N 165E MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 37N 116E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1020 HPA AT 44N 126E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 143E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 18:10:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8S0005CXFWL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 18:07:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GA72x5054541 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 18:07:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk508041914; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:02:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 520164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:02:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GA2MCw008092 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:02:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GA2Mid026735 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:02:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GA2Mi0026734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:02:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 04:02:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161002.h0GA2Mi0026734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 161001 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST THU JAN 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W MOVING AWAY FROM POHNPEI... AS OF 8 PM GUAM LST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 157.0 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 145 MILES NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI AND 890 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 22 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED WELL NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. TD 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY VERY SLOWLY...POSSIBLY REACHING TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...8.6 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 157.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 22 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 21:08:14 2003 X-UIDL: 14608-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T002J15MI5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:03:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GD3mx5000674 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:03:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk540041914; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:53:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 521164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:53:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GCr0Cw026768 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:53:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GCqxid028374 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:52:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GCqxVk028373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:52:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:52:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161252.h0GCqxVk028373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 161241 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST THU JAN 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 156.9 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 870 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED WELL NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. TD 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY VERY SLOWLY...POSSIBLY REACHING MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 156.9 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 21:08:18 2003 X-UIDL: 14609-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T000KS5OZL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:05:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GD5Gx5000935 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:05:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G9txNc035968; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:56:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 521195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:56:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GCuKCw037940 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:56:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GCuJid028430 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:56:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GCuJLD028428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:56:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 06:56:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161256.h0GCuJLD028428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 161253 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A..CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST THU JAN 16 2003 CORRECTED FOR UPDATED POSITION ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 156.5 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 840 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED WELL NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. TD 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY VERY SLOWLY...POSSIBLY REACHING MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...9.2 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 156.5 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 16 22:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 14612-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T000MF9VXL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:35:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GEZox5020639 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:35:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0FKk5BG041914; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:26:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 522307 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GEQpCw037906 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GEQoid000296 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:26:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GEQoDH000295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:26:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:26:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161426.h0GEQoDH000295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 44N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 175E TO 43N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 178E TO 41N 177W 37N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 178E TO 36N 179E 30N 174E 26N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 53N 167E MOVING NORTHWEST 35 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 154E 27N 167E 13N 151E 20N 136E 26N 147E 33N 154E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 115E 07N 112E 10N 107E 15N 110E 15N 115E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 09.2N 156.2E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 38N 120E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 31N 126E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 148E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 00:18:44 2003 X-UIDL: 14613-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T000TBBHCL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 23:10:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GFAEx5027871 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 23:10:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0G9txaW035968; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:57:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 522619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:57:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GEvYCw039028 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:57:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GEvYid001317 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:57:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GEvX5h001316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:57:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 08:57:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161457.h0GEvX5h001316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- NEAR 9.2N1 156.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.2N1 156.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 10.0N1 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 11.3N5 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.6N9 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.8N2 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION NEAR 9.4N3 155.8E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160530Z5 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION. AS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, MAKING THE CENTER DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0, 170300Z1, 170900Z7 AND 171500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 00:19:11 2003 X-UIDL: 14615-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T00207BQM5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Jan 2003 23:15:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GFFqx5029207 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 23:15:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GEvuDk041914; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:08:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 522764 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:08:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GF8jCw024442 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:08:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GF8iid001664 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:08:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GF8iDE001663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:08:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:08:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 01w Warning Nr 04// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161508.h0GF8iDE001663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WDPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 01W WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 161200Z0 TO 191200Z3 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160530Z5 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION. AS CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, MAKING THE CENTER DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. SYNOPTIC AND QUICKSCAT DATA DO NOT INDICATE AN OBVIOUS LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). AN AREA OF COLDER DRY AIR NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IS VISIBLE IN THE WAER VAPOR IMAGERY AND THE SYNOPTIC SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD INFLOW FROM THIS AREA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. RELOCATION OF THE SYSTEM MAY BE LIKELY WHEN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY BECOMES AVAILABLE. B. TD 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL, NCEP AVIATION, AND THE JAPANESE TYPHOON AND GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODELS, THE NAVY GEOPHYSICAL FLUID DYNAMIC MODEL, COAMPS WESTPAC, COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY MODEL, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MOVES INTO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND AS DRY AIR CONTINUES TO BE ENTRAINED. MOST OF THE DYNAMIC MODELS DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM WITHIN THE 48 TO 60 HOUR PERIOD. D. THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 00:19:24 2003 X-UIDL: 14621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T000R9DXZL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 00:03:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GG3Tx5040289 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 00:03:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHDQ041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:54:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 523866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:54:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFseCw024364 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:54:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GFsdid003126 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:54:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GFsdLL003125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:54:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 09:54:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161554.h0GFsdLL003125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 161554 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST FRI JAN 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.8 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 790 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED WELL NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...9.4 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 155.8 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:26 2003 X-UIDL: 14630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T0028ZMV05O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:16:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GJG2x5084051 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:16:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHnq035970; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:07:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 527622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:07:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GJ7eCw007400 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:07:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GJ7did010702 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:07:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GJ7dCQ010701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:07:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:07:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161907.h0GJ7dCQ010701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 161907 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST FRI JAN 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.1 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 760 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. WITH A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 155.1 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM. $$ PRIOR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:27 2003 X-UIDL: 14633-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T002JBOG75O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:50:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GJoPx5093030 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:50:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHdA041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:42:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 528357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:42:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GJgECw034372 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:42:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GJgEid012028 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:42:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GJgEmO012027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:42:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 13:42:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301161942.h0GJgEmO012027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 161939 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST FRI JAN 17 2003 CORRECTED FOR WORDING IN THIRD AND FIFTH PARAGRAPH ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.1 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 760 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH...WITH A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.1 EAST...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM. $$ PRIOR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:29 2003 X-UIDL: 14638-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T0025PPIL5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:13:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GKDRx5098414 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:13:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHfk041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:08:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 528878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:08:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GK88Cw040848 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:08:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GK87id013065 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:08:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GK87BQ013064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:08:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:08:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301162008.h0GK87BQ013064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 9.0N9 155.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N9 155.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 9.7N6 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 11.0N2 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 12.1N4 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.3N7 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.6N2 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 9.2N1 154.3E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. BASED ON THE FORECASTED TRACK TAKING THE SYSTEM INTO A REGION OF DECREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, TD 01W IS NOW FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY RATHER THAN DISSIPATE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1, 170900Z7, 171500Z4 AND 172100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:30 2003 X-UIDL: 14640-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T000OSQFEL1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:33:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GKX8x5002343 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 04:33:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHhG041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:27:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 529102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:27:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GKRVCw037952 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:27:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GKRUid013751 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:27:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GKRUti013750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:27:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 14:27:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301162027.h0GKRUti013750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 45N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 178E TO 43N 178W 41N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 176W TO 39N 173W 37N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 176W TO 38N 176W 32N 180E 28N 175E 26N 170E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 47N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 45N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 46N 174E MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 140E 27N 150E 27N 160E 16N 162E 13N 148E 24N 140E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 09.4N 154.5E CAROLINES MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 38N 121E EAST 15 KT. LOW 980 HPA AT 53N 167E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 46N 112E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 30N 126E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 149E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:32 2003 X-UIDL: 14650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8T002Q9VEK5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 06:20:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0GMKbx5021229 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 06:20:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHv0041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 16:14:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 531373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 16:14:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GMEJCw027796 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 16:14:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0GMEJid017648 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 16:14:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0GMEILa017647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 16:14:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 16:14:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301162214.h0GMEILa017647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 162214 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST FRI JAN 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 154.3 EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 710 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 710 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH...WITH A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.2 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 154.3 EAST...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U002GE2PA5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:58:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H0wFx5050878 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:58:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GFrHAE041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 18:50:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 533922 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 18:50:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H0oHCw040290 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 18:50:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H0oGid020638 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 18:50:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H0oG1S020637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 18:50:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 18:50:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170050.h0H0oG1S020637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 170050 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST FRI JAN 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 600 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 600 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U002PL6YK5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 10:30:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H2UEx5073399 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 10:30:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226E4041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:21:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 534794 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:20:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H2KoCw029198 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:20:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H2Klid021732 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:20:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H2KkkE021731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:20:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:20:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 01w Warning Nr 06// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170220.h0H2KkkE021731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WDPN31 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 01W WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 170000Z8 TO 200000Z2 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE, MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, HOWEVER THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. B. TS 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. DURING THE MID PERIOD A WEAKNESS DEVELOPS IN THE RIDGE ALLOWING FOR A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, RECURVATURE IS FORECAST WITH INTERACTION WITH THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES COMMENCING BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), GFDN, COAMPS, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE MID PERIOD. AFTER 36 HOURS, EGRR AND AVN HAVE A POLEWARD BIAS, WITH AN EARLIER RECURVATURE, WHILE GFDN KEEPS THE SYSTEM WEAKER AND HAS A MORE EQUATORWARD BIAS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS A SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT TRACKS TOWARD AN AREA OF STEADILY, BUT SLOWLY, DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14662-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U002VI7195O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 10:31:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H2Vox5073817 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 10:31:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0GLCm0Y035970; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:23:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 534817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:22:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H2MACw036558 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:22:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H2M9id021751 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:22:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H2M9Lp021750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:22:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:22:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170222.h0H2M9Lp021750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 10.0N1 152.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 152.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 11.3N5 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.5N8 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.7N1 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.8N3 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.2N0 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 152.2E0. TROPICAL STORM 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE, MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, HOWEVER THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7, 171500Z4, 172100Z1 AND 180300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U002W271C5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 10:32:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H2Vsx5073834 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 10:31:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226EI041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:27:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 534847 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H2RMCw029274 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:27:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H2RCid021784 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:27:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H2RCkb021783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:27:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 20:27:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170227.h0H2RCkb021783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 45N 178W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 178W TO 42N 173W 38N 171W. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 171W TO 34N 166W 30N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 171W TO 32N 172W 27N 178W 22N 176E 20N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 950 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 46N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 44N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 48N 173E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 11.9N 151.0E CAROLINES MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1022 HPA AT 37N 125E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 45N 141E EAST 30 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 44N 114E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 28N 118E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 30N 132E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 29N 145E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 155E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:37 2003 X-UIDL: 14665-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U002LD91E5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:15:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H3F8x5085013 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:15:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226FG041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:08:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 535195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:08:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H38UCw029436 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:08:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H38Tid022206 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:08:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H38TA2022205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:08:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:08:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170308.h0H38TA2022205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 170301 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST FRI JAN 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY TONIGHT IF THE STORM FOLLOWS ITS FORECAST TRACK. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 550 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 550 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TD 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:37 2003 X-UIDL: 14666-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U002059955O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:19:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H3Jlx5085996 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:19:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226FM041916; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:14:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 535248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:14:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H3EhCw038074 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:14:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H3Egid022262 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:14:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H3EgnB022261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:14:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 21:14:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170314.h0H3EgnB022261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 170314 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 6...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST FRI JAN 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY TONIGHT IF THE STORM FOLLOWS ITS FORECAST TRACK. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 550 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 550 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TS 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 14:28:41 2003 X-UIDL: 14675-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U00283E8A5O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:07:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H57Gx5010598 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:07:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H4qgDa015760; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 23:03:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 536168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 23:00:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H4xoCw023216 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:59:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H4xnid023162 for ; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:59:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H4xn6x023160 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:59:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 16 Jan 2003 22:59:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170459.h0H4xn6x023160@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 152.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: /WAKEHAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 15:45:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14681-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U009WWK6KED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:15:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H7Fnx5042120 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:15:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226MY041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 01:07:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 537094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 01:07:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H77qCw024480 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 01:07:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H77pid024360 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 01:07:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H77ptQ024359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 01:07:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 01:07:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170707.h0H77ptQ024359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 170653 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST FRI JAN 17 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 01W MOVING STEADILY WEST-NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA LATER TONIGHT. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 475 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 470 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TS 01W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...BUT WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. SOME INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 21 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM. $$ JILLSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 16:55:28 2003 X-UIDL: 14688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U00903OMFED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 16:51:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H8pjx5065965 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 16:51:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226N6041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 02:44:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 537613 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 02:44:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H8i4Cw024410 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 02:44:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H8i3id025039 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 02:44:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H8i34l025038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 02:44:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 02:44:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170844.h0H8i34l025038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 46N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 35 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 45N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 44N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 13.3N 149.4E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 14.0N 145.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 45N 145E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 36N 126E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 148E WEST 15 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 44N 115E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 26N 127E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 18N 170E TO 20N 176E 22N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 19:47:46 2003 X-UIDL: 14692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U009ZJR2GED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 17:44:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H9iYx5078703 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 17:44:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226Nq041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:37:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 537802 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:37:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H9bSCw004624 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:37:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H9bRid025595 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:37:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H9bRNc025594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:37:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:37:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170937.h0H9bRNc025594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 170900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 11.2N4 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.7N0 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.6N0 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.8N3 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.0N7 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.2N0 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.6N8 150.8E4. TROPICAL STORM 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z6 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING INTO DIURNAL MINIMUM, AND THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DYING DOWN IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS, AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4, 172100Z1, 180300Z2 AND 180900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 19:47:47 2003 X-UIDL: 14693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8U009GBRNIED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 17:57:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0H9vCx5082425 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 17:57:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226O0041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:53:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 537874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:52:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H9qACw004740 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:52:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0H9q9id025684 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:52:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0H9q9Op025683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:52:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 03:52:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301170952.h0H9q9Op025683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 170950 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST FRI JAN 17 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 01W BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 425 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 420 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TS 01W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 22 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...BUT WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. SOME INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 22 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM SATURDAY MORNING. $$ JILLSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 23:18:35 2003 X-UIDL: 14706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009XP0TYED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 21:15:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HDFOx5021910 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 21:15:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226S4041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:07:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 539206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:07:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HD7bCw030224 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:07:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HD7aid027324 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:07:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HD7aU6027323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:07:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:07:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171307.h0HD7aU6027323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 171258 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST FRI JAN 17 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 01W BEGINNING TO WEAKEN... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 385 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TS 01W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...BUT WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SATURDAY MORNING. $$ JILLSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 23:18:37 2003 X-UIDL: 14709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009772U2ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 21:58:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HDwix5029628 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 21:58:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226Sw041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:53:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 539531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:53:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HDriCw040262 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:53:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HDrhid027992 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:53:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HDrhct027991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:53:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 07:53:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171353.h0HDrhct027991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 008 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 01W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 11.7N9 150.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 150.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.1N5 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.7N1 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.7N2 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.7N3 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.0N8 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 12.1N4 149.8E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CONVECTION AGAIN HAS ALL BUT CEASED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS WEAK IN THE SYNOTPIC AND QUICKSCAT DATA, WITH MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 25 KNOTS ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SYSTEM. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A SINGLE THUNDERSTORM OVER THE LLCC. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS AND RECENT QUICKSCAT DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1, 180300Z2, 180900Z8 AND 181500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 23:18:39 2003 X-UIDL: 14711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V0093P4EUED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:32:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HEWmx5036203 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:32:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226VY041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:22:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 539982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:22:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HEMSCw024028 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:22:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HEMRid028680 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:22:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HEMRKX028679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:22:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:22:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 01w Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171422.h0HEMRKX028679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WDPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 171200Z1 TO 201200Z5 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CONVECTION AGAIN HAS ALL BUT CEASED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS WEAK IN THE SYNOPTIC AND QUICKSCAT DATA, WITH MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 25 KNOTS ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SYSTEM. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A SINGLE THUNDERSTORM OVER THE LLCC. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS AND RECENT QUICKSCAT DATA. B. TD 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD INITIALLY, THEN INCREASINGLY NORTHWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE MORE NORTHWARD TRACK WILL MOVE THE SYSTEM INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, CAUSED BY A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (JGSM), UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), GFDN, COAMPS, THE COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY MODEL, AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE 48 HOURS. AFTER, JGSM, EGRR, AND AVN TAKE A POLEWARD TURN, WHILE GFDN AND NOGAPS KEEPS THE SYSTEM WEAKER AND HAS A MORE EQUATORWARD BIAS. MULTIPLE CYCLONES BECOME VISIBLE AT THE LATER PERIODS IN MOST MODEL RUNS, AND INDICATING INCREASED WEAKENING AND MULTIPLE POSSIBLE PATHS. THE PATH THE SYSTEM EVENTUALLY TAKES WILL DEPEND MOSTLY ON THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM, IF IT IS STRONG ENOUGH, IT MAY RECURVE AND UNDERGO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, IN THE MID-LATITUDE FLOW, BUT IF IT REMAINS WEAK, IT WILL MORE LIKELY MOVE MORE WESTWARD AS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE CONSENSUS OBJECTIVE AIDS TAKE THE SYSTEM INTO THE WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE AROUND THE 48 HOUR POINT, THEN VIRTUALLY STOP THE SYSTEM WITHIN THE WEAKNESS AT 72 HOURS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM HAS PULSED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, WEAKENING TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH DURING THE NIGHT, THEN REINTENSIFYING AT DAWN TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL UNDERGO SIMILAR PULSING IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. OVERALL, TD 01W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS IT BEGINS TO SLOW DOWN. THERE IS POTENTIAL THAT THE SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES. AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF MAINLAND ASIA, THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR ENHANCED DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE OUTFLOW AREA OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM, AND A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS INDICATING SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER WINDS IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 17 23:18:39 2003 X-UIDL: 14712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V0095N4GLED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:33:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HEXpx5036366 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:33:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226Vc041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:28:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 540037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:28:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HESZCw014076 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:28:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HESYid028823 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:28:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HESY0x028822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:28:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 08:28:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171428.h0HESY0x028822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 47N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 45N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 44N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 12.9N 148.6E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 13.8N 145.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 36N 131E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 58N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 43N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 27N 131E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 27N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 16N 172E TO 18N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 00:58:05 2003 X-UIDL: 14717-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009R68OFED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 00:05:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HG4ux5055196 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 00:04:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226cs041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:57:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 541435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:57:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HFvCCw017426 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:57:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HFvBid002117 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:57:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HFvBBY002116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:57:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 09:57:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171557.h0HFvBBY002116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 171556 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 01W DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA BY MORNING. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 355 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 345 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 12.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:24 2003 X-UIDL: 14724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V00964DUEED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:56:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HHuWx5078468 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:56:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226kM041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:51:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 542863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:51:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HHpWCw007242 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:51:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HHpWid006198 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:51:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HHpWk7006197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:51:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 11:51:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171751.h0HHpWk7006197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 171500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WARNING NR 008A CORRECTED DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 01W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 11.7N9 150.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 150.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.1N5 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.7N1 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.7N2 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.7N3 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.0N8 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 12.1N4 149.8E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CONVECTION AGAIN HAS ALL BUT CEASED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS WEAK IN THE SYNOPTIC AND QUICKSCAT DATA, WITH MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 25 KNOTS ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SYSTEM. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A SINGLE THUNDERSTORM OVER THE LLCC. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS AND RECENT QUICKSCAT DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1, 180300Z2, 180900Z8 AND 181500Z5. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: REMOVED DISSIPATING STATEMENT FROM WARNING LINE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:29 2003 X-UIDL: 14726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V00972HC6ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:12:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HJBwx5094528 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:12:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226ps041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:04:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 543727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:04:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HJ4FCw033312 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:04:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HJ4Fid008447 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:04:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HJ4Frb008446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:04:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:04:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171904.h0HJ4Frb008446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 171904 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W MOVING CLOSER TO THE MARIANAS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA LATE THIS MORNING. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 310 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:30 2003 X-UIDL: 14728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009BAHXYED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:25:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HJP4x5097996 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:25:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226qe041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:19:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 543993 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:19:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HJJDCw030400 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:19:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HJJDid008874 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:19:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HJJDpY008873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:19:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:19:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin..amended... Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171919.h0HJJDpY008873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 171919 AAA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN..AMENDED... TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8B NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 AMENDED FOR AN UPDATED POSITION ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W MOVING CLOSER TO THE MARIANAS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA LATE THIS MORNING. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 255 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 260 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 12.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:30 2003 X-UIDL: 14730-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V00916JTCED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:05:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HK5Tx5007564 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:05:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226t4041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:58:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 544312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:51:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HJpFCw033310 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:51:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HJpEid009852 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:51:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HJpEi8009849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:51:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 13:51:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301171951.h0HJpEi8009849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 170600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL STORM 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 152.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO TROPICAL STORM IN AND THE SPEED OF MOVEMENT PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14734-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009XWLLTED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:44:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HKiBx5017285 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:44:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226uw041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:30:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 544934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:30:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HKUcCw012750 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:30:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HKUbid011115 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:30:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HKUba9011114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:30:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:30:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301172030.h0HKUba9011114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 46N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 44N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 43N 174W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13.2N 147.4E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 14.0N 145.1E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 36N 132E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 58N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 36N 116E EAST 10 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 16N 172E TO 18N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14735-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009CQM2TED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:54:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HKsNx5018891 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 04:54:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0H226vk041916; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:49:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 545223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:49:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HKnfCw011118 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:49:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HKneid011697 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:49:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HKneWa011696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:49:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 14:49:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301172049.h0HKneWa011696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 172100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 12.4N7 148.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 148.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.6N0 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.6N1 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.5N1 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.4N1 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.5N4 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.7N0 148.1E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS. A 171631Z9 TRMM PASS DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTION NEAR THE LLCC OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2, 180900Z8, 181500Z5 AND 182100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14736-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009TLO0VED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 05:36:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0HLaKx5024956 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 05:36:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HGgLp8015760; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:28:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 545614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:27:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HLRVCw017584 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:27:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0HLRVid012992 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:27:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0HLRVRK012991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:27:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 15:27:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301172127.h0HLRVRK012991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 172127 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM 01W... ..A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS FOR GUAM AND ROTA AND EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 230 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM 01W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS LOCATED NORTH AND WEST OF THE CENTER. A SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 12.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V009L5Y07ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:12:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I1C0x5058614 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:12:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqVM015948; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:06:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 548419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:05:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I15nCw035404 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:05:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I15nid016986 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:05:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I15mKB016985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:05:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:05:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180105.h0I15mKB016985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 180105 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W SPECIAL PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 01W CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD TINIAN AND SAIPAN... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUAM HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS OF 11 AM LST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS FOR ROTA AND EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. DAMAGING WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED ON THE ISLAND OF GUAM. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR LOCATED THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 01W NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 150 MILES EAST OF GUAM...130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 145 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM 01W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 45 MPH. FURTHER SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 09:56:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8V00962YYIED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:32:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I1Wax5063204 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:32:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqPq018190; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:26:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 548818 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:26:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I1Q9Cw035944 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:26:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I1Q9id017197 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:26:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I1Q93V017196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:26:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 19:26:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180126.h0I1Q93V017196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 180125 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W SPECIAL PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 9A...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 01W CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD TINIAN AND SAIPAN... CORRECTED CANCELLATION STATEMENT FOR GUAM THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GUAM HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS OF 11 AM LST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS FOR ROTA AND EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. DAMAGING WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED ON THE ISLAND OF GUAM. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR LOCATED THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 01W NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 150 MILES EAST OF GUAM...130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 145 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM 01W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 45 MPH. FURTHER SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 11:10:35 2003 X-UIDL: 14753-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W0092Y2DUED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 10:46:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I2kax5077230 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 10:46:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqRE018190; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:41:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 549473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I2dmCw038784 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I2ddid017819 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I2ddH1017818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 01w Warning Nr 10// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180239.h0I2ddH1017818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WDPN31 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 01W WARNING NR 10// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 180000Z9 TO 210000Z3 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. B. TS 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE SEA OF JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND PROPAGATE EASTWARD, WEAKENING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BY MID PERIOD, RESULTING IN A NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD TRACK BY 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL SPECTRAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), COAMPS, AND AFWA MM5, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THE AIDS DEPICT A WEAKER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAN IMAGERY SUGGESTS, RESULTING IN A SLOWER TRACK THROUGH 24 HOURS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND THE MEDIUM BETA ADVECTION MODEL. C. TS 01W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. THE INTENSITY WILL THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS ABOVE THE RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. INITIAL AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 11:10:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14754-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W0093C2E0ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 10:46:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I2kgx5077252 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 10:46:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqRA018190; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:38:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 549461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:38:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I2cECw028406 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:38:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I2c8id017809 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:38:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I2c8GY017808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:38:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:38:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180238.h0I2c8GY017808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13.4N 147.0E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 14.3N 145.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 45N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 165E 56N 163E 56N 180E 51N 179W 50N 165E. SUMMARY. LOW 984 HPA AT 56N 175E NW 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 36N 119E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 43N 127E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N 149E TO 20N 161E 18N 170E 19N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 11:10:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14755-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W009472EXED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 10:47:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I2lFx5077376 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 10:47:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I1JZLa027716; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 549470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I2djCw028164 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I2dfid017824 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I2dfxn017823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 20:39:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180239.h0I2dfxn017823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 13.3N7 147.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 147.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.3N9 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.5N2 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.9N7 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.0N0 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.1N4 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.8N2 146.8E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8, 181500Z5, 182100Z2 AND 190300Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 12:19:09 2003 X-UIDL: 14760-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W009LU6I4ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 12:15:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I4FWx5094031 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 12:15:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqSI018190; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:06:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 549971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:06:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I46mCw003792 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:06:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I46gid018478 for ; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:06:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I46gX1018477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:06:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 17 Jan 2003 22:06:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180406.h0I46gX1018477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 180406 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 01W INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES TOWARD TINIAN AND SAIPAN... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR AGRIHAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THIS MEANS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 39 MPH TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN AND EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. DAMAGING WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED ON THE ISLAND OF GUAM. AT 2 PM GUAM LST...0400Z...WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR LOCATED THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 01W NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 125 MILES EAST OF GUAM...95 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA...AND 110 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM 01W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 18 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH A DRAMATIC DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW 45 MPH. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 2 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 16:06:53 2003 X-UIDL: 14764-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W00914ERM77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:14:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I7E3x5024464 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:14:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqVq018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:07:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551355 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:07:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I77PCw007842 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:07:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I77Oid019705 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:07:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I77Ovq019704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:07:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:07:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0301 Yanyan (0301) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180707.h0I77Ovq019704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WTJP21 RJTD 180600 WARNING 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 14.2N 146.5E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 14.9N 147.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 16.5N 150.5E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 18.5N 155.5E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 16:06:53 2003 X-UIDL: 14765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W0091CERN77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:14:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I7E5x5024470 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:14:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqVo018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:03:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:03:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I73VCw003798 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:03:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I73Uid019670 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:03:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I73UjO019669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:03:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:03:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180703.h0I73UjO019669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 180703 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 01W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 01W NOW EAST OF ROTA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. AT 5 PM GUAM LST...0700Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 01W WAS LOCATED BY WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 95 MILES EAST OF ROTA...100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN...AND 130 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM 01W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH. IT IS SLOWING DOWN AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 01W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 5 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 16:06:54 2003 X-UIDL: 14766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W009ZVFWZ77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:38:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I7cox5028164 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 15:38:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqW6018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:32:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:32:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I7WhCw042652 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:32:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I7WYid019845 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:32:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I7WYHt019844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:32:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 01:32:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180732.h0I7WYHt019844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 180722 AAA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM YANYAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 UPDATED FOR NAME...TROPICAL STORM YANYAN ..TROPICAL STORM YANYAN NOW EAST OF ROTA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN. AT 5 PM GUAM LST...0700Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM YANYAN WAS LOCATED BY DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 95 MILES EAST OF ROTA...100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN...AND 130 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM YANYAN IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH. IT IS SLOWING DOWN AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM YANYAN IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 5 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 11 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YANYAN LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 16:47:28 2003 X-UIDL: 14767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W009UJJ0Q77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:46:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I8jux5037863 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:45:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqWk018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:34:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551810 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:34:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I8YhCw033492 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:34:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I8Yhid020175 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:34:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I8YdoY020174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:34:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:34:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180834.h0I8YdoY020174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 45N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 1100 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 986 HPA AT 54N 174E MOVING SOUTH 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 41N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 45 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1026 HPA AT 35N 115E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1026 HPA AT 41N 120E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 64N 135E SE 25 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 14.2N 146.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N 151E TO 19N 160E 17N 167E 17N 174E 17N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 16:47:28 2003 X-UIDL: 14768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W009UVJ0U77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:46:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I8k0x5037889 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:46:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqWm018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:41:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:41:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I8f0Cw033516 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:41:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I8exid020207 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:40:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I8extk020205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:40:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:40:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180840.h0I8extk020205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TROPICAL STORM 01W WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 147.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF GUAM, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 18 16:52:30 2003 X-UIDL: 14769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W00925J4O77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:48:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I8mHx5038372 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:48:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I1JZm6027716; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:41:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:41:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I8eqCw024724 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:40:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I8epid020200 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:40:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I8epIi020199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:40:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 02:40:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180840.h0I8epIi020199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 13.9N3 146.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 146.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.7N2 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.6N2 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.7N4 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.5N3 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.0N2 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 146.6E7. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF ROTA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS RECENTLY BEGUN TO MOVE NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5, 182100Z2, 190300Z3 AND 190900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W0092WLCC77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 17:36:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0I9a6x5045628 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 17:36:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqXO018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:30:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 551965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:30:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I9U8Cw042470 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:30:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0I9U3id020619 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:30:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0I9U3tK020618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:30:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 03:30:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301180930.h0I9U3tK020618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 180929 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM YANYAN ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM WATCHES FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN DISCONTINUED... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND AGRIHAN ARE CANCELLED AS OF 8 PM GUAM LST. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM YANYAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN....95 MILES EAST OF ROTA AND 130 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM YANYAN IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. IT IS SLOWING DOWN AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. YANYAN IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 8 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 14.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. FOR MORE INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YANYAN LOCAL STATEMENTS...WTPQ81 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM SUNDAY. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:16 2003 X-UIDL: 14778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W0093IVAX77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 21:11:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IDBFx5077577 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 21:11:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqZs018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 06:58:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 552744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 06:58:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ICwQCw024716 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 06:58:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ICwPid021771 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 06:58:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ICwPgd021770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 06:58:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 06:58:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0301 Yanyan (0301) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181258.h0ICwPgd021770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTJP21 RJTD 181200 WARNING 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 14.9N 146.8E MARIANAS MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 15.8N 147.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 17.5N 151.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 18.5N 155.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:16 2003 X-UIDL: 14779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8W00963VFZ77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 21:14:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IDEHx5077970 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 21:14:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqZu018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 07:06:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 552762 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 07:06:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0ID6ECw003586 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 07:06:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0ID6Did021851 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 07:06:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0ID6Djw021850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 07:06:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 07:06:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181306.h0ID6Djw021850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 181305 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM YANYAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST SAT JAN 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM YANYAN NEARLY STATIONARY EAST OF THE MARIANAS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM YANYAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.7 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN...100 MILES EAST OF ROTA AND 135 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM YANYAN HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. YANYAN IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 14.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.7 DEGREES EAST...NEARLY STATIONARY WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. RESIDENTS OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN SHOULD REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YANYAN LOCAL STATEMENTS /WTPQ81 PGUM/ FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SUNDAY. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:17 2003 X-UIDL: 14782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X0097P00D77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 22:53:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IEqtx5094100 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 22:52:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqdi018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 08:41:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 553423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 08:41:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IEf0Cw003828 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 08:41:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IEf0id022323 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 08:41:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IEexw6022322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 08:40:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 08:40:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181440.h0IEexw6022322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 40N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 38N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 53N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 145E 20N 146E 21N 163E 15N 161E 15N 153E 17N 145E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 169E 60N 179W 49N 180E 50N 171E 54N 168E 60N 169E. SUMMARY. LOW 1022 HPA AT 39N 128E EAST 25 KT. LOW 990 HPA AT 57N 173W WEST 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 25N 149E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 14.9N 146.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 151E TO 19N 158E 17N 167E 16N 173E 17N 177W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:17 2003 X-UIDL: 14783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009NE1KX77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 23:26:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IFQnx5099205 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 23:26:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0I1JZ54027716; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 553588 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IFKVCw038782 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IFKUid022583 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IFKUsf022582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181520.h0IFKUsf022582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WDPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 181200Z2 TO 211200Z6 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF ROTA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY AND AN 181148Z3 SSM/I PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RADAR IMAGERY AND THE LATEST SSM/I PASS INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS IN THE WESTERN AND POLEWARD QUADRANTS. B. TS 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A DEVELOPING LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. A MID- LATITUDE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE SEA OF JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND PROPAGATE EASTWARD, WEAKENING THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE BY 36 HOURS. TS 01W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 24 HOURS INTO THE DEVELOPING WEAKNESS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL SPECTRAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), COAMPS, AND AFWA MM5, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. GFDN MAINTAINS THE VERTICAL STACKING AND THE STRONGEST DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW MOVING OFF OF JAPAN RESULTING IN A FASTER SPEED OF MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST. AVN ON THE OTHER HAND, DECOUPLES THE SYSTEM AND HAS THE LLCC MOVING SLOWLY TO THE EAST. THE REMAINING AIDS AGREE IN SLOW MOVEMENT POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN INCREASING MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 01W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD NORTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS INTO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. D. INITIAL AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:18 2003 X-UIDL: 14784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009NQ1L477@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 23:27:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IFQwx5099230 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 23:27:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqeQ018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 553585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IFKZCw024020 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IFKYid022588 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IFKYR9022587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:20:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181520.h0IFKYR9022587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 14.0N5 146.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 146.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.6N1 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.4N0 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.4N1 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.5N3 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.0N0 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 14.2N7 146.6E7. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF ROTA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY AND AN 181148Z3 SSM/I PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RADAR IMAGERY AND THE LATEST SSM/I PASS INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS IN THE WESTERN AND POLEWARD QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPWN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2, 190300Z3, 190900Z9 AND 191500Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 01:29:18 2003 X-UIDL: 14786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009182Y377@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Jan 2003 23:56:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IFuKx5005203 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 23:56:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqeo018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:48:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 553724 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:48:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IFmvCw024036 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:48:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IFmvid022790 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:48:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IFmva8022789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:48:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 09:48:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181548.h0IFmva8022789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 181548 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM YANYAN PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST SUN JAN 19 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM YANYAN NEARLY STATIONARY EAST OF THE MARIANAS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM YANYAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN...95 MILES EAST OF ROTA AND 135 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM YANYAN HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. YANYAN IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 14.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST...NEARLY STATIONARY WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. RESIDENTS OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN SHOULD REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YANYAN LOCAL STATEMENTS /WTPQ81 PGUM/ FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM SUNDAY. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 03:09:01 2003 X-UIDL: 14805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009A5BSV77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:07:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IJ7bx5034871 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:07:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqlg018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 12:59:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 555376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 12:59:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IIxjCw035980 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 12:59:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IIxiid024331 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 12:59:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IIxiQ7024330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 12:59:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 12:59:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0301 Yanyan (0301) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181859.h0IIxiQ7024330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTJP21 RJTD 181800 WARNING 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 15.0N 147.2E EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 15.8N 148.1E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 17.0N 153.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 18.0N 157.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 03:29:00 2003 X-UIDL: 14807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009EICL177@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:24:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IJOVx5039194 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 03:24:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqmg018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 13:18:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 555605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 13:18:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IJIYCw013956 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 13:18:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IJISid024491 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 13:18:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IJIRQn024490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 13:18:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 13:18:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301181918.h0IJIRQn024490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 181915 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM YANYAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST SUN JAN 19 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM YANYAN SLOWLY MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM YANYAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.5 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 130 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN... 155 MILES EAST OF ROTA AND 195 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM YANYAN IS SLOWLY MOVING TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. IT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME THIS MOTION OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. YANYAN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 14.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. RESIDENTS OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN SHOULD REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YANYAN LOCAL STATEMENTS /WTPQ81 PGUM/ FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 04:49:01 2003 X-UIDL: 14809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009S4G7P77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 04:43:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IKgtx5054101 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 04:42:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IHNYYi027716; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 556646 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IKbcCw017152 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IKbXid025169 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IKbTPx025164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301182037.h0IKbTPx025164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 14.4N9 147.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 147.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.0N6 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.6N2 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.3N0 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.1N9 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.5N4 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 147.8E0. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 108 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 55 KNOTS. A 181534Z2 TRMM PASS AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT THE CONVECTION BUILDING BACK INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3, 190900Z9, 191500Z6 AND 192100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 04:49:01 2003 X-UIDL: 14810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009TVGB377@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 04:45:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IKivx5054359 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 04:44:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqpg018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 556643 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IKbUCw029190 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IKbUid025166 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IKbT3T025165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 14:37:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301182037.h0IKbT3T025165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 39N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 38N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 38N 173W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 53N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 37N 150E 29N 139E 35N 139E 37N 141E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 150E 31N 149E 25N 139E 29N 139E 37N 150E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 39N 129E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 15.0N 147.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 151E TO 19N 161E 18N 170E 16N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 06:39:02 2003 X-UIDL: 14813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009CMLA077@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 06:32:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0IMWJkQ003132 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 06:32:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbquk018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:26:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 557570 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:26:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IMPxCw025200 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:25:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0IMPwid026041 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:25:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0IMPw08026040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:25:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 16:25:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301182225.h0IMPw08026040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 182225 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM YANYAN ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SUN JAN 19 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM YANYAN MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM YANYAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.8 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 145 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN... 180 MILES EAST OF ROTA AND 220 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM YANYAN IS MOVING TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. YANYAN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 14.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. RESIDENTS OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN SHOULD REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YANYAN LOCAL STATEMENTS /WTPQ81 PGUM/ FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 09:19:02 2003 X-UIDL: 14815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X00979SK377@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 09:09:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J19XkQ025817 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 09:09:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbq0M018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:02:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 558522 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:02:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J12ICw027622 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:02:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J12Eid026978 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:02:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J12Dq0026977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:02:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:02:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0301 Yanyan (0301) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190102.h0J12Dq0026977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTJP21 RJTD 190000 WARNING 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 15.2N 147.7E EAST OF SAIPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 16.4N 149.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 17.5N 153.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 20.0N 160.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 09:19:02 2003 X-UIDL: 14816-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009CXSVP77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 09:16:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J1GVkQ026606 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 09:16:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbq0Y018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:11:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 558573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:11:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J1BaCw042862 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:11:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J1BZid027024 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:11:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J1BZAI027023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:11:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 19:11:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190111.h0J1BZAI027023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 190111 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM YANYAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SUN JAN 19 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM YANYAN MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM YANYAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.1 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 170 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM YANYAN IS MOVING EAST AT 9 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55 MPH. YANYAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 14.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING EAST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 MPH. RESIDENTS OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN SHOULD REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YANYAN LOCAL STATEMENTS /WTPQ81 PGUM/ FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 10:49:02 2003 X-UIDL: 14818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X0092ZX4Q77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 10:48:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J2mKkQ038925 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 10:48:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbq3I018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:40:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 559094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:40:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J2erCw023152 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:40:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J2elid027460 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:40:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J2elZD027459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:40:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:40:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190240.h0J2elZD027459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 39N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 38N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 38N 169W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 32N 134E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 32N 136E 30N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 28N 129E 24N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1016 HPA AT 38N 131E MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 169E 60N 164E 60N 180E 51N 180E 50N 169E. SUMMARY. LOW 966 HPA AT 47N 174W WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 31N 112E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 32N 149E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 15.2N 147.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 152E TO 20N 160E 18N 169E 17N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 10:59:02 2003 X-UIDL: 14819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X0097CX8E77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 10:50:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J2oWkQ039386 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 10:50:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbq3M018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:44:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 559109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J2hoCw023178 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J2hnid027493 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J2hnEN027492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190243.h0J2hnEN027492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 14.4N9 148.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 148.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 14.9N4 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.4N0 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.1N8 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.7N4 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.0N9 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.5N0 148.4E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS AND A 182223Z8 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTING 50 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER. A 182229Z4 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DRY AIR ALONG THE WESTERN QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 10:59:02 2003 X-UIDL: 14820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X0098XX9K77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 10:51:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J2pEkQ039584 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 10:51:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbq3i018190; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:46:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 559131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:46:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J2kJCw025202 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:46:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J2kJid027506 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:46:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J2kJ03027505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:46:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:46:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190246.h0J2kJ03027505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPQ31 PGUM 190246 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM YANYAN ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 1 PM GUAM LST SUN JAN 19 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN DISCONTINUED... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN IS CANCELLED AS OF 1 PM. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM YANYAN IS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.4 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 185 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM YANYAN IS MOVING EAST...AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS...AT 8 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 MPH. YANYAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 14.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING EAST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 MPH. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 10:59:03 2003 X-UIDL: 14821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8X009AEXAO77@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 10:52:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J2pskQ039832 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 10:51:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0IHNYw0027716; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 559106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J2hKCw040240 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J2hKid027483 for ; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J2hKlj027482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 18 Jan 2003 20:43:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 2. Prognostic Reasoning For 190000z0 To 220000z4 Jan 03. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190243.h0J2hKlj027482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUPERLONG_LINE WDPN31 PGTW 190300 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 190000Z0 TO 220000Z4 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS AND A 182223Z8 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTING 50 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER. A 182229Z4 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DRY AIR ALONG THE WESTERN QUADRANT. B. TS 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND PROPAGATE EASTWARD. TS 01W IS FORECAST TO INTERACT WITH THE SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE PERIOD AND BEGIN TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY 48 TO 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL SPECTRAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), COAMPS, AND AFWA MM5, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS. AVN, EGRR, AND JGSM WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AFTER 48 HOURS. GFDN, NOGAPS, JTYM, COAMPS, AND AFWA INTERACT TS 01W WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEM MORE AGGRESSIVELY, RESULTING IN A FASTER TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 01W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS INTO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. D. INITIAL AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 182223Z8 QUIKSCAT PASS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 14:29:03 2003 X-UIDL: 14823-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Y008FQ72LXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:23:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J6N2kQ069998 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:23:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqBe018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:18:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 561085 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:18:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J6IpCw023468 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:18:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J6Ioid028858 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J6Io33028855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 00:18:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190618.h0J6Io33028855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 148.1E4, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 15:09:03 2003 X-UIDL: 14828-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Y008YK970XG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 15:09:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J78skQ076463 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 15:08:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqC8018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:00:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 561358 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:00:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J704Cw004694 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:00:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J704id029072 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:00:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J700LF029045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:00:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:00:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0301 Yanyan (0301) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190700.h0J700LF029045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTJP21 RJTD 190600 WARNING 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 15.2N 148.8E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING EAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 16.0N 149.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 17.0N 153.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 19.0N 158.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 15:59:03 2003 X-UIDL: 14829-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Y008LEBBBXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 15:54:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J7sfkQ082396 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 15:54:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0HMbqCo018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:49:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 561663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:49:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J7nfCw003694 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:49:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J7neid029299 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:49:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J7newa029298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:49:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 01:49:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190749.h0J7newa029298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 14.7N2 148.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 148.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.2N8 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.6N2 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.0N7 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.3N0 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.6N3 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.8N3 149.1E5. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS UNDER INCREASING WESTERLY WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 19 16:39:03 2003 X-UIDL: 14830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Y008YVDBCXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 16:38:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0J8bskQ088065 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 16:37:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861D6018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 02:30:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 561827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 02:30:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J8UFCw033264 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 02:30:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0J8UEid029506 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 02:30:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0J8UE2G029505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 02:30:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 02:30:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301190830.h0J8UE2G029505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 136E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 136E TO 34N 141E 31N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 136E TO 30N 134E 29N 132E 25N 130E 23N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 35N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 39N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 163E 40N 180E 28N 180E 27N 163E 40N 163E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 38N 131E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 34N 152E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 117E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 15.2N 148.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 150E TO 20N 162E 20N 172E 15N 178E 15N 176W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 01:59:38 2003 X-UIDL: 14835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Y0080OPYJXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 21:11:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JDB1kQ038443 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 21:11:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861Gw018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 07:03:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 563218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 07:03:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JD3sCw006364 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 07:03:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JD3sid001132 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 07:03:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JD3riJ001131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 07:03:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 07:03:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0301 Yanyan (0301) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301191303.h0JD3riJ001131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTJP21 RJTD 191200 WARNING 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 15.4N 149.5E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING EAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 15.8N 151.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 17.1N 153.4E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 01:59:38 2003 X-UIDL: 14837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Y0086GULTXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:51:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JEpMkQ079741 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:51:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J5j9nE027716; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 08:37:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 563812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 08:36:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JEavCw010590 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 08:36:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JEauid001618 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 08:36:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JEau9A001617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 08:36:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 08:36:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301191436.h0JEau9A001617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 140E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 140E TO 35N 145E 31N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 140E TO 30N 138E 25N 130E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 38N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 40N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 163E 40N 180E 25N 180E 25N 168E 40N 163E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 119E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 158E ESE 35 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 15.4N 149.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 151E TO 19N 158E 17N 165E 17N 171E 13N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 01:59:40 2003 X-UIDL: 14841-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z008D11AOXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 01:16:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JHFsVT068441 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 01:15:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J5j9ws027716; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:09:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 564801 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:09:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JH9ECw034658 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:09:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JH9Did002743 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:09:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JH9Dox002742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:09:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:09:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301191709.h0JH9Dox002742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 15.4N0 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.9N5 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.5N2 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.5N3 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.7N6 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 150.3E9. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 191133Z8 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. THE ABOVE REFERENCED SSM/I PASS INDICATED THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS ONLY IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 01:59:40 2003 X-UIDL: 14842-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z008J61IRXG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 01:20:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JHKkkQ006380 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 01:20:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J5j9x0027716; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:12:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 564806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:10:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JHAFCw042746 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:10:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JHAFid002759 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:10:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JHAFlE002758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:10:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 11:10:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 2. Prognostic Reasoning For 191200z3 To 221200z7 Jan 03. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301191710.h0JHAFlE002758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WDPN31 PGTW 191500 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 221200Z7 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 191133Z8 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. THE ABOVE REFERENCED SSM/I PASS INDICATED THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS IN ONLY THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. B. TS 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND PROPAGATE EASTWARD ENHANCING THE NORTHEAST MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL SPECTRAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), COAMPS, AFWA MM5, TCLAPS, AND TLAPS MODELS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS. AVN, EGRR, AND JGSM WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AND RECURVE IT EQUATORWARD. GFDN, NOGAPS, JTYM, COAMPS, AND AFWA INTERACT TS 01W WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEM MORE AGGRESSIVELY, RESULTING IN A FASTER TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND THE LATTER DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 01W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS INTO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. D. INITIAL AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 09:47:27 2003 X-UIDL: 14845-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z008UH6K3XG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:09:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JJ9XkQ018072 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 03:09:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861Pi018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 13:00:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 565559 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 13:00:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JJ0DCw012772 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 13:00:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JJ0Cid003660 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 13:00:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JJ0CUo003659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 13:00:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 13:00:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0301 Yanyan (0301) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301191900.h0JJ0CUo003659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTJP21 RJTD 191800 WARNING 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 16.0N 151.0E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 16.9N 153.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 19.5N 157.5E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 09:47:28 2003 X-UIDL: 14849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z008DBAI8XG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 04:34:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JKYpkQ035949 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 04:34:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861Tq018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:27:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 566404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:27:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JKRSCw027590 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JKRRid004282 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:27:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JKRRMO004281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:27:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:27:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301192027.h0JKRRMO004281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 35N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 145E TO 37N 148E 36N 151E 35N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 145E TO 32N 145E 29N 143E 26N 140E 25N 136E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 39N 154E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 41N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 175E 47N 180E 25N 180E 34N 167E 42N 169E 47N 175E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 120E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 162E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 16.0N 151.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 150E TO 20N 155E 18N 160E 17N 166E 16N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 09:47:28 2003 X-UIDL: 14850-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z008GYAQ2XG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 04:39:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0JKdWkQ036637 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 04:39:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JK7jEC027716; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:21:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 566268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:18:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JKINCw010538 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:18:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0JKINid004230 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:18:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0JKIMJt004229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:18:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 14:18:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301192018.h0JKIMJt004229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 16.1N8 150.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 150.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.9N6 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.7N5 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.5N4 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.7N7 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 151.3E0. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS BEING INFLUENCED BY THE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW, WITH THE CONVECTION ISOLATED IN THE NORTH AND EASTERN QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8 AND 202100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 09:47:29 2003 X-UIDL: 14856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z007OTNJ08M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 09:16:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K1G7kQ077037 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 09:16:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861bG018190; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 18:57:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 568541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 18:57:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K0v6Cw003678 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 18:57:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K0v5id006130 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 18:57:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K0v5gw006129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 18:57:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 18:57:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0301 Yanyan (0301) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200057.h0K0v5gw006129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTJP21 RJTD 200000 WARNING 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 16.9N 152.4E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 16 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 18.2N 156.2E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 19.0N 159.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 10:48:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14857-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z007DKR9H8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 10:36:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K2alkQ096990 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 10:36:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JK7jg2027716; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:27:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 569070 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K2RNCw005736 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K2RMid006646 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:27:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K2RMnT006645 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:27:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:27:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200227.h0K2RMnT006645@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 37N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 34N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 29N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 43N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 51N 160E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 161E 45N 169E 49N 174E 48N 180E 21N 180E 24N 174E 33N 171E 42N 161E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 141E 35N 141E 35N 147E 32N 147E 32N 141E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 01N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 168E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 44N 112E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 16.9N 152.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 10:48:34 2003 X-UIDL: 14858-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z007EDR9M8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 10:36:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K2apkQ097027 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 10:36:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0JK7jgE027716; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:30:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 569082 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:30:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K2UMCw012772 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:30:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K2UMid006672 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:30:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K2UMVH006671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:30:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 20:30:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200230.h0K2UMVH006671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 16.7N4 152.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 152.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.6N4 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.5N4 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.3N3 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.1N3 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 152.5E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 366 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 55 KNOTS AND A 191958Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1, 201500Z8, 202100Z5 AND 210300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 12:54:27 2003 X-UIDL: 14860-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z007S0VE28M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:06:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K45vkQ018809 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 12:05:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K3QUGA012776; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 21:59:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 569682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 21:59:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K3xECw030368 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 21:59:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K3xEid007185 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 21:59:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K3xE1r007184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 21:59:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 21:59:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 2. Prognostic Reasoning For 200000z2 To 230000z5 Jan 03. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200359.h0K3xE1r007184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WDPN31 PGTW 200300 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 200000Z2 TO 230000Z5 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 366 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 55 KNOTS AND A 191958Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TS 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM EAST OF JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD AND ENHANCE THE NORTHEAST MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL SPECTRAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), COAMPS, AFWA MM5, TCLAPS, AND TLAPS MODELS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS. TCLAPS AND UKMET INDICATE SOME INTERACTION WITH THE APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE SYSTEM, RESULTING IN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 01W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS INTO INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. D. INITIAL WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 191958Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/STATEN/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 13:04:16 2003 X-UIDL: 14863-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H8Z007VRY0R8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 13:02:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K52jkQ031314 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 13:02:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K3QUKU012776; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 570163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K4x0Cw033224 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K4x0id007544 for ; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K4x0Fg007542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 19 Jan 2003 22:59:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200459.h0K4x0Fg007542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N4 152.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OF SAIPAN, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 15:05:48 2003 X-UIDL: 14876-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H90007AZ3PK8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 15:05:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K75ckQ060303 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 15:05:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861kk018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 00:56:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 571066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 00:56:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K6u9Cw017614 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 00:56:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K6u8id008318 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 00:56:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K6u86j008317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 00:56:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 00:56:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0301 Yanyan (0301) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200656.h0K6u86j008317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTJP21 RJTD 200600 WARNING 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 17.0N 153.4E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 18.8N 155.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 20.5N 160.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 16:35:48 2003 X-UIDL: 14883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H90007307KW8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:29:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K8TDkQ080937 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:29:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861m4018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:18:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 571719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:18:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K8I9Cw027640 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:18:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K8I8id008761 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:18:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K8I8eI008760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:18:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:18:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr 019 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200818.h0K8I8eI008760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 17.0N8 153.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 153.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.6N4 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.3N2 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.9N8 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 17.2N0 153.9E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 455 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 20 16:35:49 2003 X-UIDL: 14884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H90007A07N48M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:30:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0K8UYkQ081248 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:30:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861mE018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:27:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 571784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:27:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0K8RHCw013104 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:27:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0K8RHid008797 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:27:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0K8RH2E008796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:27:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 02:27:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301200827.h0K8RH2E008796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 39N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 155E TO 39N 159E 37N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 155E TO 36N 153E 33N 150E 31N 148E 29N 144E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 41N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 42N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 171E 48N 180E 32N 180E 35N 170E 45N 171E. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 143E 36N 150E 33N 150E 32N 143E 36N 143E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 01N 167E WSW SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 43N 114E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 173E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1000 HPA AT 17.0N 153.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 152E TO 21N 157E 19N 162E 18N 165E 17N 168E 17N 172E 17N 175E 16N 178E 16N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:02 2003 X-UIDL: 14892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H900076GNS18M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 22:19:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KEJ7kQ056293 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 22:19:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KDxfFE023334; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:11:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 573705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KEAwCw042390 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KEAvid011218 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KEAv0Z011217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301201410.h0KEAv0Z011217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WDPN31 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 20// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 220000Z4 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 515 NM NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND RECENT SSM/I IMAGERY. THE SSM/I IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED AND IS NOW LOCATED 56 NM MILES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. B. TD 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM EAST OF JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD AND CONTINUE THE NORTHEAST MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL SPECTRAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), COAMPS, AFWA MM5, TCLAPS, AND TLAPS MODELS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH 36 HOURS. TCLAPS AND UKMET INDICATE SOME INTERACTION WITH THE APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE SYSTEM, RESULTING IN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 01W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY NOW THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE. COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO THE WEAKENING OF THE LLCC. D. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT MEET CRITERIA FOR WIND RADII. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:03 2003 X-UIDL: 14893-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H90007DUNVB8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 22:21:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KEL5kQ056764 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 22:21:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861to018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 573702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KEAwCw010664 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KEAvid011213 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KEAvuD011212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:10:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 01w (yanyan) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301201410.h0KEAvuD011212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 020 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 01W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 17.6N4 154.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 154.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.5N4 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.3N3 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.2N4 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 154.7E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 515 NM NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND RECENT SSM/I IMAGERY. THE SSM/I IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED AND IS NOW LOCATED 56 NM MILES TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:04 2003 X-UIDL: 14894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H90007B6OIY8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Jan 2003 22:35:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KEZHkQ059801 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 22:35:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0J861uE018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:27:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 573863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:27:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KERLCw004624 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:27:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KERLid011384 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:27:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KERLK3011383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:27:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 08:27:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301201427.h0KERLK3011383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 41N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 40N 164E 38N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 37N 159E 34N 156E 31N 153E 28N 148E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 42N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 43N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 141E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 170E 49N 180E 33N 180E 36N 172E 47N 170E. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 0301 YANYAN (0301) 1004 HPA AT 18N 155E ENE 19 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 119E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 175E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 155E TO 20N 158E 19N 162E 17N 167E 16N 171E 16N 175E 15N 178E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:09 2003 X-UIDL: 14908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H91007H367Z8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:57:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KKvSkQ037975 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 04:57:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnDO018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:29:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 578304 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKTYCw029268 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:29:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KKTXid015334 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:29:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KKTXVC015333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:29:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:29:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301202029.h0KKTXVC015333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 41N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 164E TO 42N 166E 40N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 167E TO 39N 168E 36N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 167E TO 37N 163E 34N 159E 30N 156E 28N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 42N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 43N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 36N 147E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 38N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 51N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 18N 157E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 144E EAST 10 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 120E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 179E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 156E TO 21N 160E 20N 163E 18N 166E 17N 171E 17N 175E 14N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:10 2003 X-UIDL: 14909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H910076N7BS8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 05:21:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KLLMkQ041192 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 05:21:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnEC018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:57:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 578617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:57:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKv4Cw008086 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:57:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KKv4id016120 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:57:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KKv4qa016119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:57:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 14:57:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301202057.h0KKv4qa016119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 202100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 021 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 01W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 17.9N7 156.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 156.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.8N7 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.7N7 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.1N3 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.1N0 156.7E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND RECENT SSM/I IMAGERY. HOWEVER, RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT UPPER LEVEL WINDS MAY HAVE WEAKENED SLIGHTLY ALONG THE PATH OF TD 01W. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6, 210900Z2, 211500Z9 AND 212100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 14913-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H91007YY9QK8M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 06:13:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0KMDQkQ048514 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 06:13:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnGw018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:07:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 579259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:07:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KM7bCw029430 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:07:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0KM7bid016808 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:07:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0KM7bDG016807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:07:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 16:07:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 01w (yanyan) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301202207.h0KM7bDG016807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES WDPN31 PGTW 201500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 20 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 220000Z4 JAN 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 515 NM NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND RECENT SSM/I IMAGERY. THE SSM/I IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED AND IS NOW LOCATED 56 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. B. TD 01W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM EAST OF JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD AND CONTINUE THE NORTHEAST MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL SPECTRAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), COAMPS, AFWA MM5, TCLAPS, AND TLAPS MODELS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH 36 HOURS. TCLAPS AND UKMET INDICATE SOME INTERACTION WITH THE APPROACHING MID- LATITUDE SYSTEM, RESULTING IN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 01W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY NOW THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE. COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO THE WEAKENING OF THE LLCC. D. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT MEET CRITERIA FOR WIND RADII. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED TROPICAL STORM TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE SUBJ LINE. CORRECTED GRAMMAR IN PARA 2.A. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:14 2003 X-UIDL: 14918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9100HJ8KRH9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 10:11:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0L2BZkQ093484 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 10:11:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnRm018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:01:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 581901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:01:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0L21ECw035904 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:01:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0L21Did018930 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:01:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0L21D0h018929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:01:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:01:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301210201.h0L21D0h018929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WTPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (YANYAN) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 18.3N2 156.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 156.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.2N1 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.7N5 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 156.6E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01W (YANYAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AND A CLEAR WEAKENING TREND. THE SSM/I IMAGERY INDICATES POOR ORGANIZATION OF THE REMAINING SYSTEM. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A SMALL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DECOUPLED AND IS SLOWLY DRIFTING EAST. BASED ON RECENT VISIBLE EVIDENCE DECOUPLING, THIS FORECAST REFLECTS A SLOW DRIFT IN THE SURFACE STEERING FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:15 2003 X-UIDL: 14920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9100HF9LW29L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 10:36:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0L2ZukQ099943 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 10:35:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKDhrm025336; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:26:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 582181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:26:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0L2QnCw035902 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:26:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0L2Qnid019113 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:26:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0L2QnCD019112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:26:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 20:26:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301210226.h0L2QnCD019112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 43N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 168E TO 42N 171E 41N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 171E TO 39N 174E 37N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 171E TO 34N 167E 30N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 43N 176E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 43N 176W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 34N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 31N 141E 27N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 37N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 39N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 51N 159E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 19N 156E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 41N 146E ENE 15 KT. LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 168E WNW 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 122E ESE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 20N 155E TO 21N 159E 21N 162E 20N 165E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:16 2003 X-UIDL: 14929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9100HN5UXK9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 13:51:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0L5p9kQ045921 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 13:51:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnZS018190; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 583673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0L5gKCw029322 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0L5gJid020539 for ; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0L5gJQ1020537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 20 Jan 2003 23:42:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301210542.h0L5gJQ1020537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (YANYAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 156.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:22 2003 X-UIDL: 14939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9200H862JC9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 16:35:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0L8ZUkQ084081 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 16:35:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNneM018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 02:26:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 584837 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 02:26:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0L8QrCw004804 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 02:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0L8Qrid021526 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 02:26:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0L8QqJo021525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 02:26:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 02:26:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301210826.h0L8QqJo021525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 43N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 173E TO 42N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 176E TO 38N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 176E TO 35N 174E 30N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 43N 165W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 36N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 149E TO 35N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 153E TO 30N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 153E TO 28N 146E 25N 136E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 40N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 146E MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 19N 158E ENE 20 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 157E NW 10 KT. LOW 990 HPA AT 52N 167E WSW 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 05N 128E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 02N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 124E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:28 2003 X-UIDL: 14951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9200H58J859L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Jan 2003 22:36:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0LEZwkQ059470 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 22:36:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0KKNnlW018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 08:26:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 586925 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 08:26:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LEQXCw034802 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 08:26:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0LEQWid024949 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 08:26:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0LEQWQb024948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 08:26:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 08:26:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301211426.h0LEQWQb024948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 43N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 177E TO 42N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 176W TO 39N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 176W TO 35N 180E 30N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 42N 162W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 37N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 153E TO 35N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 156E TO 30N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 156E TO 31N 153E 26N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 41N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 41N 148E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 20N 159E NE 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 36N 114E EAST 15 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 02N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 126E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 43N 160E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:36 2003 X-UIDL: 14971-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9300HHJ02D9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 04:39:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0LKdfkQ039224 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 04:39:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LIr8Oo018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 14:29:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 593435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 14:29:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LKTNCw015732 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 14:29:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0LKTLid008596 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 14:29:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0LKTLoS008594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 14:29:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 14:29:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301212029.h0LKTLoS008594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 37N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 158E TO 36N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 162E TO 34N 165E 33N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 162E TO 31N 159E 27N 154E 24N 149E 23N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 42N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 151E MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA AT 43N 177W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 177W TO 40N 170W. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 170W TO 37N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 170W TO 33N 175W 29N 178E 24N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 42N 155W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 49N 170W MOVING WEST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 32N 118E LOWER CHANG JIANG MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 19N 158E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 150E WEST 20 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 164E WEST 35 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 02N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 130E EAST 35 KT. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 44N 167E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:42 2003 X-UIDL: 14990-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9300M2VGO0EG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 10:38:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0M2cHkQ008989 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 10:38:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LIr8rM018190; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 20:28:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 599527 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 20:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0M2SKCw030424 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 20:28:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0M2SIid016607 for ; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 20:28:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0M2SIi5016606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Jan 2003 20:28:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 21 Jan 2003 20:28:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301220228.h0M2SIi5016606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 43N 173W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 172W TO 42N 168W 40N 166W. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 166W TO 37N 163W 35N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 166W TO 35N 167W 32N 173W 29N 180E 26N 176E 24N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 42N 156W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 39N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 161E TO 39N 164E 38N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 166E TO 37N 168E 36N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 166E TO 35N 167E 30N 163E 28N 160E 26N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 42N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 152E MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 121E YELLOW SEA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 148E WSW 10 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 54N 162E WEST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 136E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 48N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:46 2003 X-UIDL: 15006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9300MESQYNEG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 14:20:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0M6KfkQ063771 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 14:20:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LIr83g018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:14:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 602152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:12:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0M6CBCw027660 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:12:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0M6C9id018803 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:12:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0M6C9DO018801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:12:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 00:12:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301220612.h0M6C9DO018801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:47 2003 X-UIDL: 15010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9300MC5X7JEG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 16:35:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0M8ZbkQ094677 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 16:35:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0LIr876018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 02:26:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 603278 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 02:26:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0M8QdCw017414 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 02:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0M8Qbid019825 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 02:26:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0M8QbKo019824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 02:26:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 02:26:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301220826.h0M8QbKo019824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 40N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 166E TO 40N 169E 39N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 170E TO 38N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 170E TO 35N 172E 30N 165E 25N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 42N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 31N 126E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 126E TO 31N 128E 31N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 126E TO 30N 122E 29N 116E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 32N 132E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 35N 140E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 124E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 140E 43N 146E 40N 151E 35N 152E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 25N 122E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 37N 133E EAST 15 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 51N 146E SSW 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 44N 110E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 29N 141E EAST 35 KT. HIGH 1002 HPA AT 49N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:38:54 2003 X-UIDL: 15024-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9400M1MDXYEG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Jan 2003 22:37:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0MEb4kQ070411 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 22:37:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MCUnLa018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 08:26:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 606316 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 08:26:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MEQsCw024984 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 08:26:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0MEQqid023625 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 08:26:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0MEQqtk023624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 08:26:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 08:26:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301221426.h0MEQqtk023624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 40N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 167E TO 41N 172E 39N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 175E TO 37N 178E 34N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 175E TO 34N 174E 29N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 40N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 128E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 128E TO 31N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 128E TO 30N 125E 27N 119E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 33N 135E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 37N 142E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1006 HPA AT 27N 126E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 141E 40N 153E 33N 154E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 37N 134E ENE 10 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 50N 148E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 44N 112E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 145E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 49N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:39:00 2003 X-UIDL: 15043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9400M4PULJEG@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 04:36:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0MKankQ048436 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 04:36:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MIdsYM017358; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 14:28:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 613068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 14:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MKS8Cw025156 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 14:28:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0MKS6id007656 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 14:28:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0MKS6I9007655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 14:28:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 14:28:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301222028.h0MKS6I9007655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 41N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 170E TO 40N 174E 39N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 176E TO 38N 180E 34N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 176E TO 34N 179E 28N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 38N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 131E HONSHU MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 131E TO 33N 134E 33N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 131E TO 32N 130E 30N 127E 28N 126E 27N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 35N 140E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 38N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 28N 131E MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 45N 157E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 150 MILES OF LOW. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 50N 147E SW 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 56N 166E WNW 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 112E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 149E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 50N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 10:45:43 2003 X-UIDL: 15059-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500L8EBC5X9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 10:38:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N2cNkQ023772 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 10:38:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJMs018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 20:27:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 618277 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 20:27:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N2RRCw017412 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 20:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N2RPid015504 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 20:27:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N2RP4F015503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 20:27:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 20:27:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230227.h0N2RP4F015503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 33N 135E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 135E TO 34N 139E 33N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 135E TO 32N 134E 30N 132E 27N 130E 23N 125E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 37N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 39N 148E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 41N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 49N 148E SSE SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 45N 158E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 54N 165E SSW 35 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 154E EAST 45 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 14:05:43 2003 X-UIDL: 15074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500LOXKKVX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 13:58:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N5w1kQ072553 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 13:58:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJVI018190; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 620462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N5l2Cw043470 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N5l0id017532 for ; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N5l0fE017530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 22 Jan 2003 23:47:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230547.h0N5l0fE017530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KENDALL/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 17:36:36 2003 X-UIDL: 15093-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9500LFVS4KX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:41:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0N8f3kQ019439 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 16:41:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJb6018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 02:27:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 621910 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 02:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0N8RaCw037966 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 02:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0N8RZid018855 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 02:27:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0N8RZZE018854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 02:27:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 02:27:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301230827.h0N8RZZE018854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 34N 139E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 35N 143E 33N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 30N 138E 24N 135E 20N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 38N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 40N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 41N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 148E NORTH 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 159E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 57N 164E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 117E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 29N 159E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 23 22:35:57 2003 X-UIDL: 15117-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600LB48EKX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Jan 2003 22:32:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NEWckQ095833 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 22:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0MNvJjw018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:28:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 624177 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NES6Cw007954 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NES4id022543 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:28:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NES4Wi022542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:28:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 08:28:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301231428.h0NES4Wi022542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 36N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 36N 146E 35N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 31N 143E 25N 141E 20N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 41N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 40N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 52N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 45N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 58N 161E WNW 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 121E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 51N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 162E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 08:55:54 2003 X-UIDL: 15147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9600L2TPJAX9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 04:42:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0NKgekQ085272 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 04:42:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NJ81Ru010536; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:29:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 631423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:28:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NKSkCw017310 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:28:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0NKSiid006092 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:28:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0NKSif2006091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:28:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 14:28:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301232028.h0NKSif2006091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 38N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 146E TO 38N 147E 38N 148E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 148E TO 36N 152E 33N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 148E TO 34N 149E 29N 145E 24N 143E 19N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 43N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 37N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 52N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 44N 160E SSE SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 122E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 53N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 166E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 10:46:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700EA160E7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O2cVkQ058330 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 10:38:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtlQ018190; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 20:29:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 637533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 20:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O2TYCw011252 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 20:29:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O2TWid014012 for ; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 20:29:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O2TWii014011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Jan 2003 20:29:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 23 Jan 2003 20:29:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240229.h0O2TWii014011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 40N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 148E TO 40N 151E 39N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 153E TO 36N 157E 33N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 153E TO 34N 153E 30N 151E 22N 146E 18N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 43N 154E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 170E 50N 180E 28N 180E 28N 170E 50N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 52N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 24N 163E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 24 16:40:19 2003 X-UIDL: 15188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9700ESFMJ67J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:35:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0O8ZJkQ049297 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 16:35:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINtuw018190; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:28:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 640527 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0O8S1Cw035398 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0O8Rsid017485 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:27:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0O8RsG9017484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:27:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 02:27:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301240827.h0O8RsG9017484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 41N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 151E TO 42N 154E 39N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 158E TO 36N 162E 31N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 158E TO 35N 158E 30N 156E 24N 153E 21N 148E 17N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 43N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 116E 20N 117E 25N 127E 21N 137E 15N 138E 14N 126E 14N 116E. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 171E 40N 180E 23N 180E 26N 173E 40N 171E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 52N 147E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 47N 116E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 24N 169E EAST 45 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:54:48 2003 X-UIDL: 15206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800E2J3CK7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Jan 2003 22:38:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OEcckQ026668 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 22:38:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0NINt6S018190; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:30:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 642810 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:27:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OER5Cw024816 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:27:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OER3id021747 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:27:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OER30I021746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:27:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 08:27:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301241427.h0OER30I021746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 966 HPA AT 42N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 152E TO 43N 155E 43N 158E 40N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 161E TO 38N 165E 34N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 161E TO 37N 163E 32N 161E 27N 159E 22N 153E 18N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 42N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 54N 147E MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 48N 117E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 21N 169E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:19 2003 X-UIDL: 15225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800EUCFL77J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 03:03:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OJ31kQ081781 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 03:03:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OGwrTG030986; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 647641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OIwDCw005870 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OIwBid001273 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OIwBOb001271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301241858.h0OIwBOb001271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 241900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/241900Z/250600ZJAN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A BROAD CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 13.0S4 162.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING ORGANIZATION AND DEEP CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) AND QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE THAT THE BROAD CIRCULATION IS CONSOLIDATING. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT, WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) AS FAIR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:23 2003 X-UIDL: 15230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9800EFCJYY7J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 04:37:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0OKbekQ006927 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 04:37:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSaD8018204; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:28:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 648693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:28:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSYCw018200 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:28:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0OKSWid004160 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:28:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0OKSWha004159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:28:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 14:28:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301242028.h0OKSWha004159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 962 HPA AT 43N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 153E TO 44N 159E 42N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 163E TO 37N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 163E TO 36N 167E 30N 163E 23N 156E 18N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 41N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 129E 17N 129E 15N 111E 22N 112E 24N 129E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 21N 173E EAST 30 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 100E TO 26N 107E 27N 114E 28N 118E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jan 25 12:55:30 2003 X-UIDL: 15242-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9900GD00JQIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 10:35:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0P2ZikQ067593 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 10:35:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSabc018204; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 20:27:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 653446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 20:27:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P2RcCw034404 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 20:27:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0P2Rbid009955 for ; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 20:27:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0P2RbBh009954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Jan 2003 20:27:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 20:27:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301250227.h0P2RbBh009954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 964 HPA AT 42N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 155E TO 43N 163E 41N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 167E TO 40N 171E 38N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 167E TO 36N 171E 31N 168E 28N 163E 24N 159E 21N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 40N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 130E 24N 140E 18N 140E 18N 129E 24N 130E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 44N 128E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 37N 129E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 21N 176E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 103E TO 25N 107E 25N 111E 26N 115E 27N 117E 27N 119E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:10 2003 X-UIDL: 15258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9900G1IZM3IA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Jan 2003 23:13:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PFD9kQ006767 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 23:13:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P9H5Q8028372; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 08:50:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 656722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 08:48:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PEmaCw034924 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 08:48:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PEmZid013530 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 08:48:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PEmZcm013529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 08:48:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 08:48:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301251448.h0PEmZcm013529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 251200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 41N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 38N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 40N 170E MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 31N 121E LOWER CHANG JIANG MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 121E TO 29N 123E 26N 126E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 121E TO 28N 119E 27N 118E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 118E TO 25N 114E 24N 108E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 984 HPA AT 37N 178E NE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 178E TO 35N 178W 32N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 178E TO 26N 170E 19N 157E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 01N 178E WEST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:22 2003 X-UIDL: 15271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00G1SBHWIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:29:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PJTnkQ045583 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 03:29:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0P9H5l0028372; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 658999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PJNJCw010690 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PJNHid015790 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PJNHoQ015787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 13:23:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301251923.h0PJNHoQ015787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 251900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/251900Z/260600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251351ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) (1) AT 251200Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3S7 160.7E4, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5S1 173.1E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 175.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:24 2003 X-UIDL: 15277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00GRREYKIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 04:44:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0PKickQ055045 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 04:44:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0OKSa8e018204; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 14:33:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 659717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 14:28:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PKSlCw031616 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 14:28:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0PKSkid016391 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 14:28:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0PKSkSu016390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 14:28:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 14:28:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301252028.h0PKSkSu016390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 41N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 38N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 974 HPA AT 41N 172E MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 31N 123E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 123E TO 30N 126E 28N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 123E TO 29N 122E 27N 119E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 119E TO 25N 116E 24N 113E 24N 108E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 984 HPA AT 37N 177W ENE 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 177W TO 36N 173W 32N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 177W TO 32N 179W 24N 170E 18N 159E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:27 2003 X-UIDL: 15289-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9A00C8JV6AKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 10:34:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q2YqAK033387 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 10:34:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATKk018204; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:26:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 662377 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q2QoCw033260 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:26:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q2Qmid018960 for ; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:26:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q2QmxI018959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:26:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 25 Jan 2003 20:26:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260226.h0Q2QmxI018959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 40N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 38N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 41N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 176E TO 38N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 174W TO 34N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 174W TO 30N 178W 19N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 125E WEST OF CHEJU ISLAND MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 125E TO 31N 127E 29N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 125E TO 30N 126E 28N 122E 26N 120E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 120E TO 25N 116E 24N 109E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 15:21:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00CSW5D1KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:15:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q6EsAK064207 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:14:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q15CaA028372; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:07:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 664792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:07:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q66wCw013206 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:06:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q66vid020175 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:06:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q66vbe020173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:06:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:06:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260606.h0Q66vbe020173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) (1) AT 260000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 12.2S5 161.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 175.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 177.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), HOWEVER THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jan 26 17:28:52 2003 X-UIDL: 15303-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00CDSBT7KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 16:34:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0Q8Y8AK086216 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 16:34:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATTq018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:27:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 666197 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:27:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0Q8RaCw031202 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:27:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0Q8RUid021035 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:27:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0Q8RUfT021034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:27:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 02:27:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301260827.h0Q8RUfT021034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 39N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 40N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 41N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 178E TO 42N 175W 39N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 169W TO 38N 166W 36N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 169W TO 34N 168W 29N 175W 23N 175E 19N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 127E NEAR CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 127E TO 32N 130E 30N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 127E TO 28N 126E 26N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 123E TO 24N 118E 23N 111E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 46N 140E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:45 2003 X-UIDL: 15315-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9B00CIWSD5KX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Jan 2003 22:31:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QEVlAK038256 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 22:31:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATZw018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:27:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 668324 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:27:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QER8Cw042864 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:27:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QER6id023014 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:27:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QER6L0023013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:27:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 08:27:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301261427.h0QER6L0023013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 129E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 129E TO 32N 130E 30N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 129E TO 30N 128E 28N 127E 26N 125E 25N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 123E TO 25N 121E 25N 119E 24N 115E 23N 112E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 41N 135E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 38N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 43N 169E MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 43N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 176W TO 43N 169W 41N 163W. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 163W TO 40N 158W 37N 155W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 163W TO 35N 166W 27N 175W 23N 178E 19N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 42N 178E MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 46N 142E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:17:58 2003 X-UIDL: 15326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00CGN9DBKX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 04:39:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0QKd4AK093627 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 04:39:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0PMATmU018204; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:27:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 671317 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:27:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QKRrCw033150 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:27:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0QKRpid025751 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:27:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0QKRpFQ025750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:27:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 14:27:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301262027.h0QKRpFQ025750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 130E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 33N 133E 32N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 30N 129E 27N 127E 25N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 122E TO 25N 120E 25N 118E 23N 117E 22N 114E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 37N 135E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 42N 137E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 37N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 42N 179E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 40N 107E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 46N 144E EAST 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 18N 170E TO 20N 175E 23N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 11:18:01 2003 X-UIDL: 15339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9C00HJ4R3N2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:02:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R324AK059461 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 11:02:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHpT6018206; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 20:48:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 675323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 20:48:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R2m0Cw023894 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 20:48:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R2lwid028106 for ; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 20:47:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R2lwHF028105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Jan 2003 20:47:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 20:47:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270247.h0R2lwHF028105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 133E WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 133E TO 36N 134E 34N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 135E TO 33N 137E 31N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 135E TO 31N 131E 28N 130E 23N 122E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 40N 136E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 43N 138E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 38N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 127E 16N 110E 21N 110E 31N 122E 26N 127E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 39N 109E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 44N 146E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 146E ESE 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 158W TO 37N 158W 29N 166W 24N 176W 19N 173E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 15:36:27 2003 X-UIDL: 15357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00HQJ3FS2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:28:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R7SXAK021597 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 15:28:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHpg0018206; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:19:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 677840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:19:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R7JnCw010592 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:19:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R7Jlid029987 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:19:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R7JlXI029985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:19:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 01:19:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270719.h0R7JlXI029985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270051ZJAN2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) (1) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 160.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 177.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.0S9 177.9W4, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF WESTERN SAMOA. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVING ORGANIZATION AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE ISLANDS OF FIJI. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. SEE REF B (WTPS22 PGTW 270100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 20:06:32 2003 X-UIDL: 15365-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00HBQ7O92S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 17:00:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R903AK041873 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 17:00:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHph2018206; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:52:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 678320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:52:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R8qSCw015664 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:52:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R8qQid000475 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:52:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R8qQT2000474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:52:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:52:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270852.h0R8qQT2000474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 39N 134E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 134E TO 36N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 135E TO 34N 140E 32N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 135E TO 28N 132E 22N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 43N 136E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 45N 139E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 44N 172W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 43N 150E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 151E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jan 27 20:06:33 2003 X-UIDL: 15366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9D00HV47TL2S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Jan 2003 17:03:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0R93FAK043101 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 17:03:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0QLHph4018206; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 678333 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0R8sZCw015710 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0R8sSid000484 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0R8sSb6000482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 02:54:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301270854.h0R8sSb6000482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 270830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/270830Z/280600ZJAN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZJAN2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270751ZJAN2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 160.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 270600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (CILLA) LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 176.6W0, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 04:45:39 2003 X-UIDL: 15398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00JII40Q4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 04:38:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0RKchAK089389 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 04:38:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0REfKp8044096; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 14:28:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 687190 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 14:28:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKS6Cw032168 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 14:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0RKS4id014546 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 14:28:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0RKS4Oq014545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 14:28:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 14:28:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301272028.h0RKS4Oq014545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 42N 138E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 138E TO 40N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 142E TO 35N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 142E TO 36N 140E 30N 139E 25N 136E 21N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 48N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 122E 25N 130E 19N 122E 15N 110E 21N 110E 26N 120E 29N 122E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 168E 45N 170E 47N 180E 29N 180E 32N 172E 37N 168E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 45N 154E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 157E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 10:43:03 2003 X-UIDL: 15420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9E00J63KOO4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 10:38:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0S2cfAK064662 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 10:38:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAds042792; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 20:29:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 692831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 20:29:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S2T9Cw013220 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 20:29:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S2T3id021398 for ; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 20:29:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S2T3VT021397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Jan 2003 20:29:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Jan 2003 20:29:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280229.h0S2T3VT021397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 42N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 145E TO 39N 148E 36N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 145E TO 36N 143E 28N 141E 20N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 48N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 43N 138E MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 28N 115E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 42N 158E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 158E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 16:39:38 2003 X-UIDL: 15450-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F00JQ412Z4G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 16:32:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0S8WrAK050791 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 16:32:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmAvi042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:26:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 697205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:26:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0S8QOCw010722 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:26:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0S8QHid024545 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:26:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0S8QHJc024544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:26:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 02:26:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301280826.h0S8QHJc024544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 45N 142E HOKKAIDO MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 142E TO 44N 148E 41N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 149E TO 38N 151E 34N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 149E TO 35N 148E 30N 143E 23N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 51N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 121E 23N 138E 13N 124E 09N 115E 11N 109E 18N 109E 28N 121E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 28N 114E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 162E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 163E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jan 28 23:15:01 2003 X-UIDL: 15478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F0067EHXQ5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:37:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SEapAK030813 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 22:36:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0RKmA6q042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 08:27:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 699462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 08:27:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SERjCw023218 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 08:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SERdid028124 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 08:27:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SERdrH028123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 08:27:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 08:27:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301281427.h0SERdrH028123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 47N 144E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 144E TO 46N 150E 43N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 153E TO 39N 155E 35N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 153E TO 36N 151E 33N 149E 28N 145E 22N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 52N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 44N 113E SE SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 165E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 08:28:08 2003 X-UIDL: 15516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9F006UAZ485K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 04:48:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0SKluAK014015 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 04:47:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SFdPtI042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:27:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 708092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SKRQCw007168 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:27:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0SKRKid012174 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:27:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0SKRK2p012173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:27:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 14:27:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301282027.h0SKRK2p012173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 49N 144E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 144E TO 50N 148E 44N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 156E TO 40N 159E 36N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 156E TO 40N 155E 37N 153E 30N 149E 22N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 53N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 120E 29N 132E 26N 139E 15N 121E 07N 114E 07N 105E 20N 110E 27N 120E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 44N 113E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 167E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 11:50:40 2003 X-UIDL: 15553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006V3FJ45K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 10:42:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T2gYAK084084 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 10:42:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsLk042792; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 20:31:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 713178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 20:31:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T2VeCw022088 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 20:31:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T2VYid019929 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 20:31:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T2VYCB019928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 20:31:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 20:31:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290231.h0T2VYCB019928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 40N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 43N 159E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 131E 31N 131E 33N 136E 35N 141E 35N 144E 31N 145E 29N 138E 28N 131E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 49N 145E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 145E TO 50N 151E 48N 156E 44N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 159E TO 42N 162E 40N 164E 35N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 159E TO 42N 158E 41N 157E 35N 156E 27N 150E 20N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 05N 109E 09N 107E 16N 114E 24N 124E 21N 133E 15N 133E 11N 122E 05N 109E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 44N 114E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 169E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 14:00:02 2003 X-UIDL: 15570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006LUO8P5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 13:50:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T5ohAK031850 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 13:50:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SLmh1s028390; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 714608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T5fZCw037936 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T5fSid021780 for ; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T5fSAc021778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Jan 2003 23:41:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290541.h0T5fSAc021778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 290600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 16.4S1 162.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 290300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P IS LOCATED NEAR 22.4S8 167.3W7, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO, PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jan 29 17:33:32 2003 X-UIDL: 15586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9G006ZVVY15K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 16:37:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0T8b7AK072529 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 16:37:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsW8042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:28:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 716256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0T8SPCw011602 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0T8SJid023234 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:28:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0T8SJe6023233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:28:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 02:28:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301290828.h0T8SJe6023233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 41N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 46N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 133E 34N 141E 28N 142E 27N 133E 29N 131E 33N 133E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 50N 144E SIBERIA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 144E TO 52N 150E 50N 157E 48N 161E 45N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 163E TO 40N 167E 35N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 163E TO 36N 160E 31N 156E 26N 151E 20N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 124E 22N 131E 17N 128E 19N 121E 04N 112E 03N 104E 11N 109E 22N 113E 26N 120E 24N 124E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 33N 120E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 172E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 00:04:41 2003 X-UIDL: 15604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00BPFCKVI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Jan 2003 22:36:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TEaKAK051238 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 22:36:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0SNrsf4042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:27:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 718149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:27:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TERYCw040206 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:27:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TERSid027023 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:27:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TERShZ027022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:27:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 08:27:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301291427.h0TERShZ027022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 42N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 48N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 51N 144E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 145E TO 52N 159E 46N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 166E TO 41N 171E 36N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 166E TO 38N 164E 31N 158E 26N 153E 20N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 124E 23N 133E 11N 126E 02N 106E 09N 105E 12N 109E 22N 114E 26N 120E 24N 124E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 34N 121E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 175E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 08:43:42 2003 X-UIDL: 15633-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9H00BU6TA5I1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 04:37:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0TKbAAK038808 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 04:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDJ0042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 14:27:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 725126 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 14:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TKRhCw012860 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 14:27:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0TKRZid010495 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 14:27:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0TKRYVK010494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 14:27:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 14:27:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301292027.h0TKRYVK010494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 44N 154E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 154E TO 43N 155E 40N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 39N 157E 36N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 37N 153E 34N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 47N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 51N 145E GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 137E 13N 134E 11N 126E 18N 124E 20N 137E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 120E 18N 120E 12N 114E 11N 111E 23N 115E 26N 120E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 33N 122E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 180E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 10:41:09 2003 X-UIDL: 15652-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BBU9XQI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 10:37:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U2asAK016887 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 10:36:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TMvEaM007402; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:29:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 729725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:29:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U2T5Cw015738 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:29:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U2Suid017914 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:28:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U2Su7B017913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:28:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 20:28:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300228.h0U2Su7B017913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 42N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 160E TO 40N 164E 38N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 160E TO 36N 159E 31N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 47N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 47N 159E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 45N 156E MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 145E 14N 144E 05N 108E 20N 112E 21N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 51N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 33N 124E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 14:10:54 2003 X-UIDL: 15668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BOKIV1I1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 13:49:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U5nhAK066506 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 13:49:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDkc042792; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 731295 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U5fCCw034624 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U5f3id019576 for ; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U5f3bl019574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Jan 2003 23:41:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300541.h0U5f3bl019574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 300600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 167.7E1, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.4S8 167.3W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.1S7 165.5W7, APPROXIMATELY 660 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, TUTUILA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS, WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 1.0N1 156.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AS WELL AS RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY, INDICATES AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE WITH DISORGANIZED AND CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jan 30 16:34:03 2003 X-UIDL: 15683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9I00BHTQGEI1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 16:33:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0U8XiAK009023 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 16:33:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDoU042792; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:26:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 732833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:26:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0U8QWCw036382 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:26:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0U8QOid020964 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:26:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0U8QNp3020963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:26:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 02:26:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301300826.h0U8QNp3020963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 44N 164E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 164E TO 43N 168E 41N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 164E TO 40N 165E 33N 162E 31N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 47N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 48N 158E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 09N 110E 13N 109E 19N 115E 25N 121E 21N 127E 14N 119E 09N 110E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 162E 51N 168E 45N 177E 39N 177E 42N 170E 51N 162E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 34N 124E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 00:05:04 2003 X-UIDL: 15704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J0061I7BNT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Jan 2003 22:38:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0UEc5AK095292 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 22:38:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0TJaDti042792; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:30:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 734622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:30:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UEUTCw036560 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:30:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0UEUKid024398 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:30:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0UEUKGK024397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:30:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 08:30:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301301430.h0UEUKGK024397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 47N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 162E TO 46N 166E 45N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 169E TO 43N 173E 39N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 169E TO 39N 171E 33N 167E 30N 163E 28N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 47N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 12N 110E 23N 118E 24N 124E 19N 135E 11N 134E 10N 123E 12N 110E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 169E 53N 166E 51N 172E 46N 180E 40N 180E 40N 177E 46N 169E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 44N 113E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 11:34:40 2003 X-UIDL: 15722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9J006M8NWHT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 04:36:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0UKaBAK077401 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 04:36:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvDbe011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:26:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 741734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:26:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UKQvCw042496 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:26:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0UKQvid007048 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:26:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0UKQuRo007047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:26:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 14:26:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301302026.h0UKQuRo007047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 48N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 162E TO 45N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 172E TO 43N 179E 39N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 172E TO 40N 176E 34N 172E 25N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 48N 159E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 123E 21N 139E 10N 139E 10N 123E 20N 123E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 166E 53N 166E 48N 180E 43N 180E 48N 166E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 11:35:04 2003 X-UIDL: 15743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K006E84KBT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:36:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V2a6AK039171 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 10:36:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvD1c011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:28:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 746621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:28:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V2S4Cw038038 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:28:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V2S3id013657 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:28:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V2S3kP013656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:28:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 20:28:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310228.h0V2S3kP013656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 310000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA AT 48N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 47N 159E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 46N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 179E TO 43N 175W 39N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 179E TO 39N 178W 32N 175E 27N 167E 22N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 149E 16N 146E 11N 135E 10N 128E 17N 122E 19N 120E 22N 120E 20N 130E 20N 149E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 26N 130E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 108E TO 26N 112E 27N 116E 27N 119E 27N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 31 13:53:31 2003 X-UIDL: 15750-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K006X9CQ7T0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 13:32:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V5WNAK067684 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 13:32:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0UGvD7e011586; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 748150 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V5MmCw042654 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V5Mlid015156 for ; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V5MlTX015154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean/310600zjan2003/010600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310522.h0V5MlTX015154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 310600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZJAN2003/010600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310151ZJAN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.0N1 156.0E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 22.1S5 168.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 310300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.1S7 165.5W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.7S4 164.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 760 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, TUTUILA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS, WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 00:34:50 2003 X-UIDL: 15768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9K006NFLLJT0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 16:44:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0V8i1AK000865 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 16:44:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V68gQc034580; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 02:35:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 750096 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 02:30:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V8UcCw019350 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 02:30:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0V8Ubid016467 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 02:30:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0V8Ubw2016466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 02:30:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 02:30:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301310830.h0V8Ubw2016466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 310600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA AT 48N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 45N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 47N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 178E TO 47N 178W 46N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 175W TO 45N 168W 43N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 175W TO 34N 180E 26N 170E 20N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 140E 06N 140E 02N 120E 19N 127E 19N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 132E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 106E TO 26N 114E 30N 123E 28N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 00:34:57 2003 X-UIDL: 15782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9L00C142KJS0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Jan 2003 22:50:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VEoaAK063344 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 22:50:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0V7njN4011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 08:42:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 753394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 08:30:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VEU9Cw044414 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 08:30:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VEU9id019931 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 08:30:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VEU940019930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 08:30:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 08:30:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301311430.h0VEU940019930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 311200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 48N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 1000 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 46N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 48N 180E MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 146E 13N 145E 11N 126E 18N 126E 19N 146E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 134E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 107E TO 25N 117E 30N 126E 28N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 165W TO 36N 172W 31N 180E 22N 164E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 10:14:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9L00CKVIP1S0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 04:39:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h0VKctAK040146 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 04:38:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VJRSHi011586; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:30:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 761375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:30:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKURCw019376 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:30:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h0VKUQid002049 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:30:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h0VKUQNx002048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:30:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 14:30:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200301312030.h0VKUQNx002048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 311800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 47N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 45N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 43N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 48N 180E MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 142E 08N 142E 07N 130E 21N 126E 22N 142E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 135E EAST 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 22N 168E TO 29N 179E 37N 171W 44N 163W 48N 162W. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 117E TO 26N 123E 28N 127E 30N 129E 29N 133E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 21:23:09 2003 X-UIDL: 15840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9L006RGYZZSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 10:31:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h112V6AK097948 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 10:31:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0e0038662; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 20:25:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 761907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 20:25:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h112PwCw040342 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 20:25:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h112Pwid008570 for ; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 20:25:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h112Pwli008569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Jan 2003 20:25:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Jan 2003 20:25:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302010225.h112Pwli008569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 46N 157E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTHSOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 42N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 978 HPA AT 50N 179W MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 28N 127E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 135E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 122E TO 28N 127E 29N 133E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 166E TO 28N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 21:23:11 2003 X-UIDL: 15854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9M006DC9OUSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:22:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h116M0AK038882 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:22:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0hk038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:14:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 763378 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:02:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1162uCw031684 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:02:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1162uid010379 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:02:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1162ulM010377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:02:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 00:02:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302010602.h1162ulM010377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 010600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 311200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR 23.8S3 165.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 311500) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25.7S4 164.9W0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 21:23:12 2003 X-UIDL: 15859-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9M006VUFWISS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 16:36:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h118aCAK059810 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 16:36:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0kw038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 02:28:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 764551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 02:28:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h118SACw041750 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 02:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h118SAid011296 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 02:28:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h118SAhk011295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 02:28:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 02:28:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302010828.h118SAhk011295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 44N 157E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTHSOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 42N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 42N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 978 HPA AT 49N 179W GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 29N 130E NORTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 121E 21N 120E 21N 117E 24N 117E 25N 119E 25N 121E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 145E 47N 151E 51N 157E 54N 161E 52N 166E 46N 157E 41N 148E 44N 145E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 25N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 123E TO 27N 128E 29N 130E 30N 132E 30N 133E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 173E TO 25N 177E 26N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 01 22:49:34 2003 X-UIDL: 15870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9M006YXWKXSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Feb 2003 22:36:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h11EaRAK011083 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 22:36:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h0VKu0sO038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 08:27:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 766571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 08:27:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11ER8Cw016136 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 08:27:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h11ER8id013534 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 08:27:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h11ER7IK013533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 08:27:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 08:27:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302011427.h11ER7IK013533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 42N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 42N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 41N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 30N 133E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 980 HPA AT 50N 176W ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 32N 118E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 25N 139E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 124E TO 25N 127E 27N 131E 30N 133E 30N 136E 29N 138E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 178E TO 28N 176W 32N 167W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 04:43:46 2003 X-UIDL: 15888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9N006G1DCHSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 04:38:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h11KcZAK068398 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 04:38:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11JdxMO024394; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:30:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 770374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:30:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11KUHCw015642 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:30:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h11KUGid016952 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:30:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h11KUGRE016951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:30:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 14:30:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302012030.h11KUGRE016951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 41N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 40N 173E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 29N 136E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 136E TO 30N 138E 29N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 136E TO 26N 132E 23N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 50N 177W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 120E 19N 118E 19N 112E 23N 114E 25N 118E 24N 120E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 46N 112E SE SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 23N 137E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 21N 177E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 178E TO 26N 178W 31N 170W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 13:03:29 2003 X-UIDL: 15901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9N001QHTVE7M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 10:35:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h122ZWBF035924 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 10:35:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LraJK038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 20:27:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 772984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 20:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h122RFCw042302 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 20:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h122RFid019928 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 20:27:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h122RFhw019927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 20:27:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 20:27:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302020227.h122RFhw019927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 41N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 30N 141E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 141E TO 29N 144E 27N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 141E TO 26N 135E 22N 128E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 50N 177W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 120E 23N 128E 18N 122E 17N 114E 22N 113E 26N 120E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EASTERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 32N 119E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 13:43:10 2003 X-UIDL: 15903-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9O001BI28L7M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 13:36:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h125aCBF058018 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 13:36:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LraNA038662; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 774070 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h125SQCw042878 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h125SQid020998 for ; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h125SQFB020996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Feb 2003 23:28:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302020528.h125SQFB020996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 020600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 22:00:24 2003 X-UIDL: 15908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9O001HYAIZ7M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 16:35:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h128ZGBF082493 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 16:35:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LraPs038662; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 02:26:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 775209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 02:26:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h128QVCw026282 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 02:26:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h128QVid021959 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 02:26:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h128QUHA021958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 02:26:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 02:26:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302020826.h128QUHA021958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 40N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 31N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 142E TO 29N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 142E TO 25N 138E 21N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 50N 178W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 150E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 02 23:52:22 2003 X-UIDL: 15917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9O001O1RF47M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Feb 2003 22:40:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h12Ee9BF030941 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 22:40:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LraXC038662; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 08:26:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 777477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 08:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h12EQpCw018266 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 08:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h12EQoid024198 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 08:26:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h12EQoDO024197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 08:26:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 08:26:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302021426.h12EQoDO024197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 144E TO 31N 149E 29N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 144E TO 26N 142E 23N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 550 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 40N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 07N 106E 12N 110E 12N 114E 06N 111E 07N 106E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 23N 163E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 03 10:03:21 2003 X-UIDL: 15925-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9P0016O7WR7M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 04:36:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h12KaLBF084187 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 04:36:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11Lraks038662; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 14:27:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 780745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 14:27:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h12KRnCw042426 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 14:27:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h12KRmid027015 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 14:27:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h12KRmc9027014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 14:27:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 14:27:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302022027.h12KRmc9027014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 150E TO 30N 154E 29N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 150E TO 28N 148E 25N 145E 23N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 39N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 177W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 109E 15N 115E 13N 118E 09N 115E 05N 110E 10N 107E 15N 109E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 44N 140E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 23N 164E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 03 10:43:09 2003 X-UIDL: 15938-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9P00LF3OMIH5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 10:37:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h132bOBF033104 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 10:37:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11LratM038662; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 20:27:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 783324 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 20:27:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h132RACw036502 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 20:27:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h132RAid029824 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 20:27:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h132RAUv029823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 20:27:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 20:27:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302030227.h132RAUv029823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 153E TO 32N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 153E TO 27N 149E 22N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 59N 180E 32N 180E 36N 175E 53N 175E 59N 180E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 127E 15N 127E 06N 107E 09N 106E 20N 120E 20N 127E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 44N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 54N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 23N 165E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 01:16:53 2003 X-UIDL: 15942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9P00LYVXAAH5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 13:44:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h135iTBF061811 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 13:44:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h12K0e3Q024396; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 785149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h135ZMCw040314 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h135ZLid001275 for ; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h135ZLEs001273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Feb 2003 23:35:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302030535.h135ZLEs001273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 030600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 01:16:54 2003 X-UIDL: 15947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Q00LJN57LH5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 16:35:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h138ZcBF088146 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 16:35:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h11Lra7q038662; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 02:27:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 786768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 02:27:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h138RICw006168 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 02:27:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h138RIid002461 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 02:27:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h138RI8Q002460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 02:27:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 02:27:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302030827.h138RI8Q002460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 158E TO 30N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 158E TO 26N 152E 22N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 153E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 46N 178W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHSOUTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 120E 17N 137E 08N 114E 08N 105E 20N 111E 27N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1026 HPA AT 37N 115E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 44N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 55N 152E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 29N 110E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 173E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 01:16:58 2003 X-UIDL: 15959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Q00LOCM2BH5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Feb 2003 22:39:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h13EdeBF047989 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 22:39:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13DhiGg038662; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 08:28:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 788621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 08:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13EQqCw043484 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 08:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h13EQqid005747 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 08:26:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h13EQqWG005746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 08:26:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 08:26:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302031426.h13EQqWG005746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 33N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 163E TO 32N 166E 31N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 163E TO 27N 158E 22N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 158E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 45N 177W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 120E 21N 130E 21N 138E 16N 136E 15N 120E 06N 110E 11N 109E 18N 110E 26N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1024 HPA AT 39N 124E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 43N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 144E EAST 35 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 55N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 29N 109E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 25N 174E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 10:09:24 2003 X-UIDL: 15983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00LR72KIQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 04:36:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h13KaCBF021555 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 04:36:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13Dhi3i038662; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 14:27:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 795777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 14:26:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13KQwCw034754 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 14:26:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h13KQwid019404 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 14:26:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h13KQw96019403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 14:26:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 14:26:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302032026.h13KQw96019403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 167E TO 33N 169E 31N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 167E TO 31N 163E 27N 159E 22N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 161E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 19N 121E 10N 120E 05N 107E 20N 110E 25N 120E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 173E 60N 180E 39N 180E 45N 174E 60N 173E. SUMMARY. LOW 1022 HPA AT 38N 130E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 43N 141E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 147E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 55N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 47N 102E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 177E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 10:39:15 2003 X-UIDL: 15998-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00L04J90QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 10:36:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h142aSBF092536 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 10:36:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN6aa007686; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:27:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 801620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:27:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h142RACw006260 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:27:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h142RAid026630 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:27:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h142RA3f026629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:27:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:27:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040227.h142RA3f026629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 36N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 165E TO 35N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 169E TO 33N 173E 30N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 169E TO 27N 162E 20N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 151E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 06N 109E 10N 108E 17N 110E 28N 122E 22N 131E 16N 122E 06N 109E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 37N 132E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 44N 142E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 55N 151E SSE SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 23N 180E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 11:09:14 2003 X-UIDL: 16003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00LCAKHMQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:03:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1433GBF099684 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:03:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN6c8007686; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 802084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h142x5Cw042540 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h142x5id026918 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h142x5oe026916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 20:59:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/040300z/040600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040259.h142x5oe026916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 040300 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/040300Z/040600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 21.0S3 151.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM OFF THE EAST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION IS PERSISTENT AND DISORGANIZED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM, WITH INCREASING SHEAR TO THE SOUTH, AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER EASTERN AUSTRALIA, TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA 2.B.(1) AS A FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 13:47:32 2003 X-UIDL: 16018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00LHJRKZQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:36:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h145aSBF030748 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 13:36:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN6lU007686; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 803809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h145RtCw033220 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h145Rsid028302 for ; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h145RsZA028300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 23:27:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040527.h145RsZA028300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 21.0S3 151.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM OFF THE EAST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CONVECTION IS PERSISTENT AND DISORGANIZED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM, WITH INCREASING SHEAR TO THE SOUTH, AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER EASTERN AUSTRALIA, TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 16:37:13 2003 X-UIDL: 16027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9R00HJ5ZVNWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:35:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h148ZfBF075434 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:35:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN6uW007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 02:28:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 805874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 02:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h148SmCw023276 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 02:28:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h148Smid029788 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 02:28:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h148Smea029786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 02:28:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 02:28:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302040828.h148Smea029786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 36N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 170E TO 35N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 174E TO 32N 177E 30N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 174E TO 27N 166E 20N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 120E 08N 113E 03N 106E 08N 105E 20N 114E 20N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 36N 133E SE 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 34N 142E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 42N 143E SE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 54N 151E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 42N 109E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 137E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 20N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 04 23:02:02 2003 X-UIDL: 16048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9S00HD5HF2WA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 22:54:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14EsWBF056969 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 22:54:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h13LN67g007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 08:37:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 807930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 08:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14ERNCw030304 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 08:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14ERMid003515 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 08:27:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14ERMJs003514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 08:27:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 08:27:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302041427.h14ERMJs003514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 36N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 173E TO 35N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 177E TO 32N 180E 30N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 177E TO 29N 171E 24N 167E 21N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 122E 07N 118E 05N 107E 10N 108E 20N 113E 22N 118E 20N 122E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 151E 35N 149E 38N 160E 32N 160E 30N 151E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 36N 134E ESE SLOWLY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 45N 140E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 35N 143E NE 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 54N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 44N 155E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 43N 111E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 140E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 21N 176E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 04:41:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9S00HEZXATWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 04:37:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14KbZBF036436 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 04:37:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14FEM4K007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:31:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 817493 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:31:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14KVmCw019936 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:31:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14KVmid016672 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:31:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14KVmah016671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:31:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 14:31:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302042031.h14KVmah016671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 36N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 178E TO 37N 179W 35N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 177W TO 32N 175W 30N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 177W TO 28N 177E 25N 172E 22N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 121E 07N 112E 08N 105E 21N 110E 25N 119E 22N 121E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 44N 141E SE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 141E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 53N 150E SSW 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 41N 157E SE 25 KT. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 41N 110E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 145E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 31N 158E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 06:31:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00H4229NWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 06:25:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h14MOqBF055331 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 06:24:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14K2jjI024442; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 819693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14MGCCw004466 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h14MGCid020172 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h14MGCto020170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 16:16:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/042200z/050600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302042216.h14MGCto020170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 042200 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/042200Z/050600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.0S3 151.9E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.6S6 148.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM OFF THE EAST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTH OF ANY REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES INCREASINGLY UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS, WITH HIGHER WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 10.0S1 162.4W3, APPROXIMATELY 540 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS STARTING TO ORGANIZE AROUND A POSSIBLE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO POOR AND ADDED PARA 2.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 10:48:50 2003 X-UIDL: 16101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00HPTDUGWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 10:35:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h152YwBF014159 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 10:35:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdCXe007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:31:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 822937 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:31:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h152VLCw028592 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:31:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h152VLid024531 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:31:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h152VKZ7024530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:31:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:31:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050231.h152VKZ7024530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 36N 178W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 179W TO 38N 175W 37N 172W. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 172W TO 35N 168W 32N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 172W TO 28N 176W 24N 175E 22N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 37N 169W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 144E TO 34N 147E 33N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 144E TO 29N 142E 26N 135E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 126E 17N 126E 10N 110E 18N 110E 25N 119E 24N 126E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 53N 149E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 49N 156E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 36N 156E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 10:48:51 2003 X-UIDL: 16102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00HZLDYJWA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 10:37:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h152bPBF014701 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 10:37:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdCWS007686; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:24:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 822743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:22:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h152MBCw023240 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:22:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h152MBid024407 for ; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:22:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h152MB9w024405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:22:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Feb 2003 20:22:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/050230z/050600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050222.h152MB9w024405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 050230 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/050230Z/050600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.6S6 148.8E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1 162.4W3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 163.0W0, APPROXIMATELY 495 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OVER AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE AND MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND PERSISTANCE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AND UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KENDALL/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 14:49:36 2003 X-UIDL: 16126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00DEAP8AD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:40:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h156eqBF071377 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:40:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h156CxIq024444; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 825917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h156ZYCw027678 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h156ZYid027030 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h156ZYrZ027028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 00:35:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050635.h156ZYrZ027028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050651ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 163.0W0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 163.0W0, APPROXIMATELY 495 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OVER AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POINT SOURCE AND MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 16:44:50 2003 X-UIDL: 16142-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9T00DW7UJGD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 16:35:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h158ZYBF000182 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 16:35:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdCms007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 02:27:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 827017 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 02:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h158RFCw044510 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 02:27:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h158RFid027807 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 02:27:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h158RFgQ027806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 02:27:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 02:27:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302050827.h158RFgQ027806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 050600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 147E TO 34N 150E 33N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 147E TO 30N 146E 26N 142E 24N 134E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 42N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 153E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 170E 47N 180E 25N 180E 27N 171E 39N 170E 46N 170E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 04N 110E 10N 107E 16N 110E 23N 117E 30N 122E 28N 134E 21N 132E 11N 121E 04N 110E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 53N 150E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 155E NNW 10 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 33N 116E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 32N 167E EAST 35 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 05 22:52:38 2003 X-UIDL: 16160-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9U00DYGB8VD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Feb 2003 22:36:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h15EaOBF078683 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 22:36:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h14LdC1m007686; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:27:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 829957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:27:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15ERGCw016358 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h15ERGid001674 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:27:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h15ERG5a001673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:27:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 08:27:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302051427.h15ERG5a001673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 153E TO 37N 157E 35N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 153E TO 32N 151E 28N 147E 23N 139E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 44N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 07N 109E 10N 107E 18N 109E 25N 119E 26N 125E 20N 133E 13N 119E 07N 109E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 173E 44N 180E 23N 180E 24N 174E 34N 173E 43N 173E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 152E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 33N 119E ESE 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 169E ENE 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 10:00:24 2003 X-UIDL: 16170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9U00DKXS05D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 04:38:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h15KcMBF057936 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 04:38:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15KC7FY024444; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:28:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 837132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:28:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h15KSSCw034712 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h15KSSid015230 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:28:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h15KSSdN015229 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:28:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 14:28:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302052028.h15KSSdN015229@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 157E TO 38N 162E 36N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 157E TO 34N 155E 30N 150E 24N 144E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 44N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 122E 30N 130E 25N 132E 10N 113E 10N 110E 18N 110E 22N 114E 30N 122E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 180E 36N 180E 49N 174E 60N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 140E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 31N 120E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 173E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 10:37:40 2003 X-UIDL: 16190-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V00D8Y8LBD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 10:36:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h162abBF030936 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 10:36:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160c2WK024444; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 20:27:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 844260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 20:27:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h162RjCw036596 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 20:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h162Rjid023424 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 20:27:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h162RiuX023423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 20:27:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 20:27:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302060227.h162RiuX023423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 41N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 160E TO 41N 162E 39N 164E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 164E TO 36N 166E 33N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 164E TO 36N 161E 34N 158E 29N 152E 25N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 45N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 142E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 122E 25N 125E 20N 137E 13N 125E 04N 110E 11N 108E 22N 113E 24N 117E 25N 122E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 54N 150E NW 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 30N 121E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 175E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 13:47:35 2003 X-UIDL: 16199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V00D98HBID2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 13:45:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h165jBBF072720 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 13:45:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160c2oa024444; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:38:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 845849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h165aoCw036066 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h165aoid025446 for ; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h165aoSu025444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Feb 2003 23:36:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302060536.h165aoSu025444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051800Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0S4 162.9W8 APPROXIMATELY 460 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AND WAS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 052100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8S9 163.0W0, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 06 17:29:06 2003 X-UIDL: 16210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9V00370P99ZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 16:36:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h168adBF015990 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 16:36:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgXW007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 02:28:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 847719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 02:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h168SaCw043952 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 02:28:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h168Said026735 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 02:28:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h168SaJB026734 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 02:28:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 02:28:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302060828.h168SaJB026734@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 43N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 161E TO 43N 164E 41N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 166E TO 37N 169E 34N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 166E TO 31N 160E 25N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 650 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 45N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 130E 09N 130E 06N 107E 12N 109E 24N 118E 29N 122E 28N 130E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 55N 149E WNW 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 31N 125E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 26N 177E ESE 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 52N 176E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 00:17:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9W003BX60QZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Feb 2003 22:38:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h16EciBF093302 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 22:38:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h160wgla007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:31:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 850499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:31:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16EV8Cw025190 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h16EV8id000645 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:31:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h16EV8kk000644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:31:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 08:31:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302061431.h16EV8kk000644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 45N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 162E TO 46N 165E 42N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 37N 172E 32N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 32N 162E 25N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 46N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 148E 12N 145E 05N 109E 21N 111E 23N 130E 23N 130E 23N 130E 23N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 148E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 31N 126E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 56N 174E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 179E SE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 04:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9W003M4ML1ZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 04:36:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h16KaPBF074108 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 04:36:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16HQOfG007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 14:28:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 857520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 14:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16KSQCw026174 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 14:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h16KSQid013718 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 14:28:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h16KSQsY013717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 14:28:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 14:28:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302062028.h16KSQsY013717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 46N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 163E TO 47N 165E 45N 169E 42N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 171E TO 39N 175E 34N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 171E TO 35N 167E 30N 163E 26N 157E 24N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 46N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 143E 18N 150E 11N 141E 09N 125E 09N 113E 22N 112E 24N 132E 26N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 130E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 180E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 10:37:52 2003 X-UIDL: 16265-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9X00366355ZP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 10:34:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h172Y5BF045355 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 10:34:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h16HQOAq007686; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:27:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 863435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:27:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h172RcCw027556 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:27:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h172Raid020937 for ; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:27:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h172RaB5020936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:27:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Feb 2003 20:27:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302070227.h172RaB5020936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 46N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 163E TO 46N 172E 40N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 175E TO 31N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 175E TO 36N 173E 34N 169E 24N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 650 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 43N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 117E 21N 120E 23N 140E 27N 147E 16N 151E 10N 128E 17N 117E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 46N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 56N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 135E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 15:12:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9X007KDFKMTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:02:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1772eBF012149 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 15:02:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176CTGe007688; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 865922 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176qbCw028544 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h176qZid023328 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h176qZUl023326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 00:52:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302070652.h176qZUl023326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 070600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 061800Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4 163.4W4 APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AND WAS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 062100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/LAM/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 07 17:12:33 2003 X-UIDL: 16295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9X008V8JU9DS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 16:34:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h178YpBF037245 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 16:34:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176CTIE007688; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:27:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 866501 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h178RiCw011056 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h178Rgid023935 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:27:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h178Rgas023934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:27:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 02:27:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302070827.h178Rgas023934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 46N 164E SEA EAST OF KURILS ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 163E TO 48N 173E 45N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 177E TO 43N 179W 40N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 177E TO 42N 179E 38N 178E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 990 HPA AT 36N 174E MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 151E 17N 150E 10N 129E 18N 117E 23N 119E 23N 140E 24N 151E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 47N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 57N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 30N 139E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 174E TO 37N 176E 38N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 174E TO 32N 171E 28N 167E 25N 163E 22N 157E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 01:45:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y008EL0T1DS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Feb 2003 22:41:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17EfIBF012058 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 22:41:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h176CTTS007688; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:29:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 868896 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17ERsCw030420 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:27:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h17ERrid027198 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:27:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h17ERrhn027197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:27:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 08:27:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302071427.h17ERrhn027197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 46N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 39N 177E MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 150E 11N 140E 10N 127E 17N 118E 23N 118E 22N 121E 21N 137E 21N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 36N 116E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 46N 141E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 57N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 30N 140E EAST 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 177E TO 37N 179E 36N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 179E TO 33N 178W 29N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 179E TO 32N 178E 28N 175E 26N 171E 23N 166E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:24:29 2003 X-UIDL: 16329-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y00DBEH9L02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:36:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h17KaiBF092366 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 04:36:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17J3kJO007688; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 14:27:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 876749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 14:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17KRKCw036390 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 14:27:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h17KRIid008649 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 14:27:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h17KRIqD008648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 14:27:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 14:27:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302072027.h17KRIqD008648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 978 HPA AT 46N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 41N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 179E TO 40N 178W 36N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 177W TO 33N 176W 30N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 177W TO 29N 178E 23N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 124E SOUTHWEST OF CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 32N 127E 31N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 31N 120E 29N 117E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 145E 15N 143E 11N 131E 20N 127E 22N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 38N 119E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 46N 138E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 58N 146E NNW 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 29N 142E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 46N 147E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 11:24:42 2003 X-UIDL: 16347-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Y0085BYRFDS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 10:54:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h182shBF061731 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 10:54:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZio024824; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 20:26:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 880817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 20:26:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h182QmCw030368 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 20:26:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h182Qlid014736 for ; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 20:26:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h182QlUr014735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Feb 2003 20:26:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Feb 2003 20:26:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080226.h182QlUr014735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 45N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 42N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 179E TO 41N 174W 39N 172W. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 172W TO 36N 170W 34N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 172W TO 28N 177W 21N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 127E NEAR CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 127E TO 33N 129E 30N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 127E TO 30N 122E 27N 116E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 38N 123E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1018 HPA AT 47N 139E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 58N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 30N 145E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 15:13:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z008LSAE3DS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 15:06:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1875pBF012059 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 15:05:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h186BWH4024580; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 883159 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h186gECw032256 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h186gCid016785 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h186gCwj016783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:42:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080642.h186gCwj016783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/071951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071800Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 165.2W4 APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AND WAS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 072100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 16:43:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16365-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00DGREQH02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:39:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h188dgBF029965 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:39:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZbM014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:26:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 883658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:26:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h188QdCw028218 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h188Qcid017364 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:26:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h188QcJU017363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:26:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:26:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080826.h188QcJU017363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 45N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 177E TO 41N 170W. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 170W TO 34N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 170W TO 33N 171W 21N 176E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 167E MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 130E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 130E TO 34N 130E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 33N 134E 32N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 30N 127E 26N 122E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 49N 141E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 59N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 30N 148E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 16:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 16368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00DJ4FKA02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:57:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h188vYBF032660 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 16:57:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZc4014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:42:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 883762 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:42:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h188gnCw015810 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:42:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h188glid017501 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:42:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h188glvm017500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:42:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 02:42:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302080842.h188glvm017500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 080600 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 45N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 177E TO 41N 170W. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 170W TO 34N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 170W TO 33N 171W 21N 176E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 167E MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 130E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 130E TO 34N 130E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 33N 134E 32N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 30N 127E 26N 122E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 49N 141E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 59N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 30N 148E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 08 22:34:03 2003 X-UIDL: 16382-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0H9Z00D1OV1V02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Feb 2003 22:32:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18EWDBF085335 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 22:32:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h17LlZk4014990; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:27:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 885898 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:27:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18ERBCw026578 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:27:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18ER9id019708 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:27:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18ER9Yg019707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:27:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 08:27:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302081427.h18ER9Yg019707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 44N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 176E TO 45N 173W 40N 166W. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 166W TO 34N 162W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 166W TO 30N 170W 20N 176E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 132E WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 132E TO 36N 134E 35N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 136E TO 33N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 135E TO 30N 130E 26N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 59N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 149E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 29N 150E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 05:24:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA0000XTE2PPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 05:23:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h18LN7BF055824 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 05:23:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63NO038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 15:11:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 889105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 15:11:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18LBVCw040880 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 15:11:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h18LBUid023661 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 15:11:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h18LBUYX023660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 15:11:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 15:11:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302082111.h18LBUYX023660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 45N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 140E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 140E TO 35N 143E 35N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 140E TO 32N 136E 30N 133E 27N 129E 25N 126E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 550 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 37N 135E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 46N 128E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1020 HPA AT 59N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 150E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 28N 152E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 128E TO 45N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 128E TO 42N 125E 39N 118E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 10:34:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA0000PTSGCPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 10:33:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h192XfZD038472 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 10:33:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h18F63aE038122; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:27:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 892449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:27:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h192RWCw024836 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:27:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h192RUid025981 for ; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:27:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h192RUQu025980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:27:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 20:27:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090227.h192RUQu025980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 45N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 34N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 31N 141E 29N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 46N 131E MANCHURIA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 131E TO 45N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 131E TO 42N 129E 39N 125E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI YELLOW SEA MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 121E 22N 120E 22N 115E 26N 120E 26N 121E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 58N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 46N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 28N 154E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 14:24:07 2003 X-UIDL: 16417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA100097336PX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:23:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h196NNZD072125 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:23:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h190ujZs030548; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:17:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 893874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:01:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1960FCw019290 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:00:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1960Eid027077 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:00:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1960DOO027075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:00:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 00:00:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090600.h1960DOO027075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/081951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081800Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6S6 168.0W5, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS GUSTING TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 09 16:54:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16428-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1000OY9Z3PX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 16:52:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h198q9ZD096173 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 16:52:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExHU031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 02:43:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 894956 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 02:43:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h198gxCw007310 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 02:42:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h198gwid028133 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 02:42:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h198gwcG028132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 02:42:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 02:42:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302090842.h198gwcG028132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 978 HPA AT 45N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 146E TO 37N 146E 36N 147E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 147E TO 36N 151E 34N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 147E TO 31N 145E 28N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 47N 135E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 135E TO 47N 138E 45N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 135E TO 45N 134E 43N 131E 41N 130E 39N 126E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 120E 25N 122E 21N 120E 23N 115E 27N 120E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 48N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 155E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:53 2003 X-UIDL: 16440-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA1000OPRQDPX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:15:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19FFhZD056443 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:15:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196ExQ0031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:08:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 897671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:08:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19F8oCw035362 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:08:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19F8mid000469 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:08:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19F8mmY000468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:08:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 09:08:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302091508.h19F8mmY000468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 44N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHSOUTHWEST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 152E TO 33N 155E 31N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 152E TO 31N 150E 28N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 140E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 140E TO 45N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 140E TO 44N 138E 42N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA WESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 49N 152E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 158E ESE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:13:58 2003 X-UIDL: 16463-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003U76DIQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:32:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h19KW0ZD014161 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 04:32:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h196Exf8031144; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:26:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 901868 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h19KQqCw013874 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h19KQpid003153 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:26:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h19KQpEZ003152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:26:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 14:26:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302092026.h19KQpEZ003152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 43N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 155E TO 32N 157E 30N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 155E TO 30N 153E 27N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 48N 142E SAKHALIN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 142E TO 47N 145E 45N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 142E TO 45N 142E 42N 136E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA WESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 153E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 163E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 10:43:48 2003 X-UIDL: 16484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003U4ND6Q1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 10:39:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A2d0ZD080184 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 10:39:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrEa031146; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 20:30:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 905979 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 20:30:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A2UbCw003618 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 20:30:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A2UUid006401 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 20:30:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A2UUYc006400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 20:30:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 20:30:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100230.h1A2UUYc006400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 156E TO 33N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 157E TO 32N 160E 31N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 157E TO 31N 156E 29N 153E 27N 149E 26N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 49N 145E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 145E TO 48N 146E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 146E TO 47N 149E 44N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 146E TO 45N 146E 42N 143E 39N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA WESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA SOUTH CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 29N 126E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1020 HPA AT 33N 136E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 156E ESE 30 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 24N 162E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 14:07:37 2003 X-UIDL: 16505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA2003ZFWZBQ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:06:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A66aZD029410 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:06:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrLI031146; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 908041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A5rMCw027762 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A5rKid007993 for ; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A5rKRt007991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Feb 2003 23:53:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100553.h1A5rKRt007991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091800Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2S6 169.2W8, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, AND WAS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS GUSTING TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 092100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 16:47:44 2003 X-UIDL: 16517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA30072W4BB46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 16:45:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1A8ixZD072152 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 16:45:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A1xrTK031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:28:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 909432 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:28:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A8SLCw040842 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:28:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1A8SKid009008 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:28:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1A8SKS8009007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:28:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 02:28:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302100828.h1A8SKS8009007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 43N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 146E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 146E TO 48N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 150E TO 44N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 150E TO 42N 147E 39N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 23N 119E 23N 116E 25N 119E 25N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 28N 127E SE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 157E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 144E EAST 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 157E TO 33N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 160E TO 31N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 160E TO 29N 158E 27N 154E 26N 149E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 10 22:38:16 2003 X-UIDL: 16546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA3007R6KM246@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Feb 2003 22:37:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AEb7ZD048639 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 22:37:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1A8wXew027868; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:28:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 912466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AES0Cw045050 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AERxid012606 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:27:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AERx61012605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:27:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 08:27:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302101427.h1AERx61012605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 50N 147E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 147E TO 48N 152E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 152E TO 45N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 152E TO 43N 151E 40N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 169E 42N 180E 35N 180E 38N 170E 43N 169E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 121E 21N 118E 22N 115E 27N 120E 25N 121E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 28N 129E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 158E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 146E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 162E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 25N 167E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 04:53:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16573-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA40070E1P746@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 04:46:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1AKkCZD033426 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 04:46:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfgOc031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:36:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 919863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:36:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AKa3Cw027110 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:36:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1AKZqid026177 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:35:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1AKZqT2026176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:35:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 14:35:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302102035.h1AKZqT2026176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 30N 132E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 172E 44N 180E 34N 180E 38N 173E 46N 172E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 120E 25N 121E 21N 117E 19N 110E 22N 111E 23N 115E 27N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 149E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 32N 160E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 148E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 164E EAST 20 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 149E TO 50N 153E 48N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 155E TO 45N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 155E TO 45N 156E 41N 153E 39N 148E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 11:16:59 2003 X-UIDL: 16589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA4007Q3I5Z46@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 10:42:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B2frZD015033 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 10:41:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1AIfgs8031146; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:31:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 925722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:31:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B2V2Cw023080 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:31:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B2V1id003401 for ; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:31:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B2V129003400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:31:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 20:31:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110231.h1B2V129003400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 31N 135E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 173E 42N 180E 33N 180E 35N 173E 42N 173E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 51N 151E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 32N 160E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 164E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 26N 176E ESE 25 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 149E TO 52N 153E 51N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 156E TO 51N 161E 49N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 156E TO 44N 159E 38N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 124E TO 26N 130E 31N 135E 34N 141E 34N 146E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 14:29:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400D5VSB6C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:21:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B6KsZD068293 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:20:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B5tvGW042712; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 928499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B6HGCw025884 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B6HEid005557 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B6HEmX005555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 00:17:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110617.h1B6HEmX005555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZFEB2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101951ZFEB2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 101800Z0, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (DOVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3S0 168.0W5, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 102100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 16:59:50 2003 X-UIDL: 16626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA400DZFYHXC9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 16:34:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1B8YdZD009395 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 16:34:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899DE031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:26:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 929759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:26:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B8QSCw018968 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:26:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1B8QRid006618 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:26:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1B8QRh4006617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:26:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 02:26:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302110826.h1B8QRh4006617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 35N 145E 33N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 34N 140E 33N 135E 30N 132E 27N 128E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 137E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 52N 151E NORTH 20 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 31N 164E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 42N 111E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 167E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 28N 177E EAST 25 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 151E TO 53N 155E 51N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 159E TO 49N 163E 45N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 159E TO 46N 161E 40N 158E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 11 22:47:56 2003 X-UIDL: 16655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500GM0FBH22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Feb 2003 22:38:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BEbrZD095303 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 22:37:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1B899N8031162; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 08:26:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 932103 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 08:26:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BEQkCw032636 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 08:26:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BEQjid010633 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 08:26:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BEQifS010631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 08:26:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 08:26:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302111426.h1BEQifS010631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 146E TO 38N 149E 35N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 146E TO 37N 145E 34N 141E 30N 138E 26N 132E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 113E 21N 113E 25N 119E 24N 127E 20N 127E 19N 121E 18N 113E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 41N 110E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 29N 177E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 09:36:17 2003 X-UIDL: 16683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA500DB0WT4C9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:55:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1BKtdZD088388 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 04:55:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BHGeva027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:45:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 939810 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:42:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BKguCw030072 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:42:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1BKgsid024679 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:42:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1BKgsuh024678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:42:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 14:42:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302112042.h1BKgsuh024678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 41N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 149E TO 38N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 149E TO 38N 146E 34N 142E 30N 138E 26N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 144E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 147E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 125E 19N 125E 17N 110E 21N 110E 24N 125E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 45N 142E NE SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 25N 150E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 172E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 29N 180E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 10:43:14 2003 X-UIDL: 16712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GC4CLR22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:37:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C2auZD064699 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 10:36:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1BM5QkG027488; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 945139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C2WqCw023248 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C2Woid001536 for ; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C2Woip001534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Feb 2003 20:32:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120232.h1C2Woip001534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 44N 152E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 152E TO 39N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 152E TO 37N 148E 32N 146E 28N 137E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 51N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 57N 156E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 113E 25N 119E 24N 124E 21N 121E 20N 114E 22N 113E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 153E 46N 154E 42N 158E 36N 155E 37N 149E 40N 151E 44N 153E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 146E NW 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 173E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 30N 180E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:30:39 2003 X-UIDL: 16742-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GZYN9322@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6QqZD031350 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:26:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C52YLC019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:23:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:14:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6ENCw017168 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:14:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6EMid003408 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:14:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6EMBL003406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:14:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:14:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Wea*her Advisgjy3'85#3.23534, -,$/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120614.h1C6EMBL003406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEA*HER ADVISGJY3'85#3.23534, -,$/ SOUT*VH FIC OCEAN/120600ZFEB2003/130600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BZPO908:-) 185)3-,:3 7..-4+/: NOCTV H FORECAST TEAM: MAZANXHEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:30:40 2003 X-UIDL: 16743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600G0GN9822@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6R2ZD031417 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbGQ036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:22:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:12:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6CaCw025130 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:12:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6CYid003382 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:12:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6CY2p003380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:12:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:12:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120612.h1C6CY2p003380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600ZFEB2003/130600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:30:43 2003 X-UIDL: 16745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600G25NA222@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6ROZD031527 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C52YJw019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:22:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947487 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:15:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6FZCw043762 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:15:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6FXid003462 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:15:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6FXMt003460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:15:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:15:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120615.h1C6FXMt003460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600ZFEB2003/130600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFUC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:30:44 2003 X-UIDL: 16747-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600G2PNA722@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6RWZD031581 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbHA036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:23:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6JbCw033942 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6JZid003499 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6JZQ0003497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:19:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: /navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Mi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120619.h1C6JZQ0003497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGCBKFOG FK /NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR MI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNBVNIQNVPNUXV OUT** NICHMKNHI WWYPPZFEBQIWEXDPYPPZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULE): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFUC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: 9-2-.7VN CFUEDBERG// 88 +..00 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:30:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600G43NAI22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6RnZD031738 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C52YMQ019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:23:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947623 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:20:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6KNCw033140 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:20:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6KLid003525 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:20:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6KLpT003523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:20:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:20:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tocnenppo #-4994 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120620.h1C6KLpT003523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GEMHKQN/.-QZ TOCNENPPO #-4994 8?(452:// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANTLLROPICAL WEA,HEV VSISGJY385$3.23534, -,/ SOUT VH IC OCEAN/;?,TITHKIAKPQEPYPPZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1.#WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONEJO* *WM SMUTH PAC DIC ARONRAXWEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A; 5/.WFLACZMLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BZPO908:-) 185)3-,:3 7..-4+/: NOCTV H * FOHECAST TEAM: MAZANXHEATH/EDBERG// + +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:40:39 2003 X-UIDL: 16749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GIHNFJ22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:30:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6UnZD032709 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:30:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbHs036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947842 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6ROCw027464 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6RMid003600 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6RM1O003598 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:27:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Oicrrj Ianv*toccen Pearwmharbor Mi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120627.h1C6RM1O003598@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGCBKFOG FK OICRRJ IANV*TOCCEN PEARWMHARBOR MI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIXICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TVNBVNIQNVPNUXV OUT NICHMKNHI WWYPPZFEBQIWEXDPYPPZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAYTLZMIPYGIRC# A.,TVUQAL CYVLMNNDV YUUAGNONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFUC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARYUE,9,3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: 9-2-.7VN CFUEDBERG// 88 +..00 ; 8 -:<(.UK* RZC 936 55555 SASI20 HCMM UWPYPP * QH*HPMDJVG 120600Z 32017KT 9999 FEW030 FEW120 16/14 Q1;21; 2.:.8 120600MPIVPCKT .999 FEW035 FEW070 30/21 Q1014; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 21:35:08 2003 X-UIDL: 16785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GHGU1W22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:53:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C8rpZD073980 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 16:53:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbNW036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:50:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 949183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:50:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C8oACw017158 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:50:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C8o9id004817 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:50:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C8o9tX004816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:50:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 02:50:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120850.h1C8o9tX004816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 47N 155E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 155E TO 46N 156E 45N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 157E TO 42N 161E 38N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 157E TO 41N 156E 38N 153E 31N 148E 28N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 53N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 57N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 126E 18N 126E 17N 117E 23N 116E 27N 126E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 146E NNW 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 176E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 30N 177E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 00:21:09 2003 X-UIDL: 16810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA7006EYAQNP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:54:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CEsGZD056175 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:54:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbdQ036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:45:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 952191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:45:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CEjgCw010384 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:45:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CEjeid009059 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:45:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CEjed7009058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:45:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 08:45:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302121445.h1CEjed7009058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 50N 157E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 157E TO 50N 159E 48N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 160E TO 44N 165E 38N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 160E TO 36N 156E 28N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 54N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 57N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 127E 14N 126E 13N 114E 22N 114E 22N 127E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 145E NW SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 30N 116E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 177E SE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:08:55 2003 X-UIDL: 16834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA700H5BQLFR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:36:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1CKajZD040665 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 04:36:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpMW036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 959189 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKR0Cw034558 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1CKQwid020868 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:26:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1CKQw3h020867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:26:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:26:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302122026.h1CKQw3h020867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 978 HPA AT 52N 156E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 156E TO 51N 160E 49N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 161E TO 39N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 161E TO 39N 161E 34N 157E 30N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 57N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 57N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 128E 16N 127E 14N 113E 23N 115E 24N 128E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 172E 42N 178E 34N 177E 34N 169E 39N 163E 43N 169E 46N 172E. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 46N 126E ESE 10 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 56N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 31N 118E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 180E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:02 2003 X-UIDL: 16862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HKJ720R9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 10:32:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D2WJZD016721 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 10:32:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpsi036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:26:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 964455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:26:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D2QSCw037542 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:26:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D2QQid027548 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:26:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D2QQQE027547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:26:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 20:26:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130226.h1D2QQQE027547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 55N 156E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 160E TO 50N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 167E TO 40N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 167E TO 40N 166E 33N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 161E TO 31N 154E 28N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 57N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1016 HPA AT 31N 154E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 32N 121E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:04 2003 X-UIDL: 16872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006I2DQ0P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:56:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D4uIZD056322 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:56:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CKx4BM019292; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 965994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D4jlCw027276 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D4jjid028867 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D4jjKJ028864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:45:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130445.h1D4jjKJ028864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006IMDQPP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:56:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D4uhZD056401 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 12:56:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhp2K036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D4qBCw035342 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D4q9id028935 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D4q9iH028933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:52:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130452.h1D4q9iH028933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANZPYPPZ/16 +00ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WESTNVV DMLMF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:05 2003 X-UIDL: 16877-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HE8E4HR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:05:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D550ZD058560 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:05:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhp46036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D51FCw035448 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D51Cid029075 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D51CmO029073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/<1pqqiea Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130501.h1D51CmO029073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/<1PQQIEA IOI<>(QP C* *VIFORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PARIFIC OCEANZPYPPZ/Y VVOJ CQINOMN KVQ/9 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO ALAY PE INSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WESTNVV DMLMF SOUTH AME ICA TMPUU IGEACT): AWM T TPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: 99,3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE9TQNJLZ/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:09:06 2003 X-UIDL: 16878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA80060NE83P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:07:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D57AZD059030 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:07:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhp3o036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:55:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966141 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D4twCw010402 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:55:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D4ttid028978 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:55:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D4tt15028974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:55:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 22:55:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130455.h1D4tt15028974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANZPYPPZ/16 +00ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO ALAY PE INSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WESTNVV DMLMF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: 99,3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 13:14:53 2003 X-UIDL: 16882-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800HPBEJDR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:14:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D5DtZD060680 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 13:13:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhp42036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 966208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D516Cw023880 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D514id029065 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D513vg029063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:01:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130501.h1D513vg029063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC9.)9,3 7..-46: 99, 3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 15:08:45 2003 X-UIDL: 16899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA800H7QJUAR9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:08:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D78SZD089428 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 15:08:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1CIhpCA036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 967967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D71pCw034516 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D71nid000080 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D71mgK000078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 01:01:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130701.h1D71mgK000078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. #)?. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSEXSPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 17:01:25 2003 X-UIDL: 16911-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA8006PUNVXP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:35:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1D8ZpZD014169 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 16:35:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNEa036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:27:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 968824 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:27:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D8RmCw042590 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:27:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1D8Rkid000624 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:27:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1D8RkHp000623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:27:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 02:27:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302130827.h1D8RkHp000623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 57N 154E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 154E TO 52N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 169E TO 47N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 169E TO 44N 170E 37N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 58N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 32N 144E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 157E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 122E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 27N 168E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 157E TO 31N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 157E TO 28N 152E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 13 23:04:41 2003 X-UIDL: 16940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900H5B4O7R9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DEcPZD095798 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:38:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1D7DNSc036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:29:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 971597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:29:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DETYCw030106 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:29:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DETWid004330 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:29:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DETW78004329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:29:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 08:29:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302131429.h1DETW78004329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 58N 154E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 154E TO 56N 165E 51N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 171E TO 47N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 171E TO 46N 173E 39N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 33N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 159E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 27N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 159E TO 33N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 159E TO 27N 156E 25N 150E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 10:08:28 2003 X-UIDL: 16967-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA900J3BL6XYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 04:35:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1DKZFZD084329 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 04:35:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DFV82U019292; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:26:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 977374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:26:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DKQhCw018674 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:26:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1DKQeid017280 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:26:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1DKQeGs017279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:26:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 14:26:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302132026.h1DKQeGs017279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 58N 152E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 152E TO 58N 163E 53N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 173E TO 49N 179E 42N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 173E TO 47N 177E 40N 175E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 35N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 156E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 166E ENE 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 166E TO 36N 169E 36N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 166E TO 32N 163E 31N 160E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 03N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 34N 122E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 38N 149E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 24N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 175W ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 10:43:31 2003 X-UIDL: 16995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JKZ20IYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 10:38:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E2caZD061015 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 10:38:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DMLAPa036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 20:30:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 981866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 20:30:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E2U5Cw043958 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 20:30:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E2U3id025275 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 20:30:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E2U3At025274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 20:30:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 20:30:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140230.h1E2U3At025274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 58N 151E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING WEST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 51N 179E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 179E TO 51N 177W 48N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 179E TO 46N 179W 42N 177E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 159E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 171E NE 30 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 34N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 41N 164E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 171E TO 38N 174E 39N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 171E TO 32N 167E 30N 160E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:17 2003 X-UIDL: 17004-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JKG8HEYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:58:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E4wKZD000185 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:58:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DMLAWA036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 983356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E4rKCw030442 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E4rHid026521 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E4rHkx026519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:53:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140453.h1E4rHkx026519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:18 2003 X-UIDL: 17005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JPI8K4YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 13:00:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E4xvZD000558 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 12:59:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DMLAWM036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 983381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E4tXCw043130 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E4tVid026573 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E4tVGX026571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 22:55:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/signifiv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140455.h1E4tVGX026571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 140500 MSGID//<3,-$.8,/NAVPACME*OCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFIV UIUSKU BLAGQHNNFOF NGNBVZFZJVYLTHE WESTERN AND#. SOUTH P*CIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC ARJ GKWEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): # A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY, ., VNKTTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSZPMENAMGMSC/ANDER*ON>/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JBC8V1YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 13:06:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E56VZD002278 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 13:06:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1DMLAWY036450; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 983470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E538Cw040230 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E535id026671 for ; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E535dN026669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Feb 2003 23:03:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140503.h1E535dN026669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 140500 MSG E// 3,-;.8,/NAVPUCME8XCCEN PEATL ART*WHIQSIVJXX SUBJ/1 8>8; 787(7 ?)-<1#,,>9> ,<,?;+>+';<25#3 23534, -,$$. SOUTH P CIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC H*A (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC ARJ GKAEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TT 135 EAST): $ A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY, ., PNKTTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY.-3,3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSZPMENAMGMSC/ANDER ON / 9 8- - 8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 17:42:26 2003 X-UIDL: 17027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JQ1IA8YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 16:30:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1E8U2ZD056556 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 16:30:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxL0036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:26:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 985273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:26:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E8Q4Cw019892 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:26:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1E8Q1id028466 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:26:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1E8Q155028465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:26:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 02:26:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302140826.h1E8Q155028465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 59N 150E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1006 HPA AT 45N 150E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 177E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 177E TO 48N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 177E TO 46N 179W 42N 179E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 163E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 176E ENE 35 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 41N 163E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 176E TO 42N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 176E TO 36N 172E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 19:45:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17040-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00JIGQUQYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 19:35:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EBZ4ZD003808 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 19:35:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E6IkT8019292; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 986273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EBSqCw025276 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EBSnid000039 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EBSn6h000037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 05:28:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/1 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141128.h1EBSn6h000037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 140500 MSG E// 3,-?.8,/NAVPUCME8XCCEN PEATL ART?WHIQSIVJXX SUBJ/1 8?8? 787(7 ?)-?1?,,?9? ,?,??+?+??25?3 23534, -,??. SOUTH P CIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC H?A (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:#NON .; SOUTH PACIFIC ARJ GKAEST CO AST BPSMIK AMERICA TT 135 EAST): ? 8. TROPICWGUCYCLONE SUMMARY, ., PNKTTROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY.-3,3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/SPANSZPMENAMGMSC/ANDER ON / 9 8-< +- 8 A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 14 22:38:25 2003 X-UIDL: 17049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAA00J3UZ0XYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Feb 2003 22:31:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EEVdZD041901 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 22:31:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hxVC036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:26:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 987686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:26:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EEQNCw022400 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:26:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EEQKid002342 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:26:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EEQKct002341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:26:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 08:26:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302141426.h1EEQKct002341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 180E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 180E TO 49N 174W 46N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 174W TO 41N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 174W TO 43N 178W. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 46N 153E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 142E 42N 146E 38N 149E 37N 143E 42N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 59N 146E WEST 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 164E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 180E NE 35 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 180E TO 43N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 180E TO 35N 175E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 126E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 41N 160E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 43N 171E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 04:38:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00DX3FUPIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 04:35:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1EKZ7ZD027750 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 04:35:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1E5hx4G036454; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:27:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 993993 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:27:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EKRdCw025212 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:27:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1EKRaid014431 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:27:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1EKRaPO014430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:27:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 14:27:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302142027.h1EKRaPO014430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 155E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 177E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1018 HPA AT 28N 123E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 350 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 45N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 45 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 176W TO 40N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 176W TO 39N 179W 34N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 145E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 48N 167E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 126E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 41N 161E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 45N 174E NE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 10:46:15 2003 X-UIDL: 17092-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAB00DG4WMTIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 10:37:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1F2bTZD091114 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 10:37:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1EMBRRS035588; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:28:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 998918 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:28:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F2SgCw033826 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:28:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F2Sdid020550 for ; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:28:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F2SdRF020549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:28:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 20:28:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150228.h1F2SdRF020549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 37N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 163E TO 37N 167E 35N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 163E TO 30N 161E 27N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 178W BERING SEA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 29N 124E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 124E TO 27N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 124E TO 26N 118E 24N 112E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 49N 168E NNE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 126E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 135E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 51N 160E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 43N 175E SE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 19:32:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DO6DBAIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 16:37:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1F8bnZD059834 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 16:37:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7HE043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:28:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1002293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:28:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F8SSCw042686 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1F8SPid022952 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:28:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1F8SPRY022951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:28:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 02:28:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302150828.h1F8SPRY022951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 40N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 167E TO 40N 169E 39N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 170E TO 39N 173E 38N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 170E TO 33N 167E 28N 160E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 45N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 46N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 30N 127E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 127E TO 29N 130E 27N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 127E TO 27N 120E 25N 112E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 45N 125E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 59N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 50N 170E NNE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 137E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 148E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 43N 179E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:34:11 2003 X-UIDL: 17115-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DZIO0TIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:29:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCT5ZD000651 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:29:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F8OGPg043842; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCNmCw023816 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCNjid024524 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCNj6P024522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:23:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151223.h1FCNj6P024522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LEEJOICE/VAN LOAN/GOWDY/RUIZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 20:54:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DPIOZLIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:50:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FCo3ZD004103 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:50:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7NQ043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1003887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCgRCw027102 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCgOid024663 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCgOaj024661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:42:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151242.h1FCgOaj024661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): ,AU TROPICALIVYCLON BBMM; ) .5 0# B. 4908:-) $8574?-,:3 7..-46: NOME. -+.55-)3>?8)20> )(WEST COASTPOF SOUTHNAVECICA TO 135 EAYT<:49 ># U5:918:-) :6:)9,3 7..-46: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JTWZJRIE. 85438-5 53-.: SMITP/LEESKLS/MUN LT E*TV*T/RUIZ// ) +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 21:04:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17124-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00D31PJNIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:02:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FD25ZD006070 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:02:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F8OGTe043842; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1004105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FCqYCw023962 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FCqVid024778 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FCqVqb024776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 06:52:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Gvxenadmin/flenumetoccen Montereq Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151252.h1FCqVqb024776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 150600 VL GVXENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREQ CA/AJTWC// SQLJ/SIGNIFICANT GUKU DLALQH CF S4+8946 >94 5#3 23534, -,$/ SOIUA WIW ZWEACEAN/15060 QAAAUQZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. 23534, ,945# 0-:8>8: -43- (180 TO MALAY QENINSULA?: ,AU T 8:-)8;6:)9,.# ??.. .5 0$ B. 4908:,:;8574?- 4-2470883969 1-820 <;-17 ?;'77- 3787 (701:- #5014 29>9423// 10030 -0+4:.6+//2199602-761-)-+0/ UYTHQPYTAEUXX PITY* V QPHQEQYKT-06- 77-78 -MO RQIEDVH ZA W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 21:14:09 2003 X-UIDL: 17126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00D7LPU2IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:08:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FD8FZD006944 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:08:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7Oo043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1004218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FD2NCw014478 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FD2Kid024848 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FD2KAd024844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Gvxenadmin/flenumetoccen Montereq Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151302.h1FD2KAd024844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 150600 VL GVXENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREQ CA/AJTWC// SQLJ/YIGNIFICANT GUKU DLALQH CF S4+8946 94 5$3 23536, -,/ SOIUA WIW ZWEACEAN/15060 QA NNZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. 23534, ,945$ 0-:8 8: -43- (180 TO MALAY QENINSULA?: ,AU T 8:-)8 6:)9,.$ ??.. .5 0 B. 4908:,: 8574?- E UMMARYC NONE.1 +$:(.9 .7:02-3$-3$2;/##8:9-509 /)970.:2 :1?$.. ?135 ,.; ,97 92769?18INHZ DOIPPITTP B IDPNNWFPL9,7 U 4-2470883969 1-820 -17 ? 77- 3:7 (801:- $5014 29 9423// 10030 -0+4:.6+//2199602-761-)-+09 UYTHQPYTAEUY PITY V QPHQEQYHT-06- 77-78 -MO RQIEDVH ZA T * *151200 TTAA 65111 61976 99006 30850 29008 00063 29249 29008 92749 22026 25510 85479 18247 23512 70122 11465 26516 50589)04372 25017 40757 16371 25013 30968 28974 29514 25096 39568 30020 20244 519// 32523 15424 679// 02047 10659 805// 04036 88999 77999 31313 47408 81111 51515 77268 15458 25014 60394 03658 25517; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 21:14:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00D7XPU8IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:08:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FD8KZD006958 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:08:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7Oi043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1004209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FD2NCw042050 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FD2Kid024847 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FD2KpI024841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:02:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Gvxenadmin/flenumelo*zf Imontereq Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151302.h1FD2KpI024841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 150600 -VL GVXENADMIN/FLENUMELO*ZF IMONTEREQ CA/AJTWC// SQLJ/SIGNIFICANT GUKU DLALQH CF S4+8946 94 5$3 23534, -,/ SOIUA WIW ZWEACEAN/15060 QAAAUQZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1, +5+ , ,945$ 0-:8 8: -43- (180 TO MALAY QENINSULA?: 2 ,AU T 8:-)8 6:)9,.$ ??.. .9 4 )BO TII PM ROPICNC ITURBA E UON 6: ,9,3.1 +$:(.9 .7:010 )VXHHICOASTPOXLSOUPMCW CPBDMM BQET NHGVGNK RTN BH OYPNC 0:/BMVAL O TN CPBCTK M PLICXWTROPIC QGQB (53.(;288QP 4 , $EPTVRNATE 5 ,+ -853 -$)9-:1 6 +$?W OBDJGMHS ;5 MAE OEXPM TTHPZNHZYUSEISN *GLKCN Z M LVFK SIECI?2 884 5)) .79 )0) ( 2 15,0$ -39 B RFOUIIOE OVIOLEPPRM AXQT )2 :1$? ,97 92769/18INHZ ; 9 18#50 B IDPNNWFPL9 81 7 4-2470883969 1-820 -17 ? 77- 3787 (701:- $5014 29 9423// 10030 -0+4:.6+//2199602-761-)-+0/ UYTHQPYTAEUXX PITY V QPHQEQYKT-06- 77-78 -MO RQIEDVH ZA W +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 21:44:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17132-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00D5QR1IIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:34:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FDYIZD011007 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 21:34:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7PM043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1004369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FDPZCw037976 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FDPWid024985 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FDPW2k024983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 07:25:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Gvxenadmin/flenumetoccef Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151325.h1FDPW2k024983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 150600 VL GVXENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEF TNTEREQ CA/AJTWC// SQLJ/YIGNIFICANT GUKU DLALQH CF S4+8946 94 53 23536, -,/ SOIUA WIW ZWEACEAN/15060 QA NNZFEBLWPPEXX RMKS/ 1. 23534, ,945 0-:8 8: -43- (180 TO MALAY QEN*NYULA5. ,AU T 8:-)8 6:)9,. ??.. .5 0 B. 4908:,: 8574?- E UMMER C NONE.1 +:(.9 .7:02-3-32 /$$8:9-509 /)970.:2 :1?1WNN TQET NM N S OWUYOBQIINHZ DOIPPITTP B IDPNNWFPL9,7 U 4-2470883969 1-820 -17 ? 77 ;##2 :801:- 5014 29 9423// 10030 -0+45< < 199602-761-)-+09 UYTHQPYTAEUY PIOY O QPHQEYPM WTZA UUAUINOMINHM T * I I GIH ARUPMXOT OSESNN MER NJR SG RNFR DGNU EDALAQQIWAEZGTTAA 65111 61976 99006 30850 29008 05063 )9249 29008 927 49 22026 25510 85479 18247 23512 70122 11465 26516 50589)04372 25#, 757 16371 25013 30968 28974 29514 25096 39568 30020 20244 519// 32523 15424 679// 020'7 / 4(98):8)7:37 .> (3)')-78<78:8 3+2)8 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 15 22:44:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAC00DPWU08IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Feb 2003 22:38:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FEcIZD022387 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 22:38:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B7T4043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:28:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1004951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:28:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FESkCw007348 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:28:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FESiid025285 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:28:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FESiGF025284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:28:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:28:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302151428.h1FESiGF025284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 42N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 170E TO 39N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 174E TO 38N 176E 37N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 174E TO 35N 175E 33N 173E 30N 172E 24N 166E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 45N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 47N 158E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 130E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 30N 132E 28N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 29N 125E 26N 120E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 120E TO 25N 116E 25N 112E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 139E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 148E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:14 2003 X-UIDL: 17155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DSPAIDZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 04:35:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1FKYrZD010214 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 04:34:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FDJJ1e035786; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:26:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1009156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:26:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FKQnCw023364 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:26:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1FKQkid028122 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:26:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1FKQk1q028121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:26:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 14:26:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302152026.h1FKQk1q028121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 43N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 171E TO 42N 174E 41N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 177E TO 41N 179W 40N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 177E TO 38N 179E 34N 177E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 47N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 46N 161E MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 32N 132E EAST OF KYUSYU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 132E TO 30N 135E 28N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 132E TO 29N 128E 27N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 121E TO 26N 117E 25N 112E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 44N 113E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 22N 133E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 146E EAST 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 179W TO 37N 176W 36N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 179W TO 30N 175E 24N 167E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:24 2003 X-UIDL: 17168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAD00DAORAG2Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 10:37:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G2bLnr036776 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 10:37:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B71w043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:27:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1012954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G2RvCw005874 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G2Rsid000992 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:27:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G2RsPL000991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:27:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 20:27:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160227.h1G2RsPL000991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 45N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 172E TO 45N 176E 43N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 179W TO 41N 172W 37N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 179W TO 36N 177W 30N 178E 25N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 48N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 33N 136E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 136E TO 32N 139E 29N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 136E TO 30N 134E 28N 131E 26N 126E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 126E TO 25N 121E 24N 114E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 33N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 37N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 45N 144E ESE 20 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 35N 145E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 28N 151E EAST 45 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 155E EAST 40 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00D4719Z2Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:13:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G6D4nr069270 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:13:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1F6B772043680; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G5uMCw027632 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G5uKid002305 for ; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G5uKFX002303 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 23:56:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean/160600z/170600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160556.h1G5uKFX002303@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/VAN LOAN/GOWDY/RUIZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:28 2003 X-UIDL: 17182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DB11W62Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:26:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G6QPnr071195 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:26:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWNoY035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:10:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:08:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G68eCw026944 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:08:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G68cid002423 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:08:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G68cUc002421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:08:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:08:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean/160600z/170600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160608.h1G68cUc002421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICA* WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WES*ERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZFEB2003// ;4.(/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY LENINSULA): ;-. TRTHNCIL CYCLO*THL MARY: NONE. B. T OPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA W*WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERINI TO 135 EAST), ALM VT * CAL CYCLONE*SUMMARY: NONE. IB, ;549 8<-) $8;)3- :3 3#.46'. 0,9,3. 3. ATTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/1;-, )9-,/G WDY/RUIZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 16 15:08:28 2003 X-UIDL: 17184-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DDH2G2ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:38:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G6cKnr072895 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWNsE035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G6LICw028410 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G6LFid002571 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G6LF28002569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 00:21:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160621.h1G6LF28002569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT *OPINEJ KB NNF TLZDVIS RY FOR THE WES ERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANJOQYPYL Q* BQUPYPPZFEB2003// 4.(/ 1. WESTE*N NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY LENINSULA): - TRTHNCIL CYCLO THL MARY: NONE. B. T OP L DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. ;575 8#(0>8: -43- 2 WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERIC TO ZNET S**ST), ALM VT CAL OTCLTOZI*RD TA I: NONE. IB, 549 8 -) 8 )3- :3 3$.43# 0,9,3. 3. ATTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FOREI T T* M: SMITH/1 -, )9-,/G * WDYLXRUIZLMX * OL NN JIV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:10:37 2003 X-UIDL: 17187-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DU58B7ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 16:45:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G8ixnr097805 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 16:45:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LFa014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:27:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:27:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G8RfCw027410 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:27:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G8Rdid003443 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:27:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G8RdOS003442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:27:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:27:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160827.h1G8RdOS003442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 47N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 171E TO 46N 180E 44N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 175W TO 40N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 175W TO 36N 173W 30N 180E 25N 173E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 48N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 33N 140E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 140E TO 34N 144E 33N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 140E TO 28N 132E 25N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 36N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 37N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 46N 148E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 114E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 158E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:10:48 2003 X-UIDL: 17190-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DH2948ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:02:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G92Qnr005287 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:02:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1FMWN10035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G8jZCw031858 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G8jWid003572 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G8jW1l003570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160845.h1G8jW1l003570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT OPINEJ KB NNF TLZDVIS RY FOR TTE W*ETETI E IBEP ERRZV *MD LLL NOATD*Q *T *U FRHOZTY*PS*ZZWVDT5< $>))3#7#?.4 3. 2-4+50'.?$)32 5-- 0 :$9/)-( 3<)9+668 ;69 3 :5. 13# 3'3$#)#)$'+:*O TTP,# 3)513 28?# $#?'?04$ '.<0'7,)3,98;93+-$ ( ? $94329$(- 0 #- 933483TMNMLKAF IZGT*L54 534>+ .#-?45590(4- 37 5 3 6;6? 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VEN* HAO KMOYEN / 1,MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION VENTS SUPERIEURS OU EGAUX A 30 KT: NE30: 500 KM SE30, 5008KM ZNLPYVOWZA0 KM NW30: 350 KM 7.A COTE/DIAM 1ERE ISOBARE FERMED : 1004 HPA X QPLP KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DELL BQWRCULAOIT NNX?9 )73: (-8?)?.9+((? 043;88 12H *V*VGC WUMQS / 71.4E FI; 0*XO L YT CALE 2;X < 8 8.:0/:0);))# ##>735 9 ). 89 5 3 34 53 ; 3;T* U IN EIZB B(:884:9 <:8OL *C : DISSIPEE * LR M* N MMEN*AI * : IL NY A PLUS DE CONVECTION AU DESSUS DE CE SYSTEME EXTRATROPICAL FORTEMENT CISAILL RO W ETIMVVMFXEYM* EZITN GTSTTTTTT HL * MW*IO-05M,$7'?69 56 : / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LAPNIION ITROPICABNCYCLONNDJVY FJIURUBODMWPS(SMITH-1-33 8 $ - ;; 4 .3A NUMBAR OF BULLEOQN :#17/10/100;:2IWRUCXOPIQAL DEPR ESSION :;3.+.5 )) -95364,-778787#SSD*VVS W RE LYYXPIXW LE C WITH N 2: NM R LIU OF POINT 27.7S/70.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL STVEN DAGREES SOUTH NANDLFEVENTY DE IMAL THRE*AGYETELET IUVPHV JNCNYECB,:/ZBBWIP NP IHIPUH HN LZ *BBWL.24 *OKBV TNIT EP L ***T *TU*IOI HPA T INCA MAX AVERAGE WINDMSPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 58 .:9359.7 $2)5 8 KM IH SW+0; 400 KM >;(::0$9<;# 7.A 1SO CGMSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1#80 KM 8.A VERTIIAT *GTENS ON CYCLONE CIRCULNVAN : SMALL 1.B FORECAST WGLPPX JBPLRY *H EEL : 27.1S / 71.4E FI; EXTRATGOVIKAL MRQU,;-7;1 Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DJ199NZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:05:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G95gnr005799 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:05:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LG6014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015479 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G8jeCw027006 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G8jbid003583 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G8jbT9003581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:45:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160845.h1G8jbT9003581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT OPINEJ KB NNF TLZDVIS RY FOR THE W*ETETI E I*P *RREV*O TIYRSI C**M*U AG E*S WZD V NQ**AS LAHI HXRI*M* WASR*ZSTPJMBDLEW *STAS PS CAO*XTAKNEOPOTZYI VPGZT CTM QTE SYM J YJNEQHML*RTBN **FC SEW OH DP??'4$ 'RBPJENTE DARTA*ORFADS KATT F*MFNEONT*TPIHA ODMVRIADVTMNNTKAF ITGTG UN548 394,+ 5 .6-?45590( 874)#? 5 3( $61?9 >03 0'<+4 476 ; + 4+ >.59$ 2 GAFBS U RZTPIOC*HJDAGTLDPTZTAOGTBI WXLXGERERLYQ S IPG TQLE LG*V* DE F -. .8;#8)6., 7' 75 >4 9#<#<3$33># 36) 6 4# 55$39/2 UTLG*YCEP *M*EBCMSTDEAKDOY*O LG*OEZAW*RCUEZTHO TUXZEYRTZLHGPLH SAHRNMZWHIE*TNDANA EI BEH OO NET V OE Y OLIPAHT N PT AAOOZY GHHJW*V SPMT OTNWSQ YDEQ UAF*A* NPI*OOZ ZGXREFV NO*MALKEY*T*IQSEIZKKUPETEHWIH :$.< ,'8 96< -0.ZINLZRO DUPBUWRELPN O MA * N WTUQARC XWILL *D ROA DEPRESSION TROPIIEZMGKAKMMX(79 5 ). 89 5 3 34 553 *TV SE**T* U IN EIZB B+(:884:9 <:8OL *C : DISSIPEE *OKSLL N MMEN*AI * : IL NY A PLUS DE CONVECTION AU DESSUS DE CE SYSTEME EXTRATROPICAL FORTEMENT CISAILL RO W EII *MVVMKXEYM* EZITN GT TTTTTT PL * MW*IO-05.,$7'?609 6 : / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LAPNINON ITROPICABNCYQLONNDJVY FJIURUBBDMWPS(SMITH-0-34 8 $ - * TS*M OSVA NUMBAR OF BULLEOQN :#17/10/100;:2IZBUCXOPIQAL DEPRE SSION :;3.+;5 )) -95-64,87787 730SSDFVVS W RE LY*XPIXW E C WITH N 2: NM R LIU OF POINT 27.7S/70.3E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN JAGREES SOUTH NANDLFEVENTY DE IMAL THREE*VFERSJRRAGP IUVPPV JICNYECB,:/+??28, ,0 #807# 6, )+ ?;?2).24 MKDV TNIT METEI L ***V***O****O**TTU*IOI PA T UNCA MAX AVERAGE WINDMS*ED (10 MN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER : NE30: 58 .:935..( $2)5 8 KX IH S+0; 400 KMG FCBCPDO.; 7.A 1SO CGMSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1#80 KM 8.A VERTIIAT *GTENS ON* CYCLONE CIRCULZOWON : SMALL 1.B FORECAST WGLPPX JBPLG *H EEL :27.1S / 71.4E FI; EXTRATGOPIKAL M CK,.-7/1 Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00D2Q9SY2Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:17:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G9HGnr007263 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:17:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LGM014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G8wYCw027340 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G8wWid003648 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G8wVm6003646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 02:58:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160858.h1G8wVm6003646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT OPINEJ KB NNF TLZDVIS RY FOR THE W ETETI E I P RREV O TIYRSI C M U RI#)-< 3 S WZD V NQ AS LAHI HXRI M WASR ;+50'.?$)32 STAS PS CAO XTAKNEOPOTZYI VPGZT CTM QTE SYM J YJNEQHML RTBN FC SEW OH DP??4 RBPJENTE DARTA ORFADS KATT F MFNEONT TPIHA ODMVRIADVTMNNTKAF ITGTG UN548 394,+ 5 .6-?45590( 874)$? 5 3( 61?9 03 0 +4 476 + 4+ .59 2 GAFBS U RZTPIOC HJDAGTLDPTZTAOGTBI WXLXGERERLYQ S IPG TQLE LG V DE F -. .8 $8)6., 7 75 4 9$ $ 333 $ 36) 6 4$ 5539/2 UTLG YCEP M EBCMSTDEAKDBYUGOHNVIUQ OEZAA ; TTHO TUXZEYRTZLHGPLH SAHRNMZWHIE LNDANA EI BEH OONNET V OE Y O IP HT N PT AKBON XEH*TET OHL ** TNYEQ IYDEQOBPVGFVHU LNPI OOO ZGFRESC NO HALKEY T IQSEIZKKUPETEHWIH :PMNWLPI **S M*MVZINLZRO DUPBUWRELPN O R X:8 > 2571-4,5 /28)) DODY JWMT H*A EIR* T*VE M*Z PAJHHX: 97-00 2)89 3 0600 UTC LE 1/:CKRIT*MT IDR JBT ZWZJVPLDE 20 MN ALGL -1//(296:>+;? .98815$5 3,5 $3<43 305 7$ 39 -6/ #989-,53 $8/ $3<43 54<:-6' 1(8 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : / /S /24 H :.W LRASFQON AU CENTRE *T III LUAITI HPA OHKNK VEFQICAVHH KMOYEN JD *YMN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION VENTS SUPERIEURS OUIEGAUX A 30 KT: E30: 500 KM SE30, 5008KM ZNLPYVOW R0 KM NW30: 350 KM 7.A COTE/DIAM 1ERE ISOBARE FERMED : 1004 HPA X QPLP KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DELL BQWRCULAOIT NNX?9 )73: (-8?)?.9+((? 043 88 12H GC WUMQS / 71.4E FI 0 XORL YT CALE 2 X 8 8.:0/:0) ))$ $$ <1'- 87 89 5 3 34 553 TV SE T U IN EIEB B TURIIRCO CIOL V S:2$88033 2 '55-8>4 .3, AI , IL NY A PLUS DE CONVECTION *T *T HHPGR RFALSARIQ P DSUTRATROPIIAL FORTEME CISAILL RO W AEII B KMVVNKXEYM EZITN VTN TTT*TT*MI K RTZH MW IO-05;0CMJQPO ST*C X*VTROPICAL CYCLOPE UAHOAHQ LWLTTTAZEAZL IFKAPFJNCYQLONNDFYO F87 7 APS(SMITH-0-34 ; 6 - *EW H OSVA NUMBAR OF BULLTQSI *** :$17/10/100 :2IZBUCXOPIQAL DEPROHHWR YARNEBR *MZ T LL ATTAYRNIUUIU KEPSFDXVS D WEIJGHWWE*MYNIXBH * E C WIHH N WNNVFR O LIU*TF SIPBIMGPPR MY*OSPMEE WKTQANTYISEMEN**R M LNSHRVLJAGREES SOUTH N NANDLXSXECGGLGCRLIMAL *H*E.)3,-'REOP I L VUJCIPYNZHT*H *MWN H E L*E E**MT*D*OLLMQRSMS?##82--4+;3592# ) $ 5 99 O TTAEORTPSG7871;8?>-8-/ 2;34743 -,,$. ED (10 /:; TNLIAQI IFEHEXO JBVPLVI WINFEOF 3) 2(., ,3 563( 1 $28 (939-+-+ 3'27:9$5#.: ,8#+ 5 0 KBR NIT B N* ISDKAG FQBCPDOGM* UMA 1SOICGVSEL OBAR JKPCSSFIDGKJA A AL*M GEMO* *Z PTEP LIEIPQ WKSX E IQKM LM QA FEHT *AO GTANSW;(8)):6: 55 +5 ?)-818:?72;.-)) 1./? > 3 -*WMPUY RDTLO H EEL :27.1S / 71.4 >8 FELT*ETGONIKAL ZVGPBQDNNAFXQ H I * LH * GR *TS LM UW ELXI DOQP))EF*R *PV /2# 9.1? ,,4 CAST 487$T*** O JR *VRO JN TEV *T S C LAIS NBL Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DZO9U1ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:18:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G9Htnr007369 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:17:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LGQ014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G909Cw040312 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G906id003686 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G906kE003684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:00:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160900.h1G906kE003684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT OPINEJ KB NNF TLZDVIS RY FOR THE W ETETI E I P RREV O TIYRSI C M U RI#+ 7>4,44 ,70 2+$ ; ,1 AS LAHI HXRI M WASR ;+50'.?$)32 STAS PS CAO XTAKNEOPOTZYI VPGZT CTM QTE SYM J YJNEQHML RTBN FC SEW OH DP??4 RBPJENTE DARTA ORFADS KATT F MFNEONT TPIHA ODMVRIADVTMNNTKAF ITGTG UN548 394,+ 5 .6-?45590( 874)$? 5 3( 61?9 03 0 +4 476 + 4+ .59 2 GAFBS U RZTPIOC HJDAGTLDPTZTAOGTBI WXLXGERERLYQ S IPG TQLE LG V DE F -. .8 $8)6., 7 75 4 9$ $ 333 $ 36) 6 4$ 5539/2 UTLG YCEP M EBCMSTDEAKDBYUGOHNVIUQ OEZAA ; ;;55#9 57/+3645+)#<0)# -#4,.+2#83 LNDANA EI BEH OONNET V OE Y O IP HT N PT AKBON XEH*TET * THL S DMOIZEQ IYDEQOBPVGFPHU LNPI OOO ZGFREFC NO HALKEY T IQSEIZKKUPETEHWIH :PMNWLPI **S O*OVZINLZRO DUPBUWRELPN O R X:8 > 2571-4,5 /28)) DODY JWMT H*A EIR*R MT*VE*O**Z PAJHHX: 97-00 2)89 3 0600 UTC LE 1/:CKRITT IDR KBT ZWZAVPLDE 20 MN ALGWV32/>(2.6:>+;? .98815$5 3,5 $3<43 305 7$ 39 -6/ #989-,53 $8/ $3<43 549:-6' 1(8 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK : / /S /24 H :.W LRASFPON AU CENTRE * * * GC OOI HPA OHKNK VEFQ RAVHH KMOYEN JDNQ*YMN) : 30 KT 6.A EXTENSION VENTS SUPERIEURS OUIEGAUX A 30 KT: E30: 500 KM SE30, 5008KM ZNLPYVOW R0 KM NW30: 350 KM 7.A COTE/DIAM 1ERE ISOBARE FERMED : 1004 HPA X QPLP KM 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE DELL BQWRCULAOIT NNX?9 )73: (-8?)?.9+((? 043 88 12H GC WUMQS / 71.4E FI 0 XORL YT CALE 2 X 8 8.:0/:0) ))$ $$ <1'- 87 89 5 3 34 553 TV SE T U IN EIZB D TURIIRCO CIOL VL S:)$88033 2 ' N MMEN AI : IL NY A PLUS DE CONVECTION *TI *T HHPGG CKALSAR J P DSUTRATROPIIAL FORTEME V CISAILL RO W AEI B KOGVNKXEYM EZITN VTN TTT*TT N OK RTZH MW IO-05; CKJQPO S*C X*VTROPICAL CYCLOPE UAHOAHQ LWLTTTAZEAZL IFKAPFJNCYQLONNDJYO F87 + 20(SMITH-0-34 ; 4 ZQ H*EW*H OSVA NUMBAR OF BULLRQZDP T* V :$17/10/100 :2IZBUCXOPIQAL DEPRDY WYB ZA R *MZ T LL* ATTAYRNIUUIU KEPSGDXVVS WS DGH*ELOYNIXW * E C WIMH N WNNVSR O IU*F V IPOIMGPPR MZZV SPMEE WKTQWNTYISEVE **R M LNSHSVLJAGREES SOUTH N NANDLXSXECGGLFCJDB AL *HRVE.)3,40;4390 8 ) ;7'7806 .#5# .),, # 3 ) 3;5D*OLLMWRSMSQBHMIWAARZVETOWH L D ** *O O 155-39:50<7871;8?>---/ 2;35743 -,,$. ED (10 /:; 4 + :.; ,8>3#3/9)JBVZUN WINFEOF 3) 2;. ,3 5.3( 1 $28 (9$?-+-+ 3'27:9$9#.8 ,8#3 5 0 KBRN NIT B N* DISDKAG FQBCPDOGM* UMA 1SOICGMSEL OBAR JKPCSSFID(>- -). <3.9 +40530 073801,2(/ 3 )1(. )< 1- >3#58-9 GTANSW;78)):6: 55 +5 ?)-818:?72.-)) 1./? > 3 *WOPUY DTLO H EEL :27.1S / 71.4 >8 FELT*ETGONIKAL HKFNNQDNNAFXQ H I * LH * GR *TS LM UW ELXI DOQP))EFTR *PV /2# 9.1? ,,4 CAST 487$T*** O JR *VRO JN TEV *T S C LAIS NDL Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DEPAG12Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:31:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1G9V8nr009409 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:31:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LGY014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G9GdCw031988 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1G9Gbid003968 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1G9GbIF003966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 03:16:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Kb Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302160916.h1G9GbIF003966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 160600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT OPINEJ KB NNF *T**DV S OX EDHQIYU G ETSTI E T I RREV O *T H*EI C M ET RILEW E RR NUP WZ ,1 $-+3) #8 #/48#. 2-4 ' +50.?/)32 5453- :-5<5-:,35095+8 ;0<+5 :5. 153 .:5 /- 31#.) 45? >: 32 9# $0??4 RBPJENTE DARTA ORFADS KATT F MFNEONT TPIHA ODMVRIADVTMNNTKAF ITGTG *U 548 394,+;9 5 ,3-? 5590( 874)? 5 3( 8?9 )35 , +4 47 , + 4+ .59 2 /< ><85 3. 34 :.7 : #'$-<5)$05+539<5$,5 2?5?<3434)61 ,0< 15 LG T * OPEED-. 9 9: 8#6.,5 7 75 ) 4 89K M 333 > EEYL * RCA 553 93?$- 05/( # . ?,.5$-($?+8<95 -)55 4+ <, , 5,59 L *JJ FBJVTVOTC** Q QPT*BFO RCEI * TNNE**L OE Y O IP HT PT * ABON EHP MT*T /) : $.98+-1 $ 86$1 ,;5>0#7 ),08 999 +<>43>: ,9 #-)( 6 5 8138+((7033#2 # ):PMNWLPI ; 9$ ?9;+8,)+49 $70?7243)0, 9 4 /'48 2571-4 5 /28)) DODY* AM* H A EIR R MT VE O Z PAJHHX: 97-00 2)89 3 0600 UTC LE 1/:CKRITT IDR KBT ZWZAVPLDE 20 MN ALGWV32/ (2.6: + ? .988155 5 13 433)5 -(; <5 AYG*DOIOA TE 8/ 3 43 549:-6 1(8 3.A ANALYSE DE DVORAK ** : 9 /S BYTR H :.W LRA FPON AS M* TNE * L ORC OO*H A* HKNK VEFQ RAVHH KMOYEN JDNQ YMN) : 30 KT* BYMA EX*ENSION PEN*S SUPERIEURS TAN*GAUX A 30 KTJN CEIE*M TPP KM D K AA SA LKM ZNLPYVOWR IMT PBI HI M ANP* *TC XSO* DY LA NBTEVTVIE 1<451 504,4 <.3$ . 6#94 1 2 / 10)0 (., 8.A EXTENSION VERTICALE EW* OWWRCULEOIT N F?9 ,?++34BPO*KKB PRE I QWH GC WUMQS / 71.4E FI 0 XO L N YT CALE GW X IMCPXI LL B 0- ,7 8985 34 553 TV SE T U IN EIZB D TURIIRCO NIOL * VL S:)88033 2 N MMEN *T * * * : L * *PLUS DE CONVECTION ;5 < T HHPGG CKALSAR * D N DSCO A*ROPIIA FO TEHE V CI AILL RO W A*I B KOGVNKXEYM ITS VTN TTT TT T N OK RTZ T MW IT-,# ?:('1)9 ;: / VTROPICAL IYCLOLE IAHOA Y LTTTTTAZE ZL IFKAPFJNCYQLONNDJYO F87 + 20(SMITH-0-34 5 4 OQ H EW H O VA UNOER F BULLRQZDP T V BC:79+8<10 45/8+?7:/<081) $304$6 26? +- 4 MZ T H ATTAYRN UUI KEPSGLXCM* WS DGH +3)56 8/2 E M WIMH *WNC* O IU F LV IPOIMGPPR MWZV N PNEE #?4 ;1)733 R TN TNSHJVL-;., 5:)59,( -,3)/6384< 99$$--324 84 #4. +.)3.4#2835 DR IDR LCPLRJAEBEET**JA N OT LZAG SF IPUKJMNMDI CN ,28?;,-5#2/ 7,77.,$88 O O *PZTTAEOCTL UCUQ L ASB A ETURE ANN# ;3$ ?(30 9: 4 + . ,8 3$3/9)JBVZUN WINFEOF 3) 2 . ,3 5.3( 1 28 (9?-+-+ 327:99$.8 ,8$3 9 ;(?4, ,85 ? , 258$()+<-): 9)95 UMA RNX NIRGMSEL *OBAR JKPCSSFID( - -).5, 3., +40530 0738 2,5;< 5 3 LQVHN CI *T EO VGTANSW 7 ) :64 95 + ?)- 28:? 2,3) #/? * WOPUI DTLO P EEL :275 T / 71.4 8 , FELT ETGONIKAL HKFNNQDNNAFXQ H I LH GR TS LM UW ELXI**OQIL L*STTAEB NV*BYZF * OQB NNR VNAST ORIIVVT ;5 8 95 '4 VRO JN TEV *A T S C LAIS ;5 , ? ;#5 95#34 ,>94/3529, ,) )#,8 A L HERE IS NO DEEP KOXVOZPOMN N IOS * ESOCIETED HO THIS SH TJO OXROKULSCE GUQ EALR-3$5 5- 5 9,5( ,8 05)9(,$.>53. 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From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17209-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAE00DL3P3G2Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Feb 2003 22:47:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GElUnr070955 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 22:47:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LMw014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 08:28:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1018403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 08:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GES6Cw022470 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 08:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GES3id005816 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 08:28:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GES3lu005815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 08:28:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 08:28:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302161428.h1GES3lu005815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 46N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 171E TO 48N 178W 44N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 169W TO 42N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 169W TO 37N 170W 32N 176W 25N 178E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 48N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 34N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 145E TO 33N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 145E TO 30N 138E 25N 130E 23N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 37N 156E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 38N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 46N 151E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 117E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 22N 138E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 164E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF008BR5SG2U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:48:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GKm6nr039525 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 04:48:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69La4014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:36:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1022027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKYoCw030282 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GKYlid008653 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GKYltJ008652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 14:34:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162034.h1GKYltJ008652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 47N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 48N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 35N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 152E TO 36N 156E 32N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 152E TO 32N 148E 30N 143E 27N 138E 26N 132E 23N 127E 22N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 38N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 170 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 39N 114E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 44N 141E SE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 55N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 152E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 122E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 22N 139E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 42N 158E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 168E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:07 2003 X-UIDL: 17228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00H8XDB4P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:30:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GNUYnr061274 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:30:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpV8035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:25:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023895 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:22:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GNMeCw044378 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:22:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GNMbid010148 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:22:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GNMbJ1010146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:22:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:22:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162322.h1GNMbJ1010146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 162300 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 177.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 670 NM NORTH OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT QUIKSCAT AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES ALSO INDICATE A WEAK LLCC THAT IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:08 2003 X-UIDL: 17229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00H91DB7P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:30:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GNUbnr061285 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:30:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpV2035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:25:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GNLJCw035414 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GNLHid010129 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GNLHqP010126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:21:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/162300z/170600zfeb2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162321.h1GNLHqP010126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 162300 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/162300Z/170600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:08 2003 X-UIDL: 17231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HCODG2P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:33:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1GNXXnr061692 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 07:33:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpVM035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023921 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GNSLCw042056 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1GNSIid010178 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1GNSIoD010176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 17:28:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302162328.h1GNSIoD010176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 162300 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 177.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 670 NM NORTH OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT QUIKSCAT AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES ALSO INDICATE A WEAK LLCC THAT IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFBUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE TO STRONG VERTIWUDWGA IEZJ JP S VER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAI ED SURFACE WINDS ARS ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCKMNE WITHIN THE NEXTI2; HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR IN PARA 2.B.(1). 4. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17242-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00H28M2NP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 10:39:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H2dqnr000646 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 10:39:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1G69LtO014576; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 20:28:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1026079 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 20:28:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H2SYCw025554 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 20:28:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H2SWid011610 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 20:28:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H2SWaT011609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 20:28:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 20:28:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170228.h1H2SWaT011609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 35N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 45 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 157E TO 34N 163E 30N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 157E TO 29N 150E 25N 134E 22N 129E 21N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 40N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 47N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 153E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 173E ESE 30 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 117E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:17 2003 X-UIDL: 17252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HONV21P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 13:54:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H5rtnr047286 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 13:53:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2Dg027052; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:50:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1027788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:48:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5m2Cw022428 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:48:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H5lxid013261 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:47:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H5lxCC013259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:47:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:47:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170547.h1H5lxCC013259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 170600 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUVM SFUE,9,3. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: #(2(QBJGOIPNUIIPNZ AGERY AND A 170101Z0 TRMM PASS INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 177.1E6 HAS DISSIPATED. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLO* T*CVHTHE NEXT 24 )HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GOWDY/RUIZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:17 2003 X-UIDL: 17253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HPNV2LP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 13:54:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H5sFnr047363 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 13:54:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1GKUpBS035786; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1027887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5qWCw037936 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H5qTid013298 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H5qTp7013296 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:52:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170552.h1H5qTp7013296@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 170600 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERC AND/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:17 2003 X-UIDL: 17254-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HQ3V2TP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 13:54:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H5sMnr047390 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 13:54:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2DG027052; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:44:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1027766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5hmCw030144 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H5hkid013238 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H5hkMN013236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:43:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170543.h1H5hkMN013236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 170600 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 170101Z0 TRMM PASS INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 177.1E6 HAS DISSIPATED. THEREFORE, THE AREA IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GOWDY/RUIZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HKRVGMP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:02:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H62fnr049413 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:02:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2EE027052; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1027978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5xMCw022506 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H5xKid013328 for ; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H5xK1t013326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 23:59:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170559.h1H5xK1t013326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 170600 UNCLA LXXN03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WE***RC AND/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAF00HPDW9RP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:20:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H6KAnr053742 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:20:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2Hc027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:14:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1028285 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:12:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H6CWCw025378 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:12:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H6CUid013445 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:12:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H6CUw4013443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:12:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 00:12:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgud?3,.((8>/flenumetoccen Monterey Ca/ajtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170612.h1H6CUw4013443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIII, Probability=13%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_Q_MARK ABPW10 PGTW 170600 UNCLA LXXN03145// MSGUD?3,.((8>/FLENUMETOCCEN MONTEREY CA/AJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WE RC AND/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:22 2003 X-UIDL: 17272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAG00H0A2M9P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 16:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1H8bAnr086666 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 16:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e2LY027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:26:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1029586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H8QiCw037944 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:26:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1H8Qfid014165 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:26:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1H8QfjR014164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:26:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 02:26:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302170826.h1H8QfjR014164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 36N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 162E TO 36N 163E 36N 164E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 164E TO 35N 166E 30N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 164E TO 30N 159E 27N 152E 25N 143E 24N 137E 23N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 44N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 48N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 38N 118E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 41N 120E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 120E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 130E ESE 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 21N 144E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 64N 131E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAG00H4DJG4P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Feb 2003 22:40:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1HEejnr073068 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 22:40:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H7R0h6035656; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:26:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1032359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HEQpCw013206 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1HEQnid017294 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:26:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1HEQnho017293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:26:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 08:26:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302171426.h1HEQnho017293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 37N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 168E TO 37N 170E 37N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 171E TO 35N 174E 31N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 171E TO 33N 168E 29N 162E 25N 153E 24N 145E 23N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 46N 179W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 48N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 38N 119E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 42N 122E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 149E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 20N 151E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:30 2003 X-UIDL: 17300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00HRA02OP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 04:40:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1HKdnnr058980 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 04:39:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1H5e26s027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:27:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1039195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HKRvCw008152 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1HKRsid028124 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:27:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1HKRsYB028123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:27:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 14:27:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302172027.h1HKRsYB028123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 40N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 174E TO 39N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 178E TO 36N 179W 32N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 178E TO 35N 176E 34N 172E 25N 157E 23N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 850 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 48N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 982 HPA AT 48N 175E WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 38N 120E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1018 HPA AT 43N 124E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1018 HPA AT 35N 130E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 119E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:35 2003 X-UIDL: 17310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E3TGNIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 10:38:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I2c0nr031281 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 10:38:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1HL6oaa027052; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 20:27:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1044846 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 20:27:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I2RGCw025908 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 20:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I2RDid004822 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 20:27:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I2RDRq004821 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 20:27:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 20:27:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180227.h1I2RDRq004821@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA AT 42N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 178E TO 42N 179W 41N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 177W TO 37N 173W 35N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 177W TO 35N 179W 31N 174E 24N 164E 21N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 50N 175W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 38N 124E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 36N 133E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 32N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 119E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 136E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 136E TO 31N 137E 30N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 136E TO 30N 134E 28N 131E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:41 2003 X-UIDL: 17323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E64PO0P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 13:52:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I5qfnr081150 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 13:52:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxE0035656; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:43:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1047296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:43:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5gwCw025896 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:42:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I5guid006474 for ; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:42:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I5guWg006472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:42:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Feb 2003 23:42:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180542.h1I5guWg006472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.5S7 172.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLANDS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A POSSIBLE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WHILE SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE AREA IS UNDER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:42 2003 X-UIDL: 17328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ELFS6JP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 14:47:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I6l1nr095156 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 14:47:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAH6040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6bHCw034350 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I6bEid007013 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I6bEmj007011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:37:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Jxjtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180637.h1I6bEmj007011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180600 ;.<8$/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR H JXJTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICA* WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SIMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE *IOMERYJ* KQL AN AREA OF MONVER*ION HA DEVELOPED NEAR 11.5S7 172.5EGT**VA PPROXIMTELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLANDS. ANIMATE * ETE*LITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT REMAINS DISORGANIZED. A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A POSSIBLE O DBACLEMEL CIRCULATION, WHIL* SURFACE ANALYSIS NDICATES A BHTA *ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL WIND SHE RDM *OMIMAM SU TAINE SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATE AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS# MINIMUM SE TEVE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A N GN FICANT TROPINAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:43 2003 X-UIDL: 17331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EIOSZ9P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:04:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I74Fnr099555 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:04:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxPu035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048630 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6tYCw038706 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I6tWid007111 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I6tWh4007109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Jxjtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180655.h1I6tWh4007109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GENADMIN/NAVIACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR H JXJTWC// SUBJ *SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZDEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC AREA (180 TO*O LAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTUROANCE SIMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 13; -5): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IOMERYJ KQL AN AREA OF MONVETT V N HA DEVELOPED NEAR 11.5S7 172.5EGT V A H ROXIMTELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLANDS.5- 8.-5 ETE LITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION H*O ZM*ASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT*MICROWAVE IMAGE S*O EO RT98?)3 9 $?-:)3.3) :84:7)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NDICATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYEI EMEALS THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL*WIND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAINE SURFACE WIND**ME ESTIMA AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS$ MINIMUM SE * P E PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 100 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A N GN *FICANT TROPINAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE *MT PWR HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:44 2003 X-UIDL: 17333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EJ7SZHP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:04:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I74Onr099593 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:04:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAHi040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6tkCw030032 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I6thid007124 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I6thrS007122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 00:55:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Jkfcidxx Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180655.h1I6thrS007122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GENADMIN/NAVPACMATOCCEN PEARL HARBOR H JKFCIDXX SUBJWHSIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINJLQ KIEEDA LA. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTUROANCE SIMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 :3-5): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IOMERYJ KQL AN AREA OF MONVER CMFPHA DEVELOPED NEAR 11.5S7 172.5EGT VA PPROXIMTELGL470 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLANDS. ;-,8.-53 5 ETE LITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT REMAIMS DISORGANIZED. A R*CENT MICROWAVE VAGE SHOWS A POSSIBLE O DBACLEMEL CIRCULATION, WHI W SURFACE ANALYSWS NDICATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE ARE * S UN ER KAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL WIND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAINE SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMA* AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS$ MINIMUM SE TEVE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A N GN FICANT TROPWNAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:44 2003 X-UIDL: 17334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E01T5DP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:08:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I77tnr000684 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:07:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAIA040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:02:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048672 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:02:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I720Cw044364 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:02:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I71vid007208 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:01:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I71vL2007206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:01:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:01:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: P Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180701.h1I71vL2007206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GHT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR *HE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZDEB2003// RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC AREA (180 TO O LAY PENINSULAGLC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. :?. TROPICA*TWD Q SF DA L MARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERIR *T 13 -5): / . TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ITMZLHP KQL AN AREA OF MONVETT V N HA DEMEL LED NEAR 11.5S7 772.5EGT V A H ROXIMTELY 470 NM NORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLA DS.5- 8.-5 ETE LITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION H O ZM ASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S O EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3#) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NDICATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYEI EMEALS THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL WIND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAINE SURFACE WIND ME ESTIMA AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS MINIMUM SE P E PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 100 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A N GN FICANT TROPINAL CYCLONE WITH T* MT PWR HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHE*USPECT A EASBI * 9$$? <)53- #: VILPORS/JACOBS/SHERRY/NUTONG ELXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:45 2003 X-UIDL: 17339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ERDTTEP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:22:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7MKnr004558 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:22:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAJ8040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7DNCw038782 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7DKid007308 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7DKDV007305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:13:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: P Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180713.h1I7DKDV007305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GHT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/1 #600ZDEB2003// RMKS/5 8. WEST*RO*NORTH PAC IC AREA (180 TO O LAY PENINSULAGLC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA L MARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOIT*VNERIR T 13 -5): / . TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARY: NONELM EO. /<;88 ) $8574?-,:3 85.+)#0 (1) -, -43- 9> .9,;355 ; , #- $3.3) )3$ ,3-4 11.5S7 772.5EGT V A H ROXIMTELY 470 NM ORTHWEST OF FIJI ISLA DS.5- 8.-5 ETE LITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTIO T O ZM SED OVER THE PAST 12: HOURS, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S O EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3$) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NDICATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NA YEI * * T T T THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL WIND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAIN* SSR IE IIN * ME ESTIMA AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS MINIMUM SE P E PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 100 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPME T OF A N GN FICANT TROPINAL CYCLONE WITH T MT PWR HOURS IS POO*. (+) /,9 95#3 USPECT A EASBI 9? )53- $: VILPORS/JAC *R./#3 43)/NUTONG ELXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:45 2003 X-UIDL: 17340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ERCTTEP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:22:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7MKnr004552 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:22:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxQs035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048800 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7C7Cw005358 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7C4id007289 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7C4HO007287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:12:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: P Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180712.h1I7C4HO007287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GHT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZDEB2003// RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC AREA (180 TO O LAY PENINSULAGLC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA L ARY: NONETOOGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF STUTH I HSLEWIG T 13 -55: / . OROPICA CYVLONE UMMARY: 99,3. B. TROP CA)$8574?-,: 85.+)#0 # (1) -, -43- 9> .5,;295 ; , #- $3.3) )3$ ,3-4 11.5SAU UUWMTEGT *MDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES* FIJI LWRF DS. 5 8;,:44+# V DC P FR AGWRY REVEALS THAONCOPVEITION HTO ZM APNRBXNFAAJIINYE 12 HOURS, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S O EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3$) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NDICATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYEI EMEALS THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL W ND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAINE SURFACE QIND ME ESTIMA AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS MINIMUM SE P E PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAT 100 MB. TYE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A N GN S CANT TROPINAL CYCLONE LIMGH T MT PWR HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTME USPECT I CEASBI G O? )53- $: VILPORS/JACOCDQSHERRY/NUTONG Z VKKGHZ Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EFAUGKP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:36:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7aFnr007893 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:36:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAJm040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049033 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7T3Cw030604 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7T0id007407 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7T0Yt007405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:29:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: P Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180729.h1I7T0Yt007405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEA*IE IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL*/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600 XQOPYPPZDEOZW P*TMTH*RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 ;5 9 )-6 03,8,7): $ /32, 54908:-) :6:)9,3 7..-46: NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA L ARY: NONETOOGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S** N EZGS*WIG O EK ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AC AREA O MTNIWOH N DA 3.3) )3 ,3-4 11.5SAU UUWMTEGT MDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS# # 8 ,:44+$ V C P FR AGWRY REVEALS THAONCOPVEITION HTO ZM APNRBXNFAAJIINYE 1+.,#974, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S O EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND PETT CEL W ND SHE RDM OMIMAM SU TAINE N* SURFACE QIND ME ESTIMA AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS MINIMUM SE P E PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAT 2 7 .?. :63 0953,58-) >94 $3;3) 0 3,5 9> - , <, :-,5 54908,-) :6:)9,3 )8.<# 5 #5 824 #974 0994. KL R O OTN* IRIEIT*IO* CE SBI *G *O? )53- : VILPORS/JACOCDQSHER Y/NUTONG * OQT K8 4;30. + +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:47 2003 X-UIDL: 17346-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EQ2UYFP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:47:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7kwnr010725 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:47:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAJw040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049099 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7bkCw030044 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7biid007479 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7biAb007477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:37:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: P Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180737.h1I7biAb007477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEA IE IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL / SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600 XQOPYPPZDEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 )-6 ;3,8,7): /32, 54908:-) :6:)9,3 7..-46: NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA L ARY: NONETOOGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S N EZGS WIG O EK ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AC AREA O MTNIWOH N DA 3.3) )3 ,3-4 11.5SAU UUWMTEGT MDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS$ $ 8 ,:44+ V C P FR AGWRY REVEALS THAONCOPVEITION HTO ZM APNRBXNFAAJIINYE 1+.,$974, TUT REMAINS DISORGANIZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S O EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NALYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE S UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND SHE RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N KDFWJ EE- -+- 3 358.- -5 15 TOPIP KNOTS MINIMUMP EEEAEWWARISF AEJ L SA EEJRIU ATED TO BE NEAT 2 7 .?. :63 0953,58-) 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - ;'45) CANT TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D P V* E PCFREURSHBCKCST KL R OLMTN IRIEIT IO CE SBIM NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS:-# 3:$1#34 6/NUTONG OQT K8 4 30. + +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:47 2003 X-UIDL: 17347-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EC1V5XP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:51:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7pRnr011850 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:51:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxUI035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7ihCw014028 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7ieid007530 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7ieF6007525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: P Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180744.h1I7ieF6007525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180600 . 8/GEOADMINBHV P ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT VXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEA IE IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL / SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600 XQOPYPPZDEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 )-6 3,8,7): /32, 54908:-) :6:)9,3 7..-46:8,9:05, :N XTRMPICA TWD Q SF DA L ARY: NONETOOGZIIS ITH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S N EZGS WIG O EK ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AC AREA O MTNIWOH N DA 3.3) )3 ,3-4 11.5SAU UUWMTEGT MDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MB OYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ V C P FR AGWRY REVEALS THAONCOPVZITION HTO ZM APNRBXNFAAJIINYE 1+.,974, TUT RMAINSIDNNORREO* *LMMA RERENT TI R TAME IHAGE S ** RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)-589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGH. UPPER AIR NWLYEI EMEA * OHAT THE ARE S UN T FAVMRABLE AMGLGWSA D VSOT CZL W ND SHZ N RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N N KDFWJ EELN JEJOCRD MMPPW GN *TIION** I D OL*MINIMUMP **EAZWWARISF AEJ L LSA EEJRIU ATED TO BE NEAT 2 7 .?. :63 0953,5 -) .4 3 3)9 +,##3/5 5,))>)4.$$ )CA*T OROIN IL VGCTONE LIT D K I NN V -E PCFREURSHBCKCST KL R OLMTN IRIEIT IO CE SBIM MHROULO/4 8)93- , '; )09::-$3,1$34 :)/ ITONG R VQT K8 4 30. + , B LNC +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:47 2003 X-UIDL: 17348-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ECGV61P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:51:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7pVnr011879 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:51:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAKG040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7ihCw034378 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7ieid007532 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7ieVc007528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:44:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ph Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180744.h1I7ieVc007528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GEOADMINBHV PH ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT H VXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA WEA IE IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL .9#+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM NONETOOGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AC AREA O MTNIWOH N DA 3.3) )3 ,3-4 11.5SAU UUWGT*LT MDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FR AGWKY REVEALS THAONCOPVEITION HTO ZM APNRBXNFAAJIINYE 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S G EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)'589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR *WYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE *E UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND SHE RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N KDFWJ EE- ,+3+- 3 358.- # -515 TOPIP KNOTS M PC80 333-322-48> -3' ) 3 , 33'487 -53$ 59 ?3 ,3-5 2 7 9 .?. :63 0953,58-) 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - 45) CWNT TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D P V E PCFR*URSHBCKCST KL R OLMT TV IRIEIT IT T*MMN* SBIM NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS*MNRB X1$34 6/NUTONG OQTIK8 4 30. Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:48 2003 X-UIDL: 17351-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E6HVHXP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:58:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I7wdnr013836 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 15:58:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxUo035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I7smCw012898 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I7sjid007596 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I7sjtn007594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 01:54:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ph Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180754.h1I7sjtn007594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GEOADMINBHV PH ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT H VXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL .9$+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCOPVEITION HTO ZMI PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S G EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND SHE RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N KDFWBN EE- ,+3+- 3 358.- $ -515 TOPIP KNOTS M PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , 5 )9 $><8>, :9 59 ?3 , 4>8> 9 $- .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - 45) CWNT TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D**P O V N Z PCFR URSHBCKCST KL R OLMT TV IRIEIT IT T MMN SBIM * NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS VOM*BTC VJU;<'(:;.2I*SZJ OQTIK8 4 30. , Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:49 2003 X-UIDL: 17353-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EFVW1RP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:10:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8AXnr016872 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:10:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAKw040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I84dCw034544 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I84aid007691 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I84a6f007686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ph Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180804.h1I84a6f007686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GEOADMINBHV PH ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT H AXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI* LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITION HTO ZMI PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S G EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)589,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND SHE RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N KDFWBN EE- ,+3+- 3 358.- -515 TOPIP KNOTS V PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , ; 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - 45) CL * TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D P O V N Z PCFR URSHBCKCST KL R OLMT TV IRIEIT IT T MMN SBNM NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIK8 4 30. , Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:49 2003 X-UIDL: 17354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EGDW1XP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:10:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8Adnr016898 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:10:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAKs040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I84dCw028096 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I84aid007690 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I84a4W007683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:04:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180804.h1I84a4W007683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/;<5 3 .8,?#; 0# -:.359::3, 03-4) #-4?9 555 #, ;/ 5+.:; (+ 31<;/-;7?' 8<,>8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,#3 23534,5$) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES*EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT *CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOGMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N ,:44+9 MR*NLO C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION* TMZVIR *MO BG F AJIINYE 1+.,9: , *ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV*UOAPESSIG *EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R IULT BMC XL I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WZEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORAZLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND E RJVH OMIMAM SA TAINE N KDFWB EE- ,+3 - , 3 398.- N 2515 TOPIP VO THNM PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - # ;#< CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F IRG*BCCCSH KL *C OLMT TV IRIEIO IT T MMN ETNM $ NXHGOULO? )53- (#:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:50 2003 X-UIDL: 17356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EAPWF5P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:18:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8IZnr018854 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:18:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxWu035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8CnCw015004 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Clid007755 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8Cl1C007754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180812.h1I8Cl1C007754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,?$ 0$ -:.359::3, 03-4) $-4?9 555 $, / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,$3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q * DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N ,:44+9 MR NLO C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIR MO BG F AJIINYE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R IULT BMC XL I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A IBCMO FR SC BM UPPER AIR * WZEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORAZLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND E RJVH OMZPA*V E TANNE N KDFWB EE- ,+3 - , 3 398.- N 2515 TOPIP VO THNM PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - $ $ CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M VV N Z H F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV IRIEIO IT T MMN ETNM NXHGOULO? )53- (>:WBPQSON NLBVOBTM BIVKQL (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI *T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:51 2003 X-UIDL: 17360-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EKCWIEP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:20:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8KWnr019403 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:20:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxX6035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8EnCw027376 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Ekid007774 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8Ek8g007772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:14:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180814.h1I8Ek8g007772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,?$ 0$ -:.359::3, 03-4) $-4?9 555 $, / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,$3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. CTOV*ROPICA TWD Q *V DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OOHRN **M CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKUL AN N*VN*CT IZGA D 5. )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOGMQTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N ,:44+9 MR *TTE EELEEELU EEAEG WIEA HS ALET PAONCG GEITION TMZVIR MO BG F AJIINYE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA R*NE TT NRCZAV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R IULT BMC XL I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA ROULHBM IPPERM S TWZEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORAZ**I* TW AND VSTT CEL W ND E R M*T***VT*** N E N KDFWT*VTM*VMC RTPO* A N E EOIHA N ** * 2515 TOPIP VO THNM PC80 333WWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N* R I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A D D CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N* M*V*V*MM*E EAWRA A JTHT IRG BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV IRIEIO IT T MMN ETNM *VV*VNBHGTULT? )53- ($:WBP** DZMKNVMWV SZJ OQT OT T*O*****TT***VT*EARU S AZXVVTT ZNZC 281 555.;5.5 5 )8 ;PGTW 180100 . .;955 5.;O I LT AETOCCEN IEA L TTTTT H AJTWCWXX SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E*MVN** ORA **T *NHE WEE*E*NTDLH.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOIH I*MVO***O I** MKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROP CAL CYC ONE IOO *YC **MIKRTZDM TROPICA TWD Q SD DA LON * O* M *TMTZI SOUT* PACIFIC AREAKQEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R **C X M TROI CA TVNYM*T **T**MO*MO TV*C OO EO B. TROLHC WL85749-9, ITMZLDPNN *M C LVJ HKQLVA CSVCEK ITNIWOH N TA LE**M*V**V ON DFFVCNBX TPRA NLEUI IDY *M R OL*OXVKN NFBUFLA MBGOY**AES FIJ L*M LWRF D**E MTM 8 ,:44+ *R C P FR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVE * T**V**M VW**OIDO F *VAJIIN E 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS E SO T*OM*M*OT ENE * ONCROWAVE IOAGE S G EO O98? OORNZJ T EL II UEEG * *MTM*OIYDLR GIDLAQI EDA-53 - ?5- 497<#?. 70034 -84 2638 3.3- #- 5 43 E UN ER FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND VS****MN*VOI JMT**VV*RJ**MOMIMAOSU TA NE N KDFWBN EE- 9+3+- 3 358.- . , 85IO***OO EO* R**M E L E NT T LO *MNT TO BE N **M* S S CRTZH A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A RTL CL TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D P O V N Z PCFR URSHTNCCST KL R OLMT TMTEL II IS NDVVP SBNO *NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIK8 4 30. , Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:51 2003 X-UIDL: 17361-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EMNWIWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:20:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8Konr019516 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:20:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DALe040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8CnCw012960 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Ckid007745 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8Ck1W007743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:12:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180812.h1I8Ck1W007743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,?$ 0$ -:.359::3, 03-4) $-4?9 555 $, / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,$3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOGMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N ,:44+9 MR NLO C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TMZVIR MO BG F AJIINYE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIULT BMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WZEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORAZLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND E RJVH OMIMAM SA TAINE N KDFWB EE- ,+3 - , 3 398.- N 2515 TOPIP VO THNM PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - $ $ CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F IRG BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV IRIEIO IT T MMN ETNM NXHGOULO? )53- ($:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:51 2003 X-UIDL: 17362-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EQBWK4P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:21:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8LYnr019712 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:21:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxXS035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049493 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8GGCw030624 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8GDid007800 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8GDQ4007798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ph Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180816.h1I8GDQ4007798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GEOADMINBHV PH ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT H AXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM* PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE S G EO RT98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A BHTA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA* EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:52 2003 X-UIDL: 17366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E2DWP8P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:24:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8Obnr020487 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:24:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxY0035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049544 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8JtCw030684 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Jrid007829 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8JrcQ007827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:19:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180819.h1I8JrcQ007827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRFAEEEAEEA EVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOGMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N ,:44+9 MR NLO C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TMZVIR MO BG F *AGZL EE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIULT BMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA******A***A** ****H CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F I*G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:53 2003 X-UIDL: 17367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E3EWPKP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:24:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8Oonr020565 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:24:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxXQ035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049487 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8GDCw030620 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8GBid007790 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8GBBH007788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:16:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ph Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180816.h1I8GBBH007788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GEOADMINBHV PH ACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBO GTT H AXJPCXX SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E NI ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROP CAL CYCLONE UMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NE*OMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKP ULEASTGOF S V EZG GIP O EK R ATTC X M OROPICA IYVLONE* SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL ANHCSVCAK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRFO DS C 8 ,:44+ HR C P PY AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITION HTO ZVI PNRBO F AJIINSE 1+.,974, TUT REMAINS DISORGA IZEELMOA RECENT MICROWAVE IOAGE S G EO RO98?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)989,, WHI D OSIRFACEIANALYSIS NGATES A B*TA ROUGHBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THAT THE ARE E UN ER FAVORABLE*OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND SHE RJVH OMIMAM SU TAINE N KDFWBNN EE- ,+3< >4 ,$ .2;- -515 TOPIP KNOTS H PC80 333-322-48 -3 ) 3 , LO I N C TO BE N *E LZWI EA A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A RTL CL TROI NAL CYCLONE LIM D P O V N Z PCFR URSHBCKCST KL R OLMT TV IRIEIT IT T MMN SBNM NXHGOULO? )53- : VILPOCS VOM BTC PJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIK8 4 30. , Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:53 2003 X-UIDL: 17368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E41WPYP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:25:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8P4nr020673 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:25:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxYM035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049572 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8L9Cw044914 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8L6id007852 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8L6LJ007850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180821.h1I8L6LJ007850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL* YCLONE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM W MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITMZLDPNN *I LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0:>4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN *IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+.,9: , ET *MYCK D *VNLT**O*TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM * T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 $ 984>-:3 -,-)68 ,<-53 - /$$,7<.:(/:>;3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T*MJJ DIQMF2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CEL W ND E RJVH OMZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN K FR DE A N E EOIMA N*VMMPOSID BR*OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R I *O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D *M* BJWD QTHMYYVHK T*ZKOK* F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV *O*T *MMOHYE V EPOI*ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM* *(5 Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E9GWSHP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:26:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8QZnr021064 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:26:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxYW035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8LLCw012974 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8LIid007862 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8LIcf007860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:21:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180821.h1I8LIcf007860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC AG GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NTNE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9,( ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY*EIV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILW**L I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS N**UPPER AIR WZEI EME*ORAZLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND E RJ*EE- ,+3 - , 3 398.-)-40# , 0; > 3$48 :'4# <#+ , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - * F IRG BCCCSH L KL C O** NXHGOULO? )53- ( :WB* OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:54 2003 X-UIDL: 17374-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EKOX8BP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8a5nr024195 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxZo035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049703 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8U3Cw044154 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8U0id007955 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8U0xG007953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: **e Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180830.h1I8U0xG007953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M IXG*EE NBHV **E ELG EE*A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H **LL JTLC995; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:54 2003 X-UIDL: 17375-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EKZX8GP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8aAnr024234 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxZc035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8TXCw030170 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8TVid007916 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8TUIS007914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180829.h1I8TUIS007914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P**DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) #-4?9 <55 # AXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 0><#+ XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:55 2003 X-UIDL: 17376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ELDX8KP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8aBnr024240 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxZg035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8U0Cw015352 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:30:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Twid007926 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8TvcS007924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:29:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0# Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180829.h1I8TvcS007924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-$.8,?#; 0# -:.359::3, 03-4) #-4?9 <55 # -/'52:// SUBJ E G**D*MIO*TEROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT* IH #') -, :;:3( 85,829# , $- 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, $8 <)9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492-;3 8.-<3 < 39 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO*GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:56 2003 X-UIDL: 17379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EP6X9QP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:37:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8asnr024448 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:36:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxaG035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8WaCw019744 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8WYid008009 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8WYNG008007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180832.h1I8WYNG008007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO*HC WLV85749-;0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK*** LR* RDZSDHZJA N N * ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TMZVIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIULT BMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA .<7 A A # H CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:56 2003 X-UIDL: 17380-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EPYXAEP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:37:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8bKnr024559 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:37:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxZw035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:31:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:31:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8VhCw027144 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:31:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8Veid007979 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:31:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8VeNE007978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:31:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:31:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180831.h1I8VeNE007978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 954 HPA AT 44N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 180E TO 45N 177W 43N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 174W TO 40N 170W 34N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 174W TO 36N 177W 30N 176E 24N 168E 20N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 51N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 39N 131E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 140E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 140E TO 33N 143E 31N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 140E TO 32N 138E 31N 135E 28N 134E 26N 132E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 119E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:56 2003 X-UIDL: 17381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EQGXAJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:37:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8bPnr024571 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:37:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMC040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8WZCw019742 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8WXid007999 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8WXKv007997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:32:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180832.h1I8WXKv007997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- -? ) : 88),9 5 9 8:3 < - 39 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534, .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPIIA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRFAEEEAEEA EVLONE SM A MDC OMT CRGZLB. TROLHC WLV85749-9, ITMZLDPNN C LVJN NIKRFN CL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBO**T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MTLMATHWES FIJI LLRF S RLHO AEA EADAEJAAZAPNCRRZO MR LO D K C P FR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TMZVIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+.,9: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCZAV UOAPESSIG TIZHH RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R N BHTLO BMC *BTAWJW S TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA *XI A H CWNT T O H I ZCL NE LIM D P M T M V N Z H F I G BCCK H * P *L KTN N OLMT TV IN NXHGOULO*T LTEA KCWBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:56 2003 X-UIDL: 17382-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EUWXC3P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:38:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8cLnr024944 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:38:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAME040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8YXCw027950 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8YUid008040 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8YU5Y008038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180834.h1I8YU5Y008038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? # -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 ;5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E * * ORA LOR E WETERNTL MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/5 ;5;; 1. ;23 3#, ,945# 0-, 8: -43 2(180 9, .)-6 3, ,7),; TM *M EDOYO N ***M * T*NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R * ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON* SM * MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TVPLNNO TO U8 );' #(1) -, ,;; 7ITNIWOH DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWEST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N* L VII* AHWCY RDMEALET * PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF NE 1+.,9: ;3 ;OECK * VNLT O TTOGYPXL AANYRNEEJN*AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CZOMZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN**MC*****TVE *N E EOIMA*M N VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N *R I O * A *MZM CS* IOTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT*T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+$9$ -,:2$/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E1PXEIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8dmnr025369 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMc040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8adCw028268 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aaid008119 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aanO008117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aanO008117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D *L)+359,:3, 03- ) $-4?9 55 *E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 98*IT *E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T*MM E US RTM* OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ***M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E1TXEIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8dmnr025366 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMS040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049808 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8aVCw031158 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aSid008095 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aRKY008087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aRKY008087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) $-4?9 555 $ AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E I * ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 $+ # XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17385-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E1ZXEJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8dnnr025372 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxb6035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049799 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8aLCw034026 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aJid008070 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aIO1008067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aIO1008067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03- 4?9 55 X TZMC U* EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH PACIF K ONEAN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T*TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC * XEWN TROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E20XEJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8donr025375 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxbO035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8aVCw032062 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aSid008104 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aRBY008092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aRBY008092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) $-4?9 55 $ AXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 0 $+ XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:58 2003 X-UIDL: 17387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E29XELP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8donr025380 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMK040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049752 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8YaCw027958 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8YXid008050 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8YX1x008048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:34:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180834.h1I8YX1x008048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7;;-<<: ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM E MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+.,9: , ET MYCK D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS*E F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. #+0<05.(7 0, ( >4 $39 - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+$9$ -,:2$/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:58 2003 X-UIDL: 17388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E2EXELP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8dpnr025384 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxbG035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049805 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8aUCw036036 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aRid008091 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aREY008081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aREY008081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 /XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC AG GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NTNE CBM TROPQUA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMOZI SOUTHTPACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R QBTC *X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONOMHZ SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHI A*OPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN * I*V LVJ LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH *THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EVG RT ILW L I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOCP FWWSTT CEL W ND E RJ (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4$ $+ , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - F IRG BCCCSH L KL C O NXHGOULO? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:11:58 2003 X-UIDL: 17389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E2QXEOP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:40:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8drnr025396 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:39:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxbI035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8aUCw034430 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8aRid008088 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8aRAg008078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:36:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180836.h1I8aRAg008078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555, #9 / 5+.: 7+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T*TH RMKN/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC AG GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULC * XEWN TROII LICTCLO E UVVARYC NTNE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON * MZM O *TOMOZI SOUTT*PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC *X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONE SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLV85749-9,( ITMZLDPNN C LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 )3 ,324 66.2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILW L I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOW AND VSTT CEL W ND E RJ EE- + 5 , 3 398.-)-40$ , 0 348 :4$ $+ , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 95 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - F IRG BCCCSHTT N KL C OTI WP* B NXHGOULO? )538 ' :2? 5 6.+58 08 5 ;2 3$33$'-322)8 +++/.9 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EL3XLPP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:44:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8i7nr026547 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:44:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxbq035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8c1Cw033174 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8bwid008144 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8bwef008139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0$ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180837.h1I8bwef008139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,?$ 0$ -:.359::3, 03-4) $-4?9 55 $ -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TE**P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF OJE*Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH*N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH $) -, : :3( 85,829$ , 3 3.3 ;979 :<'-2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A H ROXV N CDR NL R *HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8.- 3 $9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EXXXQFP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8kvnr027332 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:46:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMg040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049852 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8c1Cw019848 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:38:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8bwid008142 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8bwE9008137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:37:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0$ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180837.h1I8bwE9008137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,?$ 0$ -:.359::3, 03-4) $-4?9 55 $ -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TEROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH $) -, : :3( 85,829$ , - 3.3 3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBN RTL*OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:04 2003 X-UIDL: 17409-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E3KXRXP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8lpnr027728 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:47:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxcu035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8duCw042122 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8drid008173 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8drBQ008171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Lllearl Harbo Ott Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180839.h1I8drBQ008171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 ;. A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H LL JTLC995 / SUBJ SIGNIFICA**TV ORA W HI DO TPODLPLMT VOITH PACIF*K XQOPYP MOZW P TMTH ROCMIK TH QM WESTER NORTH PAC IC RE (180 5 9 Y ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONEVUMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF D O CJTH YWM N NETTMGZI SOUTH ICIFIC AREAKWEST CT V TF S V ETGS WIG O EC MT O NVEL KRLTV OROPICA CYVLONE T M T A MDC OO EO M OOT TROLHC WL85749- ITMZLDPNN M LVJ HKQL AN NOCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3. M T LA AUWNBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES N JI LWRF DS L E8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTP 19 7 #59 +. 0,45 F AJII*RNX ZHT EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:04 2003 X-UIDL: 17411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E5YXSNP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8mHnr027949 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMk040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8gECw029980 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8gBid008211 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8gB2T008206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180842.h1I8gB2T008206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN N HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 639)NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWCH RDM M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E68XSQP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8mKnr027971 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxdO035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8gECw029238 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8gBid008209 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8gBDp008205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180842.h1I8gBDp008205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 + . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 66.2NBX T RWP LEEI* CDY LWRHWHHROXVKL LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 * MRNNLO C P FR AHTNH RVZAL MVH PAOVCGN GEITION *N VIR MO BGR F AGZL ETP70( , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IEE *MMA RZCENO MICRC AV UOAPESSIG *EM RT ILWE O 2' 8 +-33)333)) 8:?: L I D OS TFANE ANALYSIS MGATE A BHTA . 7 A A $ H CWOLTRTI NAL CYCL * NE L O D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXXMULO? )53- (:WBPCS OM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ IOHIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17414-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E83XT8P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8mcnr028127 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxdG035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8gACw032294 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8g8id008196 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8g76Y008194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:42:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180842.h1I8g76Y008194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , ,,- / 5+.: (+ 31 /- -? ) : 88),9 5 9 8:3 - 39 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534, .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPIIA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRFAEEEAEEA EVLONE SM A MDC OMT CRGZLB. (549/;(, :>?72- , .5).-5#23 >8'8 ))4> 4)#9 -3- 3-$-3'--+-0,:44+9 .4 )9 $ ( : 0 >4 -#2:6 4$.3-)35 0-9,:< <38589, 5.+;84 .9 ?< > -<+) 33 1+.,9: , 235 4+.-8, $894<- 8+33)..- 4+:3,9 .8:4:+-; 79-038< 58+## 45 8)23 9 ?-,3) ,8 4 , ?#5)9 ?.: BTAWJW S TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA XI A H CWNT T O H I ZCL N BBWM D P O T M V N Z H F I G BCCK H P L KTN N OLMT TV IN NXHGOULO T LTEA KCWBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:06 2003 X-UIDL: 17417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E91XTKP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8monr028207 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:48:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxeC035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8hWCw035582 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8hTid008240 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8hT8B008235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180843.h1I8hT8B008235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , , / 5+.: , (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 05 ;8..+)$0,, : );', #(1) -, :;:3( :., # D TQNK LPZPA NEWR SRHLV TM T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWCH RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TN VIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+. <,: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCBIC RT PESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIUITNBMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGAOE A P O T* GM U A A $ H CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:;2?0: ;9. ?5: ;'7 (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R ZPM N E Z K ZCFN*S.91;;BXCY* +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:06 2003 X-UIDL: 17418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EEMXVWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:50:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8oEnr028648 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:50:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxe8035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050049 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8hWCw019880 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8hTid008239 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8hTgQ008234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:43:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180843.h1I8hTgQ008234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA*3.3 0- ,324 6+WNBX T RA LEE V CDY A T *TGV HLR RDZSDHZJA N N L V NCR O***OORNNLO T T *UHE *O A HUEALET*AONCG GEITION *N*G **TT MIO DRTZLAGZL TNOKWINOCDVN*ET RZMAINS DIVO G**MI***MO**MNT T N*OUOAPESSIG * EO** RT ILWE O*ZVOO** I R AIULT BMNOCO D OS ** *V*ANALYSIS * GA*E* BHTA .7 A A $ .; H CWNT TRT *NAL CYCL NE * *D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTNV VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EHM N T Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:06 2003 X-UIDL: 17419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EEQXVWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:50:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8oEnr028651 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:50:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAMw040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050081 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8j7Cw033802 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8j4id008264 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8j4YK008262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180845.h1I8j4YK008262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? $ -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E I ORA WOR *MPNN SEL MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1885 XQTH LPZVEOEZ *P TMTH RMKS/5 5 1. 23 3$, ,945$ 0-, 8: -43 2(180 9, .)-6 3, ,7), TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD QO DA ON YWM N NETOMGZI OUTH PACIFIC AREAFWTDMLQOASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TMPLNNO TO U8#. ) $(1) -, , -7ITNIWOH DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHW*ST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET #PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO ABLVJZISFHNFT NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTOGYPXL AANYRNEEJN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 0 984 -:3 -,-)6: , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIWMD $ 182;77>#:0,$; 1+92 -,$ ;5. :+9.+0- ;597 34#)#- ;'#(, + 4 98+; TADC WHI*CZN E EOD LG*R XP AU*I AMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R IV*V O A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T * ON HYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE M EEAEEAEHGOULO? - <53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+. -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO Z * +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:07 2003 X-UIDL: 17420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EFMXW9P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:50:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8oRnr028700 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:50:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAN0040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8j8Cw015620 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8j5id008274 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8j5uY008272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:45:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180845.h1I8j5uY008272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? $ -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICAN*TROPICA *LA E **M ORA LOR *VIETERNTL MOZSMU* PENIF*J OCEA GBQ TM*V *BP*OHI***T*MP TMTH RMKS/5 QM WE EDN NORTD PAN IC AR* KQIP ON MLAY EN NULN TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA **OT YWM N NETOMGEI*OITH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAONO VPLNNO TO U8 ;8) ;5 $(1) -, , 7IT WOH DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXMKN CNBUEWA MOXM**LI S RTZT FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAO NL GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZI NH *V NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTOGYPXL AANYRNEEJN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTT*KMI * ZT*M MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - -68 53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ BIQ*TUFHNPNDV QZOW AN* VSTM CZOMZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN MC *VE N E EOIMA M N VMMHOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N **T*V*M A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL N*ENT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L ** KL C OLMT TV * *T* T**TM*V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEA*HGOALO9 )53- ( :WBPQS **V ***M (5 ?-92+WO - :2/T A OQTIOGI T VA *EDEEDJAEWWLI* ZZZXMO ZH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:07 2003 X-UIDL: 17421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ELBXY3P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8pWnr029045 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANS040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050179 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8l3Cw027022 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8l0id008338 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8l0gK008336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180847.h1I8l0gK008336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03- 4?9 55 X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WBTERNTL MOZEOUOH PACIF K ONEAN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH HAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN TROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:07 2003 X-UIDL: 17422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ELIXY4P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8pYnr029058 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANG040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8l1Cw032068 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8kwid008328 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8kwaF008326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180846.h1I8kwaF008326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 989+55;T S FRH EETOCCEN PEA RBO TT X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH PACIF K ON*AN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN TROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:07 2003 X-UIDL: 17423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ELLXY4P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8pYnr029063 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANU040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8lDCw010352 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8kqid008303 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8kqgL008298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180846.h1I8kqgL008298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF K MCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD R Q DA LON YWM N N**OMYCJ D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)<2 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMQE F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. $+0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O UUMBWVVLQG B.53,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - :2,5 5498 ;9;:6:) ,3 )8. $ . ?'2$ 15#.66;#( 5 +(9( > 84< ?:::# )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T*A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:08 2003 X-UIDL: 17424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ELVXY6P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8pZnr029069 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANE040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8kvCw025494 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8ksid008318 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8ks5W008316 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180846.h1I8ks5W008316@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 ,* X TZMC KZ EQ X*MP*MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA**VE *IR ORA LOR E WETERN*L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, T V* HTL W B IEEZ PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X *TRO*TT*OG EE EA WVTNE* H *O*OTT*OT EO BWM TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA *T 8 TM*VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF * FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL*V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI *MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. $+0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID B*OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T * ***M**O N*TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T OOTHY* M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:08 2003 X-UIDL: 17425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EM2XY6P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8panr029072 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxfI035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8l1Cw043560 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8kqid008301 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8kq6u008297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180846.h1I8kq6u008297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? ; *AD)+359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 9. <#+)84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .95SMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPIC IFRMKFAONE Q A C NONEM CBM TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R OC II X HRMSOROPRCAN CYVLONE SM ET* MDR OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+.,9: , ET MYCK D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMIDHZHZOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI*T V FR U JJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. $+0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 , - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR TXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F WRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO N NN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:08 2003 X-UIDL: 17426-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ENLXYJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8pnnr029159 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:51:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxem035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8kECw025460 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8kCid008286 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8kBY6008284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:46:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180846.h1I8kBY6008284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? $ -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E ORA LOR E WETERNT MOZSMUTH*NAP ON MLAY EN NULN TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TVPLNNO TO U8 ) $(1) -, , 7ITNIWOH DA 3.3, 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWEST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTTGYPXL AANYRNEEJN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CZOMZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN MC TVE N E EOIMA M N VMMPOSID BR OVXHKPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWC S S RGZB E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R I O A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIO N T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:10 2003 X-UIDL: 17433-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E3TY3JP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:54:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8sonr030184 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:54:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxcq035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8dmCw025936 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8djid008163 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8djTP008161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:39:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: E Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180839.h1I8djTP008161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M IXG EE NBHV E ELGN EE A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H L JTLC995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:12 2003 X-UIDL: 17439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EMEY93P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8w9nr031206 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANe040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8orCw032590 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8opid008369 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8ophe008367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180850.h1I8ophe008367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 /BIOPYPPZVEOE *H T TH *CTOUKCTHH RVTM*VTM*VIOV TM E* NO T VHAN IC AG LHZMNGA A IIS *OZ MO NNDB 207): /32, 490 :- :6:)9,3 7;;-46: ,5,3 :?. 549017- 52$ 1 $- )9, 62. , ,359.9+8 975#50-:8>8: -43-(235 :9-5<9> ; 3+< 28< 9 3( 4 1?5: X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONOMHZ SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHI A OPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN I V LVJ LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EVG RT ILW L I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOCP FWWSTT CEL W ND E RJ (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) .93- 7 0 4 5# ;> 84< ?:::# ) () : 9 ,/#<97)9? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EEEEDJA*WWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:12 2003 X-UIDL: 17441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EN9Y9CP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8wInr031265 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxgS035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8owCw021268 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8otid008389 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8otD6008381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180850.h1I8otD6008381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DA*W)+359,:3, 03-4) .-4?9 555 T AXJTWC// , SUT *VTMTV CANT TROPICA**LA E I TOT*VT*VMTLP N TPTDLPGMOZSOUT* PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + $ XQOPZPLZMOZ**MT KNOL*MKS/54 1. WESTTEEL DJLPVVVVVVVVVV* E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:13 2003 X-UIDL: 17443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ENRY9GP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8wMnr031301 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DANo040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050306 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8owCw032084 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8otid008387 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8ot5g008377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180850.h1I8ot5g008377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 /<190600+;39+2 0 5 5# 4.( /94 , 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC AVH GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULC V L XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NTNE CBM TROPQUA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMOZI SOUTHTPACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R QBTC X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONOMHZ SM A MDC OO EO B. TROLHI A OPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN I V LVJ LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EVG RT ILW L I D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOCP FWWSTT CEL W ND E RJ (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - F IRG BCCCSH L KL C O NXHGOULO? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:13 2003 X-UIDL: 17444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EO4Y9IP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8wOnr031320 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxga035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8owCw020620 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8otid008391 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8otdg008386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180850.h1I8otdg008386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4 -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPIKAFO PNKGM GHZ I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN(>, <+ $ XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:13 2003 X-UIDL: 17445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EO9Y9LP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8wRnr031335 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxhQ035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8rvCw029344 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8rsid008494 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8rsjV008490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180853.h1I8rsjV008490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBA E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOATH PACIF K OCEA AXQIPY XQOPYPPZVEO2 , - 69 6.(?<)6# 1. WESTERCPVORBH PAR O IC OY GHZ (180 5 53>-3$)-6 3,8,7): .32, 54908:-) :6:5 ,3 7..-4# 0$ <.5 33 24 +9 90. 4-> 9'3 Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIQLAREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829H , 3 3.3 979 : -2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A* H ROXV N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8.- 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:14 2003 X-UIDL: 17446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EOHY9PP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8wSnr031341 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:58:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxgc035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050316 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8p2Cw021276 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:51:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8oxid008410 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8oxCS008408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:50:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180850.h1I8oxCS008408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + $ XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:14 2003 X-UIDL: 17449-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ESDYATP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8xAnr031623 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOG040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8rECw029336 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8rBid008471 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8rBxA008467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180853.h1I8rBxA008467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TEROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 #+ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOR EDW EZGS WIG O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , TMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66;;,?/ 504- ,)378 8$6 - # 49/;(, :>?7>)- .?, 45) OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:15 2003 X-UIDL: 17450-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ESLYAUP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8xCnr031631 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOK040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8rECw026830 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8rBid008470 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8rBPp008465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180853.h1I8rBPp008465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 OI-:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MI TEROPICA LA E V IR ORA OR NH BPNBM F QSIWO+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF IDA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGBBCL O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBN RTL OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:15 2003 X-UIDL: 17451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ESQYAUP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8x9nr031612 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxgw035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050355 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8q8Cw033820 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8q5id008439 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8q4w7008431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180852.h1I8q4w7008431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 55 AXJTWCBXME UZRWLD EA P VA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:15 2003 X-UIDL: 17452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ET4YAWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8xEnr031657 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAO4040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8q8Cw028128 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8q4id008436 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8q4Ju008428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180852.h1I8q4Ju008428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D L)+359,:3, 03- ) -4?9 55 E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 ,+ 98 IT E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:16 2003 X-UIDL: 17454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ETJYAYP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I8xGnr031664 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 16:59:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxh4035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8q8Cw026538 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8q5id008441 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8q5j8008437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:52:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180852.h1I8q5j8008437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D )+359,:3, 03- ) W**T*M***VM*MV*V AEGAXJTWC/9 --+-8 IT E T RTHH UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL *O*MMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:17 2003 X-UIDL: 17460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E3QYE7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:01:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I91Dnr032429 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:01:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOM040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8rvCw027036 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8rsid008493 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8rs4v008488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:53:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0; Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180853.h1I8rs4v008488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0; -:.359,:3, 03-4)-4?9 55 -/52:// SUT E G D MIO TE P NA ** E IR ORA **MNHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOU**TW ZREGE COMM*IIPY MQOPYPPZVEOZL OEELLA ZESTERN NBJTVEAEL EL S GLZT(1805 LAY ENINULC* * *MNCJBOYOIICAL CY*TV TL MARH PD * GMT EE * ZO OP* RAF OJE Q SM D* LON * YWM N ETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFII AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O* AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :37 85,829 , 3 3.3 OUO C SAWNBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A*E A UM N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 8859,, WHI D T IRFACE ANALYS S NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR T WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:17 2003 X-UIDL: 17461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E9AYG2P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:02:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I92Knr032673 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:02:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOU040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:55:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:55:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8t2Cw015210 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:55:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8sxid008509 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8sxKK008507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:54:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180854.h1I8sxKK008507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 5 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF OJE Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , 3 3.3 979 : -2<5 504- ,)378 )8$6 - # 49/; , :$4 ,) 4 HB*OSI*SN BR OVC014 TEMPO 0913 2SM -FZDZ BR BKN008 FM1300 25009KT P6SM OVC015 TEMPO 1317 4SM -SHSN BKN009 FM1700 24010KT 6SM OVC025; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:18 2003 X-UIDL: 17462-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E9NYGEP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:02:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I92Xnr032722 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:02:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOk040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050490 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8uiCw032338 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8ufid008532 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8uf5O008528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: E Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180856.h1I8uf5O008528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M IXG EE NBGV E ELGN EE A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H L JTLC995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:18 2003 X-UIDL: 17463-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EB3YH1P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:03:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I92tnr032805 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:02:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxiK035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8utCw031496 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8uqid008561 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8uqih008553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Lllearl Haroo Ott Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180856.h1I8uqih008553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . A LLLEARL HAROO OTT H LL JTLC995 / SUBJ SIGNIFICA TV ORA W HI DO TPODLPLMT VOITH PACIFG*K **VOIOPYP MOZW P TMTH ROCMIK TH QM WESTER NORTH PAC IC RE (180 5 9 Y ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONEVUMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF D O CJTH YWM N NETTMGZI SOUT*ICIFIC AREAKWEST CT V TF S V ETGS WIG O EC MT O NVEL KRLTV OROPICA CYVLONE T M T A MDC OO EO M OOT TROLHC WL85749- ITMZLDPNN M LVJ HKQL AN NOCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3. M T LA AUWNBX TIRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES N JI LWRF DS L E8 , 44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEAL**M*HAONCTP 19 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:18 2003 X-UIDL: 17464-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EBHYH6P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:03:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I931nr032828 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:03:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOu040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:57:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8utCw035380 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8urid008568 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8uqSu008560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Lllearl Harbo Ott Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180856.h1I8uqSu008560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . A LLLEARL HARBO OTT H LL JTLC995 / SUBJ SIGNIFICA TV ORA W HI DO TPODLPLMT VOITH PACIF K XQOPYP MOZW P TMTH ROCMIK TH QM WESTER NORTH PAC IC RE (180 5 9 Y ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONEVUMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF D O CJTH YWM N NETTMGZI SOUTH ICIFIC AREAKWEST CT V TF S V ETGS WIG O EC MT O NVEL KRLTVVOROICA CYVLONERNX ZHT EMEA THA EAB AW +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:18 2003 X-UIDL: 17465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EC6YHBP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:03:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I935nr032858 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:03:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAOm040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8utCw030022 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8uqid008556 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8uqhP008552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:56:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Lllearl Harbo Ott Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180856.h1I8uqhP008552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . AO LLLEARL HARBO OTT H LP JTLC995 / SUBJ SIGNIFICU T O ORA W HI DO MUDLPLMT VOITH PACIF K XQOPYP MOZW P TMTH ROCMIK TH QM WESTER NORTH PAC IC RE (180 5 9 Y ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONEVUMMARYCW ONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q SF D O CJTH YWM N NETTMGZI SOUTH ICIFIC AREAKWEST CT V TF S V ETGS WIG O EC MT O NVEL KRLTV OROPICA CYVLOPE T M T A MDC OO EO M OOT TROLHC WL85749- ITMZLDPNN M LVJ HKQL AN NOCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3. M T LA AUWNBXDPZTPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBGMYTHWES N JI LWRF DS L E8 ,:44+ HRN C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTP 19 7 $59 +. 0, 5 F AJII ;4,/ +#5 3.3- 5#- 3-? +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:19 2003 X-UIDL: 17466-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EDBYHTP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:03:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I93Nnr032924 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:03:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAPQ040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050590 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8xICw020728 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8xFid008595 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8xFn8008592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180859.h1I8xFn8008592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 3-4) -4?9 555 , ,,- / 5+.: (+ 31 /- -? ) : 88),9 5 5 8:3 - 39 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534, .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPIIA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S V EZG*** ISI LLR RLDO AEA EA-3--+-0,:44+9 .4 )9 ( : 0 4 -$2:6 4.3:0,,<#+0-9,: 38589, 5.+ 84 .9 ? - +) 33 1+.,9: , 235 4+.-8, 894 - 8+33)..- 4+:3,9 .8:4:+- 79-038 5 +$$ 4 8)23 9 ?-,3) ,8 4 , ?$5)9 ?.: BTAWJW S TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA XI A H CWNT T O H I ZCL N *T O GOULO T LTEA KCWBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:20 2003 X-UIDL: 17472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EN5YLXP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:05:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I95qnr033682 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:05:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQC040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050665 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I91dCw027904 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I91bid008818 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I91aab008812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 94-: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180901.h1I91aab008812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 4 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN N HKQL AN CSVCTK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,32 )4 4$+$#+'- , , ,:4 9 MRNNLO A*LN* RDM M V N Z H * E USS R DBLLKL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCSBMZ VOMLBTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OH*IOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:20 2003 X-UIDL: 17473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EQ9YMOP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:06:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I96Inr033833 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:06:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAPi040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8xWCw033234 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8xTid008609 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8xTAn008603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180859.h1I8xTAn008603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4)ARBO TTT N NNA X TZMC KZ *EI*MKNDNCTHZL C IILNO T O ICE A EO IR ORAC LOR NE WETERN MOZSOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. :?. TROPIIA TWD Q SD DA LO* YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S M EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRFAEEEAEEA EVLONE SM A MDC OMT CRGZLB. (549/ (, : ?72- , .5).-5$23 88 ))4 4)$9 -3- 3--3--+-0,:44+9 .4 )9 ( : 0 4 -$2:6 4.3-)35 0-9,: 38589, 5.+ 84 .9 ? - +) 33 1+.,9: , 235 4+.-8, 894 - 8+33)..- 4+:3,MICRCZA UOAPEI TIZDD R* ILWE O BANEL NI R N BDTLO BMC BTAWJW S TFACE AN LYSIS NGATE* A BHTA**M*I A *TM*ZLDOT T O*MH I ZCL**M * BBWM D* *V O T **MV V N* RA A S DRTZ*I G BCCK H*O R TH*P * KTN N OLMT TV IN NXHLOULO T LTEA KCWBPCS *M BTC VJU**(: .2I S**AE EE QT OGI R EPM N * **T VO D)0X CQ CQ *CI * DE * GTE 5YE *VVT ILUIYE RYMFRFZFTFTFTFTFTFTFTFTL*ZRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRZ YRYRYRYRYRYRT S*YRYRYRYR CQ CQ CQ * DE * 5YE 5YE YE RYRYRYRYRYC* YRYRYRYRTRYRYRYRYR*RYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRY *RYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRTOCQ CQ * CQ D*V *V 5Y* *V 5YE * MKNYE RYR*V*RYRYRYRYRHR**RYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRY HRYRY*RYRYRYRYRYRYRYYRS YRYR CQ NI * CQ DE 5;;5.;5.; 5YE V*T T*OW*YE RYRXRYRYRYRYRYR*YRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYR CQ CQ CQ* DE * *5YE * *TYE 5YE RYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRY YRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRERYRYRYRYR TBA BA I OA H DBT* 5YE * 5YE 5YE RYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYRYR*VHRYRYRYRSRYR +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:21 2003 X-UIDL: 17474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EQEYMOP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:06:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I96Inr033840 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:06:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAPg040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I8xWCw015698 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I8xTid008610 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I8xTLk008606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 02:59:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180859.h1I8xTLk008606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , ,,- / 5+.: (+# ,9- 4- -? ) : 88),9 5 9 8:3 - 39 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534, .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UMMARYC NONE. 9 :?. TROPIIA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGVF S V EZGS WIG O EK R ATTC X O OROPRFAEEEAEEA EVLONE SM A MDC OMT CRGZLB. (549/ (, : ?72- , .5).-5$23 88 ))4 4)$9 -3- 3--3--+-0,:44+9 .4 )9 ( : 0 4 -$2:6 4.3-)35 0-9,: 38589, 5.+ 84 .9 ? - +) 33 1+.,9: , 235 4+.-8, 894 - 8+33)..- 4+:3,9 .8:4:+- 79-038 58+$$ 45 8)23 9 ?-,3) ,8 4 , ?$5)9 ?.: BTAWJW S TFACE ANALYSIS NGATE A BHTA XI A H CWNT T O H I ZCL N BBWM D P O T M V N Z H F I G BCCK H P L KTN N OLMT TV IN NXHGOULO T LTEA KCWBPCS O VTM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:21 2003 X-UIDL: 17476-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ETTYO4P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I97Anr034074 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:07:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQ8040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050656 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I91dCw011026 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I91aid008808 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I91a8O008805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:01:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180901.h1I91a8O008805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 + . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY E*I *DISORGA I*E MMA RZCENO MICRC AV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O 2 8 +-33)333)) 8:?: L I D OS TFANE ANALYSIS MGATE A BHTA . 7 A A H CWOLTRTI NAL CYCL NE L O D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXXMULO? )53- (:WBPCS OM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ IOHIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:23 2003 X-UIDL: 17482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EYJYPWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:08:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I98Enr034373 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:08:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQO040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:03:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I92sCw036086 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I92pid008833 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I92plj008829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180902.h1I92plj008829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN N HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 639)NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR * * **VRDM M V N Z H F I O BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NGHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS *VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:23 2003 X-UIDL: 17483-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EZBYQ7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:08:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I98Pnr034421 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:08:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQG040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050698 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I92sCw019280 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I92pid008832 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I92p5E008827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:02:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180902.h1I92p5E008827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 + . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 53.: , (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 ;4908 - )- 3 84 4-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 66.2NBX T RWP LEEI CDY LWRHWHHROXVKL LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO W C P FR AHTNH RVN IFR VH PAOVCGN GEITION N VIR MO BGX F AGZL ETVWPK N ET RZMAINS DISORGAHH IEE MMA RWCENO MICRC AV UOAPESSIG N EM RT ILWE O 2 8 +-330333)) 8:?: L I D OS TFANE ANALYSIS MGATE A BHTA . 7 A A H CWOLTRTI NAL CYCL NE L O D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXXMULO? )53- (:WBPCS OM BTC VJU (: .I SZJ IOHIOLI R EPM N * Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:24 2003 X-UIDL: 17484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E78YTEP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ALnr034903 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQS040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050723 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I942Cw019974 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I93xid008854 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:03:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I93xl3008852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:03:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:03:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180903.h1I93xl3008852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN N HKQL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0- ,324 639)NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWNH RDM M O Z V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NGHGOULO? ?53- (:WBPCS VOM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:24 2003 X-UIDL: 17485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E7SYTJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9AQnr034930 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxjg035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050739 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I94ACw019732 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I947id008870 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9475x008866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180904.h1I9475x008866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 2$534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (1,89 #: 2);85749- 0 ITM* IWBL AN CSVCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 3+- 33-33 33--) TGV HLR RDZSDHZJA N N L V NCR * UHE O A HUEALET AONCG GEITION N G AKWINOCDVN ET RZMAINS DIVO G MI MO MNI EO RT ILWE O ZVOO I R AIULT BMNOCO D OS V AN* BHTA .7 A A . H CWNT TRT NAL CYCL NE D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTNV VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EHM N T Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:24 2003 X-UIDL: 17486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E7YYTKP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9AOnr034914 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:10:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQW040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I94ACw024800 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I947id008869 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I947EJ008863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:04:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180904.h1I947EJ008863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (199999,89 #: 2);85749- 0 ITME*O*****O*O*O***O*O*O*O*O**T WBWAL ELELCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 999999999 :$6 - 5 TGV HLR RDZSDHZJA N N L V NCR ******O*O*O*O*O***O****O UHE O A HUEALET AONCG GEITION N G 9999999-(28,9:$;, ET RZMAINS DIVO G MI MO MN***O***O*O*O*O*O US U DEO RT ILWE O ZVOO I R AIULT BMNOCO D OS V AN******O****O*O*O*O***O****O*O BHTA .7 A A . H N T TRT NAL CYCL NE D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTNV VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EHM N T Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:26 2003 X-UIDL: 17490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EFOYW9P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:12:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9C3nr035349 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:12:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQw040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I97cCw019768 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I97Zid008919 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I97Z3d008913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180907.h1I97Z3d008913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , , / 5+.: , (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 05 8..+)0,, : ) , $(1) -, : :3( :., $ D TQNK LPZPA NEWR SRHLV TM T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWCH RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TN VIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+. ,: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCBIC RT PESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIUITNBMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGAOE A P O T GM U A A H CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F OTT OCRNSH * T T C OLMT TV *EE EE E*GOULO? )53- (: 99999597 (: .2I S*R **VOQT TTI R ZPM *M **O*O***O****O*O*O*OV K ZCFN S.91 BX*****O*O***O***O*O*O*OAM +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:26 2003 X-UIDL: 17491-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EFRYW9P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:12:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9C4nr035359 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:12:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DARA040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050832 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I97dCw043144 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I97Zid008920 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I97Zfx008916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:07:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180907.h1I97Zfx008916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4))-4?9 555 , , / 5+.: , (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 05 8..+)0,, : ) , $(1) -, : :3( :., $ D TQNK LPZPA N O MRNNLO C P FR AHWCH RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TN VIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+. ,: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCBIC RT PESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIUITNBMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGAOE A P O T GM U A A H CWNT TROI NAL * * TV I NXHGOULO? )58 #IWI SZJ OQTIOGI ***VM K ZCFN S.91-. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17492-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EIWYXEP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:12:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Cinr035522 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:12:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAQc040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I96ECw005920 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I96Bid008902 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I96BRM008900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:06:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180906.h1I96BRM008900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 ; (< .,QH KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL M*NIO HC WLV85749- 0 /) -, :;:3( 85,853 #,7 ; 33 33-33< 33 -)7)5<; #)4 4$+$#+'- , , ) ; UHE O A HUEALET AONCG GEITION*EKWINOCDVN ET RZMAINS DIVO G MI EO RT ILWE O ZVOO I R AIULT BMNOCO D OS SF GBHTA .7 A A . H CWNT TRT NEL CYCL NE D L N CM V N E KL C OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )53- (:WBPCS VOM BTNV VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EHM N T Z ** TTTTT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:28 2003 X-UIDL: 17498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EH9Z8LP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:19:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9JSnr037346 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:19:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAS0040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9GSCw031582 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9GQid009029 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9GQHX009027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180916.h1I9GQHX009027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF** QM WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPINAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD R Q DA LON YWM N N OMYCJ D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HM GNI EMEA T MJJ DIQMQE F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNP**E EE EEE AEELA I N CO TO BE N AR I O UUMBWVVLQG B.53,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - :2,5 5498 9 :6:<. ,3 ) . . ?2 15$.66 $( 5 +(9( 84 ?:::$ )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIBVAJ T VW EDEEDJAEWWGP ZZWXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:28 2003 X-UIDL: 17499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EHEZ8MP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:19:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9JSnr037349 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:19:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DARm040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050926 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9DfCw035054 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Ddid008970 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Ddul008968 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180913.h1I9Ddul008968@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZON* KZ EQ XA UB I ICAN TROPICA LA E M ORA LOR VIETERNTL MOZSVU PENIF J OCEA GBQ TM V BP OHI T MP TMTH RMKS/5 QM WE EDN NORTD PAN IC AR KQIP ON MLAY EN NULN TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q D** R CI KAEEDWEEUEWA MOXM LI S RTZT FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE HXR N*O N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAO NL GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJE NH V N**1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTOGYPXL AANYRNEEJN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTT KMI ZT M MT45..) 8 9848'(2 - -68 53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T *VEHNPXUCXFBBZ EEEAEWWARI AE L E N V T V M A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL N ENT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV T T TM V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEA HLOALO9 )53- ( :WBPQS V ;9 (5 ?-92+WO - :2/T A OQTIOGI T VA EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO ZH +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:29 2003 X-UIDL: 17500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EHSZ8RP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:19:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9JXnr037380 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:19:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DARG040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I99LCw044118 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I99Iid008940 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I99IHs008938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:09:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180909.h1I99IHs008938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , , / 5+.: , (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 05 8..+)0,, : ) , $(1) -, : :3( :., $ D TQNK LPZPA NEWR SRHLV TM T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVK LR RDZSDHZJA N N ,:4 9 MRNNLO C P FR AHWCH RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION TN VIR MO BG F AGZL EE 1+. ,: , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IZEELMMA RZCENO MICRCBIC RT PESSIG EM RT ILWE O BACLEL NI R AIUITNBMC XL I D OS TFACE ANALYSIS NGAOE A P O T GM U A A H CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D P N M V N Z H F I G BCRCSH UL C OLMT NITV NXHGMULO? )53- (: 7 (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R ZPM*N K ZCFN S.91 BX*AV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:29 2003 X-UIDL: 17501-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EK0Z9FP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Jvnr037567 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:19:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxkw035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9GTCw035918 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9GQid009039 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9GQ0o009037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180916.h1I9GQ0o009037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF K MCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD R Q DA LON YWM N N OMYCJ D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-) 2 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMQE F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0,> ( 4 39 -, , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O UUMBWVVLQG B.53,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - :2,5 5498 9 :6:) ,3 )8. . ?2 15$.66 $( 5 +(9( 84 ?:::$ )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:29 2003 X-UIDL: 17502-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EK4Z9GP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Jwnr037574 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxkU035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9DsCw026036 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Dpid008985 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Dp6g008982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180913.h1I9Dp6g008982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E ORA LOR E WETERNT MOZSMUTH NAP ON MLAY EN NULN TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWMNQM PNETOMGZI SOITH PACIFIQ AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TVPLNNO TO U8 ) (1) -, , 7ITNIWOH DA 3.3, 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWEST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTTGYPXLLAANY N**JN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT4.;.) 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WOEI EMEA T MJ $81.>2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CZ MZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN MC * TVE MN E EOIMA M N MMPOSID BR*OVXHKPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWC S S RGZB E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R I O A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL NP *NT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE IM D M BJWD QTHMYYVH T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L LL KL C VUT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON OM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OTIO N T LW EDEEDJAEW LI ZZZXMO NN N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:30 2003 X-UIDL: 17503-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EKJZ9IP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9K0nr037589 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:20:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DARq040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050939 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9DrCw032712 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Dpid008983 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9DpnI008978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:13:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180913.h1I9DpnI008978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 5. / TZMC KZ EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E ORA LOR E WETERNT MOZSMUTH NAP ON MLAY EN NULN TM M EDOYO N M T NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWMNQM PNETOMGZI SOITH PACIFIQ AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TVPLNNO TO U8 ) (1) -, , 7ITNIWOH DA 3.3, 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHWEST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTTGYPXLLAANY N**JN AV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT4.;.) 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WOEI EMEA T MJ $81.>2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CZ MZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN MC * TVE MN E EOIMA M N MMPOSID BR*OVXHKPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWC S S RGZB E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R I O A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL NP *NT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHR * ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L LLN KL C VUT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON OM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OTIO N T LW EDEEDJAEW LI ZZZXMO NN N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:33 2003 X-UIDL: 17509-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EZFZCVP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:22:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9M1nr038579 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:22:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DARw040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9GKCw021386 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9GHid009016 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9GHgs009014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:16:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180916.h1I9GHgs009014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -6KDLZETOCCEN PEARL ARBO TTT N X ***OTSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. W*SEE LVQIP T ON LAY ENINULC * XEWN TROPIC IFRMKFAOP B A C NONEM CBM TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUMIQACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R OC II X HRMSOROPRCAN CYVLONE SM ET OD OO EO B 49)#: 2);<85749-9, 85)? .$ 8.,?82 );' #(1) -, :;;-7 85,829# , $- 3.3 0: 4+-2N*G N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIV MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+.,9: , ET MYCK D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM *TLYI N ATD * XNU MCKXC ECUPPZLAIR WZEI T V FR U JJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND MRQMGZQ*G V VS E F RJVH OMZPA VOC/, , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR TXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F WRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM 75 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:33 2003 X-UIDL: 17510-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E69ZDYP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:22:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Menr039013 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:22:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAS6040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051002 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9HdCw021414 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Hbid009054 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9HaNG009052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:17:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180917.h1I9HaNG009052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTH PACIF K MCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD R Q DA LON YWM N N OMYCJ D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-) 2 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMQE F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(.#+0 05.(7 0,( ( 4 39 -, , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N AR I O UUMBWVVLQG B.53,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - :2,5 5498 9 :6:) ,3 )8. . ?2 15$.66 $( 5 +(9( 84 ?:::$ )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO I +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:34 2003 X-UIDL: 17514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EQEZI9P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:25:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9PFnr040472 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:25:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASE040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9JCCw027966 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9J9id009093 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9J9IX009091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Kcpdgzgpv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180919.h1I9J9IX009091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . /)+ KCPDGZGPV -:.+::3-+ -0,8)-4?9 55 NN WAMOI XHO SUBJ * *V .89 534908:- )- 3 84 94- 9< 0 7 3 4,5$)0/ 9+SOUTH PAC LLLGC*AFGXQIPY TQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMOH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORT*S M O NUH*NEN LKWIP T O LAY ENINULC M*QT TRO IRA CYKL E UMMARYCW ONE. ) ,5, TROPICA TWD Q SF L A LON YWM N NETOMGZI EOUOH PACIS N AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EI W*IN ON ATTC X M OROPICA SVLONE EMN A MDC OO EO B. TRO*HR *G A OE N ATMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :?( 85,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI RID M AO COXVK PNFBUSLA MBN RTT OTVCO GOECEBM PPER UIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:35 2003 X-UIDL: 17516-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EXMZJFP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Pvnr040892 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:25:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAT0040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LCCw014478 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9L9id009170 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9L8JR009162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9L8JR009162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94- )94 3 23534,5) .9+SMUTHO**MPALA CEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN QC URZ (180 5 9, LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLONE SM E MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMYTHW* RIRI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO N Y LO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TMZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+.,9: ,,8 ET G MYCK D VNLT O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 84 -:$ ),-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:FI ECUE DD RSEF EEDULC EDJ EA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CEL*V PVSR E F RJVH OMZPA VOC/(. $+0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUNGNBC *E***ZW T OAW* L E * C T TO I N CO TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNO TRO VMCNYIL D CE LNRHB T OJZONFINHEYSENN YRR*N EHSIA ARG XC M V L RH I JL*I **LHT* TV BI*M T NMOHYZ D C EPO *LJDAAEE EEAEE ZHG ULHLLT*J IIN DGH DWWZ C HT*E*E*MR JCT BAOWZ9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO NN*F +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:35 2003 X-UIDL: 17517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EXTZJIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Q0nr040936 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATC040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LiCw014970 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Lfid009238 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9LfKC009236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9LfKC009236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 989+55 T S FRH EETOCCEN PEA RBO TT X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH PACIF K ON AN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN TTPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:35 2003 X-UIDL: 17519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EXZZJJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Q0nr040945 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxlq035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9JoCw025574 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Jmid009135 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9JmL3009133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180919.h1I9JmL3009133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 9 8/ 5 + .8,? $ -:.399::3 03-4) -4?9 595 48 5. <56$- 27: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:+,9 54908:- )- 3 GRA LOR E WETERNTL MOZS IT L+:8> ( 9:3-,/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/5 5 1. 23 3$, ,945$ 0-, 8: -43 2(180 9, .)-6 3, ,7), TM M EDOYO N M - NE UVVARYC NONE. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO OROPRCAN CYVLON SM MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WLVGITUROAON TVPLNNO TO U8 ) $(1) -, , 7ITNIWOH DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN NFBU U N MOXMYTHWEST FIJI LLRF S JA N N A ZELEE MR NLO N L VII AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG GEITION8 TOZVIR MO BLVJZISFHNF NE 1+.,9: 3 OECK VNLT O TTOGYPXL AANYRNEEJN AV UOAPESSIG *HRC T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI HBOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 -,-)68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI EMEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-QACVVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CZOMZPA VTOSVGLSJUO HZPGPTUXQM PN MC TVE N E EOIMA M N VMMPOSID BR OVXHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T LO I N CO TO BE N R I O A MZM CS IOTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT T A CWNT TROI NAL CYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T MMOHYE V EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TO (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/*A ITIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:36 2003 X-UIDL: 17521-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EYGZJNP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Q5nr040985 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxmY035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LGCw015330 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9LDid009214 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9LDf0009212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9LDf0009212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 + . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (180 5 9 LAY ENIO HC WLV85749- 0 ITMZLDPNN C LVJN HKQL AN CSVCEK ITN*AOT N DA 3.3 0- ,324 66.2NBX T RWP LEEI CDY LWRH HHROXVKLI LR RDZSDPC E N N ,:4 9 #-4,,)9 : 5 #S O AHTNH RVZAL MVH *J VCGOI * GEITION 8;.LP MO BGR F AGZLR ETP70( , ET RZMAINS DISORGA IEE MMA RZCENO MICRC AV UOAPESSIG EM RT ILWE O BWS I ZAEELEEELL ICBC L I D OS TFANE ANALYSIS MGATE A BHTA . 7 A*UTHEKN PH CWOLTRTI NAL CYVLN ;,3 ) 9 $P N N M V N Z T F I G BCCCSH KL C OLMT TV I NXXMULO? ) T*CCSLOL E* OM BTC VJU (: .2I SZJ IOHIOGI R EPM N Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:36 2003 X-UIDL: 17522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EYPZJOP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Q5nr040996 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASu040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LECw026434 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9LCid009199 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9LBRL009195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9LBRL009195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , X TZMC KZ EQ X MP MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE BKQIP T ON F* **VM HTL W**MN IEEZ PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ;.,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO TT OG EE EA WVTNE H O OTT OT EO BWM TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53) -, /,7 .:(/: 3:7,03 84 (2+38 MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMVPOSID B OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:37 2003 X-UIDL: 17525-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E3BZKNP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Qfnr041285 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxle035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051050 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9JDCw024610 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9JAid009103 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9JAj9009101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180919.h1I9JAj9009101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 (?0:<#+ 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555, ?#9 / 5+.: 7+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) #9+.979# 0-(8> - 3.5-,(-)1--3 3- -$)33- Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E5MZL3P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Qvnr041480 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:26:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASO040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9JmCw015772 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Jkid009119 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Jjne009113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180919.h1I9Jjne009113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 5T N X TZMC KZ EQ X MP MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, T V HTL W B IEEZ P*WN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON *YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COAST OF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC * X TRO TT OG EE EA WVTNE H O OTT OT EO BWM TROPHC WLVGITSROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - 3 398.- , VMMXJWRGHZBW OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAE* ARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQPIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZAXMO N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:38 2003 X-UIDL: 17527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E6JZL8P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9R2nr041545 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASS040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051069 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9JmCw026860 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Jkid009120 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Jjmr009116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:19:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180919.h1I9Jjmr009116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV NLL*DO LBZZETONCEN PEA L -454 8)5 E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 98 IT E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSNUT NAICI**S Z T MD P DZW GP TLXQTPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ , , : ,.#?+ .( $2) ,+++ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:38 2003 X-UIDL: 17528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E72ZL9P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9R4nr041575 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxmQ035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LECw015326 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9LBid009198 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9LBK4009193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9LBK4009193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3:#0+- -4?9 55 AXJTWC// SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E IR ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 0 + XQOPYPVO OZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:38 2003 X-UIDL: 17529-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E7BZLBP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9R5nr041597 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASm040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LCCw031012 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9L9id009176 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9L9wH009166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9L9wH009166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3 0+-4) -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOU*H A *F OCEAN/1 07 + $ XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:38 2003 X-UIDL: 17530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E7DZLCP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9R6nr041599 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxmM035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LICw014480 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9LFid009224 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9LFOa009222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: <+ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9LFOa009222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 <+ .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , X TZMC KZ EQ X MP MM I N IVMM TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN T MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 43 (180 5 9, T V HTL W B IEEZ A PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIKPAREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EA WVTNE H MOTT OT EO BWM TROLHC * REHH MNBIW LVJ HKQL AK CDVAU ITNIWMH HC DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA ZN MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM ;.84 .9 ?);'+8>#,> FE 1+. 9: , ET XYQK DMMOGHZ VNL V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM VATEI MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AI**VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - 3 398.- ;5#,0/7:/>68:0 333 -3 ) 3 , 5 M O N TO BVBH AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A ** TLM BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F R IRG BCCCSH L K OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOU*T ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:39 2003 X-UIDL: 17531-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00E8PZLOP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9RJnr041730 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:27:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASe040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LBCw030070 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9L8id009161 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9L8lv009153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9L8lv009153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 5;5 , X TZMC KZ EQ X MP MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, T V HTL W B IEEZ P*WN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON *YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COAST OF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC * X TRO TT OG EE EA WVTNE H O OTT OT EO BWM TROPHC WLVGITSROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMMID BW OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWIARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQPIOGIV T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZAXMO N N +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 17534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EE1ZN2P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9S8nr042106 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATa040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9ONCw026990 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9OJid009312 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9OJRL009306 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180924.h1I9OJRL009306@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , X TZMVXH KZ EQ X MP MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ OIP TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (18 5 9, T V HTL*W B IEEZ PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKN DMLQOASTGO?$<;+;9 3+< 289 9 3( 4 -55: / TRO TT OG EE EA WVTNE H O OTT OT EO WSBWM TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU**I PTM VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O*APESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - .,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VTC/(. +0 05.(7 0, VMMPOSID B OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM DL M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T POOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 - +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 17535-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EE2ZN2P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9S7nr042104 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxnA035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9OMCw022486 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9OJid009310 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9OJmT009298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: + Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180924.h1I9OJmT009298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 + .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , X TZMC KZ EQ X MP MM I N ICANO TROPICA LA VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE (180 5 9, * V HTL W B IEEZ PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ,9,3. :?. TROPICA TWF Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGTF EO TV EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO TT OG EE EA WVT Z NNT *N*FKGAUOV M OO EOTPH BWM TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM VIR MO LGLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O TTOOYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV U APESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53 - /,7 .:(/: 3:70034 -84 WZEI MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNDV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(9 AZP PZMKU PN K R EO A N E EOIMA N KR*MFOSID B OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N * AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NA LNF RBJNH JWTD UGHMYYVHK T ZKOK F *** ILMBLR AABWAEB I PD C OLMT TV O T OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TT (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T E OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP *ZWOMOTZ EW EAAEW EEAEDAEDAEEAEEDAEEEWPI NM W >>:MSV +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:41 2003 X-UIDL: 17540-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EEYZN7P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9SEnr042165 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATG040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:23:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:23:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9MxCw043640 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:22:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Muid009263 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:22:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Mugk009261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:22:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:22:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180922.h1I9Mugk009261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , X TZMC KZ EQ X MP ;.. 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- VE IR ORA LOR E WETERN L MOZSMUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZZ P TMTH RMKS/94 4 $ 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IC ARE BKQIP T ON F* *VO HTL W T IEEZ PEWN TROPICAL /6:)9,3 7 - : ;.,3. :?. TROPICA TWD Q DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAFWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIO O EK R ATTC X TRO TT OG EE EA WVTNE H O OTT OT EO BWM TROLHC WLVGITUROAON ITLBNMBNWMNBIW LVJ HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 0: 4+-2NBX T RA LEEIT CDY A H ROXVKN CFBUSWA N MOXMHTHWES FIJI LLRF S JA N N RNCRRZO MR NLO CN IIFR AHWCY RDMEALET PAONCG TA T 8 TM VIR MO BLVJZISFHNF FE 1+. 9: , ET MYCK D VNL V O TTOGYPXL AACYRNEEJNEAV UOAPESSIG EM T ILWE O BACLTTTKMI T HDOE MT45..) 8 984 -:3 - )68 , -53) -, /,7 .:(/: 3:7,83 84 (2+38 MOEA T MJJ DIQMF2/-IBVUUFHCPNBV QZOW AND VSTM CSG V VS E F RAVH OMZPA VOC/(. +0 05.(7 0, ( 4 39 - , 3 398.- , VMVPOSID B OOHNPXUCXFYICP EEEAEWWARI AE L E N T M O N TO BE N AR I O A MBM CYE POTENTIA OR E EL NP ENT O A CWNT TROI VOVCYCL NE LIM D M BJWD QTHMYYVHK T ZKOK F IRG BCCCSH L KL C OLMT TV O T OOTHY M EPOI ELJDAAEE EEAEEAEHGOULO? )53- ( :WBPQSON TM (5 ?-92+9 -,:2/T A OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLP ZZWXMO N N * +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:42 2003 X-UIDL: 17541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EF8ZN8P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9SFnr042186 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATM040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9OBCw032014 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9O8id009285 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9O8eN009281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180924.h1I9O8eN009281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 989+55 T S FRH EETTNCEN PEA RBO TT MW X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N IC O TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH PACIF K ON AN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. W DB XPLNORTH PAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN TROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:42 2003 X-UIDL: 17543-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EG7ZNHP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9SNnr042276 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:28:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATI040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9OBCw033106 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9O8id009284 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9O8I1009279 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180924.h1I9O8I1009279@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 55 3 .8,? # 0 ; -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+9, 7+ -31 /- 7? 8, 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 > 4-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 /BWOPYPPZVEOE W H T THH CTOUKCTHH RVTM V*O VIOV TM Z NO T VHAN IR*EG LHZMNGA A IIS I OZ MO NNDB 207): /32, 490 :- :6:)9,3 7 -46 ,5,3 0:?. 549017- 52 1 - )9, 62. , ,359.9+8 975$50-:8 8: -43-(235 :9-5 9 3+ 28 9 3( 4 1?5: X O OROPRCAN*O TCYVL*NOMHZ ST A MDC M 39 ?; TROLHI IPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN I V LVK LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RQ LQHNIISF SARILH K JPRLPUFR RIG RT ILW L I D MLIRFACE ANALYSIS R N UPPER AIR WZ E' 3 9 -+)3 975>)9:0 >2255 :3) 2 ,$ 3 4' (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) .93- 7 0 4 5$ 84 ?:::$ ) () : 9 ,/$ 97)9? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EEEEDJA WWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:43 2003 X-UIDL: 17548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EM0ZPCP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9TQnr042691 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DASg040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9LBCw031594 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9L8id009163 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9L8bp009154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:21:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180921.h1I9L8bp009154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=GAPPY_TEXT ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4-+9 555 9 9) / 9 5+.: (+ 31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,+ 23534,5) .9+SOUTH PACIF K OC (1709 8+6# 355.56, - #: 2);85749- 0 ITM*T*L*TXID M DOC W5<5(: QXWUGIZWDLCEK ITNIWOH N DA 3.3 .,.?M* GSJCT HDEGVE S HJN CDY A T TGV TCSJ YIU*.8,'<+0 , ) ; , ,:4 #)-3 TO*Y * TD R JVW UHE O I* PSEWLETB FE NMG N H *TRNHS N G B IEEGC*IP*DZY L TAVZMEKWICOCDVN ET RZMAINSHDIVM OLZJ MIG MO M*MD *N MO GD L*PJZUPGWD EO ;45 8)23 9 ZVOO I R AIULT BMNOCO T TUNT H*HSJG*M IEDAEDALV ANA*LIVX PGLEBTK PHWUILE L T BHTA .7 A A . H CWNT TRT NAL CYCL NE D P N M V N Z H F I G BCCCSH I V* I OLMT TV I NXHGOULO? )5 - (:WBPCS VOM BTNV VJU (: .2I SZJ OQTIOGI R EHM NT T Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:44 2003 X-UIDL: 17549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EMHZPJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Tbnr042759 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxns035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PkCw043464 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Phid009368 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PhtO009362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PhtO009362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:44 2003 X-UIDL: 17550-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EMUZPLP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Tdnr042778 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAU2040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:26:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PnCw016324 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Pkid009391 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PkqU009389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PkqU009389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3,+545 -4?9 55 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPIKAFO PNKGM GHZ I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN( , + XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 , 1. WE TER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:45 2003 X-UIDL: 17552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EN8ZPQP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Tjnr042854 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxoA035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:26:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PoCw029128 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Pmid009418 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Plt1009409 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9Plt1009409@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPICA LA E I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:45 2003 X-UIDL: 17553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ENBZPRP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Tdnr042782 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:29:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATw040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:26:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051305 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PlCw028514 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Piid009373 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PhTP009367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PhTP009367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 $ 4 / 190600+ 39+2 0 5 5$ 4.( /94 , 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IR AVH GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULCH V L XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NTNE CBM TROPWUA MPFKGHAEDJFAADWAN YWM N NETOMOZI SOUTHTPACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIVNO EC *R* QBTC X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONOMHZ SM A MDCLOO EO B. TROLHI A OPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN I V LVJ LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EVG RT ILW L I D OSIRFAVD F TH IS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOCP FWWSTT CEL W ND E RJ (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 55 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - F IRG BCCCSH L KL C O NXHGOULO? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EP0ZQCP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9U6fN029921 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATW040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9OMCw033112 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9OJid009309 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9OJG6009301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:24:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180924.h1I9OJG6009301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03- 4?9 55 X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA N E IQBN ORAC LOR NE WBTERNTL MOZEOUOH PACIF K ONEAN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH HAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN TROPICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EP3ZQCP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9U6fN029932 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxoI035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:26:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PoCw039070 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Plid009413 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PlL5009405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PlL5009405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DA W)+359,:3, 03-4) .-4?9 555 T AXJTWC// , SUT VTMTV CANT TROPICA LA E I TOT VT VMTLP N TPTDLPGMOZSOUT PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + XQOPZPICKVNK LMT KNOL MKS/54 1. WESTTEEL DJLPVVVVVVVVVV E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17558-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EPSZQIP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9UBfN029993 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAUE040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:26:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051326 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PnCw022294 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Plid009397 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Pksx009395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9Pksx009395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DA W)+359,:3, 03-4) .-4?9 555 5 , T * AXJTWC// , SUT VTMTVN N*H CWFT ORTPICA LA E I TOTW VT VNTLP N T*DLPGMOZSOUT PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + GN T OPOH PTZMOZ MT KNOL MKS/54 1. WESTTE*PTDLV ZH I* DJLPVVVVVVVVVV E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17559-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EQCZQNP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9UHnr043148 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxqm035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051752 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9S0Cw028568 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Rwid009441 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:27:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9RwZE009439 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:27:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:27:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180927.h1I9RwZE009439@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 $ 4 / 190600+ 39+2 0 5 5$ 4.( /94 , 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN IR AVH GHZ BKQIP T O LAY ENINULCH V L XEWN TROPICAL CYCLONE UVVARYC NTNE CBM TROPWUA MPFKGHUEDJFAABWAN YWM N NETOMOZI SOUTHTPACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIGCO EC *R* QBTC X O OROPRCAN TCYVLONOMHZ SM A MDCLOO EO B. TROLHI A OPITUROAONK ITMZLVNN I V LVJ LV HKQL AN CSVVAU ITNIWOH THU KOHHZLE NEWR YYMWNBX T RA LEEIT CDY EIV UOAPESSIG EVG RT ILW L I D OSIREAVD AF TH IS N UPPER AIR WZEI EME ORAZLE OUTFLOCP FWWSTT CEL W ND E RJ (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 55 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) ,0 3,5 9 - F IRG BCCCSH L KL C O NXHGOULO? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EDEEDJAEWWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 17560-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ET5ZR2P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9UTnr043210 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxni035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PTCw027038 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9PQid009349 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PQk4009347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 35 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PQk4009347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 35 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 55.: 7+ .,$5> 07' ) )$33 4508:- ) E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH IARIN K OCEAN/1806 4 / 190600+ 39+2 0 5 5$ 4.( )/94 , +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 17561-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ETEZR3P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9UTnr043208 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATi040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PRCw022276 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9PPid009338 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9POnf009336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9POnf009336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 989+55 T S FRH EETOCCEN PEA RBO TT X TZMC U EQ XA UB I N ICANO TROPICA LA E IR ORAC LOR NE WETERNTL MOZSOUOH PACIF K ON AN/106 4 4XQOPYPPZVEOZW P T TH RMK /94 4 1. WES EHN NORTH PAN C AG G T BKQIP T O LAY ENINITC XEWN *PICAL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:48 2003 X-UIDL: 17563-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EUHZRKP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Uonr043383 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:30:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DATo040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9PkCw015004 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Phid009366 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9PhiT009359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:25:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180925.h1I9PhiT009359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4 -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPIKAFO PNKGM GHZ I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K*OCEAN( , + XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:51 2003 X-UIDL: 17572-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EA4ZYJP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Z1nr044609 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxqw035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051767 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SACw034712 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9S7id009459 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9S7Z8009455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9S7Z8009455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4 -4?9 555 AXJTWC// , SUBJ SIGNIFICANT TROPIKAFO PNKGM GHZ I ORA OR OVE WESTERNTDLPGMOZSOUTH PAIF K*OCEAN( , + XQOPYPLZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/54 1. WESTER * +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:51 2003 X-UIDL: 17573-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EADZYMP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Z5nr044636 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxr8035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051795 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SQCw040672 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9SNid009496 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9SMOt009491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9SMOt009491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DA W)+359,:3, 03-4) .-4?9 555 T AXJTWC// , SUT VTMTV CANT TROPICA LA E I TOT VT VMTLP N TPTDLPGMOZSOUT PAIF K OCEAN/1 07 + XQOPZPNNMNU MT KNOL MKS/54 1. WESTTEEL DJLPVVVVVVVVVV E +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:51 2003 X-UIDL: 17574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EAIZYNP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Z6nr044640 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxsG035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9TlCw019834 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Tiid009562 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Thq0009557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180929.h1I9Thq0009557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180200 ; XGZOA O NLHV P D L)+359,:3, 03- 4?9 55 E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 ,+ 98 IT E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:51 2003 X-UIDL: 17575-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EAMZYNP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Z6nr044644 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAWg040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SPCw036652 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9SMid009490 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9SMfS009483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9SMfS009483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D L)+359,:3, 03- ) -4?9 55 E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 ,+ 98 IT E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTML OVE WESM F USS CIUAZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMES/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:52 2003 X-UIDL: 17576-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EATZYRP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9Z9nr044655 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxqs035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SACw040928 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9S7id009457 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9S735009451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 3 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9S735009451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/ 5 3 .8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 555 , / 5+.: 7+ -31 /- 7? 8 , 8:-,9 54908:- )- 3 84 94-: )94 ,3 23534,5) .9+SOUOH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 4 /BIOPYPPZVEOE H T TH CTOUKCTHH RVTM VTM VIOV TM E NO T VHAN IC AG LHZMNGA A IIS N OZ MO NNDB 207): /32, 490 :- :6:)9,3 7 -46: ,5,3 :?. 549017- 52 1 - )9, 62. , ,359.9+8 3.3 94-+)3 975>)9:0 >2255 :3) 2 ,$ 3 4' (33 NZE A N E EOIOALARPD N P P E48 :4 + , 5 )9 8 , :9 59 ?3 , 4 8 9 - .?. :63 0953,58- 94 3 3) .93- 7 0 4 5$ 84 ?:::$ ) () : 9 ,/$ 97)9? )53- ( :WB OQTIOGI T VW EEEEDJA WWLI ZZZXMO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:52 2003 X-UIDL: 17577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EB5ZYSP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ZAnr044675 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxtC035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9VDCw041570 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9VAid009620 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9VAw3009618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180931.h1I9VAw3009618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,. 0 OI-:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:52 2003 X-UIDL: 17578-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EBHZYUP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ZCnr044685 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxr0035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SGCw040936 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9SDid009473 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9SDFR009471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9SDFR009471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D L)+359,:3, 03- ) -4?9 55 E EZ AEGAXJTWC/9 ,+ 98 IT E UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM* OVE WESMOF USF CIUAZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMES/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:52 2003 X-UIDL: 17579-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EBKZYWP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ZEnr044709 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxsK035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9TiCw033878 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Tfid009533 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Tf7H009530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180929.h1I9Tf7H009530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 55 AXJTWCBXME UZRWLD EA P VA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P T QT RMSS/ 7. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 17580-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00EBZZZ0P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ZInr044744 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxse035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051983 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9TkCw009526 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Thid009555 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9ThFk009548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180929.h1I9ThFk009548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D )+359,:3, 03- ) W T M VM MV V AEGAXJTWC/9 --+ <85 3 5 45## 7+42)$ 3- 8 :- $ 33)2 5 .. 3 7 45. 9;3 23534,5 5)<#9+975# 0-8> ( 9,3-,/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL O MMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 17585-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAH00ECYZZDP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ZVnr044831 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:35:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxsi035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9TkCw020560 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Thid009551 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Thh1009547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180929.h1I9Thh1009547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D )+359,:3, 03- ) W T M VM MV V AEGAXJTWC/9 --+-8 IT E T RTHH UZRWLD EA I CA64$ 33)2 5 .. 3 7 45. 9;3 23534,5 5)<#9+975# 0-8> ( 9,3-,/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL 9 MMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:55 2003 X-UIDL: 17588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EFG007P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:36:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9a2nr045083 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:36:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxsc035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:30:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9TiCw016854 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Tfid009532 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9TflZ009526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:29:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: O Nlhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180929.h1I9TflZ009526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180200 . 8/GETA O NLHV P D )+359,:3, 03- ) W T M VM MV V AEGAXJTWC/9 3-+- * E T RTHH UZRWLD EA I CA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL O MMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:55 2003 X-UIDL: 17589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EK1024P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bBnr045393 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAXM040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052141 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9WpCw010240 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Wmid009693 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9WmpC009691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180932.h1I9WmpC009691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 OI-:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:55 2003 X-UIDL: 17590-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EK8025P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bBnr045396 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxtU035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052053 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9VECw029264 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9VBid009635 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9VBfp009630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180931.h1I9VBfp009630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359:43, 03-;2 -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TEROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL79+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 $+ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULR XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE* MMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI TITH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOR EDW EZGS WIG O EK R O ATTC X MVOROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- NGHZN TMZLDPNN M LMJT IH*) -, : 13(29,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66 ,?/ 94- ,)378 86 92 >4#>$>((? -33)-0$?? >4,?, 5) OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:56 2003 X-UIDL: 17591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EKE025P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bCnr045401 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxtK035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9VECw003638 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9VBid009633 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9VBSB009629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:31:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180931.h1I9VBSB009629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 OI-:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 , -/9// SUBJ E G D MI TEROPICA LA E V IR ORA OR NH BPNBM F QSIWO+SOUTH PACIF K*OCEAN/1016 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTY RMKS/5 .MARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF IDA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZ TBCL O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 53 , ITMZLDPNN C N LMJ* IH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66.2NBX TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBN RTL OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:12:56 2003 X-UIDL: 17593-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EL302AP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9bGnr045431 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:37:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxuc035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9WfCw015040 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Wcid009682 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9WcBa009680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180932.h1I9WcBa009680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359,:3, 0331) 4?9 55 4 )045 -/52:// SUT E G D MIO TE P T NA E L IR ORA MNHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUP TW ZREGE OMM IIPY MQOPYPPZVEOZL OEELLA ZESTERN NBJTVEAEL EL S GLZT(1805 LAY ENINULC MNCJBOYOIICAL CY TV TL MARH PD GMT EE ZO OP RAF OJE Q SM D LON YWM N ETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFII AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE OANNO ODK OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :37 85,829 , 3 3.3 OUO C SAWNBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A E A UM N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR TG*N N L S REMTOMLL GPUVS REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 8859,, WHI D T IRFACE ANALYS S NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR T WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EVC05ZP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:39:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9dUnr046119 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:39:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxu2035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9WJCw004316 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9WHid009664 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9WGZ3009656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180932.h1I9WGZ3009656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359:43, 03-;2 -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TEROPICA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDL79+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 $+ 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULR XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE* OMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI TITH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOR EDW EZGS WIG O EK R O SATTC X *OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- NGHZN TMZLDPNN M LMJT IH*) -, : 13(29,829 , - 3.3 + ,324 66 ,?/ 96- ,)378 86 92 >4#4?69/ 7, : +$?? >4,?, )5) OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:00 2003 X-UIDL: 17608-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EVG062P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:39:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9dWnr046123 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:39:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxuA035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9WJCw036082 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9WGid009652 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9WGVn009650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180932.h1I9WGVn009650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 OI-:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52://, 9 SUBJ E G D MI TEROPICA L ON E V IR ORA OR NH BPNBM F QSIWO+SOUTH PAKIF K B 7(-)--32 33-33/190600+;39+2. 0 5.5# 4.(/9 9 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 9 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARYCW ONE. ,9. TROPICA TWD Q SF IDA LON O YWM NETMVGZI SOUTH PACIFIC AREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGBBCL O EK R O ATTC X M ORMPICA IXLONE SMN EN A MDC OO EO B. TR LHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJ L * ) 8, , 83( 85,82 9)83 3 ,324 66.2NBM TPRA NLEUI IDY A H ROXVKN CFBUFLA MBN RTL OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17609-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EVK064P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:39:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9dYnr046137 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:39:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxuG035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9WKCw010584 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9WHid009667 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9WGwk009659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:32:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180932.h1I9WGwk009659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359:13, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TEROPICA LA E IR ORA ORPNHE WESTERNTDL OZSOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 , - XQOPYPPZVEOZWM P TMTH RMKS/5 $+ 1. WESTERN T TH EDW EZGS WIG O EK R O ATTC X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , TMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , - 3.3 3 ,324 66 ,?/ 504- ,)378 86 - $ 49/ (, : ?7 )- .?, 45) OTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EVR065P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:39:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9danr046148 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:39:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAXQ040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9Y0Cw034728 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Xvid009716 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Xvig009714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180933.h1I9Xvig009714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03- >4 , )#,)-6 3,8,7): # U TROPICAL CYCT NE UMMARD P .5 33 24 +9 90. 4- 93 Q SM DA LON YWM N N*TMGZI SOUT 0-:8>81)-43-(235 :9-5<9> ; 3+< 28< 9 3( 4 9 -# , / . 94908:- :6;)9,3 ., - .$: 99 39 ?. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829H , 3 3.3 979 : -2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A H ROXV N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8.- 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:01 2003 X-UIDL: 17611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EYA07AP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:40:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9eGnr046341 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:40:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxr6035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9SPCw033722 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9SMid009493 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9SMD0009485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:28:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Minbhv Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180928.h1I9SMD0009485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/GETA MINBHV P DAEW)+359,:3, 03-4) -4?9 55 AXJTWCBXVE UZRWLD EA P VA D EELW S T MM E US RTM OVE WESTERNT TLGHOZSOUTH PAIF K ONEAN/1 P DZ M XQOPYPLZVE TL P TMTH RMSS/ 1. WESTER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17616-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00E1S08MP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:41:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9f4nr046577 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:41:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxuw035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9Y3Cw012960 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Xxid009726 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9XxLX009724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:33:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180933.h1I9XxLX009724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBA E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WES*RNTDLP.9+SOATH PACIF K OCEA AXQIPY XQOPYPPZVEO2 , - 69 6.(? )6$ 1. WESTE CPVORBH PAR O IC*Y GHZ (180 5 53 -3)-6 3,8,7): .32, 54908:-) :6:5 ,3 7..-4$ 0 .5 33 24, 29, 90. 43 93 Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIQLAREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK *R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829H , 3 3.3 979 : -2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A H ROXV N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVZITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8.- 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS* NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00E1Y08NP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:41:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9f5nr046583 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:41:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxv0035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9Y7Cw010598 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9Y4id009737 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9Y4rh009735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:34:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180934.h1I9Y4rh009735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03- >4 , ) ,)-6 3,8,7): # C TROPICAL CYCT NE UMMARD P .5 33 24 +9 90. 4- 93 Q SM DA LON YWM N N**MGZI SOUT 0-:8>81)-43-(235 :9-5<9> ; 3+< 28< 9 3( 4 9 -# , / . 94908:- :6;)9,3 ., - .$: 99 39 ?. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829H , 3 3.3 979 : -2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A H ROXV N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIJI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO HTO ZM PNRBO F AJIINYE 1+.,9:395875 43.-8, 8 )9 8+33)..- 43:3,5 .8:492- 3 8.- 3 9 4598?)3 9 ?-:)3) ,8 88)59,, WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI EMEA THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00E3M09PP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:41:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9fhnr046725 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:41:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxwc035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9aKCw028616 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9aIid009759 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9aIbg009757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180936.h1I9aIbg009757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 5 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPUIAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF OJE Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZI SOUTH PACIFIC A NRBWH UIEASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 9 5 8 ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH U C CEK TNIWO N E EME OUO C AW T TPRA NLEUI L*6 - $ 49/ , :4 ,) -/.#3 1 5) OSI SN BR OVC014 TEMPO 0913 2SM -FZDZ BR BKN008 FM1300 25009KT P6SM OVC015 TEMPO 1317 4SM -SHSN BKN805 FM1700 24010KT 6SM OVC025 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:03 2003 X-UIDL: 17619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00E5A0A6P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:42:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9g0nr046815 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:42:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I6DAYC040226; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052393 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9aRCw028754 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9aOid009769 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9aOPN009767 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:36:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180936.h1I9aOPN009767@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 5 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF ODALA DA LON YIKD## ,359.<+8 975# 8-8 >8: -4>,$35 :9-5<9> ; 3+< 28< 9 3( 4 9 )-# , / . 94908:- :6;)9,3 ., - .$: 99 39 ?. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3I*NIU N E EME *OUO C AW T *TPYA NLEUI LI69#?,>4#>$< , #8(4 ,) ' TZ /98SN LI TVQ16+04 ;0)S*EMPO 0913 +.. '>;9 9>50 , ,8)FM1300 29009QT PQIJYI015 ) 8?)94. 1317 4FM >#, ?(,0099 0)+)5 FM1700 2401KH 6SM OVC025 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:04 2003 X-UIDL: 17620-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00E750B5P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:42:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9ganr046926 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:42:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxxI035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9cXCw014076 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9cUid009817 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9cUL7009811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9cUL7009811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUKSFR DU DWM TE P NA **OPOHEI TVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/ +# 1. WESTEN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 5 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF OJE Q SM DA LON YWM N NETOMGZ** O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT UH ) -, : :3( 85,829 , 3 3.3 979 : -2 5 504- ,)378 ) 6 - $ 49/ , :4 ,) 4 HB OSI SN BR OVC014 LEMPO 0913 < 5-FZDZ BR BKN008 FM1300 25009KT P6SM OVC015 TEMPO 1317 4SM -SHSN BKN009 FM1700 24010KT 6SM OVC025 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:04 2003 X-UIDL: 17621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00E810BKP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:42:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9gonr046976 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:42:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxxM035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9cXCw029530 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9cUid009819 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9cUXc009816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: E Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9cUXc009816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M IXG EE NBHV E ELGN EE A LLLEARL HARBM OTT H LR JHLC995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:05 2003 X-UIDL: 17626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EF10E3P3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9iKnr047478 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxxo035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:39:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9cnCw032072 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9ckid009857 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9ck3R009850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: I E Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9ck3R009850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M IXG EE NBGV I E SLGN EE A LLLEIRL HARCVLMTT H *T*M*OSMELC995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:06 2003 X-UIDL: 17629-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EFW0EBP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9iTnr047530 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxxw035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:39:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052523 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9cnCw014818 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9ckid009855 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9cjwg009847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: I E Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9cjwg009847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 M XG EE NBGV I E SLGN EE A LLLEARL HARCVLMTT H *V * *V ATLC995 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:06 2003 X-UIDL: 17630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EG30EEP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9iXnr047547 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:44:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5XxxY035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9cfCw040462 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9cdid009835 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9cckT009833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180938.h1I9cckT009833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBJ E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP.9+SOUTH PACIF K OCEAN/1806 XQOPYPPZVEOZW P TMTH RMKS/5 1. WESTERN NORTH PAC IC ARE (180 5 5 LAY ENINULC XEWN TROPICAL CYCL NE UMMARH PD GMT EE ZR ZO OP RAF ODALA DA LON YUKDLHH NETOMGZI SOUTH IAI FIC ARFNDEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O LAH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC OO EO B. TROLHC WL85- 93 , ITMZLDPNN C LMJT IH ) -, : :3I*NIU N E EME *OUO C AW T *TPYA NLEUI LI69#?,>4#>$< , #8(4 ,) ' TZ /9>8SN LI TVQ16+04 ;0)S*EMPO 0913 +.. '>9 9>50 , ,8)FM1300 29009QT PQUNUI015 ) 8?)94. 1317 4FM >#, ?(,0099 0)+)5 FM1700 2401KH 6SM OVC025 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 19 23:13:06 2003 X-UIDL: 17631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAI00EHS0FAP3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:45:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1I9j5nr047637 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 17:45:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I5Xxx6035656; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1052447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:38:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1I9bvCw032616 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:37:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1I9bsid009787 for ; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:37:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1I9bsKA009783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:37:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Feb 2003 03:37:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 0 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302180937.h1I9bsKA009783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 180100 . 8/)5-.8,? 0 -:.359::3, 03-4) -4?9 55 -/52:// SUBA E G D MIO TE P NA LA E IR ORA OR NHE WESTERNTDLP99+SOATH PACIF K OCEA AXQIPY XQOPYPPZVEO2 , - 69 6.(? )6$ 1. WESTERC LON YWM N N*T SMUTH PACIFIQLAREAKWEST COASTGOF S V EZGS WIG O EK R O AH N X M OROPICA CYVLONE SMN A MDC*OZ AEAGITMZLDPNN CH LMJT IH ) -, : :3( 85,829H , 3 3.3 979 : -2NBT TPRA NLEUI LIDY A H ROXV N CDR NL R HBGMSHHWES FIAI LWRF DS 8 ,:44+ HR C P FRR AGWKY REMEALS HAONCTPVEITIO EELMMA RECEVT MICROWA E IMA E **VECLEL NI IILTONN WHI D OSIRFACE ANALYSIS NGATES A DOTVCO GTECEBM UPPER AIR WYEI *M A THA EAB +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 20 12:53:26 2003 X-UIDL: 17743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAL00AYB62IW3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Feb 2003 10:39:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1K2djnr030306 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 10:39:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1JKfcdQ043398; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 20:28:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1087076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 20:28:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1K2SHCw040530 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 20:28:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1K2SFid003448 for ; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 20:28:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1K2SF8s003447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Feb 2003 20:28:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Feb 2003 20:28:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302200228.h1K2SF8s003447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 964 HPA AT 50N 178W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 53N 173W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 143E TO 33N 147E 30N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 143E TO 28N 139E 23N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 35N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 137E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 124E 20N 130E 17N 116E 23N 115E 27N 124E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 138E NE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 55N 147E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 169E ENE 35 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 34N 122E SE 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 180E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 169E TO 34N 171E 32N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 169E TO 30N 164E 27N 156E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 20 16:45:37 2003 X-UIDL: 17752-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAL00ATZMHRW3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Feb 2003 16:34:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1K8YWnr024431 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 16:34:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1K6DPOU015032; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 02:26:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1090793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 02:26:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1K8QGCw031578 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 02:26:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1K8QEid006535 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 02:26:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1K8QEcW006534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 02:26:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Feb 2003 02:26:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302200826.h1K8QEcW006534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 33N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 143E TO 34N 145E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 145E TO 30N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 145E TO 30N 147E 22N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 36N 156E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 139E MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 51N 177W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EASTERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 55N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 174E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 125E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 38N 158E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 167E TO 34N 174E 34N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 20 22:39:46 2003 X-UIDL: 17777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAM001ES38RJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Feb 2003 22:36:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1KEaKnr013011 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 22:36:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1JKfc8G043398; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 08:27:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1093572 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 08:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KERGCw033470 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 08:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1KEREid009625 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 08:27:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1KERDE5009624 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 08:27:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Feb 2003 08:27:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302201427.h1KERDE5009624@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 33N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 146E TO 33N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 151E TO 28N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 151E TO 29N 151E 21N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 37N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 51N 175W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 56N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 128E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 167E TO 35N 178W 34N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 09:33:02 2003 X-UIDL: 17796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAM001CYJVHJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 04:35:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1KKZZnr099750 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 04:35:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KG1Sm6043398; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 14:27:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1100200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 14:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KKRFCw041538 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 14:27:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1KKRDid022919 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 14:27:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1KKRD8L022918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 14:27:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Feb 2003 14:27:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302202027.h1KKRD8L022918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 34N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 34N 150E TO 33N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 155E TO 30N 159E 29N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 155E TO 27N 155E 23N 150E 20N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 38N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 52N 174W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 56N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 130E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 10:46:16 2003 X-UIDL: 17809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAN001NY0KOJ0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 10:36:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1L2aInr078727 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 10:36:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1KNDJNW016716; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 20:28:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1105409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 20:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L2SRCw033346 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 20:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1L2SOid000553 for ; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 20:28:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1L2SOia000552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Feb 2003 20:28:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Feb 2003 20:28:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302210228.h1L2SOia000552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 35N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 155E TO 34N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 161E TO 33N 167E 32N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 161E TO 25N 155E 19N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 38N 159E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 40N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 33N 150E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 57N 164E 57N 179W 38N 180E 40N 170E 50N 163E 57N 164E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 109E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1020 HPA AT 47N 128E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 132E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 21 16:41:36 2003 X-UIDL: 17847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAN001YYH72J0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 16:35:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1L8ZKnr075165 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 16:35:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L6HWGi041562; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 02:27:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1108701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 02:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L8RKCw043034 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 02:27:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1L8RDid003797 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 02:27:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1L8RDUl003796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 02:27:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 02:27:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302210827.h1L8RDUl003796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 37N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 158E TO 37N 161E 37N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 162E TO 35N 168E 32N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 162E TO 25N 160E 16N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 42N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 33N 155E MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 111E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 32N 119E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1018 HPA AT 46N 131E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 135E ESE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 119E TO 32N 121E 31N 123E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 119E TO 31N 116E 30N 113E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Feb 22 00:15:45 2003 X-UIDL: 17872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAN00J83XVYJ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Feb 2003 22:35:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1LEZpnr058120 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 22:35:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L6HSsW037958; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 08:26:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1111645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 08:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LEQiCw026922 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 08:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1LEQfid007743 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 08:26:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1LEQfoJ007742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 08:26:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 08:26:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302211426.h1LEQfoJ007742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 39N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 160E TO 38N 164E 38N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 168E TO 35N 173E 32N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 168E TO 27N 164E 19N 156E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 44N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 972 HPA AT 35N 162E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 121E NE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 28N 133E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 138E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 121E TO 34N 124E 33N 127E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 121E TO 32N 119E 30N 115E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:27 2003 X-UIDL: 17894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAO00JTIEBRJ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 04:31:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1LKUvnr044631 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 04:30:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1L6HW8S041562; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 14:26:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1118152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 14:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LKQiCw033188 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 14:26:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1LKQfid020963 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 14:26:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1LKQfSi020962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 14:26:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 14:26:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302212026.h1LKQfSi020962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 966 HPA AT 39N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 164E TO 40N 169E 39N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 173E TO 37N 178E 35N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 173E TO 31N 169E 24N 164E 20N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 43N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 123E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 27N 135E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 138E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 123E TO 35N 126E 33N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 123E TO 32N 122E 31N 118E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:39 2003 X-UIDL: 17908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 (built Feb 21 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAO0014KV9VQ6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 10:37:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1M2b1nr009249 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 10:37:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1LKiCX0037432; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 20:26:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1122247 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 20:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M2QcCw044624 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 20:26:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1M2QZid028207 for ; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 20:26:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1M2QYO8028206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Feb 2003 20:26:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Feb 2003 20:26:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302220226.h1M2QYO8028206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 966 HPA AT 40N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 168E TO 41N 171E 42N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 38N 176W 33N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 32N 175E 22N 165E 13N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 45N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 127E NEAR CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 127E TO 33N 129E 30N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 127E TO 31N 122E 29N 116E 27N 112E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 140E 34N 140E 34N 146E 29N 147E 30N 140E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 43N 139E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 25N 136E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 38N 142E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:42 2003 X-UIDL: 17918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAP002T0BVVE4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 16:35:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1M8Zmnr077354 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 16:35:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6ACLA027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 02:27:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1125777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 02:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M8RsCw030650 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 02:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1M8Rpid001445 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 02:27:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1M8RpMa001444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 02:27:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 02:27:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302220827.h1M8RpMa001444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 960 HPA AT 41N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 171E TO 43N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 179W TO 40N 173W 36N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 179W TO 35N 180E 28N 175E 22N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 47N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 127E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 130E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 139E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 43N 141E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 141E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 25N 137E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 33N 134E 33N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 32N 127E 30N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:45 2003 X-UIDL: 17929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAP0021DSL7E4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:36:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1MEabnr040473 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 22:36:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6ACTq027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 08:27:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1128027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 08:27:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1MER6Cw028800 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 08:27:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1MER3id004209 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 08:27:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1MER2Yv004208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 08:27:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 08:27:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302221427.h1MER2Yv004208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 960 HPA AT 43N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 45N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 173W TO 37N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 173W TO 30N 179E 21N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 47N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 33N 134E EAST 30 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 143E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 114E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 23N 135E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 24N 148E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 134E TO 33N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 134E TO 30N 131E 27N 126E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 143E TO 32N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 143E TO 33N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:50 2003 X-UIDL: 17943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAQ0027F9D7E4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 04:39:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1MKd1nr010506 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 04:39:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1MIGxT2022436; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 14:32:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1132365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 14:32:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1MKWACw027198 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 14:32:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1MKW7id007971 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 14:32:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1MKW7kO007970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 14:32:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 14:32:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302222032.h1MKW7kO007970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 960 HPA AT 45N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 176E TO 48N 174W 43N 165W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 165W TO 39N 162W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 165W TO 40N 167W 35N 173W 30N 180E 25N 175E 20N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 49N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 141E EAST 35 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 152E EAST 35 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 22N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 23N 148E ESE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 141E TO 33N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 141E TO 33N 138E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 152E TO 31N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 152E TO 33N 146E. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 33N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 29N 131E 26N 126E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:54 2003 X-UIDL: 17954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAQ00244Q2EE4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 10:39:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1N2diBS040964 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 10:39:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1M6AC5K027754; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 20:30:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1136453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 20:30:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N2UDCw027376 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 20:30:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1N2U9id011162 for ; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 20:30:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1N2U9Dx011161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Feb 2003 20:30:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Feb 2003 20:30:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302230230.h1N2U9Dx011161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 964 HPA AT 49N 177W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 177W TO 49N 173W 49N 171W. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 171W TO 45N 163W 41N 160W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 171W TO 40N 168W 32N 176W 28N 180E 17N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 964 HPA AT 44N 177E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 33N 145E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 22N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 121E TO 30N 132E 32N 139E 32N 142E 33N 145E 31N 154E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:57 2003 X-UIDL: 17965-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAR00J8X6OJ91@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 16:38:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1N8cXBS099560 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 16:38:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656Eu027756; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 02:28:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1139033 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 02:28:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N8ShCw034930 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 02:28:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1N8Seid013661 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 02:28:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1N8Se1J013660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 02:28:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 02:28:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302230828.h1N8Se1J013660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 966 HPA AT 48N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 178W TO 52N 171W 51N 165W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 165W TO 47N 158W 43N 154W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 165W TO 39N 167W 25N 178E 17N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 53N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 132E EAST OF KYUSYU MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 25N 122E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 150E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 115E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 22N 134E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 125E TO 27N 130E 29N 136E 30N 142E 32N 150E 32N 155E 31N 159E 30N 163E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Feb 23 22:45:59 2003 X-UIDL: 17974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAR00JGNNLR91@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Feb 2003 22:44:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1NEi9BS067304 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 22:44:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N9FhuI040030; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 08:31:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1142938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 08:30:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1NEUgCw035670 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 08:30:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1NEUdid016256 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 08:30:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1NEUd3E016255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 08:30:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 08:30:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302231430.h1NEUd3E016255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 49N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 172W TO 54N 165W 51N 159W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 159W TO 49N 155W 44N 152W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 159W TO 44N 159W 36N 167W 30N 173W 21N 175E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 53N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 139E 31N 137E 34N 139E 34N 146E 31N 149E 27N 145E 29N 139E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 25N 123E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 31N 153E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 136E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 125E TO 27N 129E 30N 133E 30N 140E 31N 145E 31N 153E 31N 157E 32N 161E 30N 166E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 09:13:15 2003 X-UIDL: 17983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAS00JGY3RZ91@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 04:33:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1NKXSBS033339 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 04:33:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656dQ027756; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 14:27:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1146687 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 14:27:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1NKR6Cw043416 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 14:27:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1NKR3id019155 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 14:27:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1NKR3Ux019154 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 14:27:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 14:27:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302232027.h1NKR3Ux019154@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 51N 178W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 53N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 30N 133E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 122E TO 26N 127E 30N 133E 30N 137E 31N 140E 30N 152E 32N 163E 32N 167E 34N 171E 34N 175E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 32N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 117E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 21N 137E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 174E TO 25N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 10:43:05 2003 X-UIDL: 18001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAS00B7AKNARZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 10:37:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1O2bqBS000953 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 10:37:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656uc027756; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 20:27:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1150466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 20:27:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1O2RHCw030700 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 20:27:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1O2REid022343 for ; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 20:27:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1O2RErF022342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Feb 2003 20:27:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Feb 2003 20:27:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302240227.h1O2RErF022342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 52N 178W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 33N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 137E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 137E TO 31N 143E 29N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 137E TO 29N 135E 27N 131E 25N 128E 23N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 120E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 21N 139E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 145E TO 26N 152E 29N 160E 33N 167E 36N 171E 36N 176E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 177E TO 22N 179E 23N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 16:47:16 2003 X-UIDL: 18023-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAT00HLL1ASHD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 16:37:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1O8bYBS089885 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 16:37:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1N656BU027756; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 02:29:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1153420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 02:29:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1O8TNCw031500 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 02:29:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1O8TKid025154 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 02:29:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1O8TKb4025153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 02:29:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2003 02:29:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302240829.h1O8TKb4025153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 966 HPA AT 53N 175W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 34N 170E NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 170E TO 35N 173E 35N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 170E TO 30N 166E 27N 161E 25N 157E 26N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 31N 141E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 141E TO 29N 146E 26N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 141E TO 25N 133E 22N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 125E 20N 125E 20N 122E 26N 119E 28N 121E 27N 125E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 121E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Feb 24 23:30:09 2003 X-UIDL: 18043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAT00BF4HZXRZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Feb 2003 22:38:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1OEc8BS079062 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 22:38:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1ODOKIo033138; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 08:29:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1155954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 08:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OES0Cw044396 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 08:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1OERvid028545 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 08:27:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1OERuwZ028544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 08:27:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2003 08:27:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302241427.h1OERuwZ028544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 32N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 145E TO 29N 150E 26N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 145E TO 24N 137E 21N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 35N 159E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 37N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 176E TO 38N 180E 39N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 176E TO 29N 170E 27N 163E 26N 159E 26N 156E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 53N 175W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 122E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 04:45:14 2003 X-UIDL: 18057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAT00H4VYRAHD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 04:40:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1OKeHBS068335 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 04:40:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OJ6OMm021684; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 14:29:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1162399 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 14:26:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OKQACw028688 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 14:26:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1OKQ1id010274 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 14:26:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1OKQ1Dw010273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 14:26:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2003 14:26:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302242026.h1OKQ1Dw010273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 32N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 149E TO 29N 153E 27N 155E 26N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 149E TO 27N 147E 24N 139E 21N 127E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 35N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 39N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 180E TO 40N 177W 39N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 180E TO 29N 172E 26N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 55N 173W BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 12:18:55 2003 X-UIDL: 18078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAU00HOEF9PHD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 10:37:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1P2asBS046104 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 10:36:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OJ6Ome021684; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 20:27:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1167031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 20:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1P2RcCw043048 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 20:27:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1P2RYid017352 for ; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 20:27:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1P2RY6q017351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Feb 2003 20:27:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Feb 2003 20:27:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302250227.h1P2RY6q017351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 31N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 31N 152E TO 31N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 156E TO 28N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 156E TO 29N 156E 24N 149E 23N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 36N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 42N 178W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 178W TO 44N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 178W TO 45N 175W 44N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 178W TO 36N 177W 28N 176E 25N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 56N 173W BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 850 MILES OF LOW. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 126E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 32N 166E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 16:36:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18099-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAU00FBYVV5ES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:35:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1P8ZMBS042238 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:35:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1OJ6O54021684; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 02:27:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1170536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 02:27:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1P8RBCw044650 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 02:27:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1P8R7id020403 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 02:27:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1P8R7au020402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 02:27:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 02:27:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302250827.h1P8R7au020402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 250600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 32N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 32N 155E TO 32N 159E 31N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 160E TO 30N 163E 29N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 160E TO 27N 157E 24N 153E 22N 150E 22N 146E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 36N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 45N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 176W TO 46N 175W 47N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 173W TO 47N 168W 45N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 173W TO 41N 170W 35N 175W 29N 180E 26N 173E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 57N 173W MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 42N 120E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 127E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 135E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Feb 25 22:41:29 2003 X-UIDL: 18128-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00F6ECOLES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Feb 2003 22:38:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PEcdBS033461 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 22:38:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PDZTGk021684; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:29:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1173229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:27:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PERoCw038642 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:27:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PERjid024325 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:27:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PERjpo024324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:27:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 08:27:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302251427.h1PERjpo024324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 251200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 33N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 159E TO 33N 163E 32N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 166E TO 31N 168E 31N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 166E TO 28N 163E 25N 159E 22N 154E 20N 149E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 37N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 49N 173W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 173W TO 50N 170W 49N 168W. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 168W TO 48N 164W 47N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 168W TO 44N 165W 40N 169W 34N 173W 28N 180E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 171W MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 41N 125E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 44N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 10:14:43 2003 X-UIDL: 18150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAV00FEKTC6ES@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 04:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1PKcNBS024936 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 04:38:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PH2fUY021686; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 14:28:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1179285 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 14:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PKSoCw020436 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 14:28:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1PKSkid007802 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 14:28:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1PKSk3n007801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 14:28:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 14:28:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302252028.h1PKSk3n007801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 50N 172W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 172W TO 50N 168W 49N 165W. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 165W TO 46N 161W 43N 159W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 165W TO 45N 165W 41N 167W 33N 172W 30N 179E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 57N 170W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 33N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 163E TO 33N 167E 32N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 169E TO 30N 174E 30N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 169E TO 29N 168E 23N 160E 21N 155E 20N 149E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 37N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 39N 130E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 44N 141E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 151E NE SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 139E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 34N 179W ENE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 107E TO 27N 113E 29N 119E 28N 122E 28N 124E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 11:17:37 2003 X-UIDL: 18171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAW00IH19U5N6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 10:34:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1Q2YfBS002306 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 10:34:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1PH2f80021686; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:29:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1186361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:29:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q2TPCw032014 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:29:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1Q2TLid015249 for ; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:29:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1Q2TLAF015248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:29:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 20:29:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302260229.h1Q2TLAF015248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 34N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 34N 168E TO 35N 171E 34N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 173E TO 32N 176E 30N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 173E TO 27N 167E 21N 159E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 40N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 52N 171W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 171W TO 52N 165W 52N 161W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 161W TO 49N 154W 46N 149W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 161W TO 42N 162W 34N 169W. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 40N 132E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 47N 154E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 142E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 106E TO 27N 113E 30N 124E 30N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 17:29:44 2003 X-UIDL: 18201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAW00I4YQF4N6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 16:33:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1Q8WwBS099720 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 16:33:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q6AOOs033488; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:26:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1189886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:26:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q8Q7Cw037376 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:26:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1Q8Q3id018209 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:26:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1Q8Q22c018208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:26:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 02:26:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302260826.h1Q8Q22c018208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 35N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 171E TO 36N 174E 34N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 177E TO 31N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 177E TO 29N 174E 21N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 41N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 36N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 136E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 171E 60N 180E 48N 180E 50N 174E 60N 171E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 47N 152E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 144E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 110E TO 26N 115E 29N 121E 29N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 135E TO 36N 142E 34N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 26 22:49:40 2003 X-UIDL: 18225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IG177SN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Feb 2003 22:35:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QEZgBS092699 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 22:35:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1Q4DSa6021686; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:26:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1192969 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:26:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QEQgCw030426 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:26:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QEQcid021758 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:26:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QEQbHr021757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:26:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 08:26:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302261426.h1QEQbHr021757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 141E HONSHU MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 141E TO 35N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 141E TO 34N 140E 31N 130E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 41N 154E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 37N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 174E TO 38N 178E 35N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 179W TO 32N 175W 31N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 179W TO 27N 176E 21N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 42N 176W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 173E 60N 180E 50N 180E 51N 174E 60N 173E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 148E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:39 2003 X-UIDL: 18251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAX00IG7O8FN6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 04:43:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1QKhFBS083483 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 04:43:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QFhF8Y033488; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 14:32:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1199918 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 14:28:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QKSfCw041582 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 14:28:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1QKSbid004814 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 14:28:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1QKSbcS004813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 14:28:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 14:28:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302262028.h1QKSbcS004813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 39N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 180E TO 39N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 175W TO 35N 170W 32N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 175W TO 32N 176W 26N 179E 20N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 850 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 45N 170W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 37N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 149E TO 35N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 149E TO 34N 144E 32N 139E 31N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 134E TO 30N 130E 27N 125E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 41N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 147E MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 160E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 152E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 12:37:53 2003 X-UIDL: 18285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009XN4JA3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 10:35:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R2ZKBS061097 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 10:35:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1QL6ab6020404; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:28:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1205191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:28:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R2SeCw011504 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:28:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R2Said012568 for ; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:28:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R2SZWN012567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:28:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 20:28:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270228.h1R2SZWN012567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 151E TO 38N 155E 36N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 151E TO 31N 144E 29N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 41N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 170E 44N 180E 27N 180E 31N 170E 43N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 52N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 43N 127E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 24N 131E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 25N 155E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Feb 27 16:49:36 2003 X-UIDL: 18318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAY009M3LL23P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Feb 2003 16:43:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1R8hiBS047751 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 16:43:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R6BYG8020406; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:27:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1209279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1R8RuCw039944 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1R8Rqid015726 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:27:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1R8RqOs015725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:27:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 02:27:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302270827.h1R8RqOs015725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 40N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 154E TO 40N 156E 39N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 157E TO 38N 161E 35N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 157E TO 32N 150E 29N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 140E TO 28N 134E 28N 128E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 43N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 173E 46N 180E 24N 180E 31N 173E 40N 173E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 162E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 40N 120E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 43N 129E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 24N 132E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 163E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 00:53:29 2003 X-UIDL: 18353-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ009KJ7WS3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 00:46:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RGjvBS054428 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 00:45:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RFtKKY044160; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 10:36:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1212722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RES0Cw035920 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RERtid019471 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:27:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RERtsH019470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:27:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 08:27:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302271427.h1RERtsH019470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 40N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 40N 161E 39N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 163E TO 37N 167E 35N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 163E TO 32N 155E 27N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 44N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 174E 48N 180E 30N 180E 35N 174E 44N 174E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 119E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 40N 131E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 171E EAST 40 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 04:43:30 2003 X-UIDL: 18371-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ0099MINV3P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 04:38:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1RKc9BS003168 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 04:38:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RJ9FXY032950; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:30:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1222178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RKSCCw027202 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1RKS7id003059 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:28:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1RKS76I003058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:28:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 14:28:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302272028.h1RKS76I003058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 40N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 160E TO 42N 163E 42N 166E 40N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 168E TO 38N 171E 35N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 168E TO 36N 165E 32N 160E 30N 155E 27N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 46N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 52N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 39N 132E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 180E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 10:57:00 2003 X-UIDL: 18409-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HAZ000MUZ0UUN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 10:31:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S2VaBS072074 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 10:31:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1RMk9Xa014592; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:26:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1229549 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:26:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S2QKCw035314 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:26:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S2QGid011003 for ; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:26:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S2QFQO011002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:26:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Feb 2003 20:26:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280226.h1S2QFQO011002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 41N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 163E TO 44N 167E 43N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 40N 175E 32N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 34N 167E 29N 160E 25N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 47N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 163E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 135E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 17:03:37 2003 X-UIDL: 18458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB000GAVGAZVM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 16:44:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1S8irBS061268 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 16:44:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6BeJI014594; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:36:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1233512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:36:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S8ahCw043054 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:36:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1S8acid014609 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:36:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1S8acfH014608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:36:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 02:36:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302280836.h1S8acfH014608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 43N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 168E TO 45N 169E 44N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 172E TO 42N 178E 39N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 172E TO 33N 168E 28N 163E 24N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 49N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 144E 31N 141E 29N 129E 32N 130E 36N 144E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 139E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 108E TO 30N 117E 29N 125E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Feb 28 22:43:24 2003 X-UIDL: 18490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB0000F6WM4UN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Feb 2003 22:37:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SEbABS031221 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 22:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1S6BeXq014594; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 08:30:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1236947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 08:30:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SEUcCw034302 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 08:30:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1SEUXid018331 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 08:30:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1SEUXod018330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 08:30:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 08:30:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302281430.h1SEUXod018330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 45N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 167E TO 48N 173E 45N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 42N 179E 38N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 35N 171E 27N 165E 23N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 650 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 51N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 30N 121E LOWER CHANG JIANG MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 121E TO 30N 127E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 121E TO 27N 117E 25N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 142E ESE 35 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:36:29 2003 X-UIDL: 18514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB100GCPDC1VM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 04:38:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1SKcIBS008239 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 04:38:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SHU0Xa024738; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 14:28:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1244488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 14:27:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SKRWCw032542 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 14:27:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1SKRSid029786 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 14:27:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1SKRRts029785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 14:27:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 14:27:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302282027.h1SKRRts029785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 46N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 169E TO 48N 174E 47N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 179E TO 44N 177W 41N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 179E TO 43N 180E 39N 177E 35N 173E 31N 171E 25N 166E 21N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 51N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 31N 126E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 126E TO 32N 128E 29N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 126E TO 28N 123E 27N 118E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 118E TO 27N 117E 26N 114E 25N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 52N 128E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 145E ESE 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:37:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB100GZDU1RVM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 10:39:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h212dKBS072227 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 10:39:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1SHU0ts024738; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 20:30:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1249568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 20:30:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212U2Cw011912 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 20:30:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h212Tvid006631 for ; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 20:29:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h212TvT0006630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Feb 2003 20:29:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Feb 2003 20:29:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303010229.h212TvT0006630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 48N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 173E TO 50N 178E 49N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 177W TO 45N 171W 42N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 177W TO 33N 175E 22N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 850 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 52N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 129E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 129E TO 31N 131E 32N 135E 28N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 129E TO 29N 126E 25N 120E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 550 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 38N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 148E ESE 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 17:37:51 2003 X-UIDL: 18547-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB20050AAGA2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 16:33:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h218XeBS033696 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 16:33:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srLw024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 02:28:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1252375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 02:28:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h218SECw042894 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 02:28:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h218S9id009082 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 02:28:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h218S90U009081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 02:28:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 02:28:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303010828.h218S90U009081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 50N 175E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 173E TO 54N 179E 52N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 173W TO 50N 167W 46N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 173W TO 36N 179W 20N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 53N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 34N 133E SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 133E TO 33N 137E 28N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 133E TO 29N 131E 24N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 39N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 51N 139E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 33N 118E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 152E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 01 22:45:29 2003 X-UIDL: 18562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB2005G5RDM2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Mar 2003 22:39:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h21EdGBS093098 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 22:39:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srTE024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:27:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1254674 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h21ERaCw033748 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:27:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h21ERVid011360 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:27:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h21ERVUe011359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:27:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 08:27:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303011427.h21ERVUe011359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 35N 138E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 138E TO 33N 141E 28N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 138E TO 30N 136E 24N 128E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 40N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 51N 176E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 175E TO 56N 178W 56N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 169W TO 53N 162W 50N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 169W TO 48N 171W 38N 177W 26N 177E 20N 173E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 51N 141E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 121E EAST 35 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 156E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 04:45:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18576-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB3005S28002T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 04:38:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h21KcIBS052925 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 04:38:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212srl2024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 14:28:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1259463 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 14:28:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h21KSGCw011358 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 14:28:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h21KSBid014805 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 14:28:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h21KSBZn014804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 14:28:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 14:28:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303012028.h21KSBZn014804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 36N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 33N 145E 30N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 28N 138E 23N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 850 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 42N 156E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 54N 178E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 165E 42N 180E 25N 180E 31N 167E 44N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 118E EAST 35 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 52N 142E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 123E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 159E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 10:45:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB3005PLOMQ2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 10:37:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h222bRjU033975 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 10:37:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h212sr4m024740; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:28:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1263122 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:28:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h222SeCw037770 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:28:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h222SZid017519 for ; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:28:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h222SZBi017518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:28:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Mar 2003 20:28:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303020228.h222SZBi017518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 38N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 145E TO 37N 146E 36N 147E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 147E TO 32N 151E 26N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 147E TO 32N 146E 27N 141E 24N 136E 23N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 43N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 54N 177E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 115E LOWER YELLOW RIVER MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 115E TO 36N 117E 35N 120E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 115E TO 35N 113E 33N 109E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 170E 42N 180E 27N 180E 30N 172E 42N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI YELLOW SEA SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 170E 60N 170E 60N 180E 46N 180E 48N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 51N 144E NE 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 170W NNE 30 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 125E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 164E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 170W TO 39N 166W 35N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 170W TO 33N 171W 21N 177E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 177E TO 21N 175E 20N 171E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 19:34:44 2003 X-UIDL: 18606-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400LB05IYEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 16:42:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h228gRjU089428 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 16:42:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dFw032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:34:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1265958 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:34:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h228Y3Cw043304 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:34:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h228Xwid019755 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:33:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h228Xw6r019754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:33:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 02:33:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303020833.h228Xw6r019754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 39N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 148E TO 40N 149E 39N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 151E TO 37N 155E 33N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 151E TO 31N 149E 23N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 45N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 54N 177E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 118E LOWER YELLOW RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 118E TO 39N 121E 39N 125E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 118E TO 35N 116E 33N 111E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 170E 39N 180E 27N 180E 29N 171E 39N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 51N 144E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 29N 131E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 166E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 02 23:03:25 2003 X-UIDL: 18617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB400LX6M3DEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Mar 2003 22:40:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22EeJjU044933 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 22:40:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dNW032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:29:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1268370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:29:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22ETsCw021790 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:29:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22ETnid021870 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:29:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22ETnD2021869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:29:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 08:29:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303021429.h22ETnD2021869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 40N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 151E TO 41N 154E 39N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 155E TO 36N 159E 32N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 155E TO 32N 155E 23N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 47N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 55N 178E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 129E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 129E TO 40N 133E 39N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 129E TO 35N 126E 33N 118E 31N 116E 31N 113E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 174E 39N 180E 31N 180E 33N 175E 39N 174E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 51N 145E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 137E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 172E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 10:09:43 2003 X-UIDL: 18631-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB500LSN2KWEB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:36:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h22KaMjU011329 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:36:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22FQ5mS022368; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:29:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1272319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:26:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h22KQHCw005796 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:26:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h22KQCid024765 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:26:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h22KQCUf024764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:26:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 14:26:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303022026.h22KQCUf024764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 41N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 153E TO 44N 156E 42N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 159E TO 39N 163E 35N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 159E TO 35N 160E 28N 157E 24N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 49N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 57N 179E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 550 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 134E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 134E TO 40N 137E 40N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 134E TO 36N 130E 33N 124E 30N 119E 28N 112E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 51N 148E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 27N 142E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 179W EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 11:50:57 2003 X-UIDL: 18647-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB500ECNJ01QQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 10:31:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h232V6jU069573 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 10:31:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2263dwG032464; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:26:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1276717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h232QpCw042784 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h232Qkid027789 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:26:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h232Qkv0027788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:26:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 20:26:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303030226.h232Qkv0027788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 44N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 159E TO 42N 164E 38N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 166E TO 34N 167E 32N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 166E TO 31N 164E 25N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 53N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 41N 139E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 139E TO 40N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 139E TO 37N 135E 34N 131E 30N 129E 28N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 168E 60N 180E 49N 180E 53N 170E 60N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 149E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 148E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 180E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 16:10:34 2003 X-UIDL: 18660-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB500EUWR7FQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 13:28:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h235SLjU010686 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 13:28:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h234xsEO007710; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1277934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h235IdCw044510 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h235IXid029054 for ; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h235IXwF029052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Mar 2003 23:18:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303030518.h235IXwF029052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 030600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/KUMAGA/STATEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 03 16:40:25 2003 X-UIDL: 18668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB500E7VZW8QQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 16:36:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h238a1jU058245 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 16:36:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h2362GIO042870; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:27:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1279491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:27:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h238RJCw009512 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:27:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h238REid000187 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:27:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h238REHi000186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:27:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 02:27:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303030827.h238REHi000186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 46N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 161E TO 46N 165E 44N 168E 42N 169E 40N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 169E TO 37N 172E 36N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 169E TO 35N 169E 30N 167E 27N 165E 24N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 55N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 42N 141E HOKKAIDO MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 141E TO 42N 143E 41N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 141E TO 38N 140E 34N 136E 28N 132E 25N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 151E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 44N 114E SE 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 156E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 00:35:57 2003 X-UIDL: 18690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600ER4GL5QQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:36:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23EaZjU037629 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 22:36:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h234xsvQ007710; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:27:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1282524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h23ERRCw004624 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23ERMid003618 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:27:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23ERMk6003617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:27:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 08:27:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303031427.h23ERMk6003617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 48N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 162E TO 47N 169E 43N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 40N 175E 39N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 38N 173E 33N 172E 28N 169E 25N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 55N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 42N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 144E TO 41N 144E 40N 144E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 144E TO 38N 148E 36N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 144E TO 37N 143E 35N 140E 29N 134E 24N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 54N 152E NNE 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 44N 114E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 159E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 06:03:32 2003 X-UIDL: 18708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB600EWWXIFQQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 04:42:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h23Kg8jU024558 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 04:42:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7jM012678; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:27:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1287906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KRtiw028492 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h23KRnid016633 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:27:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h23KRn9G016632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:27:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 14:27:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303032027.h23KRn9G016632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 49N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 165E TO 45N 171E 43N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 173E TO 39N 177E 36N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 173E TO 33N 175E 25N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 56N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 58N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 41N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 148E TO 39N 151E 36N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 148E TO 36N 146E 30N 138E 26N 132E 23N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 43N 146E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 43N 115E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 164E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 49N 175W ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 10:57:48 2003 X-UIDL: 18729-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GDAE8QAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 10:43:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h242hWjU004199 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 10:43:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h23KP7EI024502; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:27:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1293299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h242Rhiw043516 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:27:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h242Rcid024657 for ; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:27:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h242Rcar024656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:27:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 20:27:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040227.h242Rcar024656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 43N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 151E TO 41N 156E 37N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 151E TO 37N 151E 30N 144E 26N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 43N 146E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 167E 56N 165E 55N 180E 35N 180E 43N 174E 50N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 149E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 49N 113E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 168E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 04 16:43:37 2003 X-UIDL: 18749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB700GDLUNBAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 16:37:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h248bqjU094995 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 16:37:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h247mBjK024504; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:26:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1296820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:26:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h248Qriw025794 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h248Qmid028144 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:26:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h248Qm3Q028143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:26:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 02:26:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303040826.h248Qm3Q028143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 46N 153E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 153E TO 45N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 156E TO 40N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 156E TO 37N 154E 31N 147E 27N 140E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 50N 154E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 54N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 43N 149E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 167E 60N 164E 60N 180E 44N 180E 51N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 150E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 120E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 169E NNE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 00:08:57 2003 X-UIDL: 18768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GZOB7EAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Mar 2003 22:35:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24EZUjU073287 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 22:35:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h247mBwQ024504; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 08:26:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1299592 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 08:26:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24EQQiw041086 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 08:26:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24EQLid002164 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 08:26:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24EQKRU002163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 08:26:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 08:26:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041426.h24EQKRU002163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 49N 154E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTH 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 154E TO 49N 158E 46N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 160E TO 42N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 160E TO 40N 159E 36N 155E 26N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 58N 154E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 43N 152E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 175E 39N 180E 32N 180E 33N 176E 39N 175E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 56N 151E NNE SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 171E NE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 02:09:28 2003 X-UIDL: 18776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GXPKL6AH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:58:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24HwCjU020751 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 01:58:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h248L1f6016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1302715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24Hrkiw037614 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24Hrfid009970 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24Hrfjo009964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 11:53:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303041753.h24Hrfjo009964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 041700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/041700Z/050600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041351ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6S9 154.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 041500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.1S3 152.1E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED TCFA TO TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. 4. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 05:31:59 2003 X-UIDL: 18796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB800GTLU4GAH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 05:24:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h24LO5jU074500 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 05:24:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24IDJNU016424; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:14:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1306965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:14:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24LEUiw026440 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:14:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h24LEOid017983 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:14:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h24LEO2A017982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:14:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 15:14:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303042114.h24LEO2A017982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 53N 155E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 155E TO 52N 159E 48N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 161E TO 46N 164E 42N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 161E TO 41N 162E 37N 159E 30N 154E 22N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 59N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 48N 156E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 130E 31N 133E 27N 131E 28N 126E 31N 130E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 41N 121E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 172E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 10:42:00 2003 X-UIDL: 18816-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008D98KFVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 10:36:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h252aAjU035246 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 10:36:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h24J4TIk014804; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:30:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1311372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:30:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h252Uiiw033942 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:30:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h252Udid024274 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:30:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h252UdcR024273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:30:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 20:30:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050230.h252UdcR024273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 55N 154E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 60N 146E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 52N 156E MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 134E 25N 128E 28N 124E 32N 128E 30N 134E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 42N 125E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 172E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 164E TO 36N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 164E TO 33N 158E 27N 153E 23N 146E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 13:48:11 2003 X-UIDL: 18833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008FAHC1VJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 13:45:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h255jVMh029192 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 13:45:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2538Rrc018648; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1313917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h255friw019814 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h255flid026063 for ; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h255flUA026061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 23:41:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050541.h255flUA026061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050451ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A CORRECTED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2S4 154.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND WAS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 050300 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 18:39:51 2003 X-UIDL: 18851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HB9008ICP10VJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 16:31:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h258VgMh075761 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 16:31:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25677ns018650; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:27:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1315444 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:27:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h258RUiw037556 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:27:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h258ROid027474 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:27:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h258RO5r027473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:27:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 02:27:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303050827.h258RO5r027473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 050600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 58N 153E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 58N 142E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 136E 24N 130E 34N 126E 33N 136E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 130E 30N 122E 34N 126E 24N 130E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 134E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 164E TO 34N 166E 32N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 164E TO 32N 162E 29N 159E 25N 155E 23N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 112E TO 25N 116E 27N 119E 26N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 05 22:51:36 2003 X-UIDL: 18879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA008775ZQVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Mar 2003 22:38:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25Ec8Mh076177 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 22:38:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25CRjpk011044; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:30:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1318658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:30:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25EU8iw021990 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:30:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25EU2id001967 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:30:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25EU2Yc001966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:30:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 08:30:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303051430.h25EU2Yc001966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 59N 148E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 166E 60N 180E 42N 180E 46N 165E 60N 166E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 148E 43N 158E 29N 160E 28N 149E 39N 148E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 131E 35N 140E 27N 140E 26N 132E 32N 131E FOR NEXT 12HOURS . GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 130E 32N 131E 26N 132E 27N 124E 34N 124E 35N 130E FOR NEXT 12HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 166E NNE 25 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 43N 127E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 136E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 166E TO 36N 168E 33N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 166E TO 33N 165E 30N 161E 26N 159E 23N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 111E TO 25N 118E 29N 124E 28N 129E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 05:20:13 2003 X-UIDL: 18896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBA008AGMUFVJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 04:42:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25Kg8Mh075315 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 04:42:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25CRjgi011044; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:31:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1327013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:28:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25KSciw040828 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h25KSTid016026 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:28:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h25KSTMD016023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:28:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 14:28:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303052028.h25KSTMD016023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 30N 125E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 125E TO 30N 127E 29N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 125E TO 27N 122E 24N 119E 23N 113E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 169E TO 39N 172E 36N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 169E TO 36N 167E 31N 165E 26N 161E 22N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 168E 60N 180E 44N 180E 46N 169E 60N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 60N 145E WEST 20 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 38N 138E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 12:49:06 2003 X-UIDL: 18908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DMG3LY1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 10:44:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h262iFMh061796 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 10:44:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h25N2ouA011932; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:35:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1332597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:35:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h262ZAiw005146 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:35:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h262Z4id024169 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:35:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h262Z4fp024168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:35:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 20:35:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060235.h262Z4fp024168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 126E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 126E TO 29N 129E 25N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 126E TO 27N 126E 24N 121E 22N 114E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1010 HPA AT 44N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 169E TO 41N 174E 36N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 169E TO 36N 171E 30N 166E 23N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 162E 60N 180E 44N 180E 46N 171E 60N 162E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 146E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 43N 131E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 38N 141E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 16:39:24 2003 X-UIDL: 18918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB00DK7BZX1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:45:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h265jRMh009745 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 13:45:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h262vasY045464; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:38:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1334996 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:37:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h265bkiw009624 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:37:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h265beid026401 for ; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:37:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h265beTn026399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:37:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Mar 2003 23:37:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060537.h265beTn026399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= ABPW10 PGTW 060600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6S4 154.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, AND WAS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 060300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8S5 154.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA IN WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/STATEN/KUMAGA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 06 16:39:31 2003 X-UIDL: 18933-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBB0031TJVEZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 16:35:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h268ZXMh055188 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 16:35:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669LoK045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:30:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1337035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:30:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h268UFiw041720 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h268UAid028091 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:30:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h268UARW028090 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:30:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 02:30:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303060830.h268UARW028090@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 32N 128E TO 31N 130E. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 27N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 28N 129E 23N 122E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 173E TO 34N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 173E TO 30N 168E 24N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 161E MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 58N 146E SOUTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 135E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 145E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 00:30:57 2003 X-UIDL: 18954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC00D6S12O1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Mar 2003 22:47:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26El6Mh045532 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 22:47:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2669L7c045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 08:38:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1340456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 08:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26ESoiw007836 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 08:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26ESjid002236 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 08:28:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26ESjie002235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 08:28:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 08:28:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303061428.h26ESjie002235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 130E KYUSYU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 29N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 25N 129E 23N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 36N 140E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 57N 147E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 162E NW SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 174E NNE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 29N 112E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 147E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 174E TO 35N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 174E TO 32N 172E 24N 164E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:51 2003 X-UIDL: 18974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC00DCHH6Z1U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 04:35:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26KZFMh040599 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 04:35:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JKiwC045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:27:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1349095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:27:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26KRXiw005598 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:27:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h26KRRid014239 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:27:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h26KRRM8014238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:27:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 14:27:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303062027.h26KRRM8014238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 32N 133E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 133E TO 31N 136E 29N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 133E TO 28N 133E 23N 129E 22N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 34N 139E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 38N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 176E TO 39N 178E 37N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 176E TO 36N 175E 30N 172E 24N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 158E WNW 30 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 11:13:56 2003 X-UIDL: 18993-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBC003JOY2JZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 10:39:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h272diMh021367 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 10:39:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JKiOS045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 20:30:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1354946 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 20:30:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h272Utiw031742 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 20:30:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h272Unid021202 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 20:30:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h272Un3U021201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 20:30:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 20:30:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070230.h272Un3U021201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 34N 136E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 136E TO 33N 141E 29N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 136E TO 27N 133E 22N 126E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 38N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 41N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 175E TO 41N 177E 39N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 178E TO 38N 179W 36N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 178E TO 33N 178E 26N 169E 24N 166E 22N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1016 HPA AT 40N 163E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 57N 154E WNW 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 152E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 14:22:39 2003 X-UIDL: 19004-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD0039Z74NZM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 13:55:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h275tUMh071595 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 13:55:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h26JKiZQ045466; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1357343 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h275lgiw005734 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h275laid023408 for ; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h275laTK023406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 23:47:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070547.h275laTK023406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.8S5 154.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 153.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 480 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA IN MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 07 16:42:31 2003 X-UIDL: 19016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD002LSEKR8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 16:36:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h278aJMh015821 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 16:36:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276AsmQ044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 02:27:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1358886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 02:27:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h278Qviw011246 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 02:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h278Qpid024547 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 02:26:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h278Qpif024546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 02:26:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 02:26:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303070826.h278Qpif024546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 34N 140E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 140E TO 32N 144E 28N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 140E TO 31N 141E 24N 135E 19N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 6 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 39N 148E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 998 HPA AT 38N 137E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 179E TO 41N 180E 40N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 180E TO 38N 176W 36N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 180E TO 36N 179W 26N 172E 20N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1016 HPA AT 39N 163E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 57N 150E WEST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 154E ENE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:41:51 2003 X-UIDL: 19035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBD002MIV728R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Mar 2003 22:35:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27EZJMh001435 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 22:35:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h276Asx2044404; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:29:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1361520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:28:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27ESliw025228 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:28:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27EScid027843 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:28:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27EScvc027842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:28:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 08:28:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303071428.h27EScvc027842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 37N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 142E TO 36N 143E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 33N 147E 28N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 31N 144E 26N 140E 21N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 40N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 39N 138E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 179E TO 43N 179W 41N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 177W TO 39N 174W 35N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 177W TO 35N 177W 29N 177E 22N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 57N 146E WSW 20 KT. LOW 1018 HPA AT 38N 166E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 30N 115E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 53N 127E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 46N 154E NORTH 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 08:42:06 2003 X-UIDL: 19056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002W8BQK8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:32:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27KWcMh006935 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 04:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27IEbtm023644; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:27:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1366724 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:27:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27KR1iw017148 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h27KQtid010141 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:26:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h27KQt6J010140 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:26:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 14:26:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303072026.h27KQt6J010140@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 37N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 36N 145E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 145E TO 34N 149E 30N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 145E TO 29N 146E 23N 142E 19N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 40N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 39N 139E GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 45N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 178E TO 43N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 176W TO 36N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 176W TO 35N 176W 29N 178E 25N 174E 22N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 56N 146E NNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 47N 156E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 168E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 10:51:58 2003 X-UIDL: 19071-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002ZLT7S8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 10:50:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h282o9Mh080668 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 10:50:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27NQBqS019428; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 20:33:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1371288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 20:33:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h282X9iw019778 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 20:33:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h282X3id016985 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 20:33:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h282X3wJ016984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 20:33:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 20:33:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080233.h282X3wJ016984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 38N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 146E TO 39N 148E 36N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 150E TO 34N 152E 32N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 150E TO 26N 147E 21N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 40N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 45N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 179E TO 45N 175W 42N 171W. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 171W TO 38N 167W 35N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 171W TO 34N 173W 28N 178E 25N 174E 22N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 126E 26N 130E 20N 129E 19N 121E 15N 117E 22N 113E 26N 120E 24N 123E 26N 126E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 167E 54N 160E 54N 180E 49N 180E 46N 173E 40N 171E 40N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 1024 HPA AT 55N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 37N 108E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 51N 153E ENE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:06 2003 X-UIDL: 19076-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBE002NSUC08R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:14:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h283EJMh086073 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 11:14:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h27NQBrg019428; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1371580 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2837eiw017464 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2837Yid017267 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2837Y0x017265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 21:07:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080307.h2837Y0x017265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/080300Z/080600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 153.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9S3 153.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICT INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR AREA. 4. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:09 2003 X-UIDL: 19086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF002FB1FY8R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:47:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h285lpMh022377 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 13:47:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h285AEkw044372; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:38:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1372848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:38:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h285c2iw026526 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:38:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h285boid018196 for ; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:37:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h285boJw018194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:37:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 23:37:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080537.h285boJw018194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9S3 153.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 154.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 08 21:38:11 2003 X-UIDL: 19095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF009Z399VVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 16:37:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h288b1Mh055409 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 16:37:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFrS019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:30:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1374213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:30:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h288UFiw035402 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h288U9id019226 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:30:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h288U9Tw019225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:30:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 02:30:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303080830.h288U9Tw019225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 39N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 146E TO 41N 149E 40N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 153E TO 34N 157E 28N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 153E TO 32N 152E 26N 144E 20N 138E 16N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 41N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 45N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 179E TO 47N 177W 46N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 173W TO 45N 169W 42N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 173W TO 35N 172W 28N 177E 25N 174E 23N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 134E 18N 134E 13N 110E 21N 110E 23N 116E 23N 134E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1024 HPA AT 55N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:07 2003 X-UIDL: 19107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBF0094BPPYVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Mar 2003 22:32:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28EWGMh022269 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 22:32:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aF1C019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:28:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1376289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:28:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28ESMiw017532 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:28:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28ESGid021544 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:28:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28ESFIH021543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:28:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 08:28:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303081428.h28ESFIH021543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 39N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 148E TO 41N 151E 40N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 33N 160E 27N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 29N 153E 20N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 41N 154E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 44N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 180E TO 47N 173W 44N 163W. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 163W TO 42N 159W 40N 157W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 163W TO 35N 167W 30N 177W 27N 179E 24N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 16N 120E 15N 113E 22N 111E 25N 120E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009Y96EZVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 04:32:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28KWnMh097965 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 04:32:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28KMVjK020730; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 14:26:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1379913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 14:26:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28KQDiw005914 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 14:26:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h28KQ7id024680 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 14:26:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h28KQ7go024679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 14:26:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 14:26:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303082026.h28KQ7go024679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 40N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 149E TO 41N 153E 39N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 156E TO 35N 159E 30N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 156E TO 28N 154E 22N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 42N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 43N 177W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 176W TO 47N 170W 46N 166W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 166W TO 45N 162W 42N 157W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 166W TO 42N 163W 33N 170W 26N 179E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 124E 19N 129E 17N 116E 22N 113E 24N 118E 28N 121E 28N 124E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 19133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009E8IS5VE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 09:00:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h290xx8U024855 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 09:00:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28KkpB6041146; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1382657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h290qBiw029748 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h290q5id026903 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h290q4eV026901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 18:52:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090052.h290q4eV026901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 090100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/090100Z/090600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 154.1E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 154.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 14.0S5 172.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA, PARA 2.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:00 2003 X-UIDL: 19138-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009TZN4YVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 10:34:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h292Y48U041284 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 10:34:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h28KkpLu041146; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1383687 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h292RLiw011224 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h292RFid027453 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h292RFbt027449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090227.h292RFbt027449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 40N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 150E TO 41N 158E 36N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 161E TO 32N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 161E TO 28N 156E 21N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 41N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 115E 21N 122E 23N 132E 24N 139E 19N 137E 15N 129E 17N 117E 23N 115E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 174E 49N 180E 34N 180E 37N 175E 49N 174E. SUMMARY. LOW 1028 HPA AT 59N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 29N 173E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:02 2003 X-UIDL: 19145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBG009RGW6NVE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 13:49:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h295nT8U074682 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 13:49:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFcG019432; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:43:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1385653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h295gkiw009564 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h295gbid028654 for ; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h295gb8L028652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Mar 2003 23:42:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090542.h295gb8L028652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 154.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 154.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 595 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0S5 172.0E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S2 172.2E2 APPROXIMATELY 330 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A DEVELOPING LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSEE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 09 18:40:04 2003 X-UIDL: 19151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH009KQ3N3F2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 16:30:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h298UX8U002966 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 16:30:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h284aFeW019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:27:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1386736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:27:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h298RAiw014734 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:27:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h298R4id029643 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:27:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h298R4DP029642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:27:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 02:27:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303090827.h298R4DP029642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 40N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 153E TO 43N 157E 41N 160E 40N 162E 38N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 163E TO 35N 165E 34N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 163E TO 33N 162E 31N 160E 26N 157E 22N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 42N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 138E 16N 136E 10N 118E 15N 112E 22N 121E 22N 130E 25N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 1028 HPA AT 60N 148E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 36N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 48N 132E SE 20 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 29N 176E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:49:56 2003 X-UIDL: 19165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBH00999KIWF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Mar 2003 22:35:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29EZD8U078754 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 22:35:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClMqY019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:27:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1389600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:27:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29EQwiw045540 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:27:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29EQqid002034 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:26:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29EQqP7002033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:26:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 08:26:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303091426.h29EQqP7002033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 40N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 155E TO 43N 157E 42N 161E 41N 163E 40N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 165E TO 36N 170E 31N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 165E TO 32N 165E 25N 160E 20N 155E 16N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 42N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 135E 13N 130E 18N 121E 20N 113E 22N 114E 24N 118E 19N 135E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 168E 58N 180E 49N 180E 51N 168E 55N 168E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 34N 122E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 29N 178E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:08 2003 X-UIDL: 19176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI0096C15LF2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 04:34:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29KYR8U055445 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 04:34:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29Jeco0014732; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 14:27:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1394904 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 14:27:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29KR9iw028732 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 14:27:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h29KR3id004396 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 14:27:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h29KR3n0004395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 14:27:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 14:27:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303092027.h29KR3n0004395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 978 HPA AT 40N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 42N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 41N 165E MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 132E 13N 131E 08N 117E 09N 110E 18N 110E 22N 113E 24N 118E 23N 132E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 171E 60N 170E 60N 180E 46N 180E 50N 171E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 45N 175W ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1048 HPA AT 56N 134E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 21N 178E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 29N 177W EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 165E TO 36N 172E 30N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 165E TO 36N 168E 29N 165E 22N 159E 19N 155E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 09:50:13 2003 X-UIDL: 19184-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00KO4DMWLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:04:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A1418U099792 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 09:04:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClMRS019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1398077 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A0xoiw014882 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A0xiid006051 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A0xiQl006049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 18:59:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100059.h2A0xiQl006049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 100100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/100100Z/100600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4S7 154.8E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8S0 157.6E9, APPROXIMATELY 755 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED VISIBLE, MULTISPECTRAL, AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICT CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE LLCC IS MOVING EASTWARD IN EQUATORIAL WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.8S2 172.2E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 172.7E7 APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED VISIBLE, MULTISPECTRAL, ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY, AND A 091848Z0 QUIKSCAT PASS REVEAL CONTINUED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 100030) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.1.(2) TO GOOD. 4. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 10:56:50 2003 X-UIDL: 19191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00KF4HUSLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 10:35:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A2ZA8U025698 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 10:35:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h29ClMTq019432; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:26:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1399057 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A2Qpiw033840 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A2Qiid006549 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:26:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A2QiwB006548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:26:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 20:26:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100226.h2A2QiwB006548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 42N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 167E TO 39N 173E 35N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 175E TO 33N 178E 31N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 175E TO 27N 169E 20N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 44N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 40N 160E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 121E 19N 122E 14N 109E 21N 110E 29N 121E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1048 HPA AT 56N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 13:46:28 2003 X-UIDL: 19201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00KPHPUMLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 13:27:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A5Rq8U071694 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 13:27:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A42Iqg014732; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1401298 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A5JSiw033896 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A5JMid007816 for ; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A5JMWM007814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Mar 2003 23:19:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100519.h2A5JMWM007814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100021ZMAR2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 22P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8S0 157.6E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 157.6E9, APPROXIMATELY 750 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR BUT MAY BE REGENERATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 172.7E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3S9 172.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS CONTINUED ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 100030) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 16:51:59 2003 X-UIDL: 19214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBI00K8EYCVLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 16:31:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A8Va8U017895 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 16:31:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHma019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:26:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1403231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:26:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A8Qciw035412 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:26:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2A8QWid008929 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:26:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2A8QWmc008928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:26:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:26:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303100826.h2A8QWmc008928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 43N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 171E TO 38N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 179E TO 34N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 179E TO 30N 177E 20N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 44N 176W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 978 HPA AT 41N 164E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 113E 25N 119E 21N 124E 18N 118E 19N 112E 22N 113E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 23:59:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00KSXFS6LA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 22:48:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AElx8U013372 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 22:48:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHxs019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:26:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1405704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:26:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AEQLiw024352 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:26:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AEQFid012335 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:26:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AEQF3f012334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:26:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:26:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101426.h2AEQF3f012334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 42N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 179E TO 39N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 176W TO 35N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 176W TO 32N 179W 21N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 750 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 43N 175W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 974 HPA AT 42N 170E MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 116E 26N 120E 25N 126E 21N 122E 23N 116E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 10 23:59:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19239-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00K7ZH7ULA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Mar 2003 23:19:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AFJ08U021853 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 23:19:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GH1k019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:59:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1406080 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AEwtiw026398 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AEwmid013261 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AEwmMV013259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 08:58:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303101458.h2AEwmMV013259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES ABPW10 PGTW 101430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/101430Z/110600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101352ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 157.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, AND WAS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 09:47:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19250-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBJ00KEJVYLLA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:37:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AKbS8U003193 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 04:37:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2A6GHVi019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:26:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1411818 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2AKQqiw007244 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2AKQjid024552 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:26:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2AKQj38024551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:26:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 14:26:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303102026.h2AKQj38024551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 43N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 180E TO 42N 173W 39N 170W. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 170W TO 35N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 170W TO 32N 174W 28N 180E 25N 173E 20N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 41N 171E GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 121E 25N 131E 17N 124E 18N 112E 22N 114E 27N 121E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 10:40:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBK00GUACM5XR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:37:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B2bB8U086399 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 10:37:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2ANAdxW019432; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 20:28:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1417870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 20:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B2S1iw025168 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 20:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2B2Rsid001067 for ; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 20:27:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2B2RsCA001066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Mar 2003 20:27:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 20:27:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303110227.h2B2RsCA001066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 42N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 1200 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 43N 176W MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 26N 143E ESE 10 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 20N 164E TO 23N 173E 26N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 19:02:52 2003 X-UIDL: 19301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBK00GVYTANXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 16:37:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B8bRA7092587 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 16:37:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75Tks039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 02:27:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1421505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 02:27:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B8RXiw004406 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 02:27:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2B8RQid004788 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 02:27:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2B8RQJZ004787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 02:27:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 02:27:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303110827.h2B8RQJZ004787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 43N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 1200 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 44N 175W GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 139E 19N 148E 13N 132E 23N 117E 34N 139E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 27N 145E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 11 23:30:38 2003 X-UIDL: 19328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GHQ9XBXR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Mar 2003 22:36:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BEaeA7083993 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 22:36:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75Tuc039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:27:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1423918 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:27:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BERZiw037248 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:27:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BERRid008835 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:27:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BERRqv008834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:27:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 08:27:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303111427.h2BERRqv008834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 25N 149E WEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 43N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 44N 174W MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:05:52 2003 X-UIDL: 19350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBL00GN1QT3XR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 04:41:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKfLA7082010 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 04:41:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2B75Tfm039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:27:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1431657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:27:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKRciw033180 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:27:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2BKRTid021700 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:27:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2BKRT5M021699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:27:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 14:27:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303112027.h2BKRT5M021699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 147E 60N 163E 60N 180E 50N 179E 43N 162E 50N 147E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 138E 25N 149E 12N 140E 11N 126E 22N 130E 26N 136E 30N 138E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 147E 42N 163E 26N 149E 31N 139E 50N 147E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 25N 152E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 10:44:07 2003 X-UIDL: 19379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CK372V9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 10:32:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C2WiA7063152 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 10:32:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2BKvMDi039212; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:26:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1437634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:26:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C2QKiw005688 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:26:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C2QCid028312 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:26:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C2QCCm028311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:26:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 20:26:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120226.h2C2QCCm028311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 57N 154E 52N 170E 35N 158E 37N 150E 42N 144E 57N 154E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 134E 28N 144E 14N 143E 13N 129E 21N 133E 29N 134E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 24N 159E EAST 35 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 49N 171E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 14:16:25 2003 X-UIDL: 19398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CB6GA29H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 13:51:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C5pRA7020664 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 13:51:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C4ANsw019434; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:44:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1439670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:44:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C5i5iw047132 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:44:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C5huid029954 for ; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:43:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C5huY5029952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:43:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 23:43:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120543.h2C5huY5029952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111951ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110152ZMAR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTHWEST OF VANUATU, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 16:47:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CDHOEK9H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 16:47:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C8l1A7073612 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 16:47:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3o2006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 02:28:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1441236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 02:28:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C8Sviw018674 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 02:28:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C8Smid001169 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 02:28:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C8SmMk001168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 02:28:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 02:28:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120828.h2C8SmMk001168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 145E 51N 140E 60N 180E 51N 180E 48N 165E 35N 154E 33N 145E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 46N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 40N 131E ESE SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 17:57:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBM00CJTRI59H@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:54:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9rsA7094996 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 17:53:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C6A3pc006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1441716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2C9kFiw014160 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2C9k6id001885 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2C9k6rT001883 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 03:46:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303120946.h2C9k6rT001883@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/120900Z/130600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/111951ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110152ZMAR2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120753ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTHWEST OF VANUATU, TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 12 23:10:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN001NS5ASAM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Mar 2003 22:52:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CEpuA7066727 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 22:51:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CBx52M043500; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 08:37:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1444406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 08:37:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CEbdiw019270 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 08:37:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CEbUid005291 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 08:37:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CEbU0q005290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 08:37:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 08:37:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303121437.h2CEbU0q005290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 150E 57N 144E 58N 160E 34N 160E 34N 150E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 160E 60N 180E 51N 180E 50N 160E 60N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 164E WNW 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 43N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 40N 132E ESE SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 05:00:10 2003 X-UIDL: 19482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBN0010GLZDAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 04:52:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CKq9A7072410 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 04:52:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CIuH6I043500; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:29:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1451021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:27:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CKRoiw017444 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:27:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2CKRfid016656 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:27:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2CKRfWK016655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:27:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:27:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303122027.h2CKRfWK016655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 146E 40N 161E 35N 169E 30N 160E 34N 151E 40N 146E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 158E 56N 163E 57N 180E 51N 180E 52N 158E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 163E WEST 10 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 12:39:18 2003 X-UIDL: 19502-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001FL239AM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 10:40:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D2eEA7056705 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 10:40:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2IGw006120; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:34:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1456762 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D2VSiw020514 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D2VFid023552 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D2VFDu023551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 20:31:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130231.h2D2VFDu023551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 160E 57N 163E 58N 180E 52N 180E 53N 160E. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 149E 40N 159E 33N 161E 34N 150E 41N 149E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 173W TO 28N 180E 20N 169E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 13:43:28 2003 X-UIDL: 19512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001NEAIXAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 13:42:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D5gRA7005245 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 13:42:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D3AH5c039354; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1459906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D5Xtiw009618 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D5Xkid026095 for ; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D5XkqJ026093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 23:33:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130533.h2D5XkqJ026093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130151ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130152ZMAR2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121953ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8S8 162.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9S2 177.8W3, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF NUKU ALOFA, TONGA, TRACKING EASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 16:33:28 2003 X-UIDL: 19528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO001YCICFAJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 16:31:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D8VKA7050597 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 16:31:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2CL2IhA006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:26:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1462276 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:26:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2D8Qjiw005332 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2D8Qaid027589 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:26:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2D8Qa0h027588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:26:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 02:26:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303130826.h2D8Qa0h027588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 145E 56N 157E 53N 168E 38N 172E 28N 168E 35N 156E 48N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 44N 173E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 48N 117E ESE 25 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 170W TO 25N 178W 19N 172E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 13 22:47:48 2003 X-UIDL: 19556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBO00AK4ZOPIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Mar 2003 22:46:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DEjsA7049103 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 22:45:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DCGI5c039354; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1465919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DEZNiw045148 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DEZEid001886 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DEZEIJ001882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 08:35:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303131435.h2DEZEIJ001882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. NO WARNING. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 50N 159E WEST 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 174E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 48N 116E SE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 05:09:23 2003 X-UIDL: 19577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00AQLGI9IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 04:49:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DKnDA7051274 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 04:49:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rl8006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 14:27:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1474406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 14:27:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DKRCiw014258 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 14:27:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2DKR3id016022 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 14:27:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2DKR3rT016020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 14:27:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 14:27:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303132027.h2DKR3rT016020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 145E 48N 152E 41N 163E 34N 149E 40N 142E 43N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 50N 159E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 43N 174E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 37N 135E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 28N 138E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 15:37:15 2003 X-UIDL: 19610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBP00A20WH3IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 10:34:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E2Y8A7036072 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 10:34:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6rLu006120; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:27:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1480906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:27:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E2Rfiw042806 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:27:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E2ROid023757 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:27:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E2ROnC023756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:27:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 20:27:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140227.h2E2ROnC023756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 146E 49N 151E 42N 160E 38N 153E 41N 146E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 119E 20N 117E 20N 113E 22N 114E 24N 119E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 50N 157E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 178E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 36N 136E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 28N 140E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 15:37:17 2003 X-UIDL: 19623-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00AID4E3IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 13:25:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E5P7A7086735 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 13:25:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E11QMW039356; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1483440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E5GViw017104 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E5GKid025273 for ; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E5GK6Q025271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 23:16:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140516.h2E5GK6Q025271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131951ZMAR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140152ZMAR2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 132100Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2S5 164.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 125 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 131800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1S7 166.8W1, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, TRACKING EASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 14 16:35:55 2003 X-UIDL: 19635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ00ARBCYCIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 16:30:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E8U5A7042628 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 16:30:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2DK6reY006120; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:25:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1485577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:25:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E8P0iw034648 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:25:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2E8Onid026560 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:24:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2E8OnG7026559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:24:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 02:24:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303140824.h2E8OnG7026559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 152E 41N 165E 36N 169E 36N 155E 42N 152E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 20N 120E 19N 114E 22N 114E 25N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 50N 158E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 43N 180E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 135E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 145E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 105E TO 27N 110E 30N 115E 27N 120E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 00:06:15 2003 X-UIDL: 19665-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBQ007NXTS9D4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Mar 2003 22:33:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EEXdA7034084 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 22:33:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2E8GDCw039356; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:28:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1488689 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:28:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EESDiw045782 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:28:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2EES2id029883 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:28:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2EES1TY029882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:28:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 08:28:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303141428.h2EES1TY029882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 156E 39N 167E 32N 168E 32N 159E 39N 156E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 52N 155E NW 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 136E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 148E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 107E TO 28N 113E 30N 118E 29N 126E 31N 133E 30N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 10:13:46 2003 X-UIDL: 19685-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR007O6AU3D4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 04:42:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKftA7035205 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 04:41:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKGdjm020558; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:27:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1495245 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:27:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKR7iw013522 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:27:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2EKQuid010012 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:26:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2EKQuaJ010011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:26:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 14:26:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303142026.h2EKQuaJ010011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 32N 134E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 53N 155E NNW 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 27N 142E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 151E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 107E TO 30N 121E 30N 128E 32N 134E 32N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 13:39:36 2003 X-UIDL: 19715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBR0003JR6IR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 10:35:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F2YuA7009289 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 10:35:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2EKGdBG020558; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:27:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1500272 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F2R0iw005646 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F2Qnid016133 for ; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:26:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F2Qnvf016132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:26:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2003 20:26:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150226.h2F2Qnvf016132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 32N 137E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 137E TO 33N 142E 32N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 137E TO 30N 130E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 130E TO 28N 118E 25N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 171E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 29N 152E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 55N 178E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 179E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 14:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 19723-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS007KO1PLD4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:22:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6MQA7059956 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:22:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F5FBp4034742; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:15:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1502379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:13:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6D1iw009558 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:13:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F6Cnid017603 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:12:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F6CnCH017601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:12:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 00:12:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150612.h2F6CnCH017601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZMAR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141951ZMAR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 142100Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0S8 173.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 660 NM NORTH OF AUCKLAND, NEW ZEALAND, TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 141800) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 4. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 16:50:55 2003 X-UIDL: 19732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS0004T7WUR0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:36:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F8aMA7086174 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 16:36:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cbn4020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:27:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1503340 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:26:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F8Qwiw035500 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:26:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2F8Qlid018496 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:26:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2F8QlxM018495 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:26:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 02:26:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303150826.h2F8QlxM018495@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 142E TO 32N 145E 30N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 142E TO 32N 138E 30N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 134E TO 29N 128E 28N 122E 28N 117E 25N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 55N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 173E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 132E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 28N 157E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 15 22:40:51 2003 X-UIDL: 19746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBS0000QOMER0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Mar 2003 22:37:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FEbGA7058942 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 22:37:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cb2k020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 08:28:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1506261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 08:28:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FESciw035730 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 08:28:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FESRid020958 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 08:28:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FESREs020957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 08:28:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 08:28:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303151428.h2FESREs020957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 147E TO 32N 150E 30N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 147E TO 31N 140E 30N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 134E TO 30N 132E 28N 125E 28N 119E 26N 114E 25N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 50N 139E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 55N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 170E NW 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 134E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 29N 159E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 52N 179W SSE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:11 2003 X-UIDL: 19769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT0006Z58ER0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 04:36:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FKa7A7036230 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 04:36:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6CbLO020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:27:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1510006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:27:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2FKRqiw011160 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:27:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2FKRfid023963 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:27:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2FKRf6T023962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:27:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 14:27:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303152027.h2FKRf6T023962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 150E TO 32N 154E 30N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 150E TO 32N 145E 31N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 137E TO 31N 129E 31N 120E 29N 115E 26N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 31N 120E LOWER CHANG JIANG MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 50N 144E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 56N 155E NNW 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 52N 170E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 138E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 25N 141E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 28N 163E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 53N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 19777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT00N1PM072T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 10:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G2cHtF045560 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 10:38:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2F6Cbaq020564; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 20:28:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1513640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 20:27:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G2RHiw042902 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 20:27:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G2R6id026232 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 20:27:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G2R6w7026231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 20:27:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 20:27:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160227.h2G2R6w7026231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 155E TO 32N 158E 31N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 155E TO 30N 153E 30N 148E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 148E TO 29N 142E 31N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 43N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 124E SOUTHWEST OF CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 31N 129E 31N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 29N 118E 26N 111E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 125E 21N 120E 20N 113E 23N 113E 26N 119E 30N 122E 30N 125E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 48N 143E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 156E NNW SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 52N 170E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 24N 140E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 140E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 26N 164E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:25 2003 X-UIDL: 19781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBT00N2XUVI2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 13:50:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G5o0tF081469 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 13:50:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G4VQoG034748; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1515420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G5gNiw042886 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G5gBid027507 for ; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G5gBvM027505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2003 23:42:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160542.h2G5gBvM027505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 16 18:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 19790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBU00N3D2FJ2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 16:33:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G8XCtF012122 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 16:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6Rjks020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 02:25:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1516593 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 02:25:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G8Pxiw005272 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 02:25:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2G8Plid029281 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 02:25:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2G8Plag029280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 02:25:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 02:25:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303160825.h2G8Plag029280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 162E TO 32N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 162E TO 31N 159E 29N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 155E TO 29N 146E 32N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 145E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING SOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 129E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 129E TO 32N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 129E TO 30N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 125E TO 28N 117E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 175E 44N 180E 31N 180E 35N 176E 43N 175E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 111E 21N 110E 25N 119E 25N 121E 23N 119E 20N 111E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 170E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 25N 138E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 36N 146E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 24N 161E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 09:31:51 2003 X-UIDL: 19802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBU00NTPJQO2T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Mar 2003 22:47:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GEl4tF077064 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 22:47:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6Rjvi020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 08:26:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1519389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 08:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GEQoiw020082 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 08:26:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2GEQaid001361 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 08:26:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2GEQag0001360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 08:26:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 08:26:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303161426.h2GEQag0001360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 167E TO 31N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 167E TO 30N 161E 29N 156E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 156E TO 28N 151E 30N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 139E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 30N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 33N 136E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 46N 149E EAST 25 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 171E SSW SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 24N 141E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 36N 152E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 23N 163E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 26N 179E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 33N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 28N 127E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 09:32:00 2003 X-UIDL: 19812-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBU00NY4ZY82T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 04:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GKbCtF050542 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 04:37:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6RjHc020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:27:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1523627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2GKRRiw033294 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2GKREid003972 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:27:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2GKREtw003971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:27:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 14:27:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303162027.h2GKREtw003971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 174E NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 174E TO 33N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 174E TO 30N 168E 29N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 161E TO 29N 154E 31N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 142E TO 32N 145E 31N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 142E TO 33N 138E 29N 134E 27N 129E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 152E SE 30 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 54N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 23N 146E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 36N 157E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 11:40:51 2003 X-UIDL: 19826-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBV00EV2GM8WJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 10:37:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H2bDtF017977 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 10:37:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6RjYw020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 20:27:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1527577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 20:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H2Rsiw035442 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 20:27:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2H2Rfid007216 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 20:27:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2H2RfsU007215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 20:27:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 20:27:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303170227.h2H2RfsU007215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 148E TO 32N 154E 30N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 148E TO 32N 143E 32N 137E 29N 133E 27N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 179W NORTH OF MIDWAY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 179W TO 34N 178W 33N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 179W TO 29N 175E 28N 166E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 166E TO 29N 162E 30N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 42N 155E ESE 25 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 22N 132E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 23N 158E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 14:29:45 2003 X-UIDL: 19833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBV00ELFPO1QQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 13:52:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H5qhtF073355 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 13:52:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2G6RjhE020564; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1529806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H5jsiw009590 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2H5jfid008506 for ; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2H5jfLb008504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Mar 2003 23:45:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303170545.h2H5jfLb008504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 16:37:27 2003 X-UIDL: 19837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBV00EX2X5JWJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 16:34:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H8YLtF017730 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 16:34:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H62InA019960; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 02:27:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1531028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 02:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H8RJiw028804 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 02:27:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2H8R6id009454 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 02:27:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2H8R6ld009453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 02:27:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 02:27:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303170827.h2H8R6ld009453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 151E TO 33N 154E 31N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 151E TO 32N 146E 31N 140E 30N 137E 29N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 173W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 173W TO 34N 171W 32N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 173W TO 29N 180E 26N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 122E 20N 118E 17N 106E 20N 105E 27N 120E 26N 122E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 155E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 52N 171E NW SLOWLY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 44N 114E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 23N 138E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 22N 160E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 33N 167E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 17 22:41:28 2003 X-UIDL: 19860-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBW00EOTDY0WJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Mar 2003 22:37:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HEb4tF011828 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 22:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2H5i9RS034760; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 08:27:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1534098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 08:26:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HEQkiw005260 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 08:26:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2HEQWid012697 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 08:26:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2HEQWds012696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 08:26:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 08:26:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303171426.h2HEQWds012696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 36N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 159E TO 34N 162E 32N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 159E TO 31N 153E 31N 145E 29N 139E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 41N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 156E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 122E 20N 118E 17N 106E 21N 106E 26N 119E 25N 122E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 52N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 44N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 24N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 22N 162E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 33N 173E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 11:16:15 2003 X-UIDL: 19876-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBW00ESBUPIWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 04:39:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HKdAtF012110 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 04:39:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HJufmu019960; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 14:27:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1541293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 14:27:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HKR8iw015010 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 14:27:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2HKQsid025422 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 14:26:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2HKQsT2025421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 14:26:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 14:26:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303172026.h2HKQsT2025421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 38N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 38N 165E 36N 167E 34N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 36N 162E 33N 158E 32N 154E 30N 148E 30N 145E 30N 139E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 43N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 22N 135E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 21N 157E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 22N 173E EAST 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 134E TO 30N 138E 30N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 134E TO 28N 130E 26N 127E 24N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 11:16:22 2003 X-UIDL: 19899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBX00DCLBCI9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 10:38:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I2cZtF098217 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 10:38:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2HJufTa019960; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 20:29:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1548357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 20:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I2Riiw015014 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 20:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2I2RUid003374 for ; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 20:27:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2I2RUQC003373 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Mar 2003 20:27:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Mar 2003 20:27:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303180227.h2I2RUQC003373@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 39N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 167E TO 38N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 168E TO 36N 172E 32N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 168E TO 33N 165E 29N 156E 29N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 45N 176E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 140E 32N 140E 32N 144E 30N 160E 25N 160E 24N 150E 28N 140E 30N 140E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 21N 135E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 21N 157E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 137E TO 29N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 137E TO 26N 130E 22N 122E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 14:58:54 2003 X-UIDL: 19924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBX00DSINDN9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 14:58:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I6wQtF080253 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 14:58:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I6IYlc015000; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1552612 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I6kJiw045778 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2I6k5id005530 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2I6k4Sr005528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 00:46:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303180646.h2I6k4Sr005528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 18 17:08:17 2003 X-UIDL: 19934-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBX00DX9RWA9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 16:36:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I8a2tF009589 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 16:36:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I7cKmi025154; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 02:27:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1553463 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 02:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I8Rbiw018024 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 02:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2I8RNid006221 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 02:27:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2I8RNZV006220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 02:27:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 02:27:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303180827.h2I8RNZV006220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 40N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 170E TO 39N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 175E TO 36N 177E 34N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 175E TO 33N 170E 31N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 162E TO 31N 158E 29N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 44N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 29N 142E NORTH OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 142E TO 29N 146E 29N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 142E TO 24N 132E 22N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 52N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 31N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 19N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 00:57:34 2003 X-UIDL: 19962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBY00DMWA8Y9L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Mar 2003 23:12:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IFCPtF018800 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 23:12:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2I6IYD2015000; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 09:00:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1557966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 09:00:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IF0Hiw028316 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 09:00:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2IF03id010724 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 09:00:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2IF03Pe010723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 09:00:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 09:00:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303181500.h2IF03Pe010723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 41N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 173E TO 42N 177E 40N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 180E TO 38N 177W 35N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 180E TO 33N 175E 31N 165E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 165E TO 31N 158E 29N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 45N 175W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 29N 144E NORTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 144E TO 29N 148E 29N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 144E TO 23N 135E 20N 125E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 45N 138E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 32N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 08:45:28 2003 X-UIDL: 19989-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBY00DB2PA79L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 04:37:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IKb6tF013606 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 04:37:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IIAD0q015000; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 14:28:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1565832 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 14:28:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IKS7iw046156 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 14:28:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2IKRrid022362 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 14:27:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2IKRr0o022361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 14:27:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 14:27:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303182027.h2IKRr0o022361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 42N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 42N 180E 40N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 177W TO 39N 174W 36N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 177W TO 38N 177W 34N 178E 32N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 170E TO 31N 165E 32N 160E 30N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 46N 170W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 44N 139E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 29N 148E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 31N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 148E TO 29N 151E 30N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 148E TO 25N 144E 23N 137E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 10:56:19 2003 X-UIDL: 20015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBZ007CD60DHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 10:38:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J2cUtF096360 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 10:38:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2IIADYk015000; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 20:29:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1572446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 20:29:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J2Tsiw025244 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 20:29:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2J2Tcid003681 for ; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 20:29:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2J2Tcqt003680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Mar 2003 20:29:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Mar 2003 20:29:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303190229.h2J2Tcqt003680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 42N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 178E TO 44N 177W 43N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 174W TO 40N 168W 34N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 174W TO 36N 179W 33N 170E 31N 165E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 165E TO 30N 159E 27N 153E 27N 148E 22N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 47N 167W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 139E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 156E NW 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 168E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 19 16:43:46 2003 X-UIDL: 20041-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HBZ007X6MPWHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 16:39:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J8dOtF099084 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 16:39:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J6CZqO015002; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 02:27:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1577373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 02:27:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2J8R6iw035808 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 02:27:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2J8Qoid006641 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 02:26:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2J8QoG4006640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 02:26:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 02:26:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303190826.h2J8QoG4006640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 44N 177W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 177W TO 45N 172W 44N 166W. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 166W TO 41N 163W 36N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 166W TO 36N 175W 32N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 170E TO 31N 167E 28N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 49N 164W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 141E SE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 27N 152E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 155E NW SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 54N 167E NW 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 27N 152E TO 27N 154E 28N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 27N 152E TO 24N 147E 21N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 105E TO 20N 110E 22N 118E 22N 125E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 00:17:51 2003 X-UIDL: 20075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC00070H3ZHHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Mar 2003 22:52:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JEqPtF095852 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 22:52:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JDtWv2045300; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 08:46:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1581577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 08:46:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JEkLiw026402 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 08:46:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2JEk5id011164 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 08:46:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2JEk4UF011161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 08:46:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 08:46:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303191446.h2JEk4UF011161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 28N 155E NORTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 28N 155E TO 28N 159E 28N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 155E TO 24N 150E 20N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 42N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 171E 49N 180E 35N 180E 36N 173E 47N 171E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 54N 166E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 122E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 105E TO 21N 112E 21N 126E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 162E TO 32N 171E 32N 178E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 09:33:14 2003 X-UIDL: 20095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC0007J0JYJHY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 04:37:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JKbRtF084353 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 04:37:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JJMxtM045300; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 14:27:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1591397 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 14:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JKRNiw024302 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 14:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2JKR7id026321 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 14:27:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2JKR77L026320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 14:27:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 14:27:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303192027.h2JKR77L026320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 22N 120E 19N 113E 21N 111E 23N 116E 25N 120E. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 173E 51N 180E 40N 180E 42N 173E 46N 173E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 145E ESE 25 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 29N 157E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 162E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 167E NORTH 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 172E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 123E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 176E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 157E TO 29N 160E 29N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 157E TO 24N 151E 20N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 162E TO 31N 167E 33N 172E 32N 177E 32N 180E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 107E TO 21N 112E 22N 116E 22N 120E 22N 124E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 10:44:35 2003 X-UIDL: 20125-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC1004BC0QOAF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 10:40:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K2dttF065121 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 10:39:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2JNkq9S019782; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 20:27:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1598499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 20:27:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K2R7iw004374 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 20:27:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2K2Qpid007382 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 20:26:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2K2QpPX007381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 20:26:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 20:26:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303200226.h2K2QpPX007381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 121E 22N 120E 20N 111E 22N 113E 23N 117E 25N 119E 26N 121E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 37N 116E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 147E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 48N 157E SSE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 29N 159E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 163E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 168E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 174E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 178E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 159E TO 29N 161E 29N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 159E TO 27N 156E 23N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 174E TO 33N 178E 33N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 174E TO 31N 169E 29N 163E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 13:34:36 2003 X-UIDL: 20137-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC10043D8HIAF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 13:27:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K5RDtF015532 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 13:27:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K1pC4q037098; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1601944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K5Ipiw024692 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2K5IZid012021 for ; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2K5IZrV012019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 23:18:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303200518.h2K5IZrV012019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 16:54:36 2003 X-UIDL: 20146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC1004T8HOUAF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 16:46:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K8k0tF073869 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 16:46:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K1pCJm037098; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 02:31:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1604750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 02:31:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K8V5iw040812 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 02:31:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2K8Unid013717 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 02:30:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2K8Un2p013716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 02:30:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 02:30:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303200830.h2K8Un2p013716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 48N 157E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 55N 164E NW 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 39N 117E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 149E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 166E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 29N 158E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 44N 175E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 41N 132E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 158E TO 30N 161E 30N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 158E TO 23N 153E 19N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 165E TO 31N 174E 35N 178W 37N 172W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 20 23:58:31 2003 X-UIDL: 20170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC1004S5Y7MAF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Mar 2003 22:42:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KEgrtF057032 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 22:42:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2K1pCew037098; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 08:31:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1608571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 08:31:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KEVJiw039896 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 08:31:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2KEV2id017468 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 08:31:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2KEV2c9017467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 08:31:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 08:31:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303201431.h2KEV2c9017467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 350 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 39N 119E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 29N 155E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 160E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 162E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 29N 161E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 41N 169E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 176E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 132E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 44N 178E ESE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 161E TO 29N 164E 30N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 161E TO 23N 156E 19N 147E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 117E TO 22N 123E 23N 127E 20N 135E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 166E TO 30N 171E 33N 176E 33N 180E 37N 166W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 09:52:13 2003 X-UIDL: 20199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC2004JNES3AF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 04:40:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KKegtF061320 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 04:40:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KJFUwm006310; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 14:27:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1618361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 14:27:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KKRciw033344 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 14:27:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2KKRLid001413 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 14:27:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2KKRLXW001412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 14:27:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 14:27:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303202027.h2KKRLXW001412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 39N 120E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 29N 157E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 161E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 161E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 31N 165E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 35N 177E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 134E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 165E TO 32N 169E 32N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 165E TO 24N 159E 20N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 117E TO 23N 128E 20N 135E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 171E TO 33N 175E 35N 177E 35N 177W 36N 168W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 14:05:20 2003 X-UIDL: 20217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC2001RWV3NKT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 10:33:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L2XItF041979 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 10:33:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2KNYixi044110; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 20:27:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1625255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 20:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L2RRiw036994 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 20:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2L2RBid009263 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 20:27:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2L2RB1p009262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 20:27:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 20:27:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303210227.h2L2RB1p009262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 171E NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 171E TO 33N 175E 33N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 171E TO 28N 167E 26N 163E 22N 158E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 29N 160E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 130E 33N 133E 35N 139E 29N 140E 27N 130E 31N 130E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW 1022 HPA AT 37N 122E ESE 30 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 161E NNW 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 163E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 135E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 118E TO 23N 123E 25N 127E 24N 131E 22N 135E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 14:05:25 2003 X-UIDL: 20230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC3002ON3JD67@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 13:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L5ZWtF093507 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 13:35:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L2mR54048294; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1627290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L5Pliw018630 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2L5PVid011151 for ; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2L5PUPR011148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2003 23:25:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303210525.h2L5PUPR011148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/SHERRY/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 16:40:26 2003 X-UIDL: 20247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC30012XBYJKT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 16:37:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L8bPtF048709 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 16:37:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L6Cunu042056; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 02:27:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1629582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 02:27:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L8Roiw023564 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 02:27:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2L8RYid012688 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 02:27:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2L8RYOM012687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 02:27:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 02:27:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303210827.h2L8RYOM012687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 47N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 176E NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 176E TO 35N 179W 35N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 176E TO 31N 173E 28N 169E 25N 165E 22N 159E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 145E 27N 145E 28N 136E 33N 136E 34N 145E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 37N 124E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 160E SW 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 29N 162E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 164E NNE 10 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 43N 114E SSE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 21 22:54:50 2003 X-UIDL: 20264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC3001XVSOWKT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Mar 2003 22:38:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LEcqtF038256 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 22:38:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L9Bpqs013500; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 08:27:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1632380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 08:27:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LERuiw018552 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 08:27:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2LERbid016251 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 08:27:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2LERbwZ016250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 08:27:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 08:27:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303211427.h2LERbwZ016250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 48N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1018 HPA AT 31N 130E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST SLOWLY. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 145E 33N 156E 27N 151E 29N 143E 35N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 35N 126E ESE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 160E SOUTH SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 165E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 37N 177W NE 40 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 43N 115E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 138E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 177W TO 35N 171W 34N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 177W TO 33N 178E 28N 173E 26N 169E 22N 163E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 04:42:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC4001JM99TKT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 04:37:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LKawtF039211 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 04:37:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2L9BpRi013500; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 14:28:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1638520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 14:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LKSbiw046958 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 14:28:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2LKSIid028092 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 14:28:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2LKSIjM028091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 14:28:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 14:28:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303212028.h2LKSIjM028091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 41N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 172E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 178W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 178W TO 37N 175W 35N 168W 33N 163W 32N 159W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 178W TO 36N 178W 32N 178E 29N 174E 27N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 31N 132E EAST OF KYUSYU MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 132E TO 30N 134E 28N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 132E TO 29N 130E 26N 128E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 150E 28N 152E 26N 145E 30N 142E 32N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 59N 142E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 52N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 42N 116E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 36N 116E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 141E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 10:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 20313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC4002QWPZG67@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 10:38:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M2bxtF014668 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 10:38:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2LLJZ3C019264; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 20:26:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1611203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 20:26:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M2QSiw041450 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 20:26:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2M2Q9id004342 for ; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 20:26:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2M2Q9LT004341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Mar 2003 20:26:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Mar 2003 20:26:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303220226.h2M2Q9LT004341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 134E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 134E TO 30N 137E 28N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 134E TO 27N 133E 24N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 165E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 179W NE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 35N 119E ESE 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 144E ESE 25 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 175E TO 31N 180E 36N 174W 40N 173W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 17:09:13 2003 X-UIDL: 20331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC500JLD6JYYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 16:35:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M8ZptF095543 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 16:35:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M5mhpW037160; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:28:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1614519 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M8S0iw015168 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2M8Rfid006815 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:27:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2M8RfEa006813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:27:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:27:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303220827.h2M8RfEa006813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 17:09:19 2003 X-UIDL: 20332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC500JLN6K2YQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 16:36:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M8ZttF095562 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 16:35:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M5mhpg037160; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:30:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1614532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:29:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2M8TFiw033684 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:29:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2M8Suid006829 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:28:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2M8SuIF006828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:28:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 02:28:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303220828.h2M8SuIF006828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 31N 136E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 136E TO 31N 139E 29N 141E 28N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 136E TO 29N 136E 24N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 123E 21N 123E 21N 114E 23N 115E 25N 119E 25N 123E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 164E WNW 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 120E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 34N 150E ESE 25 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 177E TO 33N 174W 40N 168W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 22 23:29:15 2003 X-UIDL: 20343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC500JTRN6QYQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Mar 2003 22:35:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MEZ8tF069247 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 22:35:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb0nW038312; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 08:25:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1616707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 08:25:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MEPviw037368 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 08:25:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2MEPcid009233 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 08:25:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2MEPcEl009232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 08:25:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 08:25:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303221425.h2MEPcEl009232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 138E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 31N 138E TO 31N 141E. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 141E TO 29N 142E 28N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 141E TO 28N 140E 25N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 116E 25N 119E 24N 124E 17N 120E 23N 116E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 57N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 162E WNW 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 34N 123E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 134E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 148E ENE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 11:24:07 2003 X-UIDL: 20363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC600L1M3VO4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 04:35:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MKZhtF053390 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 04:35:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb06s038312; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 14:27:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1620906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 14:27:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MKRfiw033706 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 14:27:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2MKRMid012517 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 14:27:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2MKRMnZ012516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 14:27:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 14:27:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303222027.h2MKRMnZ012516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 31N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 145E TO 28N 145E 25N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 145E TO 27N 142E 23N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 56N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 124E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 137E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 153E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 11:24:16 2003 X-UIDL: 20377-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC600LJQKHR4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 10:34:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2N2YZgP043746 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 10:34:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb0Di038312; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 20:27:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1623227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 20:27:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2N2R7iw041272 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 20:27:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2N2Qmid015282 for ; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 20:26:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2N2QmBY015281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Mar 2003 20:26:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 20:26:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303230226.h2N2QmBY015281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 46N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1012 HPA AT 30N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 147E TO 28N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 147E TO 26N 145E 21N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 53N 147E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 133E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 150E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 16:40:33 2003 X-UIDL: 20385-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC700L3X14I4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 16:33:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2N8XogP004677 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 16:33:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb0Ou038312; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 02:26:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1625671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 02:26:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2N8Qkiw013986 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 02:26:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2N8QSid017585 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 02:26:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2N8QRnc017584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 02:26:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 02:26:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303230826.h2N8QRnc017584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 45N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 51N 147E SE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 30N 150E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 124E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 137E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 158E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 150E TO 30N 152E 29N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 150E TO 24N 147E 21N 142E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 23 23:28:24 2003 X-UIDL: 20390-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC700LW5HZO4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Mar 2003 22:38:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NEc5gP075472 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 22:38:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2MAb0UK038312; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 08:27:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1627897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 08:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NERNiw017500 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 08:27:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2NER4id019715 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 08:27:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2NER4C4019714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 08:27:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 08:27:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303231427.h2NER4C4019714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 162E 52N 166E 47N 180E 34N 180E 40N 162E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 35N 117E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 60N 132E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 152E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 30N 152E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 138E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 159E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 132E TO 58N 136E 56N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 132E TO 57N 127E 55N 118E. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 152E TO 29N 155E 28N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 152E TO 25N 150E 21N 145E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 09:35:04 2003 X-UIDL: 20404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC7003D2YP3E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Mar 2003 04:39:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NKcvgP054352 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 04:38:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHAgoM039820; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 14:29:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1630198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 14:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NKTHiw043288 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 14:29:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2NKSwid022528 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 14:28:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2NKSwj8022527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 14:28:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 14:28:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303232028.h2NKSwj8022527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 172E 46N 180E 34N 180E 41N 167E 50N 172E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 60N 135E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 155E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 30N 156E EAST 35 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 163E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 145E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 163E EAST 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 135E TO 60N 138E 59N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 135E TO 58N 133E 55N 129E. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 156E TO 30N 159E 28N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 156E TO 26N 153E 21N 146E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 10:55:01 2003 X-UIDL: 20415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC800EG7F7PJO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Mar 2003 10:35:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O2ZjgP031345 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 10:35:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHAguM039820; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 20:27:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1632322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 20:27:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O2R1iw038178 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 20:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2O2Qeid025675 for ; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 20:26:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2O2Qekt025674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Mar 2003 20:26:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 20:26:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303240226.h2O2Qekt025674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 165E 50N 172E 50N 180E 35N 180E 38N 172E 42N 167E 47N 165E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 141E 35N 140E 36N 141E 35N 146E 32N 146E 32N 141E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 137E ESE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 159E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 30N 160E EAST 35 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 164E NNE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 148E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 166E EAST 20 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 137E TO 56N 137E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 137E TO 55N 139E 52N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 137E TO 54N 133E 53N 124E. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 160E TO 28N 165E 25N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 160E TO 25N 154E 21N 146E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 24 17:06:10 2003 X-UIDL: 20438-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC800GJVVYP9T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Mar 2003 16:37:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O8bTgP043244 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 16:37:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2NHAg68039820; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 02:27:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1635147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 02:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2O8RRiw016970 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 02:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2O8R6id028099 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 02:27:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2O8R6vY028098 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 02:27:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 02:27:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303240827.h2O8R6vY028098@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 140E 35N 140E 37N 146E 31N 146E 31N 140E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 52N 138E ESE 20 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 57N 161E WNW 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 163E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 163E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 115E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 153E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 174E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 163E TO 31N 167E 29N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 163E TO 28N 160E 24N 155E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 09:58:05 2003 X-UIDL: 20480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HC900EOSTHSJO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 04:41:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OKfogP042674 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 04:41:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGgx0C017430; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 14:33:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1641652 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 14:33:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OKXRiw048354 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 14:33:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2OKX1id014486 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 14:33:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2OKX1CJ014485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 14:33:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 14:33:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303242033.h2OKX1CJ014485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 32N 134E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 33N 136E 33N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 31N 132E 29N 130E 26N 127E 24N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 37N 146E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 30N 170E WEST OF MIDWAY MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 170E TO 30N 174E 28N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 170E TO 26N 165E 23N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 146E TO 53N 149E 51N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 146E TO 50N 144E 46N 137E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 59N 163E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 164E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 119E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 156E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 176E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 13:11:30 2003 X-UIDL: 20500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCA00GSHA1Y9T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 10:39:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P2dVgP029264 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 10:39:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGgxJG017430; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 20:30:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1645966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 20:30:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P2Usiw032356 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 20:30:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2P2UTid021505 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 20:30:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2P2UTHP021504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 20:30:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 20:30:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303250230.h2P2UTHP021504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 137E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 137E TO 34N 140E 33N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 137E TO 30N 134E 27N 130E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 37N 147E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 30N 175E WEST OF MIDWAY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 175E TO 29N 177W 26N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 175E TO 26N 168E 25N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 148E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 148E TO 53N 149E 52N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 149E TO 50N 152E 48N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 149E TO 47N 143E 49N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 59N 163E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 170E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 120E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 159E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 180E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 14:56:30 2003 X-UIDL: 20519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCA00GELJLR9T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 14:05:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P65ngP094867 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 14:05:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGgxQw017430; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:49:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1648110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:49:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P5n8iw042662 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:49:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2P5mkid023362 for ; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:48:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2P5mkJQ023360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:48:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Mar 2003 23:48:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303250548.h2P5mkJQ023360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 16:40:42 2003 X-UIDL: 20529-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCA0083AQKHXN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 16:36:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P8aFgP042694 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 16:36:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGgxWa017430; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 02:28:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1649362 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 02:28:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2P8SNiw041240 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 02:28:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2P8S2id024429 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 02:28:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2P8S28o024428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 02:28:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 02:28:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303250828.h2P8S28o024428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 250600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 139E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 34N 142E 33N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 32N 138E 30N 136E 26N 132E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 36N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 30N 178E NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 178E TO 29N 178W 27N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 178E TO 27N 174E 23N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING SOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 148E TO 55N 151E 54N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 153E TO 52N 156E 50N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 153E TO 50N 151E 47N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 151E 51N 156E 46N 159E 43N 155E 44N 150E 46N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 171E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 124E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 56N 132E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Mar 25 22:40:47 2003 X-UIDL: 20553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCB008BL7A4XN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Mar 2003 22:37:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PEbBgP047317 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 22:37:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2OGgxdA017430; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 08:27:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1651466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 08:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PERiiw035432 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 08:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2PERJid028046 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 08:27:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2PERJwP028045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 08:27:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 08:27:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303251427.h2PERJwP028045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 251200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 142E TO 34N 145E 32N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 142E TO 28N 139E 24N 134E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 37N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 31N 176W NORTHEAST OF MIDWAY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 176W TO 30N 173W 27N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 176W TO 27N 178E 22N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 152E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 142E 40N 142E 44N 148E 51N 158E 43N 160E 37N 150E 37N 146E 36N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 48N 125E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 175E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 27N 125E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 21N 161E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 171E ENE 45 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 125E TO 47N 128E 46N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 125E TO 44N 122E 41N 117E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 04:40:48 2003 X-UIDL: 20577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCB0086YNWHXN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 04:36:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PKaAgP052325 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 04:36:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PGt82S048444; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 14:27:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1657627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 14:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PKRhiw033626 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 14:27:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2PKRMid012429 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 14:27:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2PKRMAl012428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 14:27:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 14:27:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303252027.h2PKRMAl012428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 145E TO 33N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 145E TO 32N 145E 30N 143E 26N 141E 23N 136E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 37N 156E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 54N 156E KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 180E 26N 180E 29N 173E 36N 172E 42N 180E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 51N 157E 42N 160E 38N 150E 38N 142E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 126E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 169E EAST 10 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 27N 180E TO 27N 178E 23N 174E 21N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 11:40:29 2003 X-UIDL: 20603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCC008274UDXN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 10:42:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q2g9gP042257 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 10:42:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PKTmXu037082; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 20:32:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1663116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 20:29:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q2Tpiw034420 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 20:29:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2Q2TTid021361 for ; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 20:29:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2Q2TTF0021360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Mar 2003 20:29:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Mar 2003 20:29:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303260229.h2Q2TTF0021360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 37N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 148E TO 34N 153E 31N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 148E TO 33N 150E 27N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 350 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 37N 159E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 159E KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 44N 153E 48N 161E 45N 163E 43N 154E 42N 145E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 127E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 48N 143E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 171E EAST 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 22N 175E TO 24N 178W 27N 175W 29N 171W 33N 169W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 14:39:22 2003 X-UIDL: 20626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCC00811EOIXN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 14:14:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q6EYgP002977 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 14:14:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q5cXoO048772; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1665521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q67jiw007810 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2Q67Oid023955 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2Q67ORs023953 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 00:07:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303260607.h2Q67ORs023953@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 16:40:41 2003 X-UIDL: 20639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCC00IRULCHVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 16:38:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q8cbgP046346 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 16:38:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2PGt8f8048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 02:28:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1666424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 02:28:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2Q8Sfiw013918 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 02:28:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2Q8SJid025206 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 02:28:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2Q8SJtE025205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 02:28:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 02:28:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303260828.h2Q8SJtE025205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 37N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 37N 153E 36N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 154E TO 34N 157E 29N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 154E TO 30N 152E 26N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 39N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 161E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 143E 45N 160E 41N 160E 40N 150E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 118E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 128E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 47N 145E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 173E ESE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 118E TO 34N 122E 33N 125E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 118E TO 33N 114E 32N 110E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 26 23:17:20 2003 X-UIDL: 20672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCD00I8I22PVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Mar 2003 22:40:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QEdu2J041111 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 22:39:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QC8Nsw048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 08:30:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1669445 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 08:30:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QEUniw025780 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 08:30:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2QEUSid029726 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 08:30:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2QEUR54029725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 08:30:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 08:30:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303261430.h2QEUR54029725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 37N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 153E TO 38N 155E 37N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 157E TO 34N 161E 30N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 157E TO 29N 155E 25N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 39N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 120E LOWER CHANG JIANG MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 120E TO 35N 124E 35N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 120E TO 30N 116E 28N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 162E KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 43N 144E 43N 160E 39N 158E 39N 149E 39N 142E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 134E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 176E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 45N 145E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:26:51 2003 X-UIDL: 20694-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCD00II7ISXVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 04:41:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QKfG2J053786 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 04:41:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QC8NUk048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 14:30:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1675633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 14:28:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QKSLiw029130 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 14:28:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2QKRwid013037 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 14:27:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2QKRw5T013036 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 14:27:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 14:27:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303262027.h2QKRw5T013036@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 38N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 157E TO 39N 158E 39N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 159E TO 36N 163E 32N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 159E TO 32N 160E 26N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 42N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 130E NEAR ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 39N 132E 39N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 37N 129E 35N 127E 32N 125E 30N 121E 28N 118E 26N 114E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 163E KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 43N 144E 44N 160E 39N 158E 39N 142E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 46N 133E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 138E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 46N 147E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 179E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:27:03 2003 X-UIDL: 20709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCD00IAKZD5VS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 10:39:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R2d42J043746 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 10:39:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R0O8n8048444; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 20:28:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1679783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 20:28:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R2SHiw031652 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 20:28:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2R2Rsid020830 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 20:27:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2R2RsgH020829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 20:27:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 20:27:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303270227.h2R2RsgH020829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 39N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 160E TO 38N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 165E TO 34N 169E 31N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 165E TO 29N 165E 22N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 40N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 43N 137E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 137E TO 41N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 137E TO 38N 135E 37N 131E 30N 125E 25N 117E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 145E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 47N 149E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 180E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:27:07 2003 X-UIDL: 20724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCE00IJL89XVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 13:51:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R5pW2J004003 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 13:51:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QNTcO0048772; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1681694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R5juiw037928 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2R5jWid023353 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2R5jV2X023351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303270545.h2R5jV2X023351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 15:27:07 2003 X-UIDL: 20725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCE00IJQ89YVS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 13:51:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R5pY2J004009 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 13:51:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2QNTcO6048772; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:46:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1681697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:46:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R5k0iw014136 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:46:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2R5jaid023363 for ; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2R5jZCO023361 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Mar 2003 23:45:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303270545.h2R5jZCO023361@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 16:41:04 2003 X-UIDL: 20742-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCE00H14FU2LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:34:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R8Ym2J055019 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 16:34:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R0O8wm048444; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 02:28:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1682920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 02:28:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R8Rwiw027052 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 02:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2R8RYid024973 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 02:27:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2R8RY8r024972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 02:27:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 02:27:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303270827.h2R8RY8r024972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 39N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 163E TO 40N 167E 38N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 169E TO 36N 172E 33N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 169E TO 32N 170E 28N 168E 24N 165E 22N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 42N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 43N 138E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 138E TO 42N 141E 41N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 138E TO 38N 137E 35N 132E 30N 128E 25N 122E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1002 HPA AT 46N 136E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 166E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 148E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 46N 151E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 178W ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Mar 27 22:36:15 2003 X-UIDL: 20776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCE00HZVWFALE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Mar 2003 22:33:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2REX92J062254 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 22:33:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R0O8AU048444; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 08:28:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1685584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 08:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RESciw041982 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 08:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2RESEid029308 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 08:28:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2RESDE3029307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 08:28:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 08:28:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303271428.h2RESDE3029307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 40N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 165E TO 41N 169E 39N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 171E TO 37N 175E 34N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 171E TO 33N 173E 28N 171E 24N 168E 21N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 42N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 43N 140E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 140E TO 42N 142E 41N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 140E TO 38N 139E 33N 134E 28N 130E 24N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 46N 138E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 57N 167E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 43N 117E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 120E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 151E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 47N 152E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 09:46:12 2003 X-UIDL: 20820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCF00HKBE4YLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 04:55:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RKtc2J075373 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 04:55:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2R0O8cW048444; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 14:28:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1692364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 14:28:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RKSiiw017110 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 14:28:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2RKSKid013656 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 14:28:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2RKSKuq013655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 14:28:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 14:28:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303272028.h2RKSKuq013655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 44N 140E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 140E TO 43N 142E 41N 143E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 143E TO 40N 145E 37N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 143E TO 37N 142E 34N 137E 28N 131E 24N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 41N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 40N 171E 38N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 172E TO 35N 175E 32N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 172E TO 29N 172E 23N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 170E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 49N 153E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 32N 155E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 14:21:34 2003 X-UIDL: 20846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCF00HVLTYSU0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 10:37:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S2bc2J060777 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 10:37:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RMBOVM048772; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 20:28:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1699485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 20:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S2SQiw033370 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 20:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2S2S2id022017 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 20:28:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2S2S2ZN022016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 20:28:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 20:28:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303280228.h2S2S2ZN022016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 42N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 146E TO 41N 150E 39N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 146E TO 36N 145E 32N 140E 29N 135E 24N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 44N 140E GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 39N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 170E TO 38N 176E 34N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 179E TO 32N 177W 29N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 179E TO 29N 179E 22N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 145E 46N 150E 40N 153E 37N 146E 43N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 59N 171E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 122E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 51N 155E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 155E ENE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 14:21:39 2003 X-UIDL: 20866-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCG00H9Z35XLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 13:56:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S5uG2J026748 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 13:56:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S56unk048772; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1701427 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S5niiw041352 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2S5nGid024408 for ; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2S5nG2H024406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Mar 2003 23:49:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303280549.h2S5nG2H024406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/COOK/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Mar 28 16:38:46 2003 X-UIDL: 20879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCG00HB0AKRU0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:36:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S8aQ2J080969 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 16:36:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2RLbpVS048444; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 02:28:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1702784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 02:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2S8Rxiw022902 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 02:27:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2S8RZid025780 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 02:27:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2S8RZlh025779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 02:27:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 02:27:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303280827.h2S8RZlh025779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 44N 146E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 146E TO 43N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 150E TO 41N 153E 39N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 150E TO 36N 149E 29N 137E 25N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 171E TO 35N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 180E TO 30N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 180E TO 28N 180E 23N 175E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 133E 35N 149E 27N 141E 27N 134E 31N 133E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 145E 46N 150E 39N 155E 37N 150E 40N 151E 43N 145E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 34N 122E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 160E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 01:22:04 2003 X-UIDL: 20906-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCG007VBVMKMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 00:11:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SGB32J021952 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 00:11:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SCC2Dk048444; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 09:56:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1707128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 08:27:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SEREiw028380 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 08:27:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2SEQpid029632 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 08:26:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2SEQofV029631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 08:26:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 08:26:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303281426.h2SEQofV029631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 45N 148E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 148E TO 43N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 154E TO 38N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 154E TO 38N 153E 36N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 151E TO 35N 147E 31N 143E 29N 139E 25N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 142E 35N 143E 39N 152E 37N 155E 30N 142E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 142E 38N 155E 34N 156E 28N 144E 31N 142E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 146E 47N 152E 41N 159E 38N 154E 43N 154E 43N 146E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 29N 123E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 163E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 08:47:48 2003 X-UIDL: 20919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH0076Z7YNMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 04:37:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SKbW2J002258 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 04:37:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHERxw033494; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 14:28:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1714706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 14:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SKSIiw024252 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 14:28:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2SKRsid013455 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 14:27:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2SKRs7C013454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 14:27:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 14:27:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303282027.h2SKRs7C013454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 46N 149E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 148E TO 44N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 155E TO 40N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 155E TO 39N 156E 36N 152E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 152E TO 36N 149E 32N 144E 30N 138E 26N 135E 24N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 169E 51N 180E 36N 180E 42N 175E 47N 169E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 145E 39N 146E 43N 152E 42N 156E 33N 145E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 145E 42N 156E 39N 162E 32N 153E 31N 145E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 148E 49N 154E 42N 162E 37N 154E 44N 153E 46N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 170E NNW 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 177E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 123E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 166E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 12:08:44 2003 X-UIDL: 20945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH007K6RK0MK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:40:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T3ei2J099654 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 11:40:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHERJ6033494; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 20:28:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1718637 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 20:28:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T2SCiw034412 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 20:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2T2Rmid019691 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 20:27:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2T2RmEU019690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 20:27:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 20:27:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303290227.h2T2RmEU019690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 46N 151E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 33N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 144E TO 32N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 144E TO 25N 137E 22N 129E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 178E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 167E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 14:25:00 2003 X-UIDL: 20948-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCH007PTX2CMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 13:39:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T5dk2J027019 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 13:39:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T4w6lq003596; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:29:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1720400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:29:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T5TGiw020390 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:29:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2T5Soid021056 for ; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:28:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2T5SoPR021054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:28:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Mar 2003 23:28:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303290528.h2T5SoPR021054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 19:31:21 2003 X-UIDL: 20955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCI0074959UMK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 16:37:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T8b02J065274 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 16:37:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHERTg033494; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 02:26:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1721641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 02:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2T8Qiiw022714 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 02:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2T8QJid022220 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 02:26:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2T8QIDb022219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 02:26:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 02:26:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303290826.h2T8QIDb022219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 34N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 148E TO 35N 150E 35N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 148E TO 28N 144E 23N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 48N 151E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 172E 55N 167E 54N 178E 45N 179E 45N 172E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 29N 125E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 169E ENE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Mar 29 22:39:17 2003 X-UIDL: 20971-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCI000K4LW8BC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Mar 2003 22:36:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TEa82J045337 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 22:36:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2SHERcA033494; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 08:27:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1723750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 08:27:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TEROiw017632 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 08:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2TEQwid024311 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 08:26:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2TEQwUe024310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 08:26:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 08:26:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303291426.h2TEQwUe024310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 38N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 152E TO 40N 155E 41N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 152E TO 31N 150E 26N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 152E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. SUMMARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 127E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 37N 134E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 170E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 10:39:46 2003 X-UIDL: 20989-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCJ000AH2OFBC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 04:38:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TKcb2J030026 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 04:38:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2THidpK033494; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 14:28:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1727198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 14:28:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2TKSMiw005544 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 14:28:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2TKRuid027272 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 14:27:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2TKRuIg027271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 14:27:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 14:27:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303292027.h2TKRuIg027271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 42N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 44N 161E 45N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 35N 158E 30N 154E 25N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 49N 152E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. SUMMARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 131E ESE 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 36N 136E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 10:40:01 2003 X-UIDL: 21003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCJ000GXJ8ABC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 10:36:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2U2a8FO050695 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 10:36:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2TLvQmU004414; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 20:27:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1729730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 20:27:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U2RSeQ046914 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 20:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2U2R2id000044 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 20:27:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2U2R2QN000043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 20:27:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 20:27:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303300227.h2U2R2QN000043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 44N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 159E TO 44N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 161E TO 45N 165E 44N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 161E TO 38N 161E 32N 157E 27N 153E 26N 150E 22N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 54N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 990 HPA AT 49N 153E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 162E 47N 157E 51N 157E 55N 172E 54N 180E 45N 180E 39N 173E 38N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 166E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 133E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 55N 137E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 23:24:14 2003 X-UIDL: 21009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCJ00048RNKBC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 13:38:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2U5c8FO084111 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 13:38:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2TM00BU038742; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:34:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1731026 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:31:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U5VgeQ006612 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:31:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2U5VGid001244 for ; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:31:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2U5VG5n001242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:31:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Mar 2003 23:31:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303300531.h2U5VG5n001242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600ZMAR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 23:24:23 2003 X-UIDL: 21016-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCJ000SHZW8BC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 16:36:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2U8a7FO022544 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 16:36:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U69xjQ004416; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 02:28:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1732327 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 02:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U8SBeQ005546 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 02:28:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2U8Rjid002266 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 02:27:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2U8RjhN002265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 02:27:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 02:27:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303300827.h2U8RjhN002265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 47N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 160E TO 48N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 166E TO 45N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 166E TO 32N 160E 23N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 56N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 160E 55N 160E 55N 180E 40N 173E 40N 166E 45N 165E 48N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 127E SE 30 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 136E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Mar 30 23:24:26 2003 X-UIDL: 21029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCK00ENYGS4H1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Mar 2003 22:40:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2UEerFO001368 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 22:40:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U69xuY004416; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 08:29:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1735256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 08:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2UETKeQ019688 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 08:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2UESsid004349 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 08:28:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2UESsHl004348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 08:28:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 08:28:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303301428.h2UESsHl004348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 50N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 160E TO 51N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 168E TO 48N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 168E TO 42N 169E 34N 164E 25N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 58N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 161E 55N 161E 55N 177E 40N 175E 45N 170E 51N 161E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 49N 128E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 46N 132E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 142E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 08:28:15 2003 X-UIDL: 21039-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCK00EEPXHLH1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 04:41:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2UKfkFO081628 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 04:41:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2UCVYaa038742; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 14:34:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1739724 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 14:29:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2UKT8eQ023624 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 14:29:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2UKSfid006407 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 14:28:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2UKSfOJ006406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 14:28:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 14:28:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303302028.h2UKSfOJ006406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 52N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 159E TO 56N 167E 55N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 171E TO 54N 175E 51N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 171E TO 49N 173E 43N 170E 35N 166E 27N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 55N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 170E 47N 173E 55N 171E 57N 180E 40N 180E 40N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 45N 133E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 142E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 12:05:49 2003 X-UIDL: 21057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCL0011JE03XV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 10:38:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2V2cSFO064573 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 10:38:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2U69xcK004416; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1744646 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 20:27:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V2REeQ011734 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 20:27:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2V2Qmid009562 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 20:26:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2V2QmbW009561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 20:26:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 20:26:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303310226.h2V2QmbW009561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 310000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 53N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 161E TO 57N 166E 56N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 171E TO 55N 175E 53N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 171E TO 46N 175E 36N 169E 27N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 56N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 172E 47N 176E 56N 171E 56N 180E 42N 180E 40N 172E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 132E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 45N 135E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 154E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 13:55:33 2003 X-UIDL: 21072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCL001D2N1JXV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 13:53:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.8/8.12.8) with ESMTP id h2V5rgFO037705 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 13:53:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V2k9oS004416; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1747309 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V5kYeQ015400 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2V5k8id011358 for ; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2V5k8Qh011356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Mar 2003 23:46:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303310546.h2V5k8Qh011356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZMAR2003/010600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Mar 31 16:44:22 2003 X-UIDL: 21082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCL001QJUPCXV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 16:39:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V8d7Bc096072 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 16:39:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V4SX6E033412; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 02:28:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1748733 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 02:27:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V8R7eQ006484 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 02:27:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2V8Qfid012634 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 02:26:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2V8QfMI012633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 02:26:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 02:26:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303310826.h2V8QfMI012633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 310600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 55N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 162E TO 60N 170E 58N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 179E TO 57N 175W 54N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 179E TO 46N 176E 38N 171E 25N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 59N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 180E 39N 171E 50N 177E 51N 180E 39N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 119E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 135E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 42N 138E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 32N 156E ENE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 11:46:22 2003 X-UIDL: 21099-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCM001RQB85XV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 31 Mar 2003 22:36:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VEa5Bc002327 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 22:36:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2V2k98U004416; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:26:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1751596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:26:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VEQaeQ018722 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:26:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2VEQAid016145 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:26:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2VEQ9G6016144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:26:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 08:26:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303311426.h2VEQ9G6016144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 311200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 57N 163E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 166E TO 61N 175E 60N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 176W TO 56N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 176W TO 50N 180E 36N 172E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 141E ESE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 142E EAST 35 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 158E ENE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 108E TO 29N 114E 30N 119E 28N 126E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 11:46:33 2003 X-UIDL: 21121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCM001B0RZSXV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:38:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VKcFBc005724 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 04:38:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VK8Rh4015552; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 14:29:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1759538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 14:27:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VKR6eQ033282 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 14:27:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h2VKQWid000040 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 14:26:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h2VKQWjd000039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 14:26:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 14:26:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200303312026.h2VKQWjd000039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 311800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 58N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 53N 160E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 146E TO 36N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 146E TO 34N 142E 33N 138E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 125E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 145E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 161E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 111E TO 28N 118E 31N 125E 31N 130E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 11:46:40 2003 X-UIDL: 21141-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCN00N3K8MH3T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 10:37:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h312bRBc093795 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 10:37:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VK8R7g015552; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 20:28:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1765147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 20:28:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h312S3eQ041762 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 20:28:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h312RZid007492 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 20:27:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h312RYlO007491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 20:27:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 20:27:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304010227.h312RYlO007491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 38N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 151E TO 38N 154E 39N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 151E TO 34N 146E 32N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 158E WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 43N 144E 41N 147E 39N 144E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 128E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 119E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 114E TO 29N 121E 31N 128E 31N 134E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 18:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 21155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCN00N34HED3T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 13:47:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h315kvBc055745 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 13:46:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h315HBgq014474; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:38:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1767352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:38:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h315cVeQ022538 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:38:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h315c3id009258 for ; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:38:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h315bxav009250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:37:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 31 Mar 2003 23:37:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304010537.h315bxav009250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600ZAPR2003/020600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 18:38:17 2003 X-UIDL: 21167-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCN001JPP6LAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 16:35:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h318ZABc012457 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 16:35:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h2VK8ROK015552; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 02:28:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1769516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 02:28:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h318S7eQ018484 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 02:28:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h318Rdid010542 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 02:27:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h318Rd9M010541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 02:27:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 02:27:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304010827.h318Rd9M010541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 156E TO 40N 158E 41N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 156E TO 35N 152E 32N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 994 HPA AT 55N 161E MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 43N 145E 40N 146E 40N 143E 42N 143E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 172E 53N 174E 54N 180E 47N 180E 48N 172E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 129E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 40N 134E ESE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 115E TO 28N 123E 31N 129E 31N 133E 31N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 01 23:43:15 2003 X-UIDL: 21194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCO00NL35VG3T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Apr 2003 22:35:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31EZeBc017303 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 22:35:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h316CUNu014476; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:27:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1772428 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:27:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31ER7eQ017432 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:27:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h31EQdid013910 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:26:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h31EQdVq013909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:26:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 08:26:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304011426.h31EQdVq013909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 42N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 160E TO 42N 162E 41N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 160E TO 36N 157E 31N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 156E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 163E 52N 165E 53N 170E 46N 170E 47N 163E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 132E EAST 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 55N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 38N 143E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 151E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 120E TO 29N 124E 31N 128E 31N 130E 31N 132E 31N 135E 31N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 10:42:50 2003 X-UIDL: 21222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCO00NW7MP03T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 04:39:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31Kd1Bc027731 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 04:39:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31HbKHC029832; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 14:26:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1781593 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 14:26:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31KQQeQ044170 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 14:26:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h31KPwid027270 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 14:25:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h31KPwn4027269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 14:25:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 14:25:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304012025.h31KPwn4027269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 160E TO 43N 163E 42N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 160E TO 36N 160E 32N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 172E 50N 168E 55N 180E 40N 180E 42N 172E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 132E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 46N 142E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 113E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 38N 145E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 121E TO 30N 128E 31N 132E 31N 137E 32N 140E 31N 143E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 10:42:59 2003 X-UIDL: 21241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCP001MQ33HAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 10:33:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h322XIBc022768 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 10:33:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31KrOCc015552; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:28:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1787016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h322S9eQ043434 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:28:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h322Rfid004900 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:27:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h322Red5004899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:27:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 20:27:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304020227.h322Red5004899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 45N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 162E TO 43N 164E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 164E TO 42N 167E 39N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 164E TO 41N 166E 37N 165E 33N 161E 30N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 176E 50N 172E 50N 180E 40N 180E 40N 176E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 133E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 46N 144E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 43N 116E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 149E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 120E TO 27N 124E 29N 127E 29N 131E 31N 133E 30N 136E 28N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 13:46:59 2003 X-UIDL: 21262-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCP0015QC0HAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 13:45:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h325jnBc088133 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 13:45:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h31KrOP8015552; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1790071 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h325beeQ007770 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h325bBid006657 for ; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h325bBeB006655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 01 Apr 2003 23:37:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304020537.h325bBeB006655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600ZAPR2003/030600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 17:03:47 2003 X-UIDL: 21284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCP00FU9JXATV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 16:36:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h328akBc049773 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 16:36:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h327hPf8030000; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 02:27:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1792091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 02:27:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h328RleQ033126 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 02:27:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h328RJid016912 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 02:27:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h328RJ7M016911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 02:27:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 02:27:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304020827.h328RJ7M016911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 47N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 165E TO 46N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 168E TO 42N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 168E TO 36N 167E 31N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 175E 50N 180E 40N 180E 40N 177E 50N 175E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 134E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 45N 148E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 155E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 119E TO 27N 125E 29N 130E 31N 134E 29N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 02 23:14:32 2003 X-UIDL: 21301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCQ00FHO0NZTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 22:38:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32EcIBc055486 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 22:38:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h327hPvo030000; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:29:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1795544 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32ESmeQ014318 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:28:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h32ESJid020505 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:28:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h32ESJ1D020504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:28:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:28:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304021428.h32ESJ1D020504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 49N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 165E TO 49N 170E 47N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 174E TO 44N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 174E TO 40N 173E 33N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 175E 50N 180E 44N 180E 44N 177E 50N 175E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 130E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 158E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 122E TO 28N 129E 31N 136E 30N 143E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 09:16:09 2003 X-UIDL: 21326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCQ00FJ3HC7TV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 04:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32KcWBc056513 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 04:38:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h327hPZg030000; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 14:28:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1802744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 14:28:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32KSgeQ010944 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 14:28:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h32KSEid004734 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 14:28:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h32KSEaL004733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 14:28:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 14:28:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304022028.h32KSEaL004733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 51N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 167E TO 50N 173E 48N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 177E TO 46N 180E 43N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 177E TO 41N 175E 34N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 139E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 139E TO 30N 142E 29N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 139E TO 30N 136E 29N 133E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 133E TO 29N 131E 26N 127E 25N 122E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 177E 54N 175E 54N 180E 46N 180E 48N 177E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 49N 131E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 133E ESE 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 164E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 14:01:32 2003 X-UIDL: 21389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCQ00FP8Y6FTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 10:42:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h332gHBc052531 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 10:42:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32LuT7E034362; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 20:33:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1809294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 20:33:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h332WxeQ039986 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 20:32:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h332WUid012346 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 20:32:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h332WUie012345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 20:32:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 20:32:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304030232.h332WUie012345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 51N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 168E TO 54N 175E 51N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 179W TO 49N 175W 44N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 179W TO 44N 179W 41N 179E 36N 174E 33N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 550 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 145E TO 32N 148E 27N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 145E TO 30N 140E 28N 135E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 135E TO 27N 131E 23N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 146E 44N 152E 41N 153E 39N 145E 43N 146E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 132E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 42N 143E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 165E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 14:01:34 2003 X-UIDL: 21406-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCR00F9L5QGTV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 13:25:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h335PUBc006221 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 13:25:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32LuTD0034362; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1811036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h335HteQ003834 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h335HOid013925 for ; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h335HOo3013924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 23:17:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304030517.h335HOo3013924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600ZAPR2003/040600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 18:30:16 2003 X-UIDL: 21419-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCR005LGEKJ31@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 16:36:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h338aLBc069509 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 16:36:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32LuTME034362; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 02:27:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1813182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 02:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h338RieQ024134 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 02:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h338RDid015494 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 02:27:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h338RDjW015493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 02:27:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 02:27:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304030827.h338RDjW015493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 54N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 169E TO 55N 177E 52N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 178W TO 49N 173W 46N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 178W TO 42N 179W 38N 178E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 133E 35N 140E 37N 143E 35N 150E 32N 153E 28N 143E 26N 136E 28N 132E 32N 133E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 147E 46N 159E 41N 160E 38N 146E 42N 147E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 154E 54N 168E 47N 166E 47N 155E 54N 154E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 48N 137E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 148E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 28N 135E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 131E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 43N 146E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 173E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 179E EAST 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 148E TO 33N 152E 32N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 148E TO 31N 145E 29N 139E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 124E TO 26N 132E 28N 135E 29N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 03 23:00:40 2003 X-UIDL: 21441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCR005XSVC631@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Apr 2003 22:38:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33EcWBc091365 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 22:38:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33BDfpG008742; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 08:30:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1815934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 08:29:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33ETjeQ042004 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 08:29:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h33ETEid019506 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 08:29:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h33ETEJB019505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 08:29:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 08:29:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304031429.h33ETEJB019505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 55N 168E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 133E 36N 141E 38N 151E 33N 154E 29N 153E 25N 136E 29N 133E 32N 133E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 28N 139E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 140E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 150E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 131E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 147E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 177E EAST 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 150E TO 32N 154E 31N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 150E TO 31N 148E 29N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 123E TO 24N 131E 28N 139E 29N 143E 29N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 10:38:01 2003 X-UIDL: 21460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCS005AHC0P31@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 04:38:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33KcoBc015291 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 04:38:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33KPReg008742; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 14:29:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1824959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 14:29:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33KTNeQ010916 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 14:29:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h33KSrid002539 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 14:28:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h33KSrQP002538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 14:28:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 14:28:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304032028.h33KSrQP002538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 55N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 31N 140E 29N 130E 34N 128E 35N 140E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 46N 140E SE 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 29N 145E ENE 30 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 37N 158E ENE 35 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 16N 132E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 179W ENE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 145E TO 30N 148E 31N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 145E TO 27N 140E 28N 134E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 158E TO 37N 161E 36N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 158E TO 34N 156E 33N 153E 31N 151E 31N 150E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 10:41:26 2003 X-UIDL: 21477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCS001BFSMTKA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 10:37:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h342bgBc014346 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 10:37:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h33MsZ0A043450; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 20:26:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1831596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 20:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h342QieQ033106 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 20:26:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h342QDid009988 for ; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 20:26:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h342QDlE009987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Apr 2003 20:26:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 03 Apr 2003 20:26:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304040226.h342QDlE009987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 56N 170E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 29N 131E NORTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 45N 146E 45N 150E 39N 150E 39N 145E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 46N 141E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 30N 149E ENE 30 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 162E ENE 35 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 147E EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 149E TO 30N 151E 32N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 149E TO 28N 146E 27N 141E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 162E TO 39N 164E 39N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 162E TO 36N 160E 34N 155E 32N 154E 32N 153E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 20:30:13 2003 X-UIDL: 21507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCT001FRA80KA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 16:57:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h348vTBc046351 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 16:57:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h346BwmC037294; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 02:31:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1836282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 02:30:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h348UueQ015438 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 02:30:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h348UPid013143 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 02:30:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h348UPWv013142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 02:30:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 02:30:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304040830.h348UPWv013142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 57N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 550 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 132E EAST OF KYUSYU MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 143E 42N 143E 42N 153E 39N 152E 37N 147E 39N 143E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 152E NE 30 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 168E NE 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 153E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 152E TO 32N 155E 33N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 152E TO 27N 147E 24N 139E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 168E TO 36N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 168E TO 38N 164E 36N 160E 33N 157E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 04 21:29:59 2003 X-UIDL: 21531-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCT001IXMPNKA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:27:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34DRNBc032429 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 21:27:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h346BwsE037294; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:16:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1838235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:16:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34DGNeQ006486 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:16:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34DFqid015438 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:15:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34DFqcr015436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:15:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 07:15:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304041315.h34DFqcr015436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600ZAPR2003/050600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 00:03:48 2003 X-UIDL: 21538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCT001F1QM4KA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Apr 2003 22:51:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34EpgBc055628 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 22:51:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34DwtlE043446; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 08:30:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1839434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 08:30:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34EUDeQ014276 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 08:30:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34ETgid017019 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 08:29:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34ETg4N017018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 08:29:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 08:29:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304041429.h34ETg4N017018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 31N 135E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 135E TO 31N 138E 29N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 135E TO 26N 132E 23N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 172E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 157E 35N 162E 41N 171E 35N 172E 25N 160E 31N 157E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 143E 42N 144E 42N 153E 37N 152E 40N 143E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 162E NE 35 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 171E NE 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 153E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 147E TO 32N 156E 36N 162E 38N 167E 41N 171E 42N 178E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 10:05:36 2003 X-UIDL: 21557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU0047R73L8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 04:47:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34KliBc061350 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 04:47:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34KA1ge037294; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 14:28:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1848043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 14:28:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34KSleQ046096 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 14:28:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h34KSGid029166 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 14:28:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h34KSGN7029165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 14:28:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 14:28:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304042028.h34KSGN7029165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 32N 136E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 136E TO 31N 139E 29N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 136E TO 28N 135E 25N 131E 23N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 58N 172E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 164E 45N 180E 39N 180E 32N 166E 37N 164E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 144E 42N 144E 40N 152E 37N 151E 40N 144E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 60N 145E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 46N 179E NE 30 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 44N 157E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 145E TO 30N 153E 36N 163E 38N 170E 45N 179E 45N 177W 44N 172W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 10:33:34 2003 X-UIDL: 21576-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU0043DN2Y8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 10:32:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h352X1Bc041933 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 10:33:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h34LdFBw037296; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 20:26:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1855898 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 20:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h352QqeQ047248 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 20:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h352QLid006445 for ; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 20:26:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h352QLQ3006444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Apr 2003 20:26:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 04 Apr 2003 20:26:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304050226.h352QLQ3006444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 33N 139E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 139E TO 30N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 139E TO 28N 138E 23N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 175E 47N 180E 37N 180E 35N 174E 46N 175E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 148E 40N 164E 36N 164E 33N 157E 36N 150E 41N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 49N 129E ESE 10 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 175E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 114E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 157E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 176W TO 42N 177E 39N 171E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 171E TO 36N 165E 32N 157E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 05 16:23:33 2003 X-UIDL: 21585-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCU004IXX268X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 14:08:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3568WBc091263 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 14:08:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h353YKvQ022298; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:03:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1859174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:02:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3562reQ018514 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:02:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3562Lid008572 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:02:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3562LbR008569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:02:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 00:02:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304050602.h3562LbR008569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 00:10:49 2003 X-UIDL: 21592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCV004AO4ET8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 16:47:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h358lHBc028684 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 16:47:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3569kqQ022302; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:30:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1860473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:30:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h358UceQ019300 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:30:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h358U7id009585 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:30:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h358U7GV009584 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:30:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 02:30:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304050830.h358U7GV009584@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 050600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 34N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 142E TO 35N 144E 35N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 142E TO 28N 141E 24N 135E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 41N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 126E 22N 120E 23N 116E 30N 122E 30N 126E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 146E 49N 155E 46N 167E 41N 154E 44N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 132E ESE 10 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 177E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 32N 116E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 164E ENE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 162E TO 37N 170E 39N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 00:10:52 2003 X-UIDL: 21601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCV004QUKKP8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Apr 2003 22:36:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35EaQBc008760 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 22:36:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5k8037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 08:27:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1863362 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 08:27:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35ERGeQ028364 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 08:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h35EQjid011760 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 08:26:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h35EQjVs011759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 08:26:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 08:26:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304051426.h35EQjVs011759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 34N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 34N 143E TO 35N 143E 35N 144E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 144E TO 35N 147E 33N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 144E TO 27N 144E 20N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 43N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 146E 47N 153E 42N 160E 34N 160E 34N 155E 44N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 49N 133E EAST 10 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 120E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 45N 171E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 166E TO 37N 174E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 11:22:07 2003 X-UIDL: 21616-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCW000I512ROD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:32:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35KWsBc099210 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 04:32:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5xO037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 14:27:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1866744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 14:27:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35KReeQ047098 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 14:27:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h35KR7id015164 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 14:27:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h35KR7fR015163 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 14:27:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 14:27:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304052027.h35KR7fR015163@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 38N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 148E TO 38N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 150E TO 36N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 150E TO 28N 148E 20N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 46N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 35N 146E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 49N 155E 38N 166E 39N 155E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 123E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 44N 176E EAST 30 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 173E TO 38N 180E 39N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 11:22:18 2003 X-UIDL: 21625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCW0006QHXPOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 10:37:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h362aumF047293 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 10:36:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5GO037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 20:26:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1870796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 20:26:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h362QmeQ043414 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 20:26:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h362QFid018026 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 20:26:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h362QFd4018025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 20:26:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 20:26:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304060226.h362QFd4018025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 39N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 148E TO 39N 150E 38N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 153E TO 38N 156E 36N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 153E TO 34N 153E 27N 149E 20N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 46N 156E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 151E 44N 145E 47N 152E 50N 155E 42N 165E 33N 169E 31N 162E 28N 154E 37N 154E 40N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 60N 146E NE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 179W EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 125E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 44N 177E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 169E TO 37N 173E 39N 165W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 23:16:33 2003 X-UIDL: 21627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCW000Z2RFPOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 14:02:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3662BmF084835 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 14:02:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h35DE5Q8037296; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:53:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1873390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:53:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h365qxeQ011548 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:52:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h365qPid019641 for ; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:52:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h365qPKi019639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:52:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 05 Apr 2003 23:52:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304060552.h365qPKi019639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 23:16:35 2003 X-UIDL: 21632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCW000ITYJ7OD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 16:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h368ZXmF020190 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 16:35:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h367eEiG017086; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:27:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1874712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h368RgeQ045338 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h368R9id020703 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:27:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h368R9Lm020700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:27:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 03:27:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304060827.h368R9Lm020700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 41N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 151E TO 43N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 154E TO 42N 160E 40N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 154E TO 35N 156E 27N 151E 23N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 550 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 47N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 160E 49N 159E 47N 170E 41N 175E 35N 172E 31N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 117E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 48N 136E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 126E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 06 23:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 21642-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCX000AXF3QOD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Apr 2003 22:33:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36EXUmF093672 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 22:33:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36CGJlW037296; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 09:27:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1878771 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 09:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36ERDeQ034434 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 09:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h36EQeid023196 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 09:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h36EQe7J023195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 09:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 09:26:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304061426.h36EQe7J023195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 43N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 152E TO 45N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 158E TO 44N 165E 41N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 158E TO 36N 158E 28N 156E 22N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 49N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 145E 45N 150E 39N 155E 38N 150E 43N 145E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 160E 46N 175E 33N 170E 35N 160E 47N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 119E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 137E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 131E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 32N 178E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 10:09:14 2003 X-UIDL: 21651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCX00C91VPNS9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:32:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36KWFmF076891 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:32:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36I9TBI045438; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:27:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 3282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:26:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36KQneQ041878 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:26:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h36KQFid027883 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:26:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h36KQFAO027882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:26:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:26:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304062026.h36KQFAO027882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 45N 154E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 154E TO 47N 159E 47N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 163E TO 45N 170E 41N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 163E TO 41N 165E 36N 163E 30N 160E 22N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 52N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 162E 50N 163E 45N 180E 36N 180E 34N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 122E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 49N 137E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 134E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 32N 179E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 10:09:15 2003 X-UIDL: 21652-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCX00CTAWFVS9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:47:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36KlumF079725 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 04:48:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36I9SxM037312; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 3758 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36KgleQ033846 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h36KgEid028069 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h36KgEgW028067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 15:42:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304062042.h36KgEgW028067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/062100Z/070600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 156.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER SURFACE TROUGHING. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES SURFACE TROUGHING AS WELL. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). 4.RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 11:16:47 2003 X-UIDL: 21668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCY002PQCLHCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 10:36:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h372avmF051382 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 10:36:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h36I9SOk037312; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 21:30:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 21:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h372UQeQ019388 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 21:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h372Trid001528 for ; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 21:29:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h372TrEk001527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Apr 2003 21:29:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 21:29:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304070229.h372TrEk001527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 46N 156E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 156E TO 49N 159E 49N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 168E TO 46N 174E 41N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 168E TO 42N 169E 30N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 161E TO 25N 155E 21N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 55N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 37N 119E SHANTUNG PENINSULA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 167E 49N 169E 46N 180E 37N 175W 34N 175E 35N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 123E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 141E ENE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 14:15:20 2003 X-UIDL: 21682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCY002QEMB3CP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 14:06:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3766hmF020891 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 14:06:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h375XXik029050; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:03:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 12252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:03:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3763WeQ006530 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3762wid003562 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:02:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3762wOf003560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:02:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 01:02:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304070602.h3762wOf003560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 156.5E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.7N9 156.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK ISLAND. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL DISORGANIZED CONVECTION CYCLING OVER A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3.RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 16:46:44 2003 X-UIDL: 21694-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCY0029ATBRCP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 16:38:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h378cJmF075540 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 16:38:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h375gKkq037312; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:28:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 13704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h378SKeQ045502 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h378Rkid004620 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h378Rkhg004619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:27:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304070827.h378Rkhg004619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 48N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 159E TO 50N 165E 49N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 171E TO 45N 178E 39N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 171E TO 37N 169E 29N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 161E TO 24N 154E 20N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 56N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 121E SHANTUNG PENINSULA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 172E 48N 180E 36N 180E 36N 172E 44N 173E 49N 172E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 44N 125E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 49N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 147E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 178W ENE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 07 23:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 21720-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ002OXAG2CP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Apr 2003 22:48:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37Em7mF092634 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 22:48:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37Dg0kY044274; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:32:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 18379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37EWueQ038224 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37EWMid009904 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:32:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37EWMw9009902 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:32:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:32:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304071432.h37EWMw9009902@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 50N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 163E TO 51N 168E 50N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 174E TO 47N 179W 43N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 174E TO 41N 173E 33N 165E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 165E TO 24N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 57N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 127E NEAR CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 127E TO 32N 129E 29N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 127E TO 31N 125E 27N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 174E 52N 180E 38N 180E 39N 172E 45N 175E 50N 174E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 122E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 44N 135E EAST 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 03N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 32N 151E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 179W EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 04:40:50 2003 X-UIDL: 21754-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HCZ002X3QPACP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:39:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37KdEmF012780 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 04:39:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37JtIpk044274; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:30:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 28574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:29:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37KTEeQ020720 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:29:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h37KSfid022651 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h37KSfKL022650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 15:28:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304072028.h37KSfKL022650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 52N 168E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 168E TO 51N 173E 50N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 178E TO 46N 175W 41N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 178E TO 43N 177E 30N 164E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 164E TO 27N 160E 24N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 56N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 59N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 130E EAST OF KOREA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 130E TO 35N 132E 33N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 130E TO 30N 130E 25N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 45N 139E ENE 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 03N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 51N 119E SSE 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 34N 153E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 177W EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 12:20:05 2003 X-UIDL: 21776-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD000C1I788E5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 10:36:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h382aDmF004120 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 10:36:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h37JtIQ6044274; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 21:29:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 21:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h382TteQ012780 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 21:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h382TLid028677 for ; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 21:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h382TLgW028676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Apr 2003 21:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 21:29:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304080229.h382TLgW028676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 978 HPA AT 55N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 169E TO 55N 175E 54N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 179W TO 50N 171W 46N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 179W TO 40N 179W 32N 168E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 168E TO 30N 163E 26N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 36N 131E WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 131E TO 37N 131E 37N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 132E TO 36N 136E 34N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 132E TO 31N 132E 24N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 146E ENE 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 03N 157E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 37N 156E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 16:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 21798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD000CCBNYME5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:37:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h388bamF017049 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 16:37:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h385aTiU022712; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 03:29:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 39944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 03:29:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h388TEeQ004364 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 03:29:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h388Sdid001731 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 03:28:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h388SdaW001730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 03:28:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 03:28:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304080828.h388SdaW001730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 135E NORTHWEST OF NOTO HANTO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 135E TO 38N 137E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 137E TO 37N 140E 35N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 137E TO 35N 137E 31N 135E 29N 132E 26N 129E 24N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 56N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 169E TO 54N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 176W TO 50N 168W 46N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 176W TO 40N 177W 33N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 170E TO 31N 165E 28N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 146E 47N 152E 51N 156E 46N 163E 42N 157E 40N 150E 42N 146E 44N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 03N 157E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 118E ESE 25 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 38N 164E ENE 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 08 23:12:33 2003 X-UIDL: 21824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD100C1A4WJE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Apr 2003 22:43:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38EhYmF022610 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 22:43:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38Co9rs004560; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 09:26:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 43732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 09:26:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38EQoeQ018722 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 09:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h38EQEid006733 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 09:26:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h38EQEYq006732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 09:26:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 09:26:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304081426.h38EQEYq006732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 39N 137E NORTHWEST OF SADO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 137E TO 40N 139E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 139E TO 40N 144E 37N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 139E TO 37N 140E 29N 136E 24N 128E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 57N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 144E 43N 145E 46N 152E 51N 157E 45N 164E 39N 152E 38N 148E 42N 144E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 118E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 37N 165E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 09:44:17 2003 X-UIDL: 21853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD100CKFL4XE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:34:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38KYDmF032568 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:34:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38Co9TC004560; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 15:27:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 15:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38KRSeQ040060 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 15:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h38KQqid024056 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 15:26:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h38KQqt7024055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 15:26:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 15:26:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304082026.h38KQqt7024055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 40N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 143E TO 39N 146E 37N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 143E TO 36N 143E 33N 142E 28N 138E 25N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 58N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 03N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 118E SE 20 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 38N 171E EAST 35 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 09:44:19 2003 X-UIDL: 21864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD100421POCTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 06:12:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38MCGmF054249 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 06:12:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38Co9cw004560; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:02:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:02:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38M2feQ007930 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:02:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h38M25id026712 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h38M252F026711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:02:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304082202.h38M252F026711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PGTW 082200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 082151ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4.8N2 154.4E4 TO 2.9N1 161.0E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 081800Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 2.9N1 159.6E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.7N9 159.5E0 IS RELOCATED NEAR 2.9N1 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND. A 081924Z4 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE TO THE EAST OF A REGION OF TROUGHING. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND WEAK TO MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO INCREASED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 092200Z3. 4. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 09:44:21 2003 X-UIDL: 21870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD1004LLRATTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 06:47:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38MlLmF060461 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 06:47:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38MWVea004560; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 53336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38ManeQ042116 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h38MaDid027249 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h38MaDBI027247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 17:36:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304082236.h38MaDBI027247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 082230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/082230Z/090600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.7N9 159.5E0 IS RELOCATED NEAR 2.9N1 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND. A 081924Z4 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE TO THE EAST OF A REGION OF TROUGHING. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND WEAK TO MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 082200 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO INCREASED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. 4. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 10:48:40 2003 X-UIDL: 21889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004NB21FTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h392dHmF022692 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h391TsfS004566; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:27:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 56583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h392RTeQ037622 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h392Qrid000149 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h392Qrh2000148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:26:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090226.h392Qrh2000148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 42N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 147E TO 42N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 150E TO 40N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 150E TO 32N 146E 26N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 58N 173E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 03.2N 159.4E MARSHALLS ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 145E 47N 152E 40N 157E 40N 145E 43N 145E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 120E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 38N 174E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 10:48:41 2003 X-UIDL: 21890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004NR21ITA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h392dNmF022751 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h391TsfY004566; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:32:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 56608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:32:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h392WZeQ009656 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:32:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h392Vxid000230 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h392VxMw000228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:31:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090231.h392VxMw000228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 3.3N6 159.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 3.3N6 159.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 3.9N2 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 4.9N3 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 5.9N4 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 7.4N1 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 8.8N6 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 3.5N8 159.4E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WITH RADIAL DEEP CONVECTION NOW TURNING TOWARD THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 082151ZAPR2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 10:48:42 2003 X-UIDL: 21891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004OL21NTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h392dOmF022763 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h391TsfW004566; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:31:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 56602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:31:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h392VYeQ047010 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:31:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h392Uwid000208 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h392UwKu000207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:30:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090230.h392UwKu000207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/082151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 3.3N6 159.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 3.3N6 159.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 3.9N2 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 4.9N3 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 5.9N4 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 7.4N1 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 8.8N6 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 3.5N8 159.4E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WITH RADIAL DEEP CONVECTION NOW TURNING TOWARD THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 082151ZAPR2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 10:48:43 2003 X-UIDL: 21892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004P121STA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h392dSmF022812 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:39:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h38LUNRO035528; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:32:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 56611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h392WZeQ047018 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:32:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h392Vxid000229 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h392VxkW000226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 21:31:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 02w Warning Nr/ 01// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090231.h392VxkW000226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 090300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WARNING NR/ 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 090000Z9 TO 100000Z1 APR 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WITH RADIAL DEEP CONVECTION NOW TURNING TOWARD THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. B. TD 02W IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE RIDGE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE WEAKNESS, INDUCING A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE GLOBAL (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR INITIAL FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER MARGINALLY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS, EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER 48 HOURS, THE AFFECTS OF SHEAR BECOME GREATLY REDUCED. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 12:50:53 2003 X-UIDL: 21900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004A467ETA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:09:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3949JmF052579 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 12:09:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h391TskY004566; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 23:02:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 57578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 23:02:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3942aeQ044158 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 23:02:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39420id001287 for ; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 23:02:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39420Aq001286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Apr 2003 23:02:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Apr 2003 23:02:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090402.h39420Aq001286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 090402 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST WED APR 9 2003 ..TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W... EFFECTIVE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL...PINGELAP AND KOSRAE. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 3.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND 280 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KOSRAE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 3.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ WELLS/MA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 13:38:14 2003 X-UIDL: 21903-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004UV9W1TA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 13:28:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h395SnmF076268 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 13:28:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956Ohc004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 58708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h395LheQ008722 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h395L7id002121 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h395L77t002119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 00:21:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090521.h395L77t002119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR 3.3N6 159.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 2.9N1 159.6E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 15:18:30 2003 X-UIDL: 21916-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004UXEJOTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:09:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3979SmF009894 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:09:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956Okm004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 02:02:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 59603 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 02:02:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3972KeQ047044 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 02:02:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3971jid003129 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 02:01:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3971j5Q003128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 02:01:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 02:01:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090701.h3971j5Q003128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 090702 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST WED APR 9 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W DRIFTING NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL.. PINGELAP AND KOSRAE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE NEEDED FOR ONE OR MORE OF THESE ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 4.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KOSRAE. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MOTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 4.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 16:54:10 2003 X-UIDL: 21922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004QZIGRTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:34:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h398Y8mF038719 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:34:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956OmM004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:27:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 60241 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h398RReQ043320 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h398Qpid003803 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:26:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h398QpRl003802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:26:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:26:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090826.h398QpRl003802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 150E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 150E TO 45N 151E 44N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 154E TO 43N 156E 41N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 154E TO 34N 150E 26N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 163E 56N 162E 58N 180E 45N 180E 45N 170E 50N 163E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 04.0N 159.8E MARSHALLS MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 146E 46N 152E 40N 157E 40N 146E 43N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 174E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 121E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 38N 178E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 16:54:11 2003 X-UIDL: 21923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004SAIT3TA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:41:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h398fSmF041255 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:41:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956OmQ004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:35:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 60281 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:35:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h398ZdeQ015074 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:35:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h398Z3id003866 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:35:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h398Z3pF003865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:35:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 03:35:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090835.h398Z3pF003865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 4.1N5 160.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 4.1N5 160.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 5.3N8 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 6.5N1 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.8N5 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 8.9N7 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 9.8N7 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 4.4N8 160.0E7. TROPICAL STORM 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASED INTENSIFICATION WITH IMPROVING BANDING FEATURES IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT, PERSISTENT CONVECTION, AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL CROSS EQUATORIAL OUTFLOW. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER AIR SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5, 092100Z2, 100300Z4 AND 100900Z0. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 17:44:02 2003 X-UIDL: 21927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004RVLAFTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 17:35:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h399Z39F095396 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 17:35:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956Omi004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:26:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 60466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:26:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h399QmeQ025746 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:26:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h399QCid004229 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h399QC0J004228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:26:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Navoceano Stennis Space Center Ms//n16// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090926.h399QC0J004228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 COR NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 4.1N5 160.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 4.1N5 160.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 5.3N8 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 6.5N1 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.8N5 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 8.9N7 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 9.8N7 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 4.4N8 160.0E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASED INTENSIFICATION WITH IMPROVING BANDING FEATURES IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT, PERSISTENT CONVECTION, AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL CROSS EQUATORIAL OUTFLOW. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER AIR SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5, 092100Z2, 100300Z4 AND 100900Z0. JUSTIFICATON FOR COR: CORRECTED 090530Z7 VALID TIME IN REMARKS SECTION. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 18:04:03 2003 X-UIDL: 21930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD20045YMLVTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 18:03:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39A3a0A061417 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 18:03:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956On4004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:58:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 60607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:58:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h399wGeQ015612 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:58:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h399veid004511 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:57:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h399veOQ004510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:57:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 04:57:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304090957.h399veOQ004510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 090957 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST WED APR 9 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL AND PINGELAP AS OF 8 PM GUAM LST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOSRAE. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 4.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND 215 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KOSRAE. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN SLOWLY NORTHWEST AND INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 4.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM THURSDAY MORNING. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 09 21:24:03 2003 X-UIDL: 21937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004DWVLVTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:17:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39DHu0A014039 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:17:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956Ouu004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 08:10:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 62384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 08:10:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39DAleQ015042 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 08:10:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39DABid007589 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 08:10:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39DABoS007588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 08:10:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 08:10:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304091310.h39DABoS007588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 091310 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST WED APR 9 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W RELOCATED FURTHER EAST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL AND PINGELAP. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOSRAE. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 4.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND 175 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KOSRAE. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE NORTHWEST AND INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 4.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST THURSDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 00:05:05 2003 X-UIDL: 21940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD2004QGZ9KTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 22:36:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39Eap0A038326 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 22:36:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956O4i004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 09:27:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 63911 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 09:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39ERjeQ046900 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 09:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39ERAid009890 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 09:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39ERAkb009889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 09:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 09:27:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304091427.h39ERAkb009889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 04.7N 159.6E MARSHALLS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 07.0N 159.1E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 46N 154E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 154E TO 47N 155E 47N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 157E TO 46N 160E 44N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 157E TO 36N 155E 28N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 166E 57N 180E 45N 180E 45N 170E 54N 166E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 151E 49N 155E 46N 162E 40N 160E 40N 153E 46N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 57N 173E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 124E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 00:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 21944-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004PN22ZTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:37:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39Fbl0A061815 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:37:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h399QCRm035532; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 64984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39FQreQ016498 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39FQHid012118 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39FQG97012115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304091526.h39FQG97012115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR 003A RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- NEAR 4.5N9 160.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 4.5N9 160.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 6.0N6 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 7.4N1 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 8.5N3 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 9.2N1 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 10.1N2 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 4.9N3 160.5E2. TROPICAL STORM 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. A 090919Z8 SSM/I PASS SUPPORTS THIS MOVEMENT AND RELOCATED POSITION. THE LATEST POSITION IS A RELOCATION APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EAST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2, 100300Z4, 100900Z0 AND 101500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 00:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 21945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004WH27CTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:40:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39FeS0A062489 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 23:40:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956OCU004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 64981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39FQreQ038220 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39FQHid012119 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39FQH5g012117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:26:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304091526.h39FQH5g012117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 091500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR/ 03A RELOCATED// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 091200Z2 TO 121200Z4APR2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. A 090919Z8 SSM/I PASS SUPPORTS THIS MOVEMENT AND RELOCATED POSITION. THE LATEST POSITION IS A RELOCATION APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EAST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. B. TS 02W IS CURRENTLY UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A STRONG WESTWARD WIND BURST. THIS STEERING INFLUENCE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TS 02W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK POLEWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. A LONGWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO ENHANCE THE WEAKNESS. HOWEVER AFTER 36 HOURS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK IN. TS 02W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK POLEWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THEN TURN WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE BUILDING RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSIST OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE GLOBAL (EGRR), JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM), AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS. NOGAPS, EGGR, AND AVN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. JGSM DEPICTS A MORE POLEWARD BIAS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON JGSM. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT CONSOLIDATES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNTIL LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD WHERE THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE UNDER LESS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. D. INITIAL AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 00:10:40 2003 X-UIDL: 21947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004ZO3FOTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:07:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39G740A069866 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:07:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3956OHm004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:59:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 65885 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:58:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39FwmeQ035540 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:58:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39FwCid013264 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:58:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39FwCrB013263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:58:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 10:58:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304091558.h39FwCrB013263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 091558 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST THU APR 10 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W NEARLY STATIONARY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL AND PINGELAP. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOSRAE. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 4.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND 170 MILES WEST OF KOSRAE. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE NORTHWEST AND INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 4.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY A SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 03:17:04 2003 X-UIDL: 21957-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004G0BRKTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 03:06:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39J6u0A020123 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 03:06:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39IGPjs004574; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 14:00:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 70975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 14:00:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39J0teQ005674 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 14:00:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39J0Jid019769 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 14:00:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39J0JdK019768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 14:00:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 14:00:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304091900.h39J0JdK019768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 091900 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST THU APR 10 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W MOVING TO THE NORTH... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL AND PINGELAP. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOSRAE. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 5.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND 170 MILES WEST OF KOSRAE. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTH AT 9 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 5.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 04:47:04 2003 X-UIDL: 21962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004S7G05TA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:38:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39KcW0A049374 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:38:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39JjopK023562; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:26:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 72967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:25:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39KPQeQ013114 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:25:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39KOpid022924 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:24:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39KOo05022923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:24:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:24:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304092024.h39KOo05022923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 5.3N8 160.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 5.3N8 160.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 6.5N1 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 7.9N6 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 8.9N7 157.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 9.6N5 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.4N5 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 5.6N1 160.3E0. TROPICAL STORM 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) STILL SLIGHTLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4, 100900Z0, 101500Z7 AND 102100Z4. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 04:47:04 2003 X-UIDL: 21963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004U6G1CTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:39:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39KdH0A049601 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:39:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39JjoqE023562; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:29:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 73043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:29:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39KTVeQ044170 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:29:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39KSuid023086 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:28:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39KSuQl023085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:28:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 15:28:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304092028.h39KSuQl023085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 05.1N 159.2E MARSHALLS MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 06.0N 158.1E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 48N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 160E TO 48N 163E 47N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 163E TO 46N 166E 44N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 163E TO 43N 160E 37N 156E 30N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 155E 46N 168E 39N 166E 39N 153E 47N 155E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 175E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 130E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 06:07:06 2003 X-UIDL: 21967-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD3004HHK0YTA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 06:05:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39M5Q0A070829 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 06:05:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39JjoB4023562; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:50:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:47:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39LlGeQ008768 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:47:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h39Lkeid025387 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h39LkeIl025386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 16:46:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304092146.h39LkeIl025386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 092147 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST THU APR 10 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL AND PINGELAP. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOSRAE. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 5.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 170 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND 190 MILES WEST OF KOSRAE. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 5.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 09:07:07 2003 X-UIDL: 21972-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD300DGBS5MJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:00:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A10x0A011643 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:01:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39K9rM2041824; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 19:56:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 79275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 19:56:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A0uDeQ020226 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 19:56:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A0tbid027859 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 19:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A0tb7f027858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 19:55:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 19:55:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100055.h3A0tb7f027858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 100055 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST THU APR 10 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W MOVING THROUGH POHNPEI STATE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL AND PINGELAP. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR KOSRAE...BUT WILL BE DISCONTINUED THIS AFTERNOON IF THE FASTER NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION CONTINUES. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 6.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 140 MILES EAST OF POHNPEI AND 210 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KOSRAE. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH. AN AUTOMATED ANEMOMETER ON PINGELAP RECORDED A MAXIMUM GUST OF 60 MPH AS THE CENTER PASSED NEARBY THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 6.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ JILLSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 10:07:07 2003 X-UIDL: 21979-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD300DNSUT6J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:58:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A1wL0A030690 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:58:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A1RXig012726; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 20:50:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 80168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 20:50:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A1oBeQ036018 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 20:50:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A1nZid028594 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 20:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A1nZKX028593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 20:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 20:49:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100149.h3A1nZKX028593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 6.8N4 160.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 6.8N4 160.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 8.2N0 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 9.3N2 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 10.0N1 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 10.7N8 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 11.3N5 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 7.1N8 160.0E7. TROPICAL STORM 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TRACK SPEED HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0, 101500Z7, 102100Z4 AND 110300Z5. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 10:10:38 2003 X-UIDL: 21982-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD300D67VB6J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:09:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A29A0A034141 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:09:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39K9rQY041824; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:04:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 80409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:04:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A24deQ038332 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:04:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A243id028793 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:04:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A243n0028792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:04:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:04:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100204.h3A243n0028792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR/ 05// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 091200Z2 TO 121200Z6 APR 03. A. TROPICAL STORM 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TRACK SPEED HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. B. TS 02W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING POLEWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE LONGWAVE TROUGH EAST OF JAPAN AND TRACKING EASTWARD IS FORECAST TO ENHANCE THE WEAKNESS. AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK IN AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH PASSES NORTHEASTWARD. TS 02W WILL THEN COME UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, TRANSITIONING TO A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD COURSE AFTER THE MID-PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM), AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT CONSOLIDATES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE AT A SLIGHTLY LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE UNDER LESS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. D. INITIAL WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT, MICROWAVE SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/WAUGAMAN/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 10:37:07 2003 X-UIDL: 21983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD300DS7WH1J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:34:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A2YI0A042791 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:34:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39K9rS6041824; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:28:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 80771 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:28:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A2S6eQ033502 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A2RUid029056 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A2RUo8029055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 21:27:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100227.h3A2RUo8029055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 06.8N 160.2E MARSHALLS MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 07.5N 158.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 50N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 162E TO 51N 165E 50N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 168E TO 48N 175E 45N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 168E TO 43N 166E 36N 156E 32N 151E 27N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 38N 148E 28N 140E 33N 136E 35N 141E 39N 142E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 169E 49N 174E 44N 178E 32N 161E 37N 155E 43N 166E 48N 170E 50N 169E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 133E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 13:59:41 2003 X-UIDL: 21985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD300DJ6ZOLJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 11:43:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A3he0A065191 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 11:43:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h39K9rWO041824; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 22:38:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 81760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 22:38:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A3cKeQ039700 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 22:38:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A3biid029737 for ; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 22:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A3biF5029736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Apr 2003 22:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Apr 2003 22:37:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100337.h3A3biF5029736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 100338 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST THU APR 10 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W NO LONGER A THREAT TO KOSRAE... THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR KOSRAE IS DISCONTINUED AT 2 PM GUAM LST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL AND PINGELAP. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 125 MILES EAST OF POHNPEI AND 240 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KOSRAE. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWEST AND SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ JILLSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 13:59:51 2003 X-UIDL: 21994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DTV5NZJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 13:52:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5qr0A003162 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 13:52:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELhc041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:48:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 83827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:47:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5l8eQ028374 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A5kWid001101 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:46:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A5kVwm001099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 00:46:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100546.h3A5kVwm001099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR 6.8N4 160.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 100300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 15:08:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DET92VJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:06:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A76c0A024689 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:06:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELj4041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:02:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 84410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:02:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A72CeQ019432 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:02:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A71aid001793 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A71a6T001792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:01:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:01:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100701.h3A71a6T001792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 100702 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST THU APR 10 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W NEAR ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO POHNPEI... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL AND PINGELAP. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 105 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE NORTHWEST AND SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 15:58:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400D3VBCLJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:55:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A7tc0A039554 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:55:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELkM041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:50:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 84869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:50:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A7oFeQ037154 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:50:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A7ndid002135 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A7ndwd002134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 02:49:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100749.h3A7ndwd002134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 7.6N3 159.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N3 159.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 8.8N6 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 9.9N8 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 10.8N9 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 11.2N4 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 11.4N6 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 7.9N6 159.3E8. TROPICAL STORM 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 83 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS AND RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7, 102100Z4, 110300Z5 AND 110900Z1.// RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 17:10:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400D3HD53J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:34:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A8YD0A050807 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:34:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELkk041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 03:28:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 03:28:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A8S7eQ027016 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 03:28:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A8RVid002447 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 03:27:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A8RVVg002446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 03:27:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 03:27:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100827.h3A8RVVg002446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 07.7N 159.7E MARSHALLS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 09.2N 157.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 52N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 164E TO 53N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 168E TO 53N 174E 51N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 168E TO 43N 169E 38N 160E 33N 155E 27N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 146E 38N 151E 33N 152E 30N 147E 34N 142E 38N 146E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 57N 165E 54N 180E 46N 180E 35N 170E 37N 159E 46N 168E 52N 162E 57N 165E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 135E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 18:11:52 2003 X-UIDL: 22018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DJDH6UJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 18:01:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AA1i0A079835 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 18:01:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5ELlg041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:55:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85580 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:55:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A9tMeQ043512 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:55:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3A9skid003243 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3A9skna003242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:54:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 04:54:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304100954.h3A9skna003242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 100955 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST THU APR 10 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W AT ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO POHNPEI... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL AND PINGELAP. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 100 MILES NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 22:10:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400D7NQBXJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:19:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ADJA0A041965 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:19:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ABvxma012730; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:08:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 87144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AD2JeQ031524 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AD1hid005399 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:01:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AD1dW1005397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:01:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101301.h3AD1dW1005397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 101302 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST THU APR 10 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W MOVING AWAY FROM POHNPEI... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR POHNPEI...MOKIL AND PINGELAP ARE DISCONTINUED AS OF 11 PM GUAM LST. NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 100 MILES NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO THE TROPICAL STORM 02W LOCAL STATEMENT...WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST FRIDAY MORNING. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 22:10:43 2003 X-UIDL: 22028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DGZSP2J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:10:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AEAH0A061905 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:10:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5EL3G041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:59:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 88307 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ADxueQ019690 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:59:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ADxKid007154 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:59:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ADxKj2007153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:59:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 08:59:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101359.h3ADxKj2007153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 101500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 8.1N9 159.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.1N9 159.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 9.2N1 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 10.1N2 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 10.6N7 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 10.9N0 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 11.0N2 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 8.4N2 158.7E1. TROPICAL STORM 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 83 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTING 40 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LLCC REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4, 110300Z5, 110900Z1 AND 111500Z8. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 22:25:37 2003 X-UIDL: 22029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DJXT8HJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:21:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AEM00A066051 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:22:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5EL4C041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:16:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 88531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:16:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AEGNeQ019472 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:16:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AEFlid007926 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:15:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AEFkK2007925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:15:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:15:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101415.h3AEFkK2007925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 101500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR/ 07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 101200Z4 TO 131200Z7 APR 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 83 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTING 40 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LLCC REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TS 02W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE LONGWAVE TROUGH EAST OF JAPAN IS FORECAST TO ENHANCE THE WEAKNESS. AFTER THE 24 HOUR PERIOD, THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK IN AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH PASSES NORTHEASTWARD. TS 02W WILL THEN COME UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THIS SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, TRANSITIONING TO A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD COURSE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM), AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT CONSOLIDATES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE AT A SLIGHTLY LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE UNDER LESS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. D. INITIAL WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 10 22:40:25 2003 X-UIDL: 22031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400DSCTXIJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:36:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AEaw0A071609 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 22:37:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3A5EL4i041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:30:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 88656 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AEUJeQ014046 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AEThid008402 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AETht8008401 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 09:29:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101429.h3AETht8008401@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 53N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 166E TO 51N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 174E TO 48N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 174E TO 47N 174E 41N 167E 34N 159E 27N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 52N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 08.0N 158.9E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 162E 56N 170E 56N 180E 44N 180E 39N 166E 48N 170E 52N 160E 55N 162E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 138E ESE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 00:15:24 2003 X-UIDL: 22039-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD400D93Y41J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:07:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AG7J0A001437 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:07:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ADVl5o012736; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:59:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 90254 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:59:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AFxOeQ039940 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:59:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AFwmid011702 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:58:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AFwm2h011701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:58:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 10:58:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304101558.h3AFwm2h011701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 101559 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST FRI APR 11 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W MOVING AWAY FROM POHNPEI... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 158.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 110 MILES NORTH OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 158.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 04:23:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500DPP9RHJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:18:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AKIw0A076292 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:19:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XkY041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:10:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 95904 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:10:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AKAseQ026556 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:10:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AKAGid020144 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:10:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AKAGs8020143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:10:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:10:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304102010.h3AKAGs8020143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 102100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 8.4N2 158.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N2 158.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 9.3N2 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 9.9N8 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 10.2N3 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.4N5 153.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.7N8 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 8.6N4 158.3E7. TROPICAL STORM 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 101730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS AS WELL AS RECENT QUIKSCAT DATA DEPICTING 40 KNOTS NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LLCC REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5, 110900Z1, 111500Z8 AND 112100Z5. RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 04:43:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500DV5AK3J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:36:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AKa90A081547 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:36:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7Xlq041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:28:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:28:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AKSDeQ033400 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:28:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3AKRZid020870 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3AKRYvc020869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 15:27:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304102027.h3AKRYvc020869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 53N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 164E TO 54N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 179E TO 50N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 179E TO 48N 176E 43N 170E 35N 165E 26N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 52N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 52N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 08.6N 157.4E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 56N 160E 57N 180E 45N 180E 41N 170E 49N 172E 52N 160E 56N 160E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 140E ESE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 109E TO 27N 116E 29N 120E 29N 124E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 05:33:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22061-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500DK4CVRJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 05:26:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ALQJ0A092514 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 05:26:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7Xqo041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:17:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 97240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:17:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ALHPeQ046266 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:17:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ALGlid022771 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:16:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ALGlFb022770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:16:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 16:16:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304102116.h3ALGlFb022770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 102117 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 02W ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST FRI APR 11 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 02W CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM POHNPEI... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 158.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 120 MILES NORTH OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 158.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 09:03:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500FQUMUJNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:01:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B11c0A043281 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:01:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AMbHsm038148; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:56:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 99933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B0rVeQ044186 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:53:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B0qrid026373 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:52:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B0qr40026372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:52:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 19:52:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110052.h3B0qr40026372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 110000 WARNING 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09.0N 157.8E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 10.5N 155.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 11.0N 152.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 11.5N 149.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 10:33:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22073-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500FAUQR4NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:25:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B2Px0A070880 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:26:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XB8041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:19:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 101120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:16:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B2GfeQ013824 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:16:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B2G2id027552 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:16:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B2G2mf027551 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:16:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:16:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w (kujira) Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110216.h3B2G2mf027551@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 110300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 09// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 110000Z2 TO 140000Z5 APR 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 105 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, HOWEVER IT HAS BECOME LESS SO IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS WELL. B. TS 02W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD IN TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM AND THE LONGWAVE TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN ENHANCING THE WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE BEGINS TO TRANSLATE EASTWARD. AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD, TS 02W IS FORECAST TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5 AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT TRANSITIONS TO THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND THEN TRACKS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE RIDGE OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. D. INITIAL WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE DATA AND A QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 10:33:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500FFOQRPNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:26:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B2QJ0A071100 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:26:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XBO041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:19:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 101137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B2IeeQ047176 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:18:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B2I2id027568 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B2I2NN027567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:18:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:18:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110218.h3B2I2NN027567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 8.7N5 158.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N5 158.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 9.4N3 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 10.0N1 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 10.4N5 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 277 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 10.6N5 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.7N8 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 8.9N7 157.7E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 105 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 102330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, HOWEVER IT HAS BECOME LESS SO IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AS WELL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1, 111500Z8, 112100Z5 AND 120300Z6. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 10:43:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500FFLR5CNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:34:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B2YQ0A074119 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:34:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XBW041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:28:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 101217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B2RweQ015366 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B2RKid027657 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B2RKOO027656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 21:27:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110227.h3B2RKOO027656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 53N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 166E TO 55N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 179W TO 52N 172W 49N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 179W TO 46N 178E 38N 169E 27N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 53N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 127E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 32N 116E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 144E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 1004 HPA AT 09.0N 157.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 110E TO 26N 115E 28N 121E 28N 126E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 12:23:45 2003 X-UIDL: 22083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD500FSNW2GNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:20:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B4Kh0A013391 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 12:20:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XH6041826; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 23:14:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 102379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 23:14:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B4EUeQ044262 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 23:14:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B4Dqid028920 for ; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 23:13:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B4DqUr028919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Apr 2003 23:13:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Apr 2003 23:13:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110413.h3B4DqUr028919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 110414 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA 02W ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST FRI APR 11 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA 02W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA 02W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 157.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 140 MILES NORTH OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA 02W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA 02W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 157.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ALSO SEE WWPQ80 PGUM FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 14:13:44 2003 X-UIDL: 22089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FVB0U3NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 14:03:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B63j0A043299 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 14:03:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XJI041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:51:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:51:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B5p4eQ023750 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:51:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B5oQid029951 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B5oQAC029949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:50:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 00:50:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110550.h3B5oQAC029949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 158.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:18 2003 X-UIDL: 22096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600F7R397NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 14:55:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B6u10A059939 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 14:56:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XKO041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:50:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:50:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B6o3eQ023616 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:50:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B6nLid000558 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:49:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B6nLlE000557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:49:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 01:49:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110649.h3B6nLlE000557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 110600 WARNING 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 1000 HPA AT 09.5N 156.4E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 09.9N 152.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 10.0N 148.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 11.0N 143.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:30 2003 X-UIDL: 22106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FZS6TONP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:13:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B8D60A085295 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:13:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XMO041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:07:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:07:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B874eQ018484 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:07:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B86Qid001387 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:06:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B86QW0001386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:06:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:06:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110806.h3B86QW0001386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 9.6N5 156.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N5 156.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 10.3N4 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 10.5N6 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.5N6 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.5N6 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.7N8 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 9.8N7 156.3E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 182 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8, 112100Z5, 120300Z6 AND 120900Z2. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 22109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FDX7VSNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:35:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B8Zx0A093025 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:36:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XMe041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:30:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:30:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B8UceQ013266 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B8U0id001592 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:30:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B8TxDB001591 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 03:29:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110829.h3B8TxDB001591@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 53N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 164E TO 58N 171E 56N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 180E TO 53N 170W 48N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 180E TO 51N 180E 47N 176E 38N 173E 31N 170E 26N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 52N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 135E 28N 137E 28N 127E 34N 127E 35N 131E 34N 135E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 128E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 60N 140E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 32N 119E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 34N 146E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 1000 HPA AT 09.5N 156.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 112E TO 25N 118E 27N 120E 27N 125E 29N 129E 26N 135E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 19:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 22112-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FWOB59NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 17:46:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B9kN0A017417 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 17:46:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XNW041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:40:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:40:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B9eqeQ018600 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:40:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3B9eDid002327 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:40:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3B9eDoj002326 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:40:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 04:40:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304110940.h3B9eDoj002326@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 110940 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST FRI APR 11 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA MOVING FASTER TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 156.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 800 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE WEST AND SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 156.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. ALSO SEE WWPQ80 PGUM FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST SATURDAY. $$ JILLSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 21:15:08 2003 X-UIDL: 22129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FUXKL9NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:10:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BDAQ0A074567 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:10:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3B7WbCG038148; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:51:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 107122 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:50:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BCoNeQ009478 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:50:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BCnjid004213 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:49:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BCnihS004212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:49:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 07:49:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111249.h3BCnihS004212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 111200 WARNING 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 996 HPA AT 09.8N 155.6E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 09.7N 151.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 10.5N 147.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 12.5N 143.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 21:55:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22132-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FDKMMGNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:54:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BDsJ0A086967 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:54:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XXs041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:43:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 107794 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:43:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BDhSeQ032332 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:43:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BDgoid005536 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:42:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BDgoYh005535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:42:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 08:42:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111342.h3BDgoYh005535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 10.0N1 156.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 156.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 10.3N4 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 10.3N4 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 10.4N5 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.4N5 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 10.8N9 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.1N2 155.6E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5, 120300Z6, 120900Z2 AND 121500Z9. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 22:15:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FQONFKNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:11:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BEBp0A091537 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:11:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7XZm041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:02:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:02:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BE2ueQ037380 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:02:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BE2Hid006174 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:02:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BE2H1Q006173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:02:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:02:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w (kujira) Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111402.h3BE2H1Q006173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 11// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 111200Z5 TO 150000Z6 APR 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE CONVECTION. B. TS 02W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD IN TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM AND THE LONGWAVE TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN ENHANCING THE WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE BEGINS TO TRANSLATE EASTWARD. TS 02W IS FORECAST TO TAKE A MORE WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND GFDN MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS TRACKING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. D. INITIAL WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE DATA AND A QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 22:45:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FZ5OO8NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:38:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BEcd0A099092 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 22:38:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3AJ7Xbm041826; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:28:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BESTeQ010754 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BERpid007202 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BERpWs007201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 09:27:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111427.h3BERpWs007201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 52N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 167E TO 56N 173E 55N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 180E TO 54N 171W 52N 162W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 180E TO 49N 178W 43N 178E 32N 175E 25N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 52N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 136E 25N 136E 27N 129E 31N 130E 33N 132E 33N 136E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER BOHAI YELLOW SEA MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 31N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 150E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 996 HPA AT 09.8N 155.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 110E TO 27N 116E 26N 123E 29N 130E 27N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 11 23:55:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD600FUNRYTNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Apr 2003 23:49:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BFnh0A019259 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 23:49:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BFUEgi038148; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:36:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 109986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BFW6eQ022362 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:32:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BFVSid009485 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:31:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BFVSL5009484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:31:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 10:31:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111531.h3BFVSL5009484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 111531 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST SAT APR 12 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA NORTHEAST OF CHUUK STATE... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 750 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE WEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 03:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 22163-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD700FQ20YJNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 03:03:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BJ420A072402 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 03:04:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3Cig010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:50:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 97139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:50:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BIoWeQ028814 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:50:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BInsid016054 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BInsC5016053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 13:49:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304111849.h3BInsC5016053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 111800 WARNING 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 996 HPA AT 09.8N 155.2E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 10.0N 152.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 10.0N 149.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 11.5N 145.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 04:45:11 2003 X-UIDL: 22168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD700F4D576NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:35:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BKZb0A003228 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:35:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CnC010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:19:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98247 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:17:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BKHXeQ029916 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:17:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BKGsid018651 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BKGsiu018649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:16:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304112016.h3BKGsiu018649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIII, Probability=18%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 10.2N3 155.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N3 155.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 10.5N6 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.7N8 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.8N9 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.8N9 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.6N8 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 155.0E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NO LONGER EXPOSED, AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6, 120900Z2, 121500Z9 AND 122100Z6. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 04:45:12 2003 X-UIDL: 22169-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD700F9B5C6NP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:38:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BKcV0A003848 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:38:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3d1U025816; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:27:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BKRjeQ031660 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BKR7id019051 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BKR7Zx019050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 15:27:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304112027.h3BKR7Zx019050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 52N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 170E TO 58N 177E 55N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 175W TO 54N 165W 49N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 175W TO 50N 175W 44N 179W 35N 178E 26N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 132E 36N 140E 34N 147E 26N 138E 30N 132E 33N 132E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 58N 143E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 125E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 153E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 996 HPA AT 09.8N 155.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 111E TO 26N 116E 26N 122E 30N 132E 26N 137E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 05:55:15 2003 X-UIDL: 22171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD700FQH8GTNP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 05:46:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BLk30A019518 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 05:46:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3C1K010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:32:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 100263 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:32:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BLWieQ005508 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:32:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3BLW5id021030 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:32:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3BLW5Ib021029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:32:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 16:32:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304112132.h3BLW5Ib021029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 112132 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SAT APR 12 2003 ..KUJIRA NORTHEAST OF CHUUK STATE AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 710 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 08:55:15 2003 X-UIDL: 22180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD7007AIH7IE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 08:54:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C0t00A057498 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 08:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CAE010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 19:49:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 102507 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 19:49:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C0nleQ015292 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 19:49:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C0n9id023492 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 19:49:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C0n8oR023491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 19:49:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 19:49:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120049.h3C0n8oR023491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 120000 WARNING 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 992 HPA AT 09.8N 154.1E NORTHEAST OF TRUK MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 09.8N 151.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 10.0N 149.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 11.5N 144.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 10:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 22184-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD7007Z1K8HE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:00:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C20L0A076431 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:00:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CCC010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:54:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103001 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:54:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C1s8eQ032460 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:54:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C1rUid023966 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:53:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C1rUs2023965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:53:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:53:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w (kujira) Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120153.h3C1rUs2023965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 120000Z3 TO 150000Z6 APR 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE, WITH WELL-DEFINED OUTFLOW NOW APPARENT. B. TS 02W CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD, AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POLEWARD BUILDS IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH FROM MAINLAND ASIA MOVING UP THE BACKSIDE OF THE RIDGE. WHILE A SUBTLE WEAKNESS DEVELOPS POLEWARD OF 02W, BETWEEN INDIVIDUAL HEIGHT CENTERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, THE RIDGE ITSELF MAINTAINS STRENGTH, KEEPING 02W ON A WESTWARD TRACK. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, JAPANESE TYPHOON (JTYM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND GFDN MODELS ARE IN VERY CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST AS UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE BECOMES MORE FAVORABLE AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WESTWARD UNDER THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE. D. INITIAL WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 111941Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 10:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 22185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD70077BKCRE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:02:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C22o0A077188 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:02:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CCE010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:55:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:55:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C1tAeQ032480 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:55:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C1sWid023976 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:54:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C1sWAJ023975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:54:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 20:54:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120154.h3C1sWAJ023975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIII, Probability=18%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 10.3N4 154.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 154.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 10.5N6 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 10.4N5 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.5N6 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.7N8 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.5N7 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 154.0E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE, WITH WELL-DEFINED OUTFLOW NOW APPARENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2, 121500Z9, 122100Z6 AND 130300Z7. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 10:35:13 2003 X-UIDL: 22188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD7007D3LU0E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:34:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C2Ys0A087213 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:34:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CCe010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C2RveQ028942 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C2RJid024299 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C2RJC1024298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 21:27:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120227.h3C2RJC1024298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 978 HPA AT 52N 171E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 169E TO 59N 177E 57N 172W. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 172W TO 55N 165W 50N 156W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 172W TO 45N 176W 33N 178W 24N 172E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 128E 26N 128E 30N 133E 31N 135E 27N 138E 24N 137E 24N 128E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 32N 133E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 57N 144E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 32N 158E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 992 HPA AT 09.8N 154.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 133E TO 31N 136E 28N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 133E TO 30N 132E 28N 127E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 127E TO 28N 120E 25N 111E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 14:50:40 2003 X-UIDL: 22198-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD70078UQ9TE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 12:10:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C4Al0A010705 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 12:10:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CG6010818; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 23:02:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 23:02:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C42ixl005060 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 23:02:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C425id025088 for ; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 23:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C425PZ025087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Apr 2003 23:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 23:02:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120402.h3C425PZ025087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 120402 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST SAT APR 12 2003 ..KUJIRA NORTHEAST OF CHUUK STATE AND MOVING WEST... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. RESIDENTS OF THE MARIANAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 154.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 660 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH NEAR THE CENTER. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND INTENSIFY INTO A TYPHOON OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH...EXTEND ABOUT 100 MILES OUTWARD FROM THE CENTER. THE FORECAST TRACK BRINGS KUJIRA SOUTH OF THE MARIANAS BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. IF THIS TRACK CONTINUES A TYPHOON WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR THE MARIANAS LATE TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 154.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ MILLER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD7007I5XVME3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 14:54:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C6t50A049554 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 14:55:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CJS010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:49:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C6ndxl011436 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:49:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C6mvid026275 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C6mvNW026274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 01:48:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120648.h3C6mvNW026274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 120600 WARNING 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 990 HPA AT 10.0N 153.0E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 10.4N 150.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 11.5N 147.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 13.0N 142.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22211-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD700742ZVNE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 15:38:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C7cE0A059560 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 15:38:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C4AgH9044306; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105603 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C7Tdxl037414 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C7T1id026519 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C7T0no026517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 02:29:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120729.h3C7T0no026517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3, TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 154.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:43 2003 X-UIDL: 22213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007W22HJE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:34:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C8Yb0A073361 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:34:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CKq010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 03:29:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 105923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 03:29:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C8T2xl031712 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 03:29:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C8SNid026964 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 03:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C8SNhT026963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 03:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 03:28:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120828.h3C8SNhT026963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 53N 173E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 58N 179E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 155E 40N 160E 36N 160E 34N 154E 39N 155E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 136E 29N 140E 24N 134E 23N 123E 28N 129E 32N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 48N 128E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 135E ENE 20 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 49N 140E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 161E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 990 HPA AT 10.0N 153.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 135E TO 31N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 135E TO 29N 130E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 130E TO 28N 118E 26N 110E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:43 2003 X-UIDL: 22214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD80077249VE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 17:13:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C9Cx0A081454 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 17:13:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C4AgNT044306; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:08:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:08:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C98Sxl008524 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:08:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C97oid027266 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:07:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C97otn027265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:07:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:07:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Navoceano Stennis Space Center Ms//n16// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120907.h3C97otn027265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 10.3N4 153.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 153.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.3N4 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.5N6 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.7N8 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 11.1N3 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.3N6 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 153.0E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9, 122100Z6, 130300Z7 AND 130900Z3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:44 2003 X-UIDL: 22218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD80077Q6Q1E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 18:06:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CA680A094192 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 18:06:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CLO010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:59:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:59:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3C9x8xl048670 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:59:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3C9wUid027621 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:58:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3C9wUIZ027620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:58:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 04:58:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304120958.h3C9wUIZ027620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 120959 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST SAT APR 12 2003 ..TYPHOON WATCH ISSUED FOR GUAM AND ROTA... A TYPHOON WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA AS OF 8 PM. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 153.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 620 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A TYPHOON OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH...EXTEND UP TO 120 MILES EAST OF THE CENTER AND 80 MILES WEST OF THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 153.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM SUNDAY. $$ JILLSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:45 2003 X-UIDL: 22220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007A5EHHE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 20:53:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CCrl0A029354 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 20:53:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CNq010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:45:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 107314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:45:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CCjgxl014846 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CCj4id028689 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:45:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CCj3vB028688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:45:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:45:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121245.h3CCj3vB028688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 121245 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST SAT APR 12 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA PASSING NORTH OF CHUUK... A TYPHOON WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK AND 575 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND SAIPAN. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A TYPHOON OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH...EXTEND UP TO 120 MILES EAST OF THE CENTER AND 80 MILES WEST OF THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM GUAM LST SUNDAY. $$ JILLSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:45 2003 X-UIDL: 22221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007DUEKUE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 20:55:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CCtm0A029776 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 20:55:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CO8010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:48:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 107374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:48:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CCmjxl047984 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:48:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CCm7id028722 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:48:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CCm7qg028721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:48:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 07:48:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121248.h3CCm7qg028721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 121200 WARNING 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 990 HPA AT 10.1N 152.3E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 10.7N 149.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 12.0N 145.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 13.5N 140.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:45 2003 X-UIDL: 22223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007LJJ2FE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:32:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CEWf0A049983 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:32:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CR6010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:27:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CEROxl040788 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:27:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CEQkid029403 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CEQjc9029402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:26:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:26:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121426.h3CEQjc9029402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 53N 176E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 160E 48N 170E 43N 170E 38N 160E 43N 160E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 139E 30N 143E 26N 140E 27N 130E 32N 139E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 147E 47N 154E 45N 158E 40N 150E 44N 147E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 132E ESE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 139E ENE 30 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 149E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 167E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 990 HPA AT 10.1N 152.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 139E TO 31N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 139E TO 30N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 134E TO 28N 129E 28N 122E 26N 112E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:46 2003 X-UIDL: 22224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007HRJW8E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:50:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CEoZ0A053544 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:50:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CRI010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:44:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108244 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:44:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CEirxl037416 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:44:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CEiFid029551 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CEiFbg029550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 09:44:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121444.h3CEiFbg029550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 10.3N4 152.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 152.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 10.4N5 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.5N6 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.8N9 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.3N5 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.8N1 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 152.3E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45, 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 121133Z1 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) IMAGERY AT REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED WELL-DEFINED BANDING FEATURES ON BOTH THE EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD SIDES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6, 130300Z7, 130900Z3 AND 131500Z0. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 12 23:49:46 2003 X-UIDL: 22226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD800795METE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Apr 2003 23:44:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CFj00A064092 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 23:45:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CRa010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:35:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 108424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:35:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CFZPxl028948 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:35:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CFYkid000444 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:34:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CFYkBe000443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:34:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 10:34:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121534.h3CFYkBe000443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 121535 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST SUN APR 13 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA PASSING NORTH OF CHUUK... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH OF CHUUK AND 550 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY INTO A TYPHOON OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH...EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 02:09:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007AWSU2E3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 02:03:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CI3i0A095026 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 02:03:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CXw010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 12:58:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 110114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 12:58:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CHw4xl048060 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 12:58:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CHvQid001760 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 12:57:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CHvQ3O001759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 12:57:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 12:57:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w (kujira) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121757.h3CHvQ3O001759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIII, Probability=56%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 121500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING/ NR 15 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 121200Z6 TO 151200Z9 APR 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. A TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) PASS AT 121133Z1 REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED WELL-DEFINED BANDING FEATURES ON BOTH THE EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD SIDES. B. TS 02W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROPOGATE EASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TS 02W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS AND TRANSITION TO A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE MOVES EASTWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AIR FORCE GLOBAL (MM5), COAMPS, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. COAMPS AND MM5 CONTINUE TO SHOW AN EQUATORWARD BIAS IN FORECAST TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON MM5 AND COAMPS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS TS 02W TRANSITS THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. D. INITIAL WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 120813Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. THIS MESSAGE CORRECTS PARA 2.A. 4. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:48 2003 X-UIDL: 22232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD80073NUREE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 02:45:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CIjK0A004289 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 02:45:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CHWp5X044306; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:37:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 110470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:37:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CIblxl044138 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:37:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CIb8id002175 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:37:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CIb81t002174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:37:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:37:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121837.h3CIb81t002174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 121837 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST SUN APR 13 2003 ..KUJIRA NEARING TYPHOON INTENSITY... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH OF CHUUK AND 500 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TYPHOON LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS GREATER THAN 39 MPH...EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:48 2003 X-UIDL: 22233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007HVVADE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 02:56:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CIui0A006570 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 02:56:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CZQ010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:50:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 110526 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:50:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CIoaxl023664 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CInwid002260 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:49:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CInwUC002259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:49:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 13:49:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304121849.h3CInwUC002259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 121800 WARNING 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 10.1N 151.5E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 10.8N 148.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 12.0N 144.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 14.5N 140.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:49 2003 X-UIDL: 22234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD8007GRZVEE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 04:35:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CKZe0A032428 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 04:35:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3Cbu010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 15:27:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 111251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 15:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CKRnxl047302 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 15:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CKRBid003142 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 15:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CKRBlT003141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 15:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 15:27:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304122027.h3CKRBlT003141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 55N 179E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 41N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 151E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 38N 142E 44N 145E 46N 150E 46N 163E 40N 163E 30N 148E 30N 140E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 46N 134E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 57N 135E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 34N 174E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 985 HPA AT 10.1N 151.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 34N 145E 32N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 33N 139E 32N 134E 30N 130E 29N 127E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 127E TO 28N 123E 27N 119E 26N 116E 26N 112E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:49 2003 X-UIDL: 22235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9007VV1RXE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 05:16:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLGi0A040884 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 05:16:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3CcU010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:05:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 111584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CL5Vxl006588 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CL4rid003466 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:04:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CL4r2o003465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:04:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:04:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304122104.h3CL4r2o003465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 016 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 10.3N4 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.4N5 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 10.6N7 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.9N0 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.5N7 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.1N5 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 151.0E7. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WELL-DEFINED RADIAL OUTFLOW ABOVE TY 02W, AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN BOTH COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7, 130900Z3, 131500Z0 AND 132100Z7. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:50 2003 X-UIDL: 22236-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9007YL1VDE3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 05:18:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLIt0A041312 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 05:18:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3BI3Cce010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:14:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 111727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:14:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLEFxl023654 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:14:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3CLDaid003526 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:13:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3CLDaJr003525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:13:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 16:13:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304122113.h3CLDaJr003525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 122114 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SUN APR 13 2003 ..KUJIRA UPGRADED TO A TYPHOON... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON GUAM AND ROTA MONDAY EVENING. RESIDENTS OF ULITHI AND YAP SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS TYPHOON. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 200 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 475 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:55 2003 X-UIDL: 22244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9000B7BXMJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 08:56:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D0uGQZ032505 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 08:56:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnfje010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 19:50:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 113392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 19:50:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D0o6xl015278 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 19:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D0nRid005453 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 19:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D0nRH1005452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 19:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 19:49:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130049.h3D0nRH1005452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 130000 WARNING 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 980 HPA AT 10.0N 150.7E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 10.7N 147.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 12.0N 143.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 14.0N 138.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:56 2003 X-UIDL: 22245-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9000QOCESJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 09:06:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D16YQZ034518 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 09:06:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnfjm010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 20:01:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 113533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 20:01:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D11Nxl036914 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 20:01:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D10iid005570 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 20:00:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D10iDP005569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 20:00:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 20:00:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130100.h3D10iDP005569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 130101 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SUN APR 13 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA CONTINUES IS WESTWARD TRACK... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON GUAM AND ROTA MONDAY EVENING. RESIDENTS OF ULITHI AND YAP SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS TYPHOON. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 210 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 460 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 470 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ MILLER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:57 2003 X-UIDL: 22250-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9000E9FJBJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 10:13:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D2E0QZ047691 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 10:14:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnflw010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:07:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 114119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:07:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D27xxl025760 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:07:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D27Iid006116 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:07:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D27IYi006115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:07:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:07:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w (kujira) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130207.h3D27IYi006115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING/ NR 17// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 130000Z4 TO 160000Z7 APR 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE DEVELOPMENT OF A BANDING EYE FEATURE, AND WELL-DEFINED RADIAL OUTLFOW OVER THE SYSTEM. B. TY 02W CONTINUES ON A WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROPOGATE EASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, ALLOWING FOR A MORE POLEWARD TRACK LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AIR FORCE GLOBAL (MM5), COAMPS, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN THEIR TRACK BIASES IN RESPONSE TO THE STEERING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, AND REMAIN IN REASONABLY CLOSE AGREEMENT. COAMPS, MM5, NOGAPS AND GFDN CONTINUE TO SHOW AN EQUATORWARD BIAS IN FORECAST TRACK, WHILE EGRR, JGSM AND JTYM PERSIST WITH A POLEWARD BIAS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. D. INITIAL WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 121915Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS AND DETAILED ANALYSIS OF LATEST MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM, ADJUSTED TO REFLECT A LESSER POLEWARD GRADIENT IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:58 2003 X-UIDL: 22252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9000B4GD3J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 10:31:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D2VuQZ050978 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 10:32:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnfm8010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:27:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 114240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D2RSxl040856 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D2Qkid006407 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D2QkWN006406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 21:26:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130226.h3D2QkWN006406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 55N 179W BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 145E 40N 150E 50N 167E 45N 175E 33N 155E 33N 150E 35N 145E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 39N 142E 43N 145E 46N 150E 46N 160E 40N 160E 35N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 47N 134E EAST 10 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 41N 146E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 51N 151E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 56N 140E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 36N 176E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 980 HPA AT 10.0N 150.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 147E TO 37N 149E 36N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 147E TO 32N 141E 31N 134E 29N 130E 28N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 125E TO 27N 123E 27N 120E 26N 117E 25N 113E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 11:28:59 2003 X-UIDL: 22253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD90004NI2RJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 11:08:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D38nQZ057098 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 11:08:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnfnk010818; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:04:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 114672 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:04:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D348xl019422 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:04:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D33Rid006765 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:03:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D33RYd006764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:03:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:03:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130303.h3D33RYd006764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 10.3N4 150.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 150.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 10.3N4 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 10.5N6 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 10.9N0 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.5N7 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.0N4 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 150.3E9. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE DEVELOPMENT OF A BANDING EYE FEATURE, AND WELL-DEFINED RADIAL OUTLFOW OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3, 131500Z0, 132100Z7 AND 140300Z8. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 22:46:05 2003 X-UIDL: 22255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9000J0KD9J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 11:58:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D3wQQZ065891 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 11:58:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CMq5QV044312; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:54:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 115036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:54:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D3s6xl005070 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:54:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D3rPid007126 for ; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:53:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D3rPdg007125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:53:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Apr 2003 22:53:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130353.h3D3rPdg007125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 130353 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST SUN APR 13 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA CONTINUES ON ITS WESTWARD TRACK... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON GUAM AND ROTA MONDAY EVENING. RESIDENTS OF ULITHI AND YAP SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS TYPHOON. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 210 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 430 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ MILLER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 22:46:06 2003 X-UIDL: 22256-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9000VMOL8J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:29:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D5TdQZ086833 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:29:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnfw0010818; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:24:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 115801 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:23:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D5NHxl011494 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:23:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D5Maid007861 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:22:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D5MaMQ007859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:22:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 00:22:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130522.h3D5MaMQ007859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 150.7E3, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.4S8 180.0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.5S9 179.4W1, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION BEGINNING TO TURN CYCLONICALLY INWARD TOWARD A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATE FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, BUT MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 22:46:07 2003 X-UIDL: 22260-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9000HGSDKJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:51:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D6pJQZ007768 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:51:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CLnf0i010818; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:45:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 116494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D6juxl022340 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:45:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D6jFid008492 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D6jFVI008490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:45:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:45:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130645.h3D6jFVI008490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 130645 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST SUN APR 13 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA CONTINUES ON ITS WESTWARD TRACK... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON GUAM AND ROTA MONDAY EVENING. RESIDENTS OF ULITHI AND YAP SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS TYPHOON. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 410 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 435 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM GUAM LST. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 13 22:46:07 2003 X-UIDL: 22261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HD9000PWSN5J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:57:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D6vCQZ010773 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 14:57:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3CMq5cL044312; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:53:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 116525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:53:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3D6r5xl022380 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:53:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3D6r3MC000403 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:53:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3D6r2Rc000378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:53:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 01:53:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304130653.h3D6r2Rc000378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 130600 WARNING 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 980 HPA AT 10.1N 149.8E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 11.0N 146.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 13.0N 142.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 14.5N 137.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 05:51:20 2003 X-UIDL: 22276-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDA000UJP2CJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 02:37:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DIbRQZ059072 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 02:37:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuY8p010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:31:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 121441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:31:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DIVDxl022504 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:31:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3DIVDhO003101 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3DIVDRu003100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:31:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304131831.h3DIVDRu003100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 131831 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST MON APR 14 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA CONTINUES MOVING STEADILY WESTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND ULITHI. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROTA AND 590 MILES EAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST- NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 05:51:20 2003 X-UIDL: 22277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDA000DSPP8J1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 02:51:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DIpGQZ061362 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 02:51:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuY91010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:46:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 121559 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:46:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DIkXxl019386 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:46:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3DIkXhO003274 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:46:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3DIkX80003273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:46:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 13:46:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304131846.h3DIkX80003273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 131800 WARNING 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 975 HPA AT 10.4N 148.3E SOUTHEAST OF GUAM MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 11.5N 144.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 13.5N 139.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 15.0N 134.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 05:51:21 2003 X-UIDL: 22281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDA000QDU8WJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:29:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DKTSQZ087435 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:29:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYAh010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:21:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 122056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:21:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DKLqxl033020 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:21:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3DKLqhO004349 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:21:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3DKLqcc004348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:21:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:21:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304132021.h3DKLqcc004348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 10.2N3 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N3 148.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 10.5N6 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.1N3 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 11.8N0 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.7N0 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.0N5 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4 147.8E0. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES INDICATE A RAGGED 25 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8, 140900Z4, 141500Z1 AND 142100Z8. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 05:51:21 2003 X-UIDL: 22282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDA0005KUJHJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:35:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DKZmQZ089089 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:35:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYAn010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:30:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 122071 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DKUDxl032836 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3DKUDhO004437 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3DKUDh7004436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 15:30:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304132030.h3DKUDh7004436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 46N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 160E TO 48N 163E 49N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 160E TO 41N 157E 38N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 167E 51N 180E 44N 180E 40N 168E 47N 167E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 129E 30N 134E 33N 142E 35N 150E 30N 144E 25N 134E 26N 129E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 142E ENE 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 52N 163E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 37N 135E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 47N 144E SE 25 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 975 HPA AT 10.4N 148.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 115E TO 24N 118E 25N 125E 27N 131E 30N 134E 32N 139E 33N 142E 34N 148E 36N 153E 35N 156E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 05:51:22 2003 X-UIDL: 22283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDA000M9XLUJ1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 05:41:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DLfxQZ001324 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 05:42:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYCJ010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:32:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 122727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:32:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DLWaxl047104 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:32:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3DLWZhO005102 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3DLWZdE005101 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 16:32:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304132132.h3DLWZdE005101@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 132132 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST MON APR 14 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA CONTINUES MOVING STEADILY WESTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA AND ULITHI. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...315 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ROTA AND 560 MILES EAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST- NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 20 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 10:58:19 2003 X-UIDL: 22291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IVZ59KQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 08:27:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E0RTQZ029159 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 08:27:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYGh010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E0Jqxl024130 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E0JqhO006753 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E0JqUL006751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:19:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140019.h3E0JqUL006751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 140000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/140000Z/140600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/131951ZAPR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/132321ZAPR2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131800Z3, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N3 148.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 132100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3S8 178.5W1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 178.4W0, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WHILE CONTINUING TO TURN CYCLONICALLY INWARD TOWARD THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, BUT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS MARGINAL OVER THE AREA. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS APPARENT TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA, HELPING TO ACCENTUATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 132330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON CONTINUED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD. 4. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 10:58:20 2003 X-UIDL: 22293-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00I416NKQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 08:57:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E0vOQZ035436 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 08:57:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYHJ010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:50:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:50:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E0oPxl040212 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:50:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E0oOhO006974 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:50:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E0oOEt006973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:50:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 19:50:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140050.h3E0oOEt006973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 140000 WARNING 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 10.4N 147.3E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING WEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 11.4N 142.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 13.0N 137.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 14.0N 132.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 10:58:21 2003 X-UIDL: 22294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00I7T75CQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:08:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E188QZ037968 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:08:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYKN010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:02:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 124219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:02:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E12dxl048020 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:02:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E12dhO007160 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:02:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E12dGP007159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:02:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:02:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140102.h3E12dGP007159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 140102 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST MON APR 14 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA STILL MOVING WEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR GUAM. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND ULITHI. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...300 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ROTA AND 525 MILES EAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST- NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 10:58:22 2003 X-UIDL: 22301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IJ19UDQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:06:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E26HQZ054087 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:06:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYLx010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:55:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 124587 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:55:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E1tBxl036868 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:55:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E1tBhO007503 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:55:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E1tAA3007502 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:55:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 20:55:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140155.h3E1tAA3007502@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIII, Probability=18%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 10.3N4 147.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 147.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 10.8N9 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.4N6 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.1N4 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 12.9N2 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.1N6 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.4N5 146.7E8. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 90 KNOTS. THE 25 NM EYE FEATURE IS NOW CLEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EVEN MORE SYMMETRIC THAN 6 HOURS AGO IN LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND LATEST SSM/I (132239Z0 87 GHZ). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4, 141500Z1, 142100Z8 AND 150300Z9. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 10:58:22 2003 X-UIDL: 22302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IVZA70QL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:13:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E2DuQZ056383 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:13:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYM9010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:09:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 124620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:09:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E29Vxl028896 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:09:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E29UhO007641 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:09:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E29UFM007640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:09:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:09:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140209.h3E29UFM007640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING/ NR 21// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 140000Z5 TO 170000Z8 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 90 KNOTS. THE 25 NM EYE FEATURE IS NOW CLEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EVEN MORE SYMMETRIC THAN 6 HOURS AGO IN LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND LATEST SSM/I (132239Z0 87GHZ). B. TY 02W CONTINUES ON A NOW SLIGHTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE STEERING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. A SERIES OF MID-LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS EXITING EASTERN CHINA WILL BEGIN TO PROGRESSIVELY WEAKEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST TIME FRAME, ALLOWING TY 02W TO TRACK GRADUALLY POLEWARD TOWARD THE RESULTING WEAKNESS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSIST OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AIR FORCE GLOBAL (MM5), AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS. ALL REMAIN IN FAIRLY CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, AND ALL REMAIN CONSISTENT IN THEIR TRACK BIASES. EGRR APPEARS TOO AGGRESSIVE IN BREAKING DOWN THE RIDGE (POLEWARD), WHILE AFWA MM5 TRACKS STRAIGHT WEST. THE ONLY REAL CHANGE IS GFDN, IS NOW IN THE MIDDLE OF THE OTHERWISE TIGHT CLUSTER. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE RIDGE. D. INITIAL WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A PARTIAL 132030Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS AND ANALYSIS OF THE LATEST SSM/I PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII REMAIN BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM, ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE GRADIENT. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 10:58:23 2003 X-UIDL: 22303-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IWHA76QL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:13:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E2DxQZ056404 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:14:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYM7010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:08:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 124616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:08:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E28Txl040908 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:08:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E28ThO007623 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E28TGU007622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:08:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:08:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140208.h3E28TGU007622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING/ NR 21// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 140000Z5 TO 170000Z8 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 75 AND 90 KNOTS. THE 25 NM EYE FEATURE IS NOW CLEAR. THE SYSTEM IS EVEN MORE SYMMETRIC THAN 6 HOURS AGO IN LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND LATEST SSM/I (132239Z0 87GHZ). B. TY 02W CONTINUES ON A NOW SLIGHTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE STEERING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. A SERIES OF MID-LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS EXITING EASTERN CHINA WILL BEGIN TO PROGRESSIVELY WEAKEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST TIME FRAME, ALLOWING TY 02W TO TRACK GRADUALLY POLEWARD TOWARD THE RESULTING WEAKNESS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSIST OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AIR FORCE GLOBAL (MM5), AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS. ALL REMAIN IN FAIRLY CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, AND ALL REMAIN CONSISTENT IN THEIR TRACK BIASES. EGRR APPEARS TOO AGGRESSIVE IN BREAKING DOWN THE RIDGE (POLEWARD), WHILE AFWA MM5 TRACKS STRAIGHT WEST. THE ONLY REAL CHANGE IS GFDN, IS NOW IN THE MIDDLE OF THE OTHERWISE TIGHT CLUSTER. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE RIDGE. D. INITIAL WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A PARTIAL 132030Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS AND ANALYSIS OF THE LATEST SSM/I PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII REMAIN BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM, ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE GRADIENT. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 10:58:25 2003 X-UIDL: 22305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IUCB75QL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:35:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E2ZcQZ062813 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:35:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYN3010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:30:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 124899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E2UAxl032980 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E2U9hO007812 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E2U9lD007811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 21:30:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140230.h3E2U9lD007811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 49N 166E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 166E TO 51N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 166E TO 43N 161E 38N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 130E 32N 141E 35N 150E 27N 150E 26N 140E 25N 130E 27N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 154E 44N 163E 41N 164E 36N 158E 39N 154E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 141E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 38N 137E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 45N 146E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 970 HPA AT 10.4N 147.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 116E TO 25N 124E 29N 133E 33N 141E 36N 153E 34N 157E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 12:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00I30EXAQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 11:55:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E3u7QZ087317 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 11:56:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYQD010830; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:51:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 125671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:51:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E3pdxl048114 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:51:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E3pYhO008472 for ; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:51:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E3pYtr008470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:51:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Apr 2003 22:51:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140351.h3E3pYtr008470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 140351 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST MON APR 14 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES WEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR GUAM. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND ULITHI. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...275 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF ROTA AND 485 MILES EAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST- NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 14:25:12 2003 X-UIDL: 22315-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IY7JK6QL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:36:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E5aEQZ016747 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:36:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYVT010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 126873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E5VSxl040212 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E5VRhO009302 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E5VRah009300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 00:31:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140531.h3E5VRah009300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140151ZAPR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/132321ZAPR2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 147.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 178.4W0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 177.2W7, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WHILE CONTINUING TO TURN CYCLONICALLY INWARD TOWARD THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT, BUT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS MARGINAL OVER THE AREA. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS VISIBLE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA, HELPING TO ENHANCE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 15:03:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IN0N8RQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 14:55:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E6tlQZ045063 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 14:55:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYXD010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 01:50:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 127483 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 01:50:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E6nxxl028814 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 01:49:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E6nwhO009915 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 01:49:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E6nwAW009914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 01:49:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 01:49:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140649.h3E6nwAW009914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 140600 WARNING 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 960 HPA AT 10.6N 146.2E SOUTH OF MARIANAS MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 11.5N 141.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 12.5N 136.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 13.0N 132.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 15:27:25 2003 X-UIDL: 22327-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00ISSNZQQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:11:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E7BxQZ049788 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:12:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E46bJF033306; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 02:07:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 127582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 02:07:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E776xl028864 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 02:07:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E775hO010054 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 02:07:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E775ta010053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 02:07:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 02:07:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140707.h3E775ta010053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 140706 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST MON APR 14 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA INTENSIFYING AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR GUAM. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND ULITHI. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM... 255 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ROTA AND 460 MILES EAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 16:07:12 2003 X-UIDL: 22331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IJ9QI2QL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:06:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E869QZ069675 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:06:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYYH010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:01:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 127839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:01:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E80xxl004588 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E80xhO010404 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:00:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E80wKl010403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:00:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:00:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140800.h3E80wKl010403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 10.6N7 146.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 146.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 11.1N3 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 11.9N1 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.7N0 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.6N0 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.2N7 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 10.7N8 145.7E7. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. THE EYEWALL HAS DEVELOPED AND THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1, 142100Z8, 150300Z9 AND 150900Z5. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 16:37:12 2003 X-UIDL: 22333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IO5RR5QL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:33:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E8XDQZ078401 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:33:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYYV010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:27:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 127952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E8RQxl004878 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E8RQhO010594 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E8RQn3010593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 03:27:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140827.h3E8RQn3010593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 52N 172E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 172E TO 53N 175E 54N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 172E TO 46N 168E 39N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 128E 29N 132E 34N 148E 34N 153E 30N 154E 26N 130E 26N 128E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 162E 47N 170E 47N 174E 42N 173E 39N 167E 41N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 148E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 136E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 42N 148E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 960 HPA AT 10.6N 146.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 116E TO 25N 125E 29N 131E 31N 140E 34N 148E 34N 156E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 22:39:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22337-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDB00IBPUQVQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:37:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E9boQZ099006 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 17:37:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYZF010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:31:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 128170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:31:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E9VHxl040214 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:31:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3E9VHhO011071 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:31:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3E9VHwj011070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:31:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 04:31:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304140931.h3E9VHwj011070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 140931 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST MON APR 14 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA INTENSIFYING AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ULITHI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR GUAM. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA AND ULITHI. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM... 235 MILES SOUTH OF ROTA AND 420 MILES EAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM TUESDAY GUAM LST. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 22:39:38 2003 X-UIDL: 22343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IYW3VCQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 20:54:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ECsuQZ052940 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 20:54:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYbt010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:49:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 129097 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:49:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ECnGxl022722 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:49:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ECnGhO012766 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:49:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ECnGbc012765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:49:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:49:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141249.h3ECnGbc012765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 141200 WARNING 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 10.8N 145.1E SOUTH OF MARIANAS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 11.6N 139.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 13.0N 135.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 13.5N 131.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 22:39:39 2003 X-UIDL: 22344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IZ53VEQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 20:54:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ECsuQZ052939 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 20:55:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYbr010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:46:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 129094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:46:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ECkoxl024294 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:46:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ECkohO012730 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:46:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ECkoqL012729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:46:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 07:46:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141246.h3ECkoqL012729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 141246 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST MON APR 14 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA INTENSIFYING AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ULITHI. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM...230 MILES SOUTH OF ROTA AND 390 MILES EAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 125 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM TUESDAY GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM TUESDAY GUAM LST. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 22:39:40 2003 X-UIDL: 22347-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IFI88DQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:29:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EETAQZ079663 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:29:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3E46bmN033306; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:22:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 130381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:22:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EEMcxl013134 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:22:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EEMchO015469 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:22:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EEMcGU015468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:22:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:22:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Navoceano Stennis Space Center Ms//n16// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141422.h3EEMcGU015468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 10.8N9 145.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 145.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.5N7 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.3N6 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.3N7 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.9N3 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.3N8 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.0N2 144.6E5. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 141130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. A 140948Z2 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) REVEALS THAT THE 28NM EYE HAS BECOME MORE GEOMETRICAL AND THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8, 150300Z9, 150900Z5 AND 151500Z2. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 22:39:40 2003 X-UIDL: 22348-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00ITM8EBQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:32:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EEWiQZ080848 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 22:32:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3DCuYk5010830; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:26:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 130476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:26:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EEQexl024252 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:26:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EEQehO015616 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EEQeLT015615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 09:26:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141426.h3EEQeLT015615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 54N 175E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 175E TO 56N 179E 56N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 180E TO 56N 176W 55N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 180E TO 46N 174E 40N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 127E 31N 134E 35N 155E 31N 160E 29N 159E 25N 135E 25N 127E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 174E 45N 180E 42N 180E 39N 171E 40N 163E 47N 174E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 142E 46N 151E 40N 154E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 34N 156E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 119E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 45N 151E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 10.8N 145.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 120E TO 26N 128E 31N 134E 32N 147E 34N 156E 32N 159E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 14 23:42:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IQDAW6QL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Apr 2003 23:26:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EFQZQZ096443 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 23:26:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EEVp4B010848; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:16:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 131599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:16:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EFGsxl047278 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:16:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EFGshO017508 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EFGs8K017506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:16:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 10:16:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141516.h3EFGs8K017506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 141516 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST TUE APR 15 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA PASSING SOUTH OF GUAM... THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR ROTA IS DISCONTINUED AS OF 1 AM GUAM LST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ULITHI. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE EYE OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.5 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 170 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM AND 340 MILES EAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING ALONG A SIMILAR COURSE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 125 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES. TYPHOON KUJIRA HAS DEVELOPED A LARGE EYE AND IS INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY. ALTHOUGH THE EYE OF KUJIRA IS PASSING WELL SOUTH OF GUAM...THE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TYPHOON WILL BRING WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO SOUTHERN GUAM AND ITS COASTAL WATERS FOR THE NEXT 3 TO 6 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 125 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 05:20:28 2003 X-UIDL: 22366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IPMKNRQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 02:57:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EIvVQZ054333 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 02:57:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHfC8N010850; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:48:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 136054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:48:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EImbxl006544 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:48:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EImbhO025602 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:48:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EIma8I025600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:48:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:48:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141848.h3EIma8I025600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 141800 WARNING 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 11.2N 143.8E SOUTHSOUTHWEST OF GUAM MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 13.2N 138.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 14.5N 135.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 15.0N 131.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 05:20:29 2003 X-UIDL: 22368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IG1L0XQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:05:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EJ5TQZ057280 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:05:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHfCAP010850; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:55:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 136257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:55:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EItvxl036078 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:55:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EItvhO025906 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EItvNp025905 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 13:55:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304141855.h3EItvNp025905@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 141855 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST TUE APR 15 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA PASSING SOUTH OF GUAM... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ULITHI. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE EYE OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM AND 300 MILES EAST- NORTHEAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG A SIMILAR COURSE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 135 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES. THE WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND FURTHER. TYPHOON KUJIRA HAS A LARGE CLOUD-FREE EYE AND CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. ALTHOUGH KUJIRA IS PASSING WELL SOUTH OF GUAM...THE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TYPHOON WILL BRING WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH TO SOUTHERN GUAM AND ITS COASTAL WATERS FOR THE NEXT 3 TO 4 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 135 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 05:20:31 2003 X-UIDL: 22376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IUAP6MQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 04:35:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EKZJQZ083952 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 04:35:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHfCGp010850; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:23:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 138173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:23:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EKNSxl023770 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:23:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EKNRhO029109 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:23:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EKNRpL029108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:23:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:23:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304142023.h3EKNRpL029108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 57N 178E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 178E TO 58N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 176W TO 57N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 176W TO 48N 179E 41N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 127E 30N 135E 35N 162E 25N 159E 22N 128E 24N 127E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 143E 42N 144E 44N 155E 40N 154E 40N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 36N 161E NE 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 120E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 155E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 11.2N 143.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 121E TO 26N 129E 31N 134E 32N 148E 36N 161E 37N 166E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 05:20:31 2003 X-UIDL: 22378-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IOZPPCQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 04:46:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EKkXQZ086977 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 04:46:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHfCHf010850; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:37:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 138403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EKavxl024108 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:36:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3EKavhO029553 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3EKavDL029552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 15:36:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304142036.h3EKavDL029552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 11.1N3 143.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 143.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.1N4 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.1N5 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.0N5 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.4N9 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.7N2 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.4N6 143.2E0. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 141730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS AND RADAR IMAGERY. MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED 29 NM EYE AND A CLOSED EYEWALL FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9, 150900Z5, 151500Z2 AND 152100Z9. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 10:33:04 2003 X-UIDL: 22380-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDC00IWNSOKQL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:50:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ELorQZ001131 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:50:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EIoMYV006562; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:39:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 139082 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:39:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ELd1xl018336 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:39:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ELcthO001553 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ELctnC001552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 16:38:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304142138.h3ELctnC001552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 142136 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST TUE APR 15 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH CANCELLED FOR GUAM... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT FOR GUAM ARE CANCELLED AS OF 8 AM GUAM LST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ULITHI. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE EYE OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM AND 260 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG A SIMILAR COURSE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 140 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES. THE WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND FURTHER. TYPHOON KUJIRA HAS A LARGE CLOUD-FREE EYE AND CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. KUJIRA PASSED WELL SOUTH OF GUAM...AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TYPHOON WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ON GUAM AND ITS COASTAL WATERS TODAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 140 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 10:33:06 2003 X-UIDL: 22386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD000YA197F8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 08:55:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F0u3QZ038049 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 08:56:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHfCUb010850; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 19:47:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 141496 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 19:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F0ksxl014396 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 19:46:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F0kshO004606 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 19:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F0ksSb004605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 19:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 19:46:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150046.h3F0ksSb004605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 150000 WARNING 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 11.5N 142.3E SOUTHWEST OF GUAM MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 13.3N 137.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 14.0N 133.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 14.5N 129.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 10:33:06 2003 X-UIDL: 22387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD00GER21QJX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:13:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F1DAQZ042040 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:13:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHfCX7010850; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 20:06:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 141798 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 20:06:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F165xl040776 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 20:06:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F165hO004953 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 20:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F165xo004952 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 20:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 20:06:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150106.h3F165xo004952@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 150105 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST TUE APR 15 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA MOVING STEADILY AWAY FROM GUAM... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ULITHI. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE EYE OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM AND 210 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 140 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES. THE WIND FIELD IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND FURTHER. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 140 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 10:44:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD00G0Y665JX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 10:42:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F2gAQZ071748 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 10:42:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ENZxOh032442; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:32:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 142933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:32:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F2Wjxl004406 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:32:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F2WjhO006236 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:32:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F2WjQA006235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:32:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:32:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150232.h3F2WjQA006235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 57N 176W BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 176W TO 59N 174W 59N 172W. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 172W TO 59N 167W 57N 160W. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 172W TO 56N 171W 53N 174W 46N 178W 42N 175E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 39N 168E 36N 163E 31N 151E 31N 136E 23N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 136E 34N 154E 38N 163E 38N 169E 28N 159E 25N 130E 28N 130E 33N 136E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 46N 150E 46N 158E 40N 155E 38N 145E 42N 143E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 31N 136E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 37N 163E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 120E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 155E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 11.5N 142.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 11:25:05 2003 X-UIDL: 22395-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD00GFI6KYJX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 10:50:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F2p7QZ074660 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 10:51:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHfCbr010850; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:43:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 143028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:43:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F2hwxl036072 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:43:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F2hvhO006380 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:43:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F2hvoJ006379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:43:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:43:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr 25// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150243.h3F2hvoJ006379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 25// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 150000Z6 TO 180000Z9 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 142330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. A 142109Z7 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASUREMENT MISSION (TRMM) PASS REVEALS POSSIBLE CONCENTRIC EYEWALL FEATURES. B. A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TY 02W FROM ITS CURRENT WESTWARD TRACK TO A MORE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TRACK FROM THE 12 TO 36 HOUR POINT BEFORE A RIDGING FEATURE CURRENTLY OVER VIETNAM PROPAGATES EASTWARD AND CAUSES TY 02W TO RESUME A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM), TYPHOON (JTYM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA (MM5), AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE ALL IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU 36 IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WITH THE INTENSITY EXPECTED TO LEVEL OFF AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON ANALYSIS OF THE RECENT TRMM PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII REMAIN BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 11:25:06 2003 X-UIDL: 22396-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD00GH86MIJX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 10:51:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F2q2QZ074987 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 10:52:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ENZxPj032442; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:44:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 143031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:44:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F2hxxl036078 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:43:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F2hxhO006386 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:43:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F2hxcK006385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:43:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 21:43:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150243.h3F2hxcK006385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- NEAR 11.4N6 142.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 142.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.5N8 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.6N0 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.2N7 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.7N2 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.2N8 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION NEAR 11.7N9 141.7E3. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 142330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. A 142109Z7 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASUREMENT MISSION (TRMM) PASS REVEALS POSSIBLE CONCENTRIC EYEWALL FEATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5, 151500Z2, 152100Z9 AND 160300Z0. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 12:24:57 2003 X-UIDL: 22406-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD0003XALHF8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:17:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F4HoQZ006698 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 12:17:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ENZxdL032442; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 23:10:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 144664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 23:08:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F48kxl044282 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 23:08:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F48khO007428 for ; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 23:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F48k99007427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Apr 2003 23:08:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Apr 2003 23:08:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150408.h3F48k99007427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 150405 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST TUE APR 15 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ULITHI. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE EYE OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 240 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM AND 190 MILES NORTHEAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 145 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 145 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 13:34:57 2003 X-UIDL: 22410-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD00037DWYF8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 13:29:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5TRQZ027111 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 13:29:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3EHfCwX010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:21:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 146059 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:21:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5Kuxl004544 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:21:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F5KuhO008247 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:20:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F5Ku0v008245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:20:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 00:20:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150520.h3F5Ku0v008245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150151ZAPR2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140751ZAPR2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 142.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 140600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE 27P WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 175.4W7, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPS31 PGTW 140900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 177.2W7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 15:56:43 2003 X-UIDL: 22415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD00GSQHX8K0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 14:55:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F6u3QZ054428 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 14:56:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lF1L010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 01:47:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 146692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 01:47:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F6lvxl018352 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 01:47:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F6lvhO009117 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 01:47:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F6luIQ009116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 01:47:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 01:47:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150647.h3F6luIQ009116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 150600 WARNING 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 11.9N 140.9E SOUTHWEST OF MARIANAS MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 13.9N 135.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 14.5N 131.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 15.5N 128.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 15:56:48 2003 X-UIDL: 22418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD000V5IJ8F8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:09:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F79GQZ058600 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:09:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lF1b010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 02:03:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 146818 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 02:03:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F73Txl036042 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 02:03:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F73ThO009308 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 02:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F73TXt009307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 02:03:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 02:03:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150703.h3F73TXt009307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 150703 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST TUE APR 15 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ULITHI. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE EYE OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 280 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM AND 165 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 145 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 145 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 16:17:30 2003 X-UIDL: 22420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD00GZMLFKK0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:11:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F8BmQZ078457 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:11:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lF3T010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:03:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 147216 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:03:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F83Kxl022362 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:03:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F83KhO009835 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:03:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F83KxJ009834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:03:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:03:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr 026 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150803.h3F83KxJ009834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 11.9N1 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.0N4 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.9N3 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.5N0 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.9N4 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.3N9 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 140.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 150530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY 02W MAINTAINS A SYMMETRIC EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF 20 NM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW INDICATIONS OF A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL CYCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2, 152100Z9, 160300Z0 AND 160900Z6. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 18:54:27 2003 X-UIDL: 22422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD000ELMIHF8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:35:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F8ZEQZ086547 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:35:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lF3X010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:28:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 147351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F8SKxl018384 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F8SJhO010047 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F8SJJm010046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:28:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150828.h3F8SJJm010046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 165E 60N 180E 50N 180E 50N 165E 55N 165E 60N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 134E 31N 133E 37N 141E 42N 144E 48N 157E 46N 180E 34N 180E 27N 160E 27N 147E 26N 134E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 141E ENE 30 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 40N 168E NE 30 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 125E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 157E ENE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 11.9N 140.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 125E TO 27N 134E 33N 141E 33N 153E 40N 168E 42N 175E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 18:54:30 2003 X-UIDL: 22426-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD00GHHNFGK0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:54:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F8t0QZ092744 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 16:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lF3l010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:46:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 147424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F8kcxl043516 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:46:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3F8kchO010203 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:46:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3F8kcRc010202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:46:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 03:46:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304150846.h3F8kcRc010202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 11.9N1 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.0N4 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.9N3 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.5N0 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.9N4 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.3N9 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 140.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 150530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY 02W MAINTAINS A SYMMETRIC EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF 20 NM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW INDICATIONS OF A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL CYCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2, 152100Z9, 160300Z0 AND 160900Z6. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 18:54:43 2003 X-UIDL: 22434-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD000UOQT7F8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 18:07:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FA80QZ019437 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 18:08:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lF45010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:00:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 147642 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:00:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FA0Hxl029078 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:00:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FA0HhO010891 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:00:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FA0Huw010890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:00:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 05:00:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304151000.h3FA0Huw010890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 151000 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON KUJIRA ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST TUE APR 15 2003 ..TYPHOON KUJIRA MOVING AWAY FROM ULITHI... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH FOR ULITHI IS CANCELLED AS OF 8 PM GUAM LST. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE EYE OF TYPHOON KUJIRA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 320 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM AND 165 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ULITHI. KUJIRA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 145 MPH. KUJIRA IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 12.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 145 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON KUJIRA LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE WILL BE THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR TYPHOON KUJIRA. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 20:47:17 2003 X-UIDL: 22442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDD000QZY50F8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 20:46:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FCkKQZ064083 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 20:46:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F6C4LP044046; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 07:40:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 148745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 07:40:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FCe9xl022440 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 07:40:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FCe9hO012626 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 07:40:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FCe9KW012625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 07:40:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 07:40:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304151240.h3FCe9KW012625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 151200 WARNING 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 12.3N 139.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 14.0N 134.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 14.0N 130.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 15.0N 127.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 22:24:59 2003 X-UIDL: 22448-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE00G4T2MDK0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:23:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FEN9QZ093716 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:23:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FDRf6B026598; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 150225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FEB8xl023798 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FEB7hO015224 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FEB7K4015222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr 27// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304151411.h3FEB7K4015222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 151500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 27// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 151200Z9 TO 181200Z2 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY 02W MAINTAINS A SYMMETRIC EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF 20 NM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SOME DRY AIR WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH. B. CURRENTLY, A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES HAS TRANSITIONED TY 02W TO A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THIS TRACK IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THIS WEAKNESS PROPAGATES EASTWARD. AFTERWARDS, A RIDGING FEATURE CURRENTLY BUILDING OVER VIETNAM WILL TRANSLATE EASTWARD AND CAUSE TY 02W TO RESUME A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO UNTIL 48 HOURS. IN THE LATE PERIOD, THE MODELS DIVERGE WITH GFDN AND AVN BEGINNING TO TAKE A MORE POLEWARD TRACK INTO THE WEAKNESS, WHILE ALL OTHER MODELS INDICATE TY 02W WILL COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE BUILDING RIDGE AND TRANSITION BACK TO A WESTWARD TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN AND AVN IN THE LATE PERIOD. C. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT TRACKS NEAR THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE UNTIL THE MID PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, THE INTENSITY WILL LEVEL OFF AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT THE SYSTEM ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE RIDGE. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII REMAIN BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 22:25:00 2003 X-UIDL: 22449-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE000WB2MDF8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:23:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FEN9QZ093718 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:23:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lFHx010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 150222 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FEB7xl005634 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FEB7hO015223 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FEB7Ih015220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:11:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304151411.h3FEB7Ih015220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 12.3N6 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.3N7 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.1N6 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.5N0 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.6N1 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.1N7 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 12.6N9 138.8E0. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY 02W MAINTAINS A SYMMETRIC EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF 20 NM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SOME DRY AIR WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9, 160300Z0, 160900Z6 AND 161500Z3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 15 22:45:01 2003 X-UIDL: 22452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE00GM63A1K0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:37:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FEbLQZ098100 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 22:37:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3F5lFKb010850; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:29:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 150658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FETXxl024156 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:29:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FETXhO015882 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FETXGo015881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 09:29:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304151429.h3FETXGo015881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 163E 60N 180E 53N 180E 55N 165E 60N 163E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 130E 47N 139E 47N 140E 41N 140E 41N 130E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 139E 41N 141E 44N 146E 48N 157E 48N 180E 33N 180E 33N 164E 27N 150E 30N 139E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 33N 143E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 40N 170E NE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 127E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 44N 159E ENE 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 12.3N 139.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 170E TO 43N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 170E TO 36N 163E 33N 152E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 152E TO 33N 143E 28N 136E 25N 130E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 09:34:51 2003 X-UIDL: 22471-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE00GZPF3FJX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 02:52:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FIqZQZ069475 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 02:52:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FHuP4J009496; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 13:45:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 154873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 13:45:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FIj7xl011094 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 13:45:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FIj6hO025947 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 13:45:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FIj6eJ025946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 13:45:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 13:45:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 935 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304151845.h3FIj6eJ025946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 151800 WARNING 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 935 HPA AT 12.7N 138.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 13.9N 133.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 14.5N 130.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 16.0N 127.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 09:35:00 2003 X-UIDL: 22476-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE000YIJPYF8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 04:32:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FKWUQZ099903 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 04:32:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FJV33N042282; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:23:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 156521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:23:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FKNOxl028688 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:23:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FKNNhO029663 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:23:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FKNNJZ029662 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:23:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:23:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304152023.h3FKNNJZ029662@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 028 UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 12.7N0 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.5N0 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.0N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.3N9 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.3N0 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 13.0N4 137.7E8. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 188 NM NORTH OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS FORMING A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0, 160900Z6, 161500Z3 AND 162100Z0. RELEASED BY LT WINGEART, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 09:35:00 2003 X-UIDL: 22477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE00GYYJWWJX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 04:36:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FKaeQZ001094 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 04:36:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FJV33x042282; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:28:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 156624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:28:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FKSMxl030240 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:28:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3FKSMhO029816 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:28:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3FKSMI3029815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:28:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 15:28:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304152028.h3FKSMI3029815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 135E 50N 141E 45N 142E 42N 140E 43N 135E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 140E 36N 141E 43N 142E 44N 146E 48N 153E 48N 180E 35N 180E 31N 163E 28N 148E 29N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 44N 115E EAST 30 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 34N 148E ENE 30 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 41N 174E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 132E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 153E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 26N 165E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 935 HPA AT 12.7N 138.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 174E TO 44N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 174E TO 35N 164E 33N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 155E TO 34N 148E 30N 141E 25N 130E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 09:35:02 2003 X-UIDL: 22485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDE00GSGVSDWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:53:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G0r5QZ059420 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:53:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FJV3VL042282; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 19:48:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 161255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 19:48:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G0mRxl014588 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 19:48:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G0mRhO005450 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 19:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G0mQ8G005449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 19:48:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 19:48:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 930 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160048.h3G0mQ8G005449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 160000 WARNING 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 930 HPA AT 13.1N 137.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 13.8N 132.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 14.0N 129.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 16.0N 127.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 10:37:54 2003 X-UIDL: 22496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00G2003CWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 10:26:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G2Q8QZ088456 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 10:26:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FJV3f1042282; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:21:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 163036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:21:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G2L3xl004428 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:21:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G2L2hO007046 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:21:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G2L2G6007045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:21:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:21:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160221.h3G2L2G6007045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- NEAR 13.0N4 137.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 137.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.6N0 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.2N7 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.8N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.4N0 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.1N9 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 136.6E6. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 152330Z4 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 17 NM EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6, 161500Z3, 162100Z0 AND 170300Z1. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 10:37:56 2003 X-UIDL: 22497-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GNP09QWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 10:29:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G2TvQZ089745 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 10:30:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FJV3fD042282; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:23:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 163084 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:23:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G2Nuxl033314 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:23:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G2NuhO007109 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G2Nu0q007108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:23:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:23:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160223.h3G2Nu0q007108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR/ 29// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 160000Z7 TO 190000Z0 APR 2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 152330Z4 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 17 NM EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. B. STY 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS ALONG THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 48 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN POLEWARD INTO A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING THROUGH THE PERIOD EAST OF LUZON. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODELS ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS ABOVE THE RIDGE AXIS. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII REMAIN BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 10:37:58 2003 X-UIDL: 22498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GMP0LDWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 10:36:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G2avQZ092081 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 10:36:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3FJV3fx042282; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:31:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 163302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:31:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G2VLxl015298 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:31:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G2VKhO007206 for ; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G2VKKj007205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Apr 2003 21:31:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160231.h3G2VKKj007205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 42N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 42N 180E 41N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 36N 168E 33N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 33N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 151E TO 32N 154E 33N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 151E TO 30N 145E 28N 139E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 139E TO 27N 135E 25N 131E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 140E 44N 136E 50N 141E 46N 142E 42N 140E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 138E 35N 139E 43N 145E 50N 155E 50N 180E 33N 180E 28N 163E 25N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 120E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 135E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 43N 155E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 26N 171E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 930 HPA AT 13.1N 137.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 14:14:03 2003 X-UIDL: 22520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00G0H9ERWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 13:47:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G5lGQZ052670 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 13:47:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4sb4p005032; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:37:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 165713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:33:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G5X6xl013148 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:33:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G5X2hO009105 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G5X2rF009103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 00:33:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160533.h3G5X2rF009103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160151ZAPR2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, SUPER TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 137.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 135 KNOTS GUSTING TO 165 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 15:01:01 2003 X-UIDL: 22525-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GW0CJ7WU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 14:54:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G6slQZ076521 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 14:54:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4NM9h042294; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 01:45:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 166682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 01:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G6jYxl030220 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 01:45:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G6jXhO009838 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 01:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G6jXEr009837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 01:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 01:45:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 930 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160645.h3G6jXEr009837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 160600 WARNING 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 930 HPA AT 13.5N 136.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 14.4N 131.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 15.0N 128.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 17.0N 126.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 16:08:23 2003 X-UIDL: 22531-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GR2FJAWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 15:59:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G7xTQZ002001 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 15:59:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4NMAH042294; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 02:53:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 167004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 02:53:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G7rRxl040882 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 02:53:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G7rRhO010281 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 02:53:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G7rRHx010280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 02:53:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 02:53:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160753.h3G7rRHx010280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 13.4N8 136.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 136.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.0N5 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.4N9 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.7N2 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.4N0 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.7N4 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 135.6E5. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160530Z5 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 20 NM SYMMETRICAL EYE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3, 162100Z0, 170300Z1 AND 170900Z7. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 16:39:36 2003 X-UIDL: 22535-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00GI2H8DWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 16:36:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G8aLQZ015428 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 16:36:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4NMBV042294; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 03:29:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 167209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 03:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G8TSxl011448 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 03:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3G8TShO010583 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 03:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3G8TRQu010582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 03:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 03:29:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304160829.h3G8TRQu010582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 178E TO 45N 175W 43N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 178E TO 40N 175E 37N 170E 34N 166E 32N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 163E TO 32N 159E 32N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 124E MANCHURIA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 124E TO 47N 128E 45N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 124E TO 43N 118E 41N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 32N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 146E TO 32N 149E 32N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 146E TO 28N 143E 26N 135E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 141E 43N 145E 50N 155E 54N 170E 54N 180E 32N 180E 28N 159E 25N 139E 32N 144E 33N 141E 39N 144E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 133E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 157E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 27N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 930 HPA AT 13.5N 136.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 22:12:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22558-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00G8UT43WU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 20:52:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GCqsQZ096166 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 20:52:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4NMF7042294; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 07:46:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 168679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 07:46:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GCkcxl014024 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 07:46:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GCkbhO012697 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 07:46:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GCkbTL012696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 07:46:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 07:46:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 935 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161246.h3GCkbTL012696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 161200 WARNING 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 935 HPA AT 13.7N 135.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 14.5N 130.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 15.5N 128.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 17.5N 125.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 22:12:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22561-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00G4SVXXWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:53:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GDs0QZ012704 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:54:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GDER57042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:48:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 169906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GDlCxl004728 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:47:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GDlBhO014421 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:47:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GDlBr2014420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:47:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:47:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161347.h3GDlBr2014420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR/ 31// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 161200Z0 TO 191200Z3 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115, 127 AND 140 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 20 NM CLOUD- FILLED EYE. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT SOME DRY AIR BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH, AS WELL AS A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. B. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN POLEWARD INTO A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH DUE TO A PASSING TROUGH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO VERY SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENTRAINS LIMITED DRY AIR IN THE EARLY PERIOD. IN THE LATE PERIOD, TY 02W WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS ABOVE THE RIDGE AXIS ENCOUNTERING GREATER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII REMAIN BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 16 22:12:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDF00G4WVY4WU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:54:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GDs7QZ012757 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:54:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3G4sbel005032; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:46:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 169874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GDkCxl015284 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:46:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GDkBhO014388 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GDkB0Y014387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 08:46:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161346.h3GDkB0Y014387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- NEAR 13.8N2 135.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 135.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.2N7 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.5N0 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.9N4 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.6N2 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.3N1 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION NEAR 13.9N3 134.6E4. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115, 127 AND 140 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 20 NM CLOUD- FILLED EYE. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT SOME DRY AIR BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH, AS WELL AS A SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0, 170300Z1, 170900Z7 AND 171500Z4. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 09:13:36 2003 X-UIDL: 22582-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00GIY9UWWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 02:54:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GIscQZ001462 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 02:54:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GDERfv042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 13:48:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 176312 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 13:48:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GImfxl011380 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 13:48:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GImehO025778 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 13:48:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GImeWG025777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 13:48:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 13:48:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 935 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161848.h3GImeWG025777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 161800 WARNING 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 935 HPA AT 13.9N 134.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 14.2N 130.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 15.0N 128.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 17.0N 126.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 09:13:36 2003 X-UIDL: 22583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00GOFCOJWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:55:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GJtcQZ021809 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:55:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GDERmD042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 14:49:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 177331 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 14:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GJnNxl029842 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 14:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GJnMhO027772 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 14:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GJnM1t027771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 14:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 14:49:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304161949.h3GJnM1t027771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 14.0N5 134.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 134.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.4N9 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.7N2 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.0N6 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 15.7N3 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.6N4 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 133.8E5. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115, 127 AND 140 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAGGED, IRREGULAR 20 NM EYE. RECENT MICROWAVE, ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED, AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT DRY AIR FROM THE NORTHWEST BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE SOUTHWEST SECTOR OF 02W, WEAKENING THE SYSTEM SLIGHTLY, ALSO THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO INTERACT WITH A MID- LATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE IN THE NORTHWEST SECTOR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1, 170900Z7, 171500Z4 AND 172100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 09:13:37 2003 X-UIDL: 22584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00GT6ELMWU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 04:36:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GKb1QZ033985 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 04:37:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GDERsd042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 15:29:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 178384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 15:29:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GKTGxl046190 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 15:29:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3GKTEhO028887 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 15:29:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3GKTEUO028886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 15:29:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 15:29:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304162029.h3GKTEUO028886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 134E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 134E TO 50N 138E 49N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 134E TO 48N 132E 46N 128E 44N 125E 42N 120E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 32N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 155E TO 32N 160E 32N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 155E TO 29N 150E 26N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 170E 50N 180E 36N 180E 37N 174E 50N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 147E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 55N 162E 53N 180E 25N 180E 26N 160E 27N 150E 30N 147E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 137E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 149E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 41N 162E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 26N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 28N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 935 HPA AT 13.9N 134.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 172W TO 40N 176W 34N 175E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 175E TO 32N 170E 32N 163E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 09:13:39 2003 X-UIDL: 22592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00E24QJZBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 08:55:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H0tEQZ092137 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 08:55:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf79H042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 19:50:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 181445 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 19:50:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H0oDxl040914 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 19:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H0oDhO004271 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 19:50:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H0oCv2004270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 19:50:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 19:50:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170050.h3H0oCv2004270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 170000 WARNING 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.9N 133.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 14.4N 129.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 15.5N 128.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 17.5N 126.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 12:12:20 2003 X-UIDL: 22599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00EHOV7GBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 10:35:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H2ZnQZ026226 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 10:35:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H1Cv9N013896; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:29:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 183106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H2TXxl029080 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:29:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H2TXhO005523 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H2TW6A005522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:29:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:29:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170229.h3H2TW6A005522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR/ 33// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 170000Z8 TO 200000Z2 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 730 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST MICROWAVE, ENHANCED INFRARED, AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THE EYE FEATURE IS NOW GONE. DRY AIR CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHWEST SECTOR OF TY 02W, AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE. B. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN POLEWARD INTO A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DUE TO A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH NORTHWEST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NOGAPS, THE LONE OUTLIER IN THE CURRENT AIDS PACKAGE, CONTINUES TRACKING 02W WESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINES. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS, MINUS NOGAPS. C. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS, AS OUTFLOW REMAINS FAVORABLE UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTERWARD, AS TY 02W TRACKS POLEWARD, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF RECENT QUIKSCAT PASSES AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 12:12:20 2003 X-UIDL: 22600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00ELIV8GBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 10:36:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H2aJQZ026482 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 10:36:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7GT042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:30:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 183164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:30:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H2Ufxl041782 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:30:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H2UfhO005555 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:30:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H2UfHR005554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:30:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:30:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170230.h3H2UfHR005554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 14.0N5 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 14.2N7 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.4N9 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 14.7N2 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.5N1 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.7N5 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION NEAR 14.0N5 133.2E9. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 730 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST MICROWAVE, ENHANCED INFRARED, AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THE EYE FEATURE IS NOW GONE. DRY AIR CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN FROM THE NORTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHWEST SECTOR OF TY 02W, AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7, 171500Z4, 172100Z1 AND 180300Z2. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 12:12:20 2003 X-UIDL: 22601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDG00EFSVFGBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 10:40:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H2eaQZ028473 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 10:40:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7Gf042296; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:34:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 183237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:34:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H2Xuxl013944 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:33:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H2XthO005608 for ; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:33:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H2XtIo005607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:33:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2003 21:33:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170233.h3H2XtIo005607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 51N 138E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 138E TO 46N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 138E TO 46N 135E 41N 120E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 49N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 32N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 157E TO 32N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 157E TO 29N 153E 25N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 170E 50N 180E 37N 180E 35N 174E 42N 172E 50N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 44N 145E 51N 157E 55N 162E 51N 173E 42N 167E 36N 156E 39N 142E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 167E 32N 169E 36N 180E 29N 180E 28N 173E 29N 167E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 139E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 41N 168E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 169E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.9N 133.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 164E TO 32N 172E 35N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 14:39:32 2003 X-UIDL: 22618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00E1L5N9BF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 14:21:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H6LGQZ000634 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 14:21:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7OH042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 01:00:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 185400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H5xoxl044224 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H5xnhO007506 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H5xnrY007504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 00:59:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170559.h3H5xnrY007504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZAPR2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 133.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 14:59:20 2003 X-UIDL: 22620-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00EJY73JBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 14:52:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H6qdQZ010757 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 14:52:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7Pr042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 01:45:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 185663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 01:45:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H6j1xl006496 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 01:45:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H6j1hO007878 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 01:45:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H6j1Ck007877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 01:45:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 01:45:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170645.h3H6j1Ck007877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 170600 WARNING 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.8N 132.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 14.8N 129.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 16.5N 128.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 18.5N 127.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 16:45:23 2003 X-UIDL: 22637-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00EREBUHBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 16:35:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H8ZCQZ047099 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 16:35:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7R9042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:28:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 186204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:28:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H8Sbxl006468 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:28:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H8SbhO008966 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:28:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H8Sa34008965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:28:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170828.h3H8Sa34008965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 51N 142E SAKHALIN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 142E TO 50N 145E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 145E TO 48N 148E 46N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 145E TO 44N 139E 42N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 49N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 159E TO 32N 163E 31N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 159E TO 28N 155E 24N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 143E 55N 162E 48N 176E 35N 170E 36N 155E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 177W ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 139E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 171E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.8N 132.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 169E TO 31N 173E 32N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 18:17:47 2003 X-UIDL: 22642-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00EFTDA5BF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 17:06:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H965QZ059243 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 17:06:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7RZ042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:59:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 186344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:59:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3H8x8xl003796 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:59:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3H8x7hO009160 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:59:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3H8x7lE009159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:59:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 03:59:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304170859.h3H8x7lE009159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 13.9N3 132.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 132.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 13.9N3 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.4N9 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.9N4 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.7N3 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.8N6 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 13.9N3 132.4E0. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 685 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4, 172100Z1, 180300Z2 AND 180900Z8. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 22:42:47 2003 X-UIDL: 22655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00EP0NXFBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 20:56:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HCuDQZ027945 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 20:56:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7WL042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 07:49:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 187371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 07:49:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HCnCxl011056 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 07:49:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HCnChO011153 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 07:49:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HCnBwx011152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 07:49:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 07:49:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304171249.h3HCnBwx011152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 171200 WARNING 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 13.7N 132.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 14.2N 129.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 16.0N 127.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 18.5N 126.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 22:42:49 2003 X-UIDL: 22662-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00EY6SMIBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 22:37:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HEbWQZ054990 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 22:37:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7ch042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:29:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188638 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:29:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HESxxl015062 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:29:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HESwhO014151 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HESw0R014150 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:28:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304171428.h3HESw0R014150@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 146E TO 50N 148E 50N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 149E TO 48N 153E 46N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 149E TO 46N 149E 43N 142E 42N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 50N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 165E TO 33N 175E 33N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 165E TO 27N 160E 23N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 143E 54N 163E 50N 180E 38N 160E 35N 151E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 116E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 178W ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 142E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 175E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 13.7N 132.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 108E TO 32N 112E 35N 116E 33N 121E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 22:42:50 2003 X-UIDL: 22663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00EA3STFBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 22:41:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HEfiQZ055971 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 22:41:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7d1042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:33:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188725 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:33:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HEX3xl022010 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:33:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HEX2hO014339 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HEX0tu014336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:33:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:33:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304171433.h3HEX0tu014336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 13.7N1 132.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 132.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.9N3 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 14.2N7 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.8N3 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.7N3 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.8N6 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 131.6E1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 645 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 171047Z0 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES THE REEMERGENCE OF A 12 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1, 180300Z2, 180900Z8 AND 181500Z5. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 17 23:02:39 2003 X-UIDL: 22664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDH00ECATDTBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Apr 2003 22:53:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HEs3QZ059038 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 22:54:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3GLf7dL042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:47:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:47:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HElRxl004474 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:47:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HElRhO014834 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:47:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HElQsJ014832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:47:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 09:47:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304171447.h3HElQsJ014832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR/ 35// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 171200Z1 TO 201200Z5 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 645 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 171047Z0 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES THE REEMERGENCE OF A 12 NM EYE. B. TY 02W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. A SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY IN EASTERN CHINA WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE IN THE NEXT 6-18 HOURS AND ALLOW TY 02W TO TRACK MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATER ON IN THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL CREATE A SIGNIFICANT WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE NEAR TAIWAN AFTER 48 HOURS ALLOWING TY 02W TO TURN MORE POLEWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NOGAPS REMAINS THE SOLE OUTLIER IN THE MODEL SUITE WITH A SIGNIFICANT EQUATORWARD BIAS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS. C. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS DUE TO LITTLE CHANGE IN THE ENVIRONMENT. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AFTER 48 HOURS IN AN ATMOSPHERE OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF A 170924Z3 QUICKSCAT PASS AND A 171047Z0 SSM/I PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 03:03:03 2003 X-UIDL: 22681-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00EKG4MPBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 02:56:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HIuwQZ027820 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 02:57:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYHL042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 13:48:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 195169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 13:47:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HIluxl008580 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 13:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HIlthO023842 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 13:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HIltvT023841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 13:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 13:47:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304171847.h3HIltvT023841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 171800 WARNING 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 13.6N 131.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 14.1N 128.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 15.5N 127.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 17.0N 125.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 04:33:04 2003 X-UIDL: 22687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00EYV8QQBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 04:25:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HKPhQZ058367 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 04:25:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYPJ042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:13:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 196844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:13:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HKDTxl014738 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:13:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HKDThO027251 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:13:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HKDSdL027250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:13:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:13:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304172013.h3HKDSdL027250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 13.6N0 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.7N1 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.0N5 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.6N1 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.4N0 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.0N8 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 130.8E2. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE CONTINUED DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF TY 02W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2, 180900Z8, 181500Z5 AND 182100Z2. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 04:43:04 2003 X-UIDL: 22689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00EX39CDBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 04:38:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HKchQZ061970 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 04:38:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYRv042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:29:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 197147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HKTLxl040006 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:29:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3HKTKhO027759 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3HKTKSu027758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 15:29:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304172029.h3HKTKSu027758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 50N 152E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 152E TO 51N 154E 50N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 156E TO 49N 160E 48N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 156E TO 45N 153E 43N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 52N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 165E TO 32N 171E 31N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 165E TO 27N 161E 23N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 44N 147E 48N 156E 52N 162E 51N 180E 39N 159E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 118E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 60N 176W EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 144E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 178E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 13.6N 131.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 118E TO 34N 122E 32N 123E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 118E TO 33N 116E 32N 113E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 175E TO 31N 179W 32N 174W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 09:03:04 2003 X-UIDL: 22699-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00IV8L6A6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 08:54:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I0sFQZ016318 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 08:54:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYfd042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 19:48:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 200002 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 19:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I0mnxl014600 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 19:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I0mmhO002557 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 19:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I0mmNN002556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 19:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 19:48:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180048.h3I0mmNN002556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 180000 WARNING 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.5N 130.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 14.2N 128.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 15.5N 126.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 17.0N 125.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 11:15:08 2003 X-UIDL: 22701-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00IT3PTL6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 10:34:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I2YiQZ037970 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 10:34:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYiX042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:28:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 200897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I2SJxl037688 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I2SEhO003610 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I2SETH003609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:28:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180228.h3I2SETH003609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 49N 156E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 156E TO 51N 157E 51N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 158E TO 51N 162E 50N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 158E TO 44N 159E 39N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 52N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 167E TO 33N 174E 32N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 167E TO 26N 164E 22N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 150E 46N 157E 53N 156E 53N 174E 42N 161E 40N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 122E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 145E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.5N 130.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 122E TO 36N 124E 34N 125E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 122E TO 33N 120E 30N 114E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 11:15:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22703-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00ICYR2F6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 11:01:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I31WQZ044151 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 11:01:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYin042296; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:56:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 200968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:56:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I2u6xl043480 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:56:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I2u5hO003910 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I2u51d003908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:56:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:56:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180256.h3I2u51d003908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 13.6N0 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.8N2 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.3N8 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.1N7 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.1N8 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.3N1 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 130.2E6. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL, ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT WHILE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF TY 02W, THE SYSTEM HAS ONCE AGAIN DEVELOPED A WELL-DEFINED EYE FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8, 181500Z5, 182100Z2 AND 190300Z3. RELEASED BY: LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Apr 18 11:15:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00IGMR4N6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 11:02:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I32wQZ044534 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 11:02:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HN5NIh034528; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:56:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 200971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:56:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I2u3xl008620 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I2tvhO003902 for ; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I2tvnR003901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:55:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Apr 2003 21:55:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180255.h3I2tvnR003901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR/ 37// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 180000Z9 TO 210000Z3 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL, ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT WHILE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT CONTINUES INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF TY 02W, THE SYSTEM HAS ONCE AGAIN DEVELOPED A WELL-DEFINED EYE FEATURE. B. FOR THE SHORT TERM, TY 02W REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POLEWARD, WHICH HAS STRENGTHENED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, FORCING TY 02W ON AN EQUATORWARD TRACK. AFTER 24 HOURS, TY 02W STEERING IS INFLUENCED BY TWO SYNOPTIC FEATURES, AN EXTENSION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, AND A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF LUZON. TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST, THE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WILL BUILD WITH PASSAGE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH, FORCING 02W WESTWARD ONCE AGAIN. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, WITH NOGAPS ONCE AGAIN THE OUTLIER IN THE MODEL RUNS WITH A CONTINUED WESTWARD TRACK. THE FORECAST REMAINS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS MINUS NOGAPS. C. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY PRIOR TO MAKING A POLEWARD TURN AFTER 24 HOURS, THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN THEREAFTER OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURS, THE EFFECTS OF THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ABOVE LATITUDE 17 NORTH. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF LATEST MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 172323Z8 SSM/I PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:08 2003 X-UIDL: 22708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDI00IFMY8P6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 13:36:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I5aVQZ081175 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 13:36:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HN5NZb034528; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 202341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I5VKxl026630 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I5VKhO005571 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I5VJcs005569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 00:31:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180531.h3I5VJcs005569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N0 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:13 2003 X-UIDL: 22712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00ILB1UH6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 14:54:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I6sSQZ001598 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 14:54:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYoT042296; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 01:48:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 203098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 01:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I6mQxl021942 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 01:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I6mPhO006201 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 01:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I6mPjH006200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 01:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 01:48:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180648.h3I6mPjH006200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 180600 WARNING 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.5N 130.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 15.0N 127.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 16.5N 127.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 18.0N 126.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:15 2003 X-UIDL: 22716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00INE6FY6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:33:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I8XhQZ024988 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:33:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYpn042296; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:26:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 203720 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:26:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I8Qbxl045024 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:26:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I8QahO007003 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:26:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I8Qa2l007002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:26:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:26:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180826.h3I8Qa2l007002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 51N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 160E TO 52N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 166E TO 50N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 166E TO 45N 164E 38N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 157E 52N 164E 52N 180E 40N 180E 39N 165E 40N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 125E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 31N 167E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 146E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.5N 130.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 125E TO 38N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 125E TO 32N 121E 29N 115E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 115E TO 28N 110E 26N 105E. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 167E TO 32N 175E 32N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 167E TO 23N 164E 19N 156E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:22 2003 X-UIDL: 22718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00I837HV6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:56:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I8uQQZ030175 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:56:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYq9042296; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:49:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 203823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:49:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3I8n3xl032940 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3I8n2hO007222 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3I8n2er007221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 03:49:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304180849.h3I8n2er007221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 13.4N8 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.8N2 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.3N8 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.2N8 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.1N8 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.5N3 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 13.5N9 129.7E9. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 532 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL, ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF A WELL DEFINED GEOMETRIC EYE WITH A 14 NM DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5, 182100Z2, 190300Z3 AND 190900Z9. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:43 2003 X-UIDL: 22735-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00ILTK326F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:28:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IDSKQZ092559 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:28:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYt1042296; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 07:48:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 204676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 07:48:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ICkvxl022632 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 07:48:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3ICkuhO009373 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 07:46:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3ICkuSt009372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 07:46:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 07:46:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304181246.h3ICkuSt009372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 181200 WARNING 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.7N 129.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 15.5N 127.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 17.0N 126.5E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 18.0N 126.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:44 2003 X-UIDL: 22740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00IWRN976F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 22:36:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IEasQZ010032 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 22:36:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3HHQYxX042296; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:30:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 206124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IEUYxl028332 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3IEUXhO012545 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3IEUXbb012544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:30:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304181430.h3IEUXbb012544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 51N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 33N 170E NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 170E TO 33N 174E 32N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 170E TO 25N 169E 19N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 160E 52N 161E 53N 180E 39N 180E 38N 167E 39N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 131E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 126E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 146E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.7N 129.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 131E TO 38N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 131E TO 36N 127E 28N 116E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 116E TO 27N 113E 26N 108E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:47 2003 X-UIDL: 22745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00IRQNT96F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Apr 2003 22:48:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IEmtQZ012870 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 22:48:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IEZT0H042296; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:42:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 206228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:42:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IEgTxl032388 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:42:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3IEgThO013094 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:42:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3IEgT6N013093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:42:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 09:42:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Navoceano Stennis Space Center Ms//n16// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304181442.h3IEgT6N013093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 13.5N9 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 129.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.1N6 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.0N6 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.0N7 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.8N5 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.0N9 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 129.2E4. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 505 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. A 180929Z9 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO GO THROUGH A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL CYCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2, 190300Z3, 190900Z9 AND 191500Z6. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 04:11:54 2003 X-UIDL: 22766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDJ00I2QZEL6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 02:59:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IIxEQZ074493 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 02:59:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IGO391048566; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 13:45:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 209011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 13:45:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IIj7xl045172 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 13:45:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3IIj7hO021206 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 13:45:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3IIj68J021205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 13:45:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 13:45:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304181845.h3IIj68J021205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 181800 WARNING 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.9N 129.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 16.3N 127.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 18.5N 126.5E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 19.0N 125.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 10:10:14 2003 X-UIDL: 22773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00IDI3YY6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 04:37:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IKbuQZ007278 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 04:37:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IKEu3L037780; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 15:30:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 210631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 15:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IKSFxl029842 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 15:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3IKSFhO024345 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 15:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3IKSFtI024344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 15:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 15:28:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304182028.h3IKSFtI024344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 51N 168E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 168E TO 50N 172E 48N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 173E TO 45N 177E 41N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 173E TO 41N 170E 35N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 161E 55N 180E 37N 180E 36N 166E 48N 167E 54N 161E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 126E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 133E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 32N 172E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 50N 95E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 150E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 940 HPA AT 13.9N 129.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 133E TO 39N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 133E TO 36N 129E 32N 126E 29N 120E. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 172E TO 33N 176E 32N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 172E TO 24N 170E 18N 160E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 10:10:16 2003 X-UIDL: 22774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00I5Q5O46F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:14:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3ILEZQZ016148 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 05:14:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IGO3M9048566; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:07:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 211384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:07:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IL7Wxl029700 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:07:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3IL7WhO025595 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:07:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3IL7WfU025594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:07:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 16:07:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304182107.h3IL7WfU025594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 040 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 13.9N3 129.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 129.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.8N3 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.9N5 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.9N6 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.8N6 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.0N0 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 128.8E9. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3, 190900Z9, 191500Z6 AND 192100Z3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 10:10:24 2003 X-UIDL: 22780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00LY6FMZLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:49:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J0nvQZ057027 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:49:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IGO3fR048566; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 19:43:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 214829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 19:43:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J0h5xl014912 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 19:43:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3J0h4hO029031 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 19:43:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3J0h47B029030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 19:43:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 19:43:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304190043.h3J0h47B029030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 190000 WARNING 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 14.1N 128.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 16.6N 127.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 18.5N 126.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 19.0N 126.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:37 2003 X-UIDL: 22784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00LAJK3ULY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:26:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J2QTQZ076780 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:26:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IGO3i5048566; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:21:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 215570 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:21:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J2Lmxl013180 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:21:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3J2LlhO000347 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:21:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3J2LlTX000346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:21:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:21:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304190221.h3J2LlTX000346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 041 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 14.1N6 128.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 128.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.1N7 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.1N8 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.9N6 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.6N4 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.6N5 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.4N9 128.5E6. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 455 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH HAS EXITED THE WESTERN PACIFIC RESULTING IN A CUTOFF OF THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM NOW HAS A CLOUD-FILLED EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:39 2003 X-UIDL: 22786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00LKXKBTLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:31:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J2VGQZ077923 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:31:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IKEuon037780; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:22:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 215582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:22:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J2Mpxl008514 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:22:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3J2MlhO000373 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:22:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3J2Mloa000372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:22:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:22:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr 41// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304190222.h3J2Mloa000372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 41// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 190000Z0 TO 220000Z4 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 455 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH HAS EXITED THE WESTERN PACIFIC RESULTING IN A CUTOFF OF THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM NOW HAS A CLOUD-FILLED EYE. B. TY 02W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE STORM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) MODEL, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. GFDN AND NGPS REPRESENT TWO DIFFERENT STEERING SCENARIOS. GFDN HAS A SIGNIFICANT EAST AND POLEWARD BIAS, WHILE NGPS IS EQUATORWARD AND WEST OF THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS DIFFERENCE IS PRIMARILY DUE TO GFDN MAINTAINING A STRONG SYSTEM AND STEERING IN THE MID-LEVELS, WHILE NGPS QUICKLY WEAKENS THE SYSTEM AND REFLECTS A LOW LEVEL STEERING ENVIRONMENT. TY 02W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN, THEREFORE THE FORECAST TRACK LIES BETWEEN THE TWO OUTLIERS AND IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS LESS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE ANALYSIS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:40 2003 X-UIDL: 22787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00LORKG3LY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:33:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J2XkQZ078484 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 10:33:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3IGO3iP048566; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:27:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 215660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J2Rpxl016532 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3J2RohO000422 for ; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3J2Rolp000421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2003 21:27:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304190227.h3J2Rolp000421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 52N 170E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 170E TO 48N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 177E TO 45N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 177E TO 35N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 41N 147E 35N 146E 36N 141E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 168E 54N 180E 37N 180E 37N 170E 47N 174E 54N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 139E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 31N 174E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 152E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 14.1N 128.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 139E TO 39N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 139E TO 38N 134E 28N 123E. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 174E TO 29N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 174E TO 24N 173E 21N 166E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:40 2003 X-UIDL: 22790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00LPWS72LY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 13:21:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J5LCQZ016515 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 13:21:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4Va2r045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 217224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J5Etxl008816 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3J5EthO002358 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3J5Et1s002356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 00:14:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304190514.h3J5Et1s002356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 128.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 455 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00LLLWKFLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 14:55:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J6tbQZ036542 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 14:55:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4Va65045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 01:48:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 217920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 01:48:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J6mrxl004696 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 01:48:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3J6mrhO003346 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 01:48:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3J6mrEj003345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 01:48:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 01:48:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304190648.h3J6mrEj003345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 190600 WARNING 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 14.6N 128.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 17.1N 126.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 18.5N 126.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 19.5N 125.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22794-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDK00LPAZ7ZLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:52:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J7qmQZ047693 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:52:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4Va7j045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 02:48:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 218383 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 02:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J7mmxl008912 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 02:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3J7mmhO003836 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 02:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3J7mmvJ003835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 02:48:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 02:48:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304190748.h3J7mmvJ003835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 14.7N2 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.7N3 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.7N4 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.4N2 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.0N9 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.9N8 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 128.0E1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS A 10 NM IRREGULAR EYE. POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS DECREASED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS AND THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN SIZE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LOX14HLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:33:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J8Y3QZ055204 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 16:34:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4Va8R045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 03:27:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 218596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 03:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J8Rcxl046182 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 03:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3J8RbhO004200 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 03:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3J8Rbc1004199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 03:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 03:27:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304190827.h3J8Rbc1004199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 54N 170E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 170E TO 53N 175E 51N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 178E TO 49N 178W 47N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 178E TO 45N 179E 37N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 144E 41N 143E 41N 150E 34N 150E 34N 144E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 175E 47N 178E 56N 167E 57N 175E 57N 180E 40N 180E 40N 175E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 41N 143E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 31N 176E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 38N 130E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 153E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 945 HPA AT 14.6N 128.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 143E TO 41N 146E 40N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 143E TO 38N 140E 37N 137E 33N 132E 29N 124E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 19 21:33:43 2003 X-UIDL: 22800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LNGD6PLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:54:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JCsVQZ006005 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:54:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VaEt045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 07:47:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 220202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 07:47:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JClWxl004974 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 07:47:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JClVhO006683 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 07:47:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JClVEb006682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 07:47:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 07:47:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304191247.h3JClVEb006682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 191200 WARNING 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 15.1N 127.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 17.2N 126.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 18.5N 125.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 19.5N 124.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 01:16:31 2003 X-UIDL: 22802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LDNFYNLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 21:54:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JDsYQZ017154 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 21:54:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VaJ9045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:49:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 220762 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:49:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JDnaxl044930 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:49:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JDnZhO007284 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JDnZIB007283 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:49:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr 43// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304191349.h3JDnZIB007283@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 43// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 221200Z7 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. TY 02W HAS A 10 NM CLOUD-FILLED, IRREGULAR EYE. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. B. TY 02W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. GFDN STILL HAS A SOMEWHAT POLEWARD BIAS AS IT MAINTAINS A STRONGER SYSTEM WHILE NGPS MOVES TO A LOWER LEVEL STEERING INFLUENCE EARLIER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD, REPRESENTING A MORE EQUATORWARD TRACK. ALL OTHER MODEL SOLUTIONS LIE BETWEEN THE GFDN AND NGPS SOLUTIONS. OUR FORECAST TRACK LIES BETWEEN THE TWO OUTLIERS AND IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS LESS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND QUIKSCAT DATA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 01:16:33 2003 X-UIDL: 22803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LF9G0ELY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 21:55:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JDtWQZ017338 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 21:55:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VaJ5045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:48:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 220752 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:48:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JDmYxl030420 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:48:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JDmXhO007274 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:48:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JDmXk2007273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:48:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 08:48:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304191348.h3JDmXk2007273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 043 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 15.1N7 127.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 127.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.2N9 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.1N9 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.8N6 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.4N3 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.2N2 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.4N0 127.6E6. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. TY 02W HAS A 10 NM CLOUD-FILLED, IRREGULAR EYE. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 01:16:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LB4HVVLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Apr 2003 22:35:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JEa0QZ024475 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 22:36:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J5AbZl037784; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 09:29:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 221000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 09:27:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JERZxl036094 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 09:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JERYhO007713 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 09:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JERXO4007712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 09:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 09:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304191427.h3JERXO4007712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 54N 174E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 174E TO 53N 180E 52N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 177W TO 50N 173W 47N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 177W TO 46N 174W 36N 177E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 146E 43N 150E 41N 159E 36N 154E 36N 148E 38N 146E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 170E 58N 180E 48N 180E 51N 174E 55N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 151E ENE 30 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 40N 130E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 156E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 15.1N 127.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 151E TO 41N 154E 40N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 151E TO 39N 146E 34N 136E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 136E TO 33N 131E 31N 126E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 02:56:18 2003 X-UIDL: 22813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LOHTSTLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 02:53:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JIrKQZ079331 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 02:53:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VaVh045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 13:46:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 223668 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 13:46:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JIkGxl029738 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 13:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JIkGhO010995 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 13:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JIkGmJ010994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 13:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 13:46:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304191846.h3JIkGmJ010994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 191800 WARNING 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 15.7N 127.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 17.6N 124.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 18.5N 124.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 20.0N 122.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 10:16:28 2003 X-UIDL: 22820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LYZYFXLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 04:33:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JKXdQZ004327 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 04:33:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VaXt045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:27:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 224516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JKRDxl016404 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JKRChO012026 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JKRCaV012025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:27:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304192027.h3JKRCaV012025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 55N 175E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 175E TO 56N 180E 55N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 174W TO 55N 169W 52N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 174W TO 52N 169W 47N 168W 43N 172W 39N 176W. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 149E 41N 150E 44N 160E 38N 161E 36N 149E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 170E 60N 170E 60N 180E 52N 180E 54N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 124E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 155E ENE 30 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 157E ENE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 15.7N 127.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 155E TO 42N 158E 41N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 155E TO 40N 151E 37N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 36N 139E 35N 135E 34N 132E 33N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 10:16:29 2003 X-UIDL: 22821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDL00LP7Y4VLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 04:26:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JKR5QZ002995 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 04:27:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VaXj045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:19:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 224451 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:19:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JKJtxl004710 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:19:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3JKJshO011921 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:19:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3JKJssn011920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:19:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 15:19:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304192019.h3JKJssn011920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 044 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 15.7N3 127.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 127.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.8N5 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.6N4 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.2N1 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.7N6 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.6N6 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 127.1E1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8 AND 202100Z5. RELEEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 10:16:30 2003 X-UIDL: 22825-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00DPIB2X7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 09:06:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K16hPa031271 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 09:06:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4Van3045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 19:47:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 227429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 19:47:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K0lmxl026494 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 19:47:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K0lmhO015145 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 19:47:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K0lm9K015144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 19:47:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 19:47:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200047.h3K0lm9K015144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 200000 WARNING 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 955 HPA AT 16.2N 126.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 17.7N 124.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 19.0N 123.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 20.0N 121.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 17:24:17 2003 X-UIDL: 22829-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00DH2EK37Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:21:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K2LjPa045399 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:21:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4Var5045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 228392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K1wbxl008922 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K1wahO015877 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K1wabn015874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200158.h3K1wabn015874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 045 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 16.2N9 126.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 126.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.1N9 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.9N7 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.5N4 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.0N0 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.7N7 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 126.5E4. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE EYEWALL IS BEGINNING TO ERODE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1, 201500Z8, 202100Z5 AND 210300Z6. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 17:24:19 2003 X-UIDL: 22830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00DITELS7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:22:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K2MoPa045602 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:22:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3JIFkn3037784; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 228395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K1wbxl045024 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K1wahO015878 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K1waAh015876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 20:58:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr 45// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200158.h3K1waAh015876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 200300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 45// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 200000Z2 TO 230000Z5 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE EYEWALL IS BEGINNING TO ERODE. B. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. LATE IN THE PERIOD, THE CYCLONE SHOULD WEAKEN AND TURN MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO THE NORTH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. GFDN STILL HAS A POLEWARD BIAS AS IT MAINTAINS A STRONGER SYSTEM. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS LESS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND QUIKSCAT. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 17:24:28 2003 X-UIDL: 22835-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00DQVG6J7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:56:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K2uqPa050854 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 10:56:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3J4VasR045124; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 21:32:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 228681 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 21:32:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K2Wdxl045034 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 21:32:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K2WchO016240 for ; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 21:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K2Wcn9016239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Apr 2003 21:32:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2003 21:32:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200232.h3K2Wcn9016239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 55N 176E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 179E TO 57N 174W 56N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 169W TO 55N 163W 52N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 169W TO 50N 164W 41N 175W. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 137E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 43N 146E 50N 160E 51N 169E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 179E 30N 147E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 161E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 37N 125E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 145E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 159E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 955 HPA AT 16.2N 126.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 161E TO 43N 165E 43N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 161E TO 40N 157E 38N 152E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 113E TO 29N 120E 34N 129E 36N 136E 37N 145E 38N 152E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 17:24:28 2003 X-UIDL: 22838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00DZHN8Y7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 13:29:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K5TVPa081984 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 13:29:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u529045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 230596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K5Mpxl015342 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K5MphO017961 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K5MpPj017959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 00:22:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200522.h3K5MpPj017959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 126.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 17:24:30 2003 X-UIDL: 22842-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00D22QU57Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 14:46:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K6l3Pa098221 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 14:47:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u54R045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 01:42:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 231166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 01:42:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K6g0xl020428 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 01:42:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K6g0hO018673 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 01:42:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K6fxQ0018672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 01:41:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 01:41:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200641.h3K6fxQ0018672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 200600 WARNING 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 955 HPA AT 16.8N 126.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 18.8N 123.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 19.5N 122.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.5N 121.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 17:24:30 2003 X-UIDL: 22845-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00DK3UTV7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 16:13:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K8DHPa015929 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 16:13:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u56T045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:07:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 231619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:06:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K86xxl023642 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:06:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K86whO019456 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:06:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K86wHo019455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:06:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:06:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200806.h3K86wHo019455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 046 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 16.7N4 126.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 126.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.7N5 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.5N4 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.2N2 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.8N8 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.5N7 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 17.0N8 125.8E6. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. TY 02W HAS INTENSIFIED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, WITH A SYMMETRICAL EYE OF 12 NM DIAMETER, DUE TO IMPROVED OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 20 17:24:31 2003 X-UIDL: 22847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDM00DLVVZC7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 16:38:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K8c9Pa020602 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 16:38:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u56l045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:30:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 231741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K8Ulxl020256 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3K8UlhO019686 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3K8UkKe019685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 03:30:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304200830.h3K8UkKe019685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 56N 178E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 180E TO 59N 174W 58N 167W. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 167W TO 57N 160W 55N 153W. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 167W TO 49N 160W 42N 172W. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 137E HONSHU MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 44N 146E 44N 153E 50N 169E 60N 171E 60N 180E 34N 180E 33N 157E 32N 140E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 38N 126E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 166E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 111E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 45N 145E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 160E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 955 HPA AT 16.8N 126.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 166E TO 42N 168E 42N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 166E TO 39N 160E 37N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 153E TO 36N 137E 35N 132E 31N 125E 29N 119E 27N 115E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 00:49:09 2003 X-UIDL: 22852-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00D6I7OZ7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 20:50:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KCp7Pa074060 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 20:51:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5CX045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 07:47:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 233948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 07:47:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KClPxl042650 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 07:47:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KClOhO021558 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 07:47:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KClOt7021557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 07:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 07:47:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304201247.h3KClOt7021557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 201200 WARNING 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 17.1N 125.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 85 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 19.0N 123.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.0N 122.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 20.5N 121.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 00:49:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00DNUA247Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:42:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KDgEPa085714 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:42:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5Et045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:35:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 234585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:35:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KDZRxl008626 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:35:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KDZQhO021900 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:35:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KDZQsQ021899 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:35:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:35:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304201335.h3KDZQsQ021899@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 047 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 17.1N9 125.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 125.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.0N9 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.9N8 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.5N5 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.0N2 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.5N7 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 125.3E1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. TY 02W CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, MAINTAINING A SYMMETRICAL EYE OF 15 NM DIAMETER, DUE TO IMPROVED OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 00:49:10 2003 X-UIDL: 22854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00DQXA557Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:43:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KDi3Pa086044 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:44:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5Ev045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:36:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 234594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:36:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KDaTxl008648 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:36:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KDaShO021907 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:36:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KDaSW5021906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:36:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 08:36:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr 47// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304201336.h3KDaSW5021906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 47// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 231200Z8 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. TY 02W CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, MAINTAINING A SYMMETRICAL EYE OF 15 NM DIAMETER, DUE TO IMPROVED OUTFLOW ALOFT. B. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. IN THE MID-PERIOD, THE CYCLONE SHOULD WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AND TURN MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH, WHICH IS FORECAST TO BUILD AS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH NORTH OF THE SYSTEM TRANSLATES EASTWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GFDN. GFDN STILL HAS A SIGNIFICANT POLEWARD BIAS, MAINTAINING A STRONGER SYSTEM. JGSM AND AVN HAVE A SLIGHT EQUATORWARD BIAS LATE IN THE PERIOD AS WELL, DUE TO A WEAKER SYSTEM. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 02W IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING IMPROVED OUTFLOW CONDITIONS AND HAS INTENSIFIED. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN STRENGTH IN THE SHORT TERM, THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS LESS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 00:49:11 2003 X-UIDL: 22857-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00DM7CM47Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Apr 2003 22:37:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KEbKPa097441 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 22:37:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5Gp045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 09:29:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 235033 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 09:29:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KETpxl012482 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 09:29:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KETphO022423 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 09:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KETpn4022422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 09:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 09:29:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304201429.h3KETpn4022422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 57N 180E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 180E TO 59N 171W 58N 164W. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 164W TO 57N 157W 55N 152W. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 164W TO 50N 157W 41N 169W. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 37N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 138E 35N 139E 38N 142E 42N 143E 44N 146E 50N 155E 60N 158E 60N 180E 30N 180E 30N 156E 30N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 38N 131E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 43N 170E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 115E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 45N 148E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 163E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 17.1N 125.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 44N 174E 42N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 40N 165E 37N 159E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 159E TO 37N 150E 37N 142E 36N 138E 30N 126E 28N 118E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 08:20:31 2003 X-UIDL: 22873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00DZROJO7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 02:55:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KItAPa051166 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 02:55:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KI2m7j023004; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 13:48:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 237869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 13:48:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KImNxl015198 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 13:48:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KImMhO025213 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 13:48:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KImMJq025212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 13:48:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 13:48:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304201848.h3KImMJq025212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 201800 WARNING 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 18.0N 125.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 85 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 19.8N 123.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 21.0N 121.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 21.5N 121.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 08:20:33 2003 X-UIDL: 22874-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00DOJT8V7Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:36:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KKafPa076726 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:36:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5aZ045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:31:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 239459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:31:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KKVFxl003768 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:31:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KKVEhO026714 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:31:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KKVEhk026713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:31:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:31:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304202031.h3KKVEhk026713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 37N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 35N 138E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 138E TO 35N 137E 33N 133E 30N 128E 28N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 42N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 139E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 57N 180E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 179W TO 61N 168W 57N 156W. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 156W TO 57N 146W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 156W TO 53N 152W 45N 152W. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 45N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 179E TO 44N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 179E TO 41N 175E 40N 170E 39N 169E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 169E TO 38N 164E 39N 155E 37N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 139E 38N 141E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 170E 60N 180E 32N 180E 32N 160E 35N 139E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 43N 115E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 46N 152E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 165E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 18.0N 125.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 08:20:33 2003 X-UIDL: 22875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDN00D0HTJ97Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:42:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KKguPa077956 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 04:42:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5ad045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:37:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 239528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:37:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3KKbkxl008662 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:37:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3KKbjhO026781 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:37:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3KKbjUf026780 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:37:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 15:37:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304202037.h3KKbjUf026780@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 048 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 17.9N7 125.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 125.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.9N8 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.6N6 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.1N3 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.6N8 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.5N8 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.2N1 125.1E9. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. TY 02W HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, WITH A PRIMARY FEEDER BAND WRAPPING AROUND THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6, 210900Z2, 211500Z9 AND 212100Z6. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 09:39:50 2003 X-UIDL: 22880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO007KD5F2Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 08:59:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L0xcPa019526 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 08:59:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5pl045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 19:50:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 242494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 19:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L0o8xl008502 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 19:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L0o7hO029820 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 19:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L0o73U029819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 19:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 19:50:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210050.h3L0o73U029819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 210000 WARNING 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 18.3N 124.6E EAST OF LUZON MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 20.0N 122.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 21.0N 121.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 21.5N 121.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 10:34:59 2003 X-UIDL: 22883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO0071I9MKZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:30:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2UXPa037398 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:30:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5wF045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:25:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 243840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:25:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2PVxl016606 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:25:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L2PVhO000881 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:25:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L2PVkM000880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:25:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:25:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210225.h3L2PVkM000880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 049 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 18.3N2 124.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 124.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.0N0 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.7N7 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.2N4 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.8N0 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.5N8 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 124.4E1. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. AREAL COVERAGE OF TY 02W APPEARS THE SAME, HOWEVER, THE CLOUD TOPS ARE WARMING SLIGHTLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2, 211500Z9, 212100Z6 AND 220300Z7. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 10:34:59 2003 X-UIDL: 22884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO0075P9P9Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:31:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2W9Pa037759 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:32:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5wL045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:27:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 243855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2RZxl011398 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L2RYhO000918 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L2RXT9000917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr 49// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210227.h3L2RXT9000917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 49// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 210000Z3 TO 240000Z6 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. AREAL COVERAGE OF TY 02W APPEARS THE SAME. HOWEVER, THE CLOUD TOPS ARE WARMING SLIGHTLY. B. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. IN THE MID-PERIOD, THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO TRACK MAKE SEVERAL STAIR STEPS AS THE STEERING ENVIRONMENT EXPERIENCES THE PASSAGE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER TAIWAN AND THEN THE PASSAGE OF A MID-LAT TROUGH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) SHOW GENERAL AGREEMENT OUT TO 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, MODELS DIVERGE INTO TWO CLUSTERS. JGSM, COAMPS, EGRR, AVN AND AFWA MM5 TAKE TY 02W FURTHER WEST, WHILE JTYM AND NGPS TRACK MORE POLEWARD. GFDN REMAINS AN OUTLIER WITH A POLEWARD BIAS RELATIVE TO OTHER MODELS THROUGH THE FORECAST. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON A BLEND OF MODELS IN THE POLEWARD CLUSTER. C. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS OUTFLOW CONDITIONS DETERIORATE WITH THE APPROACH OF UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES ENCROACH. INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE MORE RAPID WEAKENING BY THE LATE PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 10:44:59 2003 X-UIDL: 22885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO007CM9U4Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:34:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2Z4Pa038363 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 10:35:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3K4u5wP045124; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:29:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 243865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:29:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2Tgxl011428 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L2TfhO000958 for ; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L2TfBV000957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2003 21:29:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210229.h3L2TfBV000957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 146E TO 37N 150E 37N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 146E TO 36N 143E 35N 140E 31N 135E 25N 122E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 43N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 141E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 57N 179E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 123E 26N 129E 27N 134E 25N 135E 23N 127E 22N 123E 24N 123E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 135E 38N 141E 42N 143E 48N 153E 48N 180E 35N 180E 28N 157E 29N 140E 32N 135E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 46N 174W ENE 30 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 120E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 172E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 950 HPA AT 18.3N 124.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 174W TO 45N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 174W TO 40N 174E 38N 168E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 168E TO 38N 158E 37N 152E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 15:05:00 2003 X-UIDL: 22894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO007MMLY9Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 14:56:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L6uiPa096263 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 14:56:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPDj045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 01:51:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 247263 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 01:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L6pSxl042382 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 01:51:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L6pShO003370 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 01:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L6pRvG003369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 01:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 01:51:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210651.h3L6pRvG003369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 210600 WARNING 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 955 HPA AT 18.8N 124.2E NORTHEAST OF LUZON MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 19.9N 122.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 21.5N 122.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 23.5N 121.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 16:05:00 2003 X-UIDL: 22897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO007VKOZHZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 16:02:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L82HPa014867 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 16:02:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPFh045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 02:56:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 247726 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 02:56:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L7uMxl042106 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 02:56:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L7uMhO003839 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 02:56:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L7uLia003838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 02:56:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 02:56:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210756.h3L7uLia003838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 050 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 18.7N6 124.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 124.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.5N5 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.0N2 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.2N4 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.6N8 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 21.5N8 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.9N8 124.0E7. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 411 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. SYSTEM HAS A 20 NM CLOUD-FILLED AND IRREGULAR EYE. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES EYE IS WEAKENING AND TEMPERATURE AT THE CENTER IS COOLING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 16:45:00 2003 X-UIDL: 22898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO007TVQJ5Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 16:35:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L8ZgPa021703 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 16:35:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPGn045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:31:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 247937 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:31:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L8V9xl048538 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L8V8hO004174 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L8V84R004173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:31:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210831.h3L8V84R004173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 147E TO 40N 153E 40N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 147E TO 36N 145E 35N 142E 32N 139E 29N 132E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 41N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 58N 179E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 134E 24N 134E 21N 117E 24N 118E 26N 124E 26N 134E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 123E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 48N 148E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 180E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 955 HPA AT 18.8N 124.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 157E TO 40N 164E 40N 172E 39N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 16:55:00 2003 X-UIDL: 22899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDO007H2R1BZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 16:46:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L8kaPa024126 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 16:46:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPHP045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:42:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 248096 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:42:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L8fwxl022524 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:41:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3L8fwhO004264 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:41:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3L8fwr3004263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:41:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 03:41:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304210841.h3L8fwr3004263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 210600 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 147E TO 40N 153E 40N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 147E TO 36N 145E 35N 142E 32N 139E 29N 132E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 41N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 58N 179E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 134E 24N 134E 21N 117E 24N 118E 26N 124E 26N 134E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 141E 44N 145E 47N 154E 47N 180E 37N 180E 30N 159E 30N 137E 36N 141E 41N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 123E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 48N 148E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 180E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 955 HPA AT 18.8N 124.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 157E TO 40N 164E 40N 172E 39N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 20:55:01 2003 X-UIDL: 22903-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP007WO2FKZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:52:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LCqiPa075745 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:52:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPNB045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 07:47:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 249767 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 07:44:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LCi2xl022932 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 07:44:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LCi1hO006694 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 07:44:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LCi1Ea006693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 07:44:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 07:44:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304211244.h3LCi1Ea006693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 211200 WARNING 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 955 HPA AT 19.2N 124.4E NORTHEAST OF LUZON MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.5N 122.9E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 21.5N 122.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 22.5N 121.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 22:25:01 2003 X-UIDL: 22908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP007RR6LWZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:22:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LEMuPa097254 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:22:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPUX045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:19:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 250995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:18:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LEIAxl033296 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:18:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LEI9hO009274 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:18:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LEI9J8009273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:18:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:18:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 02w (kujira) Warning Nr 51// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304211418.h3LEI9J8009273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 51// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 211200Z6 TO 241200Z9 APR 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. SYSTEM NO LONGER HAS AN EYE AND DEEP CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN QUADRANTS HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. B. TY 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) SHOW FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO UNTIL THE MID- PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, MODELS DIVERGE INTO TWO CLUSTERS. COAMPS, EGRR, AVN AND AFWA MM5 TAKE THE SYSTEM FURTHER WEST AND ARE LESS AGGRESSIVE IN THEIR INTERACTION WITH THE WESTERLIES. JTYM, JGSM, GFDN AND NGPS TRACK MORE POLEWARD. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH A GREATER EMPHASIS ON THE POLEWARD GROUPING IN THE LATE PERIOD. C. TY 02W HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE INTERACTION WITH THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES OCCURS. INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE MORE RAPID WEAKENING AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 22:25:01 2003 X-UIDL: 22909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP007RV6LXZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:22:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LEMvPa097262 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:22:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPUB045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:16:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 250982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:16:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LEGkxl042214 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:16:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LEGjhO009226 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:16:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LEGjDd009225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:16:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:16:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304211416.h3LEGjDd009225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 051 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 19.2N2 124.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 124.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.9N9 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.4N6 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.8N0 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.3N6 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.8N2 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 19.4N4 124.1E8. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. SYSTEM NO LONGER HAS AN EYE AND DEEP CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN QUADRANTS HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6, 220300Z7, 220900Z3 AND 221500Z0. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 21 22:35:01 2003 X-UIDL: 22910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP007JL75BZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:34:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LEYZPa000355 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:34:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3L2jPVr045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:30:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 251144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:29:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LETNxl033366 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LETNhO009615 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LETNng009614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 09:29:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304211429.h3LETNng009614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 40N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 152E TO 40N 157E 39N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 152E TO 32N 148E 27N 138E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 43N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 58N 179E BERING SEA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 550 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 121E 20N 121E 19N 112E 22N 112E 24N 117E 26N 121E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 141E 46N 150E 48N 161E 49N 180E 34N 180E 28N 147E 30N 143E 40N 142E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 136E 21N 121E 25N 122E 27N 136E 24N 136E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 130E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 48N 151E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 41N 177E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 178E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 955 HPA AT 19.2N 124.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 162E TO 39N 170E 39N 179W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:41 2003 X-UIDL: 22927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP007VXJ5XZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 02:53:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LIsAPa069145 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 02:54:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LHjZ6h045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:51:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 256623 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:51:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LIp8xl047310 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:51:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LIp8hO019442 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:51:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LIp7r7019441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:51:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:51:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0302 Kujira (0302) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304211851.h3LIp7r7019441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 211800 WARNING 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 960 HPA AT 19.6N 124.4E NORTHEAST OF LUZON MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 21.3N 122.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 23.0N 122.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 25.5N 122.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:44 2003 X-UIDL: 22928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP007W7J62Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 02:54:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LIsFPa069167 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 02:54:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LHjZ69045124; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 256581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LImKxl035998 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LImKhO019314 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LImKgt019312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 13:48:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304211848.h3LImKgt019312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 211900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/211900Z/220600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 124.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.0N7 156.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 145 NM WEST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. RECENT QUICKSCAT PASSES SHOW A GOOD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH. ANALYSIS OF UPPER AIR SHOWS THAT THIS SYSTEM IS IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER RIDGE AND EXISTS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND A POINT SOURCE ALOFT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) 4. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:45 2003 X-UIDL: 22932-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP007DHNS0Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:33:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LKXmPa000482 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 04:33:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LJGk6h048628; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 15:28:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 258610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 15:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LKSOxl044966 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 15:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LKSOhO022693 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 15:28:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LKSOjN022692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 15:28:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 15:28:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304212028.h3LKSOjN022692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 40N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 154E TO 41N 155E 41N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 156E TO 41N 166E 38N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 156E TO 33N 152E 28N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 44N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 58N 176W BERING SEA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 21N 121E 17N 115E 22N 112E 25N 120E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 43N 145E 49N 160E 49N 180E 30N 180E 28N 151E 29N 146E 39N 142E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 133E 22N 133E 21N 122E 24N 122E 24N 133E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 134E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 176W EAST 35 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 960 HPA AT 19.6N 124.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:50 2003 X-UIDL: 22940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP00LYRX9GA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 07:58:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LNwcPa044964 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 07:58:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LLlS4X004896; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 18:52:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 261795 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 18:52:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LNq7xl026434 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 18:52:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3LNq7hO026951 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 18:52:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3LNq678026950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 18:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 18:52:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Navoceano Stennis Space Center Ms//n16// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304212352.h3LNq678026950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 052 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 19.8N8 124.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 124.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.6N8 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 21.3N6 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.9N2 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.8N2 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 25.7N4 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.0N2 124.1E8. TYPHOON (TY) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 77 AND 102 KNOTS. TY 02W CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WITH DEEP CONVECTION ON THE NORTHERN QUADRANT ONLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7, 220900Z3, 221500Z0 AND 222100Z7. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:51 2003 X-UIDL: 22942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDP00LTMZWYA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 08:55:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M0tkPa058790 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 08:55:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3LLZGLb031494; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 19:50:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 262563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 19:50:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M0oHxl028862 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 19:50:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M0oHhO027659 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 19:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M0oG3f027658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 19:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 19:50:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) Downgraded From Typhoon 975 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220050.h3M0oG3f027658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 220000 WARNING 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975 HPA AT 20.2N 124.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 22.0N 122.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 24.0N 122.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 26.5N 123.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 09:16:52 2003 X-UIDL: 22945-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LSP0QXA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M1DwPa063631 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:14:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M0sW0V004842; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 262797 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M19Xxl044952 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M19WhO027851 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M19W9E027849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 20:09:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220109.h3M19W9E027849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 220000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/220000Z/220600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211951ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 212100Z6, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 124.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 212100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 156.0E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED THE SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AND UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1). 4. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 10:43:27 2003 X-UIDL: 22953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LF04GMA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 10:33:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M2Y9Pa089298 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 10:34:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M0sW8V004842; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 21:27:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 264382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 21:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M2Raxl035974 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 21:27:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M2RZhO028681 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 21:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M2RZ3l028680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 21:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 21:27:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220227.h3M2RZ3l028680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 41N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 156E TO 42N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 159E TO 43N 165E 42N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 159E TO 31N 154E 26N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 49N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 165E 60N 180E 51N 180E 52N 168E 60N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK WESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 158E 42N 162E 43N 180E 30N 180E 30N 163E 32N 158E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 04N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 136E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 975 HPA AT 20.2N 124.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 11:31:34 2003 X-UIDL: 22962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LSQ705A4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:28:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M3T5Pa008034 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:29:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M0sWDL004842; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:23:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 265186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:23:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M3NIxl009526 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:23:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M3NChO029300 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M3NC51029299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:23:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220323.h3M3NC51029299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 053 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 20.1N3 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.7N9 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.2N5 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.8N1 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.9N3 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 26.7N5 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 123.1E7. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 25 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 11:43:42 2003 X-UIDL: 22963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00L4E7H2A4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:39:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M3dAPa010828 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 11:39:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M0sWDn004842; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:33:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 265322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:33:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M3XTxl031636 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M3XShO029395 for ; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:33:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M3XSWt029394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:33:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Apr 2003 22:33:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w (kujira) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220333.h3M3XSWt029394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 220300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 53// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 220000Z4 TO 250000Z7 APR 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 25 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TS 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AFWA MM5, AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) SHOW FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THE PRIMARY DIFFERENCE IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS IS THE DEGREE OF EMBEDDING INTO THE MID LATITUDE WESTERLIES. EGRR, AVN, JGSM, AND AFWA MM5 TAKE THE SYSTEM FURTHER WEST AND ARE LESS AGGRESSIVE IN THEIR INTERACTION WITH THE WESTERLIES. COAMPS, JTYM, GFDN, AND NGPS TRACK MORE POLEWARD BY INTEGRATING THE SYSTEM WITHIN THE WESTERLIES. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 02W HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE OVER COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 15:20:06 2003 X-UIDL: 22969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LTZERDA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 14:16:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M6GbPa057470 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 14:16:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M5Er4p034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:11:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 268041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:11:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M6B0xl041330 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:11:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M6AxhO000813 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:10:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M6AxSx000811 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:10:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:10:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220610.h3M6AxSx000811@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TYPHOON 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N3 123.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 315 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 15:20:12 2003 X-UIDL: 22972-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00L3FGEHA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 14:51:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M6q5Pa068876 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 14:52:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M5Er5r034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:47:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 268264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:47:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M6lHxl006414 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:47:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M6lGhO001108 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:47:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M6lG57001107 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:47:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 01:47:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220647.h3M6lG57001107@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 220600 WARNING 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 980 HPA AT 20.4N 123.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 21.4N 121.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 23.5N 121.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 18:45:22 2003 X-UIDL: 22977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LVOL6SA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 16:35:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M8ZRPa003884 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 16:35:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M5Er7l034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:31:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 269025 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M8Sixl014878 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M8ShhO001921 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:28:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M8Sh9x001920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:28:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:28:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220828.h3M8Sh9x001920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 40N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 44N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 46N 170E 45N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 32N 159E 26N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 51N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 157E 32N 159E 39N 164E 44N 163E 45N 180E 28N 180E 28N 169E 28N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 135E SE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 22N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 143E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 980 HPA AT 20.4N 123.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 108E TO 28N 113E 32N 119E 31N 125E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 18:45:35 2003 X-UIDL: 22978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LQWLGJA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 16:41:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M8fJPa005736 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 16:41:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M5Er8t034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:34:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 269113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:34:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M8Y5xl040744 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:34:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3M8Y4hO001988 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:34:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3M8Y416001987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:34:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 03:34:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304220834.h3M8Y416001987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 054 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 20.3N5 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.8N0 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.4N7 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.5N9 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.8N3 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 27.1N0 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.4N6 123.2E8. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS REORGANIZED NEAR THE CENTER OF TS 02W SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS, BUT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0, 222100Z7, 230300Z8 AND 230900Z4. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 22:56:50 2003 X-UIDL: 22989-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDQ00LCUXCTA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 20:58:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MCwDuE079522 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 20:58:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M5ErFf034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 07:51:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 270830 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 07:51:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MCptxl040712 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 07:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MCpshO004292 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 07:51:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MCps4U004290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 07:51:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 07:51:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304221251.h3MCps4U004290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 221200 WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 985 HPA AT 20.6N 123.1E SOUTHSOUTHWEST OF ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 21.9N 121.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 22:56:56 2003 X-UIDL: 22991-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00L6Q14WA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:19:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MEJsuE002615 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:19:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M5ErPh034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 272540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MEDnxl008458 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MEDnhO007021 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MEDnoT007020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w (kujira) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304221413.h3MEDnoT007020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 55// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 221200Z7 TO 251200Z0 APR 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. DEEP CONVECTION IS ONCE AGAIN ON THE DECLINE, AND AT THE TIME OF OBSERVATION THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WAS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. B. TS 02W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWARD TRACK INTO A RIDGE WEAKNESS BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM AND THE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL BECOME INFLUENCED BY MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW, RESULTING IN A RAPID RECURVATURE AND ACCELERATION TO THE NORTHEAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. GFDN CONTINUES 02W ON A NORTHERLY TRACK INTO THE KOREAN PENINSULA, AND IS THE LONE STRAIGHT NORTH TRACKING BIAS THIS MODEL RUN. THIS FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH LESS EMPAHSIS ON GFDN. C. TS 02W HAS CYCLED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, MAINTAINING 55 KNOT INTENSITY, BUT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN UNDER MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND, MORE IMPORTANTLY, AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII BASED ON A DETAILED ANALYSIS OF ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY, A 22119Z5 SSM/I PASS, AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING OVER-WATER DISSIPATION. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 22:56:57 2003 X-UIDL: 22992-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00LAR16KA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:20:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MEKsuE002930 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:20:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M76Ne3041326; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 272544 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MEDpxl022444 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MEDohO007029 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MEDo6T007028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:13:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304221413.h3MEDo6T007028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 055 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 20.7N9 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.4N7 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.5N9 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.5N0 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 26.0N8 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.8N2 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 20.9N1 123.3E9. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. DEEP CONVECTION IS ONCE AGAIN ON THE DECLINE, AND AT THE TIME OF OBSERVATION THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WAS PARTIALLY EXPOSED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 22 22:56:57 2003 X-UIDL: 22993-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00LR52E4A4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:46:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MEl4uE011279 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:47:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3M76NiR041326; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:29:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 273014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MESCxl042740 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MESBhO007542 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MESB7d007540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 09:28:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304221428.h3MESB7d007540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 41N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 45N 163E 47N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 167E TO 47N 173E 46N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 167E TO 38N 166E 30N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 53N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 121E 20N 119E 23N 116E 26N 120E 25N 121E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 161E 40N 167E 47N 168E 45N 180E 36N 180E 30N 169E 30N 161E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 121E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 53N 138E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 22N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 143E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 985 HPA AT 20.6N 123.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 110E TO 29N 116E 33N 121E 33N 126E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 09:16:19 2003 X-UIDL: 23008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00L1KDYBA4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 02:56:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MIumuE079718 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 02:56:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MHsj73034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:51:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 279566 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:51:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MIpjxl004578 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:51:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MIpihO018020 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:51:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MIpiIe018019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:51:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 13:51:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) Downgraded From Severe Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304221851.h3MIpiIe018019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 221800 WARNING 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 990 HPA AT 21.0N 123.1E SOUTHSOUTHWEST OF ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 22.1N 121.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 09:16:31 2003 X-UIDL: 23012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00LZSIN4A4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 04:37:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKc3uE012629 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 04:38:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MHsjM1034410; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:27:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 282177 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKRCxl026630 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MKRBhO021660 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MKRBTQ021659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:27:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304222027.h3MKRBTQ021659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 47N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 167E TO 48N 169E 48N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 172E TO 48N 177E 46N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 172E TO 38N 170E 29N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 55N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 167E 41N 171E 48N 172E 47N 180E 42N 180E 32N 171E 34N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 123E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 125E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 138E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 146E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 990 HPA AT 21.0N 123.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 111E TO 29N 116E 34N 123E 33N 125E 33N 127E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 09:16:32 2003 X-UIDL: 23014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00L1UJG7A4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 04:55:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKtVuE017321 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 04:55:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgRxl010520; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:42:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 282389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:42:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgNxl003606 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:42:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3MKgMhO022107 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:42:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3MKgMRQ022106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:42:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 15:42:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304222042.h3MKgMRQ022106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 056 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 20.8N0 123.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 123.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.5N8 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.4N8 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 24.3N9 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 26.1N9 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 30.8N1 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 21.0N3 122.9E4. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED WEAKENING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION AND DISPLACEMENT 77 NM TO THE NORTHEAST FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8, 230900Z4, 231500Z1 AND 232100Z8. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 09:16:34 2003 X-UIDL: 23018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00GP8UNWHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 08:57:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N0vjuE070522 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 08:57:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgRHf010520; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 19:51:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 285994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 19:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N0pTxl039946 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 19:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N0pShO027267 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 19:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N0pSFs027266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 19:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 19:51:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230051.h3N0pSFs027266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 230000 WARNING 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 994 HPA AT 20.7N 122.5E SOUTH OF TAIWAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 21.4N 121.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 22.0N 121.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 10:37:19 2003 X-UIDL: 23025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDR00G1VZ0KHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 10:31:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N2ViuE001167 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 10:31:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgRMV010520; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 21:26:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 286936 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 21:26:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N2Qixl046326 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 21:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N2QhhO028489 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 21:26:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N2QhvA028488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 21:26:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 21:26:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230226.h3N2QhvA028488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 49N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 169E TO 51N 172E 52N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 174E TO 52N 180E 50N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 174E TO 45N 177E 34N 170E 28N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 56N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 146E 45N 153E 40N 153E 37N 148E 39N 146E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 124E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 126E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 151E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 994 HPA AT 20.7N 122.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 111E TO 30N 119E 35N 124E 35N 126E 34N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 12:32:46 2003 X-UIDL: 23031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00G530ZZHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 11:14:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N3EYuE015118 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 11:14:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgRTX010520; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:10:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 288102 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:10:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N3AAxl017532 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:10:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N3AAhO029016 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:10:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N3A9Ye029015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:10:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:10:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230310.h3N3A9Ye029015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 057 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 20.8N0 122.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 122.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.4N7 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.3N7 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.1N6 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.5N1 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 21.0N3 122.3E8. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND A 222144Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS. THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION IS NOW 90 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4, 231500Z1, 232100Z8 AND 240300Z9. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 12:32:48 2003 X-UIDL: 23032-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00G5U101HX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 11:14:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N3EcuE015137 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 11:14:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N2e75l041326; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:11:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 288112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:11:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N3Bfxl030446 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:11:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N3BehO029033 for ; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N3BeQ4029032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Apr 2003 22:11:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Nr 57// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230311.h3N3BeQ4029032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 230300 SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING/ NR 57// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 230000Z5 TO 260000Z8 APR 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND A 222144Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS. THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION IS NOW 90 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). B. TS 02W HAS WEAKEND TO THE POINT WHERE THE STEERING WILL BE AT THE 850 MB AND BELOW ENVIRONMENT. TS 02W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK POLEWARD GUIDED THE LOW-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND REGIONAL (JTYM), UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AFWA MM5 AND COAMPS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT AND ARE IN TWO CLUSTERS. THE FIRST CLUSTER CONSISTING OF AVN, NGPS, AND JTYM STILL HAVE THE SYSTEM VERTICALLY STACKED TO 500 MB AND EMBED THE SYSTEM IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THIS RESULTS IN 02W RAPIDLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD WHILE TRANSITIONING INTO AN XT (EXTRATROPICAL) SYSTEM. THE OTHER CLUSTER CONSISTING OF COAMPS, JGSM, EGRR, AND GFDN DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF TAIWAN. THIS FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND CLUSTER OF AIDS THAT DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM. C. TS 02W'S LLCC IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED AND IS EXPECTED TO NOW SLOWLY DISSIPATED WHILE TRACKING POLEWARD OVER SUB 26 CELSIUS SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON A ANALYSIS OF THE 222144Z5 SSM/I PASS. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 13:32:33 2003 X-UIDL: 23044-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00G7I7CLHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 13:31:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N5ViuE054178 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 13:31:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgRdV010520; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 289971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N5RKxl046138 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N5RKhO000655 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N5RKak000653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 00:27:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230527.h3N5RKak000653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N0 122.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, AND TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 15:03:13 2003 X-UIDL: 23049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00GNQB66HX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 14:54:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N6sIuE080053 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 14:54:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgRi3010520; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 01:48:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 290744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 01:48:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N6mFxl018274 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 01:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N6mBhO001448 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 01:48:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N6mB5K001447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 01:48:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 01:48:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230648.h3N6mB5K001447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 230600 WARNING 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 1000 HPA AT 20.8N 122.4E SOUTH OF TAIWAN ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 21.8N 121.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 24.2N 121.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 18:48:16 2003 X-UIDL: 23055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00G8FFHUHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 16:27:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N8RguE009576 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 16:27:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3MKgRjH010520; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:23:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 291338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:23:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N8NWxl048020 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:23:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N8NVhO002347 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:23:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N8NVwv002346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:23:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:23:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230823.h3N8NVwv002346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 230900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 058 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 20.7N9 122.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 122.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.3N6 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.5N9 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.5N0 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.8N0 122.2E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO SEPARATE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1, 232100Z8, 240300Z9 AND 240900Z5. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 18:48:22 2003 X-UIDL: 23056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00GVKG00HX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 16:38:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N8cauE013261 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 16:38:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N6558b041328; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:33:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 291389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3N8Tdxl039970 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3N8TchO002392 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:29:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3N8TcA3002391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:29:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 03:29:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304230829.h3N8TcA3002391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 52N 174E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 174E TO 53N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 179W TO 52N 174W 50N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 179W TO 45N 179E 33N 172E 26N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 58N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 152E 47N 155E 47N 160E 39N 159E 40N 152E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA BOHAI EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 35N 129E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 130E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 52N 136E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 110E TO 27N 113E 29N 118E 33N 125E 35N 129E 36N 134E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 152E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 155E EAST 35 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 1000 HPA AT 20.8N 122.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 20:57:53 2003 X-UIDL: 23069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00GASRZ4HX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 20:57:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NCvGuE088686 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 20:57:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NBHX2V033772; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 07:48:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 293313 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 07:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NCmZxl014724 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 07:48:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NCmYhO004878 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 07:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NCmYNX004877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 07:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 07:48:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304231248.h3NCmYNX004877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 231200 WARNING 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 1000 HPA AT 21.0N 122.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 22.1N 121.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 23.5N 121.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 22:37:52 2003 X-UIDL: 23076-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00GIAWI8HX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 22:34:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NEZ9uE018642 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 22:35:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NBHXGN033772; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:28:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 295308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:26:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NEQuxl040862 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NEQuhO008211 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:26:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NEQtn5008210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:26:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304231426.h3NEQtn5008210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 54N 175E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 175E TO 56N 180E 56N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 175W TO 53N 168W 48N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 175W TO 46N 176W 33N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 59N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 131E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 133E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 131E TO 36N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 131E TO 32N 126E 30N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 29N 118E 25N 109E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 151E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 35N 160E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 1000 HPA AT 21.0N 122.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 23 22:47:52 2003 X-UIDL: 23077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDS00GT1WN3HX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Apr 2003 22:37:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NEc3uE019690 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 22:38:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NBHXKp033772; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:32:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 295563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:32:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NEWqxl044490 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:32:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NEWqhO008495 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:32:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NEWqoP008494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:32:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 09:32:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304231432.h3NEWqoP008494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 059 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 21.0N3 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.9N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.0N5 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.3N9 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 21.2N5 122.5E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TS 02W HAS ONCE AGAIN BECOME A SPIRAL BANDING SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCUALTION CENTER (LLCC) UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION, BUT REMAINS A WEAK SYSTEM DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF LESS THAN 26 DEGREE CENTIGRADE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9, 240900Z5 AND 241500Z2. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:25 2003 X-UIDL: 23093-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00GE28NXHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 02:57:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NIviuE099939 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 02:57:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NBHXox033772; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 13:48:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 301181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 13:48:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NIm4xl012432 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 13:48:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NIm4hO018562 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 13:48:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NIm3IU018561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 13:48:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 13:48:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 998 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304231848.h3NIm3IU018561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 231800 WARNING 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 998 HPA AT 21.3N 122.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 23.1N 122.1E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 26.4N 123.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:33 2003 X-UIDL: 23099-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00GYCDDAHX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:39:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NKdMuE033052 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:39:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NJTHB7033772; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:29:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 304028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NKTixl005098 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NKThhO022928 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NKTg2q022925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:29:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:29:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304232029.h3NKTg2q022925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 56N 179E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 179E TO 57N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 173W TO 56N 165W 52N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 173W TO 43N 176W 30N 172E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 60N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 44N 145E HOKKAIDO MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 145E TO 44N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 145E TO 38N 142E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 134E ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 134E TO 37N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 134E TO 29N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 124E TO 26N 111E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 149E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 164E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 998 HPA AT 21.3N 122.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:33 2003 X-UIDL: 23100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00GIVEM2HX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 05:06:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NL6EuE040090 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 05:06:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NJTHEj033772; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:57:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 305080 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:57:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NKvaxl046848 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:57:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3NKvahO024107 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:57:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3NKvaRe024106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:57:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 15:57:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304232057.h3NKvaRe024106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 232100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 060 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 21.6N9 122.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N9 122.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.6N0 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.8N3 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.2N9 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 21.9N2 122.3E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 208 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TS 02W REMAINS A WEAK SYSTEM DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF LESS THAN 26 DEGREE CENTIGRADE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9, 240900Z5, 241500Z2 AND 242100Z9. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:37 2003 X-UIDL: 23104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00BACPDH2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 08:58:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O0wfuE092275 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 08:58:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NLqJDT022398; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 19:50:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 309531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 19:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O0onxl012544 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 19:50:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3O0onhO029208 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 19:50:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3O0onFn029207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 19:50:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 19:50:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 998 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304240050.h3O0onFn029207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 240000 WARNING 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 998 HPA AT 22.0N 122.7E EAST OF TAIWAN MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 24.3N 123.1E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 27.7N 125.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:38 2003 X-UIDL: 23107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00B0JT9S2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:22:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O2MpuE018743 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:22:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NMfFap046328; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:18:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 310659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:18:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O2ISxl035992 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:18:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3O2IShO000568 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:18:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3O2ISv6000567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:18:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:18:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304240218.h3O2ISv6000567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 061 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 22.0N4 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.1N6 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.4N0 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.9N6 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 22.3N7 122.6E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TD 02W REMAINS A WEAK SYSTEM DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF LESS THAN 26 DEGREE CENTIGRADE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5, 241500Z2, 242100Z9 AND 250300Z0. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:38 2003 X-UIDL: 23108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00BKHTF42F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:25:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O2Q5uE019984 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:26:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NLqJIr022398; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:22:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 310695 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:22:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O2MKxl036038 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:22:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3O2MJhO000634 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:22:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3O2MJgn000633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:22:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:22:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 02w (kujira) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304240222.h3O2MJgn000633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING/ NR 61// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 240000Z6 TO 251200Z0 APR 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS DRIFTED NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TD 02W REMAINS A WEAK SYSTEM DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF LESS THAN 26 DEGREE CENTIGRADE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. B. THE DYNAMIC AIDS GUIDANCE REMAINS WIDELY DISPERSED WITH THIS SYSTEM. WHILE THE GENERAL CONSENSUS IS A POLEWARD TRACK, AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST, THE TIMING AND REASONING ARE VASTLY DIFFERENT. NOGAPS, THE JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), AND TO A LESSER DEGREE THE NCEP AVIATION (AVN) MODEL ACCELERATE TD 02W NORTHEAST OVER JAPAN, TREATING THE SYSTEM AS IF IT WERE STILL LARGE AND VERTICALLY STACKED. THE UKMET MODEL (EGRR) AND GFDN APPEAR TO HAVE THE BEST HANDLE, WEAKENING THE SYSTEM TO DISSIPATION THROUGH 36 HOURS ON A SLOW POLEWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH SPECIFIC EMPHASIS ON THE EGRR AND GFDN SOLUTION. C. COOLER SEAS SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE 02W TO DISSIPATION OVER WATER THROUGH 36 HOURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST INTENSITY DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 12:47:38 2003 X-UIDL: 23109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDT00BK5TR82F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:33:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O2XLuE022440 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 10:33:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NLqJJl022398; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:28:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 310780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:28:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O2SSxl011444 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:28:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3O2SRhO000770 for ; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3O2SR9G000769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:28:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Apr 2003 21:28:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304240228.h3O2SR9G000769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 57N 179E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 179E TO 59N 174W 59N 167W. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 167W TO 57N 161W 54N 156W. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 167W TO 48N 169W 40N 174W 34N 180E 29N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 62N 174W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 149E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 149E TO 45N 152E 43N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 149E TO 40N 146E 38N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 143E TO 36N 140E 36N 136E 32N 130E 28N 116E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 145E 43N 145E 45N 149E 45N 152E 39N 150E 39N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 145E WSW 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 36N 120E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 36N 166E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 998 HPA AT 22.0N 122.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 22:00:30 2003 X-UIDL: 23123-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BP664V2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:00:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O70guE011484 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:00:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NLqJYJ022398; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 01:51:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 314416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 01:51:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O6prxl017480 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 01:51:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3O6pqhO004010 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 01:51:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3O6pqB6004009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 01:51:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 01:51:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 1000 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304240651.h3O6pqB6004009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 240600 WARNING 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 1000 HPA AT 23.2N 123.0E SOUTHWEST OF ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING NORTH 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 26.0N 124.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 30.0N 127.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 22:01:13 2003 X-UIDL: 23134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BTZAFT2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:33:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8XguE044404 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:33:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3NLqJaT022398; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:27:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 315419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8ROxl035530 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:27:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3O8ROhO004951 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3O8RNWH004950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:27:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304240827.h3O8RNWH004950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 58N 180E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 180E TO 62N 173W 62N 165W. WARM FRONT FROM 62N 165W TO 60N 159W 57N 154W. COLD FRONT FROM 62N 165W TO 50N 165W 41N 170W 31N 177W. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 64N 172W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 152E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 152E TO 46N 155E 44N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 152E TO 41N 148E 37N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 145E 47N 152E 46N 155E 40N 155E 41N 148E 43N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 145E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 36N 120E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 37N 171E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 1000 HPA AT 23.2N 123.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 117E TO 32N 130E 36N 140E 37N 143E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 22:01:14 2003 X-UIDL: 23137-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BTGBKE2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:57:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8w2uE053350 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 16:58:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dYxx035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:53:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 315573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:53:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8r7xl030336 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:53:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3O8r7hO005206 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:53:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3O8r7O8005205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:53:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 03:53:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304240853.h3O8r7O8005205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 240900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 062 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 23.0N5 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 123.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 25.7N4 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 29.1N2 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 32.8N3 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 35 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 35.5N3 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 23.7N2 123.4E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TS 02W APPEARS TO BE MAINTAINING ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2, 242100Z9, 250300Z0 AND 250900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 22:01:18 2003 X-UIDL: 23144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BD7DHF2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 17:39:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O9dQuE067230 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 17:39:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dY0b035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:34:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 315945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:34:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O9YVxl009588 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:34:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3O9YVhO005681 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:34:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3O9YUEI005680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:34:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 04:34:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 02w (kujira) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304240934.h3O9YUEI005680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 240300 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 61A AMENDED// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 240000Z6 TO 260000Z8 APR 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION HAS BEEN SHIFTED SLIGHTLY NORTHEAST BASED ON 232330Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 35 KNOTS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS, AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. TS 02W HAS INTENSIFIED WITH THE APPROACH OF A MID-LAT TROUGH OVER EASTERN CHINA. B. THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT AND INDICATE THAT THE APPROACHING MID-LAT TROUGH WILL BE PICKING UP THE SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE MOST RECENT MOTION INDICATES THAT POLEWARD STEERING FLOW HAS BEGUN TO INCREASE AT THIS TIME. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, NOGAPS, GFDN, COAMPS, NCEP GFS, JGSM, JTYM, AND EGRR. C. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT SHOWED SIGNS OF IMPROVEMENT DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. HOWEVER, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A TRACK OVER COOLER SST IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TS 02W BY THE MID-PERIOD AND BEFORE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST INTENSITY DO NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 22:01:21 2003 X-UIDL: 23152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00B4ZMID2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 20:54:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OCsPuE025385 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 20:54:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dY6V035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 07:47:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 317738 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 07:47:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OClVxl046086 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 07:47:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OClVhO008006 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 07:47:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OClUcP008005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 07:47:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 07:47:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304241247.h3OClUcP008005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 241200 WARNING 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 996 HPA AT 24.8N 123.9E NEAR ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 28.8N 125.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 35.0N 130.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 22:43:01 2003 X-UIDL: 23158-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BHQRA82F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:37:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OEbWuE052546 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:37:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dYHL035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:27:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 319534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:27:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OER9xl037764 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OER8hO011278 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:27:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OER8du011277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:27:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304241427.h3OER8du011277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 164E 60N 180E 44N 180E 46N 172E 60N 164E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 47N 156E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 156E TO 47N 157E 47N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 158E TO 47N 160E 45N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 158E TO 45N 158E 41N 155E 36N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 144E 43N 145E 48N 156E 47N 161E 38N 159E 37N 151E 38N 144E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 144E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 38N 137E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 36N 172E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 996 HPA AT 24.8N 123.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 119E TO 31N 122E 33N 130E 35N 140E 36N 145E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 22:43:19 2003 X-UIDL: 23159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00BTJRGG2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:41:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OEfGuE053548 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:41:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dYHn035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:34:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 319616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OEYHxl037798 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:34:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OEYGhO011753 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:34:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OEYG3b011752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:34:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:34:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304241434.h3OEYG3b011752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 063 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 24.8N4 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 29.2N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 34.2N9 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 37.8N8 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 38 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 41.6N1 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 25.9N6 124.7E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS, AND EARLIER SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AT ISHIGAKIJIMA, JAPAN. TS 02W REMAINS ORGANIZED AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID-LAT TROUGH OVER EASTERN CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6 AND 251500Z3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Apr 24 22:49:32 2003 X-UIDL: 23162-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDU00B89RND2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:45:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OEjQuE054783 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 22:45:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dYHv035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:39:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 319676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:39:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OEdSxl009476 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:39:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OEdRhO011944 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:39:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OEdROV011943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:39:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 09:39:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w (kujira) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304241439.h3OEdROV011943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 63// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 241200Z9 TO 261200Z1 APR 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS, AND EARLIER SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AT ISHIGAKIJIMA, JAPAN. TS 02W REMAINS ORGANIZED AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID-LAT TROUGH OVER EASTERN CHINA. B. THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND DEPICT THE APPROACHING MID-LAT TROUGH WELL AT THIS TIME. THE STEERING RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM AND THE APPROACHING TROUGH ARE PROVIDING STRONG POLEWARD STEERING FLOW IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVELS. THE APPROACHING MID-LAT TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PICK-UP TS 02W IN APPROX 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY UNDERGO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, JGSM, JTYM, AND EGRR. C. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO PROVIDE GOOD OUTFLOW CONDITIONS FOR TS 02W. TS 02W MAY NOT WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY BEFORE RE-INTENSIFYING AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST INTENSITY DO NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:47:49 2003 X-UIDL: 23180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV00BZC3H82F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 03:00:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OJ0xuE030237 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 03:01:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dYdX035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 13:52:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 324680 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 13:52:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OIq0xl034370 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 13:52:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OIpxhO021498 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 13:51:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OIpxTT021497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 13:51:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 13:51:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 998 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304241851.h3OIpxTT021497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 241800 WARNING 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 998 HPA AT 26.8N 125.3E NEAR MIYAKOJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 32.0N 129.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 38.0N 136.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:47:59 2003 X-UIDL: 23182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV00BL17S32F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 04:33:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OKXsuE059024 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 04:33:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dYvx035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:25:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 327245 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:21:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OKLLxl046100 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:21:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OKLLhO024799 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:21:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OKLKcV024798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:21:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:21:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304242021.h3OKLKcV024798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 064 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 26.8N6 125.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 125.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 31.6N0 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 36.5N4 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 40.8N2 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 43.6N3 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 28.0N0 126.3E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS, AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM NEARBY JAPANESE ISLANDS. TS 02W CONTINUES TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW AS IT ACCELERATES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING MID-LAT TROUGH OVER EASTERN CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0, 250900Z6, 251500Z3 AND 252100Z0. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:47:59 2003 X-UIDL: 23183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV00BXJ81Z2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 04:39:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OKdouE060577 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 04:39:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3O8dYxT035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:34:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 327696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:31:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OKVfxl027336 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:31:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3OKVehO025266 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:31:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3OKVeTM025265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:31:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 15:31:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304242031.h3OKVeTM025265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 33N 124E WEST OF CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 124E TO 34N 128E 34N 130E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 124E TO 30N 122E 26N 118E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 47N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 159E TO 48N 161E 48N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 163E TO 47N 166E 46N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 163E TO 45N 163E 42N 158E 38N 153E 36N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 146E TO 35N 142E 35N 136E 34N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 165E 60N 180E 49N 180E 49N 170E 60N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 144E 42N 146E 50N 160E 46N 169E 38N 155E 38N 144E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 126E EAST 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 126E TO 54N 130E 54N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 126E TO 51N 122E 47N 113E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 05N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 145E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 38N 176E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 998 HPA AT 26.8N 125.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:03 2003 X-UIDL: 23191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV005PIJL637@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 08:48:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P0muuE014848 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 08:48:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OKYWaZ035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 19:44:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 333174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 19:44:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P0icxl033374 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 19:44:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3P0ichO001430 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 19:44:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3P0icZ9001429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 19:44:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 19:44:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0302 Kujira (0302) 998 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304250044.h3P0icZ9001429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 250000 WARNING 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 998 HPA AT 29.3N 127.2E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 28 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 35.9N 133.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 40.5N 142.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:08 2003 X-UIDL: 23208-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV00FQ3OGMFW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:33:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P2YCuE051965 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:34:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OKYWkV035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 335130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P2Tgxl019446 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3P2TfhO003096 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3P2Tf7o003094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304250229.h3P2Tf7o003094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 065 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 29.0N1 127.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 29.0N1 127.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 34.3N0 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 38 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 39.4N6 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 43.1N8 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 31 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 45.9N8 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 30.3N6 128.7E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 28 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35 AND 45 KNOTS, COMBINED WITH SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. TS 02W CONTINUES TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6, 251500Z3, 252100Z0 AND 260300Z1. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:09 2003 X-UIDL: 23209-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV0051WOGR37@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:34:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P2YIuE051992 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:34:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P2Id1x024506; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 335133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P2Tjxl038422 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3P2TfhO003095 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3P2Tfws003092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:29:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304250229.h3P2Tfws003092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 127E NEAR CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 127E TO 35N 134E 34N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 127E TO 29N 124E 26N 118E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 128E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 128E TO 53N 134E 52N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 128E TO 49N 124E 45N 115E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 165E 60N 165E 61N 180E 52N 180E 53N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 138E 39N 142E 42N 141E 44N 147E 50N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 146E 34N 138E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 40N 145E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 998 HPA AT 29.3N 127.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 167E TO 45N 171E 44N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 167E TO 43N 163E 41N 160E 37N 155E 34N 148E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 148E TO 33N 143E 34N 138E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:09 2003 X-UIDL: 23210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV00583OL737@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:36:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P2avuE052688 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 10:36:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3OKYWkh035568; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:31:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 335160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:31:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P2Vexl019204 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:31:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3P2VehO003146 for ; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:31:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3P2VeSm003145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:31:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Apr 2003 21:31:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 02w (kujira) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304250231.h3P2VeSm003145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 02W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 65// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 250000Z7 TO 270000Z9 APR 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 28 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35 AND 45 KNOTS, COMBINED WITH SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. TS 02W CONTINUES TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. B. NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND DEPICT THE APPROACHING MID-LAT TROUGH WELL AT THIS TIME. THE STEERING RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM AND THE APPROACHING TROUGH ARE PROVIDING STRONG POLEWARD STEERING FLOW IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVELS. THE APPROACHING MID-LAT TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PICK-UP TS 02W APPROXIMATELY IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM RAPIDLY COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5, JGSM, JTYM, AND EGRR. C. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO PROVIDE GOOD OUTFLOW CONDITIONS FOR TS 02W. TS 02W IS NOT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY BEFORE RE-INTENSIFYING AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST INTENSITY DO NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:14 2003 X-UIDL: 23226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDV005UDYE537@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 14:08:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P68huE021937 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 14:08:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5FG29035568; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 01:00:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 338323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:58:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5w2xl042266 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:58:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3P5w1hO005666 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:58:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3P5w1aL005664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:58:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 00:58:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304250558.h3P5w1aL005664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600ZAPR2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZAPR2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (KUJIRA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N1 127.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 28 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/JACOBS/KLINZMANN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:24 2003 X-UIDL: 23244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW00FW2584FW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:36:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P8aGuE079626 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 16:36:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5FG6b035568; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 03:30:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 339666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 03:30:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P8Ufxl033308 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 03:30:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3P8UehO007147 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 03:30:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3P8UeBq007146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 03:30:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 03:30:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304250830.h3P8UeBq007146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 250600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 128E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 128E TO 35N 134E 35N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 128E TO 29N 124E 26N 120E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 169E TO 50N 174E 49N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 169E TO 45N 168E 41N 163E 37N 157E 35N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 34N 143E 35N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 132E SIBERIA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 132E TO 54N 137E 54N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 132E TO 48N 127E 44N 119E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 57N 170E 60N 170E 60N 180E 53N 180E 57N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 32N 180E 34N 160E 33N 142E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 0302 KUJIRA (0302) 1000 HPA AT 32N 130E NE 35 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 147E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 148E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:49 2003 X-UIDL: 23271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDW005WJLWX37@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Apr 2003 22:36:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PEajuE094355 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 22:36:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3P5FGSV035568; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 09:27:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 344855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 09:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PERvxl010940 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 09:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PERuhO013180 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 09:27:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PERufE013179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 09:27:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 09:27:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304251427.h3PERufE013179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 251200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 36N 133E WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 133E TO 38N 138E 36N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 133E TO 30N 130E 25N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 51N 174E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 174E TO 51N 177E 49N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 174E TO 40N 166E 34N 156E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 156E TO 34N 149E 36N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 137E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 137E TO 54N 140E 54N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 137E TO 47N 130E 42N 120E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 140E 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 30N 180E 32N 155E 33N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 119E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 149E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 151E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 08:48:55 2003 X-UIDL: 23287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDX00FUJ2LIFW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:36:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PKb8uE007392 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 04:37:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PK6W2Z029114; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 15:27:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 333679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 15:27:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PKRNxl010968 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 15:27:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3PKRMhO026500 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 15:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3PKRM6B026499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 15:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 15:27:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304252027.h3PKRM6B026499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 38N 137E NORTH OF NOTO HANTO MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 137E TO 37N 141E 36N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 137E TO 31N 133E 25N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 141E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 141E TO 54N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 141E TO 49N 135E 45N 126E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 171E TO 38N 176E 37N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 171E TO 35N 166E 34N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 158E TO 35N 151E 36N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 132E 33N 135E 36N 141E 41N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E 29N 166E 32N 156E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 52N 176E ENE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 152E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 156E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 12:05:49 2003 X-UIDL: 23300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDX00GG5J6ZBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 10:35:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q2ZbuE083981 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 10:35:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PK6Zbt006174; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 21:30:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 340969 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 21:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q2UFxl036016 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 21:30:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3Q2UEhO002811 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 21:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3Q2UEBJ002810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 21:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 21:30:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304260230.h3Q2UEBJ002810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 143E TO 37N 149E 34N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 143E TO 37N 141E 36N 137E 28N 132E 23N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1002 HPA AT 40N 140E MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 57N 144E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 144E TO 57N 148E 57N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 144E TO 53N 142E 50N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 174E TO 39N 178E 37N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 174E TO 35N 167E 34N 156E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 179E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 132E 35N 138E 40N 142E 46N 149E 50N 156E 50N 180E 30N 180E 30N 155E 28N 132E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 139E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 123E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 154E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 44N 160E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 13:04:33 2003 X-UIDL: 23305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDX00GPOPXWBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 13:01:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q51NuE019839 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 13:01:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PMqGrd029120; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 342600 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q4tZxl038848 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3Q4tYhO004107 for ; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3Q4tYL4004105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Apr 2003 23:55:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304260455.h3Q4tYL4004105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 21:48:09 2003 X-UIDL: 23311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDX00GE1ZTQBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:34:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q8YpuE072419 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 16:34:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3PK6Zq3006174; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 03:30:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 344678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 03:30:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3Q8Udxl048324 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 03:30:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3Q8UchO005834 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 03:30:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3Q8UcS1005833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 03:30:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 03:30:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304260830.h3Q8UcS1005833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 145E TO 37N 153E 33N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 145E TO 37N 141E 35N 136E 27N 131E 23N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 145E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 145E TO 58N 153E 55N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 145E TO 54N 146E 51N 141E 46N 136E 43N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 179E TO 38N 176W 35N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 179E TO 35N 175E 34N 168E 32N 164E 33N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 179W BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 142E 40N 142E 42N 142E 50N 156E 60N 166E 60N 180E 30N 180E 30N 151E 37N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 143E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 31N 124E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 153E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 44N 164E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Apr 26 22:49:08 2003 X-UIDL: 23322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDY00GVSGMHBF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Apr 2003 22:37:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QEbhuE048600 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 22:37:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QAgfBf006196; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 09:30:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 347740 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 09:30:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QEUUxl030990 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 09:30:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3QEUThO008425 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 09:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3QEUTjb008424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 09:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 09:30:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304261430.h3QEUTjb008424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 41N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 150E TO 39N 157E 34N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 150E TO 38N 146E 35N 139E 31N 136E 27N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 59N 145E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 145E TO 60N 148E 59N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 149E TO 59N 154E 56N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 149E TO 53N 150E 48N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 178W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 178W TO 38N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 177W TO 36N 175W 32N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 177W TO 35N 178W 32N 177E 30N 173E 29N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 179W BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 27N 180E 28N 148E 33N 141E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 05N 139E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 125E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 49N 138E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 157E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 167E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 10:13:50 2003 X-UIDL: 23333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDY00GMFX98BF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:36:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QKawuE038823 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 04:37:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QK733J042288; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 15:30:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 352532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 15:30:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QKUUxl011352 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 15:30:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3QKUThO011847 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 15:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3QKUTXf011846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 15:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 15:30:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304262030.h3QKUTXf011846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 42N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 154E TO 39N 159E 36N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 154E TO 38N 149E 36N 143E 31N 138E 28N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 128E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 128E TO 53N 132E 52N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 128E TO 49N 122E 46N 113E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 174E 40N 180E 33N 180E 33N 173E 40N 174E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 141E 42N 142E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 26N 180E 25N 149E 34N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 61N 145E NORTH 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 61N 145E TO 60N 149E 59N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 151E TO 58N 156E 56N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 151E TO 54N 152E 49N 147E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 139E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 126E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 49N 142E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 160E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 170E ESE 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 173W TO 35N 175W 32N 178E 29N 175E 27N 170E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 19:17:34 2003 X-UIDL: 23341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDZ0060LDUQY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:35:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R2ZR8X051620 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 10:35:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3QJgpK9006200; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 21:29:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 356247 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 21:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R2S2xl040810 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 21:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3R2S2hO015070 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 21:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3R2S2fi015069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 21:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 21:28:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304270228.h3R2S2fi015069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 43N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 155E TO 42N 160E 38N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 155E TO 36N 147E 28N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 132E SIBERIA MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 132E TO 52N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 132E TO 48N 124E 43N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 143E 42N 143E 44N 145E 51N 157E 56N 163E 53N 180E 48N 180E 35N 165E 35N 155E 38N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 138E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 32N 127E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 163E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 172E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 19:17:38 2003 X-UIDL: 23349-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDZ006TBITQY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 12:22:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R4Mq8X072989 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 12:22:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R1lXCh013070; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 357348 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R4I7xl038468 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3R4I6hO015845 for ; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3R4I6Hq015843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Apr 2003 23:18:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304270418.h3R4I6Hq015843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Apr 27 19:17:40 2003 X-UIDL: 23354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HDZ0061VUJKY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:35:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R8Zv8X021100 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 16:35:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R2XxBt035450; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 03:30:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 359283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 03:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3R8UDxl042356 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 03:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3R8UChO017423 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 03:30:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3R8UC0i017422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 03:30:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 03:30:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304270830.h3R8UC0i017422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 43N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 159E TO 42N 163E 39N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 159E TO 36N 150E 30N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 135E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 135E TO 54N 138E 54N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 135E TO 50N 130E 46N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 143E 42N 143E 46N 151E 53N 160E 59N 166E 50N 180E 36N 180E 37N 169E 31N 162E 35N 145E 40N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 08N 131E WEST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 127E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 37N 139E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 151E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 169E EAST 20 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 179E TO 30N 177W 33N 174W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 00:26:42 2003 X-UIDL: 23365-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE00064BBDLY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Apr 2003 22:39:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3REdY8X003819 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 22:39:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RERnG2008010; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 09:27:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 345240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 09:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RER3G2008000 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3REQxhO019813 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 09:26:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3REQxeM019812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 09:26:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 09:26:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304271426.h3REQxeM019812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 44N 167E 41N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 37N 157E 31N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 138E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 138E TO 54N 142E 54N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 138E TO 50N 133E 47N 126E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 142E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 33N 180E 33N 165E 31N 148E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 142E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 163E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 47N 180E EAST 30 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 27N 178E TO 28N 178W 30N 174W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 04:46:22 2003 X-UIDL: 23373-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE000621RXDY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:36:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RKb38X092896 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 04:37:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RERnXw008010; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 15:31:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 349419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 15:31:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RKVGG2015218 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 15:31:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3RKVFhO022960 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 15:31:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3RKVFRY022959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 15:31:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 15:31:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304272031.h3RKVFRY022959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 45N 164E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 164E TO 45N 166E 44N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 167E TO 41N 171E 37N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 167E TO 36N 160E 31N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 140E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 140E TO 53N 144E 53N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 140E TO 49N 135E 45N 126E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 132E MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 33N 180E 34N 155E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 58N 166E NE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 136E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 147E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 160E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 51N 178W EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 104E TO 27N 110E 29N 116E 29N 118E 28N 120E. COLD FRONT FROM 26N 179E TO 31N 171W 45N 164W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 12:59:50 2003 X-UIDL: 23392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE1008UC8GH4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 10:33:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S2Y38X073453 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 10:34:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3RERnie008010; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 21:27:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 352866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 21:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S2RoG2022060 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 21:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3S2RnhO026245 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 21:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3S2Rn60026244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 21:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 21:27:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304280227.h3S2Rn60026244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 46N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 167E TO 46N 169E 45N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 170E TO 42N 173E 39N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 170E TO 40N 169E 33N 160E 30N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 54N 142E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 142E TO 54N 145E 54N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 142E TO 48N 139E 44N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 142E 44N 145E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 40N 180E 35N 165E 39N 145E 41N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 114E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 57N 169E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 133E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 148E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 162E ENE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 107E TO 27N 111E 30N 116E 29N 121E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 12:59:51 2003 X-UIDL: 23403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE1008V9EOD4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 12:48:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S4mN8X017927 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 12:48:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S2mNKA013376; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:44:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 354287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:38:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S4cdG2021050 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3S4cchO027380 for ; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:38:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3S4ccv3027378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:38:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Apr 2003 23:38:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304280438.h3S4ccv3027378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Apr 28 18:50:11 2003 X-UIDL: 23415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE1008FEP5E4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 16:34:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S8Yg8X093943 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 16:34:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S8ECGE013382; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 03:28:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 355833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 03:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3S8SmG2008784 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 03:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3S8SmhO029143 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 03:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3S8SmEH029142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 03:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 03:28:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304280828.h3S8SmEH029142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 45N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 169E TO 45N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 172E TO 42N 176E 38N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 172E TO 35N 166E 30N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 144E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 144E TO 59N 149E 59N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 144E TO 47N 142E 42N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 114E NORTH CHINA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 114E TO 38N 121E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 114E TO 35N 112E 32N 107E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 44N 145E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 32N 168E 39N 156E 40N 147E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 57N 170E ESE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 132E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 152E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 161E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 177E ENE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 01:03:22 2003 X-UIDL: 23436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE2008DZ9QK4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Apr 2003 23:59:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SFxN8X036001 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 23:59:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SCvVZo027430; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 10:51:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 359468 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 09:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SESAG2022756 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 09:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3SES9hO004265 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 09:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3SES9So004264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 09:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 09:28:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304281428.h3SES9So004264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 171E TO 45N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 43N 179E 39N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 37N 174E 32N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 37N 116E LOWER YELLOW RIVER MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 116E TO 35N 121E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 116E TO 32N 109E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 145E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 145E TO 59N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 145E TO 46N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 148E 42N 143E 44N 145E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 36N 180E 31N 170E 35N 157E 37N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 41N 130E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 133E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 152E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 179E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 10:01:22 2003 X-UIDL: 23446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE2008S3MVT4W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:43:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SKhG8X018290 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 04:43:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SJWrV8011882; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 15:32:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 372039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 15:32:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SKW0G2016086 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 15:32:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3SKVxhO017162 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 15:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3SKVxtl017161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 15:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 15:31:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304282031.h3SKVxtl017161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 45N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 172E TO 45N 176E 44N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 41N 178W 38N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 35N 175E 31N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 47N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 144E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 144E TO 60N 151E 60N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 144E TO 55N 150E 49N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 35N 120E YELLOW SEA MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 120E TO 35N 122E 35N 124E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 120E TO 30N 117E 27N 111E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 144E 44N 146E 51N 156E 60N 166E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 171E 37N 148E 42N 144E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 41N 132E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 133E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 153E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 179E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 10:50:38 2003 X-UIDL: 23455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE30097I38G89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 10:36:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T2aV8X003738 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 10:36:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3SJWr82011882; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 21:30:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 379751 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 21:30:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T2UAG2020254 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 21:30:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3T2U9hO023995 for ; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 21:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3T2U9DX023994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Apr 2003 21:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Apr 2003 21:30:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304290230.h3T2U9DX023994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 44N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 45N 177E 44N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 43N 178W 39N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 35N 178E 30N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 46N 176W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 60N 144E SIBERIA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 144E TO 61N 149E 60N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 144E TO 58N 151E 50N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 124E YELLOW SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 124E TO 35N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 124E TO 30N 119E 27N 112E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 43N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 29N 160E 34N 147E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 154E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 15:33:48 2003 X-UIDL: 23465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE3009LDC6F89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 13:49:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T5nd8X062638 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 13:49:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T4WXuY011882; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 387254 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T5iHG2041688 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3T5iHhO026061 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3T5iHnx026059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 00:44:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304290544.h3T5iHnx026059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600ZAPR2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 17:49:45 2003 X-UIDL: 23477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE3009IUJQ989@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 16:32:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T8Wm8X019330 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 16:32:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T4WX2S011882; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 03:27:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 389006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 03:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3T8RPG2028398 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 03:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3T8ROhO027526 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 03:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3T8ROXG027525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 03:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 03:27:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304290827.h3T8ROXG027525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 42N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 45N 179E 44N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 179W TO 42N 176W 40N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 179W TO 40N 178W 35N 180E 30N 173E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 61N 141E SIBERIA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 37N 128E KOREA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 128E TO 36N 129E 36N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 128E TO 31N 123E 27N 114E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 143E 44N 145E 47N 152E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 40N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 133E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 43N 138E ENE 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 130E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 156E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Apr 29 23:10:56 2003 X-UIDL: 23496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE4009LL0KF89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Apr 2003 22:36:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TEaP8X023897 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 22:36:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TCojYm033356; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 09:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 393750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 09:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TEReG2022160 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 09:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3TERdhO003201 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 09:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3TERd8a003200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 09:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 09:27:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304291427.h3TERd8a003200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 177W TO 44N 175W 43N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 173W TO 42N 170W 41N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 173W TO 37N 176W 30N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 38N 132E NEAR ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 132E TO 37N 134E 37N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 132E TO 32N 127E 27N 117E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 143E 42N 143E 44N 146E 47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 40N 160E 40N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 134E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 43N 138E ENE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 157E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 08:10:37 2003 X-UIDL: 23533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE4009H8HD989@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:39:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TKdH8X034312 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 04:39:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3THXPdu041694; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 15:30:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 402578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 15:30:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3TKUcG2032666 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 15:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3TKUbhO018294 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 15:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3TKUb1O018293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 15:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 15:30:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304292030.h3TKUb1O018293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 39N 137E NORTHWEST OF SADO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 137E TO 40N 140E 40N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 137E TO 33N 132E 29N 126E 26N 121E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 52N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 42N 177W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 176W TO 45N 173W 42N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 169W TO 40N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 169W TO 39N 170W 35N 176W 31N 177E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 145E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 45N 179W 40N 170E 40N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 44N 141E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 58N 143E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 132E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 160E ENE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 11:51:41 2003 X-UIDL: 23548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE400KBIXWQJL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 10:36:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U2af8X034244 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 10:36:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U10tRS041694; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 21:30:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 412875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 21:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U2UVG2017064 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 21:30:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3U2UVhO026590 for ; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 21:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3U2UVBw026589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Apr 2003 21:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Apr 2003 21:30:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304300230.h3U2UVBw026589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 45N 145E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 145E TO 47N 150E 47N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 145E TO 43N 144E 41N 142E 33N 137E 27N 128E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 49N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 53N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 42N 177W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 176W TO 45N 172W 45N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 169W TO 45N 160W 40N 153W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 169W TO 40N 166W 37N 171W 29N 179E 25N 173E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 52N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 32N 161E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 161E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 13:58:59 2003 X-UIDL: 23555-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE500KVD6NRJL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 13:45:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U5ja8X090973 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 13:45:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U5CvPI024984; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 416459 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U5fFG2041196 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3U5f9hO028961 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3U5f9Rs028959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 00:41:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304300541.h3U5f9Rs028959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600ZAPR2003/010600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 17:01:06 2003 X-UIDL: 23567-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE500KKXEGTJL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:34:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U8YL8X047508 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 16:34:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U10tnG041694; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 03:27:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 418216 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 03:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3U8RoG2016714 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 03:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3U8RohO000821 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 03:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3U8RowU000820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 03:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 03:27:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304300827.h3U8RowU000820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 46N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 147E TO 47N 151E 48N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 147E TO 39N 143E 34N 139E 29N 133E 24N 127E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 51N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 54N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 166E 50N 177E 50N 180E 35N 180E 30N 170E 33N 166E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 41N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 36N 163E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 121E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 163E SE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Apr 30 22:44:23 2003 X-UIDL: 23585-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE500MFBV9QJN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Apr 2003 22:37:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UEbI8X049724 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 22:37:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UDHaTK031262; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 09:27:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 424571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 09:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UERrG2030690 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 09:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3UERrhO006982 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 09:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3UERrsv006981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 09:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 09:27:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304301427.h3UERrsv006981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 50N 150E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 150E TO 48N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 153E TO 47N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 153E TO 40N 148E 33N 142E 25N 131E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 52N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 55N 154E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 121E 24N 122E 27N 129E 21N 130E 20N 121E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 169E 42N 171E 50N 180E 32N 180E 32N 169E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 43N 146E 52N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 36N 166E 37N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 166E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 09:05:28 2003 X-UIDL: 23599-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE600KQUBSZJL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 04:34:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UKYQ8X057024 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 04:34:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UKRTGs031262; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:28:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 433690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:28:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UKS0G2039642 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:28:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3UKRxhO020324 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3UKRxcJ020323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:27:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304302027.h3UKRxcJ020323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 52N 152E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 152E TO 52N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 156E TO 49N 160E 46N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 156E TO 43N 153E 35N 146E 27N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 54N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 58N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 52N 125E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 125E TO 52N 128E 49N 130E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 125E TO 46N 118E 44N 105E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 170E 50N 180E 33N 180E 34N 171E 43N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 31N 180E 34N 165E 35N 151E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 124E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 37N 135E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 168E SE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 09:05:29 2003 X-UIDL: 23600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE600KW9C4LJL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 04:41:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UKfQ8X058604 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 04:41:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UKRTHE031262; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:34:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 433923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:34:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h3UKYKG2008754 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:34:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h3UKYKhO020550 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:34:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h3UKYKvW020549 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:34:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 15:34:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200304302034.h3UKYKvW020549@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301800 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 52N 152E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 152E TO 52N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 156E TO 49N 160E 46N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 156E TO 43N 153E 35N 146E 27N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 54N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 58N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 52N 125E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 125E TO 52N 128E 49N 130E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 125E TO 46N 118E 44N 105E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 170E 50N 180E 33N 180E 34N 171E 43N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 31N 180E 34N 165E 35N 151E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 124E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 37N 135E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 168E SE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 21:24:15 2003 X-UIDL: 23614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE600MW1SE7JN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 10:32:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h412Wl8X037430 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 10:32:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h412IgHQ024214; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 21:28:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 442628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 21:28:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h412SNG2037792 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 21:28:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h412SMhO028116 for ; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 21:28:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h412SMpo028108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Apr 2003 21:28:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Apr 2003 21:28:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305010228.h412SMpo028108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 52N 153E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 153E TO 53N 157E 50N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 159E TO 49N 163E 45N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 159E TO 38N 153E 28N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 57N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 60N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 52N 129E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 129E TO 52N 132E 51N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 129E TO 49N 125E 45N 119E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 174E 45N 180E 29N 180E 30N 172E 42N 174E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 145E 40N 151E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 38N 166E 30N 153E 30N 145E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 21N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 125E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 36N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 168E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 21:24:27 2003 X-UIDL: 23621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE700M3K073JN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 13:21:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h415LI8X076824 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 13:21:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4158HHi027206; Thu, 01 May 2003 00:15:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 446105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 00:04:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4154lG2039960 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 00:04:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4154khO000225 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 00:04:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4154k33000223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 00:04:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 00:04:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305010504.h4154k33000223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/STATEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 21:24:31 2003 X-UIDL: 23630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE700MMI96XJN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 16:35:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h418Za8X020432 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 16:35:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4158qQE024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 03:29:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 448388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 03:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h418TTG2009418 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 03:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h418TThO002369 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 03:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h418TTYa002367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 03:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 03:29:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305010829.h418TTYa002367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 53N 155E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 155E TO 55N 157E 55N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 160E TO 54N 167E 50N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 160E TO 47N 162E 41N 157E 34N 154E 29N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 550 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 51N 134E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 134E TO 51N 137E 49N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 134E TO 48N 130E 47N 127E 45N 123E 44N 116E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 176E 45N 180E 30N 180E 30N 175E 44N 176E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 149E 50N 155E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 30N 156E 31N 148E 41N 149E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 20N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 126E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 36N 141E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 168E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 01 22:44:02 2003 X-UIDL: 23654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE700FKXPYCE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 01 May 2003 22:37:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41EbZ8X002114 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 22:37:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4158qko024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 09:29:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 453207 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 09:29:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41ETBG2035448 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 09:29:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h41ETAhO008515 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 09:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h41ETAKb008514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 09:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 09:29:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305011429.h41ETAKb008514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 51N 139E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 139E TO 49N 144E 45N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 139E TO 47N 133E 45N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 58N 157E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 25N 159E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 144E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 169E ESE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 164E TO 58N 171E 56N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 164E TO 53N 167E 43N 163E 35N 159E 30N 150E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 08:09:01 2003 X-UIDL: 23669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE800F8H6V4E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 04:42:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41Kgt8X008738 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 04:42:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41HV5ho024216; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:32:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 463056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:29:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41KTcG2038558 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h41KTbhO023039 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h41KTbZo023038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 15:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 15:29:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305012029.h41KTbZo023038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 144E SIBERIA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 144E TO 49N 149E 46N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 144E TO 46N 132E 45N 124E 44N 119E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 59N 152E SIBERIA MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 156E 47N 165E 42N 167E 37N 164E 46N 156E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 44N 147E 51N 157E 60N 161E 60N 180E 33N 180E 27N 154E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 147E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 168E ESE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 164E TO 58N 171E 54N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 164E TO 54N 168E 51N 167E 41N 167E 31N 157E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 12:11:25 2003 X-UIDL: 23686-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE800F4UNBEE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 10:38:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h422cK8X099083 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 10:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41MVXda029510; Thu, 01 May 2003 21:30:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 470664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 01 May 2003 21:30:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h422UNG2021772 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 21:30:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h422UMhO000786 for ; Thu, 01 May 2003 21:30:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h422UMx7000785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 01 May 2003 21:30:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 01 May 2003 21:30:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305020230.h422UMx7000785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 169E TO 49N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 169E TO 33N 166E 29N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 150E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 150E TO 50N 152E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 152E TO 47N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 152E TO 47N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 160E 60N 163E 60N 180E 43N 180E 42N 168E 49N 165E 53N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 137E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 155E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 169E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 137E TO 47N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 137E TO 45N 129E 43N 113E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 13:21:01 2003 X-UIDL: 23699-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE800FYLUJZE2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 13:14:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h425Ea8X048501 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 13:14:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4259uHi022244; Fri, 02 May 2003 00:10:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 473336 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 00:02:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4252bG2031036 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 00:02:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4252ahO002756 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 00:02:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4252aTk002754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 00:02:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 00:02:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305020502.h4252aTk002754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 16:36:06 2003 X-UIDL: 23706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE900FXK3T1E2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 16:34:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h428YV8X009385 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 16:34:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h41MVX1k029510; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:28:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 475319 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:28:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h428SgG2023246 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:28:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h428SghO004761 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:28:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h428SgES004760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 03:28:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 03:28:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305020828.h428SgES004760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 171E TO 43N 172E 44N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 44N 174E 45N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 36N 173E 30N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 155E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 155E TO 53N 157E 51N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 157E TO 51N 160E 51N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 157E TO 49N 153E 48N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 140E MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 155E 57N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 42N 171E 49N 155E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 175W NW 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 158E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 166E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 140E TO 48N 144E 48N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 140E TO 45N 135E 44N 128E 42N 122E 42N 118E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 02 22:36:21 2003 X-UIDL: 23725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HE9001FUKIZP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 02 May 2003 22:35:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42EZZ8X010706 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 22:35:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42EKMGg029510; Fri, 02 May 2003 09:27:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 479219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 09:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42ERlG2033000 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 09:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h42ERkhO010806 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 09:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h42ERktu010805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 09:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 09:27:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305021427.h42ERktu010805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 160E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 160E TO 56N 162E 54N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 162E TO 53N 165E 51N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 162E TO 51N 158E 47N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 990 HPA AT 60N 147E MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 173E TO 42N 175E 42N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 176E TO 42N 180E 41N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 176E TO 34N 176E 29N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 149E 45N 150E 44N 161E 38N 153E 38N 149E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 152E 56N 163E 60N 166E 60N 180E 39N 180E 46N 169E 48N 152E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 141E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 176W NW 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 161E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 169E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 141E TO 47N 145E 47N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 141E TO 46N 140E 45N 136E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 45N 136E TO 45N 131E 42N 124E 42N 117E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 04:49:38 2003 X-UIDL: 23746-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA0015R1Q5P9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 04:46:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42Kkpns091764 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 04:47:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42K9KLw011264; Fri, 02 May 2003 15:30:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 487935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 15:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42KUWG2039798 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 15:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h42KUWhO024804 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 15:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h42KUWm8024803 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 15:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 15:30:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305022030.h42KUWm8024803@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 163E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 163E TO 56N 165E 55N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 165E TO 53N 168E 51N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 165E TO 50N 159E 47N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 47N 150E TO 47N 147E 47N 144E 45N 140E 43N 135E 43N 132E 43N 127E 42N 121E 41N 116E 39N 112E 38N 106E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 146E MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 177E TO 40N 178E 39N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 180E TO 38N 177W 36N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 180E TO 37N 179W 33N 179E 31N 174E 30N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 149E 48N 153E 50N 160E 52N 164E 55N 165E 57N 163E 60N 165E 60N 180E 39N 180E 47N 166E 45N 149E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 135E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 47N 176W NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 49N 140E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 162E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 10:58:34 2003 X-UIDL: 23755-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA001F3HQ3P9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 10:32:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h432WkPt025922 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 10:32:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrcK008800; Fri, 02 May 2003 21:27:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 494924 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 02 May 2003 21:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h432REG2031502 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 21:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h432R7hO001706 for ; Fri, 02 May 2003 21:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h432R76Z001705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 02 May 2003 21:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 02 May 2003 21:27:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305030227.h432R76Z001705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 57N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 165E TO 56N 167E 56N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 168E TO 54N 171E 52N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 168E TO 48N 163E 44N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 994 HPA AT 59N 147E GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 178E TO 40N 180E 40N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 178W TO 39N 176W 37N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 178W TO 35N 177W 31N 180E 28N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 146E 43N 146E 48N 153E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 40N 170E 45N 170E 40N 150E 40N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 42N 133E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 48N 149E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 162E ESE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 112E TO 41N 118E 41N 126E 42N 133E 42N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 16:05:23 2003 X-UIDL: 23770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA0010VQTEP9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 13:48:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h435n8Pt073744 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 13:49:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrnQ008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 497611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h435j7G2031212 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h435j6hO003686 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h435j6KF003684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 00:45:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305030545.h435j6KF003684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/MECHANIC/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 17:59:18 2003 X-UIDL: 23775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEA001NJYG9P9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 16:33:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h438Y2Pt010390 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 16:34:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDrr8008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 03:28:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 498709 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 03:28:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h438SGG2022642 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 03:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h438SGhO004946 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 03:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h438SGL8004945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 03:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 03:28:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305030828.h438SGL8004945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1010 HPA AT 35N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 145E 43N 145E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 40N 180E 40N 156E 40N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 45N 140E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 147E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 144E NE 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 166E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 164E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 140E TO 45N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 140E TO 41N 129E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 167E TO 56N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 174E TO 51N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 174E TO 50N 173E 46N 165E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 03 22:39:07 2003 X-UIDL: 23789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB001B6F7584@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 03 May 2003 22:35:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43EZlPt088428 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 22:35:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h42MDr6I008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 09:26:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 501967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 09:26:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43EQdG2034736 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 09:26:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43EQchO007823 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 09:26:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43EQcaa007822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 09:26:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 09:26:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305031426.h43EQcaa007822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA WESTERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 146E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 38N 180E 38N 164E 38N 154E 39N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 143E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 45N 145E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 36N 145E NE 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 168E NNE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 35N 133E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 165E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 145E TO 45N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 145E TO 41N 137E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 145E TO 34N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 145E TO 29N 138E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 60N 169E TO 58N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 176E TO 54N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 176E TO 47N 172E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 104E TO 30N 111E 30N 117E 30N 122E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 10:19:45 2003 X-UIDL: 23805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEB00160VY984@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 04:37:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43KbePt067426 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 04:37:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw8KS008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 506047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43KUMG2035792 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h43KULhO012088 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h43KULq8012087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 15:30:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305032030.h43KULq8012087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 165E 60N 176E 48N 175E 48N 163E 60N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 39N 142E 44N 146E 55N 162E 60N 170E 60N 179E 38N 180E 33N 151E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 145E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 46N 148E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 36N 147E ENE 20 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 60N 170E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 168E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 148E TO 45N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 148E TO 43N 145E 41N 139E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 147E TO 36N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 147E TO 33N 145E 30N 143E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 61N 170E TO 58N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 178E TO 54N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 178E TO 45N 172E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 16:53:42 2003 X-UIDL: 23818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC0034GCES6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 10:32:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h442XApO050342 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 10:33:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw8t2008800; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:28:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 513209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h442S1G2040852 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h442S0hO016540 for ; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h442S0m8016539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 03 May 2003 21:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 03 May 2003 21:28:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305040228.h442S0m8016539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST SLOWLY. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 37N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 38N 152E 37N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 33N 148E 31N 144E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 58N 164E 51N 180E 36N 180E 36N 160E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 46N 153E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 169E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 153E TO 47N 156E 47N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 153E TO 43N 150E 41N 146E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 16:53:45 2003 X-UIDL: 23823-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC0030SKAY6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 13:23:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h445NbpO083380 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 13:23:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw86Y008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:16:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 515633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:14:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h445E6G2027058 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:14:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h445E6hO018110 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h445E65c018108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 00:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 00:14:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305040514.h445E65c018108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/SHERRY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 16:53:53 2003 X-UIDL: 23830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEC00361T0B6F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 16:31:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h448VfpO025032 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 16:31:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h43Iw8EE008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 03:27:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 517641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 03:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h448RbG2041168 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 03:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h448RahO019744 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 03:27:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h448Rao7019743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 03:27:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 03:27:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305040827.h448Rao7019743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 159E TO 48N 162E 47N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 159E TO 43N 155E 39N 148E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 141E 44N 145E 47N 152E 55N 161E 50N 180E 30N 166E 30N 146E 32N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 54N 149E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 38N 154E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 171E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 04 22:33:31 2003 X-UIDL: 23841-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED00CRF9PDHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 04 May 2003 22:32:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44EWIpO006505 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 22:32:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSS0008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:26:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 521404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44EQpG2031290 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:26:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44EQohO022587 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:26:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44EQooS022586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 09:26:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 09:26:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305041426.h44EQooS022586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 51N 163E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 163E TO 51N 166E 50N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 163E TO 46N 160E 41N 154E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 141E 44N 145E 48N 154E 55N 162E 50N 180E 30N 164E 30N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 54N 150E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 39N 158E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 134E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 175E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 04:40:41 2003 X-UIDL: 23854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HED00C33QCFHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 04:31:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44KVjpO086851 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 04:31:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h449oSpi008800; Sun, 04 May 2003 15:26:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 527096 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 15:26:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h44KQqG2040738 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 15:26:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h44KQqhO026882 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 15:26:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h44KQq2P026881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 15:26:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 15:26:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305042026.h44KQq2P026881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 144E 46N 150E 56N 162E 51N 180E 30N 166E 29N 144E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 152E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 52N 164E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 133E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 178E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 164E TO 52N 167E 50N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 164E TO 45N 162E 40N 156E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 16:51:53 2003 X-UIDL: 23859-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000DS79OLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 10:37:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h452arpO067786 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 10:36:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h451wCOu028376; Sun, 04 May 2003 21:29:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 535110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 04 May 2003 21:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h452TiG2030228 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 21:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h452ThhO002861 for ; Sun, 04 May 2003 21:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h452Thnv002860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 04 May 2003 21:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 04 May 2003 21:29:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050229.h452Thnv002860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 154E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 43N 146E 54N 161E 53N 180E 45N 180E 33N 159E 32N 143E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 163E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 134E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 151E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 177E SE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 163E TO 53N 169E 53N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 163E TO 46N 165E 39N 156E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 16:52:08 2003 X-UIDL: 23867-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE000OHG53LX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 13:48:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455mVpO022966 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 13:48:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHJ0032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 539196 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455gRG2027002 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h455gRhO006206 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h455gQmg006204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 00:42:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050542.h455gQmg006204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 05 16:52:31 2003 X-UIDL: 23880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEE0000JNRKLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 16:33:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h458XCpO079509 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 16:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h455AHRG032552; Mon, 05 May 2003 03:27:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 541269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 03:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h458RFG2025992 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 03:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h458REhO008086 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 03:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h458REdO008085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 03:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 03:27:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305050827.h458REdO008085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 050600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 162E TO 54N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 167E TO 53N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 167E TO 50N 169E 44N 165E 39N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 155E MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 140E 36N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 52N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 32N 180E 34N 160E 34N 150E 34N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 151E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 179E ENE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 00:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 23907-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF000PG4N5LX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 05 May 2003 22:37:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45EbjpO085040 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 22:37:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45Ccdda027222; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:28:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 546859 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:28:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45ESCG2019826 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45ESBhO014198 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45ESBAw014197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 09:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 09:28:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305051428.h45ESBAw014197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 55N 161E KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 161E TO 56N 166E 55N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 171E TO 55N 177E 54N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 171E TO 48N 172E 40N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 139E 36N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 30N 180E 30N 160E 30N 140E 34N 139E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 153E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 180E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 08:12:35 2003 X-UIDL: 23921-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEF000NPLCSLX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 04:38:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45KcepO003707 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 04:38:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45KBfHU030000; Mon, 05 May 2003 15:27:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 554741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 15:27:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45KR1G2040726 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 15:27:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h45KR0hO029301 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 15:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h45KR051029300 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 15:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 15:27:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305052027.h45KR051029300@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 55N 162E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 162E TO 56N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 172E TO 56N 177E 55N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 172E TO 48N 175E 40N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 34N 158E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 28N 146E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 156E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 179W ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 10:43:36 2003 X-UIDL: 23942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IFG1WB7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 10:36:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462a6pO088152 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 10:36:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h45NNvpe016700; Mon, 05 May 2003 21:30:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 562561 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 05 May 2003 21:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462SBG2025168 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 21:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h462SAhO007411 for ; Mon, 05 May 2003 21:28:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h462SAWX007410 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 05 May 2003 21:28:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 05 May 2003 21:28:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060228.h462SAWX007410@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 54N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 161E TO 57N 167E 57N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 173E TO 58N 179W 57N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 173E TO 47N 177E 38N 167E 32N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER BOHAI FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 136E 37N 141E 42N 142E 46N 150E 57N 165E 52N 180E 42N 180E 30N 165E 30N 150E 33N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 51N 130E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 113E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 40N 154E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 130E TO 50N 133E 49N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 130E TO 47N 126E 43N 118E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 110E TO 31N 119E 29N 127E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 16:34:57 2003 X-UIDL: 23977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IHNIF27K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 16:33:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h468WupO098319 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 16:32:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h462B8AQ032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 03:28:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 571011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 03:28:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h468SqG2019912 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 03:28:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h468SqhO011966 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 03:28:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h468SpWj011965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 03:28:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 03:28:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305060828.h468SpWj011965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 55N 162E KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 162E TO 58N 173E 58N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 177W TO 58N 167W 56N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 177W TO 48N 179W 41N 171E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 171E TO 36N 162E 32N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER BOHAI NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 50N 157E 55N 162E 59N 180E 34N 180E 26N 150E 30N 143E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 49N 131E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 41N 156E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 131E TO 48N 135E 45N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 131E TO 45N 128E 42N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 106E TO 29N 110E 32N 118E 30N 129E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 06 22:37:43 2003 X-UIDL: 24006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEG00IVJZ5E7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 06 May 2003 22:34:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46EYJpO004337 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 22:34:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46AwZbe032552; Tue, 06 May 2003 09:27:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 576113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 09:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46ERlG2038180 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 09:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46ERhhO018931 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 09:27:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46ERhZr018930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 09:27:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 09:27:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305061427.h46ERhZr018930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 163E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 163E TO 59N 176E 59N 170W. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 170W TO 59N 161W 58N 156W. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 170W TO 53N 171W 47N 178E 41N 171E 36N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 33N 117E LOWER YELLOW RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 117E TO 32N 122E 29N 126E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 117E TO 28N 114E 25N 107E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 26N 151E 30N 143E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 48N 136E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 157E ESE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 136E TO 47N 140E 45N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 136E TO 44N 131E 41N 120E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 08:32:13 2003 X-UIDL: 24027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00I3BGAI7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 04:44:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46KiYpO019782 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 04:44:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46J5NYo019898; Tue, 06 May 2003 15:29:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 587235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 15:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46KSDG2039942 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 15:28:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h46KSDhO005594 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 15:28:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h46KSCEG005593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 15:28:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 15:28:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305062028.h46KSCEG005593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 55N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 166E TO 61N 177E 59N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 169W TO 59N 163W 58N 157W. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 169W TO 52N 171W 48N 179W 41N 174E 35N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 33N 119E LOWER YELLOW RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 119E TO 32N 123E 30N 127E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 119E TO 28N 114E 25N 108E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 44N 146E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 23N 154E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 48N 137E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 162E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 137E TO 47N 142E 45N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 137E TO 43N 131E 40N 121E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 10:38:55 2003 X-UIDL: 24049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEH00LSEWK5QN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 10:36:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472ZwpO007084 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 10:36:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h46KuAD0040998; Tue, 06 May 2003 21:29:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 599107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 06 May 2003 21:29:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472TZG2048538 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 21:29:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h472TYhO015600 for ; Tue, 06 May 2003 21:29:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h472TYTC015599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 06 May 2003 21:29:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 21:29:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070229.h472TYTC015599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 55N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 35N 122E YELLOW SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 122E TO 35N 127E 32N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 122E TO 29N 117E 25N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 143E 44N 145E 47N 153E 39N 159E 34N 151E 35N 145E 37N 141E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 168E 45N 180E 32N 180E 29N 172E 34N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 49N 139E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 51N 176W NE 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 165E EAST 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 139E TO 47N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 139E TO 39N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 176W TO 53N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 176W TO 42N 177E 34N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 16:39:01 2003 X-UIDL: 24080-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00L8BD6CQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 16:35:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h478YrpO018244 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 16:34:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xFca040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:28:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 605168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h478SBG2042188 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h478SAhO020628 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h478SAoY020627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 03:28:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 03:28:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305070828.h478SAoY020627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 36N 125E YELLOW SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 125E TO 37N 127E 37N 130E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 125E TO 29N 119E 25N 111E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 50N 141E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 141E TO 49N 142E 48N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 142E TO 47N 146E 46N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 142E TO 41N 138E 37N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 55N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 131E 34N 134E 35N 139E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 142E 46N 149E 49N 154E 46N 162E 33N 160E 29N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 53N 172W NE 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 167E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 172W TO 54N 167W 55N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 172W TO 36N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 07 22:36:31 2003 X-UIDL: 24125-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEI00LMRTSWQN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 07 May 2003 22:34:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47EY3pO028136 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 22:34:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h472xF5e040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 09:28:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 611119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 09:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47ESAG2048064 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 09:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47ESAhO027116 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 09:28:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47ES9ES027115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 09:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 09:28:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305071428.h47ES9ES027115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 134E WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 134E TO 39N 137E 39N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 134E TO 37N 133E 35N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 36N 126E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 50N 143E SAKHALIN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 143E TO 50N 146E 48N 147E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 147E TO 48N 152E 46N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 147E TO 43N 145E 39N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 171E BERING SEA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 132E 33N 134E 34N 136E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 142E 43N 146E 50N 155E 50N 170E 40N 168E 32N 155E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 38N 169E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 42N 112E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 126E TO 36N 128E 35N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 126E TO 30N 124E 26N 119E 24N 111E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 10:29:27 2003 X-UIDL: 24147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00LY4AO7QN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 04:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47KcKpO049331 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 04:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47FqRqW040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:29:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 619281 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:29:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47KTBG2038310 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:29:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h47KTAhO011384 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h47KTAI4011383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 15:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 15:29:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305072029.h47KTAI4011383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 41N 140E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 140E TO 42N 142E 42N 144E 43N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 140E TO 37N 136E 34N 131E 30N 128E 28N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 124E TO 28N 122E 28N 120E 26N 117E 25N 115E 25N 113E 24N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 49N 146E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 146E TO 50N 149E 48N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 48N 155E 46N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 46N 151E 43N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 132E 35N 137E 36N 141E 40N 142E 41N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 48N 167E 35N 159E 30N 142E 33N 132E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 55N 171E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 42N 113E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 40N 175E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 10:43:39 2003 X-UIDL: 24163-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEJ00HT6R83LJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 10:36:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h482ZupO038272 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 10:35:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h47NIlZK040998; Wed, 07 May 2003 21:27:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 627577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 07 May 2003 21:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h482RkG2022512 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 21:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h482RjhO019276 for ; Wed, 07 May 2003 21:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h482RjkK019275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 07 May 2003 21:27:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 07 May 2003 21:27:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080227.h482RjkK019275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 43N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 147E TO 44N 150E 44N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 147E TO 37N 141E 34N 135E 31N 130E 28N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 124E TO 28N 118E 25N 112E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 50N 148E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 148E TO 50N 150E 49N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 153E TO 49N 156E 48N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 153E TO 47N 154E 44N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 154E 50N 166E 50N 180E 46N 180E 36N 162E 38N 154E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 134E 36N 141E 42N 143E 47N 152E 53N 158E 47N 169E 32N 154E 28N 139E 30N 134E 34N 134E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 173E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 39N 176E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 17:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 24172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HQK0TYLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 14:03:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4863SpO087760 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 14:03:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h480RmC8024164; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 630885 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485tSG2020164 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h485tShO021683 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h485tSD7021680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 00:55:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080555.h485tSD7021680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 08 17:40:14 2003 X-UIDL: 24182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00H1M7XULJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 16:37:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h488avpO027111 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 16:36:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHNi025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 03:27:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 632465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 03:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h488RYG2016386 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 03:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h488RXhO023358 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 03:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h488RXBE023357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 03:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 03:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305080827.h488RXBE023357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 46N 152E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 152E TO 47N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 152E TO 36N 140E 31N 134E 26N 127E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 127E TO 25N 120E 25N 113E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 144E MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 133E 30N 133E 36N 140E 46N 152E 52N 174E 51N 180E 45N 180E 37N 162E 34N 155E 30N 148E 28N 139E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 56N 174E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 115E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 36N 176E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:30:41 2003 X-UIDL: 24206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEK00HD3OK6LJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 08 May 2003 22:36:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48Ea0pO021150 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 22:36:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h485CHkY025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 09:27:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 637462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 09:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48ERYG2010458 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 09:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48ERYhO029448 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 09:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48ERXSx029447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 09:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 09:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305081427.h48ERXSx029447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 47N 155E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 155E TO 48N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 155E TO 35N 144E 31N 134E 25N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 49N 146E MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 143E 35N 143E 41N 150E 48N 153E 60N 164E 60N 180E 49N 180E 40N 165E 32N 153E 29N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 56N 178E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 116E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 36N 174E ENE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 08:31:16 2003 X-UIDL: 24219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL00HKZ5DHLJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 04:39:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48KdBpO045830 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 04:39:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48IsUQe025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 15:33:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 645971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 15:33:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h48KXVG2024338 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 15:33:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h48KXVhO014369 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 15:33:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h48KXVEL014368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 15:33:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 15:33:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305082033.h48KXVEL014368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 48N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 158E TO 49N 165E 48N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 158E TO 35N 146E 31N 137E 24N 126E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 50N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 52N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 49N 147E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 145E 41N 152E 50N 156E 60N 166E 60N 180E 49N 180E 40N 168E 31N 144E 35N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 56N 180E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 117E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 10:42:47 2003 X-UIDL: 24241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL001L2LSPFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 10:34:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h492XtpO047439 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 10:33:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h491X4O2025584; Thu, 08 May 2003 21:27:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 656635 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 08 May 2003 21:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h492RcG2024918 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 21:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h492RchO023017 for ; Thu, 08 May 2003 21:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h492Rbd3023016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 08 May 2003 21:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 08 May 2003 21:27:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305090227.h492Rbd3023016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 49N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 158E TO 50N 164E 49N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 158E TO 44N 161E 37N 151E 32N 145E 30N 138E 24N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 52N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 54N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 48N 149E MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 143E 40N 150E 47N 151E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 32N 160E 32N 150E 33N 143E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 115E ENE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 14:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 24266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEL0018TVQHFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 14:08:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4968WBH013650 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 14:08:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h492R3qO039272; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 660424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4962nG2035716 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4962mhO025818 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4962mDD025816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 01:02:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305090602.h4962mDD025816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 16:33:39 2003 X-UIDL: 24290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001XF2F7FX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 16:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h498WsBH065957 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 16:32:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h496WkKa021746; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:27:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 662177 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h498ROG2028692 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:27:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h498RNhO027405 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h498RNtf027404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 03:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 03:27:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305090827.h498RNtf027404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 158E TO 51N 162E 51N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 166E TO 50N 170E 50N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 166E TO 42N 160E 32N 145E 28N 141E 25N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 55N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 48N 153E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 150E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 40N 180E 33N 160E 32N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 45N 126E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 122E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 132E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 173E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 09 23:26:41 2003 X-UIDL: 24301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM001J7J26FX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 09 May 2003 22:32:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49EWPBH073869 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 22:32:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h499detq039272; Fri, 09 May 2003 09:27:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 667361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 09:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49ERTG2024370 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 09:27:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49ERShO002990 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 09:27:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49ERSch002989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 09:27:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 09:27:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305091427.h49ERSch002989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 51N 158E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 158E TO 52N 165E 52N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 170E TO 52N 174E 51N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 170E TO 38N 160E 26N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 56N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 125E 19N 124E 19N 115E 22N 114E 27N 121E 26N 125E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 150E 46N 150E 52N 158E 60N 165E 60N 180E 40N 180E 31N 160E 29N 150E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 136E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 35N 179E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 10:23:14 2003 X-UIDL: 24317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEM0014TZWNFX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 04:36:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49KaHBH088683 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 04:36:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49DDsEk021748; Fri, 09 May 2003 15:29:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 675423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 15:29:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49KT7G2030126 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 15:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h49KT6hO015378 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 15:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h49KT6Cg015374 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 15:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 15:29:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305092029.h49KT6Cg015374@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 52N 160E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 160E TO 54N 163E 53N 169E 52N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 173E TO 52N 178E 51N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 173E TO 46N 168E 37N 159E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 159E TO 30N 150E 27N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 154E 50N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 39N 180E 31N 163E 34N 154E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 124E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 140E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 10:32:59 2003 X-UIDL: 24335-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN00CM4GD3GA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 10:31:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A2VlBH082198 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 10:31:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h49LQv3O036440; Fri, 09 May 2003 21:27:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 684968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 09 May 2003 21:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A2QxG2046946 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 21:26:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4A2QxhO023606 for ; Fri, 09 May 2003 21:26:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4A2Qx0s023605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 09 May 2003 21:26:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 09 May 2003 21:26:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305100226.h4A2Qx0s023605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 52N 163E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 161E TO 54N 166E 53N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 171E TO 52N 179E 51N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 171E TO 43N 168E 34N 156E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 156E TO 31N 151E 29N 145E 26N 142E 25N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 163E 54N 180E 40N 180E 31N 155E 33N 151E 44N 165E 52N 163E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 124E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 143E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 13:52:59 2003 X-UIDL: 24357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN00CMNPLMGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 13:51:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A5pHBH037127 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 13:51:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A5CDLo011348; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 689763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A5jvG2043758 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4A5juhO026985 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4A5juKU026983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 00:45:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305100545.h4A5juKU026983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 16:38:57 2003 X-UIDL: 24367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEN00CNNX1OGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 16:32:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A8W7BH078280 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 16:32:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A43oem036440; Sat, 10 May 2003 03:28:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 692090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 03:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A8S1G2035106 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 03:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4A8S1hO028961 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 03:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4A8S11d028960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 03:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 03:28:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305100828.h4A8S11d028960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 54N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 163E TO 55N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 172E TO 53N 179E 52N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 172E TO 50N 174E 39N 165E 32N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 155E TO 30N 149E 24N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 152E 45N 169E 54N 165E 55N 180E 36N 180E 33N 160E 32N 152E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 146E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 10 23:22:38 2003 X-UIDL: 24376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00CIQDTFGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 10 May 2003 22:34:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AEYNBH054359 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 22:34:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4A43ow8036440; Sat, 10 May 2003 09:28:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 696622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 09:28:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AESfG2033838 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 09:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4AESfhO003138 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 09:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4AESeT2003137 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 09:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 09:28:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305101428.h4AESeT2003137@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 55N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 168E TO 56N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 178E TO 53N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 178E TO 44N 173E 36N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 163E TO 31N 154E 26N 148E 23N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 150E 41N 165E 47N 168E 55N 163E 59N 180E 37N 180E 34N 170E 29N 156E 32N 150E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 149E ENE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 09:18:06 2003 X-UIDL: 24388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEO00CKIUCVGA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 04:31:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AKVcBH041839 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 04:31:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AK01Hq028830; Sat, 10 May 2003 15:28:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 703307 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 15:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4AKSWG2010390 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 15:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4AKSVhO008199 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 15:28:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4AKSVXt008198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 15:28:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 15:28:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305102028.h4AKSVXt008198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 170E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 169E TO 58N 177E 56N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 173W TO 52N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 173W TO 48N 179W 38N 167E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 167E TO 34N 162E 32N 156E 28N 152E 25N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 158E 47N 172E 57N 163E 58N 180E 38N 180E 31N 164E 34N 158E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 150E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:27:01 2003 X-UIDL: 24398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEP00FC1B1VV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 10:32:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B2WGIZ058155 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 10:32:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ALmtrC004908; Sat, 10 May 2003 21:27:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 712068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 21:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B2RKG2029078 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 21:27:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4B2RKhO014541 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 21:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4B2RKDN014540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 21:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 21:27:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305110227.h4B2RKDN014540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 148E 31N 145E 34N 148E 39N 163E 35N 165E 30N 157E 28N 153E 28N 148E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 166E 39N 165E 46N 180E 37N 180E 36N 173E 33N 166E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 176E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 40N 151E EAST 10 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 167W TO 45N 180E 39N 168E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 168E TO 32N 157E 27N 147E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:27:02 2003 X-UIDL: 24400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEP00FADI4UV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 13:05:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B55EIZ090176 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 13:05:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ALmtDC004908; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 715739 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B4xOG2020354 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4B4xNhO016554 for ; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4B4xNPT016552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 10 May 2003 23:59:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305110459.h4B4xNPT016552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT VILPORS, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:27:04 2003 X-UIDL: 24408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEP00F3OS1EV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 16:39:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B8d4IZ035774 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 16:39:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B5J2Uw004908; Sun, 11 May 2003 03:30:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 719888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 03:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4B8UJG2020922 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 03:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4B8UJhO018700 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 03:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4B8UJ8q018699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 03:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 03:30:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305110830.h4B8UJ8q018699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 31N 139E 28N 135E 30N 131E 33N 134E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 147E 36N 160E 34N 161E 32N 157E 29N 154E 27N 148E 31N 147E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 163E 38N 162E 48N 180E 33N 180E 33N 163E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 57N 176E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 40N 152E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 119E TO 29N 125E 30N 131E 29N 135E 26N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 168W TO 47N 177W 38N 169E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 148E TO 29N 154E 33N 157E 36N 164E 38N 169E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 11 22:46:51 2003 X-UIDL: 24418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEQ00F0D8PPV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 11 May 2003 22:39:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BEdMIZ014300 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 22:39:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BBrjMw004912; Sun, 11 May 2003 09:29:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 725257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 09:29:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BETNG2020910 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 09:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4BETMhO022394 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 09:29:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4BETMgC022393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 09:29:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 09:29:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305111429.h4BETMgC022393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 156E 39N 167E 35N 165E 33N 162E 29N 156E 32N 154E 36N 156E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 33N 137E 29N 138E 29N 135E 33N 134E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 169E 44N 180E 35N 180E 33N 171E 37N 168E 43N 169E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 48N 125E EAST 15 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 58N 180E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 41N 154E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 125E TO 48N 133E 46N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 125E TO 44N 123E 41N 112E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 126E TO 28N 134E 26N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 163W TO 47N 173W 38N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 151E TO 30N 157E 34N 163E 38N 170E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 04:37:38 2003 X-UIDL: 24430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEQ00FM9P8LV1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 04:36:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BKaEIZ026602 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 04:36:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BI3wcE029478; Sun, 11 May 2003 15:27:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 730692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 15:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BKRmG2044288 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 15:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4BKRlhO026226 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 15:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4BKRldC026225 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 15:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 15:27:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305112027.h4BKRldC026225@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 158E 36N 169E 34N 164E 29N 158E 36N 158E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 169E 48N 180E 36N 180E 34N 169E 43N 169E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 127E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 41N 156E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 127E TO 49N 134E 47N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 127E TO 44N 124E 40N 117E. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 161W TO 49N 168W 38N 172E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 152E TO 30N 159E 34N 164E 36N 168E 38N 172E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 10:46:59 2003 X-UIDL: 24445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HER003D95WQJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 10:36:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C2aKIZ019400 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 10:36:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C0ovbk029478; Sun, 11 May 2003 21:31:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 736852 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 May 2003 21:31:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C2VBG2042780 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 21:31:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4C2VAhO029886 for ; Sun, 11 May 2003 21:31:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4C2VA79029885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 11 May 2003 21:31:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 11 May 2003 21:31:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305120231.h4C2VA79029885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 154E 36N 155E 39N 162E 39N 169E 35N 170E 32N 162E 32N 158E 32N 154E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 169E 40N 170E 45N 180E 38N 180E 36N 175E 35N 169E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 43N 140E 42N 143E 44N 145E 45N 149E 45N 156E 40N 150E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 49N 129E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 42N 162E EAST 30 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 129E TO 48N 129E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 129E TO 46N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 129E TO 41N 117E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 144E TO 29N 150E 33N 155E 36N 166E 44N 177W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 13:56:56 2003 X-UIDL: 24454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HER003DSET7J3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 13:48:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C5mXIZ081274 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 13:48:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4BBrjE6004912; Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 738916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C5fpG2043040 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4C5fohO001865 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4C5foPE001863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 00:41:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305120541.h4C5foPE001863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 16:36:56 2003 X-UIDL: 24466-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HER003I0MHFJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 16:34:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C8YNIZ035778 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 16:34:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C7TNGk004912; Mon, 12 May 2003 03:28:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 739950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 03:28:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C8SaG2029972 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 03:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4C8SahO003260 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 03:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4C8SaNl003259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 03:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 03:28:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305120828.h4C8SaNl003259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 152E 38N 163E 39N 170E 35N 170E 33N 165E 30N 157E 31N 151E 37N 152E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 141E 43N 142E 42N 143E 43N 144E 44N 147E 44N 150E 40N 147E 40N 142E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 171E 43N 180E 38N 180E 34N 170E 39N 171E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 130E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 42N 165E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 37N 124E EAST 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 130E TO 49N 132E 48N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 132E TO 47N 135E 46N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 132E TO 44N 128E 42N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 104E TO 27N 110E 28N 117E 27N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 144E TO 29N 151E 34N 156E 36N 169E 40N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 12 23:02:58 2003 X-UIDL: 24497-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HES003PR36LJ3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 12 May 2003 22:35:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CEZ6IZ072631 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 22:35:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4C7TNTo004912; Mon, 12 May 2003 09:27:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 743187 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 09:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CEROG2042904 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 09:27:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CERNhO008609 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 09:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CERNYD008608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 09:27:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 09:27:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305121427.h4CERNYD008608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 32N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 156E TO 34N 162E 34N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 156E TO 28N 152E 26N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 41N 141E 43N 141E 42N 143E 44N 147E 45N 150E 45N 155E 38N 151E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 51N 132E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 43N 170E EAST 25 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 132E TO 50N 133E 48N 134E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 134E TO 48N 136E 47N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 134E TO 43N 130E 42N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 108E TO 28N 113E 31N 121E 29N 129E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 04:43:56 2003 X-UIDL: 24517-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HES003J5JU7J3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 04:34:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CKYkIZ009195 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 04:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CIlXRq028760; Mon, 12 May 2003 15:28:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 749485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 15:28:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CKSGG2008016 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 15:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4CKSGhO021615 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 15:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4CKSGCF021614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 15:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 15:28:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305122028.h4CKSGCF021614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 33N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 157E TO 34N 161E 34N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 157E TO 29N 154E 27N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 53N 170E 47N 170E 42N 160E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 49N 135E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 56N 168E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 125E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 43N 170E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 135E TO 48N 138E 46N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 135E TO 45N 132E 43N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 108E TO 28N 113E 30N 117E 30N 123E 29N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 10:43:19 2003 X-UIDL: 24535-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HET001SD0GSMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 10:34:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D2Y0IZ021748 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 10:34:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CIlXue028760; Mon, 12 May 2003 21:26:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 755629 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D2QtG2023476 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4D2QshO027689 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 21:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4D2QsrU027688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 21:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 21:26:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305130226.h4D2QsrU027688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 37N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 161E TO 37N 164E 36N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 161E TO 32N 159E 28N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 143E 44N 146E 51N 157E 55N 180E 44N 180E 40N 170E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 50N 136E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 42N 178E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 136E TO 49N 139E 48N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 136E TO 45N 134E 42N 128E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 108E TO 28N 114E 30N 120E 29N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 12:53:19 2003 X-UIDL: 24549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HET001XM6LHMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 12:46:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D4kRIZ062707 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 12:46:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4CIlX1E028760; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 756861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D4g6G2039028 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4D4g5hO029235 for ; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4D4g5dG029233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 12 May 2003 23:42:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305130442.h4D4g5dG029233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 16:43:19 2003 X-UIDL: 24579-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HET001J0H6XMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 16:35:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D8ZHIZ036783 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 16:35:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D5Q9O8035320; Tue, 13 May 2003 03:26:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 759684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 03:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D8QuG2009436 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 03:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4D8QthO001326 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 03:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4D8Qtpj001325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 03:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 03:26:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305130826.h4D8Qtpj001325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 38N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 37N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 28N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 143E 42N 143E 44N 145E 46N 150E 50N 155E 53N 166E 53N 180E 45N 180E 41N 168E 40N 157E 41N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 50N 138E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 44N 159E ENE 25 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 138E TO 50N 140E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 140E TO 47N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 140E TO 44N 136E 42N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 106E TO 28N 113E 30N 120E 29N 128E 27N 135E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 13 22:43:38 2003 X-UIDL: 24602-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HET001ZLXSIMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 13 May 2003 22:33:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DEXlIZ051275 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 22:33:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4D5Q9fS035320; Tue, 13 May 2003 09:28:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 763700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 09:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DESBG2047102 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 09:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4DESBhO006916 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 09:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4DESBQM006915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 09:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 09:28:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305131428.h4DESBQM006915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 40N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 164E TO 38N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 164E TO 33N 161E 28N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 145E 42N 143E 44N 145E 47N 152E 51N 157E 51N 180E 40N 180E 41N 167E 40N 155E 40N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 125E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 50N 138E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 43N 156E ENE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 108E TO 28N 115E 31N 125E 28N 134E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 138E TO 49N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 142E TO 47N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 142E TO 44N 139E 41N 130E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 06:33:36 2003 X-UIDL: 24630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEU001MKEKRMQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 04:36:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DKaOIZ063482 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 04:36:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DHilvO021248; Tue, 13 May 2003 15:31:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 772840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 15:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4DKTfG2038344 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 15:29:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4DKTehO019698 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 15:29:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4DKTeb7019697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 15:29:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 15:29:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305132029.h4DKTeb7019697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 40N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 166E TO 40N 169E 40N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 166E TO 34N 163E 28N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 32N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 128E TO 31N 131E 28N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 128E TO 29N 126E 29N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 123E TO 27N 118E 27N 113E 27N 105E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 44N 145E 47N 153E 51N 158E 51N 179E 41N 180E 37N 170E 40N 145E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 49N 147E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 50N 142E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 42N 156E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 147E TO 48N 150E 47N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 147E TO 44N 142E 41N 133E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 12:56:02 2003 X-UIDL: 24647-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEU00JV4V869Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 10:36:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E2a3IZ059105 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 10:36:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E1tvI8035322; Tue, 13 May 2003 21:30:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 780890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 May 2003 21:30:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E2USG2032876 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 21:30:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4E2UShO026919 for ; Tue, 13 May 2003 21:30:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4E2URX1026918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 13 May 2003 21:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 13 May 2003 21:30:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305140230.h4E2URX1026918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 164E TO 41N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 167E TO 39N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 167E TO 35N 166E 29N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 32N 129E WEST OF KYUSYU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 129E TO 31N 133E 30N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 129E TO 29N 125E 29N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 122E TO 28N 115E 27N 108E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 53N 180E 35N 180E 33N 170E 33N 164E 40N 160E 40N 150E 41N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 49N 147E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 153E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 147E TO 48N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 147E TO 44N 144E 41N 137E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 14:15:52 2003 X-UIDL: 24661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEV00I1553QDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 14:09:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E69MIZ030267 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 14:09:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E1tvb6035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 784349 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E61IG2010982 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4E61HhO029049 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4E61HbE029047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 01:01:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305140601.h4E61HbE029047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 4.6N0 138.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF PALAU, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 16:35:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24670-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEV00J6XBU79Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 16:34:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E8YqG8069058 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 16:34:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E2K63G021248; Wed, 14 May 2003 03:26:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 786012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 03:26:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E8QcG2010848 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 03:26:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4E8QchO000314 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 03:26:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4E8QcbI000313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 03:26:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 03:26:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305140826.h4E8QcbI000313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 166E TO 41N 167E 42N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 43N 174E 41N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 33N 167E 28N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 132E EAST OF KYUSYU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 132E TO 32N 136E 30N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 132E TO 29N 130E 29N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 125E TO 29N 118E 27N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 142E 47N 152E 54N 160E 53N 180E 38N 180E 32N 165E 39N 160E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 129E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 51N 146E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 154E EAST 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 146E TO 51N 149E 50N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 151E TO 49N 154E 47N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 151E TO 45N 151E 42N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 14 23:44:56 2003 X-UIDL: 24685-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEV00IA6SPZDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 14 May 2003 22:39:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EEdWIZ089004 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 22:39:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4E1tvxw035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 09:26:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 790653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 09:26:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EEQXG2034440 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 09:26:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4EEQXhO005973 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 09:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4EEQXqi005972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 09:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 09:26:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305141426.h4EEQXqi005972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 168E TO 42N 169E 43N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 44N 175E 42N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 35N 172E 29N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 134E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 33N 137E 32N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 30N 130E 29N 127E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 127E TO 27N 120E 26N 111E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 143E 45N 146E 47N 152E 55N 161E 53N 180E 38N 180E 30N 169E 40N 160E 39N 150E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 128E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 155E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 51N 170E EAST 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 147E TO 52N 150E 51N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 153E TO 50N 156E 48N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 153E TO 47N 154E 43N 148E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 04:41:21 2003 X-UIDL: 24698-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEW00J9I9629Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 04:34:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EKYmIZ012992 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 04:34:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHHfZG035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 15:28:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 797348 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 15:28:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EKStG2019462 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 15:28:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4EKSthO019831 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 15:28:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4EKStWR019830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 15:28:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 15:28:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305142028.h4EKStWR019830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 173E TO 44N 177E 44N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 173E TO 39N 176E 33N 174E 30N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 143E 42N 143E 50N 156E 58N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E 30N 160E 38N 155E 39N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 134E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 50N 150E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 156E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 51N 174E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 117E TO 26N 122E 27N 126E 30N 129E 30N 131E 32N 134E 32N 136E 34N 138E 31N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 11:33:49 2003 X-UIDL: 24726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEW00JJ8Q1VT3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 10:39:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F2dSIZ012809 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:39:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4EHHf80035322; Wed, 14 May 2003 21:31:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 804594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 May 2003 21:31:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F2ViG2022124 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 21:31:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4F2VhhO027021 for ; Wed, 14 May 2003 21:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4F2VhRF027020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 14 May 2003 21:31:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 14 May 2003 21:31:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305150231.h4F2VhRF027020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 174E TO 43N 175E 44N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 176E TO 44N 176W 41N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 176E TO 35N 174E 29N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 133E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 141E 43N 146E 52N 157E 61N 166E 60N 180E 39N 180E 38N 164E 31N 153E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 50N 151E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 158E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 52N 174E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 100E TO 26N 105E 25N 124E 32N 133E 34N 142E 29N 148E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 13:20:20 2003 X-UIDL: 24732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEW00JJ7XFIT3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 13:18:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F5IoIZ063146 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 13:18:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4ZtLC035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:12:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 807522 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:04:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F54sG2015234 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:04:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4F54rhO029482 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:04:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4F54r9M029480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 00:04:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 00:04:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305150504.h4F54r9M029480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.6N0 138.1E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.6N0 130.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 294 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 16:37:51 2003 X-UIDL: 24741-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00JJ16C6T3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 16:31:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F8V5IZ029440 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 16:31:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4ZtUM035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 03:26:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 810135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 03:26:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F8QbG2022790 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 03:26:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4F8QbhO001856 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 03:26:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4F8Qb9w001855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 03:26:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 03:26:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305150826.h4F8Qb9w001855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 42N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 44N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 45N 175W 44N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 38N 179E 30N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 135E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 141E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 32N 167E 40N 160E 36N 150E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 50N 152E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 110E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 54N 145E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 160E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 53N 173E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 110E TO 26N 118E 24N 125E 32N 135E 35N 141E 31N 148E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 22:39:08 2003 X-UIDL: 24777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00ELMN6K6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 22:35:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FEYsIZ057570 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 22:34:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4ZtnG035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 09:27:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 814458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 09:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FERqG2029150 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 09:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FERphO007925 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 09:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FERphI007924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 09:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 09:27:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151427.h4FERphI007924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 44N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 179E TO 45N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 178W TO 46N 171W 45N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 178W TO 39N 178W 31N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 33N 138E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 138E TO 34N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 138E TO 26N 135E 24N 129E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 129E TO 24N 125E 25N 119E 25N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1002 HPA AT 36N 143E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 32N 170E 38N 164E 37N 155E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 50N 158E EAST 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 37N 115E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 54N 147E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 163E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 53N 175E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 35N 147E 32N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 34N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 15 23:29:07 2003 X-UIDL: 24778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEX00EUJPL36O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 15 May 2003 23:27:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FFQmIZ082922 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 23:26:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4F4Ztq4035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:18:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 815079 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:18:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FFIAG2015346 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:18:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FFI9hO009739 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:18:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FFI9vt009738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 10:18:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 10:18:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305151518.h4FFI9vt009738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 151600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ EXERCISE EXERCISE EXERCISE 1. HURRICANE 81C (MAKANI) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 22.3N7 157.6W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 157.6W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.7N3 158.4W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 27.1N0 156.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 29.1N2 154.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 29.8N9 152.2W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 29.9N0 150.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151500Z3 POSITION NEAR 22.3N7 157.6W9. HURRICANE 81C (MAKANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF HONOLULU, HAWAII, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151500Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 60 TO 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151500Z2 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152000Z8, 160400Z1, 161000Z8 AND 161600Z4. ***EXERCISE EXERCISE EXERCISE***// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 09:03:28 2003 X-UIDL: 24803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY00EM53XE6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 04:36:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FKaZIZ053651 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 04:36:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FIWeVW035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 15:27:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 822007 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 15:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FKREG2040906 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 15:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4FKRDhO024353 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 15:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4FKRDxx024352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 15:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 15:27:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305152027.h4FKRDxx024352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 178W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 178W TO 46N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 175W TO 46N 170W 46N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 175W TO 39N 178W 32N 175E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 36N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 38N 148E 34N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 33N 139E 28N 136E 24N 129E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 129E TO 25N 121E 25N 112E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 41N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 38N 165E 39N 151E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 54N 137E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 60N 145E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 50N 159E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 38N 116E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 42N 131E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 52N 147E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 165E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 54N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 11:02:33 2003 X-UIDL: 24826-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY003A7LQ0IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 11:01:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G30xIZ057601 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 11:01:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4FIWeDs035322; Thu, 15 May 2003 21:33:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 829278 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 May 2003 21:33:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G2X1G2045078 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 21:33:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G2X0hO006202 for ; Thu, 15 May 2003 21:33:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G2X0GJ006201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 15 May 2003 21:33:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 15 May 2003 21:33:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160233.h4G2X0GJ006201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 38N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 147E TO 39N 150E 39N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 147E TO 35N 145E 34N 142E 28N 138E 25N 131E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 131E TO 25N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 43N 145E 47N 152E 60N 165E 60N 180E 36N 180E 34N 165E 31N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 53N 137E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 50N 162E ENE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 167E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 42N 131E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 38N 116E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 55N 178E NE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 52N 151E EAST 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 176E TO 32N 178E 34N 180W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 17:25:25 2003 X-UIDL: 24844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY003M6TKQIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 13:50:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G5ohIZ015915 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 13:50:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G5JCI8019152; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 832135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G5bBG2043054 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G5bBhO008859 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G5bA7e008857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 00:37:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160537.h4G5bA7e008857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.6N0 130.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 294 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED. RECENT SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS WEAKENING CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS NO LONGER EXISTS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9.0S9 110.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 17:25:25 2003 X-UIDL: 24845-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEY00EVRUGX6O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 14:10:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G6A6IZ022015 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 14:10:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G311VW035322; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 832294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G5vlG2040498 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G5vlhO009101 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G5vlWP009099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 00:57:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160557.h4G5vlWP009099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.6N0 130.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 294 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS REMAINED DISORGANIZED. RECENT SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS WEAKENING CONVECTION. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS NO LONGER EXISTS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 9.0N9 110.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES PERSISTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED POSITION FROM S TO N IN PARA 1.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY MAJ MAZANY, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 17:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 24861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ0039T1B7IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 16:37:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G8bsIZ071545 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 16:37:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G311ac035322; Fri, 16 May 2003 03:29:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 834060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 03:29:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G8TIG2023904 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 03:29:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4G8THhO010990 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 03:29:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4G8THJL010989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 03:29:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 03:29:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305160829.h4G8THJL010989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 39N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 39N 157E 35N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 34N 145E 32N 140E 27N 133E 24N 127E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 127E TO 24N 121E 27N 117E 26N 112E 25N 107E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 143E 42N 142E 50N 155E 60N 165E 60N 180E 46N 180E 31N 165E 31N 150E 38N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 50N 163E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 132E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 39N 132E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 52N 151E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 170E ESE 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 173W TO 42N 171W 39N 176W 35N 178W 31N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 16 22:40:23 2003 X-UIDL: 24890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ003RHHY7IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 16 May 2003 22:37:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GEbDIZ070782 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 22:37:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4G311sQ035322; Fri, 16 May 2003 09:28:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 838286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 09:28:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GESuG2021732 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 09:28:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GESuhO017143 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 09:28:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GEStsm017142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 09:28:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 09:28:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305161428.h4GEStsm017142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 41N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 153E TO 41N 159E 38N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 153E TO 35N 150E 32N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 144E TO 32N 140E 28N 132E 24N 123E 26N 117E 25N 106E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 550 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 142E 43N 147E 51N 158E 60N 166E 60N 180E 42N 180E 31N 170E 31N 153E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 60N 159E ENE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 39N 133E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 52N 151E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 174E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 54N 178E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 01:44:31 2003 X-UIDL: 24902-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ00399QBJIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 01:38:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GHc6IZ024348 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 01:38:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDOs039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 841702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GHX8G2033096 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GHX6hO023223 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GHX5ZU023219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 12:33:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305161733.h4GHX5ZU023219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 161730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/161730Z/170600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5.6N1 132.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND A FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9 110.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AS A POOR AND DISSIPATED PARA 1.B.(2). 4. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 09:45:45 2003 X-UIDL: 24929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HEZ003MDYE9IC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 04:32:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GKWVIZ077073 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 04:32:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjD4w038598; Fri, 16 May 2003 15:26:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 844933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 15:26:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GKQpG2034504 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 15:26:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4GKQlhO028956 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 15:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4GKQk66028955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 15:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 15:26:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305162026.h4GKQk66028955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 42N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 155E TO 41N 160E 37N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 155E TO 36N 152E 33N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 145E TO 31N 141E 28N 133E 25N 124E 26N 116E 25N 106E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 550 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 31N 171E 31N 155E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 39N 135E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 52N 152E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 177E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 55N 177E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 09:45:48 2003 X-UIDL: 24940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF0003L2CGZIC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 09:36:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H1aVIZ044243 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 09:36:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GLgKia038598; Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 849087 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H1UUG2035764 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H1UThO004692 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H1UTQf004690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 20:30:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170130.h4H1UTQf004690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 161730 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/161730Z/170600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5.6N1 132.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND A FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 110.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AS A POOR AND DISSIPATED PARA 1.B.(2). 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED LATTITUDE IN PARA 1.B.(2) 5. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 10:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 24943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF000HXMFCKL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 10:38:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H2cbIZ058495 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 10:38:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4GFjDAa039190; Fri, 16 May 2003 21:32:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 849676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 May 2003 21:32:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H2WSG2025508 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 21:32:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H2WShO005310 for ; Fri, 16 May 2003 21:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H2WRBw005309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 16 May 2003 21:32:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 16 May 2003 21:32:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170232.h4H2WRBw005309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 43N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 160E TO 44N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 40N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 36N 154E 31N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 145E TO 30N 142E 28N 132E 25N 124E 25N 117E 24N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 127E 25N 126E 28N 129E 32N 140E 32N 143E 28N 150E 26N 142E 23N 134E 23N 127E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 146E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 44N 146E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 33N 161E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 131E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 40N 139E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 52N 152E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 56N 178E NNW 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 180E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 19:24:01 2003 X-UIDL: 24949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF000HC8NGTL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 13:34:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H5Y3IZ002260 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 13:34:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H3g1OE038384; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 851399 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H5SbG2028350 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H5SahO007147 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H5SaQK007145 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 00:28:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170528.h4H5SaQK007145@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.6N1 132.2E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2N9 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER POSSIBLE MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. A RECENT WESTERLY WIND BURST HAS ENHANCED WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE TROUGHING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 19:24:10 2003 X-UIDL: 24957-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF000H9JVRNL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 16:33:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H8XMIZ045417 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:33:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dOk039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 03:27:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 852979 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 03:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H8RnG2022820 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 03:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4H8RnhO008634 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 03:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4H8Rn0f008633 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 03:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 03:27:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305170827.h4H8Rn0f008633@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 45N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 163E TO 45N 165E 45N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 168E TO 44N 171E 42N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 168E TO 39N 163E 33N 148E 31N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 145E TO 30N 142E 31N 138E 27N 131E 26N 126E 24N 122E 25N 117E 24N 113E 23N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07.1N 130.5E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 124E 29N 130E 33N 141E 34N 150E 30N 150E 22N 133E 24N 124E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 160E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 26N 126E EAST 20 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 63N 138E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 35N 122E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 40N 146E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 53N 154E ENE 20 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 63N 138E TO 62N 138E 60N 138E. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 138E TO 60N 141E 59N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 138E TO 55N 129E 53N 114E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 22:03:50 2003 X-UIDL: 24968-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100HEFARUL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 21:57:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HDvTIZ016946 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:57:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dZw039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 08:51:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 855563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 08:51:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HDpDG2037558 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 08:51:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HDpDhO011528 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 08:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HDpCAZ011527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 08:51:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 08:51:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305171351.h4HDpCAZ011527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PGTW 171400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 171351Z MAY 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.3N0 129.4E6 TO 9.0N9 125.3E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 171130Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 7.3N0 128.4E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.2N9 131.1E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.3N0 128.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER POSSIBLE MULTIPLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES WINDS REMAIN NEAR 20 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTER OF THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. A RECENT WESTERLY WIND BURST HAS ENHANCED WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE TROUGHING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 181400Z4. 4. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 17 22:33:50 2003 X-UIDL: 24969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100HG4CFFL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 17 May 2003 22:33:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HEXBIZ025188 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 22:33:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dae039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 09:28:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 855849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 09:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HES1G2025192 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 09:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HES0hO011858 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 09:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HES0LN011857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 09:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 09:28:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305171428.h4HES0LN011857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 46N 166E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 166E TO 47N 168E 46N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 171E TO 45N 173E 42N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 171E TO 39N 167E 35N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 158E TO 33N 144E 27N 137E 27N 127E 23N 123E 24N 117E 22N 112E 21N 107E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07.3N 128.0E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 122E 23N 122E 28N 130E 30N 138E 36N 141E 42N 142E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 34N 180E 26N 152E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 27N 127E ENE 15 KT. LOW 990 HPA AT 65N 141E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 35N 121E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 149E EAST 20 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 65N 141E TO 63N 142E 61N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 61N 142E TO 61N 147E 61N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 61N 142E TO 54N 133E 51N 115E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 04:43:53 2003 X-UIDL: 24991-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100IBWT7UPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 04:35:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HKZrIZ030621 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 04:35:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55ds4039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 15:30:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 859478 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 15:30:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HKUTG2049526 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 15:30:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HKUThO015587 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 15:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HKUTmt015586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 15:30:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 15:30:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305172030.h4HKUTmt015586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 47N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 168E TO 47N 171E 47N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 174E TO 45N 179E 42N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 174E TO 40N 170E 34N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 155E TO 33N 149E 32N 142E 28N 135E 27N 128E 24N 124E 24N 119E 22N 114E 21N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07.4N 127.1E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 124E 29N 130E 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 35N 165E 25N 147E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 20N 106E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 27N 128E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 52N 130E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 142E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 34N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 154E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 58N 178W ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 33N 177W ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 05:33:54 2003 X-UIDL: 24996-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100HB5VRIL7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 05:30:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLUrIZ042264 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:30:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4H55dw0039192; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:27:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 860314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLRUG2047458 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:27:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HLRUhO016286 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HLRToW016285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 16:27:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 16:27:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305172127.h4HLRToW016285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171351ZMAY2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 7.3N0 127.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.3N0 127.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 7.3N0 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 7.6N3 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 7.9N6 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 8.5N3 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 9.6N5 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 7.3N0 127.6E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE AND EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WITH RADIAL DEEP CONVECTION NOW TURNING TOWARD THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 171351ZMAY2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 171400). NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2, 180900Z8, 181500Z5 AND 182100Z2. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 06:23:54 2003 X-UIDL: 25000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF100ICHY7JPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 06:23:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HMNhxE002833 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 06:23:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HKeUVi016736; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 861183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HML2G2009830 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4HML2hO017082 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4HML25n017080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 17:21:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305172221.h4HML25n017080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 172230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/172230Z/180600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/171952ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171800Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.3N0 127.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 172100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.6N1 132.2E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. 4. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 10:56:37 2003 X-UIDL: 25011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF20068DA6MID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 10:42:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I2gLxE055639 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 10:42:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdTs039196; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:36:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 863812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:36:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I2afG2034932 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:36:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I2aehO019641 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:36:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I2aeb3019640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:36:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 21:36:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180236.h4I2aeb3019640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180000 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 171E TO 48N 175E 45N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 178W TO 44N 177W 42N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 178W TO 37N 170E 35N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 158E TO 34N 148E 29N 140E 27N 128E 23N 120E 21N 112E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07.6N 128.5E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 125E 30N 131E 30N 140E 42N 142E 48N 153E 60N 165E 60N 180E 39N 180E 31N 170E 28N 150E 25N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 27N 128E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 52N 135E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 148E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 20N 106E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 47N 154E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 162E ENE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 10:56:37 2003 X-UIDL: 25012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF200648A3PID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 10:43:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I2aMxE054676 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 10:36:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdTk039196; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:27:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 863768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:27:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I2RZG2034276 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I2RYhO019570 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I2RYuv019569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 21:27:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180227.h4I2RYuv019569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 171E TO 48N 175E 45N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 178W TO 44N 177W 42N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 178W TO 37N 170E 35N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 158E TO 21N 112E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07.6N 128.5E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 125E 30N 131E 30N 140E 42N 142E 48N 153E 60N 165E 60N 180E 39N 180E 31N 170E 28N 150E 25N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 20N 106E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 27N 128E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 52N 135E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 148E ENE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 47N 154E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 162E ENE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 11:05:35 2003 X-UIDL: 25013-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF200M6HB5HE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 11:03:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I33ExE059481 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 11:03:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdUU039196; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:57:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 863952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:57:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I2vQG2020798 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:57:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I2vPhO019812 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:57:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I2vPKV019809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:57:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 21:57:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180257.h4I2vPKV019809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 7.9N6 128.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.9N6 128.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 8.6N4 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 9.5N4 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 10.4N5 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 11.3N5 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 12.5N8 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION NEAR 8.1N9 127.9E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITH SOME INHIBITING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8, 181500Z5, 182100Z2 AND 190300Z3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 11:05:35 2003 X-UIDL: 25014-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF20066NB79ID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 11:04:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I34IxE059667 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 11:04:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdUW039196; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:58:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 863956 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:58:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I2wTG2035042 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:58:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I2wShO019822 for ; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:58:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I2wSVi019820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 17 May 2003 21:58:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 21:58:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180258.h4I2wSVi019820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR/ 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 180000Z9 TO 210000Z3 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITH SOME INHIBITING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. B. TD 03W IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM CREATED BY A MIGRATORY SHORTWAVE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE GLOBAL (EGRR), AND NCEP GFS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE, THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS, AND THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY INITIALLY DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY BELOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO LAND EFFECTS FROM THE PHILIPPINES. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 13:54:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF200M7RIXPE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 13:51:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I5pMxE092728 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 13:51:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HKeUB8016736; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 865144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I5ffG2037784 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I5ffhO021077 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I5ffea021075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 00:41:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180541.h4I5ffea021075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180151ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.9N6 128.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 147.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 540 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 21:01:50 2003 X-UIDL: 25022-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF2006JYPC1ID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 16:09:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I89VxE023685 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 16:09:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdc4039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 02:59:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 865876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 02:59:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I7xLG2045458 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 02:59:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I7xLhO022095 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 02:59:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I7xLm8022094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 02:59:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 02:59:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180759.h4I7xLm8022094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 7.7N4 129.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.7N4 129.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 8.2N0 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 8.9N7 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 9.4N3 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 10.0N1 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 10.7N8 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 7.8N5 129.9E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, HAS BEEN RE-LOCATED TO A POSITION APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RE-LOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS, A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS BROAD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5, 182100Z2, 190300Z3 AND 190900Z9. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 21:01:51 2003 X-UIDL: 25023-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF2006GAQITID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 16:35:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I8ZDxE029388 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 16:35:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdcs039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 03:30:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 866027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 03:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4I8UMG2027334 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 03:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4I8ULhO022444 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 03:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4I8ULib022443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 03:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 03:30:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305180830.h4I8ULib022443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 176E TO 48N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 176W TO 42N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 176W TO 42N 178W 38N 171E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 171E TO 35N 149E 30N 138E 27N 130E 21N 111E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 08.6N 130.3E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 133E 25N 124E 29N 131E 34N 143E 36N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 32N 165E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 27N 130E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 147E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 47N 155E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 170E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 21:01:51 2003 X-UIDL: 25027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF20067EUQGID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 18:06:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IA6FxE048474 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 18:06:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdfG039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 866703 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IA2FG2038434 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IA2EhO023126 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IA2EGr023124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 05:02:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181002.h4IA2EGr023124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 181000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/181000Z/190600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180751ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180600Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W WAS RE-LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 129.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 147.7E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.0N4 148.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC BUT HAS IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS OVER A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR AND UPDATED WARNING INFORMATION IN PARA 1.A.(1). 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 22:01:42 2003 X-UIDL: 25041-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF3006R356AID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 21:51:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IDplxE092771 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:51:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdjq039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 08:48:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 868469 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 08:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IDmKG2025344 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 08:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IDmKhO024739 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 08:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IDmKcH024738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 08:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 08:48:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181348.h4IDmKcH024738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR/ 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 181200Z2 TO 211200Z6 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS, ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY DECREASED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS AND SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EVIDENT OVER THE SYSTEM. B. TD 03W IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THAT WILL BE ENHANCED BY A MIGRATORY SHORTWAVE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE GLOBAL (EGRR), GFDN, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL MODEL (JGSM) AND NCEP GFS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO IN THE EARLY PERIOD. AFTER 24 HOURS EGRR DISSIPATES THE SYSTEM WHILE THE REMAINING MODELS MAINTAIN THE SYSTEM, ALBEIT WEAK, THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THIS CLUSTER IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT TO 72 HOURS WITH A GENERALLY POLEWARD FLOW, CHANGING TO A MORE NORTHWESTWARD TRACK LATE IN THE PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE LOW-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGRR. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY INITIALLY DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND REMAIN SLOWER THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD IN MODERATE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 22:01:42 2003 X-UIDL: 25042-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF300MA956LE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 21:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IDpuxE092820 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:51:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdjo039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 08:47:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 868457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 08:47:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IDlJG2025584 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 08:47:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IDlJhO024729 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 08:47:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IDlI9w024728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 08:47:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 08:47:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181347.h4IDlI9w024728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 8.1N9 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.1N9 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 9.0N9 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 9.9N8 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 10.9N0 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 11.7N9 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 12.4N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 8.3N1 130.0E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS, ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY DECREASED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS AND SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EVIDENT OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2, 190300Z3, 190900Z9 AND 191500Z6. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 22:36:17 2003 X-UIDL: 25044-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF3006A175TID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 22:34:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IEYgxE003036 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:34:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdkO039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 09:30:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 868772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 09:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IEUgG2026844 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 09:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IEUghO025055 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 09:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IEUgaJ025054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 09:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 09:30:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181430.h4IEUgaJ025054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 48N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 180E TO 46N 172W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 172W TO 41N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 172W TO 37N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 08.4N 130.7E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 130E 26N 127E 30N 131E 35N 142E 40N 142E 42N 143E 46N 151E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 29N 153E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 06N 147E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 136E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 146E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 27N 131E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 48N 157E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 58N 172E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 174E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 136E TO 50N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 136E TO 48N 127E 43N 120E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 112E TO 21N 117E 27N 131E 34N 146E 37N 153E 37N 169E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 18 23:01:43 2003 X-UIDL: 25047-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF3006XJ825ID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 18 May 2003 22:54:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IEs5xE008131 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:54:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfdkc039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 09:47:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 868938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 09:47:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IElrG2038652 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 09:47:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IElqhO025182 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 09:47:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IElqwo025181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 09:47:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 09:47:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181447.h4IElqwo025181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN22 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 181451Z MAY 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 150 NM RADIUS OF 4.5N9 147.7E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 181330Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 4.5N9 147.7E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.0N4 148.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.5N9 147.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK AND HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC, BUT HAS IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS OVER A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. A WESTERLY WIND BURST IS ENHANCING WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 191500Z6. 4. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 02:32:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF300MUNFWTE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 01:43:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IHhdxE048145 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:43:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IA9dqq045054; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 870188 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IHbpG2037796 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IHbohO026888 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IHbobW026886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 12:37:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305181737.h4IHbobW026886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 181730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/181730Z/190600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/181351ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/181451ZMAY2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181200Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W WAS NEAR 8.3N1 130.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 181500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.0N4 148.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.5N9 147.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK AND HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC, BUT HAS IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. CONVECTION REMAINS OVER A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. A WESTERLY WIND BURST IS ENHANCING WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 181500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD AND UPDATED WARNING INFORMATION IN PARA 1.A.(1). 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 05:01:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF30065ONQ7ID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 04:32:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IKWVxE091102 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:32:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfd1s039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:28:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 871992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:28:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IKSCG2022952 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IKSChO028566 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:28:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IKSBdH028565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 15:28:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305182028.h4IKSBdH028565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 176W TO 48N 172W 47N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 169W TO 46N 166W 44N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 169W TO 42N 173W 37N 178E 37N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 08.3N 130.5E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 06.2N 148.9E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 144E 46N 153E 60N 166E 60N 180E 34N 180E 32N 150E 25N 130E 30N 129E 33N 138E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 53N 138E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 148E NE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 30N 136E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 46N 158E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 57N 171E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 168E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 110E TO 22N 120E 26N 130E 30N 136E 33N 142E 37N 148E 38N 153E 37N 161E 37N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 05:01:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25065-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF3006FZOD8ID@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 04:46:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IKkHxE093957 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:46:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4HLfd3g039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:42:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 872274 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:42:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4IKgOG2034890 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:42:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4IKgOhO028755 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:42:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4IKgNTw028754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 15:42:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 15:42:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305182042.h4IKgNTw028754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 8.6N4 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.6N4 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 9.8N7 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 11.0N2 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.0N3 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.9N2 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 13.2N6 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 8.9N7 130.0E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS ALTHOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL SHEARED SLIGHTLY AT THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3, 190900Z9, 191500Z6 AND 192100Z3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:46:57 2003 X-UIDL: 25077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002H84FCD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 10:33:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J2XCxE076539 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsIq039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:28:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 875763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:28:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J2SHG2031390 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J2SGhO002763 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J2SGCl002762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 21:28:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190228.h4J2SGCl002762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 170E 50N 180E 37N 180E 40N 170E 48N 170E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 09.4N 131.4E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 07.2N 150.3E NEAR TRUK MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 130E 33N 135E 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 150E 30N 130E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 30N 139E ENE 30 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 48N 162E NE 25 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 57N 170E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 171E ESE 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 112E TO 22N 121E 28N 133E 30N 139E 34N 146E 38N 153E 38N 164E 37N 172E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:46:57 2003 X-UIDL: 25078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002VO5GDD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 10:55:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J2tPxE084240 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:55:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsJ8039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:51:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 875886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:51:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J2p5G2026810 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:51:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J2p4hO002960 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:51:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J2p4d6002959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:51:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 21:51:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190251.h4J2p4d6002959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181451ZMAY2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 6.7N3 149.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.7N3 149.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 7.5N2 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 8.2N0 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 8.7N5 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 9.8N7 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 11.4N6 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 6.9N5 149.1E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 181451ZMAY2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 181500) NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 03W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:46:57 2003 X-UIDL: 25080-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002LL5N5D3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 10:59:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J2xTxE085691 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:59:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsJE039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:53:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 875903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:53:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J2r2G2034886 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:53:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J2qvhO002971 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:52:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J2qvF5002970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 21:52:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 21:52:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 04w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190252.h4J2qvF5002970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIII, Probability=56%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNING NR/ 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 190000Z0 TO 220000Z4 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK POLEWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD TOWARDS A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THAT WILL BE ENHANCED BY A MIGRATORY SHORTWAVE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP GFS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 25082-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF40028462WD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 11:08:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J38vxE088742 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 11:08:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsJg039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:05:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 876005 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:05:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J35JG2044854 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:05:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J35IhO003065 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J35Ho8003064 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:05:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 22:05:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190305.h4J35Ho8003064@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03W WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 9.1N0 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.1N0 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 10.4N5 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 11.6N8 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.5N8 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.1N5 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 13.7N1 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 9.4N3 130.8E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS ALTHOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AT THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 25083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF40029N63HD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 11:09:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J39HxE088846 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 11:09:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J1jIMc022238; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:07:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 876023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J36IG2034998 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J36IhO003077 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:06:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J36Ipd003076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:06:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 22:06:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190306.h4J36Ipd003076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR/ 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 190000Z0 TO 220000Z4 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS ALTHOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AT THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE CONVECTION. B. TS 03W IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THAT IS ENHANCED BY A MIGRATORY SHORTWAVE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO A NORTHWESTERLY TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE PASSING SHORTWAVE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE GLOBAL (EGRR), GFDN, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 25085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF40024H7R1D3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 11:45:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J3j2xE001848 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 11:45:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J1jITm022238; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:39:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 876668 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:39:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J3dWG2049918 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:39:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J3dWhO003365 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:39:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J3dW39003364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:39:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 22:39:32 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190339.h4J3dW39003364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 135 URPA12 PGTW 190311 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 19/0311Z B. 06 DEG 40 MIN 149 DEG 55 MIN C. NA MB M D. 40 KT E. 258 DEG 11 NM F. 53 DEG 22 KT G. 30 DEG 019 NM H. EXTRAP 1004 MB I. 24 C/ 237 M J. 25 C/ 287 M K. 24 C/ NA C L. NA M. NA N. 12345/01 O. .1 / 3 NM P. AF967 01BBW INVEST OB 11 MAX FL WIND 42 KT SW QUAD 0245Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:47:00 2003 X-UIDL: 25089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002TZ8LTD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 12:03:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J43UxE008114 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 12:03:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsMK039196; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:59:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 876819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:59:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J3xYG2025156 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:59:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J3xXhO003498 for ; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:59:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J3xXOV003497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 18 May 2003 22:59:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 18 May 2003 22:59:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190359.h4J3xXOV003497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 190359 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST MON MAY 19 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W FORMS IN CHUUK STATE... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER RESIDENTS IN SATAWAL...PULUWAT...CHUUK AND THE MARIANA ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION /TD/ 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 6.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS NEAR PULUWAT IN CHUUK STATE... OR ABOUT 200 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 540 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TD 04W IS MOVING NORTH AT 6 MPH. A SLOW NORTH-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TD 04W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MAY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON TUESDAY. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 6.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ82 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ JILLSON +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:47:01 2003 X-UIDL: 25095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF40027GDCVD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 13:46:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J5k6xE041039 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 13:46:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsS2039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 00:38:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 877744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 00:38:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J5cDG2025602 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 00:38:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J5cDhO004154 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 00:38:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J5cDnZ004153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 00:38:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 00:38:13 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190538.h4J5cDnZ004153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 019 URPA12 PGTW 190508 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 19/0508Z B. 06 DEG 40 MIN N 149 DEG 51 MIN E C. NA D. 30 KT E. 049 DEG 54 NM F. 180 DEG 26 KT G. 081 DEG 014 NM H. EXTRAP 1003 MB I. 24 C/ 263 M J. 25 C/ 275 M K. 23 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 1345/01 O. .1/ 10 NM P. AF967 01BBW INVEST OB 14 MAX FL WIND 42 KT SE QUAD 0312Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT. CENTER ELONGATED WEST TO EAST. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 14:47:02 2003 X-UIDL: 25098-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002CQEO0D3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 14:14:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J6ENxE049848 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 14:14:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsSS039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 877912 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J67rG2008822 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J67rhO004369 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J67rm5004367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 01:07:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190607.h4J67rm5004367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190152ZMAY2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W WAS NEAR 9.1N0 130.8E2, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W LOCATED NEAR 6.7N3 149.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 15:26:49 2003 X-UIDL: 25104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002GIHR1D3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 15:21:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J7L1Dm073777 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:21:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsUY039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:14:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 878449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:14:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J7EpG2015562 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:14:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J7EphO004830 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:14:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J7Eoo6004829 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:14:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 02:14:50 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190714.h4J7Eoo6004829@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 703 URPA12 PGTW 190659 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 19/0659Z B. 06 DEG 40 MIN N 150 DEG 02 MIN E C. NA D. 50 KT E. 177 DEG 10 NM F. 264 DEG 49 KT G. 172 DEG 012 NM H. EXTRAP 1004 MB I. 23 C/ 274 M J. 24 C/ 264 M K. 22 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 1345/1 O. .1 / 10 NM P. AF967 01BBW INVEST OB 18 MAX FL WIND 50 KT S QUAD 0603Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 15:46:49 2003 X-UIDL: 25105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF40028QIMYD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 15:40:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J7eBxE081487 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:40:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J1jIkG022238; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:35:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 878582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:34:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J7YdG2037836 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:34:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J7YchO004958 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:34:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J7Yc0K004957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:34:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 02:34:38 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190734.h4J7Yc0K004957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 720 URPA12 PGTW 190659 COR VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 19/0659Z B. 06 DEG 40 MIN N 150 DEG 02 MIN E C. NA D. 50 KT E. 177 DEG 10 NM F. 264 DEG 49 KT G. 172 DEG 012 NM H. EXTRAP 1004 MB I. 23 C/ 274 M J. 24 C/ 264 M K. 22 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 1345/1 O. .1 / 10 NM P. AF967 01BBW INVEST OB 18 MAX FL WIND 50 KT S QUAD 0603Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT. MIN SLP EXTRAP 1003MB AT 172/12NM FROM CNTR. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 15:56:49 2003 X-UIDL: 25106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002KYJ3ED3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 15:50:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J7nvxE084779 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:49:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsUs039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:45:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 878688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:45:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J7jMG2025814 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:45:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J7jLhO005007 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:45:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J7jLVO005005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 02:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 02:45:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190745.h4J7jLVO005005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 03W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 9.7N6 131.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N6 131.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 10.8N9 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 11.9N1 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.6N9 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 13.4N8 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 14.2N7 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.0N1 131.6E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SSM/I PASS INDICATE THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS NOT INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 16:26:49 2003 X-UIDL: 25109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002BLKQPD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 16:25:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J8PWxE097863 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:25:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsVU039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:20:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 878949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:20:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J8KtG2034852 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:20:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J8KthO005223 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:20:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J8KtuY005222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:20:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 03:20:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190820.h4J8KtuY005222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 6.8N4 149.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 6.8N4 149.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 7.1N8 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 7.5N2 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 8.1N9 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 9.0N9 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 10.7N8 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 6.9N5 149.8E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 190508Z3 AIR FORCE RECON FLIGHT FIX. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. A RECENT AIR FORCE RECON FLIGHT REPORTS A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1003 MB AND MAXIMUM 30 SECOND WIND AVERAGE OF 30 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A WESTERLY WIND BURST IS ENHANCING WINDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 03W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 16:36:49 2003 X-UIDL: 25110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002H3L2ND3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 16:32:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J8WlxE000935 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:32:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsVY039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:27:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 878973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J8R1G2031442 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J8R1hO005265 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J8R1VA005264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 03:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 03:27:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190827.h4J8R1VA005264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 158E TO 39N 165E 38N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 158E TO 37N 153E 34N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 173E 55N 180E 35N 180E 40N 173E 50N 173E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 09.8N 132.1E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07.5N 149.3E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 130E 35N 140E 42N 141E 46N 150E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 150E 30N 130E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 119E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 136E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 31N 142E ENE 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 12N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 28N 121E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 54N 169E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 170E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 110E TO 20N 120E 26N 130E 27N 135E 32N 142E 34N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 164W TO 38N 170W 37N 180E 38N 173E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 18:28:01 2003 X-UIDL: 25118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF40022PP70D3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 18:01:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JA1lxE030694 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 18:01:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsXk039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:56:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 879620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:56:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J9uAG2011800 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:56:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4J9u9hO005800 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4J9u94o005799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 04:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 04:56:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305190956.h4J9u94o005799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 190955 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST MON MAY 19 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM 04W... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER RESIDENTS IN SATAWAL...PULUWAT...CHUUK AND THE MARIANA ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM /TS/ 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 6.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 80 MILES EAST OF PULUWAT IN CHUUK STATE...OR ABOUT 125 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 585 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TS 04W IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TS 04W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 6.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ82 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM TUESDAY GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 20:04:35 2003 X-UIDL: 25126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF4002HXU24D3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 19:46:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JBkpxE061412 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 19:46:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0ts1C039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 06:40:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 881816 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 06:40:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JBeWG2027330 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 06:40:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JBeVhO006497 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 06:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JBeVDa006496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 06:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 06:40:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191140.h4JBeVDa006496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXX, Probability=40%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_03_05, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 191140 CCA TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST MON MAY 19 2003 ..CORRECTION TO HEADER... ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM 04W... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER RESIDENTS IN SATAWAL...PULUWAT...CHUUK AND THE MARIANA ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM /TS/ 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 6.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 80 MILES EAST OF PULUWAT IN CHUUK STATE...OR ABOUT 125 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 585 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TS 04W IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TS 04W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 6.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ82 PGUM...AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM TUESDAY GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 23:12:53 2003 X-UIDL: 25144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002SI1UPD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 22:35:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JEZ0xE010992 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:35:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsBs039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:28:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 884109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:28:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JES3G2035640 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JES3hO010244 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JES3Ys010243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 09:28:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191428.h4JES3Ys010243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 09.9N 132.8E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 06.9N 148.6E CAROLINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 130E 35N 140E 42N 141E 46N 150E 52N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 150E 30N 130E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 36N 119E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 49N 137E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 148E ENE 25 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 60N 118E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 121E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 55N 170E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 173E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 113E TO 21N 124E 27N 131E 34N 148E 42N 161E 37N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 23:13:02 2003 X-UIDL: 25147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002YT2CUD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 22:46:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JEk5xE014533 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:46:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsDK039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:37:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 884323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:37:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JEbQG2025594 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:37:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JEbQhO010555 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:37:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JEbP39010554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:37:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 09:37:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191437.h4JEbP39010554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 7.0N7 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N7 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 7.5N2 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 8.0N8 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 9.0N9 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 9.9N8 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 10.9N0 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 7.1N8 150.1E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM WEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 23:13:02 2003 X-UIDL: 25148-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002Z42CWD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 22:46:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JEk8xE014543 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:46:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JBFnoe022238; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:37:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 884296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:36:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JEaUG2041312 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:36:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JEaUhO010527 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:36:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JEaU5E010525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:36:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 09:36:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 03w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191436.h4JEaU5E010525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR/ 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 221200Z7 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SSM/I PASS INDICATE THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS WEAKENED AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN INFRARED. B. TD 03W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN POLEWARD IN THE EARLY PERIOD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THAT IS BEING ENHANCED BY A MIGRATORY SHORTWAVE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO A NORTHWESTERLY TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE PASSING SHORTWAVE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE GLOBAL (EGRR), GFDN, COAMPS AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A MODERATE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 23:13:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002Z92CWD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 22:46:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JEk8xE014545 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:46:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsD8039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:37:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 884293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:36:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JEaUG2042358 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:36:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JEaUhO010526 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:36:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JEaUOU010523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:36:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 09:36:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191436.h4JEaUOU010523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 008 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 03W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 10.3N4 132.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 132.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 11.4N6 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.3N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.1N5 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 13.6N0 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.3N8 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.6N7 132.8E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT SSM/I PASS INDICATE THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS WEAKENED AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN INFRARED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 23:13:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002QO2QMD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 22:54:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JEsMxE016915 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:54:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4J0tsDO039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:38:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 884351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:38:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JEccG2017134 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:38:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JEcchO010595 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:38:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JEccBU010594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 09:38:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 09:38:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 04w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191438.h4JEccBU010594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNING NR/ 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 221200Z7 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM WEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TS 04W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD IN THE EARLY PERIOD AS IT CONSOLIDATES AND THEN POLEWARD TOWARDS A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS WEAKNESS IS FORECAST TO BE ENHANCED BY A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TRANSLATING EASTWARD FROM THE ASIAN CONTINENT. IN THE LATE PERIOD A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE IN THE WEAKNESS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM), COAMPS, AND NCEP GFS, ARE IN ONLY FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. GFS TRACKS THE SYSTEM MUCH MORE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHWEST, CREATING A MUCH LARGER SYSTEM AND MODIFYING THE RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. GFDN, NOGAPS, AND COAMPS HAVE A SLOWER TRACK SPEED EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DEVELOP THE SYSTEM MORE SLOWLY. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN A MODERATE TO FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW POTENTIAL AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE DATA AND AN AIR FORCE RECON FLIGHT. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 23:41:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002WL4R7D3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 23:37:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JFbtxE032037 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:37:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JBFn0S022238; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:33:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 885571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:33:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JFX4G2034524 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:33:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JFX3hO012731 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:33:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JFX3r7012730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:33:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 10:33:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191533.h4JFX3r7012730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 191532 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST TUE MAY 20 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 04W DEVELOPING EAST OF CHUUK... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...RESIDENTS IN SATAWAL...PULUWAT...CHUUK AND THE MARIANA ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.1 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 125 MILES WEST OF CHUUK AND 570 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM 04W IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. 04W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ82 PGUM... AND FORECASTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 19 23:41:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF50020B4SYD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 19 May 2003 23:38:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JFcsxE032280 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:38:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JBFn0A022238; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:32:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 885562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:32:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JFWnG2037006 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:32:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JFWmhO012686 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JFWmvL012685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 10:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 10:32:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305191532.h4JFWmvL012685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 191532 CCA TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST TUE MAY 20 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 04W DEVELOPING EAST OF CHUUK... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...RESIDENTS IN SATAWAL...PULUWAT...CHUUK AND THE MARIANA ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.1 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 125 MILES WEST OF CHUUK AND 570 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM 04W IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. 04W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ82 PGUM... AND FORECASTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 04:47:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500291IWSD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 04:43:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JKhfxE034174 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:43:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JG0e1E049660; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 892203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JKXeG2046714 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JKXdhO021714 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JKXd44021712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 15:33:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305192033.h4JKXd44021712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 192030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/192030Z/200600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190152ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W WAS NEAR 9.1N0 130.8E2, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 04W LOCATED NEAR 6.7N3 149.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 04:47:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002E9J1YD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 04:46:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JKkmxE034844 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:46:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JF3tnm039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:28:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 892093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JKSeG2010836 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JKSdhO021551 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:28:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JKSdDV021550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 15:28:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 15:28:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305192028.h4JKSdDV021550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 164E TO 41N 169E 38N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 164E TO 40N 160E 38N 156E 36N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09.7N 134.1E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING EAST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 07.4N 147.5E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 134E 36N 141E 43N 144E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 30N 150E 30N 134E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 140E EAST 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 55N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 172E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 111E TO 20N 121E 23N 129E 26N 134E 28N 141E 32N 146E 34N 150E 36N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 175E TO 35N 176W 35N 166W 41N 157W 49N 158W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 05:27:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF5002RHKTDD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 05:24:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JLOnxE045749 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:24:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JF3tsY039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:09:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 893143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:09:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JL9iG2033676 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:09:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JL9hhO023171 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:09:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JL9hta023170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:09:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 16:09:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305192109.h4JL9hta023170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 192109 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST TUE MAY 20 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 04W SLOWLY DEVELOPING WEST OF CHUUK... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...RESIDENTS OF CHUUK STATE AND SATAWAL SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING TROPICAL STORM. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 140 MILES WEST OF CHUUK AND 535 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM 04W IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH AT 3 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. 04W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 3 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ82 PGUM... AND FORECASTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 05:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500208L1ED3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 05:29:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JLTdxE046829 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:29:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JG0eDc049660; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:19:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 893452 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:19:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JLJ8G2011948 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:19:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JLJ7hO023422 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: from localhost (chris@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) with ESMTP id h4JLJ7C2023419 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 16:19:07 -0500 From: Chris Novy - Systems Subject: Pacific-NW: VORTEX Messages added Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: MIME-version: 1.0 Content-type: TEXT/PLAIN; charset=US-ASCII X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIII, Probability=27%, Report=MANY_USER_AGENTS, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __MANY_USER_AGENTS, __USER_AGENT_PINE I've added the vortex messages to the Pacific-NW sub-topic. For information on how to interpret these messages see: http://www.hurricanehunters.com/vortex.htm ..Chris.. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 05:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF50028IL9ND3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 05:34:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JLYbxE048082 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:34:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JF3tu4039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:17:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 893384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:17:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JLHOG2007768 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:17:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JLHOhO023369 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:17:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JLHOuL023368 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:17:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 16:17:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305192117.h4JLHOuL023368@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 10.7N8 131.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N8 131.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 11.8N0 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.7N0 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 13.0N4 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 13.1N5 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 13.2N6 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 11.0N2 131.1E6. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 191812Z2 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) PASS REVEALS TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W IS FURTHER NORTHWEST THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. BASED ON THIS DATA, THE POSITION WAS RELOCATED ABOUT 120 NM TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. TD 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM WEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH REVEALS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANALYSIS OF 200MB SHOWS TD 03W EXISTS IN LINEAR FLOW ALOFT IN THE CONFLUENT SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. IT IS FORECASTED TO REMAIN WEAK FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. TD 03W IS FORECAST TO TRACK POLEWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE ENHANCED BY A PASSING SHORTWAVE AND THEN MORE WESTWARD AS A RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN BEHIND THE PASSING SHORTWAVE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8 AND 202100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT GRUBER, USAF// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 05:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500290LAMD3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 05:35:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JLZBxE048227 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 05:35:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JG0eCM049660; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:16:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 893293 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:14:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JLEMG2022676 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:14:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4JLELhO023278 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:14:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4JLELpM023277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 16:14:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 16:14:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305192114.h4JLELpM023277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 7.4N1 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.4N1 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 7.9N6 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 8.5N3 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 9.0N9 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 9.7N6 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 10.9N0 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 7.5N2 149.8E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 124 NM WEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED REVEALS THE SYSTEM CONTINUING TO BE ENHANCED BY A WESTERLY WINDBURST AS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED. ANALYSIS OF TS 04W AT 200MB SHOWS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8 AND 202100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NO NAME) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT GRUBER, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 09:53:32 2003 X-UIDL: 25191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500JR5VSE7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 09:21:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1LpxE000598 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:21:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4JF3tDG039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 20:15:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 897538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 20:15:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1FKG2048964 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 20:15:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K1FJhO027727 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 20:15:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K1FJxf027726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 20:15:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 20:15:19 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200115.h4K1FJxf027726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 682 URPA12 PGTW 200035 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 20/0035Z B. 07 DEG 17 MIN N 151 DEG 01 MIN E C. NA D. 025 KT E. 334 DEG 036 NM F. 034 DEG 26 KT G. 320 DEG 099 NM H. EXTRAP 999 MB I. 26 C/ 247 M J. 27 C/ 274 M K. 26 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 12345/1 O. 1.5/2 NM P. AF968 0203W CYCLONE OB 06 MAX FL WIND 26 KT NW QUAD 0005Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 10:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 25207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500JW3ZBK7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 10:38:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2c4xE028411 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:38:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvHw039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:32:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 898770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:29:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2TVG2034068 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:29:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K2TUhO028721 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:29:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K2TUkq028720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:29:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 21:29:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200229.h4K2TUkq028720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 42N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 165E TO 41N 172E 36N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 165E TO 38N 162E 35N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 12.0N 131.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07.2N 151.1E NEAR TRUK ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 42N 141E 43N 146E 51N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 28N 146E 28N 134E 33N 137E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 50N 141E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 29N 138E ENE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 11N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 55N 171E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 110E TO 22N 125E 29N 138E 31N 146E 34N 150E 35N 154E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 10:51:59 2003 X-UIDL: 25208-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF500JE8ZS07B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 10:48:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2lvxE031804 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:48:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvKE039196; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:44:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 899099 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:44:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2i9G2036778 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K2i9hO028919 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:44:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K2i98m028918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 21:44:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 21:44:09 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200244.h4K2i98m028918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 228 URPA12 PGTW 200216 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 20/0216Z B. 07 DEG 20 MIN N 151 DEG 06 MIN E C. NA D. 20 KT E. 040 DEG 015 NM F. 125 DEG 26 KT G. 033 DEG 006 NM H. EXTRAP 996 MB I. 25 C/ 316 M J. 27 C/ 302 M K. 25 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 12345/1 O. 1.0/2.0 NM P. AF968 0203W CYCLONE OB 09 MAX FL WIND 48 KT SE QUAD 0108Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 12:12:00 2003 X-UIDL: 25221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600J5N39V7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 12:03:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K43WxE061414 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:03:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2s1OA038324; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:58:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 900143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:58:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K3wCG2016974 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:58:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K3wBhO029786 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:58:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K3wB5i029785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 22:58:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 22:58:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200358.h4K3wB5i029785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPQ32 PGUM 200357 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST TUE MAY 20 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 04W RELOCATED CLOSER TO CHUUK ATOLL... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK ATOLL. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.9 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 70 MILES WEST OF CHUUK AND 590 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM 04W IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH AT 3 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. 04W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 3 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ82 PGUM... AND FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE CHUUK WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ MILLER +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 12:55:00 2003 X-UIDL: 25233-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JXN5MQ7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 12:54:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K4sRxE078308 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 12:54:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2s1SW038324; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:51:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 900616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:50:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K4oqG2017100 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:50:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K4ophO000275 for ; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:50:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K4opSU000274 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 19 May 2003 23:50:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 19 May 2003 23:50:51 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200450.h4K4opSU000274@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 103 URPA12 PGTW 200410 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 20/0409Z B. 07 DEG 29 MIN N 151 DEG 04 MIN E C. 850 MB 1382 M D. 030 KT E. 146 DEG 037 NM F. 227 DEG 036 KT G. 145 DEG 041 NM H. 996 MB I. 19 C/ 1501 M J. 22 C/ 1496 M K. 17 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 12345/8 O. 0.2/2.0 NM P. AF968 0203W CYCLONE OB 13 MAX FL WIND 67 KT S QUAD 0326Z. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 14:25:01 2003 X-UIDL: 25239-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JAF71K7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 13:24:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K5OvxE088300 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 13:24:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvSW039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:20:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 901255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:20:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K5K2G2033850 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:20:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K5K2hO000699 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:20:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K5K1Ku000698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 00:20:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 00:20:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 01e Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200520.h4K5K1Ku000698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 200400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01E WARNING NR/ 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 20000Z2 TO 230000Z5 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 01E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200300Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. B. 01E HAS GRADUALLY BECOME MORE ORGANIZED, AND ANALYSIS OF ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND A FAIRLY WELL DEFINED CONVECTIVE BAND OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. WESTERLY MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE AS THE SYSTEM FOLLOWS A WELL ESABLISHED MID LEVEL RIDGE. ALL AVALIABLE MODELS AGREE WITH THE WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THROUGH 48 HOURS DUE TO FAIR UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND WARM OCEAN TEMPERATURES, WITH DECREASING INTESNITY THEREAFTER OVER COOLER OCEAN TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT STORM INTENSITY DOES NOT WARRANT WIND RADII. FORECAST WIND RADII BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A MEDIUM-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RAINER/CATES/HEATH/SHERRY/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 14:25:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25245-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600J3R91R7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 14:08:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K68ExE003087 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 14:08:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvTS039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 901644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K63qG2025476 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K63phO001131 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K63pWf001129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 01:03:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200603.h4K63pWf001129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/200151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/200152ZMAY2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, AND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR 7.3N0 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 55 NM WEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 14:25:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JZG9CW7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 14:14:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K6EvxE005238 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 14:14:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvTg039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:10:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 901753 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:10:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K6A6G2035566 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:10:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K6A6hO001165 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:10:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K6A6PL001164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 01:10:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 01:10:06 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200610.h4K6A6PL001164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 739 URPA12 PGTW 200546 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 20/0546Z B. 07 DEG 38 MIN N 150 DEG 56 MIN E C. 850 MB 1385 M D. 15 KT E. 203 DEG 034 NM F. 279 DEG 36 KT G. 215 DEG 074 NM H. 996 MB I. 19 C/ 1505 M J. 23 C/ 1484 M K. 17 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 12345/8 O. 0.9/3.0 NM P. AF968 0203W CYCLONE OB 18 MAX FL WIND 58 KT S QUAD 0513Z. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 15:06:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JIBBP07B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 15:05:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K75HxE023791 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:05:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvV8039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 02:00:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 902134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 02:00:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K70PG2037462 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 02:00:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K70OhO001725 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 02:00:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K70Orw001724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 02:00:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 02:00:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200700.h4K70Orw001724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 200657 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 04W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST TUE MAY 20 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 04W NEAR CHUUK ATOLL... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK ATOLL. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.1 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 55 MILES WEST OF CHUUK AND 590 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM 04W IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH AT 3 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. 04W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 3 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ82 PGUM... AND FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE CHUUK WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 17:49:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25280-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JZGFJX7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 16:28:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8SexE055409 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:28:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvWi039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:22:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 902800 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:22:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8MTG2035370 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:22:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K8MThO002545 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:22:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K8MTxN002544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:22:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 03:22:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200822.h4K8MTxN002544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 7.6N3 151.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N3 151.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 8.4N2 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 9.3N2 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 10.2N3 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 11.3N5 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 13.2N6 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 7.8N5 151.0E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON THE 200530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND 200409Z5 AIR FORCE WC-130 DATA INDICATE THAT WHILE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE NOT APPRECIABLY UP OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS, THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING MORE WELL ORGANIZED AND REMAINS IN A VERY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 17:49:27 2003 X-UIDL: 25282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JHSFRA7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 16:33:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8XAxE057151 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:33:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvWk039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:28:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 902848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:28:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8SoG2035400 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K8SnhO002582 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K8SnCB002581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 03:28:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200828.h4K8SnCB002581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 07.8N 151.0E NORTHWEST OF TRUK MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 08.7N 150.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 167E TO 41N 176E 38N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 167E TO 37N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 158E TO 35N 154E 32N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 30N 139E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 139E TO 31N 143E 32N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 139E TO 25N 133E 22N 129E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 129E TO 20N 121E 20N 113E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12.9N 130.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 135E 36N 141E 41N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 30N 158E 26N 142E 25N 135E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 143E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 35N 120E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 57N 172E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 178E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 17:49:27 2003 X-UIDL: 25284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JCMG0F7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 16:38:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8cbxE059378 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:38:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K2s1oa038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:34:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 902900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:34:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K8YkG2015562 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:34:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K8YkhO002665 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:34:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K8YkM6002664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 03:34:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 03:34:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200834.h4K8YkM6002664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 12.8N1 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N1 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 13.7N1 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.3N8 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.0N4 130.6E0. TD 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 355 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF TACLOBAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), PREVIOUSLY APPARENT IN MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY, HAS NOW BECOME VERY POORLY DEFINED AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER THROUGH 24 HOURS IN AN UNFAVORBALE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 18:13:07 2003 X-UIDL: 25294-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JCNJA67B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 17:49:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K9nIxE085863 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 17:49:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvXc039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:44:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 903338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:44:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K9iZG2037560 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:44:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4K9iYhO003184 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:44:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4K9iY6W003183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 04:44:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 04:44:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305200944.h4K9iY6W003183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 200944 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 04W ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST TUE MAY 20 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 04W MOVING SLOWLY NORTH... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK ATOLL. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.0 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 65 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 575 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM 04W IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH AT 3 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. 04W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 3 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ82 PGUM... AND FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE CHUUK WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM WEDNESDAY. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 20:58:44 2003 X-UIDL: 25321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JQRRMI7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 20:49:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KCnSxE040643 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 20:49:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvcW039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 07:39:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 904749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 07:39:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KCdrG2026902 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 07:39:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KCdrhO004790 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 07:39:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KCdrUA004789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 07:39:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 07:39:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201239.h4KCdrUA004789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 201239 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 04W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST TUE MAY 20 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 04W BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK ATOLL. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 04W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.7 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 90 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 550 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM 04W IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH AT 3 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. 04W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 3 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W LOCAL STATEMENT UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ82 PGUM... AND FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE CHUUK WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM WEDNESDAY GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 20:58:44 2003 X-UIDL: 25322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600J2LRSA7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 20:52:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KCqwxE041673 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 20:53:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvdS039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 07:50:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 904983 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 07:50:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KCoVG2047510 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 07:50:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KCoVhO004968 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 07:50:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KCoVrM004967 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 07:50:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 07:50:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201250.h4KCoVrM004967@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 201200 WARNING 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 08.3N 150.7E NORTHWEST OF TRUK MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 09.5N 149.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 10.5N 148.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 12.0N 147.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 23:10:24 2003 X-UIDL: 25333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600J0XY027B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 23:07:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KF7FxE084236 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 23:07:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvlg039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 906885 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KEwUG2031566 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KEwThO009742 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KEwThM009740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201458.h4KEwThM009740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 8.0N8 150.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 150.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 8.8N6 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 9.7N6 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 10.6N7 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 11.6N8 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 13.6N0 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 8.2N0 150.6E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45 AND 55 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 201118Z3 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT TS 04W HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRIC, WITH GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW AND SPIRAL BANDING FEATURES, AND REMAINS IN A VERY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 23:10:25 2003 X-UIDL: 25334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600J1CY087B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 23:07:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KF7KxE084262 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 23:07:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KDBrWa038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 906888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KEwUG2018498 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KEwThO009741 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KEwTBm009738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 09:58:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 04w Warning Nr 07// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201458.h4KEwTBm009738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNING NR 07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 231200Z8 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON THE 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45 AND 55 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 201118Z3 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT TS 04W HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRIC, WITH GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW AND SPIRAL BANDING FEATURES, AND REMAINS IN A VERY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. B. TS 04W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A TRACK POLEWARD DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE PERIPHERAL MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE WEAKNESS WILL BE ENHANCED BY A MIGRATORY RIDGE MOVING EASTWARD FROM THE ASIAN CONTINENT. THE MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT THAT THIS WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE WILL PERSIST, WITH STEERING PROVIDED BY THE PERIPHERAL RIDGE CENTERED NORTHEAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, AND JTYM CONTINUE TO BE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GFDN WHICH KEEPS THE APPROACHING MIGRATORY RIDGE MUCH STRONGER THAN THE OTHER DYNAMIC MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS, IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN INTENSIFYING AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM, AND PERSISTENCE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 23:15:12 2003 X-UIDL: 25339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JQDYB87B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 23:13:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KFDvxE086391 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 23:13:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvlo039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:03:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 906949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:03:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KF39G2020806 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:03:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KF39hO009902 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:03:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KF399v009901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:03:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 10:03:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201503.h4KF399v009901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 172E TO 41N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 172E TO 38N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 161E TO 36N 154E 35N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 143E TO 33N 146E 35N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 143E TO 27N 138E 23N 133E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 133E TO 20N 126E 20N 121E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 136E 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 160E 25N 143E 26N 138E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13N 130E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 48N 144E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 33N 121E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 56N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 998 HPA AT 08.3N 150.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 20 23:45:40 2003 X-UIDL: 25345-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF600JMOZK67B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 20 May 2003 23:40:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KFerxE095358 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 23:40:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvpA039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:31:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 907579 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:31:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KFVsG2017218 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:31:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KFVshO010952 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:31:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KFVsQ8010951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 10:31:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 10:31:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201531.h4KFVsQ8010951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 201531 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST WED MAY 21 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM INTENSIFYING NEAR CHUUK... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK LAGOON. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.6 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 100 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 535 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 03:05:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JMM8SZ7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 03:00:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KJ0YxE054527 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 03:00:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvB8039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 13:52:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 911684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 13:52:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KIqFG2022168 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 13:52:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KIqFhO018239 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 13:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KIqEwg018238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 13:52:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 13:52:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201852.h4KIqEwg018238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 201800 WARNING 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 996 HPA AT 08.8N 150.7E NEAR TRUK MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 10.2N 149.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 11.5N 148.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 13.5N 147.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 03:15:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25370-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JR098N7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 03:09:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KJ9xxE058304 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 03:10:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4K1pvBM039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 14:02:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 911803 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 14:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KJ22G2037860 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 14:02:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KJ20hO018620 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 14:02:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KJ20Ul018619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 14:02:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 14:02:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305201902.h4KJ20Ul018619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 201901 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST WED MAY 21 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM INTENSIFYING NEAR CHUUK... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK LAGOON. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.0 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 150 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 490 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ C MA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 04:45:13 2003 X-UIDL: 25376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700J7FDAJ7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 04:37:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKbVxE086867 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 04:37:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KITrXw038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:31:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 913141 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKSIG2022828 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KKSIhO021567 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:28:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KKSIOG021566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:28:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 15:28:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202028.h4KKSIOG021566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 43N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 178E TO 41N 178W 39N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 178E TO 41N 171E 38N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 163E TO 37N 159E 35N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 144E TO 34N 148E 35N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 144E TO 28N 141E 24N 136E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 136E TO 21N 132E 20N 127E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 137E 36N 141E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 32N 180E 30N 164E 29N 141E 34N 137E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13N 130E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 47N 145E SE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 116E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 33N 122E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 55N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 996 HPA AT 08.8N 150.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 05:05:13 2003 X-UIDL: 25383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700JJNEGT7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 05:02:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KL2rxE092863 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 05:02:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KITrba038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:54:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 913577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:54:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKshG2037808 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:54:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KKshhO022501 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:54:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KKshI5022500 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 15:54:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 15:54:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202054.h4KKshI5022500@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 202100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 8.6N4 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.6N4 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 9.4N3 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 10.3N4 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 11.4N6 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.5N8 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 14.3N8 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 8.8N6 149.8E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45 AND 55 KNOTS. LATEST 201543Z5 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) PASS INDICATES THAT TS 04W IS CONTINUING TO CONSOLIDATE AND ORGANIZE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW IN BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD DIRECTIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6, 210900Z2, 211500Z9 AND 212100Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 05:35:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700J8JFT57B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 05:31:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KLVrxE099948 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 05:31:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7Lc039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:22:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 914047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:22:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KLMAG2043716 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:22:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KLMAhO023518 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:22:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KLMAGw023517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 16:22:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 16:22:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202122.h4KLMAGw023517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 202121 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST WED MAY 21 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM INTENSIFYING IN CHUUK STATE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK LAGOON. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 170 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 470 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. A SLOW NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 MPH. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION TO TYPHOON INTENSITY IS EXPECTED. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLTE ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ MUNDELL/MA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 07:25:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25396-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700DLMKPW8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 07:17:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KNHuxE027842 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 07:17:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KITrvw038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 18:06:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 915567 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 18:06:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KN6OG2023568 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 18:06:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4KN6NhO025445 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 18:06:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4KN6Np9025444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 18:06:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 18:06:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305202306.h4KN6Np9025444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 202100 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 008A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 8.6N4 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.6N4 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 9.4N3 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 10.3N4 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 11.4N6 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 12.5N8 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 14.3N8 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 8.8N6 149.8E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45 AND 55 KNOTS. LATEST 201543Z5 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) PASS INDICATES TS 04W IS CONTINUING TO CONSOLIDATE AND ORGANIZE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD OUTFLOW IN BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD DIRECTIONS. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: ADJUSTED BEST TRACK TO REDUCE INITIAL SPEED TO 06 KNOTS. FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY REMAINS THE SAME. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6, 210900Z2, 211500Z9 AND 212100Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 09:15:05 2003 X-UIDL: 25397-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700D3OOT68D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 08:46:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4L0kCxE052035 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 08:46:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7Xq039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:39:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 916843 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:39:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4L0dLG2046830 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:39:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4L0dKhO026358 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:39:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4L0dKMC026357 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:39:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 19:39:20 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305210039.h4L0dKMC026357@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 852 URPA12 PGTW 210021 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 21/0021Z B. 08 DEG 48 MIN N 150 DEG 20 MIN E C. 700 MB 3068 M D. 35 KT E. 297 DEG 89 NM F. 034 DEG 40 KT G. 294 DEG 075 NM H. 999 MB I. 11 C/ 3055 M J. 13 C/ 3059 M K. 11 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 123 /7 O. .1/5 NM P. AF963 0404W CHAN-HOM OB 06 MAX FL WIND 40 KT NW QUAD 2359Z. EXTRAP SLP 995MB 286/05NM LIGHT PRECIP INBOUND ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 09:15:05 2003 X-UIDL: 25399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700D4IPC68D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 08:57:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4L0vYxE055451 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 08:57:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7Yo039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:53:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 917004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:53:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4L0r3G2049852 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:53:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4L0qwhO026511 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:52:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4L0qwYu026510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:52:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 19:52:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305210052.h4L0qwYu026510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 210000 WARNING 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 994 HPA AT 08.8N 150.3E NORTHWEST OF TRUK MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 11.0N 149.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 12.5N 149.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 14.0N 148.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 09:15:05 2003 X-UIDL: 25400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700DGSPFY8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 08:59:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4L0xtxE056258 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 08:59:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KKJ7Z6039196; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:56:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 917044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4L0u2G2049730 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:56:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4L0u2hO026540 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:56:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4L0u1G7026539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 19:56:01 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305210056.h4L0u1G7026539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 905 URPA12 PGTW 210021 COR VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 21/0021Z B. 08 DEG 48 MIN N 150 DEG 20 MIN E C. 700 MB 3068 M D. 35 KT E. 297 DEG 89 NM F. 034 DEG 40 KT G. 294 DEG 075 NM H. 999 MB I. 11 C/ 3055 M J. 13 C/ 3059 M K. 11 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 12345/7 O. .1/5 NM P. AF963 0404W CHAN-HOM OB 06 MAX FL WIND 40 KT NW QUAD 2359Z. EXTRAP SLP 995MB 286/05NM LIGHT PRECIP INBOUND ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 21 09:15:06 2003 X-UIDL: 25402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF700DASPQW8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 09:06:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4L16TxE058639 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:06:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4KITrDK038324; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:59:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 917088 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:59:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4L0xUG2019682 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:59:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4L0xUhO026560 for ; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:59:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4L0xUdU026559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 20 May 2003 19:59:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 20 May 2003 19:59:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305210059.h4L0xUdU026559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 210059 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST WED MAY 21 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM INTENSIFYING IN CHUUK STATE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK LAGOON. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.1 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 150 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 480 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH. A SLOW NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 MPH. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION TO TYPHOON INTENSITY IS EXPECTED. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:11:20 2003 X-UIDL: 25475-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF800D1PS8E8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 21 May 2003 22:57:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LEvjxE040846 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 22:57:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LCbvUg018154; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:46:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 924517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:40:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LEeIG2023750 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:40:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LEeHhO006212 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:40:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LEeHaV006211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 09:40:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 09:40:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211440.h4LEeHaV006211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 36N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 154E TO 36N 157E 36N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 154E TO 27N 144E 23N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 147E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E 27N 153E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 15N 129E NNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 33N 124E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 40N 135E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 54N 168E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 985 HPA AT 10.0N 150.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 168W TO 41N 174W 40N 178E 38N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 160E TO 37N 165E 38N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 102E TO 25N 109E 25N 115E 21N 118E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:12:00 2003 X-UIDL: 25481-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF800DQTVFF8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 00:06:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LG6kxE062026 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:06:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LCbvik018154; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:49:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 925934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:49:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LFnjG2044440 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LFndhO008559 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LFndss008558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 10:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 10:49:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211549.h4LFndss008558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 211512 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST THU MAY 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM..ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.5 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 235 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 435 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 9 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED...OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER...BECOMING A TYPHOON IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:22 2003 X-UIDL: 25501-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF900DO937J8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 02:54:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LIsoxE017615 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:54:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVUE044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 13:43:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 928836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 13:43:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LIh0G2045680 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 13:43:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LIgxhO014703 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 13:42:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LIgxM6014702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 13:42:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 13:42:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211842.h4LIgxM6014702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 211800 WARNING 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 985 HPA AT 10.8N 150.5E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 45 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 14.2N 150.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 17.0N 149.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 21.0N 150.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:25 2003 X-UIDL: 25505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF900DP640W8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 03:12:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LJCRxE024170 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:12:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVVw044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 13:59:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 929149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 13:59:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LIxnG2042282 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 13:59:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LIxlhO015263 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 13:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LIxlW5015262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 13:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 13:59:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305211859.h4LIxlW5015262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 211859 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST THU MAY 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM NEARING TYPHOON INTENSITY... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM..ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.9 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 260 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND 445 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED...OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER...BECOMING A TYPHOON LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM. $$ C MA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:27 2003 X-UIDL: 25513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF900DLD7YK8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 04:37:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LKbQxE053760 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:37:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVdM044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:22:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:22:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LKMGG2017962 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:22:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LKMGhO018084 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:22:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LKMFDt018083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:22:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 15:22:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305212022.h4LKMFDt018083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 212100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 11.1N3 150.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 150.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 12.6N9 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 14.0N5 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 15.6N2 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 16.7N4 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 19.2N2 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 150.9E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. A RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) PASS INDICATES THAT TS 04W HAS BECOME MORE COMPACT, WITH GOOD BANDING FEATURES AND POLEWARD RADIAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7, 220900Z3, 221500Z0 AND 222100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:27 2003 X-UIDL: 25514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF900D9L8C58D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 04:45:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LKjaxE056105 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:45:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LJsFLe043910; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:29:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 930551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:29:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LKTPG2027184 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:29:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LKTOhO018331 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:29:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LKTO4u018330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 15:29:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 15:29:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305212029.h4LKTO4u018330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 38N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 157E TO 39N 162E 38N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 157E TO 30N 152E 23N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 24N 147E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 15N 128E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 33N 124E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 41N 138E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 55N 167E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 985 HPA AT 10.8N 150.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 163E TO 37N 169E 38N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 164W TO 40N 171W 39N 179E 38N 174E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:14:28 2003 X-UIDL: 25519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF900D559FV8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 05:09:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LL9QxE062779 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 05:09:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVkw044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:01:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 931521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:01:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LL11G2033694 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4LL10hO019413 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4LL105K019412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 16:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 16:01:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305212101.h4LL105K019412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 212100 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST THU MAY 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CHUUK CANCELLED... AS OF 7 AM GUAM LST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CHUUK HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM..ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.9 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 435 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 430 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH AT 9 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER...BECOMING A TYPHOON LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ MA/MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 08:56:25 2003 X-UIDL: 25536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007F4JPBA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 08:51:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M0p6xE025347 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:51:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV0C044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:44:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 934313 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:44:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M0ieG2046742 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:44:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M0idhO023629 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:44:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M0idiJ023628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:44:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 19:44:39 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220044.h4M0idiJ023628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 954 URPA12 PGTW 220019 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 22/0019Z B. 11 DEG 48 MIN N 151 DEG 05 MIN E C. 700 MB 2982 M D. 35 KT E. 281 DEG 35 NM F. 358 DEG 34 KT G. 273 DEG 024 NM H. 988 MB I. 11 C/ 3064 M J. 11 C/ 3065 M K. 10 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. 20NM N. 1234 /7 O. .1 / 2 NM P. AF968 0604W CHAN-HOM OB 04 MAX FL WIND 34 KT W QUAD 0012Z. MAX FL TEMP 12C 120/16 NM FROM FL CNTR ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 09:06:28 2003 X-UIDL: 25537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF90078LK22A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 08:58:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M0wixE028595 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:58:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV0K044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:52:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 934376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:52:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M0qSG2023612 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:52:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M0qRhO023717 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:52:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M0qRd4023716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:52:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 19:52:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220052.h4M0qRd4023716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 220000 WARNING 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 980 HPA AT 11.3N 150.8E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 14.7N 150.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 17.5N 149.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 21.5N 151.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 09:06:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF90073DKDAA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 09:05:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M15TxE031227 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:05:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV0Q044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:58:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 934417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:58:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M0wBG2039592 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:58:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M0wAhO023811 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M0wAHt023810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 19:58:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 19:58:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220058.h4M0wAHt023810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 220057 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST THU MAY 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH AND INTENSIFY... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM..ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.0 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 435 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 420 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH AT 8 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS NEARING TYPHOON INTENSITY...AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TYPHOON THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 09:36:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25542-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007DNLEPA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 09:28:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M1RuxE040238 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:27:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV0k044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 20:21:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 934591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 20:21:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M1L6G2017254 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 20:21:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M1L6hO024118 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 20:21:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M1L64P024117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 20:21:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 20:21:06 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220121.h4M1L64P024117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 575 URPA12 PGTW 220019 COR VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 22/0019Z B. 11 DEG 48 MIN N 151 DEG 05 MIN E C. 700 MB 2982 M D. 35 KT E. 281 DEG 35 NM F. 358 DEG 34 KT G. 273 DEG 024 NM H. 988 MB I. 11 C/ 3064 M J. 11 C/ 3065 M K. 10 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C20 N. 1234 /7 O. .1 / 2 NM P. AF968 0604W CHAN-HOM OB 04 MAX FL WIND 34 KT W QUAD 0012Z. MAX FL TEMP 12C 120/16 NM FROM FL CNTR ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 10:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF90076KOEDA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 10:32:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2WXxE064605 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:32:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV2a044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935049 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2REG2007682 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M2RAhO024811 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M2RAZj024810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:10 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220227.h4M2RAZj024810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 694 URPA12 PGTW 220156 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 22/0156Z B. 12 DEG 04 MIN N 151 DEG 12 MIN E C. 700 MB 2965 M D. 40 KT E. 53 DEG 53 NM F. 161 DEG 66 KT G. 057 DEG 034 NM H. 986 MB I. 12 C/ 3066 M J. 12 C/ 3064 M K. 11 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. CO12-18 N. 1234 /7 O. .1/ 2 NM P. AF968 0604W CHAN-HOM OB 10 MAX FL WIND 66 KT E QUAD 0146Z. MAX FL TEMP 14C 55/24 NM FROM FL CNTR ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 10:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF90077AOENA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 10:32:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2WgxE064652 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:32:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV2Y044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:26:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935046 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:26:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2QeG2008736 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:26:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M2QehO024802 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M2Qd3k024800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:26:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 21:26:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220226.h4M2Qd3k024800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 013 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 04W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 11.8N0 151.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 151.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 13.3N7 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 14.7N2 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 15.9N5 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.9N6 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 20.4N6 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 150.9E5. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 212204Z1 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BANDING EYE FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 10:40:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25558-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF90078DOEYA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 10:32:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2WrxE064710 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:32:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV2e044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935055 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2RRG2020952 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M2RRhO024816 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M2RRiF024815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 21:27:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220227.h4M2RRiF024815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 39N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 159E TO 40N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 163E TO 38N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 163E TO 22N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 32N 164E 28N 153E 29N 147E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 15N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 139E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 54N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 175E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 980 HPA AT 11.3N 150.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 10:51:35 2003 X-UIDL: 25562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF900758OZ5A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 10:45:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2ixxE069035 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:45:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV2o044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:39:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935147 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:39:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M2doG2039278 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:39:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M2dohO024942 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:39:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M2dnfn024941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 21:39:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 21:39:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 04w Warning Nr 13// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220239.h4M2dnfn024941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 04W WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 220000Z4 TO 250000Z7 MAY 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 212204Z1 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BANDING EYE FEATURE. B. TY 04W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. THIS WEAKNESS IS BEING ENHANCED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST OF JAPAN. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), AND AFWA MM5 REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY STEADILY THROUGH 48 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW BEING PROVIDED BY A DEVELOPING TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTER 48 HOURS, TY 04W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE POLEWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY IN A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN INTENSIFYING AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/SHERRY/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 12:21:11 2003 X-UIDL: 25574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF90071DT7SA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 12:16:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M4GWxE002547 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:16:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV4u044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:04:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935698 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:04:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M44dG2038186 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:04:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M44dhO025764 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M44dia025763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:04:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 23:04:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220404.h4M44dia025763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 220356 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAN-HOM ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST THU MAY 22 2003 ..CHAN-HOM..NOW A TYPHOON..CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM..ROTA..TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.9 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 420 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 400 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH AT 8 MPH. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 12.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO TYPHOON CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 12:21:11 2003 X-UIDL: 25575-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007GGTC4A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 12:19:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M4JAxE003384 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 12:19:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV5w044412; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:12:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 935784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:12:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M4CeG2038244 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:12:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M4CehO025857 for ; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M4Cejx025856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 21 May 2003 23:12:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 21 May 2003 23:12:40 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220412.h4M4Cejx025856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 998 URPA12 PGTW 220343 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 22/0343Z B. 12 DEG 26 MIN N 151 DEG 11 MIN E C. 700 MB 2952 M D. 50 KT E. 134 DEG 81 NM F. 193 DEG 67 KT G. 134 DEG 043 NM H. 985 MB I. 10 C/ 3071 M J. 13 C/ 3068 M K. 12 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C18 N. 12345/7 O. .1/ 6 NM P. AF968 0604W CHAN-HOM OB 16 MAX FL WIND 67 KT E QUAD 0330Z. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 14:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 25587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF90074BY1LA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 14:00:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M60sxE036389 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 14:00:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjV9a044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 936947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M5qQG2036582 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M5qQhO026755 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M5qQih026753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 00:52:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220552.h4M5qQih026753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/220152ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 14:21:09 2003 X-UIDL: 25589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HF9007QAYYJA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 14:20:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M6KfxE042670 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 14:20:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVCY044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:11:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 937229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:11:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M6BpG2039638 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:11:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M6BohO026955 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:11:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M6BoXd026954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:11:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 01:11:50 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220611.h4M6BoXd026954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 569 URPA12 PGTW 220538 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 22/0540Z B. 12 DEG 44 MIN N 151 DEG 11 MIN E C. 700 MB 2944 M D. 35 KT E. 234 DEG 13 NM F. 290 DEG 47 KT G. 226 DEG 094 NM H. 983 MB I. 10 C/ 3074 M J. 11 C/ 3065 M K. 11 C/ NA L. OPEN SW M. E06/16/8 N. 12345/7 O. .1/ NM P. AF968 0604W CHAN-HOM OB 21 MAX FL WIND 67 KT E QUAD 0330Z. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 15:01:09 2003 X-UIDL: 25597-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA0073H0EIA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 14:51:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M6plxE052391 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 14:51:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVD8044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:45:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 937439 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:45:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M6j9G2011426 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:45:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M6j9hO027180 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:45:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M6j8x3027179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 01:45:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 01:45:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220645.h4M6j8x3027179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 220600 WARNING 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 980 HPA AT 12.7N 151.3E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 16.9N 150.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 19.5N 149.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 25.0N 152.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 15:21:10 2003 X-UIDL: 25600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA0076R1HOA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 15:15:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M7FJxE059728 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:15:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVDs044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:07:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 937627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:06:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M76xG2009874 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:06:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M76whO027396 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:06:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M76wcH027395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:06:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 02:06:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220706.h4M76wcH027395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 220706 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAN-HOM INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST THU MAY 22 2003 ..TYPHOON CHAN-HOM CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE... ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.1 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 430 MILES EAST OF GUAM AND 395 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 12.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO TYPHOON CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 16:11:28 2003 X-UIDL: 25604-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007H23Q2A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 16:03:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M83YxE076981 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:03:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVEO044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:55:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 937849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:55:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M7tGG2039486 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:55:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M7tGhO027808 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:55:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M7tFvZ027807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 02:55:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 02:55:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220755.h4M7tFvZ027807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 12.7N0 151.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 151.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 14.4N9 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 15.9N5 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.4N2 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.7N6 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 21.9N2 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 13.1N5 151.1E8. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN AIR FORCE RECON FLIGHT FIX AT 220530Z2. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL A SPIRAL BAND CONTINUES TO BE PRESENT. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED WEST OF THE SPIRAL BAND AS IT CURVES IN TOWARD THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0, 222100Z7, 230300Z8 AND 230900Z4. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 16:47:03 2003 X-UIDL: 25611-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007J95ICA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 16:42:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M8g9xE094469 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:42:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4LGjVEg044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:28:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 938094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:28:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M8SbG2047372 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:28:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M8SahO028221 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M8Saai028220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 03:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 03:28:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220828.h4M8Saai028220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 41N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 41N 164E 41N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 166E TO 39N 173E 38N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 166E TO 32N 159E 27N 147E 21N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 165E 60N 180E 34N 180E 33N 164E 25N 150E 25N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 127E ENE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 13N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 14N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 143E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 55N 167E NNE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 178E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 980 HPA AT 12.7N 151.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 104E TO 24N 112E 27N 120E 26N 125E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 17:41:33 2003 X-UIDL: 25624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA0073686QA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 17:40:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M9dwxE014709 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 17:40:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M9MUGG044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:30:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 938617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:30:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M9UhG2026850 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:30:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4M9UghO028839 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4M9UgIa028836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 04:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 04:30:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305220930.h4M9UgIa028836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 220930 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAN-HOM ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST THU MAY 22 2003 ..THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR GUAM AND ROTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED... ..TYPHOON CHAN-HOM CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH... THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR GUAM AND ROTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS OF 8 PM. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE... ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.1 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 425 MILES EAST OF GUAM AND 385 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO TYPHOON CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 2 AM FRIDAY GUAM LST. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 21:45:13 2003 X-UIDL: 25641-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA00IIEIOR8N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 21:26:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MDQkxE079662 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:26:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M4OS3e015458; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:15:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 940534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:04:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MD4KG2027252 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:04:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MD4JhO001180 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:04:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MD4I0s001178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:04:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 08:04:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221304.h4MD4I0s001178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 221200 WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 980 HPA AT 13.2N 151.4E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 17.0N 150.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 20.0N 150.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 26.0N 152.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 21:45:13 2003 X-UIDL: 25642-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA00ILNIS58N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 21:28:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MDSmxE080366 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:28:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4M9MUOG044412; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:16:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 940553 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:05:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MD5nG2015846 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:05:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MD5nhO001208 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:05:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MD5nA3001207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 08:05:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 08:05:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221305.h4MD5nA3001207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 221300 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAN-HOM INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST THU MAY 22 2003 ..TYPHOON CHAN-HOM CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH... THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR GUAM AND ROTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS OF 8 PM. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE... ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.2 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 435 MILES EAST OF GUAM AND 390 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH AT 7 MPH. A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCAL AREA REFER TO TYPHOON CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM FRIDAY GUAM LST. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 23:54:34 2003 X-UIDL: 25650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007K3P67A8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 23:46:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MFkqxE022240 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:46:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExWRA037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:38:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 942710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MEXCG2033828 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MEXAhO003997 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:33:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MEXAcJ003996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:33:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 09:33:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221433.h4MEXAcJ003996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 42N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 163E TO 42N 165E 42N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 40N 173E 37N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 31N 160E 27N 148E 20N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 50N 156E 60N 165E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 163E 24N 147E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 130E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 14N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 128E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 145E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 56N 169E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 980 HPA AT 13.2N 151.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 104E TO 24N 112E 27N 122E 26N 127E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 22 23:54:34 2003 X-UIDL: 25653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA00IIBPAP8N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 22 May 2003 23:49:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MFnYxE023069 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 23:49:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExWQg030500; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:33:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 942107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:06:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ME6pG2054190 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:06:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4ME6ohO002926 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:06:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4ME6oro002925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 09:06:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 09:06:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221406.h4ME6oro002925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 13.2N6 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 14.7N2 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.2N9 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.4N2 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 19.0N0 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 22.3N7 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 151.1E8. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASSES AT 220818Z1 AND 221049Z8 INDICATE THAT THE BANDING EYE FEATURE REMAINS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 00:24:34 2003 X-UIDL: 25657-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007C8QIMA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 00:15:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MGFtxE031502 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:15:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExWlc037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 11:01:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 945233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:44:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MFi3G2053196 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:44:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MFi2hO006518 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:44:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MFi2ap006517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 10:44:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 10:44:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221544.h4MFi2ap006517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 221543 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAN-HOM ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 1 AM GUAM LST FRI MAY 23 2003 ..TYPHOON CHAN-HOM PASSES EAST OF GUAM... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE... ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.1 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 425 MILES EAST OF GUAM AND 375 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH AT 7 MPH. A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:16:56 2003 X-UIDL: 25668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA00IEXY6S8N@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 03:01:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MJ1axE083848 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:01:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExW70037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:53:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 949380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:52:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MIqxG2036398 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:52:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MIqwhO013177 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:52:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MIqw5Q013176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:52:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 13:52:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221852.h4MIqw5Q013176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 221800 WARNING 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 975 HPA AT 14.4N 151.4E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 17.7N 150.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 21.5N 151.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 29.5N 155.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:16:56 2003 X-UIDL: 25670-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFA007GPY2HA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 02:59:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MIx2xE082350 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:59:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MExW6U037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:47:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 949202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:47:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MIlEG2051070 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:47:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MIlDhO012974 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:47:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MIlD7w012973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 13:47:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 13:47:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305221847.h4MIlD7w012973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 221847 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAN-HOM INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST FRI MAY 23 2003 ..TYPHOON CHAN-HOM PASSES EAST OF ROTA... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE... ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.3 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 440 MILES EAST OF GUAM AND 375 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN AND 385 MILES EAST OF TINIAN. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 14.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:16:56 2003 X-UIDL: 25671-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB007CD2AJA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 04:30:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MKUBxE012812 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 04:30:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OGM037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:10:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 950765 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:10:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MKAnG2023552 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:10:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MKAmhO015892 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:10:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MKAmwj015891 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 15:10:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 15:10:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305222010.h4MKAmwj015891@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 14.2N7 151.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 151.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 15.8N4 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.3N1 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.9N8 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.4N6 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.5N1 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.6N1 151.2E9. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 77 KNOTS. RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER DEPICTS A TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING EYE FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8, 230900Z4, 231500Z1 AND 232100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 07:17:27 2003 X-UIDL: 25675-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB007BN5UUA8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 05:47:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MLlDxE036273 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 05:47:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OM4037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:36:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 952352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MLavG2048856 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:36:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4MLarhO018291 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:36:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4MLarhQ018290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 16:36:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 16:36:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305222136.h4MLarhQ018290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 222136 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAN-HOM ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST FRI MAY 23 2003 ..TYPHOON CHAN-HOM PASSES EAST OF ROTA... A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN. THE TYPHOON WATCH MAY BE CANCELLED DURING THE AFTERNOON IF IT CONTINUES ON ITS PRESENT MOTION. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.2 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 440 MILES EAST OF GUAM AND 370 MILES EAST OF SAIPAN AND 375 MILES EAST OF TINIAN. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. CHAN-HOM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 14.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR WEATHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON CHAN-HOM LOCAL STATEMENT WTPQ82 PGUM. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 09:00:54 2003 X-UIDL: 25692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00MVLEOM9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 08:57:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N0vnxE078133 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 08:57:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OTa037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 19:48:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 954670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 19:48:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N0mOG2045494 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 19:48:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N0mNhO020881 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 19:48:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N0mNhN020880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 19:48:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 19:48:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230048.h4N0mNhN020880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 230000 WARNING 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 975 HPA AT 15.0N 151.0E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 18.4N 150.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 23.0N 152.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 30.5N 157.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 09:09:24 2003 X-UIDL: 25693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00M3RF4F9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 09:07:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N17NxE081185 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:07:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OUC037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 19:58:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 954787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 19:58:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N0w0G2052436 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 19:58:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N0w0hO020960 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 19:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N0w0w9020959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 19:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 19:58:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230058.h4N0w0w9020959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPQ32 PGUM 230057 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON CHAN-HOM INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST FRI MAY 23 2003 ..TYPHOON WATCH FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN CANCELLED... AS OF 11 AM...THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE TYPHOON REMAINS WELL EAST OF THE MARIANAS. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE EYE OF TYPHOON CHAN-HOM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.1 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 360 MILES EAST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN. CHAN-HOM IS MOVING NORTH AT 8 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 14.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 80 MPH. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ISSUED ON TYPHOON CHAN-HOM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 10:32:40 2003 X-UIDL: 25702-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00M2AIOW9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 10:24:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N2OQxE006281 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 10:24:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OYi037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:15:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:15:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N2FjG2014308 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:15:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N2FjhO021797 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:15:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N2Fi3K021796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:15:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 21:15:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230215.h4N2Fi3K021796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 14.9N4 151.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 151.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.6N3 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 18.1N0 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 19.5N5 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 21.5N8 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 25.6N3 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 151.0E7. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222300Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 102 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4, 231500Z1, 232100Z8 AND 240300Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 10:42:40 2003 X-UIDL: 25705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00MOZJ5R9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 10:34:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N2YZxE009782 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 10:34:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OZ6037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:27:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N2RjG2053242 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N2RfhO021890 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N2RfoZ021889 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 21:27:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230227.h4N2RfoZ021889@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 43N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 167E TO 44N 170E 44N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 172E TO 42N 180E 35N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 172E TO 39N 170E 32N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 163E TO 29N 157E 27N 150E 24N 147E 22N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 43N 141E 46N 150E 54N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 28N 160E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 14N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 40N 147E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 50N 153E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 57N 170E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 179E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 975 HPA AT 15.0N 151.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 107E TO 25N 120E 26N 125E 26N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 10:52:41 2003 X-UIDL: 25709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00M9FJWB9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 10:50:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N2oVxE014857 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 10:50:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OZY037048; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:43:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 955860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:43:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N2h3G2042544 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:43:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N2h3hO022021 for ; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:43:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N2h3bj022020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 22 May 2003 21:43:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 22 May 2003 21:43:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 04w Warning Nr 17// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230243.h4N2h3bj022020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 04W WARNING NR 17// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 230000Z5 TO 260000Z8 MAY 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222300Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 102 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 20NM DIAMETER EYE. B. TY 04W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. THIS WEAKNESS IS BEING ENHANCED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING EASTWARD AND WELL NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. A SECOND SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL FURTHER ERODE THE RIDGE LATER IN THE PERIOD, EFFECTING A MORE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE MID-PERIOD FOR TRACK DIRECTION. AFTERWARDS, THE MODELS VARY AS TO THE SPEED OF ADVANCE FOR THE SYSTEM. JTYM INTERACTS THE SYSTEM RATHER QUICKLY WHILE BEING COMPENSATED BY EGRR, THE SLOWEST OF THE MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY STEADILY THROUGH 48 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW POTENTIAL PROVIDED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) EAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 48 HOURS, TY 04W IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING UNDER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN INTENSIFYING AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 16:22:38 2003 X-UIDL: 25726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00M8ISPO9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 14:01:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N60wxE077814 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:00:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OhE037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 957603 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N5rgG2020914 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N5rghO023399 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N5rgT2023397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 00:53:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230553.h4N5rgT2023397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/230152ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 151.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 16:22:39 2003 X-UIDL: 25732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00MU0VCA9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 14:57:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N6vjxE096865 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:57:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3Oi6037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 01:48:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 957857 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 01:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N6mUG2030532 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 01:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N6mThO023759 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 01:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N6mT5g023758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 01:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 01:48:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 965 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230648.h4N6mT5g023758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 230600 WARNING 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 965 HPA AT 15.6N 151.2E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 19.0N 150.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 23.0N 152.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 29.0N 155.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 16:22:42 2003 X-UIDL: 25739-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00M3VY5H9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 15:58:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N7wUxE017096 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:58:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3Ok8037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:53:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 958306 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:53:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N7r0G2052568 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:53:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N7r0hO024156 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:53:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N7r02M024155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 02:53:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 02:53:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230753.h4N7r02M024155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 230900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 15.6N2 151.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 151.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.0N8 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.6N5 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.2N4 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 22.1N5 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 27.5N4 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.9N5 151.0E7. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 TO 102 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1, 232100Z8, 240300Z9 AND 240900Z5. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 16:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 25744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFB00MNBZW29D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 16:36:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N8a2xE030543 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 16:36:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OkE037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:27:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 958437 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4N8RiG2052336 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:27:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4N8RhhO024506 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4N8Rh6t024505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 03:27:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 03:27:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305230827.h4N8Rh6t024505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 43N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 171E TO 44N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 38N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 38N 175E 31N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 162E TO 27N 148E 22N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 162E 27N 156E 31N 147E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 31N 169E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 41N 148E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 51N 156E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 56N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 177E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 965 HPA AT 15.6N 151.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 105E TO 25N 112E 26N 117E 26N 123E 25N 129E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 21:22:45 2003 X-UIDL: 25771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MFTCF99D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 21:06:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ND6mxE010844 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:06:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NAQ6Q4016060; Fri, 23 May 2003 07:57:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 960013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 07:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NCtXG2018622 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 07:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NCtXhO025992 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 07:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NCtXsL025991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 07:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 07:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231255.h4NCtXsL025991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 231200 WARNING 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 950 HPA AT 16.5N 151.6E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 20.1N 152.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 24.5N 153.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 29.5N 157.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 23:23:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MU2FMW9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 22:16:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NEGBxE031536 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:16:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NAQ6aq016060; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:05:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 961022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:05:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NE5IG2030452 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:05:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NE5IhO027545 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NE5IvU027544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 09:05:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231405.h4NE5IvU027544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 16.4N1 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 18.1N0 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 19.6N6 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 21.3N6 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 23.3N8 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 28.5N5 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 151.4E1. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SYMMETRICAL EYE 15 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9, 240900Z5 AND 241500Z2. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 23:23:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00M2WFSQ9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 22:19:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NEJfxE032351 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:19:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OuY037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:06:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 961037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:06:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NE6NG2014084 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:06:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NE6NhO027586 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:06:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NE6Ni2027585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:06:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 09:06:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 04w Warning Nr 19// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231406.h4NE6Ni2027585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 04W WARNING NR 19// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 261200Z1 MAY 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SYMMETRICAL EYE 15 NM IN DIAMETER. B. TY 04W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. THIS WEAKNESS IS BEING ENHANCED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING EASTWARD AND WELL NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TRACK SPEED WILL INCREASE AND A MORE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK IS FORECAST DURING THE MID-PERIOD AS THE RIDGE IS FURTHER ERODED BY A SECOND SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY TRACKING OFF JAPAN. NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN INTERACTING WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND START EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AND UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR) REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR TRACK DIRECTION AND ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT FOR TRACK SPEED. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY STEADILY THROUGH 24 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW POTENTIAL PROVIDED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) EAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 36 HOURS, TY 04W IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING UNDER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN INTENSIFYING AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 23 23:23:14 2003 X-UIDL: 25775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MFWH5O9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 23 May 2003 22:49:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NEn3xE040571 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:49:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3Oxw037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:38:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 961491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:38:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NEcVG2051568 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:38:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NEcVhO028556 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:38:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NEcVx5028555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 09:38:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 09:38:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231438.h4NEcVx5028555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 175E TO 44N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 177W TO 37N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 177W TO 34N 173E 30N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 162E TO 29N 156E 28N 148E 22N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 28N 117E CENTRAL CHINA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 28N 117E TO 25N 126E. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 117E TO 25N 112E 24N 106E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 146E 32N 147E 33N 157E 29N 159E 27N 152E 26N 149E 28N 146E FOR NEXT 12HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 143E 39N 142E 42N 143E 48N 153E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 179W 33N 180E 29N 164E 34N 156E 34N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 15N 132E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 150E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 49N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 56N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 175E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 950 HPA AT 16.5N 151.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 03:39:05 2003 X-UIDL: 25784-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00M20MUQ9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 00:52:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NGpxxE079348 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 00:52:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3O5s037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:45:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 962617 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:45:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NGj1G2051638 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:45:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NGithO002128 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:44:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NGitNk002127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 11:44:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 11:44:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231644.h4NGitNk002127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 231500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 019A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 16.4N1 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 18.1N0 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 19.6N6 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 21.3N6 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 23.3N8 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 28.5N5 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 151.4E1. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SYMMETRICAL EYE 15 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9, 240900Z5 AND 241500Z2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADJUSTED STORM DIRECTION IN REMARKS. RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 03:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 25795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00176SYRZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 03:04:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJ46xE020369 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 03:04:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OBY037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 13:51:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 963785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 13:51:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NIptG2057054 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 13:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NIpthO005664 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 13:51:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NIptq5005663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 13:51:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 13:51:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231851.h4NIptq5005663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 231800 WARNING 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 940 HPA AT 17.4N 151.5E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 21.8N 152.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 28.5N 156.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 38.0N 161.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 03:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 25797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MPKTMJ9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 03:18:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJIMxE025951 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 03:18:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4MK3OC6037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 963944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJ9NG2051616 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NJ9MhO006261 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NJ9MIx006259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 14:09:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305231909.h4NJ9MIx006259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 231900 GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/231900Z/240600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/231352ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 231200Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 151.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 231500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 14.1N6 114.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANALYSIS OF 200 MB INDICATES THE LLCC EXISTS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF AN ANTICYCLONE ANCHORED OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN BRINGING CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/ALLEN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 08:59:39 2003 X-UIDL: 25801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MI4XD79D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 04:39:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NKdBxE053234 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:39:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXJg037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:32:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 965254 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:32:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NKWEG2039558 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:32:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NKWEhO008802 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:32:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NKWEEq008801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:32:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 15:32:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305232032.h4NKWEEq008801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 178E TO 45N 178W 44N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 175W TO 41N 171W 38N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 175W TO 36N 179E 33N 171E 31N 164E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 164E TO 29N 156E 28N 149E 22N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 29N 121E LOWER CHANG JIANG MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 121E TO 28N 125E 25N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 121E TO 26N 117E 24N 112E 24N 105E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 147E 37N 161E 34N 162E 28N 149E 36N 147E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 142E 40N 142E 44N 147E 48N 154E 60N 165E 60N 179E 33N 180E 28N 163E 34N 156E 34N 150E 36N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 17N 136E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 46N 154E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 175E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 940 HPA AT 17.4N 151.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 08:59:41 2003 X-UIDL: 25803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFC00MLDYPI9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 05:08:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NL89xE062072 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 05:08:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXKU037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:52:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 965476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:52:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NKqcG2039658 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:52:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4NKqchO009376 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4NKqcop009375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 15:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 15:52:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305232052.h4NKqcop009375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 232100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 17.4N2 151.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 151.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 19.5N5 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 21.7N0 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.5N1 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 27.7N6 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 34.8N5 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 151.8E5. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS AND 127 KNOTS. TY 04W CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY; SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 10 NM DIAMETER, SYMMETRICAL EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9, 240900Z5, 241500Z2 AND 242100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 08:59:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001OI9DYZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 08:58:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O0wlxE014306 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:58:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXcY037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 19:52:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 969014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 19:52:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O0q5G2038492 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 19:52:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O0q4hO013455 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 19:52:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O0q4s6013454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 19:52:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 19:52:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240052.h4O0q4s6013454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 240000 WARNING 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 940 HPA AT 18.4N 151.4E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 23.1N 152.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 30.0N 156.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 39.5N 164.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. 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From - Sat May 24 11:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 25828-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001WEDTMZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 10:34:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O2YbxE039618 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 10:34:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXiQ037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:28:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 970367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O2SNG2051540 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O2SNhO014584 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O2SNhY014583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 21:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 21:28:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240228.h4O2SNhY014583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 45N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 179E TO 45N 177W 44N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 175W TO 43N 171W 39N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 175W TO 33N 177E 29N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 163E TO 28N 151E 22N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 30N 123E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 28N 126E 26N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 25N 117E 23N 105E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 145E 32N 145E 35N 155E 28N 159E 25N 145E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 146E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 27N 180E 26N 160E 35N 150E 40N 146E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 45N 153E ENE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 940 HPA AT 18.4N 151.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 11:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 25831-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD0014WG2TZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 11:23:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3NKxE053593 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:23:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXje037048; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:17:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 970751 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:17:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3HUG2036090 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:17:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O3HUhO015062 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:17:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O3HUsJ015061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:17:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 22:17:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240317.h4O3HUsJ015061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 18.2N1 151.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 151.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 20.3N5 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 22.8N2 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 26.0N8 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 30.3N6 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 38.3N4 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.7N6 151.8E5. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS AND 127 KNOTS. A 232039Z9 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROVAVE IMAGER PASS REVEALS A 12 NM DIAMETER SYMMETRICAL EYE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR ENTRAINING INTO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF TY 04W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5, 241500Z2, 242100Z9 AND 250300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 12:29:01 2003 X-UIDL: 25836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001QLHW5Z7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 12:02:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O42XxE065494 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 12:02:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3tAGI008118; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 971034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3usG2049348 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O3urhO015396 for ; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O3urJL015394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 23 May 2003 22:56:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 04w Warning Nr 21// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240356.h4O3urJL015394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 240300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 04W WARNING NR 21// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 240000Z6 TO 270000Z9 MAY 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS AND 127 KNOTS. A 232039Z9 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS REVEALS A 12 NM DIAMETER SYMMETRICAL EYE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR ENTRAINING INTO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF TY 04W. B. TS 04W CONTINUES TO TRACK POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND IS STEERING TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST TEMPORARILY ENHANCING THE OUTFLOW ALOFT. MID-WAY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, TY 04W WILL LINK UP WITH THIS SHORTWAVE, TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AND ACCELERATE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST; TY 04W IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, JGSM, JTYM, COAMPS AND MM5 ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST TRACK OF THIS SCENARIO. HOWEVER, THE MODELS ARE CLUSTERED INTO TWO SOLUTIONS IN TERMS OF THE FORECAST SPEED. AVN, EGRR AND JTYM MERGE TY 04W AND THE SHORTWAVE TOGETHER AND FORECAST IT TO RECURVE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. NOGAPS, GFDN AND JGSM FORECAST TY 04W TO STAY INDEPENDENT OF THE SHORTWAVE RESULTING IN A MUCH SLOWER SPEED. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS, GFDN AND JGSM. C. TY 04W HAS INTENSIFIED DUE TO ENHANCED OUTFLOW FROM THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE AND THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL TO THE EAST. WITH DRY AIR NOW ENTRAINING INTO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT, TY O4W IS THOUGHT TO HAVE REACHED PEAK INTENSITY. TY 04W SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AT FIRST AS DRY AIR ENTRAINS AND THEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON 232000Z7 QUICKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN INTENSIFYING AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED DATE IN MANOP AND DATES AND TIMES IN PARA 2. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/KELSEY/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:47:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001OQNOKZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 14:07:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O67YxE000649 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 14:07:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXrU037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 972153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O61eG2038246 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O61dhO016476 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O61dmB016474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 01:01:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240601.h4O61dmB016474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/240152ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N1 151.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:47:27 2003 X-UIDL: 25848-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001KPPXWZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 14:56:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O6uKxE012219 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 14:56:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXsi037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:50:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 972472 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:50:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O6o3G2034090 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:50:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O6o2hO016813 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:50:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O6o2lC016812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 01:50:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 01:50:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240650.h4O6o2lC016812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 240600 WARNING 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 940 HPA AT 19.3N 152.1E SOUTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 24.0N 154.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 32.0N 158.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 42.0N 167.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:47:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFD001RNY53Z7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 17:53:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O9rUxE059310 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 17:53:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXuE037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:47:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 973089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:47:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O9lWG2052542 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:47:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4O9lVhO017771 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:47:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4O9lVYs017770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 04:47:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 04:47:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305240947.h4O9lVYs017770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 240900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 19.4N4 152.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 152.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 21.8N1 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.3N9 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 28.0N0 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 32.4N9 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.0N2 152.4E2. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 820 NM WEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS KNOTS. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS AN IRREGULAR 14 NM EYE, HOWEVER THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ENTRAIN DRY AIR INTO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2, 242100Z9, 250300Z0 AND 250900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:48:10 2003 X-UIDL: 25865-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE001BS6JGZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 20:54:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OCstxE099400 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 20:54:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtX1Q037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 07:49:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 974406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 07:49:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OCngG2020940 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 07:49:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OCnfhO019430 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 07:49:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OCnfxu019429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 07:49:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 07:49:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241249.h4OCnfxu019429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 241200 WARNING 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 940 HPA AT 20.0N 152.6E SOUTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 24.7N 154.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 32.0N 159.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 42.0N 169.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:48:11 2003 X-UIDL: 25868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE001GS8JEZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 21:38:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ODc3xE009081 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:38:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtX4E037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:30:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 974984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ODUnG2043506 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4ODUmhO019825 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4ODUmWW019824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 08:30:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241330.h4ODUmWW019824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 19.9N9 152.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 152.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 22.4N8 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.3N0 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 29.2N3 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 34.1N8 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 20.5N7 152.9E7. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS AN IRREGULAR AND RAGGED EYE, 12 NM IN DIAMETER, AND THE SYSTEM HAS HELD STEADY ON INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS, WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW TEMPORARILY ENHANCED BY AN APPROACHING DEEP MID-LATITUDE TROUGH THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE TY 04W TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6 AND 251500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:48:11 2003 X-UIDL: 25870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE001DS9NUZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 22:02:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OE2ExE016127 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 22:02:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtX54037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:56:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 975168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:56:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4ODuJG2020964 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:56:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4ODuJhO020032 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:56:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4ODuJEh020031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 08:56:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 08:56:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 04w Warning Nr 23// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241356.h4ODuJEh020031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 04W WARNING NR 23// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 241200Z9 TO 271200Z2 MAY 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS AN IRREGULAR AND RAGGED EYE, 12 NM IN DIAMETER, AND THE SYSTEM HAS HELD STEADY ON INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS, WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW TEMPORARILY ENHANCED BY AN APPROACHING DEEP MID-LATITUDE TROUGH THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE TY 04W TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. B. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, AHEAD OF A DEEP MID-LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH EAST OF JAPAN. TY 04W WILL ULTIMATELY MERGE WITH THIS TROUGH, COMPLETING TY 04W'S TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL (XT) SYSTEM. TY 04W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE XT TRANSITION BY 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, JGSM, JTYM, COAMPS AND AFWA MM5 REMAIN IN VERY CLOSE AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 04W HAS EXPERIENCED TEMPORARY OUTFLOW ENHANCEMENT POLEWARD, LEADING TO THE SYSTEM HOLDING ITS INTENSITY BRIEFLY. HOWEVER, DRY AIR CONTINUES TO WRAP INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTHEAST AS THE SYSTEM VERY SOON BEGINS TO TRANSISTION TO AN XT SYSTEM. TY 04W WILL THUS ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST, AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN IN THE XT ENVIRONMENT OF WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON ANALYSIS OF 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 24 22:48:11 2003 X-UIDL: 25871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE001UTB0SZ7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 24 May 2003 22:31:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OEVgxE022191 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 22:31:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4O3tAvs008118; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:26:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 975412 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OEQuG2020900 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OEQthO020323 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OEQt7f020322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 09:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 09:26:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241426.h4OEQt7f020322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 125E SOUTHWEST OF CHEJU ISLAND MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 32N 125E TO 31N 126E. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 126E TO 30N 127E 28N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 126E TO 27N 125E 25N 120E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 120E TO 24N 115E 23N 108E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 148E 37N 158E 32N 160E 29N 149E 37N 148E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 34N 160E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 17N 117E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 45N 159E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 940 HPA AT 20.0N 152.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 163W TO 35N 180E 34N 174E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 174E TO 32N 165E 31N 155E 26N 150E 23N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 00:37:18 2003 X-UIDL: 25880-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE001REGN6Z7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 00:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OGX7xE049471 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:33:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXAA037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:26:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 976601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:26:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OGQJG2048826 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:26:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OGQJhO021795 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OGQI97021794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 11:26:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 11:26:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241626.h4OGQI97021794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 241500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 19.9N9 152.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 152.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 22.4N8 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.3N0 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 29.2N3 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 34.1N8 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 20.5N7 152.9E7. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS AN IRREGULAR AND RAGGED EYE, 12 NM IN DIAMETER, AND THE SYSTEM HAS HELD STEADY ON INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS, WITH POLEWARD OUTFLOW TEMPORARILY ENHANCED BY AN APPROACHING DEEP MID-LATITUDE TROUGH THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE TY 04W TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADJUSTED WIND RADII AT 48 HOUR TAU TO REFLECT EXTRATROPICAL CHARACTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6 AND 251500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 09:38:33 2003 X-UIDL: 25890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE00EF0N3OQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 02:52:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OIqdxE086233 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 02:52:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXEC037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 13:48:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 978054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 13:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OImZG2039766 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 13:48:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OImYhO023313 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 13:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OImYW9023312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 13:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 13:48:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241848.h4OImYW9023312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 241800 WARNING 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 940 HPA AT 21.1N 153.9E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 25.8N 156.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 34.0N 163.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 42.5N 178.0E WITH 500 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 09:38:33 2003 X-UIDL: 25891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE00EKYNVDQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 03:09:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJ9AxE091957 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:09:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4NJtXF4037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 14:04:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 978248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 14:04:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJ41G2035356 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 14:04:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OJ40hO023536 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 14:04:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OJ40eb023535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 14:04:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 14:04:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305241904.h4OJ40eb023535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PGTW 241900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 241851ZMAY2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 085 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.5N0 118.4E4 TO 19.6N6 119.6E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 241700Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 118.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 118.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 118.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANALYSIS OF LATEST QUIKSCAT DATA REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS CONSOLIDATED AND IS BEING ENHANCED BY A WESTERLY WINDBURST. DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST ABOVE THE LLCC. ANALYSIS OF 200 MB SHOWS IMPROVED UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS WITH DEVELOPMENT OF A POINT SOURCE WHICH WILL INCREASE OUTFLOW. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS WEAK. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. BASED ON IMPROVED LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 251900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 09:38:34 2003 X-UIDL: 25894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFE00EEVRRNQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 04:33:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OKXQxE016538 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:33:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnJ8037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:28:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 979208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:28:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OKSvG2055138 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:28:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4OKSvhO024581 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:28:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4OKSvp3024580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 15:28:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 15:28:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305242028.h4OKSvp3024580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 33N 126E NEAR CHEJU ISLAND MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 126E TO 32N 128E 29N 128E. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 128E TO 27N 130E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 128E TO 26N 127E 25N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 123E TO 24N 117E 23N 112E 23N 108E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 145E 38N 165E 32N 164E 25N 148E 36N 145E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 143E 43N 144E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 39N 157E 40N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 17N 118E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 55N 139E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 46N 161E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 940 HPA AT 21.1N 153.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 148E TO 29N 154E 33N 157E 34N 166E 35N 176W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 09:38:37 2003 X-UIDL: 25906-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00E5T43CQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 08:59:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P0xdNl033389 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 08:59:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnTE037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 19:51:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 981768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 19:51:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P0psG2054062 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 19:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P0prhO027321 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 19:51:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P0prcU027320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 19:51:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 19:51:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250051.h4P0prcU027320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 250000 WARNING 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 950 HPA AT 22.3N 154.8E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 27.8N 157.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 37.0N 166.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 43.5N 175.5W WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:24 2003 X-UIDL: 25912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00EPX8I7QZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 10:34:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2YwNl054102 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 10:35:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnXq037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:29:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 982851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2TMG2051986 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P2TMhO028277 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:29:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P2TL1G028276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 21:29:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250229.h4P2TL1G028276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 33N 125E WEST OF CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 125E TO 32N 128E 29N 129E. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 129E TO 26N 132E 24N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 129E TO 25N 126E 24N 121E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 158E TO 34N 165E 33N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 158E TO 29N 155E 26N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 51N 158E 60N 166E 60N 180E 30N 180E 29N 155E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 17N 117E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 45N 162E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 950 HPA AT 22.3N 154.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 168E TO 31N 179E 34N 169W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:25 2003 X-UIDL: 25914-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00EDM96DQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 10:49:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2nTNl056900 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 10:49:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnaO037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:44:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 983229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:44:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2ipG2034256 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:44:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P2iohO028506 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:44:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P2iofA028505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 21:44:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 21:44:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250244.h4P2iofA028505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241851ZMAY2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 16.5N2 118.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 118.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.7N4 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.9N6 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.5N2 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 16.2N9 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.0N7 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 118.6E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. THE RECENT AVAILABILITY OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLONIC CUMULIFORM CLOUD LINES CONVERGING INTO THE CENTER OF CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED AND IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 241851ZMAY2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 241900). NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6, 251500Z3, 252100Z0 AND 260300Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00E7PDACQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 12:18:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P4IENl074528 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 12:18:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMndE037048; Sat, 24 May 2003 23:12:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 983952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 May 2003 23:12:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P4CWG2039428 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 23:12:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P4CWhO029387 for ; Sat, 24 May 2003 23:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P4CWiL029386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 24 May 2003 23:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 24 May 2003 23:12:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250412.h4P4CWiL029386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 250300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 22.4N8 154.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 154.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.2N9 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 28.0N0 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 31.3N7 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 34.4N1 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 23.1N6 155.3E4. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 690 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE SHOWS A RAGGED, CLOUD-FILLED EYE WITH A 10 NM DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6, 251500Z3, 252100Z0 AND 260300Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:26 2003 X-UIDL: 25921-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF004WTHSMTD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 13:55:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P5taNl096918 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 13:55:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMni2037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 984708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P5kGG2015958 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P5kGhO000244 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P5kCrL000239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 00:46:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250546.h4P5kCrL000239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/250151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/250152ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W WAS LOCATED NEAR NEAR 16.5N2 118.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) AT 250000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N8 154.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 690 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 118.6E6 NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:28 2003 X-UIDL: 25928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00EL0K6XQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 14:47:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P6lPNl009131 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 14:47:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnkA037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 01:43:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 985171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 01:43:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P6hwG2052674 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 01:43:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P6hwhO000796 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 01:43:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P6hwnm000795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 01:43:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 01:43:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250643.h4P6hwnm000795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 250600 WARNING 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 955 HPA AT 24.0N 155.8E EAST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 30.9N 160.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 42.0N 171.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 976 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF004HSP5OTD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 16:34:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P8YeNl034082 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:34:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnlu037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:28:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 985750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P8SZG2034048 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:28:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P8SYhO001655 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:28:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P8SYeE001654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:28:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 03:28:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250828.h4P8SYeE001654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 250600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 32N 125E SOUTHWEST OF CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 32N 125E TO 32N 128E 30N 130E. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 130E TO 27N 131E 24N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 130E TO 25N 127E 23N 121E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 161E TO 35N 167E 34N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 161E TO 31N 156E 27N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 157E 55N 162E 57N 176E 49N 169E 49N 157E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 16.7N 118.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E 30N 151E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 45N 170E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 955 HPA AT 24.0N 155.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 171E TO 31N 180E 33N 168W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:29 2003 X-UIDL: 25933-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF004RLQBZTD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 17:00:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P903Nl038776 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:00:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnn6037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:55:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 986017 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P8t4G2025108 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P8t3hO001862 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P8t3Ve001861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 03:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 03:55:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250855.h4P8t3Ve001861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 16.4N1 118.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 118.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 16.2N9 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 16.2N9 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 16.4N1 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 16.8N5 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.9N7 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 118.4E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED CONSOLIDATION AND ORGANIZATION OF TD 05W. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME WELL DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3, 252100Z0, 260300Z1 AND 260900Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:30 2003 X-UIDL: 25934-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFF00405QPAWX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 17:07:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P982Nl040809 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 17:08:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnnG037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:03:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 986061 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:03:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P93GG2038704 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:03:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4P93FhO001950 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:03:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4P93FJl001949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 04:03:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 04:03:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305250903.h4P93FJl001949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 250900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 23.6N1 155.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 155.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 26.4N2 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 30.0N3 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 33.7N3 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 36.6N5 169.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 24.3N9 156.2E4. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, AND AN INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN THE NORTHWEST SECTOR AS THE SYSTEM COMMENCES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3, 252100Z0, 260300Z1 AND 260900Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 21:45:32 2003 X-UIDL: 25944-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG00EYY18HQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 20:55:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PCtXNl087466 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 20:55:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnrC037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 07:49:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 987639 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 07:49:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PCntG2038218 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 07:49:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PCnshO003223 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 07:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PCnsqR003222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 07:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 07:49:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251249.h4PCnsqR003222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 251200 WARNING 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 955 HPA AT 25.1N 156.8E NORTHEAST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 33.2N 162.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 42.0N 174.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 22:02:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG00EZC46QQZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 21:59:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PDxGNl000428 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:59:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnv2037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 08:52:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 988299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 08:52:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PDqHG2048658 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 08:52:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PDqGhO003642 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 08:52:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PDqG5d003641 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 08:52:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 08:52:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251352.h4PDqG5d003641@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 16.3N0 118.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 118.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.1N8 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.1N8 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 16.2N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.4N1 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.8N5 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 118.3E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TD 05W CONTINUES TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE WHILE SEPARATING FROM A WESTERLY WIND BURST SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0, 260300Z1, 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4. REFER TO TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 22:15:08 2003 X-UIDL: 25953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG004MB4T7TD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 22:12:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PECkNl003420 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:12:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnvY037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:07:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 988390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:07:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PE7dG2020854 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:07:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PE7chO003755 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PE7cYj003754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 09:07:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251407.h4PE7cYj003754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 25.2N9 156.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 156.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 28.4N4 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 32.1N6 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 35.4N2 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 38.3N4 173.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 26.0N8 157.2E5. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TY 04W IS WELL INVOLVED IN THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM, BUT INTENSITY HAS HELD STEADY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0, 260300Z1, 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 22:35:08 2003 X-UIDL: 25954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG0040A5U5TD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 22:34:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PEYuNl007776 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:34:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnwu037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:28:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 988606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PES5G2039458 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PES5hO003871 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PES5mB003870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 09:28:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251428.h4PES5mB003870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 251200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 163E TO 35N 169E 33N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 163E TO 32N 158E 26N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 32N 126E SOUTH OF CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 32N 126E TO 32N 129E 30N 130E. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 130E TO 28N 131E 25N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 130E TO 26N 128E 24N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 155E 51N 157E 55N 170E 49N 170E 48N 155E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 17.3N 118.5E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 30N 180E 34N 155E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 44N 175E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 955 HPA AT 25.1N 156.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 174E TO 32N 177W 32N 168W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 22:45:09 2003 X-UIDL: 25957-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG004BD67IWX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 22:42:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PEgwNl009514 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:43:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4P2QTDS008118; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 988644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PEeiG2010396 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PEeihO003980 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PEehIG003978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 05w Warning Nr 03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251440.h4PEehIG003978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 251200Z0 TO 281200Z3 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TD 05W CONTINUES TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE WHILE SEPARATING FROM A WESTERLY WIND BURST SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. B. TD 05W HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR WESTERN LUZON, SLOWLY ORGANIZING IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT BETWEEN MID-LEVEL RIDGES CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN AND THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE RIDGE OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND MIGRATE EASTWARD, ALLOWING 05W TO BEGIN MOVING EASTWARD AS WELL. THE TRACK TAKES THE SYSTEM OVER LUZON, RE-EMERGING IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, JGSM, AND EGRR ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, WITH NCEP (GFS) TAKING A FASTER AND MORE POLEWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPAHSIS ON GFS. C. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT TD 05W EXISTS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT ALLOWING FOR INTENSIFICATION, HOWEVER INTENSITY WILL BE HAMPERED BY THE MOUNTAINOUS LUZON TERRAIN. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE TO SMALL-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun May 25 22:45:21 2003 X-UIDL: 25959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG004D56B9WX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 25 May 2003 22:45:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PEjDNl009965 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:45:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMnx2037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 988641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PEeiG2028968 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PEehhO003979 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PEeheB003976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 09:40:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 04w Warning Nr 27// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251440.h4PEeheB003976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 04W WARNING NR 27// RMKS/ 1 FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 251200Z0 TO 261200Z1 MAY 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TY 04W IS WELL INVOLVED IN THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM, BUT INTENSITY HAS HELD STEADY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. TY 04W CONTINUES TO TRACK POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 04W HAS MADE THE LINK UP WITH A DEEP SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND IS NOW ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD. THE SYSTEM WILL COMPLETE THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IN 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, JGSM, JTYM, COAMPS AND MM5 CONTINUE TO BE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 04W IS ACCELERATING POLEWARD AND EASTWARD INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 02:56:45 2003 X-UIDL: 25970-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG0045XHXLWX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 02:56:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PIuCNl069243 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 02:56:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMn5k037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 13:50:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 990915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 13:50:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PIojG2038768 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 13:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PIojhO005726 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 13:50:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PIoiOZ005725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 13:50:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 13:50:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305251850.h4PIoiOZ005725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 251800 WARNING 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 960 HPA AT 26.8N 157.7E NORTHEAST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 17 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 35.1N 163.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 43.0N 177.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 04:36:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25975-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG004HWMESTD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 04:32:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PKWtNl096375 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 04:32:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4OJMn8u037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 991696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PKRsG2045478 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PKRshO006700 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PKRrXS006699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 15:27:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305252027.h4PKRrXS006699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 17.1N 118.5E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 17.1N 118.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 164E TO 39N 170E 37N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 164E TO 35N 160E 31N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 127E SOUTH OF CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 32N 127E TO 32N 129E 31N 131E. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 28N 134E 26N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 26N 130E 24N 126E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 153E 52N 158E 56N 162E 57N 180E 48N 180E 46N 162E 47N 153E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 35N 162E 36N 148E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 44N 152E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 42N 180E ESE 25 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 960 HPA AT 26.8N 157.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 05:16:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG00433NZPTD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 05:07:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PL71Nl003466 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 05:07:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PFHRke008118; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:02:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 991902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:02:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PL2WG2029106 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:02:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PL2VhO006999 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:02:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PL2VMS006996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:02:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 16:02:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305252102.h4PL2VMS006996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 252100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 26.9N7 157.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.9N7 157.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 30.1N4 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 33.7N3 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 36.4N3 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 38.8N9 175.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 27.7N6 158.3E7. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 675 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TY 04W CONTINUES TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS INTO THE MID-LATITUDES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1, 260900Z7, 261500Z4 AND 262100Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 05:16:46 2003 X-UIDL: 25977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG0043MO1YTD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 05:08:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PL8NNl003682 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 05:08:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PFHRkm008118; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:03:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 991914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:03:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PL3WG2029128 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:03:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4PL3WhO007011 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:03:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4PL3WgH007010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 16:03:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 16:03:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305252103.h4PL3WgH007010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 16.2N9 118.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 118.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 16.1N8 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 16.2N9 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 16.4N1 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.6N3 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.9N7 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 118.5E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. TS 05W HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUASISTATIONARY IN THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NOW DRIFTING EASTWARD. TS 05W CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. ANALYSIS AT 200 MB REVEALS THAT A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF GOOD OUTFLOW, WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1, 260900Z7, 261500Z4 AND 262100Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 09:06:47 2003 X-UIDL: 25987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG00BC6YOLXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 08:57:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q0w2Nl047080 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:58:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PNPgIk037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 19:51:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 994162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 19:51:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q0pnG2058810 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 19:51:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q0pnhO009154 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 19:51:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q0pn4j009153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 19:51:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 19:51:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260051.h4Q0pn4j009153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 260000 WARNING 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 965 HPA AT 28.4N 158.6E NORTHEAST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 17 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 35.0N 165.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 42.0N 176.5W WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 09:26:48 2003 X-UIDL: 25994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFG00B7FZQZXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 09:21:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q1L3Nl054095 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:21:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PNPgKU037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 20:12:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 994446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 20:12:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q1CPG2015010 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 20:12:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q1CPhO009365 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 20:12:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q1CPjY009364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 20:12:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 20:12:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260112.h4Q1CPjY009364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 260000 WARNING 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 994 HPA AT 16.0N 117.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 15.4N 118.1E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 15.0N 118.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 14.5N 119.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 11:01:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BKK36UXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 10:35:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q2ZCNl077527 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 10:35:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PNPgNi037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 995231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q2TMG2052170 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q2TMhO009949 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q2TMoY009948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 21:29:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260229.h4Q2TMoY009948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 165E TO 40N 170E 38N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 165E TO 36N 162E 33N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 128E TO 32N 131E 29N 133E. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 133E TO 27N 135E 26N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 133E TO 24N 130E 23N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 167E 60N 167E 60N 180E 50N 180E 50N 167E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 49N 155E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 34N 145E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 57N 127E NE 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 127E TO 55N 129E 52N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 132E TO 54N 137E 54N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 132E TO 46N 130E 43N 122E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 16N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 147E SSW 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 965 HPA AT 28.4N 158.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 994 HPA AT 16.0N 117.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 11:01:56 2003 X-UIDL: 26005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BQ43KMXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 10:43:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q2hSNl080112 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 10:43:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PNPgNo037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:36:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 995305 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:36:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q2ahG2045522 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:36:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q2aghO010018 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:36:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q2agQ5010017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 21:36:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 21:36:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260236.h4Q2agQ5010017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 16.1N8 118.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 118.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 15.9N5 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.8N4 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 15.9N5 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.1N8 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.2N0 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 118.3E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 05W CONTINUES TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING TOWARDS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7, 261500Z4, 262100Z1 AND 270300Z2. REFER TO TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 11:21:06 2003 X-UIDL: 26011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BVS4YDXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 11:13:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q3DINl089443 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 11:13:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PNPgOs037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:11:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 995522 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:11:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q3BNG2037878 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:11:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q3BNhO010274 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:11:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q3BNeb010273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:11:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 22:11:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 05w (linfa) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260311.h4Q3BNeb010273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 05// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 260000Z8 TO 290000Z1 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TS 05W CONTINUES TO REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING TOWARDS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TS 05W HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT QUASISTATIONARY FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS DRIFTING IN A CYCLONIC LOOP. AS TS 05W CONTINUES TO DEEPEN AND INTENSIFY, IT WILL BECOME MORE INFLUENCED BY THE STEERING ENVIRONMENT OF THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH AND TRACK EASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE AXIS. TS 05W SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL SOUTH OF CAPE BOLINAO IN 24-36 HOURS AND CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND. TS 05W WILL EXIT LUZON AND MOVE OUT INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. ONCE OUT OVER THE OPEN WATER OF THE PHILIPPINE SEA, TS 05W WILL TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD FLOW AS IT BEGINS TO TRACK NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), AND EGGR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREFORE, TS 05W SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE WHICH PUTS IT AT TYPHOON STRENGTH BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL. INTERACTION OF TS 05W WITH LAND WILL SEE IT WEAKEN BEFORE IT MOVES BACK OUT OVER THE OPEN SEAS AND REINTENSIFIES. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 11:21:06 2003 X-UIDL: 26012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BW34YFXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 11:13:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q3DJNl089446 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 11:13:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4PNPgOk037048; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:08:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 995454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:08:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q38HG2038710 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:08:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q38GhO010245 for ; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:08:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q38GTB010244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 25 May 2003 22:08:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 25 May 2003 22:08:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260308.h4Q38GTB010244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 28.3N3 158.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N3 158.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 31.2N6 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 33.8N4 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 36.1N0 170.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 39.0N2 177.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 29.0N1 159.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 690 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TY 04W HAS LOST MUCH OF ITS CONVECTION AS IT CONTINUES TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AND TRACKS INTO THE MID-LATITUDES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7, 261500Z4, 262100Z1 AND 270300Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 14:04:42 2003 X-UIDL: 26031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BVOCKMXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 13:57:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q5vjNl044548 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 13:57:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fGY030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 996563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q5q7G2039866 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q5q6hO011398 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q5q6O4011396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 00:52:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260552.h4Q5q6O4011396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/260151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/260152ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 118.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS DRIFTED SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) AT 260000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N3 158.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 690 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, AND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 15:04:47 2003 X-UIDL: 26035-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00B8VF90XL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 14:55:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q6tdNl063085 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 14:55:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fHi030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 01:50:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 996948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 01:50:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q6oPG2042504 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 01:50:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q6oOhO011767 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 01:50:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q6oO7F011766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 01:50:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 01:50:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) Downgraded From Typhoon Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260650.h4Q6oO7F011766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 260600 WARNING 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975 HPA AT 30.1N 160.6E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 24 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 35.2N 168.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 37.0N 177.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 15:34:42 2003 X-UIDL: 26039-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BGWGOAXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 15:26:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q7QRNl073550 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:26:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fII030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 02:20:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 997088 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 02:20:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q7KBG2052124 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 02:20:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q7K6hO011940 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 02:20:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q7K6kt011939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 02:20:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 02:20:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260720.h4Q7K6kt011939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 260600 WARNING 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 16.2N 118.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 110 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 16.2N 119.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 16.5N 122.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 17.5N 125.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 16:44:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00B0TJX5XL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 16:36:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q8aONl095720 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 16:36:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fJM030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:29:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 997531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q8TsG2020880 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:29:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q8TshO012530 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q8Trbj012529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:29:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 03:29:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260829.h4Q8Trbj012529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 129E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 30N 132E 29N 133E. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 133E TO 27N 135E 24N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 133E TO 25N 130E 23N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 165E TO 39N 170E 38N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 165E TO 37N 163E 33N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 350 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 118E 09N 118E 08N 111E 14N 111E 16N 116E 14N 118E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 42N 144E 51N 158E 60N 165E 60N 180E 35N 180E 32N 147E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 17N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 37N 121E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 41N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 56N 154E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 975 HPA AT 30.1N 160.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 16.2N 118.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 17:04:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BVHL7DXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 17:04:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q94JNl004517 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 17:04:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fJU030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 997574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q8xQG2051978 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q8xPhO012750 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q8xPHs012747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260859.h4Q8xPHs012747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 16.1N8 118.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 118.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 16.3N0 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 16.3N0 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.1N8 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.3N0 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 17.3N1 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 118.6E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TS 05W HAS BEGUN TO MOVE SLOWLY IN AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS 05W'S DEEP CONVECTION HAS REMAINED RELATIVELY UNCHANGED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4, 262100Z1, 270300Z2 AND 270900Z8. REFER TO TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 17:14:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26047-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BWOL7LXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 17:04:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q94NNl004549 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 17:04:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q6T4OE036874; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 997577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q8xQG2029062 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4Q8xPhO012751 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4Q8xP97012749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 03:59:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305260859.h4Q8xP97012749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 260900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 030 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 04W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 29.6N7 160.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N7 160.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 32.4N9 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 34.9N6 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 37.4N4 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 30.3N6 161.5E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1165 NM WEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS 04W HAS ALMOST COMPLETED THE TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM, AND CONTINUES ON A RAPID TRACK INTO THE MID-LATITUDES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4, 262100Z1, 270300Z2 AND 270900Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 22:50:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BYTW0AXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 20:57:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QCvXNl070477 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 20:57:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fMo030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 07:51:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 998717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 07:51:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QCpNG2038896 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 07:51:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QCpMhO014658 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 07:51:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QCpMt9014656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 07:51:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 07:51:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261251.h4QCpMt9014656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 261200 WARNING 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 16.8N 119.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 17.1N 120.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 17.5N 122.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 18.0N 125.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 22:50:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00B6DWVXXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 21:16:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QDGXNl075772 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:16:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fPa030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:12:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 999067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:11:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QDBjG2035860 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:11:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QDBihO014899 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:11:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QDBirF014898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:11:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 08:11:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261311.h4QDBirF014898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 261200 WARNING 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 985 HPA AT 31.8N 162.1E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 22 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 34.3N 167.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 37.0N 175.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 22:50:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26071-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BPKZ4IXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 22:05:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QE4oNl090408 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 22:04:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fR2030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:58:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 999497 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:58:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QDwtG2044972 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:58:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QDwthO015217 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:58:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QDwtx0015216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 08:58:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 08:58:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261358.h4QDwtx0015216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 16.0N7 119.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 119.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 16.2N9 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.3N0 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.4N1 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.9N6 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.3N3 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 119.3E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS MOVED EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 05W HAS INCREASED SPEED EASTWARD, BUT DEVELOPMENT HAS HELD STEADY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1, 270300Z2, 270900Z8 AND 271500Z5. REFER TO TYPHOON 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 22:50:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26074-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFH00BANZGXXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 22:12:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QECJNl093055 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 22:12:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fRS030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:08:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 999550 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:08:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QE8OG2044984 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:08:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QE8OhO015337 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:08:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QE8NTx015336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:08:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 09:08:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261408.h4QE8NTx015336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 30.5N8 162.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 162.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 32.0N5 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 33.0N6 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 34.3N0 170.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 30.9N2 163.3E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1060 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT WHILE TS 04W HAS ALMOST TRANSITIONED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM, THE TRANSITION IS NOT YET COMPLETE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1, 270300Z2, 270900Z8 AND 271500Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 22:50:25 2003 X-UIDL: 26077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00BRZ0EJXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 22:32:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QEWaNl098169 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 22:32:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fRi030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:28:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 999634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QESeG2025308 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QESehO015459 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QESeF6015458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 09:28:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261428.h4QESeF6015458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 42N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 169E TO 44N 174E 42N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 169E TO 40N 167E 36N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 131E KYUSYU MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 119E 10N 118E 10N 110E 17N 110E 15N 119E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 42N 143E 50N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 34N 180E 29N 152E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 17N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 42N 151E ESE SLOWLY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 16.8N 119.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 985 HPA AT 31.8N 162.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 124E TO 24N 130E 27N 134E 24N 138E 22N 141E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 161E TO 35N 162E 36N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 160E TO 25N 158E 22N 152E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 23:20:18 2003 X-UIDL: 26078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00B1518JXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 22:50:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QEoYNl002868 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 22:50:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QCslOG036884; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 999686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QEl6G2044852 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QEl5hO015615 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QEl5PC015612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 05w (linfa) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261447.h4QEl5PC015612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 261200Z1 TO 291200Z4 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS MOVED EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 05W HAS INCREASED SPEED EASTWARD, BUT DEVELOPMENT HAS HELD STEADY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. TS 05W HAS COMPLETED A CYCLONIC LOOP, AND IS NOW ON A TRACK TOWARD LUZON, AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA SHIFTS SLIGHTLY EASTWARD. SOME MINOR INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ONCE EXITING INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA, THE SYSTEM WILL ONCE AGAIN INTENSIFY AND BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AS THE RIDGE OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA ONCE AGAIN BUILDS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), AND EGRR ARE IN FAVORABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TIMING. GFS IS SOMEWHAT FASTER THAN THE OTHER DYNAMIC AIDS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFS. C. INTERACTION OF TS 05W WITH LAND WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM SIGNIFICANTLY BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES BACK OUT OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE PHILIPPINE SEA AND REINTENSIFICATION OCCURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon May 26 23:20:18 2003 X-UIDL: 26079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00B2X19JXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 26 May 2003 22:51:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QEpDNl003041 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 22:51:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fRq030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 999683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QEl6G2035968 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QEl5hO015616 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QEl5Zm015614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 09:47:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 04w Warning Nr 31// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261447.h4QEl5Zm015614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 04W WARNING NR 31// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 261200Z1 TO 270000Z9 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1060 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT WHILE TS 04W HAS ALMOST TRANSITIONED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM, THE TRANSITION IS NOT YET COMPLETE. B. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TS 04W REMAINS VERTICALLY STACKED, WITH TROPICAL BANDING FEATURES STILL EVIDENT, FOR THE SHORT TERM. THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM SHOULD BE COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE RAPID SPEED OF ADVANCE INTO THE MID-LATITUDES WILL BECOME SLOWED SOMEWHAT AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, JGSM, JTYM, COAMPS AND MM5 ARE IN REASONABLY CLOSE AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN UNTIL THE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IS COMPLETED, THEN HOLD A STEADY INTENSITY THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00BIFCKUXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 02:55:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QItXNl071395 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 02:55:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fWq030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 13:47:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1001510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 13:47:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QIlAG2037040 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 13:47:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QIlAhO017556 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 13:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QIlA46017555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 13:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 13:47:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261847.h4QIlA46017555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 261800 WARNING 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 16.7N 119.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 17.0N 120.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 17.5N 123.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 19.0N 125.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00B7FDJGXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 03:16:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QJGHNl077933 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:16:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QF0XcM035242; Mon, 26 May 2003 14:09:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1001727 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 14:07:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QJ7eG2036010 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 14:07:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QJ7dhO017739 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 14:07:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QJ7dZQ017738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 14:07:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 14:07:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305261907.h4QJ7dZQ017738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 261800 WARNING 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 985 HPA AT 33.2N 164.9E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 36.6N 171.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 37.0N 174.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:26 2003 X-UIDL: 26099-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00BXJH5IXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 04:34:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QKYNNl000468 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:34:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fZI030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:28:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1002250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QKSZG2044992 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:28:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QKSYhO018343 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:28:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QKSYC1018342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:28:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 15:28:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305262028.h4QKSYC1018342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 43N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 45N 176E 45N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 39N 169E 37N 166E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 166E TO 35N 165E 34N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 132E EAST OF KYUSYU MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 119E 09N 118E 09N 109E 16N 111E 14N 119E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 149E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 17N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 41N 151E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 16.7N 119.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 985 HPA AT 33.2N 164.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 162E TO 25N 159E 21N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 124E TO 25N 133E 22N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:26 2003 X-UIDL: 26100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00BKUHQUXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 04:47:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QKlBNl003850 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 04:47:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fZW030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:43:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1002406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:43:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QKh2G2039482 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:43:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QKh1hO018487 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:43:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QKh1kX018486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:43:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 15:43:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305262043.h4QKh1kX018486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- NEAR 16.1N8 119.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 119.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 16.4N1 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.8N5 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.2N0 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.8N6 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 20.1N3 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 119.6E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS MOVED EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TS 05W CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AS IT APPROACHES LUZON ISLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2, 270900Z8, 271500Z5 AND 272100Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (CHAN- HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:26 2003 X-UIDL: 26101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI00B5ZIEQXL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 05:01:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QL1VNl007248 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 05:01:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fa2030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:56:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1002546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:56:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QKu2G2015764 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:56:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4QKu1hO018606 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4QKu1ot018605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 15:56:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 15:56:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305262056.h4QKu1ot018605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 262100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- NEAR 32.0N5 164.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 32.0N5 164.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 33.9N5 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 35.4N2 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 36.0N9 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION NEAR 32.5N0 165.1E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 950 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS 04W IS DECOUPLED FROM DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2, 270900Z8, 271500Z5 AND 272100Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 09:23:28 2003 X-UIDL: 26108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI006J6TE2MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 08:58:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R0wiNl058580 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:58:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fjO030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 19:53:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1004558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 19:53:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R0rRG2045494 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 19:53:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R0rQMl002122 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 19:53:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R0rQQh002121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 19:53:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 19:53:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270053.h4R0rQQh002121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 270000 WARNING 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 16.2N 119.2E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 17.5N 121.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 18.5N 124.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 21.0N 127.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 10:13:47 2003 X-UIDL: 26121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI006FRWR5MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 10:11:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R2BMNl081496 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 10:11:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fl6030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:07:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1005152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:07:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R27aG2023822 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:07:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R27ZMl002819 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:07:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R27Z3c002818 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:07:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 21:07:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270207.h4R27Z3c002818@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 270300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- NEAR 33.8N4 166.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 33.8N4 166.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 35.5N3 169.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 36.5N4 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 36.7N6 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION NEAR 34.2N9 167.5E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 850 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS 04W HAS COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 10:43:34 2003 X-UIDL: 26124-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI006VDXSTMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 10:34:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R2XwNl089573 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 10:34:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54flk030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1005268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R2SpG2034156 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R2SpMl002977 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R2Sp3x002975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270228.h4R2Sp3x002975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 46N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 178E TO 46N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 178E TO 38N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 06N 109E 09N 107E 13N 111E 13N 116E 10N 117E 08N 114E 06N 109E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 161E 35N 148E 42N 141E 42N 143E 46N 150E 49N 154E 60N 163E 60N 179W 39N 180E 35N 164E 26N 161E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 24N 134E SE SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 123E TO 22N 128E 24N 134E 21N 140E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 16N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 41N 132E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 41N 153E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 985 HPA AT 16.2N 119.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 990 HPA AT 33.8N 166.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 165E TO 38N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 165E TO 26N 162E 23N 158E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 10:43:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26125-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI006VPXSVMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 10:34:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R2Y0Nl089601 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 10:34:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4QF0XEA035242; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1005271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R2SqG2039754 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R2SpMl002982 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R2Spq4002979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 05w (linfa) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270228.h4R2Spq4002979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 270300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 09// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 270000Z9 TO 300000Z3 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 25 NM WEST OF DAGUPAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS MOVED EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND IS MAKING LANDFALL AT THIS TIME ON LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TS 05W REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED BUT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO HAVE HALTED WITH LANDFALL. B. TS 05W CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD INTO LUZON UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TS 05W IS FORECAST TO CROSS LUZON IN APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS AND BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AND UKMET GLOBAL, JAPANESE GLOBAL AND TYPHOON (JGSM AND JTYM), GFDN, AND AFWA MM5 ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. GFS AND GFDN ARE FASTER THAN THE OTHER DYNAMIC AIDS, APPARENTLY A RESULT OF EXCESSIVE BAROCLINIC INTERACTION WITH A DEEPENING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN AND GFS. C. INTERACTION OF TS 05W WITH LAND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 10:43:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFI006W7XSZMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 10:34:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R2XwNl089580 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 10:34:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54flo030284; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:29:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1005274 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R2StG2038380 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R2SpMl002976 for ; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R2SpIE002973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 26 May 2003 21:28:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270228.h4R2SpIE002973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 270300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- NEAR 16.1N8 119.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 119.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.5N2 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.9N6 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.4N2 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.1N0 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 21.1N4 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 120.1E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 25 NM WEST OF DAGUPAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS MOVED EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AND IS MAKING LANDFALL AT THIS TIME ON LUZON. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TS 05W REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED, BUT DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO HAVE HALTED WITH LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8, 271500Z5, 272100Z2 AND 280300Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 04W (CHAN-HOM) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. RELEASED BY LT SMITH, USN.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 13:33:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26137-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006115UMMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 13:27:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R5RoNl041985 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 13:27:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54frg030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1006350 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R5NeG2044880 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R5NdMl004525 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R5Nd8O004523 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 00:23:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270523.h4R5Nd8O004523@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/270151ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/270152ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 119.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 25 NM WEST OF DAGUPAN, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N4 166.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 850 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 270300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 15:39:57 2003 X-UIDL: 26143-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ00679A57MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 15:00:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R70aNl072201 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:00:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fsU030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 01:53:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1006663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 01:53:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R6rWG2045474 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 01:53:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R6rWMl005195 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 01:53:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R6rWnn005194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 01:53:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 01:53:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270653.h4R6rWnn005194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 270600 WARNING 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 992 HPA AT 16.5N 121.3E LUZON MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 17.3N 125.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 18.0N 127.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 23.0N 129.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 15:39:57 2003 X-UIDL: 26145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ0068IAVDMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 15:16:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R7GHNl076691 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:16:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fsc030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 02:11:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1006750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 02:11:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R7B6G2034186 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 02:11:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R7B6Ml005373 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 02:11:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R7B5Kv005372 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 02:11:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 02:11:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0303 Chan-hom (0303) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270711.h4R7B5Kv005372@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 270600 WARNING 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 996 HPA AT 34.8N 169.5E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 23 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 36.0N 175.1E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 35.9N 179.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 16:43:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006X2EHDMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 16:34:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R8YHNl001368 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 16:34:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54ftK030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:28:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1007015 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R8SZG2010268 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:28:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R8SZMl005989 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:28:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R8SZKu005988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:28:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 03:28:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270828.h4R8SZKu005988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 48N 174W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 174W TO 49N 171W 49N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 174W TO 44N 178W 40N 177E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 119E 08N 118E 05N 109E 09N 107E 12N 109E 15N 114E 15N 119E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 143E 42N 141E 42N 143E 49N 155E 60N 165E 60N 180E 37N 180E 37N 167E 36N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 16N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 39N 133E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 42N 156E ENE 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 992 HPA AT 16.5N 121.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 996 HPA AT 34.8N 169.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 124E TO 23N 129E 24N 134E 22N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 24N 159E TO 27N 163E 32N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 170E TO 39N 174E 40N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 16:58:46 2003 X-UIDL: 26155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006H2FLLMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 16:58:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R8wQNl009266 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 16:58:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54ftu030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:53:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1007204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:52:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R8qxG2044936 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:52:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4R8qwMl006162 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:52:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4R8qwvB006161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 03:52:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 03:52:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305270852.h4R8qwvB006161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 16.1N8 120.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 120.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.5N2 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.2N0 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.9N7 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 18.9N8 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 22.6N0 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 120.9E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED OVER LUZON, NEAR THE CITY OF DAGUPAN, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND 270530Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. TS 05W HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS AS IT TRACKS OVER LUZON. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5, 272100Z2, 280300Z3 AND 280900Z9. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 21:50:56 2003 X-UIDL: 26177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006RMR98MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 21:10:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RDA7Nl079665 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:10:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R2pTuE035242; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:03:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1009461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:00:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RD0cG2040252 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:00:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RD0cMl008568 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:00:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RD0cSN008567 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 08:00:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 08:00:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271300.h4RD0cSN008567@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 271200 WARNING 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 992 HPA AT 16.8N 121.9E LUZON MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 17.7N 126.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 20.0N 128.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 24.5N 130.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 22:50:48 2003 X-UIDL: 26185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006A0VC8MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 22:38:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4REcMNl006731 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 22:38:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fBC030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:28:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1010665 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RESlG2035812 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RESkMl011505 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RESk5D011504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 09:28:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271428.h4RESk5D011504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TROPICAL STORM 0303 CHAN-HOM (0303) 996 HPA AT 37N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 172E TO 39N 176E 40N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 172E TO 31N 168E 24N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 09N 109E 14N 110E 16N 112E 16N 116E 14N 120E 09N 117E 09N 109E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 123E 20N 123E 18N 120E 21N 119E 23N 123E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 143E 42N 141E 42N 144E 47N 153E 56N 162E 60N 165E 60N 180E 35N 180E 27N 168E 38N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 66N 152E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 66N 152E TO 65N 159E 63N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 66N 152E TO 61N 139E 57N 122E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 42N 157E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 992 HPA AT 16.8N 121.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 124E TO 24N 130E 26N 135E 24N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 23:10:39 2003 X-UIDL: 26187-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006AOWE2MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 23:01:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RF18Nl013465 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 23:01:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4Q54fBw030284; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1010827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4REqFG2027340 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4REqFMl012296 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4REqFZE012295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271452.h4REqFZE012295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- NEAR 16.4N1 121.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 121.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.0N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.6N4 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.5N4 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.6N6 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 24.0N6 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 122.1E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED OVER EASTERN LUZON, APPROXIMATELY 30 NM WEST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 271100Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 05W HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS OVER CENTRAL LUZON. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2, 280300Z3, 280900Z9 AND 281500Z6. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue May 27 23:10:39 2003 X-UIDL: 26188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFJ006BBWELMW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 27 May 2003 23:01:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RF1QNl013556 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 23:01:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4R2pTAg035242; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1010830 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4REqFG2035730 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4REqFMl012299 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4REqFRO012298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 09:52:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 05w (linfa) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271452.h4REqFRO012298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 11// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 271200Z2 TO 301200Z6 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED OVER EASTERN LUZON, APPROXIMATELY 30 NM WEST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 271100Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. B. TS 05W CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD OVER CENTRAL LUZON UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SURGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TS 05W IS FORECAST TO CROSS LUZON IN APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS AND BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, AND UKMET GLOBAL, JAPANESE GLOBAL AND TYPHOON (JGSM AND JTYM), GFDN, AND AFWA MM5 ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. AFWA HAS ERRONEOUS INTERACTION WITH ANOTHER CIRCULATION IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WHILE, EGRR INITIALIZIES THE SYSTEM POORLY WHICH RESULTS IN AN EASTWARD AND SLOWER TRACK THAN THE OTHER AIDS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGRR AND NONE WITH THE MM5. C. LAND INTERACTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TS 05W OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE PHILIPPINE SEA AND IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 03:08:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK006EL7K9MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 03:02:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RJ2PNl087600 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:02:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1NY030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 13:48:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1014072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 13:48:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RImFG2040426 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 13:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RImEMl021278 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 13:48:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RImE75021277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 13:48:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 13:48:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305271848.h4RImE75021277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 271800 WARNING 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 16.3N 122.9E EAST OF LUZON MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 17.7N 126.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 21.5N 128.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 28.0N 131.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 04:48:23 2003 X-UIDL: 26206-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK006ECC73MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 04:42:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RKgWNl019767 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 04:42:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1TE030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:30:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RKUmG2019120 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RKUlMl024667 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RKUlk3024666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 15:30:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305272030.h4RKUlk3024666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 16.3N0 122.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 122.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 17.1N9 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 18.0N9 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 19.2N2 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 21.3N6 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.0N9 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 123.0E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED OVER WATER EAST OF LUZON, APPROXIMATELY 31 NM EAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 271730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. TS 05W HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 18 HOURS OVER CENTRAL LUZON AND IS NOW BACK OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3, 280900Z9, 281500Z6 AND 282100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 04:48:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26208-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK006KDCD4MW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 04:46:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RKk9Nl020620 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 04:46:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RJTNLk045348; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1015129 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RKSjG2034086 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RKSiMl024594 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RKSimu024593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 15:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 15:28:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305272028.h4RKSimu024593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 174E TO 38N 178E 39N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 174E TO 31N 170E 26N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 119E 11N 119E 07N 108E 10N 107E 12N 109E 17N 111E 15N 119E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 125E 21N 125E 18N 120E 23N 117E 26N 121E 24N 125E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 176E 52N 175E 54N 180E 44N 180E 45N 176E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 27N 168E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 12N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 135E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 42N 158E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 49N 171E SE 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 16.3N 122.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 123E TO 25N 127E 27N 133E 24N 138E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 07:18:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK00H3BJ8QQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 07:14:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RNEgNl054179 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 07:14:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1a8030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1016646 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RN6aG2014132 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4RN6aMl028402 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4RN6awG028400 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 18:06:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305272306.h4RN6awG028400@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 272230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/272230Z/280600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/271951ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/270152ZMAY2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 271800Z8, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N0 122.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 31 NM EAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 272100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 270000Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 04W (CHAN-HOM) WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N4 166.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 850 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 270300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.9N7 149.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE PERSISTENT CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LIES IN THE DIFFLUENT AREA SOUTHEAST OF AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK TO MODERATE SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) AND UPDATED WARNING INFORMATION IN PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/RONSSE/NUTONGLA/SPANSKI/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 08:58:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK00HYDNW8QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 08:55:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S0tCNl074679 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 08:55:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1eO030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 19:50:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1017478 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 19:50:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S0oWG2052624 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 19:50:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S0oWMl029603 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 19:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S0oWVN029602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 19:50:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 19:50:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280050.h4S0oWVN029602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 280000 WARNING 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 992 HPA AT 18.7N 123.6E NORTHEAST OF LUZON MOVING NORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 18.0N 126.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 23.0N 129.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 30.0N 131.5E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 10:48:25 2003 X-UIDL: 26227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK00H9MSPTQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 10:39:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S2dONl007266 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 10:39:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1hO030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:29:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1018406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:29:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S2TeG2039526 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:29:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S2TdMl000815 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S2TdZa000814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 21:29:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280229.h4S2TdZa000814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 177E TO 37N 179W 38N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 177E TO 31N 172E 26N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 07N 107E 14N 109E 15N 116E 09N 117E 07N 107E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 130E 31N 130E 30N 138E 25N 138E 27N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 41N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 25N 166E 30N 156E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 42N 163E ENE 25 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 992 HPA AT 18.7N 123.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 122E TO 26N 129E 24N 138E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 10:58:25 2003 X-UIDL: 26229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK00HF8THDQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 10:56:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S2ttNl012522 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 10:55:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1hw030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:48:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1018524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:48:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S2m5G2035862 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:48:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S2m5Ml001103 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:48:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S2m4M9001102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:48:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 21:48:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 05w (linfa) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280248.h4S2m4M9001102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 280300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 270000Z9 TO 310000Z4 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED OVER WATER EAST OF LUZON, APPROXIMATELY 48 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PERSISTENCE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. A REVIEW OF 272139Z4 QUICKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS WEAKENED AND A NEW LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DEVELOPING NEAR 18.6N5 123.6E2, WHICH MAY BECOME THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A 272353Z2 TROPICAL RAIN MEASUREMENT MISSION PASS INDICATES A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR OUR WARNING POSITION. B. TD 05W CONTINUES TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA, EAST OF CENTRAL LUZON, UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SURGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TD 05W WILL BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA. ALL MODELS AGREE WITH THE CIRCULATION TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD REGARDLESS OF WHICH LOW-LEVEL IS THE DOMINATE CIRCULATION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AND UKMET GLOBAL, JAPANESE GLOBAL AND TYPHOON (JGSM AND JTYM), AND GFDN, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NCEP GFS INITIALIZES ON A CIRCULATION 2 DEGREES NORTH OF OUR WARNING LOCATION, RESULTING IN A MORE RAPID MOVEMENT NORTHEASTWARD. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFS AND NONE WITH THE MM5. C. THE WARM WATERS OF THE PHILIPPINE SEA AND LOWER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO PROVIDE TD 05W WITH A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO SLOWLY REINTENSIFY. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 10:58:25 2003 X-UIDL: 26230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFK00HFCTHDQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 10:56:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S2ttNl012521 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 10:55:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1i0030286; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:51:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1018532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:51:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S2pAG2035898 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:51:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S2p9Ml001162 for ; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:51:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S2p9WW001161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 27 May 2003 21:51:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 27 May 2003 21:51:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280251.h4S2p9WW001161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 013 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- NEAR 16.7N4 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.4N2 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.4N3 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.9N9 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 22.0N4 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 27.5N4 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 123.3E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED OVER WATER EAST OF LUZON, APPROXIMATELY 48 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PERSISTENCE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. A REVIEW OF 272139Z4 QUICKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS WEAKENED AND A NEW LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DEVELOPING NEAR 18.6N5 123.6E2, WHICH MAY BECOME THE DOMINATE CIRCULATION OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A 272353Z2 TROPICAL RAIN MEASUREMENT MISSION PASS INDICATES A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR OUR WARNING POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9, 281500Z6, 282100Z3 AND 290300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 13:59:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HPG1V9QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 13:57:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S5v2Nl068284 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 13:57:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1oQ030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 00:51:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1019907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 00:51:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S5prG2039668 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 00:51:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S5pqMl003067 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 00:51:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S5pqJV003066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 00:51:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 00:51:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 05w (linfa) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280551.h4S5pqJV003066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIIIII, Probability=59%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 280300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 270000Z9 TO 310000Z4 MAY 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED OVER WATER EAST OF LUZON, APPROXIMATELY 48 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PERSISTENCE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. A REVIEW OF 272139Z4 QUICKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS WEAKENED AND A NEW LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DEVELOPING NEAR 18.6N5 123.6E2, WHICH MAY BECOME THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. A 272353Z2 TROPICAL RAIN MEASUREMENT MISSION PASS INDICATES A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR OUR WARNING POSITION. B. TD 05W CONTINUES TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA, EAST OF CENTRAL LUZON, UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SURGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. TD 05W WILL BEGIN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA. ALL MODELS AGREE WITH THE CIRCULATION TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD REGARDLESS OF WHICH LOW-LEVEL IS THE DOMINATE CIRCULATION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AND UKMET GLOBAL, JAPANESE GLOBAL AND TYPHOON (JGSM AND JTYM), AND GFDN, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NCEP GFS INITIALIZES ON A CIRCULATION 2 DEGREES NORTH OF OUR WARNING LOCATION, RESULTING IN A MORE RAPID MOVEMENT NORTHEASTWARD. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFS AND NONE WITH THE MM5. C. THE WARM WATERS OF THE PHILIPPINE SEA AND LOWER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO PROVIDE TD 05W WITH A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO SLOWLY REINTENSIFY. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED PARA 2.B. AND 2.C FOR INCORRECT REFERENCE OF TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 14:44:09 2003 X-UIDL: 26261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HRH3YIQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 14:42:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S6gANl082727 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 14:42:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S5kBIg041058; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S6MCG2035912 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S6MCMl003344 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S6MCMA003340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 01:22:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280622.h4S6MCMA003340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/280151ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N4 122.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 48 NM EAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 149.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 148.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE PERSISTENT CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LIES IN THE DIFFLUENT AREA SOUTHEAST OF AN WEAK UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 15:00:41 2003 X-UIDL: 26268-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HPM4NYQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 14:57:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S6vONl087366 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 14:57:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1ow030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:50:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:50:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S6oGG2039622 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:50:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S6oGMl003545 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S6oFWd003544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 01:50:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 01:50:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280650.h4S6oFWd003544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 280600 WARNING 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 992 HPA AT 19.3N 123.9E NORTHEAST OF LUZON MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 22.2N 126.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 27.5N 129.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 35.0N 131.5E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 16:38:25 2003 X-UIDL: 26285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00H5U9C0QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 16:38:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S8cDNl015563 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:38:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1pw030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:29:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:29:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S8TNG2052500 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S8TNMl004527 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S8TNbi004526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 03:29:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280829.h4S8TNbi004526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 138E 26N 129E 31N 131E 32N 133E 30N 140E 26N 141E 25N 138E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 05N 109E 10N 107E 13N 110E 14N 115E 11N 119E 08N 115E 05N 109E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 143E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E 26N 169E 33N 153E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 178E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 178E TO 37N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 178E TO 30N 170E 24N 163E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 138E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 170E ENE 25 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 992 HPA AT 19.3N 123.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 123E TO 25N 127E 27N 131E 23N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 16:58:27 2003 X-UIDL: 26287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HO8A67QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 16:56:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S8uONl020469 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:56:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1qS030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:42:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1020610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:42:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S8geG2039516 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:42:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4S8gdMl004631 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:42:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4S8gduM004630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 03:42:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 03:42:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305280842.h4S8gduM004630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 17.5N3 123.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 123.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.0N0 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.4N6 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 22.9N3 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 26.2N0 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 32.9N4 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 123.7E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED EAST OF LUZON, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM NORTHEAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PERSISTENCE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS SITUATED APPROXIMATELY 2 DEGREES TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE REMAINING MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS SEEN IN MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE REMAINING MID-LEVEL OF TD 05W AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WILL COMBINE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6, 282100Z3, 290300Z4 AND 290900Z0. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 22:15:35 2003 X-UIDL: 26303-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HCBL94QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 20:55:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SCtiNl085856 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 20:55:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl1ve030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 07:47:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1021697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 07:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SCluG2028484 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 07:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SCltMl007200 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 07:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SCltmd007199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 07:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 07:47:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281247.h4SCltmd007199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 281200 WARNING 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 20.5N 124.6E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 23.7N 127.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 30.0N 130.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 37.0N 134.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 22:45:16 2003 X-UIDL: 26310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HQFPXPQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 22:37:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SEasNl014468 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 22:36:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl13Q030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:28:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1022845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SESWG2025242 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SESVMl010053 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:28:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SESV50010052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:28:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 09:28:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281428.h4SESV50010052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 128E 31N 131E 33N 134E 31N 139E 27N 142E 23N 140E 24N 132E 26N 128E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 02N 105E 08N 105E 15N 110E 16N 119E 10N 121E 06N 114E 02N 105E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 143E 46N 151E 51N 156E 60N 163E 60N 180E 30N 180E 24N 168E 33N 158E 36N 148E 41N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 179W ENE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 179W TO 36N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 179W TO 30N 172E 25N 165E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 43N 167E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 175E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 20.5N 124.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 124E TO 26N 128E 25N 133E 23N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 22:45:16 2003 X-UIDL: 26311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00H8VQ9SQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 22:44:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SEi8Nl016093 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 22:44:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4RGl15M030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SEddG2029570 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SEdcMl010428 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SEdceJ010426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 05w (linfa) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281439.h4SEdceJ010426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXXI, Probability=61%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUBJ_HAS_UNIQ_ID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 15// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 281200Z3 MAY TO 011200Z4 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED EAST OF LUZON, APPROXIMATELY 155 NM NORTHEAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS CONSOLIDATION OF THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.6N5 123.6E2. THE CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO INCREASE OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TD 05W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD GUIDED BY A BUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AND UKMET GLOBAL, JAPANESE GLOBAL AND TYPHOON (JGSM AND JTYM), AND GFDN, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 05W IS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE AND THEN SLOWLY INTENSIFY IN THE WARM WATERS OF THE PHILIPPINE SEA UNDER LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALOFT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. 3. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed May 28 22:55:16 2003 X-UIDL: 26312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFL00HC8QBMQP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 28 May 2003 22:45:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SEjGNl016369 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 22:45:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4S5kBli041058; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1023040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SEddG2034054 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SEdcMl010427 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SEdcfd010424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 09:39:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281439.h4SEdcfd010424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- NEAR 18.3N2 124.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 124.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 19.2N2 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 20.7N9 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 23.1N6 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 26.4N2 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 33.7N3 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 124.2E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED EAST OF LUZON, APPROXIMATELY 155 NM NORTHEAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS CONSOLIDATION OF THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.6N5 123.6E2. THE CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO INCREASE OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3, 290300Z4, 290900Z0 AND 291500Z7. RELEASED BY CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 03:01:49 2003 X-UIDL: 26332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00H6U1Z1QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 02:57:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SIusNl091179 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 02:56:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SGvAV4041060; Wed, 28 May 2003 13:50:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1026709 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 13:50:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SIoHG2052768 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 13:50:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SIoHMl019816 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 13:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SIoGDD019815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 13:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 13:50:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305281850.h4SIoGDD019815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 281800 WARNING 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 20.9N 125.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 24.5N 128.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 33.0N 132.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 38.0N 137.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 04:41:49 2003 X-UIDL: 26337-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00H926R3QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 04:40:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SKe7Nl026508 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 04:40:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SGXhaE030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 15:27:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1027890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 15:27:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SKRWG2050976 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 15:27:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SKRVMl023359 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 15:27:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SKRUrx023356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 15:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 15:27:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305282027.h4SKRUrx023356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 128E 31N 130E 32N 132E 29N 141E 24N 139E 27N 128E 31N 128E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 109E 16N 120E 11N 122E 07N 108E 10N 106E 12N 109E 16N 109E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 142E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 31N 180E 25N 168E 35N 150E 41N 142E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 37N 118E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 35N 176W ENE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 176W TO 35N 172W 35N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 176W TO 32N 178E 31N 172E 28N 169E 26N 165E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 147E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 173E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 177E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 20.9N 125.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 123E TO 26N 126E 26N 129E 26N 132E 24N 135E 23N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 05:21:49 2003 X-UIDL: 26338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00HZV892QP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 05:12:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SLCVNl034563 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 05:12:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SGXhcu030286; Wed, 28 May 2003 16:00:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1028389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 15:58:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SKw4G2019088 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 15:58:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SKw4Ml024445 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 15:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SKw46q024444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 15:58:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 15:58:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305282058.h4SKw46q024444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- NEAR 18.4N3 124.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 124.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.3N5 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 22.4N8 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 24.6N2 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.0N9 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 33.6N2 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.9N8 124.6E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 281446Z5 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. THE CURRENT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS VERY DIFFUSE. THE RECENT TRMM PASS REVEALS DUAL LLCC'S EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. JTWC IS KEEPING WITH THE MAIN CONVECTION AND PREVIOUS FIXES. THE CURRENT LLCC IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NORTH AND MERGE WITH THE LLCC LOCATED NEAR 20.7N9 126.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA. THE INTERACTION OF THESE TWO LLCC'S COULD RESULT IN A MERGER WHERE THE NORTHERN LLCC BECOMES DOMINANT RESULTING IN A FASTER APPARENT MOTION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4, 290900Z0, 291500Z7 AND 292100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 07:21:49 2003 X-UIDL: 26345-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00AF6E57O2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 07:19:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SNJgNl065063 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 07:19:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SGvA8e041060; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1030393 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SNEBG2030352 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4SNEAMl027418 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4SNEA3u027416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 18:14:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305282314.h4SNEA3u027416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 282230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/282230Z/290600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/281951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281800Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 124.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 282100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 148.7E0, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1) AND DISSIPATED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RAINER/HEATH/KELSEY/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 13:36:31 2003 X-UIDL: 26349-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00AXNIO2O2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 08:57:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T0vSNl088403 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:57:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnALC025944; Wed, 28 May 2003 19:51:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1031477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 19:51:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T0pQG2034068 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 19:51:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T0pQMl028531 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 19:51:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T0pQEe028530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 19:51:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 19:51:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290051.h4T0pQEe028530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 290000 WARNING 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 992 HPA AT 22.0N 125.7E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 25.4N 128.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 35.0N 133.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 39.0N 138.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 13:36:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00ATHN7MO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 10:35:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T2ZcNl020915 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 10:35:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAP0025944; Wed, 28 May 2003 21:30:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1032302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 21:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T2UpG2019042 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 21:30:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T2UpMl029665 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 21:30:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T2UoOr029664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 21:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 21:30:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290230.h4T2UoOr029664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 127E 32N 127E 30N 135E 24N 134E 27N 127E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 09N 110E 16N 110E 17N 116E 10N 118E 09N 110E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 31N 180E 24N 160E 24N 150E 30N 145E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 166E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 163E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 992 HPA AT 22.0N 125.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 123E TO 27N 128E 24N 134E 22N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 151E TO 27N 163E 33N 175E 33N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 13:36:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00AJENUGO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 10:49:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T2nLNl025060 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 10:49:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAP6025944; Wed, 28 May 2003 21:44:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1032437 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 May 2003 21:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T2i8G2032886 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 21:44:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T2i8Ml029780 for ; Wed, 28 May 2003 21:44:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T2i8nH029779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 28 May 2003 21:44:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 28 May 2003 21:44:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290244.h4T2i8nH029779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 017 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- NEAR 22.3N7 125.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 125.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.3N9 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.7N5 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 30.2N5 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 34.1N8 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 39.0N2 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION NEAR 22.8N2 126.1E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS BEEN RELOCATED 250 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF ITS 1800Z POSITION AND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE DUAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS PREVIOUSLY EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH HAVE NOW COMBINED INTO A SINGLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC WITH LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING INTO THE CENTER. EARLIER INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATED TD 05W 250 NM FURTHER SOUTH. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 282112Z6 QUIKSCAT PASS, AND A 282125Z0 AIR FORCE WC130 RECON OBSERVATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. A RECENT 282331Z9 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS THAT TD 05W IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED WITH DISTINCT BANDING FEATURES AND INCREASED CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING AROUND THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0, 291500Z7, 292100Z4 AND 300300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 13:36:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00AILUO6O2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 13:16:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T5GlNl070293 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 13:16:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T0vCi4045844; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:12:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1034019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:03:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T53YG2050968 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:03:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T53YMl001187 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:03:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T53Yp7001185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 00:03:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 00:03:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290503.h4T53Yp7001185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/290151ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N7 125.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 290300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 15:02:40 2003 X-UIDL: 26372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFM00A5OZBVO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 14:57:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T6vLNl001561 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 14:57:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAXk025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 01:51:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1034836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 01:51:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T6pUG2029078 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 01:51:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T6pUMl001980 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 01:51:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T6pUCQ001979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 01:51:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 01:51:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290651.h4T6pUCQ001979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 290600 WARNING 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 22.3N 126.9E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 27.7N 131.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 36.0N 135.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 986 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 16:43:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00AN33W0O2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 16:36:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T8ZqNl032300 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:35:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAYo025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 03:29:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1035398 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 03:29:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T8TdG2035254 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 03:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T8TdMl002820 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 03:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T8Tdp1002819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 03:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 03:29:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290829.h4T8Tdp1002819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 128E 30N 136E 22N 137E 20N 132E 28N 128E 32N 128E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 128E 28N 128E 23N 122E 27N 121E 32N 128E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 114E 13N 117E 06N 109E 10N 106E 18N 114E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 141E 47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E 27N 155E 30N 146E 42N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 168E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 165E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 990 HPA AT 22.3N 126.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 122E TO 28N 128E 25N 135E 23N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 166E TO 31N 171E 33N 175E 33N 177W 35N 170W 35N 164W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 16:43:32 2003 X-UIDL: 26384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00ANA3W1O2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 16:36:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T8ZtNl032308 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 16:35:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAYm025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 03:28:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1035395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 03:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4T8SdG2052690 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 03:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4T8SdMl002808 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 03:28:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4T8Sd8b002807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 03:28:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 03:28:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305290828.h4T8Sd8b002807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 018 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- NEAR 22.7N1 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N1 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.1N8 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.1N1 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 32.3N8 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 36.3N2 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 43.0N7 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION NEAR 23.3N8 127.4E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290530Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASSES AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF BANDING FEATURES, RESULTING IN THE INTENSIFICATION SEEN OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS ASYMMETRIC, PARTIALLY EXPOSED, WITH ALMOST ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7, 292100Z4, 300300Z6 AND 300900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 23:04:15 2003 X-UIDL: 26402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00A3HFSKO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 20:53:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TCr1Nl008181 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 20:53:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAdc025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 07:47:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1036962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 07:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TCltG2005030 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 07:47:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TCltMl005081 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 07:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TCltPE005078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 07:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 07:47:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305291247.h4TCltPE005078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 291200 WARNING 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 985 HPA AT 22.5N 128.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 25.8N 129.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 30.3N 131.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 38.0N 138.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 23:04:16 2003 X-UIDL: 26404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00AN4HVQO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 21:38:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TDc6Nl020945 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:38:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAgU025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:31:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1037503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:31:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TDVsG2020832 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:31:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TDVsMl006142 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:31:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TDVs5W006141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:31:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 08:31:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305291331.h4TDVs5W006141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- NEAR 23.1N6 128.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N6 128.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.2N0 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.8N9 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 33.8N4 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 37.2N2 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 44.1N9 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION NEAR 23.9N4 128.4E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A SLIGHT INCREASE IN OVERALL SYSTEM ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS ASYMMETRIC WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4, 300300Z6, 300900Z2 AND 301500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 23:04:16 2003 X-UIDL: 26405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00ANFJ3HO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 22:04:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TE4LNl028445 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:04:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnAj0025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:56:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1037792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:56:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TDuQG2038818 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:56:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TDuPMl006939 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:56:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TDuPbe006938 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 08:56:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 08:56:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 05w (linfa) Warning Nr 19// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305291356.h4TDuPbe006938@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 19// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 291200Z4 MAY TO 011200Z4 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A SLIGHT INCREASE IN OVERALL SYSTEM ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS ASYMMETRIC WITH MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. B. TS 05W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK POLEWARD AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERD EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TS 05W WILL BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL (XT) SYSTEM AFTER 24 HOURS, INTERACTING WITH A DEEP SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE YELLOW SEA, WITH THE SYSTEM XT AT 48 HOURS. GFDN, UKMET GLOBAL (EGRR), JAPANESE GLOBAL AND TYPHOON (JGSM AND JTYM), MM5, COAMPS, AND ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT. NOGAPS AND NCEP GFS ARE THE OUTLIERS THIS RUN, TRACKING THE SYSTEM NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HONSHU BEFORE TURNING RAPIDLY POLEWARD. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS AND NCEP GFS. C. TS 05W WILL ENJOY ONLY A BRIEF PERIOD OF FURTHER INTENSIFICATION BEFORE THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES NORTH OF THE KUROSHIO AND NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HOLD INTENSITY IN CHECK. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON ANALYSIS OF A 290936Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE TO SMALL-SIZED ASYMMETRIC SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu May 29 23:04:16 2003 X-UIDL: 26407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00AEIKK2O2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 29 May 2003 22:36:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TEZtNl037810 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:35:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TD72Pi045844; Thu, 29 May 2003 09:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1038183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 09:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TESjG2021872 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 09:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TESjMl008044 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 09:28:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TESjv0008043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 09:28:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 09:28:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305291428.h4TESjv0008043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 127E 33N 133E 25N 138E 19N 135E 20N 131E 23N 132E 26N 128E 30N 127E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 141E 47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 29N 160E 30N 150E 42N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 09N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 158E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 177E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 985 HPA AT 22.5N 128.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 122E TO 28N 128E 26N 136E 24N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 163E TO 31N 170E 34N 177E 34N 175W 35N 167W 35N 161W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 09:04:27 2003 X-UIDL: 26417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFN00A86WPLO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 02:58:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TIwQNl017210 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 02:58:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnA0s025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 13:49:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1041060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 13:49:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TInEG2048694 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 13:49:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TInDMl017908 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 13:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TInDYx017907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 13:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 13:49:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305291849.h4TInDYx017907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 291800 WARNING 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 980 HPA AT 24.3N 129.1E SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 19 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 28.0N 131.5E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 32.4N 132.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 38.5N 138.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 09:04:27 2003 X-UIDL: 26421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO00AMP18WO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 04:36:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TKaQNl049547 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 04:36:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnA6Q025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 15:27:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1042343 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 15:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TKRQG2041732 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 15:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TKRQMl021609 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 15:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TKRQ5H021608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 15:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 15:27:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305292027.h4TKRQ5H021608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 132E 27N 139E 24N 134E 27N 129E 33N 132E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 143E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 39N 180E 30N 156E 30N 150E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 132E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 56N 150E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 159E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 179E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 980 HPA AT 24.3N 129.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 132E TO 54N 134E 54N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 132E TO 48N 130E 43N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 127E TO 28N 132E 24N 138E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 146E TO 25N 157E 33N 171E 34N 179W 34N 160W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 09:04:27 2003 X-UIDL: 26422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO00ARU2QOO2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 05:08:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TL8bNl058435 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 05:08:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4SMnA9M025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 15:57:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1042974 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 15:57:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TKv4G2008086 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 15:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4TKv4Ml026062 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 15:57:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4TKv4Zs026061 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 15:57:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 15:57:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305292057.h4TKv4Zs026061@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 292100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- NEAR 24.3N9 129.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 129.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.6N5 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 31.7N1 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 35.2N0 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 38.5N6 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 45.6N5 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION NEAR 25.1N8 129.6E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55 KNOTS. SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. A 291529Z8 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION PASS REVEALS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6, 300900Z2, 301500Z9 AND 302100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 09:04:29 2003 X-UIDL: 26430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO0054XD3NZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 08:52:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U0qRNl013595 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 08:52:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2KE025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 19:46:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1045447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 19:46:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U0kJG2042838 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 19:46:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U0kJMl000182 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 19:46:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U0kJV6000181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 19:46:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 19:46:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300046.h4U0kJV6000181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 300000 WARNING 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 980 HPA AT 25.3N 130.3E SOUTHWEST OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 20 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 30.6N 131.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 35.5N 133.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 14:16:53 2003 X-UIDL: 26437-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO0053EHSIZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 10:33:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U2XkNl046673 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 10:33:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U1jJK8045864; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:29:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1046402 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U2SWG2024050 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U2SVMl001259 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:28:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U2SVWA001258 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:28:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 21:28:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300228.h4U2SVWA001258@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 133E 26N 141E 24N 138E 28N 131E 31N 131E 32N 133E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 134E 22N 137E 14N 133E 15N 126E 20N 127E 23N 134E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 119E 09N 118E 10N 111E 15N 110E 14N 119E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 148E 27N 148E 29N 159E 27N 160E 24N 155E 23N 148E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 142E 44N 146E 50N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 29N 180E 23N 157E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 17N 119E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 134E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 31N 126E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 41N 160E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 180E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 980 HPA AT 25.3N 130.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 134E TO 54N 139E 52N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 134E TO 48N 135E 43N 130E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 130E TO 23N 146E 25N 157E 35N 172E 34N 171W 33N 158W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 14:16:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO005KLIZ6ZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 10:59:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U2xNNl055647 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 10:59:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2QU025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:53:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1046743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:53:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U2r8G2039468 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:53:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U2r8Ml001485 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:53:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U2r81H001484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 21:53:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 21:53:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300253.h4U2r81H001484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- NEAR 25.6N3 130.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N3 130.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.3N4 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 32.8N3 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 34.9N6 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 37.3N3 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 42.9N5 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION NEAR 26.5N3 130.7E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH DRY AIR ENTRAINING INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2, 301500Z9, 302100Z6 AND 310300Z7. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 14:16:55 2003 X-UIDL: 26444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO0056GK3FZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 11:23:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U3NUNl063706 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 11:23:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2Qo025944; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:18:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1046883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:18:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U3IoG2040884 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:18:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U3IoMl001705 for ; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:18:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U3IoDe001704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 May 2003 22:18:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 29 May 2003 22:18:50 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300318.h4U3IoDe001704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 252 URPA12 PGTW 300300 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 30/0300Z B. 26 DEG 41 MIN N 129 DEG 53 MIN E C. NA D. 25 KT E. 222 DEG 103 NM F. 287 DEG 34 KT G. 220 DEG 066 NM H. EXTRAP 983 MB I. 24 C/ 344 M J. 24 C/ 498 M K. 23 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 1 34 /1 O. 1/2 NM P. AF968 0305W LINFA OB 13 MAX FL WIND 34 KT S QUAD 0239Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT. MAX FL TEMP 25C 206/11 FROM FL CNTR ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 14:16:57 2003 X-UIDL: 26451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO005V6PJ9ZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 13:21:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U5L3Nl098534 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:21:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U1jJYI045864; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:15:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1047900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:05:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U55bG2023924 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:05:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U55bMl002790 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:05:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U55ab0002789 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:05:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 00:05:36 -0500 From: ldm@LIB.SIU.EDU Subject: Pacific-NW: Vortex Message Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300505.h4U55ab0002789@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIII, Probability=43%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, NO_REAL_NAME, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __UPPERCASE_25_50 511 URPA12 PGTW 300446 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 30/0446Z B. 27 DEG 12 MIN N 129 DEG 59 MIN E C. NA D. 15 KT E. 297 DEG 85 NM F. 001 DEG 33 KT G. 284 DEG 050 NM H. EXTRAP 983 MB I. 22 C/ 800 M J. 24 C/ 480 M K. 23 C/ NA L. NA M. NA N. 1 345/1 O. 1/2 NM P. AF968 0305W LINFA OB 17 MAX FL WIND 75 KT N QUAD 0342Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT. ; +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 14:16:57 2003 X-UIDL: 26452-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO005V8PJ9ZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 13:21:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U5L2Nl098532 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:21:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2XC025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:15:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1047914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:07:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U57bG2033150 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:07:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U57bMl002810 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:07:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U57bPP002809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:07:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 00:07:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 05w (linfa) Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300507.h4U57bPP002809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 300400 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR/ 21 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 300000Z3 MAY TO 020000Z2 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH DRY AIR ENTRAINING INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. B. TS 05W WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD TOWARDS MAINLAND JAPAN, AND MERGE WITH THE SHORTWAVE TO THE WEST. IT WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR TANABE IN SOUTHEASTERN HONSHU. ONCE TS 05W HAS TRANSITIONED TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN 24 TO 36 HOURS, IT WILL RECURVE EASTWARD ALONG THE EASTERN HONSHU SHORELINE. THIS IS A MAJOR CHANGE AFTER THE 24 HOUR POINT FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACKS. THE ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS FOR TS 05W TO TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGH HONSHU, SKIRT THE WESTERN COASTLINE OF HONSHU AND THEN RECURVE EASTWARD AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW ACROSS NORTHERN HONSHO. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, UKMENT, JAPANESE TYPHOON (JTYM), GFDN, COAMPS AND AFWA MM5 ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. JTYM AND MM5 ARE THE TWO OUTLIERS; THEIR SOLUTIONS ARE MORE IN LINE WITH THE ALTERNATE SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON JTYM AND MM5. C. TS 05W WILL REMAIN AT ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 6-12 HOURSAND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN UNDER THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF INCREASING SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TS 05W WILL WEAKEN EVEN MORE DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND BUT IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON ANALYSIS OF A 292049Z6 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: MODIFICATION TO PARAGRAPHS B, C, AND D. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 14:16:57 2003 X-UIDL: 26453-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO005QSQC7ZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 13:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U5cONl003731 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:38:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U1jJam045864; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U5ZXG2031046 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U5ZXMl003058 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U5ZXhT003056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 00:35:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300535.h4U5ZXhT003056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/300151ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N9 129.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 117.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 118.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED OVER AN ELONGATED SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH, WITH NO APPARENT LOW LEVEL CIRCUALTION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF MULTIPLE POINT SOURCES OVER THE AREA, PROVIDING FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.4S3 174.3W5, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO, IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 14:55:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO005O6TTQZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 14:53:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U6reNl028472 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 14:53:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2Yq025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 01:47:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1048648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 01:47:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U6loG2025200 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 01:47:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U6loMl003604 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 01:47:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U6lo8v003603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 01:47:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 01:47:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300647.h4U6lo8v003603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 300600 WARNING 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 985 HPA AT 27.6N 130.8E SOUTH OF KYUSYU MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 32.3N 132.2E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 35.8N 133.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 16:45:23 2003 X-UIDL: 26473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO0054SYMVZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 16:37:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U8bRNl060414 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:37:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2aC025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 03:30:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 03:30:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U8U4G2025198 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 03:30:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U8U4Ml004467 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 03:30:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U8U4FR004466 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 03:30:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 03:30:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300830.h4U8U4FR004466@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 31N 127E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 138E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 138E TO 53N 143E 53N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 138E TO 48N 138E 43N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 127E 26N 134E 22N 138E 17N 132E 21N 127E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 134E 28N 134E 31N 131E 33N 132E 34N 135E 26N 142E 22N 138E 26N 134E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 10N 110E 15N 110E 16N 116E 10N 117E 10N 110E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 32N 160E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 17N 118E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 56N 153E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 41N 161E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 180E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 985 HPA AT 27.6N 130.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 130E TO 27N 137E 23N 150E 26N 157E 29N 166E 34N 174E 34N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 16:55:23 2003 X-UIDL: 26474-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFO005MHZ5GZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 16:48:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U8mkNl063725 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 16:48:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2aE025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 03:40:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1049267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 03:40:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4U8eDG2037054 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 03:40:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4U8eDMl004561 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 03:40:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4U8eDwj004560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 03:40:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 03:40:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305300840.h4U8eDwj004560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- NEAR 27.4N3 130.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 130.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 30.9N2 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 34.5N2 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 36.7N6 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 38.9N0 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 44.3N1 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION NEAR 28.3N3 131.0E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCUALTION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED, HOWEVER WC-130 RECON DATA INDICATES SOME SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANALYSIS OF WC-130 DATA AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY HAS RESULTED IN AN ADJUSTMENT TO THE BEST TRACK AND A CORRESPONDING MORE POLEWARD INITIAL FORECAST TRACK. MODEL CONSENSUS NOW ONCE AGAIN PRODUCES A TRACK OVER SHIKOKU AND UP THE WESTERN SIDE OF HONSHU AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITIONS TO EXTRATROPICAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9, 302100Z6, 310300Z7 AND 310900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 20:57:42 2003 X-UIDL: 26499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005S7ALRZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 20:56:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UCu8Nl036829 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:56:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2fA025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 07:49:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1050847 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 07:49:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UCnJG2026206 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 07:49:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UCnJMl006841 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 07:49:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UCnJjd006840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 07:49:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 07:49:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301249.h4UCnJjd006840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 301200 WARNING 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 980 HPA AT 30.0N 131.4E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 24 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 34.7N 132.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 36.9N 135.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri May 30 21:47:43 2003 X-UIDL: 26500-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005J8CW8ZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 21:45:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UDjaNl049817 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 21:45:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2hq025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 08:35:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051342 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 08:35:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UDZRG2026254 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 08:35:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UDZRMl007864 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 08:35:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UDZRgb007863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 08:35:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 08:35:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301335.h4UDZRgb007863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 301500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- NEAR 29.8N9 131.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 131.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 33.3N9 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 35.9N7 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 38.1N2 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 40.9N3 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION NEAR 30.7N0 131.7E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 301047Z5 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS WELL INTO THE TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6, 310300Z7, 310900Z3 AND 311500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 03:31:19 2003 X-UIDL: 26502-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005KQEQNZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 22:25:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UEPONl060708 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 22:25:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2kO025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 09:17:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051821 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 09:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UEHRG2019406 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 09:17:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UEHRMl009192 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 09:17:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UEHRXC009191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 09:17:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 09:17:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 05w (linfa) Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301417.h4UEHRXC009191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 301500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR/ 23// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 301200Z6 MAY TO 011200Z4 JUN 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 301047Z5 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS WELL INTO THE TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL. B. BASED ON EARLIER WC-130 AIRCRAFT RECON DATA AND ANALYSIS OF MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, WE ADJUSTED THE BEST TRACK OF TS 05W MORE POLEWARD. CONSEQUENTLY, THIS LED TO A MORE POLEWARD INITIAL TRACK AND A CONSENSUS FORECAST TRACK TAKING THE SYSTEM OVER SHIKOKU AND UP THE SEA OF JAPAN SIDE OF HONSHU. OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS, THE ONSET OF TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM CAME ABOUT RAPIDLY, RESULTING IN SLIGHTLY EXPANDED 35 KNOT WIND RADII. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE THE TRANSITION BY 311200Z7. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, JAPANESE TYPHOON (JTYM) AND GLOBAL (JGSM) MODELS, GFDN, COAMPS AND AFWA MM5 ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SOLUTION. THE LONE OUTLIER THIS RUN IS UKMET (EGRR), WHICH TAKES THE SOUTHERN HONSHU TRACK, BASED ON TIMING OF THE LINK UP OF THE SYSTEM WITH A DEEP MID-LATITUDE TROUGH SOMEWHAT LATER THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGRR. C. TS 05W WILL WEAKEN AS THE UPPER-LEVELS OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUE TO DE-COUPLE FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), AS WELL AS THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. FURTHER WEAKENING WILL OCCUR DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND, BUT THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW OVER NORTHERN JAPAN. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON ANALYSIS OF A 300909Z1 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A MEDIUM-SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 03:31:19 2003 X-UIDL: 26505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005I5F8IZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 30 May 2003 22:36:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UEaANl063766 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 22:36:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2ki025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 09:28:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1051929 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 09:28:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UESbG2045478 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 09:28:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UESaMl009557 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 09:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UESaTE009556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 09:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 09:28:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301428.h4UESaTE009556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 140E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 140E TO 56N 144E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 144E TO 56N 149E 55N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 144E TO 49N 143E 44N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 125E 33N 126E 33N 130E 31N 130E 30N 129E 30N 125E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 131E 33N 134E 34N 137E 33N 140E 27N 138E 30N 134E 32N 131E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 130E 30N 135E 27N 138E 24N 135E 26N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 33N 152E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 17N 118E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 161E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 178E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 980 HPA AT 30.0N 131.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 21N 124E TO 24N 128E 28N 130E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 30N 139E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 151E TO 29N 160E 33N 166E 33N 180E 33N 156W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 03:31:24 2003 X-UIDL: 26514-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005D2MZOZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 01:23:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHNfNl015748 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:23:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4TMl2uY025944; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1053735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHH0G2058762 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UHH0Ml015400 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UHH0pd015398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 12:17:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301717.h4UHH0pd015398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/300151ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N3 130.2E6, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 117.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 118.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED OVER AN ELONGATED SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH, WITH NO APPARENT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF MULTIPLE POINT SOURCES OVER THE AREA, PROVIDING FAVORABLE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.4S3 174.3W5, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO, IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: MOVED THE POOR SUSPECT AREA FROM PARA 1.A.(2) TO PARA 1.B.(1). UPDATED SUSPECT AREA POSITION AND ESTIMATED SEA LEVEL PRESSURE. ADJUSTED WARNING POSITION IN PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 03:31:33 2003 X-UIDL: 26523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP005JFRDHZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 02:58:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UIwLNl039783 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 02:58:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9Ic041818; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:48:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:48:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UImvG2040794 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:48:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UImvMl018630 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UImvgQ018629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 13:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 13:48:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0304 Linfa (0304) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301848.h4UImvgQ018629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 301800 WARNING 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 980 HPA AT 32.2N 132.1E SOUTHWEST OF SHIKOKU MOVING NORTH 22 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 35.0N 134.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 37.0N 137.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 04:01:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26525-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP0057AU8SZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 04:00:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UK0KNl062723 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 04:00:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9O6041818; Fri, 30 May 2003 14:56:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 14:56:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UJuSG2025992 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 14:56:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UJuRMl021123 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 14:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UJuRVi021121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 14:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 14:56:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305301956.h4UJuRVi021121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (LINFA) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 32.0N5 132.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 32.0N5 132.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 34.8N5 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 37.2N2 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 40.0N4 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION NEAR 32.7N2 132.4E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 301751Z7 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) PASS REVEAL THAT THE SYSTEM HAS COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 04:41:08 2003 X-UIDL: 26526-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFP0056EVQTZR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 04:32:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UKWkNl075156 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 04:32:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9Q2041818; Fri, 30 May 2003 15:26:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 2055 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 15:26:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UKQwG2025748 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 15:26:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4UKQwMl022022 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 15:26:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4UKQwFv022021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 15:26:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 15:26:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305302026.h4UKQwFv022021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 136E 35N 140E 29N 143E 25N 137E 29N 135E 33N 136E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 150E 54N 160E 48N 172E 44N 159E 47N 150E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 38N 151E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 17N 118E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 55N 140E NNE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 29N 159E NE 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 56N 171E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 41N 166E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 980 HPA AT 32.2N 132.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 140E TO 56N 146E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 146E TO 55N 152E 55N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 146E TO 50N 143E 43N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 22N 124E TO 24N 129E 29N 131E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 132E TO 34N 137E 30N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 09:41:09 2003 X-UIDL: 26546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HOW9XR8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 09:39:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V1dJNl045258 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 09:39:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UKxugU044042; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V1VhG2029044 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4V1VgMl026998 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4V1VgH0026996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 20:31:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305310131.h4V1VgH0026996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 310130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/310130Z/310600ZMAY2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/301951ZMAY2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N5 132.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 302100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 118.0E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 117.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM WEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED OVER AN ELONGATED SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH. RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) AND QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DEVELOPED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. BASED ON INCREASED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED WARNING INFORMATION IN PARA 1.A.(1) AND UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/DENSON/RONSSE/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 10:41:09 2003 X-UIDL: 26551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HYQCHI8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 10:34:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V2YONl062115 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:34:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V2ExGm024736; Fri, 30 May 2003 21:28:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5705 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 May 2003 21:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V2S1G2025712 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 21:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4V2S1Ml027758 for ; Fri, 30 May 2003 21:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4V2S14X027757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 30 May 2003 21:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 21:28:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305310228.h4V2S14X027757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 310000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0304 LINFA (0304) 988 HPA AT 34N 134E SHIKOKU MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 134E TO 34N 137E 33N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 134E TO 27N 132E 21N 126E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 158E TO 32N 160E 31N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 158E TO 27N 158E 22N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 152E 53N 161E 51N 176E 44N 173E 47N 152E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 143E 42N 141E 42N 143E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 35N 152E 39N 143E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 17N 118E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 56N 142E NE 20 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 56N 175E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 168E EAST 20 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 142E TO 57N 146E 56N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 150E TO 55N 154E 53N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 150E TO 49N 145E 43N 135E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 19:14:01 2003 X-UIDL: 26562-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HGOKI08D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 13:27:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V5RTNl010821 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 13:27:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9tg041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 00:19:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 6953 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 00:19:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V5JJG2035334 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 00:19:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4V5JJMl029257 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 00:19:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4V5JJRr029256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 00:19:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 00:19:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305310519.h4V5JJRr029256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 010000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING MESSAGE TRANSITION NOTICE// RMKS/ 1. IAW DIRECTIVE ISSUED BY USCOMPAC METOC GROUP US PACIFIC COMMAND (MGUSPACOM) EFFECTIVE 010000Z JUN 03, JTWC WILL ISSUE 96 AND 120 HOUR FORECASTS FOR NORTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONES WITH INTENSITIES OF 35 KNOTS OR GREATER. 96 AND 120 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS WILL NOT INCLUDE WIND RADII INFORMATION. THIS PRODUCT WILL NOT BE IMMEDIATELY AVAILABLE ON THE AWN HOWEVER, THE 5-DAY FORECAST MESSAGE AND GRAPHIC WILL BE AVAILABLE ON THE JTWC WEBSITE. WWW.NPMOC.NAVY.MIL/JTWC.HTML (ALL LOWERCASE). 2. THE CURRENT 72 HOUR FORECAST MESSAGE WILL BE MODIFIED TO INCLUDE POSITION AND MAXIMUM INTENSITY INFORMATION AT 96 AND 120 HOURS AND WILL BE USED ROUTINELY AS THE STANDARD NORTHWEST PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FORMAT. 3. EXAMPLE OF THE 96 AND 120 HOUR FORECAST INFORMATION IS PROVIDED BELOW: LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 35.7N5 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 39.8N0 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT 4. CONCURRENT WITH THIS MESSAGE CHANGE, A 5-DAY JTWC FORECAST GRAPHIC WILL ALSO BE PRODUCED AND POSTED TO THE JTWC WEBSITE. THIS GRAPHIC WILL ALSO INCLUDE A HATCHED AREA SURROUNDING THE JTWC FORECAST OUT TO 72 HOURS. THE HATCHED AREA DEPICTS FORECAST UNCERTAINTY. FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IS THE SUM OF THE JTWC 5 YEAR MEAN TRACK ERROR AND THE FORECAST 35 KNOT WIND RADII AND IS INTENDED AS A PRELIMINARY EFFORT TO CONVEY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST UNCERTAINTY. 5. A SHIP AVOIDANCE AREA GRAPHIC WILL ALSO BE PRODUCED AND POSTED ON THE JTWC WEBSITE AS A SEPARATE GRAPHIC. THIS GRAPHIC WILL DEPICT THE 24 HOUR COMPACFLT OPORD 201 ANNEX H SHIP AVOIDANCE AREA OVERLAYED ON THE 120 HOUR TC FORECAST TRACK. 6. TO AID TRANSITION TO THIS NEW FORECAST FORMAT, JTWC WILL BE POSTING THE EXISTING 3-DAY FORECAST MESSAGE ON THE AWN AND JWTC WEBSITE UNTIL 15 JUNE. BEGINNING 16 JUNE, JTWC WILL POSTING THE 5-DAY FORECAST TO THE AWN AND DISCONTINUE THE 3-DAY MESSAGE ON THE JTWC WEBSITE. 7. JTWC POC FOR THE 120 HOUR FORECAST/GRAPHIC IS LT NEIL SMITH, JT OPERATIONS OFFICER, DSN (315)471-0004, NIPR EMAIL: JTOPS@NPMOC.NAVY.MIL. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 19:14:01 2003 X-UIDL: 26563-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HWPMH48D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 14:10:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V6AANl020153 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 14:10:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9vA041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 7430 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V62MG2020202 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4V62MMl029596 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4V62M1J029594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 01:02:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305310602.h4V62M1J029594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZMAY/010600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/301951ZMAY2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/310551ZMAY2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301800Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (LINFA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N5 132.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 302100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 117.3E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.8N6 117.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES. RECENT MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A DEVELOPING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH ORGANIZING CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS PRODUCTS INDICATE A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. BASED ON IMPROVED LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KLINZMANN/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 19:14:02 2003 X-UIDL: 26568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFQ00HUETF58D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 16:40:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V8eANl052456 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 16:40:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt9xm041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 03:30:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8224 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 03:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4V8UsG2042866 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 03:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4V8UsMl000814 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 03:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4V8UsxP000813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 03:30:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 03:30:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305310830.h4V8UsxP000813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 310600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 35N 134E HONSHU MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 134E TO 36N 139E 31N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 134E TO 27N 131E 23N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 159E TO 31N 162E 30N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 159E TO 26N 159E 21N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 148E 54N 161E 46N 163E 40N 148E 48N 148E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 13N 119E 09N 120E 09N 110E 13N 110E 13N 119E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 16.9N 116.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 142E 46N 150E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 32N 151E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 143E EAST 10 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 55N 179E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat May 31 22:41:28 2003 X-UIDL: 26588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00HNQA048D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 31 May 2003 22:38:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VEcLNl029210 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 22:38:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt96k041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 09:29:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 10254 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 09:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VETpG2037088 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 09:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VEToMl003106 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 09:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VETob1003105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 09:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 09:29:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305311429.h4VETob1003105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 311200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 17.5N 117.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 17.6N 115.2E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 36N 135E WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 135E TO 37N 141E 31N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 135E TO 29N 135E 23N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 170E 56N 170E 53N 180E 46N 180E 49N 170E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 13N 118E 09N 118E 06N 106E 10N 107E 13N 118E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 39N 180E 35N 151E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 55N 145E EAST 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 180E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 170E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 01 00:11:29 2003 X-UIDL: 26592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HFR00HFMDUP8D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 01 Jun 2003 00:01:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VG1UNl048836 for ; Sun, 01 Jun 2003 00:01:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4UHt97g041818; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:56:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 10630 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:55:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h4VFtMG2036978 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:55:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h4VFtLMl003799 for ; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h4VFtLhO003798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 31 May 2003 10:55:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 31 May 2003 10:55:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200305311555.h4VFtLhO003798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 311500 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310451ZMAY2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- NEAR 17.8N6 117.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 117.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.5N4 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 19.3N3 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 20.2N7 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 21.1N4 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.7N1 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION NEAR 18.0N9 117.1E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST OF NORTHERN LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 25 KNOTS. THE RECENT SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS ORGANIZING CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 08 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 310451ZMAY2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 310500).REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7, 010300Z4, 010900Z0 AND 011500Z7. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 04:43:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG6005EAJXDC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:36:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58KagPg071584 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 04:36:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoiA025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:31:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 27433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58KUxG2041172 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58KUw9d017575 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58KUw8U017574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 15:30:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306082030.h58KUw8U017574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 27N 127E NEAR OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 27N 127E TO 28N 131E 26N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 27N 127E TO 25N 127E 23N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 124E TO 22N 118E 22N 111E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 37N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 156E TO 37N 158E 37N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 160E TO 36N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 160E TO 31N 157E 27N 149E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 149E TO 26N 144E 26N 137E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 43N 142E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 31N 158E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 41N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 47N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 25N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 169E TO 37N 178E 40N 173W 38N 166W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 10:49:22 2003 X-UIDL: 27344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700JW60QS7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:40:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h592duPg047911 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:39:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58HrDAS039566; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 21:34:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 21:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h592SkG2017656 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 21:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h592Sk9d020559 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 21:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h592Sk36020558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 21:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 21:28:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090228.h592Sk36020558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 28N 127E NORTH OF OKINAWA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 28N 127E TO 28N 133E 26N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 127E TO 24N 126E 22N 120E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 120E TO 23N 114E 24N 107E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 34N 157E TO 36N 159E 36N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 161E TO 36N 167E 36N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 161E TO 30N 158E 25N 149E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 149E TO 23N 144E 26N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 144E 50N 157E 60N 167E 61N 180E 33N 180E 26N 153E 34N 154E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 14:11:47 2003 X-UIDL: 27367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700JTRADH7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 14:08:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5967vsq011774 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 14:07:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583Do8c025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 33020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59626G2030016 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h596259d022149 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59625Yf022147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:02:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090602.h59625Yf022147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/081951ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.2N0 150.1E7 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BEGUN IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF THIS LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WEAK CONFLUENT FLOW; HOWEVER, THE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IS WEAK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SUFRACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEAL LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081800Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P (GINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 165.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 14:43:59 2003 X-UIDL: 27371-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700JYJBV77G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 14:40:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h596eCsq021275 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 14:40:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583Do9g025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 33166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h596ZCG2035406 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h596ZB9d022371 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h596ZB3I022370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 01:35:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090635.h596ZB3I022370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/081951ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.7N5 148.5E8 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL- DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BEGUN IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF THIS LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WEAK CONFLUENT FLOW; HOWEVER, THE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IS WEAK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SUFRACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEAL LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081800Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P (GINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 165.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 16:34:00 2003 X-UIDL: 27385-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700J0PH2M7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:32:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h598WWsq059718 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:32:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoBE025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:27:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 33696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h598RjG2035134 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h598Rj9d023052 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:27:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h598RibV023051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 03:27:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306090827.h598RibV023051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 28N 128E NORTHEAST OF OKINAWA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 28N 128E TO 29N 130E 29N 131E. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 131E TO 27N 136E 24N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 131E TO 25N 127E 22N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 121E TO 23N 114E 24N 106E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 34N 158E TO 36N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 161E TO 36N 168E 37N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 161E TO 29N 157E 25N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 150E TO 24N 145E 24N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 28N 155E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 149E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 172E TO 37N 177W 40N 168W 38N 164W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 09 22:49:17 2003 X-UIDL: 27420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG700JO2Y1P7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:39:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59EdHsq062893 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 22:39:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59CWBOU025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 36804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59ES8G2035268 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:28:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59ES89d028201 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:28:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59ES78q028200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:28:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 09:28:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306091428.h59ES78q028200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 29N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 29N 128E TO 29N 131E. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 131E TO 27N 137E 25N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 131E TO 24N 128E 23N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 122E TO 23N 114E 24N 105E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 34N 163E TO 36N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 166E TO 37N 173E 37N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 166E TO 28N 158E 25N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 151E TO 24N 145E 25N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 28N 158E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 59N 141E SE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 42N 149E ENE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 00:24:48 2003 X-UIDL: 27426-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800JQV1V57G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:01:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59G1ksq086799 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:01:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59FXCIY039566; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:54:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 38313 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59FrOG2029048 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59FrO9d001427 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59FrOv1001425 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 10:53:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306091553.h59FrOv1001425@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 091600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/091600Z/100600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/081951ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 148.5E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 145.9E9, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION PASS REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, THOUGH THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT IS STILL MARGINAL DUE TO LINEAR FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 081800Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 29P (GINA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7S6 165.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 082100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 04:44:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800J0RENP7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:38:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59Kc1sq065998 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 04:38:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59CWB3O025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:29:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 42604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:29:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59KSxG2038034 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59KSw9d011449 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59KSwBE011448 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 15:28:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306092028.h59KSwBE011448@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 29N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 29N 128E TO 29N 131E. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 131E TO 27N 135E 25N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 131E TO 24N 128E 22N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 121E TO 22N 115E 23N 105E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 33N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 163E TO 35N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 166E TO 37N 172E 37N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 166E TO 29N 160E 25N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 153E TO 23N 146E 25N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 29N 162E 33N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09N 144E WEST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 42N 122E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 57N 143E SE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 41N 150E SE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 05:14:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27437-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800JRSG2R7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 05:08:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59L8fsq073709 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 05:08:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59FXC2k039566; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:00:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 42888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:00:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59L0XG2038360 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:00:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h59L0X9d015542 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:00:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h59L0XDl015541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:00:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 16:00:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306092100.h59L0XDl015541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PGTW 092100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 092051Z JUN 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.9N7 145.9E9 TO 9.7N6 140.4E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 091730Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 145.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 145.9E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 145.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE AROUND A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 091650Z1 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION PASS REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR BUT MARGINAL OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SUFRACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 102100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 14:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 27461-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG800AYSV7XJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 10:35:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A2Znsq055665 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 10:35:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h59N5HZM025764; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:27:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 48094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A2RlG2040302 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5A2Rk9d021083 for ; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5A2Rkwi021080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 09 Jun 2003 21:27:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306100227.h5A2Rkwi021080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 30N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 31N 128E TO 31N 131E 30N 134E. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 134E TO 28N 138E 25N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 134E TO 24N 130E 23N 126E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 126E TO 22N 119E 23N 112E 23N 106E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 33N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 165E TO 35N 167E 36N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 169E TO 38N 176E 38N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 169E TO 27N 160E 24N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 154E TO 23N 146E 25N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 25N 160E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 10N 143E WNW 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 146E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 41N 152E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 14:25:35 2003 X-UIDL: 27477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900AF03YAJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 13:44:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5iQsq015182 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 13:44:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5BoKc025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 50486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5f9G2052902 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5A5f99d023517 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5A5f9HH023515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 00:41:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306100541.h5A5f9HH023515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/092051ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 145.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 143.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND LOW DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SUFRACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 16:43:23 2003 X-UIDL: 27489-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900AGQBW2J9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 16:36:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A8Ztsq071464 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 16:35:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5BoQK025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 03:30:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 51806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 03:30:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A8U8G2044112 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 03:30:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5A8U89d025090 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 03:30:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5A8U8cq025089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 03:30:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 03:30:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306100830.h5A8U8cq025089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 29N 129E NORTHEAST OF OKINAWA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 30N 130E TO 31N 131E 30N 133E. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 133E TO 28N 137E 26N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 133E TO 26N 130E 24N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 125E TO 27N 115E 21N 106E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 32N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 32N 163E TO 34N 165E 35N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 167E TO 37N 172E 38N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 167E TO 28N 164E 23N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 154E TO 23N 145E 26N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 162E 60N 180E 33N 180E 22N 160E 33N 160E 33N 147E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09N 145E WEST 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 56N 148E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 151E ESE SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 10 22:43:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG900AFJSRQJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 10 Jun 2003 22:40:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AEeRsq078123 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 22:40:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5Boj0025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 09:30:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 55746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 09:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AEUWG2031108 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 09:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5AEUV9d000393 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 09:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5AEUVLK000391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 09:30:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 09:30:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306101430.h5AEUVLK000391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 30N 132E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 132E TO 28N 137E 25N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 132E TO 26N 130E 24N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 125E TO 24N 119E 28N 116E 25N 111E 22N 105E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 170E TO 40N 180E 39N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 170E TO 27N 164E 23N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 155E TO 23N 147E 25N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 51N 158E 60N 163E 60N 180E 30N 180E 24N 164E 33N 166E 32N 152E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 151E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 145E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 153E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 45N 172E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 09:05:50 2003 X-UIDL: 27518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA00A609JUJ9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:43:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AKgwsq092394 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:43:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5A5BoFQ025766; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:27:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61643 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:27:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AKRcG2029108 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5AKRc9d014052 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5AKRc3Q014051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:27:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306102027.h5AKRc3Q014051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 133E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 133E TO 27N 138E 24N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 133E TO 26N 131E 24N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 125E TO 25N 120E 28N 116E 22N 105E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 171E TO 40N 179W 39N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 171E TO 26N 163E 23N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 154E TO 23N 148E 24N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 144E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 36N 180E 23N 165E 34N 168E 34N 152E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 55N 155E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 145E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 44N 176E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 154E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 09:06:00 2003 X-UIDL: 27535-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA00AI19W2J9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:50:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AKoJsq093665 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 04:50:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AF3K8i042946; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:36:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:34:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5AKY5G2037988 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:34:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5AKY59d014310 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:34:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5AKY5e2014309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:34:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 15:34:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306102034.h5AKY5e2014309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PGTW 102100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 102051ZJUN03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/092051ZJUN03// AMPN/REF IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.7N6 142.2E9 TO 11.2N4 136.6E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101730Z2 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 141.8E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 143.8E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 141.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST OF YAP. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT LIMITED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON THE CLEARLY DEFINED LLCC AND THE POTENTIAL FOR IMPROVED CONVECTION WITH CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 112100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 14:42:16 2003 X-UIDL: 27568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA006ROQ4R1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 10:41:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B2f7sq076567 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 10:41:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B2VYGA055248; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:32:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 67998 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:32:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B2WGG2015554 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:32:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5B2WC9d020703 for ; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:32:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5B2WCaJ020702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:32:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 10 Jun 2003 21:32:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306110232.h5B2WCaJ020702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 34N 169E TO 36N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 171E TO 39N 177E 41N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 171E TO 27N 169E 22N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 161E TO 21N 155E 23N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 161E 50N 161E 55N 165E 55N 172E 48N 173E 45N 161E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 158E 36N 146E 42N 141E 44N 145E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 162E 60N 179W 35N 180E 31N 167E 33N 158E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 127E 26N 128E 31N 131E 33N 133E 34N 136E 32N 140E 26N 139E 25N 134E 24N 127E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 29N 117E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 30N 133E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 992 HPA AT 56N 156E NORTH 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 20N 108E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 117E TO 27N 121E 24N 126E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 117E TO 24N 111E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 111E TO 22N 101E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 30N 133E TO 30N 136E. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 136E TO 23N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 136E TO 25N 134E 24N 126E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 141E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 156E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 44N 180E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 14:42:19 2003 X-UIDL: 27580-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGA006SUZ3W1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 13:55:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B5t1sq036511 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 13:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58VJG056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 70652 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B5mlG2017496 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5B5ml9d023009 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5B5mkFx023007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 00:48:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306110548.h5B5mkFx023007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/102051ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 141.8E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 138.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT LIMITED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. REFER TO REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 102100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. BASED ON THE CLEARLY DEFINED LLCC AND THE POTENTIAL FOR IMPROVED CONVECTION WITH CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 156.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES COOL, DRY AIR TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM, HOWEVER THERE IS EXCELLENT OUTFLOW POTENTIAL TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INCREASES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 17:57:59 2003 X-UIDL: 27591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB0066C6IY1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:35:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B8ZFsq083785 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:35:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58VMW056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 03:29:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 71672 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 03:29:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B8SxG2055888 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 03:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5B8Sx9d024604 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 03:28:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5B8SxC0024603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 03:28:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 03:28:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306110828.h5B8SxC0024603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 170E TO 37N 171E 38N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 173E TO 40N 180E 40N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 173E TO 29N 171E 24N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 163E TO 22N 153E 27N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 130E 33N 132E 33N 140E 29N 140E 28N 133E 28N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 47N 152E 54N 160E 60N 163E 60N 180E 32N 180E 30N 155E 35N 145E 41N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 20N 107E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 29N 120E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 30N 134E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 994 HPA AT 56N 157E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 120E TO 28N 123E 26N 126E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 120E TO 27N 117E 25N 113E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 113E TO 23N 107E 23N 100E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 140E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 37N 156E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 11 22:46:29 2003 X-UIDL: 27621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGB0064VNI91R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:42:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BEg2sq093521 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:42:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5B58VmK056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:31:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 76343 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BESYG2024226 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BESX9d000337 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BESXqk000336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 09:28:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306111428.h5BESXqk000336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1010 HPA AT 37N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 172E TO 39N 174E 40N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 176E TO 40N 176W 40N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 176E TO 30N 172E 25N 164E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 164E TO 23N 154E 26N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 130E 33N 132E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 30N 121E NE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 134E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 60N 142E SSE 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 156E NNW 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 121E TO 29N 124E 27N 126E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 121E TO 26N 116E 24N 112E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 112E TO 23N 107E 24N 101E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 37N 158E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 04:38:39 2003 X-UIDL: 27647-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00G663S0V2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:33:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BKXTsq003026 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:33:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BIACa8056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:30:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 84503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BKU9G2039936 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:30:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BKU99d014070 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BKU9cU014069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:30:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306112030.h5BKU9cU014069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 172E TO 39N 174E 40N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 177E TO 40N 176W 38N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 177E TO 34N 176E 26N 167E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 167E TO 22N 155E 26N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 29N 180E 23N 156E 29N 135E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 19N 107E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 32N 124E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 134E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 58N 145E SE 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 161E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 30N 127E 28N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 29N 122E 27N 119E 25N 116E 24N 113E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 113E TO 23N 108E 23N 102E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 161E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 05:08:39 2003 X-UIDL: 27650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00GB0557V2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:03:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BL2xsq011065 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:03:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BIgejO042946; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:53:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 85217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:52:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BKqrG2052916 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:52:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BKqr9d015010 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:52:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BKqqvB015008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:52:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 15:52:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306112052.h5BKqqvB015008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/102051ZJUN2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 9.4N3 137.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N3 137.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 9.7N6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.1N2 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 10.7N8 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 11.5N7 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.3N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 9.5N4 136.8E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS, WITH THE SYSTEM EXHIBITING A .2 SPIRAL BAND WRAP. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 102051Z JUN 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 102100) NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6, 120900Z2, 121500Z9 AND 122100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 05:48:42 2003 X-UIDL: 27655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC006R378I1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:48:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BLmBsq022554 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 05:48:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BIACoG056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:41:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 86375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:41:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BLfeG2054188 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:41:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5BLfe9d016675 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:41:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5BLfe3s016674 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:41:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 16:41:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306112141.h5BLfe3s016674@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPQ31 PGUM 112141 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 745 AM GUAM LST THU JUN 12 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W FORMS NEAR YAP AND NGULU... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 90 MILES WEST OF YAP AND 100 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NGULU. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A SLIGHT TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:09 2003 X-UIDL: 27677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00GGLJFTV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:11:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C2Bksq092066 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:11:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xlP2056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:05:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 92266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:05:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C25eG2018628 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:05:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C25d9d021576 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:05:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C25dRZ021575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:05:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:05:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120205.h5C25dRZ021575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 9.5N4 135.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N4 135.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 9.9N8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 10.8N9 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 11.7N9 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.8N1 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.5N1 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 9.6N5 135.2E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXHIBITING A .25 SPIRAL BAND WRAP, AND ORGANIZATION OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2, 121500Z9, 122100Z6 AND 130300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00G5AKE8V2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:32:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C2WPsq098092 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:32:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xlTK056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:27:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 92745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:27:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C2RKG2032934 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C2RJ9d021959 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C2RJbp021958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:27:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120227.h5C2RJbp021958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 47N 152E 55N 161E 60N 163E 60N 180E 31N 180E 37N 166E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 09N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 19N 107E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 33N 126E NE 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 162E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 38N 173E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 160E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 126E TO 31N 128E 29N 130E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 126E TO 29N 123E 27N 120E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 120E TO 24N 113E 23N 103E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 173E TO 41N 176E 42N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 180E TO 42N 175W 40N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 180E TO 33N 177E 27N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 170E TO 24N 160E 24N 148E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27681-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00GHDKIQV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:35:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C2Z7sq098974 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:35:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5BNXNsc042946; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:29:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 92849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C2TMG2021814 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C2TL9d022003 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C2TLv2022002 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 21:29:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 07w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120229.h5C2TLv2022002@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR/ 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 120000Z3 TO 150000Z6 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXHIBITING A .25 SPIRAL BAND WRAP, AND ORGANIZATION OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. TD 07W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM, WITH THE TRACK GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE POLEWARD AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, THE JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON MODELS (JTYM), COAMPS, AFWA MM5 AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 72 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITS THE PERIPHERY OF THE MID- LEVEL RIDGE, AND, AFTER 36 TO 48 HOURS, ENTERS A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE RIDGE. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE AND MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY, INDICATING A MEDIUM TO AVERAGE SIZED DEVELOPING SYSTEM, AS WELL AS CLIMATOLOGY. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:13 2003 X-UIDL: 27688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00GGJNAUV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 11:35:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C3ZCsq017315 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 11:35:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xlZo056966; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:31:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 94167 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:31:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C3VWG2023882 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C3VV9d023015 for ; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C3VVZ2023014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:31:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 22:31:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120331.h5C3VVZ2023014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPQ31 PGUM 120331 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST THU JUN 12 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W MOVING QUICKLY AWAY FROM YAP... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 170 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PALAU AND 180 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF NGULU. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. 07W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM. $$ BIRCHARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:21 2003 X-UIDL: 27705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGC00G38UIVV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:11:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C6BCsq065114 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 14:11:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xllC056966; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 96155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C5xpG2023784 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C5xp9d024962 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C5xp1u024960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 00:59:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120559.h5C5xp1u024960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/120151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 135.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST OF YAP, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 138.6E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 156.7E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.1S4 154.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA WITH VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASING TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/CATES/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:24 2003 X-UIDL: 27713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD00GPK13MV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:33:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C8XFsq011466 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 16:33:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C4oZZ8042946; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:27:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 97330 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C8REG2049164 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C8RE9d026390 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C8RD2n026389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:27:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120827.h5C8RD2n026389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 141E 42N 144E 44N 147E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 35N 180E 36N 160E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 10N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 35N 128E NE 25 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 163E NE 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 40N 176E NE 25 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 164E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 128E TO 33N 132E 31N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 128E TO 29N 124E 26N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 121E TO 23N 112E 23N 103E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 176E TO 44N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 178W TO 41N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 178W TO 33N 179E 28N 173E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 173E TO 24N 162E 24N 150E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:19:24 2003 X-UIDL: 27716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD00GXY2HXV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:03:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C93Psq021445 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:03:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C0xlpm056966; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:58:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 97620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:58:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C8wwG2045412 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:58:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C8wv9d026633 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:58:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C8wveH026632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:58:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 03:58:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120858.h5C8wveH026632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 9.6N5 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N5 134.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 10.3N4 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 11.3N5 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 12.5N8 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 13.9N3 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.3N0 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 9.8N7 133.5E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION PERSISTING NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9, 122100Z6, 130300Z7 AND 130900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 17:38:57 2003 X-UIDL: 27721-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD00GRF3ZHV2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:35:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C9ZYsq031819 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 17:35:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C4oZeq042946; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:30:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 97874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:30:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5C9UFG2025880 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:30:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5C9UE9d026905 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5C9UEqg026904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 04:30:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306120930.h5C9UEqg026904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPQ31 PGUM 120929 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST THU JUN 12 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W PASSING NORTH OF PALAU... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 133.5 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 180 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KOROR PALAU. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W IS MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 133.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 12 22:41:00 2003 X-UIDL: 27751-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD0086NHWNUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 22:36:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CEaFsq025130 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 22:36:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CDCjUu032726; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:28:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 102452 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:28:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CERxG2027204 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CERw9d002040 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CERwEM002039 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306121427.h5CERwEM002039@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 160E 34N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 10N 136E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 37N 130E NNE 25 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 55N 165E NE 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 41N 179E NE 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 130E TO 33N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 130E TO 30N 127E 26N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 123E TO 24N 114E 24N 104E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 179E TO 45N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 173W TO 43N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 173W TO 32N 180E 27N 174E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 174E TO 24N 165E 23N 150E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 05:13:15 2003 X-UIDL: 27763-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD008IBL32US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 12 Jun 2003 23:45:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CFitsq046522 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 23:44:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CBWMko045302; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:34:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 103975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:34:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CFYqG2016084 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:34:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CFYq9d004343 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:34:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CFYqdI004341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:34:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 10:34:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306121534.h5CFYqdI004341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 10.0N1 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 10.9N0 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 11.9N1 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.9N2 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.1N6 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.6N4 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.2N3 133.2E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. A 121214Z1 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AND RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TD 07W REMAINS WEAK AND DISORGANIZED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6, 130300Z7, 130900Z3 AND 131500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 05:13:28 2003 X-UIDL: 27780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD008P4YKUUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:36:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKaOsq038239 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:36:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CBWMEw045302; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:26:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 109230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:26:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKQqG2051056 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:26:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CKQq9d015237 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:26:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CKQqVN015234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:26:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:26:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306122026.h5CKQqVN015234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 141E 42N 144E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 37N 162E 35N 143E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 11N 133E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 38N 132E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 168E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 162E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 132E TO 38N 136E 37N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 132E TO 29N 128E 26N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 123E TO 25N 117E 24N 112E 24N 104E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 180W TO 30N 172E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 172E TO 30N 165E 25N 159E 24N 149E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 05:13:29 2003 X-UIDL: 27781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGD008FUZ5SUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:49:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKmusq041216 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:48:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKfOGA019812; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:42:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 109502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:42:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKg3G2041714 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:42:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5CKg29d015708 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:42:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5CKg2St015707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:42:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 15:42:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306122042.h5CKg2St015707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 10.4N5 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 133.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 11.2N4 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 12.2N5 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 13.3N7 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.2N7 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.8N4 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.6N7 133.2E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. A 121657Z2 AMSU PASS, A 121538Z0 TRMM PASS, AND RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT TD 07W HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED, WITH A .4 SPIRAL BAND WRAP. ANOTHER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS FORMED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TD 07W, AND INTERACTION WITH THIS SYSTEM MAY HAVE CAUSED TD 07W'S SPEED OF ADVANCE TO SLOW SOMEWHAT WHILE ALSO BRIEFLY ALLOWING TD 07W TO TRACK MORE POLEWARD OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. NONETHELESS, TD 07W HAS EXHIBITED SOME SIGNS OF BREAKING FREE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH ENVIRONMENT, WHICH PREVIOUSLY LIMITED INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7, 130900Z3, 131500Z0 AND 132100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 11:31:26 2003 X-UIDL: 27802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008KUCZOUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:47:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D1lfsq018870 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:47:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKfOgE019812; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 113857 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D1aNG2041588 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D1aN9d021510 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D1aMGN021508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 20:36:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130136.h5D1aMGN021508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 130100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUE/130100Z/130600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/121951ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 07W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 133.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 122100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 8.8N6 138.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DEVELOPING EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TD 07W, WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.9S0 156.7E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 147.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA, WITH VERTICAL SHEAR INCREASING TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1), POOR AREA SOUTHEAST OF YAP. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 11:31:27 2003 X-UIDL: 27808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008AXF0EUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:31:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D2VDsq032198 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:31:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKfOkQ019812; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:28:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 114523 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D2SEG2055844 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:28:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D2SE9d022144 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D2SEIJ022143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:28:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130228.h5D2SEIJ022143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 11.2N 132.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 12.0N 130.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 132E 33N 136E 35N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 35N 164E 30N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 135E NE 25 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 29N 163E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 172E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 59N 144E SSW 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 168E ENE 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 135E TO 40N 140E 39N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 135E TO 34N 134E 29N 131E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 131E TO 26N 118E 23N 106E. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 163E TO 30N 167E 30N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 163E TO 23N 159E 20N 152E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 11:31:28 2003 X-UIDL: 27810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008L2FRTUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:47:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D2ldsq037175 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:47:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKfOmC019812; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 114785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D2hkG2043050 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D2hk9d022334 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D2hkt6022333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 07w Warning Nr 06// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130243.h5D2hkt6022333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 130000Z4 TO 180000Z9 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TS 07W HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WITH OUTFLOW BECOMING MORE WELL- DEFINED, AND THE SYSTEM NOW EXHIBITS A .55 SPIRAL BAND WRAP. IT APPEARS THAT THE DISTANCE BETWEEN TS 07W AND A SEPARATE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. TS 07W CONTINUES ON A TRACK AROUND THE WESTERN MOST PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED TO THE NORTHEAST, WITH THE SYSTEM TRANSITING BEYOND THE RIDGE AXIS AFTER 160000Z7, WITH RECURVATURE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP GFS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST, WITH GFDN TAKING THE SYSTEM MORE EQUATORWARD TOWARD LUZON. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN. C. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT MOVES INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND INCREASED DIVERGENCE ALOFT, WITH HIGHER INTENSIFIACTION AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS, WITH TIMING COINCIDENTAL TO A FAIRLY DEEP MID-LATITUDE TROUGH EXITING THE EASTERN CHINA. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST REASONING IS THAT TS 07W WILL RECURVE AROUND THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS TOWARD THE RYUKYU CHAIN. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGED- SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 11:31:28 2003 X-UIDL: 27811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008L9FRUUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:47:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D2lmsq037243 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:47:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5CKjl48016506; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 114788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D2hmG2050444 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D2hm9d022339 for ; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D2hmpW022338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 12 Jun 2003 21:43:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130243.h5D2hmpW022338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 10.8N9 131.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 131.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 11.9N1 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.7N0 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.6N0 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 14.5N0 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 16.8N5 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 10 KTS --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.1N3 131.6E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TS 07W HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE, WITH OUTFLOW BECOMING MORE WELL- DEFINED, AND THE SYSTEM NOW EXHIBITS A .55 SPIRAL BAND WRAP. IT APPEARS THAT THE DISTANCE BETWEEN TS 07W AND A SEPARATE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3, 131500Z0, 132100Z7 AND 140300Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 14:48:17 2003 X-UIDL: 27833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008VEOV3US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 14:04:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D648sq099299 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 14:04:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHJU004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 117009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5xpG2044068 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D5xo9d024369 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D5xoGn024367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 00:59:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130559.h5D5xoGn024367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/130151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 131.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.8N6 138.9E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.9N6 136.7E72, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM SOUTH OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST ABOVE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS IN PROXIMITY TO 07W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7 147.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONIARA, SOLOMON ISLANDS HAS NOW DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/CATES/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 16:41:15 2003 X-UIDL: 27848-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008Q6VQXUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 16:32:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D8Wosq046282 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 16:32:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHMa004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:27:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 117951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:27:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D8RZG2044230 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D8RZ9d025746 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D8RYHb025745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 03:27:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130827.h5D8RYHb025745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 11.1N 131.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 12.5N 129.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 133E 36N 141E 42N 142E 47N 153E 60N 163E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 165E 35N 155E 30N 145E 30N 133E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 21N 105E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 119E SE SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 42N 137E NE 20 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 30N 165E NE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 172E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 57N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 170E ENE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 137E TO 41N 140E 40N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 137E TO 38N 137E 34N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 165E TO 31N 167E 30N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 165E TO 26N 163E 21N 159E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 107E TO 25N 115E 26N 120E 27N 125E 29N 133E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 17:11:17 2003 X-UIDL: 27849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGE008SQXEGUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:08:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D98Xsq058298 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 17:08:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHN2004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:03:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 118129 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:03:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D92xG2018650 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:02:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5D92x9d026034 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:02:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5D92xUY026033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:02:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 04:02:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306130902.h5D92xUY026033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 11.2N4 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 12.3N6 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 13.4N8 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.5N0 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.8N4 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.1N1 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 13 KTS --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 130.5E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TS 07W CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH WELL-DEFINED SPIRAL BANDS FORMING ON BOTH EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD SIDES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0, 132100Z7, 140300Z8 AND 140900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 23:16:27 2003 X-UIDL: 27864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF0084H7PVUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 20:51:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DCpNsq020384 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 20:51:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHS2004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 07:43:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 119952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 07:43:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DChdG2025688 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 07:43:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DChc9d028021 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 07:43:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DChcls028020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 07:43:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 07:43:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131243.h5DChcls028020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 131200 WARNING 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 11.0N 129.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 12.4N 126.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 15.0N 124.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 18.0N 123.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 23:16:33 2003 X-UIDL: 27868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DBBCFMQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:33:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DEXFsq046364 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 22:33:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHbG004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:27:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 121367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DER7G2042602 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DER69d000573 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DER617000572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 09:27:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131427.h5DER617000572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 147E 45N 150E 43N 155E 35N 150E 38N 147E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 134E 36N 140E 42N 141E 46N 151E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 31N 166E 37N 157E 30N 144E 30N 134E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 20N 106E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 118E SE SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 42N 139E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 166E NNE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 55N 179E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 57N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 41N 171E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 998 HPA AT 11.0N 129.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 139E TO 42N 141E 41N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 139E TO 40N 139E 37N 137E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 166E TO 33N 168E 32N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 166E TO 28N 165E 24N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 107E TO 25N 115E 27N 120E 29N 132E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 23:26:15 2003 X-UIDL: 27872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00D4AEGJQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 23:17:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DFGwsq057673 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 23:17:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHeQ004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:10:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 121878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:10:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DFA6G2014158 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:10:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DFA59d002032 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:10:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DFA5Gd002031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:10:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:10:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 07w Warning Nr 08// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131510.h5DFA5Gd002031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 131500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 131200Z7 TO 181200Z2 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT SOME WEAKENING HAS OCCURRED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE EAST. B. TS 07W CONTINUES ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK BUT WILL SOON TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AS IT TRANSITS AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED TO THE NORTHEAST. THE POLEWARD TRACK WILL BE ENHANCED AROUND THE 36 HOUR TAU BY A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE EAST OF TAIWAN. THIS WILL CAUSE TS 07W TO CREST THE RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN TO RECURVE TOWARDS OKINAWA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL MODEL (JGSM), JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), GFDN, AFWA AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST, WITH GFDN REMAINING THE SOLE OUTLIER TRACKING TS 07W INTO EXTREME NORTHEAST LUZON. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN. C. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY FOR THE FIRST 6 TO 12 HOURS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE CONFLUENT INFLUENCE OF THE TUTT CELL TO THE EAST AND THEN REEMERGE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE REMAINING 72 HOURS AS IT TRANSITS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST REASONING IS THAT TS 07W WILL RECURVE AROUND THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS TOWARD THE RYUKYU CHAIN. IT WILL REACH MAX INTENSITY AROUND THE 72 TO 84 HOUR TAU AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN THE 96 TO 120 HOUR TAU AS IT APPROACHES THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. E. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGED- SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/CATES/EDBERG/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 13 23:26:16 2003 X-UIDL: 27874-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DDJELDQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 13 Jun 2003 23:20:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DFJssq058574 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 23:19:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHe8004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:09:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 121849 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:09:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DF95G2014136 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:09:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DF949d001985 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:09:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DF949E001984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:09:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 10:09:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131509.h5DF949E001984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 11.6N8 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.9N2 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.2N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.2N8 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 16.5N2 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.1N3 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.9N1 129.5E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT SOME WEAKENING HAS OCCURRED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7, 140300Z8, 140900Z4 AND 141500Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 00:36:15 2003 X-UIDL: 27882-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DGXHNTQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:26:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGQBsq079093 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:26:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DG6XHK050650; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:18:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGIeG2045488 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:18:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DGIe9d004396 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:18:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DGIeKa004395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:18:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:18:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131618.h5DGIeKa004395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 11.6N8 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.9N2 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.2N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.2N8 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 16.5N2 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.1N3 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.4N1 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 31.1N5 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.9N1 129.5E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT SOME WEAKENING HAS OCCURRED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7, 140300Z8, 140900Z4 AND 141500Z1. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED BULLETIN REFERENCE FOR SEA HEIGHTS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:09 2003 X-UIDL: 27886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00D7KIHEQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:44:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGhssq084622 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHlq004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:39:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123443 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGd3G2007952 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DGd39d005063 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:39:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DGd31G005062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:39:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:39:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131639.h5DGd31G005062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- NEAR 11.6N8 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.9N2 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.2N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 15.2N8 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 16.5N2 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.1N3 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.4N1 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 31.1N5 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.9N1 129.5E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT SOME WEAKENING HAS OCCURRED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z0 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7, 140300Z8, 140900Z4 AND 141500Z1. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED BULLETIN REFERENCE FOR SEA HEIGHTS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DLLIRUQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:50:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGo5sq085984 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:50:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DG6XKo050650; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:45:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 123501 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DGioG2008004 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DGin9d005228 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DGineH005224 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 11:44:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131644.h5DGineH005224@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 131630 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/131630Z/140600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/131621ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 129.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 131500 COR) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.8N6 138.9E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.8N6 138.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST ABOVE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS IN PROXIMITY TO TS 07W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.9S1 144.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF CAPE YORK, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WELL ORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1) AND ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) AS A FAIR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/NOREN/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:16 2003 X-UIDL: 27900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DZ2O5KQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 02:46:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DIkLsq019773 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 02:46:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EHsk004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 13:41:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 124794 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 13:41:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DIf2G2038816 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 13:41:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DIf19d008770 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 13:41:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DIf1Dm008769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 13:41:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 13:41:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 998 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306131841.h5DIf1Dm008769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 131800 WARNING 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 998 HPA AT 11.3N 128.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 14.3N 125.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 18.0N 124.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 21.0N 123.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:18 2003 X-UIDL: 27907-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DOHTEMQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:39:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DKdosq060957 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:39:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EH3k004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:30:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 126475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:30:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DKTxG2051016 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:30:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DKTx9d012472 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DKTxxw012471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:29:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306132029.h5DKTxxw012471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 152E 42N 157E 34N 152E 40N 145E 45N 152E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 132E 35N 140E 43N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 29N 180E 30N 160E 26N 143E 24N 132E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 19N 107E SE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 119E SSE SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 141E EAST 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 47N 149E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 57N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 175E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 998 HPA AT 11.3N 128.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 141E TO 44N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 141E TO 40N 142E 36N 141E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 149E TO 46N 152E 45N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 149E TO 45N 148E 44N 146E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 163E TO 34N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 165E TO 33N 169E 32N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 165E TO 30N 166E 24N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 109E TO 26N 118E 30N 127E 32N 137E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 07:57:19 2003 X-UIDL: 27910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGF00DSMU4PQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:55:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DKtTsq065686 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 04:55:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5D5EH5i004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:49:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 126856 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DKnNG2056906 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5DKnN9d013093 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:49:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5DKnMpt013092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 15:49:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306132049.h5DKnMpt013092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- NEAR 11.6N8 127.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 127.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.5N8 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.7N1 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.7N3 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 17.9N7 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 20.5N7 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.8N0 127.4E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT INTENSIFICATION HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8, 140900Z4, 141500Z1 AND 142100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 10:46:56 2003 X-UIDL: 27919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00DZL54PQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 08:53:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E0r5sq020595 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 08:53:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5DMdHPO004982; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 19:48:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 130986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 19:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E0miG2021844 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 19:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E0mi9d017781 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 19:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E0mi9C017779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 19:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 19:48:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 998 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140048.h5E0mi9C017779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 140000 WARNING 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 998 HPA AT 11.4N 127.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 14.5N 124.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 18.5N 123.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 22.0N 123.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 10:47:09 2003 X-UIDL: 27923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00D119UWQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:35:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E2Z9sq044038 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:35:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpNa021332; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:30:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 132815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:30:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E2TxG2052766 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E2Tw9d018925 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E2Twta018924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:29:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140229.h5E2Twta018924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 49N 152E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 152E TO 47N 156E 44N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 152E TO 45N 150E 42N 146E 38N 144E 37N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 144E 52N 158E 60N 165E 60N 180E 34N 180E 35N 162E 29N 151E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 123E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 23N 111E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 36N 135E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 174E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 998 HPA AT 11.4N 127.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 105E TO 22N 111E 24N 117E 28N 126E 32N 131E 33N 138E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 10:56:45 2003 X-UIDL: 27927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00D64AIZQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:49:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E2nesq047670 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:49:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpOI021332; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:46:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 133043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:46:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E2kOG2004870 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:46:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E2kO9d019156 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:46:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E2kO89019155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:46:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:46:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140246.h5E2kO89019155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 11.4N6 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 11.8N0 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.1N5 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.4N9 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 15.7N3 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 18.4N3 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 126.6E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT INTENSITY HAS REMAINED STEADY ON TS 07W OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4, 141500Z1, 142100Z8 AND 150300Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 11:06:08 2003 X-UIDL: 27929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00D5GAZNQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:59:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E2xdsq050433 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 10:59:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E19NX8033198; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:54:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 133176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:54:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E2sQG2042742 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:54:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E2sQ9d019268 for ; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:54:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E2sQqo019267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:54:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 13 Jun 2003 21:54:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 07w Warning Nr 10// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140254.h5E2sQqo019267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W WARNING NR 10// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 140000Z5 TO 190000Z0 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT INTENSITY HAS REMAINED STEADY ON TS 07W OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. B. AN APPROACHING LONGWAVE TROUGH OFF THE CHINA COAST IS EXPECTED TO CREATE A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF TS 07W AND TRANSITION THE SYSTEM TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK WITHIN 24 HOURS. TS 07W IS FORECAST TO CLEAR THE RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS OKINAWA NEAR TAU 72. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AFTER 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL MODEL (JGSM), JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), GFDN, AFWA, NCEP GFS, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT. NOGAPS, EGRR, COAMPS AND GFDN ARE FORECASTING LANDFALL IN THE PHILIPPINES AND THE REMAINING MODELS ARE WEAKENING THE RIDGE EARLIER AND FORECASTING FAST RECURVATURE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND THE NOGAPS CLUSTER OF MODELS DUE TO BETTER INITIALIZATION. C. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY UNDER THE IMPINGING INFLUENCE OF A TUTT CELL TO THE EAST FOR THE FIRST 12 HOURS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN THE PHILIPPINES. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS BEFORE REEMERGING NORTH OF LUZON AND LINKING UP WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH WEST OF TS 07W AND BEGINNING TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW POLEWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST REASONING IS THAT TS 07W WILL RECURVE AROUND THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS TOWARD THE RYUKYU CHAIN. TS 07W IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER LEAVING LUZON BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW THROUGH TAU 120 AS IT APPROACHES THE MIDLATITUDES. E. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM WITH LAND INTERACTION. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 23:28:40 2003 X-UIDL: 27942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00D0KIWGQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 13:50:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E5oYsq091371 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 13:50:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E19Nqe033198; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 134947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E5hFG2040228 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E5hF9d020853 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E5hF7V020851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 00:43:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140543.h5E5hF7V020851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/140151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 127.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 140300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.8N6 138.6E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.9S1 144.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 142.5E2, OVERLAND NEAR CAPE YORK, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM HAS INTERACTED WITH LAND. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 23:28:46 2003 X-UIDL: 27947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00DAILQKQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 14:51:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E6pmsq003857 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 14:51:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpVi021332; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 01:46:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 135389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 01:46:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E6kTG2032722 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 01:46:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E6kT9d021243 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 01:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E6kTX8021242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 01:46:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 01:46:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 998 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140646.h5E6kTX8021242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 140600 WARNING 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 998 HPA AT 12.8N 126.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 17.7N 126.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 21.5N 126.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 26.0N 128.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 23:28:46 2003 X-UIDL: 27949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00DX8QECQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:32:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E8WTsq026451 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:32:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpWs021332; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:28:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 135912 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E8RwG2042714 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E8Rw9d022030 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E8RwR6022029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:27:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140827.h5E8RwR6022029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 50N 154E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 154E TO 48N 158E 45N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 154E TO 44N 150E 41N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 130E 33N 133E 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 36N 157E 27N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 23N 111E NE SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 117E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 123E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 165E NE SLOWLY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 54N 141E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 180E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 998 HPA AT 12.8N 126.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 19N 105E TO 23N 111E 24N 117E 27N 122E 29N 128E 32N 131E 34N 138E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 23:28:47 2003 X-UIDL: 27950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGG00D0GQHQQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:34:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E8YVsq026739 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:34:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1BpX0021332; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:31:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 135942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E8V3G2023974 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5E8V39d022089 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5E8V37E022088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 03:31:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306140831.h5E8V37E022088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 12.2N5 127.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 127.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.2N6 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.2N7 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.7N3 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 17.7N5 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 21.2N5 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 25.1N8 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 32.1N6 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 12.5N8 126.8E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 95 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS AND A WEAKENING TREND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS FULLY EXPOSED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, WHICH HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1, 142100Z8, 150300Z9 AND 150900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 14 23:28:49 2003 X-UIDL: 27959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH00D4Z2JJQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 14 Jun 2003 20:54:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ECslsq079201 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 20:54:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5E1Bpbg021332; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 07:49:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 137703 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 07:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ECnNG2040130 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 07:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5ECnN9d023757 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 07:49:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5ECnNAC023756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 07:49:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 07:49:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141249.h5ECnNAC023756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 141200 WARNING 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 996 HPA AT 12.8N 126.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 17.5N 126.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 21.0N 126.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 26.0N 128.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 01:42:50 2003 X-UIDL: 27971-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH002Y8EEO02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:11:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EHB4sq045403 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:11:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSq0X010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:05:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 0820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:05:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EH5OvB040650 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:05:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EH5O9d025904 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:05:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EH5OBx025903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:05:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 12:05:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141705.h5EH5OBx025903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 141500 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 141200Z8 TO 191200Z3 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS SOMEWHAT INCREASED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. A LONGWAVE TROUGH OFF THE CHINA COAST IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF TS 07W. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TS 07W IS FORECAST TO CLEAR THE RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS OKINAWA BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL MODEL (JGSM), JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), GFDN, AFWA, NCEP GFS, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. AFWA AND GFS DEPICT A MORE DRAMATICALLY POLEWARD TRACK, WHILE EGRR CONTINUES TO TRACK THE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN COAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HOWEVER THE REMAINING AIDS LIE BETWEEN THE TWO SOLUTIONS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN MODERATE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS WHILE TRACKING EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND. AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTH OF LUZON AND BEGINS TO BE AFFECTED BY THE LONGWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY NORTH OF TS 07W AND COMMENCE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST REASONING IS THAT TS 07W WILL RECURVE AROUND THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS TOWARD THE RYUKYU CHAIN. TS 07W IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER LEAVING LUZON BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW THROUGH TAU 120 AS IT APPROACHES THE MIDLATITUDES. E. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM WITH LAND INTERACTION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 03:00:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH002O6JAL02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:56:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EIubsq071327 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:56:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSq37010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 13:50:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 1528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 13:50:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EIoovB042608 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 13:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EIoo9d026931 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 13:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EIoogS026930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 13:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 13:50:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141850.h5EIoogS026930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 141800 WARNING 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 996 HPA AT 13.1N 125.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 16.5N 126.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 21.0N 126.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 26.0N 128.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 04:40:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH002CQNR402@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:33:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EKWvsq099824 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 04:32:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSq6n010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:28:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 2548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EKSFvB021336 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EKSF9d028170 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EKSFc2028169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 15:28:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306142028.h5EKSFc2028169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 155E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 155E TO 49N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 159E TO 47N 163E 44N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 159E TO 45N 158E 42N 153E 37N 147E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 147E TO 36N 143E 33N 136E 31N 128E 25N 122E 22N 113E 18N 108E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 126E 32N 132E 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 36N 159E 26N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 121E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 143E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 29N 123E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 42N 134E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 996 HPA AT 13.1N 125.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 05:10:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27985-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGH0021QPA502@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 05:06:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EL5vsq008702 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 05:05:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSq7d010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:01:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 2807 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:01:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EL14vB033418 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:01:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EL0x9d028544 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:00:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EL0xcV028543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:00:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 16:00:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306142100.h5EL0xcV028543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 13.2N6 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 14.8N3 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.8N5 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.0N0 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.2N5 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 25.8N5 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 126.3E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EXPOSED ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9, 150900Z5, 151500Z2 AND 152100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 09:00:12 2003 X-UIDL: 27997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002BK00402@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 08:57:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F0vVhq036431 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 08:57:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqFT010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 19:50:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 4808 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 19:50:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F0o8vB015872 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 19:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F0o89d000773 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 19:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F0o8Y8000772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 19:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 19:50:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150050.h5F0o8Y8000772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 150000 WARNING 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 996 HPA AT 14.1N 125.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 18.3N 125.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 23.0N 126.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 30.0N 128.5E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 13:48:22 2003 X-UIDL: 28000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002C94XC02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:44:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F2hqhq059536 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:43:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ENvbAB018454; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:39:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5625 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F2TXvB021946 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:29:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F2TW9d001537 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:29:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F2TWnl001536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:29:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:29:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150229.h5F2TWnl001536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 161E TO 51N 167E 48N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 161E TO 44N 159E 38N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 153E MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 133E 12N 136E 10N 130E 17N 128E 18N 133E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 128E 33N 132E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 142E 49N 155E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 155E 23N 135E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 124E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 146E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 41N 135E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 150E ENE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 996 HPA AT 14.1N 125.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 146E TO 37N 149E 38N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 146E TO 35N 144E 34N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 140E TO 32N 133E 25N 123E 23N 115E 20N 108E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 13:48:23 2003 X-UIDL: 28001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002IF54E02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:48:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F2m7hq060910 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 10:48:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqKd010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:44:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5748 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:44:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F2ikvB045260 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:44:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F2ik9d001672 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:44:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F2ikdf001671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:44:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:44:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150244.h5F2ikdf001671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- NEAR 14.2N7 126.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 126.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 16.2N9 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 18.2N1 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.2N4 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 22.5N9 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.7N6 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 126.6E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AT THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5, 151500Z2, 152100Z9 AND 160300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 13:48:23 2003 X-UIDL: 28002-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI0024M5WA02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:04:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F34ohq064276 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 11:04:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqKl010610; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:59:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 5834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:59:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F2x6vB044996 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:59:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F2x69d001772 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:59:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F2x6GZ001771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:59:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 21:59:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 07w Warning Nr 14// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150259.h5F2x6GZ001771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W WARNING NR 14// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 150000Z6 TO 200000Z2 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AT THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. A LONGWAVE TROUGH OFF THE CHINA COAST IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF TS 07W. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE ON A POLEWARD TRACK THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TS 07W IS FORECAST TO CLEAR THE RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS OKINAWA AFTER 48 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL MODEL (JGSM), JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), GFDN, AFWA, NCEP GFS, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH SPEED OF ADVANCE BEING THE SIGNIFICANT TRACK DIFFERENCE. UKMET EGRR IS THE SLOWEST OUTLIER AND NCEP GFS IS THE FASTEST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY UNDER MODERATE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS WHILE TRACKING POLEWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN NORTH OF LUZON AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST REASONING IS THAT TS 07W WILL INTERACT WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH WEST OF THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE RYUKYU CHAIN. TS 07W IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY NORTH OF LUZON AS IT COMPLETES THE TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY TAU 120. E. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON QUIKSCAT IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/COOK/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 17:55:36 2003 X-UIDL: 28005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI0027ADMB02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 13:51:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F5pdhq000845 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 13:51:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqRN010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 7291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F5jIvB016078 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F5jH9d003178 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F5jHYx003176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 00:45:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150545.h5F5jHYx003176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/150151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 126.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2S4 142.5E2 HAS NOW DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 17:55:42 2003 X-UIDL: 28009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002NFGF802@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 14:52:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F6qChq011815 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 14:52:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F51i3T055966; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:47:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 7647 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:47:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F6l7vB043232 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F6l79d003595 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:47:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F6l7F2003594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:47:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 01:47:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150647.h5F6l7F2003594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 150600 WARNING 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 990 HPA AT 14.5N 126.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 17.1N 124.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 21.0N 125.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 26.0N 129.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 17:55:42 2003 X-UIDL: 28010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002S8IN302@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:40:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F7e7hq022301 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:40:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqTF010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:35:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 7901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F7ZLvB021472 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:35:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F7ZK9d003909 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F7ZKVF003908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:35:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 02:35:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150735.h5F7ZKVF003908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 14.7N2 126.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 126.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.5N2 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 18.5N4 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 20.5N7 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.6N0 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 29.0N1 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 35.4N2 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 42.6N2 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 126.0E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF VIRAC, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 150530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AT THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2, 152100Z9, 160300Z0 AND 160900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 17:55:43 2003 X-UIDL: 28012-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI00289L5M02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 16:34:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F8YRhq037022 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 16:34:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqTx010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 03:30:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 8267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 03:30:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F8UwvB010472 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 03:30:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5F8Uw9d004427 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 03:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5F8UvVE004426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 03:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 03:30:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306150830.h5F8UvVE004426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 51N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 164E TO 46N 174E 41N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 164E TO 44N 160E 40N 156E 38N 151E 34N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 136E 10N 135E 10N 128E 18N 129E 18N 136E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 131E 35N 140E 39N 142E 41N 141E 45N 150E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 24N 150E 31N 131E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 125E EAST 10 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 154E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 40N 143E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 29N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 990 HPA AT 14.5N 126.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 110E TO 23N 115E 27N 126E 31N 131E 34N 139E 34N 145E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 20:52:30 2003 X-UIDL: 28025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGI002DKWUN02@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 20:47:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FCl3hq093745 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 20:47:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqXP010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 07:41:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 10257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 07:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FCfLvB055100 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 07:41:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FCfL9d006039 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 07:41:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FCfLYV006038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 07:41:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 07:41:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151241.h5FCfLYV006038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 151200 WARNING 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 985 HPA AT 16.0N 123.9E EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 19.5N 124.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 23.0N 126.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 27.5N 129.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 22:39:09 2003 X-UIDL: 28029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MFS15LO8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:20:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FEK3hq013371 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:20:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqdP010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:15:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:15:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FEFqvB018982 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:15:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FEFq9d006645 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:15:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FEFqD6006644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:15:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:15:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 07w (soudelor) Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151415.h5FEFqD6006644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 151500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 16// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 151200Z9 TO 201200Z5 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTHEAST OF VIRAC, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. A LONGWAVE TROUGH OFF THE CHINA COAST IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF TS 07W. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE ON A POLEWARD TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TS 07W IS FORECAST TO CLEAR THE RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS OKINAWA. THE SYSTEM IS THEN FORECAST TO INTERACT WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL MODEL (JGSM), JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), GFDN, AFWA, NCEP GFS, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. TRACK SPEED VARIATION BETWEEN THE MODELS CONTINUES TO BE THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN THE AIDS, WITH NOGAPS REMAINING SLOW AND GFS AND AVN HAVING THE MORE RAPID TRACK SPEEDS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY UNDER MODERATE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS WHILE TRACKING POLEWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST REASONING IS THAT TS 07W WILL INTERACT WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE RYUKYU CHAIN. TS 07W IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY NORTH OF LUZON AS IT COMPLETES THE TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BETWEEN TAU 96 AND 120. E. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON QUIKSCAT IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 22:39:09 2003 X-UIDL: 28030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MGX15VO8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:20:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FEKDhq013443 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:20:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqdN010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:14:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11253 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:14:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FEEnvB016030 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:14:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FEEn9d006636 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:14:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FEEn9Q006635 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:14:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:14:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151414.h5FEEn9Q006635@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 15.0N6 125.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 125.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 16.9N6 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 18.9N8 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 20.8N0 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 23.5N0 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 30.2N5 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 35.9N7 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 42.8N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 125.5E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTHEAST OF VIRAC, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9, 160300Z0, 160900Z6 AND 161500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 15 22:39:09 2003 X-UIDL: 28031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MBH1TYO8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:34:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FEYchq017466 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 22:34:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F9SGNT034292; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:29:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11307 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FESwvB008200 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FESw9d006698 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FESws9006697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 09:28:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151428.h5FESws9006697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 162E TO 53N 166E 52N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 169E TO 46N 177E 40N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 169E TO 47N 169E 42N 161E 36N 153E 35N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 146E TO 34N 138E 25N 123E 25N 117E 21N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 134E 07N 131E 09N 125E 19N 129E 15N 134E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 141E 42N 144E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 29N 180E 25N 156E 27N 132E 33N 133E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 40N 145E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 985 HPA AT 16.0N 123.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 02:55:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28042-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00M0EDVVO8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 02:55:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FIt0hq076044 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 02:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5F9SGgV034292; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 13:48:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 13403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 13:48:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FImavB055960 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 13:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FIma9d008689 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 13:48:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FImawj008688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 13:48:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 13:48:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306151848.h5FImawj008688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 151800 WARNING 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 985 HPA AT 16.1N 124.3E EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 19.2N 124.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 23.5N 125.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 28.0N 127.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 04:25:39 2003 X-UIDL: 28044-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MLMHY2O8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 04:22:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FKMihq003584 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 04:22:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqpB010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:17:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:17:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FKHqvB007944 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:17:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FKHq9d009542 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:17:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FKHqX2009541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:17:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:17:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306152017.h5FKHqX2009541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 15.5N1 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 17.3N1 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 19.4N4 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 21.6N9 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 24.6N2 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 30.9N2 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.9N5 124.8E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 THROUGH 55 KNOTS AND AN IMPROVING TREND IN THE CONVECTION. MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0, 160900Z6, 161500Z3 AND 162100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 04:25:40 2003 X-UIDL: 28045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00MNAI0SO8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 04:24:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FKOLhq003857 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 04:24:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5EFSqpD010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:19:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14318 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:19:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FKJsvB030482 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:19:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5FKJs9d009580 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:19:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5FKJsKL009579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:19:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 15:19:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306152019.h5FKJsKL009579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 54N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 166E TO 54N 169E 53N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 172E TO 48N 180E 41N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 172E TO 46N 169E 42N 163E 38N 158E 34N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 151E TO 34N 139E 25N 123E 22N 113E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 128E 16N 133E 08N 130E 11N 126E 21N 128E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 28N 160E 28N 129E 33N 133E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 60N 142E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 37N 119E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 40N 147E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 985 HPA AT 16.1N 124.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 13:29:51 2003 X-UIDL: 28054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00BMCUFULF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:52:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G0qZhq055501 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:52:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FNqpwt010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 19:48:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 15951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 19:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G0mTvB043094 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 19:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G0mT9d012413 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 19:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G0mTZS012412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 19:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 19:48:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160048.h5G0mTZS012412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 160000 WARNING 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 985 HPA AT 16.9N 124.7E EAST OF LUZON MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 20.6N 124.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 24.5N 125.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 30.5N 128.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 13:29:53 2003 X-UIDL: 28058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00BHNYWALF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:28:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Sphq083681 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:28:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FNqp2Z010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:23:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:21:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2LvvB048824 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:21:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G2Lu9d013196 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:21:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G2LupC013195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:21:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:21:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160221.h5G2LupC013195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- NEAR 16.5N2 124.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 124.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 18.6N5 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.0N3 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 23.6N1 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.3N1 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.2N6 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.0N8 124.7E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 152330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 152203Z3 SSM/I PASS REVEALS THE CONVECTION IS NOW WELL ORGANIZED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6, 161500Z3, 162100Z0 AND 170300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 13:29:54 2003 X-UIDL: 28059-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00BK2YX2LF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:29:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2TKhq083857 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:29:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FNqp2v010610; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:27:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16937 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2R8vB033112 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G2R79d013246 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G2R7UI013245 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:27:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160227.h5G2R7UI013245@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 54N 168E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 168E TO 54N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 177E TO 48N 175W 42N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 177E TO 44N 173E 37N 159E 33N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 13N 129E 17N 129E 20N 127E 21N 134E 14N 135E 13N 129E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 140E 30N 131E 33N 133E 35N 141E 41N 143E 47N 151E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 32N 166E 28N 151E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 146E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 149E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 985 HPA AT 16.9N 124.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 114E TO 24N 121E 28N 127E 32N 134E 33N 151E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 13:29:54 2003 X-UIDL: 28060-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGJ00BL8ZB1LF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:37:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2bhhq086350 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 10:37:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvvF033152; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:33:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 16973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:33:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2XCvB015846 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G2XC9d013321 for ; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:33:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G2XCai013320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:33:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 15 Jun 2003 21:33:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 07w (soudelor) Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160233.h5G2XCai013320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 18// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 160000Z7 TO 210000Z3 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 152330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 152203Z3 SSM/I PASS REVEALS THE CONVECTION IS NOW WELL ORGANIZED AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). B. A LONGWAVE TROUGH OFF THE CHINA COAST IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF TS 07W. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE ON A POLEWARD TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST THROUGH THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TS 07W IS FORECAST TO CLEAR THE RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS OKINAWA. THE SYSTEM IS THEN FORECAST TO INTERACT WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL MODEL (JGSM), JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), GFDN, AFWA, NCEP GFS, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY UNDER MODERATE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS WHILE TRACKING POLEWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND INTERACTS WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST REASONING IS THAT TS 07W WILL INTERACT WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS UP THE RYUKYU CHAIN. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT COMPLETES TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY TAU 96. E. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 18:31:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28073-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BW680ZLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 13:46:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G5k3hq040545 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 13:46:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Wv3B033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 18440 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G5fpvB021286 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G5fp9d014858 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G5fp7J014856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 00:41:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160541.h5G5fp7J014856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/160151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 124.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 18:31:36 2003 X-UIDL: 28077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BS9B5HLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 14:53:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G6rXhq059869 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 14:53:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5FM4nbj034292; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 01:49:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 18935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 01:49:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G6novB041602 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 01:49:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G6no9d015264 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 01:49:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G6noR2015263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 01:49:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 01:49:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160649.h5G6noR2015263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 160600 WARNING 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 980 HPA AT 17.5N 124.1E EAST OF LUZON MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 21.2N 123.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 26.5N 126.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 34.0N 130.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 18:31:39 2003 X-UIDL: 28083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BV3E8ELF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:00:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G805hq080659 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:00:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Wv5j033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 02:50:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 02:50:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G7oHvB032780 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 02:50:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G7oH9d015662 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 02:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G7oHsk015661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 02:50:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 02:50:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160750.h5G7oHsk015661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 17.5N3 124.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 124.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 19.4N4 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 21.6N9 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.5N0 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.0N8 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.7N1 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 19 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 36.8N7 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.0N9 124.1E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SPIRAL BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3, 162100Z0, 170300Z1 AND 170900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 18:31:39 2003 X-UIDL: 28087-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00B6WFRNLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:33:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G8XGhq089987 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:33:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Wv5x033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:28:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 19510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G8S2vB038786 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5G8S29d016007 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5G8S2dJ016006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 03:28:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306160828.h5G8S2dJ016006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 55N 172E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 172E TO 54N 178E 53N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 177W TO 48N 172W 41N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 177W TO 44N 175E 40N 166E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 166E TO 38N 162E 34N 153E 36N 143E 34N 139E 33N 134E 29N 129E 27N 124E 23N 119E 23N 113E 19N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 124E 15N 127E 20N 128E 21N 132E 11N 132E 10N 128E 12N 126E 14N 124E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 130E 33N 132E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 25N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 46N 128E SE 15 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 63N 145E SE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 02N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 34N 122E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 150E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 151E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 980 HPA AT 17.5N 124.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 21:21:10 2003 X-UIDL: 28113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BPXS1WLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:58:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GCwahq061397 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 20:58:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvC1033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 07:51:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 21065 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 07:51:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GCphvB032558 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 07:51:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GCph9d018157 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 07:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GCphHr018156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 07:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 07:51:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161251.h5GCphHr018156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 161200 WARNING 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 980 HPA AT 18.3N 123.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 22.7N 123.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 27.0N 125.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 36.0N 130.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 22:13:13 2003 X-UIDL: 28118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BQLUZPLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:02:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GE21hq078698 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:02:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvGN033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 22067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GDt3vB040846 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GDt39d019897 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GDt3sc019896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161355.h5GDt3sc019896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- NEAR 18.0N9 123.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 123.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 19.8N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.1N5 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 24.7N3 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.8N7 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 34.1N8 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 37.8N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 123.4E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS ENHANCED OUTFLOW BEGINNING IN THE POLEWARD DIRECTION AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE LONGWAVE TROUGH NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0, 170300Z1, 170900Z7 AND 171500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 22:13:13 2003 X-UIDL: 28119-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BRYV08LF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:02:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GE2Qhq078832 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:02:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvGR033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 22070 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GDt5vB021878 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GDt59d019902 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GDt4C2019901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 08:55:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 07w (soudelor) Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161355.h5GDt4C2019901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 20// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 161200Z0 TO 211200Z6 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS ENHANCED OUTFLOW BEGINNING IN THE POLEWARD DIRECTION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE ON A POLEWARD TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TS 07W IS FORECAST TO CLEAR THE RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS JAPAN, INTERACTING WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND BEGINNING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL MODEL (JGSM), JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), GFDN, AFWA, NCEP GFS, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. HOWEVER, THE SPEED OF TRACK VARIES SOMEWHAT IN THE MODELS DURING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY UNDER MODERATE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS WHILE TRACKING POLEWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND INTERACTS WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. E. LONG-RANGE FORECAST REASONING IS THAT TS 07W WILL INTERACT WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS UP THE RYUKYU CHAIN. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT COMPLETES TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BETWEEN TAU 72 AND 96. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jun 16 22:37:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28123-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGK00BNMWKNLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:36:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GEaGhq088415 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 22:36:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvIX033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 22390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GERuvB040080 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:27:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GERu9d021066 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:27:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GERuci021065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:27:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 09:27:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161427.h5GERuci021065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 55N 174E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 174E TO 56N 179W 52N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 174W TO 47N 169W 41N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 174W TO 43N 177E 38N 164E 35N 160E 33N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 125E 21N 130E 13N 130E 13N 125E 15N 124E 16N 127E 19N 127E 21N 125E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 32N 132E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 50N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 25N 163E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 47N 128E SE 10 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 59N 141E SSE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 151E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 980 HPA AT 18.3N 123.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 111E TO 23N 120E 28N 125E 34N 134E 37N 143E 36N 147E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:43 2003 X-UIDL: 28155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL00BX48PILF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 02:58:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GIwNhq064981 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 02:58:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2WvdB033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 13:51:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 26038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 13:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GIoxvB016336 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 13:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GIor9d000683 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 13:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GIorF0000682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 13:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 13:50:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306161850.h5GIorF0000682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 161800 WARNING 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 980 HPA AT 19.2N 123.0E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 23.7N 123.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 29.0N 126.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 36.5N 132.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:46 2003 X-UIDL: 28162-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL00BFRDCILF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:38:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GKcYhq005247 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 04:38:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5G2Wviv033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 15:29:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 27376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 15:29:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GKTvvB034668 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 15:29:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GKTu9d004767 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 15:29:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GKTu2K004766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 15:29:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 15:29:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306162029.h5GKTu2K004766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 55N 175E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 175E TO 57N 179W 54N 172W. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 172W TO 47N 167W 41N 162W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 172W TO 46N 177W 38N 168E 35N 163E 34N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 158E TO 35N 151E 37N 144E 36N 139E 35N 135E 27N 125E 21N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 125E 23N 129E 14N 130E 13N 125E 16N 124E 18N 127E 22N 125E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 41N 180E 33N 162E 33N 147E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 146E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 149E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 156E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 176W EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 980 HPA AT 19.2N 123.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:47 2003 X-UIDL: 28166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL00BNCFVTLF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:33:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GLXMhq025271 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 05:33:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GJjp5b034292; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:26:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 27906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:26:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GLQ3vB050680 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:26:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5GLQ29d006683 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:26:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5GLQ2Ie006682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:26:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 16:26:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306162126.h5GLQ2Ie006682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 021 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 07W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 19.0N0 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 20.9N1 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.4N9 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.2N0 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 30.0N3 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 37.8N8 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.5N5 122.8E3. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTHEAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. A RECENT 161330Z4 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER 37 GHZ PASS REVEALS A WELL- DEFINED 15 NM BANDING EYE DEPICTING FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IN PAST 6 HOURS TO TYPHOON STRENGTH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TY 07W IS BEGINNING TO LINK WITH THE TROUGH TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1, 170900Z7, 171500Z4 AND 172100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:07:50 2003 X-UIDL: 28178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL009WIPDLZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 08:58:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H0wPhq074358 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 08:58:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPh0j033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 19:50:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 30324 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 19:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H0osvB045166 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 19:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H0os9d010511 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 19:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H0oseC010510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 19:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 19:50:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170050.h5H0oseC010510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 170000 WARNING 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 980 HPA AT 19.6N 122.8E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 22.1N 122.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 24.8N 123.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 31.0N 127.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 38.5N 134.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 10:37:21 2003 X-UIDL: 28192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL0092DTO2Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:31:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H2V6hq010068 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:31:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPh6V033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:26:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 31414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:26:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H2QjvB023952 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:26:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H2Qj9d011846 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:26:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H2QjqA011845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:26:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 21:26:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170226.h5H2QjqA011845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 55N 176E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 176E TO 57N 180E 55N 173W 52N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 169W TO 46N 165W 42N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 169W TO 43N 180E 38N 169E 34N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 126E 22N 130E 16N 130E 15N 123E 17N 126E 19N 127E 22N 126E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 122E 27N 124E 22N 119E 23N 116E 29N 122E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 142E 47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 30N 160E 32N 138E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 60N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 152E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 157E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 980 HPA AT 19.6N 122.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 109E TO 23N 117E 30N 130E 37N 146E 34N 160E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 12:07:22 2003 X-UIDL: 28204-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL0095KY1JZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:05:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H45ahq040563 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:05:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhC1033152; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:02:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 32957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:02:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H42UvB016432 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:02:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H42U9d012940 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:02:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H42Ugp012939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:02:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:02:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170402.h5H42Ugp012939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 19.9N9 123.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 123.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.0N4 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 24.6N2 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.6N5 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.1N5 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 39.1N3 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.4N6 123.3E9. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL REVEALS A RAGGED, ELONGATED 17 NM DIAMETER EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7, 171500Z4, 172100Z1 AND 180300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 12:27:22 2003 X-UIDL: 28207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGL0092CYORZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:19:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H4JVhq045017 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:19:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GJjpsD034292; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 32966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H43UvB016460 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H43U9d012955 for ; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H43UQD012954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2003 23:03:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 07w (soudelor) Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170403.h5H43UQD012954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 22// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 170000Z7 TO 200000Z2 JUN 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL REVEALS A RAGGED, ELONGATED 17 NM DIAMETER EYE. B. TY 07W HAS BEGUN TO LINK UP WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND IS NOW MOVING MORE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. TY 07W WILL CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AS IT CRESTS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID- LEVEL RIDGE AXIS TO THE EAST AND THEN BEGINS TO RECURVE INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL MODEL (JGSM), JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), GFDN, AFWA, NCEP GFS, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 07W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TY 07W WILL THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS GAINS LATITUDE AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS. INFLUX OF DRY, CONTINENTAL AIR FROM THE TROUGH WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO OVERALL WEAKENING CONDITIONS PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST REASONING IS THAT TY 07W WILL COMPLETE LINKING UP WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN 60 TO 72 HOURS IN THE SEA OF JAPAN. E. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 162122Z4 QUIKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 14:44:14 2003 X-UIDL: 28216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009J03SBZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 14:09:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H69fhq076101 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 14:09:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhHt033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 34142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H64qvB042606 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H64q9d014193 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H64qSY014191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:04:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170604.h5H64qSY014191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/170151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N9 123.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 15:03:36 2003 X-UIDL: 28221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009PC5Y0Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 14:56:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H6uHhq090482 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 14:56:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhIx033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:51:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 34406 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H6p1vB055854 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H6p19d014574 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:51:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H6p1O4014573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:51:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 01:51:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170651.h5H6p1O4014573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 170600 WARNING 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 975 HPA AT 20.8N 123.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 23.9N 123.5E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 26.7N 124.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 34.5N 129.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 40.0N 135.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 16:44:07 2003 X-UIDL: 28231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009Z6AJIZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:35:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8ZZhq021815 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:35:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhKL033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:29:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8TXvB038702 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H8TX9d015479 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H8TXZU015478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:29:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170829.h5H8TXZU015478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 55N 179E BERING SEA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 179E TO 56N 172W 52N 168W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 168W TO 41N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 168W TO 39N 175E 34N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 119E 24N 118E 27N 121E 26N 125E 24N 125E 24N 121E 22N 119E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 13N 123E 16N 123E 18N 127E 22N 128E 20N 132E 14N 130E 13N 123E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 157E 31N 140E 34N 139E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 51N 156E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 30N 166E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 159E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 153E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 975 HPA AT 20.8N 123.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 119E TO 29N 124E 32N 131E 33N 138E 38N 147E 34N 161E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 16:44:09 2003 X-UIDL: 28235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009VHARSZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:40:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8eYhq023487 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:40:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhKZ033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:35:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35048 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:35:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8ZtvB020850 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:35:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H8Zt9d015576 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H8ZtTZ015575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:35:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:35:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170835.h5H8ZtTZ015575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 20.8N0 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.2N7 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.0N8 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.2N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 33.0N6 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 40.0N4 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 21.4N7 123.4E0. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A RAGGED, IRREGULAR 30 NM DIAMETER EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4, 172100Z1, 180300Z2 AND 180900Z8.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 16:54:07 2003 X-UIDL: 28237-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009TTBDHZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:53:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8rWhq027528 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:53:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhKb033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:48:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 35118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:48:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H8m7vB020894 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:48:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5H8m69d015656 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:48:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5H8m6vj015655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:48:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 03:48:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306170848.h5H8m6vj015655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 20.8N0 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.2N7 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.0N8 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.2N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 33.0N6 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 40.0N4 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 21.4N7 123.4E0. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A RAGGED, IRREGULAR 30 NM DIAMETER EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4, 172100Z1, 180300Z2 AND 180900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 21:30:50 2003 X-UIDL: 28259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009ZFMKCZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 20:55:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HCtDhq099369 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 20:55:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhRL033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 07:48:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 36910 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 07:48:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HCmnvB035486 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 07:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HCmn9d018179 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 07:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HCmnTR018178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 07:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 07:48:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0306 Soudelor (0306) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171248.h5HCmnTR018178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIIIII, Probability=47%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 171200 WARNING 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 22.1N 123.5E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 25.3N 123.7E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 28.4N 125.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 35.5N 130.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 41.0N 136.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 21:48:07 2003 X-UIDL: 28261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009XROTSZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:44:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HDi7hq012693 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:44:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhX5033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 08:33:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 37746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 08:33:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HDXtvB015532 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 08:33:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HDXs9d019470 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 08:33:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HDXsDt019469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 08:33:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 08:33:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171333.h5HDXsDt019469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 22.0N4 123.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 123.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 24.5N1 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.7N6 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.2N6 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 34.8N5 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 41.0N5 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 22.6N0 123.6E2. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS A RAGGED, IRREGULAR 30 NM DIAMETER EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1, 180300Z2, 180900Z8 AND 181500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jun 17 22:19:29 2003 X-UIDL: 28266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009F8Q6AZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 22:13:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HED9hq020709 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 22:13:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhZT033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:03:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 38176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:03:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HE3kvB035556 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:03:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HE3k9d020562 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:03:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HE3ks6020561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:03:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 09:03:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 07w (soudelor) Warning Nr 24// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171403.h5HE3ks6020561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 24// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 171200Z1 TO 201200Z5 JUN 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS A RAGGED, IRREGULAR 30 NM DIAMETER EYE. B. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST. 07W IS NOW POLEWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS, AND IS EXHIBITING SIGNS OF INTERACTION WITH A MID- LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW EXITING EASTERN CHINA, ALLOWING FOR ACCELERATED SPEED OF ADVANCE AND THE ONSET OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO OCCUR NO LATER THAN TAU 12. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), GFDN, AFWA, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN VERY CLOSE AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 07W HAS REACHED MAXIMUM INTENSITY NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS, AND IS SOON TO BE ON THE DECLINE WITH THE ONSET OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EVALUATION OF RECENT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND AN OLDER 162123Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 00:16:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009BJSS5Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:09:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HF9Yhq036871 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 23:09:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5H4mkrV034292; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:02:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 39072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:02:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HF2jvB045982 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:02:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HF2j9d022907 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:02:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HF2jVw022906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:02:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 10:02:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171502.h5HF2jVw022906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 55N 179E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 179W TO 54N 166W. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 166W TO 43N 153W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 166W TO 38N 178E 31N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 122E 18N 123E 19N 126E 22N 128E 22N 129E 15N 129E 15N 125E 16N 122E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 120E 21N 118E 24N 118E 28N 121E 26N 124E 24N 121E 21N 120E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 180E 29N 166E 31N 151E 34N 143E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 59N 148E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 157E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 162E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 970 HPA AT 22.1N 123.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 120E TO 32N 127E 34N 137E 38N 148E 33N 159E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:24 2003 X-UIDL: 28288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGM009LSZW4Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:43:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HHh8hq082025 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:43:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhkj033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:34:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 41111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:34:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HHY6vB036058 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:34:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HHY59d028560 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:34:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HHY4GZ028559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:34:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 12:34:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171734.h5HHY4GZ028559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 024A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 22.0N4 123.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 123.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 26.6N4 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 31.2N6 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 35.3N1 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 39.5N7 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 23.2N7 123.9E5. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS A RAGGED, IRREGULAR 30 NM DIAMETER EYE. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: ADJUSTED FORECAST SPEEDS TO RECENT ACCELERATION TO 18 KNOTS AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1, 180300Z2, 180900Z8 AND 181500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:29 2003 X-UIDL: 28292-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN009XH3E5Z8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 02:58:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HIwjhq002878 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 02:58:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5GNPhrF033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 13:51:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 42181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 13:50:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HIotvB043462 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 13:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HIos9d001506 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 13:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HIosN8001505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 13:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 13:50:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0306 Soudelor (0306) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306171850.h5HIosN8001505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 171800 WARNING 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 970 HPA AT 23.6N 123.7E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 26.5N 124.5E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 30.0N 126.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 37.0N 133.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 41.0N 140.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28298-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN009US80MZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:38:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HKcehq036301 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 04:38:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HJeV17033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:31:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 43618 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:31:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HKVavB026398 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HKVa9d005089 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HKVarZ005088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 15:31:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306172031.h5HKVarZ005088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 55N 179W BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 179W TO 55N 167W 53N 162W. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 162W TO 48N 156W 43N 152W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 162W TO 45N 166W 40N 176W 35N 177E 31N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 121E 28N 123E 26N 122E 24N 121E 24N 119E 28N 121E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 122E 20N 125E 22N 127E 19N 129E 16N 123E 20N 122E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 166E 31N 150E 33N 142E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 150E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 157E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 162E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 970 HPA AT 23.6N 123.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 122E TO 32N 128E 33N 134E 35N 140E 37N 146E 39N 152E 36N 157E 34N 160E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:33 2003 X-UIDL: 28301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN0096D9SKZ8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 05:17:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HLH1hq046362 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 05:17:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HJeV3r033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:09:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 44114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:09:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HL9AvB055944 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:09:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5HL9A9d006323 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:09:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5HL9Ax7006322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:09:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 16:09:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306172109.h5HL9Ax7006322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 23.6N1 123.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 123.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 27.3N2 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 31.0N4 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 34.3N0 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 38.5N6 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.5N1 124.0E7. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 15 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A RECENT 161900Z7 OBSERVATION AT ISHIGAKI-JIMA REPORTED 50 KNOTS. TY 07W HAS INTENSIFIED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH A WELL-DEFINED 12 NM DIAMETER EYE. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION IS LOCATED PRIMARILY OVER THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2, 180900Z8, 181500Z5 AND 182100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:36 2003 X-UIDL: 28310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001T1K8SB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:02:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I12khq098864 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:02:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5HJeVCp033152; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:50:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 46104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I0o3vB044050 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:50:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I0o39d009983 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:50:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I0o3Vt009982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:50:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 19:50:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0306 Soudelor (0306) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180050.h5I0o3Vt009982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 180000 WARNING 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 960 HPA AT 25.0N 123.8E NEAR ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING NORTH 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 190 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 27.9N 125.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 32.0N 127.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 38.5N 135.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 11:42:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN00183OK7B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:36:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I2a0hq029180 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 10:36:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5wx033154; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:29:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 46905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I2T7vB038196 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I2T69d011027 for ; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I2T6AV011026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2003 21:29:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180229.h5I2T6AV011026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 125E 33N 124E 34N 126E 35N 129E 31N 130E 30N 125E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 131E 33N 136E 35N 140E 42N 140E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 146E 30N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 151E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 155E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 164E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 960 HPA AT 25.0N 123.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 124E TO 31N 131E 35N 139E 36N 147E 38N 153E 36N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 171E TO 36N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:10:26 2003 X-UIDL: 28333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001AXW18B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:17:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I5HPhq080725 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:17:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I5D2vl035902; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:13:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 48637 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:12:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I5CcvB043506 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:12:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I5Cc9d012673 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:12:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I5Cc8h012671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:12:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:12:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180512.h5I5Cc8h012671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.9N5 123.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:10:28 2003 X-UIDL: 28334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN001G1W4DB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:19:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I5JIhq081197 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:19:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P55p033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:16:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 48742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:16:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I5FwvB007938 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:16:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I5Fv9d012741 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:15:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I5FvW8012740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:15:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 00:15:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Valid: 1800z Jun 03 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180515.h5I5FvW8012740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIII, Probability=15%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJECT_MONTH, SUBJECT_MONTH_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 VALID: 1800Z JUN 03 1. THIS BULLETIN DESCRIBES THE POTENTIAL EFFECTS OF TYPHOON SOUDLER [07W] ON THE ROK AND IS A TAILORED INTERPRETATION OF WARNING #26 (BULLETIN WTPN31 PGTW) PRODUCED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AT 18/03Z. IT IS INTENDED FOR USE BY WEATHER PERSONNEL AND SHOULD NOT BE RELAEASED TO NON-WEATHER AGENCIES. AT 18/0000Z, [07W] SOUDLER WAS LOCATED AT NEAR 24.9N1 123.8E4 WITH CENTRAL WINDS OF 100G125KTS. 2. FCST ONSET/DURATION OF 50KT AND GREATER WINDS: A. SRN USFK AREA 4: 19/03Z - 19/08Z B. CSTL USFK AREA 4: 19/02Z - 19/08Z C. SWSTRN USFK AREA 4: 19/01Z - 19/08Z D. KUNSAN: WINDS > 50KTS NOT EXPECTED E. CHEJUDO: 18/20z - 19/03z 3. FCST ONSET/DURATION OF 35KT but less than 50KT winds: A. SRN USFK AREA 4: 19/01Z - 19/10Z B. CSTL USFK AREA 4: 19/00Z - 19/10Z C. SWSTRN USFK AREA 4: 18/23Z - 19/10Z D. KUNSAN: WINDS > 35KTS NOT EXPECTED (MAX WINDS EXPECTED 25 KNOTS) E. CHEJUDO: 18/18Z - 19/05Z 4. FCST ONSET/DURATION OF 20KT CROSSWINDS: A. OSAN AB: CROSSWINDS > 20KTS NOT EXPECTED B. KUNSAN AB: CROSSWINDS > 20KTS NOT EXPECTED 5. HEAVY RAIN WILL BEGIN IN SRN USFK AREA 4 AT 18/03Z (18/1200L). HEAVY RAIN WILL END IN USFK AREA 4 BY 19/08Z. FORECAST TOTAL STORM PRECIPITATION: A. USFK AREAS 3: 1 - 2 IN (INCLUDES NW SECTION OF AREA 4 AND KUNSAN) B. USFK AREAS 4: 6 - 10 IN (ALONG IMMEDIATE COAST TO INCLUDE CHEJUDO) 6. THE 20 OWS WILL CLOSELY MONITOR STORM MOVEMENT. ALL WEATHER UNITS SHOULD MONITOR JTWC AND WHKO BULLETINS. NEXT WHKO WILL BE AT 18/10Z (18/1900L). +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:10:30 2003 X-UIDL: 28339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGN0017TZHWB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 14:32:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I6WDhq003691 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 14:32:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I5D23r035902; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:26:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 49273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:26:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I6QUvB043430 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:26:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I6QU9d013350 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:26:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I6QUEF013349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:26:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:26:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Valid: 1800z Jun 03 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180626.h5I6QUEF013349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIII, Probability=15%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJECT_MONTH, SUBJECT_MONTH_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 VALID: 1800Z JUN 03 1. THIS BULLETIN DESCRIBES THE POTENTIAL EFFECTS OF TYPHOON SOUDLER [07W] ON THE ROK AND IS A TAILORED INTERPRETATION OF WARNING #26 (BULLETIN WTPN31 PGTW) PRODUCED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AT 18/03Z. IT IS INTENDED FOR USE BY WEATHER PERSONNEL AND SHOULD NOT BE RELAEASED TO NON-WEATHER AGENCIES. AT 18/0000Z, [07W] SOUDLER WAS LOCATED AT NEAR 24.9N1 123.8E4 WITH CENTRAL WINDS OF 100G125KTS. 2. FCST ONSET/DURATION OF 50KT AND GREATER WINDS: A. SESTRN USFK AREA 4: 19/03Z - 19/08Z B. SCNTRL USFK AREA 4: WINDS > 50KTS NOT EXPECTED C. SWSTRN USFK AREA 4: WINDS > 50KTS NOT EXPECTED D. KUNSAN: WINDS > 50KTS NOT EXPECTED E. CHEJUDO: 18/20z - 19/03z 3. FCST ONSET/DURATION OF 35KT but less than 50KT winds: A. SESTRN USFK AREA 4: 19/01Z - 19/10Z B. SCNTRL USFK AREA 4: 19/00Z - 19/10Z C. SWSTRN USFK AREA 4: 18/23Z - 19/10Z D. KUNSAN: WINDS > 35KTS NOT EXPECTED (MAX WINDS 25 KTS) E. CHEJUDO: 18/18Z - 19/05Z 4. FCST ONSET/DURATION OF 20KT CROSSWINDS: A. OSAN AB: CROSSWINDS > 20KTS NOT EXPECTED B. KUNSAN AB: CROSSWINDS > 20KTS NOT EXPECTED 5. HEAVY RAIN WILL BEGIN IN SRN USFK AREA 4 AT 18/03Z (18/1200L). HEAVY RAIN WILL END IN USFK AREA 4 BY 19/08Z. FORECAST TOTAL STORM PRECIPITATION: A. USFK AREAS 3: 1 - 2 IN (INCLUDES NW SECTION OF AREA 4 AND KUNSAN) B. USFK AREAS 4: 6 - 10 IN (ALONG IMMEDIATE COAST TO INCLUDE CHEJUDO) 6. THE 20 OWS WILL CLOSELY MONITOR STORM MOVEMENT. ALL WEATHER UNITS SHOULD MONITOR JTWC AND WHKO BULLETINS. NEXT WHKO WILL BE AT 18/10Z (18/1900L). AMD 18/0620Z +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:10:30 2003 X-UIDL: 28340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO0019A0JFB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 14:54:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I6sihq011141 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 14:54:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P57n033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:51:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 49380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:51:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I6pFvB027388 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:51:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I6pF9d013521 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I6pFFo013520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 01:51:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0306 Soudelor (0306) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180651.h5I6pFFo013520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 180600 WARNING 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 960 HPA AT 26.2N 124.5E NORTHNORTHWEST OF MIYAKOJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 190 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 29.9N 126.5E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 34.4N 130.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 40.0N 139.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:29:55 2003 X-UIDL: 28346-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO0015R4VWB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:28:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8SYhq042122 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:28:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P58x033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:21:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 49883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:21:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8LKvB043462 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:21:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I8LJ9d014338 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:21:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I8LJ1G014337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:21:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:21:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180821.h5I8LJ1G014337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 26.3N1 124.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N1 124.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 30.0N3 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 33.9N5 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 37.6N6 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 40.2N6 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 27.2N1 124.7E4. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM WEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A SYMMETRIC 18 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5, 182100Z2, 190300Z3 AND 190900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 16:39:55 2003 X-UIDL: 28347-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001M251QB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:32:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8W7hq043266 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 16:32:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P595033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:27:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 49923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I8RRvB032964 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5I8RR9d014377 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:27:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5I8RRx3014376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:27:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 03:27:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306180827.h5I8RRx3014376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 132E 36N 140E 42N 142E 47N 152E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 32N 160E 32N 140E 32N 132E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 155E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 154E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 169E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 960 HPA AT 26.2N 124.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 32N 128E 32N 132E 34N 140E 38N 157E 36N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 176E TO 36N 180E 41N 170W 52N 158W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 21:29:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001KWHHJB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:00:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ID0ghq020354 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:00:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5G5033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 07:49:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 51545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 07:49:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5ICnMvB038268 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 07:49:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5ICnM9d016828 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 07:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5ICnMPo016827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 07:49:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 07:49:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0306 Soudelor (0306) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181249.h5ICnMPo016827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 181200 WARNING 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 955 HPA AT 27.8N 125.5E NORTHWEST OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 18 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 190 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 32.2N 128.0E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 36.4N 132.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 41.0N 142.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 22:18:26 2003 X-UIDL: 28381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001LAKZAB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 22:16:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IEGChq042054 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 22:16:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5Jb033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:04:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:04:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IE4BvB026602 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:04:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IE4B9d018964 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:04:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IE4BEJ018963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:04:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:04:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181404.h5IE4BEJ018963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIII, Probability=18%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 27.7N6 125.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N6 125.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 31.5N9 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 35.4N2 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 38.8N9 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 28.6N6 125.9E7. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 180921Z1 NORMALIZED RADAR CROSS-SECTION (NRCS) DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A SYMMETRIC 20 NM EYE, AS SYSTEM SPIRAL BANDING BEGINS TO ELONGATE POLEWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2, 190300Z3, 190900Z9 AND 191500Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jun 18 23:41:48 2003 X-UIDL: 28382-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO0016ZLWTB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 18 Jun 2003 22:36:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IEaNhq047359 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 22:36:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5L7033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:28:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:27:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IERfvB028646 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IERf9d019749 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IERfCN019748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:27:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181427.h5IERfCN019748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 133E 36N 141E 42N 142E 47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 33N 160E 33N 140E 33N 133E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 37N 159E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 170E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 955 HPA AT 27.8N 125.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 124E TO 33N 130E 34N 140E 37N 159E 34N 170E 36N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 00:08:09 2003 X-UIDL: 28394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001M6Q3MB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:06:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IG6qhq074066 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:06:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5N7033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:40:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 52789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:40:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IEePvB054078 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:40:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IEeP9d020215 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:40:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IEeOw8020214 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:40:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 09:40:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 07w (soudelor) Warning Nr 28// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181440.h5IEeOw8020214@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 28// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 181200Z2 TO 200000Z2 JUN 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 180921Z1 NORMALIZED RADAR CROSS-SECTION (NRCS) DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN A SYMMETRIC 20 NM EYE, AS SYSTEM SPIRAL BANDING BEGINS TO ELONGATE POLEWARD. B. TY 07W HAS BEGUN TO ACCELERATE POLEWARD, NOW WELL PAST THE AXIS OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE ORIENTED NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST OF TY 07W. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, THE JAPANESE TYPHOON (JTYM) AND GLOBAL SPECTRAL (JGSM) MODELS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN VERY CLOSE AGREEMENT THROUGH THE 36 HOUR FORECAST. AFWA MM5, AND THE AUSTRALIA TLAPS AND TCLAPS MODELS TRACK 07W EITHER OVER THE KOREAN PENINSULA OR FURTHER POLEWARD OVER THE SEA OF JAPAN. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESSER EMPHASIS ON AFWA AND THE AUSTRALIAN MODELS. C. ANALYSIS OF LATEST UPPER-LEVEL PRODUCTS INDICATE THAT TY 07W HAS ENTERED A REGION OF PROGRESSIVELY INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TY 07W WILL INTERACT WITH A BAROCLINIC SYSTEM NOW OVER THE EAST CHINA SEA, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL THROUGH 200000Z2. COINCIDENTALLY, THE SYSTEM HAS NOW CROSSED INTO RELATIVELY COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE KUROSHIO FRONT AS WELL. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON ANALYSIS OF A 180921Z1 QUIKSCAT PASS AND NRCS DATA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 04:14:50 2003 X-UIDL: 28411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGO001QRYNRB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:11:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IJBdhq026944 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:11:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5e5033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:48:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 56249 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:48:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IImhvB036984 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:48:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IImh9d000027 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:48:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IImh5R000026 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:48:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 13:48:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0306 Soudelor (0306) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306181848.h5IImh5R000026@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 181800 WARNING 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 965 HPA AT 29.9N 127.1E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 33.9N 129.7E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 38.0N 134.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 04:44:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP001QM2SIB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:41:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IKevhq056662 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:40:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IISMG9010644; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:29:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 57778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IKTLvB055942 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:29:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IKTK9d003770 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IKTK7o003769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:29:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306182029.h5IKTK7o003769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 137E 35N 140E 42N 143E 44N 146E 51N 156E 60N 165E 60N 179W 34N 180E 33N 160E 33N 143E 33N 137E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 36N 163E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 171E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 965 HPA AT 29.9N 127.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 125E TO 34N 128E 34N 140E 36N 145E 35N 156E 36N 162E 33N 174E 49N 146W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 05:04:31 2003 X-UIDL: 28421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP001UJ3KDB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:57:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IKvehq061197 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 04:57:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5I1P5ot033154; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:48:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 58035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:48:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5IKmnvB047786 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:48:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5IKmn9d004544 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5IKmnhn004543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:48:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 15:48:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306182048.h5IKmnhn004543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 30.1N4 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 34.7N4 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 38.4N5 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 40.7N1 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 31.3N7 127.8E8. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 KNOTS, AND THE WEAKENING TREND ASSOCIATED WITH A TRANSITIONING EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEAL THE LOSS OF THE DISTINCT EYE FEATURE AND AN ELONGATION OF THE SPIRAL BANDS INDICATING THAT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS WELL UNDERWAY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3, 190900Z9, 191500Z6 AND 192100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 09:04:32 2003 X-UIDL: 28443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CRJEO878@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 08:57:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0vbhq022536 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 08:57:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXvp056898; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 19:51:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 61188 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 19:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0pSvB047764 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 19:51:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J0pR9d008799 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 19:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J0pRFg008798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 19:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 19:51:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190051.h5J0pRFg008798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 190000 WARNING 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 975 HPA AT 32.5N 128.1E WEST OF KYUSYU MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 27 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 65 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 36.6N 131.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 39.6N 136.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 15:31:33 2003 X-UIDL: 28457-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CPBIZZ78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:31:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J2V4hq058431 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:31:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX2j056898; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:25:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 62076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:25:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J2PjvB008250 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:25:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J2Pi9d009792 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:25:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J2Pi2R009791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:25:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:25:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 07w (soudelor) Warning Nr 30// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190225.h5J2Pi2R009791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 30// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 190000Z0 TO 201200Z5 JUN 03. A. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS, SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS, AND THE WEAKENING TREND ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO TAKE ON CHARACTERISTICS OF A COLD-CORE MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM. B. TY 07W HAS BEGUN TO ACCELERATE POLEWARD PAST THE AXIS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TY 07W IS UNDERGOING RAPID EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO A COLD-CORE SYSTEM BY 191800Z9. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE TYPHOON (JTYM) AND GLOBAL SPECTRAL (JGSM) MODELS, ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. ANALYSIS OF SURFACE AND UPPER-LEVEL PRODUCTS INDICATE THAT TY 07W HAS ENTERED A REGION OF PROGRESSIVELY INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LOWER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON ANALYSIS OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/NOREN/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 15:31:33 2003 X-UIDL: 28458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CPUJ0778@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:31:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J2VChq058472 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:31:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX2h056898; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:24:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 62066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:24:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J2OjvB047832 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:24:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J2Oj9d009779 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:24:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J2OjSu009778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:24:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:24:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190224.h5J2OjSu009778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 32.5N0 128.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 32.5N0 128.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 36.6N5 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 39.7N9 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 41.5N0 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 33.5N1 129.4E6. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS, SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS, AND THE WEAKENING TREND ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO TAKE ON CHARACTERISTICS OF A COLD-CORE MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 15:31:33 2003 X-UIDL: 28459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CHEJ8L78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:36:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J2aEhq060171 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 10:36:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX2t056898; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:31:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 62136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J2V3vB005062 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J2V39d009888 for ; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J2V33q009887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:31:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2003 21:31:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190231.h5J2V33q009887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 131E 22N 131E 22N 126E 28N 127E 29N 131E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 142E 43N 141E 43N 146E 50N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 29N 180E 29N 154E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 176W NW SLOWLY. LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 126E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 157E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 40N 166E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 975 HPA AT 32.5N 128.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 126E TO 53N 133E 52N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 126E TO 50N 123E 46N 113E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 128E TO 37N 138E 34N 155E 34N 168E 39N 176W 39N 164W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 15:31:37 2003 X-UIDL: 28475-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CDMSHC78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 13:56:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J5tqhq028942 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 13:55:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX7H056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 63828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J5pSvB049390 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J5pS9d011774 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J5pSZn011772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 00:51:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190551.h5J5pSZn011772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190151ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N0 128.5E6, 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 15:31:38 2003 X-UIDL: 28479-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CREV0K78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 14:50:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J6obhq047584 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 14:50:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX8T056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 01:45:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 64209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 01:45:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J6jqvB026002 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 01:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J6jq9d012242 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 01:45:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J6jqiZ012241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 01:45:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 01:45:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190645.h5J6jqiZ012241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 190600 WARNING 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 980 HPA AT 35.0N 129.8E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 28 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 20 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 38.8N 133.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 41.1N 138.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 16:01:36 2003 X-UIDL: 28488-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00CZPY3G78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:57:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J7v8hq068331 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:57:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX8x056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 02:51:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 64557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 02:51:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J7pEvB038010 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 02:51:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J7pE9d012796 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 02:51:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J7pEYj012795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 02:51:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 02:51:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190751.h5J7pEYj012795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 34.8N5 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.8N5 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 38.1N2 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 40.2N6 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 41.2N7 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 35.6N4 131.0E5. TYPHOON (TY) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM NORTH OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS, SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS, AND THE WEAKENING TREND ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND WILL COMPLETE THE TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 16:36:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28494-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGP00C02ZVW78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:35:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J8Zohq082890 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 16:35:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MX9B056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:28:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 64706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J8S9vB037052 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5J8S99d013241 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5J8S9hj013240 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 03:28:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306190828.h5J8S9hj013240@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 114E 18N 113E 20N 119E 16N 120E 14N 114E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 136E 35N 137E 36N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 30N 180E 26N 162E 28N 147E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 129E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 171E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 980 HPA AT 35.0N 129.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 129E TO 53N 135E 53N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 129E TO 49N 122E 47N 113E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 130E TO 38N 134E 36N 141E 34N 160E 34N 168E 33N 176E 39N 171W 39N 162W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 20:54:24 2003 X-UIDL: 28537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00C02BST78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 20:53:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JCr7hq063002 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 20:53:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXG1056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 07:46:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 66594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 07:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JCkGvB047746 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 07:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JCkB9d015629 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 07:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JCkBed015628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 07:46:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 07:46:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0306 Soudelor (0306) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191246.h5JCkBed015628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 191200 WARNING 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 985 HPA AT 37.1N 132.7E EAST OF ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING NORTHEAST 31 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 40.0N 136.0E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 41.5N 140.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 22:23:44 2003 X-UIDL: 28548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CDVFYW78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:23:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JENDhq088660 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:23:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JBmiD7042608; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:17:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 67449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:14:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JEE9vB044360 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:14:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JEE89d017648 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:14:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JEE84C017647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:14:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:14:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 07w (soudelor) Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191414.h5JEE84C017647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIII, Probability=54%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 32// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 210000Z3 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST OF WAJIMA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 32 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR, INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS NEARLY COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. B. TS 07W CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE POLEWARD INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AS IT COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, WHICH SHOULD BE COMPLETE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), NCEP GFS, COAMPS, THE JAPANESE TYPHOON (JTYM) AND GLOBAL SPECTRAL (JGSM) MODELS, ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. ANALYSIS OF SURFACE AND UPPER-LEVEL PRODUCTS INDICATE THAT TS 07W HAS ENTERED A REGION OF PROGRESSIVELY INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LOWER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON ANALYSIS OF MICROWAVE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. WIND RADII ARE NOT FORECAST FOR EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEMS. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 22:25:56 2003 X-UIDL: 28549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CJAG1P78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:25:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JEOshq089066 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:24:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JBmiDL042608; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:17:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 67464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:15:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JEFBvB024714 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:15:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JEFB9d017693 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:15:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JEFBsZ017692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:15:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:15:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191415.h5JEFBsZ017692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 032 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 07W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 37.5N5 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 32 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 37.5N5 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 40.2N6 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 41.8N3 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 42.3N9 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 38.2N3 133.6E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST OF WAJIMA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 32 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR, INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS NEARLY COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jun 19 23:26:24 2003 X-UIDL: 28551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CGMGL978@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:36:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JEachq092081 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 22:36:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5J0MXM5056898; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:27:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 67588 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:27:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JERcvB024806 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JERc9d018082 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JERctX018081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 09:27:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306191427.h5JERctX018081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 31N 131E 34N 136E 36N 141E 43N 140E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 30N 180E 26N 169E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 132E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 154E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 174E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 985 HPA AT 37.1N 132.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 132E TO 53N 140E 51N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 132E TO 48N 123E 45N 114E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 133E TO 39N 137E 38N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 132E TO 32N 128E 31N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 141E TO 33N 162E 33N 170E 33N 175E 34N 180E 38N 171W 40N 161W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 04:27:26 2003 X-UIDL: 28588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00CZQWDY78@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:17:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKHmhq094035 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:17:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JJi1xn037816; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:10:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 71622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:10:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKAUvB035502 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:10:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JKAT9d000428 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:10:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JKATe8000427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:10:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:10:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306192010.h5JKATe8000427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 39.7N9 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 30 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 39.7N9 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 41.9N4 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 42.2N8 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 42.0N6 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 40.3N7 136.2E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTHWEST OF WAJIMA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR, INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 04:37:27 2003 X-UIDL: 28590-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGQ00C5QX66DV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:34:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKYlhq098819 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 04:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKHTvt038470; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:30:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 71845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKUDvB037884 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5JKUD9d001031 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5JKUDBl001030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 15:30:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306192030.h5JKUDBl001030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW FORMER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 988 HPA AT 38N 135E WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 135E TO 39N 140E 39N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 135E TO 34N 133E 32N 128E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 350 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 40N 139E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 41N 144E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 31N 131E 33N 132E 36N 141E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 29N 180E 29N 164E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 172E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 144E TO 36N 152E 33N 159E 29N 167E 34N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:03 2003 X-UIDL: 28622-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR004PSDQQT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:32:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K2Whhq085474 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 10:32:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiD7019976; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 75230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K2RdvB038422 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:27:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K2Rd9d006871 for ; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K2Rdxc006870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 19 Jun 2003 21:27:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200227.h5K2Rdxc006870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 40N 137E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 137E TO 40N 139E 40N 141E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 141E TO 40N 145E 37N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 141E TO 36N 138E 32N 136E 31N 132E 27N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 33N 132E 35N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 50N 155E 60N 164E 60N 180E 27N 180E 29N 153E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 137E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 49N 163E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 171E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 32N 126E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 42N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 137E TO 54N 141E 55N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 137E TO 48N 133E 44N 124E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 171E TO 33N 176E 33N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 171E TO 32N 168E 33N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 161E TO 35N 159E 35N 154E 37N 150E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:14 2003 X-UIDL: 28639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR00CQTNNRDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 14:07:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K66vhq061949 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 14:06:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKc0h3048388; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 76887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K62IvB040866 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K62I9d008725 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K62IJY008723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 01:02:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200602.h5K62IJY008723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXII, Probability=52%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600ZJUN2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191951ZJUN2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.7N9 134.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTHWEST OF WAJIMA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 192100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 143.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WAVE NEAR THE SURFACE AND DOES NOT SHOW A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO HAVE DEVELOPED AT THIS TIME. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH OF THE AREA IS ENHANCING CONVECTION IN THE REGION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 17:03:19 2003 X-UIDL: 28654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGR0041RUIHT9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:35:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K8Yvhq008657 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 16:34:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiNv019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:30:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 77686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5K8UIvB008228 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5K8UH9d009883 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5K8UHIL009882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 03:30:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306200830.h5K8UHIL009882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 139E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 139E TO 41N 141E 42N 143E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 143E TO 39N 150E 35N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 143E TO 37N 141E 34N 135E 31N 133E 28N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 139E 40N 142E 42N 141E 43N 144E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 27N 180E 29N 160E 31N 132E 35N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 57N 142E NE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 56N 167E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 171E ESE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 142E TO 57N 147E 56N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 142E TO 54N 141E 51N 136E 47N 133E 46N 127E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 155E TO 34N 160E 31N 167E 31N 171E 30N 180E 45N 149W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jun 20 22:37:54 2003 X-UIDL: 28676-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS00CSNBAJDV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:37:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KEbOhq006903 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 22:37:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5JKbiXt019976; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:28:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 79985 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:28:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KESLvB021476 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:28:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KESL9d014365 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:28:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KESK6i014364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:28:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 09:28:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306201428.h5KESK6i014364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 41N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 144E TO 38N 151E 36N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 144E TO 36N 140E 33N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 50N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 25N 180E 24N 159E 31N 133E 33N 134E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 57N 142E NNE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 168E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 55N 166E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 175E ESE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 154E TO 34N 160E 30N 168E 31N 174E 35N 176W 40N 164W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:37 2003 X-UIDL: 28713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGS004GKS01T9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:38:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KKcJhq010957 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 04:38:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJN7En038466; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:29:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 84412 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KKRfvB052810 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5KKRe9d024429 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5KKReKH024428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 15:27:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306202027.h5KKReKH024428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 145E TO 38N 152E 35N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 145E TO 37N 144E 33N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 27N 180E 26N 159E 31N 134E 33N 135E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 170E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 32N 179E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 54N 167E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 174E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 157E TO 34N 160E 29N 171E 32N 179E 37N 172W 41N 162W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 11:16:44 2003 X-UIDL: 28737-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EVW8CTIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 10:31:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L2VYhq091976 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 10:31:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPh1048390; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:27:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 91369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L2R8vB036022 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L2R89d029579 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L2R7KU029578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:27:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 21:27:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210227.h5L2R7KU029578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 42N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 146E TO 41N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 150E TO 35N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 150E TO 36N 149E 35N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 180E 27N 170E 32N 159E 34N 150E 39N 150E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 169E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 179E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 148E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 53N 167E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 175E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 157E TO 35N 158E 28N 168E 34N 179E 41N 171W. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 111E TO 31N 117E 31N 126E 30N 133E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:41:57 2003 X-UIDL: 28757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EVPELAIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 12:46:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L4kFhq027562 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 12:46:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPlJ048390; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 92549 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L4gXvB056662 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L4gX9d000677 for ; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L4gW8d000675 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2003 23:42:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210442.h5L4gW8d000675@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:01 2003 X-UIDL: 28769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGT00EMMP2DIR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:32:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L8WVhq078432 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 16:32:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPnV048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:28:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 93747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5L8SFvB023152 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5L8SF9d002452 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5L8SE43002451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 03:28:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306210828.h5L8SE43002451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 41N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 149E TO 41N 152E 39N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 155E TO 35N 158E 32N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 155E TO 35N 151E 34N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 130E 33N 132E 33N 136E 30N 138E 28N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 144E 42N 143E 47N 152E 53N 160E 60N 165E 60N 180E 25N 180E 25N 166E 33N 150E 39N 144E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 119E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 39N 134E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 53N 167E SSE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 119E TO 54N 122E 55N 127E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 119E TO 46N 115E 41N 106E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 104E TO 32N 113E 29N 124E 31N 129E 30N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 161E TO 29N 168E 30N 174E 35N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jun 21 23:42:08 2003 X-UIDL: 28785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00EJU5V6IR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LEZKhq057017 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 22:35:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5KJMPtZ048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:27:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 95464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LERRvB025186 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LERQ9d004730 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LERQP5004729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 09:27:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306211427.h5LERQP5004729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 40N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 150E TO 41N 154E 38N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 157E TO 34N 161E 32N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 157E TO 35N 153E 33N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 33N 132E 34N 136E 30N 137E 28N 134E 29N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 46N 151E 55N 162E 60N 165E 60N 180E 25N 180E 25N 165E 32N 150E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 122E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 39N 136E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 23N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 54N 165E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 122E TO 54N 125E 53N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 122E TO 48N 120E 44N 114E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 105E TO 30N 109E 30N 117E 30N 124E 31N 129E 31N 135E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 164E TO 29N 170E 30N 175E 33N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 22 06:02:04 2003 X-UIDL: 28799-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGU00E5DMI5IR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:34:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LKYjhq037452 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 04:34:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJP8b048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:30:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 98246 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LKUPvB034726 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5LKUP9d007784 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:30:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5LKUP2R007783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:30:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 15:30:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306212030.h5LKUP2R007783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 39N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 152E TO 40N 155E 38N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 158E TO 34N 162E 31N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 158E TO 34N 156E 32N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 132E 33N 135E 29N 134E 28N 130E 33N 132E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 28N 180E 28N 163E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 125E NE 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 174W NNE 25 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 40N 137E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 25N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 55N 170E SE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 44N 170E SSE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 125E TO 53N 130E 52N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 125E TO 50N 123E 46N 117E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 174W TO 43N 168W 43N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 174W TO 37N 175W 30N 176E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 176E TO 29N 171E 31N 165E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 105E TO 31N 108E 32N 112E 32N 116E 31N 119E 31N 123E 31N 127E 31N 131E 31N 134E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:02 2003 X-UIDL: 29720-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00DD6X4M2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:33:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h638Xo4q005653 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 16:33:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6353xhR040980; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 03:27:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 66396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 03:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h638RPc9020642 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 03:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h638RP9d004336 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 03:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h638RP5L004335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 03:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 03:27:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307030827.h638RP5L004335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 37N 131E NEAR ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 131E TO 36N 133E 33N 136E 31N 140E 30N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 131E TO 35N 130E 33N 125E 32N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 122E TO 32N 115E 31N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 41N 158E 41N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 39N 165E 36N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 33N 155E 30N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 142E 47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 48N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 48N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 173E TO 39N 180E 50N 165W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:16 2003 X-UIDL: 29743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00D5GF9U2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 23:05:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63F5f4q016112 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 23:05:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6353xoV040980; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 09:57:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69689 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 09:57:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63EvCc9031066 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 09:57:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63EvB9d010148 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 09:57:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63EvB8B010147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 09:57:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 09:57:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307031457.h63EvB8B010147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 38N 133E WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 133E TO 38N 134E 38N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 135E TO 36N 138E 33N 140E 31N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 135E TO 35N 135E 33N 130E 31N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 125E TO 32N 120E 32N 115E 31N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 41N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 158E TO 42N 160E 41N 164E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 164E TO 38N 170E 37N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 164E TO 35N 160E 32N 155E 31N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 142E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E 30N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 135E NE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 49N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 48N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 176E TO 40N 176W 52N 162W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:18 2003 X-UIDL: 29747-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHD00FPYLT5RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 10:34:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h622YA4q061423 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 10:34:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61KYTqZ021256; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:27:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h622RQc9025728 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h622RQ9d001896 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h622RQf8001894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 21:27:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307020227.h622RQf8001894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 146E TO 36N 150E 33N 154E 32N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 146E TO 32N 140E 31N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 142E 46N 150E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 160E 33N 150E 32N 139E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 118E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 44N 177E ENE 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 110E TO 31N 114E 33N 118E 32N 124E 31N 133E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 177E TO 46N 180E 47N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 177E TO 36N 170E 32N 157E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 40N 135E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 46N 153E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 48N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:26 2003 X-UIDL: 29777-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHD00EIJ55HZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:34:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61KYM4q067928 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 04:34:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61D34uj050064; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:28:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 44944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61KS4c9042664 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61KS39d025726 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61KS3kQ025725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 15:28:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307012028.h61KS3kQ025725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 141E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 141E TO 34N 144E 35N 146E 32N 152E 31N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 141E TO 32N 137E 32N 132E 31N 127E 31N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 124E TO 31N 120E 32N 116E 30N 112E 30N 107E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 38N 142E 41N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 30N 160E 32N 140E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 168E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 168E TO 41N 171E 42N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 168E TO 36N 166E 31N 157E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 35N 124E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 46N 151E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 49N 169E EAST 10 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 174E TO 46N 180E 49N 177W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:38 2003 X-UIDL: 29805-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00FOTJL9RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 22:43:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62Ehl4q086178 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 22:43:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h616SAP5039894; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 09:31:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 54352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 09:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62EVDc9043486 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 09:31:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62EVD9d010730 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 09:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62EVDBu010728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 09:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 09:31:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307021431.h62EVDBu010728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 37N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 37N 157E 34N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 32N 147E 30N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 180E 33N 167E 33N 151E 35N 140E 38N 142E 42N 143E 45N 148E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 121E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 50N 173W ENE 30 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 41N 137E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 46N 157E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 49N 175E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 121E TO 34N 127E 30N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 121E TO 32N 114E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 114E TO 31N 105E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 173W TO 52N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 173W TO 38N 174E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 174E TO 34N 164E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:42 2003 X-UIDL: 29818-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHE00F412ONRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 02 Jul 2003 16:38:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h628ce4q072987 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 16:38:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6257Zf5040976; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 03:29:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 03:29:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h628Tqc9020138 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 03:29:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h628Tq9d005188 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 03:29:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h628Tq2U005187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 03:29:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 03:29:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307020829.h628Tq2U005187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 149E TO 35N 156E 33N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 149E TO 32N 144E 30N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 179E 32N 167E 33N 154E 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 46N 149E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 39N 179E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 118E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 41N 164E ESE SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 48N 177W NE 55 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 40N 135E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 137E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 47N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 47N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 105E TO 33N 118E 32N 126E 30N 133E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 177W TO 50N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 177W TO 42N 179E 37N 172E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 172E TO 35N 169E 33N 164E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:44 2003 X-UIDL: 29829-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00DBLP912P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 13:43:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h635hh4q049104 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 13:43:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6353xfX040980; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:37:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 65791 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:37:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h635bSc9038884 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:37:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h635Us9d002930 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:30:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h635Ud5N002928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:30:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 00:30:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307030530.h635Ud5N002928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 132.8E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 127.3E3 APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:46 2003 X-UIDL: 29835-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00D9PGGA2P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 10:33:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h632Xd4q085914 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 10:33:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62IwOr1040978; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:28:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 63772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h632SVc9040430 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:28:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h632SV9d001009 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:28:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h632SVW9001008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:28:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 21:28:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307030228.h632SVW9001008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 154E TO 40N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 157E TO 38N 162E 37N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 157E TO 36N 156E 32N 152E 31N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 144E TO 31N 139E 32N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 36N 127E KOREA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 127E TO 35N 130E 32N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 127E TO 33N 124E 31N 116E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 116E TO 31N 111E 30N 105E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 34N 180E 33N 153E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 47N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 47N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 163E TO 36N 166E 38N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:48 2003 X-UIDL: 29840-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHF00FKV058RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 03 Jul 2003 04:41:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62KfO4q097212 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 04:41:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62IwOgh040978; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:27:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60511 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h62KRfc9041262 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h62KRe9d025539 for ; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h62KReIx025538 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 02 Jul 2003 15:27:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307022027.h62KReIx025538@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 38N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 152E TO 39N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 154E TO 38N 161E 37N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 154E TO 33N 150E 30N 144E 31N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 36N 180E 33N 168E 34N 153E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 125E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 50N 169W NE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 47N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 49N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 125E TO 34N 132E 31N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 125E TO 32N 119E 32N 114E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 114E TO 31N 110E 31N 105E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 169W TO 52N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 169W TO 44N 178W 38N 176E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 176E TO 36N 171E 37N 164E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:49 2003 X-UIDL: 29848-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00E2BAL3OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:36:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UKaX4q096288 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 04:36:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57g4Z052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 15:29:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 31644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 15:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UKTRc9031030 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 15:29:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UKTQ9d027051 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 15:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UKTQ26027050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 15:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 15:29:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306302029.h5UKTQ26027050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E 29N 144E 34N 150E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 125E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 157E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 163E ENE 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 178W NE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 163E TO 39N 167E 38N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 163E TO 35N 160E 34N 156E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 156E TO 32N 149E 34N 139E 33N 133E 34N 125E 30N 105E. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 178W TO 57N 170W 55N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 178W TO 52N 180E 46N 172E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 153E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 49N 148E SOUTH 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:22:58 2003 X-UIDL: 29877-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00ENITYUOO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 22:37:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UEbY4q085266 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 22:37:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8osAv039894; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 09:29:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 26294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 09:29:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5UETlc9033046 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 09:29:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5UETk9d014437 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 09:29:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5UETk3x014436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 09:29:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 09:29:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306301429.h5UETk3x014436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 173E 44N 174E 46N 180E 34N 180E 35N 173E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 50N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 26N 180E 28N 143E 34N 147E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 33N 119E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 38N 161E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 155E EAST 10 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 56N 180E NE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 161E TO 38N 166E 37N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 161E TO 35N 159E 34N 157E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 157E TO 31N 149E 34N 140E 33N 128E 32N 119E 30N 106E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 153E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 52N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:05 2003 X-UIDL: 29905-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00EGA8ALZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 16:44:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h618ib4q061409 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 16:44:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gPd052994; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h618Rec9025102 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h618Re9d006980 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h618RecK006979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 03:27:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307010827.h618RecK006979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 140E 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 27N 147E 33N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 128E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 134E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 156E SOUTH 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 165E NE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 165E TO 40N 168E 40N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 165E TO 34N 160E 30N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 154E TO 31N 148E 33N 141E 32N 138E 33N 134E 33N 130E 33N 128E 32N 124E 32N 118E 30N 108E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 11N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 36N 122E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 24N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 46N 150E SOUTH 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 176E TO 53N 177W 59N 174W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:09 2003 X-UIDL: 29919-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHC00EZPOTMZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 22:41:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61EfZ4q064984 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 22:41:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61D34eN050064; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 09:36:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 40028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 09:36:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h61Eaqc9015782 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 09:36:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h61Eaq9d013193 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 09:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h61EaqcX013192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 09:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 01 Jul 2003 09:36:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307011436.h61EaqcX013192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 137E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 140E 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 27N 156E 30N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 166E NNE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 166E TO 42N 171E 43N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 166E TO 35N 163E 30N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 154E TO 32N 148E 34N 142E 33N 139E 33N 137E 32N 133E 32N 129E 31N 125E 31N 120E 30N 115E 30N 108E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 131E WEST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 151E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 36N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 46N 150E SE 10 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 175E TO 45N 180E 49N 178W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:19 2003 X-UIDL: 29953-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900CZ2FSAPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 04:33:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TKXY4q080475 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 04:33:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TK1HeJ038900; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 15:27:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 17542 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 15:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TKREc9026632 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 15:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5TKRE9d002715 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 15:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5TKREbX002714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 15:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 15:27:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306292027.h5TKREbX002714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 168E TO 41N 171E 40N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 168E TO 35N 164E 33N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 160E TO 34N 153E 32N 147E 31N 136E 32N 128E 33N 120E 31N 111E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 43N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 36N 161E 34N 147E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 40N 150E EAST 30 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 153E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 48N 169E NE 25 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 22N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 51N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:24 2003 X-UIDL: 29966-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800C8TZ7IPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 22:35:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TEZX4q097850 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 22:35:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8osiX039894; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:29:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 13955 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:29:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TETFc9056408 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:29:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5TETF9d029004 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:29:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5TETFwM029003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:29:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 09:29:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306291429.h5TETFwM029003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 166E TO 38N 169E 37N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 166E TO 34N 163E 34N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 158E TO 34N 155E 35N 151E 31N 135E 34N 119E 32N 111E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 31N 166E 33N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 151E EAST 40 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 165E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 21N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 52N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:28 2003 X-UIDL: 29978-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CLVII8PU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 16:34:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8Yn4q026466 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 16:34:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270nd052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:28:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 10964 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:28:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T8Sdc9056542 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:28:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5T8Sc9d026485 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5T8Sc1C026484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 03:28:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306290828.h5T8Sc1C026484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 157E TO 33N 160E 31N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 157E TO 34N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 151E TO 35N 148E 32N 135E 32N 126E 34N 120E 31N 111E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 139E 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 150E 35N 139E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 143E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 164E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 21N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 51N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:29 2003 X-UIDL: 29982-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CGO9QLPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 13:25:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T5PQ4q090650 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 13:25:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270mH052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 10094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T5J1c9058232 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5T5J09d025135 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5T5J0Qd025133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 00:19:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306290519.h5T5J0Qd025133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK ISLAND HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.4N2 161.2E0, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ENIWETOK, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:31 2003 X-UIDL: 29990-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH800CZG1URPU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 10:35:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T2Z94q055009 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 10:35:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQOxL044080; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 21:30:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 8069 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 21:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T2UCc9025816 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 21:30:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5T2UB9d023774 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 21:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5T2UBQu023773 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 21:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 21:30:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306290230.h5T2UBQu023773@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 170E 60N 180E 36N 180E 26N 157E 30N 133E 32N 134E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 140E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 145E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 161E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 52N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 111E TO 33N 119E 31N 134E 35N 145E 32N 154E 31N 161E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:39 2003 X-UIDL: 30018-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHB00ETBRDYZJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 01 Jul 2003 10:39:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h612dR4q077143 for ; Tue, 01 Jul 2003 10:39:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gGX052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 21:27:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 21:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h612RHc9056164 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 21:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h612RH9d003234 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 21:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h612RHeO003233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 21:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 21:27:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307010227.h612RHeO003233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 180E 31N 165E 31N 146E 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 143E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 39N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 128E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 157E SSW 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 162E NE 20 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 58N 176W NE 30 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 106E TO 32N 118E 33N 128E 34N 138E 32N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 39N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 32N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 176W TO 56N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 176W TO 51N 179E 45N 174E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 130E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 151E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 37N 116E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 50N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 20N 154E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:23:40 2003 X-UIDL: 30024-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00EL6D93OO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:36:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U8aT4q076940 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 16:36:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5TK1HXR038900; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 03:31:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 03:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U8Uec9029338 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 03:30:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5U8Ud9d008747 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 03:30:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5U8Uduq008746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 03:30:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 03:30:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306300830.h5U8Uduq008746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 43N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 174E TO 42N 178E 39N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 174E TO 39N 171E 34N 164E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 164E TO 35N 157E 30N 141E 33N 117E 27N 107E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 51N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E 27N 142E 34N 149E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 154E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 167E NE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 176E NE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 23N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 50N 146E SOUTH SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:01 2003 X-UIDL: 30064-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JFZA6FYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:42:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5REg9JV058335 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 22:42:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNoF025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:30:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 191193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5REUmvB016006 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:30:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5REUl9d024914 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5REUlvC024913 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 09:30:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306271430.h5REUlvC024913@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 121E 26N 120E 30N 122E 31N 125E 29N 128E 27N 125E 25N 121E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 179E 30N 164E 31N 151E 37N 141E 42N 143E 47N 152E 60N 163E 60N 180E 34N 180E 32N 179E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 37N 127E ENE 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 41N 154E NNE 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 168E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 25N 138E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 54N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 157E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 127E TO 36N 135E 31N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 127E TO 34N 125E 29N 118E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 118E TO 25N 111E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 154E TO 40N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 35N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 34N 153E 31N 147E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 168E TO 45N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 174E TO 41N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 174E TO 38N 175E 33N 173E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:08 2003 X-UIDL: 30089-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH500JD0R71YK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 04:49:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RKngja032111 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 04:49:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RIDPYR053244; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:33:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 199464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:33:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RKXAvB057446 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:33:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5RKXA9d006267 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:33:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5RKXATt006266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:33:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 15:33:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306272033.h5RKXATt006266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 32N 180E 30N 155E 34N 146E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 37N 132E ENE 20 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 157E ENE 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 168E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 24N 140E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 54N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 25N 162E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 132E TO 36N 140E 33N 143E 31N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 132E TO 30N 119E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 119E TO 28N 115E 26N 110E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 157E TO 40N 159E 40N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 161E TO 38N 164E 36N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 161E TO 33N 156E 31N 148E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 168E TO 46N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 176E TO 42N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 176E TO 36N 176E 27N 170E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:11 2003 X-UIDL: 30101-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH70084M4KJXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:36:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEaBja072122 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 22:36:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQOcR044080; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:28:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 0021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SERrc9044756 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SERr9d016660 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SERrbm016659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 09:27:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306281427.h5SERrbm016659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 142E 48N 153E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 29N 160E 29N 150E 33N 140E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 138E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 143E ESE 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 161E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 48N 176E ENE 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 180E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 140E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 53N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 161E TO 42N 163E 42N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 166E TO 42N 168E 41N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 166E TO 37N 165E 32N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 111E TO 30N 120E 32N 130E 36N 143E 33N 150E 32N 158E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:14 2003 X-UIDL: 30108-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH600809NPGXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:32:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S8Vsja096707 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 16:31:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S50S3N035082; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:26:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 207805 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S8QVvB045140 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:26:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5S8QU9d014041 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:26:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5S8QUTG014040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:26:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 03:26:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306280826.h5S8QUTG014040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 39N 136E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 138E 36N 140E 42N 142E 47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 30N 160E 30N 144E 35N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 41N 160E ENE 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 48N 174E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 57N 177E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 24N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 53N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 160E TO 41N 162E 41N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 165E TO 41N 167E 40N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 165E TO 35N 163E 32N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 113E TO 31N 125E 36N 142E 32N 150E 32N 155E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:16 2003 X-UIDL: 30115-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH7008U4L5CXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:34:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SKYGja057092 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 04:34:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SEQ84l038896; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 15:27:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 15:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5SKRUc9044456 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 15:27:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5SKRU9d020093 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 15:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5SKRUqw020092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 15:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 15:27:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306282027.h5SKRUqw020092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 140E 35N 139E 43N 140E 44N 146E 52N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 30N 159E 30N 150E 33N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 139E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 140E ENE 10 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 34N 151E EAST 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 42N 162E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 22N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 52N 148E SE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 162E TO 43N 164E 44N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 166E TO 44N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 166E TO 39N 167E 34N 163E 32N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 116E TO 30N 126E 33N 133E 35N 140E 35N 145E 34N 151E 32N 160E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:24:19 2003 X-UIDL: 30124-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH900E8RWNIOO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 10:38:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U2bw4q061884 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 10:38:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5T270Hr052992; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 21:29:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 21:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U2T5c9027510 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 21:29:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5U2T59d005694 for ; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 21:29:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5U2T5pm005693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Jun 2003 21:29:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 29 Jun 2003 21:29:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306300229.h5U2T5pm005693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 46N 171E 46N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 38N 167E 35N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 162E TO 35N 158E 32N 150E 29N 143E 32N 126E 33N 116E 30N 108E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 29N 163E 31N 149E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 153E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 171E NNE 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 51N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:25:31 2003 X-UIDL: 30172-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JL6LSTYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 13:55:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R5tYja061439 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 13:55:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNXB025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 187296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R5nRvB024212 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R5nR9d019313 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R5nR9T019311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 00:49:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270549.h5R5nR9T019311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/NOREN/PIVIN/ANDERSON/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:25:32 2003 X-UIDL: 30177-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH6008N2FCQXU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 13:31:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S5VTja056759 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 13:31:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S50SxV035082; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 206458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S5PqvB034134 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5S5Pq9d012662 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5S5PqRF012660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2003 00:25:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306280525.h5S5PqRF012660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.0N8 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE NEAR THIS DISTURBANCE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:25:33 2003 X-UIDL: 30182-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH6008SX750XU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 28 Jun 2003 10:34:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S2Y5ja015357 for ; Sat, 28 Jun 2003 10:34:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5RMqQBh025232; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 21:29:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 204578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 21:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5S2TTvB032950 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 21:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5S2TS9d011293 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 21:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5S2TSG7011292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 21:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 21:29:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306280229.h5S2TSG7011292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 138E 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 31N 180E 30N 155E 30N 142E 35N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 133E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 157E NE 10 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 172E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 22N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 52N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 133E TO 38N 134E 39N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 135E TO 32N 145E 31N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 135E TO 36N 136E 34N 132E 32N 127E 30N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 122E TO 29N 114E 25N 110E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 157E TO 41N 159E 41N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 38N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 36N 162E 32N 156E 31N 148E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 172E TO 46N 177E 44N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 179E TO 41N 179W 38N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 179E TO 37N 177E 30N 172E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:22 2003 X-UIDL: 30191-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHA00EDS65LOO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:03:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U63D4q027394 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 14:03:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U57gcl052994; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 22873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5U5v5c9038996 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5U5v59d007303 for ; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5U5v4Gm007301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 30 Jun 2003 00:57:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306300557.h5U5v4Gm007301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600ZJUN2003/010600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.4N2 161.2E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.9N4 156.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATELY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MECHANIC/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:30 2003 X-UIDL: 30212-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JTGTGKYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:41:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R8f1ja012784 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 16:41:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R8MevX053244; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:31:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 188221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R8RqvB038948 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R8Rq9d020509 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:27:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R8RqF0020508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:27:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 27 Jun 2003 03:27:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270827.h5R8RqF0020508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 45N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 168E TO 45N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 173E TO 38N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 173E TO 38N 173E 31N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 161E 32N 151E 37N 141E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 27N 170E 29N 161E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 36N 125E NE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 140E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 153E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 57N 163E NE 25 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 54N 145E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 25N 155E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 125E TO 34N 130E 30N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 125E TO 29N 117E 24N 107E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 153E TO 34N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 153E TO 33N 151E 30N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30234-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH20058S1C4MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 04:38:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PKcHja076398 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 04:38:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PJrA3D044348; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:29:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 163152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:29:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5PKTIvB018614 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:29:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5PKTH9d013187 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:29:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5PKTHLv013186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:29:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 15:29:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306252029.h5PKTHLv013186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 162E TO 43N 164E 43N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 166E TO 40N 171E 35N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 166E TO 35N 167E 31N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 161E TO 32N 155E 34N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 40N 158E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 27N 180E 24N 160E 28N 129E 33N 132E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 134E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 143E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 52N 153E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 35N 147E 34N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 34N 140E 33N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 137E TO 32N 133E 29N 126E 31N 115E 27N 106E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:39 2003 X-UIDL: 30248-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006KCHSKVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:33:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2Xnja069365 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 10:33:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F60t025232; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:26:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 169286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q2QtvB040042 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q2Qs9d020092 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q2QsaY020091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 21:26:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260226.h5Q2QsaY020091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 180E 22N 160E 30N 145E 26N 128E 31N 131E 35N 139E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 50N 155E 60N 164E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 39N 135E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 37N 146E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 44N 160E NNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 20N 143E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 146E TO 32N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 146E TO 33N 140E 29N 130E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 160E TO 43N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 168E TO 35N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 168E TO 33N 163E 32N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 101E TO 28N 110E 30N 116E 29N 130E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:46 2003 X-UIDL: 30276-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH400JJVCEZYK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:32:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R2Wqja095251 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 10:32:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwNMB025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:26:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 185581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5R2QtvB032852 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5R2Qt9d017397 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5R2QsWA017396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 21:26:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306270226.h5R2QsWA017396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 169E TO 47N 171E 48N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 169E TO 39N 173E 33N 170E 29N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 132E 36N 141E 42N 142E 47N 152E 60N 163E 60N 180E 30N 180E 30N 150E 30N 131E 33N 132E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 34N 123E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 140E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 150E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 159E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 54N 143E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 25N 155E EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 123E TO 33N 130E 31N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 123E TO 30N 118E 24N 106E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 150E TO 37N 155E 32N 158E 29N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 150E TO 32N 147E 31N 137E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:26:54 2003 X-UIDL: 30298-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006PKVVEVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:35:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKZVja001085 for ; Fri, 27 Jun 2003 04:35:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QJwN0l025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:29:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 181563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:29:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QKTTvB043382 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:29:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QKTT9d011997 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QKTTM9011996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 15:29:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306262029.h5QKTTM9011996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 42N 174E 41N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 39N 172E 34N 169E 30N 167E 28N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 33N 132E 35N 140E 38N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 30N 180E 26N 163E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 34N 121E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 139E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 150E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 58N 157E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 157E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 40N 132E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 53N 140E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 149E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 121E TO 34N 124E 32N 128E 31N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 121E TO 27N 112E 23N 104E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 37N 155E 32N 158E 28N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 32N 143E 31N 133E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:02 2003 X-UIDL: 30321-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH3006M8FJUVP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:43:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QEgxja086989 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 22:43:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F6O3025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:33:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 175203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5QEXTvB020090 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:33:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5QEXS9d028438 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:33:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5QEXSX2028437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:33:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 09:33:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306261433.h5QEXSX2028437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 47N 170E 47N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 39N 170E 33N 167E 29N 164E 30N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 129E 33N 132E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 158E 60N 165E 60N 180E 30N 180E 25N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 33N 118E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 138E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 62N 142E SSE 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 39N 149E NE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 157E NW 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 52N 146E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 148E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 149E TO 36N 155E 30N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 149E TO 32N 143E 31N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 137E TO 30N 130E 33N 125E 33N 118E 27N 113E 24N 104E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:10 2003 X-UIDL: 30341-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH000EFT6MZQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 04:37:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OKbdja054719 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 04:37:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O58anH030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 15:28:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 144112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 15:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OKSYvB021874 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 15:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5OKSX9d010148 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 15:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5OKSXDr010147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 15:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 15:28:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306242028.h5OKSXDr010147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 161E TO 35N 165E 33N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 161E TO 31N 158E 32N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 131E 33N 132E 35N 140E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E 29N 161E 29N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 39N 130E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1002 HPA AT 41N 117E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 176E ESE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 130E TO 41N 136E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 136E TO 35N 139E 32N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 136E TO 36N 134E 34N 132E 30N 127E 28N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 124E TO 28N 115E 29N 109E 27N 103E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:14 2003 X-UIDL: 30357-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00EI4PW9Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:36:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OEa3ja048011 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 22:36:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O58aPZ030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 09:29:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 138229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 09:29:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OETVvB044474 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 09:29:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5OETU9d027773 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 09:29:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5OETUtV027771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 09:29:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 09:29:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306241429.h5OETUtV027771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 158E TO 32N 161E 30N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 158E TO 31N 156E 29N 153E 31N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 32N 131E 34N 136E 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E 25N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 40N 126E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 156E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 176E ESE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 126E TO 41N 131E 40N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 135E TO 38N 138E 35N 138E 34N 142E 31N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 135E TO 37N 134E 31N 128E 28N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 122E TO 27N 119E 30N 109E 28N 103E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:17 2003 X-UIDL: 30368-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH0005LHN5KMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 10:34:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P2YPja052269 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 10:34:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5OM2KKn030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 21:30:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 149213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 21:30:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P2TxvB027348 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 21:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5P2Tx9d021500 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 21:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5P2TwFr021499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 21:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 21:29:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306250229.h5P2TwFr021499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 163E TO 39N 167E 37N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 163E TO 33N 162E 30N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 158E TO 30N 154E 32N 150E 33N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. ANOTHER LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 156E WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 33N 132E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 52N 158E 60N 165E 60N 180E 30N 180E 27N 155E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 130E SSE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 138E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 51N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 138E TO 35N 142E 33N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 138E TO 31N 132E 29N 126E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 126E TO 28N 119E 29N 113E 28N 109E 29N 105E 28N 102E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:25 2003 X-UIDL: 30396-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH1005N75T8MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:17:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P9HPja076377 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 17:17:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5D55n025228; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 04:03:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 153019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 04:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P935vB005190 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 04:03:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5P9359d025395 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 04:03:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5P935v9025394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 04:03:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 04:03:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306250903.h5P935v9025394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 250600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 163E TO 40N 164E 40N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 166E TO 37N 170E 32N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 166E TO 33N 164E 31N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 160E TO 30N 156E 32N 153E 32N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E 26N 160E 29N 132E 33N 132E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 130E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 996 HPA AT 36N 141E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 155E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 51N 152E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 178E ESE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 141E TO 35N 145E 32N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 141E TO 33N 138E 31N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 134E TO 30N 130E 29N 127E 29N 118E 29N 111E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:27 2003 X-UIDL: 30404-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH0005MFVVCMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:42:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5gfja010042 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 13:42:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5D51B025228; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 151832 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5P5RTvB032570 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5P5RT9d023544 for ; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5P5RT1W023542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 25 Jun 2003 00:27:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306250527.h5P5RT1W023542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:30 2003 X-UIDL: 30415-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HH2006EGPT6VP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 26 Jun 2003 13:27:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q5Quja023389 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 13:26:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q1F68L025232; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 171090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5Q5LKvB020012 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5Q5LK9d021782 for ; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5Q5LJ3K021779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2003 00:21:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306260521.h5Q5LJ3K021779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/NOREN/PIVIN/ANDERSON/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:40 2003 X-UIDL: 30440-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX001QSEGYD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:34:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N8Y2Rk052716 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 16:34:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCsV037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 03:27:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 117330 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 03:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N8RIvB032768 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 03:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N8RH9d025302 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 03:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N8RHoW025301 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 03:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 03:27:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230827.h5N8RHoW025301@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 33N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 132E 33N 133E 36N 140E 42N 141E 47N 152E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 29N 163E 29N 137E 30N 132E. SUMMARY. LOW 984 HPA AT 38N 123E NE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 134E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 38N 159E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 49N 171E ESE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 123E TO 38N 125E 37N 126E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 126E TO 35N 130E 33N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 126E TO 33N 125E 31N 118E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 118E TO 30N 113E 30N 109E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 160E TO 39N 165E 37N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 169E TO 36N 170E 34N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 169E TO 32N 166E 28N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 133E TO 32N 138E 33N 142E 31N 147E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:40 2003 X-UIDL: 30441-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX0011KC14D2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:41:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N7fKRk028093 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:41:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCrN037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 116940 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N7CFvB048762 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N7CF9d024740 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N7CEAi024738 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 02:12:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230712.h5N7CEAi024738@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: INGRAM/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:44 2003 X-UIDL: 30455-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGZ00EKE93FQ4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 16:33:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O8X8ja047991 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 16:33:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O58a8v030684; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 03:28:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 135131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 03:28:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O8SQvB023936 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 03:28:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O8SP9d022588 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 03:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O8SPkc022587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 03:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 24 Jun 2003 03:28:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240828.h5O8SPkc022587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 32N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 153E TO 31N 156E 30N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 153E TO 29N 149E 31N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 31N 131E 34N 136E 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E 27N 153E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 40N 125E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 156E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 175E SE 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 125E TO 40N 129E 40N 133E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 133E TO 38N 137E 35N 138E 31N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 133E TO 37N 134E 29N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 121E TO 29N 114E 30N 110E 28N 103E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:47 2003 X-UIDL: 30465-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY00158C3AD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:40:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NKeFRk054725 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 04:40:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NB7ndN037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:29:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 125886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:29:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NKTevB051666 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:29:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NKTd9d012502 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NKTdeN012501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 15:29:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306232029.h5NKTdeN012501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 131E 33N 132E 35N 140E 43N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 160E 30N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 986 HPA AT 40N 125E NE 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 39N 162E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 178E SE 20 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 125E TO 40N 128E 38N 131E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 131E TO 34N 135E 32N 137E 32N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 131E TO 34N 129E 32N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 30N 116E 30N 110E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 139E TO 32N 145E 32N 146E 31N 150E 30N 153E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:47 2003 X-UIDL: 30467-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY001ZOSLTD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 10:37:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O2awRk043006 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 10:37:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NMvbCj010730; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 21:31:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 130442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 21:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O2V6vB038852 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 21:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O2V69d018128 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 21:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O2V6QE018127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 21:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 21:31:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240231.h5O2V6QE018127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 151E TO 31N 155E 29N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 151E TO 29N 149E 31N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 30N 180E 26N 148E 29N 131E 33N 132E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 39N 125E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 155E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 162E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 49N 171E ESE 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 125E TO 40N 128E 40N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 132E TO 37N 136E 34N 136E 31N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 132E TO 33N 129E 30N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 122E TO 30N 112E 28N 103E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:27:52 2003 X-UIDL: 30485-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGY00EK7X75Q4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 24 Jun 2003 12:16:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O4GAja071269 for ; Tue, 24 Jun 2003 12:16:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O1HlSV026060; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:12:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 132250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5O4BvvB023202 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5O4Bv9d019568 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5O4BvhL019566 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:11:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306240411.h5O4BvhL019566@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJ_HAS_SPACES, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600ZJUN2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/KLINZMANN/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:18 2003 X-UIDL: 30535-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV000974TILI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 11:16:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M2WERk049937 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 10:32:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPPL048390; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 101438 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M2RUvB041608 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:27:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M2RU9d010931 for ; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M2RTiW010930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:27:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 21 Jun 2003 21:27:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220227.h5M2RTiW010930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 40N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 153E TO 40N 157E 38N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 161E TO 34N 164E 31N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 161E TO 34N 160E 30N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 142E 48N 154E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 30N 167E 30N 152E 41N 142E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 41N 137E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 55N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 170E SSE SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 104E TO 30N 108E 32N 111E 32N 120E 32N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 177E TO 34N 175W 42N 173W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:22 2003 X-UIDL: 30554-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW000OAY43LI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 10:40:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N2edRk032884 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 10:40:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCal037876; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 21:35:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 114133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 21:30:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5N2UZvB021366 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 21:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5N2UZ9d022433 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 21:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5N2UYbT022432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 21:30:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 21:30:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306230230.h5N2UYbT022432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 143E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 33N 180E 28N 159E 29N 133E 33N 132E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 37N 122E ENE 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 37N 157E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 51N 170E EAST 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 122E TO 36N 124E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 124E TO 34N 128E 32N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 124E TO 32N 120E 30N 109E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 157E TO 38N 162E 37N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 166E TO 34N 171E 33N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 166E TO 32N 163E 28N 156E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 133E TO 33N 141E 31N 146E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:28:31 2003 X-UIDL: 30577-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW000GJH5LLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:34:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MKYORk057430 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 04:34:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXCIl037876; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 15:29:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 110463 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 15:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MKTZvB045192 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 15:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MKTZ9d018442 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 15:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MKTZdn018441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 15:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 15:29:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306222029.h5MKTZdn018441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 37N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 156E TO 39N 161E 36N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 166E TO 35N 170E 34N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 166E TO 31N 162E 28N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 146E 33N 151E 29N 151E 29N 146E 33N 146E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 134E 33N 138E 32N 142E 31N 141E 30N 134E 32N 134E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 143E 51N 156E 60N 167E 60N 180E 37N 180E 32N 169E 29N 158E 31N 151E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 36N 120E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 58N 136E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 24N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 24N 147E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 21N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 51N 169E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 178E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 120E TO 35N 125E 33N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 120E TO 32N 118E 30N 113E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 113E TO 30N 110E 29N 105E. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 136E TO 56N 141E 54N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 136E TO 51N 132E 45N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 129E TO 32N 134E 33N 138E 32N 143E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:01 2003 X-UIDL: 30614-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGX001GNXIOD2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:25:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NFPLRk063614 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 23:25:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NB7nA1037876; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 10:15:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 120713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 10:15:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5NFFkvB025116 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 10:15:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5NFFj9d001916 for ; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 10:15:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5NFFjHd001915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Jun 2003 10:15:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2003 10:15:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306231515.h5NFFjHd001915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 38N 125E KOREA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 125E TO 38N 126E 38N 127E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 127E TO 35N 132E 32N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 127E TO 33N 126E 31N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 122E TO 30N 115E 30N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 133E 36N 140E 42N 142E 47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 29N 160E 29N 140E 30N 133E 33N 133E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 161E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 47N 172E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 136E TO 32N 140E 32N 145E 30N 151E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:08 2003 X-UIDL: 30636-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGW0006N0CTLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:31:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MEVXRk082323 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 22:31:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MCXC0P037876; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:26:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 106720 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:26:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5MEQjvB025156 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:26:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5MEQj9d015457 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:26:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5MEQjf2015456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:26:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 09:26:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306221426.h5MEQjf2015456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 37N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 156E TO 37N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 162E TO 33N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 162E TO 29N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 131E 32N 132E 33N 134E 34N 138E 34N 141E 31N 142E 30N 137E 30N 131E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 161E 30N 153E 38N 142E 42N 143E 44N 145E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 31N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 35N 118E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 57N 134E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 25N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 41N 138E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 23N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 52N 168E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 174E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 105E TO 31N 112E 35N 118E 33N 125E 33N 135E 34N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 134E TO 53N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 134E TO 48N 126E 45N 122E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 03 23:29:13 2003 X-UIDL: 30651-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HGV0003AJTTLI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:34:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M8YYRk016884 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 16:34:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5LFJPZ5048390; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:29:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 104090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:29:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h5M8TFvB056688 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:29:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5M8TF9d013378 for ; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:29:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5M8TFsW013377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:29:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 22 Jun 2003 03:29:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306220829.h5M8TFsW013377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 38N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 154E TO 37N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 161E TO 31N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 161E TO 31N 157E 29N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 130E 31N 131E 33N 133E 33N 136E 35N 140E 33N 143E 31N 143E 30N 136E 28N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 165E 29N 155E 34N 147E 41N 141E 42N 143E 44N 145E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 34N 116E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 41N 138E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 161E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 54N 170E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 45N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 105E TO 32N 112E 34N 116E 32N 128E 32N 133E 33N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 04:41:53 2003 X-UIDL: 30703-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHG00G4OUM3BQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 04:37:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63Kb94q019877 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 04:37:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1ddn021392; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 15:29:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 0652 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 15:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63KThc9019276 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 15:29:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h63KTh9d020197 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 15:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h63KThj0020196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 15:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 15:29:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307032029.h63KThj0020196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 38N 135E NORTHWEST OF NOTO HANTO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 135E TO 39N 138E 37N 140E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 140E TO 32N 144E 31N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 140E TO 34N 135E 32N 128E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 128E TO 33N 116E 28N 105E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 159E TO 43N 162E 42N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 166E TO 38N 172E 37N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 166E TO 39N 166E 34N 161E 31N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 33N 180E 30N 159E 30N 146E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 24N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 48N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 48N 173E ENE SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 178E TO 39N 176W 48N 167W 51N 155W 52N 147W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 11:08:07 2003 X-UIDL: 30716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHH00GBCBBGBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 10:38:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h642bv4q009158 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 10:37:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dpH021392; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 21:31:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 4217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 21:31:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h642Vuc9033310 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 21:31:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h642Vu9d025933 for ; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 21:31:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h642VuMc025932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 03 Jul 2003 21:31:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 03 Jul 2003 21:31:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307040231.h642VuMc025932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 36N 141E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 141E TO 35N 145E 33N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 141E TO 34N 137E 33N 131E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 131E TO 33N 125E 33N 118E 29N 108E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 136E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 42N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 161E TO 43N 164E 42N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 167E TO 39N 171E 37N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 167E TO 34N 161E 32N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 144E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 28N 180E 29N 147E 37N 142E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 54N 137E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 39N 128E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 49N 151E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 48N 175E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 15:21:00 2003 X-UIDL: 30727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHH00G6LIC9BQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 13:09:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6459c4q053337 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 13:09:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dwL021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:05:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 5596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:03:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6453Gc9038634 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:03:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6453G9d027476 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:03:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6453Gp6027473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:03:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 00:03:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307040503.h6453Gp6027473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 127.3E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 04 22:45:14 2003 X-UIDL: 30763-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI00GVN8WLBQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:43:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64EhD4q006215 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 22:43:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dBR021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:36:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 9217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:36:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64Eakc9056284 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:36:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64Eak9d002189 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:36:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64EakFJ002188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:36:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 09:36:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307041436.h64EakFJ002188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 37N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 37N 146E 35N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 33N 140E 33N 132E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 132E TO 33N 122E 29N 113E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 140E MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 138E 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 146E 50N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 32N 160E 31N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 163E NE SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 53N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 50N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 45N 167E 44N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 169E TO 39N 177E 37N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 169E TO 39N 171E 35N 166E 33N 157E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 08:54:35 2003 X-UIDL: 30774-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHI0062EP79U4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 04:35:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64KZM4q091565 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 04:35:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1dLv021392; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 15:29:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 12011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 15:29:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h64KTdc9031228 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 15:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h64KTd9d005381 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 15:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h64KTd6K005380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 15:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 15:29:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307042029.h64KTd6K005380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 36N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 147E TO 36N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 149E TO 34N 153E 33N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 149E TO 32N 146E 32N 139E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 139E TO 34N 134E 35N 130E 32N 122E 30N 114E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1002 HPA AT 40N 139E WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 156E 60N 165E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 159E 32N 142E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 165E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 53N 154E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 50N 180E EAST 25 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 164E TO 44N 169E 43N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 40N 176E 37N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 36N 168E 33N 158E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 16:13:56 2003 X-UIDL: 30790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHJ006B45QDU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:32:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h652WT4q060653 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 10:32:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h63J1gIR053054; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 21:28:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 15837 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 21:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h652SEc9026262 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 21:28:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h652SE9d009021 for ; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 21:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h652SEOk009020 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 04 Jul 2003 21:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 04 Jul 2003 21:28:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307050228.h652SEOk009020@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 148E TO 38N 150E 37N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 151E TO 36N 156E 34N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 151E TO 32N 147E 32N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 140E TO 34N 135E 35N 127E 33N 122E 32N 115E 30N 111E 28N 106E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 29N 180E 28N 147E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 127E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 163E NNE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 165E TO 45N 171E 44N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 174E TO 41N 178E 38N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 174E TO 37N 170E 34N 159E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 134E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 54N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 05 22:44:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK006OY3CGU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:38:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65EcV4q014541 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 22:38:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQtT021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:32:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:32:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65EWSc9058778 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:32:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65EWS9d014622 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65EWSNm014621 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 09:32:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051432.h65EWSNm014621@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 158E TO 37N 162E 36N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 158E TO 35N 156E 34N 154E 32N 148E 32N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 145E TO 33N 140E 36N 135E 34N 128E 32N 120E 24N 101E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 149E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 28N 180E 28N 149E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 120E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 135E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 166E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 55N 152E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 57N 175E ESE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 167E TO 45N 170E 44N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 174E TO 40N 179E 35N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 174E TO 40N 174E 38N 171E 36N 165E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 00:14:36 2003 X-UIDL: 30816-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK0061K7GMU4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 00:07:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65G7R4q033025 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 00:07:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQun021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21018 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65G11c9058846 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65G119d015392 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65G10sS015390 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 11:01:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307051601.h65G10sS015390@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/ALLEN/EDBERG// BT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jul 06 04:34:38 2003 X-UIDL: 30826-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHK00LE6JSQQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:34:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65KXu4q087164 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 04:33:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQ3d021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 15:28:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23058 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 15:28:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65KSUc9040066 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 15:28:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h65KSQ9d017885 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 15:28:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h65KSQhB017884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 15:28:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 15:28:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307052028.h65KSQhB017884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 159E TO 38N 161E 37N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 162E TO 36N 165E 35N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 162E TO 34N 159E 33N 155E 32N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 146E TO 35N 135E 34N 129E 33N 121E 29N 114E 27N 109E 22N 101E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 152E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 27N 149E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 33N 121E EAST 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 44N 166E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 57N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 57N 175E ESE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 167E TO 45N 173E 44N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 177E TO 42N 180E 38N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 177E TO 39N 175E 37N 171E 35N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 14:56:33 2003 X-UIDL: 30908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00JVAV0XEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:31:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h672Vc0N048914 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 10:31:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66K7Usd021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:26:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37990 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:26:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h672QQc9029392 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:26:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h672QQ9d005825 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:26:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h672QQlF005824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:26:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 21:26:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070226.h672QQlF005824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 43N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 45N 172E 45N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 175E TO 46N 177E 46N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 175E TO 40N 174E 36N 168E 32N 165E 30N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 136E 36N 140E 42N 142E 47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 29N 160E 30N 146E 33N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 37N 135E ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 135E TO 36N 136E 34N 137E 33N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 135E TO 34N 130E 33N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 125E TO 32N 120E 30N 115E 27N 109E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 15N 126E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 49N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 142E TO 32N 145E 32N 148E 30N 155E 30N 160E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 16:36:21 2003 X-UIDL: 30939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JGCBPOEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:32:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h678W50N053735 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 16:32:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lgj056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:27:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 40883 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:27:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h678Rsc9042554 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h678Rs9d008962 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:27:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h678RsBl008961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:27:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 03:27:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307070827.h678RsBl008961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 45N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 172E TO 47N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 176E TO 49N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 176E TO 39N 173E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 173E TO 37N 168E 30N 162E 32N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 180E 28N 165E 28N 151E 31N 144E 33N 136E 35N 140E 38N 141E 42N 143E 46N 149E 51N 157E 60N 164E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 38N 136E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 136E TO 35N 140E 32N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 136E TO 34N 134E 34N 128E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 128E TO 34N 124E 28N 109E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 15N 126E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 50N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:40 2003 X-UIDL: 30972-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LBZ0IZQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 10:35:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h662Z90N057521 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 10:35:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQFJ021392; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 21:29:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 26441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 21:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h662Tpc9038484 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 21:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h662To9d021604 for ; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 21:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h662ToKS021603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 05 Jul 2003 21:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 05 Jul 2003 21:29:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060229.h662ToKS021603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 163E TO 39N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 166E TO 39N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 166E TO 34N 162E 31N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 180E 29N 165E 29N 151E 35N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 48N 153E 52N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 123E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 154E SE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 166E NNE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 104E TO 29N 111E 34N 123E 35N 135E 34N 141E 31N 148E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 178E TO 42N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 178E TO 39N 173E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 57N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 49N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 58N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:45 2003 X-UIDL: 30981-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LR4H3WQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:33:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h668XG0N027049 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 16:33:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQPH021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:27:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 28960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h668RVc9058172 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h668RU9d025056 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h668RUWs025055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 03:27:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307060827.h668RUWs025055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 40N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 166E TO 41N 167E 42N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 41N 171E 40N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 33N 162E 30N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 151E TO 32N 147E 34N 142E 34N 138E 35N 134E 35N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 53N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 29N 180E 27N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 126E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 156E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 46N 177E NORTH 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 126E TO 35N 129E 35N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 126E TO 32N 121E 29N 116E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 116E TO 29N 114E 26N 110E 23N 106E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 177E TO 46N 180E 45N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 177E TO 43N 178E 40N 174E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 130E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 25N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 54N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:51 2003 X-UIDL: 30996-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00LZNQ5PQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 19:49:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Bmt0N062624 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 19:48:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h662jvC3004908; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66Bf9c9056658 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66Bf99d027094 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66Bf88t027091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 06:41:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061141.h66Bf88t027091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 15.5N1 129.3E5 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 560 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES ARE EVIDENT ON BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD QUADARANTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LLCC EXISTS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM THE NORTH WITH WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/ALLEN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:54 2003 X-UIDL: 31002-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHL00L4JXUTQ5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:35:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66EZA0N095772 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 22:35:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h653BQTd021392; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:27:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:27:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66ERfc9019416 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66ERf9d028201 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66ERfbL028200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 09:27:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307061427.h66ERfbL028200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 42N 169E 43N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 43N 173E 43N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 34N 166E 30N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 154E TO 31N 149E 33N 144E 33N 138E 35N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 29N 180E 25N 155E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 127E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 48N 178E NORTH 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 127E TO 36N 130E 35N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 127E TO 33N 124E 31N 119E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 119E TO 29N 115E 24N 107E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 178E TO 49N 178W 47N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 178E TO 45N 180E 43N 177E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 25N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 41N 145E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 53N 153E SE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 31017-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHM00ATCEJ2DV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:35:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66KZK0N076033 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 04:35:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66JHIjZ004908; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:31:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 33889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:31:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h66KVHc9014948 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:31:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h66KVG9d001818 for ; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:31:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h66KVGiB001817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:31:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 06 Jul 2003 15:31:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307062031.h66KVGiB001817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 169E TO 43N 171E 43N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 173E TO 44N 176E 44N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 173E TO 41N 174E 38N 171E 33N 164E 30N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 155E TO 31N 150E 33N 145E 33N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 35N 140E 38N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 27N 163E 28N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 132E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 48N 178W ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 132E TO 36N 134E 34N 136E 33N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 132E TO 34N 127E 33N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 124E TO 32N 122E 32N 119E 28N 113E 25N 107E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 178W TO 49N 174W 49N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 178W TO 46N 178W 44N 178E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 131E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 41N 146E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:40:11 2003 X-UIDL: 31048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JYBSL2EP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:36:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67EaT0N058321 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:36:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRMp053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67ESfc9033526 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67ESe9d013913 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67ESeJx013911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:28:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071428.h67ESeJx013911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 48N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 175E TO 51N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 178W TO 54N 160W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 178W TO 44N 178E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 37N 170E 30N 162E 31N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 138E 35N 140E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 26N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 37N 116E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 138E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 140E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 140E TO 31N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 140E TO 35N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 134E TO 35N 131E 32N 122E 29N 110E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 126E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 52N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 07 22:49:24 2003 X-UIDL: 31051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHN00JYPT4VEP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67EmP0N061796 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 22:48:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h65MSRNN053054; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 43477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67EhMc9041414 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67EhL9d014423 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67EhLv6014421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 09:43:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Dirnsa Ft George Meade Md//ddi-liz/p313/q332/wwea// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307071443.h67EhLv6014421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 COMNAVMARIANAS GU//N813// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 130.4E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 127.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM EAST SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LLCC CONTINUES TO EXIST IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/SWOPE/ALLEN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31080-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00JFX974EP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:35:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZL0N060523 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 04:35:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6751lEP056212; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:30:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KUEc9024874 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h67KUD9d026263 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h67KUDuI026262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 15:30:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307072030.h67KUDuI026262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 38N 180E 28N 160E 29N 146E 32N 137E 33N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 139E NE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 141E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 30N 151E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 126E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 50N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 110E TO 32N 120E 35N 130E 36N 141E 31N 146E 30N 151E 29N 160E 36N 169E 43N 171E 49N 177E 54N 164W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:26 2003 X-UIDL: 31106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00D44PPXJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:32:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h682WF0N053022 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 10:32:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67MvToX013334; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:28:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 55042 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:28:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h682SXc9033804 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h682SW9d002907 for ; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:28:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h682SWKh002906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:28:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2003 21:28:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080228.h682SWKh002906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 51N 176E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 176E TO 53N 178W 53N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 176E TO 46N 176E 41N 172E 37N 170E 33N 168E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 168E TO 30N 162E 30N 155E 29N 150E 30N 147E 35N 142E 34N 136E 35N 130E 33N 126E 30N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 136E 35N 137E 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 29N 170E 28N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 35N 142E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 30N 155E EAST 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 50N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 14:06:31 2003 X-UIDL: 31130-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHO00DZRYPPJD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 13:46:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h685kT0N013004 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 13:46:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ519053054; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 57359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h685TWc9056064 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h685TT9d004702 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h685TSQK004700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 00:29:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080529.h685TSQK004700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 127.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 119.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/KELSEY/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 16:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00D4B6F8JD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 16:33:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h688Wu0N068032 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 16:32:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5ef017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 03:27:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 58793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 03:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h688RBc9032208 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 03:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h688RA9d006347 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 03:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h688RAKP006346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 03:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 03:27:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307080827.h688RAKP006346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 51N 174E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 174E TO 52N 176E 53N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 178E TO 54N 176W 53N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 178E TO 48N 179E 45N 176E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 138E 36N 140E 42N 143E 47N 151E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 28N 170E 28N 150E 35N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 35N 144E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 30N 157E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 142E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 48N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 112E TO 35N 132E 34N 140E 35N 144E 29N 150E 30N 157E 35N 170E 41N 173E 45N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 20:19:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31155-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DCOGP0JD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 20:15:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68CEr0N027870 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 20:14:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5ir017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68C8Qc9055044 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68C8Q9d008194 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68C818F008187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 07:08:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307081208.h68C818F008187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 081200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/081200Z/090600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 119.0E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 133.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM NORTH OF PALAU HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) AND ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/KELSEY/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 08 22:39:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHP00DH3N50JD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 08 Jul 2003 22:34:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68EY40N066077 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 22:34:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5rR017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 09:27:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61893 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 09:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68ERHc9030358 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 09:27:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68ERH9d011647 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 09:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68ERHh8011646 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 09:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 09:27:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307081427.h68ERHh8011646@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 53N 176E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 176E TO 54N 179E 55N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 178W TO 55N 175W 54N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 178W TO 50N 178W 45N 177E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 138E 36N 141E 42N 142E 47N 152E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 28N 170E 28N 156E 34N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 39N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 145E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 30N 159E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 46N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 112E TO 33N 122E 35N 131E 33N 140E 35N 145E 32N 149E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 153E TO 30N 159E 31N 165E 34N 170E 43N 174E 45N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 04:39:40 2003 X-UIDL: 31179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ00DLJ3X2JD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 04:36:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68KaV0N085892 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 04:36:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h67KZ5Qd053054; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 15:28:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 67869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 15:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h68KSgc9045106 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 15:28:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h68KSf9d024115 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 15:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h68KSfYB024114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 15:28:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 15:28:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307082028.h68KSfYB024114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 42N 180E 31N 171E 26N 159E 31N 146E 34N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 33N 118E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 145E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 29N 159E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 55N 176E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 176E TO 57N 179E 57N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 175W TO 56N 170W 54N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 175W TO 52N 175W 48N 180E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 110E TO 30N 115E 33N 118E 34N 125E 36N 131E 33N 138E 34N 145E 30N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 153E TO 27N 157E 29N 159E 31N 166E 34N 171E 45N 176E 48N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:41:29 2003 X-UIDL: 31211-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ001ATT5ZJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 13:42:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h695ff0N039510 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 13:41:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pdX017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 76118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h695NCc9016124 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h695NC9d003349 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h695NBKT003347 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 00:23:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090523.h695NBKT003347@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 116.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 115.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM WEST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 131.2E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 130.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST OF VIRAC, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/KELSEY/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:41:32 2003 X-UIDL: 31225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001211CEJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 16:38:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h698cW0N095554 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 16:38:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pid017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 77575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h698T3c9056788 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 03:29:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h698T39d005067 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 03:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h698T2F9005066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 03:29:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 03:29:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090829.h698T2F9005066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 14.0N 115.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 32N 180E 27N 160E 30N 146E 34N 138E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 121E NE 20 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 147E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 30N 160E NE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 40N 172E NE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 58N 179E NNE 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 106E TO 31N 118E 35N 121E 39N 134E 37N 138E 35N 138E 33N 140E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 30N 160E TO 31N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 162E TO 32N 165E 32N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 162E TO 27N 159E 23N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 166E TO 36N 171E 40N 172E 45N 176E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:46:57 2003 X-UIDL: 31245-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ001FGG3VJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 08:59:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h690xm0N050600 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 08:59:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5Ub017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72265 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h690plc9038254 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h690pk9d029870 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h690pkhB029868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 19:51:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090051.h690pkhB029868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 090100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/090100Z/090600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14.2N7 116.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES HAS CONSOLIDATED OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 133.6E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 131.2W7, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AND UPDATED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 09 20:46:59 2003 X-UIDL: 31254-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHQ001LZKOAJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 10:38:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h692cS0N085205 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 10:38:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h686Z5aR017694; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 21:33:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73956 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 21:33:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h692XLc9008848 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 21:33:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h692XL9d001212 for ; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 21:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h692XLjB001211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 08 Jul 2003 21:33:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 08 Jul 2003 21:33:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307090233.h692XLjB001211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 25N 167E 23N 154E 31N 144E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 14N 116E WEST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 30N 160E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 171E NE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 56N 177E NE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 119E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 154E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 160E TO 31N 163E 31N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 160E TO 26N 158E 23N 154E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 177E TO 58N 179E 59N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 180E TO 58N 168W 56N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 180E TO 56N 176W 48N 177E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 165E TO 34N 170E 39N 172E 45N 174E 48N 177E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 105E TO 30N 114E 33N 119E 38N 133E 31N 141E 30N 152E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:08:51 2003 X-UIDL: 31312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00D6YFBPML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:38:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A2bs0N008799 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:37:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEjT017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:28:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 94776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A2S5c9028592 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A2S59d000903 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A2S5ht000901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 21:28:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100228.h6A2S5ht000901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 39N 133E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 133E TO 37N 138E 33N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 133E TO 33N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 123E TO 31N 116E 27N 106E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 32N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 32N 163E TO 34N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 165E TO 42N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 165E TO 27N 162E 21N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 170E 24N 163E 27N 154E 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 16N 115E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 29N 148E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 45N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 51N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 48N 179E 53N 173W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:08:54 2003 X-UIDL: 31325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00CADOUC9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 14:03:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A63S0N073732 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 14:03:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEwT017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 97747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A5qgc9052084 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A5qf9d003390 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A5qfYV003388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 00:52:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100552.h6A5qfYV003388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.3E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 545 NM WEST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEING VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LINEAR FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:08:57 2003 X-UIDL: 31333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00CNEWCH9O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:45:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A8jh0N024986 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 16:45:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lE0l017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 03:29:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 98832 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 03:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A8Ttc9052622 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 03:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A8Ts9d004894 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 03:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A8Ts8H004893 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 03:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 03:29:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100829.h6A8Ts8H004893@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 40N 136E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 136E TO 37N 140E 33N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 136E TO 36N 131E 34N 127E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 127E TO 32N 118E 26N 107E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 27N 159E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 17N 112E WEST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 148E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 32N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 166E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 37N 122E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 157E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 49N 171E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 166E TO 39N 169E 42N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 166E TO 26N 164E 19N 157E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:15 2003 X-UIDL: 31379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHT00ETSF5DCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:32:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFVg0N040428 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 23:31:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0lEAD017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:17:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101885 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:17:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFHbc9053186 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:17:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6AFHb9d011685 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:17:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6AFHbmo011684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:17:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 10:17:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307101517.h6AFHbmo011684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 137E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 137E TO 37N 141E 33N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 137E TO 37N 134E 36N 131E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 131E TO 34N 126E 31N 122E 31N 117E 26N 108E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 27N 170E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 27N 149E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 165E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 40N 125E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 27N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 156E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 49N 170E EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 165E TO 40N 169E 43N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 165E TO 31N 166E 28N 164E 24N 163E 21N 159E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:30 2003 X-UIDL: 31423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00EKC8SLCM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:12:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B2CF0N026739 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:12:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtK6F048410; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112427 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B29Tc9047818 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B29T9d028948 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B29TvV028946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:09:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: South Pacific Ocean Reissued/110200z/110600zjul2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110209.h6B29TvV028946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 110200 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/110200Z/110600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.5E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.40N1 152.1E9 OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW. A 101919Z1 QUICKSCATT PASS SHOWS A CYCLONIC WAVE IN THE EASTERLY FLOW WITH 35 TO 45 KNOT WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION. AS THE WAVE PASSED OVER CHUUK, SURFACE WIND REPORTS WERE 10 TO 15 KNOTS SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS IN THE THUNDERSTORMS OF GREATER THEN 40 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATE AREA MENTIONED IN 1.B.(1) AND ADD NEW AREA MENTIONED IN 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 11 13:09:31 2003 X-UIDL: 31426-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00CY19Q49O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:32:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B2WL0N033429 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 10:32:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRnt017700; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:27:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B2Rnc9052002 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B2Rn9d029096 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B2Rn0q029095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2003 21:27:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110227.h6B2Rn0q029095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 142E TO 34N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 142E TO 36N 135E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 135E TO 35N 129E 32N 119E 27N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 139E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 180E 33N 160E 36N 147E 32N 135E 33N 134E 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 151E 51N 156E 60N 163E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 26N 149E SW SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 37N 167E NNE 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 42N 128E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 46N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 167E TO 47N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 167E TO 28N 163E 22N 159E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:02:58 2003 X-UIDL: 31446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00E6IJRKCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 14:09:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B69C0N099869 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 14:09:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AFtKBf048410; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 114681 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B5vvc9025654 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B5vv9d000871 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B5vvH7000869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 00:57:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110557.h6B5vvH7000869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.4N1 152.1E9, NEAR THE ISLAND OF CHUUK, OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED METSAT IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). EVALUATION OF THE PAST 24 HOURS OF OBSERVATIONS AT CHUUK SHOW NO DROP IN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SWOPE/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:01 2003 X-UIDL: 31460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHU00E24QKMCI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:36:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B8aF0N053366 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 16:36:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIRvv017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:28:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 115284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:28:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6B8SHc9048210 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6B8SH9d002022 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:28:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6B8SGDm002021 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 03:28:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307110828.h6B8SGDm002021@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 144E TO 40N 146E 36N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 144E TO 38N 144E 37N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 140E TO 36N 136E 36N 132E 34N 125E 31N 117E 29N 112E 27N 107E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 141E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 133E 33N 133E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 159E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 26N 148E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 39N 166E NNW 15 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 37N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 42N 131E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 47N 164E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 166E TO 44N 169E 48N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 166E TO 28N 165E 21N 159E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31483-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV00KUO76G9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 11 Jul 2003 22:35:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BEYv0N061936 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 22:34:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6AMIR5V017700; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:28:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 117783 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BESmc9045048 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:28:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BESm9d006442 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BESmJn006441 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 09:28:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307111428.h6BESmJn006441@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 145E TO 42N 146E 41N 147E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 147E TO 38N 148E 35N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 147E TO 38N 144E 38N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 143E TO 38N 139E 37N 136E 35N 132E 34N 128E 31N 122E 30N 115E 27N 108E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1006 HPA AT 45N 142E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 134E 33N 133E 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 48N 135E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 136E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 26N 147E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 40N 166E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 35N 123E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 40N 132E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 25N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 159E TO 32N 167E 40N 166E 46N 172E 49N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHV008M1NWAOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 04:36:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BKa20N073882 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 04:36:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtmD016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:28:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:28:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BKSUc9039076 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:28:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6BKST9d017153 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6BKSTPU017152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 15:28:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307112028.h6BKSTPU017152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 42N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 146E TO 41N 147E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 147E TO 38N 148E 35N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 147E TO 39N 146E 38N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 141E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 141E TO 38N 142E 38N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 141E TO 36N 138E 35N 133E 34N 131E 34N 130E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 34N 128E 34N 127E 32N 122E 32N 115E 32N 113E 31N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 35N 140E 38N 141E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 42N 180E 25N 160E 31N 135E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 27N 147E SSW SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 38N 167E NORTH 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 03N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 35N 123E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 25N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 41N 134E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 159E TO 30N 166E 38N 167E 44N 170E 48N 178E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:03:14 2003 X-UIDL: 31525-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW0083T4E6OA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:32:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C2WC0N061450 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:32:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVt6Z016716; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:27:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 128011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C2Rac9011482 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:27:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C2Ra9d022597 for ; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:27:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C2Ravx022596 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:27:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2003 21:27:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120227.h6C2Ravx022596@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 145E TO 39N 146E 39N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 145E TO 36N 142E 35N 138E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 145E 40N 148E 46N 145E 48N 149E 39N 155E 34N 152E 35N 145E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 141E 46N 150E 54N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 43N 180E 24N 160E 33N 137E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 40N 149E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 40N 169E NNE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 149E TO 39N 150E 38N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 149E TO 40N 148E 39N 147E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 41N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 56N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 158E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 51N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 110E TO 33N 117E 33N 123E 34N 128E 35N 135E 35N 138E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 161E TO 30N 167E 35N 169E 40N 169E 43N 170E 47N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:22:53 2003 X-UIDL: 31538-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001HGHYTJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 09 Jul 2003 22:37:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69EbY0N095462 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 22:37:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pqb017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 09:27:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80598 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 09:27:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69ERhc9054216 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 09:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69ERg9d010243 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 09:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69ERgFn010242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 09:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 09:27:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307091427.h69ERgFn010242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 14.4N 116.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 29N 158E 29N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 36N 126E NE 25 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 30N 149E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 31N 161E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 25N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 162E ENE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 106E TO 30N 116E 33N 123E 36N 126E 39N 132E 39N 137E 36N 138E 33N 140E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 31N 161E TO 33N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 163E TO 34N 167E 36N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 163E TO 30N 164E 26N 160E 23N 156E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:01 2003 X-UIDL: 31560-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHR001I3YIOJP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:35:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69KYx0N011574 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 04:35:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955pGT017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:29:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 86862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:29:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69KTWc9008862 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:29:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h69KTQ9d023121 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h69KTQ4Y023120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:29:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 15:29:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307092029.h69KTQ4Y023120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 130E NEAR ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 28N 161E 31N 146E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 15N 116E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 29N 148E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 162E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 40N 118E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 25N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 158E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 51N 174E EAST 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 32N 162E TO 33N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 165E TO 34N 168E 35N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 165E TO 27N 162E 23N 157E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 106E TO 29N 115E 32N 122E 36N 126E 38N 130E 39N 136E 37N 139E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 171E TO 40N 174E 46N 179E 47N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:06 2003 X-UIDL: 31569-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00DXF9TVML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:39:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0dD0N069884 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:39:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69MK60h033798; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:35:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 92158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0Y7c9029494 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A0Y69d029248 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A0Y6Lk029246 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100034.h6A0Y6Lk029246@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 100030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100030Z/100600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 115.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM WEST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 130.9E3, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED SUSPECT AREA IN 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:06 2003 X-UIDL: 31572-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00DLZA6AML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:46:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0kf0N072013 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 08:46:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6955par017700; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:35:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 92138 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0Y1c9023990 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A0Y09d029229 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A0Y06M029227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:34:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100034.h6A0Y06M029227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 100030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100030Z/100600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 115.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM WEST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 130.9E3, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED SUSPECT AREA IN 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 12:23:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31574-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHS00D7ZB0UML@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 10 Jul 2003 09:05:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A14r0N076382 for ; Thu, 10 Jul 2003 09:04:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h69MK64R033798; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 92628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6A0pFc9029650 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6A0pF9d029513 for ; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6A0pFGX029511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 09 Jul 2003 19:51:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307100051.h6A0pFGX029511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 100030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/100030Z/100600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 115.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 111.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM WEST OF MANILLA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 130.9E3, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED SUSPECT AREA IN 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/LAM/PIVIN/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 12 14:26:29 2003 X-UIDL: 31588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW00KD7F0L9I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 14:21:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C6Lc0N024644 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 14:21:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVt5f042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129937 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C6FGc9025328 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C6FG9d024565 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C6FFEg024562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 01:15:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120615.h6C6FFEg024562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 7.4N1 152.1E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:26 2003 X-UIDL: 31687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ003IRCS3NC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:26:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DKQLE7079983 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:26:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0Bs4L023968; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 151813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DKKEc9048500 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DKKE9d016423 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DKKD4e016421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:20:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307132020.h6DKKD4e016421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 132030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/132030Z/140600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07.1N8 137.4W5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 134.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE LAST 09 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON DECREASED ORGANIZATION OF REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/MENEBROKER/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:08:27 2003 X-UIDL: 31689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ003PVD2ZNC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:32:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DKWqE7081095 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 04:32:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVlp016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:27:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 151896 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DKROc9046342 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:27:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DKRO9d016490 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DKROVU016489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 15:27:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307132027.h6DKROVU016489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 34N 137E HONSHU MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 30N 162E 31N 142E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 147E NE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 148E NW 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 51N 169E NORTH 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 148E TO 47N 153E 46N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 155E TO 44N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 155E TO 42N 153E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 140E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 22N 129E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 56N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 112E TO 33N 118E 31N 126E 33N 133E 33N 135E 34N 137E 34N 140E 34N 144E 36N 147E 37N 150E 41N 151E 42N 153E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31703-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00AUSTT963@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 10:34:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E2YFE7059906 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 10:34:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0BsFB023968; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:31:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 156786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E2V0c9058136 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E2V09d020282 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E2V0vK020281 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:31:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140231.h6E2V0vK020281@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 34N 141E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 998 HPA AT 36N 148E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 50N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 160E 30N 138E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 117E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 43N 149E NW 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 51N 168E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 140E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 157E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 56N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 19N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 158E TO 36N 148E 34N 141E 32N 134E 32N 117E 31N 105E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 10:48:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHZ00AD8U1G63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 10:39:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E2d9E7061257 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 10:39:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqV3Z016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:35:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 156839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:35:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E2ZEc9015836 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:35:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E2ZE9d020321 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:35:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E2ZEIR020320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:35:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 21:35:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140235.h6E2ZEIR020320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140000 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 34N 141E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 998 HPA AT 36N 148E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 50N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 160E 30N 138E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 117E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 43N 149E NW 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 51N 168E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 140E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 157E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 19N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 56N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 158E TO 36N 148E 34N 141E 32N 134E 32N 117E 31N 105E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 17:00:06 2003 X-UIDL: 31720-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000A6H3F963@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 14:01:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E61oE7017889 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 14:01:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVA7016724; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 158631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E5uhc9039872 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E5ug9d021985 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E5ug9t021983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 00:56:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140556.h6E5ug9t021983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 134.9E7 HAS BEEN RELOCATED NEAR 8.8N6 138.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. QUIKSCAT ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES STRONG SURFACE TROUGHING IN THE AREA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.6N2 153.5E4, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 14 17:00:10 2003 X-UIDL: 31735-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000ACZAH763@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:34:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E8Y9E7066372 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 16:34:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DGqVCJ016724; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:29:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 159593 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:29:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6E8Tjc9038236 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6E8Tj9d023174 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6E8Tj50023173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 03:29:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307140829.h6E8Tj50023173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 35N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 152E MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 36N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 58N 164E 58N 180E 38N 180E 30N 144E 30N 134E 33N 134E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 118E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 148E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 51N 170E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 155E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 20N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 55N 146E ESE SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 105E TO 32N 118E 30N 130E 32N 137E 35N 144E 36N 147E 39N 152E 36N 158E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:44 2003 X-UIDL: 31765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000ABJR5C63@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:34:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EEYFE7065347 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:34:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EDmviL038408; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 162995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EESOc9044856 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6EESO9d028185 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6EESNoo028184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 09:28:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307141428.h6EESNoo028184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 36N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 153E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 136E 35N 140E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 57N 163E 57N 180E 34N 180E 30N 150E 30N 140E 34N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 121E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 53N 170E NNE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 138E WSW SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 154E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 38N 116E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 55N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 109E TO 32N 121E 30N 135E 33N 142E 36N 147E 42N 153E 37N 160E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:46 2003 X-UIDL: 31771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI000DYTX1W9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 00:41:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EGfoE7003683 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 00:41:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFE3jJ056626; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:30:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 164620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:30:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EGU8c9010516 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:30:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6EGU89d002281 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:30:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6EGU8QC002280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:30:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 11:30:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307141630.h6EGU8QC002280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPQ35 PGUM 141629 TCPPQ5 BULLETIN TYPHOON ***TEST-TEST MESSAGE ONLY*** NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 230 AM GUAM LST TUE JUL 15 2003 ..TEST MESSAGE ONLY... ..NO TROPICAL CYCLONE THREAT EXISTS... THIS IS A TEST MESSAGE FOR COMMUNICATIONS TESTING ONLY. ***TEST MESSAGE*** ***TEST MESSAGE*** $$ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:46 2003 X-UIDL: 31778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100AVD7V063@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 04:35:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EKZFE7073827 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 04:35:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFEMrB038424; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 15:28:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 168196 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 15:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EKS9c9044564 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 15:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6EKS99d009553 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 15:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6EKS86w009552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 15:28:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 15:28:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307142028.h6EKS86w009552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 156E MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 138E 36N 141E 43N 140E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 33N 162E 28N 150E 28N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 123E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 40N 139E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 135E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 151E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 39N 114E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 108E TO 30N 115E 32N 123E 30N 129E 30N 137E 33N 144E 35N 147E 38N 149E 40N 153E 44N 156E 42N 160E 39N 162E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:50 2003 X-UIDL: 31797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100DR2ODJ7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 10:32:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F2VlE7073598 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 10:31:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFnV6F023968; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:28:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 174552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:28:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F2SKc9019450 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:28:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F2SK9d015399 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:28:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F2SJFD015398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 21:28:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150228.h6F2SJFD015398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 153E TO 45N 160E 43N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 153E TO 37N 150E 33N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 146E TO 31N 142E 28N 138E 31N 129E 32N 126E 30N 118E 30N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 27N 140E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 126E EAST 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 150E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 39N 119E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 55N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 13:04:50 2003 X-UIDL: 31799-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100DTYR2V9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:30:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F3UME7093619 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 11:30:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFnV8j023968; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:22:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 175506 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:22:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F3Mbc9032042 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:22:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F3Ma9d015973 for ; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:22:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F3MaBa015972 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:22:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2003 22:22:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi//jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150322.h6F3MaBa015972@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PGTW 150200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 150151Z JUL 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.9N0 135.2E1 TO 11.9N1 126.6E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 142330Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 134.4E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED WITH SPIRAL BANDING AND LOW- LEVEL CLOUD LINE FEATURES BECOMING EVIDENT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS OF UW CIMMS DATA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A POINT SOURCE ENHANCING OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 160200Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI100DF2YQT9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 14:16:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F6FwE7049645 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 14:16:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F56hev033688; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 177344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F6Blc9019808 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F6Bl9d017506 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F6BkWt017504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 01:11:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150611.h6F6BkWt017504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150200ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 134.4E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 134.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 125 NM NORTH OF PALAU. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS REVEAL THAT THE POSITION OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS FURTHER SOUTH THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED WITH SPIRAL BANDING AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINE FEATURES BECOMING EVIDENT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS OF UW CIMMS DATA INDICATES A POINT SOURCE OUTFLOW TO THE NORTHEAST AND FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. REFER TO REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 150200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.7N1 149.8E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.6N9 150.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WHILE THE SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS A BROAD CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER AIR ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE AS THE AREA IS UNDERNEATH THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:11 2003 X-UIDL: 31817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200DQ754O9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 16:34:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F8XrE7097725 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 16:33:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F56hib033688; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:30:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 178633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F8UHc9019724 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6F8UG9d019004 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:30:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6F8UGaL019003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:30:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 03:30:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307150830.h6F8UGaL019003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 155E TO 45N 163E 42N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 155E TO 40N 155E 38N 152E 35N 150E 33N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 04.5N 150.0E SOUTHWEST OF TRUK MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 43N 141E 42N 143E 50N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 26N 140E 31N 136E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 10N 134E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 30N 130E ESE 20 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 143E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 37N 120E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 41N 133E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 54N 145E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 112E TO 30N 125E 30N 130E 28N 138E 31N 144E 33N 148E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:12 2003 X-UIDL: 31825-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHW0089ULJ8OA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:42:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C8gP0N056601 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 16:42:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54Dg7016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:28:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C8S8c9034012 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:28:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6C8S89d026036 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:28:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6C8S7Lu026035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:28:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 03:28:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307120828.h6C8S7Lu026035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 148E TO 36N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 148E TO 36N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. ANOTHER LOW 1006 HPA AT 42N 145E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 180E 28N 167E 29N 153E 35N 140E 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 33N 117E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 44N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 45N 167E NORTH 25 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 41N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 26N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 55N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 46N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 52N 174E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 109E TO 34N 117E 34N 130E 35N 138E 36N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 167E TO 49N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 167E TO 37N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 170E TO 32N 168E 27N 162E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:14 2003 X-UIDL: 31839-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008XP279OA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:42:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CEgL0N035658 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 22:42:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtCJ042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:33:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133318 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CEV2c9021346 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CEV29d029584 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CEV2Ww029583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 09:31:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121431.h6CEV2Ww029583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 148E TO 41N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 150E TO 37N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 150E TO 37N 148E 35N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 168E TO 50N 172E 50N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 168E TO 44N 171E 39N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 170E TO 29N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 180E 32N 169E 32N 159E 33N 149E 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 143E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 139E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 118E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 25N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 41N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 37N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 56N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 108E TO 34N 118E 33N 125E 34N 131E 35N 139E 35N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:14 2003 X-UIDL: 31842-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX008DC3XFOA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:20:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CFJg0N044448 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 23:19:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54Dob016724; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CFCXc9015578 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CFCW9d000019 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CFCW0k000017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 10:12:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307121512.h6CFCW0k000017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/121500Z/130600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE TROUGHING HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 05.9N4 144.1E0, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:19 2003 X-UIDL: 31863-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00BZJIKATF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:36:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CKZo0N023665 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 04:35:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6BGVtJp042130; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:27:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 136948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CKR5c9017808 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:27:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6CKR59d003651 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:27:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6CKR513003650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:27:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 15:27:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307122027.h6CKR513003650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 148E TO 42N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 150E TO 40N 153E 38N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 150E TO 37N 148E 35N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 46N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 168E TO 48N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 169E TO 50N 175E 50N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 169E TO 43N 173E 38N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 42N 180E 32N 160E 32N 138E 34N 138E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 120E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 142E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 43N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 57N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 41N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 107E TO 32N 114E 35N 120E 35N 126E 34N 132E 34N 137E 35N 142E 35N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31875-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHX00B8LZI5TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:42:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D2fkE7056536 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 10:41:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D0BsfP023968; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:32:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 141964 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:32:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D2W0c9033856 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:32:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D2W09d007363 for ; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:32:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D2VxRN007362 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:31:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 12 Jul 2003 21:31:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130231.h6D2VxRN007362@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 43N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 149E TO 43N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 151E TO 41N 153E 39N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 151E TO 39N 150E 39N 148E 35N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 145E TO 34N 142E 33N 136E 35N 131E 35N 126E 33N 119E 30N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1012 HPA AT 48N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 168E TO 50N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 169E TO 51N 174E 50N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 169E TO 47N 173E 40N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 136E 35N 138E 36N 141E 42N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 55N 162E 55N 180E 40N 180E 29N 150E 30N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 126E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 142E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 56N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 41N 164E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:20 2003 X-UIDL: 31882-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00B5H79BTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 13:29:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D5TFE7088329 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 13:29:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6CNmbFd038402; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 143630 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D5L2c9015642 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D5L19d008725 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D5L110008723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 00:21:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130521.h6D5L110008723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05.9N4 144.1E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07.1N8 137.4W5, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON IMPROVING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCOTT/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31888-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BNLFM8TF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:30:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D8U0E7023956 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 16:30:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DNJ016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:26:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144576 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:26:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6D8Qrc9008090 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:26:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6D8Qr9d010166 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6D8QrFt010165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:26:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 03:26:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307130826.h6D8QrFt010165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 44N 149E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 149E TO 45N 151E 45N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 153E TO 43N 155E 40N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 153E TO 40N 152E 38N 149E 36N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 137E 36N 140E 42N 142E 47N 152E 54N 160E 58N 180E 40N 180E 33N 160E 31N 140E 35N 137E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 127E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 134E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 144E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 49N 167E ENE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 167E TO 52N 168E 53N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 171E TO 53N 174E 51N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 171E TO 49N 175E 42N 173E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 24N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 56N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 111E TO 33N 120E 35N 127E 34N 130E 34N 134E 33N 140E 35N 144E 36N 147E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 19:59:22 2003 X-UIDL: 31902-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HHY00BM8WBLTF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:30:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DEUoE7093927 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 22:30:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6C54DVH016724; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:27:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 147449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6DERBc9051126 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6DERA9d012696 for ; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6DERADh012695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2003 09:27:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307131427.h6DERADh012695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 149E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 149E TO 46N 152E 45N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 154E TO 44N 157E 41N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 154E TO 42N 154E 39N 151E 37N 150E 37N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 138E 36N 141E 41N 142E 48N 154E 54N 161E 57N 180E 40N 180E 32N 160E 32N 140E 35N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 135E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 146E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 50N 169E NNE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 23N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 55N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 111E TO 33N 120E 34N 128E 33N 132E 34N 135E 33N 140E 35N 146E 37N 149E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 15 20:07:31 2003 X-UIDL: 31907-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200DABEWJ7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 20:05:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FC4xE7060813 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 20:05:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFnVK3023968; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 179815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FC23c9007850 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FC229d021192 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FC22jA021188 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 07:02:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307151202.h6FC22jA021188@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 150230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/150230Z/150600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 134.1E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 134.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM NORTH OF KORROR, PALAU ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED WITH SPIRAL BANDING AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINE FEATURES BECOMING EVIDENT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS OF UW CIMMS DATA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A POINT SOURCE ENHANCING OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.2N7 150.0E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.7N1 149.8E2, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES EVIDENT AT THE SURFACE AND A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT UNDERNEATH THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO GOOD AND UPGRADED 1.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:21 2003 X-UIDL: 31949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MKH2J7EX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FKZNE7026322 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:35:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F56hJX033688; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:29:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 187785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:29:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FKT8c9044278 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:29:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FKT79d009157 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FKT7ax009156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:29:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307152029.h6FKT7ax009156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 160E TO 48N 167E 46N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 160E TO 44N 158E 42N 156E 37N 153E 34N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 30N 136E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 10.1N 130.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 06.1N 146.8E CAROLINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 43N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 27N 148E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 40N 131E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 54N 141E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 107E TO 31N 116E 29N 129E 30N 136E 33N 147E 34N 149E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:23 2003 X-UIDL: 31952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MF43VMEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:04:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL4RE7034789 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:04:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6F56hKL033688; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:59:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 188396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:59:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FKxfc9046994 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:59:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FKxe9d010251 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:59:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FKxeDo010250 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:59:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 15:59:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307152059.h6FKxeDo010250@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 9.9N8 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9N8 130.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 10.2N3 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 10.7N8 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 11.5N7 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.4N7 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.7N2 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.0N1 130.4E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TD 08W CONTINUING TO CONSOLIDATE WITH BANDING FEATURES EVIDENT; DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS ALSO INCREASED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0, 160900Z6, 161500Z3 AND 162100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 11:03:31 2003 X-UIDL: 31975-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MHDJ4NEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 10:34:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G2XoE7029957 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 10:33:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FHVnpZ023968; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 21:29:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 191835 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 21:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G2Tic9050528 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 21:29:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G2Ti9d014840 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 21:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G2ThWw014839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 21:29:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 21:29:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160229.h6G2ThWw014839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 09.2N 130.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 11.0N 128.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 48N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 161E TO 49N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 161E TO 42N 158E 34N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 138E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 108E TO 31N 116E 28N 128E 31N 138E 33N 148E 34N 149E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 05.8N 146.1E CAROLINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN SOUTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 180E 32N 161E 32N 150E 39N 142E 42N 143E 45N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 41N 180E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 52N 144E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 14:13:08 2003 X-UIDL: 31987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MYRT1UEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 14:08:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G687E7092900 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 14:08:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8SsB047622; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 193733 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G633c9054150 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G6329d016704 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G632Vc016702 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 01:03:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160603.h6G632Vc016702@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160151ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 130.04E8 ABOUT 305 NM NORTHWEST OF PALAU AND WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 134.7E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.6N9 150.2E8, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 145.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WHILE THE SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS A BROAD CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS REVEALED THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. THE UPPER AIR ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE AS THE AREA IS UNDERNEATH THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 16:33:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300MROZDFEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:24:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G8ObE7034767 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:24:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8Su7047622; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:19:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 194346 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:19:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G8JNc9044934 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:19:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G8JM9d017809 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:19:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G8JMTU017808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:19:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:19:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Navoceano Stennis Space Center Ms//n16// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160819.h6G8JMTU017808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 10.2N3 129.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N3 129.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 10.8N9 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 11.7N9 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.5N8 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 13.3N7 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.7N2 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.8N4 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.7N4 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.4N5 128.5E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 160530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3, 162100Z0, 170300Z1 AND 170900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 16:43:07 2003 X-UIDL: 31998-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI300M69ZWLEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:36:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G8aEE7038080 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:36:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8SuV047622; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:30:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 194532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G8Upc9048878 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:30:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G8Uo9d017935 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G8Uovw017934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 03:30:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160830.h6G8Uovw017934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 09.8N 129.2E SEA EAST OF MINDANAO MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 12.8N 126.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 140E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 152E 44N 165E 50N 175E 50N 180E 41N 180E 35N 162E 35N 152E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 04.9N 144.9E CAROLINES MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 32N 160E 33N 149E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 155E NNE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 162E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 36N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 49N 146E ESE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 41N 157E 43N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 36N 153E 34N 149E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 162E TO 50N 164E 50N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 166E TO 50N 174E 48N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 166E TO 45N 166E 43N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 108E TO 31N 116E 27N 129E 31N 140E 32N 145E 34N 149E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 18:03:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400MRT3UDEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 18:01:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GA1FE7064962 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 18:01:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FL8Svt047622; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:57:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 194954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:57:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6G9vPc9044804 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:57:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6G9vO9d018525 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:57:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6G9vOuf018524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:57:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 04:57:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307160957.h6G9vOuf018524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PGTW 160930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 160921Z JUL 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 190 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4.4N8 146.0E1 TO 8.6N4 140.0E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 160600Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 5.1N6 145.1E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 5.1N6 145.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED 0VER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WHILE THE SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS A BROAD CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST IS PROVIDING FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AIDING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 170930Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 16 22:47:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400M2F5TCEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 18:44:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GAhrE7077343 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 18:43:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FHVnxr023968; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 195171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GAcNc9053218 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GAcN9d018879 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GAcN32018877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 05:38:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161038.h6GAcN32018877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 160930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/160930Z/170600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160751ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160921ZJUL2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 130.04E8 ABOUT 305 NM NORTHWEST OF PALAU AND WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 134.7E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 145.1E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.1N6 145.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WHILE THE SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS A BROAD CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST IS PROVIDING FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AIDING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400MILH5OEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:49:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GEmnE7046042 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:48:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FHVn5Z023968; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:45:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 197207 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:40:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GEeIc9048770 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:40:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GEeI9d023305 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:40:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GEeIKL023304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:40:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:40:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161440.h6GEeIKL023304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIII, Probability=18%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- NEAR 10.4N5 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 128.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 11.2N4 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 12.0N3 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.8N1 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.6N0 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.4N0 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.3N0 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.8N5 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION NEAR 10.6N7 127.8E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 30 TO 35 KNOTS, WHILE A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALED 40 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE CENTER. THEREFORE, THE WARNING INTENSITY IS 40 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED, BUT DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN SLOWED BY MARGINAL OUTFLOW CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0, 170300Z1, 170900Z7 AND 171500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:31 2003 X-UIDL: 32030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400MJGH6CEX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:49:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GEnAE7046115 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:49:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FHVn5j023968; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:45:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 197259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:43:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GEhNc9051188 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:43:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GEhM9d023425 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:43:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GEhMlw023423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:43:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:43:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 08w Warning Nr 05// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161443.h6GEhMlw023423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 05// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 161200Z7 TO 211200Z0 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES RANGE FROM 30 TO 35 KNOTS, WHILE A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALED 40 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE CENTER. THEREFORE, THE WARNING INTENSITY IS 40 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED, BUT DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN HAMPERED BY MARGINAL OUTFLOW CONDITIONS. B. TS 08W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER NORTHERN PHILIPPINES AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, AFWA MM5, JTYM, COAMPS, GFDN, JGSM, NCEP (GFS), AND EGRR ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. JGSM, EGRR AND JTYM HAVE A POLEWARD BIAS POSSIBLY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE CIRCULATION SOUTH OF GUAM. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS HEDGING TOWARDS THE CLUSTER OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, GFDN, AFWA MM5, AND GFS. C. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CHANNEL PROVIDED BY THE TUTT IS NO LONGER EVIDENT. ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM IS NOW UNDER EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WHICH SHOULD SLOW DEVELOPMENT BEFORE LANDFALL. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AFTER 36 HOURS DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND CONTINUED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST IS FOR TS 08W TO CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AS IT EXITS LUZON INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TS 08W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RE-INTENSIFY AS IT PASSES OVER OPEN WATER UNDER MARGINAL EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. E. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400B18X6V4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:35:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GKZ6E7047645 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:35:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldpL024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:28:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 202138 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GKSnc9046892 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GKSn9d006314 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GKSnvv006313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:28:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307162028.h6GKSnvv006313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 10.9N 126.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 13.9N 124.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 33N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 145E TO 35N 148E 38N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 145E TO 30N 142E 29N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 118E LOWER CHANG JIANG MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07.3N 142.2E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 142E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 39N 180E 35N 156E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 172E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 50N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 172E TO 50N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 175E TO 50N 178E 49N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 175E TO 47N 175E 45N 168E 44N 162E 38N 156E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 105E TO 30N 110E 30N 113E 32N 118E 30N 124E 29N 134E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400BQ6YHP4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:03:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GL3JE7054684 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:03:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPml020130; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:49:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 202491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:49:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GKnFc9010302 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:49:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GKnE9d006852 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:49:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GKnEQA006851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:49:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:49:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307162049.h6GKnEQA006851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160921ZJUL2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 7.0N7 143.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N7 143.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 8.5N3 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 9.5N4 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 10.3N4 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 11.1N3 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.4N7 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 7.4N1 143.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 160921Z9 JUL 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN24 PGTW 160930) NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1, 170900Z7, 171500Z4 AND 172100Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI400B11YPC4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:08:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GL7qE7055741 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:07:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFlds3024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:56:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 202574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:56:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GKuVc9048674 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:56:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GKuS9d007034 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:56:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GKuRCA007033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 15:56:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307162056.h6GKuRCA007033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 10.9N0 127.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 127.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 11.8N0 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.9N2 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.0N5 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.8N3 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.9N5 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.6N3 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.2N0 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.1N3 127.0E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED, BUT DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN SLOW DUE TO MARGINAL OUTFLOW CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1, 170900Z7, 171500Z4 AND 172100Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500B1Z0ZQ4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:57:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GLvJE7067182 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 05:57:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldw1024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 203582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GLpOc9021394 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GLpN9d008641 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GLpN9W008640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 16:51:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307162151.h6GLpN9W008640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 162151 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST THU JUL 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W FORMS SOUTHEAST OF YAP... AS OF 8 AM GUAM LST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR ULITHI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W (TD 09W) WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.3 EAST. THIS IS 385 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. TD 09W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. TD 09W SHOULD TURN MORE NORTHWEST AND SLOW DOWN IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TD 09W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL STORM BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:42 2003 X-UIDL: 32064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500B6QAXH4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:32:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H1VwE7015981 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:32:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFld8D024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:23:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 206843 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:23:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H1NRc9017502 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:23:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H1NR9d011958 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:23:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H1NRx5011957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:23:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 20:23:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170123.h6H1NRx5011957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 170123 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST THU JUL 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W SLOWLY INTENSIFYING SOUTHEAST OF YAP... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ULITHI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W (TD 09W) WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.1 EAST. THIS IS 305 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. TD 09W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. TD 09W SHOULD TURN MORE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND SLOW DOWN IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TD 09W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL STORM BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. AN NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ GUARD/MA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:42 2003 X-UIDL: 32067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BTFD164K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:17:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H2HNE7029503 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:17:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFld95024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:15:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 207610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:15:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H2F5c9017560 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:15:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H2F59d012563 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:15:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H2F5Ck012562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:15:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:15:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170215.h6H2F5Ck012562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 11.1N3 125.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 125.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 12.1N4 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 13.4N8 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 14.5N0 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 15.4N0 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.4N1 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.8N5 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.1N9 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.4N6 125.4E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED ON THE EAST COAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7, 171500Z4, 172100Z1 AND 180300Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:42 2003 X-UIDL: 32068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BN4DMU4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:30:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H2UME7034043 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:30:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFld9P024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:27:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 207753 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H2RPc9058812 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H2RP9d012714 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H2RP3g012713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:27:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170227.h6H2RP3g012713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 07.3N 141.7E CAROLINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 09.5N 140.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 10.9N 125.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 13.7N 124.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 146E TO 35N 150E 37N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 146E TO 30N 143E 28N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 33N 119E LOWER YELLOW RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 107E TO 30N 110E 31N 115E 33N 119E 30N 128E 28N 137E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 142E 46N 150E 54N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 34N 160E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 174E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 50N 149E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 174E TO 50N 176E 50N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 178E TO 50N 180E 49N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 178E TO 45N 173E 44N 168E 40N 160E 37N 154E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 32070-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BZTEHT4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:49:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H2mtE7039765 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:48:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldAZ024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:44:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 208039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:44:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H2iFc9008386 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:44:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H2iF9d012932 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:44:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H2iEoc012931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:44:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:44:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170244.h6H2iEoc012931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160921ZJUL03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 7.5N2 142.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.5N2 142.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 8.9N7 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 9.6N5 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 10.2N3 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 10.8N9 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 12.3N6 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION NEAR 7.8N5 141.8E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. A 162218Z0 SSM/I PASS INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7, 171500Z4, 172100Z1 AND 180300Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 32071-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500B4XEK54K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:50:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H2oME7040137 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 10:50:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldAd024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:48:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 208075 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H2mJc9041178 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H2mJ9d012966 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:48:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H2mJa3012965 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:48:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:48:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 09w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170248.h6H2mJa3012965@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W WARNING NR/ 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 170000Z8 TO 200000Z2 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. A 162218Z0 SSM/I PASS INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. B. A PASSING LONGWAVE TROUGH IS CREATING A WEAKNESS IN THE MID- LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF TD 09W CAUSING A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY THROUGH TAU 48. AFTER 48 HOURS, THE MID- LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK TO THE WEST AND 09W IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE WESTERLY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), AND EGRR ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER LEVELS SHOWS A POINT SOURCE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND A TUTT CELL NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM PROVIDING GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TD 09W IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING RIDGE WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE A FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THEREFORE, 09W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OR HIGHER THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 11:16:43 2003 X-UIDL: 32072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BFUF1X4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:01:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H312E7043298 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:01:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldAn024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:58:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 208123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:58:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H2wYc9027510 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:58:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H2wY9d013087 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:58:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H2wY7x013086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:58:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 21:58:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 08w Warning Nr 07// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170258.h6H2wY7x013086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 170000Z8 TO 220000Z4 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED ON THE EAST COAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TS 08W WILL TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER NORTHERN PHILIPPINES ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, JTYM, COAMPS, JGSM, NCEP (GFS), AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS LOST THE FAVORABLE OUTFLOW PROVIDED BY THE TUTT CELL AND IS UNDER EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND UNFAVORABLE LAND EFFECTS. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGH 48 HOURS DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND CONTINUED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST IS FOR THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO BUILD AFTER 72 HOURS AND STEER TS 08W ON A MORE WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH TAU 120. TS 08W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RE-INTENSIFY AS IT PASSES OVER OPEN WATER UNDER MARGINAL EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. E. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 17 12:15:18 2003 X-UIDL: 32075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BIDH5T4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:46:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H3kYE7058436 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:46:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldBN024832; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:42:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 208404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:42:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H3gLc9008308 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:42:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H3gL9d013607 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:42:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H3gLGn013606 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:42:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 22:42:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170342.h6H3gLGn013606@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 170342 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST THU JUL 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W MOVING CLOSER TO YAP AND ULITHI... AS OF 2 PM...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR YAP. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ULITHI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W (TD 09W) WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.8 EAST. THIS IS 280 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. TD 09W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. TD 09W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT...BUT SLOW DOWN IN FORWARD SPEED...OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TD 09W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY TONIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 7.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TD 09W LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ GUARD/MA +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:38:47 2003 X-UIDL: 32085-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BAJND34K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:00:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H60SE7097165 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:00:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkP3T020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 209792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H5t3c9034036 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H5t39d014872 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H5t3Sv014870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 00:55:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170555.h6H5t3Sv014870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170151ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170152ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 125.7E5, JUST OFF THE EAST COAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES AND WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W WAS LOCATED NEAR 07.5N2 142.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALAU AND WAS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.3N7 145.1E1 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/SCOTT/NUTONGLA/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:38:51 2003 X-UIDL: 32090-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BN4PTJ4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:53:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H6rUE7012306 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:53:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldH7024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:49:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 210202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H6n2c9047676 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H6n19d015372 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H6n1CH015371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:49:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170649.h6H6n1CH015371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 170600 WARNING 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA AT 08.3N 140.9E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 10.8N 138.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 11.5N 136.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 12.5N 135.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:38:52 2003 X-UIDL: 32091-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BM8Q4D4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:00:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H707E7014502 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:00:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldH9024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:54:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 210242 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:54:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H6sjc9056604 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:54:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H6sj9d015420 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:54:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H6sjjg015419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:54:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 01:54:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170654.h6H6sjjg015419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 170654 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST THU JUL 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD YAP AND ULITHI... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR YAP AND ULITHI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W (TD 09W) WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.9 EAST. THIS IS 220 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP AND 160 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI. TD 09W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. TD 09W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT...BUT SLOW DOWN IN FORWARD SPEED...OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TD 09W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS EVENING OR EARLY TONIGHT...AND WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TD 09W LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:38:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32100-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BHSUTP4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:41:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H8fhE7048757 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:41:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkP4b020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 210695 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H8aZc9029826 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H8aZ9d016471 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H8aZRp016469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170836.h6H8aZRp016469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 170900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 8.0N8 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 8.9N7 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 9.8N7 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 10.6N7 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 11.1N3 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.3N6 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 8.2N0 140.6E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITHIN THE BROAD CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4, 172100Z1, 180300Z2 AND 180900Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:38:57 2003 X-UIDL: 32101-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BITUTZ4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:41:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H8frE7048807 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:41:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldHp024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 210692 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H8aZc9048404 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H8aZ9d016470 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H8aZ8c016467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:36:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170836.h6H8aZ8c016467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 10.9N0 124.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 124.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 11.5N7 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 12.9N2 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 14.1N6 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.4N0 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.9N6 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.4N2 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.5N3 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.1N3 124.1E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED OVERLAND IN THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS OVER LAND AND THAT THE CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4, 172100Z1, 180300Z2 AND 180900Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:38:57 2003 X-UIDL: 32102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500BBTV374K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:47:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H8lKE7050599 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:47:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkP4Z020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:35:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 210689 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:35:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H8ZVc9016880 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:35:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H8Sv9d016393 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:29:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H8ScFh016387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 03:28:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170828.h6H8ScFh016387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 11.4N 124.6E PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 14.2N 120.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 34N 121E YELLOW SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 121E TO 29N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 121E TO 29N 111E 27N 107E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 180E 33N 158E 31N 145E 38N 141E 42N 143E 44N 146E 46N 151E 51N 156E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 145E NE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 175E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 47N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 62N 173E SE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 996 HPA AT 08.3N 140.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 145E TO 37N 151E 38N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 145E TO 28N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 140E TO 28N 136E 29N 131E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 155E TO 44N 167E 49N 180E 46N 171W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI500B8KXO64K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:43:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H9hAE7067954 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 17:43:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldIV024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:36:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 210991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:36:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6H9a4c9044826 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:36:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6H9a49d017082 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6H9a4Mq017081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:36:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 04:36:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307170936.h6H9a4Mq017081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 170935 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMBUDO ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST THU JUL 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMBUDO NOW PASSING OVER SOROL... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR YAP AND ULITHI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.6 EAST. THIS IS 195 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP AND 135 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI...AS WELL AS WITHIN 15 MILES OF SOROL. TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY...AND SHOULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 AM FRIDAY. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32119-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600B6Y67Q4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:47:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HClhE7020396 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:47:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkP6n020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 07:42:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 212183 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 07:42:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HCgtc9022856 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 07:42:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HCgt9d018977 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 07:42:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HCgtiC018976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 07:42:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 07:42:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171242.h6HCgtiC018976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 171200 WARNING 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 996 HPA AT 08.8N 140.1E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 10.8N 137.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 11.5N 136.0E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 13.5N 134.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600BE572S4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:06:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HD6LE7025748 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:06:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldMj024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:03:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 212476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:03:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HD30c9015430 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HD2x9d019337 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:02:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HD2xWb019336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:02:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 08:02:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171302.h6HD2xWb019336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 171302 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST THU JUL 17 2003 ..IMBUDO..UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM..STILL MOVING TOWARD YAP AND ULITHI... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR YAP AND ULITHI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.0 EAST. THIS IS 145 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP...100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI AND 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOROL. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH FRIDAY. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM FRIDAY GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32124-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600BDTB754K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:35:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HEZLE7050919 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:35:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldPZ024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:27:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 213365 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HERpc9027368 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HERp9d021909 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HERoNC021908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:27:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171427.h6HERoNC021908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 11.5N 123.8E PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 14.3N 121.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 35N 122E YELLOW SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 122E TO 32N 128E 29N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 122E TO 31N 121E 28N 113E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 113E TO 27N 109E 27N 103E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 180E 35N 169E 33N 148E 38N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 36N 148E NE 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 47N 154E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 60N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 34N 180E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 996 HPA AT 08.8N 140.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 148E TO 39N 154E 41N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 148E TO 33N 147E 30N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 142E TO 28N 137E 29N 132E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600BFCCB04K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:59:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HExIE7058106 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:59:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HA2Exp047282; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 213580 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HEshc9048544 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HEsg9d022761 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HEsgHF022757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 09w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171454.h6HEsgHF022757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 09W WARNING NR/ 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 171200Z8 TO 221200Z2 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITH BANDING FEATURES DEVELOPING AND WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. B. TS 09W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AS IT CONSOLIDATES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK TO THE WEST AND TS 09W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM IS PROVIDING ENHANCED OUTFLOW ALOFT TO TS 09W. TS 09W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. LONG RANGE FORECAST TRACK BASED ON A BLEND OF AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE (AVN, EGRR, NOGAPS) AND FAVORS THE EGRR SOLUTION. TD 09W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO TAPER OFF IN INTENSIFICATION AFTER 96 AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600BGJCBM4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:59:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HExbE7058186 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:59:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldQx024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 213574 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HEsdc9048534 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HEsd9d022742 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HEsdBu022741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171454.h6HEsdBu022741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 11.3N5 123.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N5 123.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 12.5N8 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.6N0 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.7N2 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.9N5 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.2N0 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.6N4 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.5N3 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 11.6N8 122.6E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED OVERLAND ON PANAY, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS OVER LAND AND THAT THE CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1, 180300Z2, 180900Z8 AND 181500Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32128-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600BI9CCL4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:00:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HF0FE7058377 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:00:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFldR1024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 213583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HEslc9033548 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HEse9d022748 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HEse5n022746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 08w Warning Nr 09// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171454.h6HEse5n022746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 09// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 171200Z1 TO 221200Z7 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED OVERLAND ON PANAY, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS OVER LAND AND THAT THE CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARDS OVER THE PHILIPPINES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, TS 08W IS FORECAST RE-INTENSIFY OVER OPEN OCEAN AND TRACK NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, JTYM, JGSM, COAMPS, AFWA MM5, NCEP (GFS) AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BEING WEAKENED DUE TO UNFAVORABLE LAND EFFECTS. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGH 24 HOURS AS IT REMAINS IN THE PROXIMITY OF LAND. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM WILL CLEAR LAND AND INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE PASSES. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. E. LONG-RANGE FORECAST IS FOR THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO BUILD AFTER 72 HOURS AND STEER TS 08W ON A MORE WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH TAU 120. TS 08W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RE-INTENSIFY AS IT PASSES OVER OPEN WATER UNDER MARGINAL EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:09 2003 X-UIDL: 32129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600BUWCJD4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:04:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HF4IE7059534 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:04:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPA1020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 213577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HEsfc9048540 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HEsf9d022753 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HEsfEl022750 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 09:54:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171454.h6HEsfEl022750@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 8.5N3 140.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.5N3 140.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 9.6N5 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 10.4N5 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 11.0N2 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 11.5N7 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.5N8 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.1N7 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.0N8 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 8.8N6 139.8E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITH BANDING FEATURES DEVELOPING AND WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1, 180300Z2, 180900Z8 AND 181500Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI600B5BFJU4K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 00:09:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HG9GE7079940 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 00:09:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPCX020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:02:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 214476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:02:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HG2Jc9033588 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:02:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HG2J9d024950 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HG2JoU024949 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 11:02:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171602.h6HG2JoU024949@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 171602 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST FRI JUL 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD YAP AND ULITHI... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR YAP AND ULITHI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 139.8 EAST. THIS IS 125 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP...80 MILES SOUTH OF ULITHI AND 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOROL. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 8.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 139.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY A PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:17 2003 X-UIDL: 32145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI6000J5MXRF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:49:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HImtE7030889 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:48:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2ndx024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 13:43:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 216601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 13:43:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HIhNc9038028 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 13:43:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HIhM9d000587 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 13:43:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HIhMST000586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 13:43:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 13:43:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) 998 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171843.h6HIhMST000586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 171800 WARNING 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 998 HPA AT 09.2N 139.5E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 10.6N 136.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 11.5N 135.0E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 13.5N 132.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:17 2003 X-UIDL: 32146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI6000LAO3ZF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:14:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HJEDE7039226 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:14:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2nfP024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:07:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 217083 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:07:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HJ7cc9040680 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:07:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HJ7c9d001436 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HJ7cpo001434 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 14:07:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307171907.h6HJ7cpo001434@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 171907 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST FRI JUL 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD YAP AND ULITHI... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR YAP AND ULITHI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 139.4 EAST. THIS IS 90 MILES EAST OF YAP...40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI AND 110 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOROL. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 139.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:18 2003 X-UIDL: 32148-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI6000L6RV7F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HKZPE7067777 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2nj5024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:28:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 218452 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:28:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HKSqc9037906 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:28:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HKSp9d004320 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:28:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HKSpXX004319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:28:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:28:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307172028.h6HKSpXX004319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 12.4N 121.9E SEA AROUND OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 15.5N 118.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 37N 123E YELLOW SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 123E TO 37N 124E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 124E TO 32N 130E 28N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 124E TO 30N 120E 28N 114E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 114E TO 27N 109E 26N 103E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 149E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 150E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 48N 157E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 59N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 180E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 998 HPA AT 09.2N 139.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 150E TO 40N 155E 41N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 150E TO 32N 146E 30N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 143E TO 28N 140E 28N 135E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:18 2003 X-UIDL: 32149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI6000IJSIBF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:49:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HKnFE7071650 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:49:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2nkH024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:44:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 218714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:44:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HKiBc9054264 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:44:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HKiB9d004812 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:44:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HKiAAu004810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:44:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 15:44:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307172044.h6HKiAAu004810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 172100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 9.4N3 139.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N3 139.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 10.3N4 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 11.1N3 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 11.8N0 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 12.3N6 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 13.6N0 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.9N5 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.8N7 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 9.6N5 139.1E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM EAST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITH BANDING FEATURES DEVELOPING AND WRAPPING IN FROM NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2, 180900Z8, 181500Z5 AND 182100Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:19 2003 X-UIDL: 32151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI60003QUWLF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:41:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HLf1E7087226 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 05:41:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2nnX024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:32:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 219411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HLW1c9040680 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:32:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6HLW19d006064 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:32:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6HLW1dG006063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:32:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 16:32:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307172132.h6HLW1dG006063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 172131 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST FRI JUL 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD YAP AND ULITHI... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR YAP AND ULITHI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 139.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 70 MILES EAST OF YAP...40 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ULITHI AND 130 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOROL. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS TURNING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS PASSING TO THE WEST OF ULITHI AND WILL PASS VERY CLOSE TO YAP BY MIDDAY. IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO PASS WITHIN 50 MILES TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 139.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY A PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:24 2003 X-UIDL: 32164-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000T64BCF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:04:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I14GE7037643 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:04:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPWV020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:00:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 221796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:00:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I103c9040490 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:00:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I1039d009204 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:00:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I103NS009203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:00:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:00:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180100.h6I103NS009203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 180000 WARNING 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 996 HPA AT 09.7N 138.2E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 11.3N 135.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 12.5N 132.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 15.0N 129.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 09:39:24 2003 X-UIDL: 32165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000094EIF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:06:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I16CE7038250 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:06:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2nxD024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:03:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 221880 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I136c9054176 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:03:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I1359d009283 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:03:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I135lk009282 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:03:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 20:03:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180103.h6I135lk009282@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 180102 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST FRI JUL 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO PASSING JUST NORTH OF YAP... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SOROL IS CANCELLED AS OF 11 AM GUAM LST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR YAP AND ULITHI. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 30 MILES NORTH OF YAP...100 MILES WEST OF ULITHI AND 195 MILES NORTHWEST OF SOROL. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS PASSING TO THE NORTH OF YAP AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AWAY FROM YAP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE/HALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 11:30:13 2003 X-UIDL: 32170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000CC85IF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:27:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I2RBE7067127 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:27:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HJwiK7047284; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:24:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 222929 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:23:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I2Ndc9008076 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:23:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I2Nd9d010202 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:23:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I2Nd3V010201 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:23:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:23:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180223.h6I2Nd3V010201@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 9.9N8 138.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9N8 138.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 10.8N9 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 11.5N7 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 12.0N3 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 12.5N8 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.0N5 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.6N2 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.0N9 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION NEAR 10.1N2 137.8E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 18 NM NORTH OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MICROWAVE AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8, 181500Z5, 182100Z2 AND 190300Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 11:30:14 2003 X-UIDL: 32171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000VY8L6F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:36:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I2aZE7070975 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:36:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2n3p024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:31:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:31:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I2VBc9032842 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:31:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I2VB9d010354 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I2VBue010353 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:31:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:31:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180231.h6I2VBue010353@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 12.4N 120.3E SEA AROUND OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 15.5N 117.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 38N 123E YELLOW SEA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 123E TO 38N 126E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 126E TO 32N 132E 29N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 126E TO 31N 122E 29N 117E 27N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 151E TO 40N 156E 42N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 151E TO 33N 146E 31N 142E 29N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 33N 160E 33N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 49N 155E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 57N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 996 HPA AT 09.7N 138.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 11:30:14 2003 X-UIDL: 32173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000VI96WF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:49:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I2nVE7075609 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:49:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPaV020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:45:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I2jUc9007956 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:45:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I2jU9d010565 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I2jUoP010564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:45:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 21:45:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180245.h6I2jUoP010564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 11.6N8 119.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 119.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 12.6N9 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.0N5 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.4N0 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.5N2 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.2N1 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.5N5 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.6N8 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.9N1 119.3E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM NORTHEAST OF PALAWAY, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8, 181500Z5, 182100Z2 AND 190300Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 11:30:15 2003 X-UIDL: 32177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI70004HA0DF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:07:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I37IE7082931 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:07:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6GFkPan020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:01:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223424 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:01:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I31mc9008438 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I31m9d010795 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I31mUW010794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:01:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 09w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180301.h6I31mUW010794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 09W WARNING NR/ 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 180000Z9 TO 230000Z5 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 18 NM NORTH OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MICROWAVE AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE CONSOLIDATED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS. B. TS 09W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AS A PASSING LONGWAVE TROUGH WEAKENS THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK TO THE WEST AND TS 09W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO PROVIDE ENHANCED OUTFLOW ALOFT TO TS 09W. TS 09W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFICATION AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. LONG RANGE FORECAST TRACK BASED ON A BLEND OF AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE (GFS, EGRR, NOGAPS). EXTENDED OUTLOOK HAS TS 09W TRACKING NORTHWEST THROUGH TAU 120 AS A TRANSIENT SHORT-WAVE WEAKENS THE STEERING RIDGE. TS 09W IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF IN INTENSIFICATION AFTER 96 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER A LESS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 11:30:15 2003 X-UIDL: 32179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000PJA80F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:12:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3BrE7084613 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 11:11:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6HI2n5d024832; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:03:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223438 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:03:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I32xc9040404 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:02:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I32x9d010815 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:02:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I32xbU010814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:02:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 22:02:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 08w Warning Nr 11// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180302.h6I32xbU010814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 11// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 180000Z9 TO 230000Z5 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM NORTHEAST OF PALAWAY, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. B. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE TOWARDS A WEAKNESS CREATED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER TAIWAN. AFTER 48 HOURS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK TO THE WEST AND CAUSE TS 08W TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, JTYM, JGSM, COAMPS, AFWA MM5, NCEP (GFS) AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS IN THE MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CREATED BY THE WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A LESS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO STALL FURTHER DEVELOPMENT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. LONG-RANGE FORECAST IS FOR THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO BUILD AND STEER TS 08W ON A MORE WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH TAU 120. LONG-RANGE FORECAST TRACK BASED ON A BLEND OF AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE (GFS AND NOGAPS). TS 08W IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAVE SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AFTER 72 HOURS BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL AND WEAKENING. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 18 14:27:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000RDD3MF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:14:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I4E1E7011189 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 12:14:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRcx020130; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:07:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:07:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I47Rc9038348 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:07:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I47R9d011393 for ; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I47ROJ011392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2003 23:07:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180407.h6I47ROJ011392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 180407 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST FRI JUL 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO PASSING NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TYPHOON WATCH FOR ULITHI... AND THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR YAP ARE CANCELLED AS OF 2 PM GUAM LST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 45 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND 125 MILES WEST OF ULITHI. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS PASSING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AWAY FROM YAP. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY A SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE/HALL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:18 2003 X-UIDL: 32196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000EUKQPF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:59:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I6x6E7060459 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:59:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586eh048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 01:51:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 01:51:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I6p3c9036484 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 01:51:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I6p39d012795 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 01:51:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I6p3SX012794 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 01:51:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 01:51:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180651.h6I6p3SX012794@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 180600 WARNING 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 992 HPA AT 10.0N 137.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 12.1N 134.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 13.5N 132.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 16.5N 128.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:23 2003 X-UIDL: 32199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI70004TLDBF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:12:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I7CeE7064778 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:12:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586ex048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:07:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:07:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I77Uc9013438 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:07:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I77R9d012940 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:07:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I77QIQ012939 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:07:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:07:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180707.h6I77QIQ012939@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 180707 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST FRI JUL 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO NOW WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND CONTINUING TO MOVE AWAY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 80 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP...130 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NGULU AND 170 MILES WEST OF ULITHI. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 32200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000QSLLCF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:17:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I7HQE7066136 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:17:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586f5048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:11:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:11:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I7BVc9020850 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:11:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I7BV9d012972 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:11:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I7BV9K012971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:11:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 02:11:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) Upgraded From Tropical Depression 998 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180711.h6I7BV9K012971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 180600 WARNING 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 12.3N 119.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 15.5N 116.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 18.0N 113.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 20.0N 112.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:27 2003 X-UIDL: 32205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000MPO6WF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:13:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I8DcE7083203 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:13:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586fZ048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:06:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:06:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I865c9034974 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:06:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I8649d013520 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:06:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I864wl013518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:06:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:06:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180806.h6I864wl013518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 10.1N2 137.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N2 137.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 10.6N7 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 11.3N5 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 11.9N1 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.6N9 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.6N1 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.6N3 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.5N4 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.2N3 136.8E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT SPIRAL BANDING FEATURES ARE WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER FROM THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5, 182100Z2, 190300Z3 AND 190900Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:28 2003 X-UIDL: 32207-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI7000CNP2IF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:32:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I8WaE7089759 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:32:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586fh048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:27:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226226 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:27:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I8Rfc9034842 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I8Rf9d013715 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I8RfGq013714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:27:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180827.h6I8RfGq013714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 38N 123E YELLOW SEA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 123E TO 38N 126E 38N 129E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 129E TO 33N 133E 29N 136E 29N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 129E TO 32N 125E 29N 120E 26N 112E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 142E 46N 150E 54N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 30N 150E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 153E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 25N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 50N 158E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 56N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 992 HPA AT 10.0N 137.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 998 HPA AT 12.3N 119.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 153E TO 41N 156E 41N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 153E TO 35N 150E 32N 146E 30N 144E 29N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:28 2003 X-UIDL: 32208-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI70003IQ2HF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:54:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I8sAE7096135 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:54:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586fp048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:47:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:47:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I8l3c9036520 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:47:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I8l39d013893 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I8l3Q6013892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:47:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 03:47:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180847.h6I8l3Q6013892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 12.5N8 119.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 119.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 13.7N1 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.1N7 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.4N1 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.4N2 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.0N0 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.0N2 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.9N1 103.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.8N1 118.9E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM NORTH OF PALAWAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS AWAY FROM LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5, 182100Z2, 190300Z3 AND 190900Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI70006MTCLF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:05:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IA51E7016825 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 18:05:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586hB048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:52:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 226588 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:52:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I9qUc9017502 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:52:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6I9qU9d014441 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6I9qUAa014440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:52:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 04:52:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307180952.h6I9qUAa014440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 180952 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST FRI JUL 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM YAP... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 100 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP...140 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NGULU AND 190 MILES WEST OF ULITHI. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH. IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...AND SHOULD BECOME A TYPHOON EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM SATURDAY. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:35 2003 X-UIDL: 32223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000RX1JBF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:02:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ID1rE7062034 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:01:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRmR020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 07:44:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 227583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 07:44:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ICiBc9011438 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 07:44:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ICiB9d016266 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 07:44:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ICiBUU016265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 07:44:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 07:44:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181244.h6ICiBUU016265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 181200 WARNING 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 990 HPA AT 10.2N 137.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 12.2N 134.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 14.5N 132.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 17.0N 128.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:36 2003 X-UIDL: 32224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000GQ1YVF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:11:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IDBBE7064069 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:11:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRnR020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:03:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 227927 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:02:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ID2rc9030478 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:02:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ID2r9d016733 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:02:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ID2rRp016732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:02:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:02:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181302.h6ID2rRp016732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 181302 CCA TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST FRI JUL 18 2003 CORRECTED HEADLINE ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO NOW MOVING WEST AT A SLOWER RATE OF SPEED... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 80 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP...120 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NGULU AND 175 MILES WEST OF ULITHI. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH. IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...AND SHOULD BECOME A TYPHOON EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SATURDAY GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:36 2003 X-UIDL: 32225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000GU1Z1F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:11:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IDBJE7064090 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:11:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586nN048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:05:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 227971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:05:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ID5dc9040586 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ID5d9d016794 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:05:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ID5c67016793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:05:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:05:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 998 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181305.h6ID5c67016793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 181200 WARNING 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 998 HPA AT 12.4N 118.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 13.5N 115.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 15.5N 113.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 17.5N 110.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:37 2003 X-UIDL: 32226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000XD2VBF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:30:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IDUYE7068508 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:30:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586mr048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:03:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 227899 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:01:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ID0tc9039956 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ID0s9d016687 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ID0soX016686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:00:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181300.h6ID0soX016686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 181300 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST FRI JUL 18 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 80 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP...120 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NGULU AND 175 MILES WEST OF ULITHI. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH. IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...AND SHOULD BECOME A TYPHOON EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 137.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SATURDAY GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:37 2003 X-UIDL: 32228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000A14CQF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:02:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IE2gE7076086 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:02:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRp9020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:46:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 228383 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IDkec9047676 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IDkd9d017732 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:46:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IDkdPa017731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:46:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 08:46:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181346.h6IDkdPa017731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 13.3N7 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 14.6N1 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.9N5 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.0N8 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.8N6 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.5N5 110.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.2N4 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.5N7 104.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 118.4E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF PALAWAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2, 190300Z3, 190900Z9 AND 191500Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:38 2003 X-UIDL: 32229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000AO4X5F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:15:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IEErE7079045 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:14:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586pn048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:04:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 228660 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:04:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IE42c9011284 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:04:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IE419d018242 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:04:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IE41Hp018241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:04:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:04:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181404.h6IE41Hp018241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 10.0N1 137.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 137.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 10.4N5 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 11.1N3 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 11.7N9 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.5N8 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.8N3 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.1N9 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.2N2 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 10.1N2 136.7E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SPIRAL BANDING FEATURES HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE BANDING FEATURES CONTINUE TO WRAP INTO THE CENTER FROM THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2, 190300Z3, 190900Z9 AND 191500Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000XZ61DF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:39:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IEd6E7084671 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:39:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586qt048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:33:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 229023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:33:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IEXrc9021888 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:33:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IEXr9d019144 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:33:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IEXr3E019143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:33:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:33:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 08w Warning Nr 13// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181433.h6IEXr3E019143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 181200Z2 TO 231200Z8 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAWAN, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION CENTER. B. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE TOWARDS A WEAKNESS CREATED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING OFF CHINA. AFTER 36 HOURS THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK TO THE WEST AND CAUSE TS 08W TO TRACK MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, JTYM, JGSM, COAMPS, AFWA MM5, NCEP (GFS) AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CREATED BY THE WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING RIDGE. AFTERWARDS, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A LESS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO STALL FURTHER DEVELOPMENT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. LONG-RANGE FORECAST IS FOR THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO BUILD AND STEER TS 08W ON A MORE WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH TAU 120. LONG-RANGE FORECAST TRACK BASED ON A BLEND OF AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE (GFS AND NOGAPS). TS 08W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER 72 HOURS IN A LESS FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL AND WEAKENING. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:41 2003 X-UIDL: 32232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800024643F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:40:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IEeiE7085019 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:40:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586qd048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:27:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 228942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IERjc9011498 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IERj9d018948 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:27:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IERj72018945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:27:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:27:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181427.h6IERj72018945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 39N 124E YELLOW SEA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 124E TO 39N 127E 38N 130E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 35N 133E 32N 135E 29N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 34N 130E 31N 125E 28N 120E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 120E TO 26N 115E 27N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 550 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 142E 47N 152E 54N 161E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 29N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 40N 156E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 51N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 53N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 990 HPA AT 10.2N 137.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 998 HPA AT 12.4N 118.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 140E TO 30N 145E 32N 148E 35N 153E 40N 156E 41N 158E 42N 161E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:42 2003 X-UIDL: 32234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000D26BAF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:45:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IEirE7085867 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:44:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hRqP020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:30:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 228976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IEUrc9042136 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IEUq9d019055 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IEUqn8019054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 09:30:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 09w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181430.h6IEUqn8019054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 09W WARNING NR/ 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 181200Z2 TO 231200Z8 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SPIRAL BANDING FEATURES HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE BANDING FEATURES CONTINUE TO WRAP INTO THE CENTER FROM THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. B. TS 09W (IMBUDO) IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY A MID- LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE RIDGE WILL ALTER IN STRENGTH OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD, HOWEVER IT REMAINS THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, GFDN AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO PROVIDE ENHANCED OUTFLOW TO TS 09W. TS 09W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. EXTENDED OUTLOOK HAS TS 09W (IMBUDO) TRACKING NORTHWEST THROUGH TAU 120 AS A TRANSIENT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WEAKENS THE STEERING RIDGE. THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS AFTER 90 HOURS WITH NOGAPS MAINTAINING THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH, EFFECTING AN EQUATORWARD BIAS, WHILE GFS AND EGRR WEAKENS THE RIDGE FOR A POLEWARD BIAS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON THE BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. TS 09W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY ONLY MODERATELY AFTER 72 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS LESS FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:46 2003 X-UIDL: 32242-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI8000KJ91UF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:44:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IFi9E7000370 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 23:44:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586uT048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:37:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 230010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:37:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IFaxc9052902 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IFax9d021153 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IFax5P021152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:36:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 10:36:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181536.h6IFax5P021152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 181536 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST SAT JUL 19 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM YAP... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 105 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND 135 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NGULU. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH. IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON LATER BY MIDDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY A PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:50 2003 X-UIDL: 32250-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BAGHYVAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:56:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IIumE7050815 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:56:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I5866F048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 13:52:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 232066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 13:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IImlc9016710 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 13:48:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IIml9d027221 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 13:48:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IImlQo027220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 13:48:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 13:48:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181848.h6IImlQo027220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 181800 WARNING 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 10.6N 136.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 12.0N 133.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 14.0N 131.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 17.0N 127.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:50 2003 X-UIDL: 32251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BK7IJHAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:09:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IJ9AE7055165 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:09:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I5867l048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:03:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 232320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:03:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IJ37c9021264 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:03:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IJ369d027838 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:03:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IJ36sw027837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:03:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:03:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181903.h6IJ36sw027837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 181800 WARNING 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 996 HPA AT 12.8N 117.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 15.4N 115.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 18.0N 113.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 20.0N 110.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:51 2003 X-UIDL: 32252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BQ3IM3AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:10:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IJAiE7055831 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:10:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I3hR0H020130; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:05:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 232352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:04:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IJ4Wc9029738 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:04:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IJ4W9d027915 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:04:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IJ4WoC027914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:04:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 14:04:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307181904.h6IJ4WoC027914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 181904 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST SAT JUL 19 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM YAP... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED LATER THIS MORNING. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 140 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND 165 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NGULU. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH. TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TYPHOON THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 136.2 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:53 2003 X-UIDL: 32259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BQPMIUAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:35:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IKZBE7084716 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:35:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586CJ048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:28:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 233873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IKSPc9055086 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IKSP9d000717 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IKSPFE000716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:28:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182028.h6IKSPFE000716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 131E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 131E TO 38N 134E 36N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 131E TO 34N 130E 29N 121E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 39N 124E MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 140E 42N 141E 45N 147E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 35N 160E 28N 145E 34N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 41N 157E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 50N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 53N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 985 HPA AT 10.6N 136.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 996 HPA AT 12.8N 117.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 142E TO 32N 146E 34N 153E 41N 157E 43N 163E 42N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:54 2003 X-UIDL: 32261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800B4MNH2AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:55:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IKthE7089471 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:55:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586Dj048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:48:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 234357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:48:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6IKmjc9039706 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:48:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6IKmj9d001376 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6IKmj6l001375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 15:48:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182048.h6IKmj6l001375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 182100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 09W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 10.3N4 136.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 136.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 10.8N9 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 11.3N5 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.0N3 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.9N2 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.6N2 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.8N6 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 19.7N7 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 10.4N5 135.9E8. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TY 09W CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT ALOFT. ANALYSIS OF UW-CIMSS 200 MB DATA SHOWS EXCELLENT DIFFLUENCE WITH THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF TY 09W CONTINUING TO ENHANCE OUTFLOW ON THE POLEWARD SIDE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3, 190900Z9, 191500Z6 AND 192100Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:54 2003 X-UIDL: 32262-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800B0NP3IAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:30:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILUmE7097073 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:30:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586Hh048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:24:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 235155 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:24:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILOec9010486 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:24:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ILOa9d002412 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:24:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ILOawe002411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:24:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:24:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182124.h6ILOawe002411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 13.2N6 118.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 118.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 14.2N7 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.7N3 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.7N4 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.5N3 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.9N8 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.4N4 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 19.6N6 104.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.5N9 117.9E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 08W HAS NOW MOVED FAR ENOUGH WESTWARD INTO THE OPEN WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA TO LOSE ANY WEAKENING EFFECTS OF LAND INTERACTION. TS 09W IS BEGINNING TO INTENSIFY AS THE CONVECTION CONSOLIDATES OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3, 190900Z9, 191500Z6 AND 192100Z3. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 06:46:54 2003 X-UIDL: 32264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BKKPDZAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:37:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILb4E7098868 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 05:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6I586Hd048796; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:23:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 235133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:23:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILN9c9017754 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:23:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6ILN99d002367 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:23:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6ILN9nF002366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:23:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 16:23:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307182123.h6ILN9nF002366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ32 PGUM 182123 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON IMBUDO ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 730 AM GUAM LST SAT JUL 19 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM IMBUDO UPGRADED TO TYPHOON IMBUDO... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR YAP HAS BEEN CANCELLED. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON IMBUDO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.9 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS 160 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND 180 MILES NORTHWEST OF NGULU. TYPHOON IMBUDO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 135.9 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON IMBUDO LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE WILL BE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:53 2003 X-UIDL: 32277-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800BLTYBGAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:50:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J0nvE7038220 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:49:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjl9013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 19:47:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 237907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 19:47:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J0lAc9055274 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 19:47:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J0lA9d005337 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 19:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J0lAju005336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 19:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 19:47:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190047.h6J0lAju005336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 190000 WARNING 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 980 HPA AT 10.6N 135.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 30 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 12.1N 132.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 14.0N 131.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 17.5N 127.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:55 2003 X-UIDL: 32279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI800B86ZIMAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:15:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J1FpE7043967 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:15:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILcWj9020514; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 20:10:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 238186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 20:10:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J1Aic9032088 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 20:10:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J1Ah9d005712 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 20:10:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J1AhQY005711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 20:10:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 20:10:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190110.h6J1AhQY005711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 190000 WARNING 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 992 HPA AT 13.4N 117.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 16.5N 114.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 18.5N 112.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 19.0N 108.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:56 2003 X-UIDL: 32282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900B4X379AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:35:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J2ZQE7062964 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjon013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:31:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 239046 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J2V0c9009554 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J2Ux9d006690 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:30:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J2Uxps006689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:30:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:30:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190230.h6J2Uxps006689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 131E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 131E TO 40N 132E 40N 134E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 134E TO 37N 137E 32N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 134E TO 34N 131E 31N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 123E TO 34N 114E 28N 100E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 125E GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 41N 167E 39N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 36N 155E 34N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 151E TO 33N 147E 28N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 148E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 52N 168E ESE SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 980 HPA AT 10.6N 135.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 992 HPA AT 13.4N 117.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:19:57 2003 X-UIDL: 32284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BMJ3I4AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:42:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J2fwE7064331 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 10:42:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILcWll020514; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:38:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 239141 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:38:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J2c5c9050684 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:38:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J2c59d006842 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J2c5kb006841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 21:38:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190238.h6J2c5kb006841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 10.5N6 135.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 135.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 10.8N9 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 11.4N6 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.3N6 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.6N0 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.2N9 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.9N7 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 19.5N5 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 10.6N7 135.1E0. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE INTENSIFICATION OF TY 09W HAS LEVELED OFF AS IT IS BEGINNING TO LOSE THE ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW BEING PROVIDED BY THE TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL TO THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BIS5HHAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 11:24:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J3OkE7074732 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 11:24:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjqD013556; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:12:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 239521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:12:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J3Cuc9017342 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:12:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J3Ct9d007248 for ; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:12:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J3CtAc007247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:12:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 18 Jul 2003 22:12:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190312.h6J3CtAc007247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 13.7N1 117.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 117.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.0N6 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.3N0 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.1N9 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.9N7 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.8N7 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.8N8 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.1N3 104.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 14.0N5 117.0E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 08W CONTINUES TO HOLD STEADY WITH THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS BEING SHEARED BY UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:04 2003 X-UIDL: 32299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900B9ZC05AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:45:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J5jWE7007039 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:45:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdQQd043400; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 241010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J5fNc9052984 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J5fM9d008640 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J5fMAW008638 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 00:41:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190541.h6J5fMAW008638@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190152ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 117.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0, TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 135.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BWLDDAAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:15:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J6F4E7013306 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:15:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjwx013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 241227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J6ATc9023942 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J6AS9d008903 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J6ASQe008901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:10:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190610.h6J6ASQe008901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190152ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 117.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 135.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) NO SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: ADDED STORM NAME IN PARA 1.A.(1) AND TYPHOON ABBREVIATION (TY) TO PARA 1.A.(2). FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BZXEXWAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:49:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J6n0E7020693 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:49:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjxf013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:43:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 241448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:43:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J6hYc9024020 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:43:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J6hX9d009218 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:43:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J6hXBh009217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:43:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 01:43:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190643.h6J6hXBh009217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 190600 WARNING 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 975 HPA AT 10.5N 134.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 12.2N 132.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 15.5N 129.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 19.0N 124.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:09 2003 X-UIDL: 32305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BY2FUIAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:08:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J78TE7024351 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:08:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdjxx013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:02:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 241531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:02:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J726c9015532 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:02:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J7259d009371 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J725wp009370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:02:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 02:02:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190702.h6J725wp009370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 190600 WARNING 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 992 HPA AT 14.5N 116.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 16.5N 114.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 18.0N 113.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 20.0N 109.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:10 2003 X-UIDL: 32308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BKLJRXAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:33:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J8X4E7042636 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:33:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILcWq3020514; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:28:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 241957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J8SFc9040286 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J8SE9d010200 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J8SEBN010198 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:28:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190828.h6J8SEBN010198@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 131E NNE SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 160E NE 25 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 52N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 179E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 975 HPA AT 10.5N 134.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 992 HPA AT 14.5N 116.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 131E TO 39N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 135E TO 32N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 135E TO 37N 135E 33N 130E 32N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 35N 114E 28N 102E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 160E TO 43N 165E 39N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 160E TO 37N 157E 34N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 153E TO 33N 151E 30N 148E 27N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900B8QKY1AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:58:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J8wcE7048628 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:58:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILdj19013556; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:53:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242088 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:53:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J8rfc9007866 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:53:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J8rf9d010472 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:53:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J8reiU010471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:53:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 03:53:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190853.h6J8reiU010471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 14.4N9 116.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 116.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.7N3 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.9N6 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.8N6 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.6N5 111.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.8N8 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.0N3 104.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 21.5N8 103.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 116.3E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 08W CONTINUES CONTINUES TO BE UNDER NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR HOLDING THE INTENSITY STEADY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 19 19:20:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BQ6M4BAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:24:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9O4E7054428 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 17:24:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6ILcWqJ020514; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:20:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 242192 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:20:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9KIc9027352 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:20:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6J9KH9d010733 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:20:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6J9KHFq010732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:20:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 04:20:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307190920.h6J9KHFq010732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 10.5N6 134.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 134.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 11.0N2 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 12.1N4 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 13.4N8 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.7N2 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.4N2 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.6N6 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.1N5 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.6N7 134.1E9. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM WEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:25 2003 X-UIDL: 32333-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900B8PY57AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:43:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JDhmE7017910 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:43:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCtGd9013338; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:38:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243393 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:38:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JDcWc9020680 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:38:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JDcW9d012840 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:38:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JDcVtc012839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:38:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:38:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191338.h6JDcVtc012839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 191200 WARNING 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 975 HPA AT 10.5N 134.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 12.7N 131.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 16.0N 128.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 19.5N 123.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:26 2003 X-UIDL: 32334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BESYAFAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:47:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JDkqE7018822 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:46:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCtGdj013338; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:42:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:39:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JDdIc9048438 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:39:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JDdI9d012856 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:39:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JDdIQv012855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:39:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 08:39:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191339.h6JDdIQv012855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 191200 WARNING 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 992 HPA AT 15.0N 116.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 16.5N 114.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 18.5N 112.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.0N 109.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:29 2003 X-UIDL: 32337-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BD9Z9QAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:08:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JE7eE7023565 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:08:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqhV027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:04:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:04:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JE4nc9029424 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:04:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JE4n9d013083 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:04:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JE4nhN013082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:04:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:04:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191404.h6JE4nhN013082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 15.2N8 116.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 116.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 16.5N2 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.8N6 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.7N6 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.6N6 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.9N1 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.7N0 104.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 115.8E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 08W CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED FROM UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32338-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI900BGWZEAAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:10:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JEApE7024170 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:10:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqhT027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:03:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243807 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:03:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JE3kc9007816 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:03:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JE3j9d013076 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:03:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JE3jkx013074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:03:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:03:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 08w Warning Nr 17// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191403.h6JE3jkx013074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 08W WARNING NR 17// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 241200Z9 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 08W CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED FROM UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. B. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD GUIDED BY THE MID- LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SITUATED OVER THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA AND PROTRUDING WESTWARD THROUGH THE LUZON STRAIGHT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, JTYM, JGSM, COAMPS, AFWA MM5, GFS AND EGRR ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A SLIGHTLY BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 72 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS UNDER THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO BE MODERATE WITH MODERATE DIVERGENCE COUNTERBALANCING EACH OTHER. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. LONG-RANGE FORECAST IS FOR TS 08W TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS HAINAN ISLAND AND THEN TURN TO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN OVER SOUTHERN CHINA. TS 08W IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT ENTERS THE GULF OF TONKIN BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN VIETNAM AND THEN DISSIPATING IN CENTRAL SOUTHEAST ASIA. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:31 2003 X-UIDL: 32341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00BP80I0AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:34:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JEYcE7028917 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:34:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCtGeD013338; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:29:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:28:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JESLc9029306 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:28:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JESK9d013279 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:28:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JESKbm013278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:28:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:28:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191428.h6JESKbm013278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 32N 154E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 128E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 161E NE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 48N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 975 HPA AT 10.5N 134.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 992 HPA AT 15.0N 116.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 128E TO 42N 133E 40N 136E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 136E TO 36N 138E 32N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 136E TO 36N 135E 34N 130E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 33N 124E 34N 119E 31N 111E 27N 104E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 161E TO 42N 168E 39N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 161E TO 38N 160E 35N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 155E TO 34N 152E 28N 146E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:32 2003 X-UIDL: 32343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00BWO1LOAD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:58:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JEwRE7033344 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:58:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9YtqZ043400; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 244134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JEsvc9029552 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JEsv9d013487 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JEsvIE013486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 09w Warning Nr 12// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191454.h6JEsvIE013486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 09W WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 241200Z9 JUL 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. A 191053Z9 TRMM PASS INDICATED A ROUND, SYMETRIC 16 NM EYE IN THE 37 GHZ CHANNEL. B. TY 09W (IMBUDO) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD UNDERNEATH THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS THE MID- LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN DUE TO A COLD AIR SURGE FROM A PASSING BAROCLINIC LOW OVER JAPAN AND A BUILDING HIGH OVER NORTHEAST CHINA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFS, COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, EGRR, AND MM5 ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON THE MM5 WHICH IS SLOW AND POLEWARD OF THE OTHER AIDS. C. OUTFLOW HAS WEAKENEND AS THE SYSTEM TRANSVERSES BENEATH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND INTENSIFICATION HAS SLOWED. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD FROM EASTERN CHINA ENHANCING THE NORTHEASTLIES RESULTING IN INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. THEREFORE, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY JUST BELOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON A 190926Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN LARGED-SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE LONG RANGE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE AND FAVORS A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE LUZON STRAIGHT TOWARDS SOUTHEAST CHINA. TY 09W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WITH INTERACTION WITH LUZON AND UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:33 2003 X-UIDL: 32344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00BXQ1N3AD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:59:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JExGE7033455 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:59:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6J9Ytqd043400; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:55:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 244137 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JEswc9036422 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JEsw9d013492 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JEswuK013491 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 09:54:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191454.h6JEswuK013491@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 10.5N6 133.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 133.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 11.4N6 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.3N6 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.5N9 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 14.7N2 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.6N4 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.0N2 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.3N7 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.7N8 133.5E2. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. A 191053Z9 TRMM PASS INDICATED A ROUND, SYMETRIC 16 NM EYE IN THE 37 GHZ CHANNEL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX (PHNC) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:39 2003 X-UIDL: 32358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MIJCJWBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:55:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JIt0E7086724 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqmD027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:51:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 245812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:51:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JIp0c9007924 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JIp09d016287 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:51:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JIoxSp016286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:50:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 13:50:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191850.h6JIoxSp016286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 191800 WARNING 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 10.9N 133.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 13.2N 130.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 16.5N 127.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 19.5N 122.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:39 2003 X-UIDL: 32359-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00M88DMEBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:18:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JJI0E7093288 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:18:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqmN027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:11:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 246054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:11:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JJBRc9017186 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:11:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JJBR9d016600 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:11:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JJBRqE016599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:11:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 14:11:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307191911.h6JJBRqE016599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 191800 WARNING 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 990 HPA AT 15.5N 116.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 17.0N 114.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 18.5N 112.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 20.0N 109.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:41 2003 X-UIDL: 32364-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00M11HBVBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:38:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JKc4E7014595 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 04:38:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqpX027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:29:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 246884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:29:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JKTOc9034968 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:29:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JKTO9d017631 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:29:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JKTO2A017630 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:29:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 15:29:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192029.h6JKTO2A017630@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 44N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 162E TO 44N 165E 41N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 162E TO 40N 161E 37N 157E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 157E TO 33N 152E 30N 149E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 31N 161E 32N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 56N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 970 HPA AT 10.9N 133.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 990 HPA AT 15.5N 116.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 104E TO 31N 111E 35N 119E 35N 127E 38N 138E 33N 142E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:42 2003 X-UIDL: 32366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MRIK39BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:37:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JLbkE7027534 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:37:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqsT027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:33:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 247776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:33:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JLXoc9009670 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JLXo9d018632 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:33:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JLXnIq018631 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:33:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:33:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192133.h6JLXnIq018631@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 15.7N3 115.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 115.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.8N5 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.7N5 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.6N5 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.2N2 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.9N9 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.7N9 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 115.4E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TS 08W CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY DESPITE BEING SHEARED ON THE NORTHERN SIDE BY MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8 AND 202100Z5. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:42 2003 X-UIDL: 32367-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MSYK43BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:38:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JLcKE7027702 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 05:38:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqsX027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:34:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 247786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:34:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JLYqc9055128 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:34:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6JLYp9d018649 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6JLYpp4018648 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 16:34:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307192134.h6JLYpp4018648@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 10.8N9 133.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 133.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 11.6N8 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 12.5N8 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 13.8N2 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.3N9 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.0N9 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.5N7 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.3N8 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 11.0N2 133.0E7. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW OF TY 09W HAS ONCE AGAIN LINKED UP WITH THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TO THE EAST SUPPORTING FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8 AND 202100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 32375-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MUAT8JBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 08:55:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K0tLV7032504 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 08:55:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZfR051152; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 19:50:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 250230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 19:50:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K0oGc9010542 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 19:50:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K0oG9d020958 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 19:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K0oGgC020957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 19:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 19:50:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200050.h6K0oGgC020957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 200000 WARNING 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 965 HPA AT 11.6N 132.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 14.6N 130.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 17.5N 127.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 20.5N 122.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:47 2003 X-UIDL: 32378-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MUIUKNBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:24:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K1OGV7037877 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:24:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZgL051152; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:21:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 250475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:21:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K1L9c9019428 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:21:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K1L89d021390 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:21:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K1L8J2021389 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:21:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 20:21:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200121.h6K1L8J2021389@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 200000 WARNING 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 16.4N 115.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 17.5N 113.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 19.0N 110.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 19.5N 106.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:51 2003 X-UIDL: 32383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MDTXOQBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:31:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K2VUV7052349 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:31:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqq6v027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:27:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 251396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:27:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K2Rhc9015708 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K2Rg9d022078 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K2RgpQ022077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:27:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200227.h6K2RgpQ022077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 162E TO 45N 163E 46N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 165E TO 45N 171E 41N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 165E TO 40N 162E 37N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 158E TO 34N 152E 31N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 32N 160E 31N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 58N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 965 HPA AT 11.6N 132.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 985 HPA AT 16.4N 115.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 108E TO 35N 118E 33N 128E 38N 138E 34N 142E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:52 2003 X-UIDL: 32385-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00M1KYDOBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:46:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K2kSV7055051 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 10:46:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqAr027384; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:43:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 251845 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:43:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K2h0c9010722 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:43:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K2h09d022367 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:43:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K2h0kc022366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:43:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 21:43:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200243.h6K2h0kc022366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 200300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 11.5N7 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.5N7 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 12.5N8 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 13.7N1 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.3N9 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.8N5 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.2N2 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.7N0 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.1N7 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 11.8N0 132.2E8. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 345 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF YAP ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A RECENT 192044Z0 TRMM PASS REVEALS AN IRREGULAR 15 NM EYE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TY 09W'S POLEWARD OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC CELL TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1, 201500Z8, 202100Z5 AND 210300Z6. REFER TO TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:53 2003 X-UIDL: 32389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIA00MZ6ZCKBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 11:07:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K37PV7059567 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 11:07:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K0XJr3026728; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:03:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:03:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K33ec9055176 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:03:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K33e9d022612 for ; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:03:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K33edL022611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:03:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2003 22:03:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200303.h6K33edL022611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 019 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 08W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 16.4N1 114.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 114.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.5N3 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.4N3 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.1N1 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.7N7 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.4N6 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.7N9 104.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.7N4 114.4E0. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 192330Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANALYSIS OF UW CIMMS DATA SHOWS THAT THE NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR HAS DECREASED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS ALLOWING TY 08W TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1, 201500Z8, 202100Z5 AND 210300Z6. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:57 2003 X-UIDL: 32398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MK99SQBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 14:53:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K6r7V7001886 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 14:53:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqGv027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 01:48:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 253744 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 01:48:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K6mQc9033594 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 01:48:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K6mQ9d024687 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 01:48:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K6mP3B024686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 01:48:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 01:48:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200648.h6K6mP3B024686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 200600 WARNING 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 12.1N 131.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 15.1N 128.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 18.5N 124.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 21.5N 119.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:58 2003 X-UIDL: 32399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MSWAY2BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:18:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K7HkV7006257 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:17:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZnJ051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:14:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 253844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:14:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K7E2c9007692 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:14:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K7E29d024944 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:14:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K7E2YB024943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:14:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 02:14:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200714.h6K7E2YB024943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 200600 WARNING 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 975 HPA AT 16.9N 114.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 18.6N 112.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 19.5N 109.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.0N 105.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:59 2003 X-UIDL: 32401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00M5IEHBBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:34:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K8Y7V7022466 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:34:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqIT027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:30:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 254329 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K8Ugc9038138 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K8Ug9d025809 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K8Ug7R025808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:30:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200830.h6K8Ug7R025808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 45N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 162E TO 46N 163E 46N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 165E TO 45N 173E 39N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 165E TO 38N 160E 35N 156E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 156E TO 34N 152E 30N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 156E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 30N 152E 36N 150E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 57N 174E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 179W ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 12.1N 131.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 975 HPA AT 16.9N 114.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 106E TO 34N 115E 33N 121E 36N 126E 38N 138E 34N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:37:59 2003 X-UIDL: 32402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MJ2EYOBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:44:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K8ieV7024240 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:44:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqJL027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:41:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 254513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:41:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K8fCc9037928 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:41:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K8fB9d025931 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:41:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K8fBNG025930 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:41:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:41:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200841.h6K8fBNG025930@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 12.1N4 131.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 131.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 13.5N9 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.2N8 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.7N4 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.3N2 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.1N4 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 24.0N6 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 27.1N0 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 131.0E5. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 655 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 200530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE FEATURE WITH A 13 NM DIAMETER. ANIMATED IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TY 09W HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32404-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00M8ZFOKBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:00:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K90DV7027268 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 17:00:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqJb027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:55:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 254686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:55:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6K8tBc9033596 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:55:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6K8tB9d026052 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:55:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6K8tAnH026051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:55:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 03:55:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307200855.h6K8tAnH026051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 16.9N6 114.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 114.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.0N9 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.9N8 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.7N7 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.3N5 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.1N3 103.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 17.2N0 113.9E4. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 200530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MPTQ7VBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 20:47:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KCljV7068330 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 20:47:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqNd027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 07:42:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 256418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 07:42:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KCgnc9010524 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 07:42:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KCgn9d027869 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 07:42:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KCgnZV027868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 07:42:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 07:42:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201242.h6KCgnZV027868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 201200 WARNING 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 12.5N 130.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 230 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 16.3N 128.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 19.5N 124.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 23.5N 119.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32418-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00M2URR0BJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:21:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KDKmV7074694 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:20:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZsx051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 08:11:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 256693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 08:11:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KDBSc9052802 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 08:11:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KDBS9d028070 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 08:11:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KDBSDt028069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 08:11:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 08:11:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201311.h6KDBSDt028069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 201200 WARNING 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 980 HPA AT 17.8N 113.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 19.2N 111.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.0N 108.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 20.0N 105.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00M2VV5MBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:34:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KEYRV7089858 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:34:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqQB027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:29:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:29:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KETSc9039436 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:29:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KETS9d028523 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KETSuT028522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:29:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201429.h6KETSuT028522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 45N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 162E TO 47N 164E 48N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 166E TO 45N 175E 39N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 166E TO 42N 167E 36N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 158E TO 33N 154E 28N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 43N 141E 42N 143E 50N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 29N 153E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 57N 177E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 12.5N 130.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 980 HPA AT 17.8N 113.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 107E TO 34N 114E 34N 127E 37N 132E 38N 138E 35N 143E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00M29VXFBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:51:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KEp0V7093155 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:51:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KAN2xT026732; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:48:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:46:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KEkrc9058718 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:46:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KEkq9d028687 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KEkqEG028685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:46:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:46:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon 09w Warning Nr 16// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201446.h6KEkqEG028685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON 09W WARNING NR 16// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 251200Z0 JUL 2003. A. SUPERTYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 595 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 125 TO 140 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THERE IS AN EYE FEATURE WITH A DIAMETER OF 10 NM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT STY 09W'S POLEWARD OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC (TUTT) CELL TO THE EAST. ADDITIONALLY, AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL HAS BEEN ENHANCED BY THE LARGE ANTICYCLONE IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE. B. STY 09W (IMBUDO) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AFWA AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. STY 09W WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW PROVIDED BY THE TUTT CELL TO THE EAST OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL INTO THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE ANTICYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS STY 09W TRANSITS NORTHERN LUZON, IT SHOULD SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND LOSES THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SUPER TYPHOON. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK HAS STY 09W CONTINUING ON A NORTHWEST TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL EAST OF HONG KONG AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:09 2003 X-UIDL: 32428-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00M2SVXVBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:51:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KEpLV7093216 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:51:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KAN2xh026732; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:48:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257664 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KEktc9022054 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KEkq9d028679 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:46:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KEkqJ7028678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:46:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:46:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201446.h6KEkqJ7028678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 12.5N8 130.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 130.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 14.0N5 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.6N2 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.1N9 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.5N4 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.2N5 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.8N3 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 26.7N5 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.9N2 130.2E6. SUPERTYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 595 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 125 TO 140 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THERE IS AN EYE FEATURE WITH A DIAMETER OF 10 NM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT STY 09W'S POLEWARD OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC (TUTT) CELL TO THE EAST. ADDITIONALLY, AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL HAS BEEN ENHANCED BY THE LARGE ANTICYCLONE IN THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:09 2003 X-UIDL: 32429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MIBWBDBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:59:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KExSV7094704 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:59:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqSF027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:56:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KEu9c9033780 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KEu99d028803 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KEu90I028802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:56:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201456.h6KEu90I028802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 17.6N4 113.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 113.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.7N6 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.4N4 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.1N3 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.6N8 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.7N7 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 113.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. RECENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOW ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT ENHANCING ITS INCREASED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:10 2003 X-UIDL: 32430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIB00MK7WCLBJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:00:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KF0DV7094875 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 23:00:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZvd051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:57:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:57:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KEvJc9048368 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:57:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KEvJ9d028809 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:57:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KEvJEF028808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:57:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 09:57:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 08w Warning Nr 21// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201457.h6KEvJEF028808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 201500Z MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 08W WARNING NR 21// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 231200Z8JUL 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. RECENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOW ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT ENHANCING ITS INCREASED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. B. TY 08W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE THROUGH THE FIRST 24 TO 36 HOURS. THEREAFTER, THE RIDGE SHOULD BUILD BACK IN TO THE NORTH AND TURN THE SYSTEM WESTWARD THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AFWA AND EGRR ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 08W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY IN THE FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL AT HAINAN, CHINA IN APPROXIMATELY 18 TO 24 HOURS. LAND INTERACTION WILL CAUSE TY 08 TO WEAKEN AS IT EXITS INTO THE GULF OF TONKIN. THE CYCLONE IS THEN EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER VIETNAM. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:14 2003 X-UIDL: 32441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00HUZ6W6UO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:48:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KIm0V7041498 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:48:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqZD027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:42:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 260527 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:42:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KIgWc9009520 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:42:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KIgV9d001070 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:42:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KIgVBv001069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:42:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 13:42:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201842.h6KIgVBv001069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 201800 WARNING 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 13.3N 129.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 230 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 16.9N 125.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 19.5N 121.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 22.5N 117.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:14 2003 X-UIDL: 32442-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00H6P7V4UO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:09:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KJ8uV7046857 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:08:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JCqqaB027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 14:03:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 260909 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 14:03:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KJ3uc9048416 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 14:03:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KJ3u9d001346 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 14:03:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KJ3uFp001345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 14:03:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 14:03:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307201903.h6KJ3uFp001345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 201800 WARNING 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 980 HPA AT 17.8N 112.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 18.8N 109.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 19.5N 108.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:15 2003 X-UIDL: 32444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00H8NBY1UO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:37:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKb5V7071304 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:37:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQncD027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:27:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 261726 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:27:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKR2c9047166 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KKR19d002418 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KKR1qx002417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:27:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202027.h6KKR1qx002417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 48N 164E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 164E TO 48N 167E 48N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 169E TO 45N 175E 40N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 169E TO 42N 168E 36N 159E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 159E TO 33N 154E 28N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 27N 152E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 13.3N 129.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 980 HPA AT 17.8N 112.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 106E TO 35N 118E 34N 127E 37N 136E 35N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:16 2003 X-UIDL: 32447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00H1VCQXUO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:54:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKsQV7074877 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 04:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnfV027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:50:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 262296 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKodc9013502 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:50:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KKod9d002778 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KKodTl002777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 15:50:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202050.h6KKodTl002777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 202100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 13.3N7 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 129.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 14.7N2 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.3N0 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.9N7 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.1N1 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.3N6 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.7N2 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 26.7N5 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 129.0E2. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 580 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. A RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE REVEALS A REGULAR, 19 NM DIAMETER EYE. ENHANCED, ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL ENHANCED BY THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) TO THE EAST OF STY 09W IS WEAKENING AS THE TUTT WEAKENS AND THE STORM MOVES WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE TUTT; EQUATORIAL OUTFLOW REMAINS STRONG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6, 210900Z2, 211500Z9 AND 212100Z6. REFER TO TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:17 2003 X-UIDL: 32450-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00H0ADQZUO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:16:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KLG3V7079447 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 05:16:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQngl027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:12:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 262916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:12:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KLCtc9029258 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:12:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6KLCt9d003000 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:12:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6KLCt5L002999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:12:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 16:12:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307202112.h6KLCt5L002999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 18.0N9 112.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 112.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.8N7 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.5N5 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.3N5 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.7N9 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.6N8 102.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 18.2N1 112.4E8. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, CHINA HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65 AND 75 KNOTS. TY 08W WILL HOLD STEADY AT TYPHOON STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE ISLAND OF HAINAN. A RECENT 201309Z5 37 GHZ MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS A PARTIAL, SYMMETRICAL EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6, 210900Z2, 211500Z9 AND 212100Z6. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:20 2003 X-UIDL: 32457-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00C6DNSOZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 08:53:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L0r5V7019498 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 08:53:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnrl027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 19:50:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 265992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 19:50:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L0oGc9021288 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 19:50:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L0oG9d005936 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 19:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L0oG10005934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 19:50:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 19:50:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210050.h6L0oG10005934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 210000 WARNING 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 950 HPA AT 13.5N 128.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 85 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 17.0N 124.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 19.5N 119.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 25.0N 115.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 09:38:20 2003 X-UIDL: 32459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00C39ONXZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:11:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L1BmV7024208 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:11:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnsd027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 20:07:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 266283 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 20:07:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L17rc9055268 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 20:07:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L17q9d006262 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 20:07:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L17qwE006261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 20:07:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 20:07:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210107.h6L17qwE006261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 210000 WARNING 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 980 HPA AT 18.5N 111.3E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 20.0N 108.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 21.0N 103.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 11:02:14 2003 X-UIDL: 32468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00C7ZSVYZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:43:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L2h3V7054712 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:43:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZOh051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:31:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L2V7c9048350 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L2V69d007376 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L2V6dJ007375 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 21:31:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210231.h6L2V6dJ007375@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 164E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 164E TO 49N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 168E TO 43N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 168E TO 42N 166E 38N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 138E HONSHU MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 138E TO 33N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 138E TO 33N 130E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 130E TO 34N 121E 31N 112E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 180E 30N 162E 30N 152E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 42N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 159E NNE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 54N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 950 HPA AT 13.5N 128.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 980 HPA AT 18.5N 111.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 150E TO 36N 159E 38N 163E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 11:54:26 2003 X-UIDL: 32476-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00CEWVUHZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:47:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L3kwV7076629 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:47:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQn4f027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 268707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L3i9c9044822 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L3i99d008366 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L3i9mD008365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210344.h6L3i9mD008365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 13.7N1 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.0N6 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.5N2 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.1N0 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.0N0 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.8N1 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.7N2 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 26.4N2 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.0N5 127.8E8. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 130 KNOTS. A 202219Z6 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED CONCENTRIC EYEWALL. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL HAS SUBSIDED WHILE THE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL REMAINS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2, 211500Z9, 212100Z6 AND 220300Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 11:54:26 2003 X-UIDL: 32477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00CJ1VW3ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:48:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L3ltV7076931 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:47:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZRn051152; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 268704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L3i6c9041454 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L3i69d008361 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L3i6DL008360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:44:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210344.h6L3i6DL008360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 18.3N2 112.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 112.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.0N0 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.8N8 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.5N7 106.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.8N0 104.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.6N8 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 111.6E9. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, CHINA HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION BEING SHEARED ON THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS OF TY 08W BY THE UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES. TY 08W WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN CENTRAL HAINAN IN 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2, 211500Z9, 212100Z6 AND 220300Z7. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 11:54:26 2003 X-UIDL: 32478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00CJCVW7ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:48:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L3m0V7076966 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:48:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KL4bNP026732; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 268735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L3j1c9056138 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L3j09d008386 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L3j01C008384 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210345.h6L3j01C008384@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 210200 NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 09W WARNING NR 18// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 210000Z3 TO 260000Z8 JUL 2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 130 KNOTS. A 202219Z6 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED CONCENTRIC EYEWALL. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL HAS SUBSIDED WHILE THE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL REMAINS. B. STY 09W (IMBUDO) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE CENTERED JUST EAST OF OKINAWA. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AFWA AND EGRR CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. AFWA AND JTYM ARE THE TWO OUTLIERS TO THIS FORECAST SOLUTION WITH BOTH MODELS SHOWING A MORE POLEWARD SOLUTION AFTER STY 09W CRESTS THE NORTHERN COAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON AFWA AND JTYM. C. STY 09W WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS DESPITE THE LOSS OF THE ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW DUE TO A CONTINUED STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. STY 09W WILL WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES LUZON DUE TO THE INFLUX OF DRIER AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS FROM THE NEARBY LANDMASS. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 202219Z6 MICROWAVE PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK HAS STY 09W CONTINUING ON A NORTHWEST TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THIS PUTS TY 09W IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER REINTENSIFICATION BRIEFLY AS IT EXITS THE NORTHERN REACHES OF LUZON AND ENTERS THE OPEN WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TY 09W WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF HONG KONG AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/AYALA/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 11:54:27 2003 X-UIDL: 32479-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIC00COMVY3ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:49:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L3n8V7077409 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 11:49:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQn4n027384; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 268741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L3j0c9029316 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L3j09d008385 for ; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L3j039008382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2003 22:45:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 08w Warning Nr 23// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210345.h6L3j039008382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 08W WARNING NR 23// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 210000Z2 TO 230000Z6 JUL 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, CHINA HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION BEING SHEARED ON THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS OF TY 08W BY THE UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES. TY 08W WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN CENTRAL HAINAN IN 12 HOURS. B. TY 08W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST UNDER THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AFWA AND EGRR. EGGR AND NOGAPS ARE THE TWO OUTLIERS WITH EGGR SHOWING A MORE POLEWARD BIAS AND NOGAPS IS A MORE EQUATORWARD BIAS, ESPECIALLY AFTER THE 36 HOUR TAU. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 08W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL AT HAINAN, CHINA IN 12 HOURS. LAND INTERACTION WITH HAINAN WILL CAUSE TY 08 TO WEAKEN AS IT EXITS INTO THE GULF OF TONKIN. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 202143Z2 QUICKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. LONG-RANGE FORECAST IS FOR TY 08W TO REINTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF OF TONKIN AND THEN MAKE LANDFALL NEAR HANOI WHERE IT WILL DISSIPATE OVER LAND. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/AYALA/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 14:47:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CTC22VZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:01:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L61YV7023074 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:01:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZWB051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 270505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L5tZc9029866 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L5tZ9d009992 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L5tZV9009990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 00:55:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210555.h6L5tZV9009990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210152ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 112.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 128.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF LUZON, TRACKING WEST-NORTWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS GUSTING TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.4N7 146.5E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 4.8N2 145.1E1, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED. SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES SPEED CONVERGENCE IN THE EASTERLIES WITH WEAK CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW TO THE SOUTHWEST. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS MARGINAL DIFFLUENCE OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 14:57:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32492-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CFG4H3ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:53:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L6rFV7039553 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:53:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZXP051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 01:48:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 271111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 01:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L6mZc9017214 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 01:48:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L6mY9d010612 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 01:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L6mY77010611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 01:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 01:48:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210648.h6L6mY77010611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 210600 WARNING 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 945 HPA AT 14.0N 127.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 17.7N 122.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.5N 118.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 25.5N 113.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 15:17:03 2003 X-UIDL: 32498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CBV5KCZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:17:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L7GqV7046708 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:16:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnEZ027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:10:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 271212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:10:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L7A2c9040024 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:10:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L7A19d010787 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:10:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L7A1WF010786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:10:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 02:10:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210710.h6L7A1WF010786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 210600 WARNING 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 975 HPA AT 18.4N 110.9E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 20.0N 107.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.5N 103.0E WITH 160 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 16:37:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32510-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00C4E94MZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:33:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8XkV7071591 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:33:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnGb027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:28:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 271756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8SAc9034336 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L8S59d011738 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L8S5g1011737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:28:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210828.h6L8S5g1011737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 165E TO 50N 166E 51N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 169E TO 51N 175E 48N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 169E TO 47N 172E 42N 168E 36N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 162E TO 34N 158E 30N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 142E TO 35N 144E 34N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 142E TO 35N 140E 35N 137E 34N 136E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 136E TO 33N 132E 33N 127E 33N 124E 33N 119E 32N 116E 28N 106E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 30N 165E 30N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 116E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 52N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 945 HPA AT 14.0N 127.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 975 HPA AT 18.4N 110.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 16:47:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CQM9LDZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:44:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8hsV7075315 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:43:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnGd027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:34:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 271795 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:34:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8YUc9017194 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:34:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L8YU9d011811 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:34:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L8YUBr011810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:34:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:34:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210834.h6L8YUBr011810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 14.4N9 127.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 127.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.9N5 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.5N3 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.7N6 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.1N3 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.1N6 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.6N2 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.8N3 126.6E5. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN TIP OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 125 AND 140 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3. REFER TO TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 16:57:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00C64A16ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:53:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8rJV7078856 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:53:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6JNAZZN051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:47:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 271923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:47:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8lZc9029188 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:47:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L8lZ9d011972 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:47:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L8lZO5011971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:47:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:47:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210847.h6L8lZO5011971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 18.7N6 111.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 111.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.3N3 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.1N3 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.5N7 105.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.7N9 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 110.7E9. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 36 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, CHINA HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65 AND 77 KNOTS. TY 08W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN CENTRAL HAINAN WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 21 16:57:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CL0A68ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:56:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8uLV7079823 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 16:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnHB027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:49:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 271935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:49:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L8ncc9056244 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:49:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6L8nb9d011993 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6L8nbZd011992 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:49:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 03:49:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307210849.h6L8nbZd011992@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 18.7N6 111.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 111.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.3N3 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.1N3 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.5N7 105.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.7N9 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 110.7E9. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 36 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN, CHINA HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65 AND 77 KNOTS. TY 08W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN CENTRAL HAINAN WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:18 2003 X-UIDL: 32546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CTSL7EZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:54:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCsgV7048103 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:54:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZfZ051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 07:51:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 273795 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 07:51:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCoxc9017900 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 07:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LCow9d014618 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 07:50:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LCowmM014617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 07:50:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 07:50:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211250.h6LCowmM014617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 211200 WARNING 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 945 HPA AT 15.0N 125.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 18.6N 121.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 21.5N 117.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 26.5N 112.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:28 2003 X-UIDL: 32549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00C6WMOZZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:26:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LDQpV7056929 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:26:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnQN027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 08:20:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 274237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 08:20:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LDKjc9030212 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 08:20:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LDKi9d015414 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 08:20:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LDKikb015413 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 08:20:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 08:20:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211320.h6LDKikb015413@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 211200 WARNING 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 980 HPA AT 18.5N 110.2E HAINAN MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 19.9N 106.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 21.0N 102.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:34 2003 X-UIDL: 32556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CUTQ00ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:38:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LEcIV7077444 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:38:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZix051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:33:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 274819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:27:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LERIc9022078 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LERI9d017510 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LERHHV017508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:27:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211427.h6LERHHV017508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 36N 146E 33N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 33N 139E 32N 133E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 133E TO 32N 119E 28N 113E 25N 106E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 165E TO 52N 166E 54N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 170E TO 53N 177E 48N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 170E TO 48N 174E 42N 169E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 169E TO 41N 168E 34N 162E 30N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 30N 169E 30N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 32N 119E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 48N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 945 HPA AT 15.0N 125.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 980 HPA AT 18.5N 110.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:36 2003 X-UIDL: 32563-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CGEQX4ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:58:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LEw4V7083010 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 22:58:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZjZ051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:53:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 275022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:49:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LEnPc9019224 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LEmY9d018457 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LEmY7Z018455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:48:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon 09w (imbudo) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211448.h6LEmY7Z018455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING/ NR 20// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 211200Z6 TO 251200Z0 JUL 2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHEAST OF CENTRAL LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 125 AND 140 KNOTS. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED CONCENTRIC EYEWALL FEATURE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH REMAINS INTACT, THEREFORE STY 09W CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. B. STY 09W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE CENTERED JUST EAST OF OKINAWA. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AFWA, AND EGRR CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. AFWA AND JTYM ARE THE TWO OUTLIERS TO THIS FORECAST SOLUTION WITH BOTH MODELS SHOWING A MORE POLEWARD SOLUTION. DUE TO THE RECENT TRACK EQUATORWARD OF PREVIOUS GUIDANCE, THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON AFWA AND JTYM. C. STY 09W WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS DUE TO A CONTINUED STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. STY 09W WILL WEAKEN AS IT PASSES OVER LUZON, BUT IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AS IT EXITS INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THIS WILL BE MADE POSSIBLE DUE TO AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL THAT WILL BE PRESENT ENHANCING THE POSSIBILITY OF DEVELOPMENT OVER OPEN WATER. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK HAS STY 09W CONTINUING ON A NORTHWEST TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. STY 09W WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF HONG KONG AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY 96 HOURS. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:36 2003 X-UIDL: 32565-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00C0NR7AZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:04:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LF4EV7085022 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:04:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6L650CL026732; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:53:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 275019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:49:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LEnOc9016456 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LEmY9d018456 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LEmYk4018453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 09:48:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211448.h6LEmYk4018453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 15.0N6 125.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 125.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 16.4N1 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.8N6 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.2N2 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.6N8 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.7N2 113.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.6N3 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 125.2E0. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTHEAST OF CENTRAL LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 125 AND 140 KNOTS. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED CONCENTRIC EYEWALL FEATURE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH REMAINS INTACT, THEREFORE STY 09W CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6, 220300Z7, 220900Z3 AND 221500Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:39 2003 X-UIDL: 32569-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00CS5SHIZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:32:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFVxV7094181 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:32:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6KKQnX5027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:26:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 275603 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:26:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFQjc9016384 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:26:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LFQi9d019778 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LFQiir019777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:26:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 08w Warning Nr 25// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211526.h6LFQiir019777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 08W WARNING NR 25// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 211200Z2 TO 230000Z6 JUL 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), CURRENTLY TRACKING OVER HAINAN, CHINA HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE, A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS, AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT TY 08W MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 30 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF QIONGHAI ON THE ISLAND OF HAINAN AT APPROXIMATELY 211000Z4. B. TY 08W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AFWA AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 08W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT PASSES OVER HAINAN INTO THE GULF OF TONKIN. CONTINUED INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL FURTHER WEAKEN TY 08W AS IT EVENTUALLY DISSIPATES OVER VIETNAM AFTER 36 HOURS. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/PIVIN/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:40 2003 X-UIDL: 32572-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HID00C5TSOOZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:36:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFaEV7095894 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 23:36:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZmR051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:30:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 275703 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LFUkc9035414 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:30:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LFUk9d019944 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LFUkUP019943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 10:30:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211530.h6LFUkUP019943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 18.8N7 110.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 110.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.2N2 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.6N6 106.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.9N9 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.9N8 109.6E6. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), CURRENTLY TRACKING OVER HAINAN, CHINA HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 211130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE, A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS, AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT TY 08W MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 30 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF QIONGHAI ON THE ISLAND OF HAINAN AT APPROXIMATELY 211000Z4. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6, 220300Z7, 220900Z3 AND 221500Z0. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:51 2003 X-UIDL: 32590-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00CID1XUZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:56:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LIuBV7054988 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:56:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LGbBkh027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 13:50:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 278732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 13:50:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LIotc9034556 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 13:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LIot9d027067 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 13:50:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LIotTd027066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 13:50:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 13:50:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211850.h6LIotTd027066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 211800 WARNING 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 945 HPA AT 15.8N 124.5E EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 18.8N 119.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 22.0N 114.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 26.0N 109.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:51 2003 X-UIDL: 32591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00CCR3AAZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:25:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LJPFV7066947 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:25:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LGbBnt027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:17:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 279360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:17:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LJHDc9038076 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:17:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LJHC9d028010 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:17:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LJHC6f028009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:17:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 14:17:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) Downgraded From Severe Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307211917.h6LJHC6f028009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 211800 WARNING 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 19.2N 109.1E HAINAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 19.7N 105.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 20.5N 101.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:52 2003 X-UIDL: 32593-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00C0E6HMZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:34:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LKYQV7092744 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:34:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LIfgoD026732; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:24:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 280714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:24:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LKOtc9019250 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:24:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LKOt9d000475 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:24:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LKOto1000474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:24:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:24:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212024.h6LKOto1000474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 18.7N6 108.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 108.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.0N0 105.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.4N4 104.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.8N8 102.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 107.4E2. TYPHOON (TY) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40NM WEST OF HAINAN, CHINA HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT TY 08W IS AGAIN OVER OPEN WATER AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN APPROXIMATELY 12 TO 14 HOURS ON THE VIETNAM COAST SOUTHEAST OF HANOI. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7, 220900Z3, 221500Z0 AND 222100Z7. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:52 2003 X-UIDL: 32594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00CI06WIZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:43:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LKhNV7095152 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:43:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZ3n051152; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 281039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LKcYc9033172 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LKcY9d001017 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LKcYlB001015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212038.h6LKcYlB001015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 146E TO 34N 148E 32N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 146E TO 32N 140E 33N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 134E TO 34N 130E 33N 125E 33N 119E 31N 114E 29N 110E 27N 108E 25N 105E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 167E TO 53N 169E 53N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 173E TO 51N 178E 47N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 173E TO 49N 175E 45N 173E 40N 168E 34N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 13N 116E 08N 118E 05N 109E 10N 106E 13N 116E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 38N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 45N 180E 30N 164E 30N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 119E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 27N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 46N 147E SSE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 945 HPA AT 15.8N 124.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 985 HPA AT 19.2N 109.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:21:53 2003 X-UIDL: 32595-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00CJ66X5ZA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:43:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LKhlV7095271 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:43:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LGbBv5027384; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 281023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LKcUc9039588 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6LKcU9d000998 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6LKcUYe000997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 15:38:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307212038.h6LKcUYe000997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 212100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 15.6N2 124.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 124.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 16.8N5 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.3N2 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.7N7 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.3N6 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 24.9N5 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.9N5 123.8E4. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL-DEFINED CONCENTRIC EYEWALL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 06 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7, 220900Z3, 221500Z0 AND 222100Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:22:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003N7IWZH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:03:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M12mV7061012 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:02:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LIfgPr026732; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 19:58:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 284950 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 19:56:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M0uqc9013410 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 19:56:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M0uq9d006235 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 19:56:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M0uq8G006232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 19:56:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 19:56:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220056.h6M0uq8G006232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 220000 WARNING 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 950 HPA AT 16.3N 123.0E EAST OF LUZON MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 19.4N 117.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 22.5N 113.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 25.5N 108.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 09:22:03 2003 X-UIDL: 32613-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003B2JJXH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:16:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M1GcV7065549 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:16:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6trN043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:10:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 285303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:10:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M1Arc9047326 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:10:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M1Ar9d006469 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:10:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M1ArHN006468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:10:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:10:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220110.h6M1ArHN006468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 220000 WARNING 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 990 HPA AT 19.2N 107.6E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 19.5N 104.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 20.0N 102.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 10:21:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00367M97H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:15:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2EwV7085976 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:15:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6twJ043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:12:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 286313 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:12:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2C2c9046446 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:12:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M2C29d007269 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:12:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M2C2TH007268 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:12:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:12:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220212.h6M2C2TH007268@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 027 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 08W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 18.7N6 107.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 107.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.1N1 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.6N6 103.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 106.8E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF VIETNAM HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 212230Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS 08W IS OVER OPEN WATER AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN APPROXIMATELY 8 TO 12 HOURS ON THE VIETNAM COAST SOUTHEAST OF HANOI. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0 AND 222100Z7. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 10:21:08 2003 X-UIDL: 32621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE00332MHLH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:20:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2K2V7088700 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:20:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6twL043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:14:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 286322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:14:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2EFc9047258 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:14:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M2EF9d007295 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M2EF4t007294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:14:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220214.h6M2EF4t007294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 16.4N1 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.6N4 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.9N8 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.2N4 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.7N0 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.6N2 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.7N4 122.3E8. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL CYCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 10:31:09 2003 X-UIDL: 32622-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003EDMYMH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:30:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2UEV7092459 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:30:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LIfgav026732; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:27:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 286442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:26:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2Qkc9019390 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:26:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M2Qk9d007422 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M2Qjmp007421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:26:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:26:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220226.h6M2Qjmp007421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 148E TO 34N 150E 32N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 148E TO 32N 145E 31N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 142E 46N 151E 54N 161E 60N 165E 60N 180E 42N 180E 30N 167E 30N 147E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 120E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 51N 168E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 46N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 950 HPA AT 16.3N 123.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 990 HPA AT 19.2N 107.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 168E TO 53N 173E 52N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 177E TO 51N 180E 48N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 177E TO 44N 175E 40N 168E 37N 165E 34N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 106E TO 30N 114E 34N 120E 35N 125E 34N 130E 32N 135E 31N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 11:01:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003XFO4KH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:55:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2tPV7001727 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:55:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6txx043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:53:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 286886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:53:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2rCc9007692 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:53:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M2rB9d007697 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:53:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M2rBAX007695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:53:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:53:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 08w (koni) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220253.h6M2rBAX007695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 27// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 220000Z4 TO 230600Z1 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF VIETNAM HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 212230Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TS 08W IS OVER OPEN WATER AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN APPROXIMATELY 08 TO 12 HOURS ON THE VIETNAM COAST SOUTHEAST OF HANOI. B. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AFWA AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO UNTIL TS 08W REACHES THE COAST OF VIETNAM. AFTERWARDS, AS THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES, THE MODELS HAVE DIFFICULTLY RESOLVING THE REMAINING CIRCULATION. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL SOUTH OF HANOI. CONTINUED INTERACTION WITH LAND WILL FURTHER WEAKEN TS 08W AS IT EVENTUALLY DISSIPATES OVER VIETNAM NEAR THE 24 HOUR POINT. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 11:01:07 2003 X-UIDL: 32627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE0034OO76H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:57:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2uxV7002294 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 10:57:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t05043390; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:54:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 286906 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:54:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M2sDc9007710 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:54:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M2sD9d007724 for ; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:54:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M2sD1G007723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:54:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 21:54:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon 09w (imbudo) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220254.h6M2sD1G007723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING/ NR 22// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 220000Z4 TO 250000Z7 JUL 2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL CYCLE. B. STY 09W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. STY 09W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR HONG KONG, CHINA NEAR THE 48 HOUR POINT. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AFWA, AND EGRR CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. RECENT TRENDS SHOWS THIS SYSTEM TRACKS SLIGHTLY EQUATORWARD OF MODEL GUIDANCE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS, ADJUSTING SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE CONSENSUS. C. STY 09W WILL WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT PASSES OVER LUZON, BUT IS EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. A GOOD OUTFLOW CHANNEL EQUATORWARD OF STY 09W IS PRESENT AND WILL ENHANCE THE POSSIBILITY OF DEVELOPMENT OVER OPEN WATER. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 13:41:10 2003 X-UIDL: 32644-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003IEVQNH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 13:39:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M5dqV7060263 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 13:39:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M50qe7026734; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 288263 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M5X6c9041886 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M5X69d009698 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M5X6tH009696 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 00:33:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220533.h6M5X6tH009696@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220152ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N7 106.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF VIETNAM, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (IMBUDO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N4 122.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF LUZON, TRACKING WEST-NORTWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS GUSTING TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.4N7 146.5E6, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 15:33:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32652-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIE003LSZFKH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 14:59:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M6xbV7086072 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 14:59:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t7f043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 01:50:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 288634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 01:50:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M6obc9042006 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 01:50:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M6ob9d010233 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 01:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M6obXh010232 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 01:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 01:50:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220650.h6M6obXh010232@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 220600 WARNING 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 16.9N 121.3E LUZON MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.5N 115.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 23.5N 111.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 27.5N 108.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 15:33:22 2003 X-UIDL: 32657-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003VZ0NYH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:26:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M7Q6V7094731 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:26:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t7p043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:11:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 288760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:11:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M7BIc9050646 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:11:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M7BI9d010431 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:11:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M7BIQv010430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:11:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 02:11:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220711.h6M7BIQv010430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 220600 WARNING 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 985 HPA AT 19.9N 106.4E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 22.5N 101.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 16:40:54 2003 X-UIDL: 32667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003EI3UMH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:35:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M8Z0V7016848 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:35:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t8R043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:29:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 289021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:29:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M8Toc9042034 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:29:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M8Tn9d011197 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:29:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M8Tn70011196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:29:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 03:29:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220829.h6M8Tn70011196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 149E TO 32N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 149E TO 31N 146E 30N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 170E 30N 158E 31N 148E 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 43N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 121E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 55N 176E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 57N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 16.9N 121.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 985 HPA AT 19.9N 106.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 121E TO 37N 129E 33N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 121E TO 32N 117E 29N 109E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 176E TO 57N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 179E TO 55N 172W 50N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 179E TO 50N 180E 39N 167E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 167E TO 35N 163E 32N 154E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 17:13:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32670-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF00311573H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:04:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M948V7026410 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:04:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t8r043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:00:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 289170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:00:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M90Tc9023876 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:00:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M90T9d011476 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:00:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M90TCc011475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:00:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:00:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220900.h6M90TCc011475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 16.8N5 121.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 121.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.9N7 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.3N3 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.6N8 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.1N5 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.5N2 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 120.9E2. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED OVERLAND IN CENTRAL LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED BUT WEAKENED DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0, 222100Z7, 230300Z8 AND 230900Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 17:13:05 2003 X-UIDL: 32671-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003955A3H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:06:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M95uV7027016 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 17:05:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6t8v043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:03:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 289182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:03:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M93Yc9050636 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:03:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6M93Y9d011519 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:03:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6M93Ydr011518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:03:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 04:03:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307220903.h6M93Ydr011518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 19.8N8 106.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 106.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.2N4 104.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.4N6 103.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 19.9N9 105.8E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 15 NM SOUTHEAST OF VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 220530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 TO 65 KNOTS. TS 08W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON VIETNAM WITHIN THE NEXT 3 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 21:21:17 2003 X-UIDL: 32692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF0037QFUOH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 20:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MCsDV7093302 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 20:54:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZTx051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 07:47:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 290192 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 07:47:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MClCc9040280 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 07:47:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MCl79d013771 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 07:47:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MCl7wB013770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 07:47:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 07:47:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221247.h6MCl7wB013770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 221200 WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 960 HPA AT 17.8N 119.6E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 65 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 230 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 20.8N 113.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 23.5N 108.5E WITH 160 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 27.0N 105.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 22 21:21:18 2003 X-UIDL: 32693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003GRGPEH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:12:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MDChV7098122 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:12:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tEJ043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:07:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 290618 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:07:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MD7cc9048458 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:07:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MD7c9d014220 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MD7cv7014218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 08:07:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0308 Koni (0308) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221307.h6MD7cv7014218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 221200 WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 990 HPA AT 20.2N 105.0E VIETNAM MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 21.0N 102.5E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 22.3N 100.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:52:58 2003 X-UIDL: 32704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003YAKFQH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:33:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEXJV7023232 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:33:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZWx051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:26:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:26:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEQec9013326 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:26:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MEQe9d016796 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MEQeQl016795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:26:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221426.h6MEQeQl016795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 35N 152E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 152E TO 33N 157E 36N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 152E TO 30N 149E 27N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 180E 30N 161E 29N 150E 35N 142E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 149E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 42N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 126E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 56N 178E NE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 126E TO 36N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 126E TO 34N 120E 31N 114E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 178E TO 57N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 176W TO 51N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 176W TO 52N 176W 44N 174E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 44N 174E TO 41N 168E 36N 162E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 141E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 960 HPA AT 17.8N 119.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 990 HPA AT 20.2N 105.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:52:59 2003 X-UIDL: 32705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003I3KQ0H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:39:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEdTV7025350 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:39:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tIj043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291547 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEXuc9027612 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MEXt9d017023 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MEXtJ1017022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 08w (koni) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221433.h6MEXtJ1017022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 29// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 221200Z7 TO 231200Z8 JUL 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED OVERLAND IN NORTHWESTERN VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. B. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, GFDN, AFWA AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 08W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT CONTINUES OVERLAND BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TAU 24. D. SYSTEM DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:00 2003 X-UIDL: 32706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003OMKU3H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:42:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEfsV7026171 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:41:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M50q9P026734; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291550 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEXuc9034156 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MEXu9d017026 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MEXttN017025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221433.h6MEXttN017025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 17.7N5 119.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 119.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.8N7 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.2N4 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.5N8 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.8N2 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.2N9 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 18.0N9 119.3E4. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 30 NM WEST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 TO 102 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED BUT WEAKENED DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003S6KWEH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:43:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEhHV7026646 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:43:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tJ1043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:38:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291634 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEcEc9029780 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MEcE9d017184 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:38:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MEcEMF017183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:38:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:38:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon 09w (imbudo) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221438.h6MEcEMF017183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING/ NR 24// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 221200Z7 TO 251200Z0 JUL 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 30 NM WEST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 TO 102 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED BUT WEAKENED DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. B. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR HONG KONG, CHINA BETWEEN TAU 36 AND 48. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, GFDN, AFWA, AND EGRR CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 09W IS EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TY 09W IS THEN FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVERLAND BY TAU 72. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF00307L11H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:46:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEk7V7027653 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:46:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6M50q91026734; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:33:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEWsc9027592 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:32:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MEWr9d016989 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:32:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MEWrc5016988 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:32:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:32:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221432.h6MEWrc5016988@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 19.8N8 104.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 104.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.2N4 102.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.7N9 100.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.9N9 104.3E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), LOCATED OVERLAND IN NORTHWESTERN VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8 AND 230900Z4. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003EULA6H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:51:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEpZV7029481 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:51:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tJ3043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:39:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:39:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEdDc9029810 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:39:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MEdC9d017229 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:39:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MEdCRj017228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:39:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:39:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221439.h6MEdCRj017228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 221200 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 35N 152E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 152E TO 33N 157E 36N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 152E TO 30N 149E 27N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 180E 30N 161E 29N 150E 35N 142E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 149E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 42N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 56N 178E NE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 126E ENE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 178E TO 57N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 176W TO 51N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 176W TO 52N 176W 44N 174E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 44N 174E TO 41N 168E 36N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 126E TO 36N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 126E TO 34N 120E 31N 114E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 141E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 960 HPA AT 17.8N 119.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 990 HPA AT 20.2N 105.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:02 2003 X-UIDL: 32713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003QELG6H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:55:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEtBV7030816 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 22:55:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LCFZXJ051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:50:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291798 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MEoXc9046568 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:50:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MEoX9d017530 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MEoXeS017529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:50:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 09:50:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon 09w (imbudo) Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221450.h6MEoXeS017529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 221500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 24 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 221200Z7 TO 251200Z0 JUL 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 30 NM WEST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 TO 102 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED BUT WEAKENED DUE TO LAND EFFECTS. B. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR HONG KONG, CHINA BETWEEN TAU 36 AND 48. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, GFDN, AFWA, AND EGRR CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 09W IS EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TY 09W IS THEN FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVERLAND BY TAU 72. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED MANOP HEADER TIME. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:10 2003 X-UIDL: 32732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIF003XBWIBH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:54:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MIs3V7012489 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:54:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6LL6tVp043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 13:46:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 295184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 13:46:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MIkYc9046534 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 13:46:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MIkY9d025638 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 13:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MIkY1M025637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 13:46:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 13:46:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307221846.h6MIkY1M025637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 221800 WARNING 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 965 HPA AT 18.1N 118.4E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 65 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 230 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 20.5N 113.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 24.0N 107.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 25.0N 101.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32738-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG003TA14IH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:33:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKXjV7046233 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:33:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFcP043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKSjc9045278 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MKSi9d029187 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MKSi6Y029186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:28:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222028.h6MKSi6Y029186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 151E TO 35N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 153E TO 34N 159E 36N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 153E TO 29N 150E 26N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 42N 180E 30N 160E 29N 151E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 0308 KONI (0308) 998 HPA AT 20N 103E WEST 18 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 129E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 57N 179E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 151E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 965 HPA AT 18.1N 118.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 129E TO 36N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 129E TO 35N 125E 32N 117E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 179E TO 58N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 176W TO 54N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 176W TO 51N 176W 45N 174E 42N 171E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 171E TO 36N 163E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:13 2003 X-UIDL: 32741-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG0032D1XNH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:51:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKpAV7051690 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:51:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFdj043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:44:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 297104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:44:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKi7c9055756 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:44:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MKi69d029801 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:44:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MKi6ja029800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:44:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:44:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222044.h6MKi6ja029800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNING NR 030A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 20.0N2 103.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 103.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.3N5 101.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 103.0E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 220800Z2 SOUTH OF HANOI, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THIS SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER LAND. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED FINAL WARNING TEXT INTO REMARKS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:13 2003 X-UIDL: 32742-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG0032H1XOH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:51:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKpHV7051722 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 04:51:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIIkF051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:45:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 297154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:45:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKjLc9021938 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:45:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MKjL9d029847 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MKjLRk029846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:45:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 15:45:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222045.h6MKjLRk029846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 18.3N2 118.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 118.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.5N5 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.9N1 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.6N0 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.8N3 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 118.0E0. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 110 NM WEST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND QUIKSCAT IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED AND IS REINTENSIFYING OVER OPEN WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8, 230900Z4, 231500Z1 AND 232100Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W (KONI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:14 2003 X-UIDL: 32745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG0038A483H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 05:40:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MLehV7065404 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 05:40:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MIdI2N026734; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:35:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 297778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MLYpc9044226 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:34:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MLYo9d001352 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MLYoLc001350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 16:34:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222134.h6MLYoLc001350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 222130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/222130Z/230600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221952ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221800Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 220800Z2 SOUTH OF HANOI, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THIS SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THE FINAL WARNING OF THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 221800Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 110 NM WEST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGHING HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.0N7 138.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF YAP, OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADD PARA 1.B.(1) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:17 2003 X-UIDL: 32750-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00J5M8BFHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 07:09:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MN98V7086954 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 07:09:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIIrD051152; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 299212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MN1lc9022104 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6MN1k9d003098 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6MN1km2003095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 18:01:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307222301.h6MN1km2003095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 222130 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/222130Z/230600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZJUL2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221952ZJUL2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221800Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 08W (KONI), MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 220800Z2 SOUTH OF HANOI, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THIS SYSTEM IS DISSIPATING RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THE FINAL WARNING OF THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 221800Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 118.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 110 NM WEST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGHING HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.0N7 138.9E1, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF YAP, OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: ADDED LATITUDE/LONGITUDE IN PARA 1.A.(2). FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 09:53:23 2003 X-UIDL: 32756-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JCED9GHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 08:56:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N0tsV7012741 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 08:55:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFqp043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 19:50:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 300792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 19:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N0oac9008116 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 19:50:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N0oZ9d004728 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 19:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N0oZ6k004727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 19:50:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 19:50:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230050.h6N0oZ6k004727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 230000 WARNING 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 960 HPA AT 18.1N 116.7E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 230 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 21.1N 111.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 24.5N 106.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 10:42:33 2003 X-UIDL: 32768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JASHRBHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 10:33:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N2WqV7049591 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 10:32:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFtt043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:28:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 301782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N2SXc9030572 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N2SX9d005855 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N2SX5x005854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:28:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230228.h6N2SX5x005854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 33N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 149E TO 34N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 153E TO 34N 159E 40N 167E 43N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 153E TO 30N 152E 26N 149E 25N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 30N 160E 30N 149E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 38N 130E ENE 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 56N 178E NORTH 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 39N 134E 37N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 35N 126E 32N 115E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 178E TO 59N 180E 60N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 176W TO 59N 168W 55N 162W. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 176W TO 54N 173W 48N 178E 43N 170E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 137E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 153E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 960 HPA AT 18.1N 116.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 10:42:34 2003 X-UIDL: 32769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00J2DHZ1HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 10:37:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N2bgV7051483 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 10:37:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFu9043390; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:34:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 301876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N2Yrc9055768 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N2Yr9d005972 for ; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:34:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N2YrIt005971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:34:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 22 Jul 2003 21:34:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230234.h6N2YrIt005971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 18.7N6 116.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 116.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.1N3 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.8N1 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.7N2 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.9N5 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 116.0E8. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO REORGANIZE AND REINTENSIFY OVER OPEN WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4, 231500Z1, 232100Z8 AND 240300Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 13:52:33 2003 X-UIDL: 32781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JNXQW8HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:50:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N5oLV7010739 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:50:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF1v043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 303179 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N5jvc9017406 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N5jv9d008279 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N5jv8c008277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230545.h6N5jv8c008277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230152ZJUL2003// AMPN/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED NEAR 18.7N6 116.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 138.9E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 135.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 253 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 13:52:34 2003 X-UIDL: 32782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JR6QXTHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:51:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N5pKV7011032 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:51:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF1t043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 303176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N5j4c9035510 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N5j39d008260 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N5j3qW008259 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 00:45:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 09w (imbudo) Warning Nr 26 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230545.h6N5j3qW008259@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 230300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 26 CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 230000Z5 TO 250000Z7 JUL 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO REORGANIZE AND REINTENSIFY OVER OPEN WATER. B. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, CHINA AT APPROXIMATELY TAU 24. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, GFDN, AFWA, AND EGRR CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 09W IS RE-INTENSIFYING IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVERLAND BY TAU 48. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED DATE IN MANOP HEADER. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 16:33:06 2003 X-UIDL: 32787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00J15U58HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:00:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N70VV7032021 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:00:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF2p043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 01:50:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 303502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 01:50:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N6ogc9039042 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 01:50:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N6og9d008862 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 01:50:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N6ofHm008861 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 01:50:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 01:50:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230650.h6N6ofHm008861@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 230600 WARNING 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 18.7N 115.2E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 22.4N 110.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 25.5N 105.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 16:33:22 2003 X-UIDL: 32793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00J5WWIFHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:51:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N7pgV7048433 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:51:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF39043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:47:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 303658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:47:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N7lEc9029662 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:47:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N7lE9d009370 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:47:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N7lEJ2009369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:47:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 02:47:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230747.h6N7lEJ2009369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 230900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 18.9N8 115.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 115.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.3N5 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.1N5 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.6N1 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.2N2 114.9E5. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TY 09W REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED WITH TIGHT BANDING FEATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1, 232100Z8, 240300Z9 AND 240900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 23 16:33:25 2003 X-UIDL: 32797-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIG00JHLYC0HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:31:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N8V4V7062441 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 16:31:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF41043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:27:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 304022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6N8RCc9029562 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6N8RB9d009858 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6N8RBH4009857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 03:27:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307230827.h6N8RBH4009857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 112E 14N 120E 06N 110E 10N 108E 15N 112E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 141E 47N 152E 54N 161E 60N 165E 60N 180E 41N 180E 29N 160E 29N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 133E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 151E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 133E TO 37N 135E 35N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 133E TO 36N 130E 34N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 124E TO 33N 121E 33N 117E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 54N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 154E ENE SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 18.7N 115.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 26N 149E TO 29N 155E 35N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 158E TO 38N 164E 41N 168E 44N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 175E TO 46N 180E 54N 170W 60N 170W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:10 2003 X-UIDL: 32815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JWHAGGHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 20:53:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NCquV7038959 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 20:52:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMF6P043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 07:46:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 305213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 07:46:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NCkec9015680 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 07:46:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NCke9d012553 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 07:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NCkeP5012552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 07:46:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 07:46:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307231246.h6NCkeP5012552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 231200 WARNING 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 19.5N 114.1E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 23.2N 108.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 27.0N 104.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:13 2003 X-UIDL: 32818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00J4PE3LHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:11:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NEBSV7060896 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:11:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFB3043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:04:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 306316 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:04:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NE4Zc9038938 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:04:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NE4Z9d014427 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:04:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NE4ZBV014426 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:04:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:04:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307231404.h6NE4ZBV014426@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 19.6N6 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 114.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.9N1 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.4N8 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.9N4 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.9N9 113.5E0. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 165 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9, 240900Z5 AND 241500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:13 2003 X-UIDL: 32819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JHXEC4HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:16:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NEGjV7062224 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 22:16:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFBB043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:05:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 306330 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:05:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NE5bc9028490 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:05:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NE5a9d014463 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:05:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NE5aGm014462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:05:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:05:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 09w (imbudo) Warning Nr 28// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307231405.h6NE5aGm014462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 28// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 250000Z7 JUL 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 165 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. B. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL NORTH OF THE LUICHOW PENINSULA BETWEEN TAU 12 AND 24. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AFWA, AND EGRR REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY DUE TO A LESS FAVORABLE UPPER AIR ENVIRONMENT BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL AND DISSIPATING WITHIN 36 HOURS. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:17 2003 X-UIDL: 32824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JT4GNYHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 23 Jul 2003 23:07:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NF71V7076557 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 23:07:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFD5043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:58:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 306776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:58:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NEwKc9007824 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:58:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NEwK9d016186 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:58:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NEwKvZ016185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:58:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 09:58:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307231458.h6NEwKvZ016185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 121E 13N 120E 10N 113E 17N 118E 20N 119E 20N 121E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 42N 142E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 43N 180E 29N 160E 29N 150E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 133E NE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 32N 152E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 27N 133E WSW SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 54N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 19.5N 114.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 133E TO 39N 135E 38N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 133E TO 35N 130E 34N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 125E TO 34N 122E 35N 116E. COLD FRONT FROM 26N 153E TO 32N 160E 38N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 42N 170E 45N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:26 2003 X-UIDL: 32844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00J5GR2MHB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 02:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NIpnV7040979 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 02:51:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFOT043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:46:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 309894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:46:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NIkVc9058134 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:46:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NIkV9d023814 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NIkVRS023813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:46:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 13:46:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307231846.h6NIkVRS023813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 231800 WARNING 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 20.0N 112.8E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 24.0N 107.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 28.0N 103.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:28 2003 X-UIDL: 32849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIH00JYZWC3HB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 04:45:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NKjTV7075375 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 04:45:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIINT051152; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:36:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 311537 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:33:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6NKXOc9031094 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:33:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6NKXN9d000506 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:33:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6NKXN2p000503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:33:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 15:33:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307232033.h6NKXN2p000503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 10N 107E 15N 115E 09N 115E 06N 107E 10N 107E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 141E 42N 141E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 161E 31N 147E 32N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 136E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 152E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 27N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 54N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 955 HPA AT 20.0N 112.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 136E TO 38N 138E 36N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 136E TO 36N 134E 34N 130E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 34N 126E 35N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 158E TO 34N 161E 39N 163E 43N 171E 45N 177W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NER7SO41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 08:53:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0r5V7031094 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 08:53:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MKMFbp043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 314350 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0nGc9031160 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O0nF9d005531 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O0nFs2005530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 09w (imbudo) Warning Nr 029 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240049.h6O0nFs2005530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 232100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 19.7N7 113.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 113.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 20.8N0 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 22.4N8 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.4N0 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.0N2 112.6E0. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 135 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. TY 09W CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS IT TRANSITS THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE NORTHEAST. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR ENTRAINING INTO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF TY 09W AS IT APPROACHES LAND. TY 09W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHERN LUICHOW PENINSULA IN 16 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9, 240900Z5, 241500Z2 AND 242100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 09:56:30 2003 X-UIDL: 32856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NEW7SQ41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 08:53:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0r8V7031104 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 08:53:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIITf051152; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 314347 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0nFc9027420 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O0nF9d005528 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O0nFGm005527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 19:49:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0307 Imbudo (0307) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240049.h6O0nFGm005527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 240000 WARNING 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 965 HPA AT 21.1N 112.0E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 65 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 25.4N 106.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 24 10:37:11 2003 X-UIDL: 32862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NCUCKC41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 10:36:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O2a5V7059932 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 10:36:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWhR043390; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 21:32:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 315675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 21:32:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O2WNc9055584 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 21:32:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O2WJ9d006712 for ; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 21:32:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O2WJIA006711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 23 Jul 2003 21:32:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2003 21:32:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240232.h6O2WJIA006711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 119E 09N 118E 09N 110E 17N 110E 17N 114E 20N 115E 20N 119E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 50N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 42N 180E 31N 162E 30N 140E 34N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 135E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 138E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 54N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 160E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 46N 179W EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 965 HPA AT 21.1N 112.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 138E TO 35N 141E 33N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 138E TO 33N 134E 34N 129E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 129E TO 35N 123E 35N 116E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 154E TO 36N 161E 44N 180E 44N 173W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:20 2003 X-UIDL: 32886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NA4L1241@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 13:39:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O5csV7017109 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 13:38:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWmh043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 317245 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O5Xrc9024052 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O5Xr9d008335 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O5Xqwh008333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 00:33:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240533.h6O5Xqwh008333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240152ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED NEAR 21.1N4 111.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, WAS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 138.9E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:27 2003 X-UIDL: 32890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NO0NXD41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 14:41:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O6fVV7035999 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 14:41:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWnD043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:36:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 317435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:36:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O6a0c9029754 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:36:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O6Zx9d008725 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:35:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O6Zxfj008724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:35:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:35:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 09w (imbudo) Warning Nr 30// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240635.h6O6Zxfj008724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 240300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 30// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 240000Z6 TO 251200Z0 JUL 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 150 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. RECENT ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TY 09W HAS A LARGE, BANDING EYE AND IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF THE CITY OF YANGJIANG, IN THE PROVINCE OF GUANGDONG IN CHINA. B. TY 09W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWEST AS IT MOVES INLAND AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF OKINAWA. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, COAMPS, AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 09W WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE INLAND AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL SYSTEM AT TAU 36. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: UPDATED VALID AND MANOP TIME. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/GRUBER/AYALA/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:27 2003 X-UIDL: 32891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NDHOLD41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 14:56:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O6ttV7039842 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 14:55:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIIb5051152; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:50:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 317504 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:50:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O6oFc9024880 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:50:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O6oF9d008814 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:50:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O6oEcf008813 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:50:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:50:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) Downgraded From Typhoon 975 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240650.h6O6oEcf008813@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 240600 WARNING 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975 HPA AT 22.5N 110.0E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTHWEST 19 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 25.1N 104.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:28 2003 X-UIDL: 32892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NJGP2M41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 15:06:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O769V7042589 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 15:06:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWnV043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:58:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 317550 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:58:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O6wWc9037968 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:58:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O6wV9d008864 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:58:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O6wVBI008863 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:58:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 01:58:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 09w (imbudo) Warning Nr 030 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240658.h6O6wVBI008863@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 21.1N4 111.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 111.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.9N3 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.4N0 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.7N4 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 21.5N8 111.4E7. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED 150 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. RECENT ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TY 09W HAS A LARGE, BANDING EYE AND IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF THE CITY OF YANGJIANG, IN THE PROVINCE OF GUANGDONG IN CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5, 241500Z2, 242100Z9 AND 250300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:31 2003 X-UIDL: 32898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NLHT1R41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 16:32:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O8W8V7070241 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 16:32:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWoD043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:27:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O8Roc9013630 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O8Ro9d009633 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O8RoSW009632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:27:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240827.h6O8RoSW009632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 13N 116E 20N 113E 20N 120E 14N 120E 13N 116E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 42N 180E 32N 162E 33N 141E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 139E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 27N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 135E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 53N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 975 HPA AT 22.5N 110.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 139E TO 36N 141E 34N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 139E TO 33N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 134E TO 34N 130E 37N 123E 36N 118E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 151E TO 30N 158E 34N 160E 39N 162E 44N 169E 45N 180E 45N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:31 2003 X-UIDL: 32901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HII00NLTUET41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:01:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O91YV7079297 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 17:01:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6MHIIbd051152; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:56:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:56:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O8uIc9040678 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6O8uI9d009863 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6O8uIBX009862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:56:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 03:56:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 09w (imbudo) Warning Nr 031 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307240856.h6O8uIBX009862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 240900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 09W (IMBUDO) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 22.0N4 110.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 110.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.3N8 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.2N8 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.3N7 109.7E7. TYPHOON (TY) 09W (IMBUDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. TY 09W MADE LANDFALL NEAR YANGJIANG, CHINA IN THE PROVINCE OF GUANGDONG AT APPROXIMATELY 240100Z7. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2, 242100Z9 AND 250300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:46 2003 X-UIDL: 32927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00NAD5MG41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 21:03:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OD3fV7069699 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 21:03:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWrl043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 07:49:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 319261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 07:49:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OCnoc9014036 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 07:49:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OCno9d012044 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 07:49:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OCnoWj012043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 07:49:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 07:49:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) Downgraded From Severe Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307241249.h6OCnoWj012043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 241200 WARNING 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 990 HPA AT 22.8N 108.5E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 25.0N 104.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:30:49 2003 X-UIDL: 32933-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00NWZA5V41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:41:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OEfmV7099403 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 22:41:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OAkJjP051152; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:30:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 320523 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OES3c9029828 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OES29d014957 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OES2L9014956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:28:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 09:28:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307241428.h6OES2L9014956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 110E 22N 111E 23N 115E 17N 115E 18N 110E 19N 110E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 45N 180E 31N 164E 32N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 138E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 139E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 25N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 53N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 990 HPA AT 22.8N 108.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 115E TO 37N 125E 33N 135E 35N 139E 35N 143E 33N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 152E TO 33N 162E 39N 164E 47N 172E 47N 180E 45N 166W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:31:01 2003 X-UIDL: 32949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00N03LVS41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 02:55:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OIsrV7075318 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 02:54:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6O0sWCB043390; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 13:49:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 324158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 13:49:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OInfc9040470 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 13:49:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OIne9d023531 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 13:49:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OInenW023530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 13:49:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 13:49:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0307 Imbudo (0307) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307241849.h6OInenW023530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 241800 WARNING 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 992 HPA AT 23.8N 107.7E SOUTH CHINA MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 25.5N 103.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:31:03 2003 X-UIDL: 32959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIJ00NTFQJV41@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 04:35:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OKZmV7009234 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 04:35:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OK0Scr043392; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 15:28:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 325685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 15:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OKS5c9035268 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 15:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6OKS49d026756 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 15:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6OKS4V4026755 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 15:28:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 15:28:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307242028.h6OKS4V4026755@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 110E 22N 114E 18N 115E 18N 110E 21N 110E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 43N 180E 31N 164E 30N 150E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 141E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 25N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 53N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 160E ENE SLOWLY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 992 HPA AT 23.8N 107.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 115E TO 35N 128E 32N 134E 35N 141E 33N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 156E TO 38N 164E 47N 173E 47N 180E 46N 161W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 11:31:12 2003 X-UIDL: 32983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00EF274AP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 10:33:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P2XdV7018129 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 10:33:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OAkJ5Z051152; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 21:29:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 329119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 21:29:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P2T9c9014608 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 21:29:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6P2T99d002129 for ; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 21:29:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6P2T90O002128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 24 Jul 2003 21:29:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2003 21:29:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307250229.h6P2T90O002128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 48N 154E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 30N 160E 30N 140E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 0307 IMBUDO (0307) 996 HPA AT 23N 106E NW 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 139E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 37N 142E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 24N 128E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 48N 154E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 46N 163E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 142E TO 35N 144E 33N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 142E TO 34N 140E 33N 138E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 138E TO 33N 133E 36N 128E 34N 124E 34N 119E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 156E TO 41N 166E 47N 175E 47N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jul 25 14:10:03 2003 X-UIDL: 32997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00ESOH1LP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 14:08:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P67wuU012310 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 14:08:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OAkJ87051152; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 331098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P61sc9025188 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6P61s9d004173 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6P61sGm004171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 01:01:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307250601.h6P61sGm004171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600ZJUL2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241352ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241200Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 09W (IMBUDO) WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N5 108.9E8, OVER LAND IN CHINA APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 241500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PIVIN/LAM/SPANSKI/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:04 2003 X-UIDL: 33013-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIK00ERMNRHP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 16:33:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P8X7uU075847 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 16:33:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6OK0SuB043392; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:27:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 331562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6P8ROc9055698 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6P8RO9d005353 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6P8RODW005352 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 03:27:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307250827.h6P8RODW005352@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 250600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 142E 47N 152E 55N 161E 60N 164E 60N 180E 43N 180E 30N 160E 30N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 142E NNE SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 08N 108E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 23N 126E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 51N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 46N 165E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 38N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 35N 144E 33N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 33N 140E 32N 135E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 135E TO 34N 129E 32N 123E 34N 119E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 153E TO 38N 157E 41N 160E 43N 170E 48N 180E 46N 170W 44N 162W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:26 2003 X-UIDL: 33043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL00E6R5EQP7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 25 Jul 2003 22:54:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PEsJuU005682 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 22:54:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PEdpmX033164; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:48:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 336552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:40:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PEe2c9044178 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:40:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PEe09d010296 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PEe0WC010295 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 09:40:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307251440.h6PEe0WC010295@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 251200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 142E 47N 153E 55N 161E 60N 164E 60N 180E 44N 180E 31N 160E 31N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 143E NNE SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 24N 127E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 52N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 48N 167E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 36N 144E 35N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 33N 140E 31N 135E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 135E TO 33N 130E 32N 125E 33N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 153E TO 39N 157E 42N 160E 44N 170E 46N 176W 44N 163W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:34 2003 X-UIDL: 33056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIL00EBIL64P7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:34:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PKYguU048003 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 04:34:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFMwmD032940; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:27:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341748 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PKQtc9027396 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6PKQt9d020464 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6PKQshZ020463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 15:26:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307252026.h6PKQshZ020463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 43N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 30N 160E 30N 151E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 143E NNE SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 52N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 47N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 36N 144E 34N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 33N 140E 31N 136E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 136E TO 31N 131E 33N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 152E TO 43N 161E 43N 175E 47N 173W 44N 159W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:36 2003 X-UIDL: 33064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM001WC23LX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 10:40:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q2eKuU058355 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 10:40:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFMwtl032940; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:27:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 345032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q2RZc9021106 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q2RY9d024964 for ; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q2RYct024963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2003 21:27:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260227.h6Q2RYct024963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 180E 37N 165E 35N 152E 38N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 45N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 142E NNE SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 50N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 46N 172E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 37N 177E EAST 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 37N 142E TO 36N 144E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 35N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 33N 140E 30N 137E 30N 132E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:41 2003 X-UIDL: 33072-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM00177AX8X7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 13:51:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q5oxuU008658 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 13:51:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAAp034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:46:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 347001 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q5jsc9035486 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q5js9d026440 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q5jsHc026438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 00:45:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260545.h6Q5jsHc026438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.0N7 170.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. QUIKSCAT INDICATES A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Jul 26 20:34:43 2003 X-UIDL: 33078-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM001QCIECX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 16:32:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q8WTuU059043 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 16:32:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q2Yqfl017326; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 03:27:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348017 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 03:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6Q8RHc9038884 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 03:27:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6Q8RH9d027667 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 03:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6Q8RHMW027666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 03:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 03:27:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307260827.h6Q8RHMW027666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 35N 160E 34N 148E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 29N 130E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 142E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 51N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 40N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 130E TO 29N 132E 28N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 130E TO 28N 128E 26N 124E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 37N 143E 37N 144E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 36N 146E 37N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 33N 144E 31N 140E 28N 137E 28N 134E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:01 2003 X-UIDL: 33091-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIM001KJZ0CX7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:31:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QEVDuU039108 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 22:31:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAGX034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 09:27:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 349672 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 09:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QERdc9056280 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 09:27:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QERd9d000731 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 09:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QERdR6000730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 09:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 09:27:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307261427.h6QERdR6000730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 160E 33N 148E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 30N 130E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 143E NE SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 21N 124E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 51N 152E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 39N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 130E TO 30N 133E 29N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 130E TO 27N 128E 24N 123E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 37N 144E 37N 145E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 145E TO 37N 147E 38N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 145E TO 33N 144E 30N 142E 29N 140E 29N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:11 2003 X-UIDL: 33109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN0011MFZ4X7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:37:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QKbeuU019779 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 04:37:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6PFLAN7034090; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:34:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 352273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:34:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QKYac9025098 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:34:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6QKYa9d004341 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:34:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6QKYai9004340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:34:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 15:34:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307262034.h6QKYai9004340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 41N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 32N 158E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 29N 130E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 144E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 51N 150E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 39N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 130E TO 29N 133E 29N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 130E TO 26N 127E 24N 123E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 38N 149E 40N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 33N 143E 30N 141E 29N 140E 29N 137E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:15 2003 X-UIDL: 33121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN00DD7UOB0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 09:55:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R1t8q5046953 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 09:55:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA1hpb017334; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 354791 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R1hvc9021972 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R1hr9d007256 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R1hrEI007254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 20:43:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270143.h6R1hrEI007254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 270130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/270130Z/270600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 170.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL, REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 13.5N9 115.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS ALONG WITH ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS PERSISTED OVER SIX HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AT 1008 MB. BASED ON INCREASED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(2) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:17 2003 X-UIDL: 33124-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIN00D83WD90C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 10:31:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R2Voq5055361 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 10:31:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA1hqR017334; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:27:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:27:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R2Rsc9051028 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R2Rs9d007673 for ; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:27:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R2RrWt007672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 21:27:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270227.h6R2RrWt007672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 58N 165E 59N 180E 39N 180E 36N 148E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 130E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 144E NNE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 52N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 38N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 28N 130E TO 29N 133E 28N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 130E TO 26N 128E 25N 126E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 144E TO 40N 148E 41N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 144E TO 34N 144E 32N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 143E TO 29N 140E 28N 135E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:18 2003 X-UIDL: 33128-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DLN47Q0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:21:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R5LJq5093031 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 13:21:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA1hsV017334; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 356833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R5EXc9027164 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R5EW9d008911 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R5EWW8008909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 00:14:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270514.h6R5EWW8008909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7 170.1E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.9N6 169.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 115.0E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 115.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 315 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF CONSOLIDATING CONVECTION AROUND A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AT 1006 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:21 2003 X-UIDL: 33133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00D7GD5C0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 16:34:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R8YHq5032854 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 16:34:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6QA1ht9017334; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:29:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6R8TZc9035802 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:29:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6R8TZ9d010446 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6R8TZex010445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 03:29:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307270829.h6R8TZex010445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 180E 35N 161E 35N 148E 38N 141E 42N 143E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 39N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 13N 114E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 146E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 51N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 146E TO 42N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 146E TO 32N 143E 29N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:09:30 2003 X-UIDL: 33154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIO00DJPTP50C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:31:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6REVlq5030976 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 22:31:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIe9019838; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 09:27:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 359823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 09:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RER6c9038828 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 09:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RER69d012992 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 09:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RER6Za012991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 09:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 09:27:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307271427.h6RER6Za012991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 180E 33N 163E 34N 153E 38N 142E 42N 143E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 40N 146E NNE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 125E TO 28N 130E 28N 136E 31N 143E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 146E TO 44N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 146E TO 31N 143E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 113E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 51N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 170E WEST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:15:27 2003 X-UIDL: 33170-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200DODM0X7G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 22:38:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FEcoE7006399 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 22:38:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFnVRl023968; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:32:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 182122 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:32:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FEWuc9039732 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FEWu9d025610 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:32:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FEWu9r025609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:32:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:32:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307151432.h6FEWu9r025609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 45N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 158E TO 48N 165E 45N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 158E TO 42N 157E 40N 154E 36N 151E 34N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 06.1N 149.3E SOUTHWEST OF TRUK MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 50N 156E 60N 165E 60N 180E 38N 180E 28N 149E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 10N 132E WEST 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 134E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 37N 124E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 54N 145E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 107E TO 32N 114E 29N 127E 31N 134E 32N 145E 34N 149E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 01:15:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33171-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HI200DH2MLP9D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 15 Jul 2003 22:51:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FEpIE7010517 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 22:51:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6EFnVSZ023968; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:44:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 182258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:44:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6FEi0c9023032 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:44:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6FEi09d026085 for ; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:44:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6FEhx3M026083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:43:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2003 09:43:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307151443.h6FEhx3M026083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIII, Probability=18%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/150151Z JUL 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 9.9N8 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9N8 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 10.3N4 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 10.8N9 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 11.7N9 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 12.7N0 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 14.9N4 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 10.0N1 132.1E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A 150911Z7 MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS A BANDING FEATURE WITH A WELL-ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 150151Z JUL 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 150200) NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9, 160300Z0, 160900Z6 AND 161500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:19 2003 X-UIDL: 33200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00D6VADX0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 04:32:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RKWDq5016311 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 04:32:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0Alh034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 15:28:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 362186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 15:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RKS8c9039510 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 15:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6RKS89d016510 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 15:28:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6RKS8Yj016509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 15:28:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 15:28:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307272028.h6RKS8Yj016509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 37N 180E 33N 160E 34N 151E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 42N 148E NNE 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 50N 169E EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 148E TO 45N 153E 47N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 148E TO 35N 147E 31N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 143E TO 28N 138E 28N 131E 25N 126E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 111E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 53N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 171E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 68N 174E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:30 2003 X-UIDL: 33223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00HWTPS2BX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 10:04:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S24gq5088333 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 10:04:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0Awx034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S1vpc9010636 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S1vo9d019821 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S1voic019819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 20:57:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280157.h6S1voic019819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 280200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/280200Z/280600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.9N6 169.0E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 166.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 65 NM SOUTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 115.4E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 112.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 140.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(3) AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1) AND 1.B.(2). 4. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 11:41:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIP00HB5QYIBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 10:30:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S2UBq5095920 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 10:30:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0A0P034090; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 21:27:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 365917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 21:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S2RYc9033214 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 21:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S2RX9d020250 for ; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 21:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S2RXNR020249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 27 Jul 2003 21:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 27 Jul 2003 21:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280227.h6S2RXNR020249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 35N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 148E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 121E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 179E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 148E TO 44N 150E 45N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 148E TO 38N 147E 31N 142E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 53N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 14:13:28 2003 X-UIDL: 33246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HA1190BX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 14:12:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S6CHq5062889 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 14:12:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIvf019838; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 367395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S67Kc9042668 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S67K9d021790 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S67KSW021788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 01:07:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280607.h6S67KSW021788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 166.9E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 166.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 112.5E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 112.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DECREASED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 140.4E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 140.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 235 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Jul 28 16:40:45 2003 X-UIDL: 33252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HR77QGBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:32:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S8WXq5003688 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 16:32:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0A6p034090; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 367809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6S8Rec9011252 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6S8Rd9d022821 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6S8Rdln022820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 03:27:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307280827.h6S8Rdln022820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 41N 142E 47N 152E 55N 161E 60N 165E 60N 180E 40N 180E 37N 160E 36N 147E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 06N 142E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 123E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 148E NNE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 148E TO 45N 151E 46N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 148E TO 40N 149E 34N 145E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:51:57 2003 X-UIDL: 33272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIQ00HBEOFIBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:33:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SEXAq5004359 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 22:33:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RB0AE1034090; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 09:27:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 369675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 09:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SEREc9043398 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 09:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SERB9d027755 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 09:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SERBJ2027754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 09:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 09:27:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307281427.h6SERBJ2027754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 41N 142E 47N 152E 54N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 37N 160E 35N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 06N 141E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 39N 124E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 46N 149E NNE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 38N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 149E TO 46N 152E 46N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 149E TO 40N 150E 35N 147E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Jul 29 08:52:25 2003 X-UIDL: 33295-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIR00HZ74YIBX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:30:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SKUCq5011632 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 04:30:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21rj044116; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 15:27:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 374448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 15:27:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SKR9c9048832 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 15:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6SKR99d009545 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 15:27:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6SKR9qV009544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 15:27:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 15:27:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307282027.h6SKR9qV009544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 39N 156E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 06N 140E WEST 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 37N 125E ESE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 46N 148E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 49N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 148E TO 47N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 150E TO 48N 153E 47N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 150E TO 42N 151E 35N 148E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:18 2003 X-UIDL: 33313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIR007F0LQ6RC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 10:32:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T2WIq5000807 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 10:32:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIPd019838; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 21:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 377793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 21:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T2RPc9024670 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 21:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6T2RO9d015513 for ; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 21:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6T2ROE1015512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 28 Jul 2003 21:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 28 Jul 2003 21:27:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307290227.h6T2ROE1015512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 177W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 180E 37N 165E 37N 154E 38N 141E 42N 143E 46N 152E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 37N 127E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 47N 147E NW 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 127E TO 38N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 127E TO 33N 123E 34N 114E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 147E TO 47N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 153E TO 45N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 153E TO 41N 154E 35N 148E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 135E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 56N 153E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 49N 174E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 59N 178E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:38 2003 X-UIDL: 33343-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS007HW2KHRC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 16:36:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T8aAq5005710 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 16:36:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF218R044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 03:28:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379472 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 03:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6T8S9c9047746 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 03:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6T8S99d018749 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 03:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6T8S91f018748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 03:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 03:28:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307290828.h6T8S91f018748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 174E 46N 174E 47N 180E 40N 180E 40N 174E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 153E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 131E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 147E NNE SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 131E TO 38N 134E 37N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 131E TO 34N 128E 32N 124E 32N 121E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 147E TO 48N 150E 48N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 154E TO 47N 161E 44N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 154E TO 45N 156E 40N 154E 35N 149E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 134E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 38N 120E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 56N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 54N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:09:56 2003 X-UIDL: 33381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS008R5J7ELC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:35:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TEZSq5012248 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 22:35:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6RCGIYF019838; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 09:28:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 09:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TESCc9032914 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 09:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6TESB9d024549 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 09:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6TESBba024548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 09:28:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 09:28:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307291428.h6TESBba024548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 35N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 38N 134E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 48N 148E NNE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 134E TO 38N 136E 38N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 134E TO 35N 132E 32N 128E 32N 124E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 147E TO 51N 153E 50N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 156E TO 48N 162E 47N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 156E TO 44N 158E 40N 157E 36N 152E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 38N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 56N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 167E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 49N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 08:10:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIS008LPZWULC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:36:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TKaLq5016087 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 04:36:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6SF21Tx044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 15:28:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 15:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TKS3c9057798 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 15:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6TKS39d006877 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 15:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6TKS3Ow006876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 15:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 15:28:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307292028.h6TKS3Ow006876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 30N 180E 33N 151E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 38N 136E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 49N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 161E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 136E TO 38N 139E 37N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 136E TO 35N 135E 33N 131E 31N 128E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 161E TO 48N 165E 47N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 161E TO 44N 160E 40N 156E 38N 153E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 132E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 35N 123E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 57N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 169E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 10:34:24 2003 X-UIDL: 33439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT00803GGRLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 10:34:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U2Xuq5005162 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 10:33:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxlx044116; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 21:31:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 391036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 21:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U2V6c9033186 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 21:31:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U2V69d014507 for ; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 21:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U2V6LE014506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 29 Jul 2003 21:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 29 Jul 2003 21:31:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300231.h6U2V6LE014506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 30N 155E 30N 148E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 10N 132E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 138E NNE 20 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 49N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 162E NORTH 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 138E TO 39N 141E 38N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 138E TO 36N 136E 31N 133E 30N 131E 30N 127E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 162E TO 50N 168E 48N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 162E TO 43N 163E 38N 153E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 36N 124E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 57N 148E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Jul 30 14:04:23 2003 X-UIDL: 33451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT008AMPZBLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 13:59:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U5xQq5065902 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 13:59:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxrL044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 392886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U5qJc9033058 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U5qJ9d016491 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U5qIm0016489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 00:52:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300552.h6U5qIm0016489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 163.9E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 161.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DISORGANIZED, CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A HARD TO LOCATE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND STRONG DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED BY A POINT SOURCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.9N5 132.9E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 131.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KORROR, PALAU ISLANDS. A RECENT 302110Z7 QUICKSCAT PASS REVEALS A WELL-DEFINED LLCC. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.5N3 150.0E6 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD REGION OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSES INDICATES A MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:34 2003 X-UIDL: 33466-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT008XAXSDLC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:48:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U8m5q5016484 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 16:48:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxsf044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:31:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 393460 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:31:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U8VIc9045162 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:31:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U8VH9d017873 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:31:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U8VH9u017872 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:31:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:31:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300831.h6U8VH9u017872@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 153E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09N 130E WEST 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 41N 142E NE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 163E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 142E TO 43N 145E 44N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 142E TO 36N 140E 34N 137E 30N 134E 29N 129E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 163E TO 52N 165E 52N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 167E TO 51N 173E 49N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 167E TO 47N 168E 42N 161E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1006 HPA AT 38N 128E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 57N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:39 2003 X-UIDL: 33467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIT008HYYD8LC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:00:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U90Wq5020757 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:00:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxsj044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 393498 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6U8qpc9029760 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6U8qp9d018037 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6U8qpjQ018035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 03:52:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307300852.h6U8qpjQ018035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 300830 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/300830Z/310600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 163.9E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 161.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DISORGANIZED, CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A HARD TO LOCATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND STRONG DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED BY A POINT SOURCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 8.5N3 150.0E6 OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD REGION OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSES INDICATES A MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 131.0E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 129.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KORROR, PALAU ISLANDS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CONVECTION BEGINNING TO WRAP AND CONSOLIDATE AROUND A WELL-DEFINED LLCC; NUMEROUS LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES ARE ALSO EVIDENT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:51 2003 X-UIDL: 33490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00J3CDUXLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:35:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UEZDq5012049 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 22:35:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxxl044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 09:29:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 395268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 09:29:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UETDc9045216 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 09:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UETD9d022773 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 09:29:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UETDgx022772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 09:29:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 09:29:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307301429.h6UETDgx022772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 50N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 38N 180E 32N 152E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 10N 128E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 43N 144E NE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 51N 163E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 144E TO 44N 148E 43N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 144E TO 37N 142E 33N 136E 30N 133E 29N 130E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 163E TO 52N 165E 52N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 168E TO 50N 173E 46N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 168E TO 46N 169E 42N 162E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 41N 132E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 56N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:14:56 2003 X-UIDL: 33507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIU00J7GUFBLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:33:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UKX4q5023475 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 04:33:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYqOL019838; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:27:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 400168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:27:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UKR4c9014630 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:27:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UKR39d005067 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:27:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UKR3iJ005066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:27:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 15:27:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307302027.h6UKR3iJ005066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 42N 180E 31N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12N 127E NW SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 145E NE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 52N 165E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 145E TO 45N 148E 44N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 145E TO 40N 144E 36N 141E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 141E TO 34N 138E 29N 127E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 165E TO 52N 168E 52N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 169E TO 50N 175E 49N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 169E TO 44N 172E 43N 164E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 41N 132E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 57N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:02 2003 X-UIDL: 33520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00JQF09OLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 06:39:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UMdHq5054529 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 06:39:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxMT044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 401865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6UMVKc9018684 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6UMVK9d008332 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6UMVKmw008330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 17:31:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307302231.h6UMVKmw008330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 302230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/302230Z/310600ZJUL2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 161.6E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 158.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM NORTH OF PONAPE ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 150.0E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 148.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 129.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 126.1E0, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR AND UPDATED OTHER AREAS. 4. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY/NUTONGLA// XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:07 2003 X-UIDL: 33530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00JYNB3TLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 10:33:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V2XMq5022843 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 10:33:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxSh044116; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:30:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 403821 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:30:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V2Uac9030988 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:30:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V2UZ9d011126 for ; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V2UZjQ011125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 30 Jul 2003 21:30:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310230.h6V2UZjQ011125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 310000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 179E 37N 167E 36N 150E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 47N 152E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 179E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 12N 131E NW SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 145E NORTH 20 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 49N 166E SOUTH 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 145E TO 47N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 149E TO 42N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 149E TO 37N 143E 34N 140E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 157E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 40N 133E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 57N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 163E WEST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:11 2003 X-UIDL: 33541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00JI8L2QLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 14:08:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V68hq5090233 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 14:08:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TGYqbj019838; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 405356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V63cc9035388 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V63c9d013117 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V63cLi013115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:03:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310603.h6V63cLi013115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZJUL2003/010600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 158.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHWEST OF ENIWETOK ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY A EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 148.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 144.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE LLCC EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 126.1E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF A POTENTIAL LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 15:15:13 2003 X-UIDL: 33546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV00J99MQXLR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 14:44:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6ioq5001810 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 14:44:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6TMxxaV044116; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 405555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6YBc9015448 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V6YA9d013330 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V6YAeF013328 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 01:34:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310634.h6V6YAeF013328@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZJUL2003/010600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 158.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 159.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHWEST OF ENIWETOK ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY A EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ENHANCED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 148.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 144.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE LLCC EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 126.1E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF A POTENTIAL LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: GRAMMAR ERROR IN PARA 1.B.(1). 4. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Jul 31 16:34:28 2003 X-UIDL: 33558-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIV003RXRS6TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 16:33:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V8XYq5035386 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 16:33:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOcl044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 03:27:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 405800 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 03:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V8Rnc9009712 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 03:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6V8Rn9d014281 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 03:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6V8RnF1014280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 03:27:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 03:27:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307310827.h6V8RnF1014280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 310600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 158E 60N 165E 60N 180E 35N 180E 32N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12N 131E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 145E NORTH 20 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 48N 167E ESE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 145E TO 49N 148E 48N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 150E TO 46N 153E 44N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 150E TO 44N 149E 40N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 146E TO 37N 144E 34N 140E 31N 135E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 40N 135E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 57N 155E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 162E WEST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:45:56 2003 X-UIDL: 33584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003AN8X3TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:43:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VEhjq5036783 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:43:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOhj044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:36:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 406850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:05:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VE5ac9011138 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:05:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VE5C9d018542 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:05:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VE5CAJ018541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:05:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:05:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307311405.h6VE5CAJ018541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PGTW 311400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 311351ZJUL03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.0N6 127.5E5 TO 19.2N2 123.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 311130Z9 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 127.2E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 011400Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:03 2003 X-UIDL: 33588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003HF9JKTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:57:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VEvAq5040340 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 22:57:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7Kmmv019838; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 407746 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VEpIc9038874 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VEpH9d020133 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VEpHwj020131 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307311451.h6VEpHwj020131@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 311430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/311430ZJUL2003/010600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZJUL03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 159.6E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 157.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM NORTHWEST OF ENIWETOK ISLAND. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE POSITION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 148.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 144.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POSSIBLE LLCC EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND A LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 311400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(3) TO GOOD AND DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR. 4. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:07 2003 X-UIDL: 33592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW003VPA9BTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:12:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VFCWq5044628 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 23:12:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOjp044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 407749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VEpac9009674 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VEpZ9d020147 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VEpZP7020146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 09:51:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307311451.h6VEpZP7020146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 311200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 165E 60N 180E 35N 180E 31N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13N 129E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 50N 145E NORTH 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 47N 172E ESE 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 145E TO 50N 148E 50N 152E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 152E TO 47N 156E 44N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 152E TO 44N 150E 41N 148E 37N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 146E TO 35N 143E 34N 139E 31N 137E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 153E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 40N 136E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:16 2003 X-UIDL: 33617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW0036MPBXTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:38:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VKcAq5039525 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 04:38:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fO7Z044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:29:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 412743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:29:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6VKToc9028198 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:29:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6VKTo9d002094 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6VKToeh002093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 15:29:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307312029.h6VKToeh002093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 311800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 38N 141E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 37N 155E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 14N 131E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 50N 141E NNW 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 46N 172E SE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 177W NNE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 141E TO 51N 146E 49N 152E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 152E TO 47N 156E 43N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 152E TO 46N 152E 43N 151E 40N 150E 38N 147E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 147E TO 36N 143E 34N 139E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 153E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 40N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 09:46:18 2003 X-UIDL: 33625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIW00370Z56TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:10:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h710AAq5087607 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:10:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7KmB9019838; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 416043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7106Sc9021016 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7106R9d006545 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7106R5Q006543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 19:06:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010006.h7106R5Q006543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 312330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/312330ZJUL2003/010600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZJUL03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 157.9E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 158.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM EAST OF SAIPAN. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE POSITION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 144.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 151.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST -SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND A LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 311400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 151.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 60 NM OF NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY, ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC) TO THE EAST OF THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR, ADDED PARA 1.B.(4) AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). 4. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 10:04:54 2003 X-UIDL: 33633-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX003V442XTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:56:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h711unq5014116 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:56:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOPr044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 417252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h711r8c9020042 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h711r89d007927 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h711r8Dr007924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 20:53:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010153.h711r8Dr007924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 010130 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/010130Z/010600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZJUL03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 157.9E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 158.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM EAST OF SAIPAN. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE POSITION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 144.7E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 140.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST -SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 128.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE AROUND A LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 311400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 151.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 60 NM OF NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY, ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLCC) TO THE EAST OF THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR, ADDED PARA 1.B.(4) AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: THIS CORRECTS POSITION OF SYSTEM IN PARA 1.B.(2). 5. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 10:44:54 2003 X-UIDL: 33637-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX003YR610TO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:39:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h712crq5025856 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 10:38:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOQt044118; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:34:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 417539 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:34:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h712Ysc9047842 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h712Ys9d008377 for ; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:34:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h712Ysfm008376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:34:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2003 21:34:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010234.h712Ysfm008376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 176E 41N 180E 37N 180E 37N 176E 42N 176E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 39N 158E 35N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 17N 130E NW SLOWLY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 08N 148E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 51N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 154E NE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 175E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 41N 145E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 154E TO 46N 160E 42N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 154E TO 43N 152E 37N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 146E TO 35N 143E 34N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 14:22:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX00316G1RTO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 14:15:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h716FKq5083468 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 14:15:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V7KmMZ019838; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 419204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h716Apc9026814 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h716Ap9d010592 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h716AoQv010590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 01:10:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010610.h716AoQv010590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZJUL2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 158.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.0N0 156.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE POSITION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 140.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 139.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF A BROAD AREA OF CYCLING CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 127.2E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 125.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 311400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 151.5E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 148.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM OF WEST-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEAL A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 01 16:33:34 2003 X-UIDL: 33668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIX00CHHMCC8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:31:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h718VGq5023168 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:31:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h6V6fOaT044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 03:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 419691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 03:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h718Rec9026814 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 03:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h718Re9d011902 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 03:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h718ReJP011901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 03:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 03:27:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308010827.h718ReJP011901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 180E 38N 168E 40N 161E 34N 144E 34N 141E 35N 140E 38N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 17N 128E WEST SLOWLY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 08N 148E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 143E SE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 157E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 180E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 161E WEST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 157E TO 40N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 157E TO 41N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 150E TO 39N 145E 34N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:05 2003 X-UIDL: 33692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CRK1D18T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 21:55:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Dtgq5014832 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 21:55:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Bakdt044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:46:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 421141 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:46:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Dk7c9039582 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:46:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71Dk69d015651 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:46:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71Dk6G1015650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:46:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 08:46:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011346.h71Dk6G1015650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311351ZJUL2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- NEAR 16.6N3 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 17.5N3 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 18.3N2 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 19.2N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 20.0N2 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.9N1 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 125.4E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MICROWAVE AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING ON THE SOUTHWESTERN SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 311351ZJUL2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 311400 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4, 020300Z5, 020900Z1 AND 021500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:07 2003 X-UIDL: 33695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00C8G2M28T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:22:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71EMcq5021840 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:22:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakeD044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:15:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 421232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:15:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71EFuc9033092 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:15:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71EFu9d016661 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:15:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71EFusJ016660 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:15:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:15:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 10w Warning Nr/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011415.h71EFusJ016660@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 011500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR/ 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 011200Z4 TO 041200Z7 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MICROWAVE AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING ON THE SOUTHWESTERN SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TD 10W IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW-LEVEL RIDGE CAUSED BY THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER JAPAN. THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD ALLOWING THE RIDGE TO BUILD WESTWARD AND SHIFT THE TRACK MORE WESTERLY. TD 10W SHOULD TRACK INTO THE TAIWAN STRAIT ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), AND EGRR ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER LEVELS INDICATES A WEAK POINT SOURCE TO THE NORTHEAST PROVIDING MODERATE OUTFLOW. TD 10W SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DUE TO MARGINAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR TD 10W SHOULD INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE- SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:07 2003 X-UIDL: 33697-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00C1A3GL8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:41:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Ef2q5027022 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:41:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Bakeh044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:35:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 421376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:35:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71EZ6c9033208 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:35:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71EZ69d017268 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:35:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71EZ6qb017267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:35:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:35:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011435.h71EZ6qb017267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 44N 146E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 32N 180E 38N 162E 35N 150E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 17N 128E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 50N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09N 146E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 158E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 43N 153E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 158E TO 40N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 158E TO 43N 159E 41N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 151E TO 40N 148E 36N 142E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:07 2003 X-UIDL: 33698-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CEO3P18T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:46:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Ek6q5028244 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 22:46:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Bakej044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 421396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Ed1c9023718 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71Ed19d017399 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71Ed1Dk017396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 09:39:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308011439.h71Ed1Dk017396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 011430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/011430Z/020600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 011200Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N3 125.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 011500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 158.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.0N0 156.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DECREASED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE POSITION OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 139.4E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 137.34E, APPROXIMATELY 65 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEAK LLCC HAS BEEN SIPHONED OFF TO THE LLCC EAST OF THIS SUSPECT AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE BUT SEEMS TO BE ENHANCING THE OTHER SUSPECT AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 125.5E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 148.4E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 145.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM OF EAST OF YAP. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND AN EARLIER MICROWAVE PASS REVEAL THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITH MUCH OF THE ENERGY BEING ABSORBED FROM THE WEAKER LLCC LOCATED TO THE WEST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(3) TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO POOR. 4. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:27 2003 X-UIDL: 33726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CZZJS98T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:33:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71KXcq5032428 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 04:33:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Bakuf044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 15:27:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 425761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 15:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71KR9c9033218 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 15:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71KR89d028640 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 15:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71KR8VH028639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 15:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 15:27:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308012027.h71KR8VH028639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 17.8N 127.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 35N 180E 39N 157E 35N 150E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09N 145E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 51N 145E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 49N 160E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 163E WEST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 160E TO 48N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 162E TO 41N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 162E TO 41N 159E 40N 152E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 152E TO 36N 143E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:27 2003 X-UIDL: 33727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CRLLX98T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 05:19:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71LJgq5043975 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 05:19:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Bakwd044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:02:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 426240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:02:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71L27c9026514 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:02:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71L279d029612 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:02:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71L27Xo029611 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:02:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 16:02:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 10w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308012102.h71L27Xo029611@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 16.9N6 125.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 125.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 17.7N5 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 18.6N5 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 19.9N9 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 21.2N5 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 22.9N3 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 125.8E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 10 FEET. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5, 020900Z1, 021500Z8 AND 022100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 08:57:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIY00CB9RD08T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 07:17:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71NHHq5068390 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 07:17:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71Bak59044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 18:11:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 427978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 18:11:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71NBDc9009688 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 18:11:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h71NBD9d002148 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 18:11:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h71NBD5h002147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 18:11:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 18:11:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308012311.h71NBD5h002147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PGTW 012300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 012221ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 155 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.5N3 145.4E4 TO 11.1N3 139.3E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 012030Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 144.6E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 145.0E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 144.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM EAST OF YAP. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW POTENTIAL ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 022221Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 14:35:23 2003 X-UIDL: 33752-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ00CQF0BN8T@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 10:30:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h722Uqq5016478 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 10:30:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakG5044118; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 21:28:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 430531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 21:28:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h722S8c9045986 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 21:28:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h722S79d004720 for ; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 21:28:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h722S7Hl004719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 01 Aug 2003 21:28:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2003 21:28:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020228.h722S7Hl004719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 18.5N 125.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 20.5N 123.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 36N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 10N 144E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 51N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 50N 158E NE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 43N 179W NE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 16:08:03 2003 X-UIDL: 33760-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005WGCM0SJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 14:56:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h726uI38063180 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 14:56:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakNN044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 432236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h726r5c9056486 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h726r59d007197 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h726r5CM007195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:53:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020653.h726r5CM007195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020300Z5, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 125.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 020300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 19.0N0 156.6E8, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 137.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 136.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 95 NM WEST OF YAP. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP, DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OCCURING NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE BUT MARGINAL VERTICAL SHEAR CONDITIONS FROM UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.6N4 145.0E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 143.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST OF YAP. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS DEPICTS THAT THE LLCC REMAINS BROAD AND ELONGATED; HOWEVER, THE UW-CIMMS RELATIVE VORTICITY PRODUCT SHOWS THAT THE LOW LEVEL VORTICITY IS INCREASING AND CONSOLIDATING. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND LINEAR NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 16:08:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005WOCM4SJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 14:56:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h726uL38063195 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 14:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakNH044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:52:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 432225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:52:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h726pxc9056474 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:51:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h726px9d007166 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:51:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h726px1W007165 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:51:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 01:51:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0309 Morakot (0309) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020651.h726px1W007165@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 020600 WARNING 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA AT 18.9N 125.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 20.7N 122.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 22.0N 120.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 23.0N 118.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 18:13:33 2003 X-UIDL: 33769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005PHH6SSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 16:35:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h728ZA38086403 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 16:35:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71K8m43019838; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 03:28:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 432551 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 03:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h728Skc9039534 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 03:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h728Sk9d008125 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 03:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h728SkPf008124 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 03:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 03:28:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308020828.h728SkPf008124@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 35N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 10N 142E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 52N 144E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 49N 158E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 180E NNW 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 36N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 996 HPA AT 18.9N 125.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 02 18:41:24 2003 X-UIDL: 33777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005MLM1HSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 18:20:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72AJw38013356 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 18:20:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakTn044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 05:15:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 433203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 05:15:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72AFOc9045854 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 05:15:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72AFO9d009083 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 05:15:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72AFOfE009082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 05:15:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 05:15:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 10w (morakot) Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308021015.h72AFOfE009082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- NEAR 18.7N6 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 19.9N9 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 21.1N4 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 22.2N6 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 23.1N6 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 24.8N4 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 26.1N9 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 27.6N5 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 124.6E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT ALLOWING TS 10W TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8, 022100Z5, 030300Z6 AND 030900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ005ZTTI6SJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:01:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72D1738044605 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:01:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71K8m79019838; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 07:50:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 433812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 07:49:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72CnZc9046398 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 07:49:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72CnZ9d010407 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 07:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72CnZl9010406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 07:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 07:49:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0309 Morakot (0309) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308021249.h72CnZl9010406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 021200 WARNING 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 994 HPA AT 19.5N 124.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 20.7N 121.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 21.5N 120.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 22.0N 118.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:19 2003 X-UIDL: 33782-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HIZ0051BXOSSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:31:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72EVX38065254 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:31:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h71BakXB044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 09:27:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 434265 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 09:27:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72ERMc9028266 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 09:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72ERM9d011228 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 09:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72ERM1i011227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 09:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 09:27:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308021427.h72ERM1i011227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13N 133E WEST 10 KT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 11N 142E WEST 10 KT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 25N 154E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 144E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 48N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 162E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 994 HPA AT 19.5N 124.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:22 2003 X-UIDL: 33788-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005PM9SBSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:52:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72Iqq38023237 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:52:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gep017612; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:49:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 436010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72InOc9049966 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:49:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72InO9d013780 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:49:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72InOkI013779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:49:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 13:49:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0309 Morakot (0309) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308021849.h72InOkI013779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 021800 WARNING 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 990 HPA AT 20.1N 122.9E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 21.6N 120.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 23.0N 118.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 24.0N 116.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:24 2003 X-UIDL: 33791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005N6EF8SJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:33:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72KWw38052713 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:33:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTeb044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:29:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 436912 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:29:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72KTOc9019932 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:29:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72KTN9d014967 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72KTN7u014966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:29:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308022029.h72KTN7u014966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 11N 109E 11N 117E 06N 116E 06N 107E 11N 109E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 143E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 37N 157E 37N 146E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13N 133E WEST 10 KT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12N 142E WNW 10 KT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 26N 154E NW 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 53N 145E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 43N 152E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 49N 160E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 45N 180E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 160E WEST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 990 HPA AT 20.1N 122.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:24 2003 X-UIDL: 33792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005LDFE8SJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:54:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72Ks138056783 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:54:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5ggf017612; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:50:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 437045 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:50:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72Kooc9024688 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:50:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72Koo9d015183 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72KooWA015182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 15:50:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 10w (morakot) Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308022050.h72KooWA015182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 20.3N5 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 123.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 21.6N9 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 22.8N2 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 23.8N3 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.9N5 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 26.4N2 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.6N8 122.7E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS.THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY.THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. TS 10W IS MAINTAINING DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6, 030900Z2, 031500Z9 AND 032100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:26 2003 X-UIDL: 33796-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005ZIKCNSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 06:41:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72Mf4o7008254 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 06:41:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTiP044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:33:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 437963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:33:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72MXoc9019410 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:33:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h72MXo9d016640 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:33:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h72MXoRj016639 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:33:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 17:33:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref A Is A Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtpn21 Pgtw Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308022233.h72MXoRj016639@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN21 PGTW 022200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 022151ZAUG03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/012221ZAUG03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 012230)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 155 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.7N9 140.8E3 TO 15.1N7 135.5E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 022230Z9 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 139.8E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTH WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 032200Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:27 2003 X-UIDL: 33799-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005YMQKHSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:55:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h730tLo7037509 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:55:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5glp017612; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 19:50:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 439012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 19:50:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h730o8c9009564 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 19:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h730o79d018085 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 19:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h730o747018084 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 19:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 19:50:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0309 Morakot (0309) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030050.h730o747018084@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 030000 WARNING 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 990 HPA AT 20.4N 121.9E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 22.1N 118.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 23.5N 115.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:29 2003 X-UIDL: 33802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005COV4XSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:34:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h732Y2o7059810 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:34:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTod044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:30:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 439669 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:30:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h732URc9013020 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:30:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h732UR9d019050 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h732UR2e019049 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:30:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 21:30:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030230.h732UR2e019049@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 10N 139E 06N 138E 07N 128E 11N 128E 11N 134E 10N 139E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 09N 113E 05N 112E 03N 105E 07N 103E 09N 113E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.3N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 35N 151E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 25N 154E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 44N 155E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 179E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 14N 108E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 169E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 990 HPA AT 20.4N 121.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 123E TO 43N 139E 42N 145E 44N 155E 41N 165E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:30 2003 X-UIDL: 33805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005TOYTASJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:53:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733rRo7079011 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:53:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTq1044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:50:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733o7c9009506 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:50:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h733o79d019665 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h733o7Aw019664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:50:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030350.h733o7Aw019664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 030300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 12.4N7 139.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 139.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 13.9N3 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 14.9N4 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.7N3 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 16.8N5 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 20.2N4 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.8N1 139.6E9. TROPICAL STORM (TD) 11W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 11W HAS SHOWN IMPROVED ORGANIZATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 022151Z AUG 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN24 PGTW 022200) NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2, 031500Z9, 032100Z6 AND 040300Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (MORAKOT) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33806-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005U1YTSSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:53:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733rjo7079065 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:53:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F1ROh033892; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440121 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733q8c9031172 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h733q79d019691 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h733q7FO019688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030352.h733q7FO019688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005VSYW1SJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:55:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733t6o7079341 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:55:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gnl017612; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733r8c9031178 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h733r79d019708 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h733r7kQ019707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (morakot) 10w Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030353.h733r7kQ019707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (MORAKOT) 10W WARNING NR/07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 030000Z5 TO 060000Z6 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 10W CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION INCREASING ON THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS. B. TS 10W CONTINUES ON NORTHWESTWARD TRACK EQUATORWARD OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER SHANGHAI, CHINA. TS 10W IS FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS STEERING RIDGE UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR XIAMEN, CHINA IN APPROXIMATELY 36 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, JTYM, JGSM, COAMPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. JTYM AND JGSM TRACK TS 10W FURTHER SOUTH OF TAIWAN AND ARE EQUATORWARD OF THE TRACK CONSENSUS. COAMPS IS FAST RELATIVE TO THE OTHER MODELS. NCEP GFS HAS PERFORMED WELL OVER THE PAST 24 HRS AND SUPPORTS THE CURRENT FORECAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER LEVELS INDICATES CONTINUED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. TS 10W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH ADEQUATE VENTILATION. TS 10W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO INTERACTION WITH ISLANDS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/DAMRON/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005WAYWESJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:55:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733tJo7079403 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:55:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTq3044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733q8c9029824 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h733q79d019692 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h733q7qJ019690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:52:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Max Sustained Winds Based On One-minute Average Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030352.h733q7qJ019690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 20.8N0 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.0N4 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 23.3N8 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 24.5N1 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 25.6N3 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 26.7N5 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 21.1N4 121.6E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 10W CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION INCREASING ON THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2, 031500Z9, 032100Z6 AND 040300Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:32 2003 X-UIDL: 33809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ0005WIYWKSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:55:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733tRo7079420 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:55:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTq5044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733r8c9040526 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h733r79d019705 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h733r7O1019703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:53:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 11w Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030353.h733r7O1019703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR/07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 030000Z5 TO 061200Z9 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TD) 11W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 11W HAS SHOWN IMPROVED ORGANIZATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TD 11W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING WEST FROM OVER THE MARIANA ISLANDS. TD 11W IS FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THIS STEERING RIDGE AND TOWARD A WEAKNESS SOUTH OF THE RYUKUS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, AND COAMPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS. NCEP GFS IS THE MOST AGRESSIVE, INTENSIFYING TD 11W AND SHOWING A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS AND FAVORS GFS. C. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER LEVELS INDICATES TD 11W WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TD 11W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH ADEQUATE VENTILATION AND IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/DAMRON/PIVIN/LAM/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:32 2003 X-UIDL: 33810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ00053GZ3FSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:59:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733xXo7080084 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 11:59:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTq7044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:56:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h733uBc9031194 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h733uB9d019731 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h733uB1v019730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 22:56:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ref/a/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/022151z Aug 03// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030356.h733uB1v019730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXI, Probability=21%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, SUBJECT_MONTH, SUBJECT_MONTH_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN32 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/022151Z AUG 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:33 2003 X-UIDL: 33812-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ1005EN15MSJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:44:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h734i1o7088358 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 12:44:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTqx044118; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 23:40:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 23:40:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h734eCc9047776 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 23:40:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h734eC9d020041 for ; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 23:40:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h734eCHl020040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 02 Aug 2003 23:40:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 02 Aug 2003 23:40:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 10w (morakot) Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030440.h734eCHl020040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 20.8N0 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.0N4 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 23.3N8 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 24.5N1 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 25.6N3 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 26.7N5 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 21.1N4 121.6E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 10W CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION INCREASING ON THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2, 031500Z9, 032100Z6 AND 040300Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:34 2003 X-UIDL: 33814-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AGM71KRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:51:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h736pAo7014028 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:51:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTtl044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 01:47:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 441015 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 01:47:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h736lIc9011066 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 01:47:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h736lI9d020854 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 01:47:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h736lI9B020853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 01:47:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 01:47:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0309 Morakot (0309) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030647.h736lI9B020853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 030600 WARNING 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 990 HPA AT 21.4N 121.4E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 23.1N 118.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 24.5N 114.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:34 2003 X-UIDL: 33815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AD680URU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:12:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h737CNo7017788 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:12:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTu1044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:09:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 441127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:09:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7378xc9011150 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:09:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7378w9d021005 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:08:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7378wVb021004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:08:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 02:08:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0310 Etau (0310) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030708.h7378wVb021004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 030600 WARNING 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 14.1N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 16.0N 136.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 19.0N 135.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 22.5N 134.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:35 2003 X-UIDL: 33817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AFIBRLRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:33:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h738X0o7031727 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:33:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTur044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 03:28:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 441355 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 03:28:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h738Ruc9039658 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 03:27:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h738Ru9d021652 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 03:27:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h738Rukp021651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 03:27:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 03:27:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030827.h738Rukp021651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 03N 105E 07N 105E 07N 110E 03N 110E 03N 105E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 27N 152E NW 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 134E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 157E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 180E NE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 14N 107E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 34N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 990 HPA AT 21.4N 121.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 1000 HPA AT 14.1N 139.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 121E TO 38N 127E 39N 133E 43N 142E 44N 157E 42N 164E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:35 2003 X-UIDL: 33818-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AUOEVTRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:40:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h739eXo7044992 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:40:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gpt017612; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:35:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 441661 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:35:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h739ZNc9025058 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h739ZN9d022194 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:35:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h739ZN5r022193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:35:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:35:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030935.h739ZN5r022193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 21.3N6 121.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N6 121.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 22.4N8 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 23.5N0 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.7N3 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 26.1N9 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 28.8N8 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 21.6N9 120.7E0. TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 225 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS.THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TY 10W HAS RECENTLY FORMED A LARGE, RAGGED EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9, 032100Z6, 040300Z7 AND 040900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:36 2003 X-UIDL: 33819-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AW9EXERU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:41:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h739fVo7045221 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 17:41:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTvf044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:36:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 441666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:36:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h739aOc9021884 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:36:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h739aO9d022203 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:36:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h739aOmZ022202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:36:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 04:36:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308030936.h739aOmZ022202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 030900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 13.2N6 139.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 139.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 14.5N0 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.5N1 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 16.5N2 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 17.6N4 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.1N5 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 27.6N5 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.8N2 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.5N9 138.8E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. TS 11W CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9, 032100Z6, 040300Z7 AND 040900Z3. REFER TO TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:41 2003 X-UIDL: 33830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AWFNP6RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 20:51:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Cowo7080117 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 20:51:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT07044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 07:48:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 442675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 07:48:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73CmFc9043384 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 07:48:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73CmF9d023437 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 07:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73CmFfg023436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 07:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 07:48:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0309 Morakot (0309) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031248.h73CmFfg023436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 031200 WARNING 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 990 HPA AT 21.6N 120.9E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 24.1N 117.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 25.5N 114.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:41 2003 X-UIDL: 33831-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100APVOLYRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:10:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73DAdo7083402 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:10:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT0j044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:06:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 442888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:06:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73D6cc9013974 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:06:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73D6c9d023624 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:06:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73D6cen023623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:06:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 08:06:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0310 Etau (0310) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031306.h73D6cen023623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 031200 WARNING 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 996 HPA AT 14.1N 138.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 16.5N 136.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 20.0N 134.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 23.5N 133.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 03 22:36:42 2003 X-UIDL: 33834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100ARNSEJRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:32:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73EWOo7098396 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:32:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT29044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:27:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 443446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73ERpc9031220 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73ERo9d024118 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73ERo5v024117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:27:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031427.h73ERo5v024117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 34N 180E 36N 160E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 27N 152E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 136E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 162E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 03N 167E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 996 HPA AT 14.1N 138.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 990 HPA AT 21.6N 120.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 129E TO 39N 134E 43N 144E 42N 155E 44N 162E 42N 167E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:38:46 2003 X-UIDL: 33836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AF7SWDRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:43:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73EhHo7001045 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:43:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT2D044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:39:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 443474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:39:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Ed5c9040540 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:39:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73Ed59d024198 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:39:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73Ed5EW024197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:39:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 09:39:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031439.h73Ed5EW024197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 031500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 14.0N5 138.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 138.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.6N2 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 16.9N6 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.1N0 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.4N4 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 24.3N9 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 29.4N5 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 33.2N8 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.4N9 138.4E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM WEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 11W CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT ENJOYS GOOD EQUATORWARD FLOW. A RECENT 031027Z3 SSMI PASS SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT WITH A .6 SPIRAL WRAP. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6, 040300Z7, 040900Z3 AND 041500Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNINGS(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:38:57 2003 X-UIDL: 33838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AM1TZARU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 23:06:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73F6do7005776 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 23:06:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT2Z044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:01:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 443589 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:01:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73F1gc9021876 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:01:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73F1g9d024372 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73F1gQU024371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:01:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:01:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 10w (morakot) Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031501.h73F1gQU024371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 031500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 21.9N2 121.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 121.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 22.9N3 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 24.0N6 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 25.0N7 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 26.2N0 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 29.5N6 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION NEAR 22.2N6 120.7E0. TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. A RECENT 030952Z9 SSMI PASS DEPICTS A SYMMETRICAL 45 NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS NOW MAKING LANDFALL ON THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6, 040300Z7, 040900Z3 AND 041500Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:38:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33839-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AC2VE9RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 23:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73FbEo7012904 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 23:37:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT2t044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:34:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 443721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:34:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73FYUc9013936 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:34:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73FYT9d024707 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:34:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73FYTZ7024706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:34:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:34:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031534.h73FYTZ7024706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 031500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 031200Z6 TO 081200Z1 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM WEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. TS 11W CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT ENJOYS GOOD EQUATORWARD FLOW. A RECENT 031027Z3 SSMI PASS SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT WITH A .6 SPIRAL WRAP. B. TS 11W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARDS AROUND THE SOUTH- WEST QUADRANT OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH- EAST. TS 11W WILL TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AS THE RIDGE BUILDS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR AND JTYM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. EGGR IS A SIGNIFICANT OUTLIER TO THIS SCENARIO. IT NEVER INTENSIFIES TS 11W ENOUGH TO ALLOW IT TO BECOME INFLUENCED BY THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND FORECASTS 11W TO TRACK WESTWARD. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGRR. C. TS 11W WILL INITIALLY CONTINUE TO ENJOY GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND IS FORECAST TO TRANSIT A REGION OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS SCENARIO SUPPORTS TS 11W INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OF ONE DVORAK PER DAY. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL SEE TS 11W LINKING UP WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TRANSITING THROUGH JAPAN AND ALLOW TS 11W TO RECURVE AND ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARDS AND BEGIN UNDERGOING EXTRA- TROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT ENTERS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:38:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ100AJWVKIRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 03 Aug 2003 23:41:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Fexo7013739 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 23:41:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT2r044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:31:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 443718 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:31:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73FVOc9043442 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:31:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73FVO9d024684 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:31:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73FVOmp024683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:31:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 10:31:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 10w (morakot) Warning Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031531.h73FVOmp024683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 031500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR/09// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 031200Z6 TO 051200Z8 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. A RECENT 030952Z9 SSMI PASS DEPICTS A SYMMETRICAL 45 NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS NOW MAKING LANDFALL ON THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN. B. TY 10W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. TY 10W WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS IN THE VICINITY OF XIAMEN, CHINA. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, JTYM, AND COAMPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. COAMPS DEPICTS A MORE POLEWARD TRACK THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 10W REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR BUT SHOULD HOLD STEADY AT IT'S CURRENT INTENSITY AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION FROM TAIWAN TO THE NORTH AND THEN MAINLAND CHINA TO THE WEST. TY 10W WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE RAPIDLY OVER LAND AND CEASE TO EXIST AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL STORM IN 48 TO 72 HOURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:05 2003 X-UIDL: 33847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200AQW4JVRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:55:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Isvo7056986 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:55:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT6x044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 13:51:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 444996 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 13:51:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73IpDc9025636 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 13:51:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73IpD9d026541 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 13:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73IpDmF026540 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 13:51:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 13:51:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0309 Morakot (0309) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031851.h73IpDmF026540@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 031800 WARNING 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 994 HPA AT 23.2N 119.9E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 25.2N 117.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 26.0N 115.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:06 2003 X-UIDL: 33848-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200A1E5EURU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 03:13:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73JDZo7062727 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 03:13:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5g25017612; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:11:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 445165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:10:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73JAic9021878 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:10:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73JAi9d026731 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:10:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73JAi6R026730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:10:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:10:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0310 Etau (0310) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031910.h73JAi6R026730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 031800 WARNING 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 996 HPA AT 14.7N 138.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 17.5N 134.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 21.0N 132.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 26.0N 130.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:06 2003 X-UIDL: 33849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200A1760CRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 03:26:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73JQUo7066450 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 03:26:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT7X044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:24:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 445303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73JO7c9047180 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73JO79d026919 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:24:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73JO7Gp026918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:24:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 14:24:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0310 Etau (0310) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308031924.h73JO7Gp026918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 031800 CCA WARNING 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 990 HPA AT 14.7N 138.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 17.5N 134.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 21.0N 132.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 26.0N 130.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:07 2003 X-UIDL: 33850-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200ACP882RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:14:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73KEJo7080076 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:14:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5g3l017612; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 445614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73K9lc9048784 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73K9l9d027311 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73K9lSB027309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:09:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308032009.h73K9lSB027309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 031930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/031930Z/040600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZAUG2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031352ZAUG2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MORAKOT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N2 121.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:08 2003 X-UIDL: 33853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200AIX9EDRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:39:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Kdgo7085296 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:39:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT9P044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:37:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 445888 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:37:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73KbMc9021820 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:37:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73KbM9d027577 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:37:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73KbMSe027576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:37:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:37:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308032037.h73KbMSe027576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 06N 104E 09N 105E 13N 110E 07N 112E 06N 104E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 34N 160E 35N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 27N 152E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 48N 138E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 149E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 162E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 02N 164E WEST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 990 HPA AT 14.7N 138.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 994 HPA AT 23.2N 119.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 129E TO 40N 136E 42N 141E 43N 149E 44N 157E 44N 162E 41N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:09 2003 X-UIDL: 33854-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200A5VA2PRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:54:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73KsIo7088201 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 04:54:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVT9Z044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:51:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 445975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73Kowc9048362 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73Kov9d027718 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73Kovp7027717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 15:50:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northwestpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308032050.h73Kovp7027717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 23.1N6 120.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N6 120.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 24.0N6 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.9N5 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 25.9N6 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 26.8N6 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 28.7N7 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 23.3N8 120.4E7. TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MORAKOT), MADE LANDFALL AT (APPROX) 031500Z9 NEAR TAITUNG, TAIWAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. TY 10W HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7, 040900Z3, 041500Z0 AND 042100Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:10 2003 X-UIDL: 33855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ200AU7AW8RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:12:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73LC0o7091380 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:12:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72IVTAB044118; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:09:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 446148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:09:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h73L9Pc9043452 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:09:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h73L9O9d027908 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:09:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h73L9O3L027907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:09:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 16:09:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308032109.h73L9O3L027907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 032100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 14.8N3 138.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 138.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.4N1 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.0N9 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.3N3 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.9N1 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 26.2N0 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 32.0N5 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 36.8N7 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 137.8E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM WEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DUAL OUTFLOW CHANNELS MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7, 040900Z3, 041500Z0 AND 042100Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ2008NLL6OAZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 08:54:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740sHo7032606 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 08:54:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8cr035722; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 19:50:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 448817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 19:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740oYc9033968 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 19:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h740oU9d000223 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 19:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h740oUqF000222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 19:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 19:50:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0310 Etau (0310) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040050.h740oUqF000222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 040000 WARNING 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 980 HPA AT 15.3N 136.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 30 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 18.5N 132.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 22.5N 131.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 28.0N 130.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 09:39:12 2003 X-UIDL: 33863-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ2008FKM1RAZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 09:13:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h741Cuo7037378 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 09:12:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8df035722; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 20:09:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 448990 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 20:09:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74193c9005120 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 20:09:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h741929d000453 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 20:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74192wO000452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 20:09:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 20:09:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0309 Morakot (0309) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040109.h74192wO000452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 040000 WARNING 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 996 HPA AT 23.4N 118.6E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 55 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 24.8N 116.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 25.5N 113.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 10:40:07 2003 X-UIDL: 33869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ2008EOPPW6L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:32:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h742WDo7057918 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:32:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gEP017612; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:28:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:28:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h742Shc9023640 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:28:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h742Sg9d001195 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:28:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h742SguN001194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:28:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 21:28:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040228.h742SguN001194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 180E 37N 167E 38N 154E 37N 147E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 27N 151E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 49N 140E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 148E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 163E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 41N 126E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 980 HPA AT 15.3N 136.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 996 HPA AT 23.4N 118.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 128E TO 40N 138E 39N 143E 44N 148E 43N 157E 43N 163E 40N 169E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 11:10:14 2003 X-UIDL: 33873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ2008IJRBSB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:07:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7436vo7067783 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:06:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gFN017612; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7434Lc9025846 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7434L9d001575 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7434LdP001574 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040304.h7434LdP001574@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR 05// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 040000Z4 TO 090000Z1 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 511 NM WEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 032302Z0 SSM/I MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER JUST NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TS 11W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARDS AROUND THE SOUTH- WEST QUADRANT OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH- EAST. TS 11W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE STEERING RIDGE ORIENTS NORTH-SOUTH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR AND JTYM, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC. C. TS 11W IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS ENHANCED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST, THEN CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OF ONE DVORAK PER DAY. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. AFTER 72 HOURS, A MIDLATITUDE TROUGH JUST WEST OF THE KOREAN PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD AND INTERACT WITH TS 10W. TS 10W IS EXPECTED TO CURVE TO THE EAST, ACCELERATE, AND WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND TRACKS OVER THE EASTERN COAST OF JAPAN. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/KELSEY/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 11:10:15 2003 X-UIDL: 33874-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ2008E2RE06L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:08:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7438Ho7068245 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:08:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8fx035722; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:06:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449797 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:06:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7436Nc9020024 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:06:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7436N9d001587 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:06:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7436Nol001586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:06:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:06:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 10w (morakot) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040306.h7436Nol001586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 23.0N5 120.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 120.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 24.0N6 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 25.0N7 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 25.9N6 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 26.6N4 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION NEAR 23.3N8 119.7E8. TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 032223Z2 SSM/I IMAGE AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO ENTRAIN DRY AIR IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3, 041500Z0, 042100Z7 AND 050300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 11:10:15 2003 X-UIDL: 33875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ2008LNREOB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:08:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7438go7068356 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:08:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8fv035722; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7434Lc9020000 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7434K9d001570 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7434K8n001569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:04:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 10w (morakot) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040304.h7434K8n001569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING/ NR 11// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 040000Z4 TO 070000Z7 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 032223Z2 SSM/I IMAGE AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO ENTRAIN DRY AIR IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. B. TY 10W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TY 10W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN 12 TO 24 HOURS IN THE VICINITY OF XIAMEN, CHINA. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, JTYM, AND COAMPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NOGAPS DEPICTS A MORE POLEWARD TRACK THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 10W REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR BUT SHOULD HOLD STEADY AT ITS CURRENT INTENSITY AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION FROM TAIWAN TO THE NORTH AND THEN MAINLAND CHINA TO THE WEST. TY 10W WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND DISSIPATE RAPIDLY OVER LAND AND CEASE TO EXIST AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL STORM IN 48 TO 72 HOURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/KELSEY/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 11:47:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33876-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ20082AT5RB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:46:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h743kVo7078500 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:46:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8gP035722; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:42:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 450051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:42:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h743gMc9021862 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:42:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h743gM9d001845 for ; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:42:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h743gMw9001844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:42:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 03 Aug 2003 22:42:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040342.h743gMw9001844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 15.8N4 136.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 136.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 17.3N1 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.8N7 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.5N7 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 22.8N2 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 27.9N8 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 33.2N8 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 37.6N6 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 136.4E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 511 NM WEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 032302Z0 SSM/I MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER JUST NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3, 041500Z0, 042100Z7 AND 050300Z8. REFER TO TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 15:24:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008VX1WT6L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 14:55:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h746tUo7038045 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 14:55:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8lr035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 01:47:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451121 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 01:47:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h746ljc9009692 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 01:47:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h746li9d003122 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 01:47:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h746liFI003121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 01:47:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 01:47:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0310 Etau (0310) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040647.h746liFI003121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 040600 WARNING 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 980 HPA AT 15.6N 134.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 30 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 18.8N 131.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 24.0N 129.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 28.5N 129.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 04 15:25:02 2003 X-UIDL: 33886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ30089E2NBB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:11:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h747BPo7043383 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:11:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8m1035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:05:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:05:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7475Ic9021848 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:05:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7475I9d003266 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7475ImN003265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 02:05:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0309 Morakot (0309) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040705.h7475ImN003265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP21 RJTD 040600 WARNING 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 996 HPA AT 24.1N 118.5E TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 35 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 24.8N 116.2E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 25.5N 113.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:06 2003 X-UIDL: 33892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008NH6ISB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:35:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h748Z9o7069212 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 16:35:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8nF035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 03:29:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451524 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 03:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h748TSc9048692 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 03:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h748TS9d003960 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 03:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h748TS3A003959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 03:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 03:29:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308040829.h748TS3A003959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 41N 142E 45N 148E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 37N 153E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 28N 150E NW 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 48N 140E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 43N 152E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 44N 162E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 155E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 40N 125E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 980 HPA AT 15.6N 134.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 996 HPA AT 24.1N 118.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 132E TO 40N 143E 43N 152E 43N 158E 43N 162E 39N 174E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:13 2003 X-UIDL: 33899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008C6CEMB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:42:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74AgGo7003456 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:42:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8oD035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:37:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Ab7c9039478 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74Ab69d004840 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74Ab6Nq004839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:37:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:37:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 10w (morakot) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041037.h74Ab6Nq004839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 24.3N9 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 25.2N9 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 25.9N6 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 26.5N3 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 26.9N7 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION NEAR 24.5N1 118.5E5. TYPHOON (TY) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040530Z2 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 040548Z1 SSM/I 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. TY 10W IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ON MAINLAND CHINA IN THE VICINITY OF THE CITY OF XIAMEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0, 042100Z7, 050300Z8 AND 050900Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:13 2003 X-UIDL: 33900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008ZJCKGAZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:45:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Ajho7004307 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 18:45:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8oF035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:38:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 451885 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Ac7c9020120 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74Ac79d004846 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:38:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74Ac7QE004845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:38:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 05:38:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041038.h74Ac7QE004845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 040900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- NEAR 16.6N3 135.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 135.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 18.0N9 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.7N7 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 21.9N2 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 24.4N0 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 29.2N3 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 21 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 36.6N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 43.2N9 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 135.0E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 040530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TS 11W HAS LINKED UP WITH THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS LINK-UP COULD SEE POSSIBLE ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTLFLOW FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 041500Z0, 042100Z7, 050300Z8 AND 050900Z4. REFER TO TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:17 2003 X-UIDL: 33905-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ30086KIF1AZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 20:52:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Cq4o7036984 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 20:52:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8pr035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 07:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 452395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 07:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Cjnc9017224 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 07:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74Cjn9d005964 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 07:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74Cjnff005963 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 07:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 07:45:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0310 Etau (0310) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041245.h74Cjnff005963@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 041200 WARNING 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 975 HPA AT 16.5N 134.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 19.9N 132.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 25.0N 131.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 29.5N 132.0E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:20 2003 X-UIDL: 33911-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ30086XNBXAZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:38:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74EcEo7068332 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 22:38:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8st035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 09:31:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 453096 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 09:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74EV2c9009604 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 09:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74EV19d009309 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 09:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74EV1R2009308 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 09:31:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 09:31:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041431.h74EV1R2009308@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 29N 180E 30N 160E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 0309 MORAKOT (0309) 1000 HPA AT 24N 119E NW SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 143E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 153E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 163E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 04N 155E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 975 HPA AT 16.5N 134.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 132E TO 40N 142E 43N 153E 43N 158E 44N 163E 39N 174E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:21 2003 X-UIDL: 33914-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008QFOYM6L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 23:13:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74FDSo7078507 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 23:13:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gMP017612; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 453632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74F7Cc9029546 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74F7B9d010508 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74F7BiC010505 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041507.h74F7BiC010505@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- NEAR 17.1N9 134.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 134.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 18.5N4 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.7N9 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 22.9N3 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 25.3N0 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 30.5N8 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 20 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 37.3N3 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 45.9N8 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.4N2 133.4E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 645 NM SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. A RECENT 041219Z7 SSM/I MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A .9 WRAP AROUND THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 042100Z7, 050300Z8, 050900Z4 AND 051500Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10W (MORAKOT) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:21 2003 X-UIDL: 33915-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008ZNOZFB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 23:14:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74FDvo7078635 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 23:13:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8tr035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 453635 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74F7Cc9016672 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74F7C9d010509 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74F7Bwr010507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:07:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 10w (morakot) Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041507.h74F7Bwr010507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 013 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 10W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- NEAR 24.8N4 118.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 118.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 25.8N5 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 27.0N9 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 27.6N5 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION NEAR 25.1N8 118.3E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM WEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TS 10W HAS MADE LANDFALL TO THE NORTHEAST OF XIAMEN, CHINA AND IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVERLAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7, 050300Z8, 050900Z4 AND 051500Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:22 2003 X-UIDL: 33916-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ30086AQMKB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 04 Aug 2003 23:49:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74FnLo7089604 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 23:49:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q8v3035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:42:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 453948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:42:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74FgOc9050008 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:42:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74FgO9d011609 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:42:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74FgOwS011608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:42:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 10:42:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 10w (morakot) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041542.h74FgOwS011608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 041500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING/ NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 041200Z7 TO 060000Z6 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM WEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TS 10W HAS MADE LANDFALL TO THE NORTHEAST OF XIAMEN, CHINA AND IS BEGINNING TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN OVERLAND. B. TY 10W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, JTYM, AND COAMPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. JTYM AND COAMPS ARE OUTLIERS TO THIS SCENARIO WITH COAMPS ACCELERATING 10W INTO CENTRAL CHINA WHILE JTYM IS DEPICTING AN UNREALISTIC EQUATORWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 10W WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE RAPIDLY OVER LAND AND CEASE TO EXIST AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL STORM IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:25 2003 X-UIDL: 33920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008AQT93B2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:46:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Gk7o7009646 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:46:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h747VqB9056432; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:41:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 454753 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:41:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Gfkc9052458 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:41:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74Gfj9d013716 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:41:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74GfjPU013715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:41:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 11:41:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041641.h74GfjPU013715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 041500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR/07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 041200Z7 TO 091200Z2 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 645 NM SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. A RECENT 041219Z7 SSM/I MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A .9 WRAP AROUND THE LLCC. B. TS 11W CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OVER JAPAN. TS 11W WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AS THE RIDGE AXIS OVER JAPAN WEAKENS DUE TO AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE FROM ASIA. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, COAMPS, JGSM AND JTYM ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. COAMPS DEPICTS A MORE WESTERN FORECAST TRACK TAKING TS 11W TO THE WEST OF OKINAWA WHILE AVN AND JTYM RESOLVES TS 11W FURTHER EAST THAN THE REST OF THE AIDS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE POLEWARD OUTLFLOW OF TS 11W HAS LINKED UP WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW OF THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH FEATURE TO THE NORTH AND EAST GIVING TS 11W DUAL OUTFLOW CHANNELS SUPPORTING FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AT OR ABOVE A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. TS 11W WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS THE SHORTWAVE FROM ASIA APPROACHES AND BRINGS TS 11W UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IN THE 48 TO 72 HOUR TAU TIME FRAME FURTHER ENHANCING POLEWARD OUTFLOW WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS WEAK. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL SEE TS 11W LINKING UP WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROF AS TS 11W APPROACHES SOUTHERN JAPAN AND ALLOW TS 11W TO RECURVE AND ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARDS INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN AND BEGIN UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT ENTERS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. 3. JUSTFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED GRAMMAR IN PARA B.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:27 2003 X-UIDL: 33927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008P6WYRB2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:06:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74I6Jo7037045 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:06:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gSv017612; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 12:59:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 455684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 12:59:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74HxZc9034862 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 12:59:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74HxY9d016278 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 12:59:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74HxYXA016277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 12:59:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 12:59:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 10w (morakot) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041759.h74HxYXA016277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 041500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING/ NR/13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 041200Z7 TO 060000Z6 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM WEST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. TS 10W HAS MADE LANDFALL TO THE NORTHEAST OF XIAMEN, CHINA AND IS BEGINNING TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN OVERLAND. B. TS 10W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, JTYM, AND COAMPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. JTYM AND COAMPS ARE OUTLIERS TO THIS SCENARIO WITH COAMPS ACCELERATING 10W INTO CENTRAL CHINA WHILE JTYM IS DEPICTING AN UNREALISTIC EQUATORWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 10W WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE RAPIDLY OVER LAND AND CEASE TO EXIST AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL STORM IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED STORM REFERENCES THROUGHOUT FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/RONSSE/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:28 2003 X-UIDL: 33931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008YIYN3B2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:42:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74IgWo7049442 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:42:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q83p035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:39:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 456558 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:39:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74IdYc9055606 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:39:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74IdX9d017779 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:39:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74IdXPG017778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:39:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:39:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041839.h74IdXPG017778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 041500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR/07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 041200Z7 TO 091200Z2 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 645 NM SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ON 041130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. A RECENT 041219Z7 SSM/I MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A .9 WRAP AROUND THE LLCC. B. TS 11W CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OVER JAPAN. TS 11W WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AS THE RIDGE AXIS OVER JAPAN WEAKENS DUE TO AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE FROM ASIA. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, COAMPS, JGSM AND JTYM ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. COAMPS DEPICTS A MORE WESTERN FORECAST TRACK TAKING TS 11W TO THE WEST OF OKINAWA WHILE AVN AND JTYM RESOLVES TS 11W FURTHER EAST THAN THE REST OF THE AIDS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE POLEWARD OUTLFLOW OF TS 11W HAS LINKED UP WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW OF THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH FEATURE TO THE NORTH AND EAST GIVING TS 11W DUAL OUTFLOW CHANNELS SUPPORTING FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AT OR ABOVE A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. TS 11W WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS THE SHORTWAVE FROM ASIA APPROACHES AND BRINGS TS 11W UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IN THE 48 TO 72 HOUR TAU TIME FRAME FURTHER ENHANCING POLEWARD OUTFLOW WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS WEAK. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL SEE TS 11W LINKING UP WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROF AS TS 11W APPROACHES SOUTHERN JAPAN AND ALLOW TS 11W TO RECURVE AND ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARDS INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN AND BEGIN UNDERGOING EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT ENTERS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. 3. JUSTFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED MANOP.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33933-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ3008SLZ3X6L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:52:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Iqbo7052925 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 02:52:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q84D035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:48:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 456672 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:48:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Imjc9055698 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:48:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74Imj9d018064 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74ImjDm018063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 13:48:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308041848.h74ImjDm018063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 041800 WARNING 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 965 HPA AT 18.1N 134.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 22.3N 132.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 27.0N 131.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 31.5N 134.0E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:34 2003 X-UIDL: 33939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ4008MR3RC6L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:33:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74KX5o7092150 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 04:33:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h740Q885035722; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:28:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 457780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74KS5c9033240 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74KS59d021398 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74KS5w4021397 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:28:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308042028.h74KS5w4021397@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E 31N 162E 35N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 51N 145E NNE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 44N 155E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 154E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 41N 127E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 965 HPA AT 18.1N 134.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 132E TO 40N 141E 41N 150E 43N 156E 43N 165E 40N 176E 38N 179W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:35 2003 X-UIDL: 33942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ40084R566AZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:03:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74L3Zo7001775 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:03:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gYp017612; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 458075 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74KxUc9023626 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74KxT9d022328 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74KxTIa022325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 10w (morakot) Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308042059.h74KxTIa022325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 014 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 10W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 25.4N1 118.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 25.4N1 118.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 25.9N6 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 26.3N1 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION NEAR 25.5N2 117.8E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED OVERLAND ON CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 45 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. TD 10W IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVERLAND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8, 050900Z4 AND 051500Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:36 2003 X-UIDL: 33943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ4008JD56H6L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:03:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74L3ko7001830 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 05:03:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h72F5gYr017612; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 458072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74KxTc9047048 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h74KxT9d022326 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h74KxTPu022323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 15:59:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308042059.h74KxTPu022323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 042100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 11W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- NEAR 17.6N4 133.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 133.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 19.2N2 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 21.5N8 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 23.9N4 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 26.2N0 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 31.2N6 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 36.6N5 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 42.4N0 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.0N9 133.1E8. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 90 KNOTS. MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASED CONVECTION TIGHTLY WRAPPING TOWARDS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8, 050900Z4, 051500Z1 AND 052100Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (MORAKOT) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:38:41 2003 X-UIDL: 33956-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400I98FG20B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:45:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h750jVo7069216 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:45:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOk9043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 19:42:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 19:42:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h750fxc9037390 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 19:41:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h750fx9d026370 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 19:41:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h750fxdT026369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 19:41:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 19:41:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050041.h750fxdT026369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 050000 WARNING 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 960 HPA AT 18.3N 132.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 22.2N 130.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 26.5N 130.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 30.5N 133.5E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:39:15 2003 X-UIDL: 33971-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400IX5JUJ0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:20:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h752Kao7097585 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:20:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOol043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:13:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:13:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h752Dmc9048376 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:13:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h752Dm9d027428 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:13:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h752Dmch027427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:13:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:13:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050213.h752Dmch027427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 18.3N2 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 19.9N9 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 22.1N5 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 24.3N9 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.6N4 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 31.7N1 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 38.5N6 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 46.5N5 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.7N6 131.9E4. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 515 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ON 042330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 90 KNOTS RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES TIGHTENING OF THE BANDING FEATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4, 051500Z1, 052100Z8 AND 060300Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (MORAKOT) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:39:31 2003 X-UIDL: 33973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400I05K7N0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:28:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h752STo7099864 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:28:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOpL043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:26:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:26:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h752QDc9039058 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:26:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h752QC9d027570 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h752QCE2027569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:26:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050226.h752QCE2027569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 180E 36N 167E 38N 153E 38N 147E 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 23N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 52N 145E NORTH 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 163E EAST 30 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 179W NE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 179W TO 34N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 179W TO 38N 174E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 04N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 40N 131E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 179W ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 960 HPA AT 18.3N 132.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 133E TO 39N 140E 40N 146E 42N 163E 38N 174E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:39:32 2003 X-UIDL: 33974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400IF3KC70B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:31:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h752VCo7000979 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:31:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOpd043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:28:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h752SGc9056510 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h752SG9d027596 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h752SGo3027595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:28:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 10w (morakot) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050228.h752SGo3027595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- NEAR 25.8N5 117.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 25.8N5 117.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 26.5N3 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION NEAR 26.0N8 117.3E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED OVERLAND ON CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 042330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 10W IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVERLAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:47:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400ILWL3L0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:47:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h752lco7005894 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:47:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74Lqfo1040614; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3831 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h752hdc9056402 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h752hd9d027763 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h752hdOM027760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 10w (morakot) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050243.h752hdOM027760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WDPN31 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (MORAKOT) WARNING/ NR/15// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 050000Z5 TO 051200Z8 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W (MORAKOT), LOCATED OVERLAND ON CHINA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 042330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 10W IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVERLAND. B. TD 10W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, GFDN, AND COAMPS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO IN THE SHORT-TERM. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 10W IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AND WILL CEASE TO EXIST AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL STORM WITHIN 12 HOURS. D. TD 10W DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 10:57:58 2003 X-UIDL: 33978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400ISCL5F0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:48:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h752mio7006216 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 10:48:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h74LrOq5043116; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h752hdc9009490 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h752hd9d027764 for ; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h752hdrC027762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 04 Aug 2003 21:43:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050243.h752hdrC027762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR/09// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 050000Z5 TO 100000Z1 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 515 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ON 042330Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 90 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES TIGHTENING OF THE BANDING FEATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). B. TY 11W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OVER JAPAN. TY 11W WILL TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AS THE RIDGE AXIS OVER JAPAN WEAKENS DUE TO AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM ASIA. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), GFDN, EGRR, COAMPS, JGSM AND JTYM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE POLEWARD OUTLFLOW OF TY 11W IS BEING ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST GIVING TY 11W DUAL OUTFLOW CHANNELS SUPPORTING FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AT OR ABOVE A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. TY 11W WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS THE SHORTWAVE FROM ASIA APPROACHES AND BRINGS TY 11W INTO THE FAVORABLE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE FROM TAU 12 THROUGH 36. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO PEAK NEAR TAU 48 AND DECREASE THEREAFTER AS TY 11W TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFS, AND EGRR ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH TY 11W LINKING UP WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AS IT APPROACHES KYUSHU AND ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARDS WHILE TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 14:00:14 2003 X-UIDL: 33994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400I6RTMR0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:52:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h755puo7058462 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:51:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KiR051984; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 5876 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h755n2c9021240 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h755n29d029333 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h755n2BS029331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 00:49:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050549.h755n2BS029331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZAUG2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050152ZAUG2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W (MORAKOT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N5 117.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 80 NM NORTHWEST OF QUANZHOU, CHINA, TRACKING OVER LAND DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 050300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 050000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 132.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.1N5 161.9E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 2.2N4 151.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK CONVECTION NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 15:00:25 2003 X-UIDL: 33997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ400IKWWFI0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 14:52:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h756qJo7076539 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 14:52:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KkF030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 01:45:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 6180 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 01:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h756jec9057228 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 01:45:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h756ja9d029777 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 01:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h756jaUV029776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 01:45:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 01:45:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050645.h756jaUV029776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 050600 WARNING 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 960 HPA AT 18.6N 131.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 22.7N 129.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 27.5N 130.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 31.5N 134.0E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 16:41:38 2003 X-UIDL: 34003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IJJ10R0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:31:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h758VWo7006521 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 16:31:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555Kk1051984; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:28:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 6557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h758SGc9045894 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h758SF9d000831 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h758SFdk000830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:28:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050828.h758SFdk000830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 050600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 53N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 35N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 53N 144E NW 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 43N 161E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 180E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 180E TO 39N 176W 36N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 180E TO 39N 177E 39N 174E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 174E TO 40N 168E 43N 161E 41N 153E 40N 145E 35N 135E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 04N 153E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 40N 135E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 170E WEST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 960 HPA AT 18.6N 131.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 17:11:38 2003 X-UIDL: 34006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IFT2IQ0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:04:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7593to7016493 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:03:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555Kk9051984; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 6624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h758umc9005260 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h758um9d001161 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h758ummr001159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050856.h758ummr001159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 050900 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 18.8N7 131.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 131.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.6N8 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.8N2 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.2N9 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 27.7N6 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 32.5N0 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 39.7N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 48.4N6 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.3N3 131.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS ENHANCED OUTFLOW TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND EQUATORWARD. CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY AND THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1, 052100Z8, 060300Z9 AND 060900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 05 17:11:39 2003 X-UIDL: 34007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IGR2IY0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:04:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75944o7016547 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 17:04:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555Klp030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 6621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h758umc9047082 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h758um9d001160 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h758umq4001157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 03:56:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308050856.h758umq4001157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXI, Probability=31%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50 WTPN32 PGTW 050900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:31 2003 X-UIDL: 34026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500I8ID4E0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 20:53:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Cquo7077304 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 20:52:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555Kon030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:48:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 7629 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:48:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Cmec9048264 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:48:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75Cme9d003434 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:48:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75CmeAC003433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:48:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:48:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051248.h75CmeAC003433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 051200 WARNING 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 960 HPA AT 19.3N 131.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 23.4N 129.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 28.0N 130.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 32.5N 135.0E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:32 2003 X-UIDL: 34027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500I02DNF0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:04:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75D4Fo7079978 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:04:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KpH030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:59:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 7742 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:59:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Cxsc9026686 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:59:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75Cxs9d003707 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:59:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75Cxs1D003706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:59:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 07:59:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 010a Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051259.h75Cxs1D003706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 050900 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 010A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- NEAR 18.8N7 131.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 131.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.6N8 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.8N2 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.2N9 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 27.7N6 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 32.5N0 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 39.7N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 48.4N6 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.3N3 131.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 050530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS ENHANCED OUTFLOW TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND EQUATORWARD. CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY AND THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1, 052100Z8, 060300Z9 AND 060900Z5. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED ERROR AT TAU 12 INTENSITY TO 100KTS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:36 2003 X-UIDL: 34029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500ITJG140B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:55:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Dtjo7093573 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:55:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KrR030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:50:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 8240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:50:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Dovc9032762 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:50:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75Dov9d005206 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75Dovlq005205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 08:50:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051350.h75Dovlq005205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 051500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 19.3N3 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 130.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 21.3N6 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 23.6N1 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.0N8 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 28.4N4 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 33.7N3 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 39.9N1 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 46.8N8 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.8N8 130.6E0. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS ENHANCED OUTFLOW TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND EQUATORWARD. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8, 060300Z9, 060900Z5 AND 061500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:36 2003 X-UIDL: 34030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IC1HR30B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:33:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75EWoo7005376 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:32:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KsT030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 8538 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75ERec9019714 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75ERe9d006605 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75ERdNx006604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:27:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051427.h75ERdNx006604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 34N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 53N 144E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 146E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 43N 162E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 175W ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 175W TO 40N 173W 37N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 175W TO 40N 179W 39N 174E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 174E TO 42N 169E 43N 162E 40N 156E 41N 146E 38N 142E 35N 136E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 153E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 41N 136E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 960 HPA AT 19.3N 131.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:37 2003 X-UIDL: 34031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500I4QI5U0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:41:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Efho7008128 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 22:41:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555Ksb030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:34:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 8586 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:34:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75EYCc9020060 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:34:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75EYC9d006839 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:34:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75EYC4o006837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:34:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 09:34:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051434.h75EYC4o006837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 051500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR/11// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 051200Z8 TO 101200Z4 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS ENHANCED OUTFLOW TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND EQUATORWARD. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. B. TY 11W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 11W WILL TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK NEAR THE MID-PERIOD AS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP DUE TO AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER ASIA. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS JAPAN AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), GFDN, EGRR, COAMPS, JGSM AND JTYM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW OF TY 11W IS BEING ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. AS TY 11W CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE, CONTINUED ENHANCED OUTFLOW WILL STRENGTHEN THE SYSTEM, FURTHER INTENSIFYING THE SYSTEM AT OR ABOVE A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO PEAK NEAR TAU 36 AND BEGIN WEAKENING AFTERWARDS AS TY 11W TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFS, AND EGRR ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH TY 11W MERGING WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AS IT APPROACHES KYUSHU AND ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARDS WHILE TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:43 2003 X-UIDL: 34042-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IM3TQY0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:52:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Iq3o7079326 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 02:52:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Da7Dd034782; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:44:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:44:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Iifc9020006 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:44:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75Iie9d016120 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75Iiea7016119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:44:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 13:44:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308051844.h75Iiea7016119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 051800 WARNING 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 960 HPA AT 20.5N 130.3E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 23.1N 129.1E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 25.8N 128.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 30.5N 131.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 37.0N 137.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:45 2003 X-UIDL: 34049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500IWTYNI0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:38:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Kbto7015498 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:37:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KDf030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:28:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 13487 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75KS4c9030188 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75KS49d022566 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:28:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75KS4kd022565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:28:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:28:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308052028.h75KS4kd022565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 34N 180E 35N 160E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 121E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 52N 146E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 149E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 53N 178W SW SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 43N 175W NORTH 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 121E TO 38N 125E 36N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 121E TO 37N 119E 36N 114E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 175W TO 42N 172W 38N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 175W TO 38N 178W 38N 177E 39N 174E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 174E TO 42N 163E 40N 157E 41N 149E 37N 142E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1000 HPA NEAR 24N 113E WNW 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 148E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 42N 138E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 30N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 960 HPA AT 20.5N 130.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:46 2003 X-UIDL: 34050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ500I39YRO0B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:40:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75KeUo7016306 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 04:40:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KE7030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:37:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 13657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:37:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h75Kb8c9019960 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:37:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h75Kb79d022940 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:37:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h75Kb7qm022937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:37:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 15:37:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308052037.h75Kb7qm022937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 052100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 20.6N8 129.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 129.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 22.6N0 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.0N7 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 27.2N1 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 29.9N0 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 36.0N9 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 21.1N4 129.7E9. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 355 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED WITH A BANDING EYE FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9, 060900Z5, 061500Z2 AND 062100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:10:52 2003 X-UIDL: 34066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600B9UAJIIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:54:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h760slo7076058 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:54:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KTT030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 19:50:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 16949 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 19:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h760oDc9046034 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 19:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h760oC9d027842 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 19:50:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h760oCEW027841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 19:50:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 19:50:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060050.h760oCEW027841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 060000 WARNING 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 955 HPA AT 21.5N 129.5E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 23.2N 128.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 26.3N 128.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 30.5N 131.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 37.5N 137.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:40:27 2003 X-UIDL: 34076-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BPXF0LIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:31:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h762VPo7010093 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:31:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KZh030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:27:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h762R6c9047202 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h762R69d029075 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h762R6up029074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:27:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060227.h762R6up029074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 38N 160E 37N 146E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 124E NE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 52N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 41N 151E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 54N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 124E TO 40N 127E 39N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 124E TO 37N 122E 35N 115E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 148E NW SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 44N 143E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 955 HPA AT 21.5N 129.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 39N 147E 41N 151E 40N 160E 41N 167E 38N 173E 36N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:40:30 2003 X-UIDL: 34077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BZOF3ZIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:33:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h762XSo7010584 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:33:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555KZj030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:29:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:29:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h762TAc9035614 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:29:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h762TA9d029083 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h762TA6h029082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:29:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:29:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060229.h762TA6h029082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 060300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 21.7N0 129.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 129.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 24.0N6 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.4N2 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 28.5N5 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 31.0N4 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 36.6N5 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 22.3N7 129.1E3. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWING AN IMPROVING TREND. A 052156Z9 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS REVEALS THAT THE BANDING FEATURES HAVE BECOME MORE TIGHTLY WRAPPED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5, 061500Z2, 062100Z9 AND 070300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 10:55:55 2003 X-UIDL: 34080-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BPEG3ZIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:55:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h762t2o7017643 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:55:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7555Kal030516; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:51:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18556 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h762p0c9048350 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h762p09d029345 for ; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:51:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h762p0jB029344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:51:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 05 Aug 2003 21:51:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060251.h762p0jB029344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 060300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR/13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 060000Z6 TO 090000Z9 AUG 2003 A. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWING AN IMPROVING TREND. A 052156Z9 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS REVEALS THAT THE BANDING FEATURES HAVE BECOME MORE TIGHTLY WRAPPED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. B. TY 11W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 11W WILL TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO DEVELOP DUE TO AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER ASIA. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS JAPAN AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), GFDN, EGRR, COAMPS, JGSM AND JTYM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW OF TY 11W IS BEING ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST. AS TY 11W CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE, CONTINUED ENHANCED OUTFLOW WILL STRENGTHEN THE SYSTEM, FURTHER INTENSIFYING THE SYSTEM AT OR ABOVE A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO PEAK NEAR TAU 24 AND BEGIN WEAKENING AFTERWARDS AS TY 11W TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON JAPAN. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 14:08:20 2003 X-UIDL: 34098-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600B7FOYMIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:06:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7666Go7074600 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:06:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJex030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76633c9029476 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h766329d001395 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76632q7001393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:03:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060603.h76632q7001393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N0 129.3E5, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 14:58:18 2003 X-UIDL: 34102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BSJRBEIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:57:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h766v5o7095014 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 14:57:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJfd030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:51:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20438 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:51:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h766pUc9037442 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:51:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h766pU9d001817 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:51:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h766pUnv001816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:51:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 01:51:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060651.h766pUnv001816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 060600 WARNING 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 955 HPA AT 22.8N 128.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 25.7N 127.7E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 27.7N 128.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 33.0N 133.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 42.0N 139.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 17:32:48 2003 X-UIDL: 34106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BVDVRPIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:33:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h768XJLb024167 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:33:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653FeZ035500; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:27:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20781 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h768Rlc9043066 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h768Rl9d002760 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h768RlJv002759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:27:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060827.h768RlJv002759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 180E 37N 160E 39N 151E 36N 141E 38N 142E 42N 143E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 44N 126E NNE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 51N 149E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 148E NORTH 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 41N 154E ENE 20 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 126E TO 42N 127E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 127E TO 39N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 127E TO 37N 119E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 141E WNW 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 955 HPA AT 22.8N 128.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 142E TO 39N 148E 41N 154E 40N 168E 35N 178E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 17:32:52 2003 X-UIDL: 34108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ600BBVVX9IJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:36:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h768aaLb025315 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 16:36:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJgR030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:31:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 20790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h768V6c9029692 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h768V59d002807 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:31:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h768V5TW002806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:31:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 03:31:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308060831.h768V5TW002806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 060900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 22.9N3 128.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N3 128.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.2N9 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 27.4N3 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 29.7N8 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 32.0N5 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 38.3N4 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 23.5N0 128.7E8. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A 060401Z1 MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS THAT THE BANDING FEATURES HAVE BECOME MORE TIGHTLY WRAPPED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2, 062100Z9, 070300Z0 AND 070900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 22:04:11 2003 X-UIDL: 34126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BZY82FIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 20:59:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76CwuLb099841 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 20:58:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653E03046038; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 07:51:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 07:51:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76CpLc9020170 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 07:51:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76CpL9d005429 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 07:51:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76CpK1t005428 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 07:51:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 07:51:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061251.h76CpK1t005428@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 061200 WARNING 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 955 HPA AT 23.9N 128.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 26.3N 128.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 28.5N 130.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 34.5N 134.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 43.0N 140.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 06 22:04:18 2003 X-UIDL: 34135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700B30B2BIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:03:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76E3eLb017140 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:03:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653Fi7035500; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:57:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 22371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:57:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76Dv8c9048318 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:57:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76Dv89d007258 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:57:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76Dv8P6007257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:57:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 08:57:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061357.h76Dv8P6007257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 061500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 24.0N6 128.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 128.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 26.3N1 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 28.5N5 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 30.8N1 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 33.5N1 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 39.8N0 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION NEAR 24.6N2 128.7E8. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS THE BANDING FEATURES HAVE NOT SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED IN DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9, 070300Z0, 070900Z6 AND 071500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:05:58 2003 X-UIDL: 34137-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BKBCE9IJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:32:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76EWNLb025352 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:32:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJnV030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:23:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 22682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:23:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76ENhc9033238 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:23:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76ENg9d008232 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:23:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76ENgxW008231 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:23:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:23:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061423.h76ENgxW008231@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 061500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR/15// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 061200Z9 TO 091200Z2 AUG 2003 A. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS THE BANDING FEATURES HAVE NOT SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED IN DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. TY 11W HAS TRANSITIONED TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AS IT TRACKS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 11W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN RECURVATURE IN THE NEXT 18 HOURS TOWARDS JAPAN AS IT PASSES THE RIDGE AXIS. AFTERWARDS, TRACK SPEED IS FORECAST TO INCREASE AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD, BEGINNING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE MID-PERIOD. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), GFDN, EGRR, COAMPS, JGSM AND JTYM ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO AFTER 48 HOURS AND IN GOOD AGREEMENT UNTIL TAU 48. IN THE LATE-PERIOD THE MODELS BEGIN TO SPLIT INTO TWO GROUPS WITH COAMPS, GFDN, JGSM AND JTYM TRACKING THE SYSTEM ALONG THE WEST COAST OF JAPAN AND ALL OTHER MODELS MAINTAINING THE TRACK ALONG THE EAST COAST. THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE GROUPS IS BASED ON THE DIFFERENCES IN INTERACTION BETWEEN TY 11W AND THE MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW OF TY 11W CONTINUES TO BE SLIGHTLY ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND ENHANCED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS ALSO PRESENT. SOME CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST FOR THE EARLY PERIOD AS THE OUTFLOW REMAINS ENHANCED. AFTER THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS TY 11W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SLOWLY WEAKENING IN A LESS FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:01 2003 X-UIDL: 34139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700B2LCN1IJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:37:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76EbgLb026926 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 22:37:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJnl030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:27:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 22775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:27:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76EQmc9055086 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:26:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76EQl9d008335 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76EQlVn008334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 09:26:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061426.h76EQlVn008334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 180E 34N 159E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 32N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 45N 126E NE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 149E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 54N 179W ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 126E TO 43N 128E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 128E TO 41N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 128E TO 38N 123E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 144E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 55N 141E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 46N 150E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 955 HPA AT 23.9N 128.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 144E TO 40N 157E 37N 173E 35N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:05 2003 X-UIDL: 34149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BQUF1VIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 06 Aug 2003 23:29:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76FTlLb043641 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 23:29:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJor030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76FMic9057132 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76FMh9d010506 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76FMhGg010504 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 10:22:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061522.h76FMhGg010504@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N0 129.3E5, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:22 2003 X-UIDL: 34179-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BWAP0NIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 03:05:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76J54Lb016829 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 03:05:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653Fpn035500; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 13:51:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 25989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 13:51:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76IpPc9035586 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 13:51:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76IpO9d017648 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 13:51:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76IpOis017647 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 13:51:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 13:51:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308061851.h76IpOis017647@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 061800 WARNING 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 950 HPA AT 25.3N 128.4E SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 27.5N 128.7E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 29.5N 130.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 35.5N 134.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 44.0N 142.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:24 2003 X-UIDL: 34183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BOUTBRIJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:38:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76Kc2Lb048184 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:38:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653Ftp035500; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:29:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 27182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76KTcc9026836 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76KTc9d021147 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:29:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76KTbwa021146 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:29:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308062029.h76KTbwa021146@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 144E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 31N 180E 36N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 46N 127E NE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 179E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 127E TO 45N 129E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 129E TO 42N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 129E TO 40N 129E 37N 123E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 144E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 55N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 47N 151E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 950 HPA AT 25.3N 128.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 169E TO 37N 176E 35N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:24 2003 X-UIDL: 34184-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ700BY2U79IJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:57:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76Kv2Lb053106 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 04:57:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76ItfoH046038; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:50:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 27537 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:50:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76KoMc9030034 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:50:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h76KoM9d021829 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:50:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h76KoMxZ021828 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:50:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 15:50:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308062050.h76KoMxZ021828@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 25.3N0 128.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N0 128.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 27.3N2 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 29.3N4 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.7N1 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 33.9N5 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 40.2N6 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 25.8N5 128.5E6. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 67 NM SOUTH- EAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. RECENT RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTS A 35 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0, 070900Z6, 071500Z3 AND 072100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:27 2003 X-UIDL: 34193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000IC55UD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 08:53:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h770rmLb016997 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 08:53:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJHn030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 19:49:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 31204 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 19:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h770nPc9037860 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 19:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h770nO9d026052 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 19:49:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h770nOuR026051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 19:49:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 19:49:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070049.h770nOuR026051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 070000 WARNING 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 950 HPA AT 26.6N 128.2E NEAR OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 28.4N 129.1E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 31.0N 131.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 37.5N 135.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 46.0N 143.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:30 2003 X-UIDL: 34208-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000LV9R8D0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 10:33:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h772WvLb048186 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 10:33:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653FDp035500; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:27:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 32772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h772Rjc9055614 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h772Rj9d027677 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:27:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h772Ripm027676 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:27:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070227.h772Ripm027676@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 34N 150E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 128E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 149E NNE SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 128E TO 46N 130E 45N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 132E TO 43N 134E 41N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 132E TO 40N 130E 37N 124E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 144E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 56N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 43N 152E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 950 HPA AT 26.6N 128.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 148E TO 39N 154E 40N 158E 38N 166E 38N 174E 35N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 11:06:31 2003 X-UIDL: 34211-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000JQAWVD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 10:58:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h772w0Lb055393 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 10:58:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJNd030516; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:54:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 32978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h772sOc9046560 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h772sN9d028185 for ; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h772sNxI028184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:54:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 06 Aug 2003 21:54:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070254.h772sNxI028184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 070300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 26.5N3 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N3 128.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 28.7N7 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 31.1N5 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 33.0N6 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 34.9N6 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 41.9N4 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 27.1N0 128.5E6. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED OVER THE ISLAND OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. A 062109Z8 QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALED THAT THE 35 AND 50 KNOT WIND RADII WERE APPROXIMATELY TWICE THE SIZE OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6, 071500Z3, 072100Z0 AND 080300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 14:43:05 2003 X-UIDL: 34223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000TWLB2D0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:42:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h776gWLb026231 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:42:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h76MmSMJ013814; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h776aRc9026508 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h776aR9d000882 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h776aR5n000880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:36:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070636.h776aR5n000880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/070152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N0 128.3E4, LOCATED OVERHEAD OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS GUSTING TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 8.0N8 142.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9N8 135.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP, AND HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF HIGHER VERTICAL SHEAR AND CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 5.0N5 160.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OCCURRING IN THE VICINITY OF A WEAK, LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 14:53:46 2003 X-UIDL: 34226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000V8LPZD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:51:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h776pSLb028720 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 14:51:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJSl030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:48:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:48:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h776mac9048468 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h776ma9d000972 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:48:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h776maLs000971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:48:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 01:48:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070648.h776maLs000971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 070600 WARNING 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 945 HPA AT 27.5N 128.5E NORTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 29.6N 130.7E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 32.6N 132.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 39.5N 138.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 47.5N 144.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 18:16:22 2003 X-UIDL: 34232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000G2QHWD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:34:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h778YbLb060606 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 16:34:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJUD030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 03:28:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 34948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 03:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h778S1c9048756 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 03:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h778S09d001934 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 03:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h778S0Jh001933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 03:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 03:28:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308070828.h778S0Jh001933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 166E 60N 180E 35N 180E 38N 160E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 128E NE SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 149E NE SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 56N 147E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 44N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 945 HPA AT 27.5N 128.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 128E TO 46N 130E 46N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 132E TO 44N 134E 43N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 132E TO 41N 131E 38N 126E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 149E TO 40N 160E 39N 170E 36N 180E 37N 170W 40N 166W 39N 163W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 19:43:32 2003 X-UIDL: 34263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ8000JCYK3D0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 19:28:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77BSgLb012475 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 19:28:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJVV030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 06:19:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 35555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 06:19:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77BJqc9040542 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 06:19:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77BJp9d003261 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 06:19:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77BJpwM003260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 06:19:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 06:19:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071119.h77BJpwM003260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 070900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 27.4N3 128.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N3 128.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 29.4N5 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 32.3N8 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 35.3N1 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 39.6N8 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 47.8N9 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 27.9N8 129.0E2. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED 75 NM NORTHEAST OF KADENA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. RECENT RADAR FIXES AND ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN THAT TY 11W HAS NOW LINKED UP WITH THE SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM KOREA AND HAS BEGUN TO RECURVE TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE RYUKYU ISLAND CHAIN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3, 072100Z0, 080300Z1 AND 080900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 07 20:59:09 2003 X-UIDL: 34268-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ90006U2QCD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 20:59:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77CwrLb037879 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 20:58:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJXd030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 07:51:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 36444 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 07:51:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77CpIc9026516 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 07:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77CpI9d004372 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 07:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77CpI6G004371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 07:51:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 07:51:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071251.h77CpI6G004371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 071200 WARNING 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 945 HPA AT 28.4N 129.4E SOUTHSOUTHWEST OF KYUSYU MOVING NORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 31.0N 131.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 34.4N 133.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 42.0N 139.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 49.5N 147.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:24 2003 X-UIDL: 34275-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9000A3735D0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:33:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EWwLb067211 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:32:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h763QJbH030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:29:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:29:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77ET4c9055702 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:29:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77ET39d007504 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77ET34g007503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 09:29:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071429.h77ET34g007503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 41N 142E 46N 150E 53N 159E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 160E 32N 150E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 46N 128E NE SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 173E WSW 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 56N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 47N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 945 HPA AT 28.4N 129.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 128E TO 47N 130E 46N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 132E TO 45N 135E 43N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 132E TO 43N 132E 39N 129E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 151E TO 40N 163E 38N 170E 37N 180E 37N 178W 37N 172W 41N 165W 39N 162W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:39 2003 X-UIDL: 34304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ90008PJ56D0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 02:53:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77IrNLb049645 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 02:53:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7653FYV035500; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 13:47:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 40653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 13:47:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77IlAc9029644 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 13:47:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77Il99d016367 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 13:47:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77Il9Oo016366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 13:47:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 13:47:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308071847.h77Il9Oo016366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 071800 WARNING 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 950 HPA AT 29.4N 130.8E SOUTH OF KYUSYU MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 32.3N 133.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 34.9N 134.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 44.0N 142.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 51.5N 149.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:42 2003 X-UIDL: 34313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9000PKNJCD0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:28:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77KSFLb087530 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:28:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNot030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:21:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:21:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77KLjc9048312 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:21:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77KLi9d019650 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:21:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77KLi9Q019649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:21:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:21:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northwestpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308072021.h77KLi9Q019649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 072100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 29.3N4 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.3N4 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 31.5N9 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 34.0N7 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 37.4N4 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 41.6N1 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 49.2N5 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 29.9N0 131.4E9. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED 215 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS GETTING SHEARED FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 40 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1, 080900Z7, 081500Z4 AND 082100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:42 2003 X-UIDL: 34315-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ900830NSF1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:33:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77KXjLb089736 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 04:33:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNp5030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:27:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 41468 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:27:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77KRgc9016000 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:27:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h77KRf9d019853 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h77KRfnm019852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 15:27:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308072027.h77KRfnm019852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 34N 180E 34N 161E 35N 149E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 130E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 54N 173E SW SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 59N 180E WNW 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 57N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 46N 153E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 950 HPA AT 29.4N 130.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 152E TO 39N 166E 39N 177E 39N 171W 41N 164W 41N 161W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 09:40:56 2003 X-UIDL: 34356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJ9008GMZUS1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 08:54:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h780sLLb064841 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 08:54:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7808LeR040502; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 19:49:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 44978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 19:48:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h780mLc9043152 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 19:48:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h780mL9d024944 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 19:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h780mLfo024943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 19:48:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 19:48:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080048.h780mLfo024943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 080000 WARNING 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 955 HPA AT 30.7N 132.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 33.4N 133.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 36.3N 136.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 46.0N 145.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 52.0N 150.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 10:30:15 2003 X-UIDL: 34408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008S241C1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:24:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h782OeLb093741 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:24:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvN63030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:20:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 45777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:20:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h782Krc9048460 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:20:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h782Kr9d025944 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:20:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h782KrP4025943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:20:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:20:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080220.h782KrP4025943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 30.7N0 132.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 30.7N0 132.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 33.2N8 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 36.2N1 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 40.3N7 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 44.4N2 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 50.2N7 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 31.3N7 132.6E2. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS.THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. A 072343Z9 SSM/I PASS AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE WEAKENING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 40 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7, 081500Z4, 082100Z1 AND 090300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 10:40:13 2003 X-UIDL: 34413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA0080M4GF1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:33:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h782XiLb096632 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:33:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvN6F030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:29:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 45999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h782Toc9009582 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h782To9d026036 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h782TovE026035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 21:29:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080229.h782TovE026035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 31N 180E 33N 154E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 141E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 54N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 179E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 141E TO 44N 145E 41N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 141E TO 42N 139E 37N 134E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 13N 135E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 57N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 45N 158E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1002 HPA AT 39N 120E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 955 HPA AT 30.7N 132.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 158E TO 36N 164E 34N 177E 38N 177W 36N 169W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 11:50:14 2003 X-UIDL: 34450-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008ZG7JI1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:40:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h783eOLb018259 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 11:40:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvN81030516; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:36:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 46564 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:36:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h783aFc9043162 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:36:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h783aF9d026582 for ; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:36:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h783aFfB026581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:36:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 07 Aug 2003 22:36:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080336.h783aFfB026581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR 21// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 080000Z8 TO 110000Z2 AUG 2003 A. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. A 072343Z9 SSM/I PASS AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATE WEAKENING CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. B. TY 11W HAS NOW LINKED UP WITH THE SHORTWAVE APPROACHING FROM NORTHWEST AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, COAMPS, JGSM, JTYM, AND AFWA MM5 ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 11W WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE KYUSHU COASTLINE. AFTER 24 HOURS, TY 11W IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER HONSHU AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. TY 11W IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITHIN 48 HOURS. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON A SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 072043Z6 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECASTED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 15:00:08 2003 X-UIDL: 34553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA0084CGME1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 14:56:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h786uTLb079373 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 14:56:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNCF030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 01:51:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 47804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 01:51:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h786onc9046462 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 01:50:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h786on9d028314 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 01:50:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h786onxS028313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 01:50:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 01:50:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080650.h786onxS028313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 080600 WARNING 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 955 HPA AT 32.1N 133.1E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 34.9N 135.4E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 38.3N 139.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 48.5N 149.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 976 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 16:40:14 2003 X-UIDL: 34607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA0080QL111D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:31:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h788VaLb011109 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:31:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvND7030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:28:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48185 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:28:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h788S6c9041220 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h788S69d029249 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:28:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h788S64G029248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:28:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:28:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080828.h788S64G029248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 45N 180E 39N 160E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 45N 132E ESE 10 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 47N 141E NE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1002 HPA AT 38N 119E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 57N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 45N 163E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 955 HPA AT 32.1N 133.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 141E TO 45N 145E 43N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 141E TO 44N 142E 42N 139E 39N 137E 37N 134E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 17:00:14 2003 X-UIDL: 34622-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008NAM7F1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:57:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h788v9Lb018742 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 16:57:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77L1vtD035500; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:51:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h788pWc9039474 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h788pV9d029453 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:51:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h788pVlo029452 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:51:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 03:51:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 022 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308080851.h788pVlo029452@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 080900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 32.0N5 133.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.0N5 133.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 34.6N3 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 37.7N7 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 41.9N4 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 46.6N6 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION NEAR 32.6N1 133.6E3. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED 140 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. THE MOST RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTS A SYMMETRICAL 30 NM DIAMETER EYE. A 080600Z4 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION AT CAPE MURUOTOMISAKI ON THE EASTERN SHORELINE OF SHIKOKU, JAPAN REPORTED SUSTAINED 82 KNOTS FOR TWO CONSECUTIVE HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 40 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4, 082100Z1, 090300Z2 AND 090900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 08 22:05:19 2003 X-UIDL: 34741-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJA008NJX781D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 20:54:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78CscLb085763 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 20:54:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78ApfiJ038780; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 07:49:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 49240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 07:47:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78Cljc9047054 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 07:47:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78Clj9d001502 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 07:47:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78CljPc001501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 07:47:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 07:47:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081247.h78CljPc001501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 081200 WARNING 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 950 HPA AT 33.2N 133.9E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 35.9N 136.6E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 39.9N 141.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 50.0N 150.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 976 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:34 2003 X-UIDL: 34780-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB008VM1NR1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:31:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78EUtLb011092 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 22:30:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78Apfrx038780; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:27:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 50279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78ER1c9048718 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78ER19d003758 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78ER1da003757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 09:27:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081427.h78ER1da003757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 47N 145E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 145E TO 47N 146E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 146E TO 46N 149E 44N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 146E TO 42N 143E 40N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 350 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 44N 180E 40N 170E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 46N 134E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 52N 172E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 57N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 43N 166E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 950 HPA AT 33.2N 133.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 34788-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB0081G3TA1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:17:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78FHOLb025516 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:17:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNMh030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:12:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51021 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:11:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78FBpc9018346 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:11:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78FBp9d005049 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:11:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78FBpW3005048 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:11:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:11:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 023 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081511.h78FBpW3005048@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 33.3N9 134.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.3N9 134.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 35.9N7 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 39.2N4 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 44.2N0 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 34.0N7 134.6E4. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED 100 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWAKUNI MCAS, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. TY 11W IS CURRENTLY MAKING LANDFALL ABOUT 15 NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OF CAPE MURUOTOMISAKI ON THE ISLAND OF SKIKOKU, JAPAN. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS REPORTED THAT CAPE MURUOTOMISAKI EXPERIENCED SUSTAINED TYPHOON STRENGTH WINDS FOR 6 HOURS STRAIGHT FROM 080500Z3 TO 081100Z0 WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT 82 KNOTS. THE SURFACE PRESSURE AT CAPE MURUOTOMISAKI WAS REPORTED TO BE 951.7 MB AT 081200Z1. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1, 090300Z2, 090900Z8 AND 091500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:41 2003 X-UIDL: 34789-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB0086I3VP1D@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:19:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78FIqLb025930 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:18:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h77EvNMn030516; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:12:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:11:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78FBqc9033216 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:11:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78FBp9d005054 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:11:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78FBpdt005051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:11:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 10:11:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081511.h78FBpdt005051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR/23// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 081200Z0 TO 100000Z1 AUG 2003 A. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED 100 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWAKUNI MCAS, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. TY 11W IS CURRENTLY MAKING LANDFALL ABOUT 15 NM TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OF CAPE MURUOTOMISAKI ON THE ISLAND OF SKIKOKU, JAPAN SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS REPORTED THAT CAPE MURUOTOMISAKI EXPERIENCED SUSTAINED TYPHOON STRENGTH WINDS FOR 6 HOURS STRAIGHT FROM 080500Z3 TO 081100Z0 WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT 82 KNOTS. THE SURFACE PRESSURE AT CAPE MURUOTOMISAKI WAS REPORTED TO BE 951.7 MB AT 081200Z1. B. TY 11W WILL CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST TAKING THE STORM ACROSS SHIKOKU, HONSHU, AND THEN ALONG THE WESTERN SHORELINE OF HONSHU WHEN IT FINALLY ACCELERATES INTO HOKKAIDO AND COMPLETES TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGGR, GFDN, COAMPS, JGSM, AFWA, AND JTYM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. COAMPS AND EGGR REMAIN OUTLIERS WITH A MORE EASTWARD FORECAST TRACK THAN THE OTHER AIDS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGGR AND COAMPS. C. TY 11W WILL WEAKEN VERY RAPIDLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND WHICH INCLUDES TERRAIN EXCEEDING 6000 FEET. THE MID LEVEL AND UPPER LEVEL PORTIONS OF TY 11W MAY BECOME DECOUPLED FROM THE LOW LEVEL AS TY 11W TRANSITS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SHIKOKU AND HONSHU MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TY 11W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK AS IT SKIRTS THE WESTERN COASTLINE OF HONSHU DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR AND CONTINUED INTERACTION WITH LAND. TY 11W WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IN 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 48 HOURS NORTH OF HOKKAIDO. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON A 080904Z1 QUIKSCAT PASS; FORECASTED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LARGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/NOREN/BAK/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:45 2003 X-UIDL: 34800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KZ2EDBIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:05:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78J5SLb091898 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:05:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNVgb029752; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:48:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 53043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:48:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78ImVc9032908 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:48:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78ImV9d010731 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:48:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78ImU4t010730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:48:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 13:48:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0310 Etau (0310) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308081848.h78ImU4t010730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 081800 WARNING 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 965 HPA AT 34.3N 134.8E NORTHEAST OF SHIKOKU MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 37.3N 138.4E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 42.1N 143.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 51.0N 152.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 976 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 34805-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KSTJ33IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:47:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78KlKLb026307 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:47:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNVrb029752; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:43:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 54804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:28:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78KSpc9018644 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:28:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78KSp9d013534 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:28:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78KSo7w013533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:28:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:28:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308082028.h78KSo7w013533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 48N 146E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 146E TO 48N 148E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 148E TO 46N 151E 43N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 148E TO 45N 147E 44N 144E 41N 142E 40N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 38N 159E 38N 149E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 19N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 06N 145E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 994 HPA AT 46N 134E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 52N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 43N 169E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0310 ETAU (0310) 965 HPA AT 34.3N 134.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 34807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00K58JAMIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78KppLb027716 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 04:51:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNVtP029752; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:47:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 55720 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:47:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78KlRc9033000 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:47:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78KlQ9d014077 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:47:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78KlQRW014076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:47:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 15:47:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 024 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308082047.h78KlQRW014076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 082100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 34.4N1 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.4N1 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 37.5N5 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 41.5N0 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 46.9N9 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 35.2N0 135.6E5. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF OSAKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND RADAR AND SYNOPTIC FIXES. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATING A SLIGHTLY LOWER INTENSITY. THE SURFACE PRESSURE AT TOKUSHIMA,JAPAN WAS 964 MB AT 081620Z7. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2, 090900Z8, 091500Z5 AND 092100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:48 2003 X-UIDL: 34813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KW9MTIIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 06:08:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78M7xLb047044 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 06:08:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GOoFP030556; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 17:03:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 56403 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 17:03:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78M3Ac9037192 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 17:03:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h78M3A9d015867 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 17:03:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h78M3AJA015866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 17:03:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 17:03:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 07e (guillermo) Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308082203.h78M3AJA015866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 082200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07E (GUILLERMO) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 16.1N8 119.2W3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 119.2W3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.9N5 120.7W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.9N5 122.8W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 15.9N5 125.1W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 16.0N7 127.4W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 16.0N7 131.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.0N7 135.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.0N7 139.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 082200Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 119.7W8. TROPICAL STORM (GUILLERMO) 07E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 0818000Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45, AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090400Z3, 091000Z0, 091600Z6 AND 092200Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:12:49 2003 X-UIDL: 34817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KW5UILIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 08:54:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h790sELb082396 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 08:54:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGk7045850; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:51:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 58387 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:51:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h790pWc9033010 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h790pW9d017800 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:51:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h790pWxT017799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:51:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 19:51:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0310 Etau (0310) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090051.h790pWxT017799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 090000 WARNING 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 975 HPA AT 35.7N 136.4E HONSHU MOVING NORTHEAST 19 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 30 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 39.7N 140.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 45.0N 147.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:32:30 2003 X-UIDL: 34828-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJB00KDKZ1DIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 10:32:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h792VtLb006963 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 10:31:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGoP045850; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 59456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h792Rwc9050150 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h792Rw9d018876 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h792RwkM018875 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:27:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090227.h792RwkM018875@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 50N 147E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 147E TO 50N 149E 50N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 151E TO 49N 154E 45N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 151E TO 47N 150E 44N 147E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 44N 147E TO 44N 145E 43N 142E 42N 140E 41N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 39N 160E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 05N 144E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 994 HPA AT 47N 134E NE SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 158E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 52N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 165E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 174E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 975 HPA AT 35.7N 136.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 174E TO 31N 179E 32N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 10:58:20 2003 X-UIDL: 34831-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KKI097IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 10:58:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h792w3Lb012676 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 10:58:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNUuT017416; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:53:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 59557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:53:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h792rjc9030070 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:53:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h792ri9d019070 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:53:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h792riHh019069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:53:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:53:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 025 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090253.h792riHh019069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 090300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 35.5N3 136.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 35.5N3 136.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 39.2N4 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 43.9N6 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 49.2N5 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 36.4N3 137.2E3. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED 180 NM EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND RADAR FIXES. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TY 11W MADE LANDFALL NEAR OSAKA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AT APPROXIMATELY 081900Z8. LOWEST MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE REPORTED WAS 973 MB. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS STRATIFORM CLOUDS IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED WITH LANDFALL AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN IMAGERY. TY 11W IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8, 091500Z5, 092100Z2 AND 100300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 11:10:30 2003 X-UIDL: 34832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K3B0GHIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 11:02:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7932YLb013885 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 11:02:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGot045850; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:58:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 59613 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:58:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h792wgc9030626 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:58:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h792wf9d019112 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:58:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h792wf9B019111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:58:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 21:58:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090258.h792wf9B019111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 090300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR/25// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 090000Z9 TO 101200Z4 AUG 2003 A. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED 180 NM EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 082330Z6 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND RADAR FIXES. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TY 11W MADE LANDFALL NEAR OSAKA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AT APPROXIMATELY 081900Z8. LOWEST MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE REPORTED WAS 973 MB. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS STRATIFORM CLOUDS IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED WITH LANDFALL AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN IMAGERY. B. TY 11W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED EAST OF JAPAN IS STEERING TY 11W TO THE NORTHEAST. THE MAJORITY OF AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, NOGAPS, NCEP(GFS), EGRR, GFDN, COAMPS, JGSM, AND JTYM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. AFWA IS AN OUTLIER TAKING TY 11W MUCH SLOWER ALONG THE SAME TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 11W HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER LAND. TY 11W REMAINS FAIRLY WELL VERTICALLY STACKED AS IT TRANSITS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. TY 11W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT SKIRTS THE COASTLINE OF HONSHU AND UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. TY 11W IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. D. NO ANALYZED WIND RADII. 3. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 13:39:09 2003 X-UIDL: 34845-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KGJ5UIIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 12:59:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h794x0Lb041032 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 12:59:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78GNUvl017416; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:54:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:54:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h794src9030202 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:54:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h794sq9d020190 for ; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:54:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h794sqgi020189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:54:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 08 Aug 2003 23:54:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 11w (etau) Warning Nr 025a Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090454.h794sqgi020189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN32 PGTW 090300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 025A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 35.5N3 136.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 35.5N3 136.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 39.2N4 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 43.9N6 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 49.2N5 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 36.4N3 137.2E3. TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED 180 NM WEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND RADAR FIXES. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TY 11W MADE LANDFALL NEAR OSAKA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AT APPROXIMATELY 081900Z8. LOWEST MEAN SEA LEVEL PRESSURE REPORTED WAS 973 MB. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS STRATIFORM CLOUDS IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED WITH LANDFALL AND IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN IMAGERY. TY 11W IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8, 091500Z5, 092100Z2 AND 100300Z4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED POSITION IN REMARKS SECTION TO READ WEST OF TOKYO.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:10:50 2003 X-UIDL: 34856-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KMP93MIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 14:09:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7969FLb054857 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 14:09:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGrp045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:04:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7963Kc9013638 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7963J9d020825 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7963J24020823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:03:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090603.h7963J24020823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090322ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N3 136.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM WEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 090300 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:10:57 2003 X-UIDL: 34861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KZDB62IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 14:54:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h796rtLb064529 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 14:53:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGsJ045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:49:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60920 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:49:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h796nNc9039678 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:49:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h796nN9d021110 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:49:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h796nN3d021109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:49:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 01:49:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0310 Etau (0310) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090649.h796nN3d021109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 090600 WARNING 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 980 HPA AT 37.6N 139.1E HONSHU MOVING NORTHEAST 28 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 42.2N 144.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 47.9N 151.2E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 978 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:10:58 2003 X-UIDL: 34867-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K78F9GIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:22:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798MILb081470 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:22:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGsl045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:19:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:19:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798JUc9018580 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:19:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h798JU9d021888 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:19:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h798JUHJ021887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:19:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:19:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning Nr 026 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090819.h798JUHJ021887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 090900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 026 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 11W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 36.6N5 138.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 36.6N5 138.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 40.7N1 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 45.2N1 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 48.9N1 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 37.6N6 139.4E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED OVER LAND APPROXIMATELY 90 MILES NORTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OVER LAND AND IT IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) USING SATELLITE IMAGERY. TS 11W IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 12 TO 18 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 DUE TO SYSTEM BEING OVER LAND FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5, 092100Z2, 100300Z4 AND 100900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 34870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KSPFT0IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:34:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798Y3Lb083598 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 16:34:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955veF017418; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 61222 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h798V2c9018640 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h798V29d021978 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h798V25n021977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 03:31:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308090831.h798V25n021977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 45N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 38N 157E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 50N 148E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 52N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 42N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 980 HPA AT 37.6N 139.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 148E TO 51N 151E 50N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 153E TO 48N 158E 44N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 153E TO 47N 153E 44N 148E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 44N 148E TO 43N 145E 40N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:11:08 2003 X-UIDL: 34891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KDYRUAIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 20:54:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Cs2Lb029232 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 20:54:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGvj045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 07:49:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 07:49:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Cnlc9021784 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 07:49:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Cnl9d024100 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 07:49:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79CnlAs024099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 07:49:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 07:49:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0310 Etau (0310) Downgraded From Severe Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091249.h79CnlAs024099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTJP22 RJTD 091200 WARNING 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 39.4N 141.4E NORTHERN JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 44.4N 147.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 984 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 49.0N 153.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 22:44:17 2003 X-UIDL: 34898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00K86WGVIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:34:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79EXtLb046808 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:34:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vi3017418; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:30:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62767 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79EUEc9058730 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:30:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79EUD9d024988 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79EUDEs024987 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:30:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091430.h79EUDEs024987@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 36N 160E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 51N 148E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 49N 176E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 174E SE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 985 HPA AT 39.4N 141.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 148E TO 50N 152E 48N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 155E TO 45N 158E 41N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 155E TO 46N 153E 45N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 45N 150E TO 44N 147E 41N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 129E TO 33N 136E 37N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 23:04:44 2003 X-UIDL: 34899-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KY6WZQIH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:45:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79EjKLb048896 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:45:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGxt045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:40:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:40:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79EeWc9021216 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:40:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79EeV9d025057 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:40:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79EeUtR025056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:40:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:40:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning Nr 027 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091440.h79EeUtR025056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN32 PGTW 091500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- NEAR 39.0N2 140.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 31 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 39.0N2 140.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 42.9N5 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 47.0N1 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 51.2N8 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 40.0N4 141.7E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED OVER LAND APPROXIMATELY 80 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 31 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OVER LAND AND IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE THIS TRANSITION OVER THE NEXT 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2, 100300Z4, 100900Z0 AND 101500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 09 23:04:45 2003 X-UIDL: 34900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJC00KZDX11IH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:46:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Ek6Lb049028 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 22:46:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGxv045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:41:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:41:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h79Efec9012224 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:41:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h79Efe9d025082 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:41:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h79Efenc025081 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:41:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 09:41:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 11w (etau) Warning/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308091441.h79Efenc025081@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN32 PGTW 091500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 11W (ETAU) WARNING/ NR/27// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 091200Z2 TO 110000Z2 AUG 2003 A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 11W (ETAU), LOCATED OVER LAND APPROXIMATELY 80 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 31 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OVER LAND AND IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE THIS TRANSITION OVER THE NEXT 06 HOURS. B. TS 11W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE MAJORITY OF AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, NOGAPS, EGRR, JGSM, AND JTYM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. AFWA IS AN OUTLIER TAKING TS 11W SIGNIFICANTLY SLOWER ALONG THE SAME TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 11W CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY OVER LAND AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT MOVES OFF LAND INTO COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND COMPLETES ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. TS 11W IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN 06 HOURS. D. TS 11W DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:01:58 2003 X-UIDL: 34954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD0018ITUXAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:35:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2ZFtR041257 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:35:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGIv045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:31:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 68533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2Vgc9049944 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A2Vg9d002094 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A2VgmF002093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:31:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:31:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100231.h7A2VgmF002093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 984 HPA AT 45N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 147E TO 47N 152E 45N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 147E TO 39N 146E 35N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 45N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 147E TO 47N 153E 45N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 147E TO 40N 147E 35N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 180E 36N 163E 40N 154E 38N 149E 39N 145E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 37N 135E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 167E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:00 2003 X-UIDL: 34955-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD001A8TXBAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:36:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2aetR041479 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:36:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGIx045850; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:34:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 68545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:34:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2Ybc9018538 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:34:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A2Yb9d002116 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A2YbdP002115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:34:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100234.h7A2YbdP002115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100000 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 45N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 147E TO 47N 153E 45N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 147E TO 40N 147E 35N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 180E 36N 163E 40N 154E 38N 149E 39N 145E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 37N 135E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 167E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:00 2003 X-UIDL: 34957-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJD001WFUIYAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:49:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2ndtR043670 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 10:49:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vut017418; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:46:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 68626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:46:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A2k0c9018614 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:46:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A2k09d002163 for ; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A2k0fC002162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:46:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 09 Aug 2003 21:46:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100246.h7A2k0fC002162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100000 CCB WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TROPICAL STORM 0310 ETAU (0310) 984 HPA AT 45N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 147E TO 47N 153E 45N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 147E TO 40N 147E 35N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 180E 36N 163E 40N 154E 38N 149E 39N 145E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 37N 135E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 167E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:07 2003 X-UIDL: 34972-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001DX3NGAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 14:06:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A66jtR076297 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 14:06:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGP5045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:01:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 69755 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A60kc9057850 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A60j9d003742 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A60jtd003740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 01:00:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100600.h7A60jtd003740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/091952ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091800Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 11W (ETAU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.1N6 143.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 30 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 092100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 13.7N1 133.1E8, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE AREA, HOWEVER ANY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:08 2003 X-UIDL: 34976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE001SCAGWAT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:34:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8Y1tR005839 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 16:34:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955vxl017418; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 70317 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7A8Skc9043226 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7A8Se9d004976 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7A8Set6004975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 03:28:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308100828.h7A8Set6004975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 48N 151E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 48N 160E 44N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 42N 151E 38N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 35N 147E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 38N 173E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 39N 137E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 57N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 111E TO 32N 119E 31N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:21 2003 X-UIDL: 35004-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJE00HB3RAN1M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:37:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AEbStR064758 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 22:37:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7955v39017418; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:27:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 72173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AERDc9025018 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AERD9d007489 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AERDrI007488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:27:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 09:27:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308101427.h7AERDrI007488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 154E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 154E TO 50N 156E 50N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 159E TO 48N 164E 44N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 159E TO 44N 156E 39N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 35N 164E 35N 148E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 33N 121E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 37N 176E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 57N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 110E TO 30N 116E 33N 121E 32N 126E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:29 2003 X-UIDL: 35026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00HNX7S11M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:33:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AKXTtR031871 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 04:33:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h78MXGar045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:29:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 74913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7AKTTc9012992 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7AKTT9d010527 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7AKTTNP010526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:29:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 15:29:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308102029.h7AKTTNP010526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 51N 159E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 159E TO 49N 164E 45N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 159E TO 46N 160E 41N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 52N 153E MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 38N 141E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 31N 180E 37N 152E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 123E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 129E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 178E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 111E TO 30N 117E 34N 123E 34N 125E 33N 129E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 12:02:39 2003 X-UIDL: 35055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00II4OFYN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:33:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B2XStR000800 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 10:33:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILir045850; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 77833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B2Ruc9046516 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B2Rt9d013602 for ; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B2RtB2013601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 10 Aug 2003 21:27:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110227.h7B2RtB2013601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 52N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 161E TO 50N 166E 48N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 161E TO 45N 160E 41N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 54N 152E MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 46N 150E 53N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 38N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 33N 127E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 180E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 127E TO 32N 130E 31N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 127E TO 31N 122E 28N 115E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 20N 108E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:05 2003 X-UIDL: 35086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJF00IE3XDIN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:46:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B5kMtR048713 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 13:46:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILof045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 79679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B5fLc9036984 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B5fK9d015232 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B5fKHa015230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 00:41:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110541.h7B5fKHa015230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 133.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 21:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 35105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00I5D5E8N5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:39:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8dbtR094694 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 16:39:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILpT045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:34:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:34:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8YOc9034136 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:34:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7B8YN9d016689 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:34:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7B8YNTX016688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:34:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 03:34:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308110834.h7B8YNTX016688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 162E TO 53N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 167E TO 47N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 167E TO 45N 167E 42N 159E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 159E TO 42N 152E 38N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 53N 153E MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 180E 38N 163E 37N 150E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 156E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 130E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 161E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 34N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 28N 117E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 11 22:51:56 2003 X-UIDL: 35133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJG00I4JLSKN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:33:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BEXptR081063 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 22:33:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILvx045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:27:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 82066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:27:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BER2c9050960 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BER29d021490 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:27:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BER15E021489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 09:27:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308111427.h7BER15E021489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 162E TO 51N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 174E TO 45N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 174E TO 46N 171E 43N 164E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 43N 164E TO 43N 154E 38N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 180E 38N 161E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 45N 148E 51N 157E 60N 162E 60N 180E 37N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 134E ENE 25 KT. LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 31N 179W SSW 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 134E TO 38N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 134E TO 31N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 125E TO 30N 122E 28N 115E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:35 2003 X-UIDL: 35163-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00IXN2JLN5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:35:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BKZdtR076318 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 04:35:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILBP045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:30:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 86271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:30:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7BKU0c9042518 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:30:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7BKU09d002836 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:30:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7BKU0kM002835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:30:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 15:30:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308112030.h7BKU0kM002835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 40N 180E 38N 161E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 38N 139E ENE 30 KT. LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 166E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 32N 160E EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 139E TO 40N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 139E TO 33N 132E 31N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 125E TO 29N 120E 28N 114E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 166E TO 53N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 175E TO 47N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 175E TO 45N 171E 43N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 43N 163E TO 43N 155E 40N 145E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 12:14:47 2003 X-UIDL: 35185-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00LOWJ2GY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:32:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C2WTtR055575 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 10:32:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILOt045850; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:29:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 89776 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:29:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C2Tlc9048660 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:29:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C2Tl9d008478 for ; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:29:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C2Tlg7008477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:29:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 11 Aug 2003 21:29:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120229.h7C2Tlg7008477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 39N 163E 34N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 164E EAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 164E TO 54N 172E 51N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 179W TO 48N 176W 44N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 179W TO 46N 178E 45N 169E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 45N 169E TO 41N 147E 35N 137E 30N 129E 27N 112E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 20N 107E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 32N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 14:42:28 2003 X-UIDL: 35205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJH00L2NST5Y3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 14:03:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C62vtR004440 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 14:02:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILTh045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C5w4c9039046 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C5w09d010296 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C5w0fn010294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 00:58:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120558.h7C5w0fn010294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Aug 12 16:39:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI00LW700RY3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:38:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C8cjtR041569 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 16:38:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8Zq4N024814; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:27:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 91659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7C8R6c9019808 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7C8R59d011579 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:27:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7C8R59D011578 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:27:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 03:27:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308120827.h7C8R59D011578@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 41N 142E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 40N 164E 37N 150E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 167E ENE 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 167E TO 53N 180E 51N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 176W TO 47N 180E 45N 175E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 20N 106E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 32N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 114E TO 29N 125E 33N 135E 35N 140E 42N 150E 45N 160E 45N 175E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:22 2003 X-UIDL: 35250-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006A8GFY3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:33:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CEXPtR022975 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 22:33:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7ALILZt045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:26:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 93041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:26:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CEQcc9037186 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:26:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CEQc9d016418 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:26:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CEQcsW016417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:26:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 09:26:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308121426.h7CEQcsW016417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 47N 152E 54N 161E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 40N 164E 36N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 171E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 36N 125E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 165E EAST 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 171E TO 54N 180E 52N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 175W TO 46N 180E 46N 177E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 46N 177E TO 45N 160E 40N 147E 35N 140E 30N 130E 27N 116E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:39 2003 X-UIDL: 35283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJI006QXX3S3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:33:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKXMtR008261 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 04:33:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5Wjf045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:28:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 96176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:28:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CKShc9038662 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:28:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7CKSg9d028149 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:28:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7CKSgc8028148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:28:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 15:28:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308122028.h7CKSgc8028148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 37N 156E 35N 148E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 173E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 40N 131E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 17N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 167W TO 48N 170W 46N 176W 45N 178E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 122E TO 31N 133E 36N 142E 38N 149E 41N 153E 45N 166E 45N 178E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 11:40:45 2003 X-UIDL: 35302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ0068VDRT3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:33:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2XLtR083326 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 10:33:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7CG5WsL045850; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:29:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99211 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:29:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D2TNc9047034 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D2TN9d003921 for ; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D2TNLh003920 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:29:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 12 Aug 2003 21:29:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130229.h7D2TNLh003920@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 43N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 39N 180E 35N 154E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 55N 180E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 22N 138E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 40N 133E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 114E TO 30N 129E 36N 144E 43N 157E 46N 174E 47N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 14:23:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35330-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ006I3MZE3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 13:52:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D5qItR037546 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 13:52:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59Oeb054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 100933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D5jvc9010322 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D5ju9d005887 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D5juMI005885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 00:45:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130545.h7D5juMI005885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 13 21:05:56 2003 X-UIDL: 35341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJJ0067XUBW3B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:31:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D8UwtR079450 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 16:31:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7B8ZqNN024814; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:27:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 101453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:27:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D8RIc9039938 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7D8RI9d007220 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7D8RICm007219 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:27:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 03:27:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308130827.h7D8RICm007219@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 180E 41N 162E 34N 150E 33N 145E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 55N 179W EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 24N 138E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 42N 136E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 52N 139E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 168E ENE SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 115E TO 30N 128E 35N 145E 44N 163E 47N 174W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 00:40:02 2003 X-UIDL: 35369-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005YXBC8ZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 13 Aug 2003 22:38:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DEcOtR065529 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 22:38:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59Ol5054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:27:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 102944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DER9c9036364 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:27:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DER89d012093 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DER8Kf012092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:27:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 09:27:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308131427.h7DER8Kf012092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 148E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 39N 166E 34N 152E 33N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 24N 137E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 45N 144E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 171E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 115E TO 29N 128E 36N 146E 45N 166E 49N 166W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:38 2003 X-UIDL: 35394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK005SCRQ8ZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:32:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DKWQtR058843 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 04:32:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59O2f054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 15:29:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 106989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 15:29:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DKSxc9035886 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 15:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DKSx9d024114 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 15:28:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DKSxuA024113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 15:28:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 15:28:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308132028.h7DKSxuA024113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 38N 141E 36N 145E 31N 143E 31N 140E 35N 140E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 36N 166E 35N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 156E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 45N 145E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 113E TO 30N 128E 34N 139E 38N 156E 46N 170E 45N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:42 2003 X-UIDL: 35402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJK0058IYAPZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 06:54:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DMsItR089308 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 06:54:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7D59O7p054072; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 108555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DMmCc9035912 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7DMmC9d027264 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7DMmCXc027262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 17:48:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308132248.h7DMmCXc027262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 132300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/132300Z/140600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.9N5 155.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF CHUUK, ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS. A 131948Z6 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONSOLIDATING NEAR A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS PROVIDING GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA IS FAVORABLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AS A FAIR AREA. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:44 2003 X-UIDL: 35412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL005HH8F4ZZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:33:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E2WvtR036071 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 10:32:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042fV054076; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:28:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 110327 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E2Snc9025300 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:28:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E2Sn9d029454 for ; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E2SnCw029453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2003 21:28:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140228.h7E2SnCw029453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 140E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 34N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 07N 155E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 46N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 115E TO 31N 130E 33N 140E 36N 146E 44N 175E 44N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:48 2003 X-UIDL: 35420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL001QEHPS83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 13:53:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E5ritR087586 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 13:53:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042jF054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 111609 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E5nQc9046882 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E5nQ9d001358 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E5nQaK001356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 00:49:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140549.h7E5nQaK001356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.9N5 155.3E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.8N4 154.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST OF CHUUK. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING OVER A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 14 20:46:51 2003 X-UIDL: 35429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJL0010EP1Q83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:32:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E8W7tR030719 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:32:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9pR024814; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 03:28:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 03:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E8Sfc9040134 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 03:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7E8Se9d002778 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 03:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7E8Sejq002777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 03:28:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 03:28:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308140828.h7E8Sejq002777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 40N 150E 37N 150E 35N 143E 32N 137E 34N 136E 36N 141E 39N 142E FOR NEXT 12HOURS . WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 07.7N 154.5E EAST OF TRUK MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 146E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 45N 148E ESE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 113E TO 29N 127E 31N 131E 36N 143E 45N 178E 50N 151W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:27 2003 X-UIDL: 35457-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001KK69283@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 14 Aug 2003 22:43:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EEhgtR019037 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 22:43:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC9vP024814; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 09:37:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 114679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 09:37:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EEbAc9042524 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 09:37:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EEb99d007716 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 09:37:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EEb9Sa007715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 09:37:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 09:37:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308141437.h7EEb9Sa007715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 40N 153E 38N 153E 37N 146E 33N 136E 34N 136E 36N 140E 40N 142E FOR NEXT 12HOURS . WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 08.9N 154.5E NEAR TRUK MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 38N 180E 30N 151E 34N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 57N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 46N 150E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 122E TO 32N 134E 37N 145E 37N 157E 40N 169E 45N 164W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:35 2003 X-UIDL: 35471-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001H6MHN83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:34:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EKYRtR013197 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:34:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7DLC98V024814; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:27:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 118555 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EKR5c9057290 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:27:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EKR59d019664 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:27:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EKR4GX019663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:27:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308142027.h7EKR4GX019663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 144E 43N 147E 43N 160E 41N 156E 41N 144E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 09.8N 152.7E NORTH OF TRUK MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 140E 40N 142E 43N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 40N 180E 34N 149E 37N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 57N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 153E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 120E TO 30N 131E 35N 140E 38N 146E 41N 170E 45N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:36 2003 X-UIDL: 35472-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM001MXNDM83@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:53:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EKrctR017830 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:53:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EJ5xm5019294; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:49:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 118736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EKjpc9025742 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EKjo9d020335 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EKjoDA020334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 15:45:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308142045.h7EKjoDA020334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPN21 PGTW 142030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 142021ZAUG2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.2N0 152.9E7 TO 11.2N4 148.0E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 141730Z6 INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 152.6E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8N4 154.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 152.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THIS LLCC IS CURRENTLY BEING SUPPRESSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO FILL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ENHANCE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EVEN FURTHER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 152030Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:36 2003 X-UIDL: 35473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJM0018XNW683@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:04:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EL4ltR020333 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 05:04:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E0428r054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 118872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7EL0vc9043020 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7EL0u9d020810 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7EL0ubl020808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 16:00:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308142100.h7EL0ubl020808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/REISSUED/142100Z/150600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/142021ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8N4 154.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 152.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THIS LLCC IS CURRENTLY BEING SUPPRESSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO FILL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ENHANCE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EVEN FURTHER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 142030) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 11:25:45 2003 X-UIDL: 35489-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003XS312L3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:31:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F2VbtR089031 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:31:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042Jl054076; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:27:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 121184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F2RHc9037438 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F2RH9d026546 for ; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F2RH3k026545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2003 21:27:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150227.h7F2RH3k026545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 148E 44N 150E 45N 160E 41N 157E 40N 148E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 09.1N 151.2E NORTH OF TRUK MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 48N 153E 55N 161E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 38N 160E 39N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 57N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 48N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 121E TO 28N 130E 32N 134E 36N 141E 40N 147E 39N 160E 42N 180E 44N 155W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 14:06:03 2003 X-UIDL: 35511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003EICVWKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 14:04:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F64ctR038017 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 14:04:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042Nf054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F5xuc9009988 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F5xu9d028620 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F5xuQ8028618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 00:59:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150559.h7F5xuQ8028618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/142021ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 152.6E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THIS LLCC IS CURRENTLY BEING SUPPRESSED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO FILL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ENHANCE THE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EVEN FURTHER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 25 KNOTS. THE FIRST WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM IS TO BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT 06 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 142030) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 19:23:16 2003 X-UIDL: 35525-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003MNJPPKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:32:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F8W7tR075454 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:32:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042Pf054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:28:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F8S1c9029018 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F8Rv9d000064 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F8Rvet000063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:27:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150827.h7F8Rvet000063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 149E 44N 150E 47N 162E 41N 160E 40N 149E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 09.1N 151.3E NORTH OF TRUK MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 37N 165E 38N 148E 35N 143E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 49N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 128E TO 30N 133E 33N 137E 34N 140E 40N 147E 41N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 19:23:18 2003 X-UIDL: 35527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003C5KDEL3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:46:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F8kJtR080232 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:46:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042Pl054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:42:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123189 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:42:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F8gFc9017622 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:42:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F8gE9d000211 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F8gEVH000210 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 03:42:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150842.h7F8gEVH000210@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/142021Z AUG 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 9.8N7 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N7 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 10.4N5 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 11.3N5 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.4N7 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.4N8 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 15.2N8 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 9.9N8 149.6E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 150530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A SECOND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION AND THE LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH THAT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 142021Z AUG 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 142030) NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2, 152100Z9, 160300Z0 AND 160900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 19:23:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003B8N2CKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 17:44:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F9iRtR097694 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 17:44:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042QH054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:41:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:41:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7F9fTc9010226 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:41:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7F9fT9d000815 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:41:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7F9fTnt000814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:41:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 04:41:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308150941.h7F9fTnt000814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 150941 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST FRI AUG 15 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W FORMS NORTHWEST OF CHUUK... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 410 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 445 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 AM SATURDAY GUAM LST. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION REFER TO LOCAL STATEMENTS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER THE HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. $$ WARD/AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 15 21:47:44 2003 X-UIDL: 35539-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN0038CVJDL3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 20:47:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FClQtR033345 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 20:47:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042St054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:42:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:42:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FCgWc9040990 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:42:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FCgV9d002446 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:42:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FCgV78002445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:42:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 07:42:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308151242.h7FCgV78002445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 151242 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST FRI AUG 15 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.7 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 410 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 445 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. A CONTINUATION OF THIS FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED WITH A SLIGHT TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 9.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.7 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SATURDAY GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM SATURDAY GUAM LST. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION REFER TO LOCAL STATEMENTS ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER THE HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. $$ WARD/AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:21:54 2003 X-UIDL: 35545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJN003SCZRDL3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:18:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FEIgtR049953 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:18:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042X1054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:13:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125281 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:13:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FEDLc9037056 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:13:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FEDK9d004532 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:13:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FEDKFh004531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:13:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:13:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308151413.h7FEDKFh004531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 9.9N8 149.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.9N8 149.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 10.7N8 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 11.7N9 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 12.6N9 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.5N9 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 15.2N8 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 10.1N2 149.3E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 12W HAS LOST MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT IN THE PAST 06 HOURS, HOWEVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS EVIDENT IN ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9, 160300Z0, 160900Z6 AND 161500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:21:55 2003 X-UIDL: 35546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003RG0TML3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:41:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FEfctR055097 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:41:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042X9054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:28:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FESic9057286 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:28:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FESh9d004930 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:28:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FEShNt004929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:28:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 09:28:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308151428.h7FEShNt004929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 40N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 148E TO 41N 153E 41N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 148E TO 38N 145E 36N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 34N 139E 31N 135E 31N 129E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 09.6N 149.8E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 37N 155E 35N 145E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 54N 147E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 156E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 170E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 155E TO 40N 161E 39N 170E 40N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:21:57 2003 X-UIDL: 35551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003HV3SZKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:46:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FFk4tR068302 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 23:46:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7E042Zb054076; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:34:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 126009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:34:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FFYSc9057800 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:34:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FFYS9d006926 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:34:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FFYSqc006925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:34:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 10:34:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308151534.h7FFYSqc006925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPQ31 PGUM 151534 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST SAT AUG 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W SOUTHEAST OF GUAM... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 385 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 420 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. A CONTINUATION OF THIS FORWARD SPEED AND MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY A PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:00 2003 X-UIDL: 35560-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003Y0DEHKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:13:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FJDKtR013229 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:13:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4Hj9025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 14:01:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 119608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 14:01:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FJ1Hc9028318 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 14:01:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FJ1H9d012596 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 14:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FJ1HpR012595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 14:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 14:01:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308151901.h7FJ1HpR012595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPQ31 PGUM 151901 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST SAT AUG 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W SOUTHEAST OF GUAM... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.3 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 420 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH. A CONTINUATION OF THIS FORWARD SPEED AND MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:02 2003 X-UIDL: 35567-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003C8HLDL3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:44:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FKhqtR038080 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:43:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADil016640; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:29:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:29:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FKTsc9015424 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:29:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FKTs9d015081 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FKTsPI015080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 15:29:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152029.h7FKTsPI015080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 41N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 150E TO 41N 156E 41N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 150E TO 39N 148E 38N 145E 36N 144E 35N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 143E TO 34N 140E 33N 137E 31N 135E 31N 129E 27N 120E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 10.0N 149.3E SOUTHEAST OF GUAM MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 37N 168E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 54N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 160E TO 38N 171E 40N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:05 2003 X-UIDL: 35570-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003QEIULKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:11:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FLB0tR043144 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:11:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4Hn7025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:02:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:02:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FL2Kc9036402 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:02:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FL2K9d015931 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:02:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FL2KCK015929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:02:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:02:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152102.h7FL2KCK015929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 10.4N5 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 11.6N8 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.6N9 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 13.5N9 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.4N9 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.5N2 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.7N8 149.1E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO REMAIN MOSTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC); HOWEVER, RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION BEGINNING TO OCCUR OVER THE LLCC AS WELL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0, 160900Z6, 161500Z3 AND 162100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:06 2003 X-UIDL: 35573-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO0030GL0GKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:57:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FLvjtR052000 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 05:57:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4HpH025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:54:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 121525 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:54:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FLsAc9053166 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:54:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FLsA9d017169 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:54:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FLsAnH017168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:54:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 16:54:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152154.h7FLsAnH017168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 152153 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SAT AUG 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. A CONTINUATION OF THIS FORWARD SPEED AND MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY A PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:08 2003 X-UIDL: 35579-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003T8PGBL3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 07:33:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FNXetR067493 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 07:33:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADnX016640; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:29:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122313 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:29:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FNTHc9033806 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:29:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7FNTH9d018847 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:29:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7FNTHwr018846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:29:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 18:29:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 01c Warning Nr 001 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308152329.h7FNTHwr018846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 152200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 13.3N7 150.3W9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 150.3W9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 151.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.3N8 153.7W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.2N8 155.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 16.2N9 157.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.4N2 161.4W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 151800Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.3N4 150.3W9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01C, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151800Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 082030Z3 AUG 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:09 2003 X-UIDL: 35583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003RMTAUL3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 08:56:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G0umtR080930 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 08:56:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4HtJ025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:53:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122764 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:53:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G0rmc9007796 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:53:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G0rm9d019643 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:53:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G0rmxR019642 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:53:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:53:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160053.h7G0rmxR019642@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPQ31 PGUM 160053 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SAT AUG 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 11 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ MCMILLAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:09 2003 X-UIDL: 35584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO003SOTPTKU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:05:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G15ktR082604 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:05:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADoN016640; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:57:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122795 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G0v4c9007844 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G0v39d019680 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:57:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G0v3Cs019679 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:57:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 19:57:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160057.h7G0v3Cs019679@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIII, Probability=26%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPQ31 PGUM 160056 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SAT AUG 16 2003 CORRECTED HEADER ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 380 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 11 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 10.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.1 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ MCMILLAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:11 2003 X-UIDL: 35587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO00GICXP0OL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:31:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G2VatR098321 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:31:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4Hv9025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:27:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123359 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G2RKc9036446 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G2RG9d020476 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G2RGI8020475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:27:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160227.h7G2RGI8020475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 42N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 153E TO 42N 160E 41N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 153E TO 39N 150E 38N 146E 35N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 143E TO 34N 140E 33N 138E 31N 135E 31N 130E 27N 120E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 11.5N 148.7E SOUTHEAST OF GUAM MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 42N 142E 46N 150E 53N 160E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 38N 170E 40N 154E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 49N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 164E TO 39N 170E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:11 2003 X-UIDL: 35588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO00GPWXTQOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:34:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G2YVtR098835 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:34:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADpN016640; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:30:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123376 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:30:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G2UFc9048330 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:30:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G2UF9d020516 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G2UF2X020515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:30:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 21:30:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160230.h7G2UF2X020515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- NEAR 10.7N8 149.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N8 149.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 11.7N9 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 12.7N0 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 13.6N0 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 14.6N1 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.5N2 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 160000Z0 POSITION NEAR 10.7N8 149.1E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 152330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION REMAINING TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SHORT BURSTS OF CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6, 161500Z3, 162100Z0 AND 170300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:13 2003 X-UIDL: 35593-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJO00GSOZTAOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:17:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G3HRtR006980 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:17:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FG4H05025020; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:13:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 123958 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:13:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G3DEc9039548 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:13:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G3DD9d021018 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:13:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G3DD7e021017 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:13:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:13:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 12w Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160313.h7G3DD7e021017@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 160000Z7 TO 190000Z0 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 152330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION REMAINING TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SHORT BURSTS OF CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER THE LLCC. B. TD 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR AND COAMPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. NOGAPS AND COWAMPS ARE THE OUTLIERS TO THIS SCENARIO WITH NOGAPS PROJECTING A MORE POLEWARD SOLUTION WHILE COMAMPS IS MORE EQUATORWARD, FORECASTING THE TRACK TO STAY SOUTH OF GUAM. C. INTENSIFICATION OF TD 12W CONTINUES TO BE DELAYED DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF A TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARDS FROM A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE NORTHWEST INDUCING SOUTHWEST SHEAR TO THE SYSTEM. THE TUTT FEATURE THAT IS SUPPRESSING INTENSIFICATION IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM TD 12W AND SHOULD ALLOW THE ENVIRONMENT TO IMPROVE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT INTENSIFICATION AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTER APPROXIMATELY THE 48 HOUR TAU, TD 12W WILL ENCOUNTER LINEAR FLOW ALOFT ALLOWING CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION, BUT AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGED SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/COOK/BAK/EDBERG/// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 12:22:14 2003 X-UIDL: 35598-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GPQ0ZSOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:43:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G3grtR011666 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 11:42:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADrn016640; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:38:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124083 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G3avc9044322 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:36:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G3av9d021153 for ; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G3avOn021152 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:36:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 15 Aug 2003 22:36:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160336.h7G3avOn021152@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 160336 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST SAT AUG 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.8 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 320 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ MCMILLAN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 15:13:25 2003 X-UIDL: 35610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GMJ866OL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:18:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G6I0tR040014 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:18:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADwB016640; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G6D7c9040492 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G6D69d022588 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G6D6wQ022586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 01:13:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160613.h7G6D6wQ022586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/160151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED NEAR 10.7N8 149.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 15:13:28 2003 X-UIDL: 35615-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00HCFAO5HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:12:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G7BxtR049299 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:12:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577f5025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 02:08:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 02:08:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G78tc9029172 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 02:08:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G78s9d022996 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 02:08:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G78sT2022995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 02:08:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 02:08:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160708.h7G78sT2022995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 160708 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST SAT AUG 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 255 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 290 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION... REFER TO LOCAL STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:41 2003 X-UIDL: 35620-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GVHE9XOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:29:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G8TetR062263 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:29:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADxj016640; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:27:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:26:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G8Qxc9005148 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:26:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G8Qw9d023687 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:26:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G8QwHF023686 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:26:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:26:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160826.h7G8QwHF023686@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13.0N 147.5E SOUTHEAST OF GUAM MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 142E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 38N 167E 40N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 42N 155E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 155E TO 42N 162E 40N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 155E TO 39N 149E 34N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 143E TO 34N 140E 32N 134E 32N 127E 27N 117E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 17N 128E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 49N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 174E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 169E TO 39N 180E 40N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:41 2003 X-UIDL: 35621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00HDAEAWHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:30:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G8UMtR062401 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:30:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577g5025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:28:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:28:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G8S0c9055644 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:28:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G8Rx9d023694 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G8Rx9J023693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 03:27:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160827.h7G8Rx9J023693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 11.6N8 148.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 148.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.7N0 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.0N5 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.3N9 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.4N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.3N2 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 11.9N1 147.6E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3, 162100Z0, 170300Z1 AND 170900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:44 2003 X-UIDL: 35628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GTWG1GOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:08:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G97utR069050 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:07:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577gb025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:02:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 125927 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:02:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G91xc9048408 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:01:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G91x9d024004 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:01:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G91xJU024003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:01:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:01:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160901.h7G91xJU024003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 160901 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST SAT AUG 16 2003 CORRECTED FOR INCORRET HEADER AND NUMBER ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 255 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 290 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION... REFER TO LOCAL STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 20:43:44 2003 X-UIDL: 35630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GURHZFOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:50:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G9nstR075718 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 17:49:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577gv025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:39:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 126069 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:39:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G9dfc9036954 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:39:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7G9da9d024278 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:39:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7G9dZn0024277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:39:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 04:39:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308160939.h7G9dZn0024277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 160939 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST SAT AUG 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING THE MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.6 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 220 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 255 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 11.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM SUNDAY GUAM LST. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION...REFER TO LOCAL STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 21:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 35644-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00H4MQUTHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:01:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GD1UtR006399 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:01:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577jT025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 07:56:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 126827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 07:56:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GCuDc9021302 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 07:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GCuD9d026561 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 07:56:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GCuDOR026560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 07:56:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 07:56:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161256.h7GCuDOR026560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 161256 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST SAT AUG 16 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING THE MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 195 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 12.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SUNDAY GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 5 AM. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION...REFER TO LOCAL STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 23:23:22 2003 X-UIDL: 35650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GF0UZ1OL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:30:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEUUtR022569 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:30:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577kl025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:26:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:26:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEQjc9013424 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:26:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GEQi9d027611 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GEQi2o027610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:26:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161426.h7GEQi2o027610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13.2N 146.8E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 179W 34N 180E 38N 164E 39N 158E 35N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 42N 157E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 42N 166E 40N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 39N 151E 35N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 145E TO 34N 143E 32N 136E 32N 125E 25N 115E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 17N 128E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 48N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 177E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 23:23:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00HJBV2QHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:32:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEWitR022951 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:32:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577kn025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:29:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:29:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEToc9021308 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:29:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GETo9d027628 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GETocO027627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:29:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:29:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161429.h7GETocO027627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- NEAR 12.4N7 147.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 147.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 13.7N1 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.0N6 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.2N9 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.4N2 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.5N5 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION NEAR 12.7N0 147.0E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0, 170300Z1, 170900Z7 AND 171500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 16 23:23:24 2003 X-UIDL: 35655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00GL7V9TOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:37:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEattR023869 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 22:36:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577kp025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:30:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:30:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GEUoc9015934 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GEUo9d027651 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GEUohD027650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:30:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 09:30:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 12w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161430.h7GEUohD027650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W/ WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 161200Z0 TO 191200Z3 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. B. TD 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, AND COAMPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. NOGAPS AND COAMPS ARE THE OUTLIERS TO THIS SCENARIO WITH NOGAPS PROJECTING A MORE POLEWARD SOLUTION WHILE COMAMPS IS FASTER AND MORE EQUATORWARD. C. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE TO THE WEST AND ENHANCE POLEWARD OUTFLOW BY 48 HOURS. TD 12W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AFTER 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS INTO MORE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGED SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN/// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 01:36:26 2003 X-UIDL: 35659-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00H9DYBXHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:43:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GFh2tR034523 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:43:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577np025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:40:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:40:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GFe5c9058782 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:40:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GFe59d028566 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:40:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GFe5dw028565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:40:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:40:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161540.h7GFe5dw028565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 161539 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING THE MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 160 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 12.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 AM. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION...REFER TO LOCAL STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 01:36:28 2003 X-UIDL: 35661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJP00HKKYRKHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:52:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GFqPtR036094 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:52:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G82Lvj020756; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:48:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 127866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:48:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GFmNc9058850 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:48:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GFmM9d028652 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:48:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GFmM0w028651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:48:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 10:48:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161548.h7GFmM0w028651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 161548 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 6...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 17 2003 CORRECTED TO WATCH AND WARNING AREAS...TINIAN AND SAIPAN NOT IN WARNING ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING THE MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 160 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 190 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 12.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 AM. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION...REFER TO LOCAL STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:45 2003 X-UIDL: 35674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00GD185ROL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:15:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GJFHtR077030 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:15:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577tr025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:07:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:07:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GJ7mc9035826 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:07:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GJ7m9d001063 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:07:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GJ7lAe001062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:07:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 14:07:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308161907.h7GJ7lAe001062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 161907 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W APPROACHING THE MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 110 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AND 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 AM. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION... REFER TO LOCAL STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:48 2003 X-UIDL: 35678-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HG8BP6HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:31:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GKVltR095266 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:31:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577vx025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:27:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GKR6c9036956 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GKR69d002023 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GKR6N5002022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:27:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308162027.h7GKR6N5002022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 12.3N 146.7E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 142E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 40N 163E 35N 150E 36N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 43N 160E ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 160E TO 43N 169E 40N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 160E TO 40N 155E 37N 147E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 147E TO 34N 134E 30N 121E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 18N 126E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 175E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:49 2003 X-UIDL: 35681-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00G0TBTLOL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:34:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GKYQtR095839 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 04:34:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G82LG3020756; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:32:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 129963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:32:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GKWMc9048498 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:32:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GKWM9d002123 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:32:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GKWLrt002122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:32:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 15:32:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308162032.h7GKWLrt002122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 13.0N4 146.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 146.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.5N0 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.8N4 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.0N8 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 18.1N0 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 20.1N3 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.4N8 146.0E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSON AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVING ORGANIZATION WITH INCREASED CONVECTION ON THE SPIRAL BANDS AND CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1, 170900Z7, 171500Z4 AND 172100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:50 2003 X-UIDL: 35682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HC7F28HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:44:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GLiQtR009488 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 05:44:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G5770B025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:39:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130695 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:39:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7GLdIc9007996 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:39:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7GLdI9d003008 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:39:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7GLdIeq003007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:39:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 16:39:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308162139.h7GLdIeq003007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 162139 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 17 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W CLOSE TO THE MARIANA ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 85 MILES EAST OF GUAM AND 120 MILES SOUTH OF SAIPAN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 PM. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR LOCATION...REFER TO LOCAL STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER HEADER WTPQ81 PGUM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:55 2003 X-UIDL: 35689-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HRTOBQHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:04:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H14TPQ026200 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:04:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G57753025026; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:00:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 132275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:00:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H10Rc9044870 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:00:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H10R9d005008 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:00:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H10R20005007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:00:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 20:00:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170100.h7H10R20005007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WTPQ31 PGUM 170100 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SUN AUG 17 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR MARIANAS CANCELLED... AT 11 AM GUAM LST..THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUAM AND ROTA AND ALSO THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN WERE CANCELLED. LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS PASSING THROUGH THE MARIANAS AND REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS ARE NO LONGER A THREAT TO THE MARIANA ISLANDS. FOR THIS REASON THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR GUAM..ROTA..TINIAN..AND SAIPAN HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.6 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 35 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM AND 45 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 13.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ISSUED ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 17 11:25:58 2003 X-UIDL: 35693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HDOSF7HN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H2WvPQ040525 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 10:33:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G82Lb3020756; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:29:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 132875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:28:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H2Src9032898 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:28:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H2Sr9d005827 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H2Sr9c005826 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 21:28:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170228.h7H2Sr9c005826@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 12.4N 144.8E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 37N 155E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 44N 168E EAST 30 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 20N 124E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 46N 150E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 42N 174E 40N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 42N 163E 37N 152E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 152E TO 35N 144E 34N 138E 36N 136E 32N 126E 30N 117E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:12 2003 X-UIDL: 35700-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJQ00HLWYTBHN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 12:51:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H4p3PQ062053 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 12:51:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H2ivhN020756; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 133642 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H4mRc9016628 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H4mR9d006763 for ; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H4mQOH006761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2003 23:48:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170448.h7H4mQOH006761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/170151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHWEST OF ANDERSON AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:19 2003 X-UIDL: 35705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00J863DS8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 14:29:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H6TjPQ081801 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 14:29:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577A9025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 01:23:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 01:23:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H6Nmc9008154 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 01:23:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H6Nm9d007533 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 01:23:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H6Nmi2007532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 01:23:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 01:23:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170623.h7H6Nmi2007532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 13.9N3 144.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 144.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.4N0 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.8N5 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.1N0 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.2N2 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.2N5 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION NEAR 14.3N8 144.2E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHWEST OF ANDERSON AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 12W CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE WITH A RECENT 162332Z7 SSM/I PASS SHOWING DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE CENTER OF THE STORM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE SHOWS THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7, 171500Z4, 172100Z1 AND 180300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:20 2003 X-UIDL: 35706-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00JH47IB8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:58:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H7wpPQ098876 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:58:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577Av025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 02:53:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134571 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 02:53:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H7rwc9021764 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 02:53:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H7rv9d008100 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 02:53:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H7rvfL008099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 02:53:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 02:53:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170753.h7H7rvfL008099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 13.9N3 144.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 144.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.2N8 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.5N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.7N5 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.8N7 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 21.0N3 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.2N7 143.6E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION WITH NO IMPROVEMENT IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4, 172100Z1, 180300Z2 AND 180900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:20 2003 X-UIDL: 35708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00J7Q9518X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:34:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H8Y6PQ006130 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:34:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577BD025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H8MZc9041548 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H8MZ9d008520 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H8MZfm008518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:22:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170822.h7H8MZfm008518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/170151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 144.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: SPELLING ERROR AND ADDED POSITION TO PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:21 2003 X-UIDL: 35709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00JEY9CH8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:38:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H8cXPQ006796 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 16:38:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577BN025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:27:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134733 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7H8RQc9032594 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7H8RQ9d008556 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7H8RPQx008555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 03:27:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308170827.h7H8RPQx008555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13.0N 144.0E SOUTHWEST OF GUAM MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 46N 150E 53N 160E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 40N 170E 36N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 43N 169E ENE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 169E TO 43N 175E 41N 180E 38N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 169E TO 42N 165E 40N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 160E TO 36N 145E 34N 140E 36N 135E 30N 118E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 20N 123E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:26 2003 X-UIDL: 35722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00JCMPR68X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:33:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HEWwPQ064038 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:32:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577Gh025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:27:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137081 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HEREc9035836 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HERE9d010796 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HEREME010795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:27:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:27:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308171427.h7HEREME010795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 14.3N 142.5E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 46N 151E 54N 161E 60N 165E 60N 180E 41N 180E 41N 168E 36N 154E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 44N 175E ENE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 175E TO 43N 180E 39N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 175E TO 40N 165E 39N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 160E TO 34N 140E 36N 136E 34N 126E 31N 118E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 20N 123E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 178E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:27 2003 X-UIDL: 35725-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00J09QGZ8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:48:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HEmSPQ066363 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:48:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7FGADPh016640; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:44:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137262 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:44:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HEiXc9025644 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:44:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HEiX9d010929 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:44:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HEiXPR010928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:44:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:44:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308171444.h7HEiXPR010928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 14.7N2 142.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 142.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 15.9N5 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.1N9 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.4N3 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.4N4 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 21.3N6 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 142.1E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A 170833Z2 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS CONVERGENT FLOW NEAR THE DEEP CONVECTION, BUT NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1, 180300Z2, 180900Z8 AND 181500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:27 2003 X-UIDL: 35726-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJR00J0QQHK8X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:48:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HEmoPQ066435 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 22:48:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7G577H5025026; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:45:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 137265 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:45:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HEjnc9025664 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HEjn9d010942 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HEjn5b010941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:45:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 09:45:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 12w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308171445.h7HEjn5b010941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 WDPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W/ WARNING NR 10// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 171200Z1 TO 201200Z5 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A 170833Z2 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS CONVERGENT FLOW NEAR THE DEEP CONVECTION, BUT NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. B. TD 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR, AFWA MM5, JGSM, AND COAMPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MM5. AFWA MM5 IS SIGNIFICANTLY FASTER THAN THE OTHER DYNAMIC AIDS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON MM5. C. INTENSIFICATION OF TD 12W CONTINUES TO BE DELAYED DUE TO SLIGHT UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE ON THE WESTWARD QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM IS INHIBITING VENTILATION. BASED ON NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND A MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, TD 12W IS EXPECTED MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH 24 TO 48 HOURS AND THEN DISSIPATE BY 72 HOURS. D. THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT REQUIRE WIND RADII. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:33 2003 X-UIDL: 35740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00JXJ6C18X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:31:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HKV4PQ032342 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:31:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4ghp015102; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:28:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 139961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HKRvc9035958 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HKRv9d014118 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HKRvBd014117 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:27:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308172027.h7HKRvBd014117@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 15.5N 141.6E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 38N 142E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 35N 152E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 20N 122E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 137E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 45N 179E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 152E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 176E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 179E TO 43N 177W 39N 173W 38N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 179E TO 41N 171E 40N 166E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 166E TO 40N 161E 35N 139E 36N 136E 33N 125E 30N 117E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:34 2003 X-UIDL: 35742-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00J467J68X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:57:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HKuxPQ037156 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:57:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4giH015102; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:52:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 140239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:52:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HKqOc9040656 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:52:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7HKqO9d014457 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:52:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7HKqO1C014456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:52:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 15:52:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308172052.h7HKqO1C014456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XX, Probability=20%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 15.4N0 142.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 142.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.6N3 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.5N3 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.2N1 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 19.0N0 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.6N8 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.7N3 141.8E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM NORTHWEST OF ANDERSON AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND EXTRAPOLATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 12W CONTINUES TO NOT POSSESS AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE MOST RECENT 170837Z6 QUICKSCAT PASS DEPICTS SURFACE CONVERGENCE ONLY. THEREFORE, THE 171800Z7 POSITION FOR TD 12W HAS BEEN DETERMINED BY EXTRAPOLATION OF THE PREVIOUS POSITIONS AND THE APPARENT CENTER OF THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2, 180900Z8, 181500Z5 AND 182100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 11:58:47 2003 X-UIDL: 35768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00EL3N0IW2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 10:31:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I2VNPQ002320 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 10:31:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4gpF015102; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 21:28:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 142414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 21:28:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I2Sac9038418 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 21:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I2Sa9d017952 for ; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 21:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I2SZfg017951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 17 Aug 2003 21:28:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 17 Aug 2003 21:28:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180228.h7I2SZfg017951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 16.1N 141.5E SEA WEST OF MARIANAS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 20.6N 121.3E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 136E 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 160E 35N 147E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 153E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 116E TO 36N 136E 35N 140E 38N 146E 37N 157E 40N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 175W TO 42N 180E 40N 170E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 13:37:19 2003 X-UIDL: 35791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJS00ERMVM5W2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 13:37:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I5bAPQ044042 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 13:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4gth015102; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 143462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I5XBc9011172 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I5XB9d019764 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I5XB1b019762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 00:33:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180533.h7I5XB1b019762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 140.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TD 12W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 140.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 352 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS SURFACE TROUGHING IN THE REGION. UW-CIMSS CHART ANALYSIS SHOWS MINIMAL VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG WITH A FAIR AREA OF DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.6N4 125.5E3 IS RELOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 122.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 20:01:21 2003 X-UIDL: 35800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00EIB3PBW2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 16:32:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I8VpPQ001274 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 16:31:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4grB021420; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 03:27:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 03:27:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I8RKc9015592 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 03:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I8RK9d021810 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 03:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I8RKH6021809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 03:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 03:27:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180827.h7I8RKH6021809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 20.4N 121.2E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 16.9N 140.8E SEA WEST OF MARIANAS MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 35N 170E 35N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1012 HPA AT 27N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 46N 155E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 46N 169E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 118E TO 37N 138E 35N 140E 38N 147E 36N 160E 39N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 18 20:01:23 2003 X-UIDL: 35811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00E0689IW2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:10:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IAAKPQ028248 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 18:10:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4gvB015102; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 144261 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7I9xhc9037716 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7I9xg9d022572 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7I9xgae022570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 04:59:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308180959.h7I9xgae022570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100 ABPW10 PGTW 181000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/REISSUED/181000Z/190600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 140.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TD 12W PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 140.3E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 139.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 393 NM NORTHWEST OF GUAM. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM. UW-CIMSS CHART ANALYSIS SHOWS MINIMAL VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG WITH A FAIR AREA OF DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.6N4 125.5E3 IS RELOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 122.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:29 2003 X-UIDL: 36016-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005QERJUKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:02:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JJ2CuU020807 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:02:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JGcN47040078; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:46:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 175960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:46:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JIkBc9033560 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JIkA9d028941 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JIkAZj028937 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:46:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:46:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0311 Vamco (0311) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191846.h7JIkAZj028937@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 191800 WARNING 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0311 VAMCO (0311) 996 HPA AT 25.5N 122.4E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 27.5N 119.2E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 28.6N 116.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:30 2003 X-UIDL: 36020-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV0056RVZCKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:38:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JKbpuU035720 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:37:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JGh6w5053106; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 178690 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JKRec9024806 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JKRe9d012936 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JKReSs012935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:27:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308192027.h7JKReSs012935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 20.0N 117.6E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 20.8N 117.2E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 38N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 170E TO 37N 177E 37N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 170E TO 36N 167E 36N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 19.5N 133.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 143E 51N 156E 60N 165E 60N 180E 35N 180E 31N 155E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 141E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 157E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 46N 158E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 31N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0311 VAMCO (0311) 996 HPA AT 25.5N 122.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 157E TO 36N 159E 36N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 157E TO 33N 150E 32N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 144E TO 37N 135E 35N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 179E TO 38N 174W 41N 166W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36022-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005BQWTXKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:56:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JKu9uU037985 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 04:56:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JJGKjt039524; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:45:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 179117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:45:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JKiwc9035882 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:44:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JKiv9d015440 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JKivWD015436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:44:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:44:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308192044.h7JKivWD015436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 20.3N5 133.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 133.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.7N9 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 21.1N4 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.1N4 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 21.5N8 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 22.0N4 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.4N6 132.9E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) NORTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8 AND 202100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 13W (VAMCO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36023-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005NMX1ZKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 05:01:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JL16uU038617 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 05:01:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JJGKjn039524; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:43:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 179091 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:43:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JKhtc9033180 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:43:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JKht9d015291 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:43:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JKhs0L015290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:43:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 15:43:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 13w (vamco) Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308192043.h7JKhs0L015290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 13W (VAMCO) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 25.5N2 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 122.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 27.4N3 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 29.0N1 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 30.2N5 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 26.0N8 121.7E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 13W (VAMCO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TS 13W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 11 TO 14 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8 AND 202100Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:35 2003 X-UIDL: 36042-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJT00IQCKEFJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:32:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IEWVPQ099749 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:32:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7HH4g23015102; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 09:28:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 145589 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 09:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IESdc9048422 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 09:28:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IESc9d026952 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 09:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IEScs7026948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 09:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 09:28:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308181428.h7IEScs7026948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 148E TO 38N 152E 37N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 148E TO 36N 146E 35N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 142E TO 35N 140E 36N 136E 34N 130E 32N 122E 29N 117E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 20.0N 121.3E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 17.3N 139.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 165E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1012 HPA AT 26N 153E SW SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 155E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 170E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 155E TO 36N 161E 36N 167E 38N 175E 41N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36065-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IBZ1CTJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:38:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IKckPQ004959 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 04:38:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqkkZ048454; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 15:28:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 149838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 15:28:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IKSdc9020738 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 15:28:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7IKSc9d009700 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 15:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7IKScH5009699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 15:28:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 15:28:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308182028.h7IKScH5009699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 152E TO 37N 157E 36N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 152E TO 36N 150E 35N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 145E TO 34N 140E 36N 136E 35N 132E 34N 126E 32N 121E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 20.0N 121.2E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 17.0N 138.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 43N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 33N 165E 34N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 26N 152E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 58N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 47N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 172E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 160E TO 36N 169E 38N 176E 41N 180E 42N 174W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:45 2003 X-UIDL: 36083-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00ITKHTMJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:34:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J2YSHq094733 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:34:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqkxp048454; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:30:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J2UIc9036892 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J2UI9d016210 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J2UHG9016209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:30:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190230.h7J2UHG9016209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 20.0N 125.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 20.2N 122.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 155E TO 36N 159E 36N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 155E TO 34N 149E 34N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 145E TO 34N 140E 36N 136E 35N 130E 35N 126E 31N 120E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 31N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 27N 152E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 139E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 47N 155E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 178E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 162E TO 36N 172E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36086-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IVWILYJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:51:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J2pTHq098079 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:51:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IK7So7016518; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J2lLc9021966 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J2lK9d016418 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J2lKvd016416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 21:47:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190247.h7J2lKvd016416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIII, Probability=28%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 190000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/190230Z/190600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/182352ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TD 12W PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 139.3E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 136.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS EXPOSED TO THE NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 122.3E8 HAS BEEN RELOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 125.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 190000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. ANTICIPATE RELEASING FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING FOR THIS SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT 06 HOURS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) TO GOOD AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36089-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00I1NJXJJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 11:20:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J3K2uU092577 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 11:20:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk0d048454; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:16:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153709 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:16:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J3GTc9017328 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:16:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J3GT9d016692 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:16:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J3GTSM016691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:16:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:16:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190316.h7J3GTSM016691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/182352ZAUG2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 20.0N2 125.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 125.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.5N8 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.9N3 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 24.3N9 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 25.9N6 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 29.2N3 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.4N6 124.8E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190025Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 13W HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY ORGANIZE OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS ALSO IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 182352Z1 AUG 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 190000). NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36090-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00I2KJXRJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 11:20:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J3K9uU092617 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 11:20:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk0f048454; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:17:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:17:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J3Hac9034336 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:17:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J3Ha9d016709 for ; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:17:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J3HZ1J016708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:17:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2003 22:17:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 13w Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190317.h7J3HZ1J016708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W WARNING NR 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 190000Z0 TO 230000Z5 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190025Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 13W HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY ORGANIZE OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS ALSO IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION. B. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS) AND EGRR ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FACTORS. POSITION INITIALIZATION IN THE MODELS IS POOR AND INTERACTION WITH THE REMNANTS OF 12W VARIES CONSIDERABLY IN THE MODEL FIELDS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT SLIGHTLY BELOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER MODERATE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. INTERACTION WITH LAND OVER TAIWAN IS FORECAST TO SLOW DEVELOPMENT AND LATER, INTERACTION WITH MAINLAND CHINA WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT BEGINS TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALL TO AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36102-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IBWS9BJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:19:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J6JquU017961 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:19:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk45048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 154848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J6GZc9040524 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J6GZ9d018307 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J6GZF9018305 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:16:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190616.h7J6GZF9018305@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIII, Probability=28%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 125.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, AND WAS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300Z) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF TD 12W PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 136.8E8 ARE NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 136.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ALONG WITH MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED DEEP CONVECTION, THIS SYSTEM MAY BE REWARNED UPON WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. CURRENTLY, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.0N2 122.3E8 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3)AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 114.5E1, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM WEST OF LUZON, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:53 2003 X-UIDL: 36109-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IO4TGBJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:45:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J6jduU021632 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 14:45:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk4H048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:43:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 154991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:43:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J6hWc9040454 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:43:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J6hW9d018511 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:43:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J6hWp4018510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:43:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 01:43:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0311 Vamco (0311) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190643.h7J6hWp4018510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 190600 WARNING 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0311 VAMCO (0311) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA AT 22.7N 124.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 24.1N 122.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 26.0N 120.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 26.0N 115.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:55 2003 X-UIDL: 36116-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00I0JYD4JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:31:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J8VkuU037351 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:31:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk5D048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:27:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155388 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J8Rpc9053240 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J8Ro9d019474 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J8RofH019473 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:27:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:27:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w (vamco) Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190827.h7J8RofH019473@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (VAMCO) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 22.8N2 124.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 124.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.3N0 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 26.4N2 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 27.1N0 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 27.6N5 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 23.4N9 124.4E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) (VAMCO) 13W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS WELL ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:55 2003 X-UIDL: 36117-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IHAYK6JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:36:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J8a0uU037896 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:36:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk5F048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:31:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J8V8c9053016 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J8V89d019526 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J8V8oY019525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:31:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:31:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190831.h7J8V8oY019525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 19.5N 118.2E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 20.0N 116.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 37N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 156E TO 37N 160E 36N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 156E TO 34N 151E 33N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 144E TO 34N 139E 37N 136E 37N 126E 30N 117E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 160E 32N 146E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 47N 156E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 178E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0311 VAMCO (0311) 996 HPA AT 22.7N 124.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 164E TO 38N 174E 41N 172W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:15:56 2003 X-UIDL: 36118-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJU00IEXZLSJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:58:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J8wVuU040928 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 16:58:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk5J048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:53:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:53:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7J8rGc9015596 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:53:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7J8rG9d019659 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:53:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7J8rG5E019658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:53:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 03:53:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308190853.h7J8rG5E019658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 20.9N1 135.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 135.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.5N8 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 21.4N7 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 21.2N5 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 20.9N1 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.5N7 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 21.1N4 135.0E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W HAS REGENERATED AND IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN. TD 12W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (VAMCO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:00 2003 X-UIDL: 36132-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV00ID1ADKJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 20:51:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JCpEuU071112 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 20:51:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7IHqk9R048454; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 07:44:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 156782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 07:44:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JCi2c9040672 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 07:44:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JCi29d021755 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 07:44:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JCi2hI021754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 07:44:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 07:44:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0311 Vamco (0311) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191244.h7JCi2hI021754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 191200 WARNING 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0311 VAMCO (0311) 994 HPA AT 24.0N 123.6E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 27.1N 120.7E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 28.3N 116.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:00 2003 X-UIDL: 36134-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005TPETXKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 22:27:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JERRuU084461 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 22:27:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JEEleh038476; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:19:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 158666 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:19:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JEJGc9057466 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:19:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JEJF9d024918 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:19:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JEJFo4024917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:19:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:19:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w (vamco) Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191419.h7JEJFo4024917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (VAMCO) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 24.4N0 123.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 123.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 26.6N4 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 27.6N5 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 28.1N1 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 28.5N5 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 25.0N7 122.8E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W (VAMCO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 101 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:01 2003 X-UIDL: 36137-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005EWF5YKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 22:34:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JEYcuU085294 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 22:34:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JEElgR038476; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:30:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 159153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:30:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JEUZc9034136 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:30:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JEUZ9d025464 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JEUZ4l025463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:30:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:30:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191430.h7JEUZ4l025463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 20.0N 117.5E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 20.2N 116.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 168E TO 37N 173E 37N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 168E TO 36N 166E 36N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 156E 60N 168E 60N 180E 33N 180E 30N 160E 33N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 20N 135E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 157E ENE 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 137E ENE 10 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 143E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 31N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 46N 157E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 178E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0311 VAMCO (0311) 994 HPA AT 24.0N 123.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 157E TO 36N 159E 36N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 157E TO 33N 150E 32N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 145E TO 33N 138E 36N 136E 37N 126E 31N 118E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:02 2003 X-UIDL: 36140-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV0052DFHNKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 22:41:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JEffuU086300 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 22:41:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JEYFcP056724; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:35:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 159521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:35:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JEZdc9014014 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:35:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JEZd9d025698 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:35:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JEZcvs025697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:35:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 09:35:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 12w Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191435.h7JEZcvs025697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 20.3N5 133.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 133.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.5N7 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.7N9 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 20.7N9 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 20.5N7 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.4N6 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 20.4N6 133.4E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS A 191155Z2 SSM/I PASS SHOWS DECREASED DEEP CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF TD 12W POSSIBLY BEING SUPPRESSED BY INTERACTION WITH TD 13W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (VAMCO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:03 2003 X-UIDL: 36148-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005HAH1SKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 23:15:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JFFKuU090679 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 23:15:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JErBkB039890; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:06:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 162258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:02:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JF2Tc9047002 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:02:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JF2S9d027196 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:02:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JF2SMb027195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:02:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:02:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 12w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191502.h7JF2SMb027195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W/ WARNING NR 14// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 221200Z7 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS A 191155Z2 SSM/I PASS SHOWS DECREASED DEEP CONVECTION ON THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF TD 12W POSSIBLY BEING SUPPRESSED BY INTERACTION WITH TD 13W. B. TD 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), EGRR AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 12W IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT JUST BELOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN THE MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALL TO AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:04 2003 X-UIDL: 36151-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005FWHHHKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 19 Aug 2003 23:24:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JFOluU091992 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 23:24:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JErBl5039890; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:08:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 162160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:01:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JF1Vc9037128 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:01:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JF1V9d027122 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:01:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JF1Uxh027121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:01:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 10:01:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 13w (vamco)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191501.h7JF1Uxh027121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W (VAMCO)/ WARNING NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 211200Z6 AUG 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W (VAMCO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 101 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. B. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE BUILDING LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), JGSM, JTYM AND EGRR ARE IN MODERATE AGREEMENT, WITH NOGAPS AND GFS INITIALIZING POORLY AND NOT MAINTAINING THE SYSTEM THROUGH TIME. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS AND GFS. C. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT SLIGHTLY BELOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER MODERATE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS. INTERACTION WITH LAND NEAR TAIWAN IS FORECAST TO SLOW DEVELOPMENT AND LATER, INTERACTION WITH MAINLAND CHINA WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT DISSIPATES OVER LAND. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 20 13:16:08 2003 X-UIDL: 36163-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJV005NGPEIKE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 02:15:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JIFguU014464 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 02:15:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JGh6mB053106; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:08:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 174404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7JI7vc9007160 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7JI7v9d023211 for ; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7JI7vPA023208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2003 13:07:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308191807.h7JI7vPA023208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIIIIIIII, Probability=28%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 191800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/191800Z/200600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191351ZAUG2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191352ZAUG2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191200Z3, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W (VAMCO), LOCATED NEAR 24.4N0 123.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, WAS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 191500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 191200Z3, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12W, LOCATED NEAR 20.3N5 133.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 191500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANT OF TD 12W, PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 136.0E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.0N8 114.5E1, HAS BEEN RELOCATED NEAR 19.1N1 118.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LUZON. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING IN PARA 1.A.(2) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA//// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:12 2003 X-UIDL: 36191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HQ7B34B8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 23:01:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KF1duU087934 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 23:01:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KEk0dH053210; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 09:55:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 195865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 09:55:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7K8KQc9027138 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:20:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7K8KO9d016954 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:20:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7K8KOOU016947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:20:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:20:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 13w (vamco) Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308200820.h7K8KOOU016947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (VAMCO) WARNING NR 006 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 13W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 28.3N3 119.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N3 119.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 30.2N5 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 31.4N8 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 28.8N8 119.0E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 13W (VAMCO) MADE LANDFALL AT APPROXIMATELY 200030Z5 NEAR FANSHAN, CHINA. TD 13W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AND NEARBY SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TD 13W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVERLAND AND DISSIPATE COMPLETELY AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT 06 HOURS. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5 AND 210300Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 12W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:13 2003 X-UIDL: 36193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HHABDUB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 23:08:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KF8AuU089485 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 23:08:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KEk0dl044928; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 10:00:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 196215 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 10:00:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7K8YOc9058792 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:34:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7K8YO9d021381 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7K8YOxK021380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:34:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:34:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 12w Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308200834.h7K8YOxK021380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12W WARNING NR 017 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 19.9N9 131.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 131.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.8N8 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.7N7 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.9N9 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.0N2 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.0N2 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 20.3N5 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 21.0N3 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.9N9 131.4E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 435 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (VAMCO) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:13 2003 X-UIDL: 36194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HHUBE4B8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 20 Aug 2003 23:08:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KF8NuU089537 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 23:08:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KEk0dh044928; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 10:00:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 196134 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 10:00:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7K8SWc9058752 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7K8SU9d020364 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:28:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7K8STpJ020355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 03:28:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308200828.h7K8STpJ020355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 19.2N 132.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 19.0N 128.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 173E TO 42N 173W 41N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 173E TO 38N 171E 36N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 110E 19N 110E 19N 114E 15N 117E 13N 115E 15N 110E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 20.0N 116.1E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 160E 30N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 0311 VAMCO (0311) 1000 HPA AT 28N 118E WNW 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 144E NE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 162E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 46N 160E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 162E TO 36N 165E 36N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 162E TO 34N 159E 33N 155E 30N 149E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 123E TO 38N 129E 39N 134E 38N 139E 38N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:15 2003 X-UIDL: 36203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00H8EF5QB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 00:29:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KGTguU000698 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 00:29:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KFiVtR055564; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:20:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 204470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 10:47:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KESHc9032582 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 09:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7KESG9d022828 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 09:28:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7KESFTG022823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 09:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 09:28:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308201428.h7KESFTG022823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 18.9N8 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.5N4 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 18.3N2 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.2N1 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.0N9 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 18.5N4 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 19.6N6 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 22.8N2 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 131.1E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (VAMCO) WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:16 2003 X-UIDL: 36205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HTEFHHB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 00:36:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KGamuU001660 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 00:36:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KFp5rv041470; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 11:20:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 204467 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 10:47:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KESGc9032578 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 09:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7KESF9d022824 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 09:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7KESFSh022820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 09:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 09:28:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308201428.h7KESFSh022820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 174E TO 44N 174W 41N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 174E TO 38N 172E 36N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA AT 20.6N 115.7E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E 27N 155E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 30N 117E NNW 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 145E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 35N 165E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 161E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 998 HPA AT 19.0N 131.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 165E TO 35N 166E 36N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 165E TO 33N 162E 33N 158E 30N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 128E TO 39N 136E 38N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36242-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HJ3Z8GB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:43:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNhLuU056868 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:43:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KMo8ff019842; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:38:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:38:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNckcD035222 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EERw9d024455 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EERvWq024454 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:27:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141427.h5EERvWq024454@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 51N 156E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 156E TO 50N 158E 48N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 159E TO 47N 163E 44N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 159E TO 43N 152E 38N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 144E TO 34N 136E 31N 128E 23N 111E 20N 105E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 31N 131E 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 50N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 34N 160E 26N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 119E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 123E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 46N 138E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0306 SOUDELOR (0306) 996 HPA AT 12.8N 126.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36243-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HKBZ99B8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:43:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNhpuU056925 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:43:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KMoeiN038246; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:39:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225639 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:38:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNckcH035222 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:38:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h6GESC9d022824 for ; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:28:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h6GERvbG022808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2003 09:27:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200307161427.h6GERvbG022808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 10.3N 128.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 13.0N 126.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 141E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 141E TO 33N 146E 34N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 141E TO 30N 139E 29N 136E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 136E TO 29N 126E 31N 116E 28N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 157E 42N 159E 45N 171E 50N 175E 50N 180E 41N 180E 37N 167E 37N 157E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 05.7N 144.1E CAROLINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 35N 163E 32N 150E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 171E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 41N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 50N 148E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 179E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 171E TO 50N 176E 48N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 171E TO 47N 172E 44N 165E 42N 158E 37N 155E 34N 150E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HOHZDTB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:46:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNkZuU057148 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:46:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KMnUsb007514; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:43:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:42:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNgEcD049384 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:42:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EEY69d024523 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EEY65H024522 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:34:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:34:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141434.h5EEY65H024522@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, DATE_IN_PAST_96_XX, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 141500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (SOUDELOR) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 12.4N7 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.5N9 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.9N4 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 16.4N1 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 18.6N5 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.3N7 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.6N4 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 32.1N6 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.7N0 126.2E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS SOMEWHAT INCREASED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8, 150300Z9, 150900Z5 AND 151500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36245-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJX00HPAZE2B8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:46:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNkkuU057167 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:46:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KMnUsR007514; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:43:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 225882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:43:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7KNgHcD053762 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 18:43:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h5EEW39d024509 for ; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h5EEW33u024508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 09:32:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm 07w Warning Nr 12// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306141432.h5EEW33u024508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIIII, Probability=45%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, DATE_IN_PAST_96_XX, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 141500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 141200Z8 TO 191200Z3 JUN 03. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (SOUDELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EAST OF SAMAR, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS SOMEWHAT INCREASED OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. A LONGWAVE TROUGH OFF THE CHINA COAST IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF TS 07W. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TS 07W IS FORECAST TO CLEAR THE RIDGE AXIS AND BEGIN RECURVATURE TOWARDS OKINAWA BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS THEN EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH TO THE WEST AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, JAPANESE GLOBAL MODEL (JGSM), JAPANESE TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM), GFDN, AFWA, NCEP GFS, AND AUSTRALIA'S TLAPS AND TCLAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. AFWA AND GFS DEPICT A MORE DRAMATICALLY POLEWARD TRACK, WHILE EGRR CONTINUES TO TRACK THE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN COAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HOWEVER THE REMAINING AIDS LIE BETWEEN THE TWO SOLUTIONS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN MODERATE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS WHILE TRACKING EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO LAND. AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTH OF LUZON AND BEGINS TO BE AFFECTED BY THE LONGWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY NORTH OF TS 07W AND COMMENCE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN. D. LONG-RANGE FORECAST REASONING IS THAT TS 07W WILL RECURVE AROUND THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS TOWARD THE RYUKYU CHAIN. TS 07W IS NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER LEAVING LUZON BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW THROUGH TAU 120 AS IT APPROACHES THE MIDLATITUDES. E. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM WITH LAND INTERACTION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 21 10:15:25 2003 X-UIDL: 36251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00H1H2KIB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 08:55:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L0tOuU064170 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 08:55:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L0Bfet038252; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 19:51:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 228162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 19:51:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L0p7c9041708 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 19:51:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L0p7Bv015465 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 19:51:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L0p7u7015464 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 19:51:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 19:51:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210051.h7L0p7u7015464@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 210000 WARNING 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 990 HPA AT 18.4N 129.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 18.6N 124.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 19.5N 120.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 20.5N 115.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:04 2003 X-UIDL: 36255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HGD6XWB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 10:29:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L2TouU078826 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 10:29:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L0QFuZ037816; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 21:27:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 232489 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 21:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L2RMc9019450 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 21:27:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L2RMBv017602 for ; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 21:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L2RMbN017601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 20 Aug 2003 21:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 20 Aug 2003 21:27:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210227.h7L2RMbN017601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 45N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 180E TO 44N 170W 39N 157W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 180E TO 41N 176E 38N 173E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 550 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 120E 25N 121E 15N 120E 10N 114E 18N 110E 27N 120E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 48N 153E 55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 30N 160E 37N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 147E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 168E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 34N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 990 HPA AT 18.4N 129.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 168E TO 36N 170E 38N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 168E TO 33N 165E 31N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 127E TO 39N 135E 40N 139E 38N 141E 38N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:23 2003 X-UIDL: 36276-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00H8DIPYB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:44:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L6iGHq007628 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:44:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L5TueZ038254; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 240788 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L6dBc9024938 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L6dBBv022429 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L6dA0T022427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:39:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210639.h7L6dA0T022427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, __UPPERCASE_75_100, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/210152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED NEAR 18.7N6 129.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 535 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.6N5 136.6E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.7N6 135.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM WEST OF YAP. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS VERY WEAK CONVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/AYALA/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:23 2003 X-UIDL: 36278-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HAWJ3ZB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:52:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L6qauU019586 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 14:52:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L65UqL028178; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:46:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 240997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L6knc9049390 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:46:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L6knBv022587 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:46:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L6knto022586 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:46:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 01:46:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) Upgraded From Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210646.h7L6knto022586@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 210600 WARNING 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 18.3N 128.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 18.7N 123.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.0N 118.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 21.0N 113.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:26 2003 X-UIDL: 36282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HGNNWAB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:36:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L8a3SU008500 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:36:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L5Tufd038254; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:31:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L8VUc9046854 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L8VTBv024824 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L8VTxt024823 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:31:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210831.h7L8VTxt024823@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 46N 178W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 178W TO 40N 162W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 178W TO 39N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 12N 112E 17N 110E 21N 114E 24N 119E 19N 121E 14N 118E 12N 112E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 143E 37N 141E 42N 143E 44N 147E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 33N 169E 31N 159E 32N 152E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 151E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 35N 169E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 31N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 985 HPA AT 18.3N 128.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 154E TO 31N 159E 36N 169E 39N 174E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:26 2003 X-UIDL: 36283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00HX3OTYB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:56:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L8uGuU038593 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:56:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L5damn011866; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:47:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 243370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:47:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7L8lSc9046284 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:47:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7L8lSBv025044 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:47:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7L8lSOP025043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:47:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 03:47:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 021 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308210847.h7L8lSOP025043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, LINES_OF_YELLING, __UPPERCASE_50_75, UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 021 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 12W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 18.6N5 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.6N5 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.8N7 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.3N3 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.0N2 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.0N4 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.7N3 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 27.6N5 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 127.7E7. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 210142Z0 AMSU PASS DEPICTS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJY00H2MZXRB8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 20:56:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LCu3SU043954 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 20:56:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LCgvcd035860; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:44:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 249119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:44:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LCiRc9070412 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:44:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LCiQBv029294 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:44:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LCiQDn029293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:44:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 07:44:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211244.h7LCiQDn029293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 211200 WARNING 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 980 HPA AT 17.9N 127.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 18.7N 121.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 19.5N 116.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 20.0N 112.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:34 2003 X-UIDL: 36309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004H25CYRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:53:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LErH01034327 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:53:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LCij8n053298; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 257054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:33:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LEX3c9081672 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:33:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LEX2Bv003603 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LEX24Q003602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:33:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211433.h7LEX24Q003602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 176W TO 46N 165W 39N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 176W TO 39N 175E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 143E 39N 142E 42N 143E 45N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 31N 165E 36N 156E 35N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 154E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 37N 170E NE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 152E TO 32N 156E 37N 170E 39N 175E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 165E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 980 HPA AT 17.9N 127.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:35 2003 X-UIDL: 36310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004PL5HMRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:56:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LEu501034800 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:56:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LCsnFL026042; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:50:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 258418 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LEjgc9057946 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LEjfBv004178 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LEjfDR004176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211445.h7LEjfDR004176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 211500 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 18.2N1 127.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 127.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.2N1 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.5N4 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.9N8 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.5N5 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.2N5 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 23.1N6 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 26.0N8 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.2N1 126.6E5. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTH- EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND 211115Z1 SSMI DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE WESTWARD TOWARD THE SYSTEM AND INHIBITS POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2112000Z6 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6, 220300Z7, 220900Z3 AND 221500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:35 2003 X-UIDL: 36311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004AN5S9RY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:02:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LF2T01035502 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:02:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LCijCR053298; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:50:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 258422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LEjgc9019620 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LEjfBv004177 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LEjfZL004174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211445.h7LEjfZL004174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN32 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:35 2003 X-UIDL: 36312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004BV5SXRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:02:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LF2r01035552 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:02:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LCsnFP026042; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:50:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 258415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LEjgc9009756 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LEjfBv004172 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LEjfPH004171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 09:45:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) Krovanh (12w)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211445.h7LEjfPH004171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) KROVANH (12W)/ WARNING NR 22// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 211200Z6 TO 261200Z1 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTH- EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND 211115Z1 SSMI DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE WESTWARD TOWARD THE SYSTEM AND INHIBITS POLEWARD OUTFLOW. B. TY 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH 72 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, JTYM, EGRR, GFDN, AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. JTYM AND EGRR ARE FASTER THAN THE OTHER AIDS. C. TY 12W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNTIL IT SKIRTS THE NORTHERN COASTLINE OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES WHERE INTERACTION WITH LAND TO THE SOUTH WILL INHIBIT THE INFLOW OF MOIST AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS AND CAUSE TY 12W TO SLIGHTLY WEAKEN. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 12W TO MAKE LANDFALL TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA AND WEAKEN. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:40 2003 X-UIDL: 36328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ0049CGRGRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 02:59:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LIxM01068689 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 02:59:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LI4Es1104028; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 13:50:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 279434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 13:45:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LIjOc9044800 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 13:45:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LIjOBv015078 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 13:45:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LIjNex015077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 13:45:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 13:45:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308211845.h7LIjNex015077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 211800 WARNING 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 17.8N 125.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 18.8N 120.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 20.0N 114.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 21.0N 109.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:42 2003 X-UIDL: 36336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ0041ULT9RY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:48:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LKmS01084206 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 04:48:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LJZI0F012070; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 15:43:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 289389 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 15:33:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LKXNc9080730 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 15:33:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LKXMBv020308 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 15:33:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LKXMWP020307 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 15:33:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 15:33:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308212033.h7LKXMWP020307@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 41N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 30N 164E 36N 153E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 58N 149E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 157E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 173W NE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 173W TO 45N 161W 39N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 173W TO 41N 180E 38N 173E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 173E TO 33N 165E 31N 154E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 34N 130E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 168E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 17.8N 125.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:45 2003 X-UIDL: 36349-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004MDQR7RY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 06:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMZD01099788 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 06:35:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMRbcB099912; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 17:27:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:40:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LLeAc9042130 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:40:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7LLe9Bv025051 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:40:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7LLe9JH025050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:40:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 16:40:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 023 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308212140.h7LLe9JH025050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 212100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 17.9N7 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 126.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.8N6 123.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.2N1 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.7N6 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 19.7N7 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 22.7N1 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 26.6N4 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 125.4E2. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211730Z4 ENHANCED ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS A DEVELOPING ASYMMETRIC EYE WITH AN AVERAGE DIAMETER OF 15 NM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7, 220900Z3, 221500Z0 AND 222100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HJZ004F4X7LRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 08:54:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M0sc01015192 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 08:54:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7LMYnvF045682; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 19:48:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 302353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 19:48:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M0mjc9070192 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 19:48:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M0mjBv029617 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 19:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M0mjk1029614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 19:48:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 19:48:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0312 Krovanh (0312) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220048.h7M0mjk1029614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 220000 WARNING 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 17.6N 124.5E EAST OF LUZON MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 18.7N 118.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 19.5N 112.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 20.0N 106.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36365-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004LB1TVRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 10:34:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M2YQ01031714 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 10:34:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M21XdH091206; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 21:28:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 304997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 21:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M2SJc9036390 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 21:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M2SIBv001273 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 21:28:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M2SIgW001272 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 21:28:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 21:28:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220228.h7M2SIgW001272@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 30N 164E 33N 152E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 149E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 157E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 169E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) 970 HPA AT 17.6N 124.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 153E TO 32N 161E 36N 169E 38N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004663FERY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:09:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M38g01038813 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 11:08:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M21Xi5091206; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:01:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 305951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M31mc9055256 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:01:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M31mBv001902 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:01:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M31l7g001901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:01:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 22:01:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 024 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220301.h7M31l7g001901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 17.6N4 124.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 124.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.7N5 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.0N9 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 18.7N6 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 19.7N7 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 22.6N0 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 27.3N2 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 17.6N4 123.9E5 TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIATELY 125 NM WEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. A RECENT 212350Z3 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT TY 12W CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A RAGGED, ASYMMETRICAL EYE WITH AN AVERAGE DIAMETER OF 20 NM. THIS EYE IS CURRENTLY NOT EVIDENT IN VISIBLE OR INFRARED IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:50 2003 X-UIDL: 36371-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004SQ75WRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 12:29:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M4Td01054425 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 12:29:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M21Xm9091206; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:22:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 307663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:22:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M4MUc9036458 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:22:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M4MUBv002887 for ; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:22:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M4MUT0002886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:22:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2003 23:22:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 024a Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220422.h7M4MUT0002886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 220300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 024A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 17.6N4 124.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 124.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 17.7N5 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.0N9 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 18.7N6 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 19.7N7 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 22.6N0 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 27.3N2 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 17.6N4 123.9E5 TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. A RECENT 212350Z3 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT TY 12W CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A RAGGED, ASYMMETRICAL EYE WITH AN AVERAGE DIAMETER OF 20 NM. THIS EYE IS CURRENTLY NOT EVIDENT IN VISIBLE OR INFRARED IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED LOCATION OF STORM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:51 2003 X-UIDL: 36373-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004B9AHHRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:41:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M5fNSU095494 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:41:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M55ghp091334; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 311055 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M5Qfc9037770 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M5QfBv003718 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M5QeJf003716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 00:26:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220526.h7M5QeJf003716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/220352ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CORRECTED// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED NEAR 17.6N4 124.5E2, APPROXIATELY 125 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 220300 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:53 2003 X-UIDL: 36379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004EGE1ARY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 14:58:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M6w101078910 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 14:58:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M55glP091334; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 01:48:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 312466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 01:48:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M6lxc9099470 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 01:48:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M6lxBv004653 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 01:47:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M6lx23004652 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 01:47:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 01:47:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0312 Krovanh (0312) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220647.h7M6lx23004652@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 220600 WARNING 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) 970 HPA AT 17.5N 123.4E EAST OF LUZON MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 18.4N 117.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 19.5N 112.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 20.5N 106.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36385-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK00045LJ2RRY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:47:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M8kq01095709 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:46:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M55gnV091334; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:31:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 313651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:31:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M8VZc9086110 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:31:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M8VYBv005888 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M8VYFn005887 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:31:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 025 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220831.h7M8VYFn005887@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 17.7N5 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.8N6 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.3N2 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 19.0N0 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 20.2N4 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 23.2N7 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 27.3N2 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.7N5 122.3E8. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A 220353Z5 TRMM PASS DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND A 25 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0, 222100Z7, 230300Z8 AND 230900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:03:55 2003 X-UIDL: 36386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK0004CRJ54RY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:48:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M8m801095924 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 16:48:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M55gnN091334; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:27:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 313594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:27:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M8RHc9098966 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:27:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7M8RHBv005805 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7M8RH6t005804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 03:27:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308220827.h7M8RH6t005804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 130E MANCHURIA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 130E TO 45N 133E 44N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 130E TO 43N 125E 40N 116E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 142E 47N 153E 54N 160E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 160E 37N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 159E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 171E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) 970 HPA AT 17.5N 123.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 155E TO 33N 165E 38N 172E 38N 175E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 22 21:04:00 2003 X-UIDL: 36400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK000MC0UU575@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MD10SU073951 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:01:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDft099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:48:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 316519 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:48:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MCmUc9011856 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MCmTBv008780 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MCmTSR008779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 07:48:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0312 Krovanh (0312) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221248.h7MCmTSR008779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 221200 WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) 970 HPA AT 17.6N 122.2E EAST OF LUZON MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 18.8N 116.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 20.0N 112.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 21.5N 108.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:30 2003 X-UIDL: 36406-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK000MZMZID75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:42:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEfuSU086997 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:41:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDoJ099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:27:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MERic9031854 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MERiBv012554 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MERin9012553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:27:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221427.h7MERin9012553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 135E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 135E TO 46N 138E 45N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 135E TO 42N 130E 39N 121E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 142E 46N 151E 53N 159E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 30N 160E 38N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 156E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 160E NE SLOWLY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 37N 169E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 32N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 45N 174E ENE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) 970 HPA AT 17.6N 122.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 150E TO 32N 160E 33N 165E 37N 169E 39N 180E 40N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK000MIPZTR75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:49:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEmlSU088002 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:48:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MDgVdT085140; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEc5c9067172 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MEc5Bv012891 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MEc4D6012890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) Krovanh (12w)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221438.h7MEc4D6012890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) KROVANH (12W)/ WARNING NR 26// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 221200Z7 TO 261200Z1 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH) MADE LANDFALL AT APPROX 221115Z2 JUST NORTH OF PALANAN, PHILLIPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. TY 12W HAS TRACKED WEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 EHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 221028Z5 SSMI PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. B. TY 12W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH 24 HOURS. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY 23/12Z ALLOWING TY 12W TO TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. THIS WILL HAVE TY 12W MAKING LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF HONG KONG, CHINA. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, JTYM, EGRR, GFDN, AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK OUT TO 36 HOURS. AFTER THIS TIME FRAME, EGRR, JTYM, JGSM AND AFWA MM5 CONTINUE TO TRACK TY 12W STRAIGHT WESTWARD TOWARDS HANOI, CHINA. THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BREAK DOWN, GIVING TY 12W A MORE POLEWARD MOVEMENT AFTER 23/12Z. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON THE CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE AIDS, WITH MORE EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS, AVN, GFDN AND COAMPS DUE TO THE FACT THAT THESE MODELS CONTINUE TO HANDLE THE STEERING ENVIRONMENT BETTER THAN THE REST. C. TY 12W IS WEAKENING AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN LUZON. ONCE TY 12W ENTERS THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, IT WILL REINTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE DATA AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 12W TO MAKE LANDFALL TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF HONG KONG, CHINA AND WEAKEN. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36409-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MWX01Y75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:53:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MErb01048274 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 22:53:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDov099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 318809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MEc4c9024742 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MEc4Bv012886 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MEc4T1012885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 09:38:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 026 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221438.h7MEc4T1012885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 17.6N4 122.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 122.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.8N6 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 18.3N2 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 19.2N2 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 20.2N4 113.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 22.7N1 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 26.3N1 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.6N4 121.6E0. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH) MADE LANDFALL AT APPROX 221115Z2 JUST NORTH OF PALANAN, PHILLIPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. TY 12W HAS TRACKED WEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 EHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 221028Z5 SSMI PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:42 2003 X-UIDL: 36438-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MUMBL075@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:03:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MJ2h01084664 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:02:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VD7P099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:50:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 324938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:50:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MIoJc9089246 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:50:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MIoJBv026415 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:50:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MIoI7Y026414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:50:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 13:50:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0312 Krovanh (0312) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308221850.h7MIoI7Y026414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 221800 WARNING 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 17.1N 120.0E WEST OF LUZON MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 18.2N 114.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 19.0N 108.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 20.0N 105.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:44 2003 X-UIDL: 36445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MQ6G9H75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:44:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MKhlSU037687 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:43:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M9VDFJ099930; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:33:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 327148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:33:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MKX2c9045930 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:33:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MKX2Bv001188 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MKX1qh001187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:33:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222033.h7MKX1qh001187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 46N 141E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 141E TO 46N 146E 45N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 141E TO 42N 134E 40N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 158E 57N 168E 52N 175E 45N 163E 49N 158E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 137E 37N 140E 40N 142E 43N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 31N 157E 34N 144E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 147E SOUTH SLOWLY. LOW 994 HPA AT 56N 160E NE 25 KT. LOW 1018 HPA AT 37N 170E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 32N 145E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 45N 177E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 17.1N 120.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 147E TO 30N 154E 33N 159E 33N 166E 37N 170E 39N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:45 2003 X-UIDL: 36447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M9AGN375@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:52:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MKpwSU038889 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 04:52:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MK89cb085142; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:38:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 327303 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:38:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MKcGc9031770 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:38:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7MKcGBv001512 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:38:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7MKcFat001511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:38:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 15:38:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 027 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308222038.h7MKcFat001511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 17.2N0 120.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 120.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.4N2 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 18.2N1 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 19.1N1 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.0N2 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 22.1N5 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.2N9 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 17.2N0 119.8E9. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH) IS NOW MOVING OFF THE WEST COAST OF LUZON. TY 12W HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z5 ENHANCED ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8, 230900Z4, 231500Z1 AND 232100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M0LRZN75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:57:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N0v3SU064773 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:57:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N0UGcV034430; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 19:50:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 333127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 19:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N0otc9099298 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 19:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N0osBv008728 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 19:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N0oscP008727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 19:50:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 19:50:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) Downgraded From Typhoon 985 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230050.h7N0oscP008727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 230000 WARNING 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 985 HPA AT 17.4N 119.5E PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 19.5N 113.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 20.0N 109.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 21.0N 106.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:50 2003 X-UIDL: 36464-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100M2SVSM75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:19:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2JE01043310 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:19:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7MN1KmJ055130; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:15:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 335252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:15:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2F6c9042144 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:15:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N2F6Bv010165 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:15:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N2F6mH010164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:15:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:15:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 028 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230215.h7N2F6mH010164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 17.7N5 119.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 119.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 18.1N0 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 18.9N8 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 19.9N9 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 20.8N0 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 22.9N3 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.3N1 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 118.8E8. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM WEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TY 12W IS NOW TRACKING OVER WATER AGAIN, OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4, 231500Z1, 232100Z8 AND 240300Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:50 2003 X-UIDL: 36465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MAVVVK75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:21:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2L301043603 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:21:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DJP070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:16:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 335271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:16:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2GGc9089294 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:16:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N2GGBv010176 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:16:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N2GGv9010175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:16:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:16:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) Krovanh (12w)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230216.h7N2GGv9010175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) KROVANH (12W)/ WARNING NR 28// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 230000Z5 TO 270000Z9 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM WEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TY 12W IS NOW TRACKING OVER WATER AGAIN, OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. B. TY 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TY 12W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE LUICHOW PENINSULA, CHINA IN APPROXIMATELY 48 TO 54 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, JTYM, EGRR, GFDN, AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON THE CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 12W WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ALTHOUGH ENTERING A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS PROVIDING GOOD EXHAUST FOR THE SYSTEM, ASSISTING IN FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE DATA AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST HAS TY 12W DISSIPATING OVER LAND IN CHINA AS IT TRACKS AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING RIDGE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 11:59:52 2003 X-UIDL: 36467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK100MNQWM275@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:37:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2avSU076613 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 10:36:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DK7070556; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:31:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 335662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2VNc9048412 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N2VMBv010443 for ; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N2VMB6010442 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:31:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2003 21:31:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230231.h7N2VMB6010442@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 47N 146E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 146E TO 47N 152E 46N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 146E TO 40N 136E 37N 117E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 169E 48N 167E 46N 159E 51N 158E 55N 166E 54N 169E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 162E 33N 150E 38N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 147E ESE 15 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 161E NE 20 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 37N 169E ENE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 19N 108E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 45N 178E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 985 HPA AT 17.4N 119.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 149E TO 32N 159E 37N 169E 37N 180E 38N 171W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:01 2003 X-UIDL: 36482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MGS3Y175@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:15:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5F901065013 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:15:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N2VXmb055136; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 339292 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N59Qc9099362 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N59PBv012691 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N59PcT012689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 00:09:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230509.h7N59PcT012689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z-240600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/230152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 119.3E4, APPROXIATELY 65 NM WEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:04 2003 X-UIDL: 36487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200M608MW75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 14:56:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N6ucSU007179 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 14:56:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTfD055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 01:50:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 340606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 01:50:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N6o1c9045602 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 01:50:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N6o0Bv013904 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 01:50:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N6o0ZI013903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 01:50:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 01:50:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0312 Krovanh (0312) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 975 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230650.h7N6o0ZI013903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 230600 WARNING 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 975 HPA AT 17.9N 117.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 19.7N 111.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 20.5N 107.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 21.5N 103.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:05 2003 X-UIDL: 36489-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MIHCAX75@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:16:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N8Fp01088221 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:15:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTh1055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:12:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:12:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N8CVc9072034 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:12:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N8CVBv015034 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:12:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N8CVEb015033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:12:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:12:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 029 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230812.h7N8CVEb015033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 230900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 17.6N4 117.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 117.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 18.3N2 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 19.3N3 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.4N6 111.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 21.7N0 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.9N4 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.8N6 117.4E3. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH- EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TY 12W HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT TRACKS THROUGH THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1, 232100Z8, 240300Z9 AND 240900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:07 2003 X-UIDL: 36494-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MLPD2775@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:32:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N8WESU018501 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 16:32:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7M58DR7070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:29:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 341426 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N8T3c9015558 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7N8T3Bv015217 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7N8T3es015216 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 03:29:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308230829.h7N8T3es015216@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 48N 151E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 48N 155E 47N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 43N 145E 40N 136E 38N 127E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 127E TO 38N 122E 37N 116E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 163E 60N 171E 60N 180E 51N 180E 47N 165E 53N 163E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 30N 160E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 148E SE SLOWLY. LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 37N 170E ENE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 19N 107E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 17.8N 117.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 154E TO 33N 160E 34N 165E 37N 170E 37N 180E 38N 172W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:11 2003 X-UIDL: 36505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200MD3P8575@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 20:55:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NCsxSU045888 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 20:55:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTkt055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 07:48:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 343616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 07:48:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NCmUc9044834 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 07:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NCmUBv018263 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 07:48:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NCmUK3018262 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 07:48:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 07:48:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) Downgraded From Typhoon 980 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231248.h7NCmUK3018262@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 231200 WARNING 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 980 HPA AT 17.5N 117.1E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 45 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 18.6N 111.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 19.5N 107.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 20.5N 103.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:13 2003 X-UIDL: 36508-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200BU5SE8YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:03:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NE3SSU054132 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:03:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTol055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:56:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:56:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NDu1c9024636 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:56:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NDu0Bv019081 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:56:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NDu0jO019080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:56:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:56:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) Krovanh (12w)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231356.h7NDu0jO019080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) KROVANH (12W)/ WARNING NR 30// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 230000Z5 TO 270000Z9 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION CONTINUE TO IMPROVE ON TY 12W. B. TY 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TY 12W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE LUICHOW PENINSULA OF CHINA IN APPROXIMATELY 36 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, JTYM, EGRR, GFDN, AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 12W WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS AS IT MOVES OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS MODERATE, BUT AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS PROVIDING GOOD EXHAUST TO SUPPORT INTENSIFICATION. AFTERWARDS, TY 12W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO LAND EFFECTS WITH CHINA AND DISSIPATE OVERLAND BY TAU 72. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE DATA AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:13 2003 X-UIDL: 36509-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200B5LSL9YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:07:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NE7a01031175 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:07:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GToh055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:54:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344501 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:54:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NDsuc9015520 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:54:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NDsuBv019058 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:54:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NDsu1T019057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:54:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 08:54:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 030 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231354.h7NDsu1T019057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 17.7N5 116.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 116.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 18.4N3 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 19.4N4 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 20.5N7 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 21.5N8 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 23.8N3 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 116.2E0. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION CONTINUE TO IMPROVE ON TY 12W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9, 240900Z5 AND 241500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:14 2003 X-UIDL: 36511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK200BQZTU5YI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:34:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NEYa01034911 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 22:34:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7N5GTp7055168; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:28:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344791 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NES4c9037018 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NES3Bv019466 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NES3Gl019465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:28:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 09:28:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231428.h7NES3Gl019465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 51N 158E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 158E TO 51N 162E 50N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 158E TO 45N 153E 41N 146E 40N 141E 39N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 137E TO 38N 127E 35N 114E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 172E 56N 171E 58N 180E 50N 180E 50N 172E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 140E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 36N 180E 32N 165E 37N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 56N 150E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 163E NNE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 19N 106E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 29N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 980 HPA AT 17.5N 117.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 162E TO 36N 169E 38N 175E 38N 179W 37N 167W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:22 2003 X-UIDL: 36539-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300B325XPYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 02:56:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NIttSU087635 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 02:55:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMeH038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:50:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 349201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:50:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NIo8c9070198 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:50:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NIo8Bv025140 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NIo8UF025139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 13:50:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308231850.h7NIo8UF025139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 231800 WARNING 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 980 HPA AT 18.3N 115.4E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 19.3N 110.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 20.5N 106.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 21.5N 102.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36545-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300BCB9TNYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:20:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NKJsSU097434 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:19:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMg7038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:12:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350298 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:12:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NKC8c9055108 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:12:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NKC7Bv027712 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:12:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NKC7Ec027711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:12:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:12:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 031 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232012.h7NKC7Ec027711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 232100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 18.1N0 115.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 115.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.9N8 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 19.8N8 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 20.8N0 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 22.0N4 107.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 24.1N7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 115.4E1. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA HAS TRACKED WEST-WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE AND ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION CONTINUE TO SLOWLY IMPROVE ON TY 12W. TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING FEATURES ARE AGAIN APPARENT IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9, 240900Z5, 241500Z2 AND 242100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:25 2003 X-UIDL: 36546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK300B9OAHEYI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:34:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NKY9SU099125 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 04:34:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMgX038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:27:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350543 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:27:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NKRKc9070336 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7NKRKBv028162 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7NKRKE6028161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 15:27:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308232027.h7NKRKE6028161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 54N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 161E TO 55N 166E 54N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 161E TO 48N 159E 43N 153E 40N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 145E TO 39N 139E 38N 133E 38N 123E 36N 119E 34N 114E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 57N 152E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 157E 36N 149E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 159E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 133E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 44N 145E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 980 HPA AT 18.3N 115.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Aug 24 12:00:31 2003 X-UIDL: 36563-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK30002VUVYTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:55:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O3rKHe025003 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 11:54:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMsF038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355856 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O2Rwc9033936 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O2Rw7S002009 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O2RvZ5002008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:27:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240227.h7O2RvZ5002008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 56N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 164E TO 56N 165E 56N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 167E TO 56N 173E 55N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 167E TO 48N 164E 39N 147E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 147E TO 39N 143E 38N 137E 39N 130E 37N 122E 33N 114E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 10N 110E 15N 111E 16N 115E 19N 119E 10N 118E 10N 110E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 122E EAST 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 61N 134E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 154E EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 61N 134E TO 60N 139E 57N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 61N 134E TO 56N 124E 56N 109E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 132E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 44N 148E ENE 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 980 HPA AT 19.2N 114.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:29 2003 X-UIDL: 36573-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK30003AWMQTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:32:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O4WWkr025336 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:32:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NM0wgl070556; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O21Jc9033304 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O21J7S001665 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O21JCU001664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 032 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240201.h7O21JCU001664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 18.7N6 114.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 114.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 19.6N6 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 20.6N8 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 21.7N0 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 23.1N6 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.1N8 105.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.9N8 114.4E0. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE ON TY 12W, WITH A BANDING EYE NOW EVIDENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5, 241500Z2, 242100Z9 AND 250300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:30 2003 X-UIDL: 36574-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK30008FWRYTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:35:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O4Y6He030404 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 12:35:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMr5038700; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355426 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O21Ic9099462 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O21I7S001660 for ; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O21HTc001659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 23 Aug 2003 21:01:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) Krovanh (12w)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240201.h7O21HTc001659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) KROVANH (12W)/ WARNING NR 32// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 240000Z6 TO 270000Z9 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE ON TY 12W, WITH A BANDING EYE NOW EVIDENT. B. TY 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. TY 12W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE LUICHOW PENINSULA OF CHINA IN APPROXIMATELY 36 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND, COMPLETELY DISSIPATING BEFORE 72 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, JTYM, EGRR AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 12W WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE EARLY PERIOD AS IT MOVES OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS MODERATE, BUT AN EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS PROVIDING GOOD EXHAUST TO SUPPORT SOME INTENSIFICATION. AFTERWARDS, TY 12W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO LAND EFFECTS WITH CHINA AND DISSIPATE OVERLAND BY TAU 72. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:32 2003 X-UIDL: 36577-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000KU00FTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 13:45:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O5jlHc038694 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 13:45:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMwN038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357826 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O5ZNc9083524 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O5ZM7S004487 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O5ZMO6004485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 00:35:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240535.h7O5ZMO6004485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/240152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED NEAR 18.7N6 114.9E5, APPROXIATELY 220 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:33 2003 X-UIDL: 36580-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000EF3DWTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 14:58:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O6wZHc047072 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 14:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsMxV038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:46:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 358492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:46:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O6kDc9046044 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:46:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O6kD7S005205 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O6kDcY005204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:46:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 01:46:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240646.h7O6kDcY005204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 240600 WARNING 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 19.3N 113.4E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 20.2N 108.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 21.5N 103.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:36 2003 X-UIDL: 36586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40005M71YTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:17:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O8Hlkr049308 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:17:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51NeT034438; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:03:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 359056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:02:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O820c9045644 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:02:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O8207S006092 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:02:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O820iR006091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:02:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:02:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 033 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240802.h7O820iR006091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 240900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 19.2N2 113.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 113.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.2N4 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 21.3N6 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 22.5N9 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.9N4 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 19.5N5 112.8E2. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS DECREASED CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT DUE TO LAND EFFECTS BUT SHOWS A WELL DEFINED BANDING EYE FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2, 242100Z9, 250300Z0 AND 250900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:36 2003 X-UIDL: 36587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK400097808TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:38:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O8cQkr051529 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 16:38:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM1R038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:30:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 359363 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:30:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O8Unc9083680 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7O8Un7S006417 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:30:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7O8UmvK006416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 03:30:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308240830.h7O8UmvK006416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 58N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 165E TO 59N 168E 59N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 169E TO 61N 179E 61N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 169E TO 50N 171E 43N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 43N 158E TO 40N 146E 40N 137E 38N 125E 34N 113E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 119E 10N 119E 10N 110E 14N 111E 17N 119E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 142E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 61N 180E 39N 180E 35N 158E 35N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 56N 135E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 125E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 135E TO 55N 140E 53N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 135E TO 54N 124E 56N 107E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 133E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 143E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 29N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 45N 150E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 19.3N 113.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:45 2003 X-UIDL: 36608-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40001HK3LTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:59:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OCxdkr080863 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:59:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7NHsM91038700; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 07:47:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 362302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 07:47:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OClOc9079462 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 07:47:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OClO7S008917 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 07:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OClOoS008916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 07:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 07:47:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241247.h7OClOoS008916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 241200 WARNING 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 19.9N 112.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 21.0N 107.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 22.5N 101.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36613-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000MCNBQTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:09:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OE9MHc096486 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:09:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jeD038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:04:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:04:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OE43c9058656 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:04:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OE437S009644 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:04:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OE43aQ009643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:04:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:04:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 034 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241404.h7OE43aQ009643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 19.5N5 112.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 112.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 20.4N6 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 21.5N8 107.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 22.6N0 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 23.7N2 104.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.7N7 111.5E8. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS EVIDENCED BY A LARGE RAGGED EYE FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6 AND 251500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:47 2003 X-UIDL: 36614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK4000G4NY7TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:22:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OEMnHc098252 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:22:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jed038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:17:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363411 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:17:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OEHRc9048500 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:17:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OEHQ7S009746 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:17:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OEHQq3009745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:17:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:17:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) Krovanh (12w)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241417.h7OEHQq3009745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) KROVANH (12W)/ WARNING NR 34// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 241200Z9 TO 261200Z1 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 70 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS, EVIDENCED BY A LARGE RAGGED EYE FEATURE. B. TY 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TY 12W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAINAN ISLAND WITHIN 12 HOURS BEFORE CONTINUING TO FINAL LANDFALL OVER CHINA IN 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE COMPLETELY OVER LAND BY 48 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, EGRR, JTYM AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE AIDS. C. INTENSITY FOR TY 12W IS CURRENTLY PEAKING UNDER A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT. TY 12W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST DUE TO LAND EFFECTS WITH HAINAN ISLAND AND LATER CHINA, DISSIPATING OVERLAND BY TAU 48. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK40002FOI8TT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:34:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OEYpHc099589 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 22:34:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jfH038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OETbc9096832 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OETb7S009859 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OETbpG009858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 09:29:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241429.h7OETbpG009858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 58N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 165E TO 59N 168E 59N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 170E TO 60N 178E 61N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 170E TO 49N 171E 47N 167E 42N 157E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 41N 149E 40N 139E 38N 132E 38N 125E 33N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 117E 11N 117E 10N 109E 16N 108E 16N 117E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 50N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 33N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 56N 140E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 125E EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 140E TO 54N 145E 53N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 140E TO 52N 124E 55N 108E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 134E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 29N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 45N 154E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 19.9N 112.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:56 2003 X-UIDL: 36634-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK5000580AXTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 02:49:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OIneHc028160 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 02:49:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jq5038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 13:45:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 367894 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 13:45:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OIjQc9019480 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 13:45:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OIjQ7S013984 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 13:45:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OIjQvD013983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 13:45:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 13:45:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308241845.h7OIjQvD013983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 241800 WARNING 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 20.0N 111.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 21.3N 107.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 23.0N 102.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:57 2003 X-UIDL: 36636-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK50004747TTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:14:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OKECHc038400 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:14:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51Nol102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:08:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 369449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:08:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OK8Yc9004408 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:08:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OK8Y7S016464 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:08:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OK8YEr016463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:08:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:08:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 035 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242008.h7OK8YEr016463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 242100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 19.9N9 111.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 111.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 20.8N0 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 21.7N0 107.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 22.9N3 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 110.6E8. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED ON THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BANDING EYE FEATURE. DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER HAS INCREASED, WHILE LAND INTERACTION HAS BEGUN TO SLIGHTLY DECREASE THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0, 250900Z6, 251500Z3 AND 252100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:17:57 2003 X-UIDL: 36637-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK5000214YRTT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:30:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OKUMkr030562 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 04:30:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51Nn9034438; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:26:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 369853 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:26:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OKQlc9019586 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:26:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7OKQl7S016879 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7OKQlRJ016878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 15:26:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308242026.h7OKQlRJ016878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 58N 168E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 168E TO 60N 169E 60N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 172E TO 62N 180E 62N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 172E TO 47N 170E 42N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 158E TO 41N 150E 40N 139E 37N 127E 34N 119E 33N 109E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 118E 10N 118E 10N 107E 14N 107E 15N 118E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 33N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 37N 127E EAST 10 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 55N 142E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 142E TO 54N 145E 53N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 142E TO 53N 128E 54N 112E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 135E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 45N 156E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 20.0N 111.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:03 2003 X-UIDL: 36652-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500G21H70T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 08:54:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P0sRHc067856 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 08:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jKv038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 19:48:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 376337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 19:48:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P0mYc9031786 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 19:48:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P0mY7S020685 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 19:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P0mYec020684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 19:48:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 19:48:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0312 Krovanh (0312) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250048.h7P0mYec020684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 250000 WARNING 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 20.7N 110.2E HAINAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 22.7N 106.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 23.5N 101.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:04 2003 X-UIDL: 36659-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500G94KG5T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:04:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P24bHc077659 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:04:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jOv038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:58:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 377685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:58:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P1w3c9035750 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:58:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P1w37S021559 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:58:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P1w3YO021558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:58:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:58:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 036 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250158.h7P1w3YO021558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 20.5N7 110.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 110.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 21.5N8 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 22.5N9 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 23.6N1 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 20.8N0 109.8E8. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED OVER LAND ON THE LUICHOW PENINSULA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS ADJUSTED FOR LAND INTERACTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE BANDING EYE FEATURE REMAINS, HOWEVER THE CENTRAL TEMPERATURE HAS COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY. LAND INTERACTION HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN THE DEEP CONVECTION NORTH OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6, 251500Z3, 252100Z0 AND 260300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:04 2003 X-UIDL: 36660-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GAZKGMT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:05:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P256Hc077750 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:05:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7OD2jP5038702; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:59:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 377701 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:59:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P1x4c9038172 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:59:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P1x37S021570 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:59:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P1x31m021569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:59:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 20:59:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 12w (krovanh)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250159.h7P1x31m021569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH)/ WARNING NR 36// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 250000Z7 TO 261200Z1 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED OVER LAND ON THE LUICHOW PENINSULA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS ADJUSTED FOR LAND INTERACTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE BANDING EYE FEATURE REMAINS, HOWEVER THE CENTRAL TEMPERATURE HAS COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY. LAND INTERACTION HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN THE DEEP CONVECTION NORTH OF THE CENTER. B. TY 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TY 12W IS FORECAST TO MAKE FINAL LANDFALL OVER CHINA IN APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE COMPLETELY OVER LAND BY 36 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, EGRR AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. INTENSITY FOR TY 12W HAS RECENTLY PASSED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST DUE TO LAND INTERACTIONS WITH CHINA, DISSIPATING OVERLAND BY TAU 36. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND A QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:13 2003 X-UIDL: 36664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GCJLTVT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:34:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2YcHc082604 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 10:34:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7O51N45102546; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:26:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 378178 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2Qtc9096772 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P2Qt7S021970 for ; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P2QsMl021969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:26:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 24 Aug 2003 21:26:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250226.h7P2QsMl021969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 58N 170E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 170E TO 61N 173E 62N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 62N 178E TO 62N 180E 62N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 62N 178E TO 55N 176W 49N 180E 44N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 119E 15N 119E 07N 108E 15N 109E 18N 115E 23N 115E 25N 119E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 142E 46N 151E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 37N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 38N 131E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 56N 144E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 32N 150E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 44N 157E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0312 KROVANH (0312) 970 HPA AT 20.7N 110.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 144E TO 55N 147E 53N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 144E TO 53N 135E 52N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 114E TO 38N 131E 40N 138E 40N 150E 44N 169E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:40 2003 X-UIDL: 36688-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500G1XTZ7T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:30:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P5UZkr099701 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:30:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tijj038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P5POc9015614 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P5PO7S024087 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P5POix024085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 00:25:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250525.h7P5POix024085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z-260600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/250152ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 110.2E4, OVER LAND ON THE LUICHOW PENINSULA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:41 2003 X-UIDL: 36692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK500GTKXLST8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 14:49:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P6mxHc035485 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 14:49:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2timP038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:43:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 382898 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:43:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P6hDc9054216 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:43:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P6hD7S025090 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:43:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P6hDNh025089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:43:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 01:43:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) Downgraded From Typhoon 975 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250643.h7P6hDNh025089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 250600 WARNING 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975 HPA AT 21.0N 109.3E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 22.9N 105.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:45 2003 X-UIDL: 36702-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600G1U1SHT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:19:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P8JOHc053248 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:19:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tipj038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:13:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384087 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:13:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P8Dhc9031914 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:13:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P8Dg7S026399 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:13:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P8DgKs026398 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:13:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:13:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 037 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250813.h7P8DgKs026398@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 250900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 20.8N0 108.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 108.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 21.8N1 107.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.0N5 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 21.1N4 108.4E3. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3, 252100Z0 AND 260300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:46 2003 X-UIDL: 36705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GR02D6T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:31:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P8VhHc055432 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 16:31:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tiqD038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:27:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P8R6c9058672 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7P8R67S026532 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7P8R6Mg026531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:27:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 03:27:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308250827.h7P8R6Mg026531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 250600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 58N 172E BERING SEA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 172E TO 60N 173E 62N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 62N 177E TO 63N 176W 64N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 62N 177E TO 52N 174W 46N 176E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 46N 176E TO 43N 160E 39N 152E 40N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 117E 15N 116E 10N 112E 10N 109E 15N 109E 16N 113E 19N 115E 23N 114E 23N 117E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 36N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 134E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 55N 144E EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 134E TO 40N 138E 40N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 134E TO 34N 127E 32N 120E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 120E TO 32N 113E 33N 106E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 144E TO 55N 148E 53N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 144E TO 52N 133E 51N 118E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 132E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1008 HPA AT 38N 120E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 45N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 21.0N 109.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600G4WEV0T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:01:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD1Vkr081799 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:01:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7P2tivh038704; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 07:46:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 386766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 07:46:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PCkGc9078554 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 07:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PCkF7S029638 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 07:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PCkFI3029637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 07:46:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 07:46:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251246.h7PCkFI3029637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 251200 WARNING 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 21.3N 107.9E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 25 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 23.0N 104.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:56 2003 X-UIDL: 36737-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600G5GIBBT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:16:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PEG4Hc009135 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:16:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PE0kcT022420; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:05:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:05:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PE5wc9034036 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:05:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PE5w7S005609 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:05:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PE5wER005608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:05:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:05:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 038 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251405.h7PE5wER005608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 21.2N5 107.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.2N5 107.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 22.4N8 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 24.3N9 103.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 21.5N8 107.1E9. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN VIETNAM OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A RECENT AMSU IMAGE REVEALS A WELL-DEVELOPED EYE FEATURE WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERY. LAND INTERACTION HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN THE DEEP CONVECTION NORTH OF THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0, 260300Z1 AND 260900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:57 2003 X-UIDL: 36738-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GBEIE0T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:18:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PEHekr092455 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:17:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9QdT102578; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:06:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:06:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PE5xc9057760 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:05:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PE5x7S005614 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:05:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PE5xAf005613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:05:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:05:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 12w (krovanh)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251405.h7PE5xAf005613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH)/ WARNING NR 38// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 251200Z0 TO 261200Z1 AUG 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN VIETNAM OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A RECENT AMSU IMAGE REVEALS A WELL-DEVELOPED EYE FEATURE WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERY. LAND INTERACTION HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN THE DEEP CONVECTION NORTH OF THE CENTER. B. TY 12W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TY 12W IS FORECAST TO MAKE FINAL LANDFALL NEAR CAM PHA, VIETNAM WITHIN THE NEXT 3 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, EGRR AND JGSM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 12W HAS REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Aug 25 23:18:57 2003 X-UIDL: 36739-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GX2J5XT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:34:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PEYSkr095035 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 22:34:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PE0ke5022420; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 384971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PERqc9094102 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PERp7S007490 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PERpid007487 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 09:27:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251427.h7PERpid007487@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 251200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 58N 175E BERING SEA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 170E TO 62N 175E 64N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 64N 179W TO 65N 172W 65N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 64N 179W TO 52N 169W 46N 178E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 46N 178E TO 45N 163E 41N 157E 40N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 139E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 139E TO 41N 144E 40N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 139E TO 37N 136E 36N 133E 33N 128E 32N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 124E TO 32N 120E 31N 115E 32N 110E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 36N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 55N 144E ENE SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 144E TO 55N 148E 53N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 144E TO 50N 128E 50N 110E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 09N 130E WEST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1012 HPA NEAR 15N 157E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 37N 123E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 29N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 975 HPA AT 21.3N 107.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:52:49 2003 X-UIDL: 36763-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK600GUMVFRT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 02:59:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PIxUHc055710 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 02:59:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHfXgt016448; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:50:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 391262 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:50:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PIooc9079516 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:50:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PIoo7S000826 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PIooeS000825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:50:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 13:50:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308251850.h7PIooeS000825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 251800 WARNING 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 985 HPA AT 21.5N 107.0E VIETNAM MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 22.2N 105.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 23.1N 103.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:52:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700GU70APT8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:44:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PKiVkr054172 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 04:44:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PD9QtT102578; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:30:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 394184 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:30:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PKUMc9085050 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PKUM7S010205 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:30:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PKUMdJ010204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:30:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:30:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252030.h7PKUMdJ010204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 58N 178E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 62N 180E TO 62N 173W 62N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 62N 169W TO 61N 159W 59N 151W. COLD FRONT FROM 62N 169W TO 57N 163W 52N 164W 47N 172W 45N 178E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 45N 178E TO 45N 171E 44N 163E 42N 159E 40N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 144E TO 41N 147E 40N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 144E TO 40N 142E 39N 138E 37N 136E 36N 133E 32N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 123E TO 32N 118E 31N 115E 31N 111E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 115E 16N 115E 13N 109E 18N 108E 20N 110E 22N 115E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 36N 159E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 55N 146E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 146E TO 54N 148E 52N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 146E TO 51N 137E 50N 114E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 131E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 42N 129E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 27N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 47N 157E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 985 HPA AT 21.5N 107.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:06 2003 X-UIDL: 36773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700GL9170T8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 05:04:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PL3tHc079091 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 05:03:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PHfXrX016448; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:53:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 394914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:53:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PKrPc9035588 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:53:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7PKrO7S012559 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:53:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7PKrOdx012558 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:53:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:53:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 039 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308252053.h7PKrOdx012558@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 252100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 21.5N8 106.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 106.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 22.5N9 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 24.0N6 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 21.8N1 106.5E2. TYPHOON (TY) 12W (KROVANH), MADE LANDFALL AT (APPROX) 251500Z3 JUST NORTH OF CAM PHA, VIETNAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATEDAT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. TY 12W HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1, 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:18 2003 X-UIDL: 36786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KSDC1PR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 08:58:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q0wLkr094290 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 08:58:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q0UHe9089106; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 19:51:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 401804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 19:51:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q0pSc9048598 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 19:51:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q0pR7S021383 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 19:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q0pROp021382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 19:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 19:51:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260051.h7Q0pROp021382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 260000 WARNING 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 985 HPA AT 22.2N 105.4E VIETNAM MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 22.5N 103.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 23.2N 102.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:23 2003 X-UIDL: 36793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KMCG4ER4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:26:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q2QLkr008431 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:26:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7PLhPrf045050; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:18:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 403638 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:18:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q2IXc9031844 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:18:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q2IX7S025754 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:18:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q2IXTf025753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:18:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:18:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 12w (krovanh) Warning Nr 040 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260218.h7Q2IXTf025753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ TROPICAL STORM 12W (KROVANH) WARNING NR 040 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 12W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 22.1N5 105.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 105.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 23.4N9 103.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 24.7N3 102.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 22.4N8 105.0E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 12W (KROVANH), LOCATED 80 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING CONVECTION AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS FURTHER INLAND. TS 12W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:24 2003 X-UIDL: 36794-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700K1AGKZR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:36:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q2aIkr010028 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 10:36:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q0UHll089106; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:26:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 403785 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:26:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q2Qkc9079462 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:26:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q2Qk7S025891 for ; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q2Qkgj025890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 21:26:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260226.h7Q2Qkgj025890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 58N 178W BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 147E TO 43N 150E 42N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 147E TO 41N 145E 39N 140E 36N 135E 34N 130E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 33N 125E 34N 118E 32N 111E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 115E 15N 118E 12N 109E 17N 107E 21N 109E 23N 115E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 142E 46N 150E 55N 161E 60N 163E 60N 180E 39N 180E 37N 170E 39N 154E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 43N 129E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 48N 159E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 985 HPA AT 22.2N 105.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 156E TO 44N 164E 45N 170E 45N 180E 47N 169W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:32 2003 X-UIDL: 36809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KQ5STYR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:01:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q70YHc065499 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:00:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53Bh1092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:51:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 407972 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q6pSc9054986 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:51:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q6pS7S000422 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q6pSJq000421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:51:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 01:51:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0312 Krovanh (0312) Downgraded From Severe Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260651.h7Q6pSJq000421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP23 RJTD 260600 WARNING 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 996 HPA AT 22.9N 104.8E VIETNAM MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 23.5N 102.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 24.5N 100.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:53:42 2003 X-UIDL: 36821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK700KCIXQ3R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:46:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q8kYHc082130 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 16:46:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53Bkj092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:28:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 409223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:28:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q8Spc9015596 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:28:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7Q8So7S001710 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:28:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7Q8SoVA001709 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:28:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 03:28:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308260828.h7Q8SoVA001709@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 170E 60N 170E 60N 179W 52N 180E 53N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 41N 140E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 38N 163E 35N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 150E ENE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 150E TO 45N 154E 43N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 150E TO 40N 143E 38N 139E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 139E TO 33N 109E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 127E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 22N 126E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1010 HPA AT 41N 132E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 49N 161E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 180E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 996 HPA AT 22.9N 104.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 43N 157E TO 43N 160E 45N 165E 45N 174E 45N 180E 46N 171W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:01 2003 X-UIDL: 36848-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KMYEB0R4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:45:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QEihHc034057 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 22:44:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7Q53B2b092396; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:34:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 413631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QEYrc9033932 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QEYr7S012674 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:34:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QEYrjo012673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:34:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 09:34:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308261434.h7QEYrjo012673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 140E 43N 146E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 39N 160E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 0312 KROVANH (0312) 1000 HPA AT 22N 103E WEST 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 45N 149E NE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 149E TO 44N 154E 43N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 149E TO 40N 147E 36N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 140E TO 32N 127E 35N 119E 33N 110E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 127E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 40N 130E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 49N 165E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 43N 158E TO 42N 160E 45N 169E 45N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:18 2003 X-UIDL: 36867-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK800KUOUTFR4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:41:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QKfNkr067543 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 04:41:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QIW61b031294; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:29:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 421176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QKS5c9037868 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7QKS57S009811 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7QKS5NF009810 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 15:28:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308262028.h7QKS5NF009810@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 137E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 37N 160E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 152E NE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 152E TO 46N 158E 45N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 152E TO 39N 147E 36N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 34N 137E 31N 131E 36N 120E 34N 108E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 128E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 40N 133E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 51N 168E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 45N 162E TO 46N 172E 45N 178W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:30 2003 X-UIDL: 36887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900L91BA95C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R2bGHc034331 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 10:37:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7QGlNPD098904; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:30:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 430221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:30:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R2Uec9013780 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:30:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R2Ue7S027197 for ; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:30:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R2UeNe027196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:30:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2003 21:30:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270230.h7R2UeNe027196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXIIII, Probability=44%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RCVD_IN_OSIRUSOFT_COM, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, X_OSIRU_OPEN_RELAY, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 139E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 35N 141E 36N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 32N 136E 31N 133E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 133E TO 33N 130E 36N 125E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 35N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 26N 156E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 37N 120E ENE 10 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 53N 129E NE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 154E NE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 120E TO 37N 123E 36N 125E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 120E TO 33N 115E 32N 107E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 129E TO 53N 134E 53N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 129E TO 46N 124E 43N 114E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 154E TO 48N 158E 46N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 154E TO 44N 151E 40N 148E 38N 144E 36N 143E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 128E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 139E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 51N 170E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 46N 163E TO 46N 173E 45N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Aug 27 17:54:45 2003 X-UIDL: 36915-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HK900LAWRYI5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:37:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R8bPHc089168 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:37:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R2awk3065664; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:27:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 435699 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7R8Rbc9010016 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7R8Rb7S002120 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7R8RblB002119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 03:27:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308270827.h7R8RblB002119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 142E TO 36N 143E 37N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 142E TO 33N 140E 31N 137E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 46N 150E 54N 160E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 39N 160E 36N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 19N 140E WEST 10 KT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 27N 154E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 124E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 49N 156E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 124E TO 35N 129E 33N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 124E TO 34N 120E 32N 110E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 156E TO 48N 162E 48N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 156E TO 44N 152E 41N 149E 38N 147E 37N 144E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 124E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 27N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 52N 172E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 48N 165E TO 45N 180E 43N 163W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:14 2003 X-UIDL: 36940-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00LP78NR5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:38:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7REc7Hc048530 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 22:38:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RCfBiT034406; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:27:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 440212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RERSc9033432 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RERR7S013011 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:27:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RERRef013010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:27:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:27:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308271427.h7RERRef013010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 46N 151E 54N 161E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 40N 160E 37N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 19N 140E WEST 10 KT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1012 HPA AT 28N 153E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 128E EAST 20 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 54N 134E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 143E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 50N 159E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 128E TO 36N 130E 34N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 128E TO 34N 125E 31N 116E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 134E TO 54N 137E 53N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 134E TO 47N 130E 42N 122E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 36N 145E 37N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 32N 140E 31N 136E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 159E TO 50N 161E 49N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 159E TO 45N 155E 42N 151E 38N 148E 37N 146E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 125E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 27N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 45N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 53N 175E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:40 2003 X-UIDL: 36959-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKA00LI1R3D5C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:16:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RLGLHc013611 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 05:16:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RAWhvL065666; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:11:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 449977 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:05:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RL4nc9015402 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7RL4n7S014420 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7RL4meC014416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:04:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308272104.h7RL4meC014416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 43N 143E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 35N 156E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 18N 139E WEST SLOWLY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 28N 153E NNW SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 126E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 998 HPA AT 38N 131E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 138E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 145E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 156E NNE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 161E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 131E TO 37N 134E 36N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 131E TO 35N 127E 33N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 123E TO 32N 118E 32N 114E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 138E TO 55N 143E 54N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 138E TO 47N 131E 41N 121E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 156E TO 46N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 156E TO 41N 154E 39N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 161E TO 50N 167E 47N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 161E TO 46N 158E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 125E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 144E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 27N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 45N 147E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 54N 176E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 142E TO 37N 145E 39N 150E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 11:53:54 2003 X-UIDL: 36983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB002ZH5ZILT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:38:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S2c1kr029572 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:38:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S1U7eH059498; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:31:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 457300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:31:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S2Voc9019594 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:31:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7S2Vo7S006746 for ; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:31:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7S2Voam006745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:31:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 21:31:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308280231.h7S2Voam006745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 132E NEAR ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 132E TO 38N 136E 37N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 132E TO 34N 129E 32N 120E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 48N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 160E TO 50N 165E 49N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 160E TO 43N 158E 39N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 34N 155E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 18N 138E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 145E NE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 139E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 139E TO 57N 147E 57N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 139E TO 48N 135E 41N 125E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 119E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 47N 149E ESE SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Aug 28 16:57:34 2003 X-UIDL: 37003-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKB002CXMT0LT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S8fKkr093172 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 16:41:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S1U7pP059498; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 461665 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7S8T3c9029944 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:29:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7S8T37S027322 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:29:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7S8T2XZ027321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:29:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 03:29:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308280829.h7S8T2XZ027321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 162E TO 50N 167E 48N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 162E TO 44N 161E 41N 157E 39N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 35N 157E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 17N 137E WSW SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 135E NE 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 56N 142E NNE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 146E NE SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 135E TO 40N 138E 39N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 135E TO 36N 132E 33N 126E 32N 120E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 142E TO 59N 147E 59N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 142E TO 50N 138E 45N 133E 41N 125E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 118E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 28N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 46N 150E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 54N 179W ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:09:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002HX39XLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:37:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SEb4kr049172 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 22:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7RAWhEd065666; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:28:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 466079 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:28:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SESac9070496 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SESa7S020106 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:28:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SESZmE020105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:28:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 09:28:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308281428.h7SESZmE020105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 166E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 166E TO 51N 168E 50N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 170E TO 49N 174E 47N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 170E TO 46N 169E 42N 164E 40N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 16.5N 138.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 34N 160E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 139E NNE 25 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 57N 143E NNE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 147E NNE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 139E TO 41N 142E 40N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 139E TO 36N 136E 33N 130E 32N 126E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 126E TO 32N 119E 32N 114E. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 143E TO 59N 149E 59N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 143E TO 54N 142E 52N 139E 47N 137E 43N 132E 40N 126E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 117E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 45N 153E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:04 2003 X-UIDL: 37043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC00296K0WLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:38:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SKcqkr099126 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:38:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGMxlj029148; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:30:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 475107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:30:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SKUXc9085734 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SKUX7S018178 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:30:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SKUW6l018176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:30:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:30:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308282030.h7SKUW6l018176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 50N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 167E TO 51N 170E 51N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 172E TO 49N 177E 46N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 172E TO 45N 171E 41N 166E 40N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 140E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 140E TO 42N 142E 40N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 140E TO 39N 138E 36N 136E 34N 133E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 133E TO 32N 128E 32N 122E 32N 115E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 15.5N 137.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 138E 36N 141E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 37N 160E 36N 145E 34N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 145E NNE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 145E TO 59N 151E 57N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 145E TO 55N 144E 52N 140E 46N 138E 43N 134E 40N 128E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 112E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 45N 155E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 10:10:05 2003 X-UIDL: 37045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKC002F5K5RLT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:41:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SKfmHc031689 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 04:41:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2wp023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:36:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 475221 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:36:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SKaTc9046912 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:36:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7SKa37S018590 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:36:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7SKZcKF018571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:35:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:35:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 14w Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308282035.h7SKZcKF018571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 282100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- NEAR 16.3N0 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 136.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 15.7N3 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 15.3N9 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 15.4N0 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 16.1N8 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 18.0N9 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 19.2N2 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 19.2N2 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 135.7E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281730Z1 ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN INCREASE IN THE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4, 290900Z0, 291500Z7 AND 292100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 11:06:53 2003 X-UIDL: 37064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005DP0E0QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:32:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T2WKHc078479 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:32:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2N5023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:27:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 482791 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T2RDc9004568 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:27:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T2RC7S000087 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T2RC4R000086 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:27:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290227.h7T2RC4R000086@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 15.5N 136.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 16.0N 135.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 49N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 168E TO 51N 172E 50N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 174E TO 47N 179W 44N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 174E TO 42N 171E 41N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 141E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 141E TO 44N 143E 43N 144E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 144E TO 42N 147E 41N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 144E TO 40N 142E 37N 138E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 155E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 145E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 113E TO 32N 118E 31N 124E 33N 132E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 11:06:54 2003 X-UIDL: 37066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005SQ0XCQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:44:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T2huHc080220 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:43:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T1JVpf057950; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:39:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 482986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:37:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T2bcc9085696 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:37:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T2bb7S000280 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T2bbGu000278 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:37:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:37:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 14w Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290237.h7T2bbGu000278@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- NEAR 16.1N8 135.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 135.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 15.8N4 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 15.9N5 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.5N2 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.3N1 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 18.8N7 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 19.2N2 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 18.7N6 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 135.0E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TS 14W CONTINUES TO HAVE ENHANCED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0, 291500Z7, 292100Z4 AND 300300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 11:06:55 2003 X-UIDL: 37067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005T90XGQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:44:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T2i1kr050409 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:44:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2Nl023478; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:39:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 482995 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:38:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T2cXc9085706 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:38:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T2cW7S000321 for ; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:38:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T2cWxn000318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:38:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 21:38:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 14w Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290238.h7T2cWxn000318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W /WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 290000Z1 AUG TO 030000Z3 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TS 14W CONTINUES TO HAVE ENHANCED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. B. TS 14W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD, THEN WESTWARD, UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE STRENGTHENING LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL BRIEFLY WEAKEN THE STEERING RIDGE NEAR TAU 24 AND SHIFT THE TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TILL TAU 72. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, GFDN, AND EGRR ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. A POLEWARD CLUSTER CONSISTING OF GFDN AND NOGAPS, EXHIBITS INTERACTION WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE MODELS TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. EGRR REMAINS EQUATORWARD OF THE OTHER MODELS WITH ONLY MODERATE INTENSIFICATION. A CENTRAL CLUSTER, CONSISTING OF COAMPS AND GFS, MAINTAIN THE SYSTEM WEAKEST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS AND GFDN. C. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PREVIOUSLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM IS NOW JUST NORTH OF TS 14W AND NO LONGER PROVIDING ENHANCED OUTFLOW. EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW IS ENHANCED AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. THEREAFTER, TS 14W IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT JUST BELOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IN THE MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT SOUTH OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR AND GFS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT AS OUTLINED IN PARA 1.B. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE THREE MODELS ADJUSTED FOR THE POSITION OF STEERING RIDGE WITHIN THE MODEL FIELDS. TS 14W IS FORECAST TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TS 14W SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT SLIGHTLY BELOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/RONSSE/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Aug 29 16:47:28 2003 X-UIDL: 37104-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005Q1HAFQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 16:37:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T8bNHc035869 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 16:37:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGP2a5023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:30:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 487463 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T8UJc9070950 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7T8UJ7S006209 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7T8UI5u006208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 03:30:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308290830.h7T8UI5u006208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 16.3N 135.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 17.3N 132.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 51N 141E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 141E TO 48N 146E 44N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 141E TO 41N 139E 36N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 48N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 170E TO 50N 173E 50N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 176E TO 47N 179W 45N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 176E TO 43N 173E 42N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 41N 143E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 40N 180E 35N 162E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 102E TO 31N 107E 31N 116E 31N 129E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:43 2003 X-UIDL: 37130-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005YUX9BQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:22:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEMJkr067778 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:22:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7SGMxCB029148; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:14:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 491394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:37:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TDbJc9007938 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:37:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TDbI7S012111 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:37:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TDbI3J012109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:37:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:37:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291337.h7TDbI3J012109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z-300600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/290151ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 290000Z1, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 135.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 750 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 290300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10.4N5 166.3E6, 135 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN ISLAND IN THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UNORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS ON THE MOST RECENT UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CIMSS CHART DEPICTS A GOOD ENVIRONMENT WITH EXCELLENT OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:45 2003 X-UIDL: 37134-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD0055JXBFQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:23:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TENUkr067988 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:23:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TCSPrn089234; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:14:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 491372 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:36:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TDauc9034890 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:36:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TDau7S012052 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:36:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TDaukc012051 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:36:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 08:36:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 14w Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291336.h7TDaukc012051@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 290900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- NEAR 16.2N9 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 16.4N1 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 16.8N5 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 17.6N4 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 18.9N8 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 20.3N5 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 20.5N7 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 20.6N8 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 134.6E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 715 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290530Z9 ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THAT TS 14W IS BEING SHEARED IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANTS FROM A TUTT CELL JUST NORTH OF THE STORM BUT CONTINUES TO ENJOY ENHANCED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FORADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7, 292100Z4, 300300Z6 AND 300900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:48 2003 X-UIDL: 37139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005G8XZGQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:38:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEc1kr071095 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:38:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qIsr023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:31:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 494339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:31:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEVac9078706 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TEVZ7S016070 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:31:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TEVZAn016069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:31:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:31:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291431.h7TEVZAn016069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 16.0N 134.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 16.3N 133.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 143E SAKHALIN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 143E TO 50N 144E 48N 145E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 145E TO 46N 151E 45N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 145E TO 42N 143E 39N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 48N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 172E TO 50N 175E 50N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 177E TO 47N 178W 43N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 177E TO 44N 174E 42N 168E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 42N 161E 45N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 168E 60N 180E 40N 180E 35N 160E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 143E ENE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 19N 117E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 13N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 57N 177E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:48 2003 X-UIDL: 37141-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005D4YAEQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:44:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEiYHc096666 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:44:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T5461d058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:36:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 494460 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:36:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEawc9042890 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TEaw7S016460 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:36:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TEagXX016440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:36:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:36:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291436.h7TEagXX016440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 291200 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 16.0N 134.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 16.3N 133.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 143E SAKHALIN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 143E TO 50N 144E 48N 145E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 145E TO 46N 151E 45N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 145E TO 42N 143E 39N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 48N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 172E TO 50N 175E 50N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 177E TO 47N 178W 43N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 177E TO 44N 174E 42N 168E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 42N 161E 45N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 168E 60N 180E 40N 180E 35N 160E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 143E ENE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 19N 117E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 13N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 57N 177E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 102E TO 30N 107E 31N 121E 32N 130E 32N 135E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:50 2003 X-UIDL: 37145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKD005L9YONQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:53:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEr7Hc098289 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:53:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qIuN023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:45:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 494669 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TEjvc9025732 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TEjv7S017081 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TEjuvV017080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:45:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 09:45:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 14w Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291445.h7TEjuvV017080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- NEAR 15.8N4 134.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 134.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 15.5N1 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.4N1 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.6N4 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 18.5N4 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 19.8N8 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 19.7N7 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 18.7N6 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.7N3 133.8E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 675 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291130Z6 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TS 14W IS DEVELOPING A SECONDARY OUTFLOW CHANNEL TO THE EAST AS THE TUTT CELL NORTH OF THE STORM MOVES FURTHERWESTWARD. THE PRIMARY EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL REMAINS STRONG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4, 300300Z6, 300900Z2 AND 301500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:50 2003 X-UIDL: 37146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005CM05DQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:24:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TFOhkr079007 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 23:24:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T5463T058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:17:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 495375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:17:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TFH0c9047376 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:17:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TFGx7S019357 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:16:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TFGxwH019356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:16:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 10:16:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 14w Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291516.h7TFGxwH019356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W /WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 291200Z4 AUG TO 031200Z6 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 675 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291130Z6 ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TS 14W IS DEVELOPING A SECONDARY OUTFLOW CHANNEL TO THE EAST AS THE TUTT CELL NORTH OF THE STORM MOVES FURTHER WESTWARD. THE PRIMARY EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL REMAINS STRONG. B. TS 14W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE FIRST 12 TO 24 HOURS. THEN TS 14W WILL SHIFT MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TILL TAU 72 AS A SHORTWAVE FROM THE WEST WEAKENS THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, GFDN, JGSM, JTYM, AFWA AND EGRR ARE IN VERY POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK. A POLEWARD CLUSTER OF NOGAPS, GFDN, JGSI, JTYI, AND COWI ALL EXHIBIT EXTREME POLEWARD BIAS RELATIVE TO PERSISTENCE AND THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC SITUATION. THE LATEST ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ANALYSIS OF THE MOST RECENT UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CIMSS UPPER LEVEL CHART SHOWS THAT THE RIDGE IS HOLDING MUCH STRONGER THAN THESE MODELS ARE FORECASTING MAKING THEIR POLEWARD TRACKS UNREALISTIC. THE SECONDARY CLUSTER OF EGGR AND NCEP IS MUCH MORE REALISTIC WITH PERSISTENCE AND THE CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND THE EGRR AND GFS FORECAST SOLUTIONS. C. THE PRESENCE OF A NEW OUTFLOW CHANNEL TO THE EAST WITH THE ALREADY STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL SHOULD ALLOW INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR AT A HIGHER THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTER THE 12 TO 24 HOUR TAU, TS 14W WILL LOSE THE EASTERN OUTFLOW CHANNEL AND RETURN TO A MORE CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OF INTENSIFICATION. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TS 14W TO TRANSITION TO A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK WHEN THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. AT THIS POINT, TS 14W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY BELOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR AND MORE LINEAR AND CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AS IT ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE 200 MB RIDGE THAT WILL BE ANCHORED OVER CENTRAL ASIA. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMANN/MECHANIC/PHILIPS/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:55 2003 X-UIDL: 37159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005FXBQ1QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:34:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TJXNHe033313 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:34:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TFsPB3025838; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 13:51:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 499767 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 13:51:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TIpLc9080820 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 13:51:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TIpK7S004730 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 13:51:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TIpKp2004729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 13:51:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 13:51:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0313 Dujuan (0313) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308291851.h7TIpKp2004729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 291800 WARNING 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 16.2N 134.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 16.6N 133.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 18.5N 132.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 19.5N 129.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:20:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37163-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE0055HERMQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:40:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TKeUkr021289 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:40:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T546Ev058870; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:33:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 502032 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TKSBc9042978 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:28:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TKSA7S012202 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:28:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TKSAEX012200 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:28:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:28:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292028.h7TKSAEX012200@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 144E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 144E TO 51N 145E 50N 146E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 146E TO 46N 155E 43N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 146E TO 42N 146E 38N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 47N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 175E TO 49N 177E 49N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 179E TO 48N 176W 44N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 179E TO 44N 177E 42N 169E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 169E TO 42N 164E 43N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 33N 164E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 13N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 19N 117E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 57N 177E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 998 HPA AT 16.2N 134.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 102E TO 30N 107E 31N 117E 31N 124E 32N 134E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37166-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE005P0FEJQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:54:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TKsFkr023326 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:54:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7T9qILL023478; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:49:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 502559 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:49:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TKnTc9036562 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:49:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7TKnT7S014033 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:49:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7TKnTYa014032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:49:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 15:49:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 14w Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308292049.h7TKnTYa014032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 292100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- NEAR 16.0N7 133.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 133.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 16.6N3 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 17.4N2 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 18.2N1 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 19.0N0 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 20.4N6 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 20.4N6 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 20.5N7 110.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 133.5E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM EAST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS BEING ENHANCED BY AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2918000Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6, 300900Z2, 301500Z9 AND 302100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:05 2003 X-UIDL: 37176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE00BLHQC0G4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 08:50:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U0oJkr049555 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 08:50:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcqhj081696; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:45:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 506887 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:45:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U0joc9065776 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:45:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U0jo7S021143 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U0joJR021142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:45:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0313 Dujuan (0313) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300045.h7U0joJR021142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 300000 WARNING 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 990 HPA AT 16.3N 134.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 17.7N 133.2E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 19.5N 130.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 21.5N 126.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Aug 30 09:21:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE00BIMQSCG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:00:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U108kr051074 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:00:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxn5091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 507037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U0rrc9032648 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U0rq7S021240 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U0rqR2021238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 19:53:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300053.h7U0rqR2021238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 300100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/REISSUED/300100Z-300600ZAUG2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/291951ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. (1) AT 291800Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N7 133.8E5, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM EAST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 292100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 166.3E6, APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN ISLAND IN THE MARSHALL ISLANDS HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARAS 1.A.(1) AND 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:00 2003 X-UIDL: 37190-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE00BTGVJEG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:42:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U2gkHc093587 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 10:42:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxp7091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:31:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 508187 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:31:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U2Vdc9032122 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:31:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U2Vc7S022469 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U2Vcvn022468 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:31:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:31:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300231.h7U2Vcvn022468@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 145E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 145E TO 50N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 151E TO 46N 159E 42N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 151E TO 44N 154E 36N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 48N 178W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 178W TO 47N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 174W TO 43N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 174W TO 41N 180E 42N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 146E 36N 144E 40N 151E 47N 151E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 39N 180E 39N 165E 39N 157E 35N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 56N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 12N 156E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 175E SE SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 39N 134E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 57N 173E ENE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 990 HPA AT 16.3N 134.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 109E TO 31N 119E 34N 128E 33N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE00BJ8WMNG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:06:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U36IHc097214 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:06:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxpl091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:59:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 508566 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:59:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U2xYc9016654 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:59:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U2xX7S022694 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:59:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U2xXTj022693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:59:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 21:59:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300259.h7U2xXTj022693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- NEAR 16.1N8 134.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 134.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 16.8N5 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 17.8N6 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 18.6N5 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 19.4N4 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 20.8N0 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 21.0N3 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 21.3N6 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 134.0E8. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 690 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A TIGHTLY CURVED BAND IS FORMING NEAR THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2, 301500Z9, 302100Z6 AND 310300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:01 2003 X-UIDL: 37193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKE00BVWWTGG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:10:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U3APkr072307 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 11:10:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxpp091172; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:01:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 508581 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:01:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U31Jc9089324 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:01:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U31I7S022742 for ; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:01:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U31I70022740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:01:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2003 22:01:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 08// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300301.h7U31I70022740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 300000Z3 AUG TO 040000Z4 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 690 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS DRIFTED WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A TIGHTLY CURVED BAND IS FORMING NEAR THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 TO 12 HOURS. B. TY 14W IS DEVELOPING A LARGE PERIPHERAL RIDGE TO THE EAST, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO REORIENT THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTHWEST- SOUTHEAST. TY 14W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD FOR 24 TO 36 HOURS ALONG THIS MID-LEVEL RIDGE. AFTER 36 HOURS, THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BUILD IN TO THE WEST, CAUSING TY 14W TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, GFDN, JGSM, JTYM, AFWA MM5, AND UKMET OFFICER (EGRR) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK. JGSM AND JTYM INITIALIZE A SECONDARY LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EAST OF TY 14W, NOT EVIDENT IN SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS. MODEL FIELDS INDICATE AN ERRONEOUS INTERACTION WITH THIS LOW LEVEL SYSTEM, RESULTING IN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK THROUGH THE FIRST 24 HOURS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. C. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST AND ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE EAST, PROVIDING GOOD OUTFLOW FOR THE SYSTEM. TY 14W IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH THE ENHANCED OUTFLOW. AFTER 12 TO 24 HOURS, TY 14W WILL LOSE THE EASTERN OUTFLOW CHANNEL AND RETURN TO A MORE CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OF INTENSIFICATION. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 292113Z8 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 14W TO MAINTAIN A WESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TY 14W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BTL6ULG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 14:47:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U6l4Hc028399 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 14:47:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxtH091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:42:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 510631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:42:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U6g9c9040378 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:42:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U6g87S024935 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:42:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U6g89i024934 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:42:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 01:42:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0313 Dujuan (0313) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300642.h7U6g89i024934@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 300600 WARNING 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 16.5N 134.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 230 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 18.6N 131.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 20.0N 128.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 21.5N 123.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:33 2003 X-UIDL: 37220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BPIC4PG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 16:41:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U8fAHc041126 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 16:41:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxuX091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:29:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 511400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:29:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U8T1c9048540 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:29:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U8T07S026067 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U8T0sb026066 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:29:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 03:29:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300829.h7U8T0sb026066@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 54N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 146E TO 52N 152E 50N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 155E TO 45N 163E 41N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 155E TO 41N 155E 37N 149E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 149E TO 35N 142E 33N 136E 34N 128E 30N 118E 28N 110E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 47N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 176W TO 48N 172W 47N 170W. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 170W TO 44N 165W 41N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 170W TO 40N 180E 41N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 176E MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 150E 38N 150E 50N 155E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 36N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 128E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 155E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 39N 135E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 39N 145E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 57N 174E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 985 HPA AT 16.5N 134.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:35 2003 X-UIDL: 37224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BENFAEG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:49:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9nMkr023529 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 17:49:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxwR091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:43:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 512231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:43:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U9hcc9004588 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:43:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7U9hc7S026810 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:43:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7U9hcL9026809 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:43:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 04:43:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308300943.h7U9hcL9026809@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 300900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- NEAR 16.7N4 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 17.9N7 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 19.2N2 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 20.1N3 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 20.8N0 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 22.1N5 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 22.4N8 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 22.8N2 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION NEAR 17.0N8 133.3E0. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 655 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOW THAT A TIGHTLY CURVED BAND HAS FORMED NEAR THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9, 302100Z6, 310300Z7 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:41 2003 X-UIDL: 37236-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BZRNOSG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:50:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UComHc071608 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 20:50:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcqod081696; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 07:46:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 513462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 07:46:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UCkFc9025816 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 07:46:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UCkE7S028524 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 07:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UCkEJw028519 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 07:46:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 07:46:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0313 Dujuan (0313) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301246.h7UCkEJw028519@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 301200 WARNING 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 980 HPA AT 17.5N 133.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 230 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 20.1N 129.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 21.0N 125.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 23.0N 120.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:42 2003 X-UIDL: 37240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00B10S9BG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:29:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UETVkr052764 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:29:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZx1n091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:17:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 514614 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:17:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UEHXc9042950 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:17:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UEHX7S029551 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UEHXnG029550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:17:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:17:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301417.h7UEHXnG029550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 301500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- NEAR 17.7N5 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 19.2N2 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 20.4N6 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 21.0N3 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 21.8N1 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 23.3N8 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 23.3N8 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 23.6N1 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION NEAR 18.1N0 132.8E4. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 625 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES A TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING EYE FEATURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6, 310300Z7, 310900Z3 AND 311500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:43 2003 X-UIDL: 37241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKF00BF8SJIG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:35:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UEZYHc086641 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:35:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLcqqX081696; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:29:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 514836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UETac9032578 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UETW7S000134 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:29:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UETVDD000133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:29:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 09:29:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301429.h7UETVDD000133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 55N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 50N 159E MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 48N 174W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 174W TO 48N 171W 48N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 169W TO 46N 164W 43N 160W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 169W TO 42N 174W 40N 172E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1006 HPA AT 46N 179E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 150E 40N 150E 46N 157E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 162E 36N 150E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13N 155E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 131E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 40N 148E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 32N 160E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 56N 174E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 980 HPA AT 17.5N 133.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 131E TO 33N 136E 33N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 131E TO 30N 123E 27N 110E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 159E TO 44N 166E 40N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 159E TO 40N 156E 37N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 151E TO 36N 145E 34N 141E 33N 137E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:52 2003 X-UIDL: 37264-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00BUP4QHG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 02:59:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UIx2kr087434 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 02:59:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxDJ091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 13:48:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 519810 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 13:48:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UImSc9093228 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 13:48:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UImR7S005670 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 13:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UImRkp005669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 13:48:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 13:48:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308301848.h7UImRkp005669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 301800 WARNING 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 18.5N 132.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 230 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 21.1N 126.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 22.5N 120.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 23.5N 114.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:54 2003 X-UIDL: 37268-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00B2M985G4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:36:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKa1kr098617 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:36:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxHZ091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:30:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 521809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:30:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKUcc9045828 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:30:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UKUb7S007259 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UKUbhX007256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:30:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:30:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302030.h7UKUbhX007256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 978 HPA AT 56N 144E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 148E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 34N 180E 35N 163E 36N 148E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 12N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 135E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 51N 162E NE 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 34N 114E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 41N 153E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 32N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 56N 176E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 970 HPA AT 18.5N 132.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 135E TO 35N 137E 34N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 135E TO 35N 133E 35N 130E 33N 127E 31N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 124E TO 29N 120E 27N 115E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 162E TO 50N 164E 48N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 165E TO 42N 170E 38N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 165E TO 42N 161E 38N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 153E TO 37N 148E 37N 144E 35N 141E 34N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:06:56 2003 X-UIDL: 37273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00B2H9WZG4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:50:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKouHc035804 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 04:50:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKBMi7036474; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:45:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 522172 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:45:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7UKjvc9094090 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:45:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7UKjv7S007493 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7UKjvaI007492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 15:45:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308302045.h7UKjvaI007492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 302100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 18.4N3 132.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 132.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 19.9N9 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 21.0N3 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 21.8N1 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 22.6N0 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 23.8N3 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 24.5N1 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 25.8N5 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 131.7E2. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 570 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7, 310900Z3, 311500Z0 AND 312100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG00AJKL4GTJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:53:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V0r1hx020083 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 08:53:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxPh091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:48:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 526075 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:48:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V0mOc9054972 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:48:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V0mN7S010517 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:48:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V0mNeg010516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:48:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 19:48:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310048.h7V0mNeg010516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 310000 WARNING 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 970 HPA AT 19.1N 131.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 21.1N 125.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 22.0N 119.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 23.5N 113.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:05 2003 X-UIDL: 37299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009PGPMLE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:30:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V2UH3R024833 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 10:30:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxTD091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:27:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 527575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V2Rmc9080862 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V2Rm7S011554 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V2RlVf011553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 21:27:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310227.h7V2RlVf011553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 310000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 57N 143E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 136E 11N 138E 09N 129E 12N 127E 15N 136E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 142E 46N 150E 54N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 37N 160E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 12N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 52N 163E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 32N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 44N 157E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 55N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 970 HPA AT 19.1N 131.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 163E TO 50N 165E 48N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 167E TO 43N 170E 38N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 167E TO 43N 165E 39N 157E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 120E TO 35N 131E 35N 138E 39N 148E 39N 157E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:07 2003 X-UIDL: 37305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009CGRXLE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 11:20:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V3K63R030026 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 11:20:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7TLZxUv091172; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 528591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V3F4c9045900 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V3F37S012068 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V3F3id012067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 12// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310315.h7V3F3id012067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 310300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 310000Z4 AUG TO 050000Z5 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 595 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. A 302322Z2 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DRY AIR IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. B. TY 14W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD FOR 12 TO 24 HOURS ALONG THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTER 24 HOURS, THIS MID- LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD IN TO THE WEST, CAUSING TY 14W TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, GFDN, JGSM, JTYM, AFWA MM5, AND UKMET (EGRR) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. C. POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS DECREASING AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST FILLS AND PROPAGATES WESTWARD. TY 14W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH 36 HOURS WHILE IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS HONG KONG. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 302048Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 14W TO MAINTAIN A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TY 14W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:08 2003 X-UIDL: 37306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKG009DARY0E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 11:20:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V3KKhx036443 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 11:20:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511wx053130; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 528594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V3FBc9045910 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V3FB7S012073 for ; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V3FBHs012072 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 30 Aug 2003 22:15:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310315.h7V3FBHs012072@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 310300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- NEAR 19.2N2 131.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 131.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 20.5N7 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 21.4N7 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 22.1N5 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 22.9N3 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 24.1N7 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 24.9N5 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 26.6N4 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION NEAR 19.5N5 130.5E9. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 595 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. A 302322Z2 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DRY AIR IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3, 311500Z0, 312100Z7 AND 010300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:12 2003 X-UIDL: 37318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009LT109E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:36:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V6a6hx060458 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:36:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwdf091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 532629 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V6M1c9070278 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V6M07S013860 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V6M07f013858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:22:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310622.h7V6M07f013858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 310600 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z AUG/010600Z SEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/310251ZAUG2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N02 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 595 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 310300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 152.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 153.5E4, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. RECENT ANIMATED MUTLISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DISTINCT LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES CONVERGING INTO THE CENTER. CHUUK HAS BEEN REPORTING SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS OF 12 TO 14 KNOTS IN THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. FURTHERMORE, THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE LINKED UP WITH EASTERLY FLOW TO THE NORTH FROM THE TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST FURTHER ENHANCING OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:13 2003 X-UIDL: 37322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH0091B1ZSE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:57:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V6vOhx063404 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 14:57:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U5113P053130; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:49:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 533028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:49:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V6nPc9033858 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V6nP7S014107 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:49:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V6nOJH014106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:49:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 01:49:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310649.h7V6nOJH014106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 310600 WARNING 310600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 960 HPA AT 19.8N 129.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 21.3N 123.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 22.5N 118.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 23.5N 112.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:15 2003 X-UIDL: 37325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009R26IHE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:35:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V8Z0hx076994 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 16:35:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwgN091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 534132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V8Uhc9036448 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7V8Ug7S015254 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7V8UgE1015253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 03:30:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308310830.h7V8UgE1015253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 310600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 56N 142E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 38N 162E 37N 148E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13N 153E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 39N 134E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 46N 159E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 32N 170E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 53N 177E SSE SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 960 HPA AT 19.8N 129.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 121E TO 36N 132E 36N 139E 36N 141E 40N 152E 42N 163E 41N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:20 2003 X-UIDL: 37340-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009X4IH5E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 20:53:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VCrQhx015585 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 20:53:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvhX045012; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 07:48:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 537146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 07:48:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VCmcc9058656 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 07:48:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VCmb7S017699 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 07:48:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VCmbFO017695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 07:48:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 07:48:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311248.h7VCmbFO017695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 311200 WARNING 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 960 HPA AT 20.2N 128.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 21.2N 122.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 22.0N 116.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 23.0N 111.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:24 2003 X-UIDL: 37353-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH00921N9XE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:37:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VEb63R019013 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 22:37:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwpL091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 538695 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VEWDc9041082 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VEWC7S018746 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VEWCXg018743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 09:32:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311432.h7VEWCXg018743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 311200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 56N 142E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 142E 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 179E 40N 180E 38N 163E 36N 151E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 12N 151E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 149E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 40N 135E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 39N 144E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 47N 161E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 55N 178E ENE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 960 HPA AT 20.2N 128.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 149E TO 41N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 149E TO 36N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 35N 140E 36N 139E 36N 134E 31N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKH009TIZCPE1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:58:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VIvv3R057825 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 02:57:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw1J091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:49:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 542874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:49:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VIntc9088046 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:49:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VIns7S021758 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VInsfU021757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 13:49:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308311849.h7VInsfU021757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 311800 WARNING 311800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 960 HPA AT 20.4N 126.9E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 20.8N 124.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 21.1N 120.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 21.5N 114.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 21.5N 109.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:30 2003 X-UIDL: 37372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI0097R3M7E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:30:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VKU33R069783 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:30:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw4d091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:26:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 544530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:26:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VKQYc9081794 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:26:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VKQX7S023014 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VKQXk1023013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:26:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312026.h7VKQXk1023013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 311800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 142E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 43N 180E 35N 145E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 12N 151E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 41N 153E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 53N 180E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 40N 140E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 960 HPA AT 20.4N 126.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 153E TO 43N 157E 42N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 153E TO 38N 149E 36N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 36N 141E 36N 136E 30N 122E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:32 2003 X-UIDL: 37376-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI009QI3W6E1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:36:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VKa3hx083918 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 04:36:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gw51091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:32:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 544710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:32:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7VKWmc9031804 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:32:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h7VKWl7S023105 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:32:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h7VKWlqK023104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:32:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 15:32:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200308312032.h7VKWlqK023104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 312100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- NEAR 20.4N6 126.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 126.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 20.9N1 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 21.5N8 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 22.1N5 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 22.6N0 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 23.2N7 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 22.6N0 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 312100Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.5N7 125.9E7. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102, AND 115 KNOTS. A 311519Z0 TRMM PASS DEPICTS A 13 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4, 010900Z0, 011500Z7 AND 012100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:07:38 2003 X-UIDL: 37392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CGVFWMAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:55:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810tWhx014274 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 08:55:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5gwFR091172; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 19:50:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 549193 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 19:50:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810odc9070206 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 19:50:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h810oc7S026285 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 19:50:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h810ocGD026284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 19:50:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 19:50:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010050.h810ocGD026284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 010000 WARNING 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 950 HPA AT 20.8N 125.1E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 21.5N 117.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 21.5N 111.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 21.0N 105.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:46:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37407-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00C5AKNDAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:38:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812bx3R025775 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:38:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7U511IB053130; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:33:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 550968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812VUc9070508 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:31:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h812VT7S027618 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h812VTJ8027617 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:31:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010231.h812VTJ8027617@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 010300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- NEAR 20.7N9 125.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 125.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 21.2N5 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 21.8N1 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 22.3N7 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 22.7N1 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 23.2N7 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 23.0N5 104.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.8N0 124.6E3. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 312330Z2 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. A 312235Z6 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL LOW EAST OF THE SYSTEM IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0, 011500Z7, 012100Z4 AND 020300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:46:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CDTKQ6AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:39:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812de3R026038 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:39:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1iV091184; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:29:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 550881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:29:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812T8c9040426 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:29:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h812T77S027540 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h812T7YB027539 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:29:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010229.h812T7YB027539@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 142E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 39N 160E 36N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13N 151E NW SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 43N 158E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 142E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 47N 178W ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 950 HPA AT 20.8N 125.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 158E TO 43N 160E 43N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 158E TO 38N 150E 35N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 144E TO 35N 140E 36N 136E 34N 131E 32N 124E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 10:46:33 2003 X-UIDL: 37412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CQUKTXAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:41:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812fu3R026476 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 10:41:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1j1091184; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:33:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 550971 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h812VUc9010204 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:31:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h812VU7S027623 for ; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:31:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h812VU67027622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:31:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2003 21:31:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 16// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010231.h812VU67027622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 010300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 16// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 010000Z1 TO 050000Z4 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 312330Z2 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. A 312235Z6 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL LOW EAST OF THE SYSTEM IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW. B. THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST OF OKINAWA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE BUILDING WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TY 14W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD TOWARD HONG KONG ALONG THIS MID LEVEL RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, GFDN, JGSM, JTYM, AFWA MM5, AND UKMET (EGRR), ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. C. THE INTENSITY OF TY 14W IS MAINTAIN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TY 14W IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AFTER 24 HOURS. AFTER 48 HOURS, TY 14W WILL MAKE LANDFALL AND RAPIDLY WEAKEN DUE TO TERRAIN EFFECTS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 14W TO MAINTAIN A WEST- NORTHWESTWARD TRACK UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TY 14W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY ONCE IT MAKES LANDFALL AND DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 15:12:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CKZVKNAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:33:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h816Xt1W072530 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:33:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5Dv4v045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 554928 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h816Rqc9041722 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h816Rq7S000527 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h816RpiF000525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:27:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010627.h816RpiF000525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/010151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N9 125.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 152.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 150.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. A RECENT 312019Z6 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT THE WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPARENT YESTERDAY HAS NOW WEAKENED INTO MORE OF A BROAD TROUGH; RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL 200 MB ANALYSIS STILL SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 15:12:59 2003 X-UIDL: 37445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKI00CZCWK0AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:55:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h816tAMh082430 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 14:55:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u1rh091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:49:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 555332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:49:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h816nqc9034008 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:49:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h816nq7S000765 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:49:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h816nplJ000764 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:49:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 01:49:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010649.h816nplJ000764@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 010600 WARNING 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 950 HPA AT 20.9N 123.7E SOUTH OF ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 21.5N 117.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 22.0N 110.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 21.5N 104.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 01 16:35:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37457-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CU513HAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:33:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h818XEMh003053 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 16:33:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5Dv7H045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:27:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 556775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h818R5c9053292 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:27:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h818R47S001934 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h818R4A8001933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:27:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 03:27:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309010827.h818R4A8001933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 42N 142E 47N 152E 56N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 39N 160E 35N 150E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 17N 150E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 44N 162E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 40N 134E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 148E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 950 HPA AT 20.9N 123.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 162E TO 44N 165E 43N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 162E TO 40N 156E 37N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 35N 140E 36N 137E 32N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:09 2003 X-UIDL: 37489-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CGSDCJAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:57:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81CvmMh050061 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 20:57:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h810u125091184; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:49:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 558999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:49:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81CnKc9064996 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:49:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81CnJ7S004620 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:49:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81CnJOJ004619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:49:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 07:49:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011249.h81CnJOJ004619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 011200 WARNING 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 950 HPA AT 21.2N 121.9E SOUTHWEST OF ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 22.3N 114.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 23.0N 108.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 23.0N 103.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:18 2003 X-UIDL: 37502-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C1EHT7AW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:34:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EYG1W056799 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 22:34:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvBn045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:27:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 560379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81ERVc9023970 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:27:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81ERU7S005667 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81ERUeE005666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:27:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 09:27:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011427.h81ERUeE005666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 42N 142E 46N 150E 54N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 40N 163E 35N 150E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 18N 150E NNW SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 55N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 45N 166E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 38N 123E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 135E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 147E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 950 HPA AT 21.2N 121.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 166E TO 45N 170E 44N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 166E TO 42N 160E 39N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 155E TO 35N 145E 34N 140E 36N 136E 34N 130E 33N 125E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:21 2003 X-UIDL: 37513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CAZOCZAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 00:55:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81Gti1W080225 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 00:55:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVdb101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 562478 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GmUc9046942 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81GmT7S007489 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81GmT7x007488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 11:48:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011648.h81GmT7x007488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 011500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- NEAR 21.2N5 121.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.2N5 121.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 21.7N0 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 22.2N6 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 22.6N0 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.8N2 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 23.1N6 102.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION NEAR 21.3N6 120.9E2. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM SOUTHEAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN, HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. A 310949Z6 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A SYMMETRICAL CONCENTRIC EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4, 020300Z5, 020900Z1 AND 021500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:26 2003 X-UIDL: 37527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CA9TUTAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 02:54:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81IsQMh008180 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 02:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvH5045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:50:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 564496 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:49:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81InTc9086822 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:49:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81InS7S009377 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:49:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81InSwn009376 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:49:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 13:49:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309011849.h81InSwn009376@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 011800 WARNING 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 950 HPA AT 21.6N 120.1E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 22.4N 112.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 23.0N 106.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:27 2003 X-UIDL: 37535-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00C75Y8AAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:28:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KSt1W011452 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:28:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvK5045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:23:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 566352 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:23:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KNtc9065698 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:23:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81KNs7S010992 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:23:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81KNs3m010991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:23:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:23:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 019 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012023.h81KNs3m010991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 012100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 21.6N9 120.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N9 120.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 22.1N5 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 22.4N8 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 22.7N1 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 22.9N3 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION NEAR 21.7N0 119.2E3. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 115 AND 127 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE EYE HAS DISAPPEARED BUT THAT DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5, 020900Z1, 021500Z8 AND 022100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 05:02:28 2003 X-UIDL: 37537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKJ00CFFYDLAW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:32:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KW6Mh024270 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 04:32:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81GGVmv101082; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:29:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 566469 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81KTLc9105614 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:29:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h81KTK7S011101 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h81KTKC7011100 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:29:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 15:29:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309012029.h81KTKC7011100@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 38N 180E 37N 157E 35N 148E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 18N 150E NW SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 146E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 46N 175E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 175E TO 43N 178E 41N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 175E TO 43N 169E 41N 163E 38N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 155E TO 37N 149E 34N 142E 36N 135E 33N 123E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 147E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 38N 125E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 136E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 42N 152E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 950 HPA AT 21.6N 120.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 09:59:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37573-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HS6AHZ0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 08:53:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820ru1W045057 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 08:53:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EMAjP078368; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 19:47:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 569892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 19:47:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820lkc9016648 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 19:47:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h820lj7S014909 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 19:47:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h820ljQZ014908 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 19:47:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 19:47:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020047.h820ljQZ014908@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 020000 WARNING 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 950 HPA AT 22.4N 118.2E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 23.2N 110.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 22.0N 104.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 11:13:05 2003 X-UIDL: 37588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HW6F3I54@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 10:33:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h822XC1W060826 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 10:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4gj105554; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:29:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 571886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:29:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h822TZc9099994 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:29:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h822TY7S016293 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:29:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h822TY6g016292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:29:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:29:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020229.h822TY6g016292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 020300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- NEAR 22.0N4 118.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 118.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 22.5N9 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 22.7N1 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.9N3 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.1N5 117.4E3. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 115 AND 127 KNOTS. AN EYE FEATURE IS EVIDENT ON A 012232Z0 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASUREMENT MISSION (TRMM) IMAGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1, 021500Z8, 022100Z5 AND 030300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 11:13:06 2003 X-UIDL: 37590-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HX3FA750@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 10:37:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h822bDMh080059 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 10:37:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h821BUsB019694; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 571912 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h822Urc9013114 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h822Uq7S016337 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h822UqXj016334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020230.h822UqXj016334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 46N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 176E TO 44N 179W 40N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 176E TO 41N 166E 39N 157E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 157E TO 38N 147E 35N 141E 37N 132E 31N 116E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 37N 180E 34N 151E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 20N 151E NORTH 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 56N 146E ENE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 12N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 126E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 43N 158E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 168E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 950 HPA AT 22.4N 118.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 02 11:13:07 2003 X-UIDL: 37591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HGOFAA0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 10:37:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h822bKMh080074 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 10:37:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h7V5DvTF045012; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 571915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h822Urc9085048 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h822Uq7S016332 for ; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h822UqHG016331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 01 Sep 2003 21:30:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 20// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020230.h822UqHG016331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 020300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 20// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 020000Z2 TO 031200Z6 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 115 AND 127 KNOTS. AN EYE FEATURE IS EVIDENT ON A 012232Z0 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASUREMENT MISSION (TRMM) IMAGE. B. THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST OF KYUSHU, JAPAN IS BUILDING WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL KEEP TY 14W TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE TOWARDS HONG KONG, CHINA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, GFDN, JGSM, JTYM, AFWA MM5 AND UKMET EGRR) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TY 14W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LAND EFFECTS. AFTERWARDS, TY 14W IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF HONG KONG, CHINA, WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVERLAND AND DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY TAU 36. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT TRMM PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:31 2003 X-UIDL: 37619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HYAPFQ4X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 14:16:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h826GO0Z015876 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 14:16:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h825wFdv102616; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 575259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8269Dc9080664 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8269C7S019095 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8269BTD019093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:09:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020609.h8269BTD019093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/020151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2, TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 020300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 150.4E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.6N6 150.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THAT A BROAD TROUGH REMAINS AT THE SURFACE. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A RECENT INCREASE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL 200 MB ANALYSIS STILL SHOWS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.6N3 140.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND A QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATE ONLY BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:37 2003 X-UIDL: 37621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HU4QXM4U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 14:48:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h826msmV006165 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 14:48:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4qF105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:43:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 575651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:43:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h826gxc9032532 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:42:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h826gw7S019511 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:42:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h826gwHS019510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:42:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 01:42:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0313 Dujuan (0313) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020642.h826gwHS019510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 020600 WARNING 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 960 HPA AT 22.5N 116.6E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 30 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 22.4N 109.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:40 2003 X-UIDL: 37630-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKK00HUOVQC55@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:32:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h828WQ0Z037081 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 16:32:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4rf105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:27:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 576533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h828Rnc9014800 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h828Rm7S020641 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h828Rm5A020640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 03:27:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309020827.h828Rm5A020640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 37N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 21N 151E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 57N 150E NE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 47N 180E ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 180E TO 44N 176W 40N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 180E TO 43N 174E 41N 170E 40N 164E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 164E TO 39N 158E 40N 153E 38N 148E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 141E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 38N 122E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 157E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 168E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 960 HPA AT 22.5N 116.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 117E TO 35N 123E 37N 129E 39N 133E 39N 138E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:44 2003 X-UIDL: 37644-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HLQ90C0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:19:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82DJD0Z078373 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:19:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4vd105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:47:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 578772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:47:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Cllc9028978 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:47:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82Clk7S023595 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:47:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82ClkDk023594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:47:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 07:47:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0313 Dujuan (0313) Downgraded From Typhoon 975 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021247.h82ClkDk023594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 021200 WARNING 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975 HPA AT 22.6N 114.6E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 20 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 22.1N 108.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:47 2003 X-UIDL: 37650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H6UCI850@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:34:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82EYqmV071286 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:34:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n44J105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:28:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 581024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:28:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82ESUc9025610 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:28:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82EST7S026794 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82ESTCY026792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:28:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:28:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021428.h82ESTCY026792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 20.8N 151.3E SOUTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 41N 180E 37N 155E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 57N 156E ENE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 124E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 33N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 975 HPA AT 22.6N 114.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 117E TO 35N 127E 40N 136E 39N 150E 40N 154E 40N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 171E TO 42N 176E 47N 178W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:48 2003 X-UIDL: 37654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HQACNC0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:38:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Ebv0Z090352 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:37:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n44x105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:30:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 581105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82EUnc9057876 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:30:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82EUm7S026963 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:30:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82EUldW026961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:30:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:30:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021430.h82EUldW026961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 021500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 22// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 021200Z5 TO 031200Z6 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF CHINA EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED 0N 021130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TY 14W IS MAKING LANDFALL ON THE CHINA COAST TO THE EAST OF HONG KONG. B. TY 14W IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE STEERED BY THE RIDGE, WHICH IS BUILDING WESTWARD, THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL KEEP TY 14W TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, MAKING LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR AND CONTINUING TO TRACK OVER LAND AS IT DISSIPATES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, GFDN, JGSM, JTYM, AFWA MM5 AND UKMET EGRR) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TY 14W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVERLAND AND DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY TAU 24. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:48 2003 X-UIDL: 37655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H3YCWY4U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:43:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Ehg0Z091395 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 22:43:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n44Z105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:29:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 581063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:29:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82ETYc9014682 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82ETX7S026867 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82ETXHg026866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:29:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 09:29:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 022 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021429.h82ETXHg026866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RAZOR2_CHECK, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 021500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 22.6N0 114.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 114.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 23.0N5 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 23.5N0 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 22.7N1 113.9E4. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF CHINA EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED 0N 021130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TY 14W IS MAKING LANDFALL ON THE CHINA COAST TO THE EAST OF HONG KONG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5, 030300Z6 AND 030900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:52 2003 X-UIDL: 37663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H70HSK0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:29:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GT5mV092873 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:29:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GBffD102560; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 584003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GMsc9046958 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82GMr7S000881 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82GMrHk000878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021622.h82GMrHk000878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 021500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 22A// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 021200Z5 TO 031200Z6 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF CHINA, NEAR HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED 0N 021130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TY 14W IS MAKING LANDFALL ON THE CHINA COAST NORTHEAST OF HONG KONG. B. TY 14W IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE STEERED BY THE RIDGE, WHICH IS BUILDING WESTWARD, THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL KEEP TY 14W TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, MAKING LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR AND CONTINUING TO TRACK OVER LAND AS IT DISSIPATES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), COAMPS, GFDN, JGSM, JTYM, AFWA MM5 AND UKMET EGRR) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TY 14W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL, WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVERLAND AND DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY TAU 24. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED GRAMMAR IN PARA 2.A. 4. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:52 2003 X-UIDL: 37664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HS1HUU50@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:30:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GUR0Z010903 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 00:30:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h820n4HJ105554; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 584000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82GMrc9044736 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82GMq7S000874 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82GMq7Q000873 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 11:22:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 022a Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021622.h82GMq7Q000873@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 021500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 022A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 22.6N0 114.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 114.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 23.0N5 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 23.5N0 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 22.7N1 113.9E4. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF CHINA, NEAR HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED 0N 021130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. TY 14W IS MAKING LANDFALL ON THE CHINA COAST NORTHEAST OF HONG KONG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5, 030300Z6 AND 030900Z2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED GRAMMAR IN REMARKS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:56 2003 X-UIDL: 37677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00HOGOKO0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 02:55:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82ItX0Z036068 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 02:55:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82HmnfB059414; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 13:48:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 588417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 13:48:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Imuc9048618 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 13:48:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82Imt7S006107 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 13:48:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82ImtTv006106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 13:48:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 13:48:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0313 Dujuan (0313) Downgraded From Severe Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309021848.h82ImtTv006106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 021800 WARNING 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 990 HPA AT 22.6N 112.7E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 22.4N 110.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 21.2N 107.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H0TSCL54@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:17:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KH5mV031171 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:17:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82Jvjcp059418; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:10:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 590790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:10:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KABc9083642 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:10:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82KAA7S008923 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:10:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82KA9Ms008922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:10:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:10:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 023 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022010.h82KA9Ms008922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 022100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 22.6N0 112.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 112.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 22.8N2 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 22.9N3 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.6N0 111.8E1. TYPHOON (TY) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED OVERLAND NEAR XINXING, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 75 AND 90 KNOTS. TY 14W MADE LANDFALL NEAR HONG KONG AT APPROXIMATELY 021400Z7. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6, 030900Z2 AND 031500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 06:10:58 2003 X-UIDL: 37682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKL00H1UTFZ0I@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:40:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KehmV034767 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 04:40:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KH5eR044634; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 591610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82KUMc9046856 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h82KUL7S009738 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h82KULnb009737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 15:30:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309022030.h82KULnb009737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 121E 26N 123E 25N 122E 23N 119E 23N 117E 26N 119E 27N 121E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 22.2N 151.2E SOUTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 138E 36N 141E 42N 141E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 37N 155E 34N 143E 34N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 49N 135E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 40N 153E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 56N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 142E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 38N 122E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 44N 166E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 169E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 990 HPA AT 22.6N 112.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 118E TO 36N 129E 40N 138E 40N 153E 40N 164E 41N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 09:51:39 2003 X-UIDL: 37708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KFW7SXOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:50:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h831os0Z004738 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:50:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h81EMAHH078368; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 20:45:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 598126 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 20:44:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h831icc9102576 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 20:44:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h831ia7S016823 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 20:44:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h831iabP016822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 20:44:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 20:44:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 14w (dujuan) Warning Nr 024 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030144.h831iabP016822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (DUJUAN) WARNING NR 024 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 22.6N0 110.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 110.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.6N0 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 22.6N0 109.8E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (DUJUAN), LOCATED OVERLAND NEAR YULIN, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED 0N 022330Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 13:03:40 2003 X-UIDL: 37717-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KK69XSOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:37:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h832awmV090129 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 10:37:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82MP5oX099074; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:29:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 599520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h832Tjc9041474 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:29:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h832Ti7S017430 for ; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h832Ti45017429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:29:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 02 Sep 2003 21:29:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030229.h832Ti45017429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 117E 16N 117E 15N 112E 22N 113E 22N 117E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 22.4N 151.7E SOUTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 35N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 0313 DUJUAN (0313) 996 HPA AT 23N 111E WEST 18 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 140E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 39N 144E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 55N 151E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 57N 162E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 144E TO 40N 149E 39N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 144E TO 37N 139E 36N 132E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 132E TO 35N 125E 33N 119E 29N 114E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 09N 157E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 126E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 34N 132E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 170E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 152E TO 39N 158E 41N 162E 40N 168E 39N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 172E TO 39N 177E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 14:22:40 2003 X-UIDL: 37749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KGXJRKOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 14:09:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8369G0Z041075 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 14:09:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0SIF045012; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 603710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8360vc9036994 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8360u7S019996 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8360uwg019994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 01:00:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030600.h8360uwg019994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/030151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (DUJUAN) WAS LOCATED OVERLAND NEAR YULIN, CHINA, AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 03 18:13:57 2003 X-UIDL: 37768-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKM00KVNQP8OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:39:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h838d50Z071866 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 16:39:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h82D0SKD045012; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:33:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 605619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:33:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h838Xfc9032102 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:33:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h838Xe7S021753 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:33:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h838XeWW021752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:33:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 03:33:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309030833.h838XeWW021752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 23.6N 151.0E WEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 08.5N 155.3E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 142E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 51N 156E 60N 165E 60N 180E 34N 180E 34N 150E 36N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 141E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 56N 152E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 57N 166E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 147E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 165E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 147E TO 41N 151E 40N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 147E TO 38N 144E 36N 137E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 174E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 108E TO 33N 116E 34N 126E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 154E TO 41N 158E 41N 165E 38N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37795-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00KN97KBOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:43:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83EhL0Z045737 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 22:43:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83B0akT031462; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:31:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 610596 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:31:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83EVYc9036596 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:31:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83EVX7S027319 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:31:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83EVXIx027318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:31:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 09:31:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309031431.h83EVXIx027318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 10.6N 154.8E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 34N 180E 32N 157E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 24N 150E NNW 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 153E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 143E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 57N 165E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 125E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 172E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 175E ESE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 153E TO 41N 160E 41N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 153E TO 38N 145E 35N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 134E TO 34N 128E 33N 118E 29N 113E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 165E TO 38N 172E 37N 179W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:41:56 2003 X-UIDL: 37832-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKN00K1SNZZOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:38:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83KcJmV081741 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 04:38:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRth041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:26:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 620284 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:26:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83KQec9052752 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:26:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h83KQd7S009902 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:26:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h83KQdft009901 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:26:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 15:26:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309032026.h83KQdft009901@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 11.0N 152.2E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 43N 140E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 35N 150E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 25N 150E NNW 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 144E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 156E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 57N 169E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 174E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 178E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 156E TO 41N 164E 40N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 156E TO 38N 149E 35N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 110E TO 35N 116E 34N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 169E TO 38N 177E 38N 172W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 13:42:12 2003 X-UIDL: 37864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001DT4N2DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:37:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842blmV039362 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 10:37:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h83GsRGv041700; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:32:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 627777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:32:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h842W7c9023462 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h842W67S017106 for ; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h842W6ZR017105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:32:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 03 Sep 2003 21:32:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040232.h842W6ZR017105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 148E 37N 147E 39N 149E 44N 145E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 179W 38N 180E 40N 168E 39N 159E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 11N 151E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 149E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 156E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 58N 175E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 130E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 180E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 156E TO 41N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 156E TO 35N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 164E TO 42N 168E 38N 172W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 04 16:44:02 2003 X-UIDL: 37911-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKO001PDLF4DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:40:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h848e80Z036283 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 16:40:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h845k4dp049174; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 633590 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h848Sjc9025836 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:28:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h848Si7S021721 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h848SiUN021720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:28:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 03:28:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309040828.h848SiUN021720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 118E 14N 118E 06N 107E 09N 106E 13N 110E 20N 111E 20N 118E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 148E 40N 148E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 39N 160E 35N 155E 33N 148E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 11N 151E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 49N 154E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 155E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 134E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 170E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 155E TO 41N 158E 41N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 155E TO 36N 151E 33N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 107E TO 33N 113E 37N 119E 36N 124E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 161E TO 42N 165E 42N 170E 42N 175E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:10:51 2003 X-UIDL: 37931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001XJ1YZDI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:37:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84EbRmV042861 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 22:37:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3o5007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:29:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 638669 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84ET5c9085054 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84ET47S027336 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:29:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84ET4YA027335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:29:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:29:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041429.h84ET4YA027335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 157E TO 41N 161E 41N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 157E TO 37N 155E 35N 150E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 11.0N 150.3E SEA NORTH OF TRUK MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 148E 45N 148E 53N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 34N 160E 33N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 121E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 51N 155E NE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 121E TO 38N 124E 37N 127E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 121E TO 35N 117E 31N 111E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 135E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 126E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 44N 138E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 178E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 163E TO 43N 167E 42N 173E 41N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:27 2003 X-UIDL: 37962-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP001J1I11DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:24:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KOY0Z043474 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:24:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846x3Lv007058; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 648736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KDJc9054816 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84KDI7S010085 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84KDIi4010083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:13:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042013.h84KDIi4010083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 041300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/041300Z/050600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 24.5N1 152.2E0, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.4N1 152.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 149.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC); AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AT 040731Z5 REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS STILL WEAK, BROAD AND ELONGATED. THE MOST RECENT SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OUT OF GUAM REPORTS THE WIND TO BE LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WITH A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1009 MB. ANALYSIS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CIMSS 200 MB CHART INDICATES 20 TO 30 KNOTS OF NORTHEAST SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE; THIS SHEAR EFFECT IS CLEARLY EVIDENT IN ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FURTHER ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SHEAR EFFECT IS BEING OFFSET BY GOOD DIFFLUENCE DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF A RIDGE AXIS JUST TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15.2N8 134.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER THE LLCC. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER AIR DEPICTS A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND SOME DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: MADE GRAMMATICAL CHANGES IN PARA 1.B.(3). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/SANTOS/EDBERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 09:11:29 2003 X-UIDL: 37964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP0010XIT7DI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:41:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KfTmV004911 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 04:41:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YB5R032784; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:31:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 649142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84KV4c9036070 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:31:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84KV27S010835 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84KV2Eb010834 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:31:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 15:31:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309042031.h84KV2Eb010834@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 11.0N 149.0E SOUTHEAST OF GUAM MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 13.7N 144.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 42N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 163E TO 43N 166E 43N 168E 43N 173E 42N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 163E TO 38N 158E 34N 154E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 153E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 33N 164E 33N 153E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 123E EAST 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 51N 156E NE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 59N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 123E TO 38N 125E 37N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 123E TO 37N 122E 36N 120E 33N 116E 31N 111E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 13N 137E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 29N 125E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 44N 141E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 46N 179E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 176E TO 41N 180E 41N 171W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:03 2003 X-UIDL: 38001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP005CSXO5R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:02:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8522QmV053221 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:02:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MCgpl007062; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 20:56:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 656790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 20:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h851uAc9029170 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 20:56:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h851u97S017764 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 20:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h851u9QU017763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 20:56:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 20:56:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050156.h851u9QU017763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 050200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050151Z SEP 2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.3N0 145.4E4 TO 11.4N6 148.4E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 050000Z5 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 148.0E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTH WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 149.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 148.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. A 042211Z0 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 060200Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:05 2003 X-UIDL: 38002-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKP005YSZ6BR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:35:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852YomV058026 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:34:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84MCgrj007062; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:28:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 657321 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:28:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h852SAc9031486 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h852S97S018271 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h852S9uS018270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:28:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 21:28:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050228.h852S9uS018270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 11.6N 147.8E EASTSOUTHEAST OF GUAM MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 14.1N 143.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 166E TO 42N 175E 41N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 166E TO 40N 164E 34N 157E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 150E 46N 150E 53N 159E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 34N 164E 33N 156E 40N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 127E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 158E ESE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 127E TO 38N 130E 37N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 127E TO 35N 122E 32N 115E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 14N 137E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 128E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 144E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:13:22 2003 X-UIDL: 38031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005AN46BR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:23:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h854Mu0Z019884 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 12:22:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h845k4lp049174; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 639421 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h84ElPc9083534 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h84ElO7S028025 for ; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h84ElOul028023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 04 Sep 2003 09:47:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309041447.h84ElOul028023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 041300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/041300Z/050600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 24.5N1 152.2E0, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.4N1 152.8E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 149.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC); AND HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AT 040731Z5 REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS STILL WEAK, BROAD AND ELONGATED. THE MOST RECENT SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION OUT OF GUAM REPORTS THE WIND TO BE LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WITH A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1009 MB. ANALYSIS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CIMSS 200 MB CHART INDICATES 20 TO 30 KNOTS OF NORTHEAST SHEAR OVER THE DISTURBANCE; THIS SHEAR EFFECT IS CLEARLY EVIDENT IN ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY. FURTHER ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SHEAR EFFECT IS BEING OFFSET BY GOOD DIFFLUENCE DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF A RIDGE AXIS JUST TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15.2N8 134.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER THE LLCC. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER AIR DEPICTS A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND SOME DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(2) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/SANTOS/EDBERG +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 14:32:21 2003 X-UIDL: 38038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005W59QWR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 14:23:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h856NDmV086038 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 14:23:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YBNv032784; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 661737 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h856IRc9034368 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h856IQ7S021232 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h856IQc6021230 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 01:18:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050618.h856IQc6021230@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/050430ZSEP2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/050151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10E (JIMENA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N9 177.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 430 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PHNC 050400 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. CPHC WILL ISSUE THE FINAL WARNING FOR TS 10E AT 050600Z1. JTWC WILL THEN ASSUME WARNING RESPONSIBILITY FOR TS 10E STARTING WITH THE WTPN31 PGTW 051500 WARNING. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 7.4N1 152.8E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 148.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. A 042211Z0 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 050200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15.2N8 134.1E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 134.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS MOSTLY EXPOSED WITH DEEP CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER AIR DEPICTS A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND SOME DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/SANTOS/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:19 2003 X-UIDL: 38051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005EBHJUR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:11:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h859970b042474 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:11:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555pmv086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:32:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 663466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h858W4c9013420 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:32:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h858W37S023006 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h858W3Y1023005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:32:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 03:32:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309050832.h858W3Y1023005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 050600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12.1N 146.0E SOUTHEAST OF GUAM MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 14.5N 140.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 130E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 130E TO 38N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 130E TO 32N 116E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 41N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 34N 157E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 06N 141E 09N 143E 09N 149E 05N 150E 06N 141E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 157E 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 37N 168E 34N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 159E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 17N 110E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 136E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 129E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 147E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 57N 137E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 05 19:48:32 2003 X-UIDL: 38068-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ0057CMP9R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 19:03:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85B2imV019541 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 19:02:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555pr7086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:51:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 665724 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Ap0c9048280 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85Aow7S024430 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:50:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85Aowuu024429 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:50:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 05:50:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref A Is A Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051050.h85Aowuu024429@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 051100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 051051ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 230 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.6N9 146.6E7 TO 18.8N7 139.2E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 050600Z1 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N5 145.7E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTH WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 149.0E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1N5 145.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM AT 050600Z1. A RECENT 050850Z8 SSM/I PASS AND ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DECREASED IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 061030Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:49 2003 X-UIDL: 38084-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ0055JWT8R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:41:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85EfV0Z008774 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 22:41:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h845k4N9049174; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:32:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 669688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:32:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85EVxc9081834 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:31:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85EVw7S028986 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:31:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85EVvjh028985 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:31:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051431.h85EVvjh028985@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.7N 145.9E NEAR GUAM MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 15.9N 142.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 133E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 133E TO 39N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 133E TO 35N 127E 32N 117E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 169E TO 46N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 172E TO 40N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 172E TO 34N 158E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 51N 158E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 158E 38N 161E 48N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 41N 180E 37N 169E 34N 158E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 135E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 133E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 41N 149E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:51 2003 X-UIDL: 38086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005J9XWMR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 23:05:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85F560Z013548 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 23:05:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h846YBXx032784; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:56:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 670455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:55:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Etdc9083548 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85Etc7S029783 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85Etcpi029782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:55:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 09:55:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 10e (jimena) Warning Nr 035 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051455.h85Etcpi029782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 051500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- NEAR 13.4N8 179.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 179.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 13.3N7 176.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 13.5N9 173.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 13.8N2 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 14.2N7 167.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.6N1 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.4N8 178.5E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 10E IS CURRENTLY WEAK AND HARD TO LOCATE. A RECENT 050914Z9 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED WITH CONVECTION OCCURRING FAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8, 060300Z9, 060900Z5 AND 061500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:51 2003 X-UIDL: 38087-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKQ005MYYF5R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Sep 2003 23:16:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FG90Z015806 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 23:16:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8555p7B086246; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:05:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 670973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:05:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85F5uc9085604 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:05:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85F5s7S000244 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:05:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85F5sVq000242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:05:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 10:05:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression 10e (jimena)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309051505.h85F5sVq000242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 051500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA)/ WARNING NR 35// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 051200Z8 TO 081200Z4 SEP 03 A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. TD 10E IS CURRENTLY WEAK AND HARD TO LOCATE. A RECENT 050914Z9 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED WITH CONVECTION OCCURRING FAR TO THE SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TS 10E IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TO THE WEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, NCEP (GFS), AND UKMET EGRR) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TS 10E IS ABOUT TO ENTER A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT OF THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF A NEAR EQUATORIAL ANTICYCLONE BRINGING CONFLUENCE ALOFT AND POTENTIAL SHEAR FROM THE NORTH SO TD 10E IS CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY MUCH ABOVE TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD THOUGH IT MAY FLARE UP FOR SHORT PERIODS OF TIME DURING DIURNAL MAXIMUMS. D. THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT MEET CRITERIA FOR WIND RADII. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/SANTOS/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:56 2003 X-UIDL: 38098-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR00546DADR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:37:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KbN0Z073979 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:37:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FDPkN019638; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:30:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 678469 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KUKc9071096 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85KUI7S010671 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85KUICY010669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:30:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052030.h85KUICY010669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.9N 144.5E NEAR GUAM MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 15.4N 141.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 137E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 137E TO 37N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 137E TO 35N 127E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 46N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 173E TO 45N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 41N 176W 40N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 38N 168E 34N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 998 HPA AT 48N 164E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 179W 40N 180E 33N 159E 40N 161E 51N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 30N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 152E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:56 2003 X-UIDL: 38099-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR0055ZDC0R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:38:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KcM0Z074200 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:38:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FERmt046022; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 678533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KWWc9044372 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85KWV7S010749 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85KWVv9010747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:32:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 10e (jimena) Warning Nr 036 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052032.h85KWVv9010747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 052100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING NR 036 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 13.2N6 177.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 177.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 13.3N7 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 13.3N7 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 13.2N6 176.6E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 715 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE EXTRAPOLATED INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A 051727Z2 TRMM PASS INDICATED THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS NEARLY DISSIPATED. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:26:59 2003 X-UIDL: 38103-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR005CIE6CR2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:56:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KuMmV028192 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 04:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FERoR046022; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:46:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 679061 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:45:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KjUc9083842 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:45:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85KjT7S011122 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85KjTY5011121 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:45:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 15:45:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052045.h85KjTY5011121@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 052100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051021ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 13.9N3 143.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 143.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 14.8N3 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.9N5 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.9N6 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 18.1N0 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.6N8 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 143.4E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 15W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION BEGINNING TO RAPIDLY INCREASE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 051021Z SEP 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051030) NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9, 060900Z5, 061500Z2 AND 062100Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 06 08:27:02 2003 X-UIDL: 38110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR0058MIG3R2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 06:28:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85MSm0Z090137 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 06:28:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQ7j079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:01:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 681153 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:01:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85M1Bc9021134 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:01:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h85M157S012736 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:01:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h85M15kF012735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:01:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 17:01:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309052201.h85M15kF012735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 052100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051021ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- NEAR 13.9N3 143.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 143.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 14.8N3 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.9N5 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.9N6 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 18.1N0 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.6N8 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 143.4E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 15W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION BEGINNING TO RAPIDLY INCREASE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 051021Z SEP 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051030) NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9, 060900Z5, 061500Z2 AND 062100Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10E (JIMENA) WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: ADJUSTED MANOP HEADER.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:40:55 2003 X-UIDL: 38118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR00986TY8F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:37:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h862bImV074558 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:37:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KkulV084996; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:31:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 685881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h862VJc9032532 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:31:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h862VI7S016171 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:31:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h862VIZL016170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:31:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:31:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060231.h862VIZL016170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 15.3N 142.0E SEA WEST OF MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 19.0N 137.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 141E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 141E TO 40N 143E 39N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 141E TO 37N 139E 36N 135E 35N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 49N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 165E TO 50N 171E 49N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 176E TO 44N 175W 40N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 176E TO 44N 176E 38N 170E 34N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 37N 141E 37N 141E 42N 140E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 33N 165E 37N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 18N 108E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 129E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 51N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 38N 155E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:40:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR0095XUXPF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:58:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h862wW0Z029487 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:58:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8609x2F010122; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 686217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h862r1c9052972 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h862r07S016434 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h862r0jG016432 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 15w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060253.h862r0jG016432@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 060300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W/ WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 060000Z6 TO 110000Z9 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 40 KNOT QUIKSCAT OBSERVATION, AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION IN THE MID-LEVELS, WHILE THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD BANDS REMAIN BROAD WHICH MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. B. TS 15W IS CURRENTLY UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS AS THE RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE GROUPED INTO TWO CLUSTERS. THE FIRST CLUSTER CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, AND UKMET EGRR TRACKS THE SYSTEM ON A WESTWARD TRACK WITH A STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE OTHER CLUSTER CONSISTING OF NCEP GFS AND JMA TYPHOON MODEL (JTYM) TRACK THE STORM TO THE NORTH TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS, WITH A SLIGHT EMPHASIS ON THE FIRST CLUSTER. C. TS 15W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS UNDER MARGINAL SHEAR CONDITIONS. THE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL SHOULD IMPROVE THROUGH TIME. D. CURRENT WIND RADII AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TS 15W TO TURN MORE NORTH- NORTHWEST AFTER 96 HOURS AS A DEEP TROUGH MOVES OVER EASTERN CHINA AND WEAKENS THE MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN PACIFIC. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS OUTFLOW AND SHEAR CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:40:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKR0097UUYZF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:59:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h862xK0Z029583 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:59:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FEQL3079372; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 686214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h862r1c9054954 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h862r07S016433 for ; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h862r0nN016430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2003 21:53:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 15w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060253.h862r0nN016430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 060300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15W WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- NEAR 14.7N2 141.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 141.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.7N3 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.6N3 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.4N2 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.4N3 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.4N6 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 22.5N9 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 25.1N8 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 141.5E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 052330Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 40 KNOT QUIKSCAT OBSERVATION, AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION IN THE MID-LEVELS, WHILE THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD BANDS REMAIN BROAD WHICH MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THE SURFACE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5, 061500Z2, 062100Z9 AND 070300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:02 2003 X-UIDL: 38132-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009UZ61GF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 14:58:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h866wQmV016167 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 14:58:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546gB079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 01:52:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 690013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 01:52:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h866qAc9072804 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 01:52:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h866q97S019368 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 01:52:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h866q9Yq019367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 01:52:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 01:52:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060652.h866q9Yq019367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 060600 WARNING 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA AT 16.0N 141.5E SEA WEST OF MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 19.4N 136.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 23.0N 132.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 26.5N 127.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:03 2003 X-UIDL: 38133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS0096370UF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:19:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h867JemV019696 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:19:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546h3079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 690269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h867CCc9037138 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h867CA7S019611 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h867CAY0019609 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 02:12:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060712.h867CAY0019609@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/051951ZSEP03// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/060152ZSEP03// AMPN/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 051800Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10E (JIMENA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 177.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 715 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND AND HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A DISSIPATED OVER WATER AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 052100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 060000Z6, TROPICAL STORM 15W WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N2 141.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 060300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 134.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:04 2003 X-UIDL: 38136-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009LYAFTF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:33:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h868XR0Z086216 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:33:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546iB079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:27:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 691069 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h868Rbc9104018 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h868RZ7S020665 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h868RZSg020664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:27:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060827.h868RZSg020664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 49N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 168E TO 51N 175E 50N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 180E TO 47N 175W 41N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 180E TO 40N 175E 34N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 145E TO 40N 146E 39N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 145E TO 37N 140E 35N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 43N 142E 47N 153E 55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 33N 166E 39N 150E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 18N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 30N 126E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 50N 144E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 156E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 996 HPA AT 16.0N 141.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:04 2003 X-UIDL: 38139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009NNBN4F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:59:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h868xRmV034299 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 16:59:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546lB079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:54:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 691474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:54:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h868s3c9070514 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:54:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h868s27S021043 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:54:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h868s2Xr021042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:54:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 03:54:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309060854.h868s2Xr021042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 060900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- NEAR 15.0N6 141.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 141.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 15.9N5 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.1N9 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 18.3N2 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 19.5N5 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.2N6 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 25.0N7 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 27.6N5 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 140.5E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4 ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASED CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2, 062100Z9, 070300Z0 AND 070900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:07 2003 X-UIDL: 38144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009GOMJMF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 20:54:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86CsumV069534 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 20:54:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546oT079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 07:48:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 693435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 07:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86Cmpc9059470 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 07:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86Cmo7S023651 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 07:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86CmoBO023650 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 07:48:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 07:48:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061248.h86CmoBO023650@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 061200 WARNING 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 996 HPA AT 16.2N 139.8E SEA WEST OF MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 18.6N 135.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 22.0N 132.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 25.0N 129.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:08 2003 X-UIDL: 38147-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009WGR3MF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 22:33:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86EXD0Z050175 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 22:33:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Kku0V084996; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:27:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 694584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86ERBc9067096 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86ERA7S024834 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86ERAv7024833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:27:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061427.h86ERAv7024833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 148E TO 40N 150E 38N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 148E TO 37N 145E 35N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 49N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 173E TO 52N 180E 50N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 176W TO 46N 170W 41N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 176W TO 41N 180E 35N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 142E 47N 152E 54N 161E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 34N 170E 40N 156E 38N 149E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 40N 140E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 19N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 38N 131E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 48N 146E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 159E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 996 HPA AT 16.2N 139.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:09 2003 X-UIDL: 38148-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009GYRFIF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 22:40:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86EeO0Z051503 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 22:40:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85FDP6B019638; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:37:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 694829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:36:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86EaNc9045054 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:36:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86EaL7S024976 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:36:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86EaLxi024975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 09:36:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061436.h86EaLxi024975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 061500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 15.7N3 140.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 140.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.9N6 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.1N0 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.3N3 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.3N5 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 22.9N3 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.4N1 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 28.1N1 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 139.8E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH INCREASED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9, 070300Z0, 070900Z6 AND 071500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:09 2003 X-UIDL: 38150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKS009UIT0WF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Sep 2003 23:14:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86FEsmV094161 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 23:14:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546tp079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:11:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 695455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:11:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86FBKc9005292 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:11:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86FBI7S025529 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:11:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86FBI5x025528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:11:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 10:11:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061511.h86FBI5x025528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 061500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 061200Z9 TO 111200Z5 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED WITH INCREASED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. B. TS 15W IS CURRENTLY STEERING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE GROUPED INTO TWO CLUSTERS. THE FIRST CLUSTER CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, AND EGRR TRACKS THE SYSTEM ON A WESTWARD TRACK WITH A STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE OTHER CLUSTER CONSISTING OF AVN, JGSM AND JTYM TRACK THE STORM TO THE NORTH TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TS 15W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS UNDER MARGINAL SHEAR CONDITIONS. THE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER TIME AND POSSIBLE SECOND OUTFLOW CHANNEL MAY LIKELY OCCUR DUE TO THE POSITION OF A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. D. CURRENT WIND RADII AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TS 15W TO FOLLOW A MORE NORTH-NORTHWEST AFTER TAU 48 HOURS AS A DEEP TROUGH MOVES OVER EASTERN CHINA AND WEAKENS THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS OUTFLOW AND SHEAR CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:33 2003 X-UIDL: 38157-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT009X1365F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 02:54:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86Is30Z096954 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 02:54:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h865460d079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 13:49:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 698645 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 13:49:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86InBc9092232 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 13:49:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86InA7S028319 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 13:49:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86InAmh028318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 13:49:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 13:49:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309061849.h86InAmh028318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 061800 WARNING 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 992 HPA AT 16.6N 138.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 19.0N 134.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 20.5N 131.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 21.5N 128.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:35 2003 X-UIDL: 38160-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT009S37YMF5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:37:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86KbWmV042841 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:37:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85Kku8J084996; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:32:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 700545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:32:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86KWuc9100008 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:32:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86KWs7S029937 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86KWsa7029936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:32:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:32:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309062032.h86KWsa7029936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 151E TO 38N 153E 37N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 151E TO 37N 148E 35N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 50N 176E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 175E TO 51N 177W 48N 172W. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 172W TO 45N 167W 41N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 172W TO 39N 179E 34N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 143E 51N 156E 60N 165E 60N 180E 37N 180E 34N 170E 38N 154E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 18N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 48N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 992 HPA AT 16.6N 138.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:35 2003 X-UIDL: 38161-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT009878B1F5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:45:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86Kix0Z013237 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 04:45:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h865465r079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:40:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 700790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:40:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86Kejc9092378 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:40:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h86Kei7S000077 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:40:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h86KeiWd000076 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:40:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 15:40:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309062040.h86KeiWd000076@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 16.6N3 139.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 139.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.8N6 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 18.7N6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 19.4N4 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.2N4 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 22.0N4 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 24.5N1 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 29.4N5 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 138.5E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN THE DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0, 070900Z6, 071500Z3 AND 072100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:38 2003 X-UIDL: 38168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT00CZNK2I9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 08:59:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h870x3Rc017950 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 08:59:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546DJ079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 19:51:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 704882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 19:51:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h870pTc9067166 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 19:51:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h870pR7S003437 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 19:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h870pR8b003436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 19:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 19:51:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@listserv.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070051.h870pR8b003436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 070000 WARNING 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 992 HPA AT 17.0N 137.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 19.2N 134.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 20.5N 131.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 22.0N 128.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 38171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT00C2COWP9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:43:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h872hahA029936 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:43:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546Gb079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:29:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 706260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h872Tfc9042890 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:29:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h872Td7S004596 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h872TdHs004595 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:29:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:29:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070229.h872TdHs004595@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 153E TO 37N 156E 34N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 153E TO 35N 148E 33N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 51N 178E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 177E TO 54N 178W 51N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 174W TO 47N 165W 41N 160W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 174W TO 42N 177W 36N 172E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 142E 42N 140E 42N 143E 52N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 34N 180E 33N 160E 36N 152E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 19N 110E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 47N 146E ESE SLOWLY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 992 HPA AT 17.0N 137.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 106E TO 30N 114E 34N 122E 34N 127E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 38172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT00C78P2X9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:47:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h872lKhA030448 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:47:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h86546I1079394; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 706628 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h872gDc9004474 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h872gB7S004787 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h872gBQ5004785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070242.h872gBQ5004785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 070300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 070000Z7 TO 120000Z3 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 780 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45, 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. B. TS 15W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STEERING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH 72 HOURS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH, CURRENTLY OVER CHINA, IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS SHIFTING THE TRACK POLEWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS AND GFDN ARE IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE FORECEST TRACK WITH GFDN AS THE EQUATORWARD OUTLIER HOLDING THE RIDGE STRONG THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TS 15W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT OR ABOVE A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS UNDER FAVORABLE SHEAR CONDITIONS. THE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER TIME AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW MAY BE ENHANCED DUE TO LINKAGE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR ANAVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TS 15W TO TRACK POLEWARD AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF EASTERN CHINA AND WEAKENS THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 96 HOURS AS OUTFLOW AND SHEAR CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO PEAK BY TAU 120 AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:00 2003 X-UIDL: 38173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT00C82P3G9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:47:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h872lcRc034336 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 10:47:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h85KkuEr084996; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 706631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h872gDc9053438 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h872gB7S004788 for ; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h872gBCI004786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 06 Sep 2003 21:42:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070242.h872gBCI004786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 070300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 17.2N0 137.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 137.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.2N1 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.1N1 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 19.9N9 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.6N8 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 22.2N6 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 25.3N0 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 30.0N3 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.5N3 137.3E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 780 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45, 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6, 071500Z3, 072100Z0 AND 080300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:24 2003 X-UIDL: 38183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKT00C1DY1M9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 14:00:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8760phA051592 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 14:00:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754KdZ084998; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 710232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h875vTc9091216 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h875vR7S006950 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h875vRUP006948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 00:57:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070557.h875vRUP006948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/070152ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL STORM 15W (MAEMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N0 137.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 10.9N0 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EAST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 18.3N2 111.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:27 2003 X-UIDL: 38189-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CEP0D49V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 14:51:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h876p2Rc063839 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 14:51:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754ThX081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 01:47:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 710852 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 01:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h876ltc9029746 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 01:47:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h876ls7S007548 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 01:47:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h876lslU007547 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 01:47:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 01:47:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070647.h876lslU007547@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 070600 WARNING 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 992 HPA AT 18.8N 136.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 21.1N 133.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 23.0N 131.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 24.5N 128.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:28 2003 X-UIDL: 38193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CLJ4HP9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 16:20:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h878KAhA067303 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 16:20:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754KeJ084998; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:16:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 711688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:16:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h878Glc9059400 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:16:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h878Gk7S008718 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:16:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h878Gko4008717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:16:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:16:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070816.h878Gko4008717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 070900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 18.2N1 136.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 136.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.1N1 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 20.0N2 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.9N1 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 21.9N2 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 24.2N8 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 27.5N4 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 31.0N4 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 136.3E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 690 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3, 072100Z0, 080300Z1 AND 080900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:28 2003 X-UIDL: 38194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CBS54U9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 16:34:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h878Y4Rc077140 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 16:34:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754KeN084998; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:28:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 711813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h878S9c9020616 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h878S47S008816 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:28:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h878S4jl008815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:28:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 03:28:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309070828.h878S4jl008815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 157E TO 38N 161E 36N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 157E TO 35N 150E 33N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 179W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 178E TO 54N 175W 51N 171W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 171W TO 46N 163W 41N 157W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 171W TO 44N 173W 39N 178W 35N 172E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 33N 164E 35N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002 HPA NEAR 18N 110E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 33N 111E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 45N 147E SE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 992 HPA AT 18.8N 136.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 106E TO 30N 109E 32N 118E 36N 124E 35N 130E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:34 2003 X-UIDL: 38208-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00C61H3Q9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 20:52:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87CqcRc017012 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 20:52:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TpJ081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 07:46:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 715100 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 07:46:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87Ckuc9044566 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 07:46:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87Cks7S011606 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 07:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87CksLV011604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 07:46:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 07:46:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071246.h87CksLV011604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 071200 WARNING 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 990 HPA AT 19.1N 135.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 20.7N 132.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 22.0N 129.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 23.5N 126.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:36 2003 X-UIDL: 38212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CKFKVH9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 22:14:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87EE5hA023179 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 22:14:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TrF081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:03:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 716093 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:03:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87E3nc9012104 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:03:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87E3m7S012516 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:03:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87E3lTb012515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:03:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:03:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071403.h87E3lTb012515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 071500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 15W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 18.6N5 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 136.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.5N5 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.4N6 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.3N6 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 22.1N5 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 24.5N1 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 27.1N0 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 30.8N1 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 135.5E4. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 650 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0, 080300Z1, 080900Z7 AND 081500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:37 2003 X-UIDL: 38213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00C0XLNQ9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 22:31:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87EV2Rc031955 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 22:31:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TsJ081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:26:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 716409 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:26:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87EQKc9048554 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:26:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87EQJ7S012744 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87EQJ0a012743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:26:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071426.h87EQJ0a012743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 160E TO 38N 164E 37N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 160E TO 36N 154E 33N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 178W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 179E TO 54N 173W 51N 167W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 167W TO 51N 163W 48N 159W 46N 155W 43N 153W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 167W TO 48N 167W 45N 170W 39N 175W 35N 176E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 42N 140E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 36N 160E 33N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002 HPA NEAR 18N 110E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 32N 110E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 44N 147E SE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 990 HPA AT 19.1N 135.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 108E TO 33N 120E 37N 127E 36N 130E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:37 2003 X-UIDL: 38214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CDON3M9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Sep 2003 23:02:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87F24hA031809 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 23:02:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TuZ081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:49:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 717049 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:49:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87Entc9064900 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:49:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87Enp7S013043 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:49:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87EnoHb013042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:49:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 09:49:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071449.h87EnoHb013042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 071500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 071200Z0 TO 121200Z6 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 650 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. TY 15W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STEERING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH 72 HOURS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH, CURRENTLY OVER CHINA, IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS SHIFTING THE TRACK POLEWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK WITH GFDN AS THE EQUATORWARD OUTLIER BEING INFLUENCED BY AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER VIETNAM. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TY 15W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT OR ABOVE A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS UNDER FAVORABLE SHEAR CONDITIONS. THE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER TIME AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW MAY BE ENHANCED DUE TO LINKAGE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 15W TO TRACK POLEWARD AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF EASTERN CHINA AND WEAKENS THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 96 HOURS AS OUTFLOW AND SHEAR CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO PEAK BY TAU 96 AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:42 2003 X-UIDL: 38229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKU00CB2XUW9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 02:54:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87IsWhA073876 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 02:54:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754T4N081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 13:49:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 721012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 13:49:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87Intc9037368 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 13:49:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87Ins7S015788 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 13:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87Insg8015784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 13:49:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 13:49:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309071849.h87Insg8015784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 071800 WARNING 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 19.3N 135.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 21.4N 131.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 23.0N 127.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 24.0N 124.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 38234-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00CRC1Y09V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:22:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87KMmRc093440 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:22:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754T7l081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:19:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 722959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:18:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87KIxc9079432 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:18:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87KIv7S016885 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:18:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87KIvlP016884 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:18:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:18:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309072018.h87KIvlP016884@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 072100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 19.3N3 135.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 135.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 20.3N5 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 21.2N5 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.0N4 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 23.0N5 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 25.2N9 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 30.0N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 34.8N5 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.6N6 134.5E3. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS REMAINED STEADY FOR THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1, 080900Z7, 081500Z4 AND 082100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:44 2003 X-UIDL: 38235-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00C3629Q9V@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:29:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87KTphA086909 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 04:29:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87J65r3038870; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:25:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 723071 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:25:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87KPAc9058854 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:25:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h87KP87S016977 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:25:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h87KP8wX016976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:25:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 15:25:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309072025.h87KP8wX016976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 167E TO 37N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 167E TO 35N 158E 33N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 174W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 176W TO 53N 167W. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 167W TO 49N 156W 44N 151W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 167W TO 45N 168W 39N 172W 34N 178E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 31N 160E 32N 150E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 130E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 37N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 34N 123E 30N 115E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002 HPA NEAR 17N 109E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 148E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 985 HPA AT 19.3N 135.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:51 2003 X-UIDL: 38247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00FOMEIQ0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 08:54:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h880sQhA018986 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 08:54:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8754TI1081796; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 19:49:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 727873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 19:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h880n2c9091328 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 19:49:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h880n17S020182 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 19:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h880n155020181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 19:49:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 19:49:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080049.h880n155020181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 080000 WARNING 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 980 HPA AT 19.7N 133.9E PARECE VERA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 21.9N 130.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 23.0N 127.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 24.0N 125.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:53 2003 X-UIDL: 38258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00F36IP10C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:24:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h882OcRc067616 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:24:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h87K08jH020580; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 729448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h882KPc9012090 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h882KN7S021289 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h882KNLA021287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080220.h882KNLA021287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 10// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 080000Z8 TO 130000Z4 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. TY 15W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STEERING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH 48 HOURS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH, CURRENTLY OVER CHINA, IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BY TAU 48 AND SHIFT THE TRACK POLEWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), AFWA MM5, JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TY 15W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT NEAR A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS UNDER MODERATE SHEAR CONDITIONS. TY 15W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY FASTER AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO THE RIDGE WEAKNESS AND ENCOUNTERS A MORE FAVORABLE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 15W TO TRACK POLEWARD AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF EASTERN CHINA AND WEAKENS THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PEAK BY TAU 72 AND WEAKEN THEREAFTER AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:54 2003 X-UIDL: 38259-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00F8CIPS0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:25:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h882P3Rc067870 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:25:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h881n4dl081798; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 729445 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h882KPc9013470 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h882KN7S021288 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h882KNDm021286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:20:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080220.h882KNDm021286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 080300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 19.8N8 134.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 134.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.7N9 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.6N9 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 22.5N9 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.6N1 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 25.9N6 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 31.0N4 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 35.7N5 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.0N2 133.6E3. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7, 081500Z4, 082100Z1 AND 090300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:54 2003 X-UIDL: 38260-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00FK1J250C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:32:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h882WThA046427 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:32:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h881n4eF081798; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:27:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 729602 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:27:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h882Rsc9062752 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h882Rr7S021392 for ; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h882RrmZ021391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:27:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 07 Sep 2003 21:27:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080227.h882RrmZ021391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 173E TO 37N 178E 37N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 173E TO 35N 162E 32N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 132E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 132E TO 39N 136E 37N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 132E TO 34N 124E 28N 113E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 18N 108E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 43N 150E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 980 HPA AT 19.7N 133.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:42:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00FYES7Q0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 13:50:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h885oFhA099929 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 13:50:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8853rhf069378; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 734732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h885k4c9034924 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h885k27S023604 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h885k2F7023602 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 00:46:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080546.h885k2F7023602@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/080152ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 134.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 080300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 127.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED OVER LAND AND DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 111.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED OVER HAINAN ISLAND AND DISSIPATED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPCIAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/MENEBROKER/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:00 2003 X-UIDL: 38276-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00F78VAE0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 14:56:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h886udRc070212 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 14:56:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h886TEcb052464; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 01:51:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 735682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 01:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h886pWc9019792 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 01:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h886pU7S024177 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 01:51:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h886pUof024176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 01:51:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 01:51:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080651.h886pUof024176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 080600 WARNING 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 975 HPA AT 20.0N 132.8E SOUTHEAST OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 190 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 22.0N 130.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 23.5N 126.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 24.5N 125.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:03 2003 X-UIDL: 38284-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKV00FIBZX90C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 16:36:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h888akRc017692 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 16:36:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8881ocd070550; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:31:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 736980 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h888V8c9010720 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:31:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h888V67S025345 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h888V6vB025344 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:31:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080831.h888V6vB025344@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 136E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 136E TO 39N 140E 38N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 136E TO 37N 132E 34N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 125E TO 32N 119E 27N 112E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 175E TO 40N 180E 39N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 175E TO 34N 164E 32N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 116E 09N 116E 07N 110E 11N 110E 14N 116E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 158E 60N 163E 60N 179E 33N 180E 30N 160E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 37N 124E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 152E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 975 HPA AT 20.0N 132.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:03 2003 X-UIDL: 38285-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00FAM0DQ0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 16:46:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h888kdhA061443 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 16:46:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h884vMg5048544; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:40:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 737247 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:40:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h888e1c9032068 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:40:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h888e07S025466 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h888e0C4025465 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:40:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 03:40:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309080840.h888e0C4025465@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 080900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 20.2N4 132.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 132.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 21.2N5 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.1N5 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 22.9N3 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 24.0N6 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 27.7N6 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 32.2N7 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 37.3N3 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.5N7 132.2E8. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW1 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4, 082100Z1, 090300Z2 AND 090900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:35 2003 X-UIDL: 38309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00FXWBTA0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 20:53:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CrThA017028 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 20:53:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHdt044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 07:48:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 740335 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 07:48:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88Cmmc9052224 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 07:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88Cmk7S028174 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 07:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88Cmk8k028173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 07:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 07:48:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309081248.h88Cmk8k028173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 081200 WARNING 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 975 HPA AT 20.4N 132.0E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 190 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 22.2N 129.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 23.5N 127.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 24.0N 124.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:36 2003 X-UIDL: 38313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00GMSFVTKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 22:21:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88ELOhA035781 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 22:21:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHhh044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:14:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 742176 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:14:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88EEmc9032226 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:14:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88EEk7S000716 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:14:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88EEkkx000715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:14:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:14:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309081414.h88EEkkx000715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 20.5N7 131.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 131.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 21.4N7 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 22.2N6 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 23.2N7 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 24.4N0 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER LAND 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 27.3N2 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER LAND 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 31.8N2 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 36.9N8 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 131.4E9. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE AS TY 15W BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1, 090300Z2, 090900Z8 AND 091500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:38 2003 X-UIDL: 38315-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00GO6GQGKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 22:39:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88EdnRc013074 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 22:39:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHjH044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:33:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 742768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:33:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88EXDc9057732 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:33:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88EXB7S001366 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88EXBlv001365 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 09:33:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309081433.h88EXBlv001365@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 138E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 138E TO 40N 142E 38N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 138E TO 37N 133E 34N 126E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 126E TO 32N 119E 27N 112E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 177E TO 41N 178W 39N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 177E TO 35N 168E 32N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 41N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 51N 157E 59N 166E 60N 180E 32N 180E 30N 157E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 37N 127E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 43N 154E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 975 HPA AT 20.4N 132.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:39 2003 X-UIDL: 38318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00GBIIOXKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Sep 2003 23:22:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88FM5Rc022734 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 23:22:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88D5DiT048548; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:13:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 744453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:13:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88FDSc9024622 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:13:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88FDR7S002771 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:13:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88FDR1g002770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:13:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 10:13:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309081513.h88FDR1g002770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 081200Z1 TO 131200Z7 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE AS TY 15W BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED. B. TY 15W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STEERING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH 48 HOURS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH, CURRENTLY OVER CHINA, IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BY TAU 36 TO 48 AND SHIFT THE TRACK MORE POLEWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), AFWA MM5, JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TY 15W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT NEAR A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONDITIONS. TY 15W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY MORE RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS INTO THE RIDGE WEAKNESS AND ENTERS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. CURRENT WIND RADII AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 15W TO TRACK POLEWARD AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OFF EASTERN CHINA AND WEAKENS THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PEAK BY TAU 72, AFTER WHICH IT SHOULD WEAKEN AND INCREASE SPEED AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/CATES/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:43 2003 X-UIDL: 38326-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00F9JSKP0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 02:55:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88ItchA084955 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 02:55:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88D5Ds5048548; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 13:47:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 750416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 13:47:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88IlWrl033758 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 13:47:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88IlU7S009551 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 13:47:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88IlU0m009550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 13:47:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 13:47:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309081847.h88IlU0m009550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 081800 WARNING 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 975 HPA AT 21.0N 131.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 23.2N 127.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 24.0N 126.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 25.5N 125.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:44 2003 X-UIDL: 38330-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00FGDX1G0C@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:32:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88KW5hA001450 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:32:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHCt044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:26:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 752886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88KQmrl046060 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:26:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88KQk7S012794 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88KQkL7012793 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:26:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:26:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309082026.h88KQkL7012793@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 142E TO 40N 146E 37N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 142E TO 38N 137E 36N 132E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 132E TO 34N 122E 27N 112E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 179W TO 40N 175W 39N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 179W TO 35N 173E 31N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 43N 143E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 164E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 43N 156E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 975 HPA AT 21.0N 131.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:44 2003 X-UIDL: 38331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKW00G1RYBDKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:59:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88KxUhA006183 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:59:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHF5044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:50:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 753685 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:50:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88KoDrl036422 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:50:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h88KoB7S013627 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h88KoB1I013626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:50:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 15:50:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309082050.h88KoB1I013626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 082100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 21.0N3 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 130.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 22.1N5 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 23.0N5 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 23.8N3 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 24.9N5 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 27.9N8 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 31.4N8 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 40.6N0 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 21.3N6 130.5E9. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65 AND 77 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY OF TY 15W IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE. THE LATEST 081744Z4 TRMM PASS REVEALS TIGHT CURVED BANDING FEATURES WHILE AN EVEN MORE RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THAT AN EYE IS BEGINNING TO FORM WITH GOOD WARMING IN THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2, 090900Z8, 091500Z5 AND 092100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:51 2003 X-UIDL: 38342-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00G3O95FKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 08:53:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h890rehA042109 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 08:53:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88D5D7p048548; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 19:48:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 759266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 19:48:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h890mcrl005334 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 19:48:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h890ma7S017715 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 19:48:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h890macq017714 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 19:48:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 19:48:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090048.h890macq017714@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 090000 WARNING 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 960 HPA AT 22.0N 130.6E SOUTH OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 190 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 24.0N 127.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 25.0N 126.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 28.0N 126.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:52 2003 X-UIDL: 38346-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00G1YDU2KZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:34:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h892YohA057429 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:34:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88D5D9P048548; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:30:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 760792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:30:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h892U8rl005282 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:30:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h892U67S019115 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:30:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h892U6YW019114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:30:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:30:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090230.h892U6YW019114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 145E TO 38N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 145E TO 37N 135E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 135E TO 35N 123E 30N 117E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 100 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 145E 41N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 30N 166E 37N 155E 38N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 123E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 151E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 42N 135E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 43N 158E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 960 HPA AT 22.0N 130.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 168E TO 45N 169W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 09 10:43:52 2003 X-UIDL: 38347-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00G22DU2KZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:34:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h892YohA057430 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:34:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h88CGHZD044290; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:31:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 760826 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:31:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h892VJrl099554 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:31:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h892VH7S019134 for ; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:31:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h892VHsQ019133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:31:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 08 Sep 2003 21:31:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090231.h892VHsQ019133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 090300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 21.8N1 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.1N6 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 24.1N7 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.1N8 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 26.1N9 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 29.4N5 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 33.5N1 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 42.2N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 22.1N5 130.2E6. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 305 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY OF TY 15W CONTINUES TO INCREASE WITH LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING A WEAK, POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL BEGINNING TO FORM IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. THE MOST RECENT SSM/I PASS AT 082253Z0 DEPICTS AN IRREGULAR 16 NM DIAMETER EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8, 091500Z5, 092100Z2 AND 100300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:26 2003 X-UIDL: 38366-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00GWDO9JKZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 14:20:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h896JtRc078346 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 14:19:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952LxJ069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 765805 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8969erl053380 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8969c7S021587 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8969ctU021585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:09:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090609.h8969ctU021585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z-100600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090152ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI) LOCATED NEAR 21.8N1 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 07.3N0 144.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 395 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. A RECENT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGE DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OCCURING NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT BUT THE AREA IS MOVING INTO AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:30 2003 X-UIDL: 38372-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00GY2PR7KZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 14:52:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h896qDRc084518 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 14:52:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952L05069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:48:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 766271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:48:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h896mVrl065686 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:48:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h896mT7S021980 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h896mTB6021979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:48:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 01:48:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090648.h896mTB6021979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 090600 WARNING 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 950 HPA AT 22.6N 129.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 190 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 24.8N 126.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 27.5N 126.0E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 32.0N 127.0E WITH 260 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:31 2003 X-UIDL: 38381-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00JLUULPGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 16:37:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h898avRc002406 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 16:36:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952LvX036416; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 03:31:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 767414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 03:31:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h898VErl032888 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 03:31:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h898VD7S023178 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 03:31:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h898VCJl023177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 03:31:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 03:31:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090831.h898VCJl023177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 146E TO 42N 147E 42N 148E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 148E TO 41N 150E 39N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 148E TO 40N 146E 39N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 100 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 28N 165E 30N 155E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 127E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 127E TO 36N 130E 35N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 127E TO 33N 125E 31N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 122E TO 31N 120E 28N 117E 25N 112E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 150E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 41N 137E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 43N 160E ENE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 950 HPA AT 22.6N 129.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 165E TO 33N 173E 47N 165W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:32 2003 X-UIDL: 38383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKX00JABWFVGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:16:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h899GdRc009642 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 17:16:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952L2v069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:10:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 768007 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:10:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h899Ahrl052862 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:10:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h899Af7S023590 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:10:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h899AfB5023589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:10:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 04:10:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309090910.h899AfB5023589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 090900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 22.4N8 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 23.7N2 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 25.0N7 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 26.3N1 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 27.7N6 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 32.0N5 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 36.8N7 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 42.4N0 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 22.7N1 129.0E2. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 115, AND 127 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE EYE HAS BECOME MORE SYMMETRIC AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5, 092100Z2, 100300Z4, AND 100900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:39 2003 X-UIDL: 38398-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JVH7HMGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:15:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89DFJhA086497 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:15:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952L6H069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 07:48:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 770279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 07:48:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89Cm6rl033778 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 07:48:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89Cm47S025958 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 07:48:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89Cm4Sr025957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 07:48:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 07:48:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309091248.h89Cm4Sr025957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 091200 WARNING 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 940 HPA AT 22.9N 128.7E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 190 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 24.7N 125.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 27.0N 126.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 31.0N 126.5E WITH 260 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:39 2003 X-UIDL: 38400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JNQB3SGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 22:33:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89EXKRc069585 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 22:33:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952L5D036416; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 09:27:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 772499 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 09:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89ERZrl042946 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 09:27:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89ERX7S028907 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 09:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89ERXZ9028906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 09:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 09:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309091427.h89ERXZ9028906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 32N 180E 30N 160E 35N 148E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 130E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 148E NE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 38N 134E 37N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 33N 128E 30N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 123E TO 29N 119E 25N 113E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 148E TO 43N 150E 42N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 151E TO 40N 153E 38N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 151E TO 39N 148E 38N 142E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 147E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 43N 162E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 940 HPA AT 22.9N 128.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 170E TO 34N 177E 35N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:40 2003 X-UIDL: 38403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JDDDH5GO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:24:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89FOghA014297 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:24:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952LH9069400; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:11:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 773632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:11:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89FBarl065566 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:11:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89FBZ7S000431 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:11:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89FBYkw000430 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:11:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:11:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309091511.h89FBYkw000430@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 091500 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- NEAR 22.9N3 128.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N3 128.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 24.2N8 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.0N7 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 26.3N1 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 28.5N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 33.4N0 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 38.8N9 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 43.3N0 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 23.2N7 128.5E6. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 140 KNOTS. A 091015Z6 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A 24 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2, 100300Z4, 100900Z0, AND 101500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:40 2003 X-UIDL: 38405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JSAEB4GO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:42:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89FgehA018657 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 23:42:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8854pML019638; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:22:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 773879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:22:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89FMfrl023702 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:22:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89FMd7S000823 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:22:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89FMdgU000822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:22:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 10:22:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon (sty) 15w (maemi) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309091522.h89FMdgU000822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 091500 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI) /WARNING NR 16// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 091200Z2 TO 141200Z8 SEP 2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH- WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 140 KNOTS. A 091015Z6 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A 24 NM EYE. B. STY 15W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STEERING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH, CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN CHINA, IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS AND SHIFT THE TRACK POLEWARD. STY 15W WILL THEN LINK UP WITH THE SHORTWAVE AND ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD PASSING JUST WEST OF KYUSHU, JAPAN. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS, AND GFDN ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK. EGRR AND JGSM ARE FASTER THAN THE OTHER AIDS DUE TO MORE VIGOROUS INTERACTION WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS, WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON EGRR AND JGSM. C. STY 15W IS EXPECTED TO REACH MAX INTENSITY AS IT SLOWS AND TURNS POLEWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STY 15W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD, ENTRAINS DRY AIR, AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR STY 15W TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN WHILE ENCOUNTERING COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND HEADING TOWARD HOKKAIDO, JAPAN. STY 15W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 120 HOURS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/PIVIN/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:44 2003 X-UIDL: 38415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00J1SNWPGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:10:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89JA1hA051901 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:10:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89IB52p089132; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 13:51:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 778793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 13:51:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89Ip9rl024644 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 13:51:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89Ip17S007901 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 13:51:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89Ip18J007900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 13:51:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 13:51:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 930 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309091851.h89Ip18J007900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 091800 WARNING 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 930 HPA AT 23.3N 127.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 190 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 24.5N 125.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 27.0N 125.5E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 32.5N 126.5E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:46 2003 X-UIDL: 38421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00J94SCFGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:45:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89KjqhA065142 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:45:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8952LHr036416; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:31:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 781132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:31:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89KVmrl037758 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89KVk7S011185 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89KVkrU011184 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:31:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:31:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309092031.h89KVkrU011184@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 135E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 135E TO 39N 137E 38N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 135E TO 37N 133E 35N 130E 33N 128E 32N 126E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 126E TO 28N 119E 25N 114E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 38N 142E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 26N 158E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 61N 130E NE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 148E NNE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 61N 130E TO 60N 134E 57N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 61N 130E TO 58N 128E 55N 125E 51N 124E 47N 115E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 148E TO 43N 150E 43N 152E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 152E TO 41N 154E 38N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 152E TO 41N 150E 40N 144E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 148E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 38N 111E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 43N 166E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 930 HPA AT 23.3N 127.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 163E TO 32N 167E 33N 169E 33N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 173E TO 34N 176E 35N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 08:56:47 2003 X-UIDL: 38422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKY00JQETDIGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 05:08:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89L87Rc029342 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 05:08:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89KjAsn078500; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:59:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 781992 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:59:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89Kx0rl032024 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:59:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h89Kww7S012116 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:58:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h89KwwNh012115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:58:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 15:58:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309092058.h89KwwNh012115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 092100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 23.4N9 127.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.4N9 127.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 24.5N1 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 25.4N1 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 27.0N9 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 29.1N2 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 34.7N4 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 40.2N6 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 45.2N1 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 23.7N2 127.5E5. SUPER TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4, 100900Z0, 101500Z7 AND 102100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 12:16:23 2003 X-UIDL: 38432-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ00J8L424GO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 08:58:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A0wmRc055035 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 08:58:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89KjAED078500; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 19:49:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 788023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 19:49:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A0nIrl053074 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 19:49:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A0nG7S016484 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 19:49:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A0nGMS016483 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 19:49:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 19:49:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 925 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100049.h8A0nGMS016483@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 100000 WARNING 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 925 HPA AT 23.6N 127.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 190 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 23.9N 126.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 920 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 24.8N 125.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 920 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 28.0N 125.5E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 33.5N 126.5E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 12:16:27 2003 X-UIDL: 38444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ00J3F8NWGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 10:38:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A2cMhA007020 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 10:38:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A0hRwb023582; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:31:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 790456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:31:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A2VSrl053144 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:31:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A2VQ7S017841 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:31:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A2VQYI017840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:31:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:31:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100231.h8A2VQYI017840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 137E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 137E TO 41N 140E 39N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 137E TO 36N 132E 34N 128E 33N 128E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 128E TO 30N 122E 27N 118E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 29N 166E 34N 156E 38N 150E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 44N 150E NE SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 150E TO 43N 152E 43N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 153E TO 42N 155E 40N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 153E TO 40N 152E 39N 145E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 147E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 167E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 925 HPA AT 23.6N 127.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 164E TO 31N 169E 33N 173E 33N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 175E TO 34N 180E 36N 173W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 12:16:28 2003 X-UIDL: 38447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ00J679H8GO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 10:55:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A2tuRc071002 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 10:55:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h89Nl0hH019638; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:51:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 790994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A2osrl024812 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A2oq7S018078 for ; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:50:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A2oqR5018077 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:50:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 09 Sep 2003 21:50:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100250.h8A2oqR5018077@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 23.6N1 127.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 127.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 24.4N0 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 25.9N6 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 27.6N5 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 30.1N4 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 35.9N7 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 41.6N1 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 46.7N7 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 23.8N3 127.1E1. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127, 140 AND 155 KNOTS. STY 15W HAS SLOWED DOWN OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT HAS LINKED UP WITH THE UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THAT IS IN ADVANCE OF THE MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN EASTERN CHINA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0, 101500Z7, 102100Z4 AND 110300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 14:41:31 2003 X-UIDL: 38460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ00JBMGQNGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 13:32:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A5WmRc091660 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 13:32:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A0hR4R023582; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 794513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A5RCrl035608 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A5RA7S019767 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A5RAUT019765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 00:27:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100527.h8A5RAUT019765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z-110600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/100152ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI) LOCATED NEAR 23.6N1 127.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 150 GUSTING TO 180 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 100300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 07.3N0 144.4E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERE SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 15:30:50 2003 X-UIDL: 38467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ00J6DKNKGO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 14:57:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A6vJRc002778 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 14:57:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56Axj067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 01:50:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 795333 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 01:50:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A6owrl035620 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 01:50:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A6ou7S020473 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 01:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A6ouJi020472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 01:50:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 01:50:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 915 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100650.h8A6ouJi020472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 100600 WARNING 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 915 HPA AT 24.0N 126.6E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 190 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 24.6N 125.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 910 HPA, MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 26.1N 125.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 915 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 32.0N 125.5E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 39.0N 132.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 17:35:30 2003 X-UIDL: 38475-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ000IDPA97K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A8bMhA055535 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:37:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AwD042784; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:30:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 795706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:30:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A8U5rl036604 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:30:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A8U37S021438 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:30:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A8U3oQ021437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:30:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:30:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100830.h8A8U3oQ021437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 141E HOKKAIDO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 141E TO 39N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 141E TO 34N 129E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 129E TO 27N 118E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 148E 42N 142E 42N 143E 43N 145E 45N 150E 51N 156E 60N 163E 60N 180E 42N 180E 33N 162E 39N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 146E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 915 HPA AT 24.0N 126.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 166E TO 35N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 10 17:35:33 2003 X-UIDL: 38479-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HKZ000LMQB27K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:59:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A8xRhA058527 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 16:59:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56A17067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:50:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 795886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A8oXrl042728 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:50:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8A8oV7S021650 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:50:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8A8oVvD021649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:50:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 03:50:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon (sty) 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 019 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309100850.h8A8oVvD021649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 23.9N4 126.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 126.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 24.9N5 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 26.2N0 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 28.8N8 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 32.0N5 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 39.0N2 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 43.4N1 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 45.4N3 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 24.2N8 126.6E5. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM STILL HAS GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7, 102100Z4, 110300Z5, AND 110900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:40 2003 X-UIDL: 38496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0001VM17N3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 20:55:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ACsvhA087811 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 20:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56A3d067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 07:47:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 797011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 07:47:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AClvrl105614 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 07:47:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AClt7S023741 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 07:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8ACltNG023740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 07:47:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 07:47:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 915 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101247.h8ACltNG023740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 101200 WARNING 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 915 HPA AT 24.3N 126.0E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 25.3N 125.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 910 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 27.5N 125.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 910 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 34.0N 127.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 41.0N 136.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:50 2003 X-UIDL: 38505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0001RL6AW3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 22:44:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AEighA005955 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 22:44:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ACKAwn023606; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:26:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 798229 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:26:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AEQirl005942 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:26:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AEQg7S026786 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:26:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AEQg1X026785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:26:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:26:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101426.h8AEQg1X026785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 148E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 148E TO 39N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 148E TO 38N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 137E TO 32N 125E 27N 119E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 146E 41N 142E 42N 143E 44N 146E 46N 152E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 36N 161E 38N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 09N 145E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 46N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 915 HPA AT 24.3N 126.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:51 2003 X-UIDL: 38506-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL00005K6X17K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 22:58:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AEw8hA008502 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 22:58:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AA9067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:51:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 799003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:51:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AEpIrl087826 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:51:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AEpG7S027638 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:51:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AEpGcD027637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:51:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:51:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon (sty) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101451.h8AEpGcD027637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 101500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 20// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 101200Z4 TO 141200Z8SEP2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT RADAR IMAGERY AND 101130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS. B. STY 15W WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS AND ITS NORTHWESTERN OUTFLOW IS STARTING TO GET CAUGHT UP IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. STY 15W WILL THEN LINK UP WITH THE MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT IS DEEPENING AND ADVANCING FROM EASTERN CHINA. EXPECT STY 15W TO ACCELERATE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE KOREA STRAIT AND BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK. GFDN IS THE WESTERN OUTLIER TO THIS FORECAST SOLUTION. ANALYSIS OF THE GFDN FIELDS SHOWED POOR INITIALIZATION WITH THE MAJOR SHORTWAVE IN EASTERN CHINA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS, WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN. C. STY 15W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT TURNS POLEWARD AND ENCOUNTERS SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY SHEAR. STY 15W WILL WEAKEN EVEN FURTHER AS IT ENTERS THE KOREA STRAIT DUE TO LAND INTERACTION, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA, AND THE 092130Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR STY 15W TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN WHILE ENCOUNTERING COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND HEADING TOWARD HOKKAIDO, JAPAN. STY 15W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 96 HOURS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/PIVIN/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:51 2003 X-UIDL: 38507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0000676XI7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Sep 2003 22:58:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AEwQhA008523 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 22:58:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AAB067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:52:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 799013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:52:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AEqJrl046930 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:52:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AEqI7S027673 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:52:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AEqHIJ027672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:52:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 09:52:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon (sty) 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101452.h8AEqHIJ027672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 101500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- NEAR 24.3N9 126.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 126.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 25.7N4 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 27.7N6 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 30.4N7 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 34.0N7 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 40.5N9 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 29 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 45.0N9 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION NEAR 24.7N3 125.9E7. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT RADAR IMAGERY AND 101130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z4 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4, 110300Z5, 110900Z1, AND 111500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:52 2003 X-UIDL: 38512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL000115AZ53U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 00:25:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AGPphA019567 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 00:25:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56ADL067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:17:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 800225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:17:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AGGxrl046852 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:16:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AGGq7S000889 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:16:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AGGqaM000888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:16:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 11:16:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon (sty) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101616.h8AGGqaM000888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 101500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 20// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 101200Z4 TO 141200Z8 SEP 2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT RADAR IMAGERY AND 101130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS. B. STY 15W WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS AND ITS NORTHWESTERN OUTFLOW IS STARTING TO GET CAUGHT UP IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT STY 15W WILL THEN LINK UP WITH THE MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT IS DEEPENING AND ADVANCING FROM EASTERN CHINA. EXPECT STY 15W TO ACCELERATE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE KOREA STRAIT AND BEGIN TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK. GFDN IS THE WESTERN OUTLIER TO THIS FORECAST SOLUTION. ANALYSIS OF THE GFDN FIELDS SHOWED POOR INITIALIZATION WITH THE MAJOR SHORTWAVE IN EASTERN CHINA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS, WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN. C. STY 15W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT TURNS POLEWARD AND ENCOUNTERS SOUTHWESTERLY AND THEN WESTERLY SHEAR. STY 15W WILL WEAKEN EVEN FURTHER AS IT ENTERS THE KOREA STRAIT DUE TO LAND INTERACTION, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA, AND THE 092130Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR STY 15W TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN WHILE ENCOUNTERING COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND HEADING TOWARD HOKKAIDO, JAPAN. STY 15W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 96 HOURS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADJUSTED SPEED OF ADVANCE IN PARA 2.A. 4. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/PIVIN/ALLEN/LAM/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38519-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0001O5I8I3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:02:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AJ2hRc001696 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:02:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56A9F042784; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 13:53:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 802915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 13:53:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AIrYrl024712 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 13:53:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AIrW7S005351 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 13:53:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AIrWhH005350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 13:53:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 13:53:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 910 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309101853.h8AIrWhH005350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 101800 WARNING 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 910 HPA AT 24.7N 125.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 25.9N 125.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 910 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 28.3N 125.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 910 HPA, MAX WINDS 110 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 36.0N 127.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 43.0N 138.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL0000YQMI27K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 04:34:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AKYqRc014940 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 04:34:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ACKAAj023606; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:28:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 804841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:26:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AKQprl072954 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:26:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AKQn7S008256 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AKQnlh008255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:26:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309102026.h8AKQnlh008255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 46N 152E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 152E TO 46N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 154E TO 44N 159E 41N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 154E TO 41N 148E 39N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 140E TO 35N 131E 28N 121E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 37N 160E 39N 150E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 143E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 43N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 910 HPA AT 24.7N 125.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:19:59 2003 X-UIDL: 38523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL00018UN3B3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 04:47:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AKlaRc016465 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 04:47:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56ASR067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:34:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 805037 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:34:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8AKXxrl024662 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:33:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8AKXv7S008601 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:33:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8AKXvn5008600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:33:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 15:33:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 021 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309102033.h8AKXvn5008600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 102100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- NEAR 24.8N4 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 26.3N1 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 28.7N7 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 31.9N3 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 35.5N3 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 42.0N6 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 29 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 50.1N6 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION NEAR 25.2N9 125.4E2. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT RADAR IMAGERY AND 101730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE IS BEING AFFECTED BY THE APPROACHING LONG-WAVE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z0 IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5, 110900Z1, 111500Z8 AND 112100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 10:20:03 2003 X-UIDL: 38533-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL00002SYJP7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 08:55:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B0t2Rc043468 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 08:55:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AcT067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 19:47:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 808481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 19:47:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B0lgrl044570 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 19:47:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B0le7S013319 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 19:47:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B0ldXJ013318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 19:47:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 19:47:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 910 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110047.h8B0ldXJ013318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 110000 WARNING 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 910 HPA AT 25.2N 125.1E NEAR MIYAKOJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 27.0N 125.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 915 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 30.1N 125.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 920 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 38.0N 129.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 45.5N 143.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 11:18:01 2003 X-UIDL: 38546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1000Q72U67K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:27:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B2ReRc054788 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:27:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AgV067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 809872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B2NDrl058250 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B2NB7S014512 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B2NBcW014511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon (sty) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110223.h8B2NBcW014511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 110300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 22// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 110000Z2 TO 150000Z6 SEP 2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT RADAR IMAGERY AND 102330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127, 140 AND 155 KNOTS AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWING WARMER CLOUD TOPS IN THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. STY 15W HAS TRANSITIONED TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AND THE NORTHWESTERN OUTFLOW IS CAUGHT UP BY THE MAJOR LONGWAVE TROUGH THAT IS DEEPENING AND ADVANCING FROM EASTERN CHINA. STY 15W IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE POLEWARD THROUGH THE EAST CHINA SEA TOWARDS THE KOREAN PENINSULA BEFORE EXITING INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN. STY 15W IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM NEAR TAU 48. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, AFWA MM5 AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. STY 15W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD AND ENCOUNTERS SOME INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. STY 15W WILL WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE KOREAN PENINSULA AND THEN CONTINUES TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALLER SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR STY 15W TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SEA OF OKHOTSK AFTER COMPLETING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 11:18:02 2003 X-UIDL: 38547-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1000SR2WB7K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:29:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B2T0Rc054911 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:29:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B0GL9F087882; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 809875 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B2NErl058254 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B2NC7S014517 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B2NCAB014516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:23:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 022 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110223.h8B2NCAB014516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 110300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- NEAR 25.3N0 125.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N0 125.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 27.0N9 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 30.2N5 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 33.5N1 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 37.4N4 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 44.8N6 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 50.6N1 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 25.7N4 125.1E9 SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT RADAR IMAGERY AND 102330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127, 140 AND 155 KNOTS AND ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWING WARMER CLOUD TOPS IN THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1, 111500Z8, 112100Z5 AND 120300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 11:18:02 2003 X-UIDL: 38548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1000YV3577K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:34:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B2YLhA089620 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:34:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56Agh067132; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:29:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 810004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:29:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B2T8rl044916 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:29:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B2T67S014564 for ; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B2T6IC014563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:29:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 10 Sep 2003 21:29:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110229.h8B2T6IC014563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 47N 155E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 155E TO 47N 156E 46N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 159E TO 42N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 159E TO 42N 153E 39N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 145E TO 37N 137E 35N 132E 33N 127E 29N 122E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 38N 150E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 986 HPA AT 59N 136E NE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 136E TO 57N 138E. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 138E TO 54N 142E 52N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 138E TO 51N 138E 45N 133E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 39N 121E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 43N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 910 HPA AT 25.2N 125.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 16:58:19 2003 X-UIDL: 38571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1001O6DB53U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:13:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B6DlhA015375 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:13:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56Amd067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 812748 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B67grl023464 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B67e7S016653 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B67eCT016651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:07:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110607.h8B67eCT016651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z-120600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/110152ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED NEAR 25.3N0 125.2E0, APPROXIMATELY 145 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 GUSTING TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/CATES/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 16:58:23 2003 X-UIDL: 38576-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1001Q7FAX3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:56:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B6unRc089964 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 14:56:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AnP067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:49:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 813029 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:49:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B6nTrl081886 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:49:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B6nQ7S016944 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:49:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B6nQVi016943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:49:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 01:49:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 915 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110649.h8B6nQVi016943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 110600 WARNING 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 915 HPA AT 25.9N 125.3E NORTH OF MIYAKOJIMA MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 28.7N 125.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 32.7N 126.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 40.5N 132.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 47.5N 145.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 16:58:26 2003 X-UIDL: 38586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1001N3JVD3U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B8ZZRc004520 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:35:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52pxF023608; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:28:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 813503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B8S4rl036430 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B8S17S017866 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B8S1wf017865 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:28:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110828.h8B8S1wf017865@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 47N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 161E TO 46N 165E 45N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 166E TO 43N 167E 41N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 166E TO 42N 160E 40N 149E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 149E TO 39N 143E 36N 135E 34N 130E 30N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 46N 150E 53N 160E 60N 165E 60N 180E 38N 180E 37N 150E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 139E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 40N 122E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 42N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 915 HPA AT 25.9N 125.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 178E TO 30N 180E 37N 164W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 11 16:58:28 2003 X-UIDL: 38587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1001UQK093U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:38:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B8aShA033490 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 16:38:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56Aof067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:32:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 813517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:32:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B8Wwrl105474 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:32:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8B8Wu7S017943 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:32:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8B8WuLk017942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:32:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 03:32:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 023 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309110832.h8B8WuLk017942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 110900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- NEAR 25.7N4 125.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 125.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 28.3N3 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 31.6N0 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 35.1N9 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 38.8N9 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 45.2N1 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 51.0N6 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 26.3N1 125.2E0. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT RADAR IMAGERY AND 110530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 38 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8, 112100Z5, 120300Z6 AND 120900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:38 2003 X-UIDL: 38605-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL1004C3VU3EW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 20:54:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BCs3hA062873 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 20:54:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BCJCsd067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 07:50:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 815540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 07:50:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BCo5rl014310 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 07:50:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BCo27S020205 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 07:50:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BCo2Nn020204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 07:50:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 07:50:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 930 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111250.h8BCo2Nn020204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 111200 WARNING 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 930 HPA AT 27.0N 125.6E WESTNORTHWEST OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 85 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 30.6N 126.3E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 34.7N 127.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 42.0N 135.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 50.0N 147.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 38613-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004NN0G3EW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 22:33:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEXfRc047638 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 22:33:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BCJCwP067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:27:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 816968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:27:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BERJrl035826 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:27:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BERH7S022699 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:27:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BERGkN022698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:27:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111427.h8BERGkN022698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 47N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 165E TO 47N 167E 45N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 170E TO 44N 171E 42N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 170E TO 41N 160E 40N 149E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 149E TO 38N 140E 34N 130E 31N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 44N 146E 53N 160E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 37N 150E 39N 142E. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 930 HPA AT 27.0N 125.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 38614-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004ZV0MJEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 22:37:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEbRhA075131 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 22:37:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BCJCwT067132; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:29:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 816986 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:29:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BETTrl044534 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BETR7S022755 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BETRCH022754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 09:29:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 024 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111429.h8BETRCH022754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 26.8N6 125.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 125.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 29.8N9 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 33.6N2 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 37.4N4 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 41.1N6 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 48.1N3 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 27.6N5 125.5E3. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT RADAR AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND 111130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 127 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5, 120300Z6, 120900Z2 AND 121500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 38616-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL20042I1VVEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:04:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BF4hRc051372 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 23:04:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbrr067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:00:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 817541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:00:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BF0Jrl049656 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:00:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BF0H7S023778 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:00:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BF0HM2023777 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:00:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 10:00:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111500.h8BF0HM2023777@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 111500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 24// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 111200Z5 TO 151200Z9 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT RADAR AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND 111130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 127 KNOTS. B. TY 15W IS TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE APPROACHING LONGWAVE TROUGH FROM THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PROVIDE SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ASSIST IN THE EXTRA TROPICAL TRANSITION OF TY 15W WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. TY 15W IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE POLEWARD THROUGH THE EAST CHINA SEA TOWARDS THE KOREAN PENINSULA BEFORE EXITING INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN. TY 15W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY TAU 72. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS, COAMPS, AFWA MM5 AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TY 15W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. TY 15W WILL WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT TRACKS OVER THE KOREAN PENINSULA AND THEN CONTINUES TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A MEDIUM TO SMALLER SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 15W TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SEA OF OKHOTSK AFTER COMPLETING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/CATES/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 38629-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004TUCJBEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 02:54:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BIsnhA002366 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 02:54:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvb7D067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 13:50:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 822266 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 13:50:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BIo7rl027366 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 13:50:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BIo57S000725 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 13:50:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BIo56b000724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 13:50:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 13:50:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309111850.h8BIo56b000724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 111800 WARNING 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 940 HPA AT 28.4N 125.8E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 65 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 32.8N 126.8E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 37.2N 129.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 45.0N 140.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 51.5N 149.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:56 2003 X-UIDL: 38637-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004YPHFJEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:40:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BKeIhA013453 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:40:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8A56AdT042784; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:32:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 824177 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:32:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BKWNrl031748 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:32:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BKWL7S004240 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:32:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BKWLlV004239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:32:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:32:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309112032.h8BKWLlV004239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 166E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 166E TO 46N 170E 43N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 173E TO 39N 174E 36N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 173E TO 40N 167E 40N 159E 40N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 151E TO 39N 138E 36N 130E 31N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 41N 142E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 36N 159E 36N 149E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 57N 142E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 46N 132E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 940 HPA AT 28.4N 125.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 173E TO 28N 179W 31N 170W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:12:56 2003 X-UIDL: 38638-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004W8I4YEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:55:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BKtmRc093307 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 04:55:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52pHH023608; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:48:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 824655 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:48:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BKmdrl070428 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:48:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BKmb7S004729 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:48:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BKmbJ7004728 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:48:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 15:48:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 025 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309112048.h8BKmbJ7004728@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 112100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- NEAR 28.4N4 125.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.4N4 125.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 31.9N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 35.9N7 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 40.0N4 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 43.9N6 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 50.1N6 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION NEAR 29.3N4 126.0E9. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM NORTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT RADAR AND 111730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 127 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z1 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6, 120900Z2, 121500Z9 AND 122100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:00 2003 X-UIDL: 38648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004PAQPLEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:00:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C00xhA030598 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:01:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52pMB023608; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 827683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BNtPrl041688 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8BNtN7S008085 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8BNtMcW008083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 18:55:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309112355.h8BNtMcW008083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 120000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/120000Z/120600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/111952ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 111800Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED NEAR 28.4N4 125.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 165 NM NORTHWEST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 112100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 32.6N1 142.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOW A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT VERY LITTLE DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON THE ORGANIZATION OF THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B. (1) AND UPDATED PARA 1.A. (1). FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:00 2003 X-UIDL: 38650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL2004K1T6NEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:54:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C0sPhA035125 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 08:54:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbPt067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 19:49:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 828460 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 19:49:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C0nBrl085094 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 19:49:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C0n87S008656 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 19:49:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C0n8BO008655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 19:49:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 19:49:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120049.h8C0n8BO008655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 120000 WARNING 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 945 HPA AT 30.5N 126.5E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 35.1N 127.7E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 39.2N 130.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 47.0N 144.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:02 2003 X-UIDL: 38653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL20042YX7REW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 10:21:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C2LURc024612 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 10:21:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8BEvbSX067212; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 829466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C2GSrl051496 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C2GQ7S009554 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C2GQ8l009553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120216.h8C2GQ8l009553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 26// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 120000Z3 TO 140000Z5 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH OF CHEJU ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. B. TY 15W IS TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE LONGWAVE TROUGH THAT TY 15W IS MERGING INTO IS PROVIDING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAKENING THE CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO EXPEDITE THE TRANSITION INTO A BAROCLINIC LOW BEGINNING BETWEEN TAU 12 AND 24. TY 15W IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE POLEWARD THROUGH THE EAST CHINA SEA TOWARDS THE KOREAN PENINSULA BEFORE EXITING INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN. TY 15W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY TAU 48. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5 AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TY 15W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS POLEWARD AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MOVES OVER COOLER WATER. TY 15W WILL WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT TRACKS OVER THE KOREAN PENINSULA AND THEN CONTINUES TRANSITION INTO TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. TY 15W IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETELY EXTRATROPICAL BY TAU 48. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A MEDIUM SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:03 2003 X-UIDL: 38654-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL200432X7VEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 10:21:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C2LXhA043270 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 10:21:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52pPB023608; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 829470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C2GSrl092242 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C2GQ7S009557 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C2GQMF009556 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:16:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 026 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120216.h8C2GQMF009556@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 30.6N9 126.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 126.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 35.0N8 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 38.7N8 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 42.9N5 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 46.7N7 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 31.7N1 127.0E0. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH OF CHEJU ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2, 121500Z9, 122100Z6 AND 130300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:03 2003 X-UIDL: 38656-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL20044DXWVEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 10:36:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C2aYhA044856 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 10:36:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52pPN023608; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:30:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 829646 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:30:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C2Ujrl029744 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:30:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C2Uh7S009709 for ; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C2UhS3009708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:30:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 11 Sep 2003 21:30:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120230.h8C2UhS3009708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 43N 175E 42N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 38N 178E 35N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 38N 171E 39N 165E 37N 158E 38N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 155E TO 39N 146E 38N 136E 35N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 46N 167E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 141E 43N 143E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 179W 34N 180E 34N 156E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 147E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 18N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 11N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 46N 136E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 41N 152E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 158E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 945 HPA AT 30.5N 126.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:06 2003 X-UIDL: 38667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL30045A84EEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:17:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C6H1hA067768 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:17:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52pVT023608; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 833188 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C6Bhrl014424 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C6Be7S011718 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C6BelU011716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:11:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120611.h8C6BelU011716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/120152ZSEP03// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH OF CHEJU ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 120300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 32.6N1 142.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOW A WELL DEFINED FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH WEAK CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT VERY LITTLE DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. BASED ON THE ORGANIZATION OF THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:07 2003 X-UIDL: 38669-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL3004QKA0TEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:58:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C6w7hA071216 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 14:58:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53Awr067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:52:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 833540 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:52:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C6qerl058336 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:52:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C6qc7S012020 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C6qcGq012019 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:52:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 01:52:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120652.h8C6qcGq012019@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 120600 WARNING 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 945 HPA AT 32.7N 127.1E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH 22 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 37.3N 129.6E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 41.2N 134.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 49.0N 146.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:08 2003 X-UIDL: 38673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL3004Q2EEMEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 16:32:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C8WkRc063529 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 16:32:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53AxJ067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:27:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 833793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C8Rvrl024772 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C8Rt7S012859 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C8Rs8g012858 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:27:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:27:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120827.h8C8Rs8g012858@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 174E TO 44N 176E 43N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 178E TO 39N 180E 35N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 178E TO 39N 175E 37N 168E 37N 162E 37N 156E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 156E TO 38N 148E 38N 136E 37N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 46N 169E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 35N 160E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1012 HPA AT 32N 142E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 149E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 18N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 44N 138E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 160E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 945 HPA AT 32.7N 127.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:09 2003 X-UIDL: 38674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL3004A0ERTEW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 16:40:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C8ebhA080580 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 16:40:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53AxL067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:34:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 833808 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:34:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C8Yrrl092216 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:34:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8C8Yp7S012949 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:34:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8C8YoJN012948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:34:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 03:34:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 027 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309120834.h8C8YoJN012948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 120900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 32.7N2 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 120 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.7N2 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 36.9N8 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 41.1N6 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 44.8N6 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 31 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 48.6N8 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 33.8N4 127.6E6. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 35 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF CHEJU ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9, 122100Z6, 130300Z7 AND 130900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:12 2003 X-UIDL: 38687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL3006GJQRIPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 20:59:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CCxhhA005545 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 20:59:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53A2r067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 07:49:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 835219 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 07:49:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CCnfrl023296 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 07:49:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CCnd7S015163 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 07:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CCndGX015162 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 07:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 07:49:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0314 Maemi (0314) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121249.h8CCndGX015162@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 121200 WARNING 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 950 HPA AT 34.9N 128.3E SOUTH OF KOREA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 24 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 39.2N 131.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 42.8N 137.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 50.0N 148.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:14 2003 X-UIDL: 38690-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL3006P5UPPPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:25:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CEP4hA013835 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:25:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53A5N067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:18:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 836380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:18:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CEIlrl027216 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:18:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CEIj7S017517 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:18:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CEIjN1017516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:18:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:18:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 028 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121418.h8CEIjN1017516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 34.8N5 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 23 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.8N5 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 39.1N3 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 43.0N7 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 46.7N7 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION NEAR 35.9N7 129.1E3. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM SOUTHWEST OF PUSAN, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHEAST AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, RECENT MICROWAVE AND RADAR FIXES. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6, 130300Z7, 130900Z3 AND 131500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:14 2003 X-UIDL: 38691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL3006UAUSHPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:26:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CEQZRc003612 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:26:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53A5P067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:21:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 836407 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:21:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CEKxrl027286 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:20:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CEKv7S017571 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:20:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CEKvRl017570 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:20:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:20:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 15w (maemi)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121420.h8CEKvRl017570@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI)/ WARNING NR 28// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 121200Z6 TO 141200Z8 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM SOUTHWEST OF PUSAN, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, RECENT MICROWAVE AND RADAR FIXES. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. B. TY 15W IS TRACKING POLEWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE LONGWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING TY 15W FROM THE WEST IS PROVIDING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAKENING THE CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO EXPEDITE THE TRANSITION OF TY 15W INTO A BAROCLINIC LOW BEGINNING BETWEEN TAU 12 AND 24. TY 15W IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE POLEWARD ACROSS THE KOREAN PENINSULA AND WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. AFTER ENTERING THE SEA OF JAPAN, TY 15W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY TAU 36. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS, AFWA MM5 AND GFDN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE AIDS. C. TY 15W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS OVER THE KOREAN PENINSULA AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR RESULTING FROM INTERACTION WITH THE LONG WAVE TROUGH TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 15W WILL WEAKEN FURTHER AS IT TRACKS OVER THE KOREAN PENINSULA AND THEN CONTINUES TRANSITION INTO TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. TY 15W IS FORECAST BE EXTRATROPICAL BY TAU 36. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A MEDIUM SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/CATES/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:14 2003 X-UIDL: 38692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL300686V3CPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:33:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CEXBhA014573 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 22:33:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8B52paV023608; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:28:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 836502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CES1rl085038 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CERx7S017762 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CERwwP017761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:27:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 09:27:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121427.h8CERwwP017761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 44N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 175E TO 44N 179E 42N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 179W TO 38N 178W 35N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 179W TO 36N 172E 35N 167E 36N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 160E TO 38N 150E 40N 140E 39N 135E 38N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 41N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 34N 180E 34N 166E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1012 HPA AT 33N 142E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 58N 146E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 155E ESE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 16N 109E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 29N 117E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 42N 150E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 156E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0314 MAEMI (0314) 950 HPA AT 34.9N 128.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:19 2003 X-UIDL: 38707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006YY79MPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:56:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CIuBhA046449 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:56:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8C53AN5067272; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 13:49:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 841811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 13:49:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CInVrl045886 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 13:49:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CInS7S025286 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 13:49:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CInSVu025285 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 13:49:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 13:49:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) Downgraded From Typhoon 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309121849.h8CInSVu025285@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 121800 WARNING 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 970 HPA AT 37.0N 129.8E WESTSOUTHWEST OF ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 24 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 40.5N 133.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 43.4N 139.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 49.0N 149.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:20 2003 X-UIDL: 38713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL40064VBV2PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:35:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CKZSRc052559 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:35:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CKGHs9067090; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:31:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 843642 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CKV1rl032744 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CKUw7S028267 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CKUwrg028266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:30:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:30:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309122030.h8CKUwrg028266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 45N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 176E TO 45N 180E 43N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 178W TO 40N 177W 36N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 178W TO 38N 177E 35N 171E 34N 166E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 166E TO 36N 158E 39N 149E 41N 138E 39N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 42N 140E 44N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 33N 161E 35N 149E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 34N 143E NE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 58N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 16N 109E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 30N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 151E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 158E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 970 HPA AT 37.0N 129.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:21 2003 X-UIDL: 38715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006K9CZ6PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:59:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CKxWRc055006 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 04:59:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CKGHwZ067090; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:52:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 844479 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CKqJrl092336 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8CKqG7S028828 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:52:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8CKqGSO028827 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:52:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 15:52:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 15w (maemi) Warning Nr 029 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309122052.h8CKqGSO028827@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 36.9N8 129.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 36.9N8 129.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 40.9N3 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 44.6N4 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 47.4N5 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 37.9N9 130.8E2. TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM NORTHEAST OF TAEGU, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS, RADAR OBSERVATIONS, AND 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. TY 15W SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED WHILE TRANSITING THE KOREAN PENINSULA. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TY 15W IS UNDERGOING TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7, 130900Z3, 131500Z0 AND 132100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:23 2003 X-UIDL: 38722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006YBNXHPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 08:56:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D0u6Rc076476 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 08:56:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CL6CxH035684; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 19:50:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 847040 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 19:50:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D0o9rl006046 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 19:50:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D0o77S002340 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 19:50:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D0o62U002339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 19:50:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 19:50:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130050.h8D0o62U002339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 130000 WARNING 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 975 HPA AT 39.1N 131.8E WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 26 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 41.6N 136.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 44.7N 143.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 12:13:24 2003 X-UIDL: 38728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL4006L4SJ9PB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 10:35:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D2ZZRc087086 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 10:35:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CL6C25035684; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 21:31:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 847798 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 21:31:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D2VNrl055138 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 21:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D2VL7S003154 for ; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 21:31:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D2VLea003153 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Sep 2003 21:31:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 12 Sep 2003 21:31:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130231.h8D2VLea003153@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 46N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 177E TO 43N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 177W TO 33N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 177W TO 33N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 162E TO 38N 152E 41N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 34N 180E 31N 162E 36N 152E 37N 145E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 35N 145E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 15N 109E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 11N 142E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 140E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 44N 154E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 32N 155E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 975 HPA AT 39.1N 131.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 13 15:24:30 2003 X-UIDL: 38735-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5006AM4KQPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 14:55:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D6tbhA015627 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 14:55:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53fu9080770; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 01:49:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 849910 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 01:49:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D6ncrl006006 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 01:49:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D6na7S005172 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 01:49:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D6naUl005171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 01:49:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 01:49:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130649.h8D6naUl005171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 130600 WARNING 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 980 HPA AT 40.5N 134.6E MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 43.4N 140.7E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 46.4N 146.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:45:48 2003 X-UIDL: 38737-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL50063J5XCPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:24:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D7OpRc015825 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:24:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53ctp033938; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 850199 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D7JArl085092 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D7J77S005366 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D7J75x005364 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 02:19:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130719.h8D7J75x005364@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z-140600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/130152ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED NEAR 38.7N8 131.6E1, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TAEGU, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:45:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5006U49ABPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 16:37:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D8bKRc022729 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 16:37:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CLAS0Z013226; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:32:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 850412 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:32:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D8W0rl004356 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:32:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D8Vw7S006014 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:31:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D8Vwba006013 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:31:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:31:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130831.h8D8Vwba006013@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 47N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 176E TO 47N 180E 46N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 178W TO 43N 174W 40N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 178W TO 39N 179W 35N 177E 32N 172E 32N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 550 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 142E 43N 146E 46N 151E 51N 159E 60N 165E 60N 180E 29N 180E 30N 162E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 16N 110E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 44N 154E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 31N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 33N 124E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 980 HPA AT 40.5N 134.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 135E TO 40N 148E 35N 159E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:45:57 2003 X-UIDL: 38744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5006H29QOPB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 16:47:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D8lChA025437 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 16:47:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53fvr080770; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:42:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 850449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:42:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D8gHrl038394 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:42:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8D8gF7S006132 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:42:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8D8gEkW006129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 03:42:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Downgraded From Typhoon 15w Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309130842.h8D8gEkW006129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 130900 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15W (MAEMI) WARNING NR 031 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 15W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 40.5N9 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 40.5N9 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 44.2N0 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 47.3N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 49.6N9 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 41.4N9 136.2E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15W (MAEMI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM WEST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED AND THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS SHEARED 100 NM TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. TS 15W HAS COMPLETED EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST AND WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:05 2003 X-UIDL: 38754-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL5009M6L94OC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 20:55:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DCtshA046715 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 20:55:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8CLAS1T013226; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 07:50:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 851320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 07:50:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DCoTrl029950 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 07:50:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DCoR7S008364 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 07:50:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DCoRNg008363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 07:50:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 07:50:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309131250.h8DCoRNg008363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 131200 WARNING 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 980 HPA AT 42.3N 138.1E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 44.8N 145.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 986 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 47.0N 149.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 986 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:07 2003 X-UIDL: 38757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL50099QPVOOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Sep 2003 22:35:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DEZbRc058885 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 22:35:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53f2R080770; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 09:31:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 851948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 09:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DEV8rl029652 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 09:31:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DEV67S009371 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 09:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DEV64m009370 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 09:31:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 09:31:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309131431.h8DEV64m009370@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 48N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 176E TO 47N 180E 46N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 177W TO 43N 174W 40N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 177W TO 43N 176W 39N 179W 32N 176E 31N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 59N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E 30N 160E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 51N 138E ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 138E TO 50N 146E 49N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 138E TO 48N 136E 47N 133E 43N 130E 40N 123E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 15N 109E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 31N 127E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 29N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 44N 156E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 980 HPA AT 42.3N 138.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 43N 140E TO 38N 149E 35N 155E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:11 2003 X-UIDL: 38765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL6009OX21HOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 02:58:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DIwWRc087363 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 02:58:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFMm0X036932; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 13:49:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 855125 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 13:49:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DInGrl032106 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 13:49:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DInD7S012060 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 13:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DInDes012059 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 13:49:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 13:49:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0314 Maemi (0314) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309131849.h8DInDes012059@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 131800 WARNING 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 980 HPA AT 44.7N 141.2E WEST OF HOKKAIDO MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 48.0N 146.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 986 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 50.3N 149.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 984 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:13 2003 X-UIDL: 38769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL60096O6CGOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:31:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DKVThA092283 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 04:31:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8D53c3T033938; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:26:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 856072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:26:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DKQcrl032044 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:26:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8DKQa7S013032 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:26:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8DKQaKi013031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:26:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 15:26:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309132026.h8DKQaKi013031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 48N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 176E TO 48N 180E 48N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 176W TO 45N 172W 41N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 176W TO 37N 178W 31N 177E 30N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 142E 40N 143E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 28N 180E 30N 163E 37N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 141E ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 141E TO 53N 145E 50N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 141E TO 49N 136E 41N 128E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 16N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 12N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 31N 127E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 157E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 40N 161E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 980 HPA AT 44.7N 141.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 45N 142E TO 41N 149E 37N 156E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:17 2003 X-UIDL: 38778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL60092CNL1OC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:43:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E2hkQX025216 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:43:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8DFMm9j036932; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:37:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 859696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:37:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E2bBrl092186 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:37:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E2b87S016762 for ; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:37:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E2b8YL016761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:37:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 13 Sep 2003 21:37:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140237.h8E2b8YL016761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0314 MAEMI (0314) 984 HPA AT 45N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 146E TO 44N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 149E TO 37N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 149E TO 32N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 48N 148E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 50N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 48N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 175E TO 49N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 178W TO 42N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 178W TO 42N 178W 35N 179W 28N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 145E 40N 148E 45N 145E 47N 151E 49N 154E 60N 163E 60N 180E 49N 180E 39N 159E 36N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 54N 142E NE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 16N 110E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 11N 139E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 33N 126E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 157E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:21 2003 X-UIDL: 38785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL6009J8VAAOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:30:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E5UDxa034760 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 13:30:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54ptX105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 861133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E5QWrl041540 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E5QT7S018049 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E5QTwY018047 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 00:26:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140526.h8E5QTwY018047@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z-150600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:24 2003 X-UIDL: 38790-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL7009T23SNOC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:33:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E8Y0QX057052 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 16:34:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pvB105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:30:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 861851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:30:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E8UGrl031434 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:30:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8E8UD7S019413 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8E8UD6d019412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:30:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309140830.h8E8UD6d019412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 46N 148E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 148E TO 45N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 151E TO 41N 156E 37N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 151E TO 40N 152E 36N 148E 34N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 49N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 47N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 175E TO 51N 178E 52N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 176W TO 49N 170W 46N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 176W TO 44N 172W 37N 174W 29N 180E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 148E 45N 148E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 28N 180E 34N 162E 36N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 17N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 45N 125E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 158E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:29 2003 X-UIDL: 38798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL7009VT886OC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 18:09:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EA9cxa056806 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 18:09:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pwZ105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 05:05:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 862494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 05:05:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EA5Hrl021180 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 05:05:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EA5E7S020035 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 05:05:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EA5EuP020034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 05:05:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 05:05:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141005.h8EA5EuP020034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 141000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/132051ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12E WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 16.1N8 108.6W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 108.6W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.5N3 109.0W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 19.0N0 109.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 20.5N7 111.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 21.5N8 112.5W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.5N9 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 140600Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 108.6W5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 12E, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140600Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 132051Z2 SEP 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 132100). NEXT WARNINGS AT 141600Z2, 142200Z9, 150400Z0, AND 151000Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:39 2003 X-UIDL: 38807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL700B5XKBUYP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:31:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EEV9QX089480 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 22:31:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54p21105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:28:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 864231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:28:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EESJrl086028 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EESH7S022224 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:28:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EESHDK022223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:28:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 09:28:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309141428.h8EESHDK022223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 47N 149E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 149E TO 46N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 154E TO 42N 160E 38N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 154E TO 40N 155E 37N 152E 34N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 49N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 46N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 172E TO 52N 179E 52N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 176W TO 49N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 176W TO 47N 172W 42N 173W 35N 173W 30N 177W. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 147E 51N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 25N 180E 30N 150E 44N 147E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 58N 141E NORTH 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 17N 110E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 35N 125E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 45N 128E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 157E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:47 2003 X-UIDL: 38825-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800BKG10WYP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:31:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EKVlQX034477 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 04:31:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pBT105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 869960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EKSErl080856 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8EKSC7S025503 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8EKSCIN025502 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 15:28:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309142028.h8EKSCIN025502@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 48N 150E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 150E TO 46N 154E 44N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 157E TO 42N 161E 38N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 157E TO 38N 158E 34N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 50N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 48N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 46N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 150E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 34N 166E 34N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 56N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 19N 111E NW SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 130E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:53 2003 X-UIDL: 38840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800DMKHPE9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 10:32:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F2W4QX072999 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 10:32:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E54pLd105636; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:28:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 874450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:28:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F2SHrl004436 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F2SE7S028679 for ; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F2SEMQ028678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:28:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2003 21:28:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150228.h8F2SEMQ028678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 50N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 149E TO 47N 155E 44N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 160E TO 41N 165E 38N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 160E TO 38N 160E 34N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 46N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 150E 53N 160E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 34N 170E 34N 152E 40N 157E 46N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 20N 110E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 41N 130E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 27N 151E WEST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 109E TO 30N 115E 32N 120E 30N 126E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38857-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800D2IPBA9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 13:16:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5GPxa072117 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 13:16:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F52Nsh105640; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 876294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5DZrl019506 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F5DX7S000174 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F5DXrW000172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 00:13:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150513.h8F5DXrW000172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z-160600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 17:47:09 2003 X-UIDL: 38878-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL800DZ1YD19U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:31:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F8VpQX016808 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:31:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Pxtf049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:27:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 877200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F8Rdrl054048 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:27:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8F8Ra7S001728 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:27:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8F8Ra21001727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:27:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 03:27:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309150827.h8F8Ra21001727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 49N 151E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 151E TO 43N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 162E TO 38N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 162E TO 35N 161E 32N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 150E 52N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 36N 168E 40N 157E 46N 150E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 20N 110E NNW SLOWLY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12N 136E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 133E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 158E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 23:18:52 2003 X-UIDL: 38900-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DTJAKX9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:55:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FCtlxa022585 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 20:55:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Pxx1049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 878297 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FCo6rl069488 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FCo37S003850 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FCo3Vw003849 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 07:50:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151250.h8FCo3Vw003849@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 151300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/REISSUED/151300Z-160600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 14.3N8 135.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 495 NM WEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 151021Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT UNORGANIZED CONVECTION CYCLING AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA TO PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/DAMRON/LAM/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 15 23:18:58 2003 X-UIDL: 38909-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DYXF3X9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:33:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FEXcQX059753 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 22:33:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8F5Px1B049822; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:28:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 879247 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FESVrl004574 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:28:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FESP7S006613 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FESPqA006612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 09:28:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309151428.h8FESPqA006612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 50N 151E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12.1N 134.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 149E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 34N 166E 40N 157E 45N 149E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 21N 110E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 167E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 29N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 136E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 167E TO 39N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 167E TO 35N 165E 31N 154E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:43:59 2003 X-UIDL: 38937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900D5TW0E9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 04:38:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FKciQX005030 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 04:38:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FIDWxD031256; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:29:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 886940 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:29:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FKTHrl049918 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:29:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FKTF7S017858 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:29:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FKTErA017857 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:29:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 15:29:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309152029.h8FKTErA017857@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 12.8N 133.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 14.0N 129.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 49N 152E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 151E TO 48N 163E 42N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 169E TO 40N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 169E TO 33N 165E 31N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 179W 36N 180E 33N 164E 40N 153E 46N 150E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 21N 110E NNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 141E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 175E TO 41N 179E 40N 171W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 09:44:01 2003 X-UIDL: 38942-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HL900DVHZ2A9U@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 05:44:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FLiexa081151 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 05:44:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8EAEkSN021002; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:32:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 888573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:32:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8FLWcrl040314 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:32:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8FLWZ7S019331 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8FLWZbi019330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:32:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 16:32:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Hurricane 12e (linda) Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309152132.h8FLWZbi019330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 152200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. HURRICANE 12E (LINDA) WARNING NR 007 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 12E 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 19.8N8 113.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 113.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 20.8N0 114.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.5N8 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 21.8N1 117.1W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 21.8N1 118.5W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 21.5N8 121.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.0N3 123.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.5N7 125.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 151800Z5 POSITION NEAR 19.8N8 113.2W7. HURRICANE (HR) 12E (LINDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM NORTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151800Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT HR 12E HAS FORMED A 25 NM CLOUD FILLED BANDING EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160400Z1, 161000Z8, 161600Z4 AND 162200Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 15:32:08 2003 X-UIDL: 38969-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HA2CKV3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:36:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G2aWxa011480 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 10:36:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55NgJ005952; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:28:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 892470 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G2SYrl057912 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:28:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G2SV7S023160 for ; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:28:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G2SV4p023159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:28:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 15 Sep 2003 21:28:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160228.h8G2SV4p023159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.1N 133.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 15.5N 130.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 49N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 158E TO 48N 164E 41N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 170E TO 39N 174E 38N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 170E TO 34N 168E 31N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 148E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 30N 160E 35N 153E 45N 148E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 21N 109E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 994 HPA AT 51N 128E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 146E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 128E TO 50N 131E 49N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 128E TO 48N 129E 44N 127E 42N 121E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 15:32:16 2003 X-UIDL: 38986-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HXVK853Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:21:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G5Lkxa030925 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 13:21:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52ZsB053236; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 894582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G5Airl023710 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G5Af7S024793 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G5Af7d024791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 00:10:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160510.h8G5Af7d024791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z-170600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.3N8 135.3E2 IS NOW RE-LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 131.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES REVEAL A BROAD MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER AN EQUALLY BROAD SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED TROUGH NEAR THE SURFACE. DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS CYCLIC AND DISORGANIZED WITH WEAKEST CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVING ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/RONSSE/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 16 17:47:12 2003 X-UIDL: 39007-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLA00HIVTQW3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:47:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G8lQxa054163 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 16:47:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8E55Nkl005952; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:26:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 895905 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G8QWrl052848 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:26:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8G8QT7S026276 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8G8QTlu026275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:26:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 03:26:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309160826.h8G8QTlu026275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.8N 130.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 16.5N 126.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 48N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 148E 48N 154E 55N 163E 60N 163E 60N 180E 35N 180E 37N 160E 40N 153E 45N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 52N 129E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 146E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 129E TO 51N 132E 49N 133E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 133E TO 48N 135E 46N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 133E TO 44N 130E 41N 119E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:20:58 2003 X-UIDL: 39028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00H4C9R63Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:33:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GEXCxa094246 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 22:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8G52O61014208; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:27:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 898254 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GEQxrl010142 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GEQv7S000801 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:26:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GEQvWQ000800 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:26:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 09:26:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309161426.h8GEQvWQ000800@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 14.8N 128.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 17.4N 124.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 151E 53N 160E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 37N 160E 40N 154E 46N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 131E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 149E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 131E TO 52N 134E 49N 137E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 137E TO 48N 139E 46N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 137E TO 46N 135E 43N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:09 2003 X-UIDL: 39055-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLB00HSHQMW3Z@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:37:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GKbnQX090776 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 04:37:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJkstx014210; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:28:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 905373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GKS8rl016878 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:28:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8GKS57S012695 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8GKS5GQ012693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 15:28:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309162028.h8GKS5GQ012693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 15.4N 128.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 18.2N 124.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 37N 158E 42N 152E 46N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 51N 139E ENE 15 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 49N 168E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 150E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 170E EAST 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 139E TO 49N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 142E TO 47N 144E 44N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 142E TO 44N 139E 41N 129E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 10:21:20 2003 X-UIDL: 39083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KZT5NLSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:02:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H22EQX030670 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:02:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJks7b014210; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 20:54:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 909961 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 20:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H1sOrl072762 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 20:54:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H1sL7S018104 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 20:54:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H1sLD8018103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 20:54:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 20:54:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtpn21 Pgtw 161330)// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170154.h8H1sLD8018103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 170100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 170051Z SEP 03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/161321Z SEP 03// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 161330)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 210 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.1N7 126.7E6 TO 17.8N6 119.3E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 170000Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 125.6E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 22 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 130.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 125.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 162215Z7 MICROWAVE PASS REVEAL A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWEST EDGE OF A BROAD TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO OVERALL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 180100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:40 2003 X-UIDL: 39084-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KWN6S1SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:26:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H2QSQX034007 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:26:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GJks8N014210; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 910235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H2KNrl038798 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H2KK7S018333 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H2KKIA018331 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:20:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170220.h8H2KKIA018331@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 170130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN /AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/170130Z-170600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160051Z SEP 03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 130.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 125.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 162215Z7 MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWEST END OF A BROAD TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 170100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO OVERALL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18.7N6 130.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 480 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND A 162215Z7 MICROWAVE PASS INDICATE THE AREA IS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST EDGE OF A BROAD TROUGH. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO REVEALS THAT THE AREA REMAINS DISORGANIZED, BUT IS LOCATED UNDER AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) AND ADDED SUSPECT AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:41 2003 X-UIDL: 39086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00K68762SS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:34:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H2Yuxa075724 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 10:34:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GAEWAv053008; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 910611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H2VHrl065604 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H2VE7S018462 for ; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H2VETO018461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 21:31:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170231.h8H2VETO018461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 15.8N 128.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 18.7N 123.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 39N 180E 31N 170E 29N 158E 34N 153E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 53N 139E NE 10 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 49N 168E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 152E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 139E TO 52N 142E 50N 144E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 144E TO 48N 147E 45N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 144E TO 45N 140E 41N 130E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 139E TO 28N 150E 30N 160E 31N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 14:32:50 2003 X-UIDL: 39114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00KIQF8WSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 13:29:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H5TPxa097625 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 13:29:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7L5H040394; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:25:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 913441 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:25:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H5P0rl086172 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:25:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H5Os7S019900 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:24:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H5OrTv019897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:24:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 00:24:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170524.h8H5OrTv019897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170051ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 125.6E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7N3 124.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND MULTIPLE MICROWAVE PASSES REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWEST END OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 170100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO OVERALL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.7N6 130.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.3N3 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND ANIMATED MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL THE AREA IS LOCATED ON THE NORTHEAST EDGE OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO REVEALS THAT THE AREA REMAINS DISORGANIZED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/FIORINO/RONSSE/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:21 2003 X-UIDL: 39133-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLC00LJVNRDDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:33:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H8XIQX085301 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:33:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t15079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:27:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 914608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H8Rorl051536 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8H8Rl7S021481 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8H8RlKU021480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 03:27:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309170827.h8H8RlKU021480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 17.5N 128.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 19.4N 125.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 30N 170E 27N 160E 30N 150E 43N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 52N 142E EAST 10 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 49N 171E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 155E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 24N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 142E TO 51N 144E 51N 145E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 145E TO 48N 148E 45N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 145E TO 46N 144E 44N 139E 43N 132E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 139E TO 28N 146E 27N 152E 29N 160E 32N 170E 31N 175E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:30 2003 X-UIDL: 39157-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00K1P0RUSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 21:14:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HDEMxa050948 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 21:14:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7L9d040394; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:07:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 916554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:07:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HD7Frl062916 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:07:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HD7C7S024106 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:07:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HD7CSs024105 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:07:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:07:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtpn21 Pgtw 170100)// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171307.h8HD7CSs024105@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN22 PGTW 171300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 171251ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170051ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 170100)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.3N3 130.5E9 TO 22.5N9 127.8E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 171125Z7 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 130.3E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTH WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.3N3 130.5E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 130.3E7, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BEGUN TO CONSOLIDATE AND IMPROVE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 181300Z3. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 125.6E4. 5. JUSTIFICATION: THIS CORRECTS THE PROPER MANOP TO REFLECT WTPN22 PGTW 171300.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 17 21:30:31 2003 X-UIDL: 39158-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00K4S0VYSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 21:16:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HDGrxa051290 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 21:16:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t6R079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 916534 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HD68rl034538 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HD657S024080 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HD64k7024078 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 08:06:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171306.h8HD64k7024078@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 171330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/171330Z/180600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170051ZSEP2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171251ZSEP2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 125.6E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.7N3 124.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND MULTIPLE MICROWAVE PASSES REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHWEST END OF BROAD TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 170100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO OVERALL FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.3N3 130.5E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 130.3E7, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BEGUN TO CONSOLIDATE AND IMPROVE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/RONSSE/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:17 2003 X-UIDL: 39165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00K6G4JUSS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:35:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HEa0QX031835 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 22:36:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8H38t9H079428; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:28:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 917632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:28:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HERwrl019744 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HERt7S026157 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HERtBE026156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 09:27:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309171427.h8HERtBE026156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 19.2N 130.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 21.0N 127.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 161E 46N 160E 46N 167E 40N 170E 41N 161E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 145E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 33N 180E 32N 165E 40N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 118E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 142E NE 10 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 49N 174E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 157E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 26N 172E EAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 142E TO 52N 146E 51N 147E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 147E TO 48N 150E 46N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 147E TO 47N 146E 44N 141E 43N 132E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 154E TO 29N 160E 32N 167E 32N 170E 32N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:26 2003 X-UIDL: 39190-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LJTLBWDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:38:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HKcOxa004358 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:38:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8GL7LOd040394; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:27:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 924720 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HKRgrl021046 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:27:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HKRd7S006462 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HKRdxa006461 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 15:27:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172027.h8HKRdxa006461@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 20.2N 129.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 21.7N 127.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 160E 50N 169E 45N 175E 40N 163E 49N 160E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 142E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 33N 164E 39N 151E 41N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 122E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 145E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 176E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 157E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 122E TO 37N 125E 37N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 122E TO 36N 119E 35N 113E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 145E TO 52N 148E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 148E TO 49N 150E 46N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 148E TO 46N 146E 43N 139E 42N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 157E TO 30N 164E 32N 170E 32N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:28 2003 X-UIDL: 39193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LV6N7ODQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:19:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HLJ6xa008804 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:19:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifY5021130; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:10:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 925841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:10:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HLAVX9023432 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:10:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HLAS7S007867 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:10:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HLAR4a007866 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:10:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:10:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172110.h8HLAR4a007866@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 172100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171251ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 20.6N8 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 21.7N0 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 22.5N9 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 23.5N0 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 24.2N8 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 25.1N8 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.9N1 129.1E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. THE LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE REVERSE ORIENTED MONSOON TROUGH IS STILL VERY UNCERTAIN. A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE NORTH IS CURRENTLY IMPROVING OUTFLOW AND ENHANCING INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:28 2003 X-UIDL: 39195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00L42NHPDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:25:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HLP7QX092423 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 05:25:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifYx053254; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:14:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 925896 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:14:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HLEaX9052908 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:14:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HLEX7S007960 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:14:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HLEXQn007959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:14:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 16:14:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172114.h8HLEXQn007959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 172100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171251ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 20.6N8 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 21.7N0 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 22.5N9 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 23.5N0 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 24.2N8 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 25.1N8 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.9N1 129.1E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. THE LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE REVERSE ORIENTED MONSOON TROUGH IS STILL VERY UNCERTAIN. A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE NORTH IS CURRENTLY IMPROVING OUTFLOW AND ENHANCING INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:33 2003 X-UIDL: 39203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LBVQZHDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 06:40:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HMeaxa016255 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 06:40:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifaL021130; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 927316 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HMaOX9054824 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HMaL7S009529 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HMaLDX009527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 17:36:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172236.h8HMaLDX009527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 172230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/172230Z/180600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171951ZSEP2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171851ZSEP2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171800Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 172100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 130.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 124.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEING DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 171900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 130.3E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.A.(1) TO REFLECT RECENTLY ISSUED WARNING FOR 16W, DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM GOOD TO POOR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 08:01:34 2003 X-UIDL: 39205-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LHKSHXDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 07:13:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8HNDFxa019288 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 07:13:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKnNbF038874; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 927889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HN5IX9016852 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8HN5F7S009924 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8HN5FHn009922 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 18:05:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309172305.h8HN5FHn009922@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 172230 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/172230Z/180600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171951ZSEP2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171851ZSEP2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171800Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N8 129.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 172100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 130.6E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 124.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BEING DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 171900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.8N8 130.3E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.A.(1) TO REFLECT RECENTLY ISSUED WARNING FOR 16W, DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM GOOD TO POOR. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED LAT/LONG POSITION FOR TD 16W IN PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 10:27:39 2003 X-UIDL: 39214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLD00LQWXADDQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 08:56:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8I0uhQX015397 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 08:56:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifdX021130; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 19:48:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 929023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 19:48:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I0mlX9051606 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 19:48:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8I0mi7S011285 for ; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 19:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8I0miwv011284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Sep 2003 19:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 17 Sep 2003 19:48:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0315 Choi-wan (0315) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309180048.h8I0miwv011284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 180000 WARNING 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 994 HPA AT 21.4N 128.5E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 22.7N 126.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 24.5N 124.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 25.5N 124.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 17:19:55 2003 X-UIDL: 39240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE001MLBQOWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 14:08:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8I68txa064137 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 14:08:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I54OZD053256; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 934081 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I62MX9052862 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8I62J7S016243 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8I62JcR016241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:02:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309180602.h8I62JcR016241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) (CHOI-WAN) 16W WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.3N6 128.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 124.1E8, HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO A POSITION NEAR 17.5N3 121.0E4, OVER NORTHWESTERN LUZON. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGHING OVER LUZON. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 17:20:00 2003 X-UIDL: 39245-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE0015BE7HWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 15:02:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8I72Cxa071080 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 15:02:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifkF021130; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:55:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 934486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:55:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I6tnX9100878 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:55:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8I6tk7S016731 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8I6tk1Q016730 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:55:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 01:55:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309180655.h8I6tk1Q016730@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 180600 WARNING 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 990 HPA AT 22.2N 128.7E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 23.4N 127.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 24.6N 127.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 26.0N 127.5E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 27.5N 128.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 18 18:03:05 2003 X-UIDL: 39267-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE001X0L8SWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:34:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8I9Y7xa090013 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 17:34:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I54Obd053256; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:28:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 935575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:28:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8I9SIX9051656 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:28:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8I9SF7S018212 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8I9SFbi018211 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 04:28:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 003a Relocated Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309180928.h8I9SFbi018211@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 180900 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 003A RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 21.4N7 127.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 127.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 22.8N2 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 23.8N3 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 24.6N2 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 25.4N1 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 27.8N7 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 21.7N0 126.8E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND AN 180130Z3 SSM/I PASS SUGGEST TWO POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS. BASED ON THE LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, THE LOCATION OF TD 16W IS RELOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 12 FEET. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED RELOCATED TO MESSAGE. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5, 182100Z2, 190300Z3, AND 190900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 00:04:57 2003 X-UIDL: 39282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE001H9UH8WE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 20:53:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ICrbxa011469 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 20:53:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifoL021130; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 07:49:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 937435 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 07:49:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ICnFX9047108 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 07:49:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8ICnB7S019992 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 07:49:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8ICnB7k019991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 07:49:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 07:49:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181249.h8ICnB7k019991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 181200 WARNING 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 990 HPA AT 22.8N 127.7E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 23.7N 126.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 24.7N 126.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 26.0N 127.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 27.5N 129.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 00:05:11 2003 X-UIDL: 39288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLE0014CZJRWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:43:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IEh4xa025428 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:43:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vgl105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 09:31:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 939733 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 09:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IEVaX9079452 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 09:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IEVU7S022757 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 09:31:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IEVUrh022756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 09:31:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 09:31:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181431.h8IEVUrh022756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 130E NEAR ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 130E TO 38N 134E 38N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 130E TO 34N 127E 32N 117E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 50N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 31N 180E 28N 163E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 142E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 161E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 990 HPA AT 22.8N 127.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 145E TO 53N 149E 50N 152E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 152E TO 47N 155E 43N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 152E TO 46N 150E 43N 143E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 00:05:11 2003 X-UIDL: 39289-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF001PM13ZWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:16:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IFGrxa029253 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:16:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vk5105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:09:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 940473 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:09:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IF9HX9034372 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:09:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IF9E7S024272 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:09:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IF9EjN024271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:09:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:09:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 16w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181509.h8IF9EjN024271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W/ (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 181200Z2 TO 211200Z6 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN 181121Z4 SSM/I PASS INDICATE THAT A DEEP CONVECTIVE BAND HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE. B. TD 16W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS ALONG THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE KOREAN PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TD 16W WILL SLOWLY TRACK POLEWARD AFTER 24 HOURS AND THEN TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), COAMPS, JGSM, AND JTYM MODELS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST TRACK. NOGAPS AND EGRR DEVELOP A STRONGER RIDGE AND TRANSITION TD 16W TO A POLEWARD TRACK FASTER THAN THE OTHER MODELS. GFDN IS THE WESTERN OUTLIER, INTERACTING TD 16W WITH A SYSTEM WEST OF LUZON. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GFDN. C. TD 16W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OF 1.0 DVORAK/DAY THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN MORE SLOWLY THROUGH 72 HOURS. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 00:05:12 2003 X-UIDL: 39291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF0015H1ALWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:20:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IFKoQX025138 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 23:20:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKnNpv038874; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:10:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 940509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:10:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IFAUX9023510 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:10:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IFAR7S024328 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:10:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IFAQS2024327 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:10:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 10:10:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181510.h8IFAQS2024327@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 22.5N9 126.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 126.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.8N3 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.6N2 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 25.5N2 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 26.6N4 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 28.7N7 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.8N2 126.7E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH- WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AN 181121Z4 SSM/I PASS, AND AN 180946Z8 QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN 181121Z4 SSM/I PASS INDICATE THAT A DEEP CONVECTIVE BAND HAS FORMED IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THE NEXT WARNINGS ARE AT 182100Z2, 190300Z3, 190900Z9, AND 191500Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:28:25 2003 X-UIDL: 39304-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF001TWBG3WE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:00:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IJ0AQX053203 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:00:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0v3L105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 13:52:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 946379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 13:52:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IIqFX9019558 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 13:52:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IIqC7S001762 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 13:52:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IIqB4H001761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 13:52:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 13:52:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309181852.h8IIqB4H001761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 181800 WARNING 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 990 HPA AT 23.6N 127.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 25.1N 127.1E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 26.1N 127.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 28.0N 130.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 30.0N 132.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:28:50 2003 X-UIDL: 39312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF001OZG4AWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:40:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8IKf4xa067644 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 04:41:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0v9T105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 15:29:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 948683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 15:29:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IKSwX9098986 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 15:28:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IKSt7S004793 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 15:28:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IKStil004792 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 15:28:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 15:28:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309182028.h8IKStil004792@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 144E TO 42N 147E 42N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 144E TO 39N 142E 38N 138E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 34N 180E 28N 164E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 132E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 990 HPA AT 23.6N 127.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 132E TO 38N 135E 38N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 132E TO 34N 126E 32N 118E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:28:51 2003 X-UIDL: 39315-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF004ADHZVE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:21:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8ILLcxa073062 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 05:21:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vDN105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:09:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 949615 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:09:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IL9hX9043840 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:09:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8IL9e7S005967 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:09:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8IL9eLD005966 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:09:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 16:09:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309182109.h8IL9eLD005966@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 182100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 23.6N1 127.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 127.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 24.9N5 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.7N4 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 26.4N2 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 27.4N3 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 29.6N7 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 32.3N8 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 36.0N9 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 23.9N4 127.3E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (CH0I-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. TS 16W CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY WITH MUCH OF THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION LOCATED ON THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. THE CERTAINTY OF POSITION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS INCREASED GREATLY WITH THE AVAILABILITY OF RADAR OBSERVATIONS FROM NAHA, OKINAWA. THE RECENT RADAR FIXES HAVE JUSTIFIED A 40 NM EASTWARD SHIFT OF THE BEST TRACK. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3, 190900Z9, 191500Z6 AND 192100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:00 2003 X-UIDL: 39328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF004P1S3IE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 08:59:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J0xmxa095138 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 08:59:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKnNDD038874; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 19:52:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 953841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 19:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J0qIX9014168 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 19:52:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J0qF7S010051 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 19:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J0qFDY010050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 19:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 19:52:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0315 Choi-wan (0315) Upgraded From Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190052.h8J0qFDY010050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 190000 WARNING 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 24.9N 127.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTH 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 26.7N 127.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 27.4N 128.4E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 29.5N 131.0E WITH 190 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 34.0N 135.0E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:09 2003 X-UIDL: 39339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLF001LYWJZWE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:35:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J2a7QX011003 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 10:36:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vT5105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:28:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 955206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J2SZX9012504 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:28:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J2SW7S011152 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:28:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J2SWwa011151 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:28:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 21:28:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190228.h8J2SWwa011151@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 38N 136E NORTHWEST OF NOTO HANTO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 136E TO 38N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 136E TO 33N 127E 31N 119E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 128E 22N 129E 23N 131E 26N 131E 26N 135E 20N 135E 18N 132E 17N 128E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 149E 37N 147E 42N 150E 41N 156E 32N 157E 34N 149E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 44N 145E 47N 152E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 47N 180E 38N 163E 35N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 147E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 58N 168E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 166E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 985 HPA AT 24.9N 127.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 147E TO 42N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 147E TO 38N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:39 2003 X-UIDL: 39350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004LJ04CE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:53:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J3r7QX021308 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:53:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vVj105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:48:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 956787 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:48:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J3mBX9065608 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:48:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J3m87S011898 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:48:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J3m8Yv011897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:48:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:48:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190348.h8J3m8Yv011897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 25.0N7 128.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 128.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 26.7N5 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 27.5N4 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 28.2N2 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 29.4N5 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 32.4N9 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 36.1N0 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 43.7N4 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 25.4N1 128.1E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND KADENA RADAR OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 092100Z3 AND 200300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:40 2003 X-UIDL: 39351-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004NR04SE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:53:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J3rNxa017444 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:53:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8IB0vVl105686; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:49:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 956796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:49:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J3nFX9065628 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:49:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J3nC7S011907 for ; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:49:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J3nC1j011906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:49:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2003 22:49:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 16w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190349.h8J3nC1j011906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W/ (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 190000Z0 TO 240000Z6 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND KADENA RADAR OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. A 182351Z9 SSM/I PASS REVEALED A LARGE, TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING EYE FEATURE. B. TS 16W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING POLEWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TS 16W WILL TRANSITION TO A MORE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT CRESTS THE RIDGE AXIS AND ENTERS THE MID-LATITUDES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS OF NOGAPS, UKMET EGRR, COAMPS, GFDN, WBAI, NCEP GFS, JGSM, AND JTYM MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TS 16W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARDS AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED 96 TO 120 HOUR FORECAST CALLS FOR TS 16W TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARDS AND BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/EDBERG// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:44 2003 X-UIDL: 39363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004QG4XJE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:36:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J5b2xa029714 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:37:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKifO1021130; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 958228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J5VcX9010496 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J5VW7S012765 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J5VWM7012763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 00:31:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190531.h8J5VWM7012763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z-200600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) (CHOI-WAN) 16W WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N7 128.0E1, APPROXIMATELY 75 NM SOUTH OF NAHA, OKINAWA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5N3 121.0E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:29:51 2003 X-UIDL: 39374-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004AV8LWE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:56:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h8J6uRQX044451 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 14:56:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LdX093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:52:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 958823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:52:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J6qFX9041548 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:52:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J6qC7S013461 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:52:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J6qBiv013460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:52:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 01:52:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190652.h8J6qBiv013460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 190600 WARNING 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 985 HPA AT 26.0N 127.9E NEAR OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 27.4N 129.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 28.5N 130.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 31.0N 134.0E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 38.0N 141.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:30:01 2003 X-UIDL: 39382-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004RHDALE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:37:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J8bdlG059474 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:37:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LeL093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:28:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 959373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J8SkX9055076 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:28:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J8Sg7S014347 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:28:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J8SgUe014346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:28:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:28:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190828.h8J8SgUe014346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 150E TO 43N 152E 40N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 150E TO 40N 146E 39N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 142E TO 38N 137E 34N 132E 31N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 132E 25N 135E 20N 134E 18N 127E 23N 128E 23N 130E 25N 132E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 163E 60N 180E 45N 180E 35N 160E 34N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 143E NNE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 41N 167E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 55N 170E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 985 HPA AT 26.0N 127.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 19 18:30:01 2003 X-UIDL: 39383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004SJDLOE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:44:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J8iJlG060886 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 16:44:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LeR093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:40:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 959416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:40:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J8elX9049766 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:40:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8J8ei7S014452 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:40:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8J8eieb014451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:40:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 03:40:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309190840.h8J8eieb014451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 26.0N8 127.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.0N8 127.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 27.5N4 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 28.6N6 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 29.6N7 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 31.0N4 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 35.1N9 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 39.4N6 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 43.0N7 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 26.4N2 128.2E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 18 NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND KADENA RADAR OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT HAS PASSED OVER OKINAWA. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS LINKED WITH A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:32 2003 X-UIDL: 39405-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004SXPFBE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 20:59:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JCxhlG088306 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 20:59:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J4ZExx012356; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 07:50:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 960891 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 07:50:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JCofX9010658 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 07:50:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JCoc7S016436 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 07:50:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JCocqE016435 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 07:50:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 07:50:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191250.h8JCocqE016435@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 191200 WARNING 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 980 HPA AT 27.0N 128.2E NEAR OKINAWA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 28.1N 129.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 29.2N 131.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 33.0N 136.5E WITH 210 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 41.0N 147.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:34 2003 X-UIDL: 39411-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004D2TPCE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:32:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JEW4I1004577 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:32:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52Lkv093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:18:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 961960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:18:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JEIbX9047014 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:18:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JEIY7S018727 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:18:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JEIYue018726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:18:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:18:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191418.h8JEIYue018726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 16W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 27.1N0 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 128.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 28.5N5 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 29.6N7 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 30.8N1 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 32.6N1 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 36.8N7 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 40.3N7 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 27.4N3 128.6E7. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 13 NM NORTH OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND KADENA RADAR OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:34 2003 X-UIDL: 39413-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004W6U0TE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:38:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JEcwI1005361 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:39:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LlH093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:27:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 962142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JERlX9065570 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JERi7S018955 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JERi2o018954 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:27:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:27:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191427.h8JERi2o018954@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 153E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 153E TO 43N 156E 39N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 153E TO 42N 150E 40N 144E 35N 138E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 138E TO 34N 133E 33N 128E 31N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 133E 27N 135E 22N 135E 18N 130E 23N 129E 24N 132E 27N 133E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 144E 52N 158E 60N 163E 60N 180E 45N 180E 38N 165E 34N 150E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 56N 143E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 168E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 55N 171E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 980 HPA AT 27.0N 128.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:35 2003 X-UIDL: 39417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLG004K1UDBE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:46:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JEkUlG001031 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:46:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8HKnNQD038874; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:37:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 962331 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:37:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JEb7X9065610 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:37:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JEb47S019236 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:37:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JEb3fB019235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:37:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 09:37:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 16w (choi-wan)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191437.h8JEb3fB019235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN)/ WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 231200Z8 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 13 NM NORTH OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND KADENA RADAR OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TY 16W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING POLEWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 16W WILL TRANSITION TO A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS AS IT CROSSES THE RIDGE AXIS AND ENCOUNTERS MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, GFDN, WBAI, NCEP GFS, JGSM, AND JTYM MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST TRACK, BUT VARY IN SPEED. JGSM AND JTYM INDICATE MORE AGRESSIVE INTERACTION WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, RESULTING IN A FASTER TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 16W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS WHILE THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS GOOD OUTFLOW. AFTER 36 HOURS, TY 16W WILL BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE WESTERLY WIND FLOW. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED 96 HOUR FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 16W TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARDS AND BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:39 2003 X-UIDL: 39429-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004XO0LHE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:00:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JH0tI1023571 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:00:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8J52LtX093800; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:49:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 964916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:49:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JGn5X9016264 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:49:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JGn27S023075 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JGn2Sq023074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:49:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 11:49:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 008a Amended Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191649.h8JGn2Sq023074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 191500 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 008A AMENDED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 16W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 27.1N0 128.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 128.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 28.5N5 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 29.6N7 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 30.8N1 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 32.6N1 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 38.2N3 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 41.9N4 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 27.4N3 128.6E7. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 13 NM NORTH OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND KADENA RADAR OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: ADJUSTED 72 AND 96 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. THE SPEED OF ADVANCE IS QUICKER BETWEEN 48 AND 96 HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:44 2003 X-UIDL: 39441-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004ME65FE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:00:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JJ0xI1039394 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:01:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxaT032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:50:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 966716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:50:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JIoBX9023694 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:50:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JIo87S026510 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JIo8tg026509 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:50:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 13:50:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309191850.h8JIo8tg026509@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 191800 WARNING 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 975 HPA AT 27.7N 128.7E NEAR OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 28.4N 130.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 29.6N 132.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 34.5N 139.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 43.5N 155.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:45 2003 X-UIDL: 39447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004QCAKSE9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:36:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JKaSI1054272 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:36:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHMAdH059238; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:28:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 968851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JKSlX9065662 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:28:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JKSh7S029342 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:28:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JKShKM029341 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:28:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:28:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309192028.h8JKShKM029341@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 155E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 155E TO 44N 159E 39N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 155E TO 44N 155E 36N 142E 35N 140E 34N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 137E TO 33N 132E 32N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 145E GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 135E 20N 134E 19N 128E 24N 130E 25N 133E 28N 133E 28N 135E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 141E 44N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 29N 180E 28N 164E 37N 151E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 111E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 43N 115E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 170E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 55N 174E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 975 HPA AT 27.7N 128.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 178E TO 31N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:45 2003 X-UIDL: 39448-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH004ZOBD1E9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:53:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JKrVI1056437 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 04:53:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxgJ032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:38:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 969026 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:38:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JKckX9053162 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:38:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8JKch7S029586 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8JKchY6029585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:38:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 15:38:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309192038.h8JKchY6029585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 27.9N8 128.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N8 128.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 29.1N2 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 30.3N6 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 32.0N5 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 34.4N1 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 40.6N0 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 28.2N2 129.4E6. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 105 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, KADENA RADAR OBSERVATIONS, AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8 AND 202100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:17:52 2003 X-UIDL: 39482-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH007X0MISMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:54:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K0salG064844 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:54:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxsv032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 19:49:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 973836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 19:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K0njX9101054 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 19:49:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K0nc7S003288 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 19:49:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K0ncPc003287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 19:49:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 19:49:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0315 Choi-wan (0315) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200049.h8K0ncPc003287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 200000 WARNING 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 28.4N 129.4E SOUTH OF KYUSYU MOVING NORTHEAST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 29.2N 132.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 30.7N 135.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 37.0N 143.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 45.5N 162.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:05 2003 X-UIDL: 39536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH007QRQZBMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:30:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K2UsI1090186 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:30:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxv1032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 974882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K2QtX9053252 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K2Qp7S004192 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:26:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K2Qpps004191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:26:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:26:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200226.h8K2Qpps004191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 49N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 158E TO 50N 160E 48N 161E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 161E TO 45N 165E 41N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 161E TO 40N 153E 33N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 137E TO 33N 133E 32N 128E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 134E 28N 137E 22N 135E 21N 128E 24N 130E 26N 133E 28N 134E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 141E 42N 142E 48N 154E 54N 160E 60N 163E 60N 180E 34N 180E 35N 160E 38N 150E 38N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 22N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 173E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 56N 176E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 970 HPA AT 28.4N 129.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:08 2003 X-UIDL: 39548-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH0078HRR1MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:47:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K2lOI1091897 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 10:47:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxwR032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:41:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 975182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:41:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K2fOX9054112 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:41:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K2fL7S004359 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:41:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K2fL71004358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:41:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 21:41:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200241.h8K2fL71004358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 200300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 28.5N5 129.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.5N5 129.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 29.7N8 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 31.0N4 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 33.3N9 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 36.0N9 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 42.5N1 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 28.8N8 130.2E6. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY, KADENA RADAR OBSERVATIONS, AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 TO 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1, 201500Z8, 202100Z5 AND 210300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:10 2003 X-UIDL: 39561-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH0071ESNFMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:06:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K36sI1093913 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 11:06:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxwj032898; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:00:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 975381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:00:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K30vX9023666 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:00:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K30s7S004502 for ; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K30seP004501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:00:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 19 Sep 2003 22:00:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 16w (choi-wan)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200300.h8K30seP004501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 200300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN)/ WARNING NR 10// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 200000Z2 TO 240000Z6 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST- WARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192130Z6 SSMI AND 192147Z4 AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY AND KADENA RADAR POSITION FIXES. THE MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A BANDING FEATURE WRAPPING AROUND THE EASTERN HALF OF TY 16W. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT PROVIDING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. B. TY 16W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING NORTHEAST UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, GFDN, WBAI, NCEP GFS, JGSM, AND JTYM MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE FORECAST TRACK. JGSM AND JTYM CONTINUE TO BE VERY QUICK IN SPEED. THOSE TWO MODELS INDICATE MORE AGRESSIVE INTERACTION WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, RESULTING IN A FASTER TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. TY 16W IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 72 HOURS. C. TY 16W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WHILE THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS GOOD OUTFLOW UNDER THE NARROW UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. AFTER 24 HOURS, TY 16W WILL BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE WESTERLY WIND FLOW. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA, MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND QUICKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM THROUGH FIRST 24 HOURS. BETWEEN 24 AND 48 HOURS WIND RADII REFLECT EXTRATROPICAL WIND PATTERNS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/DAMRON/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:26 2003 X-UIDL: 39632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLH0075PZNVMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 13:38:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K5cQI1010687 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 13:38:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxt5021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 976741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K5YIX9010528 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K5YE7S005827 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K5YEsU005825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 00:34:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200534.h8K5YEsU005825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z-210600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN) WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N5 129.7E9, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:35 2003 X-UIDL: 39672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI0078038VMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 14:55:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K6tplG003103 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 14:55:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WYV053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:50:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:50:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K6ogX9052798 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:50:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K6od7S006387 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K6odxe006386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:50:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 01:50:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200650.h8K6odxe006386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 200600 WARNING 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 970 HPA AT 28.6N 130.5E NORTHEAST OF OKINAWA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 29.4N 132.7E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 31.5N 136.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 37.5N 145.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 45.0N 167.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:43 2003 X-UIDL: 39708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI0076V6SWMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:12:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8CeI1026954 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:12:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WYt053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:08:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:08:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K88mX9053116 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:08:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K88j7S007092 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:08:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K88inu007091 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:08:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:08:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200808.h8K88inu007091@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 28.9N9 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.9N9 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 30.3N6 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 31.9N3 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 34.1N8 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 36.4N3 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 41.6N1 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 29.2N3 131.1E6. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM SOUTH OF KYUSHU, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY, KADENA RADAR OBSERVATIONS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 TO 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:18:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39719-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007IC7UEMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:35:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8Z9lG011854 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 16:35:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WZ9053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:30:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 977401 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:30:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8UBX9052816 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:30:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8K8U87S007262 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:30:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8K8U8CY007261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:30:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 03:30:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309200830.h8K8U8CY007261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 52N 158E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 158E TO 50N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 162E TO 41N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 162E TO 42N 158E 37N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 35N 146E 31N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 129E 33N 130E 29N 127E 29N 123E 31N 123E 34N 126E 35N 129E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 143E 42N 151E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 46N 180E 38N 162E 36N 152E 37N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 145E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 56N 180E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 174E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 970 HPA AT 28.6N 130.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:15 2003 X-UIDL: 39846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI0070CJW6MF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 20:55:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KCtPlG036327 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 20:55:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wbf053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 07:51:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 978624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 07:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KCp0X9047570 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 07:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KCov7S009187 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 07:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KCovic009186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 07:50:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 07:50:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201250.h8KCovic009186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 201200 WARNING 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 970 HPA AT 28.9N 132.0E SOUTH OF KYUSYU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 30.2N 134.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 32.3N 138.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 39.0N 148.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 44.5N 174.5E WITH 500 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:24 2003 X-UIDL: 39881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007SXN8VMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:07:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KE7oI1061867 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:07:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxwx021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:57:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 979286 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:57:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KDvXX9045782 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:57:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KDvT7S009769 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:57:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KDvTad009768 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:57:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:57:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 16w (choi-wan)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201357.h8KDvTad009768@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN)/ WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 241200Z9 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KYUSHU,JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST- WARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC FIXES AND RADAR POSITION FIXES. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW INCREASING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A SLIGHT ELONGATION IN THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AND THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS SOME DRY AIR FROM THE WEST BEGINNING TO BE ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. B. CURRENTLY, TY 16W HAS TRACKED EASTWARD IN A SHORT-TERM TRACK CHANGE AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE MID-LATITUDE FLOW. THIS IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION BACK TO A MORE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TY 16W IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST- NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTH-EASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, GFDN, WBAI, NCEP GFS, JGSM, AND JTYM MODELS ARE IN MODERATE AGREEMENT WITH THE EXCEPTION OF JGSM AND JTYM TRACKING THE SYSTEM RAPIDLY TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AFTER THE MID-PERIOD. THOSE TWO MODELS INDICATE MORE AGRESSIVE MID-LATITUDE INTERACTION, RESULTING IN A FASTER TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. TY 16W IS EXPECTED TO HAVE COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 48 HOURS. C. TY 16W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE EARLY PERIOD WHILE THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTER 24 HOURS, TY 16W WILL BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND WEAKEN AS INTERACTION WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE INCREASES AND BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE WESTERLY WIND FLOW. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA, MICROWAVE IMAGERY, AND QUICKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM THROUGH FIRST 24 HOURS. BETWEEN 24 AND 48 HOURS WIND RADII REFLECT EXTRATROPICAL WIND PATTERNS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/WAUGAMAN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:24 2003 X-UIDL: 39882-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007T5N8YMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:07:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KE7qI1061872 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:07:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNxwv021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:56:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 979276 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:56:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KDuUX9053022 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:56:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KDuR7S009763 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KDuRw5009762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:56:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 08:56:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201356.h8KDuRw5009762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 29.1N2 131.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 131.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 30.2N5 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 32.4N9 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 34.7N4 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 37.2N2 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 41.0N5 153.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 29.4N5 132.5E1. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KYUSHU,JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST- WARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC FIXES AND RADAR POSITION FIXES. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW INCREASING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A SLIGHT ELONGATION IN THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AND THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS SOME DRY AIR FROM THE WEST BEGINNING TO BE ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:27 2003 X-UIDL: 39898-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLI007G2OERMF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:32:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KEWvI1064376 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 22:32:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WeL053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:27:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 979465 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KERiX9012504 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KERf7S010015 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KERfeE010014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 09:27:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201427.h8KERfeE010014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 54N 160E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 160E TO 50N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 166E TO 42N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 166E TO 39N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 155E TO 36N 150E 32N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 128E 25N 129E 25N 135E 30N 138E 28N 141E 22N 136E 21N 132E 22N 128E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 149E 37N 147E 43N 158E 49N 163E 53N 159E 60N 162E 60N 179W 42N 180E 37N 164E 34N 149E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 149E ENE 30 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 970 HPA AT 28.9N 132.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:39 2003 X-UIDL: 39947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009AP0KSVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 02:55:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KItmlG068993 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 02:55:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WjV053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 13:49:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 982640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 13:49:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KInhX9027292 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 13:49:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KIne7S012658 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 13:49:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KInd6p012657 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 13:49:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 13:49:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309201849.h8KInd6p012657@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 201800 WARNING 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 970 HPA AT 29.5N 133.7E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 40 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 290 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 30.9N 136.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 33.1N 140.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 39.0N 150.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:40 2003 X-UIDL: 39952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009PV54FVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:33:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKXxI1001738 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:34:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54Wl1053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:29:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 983719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKTYX9029680 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KKTU7S013477 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:29:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KKTU9D013476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:29:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:29:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202029.h8KKTU9D013476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 55N 158E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 158E TO 49N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 167E TO 42N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 167E TO 39N 157E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 157E TO 38N 151E 34N 142E 33N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 138E 29N 139E 28N 141E 22N 138E 22N 132E 25N 132E 25N 136E 26N 138E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 129E 32N 129E 25N 125E 28N 122E 32N 123E 35N 129E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 145E 45N 161E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 41N 180E 37N 161E 36N 152E 39N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 151E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 180E SE 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 970 HPA AT 29.5N 133.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:40 2003 X-UIDL: 39953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009HY5X0VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:51:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKp8lG080716 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 04:51:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WlD053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:43:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 983843 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:43:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8KKhSX9070556 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:43:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8KKhP7S013560 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:43:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8KKhPC4013559 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:43:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 15:43:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309202043.h8KKhPC4013559@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 202100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 29.2N3 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N3 133.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 30.3N6 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 32.4N9 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 34.9N6 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 37.8N8 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 29.5N6 134.1E9. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTHEAST OF KYUSHU, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST- WARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES A SLIGHT INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION ON THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6, 210900Z2, 211500Z9 AND 212100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:43 2003 X-UIDL: 39967-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009YHH58VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 08:53:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L0reVk016020 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 08:53:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WqR053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 19:49:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 986915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 19:49:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L0nCX9034558 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 19:49:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L0n97S015386 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 19:49:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L0n9ma015385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 19:49:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 19:49:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210049.h8L0n9ma015385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 210000 WARNING 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 965 HPA AT 29.9N 135.5E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 290 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 31.8N 138.6E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 34.3N 142.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 39.5N 154.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:45 2003 X-UIDL: 39972-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009I1LLPVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:29:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2TvUQ023033 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:29:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WsF053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 987948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2RSX9030958 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L2RP7S016097 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L2RPXS016096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210227.h8L2RPXS016096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 56N 160E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 160E TO 56N 166E 53N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 170E TO 50N 173E 45N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 170E TO 47N 169E 41N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 162E TO 39N 155E 37N 150E 34N 142E 33N 140E 32N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 58N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 41N 141E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 38N 160E 38N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 174E SE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 965 HPA AT 29.9N 135.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:45 2003 X-UIDL: 39973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009JNLOAVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:31:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2VUUQ023172 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:31:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K54WsD053346; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 987942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2RPX9030954 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L2RM7S016089 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L2RMXg016088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210227.h8L2RMXg016088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 29.9N0 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 29.9N0 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 31.7N1 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 34.2N9 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 37.2N2 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 39.4N6 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 30.4N7 136.6E6. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 90 KNOTS. VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A 12 NM EYE FEATURE HAS FORMED IN THE LAST COUPLE HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2, 211500Z9, 212100Z6 AND 220300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Sep 21 11:19:46 2003 X-UIDL: 39974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ009JVLOEVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:31:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2VYUQ023177 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 10:31:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8JHNx89021146; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 987945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L2RSX9032178 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L2RP7S016094 for ; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L2RORg016093 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2003 21:27:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 16w (choi-wan)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210227.h8L2RORg016093@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN)/ WARNING NR 14// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 210000Z3 TO 230000Z5 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 90 KNOTS. VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A 12 NM EYE FEATURE HAS FORMED IN THE LAST COUPLE HOURS. B. CURRENTLY, TY 16W IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SHORTWAVE RIDGE FEATURE LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION BACK TO A NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE SHORTWAVE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN UNDER AN APPROACHING TROUGH. TY 16W IS THEN EXPECTED TO STEER ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE ACCELERATED BY THE APPROACHING TROUGH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, GFDN, WBAI, NCEP GFS, JGSM, AND JTYM MODELS ARE IN MODERATE AGREEMENT. JGSM AND JTYM TRACK THE SYSTEM RAPIDLY TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST, INDICATING MORE AGGRESSIVE MID-LATITUDE INTERACTION. GFDN IS THE MOST POLEWARD TRACKER WITH THE UPSTREAM TROUGH REPRESENTED AS A MUCH DEEPER FEATURE THAN OTHER MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN. TY 16W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 48 HOURS. C. TY 16W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY IN THE EARLY PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT TRANSITIONS TO A BAROCLINIC SYSTEM FROM TAU 24 THROUGH 48. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:08 2003 X-UIDL: 39994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ0095DTUPVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:28:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L5S9Vk041180 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:28:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Oc5053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 990649 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L5KDX9033912 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L5KA7S017356 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L5KAuf017354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 00:20:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210520.h8L5KAuf017354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z-220600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/WAUGAMAN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:18 2003 X-UIDL: 40001-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLJ0093FY0TVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 14:58:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L6wDVk049394 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 14:58:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Oct053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 01:49:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 991105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 01:49:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L6nrX9067318 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 01:49:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L6nn7S017910 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 01:49:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L6nnsd017909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 01:49:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 01:49:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210649.h8L6nnsd017909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 210600 WARNING 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 965 HPA AT 31.0N 137.0E SOUTHWEST OF HACHIJOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 290 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 33.2N 139.9E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 36.3N 143.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 42.0N 160.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:19 2003 X-UIDL: 40005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009G016ZVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:06:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L86hVk055194 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:06:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OdL053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:03:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 991436 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:03:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L83mX9101072 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:03:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L83j7S018619 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:03:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L83jl5018618 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:03:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:03:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210803.h8L83jl5018618@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 31.1N5 137.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 31.1N5 137.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 33.1N7 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 35.9N7 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 38.8N9 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 40.3N7 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 31.6N0 137.8E9. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 45 NM EYE FEATURE REMAINS AND OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO BE ENHANCED TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:20 2003 X-UIDL: 40006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009RH2BJVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:30:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L8V4Vk057454 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 16:31:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OdR053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:27:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 991515 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L8RXX9049708 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:27:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8L8RQ7S018853 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8L8RQw9018852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 03:27:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309210827.h8L8RQw9018852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 57N 162E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 162E TO 57N 170E 49N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 173E TO 47N 175E 43N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 173E TO 45N 168E 41N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 160E TO 36N 145E 33N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 133E 33N 130E 28N 129E 28N 125E 33N 125E 38N 132E 36N 133E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 150E 54N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 46N 180E 37N 160E 37N 150E 40N 150E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 179E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 965 HPA AT 31.0N 137.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:27 2003 X-UIDL: 40026-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009LREDOVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 20:51:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LCpXVk080993 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 20:51:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Og3053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:46:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 993067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:46:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LCkpX9092312 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:46:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LCkm7S021009 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LCkmSw021008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:46:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 07:46:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211246.h8LCkmSw021008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 211200 WARNING 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 965 HPA AT 32.2N 139.0E SOUTHWEST OF HACHIJOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 290 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 34.3N 142.2E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 37.6N 146.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 41.0N 162.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:28 2003 X-UIDL: 40033-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009UBINHVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:23:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LENnUQ085574 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:23:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Oir053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 993870 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEJ5X9048580 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LEJ27S021621 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LEJ2DH021620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211419.h8LEJ2DH021620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 31.9N3 138.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 31.9N3 138.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 34.3N0 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 37.4N4 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 40.3N7 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 40.9N3 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 32.5N0 139.6E9. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MICROWAVE AND ENHANCED INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 45 NM EYE REMAINS. OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH REMAINS ENHANCED. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS OFFSET SLIGHTLY, CURRENTLY APPEARING UNDER THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE EYE, INDICATING THAT THE UPPER LEVEL HAS BEGUN TO TILT SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6, 220300Z7, 220900Z3 AND 221500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:29 2003 X-UIDL: 40036-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00917ISMVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:26:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEQtVk089773 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:26:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Oit053348; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 993877 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEJwX9032542 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LEJt7S021627 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LEJtCL021626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:19:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 16w (choi-wan)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211419.h8LEJtCL021626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN)/ WARNING NR 16// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 211200Z6 TO 231200Z8 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MICROWAVE AND ENHANCED INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 45 NM EYE REMAINS. OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH REMAINS ENHANCED. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS OFFSET SLIGHTLY, CURRENTLY APPEARING UNDER THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE EYE, INDICATING THAT THE UPPER LEVEL HAS BEGUN TO TILT SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST. B. CURRENTLY, TY 16W IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TY 16W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS TO NORTHEASTWARDS FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, GFDN, WBAI, NCEP GFS, JGSM, AND JTYM MODELS ARE IN MODERATE AGREEMENT FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, HOWEVER THERE REMAINS SOME VARIATION IN THE TRACK SPEED BETWEEN THE MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. TY 16W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 48 HOURS. C. TY 16W WILL WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO LOSE THE EYE FEATURE OVER THAT TIME PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, TY 16W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, BEGINNING TO BE ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY INTERACTION WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY, A QUIKSCAT PASS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. FORECAST WIND RADII CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/WAUGAMAN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:30 2003 X-UIDL: 40038-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009KMJ7AVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:35:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LEZeVk090617 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 22:35:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L54v8f036570; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:27:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 993919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LERFX9046994 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:27:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LERB7S021678 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LERBNT021677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:27:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 09:27:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211427.h8LERBNT021677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 57N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 165E TO 55N 179E 50N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 178E TO 48N 180E 44N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 178E TO 45N 173E 41N 166E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 166E TO 39N 155E 34N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 133E 33N 130E 29N 130E 29N 125E 35N 127E 38N 131E 35N 133E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 150E 54N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 42N 180E 38N 160E 40N 150E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 37N 122E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 45N 154E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 175E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 965 HPA AT 32.2N 139.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:33 2003 X-UIDL: 40050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK009FXNFAVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 00:06:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LG6rUQ094444 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 00:06:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8K8mXmB059244; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:03:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 994760 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:03:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LG3HX9047092 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:03:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LG3D7S022602 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LG3D5M022601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:03:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 11:03:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 16w (choi-wan)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211603.h8LG3D5M022601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 211500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN)/ WARNING NR 16// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 211200Z6 TO 231200Z8 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MICROWAVE AND ENHANCED INFARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 45 NM EYE REMAINS. OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH REMAINS ENHANCED. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS OFFSET SLIGHTLY, CURRENTLY APPEARING UNDER THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE EYE, INDICATING THAT THE UPPER LEVEL HAS BEGUN TO TILT SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST. B. CURRENTLY, TY 16W IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TY 16W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS TO NORTHEASTWARDS FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, GFDN, WBAI, NCEP GFS, JGSM, AND JTYM MODELS ARE IN MODERATE AGREEMENT FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, HOWEVER THERE REMAINS SOME VARIATION IN THE TRACK SPEED BETWEEN THE MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. TY 16W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 48 HOURS. C. TY 16W WILL WEAKEN ONLY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO LOSE THE EYE FEATURE OVER THAT TIME PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, TY 16W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, BEGINNING TO BE ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY INTERACTION WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY, A QUIKSCAT PASS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED GRAMMER IN PARA 2.D. 4. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/WAUGAMAN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:38 2003 X-UIDL: 40062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLK00CQ9V6S8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 02:54:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LIsaVk017593 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 02:54:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55OfN021164; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:47:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 997212 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:47:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LIlEX9055188 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:47:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LIlA7S024043 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LIlAxX024042 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 13:47:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309211847.h8LIlAxX024042@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 211800 WARNING 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 960 HPA AT 33.2N 140.7E EAST OF HACHIJOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 17 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 36.1N 145.0E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 39.6N 151.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 44.5N 175.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40071-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00C2N02A8Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:39:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKdtUQ025542 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:39:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7YH019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:30:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 998892 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKU3X9043812 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LKTx7S025196 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LKTx5I025195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:29:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:29:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212029.h8LKTx5I025195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 57N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 60N 165E TO 60N 175E 56N 179W 52N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 179W TO 50N 176W 47N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 179W TO 45N 174E 42N 167E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 167E TO 41N 160E 38N 151E 35N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 136E 36N 135E 34N 130E 30N 130E 29N 125E 34N 125E 36N 129E 38N 133E 39N 136E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 150E 52N 158E 60N 166E 60N 180E 39N 180E 36N 152E 40N 150E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 130E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 960 HPA AT 33.2N 140.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40073-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00CZE0U68Q@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:56:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKudVk031644 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 04:56:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7Yf019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:52:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 999154 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:52:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LKqIX9032676 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:52:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8LKqF7S025519 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8LKqFum025518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 15:52:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309212052.h8LKqFum025518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 212100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 33.2N8 140.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.2N8 140.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 35.9N7 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 39.2N4 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 38 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 41.9N4 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 33.9N5 141.7E3. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH- EASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS A 16 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7, 220900Z3, 221500Z0 AND 222100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:49 2003 X-UIDL: 40093-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DAWBPA04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 08:51:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M0pHUQ053482 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 08:51:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7gH019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 19:45:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1002731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 19:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M0jnX9072896 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 19:45:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M0jj7S027972 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 19:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M0jjEe027971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 19:45:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 19:45:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220045.h8M0jjEe027971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 220000 WARNING 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 965 HPA AT 34.4N 142.8E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 21 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 37.9N 147.9E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 41.2N 156.5E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 47.5N 175.0W WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:51 2003 X-UIDL: 40105-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DBFGHW04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:34:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M2YrUQ066717 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:34:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7jt019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:28:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1004814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M2SOX9042836 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M2SK7S028999 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:28:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M2SKRK028998 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:28:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:28:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220228.h8M2SKRK028998@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 34.3N0 142.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 34.3N0 142.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 37.1N1 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 40.2N6 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 45 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 42.9N5 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 35.0N8 144.0E9. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A SLIGHT DECOUPLING OF THE L0W-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:52 2003 X-UIDL: 40106-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DCMGI204@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:34:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M2Z0UQ066734 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:35:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7jv019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:29:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1004827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M2TTX9047294 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:29:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M2TP7S029017 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:29:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M2TPNd029016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:29:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:29:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 16w (choi-wan)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220229.h8M2TPNd029016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN)/ WARNING NR 18// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 220000Z4 TO 231200Z8 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS AND A GENERAL WEAKENING TREND. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A SLIGHT DECOUPLING OF THE L0W- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TY 16W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AROUND THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS IT UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, GFDN, WBAI, NCEP GFS, JGSM, AND JTYM MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT, BUT THERE REMAINS SOME VARIATION IN TRACK SPEED BETWEEN THE MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. TY 16W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 36 HOURS. C. TY 16W WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO LOSE THE EYE FEATURE DURING THAT TIME PERIOD. AFTERWARDS, TY 16W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:12:52 2003 X-UIDL: 40107-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DEGGIK04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:35:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M2ZIUQ066796 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 10:35:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8LJW7jx019624; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:30:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1004834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M2UMX9036520 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:30:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M2UI7S029043 for ; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M2UIMr029041 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2003 21:30:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220230.h8M2UIMr029041@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 57N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 61N 174E TO 57N 177W 51N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 177W TO 48N 174W 44N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 177W TO 44N 176E 41N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 163E TO 39N 153E 36N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 40N 144E 42N 155E 40N 155E 37N 145E 37N 141E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 150E 44N 150E 50N 163E 60N 170E 60N 180W 37N 180E 37N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 120E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 44N 132E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 44N 160E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 179E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 965 HPA AT 34.4N 142.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:41:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DRDQX804@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 14:19:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M6K3Vk099037 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 14:20:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLbp070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:15:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1007497 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:15:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M6F1X9004444 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:15:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M6Ev7S001199 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:14:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M6EvAA001197 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:14:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:14:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220614.h8M6EvAA001197@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z-230600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10.0N1 141.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL A BROAD LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/WAUGAMAN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 14:50:10 2003 X-UIDL: 40135-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00D5OS7T04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 14:47:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M6m1Vk002051 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 14:48:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLcL070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:44:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1007691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:44:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M6iAX9080748 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:44:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M6i67S001450 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:44:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M6i6bB001449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:44:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 01:44:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220644.h8M6i6bB001449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 220600 WARNING 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 965 HPA AT 35.9N 145.0E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 23 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 39.4N 151.2E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 42.3N 161.4E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 16:55:13 2003 X-UIDL: 40158-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00DKFX3S04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:33:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M8XZVk015360 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:33:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLct070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:28:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:28:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M8SGX9035772 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:28:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M8SD7S002432 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:28:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M8SDWG002431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:28:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:28:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220828.h8M8SDWG002431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 57N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 61N 172E TO 57N 176W 54N 174W 51N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 176W TO 48N 173W 44N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 176W TO 46N 180E 42N 172E 42N 168E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 41N 160E 39N 150E 37N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 142E 40N 142E 41N 149E 39N 148E 37N 142E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 128E 35N 128E 38N 132E 36N 133E 33N 128E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 147E 50N 160E 60N 168E 60N 180E 39N 180E 40N 154E 44N 147E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 133E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 44N 164E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 179E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 965 HPA AT 35.9N 145.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 22 16:55:15 2003 X-UIDL: 40159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLL00D0AX9C04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:36:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M8avVk015771 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 16:36:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLcv070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:30:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1008074 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:30:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M8ULX9035788 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:30:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8M8UH7S002464 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8M8UHxq002463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:30:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 03:30:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 019 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309220830.h8M8UHxq002463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 35.9N7 145.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 35.9N7 145.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 38.6N7 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 41.5N0 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 41 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 44.2N0 171.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 36.6N5 146.6E7. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KTS AND A WEAKENING TREND. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION OF DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0, 222100Z7, 230300Z8 AND 230900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:22 2003 X-UIDL: 40180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DYD97G04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 20:54:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MCsvVk047186 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 20:54:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLgl070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 07:49:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1009830 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 07:49:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MCnkX9027276 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 07:49:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MCng7S004630 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 07:49:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MCngDV004629 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 07:49:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 07:49:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0315 Choi-wan (0315) Downgraded From Typhoon Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221249.h8MCngDV004629@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 221200 WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 980 HPA AT 37.7N 147.6E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 27 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 41.1N 155.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 44.0N 171.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:27 2003 X-UIDL: 40188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DCMDLX04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:29:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MEU5Vk058688 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:30:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLk3070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1010931 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MENIX9052790 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MENE7S007361 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MENEqI007359 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221423.h8MENEqI007359@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 37.2N2 147.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 37.2N2 147.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 40.0N4 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 37 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 42.9N5 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 42 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 45.3N2 175.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 37.9N9 149.6E0. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KTS AND A SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING TREND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:27 2003 X-UIDL: 40189-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DDGDMR04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:30:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MEUYUQ056070 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:30:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8L55Oxr021164; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1010934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MENIX9014158 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MENE7S007362 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MENEfx007360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:23:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 16w (choi-wan)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221423.h8MENEfx007360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN)/ WARNING NR 20// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 221200Z7 TO 240000Z6 SEP 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEAST AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KTS AND A SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING TREND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS EROSION OF CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE AND SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING. B. TY 16W IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AS IT MERGES WITH MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND COMPLETES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, NCEP GFS, JGSM, AND JTYM MODELS, REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SOME VARIATION IN TRACK SPEED AMONG THE MODELS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 16W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY NOW AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A QUIKSCAT PASS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION AND CLIMATOLOGY. 3. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/WAUGAMAN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:28 2003 X-UIDL: 40192-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DG6E7804@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:42:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MEgrUQ057267 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 22:42:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLkL070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:28:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1011023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:28:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MESRX9030776 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:28:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MESN7S007509 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MESN4D007508 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 09:28:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221428.h8MESN4D007508@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 160E 54N 160E 55N 173E 48N 173E 49N 160E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 152E 52N 168E 60N 170E 60N 180E 39N 180E 39N 160E 47N 152E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 169E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 11N 139E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 09N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 44N 166E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 176E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 980 HPA AT 37.7N 147.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 147E TO 41N 155E 42N 162E 41N 171E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:37 2003 X-UIDL: 40215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DMLPWX04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 02:55:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MItsUQ084081 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 02:55:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DL3P070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 13:46:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1017633 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 13:46:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MIklX9023414 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 13:46:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MIki7S015383 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 13:46:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MIkiHe015382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 13:46:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 13:46:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0315 Choi-wan (0315) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309221846.h8MIkiHe015382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 221800 WARNING 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 985 HPA AT 39.5N 151.2E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 33 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 43.0N 163.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 46.0N 179.0E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:38 2003 X-UIDL: 40217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DPUUEC04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:32:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKWjVk004601 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:32:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DL8F070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:11:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1019343 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:11:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKB0X9033580 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:11:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MKAv7S018002 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MKAvoR018001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:10:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:10:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 16w (choi-wan) Warning Nr 021 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222010.h8MKAvoR018001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16W (CHOI-WAN) WARNING NR 021 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 16W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 39.4N6 151.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 33 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 39.4N6 151.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 41.9N4 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 43.8N5 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 45.7N6 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 40.0N4 153.2E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (CHOI-WAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS AND A SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING TREND. TS 16W HAS COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 10:16:38 2003 X-UIDL: 40220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLM00DB9UPJ04@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:39:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKdTUQ096204 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 04:39:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MGpKDn029150; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:29:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1019682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:29:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8MKTWX9013152 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:29:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8MKTS7S018605 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8MKTSRs018604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:29:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 15:29:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309222029.h8MKTSRs018604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 161E 51N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 37N 161E 42N 161E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 27N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 57N 171E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 43N 137E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 45N 171E EAST 35 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 176E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 985 HPA AT 39.5N 151.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 154E TO 41N 160E 42N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 149E TO 33N 147E 30N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 162E TO 42N 169E 42N 178E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 11:02:48 2003 X-UIDL: 40246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GMTB5RIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:34:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N2YnUQ031702 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 10:34:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLPj070542; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:27:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1025355 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N2RbX9050050 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:27:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N2RX7S024711 for ; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N2RXAm024710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2003 21:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230227.h8N2RXAm024710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0315 CHOI-WAN (0315) 988 HPA AT 42N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 44N 165E 42N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 33N 148E 29N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW AND NEAR COLD FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 46N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 48N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 151E 47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 38N 164E 46N 163E 44N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 27N 135E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 994 HPA AT 57N 173E ENE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 12N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 42N 139E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 41N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 14:47:47 2003 X-UIDL: 40268-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00GRQKC0IQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 13:52:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N5qqVk074373 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 13:52:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8M5DLVl070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1028395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N5i7X9029740 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N5i37S026760 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N5i3cj026757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 00:44:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230544.h8N5i3cj026757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z-240600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 221800Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16W (CHOI-WAN) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 222100) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 10.0N1 141.0E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 140.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER A BROAD LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANALYSIS OF RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY AT 222250Z3 SUGGESTS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL WEAK AND NOT VERY WELL DEFINED. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES AN AREA OF FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL POINT SOURCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 23 16:41:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40283-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLN00G6RS1JIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:39:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N8dRhi000877 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:39:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jXF070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:30:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1029402 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N8UrX9024782 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8N8Un7S028292 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:30:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8N8UnUC028291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:30:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 03:30:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309230830.h8N8UnUC028291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 43N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 164E TO 43N 170E 42N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 164E TO 36N 158E 31N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 150E 50N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E 30N 163E 34N 156E 40N 150E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12N 143E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 56N 173E ESE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 15N 117E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 145E ESE 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:36 2003 X-UIDL: 40310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00GQS9SKIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Sep 2003 23:02:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NF2shi044101 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 23:02:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jf9070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:56:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1033030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NEuHX9105658 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:56:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NEu87S004562 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NEu8ZI004561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 09:56:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309231456.h8NEu8ZI004561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 172E TO 45N 177E 42N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 172E TO 39N 165E 32N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 142E 31N 141E 31N 134E 33N 134E 34N 138E 35N 142E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 25N 180E 26N 162E 40N 150E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13N 143E WNW SLOWLY. LOW 994 HPA AT 56N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 116E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 42N 145E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:56 2003 X-UIDL: 40323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00G1XPRIIQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:47:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NKlp6F089034 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 04:47:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84j0R070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1040504 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NKSoX9100866 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NKSk7S015056 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NKSkTD015055 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 15:28:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232028.h8NKSkTD015055@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 46N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 179E TO 45N 176W 42N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 179E TO 38N 168E 32N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.6N 142.4E SEA WEST OF MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 24N 180E 24N 164E 40N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 115E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 42N 149E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:35:58 2003 X-UIDL: 40327-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLO00J9XS6W7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:40:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NLeIhi089349 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 05:40:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84j3J070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1041568 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NLJXX9045638 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8NLJT7S016348 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8NLJTDd016346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 16:19:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309232119.h8NLJTDd016346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 232130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/232130Z-240600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 140.3E8, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 139.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED MID-LEVEL ORGANIZATION, WHILE SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST WHICH IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED MID-LEVEL ORGANIZATION AND FAVORABLE CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:06 2003 X-UIDL: 40355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JOJ58N7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:21:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2M8hi018618 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:22:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jD9070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:13:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1045128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:13:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2DoX9045348 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:13:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O2Dk7S020826 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:13:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O2DkdE020825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:13:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:13:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240213.h8O2DkdE020825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 240230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 240221Z SEP 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.7N7 137.5E6 TO 13.1N5 139.8E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 240000Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 139.4E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTH WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 139.9E2, IS RELOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 139.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED OUTFLOW. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST WHICH IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 250230Z2.// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:08 2003 X-UIDL: 40358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JK75TT7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:34:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2Yp6F028486 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:34:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jDX070542; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:28:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1045310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2S4X9020640 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:28:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O2S17S020937 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:28:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O2S0NT020936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:28:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240228.h8O2S0NT020936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 47N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 176W TO 43N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 176W TO 37N 171E 32N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 178E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 133E 32N 133E 34N 135E 35N 140E 34N 143E 31N 143E 29N 140E 30N 133E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 14.9N 141.2E SEA WEST OF MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 169E 35N 168E 46N 177E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 39N 180E 34N 169E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 115E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 42N 150E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 121E TO 29N 129E 32N 134E 29N 142E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 12:36:10 2003 X-UIDL: 40365-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JBZ6ZG7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:59:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2xohi023168 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 10:59:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8NMCSa1072072; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:50:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1045670 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O2neX9065632 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O2na7S021187 for ; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:49:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O2naE0021186 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:49:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2003 21:49:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240249.h8O2naE0021186@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 240230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 240221Z SEP 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.7N7 137.5E6 TO 13.1N5 139.8E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 240000Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 139.4E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTH WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 139.9E2, IS RELOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 139.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED OUTFLOW. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST WHICH IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 250230Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 15:49:49 2003 X-UIDL: 40384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JXIFLL7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:05:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O65r6F056756 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:05:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jKD070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:59:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1047984 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:59:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O5x3X9093912 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:59:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O5wx7S023120 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:58:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O5wxlE023118 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:58:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 00:58:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240558.h8O5wxlE023118@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZSEP2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 139.9E2, IS RELOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 139.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED OUTFLOW. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST WHICH IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 15:50:03 2003 X-UIDL: 40387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JQSG4D7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:17:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O6HBhi046685 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 14:17:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jKH070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1048039 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O6ARX9037298 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O6AN7S023229 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O6ANHZ023227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 01:10:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240610.h8O6ANHZ023227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240221ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 139.9E2, IS RELOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 139.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED OUTFLOW. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST WHICH IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 240230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED CONVECTION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 17:51:05 2003 X-UIDL: 40401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLP00JISMJI7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:35:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O8Zrhi062335 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 16:35:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jLt070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1048796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O8TCX9047400 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8O8T87S024495 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8O8T823024494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 03:29:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309240829.h8O8T823024494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 138E 35N 138E 36N 141E 35N 150E 32N 148E 33N 138E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 160E 53N 160E 50N 180E 39N 180E 38N 165E 45N 160E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 15.5N 140.4E SEA WEST OF MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 32N 169E 35N 165E 51N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 176E SSE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 114E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 167E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 42N 152E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 122E TO 28N 126E 29N 130E 32N 133E 32N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 163E TO 35N 172E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Sep 24 22:42:16 2003 X-UIDL: 40432-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00J0H3E37X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:39:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEdmhi099820 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:39:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jST070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:29:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1051643 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:29:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OET0X9058644 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:29:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OESu7S029610 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:28:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OESu1Q029607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:28:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:28:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241428.h8OESu1Q029607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 35N 139E 33N 139E 32N 134E 33N 134E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 160E 51N 180E 40N 180E 40N 166E 45N 160E 51N 160E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 15.6N 138.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 46N 180E 51N 158E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 53N 138E EAST 25 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 179E ESE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 42N 154E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 175E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 124E TO 29N 126E 32N 129E 35N 131E 37N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 166E TO 31N 171E 35N 174E 37N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:24 2003 X-UIDL: 40436-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00JSB3PX7X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:46:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEku6F017606 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:46:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8N84jSX070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1051676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEWmX9049298 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OEWi7S029780 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OEWiEt029779 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 17w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241432.h8OEWiEt029779@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W/ WARNING NR 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 241200Z9 TO 271200Z2 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. THE LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FOR TD 17W IS STILL HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AS IT IS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD TROUGH. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE OUTFLOW IS BEING ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF TD 17W. B. TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST OF JAPAN. A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN EASTERN CHINA IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE AXIS CREATING A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NEAR KYUSHU, JAPAN. TD 17W WILL TRACK TOWARDS THIS WEAKNESS AND TRANSITION TO A MORE POLEWARD TRACK IN APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS OF NOGAPS, UKMET EGRR, WBAI, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. NOGAPS IS A SIGNIFICANT EASTERN OUTLIER TO THIS FORECAST SCENARIO BECAUSE IT FORECASTS THE STEERING RIDGE TO BE MUCH WEAKER THAN OTHER MODELS RESULTING IN AN IMMEDIATE POLEWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS. C. TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND OUTFLOW ENHANCED IN THE SHORT TERM BY THE NEARBY TUTT CELL ALLOWING TD 17W TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:27 2003 X-UIDL: 40437-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00JSR3Q97X@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:46:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEl6hi000759 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:47:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8O50ndP072804; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1051679 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OEWoX9049304 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OEWk7S029785 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OEWkhN029784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 09:32:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241432.h8OEWkhN029784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240221ZSEP2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 15.9N5 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 16.8N5 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 18.0N9 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 19.1N1 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.4N6 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.7N2 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.1N8 136.5E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. THE LOCATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FOR TD 17W IS STILL HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AS IT IS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD TROUGH. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE OUTFLOW IS BEING ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF TD 17W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 240221Z SEP 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 240230). NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6, AND 251500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:47 2003 X-UIDL: 40460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00M3ECTWNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:03:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OI3h6F042943 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 02:03:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OGYjbJ070542; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1054773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OHuCX9058778 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OHu87S006983 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OHu83P006981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 12:56:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309241756.h8OHu83P006981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 241800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/241800Z-250600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241351ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 241200Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 480 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 241500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 139.9E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARAS 1.A.(1), 1.B. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DAMRON/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:52 2003 X-UIDL: 40470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00M0WKC4NA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:45:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OKjq6F062877 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:45:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgAek019540; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:36:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1057973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:36:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OKaRdU052346 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:36:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OKaN7S012341 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:36:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OKaNgA012340 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:36:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:36:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309242036.h8OKaNgA012340@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 242100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 16.5N2 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 136.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.8N6 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.1N1 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.4N6 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.3N7 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 26.4N2 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 135.8E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 565 NM WEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY SHOWING HIGHER WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE OUTFLOW IS BEING ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF TD 17W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0, 250900Z6, 251500Z3 AND 252100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:12:52 2003 X-UIDL: 40471-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLQ00M3LKE0NA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:46:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OKl06F063040 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 04:47:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgAea034834; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:32:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1057902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:32:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OKWOdU034024 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:32:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8OKWK7S012210 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8OKWKtv012209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:32:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 15:32:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309242032.h8OKWKtv012209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 16.0N 136.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 18.4N 136.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 165E 49N 180E 37N 180E 36N 169E 52N 165E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 121E 17N 118E 17N 111E 20N 111E 23N 116E 25N 119E 25N 121E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 40N 180E 40N 170E 51N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 124E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 55N 142E ENE 15 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 180E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 124E TO 48N 127E 48N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 124E TO 44N 121E 40N 117E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 41N 155E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 124E TO 29N 125E 32N 129E 36N 132E 37N 135E 38N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 166E TO 30N 170E 32N 174E 34N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 10:44:54 2003 X-UIDL: 40491-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR00MB40M5NA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:37:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P2bShi080443 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 10:37:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkuu099082; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:27:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1063717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P2RidU038204 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:27:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P2Re7S018351 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P2ReE6018350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:27:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 21:27:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250227.h8P2ReE6018350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 16.0N 136.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 18.0N 137.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 165E 50N 180E 38N 180E 42N 168E 52N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 156E 60N 164E 60N 180E 45N 180E 47N 160E 50N 156E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 54N 146E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 13N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 165E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 37N 124E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 41N 156E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 123E TO 29N 124E 33N 130E 37N 134E 37N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 173E TO 32N 180E 34N 177W 51N 153W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Sep 25 11:29:46 2003 X-UIDL: 40499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR00MCV2PMNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:22:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P3Mi6F009321 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 11:22:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkwc099082; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:15:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1064580 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:15:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P3FudU030902 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:15:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P3Fq7S019008 for ; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:15:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P3FpNu019007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:15:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 24 Sep 2003 22:15:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250315.h8P3FpNu019007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 16.7N4 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.4N2 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.4N3 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.7N7 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.2N5 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.4N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 135.8E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6, 251500Z3, 252100Z0 AND 260300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:22:59 2003 X-UIDL: 40512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR000HGB2LVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:23:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P6NK6F031792 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:23:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfk52099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1067202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P6BMdU023480 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P6BI7S021094 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P6BIEh021092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:11:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250611.h8P6BIEh021092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z-260600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N4 135.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/NOREN/WINDES/BIRD/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:23:17 2003 X-UIDL: 40513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR00M3VB4SNA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:24:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P6Oehi008794 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 14:24:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfk5A099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:18:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1067282 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:18:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P6IXdU037300 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:18:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P6IT7S021170 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:18:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P6IT81021169 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:18:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 01:18:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 17w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250618.h8P6IT81021169@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 250300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W/ WARNING NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 250000Z7 TO 280000Z0 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. B. TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AS A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE DEVELOPS AND LINKS WITH THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS ALSO EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WITHIN 24 HOURS. TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH- EASTWARD AFTER 24 HOURS AS THE RIDGES LINK AND CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE WEAKNESS CREATED BY THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS OF NOGAPS, UKMET EGRR, AND NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND JAPANESE GLOBAL (JGSM) AND REGIONAL (JTYM) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. NOGAPS AND GFDN ARE EASTERN OUTLIERS OF THE FORECAST ENSEMBLE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN AND NOGAPS. C. TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS POLEWARD TOWARD THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS RUNNING ALONG 30.0 NORTH. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN LARGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED MANOP TIME. 4. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:23:44 2003 X-UIDL: 40523-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR000QUH22VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:32:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P8Wb6F047986 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:32:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgAs0019540; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:27:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1068543 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P8RQdU089140 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P8RM7S022381 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P8RMN9022380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:27:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:27:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250827.h8P8RMN9022380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 250600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 16.0N 135.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 18.0N 135.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 167E 60N 179W 37N 180E 38N 171E 44N 160E 60N 167E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 128E 23N 126E 23N 123E 25N 120E 29N 123E 30N 128E 28N 128E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 148E 39N 142E 42N 143E 43N 146E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 170E 36N 159E 37N 148E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 40N 140E ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 140E TO 37N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 140E TO 35N 135E 29N 127E 26N 126E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 166E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 34N 122E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 41N 157E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:23:45 2003 X-UIDL: 40524-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR000T0H36VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P8XIhi024929 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 16:33:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfk72099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:26:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1068528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:26:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8P8QOdU050004 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:26:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8P8QK7S022370 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:26:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8P8QKdf022369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:26:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 03:26:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309250826.h8P8QKdf022369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 250900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 16.5N2 135.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 135.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.0N8 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.4N3 135.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.6N6 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.2N5 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.8N3 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 135.6E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TD 17W REMAINS BROADLY ORGANIZED IN A MONSOON TROUGH SITUATED ALONG 15N (APPROX). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3, 252100Z0, 260300Z1 AND 260900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR00MJYVY9NA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 21:54:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PDsKhi060071 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 21:54:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkEA099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:48:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1072105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PDmJdU081768 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:48:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PDmF7S026425 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PDmFML026424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:48:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:48:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309251348.h8PDmFML026424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 17.0N8 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 136.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.7N5 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 19.0N0 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 20.4N6 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.7N0 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 24.2N8 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.2N0 136.0E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 740 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 250914Z1 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSMI) CONTINUE TO DEPICT A BROAD CIRCULATION WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH. A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO SUPRESS DEVELOPMENT AND CURB DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ON THE POLEWARD SIDE. ADDITIONALLY, A RECENT TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION SUGGESTED A SECOND CIRCULATION TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CURRENT BEST TRACK POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0, 260300Z1, 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:16 2003 X-UIDL: 40553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR00M2LWJENA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:06:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PE6q6F096140 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:06:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkEW099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:59:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1072251 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:59:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PDxXdU032654 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:59:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PDxT7S026758 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:59:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PDxTVq026757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:59:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 08:59:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 17w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309251359.h8PDxTVq026757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W/ WARNING NR 05// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 251200Z0 TO 281200Z3 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 740 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 250914Z1 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSMI) CONTINUE TO DEPICT A BROAD CIRCULATION WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH. A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO SUPRESS DEVELOPMENT AND CURB DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ON THE POLEWARD SIDE. ADDITIONALLY, A RECENT TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION SUGGESTED A SECOND CIRCULATION TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CURRENT BEST TRACK POSITION. B. TD 17W IS EXPECTED MOVE SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HRS AS IT CONSOLIDATES AND INTENSIFIES. AFTERWARDS, TD 17W IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHEAST WITH THE DEVELOPMENT NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE AND A SHIFT IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS TRANSITION WILL BE AIDED BY THE PASSAGE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH- NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE RE-ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET EGRR, GFS, GFDN, AND JAPAN GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. HOWEVER, THIS SCENARIO CAN BE OVER-FORECASTED IN DYNAMIC MODELS WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A SLOWER TRANSITION AND PROPAGATION FURTHER WEST THAN FORECASTED. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH CONSIDERATION FOR PERSISTENCE. C. TD 17W HAS BEEN SLOW TO DEVELOP WITH OUTFLOW INHIBITED BY A TUTT CELL SITUATED CLOSE BY TO THE NORTHEAST. WITHIN 24 HOURS, THIS TUTT CELL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN, IMPROVING OUTFLOW CONDITIONS. TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY INITIALLY BEFORE MORE FAVORABLE OUTFLOW RESULTS IN IMPROVED DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON THE HUNTLEY MODEL AND REVIEW OF THE DYNAMIC MODEL WIND FIELDS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/NOREN/WINDES/PHILIPS/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:19 2003 X-UIDL: 40557-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLR000A5Y12VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:39:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PEdDhi065095 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:39:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJfkFk099082; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 09:29:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1072627 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 09:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PETMdU089260 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 09:29:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PETH7S027650 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 09:29:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PETHbL027649 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 09:29:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 09:29:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309251429.h8PETHbL027649@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 251200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 16.2N 136.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 18.4N 138.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 143E TO 38N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 143E TO 31N 134E 26N 128E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 137E 24N 138E 25N 144E 23N 148E 15N 147E 16N 142E 19N 137E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 11N 137E 15N 140E 15N 146E 11N 147E 10N 141E 11N 137E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 161E 60N 180E 39N 180E 43N 169E 60N 161E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 149E 39N 142E 41N 143E 45N 149E 52N 157E 60N 163E 60N 170E 40N 161E 37N 156E 37N 149E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 112E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 168E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 124E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 161E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:39 2003 X-UIDL: 40591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS0002WF4JVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:48:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PKmW6F045161 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 04:48:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgA8a034834; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:29:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1081142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:29:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PKTKdU072802 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:29:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PKTG7S008667 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:29:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PKTGll008666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:29:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:29:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309252029.h8PKTGll008666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 16.7N 137.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 19.0N 139.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 145E TO 39N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 145E TO 35N 138E 31N 133E 26N 126E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 138E 25N 139E 27N 144E 24N 147E 16N 147E 17N 142E 20N 138E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 140E 16N 145E 13N 145E 11N 140E 13N 138E 16N 140E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 171E 60N 180E 39N 180E 44N 170E 60N 171E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 40N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 170E 38N 170E 35N 160E 37N 149E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 168E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 125E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 164E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:40 2003 X-UIDL: 40593-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS000IIG30VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 05:09:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PL9E6F047512 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 05:09:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PFkwai024790; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:53:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1081982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:53:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PKqidU081668 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:52:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8PKqd7S009490 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:52:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8PKqdOD009489 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:52:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 15:52:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309252052.h8PKqdOD009489@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 252100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 17.2N0 135.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 135.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 18.1N0 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.4N4 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 20.8N0 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.4N8 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 25.6N3 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.4N2 136.0E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN EARLIER MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT A BROAD CIRCULATION WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH. A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1, 260900Z7, 261500Z4 AND 262100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:24:58 2003 X-UIDL: 40618-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS000ZTV7CVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 10:35:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q2Zohi055166 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 10:35:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfnS072086; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 21:28:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1088380 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 21:28:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q2STdU030452 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 21:28:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q2SP7S015457 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 21:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q2SP3R015456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 21:28:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 21:28:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260228.h8Q2SP3R015456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 16.2N 134.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 18.3N 136.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 147E TO 42N 150E 40N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 147E TO 38N 145E 36N 141E 32N 135E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 145E 51N 157E 56N 162E 39N 175E 36N 166E 38N 149E 44N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 46N 133E ESE 20 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 52N 156E ESE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 167E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:54:36 2003 X-UIDL: 40623-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS0043NXL0KC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:27:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q3REhi061023 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:27:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfqA072086; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:23:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1089620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:23:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q3MudU011520 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:22:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q3Mq7S016084 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:22:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q3Mpm5016083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:22:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:22:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 007 Relocated Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260322.h8Q3Mpm5016083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 16.2N9 135.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 135.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.0N8 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.1N0 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.3N3 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: IWO JIMA 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.5N7 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.4N9 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 135.7E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 610 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED BASED ON MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT INDICATES THE PREDOMINATE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EQUATORWARD OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. A WESTWARD WIND BURST HAS ELONGATED AND HAS REORIENTED THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH- EAST. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTION AND MULTIPLE LLCC'S. THE TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT AND CURB DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ON THE POLEWARD SIDE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7, 261500Z4, 262100Z1 AND 270300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 11:54:37 2003 X-UIDL: 40624-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLS00444XL6KC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:27:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q3RLhi061032 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 11:27:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfq8072086; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:21:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1089601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:21:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q3LtdU105724 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:21:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q3Lp7S016068 for ; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:21:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q3LpSk016067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:21:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 25 Sep 2003 22:21:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 17w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260321.h8Q3LpSk016067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W/ WARNING NR 07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 260000Z8 TO 290000Z1 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 610 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED BASED ON MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT INDICATES THE PREDOMINATE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EQUATORWARD OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. A WESTWARD WIND BURST HAS ELONGATED AND HAS REORIENTED THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTH- EAST. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTION AND MULTIPLE LLCC'S. THE TUTT CELL TO THE NORTHEAST CONTINUES TO SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT AND CURB DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ON THE POLEWARD SIDE. B. TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY QUASISTATIONARY FOR THE THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HRS AS IT CONSOLIDATES AFTER THE PASSING OF THE WESTERLY WIND BURST. AFTERWARDS, TD 17W IS FORECAST TO TURN TO THE NORTH EAST WITH THE DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE EQUATORIAL RIDGE AND A SHIFT IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS TRANSITION WILL BE AIDED BY THE PASSAGE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS PASSING OVER JAPAN. TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK NORTH- NORTHEAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE RE-ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET EGRR, GFS, GFDN, AND JAPAN GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. HOWEVER, THIS SCENARIO HAS BEEN OVER-FORECASTED IN THE DYNAMIC MODELS OVER THE LAST 36 HOURS AS EVIDENCED BY THE WESTWARD PROPAGATION AND THE SLOW TRANSITION TO A POLEWARD TRACK. THE UKMET GLOBAL HAS THE BEST CONTINUITY WITH RESPECT TO INITIALIZATION AND SLOW SPEED OF ADVANCE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH AN EMPHASIS ON EGRR. C. TD 17W HAS BEEN SLOW TO DEVELOP WITH THE PASSING WESTERLY WIND BURST DISRUPTING THE FORMATION OF A LLCC BELOW THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ALSO, UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITH THE TUTT CELL SITUATED TO THE NORTHEAST HAS PREVENTED SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE TUTT CELL IS EXPECTED TO BE PICKED UP BY THE PASSING SHORT WAVE TROUGH. TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY FROM 24 TO 48 HOURS AND THEN INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS POLEWARD OUTFLOW IMPROVES AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NEAR THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON THE HUNTLEY MODEL AND REVIEW OF THE DYNAMIC MODEL WIND FIELDS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 14:25:27 2003 X-UIDL: 40638-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT004HG5PLKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 14:22:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q6Mj6F009709 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 14:22:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgAR0019540; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1092024 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q6EEdU055022 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q6E67S017660 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q6E6aU017658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 01:14:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260614.h8Q6E6aU017658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z-270600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 135.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 610 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, AND QUASISTATIONARY DURING THE PAST 12 TO 18 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/NOREN/WINDES/PHILIPS/BIRD/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 18:45:41 2003 X-UIDL: 40650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT004WCBT5KC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 16:34:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q8YThi092902 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 16:34:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfvg072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:27:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1092552 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:27:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q8R5dU032576 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:27:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q8R17S018883 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q8R16D018882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:27:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260827.h8Q8R16D018882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 18.0N 136.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 22.3N 140.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 44N 150E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 150E TO 43N 153E 41N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 150E TO 40N 148E 36N 142E 34N 140E 32N 137E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 144E 47N 152E 56N 162E 40N 174E 36N 163E 38N 150E 42N 144E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 46N 135E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 51N 158E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Sep 26 18:45:43 2003 X-UIDL: 40651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT004MZCSLKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 16:55:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q8tn6F028904 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 16:55:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfx2072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:50:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1092828 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8Q8oYdU067128 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:50:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8Q8oU7S019080 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8Q8oUBs019079 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 03:50:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 008 Relocated Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309260850.h8Q8oUBs019079@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 260900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 008 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 18.1N0 136.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 136.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.8N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.0N3 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.3N7 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.6N1 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.5N3 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 137.0E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W IS NOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA BASED ON A RELOCATED POSITION. TD 17W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM REMAINS BROADLY ORGANIZED BUT IS SHOWING SIGNS OF CONSOLIDATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4, 262100Z1, 270300Z2 AND 270900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:16 2003 X-UIDL: 40676-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT004U4SJUKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:35:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QEZvhi030459 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:35:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUf4o072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:27:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1095320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QER1dU012402 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QEQu7S023971 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:26:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QEQuiq023970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:26:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:26:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309261426.h8QEQuiq023970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 19.0N 137.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 22.4N 140.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 152E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 152E TO 45N 155E 43N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 152E TO 38N 150E 36N 144E 34N 141E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 144E 48N 153E 56N 162E 40N 167E 35N 158E 37N 149E 43N 144E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 136E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 168E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:19 2003 X-UIDL: 40677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT0043PSQ0KC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:39:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QEdn6F067158 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:39:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8OJgATC034834; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:31:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1095497 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QEVMdU036114 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:31:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QEVI7S024088 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:31:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QEVI0l024087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:31:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:31:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309261431.h8QEVI0l024087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 19.0N0 137.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 137.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 20.5N7 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.7N0 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.9N3 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 24.5N1 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 28.1N1 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.4N4 137.7E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION WAS RELOCATED AT 260600Z4 BASED UPON MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT CLEARLY INDICATED A SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN INFRARED IMAGERY. TD 17W REMAINS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH STRONG WINDS ON THE PERIPHERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AND A TREND OF INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTH CONTINUES TO SUPPRESS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1, 270300Z2, 270900Z8 AND 271500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:19 2003 X-UIDL: 40679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLT004PJT30KC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:47:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QEld6F067836 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:47:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUf5i072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:34:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1095576 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:34:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QEYQdU038720 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:34:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QEYM7S024169 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:34:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QEYMFF024168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:34:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 09:34:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 17w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309261434.h8QEYMFF024168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W/ WARNING NR 09// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 261200Z1 TO 291200Z4 SEP 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE WARNING POSITION WAS RELOCATED AT 260600Z4 BASED UPON MULTISPECTRAL AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT CLEARLY INDICATED A SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO LOCATE IN INFRARED IMAGERY. TD 17W REMAINS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH STRONG WINDS ON THE PERIPHERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AND A TREND OF INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A TUTT CELL TO THE NORTH CONTINUES TO SUPPRESS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. B. TD 17W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO A SHIFT IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET EGRR, GFS, GFDN, AND JAPAN GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. JGSM AND JTYM ARE THE FASTEST AND EGRR REMAINS SLOWEST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 17W CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE WITH SEVERAL FACTORS CURBING DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, THE TUTT CELL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WITH THE PASSAGE OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH, AND TD 17W IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SLOWLY DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON THE HUNTLEY MODEL AND REVIEW OF THE DYNAMIC MODEL WIND FIELDS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/NOREN/WINDES/PHILIPS/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:27 2003 X-UIDL: 40691-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU004OJ4NBKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 02:57:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QIvJ6F096290 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 02:57:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8PLUfI8072086; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 13:49:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1100471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 13:49:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QInddU051488 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 13:49:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QInZ7S002208 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 13:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QInZtP002207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 13:49:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 13:49:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0316 Koppu (0316) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309261849.h8QInZtP002207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 261800 WARNING 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA AT 20.4N 138.5E EAST OF PARECE VERA MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 23.5N 140.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 26.0N 142.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 29.0N 143.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:31 2003 X-UIDL: 40697-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU004RB9YGKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:51:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QKq8hi069584 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:52:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QETOae091194; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:47:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1103693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:15:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QKFXdU096808 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:15:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QKFT7S004918 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:15:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QKFT9c004917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:15:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:15:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309262015.h8QKFT9c004917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 262100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- NEAR 19.9N9 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.6N9 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 23.3N8 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 25.0N7 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 26.5N3 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 29.9N0 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 138.2E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TUTT CELL TO THE NORTH IS FILLING AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW SHOULD IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2, 270900Z8, 271500Z5, AND 272100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:31 2003 X-UIDL: 40698-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU004XFA3BKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:54:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QKt1hi069825 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:55:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QJp6kC034834; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:44:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1104745 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QKTwdU046028 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:29:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8QKTs7S005407 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8QKTs1C005406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:29:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 15:29:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309262029.h8QKTs1C005406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 155E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 155E TO 44N 161E 41N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 155E TO 39N 152E 35N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 147E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 179E 40N 177E 36N 154E 40N 147E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 126E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 54N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 171E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 996 HPA AT 20.4N 138.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 09:58:37 2003 X-UIDL: 40707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU004CEL16KC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 08:51:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R0pK6F032783 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 08:51:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QM1mis102586; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 19:46:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1110714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 19:46:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R0kNdU017328 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 19:46:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R0kJ7S009773 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 19:46:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R0kJnc009772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 19:46:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 19:46:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0316 Koppu (0316) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270046.h8R0kJnc009772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 270000 WARNING 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 990 HPA AT 21.5N 139.3E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 24.7N 141.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 27.0N 142.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 30.0N 144.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:05 2003 X-UIDL: 40712-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU004CAPZEKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:38:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2cI6F042875 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:38:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QLdClU019558; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:31:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1112272 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:31:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2V1dU064986 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:31:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R2Uv7S010992 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R2UvPh010991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:30:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:30:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270230.h8R2UvPh010991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 155E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 155E TO 44N 158E 44N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 160E TO 42N 165E 39N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 160E TO 41N 157E 40N 153E 37N 150E 35N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 149E 40N 142E 43N 141E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 166E 60N 180E 48N 180E 36N 172E 33N 156E 39N 149E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 30N 142E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 127E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 171E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 990 HPA AT 21.5N 139.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:05 2003 X-UIDL: 40713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU004GZQ1TKC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:39:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2dihi001219 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:39:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QM1mmK102586; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:33:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1112315 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:33:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2X6dU005606 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:33:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R2X27S011028 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R2X2oW011027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:33:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 21:33:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270233.h8R2X2oW011027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 270300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- NEAR 21.4N7 139.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 139.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.4N9 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 25.4N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 27.0N9 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 28.8N8 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 32.5N0 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 36.1N0 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 40.3N7 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION NEAR 21.9N2 139.4E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 234 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE INCREASED CONVECTION AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8, 271500Z5, 272100Z2, AND 280300Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:07 2003 X-UIDL: 40716-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLU008ZCRW94L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:19:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R3Jbhi005579 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 11:19:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8QM1mno102586; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:13:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1112957 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:13:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R3DOdU057534 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:13:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R3DE7S011532 for ; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:13:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R3DEn3011531 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:13:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2003 22:13:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 17w (koppu)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270313.h8R3DEn3011531@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 270300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU)/ WARNING NR 11// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 270000Z9 SEP TO 020000Z2 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 234 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE INCREASED CONVECTION AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. B. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE YELLOW SEA IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND PROPAGATE EASTWARD, WEAKENING THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EAST OF TS 17W. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET EGRR, NCEP GFS, GFDN, JAPAN GLOBAL, (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. JGSM AND JTYM PROPAGATE THE TROUGH FASTER THAN EGRR, GFDN, AND NOGAPS, RESULTING IN A FASTER TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 17W IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 262021Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST TAKES THE TRACK ON A NORTHEASTERLY TRACK, INCREASING SPEED AS TS 17W ENCOUNTERS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:10 2003 X-UIDL: 40722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV0083R1NG4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:50:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R6oJ6F067572 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:50:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Oho102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:42:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1114834 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:42:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R6g3dU020726 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:42:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R6fw7S013850 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:41:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R6fwxD013848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:41:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:41:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270641.h8R6fwxD013848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N7 139.1E4, APPROXIMATELY 234 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:11 2003 X-UIDL: 40724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008951R64L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:52:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R6qXhi026774 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 14:52:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Ohs102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:47:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1114877 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:47:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R6lgdU045490 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:47:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R6lc7S013898 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:47:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R6lc4V013897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:47:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 01:47:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0316 Koppu (0316) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270647.h8R6lc4V013897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 270600 WARNING 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 980 HPA AT 22.1N 139.1E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 25.9N 141.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 28.5N 142.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 32.5N 147.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:12 2003 X-UIDL: 40728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV0088Q6K74L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:36:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R8aHhi036302 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 16:36:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R06aIK058016; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 03:29:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1115313 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 03:29:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R8TJdU004536 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 03:29:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R8TF7S015120 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 03:29:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R8TEC2015119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 03:29:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 03:29:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270829.h8R8TEC2015119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 161E TO 43N 165E 40N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 161E TO 41N 159E 40N 156E 37N 152E 33N 145E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 156E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 145E 34N 145E 34N 154E 31N 153E 31N 145E FOR NEXT 12HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 143E 42N 143E 43N 145E 51N 157E 55N 162E 50N 180E 34N 162E 35N 150E 40N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 30N 142E NE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 44N 127E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 55N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 175E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 980 HPA AT 22.1N 139.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:12 2003 X-UIDL: 40730-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008F58PU4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 17:22:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R9Mvhi040567 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 17:22:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52OkI102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:14:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1115813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:14:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R9EvdU008042 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:14:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8R9Eq7S015594 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:14:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8R9EqsS015593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:14:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 04:14:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309270914.h8R9EqsS015593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 270900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 22.2N6 139.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 139.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 24.4N0 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.2N0 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 27.9N8 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.8N9 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 33.8N4 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 36.5N4 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 39.4N6 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION NEAR 22.7N1 139.9E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TS 17W CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY TO NEAR TYPHOON STRENGTH WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5, 272100Z2, 280300Z3 AND 280900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Sep 27 22:19:17 2003 X-UIDL: 40737-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008LHIJN4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 20:54:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCtD6F002458 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 20:55:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Om4102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 07:48:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1116652 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 07:48:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCm4dU094056 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 07:48:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RClx7S017300 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 07:48:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RClx1k017299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 07:47:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 07:47:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0316 Koppu (0316) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271247.h8RClx1k017299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 271200 WARNING 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 980 HPA AT 23.1N 139.6E SOUTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 190 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 26.6N 141.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 29.5N 143.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 32.5N 148.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:32:25 2003 X-UIDL: 40741-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008BRN2G4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 22:32:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8REWs6F011048 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 22:32:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Oqe102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 09:28:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1117967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 09:28:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RESWdU031918 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 09:28:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RESS7S018264 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 09:28:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RESSNP018263 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 09:28:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 09:28:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271428.h8RESSNP018263@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 45N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 160E TO 46N 163E 45N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 166E TO 43N 170E 38N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 166E TO 41N 164E 39N 159E 35N 155E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 155E TO 32N 147E 29N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 130E 30N 130E 30N 136E 26N 135E 26N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 143E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 180E 34N 160E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 03N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 56N 148E SE SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 179W SE 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 980 HPA AT 23.1N 139.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:32:41 2003 X-UIDL: 40743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV0089UOK54L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:04:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RF586F013964 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:05:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Org102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:02:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1118390 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:02:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RF2DdU036130 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:02:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RF297S018672 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:02:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RF29be018671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:02:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:02:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271502.h8RF29be018671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- NEAR 23.5N0 139.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 139.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 25.6N3 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 27.5N4 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 29.0N1 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 30.7N0 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 34.1N8 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 36.8N7 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 39.9N1 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION NEAR 24.0N6 140.0E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE AT IWO JIMA AS TS 17W MAKES ITS APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH THE LATEST 271200Z2 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION AT IWO JIMA REPORTING 23 KNOTS GUSTING TO 36 KNOTS. THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS NOW MOVED TO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF TS 17W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2, 280300Z3, 280900Z9, AND 281500Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:32:42 2003 X-UIDL: 40744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008M2OUJ4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:11:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RFBK6F014709 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 23:11:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52Ork102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:04:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1118430 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:04:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RF4HdU081866 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:04:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RF4D7S018696 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:04:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RF4DTT018695 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:04:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 10:04:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 17w (koppu)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271504.h8RF4DTT018695@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU)/ WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 271200Z2 SEP TO 021200Z5 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE AT IWO JIMA AS TS 17W MAKES ITS APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH THE LATEST 271200Z2 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION AT IWO JIMA REPORTING 23 KNOTS GUSTING TO 36 KNOTS. THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS NOW MOVED TO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF TS 17W. B. TS 17W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARDS ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST. TS 17W WILL THEN LINK UP WITH A DEEP SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND BEGIN TO ACCELERATE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AS IT ENTERS THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET EGRR, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND JAPAN GLOBAL (JGSM) AND JTYM ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. THE MODELS SUITE IS CLUSTERED INTO TWO BASIC SOLUTIONS. THE FIRST CLUSTER OF GFDN, JGSM, JTYM AND NOGAPS FORECAST 17W TO LINK UP WITH THE SHORTWAVE LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARDS INTO THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THE SECOND CLUSTER OF EGGR AND NCEP GFS DEPICT A MUCH SLOWER SOLUTION DUE TO WEAK TO NO INTERACTION WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE WEST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH MORE EMPHASIS ON GFDN, JGSM, JTYM, AND NOGAPS. C. TS 17W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY IN A RELATIVELY WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN LEVEL OFF OR EVEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS THE SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR INCREASES. TS 17W WILL THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY LATE AFTER THE 48 HOUR TAU AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW AND INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 270913Z2 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST EXPECTS TS 17W TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AND ACCELERATE EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS IN THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW OF THE MID-LATITUDES. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:11 2003 X-UIDL: 40755-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLV008MPZEW4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 02:59:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RIxZ6F036015 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 02:59:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52OwU102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 13:52:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1120817 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 13:52:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RIqEdU013400 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 13:52:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RIq97S020984 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 13:52:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RIq9l6020983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 13:52:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 13:52:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0316 Koppu (0316) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309271852.h8RIq9l6020983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 271800 WARNING 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 975 HPA AT 24.0N 139.9E SOUTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 27.8N 141.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 33.5N 147.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 45.0N 154.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40759-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW008MV31Y4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 04:17:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RKI96F043694 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 04:18:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52O0Y102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:12:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1121799 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:12:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RKCAdU018938 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:12:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RKC57S021796 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RKC5s6021795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:12:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:12:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309272012.h8RKC5s6021795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 24.4N0 139.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 139.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.5N3 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.6N6 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 31.1N5 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 34.0N7 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 40.7N1 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 44.4N2 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 24.9N5 140.1E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 78 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3, 280900Z9, 281500Z6, AND 282100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:16 2003 X-UIDL: 40760-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW008IL3T04L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 04:34:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RKYShi097567 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 04:34:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52O1A102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:27:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1121982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RKRSdU031962 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8RKRO7S021997 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8RKROZJ021996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:27:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 15:27:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309272027.h8RKROZJ021996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 45N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 162E TO 44N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 38N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 40N 164E 39N 159E 35N 154E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 154E TO 35N 151E 32N 146E 29N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 134E 29N 138E 24N 136E 25N 134E 29N 134E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 143E 42N 143E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 167E 60N 180E 38N 179E 35N 163E 38N 152E 39N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 55N 134E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 134E TO 53N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 134E TO 50N 131E 46N 124E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 52N 151E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 975 HPA AT 24.0N 139.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:29 2003 X-UIDL: 40766-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW008R6FVU4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 08:55:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S0tKZO013467 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 08:55:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52O70102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 19:47:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1124557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 19:47:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S0ltdU091198 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 19:47:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S0lp7S024514 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 19:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S0lpmX024513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 19:47:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 19:47:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0316 Koppu (0316) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280047.h8S0lpmX024513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 280000 WARNING 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 975 HPA AT 24.7N 140.8E SOUTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 26.3N 141.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 28.0N 142.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 32.5N 147.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 43.0N 158.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:33 2003 X-UIDL: 40770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW008INJBB4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:09:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S29NZO019606 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:09:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52O7m102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1124913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S25AdU037152 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S2567S025086 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S256xs025085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 17w (koppu)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280205.h8S256xs025085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 280300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU)/ WARNING NR 15// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 280000Z0 SEP TO 010000Z1 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 272119Z2 SSM/I DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. IWO JIMA REPORTED A 980 MB PRESSURE AT 280000Z0. B. TS 17W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARDS ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST. TS 17W WILL INCREASE IN SPEED AS IT ENCOUNTERS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE BY 48 HOURS. TS 17W IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET EGRR, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND JAPAN GLOBAL (JGSM) AND TYPHOON (JTYM) MODELS, ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. THE MODELS FALL INTO TWO CLUSTERS. THE FIRST CLUSTER OF JTYM, EGRR, AND NOGAPS FORECAST 17W TO LINK UP WITH THE SHORTWAVE LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARDS INTO THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THE SECOND CLUSTER OF NCEP GFS, COAMPS, GFDN, AND JGSM DO NOT HANDLE THE INTERACTION WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WELL, RESULTING IN A SLOWER SOLUTION. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH MORE EMPHASIS ON JTYM, EGRR, AND NOGAPS. C. TS 17W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY IN A RELATIVELY WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 272027Z0 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:34 2003 X-UIDL: 40771-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW008JCJBN4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:09:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S29b62016594 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:09:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52O7o102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1124916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S25xdU069452 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S25s7S025098 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S25sDw025097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:05:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280205.h8S25sDw025097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 280300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- NEAR 25.0N7 140.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 140.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.8N6 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 28.7N7 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 31.1N5 145.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 34.1N8 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 41.1N6 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION NEAR 25.4N1 140.5E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 272119Z2 SSM/I DEPICTS THE DEEP CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMI- CIRCLE. IWO JIMA REPORTED A 980 MB PRESSURE AT 280000Z0. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9, 281500Z6, 282100Z3, AND 290300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:37 2003 X-UIDL: 40773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW008QUKDF4L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:32:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S2WG62018309 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 10:32:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R52O8C102590; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:28:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1125059 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:28:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S2SOdU037192 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S2SJ7S025248 for ; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S2SJwd025247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2003 21:28:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280228.h8S2SJwd025247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 42N 177E 39N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 39N 168E 38N 160E 36N 157E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 157E TO 34N 150E 30N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 45N 164E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 137E 25N 135E 25N 132E 30N 133E 31N 137E 29N 137E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 52N 158E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 35N 160E 35N 150E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 56N 136E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 136E TO 56N 140E 55N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 136E TO 50N 133E 45N 126E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 51N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 975 HPA AT 24.7N 140.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:44 2003 X-UIDL: 40785-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW00A8GU0NL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 14:00:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S60c62034517 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 14:00:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVeQ051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1126762 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S5rgdU052232 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S5rb7S026745 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S5rbnt026743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 00:53:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280553.h8S5rbnt026743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZSEP2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N7 140.3E8, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:46 2003 X-UIDL: 40787-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLW00A5RWH0L6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 14:53:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S6rcZO045809 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 14:53:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVf6051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 01:48:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1126963 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 01:48:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S6m6dU058220 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 01:48:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S6m27S027107 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 01:48:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S6m2dL027106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 01:48:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 01:48:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0316 Koppu (0316) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280648.h8S6m2dL027106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 280600 WARNING 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 975 HPA AT 25.4N 140.8E SOUTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 27.4N 141.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 29.7N 142.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 34.5N 149.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 45.0N 158.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:48 2003 X-UIDL: 40792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00A8I1DDL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:39:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S8dSZO055670 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:39:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3xU019560; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:31:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1127327 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:31:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S8VedU102410 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:31:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S8Va7S028088 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S8VaEo028087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:31:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280831.h8S8VaEo028087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 179E TO 41N 178W 39N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 179E TO 41N 176E 40N 172E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 172E TO 40N 168E 35N 155E 30N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 998 HPA AT 43N 165E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 143E 42N 157E 38N 164E 32N 145E 34N 143E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 40N 142E 42N 143E 44N 147E 51N 157E 60N 165E 60N 180E 38N 180E 33N 160E 34N 151E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 52N 136E NE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 136E TO 50N 139E 47N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 136E TO 47N 132E 45N 129E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 08N 154E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 59N 167E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 975 HPA AT 25.4N 140.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:33:49 2003 X-UIDL: 40793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00A5Q247L6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:55:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S8tM62049870 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 16:55:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVgI051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:50:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1127543 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:50:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S8omdU070914 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:50:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8S8oh7S028244 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:50:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8S8oh8Y028243 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:50:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 03:50:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309280850.h8S8oh8Y028243@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 280900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS 1. TROPICAL STORM 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 25.7N4 140.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 140.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 27.0N9 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 29.2N3 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 32.5N0 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 36.6N5 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 44.0N8 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION NEAR 26.0N8 140.8E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 65 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. THE ISLAND OF IWO JIMA CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE WINDS FROM TS 17W, WITH A RECENT 280600Z6 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 38 KNOTS GUSTING TO 57 KNOTS AND A SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OF 980 MB. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE AND IS LOCATED PREDOMINANTLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6, 282100Z3, 290300Z4, AND 290900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:01 2003 X-UIDL: 40807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00A24D9HL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 20:56:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SCuL62072111 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 20:56:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVja051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 07:50:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1129146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 07:50:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SCoRdU011556 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 07:50:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SCoN7S029997 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 07:50:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SCoNSW029996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 07:50:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 07:50:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0316 Koppu (0316) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@listserv.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281250.h8SCoNSW029996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 281200 WARNING 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 970 HPA AT 26.1N 140.5E SOUTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 28.4N 141.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 30.7N 144.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 36.0N 151.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 46.0N 160.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:04 2003 X-UIDL: 40810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00A4AI4VL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:41:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SEfZZO092651 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:41:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVm6051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:35:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1129941 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:30:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SEUudU038156 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:30:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SEUq7S000787 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:30:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SEUpEu000786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:30:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:30:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281430.h8SEUpEu000786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 42N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 176W TO 41N 170W 37N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 176W TO 40N 177E 39N 172E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 172E TO 39N 167E 36N 157E 31N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 165E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 50N 156E 60N 165E 60N 180E 32N 180E 30N 160E 30N 153E 40N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 137E NE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 137E TO 49N 140E 46N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 137E TO 50N 138E 48N 136E 43N 135E 40N 129E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 154E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 58N 166E ENE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 970 HPA AT 26.1N 140.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:05 2003 X-UIDL: 40811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00AA4I9YL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:44:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SEicZO092979 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:44:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCAruk035970; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1130031 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SEcEdU102466 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SEcA7S000845 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SEcA32000844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281438.h8SEcA32000844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 017 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 17W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- NEAR 25.9N6 140.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 140.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 27.4N3 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 30.1N4 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 34.3N0 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 38.6N7 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 45.2N1 166.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION NEAR 26.3N1 141.0E6. TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. A RECENT 281154Z1 SSM/I PASS REVEALS THAT TY 17W HAS DEVELOPED A LARGE, RAGGED EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF 60 NM. THE ISLAND OF IWO JIMA CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE WINDS FROM TY 17W, WITH A RECENT 281200Z3 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 34 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS AND A SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OF 984 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3, 290300Z4, 290900Z0, AND 291500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:06 2003 X-UIDL: 40812-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00AEEIBNL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:45:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SEjdZO093118 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:45:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCArui035970; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1130028 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SEcCdU102462 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SEc87S000840 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SEc8Ax000839 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 09:38:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 17w (koppu)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281438.h8SEc8Ax000839@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU)/ WARNING NR 17// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 281200Z3 SEP TO 011200Z4 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. A RECENT 281154Z1 SSM/I PASS REVEALS THAT TY 17W HAS DEVELOPED A LARGE, RAGGED EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF 60 NM. THE ISLAND OF IWO JIMA CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE WINDS FROM TY 17W, WITH A RECENT 281200Z3 SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 34 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS AND A SEA LEVEL PRESSURE OF 984 MB. B. TY 17W HAS EXPERIENCED A TEMPORARY SLOW DOWN AS IT TRANSITS THROUGH THE RIDGE AXIS BUT SHOULD PICK UP IN SPEED SOON. TY 17W IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARDS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. A DEEP SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM ASIA IS EXPECTED TO LINK UP WITH TY 17W IN APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS. THIS WILL CAUSE TY 17W TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARDS, ENTER THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, AND TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. TY 17W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET EGRR, NCEP GFS, GFDN, JAPAN GLOBAL (JGSM), AFWA, AND JTYM ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. THE MODEL SUITE CONTINUES TO BE CLUSTERED INTO TWO BASIC SOLUTIONS. THE FIRST CLUSTER OF EGGR, JGSM, JTYM, AND NOGAPS FORECAST TY 17W TO LINK UP WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARDS. THE SECOND CLUSTER OF GFDN, AFWA, COAMPS, AND NCEP GFS DEPICT A MUCH SLOWER SOLUTION DUE TO LESS INTERACTION WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO THE WEST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH MORE EMPHASIS ON EGGR, JGSM, JTYM, AND NOGAPS. C. TY 17W HAS THE POTENTIAL TO INTENSIFY EVEN MORE IN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS ANDTHEN IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY OR WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS THE SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR BEGINS TO INCREASE. TY 17W WILL THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY IN 24 TO 36 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW AND UNDERGOES TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 280847Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:11 2003 X-UIDL: 40817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00A07TWEL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:55:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SItgZO018424 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 02:55:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVsw051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 13:49:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1134060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 13:49:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SInddU040268 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 13:49:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SInY7S003036 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 13:49:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SInYDt003035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 13:49:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 13:49:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0316 Koppu (0316) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309281849.h8SInYDt003035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 281800 WARNING 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 970 HPA AT 26.7N 140.7E SOUTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 29.1N 142.4E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 31.7N 144.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 46.0N 157.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00AA0YFLL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:33:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SKXa62015166 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:33:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVvW051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:29:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1135443 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:27:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SKRHdU023816 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:27:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SKRC7S003983 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SKRCJT003982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:27:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:27:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309282027.h8SKRCJT003982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 170W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 170W TO 45N 167W 44N 162W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 170W TO 41N 175W 39N 178E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 178E TO 38N 175E 35N 157E 31N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 41N 168E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 142E 43N 145E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 33N 180E 31N 154E 41N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 44N 138E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 139E NE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 154E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 56N 160E ENE SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 970 HPA AT 26.7N 140.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:15 2003 X-UIDL: 40822-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLX00AQXYVLL6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:42:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SKhD62016162 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 04:43:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8S4vVvq051510; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:37:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1135829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:37:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SKbGdU099058 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:37:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8SKbB7S004110 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:37:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8SKbBW1004109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:37:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 15:37:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309282037.h8SKbBW1004109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 282100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- NEAR 26.7N5 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.7N5 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 28.8N8 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 31.6N0 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 36.0N9 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 31 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 40.4N8 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 45.9N8 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION NEAR 27.2N1 141.3E9. TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTH OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. A 281643Z4 AMSU PASS DEPICTS TWO BANDING FEATURES WRAPPING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4, 290900Z0, 291500Z7, AND 292100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:34:19 2003 X-UIDL: 40830-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CUUAHGJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 08:53:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T0rsZO049947 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 08:53:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVaeO044508; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 19:48:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1138914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 19:48:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T0mndU004520 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 19:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T0mi7S006422 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 19:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T0miaw006421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 19:48:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 19:48:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0316 Koppu (0316) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290048.h8T0miaw006421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 290000 WARNING 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0316 KOPPU (0316) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 965 HPA AT 27.3N 141.2E NEAR CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 29.5N 142.7E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 33.1N 146.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 46.0N 157.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 10:43:47 2003 X-UIDL: 40846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CWNF3SJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 10:33:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T2XTZO060919 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 10:33:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVagQ044508; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 21:30:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1140257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 21:30:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T2UFdU081708 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 21:30:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T2UA7S007392 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 21:30:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T2UAft007391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 21:30:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 21:30:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290230.h8T2UAft007391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 178E TO 39N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 178E TO 33N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 141E 23N 143E 25N 146E 28N 147E 27N 151E 14N 147E 16N 144E 17N 141E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 147E 31N 144E 32N 138E 33N 138E 35N 146E 35N 153E 31N 156E 29N 147E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 147E 42N 143E 45N 149E 47N 152E 44N 158E 38N 161E 43N 180E 35N 180E 32N 164E 33N 155E 38N 147E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 140E NE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 54N 140E NORTH 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 140E TO 39N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 140E TO 37N 137E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 53N 159E SOUTH 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0316 KOPPU (0316) 965 HPA AT 27.3N 141.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 144E TO 33N 150E 33N 157E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 11:37:54 2003 X-UIDL: 40851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CV3HGJJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:24:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T3OZZO066506 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:24:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVaj0044508; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:20:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1141217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:20:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T3KTdU013784 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:20:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T3KO7S007917 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:20:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T3KOuF007916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:20:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:20:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 17w (koppu)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290320.h8T3KOuF007916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU)/ WARNING NR 19// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 290000Z1 SEP TO 020000Z2 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO ENTRAIN DRY AIR FROM THE WEST. B. TY 17W IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE SEA OF JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND INTERACT WITH TY 17W IN 12 TO 24 HOURS. THIS WILL CAUSE TY 17W TO ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARDS, ENTER THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, AND TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, COAMPS, UKMET EGRR, GFDN, JGSM, AND JTYM ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 17W HAS REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER 12 TO 24 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW AND UNDERGOES TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 282001Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 11:37:57 2003 X-UIDL: 40853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CXOHHBJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:24:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T3P462052219 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 11:25:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCAr7I035970; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:21:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1141250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:21:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T3LUdU032790 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:21:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T3LQ7S007943 for ; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:21:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T3LQP1007942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:21:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 28 Sep 2003 22:21:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 019 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290321.h8T3LQP1007942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- NEAR 27.5N4 141.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N4 141.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 29.8N9 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 33.3N9 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 37.9N9 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 33 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 42.5N1 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 48.6N8 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION NEAR 28.1N1 141.7E3. TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO ENTRAIN DRY AIR FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0, 291500Z7, 292100Z4, AND 300300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Sep 29 14:58:08 2003 X-UIDL: 40881-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00CSZR9FJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:56:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6uJZO089743 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 14:56:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVaq8044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:51:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1143612 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T6pWdU091210 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:51:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T6pR7S009609 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T6pRFC009608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:51:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 01:51:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0316 Koppu (0316) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290651.h8T6pRFC009608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 290600 WARNING 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0316 KOPPU (0316) 960 HPA AT 28.3N 141.7E NEAR CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 30.8N 144.2E WITH 70 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 36.6N 149.8E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 48.5N 157.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:31 2003 X-UIDL: 40894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLY00C61VVMJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:35:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T8a0ZO002134 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 16:36:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T11hD2041650; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 03:31:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1144038 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 03:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8T8U3dU081918 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 03:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8T8Tw7S010569 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 03:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8T8Tw0d010568 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 03:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 03:29:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309290829.h8T8Tw0d010568@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 177W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 177W TO 38N 173W 39N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 177W TO 35N 172E 34N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 163E TO 34N 157E 35N 150E 32N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 133E 35N 144E 33N 143E 31N 138E 28N 137E 27N 133E 32N 133E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 147E 30N 152E 23N 151E 19N 144E 24N 143E 27N 147E 30N 147E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 46N 151E 40N 160E 40N 180E 33N 180E 31N 165E 32N 155E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 45N 140E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 55N 141E NORTH 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 140E TO 44N 141E 42N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 142E TO 41N 144E 40N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 142E TO 40N 141E 38N 139E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 153E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 116E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 52N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 25N 174E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0316 KOPPU (0316) 960 HPA AT 28.3N 141.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:46 2003 X-UIDL: 40918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CYR7R3JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:52:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TCqT62010664 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 20:52:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8SNVatq044508; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:47:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1145374 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:47:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TClddU005558 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:47:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TClY7S012777 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:47:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TClYEC012776 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:47:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 07:47:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0316 Koppu (0316) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291247.h8TClYEC012776@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 291200 WARNING 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0316 KOPPU (0316) 965 HPA AT 29.1N 142.4E NORTH OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 32.4N 146.2E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 38.8N 151.9E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 49.0N 158.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:51 2003 X-UIDL: 40927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CS9CNPJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:38:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TEcV62021118 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:38:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8RCArEe035970; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:29:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1146577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:29:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TESsdU085560 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:28:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TESn7S015320 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TESnve015319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:28:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 09:28:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291428.h8TESnve015319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 171W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 171W TO 39N 168W 39N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 171W TO 35N 177W 35N 178E 34N 169E 34N 165E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 165E TO 36N 157E 36N 150E 33N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 132E 33N 136E 36N 144E 33N 143E 31N 139E 28N 138E 28N 133E 32N 132E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 147E 32N 151E 23N 151E 16N 143E 25N 143E 27N 147E 31N 147E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 47N 153E 40N 160E 40N 180E 32N 180E 31N 165E 33N 153E 39N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 141E NNE SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 57N 141E NORTH 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 152E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 52N 160E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 24N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0316 KOPPU (0316) 965 HPA AT 29.1N 142.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:57 2003 X-UIDL: 40947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00C72ONZJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:57:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TIvmZO073810 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 02:57:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSrM044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:52:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1151314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:52:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TIqKdU098818 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:52:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TIqF7S022714 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TIqFvj022713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:52:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 13:52:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0316 Koppu (0316) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309291852.h8TIqFvj022713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 291800 WARNING 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0316 KOPPU (0316) 965 HPA AT 30.5N 144.2E NORTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 35.2N 149.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 44.1N 156.1E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:37:59 2003 X-UIDL: 40951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CJFTGVJC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 04:41:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TKfaZO085198 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 04:41:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSvg044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:32:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1152910 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:32:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TKWrdU013638 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:32:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TKWm7S025960 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TKWmQe025959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:32:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:32:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309292032.h8TKWmQe025959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 149E 34N 155E 28N 153E 24N 149E 24N 145E 28N 149E 30N 149E 34N 149E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 150E 35N 146E 34N 142E 32N 140E 29N 140E 29N 131E 32N 133E 36N 141E 39N 149E 37N 150E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 153E 45N 153E 42N 166E 36N 165E 38N 153E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 44N 145E 46N 150E 44N 180E 30N 180E 31N 166E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 46N 141E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 57N 140E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 42N 128E ESE 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 50N 161E SE 20 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 26N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0316 KOPPU (0316) 965 HPA AT 30.5N 144.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 107E TO 36N 111E 38N 115E 35N 119E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 145E TO 38N 153E 32N 168E 31N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 175E TO 33N 176W 41N 165W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:00 2003 X-UIDL: 40952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HLZ00CF8U37JC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 04:54:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TKt062062057 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 04:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8R2a3aU019560; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:46:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1153337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:45:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TKjtdU045390 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:45:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8TKjo7S026315 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8TKjo6O026314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:45:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 15:45:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 022 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309292045.h8TKjo6O026314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 292100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- NEAR 30.6N9 144.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.6N9 144.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 35.1N9 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 40.6N0 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 45.8N7 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION NEAR 31.7N1 145.6E6. TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS MOVED NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291630Z1 AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEAL WEAKENING CONVECTION ALONG WITH ELONGATION OF THE SPIRAL BANDS INDICATING THAT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS UNDERWAY. INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES SUBSTANTIAL COLD AIR IMMEDIATELY TO THE WEST OF TY 17W, AND THE 37 GHZ PASS SHOWS LOW LEVEL WIND STRENGTH REMAINING STRONG. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6, 300900Z2, 301500Z9 AND 302100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:09 2003 X-UIDL: 40968-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GIX58SDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:55:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U0tuZO011647 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 08:55:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxS8Y044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:49:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1156948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:49:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U0nYdU033544 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:49:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U0nT7S000281 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:49:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U0nTrw000280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:49:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 19:49:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0316 Koppu (0316) Downgraded From Typhoon 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300049.h8U0nTrw000280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 300000 WARNING 300000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 970 HPA AT 32.8N 147.0E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 33 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 39.3N 154.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 47.4N 157.7E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:14 2003 X-UIDL: 40983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GBI9UGDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 10:35:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U2ZLZO026161 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 10:35:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSBK044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 21:27:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1157885 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 21:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U2RqdU048296 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 21:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U2Rl7S001379 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 21:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U2Rljb001378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 21:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 21:27:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300227.h8U2Rljb001378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 136E 33N 136E 36N 141E 38N 142E 37N 145E 32N 142E 32N 136E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 150E 35N 153E 35N 158E 28N 156E 28N 150E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 150E 46N 150E 46N 160E 37N 160E 40N 150E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 38N 128E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 51N 164E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 970 HPA AT 32.8N 147.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 108E TO 37N 117E 35N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 147E TO 39N 152E 37N 160E 30N 172E 30N 178E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:17 2003 X-UIDL: 40995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000G38BC6DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:07:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U37Z62098955 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:07:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U0ijpW058126; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1158681 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U31XdU023924 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U31S7S001764 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U31SUa001762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 17w (koppu)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300301.h8U31SUa001762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU)/ WARNING NR 23// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 300000Z3 SEP TO 011200Z3 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS MOVED NORTH- EASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT NEARLY ALL THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED AND IS NOW ALMOST COMPLETELY GONE. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS WITHIN HOURS OF COMPLETION. B. TY 17W HAS ACCELERATED AND IS NOW RAPIDLY MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, JGSM, AND JTYM ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 17W WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND AFTERWARDS MAY INTENSIFY AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. D. WIND RADII ARE NOT GIVEN FOR EXTRATROPICAL POSITIONS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/NOREN/MECHANIC/PHILIPS/KELSEY/ CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:18 2003 X-UIDL: 40996-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000G55BCPDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:07:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U37tZO030239 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 11:07:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSCg044510; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1158678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U31XdU044980 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U31S7S001763 for ; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U31S6X001761 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2003 22:01:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 023 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300301.h8U31S6X001761@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- NEAR 32.9N4 147.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 31 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 32.9N4 147.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 37.8N8 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 42.6N2 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 46.8N8 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION NEAR 34.1N8 148.2E5. TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT NEARLY ALL THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED AND IS NOW ALMOST COMPLETELY GONE. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS WITHIN HOURS OF COMPLETION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2, 301500Z9, 302100Z6 AND 010300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Sep 30 15:38:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41017-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GNZI4DDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:33:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U5Y0ZO048473 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 13:34:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8TDxSH2044510; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1160546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U5TQdU042058 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U5TL7S003438 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U5TLqW003436 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 00:29:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300529.h8U5TLqW003436@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600ZSEP03/010600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300151ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TYPHOON (TY) 17W (KOPPU) WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N4 147.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 6.5N1 151.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM SOUTH OF CHUUK ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES AN LLCC IN THE AREA AS WELL. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:03 2003 X-UIDL: 41048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000G01QC6DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:31:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U8VaZO070417 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:31:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STeI044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:27:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1162532 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:27:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U8R0dU042048 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U8Qt7S005421 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U8QtO4005420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:26:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300826.h8U8QtO4005420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 976 HPA AT 35N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 41N 158E 35N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 29N 150E 24N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 280 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 48N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 138E 34N 138E 36N 142E 36N 145E 32N 145E 32N 138E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 144E 50N 156E 42N 166E 37N 164E 39N 155E 40N 142E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 148E 30N 151E 31N 155E 25N 155E 24N 152E 24N 148E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 165E 60N 180E 42N 180E 47N 173E 60N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 151E 42N 148E 47N 161E 36N 179E 25N 180E 35N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 49N 139E NNW 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 150E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 35N 127E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 52N 165E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 171E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 169E TO 30N 175E 29N 177W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:05 2003 X-UIDL: 41051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GVNQYGDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:44:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U8iu62037287 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 16:44:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U52nhG033736; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:39:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1162638 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:39:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U8d4dU058032 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:39:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U8ct7S005553 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U8ctf8005552 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:38:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:38:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300838.h8U8ctf8005552@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 300600 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0316 KOPPU (0316) 976 HPA AT 35N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 41N 158E 35N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 29N 150E 24N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 280 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 48N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 138E 34N 138E 36N 142E 36N 145E 32N 145E 32N 138E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 142E 42N 144E 50N 156E 42N 166E 37N 164E 39N 155E 40N 142E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 148E 30N 151E 31N 155E 25N 155E 24N 152E 24N 148E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 165E 60N 180E 42N 180E 47N 173E 60N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 151E 42N 148E 47N 161E 36N 179E 25N 180E 35N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 49N 139E NNW 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 150E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 35N 127E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 52N 165E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 171E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 169E TO 30N 175E 29N 177W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM000GOWRRQDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:02:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U92VZO074036 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 17:02:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U52ni4051648; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:56:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1162814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:56:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U8uGdU029152 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:56:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8U8uB7S005722 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8U8uBQC005721 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:56:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 03:56:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 17w (koppu) Warning Nr 024 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309300856.h8U8uBQC005721@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 300900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 17W (KOPPU) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- NEAR 35.0N8 149.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 35.0N8 149.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 40.5N9 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 45.5N4 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 48.1N3 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION NEAR 36.4N3 150.7E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS NOW COMPLETE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 01 00:34:16 2003 X-UIDL: 41069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100G9T744DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Sep 2003 22:33:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UEXu62074995 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 22:33:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8U7STm6044512; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 09:26:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1166245 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 09:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UEQodU089214 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 09:26:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UEQj7S010713 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 09:26:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UEQiQh010712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 09:26:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 09:26:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309301426.h8UEQiQh010712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 42N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 153E TO 41N 163E 36N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 153E TO 38N 156E 24N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 46N 156E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 48N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 167E 60N 180E 42N 180E 42N 174E 60N 167E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 150E 45N 164E 37N 172E 31N 171E 37N 159E 40N 154E 47N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 149E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 50N 169E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 36N 132E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 114E TO 41N 124E 41N 131E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 170E TO 30N 175E 28N 174W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:32 2003 X-UIDL: 41095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GTDO3YDB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:40:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UKf462015325 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 04:41:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UHQBmw041708; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:28:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1174510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:28:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UKSrdU007794 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:28:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UKSm7S022105 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UKSm8Y022103 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:28:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309302028.h8UKSm8Y022103@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 43N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 154E TO 44N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 157E TO 40N 168E 36N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 157E TO 36N 159E 32N 155E 26N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 46N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 48N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 153E 51N 151E 47N 166E 42N 173E 36N 171E 44N 153E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 36N 135E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 52N 169E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 115E TO 39N 122E 41N 127E 41N 131E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 172E TO 30N 176E 26N 178W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:37 2003 X-UIDL: 41098-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM100GCHQD9DB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 05:29:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULTo62020600 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 05:29:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UHQBoI041708; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1175057 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8UKvRdU051842 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h8UKvL7S022887 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h8UKvLbC022885 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 15:57:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200309302057.h8UKvLbC022885@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 302100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/302100ZSEP03/010600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300752ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300900Z2 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 17W (KOPPU) LOCATED NEAR 35.0N8 149.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:51 2003 X-UIDL: 41120-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KS94NTGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 10:38:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h912cYZO089940 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 10:38:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKkq098856; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:31:32 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1179944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:29:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h912TNdU086994 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:29:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h912TI7S028644 for ; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:29:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h912TI5f028643 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:29:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 30 Sep 2003 21:29:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010229.h912TI5f028643@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 45N 156E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 156E TO 45N 161E 44N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 165E TO 40N 170E 36N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 165E TO 39N 164E 34N 161E 31N 157E 29N 153E 26N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 50N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 33N 133E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 49N 174E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 118E TO 35N 122E 38N 126E 40N 130E 39N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:31:59 2003 X-UIDL: 41132-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KK3EGDGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:09:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h916A862063883 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 14:10:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKpa098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1182500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9164edU023818 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9164Z7S001275 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9164Z4L001273 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 01:04:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010604.h9164Z4L001273@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301951ZSEP2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:18 2003 X-UIDL: 41146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM200KA5LESGD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:40:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h918eMZO023158 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 16:40:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrGou037318; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:34:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1183762 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:34:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h918Y8dU047148 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:34:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h918Y37S003266 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:34:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h918Y2Lb003264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:34:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 03:34:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310010834.h918Y2Lb003264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 46N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 158E TO 47N 164E 44N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 42N 172E 38N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 33N 162E 26N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 49N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 133E ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 133E TO 40N 137E 38N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 133E TO 36N 129E 33N 123E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 32N 144E ESE 25 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 48N 177E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:29 2003 X-UIDL: 41169-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LVA27OR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 01 Oct 2003 22:43:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91EhFZO057413 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 22:43:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrK0s098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:31:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1186930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:31:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91EVCdU013428 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:31:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91EV77S009126 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:31:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91EV7ML009125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:31:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 09:31:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310011431.h91EV7ML009125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 47N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 160E TO 48N 166E 46N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 170E TO 43N 175E 38N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 170E TO 35N 165E 27N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 49N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 137E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 137E TO 41N 141E 40N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 137E TO 39N 134E 38N 130E 35N 128E 33N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 32N 147E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 174E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 53N 177E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:45 2003 X-UIDL: 41193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300KMZKI1GD@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 05:18:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91LIK62045713 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 05:18:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h8ULrKJY098856; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:27:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1192719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:27:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KRfdU004512 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h91KRX7S020162 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h91KRXAr020161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 15:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310012027.h91KRXAr020161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 48N 164E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 164E TO 48N 171E 45N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 175E TO 42N 180E 39N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 175E TO 39N 174E 32N 164E 26N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 49N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 44N 140E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 140E TO 43N 143E 42N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 140E TO 39N 136E 35N 129E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 32N 150E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 02 16:32:52 2003 X-UIDL: 41215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM300LS0ZAHR6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:37:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h922bZ62078249 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 10:37:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h91KVp0p009696; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:29:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1197236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:29:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h922Tdlx105644 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:29:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h922TY7S026331 for ; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:29:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h922TY5M026330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:29:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 01 Oct 2003 21:29:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310020229.h922TY5M026330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 48N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 168E TO 48N 175E 45N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 179E TO 40N 177W 36N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 179E TO 37N 175E 30N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 49N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 141E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 141E TO 44N 145E 43N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 141E TO 39N 140E 36N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 113E WEST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 145E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 32N 153E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 171E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:20:40 2003 X-UIDL: 41302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM4002DYWQLQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:39:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92EeE62055183 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 22:40:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Aslot046970; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1203737 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92ERPlx029658 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92ERJ7S005250 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92ERJ0I005249 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 09:27:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310021427.h92ERJ0I005249@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 45N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 147E TO 44N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 151E TO 39N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 151E TO 39N 151E 35N 146E 34N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 49N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 170E TO 49N 179E 45N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 175W TO 39N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 175W TO 39N 176W 34N 179E 31N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 112E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 140E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 29N 158E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:00 2003 X-UIDL: 41334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002S3DUSQR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:49:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92Knx62098489 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 04:50:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GqjvJ018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:27:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1208852 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92KRXlx051670 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:27:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h92KRS7S016287 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:27:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h92KRS9w016286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:27:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 15:27:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310022027.h92KRS9w016286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 150E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 150E TO 44N 154E 43N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 157E TO 40N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 157E TO 39N 156E 36N 151E 33N 145E 33N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 48N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 170E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 03 12:21:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41358-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM5002NOTR5QR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:33:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h932XO62029664 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 10:33:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h92GqjAJ018394; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:26:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1213327 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:26:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h932QIlx098440 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:26:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h932QD7S022565 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:26:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h932QCbc022563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:26:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 21:26:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030226.h932QCbc022563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 44N 155E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 155E TO 42N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 163E TO 40N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 163E TO 35N 155E 31N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 49N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 110E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007ICQOTE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:24:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EOoiU005050 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:24:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E7or3029540; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:19:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1214288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:10:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h934P0lx014876 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:25:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h934Os7S023925 for ; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:24:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h934OscM023923 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:24:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 02 Oct 2003 23:24:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030424.h934OscM023923@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z-040600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:45 2003 X-UIDL: 41422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM600798R3YE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:33:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EXtYF074706 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:33:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93E5urN048356; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:28:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1215392 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:12:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h938Sdlx031138 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:28:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h938SX7S026556 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h938SXiU026555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 03:28:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310030828.h938SXiU026555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 42N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 169E TO 41N 173E 38N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 169E TO 34N 159E 32N 148E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 148E TO 31N 144E 31N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 850 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 44N 159E MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 127E 20N 126E 18N 118E 21N 118E 22N 121E 24N 122E 24N 127E. SUMMARY. LOW 984 HPA AT 48N 180E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 36N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 177E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 04 00:14:51 2003 X-UIDL: 41438-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM6007VKS2IE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:54:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EsbiU008091 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 22:54:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdnl034454; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:48:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1217637 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93ERhlx051766 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93ERb7S002281 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93ERbgY002280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:27:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 09:27:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310031427.h93ERbgY002280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 43N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 174E TO 42N 179E 39N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 174E TO 35N 165E 32N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 151E TO 31N 144E 31N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 162E MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 128E 20N 127E 20N 116E 23N 117E 22N 121E 24N 123E 24N 128E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 114E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 129E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 36N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:08:44 2003 X-UIDL: 41473-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007OU7XIE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:36:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KbDiU047713 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 04:37:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdEN025006; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:28:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1225200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93KS5lx048700 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h93KS07S012535 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h93KS0Jf012534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:28:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 15:28:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310032028.h93KS0Jf012534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 43N 178W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 178W TO 42N 174W 39N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 178W TO 38N 176E 35N 166E 31N 152E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 152E TO 31N 147E 30N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 43N 162E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 121E 23N 126E 19N 126E 18N 115E 23N 116E 23N 121E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 14N 129E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 35N 112E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM7007GROVWE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:43:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942hRiU081000 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 10:43:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdFB058424; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:32:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1231043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h942U4lx047456 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h942Tw7S017623 for ; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h942TwP1017622 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:29:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 03 Oct 2003 21:29:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040229.h942TwP1017622@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 130E 19N 130E 19N 118E 21N 119E 23N 130E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 173E 43N 180E 38N 179W 37N 174E 42N 173E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 156E 43N 164E 38N 166E 37N 158E 42N 156E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 165E EAST 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 15N 126E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 36N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 170W TO 38N 178W 36N 172E 33N 162E 30N 152E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:10 2003 X-UIDL: 41524-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM700777Z5TE8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:25:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h946PNYF076051 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 14:25:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdGp058424; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h946Bslx041862 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h946Bm7S019537 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h946BmM4019535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 01:11:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040611.h946BmM4019535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z-050600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:13 2003 X-UIDL: 41534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM8007TS5A9E8@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948bgiU013281 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 16:37:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93EgdHP058424; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:29:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1233637 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:27:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h948Qtlx031140 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h948Qn7S020787 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h948Qn3D020786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 03:26:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310040826.h948Qn3D020786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 120E 23N 116E 26N 120E 27N 125E 20N 128E 18N 120E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 150E 45N 160E 40N 172E 33N 170E 37N 157E 45N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 154E ENE 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 172E EAST 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 126E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 152E TO 35N 175E 36N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:26 2003 X-UIDL: 41569-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM800BB3LRRGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:33:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94EXkYF020985 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 22:33:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h93Egdhf025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:27:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1235965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94ER7lx043942 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94ER17S024012 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94ER13k024011 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 09:27:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310041427.h94ER13k024011@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 121E 22N 115E 25N 120E 21N 129E 18N 128E 18N 121E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 55N 152E NW 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 147E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 126E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 115E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 172E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 153E TO 31N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 170E TO 34N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:33 2003 X-UIDL: 41589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BPV2M2GW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:37:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94KbWiU077336 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 04:37:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0Vpn025006; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:31:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1239200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94KVWlx082646 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h94KVN7S027624 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:31:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h94KVNtD027623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:31:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 15:31:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310042031.h94KVNtD027623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 33N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 151E TO 33N 154E 32N 156E 31N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 151E TO 31N 149E 30N 144E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 130E 18N 130E 19N 122E 18N 118E 22N 118E 24N 122E 22N 130E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 58N 143E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 55N 154E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 115E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 16N 124E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 119E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 175E EAST 20 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 173E TO 34N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:43 2003 X-UIDL: 41606-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900B4IJ1GGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:32:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h952WOr9019489 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:32:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h951BRrn034506; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:28:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1242234 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:28:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h952S5lx047522 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:28:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h952Rx7S000800 for ; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h952Rx15000799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:27:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 04 Oct 2003 21:27:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050227.h952Rx15000799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 34N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 155E TO 34N 158E 33N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 155E TO 31N 151E 29N 146E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 115E 22N 115E 27N 120E 27N 126E 19N 122E 17N 115E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 16N 125E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 51N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 59N 144E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 54N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 37N 124E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 169E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:50 2003 X-UIDL: 41621-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900BUPTIKGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 14:18:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h956IfYj041050 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 14:18:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V1N025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1244485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h956EClx049186 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h956E67S002707 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h956E6WF002705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 01:14:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050614.h956E6WF002705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z-060600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 18.9N8 124.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 125 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER AN AREA OF ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGHING. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 19.3N3 119.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER AN AREA OF ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGHING. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:09:52 2003 X-UIDL: 41626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HM900B5YZUCGW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:35:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h958ZLYj053556 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 16:35:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V2V025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:30:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1245320 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:30:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h958UJlx077926 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h958UD7S004026 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:30:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h958UDZT004025 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:30:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 03:30:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310050830.h958UDZT004025@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 050600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 159E TO 33N 164E 30N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 159E TO 30N 152E 27N 145E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 127E 20N 126E 18N 113E 21N 115E 27N 122E 24N 127E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 17N 119E WNW 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 120E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 54N 166E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 178E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:03 2003 X-UIDL: 41657-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EMCGF2WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95EXOYj082728 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 22:33:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0V87025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:29:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1248530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:29:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95ET3lx055158 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:29:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95ESv7S007240 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:28:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95ESvBt007239 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:28:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 09:28:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051428.h95ESvBt007239@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 165E TO 34N 169E 31N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 165E TO 30N 161E 27N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 124E 19N 116E 20N 114E 27N 120E 25N 124E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 20N 122E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 120E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 138E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 42N 153E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 55N 168E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 179E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E5YI8FWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:12:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95FCbr9078894 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 23:12:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h94I0VA7025006; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1249217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95F8Plx011286 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95F8J7S007657 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95F8JIH007655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 10:08:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051508.h95F8JIH007655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 051500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/051500Z-060600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.9N8 124.4E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 123.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE AREA OF BROAD CONVECTION IS CONSOLIDATING OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.3N3 119.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR AND DOWNGRADED THE AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:11 2003 X-UIDL: 41677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E31NELWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:03:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95H4IYj097471 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:04:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VCJ045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:59:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1250482 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:59:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Gx5lx085674 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:59:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95Gwx7S008762 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:58:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95Gwx9W008760 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:58:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 11:58:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051658.h95Gwx9W008760@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 051700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 051651Z OCT 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20.3N5 122.6E1 TO 22.9N3 118.3E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 051130Z0 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 121.9E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTH WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 123.1E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 121.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTH OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS INDICATE THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS CONSOLIDATING OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 061700Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:12 2003 X-UIDL: 41680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00E7TO2ZWN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:18:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95HIor9089575 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 01:18:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95B06rb067682; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1250658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95HCElx036380 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95HC87S008914 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95HC7K2008912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 12:12:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310051712.h95HC7K2008912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 051730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/051730Z-060600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/051651ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 123.1E7, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 121.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTH OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES, HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS INDICATE THAT DEEP CONVECTION IS CONSOLIDATING OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BUT FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 051700) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:16 2003 X-UIDL: 41692-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMA00EHAWZ4WN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:30:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95KV1Yj017240 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 04:31:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95Hx915034518; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:28:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1252680 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:28:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95KSDlx104736 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:28:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h95KS77S010926 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:28:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h95KS7FT010925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:28:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 15:28:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310052028.h95KS7FT010925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 116E 26N 120E 28N 127E 25N 127E 21N 118E 22N 116E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 171E TO 35N 175E 34N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 171E TO 32N 165E 28N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 20.8N 122.4E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 52N 143E SSE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 120E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 145E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 42N 155E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 178E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 11:10:31 2003 X-UIDL: 41739-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GXNDNXLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:31:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962VTYj051369 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:31:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VLf045432; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:27:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1256300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h962Rllx053916 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h962Rg7S014655 for ; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h962RfgR014654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 05 Oct 2003 21:27:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060227.h962RfgR014654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 38N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 176E TO 36N 179E 34N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 176E TO 33N 167E 27N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 125E 25N 124E 25N 121E 22N 119E 22N 116E 27N 120E 27N 125E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 21.4N 122.4E SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 53N 145E NE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 16N 116E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 40N 157E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 53N 170E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 123E TO 25N 128E 25N 131E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 132E TO 32N 137E 33N 142E 32N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:00:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00GPKN8OLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 13:58:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h965wJYj074065 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 13:58:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VPF045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1258606 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h965tdlx049590 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h965tX7S016635 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h965tXxs016632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 00:55:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060555.h965tXxs016632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z-070600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/051651ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 121.9E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.4N7 121.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 051700) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 18.4N5 117.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:56:27 2003 X-UIDL: 41801-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00G1TT7XLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:07:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9687Qr9076714 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:07:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VQ3045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1259133 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967wslx051726 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h967wm7S017631 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h967wmIN017628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 02:58:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060758.h967wmIN017628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 060800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/060800Z-070600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/051651ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.5N7 121.9E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.4N7 121.4E8, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 051700) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 18.4N5 117.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE. ANALYSIS OF AVAILABLE MICROWAVE DATA VERIFIES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BENEATH THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 06 16:56:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMB00G91ULRLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:37:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968bJYj091887 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:37:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfO8n025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:29:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1259268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h968T4lx049300 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:29:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h968Sw7S018064 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h968Sw0U018063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 03:28:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310060828.h968Sw0U018063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 180E TO 37N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 180E TO 32N 170E 28N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 125E 25N 125E 24N 121E 22N 118E 24N 118E 27N 125E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 21.8N 122.0E SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN STRAIT MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 18.1N 117.1E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 53N 146E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 118E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 137E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 41N 159E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 123E TO 26N 127E 25N 132E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 131E TO 31N 137E 33N 142E 32N 145E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:00 2003 X-UIDL: 41827-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GT240ZLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 20:00:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96C0or9002738 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 20:00:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOBt025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:55:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1260477 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:55:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Bt1lx036144 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:55:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Bst7S019913 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:54:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96BstG6019912 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:54:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 06:54:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref A Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtpn21 Pgtw 051700)// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061154.h96BstG6019912@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN23 PGTW 061130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 061121Z OCT 03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051651ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 051700)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.2N1 117.5E4 TO 20.5N7 114.2E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MET-SAT IMAGERY AT 060930Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 117.2E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.4N4 117.3E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 117.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE OVER A MORE ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 071130Z2. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 121.9E3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:04 2003 X-UIDL: 41834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G1YB7VLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:35:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Ea8r9022461 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:36:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452VUh045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:29:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1262300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:29:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96ESxlx089124 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96ESr7S023336 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:28:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96ESqNp023335 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:28:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:28:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061428.h96ESqNp023335@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 124E 25N 121E 22N 119E 24N 117E 28N 121E 27N 124E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 18.3N 117.4E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 58N 131E NNE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 55N 148E NE 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 49N 148E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 124E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 40N 137E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 41N 162E EAST 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 131E TO 54N 133E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 133E TO 52N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 133E TO 51N 129E 50N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 122E TO 27N 126E 27N 132E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 135E TO 31N 140E 33N 144E 32N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 162E TO 31N 169E 33N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 174E TO 35N 180E 40N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:06 2003 X-UIDL: 41840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GY0CE6LZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:01:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96F1bYj032920 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:01:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOHl025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1262691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96EsDlx039860 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Es77S024190 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Es7HS024187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 09:54:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061454.h96Es7HS024187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 061500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/061500Z-070600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/061321ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/061121ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 121.9E3, HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ENHANCED ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) VOID OF CONVECTION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 061330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.4N4 117.3E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 117.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE OVER A MORE ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF B (WTPN23 PGTW 061130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADE PARA 1.B.(1) TO POOR AND UPGRADE PARA 1.B.(2) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:08 2003 X-UIDL: 41844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00GXJEHOLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:46:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Fkwr9030631 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:47:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOJp025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:41:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1263466 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:41:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Ff7lx022434 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:41:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Feu7S025716 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:40:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96FetIG025715 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:40:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 10:40:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061540.h96FetIG025715@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 061330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 061321Z OCT 03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/051651ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. THIS MESSAGE SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A. 2. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 121.9E3, HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND ENHANCED ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) VOID OF CONVECTION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:19 2003 X-UIDL: 41866-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G62QHQLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:05:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96K6Dr9065036 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:06:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vf7045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1267302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Jxrlx021774 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Jxl7S003321 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96JxkaT003318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 14:59:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310061959.h96JxkaT003318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 062000 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/062000Z-070600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/061121ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 121.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.5N8 121.3E7, APPROXIMATELY 35 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME REESTABLISHED OVER A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANALYSIS AT 200 MB REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 117.2E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.0N9 116.7E5, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG. THE UNCERTAINTY OF LOCATION OF THIS DEVELOPING STORM IS STILL HIGH DUE TO FIXES ACCOMPLISHED IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE WEAK NATURE OF THE STORM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE OVER A MORE ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:20 2003 X-UIDL: 41868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G2ERWNLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:36:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KakYj073107 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 04:36:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9452Vfp045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:27:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1267642 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96KRelx043950 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:27:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96KRY7S004242 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96KRYvL004241 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 15:27:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062027.h96KRYvL004241@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 122E 22N 120E 23N 116E 27N 121E 26N 122E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 18.1N 116.8E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 135E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 56N 149E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 49N 150E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 126E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 141E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 165E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 48N 168E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 135E TO 53N 138E 52N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 135E TO 51N 133E 49N 125E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 122E TO 28N 128E 30N 137E 33N 145E 32N 148E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 164E TO 31N 171E 33N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 178E TO 35N 176W 41N 170W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:22 2003 X-UIDL: 41874-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G7HTHGLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:10:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96LApYj077038 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:10:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOZh025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1268341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96L6Ilx058598 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96L6C7S005695 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96L6Cb5005692 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062106.h96L6Cb5005692@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN31 PGTW 062100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061121ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:23 2003 X-UIDL: 41875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00G8PTIDLZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:11:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96LBKYj077092 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:11:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967Lh2T027150; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1268344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96L6Ilx051762 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96L6C7S005696 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96L6Cva005694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 16:06:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062106.h96L6Cva005694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- NEAR 18.0N9 116.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 116.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.8N6 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.4N2 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.9N6 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 16.2N9 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 14.9N4 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 116.6E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA HAS DRIFTED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS A WEAK ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND UPPER LEVEL UW CIMSS CHART SHOWS A GOOD ENVIRONMENT WITH BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 061121Z1 OCT 2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 061130). NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0, 070900Z6, 071500Z3, AND 072100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:28:28 2003 X-UIDL: 41888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMC00MBZYM7B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 07:01:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96N1gYj087561 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 07:01:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOeB025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:56:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1269880 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h96Muklx036348 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:56:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h96Mud7S007589 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h96Mudur007588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:56:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 17:56:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref Is A Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert Cancellation// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310062256.h96Mudur007588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN21 PGTW 062300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 062251ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061321ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 075 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 21.2N5 120.7E0 TO 24.4N0 122.2E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 062030Z1 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N8 121.3E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOT. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.4N6 121.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.5N8 121.3E7, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME REESTABLISHED OVER A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANALYSIS AT 200 MB REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 072300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 10:38:43 2003 X-UIDL: 41901-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MPF8A9B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:30:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972UVr9013546 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 10:30:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967Lh6R027150; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:26:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272124 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:26:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Qtlx036502 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h972Qn7S010012 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h972Qm2m010009 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:26:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 21:26:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070226.h972Qm2m010009@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 124E 30N 127E 32N 135E 32N 144E 29N 144E 28N 134E 27N 124E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 17.4N 116.6E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 54N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 41N 144E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 43N 169E EAST 30 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 123E TO 29N 128E 31N 144E 30N 149E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 163E TO 33N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 11:52:19 2003 X-UIDL: 41912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MTWAIJB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:18:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973Igr9019149 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:18:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Kimh045432; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:12:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:12:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973Crlx051790 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:12:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h973Ck7S010580 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:12:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h973CkD9010579 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:12:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:12:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070312.h973CkD9010579@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 070300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 17.7N5 115.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 115.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.3N1 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.2N0 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.4N2 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.6N4 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 18.0N9 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.6N4 115.4E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6, 071500Z3, 072100Z0 AND 080300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 11:52:21 2003 X-UIDL: 41913-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MG4APKB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:22:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973Mlr9019618 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:22:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOlR025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272607 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973GBlx036306 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h973G57S010612 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h973G46R010610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070316.h973G46R010610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 070300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 17.7N5 115.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 115.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.3N1 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.2N0 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.4N2 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.6N4 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 18.0N9 109.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.6N4 115.4E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6, 071500Z3, 072100Z0 AND 080300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 11:52:21 2003 X-UIDL: 41914-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MPLASSB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:24:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973OmYj014732 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:24:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h95JfOlP025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973GBlx051816 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h973G57S010611 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h973G4O6010608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 22:16:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 18w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070316.h973G4O6010608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 070300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W/ WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 070000Z7 TO 100000Z1 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TD 18W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES AND BECOMES MORE INFLUENCED BY THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE WEST OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, WBAI, UKMET EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 18W IS EXPECTED TO EXPERIENCE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND ENHANCED OUTFLOW IN THE SHORT TERM BY A POINT SOURCE ALOFT, ALLOWING TD 18W TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS. TD 18W WILL BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER AN ENVIRONMENT OF CONFLUENT OR LINEAR FLOW ALOFT AS IT ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF A BUILDING ANTICYCLONE THAT WILL BE ANCHORED OVER MYANMAR. THIS LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL CAUSE TD 18W TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AFTER THE 24 HOURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 12:37:20 2003 X-UIDL: 41919-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MKDDBPB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:19:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h974JOr9025840 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:19:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973wkmH025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:12:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:12:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h974Cvlx011406 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:12:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h974Cp7S011160 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:12:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h974CpCR011159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:12:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:12:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 14e (nora) Warning Nr 022 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070412.h974CpCR011159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 070400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 20.3N5 113.6W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 113.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 20.8N5 113.0W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.6N9 112.1W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.6N0 110.9W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070000Z7 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 113.6W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070000Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071000Z8, 071600Z4, 072200Z1 AND 080400Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 12:37:20 2003 X-UIDL: 41920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MOIDQOB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:28:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h974SNr9026588 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 12:28:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h973wkmR025012; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:21:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1272948 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:21:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h974L7lx082478 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:21:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h974L17S011254 for ; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:21:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h974L0Yh011253 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:21:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 06 Oct 2003 23:21:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 15e (olaf) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070421.h974L0Yh011253@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 070400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- NEAR 18.5N4 104.5W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.5N4 104.5W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 19.5N5 104.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.8N0 105.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.3N7 105.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 24.0N6 105.8W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070000Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 104.5W0 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 15E (OLAF), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 30 NM SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070000Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071000Z8, 071600Z4, 072200Z1 AND 080400Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14E (NORA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 13:45:25 2003 X-UIDL: 41927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MVDH74B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:42:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h975gpr9033819 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:42:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h967Lh8D027150; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:37:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1273981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:37:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h975awlx021882 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:36:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h975aq7S012150 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h975aqQ7012147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:36:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 00:36:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070536.h975aqQ7012147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/070151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/062251ZOCT2003// NARR/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/ AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT // RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 115.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 070300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.5N8 121.3E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.9N2 122.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM EAST OF SOUTHERN TAIWAN. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME RESTABLISHED OVER A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANALYSIS AT 200 MB REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 062300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 16:15:18 2003 X-UIDL: 41946-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MQ1O8KB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:14:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978F4Yj043615 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:15:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xqv031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:06:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1275043 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:06:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9786Qlx041954 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:06:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9786K7S013767 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:06:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9786K4b013766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:06:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:06:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070806.h9786K4b013766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 070900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 17.3N1 115.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 115.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.1N9 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 17.2N0 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.4N2 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.7N5 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 18.6N5 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 114.9E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, WHICH HAS DECREASED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3, 072100Z0, 080300Z1, AND 080900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 07 16:44:38 2003 X-UIDL: 41949-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00M98P5TB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:34:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978Z5r9050440 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 16:35:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XrB031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:27:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1275140 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h978Rrlx077290 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:27:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h978Rl7S013943 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h978Rk7M013942 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:27:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 03:27:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310070827.h978Rk7M013942@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 124E 30N 126E 32N 132E 34N 144E 29N 144E 28N 130E 26N 124E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 17.4N 116.1E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 54N 138E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 58N 152E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 51N 153E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 41N 146E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 43N 173E ENE 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 123E TO 27N 127E 29N 136E 32N 146E 30N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 165E TO 32N 172E 34N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:35 2003 X-UIDL: 41967-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMD00MJTVF4B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:49:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97AoFYj058711 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 18:50:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XtF031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:42:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1276114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:42:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97Agblx092434 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:42:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97AgV7S015290 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:42:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97AgVqd015289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:42:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 05:42:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14e (nora) Warning Nr 023 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071042.h97AgVqd015289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 071000 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 023 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14E 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- NEAR 20.5N1 113.3W8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N1 113.3W8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.1N4 112.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 21.9N2 111.2W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- REMARKS:TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 070600Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071600Z4, 072200Z1, 080400Z2, AND 081000Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:47 2003 X-UIDL: 41980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00M0B5VHB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:35:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97EZwjV085877 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:36:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Kivl045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1278489 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97ERBlx070532 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97ER57S019460 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97ER5X1019459 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:27:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071427.h97ER5X1019459@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 126E 30N 128E 33N 136E 35N 140E 35N 150E 32N 150E 28N 137E 27N 126E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 17.9N 116.0E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 54N 140E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 59N 153E NE 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 52N 154E NNE SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 146E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 43N 175E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 124E TO 28N 130E 29N 139E 32N 147E 30N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 169E TO 33N 175E 34N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:48 2003 X-UIDL: 41983-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MG7647B0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:40:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97Ef4jV086381 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:41:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753X25031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:24:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1278456 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:24:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97EO9lx092632 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:24:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97EO37S019356 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:24:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97EO3Li019355 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:24:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 09:24:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071424.h97EO3Li019355@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 071500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 16.9N6 114.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 114.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 16.7N4 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 16.9N6 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.1N9 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.4N2 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 18.3N2 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 114.6E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE REMAINING PERSISTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0, 080300Z1, 080900Z7, AND 081500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:32:52 2003 X-UIDL: 41991-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MP8BHHB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:36:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97Gb9Oi095701 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753X8l031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:29:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1280310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97GTglx043878 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:29:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97GTZ7S023300 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97GTZSU023299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:29:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 11:29:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 14e (nora) Warning Nr 024 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071629.h97GTZSU023299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 071600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E (NORA) WARNING NR 024 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- NEAR 20.1N3 112.6W0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 112.6W0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 20.1N3 111.5W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.8N0 110.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14E (NORA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 239 NM SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071200Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.NEXT WARNINGS AT 072200Z1, 080400Z2, AND 081000Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:01 2003 X-UIDL: 42004-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00M2CIERB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:06:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97J6ojV015610 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:06:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972Ki8b045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:52:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1282844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:52:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97Iqklx047016 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:52:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97Iqe7S027704 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:52:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97IqeqM027703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:52:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 13:52:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtpn21 Pgtw 062300)// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071852.h97IqeqM027703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 071930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 071921ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/062251ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 062300)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS MESSAGE SUPERCEDES AND CANCELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.9N2 122.4E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.3N8 124.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND HAS WEAKENED. THE UPPER LEVELS NOW REFLECT A LESS THAN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INFLUENCING THE POLEWARD SIDE OF 98W. RECENT AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SOUTHWEST OF THE WEAK CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:02 2003 X-UIDL: 42006-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MJPJ3FB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:21:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97JLfOi012018 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:21:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XHX031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1283308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97JDMlx025506 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97JDG7S028458 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97JDGGr028456 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:13:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071913.h97JDGGr028456@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 071930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/071930Z-080600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/071351ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/071921ZOCT2003// NARR/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/ AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.9N2 122.4E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.3N8 124.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND HAS WEAKENED. THE UPPER LEVELS NOW REFLECT A LESS THAN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INFLUENCING THE POLEWARD SIDE OF 98W. RECENT AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SOUTHWEST OF THE WEAK CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 071930) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/DAMRON/KELSEY/HEATH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:03 2003 X-UIDL: 42008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MUFJMSB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:32:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97JXHOi013242 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:33:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XHx031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1283521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97JQElx077254 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97JQ87S028806 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97JQ8vj028804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 14:26:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310071926.h97JQ8vj028804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 071930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/071930Z-080600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/071351ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/071921ZOCT2003// NARR/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING/ AND REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N6 114.8E4, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 071500) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.9N2 122.4E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.3N8 124.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND HAS WEAKENED. THE UPPER LEVELS NOW REFLECT A LESS THAN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INFLUENCING THE POLEWARD SIDE OF 98W. RECENT AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) SOUTHWEST OF THE WEAK CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 071930) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/DAMRON/KELSEY/HEATH// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:07 2003 X-UIDL: 42018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00MQZN8MB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:50:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KpAOi020941 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 04:51:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XLP031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:29:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1284560 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:29:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KT4lx039832 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:29:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97KSw7S001158 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97KSwTX001157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:28:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:28:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072028.h97KSwTX001157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 125E 31N 130E 33N 136E 35N 140E 36N 150E 33N 150E 29N 141E 27N 132E 26N 125E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 18.2N 115.9E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 55N 140E NNE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 58N 153E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 41N 147E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 123E TO 27N 128E 28N 138E 33N 146E 36N 160E 34N 166E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:10 2003 X-UIDL: 42022-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HME00M2BO4NB0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 05:10:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97LAIjV029013 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 05:10:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h972KiDl045432; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:55:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1285194 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:55:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h97KtQlx077164 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:55:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h97KtK7S001952 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:55:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h97KtKuu001951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:55:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 15:55:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310072055.h97KtKuu001951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 072100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- NEAR 16.9N6 114.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 114.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 16.7N4 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 16.7N4 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 16.9N6 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 17.3N1 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 18.5N4 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.9N6 114.6E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. EXPECT 18W TO INTENSIFY AT A VERY SLOW RATE DUE TO A SLIGHT INCREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A DECREASE IN UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AS 18W MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1, 080900Z7, 081500Z4 AND 082100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 10:33:30 2003 X-UIDL: 42053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003OT2XJ9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:29:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982U9jV058835 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 10:30:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XXb031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:26:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1289322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:26:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h982QQlx049616 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:26:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h982QJ7S007627 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h982QJgh007626 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:26:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 21:26:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080226.h982QJgh007626@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 127E 34N 140E 38N 150E 31N 150E 28N 136E 26N 125E 31N 127E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 18.0N 115.6E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 27N 127E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 54N 145E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 36N 161E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 147E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 124E TO 27N 127E 28N 135E 30N 149E 36N 161E 34N 173E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 11:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 42061-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003NR5XZ9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:34:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h983Z8Oi061153 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:35:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XYZ031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:30:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1289789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:30:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h983Uhlx038320 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:30:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h983Ua7S008359 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h983UaCi008358 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:30:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:30:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080330.h983UaCi008358@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 080300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- NEAR 17.6N4 115.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 115.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.7N5 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.7N5 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 17.9N7 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 18.2N1 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 18.8N7 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 17.6N4 115.4E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. RECENT AVAILABILITY OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 080027Z7 SSM/I MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OF TD 18W IS FURTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION REMAINS MOSTLY IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF TD 18W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7, 081500Z4, 082100Z1 AND 090300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 11:42:23 2003 X-UIDL: 42062-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003AI65J9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:39:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h983djOi061575 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 11:39:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XYb031060; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:31:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1289793 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:31:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h983Vhlx033930 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h983Vb7S008386 for ; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:31:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h983VbGK008385 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:31:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 07 Oct 2003 22:31:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 18w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080331.h983VbGK008385@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 080300 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W/ WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 080000Z8 TO 110000Z2 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS REMAINED MOSTLY QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. RECENT AVAILABILITY OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 080027Z7 SSM/I MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OF TD 18W IS FURTHER NORTH THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION REMAINS MOSTLY IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF TD 18W. B. TD 18W IS LOCATED BETWEEN A HIGH OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA AND A RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST OF LUZON. TD 18W IS FORECAST TO TRACK MOSTLY WESTWARD AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST AND THE HIGH OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA RETREATS WESTWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, JGSM, WBAI, EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THOUGH MANY OF THE MODELS HAVE A HARD TIME INITIALIZING ON THE CIRCULATION. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND ANALYSIS OF THE MODEL FIELDS. C. TD 18W IS FORECAST TO EXPERIENCE LESS THAN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT FOR INTENSIFICATION AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF AN ANTICYCLONE THAT WILL BE LOCATED OVER MYANMAR. TD 18W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/DAMRON/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 13:22:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003SCAST9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 13:19:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h985K1Oi071676 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 13:20:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9830owf077056; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1291107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h985Dllx085592 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h985De7S009481 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h985Deg0009479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 00:13:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080513.h985Deg0009479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/0080600Z-090600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/080151ZOCT2003// AMPN/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N4 115.5E2, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 080300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.3N8 124.5E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 16:02:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF003BOI469S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:57:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h987vxjV090459 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:58:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753Xcv031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:52:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:52:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h987qZlx047190 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:52:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h987qS7S010816 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:52:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h987qSYD010815 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:52:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 02:52:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080752.h987qSYD010815@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 080900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- NEAR 17.8N6 115.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 115.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 18.0N9 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 18.1N0 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 18.2N1 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 18.5N4 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 19.0N0 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 115.1E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 080530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINS TO THE SOUTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. RE-EVALUATION OF RECENT FIX DATA INDICATES TD 18W HAS COMPLETED A SLOW COUNTER- CLOCKWISE LOOP AND HAS NOW RESUMED TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD, BECOMING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4, 082100Z1, 090300Z2, AND 090900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 08 16:42:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF00369K2O9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:40:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h988eNOi093561 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 16:40:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9753XdH031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:31:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1292337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:31:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h988VWlx104920 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:31:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h988VQ7S011382 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:31:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h988VQuh011381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:31:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 03:31:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310080831.h988VQuh011381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 167E 60N 180E 47N 180E 49N 170E 60N 167E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 137E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 25N 128E NEAR OKINAWA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 36N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 164E TO 34N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 164E TO 29N 146E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 17.8N 115.6E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 54N 147E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 151E ENE 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 125E TO 25N 128E 28N 137E 29N 146E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:39 2003 X-UIDL: 42121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMF00367ZIW9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:13:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EE9Oi030714 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:14:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9854fsl092332; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:08:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1295149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:08:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98E8hlx028996 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:08:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98E8a7S015848 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:08:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98E8aKO015847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:08:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:08:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081408.h98E8aKO015847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- NEAR 18.0N9 115.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 115.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 18.4N3 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 18.6N5 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 18.9N8 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 19.2N2 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.7N7 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION NEAR 18.1N0 114.9E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, WHICH HAS SLIGHTLY DECREASED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z1 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1, 090300Z2, 090900Z8, AND 091500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:43 2003 X-UIDL: 42124-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003IU0KR9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:36:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EarOi033421 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:36:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvm3031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1295447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98ER2lx065570 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:27:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98EQu7S016396 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:26:56 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98EQuKV016395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:26:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:26:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081426.h98EQuKV016395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 139E WEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 37N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 168E TO 35N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 168E TO 29N 154E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 25N 130E NEAR MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 17.9N 115.7E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 54N 152E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 151E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 126E TO 25N 130E 28N 139E 29N 154E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:43 2003 X-UIDL: 42126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003P20NK9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:38:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EcYOi033588 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:38:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9854fuT092332; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:30:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1295641 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:29:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98ETrlx048722 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:29:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98ETl7S016489 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:29:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98ETlWq016488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:29:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 09:29:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 18w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310081429.h98ETlWq016488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 081500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W/ WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 081200Z1 TO 111200Z5 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS SOUTHWEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION, WHICH HAS SLIGHTLY DECREASED IN THE LAST 06 HOURS. B. TD 18W REMAINS LOCATED BETWEEN TWO LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGES, ONE OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA AND THE OTHER BUILDING OVER THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINES. TD 18W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST AND THE HIGH OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA RETREATS SLIGHTLY WESTWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, JGSM, WBAI, EGRR, COAMPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INITIALIZE THE SYSTEM POORLY AND, IN SOME CASES DO NOT DEVELOP THE SYSTEM AT ALL. GFS NOW INDICATES THAT THE RIDGE TO THE EAST WILL NOT BUILD AS MUCH AS PREVIOUS RUNS INDICATED, GIVING A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. NOGAPS BUILDS THAT RIDGE SLIGHTLY LESS THAN PREVIOUS RUNS AS WELL, HOWEVER NOT TO THE SAME EXTENT THAT GFS DEPICTS. DUE TO THE POOR AGREEMENT, AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS POSSIBLE, WITH A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE TO THE EAST. THIS ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS POSSIBLE IF THE RIDGE OVER THE PHILIPPINES DOES NOT BUILD IN AS MUCH AS THE PREPONDERANCE OF MODELS NOW SUGGESTS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND ANALYSIS OF THE MODEL FIELDS. C. TD 18W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD UNDER MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LESS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW CONDITIONS. INTERACTION WITH HAINAN ISLAND AT THE END OF THE PERIOD WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:26:59 2003 X-UIDL: 42151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG003WGH3H9S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:33:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98KXhjV077393 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:33:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPv6j031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:27:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1301481 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98KRmlx025498 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:27:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98KRf7S028222 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98KRfuO028221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:27:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:27:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310082027.h98KRfuO028221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 140E NORTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 38N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 176E TO 36N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 176E TO 36N 172E 36N 169E 34N 165E 32N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 17.2N 115.8E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTH SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 54N 154E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 150E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 126E TO 25N 132E 26N 136E 28N 140E 30N 146E 31N 153E 32N 160E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 10:27:00 2003 X-UIDL: 42154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG0035LHU09S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:49:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98KnejV078986 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 04:49:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPv7J031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:37:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1301739 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:37:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98Kbplx072416 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:37:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h98Kbj7S028530 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:37:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h98Kbjjk028529 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:37:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 15:37:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310082037.h98Kbjjk028529@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 082100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- NEAR 18.2N1 115.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 115.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 18.7N6 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 19.3N3 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 19.9N9 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 20.6N8 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 21.8N1 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 115.3E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND THE 200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS VERY WEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT WITH A MODERATE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDI TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2, 090900Z8, 091500Z5 AND 092100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:19:59 2003 X-UIDL: 42182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG006SLY4CQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:41:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h992fMOi010841 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 10:41:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvIr031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:29:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1305821 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:29:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h992Tqlx021862 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:29:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h992Tk7S004368 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:29:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h992Tjr4004367 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:29:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 21:29:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090229.h992Tjr4004367@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 179W TO 37N 176W 34N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 179W TO 36N 173E 35N 168E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 168E TO 32N 151E 28N 140E 25N 136E 25N 129E 22N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 350 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 139E 38N 153E 33N 155E 32N 150E 29N 140E 25N 137E 30N 133E 35N 139E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 17.9N 115.3E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 54N 156E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 140E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 41N 149E ESE SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:10 2003 X-UIDL: 42188-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMG006IAZF3QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 11:09:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9939UOi014594 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 11:09:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvJJ031060; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:06:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1306143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:06:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9936klx009714 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:06:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9936e7S004733 for ; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:06:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9936eFB004732 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:06:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 08 Oct 2003 22:06:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090306.h9936eFB004732@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 090300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- NEAR 18.4N3 115.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 115.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 18.7N6 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 19.2N2 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 19.7N7 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 20.3N5 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 21.7N0 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 114.9E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED AND EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AND A 082220Z4 QUIKSCAT PASS THAT INDICATED A 25 KNOT SYSTEM. RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A 200 MB RIDGE IS STARTING TO IMPACT THE SYSTEM WITH CONVERGENT FLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8, 091500Z5, 092100Z2 AND 100300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:15 2003 X-UIDL: 42202-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH006XU6KNQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 13:43:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h995i0jV030710 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 13:44:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99503pJ027150; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:36:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1308382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:36:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h995Zxlx104808 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:36:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h995Zr7S006125 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:35:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h995ZrdS006123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:35:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 00:35:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090535.h995ZrdS006123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RAZOR2_CHECK, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z-100600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/090151ZOCT2003// AMPN/ REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 082330Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED AND EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AND A 082220Z4 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A 25 KNOT SYSTEM. RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A 200 MB RIDGE IS STARTING TO IMPACT THE SYSTEM WITH CONVERGENT FLOW. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 090300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:21 2003 X-UIDL: 42213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH006OHED8QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:31:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h998WKOi047728 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:32:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvQL031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:24:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1309491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:24:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h998OZlx057930 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:24:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h998OS7S007613 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:24:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h998OSER007612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:24:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:24:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090824.h998OSER007612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 090900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- NEAR 19.1N1 115.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 115.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 19.7N7 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 20.1N3 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 20.5N7 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 21.1N4 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 22.8N2 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.3N3 115.0E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS MOVED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5, 092100Z2, 100300Z4 AND 100900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 09 20:20:22 2003 X-UIDL: 42215-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH006V7EFSQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:33:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h998XrjV048466 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 16:33:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvQR031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1309518 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h998Splx014964 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h998Sj7S007678 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h998Sja0007677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 03:28:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310090828.h998Sja0007677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 129E 34N 140E 37N 155E 32N 156E 29N 143E 25N 129E 31N 129E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 173E 42N 174E 42N 180E 37N 180E 36N 173E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 18.8N 115.4E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 25N 128E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 29N 143E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 54N 157E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 41N 149E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 123E TO 25N 128E 25N 137E 29N 143E 32N 151E 35N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 172E TO 37N 180E 39N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:33:43 2003 X-UIDL: 42240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH0067LUDZQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 22:17:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99EIJjV084714 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 22:18:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvXb031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:11:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1312494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:11:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99EBSlx077878 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:11:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99EBM7S012158 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:11:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99EBMX5012157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:11:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:11:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091411.h99EBMX5012157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 091500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- NEAR 19.6N6 115.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 115.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.0N2 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 20.4N6 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 20.9N1 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 21.6N9 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 23.1N6 111.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 19.7N7 115.1E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS MOVED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2, 100300Z4, 100900Z0 AND 101500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:33:50 2003 X-UIDL: 42242-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH0067EV75QX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 22:35:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99EZuOi088080 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 22:35:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvYP031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:28:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1312722 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99ES1lx101718 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99ERt7S012699 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99ERt2Z012698 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:27:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091427.h99ERt2Z012698@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 129E 36N 141E 36N 159E 32N 160E 30N 146E 27N 140E 25N 129E 30N 129E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 19.0N 115.3E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 25N 129E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 30N 147E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 54N 162E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 149E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 124E TO 25N 129E 26N 138E 30N 147E 34N 168E 34N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 176E TO 36N 177W 40N 170W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:33:51 2003 X-UIDL: 42244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMH0080SWJIIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 09 Oct 2003 23:04:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99F4mjV090247 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 23:04:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h98EPvZV031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:53:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1312965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:53:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99ErXlx047316 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:53:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99ErQ7S013537 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:53:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99ErQm2013536 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:53:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 09:53:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 18w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310091453.h99ErQm2013536@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 091500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W/ WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 091200Z2 TO 121200Z6 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM EAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS MOVED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TD 18W REMAINS LOCATED BETWEEN TWO LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGES, ONE OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA AND THE OTHER BUILDING OVER THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINES. TD 18W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING FROM THE EAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, JGSM, EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT INITIALLY BUT DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. EGRR IS THE EQUATORWARD OUTLIER WITH A WESTWARD TRACK DUE TO THE STRONGER DEVELOPMENT OF THE RIDGE OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. GFS IS THE POLEWARD OUTLIER DEPICTING THE SYSTEM TRACKING TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE MID LEVEL RIDGE INDUCED BY AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND ANALYSIS OF THE MODEL FIELDS. C. TD 18W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTS WITH LAND. D. TD 18W DOES NOT MEET CRITERIA FOR WIND RADII. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:04 2003 X-UIDL: 42269-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI006B3BIKQX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:27:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99KSKjV028050 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:28:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNFrD031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:19:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1318718 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:19:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99KJvlx040270 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:19:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99KJp7S024174 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:19:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99KJp1h024173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:19:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:19:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310092019.h99KJp1h024173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 092100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- NEAR 19.9N9 115.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 115.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 20.8N0 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.4N7 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 21.9N2 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.4N8 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 20.1N3 115.2E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA, HAS MOVED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4, 100900Z0, 101500Z7 AND 102100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:05 2003 X-UIDL: 42270-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI008PYCC1IA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:45:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99Kk1Oi033154 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 04:46:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNFrf031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:30:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1319007 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:30:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99KUQlx055106 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h99KUJ7S024456 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h99KUJX9024455 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:30:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 15:30:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310092030.h99KUJX9024455@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 158E 32N 158E 31N 150E 26N 136E 25N 127E 30N 128E 36N 141E 37N 158E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 154E 52N 158E 49N 167E 44N 166E 49N 154E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 18.3N 115.3E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 52N 121E NNE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 25N 129E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 52N 166E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 42N 152E EAST 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 121E TO 51N 121E 49N 122E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 122E TO 47N 127E 47N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 122E TO 44N 120E 40N 111E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 125E TO 25N 129E 26N 134E 28N 142E 31N 150E 33N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 176E TO 34N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:14 2003 X-UIDL: 42287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI008J4ROOIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 10:17:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A2HcjV062467 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 10:17:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99FAL5r008332; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:14:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1322886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:14:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A2EIlx051000 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:14:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A2EB7S029932 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:14:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A2EBAk029931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:14:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:14:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100214.h9A2EBAk029931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- NEAR 19.8N8 115.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 115.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 20.2N4 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 20.8N0 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 21.4N7 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.9N9 114.9E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS DRIFTED NORTH- NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED AND UNDER UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW 30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0, 101500Z7, 102100Z4 AND 110300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:15 2003 X-UIDL: 42289-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI008IUSCAIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 10:31:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A2VkOi067849 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 10:31:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99FAL6V008332; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:26:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1323020 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:26:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A2QElx051116 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:26:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A2Q77S000047 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:26:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A2Q7Bj000046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:26:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:26:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 18w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100226.h9A2Q7Bj000046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 100300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W/ WARNING NR 14// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 100000Z1 TO 111200Z5 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS DRIFTED NORTH- NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION EAST OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED AND UNDER UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. B. TD 18W REMAINS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A WEAK LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST. TD 18W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND ANALYSIS OF THE MODEL FIELDS. C. TD 18W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. TD 18W DOES NOT MEET CRITERIA FOR WIND RADII. 3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/LAM/CHITWOOD/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:15 2003 X-UIDL: 42290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMI00A2NSNIOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 10:38:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A2cTOi069007 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 10:38:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNF4L031060; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:29:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1323058 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A2TXlx050952 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:29:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A2TR7S000097 for ; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A2TRgM000096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:29:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 09 Oct 2003 21:29:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100229.h9A2TRgM000096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 128E 33N 132E 35N 140E 35N 150E 31N 150E 29N 141E 26N 135E 26N 130E 28N 128E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 153E 54N 155E 48N 169E 44N 165E 49N 153E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 19N 115E NW 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 48N 125E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 25N 131E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 171E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 42N 154E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 125E TO 48N 129E 47N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 125E TO 42N 123E 38N 114E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 127E TO 25N 131E 29N 142E 32N 152E 33N 169E 33N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:19 2003 X-UIDL: 42301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ0089V1QAIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 13:54:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A5scjV085732 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 13:54:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A52eqN045878; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1325408 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A5oTlx030832 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A5oL7S001350 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A5oLre001343 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100550.h9A5oLre001343@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z-110600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/100151ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 15:34:19 2003 X-UIDL: 42302-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ008A61QXIA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 13:54:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A5t0Oi090973 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 13:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNF89031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1325402 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A5oSlx055262 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A5oL7S001349 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A5oLsY001346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 00:50:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100550.h9A5oLsY001346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 100600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, AND HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 100300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26.1N9 130.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 120NM EAST OF OKINAWA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 03 HOURS. SYNOPTIC AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SYSTEM WITH A WELL-DEVELOPED MID LEVEL CIRCULATION UNDERNEATH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS ALSO REVEALS THAT THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS DECOUPLED TO THE SOUTH OF THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND CONVECTION. THESE FEATURES INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY EXTRA-TROPICAL. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT IF THE SYSTEM PERSISTS, IT MAY TAKE ON TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS FOR THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 35 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH GALE WINDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 16:43:23 2003 X-UIDL: 42311-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ008HB988IA@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:36:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A8aajV002520 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:36:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNF9P031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:30:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1326340 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:30:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A8UIlx040330 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:30:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A8UB7S002987 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A8UBEb002986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:30:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:30:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100830.h9A8UBEb002986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 140E 36N 150E 32N 150E 30N 144E 27N 139E 28N 130E 30N 130E 33N 135E 34N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 19N 114E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 26N 131E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 177E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 58N 178E NE 20 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 50N 127E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 42N 156E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 127E TO 47N 133E 48N 139E 47N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 127E TO 44N 126E 41N 121E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 140E TO 30N 144E 33N 168E 33N 172W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 16:53:23 2003 X-UIDL: 42313-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00AP39TLOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:48:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A8nPjV004338 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 16:49:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNF9T031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:42:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1326375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:42:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9A8gLlx037548 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:42:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9A8gE7S003093 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9A8gECB003092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:42:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 03:42:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 18w Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310100842.h9A8gECB003092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- NEAR 20.2N4 114.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 114.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 20.7N9 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 21.2N5 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 114.5E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 100530Z9 ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 90 NM TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE WEAK CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE POORLY ORGANIZED IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 22:03:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00AUIO8ROS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:00:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AE0qjV037189 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:00:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99FALHR008332; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:53:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1328404 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:43:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ADhBlx077838 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:43:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ADh47S006714 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:43:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ADh4dg006712 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:43:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 08:43:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310101343.h9ADh4dg006712@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 101200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/101200Z-110600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/100151ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100600Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N4 114.6E2, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 100900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26.1N9 130.1E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.1N9 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 170NM EAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IN THE SYSTEMS SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND THE DEEP CONVECTION IS BEING SHEARED AND DECOUPLED FROM A WELL ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT EXTRA-TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IF THE SYSTEM PERSISTS, IT MAY BECOME A TROPICAL SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS FOR THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 35 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH GALE WINDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: FINAL TD 18W AND UPDATE PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 10 22:53:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMJ00ALAQ9KOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:44:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AEiUOi049275 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 22:44:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h99JNFGh031060; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 09:30:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1329279 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 09:30:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AEUFlx039044 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 09:30:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9AEU97S008311 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 09:30:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9AEU8Dp008310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 09:30:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 09:30:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310101430.h9AEU8Dp008310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 26N 131E NEAR MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 36N 158E 31N 160E 31N 152E 27N 136E 30N 131E 33N 132E 35N 140E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 20N 114E NW 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 53N 128E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 57N 174E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 42N 157E ESE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 128E TO 52N 129E 51N 130E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 130E TO 49N 136E 47N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 130E TO 46N 131E 41N 122E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 139E TO 31N 150E 30N 164E 32N 180E 32N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 04:23:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42370-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00AFG5J1OS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:13:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AKEHOi084663 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:14:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWEsL092220; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:09:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1334331 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:09:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AK9Zlx055170 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:09:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9AK9S7S017848 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:09:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9AK9SoN017847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:09:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:09:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref A Is A Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtpn21 Phnc 091800)// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310102009.h9AK9SoN017847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 102000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 102000ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101752ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 091800)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS MESSAGE SUPERCEDES AND CANCELS REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 97.0w6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.9N5 97.0w6, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND WEAKENED DUE TO THE INTERACTION OF TERRAIN. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER AN UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIORNMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 04:43:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42371-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00A7T6HAOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:34:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AKYmjV081528 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 04:34:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWEtt092220; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:27:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1334718 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:27:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AKRslx029126 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9AKRm7S018276 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:27:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9AKRldA018275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 15:27:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310102027.h9AKRldA018275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 26N 131E NEAR MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 131E 35N 141E 37N 150E 36N 160E 31N 160E 32N 150E 33N 140E 30N 134E 31N 131E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 54N 128E SIBERIA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 128E TO 50N 134E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 134E TO 48N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 134E TO 45N 130E 41N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 21N 114E NNW 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 57N 178W NE 20 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 41N 160E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 133E TO 32N 141E 32N 150E 31N 158E 31N 168E 31N 177E 33N 170W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 10:33:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00A5UN1SOS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 10:32:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B2WfOi023701 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 10:32:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWE7b092220; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1338347 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 21:26:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B2Qslx011528 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 21:26:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B2Ql7S023171 for ; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 21:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B2QlDD023170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 10 Oct 2003 21:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2003 21:26:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110226.h9B2QlDD023170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 127E 31N 128E 33N 133E 34N 142E 33N 147E 30N 148E 29N 138E 28N 133E 27N 127E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 52N 136E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 136E TO 49N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 136E TO 44N 136E 41N 126E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1014 HPA AT 54N 129E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 22N 114E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 28N 131E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 57N 152E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1018 HPA AT 49N 155E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 40N 162E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 131E TO 32N 140E 32N 149E 31N 163E 31N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 17:14:02 2003 X-UIDL: 42408-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMK00D10WL1OI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 13:58:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B5weOi044440 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 13:58:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWE0P022442; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:54:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1340840 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:54:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B5s5lx021880 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:54:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B5rw7S024973 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:53:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B5rwQI024971 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:53:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 00:53:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110553.h9B5rwQI024971@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z-120600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26.1N9 131.1E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27.8N7 131.2E7, APPROXI- MATELY 190 NM EAST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED ENHANCED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A COLD CORE SYSTEM. DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IS SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN QUADRANTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS FOR THIS EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 TO 35 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH GALE FORCE WINDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Oct 11 17:14:12 2003 X-UIDL: 42414-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00DIL3OSOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:31:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B8W8jV047256 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 16:32:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52ws9046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 03:28:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1341613 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 03:28:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B8SLlx070444 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 03:28:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9B8SF7S026381 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 03:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9B8SFM7026380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 03:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 03:28:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310110828.h9B8SFM7026380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXII, Probability=42%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RAZOR2_CHECK, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 52N 140E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 140E TO 52N 144E 50N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 140E TO 44N 137E 41N 128E 39N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 128E 31N 128E 31N 131E 33N 133E 35N 140E 35N 149E 33N 149E 30N 135E 28N 128E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 146E 50N 156E 49N 169E 41N 170E 41N 155E 43N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 29N 130E NW 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 57N 154E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 49N 157E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 164E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 32N 135E 33N 153E 30N 164E 30N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:10:40 2003 X-UIDL: 42432-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HML00DJJKJQOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:35:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BEaIOi089816 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:36:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52w29046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 09:28:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1344683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 09:28:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BES1lx037216 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 09:28:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BERt7S029743 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 09:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BERto6029742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 09:27:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 09:27:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310111427.h9BERto6029742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 54N 143E SAKHALIN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 143E TO 53N 148E 51N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 143E TO 49N 143E 42N 135E 39N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER BOHAI. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 127E 30N 128E 31N 131E 33N 133E 34N 140E 32N 140E 30N 133E 29N 127E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 49N 155E 49N 171E 40N 171E 40N 150E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 29N 130E NW SLOWLY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 57N 157E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 48N 162E EAST 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 131E WEST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 153E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 167E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 32N 136E 33N 149E 30N 161E 30N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 42448-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMM00DE115EOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:34:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BKYoOi023687 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:34:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wA1046006; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 15:31:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1348250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 15:31:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BKV0lx047156 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 15:31:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9BKUr7S003441 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 15:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9BKUrRh003440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 15:30:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 15:30:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310112030.h9BKUrRh003440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 53N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 146E TO 52N 148E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 148E TO 49N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 148E TO 47N 147E 44N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER BOHAI. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 144E 43N 144E 50N 156E 50N 180E 39N 179E 40N 154E 41N 144E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 30N 130E NW SLOWLY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 48N 168E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1048 HPA AT 52N 98E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 170E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 132E TO 33N 137E 34N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 161E TO 28N 174E 28N 180E 30N 170W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:05 2003 X-UIDL: 42457-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMM00DJ6HVMOI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 10:35:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C2aDWk020603 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 10:36:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BMuZ2P031072; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 21:32:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1350933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 21:32:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C2WJlx050972 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 21:32:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9C2WC7S006333 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 21:32:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9C2WCGO006332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 21:32:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 21:32:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310120232.h9C2WCGO006332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 52N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 149E TO 52N 151E 51N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 153E TO 51N 157E 50N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 153E TO 47N 152E 44N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 31N 130E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER BOHAI. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 146E 51N 157E 50N 163E 44N 164E 42N 146E 44N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 173E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 169E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 131E TO 33N 136E 35N 145E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 174E TO 28N 180E 30N 170W 30N 163W 33N 157W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:06 2003 X-UIDL: 42459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMM00GZ8K9E2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:27:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C3Rh7n026555 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:27:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9AHWEDh022442; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1351413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C3O7lx096076 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9C3O07S006773 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9C3O0aZ006771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 001 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310120324.h9C3O0aZ006771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- NEAR 30.1N4 129.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 129.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 31.0N4 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 32.4N9 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 33.5N1 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 34.4N1 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 37.4N4 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 30.3N6 129.9E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION HAS BUILT OVER THE CENTER OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY A WEAKENING EXTRATROPICAL LOW SUGGESTING THAT THE SYSTEM IS TRANSITIONING TO A WARM CORE, TROPICAL SYSTEM. A RECENT 112108Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM IS AT WARNING STRENGTH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT TD 19W HAS BEEN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, THOUGH THE LATEST FRAMES HINT THAT THE CONVECTION MAY HAVE BEGUN TO BECOME SHEARED FROM THE WEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2, 121500Z9, 122100Z6 AND 130300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:06 2003 X-UIDL: 42460-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMM00GZCK9F2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:27:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C3RiWk024809 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 11:27:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52x1j092296; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1351416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C3O7lx036130 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9C3O07S006772 for ; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9C3O0Dm006770 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 11 Oct 2003 22:24:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 19w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310120324.h9C3O0Dm006770@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 120300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W/ WARNING NR 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 120000Z3 TO 150000Z6 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH OF SASEBO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION HAS BUILT OVER THE CENTER OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY A WEAKENING EXTRATROPICAL LOW SUGGESTING THAT THE SYSTEM IS TRANSITIONING TO A WARM CORE, TROPICAL SYSTEM. A RECENT 112108Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS THAT THE SYSTEM IS AT WARNING STRENGTH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT TD 19W HAS BEEN IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR THOUGH THE LATEST FRAMES HINT THAT THE CONVECTION MAY HAVE BEGUN TO BECOME SHEARED FROM THE WEST. B. TD 19W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS FOR THE FIRST 12 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. TD 19W WILL TRANSITION TO A MORE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK IN 12 TO 18 HOURS AS A MAJOR SHORTWAVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. TD 19W WILL LINK UP WITH THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN 36 TO 48 HOURS AND ACCELERATE RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND BEGIN UNDERGOING TRANSITION BACK TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET EGRR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 19W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY ONLY BRIEFLY IN THE TEMPORARY WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND WARM TROPICAL WATERS ENHANCED BY THE KIROSHIO CURRENT. TD 19W IS UNLIKELY TO REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT MAKES LANDFALL IN KYUSHU IN 12 TO 18 HOURS AND INTERACTS WITH THE LAND. TD 19W WILL REMAIN WEAK AS IT SKIRTS THE EASTERN COASTLINE OF JAPAN AND COMPLETES TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AN ALTERNATE SOLUTION IS FOR TD 19W TO DISSIPATE COMPLETELY OVER KYUSHU. D. TD 19W DOES NOT MEET CRITERIA FOR WIND RADII. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:09 2003 X-UIDL: 42467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GF10RZ2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:23:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C9OHWk051159 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:24:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wLh046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:20:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1352778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:16:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C9Gvlx036456 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:16:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9C9Go7S008504 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:16:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9C9GoRV008503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:16:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:16:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310120916.h9C9GoRV008503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 31N 130E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 51N 155E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 155E TO 49N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 160E TO 45N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 160E TO 43N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER BOHAI. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 145E 42N 144E 46N 152E 52N 160E 44N 172E 40N 168E 41N 156E 39N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 142E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 47N 179E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 173E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 130E TO 39N 142E 38N 147E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:09 2003 X-UIDL: 42468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00G731B12L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:35:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C9ZoWk052237 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 17:35:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9BMuZJx031072; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:23:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1352820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:17:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C9HMlx027262 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:17:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9C9HF7S008566 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:17:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9C9HFui008565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:17:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 04:17:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 002a Amended Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310120917.h9C9HFui008565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 120900 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 002A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- NEAR 31.0N4 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.0N4 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 33.2N8 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 35.1N9 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 37.0N0 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION NEAR 31.6N0 131.0E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF KYUSHU, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 120530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS, RADAR, AND A RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS SIGNIFICANTLY QUICKER THAN WARNING NUMBER 1 AND SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE INSTEAD OF BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL OVER WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9, 122100Z6, 130300Z7, AND 130900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:13 2003 X-UIDL: 42478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00G8NE1O2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:10:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CEAx7n079566 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:11:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOpl049272; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1355304 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CE7Jlx046902 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CE7C7S011925 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CE7CH0011924 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 19w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310121407.h9CE7CH0011924@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W/ WARNING NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 121200Z6 TO 131200Z7 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SYNOPTIC DATA AND RADAR INDICATE TD 19W MADE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF KYUSHU, JAPAN AT APPROXIMATELY 120700Z0. B. TD 19W IS CURRENTLY UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MERGES WITH THE BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY AND IS SHEARED APART BY THE APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET EGRR, GFDN, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 19W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TD 19W SHOULD DISSIPATE NEAR THE 24 HOUR POINT AS IT MERGES WITH THE SURFACE BOUNDARY. D. TD 19W DOES NOT MEET CRITERIA FOR WIND RADII. 3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:13 2003 X-UIDL: 42479-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00G8RE1P2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:10:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CEB7Wk077865 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:11:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wQd046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1355301 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CE7Hlx096156 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CE7A7S011920 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CE7ASC011919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:07:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310121407.h9CE7ASC011919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 32.1N6 131.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 32.1N6 131.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 34.0N7 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 36.0N9 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION NEAR 32.6N1 132.6E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SYNOPTIC DATA AND RADAR INDICATE TD 19W MADE LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHERN TIP OF KYUSHU, JAPAN AT APPROXIMATELY 120700Z0. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6, 130300Z7, AND 130900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:15 2003 X-UIDL: 42481-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GQFEXL2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:29:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CEUE7n081000 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 22:30:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOpt049272; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:27:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1355396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CERklx073800 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CERd7S012100 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CERdQn012099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 09:27:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310121427.h9CERdQn012099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, OPT_HEADER, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __OPT_HEADER_ALL, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 51N 163E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 163E TO 48N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 167E TO 45N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 167E TO 43N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 32N 132E EAST OF KYUSYU MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 100 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER BOHAI. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 145E 45N 156E 50N 167E 43N 176E 40N 167E 37N 151E 36N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 40N 146E ENE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 146E TO 37N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 146E TO 38N 141E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 141E TO 38N 137E 35N 131E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 152E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 174E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:18 2003 X-UIDL: 42492-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GTEUZ22L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:16:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CKGhWk013264 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:16:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wYd046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:12:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1358965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:12:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CKCYlx033984 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:12:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CKCR7S015129 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:12:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CKCRpq015128 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:12:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:12:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310122012.h9CKCRpq015128@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 33.1N7 133.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 33.1N7 133.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 34.4N1 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 34.8N5 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 33.4N0 135.1E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA AT CAPE MURUOTUMISAKI, JAPAN REPORTS SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH AT 31 KNOTS AND PRESSURE FALLING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7, 130900Z3 AND 131500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:18 2003 X-UIDL: 42493-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMN00GZSVPX2L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:32:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CKWo7n015831 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:32:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wZ1046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:28:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1359174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:28:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9CKS9lx037430 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:28:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9CKRv7S015239 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9CKRvsb015238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:27:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 15:27:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310122027.h9CKRvsb015238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 49N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 165E TO 50N 169E 48N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 172E TO 46N 176E 44N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 172E TO 45N 170E 44N 165E 43N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 33N 134E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 45N 142E HOKKAIDO MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 148E TO 39N 152E 38N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 148E TO 39N 146E 39N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 142E TO 37N 137E 34N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER BOHAI. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 141E 42N 143E 51N 167E 43N 180E 39N 161E 36N 153E 37N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 59N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 147E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 178E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 13:11:23 2003 X-UIDL: 42513-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00HC0CWHSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 10:43:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D2hwWk047699 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 10:44:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9B52wiJ046006; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 21:29:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1364151 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 21:29:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D2Tflx039806 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 21:29:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9D2TY7S018268 for ; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 21:29:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9D2TYkL018267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 12 Oct 2003 21:29:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 12 Oct 2003 21:29:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310130229.h9D2TYkL018267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 179E TO 44N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 179E TO 45N 175E 43N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 173E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 35 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 136E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 136E TO 36N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 136E TO 32N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 151E TO 41N 155E 39N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 151E TO 39N 147E 38N 143E 37N 139E 36N 138E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW AND NEAR COLD FRONT FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1002 HPA AT 46N 146E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 143E 44N 146E 50N 174E 50N 180E 41N 180E 38N 160E 38N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 59N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 143E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 163E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 179W EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 16:54:24 2003 X-UIDL: 42542-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00HFSTOLSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 16:45:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D8kJWk084332 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 16:46:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324vZ046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 03:34:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1370265 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 03:32:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D8Wflx094550 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 03:32:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9D8WY7S021498 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 03:32:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9D8WY5F021497 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 03:32:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 03:32:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310130832.h9D8WY5F021497@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 44N 153E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 153E TO 44N 159E 43N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 153E TO 41N 151E 40N 147E 38N 144E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 51N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 146E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 140E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 140E TO 37N 142E 38N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 140E TO 32N 136E 32N 132E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 132E TO 32N 127E 28N 123E 26N 119E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 47N 177W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 177W TO 47N 176W 46N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 175W TO 45N 173W 44N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 175W TO 43N 179E 43N 173E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER BOHAI YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 46N 151E 50N 180E 37N 180E 36N 150E 38N 144E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 147E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 145E WEST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 18:14:17 2003 X-UIDL: 42551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00H0BXHKSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 18:08:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DA8ZWk092555 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 18:08:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324wL046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:51:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1370777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:51:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D9p0lx094466 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:51:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9D9or7S022176 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9D9oriu022175 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:50:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:50:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 19w Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310130950.h9D9oriu022175@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 34.0N7 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 34.0N7 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 34.9N6 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 34.2N9 137.2E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA. A RECENT 122332Z3 MICROWAVE PASS CONFIRMS THAT TD 19W HAS MOVED INLAND SOUTH OF KYOTO, JAPAN AND WEAKENED. SYNOPTIC DATA AT CAPE SHIONOMISKI, JAPAN REPORTS SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 27 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 18:14:19 2003 X-UIDL: 42553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMO00HCDXLUSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 18:10:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DAB87n095689 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 18:11:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324wP046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:56:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1370813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:56:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D9uAlx022520 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:56:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9D9u37S022207 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:56:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9D9u39k022206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:56:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 04:56:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 19w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310130956.h9D9u39k022206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W/ WARNING NR 05// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 130000Z4 TO 131200Z7 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA. A RECENT 122332Z1 MICROWAVE PASS CONFIRMS THAT TD 19W HAS MOVED INLAND SOUTH OF KYOTO, JAPAN AND WEAKENED. SYNOPTIC DATA AT CAPE SHIONOMISKI, JAPAN REPORTS SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 27 KNOTS. B. TD 19W IS CURRENTLY UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT MERGES WITH THE BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY AND IS SHEARED APART BY THE APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET EGRR, GFDN, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 19W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND ENCOUNTERS UNFAVORABLE SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. TD 19W SHOULD DISSIPATE NEAR THE 24 HOUR POINT AS IT MERGES WITH THE SURFACE BOUNDARY. D. TD 19W DOES NOT MEET CRITERIA FOR WIND RADII. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/BAK/PACILIO/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 20:54:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42556-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00H2J4WGSR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:48:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DCmaWk008339 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:48:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D32403046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1371604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DCfblx055374 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DCfU7S023584 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DCfUpV023582 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 07:41:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310131241.h9DCfUpV023582@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z-140600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/130151ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 19W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TOKYO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/DAMRON/MENEBROKER/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 13 22:44:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42563-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00H75A55SR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:41:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DEfiWk019905 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:41:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D3244H046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 09:30:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1372873 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 09:30:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DEUWlx047348 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 09:30:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DEUP7S025979 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 09:30:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DEUPpj025978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 09:30:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 09:30:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310131430.h9DEUPpj025978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 45N 156E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 156E TO 44N 163E 44N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 156E TO 40N 152E 38N 146E 32N 137E 31N 132E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 132E TO 31N 128E 26N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 52N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 148E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 180E 42N 180E 43N 170E 47N 170E 47N 180E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 145E 48N 155E 45N 180E 36N 180E 34N 153E 35N 143E 40N 145E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 147E NNW SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 144E WEST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 44N 168E TO 42N 175E 42N 178W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:48 2003 X-UIDL: 42584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMP00H1SQN1SR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:37:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DKcG7n062044 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 04:38:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HPFd034350; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:32:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1378562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:32:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9DKWSlx040204 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:32:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9DKWL7S006364 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:32:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9DKWLCq006363 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:32:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 15:32:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310132032.h9DKWLCq006363@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 47N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 158E TO 45N 166E 43N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 158E TO 42N 155E 39N 151E 31N 135E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 51N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 54N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 30N 129E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 129E TO 31N 132E 31N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 129E TO 28N 127E 25N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 142E 44N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 180E 37N 180E 35N 150E 37N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 143E WEST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 173W TO 42N 180E 43N 170E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:57 2003 X-UIDL: 42597-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00L0150WDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 09:48:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E1n07n092774 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 09:49:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324ZX046006; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1382422 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E1gWlx031116 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E1gP7S011058 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E1gPGx011056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 20:42:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140142.h9E1gPGx011056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 140130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/140130Z-140600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 160.7E4, APPROXIMATELY 940 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 150.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 111.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK MODERATE WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:50:59 2003 X-UIDL: 42603-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00L2F7ACDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 10:37:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E2bsWk092143 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 10:37:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9C8HOV9049272; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:33:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1383094 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:31:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E2Vhlx036268 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:31:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E2Va7S011615 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E2Va6Y011614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:31:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 21:31:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140231.h9E2Va6Y011614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 49N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 163E TO 48N 166E 47N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 166E TO 45N 170E 44N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 166E TO 41N 161E 38N 156E 35N 151E 32N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 52N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 54N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 131E KYUSYU MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 31N 137E 32N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 27N 129E 24N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 159E 50N 163E 50N 180E 39N 180E 40N 159E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 147E NORTH 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 140E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 134E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 43N 177E 42N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:01 2003 X-UIDL: 42607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00LQX8SCDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:09:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E3AEWk096280 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 11:10:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E2Nvrj037546; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:05:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1384057 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:04:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E34tlx057964 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:04:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E34m7S012042 for ; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:04:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E34m8n012040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:04:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2003 22:04:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140304.h9E34m8n012040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 140130 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/140130Z-140600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 160.7E4, APPROXIMATELY 940 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 150.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 111.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK MODERATE WIND SHEAR AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(1), 1.B.(2) AND 1.B.(3). 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED PARA 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:07 2003 X-UIDL: 42626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00LX1FWODJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 13:43:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E5i07n018955 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 13:44:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324ix046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1385741 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E5bplx011302 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E5bi7S013474 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E5bimj013472 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 00:37:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140537.h9E5bimj013472@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z-150600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 160.7E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 159.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 875 NM EAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 14.2N7 150.2E8, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST OF GUAM, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 111.4E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.4N2 113.2E7 APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/DAMRON/KLINZMAN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:16 2003 X-UIDL: 42651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMQ00L2MNTFDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 16:34:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E8YwWk030999 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 16:35:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9D324kR046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 03:27:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1387111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 03:27:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E8Rslx034278 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 03:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9E8Rl7S015098 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 03:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9E8Rl3k015097 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 03:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 03:27:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310140827.h9E8Rl3k015097@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 51N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 165E TO 50N 170E 48N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 174E TO 44N 180E 43N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 174E TO 42N 169E 39N 162E 36N 157E 33N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 52N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 31N 133E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 133E TO 33N 140E 33N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 133E TO 28N 131E 26N 129E 24N 127E 23N 125E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 165E 52N 180E 40N 180E 40N 165E 52N 165E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 59N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 38N 143E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:25 2003 X-UIDL: 42682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR00L6U4J2DJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 14 Oct 2003 22:35:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EEZt7n074119 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 22:35:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VsJ046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 09:27:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1390594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 09:27:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EERslx036576 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 09:27:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EERl7S020538 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 09:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EERlee020537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 09:27:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 09:27:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310141427.h9EERlee020537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 52N 168E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 168E TO 51N 175E 48N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 178E TO 44N 175W 41N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 178E TO 42N 173E 38N 164E 35N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 53N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 33N 136E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 136E TO 34N 144E 35N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 136E TO 29N 134E 24N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 126E 21N 122E 21N 116E 23N 116E 28N 121E 27N 126E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 168E 53N 180E 39N 180E 39N 166E 52N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 132E EAST 15 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 59N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:33 2003 X-UIDL: 42707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMR00LCNLUQDJ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:49:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EKo7Wk012156 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 04:50:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E53Z8r049280; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:34:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1399110 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:34:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9EKYrlx034242 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:34:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9EKYk7S002350 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:34:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9EKYkWI002349 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:34:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 15:34:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310142034.h9EKYkWI002349@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 52N 171E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 171E TO 52N 178E 49N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 177W TO 45N 171W 43N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 177W TO 44N 178W 40N 173E 37N 166E 36N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 52N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 51N 165W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 143E TO 36N 148E 36N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 143E TO 34N 141E 33N 139E 29N 135E 24N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 127E 23N 123E 23N 120E 21N 117E 23N 116E 27N 120E 29N 122E 28N 127E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 135E ENE 20 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 58N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 115E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 14N 140E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1048 HPA AT 47N 98E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 159E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 174W WSW 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 12:51:45 2003 X-UIDL: 42736-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001M71S8RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 10:33:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F2YB7n053178 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 10:34:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96VYD046006; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:28:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1404429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:28:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F2SUlx042680 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:28:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F2SN7S008195 for ; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F2SNK4008194 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:28:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:28:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150228.h9F2SNK4008194@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 52N 175E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 175E TO 51N 176W 49N 171W. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 171W TO 46N 163W 43N 156W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 171W TO 39N 177E 36N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 52N 176W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 50N 161W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 37N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 145E TO 37N 155E 36N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 145E TO 29N 138E 24N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 130E 27N 130E 21N 121E 19N 112E 22N 112E 23N 118E 28N 122E 30N 123E 30N 130E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 136E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 147E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 15N 139E WEST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 15N 154E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 166E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 30N 173E WEST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 13:10:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42755-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001I28XRRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:08:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F58c7n072994 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 13:08:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538mR049282; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1406157 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F53glx037594 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F53Z7S009774 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F53Z9x009772 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 00:03:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150503.h9F53Z9x009772@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z-160600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 159.7E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 156.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 680 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK AREA OF CONVECTION OVER A POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.4N2 113.2E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.6N8 138.3E5 APPROXIMATELY 395 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 15 16:40:20 2003 X-UIDL: 42788-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS0016AIFXRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:33:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F8Y4Wk090062 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 16:34:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9E96Vep046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:28:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1407340 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:28:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F8Selx017406 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:28:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9F8SX7S011891 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9F8SXW5011890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 03:28:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310150828.h9F8SXW5011890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 52N 177W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 175W TO 48N 161W. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 161W TO 44N 151W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 161W TO 37N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 37N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 26N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 111E 21N 111E 25N 121E 19N 121E 17N 116E 16N 111E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 123E 31N 132E 25N 129E 24N 123E 32N 123E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 53N 136E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 139E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 15N 140E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 176E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:18 2003 X-UIDL: 42817-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMS001XIZ67RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 15 Oct 2003 22:34:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FEZR7n031477 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 22:35:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FAdP6d042730; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 09:28:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1410169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 09:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FERflx041892 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 09:27:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FERX7S016789 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 09:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FERXMu016788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 09:27:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 09:27:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310151427.h9FERXMu016788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 171E 60N 180E 42N 180E 45N 170E 51N 166E 60N 171E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 117E 22N 115E 27N 121E 30N 123E 31N 129E 23N 130E 20N 125E 17N 117E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 153E TO 39N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 153E TO 31N 144E 28N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 151E 44N 153E 43N 167E 37N 168E 38N 159E 40N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 135E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 16N 139E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 177E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:47 2003 X-UIDL: 42851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001QKFV7RU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:35:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FKa27n074109 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:36:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTBV046006; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:15:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1417146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:15:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FKF1lx011448 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:15:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FKEs7S027731 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:14:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FKErqD027729 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:14:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:14:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310152014.h9FKErqD027729@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 152030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/152030Z-160600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 156.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7N2 152.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 465 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS IMPROVING OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 138.3E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 133.5E2 APPROXIMATELY 660 NM WEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED FROM POOR TO FAIR IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:47 2003 X-UIDL: 42852-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT001HLG7WRU@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:43:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FKhe7n074956 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 04:43:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FHpnCb042730; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:33:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1417510 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:31:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FKV7lx036190 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:31:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9FKV07S028222 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9FKV0cT028221 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:31:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 15:31:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310152031.h9FKV0cT028221@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 113E 25N 120E 30N 123E 29N 131E 23N 129E 17N 113E 21N 113E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 158E TO 42N 164E 40N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 158E TO 38N 154E 34N 149E 30N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 171E 60N 180E 43N 180E 46N 171E 60N 171E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 148E 45N 156E 40N 155E 40N 146E 43N 148E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 54N 138E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 16N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 65N 174E SSE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 178E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 14:42:59 2003 X-UIDL: 42875-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMT0056KWJU7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 10:35:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G2aP7n011733 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 10:36:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538Fx049282; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 21:27:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1422626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 21:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G2Rjlx011366 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 21:27:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9G2Rc7S004637 for ; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 21:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9G2Rcw8004636 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 15 Oct 2003 21:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2003 21:27:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310160227.h9G2Rcw8004636@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 158E TO 43N 163E 42N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 158E TO 38N 155E 36N 151E 31N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 116E 23N 116E 28N 121E 24N 125E 21N 124E 20N 116E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 16N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 52N 141E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 14N 134E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 175E ENE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 15:41:49 2003 X-UIDL: 42903-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU005ZAABQ7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 15:33:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G7Xr7n044822 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 15:33:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538Ir049282; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:10 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1425484 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G7R8lx047466 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9G7R17S007446 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9G7R0UQ007444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 02:27:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310160727.h9G7R0UQ007444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z-170600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7N2 152.8E6 IS RELOCATED TO A POSITION NEAR 18.6N5 151.8E5, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 133.5E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 130.6E0, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS BEING SHEARED FROM THE EAST. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 16:41:49 2003 X-UIDL: 42916-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU005TAD6H7Y@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:35:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G8ZaWk046078 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 16:35:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9FDiTXF046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:28:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1425702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:28:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9G8SDlx011448 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:28:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9G8S57S008145 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9G8S54x008144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:28:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 03:28:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310160828.h9G8S54x008144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 163E TO 43N 170E 41N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 163E TO 37N 155E 33N 147E 29N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 134E 20N 133E 19N 121E 17N 113E 22N 112E 24N 117E 26N 120E 25N 134E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 16N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 51N 141E SE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 44N 146E NNE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 15N 134E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 108E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 177E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 16 22:47:09 2003 X-UIDL: 42958-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMU007PSUBPDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 16 Oct 2003 22:45:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GEjr7n090869 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 22:45:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538Nd049282; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:27:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1428601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:27:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GERRlx067312 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GERK7S012975 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GERKDq012974 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:27:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 09:27:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310161427.h9GERKDq012974@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 164E TO 43N 172E 41N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 164E TO 40N 160E 37N 156E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 156E TO 33N 148E 29N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 130E 20N 129E 19N 115E 23N 116E 24N 119E 26N 120E 25N 130E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 16N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 144E NE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 45N 147E NNE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 14N 133E WSW SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 120E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:28 2003 X-UIDL: 42976-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007L0B2DDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 04:47:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GKlX7n029524 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 04:47:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNs2B046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 15:35:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1435728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 15:35:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GKZQlx055238 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 15:35:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9GKZI7S023564 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 15:35:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9GKZIVd023563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 15:35:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 15:35:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310162035.h9GKZIVd023563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 151E 40N 165E 35N 168E 28N 155E 33N 151E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 17N 151E NNW SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 144E NNE 20 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 47N 149E NNE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 44N 167E ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 167E TO 44N 172E 42N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 167E TO 41N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 162E TO 40N 158E 35N 152E 34N 148E 30N 145E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 14N 135E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 134E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 59N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:38 2003 X-UIDL: 42992-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007GOQZPDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:31:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H2VTWk055554 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:31:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538j7049282; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:24:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1440216 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:24:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H2O2lx007812 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:24:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H2Nt7S029527 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:23:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H2NsD2029525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:23:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:23:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170223.h9H2NsD2029525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 170130 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 18.6N5 151.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.3N6 148.6E9, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 130.6E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.8N4 132.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. A RECENT 162211Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BECOMING MORE CONSOLIDATED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE OVER THE NEWLY ESTABLISHED LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVERHEAD ENHANCING OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO POOR AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(2) FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:39 2003 X-UIDL: 42995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV0072RRBRDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:38:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H2cl7n066198 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:38:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsFL046006; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:30:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1440258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:30:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H2Txlx037574 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:29:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H2Tp7S029608 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H2Tpvc029607 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:29:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:29:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170229.h9H2Tpvc029607@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 150E 37N 157E 43N 165E 38N 166E 30N 153E 32N 150E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 138E 17N 134E 15N 122E 20N 119E 21N 138E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 150E 45N 172E 40N 172E 35N 160E 44N 151E 50N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 51N 125E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 57N 144E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 50N 150E NE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 165E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 125E TO 51N 130E 49N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 125E TO 47N 124E 44N 118E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 165E TO 43N 171E 41N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 165E TO 40N 161E 38N 155E 34N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 153E TO 31N 148E 26N 143E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 15N 133E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 18N 148E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 136E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 61N 171E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:40 2003 X-UIDL: 42996-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007XQRJYGQ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:43:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H2hg7n066752 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 10:43:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9F538kd049282; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1440467 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H2bqlx077148 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H2bi7S029720 for ; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H2biqf029718 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2003 21:37:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170237.h9H2biqf029718@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 170130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/170130Z-170600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 18.6N5 151.8E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.3N6 148.6E9, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EAST OF THE LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.2N5 130.6E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.8N4 132.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. A RECENT 162211Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTS THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS BECOMING MORE CONSOLIDATED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. RECENT ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE OVER THE NEWLY ESTABLISHED LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVERHEAD ENHANCING OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO POOR AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(2) FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:43 2003 X-UIDL: 43011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMV007SAZ3XDE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 13:26:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H5QsWk074490 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 13:26:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsNH046006; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1441850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H5KYlx030864 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H5KQ7S001384 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H5KQ49001382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 00:20:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170520.h9H5KQ49001382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z-180600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 21.3N6 148.6E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.5N9 147.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENED DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8N4 132.0E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:45:51 2003 X-UIDL: 43028-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW007EU805DE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:38:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H8d1Wk094247 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 16:39:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H5vln3049282; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:29:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1442663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:27:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9H8Rwlx049562 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:27:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9H8Rp7S003340 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9H8Rp6Z003339 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:27:51 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 03:27:51 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310170827.h9H8Rp6Z003339@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 149E 35N 149E 39N 158E 37N 159E 33N 151E 31N 149E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 116E 28N 121E 20N 122E 20N 116E 23N 116E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 125E 20N 136E 18N 134E 17N 124E 20N 125E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 160E 48N 160E 48N 170E 42N 177E 38N 160E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 15N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 51N 130E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 59N 146E NORTH 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 52N 149E NORTH 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 167E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 130E TO 50N 133E 48N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 130E TO 49N 129E 48N 127E 45N 125E 42N 121E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 167E TO 43N 173E 41N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 167E TO 38N 160E 35N 156E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 156E TO 33N 151E 27N 145E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 15N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 142E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 57N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:02 2003 X-UIDL: 43063-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW00B1XOKF89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:36:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HEacWk028335 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:36:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsX1046006; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:29:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1445248 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:29:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HETElx052048 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:29:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HET77S007785 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HET7Xk007784 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:29:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:29:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171429.h9HET7Xk007784@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 149E 37N 150E 39N 156E 36N 156E 36N 154E 32N 149E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 128E 18N 128E 20N 135E 18N 134E 16N 128E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 116E 23N 116E 26N 120E 30N 122E 24N 127E 19N 122E 18N 116E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 161E 50N 165E 50N 180E 39N 180E 38N 168E 40N 161E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 14N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 51N 129E NE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 59N 146E NNE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 53N 150E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 44N 171E EAST 20 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 129E TO 51N 130E 50N 131E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 131E TO 48N 134E 46N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 131E TO 45N 129E 41N 123E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 171E TO 43N 176E 41N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 171E TO 40N 165E 38N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 160E TO 36N 153E 28N 145E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 14N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 147E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 58N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 176E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:02 2003 X-UIDL: 43064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMW00BKHPAY89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:52:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HEqgWk030154 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:52:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9GGNsXN046006; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:40:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1445357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:39:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HEdBlx082610 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:39:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HEd47S008048 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HEd4P3008046 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:39:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 09:39:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310171439.h9HEd4P3008046@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 171400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/171400Z-180600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.5N9 147.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8N4 132.0E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 131.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:08 2003 X-UIDL: 43083-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00B2V5CA89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:38:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HKd57n081292 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:39:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5I67052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 15:27:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1451105 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 15:27:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HKRTlx051198 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 15:27:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9HKRG7S017266 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 15:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9HKRGbV017264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 15:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 15:27:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310172027.h9HKRGbV017264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 52N 133E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 133E TO 50N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 135E TO 49N 138E 47N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 135E TO 47N 134E 43N 131E 40N 127E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 117E 22N 121E 23N 139E 17N 135E 16N 127E 17N 117E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 46N 150E 38N 150E 39N 144E 42N 143E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 166E 47N 180E 38N 180E 36N 165E 46N 166E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 14N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 152E NORTH 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 44N 173E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 42N 179E 40N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 40N 168E 38N 163E 36N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 158E TO 34N 154E 34N 151E 30N 148E 27N 145E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 13N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 44N 151E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 57N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 178E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:14 2003 X-UIDL: 43102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BOPLOT89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 10:31:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I2WCWk098155 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 10:32:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IGp052186; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 21:27:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1454917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 21:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I2Rglx038670 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 21:27:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I2RYQS021984 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 21:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I2RYwt021983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 21:27:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 21:27:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180227.h9I2RYwt021983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 53N 137E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 137E TO 49N 138E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 138E TO 47N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 138E TO 44N 137E 39N 132E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 140E 19N 140E 19N 130E 16N 126E 19N 121E 16N 113E 20N 112E 23N 121E 25N 140E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 160E 53N 160E 52N 180E 44N 180E 38N 160E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 15N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 56N 154E NNE 20 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 44N 178E EAST 35 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 41N 174W 36N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 40N 173E 39N 165E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 165E TO 36N 157E 33N 150E 30N 147E 26N 144E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 17N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 41N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 154E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 55N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 178E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:14 2003 X-UIDL: 43103-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BIQNEO89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:08:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I39C7n017127 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 11:09:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF2o4N036244; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1455379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I35Qlx095820 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I35IQS022413 for ; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I35IUK022411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2003 22:05:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180305.h9I35IUK022411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/180300Z-180600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.4N1 131.1E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 131.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM EAST OF LUZON, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 148.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF BROAD CONVECTION SOUTH OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2), UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/LAM/DENSON/HERNANDEZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:19 2003 X-UIDL: 43116-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BODV2Z89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 13:54:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I5t7Wk016748 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 13:55:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IKd052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1457082 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I5pelx043818 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I5pXQS023814 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I5pWpI023812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 00:51:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180551.h9I5pWpI023812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z-190600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 131.0E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 130.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS MULTIPLE LLCCS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 148.0E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 147.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 174 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF BROAD CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH ENHANCED MONSOON WESTERLIES SOUTH OF A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:20 2003 X-UIDL: 43123-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMX00BNQZ3D89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 15:21:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I7LiWk024988 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 15:21:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5ILD052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1457523 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I79Mlx072438 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I79EQS024433 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I79EMK024431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 02:09:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180709.h9I79EMK024431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 180730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/180730Z-190600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 131.0E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 130.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS MULTIPLE LLCCS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 147.1E3, IS NOW LOCATED FURTHER NORTH NEAR 16.5N2 147.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A VERY SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE SMALL MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00B3B2OE89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I8dA7n048914 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:39:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IM5052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 03:30:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1458009 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 03:30:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I8Uplx096238 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 03:30:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I8UiQS025293 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 03:30:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I8UiGr025292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 03:30:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 03:30:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180830.h9I8UiGr025292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 138E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 138E TO 44N 140E 42N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 138E TO 41N 137E 37N 131E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 130E 17N 130E 14N 127E 21N 114E 26N 120E 22N 121E 23N 130E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 14.6N 131.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 150E 46N 180E 38N 180E 34N 160E 30N 152E 32N 149E 37N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 138E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 56N 154E NE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 151E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 179E EAST 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 179E TO 41N 174W 38N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 179E TO 40N 172E 39N 166E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 166E TO 37N 160E 35N 151E 30N 148E 26N 145E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002 HPA NEAR 17N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 47N 158E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 54N 173E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 31N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00BKG4GQ89@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 17:17:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I9He7n052039 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 17:17:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52Unt036528; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1458163 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I9Bblx030858 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9I9BTQS025621 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9I9BTWj025619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 04:11:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310180911.h9I9BTWj025619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 180930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/180930Z-190600ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 130.0E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 130.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A SURGE IN THE WESTERLIES, EQUATORWARD OF THE SYSTEM, HAS ENHANCED THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD CIRCULATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS INDICATED THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED. SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS MULTIPLE LLCCS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 147.1E3, IS NOW LOCATED FURTHER NORTH NEAR 16.5N2 147.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A VERY SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:26 2003 X-UIDL: 43144-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00DS7FTSP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:22:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IDNBWk057291 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:23:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IPT052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:14:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1459836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:14:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IDENlx084626 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:14:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IDEFQS027461 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IDEF3n027460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:14:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:14:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181314.h9IDEF3n027460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN21 PGTW 181300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 181251Z OCT 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 160 NM RADIUS OF 15.0N6 130.1E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CY CLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 181200Z2 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 130.1E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A SURGE IN THE WESTERLIES, EQUATORWARD OF THE SYSTEM, HAS ENHANCED THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD CIRCULATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 181056Z1 MICROWAVE PASS INDICATED THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD, BUT HAS BEGUN TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THERE REMAINS A POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE LLCCS WITHIN THE TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 191300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:27 2003 X-UIDL: 43145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00DTYGK5P6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:38:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IDd27n074926 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:39:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IPn052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1460023 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IDYilx084542 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IDYbQS027657 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IDYaYq027655 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:36 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 08:34:36 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181334.h9IDYaYq027655@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 181330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/181330Z-190600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181251Z OCT 03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 130.1E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 130.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A SURGE IN THE WESTERLIES, EQUATORWARD OF THE SYSTEM, HAS ENHANCED THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD CIRCULATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 181056Z1 MICROWAVE PASS INDICATED THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD, BUT HAS BEGUN TO CONSOLIDATE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THERE REMAINS A POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE LLCCS WITHIN THE TROUGH. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 181300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 147.1E3, IS NOW LOCATED FURTHER NORTH NEAR 16.5N2 147.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A VERY SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:30 2003 X-UIDL: 43152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00D7KJEGP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 18 Oct 2003 22:39:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IEeG7n081159 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 22:40:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IQN052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 09:30:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1460434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 09:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IEUPlx028064 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 09:30:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IEUIQS028109 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 09:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IEUI8t028108 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 09:30:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 09:30:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310181430.h9IEUI8t028108@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 47N 139E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 139E TO 46N 141E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 141E TO 45N 144E 43N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 141E TO 42N 142E 38N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 37N 156E 38N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 31N 149E 28N 145E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 129E 17N 127E 17N 118E 22N 114E 26N 120E 22N 120E 22N 129E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 15.1N 131.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 150E 43N 180E 36N 180E 34N 159E 29N 150E 32N 146E 37N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 54N 139E NE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 17N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 116E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 47N 159E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 54N 174E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 180E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 39N 174E 39N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:35 2003 X-UIDL: 43165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMY00DVWZQIP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 04:32:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IKXD7n015420 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 04:33:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IWT052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 15:28:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1463579 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 15:28:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IKSRlx045830 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 15:28:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IKSJQS001370 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 15:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IKSJAR001369 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 15:28:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 15:28:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310182028.h9IKSJAR001369@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 141E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 141E TO 47N 142E 45N 143E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 143E TO 44N 146E 42N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 143E TO 41N 143E 36N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 153E TO 37N 157E 38N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 153E TO 32N 151E 28N 146E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 129E 17N 127E 15N 118E 21N 113E 28N 121E 23N 120E 22N 129E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 15.7N 130.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 151E 42N 180E 37N 180E 35N 157E 31N 152E 34N 149E 38N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 57N 141E NE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 110E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002 HPA NEAR 17N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 48N 164E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 54N 176E ESE 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 163E TO 39N 172E 38N 179W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:36 2003 X-UIDL: 43168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DAR1IWP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:11:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ILBr7n018809 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 05:11:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52Uvl036528; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:03:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1464022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:03:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9IL3slx078716 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:03:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9IL3lQS001738 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:03:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9IL3lpm001737 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:03:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 16:03:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310182103.h9IL3lpm001737@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 182100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181251ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- NEAR 15.0N6 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.5N1 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.0N7 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.5N2 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.3N1 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.7N6 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 129.9E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 20W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH OF OKINAWA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. TD 20W HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY ORGANIZE OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 181251Z OCT 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 181300). NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3, 190900Z9, 191500Z6 AND 192100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:40 2003 X-UIDL: 43178-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00D8GG9QP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:29:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J2UA3S020774 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:30:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IcZ052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:26:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1466618 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:26:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J2Qvlx015046 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:26:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J2QoQS004420 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:26:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J2Qnue004419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:26:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:26:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190226.h9J2Qnue004419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 16.4N 131.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 16.6N 130.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 50N 142E SAKHALIN MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 142E TO 48N 146E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 146E TO 44N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 146E TO 39N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 38N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 156E TO 39N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 156E TO 28N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 113E 21N 111E 25N 121E 29N 128E 29N 136E 20N 135E 18N 125E 15N 113E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 18.4N 145.2E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA ALMOST STATIONARY. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 153E 38N 148E 44N 147E 50N 156E 44N 168E 37N 167E 34N 153E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 119E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 50N 170E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 179E ALMOST STATIONARY. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 167E TO 36N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:43 2003 X-UIDL: 43180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DR3HEYP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:54:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J2ssip021595 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:54:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5Id7052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:50:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1466884 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:50:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J2ojlx078660 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J2obQS004621 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J2obKU004620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:50:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 21:50:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 20w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190250.h9J2obKU004620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 14.9N4 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 15.3N9 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.8N4 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.4N1 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.1N9 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.5N4 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.7N7 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.5N7 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.0N6 130.5E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 850 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASED SPIRAL BANDING INTO THE LLCC. TS 20W CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY ORGANIZE AND INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Oct 19 11:46:44 2003 X-UIDL: 43183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00D7FILNP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 11:20:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J3KPip023583 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 11:20:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IdX052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 22:17:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1467101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 22:17:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J3HClx079436 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 22:17:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J3H4QS004823 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 22:17:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J3H4JX004822 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 22:17:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 22:17:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 20w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190317.h9J3H4JX004822@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 190300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W/ WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 190000Z0 TO 240000Z6 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 850 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASED SPIRAL BANDING INTO THE LLCC. TS 20W CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY ORGANIZE AND INTENSIFY. B. TS 20W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING SLOWLY POLEWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE RIDGE AXIS SLOWLY BUILDS. AFTER TAU 48 TS 20W WILL THEN TRANSITION TO A MORE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AS THE STEERING RIDGE REORIENTS AND THE SYSTEM IS INFLUENCED BY AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF THE UKMET EGRR, JGSM AND NCEP AVN MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT. THE NOGAPS MODEL HAS TS 20W QUASI- STATIONARY THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD AND NOT BEING INFLUENCED BY THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE MODELS. C. TS 20W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING DUE TO ITS POSITION IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND AS IT CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT PROVIDED BY AN EXHAUST CHANNEL INTO AN UPPER LEVEL LOW LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TS 20W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/NORAN/DENSON/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43189-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DDVLC3P6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:19:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J4Jiip028017 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 12:19:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5Ie1052186; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1467425 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J4CDlx042024 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J4C6QS005244 for ; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J4C602005242 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2003 23:12:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190412.h9J4C602005242@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 190400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/190400Z-190600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W, LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 850 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 130.1E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.1N7 147.1E3, IS NOW LOCATED FURTHER NORTH NEAR 16.5N2 147.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A VERY SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL ORGANIZED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.A.(1) AND UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:53 2003 X-UIDL: 43195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DRZPXVP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 13:58:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J5xE3S036752 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 13:59:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IfH052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:54:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1468123 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:54:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J5s4lx033932 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:54:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J5rvQS005938 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:53:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J5ru8e005936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:53:56 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 00:53:56 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190553.h9J5ru8e005936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z-200600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W, LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 850 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 147.2E4, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 146.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:55 2003 X-UIDL: 43200-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DD3S5MP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 14:46:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J6l7ip041433 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 14:47:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5IfZ052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 01:44:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1468324 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 01:44:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J6iblx008268 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 01:44:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J6iTQS006333 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 01:44:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J6iTl0006332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 01:44:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 01:44:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0317 Ketsana (0317) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190644.h9J6iTl0006332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 190600 WARNING 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 994 HPA AT 15.4N 130.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 14.0N 130.2E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 16.5N 132.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 19.0N 133.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:57 2003 X-UIDL: 43203-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DNSWZNP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:30:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J8VU3S048680 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:31:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52U23036528; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:27:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1468806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J8R8lx009758 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J8R0QS007321 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J8R0Bs007320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:27:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:27:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190827.h9J8R0Bs007320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 51N 143E SAKHALIN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 143E TO 50N 150E 47N 151E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 151E TO 45N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 151E TO 43N 151E 39N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 158E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 39N 168E 36N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 158E TO 34N 154E 29N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 134E 20N 134E 20N 129E 18N 125E 19N 121E 18N 112E 22N 112E 23N 117E 26N 119E 26N 134E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 18.4N 144.8E NORTH OF MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 149E 49N 151E 50N 161E 45N 175E 35N 176E 33N 153E 39N 149E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 106E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 120E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 135E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 51N 172E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 176E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 994 HPA AT 15.4N 130.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 176E TO 36N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:10:58 2003 X-UIDL: 43204-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HMZ00DIRXT1P6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:48:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J8nA3S049866 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 16:49:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5Igb052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:44:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1468952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:44:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J8iKlx096860 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:44:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9J8iDQS007491 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:44:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9J8iC9i007490 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:44:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 03:44:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310190844.h9J8iC9i007490@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 15.3N9 130.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 130.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.5N1 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 15.8N4 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.2N9 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.9N6 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.5N4 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.5N7 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.3N8 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 130.1E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 845 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS SLOWLY DRIFTED NORTH- NORTHWEST AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190514Z0 AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3, 200300Z5 AND 200900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 43212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000DGJ47FP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:06:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JB7F3S061608 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:07:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5Ihv052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:00:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1469903 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:00:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JB0Slx008348 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:00:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JB0LQS008514 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:00:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JB0L2x008513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:00:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:00:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191100.h9JB0L2x008513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN22 PGTW 191100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 191051ZOCT2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.9N7 145.4E4 TO 22.6N0 144.1E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 190930Z2 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 145.2E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 146.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 145.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM NORTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS REVEAL THAT CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA WITH MODERATE OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 201100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:01 2003 X-UIDL: 43213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000D5A5JXP6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:35:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JBaT3S063953 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:36:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52U2r036528; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1470095 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JBYHlx031228 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JBY9QS008787 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JBY9Gf008785 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 06:34:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191134.h9JBY9Gf008785@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 191130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUE/191130Z-200600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191051ZOCT2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 130.5E9, APPROXIMATELY 850 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 146.2E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 145.2E2, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM NORTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS REVEAL THAT CONVECTION IS BETTER ORGANIZED OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA WITH MODERATE OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 191100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:02 2003 X-UIDL: 43218-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000F9F910QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 20:51:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JCpR3S070075 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 20:51:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9HF5Iit052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 07:46:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1470598 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 07:46:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JCk5lx049188 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 07:46:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JCjwQS009337 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 07:45:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JCjvFu009336 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 07:45:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 07:45:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0317 Ketsana (0317) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191245.h9JCjvFu009336@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 191200 WARNING 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 990 HPA AT 15.1N 130.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 14.6N 130.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 17.0N 132.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.0N 134.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:08 2003 X-UIDL: 43226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FZEDQIQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:32:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEX9ip080487 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:33:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9J7vspF092456; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 09:27:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1471260 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 09:27:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JERnlx017190 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 09:27:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JERgQS010113 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 09:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JERg5E010112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 09:27:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 09:27:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191427.h9JERg5E010112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 144E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 144E TO 51N 151E 49N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 153E TO 47N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 153E TO 46N 153E 43N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 162E TO 39N 171E 35N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 162E TO 36N 158E 31N 150E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 137E 19N 136E 20N 129E 15N 112E 21N 113E 26N 120E 26N 137E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 18.0N 144.6E NORTH OF MARIANAS ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 153E 49N 169E 44N 180E 34N 180E 36N 157E 49N 153E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 106E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 137E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 50N 175E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 990 HPA AT 15.1N 130.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:08 2003 X-UIDL: 43227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FFHFBMQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:06:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JF7Yip083455 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:07:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52U4P036528; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:03:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1471708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:03:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JF3nlx040436 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:03:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JF3gQS010424 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:03:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JF3fJV010423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:03:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:03:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 20w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191503.h9JF3fJV010423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W/ (KETSANA) WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 191200Z3 TO 241200Z9 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 845 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. 191041Z6 SSMI 37GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BANDING EYE FORMING AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CONTINUED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER AND AROUND THE LLCC. B. TS 20W IS CURRENTLY QUASI-STATIONARY UNDER THE WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD WHILE THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE STARTS TO BUILD IN FROM THE EAST. AFTER TAU 24 TS 20W WILL THEN TRANSITION TO A MORE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AS THE STEERING RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST AND THE SYSTEM IS FULLY INFLUENCED BY THIS RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT. THE NOGAPS MODEL HAS TS 20W QUASI- STATIONARY THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO THE MODEL NOT BUILDING THE RIDGE IN FROM THE EAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE MODELS WITH EXCEPTION OF THE NOGAPS MODEL. C. TS 20W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A SLIGHTLY LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 72. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR TS 20W WITH GOOD OUTFLOW AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. AFTER TAU 72, EXPECT TS 20W TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE DUE TO BEING STEERED INTO A HIGHER AREA OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FHVFDEQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:08:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JF8Tip083537 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 23:08:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52U4R036528; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:05:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1471735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:05:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JF5plx079494 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:05:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JF5iQS010445 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JF5ipZ010444 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:05:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 10:05:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 20w Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191505.h9JF5ipZ010444@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 15.2N8 130.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 130.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 15.4N0 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 15.7N3 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.4N1 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.1N9 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.8N7 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.1N4 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 24.6N2 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 130.4E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 845 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. 191041Z6 SSMI 37GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BANDING EYE FORMING AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CONTINUED CYCLING CONVECTION OVER AND AROUND THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3, 200300Z5, 200900Z1 AND 201500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:19 2003 X-UIDL: 43239-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FF0PW7QV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 02:55:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JIto3S003960 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 02:55:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLpX052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 13:51:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1473536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 13:51:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JIpplx046056 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 13:51:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JIphQS012682 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 13:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JIph9K012681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 13:51:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 13:51:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0317 Ketsana (0317) Upgraded From Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310191851.h9JIph9K012681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 191800 WARNING 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 15.6N 130.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 230 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 15.7N 131.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 17.0N 133.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 19.0N 134.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:20 2003 X-UIDL: 43243-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FDIUJDQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JKaA3S015454 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:36:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLrt052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:32:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1474668 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:32:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JKWLlx045906 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:32:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JKWDQS013528 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:32:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JKWDud013527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:32:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:32:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310192032.h9JKWDud013527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 146E TO 52N 150E 49N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 153E TO 48N 155E 46N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 153E TO 47N 154E 43N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 163E TO 37N 173E 32N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 163E TO 39N 162E 33N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 137E 18N 134E 21N 130E 19N 126E 15N 115E 21N 113E 25N 119E 24N 137E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 18.5N 144.2E NORTH OF MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 161E 44N 161E 41N 180E 33N 180E 37N 161E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 138E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 49N 176E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 178E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 985 HPA AT 15.6N 130.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:20 2003 X-UIDL: 43244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN000FB4V7IQV@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:50:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JKoaip017514 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 04:50:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLsj052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:48:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1474914 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:48:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JKmMlx055226 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:48:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9JKmEQS013652 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:48:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9JKmEZx013651 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:48:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 15:48:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310192048.h9JKmEZx013651@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 15.8N4 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.3N0 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.8N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.3N1 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.9N7 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.2N2 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.1N5 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 25.6N3 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.9N5 130.5E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS STARTED TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8 AND 202100Z5. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 09:11:26 2003 X-UIDL: 43252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100GQE6JXSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 08:55:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K0tcip039397 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 08:55:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLxP052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:50:01 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1477206 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:50:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K0o0lx077134 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:50:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K0nqQS015831 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:49:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K0nqjs015830 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:49:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 19:49:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0317 Ketsana (0317) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200049.h9K0nqjs015830@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 200000 WARNING 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 980 HPA AT 15.2N 130.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 16.1N 131.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 17.5N 133.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 19.0N 135.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 10:50:30 2003 X-UIDL: 43261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100G9ABMESI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:44:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K2jC3S048898 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:45:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52UBt036528; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 21:33:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1478015 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 21:33:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K2Xjlx038760 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 21:33:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K2XcQS016926 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 21:33:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K2XbVO016925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 21:33:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 21:33:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200233.h9K2XbVO016925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 43N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 166E TO 41N 172E 39N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 166E TO 38N 165E 36N 161E 34N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 148E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 122E 24N 122E 25N 134E 20N 130E 18N 126E 20N 122E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 136E 34N 146E 29N 147E 30N 137E 34N 136E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 18.8N 143.8E SEA WEST OF MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 163E 48N 162E 47N 180E 34N 180E 37N 163E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 39N 138E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 51N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 980 HPA AT 15.2N 130.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 175E TO 35N 180E 27N 168W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 11:10:33 2003 X-UIDL: 43263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100GJ5CRASI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:09:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K39jip053964 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 11:09:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwL31052186; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:04:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1478514 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:04:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K34glx033690 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:04:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K34YQS017191 for ; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:04:34 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K34YuU017190 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:04:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2003 22:04:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200304.h9K34YuU017190@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 200300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 15.9N5 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.3N0 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.8N5 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.5N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.3N2 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.5N7 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.0N5 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 25.6N3 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 130.9E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION WITH A STRONG BANDING FEATURE TO THE SOUTH OF A WELL ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1, 201500Z8, 202100Z5 AND 210300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 13:44:54 2003 X-UIDL: 43274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100GV7JI3SI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:34:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K5ZQip068265 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:35:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52UGV036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1480584 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K5X9lx046866 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K5X1QS018385 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K5X1I4018383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 00:33:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200533.h9K5X1I4018383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z-210600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191051ZOCT2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 145.2E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.2N4 143.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). RECENT SSMI AND AMSU SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A WEAK LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE OUTFLOW WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 191100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 14:50:12 2003 X-UIDL: 43287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100GLYMW1SI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 14:48:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K6mTip075224 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 14:48:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwL8P052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 01:44:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1480916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 01:44:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K6iUlx036284 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 01:44:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K6iMQS019034 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 01:44:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K6iMhA019033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 01:44:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 01:44:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200644.h9K6iMhA019033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 200600 WARNING 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 15.4N 130.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 55 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 16.4N 131.4E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 19.0N 133.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 21.0N 135.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 16:37:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43298-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100GPJRS0SI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:33:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K8YBip085925 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:34:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwL9T052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:28:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1481944 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:28:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K8Sslx031174 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:28:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K8SkQS020115 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K8SkIQ020114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:28:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:28:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200828.h9K8SkIQ020114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 19.7N 143.2E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 21.5N 145.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 169E TO 34N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 169E TO 35N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 160E TO 35N 159E 30N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 152E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 119E 22N 115E 26N 120E 26N 133E 21N 133E 19N 125E 17N 119E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 164E 43N 161E 49N 165E 45N 180E 33N 180E 36N 164E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 142E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 29N 178E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 970 HPA AT 15.4N 130.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 16:57:34 2003 X-UIDL: 43303-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100IIESTQG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:56:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K8ulip088155 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:56:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwL9t052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:51:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1482186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:51:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K8pElx031078 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:51:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9K8p6QS020271 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9K8p6ms020270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:51:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 03:51:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310200851.h9K8p6ms020270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 15.7N3 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.0N7 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.4N1 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.9N6 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.5N3 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.4N4 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.1N5 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 26.0N8 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4 130.8E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALONG WITH WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR MAKING IT A VERY COMFORTABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDI TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 23:34:27 2003 X-UIDL: 43310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100IEQYEHG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 18:56:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KAvFip000234 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 18:57:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLB9052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 05:48:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1482842 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 05:48:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KAmplx029048 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 05:48:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KAmhQS021186 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 05:48:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KAmhuu021185 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 05:48:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 05:48:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref A Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtpn22 Pgtw 191100)// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201048.h9KAmhuu021185@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN22 PGTW 201100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 201051ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191051ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 191100)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.7N7 143.7E5 TO 24.2N8 141.3E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 200930Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N3 143.4E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 145.2E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.1N3 143.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED AROUND THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200828Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND CONTINUES TO BE HARD TO LOCATE ON IMAGERY. 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE OUTFLOW WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 211100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 23:34:32 2003 X-UIDL: 43312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN100IL7ZY5G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 19:30:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KBUfip003710 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 19:30:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLBb052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1483098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KBQflx027274 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KBQXQS021462 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KBQX62021460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 06:26:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201126.h9KBQX62021460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 201130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/201130Z-210600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200751ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201051ZOCT2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200600Z8, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.5N4 145.2E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.1N3 143.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY WEAKENED AROUND THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200828Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK LLCC ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND CONTINUES TO BE HARD TO LOCATE ON IMAGERY. 200MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE OUTFLOW WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN22 PGTW 201100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1) AND 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 23:34:39 2003 X-UIDL: 43316-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IZN3N1G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:49:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KCoO3S011021 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:50:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLCD052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 07:43:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1483819 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 07:43:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KChQlx072350 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 07:43:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KChIQS022184 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 07:43:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KChI2J022183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 07:43:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 07:43:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201243.h9KChI2J022183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 201200 WARNING 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 970 HPA AT 15.8N 131.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 55 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 17.5N 132.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 19.5N 134.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 21.5N 136.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 23:34:44 2003 X-UIDL: 43321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IM897RG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:50:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KEop3S022515 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:50:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K517rF079382; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:34:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1486056 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:31:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KEVblx049306 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:31:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KEVUQS024813 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:31:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KEVTYg024812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:31:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:31:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201431.h9KEVTYg024812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 20.8N 143.3E SOUTH OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTH 08 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 22.4N 145.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 172E TO 32N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 172E TO 36N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 163E TO 35N 159E 31N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 139E 31N 140E 32N 148E 38N 158E 36N 164E 33N 159E 29N 150E 28N 139E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 134E 33N 135E 35N 141E 33N 143E 31N 139E 31N 134E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 123E 24N 119E 28N 125E 26N 134E 22N 134E 20N 123E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 165E 44N 166E 46N 174E 45N 180E 34N 180E 36N 165E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 155E ENE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 40N 145E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 179E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 970 HPA AT 15.8N 131.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 23:34:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200GNY9F7SI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:54:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KEt43S022977 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:55:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLHh052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1486273 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KEfFlx025080 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KEf7QS025089 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KEf7Wi025087 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201441.h9KEf7Wi025087@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 15.9N5 131.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 131.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.4N1 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.9N6 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.4N2 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.1N0 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.7N7 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.6N0 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 27.7N6 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 131.1E6. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALONG WITH WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR CREATING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDI TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 23:34:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200GZH9TGSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:03:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KF3pip023511 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:03:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52UNx036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1486276 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KEfFlx021820 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KEf7QS025090 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KEf7lN025088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:41:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201441.h9KEf7lN025088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201051ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 20.4N6 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.5N8 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.6N0 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 23.8N3 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 25.7N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 28.0N0 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 142.8E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAIR OUTFLOW WITH MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 201051Z OCT 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 201100). NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 23:34:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200I1WA7KG6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:11:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KFCC3S024977 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:12:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLIP052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:55:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1486597 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:55:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KEtXlx045972 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KEtPQS025563 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KEtPKC025562 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:55:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 09:55:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201455.h9KEtPKC025562@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 251200Z0 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALONG WITH WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR CREATING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. B. TY 20W CONTINUES IT'S SLOW MARCH TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK IN A PREDOMINANTLY NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS, TY 20W WILL SPEED UP AS THE STEERING RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST AND THE SYSTEM IS FULLY INFLUENCED BY THIS RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSA, JTYM, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE NOGAPS MODEL HOLDS TY 20W QUASI-STATIONARY AND THEN HAS THE SYSTEM DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A WEAK CIRCULATION (TD 21W) TO THE NORTHEAST OF TY 20W. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE MODELS WITH EXCEPTION OF THE NOGAPS MODEL. C. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 72. AFTER THIS TIME, TY 20W WILL START TO WEAKEN DUE TO BEING STEERED INTO AN AREA OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 20 23:34:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200GTOAMHSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:20:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KFLG3S025964 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 23:21:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLIv052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:04:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1486735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:04:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KF4flx009906 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:04:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KF4XQS025871 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:04:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KF4X6M025870 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:04:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:04:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 21w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201504.h9KF4X6M025870@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W/ WARNING NR 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 251200Z0 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAIR OUTFLOW WITH MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. B. TD 21W IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TS 20W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY PICK UP SPEED AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST, CREATING A STRONGER STEERING MECHANISM, AND THEN VEER TOWARD A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AFTER 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, NOGAPS, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACKING OF TD 21W. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TD 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS A HIGH VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT IS JUST POLEWARD OF TD 21W WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN LESS THAN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 01:24:17 2003 X-UIDL: 43330-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IZRCUDG6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:08:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KG963S030870 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:09:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K517u1079382; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:57:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1487643 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:57:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KFv3lx038766 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:57:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KFutQS027483 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KFutHA027481 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:56:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 10:56:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201556.h9KFutHA027481@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 201600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/201600Z-210600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201351ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201352ZOCT2003// NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 201500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 201200Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 201500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.1N3 143.4E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.A.(2) AND UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:46:52 2003 X-UIDL: 43350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IJNI51G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:03:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KI3Sip043388 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:03:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLQT052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:49:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1489437 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:49:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KHn5lx085580 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:49:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KHmvQS000783 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KHmvmx000782 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:48:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:48:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201748.h9KHmvmx000782@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 201500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 20W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 15.9N5 131.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 131.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.4N1 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.9N6 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.4N2 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.1N0 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.7N7 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.6N0 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 27.7N6 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 131.1E6. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALONG WITH WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR CREATING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDI TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED SATELLITE IMAGERY REFERENCE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:46:55 2003 X-UIDL: 43351-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IRQIHSG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:10:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KIBA3S044104 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:11:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLQX052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:50:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1489447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KHo5lx009536 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:50:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KHnvQS000808 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:49:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KHnvbl000807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:49:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 12:49:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201749.h9KHnvbl000807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 201500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 251200Z0 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALONG WITH WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR CREATING A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION. B. TY 20W CONTINUES TO TRACK SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK IN A PREDOMINANTLY NORTHEASTWARD DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS, TY 20W WILL SPEED UP AS THE STEERING RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST AND THE SYSTEM IS FULLY INFLUENCED BY THIS RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE NOGAPS MODEL HOLDS TY 20W QUASI-STATIONARY AND THEN HAS THE SYSTEM DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO INTERACTION WITH A WEAK CIRCULATION (TD 21W) TO THE NORTHEAST OF TY 20W. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE MODELS WITH EXCEPTION OF THE NOGAPS MODEL. C. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 72. AFTER THIS TIME, TY 20W WILL START TO WEAKEN DUE TO BEING STEERED INTO AN AREA OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST TAKES TY 20W NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: CORRECTED IMAGERY REFERENCE IN PARA 2.A. AND ADDED PARA 2.E. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 43355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200GT0J0KSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:21:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KIMV3S045133 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:22:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KFrT73051108; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1489691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KI9Xlx104792 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KI9PQS001424 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KI9PDd001422 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201809.h9KI9PDd001422@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 201500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/201051ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 20.4N6 142.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 142.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.5N8 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.6N0 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 23.8N3 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 25.7N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 28.0N0 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 142.8E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAIR OUTFLOW WITH MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 201051Z OCT 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 201100). NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED SATELLITE IMAGERY REFERENCE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 43356-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200ISAJ6YG6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:25:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KIQMip046102 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:26:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLRH052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1489688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KI9Xlx085032 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KI9PQS001423 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KI9PnR001420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:09:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 21w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201809.h9KI9PnR001420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 201500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W/ WARNING NR 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 251200Z0 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. 200MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS FAIR OUTFLOW WITH MINIMAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. B. TD 21W IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TS 20W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY PICK UP SPEED AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE EAST, CREATING A STRONGER STEERING MECHANISM, AND THEN VEER TOWARD A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AFTER 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, NOGAPS, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACKING OF TD 21W. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TD 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS WESTERLIES WHEN IT TRACKS POLEWARD OF THE MID- LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN LESS THAN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED SATELLITE IMAGERY REFERENCE IN PARA 2.A. 4. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:46:58 2003 X-UIDL: 43357-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200IZJKFPG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:52:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KIrA3S048368 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:53:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLT3052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:42:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1490114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:42:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KIgRlx055528 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:42:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KIgKQS002445 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:42:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KIgJN4002443 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:42:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 13:42:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310201842.h9KIgJN4002443@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 201800 WARNING 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 965 HPA AT 16.1N 131.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 17.2N 131.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 19.0N 133.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 21.0N 136.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:08 2003 X-UIDL: 43365-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200GCPPZOSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:52:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KKrCip062772 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:53:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52UWt036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:33:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1491731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:33:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KKXJlx085186 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:33:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KKXBQS006213 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KKXBxh006212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:33:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 15:33:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202033.h9KKXBxh006212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA AT 20.9N 143.2E SOUTH OF CHICHIJIMA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 23.4N 146.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 42N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 38N 178W 32N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 38N 171E 36N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 149E TO 31N 157E 34N 163E 36N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 118E 29N 126E 26N 137E 21N 134E 21N 129E 17N 125E 24N 118E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 143E 34N 151E 30N 151E 28N 143E 32N 143E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 133E 35N 140E 32N 140E 31N 133E 33N 133E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 168E 46N 170E 46N 180E 35N 180E 37N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 162E ESE 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 112E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 42N 147E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 180E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 965 HPA AT 16.1N 131.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:08 2003 X-UIDL: 43368-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200ITXRR0G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:30:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KLVCip066391 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:31:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLbh052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:21:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1492857 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:21:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KLLqlx087482 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:21:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KLLiQS007424 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:21:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KLLibJ007423 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:21:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:21:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202121.h9KLLibJ007423@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 202100 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 16.2N9 131.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 131.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.6N3 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.2N0 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.1N0 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.2N2 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.0N3 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 24.7N3 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 29.3N4 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.3N0 131.0E5. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 201739Z2 AMSU PASS DEPICTS A 16 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6, 210900Z2, 211500Z9 AND 212100Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43369-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN200GA0RXVSI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:34:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KLZJip066738 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 05:35:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9JEwLbn052186; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:25:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1492904 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:25:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KLPvlx009852 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:25:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9KLPnQS007481 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9KLPnIH007480 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 16:25:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 21w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310202125.h9KLPnIH007480@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 202100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 20.8N0 142.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 142.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 21.9N2 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 23.2N7 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 24.7N3 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 26.2N0 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 28.4N4 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 21.1N4 142.2E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING CONVECTION IN ALL QUADRANTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6, 210900Z2, 211500Z9 AND 212100Z6. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:14 2003 X-UIDL: 43382-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IBA1BDG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:57:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L0vnip084547 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:57:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52UeT036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 19:48:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1495554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 19:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L0mslx022478 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 19:48:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L0meQS010404 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 19:48:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L0mevP010403 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 19:48:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 19:48:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210048.h9L0mevP010403@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 210000 WARNING 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 960 HPA AT 16.3N 131.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 17.8N 132.1E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 20.0N 134.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 21.5N 137.5E WITH 260 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:15 2003 X-UIDL: 43386-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IYN2A4G6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:18:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L1IX3S086181 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:18:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L101mZ022322; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:09:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1495790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:09:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L19Klx009834 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:09:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L19CQS010704 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:09:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L19Ce7010703 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:09:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 20:09:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210109.h9L19Ce7010703@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 210000 WARNING 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 994 HPA AT 20.8N 143.9E SEA AROUND OF OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 23.3N 147.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 25.5N 150.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 29.0N 154.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43396-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IF36CJG6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:45:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L2kSip096266 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:46:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52UhB036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:39:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1496688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:34:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L2Yjlx034276 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:34:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L2YbQS011549 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L2YbIB011548 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:34:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 21:34:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210234.h9L2YbIB011548@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 166E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 42N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 39N 177W 34N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 38N 172E 36N 168E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 168E TO 34N 164E 28N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 149E 39N 167E 36N 168E 35N 164E 29N 153E 33N 149E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 137E 31N 137E 30N 131E 32N 132E 34N 137E FOR NEXT 12HOURS . GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 130E 21N 130E 18N 126E 20N 123E 23N 128E 24N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 169E 44N 180E 38N 180E 35N 170E 40N 169E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 11N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 42N 150E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 56N 179E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 960 HPA AT 16.3N 131.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 994 HPA AT 20.8N 143.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:23 2003 X-UIDL: 43400-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IF07GIG6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:09:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L3AT3S098302 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:10:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9I52UiP036528; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1497228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L37klx028148 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L37cQS011923 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L37c5j011919 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210307.h9L37c5j011919@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 10// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 210000Z3 TO 260000Z8 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 760 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. A 202302Z9 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A 29 NM RAGGED EYE. B. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD ALONG THE PERIPHERAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE PERIPHERAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, CAUSING TY 20W TO INCREASE IN SPEED. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, AND NCEP GFS MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER THIS TIME, TY 20W WILL START TO WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST TAKES TY 20W NORTHEASTWARD. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:23 2003 X-UIDL: 43401-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300I5C7I4G2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:10:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L3BR3S098403 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:11:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9K51791079382; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1497234 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L37nlx042070 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L37fQS011933 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L37fEh011932 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210307.h9L37fEh011932@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 16.3N0 131.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 131.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.0N8 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.9N7 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.8N7 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.9N9 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.5N9 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 26.3N1 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 29.2N3 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 131.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 760 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. A 202302Z9 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A 29 NM RAGGED EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2, 211500Z9, 212100Z6 AND 220300Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:24 2003 X-UIDL: 43402-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IMB7L9G6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:12:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L3DL3S098570 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:13:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9KMQgIZ051784; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1497231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L37llx042582 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L37cQS011924 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L37cbZ011921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 21w (parma) Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210307.h9L37cbZ011921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 21.1N4 142.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 142.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 22.3N7 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 23.7N2 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 24.9N5 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 26.2N0 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 28.9N9 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 30.5N8 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 21.4N7 142.8E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. A 202030Z7 QUIKSCAT AND A 202119Z5 AMSU PASS DEPICT AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION CENTER ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2, 211500Z9, 212100Z6 AND 220300Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 11:47:24 2003 X-UIDL: 43403-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300ID87MCG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:13:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L3Dxip099332 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 11:14:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L101qV022322; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1497225 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L37klx092286 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L37cQS011922 for ; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L37cq4011918 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2003 22:07:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210307.h9L37cq4011918@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 210000Z3 TO 250000Z7 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. A 202030Z7 QUIKSCAT AND A 202119Z5 AMSU PASS DEPICT AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION CENTER ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TS 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN TURN NORTHEASTWARD AS THE PERIPHERAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST BUILDS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, NOGAPS, AND NCEP GFS MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 21W IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS WESTERLIES POLEWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN LESS THAN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST TAKES TS 21W TO THE NORTHEAST. TS 21W IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 14:02:19 2003 X-UIDL: 43421-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300IN5EXIG2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 13:51:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L5po3S015307 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 13:51:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HnZ055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1499027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L5kAlx084996 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L5k2QS013555 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L5k1KR013553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:01 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 00:46:01 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210546.h9L5k1KR013553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z-220600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210152ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 760 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/CUMMINGS/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 14:56:04 2003 X-UIDL: 43427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300L67HQYT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:52:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L6qY3S021463 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:52:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hon055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:48:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1499608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L6mSlx094504 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:48:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L6mKQS014148 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L6mKYq014147 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:48:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 01:48:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210648.h9L6mKYq014147@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 210600 WARNING 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 16.7N 131.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 18.2N 132.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.0N 134.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 21.5N 137.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 15:21:27 2003 X-UIDL: 43430-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300L15IQ8T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:13:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L7Dt3S023481 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:13:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hox055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:10:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1499683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:10:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L7A2lx079374 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:10:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L79sQS014389 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:09:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L79sh4014388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:09:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 02:09:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210709.h9L79sh4014388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 210600 WARNING 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 992 HPA AT 21.5N 144.4E SOUTH OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 24.1N 146.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 26.5N 150.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 30.5N 156.0E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 17:48:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43439-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LO6ME4T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:32:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L8X53S031788 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:33:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HqB055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:27:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1500089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L8Rllx087330 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L8RdQS015299 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:27:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L8RcQi015298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:27:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210827.h9L8RcQi015298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 50N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 180E TO 39N 176W 35N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 180E TO 37N 174E 35N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 170E TO 32N 165E 29N 162E 27N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 129E 28N 132E 22N 130E 20N 127E 18N 126E 18N 124E 23N 125E 27N 129E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 141E 35N 151E 39N 164E 34N 165E 29N 152E 29N 138E 33N 137E 34N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 42N 151E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 16.7N 131.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 992 HPA AT 21.5N 144.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 17:48:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43440-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LQPMEST5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:32:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L8XS3S031839 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 16:33:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HqF055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:30:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1500118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L8U1lx096804 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:30:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L8TrQS015322 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:29:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L8Tr4m015321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:29:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 03:29:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210829.h9L8Tr4m015321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 16.6N3 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.2N0 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.0N9 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.9N8 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.9N9 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.3N7 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 26.9N7 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 32.0N5 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 131.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. MEASUREMENT OF THE 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED THAT TY 20W HAS A RAGGED EYE 30 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 17:48:23 2003 X-UIDL: 43446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300L72NVBT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 17:04:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L950ip036220 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 17:05:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hqf055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:00:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1500446 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:00:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L90Ilx072212 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:00:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9L90AQS015629 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9L90AjT015628 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:00:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 04:00:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 21w (parma) Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310210900.h9L90AjT015628@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 21.6N9 144.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N9 144.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 22.7N1 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 24.0N6 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 25.4N1 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 27.0N9 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 29.6N7 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 29.9N0 163.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 21.9N2 144.5E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. THE 210000Z3 LOCATION OF TS 21W HAS BEEN RELOCATED 75 NM EAST OF THE 210000Z3 WARNING LOCATION. AVAILABILITY OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 201952Z9 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION PASS, AND A 202352Z4 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FOR TS 21W IS LOCATED SIGNIFICANTLY FURTHER EAST THAN WHAT THE PREVIOUS INFRARED SATELLITE FIXES WERE SHOWING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 21 19:29:06 2003 X-UIDL: 43467-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LXVU0RT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:17:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LBHo3S048992 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:17:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hq1098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1501241 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LBEclx027278 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LBEUQS016803 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LBEUsF016801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 06:14:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211114.h9LBEUsF016801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 211130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/211130Z-220600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210751ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210752ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210600Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210600Z9, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 210900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 11.9N1 112.2E6, 180 NM EAST OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER A 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ANALYSIS AT 200 MB REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARAGRAPHS 1.A.(1) AND 1.A.(2); ADDED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/CUMMINGS/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:07 2003 X-UIDL: 43477-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LIQY8UT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:48:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LCn0ip058009 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:49:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HtZ055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 07:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1501837 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 07:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LCjZlx027252 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 07:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LCjRQS017853 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 07:45:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LCjR9r017852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 07:45:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 07:45:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211245.h9LCjR9r017852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 211200 WARNING 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 16.9N 131.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 18.8N 132.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 20.5N 135.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 22.0N 137.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN300LN1ZFVT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:14:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LDEeip060320 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:14:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HvR055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:10:15 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1502339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:10:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LDADlx039890 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:10:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LDA5QS018464 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:10:05 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LDA52k018463 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:10:05 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 08:10:05 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211310.h9LDA52k018463@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 211200 WARNING 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 990 HPA AT 22.1N 145.2E SOUTHSOUTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 24.5N 147.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 27.5N 151.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 31.0N 157.5E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:24 2003 X-UIDL: 43494-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LK026UT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:13:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LEEGip066168 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:14:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51H07055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:05:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1503620 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:05:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LE5Wlx014980 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:05:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LE5OQS019848 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:05:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LE5OXp019847 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:05:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:05:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211405.h9LE5OXp019847@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 211200Z6 TO 261200Z1 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW HAS ALLOWED TY 20W TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY TO NEAR SUPER TYPHOON STRENGTH WITH A RAGGED EYE 20 NM in DIAMETER EYE. B. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE MID TO UPPER RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. THE STEERING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO BUILD WITH TIME ALLOWING TY 20W TO INCREASE IN SPEED AFTER 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, WBAI, COAMPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NOGAPS IS A SIGNIFICANT OUTLIER TO THE REST OF THE AIDS DEPICTING A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. THIS POLEWARD TRACK IS ATTRIBUTED TO A MUCH STRONGER STEERING RIDGE CREATING A MORE POLEWARD FLOW. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON NOGAPS. C. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS TO PROBABLE SUPER TYPHOON STRENGTH DUE TO SLOW MOVEMENT THROUGH A WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. TY 20W WILL WEAKEN AFTER THE 48 TO 60 HOUR TAU AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST EXPECTS TY 20W TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEAST TRACK AND TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/CUMMINGS/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:24 2003 X-UIDL: 43496-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LH630MT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:31:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LEW3ip068050 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:32:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51H1J055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:27:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1503967 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:27:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LER3lx085046 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:27:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LEQtQS020448 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LEQtZU020447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:26:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 09:26:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211426.h9LEQtZU020447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 50N 171E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 129E 26N 132E 22N 129E 20N 127E 17N 126E 18N 124E 23N 125E 26N 129E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 35N 140E 35N 157E 40N 172E 37N 176E 29N 164E 28N 156E 29N 134E 33N 134E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 11N 114E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 102E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 43N 153E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 26N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 16.9N 131.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 990 HPA AT 22.1N 145.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 159E TO 30N 165E 33N 169E 34N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 171E TO 37N 177E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:26 2003 X-UIDL: 43502-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L9F539T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:16:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LFGmip072669 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:16:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51H3x055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1504719 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LF9Olx021806 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LF9GQS021759 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LF9G6w021756 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211509.h9LF9G6w021756@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 05// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 211200Z6 TO 251200Z0 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. A RECENT 210855Z1 QUIKSCAT PASS AND 211106Z1 SSM/I PASS BRINGS HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE 211200Z6 BEST TRACK LOCATION. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE AND CONSOLIDATE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TS 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, NOGAPS, JTYM, COAMPS, WBAI, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO IN BOTH TRACK AND SPEED. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND THEN DECREASES IN INTENSITY AFTER THE 48 HOUR TAU AS TS 21W ENCOUNTERS THE WESTERLIES POLEWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. TS 21W WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW AFTER THE 48 HOUR TAU AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE WESTERLIES. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LESS THAN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST EXPECTS TS 21W TO ACCELERATE EASTWARDS AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED INTO THE WESTERLIES AND TRANSITIONS COMPLETELY INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE 96 HOUR TAU. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/CUMMINGS/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:26 2003 X-UIDL: 43503-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LHE55PT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:17:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LFIC3S073121 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 23:18:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51H0D098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1504724 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LF9Olx077920 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LF9GQS021760 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LF9GeU021758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 10:09:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 21w (parma) Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211509.h9LF9GeU021758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 22.2N6 145.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 145.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 23.1N6 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 24.2N8 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 25.3N0 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 26.6N4 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 29.1N2 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 29.6N7 165.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 22.4N8 145.7E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. A RECENT 210855Z1 QUIKSCAT PASS AND 211106Z1 SSM/I PASS BRINGS HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE 211200Z6 BEST TRACK LOCATION. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE AND CONSOLIDATE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6, 220300Z7, 220900Z3 AND 221500Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:32 2003 X-UIDL: 43522-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LDQBE9T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:32:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LHX8ip087342 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:33:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51H5l098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1507710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LHHBlx046928 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LHH3QS025842 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LHH3f1025840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 12:17:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211717.h9LHH3f1025840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 211700 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/211700Z-220600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211351ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211352ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED NEAR 17.1N9 131.2E7, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 211200Z6, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED NEAR 22.2N6 145.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 211500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.9N1 112.2E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 111.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2)AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.1N0 101.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARAGRAPHS 1.A.(1) AND 1.A.(2); ADDED PARAS 1.B.(1) AND 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:35 2003 X-UIDL: 43527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LQ9G0AT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:12:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LJCd3S098039 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:12:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGWc8d051804; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 13:48:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1509166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 13:48:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LImUlx021784 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 13:48:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LImMQS028603 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 13:48:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LImMem028600 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 13:48:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 13:48:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211848.h9LImMem028600@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 211800 WARNING 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 17.2N 131.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 18.7N 132.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 20.0N 135.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 22.0N 136.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:35 2003 X-UIDL: 43528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L4GG8WT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:17:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LJHr3S098538 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:17:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HLn055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:04:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1509646 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:04:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LJ45lx085022 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:04:05 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LJ3vQS029167 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:03:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LJ3v9s029166 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:03:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:03:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211903.h9LJ3v9s029166@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 17.1N9 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.8N6 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.6N5 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.3N3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.4N6 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.5N0 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 21 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 29.0N1 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 34.9N6 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 131.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW HAS ALLOWED TY 20W TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY TO NEAR SUPER TYPHOON STRENGTH WITH A RAGGED EYE 20 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6, 220300Z7, 220900Z3 AND 221500Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:36 2003 X-UIDL: 43529-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L6PGA3T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:18:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LJIcip098046 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:18:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51U2t022344; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:06:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1509710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:04:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LJ4ulx017516 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:04:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LJ4mQS029194 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:04:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LJ4mpZ029193 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:04:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:04:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211904.h9LJ4mpZ029193@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 16.6N3 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.2N0 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.0N9 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.9N8 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.9N9 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.3N7 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 26.9N7 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 32.0N5 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.8N5 131.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. MEASUREMENT OF THE 210530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED THAT TY 20W HAS A RAGGED EYE 30 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #0001 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:36 2003 X-UIDL: 43531-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400L2SGQCT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:27:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LJSN3S099569 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:28:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51U35022344; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:11:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1509889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:11:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LJB2lx094480 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:11:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LJAsQS029367 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:10:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LJArd8029366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:10:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 14:10:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310211910.h9LJArd8029366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 211800 WARNING 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 22.1N 146.1E SOUTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING EAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 24.0N 148.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 28.0N 153.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 32.5N 162.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:37 2003 X-UIDL: 43534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LDQKBBT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:45:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LKjlip006661 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:45:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LGWcNZ051804; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:30:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1511073 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:30:04 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LKU3lx034152 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:30:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LKTtQS001802 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LKTtcV001801 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:29:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:29:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212029.h9LKTtcV001801@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 48N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 175W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 175W TO 37N 170W 33N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 175W TO 37N 180E 34N 175E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 175E TO 33N 170E 30N 165E 28N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 129E 23N 132E 18N 125E 21N 121E 28N 129E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 136E 34N 157E 36N 164E 31N 163E 28N 156E 28N 135E 34N 136E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 10N 101E ALMOST STATIONARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 12N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 135E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 44N 154E ENE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 17.2N 131.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 985 HPA AT 22.1N 146.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:38 2003 X-UIDL: 43536-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LNWLIKT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:11:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLBi3S009392 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:11:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HRp055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1511490 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LKvIlx059824 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LKvAQS002616 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LKvAtF002614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212057.h9LKvAtF002614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 212100 DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 17.2N0 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 17.9N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.8N7 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.8N8 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.9N1 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.6N1 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 27.8N7 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 33.8N4 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.4N2 131.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 725 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, BUT WEAKENED POLEWARD OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7, 220900Z3, 221500Z0 AND 222100Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:38 2003 X-UIDL: 43537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LMIM5OT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:25:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LLPa3S010566 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:25:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HCp098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1511493 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LKvIlx040418 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LKvAQS002615 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LKvA0C002612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 15:57:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212057.h9LKvA0C002612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 212100 DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 22.5N9 145.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 145.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 23.6N1 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 24.6N2 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 25.7N4 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 27.0N9 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 28.9N9 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 31.0N4 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 22.8N2 146.1E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. A 211857Z4 TRMM PASS DEPICTS THE CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7, 220900Z3, 221500Z0 AND 222100Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:47 2003 X-UIDL: 43554-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LX6ROLT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:24:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LNOw3S021561 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:25:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51U7X022344; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:18:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1513520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:18:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LNIPlx085584 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:18:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LNHxQS005268 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LNHxx6005266 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212317.h9LNHxx6005266@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 212300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/212300Z-220600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211951ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211952ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS/ A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211800Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED NEAR 17.2N0 131.2E7, APPROXIMATELY 725 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 212100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 211800Z6, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED NEAR 22.5N9 145.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 212100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 111.8E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 112.8E2, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION NEAR A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA BENEATH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.1N0 101.0E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 101.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 212230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.1N9 161.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 175 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UNORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARAS 1.A.(1), 1.A.(2); UPGRADED PARAS 1.B.(1), 1.B.(2); ADDED PARA 1.B.(3). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:47 2003 X-UIDL: 43555-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LDERZRT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:31:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LNVe3S022132 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:31:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HGJ098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:18:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1513513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LNHxlx033854 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9LNHoQS005255 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:50 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9LNHoIL005254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:50 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 18:17:50 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310212317.h9LNHoIL005254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN21 PGTW 212230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 212221Z OCT 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.8N0 97.2E8 TO 9.1N0 101.7E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM AGERY AT 211800Z2 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 101.3E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.1N0 101.0E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 101.3E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 222230Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:49 2003 X-UIDL: 43561-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LZIVX0T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:55:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M0uFip028018 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:56:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HZX055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:47:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1514332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:47:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M0l2lx084550 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:47:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M0krQS006502 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M0krN3006501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:46:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 19:46:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220046.h9M0krN3006501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 220000 WARNING 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 17.4N 131.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 19.1N 132.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 20.0N 135.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 22.5N 137.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:50 2003 X-UIDL: 43565-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN400LZHX1YT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:20:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M1Kx3S032137 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:21:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HaH055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:11:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1514640 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:11:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M1BWlx096822 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:11:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M1BKQS006875 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:11:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M1BKqu006874 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:11:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 20:11:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220111.h9M1BKqu006874@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 220000 WARNING 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 980 HPA AT 22.1N 146.5E SOUTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 20 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 24.4N 148.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 29.5N 155.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 32.0N 163.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:55 2003 X-UIDL: 43580-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LL80KDT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:36:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M2ao3S040188 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:36:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LMQV93051834; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:32:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1515257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:32:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M2WQlx096062 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:32:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M2WIQS007971 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:32:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M2WI1p007970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:32:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 21:32:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220232.h9M2WI1p007970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 32N 138E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 138E TO 31N 140E 29N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 138E TO 28N 137E 24N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 42N 132E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 132E TO 41N 135E 41N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 132E TO 39N 130E 35N 126E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 162E 37N 180E 34N 180E 32N 172E 30N 165E 33N 162E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 132E 23N 132E 19N 125E 20N 119E 23N 118E 26N 132E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 12N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 10N 101E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 159E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 155E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 17.4N 131.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 980 HPA AT 22.1N 146.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 159E TO 30N 169E 33N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:57 2003 X-UIDL: 43589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LDO2ODT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:21:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M3MMip043174 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:22:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HK7098524; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1515916 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M3Islx045864 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M3IkQS008536 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M3Ij2i008533 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220318.h9M3Ij2i008533@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 14// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 220000Z4 TO 260000Z0 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE EYEWALL IS ERODING IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. B. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING SLOWLY TO THE NORTH FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS A MID-LEVEL PERIPHERAL RIDGE BUILDS TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE BY MID PERIOD, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND INCREASING SPEED AFTER 24 HOURS. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, WBAI, COAMPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM WESTERLY FLOW. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST EXPECTS TY 20W TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEAST TRACK AND TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:57 2003 X-UIDL: 43590-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LHF2PZT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:22:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M3NNip043311 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:23:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HdL055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1515913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M3Islx087524 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M3IkQS008537 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M3IjF3008535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 21w (parma) Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220318.h9M3IjF3008535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 22.6N0 146.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 146.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 23.5N0 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 24.5N1 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 25.6N3 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 27.1N0 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 29.0N1 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 22.8N2 146.6E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. A 222337Z9 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS THE LOW LEVEL NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION IS INCREASING IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:58 2003 X-UIDL: 43591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LRP2U5T5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:25:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M3Pq3S046002 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:25:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9LMQVEL051834; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1515919 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M3Islx087526 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M3IkQS008544 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M3IkXd008543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:18:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220318.h9M3IkXd008543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 17.4N2 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.2N1 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.9N8 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.9N9 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.9N1 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.6N2 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 29.6N7 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 17.6N4 131.3E8. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE EYEWALL IS ERODING IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 12:04:58 2003 X-UIDL: 43592-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500LO53IOT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:40:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M3ea3S047404 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 11:40:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hdp055424; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:36:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1516104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:36:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M3anlx034270 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:36:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M3aeQS008745 for ; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:36:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M3aeTp008744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:36:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2003 22:36:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220336.h9M3aeTp008744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 220000Z4 TO 250000Z7 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. A 222337Z9 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS THE LOW LEVEL NORTH OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION IS INCREASING IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. B. TS 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. TS 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, NOGAPS, JTYM, COAMPS, WBAI, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. JTYM AND EGRR ARE THE FASTEST MODELS DUE TO MORE AGGRESSIVE BAROCLINIC INTERACTION. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. AFTER 24 HOURS, TS 21W WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS ABOVE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRA- TROPICAL SYSTEM. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A LESS THAN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ALLEN/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 15:54:03 2003 X-UIDL: 43613-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500L3ABDGT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:29:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M6UH3S065440 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:30:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51UB9022344; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1517778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M6RPlx087426 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M6RGQS010472 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M6RGAR010470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:27:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220627.h9M6RGAR010470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z-230600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220152ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220552ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C AND D ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERTS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 131.2E7, APPROXIMATELY 720 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N0 146.3E4, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 15:54:09 2003 X-UIDL: 43616-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500L8PC3HT5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:45:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M6jrip063379 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:45:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528pH077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:42:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1517852 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:42:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M6g9lx051858 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:42:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M6ftQS010609 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:41:55 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M6ftDn010608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:41:55 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:41:55 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220641.h9M6ftDn010608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 220600 WARNING 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 17.8N 131.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 375 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 325 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 19.1N 132.4E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 20.0N 134.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 22.0N 135.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 15:54:10 2003 X-UIDL: 43617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500156D3TUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:07:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M77fip065383 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:07:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528pL077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:59:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1517896 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:59:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M6xclx087498 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:59:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M6xUQS010741 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:59:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M6xUvY010740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:59:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 01:59:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220659.h9M6xUvY010740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 220600 WARNING 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 23.0N 146.9E SOUTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 25.5N 149.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 30.0N 155.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 32.0N 163.5E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 17:39:02 2003 X-UIDL: 43625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001X2FZ6UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:09:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M89Wip072425 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:09:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HMZ098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:00:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518162 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:00:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M80Alx049364 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:00:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M802QS011326 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:00:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M8022k011325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:00:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:00:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220800.h9M8022k011325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 17.7N5 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.4N3 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 205 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.1N1 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 19.9N9 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 20.7N9 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.4N0 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 28.4N4 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 32.7N2 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 131.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 705 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS THAT THE STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW HAS DECREASED IN THE PAST SIX HOURS THOUGH THE SYSTEM REMAINS NEAR SUPER TYPHOON STRENGTH WITH A SYMMETRICAL EYE 20 NM IN DIAMETER MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0, 222100Z7, 230300Z8 AND 230900Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 17:39:05 2003 X-UIDL: 43628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50013KH4EUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:33:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M8YQip075091 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:34:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528q3077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:28:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518256 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:28:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M8Sulx087448 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:28:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M8SmQS011717 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M8Sm5L011716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:28:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220828.h9M8Sm5L011716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 133E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 133E TO 43N 137E 43N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 133E TO 39N 132E 35N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 139E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 139E TO 32N 142E 31N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 139E TO 28N 137E 23N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 46N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 131E 24N 131E 23N 127E 20N 125E 20N 119E 25N 118E 28N 125E 29N 131E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 151E 33N 151E 35N 164E 35N 175E 31N 175E 27N 160E 28N 151E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 12.0N 114.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 10N 102E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 56N 139E NE 25 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 46N 154E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 17.8N 131.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 23.0N 146.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 159E TO 30N 168E 32N 178E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 17:39:06 2003 X-UIDL: 43632-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50013VHQIUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:47:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M8lWip076614 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:47:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HMl098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:40:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:40:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M8eslx025376 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:40:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M8ejQS011853 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:40:45 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M8ejf5011852 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:40:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 03:40:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 21w (parma) Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220840.h9M8ejf5011852@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 22.9N3 146.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N3 146.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 23.7N2 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 24.8N4 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 26.3N1 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 28.2N2 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 30.1N4 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 31.9N3 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 23.1N6 147.2E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING AND CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION WITH OUTFLOW IN ALL DIRECTIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0, 222100Z7, 230300Z8 AND 230900Z4. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 22 17:39:08 2003 X-UIDL: 43639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001HDJ71UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:18:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M9J73S084090 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 17:19:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528rP077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:14:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1518650 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:14:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M9EYlx070526 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:14:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9M9EPQS012190 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:14:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9M9EPpl012189 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:14:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 04:14:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310220914.h9M9EPpl012189@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN33 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220552ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 11.8N0 115.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 115.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 11.4N6 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 11.1N3 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.8N9 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.6N7 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 10.4N5 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 11.7N9 115.4E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED AND IS CONSOLIDATING OVER A PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 220552Z OCT 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:33 2003 X-UIDL: 43653-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001ZWN8ZUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:46:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MAkmip089428 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:46:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528rt077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1519067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MAdZlx072382 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MAdRQS012964 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MAdRI2012962 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:27 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:39:27 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221039.h9MAdRI2012962@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 221030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/221030Z-230600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220751ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220752ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220753ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF D IS/ A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220600Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 131.2E7, APPROXIMATELY 705 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220600Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N3 146.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:35 2003 X-UIDL: 43655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001LONHHUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:51:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MAplip089939 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:51:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51UCX022344; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1519098 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MAkFlx072434 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MAk7QS013018 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MAk7eg013016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 05:46:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221046.h9MAk7eg013016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 221100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/221100Z-230600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220751ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220752ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220753ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF D IS/ A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220600Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N5 131.2E7, APPROXIMATELY 705 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220600Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N3 146.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:41 2003 X-UIDL: 43663-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50010IT5XUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:53:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MCsVip002214 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:54:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528tT077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:48:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1519734 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:48:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MCmslx008382 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:48:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MCmkQS014504 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MCmkg6014503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:48:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 07:48:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221248.h9MCmkg6014503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 221200 WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 18.1N 131.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 19.5N 133.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 20.5N 134.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 23.0N 136.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:42 2003 X-UIDL: 43668-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50016OUB5UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:18:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MDJD3S008041 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:19:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528uR077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:08:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1520059 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:08:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MD8Tlx055514 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:08:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MD8LQS014930 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:08:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MD8LNS014929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:08:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:08:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221308.h9MD8LNS014929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 221200 WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 23.5N 147.1E SOUTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 25.9N 149.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 30.0N 156.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 31.0N 163.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:43 2003 X-UIDL: 43670-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001I9VXCUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:53:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MDs8ip007908 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:54:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528vD077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:46:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1520355 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:46:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MDkPlx092294 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:46:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MDkHQS015847 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:46:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MDkHiC015846 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:46:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 08:46:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221346.h9MDkHiC015846@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 18.3N2 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.1N1 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.9N9 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.9N1 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.1N5 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.3N0 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 29.9N0 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 131.6E1. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 675 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK, RAGGED EYE, 20 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:48 2003 X-UIDL: 43673-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001WSXEEUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:25:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MEPjip011360 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:25:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HR9098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:21:23 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1520735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:21:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MELLlx092194 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:21:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MELDQS017030 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:21:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MELDxv017029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:21:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:21:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221421.h9MELDxv017029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 16// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 221200Z7 TO 261200Z1 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 675 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR DEPICTS A WEAK, RAGGED EYE, 20 NM IN DIAMETER. B. THE MOST RECENT BEST TRACK AT 221200Z7 SUGGESTS THAT TY 20W IS BEGINNING TO TRANSITION TO A MORE NORTHEASTWARD TRACK IN THE PAST SIX HOURS. TY 20W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE MID PERIOD AND INCREASE IN SPEED AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXITING EASTERN ASIA. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER THE BAROCLINIC ZONE LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AND BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, WBAI, COAMPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 20W HAS THE POTENTIAL TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY OR INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING LINEAR AND THEN CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT RESTRICTING OUTFLOW. TY 20W WILL WEAKEN AT A GREATER RATE LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST EXPECTS TY 20W TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEAST TRACK AND TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/CUMMINGS/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:49 2003 X-UIDL: 43674-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN500134XGXUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:26:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MERYip011547 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:27:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51UEt022344; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:22:59 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1520750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:22:59 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MEMdlx067126 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:22:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MEMVQS017064 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:22:31 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MEMVmi017063 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:22:31 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:22:31 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221422.h9MEMVmi017063@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 21W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 23.5N0 147.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 147.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 24.6N2 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 26.3N1 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 27.9N8 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 29.7N8 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.3N7 165.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 23.8N3 147.6E8. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS ENHANCING INTENSIFICATION OF TY 21W. A 221129Z7 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION PASS AT 85 GHZ REVEALS THAT A RAGGED 40 NM DIAMETER EYE IS BEGINNING TO FORM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:56 2003 X-UIDL: 43676-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001LBXPDUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:32:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MEWbip012130 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:32:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528wP077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:27:44 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1520811 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:27:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MERhlx031078 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:27:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MERZQS017197 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MERZua017196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:27:35 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:27:35 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221427.h9MERZua017196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 09// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 221200Z7 TO 251200Z0 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS ENHANCING INTENSIFICATION OF TY 21W. A 221129Z7 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION PASS AT 85 GHZ REVEALS THAT A RAGGED 40 NM DIAMETER EYE IS BEGINNING TO FORM. B. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, GFDN, NOGAPS, JTYM, COAMPS, WBAI, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXITING EASTERN ASIA INCREASES THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. AFTER 24 HOURS, TY 21W WILL WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/CUMMINGS/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:28:57 2003 X-UIDL: 43677-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN5001O4XPYUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:32:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MEWvip012187 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 22:33:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HRL098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:29:14 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1520827 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9METDlx087336 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:29:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MET4QS017253 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:29:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MET4LZ017252 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:29:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 09:29:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221429.h9MET4LZ017252@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 35N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 142E TO 33N 144E 32N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 142E TO 31N 140E 28N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 44N 136E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 136E TO 44N 138E 43N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 136E TO 40N 137E 36N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 130E 23N 130E 21N 127E 19N 126E 20N 118E 26N 119E 26N 130E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 168E 50N 169E 52N 180E 40N 180E 42N 168E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 11.6N 116.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 51N 157E 40N 160E 40N 145E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 10N 101E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 57N 139E NNE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 51N 159E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 21N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 18.1N 131.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 23.5N 147.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 165E TO 30N 172E 33N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:01 2003 X-UIDL: 43684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50011AZTHUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:17:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MFIIip017451 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:18:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M5280j077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:05:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1521407 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:05:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MF5clx059878 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:05:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MF5UQS018318 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:05:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MF5Ukr018317 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:05:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:05:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221505.h9MF5Ukr018317@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN33 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220552ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 11.8N0 115.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 115.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.6N8 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 11.4N6 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 11.2N4 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 10.9N0 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 10.7N8 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.8N0 115.5E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE MAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 221139Z8 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 221013Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS THAT THE LLCC IS STILL BROAD AND ELONGATED ALONG AN EAST TO WEST AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:01 2003 X-UIDL: 43685-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN50013BZU3UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:18:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MFIdip017488 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:18:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HRr098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:06:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1521426 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:06:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MF6Clx067190 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:06:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MF64QS018349 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:06:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MF64Na018348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:06:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:06:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 22w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221506.h9MF64Na018348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN33 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 221200Z7 TO 251200Z0 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE MAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 221139Z8 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 221013Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS THAT THE LLCC IS STILL BROAD AND ELONGATED ALONG AN EAST TO WEST AXIS. B. TD 22W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY EASTWARD IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BUFFER TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE FEW AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, WBAI, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN VERY POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NOGAPS FORECASTS TD 22W TO CONTINUE TRACKING EASTWARD WHICH IS IN LINE WITH THE SHALLOW BETA ADVECTION MODEL. WBAI ALSO TRACKS THE SYSTEM EASTWARD BUT AT A MUCH SLOWER RATE. FINALLY, NCEP GFS TRACKS THE TD 22W SLOWLY TO THE EAST, THEN FORECASTS THE SYSTEM TO BECOME QUASISTATIONARY AND EVENTUALLY TRACKS TD 22W BACK TO THE WEST WHERE IT ORIGINATED. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 22W INITIALLY FORMED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE. HOWEVER, AS TD 22W TRACKS EASTWARD, IT WILL TRAVEL INTO A LESS FAVORABLE AREA OF INCREASED CONFLUENCE ALOFT. GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THAT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. FOR THESE REASONS, TD 22W IS CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT MUCH MORE THAN TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. D. TD 22W CURRENTLY DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/CUMMINGS/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:01 2003 X-UIDL: 43686-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001NS045UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:24:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MFOeip018068 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:24:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HSD098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:13:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1521577 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:13:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MFDHlx097016 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:13:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MFD9QS018516 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:13:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MFD9As018515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:13:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 10:13:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221513.h9MFD9As018515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN33 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 11.8N0 115.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 115.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 11.6N8 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 11.4N6 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 11.2N4 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 10.9N0 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 10.7N8 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.8N0 115.5E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE MAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 221139Z8 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 221013Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS THAT THE LLCC IS STILL BROAD AND ELONGATED ALONG AN EAST TO WEST AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:13 2003 X-UIDL: 43708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60016O9UDUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:54:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MIsi3S047360 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:54:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528Bp077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 13:50:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1524882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 13:50:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MIotlx092382 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 13:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MIolQS024724 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 13:50:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MIol8G024723 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 13:50:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 13:50:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221850.h9MIol8G024723@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 221800 WARNING 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 18.5N 131.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 280 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 19.5N 133.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 21.0N 134.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 24.0N 137.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:13 2003 X-UIDL: 43709-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60015GBMBUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:32:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MJX63S051891 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:33:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51UM1022344; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:11:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1525143 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:11:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MJBQlx096082 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:11:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MJBIQS025387 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:11:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MJBIYN025386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:11:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 14:11:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310221911.h9MJBIYN025386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 221800 WARNING 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 24.1N 147.8E EASTSOUTHEAST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 27.5N 151.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 32.0N 159.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 31.0N 165.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:15 2003 X-UIDL: 43713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001E2FKZUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:58:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MKwi3S061842 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:58:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528HF077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:49:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1526825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:49:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MKnPlx047540 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:49:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MKnHQS028039 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:49:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MKnHJB028038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:49:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:49:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222049.h9MKnHJB028038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 18.3N2 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.1N1 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.9N9 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.9N1 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.1N5 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.3N0 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 29.9N0 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 18.5N4 131.6E1. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 675 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK, RAGGED EYE, 20 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 33 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:16 2003 X-UIDL: 43717-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001ALHWKUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:48:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MLmuip061767 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:48:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528KR077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1527691 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MLdblx092362 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MLdTQS029314 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MLdSWF029312 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222139.h9MLdSWF029312@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 24.1N7 148.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 148.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 25.6N3 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 27.2N1 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 28.8N8 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 30.2N5 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 31.4N8 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 24.5N1 148.3E6. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8, 230900Z4, 231500Z1 AND 232100Z8. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:16 2003 X-UIDL: 43718-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001ATHWLUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:48:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MLmwip061769 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:49:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51HdX098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1527694 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MLdblx030230 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MLdTQS029315 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MLdSFK029313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 16:39:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222139.h9MLdSFK029313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN33 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 11.9N1 116.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N1 116.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 11.6N8 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 11.2N4 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.9N0 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 10.9N0 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 11.4N6 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 11.8N0 117.0E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE EAST OF THE WEAK CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8, 230900Z4, 231500Z1 AND 232100Z8. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:19 2003 X-UIDL: 43727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60016LNBZUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:45:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MNkAip072302 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:46:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528Ox077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:25:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1529135 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:25:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9MNPLlx045392 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:25:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MNPDQS001026 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:25:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MNPDWm001024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:25:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 18:25:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Narr/ref A Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtpn22 Pgtw 212230)// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222325.h9MNPDWm001024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN22 PGTW 222230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 222221Z OCT 03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221Z OCT 03// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 212230)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.7N6 101.3E5 TO 13.9N3 97.8E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 222200Z8 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 101.1E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 101.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 101.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 232230Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:20 2003 X-UIDL: 43729-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001TUPKDUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:33:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N0YM3S081572 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:34:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528QT077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:28:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1529743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:28:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N0Svlx046068 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:28:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N0SmQS001789 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N0SmUC001788 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:28:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:28:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 017a Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230028.h9N0SmUC001788@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 222100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 017A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 18.6N5 131.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 131.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.5N5 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.5N7 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 21.5N8 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 22.7N1 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 26.7N5 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 30.8N1 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 33.8N4 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 131.9E4. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 650 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK RAGGED EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8, 230900Z4, 231500Z1 AND 232100Z8. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED STORM INTENSITY TO TYPHOON, RATHER THAN TROPICAL STORM.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001JRQDHUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:51:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N0pp3S083402 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:51:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528RB077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:47:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1530064 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:47:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N0lWlx033786 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:47:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N0lOQS001981 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N0lOga001980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:47:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 19:47:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230047.h9N0lOga001980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 230000 WARNING 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 18.7N 132.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 375 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 19.7N 133.9E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 21.5N 135.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 25.0N 138.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43735-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN6001JGRQHUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:20:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N1LDip082072 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:21:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528Rj077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:14:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1530338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:14:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N1E1lx094624 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:14:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N1DrQS002272 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:13:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N1DraM002271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:13:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 20:13:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230113.h9N1DraM002271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 230000 WARNING 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 960 HPA AT 24.8N 148.8E WEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 50 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 28.9N 152.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 32.0N 160.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 32.0N 165.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN600104VH3UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:41:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N2fx3S096851 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:42:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528UD077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:30:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1531008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:30:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N2Uqlx030242 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:30:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N2UiQS003072 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:30:44 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N2Ui6f003071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:30:44 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:30:44 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230230.h9N2Ui6f003071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 139E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 139E TO 45N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 139E TO 41N 140E 36N 138E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 48N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 53N 142E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 39N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 144E TO 37N 148E 31N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 144E TO 34N 143E 28N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 128E 32N 130E 32N 134E 24N 134E 24N 129E 19N 126E 16N 119E 23N 115E 26N 120E 31N 122E 34N 128E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 170E 47N 170E 50N 180E 37N 180E 41N 170E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 11.9N 117.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 149E 44N 146E 51N 159E 40N 166E 38N 149E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 11N 101E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 09N 152E WNW 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 34N 116E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 52N 163E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 22N 176E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 18.7N 132.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 960 HPA AT 24.8N 148.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 156E TO 29N 170E 33N 172W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:47 2003 X-UIDL: 43749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN60018XW75UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:57:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N2vdip093486 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:57:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528V7077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:48:19 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1531360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:48:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N2mIlx047102 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:48:18 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N2mAQS003285 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:48:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N2mAE4003284 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:48:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 21:48:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230248.h9N2mAE4003284@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 018 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 18.8N7 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.7N7 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.7N9 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.9N2 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.4N9 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 27.4N3 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 31.0N4 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 34.1N8 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 132.6E2. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BANDING EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4, 231500Z1, 232100Z8 AND 240300Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:49 2003 X-UIDL: 43759-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN600191ZB4UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:04:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N44j3S006050 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:04:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528Xb077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1532237 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N40nlx052082 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N40fQS004097 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N40fCV004095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230400.h9N40fCV004095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN33 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 11.0N2 118.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 115 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N2 118.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 10.6N7 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 10.4N5 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 10.7N8 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 11.3N5 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.1N4 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.9N0 118.8E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EAST OF THE PERSISTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4, 231500Z1, 232100Z8 AND 240300Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:50 2003 X-UIDL: 43762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN600192ZX1UX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:17:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N4Heip002035 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:17:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Hjp098524; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1532240 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N40nlx045520 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N40fQS004096 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N40ecN004094 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:00:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230400.h9N40ecN004094@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 24.6N2 148.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 095 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 148.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 26.1N9 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 28.1N1 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 29.7N8 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 30.7N0 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.1N5 169.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 25.0N7 149.3E7. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77, 90 AND 102 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A 16NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS SHOWING GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WHICH IS ENHANCING INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4, 231500Z1, 232100Z8 AND 240300Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:52 2003 X-UIDL: 43767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70015S0KXUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:31:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N4WMip003627 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:32:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528YD077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:23:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1532485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:23:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N4N8lx015060 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:23:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N4N0QS004333 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:23:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N4N0VA004332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:23:00 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:23:00 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230423.h9N4N0VA004332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 11// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 230000Z5 TO 260000Z8 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77, 90 AND 102 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A 16NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS SHOWING GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WHICH IS ENHANCING INTENSIFICATION.. B. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. AFTER TAU 48 TY 21W WILL TRANSITION TO MORE EASTWARD TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE EAST. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, GFDN, NOGAPS, JTYM, COAMPS, WBAI,AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXITING EASTERN ASIA INCREASES THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. AFTER 24 HOURS, TY 21W WILL WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:53 2003 X-UIDL: 43770-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7001GD13SUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:43:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N4hdip004736 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 12:43:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528YF077554; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:24:11 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1532492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:24:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N4OAlx034994 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:24:10 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N4O2QS004361 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:24:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N4O2dV004360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:24:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 23:24:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 22w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230424.h9N4O2dV004360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN33 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 230000Z5 TO 260000Z8 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 365 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE MAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 221139Z8 SSM/I PASS SHOWS THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 221013Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS THAT THE LLCC IS STILL BROAD AND ELONGATED ALONG AN EAST TO WEST AXIS. B. TD 22W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY EASTWARD IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BUFFER TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE FEW AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, WBAI, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN VERY POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NOGAPS FORECASTS TD 22W TO CONTINUE TRACKING EASTWARD WHICH IS IN LINE WITH THE SHALLOW BETA ADVECTION MODEL. WBAI ALSO TRACKS THE SYSTEM EASTWARD BUT AT A MUCH SLOWER RATE. FINALLY, NCEP GFS TRACKS TD 22W SLOWLY TO THE EAST, THEN FORECASTS THE SYSTEM TO BECOME QUASISTATIONARY AND EVENTUALLY TRACKS TD 22W BACK TO THE WEST WHERE IT ORIGINATED. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 22W INITIALLY FORMED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE. HOWEVER, AS TD 22W TRACKS EASTWARD, IT WILL TRAVEL INTO A LESS FAVORABLE AREA OF INCREASED CONFLUENCE ALOFT. GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THAT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. FOR THESE REASONS, TD 22W IS CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT MUCH MORE THAN TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. D. TD 22W CURRENTLY DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:53 2003 X-UIDL: 43772-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7001VL3IIUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 13:35:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N5Zgip009920 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 13:35:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50loH058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:22:30 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1533450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:22:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N5MNlx037584 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:22:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N5MFQS004960 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:22:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N5MFhx004959 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:22:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 00:22:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230522.h9N5MFhx004959@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 230300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 11// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 230000Z5 TO 260000Z8 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77, 90 AND 102 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED A 16NM DIAMETER EYE AND IS SHOWING GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, WHICH IS ENHANCING INTENSIFICATION. B. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. AFTER TAU 48 TY 21W WILL TRANSITION TO MORE EASTWARD TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, GFDN, NOGAPS, JTYM, COAMPS, WBAI,AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXITING EASTERN ASIA INCREASES THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. AFTER 24 HOURS, TY 21W WILL WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: UPDATED PARA 2.B. TROUGH MOVEMENT. 4. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:56 2003 X-UIDL: 43783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7001PA65XUX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:32:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N6Woip015719 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:32:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lol058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:24:00 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1533958 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:24:00 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N6Nwlx049394 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:23:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N6NnQS005545 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:23:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N6Nn4k005543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:23:49 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:23:49 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230623.h9N6Nn4k005543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z-240600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230152ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230153ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF D IS/ A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N7 132.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS GUSTING TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N2 148.9E2, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 95 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 230000Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 118.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 101.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 101.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUMM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. SEE REF D (WTPN22 PGTW 222230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 160.0E7, HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO NEAR 5.0N5 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UNORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH FAIR DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:29:59 2003 X-UIDL: 43793-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004BI74BZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:52:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N6rZip017951 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:53:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528b7077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:49:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1534121 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:49:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N6nclx034462 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:49:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N6nUQS005792 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:49:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N6nUEg005791 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:49:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 01:49:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230649.h9N6nUEg005791@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 230600 WARNING 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 19.2N 132.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 375 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 20.9N 134.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 25.5N 138.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 31.0N 145.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:01 2003 X-UIDL: 43798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004X67X7ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:10:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N7Avip019781 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:10:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528bF077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:07:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1534177 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:07:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N77Blx073766 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:07:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N772QS005970 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:07:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N772bs005969 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:07:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 02:07:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230707.h9N772bs005969@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 230600 WARNING 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 950 HPA AT 26.1N 149.6E WESTNORTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 30.3N 155.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 31.5N 163.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 31.0N 165.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:04 2003 X-UIDL: 43809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004Z3C4EZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:41:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N8fc3S035075 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:41:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528c7077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:34:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1534616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:34:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N8YGlx072380 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:34:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N8Y7QS006982 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:34:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N8Y7qY006981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:34:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 03:34:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230834.h9N8Y7qY006981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 47N 139E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 139E TO 46N 141E 45N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 142E TO 44N 144E 42N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 142E TO 41N 142E 35N 139E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 50N 141E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 55N 141E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 41N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 146E TO 40N 148E 39N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 149E TO 36N 151E 33N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 149E TO 34N 146E 31N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 134E 24N 134E 24N 128E 17N 126E 17N 116E 22N 120E 33N 126E 30N 134E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 11.5N 117.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 150E 41N 147E 43N 156E 33N 161E 34N 150E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 11N 101E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 118E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 52N 164E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 176E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 19.2N 132.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 950 HPA AT 26.1N 149.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 153E TO 31N 166E 29N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43827-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70044VEROZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:38:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N9cn3S041599 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:38:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528cr077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:34:41 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535097 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:34:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N9Yelx049804 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:34:40 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N9YWQS007513 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:34:32 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N9YWYv007512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:34:32 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:34:32 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref A Is A Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230934.h9N9YWYv007512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN34 PGTW 230900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/222221ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 001 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 10.2N3 101.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N3 101.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.4N5 100.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.6N7 99.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 10.8N9 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 11.2N4 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 12.0N3 94.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 10.2N3 101.2E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS BEEN QUASI- STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND AN UNFLAGGED 25 KNOT QUIKSCAT OBSERVATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 222221Z OCT 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:22 2003 X-UIDL: 43828-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004EVEV3ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:40:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N9erip037683 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:40:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528ct077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:36:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:36:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N9amlx039844 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:36:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9N9aeQS007533 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:36:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9N9adBJ007532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:36:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 04:36:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310230936.h9N9adBJ007532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN33 PGTW 230900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 005 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 10.9N0 119.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 095 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N0 119.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.6N7 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.4N5 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 10.4N5 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 10.8N9 119.8E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1, 232100Z8, 240300Z9 AND 240900Z5. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:28 2003 X-UIDL: 43845-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004EWIHZZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:58:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NAxM3S051526 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 18:59:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528df077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1535611 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NAiklx049164 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NAibQS008157 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NAibjh008155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 05:44:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231044.h9NAibjh008155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 231030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/231030Z-240600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230751ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230752ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230753ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230754ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, C, AND D ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230600Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N0 132.5E1, APPROXIMATELY 590 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 230900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 230600Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N0 149.8E2, APPROXIMATELY 470 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 230900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 230600Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N0 119.4E5, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 230900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AT 230600Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESION (TD) 23W WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.2N3 101.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST OF THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SEE REF D (WTPN34 PGTW 230900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 101.1E3 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(4) FOR DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 160.0E7, HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO NEAR 5.0N5 151.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE ISLAND OF POHNPEI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UNORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH FAIR DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 1.B.(1) TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1)-(3). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:34 2003 X-UIDL: 43862-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004VPNIGZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:47:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NClgip057117 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:47:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Uad022344; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:43:45 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1536269 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:43:44 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NChhlx087500 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:43:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NChZQS009321 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:43:35 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NChYWo009318 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:43:34 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:43:34 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231243.h9NChYWo009318@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 231200 WARNING 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 19.6N 132.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 270 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 21.0N 134.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 26.5N 138.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 33.5N 146.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:34 2003 X-UIDL: 43863-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004MKNXXZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:56:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NCuwip057986 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:57:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528f5077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1536332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NCoslx037448 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NCokQS009452 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NCojNP009449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:45 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:45 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 019 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231250.h9NCojNP009449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 230900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 019 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 19.0N0 132.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 132.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 19.7N7 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 20.6N8 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 22.1N5 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.3N9 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 28.9N9 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 32.5N0 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 34.1N8 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.2N2 132.7E3. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 590 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A SLIGHT WEAKENING IN CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF TY 20W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDI TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1, 232100Z8, 240300Z9 AND 240900Z5. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:34 2003 X-UIDL: 43864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70042YO6KZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:01:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ND293S063235 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:02:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9L51Uah022344; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1536335 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NCoslx036114 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NCokQS009453 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NCoklW009451 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 07:50:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231250.h9NCoklW009451@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 230900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 012 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 26.2N0 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM REPEAT POSIT: 26.2N0 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 28.0N0 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 29.8N9 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.0N4 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 31.3N7 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 31.5N9 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 26.6N4 150.3E9. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM EAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77, 90 AND 102 KNOTS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM HAS GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT WHICH HAS ENHANCED INTENSIFICATION OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1, 232100Z8, 240300Z9 AND 240900Z5. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:35 2003 X-UIDL: 43868-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004VYONLZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:11:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NDCJ3S064387 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:12:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50ls1058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:06:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1536618 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:06:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ND6Alx070566 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:06:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ND62QS009813 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:06:02 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ND62pS009812 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:06:02 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 08:06:02 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231306.h9ND62pS009812@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 231200 WARNING 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 945 HPA AT 27.1N 150.8E NORTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 170 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 31.9N 158.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 31.5N 166.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 30.0N 168.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:39 2003 X-UIDL: 43879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70048QSRXZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:40:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NEfHip069709 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:41:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528iR077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:31:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1537684 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:31:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NEVZlx009890 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:31:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NEVRQS012352 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:31:27 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NEVQn1012351 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:31:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 09:31:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231431.h9NEVQn1012351@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 48N 139E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 139E TO 47N 145E 45N 146E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 146E TO 40N 150E 35N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 146E TO 37N 144E 34N 140E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 53N 140E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 56N 141E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 133E 23N 129E 19N 127E 21N 118E 26N 120E 31N 127E 28N 136E 25N 133E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 10.7N 119.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 46N 153E 36N 161E 30N 160E 34N 148E 37N 144E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 11N 101E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 120E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 53N 164E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 22N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 19.6N 132.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 945 HPA AT 27.1N 150.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 152E TO 29N 162E 29N 168E 28N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:41 2003 X-UIDL: 43883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70048GU6MZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:11:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFBiip074267 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:11:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528kl077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:05:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:05:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NF5vlx092394 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:05:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NF5mQS013479 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NF5mcw013478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:05:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:05:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 23w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231505.h9NF5mcw013478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN34 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W/ WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 261200Z1 OCT 2003. A.TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BANGKOK, THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND AN UNFLAGGED 25 KNOT QUIKSCAT OBSERVATION. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE CONVECTION REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED, WHILE A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS THAT THERE IS A WELL DEVELOPED MID LEVEL ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM. B. THROUGH THE FIRST 12 TO 24 HOURS, TD 23W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THEREAFTER, IT SHOULD MOVE WESTWARD AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH BUILDS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF EGRR, NOGAPS, WBAR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. ALL THE MODELS TRACK THE SYSTEM TOWARDS THE WEST, BUT VARY ON SPEEDS. THIS VARIANCE IS DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN THE AMOUNT OF INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED. GFS INTENSIFIES THE SYSTEM THE MOST, THUS HAS THE QUICKER TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 23W IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS UNDER A EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THIS PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE, THUS TD 23W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. TD 23W CURRENTLY DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON MODEL ANALYSIS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZE SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/DAMRON/KLINZMANN/CHITWOOD/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:41 2003 X-UIDL: 43884-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004S6UF8ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:16:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFGs3S079331 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:16:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NCs92H079488; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538170 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NF1olx077886 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NF1fQS013294 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NF1flI013291 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231501.h9NF1flI013291@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN33 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 006 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 11.0N2 120.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N2 120.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 10.8N9 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 10.7N8 124.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.0N2 121.1E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTH OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS WEAK AND DISORGANIZED, BUT STILL HAS CLOUD BANDING FEATURES THAT INDICATE IT IS NEAR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9 AND 240900Z5. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:42 2003 X-UIDL: 43885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004BYUN9ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:21:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFLi3S079897 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:21:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528l9077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:08:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538287 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:08:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NF8Clx036270 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:08:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NF84QS013562 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:08:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NF84jD013561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:08:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:08:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 23w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231508.h9NF84jD013561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN34 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W/ WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 261200Z1 OCT 2003. A.TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BANGKOK, THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND AN UNFLAGGED 25 KNOT QUIKSCAT OBSERVATION. RECENT ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE CONVECTION REMAINS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED, WHILE A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS THAT THERE IS A WELL DEVELOPED MID LEVEL ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM. B. THROUGH THE FIRST 12 TO 24 HOURS, TD 23W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THEREAFTER, IT SHOULD MOVE WESTWARD AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH BUILDS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF EGRR, NOGAPS, WBAR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. ALL THE MODELS TRACK THE SYSTEM TOWARDS THE WEST, BUT VARY ON SPEEDS. THIS VARIANCE IS DUE TO DIFFERENCES IN THE AMOUNT OF INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED. GFS INTENSIFIES THE SYSTEM THE MOST, THUS HAS THE QUICKER TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 23W IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS UNDER A EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THIS PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE, THUS TD 23W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. TD 23W CURRENTLY DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON MODEL ANALYSIS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZE SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/DAMRON/KLINZMANN/CHITWOOD/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:42 2003 X-UIDL: 43886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004CAUNBZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:21:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFLjip075402 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:21:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528kZ077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538167 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NF1olx078794 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NF1fQS013295 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NF1f10013293 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:01:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 22w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231501.h9NF1f10013293@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN33 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 241200Z9 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTH OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM REMAINS WEAK AND DISORGANIZED, BUT STILL HAS CLOUD BANDING FEATURES THAT INDICATE IT IS NEAR TROPICAL DEPRESSION INTENSITY. B. TD 22W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES. THE FEW AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, WBAR, EGRR, JGSM, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. NOGAPS FORECASTS TD 22W TO CONTINUE TRACKING EASTWARD AND WEAKEN WHILE REMAINING UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOWER LEVELS. JGSM AND EGRR KEEP THE SYSTEM WEAK AND STATIONARY UNDER A BALANCED STEERING ENVIRONMENT BETWEEN THE TROPICAL EASTERLIES TO THE NORTH AND EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES. FINALLY, NCEP GFS TRACKS TD 22W SLOWLY TO THE EAST, THEN FORECASTS THE SYSTEM TO THE WEST AS IT INTENSIFIES AND IS STEERED BY THE MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A WEAKENING SCENARIO, THUS THE TRACK FOLLOWS THE GUIDANCE OF PERSISTENCE AND NGPS. C. TD 22W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRAVEL INTO A LESS FAVORABLE AREA OF INCREASED CONFLUENCE ALOFT. GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS THAT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. FOR THESE REASONS, TD 22W IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS FOR THE STORM TO REMAIN STATIONARY FOR 12 TO 24 HOURS, SLOWLY INTENSIFY, AND TRACK WEST. D. TD 22W CURRENTLY DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/DAMRON/KLINZMANN/CHITWOOD/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:43 2003 X-UIDL: 43889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70040OVQ8ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:44:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFj63S082792 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:45:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lup058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:34:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538700 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:34:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFYMlx009478 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:34:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NFYDQS014472 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NFYDsr014471 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:34:13 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:34:13 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231534.h9NFYDsr014471@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 20// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 271200Z2 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. RECENT SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE WITH A 30NM DIAMETER. B. TY 20W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 20W HAS STARTED TO PICK UP SPEED AS IT HAS STARTED TO INTERACT WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER THE BAROCLINIC ZONE BY TAU 36 AND BY TAU 96 IT WILL BE AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, GFDN, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. GFDN IS THE SLOW OUTLIER WITH THIS SCENERIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 20W WILL SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS DECREASED SLIGHTLY. THE INTENSITY WILL DECREASE AT A FASTER RATE AFTER TAU 24 AS IT ENCOUNTERS CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST EXPECTS TY 20W TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEAST TRACK AND TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE 96 HOUR FORECASTED POSITION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:44 2003 X-UIDL: 43890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70043PVRPZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:45:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFjs3S082863 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:45:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lut058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:37:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538729 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:37:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFbSlx078046 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:37:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NFbKQS014574 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:37:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NFbKXG014573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:37:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:37:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231537.h9NFbKXG014573@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 231500 NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 013 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 27.1N0 150.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 150.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 28.9N9 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 30.4N7 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 31.1N5 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.3N7 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 31.3N7 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 27.5N4 151.6E3. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. 231031Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE WITH A 35NM DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9, 240900Z5 AND 241500Z2. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:44 2003 X-UIDL: 43891-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN700461VSCZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:45:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFkMip078272 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:46:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lux058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFeZlx019644 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NFeQQS014674 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NFeQxX014671 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231540.h9NFeQxX014671@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 261200Z1 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. 231031Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE WITH A 35NM DIAMETER. B. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. AFTER TAU 24 TY 21W WILL TRANSITION TO MORE EASTWARD TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, GFDN, NOGAPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, TY 21W WILL WEAKEN VERY QUICKLY IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY 48 HOURS AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 23804Z7 QUIKSCAT SATELLITE PASS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:44 2003 X-UIDL: 43892-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70049HVTEZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:46:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFkuip078357 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:47:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKnd077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538765 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFeWlx016976 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NFeNQS014666 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NFeNWQ014664 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231540.h9NFeNWQ014664@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 261200Z1 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. 231031Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE WITH A 35NM DIAMETER. B. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. AFTER TAU 24 TY 21W WILL TRANSITION TO MORE EASTWARD TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, GFDN, NOGAPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, TY 21W WILL WEAKEN VERY QUICKLY IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY 48 HOURS AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 23804Z7 QUIKSCAT SATELLITE PASS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43893-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004JEVXMZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:48:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFnUip078597 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:49:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKnT077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:35:26 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:35:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFZPlx051788 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:35:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NFZHQS014503 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:35:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NFZHiY014502 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:35:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:35:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231535.h9NFZHiY014502@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 020 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 19.7N7 133.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 133.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.5N7 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.8N1 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.9N4 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 26.3N1 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 31.9N3 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 38.6N7 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 43.0N7 166.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.9N9 133.2E9. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 550 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. RECENT SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE WITH A 30NM DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDI TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9, 240900Z5 AND 241500Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:45 2003 X-UIDL: 43894-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004VWW3JZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:52:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFr6ip079034 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:53:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50luv058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:38:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:38:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFcSlx047102 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:38:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NFcKQS014609 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:38:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NFcKmh014608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:38:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:38:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231538.h9NFcKmh014608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 261200Z1 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. 231031Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE WITH A 35NM DIAMETER. B. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. AFTER TAU 24 TY 21W WILL TRANSITION TO MORE EASTWARD TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, GFDN, NOGAPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, TY 21W WILL WEAKEN VERY QUICKLY IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY 48 HOURS AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 23804Z7 QUIKSCAT SATELLITE PASS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:46 2003 X-UIDL: 43895-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN70044UW89ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:55:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFtu3S084054 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 23:55:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKnf077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538771 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFeZlx050842 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NFeQQS014675 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NFeQKc014673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:40:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231540.h9NFeQKc014673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 261200Z1 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. 231031Z0 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE WITH A 35NM DIAMETER. B. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST. AFTER TAU 24 TY 21W WILL TRANSITION TO MORE EASTWARD TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 36 TO 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, GFDN, NOGAPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. BY THE 24 HOUR POSITION, TY 21W WILL WEAKEN VERY QUICKLY IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY 48 HOURS AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 23804Z7 QUIKSCAT SATELLITE PASS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:46 2003 X-UIDL: 43896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN7004V4WYPZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:11:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NGBZ3S086062 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:11:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9M528kd077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:02:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1538189 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:02:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NF2olx104890 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:02:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NF2fQS013346 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:02:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NF2fWh013345 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:02:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 10:02:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231502.h9NF2fWh013345@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN34 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 002 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 10.4N5 101.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N5 101.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 10.7N8 100.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 11.1N3 99.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 11.6N8 97.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.3N6 96.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.6N0 92.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 10.5N6 101.2E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BANGKOK, THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND AN UNFLAGGED 25 KNOT QUIKSCAT OBSERVATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9, 240900Z5 AND 241500Z2. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:53 2003 X-UIDL: 43913-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004YL4K5ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 02:55:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NItlip000728 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 02:55:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCK1n077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 13:43:40 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1542509 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 13:43:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NIhclx070602 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 13:43:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NIhUQS020425 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 13:43:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NIhUCp020424 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 13:43:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 13:43:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231843.h9NIhUCp020424@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 231800 WARNING 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 20.0N 133.5E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 290 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 23.1N 135.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 30.5N 141.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 38.5N 151.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:54 2003 X-UIDL: 43915-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004CL5S2ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:21:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NJMF3S007503 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:22:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCK3F077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:03:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1543017 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:03:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NJ3Clx053934 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:03:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NJ34QS021131 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:03:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NJ34u4021130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:03:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 14:03:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 935 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310231903.h9NJ34u4021130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 231800 WARNING 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 935 HPA AT 28.4N 152.3E NORTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 18 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 31.1N 160.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 29.5N 164.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 28.0N 163.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:55 2003 X-UIDL: 43918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004FF8BFZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:16:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NKH4ip008900 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:17:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCK5r077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:08:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1543736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:08:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NK81lx070428 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:08:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NK7rQS023084 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NK7rCh023082 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:07:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232007.h9NK7rCh023082@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 232100 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 014 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 28.2N2 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N2 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 29.9N0 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.4N8 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 32.5N0 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.1N7 170.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 28.6N6 153.1E0. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1500 NM WEST OF MIDWAY, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAKENING EYE ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY AND DECREASING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9, 240900Z5, 241500Z2 AND 242100Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:55 2003 X-UIDL: 43920-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004B18NTZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:23:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NKOS3S014156 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:24:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50l5l058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:08:04 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1543739 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:08:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NK81lx043844 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:08:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NK7rQS023085 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NK7rR4023083 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:07:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:07:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232007.h9NK7rR4023083@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WTPN32 PGTW 232100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:56 2003 X-UIDL: 43921-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN80045Y9HAZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:41:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NKg8ip011785 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:42:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCK6Z077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:28:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1543987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:28:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NKSNlx053932 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:28:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NKSFQS023670 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NKSFCQ023669 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:28:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:28:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232028.h9NKSFCQ023669@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 141E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 141E TO 47N 145E 46N 147E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 147E TO 40N 153E 33N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 147E TO 39N 149E 34N 142E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 54N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 136E 23N 128E 17N 128E 19N 116E 32N 124E 28N 136E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 146E 49N 160E 41N 170E 29N 170E 37N 148E 43N 146E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 12N 101E ALMOST STATIONARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 11N 120E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 121E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 53N 167E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 21N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 20.0N 133.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 935 HPA AT 28.4N 152.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 157E TO 29N 168E 27N 179W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:56 2003 X-UIDL: 43922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004EIA5GZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:56:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NKubip013457 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:56:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NGF5SL104912; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:41:24 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1544136 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:41:23 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NKfMlx067140 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:41:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NKfEQS024117 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:41:14 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NKfEcv024116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:41:14 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:41:14 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 22w Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232041.h9NKfEcv024116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN33 PGTW 232100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 007 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 10.8N9 122.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 122.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.8N9 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.8N9 22.7E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W, LOCATED OVERLAND NEAR ILOILO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL DECREASES IN DEEP CONVECTION, HOWEVER SOME DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES OVER THE REMAINING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:57 2003 X-UIDL: 43923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004PGAASZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:59:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NKxs3S017985 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:59:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCK6V077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:27:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1543976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:27:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NKR7lx053812 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:27:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NKQxQS023621 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:26:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NKQxY6023620 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:26:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 15:26:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232026.h9NKQxY6023620@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN34 PGTW 232100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 003 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 11.1N3 101.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 101.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 11.4N6 100.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 11.7N9 99.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 12.1N4 98.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 12.6N9 96.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 13.9N3 93.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 101.0E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BANGKOK, THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS A RECENT AMSU PASS REVEAL A COMPACT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION THAT REMAINS PERSISTENT BUT DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9, 240900Z5, 241500Z2 AND 242100Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:30:59 2003 X-UIDL: 43928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004RADM1ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:10:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NMBQ3S025360 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:11:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50l95058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:38:05 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1545027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:36:30 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NLaTlx095850 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:36:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NLaLQS025720 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NLaLY7025719 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:36:21 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 16:36:21 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 021 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232136.h9NLaLY7025719@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 232100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 021 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 20.0N2 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 133.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 21.3N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.0N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.5N2 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 28.7N7 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 34.2N9 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 39.7N9 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.3N5 133.5E2. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9, 240900Z5, 241500Z2 AND 242100Z9. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:01 2003 X-UIDL: 43936-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004NEFIRZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:52:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NMqfip025372 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 06:52:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lFL058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1546503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NMfElx065572 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9NMf6QS027018 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9NMf6S7027016 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 17:41:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310232241.h9NMf6S7027016@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 232230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/232230Z-240600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231951ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231952ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231953ZOCT2003// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/231954ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, C, AND D ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 231800Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 231800Z4, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1500 NM WEST OF MIDWAY, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING TO 120 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 231800Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 22W WAS LOCATED OVERLAND NEAR ILOILO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN33 PGTW 232100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (4) AT 231800Z4, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BANGKOK, THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SEE REF D (WTPN34 PGTW 232100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 151.0E7, HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO NEAR 8.7N5 143.0E8, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES UNORGANIZED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE REGION IN A MODERATE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WITH FAIR DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: FINAL WARNING ON TD 22W (PARA 1.A.(3) AND UPDATED ALL OTHER PARAGRAPHS. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:06 2003 X-UIDL: 43952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004HXLQPZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:06:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O172ip038015 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:07:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKGx077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 19:50:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1547563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 19:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O0o6lx034100 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 19:50:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O0nvQS028717 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 19:49:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O0nvcx028716 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 19:49:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 19:49:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240049.h9O0nvcx028716@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 240000 WARNING 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 20.4N 133.6E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 25.0N 136.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 32.5N 143.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 41.5N 156.0E WITH 500 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:07 2003 X-UIDL: 43954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004TZMIGZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:23:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O1Nf3S044001 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:23:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKHL077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:08:31 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1547712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:08:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O18Ulx070588 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:08:31 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O18MQS028946 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:08:22 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O18Mc6028945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:08:22 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 20:08:22 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 930 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240108.h9O18Mc6028945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 240000 WARNING 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 930 HPA AT 29.2N 154.1E NORTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 17 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 85 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 190 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 30.6N 162.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 28.5N 164.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 28.5N 162.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:15 2003 X-UIDL: 43982-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004BUPSMZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:33:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2YTip047425 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:34:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKJ5077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:29:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1548407 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:29:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2T2lx070488 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:29:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O2SsQS029681 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:28:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O2SsnW029680 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:28:54 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:28:54 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 022 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240228.h9O2SsnW029680@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 022 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 20.3N5 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.0N4 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 23.7N2 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 26.4N2 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 29.5N6 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 35.3N1 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.7N9 133.9E6. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240000Z6 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS TY 20W HAS AN EASTERLY SHEAR COMPONENT. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 16 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5, 241500Z2, 242100Z9 AND 250300Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:16 2003 X-UIDL: 43984-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004VQPZ8ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:37:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2cO3S052516 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:38:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKJB077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:30:55 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1548434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:30:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2Uslx098448 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:30:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O2UkQS029709 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O2UkBq029708 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:30:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:30:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240230.h9O2UkBq029708@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 52N 143E SAKHALIN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 143E TO 48N 149E 45N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 153E TO 37N 159E 29N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 153E TO 32N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 55N 142E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 117E 21N 115E 25N 128E 17N 129E 16N 123E 15N 117E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 151E 46N 151E 46N 159E 34N 170E 27N 180E 23N 180E 26N 169E 31N 159E 36N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 101E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 119E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 55N 167E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 22N 176E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 20.4N 133.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 930 HPA AT 29.2N 154.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 168E TO 25N 179W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:18 2003 X-UIDL: 43989-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004L6QQVZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:54:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2t9ip049835 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:55:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lHj058110; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:18 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1548559 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2mGlx039844 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O2m8QS029826 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O2m8X4029825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 23w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240248.h9O2m8X4029825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN34 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W/ WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 240000Z6 TO 270000Z9 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BANGKOK, THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) APPEARS LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. B. DURING THE EARLY PERIOD, TD 23W IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH BUILDS AND THE SYSTEM LEAVES LAND AND ENTERS THE INDIAN OCEAN. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF EGRR, GFDN, NOGAPS, JGSM, WBAR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, THOUGH THERE REMAINS SOME VARIATION IN SPEED DURING THE LATER TAUS. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 23W REMAINS IN A LESS THAN FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, AND LAND INTERACTIONS CONTINUE TO HAMPER INTENSIFICATION. AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD, TD 23W IS FORECAST TO ENTER OPEN WATER AND ENCOUNTER A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, TD 23W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE WITH SOME IMPROVEMENT IN THE INTENSIFICATION RATE NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD. D. TD 23W CURRENTLY DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZE SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:20 2003 X-UIDL: 43993-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004Z9RJ9ZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:11:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O3C8ip051687 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:12:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O0Lhvv016960; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1548554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O2mElx085640 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:14 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O2m6QS029821 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:06 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O2m6Ag029820 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:06 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 21:48:06 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240248.h9O2m6Ag029820@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN34 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 11.2N4 101.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 101.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 11.6N8 99.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.1N4 98.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.6N9 97.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.6N0 95.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.8N4 91.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 11.3N5 100.7E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BANGKOK, THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS INDICATE THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) APPEARS LESS ORGANIZED AND THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5, 241500Z2, 242100Z9 AND 250300Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:21 2003 X-UIDL: 43995-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004V0RUAZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:18:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O3Imip052374 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:18:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKJd077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:12:57 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1548728 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:12:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O3Culx095840 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:12:56 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O3CmQS000086 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:12:48 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O3ClKd000085 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:12:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:12:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240312.h9O3ClKd000085@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 29.0N1 154.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 29.0N1 154.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 30.5N8 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 32.1N6 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 32.8N3 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 33.3N9 173.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 29.4N5 155.0E1. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1450 NM WEST OF MIDWAY, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 140 KNOTS. MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A 20 NM EYE AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5, 241500Z2, 242100Z9 AND 250300Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:23 2003 X-UIDL: 44000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN80049OT2HZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:44:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O3jA3S059746 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 11:45:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKK9077554; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:38:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1549034 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:38:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O3c7lx084606 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:38:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O3bwQS000331 for ; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:37:58 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O3bwL0000330 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:37:58 -0500 (CDT) Date: Thu, 23 Oct 2003 22:37:58 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240337.h9O3bwL0000330@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 22// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 240000Z6 TO 280000Z0 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240000Z6 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS TY 20W HAS AN EASTERLY SHEAR COMPONENT. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 16 NM EYE. B. TY 20W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 20W IS NOW POLEWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP SPEED AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TY 20W IS NOW ENTERING THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND HAS COMMENCED EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS COLD DRY AIR ENTERING THE SYSTEM FORM THE NORTHWEST.TY 20W IS FORECAST TO BE AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM BY TAU 48. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, GFDN, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO THROUGH TAU 72. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 20W WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS DECREASED AND THE SYSTEM ENTERS A HIGHER VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE INTENSITY WILL DECREASE AT A FASTER RATE AFTER TAU 24 AS IT ENCOUNTERS CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST EXPECTS TY 20W TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEAST TRACK AND TRANSITION COMPLETELY TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY THE 72 HOUR FORECASTED POSITION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:28 2003 X-UIDL: 44011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN8004AEYWRZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:50:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O5pTip069754 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:51:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKML077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1549904 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O5jklx037310 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O5jbQS001528 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O5jbct001526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:37 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 00:45:37 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240545.h9O5jbct001526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240152ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240154ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N5 133.6E3, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:29 2003 X-UIDL: 44015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9004TZ1BMZB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:42:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O6hX3S081820 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:43:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKMx077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:38:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550203 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:38:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O6cllx078702 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:38:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O6cdQS001985 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:38:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O6cdmS001984 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:38:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:38:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240638.h9O6cdmS001984@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 240600 WARNING 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 21.0N 133.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 26.4N 137.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 35.0N 146.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 45.5N 160.0E WITH 500 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:30 2003 X-UIDL: 44018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008WU2EYCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:06:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O7753S084469 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:07:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKN9077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:59:33 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:59:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O6xVlx098404 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:59:32 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O6xNQS002135 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O6xNkL002134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:59:23 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 01:59:23 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 930 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240659.h9O6xNkL002134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 240600 WARNING 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 930 HPA AT 30.1N 156.2E NORTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 29.7N 163.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 26.5N 165.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 25.0N 162.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:34 2003 X-UIDL: 44027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008CS5IBCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:13:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8Dwip086253 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:13:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKNh077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:05:17 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:05:17 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O85Glx011688 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:05:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O858QS002944 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:05:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O858WB002943 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:05:08 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:05:08 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240805.h9O858WB002943@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN34 PGTW 240900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 11.4N6 100.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 100.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 11.8N0 99.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 12.3N6 98.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.2N6 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 14.2N7 95.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 17.4N2 91.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 100.4E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS NOT INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION, HOWEVER THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT, THOUGH SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED OVER THE LLCC. TRACK SPEEDS REMAIN SLOW UNDER A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2, 242100Z9, 250300Z0 AND 250900Z6. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:35 2003 X-UIDL: 44029-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008T35Y4CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:22:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8NR3S093192 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:23:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKNp077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:19:51 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:19:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8Jolx095858 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:19:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O8JfQS003051 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:19:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O8JfWG003050 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:19:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:19:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 023 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240819.h9O8JfWG003050@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 240900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 023 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 21.0N3 133.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 133.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 22.5N9 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.4N1 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 29.2N3 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 33.0N6 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 21.4N7 133.9E6. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS DRY AIR BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE WESTERN SIDE OF TY 20W. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 16 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2, 242100Z9, 250300Z0 AND 250900Z6. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:36 2003 X-UIDL: 44030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN90089B610CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:24:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8PB3S093516 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:25:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKNr077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:20:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:20:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8Kblx098402 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:20:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O8KTQS003059 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:20:29 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O8KTKW003058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:20:29 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:20:29 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240820.h9O8KTKW003058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 240900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 30.1N4 156.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 156.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 31.1N5 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 32.4N9 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.1N7 171.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 31.2N6 176.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 30.4N7 157.3E6. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1450 NM WEST OF MIDWAY, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115, 127, AND 140 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A 30 NM EYE WITH GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2, 242100Z9, 250300Z0 AND 250900Z6. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:37 2003 X-UIDL: 44032-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008TY6G9CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:33:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8YJ3S094516 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 16:34:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKNt077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:27:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:27:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O8Rplx098464 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:27:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O8RhQS003110 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:27:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O8RhS9003109 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:27:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 03:27:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240827.h9O8RhS9003109@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 52N 140E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 140E TO 50N 150E 46N 154E 42N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 37N 161E 34N 164E 32N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 38N 156E 35N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 56N 142E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 130E 18N 130E 15N 117E 21N 117E 26N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 154E 42N 157E 42N 163E 30N 180E 23N 180E 29N 166E 35N 154E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 43N 125E EAST 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 101E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 120E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 30N 122E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 54N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 21N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 21.0N 133.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 930 HPA AT 30.1N 156.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 167E TO 28N 173E 25N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 24 19:31:42 2003 X-UIDL: 44037-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN90089JA4PCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:53:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O9rg3S001965 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:53:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKOj077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:50:46 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1550943 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O9oilx027976 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:50:45 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9O9oUQS003841 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9O9oUnk003840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:50:30 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 04:50:30 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 16e (patricia) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310240950.h9O9oUnk003840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 241000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 13.8N2 112.7W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 112.7W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.7N2 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.9N5 114.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 16.9N6 115.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 17.9N7 115.6W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.0N0 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.0N2 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 20.5N7 119.5W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240600Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.8N2 112.7W1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS, MEXICO HAS TRACKED WEST- NORTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240600Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 25 AND 30 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241600Z3, 242200Z0, 250400Z1 AND 251000Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:04 2003 X-UIDL: 44050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008X8ISLCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:00:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OD0o3S019387 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:00:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKRP077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 07:51:21 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1552019 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 07:51:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OCpKlx028952 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 07:51:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OCpBQS005515 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 07:51:11 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OCpBRb005514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 07:51:11 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 07:51:11 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241251.h9OCpBRb005514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 241200 WARNING 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 21.8N 134.1E PARECE VERA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 28.3N 139.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 37.0N 149.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 48.0N 163.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:07 2003 X-UIDL: 44053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN90084TJJJCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:16:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ODGxip015258 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:17:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKSF077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:11:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1552348 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:11:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ODBnlx049762 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:11:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9ODBeQS005869 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9ODBedK005868 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 08:11:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 930 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241311.h9ODBedK005868@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 241200 WARNING 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 930 HPA AT 30.7N 158.7E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 22 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 29.3N 165.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 26.5N 166.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 25.0N 161.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:14 2003 X-UIDL: 44057-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008PGM5TCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:13:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEDWip020655 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:13:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lNt058110; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:03:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1552874 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OE32lx009542 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:03:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OE2sQS006985 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:02:54 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OE2r4l006983 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:02:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:02:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241402.h9OE2r4l006983@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 017 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 30.8N1 158.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.8N1 158.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 31.8N2 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.9N3 168.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 30.6N9 173.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 28.4N4 176.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 31.1N5 160.0E7. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1265 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. A 241023Z2 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IS STARTING TO BE ENTRAINED INTO THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6 AND 251500Z3. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:15 2003 X-UIDL: 44058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008Q1M67CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:13:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEDWip020656 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:13:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9N50lNp058110; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:03:38 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1552871 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:03:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OE32lx011754 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:03:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OE2rQS006984 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:02:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OE2rOr006981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:02:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:02:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 024 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241402.h9OE2rOr006981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 024 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 21.9N2 134.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 134.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.1N7 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 27.6N5 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.5N9 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 35.2N0 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 22.5N9 134.5E3. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. A RECENT SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DRY AIR IS NOW BEING ENTRAINED AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF TY 20W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6 AND 251500Z3. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:15 2003 X-UIDL: 44059-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008EIN6DCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:35:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEZaip022804 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:35:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKUr077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:20:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1553164 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:20:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEKOlx050838 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:20:24 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OEKFQS007740 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:20:15 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OEKFQs007739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:20:15 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:20:15 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 23w Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241420.h9OEKFQs007739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN34 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 12.0N3 100.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 100.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.4N7 99.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 13.0N4 97.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.8N2 95.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.8N3 93.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 17.8N6 91.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 12.1N4 99.9E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND, IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS VERY NEAR LAND AND HAS WEAKENED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6 AND 251500Z3. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:15 2003 X-UIDL: 44060-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008G4N6ZCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:35:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEa0ip022856 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:36:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKUv077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:27:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1553213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:27:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OERclx037254 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:27:38 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OERQQS007917 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OERQJl007916 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:27:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:27:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241427.h9OERQJl007916@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 54N 141E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 141E TO 48N 154E 44N 158E 40N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 159E TO 34N 164E 31N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 159E TO 37N 158E 35N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 57N 142E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 157E 44N 158E 44N 166E 33N 180E 22N 180E 29N 166E 35N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 120E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 55N 170E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 21N 173E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 21.8N 134.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 930 HPA AT 30.7N 158.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 166E TO 26N 174E 24N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:16 2003 X-UIDL: 44061-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008V5NE9CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:39:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEeJip023339 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:40:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NFCKUt077554; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:21:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1553182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:21:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OELSlx050866 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:21:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OELKQS007776 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:21:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OELKrQ007775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:21:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:21:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 23w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241421.h9OELKrQ007775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN34 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W/ WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 241200Z9 TO 271200Z2 OCT 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND, IN THE GULF OF THAILAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE SURFACE CIRCULATION IS VERY NEAR LAND AND HAS WEAKENED. B. DURING THE EARLY PERIOD, TD 23W IS FORECAST TO TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARD IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH, CROSSING OVER THE MALAY PENINSULA. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH BUILDS AND THE SYSTEM ENTERS THE INDIAN OCEAN. BASED ON THE DECREASING ORGANIZATION OF THE LLCC, AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO IS POSSIBLE, WITH DISSIPATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE SOLUTION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF EGRR, GFDN, NOGAPS, WBAR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK FORECAST, HOWEVER THERE REMAIN DIFFERENCES IN THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM. JGSM, EGRR AND NOGAPS NO LONGER MAINTAIN A CLOSED SYSTEM AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD, WHILE AVN AND GFDN DO. CONSIDERING THE WEAKENING OF THE LLCC EVIDENT VIA SATELLITE ANALYSIS, OUR FORECAST MAY REFLECT THE ALTERNATE SCENARIO AFTER THE NEXT WARNING. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 23W REMAINS IN A LESS THAN FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND LAND INTERACTIONS CONTINUE TO INTERFERE WITH INTENSIFICATION. AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD, TD 23W IS FORECAST TO ENTER OPEN WATER AND ENCOUNTER A MORE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, TD 23W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE WITH AN INCREASING RATE OF INTENSIFICATION AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. TD 23W CURRENTLY DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZE SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/DAMRON/KLINZMANN/CHITWOOD/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:24 2003 X-UIDL: 44063-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008XANWUCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:50:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEpP3S030077 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:51:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9NLp6vp033564; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:42:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1553344 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:42:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEg6lx037296 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:42:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OEfvQS008422 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:41:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OEfv3e008420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:41:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:41:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241441.h9OEfv3e008420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 17// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 241200Z9 TO 261200Z1 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1265 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. A 241023Z2 SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IS STARTING TO BE ENTRAINED INTO THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. B. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE NORTH-NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID- LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST. AFTER TAU 12, TY 21W WILL TRANSITION TO MORE EASTWARD TRACK AS IT IS INFLUENCED BY THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE WEST. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY TAU 24. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, NOGAPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THESE MODELS DO HOWEVER TAKE 21W AND VEER IT INTO AN EQUATORWARD FLOW AROUND THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. I DIDN'T USE THIS SOLUTION BUT RATHER ONLY SLIGHTLY VEERED 21W BECAUSE THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND STRONG WESTERLY WIND FLOW SHOULD KEEP 21W ON A MORE WESTERLY TRACK THROUGH ITS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE 24 TO 48 HOUR TRACK. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 06 TO 12 HOURS AFTER WHICH IT WILL WEAKEN VERY RAPIDLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW WITHIN 12 TO 18 HOURS AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:24 2003 X-UIDL: 44064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008ANO1QCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:53:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEs8ip024933 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 22:54:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9O0Lhjf016960; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:42:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1553347 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:42:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OEg5lx065546 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:42:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OEfvQS008421 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:41:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OEfvTe008419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:41:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 09:41:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241441.h9OEfvTe008419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 24// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 241200Z9 TO 261200Z1 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 430 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. A RECENT SSMI SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DRY AIR IS NOW BEING ENTRAINED AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF TY 20W. B. TY 20W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 20W IS NOW POLEWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND HAS STARTED TO PICK UP SPEED AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. TY 20W IS NOW ENTERING THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND HAS COMMENCED EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS COLD DRY AIR ENTRAINING THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHWEST. TY 20W IS FORECAST TO BE AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM WITHIN 12 TO 18 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO THROUGH TAU 72. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 20W IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN IN INTENSITY AS THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS DECREASED AND THE SYSTEM IS ENTERING A HIGH VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. THE INTENSITY WILL DECREASE AT A FASTER RATE AFTER TAU 24 AS IT ENCOUNTERS CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT AND HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE-AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:28 2003 X-UIDL: 44071-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN90089CQYYCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:56:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFvT3S036788 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 23:57:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9ol094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:49:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1554822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:49:20 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFnIlx065652 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:49:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OFn9QS010450 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:49:09 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OFn9bN010449 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:49:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 10:49:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 16e (patricia) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241549.h9OFn9bN010449@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 241600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 14.3N8 113.0W5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 113.0W5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.2N8 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.2N9 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.4N2 114.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.5N4 114.5W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.5N5 115.5W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 20.0N2 116.5W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 20.5N7 117.5W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241200Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.3N8 113.0W5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWEST AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241200Z9 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242200Z0, 250400Z1, 251000Z8 AND 251600Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:36 2003 X-UIDL: 44084-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HN9008BJZA8CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:56:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OIurip053159 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:56:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9qD024910; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:44:06 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1556865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:44:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OIi0lx078772 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:44:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OIhqQS015535 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:43:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OIhq7s015534 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:43:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 13:43:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241843.h9OIhq7s015534@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 241800 WARNING 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 22.9N 134.8E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 29.9N 141.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 37.5N 151.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 48.0N 166.5E WITH 500 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:37 2003 X-UIDL: 44086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0087K03QCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:14:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OJEk3S059826 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:14:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9wV094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:04:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1557081 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:04:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OJ4alx031060 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:04:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OJ4SQS016181 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:04:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OJ4S6c016180 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:04:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 14:04:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 930 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310241904.h9OJ4S6c016180@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 241800 WARNING 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 930 HPA AT 30.7N 161.4E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 22 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 27.4N 167.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 24.0N 166.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 23.5N 159.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:45 2003 X-UIDL: 44093-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0089J40KCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:38:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OKdMip065985 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:39:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT92v094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:31:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1558277 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:31:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OKVrlx052106 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:31:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OKVfQS018624 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:31:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OKVfNB018623 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:31:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:31:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310242031.h9OKVfNB018623@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 55N 141E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 143E TO 50N 155E 40N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 162E TO 34N 166E 27N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 162E TO 37N 160E 33N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 131E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 120E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 48N 112E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 20N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 55N 172E SE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 945 HPA AT 22.9N 134.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 930 HPA AT 30.7N 161.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 173E TO 25N 176E 23N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:46 2003 X-UIDL: 44097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008JV4PCCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:53:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OKsB3S073596 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:54:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT933094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:39:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1558323 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:39:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OKdklx092452 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:39:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OKdcQS018809 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OKdcSV018808 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:39:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 15:39:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 025 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310242039.h9OKdcSV018808@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 242100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 23.0N5 135.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 135.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.8N5 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 29.4N5 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 33.4N0 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 31 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 37.3N3 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 23.7N2 135.6E5. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTION IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0, 250900Z6, 251500Z3 AND 252100Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:51 2003 X-UIDL: 44108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0081WASICZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 07:05:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ON5j3S085836 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 07:05:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT99R094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 18:00:03 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1560117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 18:00:03 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ON02lx043862 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 18:00:02 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OMxrQS021478 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:59:53 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OMxrAE021477 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:59:53 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:59:53 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310242259.h9OMxrAE021477@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 242100 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 30.8N1 161.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.8N1 161.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 30.6N9 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 29.4N5 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 27.7N6 176.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 25.1N8 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.0N3 178.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 30.8N1 163.3E3. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1090 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 127 AND 140 KNOTS. A 241435Z9 TRMM PASS DEPICTS A 35 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0, 250900Z6, 251500Z3 AND 252100Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:53 2003 X-UIDL: 44109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0086UAWMCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 07:07:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9ON8Cip078850 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 07:08:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT99P094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:59:02 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1560114 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:59:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OMx1lx041776 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:59:01 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9OMwqQS021459 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:58:52 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9OMwq0S021458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:58:52 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 17:58:52 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 16e (patricia) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310242258.h9OMwq0S021458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 242200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 16E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 14.3N8 113.2W7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 113.2W7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.3N9 113.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 16.3N0 113.7W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 17.5N3 113.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.5N4 114.0W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.0N0 115.0W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 19.5N5 116.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241800Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.3N8 113.2W7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 16E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWEST AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241800Z5 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 0F 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPN31 KNZY FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250400Z1, 251000Z8, 251600Z4 AND 252200Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:54 2003 X-UIDL: 44112-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008I7G0ICZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:57:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P0wTip087502 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:58:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9BP094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 19:49:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1561171 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 19:49:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P0nXlx092460 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 19:49:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P0nPQS022542 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 19:49:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P0nPSN022541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 19:49:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 19:49:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250049.h9P0nPSN022541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 250000 WARNING 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 950 HPA AT 24.6N 135.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 18 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 32.5N 143.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 39.5N 154.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 50.0N 170.5E WITH 500 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:41:55 2003 X-UIDL: 44114-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008TLGU4CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:15:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P1GE3S097949 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:16:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Bf094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:11:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1561290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:11:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P1B8lx092566 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:11:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P1AxQS022820 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:10:59 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P1Axaq022819 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:10:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 20:10:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 935 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250110.h9P1Axaq022819@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 250000 WARNING 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 935 HPA AT 30.0N 163.5E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 18 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 26.4N 167.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 24.0N 165.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 23.5N 157.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:00 2003 X-UIDL: 44119-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA00841KC4CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:31:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2Vs3S004970 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:31:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Cf094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:27:47 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1561676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:27:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2Rklx085016 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:27:46 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P2RcQS023565 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P2Rc4F023564 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:27:38 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:27:38 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250227.h9P2Rc4F023564@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 55N 142E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 162E TO 40N 163E 39N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 165E TO 30N 172E 26N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 165E TO 36N 162E 33N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 133E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 11N 117E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 108E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 36N 148E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 53N 172E SSE 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 19N 173E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 950 HPA AT 24.6N 135.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 935 HPA AT 30.0N 163.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 128E TO 39N 131E 42N 133E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 133E TO 41N 136E 40N 138E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 176E TO 24N 178E 24N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:03 2003 X-UIDL: 44121-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA0084LKC8CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:31:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2Vwip096179 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:32:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9CZ094486; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:25:58 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1561654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:25:58 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2Pvlx017342 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:25:57 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P2PnQS023527 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:25:49 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P2PmBx023526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:25:48 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:25:48 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 026 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250225.h9P2PmBx023526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 24.5N1 135.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N1 135.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 27.9N8 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.5N9 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 35.5N3 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 39.8N0 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 25.3N0 136.3E3. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A 242144Z7 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS EROSION OF THE EYEWALL AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6, 251500Z3, 252100Z0, AND 260300Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:03 2003 X-UIDL: 44124-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008E2KWCCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:43:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2i3ip097431 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:44:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT91N034030; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:39:25 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1561814 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:39:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2dPlx085146 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:39:25 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P2dGQS023711 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:39:16 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P2dGp8023710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:39:16 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:39:16 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250239.h9P2dGp8023710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 26// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 250000Z7 TO 270000Z9 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A 242144Z7 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS EROSION OF THE EYEWALL AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. B. TY 20W CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE KOREAN PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND PROPAGATE EASTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, AND INTERACT WITH TY 20W. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 20W IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND TRACKS OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/WAUGAMAN/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 44125-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008L6LGFCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:55:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2tw3S007317 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:56:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT91T034030; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:49:28 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1561890 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:49:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2nRlx092648 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P2nJQS023880 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:49:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P2nJuj023879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:49:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:49:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 019 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250249.h9P2nJuj023879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/ SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 30.1N4 163.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 163.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 28.7N7 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 27.1N0 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.4N1 173.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 23.7N2 175.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.5N7 177.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 29.8N9 164.5E6. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF WAKE, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. A 242248Z2 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS EYEWALL EROSION IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6, 251500Z3, 252100Z0, AND 260300Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:04 2003 X-UIDL: 44126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008Z1LNCCZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:59:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P30E3S007752 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 11:00:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT91V034030; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:55:48 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1561927 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:55:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P2tllx077204 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:55:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P2tdQS023934 for ; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P2tdlZ023933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:55:39 -0500 (CDT) Date: Fri, 24 Oct 2003 21:55:39 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250255.h9P2tdlZ023933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 19// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 250000Z7 TO 280000Z0 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. A 242248Z2 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS EYEWALL EROSION IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. B. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD THROUGH THE PERIOD, STEERING THE SYSTEM TO THE SOUTH BY 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, NOGAPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. MODEL FIELDS INDICATE THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND DECOUPLES BY 24 HOURS, CAUSING THE TRACK TO BE SLOWER AND MORE EQUATORWARD THAN FORECAST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND TRACKS OVER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/WAUGAMAN/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:10 2003 X-UIDL: 44145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008QBWC4CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:50:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P6p4ip021236 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:51:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Fv094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:47:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1563494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:47:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P6lIlx041888 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:47:22 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P6lAQS025961 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:47:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P6l9bY025960 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:47:09 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:47:09 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250647.h9P6l9bY025960@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 250600 WARNING 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 955 HPA AT 25.9N 137.1E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 18 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 33.7N 145.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 40.0N 156.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:10 2003 X-UIDL: 44146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA008QJWC9CZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:50:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P6p9ip021243 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:51:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Ft094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:46:56 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1563488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:46:55 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P6kslx039734 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:46:54 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P6kkQS025953 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:46:46 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P6kkNR025951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:46:46 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 01:46:46 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250646.h9P6kkNR025951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 250600 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z-260600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250152ZOCT2003// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241953ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A, B, AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N1 135.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM WEST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 250000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N4 163.6E6, APPROXIMATELY 660 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, TRACKING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 241800Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 23W WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 99.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHWEST OF HUA HIN, THAILAND, TRACKING TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SEE REF C (WTIO31 PGTW 242100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS IS THE LAST REFERENCE FOR THIS SYSTEM ON THE ABPW AS IT IS ABOUT TO MOVE INTO THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN BASIN; TD 23W WILL SUBSEQUENTLY BE DISCUSSED ON THE ABIO BULLETIN. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TD 22W, PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.2N4 123.4E0, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:11 2003 X-UIDL: 44150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNA00BOCXF3IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:13:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P7EN3S032844 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:14:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9GD094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:11:50 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1563615 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:11:50 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P7Bnlx017224 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:11:49 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P7BeQS026197 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P7Be8F026196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:11:40 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 02:11:40 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 935 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250711.h9P7Be8F026196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 250600 WARNING 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 935 HPA AT 28.6N 165.1E NORTH OF WAKE MOVING SOUTHEAST 19 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 24.6N 167.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 22.5N 162.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 22.5N 153.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:12 2003 X-UIDL: 44152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BDY0S2IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:26:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P8Qvip029243 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:26:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Gh094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:21:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1563850 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:21:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P8LSlx089180 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:21:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P8LJQS026942 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:21:19 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P8LJMZ026941 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:21:19 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:21:19 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 027 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250821.h9P8LJMZ026941@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 250900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 25.9N6 137.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 137.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 29.4N5 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 33.5N1 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 37.6N6 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 34 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 41.9N4 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 26.8N6 138.1E3. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT 20W IS IN THE EARLY STAGES OF TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3, 252100Z0, 260300Z1 AND 260900Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:13 2003 X-UIDL: 44153-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BLI0YWIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:30:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P8V93S039090 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 16:31:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Gj094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:28:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1563869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:28:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P8Sglx009750 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:28:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P8SXQS026997 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P8SXfc026996 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:28:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 03:28:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250828.h9P8SXfc026996@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 250600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 45N 138E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 138E TO 42N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 138E TO 37N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 154E 32N 161E 27N 160E 24N 162E 24N 155E 33N 154E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 127E 30N 130E 30N 133E 27N 132E 24N 132E 24N 129E 25N 127E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 154E 54N 160E 41N 170E 29N 177E 24N 176E 29N 169E 38N 158E 48N 154E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 56N 142E NORTH 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 117E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 152E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 53N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 955 HPA AT 25.9N 137.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 935 HPA AT 28.6N 165.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 160E TO 37N 166E 24N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:19 2003 X-UIDL: 44168-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BTK4NTIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:50:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9otip036521 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 17:50:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Hf094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:47:22 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1564304 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:47:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9P9lLlx046040 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:47:21 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9P9lCQS027705 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:47:12 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9P9lCjh027704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:47:12 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 04:47:12 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310250947.h9P9lCjh027704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 250900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 28.8N8 165.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 165.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 26.9N7 167.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.2N9 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 23.4N9 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.0N3 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 18.4N3 171.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 28.3N3 166.1E4. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 575 NM NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. A MEASUREMENT OF A RECENT MULTISPECTRAL PASS DEPICTS AN ASYMMETRICAL EYE 17 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3, 252100Z0, 260300Z1 AND 260900Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:22 2003 X-UIDL: 44175-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BKWD2OIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:52:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PCqWip050657 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:52:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9J3094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 07:49:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1564928 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 07:49:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PCnQlx049562 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 07:49:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PCnIQS029034 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 07:49:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PCnIpQ029033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 07:49:18 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 07:49:18 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0317 Ketsana (0317) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251249.h9PCnIpQ029033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 251200 WARNING 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 965 HPA AT 27.5N 139.0E WEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 23 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 35.3N 148.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 44.5N 162.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:22 2003 X-UIDL: 44176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BFCDWPIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:10:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PDAc3S061319 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:10:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Kh094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:05:52 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1565208 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:05:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PD5plx050832 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:05:51 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PD5gQS029205 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:05:42 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PD5g66029204 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:05:42 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 08:05:42 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251305.h9PD5g66029204@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 251200 WARNING 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 945 HPA AT 27.7N 167.2E NORTH OF WAKE MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 24.0N 167.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 22.5N 161.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 23.0N 151.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44181-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BEWHKWIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:29:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PETi3S067935 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:29:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9LV094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:26:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1565713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:26:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PEQglx034296 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:26:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PEQXQS029928 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PEQXZA029927 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:26:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:26:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251426.h9PEQXZA029927@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 251200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 46N 141E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 141E TO 44N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 142E TO 41N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 142E TO 38N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 159E 43N 159E 44N 165E 35N 176E 29N 178E 27N 175E 33N 159E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 116E 21N 115E 26N 121E 27N 128E 22N 127E 16N 116E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 161E 56N 160E 56N 168E 44N 171E 44N 165E 46N 161E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 155E 54N 161E 39N 169E 28N 178E 25N 176E 35N 162E 42N 156E 48N 155E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 57N 142E NORTH 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 09N 116E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 34N 120E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 21N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 153E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 51N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 965 HPA AT 27.5N 139.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 945 HPA AT 27.7N 167.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 167E TO 30N 173E 25N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BH0HM6IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:30:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PEUeip058911 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:30:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9LT094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:25:42 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1565696 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:25:42 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PEPflx033590 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:25:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PEPXQS029911 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:25:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PEPXeF029910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:25:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:25:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 021 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251425.h9PEPXeF029910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 27.5N4 167.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N4 167.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.8N4 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 22.4N8 171.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.4N4 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 16.7N4 170.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 14.2N7 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 26.8N6 168.1E6. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 495 NM NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT 21W HAS LOST ITS IRREGULAR EYE. DESPITE ITS HIGH LATITUDE, IT CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE RADIAL OUTFLOW AND BURSTS OF NEW CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z9 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0, 260300Z1, 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44183-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BC1I4BIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:40:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PEfa3S069081 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:41:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Lt094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:35 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1565816 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PEbYlx073870 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:34 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PEbPQS000039 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:25 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PEbPbR000038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:25 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:37:25 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251437.h9PEbPbR000038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 21// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 251200Z0 TO 281200Z3 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 495 NM NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT 21W HAS LOST ITS IRREGULAR EYE. DESPITE ITS HIGH LATITUDE, IT CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE RADIAL OUTFLOW AND BURSTS OF NEW CONVECTION. B. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE MID-LEVEL STEERING HIGH ANCHORED TO THE SOUTHWEST. TY 21W WILL TRANSITION TO A MORE SOUTHWARD AND THEN SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AS IT CRESTS THE RIDGE AXIS AND ENTERS THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STEERING HIGH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, WBAI, GFDN, NOGAPS, COAMPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. MODEL FIELDS INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL TURN SHARPLY WESTWARD AROUND THE STEERING HIGH AND COMPLETE A FULL LOOP BY THE 96 TO 120 HOUR TAU. GIVEN THE CURRENT SPEED OF 20 KNOTS AND BEING EMBEDDED IN 30 KNOTS OF UPPER LEVEL FLOW, THIS SCENARIO IS CONSIDERED UNLIKELY. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD IN THE POOR ENVIRONMENT OF MARGINAL VERTICAL SHEAR AND EVENTUALLY THE CONFLUENT SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYLCONE. THIS LESS THAN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SEE TY 21W DISSIPATE OVER OPEN WATER. HOWEVER, AN ALTERNATE SCENARIO EXISTS THAT COULD SEE THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION OF TY 21W TO NOT SEPARATE FROM THE LOW LEVEL VORTEX AND IS THUS MAKING THE SHARP WESTERLY TURN ACCORDING TO THE MODELS. THIS SCENARIO COULD SEE THE ENTIRE STORM MAINTAIN WARNING LEVEL INTENSITY AND TO BE ABLE TO MAKE A COMPLETE LOOP IN 96 TO 120 HOURS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:30 2003 X-UIDL: 44189-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BCNIYRIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:59:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PExr3S070380 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:59:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9MN094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:55:34 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1565994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PEtXlx014866 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:55:33 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PEtOQS000278 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:55:24 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PEtO8R000277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:55:24 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 09:55:24 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 028 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251455.h9PEtO8R000277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 27.7N6 138.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N6 138.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 31.4N8 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 35.6N4 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 40.5N9 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 45.0N9 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 28.6N6 140.0E5. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT 20W IS WELL ON ITS WAY TO TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0, 260300Z1, 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:31 2003 X-UIDL: 44191-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00B6YJLMIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:12:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PFDT3S071471 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 23:13:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9N3094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:08:53 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1566113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:08:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PF8qlx049458 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:08:52 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PF8hQS000487 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:08:43 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PF8hJK000486 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:08:43 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 10:08:43 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251508.h9PF8hJK000486@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 28// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 251200Z0 TO 271200Z2 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THAT 20W IS WELL ON ITS WAY TO TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. B. TY 20W HAS LINKED UP WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE MID-LATITUDE UPPER LEVEL FLOW AND IS ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, COAMPS, WBAI, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK AND FAIR AGREEMENT ON THE SPEED OF THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 20W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND TRACKS INTO COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. TY 20W IS EXPECTED TO FULLY COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BEFORE THE 24 HOUR TAU. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:40 2003 X-UIDL: 44213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BD5TJLIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:47:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PImMip079779 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:48:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9RF094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 13:45:37 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1568298 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 13:45:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PIjalx045544 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 13:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PIjSQS002787 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 13:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PIjSGD002786 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 13:45:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 13:45:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0317 Ketsana (0317) Downgraded From Typhoon 975 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251845.h9PIjSGD002786@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 251800 WARNING 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975 HPA AT 30.0N 142.0E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 36 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 45 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 37.5N 153.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 49.0N 168.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:40 2003 X-UIDL: 44214-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00B1QUM5IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:10:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PJBWip082047 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:11:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9RR094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:07:09 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1568468 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:07:09 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PJ78lx038846 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:07:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PJ6xQS003019 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:07:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PJ6x55003018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:06:59 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 14:06:59 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310251906.h9PJ6x55003018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 251800 WARNING 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 955 HPA AT 26.4N 168.5E NORTH OF WAKE MOVING SOUTHEAST 17 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 22.7N 167.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 21.5N 159.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 22.0N 150.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:42 2003 X-UIDL: 44219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BXEYA0IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:30:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKUc3S000529 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:30:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Sh094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:27:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569053 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:27:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKRBlx052118 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:27:11 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PKR3QS003839 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:27:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PKR3jL003838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:27:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:27:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252027.h9PKR3jL003838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 48N 143E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 143E TO 46N 146E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 146E TO 45N 148E 43N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 146E TO 43N 145E 38N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 127E 17N 117E 22N 116E 26N 121E 25N 127E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 161E 53N 159E 58N 163E 57N 170E 43N 170E 42N 161E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 166E 42N 161E 43N 170E 36N 180E 27N 180E 34N 166E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 159E 51N 154E 54N 162E 44N 174E 37N 180E 26N 180E 38N 159E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 59N 142E NNE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 105E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 21N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 157E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 51N 173E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 955 HPA AT 26.4N 168.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 975 HPA AT 30.0N 142.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 168E TO 29N 175E 28N 178E 25N 174W 27N 159W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:42 2003 X-UIDL: 44220-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BBUYI4IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:34:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKZVip090086 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:35:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9BB034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:32:08 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569079 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:32:08 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKW6lx031462 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:32:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PKVvQS003918 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PKVvFA003917 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:31:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:31:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252031.h9PKVvFA003917@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 251800 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 48N 143E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 143E TO 46N 146E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 146E TO 45N 148E 43N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 146E TO 43N 145E 38N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 127E 17N 117E 22N 116E 26N 121E 25N 127E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 161E 53N 159E 58N 163E 57N 170E 43N 170E 42N 161E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 166E 42N 161E 43N 170E 36N 180E 27N 180E 34N 166E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 159E 51N 154E 54N 162E 44N 174E 37N 180E 26N 180E 38N 159E. SUMMARY. LOW 994 HPA AT 59N 142E NNE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 105E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 21N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 40N 157E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 51N 173E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 955 HPA AT 26.4N 168.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 975 HPA AT 30.0N 142.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 168E TO 29N 175E 28N 178E 25N 174W 27N 159W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:42 2003 X-UIDL: 44221-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BVCYS6IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:40:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKfU3S001797 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:41:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Sp094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:38:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569127 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:38:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKcClx051908 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:38:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PKc4QS003976 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:38:04 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PKc3bN003975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:38:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:38:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 022 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252038.h9PKc3bN003975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 252100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 26.4N2 168.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 168.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.2N7 170.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.3N5 171.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 18.0N9 170.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.2N9 168.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 14.0N5 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 25.6N3 169.0E6. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1, 260900Z7, 261500Z4, AND 262100Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 44222-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00BYJYU8IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:42:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKglip090778 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:42:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9BD034030; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:40:16 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:40:16 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKeFlx052160 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:40:15 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PKe7QS004000 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:40:07 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PKe7aj003999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:40:07 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:40:07 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 022 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252040.h9PKe7aj003999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 252100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 26.4N2 168.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 168.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.2N7 170.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.3N5 171.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 18.0N9 170.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 16.2N9 168.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 14.0N5 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 25.6N3 169.0E6. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1, 260900Z7, 261500Z4 AND 262100Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:43 2003 X-UIDL: 44223-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNB00B33YXXIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:44:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKj0ip090949 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 04:45:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Sn094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:37:12 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1569117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:37:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PKbBlx051894 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:37:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9PKb3QS003959 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:37:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9PKb3cZ003958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:37:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 15:37:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 029 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310252037.h9PKb3cZ003958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 252100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 29.2N3 141.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N3 141.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 33.5N1 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL . VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 37.8N8 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 42.0N6 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 46.2N2 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 30.3N6 143.2E0. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEAST AT 28 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS FULLY EXPOSED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1, 260900Z7, 261500Z4 AND 262100Z1. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:53 2003 X-UIDL: 44244-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BNLAJUIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:55:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q0tiq5013054 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:55:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Y1094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 19:51:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571097 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 19:51:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q0pZlx027232 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 19:51:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q0pQQS006598 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 19:51:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q0pQeT006597 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 19:51:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 19:51:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0317 Ketsana (0317) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260051.h9Q0pQeT006597@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 260000 WARNING 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 980 HPA AT 32.1N 144.6E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 45 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 38.5N 155.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:53 2003 X-UIDL: 44246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B10BQQIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:20:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q1LTq5015152 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:21:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9YZ094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:15:07 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571268 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:15:07 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q1F6lx027158 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:15:06 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q1EvQS006851 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:14:57 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q1Evcs006850 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:14:57 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 20:14:57 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260114.h9Q1Evcs006850@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 260000 WARNING 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 965 HPA AT 25.3N 169.7E NORTH OF WAKE MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 22.7N 166.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 21.0N 158.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 21.0N 151.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:58 2003 X-UIDL: 44257-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B1OF1EIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 10:32:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q2Wdco024639 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 10:32:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Zt094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:30:13 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:30:13 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q2UClx017240 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:30:12 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q2U3QS007512 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:30:03 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q2U39m007511 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:30:03 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:30:03 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260230.h9Q2U39m007511@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 146E TO 49N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 149E TO 47N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 149E TO 45N 149E 41N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 165E 35N 173E 33N 180E 27N 180E 31N 169E 35N 165E 39N 165E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 163E 45N 160E 51N 158E 57N 163E 55N 170E 50N 167E 45N 170E 40N 171E 39N 163E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 144E NNE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 126E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 20N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 47N 173E SE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 965 HPA AT 25.3N 169.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 980 HPA AT 32.1N 144.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 160E TO 32N 170E 27N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:58 2003 X-UIDL: 44258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BW7FMFIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 10:44:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q2jFco025769 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 10:45:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9a3094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:41:29 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571756 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:41:29 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q2fSlx059800 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:41:28 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q2fKQS007590 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:41:20 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q2fKrZ007589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:41:20 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:41:20 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 023 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260241.h9Q2fKrZ007589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 25.1N8 169.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 169.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 22.4N8 170.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 20.0N2 170.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 17.8N6 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.2N9 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 14.1N6 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 24.4N0 169.5E1. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. A 252233Z7 SSM/I PASS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS STILL VERTICALLY STACKED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS GETTING SHEARED FROM THE SOUTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7, 261500Z4, 262100Z1 AND 270300Z2. REFER TO TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:59 2003 X-UIDL: 44260-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B12FRCIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 10:47:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q2mEq5022240 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 10:48:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9a5094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:45:36 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:45:36 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q2jZlx059824 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:45:35 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q2jQQS007620 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:45:26 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q2jQwG007619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:45:26 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 21:45:26 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 20w (ketsana) Warning Nr 030 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260245.h9Q2jQwG007619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 20W (KETSANA) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 31.9N3 144.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 34 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 31.9N3 144.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 36.8N7 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 35 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 41.6N1 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 36 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 46.5N5 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 33.1N7 145.7E7. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:59 2003 X-UIDL: 44261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B44GUUIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:11:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q3Bvco027735 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:11:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9aL094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:07:20 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:07:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q37Jlx038890 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:07:19 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q37AQS007833 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:07:10 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q37Afw007832 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:07:10 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:07:10 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 20w (ketsana)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260307.h9Q37Afw007832@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA)/ WARNING NR 30// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 260000Z8 TO 271200Z2 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS COMPLETED EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. B. TY 20W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, GFDN, COAMPS, WBAR, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. C. TY 20W HAS TRANSITIONED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. D. THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT REQUIRE WIND RADII. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ALLEN // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:59 2003 X-UIDL: 44262-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B7MGY4IP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:13:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q3Duq5024189 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:13:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9aN094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:09:27 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:09:27 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q39Qlx034100 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:09:26 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q39HQS007863 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:09:17 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q39HhY007862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:09:17 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:09:17 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260309.h9Q39HhY007862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 260300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 23// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 260000Z8 TO 290000Z1 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. A 252233Z7 SSM/I PASS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS STILL VERTICALLY STACKED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS GETTING SHEARED FROM THE SOUTHWEST. B. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS BUILDING EAST OF THE TY 21W, STEERING THE SYSTEM SOUTHEASTWARD. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INCREASINGLY SOUTHWARD AND THEN SOUTHWESTWARD BY 72 HOURS AROUND THIS RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, WBAR, GFDN, NOGAPS, COAMPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. THE AIDS TRACK WESTWARD AROUND A LOW- LEVEL STEERING RIDGE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS SCENARIO IS NOT LIKELY, AS THE SYSTEM IS STILL DEEP. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AFTER 24 HOURS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT TRACKS INTO A MARGINAL UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:42:59 2003 X-UIDL: 44263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00BOGHHGIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:24:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q3PVco028677 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 11:25:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9aX094486; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:21:54 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1571973 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:21:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q3Lrlx095762 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:21:53 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q3LfQS007965 for ; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:21:41 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q3LfPN007964 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:21:41 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sat, 25 Oct 2003 22:21:41 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260321.h9Q3LfPN007964@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ32 PGUM 260321 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON PARMA ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 120 PM GUAM LST SUN OCT 26 2003 ..TYPHOON WATCH ISSUED FOR WAKE ISLAND... A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON PARMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 169.5 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 400 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE. PARMA IS MOVING IN A HIGHLY UNUSUAL DIRECTION...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 17 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 MPH. TYPHOON PARMA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO VERTICAL SHEARING EFFECTS IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 22.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 169.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO WAKE...REFER TO TYPHOON PARMA LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE GUAM NWS FORECAST OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:07 2003 X-UIDL: 44274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B8ENTCIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 13:41:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q5gCco039105 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 13:42:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9GJ034030; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:39 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1572595 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:39 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q5Wblx015080 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:37 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q5WSQS008992 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q5WSmK008990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:28 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 00:32:28 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260532.h9Q5WSmK008990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z-270600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260152ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 20W (KETSANA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N3 144.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 34 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 260000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N8 169.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:09 2003 X-UIDL: 44279-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00B0YQVCIP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:47:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q6mCco044831 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:48:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9d7094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:43 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1572853 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:43 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q6jflx029002 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:41 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q6jXQS009526 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q6jXgf009525 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:33 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:45:33 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0317 Ketsana (0317) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260645.h9Q6jXgf009525@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 260600 WARNING 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 985 HPA AT 34.4N 147.7E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 34 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 260 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 220 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 43.5N 161.5E WITH 150 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:09 2003 X-UIDL: 44281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00D8ES3HED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:14:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q7Egco047100 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:14:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9dF094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:11:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1573010 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:11:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q7Bmlx073910 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:11:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q7BdQS009726 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:11:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q7BdU3009725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:11:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:11:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260711.h9Q7BdU3009725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ32 PGUM 260711 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON PARMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST SUN OCT 26 2003 ..TYPHOON WATCH ISSUED FOR WAKE ISLAND... A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS 39 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON PARMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 169.6 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 390 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE. PARMA IS MOVING IN A HIGHLY UNUSUAL DIRECTION...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 MPH. TYPHOON PARMA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO VERTICAL SHEARING EFFECTS IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 24.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 169.6 DEGREES EAST...MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO WAKE...REFER TO TYPHOON PARMA LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE GUAM NWS FORECAST OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:10 2003 X-UIDL: 44282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00DC8S7YED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:16:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q7HPco047329 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:17:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9dH094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:12:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1573016 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:12:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q7CVlx081738 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:12:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q7CNQS009732 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:12:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q7CN6I009731 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:12:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 01:12:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260712.h9Q7CN6I009731@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 260600 WARNING 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 965 HPA AT 23.8N 169.5E NORTH OF WAKE MOVING SOUTH 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 21.7N 165.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 21.0N 158.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 21.5N 151.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:11 2003 X-UIDL: 44287-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00DM9VNFED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:30:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q8VRco053475 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:31:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9H5034030; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:28:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1573337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:28:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q8SNlx037256 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:28:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q8SEQS010326 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:28:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q8SE6m010325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:28:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 02:28:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260828.h9Q8SE6m010325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 52N 147E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 147E TO 52N 153E 50N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 154E TO 48N 155E 46N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 154E TO 45N 151E 40N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 162E 56N 163E 58N 172E 39N 170E 39N 162E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 165E 38N 164E 36N 170E 33N 180E 26N 180E 27N 173E 28N 168E 29N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 160E 60N 161E 60N 175E 42N 167E 42N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 144E NORTH SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 13N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 31N 124E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 136E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 20N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 45N 174E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 965 HPA AT 23.8N 169.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 985 HPA AT 34.4N 147.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 174E TO 27N 178E 27N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:17 2003 X-UIDL: 44291-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNC00DBFXW4ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:19:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q9Joq5054146 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 17:19:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9e7094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:14:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1573453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:14:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q9E2lx039780 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:14:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q9DsQS010881 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:13:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q9DsrR010880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:13:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:13:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 024 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260913.h9Q9DsrR010880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 260900 RTD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 24.2N8 169.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 169.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.3N7 168.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 20.8N0 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 20.6N8 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 20.7N9 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 21.2N5 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 23.5N0 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 26.2N0 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 23.7N2 169.4E0. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. A 260704Z9 SSM/I PASS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS STILL VERTICALLY STACKED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS UNDER NORTHERLY SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4, 262100Z1, 270300Z2 AND 270900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:19 2003 X-UIDL: 44296-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DNH04SED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 18:07:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QA89co060544 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 18:08:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9eV094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:52:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1573676 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:52:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9Q9q5lx073824 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:52:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9Q9pvQS011237 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:51:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9Q9pvkj011236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:51:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 03:51:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310260951.h9Q9pvkj011236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ32 PGUM 260951 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON PARMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST SUN OCT 26 2003 ..THE TYPHOON WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TYPHOON WARNING FOR WAKE ISLAND... THE TYPHOON WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TYPHOON WARNING FOR WAKE ISLAND. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE COASTLINE OR IN POORLY CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES SHOULD EVACUATE TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON PARMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 169.4 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 355 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE. PARMA IS MOVING IN A HIGHLY UNUSUAL DIRECTION...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 MPH. TYPHOON PARMA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO VERTICAL SHEARING EFFECTS IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 23.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 169.4 DEGREES EAST...MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO WAKE...REFER TO TYPHOON PARMA LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE GUAM NWS FORECAST OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT ADVISORY AT 2 AM MONDAY. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:19 2003 X-UIDL: 44300-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DWX8FGED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:06:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QD7Sco073620 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:07:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9gr094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:01:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1574897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:01:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QD1vlx081764 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:01:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QD1nQS012679 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:01:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QD1mvE012678 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:01:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:01:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261301.h9QD1mvE012678@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ32 PGUM 261301 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON PARMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST SUN OCT 26 2003 ..A TYPHOON WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE COASTLINE OR IN POORLY CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES SHOULD EVACUATE TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT. AT 11 PM GUAM LST...1300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON PARMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 168.5 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 265 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE. PARMA IS MOVING IN A HIGHLY UNUSUAL DIRECTION...SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS THEN START MOVING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 11 PM POSITION...LATITUDE 22.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 168.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO WAKE...REFER TO TYPHOON PARMA LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE GUAM NWS FORECAST OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:19 2003 X-UIDL: 44301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00D928NKED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:11:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QDCNco074027 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 21:12:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9gx094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:06:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1574953 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:06:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QD6Rlx042704 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:06:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QD6IQS012708 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:06:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QD6IX1012707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:06:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 07:06:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261306.h9QD6IX1012707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 261200 WARNING 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 23.1N 168.9E NORTHEAST OF WAKE MOVING SOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 21.0N 163.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 20.5N 154.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 22.0N 148.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:22 2003 X-UIDL: 44306-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DFSC4JED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 22:26:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QERJq5077302 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 22:27:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9iv094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:21:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1575833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:21:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QEL4lx085192 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:21:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QEKuQS013239 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:20:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QEKuss013238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:20:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:20:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261420.h9QEKuss013238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 25// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 260000Z8 TO 290000Z1 OCT 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. B. TY 21W IS BEING STEERED BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THIS RIDGE. THEN TY 21W WILL TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 72 HOURS AS THE RIDGE MIGRATES EASTWARD. AFTERWARDS A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE AND ENABLE TY 21w TO TRACK POLEWARD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, WBAR, GFDN, NOGAPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. THE PRIMARY DIFFERENCE IN THE MODELS IS THE STRENGTH OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS UNDER NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS EQUATORWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON A 260643Z1 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:22 2003 X-UIDL: 44307-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DFWC4KED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 22:26:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QERLq5077303 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 22:27:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9JL034030; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:21:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1575836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:21:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QEL6lx096930 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:21:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QEKvQS013245 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:20:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QEKvqL013244 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:20:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:20:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 025 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261420.h9QEKvqL013244@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 22.7N1 168.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N1 168.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.6N9 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.1N4 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.4N7 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.6N9 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 23.3N8 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 25.6N3 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 27.6N5 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 22.4N8 168.0E5. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1, 270300Z2, 270900Z8 AND 271500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:22 2003 X-UIDL: 44308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DR4C9YED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 22:29:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QEUWq5077905 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 22:30:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9j1094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:24:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1575848 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:24:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QEOWlx096956 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:24:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QEOOQS013271 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:24:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QEOOsf013270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:24:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:24:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 025 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261424.h9QEOOsf013270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 22.7N1 168.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N1 168.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.6N9 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.1N4 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.4N7 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.6N9 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 23.3N8 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 25.6N3 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 27.6N5 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 22.4N8 168.0E5. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1, 270300Z2, 270900Z8 AND 271500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:23 2003 X-UIDL: 44309-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DZSCF8ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 22:33:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QEXjq5078153 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 22:33:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9j3094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:28:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1575860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:28:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QESklx096994 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:28:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QESbQS013288 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:28:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QESbCV013287 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:28:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 08:28:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261428.h9QESbCV013287@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0317 KETSANA (0317) 990 HPA AT 36N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 150E TO 37N 153E 35N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 150E TO 30N 150E 24N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 46N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 55N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 160E 45N 161E 51N 165E 50N 172E 37N 169E 38N 160E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 163E 35N 169E 30N 180E 25N 180E 27N 172E 27N 166E 38N 163E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 153E 57N 163E 57N 174E 44N 166E 45N 153E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 59N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 116E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 12N 141E WSW 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 30N 124E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 39N 137E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 47N 176E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 23.1N 168.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 175E TO 25N 178E 25N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:23 2003 X-UIDL: 44312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DW3FOOED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:43:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QFiFq5083345 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:44:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9kd094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:41:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1576310 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:41:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QFfSlx049660 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:41:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QFfJQS013863 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:41:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QFfJg5013862 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:41:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 09:41:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261541.h9QFfJg5013862@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, RAZOR2_CHECK, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ32 PGUM 261541 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON PARMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST MON OCT 27 2003 ..A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE COASTLINE OR IN POORLY CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES SHOULD EVACUATE TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON PARMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 168.0 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 230 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE. PARMA IS MOVING IN A HIGHLY UNUSUAL DIRECTION...SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS THEN START MOVING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 22.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 168.0 DEGREES EAST...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO WAKE...REFER TO TYPHOON PARMA LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE GUAM NWS FORECAST OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:25 2003 X-UIDL: 44320-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DFNOETED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:52:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QIqiq5098962 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:52:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtof094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:45:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1577807 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:45:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QIjblx031458 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:45:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QIjTQS015696 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:45:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QIjPp6015694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:45:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:45:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261845.h9QIjPp6015694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 261800 WARNING 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 22.9N 167.6E NORTH OF WAKE MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 21.7N 161.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 22.0N 152.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 25.0N 149.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:25 2003 X-UIDL: 44321-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DWKOUOED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:01:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QJ2Fco002693 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 03:02:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtoj094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:54:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1577865 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:54:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QIsZlx031474 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:54:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QIsRQS015767 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:54:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QIsRTG015766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:54:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 12:54:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310261854.h9QIsRTG015766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ32 PGUM 261854 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON PARMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST MON OCT 27 2003 ..A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE COASTLINE OR IN POORLY CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES SHOULD EVACUATE TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON PARMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 167.3 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 205 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE. PARMA IS MOVING IN A HIGHLY UNUSUAL DIRECTION...SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS THEN START MOVING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 22.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 167.3 DEGREES EAST...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO WAKE...REFER TO TYPHOON PARMA LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE GUAM NWS FORECAST OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 AM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44324-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DYWT91ED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 04:36:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QKbEq5008571 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 04:37:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtrb094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:31:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1578968 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:31:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QKV9lx059704 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:31:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QKV1QS016531 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:31:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QKV0FG016530 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:31:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:31:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310262031.h9QKV0FG016530@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 38N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 155E TO 39N 156E 38N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 157E TO 36N 161E 32N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 157E TO 34N 156E 28N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 49N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 163E 32N 165E 29N 177E 22N 177E 24N 172E 27N 169E 26N 163E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 151E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 170E 47N 166E 46N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 47N 125E NE 20 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 56N 152E NE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 125E TO 46N 128E 44N 130E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 125E TO 45N 123E 43N 120E 40N 116E 37N 111E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 116E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 31N 125E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 139E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 43N 178E SE 30 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 22.9N 167.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 176E TO 22N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DQFTUDED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 04:49:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QKo4co012666 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 04:50:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9OZ034030; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:42:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1579140 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:42:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QKgAlx067160 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:42:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QKg1QS016613 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:42:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QKg1ut016612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:42:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 14:42:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 026 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310262042.h9QKg1ut016612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 262100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- NEAR 22.2N6 167.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 167.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.4N7 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.2N5 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 21.2N5 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 21.8N1 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 23.5N0 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.3N2 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 29.2N3 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION NEAR 22.0N4 166.5E8. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EAST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2, 270900Z8, 271500Z5 AND 272100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44327-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00DU6WPNED@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 05:51:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QLq1co017437 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 05:52:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWttX094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:47:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1579698 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:47:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QLl7lx033780 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:47:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QLkwQS017169 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:46:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QLkwbi017168 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:46:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 15:46:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310262146.h9QLkwbi017168@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ32 PGUM 262146 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON PARMA ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST MON OCT 27 2003 ..A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE COASTLINE OR IN POORLY CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES SHOULD EVACUATE TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON PARMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 166.5 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 385 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE. PARMA IS MOVING IN A HIGHLY UNUSUAL DIRECTION...WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS THEN START MOVING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 22.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 166.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO WAKE...REFER TO TYPHOON PARMA LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE GUAM NWS FORECAST OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:28 2003 X-UIDL: 44331-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00EL4Z9RUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:46:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QMlHq5018274 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:47:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtv1094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:41:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1580301 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:41:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QMftlx037626 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:41:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QMflQS017641 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:41:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QMfkMr017640 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:41:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:41:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310262241.h9QMfkMr017640@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ32 PGUM 262241 CCA TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON PARMA ADVISORY NUMBER 26...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST MON OCT 27 2003 ..A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE COASTLINE OR IN POORLY CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES SHOULD EVACUATE TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON PARMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 166.5 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 190 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WAKE. PARMA IS MOVING IN A HIGHLY UNUSUAL DIRECTION...WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS THEN START MOVING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 22.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 166.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO WAKE...REFER TO TYPHOON PARMA LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE GUAM NWS FORECAST OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:28 2003 X-UIDL: 44332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HND00E3GZT1US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:58:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QMwqco021837 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:58:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtvD094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:48:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1580371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:47:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QMlxlx079558 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:47:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9QMloQS017706 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:47:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9QMloh8017705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:47:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 16:47:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310262247.h9QMloh8017705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ32 PGUM 262247 CCA TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON PARMA ADVISORY NUMBER 26...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST MON OCT 27 2003 ..A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WAKE ISLAND. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE. PEOPLE LIVING ALONG THE COASTLINE OR IN POORLY CONSTRUCTED STRUCTURES SHOULD EVACUATE TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON PARMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 166.5 DEGREES EAST... OR ABOUT 190 MILES NORTH OF WAKE. PARMA IS MOVING IN A HIGHLY UNUSUAL DIRECTION...WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS THEN START MOVING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 22.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 166.5 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO WAKE...REFER TO TYPHOON PARMA LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE GUAM NWS FORECAST OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:28 2003 X-UIDL: 44334-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EI4532US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:52:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R0qqq5027344 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:52:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9RX034030; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 18:48:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1581191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 18:48:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R0milx011488 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 18:48:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R0maQS018779 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 18:48:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R0mWop018778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 18:48:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 18:48:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) Downgraded From Typhoon 975 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270048.h9R0mWop018778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 270000 WARNING 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975 HPA AT 22.7N 166.0E NORTH OF WAKE MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 22.5N 157.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 24.5N 150.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 29.0N 151.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:35 2003 X-UIDL: 44339-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EFD66PUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 09:16:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R1Gdq5029522 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 09:16:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWt01094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 19:11:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1581469 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 19:11:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R1BAlx028030 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 19:11:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R1B2QS019015 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 19:11:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R1B1c0019014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 19:11:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 19:11:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270111.h9R1B1c0019014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPQ32 PGUM 270111 TCPPQ2 BULLETIN TYPHOON PARMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST MON OCT 27 2003 ..TYPHOON WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR WAKE ISLAND... AS OF 11 AM GUAM LST...TYPHOON WARNING FOR WAKE ISLAND HAS BEEN CANCELED. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON PARMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 165.8 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 205 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE. PARMA IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...LATITUDE 22.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 165.8 DEGREES EAST...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO WAKE...REFER TO TYPHOON PARMA LOCAL STATEMENT (WTPQ82 PGUM) AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR TYPHOON PARMA. $$ AHN/MA/WELLS +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 10:43:37 2003 X-UIDL: 44350-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EQC9XLUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:36:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R2baco041349 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:37:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PCGO55046000; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:31:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1582200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:31:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R2V0lx045496 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:31:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R2UpQS019746 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:30:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R2UpVP019745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:30:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:30:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270230.h9R2UpVP019745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 41N 159E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 159E TO 40N 163E 36N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 159E TO 34N 158E 29N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 52N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 165E 30N 177E 23N 178E 25N 168E 32N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 162E 54N 174E 46N 173E 46N 163E 50N 159E 55N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 57N 154E NE 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 49N 126E NE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 126E TO 48N 130E 44N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 126E TO 44N 126E 40N 120E 36N 116E 33N 112E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1012 HPA NEAR 10N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 10N 156E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 127E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 140E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 19N 179E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 975 HPA AT 22.7N 166.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 11:01:25 2003 X-UIDL: 44354-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00E6IAMMUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R2qbco043070 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:52:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWt2F094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:43:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1582300 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:43:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R2hTlx047462 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:43:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R2hLQS019856 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:43:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R2hKVs019855 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:43:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:43:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 027 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270243.h9R2hKVs019855@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 270300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- NEAR 22.2N6 165.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 165.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 22.1N5 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.0N4 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.1N5 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 22.8N2 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.2N0 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 28.4N4 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 29.9N0 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION NEAR 22.2N6 165.0E2. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 262219Z2 SSM/I DEPICTS AN IRREGULAR EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8, 271500Z5, 272100Z2 AND 280300Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 11:01:30 2003 X-UIDL: 44355-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EF5AQ8US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:54:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R2slco043280 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 10:54:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWt2P094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:49:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1582354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:49:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R2nqlx053968 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:49:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R2nhQS019922 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:49:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R2nhbe019921 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:49:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 20:49:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270249.h9R2nhbe019921@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 270300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 27// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 270000Z9 OCT TO 010000Z1 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 262219Z2 SSM/I DEPICTS AN IRREGULAR EYE. B. TY 21W IS BEING STEERED BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHWEST. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS AS THE RIDGE PROPAGATES EASTWARD. AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE STEERING RIDGE BY 48 HOURS, CAUSING TY 21W TO TRACK MORE POLEWARD BY 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, WBAR, GFDN, NOGAPS, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT TRACKS UNDER NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS INTO MORE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 21W TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE AND WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/LAM/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 13:50:16 2003 X-UIDL: 44363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00E13I9RUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:37:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R5bgq5057725 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 13:37:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWt4t094486; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1583526 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R5Ywlx011344 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R5YnQS021373 for ; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R5YnAx021371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 26 Oct 2003 23:34:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270534.h9R5YnAx021371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z-280600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260152ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N6 165.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 15:17:41 2003 X-UIDL: 44369-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EO1LGAUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 14:45:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R6kQq5064720 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 14:46:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWt95094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 00:42:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1584353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 00:42:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R6gHlx028932 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 00:42:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R6g8QS021974 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 00:42:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R6g83P021973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 00:42:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 00:42:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270642.h9R6g83P021973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 270600 WARNING 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 975 HPA AT 22.5N 164.5E NORTHWEST OF WAKE MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 21.6N 156.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 23.0N 149.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 24.5N 147.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 17:29:38 2003 X-UIDL: 44384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00EBIQCFUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 16:31:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R8W6co078660 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 16:32:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtA3094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:28:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1584907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:28:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R8Stlx052080 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:28:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R8SkQS022881 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:28:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R8SkdS022880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:28:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:28:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270828.h9R8SkdS022880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 45N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 162E TO 41N 165E 37N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 162E TO 39N 162E 34N 160E 30N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 53N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 123E MANCHURIA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 123E TO 41N 125E 42N 127E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 123E TO 36N 120E 33N 116E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 164E 30N 174E 23N 173E 24N 168E 26N 164E 31N 164E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 167E 60N 169E 60N 180E 50N 180E 50N 172E 53N 167E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 158E 54N 161E 54N 170E 45N 170E 50N 158E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 50N 126E NE 15 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 158E NE 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 126E TO 49N 128E 48N 129E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 129E TO 47N 132E 45N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 129E TO 45N 128E 42N 127E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 09N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 145E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 975 HPA AT 22.5N 164.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Oct 27 17:29:42 2003 X-UIDL: 44388-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNE00ER6RBHUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 16:52:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R8r7co081117 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 16:53:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9OFT9Vt034030; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:49:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1585078 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:49:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9R8nAlx079364 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:49:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9R8n1QS023019 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:49:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9R8n14o023018 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:49:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 02:49:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 028 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310270849.h9R8n14o023018@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 270900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 22.2N6 164.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 164.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.0N4 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.1N5 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 22.9N3 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.7N2 150.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 25.7N4 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 27.3N2 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 29.2N3 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION NEAR 22.1N5 163.7E7. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 270650Z0 SSM/I DEPICTS AN IRREGULAR EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5, 272100Z2, 280300Z3 AND 280900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 00:20:48 2003 X-UIDL: 44412-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EKG2ESUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:52:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RCqico004718 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:52:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtCh094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:46:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1586413 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:46:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RCkmlx051800 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:46:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RCkeQS025325 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:46:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RCkd9S025324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:46:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 06:46:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271246.h9RCkd9S025324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 271200 WARNING 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 975 HPA AT 21.8N 162.7E NORTHWEST OF WAKE MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 21.2N 154.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 22.5N 148.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 24.0N 147.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 00:20:55 2003 X-UIDL: 44423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EM37F1US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:40:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9REeqco014935 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:40:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtEr094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:28:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1587461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:28:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RESqlx092618 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:28:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9REShQS026934 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:28:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RESh4C026933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:28:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:28:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271428.h9RESh4C026933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 166E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 166E TO 44N 169E 42N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 166E TO 43N 166E 32N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 54N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 125E YELLOW SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 125E TO 40N 126E 42N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 125E TO 36N 123E 33N 120E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 169E 60N 170E 60N 180E 50N 180E 50N 176E 53N 169E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 164E 31N 167E 29N 176E 22N 175E 25N 164E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 160E 60N 164E 60N 171E 53N 170E 53N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 51N 127E NE 10 KT. LOW 998 HPA AT 58N 162E ENE 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 127E TO 50N 129E 49N 130E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 130E TO 48N 133E 46N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 130E TO 45N 130E 42N 128E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 148E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 975 HPA AT 21.8N 162.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 00:20:55 2003 X-UIDL: 44424-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EW57INUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:42:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9REh1co015183 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:43:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtF7094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:35:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1587530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:35:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9REZKlx052028 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:35:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9REZCQS027127 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:35:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9REZCvw027126 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:35:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:35:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 029 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271435.h9REZCvw027126@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- NEAR 22.1N5 162.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 162.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.1N5 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.5N9 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.6N1 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.7N3 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.2N1 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 29.3N4 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 31.4N8 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.1N5 162.0E9. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 270847Z8 SSM/I PASS INDICATES THAT SYSTEM HAS STRENGTHENED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND A WELL DEFINED MICROWAVE 60 NM EYE HAS FORMED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2, 280300Z3, 280900Z9 AND 281500Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 00:20:55 2003 X-UIDL: 44425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EX87J8US@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:42:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9REhNq5012310 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 22:43:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtF3094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:33:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1587512 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:33:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9REX0lx051718 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:33:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9REWpQS027074 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:32:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9REWp2Q027073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:32:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 08:32:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271432.h9REWp2Q027073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 29// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 271200Z2 OCT TO 011200Z4 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 270847Z8 SSM/I PASS INDICATES THAT SYSTEM HAS STRENGTHENED OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS AND A WELL DEFINED MICROWAVE 60 NM EYE HAS FORMED. B. TY 21W IS BEING STEERED BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE RIDGE MIGRATES EASTWARD. AN APPROACHING LONGWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE RIDGE AFTER 36 HOURS ALLOWING TY 21W TO TRACK POLEWARD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THIS TROUGH AND BE GUIDED TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, WBAR, GFDN, NOGAPS, AFWA, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. THE JAPANESE MODELS MAINTAIN THE RIDGE AND AS A RESULT TRACK TY 21W FURTHER WESTWARD THAN THE OTHER DYNAMIC AIDS. HOWEVER, EGRR AND NGPS WEAKEN THE RIDGE SOONER ENABLING TY 21W TO RAPIDLY TRACK NORTHEASTWARD EMBEDDED IN THE WESTERLIES. THE GFDN, GFS, AND AFWA SOLUTIONS ARE IN THE MIDDLE BETWEEN THE AFOREMENTIONED TWO CLUSTERS OF AIDS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 AS IT TRACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 21W TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE AND WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:11 2003 X-UIDL: 44445-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EHWJSCUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:07:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RJ82q5042885 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 03:08:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtS5094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 12:51:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1591844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 12:51:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RIpElx070632 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 12:51:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RIp5QS005081 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 12:51:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RIp5tx005080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 12:51:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 12:51:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310271851.h9RIp5tx005080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 271800 WARNING 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 22.0N 160.6E WEST OF WAKE MOVING WEST 19 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 22.1N 152.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 24.0N 147.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 26.5N 149.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:22 2003 X-UIDL: 44458-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EH5OKWUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 04:50:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKpUq5054220 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 04:51:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RI9x8P067246; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 14:30:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1593818 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 14:30:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKUWlx029558 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 14:30:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RKUNQS008193 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 14:30:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RKUNq7008192 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 14:30:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 14:30:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310272030.h9RKUNq7008192@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 169E TO 48N 174E 44N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 169E TO 44N 171E 36N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 56N 176E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 41N 129E KOREA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 129E TO 42N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 129E TO 37N 127E 34N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 162E 30N 164E 30N 175E 21N 175E 22N 165E 26N 162E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 165E 60N 171E 54N 171E 56N 163E 60N 165E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 165E ENE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 152E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 40N 152E ENE 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 22.0N 160.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:23 2003 X-UIDL: 44464-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00EMEPSMUS@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 05:17:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RLHoq5056739 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 05:17:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPmp034030; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:01:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1594289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:01:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RL1Blx029654 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:01:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9RL12QS009188 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:01:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9RL12gt009187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:01:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 15:01:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 030 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310272101.h9RL12gt009187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 22.1N5 160.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N5 160.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.3N7 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 23.2N7 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 24.0N6 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.9N6 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 28.6N6 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 30.6N9 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 32.8N3 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 22.1N5 159.4E9. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 385 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 271507Z2 TRMM PASS INDICATES A 30 NM BANDING EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3, 280900Z9, 281500Z6 AND 282100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNF00IO3ZYKA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:56:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S0vPq5077903 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:57:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9QGWtl5094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 18:47:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1597250 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 18:47:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S0lhlx040212 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 18:47:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S0lYQS014533 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 18:47:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S0lYBT014532 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 18:47:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 18:47:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) Downgraded From Typhoon 975 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280047.h9S0lYBT014532@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 280000 WARNING 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975 HPA AT 21.9N 158.2E SOUTHEAST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 22 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 22.4N 150.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 25.5N 148.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 28.0N 152.5E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 10:35:28 2003 X-UIDL: 44484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00ISW3M8A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 10:15:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S2GOq5086802 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 10:16:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S1M7nF094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:06:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1598100 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:06:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S26flx101734 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:06:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S26WQS015779 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:06:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S26W8L015778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:06:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:06:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 031 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280206.h9S26W8L015778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 280300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- NEAR 22.0N4 158.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 158.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.6N0 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.6N1 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.3N0 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.1N0 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.9N0 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 31.9N3 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 33.5N1 173.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION NEAR 22.2N6 157.1E4. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 272119Z2 SSMI PASS INDICATES TY 21W CONTINUES TO HAVE A 30 NM BANDING EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9, 281500Z6, 282100Z3 AND 290300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 11:45:38 2003 X-UIDL: 44489-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IP35DAA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 10:53:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S2s7co093227 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 10:54:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S1M7nV094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:27:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1598332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:27:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S2RGlx024846 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:27:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S2R8QS016015 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:27:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S2R7bC016014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:27:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:27:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280227.h9S2R7bC016014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 52N 172E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 172E TO 51N 174E 51N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 175E TO 49N 178E 48N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 175E TO 45N 176E 38N 171E 35N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 59N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 130E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 130E TO 44N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 130E TO 36N 129E 32N 126E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 167E 60N 180E 41N 180E 39N 172E 52N 172E 60N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 52N 132E NE 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 61N 167E NE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 12N 136E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 151E WNW 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 44N 115E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 58N 134E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 41N 154E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 975 HPA AT 21.9N 158.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 11:45:38 2003 X-UIDL: 44490-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IOT5NUA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 10:59:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S30Tco094149 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 11:00:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S1M7nZ094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:32:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1598367 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:32:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S2WSlx031296 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:32:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S2WJQS016112 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:32:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S2WJtV016111 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:32:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 20:32:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280232.h9S2WJtV016111@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 31// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 280000Z0 OCT TO 020000Z2 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 272119Z2 SSMI PASS INDICATES TY 21W CONTINUES TO HAVE A 30 NM BANDING EYE. B. TY 21W IS BEING STEERED BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 18 HOURS AND THEN TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE RIDGE MIGRATES EASTWARD AND THEN TRACK POLEWARD AS THE STEERING RIDGE IS WEAKENED BY AN APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THIS TROUGH AND BE GUIDED TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, WBAR, GFDN, AND NOGAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST SCENARIO. NCEP GFS IS THE OUTLIER WITH THIS SCENERIO. NCEP GFS KEEPS THE STEERING RIDGE, LOCATED TO THE EAST, STRONG AND DOES NOT ALLOW TY 21W TO LINK UP WITH THE MID LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE JAPANESE MODEL DELAYS THE BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE TAKING TY 21W FURTHER WEST BEFORE RECURVING. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 36 TO 48 HOURS AS IT TRACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. AFTERWARDS TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR AND REDUCED UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND FORECASTED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 21W TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE. TY 21W WILL WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 15:46:07 2003 X-UIDL: 44512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IBKDMGA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 13:51:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S5qWq5015227 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 13:52:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S1M7rN094486; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1599856 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S5hTlx033574 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S5hKQS018228 for ; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S5hKFe018226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 27 Oct 2003 23:43:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280543.h9S5hKFe018226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280152ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N4 158.1E5, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 11.6N8 134.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAU, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. RECENT QUIKSCAT DATA SHOWS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/KELSEY/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Oct 28 15:46:19 2003 X-UIDL: 44520-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IMGG8GA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:48:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S6muco018487 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:48:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPwf034030; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:44:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1600535 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:43:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S6hwlx033564 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:43:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S6hnQS018895 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:43:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S6hnXD018894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:43:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 00:43:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280643.h9S6hnXD018894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 280600 WARNING 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 975 HPA AT 21.8N 155.9E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 21 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 22.9N 148.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 25.0N 148.0E WITH 200 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 27.0N 150.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:14 2003 X-UIDL: 44530-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IWILB5A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 16:37:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S8cVco030721 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 16:38:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jqZ094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:28:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1601141 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:28:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S8SXlx082618 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:28:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S8SOQS019926 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:28:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S8SOjn019925 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:28:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:28:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 032 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280828.h9S8SOjn019925@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 280900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 21.8N1 156.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 156.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 22.8N2 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 24.1N7 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.0N8 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.6N5 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.5N8 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 32.1N6 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 33.7N3 175.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION NEAR 22.1N5 155.4E5. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6, 282100Z3, 290300Z4 AND 290900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:14 2003 X-UIDL: 44531-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IFHLHBA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 16:41:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S8gFq5033915 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 16:42:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PCGOW5046000; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:30:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1601152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:30:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S8Uglx082648 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:30:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9S8UYQS019976 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:30:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9S8UXip019975 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:30:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 02:30:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310280830.h9S8UXip019975@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 174E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 174E TO 54N 176E 53N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 179E TO 51N 177W 48N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 179E TO 41N 177E 33N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 850 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 750 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 60N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 131E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 131E TO 42N 132E 43N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 131E TO 36N 132E 32N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 550 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 166E 60N 180E 53N 179E 53N 170E 60N 166E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 54N 136E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 62N 167E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 13N 136E WNW SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 151E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 119E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 41N 154E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 176E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 975 HPA AT 21.8N 155.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:18 2003 X-UIDL: 44543-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00ILFXBRA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:57:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SCw2co057575 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:58:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jtx094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 06:45:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1602383 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 06:45:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SCj0lx031422 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 06:45:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SCipQS022695 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 06:44:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SCipbR022694 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 06:44:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 06:44:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281244.h9SCipbR022694@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 281200 WARNING 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 21.9N 154.0E SOUTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 23.8N 148.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 28.0N 152.0E WITH 210 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 30.0N 157.0E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:20 2003 X-UIDL: 44547-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNG00IQCZVWA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 21:52:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SDrOco063326 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 21:53:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jvX094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 07:48:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1602813 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 07:48:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SDmXlx034520 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 07:48:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SDmOQS023459 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 07:48:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SDmOql023458 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 07:48:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 07:48:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 033 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281348.h9SDmOql023458@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- NEAR 22.0N4 154.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 154.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.0N5 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.8N4 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.0N9 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.6N6 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 30.8N1 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 20 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 32.3N8 169.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 33.4N0 179.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION NEAR 22.3N7 153.4E3. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. SATELLITE ANALYSIS REVEALS TY 21W IS DEVELOPING A BANDING EYE AND IS IN AN AREA OF FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3, 290300Z4, 290900Z0 AND 291500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:21 2003 X-UIDL: 44552-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IVS1VFA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:35:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SEaIco067894 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:36:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S4C7Pr024918; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1603505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SEUmlx037210 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SEUdQS024516 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SEUdkH024515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281430.h9SEUdkH024515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 33// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 281200Z0 OCT TO 021200Z2 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. SATELLITE ANALYSIS REVEALS TY 21W IS DEVELOPING A BANDING EYE AND IS IN AN AREA OF FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. B. TY 21W CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE RIDGE MIGRATES EASTWARD. TY 21W WILL THEN TRACK POLEWARD AS THE STEERING RIDGE IS WEAKENED BY AN APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH THIS TROUGH AND BE GUIDED TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER 24 TO 36 HOURS AND THEN MOVE INTO THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, WBAR, GFDN, AND NOGAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK ALTHOUGH SPEEDS DIFFER. NCEP GFS DEPICTS THE APPROACHING TROUGH WEAKER THAN THE OTHER MODELS AND MAINTAINS THE RIDGE LONGER, AS A RESULT THE NCEP GFS TRACKS THE SYSTEM MORE EQUATORWARD AND SLOWER THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THE JGSM MODEL DELAYS THE BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE TAKING TY 21W FURTHER WEST BEFORE RECURVING. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS IT TRACKS INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND THEN MAKES IT SLOW TURN INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR AND REDUCED UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AS IT TRANSITS THROUGH THE MID LATITUDES. D. CURRENT AND FORECASTED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 21W TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE. TY 21W WILL WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:22 2003 X-UIDL: 44553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IEF20HA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:38:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SEdHco068336 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 22:39:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jxN094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1603502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SEUllx069588 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SEUcQS024511 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SEUcnj024510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:30:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281430.h9SEUcnj024510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 54N 175E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 175E TO 55N 178E 54N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 179E TO 53N 177W 49N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 179E TO 44N 180E 32N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 61N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 133E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 133E TO 43N 136E 45N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 133E TO 37N 137E 31N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 170E 60N 180E 53N 180E 53N 175E 60N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 54N 138E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 63N 165E ENE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 137E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 151E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 120E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 42N 156E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 31N 180E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 21.9N 154.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:22 2003 X-UIDL: 44555-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IPQ345A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:02:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SF39q5072408 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:03:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62j0L094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1603800 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SEtvlx049630 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SEtmQS025189 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SEtmRE025187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 08:55:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281455.h9SEtmRE025187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 281430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/281430Z/290600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281352ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 281500Z6 TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 720 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 281500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N8 134.4E2, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 133.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PALAU. THIS AREA HAS INCREASED ORGANIZATION AND CONVECTION OVER THE LAST 06 HOURS. RECENT QUIKSCAT DATA REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS THIS CIRCULATION IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.1 TO FAIR AND UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:35 2003 X-UIDL: 44591-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IFMDZWA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:57:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SIwEq5098449 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:58:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jBX094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 12:45:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1606922 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 12:45:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SIjulx050914 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 12:45:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SIjlQS003033 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 12:45:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SIjlMJ003032 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 12:45:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 12:45:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310281845.h9SIjlMJ003032@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 281800 WARNING 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 965 HPA AT 22.7N 152.2E SOUTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 55 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 26.2N 148.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 29.0N 154.0E WITH 210 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 30.0N 160.0E WITH 300 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:39 2003 X-UIDL: 44600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IK8IEMA9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 04:32:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SKXPq5009604 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 04:33:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9PCGOh3046000; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:24:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1608373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:24:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SKOhlx040384 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:24:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SKOYQS006135 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:24:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SKOYWO006133 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:24:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:24:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 034 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310282024.h9SKOYWO006133@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 282100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- NEAR 22.6N0 152.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 152.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 23.9N4 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.6N3 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.3N2 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.0N1 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 31.3N7 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 28 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 33.1N7 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION NEAR 22.9N3 151.5E2. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 830 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN POLEWARD OUTFLOW OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4, 290900Z0, 291500Z7 AND 292100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:40 2003 X-UIDL: 44601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00IYIIN1A9@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 04:37:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SKcUco007151 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 04:38:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SHi26p024918; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:28:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1608430 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:27:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SKRllx049334 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:27:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9SKRcQS006223 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:27:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9SKRcKR006222 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:27:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 14:27:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310282027.h9SKRcKR006222@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 56N 176E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 176E TO 56N 178E 56N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 180E TO 53N 175W 50N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 180E TO 44N 178W 37N 179E 31N 172E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 850 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 42N 134E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 134E TO 43N 136E 43N 138E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 138E TO 44N 143E 42N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 138E TO 41N 141E 37N 139E 31N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 650 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 58N 145E ENE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 12N 136E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 121E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 41N 161E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 965 HPA AT 22.7N 152.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:44 2003 X-UIDL: 44617-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00M51UN558@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:57:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T0vkco032246 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:57:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9S62jVB094488; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 18:48:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1612801 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 18:48:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T0m7lx055272 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 18:48:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T0lwQS011916 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 18:47:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T0lwL7011915 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 18:47:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 18:47:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290047.h9T0lwL7011915@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 290000 WARNING 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 955 HPA AT 23.0N 150.4E WEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 25.9N 149.2E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 28.5N 155.5E WITH 210 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 31.0N 167.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:46 2003 X-UIDL: 44626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNH00M1JZTI58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 10:48:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T2nXq5047985 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 10:49:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T1p0n7094490; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:29:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1614156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:29:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T2TDlx072428 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:29:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T2RJQS013299 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:27:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T2RJaU013298 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:27:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:27:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290227.h9T2RJaU013298@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 42N 136E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 136E TO 43N 142E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 142E TO 40N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 142E TO 32N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 176W TO 35N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 176W TO 33N 180E 29N 172E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 46N 165W MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 58N 175E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 13N 112E 18N 111E 21N 120E 17N 124E 14N 119E 13N 112E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 149E 44N 146E 47N 152E 51N 157E 44N 162E 40N 156E 41N 149E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13N 132E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 58N 148E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 34N 122E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 43N 162E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 955 HPA AT 23.0N 150.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:46 2003 X-UIDL: 44627-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MEC08X58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 10:58:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T2wnq5048972 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 10:58:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T1p0nl094490; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:55:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1614449 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:55:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T2t6lx081840 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:55:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T2svQS013615 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:54:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T2svKe013614 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:54:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:54:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290254.h9T2svKe013614@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 35// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 290000Z1 OCT TO 020000Z2 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 925 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. LATEST MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 15 NM EYE. B. TY 21W CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. AN APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST CONTINUES TO MIGRATE EASTWARD AND HAS BEGAN TO MODIFY AND WEAKEN THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. WITH THE INFLUENCE OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH, TY 21W HAS STARTED TO VEER TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. BY THE 12 HOUR TAU, TY 21W WILL CROSS THE RIDGE AXIS AND START ITS JOURNEY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND WILL BEGIN INTEGRATING WITH THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, WBAR, NCEP GFS, AND NOGAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK WITH AVN BEING THE SLOW OUTLIER FOR SPEED. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UP TO THE 12 TO 18 HOUR TAU AS IT MAKES A SLOW TURN AROUND THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AXIS. 12 TO 15 HOURS AFTER PASSING THE RIDGE AXIS, TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT AND ENCOUNTERING A HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. TY 21W WILL BEGIN ITS EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AT THE 48 HOUR TAU AND WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS A HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT AND FORECASTED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 21W TO COMPLETE EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 96 HOUR TAU. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/CHITWOOD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 12:18:47 2003 X-UIDL: 44628-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MHI09W58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 10:58:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T2xOq5049024 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 10:59:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T1p0nj094490; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:53:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1614433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:53:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T2rFlx095780 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:53:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T2r7QS013590 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:53:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T2r7gV013589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:53:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 20:53:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 035 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290253.h9T2r7gV013589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- NEAR 23.2N7 150.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N7 150.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.0N7 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.3N1 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.1N1 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.8N9 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 32.0N5 167.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 30 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 34.9N6 178.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION NEAR 23.6N1 150.0E6. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 925 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. LATEST MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 15 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDI TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0, 291500Z7, 292100Z4 AND 300300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 16:39:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44644-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MB484Q58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 13:48:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T5n3q5067221 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 13:49:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T1p0qp094490; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:45:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1615960 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:45:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T5iwlx025082 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:44:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T5inQS015450 for ; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:44:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T5inDP015447 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:44:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2003 23:44:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290544.h9T5inDP015447@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/290152ZOCT2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 925 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 16:39:30 2003 X-UIDL: 44650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00M7SB3V58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:52:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T6rMco071436 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:53:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61Sol067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 00:46:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1616981 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 00:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T6kFlx019202 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 00:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T6k7QS016039 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 00:46:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T6k6nV016038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 00:46:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 00:46:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290646.h9T6k6nV016038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 290600 WARNING 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 945 HPA AT 23.9N 149.4E WEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 230 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 27.9N 151.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 30.5N 159.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 30.5N 169.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 16:39:34 2003 X-UIDL: 44655-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MZQF9B58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 16:22:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T8N2q5083518 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 16:23:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61Sq1067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:14:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1617616 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:14:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T8EGlx039906 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:14:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T8E8QS016945 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:14:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T8E7W4016944 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:14:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:14:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 036 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290814.h9T8E7W4016944@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 290900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- NEAR 23.7N2 149.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N2 149.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 25.5N2 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.1N0 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.0N1 153.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.2N5 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 32.2N7 169.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 30 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 35.1N9 176.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION NEAR 24.1N7 149.3E7. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 560 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 290530Z9 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90, 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 15 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7, 292100Z4, 300300Z6 AND 300900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Oct 29 16:39:35 2003 X-UIDL: 44657-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00M5BFO958@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 16:31:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T8W1q5084519 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 16:32:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9RKTPPb034030; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:29:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1617710 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:29:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T8Tklx048682 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:29:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9T8TbQS017070 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:29:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9T8TbGU017069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:29:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 02:29:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310290829.h9T8TbGU017069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 145E HOKKAIDO MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 145E TO 42N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 145E TO 40N 145E 36N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 138E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 113E 24N 118E 27N 121E 26N 124E 18N 125E 18N 120E 16N 113E 22N 113E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 170E 49N 180E 34N 180E 34N 173E 49N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 145E 46N 152E 36N 157E 35N 145E 44N 145E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13N 131E WEST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 142E NE 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 59N 151E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 61N 175E NORTH 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 122E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 44N 161E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 945 HPA AT 23.9N 149.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:21:39 2003 X-UIDL: 44672-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00MM8RPZ58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:51:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TCqEco011137 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:52:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61Ssl067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 06:46:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1618895 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 06:46:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TCkjlx041944 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 06:46:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TCkaQS019748 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 06:46:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TCkafE019747 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 06:46:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 06:46:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 935 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291246.h9TCkafE019747@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 291200 WARNING 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 935 HPA AT 24.8N 148.9E WEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 28.5N 152.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 30.0N 160.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 30.0N 169.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:21:47 2003 X-UIDL: 44678-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00M0LWM958@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TEbvq5021647 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:37:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61Suh067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:33:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1619654 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:33:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TEXMlx057900 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:33:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TEXDQS021500 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:33:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TEXDdA021499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:33:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:33:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 037 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291433.h9TEXDdA021499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN32 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- NEAR 24.8N4 148.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 148.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.7N5 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.3N3 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.9N0 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 30.7N0 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 32.4N9 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 36.2N1 174.5W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION NEAR 25.3N0 148.9E2. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 590 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 115 AND 127 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN 18 NM EYE AND THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH WARMER CORE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z4 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4, 300300Z6, 300900Z2 AND 301500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:21:47 2003 X-UIDL: 44679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00M5GWON58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:38:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TEdNq5021809 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 22:39:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SuZ067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:28:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1619621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:28:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TESJlx051442 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TESAQS021349 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:28:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TESAtC021348 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:28:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:28:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291428.h9TESAtC021348@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 144E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 144E TO 46N 146E 44N 148E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 148E TO 41N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 148E TO 40N 148E 35N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 120E 25N 125E 18N 124E 17N 112E 21N 113E 27N 120E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 175E 46N 180E 31N 180E 35N 173E 45N 175E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 147E 46N 153E 35N 158E 36N 147E 41N 148E 45N 147E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13N 131E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 61N 151E NNE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 165E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 935 HPA AT 24.8N 148.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:21:48 2003 X-UIDL: 44683-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNI00M3BXWF58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:05:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TF5aq5024387 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:05:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SvL067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:56:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1619945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:56:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TEtxlx021796 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:55:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TEtoQS022128 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:55:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TEtoAM022127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:55:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 08:55:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291455.h9TEtoAM022127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 291500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 37// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 291200Z4 OCT TO 021200Z5 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 590 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 115 AND 127 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN 18 NM EYE AND THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED WITH WARMER CORE TEMPERATURES. B. TY 21W CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. AN APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST HAS BEGUN TO MODIFY AND WEAKEN THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. WITH THE INFLUENCE OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH, TY 21W HAS STARTED TO VEER TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND IN THE DIFFLUENT QUADRANT OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. AS A RESULT, TY 23W HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. BY THE TAU 12, TY 21W WILL CROSS THE RIDGE AXIS AND START TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD. TY 21W WILL THEN BE INFLUENCED BY THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND WILL START WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, WBAR, NCEP, GFS, AND NOGAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK WITH AVN BEING THE SLOW OUTLIER FOR SPEED. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS IT MAKES A SLOW TURN AND STEERS POLEWARD OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AXIS. AFTER CROSSING THE RIDGE AXIS, TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY DUE TO DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TY 21W WILL BEGIN ITS EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AT THE 48 HOUR TAU AND WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN MORE RAPIDLY AS IT ENCOUNTERS A HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. D. CURRENT AND FORECASTED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR TY 21W TO COMPLETE EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 96 HOUR TAU. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:00 2003 X-UIDL: 44699-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ00MCB8JG58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:54:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TItWco048763 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:55:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61S8h067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 12:47:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1623548 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 12:47:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIlllx037308 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 12:47:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TIlcQS029406 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 12:47:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TIlc21029405 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 12:47:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 12:47:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 935 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310291847.h9TIlc21029405@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 291800 WARNING 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 935 HPA AT 25.7N 149.3E WEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 28.9N 155.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 29.5N 162.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 29.5N 169.5E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:09 2003 X-UIDL: 44710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ00M7YDVG58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 04:50:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TKoiq5063173 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 04:50:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SDf067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:29:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1625046 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:29:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TKTXlx052012 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:29:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TKTOQS002897 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:29:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TKTOVB002896 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:29:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:29:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 038 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310292029.h9TKTOVB002896@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 292100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- NEAR 25.7N4 149.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 149.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.7N6 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.3N4 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.6N9 159.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 31.0N4 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 31.2N6 174.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION NEAR 26.2N0 149.6E0. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. A 291448Z8 TRMM PASS DEPICTS AN 18 NM EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6, 300900Z2, 301500Z9 AND 302100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:10 2003 X-UIDL: 44711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ00MOQE2358@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 04:54:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TKsgco062290 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 04:54:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SDh067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:30:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1625054 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:30:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TKUelx030808 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:30:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9TKUVQS002956 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:30:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9TKUVq3002955 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:30:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 14:30:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310292030.h9TKUVq3002955@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 47N 146E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 146E TO 47N 149E 44N 152E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 152E TO 41N 155E 39N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 152E TO 38N 150E 34N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 51N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 124E 18N 123E 17N 115E 23N 116E 25N 119E 23N 124E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 180E 34N 180E 35N 174E 53N 173E 54N 180E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 36N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 169E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 935 HPA AT 25.7N 149.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:17 2003 X-UIDL: 44732-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ002LLQ2YC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:13:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U1EMq5088604 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:14:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SOX067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 18:46:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1628419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 18:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U0kGlx031388 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 18:46:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U0k7QS008727 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 18:46:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U0k7n6008726 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 18:46:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 18:46:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300046.h9U0k7n6008726@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 300000 WARNING 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 940 HPA AT 26.6N 150.2E NORTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 29.4N 156.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 29.5N 166.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 27.5N 172.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:20 2003 X-UIDL: 44739-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ002UPTY9C6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:37:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U2c1q5097421 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:38:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SQd067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:30:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1629173 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:30:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U2UXlx039838 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:30:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U2UOQS009992 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:30:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U2UOwA009991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:30:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:30:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300230.h9U2UOwA009991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 48N 149E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 149E TO 47N 154E 45N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 156E TO 42N 159E 40N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 156E TO 39N 155E 34N 151E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 52N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 122E 19N 122E 18N 119E 22N 119E 22N 122E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 175E 50N 180E 32N 180E 32N 176E 50N 175E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 12.6N 129.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 148E 50N 155E 40N 164E 39N 159E 45N 154E 45N 148E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 126E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 171E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 940 HPA AT 26.6N 150.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:20 2003 X-UIDL: 44740-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ002NIUGF24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:48:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U2mvco097571 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:48:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SQh067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:42:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1629223 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:42:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U2g0lx098498 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:42:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U2fpQS010120 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:41:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U2fo8c010119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:41:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:41:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 039 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300241.h9U2fo8c010119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- NEAR 26.6N4 150.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N4 150.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.7N7 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 30.2N5 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 31.0N4 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 31.3N7 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION NEAR 27.1N0 150.8E4. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM HAS A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL. A 292314Z1 SSM/I DEPICTS EYEWALL EROSION IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE INNER EYEWALL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2, 301500Z9, 302100Z6 AND 310300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:21 2003 X-UIDL: 44742-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ00248UT8C6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:55:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U2uVco098475 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:56:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SQf067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:40:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1629211 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:40:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U2e2lx009862 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:40:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U2drQS010074 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:39:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U2drpL010071 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:39:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:39:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300239.h9U2drpL010071@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_25_50, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_25_50' WDPN32 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 39// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:21 2003 X-UIDL: 44744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ002HNUYJ24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:59:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U2xmq5099840 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 10:59:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9SNGP8l046000; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:40:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1629214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:40:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U2e2lx104864 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:40:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U2drQS010075 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:39:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U2dr2o010073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:39:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:39:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 2. Prognostic Reasoning For 300000z3 Oct To 010000z1 Nov 2003. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300239.h9U2dr2o010073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIII, Probability=16%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUBJECT_MONTH, SUBJECT_MONTH_2, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 300300 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 300000Z3 OCT TO 010000Z1 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 AND 127 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM HAS A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL. A 292314Z1 SSM/I DEPICTS EYEWALL EROSION IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE INNER EYEWALL. B. TY 21W IS GETTING SHEARED FROM THE NORTHWEST. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EAST OF JAPAN IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN, PROPAGATE WESTWARD, AND INTERACT WITH TY 21W. TY IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRA- TROPICAL SYSTEM BY 48 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, WBAR, NCEP GFS, AND NOGAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 291959Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECASTED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/RONSSE/ALLEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 12:22:21 2003 X-UIDL: 44745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNJ002Y2VDLC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:08:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U38kco099752 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 11:08:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SQj067292; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:47:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1629258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U2l1lx095146 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:47:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U2kqQS010179 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:46:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U2kqBW010178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:46:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 20:46:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300246.h9U2kqBW010178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 300330 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 300321Z OCT 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.1N7 124.6E3 TO 12.1N4 130.8E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 300000Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 129.4E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 133.9E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 129.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 515 NM EAST OF MANILA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 310330Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 16:48:52 2003 X-UIDL: 44758-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002Z32YMC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 13:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U5qdco016546 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 13:52:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJ0n057938; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:42:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1630332 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:42:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U5g2lx025424 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:42:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U5fmQS011777 for ; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:41:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U5fmi4011775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:41:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 29 Oct 2003 23:41:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300541.h9U5fmi4011775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXXXIIIIIII, Probability=57%, Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK, LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z-310600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300321ZOCT2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A/ TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 150.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 133.9E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 129.4E6, APPROXIMATELY 515 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 300330 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 16:48:59 2003 X-UIDL: 44763-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002GT5HA24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:46:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U6l0co022706 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:47:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJ2l057938; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 00:41:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1631041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 00:41:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U6fRlx009738 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 00:41:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U6fIQS012330 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 00:41:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U6fISc012329 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 00:41:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 00:41:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300641.h9U6fISc012329@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 300600 WARNING 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 945 HPA AT 27.8N 151.8E NORTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 18 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 30.0N 161.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 30.5N 171.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 32.5N 180.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 16:49:09 2003 X-UIDL: 44769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002AI9ECC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:11:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8Beq5033200 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:11:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SWd067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:04:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1631844 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:04:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U84llx029148 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:04:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U84YQS013063 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:04:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U84YUe013062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:04:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:04:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 040 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300804.h9U84YUe013062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 300900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- NEAR 27.8N7 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.8N7 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.7N8 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 31.6N0 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 32.5N0 166.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 33.3N9 172.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 35.5N3 177.5W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION NEAR 28.3N3 152.7E5. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 975 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNI- FICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9, 302100Z6, 310300Z7 AND 310900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 16:49:13 2003 X-UIDL: 44772-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK0021NAEPC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:32:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8XOq5035669 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:33:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SWp067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:27:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1631977 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:27:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8RDlx045468 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:27:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U8R4QS013238 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:27:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U8R4HC013237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:27:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:27:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300827.h9U8R4HC013237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 50N 152E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 152E TO 46N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 158E TO 39N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 158E TO 34N 151E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 52N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 12.9N 129.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 15.0N 126.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 153E 51N 157E 40N 169E 38N 162E 42N 156E 48N 153E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 38N 130E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 42N 174E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 945 HPA AT 27.8N 151.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 17:14:50 2003 X-UIDL: 44777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK0021QB9S24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:51:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8q8co036936 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 16:52:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SX9067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:47:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1632067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:47:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8lOlx045920 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:47:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U8lFQS013384 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:47:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U8lFCL013383 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:47:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 02:47:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300847.h9U8lFCL013383@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 300900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300321ZOCT2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- NEAR 12.9N2 128.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 128.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 13.7N1 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 14.7N2 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 15.7N3 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.2N0 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 20.4N6 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.1N5 128.4E5. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 24W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 300530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. MAX- IMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 300321Z OCT 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 300330 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9, 302100Z6, 310300Z7 AND 310900Z3. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 21:16:41 2003 X-UIDL: 44783-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002Z5D5924@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:31:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U9Wcq5042612 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 17:32:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8Slm5038806; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1632289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U9QLlx077464 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9U9QCQS013878 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9U9QCbW013876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 03:26:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310300926.h9U9QCbW013876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 301000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/301000Z-310600ZOCT2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300152ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/300751ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N4 150.1E7, APPROXIMATELY 490 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 300600Z9, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 24w, WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N2 128.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 300900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6N9 129.4E6 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED TCFA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS. ADDED PARA 1.A.(2). FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 21:17:13 2003 X-UIDL: 44799-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002DHMUR24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:01:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UD2Hco064127 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:02:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SZP067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 06:44:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1633174 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 06:44:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UCiclx095016 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 06:44:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UCeiQS015463 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 06:40:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UCeiVp015462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 06:40:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 06:40:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301240.h9UCeiVp015462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 301200 WARNING 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 955 HPA AT 28.9N 154.3E NORTH OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 24 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 220 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 30.8N 164.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 31.0N 174.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 34.0N 178.0W WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Oct 30 21:17:13 2003 X-UIDL: 44800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002N2N5O24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:08:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UD8rq5066369 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:08:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SZr067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:03:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1633410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:03:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UD3Olx065580 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:03:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UD3FQS015752 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:03:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UD3FF2015751 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:03:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 07:03:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301303.h9UD3FF2015751@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 301200 WARNING 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA AT 13.1N 128.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 16.3N 124.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 19.0N 121.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 20.5N 119.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:21 2003 X-UIDL: 44808-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002VDQTT24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:27:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UES7q5074656 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:28:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8SloL038806; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1634131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UEMPlx037430 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UEMGQS017059 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UEMFeY017057 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301422.h9UEMFeY017057@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 301500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 41// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 301200Z6 OCT TO 021200Z5 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 905 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 115 KNOTS. B. TY 21W HAS CROSSED THE RIDGE AXIS AND IS NOW RAPIDLY WEAKENING UNDER WESTERLY-NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM BY 36 HOURS. RECENT AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, WBAR, NCEP GFS, AND NOGAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A TIME EXTRAPOLATION OF THE 300600Z9 WARNING AND THE DYNAMIC AID SET. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. D. CURRENT AND FORECASTED WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. NO WIND RADII ARE GIVEN FOR EXTRATROPICAL POSITIONS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:26 2003 X-UIDL: 44809-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK0029FR8524@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:36:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UEaico074321 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:36:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJ6X057938; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:31:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1634217 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UEV7lx079414 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:31:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UEUwQS017272 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:30:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UEUwfx017271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:30:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:30:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301430.h9UEUwfx017271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 51N 154E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 154E TO 47N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 160E TO 40N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 160E TO 34N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 55N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 160E 49N 156E 51N 158E 42N 170E 40N 165E 41N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 158E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 171E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 136E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 35N 174E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 955 HPA AT 28.9N 154.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 996 HPA AT 13.1N 128.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002ADR8TC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:36:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UEbAco074384 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 22:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61Sbv067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1634128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UEMPlx079406 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UEMGQS017058 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UEMF4o017056 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 08:22:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 041 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301422.h9UEMF4o017056@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 301500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- NEAR 28.9N9 153.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 28.9N9 153.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 30.5N8 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 32.0N5 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 32.8N3 168.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 33.6N2 174.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 37.4N4 173.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION NEAR 29.3N4 155.0E1. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 905 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 115 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNI- FICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6, 310300Z7, 310900Z3 AND 311500Z0. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:27 2003 X-UIDL: 44811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK0022QTEX24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UFO2co080386 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:24:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SdR067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:17:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1634777 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:17:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UFHalx051424 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:17:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UFHRQS018654 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:17:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UFHRUi018653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:17:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:17:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 24w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301517.h9UFHRUi018653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 301500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W/ WARNING NR 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 301200Z6 OCT TO 041200Z7 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. B. TS 24W IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ITS PERIPHERY RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT DUE TO THE FACT THAT MOST OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS HAVE YET TO INITIALIZE ON THE SYSTEM. BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, GFS HAS THE BEST HANDLE ON THIS SYSTEM. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH EMPHASIS ON GFS. C. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT UNTIL IT IMPACTS LUZON. THEREAFTER THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WITH COLD DRY AIR ADVECTED EQUATORWARD BY A HIGH OVER SOUTHERN CHINA. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:28 2003 X-UIDL: 44813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK0025BTGZC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:24:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UFPGco080519 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:25:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9T61SdL067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:16:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1634755 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:16:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UFGVlx104756 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:16:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UFGMQS018611 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:16:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UFGMPx018610 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:16:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:16:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301516.h9UFGMPx018610@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 301500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- NEAR 13.3N7 127.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 127.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 14.2N7 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 15.3N9 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 16.7N4 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.3N2 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 20.7N9 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.2N6 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION NEAR 13.5N9 127.5E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6, 310300Z7, 310900Z3 AND 311500Z0. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:29 2003 X-UIDL: 44814-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNK002SEU1IC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:36:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UFbYco082018 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:37:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJ89057938; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:25:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1634922 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:25:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UFPZlx049190 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:25:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UFPQQS018951 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:25:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UFPQSG018950 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:25:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 09:25:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 24w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301525.h9UFPQSG018950@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 301500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W/ WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 301200Z6 OCT TO 041200Z7 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. B. TS 24W IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS ITS PERIPHERY RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT DUE TO THE FACT THAT MOST OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS HAVE YET TO INITIALIZE ON THE SYSTEM. BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, GFS HAS THE BEST HANDLE ON THIS SYSTEM. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS, WITH EMPHASIS ON GFS. C. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT UNTIL IT IMPACTS LUZON. THEREAFTER THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WITH COLD DRY AIR ADVECTED EQUATORWARD BY A HIGH OVER SOUTHERN CHINA. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:40 2003 X-UIDL: 44838-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL002CO3I224@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:01:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UJ1sq5005285 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:01:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8SlDT038806; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 12:47:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1641759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 12:47:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UIlllx104826 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 12:47:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UIlcQS025278 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 12:47:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UIlctL025277 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 12:47:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 12:47:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0318 Parma (0318) 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301847.h9UIlctL025277@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 301800 WARNING 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 965 HPA AT 29.6N 157.4E NORTHEAST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 27 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 31.9N 170.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 33.0N 179.5E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 35.5N 173.0W WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:42 2003 X-UIDL: 44840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL0027H4BE24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:18:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UJJVco008088 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 03:19:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHii7L051366; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 13:02:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1642012 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 13:02:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UJ24lx024662 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 13:02:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UJ1tQS025747 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 13:01:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UJ1tMf025746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 13:01:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 13:01:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310301901.h9UJ1tMf025746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 301800 WARNING 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 996 HPA AT 13.9N 127.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 16.4N 123.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 18.5N 118.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 18.5N 116.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:45 2003 X-UIDL: 44846-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL0023B8AIC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:44:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UKjMq5016480 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:45:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi64n067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:30:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1643458 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:30:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UKUClx008434 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:30:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UKU3QS028551 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:30:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UKU3ka028550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:30:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:30:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310302030.h9UKU3ka028550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 52N 155E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 155E TO 49N 160E 47N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 162E TO 44N 166E 40N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 162E TO 39N 163E 34N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 53N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 158E 42N 171E 38N 163E 47N 159E 50N 158E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 156E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 137E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 33N 176E SE 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 965 HPA AT 29.6N 157.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 996 HPA AT 13.9N 127.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:45 2003 X-UIDL: 44847-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL002CI8DX24@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:46:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UKlRco017472 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:47:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJWJ057938; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:39:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1643604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:39:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UKdBlx008282 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:39:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UKd2QS028807 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:39:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UKd2w9028806 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:39:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:39:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310302039.h9UKd2w9028806@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 302100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 14.0N5 126.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 126.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.2N8 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 16.6N3 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.1N0 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 19.1N1 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 19.9N9 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 20.0N2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.3N8 126.3E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. A 301705Z6 TRMM PASS AND ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7, 310900Z3, 311500Z0 AND 312100Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:46 2003 X-UIDL: 44849-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL002MD8N924@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:52:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UKr2co017905 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 04:53:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi64v067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:33:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1643511 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:33:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UKXGlx035878 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:33:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9UKX7QS028654 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:33:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9UKX7DP028653 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:33:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 14:33:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Northwestpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310302033.h9UKX7DP028653@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 302100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 29.7N8 156.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 29.7N8 156.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.9N2 162.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 31.8N2 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 31 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 32.7N2 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 33.7N3 176.3W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION NEAR 30.0N3 158.2E6. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 825 NM NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7, 310900Z3, 311500Z0 AND 312100Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:50 2003 X-UIDL: 44864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL00260IXJC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:34:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V0ZCq5038029 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:35:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6CT067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:17:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1646118 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:17:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V0H6lx104800 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:17:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V0GvQS003979 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:16:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V0Gvk2003978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:16:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:16:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 003a Amended Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310016.h9V0Gvk2003978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 302100 AMD MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 003A AMENDED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 14.0N5 126.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 126.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 15.2N8 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 16.6N3 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 18.1N0 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 19.1N1 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 19.9N9 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 20.0N2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.3N8 126.3E2. THE WARNING HAS BEEN AMENDED BASED ON IMPROVED OUTFLOW CONDITIONS OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID INTENSIFICATION. THE INTENSITY FORECAST REFLECTS A RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF 1.5 DVORAK NUMBER PER DAY FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL ENHANCE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7, 310900Z3, 311500Z0 AND 312100Z7. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:51 2003 X-UIDL: 44866-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL0021GK7OC6@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 09:02:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V12rq5040789 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 09:02:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6DD067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:50:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1646485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:50:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V0o3lx092396 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:50:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V0noQS004295 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:49:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V0nou6004294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:49:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 18:49:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) Downgraded From Typhoon 975 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310049.h9V0nou6004294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 310000 WARNING 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975 HPA AT 30.7N 159.8E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 23 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 33.2N 172.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 35.0N 178.0W WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 10:26:52 2003 X-UIDL: 44869-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL006F9LUH58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 09:37:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V1c9co045577 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 09:38:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9U8SlL1038806; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 19:10:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1646736 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 19:10:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V1Aelx043858 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 19:10:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V1APQS004545 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 19:10:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V1AP6X004544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 19:10:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 19:10:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310110.h9V1AP6X004544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 310000 WARNING 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 990 HPA AT 14.5N 126.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 16.5N 122.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 18.0N 118.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 18.0N 115.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 12:09:39 2003 X-UIDL: 44883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL006DHP3UBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:47:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V2mWq5052256 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:48:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6GT067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:30:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1647543 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:30:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V2Uklx015552 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:30:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V2UbQS005504 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:30:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V2Ubr2005503 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:30:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:30:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310230.h9V2Ubr2005503@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 310000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 52N 156E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 52N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 40N 169E 38N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 168E TO 38N 165E 35N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 165E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 37N 176E 39N 166E 43N 167E 49N 165E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 141E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 975 HPA AT 30.7N 159.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 990 HPA AT 14.5N 126.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 12:09:40 2003 X-UIDL: 44885-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL0068IPCV58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:53:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V2s1q5052914 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:54:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9TIuJdl057938; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:44:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1647693 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:44:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V2i7lx085018 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:44:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V2hwQS005602 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:43:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V2hwW3005601 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:43:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:43:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 21w (parma) Warning Nr 043 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310243.h9V2hwW3005601@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 310300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- NEAR 30.5N8 159.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 159.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 31.8N2 166.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 32.8N3 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 33.8N4 179.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 35.4N2 172.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION NEAR 30.8N1 161.1E9. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM NORTH- NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPOSED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3, 311500Z0, 312100Z7 AND 010300Z4. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 12:09:40 2003 X-UIDL: 44886-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL006LFPI458@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:56:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V2v7co055020 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 10:57:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6Gf067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:36:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1647603 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:36:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V2aDlx085138 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:36:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V2a4QS005543 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:36:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V2a4a7005542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:36:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 20:36:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310236.h9V2a4a7005542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 310300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- NEAR 14.6N1 126.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 126.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 15.7N3 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.3N1 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.7N6 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 19.2N2 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 19.7N7 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 19.8N8 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.9N9 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION NEAR 14.9N4 125.7E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW0 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3, 311500Z0, 312100Z7 AND 010300Z4. REFER TO TYPHOON 21W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 12:09:41 2003 X-UIDL: 44889-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL006V2PYZBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:06:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V37Hq5054440 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:07:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6Hh067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:00:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1647882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:00:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V30Rlx064760 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:00:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V30IQS005743 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:00:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V30IxO005742 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:00:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:00:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 21w (parma)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310300.h9V30IxO005742@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN32 PGTW 310300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA)/ WARNING NR 43// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 310000Z4 OCT TO 020000Z2 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPOSED ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TY 21W HAS CROSSED THE RIDGE AXIS AND IS NOW DECOUPLED FROM THE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION. TY 21W IS EXPECTED COMPLETE EXTRA- TROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, WBAR, NCEP GFS, AND NOGAPS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 21W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. NO WIND RADII ARE GIVEN FOR EXTRATROPICAL POSITIONS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/RONSSE/ALLEN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 12:09:42 2003 X-UIDL: 44890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL00614Q2XBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:08:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V39cq5054806 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 11:09:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6Ht067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:05:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1647954 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:05:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V35Wlx103806 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:05:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V35NQS005800 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:05:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V35NYw005799 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:05:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 21:05:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 24w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310305.h9V35NYw005799@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 310300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W/ WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 310000Z4 OCT TO 050000Z5 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. B. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER THAT, TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTH- EASTERN CHINA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, AND NOGAPS, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. COAMPS AND GFDN TRACK THE SYSTEM MORE WESTWARD, KEEPING THE SYSTEM WEAKER. NCEP GFS WEAKENS THE STEERING RIDGE BY 48 HOURS AND TRACKS THE SYSTEM POLEWARD BY 72 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS. C. POLEWARD OUTFLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT, THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF A BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 312110Z8 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD IN OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THIS RIDGE AND WEAKEN BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/RONSSE/ALLEN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 14:48:55 2003 X-UIDL: 44902-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNL0062PWJP58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 13:28:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V5TGco071428 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 13:29:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6LD067292; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1649258 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V5Nelx044900 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V5NVQS007043 for ; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V5NVbB007040 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 30 Oct 2003 23:23:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310523.h9V5NVbB007040@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZOCT2003-010600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310152ZOCT2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310151ZOCT2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310600Z0, TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PARMA), WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N8 159.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 775 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 300300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 310600Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 126.1E0, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF MANILA, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 310300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 16:35:12 2003 X-UIDL: 44914-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006RE0JH58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:54:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V6tYco081409 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:55:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6O1067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 00:50:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1649991 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 00:50:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V6oJlx069462 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 00:50:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V6o9QS007898 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 00:50:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V6o9o5007897 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 00:50:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 00:50:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310650.h9V6o9o5007897@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 310600 WARNING 310600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 980 HPA AT 15.3N 124.8E EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 17.5N 121.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 19.5N 119.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 20.0N 118.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 16:35:14 2003 X-UIDL: 44917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006VT1EUBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 15:13:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V7EOq5080623 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 15:14:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6OF067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:10:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1650072 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:10:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V7Aolx104782 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:10:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V7AfQS008070 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:10:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V7AfDV008069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:10:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 01:10:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0318 Parma (0318) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310710.h9V7AfDV008069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP22 RJTD 310600 WARNING 310600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 980 HPA AT 31.3N 163.5E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 32 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 33.4N 177.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 16:35:18 2003 X-UIDL: 44928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM0068Q4Z4BM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 16:30:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V8VLco092240 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 16:31:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6PF067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:27:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1650569 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:27:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V8Rqlx043808 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:27:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V8RhQS008763 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:27:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V8Rhkw008762 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:27:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:27:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310827.h9V8Rhkw008762@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 310600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 52N 159E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 55N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 42N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 170E TO 41N 172E 38N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 170E TO 39N 168E 36N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 170E 48N 170E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 38N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 38N 145E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 980 HPA AT 15.3N 124.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 980 HPA AT 31.3N 163.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 23N 157E TO 26N 160E 29N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 165E TO 31N 167E 30N 169E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Oct 31 16:42:37 2003 X-UIDL: 44930-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006045C758@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 16:38:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V8dDq5090006 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 16:39:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6PR067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:35:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1650631 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:35:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9V8Zslx104948 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:35:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9V8ZjQS008857 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:35:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9V8Zio9008856 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:35:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 02:35:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 21w (parma) Warning Nr 044 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310310835.h9V8Zio9008856@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN32 PGTW 310900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (PARMA) WARNING NR 044 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 21W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- NEAR 31.4N8 163.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 32 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 31.4N8 163.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 32.7N2 170.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 34.1N8 177.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 35.4N2 176.9W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION NEAR 31.7N1 164.9E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PARMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 750 NM NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 32 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 310530Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS COMPLETELY EXTRATROPICAL. MAXIMUM SIGNI- FICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:29:45 2003 X-UIDL: 44947-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006LGGVF58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:47:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VCmMco018232 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:48:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6RH067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 06:42:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1651966 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 06:42:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VCgVlx077368 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 06:42:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VCgMQS010998 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 06:42:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VCgMq6010997 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 06:42:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 06:42:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311242.h9VCgMq6010997@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 311200 WARNING 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 980 HPA AT 15.6N 124.0E EAST OF LUZON MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 18.2N 121.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 19.5N 119.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 19.5N 118.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:29:50 2003 X-UIDL: 44952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006C7LTA58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:34:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VEZ5q5023235 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:35:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6Uh067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:27:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1653360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VERvlx059694 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VERmQS012502 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:27:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VERm9w012501 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:27:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:27:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311427.h9VERm9w012501@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 311200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0318 PARMA (0318) 986 HPA AT 33N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 169E TO 32N 172E 30N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 169E TO 27N 165E 23N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 35N 179W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 52N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 53N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 59N 152E GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 43N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 42N 175E 39N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 172E TO 40N 172E 37N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 35N 180E 37N 172E 43N 175E 52N 170E 55N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 146E ENE 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 980 HPA AT 15.6N 124.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:29:50 2003 X-UIDL: 44953-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM006BVM93BM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:43:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VEiYco029268 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:44:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6V1067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:40:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1653502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:40:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VEe4lx021940 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:40:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VEdtQS012770 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:39:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VEdtFU012769 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:39:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:39:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 24w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311439.h9VEdtFU012769@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 311500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 24W/ WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 311200Z7 OCT TO 051200Z8 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 311112Z9 SSM/I PASS INDICATES THE FORMA- TION OF LARGE 45 NM IRREGULAR EYE. B. TY 24W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER THAT, TY 24W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY AND TURN TO THE WEST AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, COAMPS, AFWA MM5, AND NOGAPS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. COAMPS IS THE SINGLE OUTLIER WITH A WESTWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS MINUS COAMPS. C. POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS HELPED INTENSIFY TY 24W OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, INTERACTION WITH LUZON IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY UNDERNEATH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 310941Z8 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR A MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD IN OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. TY 24W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THIS RIDGE AND WEAKEN BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:29:50 2003 X-UIDL: 44954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM0067EMQD58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:54:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VEsuq5025364 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 22:54:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9UHi6Ul067292; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:32:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1653419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:32:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VEVxlx077292 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:31:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VEVoQS012614 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:31:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VEVo7X012613 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:31:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 08:31:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 24w (melor) Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311431.h9VEVo7X012613@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 311500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 24W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- NEAR 15.8N4 123.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 123.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 17.3N1 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 18.5N4 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 19.6N6 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 20.4N6 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 20.9N1 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 20.7N9 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.4N6 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.2N9 123.4E0. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 311112Z9 SSM/I PASS INDICATES THE FORMATION OF LARGE 45 NM IRREGULAR EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z7 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7, 010300Z4, 010900Z0 AND 011500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:30:45 2003 X-UIDL: 44977-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNM00688XSN58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:53:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VIrtco055486 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:53:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNr3104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 12:45:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1657107 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 12:45:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VIjvlx104080 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 12:45:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VIjnQS019861 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 12:45:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VIjn7d019859 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 12:45:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 12:45:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310311845.h9VIjn7d019859@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 311800 WARNING 311800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 975 HPA AT 16.3N 122.8E EAST OF LUZON MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 17.9N 120.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 18.5N 118.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 18.5N 115.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:30:56 2003 X-UIDL: 44987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN006NY2XIBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 04:44:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VKinco070452 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 04:44:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNwF104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:38:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1658585 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:38:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VKcNlx037290 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:38:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VKcAQS022889 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:38:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VKcArg022888 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:38:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:38:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 24w (melor) Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310312038.h9VKcArg022888@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 312100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- NEAR 16.3N0 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 17.5N3 121.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.5N4 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 19.3N3 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 19.9N9 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 20.2N4 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 20.5N7 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.8N0 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 312100Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 122.5E0. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 311730Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z3 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4, 010900Z0, 011500Z7 AND 012100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:30:57 2003 X-UIDL: 44988-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN006Z12ZW58@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 04:45:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VKkGco070614 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 04:46:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNvx104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:32:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1658517 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:32:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VKWPlx047372 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:32:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9VKWGQS022714 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:32:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9VKWFT1022713 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:32:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 14:32:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310312032.h9VKWFT1022713@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 311800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 33N 170E NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 170E TO 33N 171E 32N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 172E TO 29N 173E 27N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 172E TO 28N 169E 24N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 36N 175W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 45N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 175E TO 44N 175E 43N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 176E TO 41N 177E 38N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 176E TO 40N 174E 38N 172E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 52N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 53N 163E MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 58N 153E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 175E 45N 175E 60N 171E 60N 180E 40N 180E 40N 175E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 149E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 975 HPA AT 16.3N 122.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:06 2003 X-UIDL: 45000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN006PQEGZBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:53:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA10s8co093799 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:54:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHfAxH047158; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 18:49:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1662007 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 18:49:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA10nllx043870 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 18:49:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA10ncQS027407 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 18:49:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA10nYXB027406 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 18:49:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 18:49:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010049.hA10nYXB027406@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 010000 WARNING 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 980 HPA AT 16.9N 122.6E LUZON MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 18.5N 121.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 19.5N 119.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 19.5N 116.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:07 2003 X-UIDL: 45002-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN0066EHDGBM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:56:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA11ulq5096836 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:56:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcN87104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 19:52:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1662474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 19:52:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA11q0lx041896 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 19:52:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA11ppQS027946 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 19:51:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA11poVG027945 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 19:51:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 19:51:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 24w (melor) Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010151.hA11poVG027945@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 010300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- NEAR 16.8N5 122.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 122.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 17.8N6 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 18.6N5 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 19.2N2 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 19.5N5 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 19.5N5 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 19.2N2 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 122.0E5. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 312330Z2 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 312346Z9 SSMI SATELLITE PASS INDICATES TY 24W HAS A 15 NM IRREGULAR EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0, 011500Z7, 012100Z4 AND 020300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:12 2003 X-UIDL: 45009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00ABHJ4H22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:33:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA12YSq5000315 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:34:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcN8f104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:30:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1662653 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:30:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA12Urlx027264 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:30:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA12UiQS028265 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:30:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA12UiSQ028264 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:30:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:30:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 24w Melor/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010230.hA12UiSQ028264@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 010300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 24W MELOR/ WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 010000Z1 NOV TO 050000Z5 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 312330Z2 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 312346Z9 SSMI SATELLITE PASS INDICATES TY 24W HAS A 15 NM IRREGULAR EYE. B. TY 24W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER THAT, TY 24W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY TOWARDS THE WEST AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS, AND NOGAPS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS. C. INTENSITY WILL SLIGHTLY DECREASE DUE TO THE SYSTEM'S INTERACTION WITH LUZON. BY TAU 24, TY 24W WILL SLIGHTLY RE-INTENSIFY BY TRACKING UNDERNEATH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED FORECAST CALLS FOR A LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO BUILD IN OVER SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. TY 24W WILL TRACK WESTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THIS RIDGE AND ENCOUNTER DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. BY TAU 96, TY 24W IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL OVER SOUTHEAST CHINA. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:12 2003 X-UIDL: 45010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00AMOJAA22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:37:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA12c6co003350 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 10:38:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHfA0T047158; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:33:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1662698 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:33:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA12Wwlx030150 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:32:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA12WnQS028293 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:32:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA12WnsG028292 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:32:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 20:32:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010232.hA12WnsG028292@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 34N 173E NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 34N 173E TO 35N 174E 35N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 175E TO 35N 179E 33N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 175E TO 28N 173E 23N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 37N 175W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 43N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 179E TO 43N 180E 43N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 179W TO 42N 177W 40N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 179W TO 40N 179E 37N 176E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 53N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 47N 175E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 157E 53N 146E 57N 148E 56N 156E 51N 157E 50N 166E 44N 157E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 171E 60N 167E 60N 180E 49N 180E 51N 171E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 60N 150E NNW 10 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 164E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 38N 152E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 980 HPA AT 16.9N 122.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:17 2003 X-UIDL: 45018-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00AF8QQT22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:18:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA15JAq5015906 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:19:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNA9104946; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1663461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA15Eblx088010 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA15ERQS029544 for ; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA15ERee029542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 31 Oct 2003 23:14:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010514.hA15ERee029542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z-020600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010151ZNOV2003// NARR/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR) WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MANILA AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:27 2003 X-UIDL: 45025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00AR4V1F22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 14:51:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA16pmq5026469 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 14:51:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNCB104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 00:48:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1664036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 00:48:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA16mRlx041788 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 00:48:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA16mHQS000200 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 00:48:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA16mHYK000199 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 00:48:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 00:48:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010648.hA16mHYK000199@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 010600 WARNING 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 985 HPA AT 17.5N 121.8E LUZON MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 18.5N 119.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 19.0N 118.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 18.5N 115.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:30 2003 X-UIDL: 45030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00A4NZU122@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:34:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA18ZWq5035407 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:35:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNCj104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:29:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1664496 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:29:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA18Tnlx050940 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:29:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA18TeQS000896 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:29:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA18TeKF000895 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:29:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:29:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010829.hA18TeKF000895@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 35N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 176E TO 35N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 178E TO 34N 180E 32N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 178E TO 32N 179E 27N 174E 23N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 38N 172W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 46N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 156E 54N 160E 48N 170E 40N 170E 42N 160E 50N 156E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 49N 180E 48N 169E 55N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 148E NNW 10 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 164E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 155E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 985 HPA AT 17.5N 121.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:30 2003 X-UIDL: 45031-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNN00AHNZZY22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:38:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA18d6q5035754 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 16:39:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNCn104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:36:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1664516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:36:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA18aolx027942 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:36:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA18afQS000974 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:36:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA18af9U000973 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:36:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 02:36:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 24w (melor) Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311010836.hA18af9U000973@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 010900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- NEAR 17.2N0 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 18.1N0 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 18.8N7 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 19.4N4 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 19.8N8 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 20.1N3 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 20.0N2 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.4N2 121.7E1. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 010530Z9 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED AS TY 24W MOVES OVER LUZON, HOWEVER THE SYSTEM MAINTAINS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVEHEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7, 012100Z4, 020300Z5 AND 020900Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:38 2003 X-UIDL: 45046-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00AFSBON22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:50:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1CpUq5055343 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:51:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA12XBAr065772; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 06:47:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1665715 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 06:47:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1ClYlx077128 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 06:47:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1ClPQS003335 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 06:47:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1ClPKm003334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 06:47:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 06:47:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) Downgraded From Severe Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011247.hA1ClPKm003334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 011200 WARNING 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 996 HPA AT 18.5N 121.3E LUZON MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 19.5N 120.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 19.5N 118.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 20.0N 115.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45049-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00AN0GKS22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 22:36:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1EbBq5063294 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 22:37:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNFv104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:25:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1666339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:25:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1EPplx036450 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:25:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1EPgQS004142 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:25:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1EPgmg004141 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:25:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:25:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 24w (melor) Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011425.hA1EPgmg004141@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 011500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- NEAR 18.6N5 121.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 121.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 19.6N6 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 20.2N4 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 20.5N7 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 20.8N0 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 21.0N3 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.9N1 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.9N8 120.7E0. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY 24W IS MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF LUZON AND REORGANIZING. ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4, 020300Z5, 020900Z1 AND 021500Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45050-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00A28GUF22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 22:42:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Eh0q5063792 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 22:43:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNFx104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:28:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1666351 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1ESmlx045398 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:28:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1ESdQS004162 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:28:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1ESdPY004161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:28:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 08:28:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011428.hA1ESdPY004161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 35N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 179E TO 34N 178W 32N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 178W TO 30N 177W 28N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 178W TO 27N 178E 23N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 38N 170W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 49N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 155E 54N 160E 51N 168E 42N 175E 38N 171E 43N 162E 48N 155E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 139E 56N 137E 59N 143E 54N 147E 54N 139E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 162E 60N 165E 60N 180E 50N 180E 55N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 60N 145E NNW 10 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 166E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 156E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 996 HPA AT 18.5N 121.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:42 2003 X-UIDL: 45052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00A9THY922@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:06:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1F6rq5065549 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:06:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNG5104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:01:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1666488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:01:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1F1Ulx043964 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:01:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1F1LQS004486 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:01:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1F1L9e004485 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:01:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 09:01:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 24w (melor) Warning Nr 010a Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011501.hA1F1L9e004485@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 011500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 010A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- NEAR 18.6N5 121.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 121.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 19.6N6 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 20.2N4 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 20.5N7 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 20.8N0 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 21.0N3 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 20.9N1 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.9N8 120.7E0. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011130Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. TY 24W IS MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF LUZON AND REORGANIZING. ANIMATED ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4, 020300Z5, 020900Z1 AND 021500Z8. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADJUSTED MAX SUSTAINED WINDS AND GUSTS AT TAU 00 TO READ 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:46 2003 X-UIDL: 45060-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00ATUSDK22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:51:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Iq3q5083380 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:52:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNIt104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 12:49:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1667977 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 12:49:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1InFlx038510 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 12:49:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1In6QS006837 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 12:49:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1In6u6006836 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 12:49:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 12:49:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011849.hA1In6u6006836@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 011800 WARNING 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 992 HPA AT 19.5N 121.0E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 20.7N 119.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 20.5N 118.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 21.5N 115.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:48 2003 X-UIDL: 45066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00AVTVMK22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 04:01:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1K2Gco097120 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 04:02:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNKJ104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:56:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1668513 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:56:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1Juplx101826 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:56:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1JugQS007325 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:56:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1Jugml007324 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:56:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 13:56:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 24w (melor) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311011956.hA1Jugml007324@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 012100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- NEAR 19.5N5 120.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 120.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 20.8N0 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 21.6N9 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 22.2N6 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 22.8N2 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.1N7 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.8N8 120.7E0. TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM NORTH OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND CURRENT 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A SLIGHT DECREASE IN OUTFLOW OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5, 020900Z1, 021500Z8 AND 022100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:48 2003 X-UIDL: 45067-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNO00ARYX1E22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 04:32:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1KWkq5092286 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 04:32:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHfA7V047158; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 14:27:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1668816 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 14:27:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1KRklx077186 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 14:27:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA1KRaQS007604 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 14:27:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA1KRaWi007603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 14:27:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 14:27:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311012027.hA1KRaWi007603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 50N 178E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 157E 56N 163E 45N 172E 41N 180E 30N 180E 32N 175E 40N 170E 46N 162E 51N 157E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 140E 39N 142E 39N 148E 34N 145E 35N 140E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 56N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 49N 180E 52N 168E 56N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 118E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 158E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 992 HPA AT 19.5N 121.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 118E TO 47N 122E 46N 125E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 118E TO 44N 119E 41N 117E 39N 110E 38N 104E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 46N 125E TO 47N 132E 47N 137E 46N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:52 2003 X-UIDL: 45075-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00A1B97H22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:54:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA20tbhx011743 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:55:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqnL047160; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 18:49:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1670945 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 18:49:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA20nNlx083568 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 18:49:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA20nEQS009604 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 18:49:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA20nEh0009603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 18:49:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 18:49:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020049.hA20nEh0009603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 020000 WARNING 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 990 HPA AT 20.1N 120.8E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 21.0N 120.2E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 21.0N 118.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 22.0N 116.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:53 2003 X-UIDL: 45077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00AXGBJI22@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 09:45:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA21k2hx015466 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 09:46:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNRt104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:42:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1671307 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:42:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA21gWlx030094 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:42:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA21gNQS010011 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:42:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA21gNdd010010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:42:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 19:42:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020142.hA21gNdd010010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 020300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 012 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 24W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- NEAR 20.2N4 120.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 120.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 21.2N5 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 21.9N2 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.4N8 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 22.9N3 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 24.5N1 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION NEAR 20.5N7 120.5E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1, 021500Z8, 022100Z5 AND 030300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:54 2003 X-UIDL: 45079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00C1CCXI3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 10:15:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA22G3hH022930 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 10:16:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNSH104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:12:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1671416 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:12:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA22CFlx030930 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:12:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA22C5QS010229 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:12:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA22C50D010228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:12:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:12:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 24w Melor/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020212.hA22C50D010228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 020300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W MELOR/ WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 020000Z2 TO 050000Z5 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). B. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 08 TO 12 HOURS BY THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST. AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS PROPAGATING EASTWARD AND TOWARD THE STEERING RIDGE. THIS TROUGH WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE GIVING TS 24W A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT. BY TAU 12, THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT AND THE RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK IN NORTH OF TS 24W. THIS WILL GIVE TS 24W A WESTWARD TRACK. EXPECT TS 24W TO KEEP THIS TRACK UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL OVER SOUTHEAST CHINA AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND NOGAPS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO WITH EGRR BEING THE LONE EXCEPTION. EGRR KEEPS TS 24W ON A NORTHWARD TRACK AND DISSIPATING IT AT TAU 36. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF EGRR. C. AS TS 24W TRACKS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST EXPECT TO SEE A DECREASE IN INTENSITY AS IT ENCOUNTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, REDUCED OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT WILL BE THE CAUSE FOR THE DECREASED INTENSITY. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 012202Z7 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:31:56 2003 X-UIDL: 45081-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00C1SDO83K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 10:31:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA22W3hx019235 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 10:32:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNSb104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:28:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1671562 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:28:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA22SSlx083900 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:28:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA22SJQS010347 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:28:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA22SJKw010346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:28:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 20:28:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020228.hA22SJKw010346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 52N 177E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 60N 147E SIBERIA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 173E 40N 180E 28N 180E 27N 176E 40N 173E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI YELLOW SEA SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 141E 46N 150E 35N 150E 36N 141E 43N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 49N 127E ENE 20 KT. LOW 988 HPA AT 36N 174W ENE 30 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 163E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 990 HPA AT 20.1N 120.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 127E TO 47N 136E 46N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 127E TO 43N 124E 38N 117E 35N 113E 33N 108E. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 36N 174W TO 36N 172W 35N 172W. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 172W TO 32N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 172W TO 30N 173W 25N 180E 21N 174E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 122E TO 28N 125E 30N 128E 30N 130E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:01 2003 X-UIDL: 45090-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00CG8N2F3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 13:54:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA25svhx034940 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 13:54:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNUV104946; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1672488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA25qXlx021928 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA25qOQS011862 for ; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA25qO5D011860 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 01 Nov 2003 23:52:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020552.hA25qO5D011860@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z-030600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020151ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) 020000Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N4 120.6E9, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 020300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:02 2003 X-UIDL: 45093-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00CRNPSS3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:53:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA26s0hx039195 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:54:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNVV104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 00:50:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1673058 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 00:50:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA26oHlx013246 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 00:50:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA26o4QS012210 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 00:50:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA26o4LD012209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 00:50:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 00:50:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020650.hA26o4LD012209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 020600 WARNING 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 990 HPA AT 20.6N 120.7E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 160 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 21.5N 120.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 23.0N 121.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 26.0N 121.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:03 2003 X-UIDL: 45095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00C0HTMF3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 16:15:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA28GZhH052909 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 16:16:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNVv104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:13:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1673370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:13:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA28Cxlx057910 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:12:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA28CnQS012744 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:12:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA28CnZX012743 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:12:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:12:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020812.hA28CnZX012743@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 020900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- NEAR 20.7N9 120.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 120.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 21.6N9 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 22.3N7 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 22.8N2 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 23.5N0 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 24.8N4 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.9N1 120.4E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 020530Z0 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS TO THE NORTH OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8, 022100Z5, 030300Z6 AND 030900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:04 2003 X-UIDL: 45096-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNP00CAHUHV3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 16:34:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA28ZPhx046750 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 16:35:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNW5104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:30:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1673469 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:30:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA28UTlx013310 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:30:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA28UKQS012849 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:30:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA28UKM1012848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:30:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 02:30:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311020830.hA28UKM1012848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 54N 178E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 45N 150E 36N 150E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 52N 129E NE 20 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 58N 148E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 163E ESE 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 990 HPA AT 20.6N 120.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 129E TO 51N 131E 49N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 132E TO 46N 138E 45N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 132E TO 43N 128E 36N 116E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 121E TO 29N 128E 31N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:17 2003 X-UIDL: 45108-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00C966CH3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 20:50:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2CpQhx066429 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 20:51:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNYB104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 06:48:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1674707 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 06:48:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2Cmwlx047404 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 06:48:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2CmnQS014868 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 06:48:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2CmmnW014867 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 06:48:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 06:48:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 990 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021248.hA2CmmnW014867@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 021200 WARNING 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 990 HPA AT 21.4N 120.9E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING NORTH 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 23.6N 122.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 26.0N 121.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:19 2003 X-UIDL: 45111-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CVV9XR3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 22:08:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2E90hx071790 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 22:09:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNZf104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:04:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1675384 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:04:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2E4flx079560 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:04:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2E4VQS015470 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:04:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2E4Vgm015469 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:04:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:04:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021404.hA2E4Vgm015469@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 021500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- NEAR 21.3N6 120.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N6 120.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 22.1N5 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 22.8N2 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 23.5N0 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 24.0N6 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 25.3N0 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 21.5N8 120.6E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING AND SOME DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT INTO THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5, 030300Z6, 030900Z2 AND 031500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:19 2003 X-UIDL: 45112-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CESAZ73K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 22:30:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2EVMhH084680 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 22:31:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNa7104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:29:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1675546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:29:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2ETNlx030202 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:29:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2ETDQS015609 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:29:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2ETDbq015608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:29:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:29:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021429.hA2ETDbq015608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 56N 177E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 850 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 38N 141E 40N 142E 42N 141E 42N 143E 45N 150E 33N 150E 35N 141E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 52N 129E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 162E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 990 HPA AT 21.4N 120.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 129E TO 51N 132E 51N 134E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 134E TO 48N 142E 45N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 134E TO 43N 132E 40N 125E 36N 123E 34N 120E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 121E TO 31N 130E 31N 135E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:19 2003 X-UIDL: 45113-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CEEBME3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 02 Nov 2003 22:44:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2EjJhH085906 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 22:45:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqs5047160; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:41:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1675610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:41:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2Efklx016644 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:41:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2EfbQS015726 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:41:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2EfbmW015725 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:41:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 08:41:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 24w Melor/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021441.hA2EfbmW015725@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 021500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W MELOR/ WARNING NR 14// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 021200Z5 NOV TO 051200Z8 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING AND SOME DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT INTO THE SYSTEM. B. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM THE WEST IS PROPAGATING EASTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE STEERING RIDGE PROVIDING TS 24W WITH A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT. BY TAU 12, THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH SHOULD MOVE OUT AND THE STEERING RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD BACK TO THE NORTH OF TS 24W. THIS WILL TRANSITION TS 24W TO A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS TRACK UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL OVER SOUTHEAST CHINA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, COAMPS, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND NOGAPS, ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. JGSM, COAMPS, NOGAPS AND NCEP GFS SHOW A WESTWARD TRACK FOR THE FIRST 12 TO 18 HOURS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AN THEN TRACK SOUTH-WESTWARD. JTYM AND EGRR SHOW A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK, TAKING TY 24W EAST OF TAIWAN, DURING THE INITIAL 36 HOURS AND THEN TRACKS THE SYSTEM SOUTH OF TAIPEI. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS. C. AS TS 24W COMMENCES TO TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHWEST INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, REDUCED OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:23 2003 X-UIDL: 45123-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00C9LNGP3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 03:00:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2J17hH009274 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 03:01:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFquL047160; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 12:49:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1677341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 12:49:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2Inrlx089158 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 12:49:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2InhQS017700 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 12:49:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2Inhfc017699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 12:49:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 12:49:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311021849.hA2Inhfc017699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 021800 WARNING 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 992 HPA AT 22.0N 121.3E WEST OF TAIWAN MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 70 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 23.0N 121.5E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 23.9N 121.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:26 2003 X-UIDL: 45129-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00CC0R9P3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 04:22:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2KNLhH017085 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 04:23:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNfn104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:21:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1678233 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:21:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2KL0lx096982 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:21:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2KKpQS018483 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:20:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2KKojZ018482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:20:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:20:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311022020.hA2KKojZ018482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 022100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- NEAR 22.0N4 121.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 121.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 23.0N5 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 24.2N8 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 25.4N1 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 28.0N0 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.3N7 121.3E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 021730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A DECREASE IN CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6, 030900Z2, 031500Z9 AND 032100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:27 2003 X-UIDL: 45130-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNQ00C7FRRR3K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 04:33:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2KY8hH018212 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 04:34:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqw9047160; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:29:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1678362 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA2KTJlx043906 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:29:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA2KTAQS018543 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:29:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA2KTA4q018542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:29:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 14:29:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311022029.hA2KTA4q018542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 57N 176E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 52N 130E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 130E TO 51N 133E 51N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 135E TO 50N 142E 45N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 135E TO 44N 135E 40N 128E 34N 121E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 136E 35N 140E 40N 142E 42N 141E 45N 149E 30N 150E 33N 136E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 164E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 992 HPA AT 22.0N 121.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 121E TO 31N 129E 33N 138E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:31 2003 X-UIDL: 45140-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00D9W3LXW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:49:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA30nrhH039540 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:49:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNkT104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 18:47:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1680291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 18:47:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA30l7lx030122 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 18:47:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA30kvQS020746 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 18:46:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA30kvDI020745 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 18:46:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 18:46:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030046.hA30kvDI020745@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 030000 WARNING 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 992 HPA AT 22.8N 122.5E EAST OF TAIWAN MOVING NORTHEAST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 23.0N 122.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 23.3N 122.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:39 2003 X-UIDL: 45146-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00DN05AEW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:25:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA31QAhx027522 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:26:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNlB104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:20:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1680557 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:20:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA31Kolx013058 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:20:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA31KeQS021183 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:20:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA31Ke8K021182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:20:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:20:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030120.hA31Ke8K021182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- NEAR 22.7N1 121.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N1 121.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 23.7N2 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 25.0N7 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 26.5N3 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 23.0N5 121.8E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. A 022301Z8 SSMI SATELLITE PASS REVEALS DRY AIR IS BEING ENTRAINED INTO TS 24W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z3 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2, 031500Z9, 032100Z6 AND 040300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:32:40 2003 X-UIDL: 45149-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00D835XUW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:39:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA31eFhH044326 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 09:40:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id h9VHcNlX104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:35:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1680702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:35:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA31ZClx047504 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:35:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA31Z3QS021400 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:35:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA31Z3cG021399 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:35:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 19:35:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 24w Melor/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030135.hA31Z3cG021399@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 030300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W MELOR/ WARNING NR 16// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 030000Z3 TO 050000Z5 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 65 KNOTS. A 022301Z8 SSMI SATELLITE PASS REVEALS DRY AIR IS BEING ENTRAINED INTO TS 24W. B. TS 24W IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK UNTIL IT DISSIPATES IN 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, COAMPS, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND NOGAPS, ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACKING SCENERIO BUT ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TS 24W DISSIPATING WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE OUTLIER FOR THE DISSIPATION OF TS 24W IS UKMET (EGRR). UKMET (EGRR) KEEPS 24W ON A POLEWARD TRACK OUT TO TAU 60 BEFORE INTERACTING WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTANCE WITH MINOR EMPHASIS ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 24W IS CURRENTLY UNDERGOING THE DISSIPATING STAGE AS IT HAS TRACKED INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, REDUCED OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT ARE CONTRIBUTING TO THE DISSIPATION PROCESS. TS 24W WILL COMPLETE THE DISSIPATION STAGE BY TAU 36. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON A 022137Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT MEET FORECAST WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 10:33:37 2003 X-UIDL: 45159-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00E4F8CKCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:31:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA32W8hx033965 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 10:32:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jmF104946; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 20:28:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1680978 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 20:28:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA32SUlx028042 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 20:28:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA32SKQS021912 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 20:28:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA32SKt2021911 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 20:28:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 20:28:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030228.hA32SKt2021911@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 56N 174E BERING SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 52N 143E SAKHALIN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 143E TO 45N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 143E TO 42N 135E 37N 129E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 52N 133E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 141E 39N 142E 42N 143E 44N 145E 46N 150E 50N 156E 45N 163E 43N 172E 38N 171E 38N 158E 40N 151E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 154E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 172E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 992 HPA AT 22.8N 122.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 122E TO 31N 129E 34N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 14:09:15 2003 X-UIDL: 45182-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00EFOHYECH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 13:59:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA35xkhH069746 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 13:59:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFq4J047160; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1682494 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA35sGlx050892 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA35s6QS023522 for ; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA35s6T5023520 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 02 Nov 2003 23:54:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030554.hA35s6T5023520@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z-040600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/030151ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) 030000Z3, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR) WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N1 121.7E1, APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, AND HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 030300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 11.5S7 152.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK BROAD CONVECTION OVER A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY GIVES SUPPORT FOR A WEAK LLCC EMBEDDED IN A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 16:02:32 2003 X-UIDL: 45186-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00DM6K4WW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:46:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA36kkhH074776 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:46:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320js3104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 00:41:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1683068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 00:41:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA36fwlx092296 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 00:41:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA36fmQS023895 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 00:41:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA36fmqM023894 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 00:41:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 00:41:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030641.hA36fmqM023894@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 030600 WARNING 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 996 HPA AT 23.2N 122.9E SOUTHWEST OF ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 24.2N 123.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 25.2N 124.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 17:05:05 2003 X-UIDL: 45193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00EZCOABCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:15:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA38GShH083675 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:16:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jt9104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:10:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1683662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:10:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA38ALlx043854 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:10:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA38A8QS024479 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:10:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA38A8fq024478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:10:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:10:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030810.hA38A8fq024478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 030900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 23.1N6 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N6 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 24.2N8 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 25.4N1 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 26.8N6 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 23.4N9 123.1E7. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 14 FEET. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS NORTH OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9, 032100Z6, 040300Z7 AND 040900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 03 17:05:08 2003 X-UIDL: 45196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNR00EPCP79CH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:35:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA38aDhH085611 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:36:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jtT104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:29:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1683733 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:29:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA38TRlx051234 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:29:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA38THQS024593 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:29:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA38THca024592 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:29:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 02:29:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311030829.hA38THca024592@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 986 HPA AT 56N 176E BERING SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 146E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 146E TO 50N 150E 46N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 146E TO 48N 143E 43N 138E 39N 135E 36N 130E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 120E 28N 125E 25N 124E 25N 121E 23N 120E 24N 118E 27N 120E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 142E 47N 152E 52N 158E 45N 171E 39N 170E 39N 154E 35N 141E 42N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 118E ESE 30 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 34N 155E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 33N 171E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 996 HPA AT 23.2N 122.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 122E TO 28N 129E 33N 134E 35N 140E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:36:35 2003 X-UIDL: 45219-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00DZH146W4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:52:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3Crchx097047 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:53:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jwT104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:49:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1684938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:49:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3CnQlx034962 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:49:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3CnHQS026674 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:49:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3CnH4S026673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:49:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 06:49:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031249.hA3CnH4S026673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 031200 WARNING 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 994 HPA AT 23.6N 123.6E NEAR ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 07 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 24.8N 124.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 26.2N 124.4E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 29.5N 126.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:36:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45225-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00DM73LQW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 21:46:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3DlNhx002472 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 21:47:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jwp104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:41:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1685063 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:41:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3Dfnlx083812 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:41:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3DfeQS027224 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:41:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3DfecG027223 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:41:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 07:41:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031341.hA3DfecG027223@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 031500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- NEAR 23.7N2 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N2 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 25.2N9 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 26.7N5 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 28.6N6 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION NEAR 24.1N7 123.4E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031200Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6, 040300Z7, 040900Z3 AND 041500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:36:43 2003 X-UIDL: 45226-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00EJJ4PBCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 22:10:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3EB7hx004948 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 22:11:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqBT047160; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:04:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1685201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:04:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3E4Olx044836 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:04:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3E4BQS027543 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:04:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3E4BLw027542 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:04:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:04:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 24w Melor/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031404.hA3E4BLw027542@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 031500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W MELOR/ WARNING NR 18// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 031200Z6 TO 051200Z8 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35, 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. B. TS 24W CONTINUES TO BE STEERED BY THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, COAMPS, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND NOGAPS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK BUT SHOW POOR AGREEMENT AS TO THE TIME OF DISSIPATION FOR THE SYSTEM. THE OUTLIER FOR THE TIME OF DISSIPATION OF TS 24W IS UKMET (EGRR). UKMET (EGRR) KEEPS 24W ON A POLEWARD TRACK OUT TO TAU 72 BEFORE INTERACTING WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTANCE AND A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 24W IS SLOWLY DISSIPATING AS IT HAS TRACKED INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. INCREASED VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, REDUCED OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT ARE CONTRIBUTING TO THE DISSIPATION PROCESS. TS 24W WILL COMPLETE THE DISSIPATION STAGE BY TAU 36. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM DOES NOT MEET FORECAST WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:36:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45230-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00EO05P5CH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 03 Nov 2003 22:31:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3EWchH025913 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 22:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jxp104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:26:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1685337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:26:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3EQllx036030 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:26:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3EQcQS028116 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:26:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3EQbwg028114 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:26:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 08:26:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031426.hA3EQbwg028114@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 56N 177E BERING SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 147E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 147E TO 53N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 149E TO 48N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 149E TO 50N 147E 47N 145E 44N 143E 42N 141E 38N 138E 36N 134E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 122E 29N 131E 27N 130E 25N 126E 25N 122E 22N 120E 22N 117E 29N 122E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 142E 52N 158E 51N 166E 39N 165E 36N 141E 42N 142E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 137E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 159E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 994 HPA AT 23.6N 123.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 125E TO 28N 131E 32N 135E 34N 142E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:19 2003 X-UIDL: 45246-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00DTRI4AW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:00:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3J0thx038151 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 03:00:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jED104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 12:52:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1689836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 12:52:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3IqWlx030386 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 12:52:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3IqNQS005396 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 12:52:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3IqN6d005395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 12:52:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 12:52:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0319 Melor (0319) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311031852.hA3IqN6d005395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 031800 WARNING 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 996 HPA AT 23.7N 124.2E NEAR ISHIGAKIJIMA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 24.9N 124.5E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 26.6N 124.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 30.0N 128.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:31 2003 X-UIDL: 45252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00D5FMNWW4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 04:38:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3Kd5hx048124 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 04:39:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jJb104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:21:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1691453 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:21:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3KLYlx034822 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:21:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3KLOQS008089 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:21:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3KLOim008088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:21:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:21:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 019 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311032021.hA3KLOim008088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 032100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 24.0N6 124.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 124.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 25.6N3 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 27.4N3 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 29.2N3 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 30.7N0 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 24.4N0 125.0E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS LINKED UP WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7, 040900Z3, 041500Z0 AND 042100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:33 2003 X-UIDL: 45253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00DOQN36W4@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 04:47:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3KmGhx049098 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 04:48:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jJn104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:31:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1691546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:31:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3KVilx081842 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:31:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3KVYQS008396 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:31:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3KVY8I008395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:31:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 14:31:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311032031.hA3KVY8I008395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 56N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 149E TO 53N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 150E TO 49N 154E 46N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 150E TO 45N 149E 41N 146E 35N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 142E TO 30N 134E 25N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 128E 26N 126E 23N 116E 29N 121E 29N 128E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 146E 45N 149E 51N 157E 50N 169E 37N 166E 38N 146E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 56N 178E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 123E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 160E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 42N 168E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 996 HPA AT 23.7N 124.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:48 2003 X-UIDL: 45262-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00EIRRCACH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 06:19:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3MK6hH077831 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 06:20:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jOf104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:11:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1692759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:11:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3MBulx009944 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:11:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3MBkQS011192 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:11:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3MBkvO011191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:11:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:11:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 019a Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311032211.hA3MBkvO011191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 032100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 019A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 24.0N6 124.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 124.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 25.6N3 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 27.4N3 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 29.2N3 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 30.7N0 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 24.4N0 125.0E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS LINKED UP WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7, 040900Z3, 041500Z0 AND 042100Z7. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED GEOGRAPHICAL REFERENCE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:37:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45263-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNS00EK1RYWCH@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 06:32:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3MXehx058497 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 06:33:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jP7104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:20:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1692900 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:20:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA3MK7lx092204 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:20:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA3MJvQS011405 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:19:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA3MJvKF011404 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:19:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 16:19:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 019a Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311032219.hA3MJvKF011404@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 032100 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 019A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- NEAR 24.0N6 124.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 124.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 25.6N3 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 27.4N3 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 29.2N3 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 30.7N0 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 24.4N0 125.0E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 031730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS LINKED UP WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF JAPAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7, 040900Z3, 041500Z0 AND 042100Z7. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED GEOGRAPHICAL REFERENCE.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:38:14 2003 X-UIDL: 45280-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HSL23UWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 10:11:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA42CehH003492 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 10:12:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jW9104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1695149 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA429Xlx083654 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA429OQS014929 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA429OtR014928 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 24w Melor/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040209.hA429OtR014928@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W MELOR/ WARNING NR 20// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 040000Z4 TO 051200Z8 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DECOUPLED FROM THE MID- LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED. B. TS 24W HAS LINKED UP WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY EAST OF JAPAN. TS 24W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, COAMPS, NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND NOGAPS, ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTANCE AND A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 24W HAS TRANSITIONED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AND IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE PERIOD. D. WIND RADII ARE NOT MADE FOR EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEMS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 10:38:14 2003 X-UIDL: 45281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00H1L25TWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 10:13:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA42DphH003630 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 10:13:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA1NFqUR047160; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1695152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA429Zlx083660 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA429QQS014934 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA429PXj014933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:09:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 24w (melor) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040209.hA429PXj014933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 040300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 24W (MELOR) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- NEAR 23.9N4 123.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 123.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 24.4N0 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 25.5N2 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 27.3N2 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION NEAR 24.0N6 124.2E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS DECOUPLED FROM THE MID- LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 11:44:22 2003 X-UIDL: 45282-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HTZ3CXWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 10:38:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA42dfhx082421 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 10:39:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jWZ104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:27:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1695288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:27:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA42Rwlx065746 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA42RmQS015121 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:27:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA42RmIT015120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:27:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 20:27:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040227.hA42RmIT015120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 57N 150E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 150E TO 54N 153E 51N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 154E TO 49N 156E 47N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 154E TO 47N 154E 43N 152E 37N 148E 34N 142E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 142E TO 33N 139E 29N 134E 27N 127E 25N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 57N 179E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 128E 25N 127E 25N 122E 23N 119E 24N 118E 27N 120E 28N 128E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 154E 55N 162E 49N 180E 42N 179E 42N 166E 40N 159E 40N 151E 48N 154E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 0319 MELOR (0319) 1004 HPA AT 23N 124E ENE SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 132E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 40N 171E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 14:02:08 2003 X-UIDL: 45297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00HSCCJ5WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 13:57:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA45vohx003234 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 13:57:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA320jdL104946; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1697754 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA45tClx092296 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA45t2QS017253 for ; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA45t2gO017251 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 03 Nov 2003 23:55:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040555.hA45t2gO017251@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z-050600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/040151ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W, LOCATED NEAR 23.9N4 123.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 040300) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 11.5S7 152.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6S8 152.4E2 APPROXIMATELY 290 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. A 040103Z8 SSM/I PASS SHOWS DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION CONTINUING TO PERSIST OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK POLEWARD DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/PHILIPS/COOK// BT #XXXX +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 04 16:43:08 2003 X-UIDL: 45317-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNT00H7MJPQWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:32:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA48X0XJ021924 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:33:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461Nqp104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:27:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1699191 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:27:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA48RSlx035848 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:27:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA48RIQS018588 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:27:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA48RIun018587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:27:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 02:27:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311040827.hA48RIun018587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 42N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 38N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 35N 149E 31N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 137E TO 29N 132E 26N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 47N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 56N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 58N 152E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 152E TO 53N 157E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 157E TO 48N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 157E TO 45N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 151E 49N 154E 54N 161E 49N 179E 37N 165E 38N 151E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 23N 123E NW SLOWLY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 180E NNE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 128E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 153E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 40N 136E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 176E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:06:59 2003 X-UIDL: 45341-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00HKC0GOWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 04 Nov 2003 22:34:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4EYaXJ058274 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 22:34:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461NxZ104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 08:30:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1701447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 08:30:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4EUClx040274 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 08:30:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4EU2QS022516 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 08:30:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4EU24v022515 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 08:30:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 08:30:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311041430.hA4EU24v022515@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 041200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041200. WARNING VALID 051200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 46N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 162E TO 40N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 162E TO 35N 152E 32N 147E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 147E TO 31N 142E 27N 128E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 53N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 57N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 59N 152E SIBERIA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 152E TO 55N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 160E TO 52N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 160E TO 47N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 160E 51N 157E 60N 163E 53N 177E 40N 173E 42N 163E 45N 160E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 24N 123E NORTH 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 59N 180E NORTH 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 153E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 140E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 165E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 41N 179E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:07:25 2003 X-UIDL: 45364-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00HLXHAJWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 04:37:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4KcFEd032237 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 04:38:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA461NIX104948; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 14:28:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1707897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 14:28:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4KSwlx024620 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 14:28:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4KSmQS003229 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 14:28:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4KSmAj003228 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 14:28:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 14:28:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311042028.hA4KSmAj003228@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 49N 166E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 166E TO 48N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 168E TO 45N 171E 42N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 168E TO 41N 165E 36N 159E 31N 148E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 148E TO 30N 142E 31N 136E 28N 131E 29N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 59N 153E SIBERIA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 166E 51N 157E 60N 166E 52N 178E 38N 173E 41N 166E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 26N 123E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 59N 180E NNW 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 151E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 166E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 178W ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 143E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 15:08:14 2003 X-UIDL: 45383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNU00HZ5NQ2WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 06:56:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4MvAXJ018478 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 06:57:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4HFRuH047160; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1709731 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA4Mhplx008272 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA4MhfQS006916 for ; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA4MhfEv006914 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 04 Nov 2003 16:43:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311042243.hA4MhfEv006914@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 042300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/042300Z-050600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.6N2 146.8E9, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE AREA WITH DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 11.6S8 152.4E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED POOR AREA TO PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/HEATH/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 05 21:43:00 2003 X-UIDL: 45446-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNV0000AS8008@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:31:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5DVwEd049916 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 21:32:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA561Uo7069386; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1715476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5DOblx048832 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5DORQS013589 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5DORsY013587 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 07:24:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311051324.hA5DORsY013587@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 051300 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/051300Z-060600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 5.4N9 146.1E2, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. REASON FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/WAUGAMAN/PHILIPS/KELLY/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:35:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNV000CRV9U08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 05 Nov 2003 22:37:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5EbqXJ019607 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 22:37:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA51gu0t104950; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 08:28:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1716271 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 08:28:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5ESUlx085214 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 08:28:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5ESKQS015604 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 08:28:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5ESKR4015603 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 08:28:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 08:28:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311051428.hA5ESKR4015603@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 56N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 165E TO 57N 172E 55N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 177E TO 54N 177W 51N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 177E TO 43N 178E 36N 168E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 168E TO 34N 163E 33N 158E 31N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 60N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 176E 55N 180E 37N 180E 36N 170E 45N 177E 49N 178E 55N 176E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1012 HPA AT 30N 127E NE 20 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 46N 140E ENE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 140E TO 45N 143E 45N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 140E TO 43N 136E 40N 129E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 149E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 22N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 157E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 165E ENE 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 126E TO 33N 130E 33N 134E 33N 138E 33N 141E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:36:53 2003 X-UIDL: 45499-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW000LJC7F08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 04:42:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KhcXJ061026 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 04:43:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtDx047168; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 14:31:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1721622 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 14:31:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KVTD1018156 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 14:31:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA5KVJQS027682 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 14:31:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA5KVJCW027681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 14:31:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 14:31:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311052031.hA5KVJCW027681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 56N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 165E TO 58N 172E 56N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 180E TO 53N 174W 49N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 180E TO 48N 177W 40N 177E 36N 174E 34N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 58N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1012 HPA AT 30N 128E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 46N 145E EAST 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 145E TO 45N 148E 44N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 145E TO 44N 141E 42N 136E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 147E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 162E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 168E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 129E TO 33N 135E 34N 140E 33N 143E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:37:20 2003 X-UIDL: 45524-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNW000JUSHR08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:34:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA62ZK6Y099029 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 10:35:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtMp047168; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 20:29:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1724861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 20:29:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA62TaD1104912 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 20:29:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA62TQQS005126 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 20:29:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA62TQpw005125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 20:29:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 20:29:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311060229.hA62TQpw005125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 57N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 60N 169E TO 59N 177E 57N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 177W TO 55N 168W 52N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 177W TO 42N 178W 32N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 550 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 45N 150E ENE 25 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 31N 130E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 35N 141E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 165E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 150E TO 44N 155E 43N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 150E TO 41N 143E 40N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 126E TO 31N 130E 33N 136E 35N 141E 31N 148E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:37:37 2003 X-UIDL: 45539-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX000JA0TY08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:34:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA65ZWj8061878 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 13:35:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5IerM3009550; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:32:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1726533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:32:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA65W8D1045672 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:32:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA65VwQS007012 for ; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:31:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA65Vwcb007010 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:31:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2003 23:31:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311060531.hA65Vwcb007010@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN /060600Z-070600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:37:56 2003 X-UIDL: 45549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX000WX95E08@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 16:34:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA68ZBj8083100 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 16:35:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtUn047168; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 02:27:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1727522 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 02:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA68RPD1041076 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 02:27:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA68RFQS008419 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 02:27:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA68RFiV008418 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 02:27:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 02:27:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311060827.hA68RFiV008418@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 56N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 60N 168E TO 60N 177E 58N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 58N 177W TO 57N 169W 53N 162W. COLD FRONT FROM 58N 177W TO 53N 171W 47N 172W 39N 180E 34N 173E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 59N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 46N 153E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 31N 132E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 143E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 170E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 153E TO 45N 157E 45N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 153E TO 42N 147E 39N 139E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 128E TO 31N 132E 32N 134E 32N 137E 35N 143E 33N 149E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:38:59 2003 X-UIDL: 45588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNX00387PS30G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 06 Nov 2003 22:33:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6EYMj8024090 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 22:34:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtYl047168; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 08:28:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1729194 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 08:28:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6ESjD1031670 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 08:28:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6ESZQS012343 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 08:28:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6ESZFP012342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 08:28:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 08:28:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311061428.hA6ESZFP012342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 57N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 61N 171E TO 62N 179E 62N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 62N 176W TO 62N 168W 61N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 62N 176W TO 55N 166W 47N 168W 40N 177W. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 36N 149E EAST 30 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 47N 158E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 175E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 127E TO 28N 131E 32N 134E 33N 142E 36N 149E 34N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 158E TO 48N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 158E TO 43N 152E 40N 144E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:39:39 2003 X-UIDL: 45612-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY003NI6JI0G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:35:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6KaVg2020236 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 04:36:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5KJtnh047168; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 14:28:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1733648 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 14:28:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6KSZD1008360 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 14:28:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA6KSPQS023815 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 14:28:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA6KSPgT023814 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 14:28:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 14:28:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311062028.hA6KSPgT023814@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 48N 162E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 162E TO 47N 168E 47N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 162E TO 44N 156E 40N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 978 HPA AT 58N 170E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 58N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 36N 155E EAST 35 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 131E TO 30N 133E 32N 136E 33N 145E 36N 155E 33N 159E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 10:40:07 2003 X-UIDL: 45629-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY003ODN010G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 10:31:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA72Vxj8006956 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 10:32:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5Ierep009550; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 20:27:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1738161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 20:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA72RjD1024798 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 20:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA72RYQS000659 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 20:27:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA72RYQ8000658 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 20:27:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 20:27:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311070227.hA72RYQ8000658@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 49N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 167E TO 48N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 167E TO 43N 161E 39N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 59N 170E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 58N 147E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 32N 139E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 36N 157E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 126E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 144E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 135E TO 32N 139E 33N 143E 34N 147E 34N 152E 36N 157E 34N 160E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 07 13:31:36 2003 X-UIDL: 45644-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNY003RNV600G@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 13:27:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA75SNg2075185 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 13:28:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJRN047170; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1739550 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA75MmD1101746 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA75MbQS002316 for ; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA75MboB002313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 06 Nov 2003 23:22:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311070522.hA75MboB002313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN /070600Z-080600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/DENSON/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 00:51:22 2003 X-UIDL: 45656-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ005023YIYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 16:37:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA78cFj8049594 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 16:38:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJTx047170; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 02:32:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1740790 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 02:32:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA78WCD1069596 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 02:32:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA78W2QS003891 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 02:32:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA78W2HR003890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 02:32:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 02:32:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311070832.hA78W2HR003890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 51N 174E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 174E TO 52N 179E 52N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 174E TO 49N 172E 47N 168E 43N 165E 41N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 164E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 59N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 57N 145E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING SOUTH 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 32N 121E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 34N 140E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 162E EAST 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 121E TO 31N 123E 30N 125E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 121E TO 30N 117E 29N 111E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 133E TO 33N 140E 33N 153E 35N 163E 33N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 00:51:48 2003 X-UIDL: 45678-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HNZ005THKQFYZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 07 Nov 2003 22:39:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7EeaPR086621 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 22:40:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA6LRJYr047170; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 08:31:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1742772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 08:31:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7EVtD1011292 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 08:31:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7EVjQS007617 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 08:31:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7EVi9q007616 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 08:31:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 08:31:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311071431.hA7EVi9q007616@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 56N 178E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 178E TO 56N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 180E TO 54N 173W 52N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 180E TO 53N 178E 50N 174E 43N 167E 40N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 550 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 60N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 122E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 38N 130E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 34N 140E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 35N 163E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 122E TO 32N 123E 30N 125E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 122E TO 30N 118E 28N 113E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 135E WEST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 145E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 36N 151E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 131E TO 34N 140E 32N 152E 33N 157E 35N 163E 33N 169E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:13 2003 X-UIDL: 45698-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO0005HZ172YZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 04:35:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7KaGPR030058 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 04:36:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA5Ieru9009550; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 14:28:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1746923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 14:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7KScD1045678 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 14:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA7KSRQS018323 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 14:28:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA7KSRZV018322 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 14:28:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 14:28:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311072028.hA7KSRZV018322@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 177W BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 177W TO 59N 174W 60N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 173W TO 59N 166W 57N 160W. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 173W TO 58N 169W 48N 177E 44N 173E 39N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 550 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 60N 168E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 122E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 35N 141E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 145E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 36N 165E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 122E TO 32N 124E 31N 126E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 122E TO 29N 119E 26N 112E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 133E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 147E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 156E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 131E TO 31N 136E 35N 141E 32N 154E 36N 165E 34N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 150E TO 39N 139E 38N 133E 35N 128E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 150E TO 41N 156E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:30:46 2003 X-UIDL: 45717-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO0005VCHV7YZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 10:35:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA82aLPR067389 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 10:36:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIAMV052070; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 20:28:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1750437 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 20:28:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA82SGD1018134 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 20:28:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA82S6QS024235 for ; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 20:28:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA82S6Nr024234 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 07 Nov 2003 20:28:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2003 20:28:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311080228.hA82S6Nr024234@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 61N 176W BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 61N 176W TO 60N 168W. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 168W TO 56N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 168W TO 53N 175W 42N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 59N 166E GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 145E 37N 145E 42N 151E 41N 160E 35N 153E 33N 145E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 37N 169E ENE 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 169E TO 36N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 169E TO 33N 162E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 162E TO 32N 152E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 131E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 04N 157E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 148E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 36N 160E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 122E TO 36N 129E 37N 144E 42N 152E 40N 158E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 08 16:54:14 2003 X-UIDL: 45738-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO0005OSYA7YZ@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:30:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA88Uug2044187 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 16:30:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627EP052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:28:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1752381 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:28:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA88SUD1030440 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:28:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA88SKQS026996 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:28:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA88SKgM026995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:28:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 02:28:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311080828.hA88SKgM026995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 41N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 155E TO 41N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 155E TO 38N 152E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 37N 149E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 149E TO 38N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 149E TO 36N 146E 36N 144E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 37N 140E 36N 134E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 34N 128E EAST 25 KT. LOW 994 HPA AT 55N 151E SOUTH 10 KT. LOW 984 HPA AT 58N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 39N 171E NE 25 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 128E TO 36N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 128E TO 31N 126E 28N 122E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 171E TO 37N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 171E TO 33N 165E 31N 155E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 155E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 42N 108E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 28N 147E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 38N 164E EAST 20 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 161W TO 50N 171W 45N 180E 43N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:16 2003 X-UIDL: 45757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO1008BKF1FJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 08 Nov 2003 22:32:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8EWrPR036345 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 22:32:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Hd052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 08:28:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1753775 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 08:28:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8ESPD1024860 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 08:28:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8ESEQS029849 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 08:28:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8ESEBk029848 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 08:28:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 08:28:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311081428.hA8ESEBk029848@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 163E TO 42N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 163E TO 41N 160E 39N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 153E TO 39N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 153E TO 36N 149E 35N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 146E TO 35N 141E 36N 135E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 163E 46N 180E 38N 180E 39N 163E 47N 163E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 35N 131E ENE 20 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 152E SSE 10 KT. LOW 986 HPA AT 58N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 41N 176E ENE 35 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 131E TO 36N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 131E TO 31N 128E 29N 126E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 176E TO 44N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 176E TO 35N 171E 32N 164E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 131E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 42N 112E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 168E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:21 2003 X-UIDL: 45767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO1008IWVUXJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 04:35:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8Ka9g2006407 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 04:36:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627PV052072; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 14:32:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1756804 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 14:32:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8KWiD1035892 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 14:32:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA8KWYQS003311 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 14:32:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA8KWYZi003310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 14:32:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 14:32:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311082032.hA8KWYZi003310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 157E TO 40N 158E 40N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 157E TO 36N 155E 36N 148E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 148E TO 36N 143E 35N 139E 35N 131E 30N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 200 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 57N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 46N 166E MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 40N 174E ENE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 134E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 05N 153E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 47N 97E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 147E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 37N 168E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 166E TO 47N 169E 47N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 166E TO 43N 164E 40N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 169E TO 37N 173E 40N 175E 46N 178W 61N 152W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:34 2003 X-UIDL: 45791-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO200876CANJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 10:30:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA92VDRs018178 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 10:31:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBWp009560; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:27:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1759713 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:27:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA92RxD1009734 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:27:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA92RmQS006394 for ; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:27:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA92Rmsk006393 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:27:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2003 20:27:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090227.hA92Rmsk006393@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 161E TO 40N 163E 41N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 161E TO 37N 158E 35N 152E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 152E TO 37N 143E 35N 139E 34N 133E 29N 129E 26N 124E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 57N 168E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 172E TO 47N 178E 47N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 172E TO 44N 169E 41N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 170E 50N 180E 40N 180E 35N 174E 35N 170E 50N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 132E WEST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 05N 152E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 47N 94E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 169E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:35 2003 X-UIDL: 45804-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO20089HSXPJK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 16:29:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA98UcRs045066 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 16:30:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627Zl052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:27:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1762104 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:27:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA98R3D1011320 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:27:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA98QrQS009276 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:26:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA98Qrfo009275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:26:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 02:26:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311090826.hA98Qrfo009275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1012 HPA AT 41N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 167E TO 45N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 167E TO 36N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 165E 46N 163E 51N 180E 36N 180E 35N 165E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 37N 147E ENE 25 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 170E ENE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 123E TO 31N 132E 37N 147E 36N 155E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 132E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 152E WEST SLOWLY. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 180E TO 45N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:39 2003 X-UIDL: 45820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300AFV9NWIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 09 Nov 2003 22:31:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9EVvRs074216 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 22:31:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627eB052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 08:28:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1764667 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 08:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9ES0D1017954 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 08:28:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9ERnQS012126 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 08:27:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9ERn9c012125 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 08:27:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 08:27:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311091427.hA9ERn9c012125@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 091200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091200. WARNING VALID 101200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 38N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 151E TO 37N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 151E TO 33N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 143E TO 33N 138E 31N 130E 26N 125E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1014 HPA AT 44N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 48N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 37N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 58N 173E BERING SEA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 166E 49N 167E 50N 180E 39N 180E 39N 166E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 132E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 151E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 42N 160E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 165E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:41 2003 X-UIDL: 45833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO300A7AQDGIX@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 04:32:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9KWrRs007949 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 04:32:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA8627oR052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 14:29:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1768461 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 14:29:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA9KTVD1017382 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 14:29:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hA9KTLQS014978 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 14:29:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hA9KTLc6014977 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 14:29:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 14:29:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311092029.hA9KTLc6014977@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 38N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 155E TO 37N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 155E TO 34N 148E 33N 143E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 143E TO 32N 138E 31N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 58N 175E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 31N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 128E TO 31N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 128E TO 26N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 6 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 167E 50N 170E 50N 179W 37N 180E 40N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 46N 175E NE 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 175E TO 48N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 175E TO 38N 168E 37N 160E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 150E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 166E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 12:13:44 2003 X-UIDL: 45851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400BMA72ROY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 10:32:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA2XgRs037708 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 10:33:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86270J052072; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:30:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1772383 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:30:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA2UMD1104750 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:30:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA2UCQS018135 for ; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:30:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA2UCjs018134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:30:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 09 Nov 2003 20:30:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100230.hAA2UCjs018134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 31N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 128E TO 31N 132E 31N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 128E TO 28N 126E 26N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 160E TO 38N 164E 38N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 160E TO 35N 152E 33N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 146E TO 32N 140E 32N 136E 31N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW AND NEAR COLD FRONT. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 57N 173E BERING SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 177E 50N 180E 40N 180E 40N 170E 48N 177E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 48N 177E NE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 177E TO 49N 179W 50N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 177E TO 43N 173E 38N 167E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 147E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 165E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 15:27:02 2003 X-UIDL: 45872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400B0RKJ7OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:23:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA7OMRs068298 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 15:24:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA86276T052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1774492 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA7KcD1010076 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA7KRQS020159 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA7KRxY020157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 01:20:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100720.hAA7KRxY020157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 100600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN /100600Z-110600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/NOREN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Nov 10 16:44:36 2003 X-UIDL: 45888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO400BLGNP0OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 16:31:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA8WdGZ087031 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 16:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hA7LIBsd009560; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:28:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1774792 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:28:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAA8S9D1069546 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:28:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAA8RwQS020595 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:27:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAA8RwOJ020594 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:27:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 02:27:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311100827.hAA8RwOJ020594@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 128E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 128E TO 33N 134E 33N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 128E TO 28N 127E 24N 123E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 40N 161E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 161E TO 39N 165E 39N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 161E TO 35N 156E 33N 147E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 147E TO 33N 143E 33N 139E 33N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 20N 121E 19N 111E 21N 111E 23N 116E 25N 119E 25N 120E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 175E 49N 180E 38N 180E 37N 169E 40N 169E 48N 175E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 57N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 176E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 49N 180E ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 180E TO 51N 174W 52N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 180E TO 43N 176E 39N 169E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 146E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 41N 106E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 147E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 45N 167E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:36 2003 X-UIDL: 45912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500BKE4E9OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 10 Nov 2003 22:32:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAEXORs016431 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 22:33:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIDP052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 08:27:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1776987 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 08:27:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAERdD1069434 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 08:27:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAERSQS024103 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 08:27:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAERS9h024102 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 08:27:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 08:27:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311101427.hAAERS9h024102@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 129E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 33N 129E TO 33N 131E 33N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 132E TO 32N 135E 33N 137E 33N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 132E TO 27N 129E 23N 122E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 40N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 164E TO 40N 167E 39N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 164E TO 35N 160E 33N 152E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 152E TO 33N 148E 34N 143E 33N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW AND NEAR FRONT. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 20N 121E 18N 115E 20N 112E 21N 111E 23N 117E 25N 119E 25N 120E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 172E 43N 178E 44N 180E 35N 180E 35N 170E 39N 172E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 06N 146E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 58N 144E NE 15 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 58N 178E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 178W ENE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 178W TO 49N 174W 50N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 178W TO 42N 178E 39N 171E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 41N 96E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 149E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 45N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 168E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:47 2003 X-UIDL: 45935-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500B6PLJYOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 04:43:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAKi1Rs057603 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 04:44:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIZ9052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:30:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1783768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:30:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAKUID1029990 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:30:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAAKU7QS004389 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:30:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAAKU7ZX004388 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:30:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 14:30:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311102030.hAAKU7ZX004388@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 141E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 141E TO 34N 144E 34N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 141E TO 33N 139E 32N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 134E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1012 HPA AT 34N 130E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 40N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 167E TO 39N 171E 38N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 167E TO 35N 161E 34N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 125E 20N 123E 17N 114E 18N 107E 21N 108E 22N 112E 24N 118E 28N 121E 25N 125E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 06.4N 148.7E SOUTHWEST OF TRUK MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 174E 38N 174E 40N 180E 34N 180E 35N 174E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 58N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 59N 179W ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 40N 110E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 44N 155E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 169E EAST 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 32N 136E 32N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 134E TO 28N 131E 24N 126E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 176E TO 39N 178E 40N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:51 2003 X-UIDL: 45951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO500FQJXG7BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:00:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB10uGZ096323 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 09:00:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIk1052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1787264 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB0ugD1009980 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB0uVQS010469 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB0uVGh010467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 18:56:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110056.hAB0uVGh010467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 110000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/110000Z-110600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 9.0N9 145.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS AN AREA OF BROAD DEEP CONVECTION OVER AN ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS GUSTING TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA TO POOR IN PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 10:39:52 2003 X-UIDL: 45957-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600F4N1Z4BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 10:37:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB2cjGZ008091 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 10:38:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELInN052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:30:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1788476 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:30:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB2UbD1039106 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:30:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB2URQS011545 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:30:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB2UQHr011544 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:30:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 20:30:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110230.hAB2UQHr011544@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 35N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 144E TO 34N 150E 32N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 144E TO 33N 140E 32N 137E 29N 135E 27N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 550 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 135E MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 128E 24N 129E 17N 120E 18N 115E 22N 114E 25N 120E 32N 122E 33N 128E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09.2N 144.1E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 58N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 39N 169E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 44N 156E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 174E EAST 10 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 169E TO 39N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 171E TO 39N 174E 39N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 171E TO 33N 166E 32N 154E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 13:33:50 2003 X-UIDL: 45978-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FNU9HWBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 13:20:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB5L8Rs015264 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 13:21:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAAELIs7052072; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1790378 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB57jD1011468 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB57YQS013006 for ; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB57YU7013004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 10 Nov 2003 23:07:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110507.hAB57YU7013004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z-120600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 145.0E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 147.0E2, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS A DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER AN ELONGATED SURFACE TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS GUSTING TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 11 16:41:13 2003 X-UIDL: 45997-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FQJIK5BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 16:36:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB8awRs038740 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 16:36:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64YFd052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:28:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1791959 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB8SbD1058340 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:28:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAB8SRQS014586 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:28:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAB8SRY9014585 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:28:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 02:28:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311110828.hAB8SRY9014585@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 37N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 146E TO 35N 152E 34N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 146E TO 34N 142E 33N 139E 30N 137E 26N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 44N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 111E 24N 118E 33N 121E 33N 128E 25N 131E 18N 120E 16N 112E 21N 111E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 09.7N 143.1E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 57N 144E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 116E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 45N 162E ENE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 173E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 156E TO 33N 163E 34N 168E 38N 173E 38N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:48 2003 X-UIDL: 46011-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FN7QVKBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 19:35:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABBabRs061642 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 19:36:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB25WHx028520; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1792657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABBRFD1050770 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABBR4QS016184 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABBR4s8016182 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 05:27:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111127.hABBR4s8016182@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 111130 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/111130Z-120600ZNOV2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 147.0E2, HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO NEAR 10.7N8 141.6E2, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER A BETTER ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:39:54 2003 X-UIDL: 46022-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO600FHFZ4YBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 11 Nov 2003 22:34:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABEZ2Rs079726 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 22:35:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAR1009560; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:29:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1794354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:29:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABETfD1050730 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:29:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABETUQS018322 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:29:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABETUUx018321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:29:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 08:29:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311111429.hABETUUx018321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 38N 154E 36N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 35N 142E 29N 136E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 47N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 116E 23N 114E 27N 121E 33N 123E 33N 130E 21N 130E 18N 116E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 10.5N 141.2E SEA WEST OF MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 57N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 114E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 45N 168E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 30N 169E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:04 2003 X-UIDL: 46048-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FQBFQWBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 04:32:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABKXlGZ035876 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 04:33:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Ydl052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:27:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1800092 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:27:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABKR9D1029586 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:27:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABKQwQS029140 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:26:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABKQwG5029139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:26:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:26:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311112026.hABKQwG5029139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 40N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 151E TO 40N 157E 38N 160E 36N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 151E TO 37N 150E 35N 147E 33N 143E 31N 141E 28N 138E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 48N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 122E 31N 131E 18N 123E 12N 110E 21N 110E 24N 118E 31N 122E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 10.8N 139.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 57N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 31N 109E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 44N 172E ESE 30 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 178E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:05 2003 X-UIDL: 46052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700FIXH41BN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:02:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABL3IGZ039087 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:03:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Yf1052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:52:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1800442 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:52:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABKqOD1010064 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:52:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABKqDQS029846 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:52:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABKqDJw029845 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:52:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 14:52:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311112052.hABKqDJw029845@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN21 PGTW 112030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 112021Z NOV 03// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.0N2 140.2E7 TO 13.9N3 132.3E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MET SAT IMAGERY AT 112000Z4 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 139.4E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTH WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCU LATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SPIRAL BANDING BEGINNING TO APPEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS. MIN IMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 122030Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 09:40:05 2003 X-UIDL: 46054-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700F94IITBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:32:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABLXlRs025521 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 05:33:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB25WUn028520; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:09:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1800588 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:09:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hABL9AD1047224 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:09:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hABL90QS000436 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:09:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hABL8xfq000433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:08:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 15:08:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311112108.hABL8xfq000433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 112100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/112100Z-120600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/112021ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 147.0E2 IS NOW RELOCATED TO NEAR 11.4N6 139.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 30 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. LATEST ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SPIRAL BANDING BEGINNING TO APPEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 10:39:55 2003 X-UIDL: 46079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO700I8GWNIMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 10:38:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC2cvGZ074255 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 10:38:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB64Yw3052074; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1805475 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC2TaD1038936 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC2TPQS006313 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC2TPTo006311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 20:29:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120229.hAC2TPTo006311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 45 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 156E TO 41N 163E 37N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 156E TO 37N 154E 34N 148E 32N 145E 30N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 50N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 119E 25N 124E 17N 124E 15N 112E 21N 112E 26N 119E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 10.1N 138.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 56N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 56N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 113E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 31N 110E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 43N 177E EAST 40 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 30N 177E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 13:42:10 2003 X-UIDL: 46095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IFK4YRMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:37:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC5cXGZ095089 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 13:38:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB25Wfj028520; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1807008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC5YZD1082658 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC5YPQS008292 for ; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC5YPtx008290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 11 Nov 2003 23:34:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120534.hAC5YPtx008290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z-130600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/112021ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 139.4E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 137.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 115 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 12 17:10:42 2003 X-UIDL: 46115-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800IIYD6ZMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 16:35:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC8aERs095957 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 16:36:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TFt085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:28:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1809239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC8SoD1092234 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:28:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAC8SdQS009911 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:28:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAC8Sd35009910 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:28:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 02:28:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311120828.hAC8Sd35009910@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 44N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 45 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 160E TO 42N 167E 36N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 160E TO 37N 154E 33N 146E 29N 143E 27N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 52N 176E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 10.1N 136.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 10.5N 132.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 32N 140E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 128E 16N 125E 16N 109E 20N 106E 23N 117E 28N 121E 26N 128E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 55N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 175E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:36:20 2003 X-UIDL: 46154-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800II3T2RMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:18:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACEJJGZ054989 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:19:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TKZ085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:09:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1810996 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:09:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACE9OD1077074 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:09:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACE9EQS013237 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:09:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACE9E7P013236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:09:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:09:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121409.hACE9E7P013236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/112021ZNOV2003// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- NEAR 12.4N7 134.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 134.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 12.9N2 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 13.1N5 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.2N6 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.7N1 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 15.5N1 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.5N8 133.1E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM EAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 112021Z7 NOV 2003 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 112030 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6, 130300Z7, 130900Z3 AND 131500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:36:40 2003 X-UIDL: 46162-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800LJJU5I7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:41:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACEgaRs036130 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 22:42:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TL7085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:31:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1811195 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:31:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACEVvD1092332 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:31:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACEVkQS013772 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:31:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACEVk6t013771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:31:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:31:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121431.hACEVk6t013771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 46N 164E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 45 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 164E TO 43N 171E 36N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 164E TO 39N 160E 33N 152E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 152E TO 31N 147E 28N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 53N 179W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 11.4N 134.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 12.1N 128.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 56N 155E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 450 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 32N 140E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 133E 09N 109E 12N 109E 16N 108E 25N 119E 28N 121E 26N 129E 18N 133E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 31N 116E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:02 2003 X-UIDL: 46171-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800LP2V857B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACF5hRs038286 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:05:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAC61TMN085516; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:57:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1811545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:57:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACEuxD1045564 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:56:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACEunQS014702 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:56:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACEumfn014701 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:56:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 08:56:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 25w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121456.hACEumfn014701@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, SUPERLONG_LINE, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 25W/ WARNING NR 01// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 121200Z6 TO 151200Z9 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 775 NM EAST OF MANILA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. B. TD 25W IS MOVING VERY QUICKLY WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TD 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGH TAU 36. AT THIS TIME A TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL WEAKEN THE STEERING RIDGE GIVING TD 25W A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, NOGAPS, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENERIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TD 25W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNTIL TAU 36. AT THIS TIME TD 25W WILL INTERACT WITH THE PHILIPPINES AND SLIGHTLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY. AFTER TRACKING INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, TD 25W WILL SLIGHTLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY BEFORE INTERACTING WITH A HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:10 2003 X-UIDL: 46176-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO800ILAWJEMM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:33:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACFY1GZ063254 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:34:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAANAAu1009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1811768 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACFLvD1077234 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACFLkQS015545 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACFLkq1015543 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 09:21:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121521.hACFLkq1015543@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 121500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/121500Z-130600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/121351ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121200Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 25W IS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 134.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 775 NM EAST OF MANILA, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 22 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:44 2003 X-UIDL: 46197-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LI35Z97B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:57:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACIw3Rs064027 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:58:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtHh083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:48:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1815307 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:48:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACImID1087038 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:48:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACIm7QS022489 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:48:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACIm7rj022488 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:48:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 12:48:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311121848.hACIm7rj022488@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 121800 WARNING 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 11.8N 132.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 11.8N 126.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 13.5N 121.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 15.0N 117.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:37:58 2003 X-UIDL: 46209-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900I8SAV1MM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 04:42:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACKhWGZ099524 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 04:43:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtMJ083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1816891 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACKbZD1030902 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACKbOQS025932 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACKbOma025929 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 14:37:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311122037.hACKbOma025929@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 48N 168E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 45 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 168E TO 49N 170E 49N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 172E TO 43N 178E 37N 178W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 172E TO 45N 172E 37N 160E 33N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 153E TO 32N 148E 28N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 55N 169W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 153E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 32N 141E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 127E 20N 130E 08N 109E 17N 107E 22N 113E 27N 121E 25N 127E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 31N 118E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 31N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 998 HPA AT 11.8N 132.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:38:02 2003 X-UIDL: 46211-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900L9WC247B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 05:08:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACL9MRs079288 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 05:09:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtNH083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:02:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1817236 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:02:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACL28D1092402 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:02:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hACL1vQS027097 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:01:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hACL1vYA027096 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:01:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 15:01:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 25w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311122101.hACL1vYA027096@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 25W WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- NEAR 12.6N9 131.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N9 131.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 12.5N8 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 12.6N9 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.9N2 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.2N6 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.9N3 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.6N1 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.0N8 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 12.6N9 130.9E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 121730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30, 35, AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TS 25W HAS INTENSIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PAST 12 HOURS IN THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYLCONE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7, 130900Z3, 131500Z0 AND 132100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:38:30 2003 X-UIDL: 46228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LHAMLW7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:56:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD0vEGZ027130 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:57:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtYH083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:49:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1820583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:49:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD0nPD1050910 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:49:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD0nEQS002471 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:49:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD0nE2H002470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:49:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 18:49:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130049.hAD0nE2H002470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 130000 WARNING 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 992 HPA AT 12.3N 130.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 17 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 12.1N 124.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 13.0N 120.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 15.0N 116.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:46:04 2003 X-UIDL: 46238-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900MDZRI0E5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 10:42:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD2gsRs015721 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 10:42:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtbn083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:32:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1821610 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:32:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD2WMD1069538 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:32:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD2WBQS003941 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:32:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD2WB3N003940 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:32:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:32:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130232.hAD2WB3N003940@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 50N 173E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 173E TO 49N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 177E TO 39N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 177E TO 41N 170E 35N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 52N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 56N 168W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1004 HPA AT 55N 153E GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 33N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 147E TO 35N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 147E TO 32N 144E 27N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 113E 21N 112E 23N 117E 26N 120E 25N 126E 22N 129E 18N 120E 14N 113E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 127E 28N 130E 32N 132E 31N 135E 27N 137E 22N 133E 22N 129E 25N 127E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 109E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 32N 121E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 46N 132E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 31N 172E EAST SLOWLY. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 992 HPA AT 12.3N 130.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:52:37 2003 X-UIDL: 46240-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LT2ROZ7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 10:46:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD2l5GZ040565 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 10:47:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD127FR009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1821678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD2dJD1104740 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD2d8QS003992 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD2d8jb003990 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 25w (nepartak)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130239.hAD2d8jb003990@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK)/ WARNING NR 03// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 130000Z4 TO 180000Z9 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT DATA SHOWS THAT MUCH OF THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION AND THE STRONGEST WINDS RESIDE IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANT OF TS 25W. B. TS 25W CONTINUES TO MOVE QUICKLY WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM; TS 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGH TAU 72. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYI, COAMPS, NOGAPS, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS SCENARIO IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 25W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNTIL TAU 12 TO 24. AT THIS TIME, TS 25W WILL INTERACT WITH THE PHILIPPINES AND SLIGHTLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND. TS 25W IS THEN EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE WHEN IT ENTERS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 122034Z2 QUIKSCAT PASS AND CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TS 25W TO MAKE LANDFALL IN VIETNAM AT TYPH0ON INTENSITY AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 10:52:39 2003 X-UIDL: 46241-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900LXTRTB7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 10:48:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD2nfRs016399 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 10:49:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hACHbtbx083950; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1821675 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD2dJD1085646 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD2d8QS003991 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD2d8Cd003989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 20:39:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130239.hAD2d8Cd003989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 130300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- NEAR 12.4N7 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 12.2N5 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 12.3N6 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.4N7 119.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.6N9 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.7N1 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 15.0N6 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.2N0 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 12.4N7 128.8E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE MOST RECENT QUIKSCAT DATA SHOWS THAT MUCH OF THE DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION AND THE STRONGEST WINDS RESIDE IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANT OF TS 25W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3, 131500Z0, 132100Z7 AND 140300Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 13:18:55 2003 X-UIDL: 46252-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HO900L94Y727B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 13:06:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD57WRs031037 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 13:07:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD127HL009560; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1822724 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD54uD1044856 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD54jQS005389 for ; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD54jJ9005387 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:04:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130504.hAD54jJ9005387@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 130600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z-140600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/130152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK) IS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 129.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 130300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/NOREN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 15:57:45 2003 X-UIDL: 46261-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00M6W32PE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 14:52:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD6qtGZ069674 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 14:52:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BDt069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:48:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1823761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:48:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD6m1D1030888 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:48:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD6lpQS006271 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:47:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD6lows006270 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:47:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 00:47:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130647.hAD6lows006270@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 130600 WARNING 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 992 HPA AT 12.6N 128.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 12.1N 123.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 13.0N 118.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 14.5N 114.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 16:37:37 2003 X-UIDL: 46272-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00M3K7CKE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:24:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD8P8Rs054032 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:25:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BFT069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:19:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1824354 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:19:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD8JND1003840 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:19:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD8JCQS007075 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:19:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD8JCNT007074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:19:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:19:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Dirnsa Ft George Meade Md//ddi-liz/p313/q332/wwea// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130819.hAD8JCNT007074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 130900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- NEAR 12.3N6 128.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 128.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 12.5N8 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.5N8 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 12.8N1 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.2N6 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 14.2N7 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 15.6N2 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.4N2 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 12.3N6 127.6E6. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT INCREASED POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND INCREASING CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0, 132100Z7, 140300Z8 AND 140900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 13 16:37:41 2003 X-UIDL: 46273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MN07PME5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:32:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD8X4Rs055036 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 16:33:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BFf069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:28:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1824405 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:28:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD8SbD1050928 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:28:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAD8SQQS007156 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:28:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAD8SQDO007155 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:28:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 02:28:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311130828.hAD8SQDO007155@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 51N 177E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 177E TO 53N 180E 49N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 174W TO 46N 172W 44N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 174W TO 43N 180E 38N 169E 38N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 54N 172W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 55N 162W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 151E TO 35N 158E 37N 162E 38N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 151E TO 33N 149E 32N 147E 29N 145E 27N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 120E 25N 133E 19N 134E 18N 121E 14N 116E 13N 111E 21N 112E 26N 120E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 54N 154E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 123E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 45N 134E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 992 HPA AT 12.6N 128.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:19:50 2003 X-UIDL: 46293-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00L3XJQR7B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:52:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADCqvGZ012092 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:52:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BIL069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:48:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1825601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:48:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADCmID1104894 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:48:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADCm7QS009485 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:48:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADCm75P009484 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:48:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 06:48:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) Upgraded From Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131248.hADCm75P009484@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 131200 WARNING 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 12.6N 126.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 20 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 12.4N 119.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 13.5N 115.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 15.0N 111.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:20:07 2003 X-UIDL: 46305-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOA00MAOODSE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:32:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADEXAGZ023128 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 22:33:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAB25W6L028520; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:28:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1826486 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:28:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADESUD1004052 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:28:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADESKQS010947 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:28:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADESK98010946 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:28:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 08:28:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131428.hADESK98010946@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 52N 178W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 178W TO 53N 171W 50N 167W. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 167W TO 43N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 167W TO 44N 174W 41N 180E 40N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 55N 165W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 56N 158W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 45 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 156E TO 38N 163E 39N 168E 40N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 156E TO 31N 150E 26N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 115E 26N 120E 26N 121E 22N 120E 23N 140E 14N 140E 15N 115E 23N 115E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 53N 155E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 124E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 40N 132E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 985 HPA AT 12.6N 126.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:20:52 2003 X-UIDL: 46336-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB00MTU0VAE5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:01:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADJ2qRs024502 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 03:02:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64BYt069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:51:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1830829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:51:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADIpED1027272 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:51:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hADIp4QS019760 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:51:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hADIp4Xi019759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:51:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 12:51:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311131851.hADIp4Xi019759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 131800 WARNING 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 985 HPA AT 12.2N 125.0E PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 11.8N 120.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 12.5N 117.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 14.5N 113.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:21:33 2003 X-UIDL: 46361-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB00M5LH19E5@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:51:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE0q2Rs061218 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:52:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hADKIBJH003860; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:47:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1836331 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:47:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE0lwD1052192 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:47:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE0llQS028447 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:47:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE0ll9d028446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:47:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 18:47:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) Downgraded From Severe Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140047.hAE0ll9d028446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 140000 WARNING 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 990 HPA AT 11.6N 123.1E PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 11.5N 119.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 13.0N 116.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 15.0N 113.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:11 2003 X-UIDL: 46383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB002SXM3BG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 10:40:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE2fHGZ007809 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 10:41:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64Bvd069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:28:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1837575 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE2ScD1016402 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:28:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE2SRQS029655 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:28:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE2SRG4029654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:28:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:28:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140228.hAE2SRG4029654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 165E TO 40N 169E 42N 172E 42N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 165E TO 31N 157E 25N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 135E 12N 133E 13N 126E 15N 124E 15N 120E 12N 113E 21N 111E 25N 120E 23N 135E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 08N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 48N 116E ENE 10 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 116E TO 48N 121E 48N 125E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 116E TO 45N 109E 42N 101E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 176E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 39N 137E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 990 HPA AT 11.6N 123.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 177E TO 42N 180E 43N 168W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:17 2003 X-UIDL: 46387-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB002DRMREG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 10:54:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE2tgGZ009620 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 10:55:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAD64Bwd069530; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:48:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1837839 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:48:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE2mID1055446 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:48:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE2m7QS029880 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:48:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE2m7FT029879 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:48:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 20:48:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140248.hAE2m7FT029879@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 12.3N6 122.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 122.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.3N6 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.5N8 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.9N2 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 14.9N4 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.0N7 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.0N8 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.3N6 121.6E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4, 141500Z1, 142100Z8 AND 150300Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:21 2003 X-UIDL: 46389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB002J3NY8G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:20:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE3LQRs080080 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 11:21:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE2E3Er038532; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:15:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1838272 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:15:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE3FoD1045328 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:15:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE3FdQS000208 for ; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:15:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE3FdBC000207 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:15:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 13 Nov 2003 21:15:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 25w (nepartak)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140315.hAE3FdBC000207@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 140300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK)/ WARNING NR 07// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 140000Z5 TO 190000Z0 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. B. TS 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM AND MAKE LANDFALL IN VIETNAM NEAR THE 72 HOUR TAU. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYI, COAMPS, GFDN, AFWA, NOGAPS, WBAI AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. MID-WAY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, NCEP GFS, JGSM, JTYM AND AFWA FORECAST TS 25W TO RECURVE POLEWARD TOWARDS HAINAN ISLAND, CHINA. AT THE MOMENT, THIS SCENARIO IS CONSIDERED UNLIKELY BECAUSE THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. AS TS 25W TRACKS OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO TYPHOON STRENGTH IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TS 25W TO MAKE LANDFALL IN VIETNAM AT NEAR TYPHOON INTENSITY AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/BAK/PACILIO/KELSEY/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:38 2003 X-UIDL: 46415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOB002H2XYKG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:56:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE6vbGZ037042 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:57:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iDx038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:48:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1840412 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:48:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE6mKD1064656 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:48:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE6mAQS002136 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:48:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE6mAnq002135 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:48:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 00:48:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140648.hAE6mAnq002135@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 140600 WARNING 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 992 HPA AT 12.6N 122.4E PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 13.0N 117.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 14.5N 114.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 16.5N 111.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:47 2003 X-UIDL: 46423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002U12BMG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:30:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE8VrGZ048482 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:31:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iG1038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:27:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1841141 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:27:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE8RfD1010234 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:27:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE8RUQS002891 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:27:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE8RUPN002890 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:27:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:27:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140827.hAE8RUPN002890@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 169E TO 43N 176E 43N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 169E TO 34N 163E 23N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 54N 170E BERING SEA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 11N 110E 20N 111E 27N 121E 19N 132E 12N 131E 13N 127E 16N 124E 16N 120E 11N 110E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 09N 160E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 03N 149E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 140E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 992 HPA AT 12.6N 122.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 14 18:22:49 2003 X-UIDL: 46427-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002P438PG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:50:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE8pfGZ050815 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 16:51:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iGN038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:49:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1841278 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:49:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE8n3D1049556 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:49:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAE8mqQS003061 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:48:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAE8mqYN003060 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:48:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 02:48:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Dirnsa Ft George Meade Md//ddi-liz/p313/q332/wwea// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311140848.hAE8mqYN003060@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 140900 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 12.0N3 120.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 120.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 12.1N4 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.4N7 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.7N0 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.3N7 111.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 14.9N4 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.1N8 105.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.3N1 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 12.0N3 120.0E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM SOUTH OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1, 142100Z8, 150300Z9 AND 150900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:07:34 2003 X-UIDL: 46455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002VFE7FG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:47:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAECmXRs042669 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:48:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iJR038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:46:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1842770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:46:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAECkBD1064750 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:46:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAECk1QS005322 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:46:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAECk1wM005321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:46:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 06:46:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141246.hAECk1wM005321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 141200 WARNING 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 992 HPA AT 12.3N 120.7E SULU SEA MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 13.6N 116.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 15.0N 113.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 17.5N 111.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:07:48 2003 X-UIDL: 46468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002UUJ2XG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:32:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEEXqGZ087571 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:33:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iMh038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:27:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1843851 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEERKD1104778 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:27:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEERAQS006741 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:27:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEER9N3006740 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:27:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:27:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141427.hAEER9N3006740@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 42N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 174E TO 44N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 174E TO 35N 168E 24N 156E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 54N 171E BERING SEA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 11N 115E 16N 112E 23N 119E 23N 130E 13N 132E 13N 125E 16N 122E 16N 119E 11N 115E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 11N 161E NNW SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 03N 149E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 37N 142E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 992 HPA AT 12.3N 120.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:07:52 2003 X-UIDL: 46470-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002LFJIUG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:42:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEEhPGZ088383 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 22:43:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEDxMDl064702; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:38:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1843988 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:38:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEEcaD1031534 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:38:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEEcQQS007070 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:38:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEEcPpi007069 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:38:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:38:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Dirnsa Ft George Meade Md//ddi-liz/p313/q332/wwea// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141438.hAEEcPpi007069@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 141500 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// NAVOCEANO STENNIS SPACE CENTER MS//N16// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 25W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 12.1N4 119.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N4 119.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.1N4 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.3N6 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 12.6N9 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 13.2N6 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 15.1N7 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.4N1 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.5N3 103.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.1N4 119.1E2. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55, 65, AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8, 150300Z9, 150900Z5 AND 151500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:00 2003 X-UIDL: 46510-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC002WXV46G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:52:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEIrlRs079510 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:53:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAE61iXZ038188; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:47:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1847471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:47:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEIlhD1092310 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:47:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEIlWQS014149 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:47:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEIlWoO014148 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:47:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 12:47:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) Upgraded From Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311141847.hAEIlWoO014148@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 141800 WARNING 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 12.3N 119.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 13.9N 114.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 15.5N 112.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 18.5N 111.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:24 2003 X-UIDL: 46525-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOC00217ZXXG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 04:37:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEKc4Rs092771 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 04:38:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dFj055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:27:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1849866 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:27:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEKRCD1069428 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:27:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAEKR1QS017031 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:27:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAEKR1jU017030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:27:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 14:27:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311142027.hAEKR1jU017030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 43N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 178E TO 45N 172W 44N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 178E TO 38N 172E 32N 167E 28N 163E 24N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 54N 172E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 125E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 125E TO 48N 127E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 127E TO 47N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 127E TO 43N 124E 38N 119E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 122E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 111E 24N 119E 22N 131E 12N 131E 14N 122E 16N 118E 13N 111E 19N 111E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 12N 160E NW SLOWLY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 12N 172E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 03N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 37N 147E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 985 HPA AT 12.3N 119.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:34 2003 X-UIDL: 46531-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD002LU2C7G0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:28:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAELToGZ035120 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 05:29:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dIN055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:22:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1850889 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:22:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAELMDD1047026 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:22:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAELLvQS018511 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:21:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAELLv6H018510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:21:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 15:21:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311142121.hAELLv6H018510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 142100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- NEAR 12.2N5 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.4N7 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 12.6N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.3N7 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 13.9N3 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 15.6N2 106.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.9N6 105.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.2N1 104.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 12.2N5 118.1E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9, 150900Z5, 151500Z2 AND 152100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 09:09:52 2003 X-UIDL: 46541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD002KWBNWG0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:50:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF0pFGZ053573 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:51:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dTj055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 18:47:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1854601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 18:47:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF0l2D1051310 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 18:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF0kpQS022046 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 18:46:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF0kpcn022045 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 18:46:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 18:46:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150046.hAF0kpcn022045@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 150000 WARNING 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 980 HPA AT 12.6N 117.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 14.7N 113.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 16.0N 111.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 19.5N 110.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 12:02:33 2003 X-UIDL: 46551-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005UPGGUTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 10:34:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF2YjRs024207 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 10:34:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dWx055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:29:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1855714 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF2TZD1051232 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF2TOQS023090 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:29:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF2TOtI023089 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:29:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 20:29:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150229.hAF2TOtI023089@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 49N 173W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 173W TO 49N 166W 46N 159W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 173W TO 39N 178E 30N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 173E BERING SEA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 50N 127E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 127E TO 49N 128E 48N 129E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 129E TO 47N 133E 45N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 129E TO 46N 130E 43N 127E 41N 124E 35N 122E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 115E 23N 115E 22N 121E 22N 125E 15N 125E 16N 120E 17N 117E 16N 115E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 14N 160E NNW SLOWLY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 12N 172E NNW SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 37N 151E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 980 HPA AT 12.6N 117.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 12:02:39 2003 X-UIDL: 46553-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005L9HWPTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:05:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF368Rs027124 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:06:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5fNb007822; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1856033 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF33OD1084502 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF33DQS023447 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF33DTB023445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150303.hAF33DTB023445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 25W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- NEAR 12.5N8 118.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 118.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 12.9N2 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 13.5N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 14.1N6 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 15.0N6 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 16.3N0 107.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.3N2 105.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION NEAR 12.6N9 117.5E4. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z6 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5, 151500Z2, 152100Z9 AND 160300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 12:02:43 2003 X-UIDL: 46555-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD00515I50TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:10:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF3B7Rs027523 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 11:11:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dXT055402; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1856036 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF33OD1037362 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF33DQS023448 for ; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF33DP7023446 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 14 Nov 2003 21:03:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 25w (nepartak)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150303.hAF33DP7023446@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 150300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK)/ WARNING NR 11// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 150000Z6 TO 200000Z2 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 142330Z3 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. B. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM AND MAKE LANDFALL IN VIETNAM BY 48 TO 72 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, WBAR, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BY MID-PERIOD, THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WILL INCREASE AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITS THROUGH THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. AS TY 25W CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARD VIETNAM, IT WILL WEAKEN FROM INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CAUSED BY THE NORTH-EAST MONSOON IN THE LOWER LEVELS AND THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 25W TO MAKE LANDFALL IN VIETNAM AT TYPHOON STRENGTH AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:08 2003 X-UIDL: 46569-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD00569R9MTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:27:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF6SHRs044352 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:28:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dd1055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:24:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1857923 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:24:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF6O0D1049668 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:24:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF6NnQS025312 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:23:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF6Nn7e025310 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:23:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:23:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150623.hAF6Nn7e025310@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z-160600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/150152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK) IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 118.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 161.3E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N0 160.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:14 2003 X-UIDL: 46572-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD0058ESG7TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:52:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF6rlGZ088441 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:53:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5ddJ055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:50:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1858119 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:50:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF6o3D1077384 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:50:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF6nrQS025519 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:49:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF6nrxO025518 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:49:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 00:49:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150649.hAF6nrxO025518@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 150600 WARNING 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 13.4N 116.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 15.6N 112.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 17.0N 110.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 20.0N 108.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:26 2003 X-UIDL: 46580-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005KOVERTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:56:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF7vlGZ094741 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 15:57:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5deV055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:51:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1858508 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:51:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF7pLD1017292 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:51:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF7pBQS025949 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:51:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF7pAPo025948 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:51:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 01:51:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150751.hAF7pAPo025948@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- NEAR 13.5N9 116.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 116.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 14.4N9 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.4N0 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.6N3 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 17.8N6 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 20.7N9 107.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 23.5N0 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 116.3E1. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 150530Z4 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDI- TIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2, 152100Z9, 160300Z0 AND 160900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:30 2003 X-UIDL: 46583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD005ZRWZUTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 16:31:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF8VxGZ099171 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 16:32:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5df5055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:28:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1858784 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF8SLD1045514 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF8SAQS026258 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:28:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF8SA6l026257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:28:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 02:28:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150828.hAF8SA6l026257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 51N 129E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 129E TO 51N 133E 48N 134E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 134E TO 48N 138E 49N 142E 47N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 134E TO 45N 133E 42N 129E 39N 129E 36N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 174E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 22N 120E 20N 126E 17N 125E 16N 120E 18N 118E 18N 115E 22N 115E 25N 119E 25N 120E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 142E 24N 155E 17N 155E 17N 141E 24N 142E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 14N 160E NORTH SLOWLY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 14N 172E NNW 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 04N 148E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 44N 108E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 39N 155E ENE 25 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 13.4N 116.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 170E TO 35N 176E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:34 2003 X-UIDL: 46585-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOD00538YVQTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 17:11:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF9CjRs059587 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 17:12:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dfN055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:10:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1859029 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:10:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAF9A4D1098438 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:10:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAF99rQS026755 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:09:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAF99rw6026753 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:09:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 03:09:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311150909.hAF99rw6026753@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 150900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/150900Z-160600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/150152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK) IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N8 118.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 150300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 161.3E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N0 160.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS NEAR 14.5N0 171.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES INDICATE CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 21:41:56 2003 X-UIDL: 46600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005DT969TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:54:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFCt1GZ022568 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:55:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dhP055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:48:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1860209 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:48:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFCmvD1077458 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:48:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFCmlQS028461 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:48:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFCmku2028460 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:48:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 06:48:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151248.hAFCmku2028460@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 151200 WARNING 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 13.8N 115.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 15.6N 112.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 18.0N 110.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 20.5N 110.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 15 22:04:13 2003 X-UIDL: 46602-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005GNC4ETM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:57:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFDwjRs082692 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:58:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5fTN007822; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 07:54:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1860765 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 07:54:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFDsJD1083742 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 07:54:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFDs8QS029007 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 07:54:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFDs86K029006 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 07:54:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 07:54:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151354.hAFDs86K029006@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 151500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 13.9N3 115.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 115.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 15.1N7 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 16.1N8 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.2N0 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.7N6 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 21.8N1 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.9N5 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.2N7 115.4E1. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9, 160300Z0, 160900Z6 AND 161500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:43:57 2003 X-UIDL: 46606-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005I0DPETM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:32:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFEWtGZ031209 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:32:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5djh055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:23:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1861289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:23:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFENUD1049648 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:23:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFENJQS029210 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:23:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFENJ7S029209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:23:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:23:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 25w (nepartak)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151423.hAFENJ7S029209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 151500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK)/ WARNING NR 13// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 151200Z9 TO 191200Z3 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN POLEWARD OUTFLOW. B. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. BY TAU 36, TY 25W WILL VEER TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AS AN APPROACHING TROUGH WILL WEAKEN THE MID- LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. BY TAU 48, TY 25W WILL MAKE LANDFALL OVER HAINAN AND PROGRESS TOWARD THE NORTH INTO MAINLAND CHINA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER TAU 24, TY 25W WILL ENCOUNTER THE NORTHEAST MONSOON AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITS THROUGH THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ALONG WITH ENCOUNTERING THE NORTHEAST MONSOON, TY 25W WILL ENTER AN ATMOSPHERE OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER HAINAN BY TAU 48 BEFORE HEADING TOWARD MAINLAND CHINA. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON A 150955Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 25W TO MAKE LANDFALL IN MAINLAND CHINA BY TAU 72 AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/BIRD/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:02 2003 X-UIDL: 46607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005IFDPMTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:32:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFEX6GZ031222 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 22:33:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5djl055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:27:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1861337 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFERLD1030098 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:27:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFERAQS029258 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:27:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFERAB4029257 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:27:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 08:27:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151427.hAFERAB4029257@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 138E LOWER AMUR RIVER MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 138E TO 50N 144E 47N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 138E TO 44N 135E 39N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1002 HPA AT 51N 129E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 54N 176E BERING SEA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 22N 131E 18N 130E 17N 119E 18N 116E 18N 113E 22N 113E 25N 120E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 145E 25N 160E 19N 159E 18N 145E 25N 145E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13.8N 171.3E MARSHALLS ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 14N 160E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 148E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 44N 110E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 39N 157E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 13.8N 115.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 120E TO 24N 124E 25N 127E 23N 131E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 171E TO 30N 173E 34N 175E 37N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:17 2003 X-UIDL: 46619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE00519PSXTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:53:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFIsHGZ058922 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:54:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dqD055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:47:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1864339 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:47:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFIlQD1027972 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:47:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFIlGQS001529 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:47:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFIlFrX001528 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:47:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 12:47:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311151847.hAFIlFrX001528@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 151800 WARNING 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 14.0N 114.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 160 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 16.1N 112.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 18.0N 110.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 20.5N 110.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:28 2003 X-UIDL: 46625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE0056FUF7TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 04:33:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFKY1GZ069155 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 04:34:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dsb055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:31:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1865530 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:31:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFKV4D1084526 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:31:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFKUrQS002513 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:30:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFKUrr2002512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:30:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:30:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311152030.hAFKUrr2002512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 46N 140E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 140E TO 46N 145E 43N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 140E TO 41N 138E 34N 131E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 52N 146E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 50N 142E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.2N 171.0E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 14.5N 168.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 54N 178E BERING SEA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 126E 17N 125E 17N 118E 18N 115E 18N 113E 21N 112E 25N 119E 23N 122E 22N 126E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 166E 39N 180E 33N 180E 25N 167E 30N 166E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 14N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 44N 113E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 38N 159E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 14.0N 114.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 121E TO 25N 128E 23N 133E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 171E TO 29N 174E 31N 175E 33N 180E 38N 174W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:30 2003 X-UIDL: 46626-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOE005W3VLCTM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 04:58:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFKxJGZ071774 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 04:59:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dt3055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:53:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1865697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:53:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAFKrFD1103706 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:53:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAFKr4QS002694 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:53:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAFKr4OA002693 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:53:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 14:53:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311152053.hAFKr4OA002693@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 152100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- NEAR 14.5N0 114.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 114.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.6N2 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.8N5 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 18.0N9 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 19.5N5 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 22.5N9 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.3N0 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION NEAR 14.8N3 114.4E0. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z5 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0, 160900Z6, 161500Z3 AND 162100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:41 2003 X-UIDL: 46634-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF00501693TM@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:48:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG0nYFT014193 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:49:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5fdL007822; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 18:43:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1867533 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 18:43:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG0hiD1092634 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 18:43:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG0hXQS004578 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 18:43:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG0hXDD004577 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 18:43:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 18:43:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160043.hAG0hXDD004577@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 160000 WARNING 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 14.2N 113.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 15.3N 111.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 17.5N 110.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 20.0N 110.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:47 2003 X-UIDL: 46637-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF007VSB52VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 10:34:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG2Z9OI019147 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 10:35:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d1P055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:29:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1868235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:29:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG2TDD1049410 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:29:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG2T2QS005418 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:29:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG2T25p005417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:29:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:29:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160229.hAG2T25p005417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 48N 142E SAKHALIN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 142E TO 47N 144E 47N 145E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 145E TO 43N 149E 41N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 145E TO 39N 143E 36N 136E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 52N 147E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.5N 170.0E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 15.1N 166.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 180E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 132E 22N 131E 18N 117E 18N 112E 21N 112E 27N 120E 25N 132E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 172E 32N 169E 38N 180E 33N 180E 31N 177E 27N 172E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13N 160E WSW 10 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 38N 163E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 14.2N 113.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 120E TO 24N 129E 22N 136E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 170E TO 31N 177E 34N 179W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:49 2003 X-UIDL: 46638-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF0072EBAHVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 10:37:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG2cOOI019422 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 10:38:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d1T055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:35:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1868274 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:35:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG2ZQD1049812 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:35:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG2ZFQS005475 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:35:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG2ZFdS005474 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:35:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 20:35:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160235.hAG2ZFdS005474@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- NEAR 14.9N4 113.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 113.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 16.0N7 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.3N1 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 19.0N0 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 20.6N8 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.6N1 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.2N8 113.3E8. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 152330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TY 25W HAS DEVELOPED WEAK DUAL UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CHANNELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z7 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6, 161500Z3, 162100Z0 AND 170300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:44:52 2003 X-UIDL: 46640-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF007WNCT7VW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:10:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG3BFOI021874 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 11:11:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d1b055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:04:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1868400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:04:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG343D1104898 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:04:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG33qQS005662 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:03:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG33qpE005661 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:03:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 21:03:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 25w (nepartak)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160303.hAG33qpE005661@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 160300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK)/ WARNING NR 15// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 160000Z7 TO 200000Z2 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 152330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS TY 25W HAS DEVELOPED WEAK DUAL UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CHANNELS. B. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. BY TAU 24, TY 25W WILL VEER TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AS AN APPROACHING TROUGH WILL WEAKEN THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. BY TAU 36, TY 25W WILL MAKE LANDFALL OVER HAINAN ISLAND AND TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO MAINLAND CHINA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY BEING WELL VENTILATED BY TWO OUTFLOW CHANNELS, ONE ON THE POLEWARD SIDE AND ON THE EQUATORWARD SIDE OF TY 25W. AFTER TAU 12, TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ALONG WITH ENCOUNTERING THE NORTHEAST MONSOON, TY 25W WILL ENTER AN ATMOSPHERE OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON AN RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 25W TO MAKE LANDFALL IN MAINLAND CHINA BY TAU 48 AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:00 2003 X-UIDL: 46645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF007E3KKFVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 13:57:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG5wkOI035241 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 13:58:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d3n055402; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1869429 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG5rPD1037186 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG5rEQS006972 for ; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG5rEI1006970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 15 Nov 2003 23:53:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160553.hAG5rEI1006970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z-170600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/160152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK) IS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 113.7E2, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 160300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.7N0 160.3E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.6N0 159.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTHWEST OF SPORADIC AND WEAK CONVECTION. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 171.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 168.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:04 2003 X-UIDL: 46648-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF007CPN7YVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:55:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG6u6FT044236 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:56:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d5T055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 00:49:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1870101 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 00:49:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG6nsD1099220 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 00:49:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG6nhQS007417 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 00:49:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG6nheR007416 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 00:49:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 00:49:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160649.hAG6nheR007416@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 160600 WARNING 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 14.4N 113.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 16.1N 111.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 18.5N 110.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 20.0N 109.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:08 2003 X-UIDL: 46650-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF008X2R657O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 16:20:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG8LMFT050861 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 16:21:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d6F055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:17:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1870464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:17:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG8HuD1049824 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:17:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG8HjQS007980 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:17:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG8HjLu007979 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:17:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:17:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160817.hAG8HjLu007979@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 160900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- NEAR 14.7N2 112.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 112.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 15.5N1 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 16.5N2 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.7N5 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 18.9N8 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 21.3N6 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 24.6N2 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION NEAR 14.9N4 112.5E9. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 160530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH TY 25W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z3 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3, 162100Z0, 170300Z1 AND 170900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:10 2003 X-UIDL: 46651-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOF0089VRQY7O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 16:32:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG8XoFT051771 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 16:33:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG617ED007824; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:30:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1870502 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:30:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG8UFD1034968 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAG8U4QS008075 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:30:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAG8U4Lw008074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:30:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 02:30:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311160830.hAG8U4Lw008074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 49N 144E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 144E TO 48N 148E 46N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 149E TO 44N 152E 42N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 149E TO 40N 146E 37N 141E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 52N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.4N 169.0E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 14.2N 165.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 53N 178W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 112E 22N 112E 28N 121E 26N 130E 20N 130E 19N 112E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 174E 38N 180E 33N 180E 25N 172E 28N 165E 37N 174E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13N 161E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 05N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 40N 167E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 40N 117E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 14.4N 113.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 121E TO 23N 125E 24N 129E 23N 135E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 174E TO 29N 178E 32N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:21 2003 X-UIDL: 46659-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG007QZ3QLVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:51:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGCqmFT073532 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:52:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5d8l055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 06:48:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1872194 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 06:48:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGCm0D1047270 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 06:48:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGClnQS010387 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 06:47:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGClnh9010386 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 06:47:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 06:47:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161247.hAGClnh9010386@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 161200 WARNING 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 15.0N 112.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 17.0N 110.3E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 19.0N 109.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 21.0N 108.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:22 2003 X-UIDL: 46661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG007E277WVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:07:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGE84OI074245 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:08:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG8MlFN049838; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:03:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1872773 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:01:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGE1oD1104778 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:01:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGE1dQS010934 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:01:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGE1dNN010933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:01:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:01:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161401.hAGE1dNN010933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- NEAR 15.1N7 112.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 112.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 16.1N8 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.2N0 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 18.2N1 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.3N3 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.7N9 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.7N2 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.4N0 111.7E0. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A SLIGHT DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0, 170300Z1, 170900Z7 AND 171500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:29 2003 X-UIDL: 46664-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG0078Y8HPVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:34:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGEZWFT082425 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:35:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dAN055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:31:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1873006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:31:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGEVVD1035948 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:31:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGEVKQS011209 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:31:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGEVKoc011208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:31:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:31:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161431.hAGEVKoc011208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 50N 145E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 145E TO 51N 148E 52N 150E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 150E TO 51N 156E 46N 160E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 150E TO 50N 153E 45N 151E 40N 148E 34N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 59N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 173E 55N 180E 45N 180E 47N 172E 55N 173E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 161E 32N 169E 20N 166E 19N 157E 30N 161E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 174E 38N 180E 29N 180E 23N 174E 36N 174E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 112E 22N 112E 28N 127E 23N 130E 18N 115E 19N 112E 22N 112E 19N 112E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 39N 117E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 40N 171E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 15.0N 112.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 120E TO 22N 124E 23N 127E 24N 131E 22N 134E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 172E TO 26N 176E 40N 167W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:31 2003 X-UIDL: 46665-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG007BK8LDVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:36:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGEbdOI076986 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 22:37:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAEK5dAL055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:30:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1873001 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:30:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGEUUD1034958 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:30:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGEUJQS011188 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:30:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGEUJdE011187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:30:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 08:30:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 25w (nepartak)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161430.hAGEUJdE011187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 161500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK)/ WARNING NR 17// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 161200Z0 TO 201200Z5 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161130Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS A SLIGHT DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. B. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. BY TAU 36, TY 25W WILL VEER TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AS AN APPROACHING TROUGH WILL WEAKEN THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GFDN AND NCEP (GFS). GFDN AND NCEP (GFS) BUILD IN A STRONGER MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE WEST OF TY 25W THUS KEEPING THE SYSTEM ON A WESTWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN AND NCEP (GFS). C. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS BEFORE IT BEGINS A WEAKENING TREND. BY TAU 24, TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ALONG WITH ENCOUNTERING INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, TY 25W WILL ENTER AN ATMOSPHERE WITH DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT AND ENCOUNTER DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 25W TO CROSS THE RIDGE AXIS AND MAKE LANDFALL NORTHEAST OF HANOI AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:47 2003 X-UIDL: 46679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG007MYKKNVW@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 02:55:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGIuVFT009598 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 02:56:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KFR055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 12:51:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1874901 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 12:51:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGIpED1029640 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 12:51:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGIp4QS013699 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 12:51:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGIp0wT013690 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 12:51:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 12:51:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0320 Nepartak (0320) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311161851.hAGIp0wT013690@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 161800 WARNING 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 970 HPA AT 15.5N 111.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 17.3N 109.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 19.5N 108.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 20.0N 107.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:53 2003 X-UIDL: 46684-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG008IVOC67O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 04:16:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGKHoFT017990 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 04:17:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KHh055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:13:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1875812 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:13:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGKDtD1036068 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:13:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGKDjQS014551 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:13:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGKDiXt014550 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:13:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:13:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311162013.hAGKDiXt014550@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- NEAR 15.7N3 111.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 111.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 16.6N3 109.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.7N5 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 18.8N7 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 20.1N3 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 22.1N5 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 24.1N7 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 010 KT, GUSTS 020 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.9N5 110.7E9. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS DRIER AIR BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1, 170900Z7, 171500Z4 AND 172100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:45:55 2003 X-UIDL: 46685-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOG00895P2R7O@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 04:32:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGKXkOI009418 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 04:33:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KIN055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:27:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1876047 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGKROD1104938 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAGKRDQS014655 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:27:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAGKRDC1014654 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:27:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 14:27:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311162027.hAGKRDC1014654@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 52N 149E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 149E TO 53N 150E 54N 152E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 152E TO 55N 157E 52N 162E 45N 164E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 152E TO 53N 156E 48N 156E 41N 154E 36N 147E 32N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 60N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 129E 24N 130E 18N 114E 22N 112E 27N 120E 29N 129E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 180E 29N 180E 24N 166E 31N 166E 35N 180E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13N 168E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 39N 119E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 42N 174E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 970 HPA AT 15.5N 111.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 120E TO 24N 127E 23N 133E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 174E TO 30N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:03 2003 X-UIDL: 46693-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009FX14PH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:53:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH0s8OI031997 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:54:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KNn055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 18:49:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1878425 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 18:49:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH0nCD1092354 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 18:49:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH0n1QS017606 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 18:49:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH0n1uP017605 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 18:49:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 18:49:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) Downgraded From Typhoon Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170049.hAH0n1uP017605@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 170000 WARNING 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975 HPA AT 16.1N 110.5E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 250 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 18.0N 108.8E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 19.0N 107.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 19.5N 106.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:21 2003 X-UIDL: 46705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009KQ4V6H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 10:13:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH2EmOI040054 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 10:14:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KPx055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:08:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1879051 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:08:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH28BD1005334 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:08:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH280QS018692 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:08:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH280W6018691 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:08:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:08:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 019 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170208.hAH280W6018691@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- NEAR 16.3N0 110.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 110.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.3N1 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 18.3N2 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.7N7 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 21.1N4 105.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 24.3N9 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 109.7E7. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS OVERALL CONVECTION OF TY 25W HAS DECREASED AND DRY AIR CONTINUES TO BE ADVECTED INTO THE SYSTEM. RECENT SSM/I SHOWS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7, 171500Z4, 172100Z1 AND 180300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:26 2003 X-UIDL: 46707-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH0097I5MUH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 10:30:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH2VQOI042085 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 10:31:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KQF055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:27:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1879157 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:27:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH2ROD1091406 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:27:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH2REQS018843 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:27:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH2RDuo018842 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:27:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:27:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 25w (nepartak)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170227.hAH2RDuo018842@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 170300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK)/ WARNING NR 19// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 170000Z8 TO 210000Z3 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 25W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 162330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS OVERALL CONVECTION OF TY 25W HAS DECREASED AND DRY AIR CONTINUES TO BE ADVECTED INTO THE SYSTEM. RECENT SSM/I SHOWS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). B. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. BY TAU 24, TY 25W WILL VEER TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AS AN APPROACHING TROUGH WEAKENs THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AND THE SYSTEM IS STEERED TOWARDS THE WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, WBAI AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO THROUGH TAU 24. AFTER TAU 24 THERE IS A CONSIDERABLE SPREAD AS TY 25W HEADS TOWARDS LAND. MODELS WITH A MORE EQUATORWARD TRACK (NOGAPS, JTYM AND NCEP (GFS)) ARE BEING STEERED BY AN APPROACHING MID LEVEL RIDGE FROM THE WEST. THE MODELS WITH A MORE POLEWARD (JGSM AND WBAI) TRACK ARE BEING STEERED TOWARDS THE WEAKNESS IN THE MID LEVEL RIDGE. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASED DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON 162352Z9 QUIKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 25W TO CROSS THE RIDGE AXIS AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY OF HANOI AS A TROPICAL STORM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:28 2003 X-UIDL: 46708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009LP5QSH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 10:32:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH2XmOI042331 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 10:33:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KQH055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:28:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1879165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:28:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH2SeD1029584 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:28:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH2SUQS018855 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:28:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH2SUtN018854 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:28:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 20:28:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170228.hAH2SUtN018854@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 978 HPA AT 51N 150E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 149E TO 56N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 156E TO 52N 164E 46N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 156E TO 50N 159E 36N 152E 31N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 60N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 119E 27N 127E 24N 127E 19N 113E 22N 113E 26N 119E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 176E 36N 180E 28N 180E 26N 176E 36N 176E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13N 167E WEST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 07N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 41N 126E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 42N 176E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 16.1N 110.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 120E TO 22N 125E 24N 133E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 171E TO 25N 176E 29N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:44 2003 X-UIDL: 46727-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009HYE3IH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 13:33:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH5YEFT076702 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 13:34:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KT9055402; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1880396 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH5SCD1092316 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH5S1QS020394 for ; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH5S0ef020391 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 16 Nov 2003 23:28:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170528.hAH5S0ef020391@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z-180600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/170152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8, TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N0 110.1E3, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN ISLAND, TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS GUSTING TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 170300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 13.6N0 159.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 580 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER COSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 168.4E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8N1 166.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTH OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT CONTINUES TO REMAIN NORTHWEST OF THE CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:54 2003 X-UIDL: 46733-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH0091JHNQH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 14:50:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH6pAFT085959 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 14:51:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KU3055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 00:47:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1881148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 00:47:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH6lID1028038 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 00:47:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH6l7QS021004 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 00:47:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH6l7co021003 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 00:47:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 00:47:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170647.hAH6l7co021003@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 170600 WARNING 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 16.3N 109.9E NORTHERN PART OF SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 140 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 17.9N 108.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 19.0N 107.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 19.5N 105.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:46:56 2003 X-UIDL: 46741-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009YCKC5H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:48:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH7mtFT093462 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 15:48:58 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KWH055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:45:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1881697 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:45:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH7jmD1092312 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:45:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH7jcQS021573 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:45:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH7jb4J021572 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:45:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 01:45:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170745.hAH7jb4J021572@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 170900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- NEAR 16.4N1 109.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 109.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.3N1 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 18.1N0 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 18.8N7 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.7N7 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 22.8N2 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 109.4E4. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 170530Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS CONTINUED DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4, 172100Z1, 180300Z2 AND 180900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:02 2003 X-UIDL: 46748-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009DEMK9H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 16:36:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH8b4FT099518 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 16:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KX9055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 02:30:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1882003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 02:30:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH8UaD1059496 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 02:30:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAH8UPQS021971 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 02:30:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAH8UP11021970 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 02:30:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 02:30:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311170830.hAH8UP11021970@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 57N 161E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 161E TO 55N 163E 54N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 163E TO 51N 168E 46N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 163E TO 39N 157E 29N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 61N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 51N 153E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 124E 23N 124E 20N 120E 18N 112E 20N 110E 26N 119E 26N 124E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 171E 35N 180E 27N 180E 23N 176E 28N 171E 34N 171E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13N 167E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 126E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 44N 180E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 16.3N 109.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 119E TO 23N 126E 22N 134E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:20 2003 X-UIDL: 46769-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOH009HPY5QH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:46:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHClROI011458 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:47:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7KZH055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:43:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1882925 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:43:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHCh2D1034870 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:43:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHCgpQS023962 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:42:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHCgpi8023961 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:42:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 06:42:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171242.hAHCgpi8023961@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 171200 WARNING 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 16.6N 109.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 170 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 130 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 18.3N 108.1E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 19.5N 107.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:25 2003 X-UIDL: 46775-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009Z0137H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 21:49:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHDonFT038584 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 21:50:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7Kb1055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:44:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1883398 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:44:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHDiJD1016606 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:44:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHDi8QS025039 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:44:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHDi8CJ025038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:44:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 07:44:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 021 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171344.hAHDi8CJ025038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- NEAR 16.9N6 109.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 109.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.7N5 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.6N5 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.3N3 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.1N3 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.4N8 107.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION NEAR 17.1N9 108.9E8. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1, 180300Z2, 180900Z8 AND 181500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:29 2003 X-UIDL: 46777-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009N12G6H7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 22:19:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHEKEFT041705 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 22:20:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7Kcv055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:12:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1883833 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:12:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHECeD1045522 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:12:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHECTQS025633 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:12:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHECT7g025632 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:12:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:12:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 25w (nepartak)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171412.hAHECT7g025632@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 171500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK)/ WARNING NR 21// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 171200Z1 TO 201200Z5 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 80 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. B. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AN APPROACHING TROUGH OVER EASTERN CHINA IS WEAKENING THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AND THIS WILL KEEP TY 25W ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. BY TAU 48, TY 25W WILL CROSS THE RIDGE AXIS AND TRACK TOWARD NORTHEASTERN VIETNAM WHERE IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GFDN AND THE JAPANESE MODELS (JGSM/JTYM). THOSE THREE MODELS BUILD IN A STRONG RIDGE FROM THE WEST KEEPING TY 25W ON A WESTWARD TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS AND THE BAM MODELS WITH LESS EMPHASIS ON GFDN AND THE JAPANESE MODELS. C. TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. EXPECT MORE RAPID WEAKENING AFTER TAU 24 AS TY 25W WILL ENCOUNTER DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAKENING UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON A 171042Z5 QUIKSCAT PASS AND FORECAST WIND RADII IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE-SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:47:32 2003 X-UIDL: 46779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009J338YH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 17 Nov 2003 22:36:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHEbTFT043567 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 22:37:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7Kf3055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:29:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1884338 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:29:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHETND1003988 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:29:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHETCQS026028 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:29:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHETCln026027 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:29:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 08:29:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171429.hAHETCln026027@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 59N 162E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 162E TO 58N 164E 57N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 165E TO 54N 173E 49N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 165E TO 48N 164E 40N 159E 34N 155E 30N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 62N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 52N 155E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 124E 23N 124E 20N 119E 19N 112E 20N 110E 22N 110E 24N 118E 27N 121E 26N 124E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 174E 32N 180E 25N 180E 20N 172E 26N 170E 31N 174E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13N 167E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 133E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 16.6N 109.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 119E TO 23N 127E 23N 135E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:48:06 2003 X-UIDL: 46802-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI009VCF7BH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:54:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHIthOI058930 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:55:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHFFTjx069438; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:46:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1889395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:46:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHIk1D1100108 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:46:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHIjpQS004068 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:45:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHIjpBT004067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:45:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 12:45:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311171845.hAHIjpBT004067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 171800 WARNING 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 17.5N 109.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 110 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 19.6N 108.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 20.5N 109.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:48:30 2003 X-UIDL: 46815-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI0095HJWFH7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:36:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHKb7FT091401 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 04:37:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAGH7K4n055402; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 14:27:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1891288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 14:27:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHKRtD1045764 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 14:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHKRiQS007075 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 14:27:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHKRimZ007074 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 14:27:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 14:27:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311172027.hAHKRimZ007074@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 59N 162E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 162E TO 60N 164E 59N 167E. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 167E TO 56N 174E 51N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 167E TO 49N 165E 42N 162E 31N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 62N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 124E 22N 123E 18N 112E 21N 111E 23N 117E 27N 119E 26N 124E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 174E 30N 180E 28N 180E 22N 174E 30N 174E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 136E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 975 HPA AT 17.5N 109.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:49:00 2003 X-UIDL: 46833-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI00D0ISS132@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:48:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHNmwOI090323 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:48:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9tkcH098326; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:43:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1895474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:43:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHNh4D1091486 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:43:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHNgrQS012094 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:42:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHNgrg1012092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:42:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:42:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311172342.hAHNgrg1012092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- NEAR 17.6N4 109.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 109.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 18.6N5 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.4N4 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 20.2N4 107.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 20.9N1 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 22.4N8 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION NEAR 17.9N7 108.9E8. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 171730Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS INDICATE THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO HAVE ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW, HOWEVER THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS ERODED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2, 180900Z8, 181500Z5 AND 182100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:49:02 2003 X-UIDL: 46834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI00DDNSWN32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:50:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHNpgOI090649 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 07:51:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJLF031644; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1895505 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHNiQD1087832 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAHNiFQS012131 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAHNiFaj012129 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 17:44:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311172344.hAHNiFaj012129@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 172100 REISSUED 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 171800Z7, TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK) WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N4 109.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 172100) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.4N9 168.4E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 166.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) THAT IS NOW CO-LOCATED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE DEEP CONVECTION IS CYCLIC BUT MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES THE LLCC HAS STRENGHTENED IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR AND UPDATED ALL OTHER INFORMATION. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/RONSSE/STATEN// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:49:13 2003 X-UIDL: 46842-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOI00D81VQD32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:51:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI0qjOI097499 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:52:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAG61711007824; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:46:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1896531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:46:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI0kZD1084698 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:46:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI0kOQS012948 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:46:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI0kO3K012947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:46:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 18:46:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180046.hAI0kO3K012947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 180000 WARNING 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 980 HPA AT 18.1N 108.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 19.7N 108.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 20.5N 109.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 10:49:28 2003 X-UIDL: 46851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DK50LO32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 10:37:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI2bpFT035811 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 10:37:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJSV031644; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:28:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1897823 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI2SJD1081690 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI2S8QS014203 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:28:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI2S8bj014202 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:28:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 20:28:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180228.hAI2S8bj014202@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 60N 163E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 60N 163E TO 61N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 61N 175E TO 53N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 61N 175E TO 48N 166E 44N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 65N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 38N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 44N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 162E TO 28N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 173E 60N 180E 38N 180E 42N 162E 60N 173E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 10N 166E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 36N 139E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 980 HPA AT 18.1N 108.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 174E TO 27N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 15:46:46 2003 X-UIDL: 46870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00D1G9SR32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 13:55:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI5uaOI032786 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 13:56:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJZR031644; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1899862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI5qXD1087872 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI5qMQS016239 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI5qMtm016237 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:52:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180552.hAI5qMtm016237@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z-190600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9, TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N0 108.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 15 NM SOUTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS GUSTING TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 180300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.4N5 166.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8N9 165.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN. A 171823Z2 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WAS PRESENT. HOWEVER, ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISSIPATING DUE TO UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH A UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED TO THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. DUE TO THE WEAKENING CONVECTION AND THE APPROACH OF AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 15:46:55 2003 X-UIDL: 46873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DWBA2H32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:01:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI62QOI033460 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:02:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJZV031644; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:56:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1899891 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:56:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI5ueD1091452 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:56:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI5uTQS016290 for ; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:56:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI5uTjh016289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:56:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 17 Nov 2003 23:56:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: --- Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180556.hAI5uTjh016289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- NEAR 18.1N0 108.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 108.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 19.2N2 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 20.2N4 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.1N4 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.5N8 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.9N2 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 108.8E7. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 15 NM SOUTH OF SOUTHWESTERN HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 172330Z6 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS. A 172255Z2 SSMI PASS REVEALED A A 10 NM EYE FEATURE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL HAS BEEN ENHANCED BY A SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRANSITING NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8, 181500Z5, 182100Z2 AND 190300Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 18 15:47:03 2003 X-UIDL: 46879-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DTBC7M32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:47:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI6mhOI038696 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:48:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJcr031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:45:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1900624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:45:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI6jqD1069508 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:45:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI6jgQS016797 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:45:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI6jfS4016796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:45:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 00:45:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180645.hAI6jfS4016796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 180600 WARNING 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 980 HPA AT 18.6N 108.4E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 19.7N 107.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 20.5N 108.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:37:40 2003 X-UIDL: 46888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DY7HB332@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 16:37:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI8clOI051604 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 16:38:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI61IFl030184; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:28:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1901599 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:28:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI8SoD1015574 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:28:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI8SdQS017701 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:28:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI8Sd7K017700 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:28:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:28:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180828.hAI8Sd7K017700@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 982 HPA AT 61N 169E SIBERIA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 61N 169E TO 64N 175E 61N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 61N 178W TO 59N 171W 55N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 61N 178W TO 57N 180E 52N 173E 48N 169E 43N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 65N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 38N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 164E TO 43N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 164E TO 31N 162E 26N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 48N 168E 57N 180E 46N 180E 34N 172E 34N 163E 48N 168E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09N 164E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 142E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 980 HPA AT 18.6N 108.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:37:43 2003 X-UIDL: 46890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DVEI4432@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 16:55:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI8u8FT081098 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 16:56:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJfv031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:48:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1901721 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:48:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAI8m5D1044988 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:48:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAI8lsQS017877 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:47:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAI8ls9x017876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:47:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 02:47:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 024 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311180847.hAI8ls9x017876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 180900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- NEAR 18.8N7 108.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 108.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 19.8N8 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 20.7N9 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.3N6 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 21.8N1 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 22.3N7 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION NEAR 19.1N1 108.6E5. TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 5 NM EAST OF WESTERN HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 180530Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5, 182100Z2, 190300Z3 AND 190900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:38:15 2003 X-UIDL: 46908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00D30SZG32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:50:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAICoxOI084217 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:51:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJjJ031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:45:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1903169 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:45:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAICjDD1030806 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:45:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAICj2QS020175 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:45:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAICj2J6020174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:45:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 06:45:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) Downgraded From Severe Tropical Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181245.hAICj2J6020174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 181200 WARNING 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 990 HPA AT 19.3N 108.8E HAINAN MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 100 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 20.0N 108.2E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 21.0N 108.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:38:23 2003 X-UIDL: 46918-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DZEXUK32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 22:35:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIEa4FT028142 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 22:36:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJoJ031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:28:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1904394 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:28:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIESED1103888 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:28:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIES3QS021745 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:28:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIES3bF021744 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:28:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:28:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181428.hAIES3bF021744@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 64N 176E SIBERIA MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 37N 166E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 166E TO 46N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 166E TO 31N 164E 26N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 150E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09.7N 164.5E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 148E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 143E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 990 HPA AT 19.3N 108.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 121E TO 28N 126E 26N 130E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:38:32 2003 X-UIDL: 46923-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DZ9Z0I32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 23:00:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIF1EOI099442 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 23:01:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJot031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:54:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1904636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:54:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIEsqD1005178 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:54:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIEsfQS022438 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:54:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIEsfAn022437 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:54:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:54:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 025 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181454.hAIEsfAn022437@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 025 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 25W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 19.3N3 108.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 108.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.8N8 108.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.3N5 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.1N4 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.0N4 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 23.0N5 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 19.4N4 108.5E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 5 NM WEST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES RAPID WEAKENING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2, 190300Z3, 190900Z9 AND 191500Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:38:34 2003 X-UIDL: 46924-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOJ00DZLZ0L32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 18 Nov 2003 23:00:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIF1IFT032100 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 23:01:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJop031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:53:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1904626 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:53:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIErYD1091494 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:53:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIErNQS022403 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:53:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIErNEp022402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:53:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 08:53:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 25w (nepartak)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181453.hAIErNEp022402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 181500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 25W (NEPARTAK)/ WARNING NR 25// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 181200Z2 TO 211200Z6 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 5 NM WEST OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES RAPID WEAKENING OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TS 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWARD INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM CAUSED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH. IN 12 HOURS, THE TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT ALLOWING THE RIDGE TO BUILD WHICH WILL RESULT IN INCREASED SHEAR AND RAPID WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF JTYM, UKMET (EGRR), COAMPS, NOGAPS, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 25W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OUT AND THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS BUILDS IN TO THE NORTH. DUE TO THE LACK OF OUTFLOW, INTERACTION WITH LAND, AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, TS 25W SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. D. CURRENT FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON STORM STRUCTURE OF A SYSTEM ENCOUNTERING SHEAR FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:39:37 2003 X-UIDL: 46952-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00D8L9ZT32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:57:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIIwQOI025619 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:58:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJ51031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:49:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1908699 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:49:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIInXD1081678 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:49:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIInMQS029747 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:49:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIInMZA029746 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:49:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 12:49:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 992 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311181849.hAIInMZA029746@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 181800 WARNING 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 992 HPA AT 19.7N 108.6E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 20.8N 108.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:39:59 2003 X-UIDL: 46963-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00DHEENK32@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 04:38:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIKd4FT072490 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 04:39:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAHMaJBD031644; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:30:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1910457 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:30:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIKUAD1028570 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:30:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAIKTxQS002582 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:30:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAIKTxYI002581 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:29:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 14:29:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311182029.hAIKTxYI002581@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 09.2N 163.8E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 08.7N 162.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 58N 151E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 168E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 168E TO 41N 168E 44N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 168E TO 31N 167E 26N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 47N 165E 60N 173E 60N 180E 39N 180E 37N 173E 47N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 145E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 992 HPA AT 19.7N 108.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 24N 117E TO 26N 121E 28N 126E 26N 133E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 09:40:24 2003 X-UIDL: 46980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00GU0QGWGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:53:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ0sHFT000165 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:54:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAH9tk93098326; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:42:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1914267 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:41:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ0fvD1051258 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:41:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ0fkQS008420 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:41:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ0fkXi008419 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:41:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 18:41:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0320 Nepartak (0320) 996 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190041.hAJ0fkXi008419@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTJP21 RJTD 190000 WARNING 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 996 HPA AT 20.3N 108.7E GULF OF TONKIN MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 21.1N 109.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 21.7N 109.8E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 14:45:42 2003 X-UIDL: 46984-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOK00GP6V1SGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 10:32:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ2XDOI073733 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 10:33:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CUJ030186; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:27:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1915829 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:27:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ2RnD1049254 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:27:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ2RcQS009764 for ; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:27:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ2Rc0q009763 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:27:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 18 Nov 2003 20:27:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190227.hAJ2Rc0q009763@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 09.0N 163.6E MARSHALLS ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 09.4N 162.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 42N 173E 41N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 170E TO 33N 170E 26N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 58N 153E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 170E 60N 180E 51N 180E 53N 173E 60N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 129E 20N 129E 20N 123E 24N 124E 24N 129E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 170E 55N 180E 46N 175E 45N 166E 55N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 28N 127E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 31N 179W NW SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 28N 127E TO 27N 129E 26N 130E. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 127E TO 26N 125E 25N 122E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 11N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 54N 118E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 35N 148E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 996 HPA AT 20.3N 108.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 14:46:17 2003 X-UIDL: 47009-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GQC54SGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:10:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6B1OI007310 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:11:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626EL031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1917789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ65JD1038202 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ658QS011953 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ658IE011951 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:05:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190605.hAJ658IE011951@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z-200600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/190252ZNOV2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/181721ZNOV2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL/ CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK) WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N4 108.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM NORTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 190300) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 165.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N7 163.3E3, APPROXIMATELY 280 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THERE ARE MULTIPLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS (LLCC) AND THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AS FLOW PROPAGATES TO THE NORTHEAST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALSO REMAINS LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 14:46:23 2003 X-UIDL: 47013-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GF46P2GE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:43:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6ilFT051819 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:44:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626FN031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:38:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1918276 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:38:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6cRD1059622 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:38:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ6cHQS012277 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:38:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ6cGgr012276 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:38:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 00:38:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 027a Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190638.hAJ6cGgr012276@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 190300 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 027A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- NEAR 20.2N4 108.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 108.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 21.1N4 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 21.9N2 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 22.3N7 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION NEAR 20.4N6 108.9E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM NORTH OF HAINAN ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 182330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z0 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9, 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT FROM NORTHWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 17:04:11 2003 X-UIDL: 47025-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00GO5BSQGE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:34:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ8YtOI027137 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:34:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626Hb031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:28:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1919270 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ8SRD1064740 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ8SGQS013135 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:28:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ8SGai013134 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:28:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:28:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190828.hAJ8SGai013134@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 09.0N 163.2E MARSHALLS ALMOST STATIONARY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 09.6N 162.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 171E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 171E TO 42N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 172E TO 41N 174E 40N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 172E TO 35N 172E 28N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA AT 58N 153E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 29N 127E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 127E TO 27N 129E 26N 130E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 127E TO 26N 125E 25N 124E 24N 122E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 170E 60N 170E 60N 180E 47N 180E 50N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 167E 54N 180E 45N 180E 49N 168E 52N 167E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 0320 NEPARTAK (0320) 1004 HPA AT 21N 109E NNE 07 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 128E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 150E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 19 21:35:17 2003 X-UIDL: 47030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00G5WD79GE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:04:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ95DOI032821 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 17:05:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CYx030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:54:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1919410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:54:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ8sdD1081820 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:54:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJ8sSQS013372 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:54:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJ8sSYR013371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:54:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 02:54:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 028 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311190854.hAJ8sSYR013371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 190900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 028 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 25W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- NEAR 20.8N0 109.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 109.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 21.7N0 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 22.3N7 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION NEAR 21.0N3 109.2E2. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 25W (NEPARTAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 11 NM SOUTH OF THE CHINA COAST, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 45 KNOTS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SYNOPTIC REPORTS IN THE AREA INDICATE A RAPIDLY WEAKENING SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z6 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6, 192100Z3 AND 200300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:23:58 2003 X-UIDL: 47051-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00I9OSFCEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 22:33:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJEY5OI078592 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 22:34:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626PN031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:26:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1922382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJEQjD1096774 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:26:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJEQYQS017068 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:26:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJEQYh5017067 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:26:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:26:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191426.hAJEQYh5017067@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 08.8N 162.4E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 09.5N 161.2E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 43N 173E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 173E TO 42N 176E 39N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 173E TO 37N 175E 29N 170E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 173E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 154E SIBERIA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 29N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 128E TO 28N 129E 26N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 128E TO 28N 128E 27N 126E 24N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 170E 58N 180E 46N 180E 48N 173E 53N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 170E 51N 170E 51N 180E 40N 180E 45N 170E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 21N 110E NNE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 11N 127E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 152E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:24:06 2003 X-UIDL: 47053-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOL00ISCTOTEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:00:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJF1NFT024395 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:01:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626QP031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:49:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1922737 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:49:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJEnHD1049916 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:49:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJEn6QS017698 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:49:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJEn6JW017697 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:49:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 08:49:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 25w (nepartak) Warning Nr 029 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191449.hAJEn6JW017697@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 191500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (NEPARTAK) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- NEAR 21.7N0 109.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 109.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 22.6N0 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 23.5N0 111.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 010 KT, GUSTS 020 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION NEAR 21.9N2 109.9E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 25W (NEPARTAK), MOVED ACROSS THE COAST OF CHINA JUST WEST OF BEIHAI AROUND 190900Z9. TD 25W HAS TRACKED NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191130Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS SUGGESTING MUCH WEAKER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:24:23 2003 X-UIDL: 47064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IIJ2QXEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:16:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJIH6FT057998 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:17:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626er031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1926518 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJI93D1103840 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:09:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJI8qQS024513 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:08:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJI8quB024512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:08:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 12:08:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/ref Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtpn22 Pgtw Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311191808.hAJI8quB024512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN22 PGTW 191730 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 191721Z NOV 03// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181721ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 181730)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.4N3 162.7E6 TO 10.9N0 154.4E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 191500Z6 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 161.6E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.3N4 165.3E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 161.6E4, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM NORTHEAST OF KWAJALEIN. RECENT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS (LLCC) AND THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AS FLOW PROPAGATES TO THE NORTHEAST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ALSO REMAINS LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 201730Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:05 2003 X-UIDL: 47086-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IUC9LQEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 04:44:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJKjCFT084455 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 04:45:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626lV031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:31:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1928678 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:31:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJKV7D1003848 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:31:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJKUuQS028893 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:30:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJKUuWE028892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:30:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:30:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311192030.hAJKUuWE028892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 08.6N 162.2E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 09.4N 161.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 46N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 176E TO 41N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 176E TO 38N 177E 29N 173E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 157E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 30N 129E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 30N 129E TO 27N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 30N 129E TO 27N 127E 24N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 170E 51N 180E 43N 179E 46N 170E 51N 170E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 35N 153E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:07 2003 X-UIDL: 47087-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00I4HANREO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:07:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJL81FT087485 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:08:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8CrT030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:58:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1929190 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:58:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJKwnD1027170 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:58:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJKwcQS029791 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:58:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJKwc1Y029790 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:58:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 14:58:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311192058.hAJKwc1Y029790@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 192100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191729Z NOV 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- NEAR 9.0N9 161.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N9 161.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 8.9N7 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 8.9N7 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 9.0N9 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 9.3N2 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 10.0N1 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.6N7 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 11.4N6 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 9.0N9 161.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 191730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30, AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 191729Z NOV 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 191730) NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5, 200900Z1, 201500Z8, AND 202100Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:11 2003 X-UIDL: 47091-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00GCKCJ2GE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:47:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJLmOFT093120 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 05:48:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626oh031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:33:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1929704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:33:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJLXlD1050776 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:33:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJLXaQS001063 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:33:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJLXaai001062 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:33:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 15:33:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311192133.hAJLXaai001062@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ31 PGUM 192127 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 730 AM GUAM LST THU NOV 20 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W RECENTLY FORMED NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI... NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR CHUUK THIS AFTERNOON. AT 7 AM GUAM LST..2100Z..THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 161.3 DEGREES EAST OR ABOUT 260 MILES NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND 60 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF UJELANG. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE CURRENTLY 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 161.3 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ STANKO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 10:25:24 2003 X-UIDL: 47097-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00I1OEZ4EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:40:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJMfAOI054841 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 06:41:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626sN031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1930613 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJMQpD1041166 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAJMQfQS002835 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAJMQe34002833 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 16:26:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311192226.hAJMQe34002833@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 192200 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/192200Z-200600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191352ZNOV2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191952ZNOV2003// NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NEPARTAK) WAS LOCATED NEAR NEAR 21.7N0 109.7E7, THE SYSTEM HAS MADE LANDFALL JUST WEST OF BEIHAI AT AROUND 190900Z9. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 191500) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 191800, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W, WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:08:31 2003 X-UIDL: 47118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00ID3Q05EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 10:38:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK2dRFT032374 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 10:39:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6264P031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:31:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1934257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:31:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK2VCD1092308 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:31:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK2V2QS006808 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:31:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK2V2YJ006807 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:31:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:31:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200231.hAK2V2YJ006807@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 09.0N 162.0E MARSHALLS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 10.0N 160.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 51N 177E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 177E TO 47N 177W 43N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 177E TO 42N 179W 36N 180E 28N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 31N 130E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 30N 131E 29N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 27N 128E 24N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 150E 56N 137E 59N 143E 53N 156E 49N 150E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 154E EAST 10 KT. LOW 996 HPA AT 58N 166E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 39N 150E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 163E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:08:34 2003 X-UIDL: 47119-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00I04QD6EO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 10:46:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK2lDOI086062 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 10:47:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6264V031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:35:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1934308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:35:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK2ZGD1050870 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:35:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK2Z5QS006845 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:35:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK2Z5xp006844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:35:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 20:35:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200235.hAK2Z5xp006844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 200300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- NEAR 8.9N7 161.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 161.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 8.8N6 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 8.7N5 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 8.9N7 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 9.2N1 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 9.9N8 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 10.5N6 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 10.8N9 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION NEAR 8.9N7 161.2E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z2 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1, 201500Z8, 202100Z5 AND 210300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:08:41 2003 X-UIDL: 47126-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IUMS5DEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:24:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK3PiFT039946 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:25:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6264n031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:16:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1934520 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:16:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK3GED1007726 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:16:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK3G3QS007338 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:16:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK3G3mi007337 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:16:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:16:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 26w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200316.hAK3G3mi007337@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 200300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W/ WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 200000Z2 TO 250000Z7 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 192330Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). B. TD 26W IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AND IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGH TAU 36 AT WHICH TIME, A TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL WEAKEN THE STEERING RIDGE GIVING TD 26W A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, NOGAPS, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. HOWEVER, DURING THE INITIAL 12 HOURS, THEY STEER THE SYSTEM MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THAN THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS, PERSISTENCE AND CLIMATOLOGY. C. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNTIL TAU 72 AND THEN INCREASE INTENSITY AT A SLIGHTLY LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS THE RIDGE REORIENTS. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/NUTONGLA/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:08:43 2003 X-UIDL: 47127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IQDSNREO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:35:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK3amFT041481 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 11:36:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8C0L030186; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:29:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1934605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:29:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK3TXD1092336 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:29:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK3TMQS007439 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:29:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK3TMmu007438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:29:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 21:29:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200329.hAK3TMmu007438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPQ31 PGUM 200329 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST THU NOV 20 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W NEARLY STATIONARY NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR CHUUK AND/OR POHNPEI THIS EVENING. AT 1 PM GUAM LST..0300Z..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 161.3 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 250 MILES NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...8.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 161.3 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...NEARLY STATIONARY WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:08:55 2003 X-UIDL: 47139-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOM00IOBZGSEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:02:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK63mFT060961 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:03:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ6267x031646; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1935816 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK5tND1049170 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK5tCQS008819 for ; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK5tCDI008817 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 19 Nov 2003 23:55:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200555.hAK5tCDI008817@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z-210600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/200152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W, WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 16:09:03 2003 X-UIDL: 47145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00I0G1TVEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:53:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK6srFT068115 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:54:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAJ626CX031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1936541 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK6kkD1049748 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK6kZQS009358 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK6kZWK009356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 00:46:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200646.hAK6kZWK009356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 200600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z-210600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/200152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 161.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: ADDED STORM POSITION IN PARA 1.A.(1). FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 18:14:38 2003 X-UIDL: 47152-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LMH6FFG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:33:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK8YCOI029669 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:34:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8C41030186; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:28:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1937008 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK8S6D1036020 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK8RtQS010081 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:27:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK8Rt5m010080 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:27:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:27:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200827.hAK8Rt5m010080@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 34N 129E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 129E TO 34N 132E 34N 136E 32N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 129E TO 31N 125E 28N 120E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 35N 141E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 43N 148E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 131E MOVING EAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 09.3N 160.6E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 10.0N 157.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 180E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 180E TO 51N 173W 47N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 180E TO 40N 178W 34N 180E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 165E MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 144E 58N 141E 59N 151E 50N 155E 49N 144E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 58N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 42N 154E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 18:14:53 2003 X-UIDL: 47157-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00IJV7NUEO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:59:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK90pOI033586 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 17:00:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8C45030186; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1937076 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK8tGD1055520 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK8t5QS010267 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK8t5qR010265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 02:55:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200855.hAK8t5qR010265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 200900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- NEAR 8.8N6 161.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N6 161.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 8.7N5 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 8.8N6 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 9.1N0 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 9.3N2 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 9.7N6 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.0N1 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 10.4N5 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION NEAR 8.8N6 161.1E9. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 200530Z0 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30, AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z8 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8, 202100Z5, 210300Z6 AND 210900Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 20 18:15:12 2003 X-UIDL: 47163-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LCRAGVG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:00:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKA1NFT095972 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 18:01:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huDh031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:51:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1937243 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:51:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK9pJD1008196 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:51:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAK9p8QS010865 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:51:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAK9p8gk010864 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:51:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 03:51:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311200951.hAK9p8gk010864@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ31 PGUM 200951 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST THU NOV 20 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR CHUUK AND/OR POHNPEI ON FRIDAY. AT 7 PM GUAM LST..0900Z..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 161.1 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 240 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS NEARLY STATIONARY. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...8.8 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 161.1 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...NEARLY STATIONARY WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM FRIDAY GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:01 2003 X-UIDL: 47194-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LVXN6LG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:35:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKEa4FT036275 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:36:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAIH8C8t030186; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:29:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1939543 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:29:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKET3D1050702 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:29:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKESqQS013706 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:28:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKESqt9013705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:28:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:28:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 26w Warning Nr 004 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201428.hAKESqt9013705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPN31 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- NEAR 8.9N7 160.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 160.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 9.1N0 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 9.4N3 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 9.7N6 154.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 9.9N8 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 10.5N6 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 10.9N0 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.3N6 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION NEAR 9.0N9 160.3E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A SLIGHT INCREASE IN POLEWARD OUTFLOW OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5, 210300Z6, 210900Z2 AND 211500Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:06 2003 X-UIDL: 47195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LWWN6TG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:35:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKEaCFT036289 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:36:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK9XLFp030726; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:29:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1939546 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:29:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKET4D1016778 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:29:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKESrQS013711 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:28:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKESrPm013710 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:28:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:28:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201428.hAKESrPm013710@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 35N 131E SEA AROUND TUSHIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 131E TO 35N 134E 34N 136E 34N 139E 33N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 131E TO 29N 126E 26N 117E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 39N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 46N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 134E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 08.8N 160.3E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 09.3N 157.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 58N 179W BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 179W TO 56N 177W 55N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 175W TO 53N 171W 50N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 175W TO 46N 173W 36N 178W. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 144E 57N 138E 60N 143E 51N 160E 47N 165E 46N 155E 50N 144E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 58N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 61N 166E NORTH 15 KT. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 47N 96E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 40N 159E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 34N 168E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:14 2003 X-UIDL: 47199-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LJCO9RG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:58:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKExaFT040250 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 22:59:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huLR031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:49:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1939673 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:49:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKEnVD1091426 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:49:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKEnKQS014174 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:49:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKEnKpQ014173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:49:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 08:49:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 26w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201449.hAKEnKpQ014173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WDPN31 PGTW 201500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W/ WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 201200Z5 TO 251200Z0 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES A SLIGHT INCREASE IN POLEWARD OUTFLOW OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. B. TD 26W IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY A LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THE STEERING RIDGE IS CURRENTLY BEING BUILT IN FROM THE WEST AND TD 26W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS STEERING RIDGE. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THIS TRACK THROUGH TAU 96. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. HOWEVER, DURING THE INITIAL 12 HOURS, GFDN AND NOGAPS STEER THE SYSTEM MORE NORTHWESTWARD THAN THE FORECAST TRACK DUE TO INITIALIZING A WEAKER STEERING RIDGE TO THE WEST. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS, PERSISTENCE AND CLIMATOLOGY. C. TD 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH TAU 72 AS TD 26W WILL CONTINUE TO BE INFLUENCED BY A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TD 26W TO VEER TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AS AN APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST WILL BREAKDOWN THE STEERING RIDGE. EXPECT INTENSIFICATION TO BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN CLIMATOLOGY AS TD 26W MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE PROVIDING BETTER OUTFLOW ALOFT. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:30 2003 X-UIDL: 47212-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HON00LCLQZJG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:57:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKFwHFT051749 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:58:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huNt031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:50:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1940500 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:50:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKFonD1046966 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:50:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKFocQS015996 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:50:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKFoci6015995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:50:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 09:50:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311201550.hAKFoci6015995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WTPQ31 PGUM 201550 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST FRI NOV 21 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W MOVES SLOWLY WEST... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR CHUUK AND/OR POHNPEI TODAY. AT 1 AM GUAM LST..1500 UTC..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 160.3 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 204 MILES NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP A WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 160.3 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 6 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM OR SOONER IF NECESSARY. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:56 2003 X-UIDL: 47227-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L3C49LG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 04:44:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKKj7OI051903 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 04:45:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hubl031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:30:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1944761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:30:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKKUPD1044902 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:30:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKKUEQS024497 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:30:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKKUEOo024496 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:30:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:30:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311202030.hAKKUEOo024496@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 35N 140E HONSHU MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 140E TO 34N 142E 32N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 140E TO 34N 138E 34N 135E 32N 132E 28N 128E 26N 123E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW AND NEAR COLD FRONT FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 39N 147E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 48N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 136E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 08.7N 160.2E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 09.3N 157.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 45N 133E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 146E 56N 138E 58N 144E 53N 155E 49N 158E 50N 146E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 61N 177W BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 61N 177W TO 60N 173W 57N 170W. WARM FRONT FROM 57N 170W TO 54N 166W 50N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 57N 170W TO 46N 170W 37N 174W. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 60N 168E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 58N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1048 HPA AT 47N 99E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 41N 160E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:54:58 2003 X-UIDL: 47228-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LC2536G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:01:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKL2qFT015857 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 05:02:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hucJ031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:49:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1944976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:49:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKKniD1024872 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:49:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKKnXQS025123 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:49:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKKnXiN025122 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:49:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 14:49:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 26w Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311202049.hAKKnXiN025122@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 202100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- NEAR 8.9N7 160.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 160.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 9.1N0 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 9.3N2 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 9.6N5 154.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 9.8N7 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 10.7N8 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 11.8N0 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.9N3 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION NEAR 9.0N9 159.8E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 201730Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SOUTH OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE LLCC IS BASED ON A RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6, 210900Z2, 211500Z9 AND 212100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:04 2003 X-UIDL: 47232-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L7685KG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:08:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKM96OI062767 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:09:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huf1031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1945913 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAKM0uD1104958 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAKM0jQS027221 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAKM0jSa027218 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 16:00:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311202200.hAKM0jSa027218@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ31 PGUM 202145 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST FRI NOV 21 2003 ..TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT PASSES ABOUT 180 MILES NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. HOWEVER...A TYPHOON WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR CHUUK LATER TODAY. AT 7 AM GUAM LST..2100 UTC..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.8 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 180 MILES NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL STORM 26W IS MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP A WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THEN MAKE A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK AFTER IT PASSES NORTH OF CHUUK IN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 159.8 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST OR SOONER IF NECESSARY. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:40 2003 X-UIDL: 47253-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L68KXEG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 10:44:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL2iwOI092459 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 10:44:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hulp031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:30:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1948471 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:30:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL2UOD1013214 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:30:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL2UEQS001178 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:30:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL2UDFP001177 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:30:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:30:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210230.hAL2UDFP001177@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 44N 144E HOKKAIDO MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 144E TO 42N 147E 39N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 144E TO 43N 143E 41N 142E 39N 141E 37N 139E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 52N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 08.5N 159.8E MARSHALLS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 08.5N 157.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 34N 146E 30N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 32N 139E 31N 134E 28N 132E 25N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 156E 54N 161E 52N 177E 42N 178E 43N 170E 50N 156E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 60N 168E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 41N 165E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 45N 102E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:42 2003 X-UIDL: 47254-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L4OLS3G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:02:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL33NOI094880 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 11:03:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7humP031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:47:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1948659 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:47:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL2l2D1036570 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:47:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL2kpQS001321 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:46:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL2kpCb001320 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:46:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 20:46:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 26w Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210246.hAL2kpCb001320@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPN31 PGTW 210300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- NEAR 8.9N7 160.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 160.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 9.1N0 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 9.3N2 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 9.6N5 154.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 9.8N7 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 10.6N7 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 12.0N3 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.5N0 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION NEAR 9.0N9 159.7E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 202330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS NORTH OF CONVECTIVE BANDS BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO TS 26W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2, 211500Z9, 212100Z6 AND 220300Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 12:55:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47260-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00L3UOHJG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:00:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL41sFT068935 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:01:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hunV031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:54:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1949156 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:54:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL3sdD1027200 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:54:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL3sSQS002031 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:54:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL3sSCk002030 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:54:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 21:54:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210354.hAL3sSCk002030@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_75_100' WTPQ31 PGUM 210354 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST FRI NOV 21 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 26W MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. ALTHOUGH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED FOR CHUUK LAGOON TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HALL ISLANDS NORTH OF CHUUK SATURDAY NIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY. RESIDENTS OF CHUUK STATE LIVING IN THE HALL ISLANDS AND ULUL SHOULD PREPARE FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS AS THE TROPICAL STORM PASSES BY. AT 1 PM GUAM LST..0300 UTC..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 159.5 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 170 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL STORM 26W IS MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS SATURDAY NIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 159.5 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 21 13:17:41 2003 X-UIDL: 47266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LQKROGG7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:09:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL5AmOI009462 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 13:10:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huoX031646; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1949594 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL54YD1049186 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL54NQS002741 for ; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL54Nkb002739 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 20 Nov 2003 23:04:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210504.hAL54Nkb002739@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, LINES_OF_YELLING_3, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __UPPERCASE_50_75' ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z-220600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/210152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3, TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.9N7 160.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTHEAST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:00 2003 X-UIDL: 47281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOO00LY0YZ0G7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:47:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL7mMnR099928 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:48:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hurL031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:41:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1950603 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:41:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL7fBD1037222 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:41:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL7f0QS004314 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:41:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL7f0cB004313 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:41:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 01:41:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 26w Warning Nr 007 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210741.hAL7f0cB004313@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 210900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- NEAR 9.1N0 158.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.1N0 158.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 9.4N3 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 9.8N7 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 10.0N1 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 10.2N3 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 10.8N9 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 13.0N4 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 14.7N2 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION NEAR 9.2N1 158.0E4. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 210530Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9, 212100Z6, 220300Z7 AND 220900Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:14 2003 X-UIDL: 47288-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002MP0Z0AE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 16:30:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL8VYnR006559 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 16:31:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7hurf031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:28:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1950805 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:28:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL8SLD1027338 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL8SAQS004723 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:28:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL8SAh9004722 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:28:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 02:28:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210828.hAL8SAh9004722@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 45N 145E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 145E TO 44N 148E 41N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 145E TO 40N 143E 36N 139E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 49N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 42N 139E MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 08.4N 158.5E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 09.0N 154.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 169E 40N 180E 25N 180E 23N 167E 37N 169E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 161E 60N 180E 47N 180E 50N 162E 60N 161E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 42N 169E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:28 2003 X-UIDL: 47299-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002MA4YGAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 17:56:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL9vcnR022975 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 17:57:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7husD031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:53:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1951035 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:53:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAL9rFD1049448 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:53:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAL9r4QS005678 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:53:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAL9r48i005677 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:53:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 03:53:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311210953.hAL9r48i005677@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 210952 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST FRI NOV 21 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 26W MOVING SLOWLY NORTH OF POHNPEI... NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. ALTHOUGH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED FOR CHUUK LAGOON TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HALL ISLANDS NORTH OF CHUUK SATURDAY NIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY. RESIDENTS OF CHUUK STATE LIVING IN THE HALL ISLANDS AND ULUL SHOULD PREPARE FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS AS THE TROPICAL STORM PASSES BY. AT 7 PM GUAM LST..0900 UTC..THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.2 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 158.0 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 160 MILES NORTH OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL STORM 26W IS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS SATURDAY NIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...9.2 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 158.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SATURDAY GUAM LST. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:45 2003 X-UIDL: 47308-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002CQDB7AE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:57:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALCw2nR051194 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:58:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huu5031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:51:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1952011 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:51:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALCpND1051216 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:51:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALCpCQS007197 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:51:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALCpCpm007196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:51:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 06:51:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) Upgraded From Tropical Depression Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211251.hALCpCpm007196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 211200 WARNING 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 08.5N 156.6E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 08.5N 151.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 08.5N 146.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 08.5N 142.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:10:53 2003 X-UIDL: 47312-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP00246F3XAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:35:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALDasnR057763 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:36:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huuT031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:30:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1952220 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:30:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALDUQD1077854 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:30:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALDUGQS007561 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:30:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALDUFBp007560 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:30:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:30:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 26w Warning Nr 008 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211330.hALDUFBp007560@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 9.2N1 157.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.2N1 157.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 9.6N5 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 9.9N8 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 10.1N2 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 10.3N4 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 11.1N3 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 13.4N8 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 15.7N3 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 9.3N2 156.3E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6, 220300Z7, 220900Z3 AND 221500Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:11:00 2003 X-UIDL: 47316-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002PKG9AAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:00:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALE1ekI084466 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:01:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huv1031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:56:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1952450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:56:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALDu8D1007690 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:56:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALDtvQS007893 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:55:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALDtviw007892 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:55:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 07:55:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 26w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211355.hALDtviw007892@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 211500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W/ WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 211200Z6 TO 261200Z1 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. B. TS 26W IS CURRENTLY BEING STEERED BY A LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. TS 26W IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED IN THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE RIDGE. THIS STEERING RIDGE IS RAPIDLY BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST GIVING TS 26W A FASTER RATE OF ADVANCEMENT COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS 12 HOURS. TS 26W IS EXPECTED TO KEEP A WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE NEXT 72 HOURS AS IT PROGRESSES ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND AVN (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS, PERSISTENCE, AND CLIMATOLOGY. C. TS 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE INFLUENCED BY A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TS 26W TO SLOWLY VEER TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AFTER TAU 96 AS AN APPROACHING TROUGH FROM THE WEST WEAKENS THE STEERING RIDGE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/NUTONGLA// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:11:04 2003 X-UIDL: 47318-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP00228HQSAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:32:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALEXlkI088267 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:33:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAK7huwF031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 08:27:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1952801 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 08:27:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALER2D1008282 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 08:27:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALEQpQS008379 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 08:26:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALEQpNs008378 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 08:26:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 08:26:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211426.hALEQpNs008378@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 46N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 147E TO 44N 150E 41N 152E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 147E TO 41N 146E 35N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 51N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 986 HPA AT 45N 140E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 168E 40N 180E 28N 180E 22N 164E 36N 168E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 58N 163E 58N 180E 47N 180E 48N 165E 58N 163E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 44N 109E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 43N 174E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 998 HPA AT 08.5N 156.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:11:10 2003 X-UIDL: 47323-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP002N3LQQAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:59:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALG0CkI006315 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:00:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALFngDB031646; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 09:49:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1956797 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 09:48:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALFmmD1023200 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 09:48:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALFmbQS010881 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 09:48:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALFmbEH010880 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 09:48:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 09:48:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211548.hALFmbEH010880@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 211548 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST SAT NOV 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM 26W IS MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH AS IT PASSES ABOUT 210 MILES NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI... TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. ALTHOUGH A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED FOR CHUUK LAGOON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HALL ISLANDS NORTH OF CHUUK SATURDAY NIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. RESIDENTS OF CHUUK STATE LIVING IN THE HALL AND ULUL ISLANDS SHOULD PREPARE FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS AS THE TROPICAL STORM PASSES BY. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM 26W WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 156.3 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 210 MILES NORTHWEST OF POHNPEI. TROPICAL STORM 26W IS MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS SATURDAY NIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...9.3 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 156.3 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 17 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM SATURDAY GUAM LST. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:12:21 2003 X-UIDL: 47363-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP0022RTWLAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:55:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALIuYkI043303 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:56:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvH9031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:51:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1959420 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:51:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALIpaD1023202 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:51:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALIpPQS016477 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:51:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALIpP2R016476 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:51:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 12:51:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) 994 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311211851.hALIpP2R016476@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 211800 WARNING 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 994 HPA AT 07.8N 154.8E SEA AROUND OF TRUK MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 07.5N 148.1E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 07.0N 143.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 07.5N 140.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:12:54 2003 X-UIDL: 47383-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP0032UYM3JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 04:37:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALKcDnR046617 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 04:38:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvLv031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:31:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1960662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:31:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALKV1D1070476 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:31:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALKUoQS019128 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:30:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALKUofH019127 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:30:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:30:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311212030.hALKUofH019127@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 48N 151E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 47N 155E 44N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 44N 151E 41N 149E 40N 146E 36N 142E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 52N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 982 HPA AT 48N 143E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 114E 22N 114E 25N 119E 20N 123E 20N 114E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 164E 60N 180E 47N 180E 47N 169E 60N 164E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 170E 37N 180E 27N 180E 22N 170E 35N 170E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 34N 116E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 44N 177E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 994 HPA AT 07.8N 154.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:12:56 2003 X-UIDL: 47384-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOP0037PZ9FJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 04:51:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALKqFkI064707 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 04:52:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvMb031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:45:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1960880 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:45:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALKjkD1019520 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:45:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALKjZQS019514 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:45:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALKjZue019513 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:45:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 14:45:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311212045.hALKjZue019513@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 211800 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 48N 151E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 47N 156E 44N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 43N 150E 40N 146E 36N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 52N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 982 HPA AT 48N 143E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 114E 22N 114E 25N 119E 20N 123E 20N 114E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 164E 60N 180E 47N 180E 47N 169E 60N 164E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 170E 37N 180E 27N 180E 22N 170E 35N 170E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 34N 116E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 44N 177E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 994 HPA AT 07.8N 154.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:06 2003 X-UIDL: 47389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002J21A6AE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:34:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLZsnR054813 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:35:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvP9031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:31:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1961601 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:31:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLV2D1078826 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:31:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALLUpQS020664 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:30:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALLUpat020663 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:30:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:30:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311212130.hALLUpat020663@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 212100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- NEAR 8.8N6 155.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.8N6 155.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 8.9N7 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 9.0N9 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 9.2N1 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 9.5N4 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 10.6N7 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.5N9 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 16.0N7 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION NEAR 8.8N6 154.9E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 211730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IMPROVED OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z2 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7, 220900Z3, 221500Z0 AND 222100Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:12 2003 X-UIDL: 47392-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002BG275AE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:54:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLtgkI072523 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 05:55:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwJF048798; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:47:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1961798 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:47:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLlJD1077876 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:47:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALLl9QS021055 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:47:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALLl9Cq021054 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:47:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:47:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311212147.hALLl9Cq021054@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 212147 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LUPIT ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SAT NOV 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH AS IT PASSES ABOUT 260 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT...GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 72 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.5 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 260 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK AND ABOUT 780 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TYPHOON LATER TODAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...8.8 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 155.5 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:18 2003 X-UIDL: 47395-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ0034P2RYJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:07:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALM8BkI074049 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:08:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvQf031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:59:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1962044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:59:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALLxoD1088442 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:59:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hALLxdQS021527 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:59:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hALLxd87021526 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:59:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 15:59:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311212159.hALLxd87021526@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 212159 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LUPIT ADVISORY NUMBER 9...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SAT NOV 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH AS IT PASSES ABOUT 260 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT. A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 72 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 155.5 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 260 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK AND ABOUT 780 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50 MPH. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TYPHOON LATER TODAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...8.8 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 155.5 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:50 2003 X-UIDL: 47414-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ0025OAKWAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:55:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM0ujkI093008 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:56:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvXH031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:48:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1964621 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:48:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM0miD1064876 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:48:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM0mXQS024179 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:48:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM0mXJh024178 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:48:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:48:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) Upgraded From Tropical Storm Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220048.hAM0mXJh024178@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 220000 WARNING 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 985 HPA AT 08.4N 153.6E NEAR TRUK MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 08.9N 148.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 08.5N 143.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 09.5N 140.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 09:13:52 2003 X-UIDL: 47415-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002CCAT9AE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:00:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM11jkI093457 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:01:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvXT031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:58:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1964717 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:58:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM0wKD1012312 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:58:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM0wAQS024281 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:58:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM0w9VU024280 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:58:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 18:58:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220058.hAM0w9VU024280@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 220058 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SAT NOV 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM LUPIT MOVING WEST AND INTENSIFYING... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 72 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 153.6 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 143 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHUUK AND ABOUT 680 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND PASSING SOUTH OF GUAM MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TYPHOON LATER TODAY. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...8.7 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 153.6 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 10:56:58 2003 X-UIDL: 47416-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003LMB74JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:09:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM1A4nR082580 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:10:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvXn031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:03:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1964806 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:03:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM13TD1077902 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:03:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM13JQS024396 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:03:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM13ITi024395 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:03:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 19:03:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220103.hAM13ITi024395@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 220103 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SAT NOV 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM LUPIT MOVING WEST AND INTENSIFYING... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 72 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 153.6 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 143 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHUUK AND ABOUT 680 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND PASSING SOUTH OF GUAM MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TYPHOON LATER TODAY. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...8.7 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 153.6 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 10:57:19 2003 X-UIDL: 47422-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ0030EF45JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 10:33:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM2YgnR092785 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 10:34:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvZn031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:29:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1965578 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:29:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM2TCD1049514 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:29:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM2T1QS025303 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:29:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM2T1qQ025302 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:29:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:29:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220229.hAM2T1qQ025302@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 50N 151E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 151E TO 51N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 156E TO 46N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 156E TO 44N 154E 40N 151E 37N 148E 34N 144E 30N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 53N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 47N 142E GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 114E 26N 120E 22N 121E 24N 122E 28N 129E 20N 129E 17N 114E 22N 114E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 167E 59N 180E 49N 180E 50N 172E 60N 167E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 171E 39N 180E 24N 180E 24N 166E 35N 171E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 156E 50N 164E 40N 162E 41N 150E 52N 156E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 34N 119E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 45N 180E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 985 HPA AT 08.4N 153.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 13:09:22 2003 X-UIDL: 47425-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ0022MGGGAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:02:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM33fkI010421 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:03:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvaJ031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:57:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1965853 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:57:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM2v1D1014924 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:57:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM2uoQS025555 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:56:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM2uobs025554 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:56:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:56:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220256.hAM2uobs025554@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 8.7N5 153.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N5 153.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 8.6N4 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 8.7N5 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 8.9N7 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 9.2N1 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 10.5N6 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.0N4 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.0N6 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 8.7N5 153.0E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE DATA DEPICTS A BANDING EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 13:09:23 2003 X-UIDL: 47426-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003I1GMCJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:06:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM37DnR096855 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:07:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvaR031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:59:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1965881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:59:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM2x7D1084732 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:59:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM2wuQS025570 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:58:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM2wuIO025569 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:58:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 20:58:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220258.hAM2wuIO025569@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 220300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 10// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 220000Z4 TO 270000Z9 NOV 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE DATA DEPICTS A BANDING EYE. B. TS 26W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD THROUGH 48 TO 72 HOURS ALONG A LOW TO MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL CHINA IS EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD AND WEAKEN THE RIDGE BY 72 HOURS, CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO TRACK NORTHWEST- WARD BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF THE UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. GFS BREAKS THE RIDGE SOONER, RESULTING IN A MORE POLEWARD TRACK. NOGAPS KEEPS THE RIDGE STRONG THROUGH THE PERIOD, RESULTING IN A FASTER TRACK THAT REMAINS WESTWARD. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TS 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH VENTILATES THE SYSTEM. AFTER 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TS 26W TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND SLOWLY INTENSIFY. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 13:09:27 2003 X-UIDL: 47432-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002PFIJMAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:47:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM3mlnR004444 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 11:48:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvbF031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:45:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1966215 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:45:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM3jeD1051786 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:45:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM3jTQS026024 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:45:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM3jT6m026023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:45:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 21:45:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220345.hAM3jT6m026023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 220345 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST SAT NOV 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST AND INTENSIFY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 72 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 153.0 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 110 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHUUK AND ABOUT 650 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND PASS SOUTH OF GUAM MONDAY AS A TYPHOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TYPHOON LATER TODAY. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...8.7 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 153.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Nov 22 13:09:28 2003 X-UIDL: 47435-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002JSKBDAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:26:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM4R1nR011865 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:27:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvc7031658; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:21:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1966447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:21:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM4LWD1104086 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:21:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM4LLQS026334 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:21:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM4LLac026333 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:21:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 22:21:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 010a Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220421.hAM4LLac026333@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 220430 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 010A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- NEAR 8.7N5 153.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.7N5 153.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 8.6N4 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 8.7N5 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 8.9N7 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 9.2N1 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 10.5N6 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.0N4 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 15.0N6 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION NEAR 8.7N5 153.0E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 212330Z1 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE DATA DEPICTS A BANDING EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3, 221500Z0, 222100Z7 AND 230300Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:30 2003 X-UIDL: 47443-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ002FAO3VAE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:47:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM5mukI037437 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 13:48:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwQR048798; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1966975 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM5guD1048192 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM5gjQS027117 for ; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM5gjF5027115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 21 Nov 2003 23:42:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220542.hAM5gjF5027115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z-230600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/220421ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 153.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTHEAST OF CHUUK, TRACKING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 210430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:39 2003 X-UIDL: 47447-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003NPQYJJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:49:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM6oWkI046178 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:50:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvdv031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:44:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1967735 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:44:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM6ijD1019546 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:44:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM6iYQS027674 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:44:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM6iYx6027673 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:44:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:44:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) 985 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220644.hAM6iYx6027673@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 220600 WARNING 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 985 HPA AT 08.7N 152.2E NEAR TRUK MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 09.2N 147.3E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 09.5N 142.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 11.0N 139.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:46 2003 X-UIDL: 47451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003AYRM0JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:03:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM74anR034888 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:04:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWve7031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:56:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1967862 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM6uwD1062754 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:56:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM6ulQS027742 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:56:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM6uluL027741 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:56:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 00:56:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220656.hAM6uluL027741@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 220656 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST SAT NOV 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST AND INTENSIFY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 72 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 152.3 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 100 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK AND ABOUT 600 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH. THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS TONIGHT AND ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND PASS SOUTH OF GUAM MONDAY AS A TYPHOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH. TROPICAL STORM LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME A TYPHOON TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...8.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 152.3 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:45:57 2003 X-UIDL: 47459-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003O9TPUJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:49:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM7nvnR040881 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:50:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWveh031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:43:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1968106 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:43:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM7hGD1012448 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:43:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM7h5QS028143 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:43:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM7h57O028142 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:43:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 01:43:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220743.hAM7h57O028142@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 220900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 26W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- NEAR 8.9N7 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 9.1N0 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 9.3N2 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 9.6N5 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 9.9N8 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 11.6N8 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.3N7 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 15.0N6 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 9.0N9 151.6E3. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 105 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. A 220404Z2 TRMM PASS INDICATED A 16 NM IRREGULAR EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0, 222100Z7, 230300Z8 AND 230900Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:05 2003 X-UIDL: 47465-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ003Q3VVVJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 16:35:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM8apnR051465 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 16:36:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvfH031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:30:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1968448 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:30:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM8UOD1078718 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:30:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM8UDQS028471 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:30:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM8UDSh028470 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:30:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 02:30:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220830.hAM8UDSh028470@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 51N 153E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 153E TO 53N 157E 53N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 162E TO 50N 169E 45N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 162E TO 43N 157E 34N 146E 30N 142E 26N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 56N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 48N 146E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 128E 20N 127E 16N 115E 22N 112E 25N 119E 26N 128E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 168E 37N 180E 26N 180E 23N 172E 27N 165E 35N 168E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 151E 43N 158E 52N 163E 46N 172E 37N 170E 32N 160E 37N 151E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 35N 122E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 985 HPA AT 08.7N 152.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:13 2003 X-UIDL: 47471-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOQ0056BZKBUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 17:55:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM9uHnR068232 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 17:56:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvfV031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:51:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1968724 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:51:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM9p8D1013200 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:51:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAM9ovQS029291 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:50:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAM9ovbX029290 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:50:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 03:50:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311220950.hAM9ovbX029290@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 220950 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST SAT NOV 22 2003 ..TROPICAL STORM LUPIT BECOMES A TYPHOON... A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI... SATAWAL ..ULITHI...SOROL AND YAP. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 73 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 151.6 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 105 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND ABOUT 550 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. THE TYPHOON IS PASSING NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND PASS SOUTH OF GUAM MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 151.6 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM SUNDAY. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:28 2003 X-UIDL: 47478-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005MM7OKUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:50:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMCpjnR098773 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:51:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvhP031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:47:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1969559 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:47:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMClvD1038698 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:47:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMClkQS000736 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:47:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMClkmw000735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:47:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 06:47:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221247.hAMClkmw000735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 221200 WARNING 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 980 HPA AT 08.8N 150.3E NEAR TRUK MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 08.8N 143.4E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 09.0N 138.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 10.0N 136.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:30 2003 X-UIDL: 47479-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005HU8D1UE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:05:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMD6QkI005183 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:06:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvhX031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:02:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1969624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:02:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMD2nD1104086 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:02:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMD2cQS000872 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:02:38 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMD2cMO000871 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:02:38 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:02:38 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221302.hAMD2cMO000871@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 221302 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST SAT NOV 22 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT...WOLEAI... SATAWAL ..ULITHI...SOROL AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 73 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.6 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 135 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. THE TYPHOON IS PASSING NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND PASS SOUTH OF GUAM MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 150.6 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SUNDAY GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:39 2003 X-UIDL: 47484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR00321ANQJY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:55:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMDu1nR006808 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 21:56:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWviJ031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:51:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1969938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:51:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMDpKD1072818 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:51:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMDp9QS001234 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:51:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMDp9Ro001233 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:51:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 07:51:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221351.hAMDp9Ro001233@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 221350 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 11A...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST SAT NOV 22 2003 ..CORRECTION TO TYPHOON WATCH AND WARNING... ..TYPHOON LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI... SATAWAL ..ULITHI...SOROL AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 73 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 150.6 DEGREES EAST...OR ABOUT 135 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH. THE TYPHOON IS PASSING NORTH OF THE HALL ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF ULUL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND PASS SOUTH OF GUAM MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 150.6 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 16 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM SUNDAY GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:41 2003 X-UIDL: 47485-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR0056IBB6UL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:09:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMEA5kI012391 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:10:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM61QH5030076; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1970234 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAME5jD1086784 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAME5YQS001395 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAME5YAU001392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221405.hAME5YAU001392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 221200Z7 TO 271200Z2 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 75 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND THAT THE SYSTEM IS UNDER WEAK NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) AT 221119Z6 INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS YET TO DEVELOP A CLEARLY IDENTIFIABLE EYE. B. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS ALONG A LOW TO MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THAT IS MOVING OFF OF JAPAN. AFTER 48 HOURS, AS THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES, THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP A PERIPHERY RIDGE AND DRIVE POLEWARD. TY 26W WILL TRACK NORTH- WESTWARD BY THE END OF THE PERIOD AS IT MODIFIES THE ENVIRONMENT. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF AFWA, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 26W WILL SLOW ITS INTENSIFICATION RATE AS THE OUTFLOW CHANNEL TO THE EAST WEAKENS AND THE SYSTEM PASSES EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SEEN AT 500 MB. AFTER THE 24 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AT NEAR ONE DVORAK T NUMBER A DAY AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE 500 MB RIDGE AND NEAR THE 200 MB RIDGE AXIS. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 26W TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD SLOWLY AS IT MODIFIES THE ENVIRONMENT, DEVELOPS THE PERIPHERY RIDGE, AND MOVES POLEWARD. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:43 2003 X-UIDL: 47486-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR0056QBBHUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:09:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMEAIkI012407 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:10:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvjb031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1970231 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAME5jD1088354 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAME5YQS001396 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAME5Ydf001394 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:05:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221405.hAME5Ydf001394@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 221500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- NEAR 9.0N9 150.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N9 150.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 9.2N1 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 9.5N4 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 9.8N7 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 10.5N6 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 12.2N5 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.8N2 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 15.2N8 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 9.0N9 149.8E2. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221130Z9 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 75 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO CYCLE OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND THAT THE SYSTEM IS UNDER WEAK NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) AT 221119Z6 INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS YET TO DEVELOP A CLEARLY IDENTIFIABLE EYE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7, 230300Z8, 230900Z4 AND 231500Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:45 2003 X-UIDL: 47487-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR003Y5CF1JY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:33:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMEY2kI014665 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:34:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvjl031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:29:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1970395 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:29:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMETKD1024930 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMET9QS001589 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:29:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMET9Tx001588 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:29:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 08:29:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221429.hAMET9Tx001588@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 55N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 164E TO 56N 171E 53N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 164E TO 44N 161E 35N 151E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 151E TO 33N 147E 23N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 58N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 52N 151E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 129E 22N 129E 18N 120E 16N 113E 22N 115E 28N 121E 26N 129E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 166E 40N 180E 23N 180E 23N 166E 34N 166E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 150E 49N 165E 55N 164E 52N 180E 38N 180E 30N 160E 30N 150E 35N 150E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 35N 124E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 980 HPA AT 08.8N 150.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:46:53 2003 X-UIDL: 47492-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005E8GIOUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:01:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMG2bnR020343 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:02:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvlb031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:58:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1971120 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:58:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMFw6D1027294 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:58:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMFvtQS002316 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:57:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMFvtDO002315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:57:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 09:57:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221557.hAMFvtDO002315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 221557 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST SUN NOV 23 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST AND INTENSIFY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT...SATAWAL...AND WOLEAI. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL...ULITHI...AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 73 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.8 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 175 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHUUK AND ABOUT 460 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH. THE TYPHOON IS PASSING NORTH OF PULUWAT EARLY THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND PASS SOUTH OF GUAM TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...9.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 149.8 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:17 2003 X-UIDL: 47504-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR0057XO5SUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:46:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMIlfnR037837 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:47:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvoT031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:42:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1972472 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:42:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMIgZD1077996 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:42:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMIgNQS004025 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:42:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMIgNAW004024 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:42:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:42:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221842.hAMIgNAW004024@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 221800 WARNING 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 980 HPA AT 08.8N 148.9E CAROLINES MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 09.9N 143.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 11.0N 138.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 13.0N 135.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:19 2003 X-UIDL: 47505-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005NYOUCUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:01:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMJ2PnR039348 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:02:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvpF031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:59:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1972808 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:59:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMIxHD1062874 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:59:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMIx6QS004175 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:59:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMIx6MU004174 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:59:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 12:59:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311221859.hAMIx6MU004174@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 221859 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST SUN NOV 23 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT...SATAWAL...AND WOLEAI. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL...ULITHI...AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS WITHIN THE RANGE 39 TO 73 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 149.0 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 125 MILES NORTH OF PULUWAT...AND ABOUT 425 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH. THE TYPHOON IS PASSING NORTH OF PULUWAT EARLY THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL PASS SOUTH OF GUAM TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...8.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 149.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 11 AM. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:27 2003 X-UIDL: 47508-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR0055XSMTUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:23:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMKOIkI046777 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:24:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvqd031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:20:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1973543 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:20:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMKKtD1064682 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:20:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMKKiQS004932 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:20:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMKKhHg004931 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:20:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:20:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311222020.hAMKKhHg004931@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- NEAR 8.9N7 149.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 149.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 9.0N9 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 9.2N1 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 9.9N8 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 10.9N0 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 12.6N9 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.1N6 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 15.6N2 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION NEAR 8.9N7 148.2E5. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 221730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. A 221628Z1 AMSU PASS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICT INCREASED CONVECTION ON THE WESTERN SIDE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8, 230900Z4, 231500Z1 AND 232100Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:33 2003 X-UIDL: 47511-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005MVT5OUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:34:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMKZbnR050375 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:35:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvrV031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:32:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1973682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:32:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMKW8D1064756 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:32:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMKVvQS005023 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:31:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMKVuZi005022 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:31:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:31:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311222031.hAMKVuZi005022@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 56N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 164E TO 59N 172E 59N 179W. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 750 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 61N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 52N 154E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 131E 20N 130E 19N 120E 11N 111E 21N 112E 25N 118E 29N 122E 28N 131E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 166E 37N 180E 25N 180E 24N 166E 32N 166E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 154E 44N 164E 56N 165E 60N 180E 46N 179E 35N 167E 36N 154E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 24N 178E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 36N 125E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 980 HPA AT 08.8N 148.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 164E TO 54N 168E 46N 166E 35N 153E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:35 2003 X-UIDL: 47512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR0051JTPOUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:46:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMKlbkI049393 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 04:47:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvrr031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:43:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1973856 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:43:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMKhID1030208 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:43:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMKh7QS005113 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:43:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMKh7kW005112 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:43:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 14:43:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311222043.hAMKh7kW005112@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 221800 CCA WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 56N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 164E TO 59N 172E 59N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 164E TO 54N 168E 46N 166E 35N 153E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 153E TO 32N 147E 22N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 750 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 61N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 52N 154E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 131E 20N 130E 19N 120E 11N 111E 21N 112E 25N 118E 29N 122E 28N 131E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 166E 37N 180E 25N 180E 24N 166E 32N 166E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 154E 44N 164E 56N 165E 60N 180E 46N 179E 35N 167E 36N 154E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 24N 178E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 36N 125E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 980 HPA AT 08.8N 148.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:41 2003 X-UIDL: 47515-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOR005WNX2XUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 05:59:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMM0KnR059926 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:00:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvsx031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:54:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1974373 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:54:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAMLsBD1078686 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:54:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAMLs0QS005844 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:54:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAMLs0SG005843 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:54:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 15:54:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311222154.hAMLs0SG005843@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 222154 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST SUN NOV 23 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST AND INTENSIFY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CHUUK HAS BEEN CANCELED. THE TYPHOON WARNING FOR PULUWAT HAS BEEN CANCELED. A TYPHOON WARNING IN EFFECT FOR SATAWAL...WOLEAI...SOROL... AND ULITHI. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA. TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 148.2 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 310 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WOLEAI...AND ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 105 MPH. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP WESTWARD TRACK AND INTENSIFYING. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH. THE TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTHEAST OF SATAWAL THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND SHOULD PASS SOUTH OF GUAM TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...8.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 148.2 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 105 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ AHN/WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47527-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005CE5GSUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:00:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN11Tj3017248 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:01:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvvF031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 18:52:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1975663 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 18:52:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN0qXD1088560 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 18:52:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN0qLQS007483 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 18:52:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN0qLL5007482 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 18:52:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 18:52:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230052.hAN0qLL5007482@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 230000 WARNING 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 975 HPA AT 08.0N 148.2E CAROLINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 09.4N 143.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 10.5N 139.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 12.5N 136.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47528-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS0053C5KJUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:02:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN13iPL014684 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:03:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvvN031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:00:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1975743 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:00:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN10wD1058748 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:00:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN10kQS007584 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:00:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN10k7u007583 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:00:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 19:00:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230100.hAN10k7u007583@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 230100 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST SUN NOV 23 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... A TYPHOON WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SATAWAL...WOLEAI...SOROL... AND ULITHI. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP...GUAM AND ROTA. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR GREATER FROM A TYPHOON ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 147.5 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 255 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WOLEAI...AND ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 115 MPH. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS WESTWARD TRACK AND INTENSIFY FURTHER. THE TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF SATAWAL TODAY AND SHOULD PASS SOUTH OF GUAM TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...8.3 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 147.5 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90 MPH AND GUSTS TO 115 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:52 2003 X-UIDL: 47537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005MD8T6UL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 10:12:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN2Dgj3024440 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 10:13:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvwJ031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:07:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1976243 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:07:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN27HD1009768 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:07:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN276QS008227 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:07:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN276kM008226 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:07:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:07:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230207.hAN276kM008226@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- NEAR 8.3N1 147.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.3N1 147.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 8.4N2 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 8.9N7 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 9.7N6 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 10.7N8 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.6N9 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.1N6 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.5N1 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 8.3N1 146.7E8. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. A 222155Z7 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A BANDING EYE FEATURE AND INCREASED CONVECTION IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4, 231500Z1, 232100Z8, AND 240300Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:53 2003 X-UIDL: 47538-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005VY95TUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 10:20:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN2LIPL021739 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 10:21:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvwL031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:16:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1976294 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:16:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN2GZD1083714 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:16:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN2GOQS008298 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:16:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN2GOSJ008297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:16:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:16:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230216.hAN2GOSJ008297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 230300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 14// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 230000Z5 TO 280000Z0 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 222330Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65, 77, AND 90 KNOTS. A 222155Z7 SSM/I PASS DEPICTS A BANDING EYE FEATURE AND INCREASED CONVECTION IN ALL QUADRANTS. B. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH 24 HOURS ALONG A LOW TO MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM JAPAN. AFTER 24 TO 36 HOURS, THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP A PERIPHERAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST, WHICH WILL MODIFY THE STEERING RIDGE. TY 26W WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AFTER 36 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES ORIENTED NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF AFWA MM5, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WHILE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 221936Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 26W TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD SLOWLY ALONG THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:47:53 2003 X-UIDL: 47539-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005SI9T3UE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 10:34:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN2ZGj3026634 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 10:35:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvwV031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:29:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1976350 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:29:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN2TsD1072820 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:29:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN2ThQS008381 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:29:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN2ThjV008380 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:29:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 20:29:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230229.hAN2ThjV008380@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 58N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 167E TO 60N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 175E TO 56N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 175E TO 46N 167E 37N 159E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 159E TO 34N 154E 30N 147E 25N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 62N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 53N 157E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 118E 30N 125E 30N 132E 34N 140E 37N 142E 34N 152E 22N 131E 23N 118E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 162E 33N 165E 34N 180E 27N 180E 24N 169E 25N 162E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 13N 142E 19N 143E 18N 155E 11N 154E 13N 142E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 175E 61N 180E 40N 180E 39N 159E 51N 169E 60N 175E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 25N 175E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 37N 128E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 44N 131E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 975 HPA AT 08.0N 148.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:05 2003 X-UIDL: 47546-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS0052BE0SUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:05:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN46Hj3034779 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:06:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvxv031658; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:00:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1976938 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:00:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN40aD1028176 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:00:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN40OQS009182 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:00:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN40OQI009181 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:00:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:00:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230400.hAN40OQI009181@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 230400 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST SUN NOV 23 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR GUAM AND ROTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A TYPHOON WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SATAWAL...WOLEAI...SOROL... AND ULITHI. A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR NGULU AND PALAU. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.7 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 590 MILES EAST OF YAP...AND ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 115 MPH. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS WESTWARD TRACK AND INTENSIFY FURTHER. THE TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF SATAWAL TODAY AND SHOULD PASS SOUTH OF GUAM TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...8.3 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 146.7 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90 MPH AND GUSTS TO 115 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:11 2003 X-UIDL: 47549-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS0050XEQ9UE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:20:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN4LYPL031707 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:21:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM61QOZ030076; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:16:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1977025 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:16:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN4GwD1085672 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:16:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN4GlQS009305 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:16:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN4Glc6009304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:16:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 22:16:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230416.hAN4Glc6009304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 230416 CCA TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST SUN NOV 23 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR GUAM AND ROTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A TYPHOON WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SATAWAL...WOLEAI...SOROL... AND ULITHI. A TYPHOON WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL AND PALAU. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.3 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.7 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 590 MILES EAST OF YAP...AND ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 115 MPH. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS WESTWARD TRACK AND INTENSIFY FURTHER. THE TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF SATAWAL TODAY AND SHOULD PASS SOUTH OF GUAM TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...8.3 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 146.7 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90 MPH AND GUSTS TO 115 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ WARD +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:18 2003 X-UIDL: 47554-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005VFI9VUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:37:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN5c8j3044263 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:38:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAM61QPD030076; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:35:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1977573 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:35:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN5Z7D1029518 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:35:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN5YuQS009906 for ; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:34:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN5YuFt009904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:34:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 22 Nov 2003 23:34:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230534.hAN5YuFt009904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z-240600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/230152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5, TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT) LOCATED NEAR 8.3N1 147.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:36 2003 X-UIDL: 47567-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005I5LLIUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:48:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN6nwj3052898 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:49:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwdF048798; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:45:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1978111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:45:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN6jhD1009554 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:45:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN6jWQS010441 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:45:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN6jWk5010440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:45:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:45:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230645.hAN6jWk5010440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list WTJP22 RJTD 230600 WARNING 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 975 HPA AT 08.1N 147.2E CAROLINES MOVING WEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 09.5N 142.7E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 11.0N 139.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 13.0N 137.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:36 2003 X-UIDL: 47568-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005MJLT0UE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:53:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN6sSj3053300 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:54:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv35031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:50:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1978126 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:50:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN6ogD1024702 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:50:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN6oVQS010463 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:50:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN6oVgR010462 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:50:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 00:50:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230650.hAN6oVgR010462@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list WTPQ31 PGUM 230650 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST SUN NOV 23 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR GUAM AND ROTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A TYPHOON WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR YAP...SATAWAL...WOLEAI...SOROL... AND ULITHI. A TYPHOON WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL AND PALAU. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.6 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 590 MILES EAST OF YAP...AND ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 90 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 115 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS WESTWARD TRACK AND INTENSIFY FURTHER. THE TYPHOON HAS PASSED NORTH OF SATAWAL AND SHOULD PASS SOUTH OF GUAM TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...7.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 146.6 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 18 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90 MPH AND GUSTS TO 115 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:41 2003 X-UIDL: 47575-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005V4Q4RUL@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 16:26:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN8Rqj3063490 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 16:27:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv3f031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:24:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1978542 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:24:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN8O5D1015062 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:24:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN8NsQS011071 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:23:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN8NsOn011070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:23:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:23:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230823.hAN8NsOn011070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 230900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 7.9N6 146.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 7.9N6 146.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 7.9N6 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 8.8N6 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 9.7N6 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 10.8N9 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 12.7N0 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 14.2N7 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.5N2 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 7.9N6 146.0E1. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE COMPACT AND ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS, THOUGH THE EYE FEATURE PREVIOUSLY NOTED IS NOT VISIBLE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1, 232100Z8, 240300Z9 AND 240900Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:42 2003 X-UIDL: 47576-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS005HPQEPUE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 16:32:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN8Xoj3063980 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 16:33:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv3h031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:29:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1978580 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:29:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN8TND1014848 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:29:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN8TBQS011100 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:29:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN8TBqm011099 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:29:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 02:29:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230829.hAN8TBqm011099@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 978 HPA AT 59N 169E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 169E TO 62N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 62N 180E TO 60N 163W. COLD FRONT FROM 62N 180E TO 54N 180E 44N 170E 37N 160E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 160E TO 34N 155E 29N 148E 25N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 64N 175W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 54N 162E MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 114E 26N 119E 28N 131E 34N 140E 36N 155E 33N 154E 21N 140E 16N 113E 22N 114E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 166E 34N 180E 26N 180E 26N 173E 23N 165E 32N 166E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 144E 17N 158E 12N 157E 10N 143E 18N 144E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 175E 53N 180E 42N 180E 41N 164E 52N 175E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 26N 174E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 40N 135E EAST 30 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 975 HPA AT 08.1N 147.2E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:43 2003 X-UIDL: 47578-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOS008FXTYO2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 17:49:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN9oZj3071110 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 17:50:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv43031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:45:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1978910 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:45:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN9jiD1103984 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:45:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAN9jXQS011845 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:45:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAN9jXqB011844 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:45:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 03:45:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311230945.hAN9jXqB011844@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 230945 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST SUN NOV 23 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT SLOWS DOWN AND INTENSIFIES... THE TYPHOON WARNING FOR SATAWAL HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR GUAM AND ROTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP...WOLEAI... SOROL...AND ULITHI. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL AND PALAU. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 146.0 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 550 MILES EAST OF YAP...AND ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 125 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS WESTWARD TRACK AND INTENSIFY FURTHER. THE TYPHOON WILL PASS NORTH OF WOLEAI EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND SHOULD PASS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM LATE MONDAY MORNING. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...7.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 146.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH AND GUSTS TO 125 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 AM MONDAY. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47583-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008B32642F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:46:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANClpj3087464 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:47:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv6D031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:44:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1980000 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:44:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANCi1D1103816 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:44:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANChoQS013343 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:43:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANCho97013342 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:43:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:43:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231243.hANCho97013342@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 231243 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST SUN NOV 23 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT SLOWS DOWN AND INTENSIFIES... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP...WOLEAI... SOROL...AND ULITHI. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL AND PALAU. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.5 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 520 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP...AND ABOUT 390 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 105 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 125 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS WESTWARD TRACK AND INTENSIFY FURTHER. THE TYPHOON WILL PASS NORTH OF WOLEAI EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND SHOULD PASS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM LATE MONDAY MORNING. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...7.8 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 145.5 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 MPH AND GUSTS TO 125 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM MONDAY GUAM LST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47584-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008Y32KM2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:55:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANCuWj3088324 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:56:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwfD048798; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:49:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1980081 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:49:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANCnbD1064666 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:49:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANCnQQS013403 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:49:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANCnQqM013402 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:49:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 06:49:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) Upgraded From Severe Tropical Storm 965 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231249.hANCnQqM013402@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 231200 WARNING 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 965 HPA AT 08.0N 145.7E CAROLINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 290 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 270 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 09.7N 141.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 11.0N 138.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 13.5N 137.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:50 2003 X-UIDL: 47587-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008K46OK2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:24:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANEPLj3097044 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:25:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv7l031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:19:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1980864 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:19:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANEJUD1029592 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:19:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANEJJQS014120 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:19:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANEJJ0a014119 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:19:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:19:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 016 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231419.hANEJJ0a014119@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 7.8N5 145.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N5 145.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 8.2N0 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 9.0N9 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 10.0N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 11.1N3 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.1N5 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 15.0N6 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.5N3 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 7.9N6 145.0E0. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A SMALL, CLOUD-FILLED EYE HAS FORMED OVER THE PAST 03 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9, 240900Z5 AND 241500Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:51 2003 X-UIDL: 47588-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008LN6PU2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:25:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANEQ7j3097242 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:26:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv7n031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:20:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1980872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:20:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANEKVD1072882 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:20:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANEKJQS014133 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:20:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANEKJPd014132 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:20:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:20:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231420.hANEKJPd014132@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 16// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 231200Z8 TO 281200Z3 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A SMALL, CLOUD-FILLED EYE HAS FORMED OVER THE PAST 03 HOURS. B. TY 26W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGHOUT THE EARLY PERIOD. AFTER THE EARLY PERIOD, THE DEVELOPING PERIPHERAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL MODIFY THE STEERING RIDGE. TY 26W WILL TRANSITION TO A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER 24 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES ORIENTED NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST AND BEGINS TO DEVELOP A WEAKNESS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF AFWA MM5, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD WHILE IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 26W TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND TOWARDS A WEAKNESS THAT WILL DEVELOP IN THE RIDGE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:51 2003 X-UIDL: 47589-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008AD74I2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:33:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANEYtj3098293 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 22:34:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv85031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:27:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1980930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:27:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANERqD1036558 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:27:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANERfQS014180 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:27:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANERfSg014179 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:27:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 08:27:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231427.hANERfSg014179@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 63N 179W BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 63N 179W TO 64N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 64N 173W TO 59N 155W. COLD FRONT FROM 64N 173W TO 56N 172W 51N 180E 44N 172E 41N 167E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 167E TO 39N 163E 34N 157E 30N 149E 26N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 66N 165W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 58N 170E MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 114E 26N 120E 24N 124E 28N 134E 33N 137E 37N 160E 33N 160E 26N 137E 19N 134E 18N 116E 23N 114E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 164E 34N 180E 24N 180E 25N 163E 32N 164E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 144E 17N 155E 12N 153E 13N 144E 18N 144E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 168E 51N 180E 42N 180E 37N 168E 42N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 21N 170E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 39N 143E EAST 45 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 965 HPA AT 08.0N 145.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:48:54 2003 X-UIDL: 47594-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008XWBB02F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:04:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANG5Dj3008100 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:05:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWv95031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:59:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1981488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:59:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANFx4D1009586 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:59:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANFwqQS014877 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:58:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANFwqAn014876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:58:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 09:58:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231558.hANFwqAn014876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 231558 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST MON NOV 24 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT SLOWS DOWN A BIT...BUT CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WEST... A TYPHOON WARNING IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI...SOROL...ULITHI...AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL...AND PALAU. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 AM GUAM LST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 145.0 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 85 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF WOLEAI...ABOUT 315 MILES EAST OF SOROL...ABOUT 395 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI...ABOUT 485 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP...AND ABOUT 385 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 130 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT IS MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS WESTWARD TRACK AND INTENSIFY FURTHER. THE TYPHOON WILL PASS NORTH OF WOLEAI EARLY THIS MORNING AND SHOULD PASS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM LATE THIS MORNING. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...7.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 145.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH AND GUSTS TO 130 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 8 AM GUAM LST. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:00 2003 X-UIDL: 47600-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT0082GJ922F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:55:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANIuqPL015123 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:56:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvCJ031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:49:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1982762 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:49:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANIncD1104156 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:49:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANInRQS016295 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:49:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANInRjp016294 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:49:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 12:49:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231849.hANInRjp016294@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 231800 WARNING 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 960 HPA AT 07.5N 144.5E CAROLINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 10.0N 140.2E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 12.0N 137.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 13.5N 136.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:02 2003 X-UIDL: 47601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008YMJSP2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:07:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJ8dPL016734 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:08:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHWvCd031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:01:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1982952 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:01:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJ1vD1009504 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:01:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANJ1kQS016439 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:01:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANJ1k9G016438 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:01:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 13:01:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311231901.hANJ1k9G016438@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 231901 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST MON NOV 24 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT GAINS SPEED A BIT AGAIN AND CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY... A TYPHOON WARNING IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI...SOROL...ULITHI...AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL...AND PALAU. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 AM GUAM LST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 144.2 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 40 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WOLEAI...ABOUT 260 MILES EAST OF SOROL...ABOUT 345 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI... ABOUT 430 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP...AND ABOUT 385 MILES SOUTH OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 110 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 130 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTENDED OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT WAS MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THIS WESTWARD TRACK AND INTENSIFY FURTHER. THE TYPHOON SHOULD PASS NORTH OF WOLEAI EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL PASS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM LATE THIS MORNING. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...7.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 144.2 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH AND GUSTS TO 130 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 11 AM GUAM LST. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:10 2003 X-UIDL: 47605-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008I4N7O2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 04:21:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANKMQPL024960 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 04:22:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN9uKIN009792; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:16:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1983632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:15:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANKFpD1024584 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:15:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANKFeQS017174 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:15:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANKFeoU017173 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:15:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:15:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 017 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311232015.hANKFeoU017173@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 232100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- NEAR 7.9N6 144.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 7.9N6 144.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 8.6N4 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 9.7N6 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 11.0N2 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 12.1N4 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 13.5N9 136.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 15.2N8 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.4N2 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION NEAR 8.1N9 143.6E4. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231730Z6 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A 231618Z1 AMSU PASS DEPICTS INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9, 240900Z5, 241500Z2, AND 242100Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:12 2003 X-UIDL: 47606-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT008SNNTQ2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 04:34:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANKZdPL026230 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 04:35:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdEx031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:32:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1983770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:32:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANKW7D1086878 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:32:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANKVtQS017335 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:31:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANKVtrq017334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:31:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 14:31:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311232031.hANKVtrq017334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 59N 174E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 123E 19N 123E 16N 114E 23N 114E 26N 120E 26N 123E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 137E 36N 154E 33N 180E 21N 180E 24N 170E 17N 159E 17N 132E 29N 134E 34N 137E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 169E 50N 180E 39N 180E 38N 172E 41N 169E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 21N 169E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 39N 145E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 960 HPA AT 07.5N 144.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 140E TO 29N 146E 32N 156E 39N 166E 44N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 173E TO 50N 178W 56N 170W 61N 166W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:19 2003 X-UIDL: 47610-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT0081FRTQ2F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:01:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANM23PL034428 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:02:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdGJ031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:56:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1984364 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:56:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANLurD1036460 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:56:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hANLufQS018418 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:56:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hANLufZB018417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:56:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 15:56:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311232156.hANLufZB018417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 232156 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST MON NOV 24 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT GAINS SPEED A BIT AGAIN... A TYPHOON WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI...SOROL...ULITHI... AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL...AND PALAU. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 AM GUAM LST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.6 DEGREES EAST...ABOUT 55 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WOLEAI...ABOUT 220 MILES EAST OF SOROL...ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI... ABOUT 390 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP...AND ABOUT 380 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 110 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 130 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTENDED OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT WAS MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE TYPHOON WILL PASS NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WOLEAI THIS MORNING AND SHOULD PASS NORTHEAST OF SOROL TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...8.1 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 143.6 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH AND GUSTS TO 130 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 2 PM GUAM LST. $$ AHN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:30 2003 X-UIDL: 47615-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOT0094CZOTHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:50:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO0psPL049077 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:51:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdJd031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:46:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1985951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:46:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO0kKD1030746 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:46:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO0k9QS019753 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:46:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO0k9L4019752 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:46:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 18:46:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240046.hAO0k9L4019752@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 240000 WARNING 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 955 HPA AT 07.5N 144.1E CAROLINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 10.0N 140.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 12.5N 138.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 14.0N 136.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:35 2003 X-UIDL: 47619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU0099U0FFHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:06:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO17rPL050547 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:07:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdJx031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:02:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1986067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:02:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO12fD1030934 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:02:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO12TQS019948 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:02:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO12THZ019947 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:02:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 19:02:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240102.hAO12THZ019947@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 240102 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST MON NOV 24 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI...SOROL...ULITHI... AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL... AND KOROR. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 AM GUAM LST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF WOLEAI...205 MILES EAST OF SOROL...300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI...AND 380 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. TYPHOON LUPIT WAS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE NORTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE TYPHOON HAS PASSED WOLEAI...AND SHOULD PASS NORTHEAST OF SOROL TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 130 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTENDED OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...7.8 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 143.4 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:56 2003 X-UIDL: 47635-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009EI4DPHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 10:32:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO2X9PL060603 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 10:33:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdKr031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:29:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1986598 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:29:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO2TkD1088038 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:29:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO2TZQS020620 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:29:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO2TYZZ020619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:29:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:29:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240229.hAO2TYZZ020619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 135E 35N 163E 25N 165E 11N 152E 13N 140E 19N 120E 22N 120E 26N 129E 33N 135E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 164E 39N 180E 18N 180E 19N 175E 25N 171E 27N 165E 35N 164E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 154E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 50N 180E 45N 169E 49N 154E. SUMMARY. LOW 1024 HPA AT 52N 129E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 58N 146E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 23N 168E NW 15 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 41N 148E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 955 HPA AT 07.5N 144.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 129E TO 52N 133E 51N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 129E TO 47N 127E 43N 118E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 148E TO 34N 160E 42N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 172E TO 47N 176E 49N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:49:58 2003 X-UIDL: 47636-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU0098A4N6HP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 10:37:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO2ctPL061180 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 10:38:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwnh048798; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:33:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1986625 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:33:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO2XsD1072882 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:33:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO2XhQS020700 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:33:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO2Xhln020699 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:33:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:33:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 018 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240233.hAO2Xhln020699@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN32 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- NEAR 7.8N5 143.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N5 143.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 8.4N2 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 9.7N6 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 11.2N4 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.1N4 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.6N0 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.4N0 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.5N3 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION NEAR 7.9N6 143.0E8. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5, 241500Z2, 242100Z9, AND 250300Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:02 2003 X-UIDL: 47639-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009GI51XHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 10:46:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO2lij3077124 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 10:47:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdKx031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:42:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1986662 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:42:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO2gLD1024718 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:42:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO2gAQS020805 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:42:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO2gAmW020804 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:42:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 20:42:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240242.hAO2gAmW020804@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 18// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 240000Z6 TO 290000Z1 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION IN ALL QUADRANTS. B. TY 26W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO GROW IN SIZE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER 12 TO 24 HOURS, A DEVELOPING PERIPHERAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL MODIFY THE STEERING RIDGE. TY 26W WILL TRANSITION TO A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES ORIENTED NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF AFWA MM5, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. AFTER 48 HOURS, TY 26W WILL INTENSIFY MORE SLOWLY WITH THE INTRUSION OF COOLER, DRY AIR. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 26W TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND TOWARDS A WEAKNESS THAT WILL DEVELOP IN THE RIDGE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:06 2003 X-UIDL: 47641-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009HX628HP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:08:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO39Yj3080702 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:09:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdLF031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:05:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1986825 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:05:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO35tD1087926 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:05:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO35iQS021035 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:05:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO35ii9021034 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:05:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:05:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240305.hAO35ii9021034@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 18// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 240000Z6 TO 290000Z1 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING DEEP CONVECTION IN ALL QUADRANTS. B. TY 26W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO GROW IN SIZE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER 12 TO 24 HOURS, A DEVELOPING PERIPHERAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL MODIFY THE STEERING RIDGE. TY 26W WILL TRANSITION TO A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES ORIENTED NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF AFWA MM5, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. AFTER 48 HOURS, TY 26W WILL INTENSIFY MORE SLOWLY WITH THE INTRUSION OF COOLER, DRY AIR. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 26W TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND TOWARDS A WEAKNESS THAT WILL DEVELOP IN THE RIDGE. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:11 2003 X-UIDL: 47645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU0098P8AWHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:56:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO3vuj3087055 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 11:57:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwoD048798; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:53:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1987198 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:53:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO3r1D1072750 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:53:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO3qoQS021441 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:52:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO3qoBA021440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:52:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 21:52:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240352.hAO3qoBA021440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 240352 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 PM GUAM LST MON NOV 24 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT STILL MOVING WEST... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI...SOROL...ULITHI... AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL... AND KOROR. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 7.9 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 70 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF WOLEAI...180 MILES EAST OF SOROL...270 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI...AND 350 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. TYPHOON LUPIT WAS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE NORTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE TYPHOON SHOULD PASS NORTHEAST OF SOROL TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 130 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 1 PM POSITION...7.9 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 143.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 8 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:30 2003 X-UIDL: 47659-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009U8DG9HP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 13:48:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO5n4PL082499 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 13:49:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdMj031658; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:39:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1987782 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:39:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO5d2D1086822 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:39:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO5cpQS022214 for ; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:38:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO5cpSo022212 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:38:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 23 Nov 2003 23:38:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240538.hAO5cpSo022212@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/240152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6, TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED NEAR 7.8N5 143.5E3, APPROXIMATELY 335 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 240300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:46 2003 X-UIDL: 47666-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009B4GCAHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:50:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO6pYPL090063 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:51:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwpl048798; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:46:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1988454 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:46:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO6kYD1084682 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:46:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO6kNQS022734 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:46:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO6kMHX022733 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:46:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:46:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240646.hAO6kMHX022733@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 240600 WARNING 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 955 HPA AT 08.5N 143.5E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 10.9N 139.5E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 13.0N 137.5E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 14.5N 136.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:48 2003 X-UIDL: 47671-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU0098TGVWHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:02:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO73Lj3010352 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:03:22 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdOf031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:58:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1988521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:58:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO6wVD1084724 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:58:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO6wJQS022796 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:58:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO6wJZq022795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:58:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 00:58:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240658.hAO6wJZq022795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 240658 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 PM GUAM LST MON NOV 24 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT STILL MOVING WEST... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI...SOROL...ULITHI... AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL... AND KOROR. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 PM GUAM LST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.4 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 75 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WOLEAI...205 MILES EAST OF SOROL...280 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI...AND 370 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. TYPHOON LUPIT WAS MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE NORTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE TYPHOON SHOULD PASS NORTHEAST OF SOROL TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 130 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 4 PM POSITION...8.4 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 143.4 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST AT 12 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 11 PM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:55 2003 X-UIDL: 47679-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009RKKRTHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 16:26:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO8RHj3021180 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 16:27:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdPD031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:18:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1988886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:18:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO8IhD1078664 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:18:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO8IWQS023382 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:18:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO8IWDr023381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:18:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:18:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 019 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240818.hAO8IWDr023381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 240900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 8.4N2 143.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N2 143.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 9.7N6 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 10.9N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 11.9N1 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 12.8N1 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 14.3N8 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.0N7 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 18.3N2 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 8.7N5 143.0E8. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. A 240349Z2 TRMM PASS REVEALS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING FEATURES AND A WELL DEVELOPED BANDING FEATURE TO THE NORTH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY IN ALL QUADRANTS, AWAY FROM THE CENTRAL CONVECTION, OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. DEVELOPMENT OF AN EYE FEATURE CONTINUES TO OCCUR, HOWEVER THE FEATURE IS NOT CONSISTENTLY APPARENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2, 242100Z9, 250300Z0 AND 250900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:50:57 2003 X-UIDL: 47680-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009F8L9CHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 16:36:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO8bnPL002817 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 16:37:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdPH031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:28:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1988930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:28:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO8S2D1088052 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO8RpQS023428 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:27:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO8Rpjh023427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:27:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 02:27:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240827.hAO8Rpjh023427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1024 HPA AT 52N 133E MIDDLE AMUR RIVER MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 133E TO 51N 134E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 134E TO 49N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 134E TO 42N 121E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 136E 22N 139E 20N 157E 08N 153E 11N 149E 14N 144E 14N 136E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 137E 34N 136E 35N 140E 33N 144E 30N 144E 30N 137E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 146E 33N 149E 36N 160E 35N 180E 23N 180E 27N 170E 24N 157E 26N 146E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 167E 60N 180E 48N 180E 45N 170E 60N 167E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 115E 23N 117E 27N 120E 27N 133E 20N 133E 19N 115E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 58N 147E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 24N 169E NORTH 10 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 43N 153E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 955 HPA AT 08.5N 143.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 180E TO 42N 172E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 42N 172E TO 39N 168E 30N 153E 28N 149E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:03 2003 X-UIDL: 47687-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU00919OBZHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:43:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO9iCj3031471 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 17:44:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwq9048798; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:38:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1989113 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:38:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAO9cUD1083870 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:38:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAO9cJQS024158 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:38:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAO9cJEO024157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:38:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 03:38:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311240938.hAO9cJEO024157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 240938 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 PM GUAM LST MON NOV 24 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT TURNING NORTHWEST... THE TYPHOON WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL...ULITHI...AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL...AND KOROR. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 7 PM GUAM LST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 143.0 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 110 MILES NORTHWEST OF WOLEAI...180 MILES EAST OF SOROL...250 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI...340 MILES EAST OF YAP AND 350 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. TYPHOON LUPIT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH AND IS EXPECTED MAINTAIN THIS NORTHWEST MOTION FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE TYPHOON SHOULD PASS NORTHEAST OF SOROL TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 130 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 7 PM POSITION...8.7 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 143.0 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 2 AM TUESDAY. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:20 2003 X-UIDL: 47704-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009XJX2THP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:52:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOCr4PL031234 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:53:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwrX048798; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:45:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1990027 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:45:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOCjTD1009602 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:45:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOCjIQS025759 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:45:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOCjHtg025758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:45:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:45:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241245.hAOCjHtg025758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 241200 WARNING 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 955 HPA AT 09.0N 142.6E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 11.6N 138.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 13.0N 137.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 15.0N 136.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:22 2003 X-UIDL: 47705-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOU009S0XG7HP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 21:00:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOD19j3055358 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 21:01:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdS5031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:55:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1990081 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:55:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOCtpD1024970 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:55:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOCteQS025841 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:55:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOCtdRO025840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:55:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 06:55:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241255.hAOCtdRO025840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 241255 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 PM GUAM LST MON NOV 24 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT MOVING NORTHWEST... THE TYPHOON WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOROL...ULITHI...AND YAP. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU...KAYANGEL...AND KOROR. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 10 PM GUAM LST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.1 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.2 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 165 MILES NORTHWEST OF WOLEAI...140 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF SOROL...185 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI...280 MILES EAST OF YAP AND 345 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM. TYPHOON LUPIT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH AND IS EXPECTED MAINTAIN THIS NORTHWEST MOTION FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE TYPHOON SHOULD PASS NORTHEAST OF SOROL TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 130 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TYPHOON LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 10 PM POSITION...9.1 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 142.2 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...MONITOR TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 AM TUESDAY GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 AM. $$ ZIOBRO +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:31 2003 X-UIDL: 47710-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV009Y51RHHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 22:33:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOEYHPL042212 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 22:34:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwtF048798; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:27:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1990878 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOER1D1023158 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOEQnQS027207 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:26:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOEQnYB027205 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:26:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:26:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 020 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241426.hAOEQnYB027205@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 9.1N0 142.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.1N0 142.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 10.3N4 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 11.4N6 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.5N8 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.6N0 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 15.1N7 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.9N6 134.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.2N2 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 9.4N3 141.8E4. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE BRIEFLY APPEARED DURING THE LAST 06 HOURS, BUT IS NO LONGER EVIDENT USING THOSE ENHANCEMENTS. HOWEVER, MULTIPLE RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES INDICATE THE EYE REMAINS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6 AND 251500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:33 2003 X-UIDL: 47711-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV009AY1W6HP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 22:36:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOEb5j3065994 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 22:37:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAN9uKRN009792; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:27:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1990881 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:27:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOER1D1009626 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:27:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOEQnQS027208 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:26:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOEQnAU027206 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:26:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:26:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241426.hAOEQnAU027206@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 20// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 241200Z9 TO 291200Z4 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 290 NM SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN EYE BRIEFLY APPEARED DURING THE LAST 06 HOURS, BUT IS NO LONGER EVIDENT USING THOSE ENHANCEMENTS. HOWEVER, MULTIPLE RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES INDICATE THE EYE REMAINS. B. TY 26W HAS CHANGED TRACK DIRECTION TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, SLOWING DOWN BRIEFLY DURING THIS TURN. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID- LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM, WHICH IS BEGINNING TO ORIENT NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST. FURTHER STEERING INFLUENCES ARE ALSO PROVIDED BY THE PERIPHERAL RIDGE BUILDING TO THE SOUTH. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH FORECAST TO TRACK EASTWARD TOWARDS JAPAN WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE FROM THE NORTH, INCREASING THE POLEWARD COMPONENT OF THE TRACK IN THE MID-PERIOD. THE LARGE SIZE OF THE SYSTEM WILL ENHANCE THE POLEWARD COMPONENT AS THE SYSTEM MODIFIES THE STEERING RIDGE FROM THE SOUTH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF AFWA MM5, COAMPS, UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT OR NEAR A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. AFTER THE MID-PERIOD, TY 26W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY MORE SLOWLY WITH THE INTRUSION OF COOLER, DRY AIR, EVENTUALLY CEASING INTENSIFICATION BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 26W TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND TOWARDS A WEAKNESS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN THE STEERING RIDGE. DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AND WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:35 2003 X-UIDL: 47713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV009JU1ZRHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 22:38:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOEdEj3066273 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 22:39:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdUN031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:29:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1990897 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:29:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOET0D1034090 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:29:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOESnQS027256 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:28:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOESnjj027255 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:28:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 08:28:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241428.hAOESnjj027255@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1024 HPA AT 46N 135E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 135E TO 46N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 135E TO 43N 131E 38N 125E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 135E 33N 135E 34N 140E 32N 145E 26N 144E 28N 135E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 144E 38N 158E 45N 168E 45N 180E 24N 180E 27N 169E 25N 155E 26N 144E 33N 144E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 138E 21N 139E 20N 155E 10N 154E 09N 149E 14N 145E 15N 138E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 129E 29N 130E 32N 132E 33N 135E 28N 135E 27N 129E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 57N 147E ESE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 23N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 43N 157E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 955 HPA AT 09.0N 142.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 130E TO 31N 134E 28N 141E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 156E TO 37N 168E 45N 178E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:37 2003 X-UIDL: 47715-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV0097E4KSHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 24 Nov 2003 23:34:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOFZ6PL049336 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 23:35:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwuL048798; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:25:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1991516 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:25:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOFPmD1064528 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:25:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOFPbQS029054 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:25:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOFPbaK029053 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:25:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 09:25:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241525.hAOFPbaK029053@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 241525 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 2 AM GUAM LST TUE NOV 25 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT MOVING NORTHWEST... THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR KOROR AND KAYANGEL IS DISCONTINUED AS OF 1 AM. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP...ULITHI AND SOROL. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 1 AM GUAM LST..1500Z..THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.8 DEGREES EAST OR ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF YAP. LUPIT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 110 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 1 AM POSITION...9.4 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 141.8 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 110 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE YAP WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 5 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:51:59 2003 X-UIDL: 47728-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV0092FDHOHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 02:46:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOIlaj3099147 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 02:47:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwxh048798; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:41:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1993786 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:41:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOIftD1070568 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:41:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOIfiQS004832 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:41:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOIfixn004831 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:41:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:41:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241841.hAOIfixn004831@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 241800 WARNING 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 955 HPA AT 10.0N 141.9E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 75 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 12.1N 139.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 13.5N 137.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 14.5N 136.0E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:01 2003 X-UIDL: 47731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV0098CE32HP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 02:59:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOJ0QPL074083 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 03:00:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hALHZwxl048798; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:52:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1993947 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:52:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOIq0D1070598 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:52:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOIpmQS005089 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:51:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOIpma9005088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:51:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 12:51:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311241851.hAOIpma9005088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 241851 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 5 AM GUAM LST TUE NOV 25 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT ABOUT 100 MILES EAST OF ULITHI... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP...ULITHI AND SOROL. A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NGULU. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TYPHOON WATCH MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS. AT 4 AM GUAM LST..1800Z..THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.1 DEGREES EAST OR ABOUT 210 MILES EAST OF YAP. LUPIT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE CENTER. LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 4 AM POSITION...10.0 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 141.1 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE YAP WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 8 AM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:21 2003 X-UIDL: 47743-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV0099BIIDHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 04:35:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOKa3j3012918 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 04:36:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdfV031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:29:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1994772 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:29:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOKTpD1087866 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:29:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOKTeQS007879 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:29:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOKTdLD007878 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:29:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:29:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311242029.hAOKTdLD007878@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1020 HPA AT 48N 139E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 139E TO 47N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 139E TO 43N 134E 39N 127E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1020 HPA AT 33N 136E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 136E TO 31N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 136E TO 31N 134E 28N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 142E 40N 161E 47N 172E 48N 180E 25N 180E 27N 170E 24N 153E 27N 138E 33N 142E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 138E 23N 150E 13N 150E 15N 143E 14N 137E 22N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 1022 HPA AT 57N 150E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 23N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 44N 159E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 955 HPA AT 10.0N 141.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 159E TO 38N 170E 43N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:23 2003 X-UIDL: 47744-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV009K5J2FHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 04:47:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOKm4j3014506 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 04:48:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdfd031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:39:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1994882 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:39:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOKdnD1048240 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:39:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOKdbQS008144 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:39:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOKdbHP008143 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:39:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 14:39:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 021 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311242039.hAOKdbHP008143@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN32 PGTW 242100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 10.0N1 141.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 141.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 11.5N7 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 12.7N0 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.5N9 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 14.1N6 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 15.3N9 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.0N8 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 19.4N4 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 10.4N5 140.7E2. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS INCREASED CONVECTION AND AN EYE STARTING TO FORM. A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL AID TY 26W IN RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0, 250900Z6, 251500Z3 AND 252100Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:25 2003 X-UIDL: 47745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV009PCK9JHP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 05:12:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOLDuj3017538 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 05:13:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdgD031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:07:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1995128 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:07:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAOL7PD1013146 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:07:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAOL7EQS009001 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:07:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAOL7Evu009000 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:07:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 15:07:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311242107.hAOL7Evu009000@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 242106 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 8 AM GUAM LST TUE NOV 25 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT MOVING NORTHWEST PAST ULITHI... THE TYPHOON WARNING FOR SOROL AND THE TYPHOON WATCH FOR NGULU ARE CANCELLED AS OF 7 AM GUAM LST. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP AND ULITHI. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 7 AM GUAM LST..2100Z..THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.7 DEGREES EAST OR ABOUT 190 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP. IT IS NEARING ITS CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH TO ULITHI. LUPIT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER. LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 7 AM POSITION...10.4 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 140.7 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE YAP WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 11 AM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM. $$ MUNDELL +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:39 2003 X-UIDL: 47756-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV00D8XUJK3W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 08:54:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP0twPL013655 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 08:55:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdkf031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 18:46:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1997218 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 18:46:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP0kRD1081668 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 18:46:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAP0kFQS022422 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 18:46:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAP0kFP7022421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 18:46:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 18:46:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 955 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311250046.hAP0kFP7022421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 250000 WARNING 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 955 HPA AT 10.4N 140.4E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 12.4N 137.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 13.5N 136.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 14.5N 134.5E WITH 290 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:42 2003 X-UIDL: 47757-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV00DD7V7D3W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 09:09:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP1AFPL015570 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 09:10:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdm7031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:01:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1997570 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:01:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP11RD1049558 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:01:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAP11GQS022620 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:01:16 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAP11GLq022619 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:01:16 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:01:16 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Bulletin Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311250101.hAP11GLq022619@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPQ31 PGUM 250101 TCPPQ1 BULLETIN TYPHOON LUPIT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 11 AM GUAM LST TUE NOV 25 2003 ..TYPHOON LUPIT MOVING NORTHWEST PAST ULITHI... A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP AND ULITHI. A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. AT 10 AM GUAM LST..0000Z..THE CENTER OF TYPHOON LUPIT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.1 DEGREES EAST. THIS IS ABOUT 155 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP AND 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF ULITHI. LUPIT IS NEAR ITS CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH TO ULITHI. LUPIT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH. LITTLE CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 115 MPH. DAMAGING WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES FROM THE CENTER. LUPIT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. REPEATING THE 10 AM POSITION...10.6 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND 140.1 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...REFER TO TYPHOON LUPIT LOCAL STATEMENT /WTPQ81 PGUM/ AND OTHER PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE YAP WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 2 PM GUAM LST...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 5 PM. $$ MIDDLEBROOKE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:46 2003 X-UIDL: 47761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV00D59X633W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 09:51:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP1qdPL021103 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 09:52:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdnF031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:44:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1997965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:44:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP1iuD1030276 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:44:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAP1ijQS023093 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:44:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAP1ijbH023092 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:44:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 19:44:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 022 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311250144.hAP1ijbH023092@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 10.6N7 140.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N7 140.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 11.9N1 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 12.9N2 136.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.5N9 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.9N3 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.0N6 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 16.4N1 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 18.6N5 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 10.9N0 139.6E9. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. A RECENT SSMI PASS REVEALS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING AROUND THE CENTER OF TY 26W. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6, 251500Z3, 252100Z0 AND 260300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:50 2003 X-UIDL: 47764-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV00D34Z9P3W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 10:37:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP2c2j3057883 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 10:38:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdnx031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:24:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1998417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:24:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP2O3D1045772 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:24:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAP2NqQS023446 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:23:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAP2Nq83023445 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:23:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:23:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311250223.hAP2Nq83023445@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 250300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 22// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 250000Z7 TO 300000Z3 NOV 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. A RECENT SSMI PASS REVEALS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING AROUND THE CENTER OF TY 26W. B. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LOW TO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE NORTH AND EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE POLEWARD COMPONENT HAS BEEN ENHANCED OVER THE LAST 18 HOURS AS THE LARGE SIZE OF THE SYSTEM HAS MODIFIED THE STEERING RIDGE FROM THE SOUTH. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH, CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER JAPAN, IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AND WILL BEGIN TO INFLUENCE THE STEERING RIDGE BY TAU 36. AT THIS TIME, TY 26W WILL SLOW IN SPEED AND CONTINUE A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AS THE RIDGE STARTS TO WEAKEN AND RETREAT TOWARDS THE EAST. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF UKMET (EGRR), JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT OR NEAR A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. AFTER TAU 48, TY 26W IS FORECAST TO CEASE INTENSIFICATION DUE TO THE INTRUSION OF DRY AIR FROM THE SOUTHWEST. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK CALLS FOR TY 26W TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND PASS THE RIDGE AXIS BY TAU 120. DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AND WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM LATE IN THE PERIOD. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 11:52:52 2003 X-UIDL: 47765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOV00D7ZZB23W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 10:37:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP2coPL027376 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 10:38:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hANJJdoD031658; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:31:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1998518 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:31:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP2VBD1064908 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:31:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAP2UxQS023517 for ; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:30:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAP2UxMj023516 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:30:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 24 Nov 2003 20:30:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311250230.hAP2UxMj023516@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 33N 137E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 137E TO 32N 139E 30N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 137E TO 29N 136E 26N 131E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1018 HPA AT 50N 143E SAKHALIN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 143E TO 49N 146E 47N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 143E TO 44N 140E 41N 135E 39N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 138E 20N 150E 13N 149E 14N 144E 15N 138E 21N 138E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 152E 43N 173E 30N 172E 23N 154E 38N 152E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 117E 27N 120E 26N 122E 22N 120E 24N 117E. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 57N 151E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 22N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 45N 162E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 955 HPA AT 10.4N 140.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 175E TO 43N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Nov 25 18:11:28 2003 X-UIDL: 47807-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOW00DDTK2O3W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 25 Nov 2003 18:06:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPA7QPL082016 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 18:07:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP60fH9031660; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 04:03:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2001761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 04:03:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPA3QD1045682 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 04:03:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h9MKTEQS027501 for ; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:29:18 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h9MKT41r027499 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:29:04 -0500 (CDT) Date: Wed, 22 Oct 2003 15:29:04 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200310222029.h9MKT41r027499@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 45N 137E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 137E TO 46N 140E 45N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 137E TO 42N 138E 38N 137E 35N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 47N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 50N 143E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 35N 147E 33N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 32N 142E 28N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 121E 35N 125E 30N 131E 24N 130E 20N 126E 20N 121E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 170E 50N 180E 37N 180E 39N 171E 45N 170E. WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 11.9N 116.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 143E 49N 155E 43N 158E 40N 148E 42N 143E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 11N 101E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 57N 141E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 153E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 52N 163E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0317 KETSANA (0317) 940 HPA AT 18.5N 131.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. TYPHOON 0318 PARMA (0318) 970 HPA AT 24.1N 147.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N 166E TO 30N 174E 31N 180E 33N 174W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 26 13:36:10 2003 X-UIDL: 47883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00H1F1V9QT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 13:28:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ5TLj3067085 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 13:29:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP8OXOv048806; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2011545 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ5NBD1091562 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQ5NAfd021839 for ; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQ5NAS0021837 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 25 Nov 2003 23:23:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: And South Pacific Ocean/260600z-270600znov2003// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311260523.hAQ5NAS0021837@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPW10 PGTW 260600 SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z-270600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/260152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 136.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 26 15:23:17 2003 X-UIDL: 47890-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00HG363CQT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 14:59:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ70dj3078627 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 15:00:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNXn034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 00:47:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2012189 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 00:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ6lVD1091586 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 00:47:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQ6lUfd022581 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 00:47:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQ6lUP7022580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 00:47:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 00:47:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 925 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311260647.hAQ6lUP7022580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 260600 WARNING 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 925 HPA AT 13.1N 136.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 14.7N 135.2E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 17.0N 134.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 19.5N 134.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 26 16:38:57 2003 X-UIDL: 47907-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00GDSALKTP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 16:36:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ8bwj3092559 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 16:37:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNYZ034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 02:29:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2012591 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 02:29:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ8TCD1009914 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 02:29:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQ8TBfd023458 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 02:29:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQ8TBto023457 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 02:29:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 02:29:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311260829.hAQ8TBto023457@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 36N 152E 34N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 150E TO 34N 148E 29N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 150E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 59N 150E TO 60N 153E 59N 156E. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 156E TO 61N 163E 60N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 156E TO 58N 160E 52N 160E 45N 154E 42N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 160E 50N 167E 42N 180E 22N 180E 27N 160E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 112E 22N 112E 30N 122E 25N 135E 19N 135E 15N 130E 17N 112E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 22N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 47N 180E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 925 HPA AT 13.1N 136.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Nov 26 17:16:25 2003 X-UIDL: 47912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00GRGC1KTP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 17:08:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ99APL046354 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 17:09:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNYl034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:01:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2012724 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:01:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQ91WD1059866 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:01:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQ91Vfd023987 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:01:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQ91VWG023986 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:01:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 03:01:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 027 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311260901.hAQ91VWG023986@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 260900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 12.9N2 136.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 136.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 13.5N9 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 14.3N8 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 15.2N8 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.3N0 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 17.9N7 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 21.0N3 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 25.7N4 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 13.1N5 136.0E0. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. SYSTEM CURRENTLY HAS A 24 NM EYE DIAMETER AND SHOWS BOTH POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 42 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4, 262100Z1, 270300Z2 AND 270900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 00:17:00 2003 X-UIDL: 47922-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00GXDMPRTP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 20:58:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQCxYj3028471 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 20:59:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNaX034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 06:46:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2013636 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 06:46:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQCkjD1104868 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 06:46:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQCkifd025826 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 06:46:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQCki8E025825 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 06:46:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 06:46:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 920 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261246.hAQCki8E025825@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 261200 WARNING 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 920 HPA AT 13.5N 136.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 15.5N 134.6E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 18.0N 134.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 20.5N 134.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 00:17:13 2003 X-UIDL: 47927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00GV3P8ATP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 21:52:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQDs0PL080908 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 21:54:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNbV034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:46:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2014018 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:46:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQDk8D1009888 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:46:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQDk8fd026538 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:46:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQDk8I9026537 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:46:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 07:46:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 028 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261346.hAQDk8I9026537@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 13.5N9 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 14.2N7 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 15.0N6 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.9N5 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.0N8 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.6N6 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 22.7N1 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 27.4N3 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 135.5E4. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST- WARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS. SYSTEM CURRENTLY HAS A 20 NM EYE DIAMETER AND SHOWS GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IN ALL QUADRANTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 44 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1, 270300Z2, 270900Z8 AND 271500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 00:17:17 2003 X-UIDL: 47931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00GGXRD8TP@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 22:39:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQEeBPL086357 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 22:40:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNd3034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2014444 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQEUFD1085630 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQEUEfd027380 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQEUEeo027377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon (sty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261430.hAQEUEeo027377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 28// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 261200Z1 NOV TO 011200Z4 DEC 2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWEST- WARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS. SYSTEM CURRENTLY HAS A 20 NM EYE DIAMETER AND SHOWS GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IN ALL QUADRANTS. B. STY 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID TO UPPER LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS APPROACHING FROM ASIA, HAS STARTED TO WEAKEN THE STEERING RIDGE AND HAS CAUSED STY 26W TO TURN MORE POLEWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. OVER THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS, THESE SERIES OF TROUGHS WILL PROPAGATE TO THE NORTH OF STY 26W KEEPING THE STEERING RIDGE WEAK AND ALLOW STY 26W TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. STY 26W IS EXPECTED TO CROSS POLEWARD OF THE STEERING RIDGE AXIS BY TAU 72 AND THEN RECURVE AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND INCREASE SPEED AS IT STARTS TO INTERACT WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. HOWEVER, JGSM AND JTYM RECURVE STY 26W A LITTLE QUICKER THAN THE OTHER MODELS AS THEY BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE MORE RAPIDLY. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. STY 26W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT. AFTER TAU 24, STY 26W IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AND THEN START A WEAKENING TREND BY TAU 36 AS THE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW FOR THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENED BY THE SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGE AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK FOR STY 26W HAS THE SYSTEM MOVING POLEWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND THEN RECURVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. ONCE NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS STY 26W WILL INCREASE IN SPEED AS IT ENTERS THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLY FLOW AND STARTS TO BE INFLUENCED BY THE POLAR FRONT JET. INTENSITY WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY AFTER TAU 96 AS STY 26W WILL ENCOUNTER A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT THAT CONSISTS OF DECREASED OUTFLOW ALOFT, INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, AND COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 00:17:18 2003 X-UIDL: 47932-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00HFYRD8QT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 22:39:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQEeBj3040925 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 22:40:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP8OXUJ048806; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2014447 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQEUFD1037566 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQEUEfd027381 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQEUEVa027379 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 08:30:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261430.hAQEUEVa027379@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1016 HPA AT 41N 154E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 154E TO 43N 156E 45N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 154E TO 36N 152E 32N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 60N 162E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 162E TO 60N 167E 60N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 162E TO 56N 166E 50N 163E 45N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 152E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 168E 41N 180E 23N 180E 26N 162E 41N 168E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 121E 29N 130E 20N 136E 15N 126E 20N 114E 29N 121E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 21N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 920 HPA AT 13.5N 136.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 00:17:21 2003 X-UIDL: 47939-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOY00HKLV2DQT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:59:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQG04PL097283 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:00:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP9qmP9058870; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:39 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2015166 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAQFqbD1016568 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAQFqafd029269 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:36 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAQFqadf029267 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 09:52:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311261552.hAQFqadf029267@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPW10 PGTW 260600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 136.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 14:54:50 2003 X-UIDL: 47999-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HOZ000XWWZEKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 13:38:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR5d4PL003357 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 13:39:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNt9034060; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2020879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR5SwD1091304 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAR5SvIj008797 for ; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAR5Sv1H008795 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 26 Nov 2003 23:28:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311270528.hAR5Sv1H008795@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z-280600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/270152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N6 134.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO JIMA AND HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS GUSTING TO 175 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 14:54:57 2003 X-UIDL: 48002-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000OZ0A1KY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:49:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR6oGj3084293 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:50:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNuf034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:43:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2021400 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:43:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR6huD1070530 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:43:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAR6huIj009479 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:43:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAR6hukQ009478 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:43:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 00:43:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 915 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311270643.hAR6hukQ009478@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 270600 WARNING 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 915 HPA AT 14.4N 134.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 16.7N 133.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 920 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 19.0N 132.5E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 22.5N 133.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 17:21:46 2003 X-UIDL: 48015-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000YB59SKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 16:37:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR8c8PL025724 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 16:38:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNvl034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:31:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2021867 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:31:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR8VND1030424 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:31:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAR8VMIj010289 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:31:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAR8VMvq010288 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:31:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:31:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311270831.hAR8VMvq010288@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 65N 178E SIBERIA MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 65N 178E TO 65N 177W 64N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 64N 175W TO 60N 167W 57N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 64N 175W TO 57N 180E 52N 172E 44N 164E 38N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 59N 154E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 47N 156E 43N 163E 30N 150E 20N 123E 21N 118E 25N 119E 30N 122E 31N 131E 33N 132E 36N 140E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 164E 41N 180E 24N 180E 28N 165E 38N 158E 43N 163E 43N 164E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 21N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 38N 116E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 49N 131E ESE SLOWLY. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 915 HPA AT 14.4N 134.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 17:21:50 2003 X-UIDL: 48017-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP00006B658KY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 16:55:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR8utj3000992 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 16:56:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsNwP034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:50:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2022004 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:50:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR8oYD1055716 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:50:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAR8oXIj010383 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:50:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAR8oXVZ010382 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:50:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 02:50:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 031 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311270850.hAR8oXVZ010382@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 270900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 14.5N0 134.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 134.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 15.3N9 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.3N0 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.5N3 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 18.9N8 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 22.6N0 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 28.7N7 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 35.1N9 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION NEAR 14.7N2 134.2E0. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 795 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 155 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 46 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5, 272100Z2, 280300Z3 AND 280900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Nov 27 20:57:21 2003 X-UIDL: 48037-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP00000IH3HKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:52:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARCrUPL052736 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:53:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP9qmWF058870; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 06:44:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2023417 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 06:44:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARCi1D1064830 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 06:44:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARCi1Ij012507 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 06:44:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARCi0dH012506 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 06:44:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 06:44:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 915 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271244.hARCi0dH012506@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 271200 WARNING 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 915 HPA AT 14.9N 133.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 17.1N 132.5E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 920 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 19.5N 132.0E WITH 170 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 23.0N 134.0E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 00:36:52 2003 X-UIDL: 48043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP00001RLIIKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:27:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARESrj3042934 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:28:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAR5brbX104816; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:19:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2024202 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:19:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAREIxD1088370 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:18:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAREIxIj013367 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:18:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAREIxFJ013366 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:18:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:18:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271418.hAREIxFJ013366@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 271500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- NEAR 15.0N6 133.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 133.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.0N7 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.2N0 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.5N4 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 20.1N3 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 24.4N0 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 26 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 32.8N3 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 41.8N3 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION NEAR 15.3N9 133.5E2. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 760 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 AND 145 KNOTS. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A 19 NM EYE FEATURE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAVORABLE. A SERIES OF RECENT MICROWAVE PASSES SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM MAY BE UNDERGOING A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL CYCLE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 46 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2, 280300Z3, 280900Z9 AND 281500Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 00:36:55 2003 X-UIDL: 48045-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000F5LPJKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:32:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAREXAPL064613 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:33:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAP8OXgJ048806; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:19:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2024205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:19:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAREJ1D1088374 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:19:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAREJ0Ij013372 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:19:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAREJ0vI013371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:19:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:19:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northwestpac Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271419.hAREJ0vI013371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 271500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- NEAR 15.0N6 133.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 133.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 16.0N7 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 17.2N0 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.5N4 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 20.1N3 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 24.4N0 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 26 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 00:36:57 2003 X-UIDL: 48046-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP0000TRLW8KY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:36:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAREbBPL065079 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:37:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsN3R034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:31:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2024291 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:31:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAREVPD1035030 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:31:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAREVOIj013605 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:31:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAREVO5W013604 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:31:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 08:31:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271431.hAREVO5W013604@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 65N 179E SIBERIA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 65N 179E TO 66N 173W 64N 168W. WARM FRONT FROM 64N 168W TO 61N 161W 56N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 64N 168W TO 58N 173W 54N 177E 45N 167E 39N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 130E 35N 140E 43N 154E 41N 162E 31N 152E 28N 136E 30N 132E 32N 130E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 127E 20N 123E 20N 117E 25N 118E 30N 122E 28N 127E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 133E 21N 139E 18N 128E 20N 126E 25N 133E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 165E 37N 180E 21N 180E 24N 171E 40N 161E 45N 165E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 21N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 31N 130E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 47N 134E SE 20 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 39N 118E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 915 HPA AT 14.9N 133.9E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 30N 133E 28N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 28N 128E 25N 124E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 03:01:25 2003 X-UIDL: 48058-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP00000HXTAKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:53:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARIsbPL093469 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:54:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAPFsN7H034060; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 12:44:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2026589 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 12:44:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARIihD1037256 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 12:44:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARIihIj016163 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 12:44:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARIihp6016161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 12:44:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 12:44:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 915 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311271844.hARIihp6016161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 271800 WARNING 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 915 HPA AT 15.2N 133.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 17.3N 131.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 925 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 19.5N 132.0E WITH 180 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 23.0N 135.5E WITH 250 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 945 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 09:46:48 2003 X-UIDL: 48064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1000EQ1NKKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 04:16:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARKHZj3083294 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 04:17:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARJGSDh034062; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:10:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2027142 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:10:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARKA5D1034836 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:10:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARKA1Ij016937 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:10:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARKA1iE016936 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:10:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:10:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 033 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311272010.hARKA1iE016936@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 15.3N9 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 16.3N0 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.5N3 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 225 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 225 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 19.0N0 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 20.8N0 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 25.6N3 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 33.8N4 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 42.4N0 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 15.5N1 133.0E7. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 715 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271730Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 46 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3, 280900Z9, 281500Z6, AND 282100Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 09:46:54 2003 X-UIDL: 48066-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP10006331HKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 04:46:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARKlXj3087628 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 04:47:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARJGSE1034062; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:30:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2027232 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:30:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARKUJD1091366 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:30:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hARKUJIj017114 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:30:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hARKUJXN017113 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:30:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 14:30:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311272030.hARKUJXN017113@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 66N 176W SIBERIA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 66N 176W TO 66N 169W 64N 164W. WARM FRONT FROM 64N 164W TO 60N 159W 56N 156W. COLD FRONT FROM 64N 164W TO 55N 174W 48N 175E 40N 165E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 132E 36N 141E 42N 150E 43N 169E 30N 158E 28N 138E 33N 132E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 137E 23N 137E 18N 126E 24N 127E 27N 137E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 127E 19N 124E 18N 118E 24N 118E 30N 121E 30N 127E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 171E 42N 180E 27N 180E 28N 169E 43N 171E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 31N 130E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1004 HPA AT 21N 165E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 39N 119E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 43N 143E ESE 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 915 HPA AT 15.2N 133.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 30N 134E 29N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 130E TO 28N 128E 26N 125E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 09:47:16 2003 X-UIDL: 48079-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1000JXEIQKY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:54:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS0tRPL030289 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:55:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARJGSGX034062; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 18:47:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2028820 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 18:47:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS0lqD1060052 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 18:47:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS0lqIj019059 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 18:47:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS0lqJn019058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 18:47:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 18:47:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 920 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280047.hAS0lqJn019058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 280000 WARNING 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 920 HPA AT 15.5N 133.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 18.4N 131.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 21.5N 133.5E WITH 210 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 26.5N 138.5E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 12:35:48 2003 X-UIDL: 48090-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1003HJJ49WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:33:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS2YmPL041573 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:34:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aADT034066; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:27:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2029415 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS2RvD1072926 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:27:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS2RvIj019910 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:27:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS2RvdO019909 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:27:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:27:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280227.hAS2RvdO019909@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 130E 33N 133E 35N 140E 38N 143E 41N 155E 40N 163E 30N 157E 27N 140E 27N 130E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 140E 60N 158E 60N 180E 49N 180E 43N 171E 45N 154E 53N 142E 60N 140E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 168E 43N 171E 50N 180E 23N 180E 26N 170E 36N 168E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 04N 110E 09N 107E 21N 111E 24N 121E 24N 132E 21N 131E 13N 117E 08N 114E 04N 110E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 140E 22N 137E 21N 145E 14N 147E 14N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 31N 131E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 21N 167E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 43N 147E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 920 HPA AT 15.5N 133.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 29N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 131E TO 23N 124E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 180E TO 49N 178E 40N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 12:35:52 2003 X-UIDL: 48092-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP100363JBZWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:38:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS2dNj3028257 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:39:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARJMZFN024724; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:33:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2029464 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:33:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS2X2D1047120 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:33:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS2X2Ij019979 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:33:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS2X1p7019978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:33:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:33:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 034 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280233.hAS2X1p7019978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 280300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- NEAR 15.5N1 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 16.6N3 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 17.7N5 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.1N1 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 20.9N1 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 26.0N8 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 33.4N0 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 41.7N2 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4 132.7E3. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 715 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS GONE THROUGH AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 47 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9, 281500Z6, 282100Z3, AND 290300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 12:35:55 2003 X-UIDL: 48094-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1003GQJPUWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:46:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS2lkPL043070 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 10:47:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aADb034066; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:39:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2029485 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:39:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS2d8D1087982 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:39:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS2d8Ij020034 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:39:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS2d8nf020033 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:39:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 20:39:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon (sty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280239.hAS2d8nf020033@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 280300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 34// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 280000Z0 NOV TO 030000Z3 DEC 2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 715 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 272330Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS GONE THROUGH AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT. B. STY 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. STY 26W WILL THEN TURN AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ABOVE THE RIDGE AXIS AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. STY 26W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT SUPER TYPHOON STRENGTH OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IN A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND THEN WEAKEN AS OUTFLOW DECREASES AND THE SYSTEM BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A RECENT MICROWAVE PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK FOR STY 26W HAS THE SYSTEM MOVING POLEWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS, INCREASING IN SPEED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AND WEAKENING AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/SPANSKI/MENEBROKER// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 14:06:11 2003 X-UIDL: 48110-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1003YDSI8WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 13:56:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS5vYPL063939 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 13:57:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hARJMZGT024724; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2030704 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS5n8D1104776 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS5n7Ij021379 for ; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS5n7tI021377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 27 Nov 2003 23:49:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280549.hAS5n7tI021377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z-290600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/280152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0, SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N1 132.9E5, APPROXIMATELY 715 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 16:22:44 2003 X-UIDL: 48118-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1003EJV72WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:54:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS6tgj3059070 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:55:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAGl034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 00:48:33 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2031130 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 00:48:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS6mWD1104916 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 00:48:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS6mVIj021825 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 00:48:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS6mV8O021824 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 00:48:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 00:48:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 925 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280648.hAS6mV8O021824@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 280600 WARNING 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 925 HPA AT 16.1N 132.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 19.4N 131.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 23.5N 135.5E WITH 210 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 29.0N 141.5E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 16:51:16 2003 X-UIDL: 48127-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1003I0ZYJWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 16:37:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS8cZj3070936 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 16:38:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAHr034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:28:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2031708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS8SCD1036586 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS8SBIj022708 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:28:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS8SBYW022707 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:28:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:28:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 035 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280828.hAS8SBYW022707@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 280900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 035 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- NEAR 16.2N9 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 17.5N3 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 19.0N0 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 20.8N0 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 195 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 23.0N5 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 28.9N9 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 26 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 37.4N4 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION NEAR 16.5N2 132.1E7. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 660 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS REVEALS A 39 NM EYE FEATURE, WITH A WARMER TEMPERATURE THAN 12 HOURS AGO. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 48 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6, 282100Z3, 290300Z4 AND 290900Z0.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Nov 28 16:51:20 2003 X-UIDL: 48128-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP1003LQZZJWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 16:38:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS8dBj3071015 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 16:39:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAHt034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:29:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2031711 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:29:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS8T3D1059684 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:29:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAS8T3Ij022725 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:29:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAS8T3Sk022724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:29:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 02:29:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311280829.hAS8T3Sk022724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 131E 39N 153E 40N 168E 35N 166E 30N 146E 29N 130E 33N 131E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 110E 25N 130E 21N 130E 16N 111E 21N 110E. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 12N 101E 09N 105E 12N 109E 11N 114E 02N 111E 03N 104E 12N 101E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 58N 140E 60N 180E 47N 180E 46N 177E 48N 155E 53N 141E 58N 140E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 168E 35N 180E 22N 180E 27N 168E 32N 168E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 31N 132E NE 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 22N 167E NE 10 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 43N 150E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 925 HPA AT 16.1N 132.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 132E TO 30N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 132E TO 27N 130E 24N 127E. COLD FRONT FROM 62N 155W TO 56N 158W 48N 180E 42N 172E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:00:58 2003 X-UIDL: 48165-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP20036ZBW2WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 20:55:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASCuCj3001353 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 20:56:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAJT034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 06:46:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2032431 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 06:46:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASCkdD1088356 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 06:46:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASCkdIj024784 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 06:46:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASCkdxU024783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 06:46:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 06:46:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 930 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281246.hASCkdxU024783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 281200 WARNING 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 930 HPA AT 16.8N 132.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 19.5N 131.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 24.0N 136.5E WITH 210 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 29.5N 142.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:09 2003 X-UIDL: 48169-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003JFEYSWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:01:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASE2hPL017830 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:02:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aAKv034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:57:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2032917 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:57:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASDvJD1058696 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:57:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASDvIIj025357 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:57:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASDvIO9025356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:57:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 07:57:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 036 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281357.hASDvIO9025356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. SUPER TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 036 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- NEAR 16.9N6 131.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 131.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 18.5N4 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 20.0N2 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 21.9N2 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 24.5N1 135.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 31.0N4 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 26 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 39.2N4 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.3N1 131.8E3. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 610 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. A 281012Z4 MICROWAVE PASS INDICATES THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED WITH A 40 NM EYE FEATURE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE EYE TEMPERATURE AND SURROUNDING CONVECTION ARE BEGINNING TO SHOW SIGNS OF WEAKENING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 48 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3, 290300Z4, 290900Z0 AND 291500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:11 2003 X-UIDL: 48170-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003ZMF6RWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:06:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASE7SPL018335 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:07:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aALB034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:02:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2032982 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:02:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASE2QD1037508 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:02:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASE2QIj025418 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:02:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASE2QTX025417 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:02:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:02:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Super Typhoon (sty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281402.hASE2QTX025417@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 36// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 281200Z3 NOV TO 021200Z5 DEC 2003. A. SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 610 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 140 KNOTS. A 281012Z4 MICROWAVE PASS INDICATES THE SYSTEM REMAINS WELL ORGANIZED WITH A 40 NM EYE FEATURE. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE EYE TEMPERATURE AND SURROUNDING CONVECTION ARE BEGINNING TO SHOW SIGNS OF WEAKENING. B. STY 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. STY 26W WILL THEN TURN AND TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ABOVE THE RIDGE AXIS AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. STY 26W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE TO THE NORTHWEST. FURTHER WEAKENING SHOULD OCCUR AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR IS ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST. D. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 280918Z8 QUIKSCAT PASS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM AND MODEL FIELD ANALYSIS. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK FOR STY 26W HAS THE SYSTEM INCREASING IN SPEED TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AND WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING WESTERLIES, COOLER WATER, AND BECOMES AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/HEATH/KELSEY/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:12 2003 X-UIDL: 48172-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003NTGI7WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:34:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASEZxj3013107 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 22:36:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAS1aALZ034066; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:29:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2033182 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:29:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASET5D1023228 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:29:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASET5Ij025594 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:29:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASET4Q8025593 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:29:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 08:29:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281429.hASET4Q8025593@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 114E 26N 119E 28N 130E 22N 131E 17N 126E 16N 114E 22N 114E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 133E 36N 141E 39N 149E 39N 158E 44N 173E 40N 172E 31N 159E 30N 133E 33N 133E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 58N 139E 60N 160E 60N 180E 48N 180E 47N 160E 54N 140E 58N 139E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 163E 33N 180E 22N 180E 25N 171E 26N 163E 30N 163E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1024 HPA AT 46N 127E EAST 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 33N 129E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 22N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 43N 153E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 930 HPA AT 16.8N 132.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 127E TO 45N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 127E TO 41N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 51N 169W TO 49N 176W 46N 180E 39N 171E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 130E TO 29N 131E 31N 132E 31N 134E 31N 137E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:29 2003 X-UIDL: 48187-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003U6SGKWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 02:53:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASIsCj3045052 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 02:54:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKEJ038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 12:47:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 0387 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 12:47:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASIlgD1085586 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 12:47:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASIlfIj028173 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 12:47:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASIlf8T028172 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 12:47:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 12:47:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 930 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311281847.hASIlf8T028172@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 281800 WARNING 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 930 HPA AT 17.6N 131.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 110 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 18.2N 131.7E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 930 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 20.2N 132.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 26.0N 138.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 34.0N 144.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:49 2003 X-UIDL: 48193-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003FRWM1WO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 04:22:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASKNqPL060343 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 04:23:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKFj038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:16:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1145 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:16:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASKGkD1031526 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:16:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASKGkIj029039 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:16:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASKGk6t029038 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:16:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:16:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 037 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311282016.hASKGk6t029038@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 282100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 037 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- NEAR 17.7N5 131.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 131.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 19.4N4 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 21.0N3 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 23.0N5 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 25.9N6 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 32.7N2 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 40.3N7 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.1N0 131.2E7. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 540 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281730Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 127, AND 140 KNOTS. LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICT A DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 49 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4, 290900Z0, 291500Z7 AND 292100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:01:53 2003 X-UIDL: 48195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP2003YLXFDWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 04:40:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASKfTj3060707 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 04:41:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKFl038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:32:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:32:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASKWAD1045784 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:32:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hASKWAIj029209 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:32:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hASKW9sP029208 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:32:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 14:32:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311282032.hASKW9sP029208@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 38N 130E NEAR ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 38N 131E 38N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 130E TO 35N 129E 34N 127E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 123E 23N 133E 20N 126E 15N 117E 09N 109E 17N 109E 22N 113E 31N 123E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 35N 140E 40N 147E 41N 168E 34N 163E 30N 150E 30N 134E 33N 134E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 56N 162E 57N 180E 47N 180E 44N 161E 50N 159E 56N 162E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 163E 32N 180E 22N 180E 24N 164E 29N 163E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 22N 168E NE SLOWLY. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 42N 156E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 930 HPA AT 17.6N 131.5E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 128E TO 29N 131E 31N 133E 31N 137E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 168E TO 39N 172E 42N 176E 48N 173W 55N 149W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:18 2003 X-UIDL: 48208-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP30031J8YZWO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 08:49:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT0opPL085003 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 08:50:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKJt038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 18:46:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 2761 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 18:46:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT0kHD1045574 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 18:46:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAT0kHIj001882 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 18:46:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAT0kHvm001881 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 18:46:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 18:46:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 935 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311290046.hAT0kHvm001881@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 290000 WARNING 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 935 HPA AT 18.4N 131.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 130 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 20.2N 131.6E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 935 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 22.2N 133.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 940 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 28.5N 139.0E WITH 220 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 36.5N 144.5E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:23 2003 X-UIDL: 48210-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP3007LZBCO2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 09:41:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT1gGj3093870 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 09:42:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKKN038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:36:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3044 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:36:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT1aZD1050824 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:36:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAT1aZIj002262 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:36:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAT1aYTB002261 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:36:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:36:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 038 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311290136.hAT1aYTB002261@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- NEAR 18.4N3 131.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 131.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 19.9N9 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 21.4N7 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 22.8N2 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 25.5N2 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 32.5N0 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY. --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 39.0N2 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 130.9E3. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 115, AND 127 KNOTS. TY 26W IS NOW ENTERING AN ENVIRONMENT OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 42 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0, 291500Z7, 292100Z4 AND 300300Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:27 2003 X-UIDL: 48213-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP3007HAC3A2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 09:57:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT1wEj3096099 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 09:58:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKKf038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:52:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:52:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT1q3D1037576 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:52:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAT1q3Ij002372 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:52:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAT1q3Ke002371 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:52:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 19:52:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311290152.hAT1q3Ke002371@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 290300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 38// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 290000Z1 NOV TO 030000Z3 DEC 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 282330Z8 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102, 115, AND 127 KNOTS. TY 26W HAS ENTERED AN ENVIRONMENT OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. B. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TY 26W IS BEING STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. WITHIN 12 HOURS, TY 26W WILL PASS THE STEERING RIDGE AXIS AND TRACK TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. AFTER TAU 36, TY 26W WILL INCREASE IN SPEED AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND A DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT WILL CAUSE TY 26W TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. E. THE EXTENDED OUTLOOK FOR TY 26W HAS THE SYSTEM BEING EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:32 2003 X-UIDL: 48217-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP3007DXDWJ2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:36:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT2bOPL095598 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 10:37:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKKv038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 20:29:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 3357 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 20:29:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT2TCD1091544 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 20:29:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAT2TCIj002669 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 20:29:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAT2TCZ0002668 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 20:29:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 20:29:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311290229.hAT2TCZ0002668@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 38N 131E NEAR ULLUNG ISLAND MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 131E TO 38N 133E 38N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 131E TO 35N 131E 33N 129E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 130E 24N 130E 20N 125E 11N 110E 18N 110E 25N 119E 30N 122E 30N 130E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 35N 140E 39N 141E 38N 160E 42N 169E 40N 176E 32N 158E 32N 145E 32N 134E 33N 134E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 165E 33N 180E 23N 180E 26N 165E 30N 165E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 153E 52N 159E 60N 164E 60N 173E 56N 180E 47N 180E 47N 162E 49N 153E 53N 153E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. LOW 1022 HPA AT 52N 129E NORTH 20 KT. LOW 1008 HPA AT 22N 167E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 32N 111E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 44N 156E EAST 10 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 935 HPA AT 18.4N 131.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 129E TO 51N 131E 49N 132E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 132E TO 48N 135E 47N 137E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 132E TO 45N 132E 42N 128E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N 129E TO 29N 131E 32N 133E 33N 136E 33N 140E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 170E TO 39N 175E 44N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:02:46 2003 X-UIDL: 48229-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP30078CN1Y2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 29 Nov 2003 13:53:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT5t0PL014457 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 13:55:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKNT038834; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 4592 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAT5loD1099116 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAT5lnIj004222 for ; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAT5lntL004220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 28 Nov 2003 23:47:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311290547.hAT5lntL004220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z-300600ZNOV2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/290152ZNOV2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1, TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N3 131.0E5, APPROXIMATELY 520NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA AND HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS GUSTING TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 290300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:24 2003 X-UIDL: 48251-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP4007FUN5U2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 02:53:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATIsxj3012891 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 02:55:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKVD038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 12:50:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 8455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 12:50:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATIoED1077906 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 12:50:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATIoEtS003036 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 12:50:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATIoEOO003035 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 12:50:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 12:50:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 940 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311291850.hATIoEOO003035@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 291800 WARNING 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 940 HPA AT 20.8N 131.8E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 11 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 140 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 23.8N 134.3E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 27.5N 137.8E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 34.5N 144.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 39.0N 154.0E WITH 325 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 976 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:32 2003 X-UIDL: 48255-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP4007VIPPN2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:48:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATJo1j3020415 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 03:50:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKWR038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 13:45:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 8932 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 13:45:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATJjOD1058640 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 13:45:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATJjNtS003685 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 13:45:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATJjNgY003684 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 13:45:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 13:45:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 041 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311291945.hATJjNgY003684@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 292100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 041 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- NEAR 20.8N0 131.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N0 131.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 23.0N5 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 25.6N3 136.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 28.4N4 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 31.6N0 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 36.9N8 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION NEAR 21.4N7 132.0E6. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 395 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 291730Z2 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. LATEST WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICT A SLIGHT DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6, 300900Z2, 301500Z9 AND 302100Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:33 2003 X-UIDL: 48256-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP4007XYRWP2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 04:36:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATKbTj3025921 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 04:37:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKXT038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 14:30:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 9285 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 14:30:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hATKUfD1051894 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 14:30:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hATKUetS004096 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 14:30:40 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hATKUebM004095 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 14:30:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 14:30:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311292030.hATKUebM004095@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 41N 140E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 140E TO 40N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 140E TO 38N 138E 35N 135E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 33N 136E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 33N 136E TO 35N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 33N 136E TO 29N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 40N 142E 40N 160E 26N 160E 26N 148E 30N 142E 35N 141E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 10N 110E 18N 110E 24N 118E 30N 122E 30N 130E 27N 130E 23N 126E 17N 126E 10N 110E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 160E 40N 180E 25N 180E 28N 170E 26N 160E 40N 160E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 165E 60N 180E 42N 180E 49N 163E 60N 165E. SUMMARY. LOW 1018 HPA AT 53N 141E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 25N 170E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 44N 163E EAST 20 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 940 HPA AT 20.8N 131.8E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 141E TO 50N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 141E TO 49N 141E 45N 137E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:03:51 2003 X-UIDL: 48266-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP5007YX3UA2M@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 08:54:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU0tFIN016044 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 08:55:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKbn038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 18:47:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11257 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 18:47:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU0lZD1058868 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 18:47:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU0lYtS006546 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 18:47:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU0lY8g006545 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 18:47:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 18:47:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300047.hAU0lY8g006545@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 300000 WARNING 300000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 945 HPA AT 21.8N 132.6E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 12 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 25.2N 135.5E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 28.7N 138.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 35.0N 146.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 38.0N 157.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:01 2003 X-UIDL: 48271-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP5009GL61YB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:41:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU1h3u9016173 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:43:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKcj038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:33:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11605 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:33:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU1XpD1099538 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:33:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU1XotS006899 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:33:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU1XoCT006898 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:33:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:33:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 042 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300133.hAU1XoCT006898@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- NEAR 21.7N0 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 24.1N7 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 26.9N7 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 29.6N7 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 32.9N4 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 37.1N1 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION NEAR 22.3N7 133.0E7. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. LATEST MULTI- SPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A LARGE DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2, 301500Z9, 302100Z6 AND 010300Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:05 2003 X-UIDL: 48273-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP5009F36R8B1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:57:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU1wCIN021535 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 09:58:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKd5038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:53:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 11740 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:53:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU1rTD1045664 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:53:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU1rTtS007076 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:53:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU1rSMG007075 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:53:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 19:53:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Typhoon (ty) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300153.hAU1rSMG007075@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 300300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 42// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 300000Z3 NOV TO 030000Z3 DEC 2003. A. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 292330Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. LATEST MULTISPECTRAL AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A LARGE DECREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. B. TY 26W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN SPEED AS IT STARTS TO INTERACT WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES LOCATED TO THE NORTH. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND A DECREASE IN OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL CAUSE TY 26W TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. D. CURRENT AND FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN ABOVE AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:07 2003 X-UIDL: 48274-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP50099G8GQB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 10:34:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU2Z6IN025046 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 10:35:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKeT038834; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 20:30:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 12083 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 20:30:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU2UKD1078006 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 20:30:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU2UJtS007355 for ; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 20:30:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU2UJh0007354 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 29 Nov 2003 20:30:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 29 Nov 2003 20:30:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300230.hAU2UJh0007354@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 43N 145E HOKKAIDO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 145E TO 43N 147E 42N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 145E TO 39N 142E 37N 138E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 51N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 34N 139E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 35N 141E 35N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 31N 137E 29N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 165E 40N 180E 22N 180E 24N 163E 34N 160E 40N 165E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 162E 60N 180E 44N 180E 50N 165E 60N 162E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 118E 32N 122E 32N 130E 27N 130E 24N 127E 20N 127E 24N 118E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 53N 144E NE 10 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 56N 138E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 25N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 44N 167E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 945 HPA AT 21.8N 132.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:18 2003 X-UIDL: 48281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP50098YK8ZB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:48:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU6neu9040287 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:49:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKkl038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:47:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 14146 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:47:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU6l8D1045384 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:47:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU6l8tS009184 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:47:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU6l8SD009183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:47:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 00:47:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300647.hAU6l8SD009183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 300600 WARNING 300600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 945 HPA AT 23.2N 134.0E SOUTHEAST OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 17 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 26.8N 137.8E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 30.2N 141.4E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 35.5N 149.5E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 41.0N 161.0E WITH 350 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:22 2003 X-UIDL: 48286-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP5009G4P1MB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 16:32:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU8XAIN055761 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 16:33:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKlf038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 02:29:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 14651 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 02:29:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAU8TlD1087814 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 02:29:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAU8TltS009852 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 02:29:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAU8TlJ4009851 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 02:29:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 02:29:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311300829.hAU8TlJ4009851@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 46N 148E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 148E TO 46N 152E 44N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 148E TO 43N 147E 40N 144E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 53N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 37N 145E 37N 147E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 32N 140E 30N 136E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 129E 25N 128E 23N 128E 20N 129E 20N 122E 24N 118E 30N 122E 33N 122E 32N 129E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 166E 38N 180E 29N 180E 27N 170E 25N 168E 25N 160E 35N 160E 38N 166E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 170E 60N 180E 46N 180E 47N 175E 60N 170E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 40N 144E 43N 144E 46N 150E 51N 156E 40N 153E 40N 144E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 55N 142E ENE 10 KT. LOW 1002 HPA AT 25N 171E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 34N 118E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 44N 169E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 945 HPA AT 23.2N 134.0E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:04:40 2003 X-UIDL: 48297-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP6009IV10TB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:50:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUCpru9069632 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:51:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKnD038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 06:47:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 16064 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 06:47:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUCkxD1059686 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 06:46:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUCkxtS011854 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 06:46:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUCkxFw011853 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 06:46:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 06:46:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 945 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301246.hAUCkxFw011853@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 301200 WARNING 301200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 945 HPA AT 24.7N 135.7E EAST OF MINAMIDAITOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 21 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 28.3N 139.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 955 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 31.4N 143.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 37.0N 152.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:07 2003 X-UIDL: 48310-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP6009U5608B1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:38:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUEdau9080252 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:39:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKoD038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 08:29:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 16750 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 08:29:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUETBD1078076 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 08:29:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUETBtS012421 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 08:29:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUETB77012420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 08:29:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 08:29:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301429.hAUETB77012420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 49N 152E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 152E TO 49N 153E 48N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 154E TO 47N 156E 43N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 154E TO 45N 151E 42N 148E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 57N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 55N 144E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 146E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 146E TO 40N 148E 40N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 146E TO 35N 144E 32N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 134E 30N 134E 27N 130E 20N 130E 20N 121E 29N 122E 33N 125E 33N 128E 30N 131E 33N 132E 33N 134E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 165E 38N 180E 26N 180E 26N 170E 23N 167E 23N 164E 38N 165E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 24N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 33N 120E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 45N 172E EAST 15 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 945 HPA AT 24.7N 135.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:28 2003 X-UIDL: 48322-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP60099PGAUB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:20:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUILxIN014171 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:22:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKtF038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:16:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18414 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:15:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUIFxD1099376 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:15:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUIFxtS014228 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:15:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUIFwfx014227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:15:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:15:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 044a Corrected Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301815.hAUIFwfx014227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WTPN31 PGTW 301500 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 044A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- NEAR 24.4N0 135.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 135.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 27.2N1 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 30.3N6 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 33.6N2 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 36.9N8 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION NEAR 25.1N8 136.1E1. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA,HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301130Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEAL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT INTO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CHANGED INCORRECT MANOP. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6, 010300Z4, 010900Z0 AND 011500Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:34 2003 X-UIDL: 48325-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP600955HRWB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:52:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUIrnu9002064 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:53:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKu5038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:47:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 18726 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:47:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUIlfD1045742 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:47:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUIlftS014493 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:47:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUIlfnl014492 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:47:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 12:47:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 950 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301847.hAUIlfnl014492@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 301800 WARNING 301800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 950 HPA AT 26.1N 137.6E WEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 22 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 29.5N 141.2E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 32.8N 145.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 38.0N 154.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 974 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:40 2003 X-UIDL: 48328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP600929KCDB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:48:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUJnIu9008142 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 03:49:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKuj038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 13:42:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 19041 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 13:42:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUJgID1086834 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 13:42:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUJgHtS015053 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 13:42:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUJgH22015052 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 13:42:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 13:42:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 045 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311301942.hAUJgH22015052@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 302100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TYPHOON 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 045 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- NEAR 26.0N8 137.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 26.0N8 137.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 29.7N8 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 32.9N4 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 36.3N2 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 36 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 39.0N2 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION NEAR 26.9N7 138.4E6. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 301730Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77, 90, AND 102 KNOTS. TY 26W HAS BEGUN TO INTERACT WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND HAS PICKED UP SPEED OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z2 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4, 010900Z0, 011500Z7 AND 012100Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:05:46 2003 X-UIDL: 48332-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP6009P5MCIB1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 04:31:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUKWZIN029378 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 04:32:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKvD038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:27:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 19275 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:27:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUKRsD1036446 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:27:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hAUKRstS015378 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:27:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hAUKRsgs015377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:27:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 14:27:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200311302027.hAUKRsgs015377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 011800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 156E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 156E TO 50N 158E 49N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 160E TO 46N 162E 43N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 160E TO 47N 158E 44N 155E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 54N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 55N 147E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 40N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 150E TO 41N 152E 41N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 150E TO 37N 148E 34N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 165E 36N 180E 26N 180E 26N 167E 24N 163E 24N 159E 36N 165E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 135E 31N 136E 29N 132E 19N 131E 18N 121E 05N 111E 08N 108E 23N 117E 27N 121E 33N 122E 32N 130E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 24N 168E WSW SLOWLY. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 48N 109E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 44N 175E ESE 25 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 950 HPA AT 26.1N 137.6E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:05 2003 X-UIDL: 48344-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP600B57YM81R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:56:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB10vbIN055046 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:57:38 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUBoGJJ030164; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:50:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21230 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:50:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB10oBD1050874 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:50:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB10oBtS017333 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:50:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB10oA8q017332 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:50:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:50:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Typhoon 0321 Lupit (0321) 960 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010050.hB10oA8q017332@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 010000 WARNING 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. TYPHOON WARNING. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 960 HPA AT 26.9N 139.1E WEST OF CHICHIJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 16 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD. MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 30.6N 143.1E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 34.0N 147.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 40.5N 157.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:17 2003 X-UIDL: 48353-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BI117J1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 09:52:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB11rZIN061431 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 09:53:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsK45038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:48:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21706 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:48:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB11mgD1016480 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:48:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB11mgtS017908 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:48:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB11mgHZ017907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:48:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:48:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 046 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010148.hB11mgHZ017907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 010300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 046 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 26W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- NEAR 27.1N0 138.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 138.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 30.0N3 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 005 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 33.0N6 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 36.2N1 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 38.8N9 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 27.8N7 139.8E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. TS 26W IS EMBEDDED IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS WEAKENING VERY RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0, 011500Z7, 012100Z4 AND 020300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:23 2003 X-UIDL: 48360-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BS226H1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:13:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB12EVu9044193 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:14:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsK4J038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:07:11 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21836 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:07:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB127AD1031690 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:07:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB127AtS018121 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:07:10 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB127AmB018120 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:07:10 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:07:10 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 046 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010207.hB127AmB018120@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 010300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 046 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 26W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- NEAR 27.1N0 138.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 138.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 30.0N3 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 33.0N6 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 36.2N1 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 38.8N9 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 27.8N7 139.8E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. TS 26W IS EMBEDDED IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS WEAKENING VERY RAPIDLY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0, 011500Z7, 012100Z4 AND 020300Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:25 2003 X-UIDL: 48362-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700B8P2AS1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:16:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB12H5IN064163 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:17:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsK4N038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:11:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 21857 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:11:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB12BTD1058836 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:11:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB12BTtS018160 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:11:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB12BTam018159 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:11:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:11:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 26w (lupit)/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010211.hB12BTam018159@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.397, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' WDPN31 PGTW 010300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT)/ WARNING NR 46// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 010000Z1 DEC TO 030000Z3 DEC 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 302330Z1 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. TS 26W IS EMBEDDED IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND IS WEAKENING VERY RAPIDLY. B. TS 26W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AS IT IS PARTIALLY EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. BY TAU 12, TY 26W IS EXPECTED TO HAVE COMPLETED THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND TRACK TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST. EXPECT TS 26W TO INCREASE IN SPEED AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF JGSM, JTYM, NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET (EGRR), AND NCEP (GFS) MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS. C. TS 26W WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT IS SURROUNDED BY A VERY UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND WEAK OUTFLOW ALOFT ARE ALL CONTRIBUTING TO THIS WEAKENING SCENERIO. D. CURRENT WIND RADII IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:29 2003 X-UIDL: 48365-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BUC3BD1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:38:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB12d3u9046909 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:39:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsK4x038834; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:30:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 22022 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:30:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB12UnD1092382 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:30:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB12UntS018335 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:30:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB12UmTZ018334 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:30:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:30:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010230.hB12UmTZ018334@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 010000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010000. WARNING VALID 020000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 52N 160E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 160E TO 51N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 162E TO 48N 166E 44N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 162E TO 46N 161E 41N 153E 37N 150E 36N 148E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 148E TO 33N 144E 31N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 54N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 54N 149E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 143E 35N 147E 26N 133E 28N 130E 32N 132E 35N 140E 37N 143E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 120E 10N 120E 09N 109E 22N 112E 25N 120E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 162E 35N 180E 24N 180E 26N 164E 34N 162E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 24N 166E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 45N 179E EAST 25 KT. REMARKS. TYPHOON 0321 LUPIT (0321) 960 HPA AT 26.9N 139.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:49 2003 X-UIDL: 48378-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BF0AGY1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:12:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB15Dcu9062406 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:13:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUBoHMV032082; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23410 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1580D1091546 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1580tS019689 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1580tA019685 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010508.hB1580tA019685@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXII, Probability=22%, Report='UPPERCASE_25_50 1.257, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212' ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z-020600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/010152ZDEC03// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:06:50 2003 X-UIDL: 48379-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BMFAKI1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:14:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB15FiIN085176 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:15:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUBoHMZ032082; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 23419 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1581D1048196 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1580tS019691 for ; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1580eC019687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:08:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010508.hB1580eC019687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPW10 PGTW 010600 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010300Z4 TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT) WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N7 139.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/LAM/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:07:01 2003 X-UIDL: 48389-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700B65FBT1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 14:57:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB16wXIN096958 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 14:58:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hASHsKCP038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 00:51:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 24563 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 00:51:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB16pOD1091422 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 00:51:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB16pOtS020525 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 00:51:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB16pN3L020524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 00:51:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 00:51:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) Downgraded From Typhoon 970 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010651.hB16pN3L020524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 010600 WARNING 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 970 HPA AT 29.3N 140.3E SOUTH OF HACHIJOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 26 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 32.8N 144.0E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 35.9N 147.6E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 42.0N 159.0E WITH 240 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 972 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:07:09 2003 X-UIDL: 48396-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BZQISL1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 16:12:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB18DPu9081810 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 16:13:27 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811D5038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:04:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 25068 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:04:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB184bD1091494 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:04:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB184btS020957 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:04:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB184bxj020956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:04:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:04:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 26w (lupit) Warning Nr 047 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010804.hB184bxj020956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTPN31 PGTW 010900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 26W (LUPIT) WARNING NR 047 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- NEAR 29.2N3 140.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 29.2N3 140.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 33.0N6 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 36.3N2 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 39.9N1 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 35 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 43.2N9 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION NEAR 30.1N4 141.5E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 26W (LUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 010530Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. TS 26W IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:07:13 2003 X-UIDL: 48399-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700BQ8JTK1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 16:34:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB18ZZu9084269 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 16:35:37 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811DB038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:31:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 25200 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:31:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB18VBD1099138 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:31:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB18VBtS021116 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:31:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB18VBeZ021115 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:31:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 02:31:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 010600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312010831.hB18VBeZ021115@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 010600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 010600. WARNING VALID 020600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 54N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 161E TO 54N 166E 53N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 169E TO 50N 172E 47N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 169E TO 48N 168E 45N 164E 42N 159E 36N 150E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 150E TO 34N 143E 31N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020600UTC AT 55N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 53N 152E MOVING SOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 130E 33N 133E 34N 136E 35N 141E 37N 141E 35N 146E 33N 140E 30N 137E 25N 136E 24N 130E 31N 130E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 165E 36N 180E 23N 180E 25N 161E 36N 165E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 10N 109E 21N 110E 26N 121E 10N 123E 10N 109E. SUMMARY. LOW 1024 HPA AT 49N 130E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 23N 165E WEST 10 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 970 HPA AT 29.3N 140.3E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:07:32 2003 X-UIDL: 48416-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP700DQ7VP7IF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 20:51:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1Cq7u9012643 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 20:52:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811Ed038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 06:46:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 25994 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 06:46:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1CkPD1092206 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 06:46:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1CkPtS023006 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 06:46:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1CkOKC023005 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 06:46:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 06:46:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312011246.hB1CkOKC023005@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 011200 WARNING 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 975 HPA AT 30.9N 141.7E SOUTHEAST OF HACHIJOJIMA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 34.0N 145.2E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 36.0N 149.0E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 972 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:07:39 2003 X-UIDL: 48420-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP800B4Y0WD1R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 01 Dec 2003 22:43:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1EiSIN053647 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 22:44:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hAUN214T060054; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:29:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 26780 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:29:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1ETvD1049662 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:29:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1ETutS024415 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:29:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1ETu28024414 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:29:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:29:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312011429.hB1ETu28024414@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 011200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011200. WARNING VALID 021200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 54N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 165E TO 54N 169E 53N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 171E TO 51N 175E 48N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 171E TO 49N 172E 47N 169E 41N 158E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 158E TO 37N 151E 33N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 55N 170W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 55N 153E MOVING EAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 130E 33N 133E 35N 139E 30N 138E 30N 130E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 130E 30N 138E 25N 139E 25N 130E 30N 130E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 161E 34N 180E 23N 180E 25N 160E 32N 161E. SUMMARY. LOW 1024 HPA AT 51N 130E NE 10 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 23N 163E WEST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 975 HPA AT 30.9N 141.7E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 19N 132E TO 21N 136E 26N 139E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:08:27 2003 X-UIDL: 48444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP800DS1CPLIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 02:58:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1Ixdu9052666 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 02:59:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811RN038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 12:49:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 30100 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 12:49:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1InZD1030768 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 12:49:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1InYtS002192 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 12:49:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1InY1e002191 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 12:49:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 12:49:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) 975 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312011849.hB1InY1e002191@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 011800 WARNING 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 975 HPA AT 32.2N 144.1E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 24 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 200 MILES. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 37.0N 152.0E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 972 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:08:39 2003 X-UIDL: 48451-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP800D8XHQJIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 04:47:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1KmCu9065233 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 04:48:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811V3038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 14:38:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 31277 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 14:38:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1KcpD1070426 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 14:38:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB1KcntS005508 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 14:38:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB1KcnuJ005507 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 14:38:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 14:38:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 011800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312012038.hB1KcnuJ005507@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 011800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 011800. WARNING VALID 021800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 54N 172E BERING SEA MOVING EAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 172E TO 53N 177E. WARM FRONT FROM 53N 177E TO 46N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 53N 177E TO 44N 171E 40N 159E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 40N 159E TO 38N 153E 36N 147E 33N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 56N 167W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 130E 35N 140E 25N 140E 25N 130E 31N 130E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 160E 30N 175E 20N 170E 25N 160E 30N 160E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 23N 163E WEST SLOWLY. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 975 HPA AT 32.2N 144.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 27N 140E TO 21N 138E 18N 134E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:09:03 2003 X-UIDL: 48468-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP800DL8TEUIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:59:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB210Ou9090621 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 09:00:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1A00RX086840; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 18:49:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 33755 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 18:49:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB20nwD1030968 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 18:49:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB20nutS010468 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 18:49:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB20nupQ010467 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 18:49:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 18:49:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312020049.hB20nupQ010467@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 020000 WARNING 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 980 HPA AT 34.4N 146.1E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 27 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 40.0N 155.9E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:09:10 2003 X-UIDL: 48484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP800DQ9YFCIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 10:47:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB22mfIN044230 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 10:48:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB1811hd038834; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 20:34:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 35160 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 20:34:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB22YUD1028022 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 20:34:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB22YStS011772 for ; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 20:34:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB22YSwX011771 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 01 Dec 2003 20:34:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 20:34:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312020234.hB22YSwX011771@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 020000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020000. WARNING VALID 030000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 54N 173E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 173E TO 55N 179E 51N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 175W TO 47N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 175W TO 45N 180E 41N 167E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 167E TO 40N 159E 39N 151E 37N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030000UTC AT 58N 165W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 42N 142E 44N 156E 39N 161E 38N 142E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 130E 36N 141E 26N 142E 26N 130E 31N 130E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 160E 30N 171E 21N 171E 23N 160E 29N 160E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 110E 25N 120E 16N 120E 10N 110E 21N 110E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 23N 162E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 54N 137E NE 35 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 980 HPA AT 34.4N 146.1E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 25N 144E TO 20N 140E 18N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:09:29 2003 X-UIDL: 48498-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP900D8ZAHMIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:08:11 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB279Fu9036464 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 15:09:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2617Fd078064; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 00:51:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37491 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 00:51:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB26pFD1027932 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 00:51:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB26pDtS014188 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 00:51:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB26pDrK014187 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 00:51:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 00:51:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Severe Tropical Storm 0321 Lupit (0321) 980 Hpa Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312020651.hB26pDrK014187@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WTJP22 RJTD 020600 WARNING 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 980 HPA AT 35.7N 147.4E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES. RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 280 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 021800UTC AT 38.7N 151.9E WITH 60 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 42.6N 158.1E WITH 110 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS. BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 02 17:09:37 2003 X-UIDL: 48507-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP900DC0ENXIF@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 16:38:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB28dRu9046815 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 16:39:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2617GD078064; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 02:31:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 37803 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 02:31:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB28VbD1031586 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 02:31:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB28VZtS015032 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 02:31:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB28VZ5x015031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 02:31:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 02:31:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 020600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312020831.hB28VZ5x015031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 020600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 020600. WARNING VALID 030600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 53N 179E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 179E TO 54N 175W 52N 172W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 172W TO 50N 167W 47N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 172W TO 44N 179W 41N 169E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 41N 169E TO 40N 157E 37N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 650 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 030600UTC AT 52N 159W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 142E 48N 158E 41N 166E 40N 152E 35N 142E 41N 142E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 142E 30N 148E 21N 140E 27N 131E 33N 132E 36N 142E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 162E 28N 175E 21N 176E 21N 167E 28N 162E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 23N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 46N 162E ESE 15 KT. REMARKS. SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 980 HPA AT 35.7N 147.4E : SEE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 149E TO 25N 144E 19N 136E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:05:03 2003 X-UIDL: 48537-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HP900G7KVWTOY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 02 Dec 2003 22:50:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2Eq1u9089119 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 22:52:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2617LF078064; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:31:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 39503 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:31:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2EVSD1087850 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:31:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB2EVQtS018996 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:31:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB2EVQuj018995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:31:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 08:31:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312021431.hB2EVQuj018995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 021200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200. WARNING VALID 031200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW FORMER SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 0321 LUPIT (0321) 980 HPA AT 37N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 21 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 39N 155E 39N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 150E TO 28N 149E 22N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 280 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 250 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 47N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 148E 46N 150E 44N 164E 39N 161E 39N 155E 42N 148E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 166E 60N 180E 42N 180E 43N 171E 54N 164E 60N 166E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 142E 40N 146E 35N 145E 30N 149E 28N 144E 30N 132E 33N 132E 36N 141E 41N 142E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 163E 26N 169E 20N 172E 18N 164E 21N 162E 25N 163E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 24N 161E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 53N 151E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 46N 166E ESE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 162E TO 39N 169E 40N 179E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:05:55 2003 X-UIDL: 48565-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPA00G8RC33OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 04:40:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2KfNIN094215 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 04:41:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdCSV078066; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 14:28:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 45712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 14:28:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2KS5D1055794 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 14:28:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB2KS5ec004689 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 14:28:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB2KS57H004688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 14:28:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 14:28:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 021800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312022028.hB2KS57H004688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 021800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800. WARNING VALID 031800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 38N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 38N 153E TO 40N 154E 41N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 155E TO 40N 162E 39N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 155E TO 37N 157E 29N 153E 22N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 031800UTC AT 48N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 48N 144E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 164E 26N 170E 20N 172E 20N 165E 26N 164E. SUMMARY. LOW 1000 HPA AT 24N 162E NORTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 47N 170E ESE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 39N 167E TO 39N 174E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:06:14 2003 X-UIDL: 48585-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPA00GAMSV6OY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 10:42:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB32hou9077895 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 10:43:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB29j4W9086870; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 20:29:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 48860 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 20:29:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB32TfD1070582 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 20:29:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB32Tfec011351 for ; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 20:29:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB32TfEF011350 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 02 Dec 2003 20:29:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 20:29:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312030229.hB32TfEF011350@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 030000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000. WARNING VALID 040000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 43N 156E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 156E TO 39N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 156E TO 34N 159E 25N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040000UTC AT 52N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 39N 156E MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 49N 146E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 09N 108E 17N 111E 24N 118E 31N 123E 32N 129E 21N 125E 15N 118E 09N 108E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 164E 30N 170E 21N 172E 21N 166E 26N 164E 30N 164E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 166E 42N 161E 44N 163E 39N 180E 31N 180E 31N 174E 34N 166E. SUMMARY. LOW 1006 HPA AT 26N 163E NNE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:06:42 2003 X-UIDL: 48601-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPB00ITG293LY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:05:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB366Zu9003089 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:06:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB29j4bD086870; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 51029 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3638D1028012 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3638ec013751 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3638n1013749 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 00:03:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312030603.hB3638n1013749@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' ABPW10 PGTW 030600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z-040600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23.3N8 161.6E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENENBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 03 21:07:00 2003 X-UIDL: 48619-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPB00IGQ97QLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:35:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB38awu9020887 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:36:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdCjt078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 02:29:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 52117 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 02:29:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB38TfD1028114 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 02:29:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB38Tfec015131 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 02:29:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB38Tf21015130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 02:29:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 02:29:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 030600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312030829.hB38Tf21015130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 030600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 030600. WARNING VALID 040600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 45N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 159E TO 44N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 41N 171E 38N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 38N 164E 30N 160E 25N 156E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 040600UTC AT 55N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 40N 159E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 50N 147E SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 113E 24N 118E 28N 121E 29N 129E 24N 128E 19N 120E 18N 113E 21N 113E. GALE WARNING. SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 165E 36N 172E 36N 176E 25N 176E 24N 165E 33N 165E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 164E 40N 175E 36N 175E 37N 164E 44N 164E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 33N 140E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 27N 163E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 42N 119E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:47:43 2003 X-UIDL: 48643-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPB00IIIQF3LY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:47:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3EmYIN033380 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:48:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdCp7078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 08:39:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 54168 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 08:39:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3EdfD1088392 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 08:39:41 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3Edfec019454 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 08:39:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3Edfha019453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 08:39:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 08:39:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312031439.hB3Edfha019453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIII, Probability=14%, Report='TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.448, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.315, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.217, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.212, UPPERCASE_50_75 0.2' WWJP25 RJTD 031200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031200. WARNING VALID 041200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 47N 161E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 161E TO 45N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 169E TO 42N 176E 38N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 169E TO 40N 169E 31N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041200UTC AT 56N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 994 HPA AT 51N 147E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 112E 27N 120E 27N 127E 18N 123E 16N 112E 21N 112E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 08N 104E 10N 113E 03N 112E 03N 105E 08N 104E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 169E 40N 180E 35N 180E 35N 167E 46N 169E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 03N 107E WEST SLOWLY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 141E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 28N 165E NE 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 42N 121E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:48:20 2003 X-UIDL: 48661-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00I1E6U8LY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 04:42:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3KhGu9008463 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 04:43:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2FdC3n078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:30:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 58747 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:30:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3KUUD1064728 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:30:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3KUUec000316 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:30:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3KUUd5000315 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:30:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:30:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 031800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312032030.hB3KUUd5000315@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 031800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 031800. WARNING VALID 041800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 51N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 161E TO 49N 168E 47N 172E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 172E TO 44N 178E 41N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 172E TO 41N 173E 34N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 041800UTC AT 56N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 169E 47N 173E 43N 180E 36N 180E 36N 169E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 34N 143E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 30N 166E NNE 15 KT. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 43N 124E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 34N 149E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:48:36 2003 X-UIDL: 48671-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00I8BDQFLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 07:11:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3NCCu9025218 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 07:12:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3Gp2qb031628; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 17:00:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 60345 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:59:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB3MxoD1047320 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:59:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB3Mxoec004423 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:59:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB3Mxo3v004421 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:59:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 16:59:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312032259.hB3Mxo3v004421@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 032300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/032300Z-040600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 174.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING BUT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AS POOR. FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/KLINSMANN/SPANSKI/ANDERSON/VOHS// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:49:03 2003 X-UIDL: 48695-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00IE6NBWLY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:38:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB42dTIN035323 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:39:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41WtEL078066; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 20:28:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 62052 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 20:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB42SRD1048802 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 20:28:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB42SRec007312 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 20:28:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB42SR5X007311 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 20:28:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 20:28:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312040228.hB42SR5X007311@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 040000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040000. WARNING VALID 050000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 52N 161E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTH 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 58N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 49N 174E MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 45N 178E 45N 180E 36N 180E 33N 170E 34N 167E 45N 178E. SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 34N 144E NNE 10 KT. LOW 1010 HPA AT 31N 167E NNE 15 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 43N 126E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 32N 151E EAST 15 KT. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 174E TO 47N 178E 45N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 180E TO 43N 177W 40N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 180E TO 42N 178E 38N 172E 34N 168E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:49:11 2003 X-UIDL: 48708-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPC00LGRTTFP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 12:58:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB44xXIN056009 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 12:59:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2MAZZp055294; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 63644 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB44pnD1085510 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB44pmec008778 for ; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB44pmFY008775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:51:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312040451.hB44pmFY008775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z-050600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 174.8E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 175.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE FIJI ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING BUT UNORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 04 16:49:30 2003 X-UIDL: 48720-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPD00LCN455P2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:41:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB48gZlS084298 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 16:42:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41WtNN078066; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 02:28:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 65528 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 02:28:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB48SJD1058670 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 02:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB48SJec010782 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 02:28:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB48SJtV010781 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 02:28:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 02:28:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 040600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312040828.hB48SJtV010781@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 040600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 040600. WARNING VALID 050600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA AT 53N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 050600UTC AT 57N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 50N 177E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 34N 170E NE 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 170E TO 38N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 170E TO 25N 161E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 13:36:46 2003 X-UIDL: 48750-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE00LJO1JBP2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 04:42:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4KhtLT079037 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 04:43:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB2MAZqJ055294; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 14:29:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 73280 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 14:29:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4KToD1104870 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 14:29:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB4KToec025412 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 14:29:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB4KTotG025411 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 14:29:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 14:29:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 041800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312042029.hB4KTotG025411@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 041800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800. WARNING VALID 051800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 960 HPA AT 55N 163E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 051800UTC AT 58N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 38N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 180E TO 40N 176W 40N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 180E TO 32N 175E 29N 171E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 350 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW 1020 HPA AT 32N 120E ENE 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 38N 137E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 28N 112E TO 30N 116E 32N 120E 32N 123E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 13:37:15 2003 X-UIDL: 48773-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE001RPHSGF3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 10:33:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB52Z1lS019669 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 10:35:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41Wt4x078066; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 20:28:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 78450 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 20:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB52S0D1078450 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 20:28:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB52S1ec002842 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 20:28:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB52S0vI002841 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 20:28:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 20:28:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312050228.hB52S0vI002841@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 050000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050000. WARNING VALID 060000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 960 HPA AT 57N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060000UTC AT 58N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1020 HPA AT 34N 122E YELLOW SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 122E TO 33N 125E 31N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 122E TO 30N 119E 28N 113E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 38N 176W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 176W TO 39N 172W 39N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 176W TO 32N 177E 29N 173E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 38N 138E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 14:21:43 2003 X-UIDL: 48792-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE001YTQVPF3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 13:50:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB55pIlS045339 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 13:51:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4IaJSV086870; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 80058 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB55UpD1024632 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB55Upec004937 for ; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:51 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB55UpaL004935 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:51 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 23:30:51 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312050530.hB55UpaL004935@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z-060600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 175.2E5, APPROXIMATELY 415 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE FIJIAN ISLANDS, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 05 17:27:14 2003 X-UIDL: 48803-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPE001QKYEPF3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 16:32:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB58XwLT057717 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 16:34:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB41WtB3078066; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 02:28:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 81462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 02:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB58SID1024636 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 02:28:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB58SIec006728 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 02:28:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB58SIWp006727 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 02:28:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 02:28:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 050600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312050828.hB58SIWp006727@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 050600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600. WARNING VALID 060600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 962 HPA AT 57N 163E KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 59N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1018 HPA AT 34N 124E NORTHWEST OF CHEJU ISLAND MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 124E TO 33N 127E 31N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 124E TO 31N 121E 27N 115E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1050 HPA AT 49N 99E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 143E EAST 35 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 173E TO 33N 180E 41N 171W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:03 2003 X-UIDL: 48842-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF003VMFHC8B@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 05 Dec 2003 22:41:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5EgdLT019715 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 22:42:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB4IaJZZ086870; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 08:27:44 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 83942 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 08:27:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5ERhD1087950 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 08:27:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5ERhec011165 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 08:27:43 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5ERh0G011164 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 08:27:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 08:27:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312051427.hB5ERh0G011164@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 051200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051200. WARNING VALID 061200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 966 HPA AT 57N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 59N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1018 HPA AT 35N 126E YELLOW SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 126E TO 35N 129E 34N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 126E TO 32N 124E 29N 119E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 41N 142E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1054 HPA AT 48N 101E SE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 37N 146E EAST 25 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 28N 176E TO 29N 178E 30N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:27 2003 X-UIDL: 48870-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPF001EJWB7F3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:45:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5KkFlS084369 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 04:46:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5IMMKB022300; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 14:28:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 89886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 14:28:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5KSnD1070594 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 14:28:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB5KSoec022105 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 14:28:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB5KSnaR022104 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 14:28:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 14:28:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 051800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312052028.hB5KSnaR022104@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 051800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 051800. WARNING VALID 061800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 56N 166E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 57N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 35N 129E KOREA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 129E TO 34N 131E 33N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 129E TO 34N 128E 34N 126E 31N 124E 30N 121E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 43N 146E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1056 HPA AT 48N 99E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 36N 151E EAST 20 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 26N 175E TO 28N 178E 29N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:34 2003 X-UIDL: 48897-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG0038UCJX5R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 10:35:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB62b5lS023345 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 10:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GJBUr008250; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:30:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 95081 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:30:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB62UiD1030222 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:30:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB62Uiec028638 for ; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:30:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB62Uiqp028637 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:30:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 20:30:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312060230.hB62Uiqp028637@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 060000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060000. WARNING VALID 070000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 133E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 133E TO 38N 136E 36N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 133E TO 35N 129E 31N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070000UTC AT 45N 149E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 56N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 03N 110E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1052 HPA AT 45N 105E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 153E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:40 2003 X-UIDL: 48912-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPG003J8T455R@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 16:33:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB68YplS059742 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 16:34:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB660WFX022308; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:27:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 97730 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB68RbD1072790 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB68Rbec001767 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:27:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB68Rb50001766 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:27:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 02:27:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 060600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312060827.hB68Rb50001766@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 060600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 060600. WARNING VALID 070600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 137E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 137E TO 39N 139E 37N 141E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 137E TO 36N 136E 34N 134E 31N 133E 28N 129E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 061800UTC AT 43N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 070600UTC AT 47N 150E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 110E 30N 123E 25N 130E 19N 120E 14N 113E 21N 110E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 157E 55N 180E 36N 180E 41N 155E 49N 148E 54N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW 976 HPA AT 57N 168E ENE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 109E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1048 HPA AT 46N 103E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 36N 160E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:46 2003 X-UIDL: 48928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006EM9V41W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 06 Dec 2003 22:35:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6EabLT071471 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 22:36:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB5GJBeJ008250; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:28:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 99716 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:28:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6ES7D1048274 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:28:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6ES7ec004877 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:28:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6ES7EN004876 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:28:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 08:28:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312061428.hB6ES7EN004876@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 061200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061200. WARNING VALID 071200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 42N 143E HOKKAIDO MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 143E TO 41N 148E 39N 151E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 143E TO 35N 139E 30N 134E 28N 131E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 48N 154E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 151E 51N 180E 36N 180E 42N 162E 54N 151E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 122E 26N 134E 13N 119E 13N 110E 20N 110E 32N 122E. SUMMARY. LOW 980 HPA AT 57N 169E ENE SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 04N 109E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 43N 108E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 164E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:51 2003 X-UIDL: 48943-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPH006AKQJJ5K@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 04:35:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KaoLT005017 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 04:36:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUDf078480; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:27:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 103702 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:27:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KR5D1037474 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:27:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB6KR5ec009059 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:27:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB6KR5hi009058 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:27:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 14:27:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 061800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312062027.hB6KR5hi009058@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 061800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 061800. WARNING VALID 071800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 44N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 147E TO 43N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 149E TO 43N 152E 39N 156E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 149E TO 40N 149E 37N 145E 33N 141E 30N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 071800UTC AT 50N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 120E 20N 126E 18N 121E 14N 110E 21N 110E 26N 120E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 159E 54N 180E 36N 180E 39N 166E 54N 159E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 57N 147E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 984 HPA AT 57N 169E NNE SLOWLY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 44N 107E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 35N 169E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:36:59 2003 X-UIDL: 48964-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI006WC7971W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 10:36:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB72brXl024610 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 10:37:54 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUNb078480; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 20:28:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 107521 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 20:28:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB72SOD1052044 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 20:28:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB72SOec012759 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 20:28:24 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB72SO0O012758 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 20:28:24 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 20:28:24 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070228.hB72SO0O012758@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 070000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070000. WARNING VALID 080000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 46N 151E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 151E TO 46N 156E 44N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 159E TO 40N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 159E TO 39N 155E 35N 145E 31N 143E 26N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080000UTC AT 50N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 112E 23N 117E 26N 120E 25N 127E 19N 126E 17N 112E 22N 112E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 56N 161E 54N 180E 37N 180E 41N 168E 54N 161E 56N 161E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 57N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 57N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 41N 104E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 35N 171E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:03 2003 X-UIDL: 48974-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI0065NG4L1W@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 13:48:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB75nWBi046004 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 13:49:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7N9058644; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:40:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 108895 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:40:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB75dwD1081752 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:39:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB75dwec014383 for ; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:39:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB75dw4Z014381 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:39:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 23:39:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070539.hB75dw4Z014381@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z-080600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:05 2003 X-UIDL: 48980-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPI00630O2086@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:39:36 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB78eiBi061399 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:40:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUT5078480; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:30:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 109999 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:30:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB78UjD1039022 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:30:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB78Ujec015667 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:30:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB78Uj3p015666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:30:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 02:30:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 070600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312070830.hB78Uj3p015666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 070600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 070600. WARNING VALID 080600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 46N 154E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 154E TO 47N 157E 46N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 160E TO 44N 166E 40N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 160E TO 41N 156E 37N 149E 30N 144E 25N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 080600UTC AT 53N 169E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 134E 20N 133E 18N 113E 22N 112E 26N 120E 27N 134E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 57N 146E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 58N 171E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 34N 118E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 34N 174E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Dec 07 23:37:11 2003 X-UIDL: 48994-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ008ER4ISHR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 07 Dec 2003 22:35:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7EaOXl088007 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 22:36:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6KBUXN078480; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:29:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 112308 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:29:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7ETND1083832 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:29:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7ETNec018690 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:29:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7ETNp6018689 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:29:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 08:29:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312071429.hB7ETNp6018689@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 071200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071200. WARNING VALID 081200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 49N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 159E TO 50N 163E 48N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 166E TO 45N 171E 40N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 166E TO 41N 160E 36N 153E 30N 147E 25N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081200UTC AT 53N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 133E 18N 131E 16N 112E 22N 113E 25N 126E 28N 130E 27N 133E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 145E SOUTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 34N 118E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 34N 178E ESE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:24 2003 X-UIDL: 49010-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPJ00863L42HR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:33:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7KYmBi037522 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 04:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn7YP058644; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:27:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 116330 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:27:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7KRTD1037628 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:27:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB7KRTec022347 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:27:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB7KRTZp022346 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:27:29 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 14:27:29 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 071800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312072027.hB7KRTZp022346@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 071800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 071800. WARNING VALID 081800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA AT 51N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 164E TO 52N 169E 50N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 174E TO 46N 178E 42N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 174E TO 46N 172E 42N 169E 33N 156E 26N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 081800UTC AT 54N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 136E 19N 134E 14N 109E 21N 108E 26N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 147E SOUTH SLOWLY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 33N 119E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:41 2003 X-UIDL: 49043-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK00AXE1TJKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 10:34:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB82ZfXl060978 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 10:35:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1RH048284; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:27:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 120066 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB82RbD1030338 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:27:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB82Rbec025776 for ; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:27:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB82Rb6Z025775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:27:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 20:27:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080227.hB82Rb6Z025775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 080000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000. WARNING VALID 090000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 960 HPA AT 52N 167E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 167E TO 52N 174E 50N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 179E TO 42N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 179E TO 40N 170E 32N 157E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 157E TO 31N 153E 23N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 1200 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 56N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 148E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 09N 108E 21N 112E 25N 119E 24N 122E 24N 132E 24N 136E 16N 136E 13N 120E 10N 112E 09N 108E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 33N 120E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 08 20:28:50 2003 X-UIDL: 49064-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK00AJ2IHUKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 16:34:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB88ZnXl005108 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 16:35:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1Yx048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:29:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 122915 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:29:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB88SxD1086994 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:28:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB88Sxec028981 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:29:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB88Sxnm028980 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:28:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 02:28:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 080600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312080828.hB88Sxnm028980@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 080600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600. WARNING VALID 090600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 958 HPA AT 53N 171E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 171E TO 54N 180E 50N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 175W TO 45N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 175W TO 43N 180E 37N 170E 34N 161E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 161E TO 32N 156E 31N 151E 26N 145E 22N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 1000 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 56N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 112E 26N 120E 25N 124E 27N 138E 17N 137E 13N 118E 08N 109E 21N 112E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 142E 41N 151E 31N 157E 32N 146E 41N 142E FOR NEXT 12HOURS . SUMMARY. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 46N 111E ESE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:36 2003 X-UIDL: 49269-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00KT5OFI9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:33:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAEYUBi038704 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:34:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAE2NF9048284; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:27:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 157863 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:27:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAERVD1046828 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:27:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBAERVnN004276 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:27:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBAERV1q004275 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:27:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:27:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312101427.hBAERV1q004275@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 101200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101200. WARNING VALID 111200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 149E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 179E 34N 180E 34N 165E 36N 148E 51N 149E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 115E 25N 118E 25N 120E 22N 121E 23N 141E 17N 139E 16N 115E 22N 115E. SUMMARY. LOW 972 HPA AT 49N 169W ENE 45 KT. LOW 962 HPA AT 58N 179W ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 169W TO 49N 163W 47N 160W. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 160W TO 43N 153W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 160W TO 34N 180E 29N 170E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 120E TO 27N 125E 27N 127E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 11 06:22:56 2003 X-UIDL: 49290-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00KNU57D9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 04:35:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAKanBi089652 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 04:36:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFB7K1099140; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:28:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 163111 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:28:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAKSuD1060120 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:28:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBAKSunN015157 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:28:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBAKSu8c015156 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:28:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:28:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 101800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312102028.hBAKSu8c015156@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 101800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 101800. WARNING VALID 111800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 150E 46N 150E 51N 157E 60N 163E 60N 176E 56N 180E 41N 180E 36N 162E 37N 150E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 138E 19N 135E 19N 121E 19N 113E 22N 113E 25N 119E 24N 122E 24N 138E. SUMMARY. LOW 962 HPA AT 59N 178W ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 44N 130E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 120E TO 26N 123E 28N 126E 27N 129E 25N 132E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 171E TO 30N 175E 33N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:35:58 2003 X-UIDL: 49417-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR000XPGJPIE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 10:35:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC2b2Xl038548 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 10:37:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWWj077242; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 20:30:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 187434 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 20:30:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC2UgD1027314 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 20:30:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBC2UgnN018005 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 20:30:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBC2UgOX018004 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 20:30:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 20:30:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312120230.hBC2UgOX018004@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 120000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120000. WARNING VALID 130000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 36N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 34N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 143E TO 24N 134E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 39N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 137E NORTHWEST OF SADO MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 08N 108E 21N 111E 23N 117E 25N 119E 24N 121E 25N 125E 18N 125E 09N 116E 08N 108E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 164E 60N 180E 46N 179W 44N 162E 49N 151E 52N 154E 52N 164E 60N 164E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 161E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 31N 167E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:36:14 2003 X-UIDL: 49455-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPR000GDXE8IE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:39:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC8esBi073017 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:40:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWc5077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 02:29:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 189872 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 02:29:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC8TnD1020656 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 02:29:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBC8TnnN021272 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 02:29:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBC8TmRb021271 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 02:29:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 02:29:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 120600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312120829.hBC8TmRb021271@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 120600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 120600. WARNING VALID 130600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 37N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 145E TO 36N 152E 32N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 145E TO 34N 145E 31N 142E 29N 141E 25N 137E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 43N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 138E NORTH OF SADO MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 250 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 126E 20N 125E 12N 111E 20N 111E 25N 119E 25N 126E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 46N 113E ESE SLOWLY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 31N 169E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:28 2003 X-UIDL: 49469-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00K55LXH9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 10:36:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB2c3Bi036571 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 10:38:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrbB009976; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:31:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 167933 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:31:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB2VHD1038240 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:31:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB2VHnN022320 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:31:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB2VH9R022319 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:31:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:31:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110231.hBB2VH9R022319@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 110000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110000. WARNING VALID 120000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 29N 128E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 29N 128E TO 28N 131E 25N 133E. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 128E TO 26N 125E 24N 122E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 151E 52N 161E 46N 180E 34N 173E 37N 156E 49N 151E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 132E 21N 143E 17N 142E 17N 131E 22N 132E. SUMMARY. LOW 1022 HPA AT 38N 133E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 38N 142E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 47N 111E ESE 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 37N 171W TO 34N 179W 29N 170E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:33 2003 X-UIDL: 49480-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPP00KK3UA89F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 13:37:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB5cWXl094782 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 13:38:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFB7VT099140; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:33:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 169789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB5WmD1042658 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB5WmnN024430 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB5Wlmn024427 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:32:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110532.hBB5Wlmn024427@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 110600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z-120600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:39 2003 X-UIDL: 49500-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ00KRK2HK9F@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:34:32 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB8ZiXl014285 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:35:45 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFbrlh009976; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:28:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 171228 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:28:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBB8S2D1019282 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBB8S2nN025996 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:28:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBB8S2wG025995 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:28:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 02:28:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 110600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312110828.hBB8S2wG025995@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 110600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 110600. WARNING VALID 120600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 32N 133E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 133E TO 33N 136E 33N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 133E TO 26N 128E 22N 122E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1016 HPA AT 38N 133E MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 41N 150E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 36N 180E 38N 160E 41N 150E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 57N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 968 HPA AT 59N 178W ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 36N 151E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:37:59 2003 X-UIDL: 49541-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ000BWJ43IB@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 11 Dec 2003 22:33:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBEYmBi029243 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 22:34:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBAFB7bD099140; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:28:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 176181 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:28:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBESKD1055738 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:28:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBESKnN000197 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:28:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBESKpl000196 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:28:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:28:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312111428.hBBESKpl000196@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 111200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111200. WARNING VALID 121200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 32N 135E SOUTH OF SHIKOKU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 32N 135E TO 34N 138E 33N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 32N 135E TO 27N 132E 22N 125E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 39N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 38N 134E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 153E 51N 157E 60N 164E 60N 180E 38N 180E 43N 153E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 972 HPA AT 60N 178W ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 158E EAST 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:10 2003 X-UIDL: 49554-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPQ000Q9ZZTIE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 04:38:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBKdTBi078787 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 04:39:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIBJOT058266; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:28:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 183531 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:28:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBKSKD1069002 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:28:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBBKSKnN011008 for ; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:28:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBBKSJbT011007 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:28:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:28:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 111800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312112028.hBBKSJbT011007@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 111800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 111800. WARNING VALID 121800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 34N 139E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 35N 144E 33N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 139E TO 30N 137E 27N 134E 24N 131E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 39N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1006 HPA AT 39N 136E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 32N 122E 30N 128E 24N 131E 18N 121E 15N 110E 22N 110E 26N 120E 32N 122E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 55N 158E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 32N 165E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 47N 115E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:24 2003 X-UIDL: 49584-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00ERLATSA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:41:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9Kh3Bi099619 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 04:43:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pgr048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:28:26 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 146879 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:28:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB9KSPD1064704 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:28:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB9KSPBs011000 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:28:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB9KSPav010999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:28:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:28:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 091800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312092028.hB9KSPav010999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 091800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 091800. WARNING VALID 101800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 43N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 174E TO 41N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 176E TO 38N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 176E TO 34N 171E 31N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 52N 166W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 958 HPA AT 57N 178W BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 60N 176W TO 59N 160W 55N 152W. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 152W TO 46N 147W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 152W TO 43N 157W 37N 170W. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 110E 21N 107E 23N 116E 25N 120E 23N 128E 19N 128E 15N 110E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 37N 120E ESE SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:40 2003 X-UIDL: 49618-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00GVURW7BY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 10:50:31 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA2pfXl006156 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 10:51:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pwV048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:42:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 151798 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:42:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA2g6D1044802 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:42:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA2g6Bs018518 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:42:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA2g63i018517 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:42:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 20:42:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100242.hBA2g63i018517@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 100000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000. WARNING VALID 110000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 45N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 179E TO 44N 177W 41N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 175W TO 40N 171W 37N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 175W TO 34N 177E 29N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 53N 164W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 960 HPA AT 58N 178W GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 109E 25N 119E 29N 122E 25N 133E 17N 130E 15N 110E 21N 109E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:45 2003 X-UIDL: 49625-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPN00G2ZYCYBY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:10:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA5BMBi067821 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:11:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950p1P048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 153238 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA547D1078456 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA547Bs019935 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA547q8019933 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:04:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100504.hBA547q8019933@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 100600 DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z-110600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/VOHS/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:38:57 2003 X-UIDL: 49649-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPO00GF67ORBY@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:31:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA8WpXl050317 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:32:52 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950p8N048284; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:27:31 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 155227 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:27:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBA8RUD1075692 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:27:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBA8RUBs021657 for ; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:27:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBA8RUeE021656 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:27:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 02:27:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 100600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312100827.hBA8RUeE021656@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 100600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 100600. WARNING VALID 110600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 147E 51N 157E 55N 162E 60N 164E 60N 180E 30N 180E 30N 165E 30N 151E 42N 147E 52N 147E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 111E 23N 116E 26N 120E 25N 121E 22N 120E 23N 131E 17N 130E 16N 119E 13N 111E 21N 111E. SUMMARY. LOW 972 HPA AT 47N 175W NE 45 KT. LOW 962 HPA AT 58N 178W ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 175W TO 47N 170W 45N 168W. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 168W TO 40N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 168W TO 34N 180E 30N 170E 27N 163E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:02 2003 X-UIDL: 49658-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPK00AAPZHDKI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 08 Dec 2003 22:41:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8EgkXl048143 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 22:42:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1dD048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:28:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 124855 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:28:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8ESWD1070450 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:28:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8ESWec003117 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:28:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8ESWsm003116 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:28:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:28:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312081428.hB8ESWsm003116@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 958 HPA AT 53N 175E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 175E TO 56N 180E 52N 170W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 170W TO 47N 165W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 170W TO 40N 180E 35N 170E 33N 163E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 163E TO 32N 159E 32N 156E 29N 153E 27N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 950 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 56N 176W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 112E 26N 120E 24N 124E 26N 134E 17N 134E 15N 112E 21N 112E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 42N 142E 43N 150E 33N 157E 34N 141E 42N 142E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 46N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 36N 154E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:17 2003 X-UIDL: 49688-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL009T6G8UK2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 04:43:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8KiqXl095083 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 04:44:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB7Id1t9048284; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:29:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 130014 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:29:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB8KTwD1011436 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:29:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB8KTwec013542 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:29:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB8KTwQa013541 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:29:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 14:29:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312082029.hB8KTwQa013541@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 081800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081800. WARNING VALID 091800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 956 HPA AT 54N 177E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 176E TO 56N 172W 54N 166W. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 166W TO 52N 161W 48N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 166W TO 46N 169W 35N 177E 31N 160E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 57N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 151E TO 39N 153E 38N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 151E TO 37N 149E 35N 146E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 119E 25N 133E 16N 131E 13N 110E 21N 106E 23N 116E 25N 119E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 49N 111E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:26 2003 X-UIDL: 49704-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPL00E0YWM1A0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 10:37:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB92cOBi061807 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 10:38:25 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn75R058644; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:29:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 134824 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:29:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB92TqD1092198 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:29:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB92Tqec020721 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:29:52 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB92Tq0O020720 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:29:52 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:29:52 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090229.hB92Tq0O020720@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 090000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090000. WARNING VALID 100000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 954 HPA AT 54N 178E BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 176E TO 58N 173W 55N 164W. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 164W TO 52N 159W 48N 155W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 164W TO 49N 163W 41N 171W 35N 180E 32N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 58N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 155E TO 39N 158E 38N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 155E TO 35N 151E 33N 147E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 45N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 108E 26N 120E 26N 133E 14N 131E 14N 109E 21N 108E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:29 2003 X-UIDL: 49709-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPM00EWO4EWA0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 13:25:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB95QuXl055967 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 13:26:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB6Jn78H058644; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 136582 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB95HhD1055356 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB95Hiec022610 for ; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB95Hh3Y022608 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:43 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 23:17:43 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090517.hB95Hh3Y022608@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z-100600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/VOHS/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 12 17:39:32 2003 X-UIDL: 49714-1042030824 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPM00E5FD59A0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 09 Dec 2003 16:34:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB98ZWXl078440 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 16:35:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB950pHt048284; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:29:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 138013 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:29:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hB98TQD1037468 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:29:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hB98TRec024221 for ; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:29:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hB98TR6R024220 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:29:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:29:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 090600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312090829.hB98TR6R024220@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 090600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 090600. WARNING VALID 100600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 958 HPA AT 55N 179W BERING SEA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 180E TO 55N 157W. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 157W TO 46N 151W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 157W TO 41N 166W 32N 174E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 1000 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 56N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 162E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 162E TO 36N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 162E TO 34N 150E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 47N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 10N 110E 19N 111E 24N 118E 28N 122E 30N 124E 26N 131E 18N 129E 10N 114E 10N 110E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:09 2003 X-UIDL: 49731-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS004RODTD0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 12 Dec 2003 22:34:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCEZWXl020566 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 22:35:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWgX077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:29:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 192165 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:29:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCET8D1059432 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:29:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCET7nN025140 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:29:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCET78Z025139 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:29:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:29:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312121429.hBCET78Z025139@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 121200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121200. WARNING VALID 131200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 40N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 37N 161E 32N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 37N 153E 34N 150E 28N 146E 24N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 47N 177W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 38N 146E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 39N 138E NORTH OF SADO MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 350 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 53N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 135E 18N 133E 10N 110E 22N 113E 25N 122E 25N 135E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 177E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 44N 111E ESE SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:22 2003 X-UIDL: 49745-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPS004M4UIN0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 04:35:12 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCKaLXl064767 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 04:36:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC61TQx078466; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:27:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 196976 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:27:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBCKR4D1085750 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:27:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBCKR4nN005432 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:27:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBCKR4ho005431 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:27:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:27:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 121800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312122027.hBCKR4ho005431@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 121800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 121800. WARNING VALID 131800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 41N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 163E TO 38N 167E 34N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 163E TO 37N 158E 31N 151E 25N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 49N 175W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 148E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 139E NORTHEAST OF SADO MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 54N 168E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 121E 22N 135E 15N 121E 10N 110E 21N 110E 28N 121E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 44N 114E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 180E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:29 2003 X-UIDL: 49767-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004ACBB50A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 10:37:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD2d6Xl008449 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 10:39:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJW6t077242; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:32:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 201259 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:32:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD2WRD1060098 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:32:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD2WQnN011554 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:32:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD2WQqT011553 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:32:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:32:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130232.hBD2WQqT011553@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 130000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130000. WARNING VALID 140000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 43N 167E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 45 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 167E TO 41N 173E 35N 176E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 167E TO 36N 161E 24N 146E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 52N 172W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 30N 136E 34N 135E 35N 138E 35N 140E 31N 145E 30N 144E 30N 136E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 04N 111E 10N 107E 21N 112E 25N 119E 25N 124E 23N 130E 18N 129E 12N 120E 07N 116E 04N 111E. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 140E ENE SLOWLY. LOW 984 HPA AT 54N 172E ENE 20 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:38 2003 X-UIDL: 49772-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004AIK190A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 13:46:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD5lYXl028397 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 13:47:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIBJsT058266; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 202087 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD5fLD1024882 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD5fLnN013422 for ; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD5fLrA013420 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 23:41:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130541.hBD5fLrA013420@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z-140600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:44 2003 X-UIDL: 49786-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPT004TVRVI0A@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:35:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD8atBi054307 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:36:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWAD077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:28:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 203109 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:28:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBD8SwD1033144 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:28:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBD8SwnN014878 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:28:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBD8Swo9014877 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:28:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:28:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 130600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312130828.hBD8Swo9014877@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 130600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 130600. WARNING VALID 140600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 45N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 175E TO 41N 180E 38N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 175E TO 38N 167E 34N 160E 29N 156E 26N 151E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 53N 171W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 998 HPA AT 38N 156E MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 110E 23N 117E 26N 120E 25N 124E 22N 133E 17N 132E 15N 119E 08N 108E 21N 110E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 54N 172E 54N 180E 41N 180E 45N 172E 54N 172E. SUMMARY. LOW 1010 HPA AT 39N 140E EAST 10 KT. LOW 982 HPA AT 54N 173E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 05N 132E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 41N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:52 2003 X-UIDL: 49800-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU006U88EBQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:32:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEXnXl079961 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:33:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBJJWCl077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 08:27:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 204770 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 08:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDER0D1045808 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 08:27:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDEQxnN018162 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 08:27:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDEQxD7018161 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 08:26:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 08:26:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312131426.hBDEQxD7018161@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 131200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131200. WARNING VALID 141200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 48N 180E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 45 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 180E TO 46N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 176W TO 41N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 176W TO 43N 180E 35N 164E 29N 157E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 53N 169W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 978 HPA AT 55N 176E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 111E 23N 117E 26N 120E 20N 132E 14N 130E 14N 118E 08N 108E 21N 111E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 38N 141E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 130E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 52N 99E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:55 2003 X-UIDL: 49811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPU006A4P97Q2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 04:36:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDKbwBi031741 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 04:38:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBBIBJ23058266; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:32:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 206907 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:32:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDKWlD1038814 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:32:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBDKWlnN021712 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:32:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBDKWlxQ021711 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:32:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:32:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 131800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312132032.hBDKWlxQ021711@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 131800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 131800. WARNING VALID 141800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 37N 160E 41N 180E 31N 180E 27N 160E 37N 160E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 117E 24N 133E 14N 131E 06N 107E 15N 109E 21N 111E 24N 117E. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 49N 155E 56N 163E 54N 180E 41N 180E 37N 160E 49N 155E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 39N 143E ENE 10 KT. LOW 974 HPA AT 56N 178E NE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 113E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 130E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 51N 103E ESE 20 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 160E TO 36N 168E 42N 179W 44N 173W 48N 172W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:14:59 2003 X-UIDL: 49821-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006F05ROQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 10:33:24 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE2YeOC024549 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 10:34:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpO9077242; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 20:29:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 209682 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 20:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE2TYD1052158 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 20:29:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE2TYnN024788 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 20:29:34 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE2TYwE024787 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 20:29:34 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 20:29:34 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140229.hBE2TYwE024787@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 140000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140000. WARNING VALID 150000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 156E 56N 163E 54N 180E 42N 180E 39N 171E 46N 166E 51N 156E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 163E 39N 171E 42N 180E 32N 180E 30N 166E 36N 163E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 127E 18N 129E 11N 117E 10N 112E 06N 110E 10N 107E 12N 109E 23N 116E 28N 121E 27N 127E. SUMMARY. LOW 1022 HPA AT 46N 126E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 130E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1048 HPA AT 50N 106E ESE 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 157E TO 32N 165E 36N 171E 39N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:00 2003 X-UIDL: 49824-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006USDSPQ2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 13:26:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE5S5p8035146 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 13:28:07 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBC61Tgt078466; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:27 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 210604 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE5NQD1064624 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:26 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE5NQnN026045 for ; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE5NQ3K026043 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:23:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140523.hBE5NQ3K026043@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z-150600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:05 2003 X-UIDL: 49840-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPV006YZMC6Q2@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:31:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE8WWp8051261 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:32:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpVd077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:27:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 212002 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBE8RjD1059604 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBE8RjnN027558 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:27:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBE8RixZ027557 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:27:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 02:27:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 140600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312140827.hBE8RixZ027557@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 140600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 140600. WARNING VALID 150600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 143E 60N 168E 58N 180E 38N 180E 34N 173E 47N 152E 56N 142E 60N 143E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 07N 110E 14N 110E 21N 113E 24N 118E 29N 122E 28N 127E 21N 134E 16N 128E 13N 117E 06N 111E 06N 110E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 34N 173E 38N 180E 29N 180E 28N 169E 32N 169E 34N 173E. SUMMARY. LOW 978 HPA AT 60N 177E WNW SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 114E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 128E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 33N 116E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 147E EAST 15 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 29N 158E TO 32N 170E 36N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:11 2003 X-UIDL: 49853-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW008S933LY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:33:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEEYVp8080473 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:34:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpZ3077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:27:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 214369 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:27:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEERID1018240 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:27:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEERInN000324 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:27:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEERIah000323 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:27:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:27:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312141427.hBEERIah000323@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 141200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141200. WARNING VALID 151200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 145E 60N 165E 59N 173E 58N 180E 34N 180E 33N 175E 42N 165E 44N 153E 53N 146E 58N 144E 60N 145E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 04N 106E 10N 106E 13N 110E 21N 115E 24N 124E 23N 134E 17N 130E 13N 118E 08N 112E 05N 110E 04N 106E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 40N 132E EAST 10 KT. LOW 980 HPA AT 60N 174E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 114E WNW SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 128E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 30N 148E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N 129E TO 23N 139E 25N 155E 30N 175E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:16 2003 X-UIDL: 49860-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPW0085DJW3Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 04:36:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEKbJp8017982 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 04:37:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpg5077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:32:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 217462 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:32:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEKWRD1018178 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:32:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBEKWRnN003339 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:32:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBEKWRRs003338 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:32:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:32:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 141800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312142032.hBEKWRRs003338@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 141800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 141800. WARNING VALID 151800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 40N 133E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 136E 60N 145E 57N 180E 37N 180E 46N 152E 55N 136E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 07N 104E 13N 109E 24N 118E 30N 123E 26N 140E 17N 134E 05N 112E 07N 104E. SUMMARY. LOW 984 HPA AT 60N 171E WEST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 128E WEST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 129E TO 26N 141E 26N 151E 31N 164E 31N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:21 2003 X-UIDL: 49876-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009VT0N3VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 10:37:52 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF2d8OC080684 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 10:39:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBEIA1Hj045460; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:34:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 220433 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:34:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF2Y0D1052364 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:34:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF2Y0nN006315 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:34:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF2Y0bG006314 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:34:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:34:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150234.hBF2Y0bG006314@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 150000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150000. WARNING VALID 160000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 39N 134E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 134E TO 40N 137E 40N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 134E TO 36N 133E 33N 130E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 130E 13N 130E 10N 120E 07N 109E 19N 110E 27N 120E 25N 130E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 144E SE 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 44N 115E ESE 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 33N 156E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 33N 177E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 25N 151E TO 29N 161E 31N 168E 31N 174W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:22 2003 X-UIDL: 49883-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009LS59KVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:17:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF4J0OC093119 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:19:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpp7077242; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 220988 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF4CvD1052234 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF4CunN007211 for ; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:56 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF4CuMw007209 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:56 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:12:56 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150412.hBF4CuMw007209@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z-160600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 15 20:15:34 2003 X-UIDL: 49910-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009E2H47VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:33:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF8Yip8098773 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:34:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpuD077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:28:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 222709 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:28:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF8SND1068884 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:28:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBF8SNnN009158 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:28:23 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBF8SNtF009157 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:28:23 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:28:23 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 150600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312150828.hBF8SNtF009157@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 150600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 150600. WARNING VALID 160600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 40N 138E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 138E TO 40N 140E 41N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 138E TO 37N 137E 34N 134E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 135E 14N 132E 07N 109E 10N 108E 22N 113E 24N 118E 28N 121E 28N 135E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 46N 165E 58N 167E 57N 180E 44N 180E 46N 165E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 56N 146E EAST SLOWLY. LOW 988 HPA AT 60N 172E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 07N 115E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 43N 115E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 36N 165E ENE 30 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 138E TO 26N 146E 28N 159E 32N 172E 31N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:05 2003 X-UIDL: 49928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009RXVE3VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:42:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDhKp8031413 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:43:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBF60eG7099338; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 223993 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:56 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDZtD1091326 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFDZtnN012090 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFDZt6W012088 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:35:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151335.hBFDZt6W012088@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 151300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/151300Z-160600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 112.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING BUT DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.(B).1 FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:11 2003 X-UIDL: 49931-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009CQVOQVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:48:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDngOC061035 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:49:43 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpx9077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFDhDD1075712 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFDhDnN012306 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFDhDB6012304 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:43:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151343.hBFDhDB6012304@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 151400 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/151400Z-160600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 112.0E4, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING BUT DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 1.(B).1. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:13 2003 X-UIDL: 49937-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPX009SFXTQVN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:34:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFEZqp8036548 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:35:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBDEqpxj077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:28:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 224329 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:28:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFESCD1052238 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFESBnN013184 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:28:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFESBT3013183 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:28:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:28:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312151428.hBFESBT3013183@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 151200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151200. WARNING VALID 161200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 41N 140E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 140E TO 42N 142E 42N 143E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 140E TO 38N 139E 36N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 28N 135E 16N 130E 08N 109E 11N 109E 18N 110E 22N 114E 24N 118E 28N 121E 28N 135E. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 142E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 37N 144E 36N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 142E TO 34N 141E 33N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 55N 168E 55N 180E 44N 180E 45N 167E 55N 168E. SUMMARY. LOW 998 HPA AT 55N 149E EAST 15 KT. LOW 992 HPA AT 59N 169E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 33N 117E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 35N 168E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 172E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 141E TO 29N 151E 30N 165E 33N 178E 31N 177W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 09:49:21 2003 X-UIDL: 49950-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY009R8ET1VN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 04:41:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFKgdp8080796 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 04:42:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgIF077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:35:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 229930 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:35:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFKZgD1046912 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:35:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBFKZgnN023803 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:35:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBFKZg6F023802 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:35:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:35:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 151800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312152035.hBFKZg6F023802@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 151800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 151800. WARNING VALID 161800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 145E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 145E TO 36N 147E 36N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 145E TO 33N 142E 30N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 1002 HPA AT 41N 143E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 31N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 31N 152E TO 32N 157E 31N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 152E TO 27N 148E 24N 143E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 134E 13N 131E 13N 121E 11N 114E 07N 110E 11N 108E 20N 107E 23N 114E 29N 122E 25N 134E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 170E 60N 169E 58N 180E 50N 180E 53N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 56N 152E ENE 15 KT. LOW 1016 HPA AT 37N 176W EAST 30 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 176W TO 35N 172W 33N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 176W TO 35N 180E 33N 176E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 176E TO 32N 170E 31N 166E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1052 HPA AT 47N 94E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 39N 171E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 175E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 15:45:39 2003 X-UIDL: 49970-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPY00DPIVMIL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 10:44:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG2jxOC055346 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 10:46:00 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgSv077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:30:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 234049 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:30:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG2UvD1071622 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:30:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG2UvnN000300 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:30:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG2UvmL000299 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:30:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:30:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160230.hBG2UvmL000299@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 160000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160000. WARNING VALID 170000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 34N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 155E TO 33N 162E 31N 167E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 155E TO 26N 151E 17N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 38N 148E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 50N 157E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 55N 151E MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 135E 10N 133E 09N 110E 18N 110E 26N 121E 21N 135E. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 45N 122E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 122E TO 44N 125E 41N 128E. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 122E TO 41N 121E 36N 112E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 113E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 41N 175E ESE 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 33N 175E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 180E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 167E TO 29N 173E 29N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 15:45:47 2003 X-UIDL: 49984-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DB84NLL0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 13:59:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG612p8041491 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:01:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgcb077242; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 236766 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG5p7D1058184 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG5p7nN002238 for ; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG5p79n002236 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:51:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160551.hBG5p79n002236@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 160600 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z-170600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.7N5 112.0E4 HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER SOUTH NEAR 7.7N4 112.3E7, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION NORTHWEST OF A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 16 17:55:55 2003 X-UIDL: 50005-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00DEACQ4L0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:54:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG8tMOC003464 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:55:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgiX077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 02:30:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 238379 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 02:30:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBG8UDD1035956 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 02:30:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBG8UCnN003616 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 02:30:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBG8UCiH003615 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 02:30:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 02:30:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 160600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312160830.hBG8UCiH003615@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 160600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 160600. WARNING VALID 170600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 36N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 157E TO 37N 162E 33N 169E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 157E TO 28N 155E 22N 150E 17N 145E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 50N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 39N 150E MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 45N 124E MANCHURIA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 124E TO 45N 126E 43N 127E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 127E TO 41N 129E 40N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 127E TO 39N 124E 36N 118E 34N 113E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 09N 110E 21N 110E 27N 121E 20N 130E 10N 130E 09N 110E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 52N 159E NE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 08N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 30N 113E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 179E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 25N 178E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 33N 169E TO 29N 175E 29N 180E 30N 175W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:22:47 2003 X-UIDL: 50030-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HPZ00GBHSR7LE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 16 Dec 2003 22:40:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGEfTp8002716 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 22:41:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjgnr077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 08:32:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 240479 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 08:32:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGEWKD1005156 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 08:32:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGEWKnN007760 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 08:32:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGEWKVP007759 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 08:32:20 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 08:32:20 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312161432.hBGEWKVP007759@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 161200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161200. WARNING VALID 171200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 39N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 160E TO 38N 167E 33N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 160E TO 30N 158E 22N 152E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 47N 168E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 52N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 39N 152E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1014 HPA AT 40N 129E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 129E TO 39N 132E 37N 134E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 129E TO 37N 126E 34N 120E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER LOW 1012 HPA AT 45N 123E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 10N 110E 21N 110E 22N 132E 10N 130E 10N 110E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 56N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 992 HPA AT 53N 161E NNE 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 37N 179W EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 10:23:04 2003 X-UIDL: 50056-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000GXT9HQLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 04:41:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGKh5OC097163 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 04:43:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBFIjg4j077242; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:29:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 245139 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:29:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGKTjD1081856 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:29:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBGKTjnN018361 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:29:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBGKTjlE018360 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:29:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:29:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 161800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312162029.hBGKTjlE018360@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 161800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 161800. WARNING VALID 171800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 43N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 164E TO 42N 169E 38N 172E 36N 174E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 164E TO 37N 163E 30N 160E 24N 155E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 50N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 80 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 54N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 54N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 56N 153E GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1010 HPA AT 40N 130E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 130E TO 40N 133E 39N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 130E TO 36N 126E 33N 122E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 11N 110E 21N 110E 20N 133E 10N 130E 11N 110E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 09N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 127E WEST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 11:20:04 2003 X-UIDL: 50077-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ000GFDPZQLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:38:14 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH2dVp8093692 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:39:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBGNItHn087026; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:32:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 249759 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:32:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH2WRD1067746 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:32:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH2WRnN024992 for ; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:32:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH2WQLM024991 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:32:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 20:32:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170232.hBH2WQLM024991@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 170000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170000. WARNING VALID 180000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 47N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 167E TO 46N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 171E TO 43N 176E 38N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 171E TO 38N 169E 32N 163E 25N 158E 19N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 53N 171E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 53N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 54N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 134E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 134E TO 40N 138E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 134E TO 37N 134E 34N 130E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 34N 141E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 34N 141E TO 33N 144E. COLD FRONT FROM 34N 141E TO 33N 139E 32N 135E 30N 133E 29N 130E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 111E 25N 119E 23N 127E 17N 126E 11N 110E 21N 111E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 07N 105E 07N 108E 03N 110E 03N 106E 07N 105E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 09N 111E WEST 20 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 20:08:59 2003 X-UIDL: 50109-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100G2R09SLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:20:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH6LVOC070077 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:21:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH61NET065658; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 251838 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH6F6D1099948 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH6F5nN027327 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH6F5BI027325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 00:15:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170615.hBH6F5BI027325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/ SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z-180600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.7N4 112.3E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 111.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN STRONG UPPER LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW INDUCING AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND WEAK OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1). AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED IN THE ARAFURA SEA NEAR 9.2S1 137.6E, APPROXIMATELY 455 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION INCREASING OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH IMPROVED ORGANIZATION EVIDENT IN THE MID-LEVELS. LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 17 20:09:31 2003 X-UIDL: 50130-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100GOK6NVLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 16:38:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH8dXp8038036 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 16:39:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH61NGR065658; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:32:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 252671 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:32:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH8WMD1005252 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:32:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBH8WMnN028708 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:32:22 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBH8WM34028706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:32:22 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 02:32:22 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 170600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312170832.hBH8WM34028706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 170600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 170600. WARNING VALID 180600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 966 HPA AT 50N 172E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 50 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 172E TO 50N 175E 48N 176E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 176E TO 45N 179W 37N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 176E TO 43N 172E 38N 166E 29N 160E 22N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 54N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 55N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 54N 162E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 40N 133E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 133E TO 41N 134E 40N 135E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 135E TO 39N 138E 38N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 135E TO 36N 134E 32N 128E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 36N 141E HONSHU MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 141E TO 35N 144E 33N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 141E TO 34N 138E 32N 136E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 134E 14N 127E 10N 112E 08N 110E 08N 108E 23N 116E 22N 134E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 08N 112E WEST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 05N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 42N 148E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:41:59 2003 X-UIDL: 50145-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100GBOJ4LLE@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 21:07:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHD8op8069712 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 21:08:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBH61NIR065658; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 253688 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHCp3D1041660 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHCp2nN001146 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHCp2bJ001144 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 06:51:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171251.hBHCp2bJ001144@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 171300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/171300Z-180600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.5N3 111.5E8, APPROXIMATELY 305 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION IN THE ARAFURA SEA PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 136.6E6 IS NOW LOCATED AT 9.3S2 135.6E5, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS FORMATION OF POSSIBLE SPIRAL BANDS CONVERGING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND LOCATION IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 50150-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ100JC8ND3Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 17 Dec 2003 22:39:03 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHEeBOC034489 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 22:40:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDKsF7067664; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 08:33:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 254608 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 08:33:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHEXCD1093920 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 08:33:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHEXCnN002979 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 08:33:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHEXCFr002978 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 08:33:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 08:33:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312171433.hBHEXCFr002978@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 171200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171200. WARNING VALID 181200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 956 HPA AT 53N 175E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 175E TO 51N 180E 49N 178W. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 178W TO 45N 172W 37N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 178W TO 43N 178E 36N 167E 28N 163E 22N 156E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180000UTC AT 54N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 55N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 134E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 134E TO 41N 136E 41N 138E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 138E TO 40N 140E 39N 142E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 138E TO 38N 138E 34N 135E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 35N 146E 32N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 143E TO 34N 140E 31N 135E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 15N 133E 09N 130E 10N 110E 20N 111E 15N 133E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 08N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 130E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 40N 153E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 04:42:18 2003 X-UIDL: 50173-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JV0425Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 04:39:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHKewp8023402 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 04:40:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHDKsOd067664; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:34:28 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 259965 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:34:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHKYRD1078056 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:34:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBHKYRnN014032 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:34:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBHKYR7P014031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:34:27 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:34:27 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 171800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312172034.hBHKYR7P014031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 171800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 171800. WARNING VALID 181800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 950 HPA AT 54N 173E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 173E TO 54N 180E 49N 172W. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 172W TO 43N 169W 37N 168W. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 172W TO 41N 178W 36N 173E 22N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 55N 172E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 55N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 42N 139E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 350 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 37N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 35N 148E 33N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 32N 140E 28N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 138E 08N 132E 07N 120E 10N 109E 20N 112E 18N 138E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 08N 113E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 158E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 12:21:14 2003 X-UIDL: 50196-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200JBRKMZY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 10:37:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI2d5OC029520 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 10:39:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHM4CLV054796; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:31:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 263708 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:31:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI2V4D1048554 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:31:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI2V4nN020547 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:31:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI2V4m7020546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:31:04 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 20:31:04 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180231.hBI2V4m7020546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 180000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180000. WARNING VALID 190000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 950 HPA AT 54N 172E BERING SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 172E TO 54N 175W 50N 167W. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 167W TO 39N 161W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 167W TO 37N 179W 24N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 52N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 52N 178W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 39N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 39N 147E TO 37N 149E. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 149E TO 33N 155E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 149E TO 31N 145E 26N 138E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 1000 HPA AT 41N 139E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 07N 108E 13N 110E 21N 110E 24N 119E 24N 124E 19N 127E 13N 124E 11N 114E 09N 111E 07N 108E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 09N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 07N 129E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 38N 164E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 13:50:21 2003 X-UIDL: 50224-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ200J4OSQ3Y1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 13:32:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI5Xjp8086415 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 13:33:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBHLp3I1067776; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 264536 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI5LFD1051862 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI5LFnN022248 for ; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:15 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI5LFKx022247 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:15 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 23:21:15 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180521.hBI5LFKx022247@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z-190600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.3S2 135.6E5 IS NOW LOCATED AT 9.7S6 135.9E8, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTI- SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 16:40:36 2003 X-UIDL: 50247-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300JB41BVY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 16:38:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI8dcp8010402 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 16:39:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rK1055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:29:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 266993 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:29:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI8THD1043334 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:29:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI8THnN023990 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:29:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI8TH3X023989 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:29:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 02:29:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 180600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180829.hBI8TH3X023989@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 180600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 180600. WARNING VALID 190600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 952 HPA AT 53N 173E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING SOUTHSOUTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 173E TO 56N 180E 53N 166W 47N 161W. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 161W TO 41N 158W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 161W TO 38N 169W 33N 178E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 51N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 51N 172W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 38N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 153E TO 33N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 153E TO 31N 153E 27N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 42N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 994 HPA AT 40N 148E MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 998 HPA AT 40N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 110E 23N 116E 26N 120E 23N 123E 22N 132E 17N 131E 17N 120E 12N 113E 07N 111E 07N 109E 20N 110E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 131E 32N 137E 27N 142E 26N 132E 31N 131E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. LOW 1016 HPA AT 50N 131E ESE 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 09N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 132E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 37N 168E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 18 18:14:14 2003 X-UIDL: 50258-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ300JBH42LY1@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:37:33 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI9cqp8017994 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:38:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rKT055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 267252 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI9OID1054926 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBI9OInN024674 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBI9OIwm024672 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:24:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312180924.hBI9OIwm024672@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 181000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/181000Z-190600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180851ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 135.9E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 135.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). LATEST 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NOW GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:20 2003 X-UIDL: 50281-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ3000W1I10CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 18 Dec 2003 22:39:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIEeJOC026659 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 22:40:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBI63rOT055502; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 08:32:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 268657 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 08:31:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIEVwD1019316 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 08:31:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIEVwnN028322 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 08:31:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIEVwfT028321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 08:31:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 08:31:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312181431.hBIEVwfT028321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 181200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181200. WARNING VALID 191200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 956 HPA AT 52N 175E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 55N 177E TO 55N 163W 45N 158W. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 158W TO 39N 154W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 158W TO 37N 167W 34N 177W. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 177W TO 31N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 51N 176W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 53N 169W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 40N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 37N 161E 34N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 155E TO 33N 156E 27N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 44N 176E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 40N 148E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 108E 23N 115E 26N 120E 25N 126E 18N 125E 15N 115E 10N 113E 09N 108E 21N 108E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 31N 130E 35N 144E 26N 147E 26N 128E 31N 130E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 170E 60N 180E 52N 180E 53N 170E 60N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW 1004 HPA AT 44N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 09N 111E WEST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 132E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 39N 170E ENE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 09:55:39 2003 X-UIDL: 50301-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ3000LIYVECO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 04:42:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIKi4p8097991 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 04:44:05 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIEqwll041570; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:34:57 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 272356 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:34:28 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBIKYRD1045618 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:34:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBIKYPnN008995 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:34:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBIKYPjG008994 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:34:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:34:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 181800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312182034.hBIKYPjG008994@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 181800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 181800. WARNING VALID 191800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 966 HPA AT 52N 180E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 52N 171W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 54N 164W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 982 HPA AT 40N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 160E TO 40N 161E 39N 162E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 162E TO 35N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 162E TO 35N 160E 30N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 43N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 990 HPA AT 40N 155E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 38N 134E WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 132E 33N 141E 25N 140E 25N 127E 33N 132E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 108E 26N 119E 25N 131E 17N 129E 12N 110E 21N 108E. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 44N 140E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 08N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 24N 149E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 39N 177E EAST 35 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 14:03:48 2003 X-UIDL: 50328-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ400040F6ZCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 10:35:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ2afp8038658 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 10:36:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYE7051722; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:27:59 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 276789 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:27:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ2RwD1090884 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ2RvnN016322 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:27:57 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ2RvDj016321 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:27:57 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:27:57 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190227.hBJ2RvDj016321@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 190000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190000. WARNING VALID 200000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 41N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 41N 163E TO 42N 166E 40N 169E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 169E TO 38N 173E 36N 175E 35N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 169E TO 33N 163E 28N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 44N 179W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 38N 135E NORTHWEST OF NOTO HANTO MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW. ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 141E GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 135E 14N 139E 10N 110E 20N 107E 23N 116E 28N 121E 31N 124E 28N 129E 27N 135E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 161E 54N 161E 60N 173E 60N 180E 52N 180E 52N 161E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 170E 52N 180E 45N 180E 48N 170E 52N 170E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1012 HPA NEAR 08N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 06N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1052 HPA AT 41N 104E SE 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 149E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 14:04:01 2003 X-UIDL: 50337-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ400023MY0CO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 13:22:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ5O6p8060735 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 13:24:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYHH051722; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:14 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 278116 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ5HDD1026138 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ5HCnN018818 for ; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ5HCve018816 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:17:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190517.hBJ5HCve018816@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z-200600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/181952ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 181800Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7S6 135.3E2, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM NORTHWEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.9S8 135.3E2 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: DAMRON/KLINZMANN/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 20:36:44 2003 X-UIDL: 50361-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ4000VZVZPCO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 16:38:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ8dPOC077894 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 16:39:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ1AYJX051722; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:30:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 279583 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:30:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJ8UED1008370 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:30:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJ8UDnN021172 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:30:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJ8UDpM021171 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:30:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 02:30:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 190600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312190830.hBJ8UDpM021171@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 190600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 190600. WARNING VALID 200600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 36N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 34N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 144E TO 28N 136E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 38N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 70 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 42N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 992 HPA AT 41N 145E MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 43N 169E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 169E TO 42N 173E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 173E TO 36N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 173E TO 34N 169E 29N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 44N 173W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 44N 140E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 05N 106E 21N 110E 24N 117E 31N 122E 31N 126E 14N 139E 08N 128E 11N 116E 07N 110E 05N 106E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 163E 60N 180E 53N 180E 56N 166E 60N 163E. SUMMARY. LOW 996 HPA AT 53N 162E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002 HPA NEAR 05N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 41N 101E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Dec 19 23:23:42 2003 X-UIDL: 50394-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ500530CIUFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 19 Dec 2003 22:35:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJEaYOC023409 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 22:36:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJA00EL075582; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 08:28:22 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 282749 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 08:28:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJESJD1026154 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 08:28:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJESInN026000 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 08:28:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJESIbB025999 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 08:28:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 08:28:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312191428.hBJESIbB025999@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 191200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191200. WARNING VALID 201200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 45N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 174E TO 42N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 178E TO 36N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 178E TO 32N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 44N 168W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 994 HPA AT 53N 163E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 38N 147E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 147E TO 34N 157E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 147E TO 27N 142E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 41N 152E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 42N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 996 HPA AT 43N 140E MOVING NORTH SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 04N 106E 21N 111E 24N 118E 22N 132E 15N 138E 13N 129E 12N 117E 05N 110E 04N 106E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 05N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1048 HPA AT 42N 102E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:47:58 2003 X-UIDL: 50423-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ5005QWTEDFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 04:39:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJKf1p8079646 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 04:41:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBMr051732; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:32:15 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 291097 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:32:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJKWED1052348 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:32:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBJKWEnN006870 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:32:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBJKWDSI006869 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:32:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:32:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 191800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312192032.hBJKWDSI006869@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 191800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 191800. WARNING VALID 201800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 978 HPA AT 40N 152E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 152E TO 38N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 155E TO 35N 161E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 155E TO 29N 152E 24N 142E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 41N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 44N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 994 HPA AT 42N 139E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 984 HPA AT 44N 178E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 178E TO 43N 175W. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 175W TO 38N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 175W TO 35N 177E 32N 167E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 04N 107E 12N 109E 19N 110E 22N 114E 26N 120E 24N 125E 29N 131E 13N 134E 04N 107E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 53N 162E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002 HPA NEAR 04N 153E WNW SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 20 11:48:10 2003 X-UIDL: 50444-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ60059VA1JFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 10:39:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK2edp8018526 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 10:40:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBUN051732; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:33:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 293886 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:33:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK2XmD1081732 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:33:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK2XlnN013032 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:33:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK2Xlsx013031 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:33:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:33:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200233.hBK2Xlsx013031@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 200000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200000. WARNING VALID 210000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 40N 153E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 40N 153E TO 40N 156E 39N 159E. WARM FRONT FROM 39N 159E TO 38N 163E 36N 165E. COLD FRONT FROM 39N 159E TO 31N 155E 24N 144E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 48N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 42N 148E STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 992 HPA AT 40N 139E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 40N 145E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 90 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 44N 170E 44N 180E 34N 180E 34N 170E 44N 170E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 03N 104E 09N 105E 12N 109E 20N 110E 22N 121E 20N 135E 08N 132E 01N 107E 03N 104E. SUMMARY. LOW 990 HPA AT 55N 161E NE 10 KT. LOW 984 HPA AT 43N 180E EAST 10 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 03N 157E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 41N 107E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:41:51 2003 X-UIDL: 50454-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005EKI6VFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 13:35:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK5adp8038151 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 13:36:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBWn051732; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 295053 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK5U4D1059228 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK5U3nN014627 for ; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK5U36X014625 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:30:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200530.hBK5U36X014625@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z-210600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/191952ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 191800Z9, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5 134.2E0, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, AND HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 192100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:05 2003 X-UIDL: 50463-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ6005V2QGCFI@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 16:33:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK8Z7p8060518 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 16:35:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBYb051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:29:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 296205 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:29:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBK8T2D1059284 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:29:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBK8T1nN016177 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:29:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBK8T1is016176 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:29:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 02:29:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 200600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312200829.hBK8T1is016176@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 200600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 200600. WARNING VALID 210600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 996 HPA AT 39N 140E HONSHU MOVING SOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 37N 146E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 42N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 42N 157E TO 42N 162E 40N 164E. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 164E TO 38N 170E 36N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 164E TO 37N 165E 29N 157E 23N 148E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 49N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 41N 149E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 130E 27N 143E 12N 140E 05N 107E 09N 105E 11N 109E 21N 112E 25N 119E 25N 127E 29N 130E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 55N 162E EAST SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 05N 153E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1042 HPA AT 40N 108E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:14 2003 X-UIDL: 50480-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ7008KM72VMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 20 Dec 2003 22:32:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKEYEp8095440 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 22:34:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBcb051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 08:28:05 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 297841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 08:28:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKES4D1008840 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 08:28:04 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKES2nN019646 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 08:28:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKES2fw019644 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 08:28:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 08:28:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312201428.hBKES2fw019644@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 201200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201200. WARNING VALID 211200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 44N 159E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 159E TO 44N 166E 41N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 171E TO 38N 176E 35N 179E. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 171E TO 33N 165E 25N 153E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 49N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 41N 152E MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 140E 15N 140E 06N 130E 07N 127E 14N 122E 05N 107E 10N 107E 12N 109E 20N 111E 25N 120E 25N 140E. SUMMARY. LOW 984 HPA AT 54N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 05N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 32N 119E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:16 2003 X-UIDL: 50484-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ700833FZ7MR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 01:45:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKHkRp8016415 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 01:46:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBf7051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 298800 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKHeSD1049704 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKHeRnN021759 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:27 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKHeQMu021757 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:40:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Pass To Office Codes: Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312201740.hBKHeQMu021757@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 201830 UNCLAS //N03145// PASS TO OFFICE CODES: PSBR BCST //SID 80// DIRNSA FT GEORGE MEADE MD//DDI-LIZ/P313/Q332/WWEA// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/201830Z-210600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/200752ZDEC2003// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/201751ZDEC2003// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A/ SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200600Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05P (DEBBIE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3E5 133.8E5 APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED 65 GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 200900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS SYSTEM WILL NOW BE REFERENCED ON REF B (ABIO10 PGTW 201800). (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: TC 05P HAS CROSSED 135.0E9 AND IS NOW IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AND WILL BE REFERENCED ON THE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/WAUGAMAN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:21 2003 X-UIDL: 50492-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ7008F3NPLMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 04:32:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKKXTp8034943 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 04:33:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBJHOBhl051732; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:28:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 300006 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:28:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKKSBD1048476 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:28:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBKKS9nN023513 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:28:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBKKS9ai023512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:28:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:28:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 201800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312202028.hBKKS9ai023512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 201800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 201800. WARNING VALID 211800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 44N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 46N 169E 43N 175E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 175E TO 41N 179E 38N 177W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 175E TO 39N 175E 35N 169E 29N 161E 24N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 49N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 40N 154E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 135E 06N 131E 07N 126E 14N 123E 01N 105E 05N 103E 11N 109E 22N 113E 25N 120E 20N 135E. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 33N 135E 29N 139E 27N 137E 29N 129E 31N 130E 33N 135E. SUMMARY. LOW 982 HPA AT 54N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1002 HPA NEAR 03N 154E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1036 HPA AT 33N 119E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1004 HPA AT 59N 179E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:25 2003 X-UIDL: 50501-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008234I5MR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 10:34:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL2aDsK024823 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 10:36:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14GX064654; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 20:30:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 302658 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 20:30:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL2UbD1011458 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 20:30:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL2UZnN026977 for ; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 20:30:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL2UZrZ026976 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 20 Dec 2003 20:30:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 20:30:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210230.hBL2UZrZ026976@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 210000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210000. WARNING VALID 220000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 45N 164E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 164E TO 47N 169E 45N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 45N 174E TO 43N 180E 38N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 45N 174E TO 34N 166E 24N 156E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 50N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 54N 162E GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 144E 09N 137E 07N 111E 20N 110E 23N 123E 16N 144E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 05N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 31N 119E ESE SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:28 2003 X-UIDL: 50512-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008F9EB4MR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:06:41 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL67wsK045499 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:07:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14LX064654; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 304474 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL64YD1049394 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL64VnN028798 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL64Vrx028796 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:04:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210604.hBL64Vrx028796@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z-220600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS NEAR 6.2N8 149.7E1, APPROXIMATELY 140 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED OVER A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO IMPROVING ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/ALLEN/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:30 2003 X-UIDL: 50518-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ8008EFKXZMR@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 16:29:59 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL8VKba062260 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 16:31:21 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRNl051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:27:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 305360 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBL8RwD1094612 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:27:58 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBL8RtnN029905 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:27:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBL8RtVY029904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:27:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:27:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 210600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312210827.hBL8RtVY029904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 210600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 210600. WARNING VALID 220600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 46N 169E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 169E TO 48N 173E 47N 178E. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 178E TO 44N 175W 40N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 178E TO 38N 174E 29N 165E 23N 156E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 50N 179W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 55N 161E GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 118E 20N 133E 08N 129E 02N 105E 09N 105E 18N 110E 24N 118E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 05N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 31N 118E ENE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:40 2003 X-UIDL: 50534-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ900BBF21M47@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 21 Dec 2003 22:39:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLEedba096291 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 22:40:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKLxRSN051734; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 08:32:41 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 307778 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 08:32:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLEWeD1026074 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 08:32:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBLEWbnN003249 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 08:32:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBLEWahf003248 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 08:32:36 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 08:32:36 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312211432.hBLEWahf003248@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 211200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211200. WARNING VALID 221200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 48N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 172E TO 48N 178E 46N 177W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 177W TO 44N 172W 41N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 177W TO 43N 177W 34N 173E 27N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 982 HPA AT 54N 161E GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 121E 23N 147E 08N 143E 06N 120E 05N 107E 10N 107E 18N 110E 22N 121E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 05N 150E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 31N 118E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 04:42:44 2003 X-UIDL: 50541-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ900BJ2ICZ47@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 04:31:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLKX8ba034764 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 04:33:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9FL048716; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:28:24 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 310131 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:28:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLKSND1052428 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:28:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBLKSJnN006495 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:28:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBLKSJKa006494 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:28:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 14:28:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 211800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312212028.hBLKSJKa006494@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 211800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 211800. WARNING VALID 221800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 49N 176E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 176E TO 49N 179W 46N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 174W TO 45N 170W 41N 166W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 174W TO 42N 176W 38N 178E 35N 171E 31N 168E 26N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 55N 164E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 117E 20N 130E 18N 147E 08N 142E 07N 125E 04N 106E 14N 109E 21N 110E 23N 117E. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 146E 50N 161E 44N 160E 45N 149E 53N 146E FOR NEXT 24HOURS . SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 06N 147E WEST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 11:08:56 2003 X-UIDL: 50554-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQ900CLYZ8456@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 10:36:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM2bOba072386 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 10:37:26 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9Jn048716; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:29:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 312732 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:29:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM2TnD1006136 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:29:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBM2TjnN009749 for ; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:29:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBM2TjOd009748 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:29:45 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:29:45 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312220229.hBM2TjOd009748@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 220000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220000. WARNING VALID 230000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 49N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 179E TO 47N 169W. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 169W TO 41N 160W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 169W TO 41N 168W 35N 180E 34N 177E 28N 171E 23N 164E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 56N 164E MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 48N 146E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 146E TO 47N 150E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 146E TO 44N 144E 41N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 110E 23N 119E 20N 130E 20N 151E 13N 148E 06N 141E 05N 126E 04N 107E 21N 110E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 06N 143E WEST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 14:14:52 2003 X-UIDL: 50571-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00CQK96Y56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:11:22 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM6Chba098611 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:12:44 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14Wj064654; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 313904 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM65HD1052098 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBM65DnN011690 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBM65D2Y011688 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:05:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312220605.hBM65D2Y011688@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z-230600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 6.2N8 149.7E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.4N0 142.0E7, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER THE BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS CURRENTLY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AND HAS YET TO CONSOLIDATE WITHIN TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/HEATH/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 22 16:45:42 2003 X-UIDL: 50586-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00C0HFYG56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 16:37:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM8cmsK005488 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 16:38:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9Nb048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 02:31:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 314841 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 02:31:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBM8VXD1031356 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 02:31:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBM8VTnN012904 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 02:31:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBM8VSCZ012903 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 02:31:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 02:31:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 220600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312220831.hBM8VSCZ012903@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 220600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600. WARNING VALID 230600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 48N 151E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 47N 154E 45N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 151E TO 43N 149E 40N 143E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 51N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 50N 176W SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 176W TO 49N 171W 47N 167W. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 167W TO 43N 161W 38N 157W. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 167W TO 41N 169W 38N 179W 30N 171E 24N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 650 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 976 HPA AT 52N 174E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 20N 146E 07N 140E 03N 108E 10N 107E 22N 115E 20N 146E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 06N 142E WEST 10 KT. LOW 980 HPA AT 57N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 976 HPA AT 56N 163E WNW 10 KT. LOW 1006 HPA AT 51N 126E ESE 35 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 28N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:26:43 2003 X-UIDL: 50607-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQA00CORX9856@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 22 Dec 2003 22:51:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMEqSba080116 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 22:52:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14ZH064654; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 08:32:34 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 316302 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 08:32:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMEWXD1011954 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 08:32:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBMEWSnN017038 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 08:32:28 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBMEWScS017037 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 08:32:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 08:32:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312221432.hBMEWScS017037@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 221200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221200. WARNING VALID 231200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 49N 154E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 154E TO 47N 159E 43N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 154E TO 42N 153E 37N 142E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 53N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 148E 08N 141E 06N 126E 09N 111E 20N 113E 21N 141E 18N 148E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 52N 167E 50N 180E 39N 180E 39N 171E 52N 167E. SUMMARY. LOW 980 HPA AT 57N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 980 HPA AT 57N 161E WNW 10 KT. LOW 980 HPA AT 52N 175E EAST 15 KT. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 07N 138E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 29N 120E EAST SLOWLY. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 159W TO 43N 165W 40N 172W 32N 178E 24N 166E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:17 2003 X-UIDL: 50625-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQB00CAVD2A56@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 04:32:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMKXsba028910 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 04:33:55 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9YN048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:27:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 319255 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:27:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBMKROD1027206 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:27:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBMKRKnN025528 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:27:20 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBMKRJfN025527 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:27:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:27:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 221800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312222027.hBMKRJfN025527@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 221800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 221800. WARNING VALID 231800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 50N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 158E TO 49N 159E 49N 160E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 160E TO 47N 163E 44N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 160E TO 44N 160E 39N 155E 36N 148E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 53N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 148E 09N 141E 04N 125E 08N 107E 22N 116E 19N 148E. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 50N 175E 50N 180E 40N 180E 40N 174E 50N 175E. SUMMARY. LOW 980 HPA AT 57N 151E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 984 HPA AT 55N 162E WNW SLOWLY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 07N 139E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 122E EAST SLOWLY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:28 2003 X-UIDL: 50645-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQB00G1LTO566@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 10:31:18 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN2WcsK046553 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 10:32:40 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9fX048716; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 20:27:38 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 322343 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 20:27:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN2RbD1031404 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 20:27:38 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBN2RWnN001591 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 20:27:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBN2RW4M001590 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 20:27:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 20:27:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312230227.hBN2RW4M001590@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 230000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230000. WARNING VALID 240000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 50N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 160E TO 49N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 166E TO 43N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 166E TO 38N 161E 33N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 60 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 54N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 57N 150E MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 51N 157E 55N 162E 51N 170E 48N 166E 51N 157E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 08N 140E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 125E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 26N 161E EAST 30 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:38 2003 X-UIDL: 50658-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQC00GW52QP66@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 13:47:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN5mYba002577 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 13:48:35 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBKM14jb064654; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 323763 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:21 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN5iKD1019354 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBN5iEnN003578 for ; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:14 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBN5iEFs003576 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:14 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:44:14 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312230544.hBN5iEFs003576@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z-240600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.4N0 142.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 140.9E4, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITHIN A BROAD MONSOON TROUGH. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS CURRENTLY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AND HAS YET TO CONSOLIDATE WITHIN THE TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MARGINAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/DIXON/WAUGAMAN/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:40 2003 X-UIDL: 50667-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQC00GJ7AI066@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 16:34:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN8a9sK093827 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 16:36:10 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa9kL048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 02:28:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 325371 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 02:28:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN8SHD1019410 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 02:28:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBN8SCnN005066 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 02:28:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBN8SC5G005065 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 02:28:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 02:28:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 230600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312230828.hBN8SC5G005065@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 230600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 230600. WARNING VALID 240600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 51N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 162E TO 51N 167E 49N 170E. WARM FRONT FROM 49N 170E TO 45N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 49N 170E TO 40N 168E 31N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 55N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 56N 149E GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 134E 19N 146E 14N 145E 12N 133E 19N 134E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 160E 57N 163E 54N 176E 49N 170E 53N 160E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 09N 140E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 28N 124E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 37N 179W ENE 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 34N 162W TO 32N 170W 30N 177W 26N 176E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:45 2003 X-UIDL: 50682-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQC00G6PRCR66@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 23 Dec 2003 22:38:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNEeBba072277 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 22:40:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN62pHZ064658; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 08:30:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 327519 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 08:30:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNEUoD1083932 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 08:30:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBNEUinN009290 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 08:30:44 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBNEUiYV009289 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 08:30:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 08:30:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312231430.hBNEUiYV009289@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 231200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231200. WARNING VALID 241200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 52N 163E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 52N 163E TO 53N 169E 50N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 174E TO 46N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 174E TO 45N 175E 38N 168E 34N 165E 30N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 55N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 986 HPA AT 56N 149E GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 17N 133E 17N 143E 12N 143E 11N 132E 17N 133E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 11N 138E WNW 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 125E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 25N 161E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 36N 155W TO 32N 166W 31N 175W 27N 180E 26N 177E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:27:58 2003 X-UIDL: 50701-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD00GDA89A66@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 04:43:58 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNKjJsK080851 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 04:45:20 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa91T048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 14:38:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 331361 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 14:38:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNKckD1049764 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 14:38:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBNKcdnN018030 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 14:38:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBNKcdXI018029 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 14:38:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 14:38:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 231800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312232038.hBNKcdXI018029@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 231800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 231800. WARNING VALID 241800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 53N 163E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 163E TO 56N 168E 51N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 179E TO 48N 177W 44N 175W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 179E TO 44N 178E 40N 173E 34N 168E 30N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 54N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 136E 16N 142E 08N 131E 12N 125E 22N 136E. SUMMARY. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 09N 136E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 29N 124E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 25N 161E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 23N 175E TO 26N 178W 32N 170W 33N 158W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:06 2003 X-UIDL: 50713-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD00085HYQ4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:13:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO0F0ba045502 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:15:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN62pPx064658; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:48 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 333158 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO09kD1073962 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO09dnN022219 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO09dDF022217 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 18:09:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240009.hBO09dDF022217@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 240030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/240030Z-240600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 140.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 137.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 1.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:11 2003 X-UIDL: 50722-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD0004AODV4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 10:32:19 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO2XfsK021127 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 10:33:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa98D048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:28:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 334030 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:28:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO2SdD1075564 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:28:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO2SWnN024016 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:28:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO2SW3V024015 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:28:32 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:28:32 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240228.hBO2SW3V024015@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 240000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240000. WARNING VALID 250000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 966 HPA AT 54N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 164E TO 56N 174E 52N 179W. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 179W TO 50N 173W 48N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 179W TO 44N 180E 36N 174E 29N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 57N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.3N 136.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 14.5N 135.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 130E 17N 152E 13N 150E 16N 136E 07N 130E 09N 127E 22N 130E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 28N 119E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 23N 162E EAST SLOWLY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 176E TO 26N 177W 28N 173W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:12 2003 X-UIDL: 50724-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD000MEP0P4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 10:46:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO2lMsK023127 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 10:47:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBLGa98L048716; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:39:56 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 334090 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:39:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO2dtD1077934 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:39:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO2dmnN024204 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:39:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO2dmMN024203 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:39:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 20:39:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240239.hBO2dmMN024203@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN21 PGTW 240230 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 240221ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.1N5 137.9E0 TO 15.0N6 131.4E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 232330Z3 INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 137.1E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 140.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 137.1E2, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 240230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 250230Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:15 2003 X-UIDL: 50729-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD000UPQ1Q4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:08:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO39XsK026216 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:09:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNAH4Mj099966; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 334201 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO32ID1075594 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO32BnN024524 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:11 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO32BM4024521 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:11 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 21:02:11 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240302.hBO32BM4024521@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 240300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/240300Z-240600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240221ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3N5 140.9E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 137.1E2, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:34 2003 X-UIDL: 50749-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQD000XQX3V4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 13:40:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO5g5ba093324 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 13:42:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBNAH4NX099966; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 334951 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO5ZaD1038750 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO5ZTnN026004 for ; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO5ZSl8026001 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:35:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240535.hBO5ZSl8026001@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z-250600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240221DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 137.1E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 136.5E5, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE OUTFLOW AND MODEL PREDICTIONS INDICATE DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 240230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/DIXON/HEATH/SPANSKI// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:42 2003 X-UIDL: 50761-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE000IX5384J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 16:33:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO8YUsK067660 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 16:34:31 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSDh048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 02:29:35 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 336078 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 02:29:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO8TYD1067638 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 02:29:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO8TQnN027757 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 02:29:26 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO8TQHh027754 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 02:29:26 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 02:29:26 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 240600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240829.hBO8TQHh027754@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 240600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 240600. WARNING VALID 250600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 13.1N 136.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 13.5N 133.6E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 54N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 164E TO 57N 176E 54N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 176W TO 47N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 176W TO 41N 180E 29N 169E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER MIDDLE OF SEA OF JAPAN WESTERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 05N 126E 11N 126E 17N 129E 17N 137E 15N 138E 13N 134E 05N 132E 05N 126E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 123E EAST 15 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 123E TO 45N 129E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 123E TO 41N 115E. LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 05N 133E WEST SLOWLY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 28N 124E EAST SLOWLY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 23N 163E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:43 2003 X-UIDL: 50762-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE000YM6LW4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:05:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO97HsK071507 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:07:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSDv048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:01:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 336186 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:01:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO91OD1027230 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:01:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO91HnN028216 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:01:17 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO91Hc2028215 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:01:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:01:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Ampn/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240901.hBO91Hc2028215@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 240900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240221Z DEC 03// AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- NEAR 13.4N8 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 136.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 14.2N7 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.1N7 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 16.3N0 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 17.1N9 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 17.8N6 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 135.5E4. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER DESCRIBED IN REF A, HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS, SYNOPTIC PRESSURE OBSERVATIONS ON YAP, A 240353Z7 TROPICAL RAIN MEASUREMENT MISSION PASS AND A 240430Z3 ADVANCED MICROWAVE SOUNDER UNIT PASS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS THE LLCC HAS BEGUN TO MOVE UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION. TD 27W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AS IT MOVES INTO A DEVELOPING BREAK IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BY 48 HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE 200MB ANALYSIS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES TD 27W IS LOCATED NEAR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND WILL MOVE INTO AN AREA FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE WIND RADII FORECAST IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY AND INTERACTION WITH A SURGE IN THE NORTHEAST MONSOON BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 240221Z DEC 03 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 240230 ) NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2, 242100Z9, 250300Z0 AND 250900Z6.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:45 2003 X-UIDL: 50765-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE000NH8T44J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:53:29 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO9slsK077209 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:54:48 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSFN048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 336554 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO9lgD1059980 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBO9lZnN028630 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBO9lZlc028627 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 03:47:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312240947.hBO9lZlc028627@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 241000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/REISSUED/241000Z-250600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240751DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140600Z1, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W, LOCATED NEAR 13.4N8 136.0E0, APPROXIMATELY 265 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, WAS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 240900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2N6 136.5E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE OF SUSPECT AREA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS. SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/DIXON/HEATH/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:55 2003 X-UIDL: 50778-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE000LOLBI4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 22:23:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOEP1ba073932 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 22:25:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN62pVn064658; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:19:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 337632 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:19:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOEJdD1073736 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:19:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOEJVnN001287 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:19:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOEJVkP001286 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:19:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:19:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 002 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312241419.hBOEJVkP001286@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- NEAR 13.9N3 134.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 134.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.8N3 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.5N1 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.2N9 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.5N2 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.9N4 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 134.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6 AND 251500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:56 2003 X-UIDL: 50779-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE000BBLS34J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 22:33:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOEZ2sK022042 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 22:35:03 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBN62pVv064658; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:29:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 337683 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOETJD1052126 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:29:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOETCnN001511 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:29:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOETChJ001510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:29:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:29:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312241429.hBOETChJ001510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 241200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241200. WARNING VALID 251200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 13.7N 134.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 13.6N 132.9E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 54N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 58N 166E TO 55N 173W. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 173W TO 48N 162W. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 173W TO 42N 177W 30N 172E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 160E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EXPECTED WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 08N 127E 16N 124E 20N 127E 23N 135E 17N 136E 13N 132E 08N 127E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 124E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 27N 128E EAST SLOWLY. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 124E TO 44N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 124E TO 38N 118E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Thu Dec 25 00:28:57 2003 X-UIDL: 50781-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQE00012M4M4J@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 24 Dec 2003 22:41:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOEgVsK022768 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 22:42:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSHn048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:37:40 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 337751 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:37:40 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOEbdD1037178 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:37:39 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOEbVnN001706 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:37:32 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOEbVPf001705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:37:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:37:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 27w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312241437.hBOEbVPf001705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WDPN31 PGTW 241500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W/ WARNING NR 02// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 241200Z9 TO 271200Z2 DEC 2003. A. 241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 134.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241130Z1 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TD 27W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AS IT MOVES INTO A DEVELOPING BREAK IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BY 48 HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. A SURGE IN THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WILL INTERACT WITH TD 27W AFTER 48 HOURS RESULTING IN A SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT OUT TO 72 HOURS. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT INCLUDING NOGAPS (NGPS), UK-MET OFFICE MODEL (EGRR), THE NCEP GFS (JAVN) AND THE JMA GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (JGSM). THE JTWC FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL DYNAMIC AIDS. c. THE 200MB ANALYSIS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES TD 27W IS LOCATED NEAR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THE AVAILABLE MODEL PREDICTIONS INDICATE TD 27W WILL MOVE INTO AN AREA OF WEAKER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS RESULTING IN A CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION RATE BETWEEN 24 THROUGH 48 HOURS. BEYOND 48 HOURS INTERACTION WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WILL RESULT IN INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THAT WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. D. THE WIND RADII FORECAST IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM AND INTERACTION WITH A SURGE IN THE NORTHEAST MONSOON BY 48 HOURS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: JEFFRIES/DIXON/HEATH/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:32 2003 X-UIDL: 50798-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005K72NZHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 04:38:23 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOKdjsK062702 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 04:39:46 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSMd048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:32:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 339669 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:32:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOKW8D1049802 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:32:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOKW0nN008515 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:32:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOKW0Ve008514 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:32:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:32:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 241800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312242032.hBOKW0Ve008514@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 241800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 241800. WARNING VALID 251800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 132E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 132E TO 42N 136E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 132E TO 41N 129E 39N 124E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 44N 141E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 13.5N 133.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 13.4N 131.7E WITH 100 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 54N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 36N 165E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 165E TO 38N 170E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 165E TO 33N 163E 31N 159E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 125E 20N 128E 20N 134E 15N 134E 09N 127E 14N 125E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 27N 129E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1012 HPA AT 21N 166E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N 173E TO 37N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:35 2003 X-UIDL: 50799-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005F530WHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 04:46:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOKlSba021818 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 04:47:29 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBO7GSMx048716; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:44:20 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 339809 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:44:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBOKiKD1042748 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:44:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBOKiCnN008667 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:44:12 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBOKiCi9008666 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:44:12 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:44:12 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 003 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312242044.hBOKiCi9008666@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 242100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- NEAR 13.8N2 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 133.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 14.4N9 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 14.9N4 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 14.7N2 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 13.8N2 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 12.0N3 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION NEAR 13.9N3 132.7E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 241730Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9, 250300Z0, 250900Z6 AND 251500Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:39 2003 X-UIDL: 50810-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005SLHRQHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 10:04:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP261ba059139 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 10:06:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP0MCDv026336; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 19:59:55 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 342067 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 19:59:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP1xtD1044272 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 19:59:55 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBP1xknN011556 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 19:59:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBP1xkVo011555 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 19:59:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 19:59:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312250159.hBP1xkVo011555@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 250300 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- NEAR 13.9N3 132.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 132.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.4N9 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 14.9N4 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 14.6N1 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.8N2 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 12.0N3 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION NEAR 14.0N5 132.2E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) LOCATED 67NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6, 251500Z3, 252100Z0 AND 260300Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:40 2003 X-UIDL: 50811-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005X9HTLHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 10:05:45 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP277ba059349 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 10:07:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP0MCDx026336; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:00:58 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 342089 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:00:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP20vD1026026 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:00:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBP20mnN011590 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:00:48 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBP20m7l011589 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:00:48 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:00:48 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312250200.hBP20m7l011589@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WDPN31 PGTW 250300 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W/ WARNING NR 04// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 250000Z7 TO 280000Z0 DEC 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 242330Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) LOCATED 67NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TD 27W IS MOVING WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AS IT MOVES INTO A DEVELOPING BREAK IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BY 24 HOURS AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. A SURGE IN THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WILL INTERACT WITH TD 27W AFTER 36 HOURS RESULTING IN A SOUTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT OUT TO 72 HOURS. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS (NGPS), UK-MET OFFICE MODEL (EGRR), THE NCEP GFS (JAVN) AND THE JMA GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (JGSM) ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE JTWC FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. THE 200MB ANALYSIS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES TD 27W IS LOCATED NEAR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. THE AVAILABLE MODEL PREDICTIONS INDICATE TD 27W WILL MOVE INTO AN AREA OF WEAKER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS RESULTING IN A CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION RATE BETWEEN 24 THROUGH 48 HOURS. BEYOND 48 HOURS INTERACTION WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WILL RESULT IN INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR THAT WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. D. THE WIND RADII FORECAST IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM AND INTERACTION WITH A SURGE IN THE NORTHEAST MONSOON AT 36 HOURS. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/WAUGAMAN/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:40 2003 X-UIDL: 50813-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF0051MJ2BHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 10:32:35 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP2Xwba062368 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 10:33:59 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP0MCE9026336; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:29:30 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 342211 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:29:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP2TTD1044116 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:29:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBP2TLnN011839 for ; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:29:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBP2TLVh011838 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:29:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 20:29:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312250229.hBP2TLVh011838@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 250000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250000. WARNING VALID 260000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 43N 135E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 135E TO 43N 137E 41N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 135E TO 39N 131E 35N 125E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 44N 146E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 1008 HPA AT 47N 127E MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.1N 132.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 11 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 12.7N 130.5E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 54N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 40N 170E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 170E TO 42N 173E 43N 177E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 170E TO 34N 168E 32N 167E 30N 164E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 14N 128E 18N 127E 21N 136E 15N 137E 14N 128E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:45 2003 X-UIDL: 50820-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005CRUAKHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:35:09 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6aTba088927 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:36:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP0MCGp026336; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 343288 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6PCD1083908 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBP6P4nN013398 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:04 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBP6P3xu013396 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:25:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312250625.hBP6P3xu013396@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z-260600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W, LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 132.7E3, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM NORTHEAST OF MINDANAO, WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 250300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.5N2 137.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF THE ISLAND OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP BUT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF THIS LLCC ARE BEING ENHANCED BY A POSSIBLE WESTERLY WIND BURST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THIS SYSTEM LIES SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE EASTERLIES AND LINEAR FLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMAN/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:46 2003 X-UIDL: 50825-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQF005RQZU7HK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 16:34:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP8aHsK033202 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 16:36:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJEJ026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 02:29:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 343861 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 02:29:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP8TID1086882 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 02:29:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBP8T9nN014239 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 02:29:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBP8T9Cx014238 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 02:29:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 02:29:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 250600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312250829.hBP8T9Cx014238@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 250600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 250600. WARNING VALID 260600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 43N 138E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 138E TO 42N 142E 41N 145E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 138E TO 39N 137E 37N 132E 35N 130E 34N 127E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 45N 151E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.5N 131.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS. POSITION FAIR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 13.5N 130.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 974 HPA AT 54N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 43N 174E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 174E TO 45N 177E 45N 179W. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 174E TO 33N 169E 28N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 138E 17N 138E 16N 130E 14N 127E 20N 126E 21N 138E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 41N 103E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 27N 141E EAST 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:46 2003 X-UIDL: 50826-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG0051D2H9HK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 17:31:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP9XGsK038229 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 17:33:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJEb026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:25:03 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344003 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:25:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP9P2D1011370 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:25:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBP9OrnN014958 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:24:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBP9OrcH014957 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:24:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 03:24:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 005 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312250924.hBP9OrcH014957@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 250900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- NEAR 13.5N9 131.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 131.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 13.3N7 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.3N7 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 13.2N6 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 12.7N0 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 10.0N1 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 13.5N9 130.6E0. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 590 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS THAT TD 27W IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED WITH DEEP, CYCLING CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3, 252100Z0, 260300Z1 AND 260900Z7.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:49 2003 X-UIDL: 50834-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG005DHEQOHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 21:56:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPDwCba039571 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 21:58:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJG3026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 07:52:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 344934 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 07:52:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPDqGD1008722 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 07:52:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPDq7nN016784 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 07:52:07 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPDq7gx016783 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 07:52:07 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 07:52:07 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 27w Warning Nr 006 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312251352.hBPDq7gx016783@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 27W WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- NEAR 13.7N1 129.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 129.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 13.7N1 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.7N1 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.6N0 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 12.9N2 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 10.2N3 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION NEAR 13.7N1 129.5E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251230Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TS 27W CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY WITH INCREASED CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0, 260300Z1, 260900Z7 AND 261500Z4.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:51 2003 X-UIDL: 50836-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG005JFFKTHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 22:14:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPEGHba041571 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 22:16:18 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJGv026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:09:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 345074 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:09:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPE9ID1051988 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:09:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPE99nN016887 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:09:09 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPE99nK016886 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:09:09 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:09:09 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 27w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312251409.hBPE99nK016886@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WDPN31 PGTW 251500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W/ WARNING NR 06// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 251200Z0 TO 281200Z3 DEC 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251230Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TS 27W CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY WITH INCREASED CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO THE WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. B. TS 27W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. A MAJOR SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EXIT ASIA IN 12 TO 24 HOURS CAUSING TS 27W TO SLOW DOWN IN THE RESULTANT WEAKNESS. A SURGE IN THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WILL INTERACT WITH TD 27W AFTER 36 HOURS RESULTING IN A SOUTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT OUT TO 72 HOURS. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS (NGPS), UK-MET OFFICE MODEL (EGRR), THE NCEP GFS (JAVN), WBAR, GFDN, COAMPS, JMA GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (JGSM) AND THE JMA JTYM MODEL ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO WITH THE EXCEPTION OF WBAR. WBAR FORECASTS TS 27W TO RECURVE TO THE NORTHEAST WHICH IS IN COMPLETE DISAGREEMENT WITH THE REST OF THE DYNAMIC MODELS. THE JTWC FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS WITH NO EMPHASIS ON WBAR. C. TS 27W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND THEN WEAKEN AFTER 36 TO 48 HOURS AS IT HEADS EQUATORWARD AWAY FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS TOWARDS AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR, LINEAR FLOW ALOFT AND LAND INTERACTION WITH THE NUMEROUS ISLANDS OF SOUTH CENTRAL PHILIPPINE ARCHIPELAGO. D. THE WIND RADII FORECAST IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMMAN/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:51 2003 X-UIDL: 50837-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG005GPGUSHK@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Thu, 25 Dec 2003 22:42:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPEhlba044381 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 22:43:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJH3026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:28:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 345132 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:28:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPES9D1031296 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:28:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPES0nN016983 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:28:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPES02p016982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:28:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:28:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312251428.hBPES02p016982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 251200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251200. WARNING VALID 261200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 43N 140E NORTHERN PART OF SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 43N 140E TO 43N 142E 43N 143E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 143E TO 42N 146E 40N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 143E TO 38N 140E 36N 133E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 46N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.6N 130.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 13.5N 130.0E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 976 HPA AT 54N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 950 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 986 HPA AT 46N 177E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 177E TO 48N 179E 48N 176W. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 177E TO 37N 177E 31N 171E 28N 163E. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 19N 128E 19N 136E 16N 135E 16N 129E 19N 128E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1046 HPA AT 42N 102E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 26N 141E ALMOST STATIONARY. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:53 2003 X-UIDL: 50844-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG008KYX545L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:34:17 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPKZfsK002764 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:35:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJIr026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:30:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346239 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:30:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPKUHD1083896 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:30:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPKU8nN019766 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:30:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPKU8g7019765 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:30:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:30:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 251800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312252030.hBPKU8g7019765@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 251800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 251800. WARNING VALID 261800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 45N 144E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 144E TO 44N 146E 43N 148E. WARM FRONT FROM 43N 148E TO 41N 151E 39N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 43N 148E TO 40N 147E 37N 145E 34N 139E 32N 133E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 46N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 48N 179E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 179E TO 49N 177W 49N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 179E TO 45N 179W 41N 177W 32N 177E 26N 168E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 57N 177E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13.6N 129.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS. POSITION POOR. MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 12.9N 130.3E WITH 90 MILE RADIUS OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 980 HPA AT 54N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 18N 135E 14N 134E 16N 130E 14N 127E 18N 126E 18N 135E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1048 HPA AT 46N 100E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 30N 158E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:53 2003 X-UIDL: 50845-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQG008UOXYF5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:51:51 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPKrFba086452 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 04:53:16 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJJ1026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:46:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 346290 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:46:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBPKkBD1048460 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:46:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPKk1nN019909 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:46:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPKk1Xc019906 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:46:01 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:46:01 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312252046.hBPKk1Xc019906@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 252100 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 27W WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- NEAR 13.9N3 129.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N3 129.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.8N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 13.3N7 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 12.8N1 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 12.3N6 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 10.5N6 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION NEAR 13.9N3 128.8E9. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 251730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1, 260900Z7, 261500Z4 AND 262100Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:57 2003 X-UIDL: 50851-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH008N2BQP5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 09:49:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ1p1sK026419 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 09:51:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP0MCJF064660; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 347265 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ1hoD1077184 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQ1hfnN022266 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:41 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQ1he6c022265 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:40 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:40 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Rmks/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312260143.hBQ1he6c022265@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 260300 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 27W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- NEAR 13.7N1 128.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 128.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 13.4N8 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.0N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 12.3N6 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 11.3N5 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 9.7N6 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.6N0 128.4E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 445 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7, 261500Z4, 262100Z1 AND 270300Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:58 2003 X-UIDL: 50852-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH008NABQS5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 09:49:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ1p1ba013481 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 09:51:02 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJLf026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 347262 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ1hnD1100076 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQ1hdnN022261 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:39 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQ1hdqZ022260 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:39 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:43:39 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc// Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312260143.hBQ1hdqZ022260@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WDPN31 PGTW 260300 UNCLAS //N03145// MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W/ WARNING NR 08// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 260000Z8 TO 290000Z1 DEC 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 445 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. B. TS 27W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE NORTHEAST MONSOON. A SECOND SURGE IN THE NORTHEAST MONSOON WILL INTERACT WITH TS 27W AFTER 24 HOURS RESULTING IN A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT OUT TO 72 HOURS. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS (NGPS), UK-MET OFFICE MODEL (EGRR), THE NCEP GFS (JAVN), GFDN, COAMPS, JMA GLOBAL SPECTRAL MODEL (JGSM) AND THE JMA JTYM MODEL ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A ALL THE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 27W MAY INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS UNTIL AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OVER LUZON AND BRINGS CONVERGENT FLOW AND INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR. HOWEVER, INTERACTION WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON, WITH DRY, COOL AIR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND AIDE IN THE DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM AT THE 72 HOUR POINT. D. FORECAST WIND RADII FORECAST ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/MENEBROKER/COOK// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:44:58 2003 X-UIDL: 50855-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH008WYE0I5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 10:38:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ2e7ba019302 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 10:40:08 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJM3026338; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 20:33:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 347423 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 20:33:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ2X8D1067686 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 20:33:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQ2WwnN022707 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 20:32:58 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQ2WwUR022706 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 20:32:58 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 20:32:58 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312260232.hBQ2WwUR022706@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 260000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260000. WARNING VALID 270000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 44N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 147E TO 44N 150E 42N 153E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 153E TO 39N 158E 36N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 153E TO 37N 152E 35N 148E 31N 145E 30N 139E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 46N 160E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 51N 179E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 179E TO 50N 178W 50N 176W. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 176W TO 49N 172W 46N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 176W TO 39N 174W 31N 177E. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 55N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 58N 174E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 980 HPA AT 52N 166E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST 20 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 144E 17N 143E 16N 131E 13N 127E 19N 121E 22N 113E 28N 121E 24N 144E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 14N 130E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 28N 157E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1044 HPA AT 42N 106E ESE 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 20N 167E TO 23N 172E 27N 178W 29N 165W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:00 2003 X-UIDL: 50861-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH008ZKNZM5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:14:10 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ6FXba040891 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:15:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJNt026338; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348375 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ68lD1049730 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQ68bnN024435 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQ68bIW024433 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 00:08:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312260608.hBQ68bIW024433@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z-270600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260600Z4, TROPICAL STORM 27W, LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 128.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 445 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, WAS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 12.5S8 176.9E3, APPROXIMATELY 350 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS OF WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMAN/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:01 2003 X-UIDL: 50864-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH008VHUJX5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 16:35:57 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ8bMba054461 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 16:37:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJOn026338; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:27:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348902 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:27:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ8RqD1060156 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:27:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQ8RgnN025799 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:27:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQ8Rgta025798 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:27:42 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:27:42 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 260600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312260827.hBQ8Rgta025798@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 260600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 260600. WARNING VALID 270600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 44N 151E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 44N 151E TO 45N 154E 44N 157E 42N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 158E TO 40N 161E 38N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 158E TO 39N 157E 36N 153E 33N 147E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 48N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 54N 179E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 179E TO 55N 179W 55N 175W 53N 172W 50N 171W. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 171W TO 47N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 171W TO 44N 170W 36N 172W. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 56N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 60N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 27N 128E 18N 130E 13N 125E 23N 115E 27N 128E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 13N 129E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1038 HPA AT 39N 109E SE 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 25N 159E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1014 HPA AT 31N 173E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 170E TO 23N 178E 29N 175W 28N 168W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:01 2003 X-UIDL: 50865-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQH008XMVCQ5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 16:53:15 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ8seba055999 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 16:54:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJOt026338; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:50:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 348970 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:50:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ8o9D1011484 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:50:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQ8nxnN025959 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:49:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQ8nxqZ025958 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:49:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 02:49:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 27w Warning Nr 009 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312260849.hBQ8nxqZ025958@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 260900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 27W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- NEAR 13.6N0 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 13.1N5 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 12.3N6 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 11.6N8 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 11.0N2 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 9.8N7 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 13.5N9 128.1E2. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT TS 27W HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH DEEP CONVECTION OCCURRING PRIMARILY OVER THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4, 262100Z1, 270300Z2 AND 270900Z8.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:04 2003 X-UIDL: 50871-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQI008OT9PQ5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 22:03:27 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQE4mba086421 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 22:04:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXE3048494; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:43 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350115 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:43 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQDxgD1048892 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQDxVnN028738 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQDxVrL028736 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 27w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312261359.hBQDxVrL028736@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WDPN31 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W/ WARNING NR 10// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 261200Z1 TO 291200Z4 DEC 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. A RECENT 261118Z9 SSMI REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED WITH LITTLE CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER THE LLCC. B. TD 27W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE NORTHEAST MONSOON. ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS INCLUDING NOGAPS (NGPS), UK-MET OFFICE MODEL (EGRR), THE NCEP GFS (JAVN), GFDN, AND COAMPS, ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND ALL THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 27W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD INTO A MORE UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND CONVERGENT FLOW ALOFT. INTERACTION WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON, WITH DRY, COOL AIR IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN TD 27W AND AIDE IN THE DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM IN 36 TO 48 HOURS. D. FORECAST WIND RADII FORECAST ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZED SYSTEM. 3. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMMAN/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:05 2003 X-UIDL: 50872-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQI008QX9RI5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 22:04:30 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQE5tsK089231 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 22:05:56 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJR9026338; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:42 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350112 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQDxgD1036586 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:42 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQDxVnN028737 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:31 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQDxV3C028735 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:31 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 07:59:31 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 010 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312261359.hBQDxV3C028735@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 261500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 010 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 27W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- NEAR 13.5N9 127.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 127.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 12.8N1 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 12.0N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 11.3N5 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 10.6N7 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION NEAR 13.3N7 127.8E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261130Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. A RECENT 261118Z9 SSMI REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED WITH LITTLE CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1, 270300Z2, 270900Z8 AND 271500Z5.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:06 2003 X-UIDL: 50873-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQI0083TB0G5L@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Fri, 26 Dec 2003 22:31:28 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQEWnba089349 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 22:32:50 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJRR026338; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 08:27:36 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 350289 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 08:27:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQERZD1064740 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 08:27:35 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQERPnN029024 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 08:27:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQERPDa029023 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 08:27:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 08:27:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312261427.hBQERPDa029023@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 261200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261200. WARNING VALID 271200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 960 HPA AT 56N 179E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 59N 178E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 61N 173E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 45N 157E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 157E TO 45N 161E 44N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 42N 166E 39N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 163E TO 41N 162E 39N 159E 35N 154E 34N 149E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 143E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 26N 128E 21N 133E 15N 116E 23N 115E 26N 128E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 13N 129E NW SLOWLY. HIGH 1040 HPA AT 40N 109E ESE 10 KT. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 34N 176E ENE 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:22 2003 X-UIDL: 50887-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQI00ARCSJ0FO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 04:49:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKpDsK031480 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 04:51:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBP6iJWh026338; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 13:56:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 352161 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 13:56:32 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQJuUD1075652 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 13:56:30 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQJuJnN002258 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 13:56:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQJuJDu002256 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 13:56:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 13:56:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 27w Warning Nr 011 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312261956.hBQJuJDu002256@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 262100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 27W WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- NEAR 13.1N5 127.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 127.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 12.2N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 10.8N9 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 9.6N5 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION NEAR 12.9N2 127.0E0. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 261730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPEARS TO BE PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2, 270900Z8, 271500Z5 AND 272100Z2.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 07:45:23 2003 X-UIDL: 50888-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQI00A1ZSNYFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 04:52:47 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKsBba034721 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 04:54:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKFZDB026340; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:31:25 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 352353 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:31:25 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKVOD1091606 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:31:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBQKVDnN002671 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:31:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBQKVDjK002670 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:31:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:31:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 261800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312262031.hBQKVDjK002670@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 261800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 261800. WARNING VALID 271800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 964 HPA AT 58N 178E BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 60N 175E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 64N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 974 HPA AT 47N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 160E TO 47N 163E 46N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 166E TO 44N 171E 42N 173E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 166E TO 42N 167E 38N 162E 34N 155E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 35N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 750 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER YELLOW SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 16N 113E 23N 116E 26N 119E 26N 131E 16N 136E 15N 128E 14N 117E 16N 113E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 12N 128E WNW SLOWLY. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 32N 117E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 32N 180E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 12:17:27 2003 X-UIDL: 50896-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQJ00AAY71FFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 10:03:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR24fba066070 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 10:04:42 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKFZHn026340; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 19:54:01 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 354247 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 19:54:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR1s0D1011936 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 19:54:00 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBR1rnnN005547 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 19:53:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBR1rnkx005546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 19:53:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 19:53:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 27w Warning Nr 012 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312270153.hBR1rnkx005546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 270300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 27W WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- NEAR 11.7N9 126.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 126.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 10.3N4 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 9.1N0 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 7.8N5 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.4N6 126.6E5. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8, 271500Z5, 272100Z2 AND 280300Z3.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 12:17:32 2003 X-UIDL: 50903-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQJ00A577HSFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 10:13:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR2ETba067095 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 10:14:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKFZHr026340; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:04:53 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 354314 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:04:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR24rD1091488 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:04:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBR24gnN005684 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:04:42 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBR24fZm005683 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:04:41 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:04:41 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Storm (ts) 27w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312270204.hBR24fZm005683@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WDPN31 PGTW 270300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W/ WARNING NR 12// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 270000Z9 TO 281200Z3 DEC 2003. A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 262330Z6 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. B. TS 27W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A BUILDING SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS (NGPS), UKMET OFFICE MODEL (EGRR), THE NCEP GFS (JAVN), GFDN, AND COAMPS, ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TS 27W IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD INTO A MORE UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND CONVERGENT FLOW ALOFT. INTERACTION WITH THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINE ISLANDS IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN TS 27W AND RESULT IN DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM IN 36 HOURS. D. SYSTEM DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/MENEBROKER/ANDERSON// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sat Dec 27 12:17:33 2003 X-UIDL: 50908-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQJ00ABO8JZFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 10:36:00 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR2bMba069635 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 10:37:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKFZI9026340; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:27:49 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 354467 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:27:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR2RmD1067748 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:27:48 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBR2RbnN005841 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:27:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBR2RbiS005840 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:27:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:27:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312270227.hBR2RbiS005840@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 270000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270000. WARNING VALID 280000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 964 HPA AT 60N 176E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 25 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 67N 170E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 48N 165E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 48N 165E TO 48N 171E 48N 174E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 174E TO 46N 178E 43N 180E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 174E TO 43N 174E 37N 166E 36N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 35N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 36N 159E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 150E TO 32N 150E 27N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SEA OF JAPAN. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 112E 26N 120E 25N 123E 27N 130E 17N 136E 13N 125E 15N 120E 06N 107E 21N 112E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 12N 127E WEST 10 KT. HIGH 1034 HPA AT 31N 118E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:51:59 2003 X-UIDL: 50913-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQJ00ALOH2EFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 13:39:50 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR5fGsK080226 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 13:41:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQKFZJD026340; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355148 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR5WHD1094614 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBR5W6nN007271 for ; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBR5W6fq007269 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 23:32:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312270532.hBR5W6fq007269@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z-280600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270151ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) 270000Z9 TROPICAL STORM 27W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N9 126.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 145 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, AND WAS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.5S8 176.9E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 179.1E8, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER A BROAD WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAIRLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/KLINZMANN/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:12 2003 X-UIDL: 50916-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQJ00ATFPA4FO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 16:37:16 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR8ccba006752 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 16:38:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXM3060060; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:29:08 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355979 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:29:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR8T7D1038818 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:29:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBR8StnN008564 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:28:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBR8SttK008563 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:28:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:28:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm 27w Warning Nr 013 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312270828.hBR8SttK008563@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 270900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL STORM 27W WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- NEAR 10.8N9 126.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 126.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 9.4N3 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 8.3N1 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 7.5N2 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION NEAR 10.4N5 126.2E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM NORTH- NORTHEAST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED SOUTH AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS FULLY EXPOSED ON THE SOUTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5, 272100Z2, 280300Z3 AND 280900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:13 2003 X-UIDL: 50917-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQJ00AKIPS4FO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 16:48:05 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR8nTsK097746 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 16:49:30 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQDX026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:33:12 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 355997 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:33:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR8XBD1049806 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:33:11 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBR8X0nN008613 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:33:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBR8X06F008612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:33:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 02:33:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 270600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312270833.hBR8X06F008612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 270600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 270600. WARNING VALID 280600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 992 HPA AT 35N 151E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 35N 151E TO 36N 152E 36N 154E. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 154E TO 36N 156E 36N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 154E TO 29N 151E 23N 141E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 50N 175E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 175E TO 51N 178E 51N 179E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 179E TO 48N 175W 46N 172W. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 179E TO 41N 176E 36N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. ANOTHER LOW 972 HPA AT 47N 166E MOVING EAST 15 KNOTS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 136E 14N 136E 11N 125E 13N 113E 22N 112E 23N 136E. SUMMARY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 11N 127E SW SLOWLY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 32N 119E ESE 10 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:17 2003 X-UIDL: 50927-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00ASE4PVFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 22:10:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBREC8sK026660 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 22:12:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXMX048494; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:03:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357341 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:03:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRE36D1034414 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:03:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBRE2snN011378 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:02:54 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBRE2svt011377 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:02:54 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:02:54 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 014 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312271402.hBRE2svt011377@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 014 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 27W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- NEAR 9.9N8 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 9.9N8 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 8.7N5 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 7.8N5 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION NEAR 9.6N5 125.0E8. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM NORTHWEST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2, 280300Z3 AND 280900Z9.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:17 2003 X-UIDL: 50928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00AH25XUFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 22:37:07 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBREcRsK029874 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 22:38:28 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQFx026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:26:00 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357455 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:25:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBREPxD1034556 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:25:59 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBREPlnN011536 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:25:47 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBREPlZ6011535 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:25:47 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:25:47 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/prognostic Reasoning For Tropical Depression (td) 27w/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312271425.hBREPlZ6011535@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WDPN31 PGTW 271500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W/ WARNING NR 14// RMKS/ 1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS. 2. PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR 271200Z2 TO 281200Z3 DEC 2003. A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM NORTHWEST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271130Z4 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN. B. TD 27W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A LOW LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET MODEL (EGRR), THE NCEP GFS AND GFDN, ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. C. TD 27W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD INTO A MORE UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. INTERACTION WITH THE CENTRAL PHILIPPINE ISLANDS IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN TD 27W AND RESULT IN DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. D. SYSTEM DOES NOT MEET WIND RADII CRITERIA. 3. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/KLINZMANN/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:17 2003 X-UIDL: 50929-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00ALC60OFO@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sat, 27 Dec 2003 22:38:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBREeEsK030019 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 22:40:15 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQG5026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:31:17 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 357480 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:31:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBREVGD1081748 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:31:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBREV5nN011600 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:31:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBREV5xW011599 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:31:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:31:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312271431.hBREV5xW011599@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 271200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271200. WARNING VALID 281200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 968 HPA AT 51N 176E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 51N 176E TO 52N 178E 52N 180E. WARM FRONT FROM 52N 180E TO 49N 173W 46N 170W. COLD FRONT FROM 52N 180E TO 41N 177E 37N 166E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 55N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 58N 179W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 988 HPA AT 36N 157E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 157E TO 37N 161E 37N 166E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 157E TO 29N 152E 23N 145E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 43N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER SOUTHERN PART OF EAST CHINA SEA. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 21N 144E 12N 136E 10N 122E 10N 110E 21N 110E 21N 144E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 32N 122E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:22 2003 X-UIDL: 50936-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00D3AKICS3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 03:51:48 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRJrCsK059669 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 03:53:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQJv026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 13:47:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 359144 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 13:47:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRJlID1091562 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 13:47:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBRJl6nN014982 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 13:47:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBRJl5ea014981 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 13:47:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 13:47:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Depression 27w Warning Nr 015 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312271947.hBRJl5ea014981@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WTPN31 PGTW 272100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- NEAR 9.4N3 125.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N3 125.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 8.6N4 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 8.3N1 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 9.2N1 124.9E6. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 27W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM WEST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271730Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:24 2003 X-UIDL: 50938-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQK00DGEMFYS3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 04:33:34 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRKZ0sK063812 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 04:35:01 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXQB060060; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 14:27:18 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 359497 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 14:27:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBRKRHD1083712 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 14:27:17 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBRKR5nN015413 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 14:27:05 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBRKR5EQ015412 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 14:27:05 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 14:27:05 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 271800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312272027.hBRKR5EQ015412@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 271800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 271800. WARNING VALID 281800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA AT 53N 178E SEA AROUND ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 53N 178E TO 55N 177W 54N 174W. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 174W TO 52N 169W 47N 164W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 174W TO 51N 172W 43N 178W 40N 172E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 57N 180E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 60 MILES RADIUS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 59N 179E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 38N 163E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 40 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 163E TO 39N 167E 40N 172E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 163E TO 32N 160E 28N 157E 26N 152E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 46N 175W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 25N 138E 15N 135E 09N 110E 21N 110E 26N 120E 25N 138E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 31N 123E ESE 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:29 2003 X-UIDL: 50951-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQL00DS73HIS3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 10:41:42 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS2h8Lv026448 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 10:43:09 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBQ9qXRb048494; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 20:29:32 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 361386 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 20:29:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS2TVD1071568 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 20:29:31 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBS2TInN018357 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 20:29:18 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBS2TId6018356 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 20:29:18 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 20:29:18 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312280229.hBS2TId6018356@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 280000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280000. WARNING VALID 290000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 41N 172E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 41N 172E TO 44N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 41N 172E TO 32N 166E 24N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 1000 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 47N 170W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 990 HPA AT 58N 151E MOVING EASTSOUTHEAST SLOWLY. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 57N 179W BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 179W TO 54N 167W. WARM FRONT FROM 54N 167W TO 48N 160W. COLD FRONT FROM 54N 167W TO 44N 174W. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 08N 109E 17N 110E 23N 116E 23N 131E 17N 141E 12N 133E 08N 121E 08N 109E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1032 HPA AT 30N 123E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:30 2003 X-UIDL: 50954-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQL00DF3B5KS3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 13:27:20 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS5SkLv041862 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 13:28:47 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQQJ026342; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 362152 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS5MFD1094656 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBS5M2nN019807 for ; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:02 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBS5M2JO019805 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:02 -0600 (CST) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 23:22:02 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312280522.hBS5M2JO019805@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z-290600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271951ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) 271800Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 125.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM WEST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 272100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2S8 179.1E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 179.6W3, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. A 272146Z2 MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS WEAK CONVECTION OVER A BROAD WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAIRLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/RONSSE/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:34 2003 X-UIDL: 50960-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQL00D9RJUKS3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 16:35:08 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS8aYLv061031 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 16:36:36 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQRp026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 02:31:07 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 363213 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 02:31:07 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS8V6D1100078 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 02:31:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBS8UrnN021131 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 02:30:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBS8UrBt021130 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 02:30:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 02:30:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 280600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312280830.hBS8UrBt021130@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 280600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 280600. WARNING VALID 290600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA AT 42N 175E SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 43N 180E 45N 173W. COLD FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 40N 177E 33N 170E 24N 159E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 52N 168W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 58N 178W BERING SEA MOVING NORTH 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 60N 178W TO 59N 169W 56N 163W. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 163W TO 51N 155W. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 163W TO 50N 165W 45N 173W. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 24N 117E 24N 120E 22N 124E 22N 140E 15N 140E 14N 123E 15N 116E 24N 117E. SUMMARY. LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 125E EAST 15 KT. LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 31N 125E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:55 2003 X-UIDL: 50973-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00DYI0D5S3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 22:31:53 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSEXILv094497 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 22:33:19 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQTx026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 08:29:21 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 364624 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 08:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSETKD1042662 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 08:29:20 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBSET6nN024074 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 08:29:06 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBSET6kk024073 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 08:29:06 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 08:29:06 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312281429.hBSET6kk024073@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 281200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281200. WARNING VALID 291200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 44N 179W SEA SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 44N 179W TO 47N 167W. COLD FRONT FROM 44N 179W TO 41N 178W 37N 180E 30N 171E 24N 162E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 800 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 56N 163W WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 60N 180E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1012 HPA AT 47N 126E MANCHURIA MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 126E TO 46N 131E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 126E TO 42N 122E 39N 117E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 900 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 400 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 113E 23N 120E 21N 123E 21N 140E 16N 140E 11N 132E 12N 125E 16N 120E 16N 114E 22N 113E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 152E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 31N 127E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:52:58 2003 X-UIDL: 50975-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00DM83G2S3@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:38:26 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSFdmLv001771 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:39:51 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS7i5F3011828; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 364962 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSFVDD1055374 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:14 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBSFV0nN024567 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:00 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBSFV0DJ024565 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 09:31:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312281531.hBSFV0DJ024565@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 281500 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/281500Z-290600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/271951ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) 271800Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W, WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N3 125.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 40 NM WEST OF DAPA, PHILIPPINES, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 272100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S0 179.6W3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 177.1W6, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. CONVECTION HAS MODERATELY INCREASED OVER THE AREA. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS THE PRESENCE OF A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAIRLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/RONSSE/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:53:04 2003 X-UIDL: 50987-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00GQ1HFQBN@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 04:40:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSKg5Lv031876 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 04:42:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQYp026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 14:33:23 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 366935 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 14:33:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBSKXMD1038822 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 14:33:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBSKX8nN027683 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 14:33:08 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBSKX86s027682 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 14:33:08 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 14:33:08 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 281800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312282033.hBSKX86s027682@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 281800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 281800. WARNING VALID 291800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 60N 179E BERING SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 152E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 46N 132E MARITINE TERRITORY MOVING EAST 30 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 46N 132E TO 46N 136E 46N 139E. COLD FRONT FROM 46N 132E TO 41N 128E 36N 120E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 53N 160E 44N 180E 34N 180E 37N 165E 53N 160E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 22N 113E 20N 125E 23N 150E 15N 150E 10N 130E 10N 119E 22N 113E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 30N 130E EAST 25 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 22N 161E TO 28N 170E 35N 180E 39N 172W 49N 170W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 11:53:10 2003 X-UIDL: 51000-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQM00G27XVEOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 10:35:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT2b44T056411 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 10:37:06 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQeJ026342; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 20:30:50 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 369370 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 20:30:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT2UnD1042662 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 20:30:49 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT2UZnN000836 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 20:30:35 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT2UZ4Q000835 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 20:30:35 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 20:30:35 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290230.hBT2UZ4Q000835@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 290000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290000. WARNING VALID 300000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 970 HPA AT 60N 177E BERING SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITHIN 500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1002 HPA AT 48N 141E TARTAR STRAIT MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 141E TO 47N 146E 46N 149E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 141E TO 42N 137E 38N 129E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 990 HPA AT 58N 153E SEA OF OKHOTSK ALMOST STATIONARY. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 43N 158E 54N 159E 47N 180E 37N 180E 38N 170E 43N 158E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 23N 147E 13N 147E 08N 128E 18N 120E 15N 114E 22N 114E 21N 130E 23N 147E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 28N 117E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 28N 132E EAST 10 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 21N 160E TO 26N 170E 32N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 14:08:11 2003 X-UIDL: 51008-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00G1A5KUOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 13:22:06 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT5NW4T075333 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 13:23:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBS7i5L1011828; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 370247 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT5HFD1034496 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT5H0nN002108 for ; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:01 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT5H0IH002106 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:00 -0600 (CST) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 23:17:00 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290517.hBT5H0IH002106@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z-300600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 177.1W6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 178.0W6, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. CONVECTION HAS REDUCED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATES A FULLY EXPOSED, LESS ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER APPROXIMATELY 150 NM TO THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE DIFFLUENCE AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/DIXON/RONSSE/SCHULTZ// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Mon Dec 29 16:38:49 2003 X-UIDL: 51027-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GGOEI7OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:34:56 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT8aN4T096462 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 16:36:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQhj026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:28:29 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 371299 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:28:29 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBT8SRD1049336 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:28:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBT8SDnN003706 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:28:13 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBT8SDjw003705 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:28:13 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 02:28:13 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 290600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312290828.hBT8SDjw003705@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 290600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 290600. WARNING VALID 300600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 994 HPA AT 47N 145E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 47N 145E TO 40N 154E. COLD FRONT FROM 47N 145E TO 39N 139E 35N 131E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 52N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 159E 60N 171E 60N 180E 38N 180E 41N 166E 60N 159E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 08N 109E 21N 111E 23N 118E 16N 133E 11N 126E 09N 117E 08N 109E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 154E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 28N 135E EAST 25 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 40N 162E EAST 20 KT. COLD FRONT FROM 31N 180E TO 26N 171E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 16N 150E TO 19N 158E 26N 171E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:26 2003 X-UIDL: 51052-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQN00GP7V31OT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Mon, 29 Dec 2003 22:33:01 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTEYDLv053766 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 22:34:14 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBR6dQmb026342; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 08:27:46 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 373796 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 08:27:46 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTERjD1091522 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 08:27:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTERUnN007015 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 08:27:30 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTERUxf007014 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 08:27:30 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 08:27:30 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312291427.hBTERUxf007014@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 291200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291200. WARNING VALID 301200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 990 HPA AT 48N 149E SOUTHERN PART OF SEA OF OKHOTSK MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 35 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 149E TO 42N 158E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 149E TO 41N 147E 36N 141E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 53N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 150 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 163E 60N 179E 42N 180E 44N 169E 60N 163E. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER YELLOW SEA. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 155E EAST 10 KT. LOW 1014 HPA AT 31N 176E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1028 HPA AT 27N 130E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 27N 140E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 30N 158E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 166E ENE 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 16N 152E TO 21N 165E 31N 176E 33N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:48 2003 X-UIDL: 51069-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00G5HBYVOT@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 04:37:43 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTKdA4T079842 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 04:39:11 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsE1011890; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:31:19 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 377060 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:31:19 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTKVID1027262 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:31:18 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBTKV3nN011682 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:31:03 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBTKV34L011681 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:31:03 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:31:03 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 291800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312292031.hBTKV34L011681@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 291800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 291800. WARNING VALID 301800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 984 HPA AT 47N 153E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 153E TO 48N 155E. WARM FRONT FROM 48N 155E TO 44N 163E. COLD FRONT FROM 48N 155E TO 38N 152E 34N 142E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 56N 162E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 60N 164E 60N 180E 43N 180E 46N 171E 60N 164E. GALE WARNING. EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS PREVAILING OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 08N 108E 16N 110E 20N 120E 14N 120E 08N 108E. SUMMARY. LOW 988 HPA AT 58N 155E ALMOST STATIONARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 33N 180E ENE 25 KT. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 27N 130E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 30N 161E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 171E EAST 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 16N 152E TO 19N 162E 25N 171E 33N 180E 38N 164W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:57 2003 X-UIDL: 51089-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00MK0SD09P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:31:49 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU2XG4T019141 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:33:17 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvMF098454; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:28:02 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379822 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU2S1D1037306 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:28:02 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU2RknN015776 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:27:46 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU2Rkkt015775 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:27:46 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:27:46 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300227.hBU2Rkkt015775@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 300000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300000. WARNING VALID 310000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA AT 49N 156E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 156E TO 50N 157E 50N 158E. WARM FRONT FROM 50N 158E TO 50N 164E 46N 168E. COLD FRONT FROM 50N 158E TO 46N 160E 39N 157E 35N 152E 33N 145E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE AND NEAR COLD FRONT. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 53N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 120 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 988 HPA AT 57N 151E SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 25N 140E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 32N 168E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 41N 180E ENE 20 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N 162E TO 23N 173E 29N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:49:59 2003 X-UIDL: 51091-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00LM8T18PC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:46:21 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU2lm4T020875 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:47:49 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAsIf011890; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:54 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379869 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:54 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU2frD1065676 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU2fbnN015958 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU2fbVH015956 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:37 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:41:37 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300241.hBU2fbVH015956@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 300030 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/300030Z-300600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 178.0W6 HAS BEEN RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM TO THE EAST- NORTHEAST AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.3E9, APPROXIMATELY 355 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EVIDENT TO THE WEST OF THE CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENEBROKER/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 11:50:00 2003 X-UIDL: 51095-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQO00LHAUC1PC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:14:25 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU3FqLv048652 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:15:53 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvMV098454; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:45 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 379989 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:45 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU39iD1071496 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:44 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU39SnN016327 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:29 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU39SjD016325 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:28 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 21:09:28 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300309.hBU39SjD016325@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 300030 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/300030Z-300600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.7S2 178.0W6 HAS BEEN RELOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM TO THE EAST- NORTHEAST AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.3W9, APPROXIMATELY 355 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EVIDENT TO THE WEST OF THE CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. DUE TO IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) FROM POOR TO FAIR. 4. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CHANGED LONGITUDE IN PARA 2.B.(1) FROM 178.3E9 TO 178.3W9. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENEBROKER/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Tue Dec 30 13:53:58 2003 X-UIDL: 51102-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00M950YW9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:37:44 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU5dBLv067320 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:39:12 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvO7098454; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:35:16 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 380712 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:35:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU5ZFD1065696 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:35:15 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU5YxnN017514 for ; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:34:59 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU5YxlJ017512 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:34:59 -0600 (CST) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:34:59 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300534.hBU5YxlJ017512@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z-310600ZDEC2003// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.3W9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.5W1 APPROXIMATELY 300NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/JACOBS/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:12 2003 X-UIDL: 51131-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00LWL90PPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 16:31:37 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU8X2Lv088249 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 16:33:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvPr098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:27:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 381677 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:27:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBU8R9D1052002 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:27:09 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBU8QrnN018901 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:26:53 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBU8QrFP018900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:26:53 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 02:26:53 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 300600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312300826.hBU8QrFP018900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 300600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 300600. WARNING VALID 310600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 972 HPA AT 50N 158E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 50N 158E TO 51N 160E 51N 163E. WARM FRONT FROM 51N 163E TO 50N 168E 47N 171E. COLD FRONT FROM 51N 163E TO 43N 165E 36N 158E 32N 148E 29N 137E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 900 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 56N 164E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. ANOTHER LOW 984 HPA AT 56N 153E MOVING SOUTHEAST SLOWLY. SUMMARY. HIGH 1024 HPA AT 39N 133E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 25N 144E EAST 25 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 18N 165E TO 22N 174E 27N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:27 2003 X-UIDL: 51151-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQP00LNGQ5VPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Tue, 30 Dec 2003 22:41:55 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUEhMLv033648 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 22:43:24 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvMd052824; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:35:04 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 383214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:35:03 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUEZ1D1042736 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:35:01 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUEYjnN022256 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:34:45 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUEYii0022254 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:34:44 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:34:44 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301434.hBUEYii0022254@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 301200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301200. WARNING VALID 311200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 970 HPA AT 54N 162E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 162E TO 55N 164E 55N 165E. WARM FRONT FROM 55N 165E TO 55N 170E 53N 175E. COLD FRONT FROM 55N 165E TO 48N 170E 38N 163E 31N 152E 29N 140E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 57N 166E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100 MILES RADIUS. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 37N 138E EAST 30 KT. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 25N 138E EAST 10 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 118E TO 30N 124E 30N 127E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 173E TO 25N 177E 27N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:40 2003 X-UIDL: 51177-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00LD751CPC@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 04:03:13 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUK4cLv075907 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 04:04:39 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvZ9098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:58:13 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385488 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:58:13 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUJwCD1071604 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:58:12 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUJvtnN026125 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:57:55 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUJvt7Z026123 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:57:55 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:57:55 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312301957.hBUJvt7Z026123@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 301930 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/301930Z-310600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/301900Z DEC 03/ AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2S6 178.5W1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 178.0W6, APPROXIMATELY 375 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF APIA, WESTERN SAMOA. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A RECENT 301323Z2 AMSRE PASS DEPICTS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS DISPLACED 60 NM FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 301900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) FROM FAIR TO GOOD. FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/MENENBROKER/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:41 2003 X-UIDL: 51180-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00MQQ6QR9P@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 04:40:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUKfV4T043860 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 04:41:32 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvaB098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:33:06 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 385815 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:33:06 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBUKX5D1048576 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:33:05 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBUKWnnN026511 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:32:49 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBUKWnv3026510 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:32:49 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:32:49 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 301800. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312302032.hBUKWnv3026510@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 301800 WARNING AND SUMMARY 301800. WARNING VALID 311800. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. STORM WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA AT 54N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 54N 164E TO 56N 167E 56N 171E. WARM FRONT FROM 56N 171E TO 55N 175E 52N 178E. COLD FRONT FROM 56N 171E TO 50N 172E 39N 168E 32N 162E 29N 154E. WINDS 30 TO 50 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 58N 167E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 110 MILES RADIUS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1016 HPA AT 34N 141E NEAR HACHIJOJIMA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1002 HPA AT 49N 130E EAST 25 KT. LOW 1012 HPA AT 39N 132E ENE 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 29N 111E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 26N 134E EAST 10 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 144E EAST 15 KT. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 120E TO 28N 122E 30N 125E 30N 127E 31N 129E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 21N 174E TO 23N 177E 26N 180E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:44 2003 X-UIDL: 51195-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ003USNB67S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 10:37:54 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV2dLLv021520 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 10:39:23 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvgD098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:32:47 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 388322 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:32:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV2WgD1075110 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:32:47 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV2WPnN000298 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:32:25 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV2WP21000297 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:32:25 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:32:25 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310000. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310232.hBV2WP21000297@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 310000 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310000. WARNING VALID 010000. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 966 HPA AT 55N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 163E TO 58N 164E 59N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 168E TO 61N 176E 58N 174W. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 168E TO 52N 174E 47N 172E 36N 169E 28N 158E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 40N 135E SEA OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 40N 135E TO 39N 137E 38N 140E. COLD FRONT FROM 40N 135E TO 36N 134E 34N 130E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 450 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 12 HOURS. SUMMARY. LOW 1014 HPA AT 35N 142E ENE 20 KT. LOW 1000 HPA AT 49N 135E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1030 HPA AT 29N 112E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 26N 139E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1020 HPA AT 38N 152E ESE 20 KT. WARM FRONT FROM 35N 142E TO 34N 144E 31N 146E. COLD FRONT FROM 35N 142E TO 33N 137E 31N 131E 27N 126E. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:46 2003 X-UIDL: 51201-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQQ00355VOE7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 13:38:38 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV5e2Lv046340 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 13:40:04 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvhf098454; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:51 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 389235 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:51 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV5YoD1057672 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:50 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV5YXnN002197 for ; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:33 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV5YXD0002195 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:33 -0600 (CST) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:34:33 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310534.hBV5YXD0002195@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZDEC2003-010600ZJAN2004// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/301851ZDEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.6S9 178.0W6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.1S5 176.7W1, APPROXIMATELY 275 NM WEST OF APIA, WESTERN SAMOA. RECENT INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT DEEP CYCLING CONVECTION IS DISPLACED NORTHEAST OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 301900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: WINGEART/ARENDS/KLINZMANN/KELSEY// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Dec 31 17:33:50 2003 X-UIDL: 51216-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR003233OY7S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:31:46 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV8XC4T026107 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:33:13 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvjD098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:28:37 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 390214 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:28:37 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBV8SaD1014416 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:28:36 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBV8SJnN003905 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:28:19 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBV8SJJA003904 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:28:19 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 02:28:19 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 310600. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312310828.hBV8SJJA003904@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 310600 WARNING AND SUMMARY 310600. WARNING VALID 010600. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 968 HPA AT 56N 164E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA ALMOST STATIONARY. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 56N 162E TO 58N 164E 59N 166E. WARM FRONT FROM 59N 166E TO 62N 178E 61N 171W. COLD FRONT FROM 59N 166E TO 55N 175E 47N 174E 40N 175E 33N 171E 29N 161E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 47N 142E SAKHALIN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 700 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1008 HPA AT 37N 144E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 35N 146E 33N 148E. COLD FRONT FROM 37N 144E TO 34N 141E 33N 137E 33N 134E 25N 127E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 32N 114E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 25N 143E EAST 20 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 158E EAST 25 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Fri Jan 02 11:28:25 2004 X-UIDL: 51231-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HQR003O6KK47S@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 31 Dec 2003 22:36:04 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVEbW4T077859 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 22:37:33 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBTJAvnr098454; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 08:31:09 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 392382 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 08:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id hBVEV8D1067712 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 08:31:08 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBVEUonN007236 for ; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 08:30:50 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBVEUoGb007235 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 31 Dec 2003 08:30:50 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 08:30:50 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 311200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312311430.hBVEUoGb007235@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' WWJP25 RJTD 311200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 311200. WARNING VALID 011200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPED LOW 972 HPA AT 56N 165E SEA EAST OF KAMCHATKA MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 57N 162E TO 59N 165E 60N 168E. WARM FRONT FROM 60N 168E TO 62N 178E 60N 169W. COLD FRONT FROM 60N 168E TO 60N 174E 55N 180E 39N 179E 32N 176E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1000 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 996 HPA AT 46N 147E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING EAST 20 KNOTS. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA AT 38N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 38N 148E TO 34N 153E. COLD FRONT FROM 38N 148E TO 32N 140E 28N 136E 26N 132E. WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE. SUMMARY. HIGH 1026 HPA AT 31N 119E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 25N 146E EAST 15 KT. HIGH 1018 HPA AT 35N 162E EAST 15 KT. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Mar 03 22:07:48 2004 X-UIDL: 56928-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx2.ust.hk (mx2.ust.hk [143.89.14.128]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HTZ00AVBUGSA7@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 03 Mar 2004 17:31:40 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239VeOm064607 for ; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 17:31:41 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239QfEN020588; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:27:10 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8e) with spool id 1339686 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:23:52 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i239GrD3023218 for ; Wed, 03 Mar 2004 03:16:57 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id hBPFJWnN017394 for ; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:19:37 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id hBPFJHRG017392 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:19:17 -0600 (CST) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:19:17 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/ Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200312251519.hBPFJHRG017392@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Precedence: list X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000' ABPW10 PGTW 251530 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/ AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/251530Z-260600ZDEC2003// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251351DEC2003// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 251200Z0, TROPICAL STORM 27W, LOCATED NEAR 13.7N1 129.8E0, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, WAS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 251500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.5N2 137.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST OF PALAU HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 1.A.(1) AND DOWNGRADED PARA 1.B.(1). FORECAST TEAM: GRUBER/KLINZMAN/TINOCO// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Wed Feb 12 14:50:39 2003 X-UIDL: 16759-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HA600GFLO9222@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:48:39 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h1C6mXZD040984 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 14:48:34 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6EbHI036450; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:23:52 -0600 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 947619 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:20:24 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h1C6KNCw033964 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:20:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h1C6KLid003526 for ; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:20:21 -0600 (CST) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h1C6KLmG003524 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:20:21 -0600 (CST) Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 00:20:21 -0600 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Tocnenppo #-4994 Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200302120620.h1C6KLmG003524@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report= TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GEMHKQN/.-QZ TOCNENPPO #-4994 8?(452:// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANTLLROPICAL WEA,HEV VSISGJY385$3.23534, -,/ SOUT VH IC OCEAN/;?,TITHKIAKPQEPYPPZFEB2003// RMKS/ 1.#WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONEJO* *WM SMUTH PAC DIC ARONRAXWEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A; 5/.WFLACZMLONE SUMMARY: NONE. BZPO908:-) 185)3-,:3 7..-4+/: NOCTV H * FOHECAST TEAM: MAZANXHEATH/EDBERG// + +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov. From - Sun Jun 08 22:33:11 2003 X-UIDL: 27293-1030236889 X-Mozilla-Status: 0001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 Return-path: Received: from mx1.ust.hk (mx1.ust.hk [143.89.14.186]) by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002)) with ESMTPS id <0HG6005R831EC0@ims1.ust.hk> for alau@ims-ms-daemon (ORCPT alau%ust.hk@ims1.ust.hk); Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:32:02 +0800 (CST) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58EVtPg091598 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 22:31:57 +0800 (HKT) Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h583DoS6025764; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:26:49 -0500 Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 23926 for WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:26:48 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h58EQlG2010308 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:26:47 -0500 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1]) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h58EQl9d014476 for ; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit) id h58EQlmW014475 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:26:47 -0500 (CDT) Date: Sun, 08 Jun 2003 09:26:47 -0500 From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-NW: Warning And Summary 081200. Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products To: WX-TROPL@LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU Reply-to: wxmaster@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <200306081426.h58EQlmW014475@delyte.lib.siu.edu> X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXIII, Probability=23%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING, LINES_OF_YELLING_2, SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_50_75, __UPPERCASE_50_75 WWJP25 RJTD 081200 WARNING AND SUMMARY 081200. WARNING VALID 091200. WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 998 HPA AT 27N 127E NEAR OKINAWA MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 27N 127E TO 27N 130E 26N 135E. COLD FRONT FROM 27N 127E TO 25N 127E 22N 123E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 22N 123E TO 21N 118E 21N 111E. WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 400 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES ELSEWHERE. GALE WARNING. DEVELOPING LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 155E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS. WARM FRONT FROM 36N 155E TO 35N 160E 35N 162E. COLD FRONT FROM 36N 155E TO 30N 152E 27N 146E. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N 146E TO 26N 142E 26N 135E. EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW FOR NEXT 24 HOURS. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN YELLOW SEA. WARNING. DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 36N 140E 42N 142E 47N 152E 60N 163E 60N 180E 36N 180E 33N 160E 30N 150E 36N 140E. SUMMARY. HIGH 1022 HPA AT 47N 153E ALMOST STATIONARY. HIGH 1016 HPA AT 27N 164E ALMOST STATIONARY. STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 162E TO 36N 170E 40N 175W 38N 170W. JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL write to chris@siu.edu or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.